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Mlth-*,^ ***«»* 4^^ ■' ft Vf'i-?•!'• ] ^ JUS. ' ■ 4 ■'. UBRARV i •' ' ' . 'I'm,'1 ^T# "... v , •r.-rji - /**.;vl 2-i1948v^f|S APR ESTABLISHED 1S39 Re*. U. S. Pat. Office Volume McCabe and as an By WILLIAM F. HAUHART of Finance, Professor Dr. Hauhart contends, BRATTER By MELCinOR ' Szymczak regarding extension of Szymczak urges difficulties of invading Russia, Dr. Palyi points out with that nation would result in extinction of dollar's purchasing power, repudiation of national debt, and break¬ down of nation's social structure. Holds man-force war is archaic, because of the peculiar postwar phase of long continued are causing bank credit expansion, and thus intensifying inflationary trend. Sees danger in forcing business corporations to borrow for capital and advocates lower taxes as incentive to increased production. - reconstruction restrictions on use McCabe favors less of credit, and control than enforcement of It is my purpose Spe¬ cial Reserve Plan. McCabe favors found controlLng bank holding com¬ problem of inflation. panies. 30—(Special : most in treated ; often to , a and business men. But fur¬ ther analysis will be devi¬ the di- rection of under h i 1 w ■ n a t o relationship of taxation to the ;■■■ /' by both economists .-■•'V" /'.V.< The some 220 divisions Hitler sent into Russia v- somewhat clearer under¬ W standing ■ To an ^3 | leadership was ,-| in the hands of k' We See It be .<---1 \ ':t §§r the that cate i f probably the ' memoirs indi¬ EDITORIAL • old-school ; generals, not Economics, Defense and Relief politi- of Nazi j observer" from Olympus it would, we are certain, seem a little strange Tobey V(R. ip hear generally intelligent, and cer¬ the problem N. H.),. the w i t h which tainly sincere, men: and - women seriously and repeatedly Senate Bank¬ we are con¬ asserting that gifts to foreign peoples, generous far beyond ing and Cur¬ fronted at the any historical precedent, and (now mor<* recently, defense rency Com¬ present time. mittee's. in¬ One of our expenditures on a greatly enlarged scale) will be sufficient quiry into the Dr. Wm. F. Hauhart r d iffi(c ulties if not necessary to keep the wolf from our door — or in fitness of Mr seems to be more popular language prevent the development of a de¬ Thomas B the notion, rather widely held, pression with its long train of unemployment and hardship. McCabe to be Charles hip. <$> leaders . given " toward i were organized, best trained, and best equipped the world had seen up to that time. Certainly, in comparison to the substantially larger Russian army, the Nazi might was superior in every way, including best (Goebbels' aid should Chairman e fallacy in idea worth e thereby a S technical training for youth, not military drillings Sees mass occupation of Russia is essential in war and contends aerial supremacy eliminates necessity of physical control. Concludes UMT is expensive and has no educational value. and urges somewhat different approach than is The basic elements involved have been well course ous its a previous articles in the "Chronicle" D. suing to use discussing the in C.—March the Chronicle): After pur¬ WASHINGTON, ; war . of credit controversial methods - capital, credit controls. Wisconsin Professor, University of After explaining cycle, high taxation is no longer an effective deterrent to inflation as during the war. Argues high taxes, by preventing ac¬ cumulation of individual savings and by reducing volume of risk Washington observer gives views PALYI . business -of Thomas B. McCabe and M. S. Copy Sense? Or Lack of Louis University St. a U. M. T.: Show Inflation Deterrent on By HERBERT M. Price 30 Cents York, N. Y., Thursday, April 1, 1948 New Number 4686 167 of cians.H/ A n d. what did it ac- Of v complish?. course, . v Herbert Brattei M. * member of of the System last week Governors of Board the a / , Federal Reserve got around to asking the nominee questions directly related to the work of the Board. And this week Senator Tobey, in pursuit of finally objective of ascertain- his declared high taxes will have; an Reactions in a number of markets and in anti-inflationary effect under allcircumstances at all times. Some business to such reasoning as this during that that insist this time even tc Others are no of tax reduction. talk to lower government expenditures which would nat¬ urally facilitate the -lowering of unwilling "(Continued on page 31) PICTORIAL * appear to grow from several One of them doubtless is recollection of the roots. upswing the Greek and (Continued , on page 30) ' 'I - , • " Dr. MileUor Paly! resistance, without Allied air attacks on German communi¬ cidal cations and industries, and with¬ Russia, the final out lend-lease to might have been differ¬ as it may; the fact is that such a flawless military machine of some four to five mil- outcome that Be continued on page ->C,: 32) Slate and - Chicago. t.' j.. Municipal •** ' - ■■■# Yugoslav sui-. activity which followed our defense program in our assumption of the role of the "arsenal to democracy" in that and the following year. President Roose¬ velt and his New Deal followers had been vainly trying to in'V H to due 1941 in economic and lost the summer of ent. sort six the Havana r •/, Conclusions of this - for INSERT IBA, the of two have been marked. 1940 pictures. taken at 12th Annual Conference of the Central States Group the past week or T (Continued on page 42) See branches of some out ; weeks Lithographing Co. R. H. Johnson & Co. : V •, Established ; 1927 INVESTMENT SECURITIES * Bond Department Hirsch & Co. Members New Stock Exchange '; York 4, N. Y. Troy . NEW London Cleveland Geneva Woonsocket Scranton >V Bond Dept. Teletype: Washington, D. C. 52 WILLIAM ST.. N, Y. NY 1-708 For Banks, (Orlando, Fla.) Due Mar. 1, 1958 plus Accrued Interest Convertible into 333 shares common stock per bond Copies of Offering Circular on request Gordon Graves & Co. ,-v Montreal • * ; OF Toronto THE f : CITY OF NEW YORK Brokers and Dealers Street, New York 4, N. Y. Tel. WHitehtll 3-2S40 Tele. NY 1-809 New Public Service Co. BONDS & STOCKS Distributors of Municipal and Corporate ; Domimon Securities SUTRO BROS. & CO. Est. Members New York 1899 CLEVELAND Chicayo D«"v«r Columbus Toledo- Buffalo New York Cincinnati 120 , > GRPORATIOTI 1896 Stock Exchange 40 : Exchange Place, New York 5, N.Y, Telephone REctor 2-7340 NY 1-702-3 ' „ ■ • / • Members New York Stock and \-v.Ill other Principal ' ■ s r * Boston Excharu Exchek^sir Broadway,.N..$$$$$$* worth 4-6000 Bell System Teletype '• ira haupt & CO. * Broadway, New York • - request upon ^ (Incorporated) Established '%.•••' ■ Analysis Bought—Sold—Quoted Securities OTIS & CO. . England securities Underwriters and INSTITUTIpNAL INVESTMENTS 30 Broad NATIONAL BANK HAnorer 2-0980 foreign ' $295,000 10-Year 1st Mort. Conv. 6% Bonds Dated Mar. 1, 1948 of . Bell Teletype NY 1-395 CANADIAN ' i . New York AMERICAN MACHINERY CORP. ■ \ (Eepresentative) ISSUE Price 100 Members Hew York Security Dealers Assn. ; Springfield Wilkes-Barre OF NEW YORK Syracuse Buffalo Albany Harrisburg THE CHASE ' • ' Chicago HART SMITH & CO. ' Teletype NY 1-210 HAnover 2-0600 THE NATIONAL CITY BANK PHILADELPHIA ^ BOSTON and other Exchanges 25 Broad St., New York New York 5 64 Wall Street, : .Teletype NY Enterprise 1820 Telephone: 2 (1418) THE \\ Pacific Gas & •''f Rights & Common, W. D. Debentures, W. Prospectus I. New York Hanseatic Corporation 7-5600 Teletype - NY When • I 1-583 accepted s." n e s Virginia Elec. & Power Deb. out that have caused to change me Z%s, 1963 Congress The events Request ' the McDonnell & To. the go, Commu¬ Act quately nist seizure, of many ol still protect does not workmen and especially the public generally against the abuse of mo¬ slovakia; nopolistic New York (3) is T S C. Tel. REctor 2-7815 E. Wilson ACTIVE MARKETS- March 17. strikes in The the industries n's a to Congress remind While m u the the — Sold — the went only part majority of the ; not and like them exer¬ politics, in / Aetna Standard Engineering American Time Corp. Artcraft Manufacturing wars Manufacturing Boston & Maine R.R. Clyde Porcelain Steel Electric Bd. & Share Stubs 7 General Aniline & Film "A" Hood Chemical International Detrola Kirby Lumber Newmarket Manufacturing action bi taken at" ended. V That •, 1 istence would tions, de¬ Distilling desire tilities peace the the the &TeeneaniCompan^ Members N. Y. Security Dealers Assn. 37 Wall St., N. Y. 5 Hanover 2-4850 Bell Teletypes—NY 1-1126 & 1127 of Bernard M. the world. bilization of power that so sufficient the military economic ^ United would become We have effective learned ordeals and trials. There is noth¬ ing automatic about it. Strengthen America It is against this background of the absence of peace that one must discuss the subject of Universal Military Training, which will af¬ fect so deeply the lives of our 1948. and the future. young men The ^Testimony by Mr. Baruch be¬ Armed. Services-Com¬ mission. Washington, D. C., March President has wisely A return considered versal to a the draft cannot Stock Exchange Noranda Mines New York Curb Exchange Brown Co. And other Minn. & Ont. ' Exchange Exchanges Placer with Paper Development 4 f NEW YORK 4, N. • - - Y. ■ CHICAGO DETROIT PITTSBURGH GENEVA, SWITZERLAND 5 : • Teletype NY 1*1227 Central States Elec. (Va.) Common , Detroit Int'l Bridge | Aspinook Corp. Hoving Corp. , „ I Frank C. Masterson & Co. . s - „ * - Established Members New 64 WALL ST. York : 1923 Curb Exchange NEW YORK 0 v Teletype NY 1-1140 HAnover 2-9470 Curb and Unlisted Military Training. What¬ the recent as itselfr— program of preparedness which, been adopted, would have Hitler from breaking loose. kept :;^Tc^a^:.Univers^.,Military. Train¬ ing Is past even more urgent. our measures fense always We Members New York Curb Exchange Chicago Stock Exchange waited war We Digby 4-3122 , New York 6 Teletype NY 1-1610 of national de¬ lagged behind to be the shown. Federal Water had been unloosed sufficiently convinced v:y y,: -.y act. y 39 Broadway In the were we to & Gas Must Prevent War Today the necessity is to keep from starting. So terrible are Southern Production war it destructive is potentialities instrumentalities of of war, longer no good enough to an aggressor after he has begun a war. Preveting/war re¬ quires buttressing our national se¬ curity before the crisis is upon us. (Continued on page 35) I; : punish of INDIA, LIMITED Bankers to the Government in Kenya Colony and Uganda Head Office: 26, Troster, Currie & Summers Members . New York Security Dealers ■■ if. i Ass'i} Teletype—NY 1-376-377-378 ^ . Branches In India, Goodbody & Co. 6, N.Y. 1-672 Burma, and Aden Subscribed Capital Paid-Up Capital Reserve Fund The Bank and Ceylon, and Equity Oil Kenya Zanzibar _£4,000,000 £2.000.000 £2,300,000 every description exchange business Trusteeships and Executorships . ' Utah Southern Oil < conducts banking Empire State Oil- Bishopsgate, London, E. C. Teletype NY Joseph McManus & Co. NATIONAL BANK Securities Department 'i a by had it British " part of before years war—not one '90 Members N. Y. Stock Exchange and Other Principal Exchanges 115 BROADWAY NEW YORK Telephone BArclay 7-0100 is not les¬ Universal Mili¬ American Gaumont-British Canadian Securities Securities they security favored but the be manpower tary Traning in the Scophony, Ltd. Department Exchange Bldg. the national our sened. Colony N. Y. Cotton WOrth 4-3113 Bell immediately the need permanent strengthening of modern is done to provide the armed United Kingdom 4% Rhodesian Selection Exchange Trade • Broadway, N. Y. ' have a re¬ substitute for Uni¬ We Maintain Active Market$ in U. 5. FUNDS for York Inc. forces must for y,; quested re-enactment of Selective Service. It should be approved. ever New of \* v Members Baltimore Stock Exchange page 30) , Not until H. Hentz & Co. Board • Mitchell & Company implement both selective draft need. hope that fore Senate Members aid Barucfa that making peace brings its own 29, vast obli¬ on hi-jacked and that the voice of America will speak of courage and hope, not of fear and disaster. While seeking to bring into ex- Established 1856 take throughout sent overseas is not meant immediately.. which so hos¬ and Nations Swasey to cessa- of o n r They are growing obligations, They require economic assistance. They require our spiritual leader¬ ship. They also require the mo¬ and of the be¬ mere conditions' been forced to our that the give life to the United Na¬ the American people have gations young men back home t i Telecoin Corp. Chicago to - too born of bring lief United Piece Dye Works U. S. Finishing com. & pfd. Taca Airways New Orleans Cotton once Financing Pfd. <§>- shooting ?•; the * Time, Inc. Exchange, on taken immediate¬ ly after the was Taylor Wharton Iron & Steel Pacific Telecoin Cotton (Continued . & no mobilization Northern New England Punta Alegre Sugar York Com. and Will be advanced peace. The United Nations was established to keep a peace which does therefore has not been able to function effectively. We now face the neces¬ sity of retracing at least partly those steps of scuttle-and-run which were hurried . New American National for perpetuating this present un¬ restricted power. In this, unions may be joined by individual em¬ ployers : and group of employers who think it is to their own; self-' War I Coal, Com. & Pfd. Interstate Hosiery v May, McEwen & Kaiser reasons, on their military training as well as industrial mobilization. Cites errors in unpreparedness of fully armed and prepare 1 so free peoples of world will ally themselves with training as mentally and physic illy helpful to trainees, and as creating better under¬ standing of democracy by all segments of society. ■ Commodity ;o they past and says we must be us. Sees military There is < MobilizaiioxiINowSHi urges Carborundum Co. - By BERNARD M. BARUCH* Chairman, War Industries Board, World branch offices our not exist and Baltimore Porcelain Steel Title Guaranty & Trust United Artists Theatre y Elk Horn unions 120 Many plausible them of in¬ to not face, have government and industrial La.-Birmingham, Ala. Kingan & Co., Com. & Pfd. cre¬ 1 expressions. some point where free society. finance present do lar a in dictatorship " ., NY 1-1557 the monopoly give them up easily.. They deliberately attempt* to con¬ fuse the real issues by using catc'r phrases like "repressive legisla¬ tion," "slave labor law," and simi¬ They do of a Direct wires monopo¬ lies threat¬ power \ through that New Orleans, not security Americans do not like monopo¬ lies or dictators of any kind. V DIgby 4-2370 (XctualTWarkeU Qu Warner & in form in¬ Exchange St., New York 4, N. Y. loss of the nation. Those who think have vested interests in .- Have Full and universal Merchants evidenced liberty power Members New York Stock 25 Broad the most powerful monopolies have ever existed. They threaten the economic Quoted Elder statesman of two world v taken, this to develop to ens Commerce, Warren, Ohio, March 1948. 1 W ' Teletype NY 1-1943 Bates as power not are 23, of Steiner, Rouse & Co, that the supreme power of government and, if sound corrective measures *An address by Mr. Wilson be¬ fore the Warren Chamber of SIEGEL & CO. Broadway, N. Y. 0 Bough t—5 old—Q uoted are through industry-wide bar¬ gaining has already challenged , Bought such power it will destroy our REALESTATE individual cised \o n that me union currently being the coal industry. Monopoly union monopoly union packing and coal Taft-Hartley Act way. r President speech '-./tv : . STOCKS & BONDS \ Ameri¬ instinctively fear the abuse them¬ Czecho¬ BROADWAY, NEW YORK cans selves York Stock Exchange Curb Exchange like them in labor either. ade¬ New Members 30 circumstances, majority of or any country clearly ates. favor its provisions as far as they The coal packing indus tries; (2) 120 Louisiana Securities . HAnover 2-0700 dustry, and it is becoming creasingly clear that they ao real progress and the the people in the and . worked possible the problems the Act might have solved are still unfinished busi¬ ness. While the Act represents mind are: (1)The strikes in on courageously best compromise the under the my Bought—Sold—Quoted Prospectus Alabama & invitation to. be your finished Busi- Conv. , your speaker this evening I had in mind talking about the automobile industry, its problems and its responsibilities. Recent events have caused me to change my mind, and I am going to speak this evening on the subv ject of "Un-<j> Broadway, New York 5 BArclay - . President of General Motors monopoly power obtained through nationwide bargaining, and attacks attempts of labor organizations to control industries by extending scope of collective bargaining to include managerial function, as well as provisions for pensions, insurance and welfare work. Urges scope of collective bargaining be defined by law, and condemns Communist seizure of Czechoslovakia as indicating increasing threat to free peoples. BOUGHT—SOLD—QUOTED 120 Thursday, April 1, 1948 Leading industrialist points out nation's "unfinished business" is indicated in shortcomings of ths TaftHartley Act and Communist seizure of Czechoslovakia. Scores trade union request on CHRONICLE , ; & Power & FINANCIAL By C. E. WILSON* J Virginia Electric Rights & Unfinished Business' i i Electric ■ COMMERCIAL -also undertaken ;||!| James M. Toolan & Co. of 67 Wall Street, New York 5, N.Y. Tel. HAnover 2-9335 | Bell Tele. NY 1-2630 THE COMMERCIAL Number 4686 16T Volume I N D E Articles , U. Ml T.: Show of Force —Melchior F^ly i —.---V* - ~ —William F. Hauhart McCabe and Szymc&ak —Herbert M. News - - -- - - <So ver Inflation Deterrent Credit Control : ... :.t^r _l___Cover Br alter "Unfinished Business'— C. E. Baruch__ll Have Full Mobilization Now!—Bernard M. Prices After Two Wars—Jules Backman (1419) B. S. by Ihw, custom and usage long before statutory creation of SECl Development of new doctrines by SEC criticized. This is a legislative function: and not within the ambit of administrative powers. First Hughes case dis¬ cussed in the light of its doctrine. Dealers act at their peril! No ___ on CHRONICLE1 2 ;r 2 V 3 TcnsTEin Practices in securities industry well defined' ' --—----- as an FINANCIAL . The Reach lor Power Page Lack of Sense? or High Taxes No Longer Serve , and & AND COMPANY APRIL FOOL'S DAY uniform definition of reasonable relation to market price has been The scheme is another cog in SEC eff orts at price control. Maybe we'll fool reached. by making you good bid. a _ Sobering Realities Regarding Tax Burdens ly addressed a meeting of the Stock Brokers' Associates of Chicago, choosing as his topic "The SEC and* the Broker- 4 —Edmond E. Lincoln.* Who Killed Cock Robin?—Theodore Prince,— 6 Golds and Our Managed Currency—Thomas I. Parkmson____ 6 Dealer."" Why the Ruhr Is Lagging—Joachim Joesten__ 7 Trends 8 of his remarks, Mr.. Loss said: "What I shall try to do today, therefore, is to- trace briefly the history of the several doctrines which the Commission Affectihg Real Estate Values—William A, Marcus— What Happens When Stalin Wisdom for 8 Dies?—Henry J. Taylor Bull Market—Herbert G. King_,_^;,_, a Railroads Tendencies—A. W. Zelomek 15 Factor in More Production—Gustav Metzman,. as 16 ! What Should Be Done About Russia—H. Food 19 Murray-Jacoby^i,, 20 Reducing Bank Bond Holdings-Effective Debt Management —Morris M. To wnsfcuet # The Reach for Power James A. '** ■ ; >/!' ~ ■ / , _ *.'.'.V. 14 lnternationai u. Tt'aue Chilean Debt Plan 17,- organization Sets Up Charter..,,,,,— Economists' National Committee Recommends Enactment on 19 Monetary Policy Buffet Bill of 14 17 Taxes^ved) "_i_ __ We Must End "Creeping Munich," Says Hovde 21 22 Guaranty Trust €<h Sees Serious Shortage of Venture Capital 22' World Bank Grants $16 Million Loan to Chile, NAPA Survey Committee Reports High With 24 Production, but _i_l,-,L' 24 Declines More Pronounced understood. Our idea of the function of the SEC is that of and not of creator of terpretation, laws for not new laws whether or new usages. . j — Regular Features __-Cover —— 14 Bank and Insurance Business Man's Bookshelf, —,, 20 20 Canadian^ 1 7- Dealer-Bboker Investment Recommendations Lea Fabrics customer at a Einzig—A Western- European Currency Union?,18 From Washington- Ahead of the News—Carlisle Bargerpn,,- ; t • Indications of Business Activity,,, ^ -V- ^ — NSTA Nottes.,.,^—~ —-L.-—■,1^; News About Banks and Bankers; l.,—,——Zo Our Reporter's I Governments,*— Prospective Security Offerings,L Our Reporter Public Report, —5 —-47 _ _ , , , _ , 25 ,,,.'-46' on Utility Securities,_T__ 26 ——— Railroad Securities : lo- --—-—- - Securities Salesman's Corner,— — Securities Now in* Registration-., lw. r-~ The State of Trade and Industry current market in all cases." 5 Bank $25 00 Reg. U. S. Patent Office WILLIAM B. 25 Par^ DANA COMPANY, Publishers HERBERT D. 9576 f ; issue) statistical records, •tate RIGGS, Thursday ▼ertising plete D. (general and and v every news, city news, Offices: Chicago bank clearings, second-class post the E. C., Eng* Subscription* in United". Territories at of Pan-Amgrican Union, $35.00 New ; WHitehall St., New York 4, N. Y. 3-0272—Teletype NY 1.956 are made by dealers at their peril. This is the :, : f V . : funds. : < Neither the doctrine of the first i "5% BOUGHT —- SOLD — QUOTED > FIRST COLONY '■\f: }In one sense,Mr. Loss is correct that the doctrine— particularly when coupled with ; the "5 % spread philosophy" of the NASD—has nothing to do with limiting profits. / Corporation ; v:5 * newly created doctrine of which the SEC I ' f- . boasts, District Theatres : * .Hughes case nor the CORPORATION 52 Wall St. New York 5^ Tel. HA 2-8080 N. Y. Tele. NY 1-2425 spread philosophy'takes; into account the operating costs and expenses fiats in a of dealer-brokers. These of price control which program but arbitrary have decried are we constantly and against which wie have inveighed editorially; Although Mr. Loss speaks of the "5% yardstick" brain-child of the Commission. ifi .' , . . V ■ - as an ' ! LAMBORN&CO.,Inc. 99 - " ' * - I * ' point of our STREET NEW YORK 5, N. Y. ; We believe there is sound background for WALL * ' « When oral arguments took place before the SEC, on the subject of whether or not the "5% yardstick" was a rule of the NASD and should, therefore," have been submitted to 10$ SUGAR Raw—Refined—Liquid r NASD membership, for approval, counsel for a group of security dealers from many states: in the Union hurled a challenge at the members of the Commission who were sit¬ Exports—Imports—Futures DIgby 4-2727 ting in judgment at the hearing. on f>age 29)* COMPANY: We are interested in offerings of » „ . The Public National Etanls Mtge. Guar. Co. S. of year; & Trust High Grade Public Utility and Industrial Lawyers Mortgage Co. '• PREFERRED STOCKS ^ Company of New York « Lawyers Title & Guar. Co. V N. Y. Title & Mtge. Co. Prudence Co. 7: Members TT. fluctuations in In 15 Broad New •York- Stock St., N.Y. 5 Bell Teletype New 25 Broa<I Tel.: York Stock Exchange Street, New York 4 HAnover T-2033 Members New York Tel.: FINanclal 2330 Teletype—NY 1-5 Albany - Boston - Glens Falls Curb Exchange 135 S. La Salle St., Chicago 3 2-4300 Exchange WHifehall 4-6330 NY Spencer Trask & Co. Members March Members per the remittances for for¬ Newburger, Loeb & Co. States, and York Members N. Y. Security Dealers Assn.. 25 Broad Analysis available Subscription Rates Possessions. New Bond & ' matter Febru¬ office Act of CERTIFICATES . as in TITLE : ■ 25, 1942, at the N. Y., under I. 1879. 7 account exchange, DUNNE & CO. : quotation Copyright 1948 by William B. Dana Company ...■'' Reentered of made /*,, land, c/o Edwards & Smith. York„ Earnings Record — Monthly, (Fdreign postage extra.) Note—On rate Record—Monthly, (Foreign, postage extra.) eign subscriptions, and advertisements must etc.). ary * year. per ;• j; h What a disgusting mess! The securities industry is being told, in effect, that sales made in the over-the-counter market (Continued and ad* Monday (com¬ London, per... year. £42.00 per year, Quotation year. per Monthly be 135 S. La Salle St., (Telephone: State 0613).; 3, HI. Drapers' Gardens/ and Sugar Warren Brothers "C" Manager news issue.—■ market corporation Othey Business Thursday, April 1, J94S Every i $25.00 the SEIKERT, Editor & Publisher JVlLllAM DANA SEIBERT, President WILLIAM : Place, Mew Yorkv REctor 2-9570 to $38.00, Canada, 1/ 4 Other. Publications CHRONICLE FINANCIAL i of Dominion Other Countries, COMMERCIAL and ! NASD product, we choose to regard it as an SEC baby, the — Twice Weekly Pablished many great cases, Hughes casd left a number of questions unanswered." question which in the nature-of things was Left unanswered in the first Hughes case — and-which the Commission, I would guess, is not likely to attempt to answer —is precisely what spread is reasonable in relation to the view.' '" _ a 44 Says).—38 Washington and You,,,—•—-.,,',^,-4.-.,48 ; that; theory. But, like Alegre Sugar Susquehanna Mills U. Si 22 Tomorrow's Markets (Walter Whyte The Punta i price actually obtained criminal convictions of dealers in cases on\ Teletype N. Y. 1-714 regulator Mr. Loss takes the attitude that this doctrine has nothing to do with limiting the amount of the dealer's profit. The logic of that claim is hard to follow. \'' 8 May,—, Bell System * a t 2-4500—120. Broadway "Another — Wilfred REctor X- the first Observations—-A, Established .1908 Members N. Y. Security Dealers Assn. reasonably related to the current market price. United Nation* Body Reports on 1947 Exchange Exhaustion, Mutual' Funds J.K.Rice,Jr.&Co. by rule, judicial in¬ , dealer to sell securities to a numberKof Coming Events in the Investment FieldL,, Haile Mines .1. X Among other matters, Mr. Loss discussed the, first Hughes- case holding it to be a fraud under the securities Junior Investment Bankers and Brokers Assn. Report Results of(Industry Questionnaire__,,,-i,^,w-~—26 27 American Overseas Airlines ... have 24 $48 Million in February,——, 35 Frederick D. Gearft&rfc Jr;, Appointed Director of Lear, Inc., 40 I . , Finishing; Com. & Pfd. Southern Production Co. , Irish Free State Fond*■ Drawn for Redemption,—j _ N. Y. Mutual' Savings Bank Report Deposits Gain of ■ there was, and continues to be, a well defined body of law, custom and usage.ip the securities industry, in connection, with brokerdealer and customer relationship*, whether that relationship be on the basis of acting as principal or as agent. : "! The laws dealing with fraud were fixed' and clearly f He said "The first Hughes case was a milestone in brokerdealer law, and the doctrine is now so well settled that we As We See It (Editorial) U. S. Act which Nal'l Industrial Conf. Board Reports "Further Clouding"" ;, t; *\ 1 of Foreign Trade Outlook by New Export Controls, 24 — Dorset Fabrics (w.d.) developed with reference to the duties of the broker- 14 New York Stock and Curb Exchange Employees Strike Max Winkler Opp.oses 3 — Treanor, Jr., Quits SEC Post.— Profile*-and 23 ■;^ (Editorial)A Chase Bank Opens Third Branch in Germany,, .: , Supply and Food Prices—Howard T. Cumming—____ 21 4-6551 compass Long before the passage of > the Securities created the Securities and Exchange Commission, Requirements for National Security—Arthur M. Hill_—17 The Budget of the United States~-James E. Webb--,,-,,-:—-. Telephone: WHitehall dealer and summarize their present status." > We strongly resent the advent of the Commission in the role of doctrinaire. ".■^ : ; 15 . STREET, NEW YORK * 4 Outlining the * has 13 Steps Toward Easing European Intra-Continental Exchange —Ernest H. Weinwurm__j_ Economic '■ Obsolete Securities Dept. 99 WALL , - ? 4'_ Sfehenectady • - Worcester C. E. on request Unterberg & Co. Members N. Y. Security Dealers 61 Broadway, New York Ass'n' 6, N. Yr. Telephone BOwling Green 9-3565 Teletype NY 1-1666 ' r , I & THE COMMERCIAL (1420) CHRONICLE FINANCIAL Prices After Two Wars Sobering Realities Regarding Tax Burdens f By JULES BACKMAN* r V York University Associate Professor of Economics, New Thursday, April 1, 1948 After explaining background does indicate not of postwar price rises, Dr. Backroan contends recent decline in food prices inflationary pressures hare been eliminated. Points out differences in price basic By EDMOND E. LINCOLN Dr. Lincoln with those following World War I, and contends government and not businessmen responsible for high prices. Sees little possibility of impending break in general level of prices. conditions are at present f n % v t a n t o r, 1 e u — y , ' dealt have higher prices. In ^discussions of ments income from has been > woeful of Two events recent prices above illus- esting pressure was of this in living costs has been to the rise in food prices. due two-thirds About ing the significance of the decline in farm and food prices since the the cost of steel,-' January peaks. It must a the price level without • much emphasis being given to the im¬ rise since last June. mediately preceding rapid rise in 'hese prices to the reversal of or forces the causing that earlier Today, I would like to rise. paint the backdrop against which price changes must be evaluated. Recent Changes in Prices The rise in the of three war be divided into phases. First, there was the sharp rise attending the modifica¬ tion and then OPA 1946. The official price index rose in sumers' the termination about 15% in 1946 with most of the rise taking place in the latter part of the year. a This period of was followed by relative for most improved outlook grain crops, the of the price I refer to the for our own reported im¬ and the development of a larger grain export surplus in Argentina and Australia than had been antici¬ provement in European crops, last Fall fell the amount in resulted in - a further rise j (1) The sharp reduction in domestic corn crop. Until a of grairi been hoped that the corn total three billion' would bushels. crop However, the deteriorated harvest els. was rap¬ final This lost 600 million bushels crucial a newed was crop the and onlv 2.4 billion bush¬ was price factor rise in after the re¬ June. It particularly important because of namely: the - second factor, ; (2) The Europe. *An grain crop failure in This development led to address before the by Dr. Backman Citv Club, Cleveland, O., March 27, 1948. ever the price level outruns these been picture has food accompa¬ nied by a sharp decline in those prices. Depending upon the in¬ dex wholesale used, prices middle of January to the middle made more postwar experiences. that can be which helped to contribute to the rise in prices from i June, 1947, to .. On-the contrary, additional. wage have increases taken place in some industries and widespread demands for still higher wages by many unions. are Similarly,' although there moderate reversal of has the large wartime Federal budgetary deficits which represent the basic price in¬ budgetary surpluses inflationary Grinnell Corporation Portsmouth Steel : Carey (Philip) Mfg. 'Prospectus on - Quoted M+mhcrs N. Y. Stock Exchange and Other Principal Exchanges incomes same :i As of the Federal, ments state estates. or present time, local and our govern¬ extraordinary many estimated national income the method of calcu¬ on In such roads, schools, supply, etc. Also, as water wages and salaries of Civil Serv¬ ice -employees have almost doubled over the past 10 years. Looking back find we that 105 West Adams Si. Chicaro Teletype NY 1-672 of periods Second World It is past fact a for the as high the^e previous periods, and postwar prices showed war wholesale the following advances: *7 in 1811 7 1814). to 154.6 in 1929-1930, War 1 — ' < (from . holding state and to (from 1939 January1948). Each of the three earlier ad¬ followed by very sharp By 1816 the wholesale price level was lower than it had vances was declines. been in 1811.: 104.9). 7 Estimated 1929-1930 132 the 1865 in to 97.7 to index by 84 about the Ratio when Total of de¬ aver¬ 70's. v;::'-vV'-1 "■ '■',s r the peak Canada .7 • —- United Kingdom——- few May 1920 .7 - —-w.*--- —— ——--4 or more 17 communist ; and totalitarian 18 years ago were or at 22% the of Germany, national little a income; than more all are these 21%; countries now? Bankrupt or totalitarian! For long years experts and writers on public finance, based the historical records, have as¬ on that endure nation no and be free, with taxes of the national could long and prosperous high as income. 25%. as Further, * 12.7 13.3 7 16.4 18.8 reasonable What .^7 21.2 Uruguay 16.0 .. .7^. 18.0 .. ,77714.5 —— 25.0 19.5 20.0 .. - . Finland .-714.1 More than 21/fe .*: years have ,7 16.0 Ipt elapsed since VJ-Day, and prices, 'Cuba 25.6 with some exceptions, are still 11.4 at) Porto Rico postwar peak levels. A peak level/ Hungary 17.0 of this duration is in sharp con7 Union of South Africa—. 22.1 trast to the experience after the Roumanian————— ..12.7 earlier wars. Prices declined soon Yugoslavia .77 12.7 ; the America, unless our to point a 1 we hap- course, United taxes and States of cut our soon public expenditures where the over-all "take" will be not more than 15% -20% of the national income pro¬ duced in years of normally good, but not "inflated," business tivity? 77v It is that a 18.2 .. extended pe¬ will, in due to en ,— an headed for trouble. '- 22.0 .. over riod; and any country with a ratio exceeding 20% seemed definitely ..13.4 — reached, to Irish Free State prices Austria During Chile r.ithe 20's they remained at a level Czechoslovakia prewar. Ail > ..716.8 .. Belgium Spain j — Sweden France backward more ratio exceeding 15% was for¬ .77721.9 C7 merly considered too high to be ~ - the of levied taxes up to 25%l on their national income, 7 any Norway- the r * of 20.7 wholesale above A our '::7r»7' countries Where 11.0% 17- — Argentina scarcely 11%, one-third next, at 27.5%. Other very im¬ portant high-tax countries some: New Zealand;,...^..*-*, ..17.8 Netherlands was than more was 11.6 cut almost in half. about 40% little present ratio. sumed - just before was 1922, States the ratio or countries. same time, in the United same present United States rate! Greece to Income Country— Germany I—From the The % of Taxes United States—... the \, War January were Taxes b;Kinds to Estimated National" ;7' Income Produced above Civil War. World had early 33% prevailing peak of 1868 and in At world than 15% national income more state of Russia headed the list at about 29%, or slightly under the v ... Denmark was a estimated 50 lead¬ the of the World: and Great Britain, just under 21%. Countries Australia; (1816—103.5; 1811— Switzerland Civil War—There col¬ stubbornly, while government taxes up local 1 World War II—115% the taxes as i.e., for fiscal 1947 close to $45,000,000,000, as com¬ pared with around $11,000,000,000. are the weighted by all gov¬ some of produced by those our four governments, Leading 145.5% 1920). about amount . the countries France, War—116%; (60.9 in 1861 to 132 in 1865). • World Now, lected by all of our state and local Civil 1914 to May did as I 7 Federal tax rates and collections War of 1812—About 50%" (104.9, 1926=100, much of peace, y.ear times were as Government is collecting Federal fol¬ three of which lowed state and our Government. third by very sharp price de¬ clines: The War of 1812, the Civil War and World War I. During peaks, the governments ^ collected :: in Federal our War, before - few short years,the prosperous a in ernmental bodies in . . , normal need for improvements and fa¬ new cilities, pop¬ during the present decade, and the resultant are an 1 ac¬ .. ; 7v not commonly understood very mild and to-be-ex¬ pected decline of 15% in indus¬ .———. trial production, and of .. — in our only 15% price level, which has more .. — — .. after the 1812 and reached ending the their World had War War of and Japan (Proper).—— Costa Rica months Greece Poland 18 the 31st Armistice month in No¬ vember — Algeria Colombia completed. Egypt Russia never has been slow a or gradual decline from these strato¬ spheric heights. Only time will if we are this time. to ;, reverse 7. history • „, 17.8 ——i.— .. 7:23.8 ..'17.5 15.8 .. —i 23.7 .. — . 14.7 .. -716.4 Salvador" Brazil 17.9 - -7 Philippine Islands Mexico — Guatemala 1 8.0 26.5 „ 15.3 - — Bolivia Consumers' prices showed sim¬ trends although the magni¬ , 15.7 - ilar tude of the 20.5 .. .. —— Moreover, these earlier postwar Peru Portugal were; quite precipitous. We cannot ignore the fact that Bulgaria 16.4 .. .. — (U.S.S.R.)— -77- declines 27.5 - — —— 1918, a major part of the postwar price deflation had been there ..722.4 —-———--.I—-. Venezuela 16.7 .. — By the time peak War I. the the of Civil reached following Request Goodbody & Co. of chart of prices going back shows four very high a tell 115 Broadway. New York IVUfflMMt, BAtcIapr 7-0100 the in Texas Eastern Trans * Sold the foregoing because of the ulation growth points resulting from state taxes I sewers, on taxes Tenn. Gas & Electric - Bought : 1800 to favorable. Moreover, there has been no re¬ versal of the wage increases Ame'ican Hardware taxed are there is in many cases local level of corporate addition of several percentage taxes around twice examination an crops. knbw the size of creases, such an all of around was cause top rates 77%; $50,000 Many attempts to appraise the ouUook for prices have centered This a To lation). Past Postwar Periods do not been 38%. is over amounted to little kreep in mind that there credits somewhat 82 January, 1948. before inflation is still with aged or collecting taxes at the following rates on the higher brackets: Individual incomes, a r o u n d<£ 86¥j% beginning at $200,000 (and are bound to increase rapidly for 50.35% at only $18,000); the top the next' few * years,v because of Federal tax bracket on net estates shifts in population as well as ing us. all our "produced" in 1947 ($185,000,000,000 to $200,000,000,000 depending I am not at¬ . from states have not yet imposed personal income Yet for the third year of peace,.our Federal Government alone taxes. period clined we still the 1948 free now average taxes collected mean to In evaluating the significance of'This decline it is important to reversed even of the we Detroit Harvester it does are forecast ; the imme¬ diate outlook for prices. I am emphasizing that the underlying after . Nor estates collecting around $56,000,000,000 annually in taxes of all kinds, or roughly close to 30% of foods fell from 7 to 15% from the have thus far been very moderate Art Metal Construction forces. tempting on This reversal in the year ago. June, Tftie recent developments it had idly our infla¬ pressure does not mean prices cannot decline-when¬ stratospheric levels. the farm is reported to be larger than and stability in of February, Since the middle of prices in the first half February these prices have been Many students of prices relatively stable. Up until the were in agreement that the price middle of' February retail food level then prevailing reflected prices declined about 2 ¥2% with adequately the? underlying infla¬ only moderate changes since that tion and that the immediate post¬ time. Largely as a result of this war peak nrobably had been decline in food prices, the official reached. Then, in the Summer consumers' price index turned of 1947, there were three events down 1.3 in February. V ^ living costs to new high levels January of 1948. I refer to: j this of add that basic expectations below consumers' in to that prices must move up to new of 1947. which hasten me existence the a accounted of con¬ Let in food and farm pated earlier. In addition, the quantity of grain fed to livestock ; prices since the end may large extent, this decline prices reflected reversal of the factors which To Several of and is at inflationary pressures have eliminated or significantly incomes ;7 7;.'* , February decline in grain prices widely heralded as the be¬ ginning of a postwar collapse in was taxation. small basic tionary background Many free1 our enterprise system. net incomes that , 4 underlying the recent price modified. which be kept in mind in apprais¬ this is bracket well below 50% must be adopted to maintain : declines does not indicate that the been than 25% prevailing under as inflationary even though steel prices previously had risen sub¬ stantially less than had other prices and even though the rise in question added less than 1% to Similiarly, the forces more level rise denounced was create and the OPA. A trat'ons. rise in steel however, inter¬ furnish consequent net increase in total deposits and money in circula¬ tion. * Thus, an appraisel of the prices from 157 in June, 1947, to 168.7 in January, 1948—a rise of about llk%. The January level, perspec- tive. Jules Backtnan a lack : has been an expansion in bank credit for business loans with the budgetary surplus, however, there upon .$200 to $159 billion, and points out in depression or expenditures tend to increase. Holds top tax government , higher prices. This was particularly important for railroads, coal and steel since increases in those other adversity, m the entire price structure. ; .• The impact of these forces raised, the level' of consumers' there „ 1 contrast to the accumulated ! deficits. .As against the decline in inflationary pressure due to this the " 77 greater demand upon our reduced supplies. (3) The second round wage increases which inevitably meant prices act and interact one upon these develop- > " ~7~ 7 ~ ■ a most of the headlines 7 until recently 7 with ' : high portion of national income consumed by ' to low living standards of many Foresees possibility of drop in U. S. national eventually lead U. S. European nations. continuously since the end of the war., Higher living costs, higher steel prices, gray market prices for automobiles, rising building prices, collapsing grain prices—these and many other headlines have becoihe familiar to all of us. Prices have been front page news 7 will taxes warns Ecuador British 19.0 — India — _. - . / 20.0 17.0 rise, and in turn the (Continued on page 28) . than 15.4% since 1940, would probably lead to a 25%-30% drop in our national income produced. We all for should, in fact, in the light of past experience, be prepared a much sharper drop within the next few years, on our present monetary standard. At any rate, it would not be surprising to see our present na¬ tional income (according to recent computations) drop "adjusted" from a current level approaching $200,000,000,000 per annum to a some place between $125,000,000.000 and $150,000,000,000. level Even the decline income extreme would at higher than our history. It low leave point a any of such fully 25% pre-war year . . a national our in • • should further be noted that, in times of depression or advers- ity, Average of 48 Countries doubled public expenditures, (Continued on page . under 26) . Volume 167 Number 4686 THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (1421) 5 (r Steel 1 Production Electric Output - New York . Ciiy Office Carloadingt of Trade * ' . r' Industry i Failuree , ! ' .. ' • / Speedy settlement last week and imposed in . 1 situation remain 1 -■ :■■■■■■- restrictions unaltered the railroad on fuel. conserve \ ■ of the bituminous coal strike further order to •- '7, ~ t""Justifiably - ; , cations. current week appeared remote electorates. * /• V Th? total effects stemming from the action of the soft coal miners ^eayinS the pits may prove to be si very grave blow to our national - 7 According to the falling under the the mine tieup continue for oossibiiity ingot output may economy. tions *. magazine "Steel,'*'"steelmaking bperaimpact of the coal strike, and should are another two weeks there is a distinct week ■ • In terms of of the strike the week S. Bureau Mines as a in 20, 1948 dropped to 4,360,000 tons from the previous week, or a decline of about 67%. > in 'v"7>7 interest * ' '■ * y,'vy-,7 Y ;>7 ' 7V77/,: * " to a few ' ' .77 7'Y'' 7 •, the Council's doings 7 nificance/Hence to we tained, an qffke Sail in gerties, NV Y .. for sever y e a r s. | :BJU . Hunter has re cently beei Y 7777 acting as Vide Wellington Hunter / .* •' , 7-Y Pre Si den t i : ties Corporation;' McDonnell • o ' Aetna Securi7 7 7/; on ' x as Partner Peter Morgan & Co., 31 Nassau Street, New York City, announce that John R. McDonnell has been admitted as the firm. Mr. McDonnell has been general partner in a with the firm shall confine this discussion to the latter. many taxpayers was the action taken by Monday and the House on Wednesday of last 77The Legislative Set-up V'v y week in approving income tax reductions by margins sufficiently First let it be understood that, under the Employment Act of ./large to overcome the expected veto by President Truman. The 1946 the President himself (and not the Council) is charged with Present-W act on the measure before the deadline on April 5, submitting an economic report to the Congress within 60 days aftei SSr k1 % become a ;;law without his signature, the beginning of each regular session. This document, called "The lne beneiits that will accrue to the taxpayer by the measure becom- Economic Report," setting forth the levels and trend of employment jng a law will in turn result in an estimated loss of $4,800,000,000 production and purchasing power in relation to the stated goal ol in revenue tc the government. .;v full employment; a review of the relevant economic program of the ^fr?* taxation, w:ith the passing of March 15, government; and legislative recommendations; when submitted to vthe final day for fihng Federal income tax returns, it is found that Congress is immediately referred to its especially-established Joint the U. S. .Senate / 7 the govern¬ ,";,V May 42 issue; privately of Discussion of in the phase of ideology and economic theory—that is, the "substantive" content of its reports—could not possibly be con¬ fined to the maximum length of an article. Moreover the unique "procedural" phases of the Council-^-that is, its status and manner of functioning in the community—are harboring far greater sig¬ result reoorts that production Indicators" at Broadway and has main¬ / elite. ment A. Wilfred March ;777'.y77 Of great of "Economic y-k'j 777777 tonnage of bituminous coal losses the U. ended 13,314,000 tons 7 yY' total , announcement of its intention to drop below 60% of capacity.", For the beginning March 22, 1948, the scheduled operating Tate of steel companies having 94% of the steel-making capacity of the industry was 95.7% of capacity. / located is it \~y;' '•/.,<\71 *77 ■' 7 : There is constant evidence of. the almost unanimous confusion of our, public over this body's legal status and functioning. This of course has not been lessened by such current happenings as the Council's verdict pronounced on the highly-controversial price adjustment by the steel industry, or by this week's reported strike steel producers many previously was reported that the body's economic pronouncements, voiced directly or through the President,. have recently been exercising the most marked effect oil European transportation. weTe coal abroad York City. The firm or From Broadway; New unjustifiably, clothed its activities* with far-reaching political and economic impli¬ 7 7J 7 i. Should the national be forced to shut down their mills. may . v ! setback to total output, however, was slight and many indus¬ to operate at a level moderately above that of a •• 50 not be may as continued ago. Econonfte Advisers Council of Truman's much spoofing as did the Frankfurter-generated Brains Trusts which operated under President Roosevelt, but its implicaT tions are far more important. Domestically its official status has, :Y .Labor-management disputes and difficulties encountered in ob¬ taining adequate supplies of some materials worked to hold down industrial production the past week. (Hunter & Co. BRAINS TRUSTING—1948 STYLE President an¬ New a York office for Auto Production inciting .year reopening of By A. WILFRED MAY Food Price Index Buelaees iVT tries the nounces Commodity Price Index I , and Wellington "Dukc" Hunter ^'Retail Trade . , head .of the trad¬ as ing department. New Ira ;., : 7 Haupt Phone 7 Ira Haupt & Co., Ill Broadway, City, members of the York New York New Stock that nounce the Exchange, an¬ telephone num¬ ber of their main office has been . 2k 9ure2 yl! 2s!?ess actlvlty an4 a record national income Committee on the Economic Report. /This Congressional Committee soared beyond $7,000,- jS cnarged with studying the various matters contained therein, with uOtbuOO^ an all-time record figure. The flow of income tax payments recommending the means of coordinating programs, and with guiding since March 15 accounted for the new v + «nn / II i peak. I''"''..••"I' * * the Congress. * \ v M Considerable rise in retail volume occurred in most sections of the country during the week as consumers rushed to complete their pre-Easter shopping. Total dollar volume in the II period ended on ;-'-H V Wednesday of lastjweek. was slightly above that of a year ago, with 71 unit volume fractionally under that of the corresponding week in 77 3947. Resistance to high prices and poor / '1 quality continued to be • / , • ' Strong.; ■ ',;'7 ''■V A - usual long- term commitments, The v this coal STRIKE strike steel 1 loss current of steel In the event John L. with rigid after his the 80 miners days ~ return to would come just about work Federal a the soon, - v;.?( of time the The end of the present the 80-day period officially pact to do steel, in consumers the third this year is only now sinking into the minds of those who had laid ambitious plans to turn their backlogs into / finished manufactured products.! Marshall Plan requirements, the probability of a record of the President's peacetime defense together program the and drum-beating by the oil industry for much needed large steel must it the NAM various at times : Francisco MAD! IN CANADIAN SECURITIES ' ^ Canadian Pacific the "Daily consultedv Lor^l are The / Imperial Oil, Ltd. International Petroleum HART SMITH & GO 7' 152 WILLIAM ST., N. Y. 5 HAnorer 2-MM , Bell Teletype NY 1-305 New York Montreal . Toronto or Political Implications r / the very great suspicion that the Council can : easily be used as a device to further political aims; as another means of milking the respectability of the economics profession to propagandize the electorate, and of supplying impressive windowdressing for political aims. 7 •7;/:/''"' .7/1' i facile Defenders of the Council's raison d'etre maintain that it fills the mechanism a Rwy. or whether perhaps the President and the expounding jointly-held theories. 7 ! moreover need for Stock < too > CALIF.— is notions, .1 There is coal be San y confusing the nation as to whether ^e President is merely transmitting fool-pioof facts from a group ,cjf scientific experts, whether the Council is functioning as a rationalizer alleged What the coal strike will scale Roosevelt , AMERICAN Freedom of Consultation Keynes, the warbling Tom Corcoran, Joseph P. Kennedy, John Lewis Hull, Sumner Welles, Isador Lubin,; Mayor Hague, B. M Baruch, etc., etc., etc., but the opinions and suggested policies which he uttered were as his own, standing on his own two feet of re¬ sponsibility. 7 : At the present time, on the other hand, the set-up of our n^w ' quarter of , and MARKETS Cordell of y users . President Cwontcle) Exchanges. vlt assuredly is beyond criticism for the President of the Unitec States to get economic information and opinions to whatever extent injunc- threat period required under; the agreement, the coal miners could long as their leader ordered them ends, thp magazine notes. , which non-striking Law there is no walk out again and stay out as to without government interference. 7 York recommending and developing national economic policies, with furnishing reports definitely requested by-the President, and with making a report to the President annually, y . Financim, joined the staff of Schwabacher & Co., 600 Mar¬ ket Street,;- members of the New nomic information, with appraising the Federal Government's; own programs and activities in the light of their employment-stimulatiop, President Always Has The to FRANCISCO, Robert Wilber has . Additionally the statute creates m the Executive Office of the Council of Economic Advisers" of three members ap¬ pointed by the President, and subject to confirmation by the Senate. These individuals are charged with assisting the President in the preparation of his above-cited Report, with gathering timely eco¬ Council Lewis should heed another strike still confronts the industry. have losses allocations certain. seem ;. and Taft-Hartley t additional government tion ' . along make / If ■■■ statutory Brains Trust similar to wartime controls :i ; If 7 :,fl President "a Worker." has will result from the strike 7/ 7 :■ year. The 7 . ; ■,!y, T"-1/" v/ 89.4% OF CAPACITY seriously crippled the steel industry and it is now doubtful that the industry will better last year's steel production of 85 million tons, states "The Iron Age," national metalworking weekly, in its current report on the steel industry. It had been hoped that close to 90 million tons would be produced ; , /--V'-• OUTPUT AT DUE TO COAL : . ^ and from whatever sources he wishes, STEEL - ;. (Special SAN with pre-holiday drop in new order volume reduced total wholesale volume moderately during the week, though dollar volume was very close to the high level of a year ago. Re-orders of Spring merchandise continued to be numerous. Buyers remained priceconscious and were hesitant in! regard to large orders and ■' Schwabacher Co. Adds . surplus of the government has • 7Y7'7V:7 f'; , changed to WQrth 4-6000. by which the various government authoritatively reviewed. ; ; actions and programs can be 77 No one should think of any economist as an objective individual issuing factual words of wisdom from an ivory tower. But economic thinking can at least be free from political coloration of its indi- ,77': 7 77777;'77-:' ^ - (Continued on page 37)77--- 7 >.7;' -Vl," (*K ■ ALBERT FRANK- GUENTHERLAW Incorporated 7 77 aU; be considered in coping with the problem of steel demand. ' , " 7: are In the face of all this, government officials in high places assuming that rigid controls over steel output and distribu-; 1 771777;; ' Time Inc. :-777''>7'..... ;y Zition are necessary, according to "The Iron Age." iI"-ijlrv.They figured that ERP could - time the fashion, but the President's be handled message on in normal peacedefense needs and coal strike, changed all that thinking. Some top privately expect strict government controls before the . ii ( At the present moment various defense for agencies steel year are heads is out. Dravo , ' . t \ , , ' ' also stepped in with the alloy steel 'The order bar *4 result of / . . ; • < '-* ... • P.' outlook. FREDERIC N. HATCH & CO- INC. , current vdlUhih/ the magazine • defense inquiries concludes, (Continued and has led on page 33) probable several 131 Cedar Street, New York 6 future large steel Boston Chicago * ~ . Bought—Sold—Quoted inquiries which will bring to a new Deliveries on this product were three to four weeks early this year, this trade authority points out, but promises today run from three to four months. tautness , ( Advertising Corp. American Maize Products Co. ■ r inquiring large quantities of steel products. These orders will mean less plates, pipe and bars for domestic steel fabricators. Aircraft makers have 7/7 7 , v members N. Established 1888 y. security 63 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y. dealers association Bell Teletype NY 1-S97 Philadelphia San Francisco 6 THE COMMERCIAL (1422) ' CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Thursday, April 1, 1948 Who Killed Cock ^RoWh% Jrftv Gold and Our By THEODORE PRINCE,,- L.LM.* -V -1- / President, The Equitable Life Assurance Society of Economist and Investment Counsel, pointing out decline in demand for equity securities m face of V heavy industrial capital requirements, lays much of blame for ibis condition to severe stock margin requirements of Federal Reserve Board. Holds margin restrictions, by reducing available equity capital lp business corporations, is an inflationary fforce. .va.V;-; ,• the begin- ning." i With the which we be¬ now which the business hrough equity capital./ It should ?e i m it. i n It s- may ability of our 412,000 .corporations to secure noted Industrial Capital Equities increased invest¬ equities for the capital these omist, Prince investment is for econ¬ counsel lawyer specializing in practices and taxes and circle an and corporate a financial figure for 30 years, and 20 head years Exchange (firm of the which was Stock bore; his, name.—Editor. - B & Boston & Maine Prior Preferred RR. of than the the particular Federal Street, Boston from secured a in 1938 these corpo¬ and dividends and' had of $20 billion. deficit a From 1939 through dividends paid were $42.7 aillion out of $88.9 billion earned, after taxes, leaving $46.2 billion surplus which has yet to meet the impact of inventory losses and as decline future of profits. inventory the $17 billion Thus, of of ^reported 1947 corporation less no than "profits" J5 billion in the "Cash/ and billion" cut were while ; Government down $19 by $10 billion was necessary "to carry inventories and accounts receivable." "The $11 billion growth in net working capital reflects primarily an ab¬ sorption of reinvested earnings V The growiing i need for is indicated by the funds tional Product at the Capital Product Ex Expenditures 90 1940.. / 1941.. 1942.. 160 : 1943.. 1944.. 211;,;.;, 1945.. 1947.. 0.2. The *17.0. > of 1946 to in 37% * the of case Auto-Lite; from and of ( bank Union aggregate million in 1946 1947. for arrange for for ^ phase to the $502 ' ' < , INVESTMENT SECURITIES V This 509 OLIVE STREET - ;V increase proceeding at pears There St.LouisLMo. Street, Boston / ' Members St. Louis Stock Telephone—- Xxchang* REctor 2-5035 billion in crease $7 billion $22 1939 which to American Air Filter Consider H. Willett NORTHWEST MINING For or of Murphy Chair Company Immediate Execution of Orders Quotes call TWX Sp-43 on Floor Exchange A.M., Pac. other hours. from Std. 10:45 Time: to 11:30 Sp-62 " Co. at .TV STANDARD SECURITIES ™i BANKERS BOND HE CORPORATION Members Standard of * Incorporated l»t Floor, Kentucky Home Life BIdg. LOUISVILLE 2, KENTUCKY Bell Tele. LS 186 Brokers - Stock Exchange Spokane Dealers - Underwriters Peyton Building, Spokane Branches at Kellogg, Idaho and Yakima, Wn. and ,itc Jhe Treasury'.6 bank balance. Wouldn't it be n'cc to buy be able to check a on a refrigerator bank your the and/write bank .ac¬ that you count? ■ This all. means //;///■/■,/// that the . *•' Treas¬ ury and has paid nothing for the gold, has a that lion the British Government bank deposit in banks. our for $100 mil¬ The most bonds. The ends in its ignominious burial instances 40^ investment in supply of public funds for investment in equities is also Fort prevailing high income double taxation i of dividends and the high cost of liv¬ ing. As a result of these circum¬ stances, plus financial policy ment in issues at we the every are selling than 3%, as times the vailed in a gap of difference to be be over farm on sent after what us suppose draws as on a that Great Brit¬ its bank account result of the sale gold. At this time, it would May, 1946. Again, (Continued on page 29) further a deposits of increase in approximately $400 million. This further money fact that $80 addition supply the results bank million of loans can excess for to quired to the use to reserves which it deposits for which new our -from/ the creates it is re¬ place with the Federal Reserve enjy approximately 20% legal reserve—the $80 million be¬ comes the legal reserves for an-,/; other $400 million. well-known Reserve The banking. net This ' "5-for-l" is the Federal of : • ^ ^ result is that the pur¬ chase of $100 million of gold has actually increased bank deposits. by $100 million and, at the same time, has supplied -the source of another million $400 increase of .in .our money supply. these bank deposits Ani all of / can the at option of the depositor be turned into Federal Reserve Bank notes. This is our managed aged currency! :; \" It is difficult for in gold to believe base for mis-man¬ or -./vi' ; ' as * who used one the soundest currency to .realize it that has been now no pre¬ ■ the 1 additional of paper deposit or money. And what makes this even more striking is the fact that it is not at all necessary that this great volume of paper money should result from our purchase of gold. We could purchase' that gold, if we wanted it badly enough, with¬ out >th:s incidental ih increase supply. money What do instead is, through we the manipulation of bookkeepers and the so-called managers of our economy, which bastard create have dollars with connection no existing business relations Or. ac- V tivity and which circulate through rency and reducing the purchas¬ ing value of our dollar. further all rise bemoan. in prices V Hence which " v a we 4; probable that the money go to pay for trucks .and machinery which would be out -of the country to Great three which in bank the country adulterating our cur¬ buried. more would to Perhaps at through, it deserves gone now of the con¬ trasted with the yield of 5.75% equities, has established artificially high prices, more it inflationary ain of the Govern¬ supporting government description no Knox. Let find that high grade bonds of yield result banking system, probably would and huge, jquantity money, to gold has not deDleted the Treasury's bank funds, and the curious transaction the the could reduced to the .point where it is $38 1947. taxes, and ar. have the refrigerator please restore its cost to your ac¬ 1947, and of this in¬ billion took place in limited by SECURITIES in reserves tificate—hb, not actually since bank of rose with and the most reliable security for future values count ap¬ high rate. life insurance companies and mu¬ tual savings banks is limited in SPOKANE, WASH. American Turf Ass'n in a million the with time. loans have developed we amount is added The large supply of capital from LOUISVILLE Varnish were loans future bank deposit./; "1 gold .certificate/is consequences some $100 circumstances depression should of that keeping entry to the effect thai or dismal bank a the' / "J of longer /money itself; it no longer backs -up that which we justify its issue— use for money; and worse than and thereupon, the Federal Re-; all this, in its progress from the serve -Bank restores the Treasury's foreign seller to its cemetery in deposit as it was before the gold Fort Knox, it has produced and purchase check was issued. The left to circulate a urgency is supplied a Federal even tc issue it, but just to make a book¬ • deposits is infla¬ new to the Treasury,.having paid by check for the gold, to issue, a gold cer¬ by expend¬ savings and 'is, therefore, not inflationary. Bor¬ rowing, however, for capital needs lead with extraordinary process under ar old act of Congress which permit? financing as against borrowing is that the latter when and if take hold at account ./ However, a ipublic can of purchased.'*•. To this point, the purchase of the 'gold is like any other exchange of a cprnmocrity $1,274 million 1 money $190 .million us with the Federal Reserve by th' issuance of'the check for the golc that v .from rose to ' sources sells- j: In this operation the Treasury has decreased its bank deposUi in both none credit debt in hypothetical case, Jet by $100 million/ in Elec¬ For the entire group, the amount. its worst' process is yet to when- Great Britain bank,that bank required to put up with the Federal Reserve system a legal reserve against the deposit of ap¬ proximately' 20%. The balance, or $80 million, remained as excess make posited with a commercial bank; thereby increasing bank deposits postpone issuance of $25 mil¬ lion preferred stock (s'nce ac¬ line •//■/// that the British Gov¬ suppose on to complished) this total Oil of California to 66% tric into gold. The Treasury issues its check s" is in To. take-a us particularly That increase ranged significant. from /'/.'V;- 21 some .1947 its / Reserve Bank "to pay'-the .seller long- of the gold. The check for $100 important million which the British Govern¬ companies from ment receives for its gold is de¬ increase debt comes •?.*; ernment 4:oV;-17.8 o-'Jv' *240 ♦Estimated ; ///v 14.7 228 4 1948— - f 204 : support; from gold Bank; 5.2 v 213 j 194-3.. term 4.5 : any ; government, Which may be held on deposit by the Federal Reserve 16.1 193 I. Parkinson to the Treasury, except gold ear¬ marked as owned by/a foreign /// 125 T. V> country/ it must by law be sold ////■:'; 5.2 ////://; :;6.5 ■ 100 the our < ;• . was .that When and/ ? commercial a •' parent;' addition making, For deposited purchased without Gross Nat'l 1939:. However, remains of deposits supply. -ome. .' „" ' gold sires a flock of paper money which foams through the country estimated): ' There million bank money paid said $100 our money Someone has accompanying capital expen¬ ditures (in billions of dollars— 1948 to hav¬ further no abroad. gone behind That deposits for;; with bank Stix & Co. DAYTON HAIGNEY & CO., Inc. Lon? Distance 238-9 output has for the gold ' it market price of everything made, and grown, plus services rendered) able y * (total ply cf this country. The gold is Fort Knox, and the machinery tn new paper ing ^ offered to it; pay-. 2ry are merged in the money sup¬ cre- relation to the tionary while financing from pub¬ New England Lime Common Reliance capital figures gold It is > or her colonies. The checks made in payment for this machin- money is bank / • Britain in the form of submitted below of the Gross Na¬ Another Boston Edison 75 Federal new ■■//'• or lic Private New York infla¬ our Need for Capital Funds • by creating . offset tionary status? of Holding Pfd. s money Tele. BS 128 Boston & Maine Prior 'Pfd.' e purpose. - Trading Markets t our unmixed blessing. an for all gold ounce be¬ it cause substan¬ very an Treasury nothing a $35 pays addition to growing inflation. way costs tial amounts to create the produc¬ Dow Chemical and Union Carbide stressed our ; activity.;^:;,;;/: or an made tion necessary to ventory. ST. LOUIS Boston Railroad the 1929 and 1939, how there be but a crucial need of working capital in a which years manufacturing is of causes Treasury is in comparison of time is considered inventory profits, leaving' $12 billion, as surplus. These surpluses are also backlogs' as a protection against recession, a reserve for capital needs and for depreciation of plant and in¬ This The Years / (In Billions of Dollars) 1930 to earned, after taxes, $12.3 paid out $32.3 billion aillion the only $150 million more $4.5 billion secured in securities 10 of the chief ment product) and a national pro¬ can 1947. states: /' Walter J. Connolly & Co., Inc. Tel. HUbbard 2-3790 supply of nearly $3 billion; but this is not January/ letter -of the National and Carbon to approximately 50%of total capital, excluding surplus. City Bank, in which, speaking of the two years ending June 30,1947 Monsanto Chemical, a company of of non-financial corporations, it outstanding financial strength, had Traded in Round Lots 24 equity the issue of equities and bonds total for BOSTON 1945, corporations 1947 ♦Theodore in furnished 50% of the capital obtained as against only 25% in 1947; further, during the six years from 1940 through 1945 rations Via that financing From in obtained was the see. ment $6 " billion ne¬ wants need for $1.2 capital is capital President Truman claims they need—but, is it? Let The notes and secured million in equity capital. This was ;he highest amount of securities gated, by the us Donds and and of Federal Reserve restricts and im¬ pairs billion in 1945; in 1947 these cor¬ porations obtained $3.3 billion by amount to say, that the so"margin" rule of the 75% j28/29) $3.5 billion in 1946 and $1.2 much ...needed far cry called $4.5 issued since 1929 when $2 billion was issued in bonds and notes A d a and secured duction of over twice that of each , be rations of are tration covering increased . working capital needs." With substantially a 50c to 60c dollar (depending on there has been years for schizophrenia coming accus* tomed, the possibility of raising this Theodore Prince requirements V, our business corporations is of extreme urg¬ ency in the goal of additional production. These 412,000 corpo¬ of process existing business relations During the past two one billion capidei't economic tal in 1947 (the highest since 1927/ to tion with the next^ few years, but this is only '' ' the U. S. whereby purchase of gold by Treasury increases bank deposits add adds to money supply of nation, thereby being one of the chief causes of our growing infla¬ tion. Says process creates bastard dollars which have no connec¬ Congress on Jan. 7, 1948, stated; "We are today far short of the industry capacity we need for a growing future. At-least $50 billion should be invested by industry to improve and expand our productive facilities over Parkinson describes Mr. President Truman in his State of Union address to * Managed Currency By THOMAS I. PARKINSON * v''/'-:\,."//V/-:-V. *A statement by Mr. Parkinson released by the Continental Press Syndicate, Brightwaters, N. Y. Vilas & Hickey Admit Vilas & Hickey, 49 Wall Street, New York City, members of the New York Stock admit Lulu ited Exchange, will Harris Knies partnership on to lim¬ April 8. - Volume THE COMMERCIAL Number 4686 167 on of the ! News (1423) Why the Ruhr Is Lagging I By JOACHIM JOESTEN j. Ahead FINANCIAL .CHRONICLE & ' (Author of "Germany—What Now?" etc.) v ' Political economist asserts continuation of Ruhr's present state of "economic coma" would doom Mar¬ shall Plan to failure. Maintains disappointing coal production is due to food insufficiency, By CARLISLE BARGERON 'i Those Americans who ashamed of their country, who have are : inferiority complex towards Europe, particularly the bandit ridden countries of Eastern Europe, can take pride in an episode of a few an tnat while we * radio have and been naive him may and u n s o- in . we the; past, have now Rarred The level his conniving have'-Was characteriz e the '.dictators for centuries in? By , the future who will most all Senators by papermen. • any these ing. But the Russian scorned; historians , time when^we ated in the will » Ti? Ihe-New m - world V -r* the definitely gradu- old sukmar*ne » mark $ basis Deal scare ' story ' " ' the core in this country. I remember that vwnen 1 was government We could anorooriations boy the Federal high in majesty, a was ministration, perversely, wants to kill the tax was and: y new^afer circles thatlL a nts p assureu 1; There was a / deputy me rjne episode caused at whacking as we It is Our local were In could not on be Illinois came spineless sociation Dinner v Annual the Meeting activities, Waldorf-Astoria proved that small, just we as in¬ competent, just as irresponsible the smallest: town'cohstable. I Stock as : have had since the New high Washington a appeared before a f committee and announced r a been sighted 200 miles off Cali¬ sian. Russian"' submarine Well, he didn't He triguing wanted of ;. the But he so submarine ? Senate gravely that fornia. not Iron it something to be of a a that had Rus¬ say more described it - Exchange. one electric power. In its > Announcing the change in name - of Mullaney, Ross & Company to r Mullaney, Wells & Company 135 SOUTH LA ^ IP' ' SALLE STREET ; ; CHICAGO 3 Telephone FRAnklin 1166 ! • . Teletype CG 1110 years — What 4 Now?" PAUL L. MULLANEY President evolution' the since Vice President a — sur¬ HARRY B. HEIGN Vice President April 1, 1948 v .of ■ June 4, 1948 .s (New York City)' ^ ^ Bond Club of New York Annual Field Day' at the Sleepy Hollow Country Club, Scarborough, N. Y. June 11, 1948 (New York City) Compromise will be of material benefit Rank r SECURITIES.. PATHE because of the to between The J. Arthur' Organization and Lion Films, division of details agreement are brochure, v concerning contained in available Public Utility Eagle Industrial- PATI1K £ INDUSTRIES, INC. Further Corporation Bond Traders Club of New York Spring Outing and Dinner at the Wingfoot Golf Club, Mamaroneck, N.. Y. ;:T. v INVESTMENT The British Motion Picture Tax contract July 16, 1948 Bond Club at the (Toledo, Ohio) of Toledo on : this Railroad > : ; - ; Municipal our ; request. Inverness - ~ the than 700 correspondents of Nov. 15-18, 1948 < A.C.AIXYN"®COMEANY annual Country on the PATHE INDUSTRIES, INC. ■ (Cincinnati, Ohio) I Municipal Bond Dealers Group of Cincinnati Annual Spripg Party, at the Kenwood Country Club. \ Club. 'present,; not one >$';•*;-Vfy'&■:% Vf. • outing < commentary not a Senators more Saugerties, N. Y. in¬ as country west Curtain. ' is Teletype: NY 1-115 1 djvA May 25, 1948 - Thus, a few days ago when we £ were in the throes * of the eight hundred; and ninety-fifth crisis official Hotel. May 10, 1948 (New York City) ; .V■ Annual - Election ' New York '• in, 4 Branch Office: article, was published on Feb. 27 by the Ziff-Davis Publishing Co. —EDITOR. / / ' Security Traders Association o1 x He wrong, that Federal officials could be just as we - power over all of The New Deal came York render, by the author of the above New York 12th Annual Dinner a1' Deal even of to ' the social of ; April 19, 1948 (New.York City) the Federal monster. So we to give the Federal Govern¬ which lack comprehensive study * of Ger¬ many's political, economic and and Chicago Room were ' burning for wood, I "Germany ■ Dealers- As¬ Securities in ^ ^ (Chicago, 111.) April 13, 1948 the ) New CO. & Telephone: WHitehall 3-9898 immediately pre¬ ceding the outbreak of World War II, European countries imported could handle the increasing are In - came our HUNTER 50 Broadway CHARLES C. WELLS com¬ touched. export, Britain No Longer Coal Exporter Field Investment corrupt and but putty in the' the Hotel La Salle.' hands of the Power Trust. But am enforcement officer large for nation.0 CO MING away and our NEW YORK OFFICE beginning and the end of Europe's vicious 'circle of economic Stag¬ turned .utility told in to¬ production. Pit props are hard to get, new housing j? projects for miners cannot be completed, and so on and so forth. Coal is the EVENTS and ment coal are more missions, we were to be convinced, level crisis pretty cheap stuff. But it is the way they do things in Europe. So we are getting to be regulatory auover to the Federal Gov- ernment. Announcing the reopening of quantities of supply lumber ^ shots in world affairs, '6nd 'in Iworld intrigue;' steady a thority the and mally subma- this and from the United States (Continued on page 40) day is so short is that Sweden, Norway and Finland, which nor¬ J States'; Rights more ports example, one of the reasons produce respect of, awe of, Federal authority, of course, that . For why Europe's lumber supply turn, the lumber shortage hampers efforts designed "to increase coal - was Even this compara¬ tively small amount, taken out of 'be traced back, atr least in measure, to th$ fuef short¬ of the Brass'and the Administra¬ dread of him when he rode by in his horse and buggy, but of his son as well. 7.::vi. It Germany, which in its best year the war shipped some 50 tons of coal to foreign countries, exported only 14,723,500 1946. 1 Fills Gap yawning gap which the simultaneous eclipse of England and Germany left in the European coal supply picture has been filled to a considerable extent by im¬ million tons in S. The before ills closely related to these enterprises tion. United wholn^^ bad eh U. ' / some ar- | Federal officer. > cfin " ' satellites in East¬ age. gravely that the arresting officer would surely get into trouble be¬ cause he'was interfering with a ; bill. play tricks and have fun rested in my mg , reduction and her Europe. / •<>;''v; : fact, all of Europe's economic Ad- C!CBu?nyouedS: ?0V£t\t VXITouT Feder'* ^ officSfLve tifen,0thafner Negro postman once" t™. ma. iv is town, while delivef-;wlsLgto'n^n the mail, for misdemeanor A l the that and to Recovery European the of -v;v. ■4 Europe's need of coal is second only to its need of food. The two needs, of course, are closely inter¬ related and interdependent. In significance that the Mililowered .high public office to the tary is trying to get a draft, UniPIa<~e it has ever reached versal Militaiy Training, increased 130,271,900 is out of the picture as a the Marshall Plan is doomed Program. without years production of come, mestic requirements. By compari¬ son, in 1937-1938, Germany's coal coal-exporting country. In its production, exclusive of the areas stead, Poland has emerged as a now under Polish administration, major supplier, but its export amounted to 242,220,000 tons, of surplus of about 20 million tons which 44,220,000 tons were -ex¬ a year is largely earmarked for ported. ..v; Britain failure, no matter how many billions of dollars are spent on it. For revival of the Ruhr is the ' ''one day's scare headline. It is not • under Roosevelt and probably for total tons in that year, could be spared only at the expense of urgent, do¬ slim. Unless the Ruhr can be roused from its present state of economic No, the whole thing served for -. performance, the attaining the 484,000- of ;; .wy< ' of On the this of look decidedly approached Ambassador-;on by end a producers, Germany. Today, goal by the end of this year ton tb subject at all. school'as daily tons 1947. chances coma, has envis¬ a the / / Ambassador just what was cookone Joesten and ern 000 Joachim England Russia output of 330,- would not have asked the Russian no in 66,000,000 short tons of coal from the two principal last August, aged r It strikes me as amazing that prosperous world, and the. if this submarine was out there only: to become in the Pacific and if this was un- usual, that the State Department con- some Washihgton which y,J';: ),;>?: ';;r- bored at the estate it had attained, and then returned to the old world which it had once the at ican coa* the powerful, targets o n ference by', news¬ nor This below Anglo-Amer¬ these not our nation freed itself from the old world intrigue and became the most in have one produc- set it mean scouting we far t i suggesting the answers questions. The amazing thing is that they were not asked, write about how nation is to surface in any one chance do of the not am to imagine, in fact, that the his¬ of any littler- or than the year ago. submarines, testing their truism i radius, operating Within*200 miles of Russian shores? T-'-ft V I torians seas shores or-preparing to move our trade. I the Are it significant? Did the Russians were d" that past,-; we.; a re now .quite adept at their Bargeron statement." of our ports? Was it his point that this submarine's presence 200 miles off our coast was unusual? l that Carlisle were free? : Isn't it a fact that a Russian submarine would be perfect- scheming and daily, . more what the.ly entitled technique, : the implications of affairs ; No single person has yet asked in 1 him phisticated world | While Congress argues the pros and cons of the Marshall Plan, the economic disin¬ tegration of Europe continues apace. According to a late report from the U. S. Military Government Office in Berlin, Ruhr coal production is down again to some *260,000 tons r '• " commentators, asked what he meant. , - > It shows "grown up." which shows that we have really days ago "y" consumer goods shortage, political agitation, uncertainty about mines' ownership, and Communist obstruction, States following remedial steps required: (1) sweeping currency reform; (2) food stabilization, rather than abundance; (3) large equipment investment; and (4) morale. (Dallas. Tex.) > National Security Traders Aa»o ciation Convention. ' . COMSTOCK & CO. CHICAGO 4, ILL. 231 So. La Salle St. Teletype Dearborn 1501 CG 955 Incorporated II CHICAGO NEW YORK BOSTON PHILADELPHIA'" MILWAUKEE MINNEAPOLIS f OMAHA KANSAS CITY ' INDIANAPOLIS >■ (1424) THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Trends Affecting Real When Stalin ; Asserting although in!rinsic value of real Radio commentator, pointing out Stalin is only mortal and his changes slowly, expresses belief we are near top of present price swing, particularly in housing, and prices are headed downward. Cautions ' regarding mortgage loan expansion by banks, and hints Taft-Ellender-Wagner Act, if passed, may prove dangerous. Says Veterans V Housing Act has given artificial stimulus to real estate prices, and estate Looks for At more has kept death dicts outset I should like whole domestic define, limits and indicate the approach to my subject, and would also like to confine my comments 16 the field of housing and home finance. Let me be perfectly ffank in stating that I am not qualified to chart the course of real prices vahies, hut my friends. Vou've had have I. „I/wiltl ltry to to < this subject" "those c v-c./u-' ; think', I work have the happened in sJtite mortgage "lending , busi- ^;:n(,e> during s. past few - ' years h d- what a is happening , > howl It will be to those my purpose Wflliam A. Marcus analyze v Will have some trends bearing which the fu¬ ture values of real estate. Without becoming too technical I would like on a differentiate between value and pfice. The term "value" needs some several, My"dictionary contains of which one ticularly well suited "the pose: seems par¬ for this pur¬ desirability or worth of thing; intrinsic worth; utility." i ^rlce "the rig amount at which current place in transactions take market." illustrate, using To the my definition of value, the desirabil¬ ity or worth of a thing will vary under different conditions in the eyes of various persons.' When I cdnsider the value of my home I think of its contribution to the Cdmfort Wife and and enjoyment of my children, of its shelter fTOm the cold and its sunshine, around sstate will of the the to the access social times my house for sale must look at struc¬ tural soundness, replacement costs (tegs depreciation), character the has price swings has been kept. followed since the today's market. ■ With gTiat ^ a period where housing- combined desirability, increase induced in by personaL a in¬ comes, in marriages, and easy mortgage credit have resulted in abnormally high prices. We might Ca|f this a condition- of scarcity value. Passing As the of "Scarcity demand lit more satisfied, With the demand for ownership, and as Value" becomes more particularly Single family easy mohey is replaced by mortgage more selec¬ tive?' lending practices, scarcity /alue will become less and less £ price stimulant. As the single family ownership demand is now fairly well satisfied and as mort¬ gage credit progressively scarcity jaaas; tightens, value is diminishing in * *An address by Mr. Marcus at the Eastern Regional Savings and Mortgage Conference of the American Bankers Association, New York City, March 16, 1948. ; Likewise do I believe r high cost of living, and that Emerson Electric — Kidder & Manufacturing ! Memorandum—A. Co., 1 Wall Street, M. ! New York 5, N. Y. \y Gaylord Container Corp.—Anal-; | *• y ysis—Reinholdt & Gardner, 14 Street* New York 5, N. Y. Wall Street, I r *"■ V-// Grand Union 74/'.■ Companyf-Invest-" \; appraisal—Kalb, Voorhis & Howard Balanced Fund Co., 15 Broad Street, New York 5, T : V ment of N.- Y.-7- Vi 'V;;7 material Insurance Stocks—A dis¬ cussion of their investment values . : „ ~ . . H.»ry J. T.ylw we in.1 came ; We 2, 1 Wis. v:.»: , 14, Calif. North Fourth Also " available of is Milwaukee ^ . Dempsey-Tegeler * & Co., 210 National Rank of Tulsa—Anal- " Seventh Street, Los Angeysis—Edward D. Jones & Co., 300 * es We've Nevertheless, the world Street, "■ West not 1947 is Insurance tabulation a Company : - Mo. Street, St. Louis 2, rt -r:; i;"v3; Re¬ ' National City Bank of New York—Circular—Laird, Bissell & > * ; Municipally Owned Toll Bridges Meeds, 120 Broadway, New York Tabulation of 28 • municipally 5, N.Y. - and; history The Mortgage and — phia 9, Pa. industry with specific Company ■ Company I moving picture, cut and dried unchangeable, HEvents can owned toll facilities' either ac¬ happen, and do happen, 7 tha quired or constructed by the mu¬ New England Public Service change things greatly. nicipality during the period from Co.—Analysis—Ira Haupt & j.. i-■ tV-'rt.-f •*./> vv... Co., 1927 to 1947, including engineers' Ill Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. Stalin Is Only Mortal ~ good chance of going as a year of re¬ turning economic sanity. r z Clinton ; Machine descriptive; of Also available is a current re- ' Fund; its policies, record, and appraisal of ;; United States Pipe ^ nvestment philosophy—Eaton & & Foiundry.: io.ward, Inc.; 24 Federal Street, Bojston 10,Mass.. ' * : McQuay, / Inc» — New";: report— ■yj Loewi & Co.; 225 East Mason ; Fire a a in 1 ' Circular—Coffin, Betz & Sullivan, 123 South Broad Street, Philadel¬ Fibre Industry—Out- Yearbook—Compendium . It's as pat as that, this unfold¬ sults. ing of events in Europe, in the point has * ■.• he ; where Exchanges $10—yearly (six W. Stephens, 15 Out look—Memorandum Eaton & 1948 data know the ending. Let's go. seen it all before." the recent drop in the commodity markets marked the turning 1948 ' ■ troit Harvester. Curb Bache &♦: Co., 36 Wall New York 5/NV Y. ;rt f-:-. Then is capivirtu¬ 711, k nudged her and said, "Molly, this copy $50—F. Copper y con- screen. you . down :» the New on America—Newburger, Loeb & Co., 15; Broad Street, New York 5; an;: your best girl, looking at the particularly in the field of hous¬ ing, and that the prices are headed . - * Factor . • There are course, which orice of real other factors, many affect the estate types of properties and as serv¬ course. effect, must hope are we should as i ' playing, > but that we should study carefully the results last two of savings and mortgage activity and chart the course for the next 12 months if not for a longer years period. loans are the principal in¬ vestments of savings banks and savings and loan associations, and gage . one of the largest items of the as¬ sets of insurance companies. Mort¬ gages of record are estimated to be over $40 billion is divided billion, of which $14 with; banks, lodged about $9 billion with in¬ sured commercial banks and about $5 billion with mutual sav¬ , ings banks. of ./' increase of deposits has savings slowed rially, whereas the on real z estate offer time * • '* ; v1 *■ z.VV": * : is of the most tion for I I've way. • -Vf-f find can Let's \ none. that; to- verifica¬ Hentz & Co., 60 Beaver Street, New York 4, N. Y. Also in ment is* exactly the the on about in health with sinking funds.'-'1 job, and the available our sidering the death and 38) on brief discus¬ Preferred * 1 - Utility > Now Ratios utility die—that is a leaflet a: totalitarian second man Some man second but it in 1 may think doesn't work lini. ; and Price Yields on common no was (Continued second no he stocks. Earnings 120 ; f public v ; page operations South La Salle Street, Illinois. y" & broadcast the by Mutual Mr. _ Musso 39) Taylor Broadcasting System, March 29, 1948. Co., of 231 Chicago 4, vyI;' -73- National Public Bank Tacoma> z Narrows < & Trust (State )«;• ? 7 ot> > ; i Cross, Inc., 40 Wall Street, New York 5, ^ If- With Westheimer & Co. I>" ;V ""(Special to The Financial .Chronicle) : v , CINCINNATI, O.—Walter Hee-; : kin is 322 Walnut with Westheimer Street, & Co.,. '? members 30 Pine Street, New York 5, N. Y. "Switch" Possibilities—List of Snider' "V-:- ♦ American ♦ » .o Machinery Circular—Gordon Graves 30 Broad Street, New York Company to The KANSAS Corp.— Co., CITY, Cheonkt*) : been added Co. — Data — Public Wright, Sni-* Company..' Service Buckley Securities (Soeclal Philadelphia 2, Pa. William —■ - to WEST Conrad" on available are - The Financial PALM M. I' S. is memoranda Beeken Portsmouth Steel, Gruen Watch and DuMont Laboratories. Guaranty Building. now - ■ *■ , ;•1;r, , He Company, was ' : with pre¬ viously with Southeastern Securi¬ ties Corp. ; Chronicle* BEACH, FLA.— Allen z ^ H " 4, N. Y. Corporation, 1420 Walnut Street, Also f to With Wm. S. Beeken Co. Hlinois ; • MO.—Harold the staff of Prescott, der [ Financial Hunter Jones has yy & (8p«cial ' *A Illus¬ of ! ; representative stocks with ap¬ the^New York Stock Exchange:^ 17; : proximate price, dividends paid in ^shd: ;dthernleading- nationalv s ^v4 1947, and price range for the cur¬ changes, v t ;7,Vv-" : rent year—Stanley Heller & Co., ■: !■ out second Hitler on — 44 Central was There and Representative Stocks—List of — that way. There and Comstock I - stocks totalitarian a activities v news state Inc. company. offering interesting outlook —Stanley Heller & Co., 30 Pine 7 dismal chore, in just Street, New York 5, N. Y. as Industries, With Prescott, Wright, Italy, Germany, Spain. They're all just alike in this respect: there no tail of -current Developments.:1 Bonds con Dictatorship I've- worked paperman, a about every Pathe Bonds—Tabula¬ of Stalin. No Second Man in Office trated brochure describing in de¬ appraisal of City of Philadel- of thing abroad today without Co., 10 Post Square, Boston 9, Mass. Railroad Equipment Certificates 334 % Bonds—Circulars-Roosevelt 7. -Valuation and appraisal—Stroud & be I repeat, we cannot minds about any may up Co.—' dealers— Washington) Toll Bridge Revenue to he has been for the past t as Again, make over page data are Public; Utility Railroad condition seems same Cement & price, yield, etc., for bonds, Company of New York—Analysis which are arranged according to —C. E. Unterberg & Co., 61 Broadrating—Vilas & Hickey, 49 Wall way, New York 6, N. Y. I Street, New York 5, N. Y.' Also phia But that Stalin will is going to happen. State. on a of Stalin reverse. rt February, excluding them in making these comparisons in order to em- and sion can five years.' is am leaflet Continental Baking Co., Northern Pacific Railway, and St. Louis my own personal the very top of our State Depart¬ comments based upon statistics from the report of all insured commercial banks in the United States as shown in the mid-year figures to give an esti¬ mate of those for Dec. 31, 1947. As the mutual savings banks figures on mortgages have not varied greatly over the past two years, I same is ill Certainly I Oregon-Portland Up-to-date circular fbr Lerner Financing—Outlook knowledge, our American ambas¬ & Co., Inc., 123 South < Broad sador in Moscow, General W. B Street, Philadelphia 9, Pa. ' : • Smith, is at present reporting to Also available are a valuation lending mortgages has 1948 Federal Reserve Bulletin. I have projected the 1947 1947— tion of start that Stalin to Co., —H. : I would like Bond Public that out get & of sought;, in the quarters, rumors tell you 68. now health and reliable New - * 1939 years Nicolaus Inc., 105 West Adams Street, Chicago 3, 111. mate¬ some (Continued • V ^ Stalin rate of greatly speeded up. to and - with his ; down : today . His Death Must Be Considered • Since the end of 1945, the rate • abroad considering the death Stalin, •' now the anything without not bankers Stifel, revenue and actual gross for revenue Southwestern, We cannot make up our minds ; we before now, for the future. about , it about we make up our minds that all is cut and dried, and lose all , Thus, I believe* minimize the part fundamental that so think we today and tomorrow will leave imprint on the nation's ' sure to hap change things But that it will have great that much is certain. This is minor factor, yet it is an impor¬ tant one and it is the one where vou and I helped to write yester¬ day's history and where what we a " that is greatly, is the death of Stalin. No¬ body can know the effect, of ices. ' event pen. and which can Mortgage lending is not the major factor in price determina¬ tion; in fact it might be termed do estimated One market well as of ■ We have been in fne scarcity of like old-time I believe that we are at or near the top of the present price swing, downward. ' Central Illinois Public Service— reference Celanese Corporation of So S does n'ti t ;: .You as savings bankers and neighborhood,, transportation facilities, proximity of schools, 'ending officials know the impor¬ churches, shopping districts, the tance of mortgage credit. -Mort¬ m in thirties,: seem record 01 §eWcity of homes and the price at Which similar houses are selling feeling. , slow it of pricing real of rest¬ high, Nazis took and Chemical us, • but in as ' Study — Goodbody & Co.* 115 Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. Also available is a study on De-; William Street, New York 5, N. Y. the.., real slowly and .pattern, the desirability that Stalin important to utility of the properties them- t i n u o u s •elves will change; but that the ;movie? Pe r- ; price of real estate will follow the haps you sat ". erratic but rhythmical course that ?there:;y3,W,i:t h \ economy. realtor of single ssues) " that guess¬ on dies? York Stock ook for the md ful change from the busy market place, of the birds that wake me with their song, and the neighbors Whose greeting is always friendly. These values to me are the prices observation if ally every stock listed newspaper has -changed continue some fireplace, of its the zhanging only the other hand is defined on to future with fundamental 7 value ' ^ as estate on and this these;-,: days, patching Rus-: | sia follow step ji'PX steo the ; safely: steer cam cUarof arguments based r. which rCnces So I believe I ; foreign policy. When read you importance, and .utility ,or. worth valjue is coming into its own. "prelate* happens It could be very estate or, Soviet pace to ows, earnings, dividends, alizations, and volume on result, there will be a throwing into the air of as What the efinition. new certain the Charts — 922 charts in spiral )Ound book covering 12 complete years, and showing monthly highs, be considered, pre¬ blood purges, but con¬ must cludes, with housing needs. stable realty values in future. war ' * It is understood that the firms mentioned will be pleased to send interested parties the following literature: By HENRY J. TAYLOR* Bankers Association ABA official housing construction, since ' ' ' v Then? Senior Vice-President, American Trust Co., San Francisco . Recommendations and Literature • By WILLIAM A. MARCUS* Vice-President, Savings Division, American Dealer-Broker Investment What Estate Values Thursday, April 1, 1948 ' , Volume 167 • Number 4686 • THE COMMERCIAL - & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE f y yi • ' • • • •" . ' t,v- .«-■■■ . ■ ^ (1405) < REVENUES - FROM December 31, . y'.Ly, ■; / y ' • ' > OPERATION ' j-t ' ty • • 11947 . Change from '1944. ■' ^ Increase—I Oecrease— D ifl.tut Hauling anthracite. V» 19.07 < $ 24,057,840 $ ..; Hailing bituminous coal. . . Hauling'merchandise. V. 5.57 * Carrying 1847 fa* ''Mail, HOW WE USED YJ Vy VyV AuA 77 85 cents OUR ■f .;y/V;YyV, — ■ 530 1947 1946 r EXPENSES Of OPERATION Wages. \ SIMMS Fuel.. . . . . , . terial. ; ...... expenses .. .; Total -• - ^ 772,526-1 erations.. . . 1 x ' y' Y: V'// Op$ in history. 1947 Wage will cost Company approximately ' $7,825,000 458,847-D $ 7,379,572-1 from r • annually. '. Payments V y\' V-'y'Y 7 6,118,301 Revenue our increases to the were, : 1"" y Expenses V. Y$ 90,894,119 y ; Net " . r charged -was highest in the 3,400,380-1 : ,y,t r y . y . 744,084-1* 6,189,406 . $56,899,201 $ 2,921,429-1; 14,117,100 "yy amortiza- . tion, and retirements ^ „ 1,613,0614 Wages of $60,379,874, of which Indtease—I yy ma- .... ......... Depreciation, V 6,475,73 1 operating expenses, Decrease-D 7,570,11I V .. Payments for services and \ ' $ 56,899,201 . Rails, ties, and other * 1,980,966-D $ 116,760,042 $ 15,333,92 14 ... • Change-from : • • ,■ December 31, v \ 11,643,5974 7,674,300 and- other REVENUES VyV'YY\ ' RAItJUS.V 56,288,630 transportation services.. Total Revenues 112-09 3,847,4354 passengers... ,;, express, 2 10,7944 22,243,541 *■ 117 " totaled Stockholders to $4,197,372. ,■ Reading's uninterrupted dividend record y ■' i\yK on all classes of stock dates y- 7,^54,349-1 25,865,923 $ 12,972,305 $ 3,906,679-1 • back to 1905. TAXES AND FIXED CHARGES TTax accruals....... y I Payments for 6aJ ities I I of ... $ ments re- Income ... ^ 426,977-1 from rentals, etc. , , ... . , . 1,599,411 y y;y 64,259-D Net • Thirty-eight new steam or 1 13,55 1,383 Charges. Fixed Charges. ..... v ordered during the new Extensive • year. . x will y - and terminal permit use of ( ' OWNED Roadway y less 7 FINANCIAL Y ing and more reduced leased $70,978 CONDITION December 31, Change from : Property and .... ponies. than 26,000,000 bushels of grain 4,550,000 tons of coal, v Total Assets .. com- 52,172,613 .... 37,514,625 1,629,441-1 20,357,971 2,995,776^ r,, . U v . % .. 2,316,557-1 $388,859,519 . . y"'-' , $ 6,173,933-1 yVyy*.:y; ■■ :4-'vVyvVy'-., V, y, Mortgage Bonds and Equipment Ob¬ ligations.y;.,. Vy.. Total Current Other . LiabilitiesV\;,.W..., $ 95,564,562 $ 2,713,322-D 27,845,920 . 4,810,579-1 Liabilities.4,490,444 662,864-1 260,958,593 3,413,812-1 Capital Stock and Surplus.......... ' Total Liabilities..... President $278,814,3 10 $ 5,223,711-1 , y;T........... ... All Other Assets.............. Philadelphia previous records by export¬ ... "46 1947. Equipment, for depreciation reserves Current Assets W "' Port Richmond Terminal in exceeded all payable to were securities in lessor companies. ; OUR OWED • rents annually by the purchase of 64,724-D imnew heavy motive power over greater portion of ■ system. debt. V Program trains. roadway provements funded $ 3,556,434-1 5,335,734 Stocks, bonds, and notes of other •y two over hundred thou¬ diesel locomo¬ modernization, of which "Wall Street" is first of three seven dollars of roads income........8,215,649 $ 3,621,158-1., for extensive passenger car commenced "Net • V tives, 3,188 freight cars were delivered or pay¬ $96,995 . Income Available for Fixed ' — sand $ 3,620,693-1 investments, . million - 11,95 1,972 ..... interest reduced by the purchase of 94 1,646 Railway Operating In- come. yearly were - of Com- use pany's facilities by others 'Net Future • of facil- others, less for ceipts use ......... $388,859,519. $ 6,173,933-1 - y . / - .? * ' / 9 ^ ' 10 THE COMMERCIAL (1426) & CHRONICLE FINANCIAL Thursday, April 1, 1948 / NEW YORK LIFE INSURANCE ReviewAof Brief the ■; . 103rd Annual Statement to its Assets ♦ . The ♦ COMPANY held for assets, the protection of the Company's life policyholders, become payable as the policies in these categories terminate in 1948 by death, maturity or surrender for cash after having been in force insurance and annuity contracts and to meet other obligations, totalled $4,234,184,598 at the end of 1947. Bonds and stocks are valued in conformity "with the laws of the several Slates and as National Association of Insurance Commissioners. Policyholders at prescribed by the \ least twenty years. Surrender .Allowances ♦.♦For the year 1948 the Company has adopted plan for allowance of amounts in addition to contractual cash values under life insurance policies issued before June 1, 1944 which during 1948 are surrendered for cash. This plan has been made possible because of the Company's having completed the major Steps in Its long-range program of strengthening insurance reserves which has been in progress for several ♦ a Liabilities The Company's insurance and annuity reserves and other aggregated $4,003,065,874 at the end of 1947. j Surplus funds general contingencies totalled $231,118,724. ♦ ♦. liabilities held for years. Reserves ♦ ♦ ♦ At the close of 1947 the Company reached for strengthening insurance and annuity in its program its life insurance reserves are held now on an a : major objective reserves. interest basis New Series df Policies All of of either 7 introduced a values-based 2H per cent or 2 per cent. All of its annuity reserves are on a 2 per cent basis. The program of reserve strengthening, wh£ch was undertaken to 8 protect the interests of policyholders, has given recognition to the effect % upon the Company's net earning rate of exceedingly low yields on high- : grade investments. Policyholders can take renewed assurance from the knowledge that the Company has an overall reserve basis as strong as, if not stronger than, that of any other life insurance company in the country. series new •» ♦ of 17, 1947 per cent. iissued from June 1, 1944 to November 17, 1947, such values Experience Table of Mortality and interest Life Insurance in Force the Company 1941 Standard Ordinary Table of In the Company's series of policies the Commissioners on Mortality and interest at 2 omthe American November On policies with cash and other non-forfeiture ; ♦ ♦ at were based 2% per Vent, At ihe end of 1947 the Company's life billion dollars, which was the largest insurance in force exceeded nine, volume of Mortality Experience ♦ ♦. In November of 1947 the Company adopted for its new mortality table based ori more recent mortality experience and therefore, in the years to . come, the margin between "expected mortality" and "actual mortality" experience should not be so great as was protection in force in the Company during its entire history. Policyholders■"> have $9,063,604,614 of life insurance protection under The Company's mortality experience in 1947 3,683^297 policies* This was $520,^96,199 greater than at the close of the previous year. favorably low. series of policies a • Sales in the past. In the A:' > Expenses * * throughout the essential Interest Earnings * wages. * ♦ ♦ Company's program of • strengthening, the rates of return available * high quality continued low throughout the better j part of the year.; However; in the closing months of 1947 there was an encouraging upturn in interest rates on new investments which it is f hoped will continue. ] • ' t on new new life insurance of sales and during 1947 totalled $857,384,000, life insurance in force, Family Income policies among many other companies. insurance in 1947 were On a corresponding basis, sales of new life per cent' less than the sales approximately 2K in 1946. Payments to Policyholders and Beneficiaries. While the rate of interest earned by the Company in 1947 exceeded the rate required to maintain reserves because of the . Sales of paid for in 1947 are reported on a higher basis than in .previous years. This change has been adopted to conform with the customary practiced understandably has been Continued efforts are being improve efficiency and effect economies without impairing the 8 services rendered by the Company. * ♦ amounts ''-\v'v country, quite by rising costs of materials and made to * The Company, in common with practically all individuals ♦.. and businesses affected "•••■v.1";1; »♦ reserve ♦ • During 1947 the Company's total payments-to policyholders and beneficiaries aggregated $196,798,797. Of this amount, living policyholders received $115,716,396 and the beneficiaries of 19,804 policyholders who died received $81,082,401. investments of A Nationwide Organizcttioii ♦ ♦ ♦ each of the .48 States, the District of The Compaiiy does business in Columbia, Alaska, Hawaii and the . Dividends The provision for 1948 dividends to policyholders is compared with $41,730,229 for 1947. The amount available for dividends wias affected by the low yields from prime invest¬ ments and increased expenses due to higher costs of materials and wages, as well as by the Company.'s program of strengthening reserves mentioned above. ' f"< '\y ••; .v.-: y J •,8~': ^ -v 8 .. $37,151,312, ♦ as' • _ k ' Termination Dividends dividends payable in 1948 Such dividends, which • x are . - The V V Company-.has -declared termination life insurance policies in certain categories. included in the provision for 1948 dividends to ♦. on ♦ Dominion of Canada. While national in scope, the New York Life is very largely local in its operations in providing services to its policyholders through 138 Branch Offices in principal business centers, as well as through its sales organization of States and Canada. Volume THE COMMERCIAL Number 4686 167 FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE s *. i ■ — — (1427) . •.. , — NEW YORK LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY Statement of Condition December Cash on Ronds: * ' ' ; hand / or ASSETS in banks...:;. i ' _ ...... 1947 .. . LIABILITIES a " $ <741,558,001 -:;.v„ ;■ ' Reserve for Insurance and ' ; United States Government. .... . . . ;$2,332,049,733 . . Canadian —>79,364,383 .. Railroad:.... 'Public 33,339,605 ■> 7. ... Computed at 2K% interest......... J Computed at 2% interest...... ,' i.... /Reserve for optional ^settlements - Municipal. .....................' 3,440,942,321 viously matured....:....... ■ . . 546,976,861 .................... Stocks, preferred and. guaranteed.. .7 -240,074,438 ;.... t....... j i - Provision for 1948 dividends 104,539,271 .:. real fl',. estate. .,'.7. .$ ... 398,717,530 . ^ Real Estate: ' • " - .$2,560240^7 | f3;278>104;585 717,863,'928 under .policies <......;.... j ' ' / pre- 7;' £•* ; t Properties for Company ■} - ; use......... . . policyholders. ; 10,512,255 Properties^ ; ii; ■' • \ . : '! •' ' . • . ; Reserve-for unmatured 6,465,819. Housing and Business Properties Policy Loans:........ 7 . -37,151,312 39,071,393 '•■"■V ' '■ ::^"rv.V •" v - options in policies*........... Reserve for other insurance liabilities. 23,249,360 v.-.7;^ .. Provision for taxes. . ... . ... ...... . 40,000,000 5,543,653 ; ... ; TOTAL -24,375,574 • • $55,014,806 are in the above LIABILITIES.,,J'.V;.'.".V...L/. : ' $4,234,184,598 - 7'■:■ ...> >'?r- Of the securities listed 5,666,318 . Surplus funds held for general contingencies....... V. 39,265,085 ' - ;..;.. . Miscellaneous liabilities............................; premiums and other assets.;. : "... statement, -securities valued at deposited with Governments and 'States '-Z as required i ' ' - . i > I The Company started business -on April 12, 1845. The Statement *To A v on believed 7y to Annual Statement filed with the New York State Insurance Department. complete report will gladly be sent upon request. more details to the In addition to further Company's operations during 1947,, it discusses be of ' 231,118,724 $4,234,184,598 provide for 2H% interest valuation on maturity-of options in policies prior to 11939, which mainly have 3% interest guarantees. issued It has always been mutual and is incorporated under the laws of the State of New Yorki of Condition shown above is in accordance with the $4,003,065,874 ■ > ' y.V> 7;,7--.. v> >: >: ;>>■> '> '■ 3,507,627 • by law. Mi'vO 77;-ft'./ 13,968,168 4 156,836,20? Interest and Rents due and accrued.:...;;-1 Deferred and uncollected 213,701,744 including S385,910 under contract of sale Rental • ....... 4 ' Foreclosed 366,351,074 - . . . $ Company., Policy claims in course of settlement and provision for claims not reported /.•..;..:....... |rLessValuation Reserve............ .* 7' 12,276,826 i'f | 386,440,704 • t> j . Reserve for premiums paid in advance............... . ■■ on to , \ Mortgages > / 209,137,301 Reserve for dividends left with the Utility Industrial and Miscellaneous...... First Annuity Contracts: \ ;;;7 * particular interest to policyholders. A copy may a number of subjects be obtained by writing the New York Life Insurance Company, 51 Madison Avenue, New York 10, New York. ' U (I 12 .(1428) f* «r , COMMERClAti '& FINANCIAL; CHRONICLE THE ,Thursday, April 1, 1943 underwrite Central Illinois Public Service Data Request on 1420 Walnut St; ' 44 Wall Street ' . ' held been unavailing. In was an Philadelphia 2 New York 5 eleventh hour maneuver the City PEnnypacker 5-5976 WHitehall 3-7253 Philadelphia petitioned Federal District Judge J. Cullen Ganey to order Philadelphia Transportation Company to distribute rebate slips to all riders paying the increased fares. The petition was granted a matter of hours before the higher Private Wire System between Philadelphia, New York Angeles and Los Philadelphia of rates became effective and added greatly to the confusion incident Bank & Insurance thereto. 2039, Pfd. St Common Cheitnul Phila. Phone' New York phone WHitehall 4-2400 Teletype PH 257 - - dividend action riders would tunity of tions. The in Regular voicing oppor¬ their objec¬ P.U.C. has - •v values that and this . the application of which: after to vanced at -i operating to $4,- for costs four production reached of <• 222,804 ad- ' sulted in in $3.02, 1946. be have peaks in re¬ share earnings of preferred ;dividends, annual rate maintained. Directors per after require¬ inventories and Warner of Net income higher that the present $2 can 1947 years. new capital receivables. It is hoped, he said/ shares each large finance 1947. Net sales last year amounted to $57,252,636 compared with $46,- the Feb. granted were in share per reminded conservative a policy is indicated in ments and the need of funds to of 1947, dividend common has Co., stockholders that Both dollar sales and volume of greater rate. Higher a $1.80 the preceding Pas¬ increased Coal tion amounted to $1.95 per share and report. $686,000. its on • G. H. Love, — President Pittsburgh Consolida¬ view March 12. Dividends in on income,; $61,428,830 rates wage of revenues year,; but , annual of 55 cents a year ago. m PITTSBURGH the improvement shown in Scott Paper Co. paid a the approved 1947 taxes, 198,180 involves - ff Pittsburgh Consolidation Coal dividend continuance a during the current week. with 98.5% a compares ft Paper Co. Reflecting common disclosed ■*. net senger formula in a the on directors company's long per- Scott com¬ and $1 on the preferred. The con¬ tingent 3% interest on the com¬ pany's 3-6% collateral trust bonds was declared, payable July 1. car the both the on at 96.3% This — month ago and 103.6% ' ■- preferred was deferred. annual dividend * rates have been 80 cents holding which have and mon The missjble fare increases can be determined only by the rela¬ tionship of earnings to property •;* .Vv without maintained the stand that Street, Philadelphia 2 Locust 7-1477 fares hearings public ;■ H. N. NASH & CO. 1421 pending litigation of the com¬ pany's new fares, consideration of City charged the Public Utility - Commission with bad faith in permitting P.T.C. to increase Philadelphia Transportation Co. 3-0s tors meeting' held March 23, it was announced that "in view of the The , ended $3,497,107, equivalent to $2.23 per share, against $3,099,510, or $1.98 per share, for 1946. For the parent company only, not reflecting credits and charges to surplus, net income was $2,858,624 compared with $2,388,013 the preceding year. Samuel's appeal to the Pennsylvania Public to postpone<£Dividends Deferred the effective date of the higher schedule until public hearings had At the P.T.C. Board of Direc¬ CORPORATION Earnings Up year United Gas Improvement Mayor Bernard Utility Commission BUCKLEY SECURITIES the Dec. 31, Co. and subsidiaries report net income of Philadelphians are paying the 10 cent cash fares on trolleys and subways and 12V2 cent fares on buses which became effective March 21—but with papers attached. operations Despite the problems posed by dwindling coal supplies, steel producers in this area expect to maintain operations * * G. L U. For DuMont Laboratories stcct PITTSBURGH * P.T.C. Fare Rise Backfires •> Gruen Watch Company unsubscriDea any shares. Pennsylvania Brevities Portsmouth Steel Corporation of Conjpany Warner declared 15 common stock, to of stock Company cents the on payable April 15 * record April 1. The last preceding dividend was 30' cents on January 15. Company is expected to complete its $4,500,000 expansion and modernization program, all of which has been £i- * compared with $2.07. These results nanced out of earnings, by mid¬ the fact year, I following " which stock¬ large towel- holders are anticipating the adop¬ costs were somewhat offset by * making:^ plant at Chester, de¬ tion of a more liberal dividend the elimination of overtime in stroyed by an explosion in 1946, policy. Operations in 1947 were at was not restored to service until certain departments. / ^ new high levels and produced/ late 1947./VV/: I'y/v earnings of $3.33 per common ll, 1947, followed by an increase in 18. Higher fares Feb. on 4 achieved were that' the despite company's - which public sentiment, as such, is irrelevant. Commission coun¬ Central Louisiana Elec. Empire Southern P.U.C. Nazareth Cement ' " Pittsburgh Rys. Co. is Legislature « Warner Company directed Byllesby & Company PHILADELPHIA OFFICE /Teletype RIttenhouse 6-3717 , r « of the of the it ordered fare its the initial increase PH 73 Cambridge Bldg. 3s 1953 1500 Walnut St. 6-1950 al¬ P.U.C. hearings to on begin in j / cubic the foot of justify its claims in the higher schedule of that- . the mitting it to will If stand. put into per¬ effect so, the rebate slips distributed in com¬ being pliance P.U.C., order be with the Federal court the natural from gas Southwest field, 1,280 miles had been delivered to the Philadelphia Gas Works Co. De¬ livery during this month will be approximately 100 million cubic feet. For the present, natural gas will be mixed with the manufac¬ officials have to of away, commercial able operators Big Inch and Little Inch gas pipelines, announced that the first be tured product for domestic stated Martin W. Clement, President Pennsylvania Railroad, an¬ nounced that the company has ordered 114 additional diesel-electric locomotives and 2,300 freight cars which will cost approxi¬ mately $27,500,000. This will bring, the company's post-war modernization of Of the company that the in¬ troduction of natural gas to Phila¬ delphia was necessary to relieve Mr. - Philadelphia Packard Stock Active in Wire to New *N.Y. Phone COrtlandt 7-6814 CHAPLIN AND York share City COMPANY Members New the new . A / of ing the one preferred for held. common registration statement the (1 Broadway NEW ration cover-' issue is expected to effective '. about April new 13, which will probably also be record Bowline Croon 9-3987 Bell System Teletype—PQ 473 : ' subscribe. date .,aqd First for rights Boston Smith, Barney negotiating with Co. & the are company in respect to forming a group to 1500 Walnut St., Philadelphia 2 /Phone Klngsley 5-1716 | Tele. PH 677 Branch: D:me ALLENTOWN / ^Ointlc City Elec. Com. Chemical Com/ 'J®r; '"J Pub. Pnlla. Serv. Com. Richmond Cedar Roberts A Wks. Com. i Price-Earnings Ratios and Yields 123 Public Elec. Co. Common trains will be & Light U ; • -I The 50th annual E> H. Rollins & Sons Incorporated PEnnypacker 5-0100 im Walnut St., Philadelphia 2 | New York ; *• & new revenues rec- is chandise still carrier share Co., were for three serve years. ' (Special to The Financial — Chronicle) Walter J. has become associated' Salle Street, members of the Chicago Ames, Exchange. Stock Malatesta Mr. formerly; with was Emerich & Co„, Inc., and (Special' •;*.; to The Financial <Chronicl®>'; Thomas and the v/ith minous 55 combined. F, Mangan are ncrw Herrick, Waddell & Co., Inc., Liberty Street, New York City. TTtt Continuing Interest in: American Meter Co. t '■», ' i fj •• Grinnell Corporation Cannon Mills, Inc. Class "B" Central Soya Co. Inc. ~ ~ / * -"liipt Southern Advance Bag & Paper Co. Talon, Inc. STROUD & COMPANY ^ ^ ^ Boston Chicago San Pranclsco ;;.U, it ESTABLISHED Incorporated -w. 123 SO. BROAD STREET 120 BROADWAY PHILADELPHIA 9, PA. NEW YORK 5, N. Y. PEnnypacker 5-7330 REctor 2-6528-29 Allentown ; Pittsburgh " Lancaster Scranton l: *; CHICAGO, ILL.—Paul Herbert mer¬ on Request P With Brailsford & Co. coun¬ of 1914 Boenning & Co. Members Members ' New Philadelphia York Curb Stock Exchange Exchange /:/.* (Associate) 1606 Walnut Street, Philadelphia 3, Pa, , • New York Telephone—COrtlandt 7-1202 Telephone PEnnypacker 6-8200 • 11 to trustees Walter J. Malatesta Nowv tonnage of anthractite and bitu¬ coal appointed Herrick, Waddel! Adds Two largest in the exceed now D. Moreau orig¬ was shipments Jr., .Botciier R. C. Harvey & Associates. $1.28. the . and Sherrerd, La anthracite an ^ Butcher, y for 1947 Per Reading inally considered and ' with Brailsford & Co., 208 South $8,215,649, equal common share after $ were Merriam B. Co.; Secretary: Malatesta of was dividends. F.;!w Snyder & Co.; E. CHICAGO,; ILL. $116,760,042. Net income for' road Geo. Brown, Brown Bros. Harriman & J report Reading Co. discloses year Jr., Barthold. Co. Reading Company - ■. prospectus Bought—Sold—Quoted f ing officers of the Exchange wer$ appointed to setve for the ensu-. .♦'''/f.'i • *Offered only by PHILADELPHIA,/ PA.—At the el — ■/". Utility Common Stocks. on in the power •/'.p.V Copies Mender Common ^ i regular meeting of the Board of Governors, March 17, the follow¬ der, Reporting that its post-war . expansion program has resulted in an expenditure of about $35,000,000 to date, Penn¬ sylvania Power & Light Co. states that it plans to spend an addi¬ tional $100,000,000 through 1951. try, freight / commit- companies/ Exchange Appoints New/Officers Howard Power anthracite Valuation and Appraisal Finance and of the ila. Stock & Penna. Although CITY OF PHILADELPHIA BONDS j Executive tees Harrisburg." preferred RAILROAD EQUIPMENT CERTIFICATES Bld^,, Allen town, Pa. has been elected Chairman of the Treasurer:- H. Gates Lloyd, Drex- * earnings in 1946 ; Chief Ex¬ as by diesel to $3.87 per Valuation and Appraisal of his duties passenger the Available Publications v lieved ecutive Officer at his request and handled of .'•I securities Otho E. Lane, Chairman of Board, Fire Association- n Group, Philadelphia, has been re¬ through ord-operating Incorporated Mr. Vice-President: George E. Sny¬ non-electrified territory west of to Corp*, STOCK EXCHANGE investment the largest. are ; '■ ing year: i TORK, N. Y. Grant 3900 PHILADELPHIA in the become York, Curb Exch. (Assoc.) PITTSBURGH 22, PA. a members | Pitts. Stock Exch. 10th Floor, Peoples Bk. Bldg. the planning the issuance 107,383 shares of preferred of -; the is each 12 shares of N. Y. Stock Exch. f % the country. "By May this year," he said, "we expect that our important east-west stock to be offered to its stock¬ Bldg., Philadelphia 2 If!*#? PH 375 Corp. holders Direct that installations in PITTSBURGH—It is reported that Alleghany Ludlum Steel Issues Exchange • all Western Pennsylvania Samuel I. Phillips & Co stated diesel in progress now v/z"■ Allegheny Ludlum Preferred Hershey Creamery Com. locomotives, 54 new Clement company's followed expansion of local facili- /v< 'V"" v . cost the road's Altoona works. Transportation Issues Trading Department a / / Works, Eddy stone. The 2,300 freight cars will be built at shortage and to avoid the raising of rates which would have 1 K v will be built at the Baldwin Loco¬ the fuel ti es. 114 to program $173,500,000. motive Gas -use.; and - R.R. Orders Penna. . of order will be valueless; Lehigh Valley RR. Annuity 4Vjj Members Corp., • ft J Last week Texas Eastern Trans- mission Informed observers believe that the transportation company will now Rittenhouse Sq. 5V2-1950 In criticism by action, the Federal challenged. against hasty support Phila. be has and 1900 litigation Philadelphia April 1 and 2. Exchange Bldg. Phila. 2 Telephone will recognition leged Stock that and Texas Gas to Philadelphia State the involving its rulings should be brought in State courts. Thus court Stromberg Carlson Co. of arm an the intervention Sterling Motor Truck H. M. share. sel is expected to argue that the Gas Bell > ; ~ ' System Teletype PH 30 p! Volume 167 Number 4686 •* THE COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & (1429) "w " Wisdom for : V' "■ •- Colonel King lists as CLUB OF 'SYRACUSE " ' ': ":i ' : ' j / '• '/ on principles to be followed: (1) ld .1 a c» c o m - s c s io n o n i v e 1 c the Heaton come . President—Edward L. Emmons, Reynolds & Co. . Vice-President—Everett W. Snyder, E. W. V Treasurer—Francis Q Coulter, ; p ^ Snyder^ Co. ; i. Board of Governors—Edward V Congress i t: began J. Bullock, Reid-Bullock Co.; Mar¬ & man ; lifted from volume to dinal there earnings and management. the positions and : " . conta¬ C; (4) the SUPERVISION Of holdings the of four are These new guiding principles, ' car* maximum the keep in mind and bull new benefit market. . from . .. ' * - NATIONAL SECURITY TRADERS ASSOCIATION •- *>'A ' '/"• Paul I. Moreland, Moreland & Co., Detroit;, Chairman of the Special Legislative Committee of the National Security Traders M' Association, Inc., membership of the that the complete as follows: announces committee is ., ;. I - Malon C. Courts, Courts & Co., Atlanta, Ga. Richard A. Gottron, Gottron, Russell & Co., Southern California Edison Company-1947 Cleveland, O. /a -r.,v:"'" f Oliver B. Scott, Maxwell, Marshall & Co., Los . Angeles, Calif.-..j 5,'Sumner R. Wolley, Coffin - - Paul L & Burr, Boston, Mass. Moreland, Chairman, Moreland & Co] Detroit, Mich. : In addition to the five members of the commit — ^ ui inc cumuiHr z V: . '! Paul I. Moreland tee, each affiliate of NSTA is designating rooonfotiwo fn a rep- J resentative to advise with the committee proper. names of these representatives will be an¬ nounced as soon as their selection is completed. ...LU 1.. _ The • phia; la - redoubtable in/his; local ;..-s ajld Brokers Bowling League, will con- pin-smasherr Gross Revenue of the: /v Plowt ' Harry Fahrig, Jr., Reynolds .& Co., Philadel¬ . v. /v/ Company in. 1947 was $86,267,983, an increase of a INVESTMENT TRADERS ASSOCIATION OF PHILADELPHIA .v Expansion ... /The Company s plant budget for 1947 was approximately $52,500,000,; and the $12,138,745 or 16.4% over 1946. After all operating/ / ' work programmed was substantially all performed. / expenses, including taxes and frequency change ex- :/ The plant budget for 1948 is $63,594,637. ;'.,,;TvPc6se» after payment in full of all dividends on / : < preferred stocks,-the het income was equivalent to ''; 1^48 BUDGET , $20,941,609 y / > $1.95 per share for tht common stock. ; ' : 'r;/ Stcwn Scewn Electric Electric Generating Plants /V * Gross and Net Income: « ) \ -voy a v hopeful group of keglers from Philadelphia to New York on The tabulation below of gross revenue April 18 where they will engage / ,a*team*chosen-from- ^any'^ cjcack Jumbermen. • The the friendly . is'.scheduled- pogrom/ which common reflects the '•■ri-; for night preceding the Stany. dinner, has for the something of annual an stock for the five years - Philadelphia has yet to win a series. SECURITY Harry Fahrij, Jr. . TRADERS 1946 . 457,828,029 •i / .William C. Jaokson/Jr., President and of the urer First Southwest Texas, lias been selected nicipal/ Committee as of. - | -" Traders Association according • to word received R. Victor Mosleyr President. , of the Investment '} Mr. Jackson 1.83 . . A . ■w C. has tacuzene become associated with Hogan and Farwell., Inc. He Hvas partner formerly Browne & a Fleming. in Ross, " « Investments Lapham Joins Staff I - Cohu & Co., merly in under the firm of name • ' v 'if H. . jj Total Assets A for¬ himself B. . Company's generating facilities at December 31, was 1,394,180 kilowatts, compared with 1,308,- 450 kilowatts in j 19^6, it t •;?»' an increase of 85,730 kilowatts. Generating facilities of 299,000 kilowatt capacity presently under construction will bring the Company's . .of 1948, to 1,561,180 kilowatts, and to 1,693,180 kilo* watts late in 194% New Business • . . » »• 'Is.6 . Vs, .r --f i 1.. The total of new business signed in 1947 was 639,000 revenue x^: ■■ '■ DECIMKt u 1 » » * » • • • * . , » J . > • - i • • estimated annual an / 31, 1»«7 ' $430,422,951 * # H.P., with of $9,272,000. Liabilities "t *, . . Capital Stock Expense was for . Deferred Charges Syracuse Sav¬ business Laoham & Co. $63,594,637 , CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET *■ ' SYRACUSE, N. Y.—Beverley H, has become associated ings Bank Building. He . and-Other Assets Current Assets ,'i; Lapham with 6,609,290 . ! » Of Cohu Co. in Syracuse Megan and Farwell . Departments / /iTotal 1948 Budget yp'V s.nii H it ill '*. Electric Plant / - CHICAGO, ILL.—Michael Can¬ All Other - . Wf*. Assets B. H. 14,663,972 continuing expense of the Com-,, Jackson,. Jr. M. Cantacuzene With _, fifty-year record low rain- CONDENSED W. y below- the 1947 level.- i o'.l 2,892,683 . ■ snowpack condition in California in 1947- Bankers Association. /■; : 9.307,844 Distribution Lines i,« 1947 Company of $10,000,000 in 1948; Such abnormal: I" year » . of the 1-95 pletion ub rl948, ait expected to reduce net income for ■/ the 4.734,403 Generating Capacity... The operating tapacity , pany's frequency change program, scheduled for com¬ was » i . '>.• / of all other charges, including dividends on preferred stocks, ^fuel costs, and the formerly Chairman of the Texas Municipal Com¬ mittee ; 74,129,238 86,267,983 ' from '/ $1.43-// 1948 involvesestimated increase in fuel expense to National; / Security is very well known in municipal circles and Common Slock* * After payment fall and the . V . . Forecast for 1948 Corporation, Dallas, Chairman of the Mu¬ the . , i;"''.-;- Treas¬ «/•£ Per Share for ■ '.V: '*64:686.947 *»'^450,637 }947 />;. ASSOCIATION / Earnings ■ " *>'Rettnue pJt'f 1944 , '■ -», Distribution Substations * Pit 194$, % NATIONAL .VV-.A -Cross 1943 ' Transmission Substations 194-3-1947, 4,445,436 Hydroelectric Generating Plants Transmission Lines be- affair, although ' steady expansion which has occurred in the Company's operations. ^ v 1come and earnings Stated Capital and Surplus 11375^29 Bonded Indebtedness 32,057,010 Current Liabilities * • . . . . * . • * «. , 43,831,701 . . ■ • » • * 103,617,881 . « • » . * » • » J $484,667,913 Other Reserves and Liabilities . . . ' rt f. U i i&i'W *1 \ u 138,000,000 . 2,486,321 ? .$190,899,241 . Depreciation Reserve Total Liabilities. '•» . . 8,326,402 $484,667,913 care¬ fully followed, will bring success and enable the investor to realize Co.; George W. Mason, and Norman C. Schmidt, Blair F. Clayf baugh & Co. i ■ (3) DIVERSIFICATION of pur¬ chases in order .to minimize /risks principles that the shrewd investor should shares 650,000 coming market bull industrial the the With 8*4 points and increased averages the to message , March 17, the rally that best financial in order to a rising stock market, but check-losses, take psychology of the trader has profits and be on the outlook for any .sudden changes that might changed and the public will soon recognize the superiority of equi¬ affect the market objectives of profit or income. ties to cash. * ' : > . Truman's on the strongest the Following liquidation. President / shall .W. Day, Geo. D. B. Bonbright & Co.; Drew G. Eastman, East-1- ef-< to with gion of Col. Herbert G. King had> v e immune remained that' -V;'/ Secretary—Charles T. Heaton, W. N. Pope, Inc. : t i e c / Syracuse Trust Co. u end .(2)'SELECTION of the Issues , . confir-» mation Charles T. gave then to sell when they reach over¬ ! priced levels. the tape and recognizing that pro* longed dullness marks the end of a bear market and that a sudden rally out of quietude indicated the stirrings of a new forward movement. So far the public ha$ ses- < sv1 '/,■.. »(1). TIMING purchases so as to buy when certain issues are sell¬ ing- at under-priced levels am rule of never arguing with worn - used will bring rich properly rewardsr spread rapidly. \ j 1 Speculative success comes only to\ those who follow" the timcT < panying the foreign sell-, irig". The pain-; fully dull if news ap- peared to account for the abrupt -upturn, but the speculative belief that a major turn was at hand in o w s million. No to over two - the bad news, Snyder (2) selection; (3), diversification; and timing; ^ the the face of all W. . devastating bear markets in history eame to a close during the third It terminated as undramatically as it had begun and most the windup completely. The tip-off was the extreme dullness that accom¬ traders missed panied o E. • March, after 22 months. br ea kvtheif Emmons ► ■ - , Cne of the most week of Averages L. ■' ^ \ - , ,r; (4) supervision. failure of the |5dw J o n es Edward ; Member, New York Stock Exchange * . The Bond Club of Syracuse held its annual election of officers Feb. 18. The following were elected to serve for the coming year! Bull i Market a By HERBERT G. KING - - - " BOND 13 TraWBHFV&in 8,319390 ■ ' the J ~ — THE COMMERaAL 14 " (1430) FINANCIAL & "■ ■ ift" ' r ''. ... It announced ' his resign by appearing—during vision to take for the prac¬ Member 1948:' and tice of law in ■ .■ ' TABLE York New City Mr. who . Treanor, was attorney Brokers' Securities Loans Loans under the Na¬ tional Jan. Indus¬ 1 A A,. A. i t c later special Treanor,. Jr. coun¬ Federal investigation, telephone of service the in its entered SEC the in and ing Holy Cross from the School Division Exchange He 1941. in College Boston in practice graduated t in He Desmond T. Barry, . in the American ; The branch at quarters at 1 zone. Heidelberg, with Friedrich Elbert Allee, is the third Chase location in Germany, two other offices having been opened at Frankfurt and Stuttgart within the past four months. W. H. Promann is in charge ,of the Heidelberg branch. Tota!j quarter of 1947. All classes are or 2.5%. Treasury bills, cer *5,601] 715 5,581 Offsetting this loss has 5,88.1 'ncrease in rates on 5,634 and as 5,775 stiffening of the rate notes and 3139,000,000 down 5,85*1 4,029 863 5,64? 267 4,149 766 5,711 Investments" average fractionally below their totals of 1.947 first stantially the same; interest rates on Government obligations are 11 446 267 4,172 quarter. "'Total Loan* & Invest¬ somewhat ; 267 4,157 509 1 7-j. 725 816 . .... f 3,949 292 11 1 5,76<j 728 5,612 783 ; 5,711 $157,030,000 certificates, TABLE FIRST II 1. V/V'vVif I:11 i.'l;)' Securities Loans Treasury bills well as some ments'' 253 422 252 21-'—-. 468 1 1/ 248 ~ 500 4 25_... Mar. : 3-*,-. 1 5,290 111 5,215 1,106 5,208 5,164 .5,181/ 239 fill 5,174 232 5,160 IS , • 1,081 7,261 1,036 1*,G55 7;087 7,245 -I' 7,023 7,047 ■' 1,030 1,015 il; 12 Wk. Avg. 240 572 1 1,034 5,249 Average total loans outstanding during the first quarter of this year were $1,385,000,000 higher than during 1947 first quarter; percentwise they are approximately 24% higher.* The principal gain average 33% Loans to brokers and loans for carrying securltie: are moderately lower than a year ago, while miscellaneous loars comprising real estate loans, loans to banks, etc., average $290,000t00( I QUARTER J- ! . Total In¬ Obligations 12,013 I'¬ ll 11,833 1 vestments 2,783 8.— 2,621 2,771 4 22 2,885 1 2,574 5 Feb. 11,724 11,786 9,212 . 19—' 26—.J -!i r^?// 13 9,150 26—1 2,111 5_— . . 1^12,05Q .1: 9,204 12 >-11,965 9,165 9,215 Mar. BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5, N. Y ; 2,582 19—i Laird, Bissell & Meeds 9,194 : 2,268 2,223 .' 12 Request 9,212 15-i.— 29 of New York 9,230 11,483 11,440 9,207 i 2,413 9,208' 11,323 11,621 2,428 9,150 11,578 2,662 9,222 i/1 11,884 2,292 9,279 1:111,571 9,204 11,713 i i— Wk. Avg, 2,509 , ' Tot. LoanS & 18.878 12,880 18,513 1 .13,012:1 11- 18,614 ,13,087" v 12,757. 18,674 1 18,639 12,810" 18,444 '12,504 12,334 1' •, and of violence Two ; r - Emil New y 18,473 1 i ,,••/ ■ operations of was entrance in .and -12 ensued and, 45 4 provocative acts glad of J. S. Rippel&Co. Established 18 Clinton 1891 St., Newark 2, N. J. MArket 3-3430 N. Y. Phone—REctor 2-4383 CHICAGO 4- HUbbard 2-0650 BS-297 , .• FRAnklin 7535 , CG-105 PRIVATE WIRE SYSTEM CONNECTING: Michigan 2837 ' LA-1086 NEW YORK, Rusv Building TELEPHONES TO: Hartford, Enterprise 6011 Providence, Enterprise 7008 Portland, Enterprise 7008 Detroit, Enterprise 6066 \ are this .. and in I -••<••1 yl: - a im~ 1 ^ .{.v uninterrupted. 1 ! - re¬ kind on • that of most not were em¬ . demand by the union for a closed or union shop. On 31, it Wednesday afternoon, March was reported .that pickets thrown were Street, out saying: "Brokerage em¬ ployees in this building be ready for a general strike of all Wall Street and the was brief period a sus¬ at the soon partially According Mr; has was to every " precaution taken to maintain of Ithe peaceful exchanges. It reported that about 6.75 of the Emanuel, Deetjen & Co., 52 Wil¬ change, announce~that ed manager the firm's vestment of and underwriting department/ 1 Mr. has Phillips been en¬ the .in banking and broke rage field with Tucker, An¬ thony & Co. from 1928 1946, for to banking were women. and the to The question of through Service, with union- deavoring that Meanwhile, the Fed¬ Mediation the exchanges officers, settle the is en¬ disputes. at issue is not only increased wages but a l-llll year employees striking, about one-fifth Spencer Phillips except a adviser strike, and • in¬ he on Spencer Phillips has been appoint¬ ment out financial liam Street, New York City, mem¬ bers of the New York Stock Ex¬ when were . Spencer Phillips With Emanuel, Deef jen Go. 1 New York Stock Exchange's 1,300 of those entire district;"; investment for Pine 70 notices the was around and that they passed fected consultations CLEVELAND, PHILADELPHIA, ST. LOUIS, LOS ANGELES, SAN FRANCISCO year March 27, and, with aid of gaged eral SF-573 banks of instances good provement may be shown. af¬ YUkon 6-2332 BOSTON, CHICAGO^ equal those of last quar¬ number ex¬ was SAN FRANCISCO 4 LOS ANGELES 14 - the of 1 The o-nly section of stock change business which was operation Wall Street 231 S. LaSalle Street. 210 West Seventh Street were ployees of the Stock Exchange. Schram, NY 1-2875 strikers any know to involved beginning, but W BOSTON 9 ex¬ arrested. also s 10 Post Office Square the Schram, President of the pended INCORPORATED WHitjshauu 3-0702 normal a by the walkout, quotation service, which GEYER & CO. 67 conducted the part of > the Exchange and there will be none." -He said he been NEW YORK 5: order, both Stock Exchange, fol¬ lowing the street fracas, issued a statement expressing "deepest re¬ gret" because of the violence, and adding that "there have been no was 1 ' the York those BANK and INSURANCE STOCKS I re¬ strike policemen 18,410 i. ' the injured, were restored. * by unions, i Despite prevent 18,586 12,762 earnings -t ' ago. Exchange and New York Curb Exon character. On Tuesday, March 30, a number of the pickets attempted :11 WHOLESALE MARKETS IN \ enlarged were business 18.365- Teletype—NY 1-1248-49 NEW JERSEY Stock of the exchanges ' . exchanges 18,334 . 5 , and 1 1 year On 1 • a j 12,653 12,694 of 5 12,689 Telephone: BArclay 7-3500 (L. A. Gibbs, Manager Trading Dept.) ! 18.224 18,191 12,955 , > in¬ are ;— ported to have received injuries/ i 18,279 1 i 1-12,453 * Investsl ! 13,077 also likely that first seems ill'. 1,1 Hi 11 change buildings by lying down in front of the doorways. When forced to get up by the police, 1947 Total U.S.G. sub¬ are here of seamen's unions, began mass picketing before- exchange premises. Violence results in injury and arrests, but operations 1 to , Bonds as ... picketing, however, and the sud¬ ($000,000) 1—1 quar- words, higher, of mod¬ are deposits lower; and up mem- denness These tables also show f TABLE. Ill other cruits from members of the AFL 1 /: -V1; yllv,1 //I/\1l/l •::f With regard to the banks' portfolios of Government obligations* FIRST $21,-! change fail to report for work seamen's higher. 'Total.Loans & Investments/'- are holdings Exchange Employees Strike ngs, been in commercial and agricultural loans, which above last year. the comparison is, shown in Tables III and IV. up; March 27, without formal notice, the long threatened strike )f the United Financial Employees, Local 205, AFL, against the New York Stock and the New York Curb Exchanges became a fact. Before he exchanges opened for operations, picket lines were formed at the mtrances of the exchange buildi¬ 7;095 .. . In year. 1; Workers of New York 'I"■"' It ter during — 7,038 7<10C 7,14C . are those over Clearing House Banks 11"1 -''l-i'l :fJ1l;i1:1: ' 1" commercial up, operatmg costs payroll charges have increased and i 7,085 1,014 1,084 11,009 ,. loans terest rates on commercial loans. On the other hand, ' " • . $21,413,000,000 this ter down, miscella¬ agricultural loans erately 6.7% or. 408,000,000- during* th£' first 7,037 61992 7,065 A 1,00-3 .I1- 5,267 1#1 238 640 991 7 - 5,324 i Tptai LoanF a ,964 " ■ 5,343 235 • 10— 11 771 1 589 1 17 • 24 5.332. '. 5,327 241 •• <- • iveraged '/ •' Misci Loans Agric. Loans 247 446 - Si are total With regard to deposits, weekly of "demand deposits" of New York are loans neous Government obligations $1,228,0Q0,000. are curity loans and Govern¬ on the first quarter of 1947, and Commercial ..Loans : & . an totals ■■ 1948 been bonds. ment 5,710 'Vi' ' ; " QUARTER 1.7%. or " " 744 .: 1-488 Jan. change no year ago.' 274 Feb. has substantially I1 I f To summarize: brokers' and se¬ a 530 14 1 is from 579 ll/Qll-111 > there by 5.5%?, while bonds or 26— ; 71.' lower are moderately below the first down only approximately $300,000,- average 000 733 • Ctfs. & Notes SECURITIES 19,701 tificates Office at 1818 Third Avenue under Bell 12,608 are U.S. <80 11,415 5,80)| 15,6311 • Treasury Bills Members New York Stock Exchange 9,047 Governments 684 :*• 7ii BESSEMER, ALA..—r Carlson & Company have opened a branch on 2,370 of It will also be noted that "Total ' Circular Avg. Holdings Loans ' National City Bank Wk. 766 New Carlson Branch the direction of Cecil Cosby. 12 \ . 3,968 , ■ 19,087 286 y.. Estab¬ offer 19,298 12,040 837 231 will 12,275 10,795 734 656 JA branch 11,073 8,512 3,924 233 the 2,569 2,283 3,956 739 Germany, I'- 19,639 295 ill 11 . ience of Americans there, accord¬ limited banking facilities to U. S. military and authorized personnel, including those of allied countries, 19,285 12,394 816 28 authorities in Washington, and the U. S. Military Government in 12,198 11,180 -/y"i- 19 Jan. the 11,039 8,526 8,504 2,654 724 235 of .8,530 2,509 3,913 584 here. 19,698 1 19,685 1 9,085 29-3 5 conven¬ approval 12,558 10— i— ... . - 12,424 17_. 24—: 19,723 11,278 3— 1 19,99-3 11,394 •'••11' — 25.. -il 2,193 i; 1. ■ 19,850 12,958 12,623 799 18 bank 9,191 . 11,455 12 berg, the 2,203 1. 756 566 the 18.1 11,777 9,189 1 289 11__._ with 9,219 676 Bank has been opened in Heidel¬ of -1/1 5 Wk. Avg. Opened in Germany office 2,558 2,266 19,84-2 12,765 3,784 Brokers' lished ^ —, higher. ■ ing to word received at the head 9,286 3,848 3,883 , the 1 Loans ($000,000) for 4... 11.., 2,285 — 20,175 'I 20,138 . 302 former Mayor I A branch of the Chase National '1:111 28.., ' 307 to Third Chase Branch 11,571 .2,374 _— ,13,138 12,850 13,073- 29,8 of Hastings, N. Y. Germany, Misc. 3,781 • . " 13 with York 11,631 11,875 778 26_— and intends New & Invests. 9,504 9,501 v .- 726 1/ 19_ in University Law 1927. law Tot. Loans Obligations 11,911 vestments 9,5.15 1 2,396 — 881 12—. . from 1924 Total In¬ Bonds 29— Mar. 1936 and became Director of the Trad¬ June, 309 Total U.S.G. Ctls. & Notes • Com¬ Commission munications ~ . Agric. Loans 3,776 U $000,000) U.S. 22—_■ Feb. the sel for / IV QUARTER 1948 •' ' ' 15 1933, n was 1947 Commercial & 334 1,007 :. 832 8— trial Recovery and QUARTER < ($000,000) "S. U. a FIRST ' I ' ■i-irjlv 21.1 Banks in New" York City for the first quarter of 194'. j 1 ;•/■■ ■•"'•"<\1'""'1 •' yi '/1v li/T/'l FIRST * 2,127 show? How? Feb. operating earnings, or indicated earnings, for the first quarter ■1 '1;1 of 1948 likely to compare with those of the first quarter ol a94<m It may be of interest to compare the situation as to ear run ,1-1 assets, deposits, interest rates, etc., for the two quarters. ' Tables Mar. and II, present bank loans as reported by the Federal Reserve Boar, 1- and Exchange Di¬ '• 14.1. net are Trading up Bank Stocks — First quarter reports of,the banks will soon be the first week of April^ What may they be expected to on April 1 as Director of its post ^il/i This Week .1 the ' < TABLE 1 Treasury Bills , Jan.,, 7_. Se¬ curities and Exchange Commission that' James A. Treanor, Jr. will was ; ' ' By E. A. VAN DEUSEN 1 1 k , , of Trading and Exchange Divi-' sion, resigns to enter private law practice in New York. r" Thursday,^ April lr 1948 It.* 1) ly". 1 -V Bank and Insurance Stocks James A. Treanor, Jr., Director iht—Y ti CHRONICLE :'f Quits SEC Post m-r was vestment in 1946 experience consultant, he as one and of as an in¬ was in¬ of the partners who studies',of the firm's department with the quirements clients. insurance join Kalb, Voorhis & Co. coordinate research by 1 invest¬ as companies/ Because his extensive vited to retained of its re¬ institutional ' Volume 167 Number 4686 THE COMMERCIAL Arthur , dent ment of significant step toward self-help, as suggested by Marshall Plan. Says nine nations have joined compensation scheme and Great Britain shows increasing interest after initial reluctance. Under plan, Bank for International Settlements as cen¬ ; ; - The 77;: original restricted scheme. v European Group, to Kiendl Company. of Trust Program as proposed by the United insisting all along upon a maximum of among the 16 participating nations. Euro¬ position. fi^st confronted with that American <§>- ' For they have been considerable accus¬ tomed sible since immem¬ with orial to countries in terms of out g a d r t o broader conti¬ ».he nental-view¬ points.- there has been gradual ization Ernest H. Weinwurm result "■ •. from the i?:;7-., ' -v.~ those pressure has Five With ^ '7.'-j. agreement an compensation. for '•'* ' •***! I Exchange, an¬ registered rep¬ to Russ Building, been New York York Stock that nounces five resentatives its have organization added to Hemphill, Noyes & Bank Building in Indianapolis. in' the of Davies & Proceeds and was The won tions. the of (Special to Chamberlain Financial The Proceeds retire to of-the common/, applied to the 1948 j California The Chronicle) Co. WING, MINN.—N. C. Lien lias joined the staff of L. W. Chamberlain & Co., Inc., 315 East is an electricity water extent small and Oregon Oregon and i ; . !—t u ■! V:'; ■*' '''!•• ■ ' (Final installment of ' y.M , fv .'iV# authorized issue of $32,910,000) an ;/;7. 1 .'■■ •* /■ / :'.y' '' <:■ 7, Pennsylvania Railroad Equipment Trust, Series S 2%% Equipment Trust Certificates currencies ,/.t * $10,995,000 .. if* i, .1 .. (Philadelphia Plan) i t , V ;: : im To , mature annually $733,000 on each July 1, 1948 to 1962, inclusive V "!• '** !'' To be These : v are to be issued under an Agreement dated July 1, 1947, Supplemented of January 1, 1948, which will provide for the issuance of $32,910,000 principal amount of Certificates to be secured by new standard-gauge railroad equipment estimated to Statistical Bureau, Inc., Certificates as and Faii child Publications ' jMjf»vduring last I2 months,: jtt unconditionally guaranteed as to payment of principal and dividends by endorsement by The Pennsylvania Railroad Company • O, which-fiey^M cost not less than $41,137,500. - - - - <. • notes slight business recession and weakening in economic and price " structure. Say**; war not imminent, and holds tax reduction will I*; have stimulating effect on prices and business activity. Concludes 7 economic forces are Changing in the balance,'' and basic difficulty ! ■M v, • < , i , I V is still too much production at too high believe that little bit like discussion a reading of economic price. a tendencies / ... should be a • ■/''' '• ;7:/v;- ## has place di>' them jn tain a cer- ■ ' • - ■ ■' . First,There i situation.;' job, you was —* unless' 7*A% or to the Zra dio moderate a h7 v -I#••'" h u first n d two r e d are thought to the signifi¬ developments and indicative gave no cant trends of the last 12 months. The first thing\ we must have is a quick flashback" to the action that has brought us and where Last Here is of the Twelve a very things attention at the we Months ; deserve " our Wh^t I call to Zelomek 1.90 ; 7- /1957 > 7 ■ 1959 2.50 I960 2.35.#!! 2.40 7 7 be¬ k 2.60 1962 2.65 • off HALSEY, STUART &. CO. your attention is a R. W. fiscal Inc. A. BEAR, STEARNS & CO. RRESSPRICH & CO. had came at time a when BECKER EQUITABLE SECURITIES CORPORATION 7 7 incorporated it and did cut and most in long. new , mid-Summer, of activity — value measures,— high ground by the R. L. DAY & CO. that the modest F. (incorporated) . BURR & COMPANY, ROTHSCHILD & CO. • HAYDEN, MILLER & CO. ! HUTCHINSON> CO> THE * in WM. Quarter represented a adjustment of any dis¬ will not the next time repeat a : is E. POLLOCK & CO., JULIEN COLLINS & COMPANY . to themselves ' said for . 7 the belief that: (a) the economic situation ,, - (Continued on page * ' 7 as a COMPANY v " MULLANEY, ROSS & COMPANY E. W. & R. C. MILLER & CO. 7. 7" 7 F. S. YANTjS^ CO. THOMAS & COMPANY 7".. July 1, 1947. Principal and semi-annual dividends (July 1 and January 1) payable in Philadelphia or New York City. Definitive Certificates, with dividend warrants attached, in the denomination of M,000, registerable as to principal. Not redeemable prior te maturity. These Certificates are offered when, as and if received by us, Certificates in temporary or definitive form will be available for delivery at the office of Halsey, Stuart & Co, Inc. The information contained herein has been carefully compiled from sources considered reliable ana, while not guar¬ anteed as to completeness or accuracy, we believe it to be correct as of this date. To be dated .• be ^ MILWAUKEE COMPANY THE WISCONSIN INC. C. C. COLLINGS AND COMPANY incorporated f decline gets under ; ' much ' KEAN, TAYLOR & CO. THE ILLINOIS COMPANY pos¬ decline there were in the post¬ economy? Or Was the reversal caused by outside developments that INC. 1 FREEMAN & COMPANY FIRST OF MICHIGAN CORPORATION the second full-scale HORNBLOWER & WEEKS 7,77' 7 j McMASTER Why did this happen? Is it L. -v (incorporated) end of the year. sible 7 OTIS & CO. It by measures particularly were last not short was GRAHAM, PARSONS &, CO. > HARRIS, HALL & COMPANY & SON GREGORY /This little recession did not go far : CO. incorporated United States exports were at a peak. fore the Kiwanis Club, New York G. :r ' City, March 31, 1948. 2,55 / 1961 aresubjtqltoauthorizationby tht Interstate Comwierce Commssion. in any State in which this announcement is undersigned and other dealers as may ,. 4' f. lawfully offer these securities in such State. 77 7 , in which the defense budget been 14 Va billion dollars. It year way? moment. Mr. 1956 ; The Offering Circular may be obtained, circulated from only such of the 7 - by 2.25 siigntly. There •^Address 1955 tortions are. brief statement that 1.55 1950 2.45% ['Issuance.and sale of these Certificates war 7 2.15 ; July, eased the fact that this moderate decline completely in the dark. ,So would we be, in any dis¬ cussion of economic tendencies, if we April I; prices e occurred at the tail end of Of course, if haven't read 7 l you next. you e s a you guess what will happen /'• between read, to pages, 1954 7 7. 1958 re¬ while should be able . 2.05% 1.35 1.15% 1949 1952 be added) ..'7 , cession in business activity during quarter of last year, dropped .'by about have been 7W h 01 listening the f to 1953 1951 Unless he has ; the second done a poor Production A.' W.x Zelomek (Accrued dividends 1948 book. After you have read the first 200 pages, you should be able to make a reasonable guess about what happens in the last fifty. The author has created certain characters and a MATURITIES AND YIELDS 7 April 1, 1948. 7-'-v 77 -.7' 43) y a northern California. • ,f to southern in , multi¬ .•> Power operating public utility providing Avenue. ■> , , bonds will be incurred will be stock RED Merchants #/ at debt and for extensions and addi¬ Francisco San interest. bonds indebtedness Mejia, of the members accrued the construction program.;; main¬ Co. offices staff Joins L. W. Maurice L. Fogarty, E. N. Gimbel and A. G. Matzke. tains the of applied to the prepayment of note, Stock Exchanges. in Indianapolis, Ind. The five, air formerly with Paul H. Davis &7C0., are Paul Campbell, Michael J. Duffecy, By A*w- zelomek* Economist, International Chronicle) New Economic Tendencies! . Financial hill, Noyes & Co., member of the to achieve "trans" -v-"!• c "" • The to ;SAN FRANCISCO, CALIF.— John C. Poshepny has been added It. repre¬ ; expan-1ferablllty of European v' ""-t (Speq)al and competitive sale on a bid of 100.5311. Blyth & Co., Inc., and the First Boston Corp. are heading a group which is offering 100,000 shares of common stock (par $20) at $21.50 per share. This issue was awarded at competitive sale on a bid of $19.91 a share. With Davies & Mejia | /'INDIANAPOLIS, IND.—Hemp¬ The report of the Paris Confer¬ of the ^sixteen nations sug- ■■■... »I. V'V"'7'1 the Hemphill, Noyes ence 77~ : ■ , Walnut 1606 ernment securities. - r ad¬ in Co., & 101% award Street, members of the Philadel¬ phia Stock Exchange and New York Curb Exchange (Associate), as a registered representative. group, which now numbers 20 dealers specializing in U. S. Gov¬ sipn of trade and should be eased .based on a proposal submitted by step by step.:,-But there is also r * : (Continued on page 46) i- been membership Bpenning and is Restrictions pansion in various directions. least, that restrictions hamper to Bank Halsey, Stuart & Co; offering to the public $4,500,000 first mortgage bonds 3V8% series due April 1, 1978 at Inc. Boenning Adds Gribbel Trust , $6,650 000. 1 PHILADELPHIA, PA.—William G, Gribbel is now associated with Morris, Bankers Chemical I Mr. year. C. strictions and may provide a suit¬ able starting point for further ex¬ unanimous theory"at or harm than good. sents a cautious but significant step in the struggle to get rid of present almost intolerable re¬ payments restrictions. in ahead. Any at- go more lateral larly important in the field of in¬ consensus, do cluding . virtually Financing in behalf of the California Oregon Power Cp. is being undertaken today to the extent of Dealer one R. California Oregon Pwr. Securities On Market to Five nations among the sixteen participants in the Marshall Plan have, taken the initiative in con¬ American .• encouraged and appreciated in this is can ■■ country. - This would strengthen the postion of those courageous statesmen' who are struggling against heavy odds* to achieve positive results/ This is particu¬ There they i Every ,v. practical : step- toward European co-operation should be ternational the spot to decide how on '" An Initial Step to Relax ; the proposals. 'T#### .empt at interference long-term beneficial effects which may men may real¬ of depart¬ 15 Walter & , fast How¬ ever, difficulty by various may Americans may be v somewhat impatient and exasperated in face of timidity and slow progress. But they may. better leave, it -to re- - maintained be suddenly upset disastrous effects to their with with¬ much respon¬ the precarious national economies.' nationalin¬ terests much in being now time rather narrow lest quarers balance think anxiety for Company mitted Recovery peans were rather startled when serve succeeds Vice-President of States Government has been self-help and co-operation Securities Chronicle) Financial The the- staff of Bingham, Hurry, 621 South Spring Street, members of the Los An¬ geles Stock Exchange. added Guaranty Trust Company, Government /.A"..-.-J'* \ bond to ANGELES, CALIF.—Wil¬ liam C. Bilsborough, Jr., has been has been elected Chairman of the a tral agent will collect valuable information for future expansion (Boeclal LOS Kiendl, Vice-Presi¬ charge of the United Government (1431) Bingham, Walter Adds H. in States multilateral monetary compensa¬ to CHRONICLE Govt. See, Dealers By ERNEST H. WEINWURM tion agreement as FINANCIAL trlhar Kienril Ms Steps Towaid Easing European Intra-Continental Exchange Mr. Weinwurm calls attention & 16 THE/ COMMERCIAL (1432) '& ■:FINANCIAL CHRONICLE, Thursday, April L 1948 as - in By GUSTAV METZMAN* President, New York Central Railroad Prominent rail executive tells of wartime accomplishments of American railroads and points out meas¬ taken to improve and expand their facilities to promote greater peacetime production. Cites difficulties of railroads in obtaining capital and contends only way railroads can hope to have adequate earnings is to allow adjustment of rates to meet higher costs of producing their services. Expresses ^' faith in future of railroads. / ures passed by Congress late last week and sent to the President. While .no White House action had oeen taken at the time of this writing there is no reason to doubt that it will be signed/ There has not been the opposition to it that ; The railroad reorganization bill here was to -orts to as passed has one new feature in it. It is extended to in¬ clude voluntary stock recapitali¬ zations as well as bond readjust¬ ments. Thus, it goes further than a mere effort to afford a speedier solution to insuperable fixed charges and impossible principal maturities than Section 77 gave. So far as debt relief is con¬ cerned there is little question but that Lehigh Valley will be the first railroad to take advantage ol the new legislation, it has a very unless outlays maintenance are substantially. Under these circumstances it is obvious that (rut will have little lee¬ the company to work out any compromise re¬ : adjustment plan. /■The difficulty of the job is ap¬ dAr % mt into effect this year. He did lot discuss any details of a pro¬ posed plan to be attempted but it would naturally be aimed at pro¬ viding in some way for the accru¬ al? of interest on the road's ad¬ justment bonds (payment is at the sole discretion of the directors but is fully cumulative) and at elimi¬ nating the Very large dividend ar¬ the 7% preferred stock. rears on Granting that a recapitalization of this nature is probably desirable, it seems most optimistic to even hope that it could be consum¬ mated this year. The adjustment 5s are outstand¬ ing in the amount of $13,555,865. Interest is in arrears in the amount of $5,083,449, or 37.5% per bonds. The preferred stock is out¬ standing in the amount of $66,693,877 and bears cumulative divi¬ dends of 7%, No dividends have been paid on the stock since 1931 when $5.25 a share was distrib¬ uted. Prior to that the regular rate had been paid for the years 19271930, inclusive. In 1926 only $5.75 had been paid and in 1925 there was a payment of $5 a share Div¬ idend arrears will amount to $124 by the end of this year, a total of roundly $82,700,000. The road's total mortgage debt, of the adj ustment 5s, amounts to exclusive approximately $47 million. In addition, the road has serial bank loans and has reached CHICAGO, ILL. Announce¬ ment is made of the change in name of Mullaney, Ross & Co. to Wells & Mullaney, South LaSalle Wells, Street. Co., 135 Charles C. Vice-President, named was — recently President of Clyde Porcelain Steel Co., Clyde/ Ohio. His early career was in teaching and the book publishing field and later was with the Illinois National Continental Bank Chase and ration. $2,820,000. ; It should be higher this year but at best is not likely to top $4 million was Lawrence Stern & Co. He has ac¬ tively participated in various civic activities. Harry , B. President Heign, of the also ■ Vice- a Company, is wellrknown in LaSalle Street fi¬ nancial circles. Mr. Heign, Mr. Mullaney, and! Mr. Wells are all directors of Minneapolis Knitting Works. Correction In the "Financial Chronicle" of March 18th it was reported that James R. Pave had become asso¬ ciated with Hannaford 519 California cisco. Calif. & Talbot, Street, San Fran¬ This was an ■:■ Bonds error as Mr. James R. Page has not been in the investment business since ,1943. John Raymond. Page has joined the staff of Hannaford & Talbot. Guaranteed Stocks - : Charles L. Cleveland Dead Charles L. Cleveland, one of the ment firm of Granbery, Marache & Lord, died at his home after a long illness at .the age of 59.; %m I M CO 6PAIAKTEEP IA1UOAD STQCKS-HONDS 28 Broad Stroot New York 4, N. Y. Telephone BOwllng Green 9-6400 Teletype BY 1-1063 - World ; the in War I, eac railroads U./ S., aver¬ produced enough trans- ' ■ po r tatiori /service Gustav Metzmaa to move twice as many troops, operate than 7\ Two With A. G. Becker Co. (Special to The CHICAGO, Financial ; markets of ^;/7-///' What Railroads Are Doing . more twice as railroads America's aware h/month, the age, 1/1 in hand with the wages of labor.. .-/z/;; - factorily, and in* sufficient quan¬ tity to meet the needs of a grow¬ ing nation and the expanding the world, ■■ had on/ the % '';/*■./ In very truth, the ot labor mu?t go of are fully theig responsibilities in solution r- The meet this/ production of Capital Private . Needed railroads will" be able to these responsibilities only Like the need for materials in the automotive industry,- the rail¬ roads have been unable to obtain the large number have ordered. of cots they And like thfe short¬ it is assured of payment for services rendered. / The incentive as for / the employment of private capital at - in the railroad industry present is far from sufficient miles, move more age Of automobile supplies, this to make such employment at¬ as much Army scarcity of railroad cars makes it tractive. A return of only 3.3% reight and express, twenty times increasingly difficult to meet all is certainly inadequate to encour¬ os mu6h Navy freight for overseas the demands of those who wish age private capital toward work¬ destinations, and nearly double as to buy railroad transportation ing for the railroad. In fact, it se many ton miles of freight of all would not be sufficient to war¬ ryice.7//'://;^ kinds as they moved in the first For example, during the last rant working for any industry. many passenger than five times war—and without serious conges¬ two years, over 1,000 new indus¬ tion!" • tfx trial Last year, despite a critical car the plants located along York Cen¬ were lines of the New shortage, the railroads moved the heavist volume of freight traffic tral System. in freight traffic for our company than was gained from new indus¬ tries in any other peacetime year. In fact this new traffic is equiva¬ lent to adding a new major city to our System. We are glad to their peacetime history/ In fact, they hauled enough freight to average 12 ton miles of trans¬ portation service each day in the year for every man, woman and child in the United States. The increased efficiency which the railroads have been constant¬ ly attaining over the past/25 years been an important factor Mn La* fact that of all the railroads in the entire world with few minor Those established in 1947 alone will produce more new Pacific taxpayers*' money. /'T6day, > you of industry and agriculture and we of the rail¬ roads once again are face to face with the ' problem of production. This problem becomes all the /Consequently, with the excep¬ tion of equipment purchases, rail¬ roads must depend primarily upon the reinvestment of earnings for the expansion of their plant and facilities to meet the demands for increased production. earnings Unless such maintained at an are adequate level, the ability of the railroads to" continue such im¬ provements and expansion^ in provide you with suf¬ the long list of older friends for ficient and dependable transpor¬ welcome these whom we new work, industries to order to tation service, be seriously only /way r the; demands for additional transpor¬ railroads can hope to enjov ade¬ tation service, the railroads at quate earnings is to be allowed, present have on order approxi¬ just as other industry is allowed, mately 120,000 new freight cars to adjust the price of their ser¬ and since the resumption of pas¬ vices to the cost of producing it. senger car building halted by Onlv in such a way can the rail¬ the war, they have ordered over roads pav private capital a living 4,000 new passenger-train cars. wage and thus provide the qual¬ Assurance has been given that ity and quantity of transportation sufficient steel will be allotted for service wbich the public demands the construction of 10,000 new and rightfully expects. freight cars each month. But such Has Faith in Railroads output must continue at this rate I have faith in the ability of for the next several years if the railroads can ever hope to replace the railroads to continue as a , In order to meet all these new threatened., may The , worn-out vital, constantly panding equipment, provide for expanding traffic re¬ United States are virtually the quirements, and thus overcome the present car shortage., Let me only railroads left which are assure you that the railroads are privately owned and operated. Practically all others are govern¬ making every effort to increase their supply of equipment and ment owned and. operated with exceptions, the Canadian in Canada and the railroads of the Chronicle) ILL. — Michael W. John D.: Kipp are fill the demands of road transportation. all for rail¬ The railroads part of our ex¬ I have faith capacity to meet their ever-increased responsibilities -as in pulsating economy. their nation's the system. intelligent herent basic transportation And T have faith in the self-interest fairness w»nle to see of the and in¬ American that they are per¬ equipment mitted to continue as a vigorous ordered two and three years ago. part of our free enterprise system. And almost every month that de¬ Onlv in such a way can the rail¬ liveries are delayed, the cost of roads hope to meet the production of a growing nation. this new equipment goes up and demands more serious when we realize that the expense to the railroads < is And only in such a way can they since April 1840' the: jpbpulation hope to maintain their strength increased. of the United States has increased 1 These and the soaring costs of as mighty defense lines against an estimated. 14 .million people, fuel, materials and supplies, taxes any emergency. '■'/•V//./;" '///// and is now growing at a rate and wages, all combined to It is in that faith that we of the give Which is equivalent to adding al¬ the railroads, in 1947, despite rec¬ railroads face the future/Today; most three, cities the size of Lans¬ ord traffic and efficiency, a return despite production records i all ing to our population each month. of only 3.3% on their net prop¬ along the line: despite the; high¬ Our growing nation, the pent-up erty investment. Such return is est standard of living of any na¬ demands to satisfy wartime short¬ far from sufficient to attract new tion; despite the largest national ages: at home; and the enlarged capital one of the parts es¬ income in our history; despite,all markets abroad, all combine to sential to the railroads' production these, there are still those vwho create a production problem which line of more and better transpor¬ face the future despondent ;and calls for the same ingenuity, and tation service. fearful. They think they see storm the same efficiency which enabled clouds gathering on the economic America to win the battle of pro¬ //This is not unlike an automobile unless all parts horizon; they fear they - will hurst duction in times of war. Let lis assembly line wide flow at the proper time and in open and drown them an, a never forget that the inspiration sufficient quantity, it is impos¬ deluge of economic disaster; they to achieve a goal must at all times fear another depression; a third sible to produce the finished prod¬ be backed up/ with the sweat of uct. The railroads, too, must have world war; an atomic bomb. None each and everyone of us. Only by all their s parts—enough freight of these do I discount; I am too maintaining high production cap much of a realist not to be aware and passenger traffic, sufficient we hope to maintain our high are still waiting , level of wages and our high stand- for . . manpower, adequate rates, and ample private capital—all flow¬ ing steadily, in order that the of the our obstacles path. that may lie in But with faith in our country, in ourselves, and in our their only work, we can turn stumbling & Co., Inc., 120 South La Salle man at the Lions Club luncheon, product—transportation • service— blocks into stepping stones of Street. / " arid produce it efficiently, satisC.ansing, Mich., March 30, 1948. (Continued on page 35) Gerrard now and connected with A. G. Becker *From an address of Mr. Metz- . as /they can /count j on this steady In their efforts to meet flow of private capital. The pro¬ these obligations, they have un¬ ductivity of capital is no different / dertaken the largest new equip¬ from the productivity of labor. j ment program in their history. Private capital will produce only problem. ., founders of the New York invest¬ Special Securities they than Corpo¬ with the Continental Illinois Na¬ tional Bank "and Trust Co. and . end of last year amounted to less than $5 million. Net income in 1947 amounted to ■ Land cars and Trust Securities investment firm here in 1938 / come 150,000 in 1950 and $1,675,000 in 1951, It. working capital at the productivity He is President of Good¬ agreement with the govern¬ ment to pay off certain back in- - and. one-third : * % ';v',/■; of living. ard fewer passen¬ achieving these results. Equally significant has been the cooper¬ ation among the shippers, rail¬ will Industries of Chicago and roads and government - agencies Treasurer of the Evanston, Ill¬ which had its greatest expression inois, Hospital Association. He is during and since the last war. In¬ also a director of Wayne Pump deed, this cooperative effort on Co. and director and chairman of the part of all affirms that the Minneapolis Knitting Works. American way of mass production Paul L. Mullaney, President of and mass consumption can best Mullaney, Wells & Co., is a di¬ be linked by mass .transportation rector of the Trust Co. of Chicago under private; management, As and before establishing his own further testimonialto this is the Co. nn taxes serially. These serial principal payments amount to $1,450,000 each in 1948 and 1949, $2,- cars i of; the thereon is close to $88 million/ Total debt senior to the adjust/ Changed lo Mullaney, Wells & Co. fewer«> freight : . Firm Name fourth ger starting ' ,, >/:;•,V>/' parent when it is realized that the total par or face value of the af¬ fected securities (the adjustment bonds and preferred stock) is in excess of $80 million and the total interest and dividend accruals debt maturity schedule in 1948 and extending ments, including equipments, bank loans and the serial tax payments, over, the. next few years. Also, it is generally conceded that fixed i? around $57 million. Capitaliza¬ charges are too high; This will tion junior to the preferred stock probably be corrected in any re¬ is: represented by 808,966 shares adjustment plan by putting at it no-bar value common stock. It least a portion of junior interest virtually impossible to see how on a contingent basis. So far as any plan could be devised to take the expanded scope of this new care of the combined claim of legislation is concerned, Missouri - some $168 millions of the adjust¬ Kansas-Texas is expected to be ment bonds and preferred stock and still leave anything at all for the first to attempt any action. \ Tress reports from St. Louis state the present common. that Mr. R. J. Morfa, Chairman of the road's Board of Directors, raid last week that a recapital¬ ization plan for the road might be heavy In this second world conflict, agriculture, industry and the railroads, working always partners in progress, made production records which surpassed even the most optimistic military logistics. With one-fourth fewer employes, one-third fewer locomotives, oneas for the use of cash in trying way ; ' the two earlier el-<^ enact similar legislation. The bill was railroads may produce UrMiVVAbJlil uMiWMW*M* M* Sc X i> >* Volume 167 .Number: 4686 "For using the highways, Americans two -billion dollars another THE COMMERCIAL tb eight a hundred million, lecal taxes account for while By ARTHUR M. HILL* .' half, or. billion, three hundrcd million dollars, and even in a 1 a , total of four the faee of this staggering bill, SUte legislatures in many States are automotive taxes to. new between President This ; j " a load which the ^ef automotive > % m \ is, of Romney George tional Kelvinator - g owners and vehicles t a ^:/. t.;;- •> r :: We hardiy need add that these are by no means o m of slavery dic^a- g i a the h s claim demo¬ crat ic and Congress t s < of and human .» — p,ot only the men of the women which «; • line-up ' * mean source we a state country, from, obtain lead¬ our ers, acceptance in the belief of our citizens in GOd, findings of the in our country and institutions, President's Air Policy Commission, in the, dignity of the free man, of generosity and and the almost identical conclu¬ fellowship to¬ i p n -behalf —'' I sources meet, its scientists, professional people on the part .of our nation is typi¬ of all kinds,, our labor and, in fied., by bi-partisan approval and wartime,. our .soldiers and sailors acceptance of the European Re¬ as well, but also that dynamic force that has made America— covery Plan; similarly, in tne ac¬ way r it .and The realization of Such demo¬ under re^ s on '—■— 'Jr.:':-.. .. stand'upito challenge t dignity? '' - ins t a life; users 1 are i n 1' . tb eonv- cratic heavy a ^Uired:t^earry;^^":;-^':^ '-"V u the course, <§> —t interna¬ Assistant to the Nash Corporation. . . of ' »two ideologies. Automobile Manufacturers Asso¬ now •' I am sure that we are living in an era of turmoil andi uncertainty. We are .not at peace with, the world—actually or by statute. It is generally described as a "cold war," perhaps a better term would be a state of world revolution with the high levels." — George Romney, formerly Managing Director, ciation and ,y Industrialist) heading important national defense agency, stresses serious w6rld situation and points out measures now being taken to meet it. Says our strength lies in our national resources and lays down as requirements for national security: (1) a clear, just and honorable foreign policy; (2) strengthened armed forces; (3) Increased stockpiles of strategic materials; (4) encouragement of discovery of new ! sources of materials; and (5) mobilized spiritual resources of the people. | Vy We will all agree, considering proposals to in- crease ; (1433): m Chairman, National Security Resources Board ;w State and final billion and a CHRONICLE pay over Federal excise taxes take year. FINANCIAL . r and general of the ward other peoples. It is sions of the Congressional Air the spirit being paid by American free way of of this great nation of Policy Committee; ; '"V burs. When, 1 living. V.-V; ' ' ./' - 'K While I am in no sense of the the people of this land are in¬ We could not, naturally, even if we I feel that would, in word a political appointee^ but formed and understand the Arthur M. Hill issues, ^ this space sp much as suggest in a general way what " i the remarks rather a business man selected for they, may always.; be relied upon of that great ' 7V 1 / ; a .taxes' should be reduced and by what amounts to rlC'Si job, in spite of my politics, I to pursue the right course, v I worl d leader, Field Marshall Jan "support whole-heartedly and im¬ It would be fatuous Christian SmutSy recently along for me| to ; ?create a sound tax system-or systems from the conw plicitly the- President's recom¬ expand tod far on industrial re¬ this line are so germane to, the *•$?'> fusion and inequities now existing,. mendations to Congress on March sources and production before this present occasion that I should like ! V' What we can say is that the burden of taxation ^ 17, wherein he outlined the world audience, in this ] the only onerous taxes citizens.- < .ji , now : « v , • to he reduced his quote words they as great industrial city. Our techniques of mass pro¬ duction have made this nation ap¬ situation and urged the prompt generally only if government ex- v peared in -Time" Magazine:: :\,j passage of the European Recovery :Vs!.';r penditures are sharply .-lowered. i; V'; "Something is happening in the Program, U h i;v e rs a 1 Military J Mere is the spot at which attacks should be first ? world today which7 is going to Training and the re-enactment of v^' of all directed—that is at shake our civilization to its very Selective Service. In public profligacy—and it ' my opinion, foundations. ' What is called the is here that the least effective effort is ordinarily he was fearless, forthright and new 'democracy', is making its ap¬ siftcere in his appraisal of the f;;;made.J':■ Ti.■ 2'.;'C'.'''' pearance today—it has come to situation can > . Gives six Dr. why proposals reasons ; lization Max Winkler, cf Bernard, Winkler & Co., members of the New York Stock Exchange, has issued a statement, as of March 25, -summarizing his reasons for opposing the recent offer of the Govern¬ ment of Chile to redeem its outstanding dollar bonds for a new issue. These ^ reasons .are:':''""- V" ment in pay¬ is ap¬ cause," of One securities tax feature as ex¬ be Max Dr. Winkler because of the - >.i • the debt through amortization and because of the probable increase the income from and copper nitrate has been eliminated., • [ - K (3) Chile's debt to the Amor¬ tization Bureau, i.e., to bondhold¬ amounting to about $24 mil¬ ers, lion is cancelled.;-• ;'yf'c \;■</ (4) Of the first payment to be received, bondholders will asked to contribute total about $165,000 waS of Agency debt plan. new plan provides for for > bonds whereas under the old from be - new security no a the to which effected the -(5) The plan, Chile's income copper, nitrate and: iodine specifically earmarked for that purpose. * jif "•-(6) Under the new plan, sink¬ ing fund payments for the period 1946-53 are. fixed at $2,531,000 annually, compared with an aver¬ annual sinking fund of $4,372,150 for the oeriod 1938-1947 under the old plan.. ^7v\T age „ : -mrnmm—— . JP. JERSEY CITY, N. J. Schroll has the the has from the ad¬ New fallen ship and heir- to world leader¬ cannot avoid we sponsibilities with honor our or re¬ safety. world While much has been said with entirely different place. we going to play our part in Are we going to submit and to our diplomatic and military problems, the plain un¬ years be now an down to it, or are we respect varnished going fact remains that our strength in the world stems from resources—all the of them. For discussion and "An address by Mr. Hill at the Annual Meeting of the Pittsburgh simplicity,"I have listed them Post human the of American Association, Ordnance and Pittsburgh, Pa., March 25. 1948. and natural By - of purpose as spiritual,industrial resources. human and ,, I General Eisenhower said re¬ cently that oil D-Day plus four he flew over the English Channel I actually damaged or an ooened — Howard 20 Van Housten Avenue to engage in the securities business under the firm name of Schroll & Co. He w£s formerly ' assopiated with Peter Morgan & Co. in New York City in the sales department.. - Schafer, third gen¬ family in the securi¬ *announcement is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer The offering is made only by the Prospectus. ~ ; - , founded in 1860. \ Partners pride at the ability of his country so back up its military forces. to When .. we come to our picture is not quite so comforting. We Jiave been prodigal with our natural re¬ for sources world, >. the both in While nature benefit peace to , . . departments Co., ner Co. for E. I. duPont this it was never (Continued on page 27)* in- ours, . " , ' - -V & Merrill Lynch, & Beane and Pierce, FenKalb, Voorhis & . First. Mortgage Bonds, 3% Series due 1978 ' , %■ The principals are former part¬ Kalb, Voorhis & Co. The Unlisted Trading Department of Schafer, Miller & Co. will be un¬ ners 7. :A;; ;'/Xe r ' ' ' of Dated 4 'V --.'w r,. April 1, 1948 Due Price der the direction of Mr. A. King¬ Ghegan and Mr. Herbert E. Greene, formerly of Kalb, Voorhis April 1, 1978 IOO.99%)and accrued interest ston & Co. The Schafer has name been The prominent in the nation's finan¬ cial circles for almost century. a '■J - Prospectus : , } may be obtained in any Stale in which this announcement is circulated from only such as may lawfully offer these securities in such Slate. 7 7. of the undersigned and other dealers Edward Schafer, brother of Oscar Schafer, is a member of the Stock Exchange as are, their cousins, Myron Schafer, one of the few half-century members of the Ex¬ change; Myron L.... Schafer and . , Charles E. Schafer. HALSEY, STUART A CO. Inc. Y-. A G. BECKER &. CO. .. - r -incorporated ' HAYDEN, STONE & CO. .7,^ C EQUITABLE SECURITIES CORPORATION OTIS & SCHOELLKOPF, HUTTON A POMEROY, INC7 i CO. • ' K "n i '• ; f \ ^ to; individual, investment dealer with and DICK A MERLE-SMITH PHELPS, FENN A CO. BLAIR & CO., HORNBLOWER & WEEKS ' , dents in out the WILLIAM BLAIR A COMPANY principal cities through¬ country. Formation ' was correspon¬ S r * • - i WM. E. POLLOCK & CO., INC. - >" « y ; - *' ' l' 'STROUD * previously the reported "Chionicle" of March firm new 18. in . the ., '7 April-.1.194? ' r" ^ incorporated , GRAHAM, PARSONS & CO. I A - uphnv & COMPANY incorporated of INC. GREGORY A SON ■ accounts , the war. richly endowed of buy these securities. . of and ,000,000 . natural resources, the will Miller, John R. Meaney,? Exchange member, and Gerald B. Nielsen, recognized ex¬ pert in the foreign trading invest¬ ment field, who organized foreign ^hips ; his supplies ties business, was for many years a partner in Schafer Bros.—a firm include Benjamin ; to carry on, and he marveled with re¬ brokerage and research facilities offices I at 300 ^ Schafer, Miller & Co. will offer [ counted sunken, f Yet armies still had adequate land spiritual (incorporated) I 1 Schroll & Co. Formed ; 15 eration of his received in of i our in the Oscar Straus pay¬ of Fifty bow Miller & Co., firm know it and cherish through the greatest crisis in human history. it? returning to with roster afford the risk of not being able militarily to support our diplo¬ matic commitments.' This nation passing are as should follow. <circumstances can we no Exchange, with offices Broad Street, New York 5, N. Y. would retirement, business is member a at tation that ments "We Under we York Stock isting plan. :j <2) Expec¬ •larger names mission of Schafer, d is t ributhons under the the oldest the financial of , of as we is,inevitable. Are Opens in New York parent rather •than real be¬ it may Schafer, Miller & Go. (1) The in¬ crease to the" course things which in ancient days we used to call slavery. If a halt is not called, then the end of civi¬ not fair to bondholders. are state of Winkler Opposes Chilean Debl Plan V ; a in They have given us the highest standard of living in the world during peace, and, as Gen¬ eral Knudsen said during the war, "It deluged the enemy with production!" , and in his conclusions Czechoslovakia—but it is ia, peace and invincible great war. ,* wrrnrN je. rr. WEEDEN & CO., INC. COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE THE (1434) 18 Willi Mullaney, Thursday, April T, 1948 Well* Co. (Special to Th* Pinanciu. Chronicle) ILL. —Roland. C. Roos and David W, Shirley are with Mullaney, Wells & Co;, 135 CHICAGO, South La Salle Street. • - By PAUL EIN2IG By Henry hunt Turkeys' and Trading Profits V'/ j. •;•> "As;we recall if, Arthur Brisbane was the first to tell this story and it's a good one; A friend of Brisbane's was1 boasting about his in-and-out trading profits oft the Stock Exchange. Brisbane replied that he too had indulged in this so called sport but that his .experi¬ the NATIONAL SECURITIES "It don't I you CORPORATION RESEARCH 1 with a tran door ' nut You ^^•4^ FliN'D^^m , prospectus from your Investment dialer first experience at trapping tur¬ keys somewhat as follows: ■ 0- H0$ PHILADELPHIA 2, PA. "Shortly sunrise the bushes, my nerves tensed at the sound of turkey hens 'clucking' and turkey cocks 'gobbling.' In a minute, I could see them approaching, peck¬ ing away at the trail of corn. If was a large flock, nearly twenty the dew birds. a was It f t e r still to use to half a the to build up third and a or surplus thus created reserves; to modernize hours but was With net assets $7;000,000 in six weeks sult of sales of Aftbett's new Affiliated as a re¬ has 000, all borrowed at 2%. Includ¬ ing the bank loan, total assets now exceed $48,000,000, 'number one countries such as Britain emergency' WAU STREET, NEW YORK 5, N Y. couft- or Bel¬ should gium. ?",:v '}?? * directed / To overcome the deadlock. was proposed in September that car-building all Western European countries mediate l.y be m should Z make their v purrenciefreely convertible into each other This plan was accepted without ^ Inc., , : : the Netherlands and J/-yembourg, while Britain and-other couhtries adhered to it to a lim¬ ited extent; In practice, the re¬ gium, sult produced so I far has been dis¬ ters. It provides for the lishment of Dollar new plan was Belgian quar¬ a from a estab¬ Western European Pool) for which-fhe dollar reserve would be provided un^e^ There is also the Marshall Plan. question of creating some in¬ an ternational unit of account for Use in trade between Euro¬ Western . - ' 'A' • ;y V " Juno's Certificates of Participation in. INVESTMENT' FUNDS investing tlieir capital *, IN ; ' Have you' eVe^ felt* like the" Chinese philosopher, My Tee Lo? On the Rocks A- • "These Things Seemed .Impor¬ tant," published by Selected' Ittvestment Company, quotes from BONUS PREFERRED STOCKS (Series K1-K2) - Y • New England COMMON STOCKS ,r. Prospectus from Keystone Company of Boston50 Congress Street Boston 9, Massachusetts ner Hicks & in Price, 231 South La Salle Street, members of the New York and Chicago; ■ Stock Exchanges, on April 8. ; - Mri Stewart was formerly a member of the Chicago Exchange afndt in the past was a partner in Hicks & Price.■;'' ^ ^; ORGANIZED 1931 i X Albert William^ To Be:/ Nugent & Igoe Partner' | investment dealer or •: Tke CHICAGO, ILL.—John C. Stew¬ will acquire the New > York Stock -Exchange membership of George Brown and become af part¬ . 1(Series S1-S2-S5-S4) your local problem Partner in Hicks & Price art (Series Bl-B2-ft3-B4) ; oin. A itals would *' . . General Distributor . >'. Coffin & Burr Founded 1898 r :G' 1BOSTON NEW YORK HARTFORD - PORTLAND - - EAST ORANGE, N. Y.—J. Al¬ bert Williamsl will on April 15 be , : '.Incorporated '■ •/ '•, f■ BANGOR Britain admitted to partnership in Nugent & Igoe, 592 Ma\in Street, members of the NeV^ York Stock Exchange. Mr, Williams haVbeeri' aft officer of J. Albert' many years. Willmqis & Co. for w there are: ences. difficuTtv • considerable, v»cit to continental cap¬ make them realize sterling is considered of trustworthy Continental the of their tary diseases. respective are; aware which to / rteidlv - stabriized. the franc i- fluctuating .in the free markf% Prices and wages are risinv in both > countries, but more rapidly in France than in * Brtam. If would be idle to try to jink West¬ ern European currencies with each .other unless' and until; inflation has* beeri checked or at any rate uritiP iVhas' been brought'under a more or less uniform control, f Over, and above all, .these balances lead to unreauited exporisland Increase ; British Britainls on Government balance -of be there ia the pensive popularity abroad bv satisfying . the needs oi all and sundry there establishing a he question of Western European r)0 Monetary Union, .Another that ,' - difficult the of - - devalution overseas. such ing , European external debt) heavily and country with It is is of weigh¬ unilaterally on // / the It is urged from American:;$ide) and there is to believe, notwithstanding official denials, that it has been / reason discussed between Governments There mainlv have may ordinatod the be concerned, the far co- . several their spectiye overvaluation As a of correct valuation. . concerned. • to devaluation currencies, to .. European ;• re- , under¬ stealing, is or as British Govern¬ ment refuses to consider the idea. The French and Belgian Govern¬ ments, however, are keen on a devaluation of sterling, mrtly for considerations of / prestigg /and partly in order to be able to buy cheaper There the from is however, Sterling to reason no that a. \ Area. believe, devaluation of sterling would be ins*steel upon *, a preliminary condition, of a Western Eur op ea n Monetary as , Union. The situation solution; calls While far u"rgent co-ordination production aftd customs union long-term remedies, a of are / /: solv*fari of Possibly ^ would help matters, as it would ease the foreign exchange posi¬ tion of that extent Western it governments the Europe, would action bring to • to the take! to concerned .necessary and enable >heir monetary trends more, or less fa conformity with those of .other participating countries. . ; ' i •i - i With Ma rshall Combany rd-fl-ioj, *0 - CT^*hic!V) M'TLWAUKEg, WIS.—Mrs. M; Sholf ^ • and - Monnie Water Company, Street. Both ' Elholm 762 were The^ North for¬ merly with the Sholts Investment Go., which has been dissolved fol¬ lowing the death of Bud Sholts. 9' ■ V; • ■ ! Vera Marshall ;Wqstern \ . nrobl^m floating debt represented by the held opiv - , can have become associated with sterling balances Britain is the " per- obstacle of Britain's lar°e external wartime the u"til can suaded to face its resoons'bility in this respect instead of seeking ex- the adoption of the Marshall/Plan / For instance, while sterling '> ///; least tha+ mone¬ . currencies. experts extent sterling the all differ¬ is both of degree and of kind between V in- the monetary problem would pro-* duce immediate results. -relatively be ould' simple/ ' The. is , the. that the opposite is the c^se. and that so long as the present burden : cf the sterling bal»nc«^ exist, . : which European currencies. appointing. More recently put forward make- imagining that the with . reservation by France. Italy, Bel- I and ustodian of payments.- Unless; and steel Gov- Treasury of- pressure . as of March 11, 1948,j were pean" cOUntrie's.' The currencies o' $108,280,555 with shares currently the participating countries would Just then I was startled by the owned by more than 58,000 share¬ have to be related to th'S unit, < ' sound of a gun shot not far be¬ holders. t Obviously, the solution does hind me. I ,looked around involun¬ National Investors Corporation not depend /entirely, \ or ever tarily -and saw nothing. But the added two new portfolio issues mainly, on the discovery of so™' turkeys had heard that shot too. during the month of February, ingenious formula; Its successful When I looked back, my hutch Corn Products .and Gulf Oil. ■ / adoption would not be possible was empty and remained so for: Hugh Long points out/that unless and until some degree o' .the rest .of the d#y.. J an equal ift vestment in Manhattan harmonv has been achieved be¬ "The moral of this tale is,ob¬ Boiid Fund, Diversified Invest¬ tween the monetarv policies an'* vious;- when trapping turkeys or- ment Fund, and Fundamental In¬ trends prfivaftinj? in the countrier trading in the stock market, it vestor& affords a current return concerped. To that end each of takes a good man to know when of 5% and provides 12 monthly these countries would have jto put to pull the string."—Quoted from dividend checks a their monetary house in order. If year. National Views written by Henry they all suffered from the - samd Ward Abbot. monetary disease • and aPProvi John C. Stewart To Be! ^ fnately to the r same extent! the Morning, After / /> the' open door. One: walked- in another Was close behind. British world a endugh , ■18 in is its shortage of freight cars and to probably only a few minutes, be¬ fore the first one, a large gobbler, plants to build 300,000 cars in the least possible time, Col. J. Monrbe walked into the,hutch. My finger Johnson, director.of the Qffi^e of twitched but my jud&ipent told Defense Transportation^ . said me, not yet, there are pl^ftty iriore here. • 4 f 1 » v getting closer. A minute later, an¬ other bird walked in. Then an¬ "Rapid building of freight cars other, and another. 'This is tlie is no less important for peace life,' said I, as three more joined; than it is for war, Col. Johnson 'Whether or not there's a their mates in the hutch, making^ said. seven in all. Just then, however, World War III,, if something isn't two walked out and then two done for the railroads, with pro¬ duction at its present level, we're more. 'What a sap I am,' said I to myself, 'I should have pulled the going to have a difficult time for We could string: when I had seven turkeys.' an indefinite period. But no, I was wrong—they started build 10,000 cars a month forever, and still not solve the immediate going, back into the hutch, first one, theft a pair arid arid another* problem/, he said." % pair. Eight birds were in the hutch! 'I'll make it an even ten,' Net assets of Investors Mutual, said I as three more approached T i 0 European . t N C 0 s (• O « A Western ' nation's the and funding, makes for prestige to sterling and to Brh> any tween by sys¬ down Dr. Paul Einzlf urgent * | tries. / re¬ a stead of insisting on their scaling ,1 More For instance, France had to cuftail' drastically her imports of *, Distributors Group in a recent much-needed goods, not only from bulletin quotes from "The Wall Street Journal" as follows:;: "The the dollar area, but even f rr*r-: Freight Car Shortage are burden shouldering the burden of wartime sterling : balances, threatening to strangle trade be¬ j live heroics of these problems is, however, the problem of breaking the' monetary - deadlock that is creased its bank loan to $11,000,- of ' believe when the Customs than this predominant part, v'■ a fic'als important and in¬ countries share ernjnent and; British remote .more to / Members con¬ Union. Lord, shares Fund a than more play possibilities of /•-''■•■/I '*• up also The governments of West- tem in wh'ch sterling is bound to p sidering of weak¬ source linking their currencies to e.titicn against each other.' They are a European luctant other's . and to reduce , 1 ern more ' i HUGH W. LONG & CO. ness. better posi¬ tion to meet com on seemed order to be in requirements fafies Down _____ sterling and is each industry, develop economic inte¬ gration in Western Europe and undertake now the program of hard' living arid hard working in which in the long run salvation alone', will lie.7, Another $1 Million still roosting in tall trees. A friend of Mr. Brisbane's described his A MUTUAL reduced : "The turkey trapper gets up be¬ fore day light and settles down in his 'blind' while the turkeys are established J 928 <*•——.—.— . production, in a Affiliated A Sport for Early, Birds of systems course would be for Britain to Pursue now the policy it would turkey a plenty of corn inside the hutch and a liberal sprinkling of corn leading up to the hutch. Then you hide yourself in a bush 'blind' with a1 long string in your hand attached to the trap door, the idea being to pull the string when you get enough turkeys inside the hutch;. Only sissies settle for less than a pair of birds. ;0p00\ J WELLINGTON^m W | lows: "Britain faces bankruptcy. seems that in Georgia you The only proper, the only longuse guns on wild,turkeys— sighted, the only courageous You build Calls solnhon- urgent LONDON, ENGLAND.—The experts of the 16 European nations concerned in the Marshall Plan are at the time of writing busily en¬ gaged in discussing problems of the economic integration of Western Europe. They are examining the possibilities of co-ordinatin^ theJr Economist" as fol- trapper- tha,."London turkey backwoods of Georgia. trap'em. hutch m MOADWAY, NEW YORK 5. N. V. wild novice in the ftteptdir Mpbn request from four mrestment dealer, or from first to put its- monetary house in order. r similar to that of3>- had been ence /V"'.-/ Asserting results produced thus far by 16 Western European na¬ tions toward establishing a freely convertible currency have been disappointing, Dr. Einzig points to need of harmony between mone¬ tary policies prevailing in nations concerned, thus requiring each v ' • Tfffi COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Number 4686 Volume 167- (1435)19 HUM Ml Trade - - ' , Organization Sets Up Charier the United States Representatives of more than SO nations at Havana approve docu¬ ment providing a code for world trade. Would restrict and control international cartels, prevent government-operated enterprises from exercising special privileges, bring about eventual redaction of tariffsr import quotas, import and export controls and bilateral preferences* ^Commerce Secretary Harrimau lauds' CbarfeV jip ' healthy instrument for expanding world'trade by reducing cofi7 trals to minimum. , * ... budget is geared not only to nation's place in world today/ but also in worW of tomorrow. Points out effects of war and efforts to prevent future, war account for 79% oi total budget, and current budget mitst cover tbree t road areas of: (1) our international responsibility ; i?) our national defense, and (3) lour domestic programs*: Estimates ERF cost as $4 billion in 1949 and $S billions following year, and says it represents only mittufe fraction of national Incomearid wiH save future national defense costs. Holds Administration's policy has been - to curb domestic ? outlays, wherever possible. y many months of deliberation4, representatives of over 50 meeting at Havana; Cuba, finally approved, on March' 23, a Charter for Nations. an International Trade Organization under the United The Charter consists of nine chapters and 106 covers matters of policy' well i gan or¬ z a t ion. Before i m t i strictions plementao n, | ; currenciesV that spent in other countries. Trade 70 rg anizatioh (ITO) made a division of the ^he > ; ? "A further ob jective of the Char? . Interna- ^can ter i is »t6; make nations to work - ; • agreements It" partisan —at W. tionS past, countries producing and sell¬ siderations. Concerning the significance of ing such basic commodities have the ITO Charter, Secretary of suffered when world prices; de¬ of Commerce W. Averell Harri- clined. Low prices led to declines man issued on March 24, the fol¬ in production; and the resulting lowing statement: * ' scarcity in turn produced Under these Avwwl H»rr(m»ii prices, v In the dairies E. Webb I world prosperous code—a Charter an of of Trade. Organization under the United Nations—will provide the nations of the world with a of arriving at agreements to the way: they do business as with is another. one In a world that troubled by serious disagree¬ ments and by the j ealous guarding of national rights and powers, it . C'&lHt is highly encouraging representatives . of so that the many na- . Charter which is aimed specifi¬ of the shackles that have restricted in¬ ternational trade. All through the cally w, duction and;- prices stable. ?fv;7; 77:77:7,/ 777 last at removing half some century and especially of Government'? flected "No one expects that all - of these objectives Pari be realized as soon as the Charter is ratified ' in in laying; the op¬ process j The President plans for the Chief Ex¬ particularly, ecutive mast bear full responsi¬ bility for what is excluded as well meet programs are molded in the what for as interna¬ I As re¬ as is included in the Y';.... .. ale citizons to permit an immediate rec¬ affairs, own free and the irj a recommendation for; that I.should like for through'the affairs of 7y; y■ 77:'' problem is one pf estimating great¬ possible accuracy and apply¬ ing to them the requirements of est the law., 7 of 7 7 In addition, throughout the rest the budget there are : many large, continuing programs which k a few moments to try to describe some of the basic considerations.;. Idordlrtheir the amounts 16 be spent.; over ', .. of our position in the world, yy 7 First of all, the Government of the United States is a going con¬ by the participating: governments. 7'■ The. United States in the world cern. It- operates on-the ? basis of The world has not recovered suf¬ today is a mighty nation. More d / large and ■ complex body. oT ficiently from the destruction important; it is a hatloir whose laWs which have 'been developed and economic dislocation of the war The future work loads with .'.the' you amount? light trol would be difficult to change o» short notice. For example, large well know, the budget public works projects are not sus¬ proposed for 1949 is nearly $40 billion!. You might well ask, how ceptible to rapid contraction with¬ out serious i economic waste, la ¬ did it get that way? What, is the the field of national defense, such derivation of that figure? What aircraft procureare the decisions which result programs * as budget. Budget, For. the this budget has been 1949 shaped- attd As overcome. j the year he c'onditi oris and. domestic problemshave the utmost significance;. They vitally affect our existence as a strong and free nation. reasonably as erating and1 financial your enterprises. government- our to a;similar con¬ tional 7y77/777 years. These laws are the result of- the mbnt, .ship construction and others; cannot be rapidly adjusted within any one year. . a * ; These continuing programs have: basic, momentum which is re¬ the flected in policy. The responsibility: of the budget year4 after year. They are hot sensitive tt> the pressures of an annual budgetPresident is largely to insure that the specific requirements of laws expressed needs enacted by Congress are carried 7 J ■ ':; : out with efficiency and economy. i The budget is an essential in¬ The President is, in the fullest Substantial budgetary reductionsstrument in this ability of each sense, the servant of the law* fie in ; most .of citizen'to review and control the the; areas of heavy is; in duty bound to execute faith¬ fixed commitments can affairs of his government. only come The fully the provisions and - require¬ from congressional action in re¬ countries to retain some of their budget document makes available ments of the law of the land as vising the basic law, to' him a complete and detailed restrictions on trade if the restric¬ enacted by Congress; The signifi¬ tions are needed to cope with spe¬ plan for all government activity. cance. of this fact is clearly re¬ Budget in Light Of World Realities And most important: no single cial difficulties. ;777 vealed in the 1949 budget. ;v\ Bui the' true significance of tl>e part of this plan can be carried For example, rhore than $9.3 1949 budget does not lie in com¬ y "The Charter is important be¬ out without the approval of the cause it represents a voluntary ef¬ billion is required to meet costs parisons of non-controllable and elected representatives in the fort of the world's great trading of pensions, tax refunds and in¬ cohtrbllable items. It lies; in the Congress. They are free-to reject, nation s to resist the strong ten¬ to modify, or to add to this plan. terest on the public, debt. These fact that where judgment was ex¬ dency all over the world for each Every dollar mast be voted by the ercised*, it Twas made with full are fixed and inescapable obligatum to the relatively: free condi¬ trading that existed forty or fifty year's ago. The Charter itself recognizes these "Out of the long discussions at facts. It contains escape clauses Geneva and Havana has come a that permit the participating tions have agreed on a Charter they will recommend to their governments for ratification. which t programs Director business leaders, you go through these commodities.- By means Tonight, I should like sto talk inter-governmental agreements, about the Subject I know best—the much can be done to keep pro¬ Budget of the United States/ The, This Interna¬ tional means its , trade. for the 7 actions Budget the President the obstacles to be transcends United Na- reasonable i The With steadfast will. materials—wheat for example "Representatives of more than prices for the buying nations. Pro¬ 77,;' fifty nations have agreed upon a ducing and consuming countries alike suffered from sharp- fluctu¬ code to guide them in working together to build a freer and more ations in the prices and supplies . our and ■■v7 - ''W'-s largely Works determined by the number of per¬ forniiu- sons eligible under provisions of our ideal? relates, his operating "plans,N con¬ existing law. In all these caseBr quires careful siders the goals to be reached and the President has little or no con¬ defense of judgment and for buying and Selling certain kinds of agricultural' products and raw amounts spent by the states large¬ ; The Preparation of Budget ! The preparation of the annual ly determine the Federal obliga¬ our national 1 'j.,",'" bhdget symbolizes the responsi¬ tion. life.' Surely, Veteratis readjustmeht benefits bility of the President to- plan fo^ we can a ll tfie common defense and the gen- add* another $2.6 billion to the agree that the efal welfare. budget. This amount is nd a \ nation it 7 possi ble' for' out Of "Our nance liberties kinds' of concerned, and tional r controls on the amounts of certain by —- mainte-^—— the as must be ratified the for the second prefacing my speech tonight with & rcferienge to the recent events in I refer, of course, to the destruction of the Czechoslovakia!! Republic time in 10 years. These developments causi us to think constantly of among • some groups of countries to One another's products, and the the nations , Europe. the Charter v Central tariffs, import quotas, import and export controls, the preferred treatment extended final t; - I cannot avoid articles, and the eventual reduction of such re¬ as as „,. „ Director Webb contends 1940 .Alter1 nations :; E. •tyfeBfc* Director, Bureau of the Budget ¥ tions of international their government. - of bur people. - • during the past decade ,77 have we seen a rapid' growth of trade con¬ Many of them, oUr own export and im¬ port controls, were imposed dur¬ ing the war to conserve scarce trols of all kinds. such as materials and to make sure the limited supplies went to the right places. But world trade has been hampered for several decades by many other restrictions that have been making it more and more t difficult for nations to- get what they need from other nations and y/.v;V to sell their goods freely in the markets of the world. . ;: Prosperity '' * . for certain kinds of manufactured , , tions to to set up special regula¬ with its own trade Carried far enough, £<?ods giant being controlled by combinations of manu- Were factoring concerns. They agreed 7/77 npt to compete with one an¬ ; other in certain countries. And they agreed as' to the prices they would charge in their carer fully staked out markets. The re¬ sult was a loss of healthy compe¬ tition in international trade. One of the aims* of the Charter is to restrict and control the of operations Congress before it can be spent problems. this trend would result in anarchy, with each nation having its own Grants *An address by Director Webb before the Economic Club of New; way York, New York City, March 4, no 1948. of doing business, and with generally recognized rules of trade among • nations. 7 "We lieve in the United States all nations and will lead to the programs amount to an additional $2.3 billion, -1 finder the laws es¬ tablishing these programs' the of the realities of tho world situation. The 1949 to budget is geared not the United States (Continued on page in the 36) be¬ a- - - ' This announcement is not 7 " • ' - - offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy these securities* offering is made only by the Prospectus. ... an The v , $4,500,000 bet¬ life for our own people and people of the world." J The California The following is the off' summary of the ITO* Charter, isiied from Havana, by the De¬ partment of Public Information of the United Nations: y 1 ¥ : awareness states for long-term to in competition: We believe in reducing controls on business to a minimum. We have taken ter tibns established by law.. .?7 cope only be promoted by the freest interchahge : of- goods between the lead in encouraging the estab¬ lishment of an International Trade nations. " "As early as the first two "dec- Organization because we believe it is to the ultimate advantage of ades of this century the markets can - nation Oregon Power Company 1, CHAPTER 1 ^ Purposes ahdf Objectives 7 interest ' The fii'st Chapter' (Article! 1) states in5 broad terms the purpose these- international trusts; or and objectives of the Charter ahd The: purpose is -de¬ r •*; 'LV ;7 of the- ITO. fined by reference to Article 55 ,77"Another aim of the Charter is to make sure that government- of the Charter of the United Nar tions.' The objectives are listed operated * trading enterprises are npt given special privileges, that as: work to the disadvantage of pri¬ (a) To assure a large and stead¬ vate business. They are to be ily growing volume of real in¬ Subject to the same regulations come and effective demand; to hud to the same trading Condi¬ increase' the production, con¬ cartels.. tions as traders.. /;7/ ■. '•7 '; 7,;:>7,-; those that govern private - • "The Charter provides also for sumption and exchange of goods, and so to' contribute to a bal- (Continued onr pagP 34>' ^ ' J ' .7 The Prospectus may ; ";v be obtained in any:State iff rvhictthis announcement is circulaled only from the as may lawfully offer these-securities in such State. HALSEY, STUART & CO. Inc. .,n: April 1,1948. '17 * 20 (1436) THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Thursday, April 1, 1943 What Should Be Done About Russia ' " By H. MURRAY - JACOB Y * Formerly U. S. Ambassador-at-Large By WILLIAM J. McKAY Since the made slow introduction of the austerity but nevertheless -definite Former Canada measures following her efforts progress only the imbalance of trade with this country. The Dominion's reserve of gold and U. S. dollars mounted at the end of February to a total of $527 millions from the3> — December low level of $461 mil¬ to correct templated lions. This ^improvement, more¬ is not the result of over, negative cf U. S. of measures merely restriction imports but is also of expanded U. sequence a con¬ S. dol¬ lar-earning exports. The Dominion is not content to rely on external factors to im¬ prove its foreign exchange posi¬ tion, but is planning independent steps to increase exports to hard As stockpiling war south of the would also operate to Canadian advan¬ tage. As the world's leading ex¬ porter of base metals it is logical that the Dominion will be called a concrete ex¬ ample, Ottawa is now adopting an export incentive plan, ;■ whereby interesting to note Company of Canada has reopened its Shawinigan Falls No. 2 plant as a result of expanded U. S. demands. In the Aluminum this field also Canada play can a industries in; particular, will be encouraged to expand their sales south of the border instead of aluminum. the automobile, f electric appli¬ ances, radio and office machinery on the domestic con¬ mar¬ ket. The most encouraging devel¬ opment in this direction to date is the ' arrangement. made by the newly established Studebaker Corporation of Canada with the parent firm in this country, as a result of which the Canadian branch will handle the bulk Studebaker's foreign business. Thus In ternal effort and the Canadian U. S. dollar on reserves as it depends on U. S. imports for a large proportion of its requirements. Previously there has been no compensating offset but with the operation of the new incentive plan whereby the Cana¬ dian automobile industry will be given a higher U. S. dollar quota in proportion to its expansion of hard-currency sales, it is expected that other firms and other indus¬ tries will follow the soon baker example. Stude¬ constructive attitude towards her current economic problems is the announcement by Reconstruction Supply Minister Howe that during 1948 approximately $2,800 millions will be spent on types of {oods, which will tend to increase the Dominion's productive capac¬ ity. This figure represents an in¬ of crease 17% the over capital goods expenditure of last year and the largest amount in to be improved external devel¬ opments the Canadian foreign ex¬ situation can be now viewed with a greater measure of optimism. The Canadian authori¬ ties, however, are fully aware that the corner has not yet been def¬ initely turned and there will be no to relaxation of the current drive and conserve U. S. dollars earn until the deficit has been reduced la During the week the pendent tion coming year which currently estimated at $500 to $1,000 millions. In addition, con^ are of the, bopd dull and nals fluctuated rading inactive external market and a narrow Free funds also steady and the proceeds of wore sales range. of registered readily absorbed quirements. by were current Canadian stocks in stronger bonds sympathy re¬ were with rend in New York led s a dustrial and base metal issues. The golds also recent cifies decline were and Canadian Pa¬ strong feature a of consequence rate after (their recovered the as a rail- recent increase. v-v.;.* Grimm & Co., Will Open Br. Office in Orlando, Fla. alive. Stock fice Exchange, will at 145 Associated North with will be J. York Main Street. new branch the Don Haggerty, Sidney W. Haley and Bert S. Long. All were formerly with A. M. Kidder & Co. and Cohu & Torrey. CORPORATION • CANADIAN STOCKS are and for probably the , 20 last On Jan, time. when year, with the firm in the has been associated Chicago of¬ Beach Palm County H. Murray-Jacoby Fed- President incorporated • that f - The New York Stock Exchange has announced the NEW YORK 5, N. Y. changes: ' " ' • i. . ' ' following firm N NY-1-1045 President man's statement that he as an Ex¬ change member firm on March 25, when the membership of Leland M. Kaiser was G, Carhart. transferred to John reconciliation at '■ 'Times." On April the 2, N. 1939, "Times" gave me a terview the headline with Y. the full-page in¬ "Left danger seen in South America; Ex-Envoy urges counter drive to Propaganda of Dictator like Ger- internal dangerJfrom Communism, anbther word for despair. And while without doubt we, with our superior resources and organiza- tion, would in in it did in other¬ as countries between would fail, we philosophy through certainly cost win of such a gigantic so effect victory. It we defeat then, •' merely render lip, service to the Sermon never the Mount which on a was ;visionary dream but in that Winston Churchill fchbrtly thereafter ihade suggestion of a Truman-AttleeStalin meeting, probably sensing the .. I as did chance that to .. . this avoid . was a sia a as Mr. given to Truman mankind. in says And if address .i his that the door is always open for > talks, the American i eople peace should let takable him know in unmis¬ language that he should break down that door. ^ our Commu¬ reconciliation with Rus- world power, not a com- promjse wjth last our about is Communism which something totally different. The shooting war. This suggestion was ruled out by iaj.e president Theodore Roosevelt. ^r" tAt£ee mand' also knowledge of travel and Foreign further is a unfortunately>, Truman,,■■■ by Mr. It a Premier Jan 'affairs significant Smuts of South Africa in of the that Union recent speech pointed out that apparently three great systems were shaping them¬ selves through an evolutionary which process a we would have to its stage the On *,r We are but we March 5th;; tne highly publication,"U. sponsible carry last big a showing clarity. Stalin still does not precisely how far hp without inviting war, sociates, v/ould have can democratic our been in stated a m0ve the clearest should we front ' page- to.prqduqq statement an entirely different door) inn. our Russia. negotiations Finally, meeting with President with Russia would The purpose have to try to find' basis for armistice in the cold !war between a An emmissary of Russia's Premier made the pro¬ posal. The American Official who not travel to Russia. The made that was with people should be our sought was realize to just mean. annual* cost an ment of forty what of war, We now govern- billions." We do not feel this too much at this moment national income, the inproduced by all the people, is around $190 billion. But if we as would boom fall billion, $86 down level, of to the when 1929 half of - super it was income such a would to go the support of the government;1 and if it were to fall between to Marshal, Stalin Truman was and :carried to George Marshall, U. S. Secretary of State. It came on the initia¬ The decision of President Truman and DTalk by Mr* j Murray-Jacoby before the, Kiwanis Club, Delray Beafch, Fla.; March-25, 1948. * . in the Gap— war Britain — British Information Services, 30 Rockefeller Plaza, / New York 20, N. Y.—paper. Economics of Money and Bank* ing, The—Lester V, Chandler—1 Harper & Brothers, 49 East 33rd Street, New York 16,' N. Y.—- cloth—$4.50. , Production lected Cost Trends Industrial Areas in — Se¬ Philip Neff, Lisette C. Baum. and Grs»/«e E. Heilman—University of CaliPress, Berkeley, Cant.— fornia cloth—$4.00. ; 1 ion-Provincial Fiscal Relations fit Canada—James A. Maxwell—Na¬ tional Bureau of Economic Re^- search, 1819 Broadway, New York 23, N. Y.—paper—50£. 1 to f r our come meeting be held in Stockholm. Proposal for a Stockholm meeting President Battle* of Recent Developments in Domini j made apparently Avenue* * > • '/"Joseph Stalin, late in January,' a Conference Park invite now combined with atmosphere and climate so that we "World Report? and published by ; could expect some cooperation, David Lawrence in Washington,1 and: toot as heretofore the closed a Britain's as- mean ,in this connection-we would have News," Gainsbrugh—Na¬ 247 Discussion of aftermath of the We line which if violated war and this should a Inc., definite line a language. But simultaneously with S. R. neither. showing firmness not are done Board, Rusia to: freeze the status quo and re' at and have together with ~ M. Industrial (lower rates for quantity orders.' softly We - that these systpmg wpuld have to. sucb each other. tional "Speak should have drawn Asiatic and man New York 17, N. Y.—paper—$1.00 go toat* i$o^necessity existed 2? and up, ration concepfeonicftom the other go to war with it summed Behavior of Wages—Jules Back- much know after the President's decla¬ whichbe different powers with j have quoted it now for two years r as the desirable American Policy: Marshall realistically: Our Free En¬ terprise System and that of the other free democratic nations; the Communistically dominated systern; and a system yet to,the American once stick." look at formative vjg0rous ; i . • -,vjU Should Fertilizer Production Be Subsidized?—An analysis of the National Soil Fertility Act of 19(47 Richard Bradfield American — — Enterprise Association, Inc., 4 East; 41st Street, New York 17, N. Y. —paper—50£. /to < the billion, could depression no one keep situation sia. If now would say as ex on create economy war top a debt Rus¬ this as we large a war—say an¬ could our — . . • •. - - Spinning ..; $460 billion debt Rayon Staple ii?; on the Cotton System—Research Depart¬ ment, American Viscose Corpora¬ tion— fabricoid copies will be sent free to all technical qualified people who request it of Ameri¬ — can last billion stand with of ■., $44 dollar. This is the that of the other: $200 of in the United States a rosy figure ' : fact the most practical instrument ever on a scientific, digni¬ basis, ex-mud slinging and ex-war mongering. What we need then are three things: Firmness, Clarity and a willingness to bring : V; v significant of - we. should explore every avenue that may lead to peace. We should not fied among the democratic pow¬ is that ) over; that suffer Thus • I victory i nist Russia system of protective quasi-alli- ers. and «• France and Italy and that j then and then only we would face be offset should then with top speed create X-i-Vi v'U -.V V-D ■A' quoted normal would nonsense answer many, would its attacking Lenin's teachings first haywire just wise in¬ that indebtedness entire economy would our Apparently, insists . was go accumulated around $1 billion. The the Protocol mine entire Russia David .Lawrence's Emily Post some when ing to meet Stalin at any time in Powers." But at all times I felt Washington was not enough; and the necessity to explore the funda¬ thirdly, that if such an attempt mental difference , Mr. rubbish. I began writing against Communism in April, 1919, when a statement-of Tru¬ tive of the Russian Premier. Kaiser & Co. retired was willing to gamble the lives for and will¬ was would Exchange Weekly Firm Changes the, proposal S. News" cans meet¬ a City office at 44 Wall Street. New York Stock a of some ten million young Ameri¬ and received it'replied that^Mr. Tru¬ man had made it clear that he TWO WALL STREET WORTH 4-2400 Truman Stalin; that such and that far we are ing should take place at a neutral point secretary, press formation is correct. Clubs, I made three recommendations of a policy to be pursued towards Russia: First, because of an imminently pending takeover of Czechoslo¬ vakia, the Marshall Plan should be passed without delay and in an unemasculated form; second, that there should be a direct meeting Marshal is "U* ; eration of Women's between a . suggestion then A.E.AMES&CO. is that through So at 135 La -Salle Street. Mr. Denton has been in the New York fice too, addressing the U. >S. and Russia. Abele was Stalin must be held, if it is held, 1n Washington. The President re¬ iterates that attitude." this of that there have been 'peace feel¬ ers' from Russia. The White House brought to Washington and turned down.. Mr. Truman insists that apy future meeting with-Joseph elected Mr. y you consider that from the ; time of George Washington up to £ the outbreak of World War I our fact Truman. Vice-Presidents. not Secretary Marshall was to rebuff the suggestion. A technical denial is made by the Secretary of State meeting had been proposed. The at Blair & Co., Inc., has announced that Harold W. Abele and Rich¬ ard W. Denton, Jr., have been assistant peace tended to discount reports that which, because of its importance, I wish to quote at length* ' Blair & Co., Inc. Elects Two MUNICIPAL be more made GOVERNMENT k the crossroads Grimm & open an of¬ y We once in — Co., members of the New PROVINCIAL r much very the by the in¬ Jan and a would was the inter¬ within ORLANDO, FLA. CANADIAN BONDS M na¬ , section still inde¬ an ances following E.R.P. expenditures in the Domin¬ ion during the would be a to manageable proportions. history..^ Apart from Canada's own ef¬ forts, the overall situation is cer¬ tain the combined effect of in¬ as change * > A further indication of Canada's and ity in the mining industries has also been increased recently as a result of the Dominion's vigorous immigration policy which is now operating to reduce the chronic labor shortage which plagued this industry during the war years. of the normal way the Canadian au¬ tomobile industry constitutes a drain The Canadian productive capac¬ < Russia, and says President Truman should talks, but "should break down the door." Czechoslovak- connection it is leading role especially in view o, the stepped-up demands of the U. S. aircraft industry and the Canadian record during the wai as a major supplier of low cost centrating have to boost still further its pro¬ duction of strategic metals. In this that with Rus¬ war with war spoke to you in October of last year, I said that President Truman should never permitted Congress to. go home but should have kept it in session so that the ERP would had a chance to be passed in the Fall. It is my conviction that had this happened, have opera¬ border door for open * to avoid When I . upon f- currency areas. tions - meeting of President Truman and Joseph Stalin in effort urges Warns of disastrous economic effects of sia. has diplomat Viscose Corporation, 350 New York 1, New their business letter¬ Fifth Avenue, York, heads. on " . * * *,.a/' -,.l.... .Volume 167 THE COMMERCIAL Number* 4686 & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE (1437) 21 ■A 2 Recommends Enactment of Bnffett Bill ; Members of Economists' National Committee > approval of express Prof. v. Waltei E. Monetary Policy on , to restore gold coin standard.' measure ---.y.v U "• Spahr, Executive Secretary of the Economists' DyHOWARDT.'CUMMING*:": - y-y - ; President, Curtice Brothers Co», Rochester, N. Y. ? National Committee on Monetary Policy, having offices at One Madi-f Avenue, New York City, and comprising in its membership, some of the leading economists of the country, has made public,a state* ment <•>signed thereby helps sustain the confiby42 mem- • President, National Canners' Association '•.. son In. reviewing world and domestic food situation; ♦ . bers, recom¬ mending - the. Bill ft: intro- ; dueed by Rep- "f flow a BENJAMIN Buff and BELL, /" ; Northwestern University. CLAUDE L. BENNER. Continental ett icle" of Jan. The Bill " Insurance L. E. Spahr RAY P. ♦ARTHUR restoration y in the United States gold coin monetary standard. The text of the statement follows: 1 We, : the undersigned, members of the Economists' National Com- mittee ■ on Monetary Policy, recommend enactment of the Buffett • Bill. H. R. 5031, for the following Washington, Thalmann - to which pay cannot regulations therefore tion, if should honored, laws and present be honored, and are No na¬ dishonorable. it avoid can its permit banks not are under doing Our countrv so, Treasury to circulate such and (II) Although ♦ROY California.'' roundabout a irredeem¬ system Federal Reserve ba^ks back to the gold held by the Treasury, their circulation in the* form of irredeemable paper !. mits and invites -money per* much freer and a ' less responsible issuance of cir¬ culating media than would be pos-f sible »f promises were redeemable in gold Our present demand.. on system, consequently, contributes a depreciation in the purchasing -pmver of our dollars in terms of goods and services, ; i to • > Jf. ^ jllj) Restoration) pt monetary a) js^old-eoin and system standard would return to the peoole degree of direct control ! government's public and a high the over would help members of Congress free them¬ selves ; of they in : groups which are dominant factors, if not the dominant factor, are the . spending money. ?■' •• ♦ (IV) the of ♦JOHN ' Emeritus, MONTFORT ; University The JONES, ' Of Two and KEMMERER, University of < V. L. Illinois. KIEKHOFER, The University Wisconsin. : .: v WILLI\M H. of WILLIAM KNIFFIN, Bank Of H. E. A. University of Illinois. University of Southern > , / , Commercial and Financial Chronicle," N. Y. C.\ H. State• ^;'r and Irvine, N. Y. C. MoKINLEY, The Pennsylvania Lumbard Newton, DAVID ; ': ; MCDONALD, Donovan, Leisure, ♦ROY W. College. MELCJUOR .s<uV • . . PARKER,: University of Pennsylvania. ''y: 'V. CLYDE W. PHELPS. University of'., y;: i Southern California. CHESTER A. PH If .LIPS, The State; !. University of Iowa. • LELANO REX ROBINSON, 1G Beaver , St.,« n. y. c.yr yy r. g, .rodkey. University of Michigan. olin glenn saxon, Yale University,! FRANK carlton ...'■■■:. University.' : *, . Western Reserve. EDWARD MAX The WinTNEY. E. Gamble and Procter Co., Cincinnati. ;,y y f. y WIEST, University of Kentucky. WINKLER, College of* the City Of York. ;'r Lyy../-..'yyy y'^yy -v . New minor •Indicates in mended text changes of bill, x>r '-are in recom- terms -of endorsement. Restorat:on of gold-coin a ; States would not only reestablish ; integrity in the industry pay Mn D. Hines With Deal Witter in N. Y. C. ' ; ' bfjj, ; weather, * ocaer; ty restore further. favor¬ of of years world fooa vIt is re¬ a reai- sonable assumption that until the food-producing nations of. Europeregain economic and political staibility their requirements for im* ported foods* will remain at a high devel.'.;? 7-";v Foreign' Food Demand pect munition a diverted to making The demand for food demand two fand .:{(V) Action now in restnrm g a •'gold-coin monetary standard Industries armaments. aged greater food production and supply in this country in recent years has been the development of whole new industries within great was so plants stand ready and willing to¬ day to produce at a wartime rate, if fants always this •' things turned should out.- become they Their the stimulus of wartime a broke5 all vegetables,;ft.-?h and meats has de* high prices and demand and of processed foods their previous production records, This advertisement appears as a matter ;be consume $100,000,000 worth annually. % • They quick-freezing of fruits, necessary. Our farmers likewise reacted to (Continued 37) on page ofrecord only and is under no construed us an The : circumstances to offering of these Shares for sale,,or as an offer to buy, itsolicitation of an offer to buy, am of such Shares.' , ;• offering is tirade only by the Prospectus. ; , the United States should prove of strategic aid in wbrking toward a greater freedom c from three or '•k.v' f. i years. It would be a mis* take, however, to count on smooth sailing in bur attempt to satisfy that demand. Some &f the peoples abroad who have the greatest need 100,000 Shares 7 :1/ •' iio be able to make purchases because of their inabil* ity 1 earft may v v>'. ' or^' not1 have ation than have we ^ • , t-r ' w • . • ; ; - .. : if-..-, ■' / ' .•.. . • ; •• \ •• tion ^ i K:r; ■ ■ :-v; Common Stock world ; known sincb the • MHSMi Company borrow money. access to political barriers. Consequently,- iti 'spite of a po¬ to Others ,C A- ; The California Oregon Power for food may not (Par value $20 per share) v; . Price $21.50 per share Government war-born - i'., ,i; programs. work worthy of f from regimentation.; Of necessity, this; involves srraoping or sub- 4'A ■ - in any *; ; ■1 Copies of the Prospectus, may be obtained from the under' signed only by persons to whom the undersigned may legally offer these securities under applicable securities laws. ; .f " ;* Vi pecial consideraf discussion , of this " •starttially mod;fving anv subject. svstem I of "managed" irredeemable naner m'onev which developed . accompanies highly schemes f- mentally-managed of countrv our in point creased lion. are economy. historv. during at the ratio These stocks and adenuate med?a / on provided •a in are use ample, in to back an volume a of circulating fully convertible basis our reasonably the amount, in¬ of government follows prudent course in public funds and and $2% bil¬ bv • John D. Hines highest thev and 1947 ^ : sV & commodity nounce that John D. war an¬ Hines, for¬ an pand with reach extremely Total was ■ high t come associated with the firm as registered representative in the New York New York office, 14 Wall Street, City. . Corporation Cental Republic Ccmpany (Incorporated) > ; in Chamber'1 of S. A.-, St. Louis, Mo., March 12, 1948. .- -. v * First California Company Walston, Hoffman & Goodwin Davis, Skaggs & Co. 1947 prewar *An address^ by, Mr. Cuirmqing before; the'1 National ' Marketing Commerce of Dean Witter & Co. -, Graham, Parsons & Co. Elworthy & Co. , . of! the | Schwabacher & Co. ^ • production of J HI Conference Kidder, Pea body & Co. „ and levels larger than the merly with Kaiser & Co;,- has be¬ a The First Boston .: > ex¬ greatvi rapidity food 41% ability to .is production. exchanges, C°m Inc. To, begm withi^agriculture and during the. govern- ♦»!l(VI) The monetary gold stocks of . , the food industries 'demonstrated ' : < c ex¬ only influence af¬ fecting our food production and supply today. In : this: country there are specific influences; at • in Food Another factor that has encour¬ the food industry. We are the only country in the world whose very young babies are.fed so-ex*' tensively from cans and jars. In* producing ; those on had tion is not,the ! svstem war were A'The impact of the world situa¬ commerce. ;• x and of New they simply put on pressure, expanded their facilities, and kept processing inJ- for at least 'I 'support *:>k' , Food that % country may continued a abroad itself problem. and few food manufacturers V; Farmers and food in was several to safe levels; reconversion no good, crops will l?e pegessary in lus* -of %■ constant v being assisted by improvements in the are — beginning of the war. That issued bv the Treasury and Fed¬ Dean Witter & Co., members of would be particularly true if, iti eral Reserve banks but it would the face of a possible declining de* the New York -Stock and Curb prove helpful in providing leadmand, agriculture continues to be Exchanges and other leading stock ershio for other countries which subjected to the artificial stimu¬ promises to still and ■ own demand, we might find ourselves approaching a more balanced supply and demand situ¬ ; y possesses still crops able tential are.stmegling to reestablish sound •bases for their money/ industry, v; My food because of people's monetary standard in the United despitev labpr shortages arid other handicaps. :^-Ttiey >.\aCddmpMshiey this by dint of long hours, "sweat and great ingenuity. They were more ^ ,University. NATHANIEL . has . .weisman, ru*sell ;, food conditions dusti ies in this University.' Louisiana State JAMES >R.'TRANT, 1947 under v ^:y..,y v.:■>,. SPAHR. New York can¬ contend half year after V-E a Even shively, "The New York a. Sun.'", WALTER «. war serves Ulincis, Chicago, PALYI. we only about 80% of the pre¬ figure. Unfavorable weather was / ' ;; ——-—',/yy■/':n" h• *—: period;; vegetables, meat animals and poultry increased by 50%, fruits by 30, and dairy products by 20%.. ' • /. Day we find the world food scarc¬ ity more acute than at any time in recent history.. In; 1946 food production in Western Europe reduced Editor, Executive MAY, WILFRED "The • I. LEE, L. LEONARD, California. ♦J. : —;—: no real peace attained as thus supply world-wide significance; * Pittsburgh. but in niemory, i HOLDSWORTH, The University of Miami. from . v "> . have already faded war * • HICKS, University of C, THOM DONALD • 'ffA-A'A' v ■ • HAUHART, Dean Cincinnati. relentless drives the among 'i.' Methodist University. FREDERICK pressure - y the from . ■ 1 Yale Research. F. Southern abuse of the use and purse WILLIAM in¬ of direct convers:on leading through the / V. Co., & HANEY, New York University. H. 1 dswnward technics of growing. The better¬ canning— ment of their varieties from the practically doubled its ouptut, in¬ peace. : But it creasing its production from 260,- standpoint of both quality and is playing a 000,000 cases of canned fruits, disease-resistance; the discovery of more effective •leading role vegetables and insecticides; the juices in the pre¬ r and will con¬ war of more efficient period to about 500,000,000 development tinue to do so cases in 1946, and this does not farm equipment; and the spread it as we persist include the of greater knowledge among large quantitiesof in our effort canned milk, meat and fish farmers; all these make for a to bring peace packed. That high productive ca¬ greater potential production on a into t h e acreage with a given pacity exists today. Generally given > world. Food amount of labor. speaking, food manufacturers had HARWOOD, American Institute for C. FREDERIC these able oromises to pay are currently maintained on a paritv with gold by v writtem the Ladenburg, - Axe Rockville Centre Trust Co., L. practices of this kind. v; t a n't p or that , University, Li GARIS, University of Southern LEWIS promises. and should avoid ran Co., N. Y. C. W. ,, '• .'X • CUMBERLAND, & Economic (I) Most of the paper money of the United States carries promises United States, Inc., Tarrytown, N. Y. ♦FRED R. FAIRCHILD, E. y not the a slogan "Food will win the War and write the Peace/ won the war,, but we do maintain that- it played an alb 1935-30. average. Production, of food grains doubledduring .cthis yet, ELLSWORTH. E. W. D. reasons: • m - D. C. W. ; y part < in r the victory; With CRAWFORD, Chamber Of i of Commerce WILLIAM profits pf producers excessive*^ However, looks for or processiiig/ under farm r parity- gvifiiilee^ • find r >*$■ program still recall the we i j -J. CALHOUN, University of W. government: food plentiful future food suppfies. more We cannot claim that food alone , Missouri Valley College, i: CABLE. WILBUR Cincinnati. a { ' t * ; Co,, FREDERICK.. A. BRADFORD;' Lehigh University.«»;» J. Walter Canners Association's executive stresses* continuing postwar expanded U. S. food production and as Many bf.tfie early events of the recent the food business v ; New York City. - BOGAItT, out of line ' provides for a of price tendency arising from Wilmington Delaware. ERNEST "Chron¬ 28. Life American printed the WASHINGTON JAMES in the issue of • denies food prices ;■ I . , •sSmL dangers in ; : are well as University' of California at. Los Angei<est C. ARBUTHNGT; Western Reserve University. (Rep.-^Neb.) • "K\' .... ANDERSON^ M. \^' Harvard ABBOTT. . Points put deficiencies and CHARLES d' i " •University.. , resentative • A SIGNED CORTEZ CHARLES (H. 9031), 1 of money. enactment of the Buffett 4 the people in their ;-VA-V* tf.•; I'. j dence . ' foreign demand for American foods y * : Brush, Slocumb & Co. 1 ; ■ f ^ '/y Hi. - , J April'1, Lester & Co. /' M-'rro U>"it :lrr iCf Foster & Marshall Wutff, Hansen & Co. qid'-: b Maynard H. Murch & Co. .ii; THE COMMERCIAL 22', (1438) CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Sees Serious We Must End "Creeps ing Munich," Declares Securities Salesman's Corner Bryn Hovde asserts article entitled, "Is Salesmanship an Securities National <31 Douglas Laird, Vice-President Corporation, made this point: Research & SALESMEN ALL THE TOMBSTONE ADVERTISING, AND YOU WILL SEE DEPRESSION EST as well as THE GREAT¬ MANKIND." HISTORY OF THE IN rope can "Chronicle" and gram But to go on—the point Mr. Laird makes about the place of the national life—all salesmen, not only securities sales¬ men for that matter—is so absolutely true that we wonder how any¬ one could fail to realize the importance of his work if he makes a living selling. Yet, time and again, we have heard men depreciate the work they do if they happen to be salesmen. We have heard others say, "Oh, he's only a salesman." We have been present when some men have been asked what they do for a living and they have answered in ?. self-conscious sort of w^y.that they, just do some "peddling." Self effacement and a subconscious feeling of inferiority salesmanship is art and in sales men work—as well the about it minute: a entire our machine economic t'fy > Before there < *' ' jobs there must be machines, tools, facilities—before they can be obtained salesmen must convince others to part with money to finance these things (that's us boys). Then salesmen must sell the stuff after all the rest of the are people dig it, convert it, style it, change its form again and again, keep records about it, ship it, wholesale it, retail it, and if there was to sell it when people didn't want it, Mr. Laird no one you're right— immobility that is called a depression would frequent condition of American life. that state of economic become a more They say an egotistical man is in the long run his own worst But there is a vast difference between having an understand¬ ing, and an appreciation of what you are doing as you walk through life> and being a pompous blowhard. Th man who knows he is good N > because he has studied his job—made a go of things when obstacles have appeared before him—studied through his own mistakes and developed a technique for accomplishing his objectives—that has a feeling of confidence in his own powers that?'will enable to make a out success of his job and his life. who ARE EXPERT SALESMEN is a man field of activity in which they are engaged—they wouldn't allow any man to place them in a position of inferiority— 'v: There is a reason this little column at this time Not only was I impressed by Mr. Laird's insistence that selling securi¬ ties was a most laudable way of Earning a living (for my part as great a benefit to mankind as any of the professions, or other lines'of busi¬ ness that we undertake in our free land) but I believe that the thought I have expressed here is indeed timely right now. For many those of us who have continued in the investment securities business have been under attack by our own government officials, by assorted demagogues and by leftists and cranks of every persua¬ sion. We have seen our business, and our years, maligned and caricatured until it is asked what we no do, have answered "Well, I sort of work in in Wall Street." way of wonder that a making some self-conscious a t h sort don't sell, THEY DON'T EAT! ROLL BOYS WHO THAT GOES FOR THE PAY¬ WORK FOR THE SELVES COULDN'T ACCOMPLISH IF THEY STUDIED THEIR LAW BOOKS FOR ANOTHER FIFTY YEARS. Ours is a good busi¬ ness never, business will forget come it—and the to you. more ~ ~~~ you believe ~ this -' , the more I . . McDonald & Co. Adds to The Financial CLEVELAND, O. — Robert J; Ress is with McDonald & Co., Union Commerce Building, mem¬ bers of the New York and Cleve¬ land Stock Exchanges. He was previously with Co. of Davenport. White-Phillips to The Financial ciated with E, ,F. 160 Montgomery Street. He was previously with Walston, Hoffman Goodwin & Co. . v.; and Dean Witter ly t-,)r structure and the other eonoitions that tenc discourage the performance ol ^fal :f woulcLhaye ^mewto^he j showed ERP despite Soviet Russia a year and naif ago. a Dr. blamed and cond.tions for central lack | European. the- of I member forced to resort to W€re C^crj; to meet j commer- capital some that. should requirements have been financed by the sale of rities lo investors. stock secu- The New York Exchange calculates that in stirred told up' trouble the with proportion for the entire period SovaetUnionbystrongwprdsun-493g-j947 4ncjusjve^js4ess^han supported by adequate force. - The g 2%. official added, Dr. Hovde said, ] ' Ur '. that "it would make "all the dif- i It is ference the hi cerned, if the U. S. Czech freedom with a so far dec-W clear laraition of willingness to use arms to defend it." , : 4l; generally agreed that the population growing a equipment, and give effect to These heeds must be filled at Guardian Securities Cor¬ poration is engaging in an invest¬ First ment business from offices at 160 Broadway, New; York City: Arthur H/ Baum is a principal of the firm. narrow and -selling prices. Wage ; sharply and have costs have risen become mere situation a inflexible, creating that is not serious a handicap to^Tmost^divisions of in-; du"try as long.% production; em-i Unsettling Factors "The hesitancy of investors' to supply equity capital; is probably in due small no attitude of Hastings Represents* Parker Hast¬ repre¬ sentative for the Parker Corpora¬ • "" 1" " venture ; neth to the Co., Financial Chronicle) y ANGELES, CALIF—Ken¬ N. Simonds staff 510 of has G. South of the to The Dphl has of been added Brashears & Spring V Street; Los Angeles • ' ' -.f * Financial been Chronicle) added to the Edgerton, . - Hutton & Co. Adds (Special to The Financial i recently in the official in¬ vestigation of the rise in prices certain steel products, gome of ;the ;early postwar viewsVcbnc e r n i n relationships g between Ciironici.e)., profits in b free-enterprise has not yet gained - full system • recognition. 1 'Tnternatiqnal fair& nlso have played an important part in creat¬ ing the present situation.in the a supply ol Withnf : our; must be frankly constructively dealt economy is to expand and thrive. V ; of to these • - _ Causes of the relations appears numerous is the to necessarily ja business in heavy on in¬ is generally agreed, are the prin¬ cipal source of the savings ? that normally supply the great bulk of capitals The almost con¬ fiscatory^ rates on large incomes venture relatively little surplus foi equity securities and, little incentive to that such assume investment some domestic securities owned by foreigners,; with ,a. de¬ pressing effect on the m^t'Xet. If the European Recovery tr.e neces- should tive to risk-taking investment ani which depress the' market for equity'securities both by forcing hasty liquidation and by breaking 4*p large estates.into smaller units for which, such securities repre¬ a less suitable form of in- helpful, hibit industrial employment- expansion, opportunities,' weaken the business concerns financial and their time will inevitably bring. If free enterprise in America is to ex¬ pand and;/progress in the future it has laws and as done in the past,v our regulations must be so as means resume to restore to risk-takers and the incentives their essential role in economy." *; ! v- Paul Reamer Opens: 'risoecia^ .. / practical effects. Kessler was • • ^ chroniclb) SOUTH Reamer to our ;*'•• • BEND,,f Paul is engaging".in a.- securi¬ curities Company, Inc. in .its a n a abil¬ ity to weather /the varying eco¬ nomic-climate that the passage of II harmful limit position of ties busi ness -from * of fices. at staff, v inadequate ANGELES, CALIF— "y^tfheni.((Tbe double taxation of Hutton & Co., 623 South Spring dividends is without theoretical Street, have added Frank P. Flinti justification and is certainly their both supply of equity capital must in¬ the incen¬ be "In the long run, an saraly. iinvolves/ The situation is revised aggravated by the estate taxes," which further weaken the Program psychologically and otherwise. tax LOS to the outlook; and for; A^^icah dation of be fects causes. dividual incomes, especially those in the higher brackets, which, it sent is; is enacted .and proves; successful in achieving its objectives^ its ef¬ Scarcity burdeni that has been laid risk tional major/;unsettling, factor the urgent need to a radically altered situa¬ gx> 0 d s and J American" dollars in which the problem of abroad has resulted in the liqui¬ - With G. Brashears & Co. ' The to- of to be giving seems ;^"The situation ■ the on venture; capital Salle V capital faced- and One to concerns keep prjees down in the face bf rising costs and which, was mani¬ domestic limitations attributable ;(Special gen^ persistent industrial the making his headquarters at A dis¬ and market ioZ venbire;iwpital> The Unsatisfactory state of' interna¬ tion, tion, the to measure disapproval trust tqward'pr^itsrin which has given rise to in all probability, be considerably higher1 than they; were before the war. The inactive capital demand that has long served to conceal way CHICAGO, ILL.—Bryon ings is acting as Illinois a time/ when prices and- costs will, First Guardian Securities E. F. gan Francisco costs replace worn-out.^and obsolete plant and technological improyements; (Special m to as the margin between raw-material as change. f Chicago Changes in the price struc¬ hayefbeenT^ther country mow iaces^; period .yof pfices; and were cohr <i-and sustained demand for thoroughly discredited by events, but it seems that the essential would support j nfw capital to supply the needs role of world Czech-Soviet relations Edgerton, Wykoff Co. Adds ;v sort. fested ministry he said, Wykoff & Co.-, 618 South Spring Street, member^ of the Los Angeles. Stock Ex¬ Y.'/--.;lr* de¬ especially venturesome more ture have been such heen Una iced by stock issues. The 'it staff Established 1913 strong a expansion, the policy was "hypocritical, because summer, M. Street, New York 4, N. to of him last that American foreign LOS ANGELES, CALIF.—Ralph 46 Front for that pressure on investment * in NATIONAL QUOTATION BUREAU, Inc. porations represent terrent rio year since 1935 has as much as 12% of total corporate expenditure for new plant and equipment leave For 35 Years outlook has been weak¬ concerns, by tax laws and by high and inflexible costs. Tax rates on cor¬ increase whatever, ip* that business concerns of1 cial banks failure to take our Stock Exchange. Over-the-Counter Quotation Services long-term businers ened no (jicatmg the part of America on eastern of « Hovde knowledge members - oi "l'he induce an adequate risk-taking investment; . LOS Ifutton & Co., i nation reexarr to ,t Chronicle) SAN FRANCISCO, CALIF. — William Herlitz has become asso¬ cient amount of ployment and prices remain at to be no serious h igh levels but that could becojtne disagreement as to the existence a bi^detV; in the event of ;a expansion in of a large shortage of venture general decline in the volume "of Czechoslovak* Bryn J. Hovde capital. The National Association activity and; the price level. The kia might of Manufacturers estimates t~e rising 'break-even' point for in¬ have been stopped had the United current deficient at $8 billion an dustry—that is. the level of activ¬ States been prompt with economic nually and points out that comme ity- that marks tbe dividing line assistance, ERP was .conceived | cjal j3ank loans rose rapidly Jr between profit and too late he stated, adding loss-rhas bothati^g ancj 1947 while individual come bn object of Czechoslovakia, Finland and even increasing eon-; | holdings' of corporate securities cern. Street. (Special tinction in favor of income defrom capital gains, this partial exemption appears insuffi- ef¬ jrtek-taking, Herlitz With E. F. Hutton Chronicle) . dis- a the - their office at 120 South La (Special n g tfcev GOVERNMENT, TOO, WHO ARE SO FOND OF TELLING US HOW TO DO WHAT THEY THEM¬ i makes sabre'V- Soviet; of way, .Every we 11 living, count—and remember this— if a to without j even • , ; of us, when man who is engaged in the investment securities business in this country should eject any and every thought of inferiority from Ins mind. Ours is a good business—a vital business—a damned tough business where brains and and character ; g o law rived tre healthy state of capital;, market. needed is a thorough- is the ani the /whole Federal tax "rattling . I have written w constructive steps in time.- A high worthwhile they have perspective!"" What 4 . Although possible more a in (of hjm ranking That is the way men feel about their job. They know it of "Bulletin," serted ade- the nation's economy, ac¬ on ation in e is capital their of School weekly, - enemy. venture af "airs Dr. Hovde as-; would * - by such declaration,": the doubtful^ n to 'The Guaianty Pur¬ vey,' monthly review of business and financial conditions, pub¬ lished today by Guaranty Trust Company of -New York;? "The bill, if enacted, would ac¬ complish little toward the restor-t "HitT in Writing What Mr. Laird says in his article is that of fects he said, a man, that without his efforts collapse. 1 Kaiser is there now cording 1914 a highly skilled one at that. That any manwho is a good salesman has accomplished something worthwhile in liis life. Besides he is contributing to the welfare of his country in a sphere of activity that is so important to the well being of his fellowan ply seriousness ler could have beep stopped in 1939,;-apd other as official, declared. even close of the sweep ng changes that have take l place in the factors determining the sup- it, Dr. Bryn J. Hovde, Presi¬ UNESCO time,* -but-::it whether clear statement that a to concern quate recoghitic dent of the New School and former our fields of creative endeavor. Think with ser ve matter of • The sluggishness of this flow has been observers of the security markets for;' taking capital into industry. a the United States will fight to Prei¬ much that is both stimulating and helpful in it. underlies the failures of most x striking feature of the testimony on the tax-reduction bill emphasis placed on the need for stimulating the flow of risk- the was some be saved only by backing European Recovery Pro- the up If you sell securities you will find "A • What is left of democracy in Eu¬ the various phases of security salesmanship, we heartily agree. If you rnissed his piece, look back in the March 25 issue (page 7) of your .salesman in , j With that, the rest of Mr. Laird's clearly explained position regarding read his article. military our immediately be impressed on : Stalin, as it should have been on) V Hitler and the Kaiser.; A.;:.;" AMERICA AND GET DOWN TO IN tion of whole Federal tax structure and other sanations discouraging < vital function of industrial risk-taking.; endorsement of democracy must £ Essential to Distribute Securities?" by "FIRE Shortage of Venture Capital .Guaranty Trust Co. of New York holds new tax measure Will accom¬ plish little to aid capital market and advocates thorough reexamina¬ ^ •* Last week in the "Chronicle" v Liberal Educator By JOHN DUTTON Thursday, April 1, 1948 Boulevard;, formerly- with Mr. IIX4 Beahaer Maxson. Se¬ - / - Volume ,167 Number 4666 & .FINANCIAL THE COMMERCIAL With Wilson, McMaster Co. 1 - ILL. -CHICAGO, South La Salle ■ • . \ Director, Banking and Investments, 'i(-' U. S. Savings Bond Division, U. S. Treasury Dept. Treasury official enumerates progress fight against inflation. ] of > Street. of reduction i l against inflation, and •(SDCciftl Bond selling campaign banker^' cooperation in the urges as Chronicle) The Financial to C. iO. [ part ner-of-St. Louis. He was previ¬ A. G. ously with the local office of f ^a(*e a statement in 1946 which national • I said "The soundness of debt our was a -new economy idea then but commonly accepted now. -This can Savings Bonds Pro¬ dollar held S a v Bonds the i n g s of in-' runaway :a: 1 ry.;,vpg| >;■ much V present flation danger with I . —' us now/^y: hardly ; i v 1 h g V e v/marri. t h a t events borne this put.' m I all-out for -nation Savings through ^transfers ownership. ' • • their accomplishments are fully known to the people. Those who are familiar with gov¬ most of > To the Holders of St. Louis Southwestern Railway Company General and Refunding Mortgage 5% Gold Bonds, Series A, Due support of the +he crease I Cam Bond,:-;.Program. national debt but-are present; to, report that you have held obligations. splendid job of it.yy;; yyy " T" to ,Pmmrainf nirpnt1 ute f°r Secretary of the Treasury Sny-f' ^urchasinpIn additionnower to removal of direct d bt • ., J from the conder recently told a:group of in- Purchasing power from the cona Railway Company (hereinafter called Company) hereby invites tenders for the purchase by it of its <5% Gold Bonds, Series A, 4ue July 1, 1990 (hereinafter called the Bonds). The.Company is pre¬ pared to expend up to $1,000,000 if Bonds pre offered on favorable Interest a A A months at ago, - y to government the field it because in this proving - .a stay was stimulus to their own savings de¬ the presentation partments; that Twas such that it made people start thinking about saving, and if they bond, didn't have enough te-buy a they would perhaps come down and open an account." ! ; Savings/ Bonds -issued - T_ J.^y If Fav ngs w l sm.ce ^ bad not- been selling Bonds, y - the; Treasury thai! caused plex \ factors TheSecretary the s recent October 6, During press^adeqiiatelyi&y^ chasing the same to in ori does • the Treasury borrow from ; ,, especially to the promotion of our various--war loan drives, and to r- the continuing vided a ' selfish, more ■ this respect. A ■ the I'd - bottom like what effective, more un- of our hearts.- vou complish.ft''>; - - Reduction in Bank Holdings : of ft;"; Bebt idDn Feb. 28, tional7 debt Since || that, time'it duced to billion—a billion. : 1946, the gross na¬ $279.8 h billion. was-* has been approximately net re- • $254.2 reduction of $25.6 About $20 billion of this increase in the ( ^ejnand get^ [ance! -A. - v; There are There are many ^re^spdadle^ajT; iotal. affect the impact of ^; r.- debt .two major ..Jwlls .be¬ lupon y of rejectipn pf tenders, or as high as omyy/; $4 billion dollars.. You see that these/ two readilv But a ; was -madewith cash b:lls together would All Bonds delivered pursuant to the acceptance, in v/hole or in*. and must inclusive, Chemical Bank & Trust Company, Agent, St. Louis Southwestern Railwav Company, Corporate Trust Department, 1948, to the New York 15, N. Yy where payment therefor will 165 Broadway, (be made. . ///-./Ay,, ;; Ayy All Bonds in in whole or ; .. • •; coupon form delivered pursuant to the acceptance, of a tender must be accompanied by all appurte- in part, maturing on and after July 1, 1948. All coupon registered as to principal only must be accompanied by duly executed bond assignments, with signatures guaranteed. Tenders must be signed by the owner of the Bonds and, if the I nant coupons, Bonds V principal amount of Bonds tendered by any one person (other than by a bank, trust company, insurance company, or a member of a national securities exchange .or association) does not exceed $100,000, principal amount, arrangements must be made bank, trust company, member of or one with a of such exchanges or associations to surrender the Bonds tendered, in case of acceptance, in whole ance in part, of the tender. Bppks, trust or companies, insur- companies, and persons tendering Bonds in excess of $100,000, .principal amount, desiring to .do *0, may make arrangements with a bank, trust company,.or. member of ope of such exchanges or as¬ sociations to surrender the Bonds tendered, in case of acceptance,in whole or in part, of the tender. The bank, trust company, ex¬ association member signipg the tender form in the space provided therefor, delivering and accepting settlement for Bonds change or ..^pursuant to and in accordance with an acceptance, in part, .of a tender of another party pr person, >will be whole or in paid by the .Company $250 per $1,00.0, principal pmount, thereof.United States Stamp Taxes are not payable on the sale, as cancelled. .the right, in its absolute discretion, to accept or reject any or all tenders of any. pf said Bonds, or to accept anv portion of the Bonds covered by any tender and to reject the Bonds purchased are to be The "Company reserves . -..V,, successful sales program about of Savings Bonds to, individuals $9 billion purchasing power -to can have an eyen more direct ef¬ fect in reducing dangerous infla¬ I*An address by Mr. Townsend the market if they pass. * The nation is indeed - fortunate tionary pressure. Dollars thus at the annual meeting of The Cen¬ to ' have tral States. Conference, Chicago, Secretary Snyder and taken from the spending stream A (Continued on page 27) Secretary Wiggins iri control pf 111., March 23, 1948. y-A - I'| reduction, tenders representatives, at the addresses appearing in ' y 1 tenders. part, of a tender must be delivered in negotiable form be so .delivered during the period April 7 to April 21, / our ■' their authorized their respective . will be mailed not-later than twelve o'clock Eastern Standard Time, on April 7, 1948, to makers of noon, cording to the naoers might .run could ran Proposed Contract No. NY 1 GO," and addressed to Mr. Paul opened by Mr. Paul J. Longua, or in Millard or, Mr. C. E. Scott, at said office, immediately after twelve o'clock nopn, Eastern Standard Time, on April 5, 1948. Makers of tenders or persons representing them may „be present and examine each tender jif they so desire. Notices of acceptance of tenders, in whole or in part, or notices greatly expanded credit, which in our present inflationary situation be dangerous to rthe econ- Marshall Plan bill; .the other-.is the tax reduction bilk which,.ac¬ in; this transaction, and, if a firm, and addresses of each member names 1948. Tenders received will be factors that the public that emphasize the bution is one necessity of th's more .than.eyer,- ihgs of United States bonds in the One is the $5 JbTlion ^..million- banking system may, under cerdollar European-cooperation-,;. or .tain conditions, provide a base for fore Congress pr agent association, the his absence by Mr. F. H. / nationa" economyDistri¬ of them. Large hold- or • . Now iust a little of have helped us to ac- over-all standing does not further outrun Program constitutes a major at¬ production. We must see that the tempt to spread the national deb ; gap js narrowed until supply and without increasing the pver-al" patriotic service in We thank you from to report purchasing selling officer or Company, Room 2105, J65 Broadvyay, New York 6, N. Y., at or before twelve o'clock noon, Eastern Standard Time, on April 5, power^has outrun production; and all along the •* ^ Savings Bonds and Debt Tpe.. Today our major economic problem at home is to make sure ;}'■*& |;yy|:; Management that the amount of money putSpecifically, this Savings Bond in this nation has pro¬ more our, .economy,. \ ^ under prices have come up sale 'of- Savings Bonds since the end of hostilities. No group In amended Octpber 4, 1920, in its Docket Ex J. Longua, Secretary, St. Louis> Southwestern Railway Company, Room 2105, 165 Broadway, New York 6, N. Y. All tenders must be received at the office of the Secretary of the the of this increase is due to the buy¬ American Ipeople?/ Wby; ah ex¬ behalf, and for the welfare ing and holding of Fav'ngs Bopds panded, Savings Bond sales drive? of the people of America; " ' *l by indiv;duals, for there has been, '•.First,.it must be stated empha¬ would stress particularly the tically'. that the Savings Bone contribution :of the banks to the the Victory Jjogh.vV-' T • :.;vf Program does not contemplate an Treasury's financing programs, as | X,hp manager, purchasing or selling officer of agent in this ; / V V" 'V'-'yA Tenders must be enclosed with accompanying papers ip a plain envelope, securely sealed, bearing no indication of the name of the maker of the tender or the amount of the tender and marked "Bid . our - the regulations transaction. . the about $6,485> for each family ithe United States;. , 22.8% of the debt to | Why, then, $65.3 billion or 25:7%,. Nearly all still -seek to billion v and of indebtedness which now amounts period' indi¬ 1919, partnership, „ vidual i ownershijp-ofgovcrnment securities increased from $63.5 ,,,ciation, and that of the Treasury, Tor the services bankers have ren¬ dered, and fcr the services that banker continue to nerform -in Cotton Belt Building, St. Louis, Missouri, and conformity with regulations .of the Interstate Commerce Com¬ mission, each tender must state the name and address of the maker of the tender (owner of Bonds), ai?d, if a corporation, the names and addresses of its officers, directors, general manager and pur¬ i The impossible for" me to ex¬ It is or In ( 221 months. V., marked ^Attention Mr. Paul J. Longua, N. Parte No. 54. Treasury, with the complete sup¬ port of the President and his other able to retire economic advisors, to institute this bank-held debt new campaign are, perhaps, less and the existing inflationary po¬ readilyunderstood. tential wo.uld have -been a£>out $.110 billion greater ihap it Js.now. Why Push Savings Bond Sales Tliis is the ;/IuUfncie5a§ufe iof, the anti-inflationaryf effect, .of- the .: The government now is .operat¬ favlrvr Bond ;Program in-.the past ing with a surplus of revenues critical ' prescribed by the interstate Commerce Commission in its order of $15 billion jess of s-ud: /further , i This Invitation for Tenders is made pursuant to have-been would 6, Comptroller." . ' ' * J over expenditures. The continued banjklng system held $1.16,7. high costs of the aftermath of war billion dollars • ■ or 41J)% .^of ;thet and of our national security anc years the Treasury Department Federal debt in .February 1946, foreign aid programs are being has called upon the financial in¬ when' the debt .reached it's aJMime; met.- The unprecedented national stitutions of the United States for hi^h. By the e ni| of . December income has provided tax receipts support and assistance upon many 1 °47 this Jiad been .reduced ,vtp .sufficient to permit continued re¬ occasions. and 4n manv different $91.,1 billion or 35.8%..The amount duction of the debt/.Sound fisca" capacities.". And he added that nnw held by commercial banks is policy/dictates that we must, in they had vnever failed to - come $68 6 billion, or 26.9%, against a, these/prosperous tim es, endeavor through. - y*"'- ' | ,y|;w high of $93.8 billion or 33.7%. to reduce.further that. nationa11 " "Throughout - all meeting, a they wanted York Secretary," • banks assured us that . marked "Attention Mr. F. H. Millard, Vice President v The '• American lihas met with the practically uni- Tal. of from $6 to $7 for .each dolr people were .versal support of bankings Prior/J,ar,So r^-red from the banking quick to grasp the .necessity for /yto the end of the war, I felt that 'System. This means that wf have. .lending their funds to their gov¬ w thdrawn that much purchasing ernment during the years when banking would be in here yery power from the market and six we were battling ruthless enemies shortly after the; end of ..the war to seven times that much or .about for our existence in a shooting y and say:- 'Now, get out of this $20 biJlion from the credit poten¬ war private -field .-.that belongs to the tial. The Savings Bond sales since : The necessity for an expanded banking industry and- is not part the Victory Loan have /covered drive to sell Savings Bonds now of what the government ought to .The-.redemption and maturities gi is harply less urgent, but the com¬ be doipg/C Strangely enough, a few v.' for Tender may be obtained by addressing its offices, Room 2105, 165 Broadway, New request. Forms the Company at » § dustrialists, meeting in Washing- spmer market, r$bis ..operation ^.re- I; Savings Bonds-in War and lu ton: "The Savings Bond Program nmves a. credit expansion poten- :•:{?'fIVIvf:'-:fv Peace 'ff/1 .. - . accepted for purchase will be paid to April 21, y All tenders must be submitted in triplicate on the Form for Tender which will be supplied by the Company upon V min- X Bonds on 1948, but not thereafter. interest on the national - - $9,000 us •' terms. ; is. military, ..past and It costs „ General and Refunding Mortgage business in the world—and nearly the^nkZ-alLtbat post f0r ; the ......... _ July 1, 1990: St. Louis Southwestern and maturities of other Sav- ons Railway Company Invitation for Tenders . not happy done , St. Louis Southwestern > -" /;•<£ ;:y r appeaiea to vo the ine bankers oanKers 01 ine 'appealed of ; thie i more management. I am sure everyone will agree that they have followed a very wise course. A • ; • vn s Bonds and left a surplus Of To give you an idea of the mag¬ $ 3 billion. It is obvious that This nitude of the debt problem facing $ 3 billion represented merely a the Treasury, among other things shift of ownership from banking the Treasury has to yaise $72,000 n-rtitutions to nun-banking inves¬ night and day, tors. I would like to emphasize every, ; minute, that the net proceeds *from the -Sundays and holidays, to run the U.s S. the; biggest Government, s,,e Qf Savinps Bonds dn n0( t f need rHxeipind > even ury.-with funds- to meet redemp- ,v e you been Since I appeared - before this ernment finances recognize that distinguished group we have sold there were several courses which in excess of $15.billion in Savings; Bonds. This provided the Treas¬ could have been taken in -debt lessens threat has debt than $26 billion of our The -reduction in the bank- Loan. by individuals. in monetary problems at this critical hour. -We owe them a debt of gratitude. I am afraid that from the over-subscribed Victory Every placed gram. Chronicle) \ continuation a Financial MICH.— Lester L. Lodge has become affiliated with Charles E. Bailey & Co., Penob¬ scot Building, members of the De¬ troit Stoqk Exchange. upon pnnfini»qtia« of to The ownership of the public only be insured through the depends .much by individuals and other non-bank investors. Edwards & Sons. Washington DETROIT, associated with Reinholdt & Gard¬ move. ' Charles E. Bailey Co. Adds (Special ILL.-^Rodraan Matheny, Jr., has become SPRINGFIELD, ban khold Jigs of U. S. dsbt, and its contribution in Stresses importance of con inuation of Savings program J West 131 Inc., Avenue. Co., Joins Reinholdt & Gardner . ' Chronicle) BEND, IND.—Charles W. Magner has been addled to the staff of Albert MeGann Securities 134 Co., Financial to The SOUTH By MORRIS M. TOWNSEND* ■' . & McMaster Wilson, (Special J. Calvin — associated with Webb has become With Albert MeGann Co. . Chronicle) to The Financial (Special n (1439) CHRONICLE balance. add ST. LOUIS . y * .• New York, c • ■FT 4-V . .. . N. Y., March 22, ,1948. . • SOUTHWESTERN RAILWAY COMPANY, • | 'paul J. Longua, Secretary. ' > , 24 (1440) THE COMMERCIAL & World Bank Grants $16 Million Loan to Chile McCloy's visit to South America, similar to the one he made last fall to several capitals Represents John first World Bank loan to South McCloy, President of Bank, to tour J. of South America. The International Bank Reconstruction and Development announced on March 25 that the Board of Executive proved two loans to Chile totaling $16 million. The first is - in Chile loan of $13.5 million for a to n t s r mentality - f Chilean the o ment of m Office the of and d e : Electrii d a d, S. A. (Endesa),- John J. McCloy ^ a The zation. $2.5 v million second is to Fomento the loan a of Expressing or¬ ganization for the purchase agricultural machinery. - report of of are eral velopment field and with of one the Vice- of the Victor gua. Brazil off the Bank's Industrial represents Chile, Philippine Republic, the generally The" of 20 years; amortization pay¬ ments will begin in the sixth year are loan calculated to retire the by maturity. Tni3 loan car¬ interest rate of 3V2%". The million loan to Fomento is an $2.5 term a of six and one-half years; amortization payments will begin in the calculated third to year retire maturity. This loan the and are loan carries an by in¬ terest rate of 2%%. In accordance with its Articles of Agreement, the Bank will also charge a mission of 1% annually on pro d u c t i maining in purchases of critical materials foreign countries, where a longer range is indicated by upset foreign conditions. Purchase or¬ from decline i more s der pro¬ in nounced. Lux¬ items prominent ury in of orders are ly large order book), 34% show decrease, compared to 14% creasing. This is the result of con- more j;o the cautious policies. months, at least, disruptive conditions could be speedily eliminated; For the immediate future, extreme ume if ex¬ change for the purchase of agri¬ cultural machinery in order to in¬ the productivity of Chilean agriculture. / our accordance with Bank pol<ky, the loan agreements provide the be funds used to be for are put. loan two and Roberto > ' ; contracts < were Vergara, representative on behalf again, of of the de of la South leave for a are with a tendency to competition increases. as are coming into Escalator reported dropping off which is a general are the competitive gauge climate. ; will new pressure is being versely affected by the coal strike. 1 Reduction in steel delivery allot¬ ments will create unbalanced April 1. He will be accom¬ ventories of other materials, panied by Luis Machado of 1 with in¬ pit Cuba, the present short? changes ' ■ . were: ■ - ace¬ conduit; too particular, even commit¬ Foreign Sales Continue High :• : •• "'rV' In I survey notes, however, that number of manufacturers re¬ "a port considerable shrinkage in ex¬ port shipments." This is generally attributed to "shortage of dollar types of some caused them to focus their efforts upon new territories most February. caused time These the New do recent" layoffs by the coal strike. Over¬ and extra shifts are out of the picture. The cient employees ductivity. hard hit and not its fading more being accelerating are effi¬ are re¬ pro¬ Northern California is by the power limitations production.' on shortage, industrial v'T;:-Vf1 T T ( Canada ■ .. Many up lower. better States. grade. Backlogs are holding than the United Prices in are Inventories on the down¬ continued be reduced. to Employment is down. Buying policy duplicates that of the States. • • ; • executives as result a The is from away ? of fear; that export trade may suffer a temporary set¬ A few believe that this rary. j ; ^^ South America Back as Door Exports to Europe Many executives are for . wondering whether the licensing regulations It is contended cover that present regulations an exports par¬ under the export sale could be made to South America where licenses no required positive Est and that the products might then be channeled to Europe. These executives speculated as to the for items not such of back are the on effectiveness if exist. s^les present controls doors to Europe ;: few executives fear that the A extension of government licensing might lead to a greater degree of state tradmg and that the private channels commercial be may gradually blocked out of the Licensing Regulations Opposed* ture. bus'ness to the executives new are ' > because the of are numerous utives be to expected solve will be aggravated' and of anv that "the only hope lies in giving the enter¬ prise svstem more freedom by en¬ couraging the free exchange of goods both here and controls abroad." Price Pr«vi«*ions Severely Criticized v'( s ' of . This principle against the use of nrice criteria in granting licenses. was the cost of a an minimum. of the sums will money be • spent under ERP and that "final control of the use of these funds must in this country." rest Curb Quarter Club Elects At the Century Officers annual meeting of the Exchange em¬ ployees' Quarter Century Club, Louis S. Burgers, a supervisor of personnel on the exchange trading New York Curb floor, was elected President suc¬ ceeding Henry H. Badenberger. Mr. Burgers, who joined the Curb Exchange staff on June 27, 1921, . the severest, criticism directed that They say* that large American taxoayers' was Some was feel ERP must be held to govern¬ manufac^ The minority of business exec¬ favorin g * more strin gent : regulations a Vice-President during the past of the club- year. Martin J. Keena, director of the Curb established by department of Securities, was elected Vice-President of the Section 3b of Public Law 395, but organization. Christopher Hengea majority of executives regard it veld, Jr., will serve as Secretary as "unworkable and, invpractical. and is easily subiect contended that to abuse." OIT It crimination. For many products, manufacturers believe that few outside of experts in the indus'try qualified to make ancj Treasurer for another year. personnel have been given excessive nowers which might lead to unfair dis¬ are go a today's serious (trade problems. Instead, thev believe the problems In general business, production has leveled off with the trend to of Minority Favor Controls 1 time reports more markets sterling countries. Employment is down, the great¬ (34%) reporting low¬ cover of in frequently reported shift in foreign est number than and. "increased foreign competition." These factors, some manufacturers point out, have can ' pay rolls J than at any since the war—15% more restrictions turers who, in the light of previ¬ ous experience, cannot see how additional ; government ^ controls * er to ca«es, ;i There au¬ [-J"- Employment import governments." ment's failure "to consult practi¬ cal men who have spent years in export trade." ; tomobiles; brass; bronze ingots; containers; ■;cotton twine; :small motors; fuel oil; pine oil; paint; polystrene; thermoplastics; valves. foreseen regulations, the majority new to non-European countries, ticularly South America. realistic supply:, steel; alu¬ minum; building (materials; china; lead; zinc; nail^j methanol (good grades); some lumber; tin. ficulties the f. matter of principle. Several manufacturers found them un¬ *•'•*.»<irt: delays and dif¬ pating in the survey "have con¬ tinued at high levels, with an up¬ ward trend often in evidence." opposed tight Trade on Will be extended to as alcohol; Effect Because of the manufacturing exporters partici¬ The This importance to producers of heavy equipment. .V; setback may be more than tempo¬ new Foreign sales of the majoritv of products. many time factor is held as of particular 3 • more back: forerunner of still broader regulations, -v ' • yV-,;T , planning frequent criticism of regulations is that the enough for a . production - new many whether the to as are and 90-day license period is not long 90-day li¬ by a few producers who fear josses ' "may be more than temporary," ( while some' others ex¬ Another the is that that costly delays, tape," and addi¬ also expected to become difficult. regarded as giving undue OIT will be bogged paper work and that is for licensing problems. Scheduling of orders are the frequently re¬ short, and generally result net look "unjustified red are as Consequently, down with die ex¬ ercised to continue the downward trend. Steel production, which is the most serious bottleneck, is ad¬ America tour of South America but - - price products; tained and Industry is measuring inven¬ tories with extreme caution. They are somewhat lower than Febru¬ bor¬ Development, ; Cor- Pro¬ the " " - in Easier to get: Inventories the announcement of .h* loan to Chile, it was stated that John J. McCloy, President of the International Bank for Recon¬ and by New Following struction , ( materialr prices Supplies clauses ary, Tour advised employment1 situation. rowers. To ' Development; poracion de Fomento • vol¬ productivity and produc¬ efficiency are reported bet¬ ter. on March 25, 1948 by R. L. Garner. Vice President, on behalf of the International Bank for Re¬ construction and duccion good closer balance with demand. Some of the fears of cost increases on another wave of wage demands have been lessened by the easier signed by generally reports. lower, tion that representatives of the Bank have full opportunity to check the end use to which all as few glycerin; hides; leather; jute; lead cable; gum rosin; rubber; linseed oil; menthol; mercury; sugar; tal¬ low; some textiles; yarns. : Worker purposes shall The is Industrial disbursed the specified in the agreements purchases in almost static, showing period foreign burlap; butyl acetate; cocoa but¬ ter; cotton goods; some foods; several Commodity Prices that the Bank shall be furnished With full information will remain price On the down side: ethyl w In that would for these caution crease cense exchange, i ink; saccharin; small tools; twine. are The purpose of the $2.5 million loan is to provide ' . blocks; dolomite; felts; formalde¬ hyde; glue; platinum; rope; news sound; sales get. coal-tar Purchas¬ demand exceeds supply in many products, and production and foreign In garded tone; ; ahintinum^ of ing agents' over-all opinions that, basically, business is production i Commodity Changes Increased con¬ development current important easier to disturbing elements— plans—have tributed ex¬ v basis that a stand out, the "downs" overbal¬ ancing the "ups" by a slight mar¬ gin. Many more items are reported a in¬ :inuing close buying commitment schedules and inventory reduc¬ tion policies. new maintain No previous the backlogs, and to Specific and, while still substantial (52% report maintaining being reduced drop-off in are schedules. vf > disappearing rapid¬ development of electrical power and water facilities and re¬ sources in Chile. for the will .,T :' j slowing of demand. Backlogs the quantities proportion to order Robert C. Swanton are war talk and the coal strikeadded to the uncertainties of the aid to Europe required are to Two change for the purchase and im¬ portation into Chile of equipment supplies which clination both foreign ruies." controls are high gear, al¬ though the in¬ , . tional credit, shipping and import The porters fear that the commitments. 95% report this pol¬ icy, with accent on the 60-day limitation. The; few exceptions o n re- com¬ loans to be set aside in the Bank's T The purpose of the $13.5 mil¬ lion loan is to provide special reserve fund. some be it is feared that inordinate delays in the issuance of licenses are predominant purchasing continues within 90-day policy trends— : The $13.5 million loan to Fomento and Endesa is for a term new lieve that Trade personnel.; The ; to as tion may sneculate Buying Policy expressed whether the OIT will be able to obtain properly qualified person¬ authority to Office of International able. is nel. price provisions inpractical and ; —« skepticism are for clearly defines ductive pro¬ & Conference controls and question the heed for additional restrictions at this time. Even among the minority who be¬ new policy. Selective examina¬ tion of inventory items is advis-; ary, and more the capital for Board. the degree of regula¬ necessary there are many who are skeptical as to "the efficiency and effectiveness of the of its members, the March Purchasing < Agents Business of to - Board, most exporters strongly opposed to these ment re¬ at assist in the development of Terri¬ tories of members by facilitating the investment of purposes, including the encouragement of development of productive facilities and resources in less developed countries. opinion Association con¬ completed by the National Conference According end of Febru¬ objectives policies—namely, to composite are y licensing inevitable. the National exporters by the Department of Commerce, according to the latest survey of business practices which has just been represents Moller most says skeptical of their efficiency. are Manufacturers find the immediate outlook for foreign sales fur¬ ther clouded by the recent introduction of a new set of Executive as> Bank Board rulings and trols Bolivia, Costa Rica,' Guatemala, Paraguay and Panama. - business 1 ported in accord are main the conditions the Bank has approved in the de¬ . Machado Conference new of to be guaranteed by the Government of Chile. The loans are the first which i Bogota, Venezuela. and Industrial strongly opposed to Survey Committee, whose Chairman is Robert C. Swanton, Director export trading will suffer. More Purchases of Winchester Repeating Arms Corp., confirms the, serious consequences are looked change in gen- - Both loans York National ' Business Survey Committee of National Association of Purchasing Agents, headed by Robert C. Swanton, sees new disturbing elements in war talk and coal strike.; Says worker productivity and ^ efficiency are better. ; subsidiary of the Fomento organi¬ end : More Pronounced p r e s a C and ; High Production, but Willi Declines devel¬ Nacional for those Mexico, Cuba, Peru, Uruguay, Ecuador, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicara¬ Victor Moller of Chile, Executive Director, will join the group in Santiago. eco¬ opment, ries countries. of Director Chester A. Counsel, Drew created nomic and lems Brazil Director, the the promote . Chilean E purpose with on April 2; from there tentatively plan to visit Ecuador Peru, Chile, Uruguay, President. Governto himself development prob¬ Luis arte Thursday, April 1, 1948 Reports "Farther Clouding" by New Export Controls European for the they McLain, General Dudley, Director of Public Rela¬ tions, and Enrique Lopez-Herr- an u acquainting : Colombia Directors ap¬ hydro-electric development Executive de Fomento de la Produccion (Fomento), be economic and <s> Gorporaclon i will The group will arrive in for CHRONICLE Mr. Bulk of proceeds to be appKed to government sponsored hydro¬ electric projects. American nation. FINANCIAL proper price comparisons. Bonds .Holders Nov. Efficient Administration of Regulations Doubted The consensus of of these 1, 1960 $16,000 bonds through the ness-like fiscal agent. Considerable Free State Redemption Irish Free - : State: are being notified principal amount of" have been lot for redemption on manufacturers opposing the new controls is that they "will no;t and cannot be ad¬ ministered in a simple and busi¬ fashion." Irish (Saorstat Eireann) external loan sinking fund 5% gold bonds due that >• of Drawn for drawn by May 1, 1943 sinking fund at par. The bonds will be redeemed at the head office of The National Bank of New York, City American Volume 167 Number 4686 - THE COMMERCIAL & CHRONICLE (i44i)'«; Cherner is; President, and George F. Hoheim is Executive Vice-President. Reference to the organization of the institution ap¬ An CAPITALIZATIONS At the the regular meeting of the of Directors of The The Na¬ of tional City Safe Deposit Company of New York held on March 25, Side North of New March 24. President Fred Randolph Burgess was ap¬ pointed Chairman of the Execu¬ The National City York, was elected a Director of the Safe Deposit company to succeed the late the Rentschler. Mr. Board the of '• tive and DeWitt elected A. v a by the death ■ii-jvY'i of Trust March on 25 the appointment of Herbert H. Vice-President as Credit bank; ;, Lieut.-Commander in during World War II, Colonial his Trust military Navy he N. is ?162,500. 15 Division National the .amount Office the of the Currency the $65,- 100 E. Chester The Public. National Trust Company that nounces to $130,000 by a stock divilend, and from $130,000 to $162,- Gersten, President of Bank of New York, Albert J. and an¬ 300 Kuenzler, nounced the >:"At the March 29 ing of the Port Bank of Port of ' N. Y. \ •• the At Edward elected P. Ped-f ident of the viously, with he Edward P. Pedowe Cashier. - the the New a senior York State iof v Banking. ' Pre¬ had been associated York National New York. He is lic a City New York Bank of certified pub¬ accountant, and the a State member of Society of CPA's and of the American Insti¬ tute of Accountants. Mr. March on formerly election Mr. 25. Assistant '»/*/;//■> L/L',/ of James Committee of the of March V/v of the C. Fen- Baltimore 11,. by, J- who is Board of i-i National; Bank, in the Clearing House Ai - H. S. Post who is Baltimore succeeds Chairman of Mercantile signed. the Board of the Trust Company; re¬ Baltimore "Sun" The ■-=-■>'"-"J'-iIC'-'AV"^:"*■ says: "Mr; Post resigned the Chair¬ manship of the Committee at the expiration has of been his 1947 associated Clearing House term. He with the has served as Chairman that Committee since 1931. "Heyward E.; Boyce, ' of ^ ; Chairman of the Board and President of the Hauxwell & Smith, Inc., has been Maryland Trust Company is Pres¬ a Trustee of the 33-year old mu¬ long been active in the civic and ident of James D. the First more is the Clearing House. Harrison, President of National Bank its and until recently served as President of the Board of Educa¬ tion. of Balti¬ Vice-President. if community affairs of Port Chester, if \ if •"With a capital of $250,000 <and surplus of $50,000, the Shirlington Trust Company of Arlington, Va. began business on are more not timid on • t kv\ r '• v ••*>. • • • . : :• the constructive side of the market. is looked for but a firm to better , v,•• •/.■• --i -.'V!:•'&< • No runaway or wild splurge price level is believed to be iflr the making, with the restricted obligations apparently the more fa¬ 50-cent-a- a ,v. • . The feeling'seems to be growing in bond circles that the trend prices of the intermediate and long Treasuries is upward for the time being because investors, traders and dealers have returned tcr just outstanding vored issues at this time. Evidently , ... : . . dividend I-:. ■ turities into the ,\' L. missioner r Banks in market it is the he will Wis¬ authorities "pegged of-town bank and non-bank investors. announced . . ... .''' L" The big city banks have been stepping out into the more distant maturities with important purchases reported in the eligible taxable Milwaukee It is added 2y4s due 1956/59 and the 2V2s due Sept. 15, 1967/72. This is the time for a considerable period that what appear to have been rather sizable positions have been taken by the large city institutions in the longer taxable bonds. > Previously commitments in the succeed the Citizens State Sheboygan, where Bank of . J. W. the intermediate-term Board.* 1952/54. *:; ■ if if .. ■' Vi / .. exempts. \ ? Tennessee H. ; Bryce, Memphis, businessman, has been named Class a C Director Federal Louis of Bank these St. terrtV a and March 9. Joseph : ters Dallas, Texas. He one of the original promo¬ of the company 25 years ago and has served its Bank Into both the eligible move into the ineligibles has intermediate the and distant maturities. more been rather substantial in for buying with the due 1959/62 1 2x/ts due June and Dec. 15, 1967/72, evidently the current favorites because of the small amount of premium involved. ... organization. purposes and tax it<jLs The a some new is born in no had reductions,; but the feeling in most quarters is that* bit early to indicate when the Treasury that type of Louis Reserve St. , it might be handled in (line with larger expenditures for defense- way Vice-President as , Considerable discussion goes on aoout deficit financing and the Minden, La. He graduated from Culver and University of Alabama/ In 1917 he joined the first Officers' Training School at Fort McPherwas prominent in the govern - very There has been switching out of the shorts by . PREMATURE head office is in since obligations particularly in the 2s due Dec. 15, ending Dec. 31, Memphis operations of the Dixie Wax Paper Company whose director of the . . The and the of was principally to the partiallyreported to have been made in also were . with all issues coming Mr. Bryce is Vice-President General Manager in charge 1950. . institutions . Reserve System. Douglas W. Brooks, Memphis, wjiose term ex¬ pired last December: Thle appoint¬ ment is for Purchases . . confined were longer ineligibles with preference for the Federal succeeds . tap issues. and of . maturities ,,' Savings banks continue to be by the Board of Governors the He Reserve . ment market adding to their positions in both the eligibles and , Deputy Chairman of the Board of the distant more ■ * . first Hansen, President of Citizens is moving up to the post of Chairman of the - ' ;:7:/"/i-Kvv LONGER BONDS IN FAVOR Dayton F. Pauls, who will become President of ma¬ result the a, ; v . become Vice-President di Cudahy State Bank at Cudahy, Wis., ef¬ April 5 according to As . present and former holders of long governments. This better feeling among buyers of Treasury obligations has brought about a good demand for most of the longer maturities, especially from out- consin Banking Department, will fective . . as Dr. Marcus Nadler and Mr. Beardsley Rumt prices" of long Treasuries could and would no doubt be maintained, appears to have helped to instill confidence among that •:, the . well with prices holding well very by Mr. Thomas B. McCabe (nominee for Federal Reserve Board Chairman), before the Senate Banking Committee, that continued support of long-term governments at par seems to be the right pattern, along with the opinions of such prominent money- Stock, Deputy Com¬ of turn about in the operation The statement . ■' Walter fully have too largely increased or a distant obligations. more ■CONFIDENCE good earnings made possible." < !•< 1125. too either . action "' have taking place with funds going out of the near-term now top bonds have been" acting above support levels. , Feb. 12 page 731 and March 11, page • investors , is The increase in the bank's cap¬ ital was referred in these col¬ umns non-hank many depicted their holdings of "longs" their positions in "shorts" so that 30,000 operation. / 'money market followers further more be faced with may V The only tangible near-term results that' . expect from the changing conditions; hardening of interest rates, until the authorities have time to study general economic conditions and the probable was the effects upon PARTIAL EXEMPTS HIGHER ' The Georgia,^?and served during son, World cer it of enlarged government spending. War I>as with the artillery offi¬ an of certain of thc-se securities. Announcement to the effect that C. Shefor Vice-President tion Bank would ^become of the Fulton Na¬ Erie Atlanta . . t v to bring about In , as of from which Research ; . is Council I ( - l- ■ r*i . pf ■ > - of the on page 40) of Mr. j' Thomas B. v- . . ♦ ■ McCabe before the Senate markets although there seemingly is less confidence now "Street" that important ; new bank regulations for from the Congress in the not distant future. . . Eccles idea of "Special Reserves" supposedly would considered in any new banking in the not be asked may . While the not even be limitations, larger reserve re¬ ■ American Bankers Association, (Continued to cover positions, dealers bidding for these securities which has helped Banking Committee appears to have been reassuring to the money March Chairman attempt to supply this de¬ as higher prices for the partially-exempt Treasuries. Testimony we quote Shelor, among his activities, an well LARGER RESERVES? ' made by Presi¬ "Constitution" states that Mr. the and traders have been Cocke according to the 7. The paper other . issues Atlanta, Ga. effec¬ of tive March 12, was dent . 1 mand for the tax-protected James -; partially-exempts continue to be in favor with large buyers evidently in the market and the financial district apparently short in Division 82nd France^ : . . . . as a McKay, who is President of tual institution since 1934. He has the member of its Executive' Committee since 1923 and markets money conservative and .. . also of Chairman of the Execu¬ as position. was accounting and investment banking firms; • and gained his early bank experience with B. was the the New appointment of Roberts as Assistant Vice-Chairman bank, Mr. Pedlowe Department; Bank Philadelphia Editor^pf, to examiner in of S. Armstrong, Financial that paper. Mr. Fenhagen, joining the voted has William the timore "Sun" bank since F e b r u a r y£;, capital stock As to the dividend and continued • House at the organiza¬ tion meeting of the Committee on March 10 was reported in the Bal¬ Executive of Co. Roberts tive Vice-Pres¬ staff Trust more of was Wright, President said capital increase from $600,000 / to $1,500,000, accom¬ plished throiigh issuance of stock purchase rights to shareholders ;: Clearing lowe has been; 1941. Prior elec¬ the The Tradesmens National and hagen ■ its of . The Presi¬ dent. Mr. an¬ -/L V.// - was 1939 recent ■ meetingPedlowe and to succeed him. i Although the . ■ ft | ■ Vice-President same has W. Elkins, Jr., a Elkins, Morris & Co., in . . George Toseph Board. the of cap¬ "John C, . . that member a since "Journal" of March 18. v resignation of George as announces post ft Directors of partner meet¬ Chairman / of Board W-1'"' elected to was Elkins tion ■ Savings Chester, McKay newly created i Board Chester Dennis A. ;the W. , -:'V stock. new ft Philadelphia of pany Kerns, assigned to the 5th Avenue Office, were appointed Assistant s if Land Title Bank & Trust Com¬ Chief Clerk of the 39th Street and 7th Avenue Office, and Eugene J. Cashiers. by the sale of ;Y-:.> its on "Directors a of Bank increased from was Chicago stitution _ of the on shares of $50 par stock. .: the of According to the March bulletin meeting now ... payment, which will be April 15 to stock of record April 9. It places the stock on a $2 annual dividend basis. The in¬ ■ Comptroller of . • at PRICE TREND made Rogers. * Byram . bank buyers are now bold enough to look H securities with ma¬ turities longer than those of certificates. declared the Chicago "Journal of Commerce" of March 19 reports: Optical V': of declared was Sast Port Chester, Conn, increased 1 very long ago. so without uncertainties, even the stock of the La Salle National March 18. Its capital Feb. 27 from $65,000 to Vice-Presi¬ dent. The first dividend Bank Savings Y. S. . . . are share March on William Instrument The experi¬ with years and Commercial was a N. can entirely in the cease " ital Y. •/'' Buffalo the Buffalo, known /.•'•/- Corporation, of which lat¬ ter company & 1929. ;o which may money market conditions through the sale of near-term issues instead of the distant maturities, which was the procedure of Feb. 26. as Government Trust Accounts . mediates and longs, with many of these institutions The increased '• v. : ' National Square, -f of trustee with the His several CIT Corporation Credit the was Company prior to service. includes ence ;;:V' Company. He :s a nephew, of William H. Glenny, who was a trustee of the Buffalo Savings Bank from 1877 activities of the Dawson, who was a Mr. ''i capital from $625,March 1 } American charge of Personal Loan and Con¬ sumer V, " tific in effective . matter of fact certain non-bank investors a . - by In reporting this the Buffalo "Eveling News" stated that Mr. Glenny is General Manager of the Scien¬ President Company of York;, announced Dawson its // Square Franklin President Kleeman, Colonial New of made # V S. "'/jit''" Bank; of \ ' Arthur - Bryant Glenny has been elected of Mr; RefctsdMfer^ stock. new , Commercial banks continue to switch from shorts into inter¬ additional an factor of importance in the trend of prices of government a easily take care of near future. putting funds into long governments in preference to mortgages and other loans, that do not seem to embody the quality they are looking for now, /• As not of and of income tax payments the money markets squeeze this liquidation, National sale • • a created vacancy the tighter , ■• longer no securities. $50,000 having been realized by the was through the sale of new stock to the amount of $125,000. Forward '; was Director to fill the Despite the continue buoyant because the pressure of liquidation by non-bank investors of Treasury obligations has slowed to the point where it i* :je of Governments on of Fos- capital, according to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, 000 to $750,000 effective Sheperd was appointed President, General Manager and New York Agent, of ... 12 months. increased Mr. and capital Bank # capital amount, mark in $5,000,000 Franklin Bank 25, Mr. Burgess was ap¬ Chairman of the Execu¬ Committee the • The meeting a to the past March pointed and International Banking Corporation at on was dents Office Brady appointed Chairman of also was party National doubled, from $100,000 to $200,000, a $50,000 in¬ crease having been brought about by a stock dividend of that birthday a the Bank of Commerce of Pine Bluff, Ark. has been visit the bank, at New Gordon S. The held with local resi¬ depositors invited to which time Mr. Berry thanked the members of the community whose patronage had servedto bring the savings deposits of the Bainhridge Avenue tive-Committee, and Howard C. Sheperd was appointed President. James S. Rockefeller, a Viceof Berry, First # in * direction of Under the increase the sale of new stock. York, located at 3125 Bain¬ W. of Avenue Office Savings Bank Bainbridge the Gage Brady, Jr. was ap¬ pointed Chairman of the Board, Bank Reporter ;■ By JOHN T. CHIPPENDALE, JR. if toria, Ohio, from $150,000 to $200,000, was effected on March 2 by bridge Avenue in Bronx Borough, celebrated its first anniversary on Wm. President Our columns Dec. 18 *' Bankers and OFFICERS, ETC. REVISED Board these ; last, page 2492. NEW BRANCHES NEW in peared CONSOLIDATIONS a':.-;. \ FINANCIAL quirements do, however, come in for much discussion among in-i* formal money market followers. . '■ c THE COMMERCIAL (1442) 26 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & Investment Association IssuesResims of Sobering Realities Regarding Taxes {Continued from page 4) present philosophy of govern¬ ment, tend to increase and not to decrease; Hence, our total public budgets and tax collections, un¬ Education Committee of Junior Investment Bankers our Columbia Gas System Columbia Gas & Electric, having disposed of its electric subsid¬ iaries, Dayton JPower & Light and Cincinnati Gas & Electric, has now changed its name to "The Columbia Gas System, Inc." Columbia is one of the oldest and largest of the natural gas distributing systems. Together with Consolidated Nat-91 4.1 1 •' ural Gas (the old Standard Oil, (ranging between system, 560 and 910) the larger part of the so-j nothing paid in 1938-39 and 1942 eastern territory (except Ag a result the stock sold as low serves called New ■ it dividend policy was erratic, with independent) now - :y.r as Its 19 operating England). subsidiaries serve a population of 7,000,000 in the States of Kentucky, Maryland, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and West Virginia, and the District of Columbia. Subsidiaries constitute about 1 during the weak utility mar¬ kets of 1941-42. Beginning in 1943 dividends have been paid in each year, with the annual'totals in¬ creasing steadily from 100 in 1943 to 750 last year. The regular quar¬ terly rate is now 150 supplement¬ an integrated unit with each com-, ed by year-end extras. The > stock is currently selling pany dependent on another either for gas supplies or markets. The around HVz to yield about 61/2%." system is divided into four princi¬ The price earnings ratio is 8V2. pal groups —Charleston, Colum¬ As indicated above, share earn¬ bus, and Pittsburgh, and the oil ings are not expected to show and gasoline group. much change in 19.48, but 1949 show a substantial gain Natural gas accounts for. about may 92% of system revenues (which in (which, however, might be diluted if the company should decide to 1947 amounted to $111,700,000) with gasoline and oil making up do some equity financing). The most of the balance. Residential company expects to increase its sales account for about 47 % of gas capacity. about 80% by 1950, and revenues, industrial 23%, com¬ seasonal peaks will then be han-. mercial 7% and wholesale and died much more easily through municipal 23%. Some of the prin¬ the use of huge underground stor¬ age reservoirs. cipal cities served are Cincin¬ nati, Columbus, Dayton,1 Marion, Springfield and Zanesville in Ohio; part of Pittsburgh and New Castle in Pennsylvania; Charles¬ and Virginia; (wholesale). Field Washington natural gas at of New the area, Sleepy during the war-time pe¬ C. depleted reserves. Hence, the company found it nec¬ essary to obtain gas elsewhere and it is now tapping the big southern and mid-western fields by obtain¬ contracts) Transmission, of million 350 150 million from Transmission, and (beginning April 15, 1948) 50 mil¬ In lion from Panhandle Eastern Pipe Line. Based on" these contracts, chian L. Morse, Jr., of Hemphill, addition to the perennial features of the Field Day, such as publication the system now has gas reserves of trillion cubic feet available, of which Country mittee. He will be assisted by four Vice-chairmen—George K. Coggeshell of Schoellkopf, Hutton & Pomeroy, Inc.; Robert H. Craft of Guaranty Trust Co. of New York; P. Scott Russell, Jr., of Glore, Forgan & Co., and J. Emerson Thors of Kuhn, Loeb & Co. ■ cubic feet through Tennessee Gas Texas Eastern Hollow Noyes & Co., jhas been named Chairman of the Field Day Com¬ ing daily deliveries (under longterm be held Bryce, Clark, Dodge & Co., President of the Bond Club. This year's outing will be the 24th annual event of its kind. further riod will T. Jerrold ducers as well drawals Day of the Bond York supplies Club, Scarborough, N. Y., on Fri¬ from the Appala¬ day, June 4, it was announced by including other pro¬ as its own wells. Dependable reserves were declin¬ ing, however, and heavy with¬ chian of the "Bawl: Street Journal," trading on the Bond 2yz are in the Appala¬ Club Stock Exchange and golf and and 4 trillion in the tennis tournaments, mdny new area entertainment events Southwest. Columbia sound Gas has long had financial structure and this a year, are planned Mr. Morse ^announced. The various activities will be in der the. direction of the committee chairmen: recent years this has become stronger. Even after giving effect the present budget of $40,000,000,or more should be put in two, 000 un¬ following E. Jansen . . 52% common stock and surplus. Circulation: Norman P. Smith, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane. Before divestment of the electric companies and retirement of the preferred stock the common stock equity was only 36%; this was in¬ , Publicity: William H. Long, Jr., Exchange: Robert Lewis, Estabrook & Co. ' tion of serial maturities, sinking retirements, and reinvest¬ ment of earnings. fund iHr© forma earnings per come figures presented SfSC) have been Year— V '■ on as . the V.' /Amount $0.79 1942-— 0.87 1S143-..— 0.93 of which has completely ; burden the ruined finances the of 1948 powerful Great Britain. In order to effect the necessary we theoretical the 1.34 l?63 While earnings were Gordon • - B. Duval. Carnival & Side; Show: vWilliam to are 6.700 26,8 4.3 1.2 2.2 3,100 73 5,700 16,800 15,200 23 28.0 4.4 2.0 2.3 3.7C0 87 7,000 Trainees 10 27*. 2 3.4 1.2 0.9 2,300 90 5,300 ,130 27.4 3.8 1.5 1.9 3,300 83 6,£t)6 In citizens ' 19,000 ,52 35 13 19,600 17,700 €0 0 20 69 20 11 10% 8 this and the as partners and accountants, which within the major categories. ) did not fall The following table shows 1947 incomes by positions . ; . Classifications r.<■;. Under 4 —' % 3 11.5 4 : Trainees -Buying- No. 7.5 No.,; % 'No... « -Overall- ,.% 0 • %•.-;• No. 18 15 i 12 >. 7.5 3 11.5 rJ 4 .17 4 0 31 57.0 15 58.0 11 48 >1 20 62 51 - 15 23.C 5 19.0 1 4 4 '80 26 22 ' 54 100.0 26 100.0 "23 ,100 ,5 100 120 100 4 . $2,500——- Analysts % depart¬ or .;.4 : No. $4,500 And over (»)J $3,500-$4,499 $2,400-»$3,499 ; —Sales— 1947 Income ; encourage * : the ■{*> Ten had incomes of $5,000 </r above abd two of these had over, will have to pay incomes ,of Possible , reasons overall basis an " ,,,J are ' : Classifications - \1 the differences in the levels of income on for indicated below: "1947 Income - i . some¬ Under Average Ages (Years) —2.9 $3.50Q-$4f489 $2,500-$3,499 , $2,500 V : , ; ,1.9: ; " ■ ' 1.6 ,4 3 v',; 27.9 , 27.4 . » * ".3.5-: ' K"' -v27,S^ .' ' ' . Average No. of i Yearsof College; :t - ' : 28.2 2.3 . ^ / " Avg. No. of Years in Securities Business . . ,' $4,500 and over„. . , ¥ cre¬ • * $10,000 - "■ • . %.9' 1 J - ' 3.5 »: ; indicates that any newly launched business has far less than a 50% shown government. ; In considering the question of top bracket rates, long experience income Also, .even \o succeed. established is evident that cards as Under ; qse "redistributed;" short years * Within > over,„>.- v . Analysts . 24 3,2 2.0 1,8 1.5 2^ * most by those not no tion $3,700) had in-the business. and moved. will income The the of the try¬ " ' 2.0 \ 19 .14 . , 1,6 , the securities no ' ■ remunera¬ ' • , prices are par,;; - The scaled from . 101% " - to ". : is engaged pri¬ marily - in furnishing- electric Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. heads service throughout a substantial area in Ohio, which includes the an underwriting group that is of¬ fering publicly today $40,000,000 cities of Canton, Lima, - Ports¬ The Ohio Power Co. first mort¬ mouth, Steubenville, Zanesville, gage bonds j 3% series due April Newark. East Liverpool, Lancas¬ 1, 1978 at 100.99% and accrued ter, Tiffin. Ironton, Cambridge, interest. The "group won award Fremont.Fostoria,. New Phila¬ of the bonds at competitive sale delphia. ;• Coshocton; Mt. • Vetnon and.Bucyrus. ^ on its:hid of 100.5^999. v ' > company . ing-to support and revivify at our. ' : Buying Department (average 1947 Offers Ohio Pwr. Bonds re¬ we are now 1.7^ 2.0 2 9 - the smallest percentage of those expecting to" stay Halsey, Stuart firoup Our standard of countries Overall > * . spirit of enterprise moribund Trainees - On the other hand, the predominant reasons given by those expecting to stay in the securities business were C(l) interesting business (2) opportunities, principally resulting from the lack of young men in the business and (3) high salary potentialities. ; Many of those replying made additional comments,- the most common relating to younger men's problems. An example of surh a comment is "The desire of the securities business to hire high caliber men ^cannot be realized so long as the salaries offered are so far below those of industries with whom it must compete for manpower, and not everyone has outside .income." ; "ri.;'" " more be ' - ; rich. All incentives to risk taking and the production of - 3.5 expecting to stay; in voters be Buying , In addition many of those with to note that those in the it will be impossible by telling them that the or those of moderate inr comes, can bear the tax burden, while thp masses will largely es¬ cape taxation. There will soon- ; expectation either way the present time mentioned that they might be forced to leave the business because of inability to live within their present incomes. All except two of those saying that they did not expect to stay in the securities business earned less than $3,100. However, it is interesting en¬ "rich," as at few a overall, as As indicated by the large percentage of those replying needing to other resources in 1947 (83), the problem of remuneration was business. our fiscal ruin and to individual well as ... . Sales $2,500-—___ mentioned to the in¬ government ^con¬ tinues to spend our - money; * in peacetime at anything like the present rate. It is the road to departments —Average Number of Years in Securities Business^- ;' •$3,500-$4,499 $2,500-$3,499 V evitable disasters which lie ahead, provided and ';$4,500 ; are definitely "stacked" against either the individual enterpriser, or the corporation, if the public powers levy taxes exceeding 25% of the total taxable net income; and probably any top bracket Vrate over 25% tends to check indi¬ vidual initiative. ) The American voter must be f *' r and ■ > the definitely informed Classifications : businesses, year in and year out, not more than 50% make profits. Hence, it among in>| positions V-'Income . i chance between below: i "Net -proceeds from the sale of Co/ speedily, the -bonds, together with 'JSY-OOO.000 received from the sale of reversed, like the Gadarenian (S-wial to The -JPwanci^ Crr?ONicrx> v. .*■ swine, -we shall rush madly vdowh 7,048. shares of common stock to LOS ANGELES, CALIF.—H; H the ^steep place into the sea; jand the company's parent, American Foster has joined the Staff of G. Gas and Electric Co., will be used we ourselves, through our public Brashears & Company; 510 South extravagances and lack of twill¬ for. the redemption of gold deben¬ Spring . Street, members of thd ingness to; fight each; day for free¬ ture ;bonds 6% series due 2024; Lbs Angeles Etock Exchange. ^ • dom from over^centralized.. gov¬ prepayment of bank notes; and ernment, will havg become the for .the company's- construction further-expense. Unless our . • course is . - unconscious , agents The tax bill 1948 of bur .own ' •;;*; is now being enacted program. The cost of its construc¬ tion program ,for 1948 through 1951 is ..estimated ,to~ be approxi¬ With MeiriU JLynch CQ. "TviisNicxB) (Special to-, v LQS ANGELES, CALIF.--Ken¬ merely a -temporary neth ;R. 'Rharwin has been added mately $71344,000." ■ ; l''*; expedient.It must, "Regular redemption prices for to the staff of Merrill Lynch, by a drastic down¬ ward revision of the higher brack¬ the '.bonds pre set at 104.50% to Pierce,, Fenner & rBeane, 523 -West .v;'" ets next year. v.. par, while special redemption Sixth Street. vote-getting be followed Sports!"; ^William Chappell, The First 19 of their for Laud-Brown, Bank- No 2U 73 It would appear from the results that the number of years in the | securities business may be the principal reason for the differences M. Marks & Co. Tru^t Co. Indoor .? 69% following tables, Sales includes traders and men in municipal department; Analysts includes economists, statisticians, and research and. investment advisory men; Buy-ng includes syndi¬ cate and new businessmen; and Overall includes, in addition to the thing directly toward the support suicide. Music: W. in Sccur.Bus. Yes 26 Overall Expect to Stay ; Analysts Buying maximum production of goods, and are to maintain our free en¬ terprise system. We will have to get back once more to top brac¬ kets nearer 25 %, and virtually all P. King, Harris, Hall i& Co,, Inc. Pool: David W. LovelL Laurence ers relative^ fteady during the period 1937-45 Jr., Blyth & Co., Inc. $ 88% or Old World which Hipkins, $ $ 2,900 well level, 50% poration. A. 1960 -sources Bus. Expected -Income— 1.8 bracket rates will have to go living will be reduced to that of Clifton ents 1950 reductions in our tax burden, top Baseball: Gardiner H. Rome, Stone & Webster Securities Cor¬ Guaranty Trust Co. of New"York. ^-Of- (Est.),___, Clark, lege Re- 1.4 once Dodge & Co. Dinner: 1946-™—1.20 1947.-_.__,__— 1.3.6 1949 (Est.)_„._„„.. Rex, Age Other ments: will be broken. meyer, 1944____——0 92 1945_« M. plies Used Job be, year in and year out, almost uhsupportable—and it is the kind wealth Horseshoe pitching: Gerald B. West, Stone & Webster Securities Corporation. Trophies: Harold H. Cook, Spencer Trask & Co, Entertainment: Edward xGlass- follows: 1941__.__—_L William J. Braun, Bosworth ,& Co., sInc. net in¬ to Golf: Tennis: share of common stock have been as fol¬ lows (including projected esti¬ mates for 1948-49 based f'ri, Stock apd is currently decreased by the large bond issue to 52%. The pres¬ ent stock ratio seems likely to in¬ crease gradually due. to the opera¬ Dept. 1947 Income 3.6 . Doremus & Co. creased at the end of-1947 to ,61%, In pend- Sec. above, replies from members such further to mislead the mass of the Attendance: of $45 million Years of De- might be close to $35,000,000,000, still fuliy 25% of a reasonably "shaken down" national income. Even such a burden as this would or Hunt, sale No. of Col- 27.5 were debentures, due 1973, the capitali¬ White, Weld & Co. v zation is definitely on the conser¬ "Bawl Street Journal": John W. vative side—about .48% debt and Valentine, Harris, Hall & Co., Inc. recent the Re- 58 sufficiently aroused, we would still be confronted with a total tax burden which by 1950 voters Years of or Sales be'done if the should and could as though Even No, A Pos. Federal Government for any sub¬ slavement by the State. The larger incomes and estates have already been substantially to data contained in these replies follow: decline in the state and government expenditures and taxes, we must look to the any local ation of venture capital, and the Day June 4 The 1948 Field Club The company in the pasty obtain¬ therefor, and Other Comments. Approximately 60% of the 220 ques¬ tionnaires sent out Were returned. The more pertinent and interesting . ed the greater part of its of Income from Job During 1947, Did You Have to Use Other Financial Resources in 1947? Expected Income in 1950 and 1960, Do You Expect to Stay in the Securities Business? and the Reasons Hence, as stated above, as there is little probability or possibility if ton, Wheeling and Huntington in West Total such conditions? reductions. requesting following data: Age, Years of College, Number Dependents, Years in Securities Business; Posit-bn or Department, of income. Does any one believe that we would be other than a nation of "slaves" under stantial Feb, 5, the Education Committee of the Junior Investment and Brokers Association sent a questionnaire to all its,, members national below New York Bond Club On Bankers and prospects of personnel in securities business. , cated, could easily turn out to be as much as 40%-50% of our entire of Brokers a:ia Association reveals data regarding age, education, earnings assumptions above indi¬ the der Thursday, Ar..i 1, ,1948 J3. Boston Corp. . . . Volume 167 U.N. Unit Its Reports 1847 Exchange Exhaustion on Department of Economic Affairs points'out task of European Far East and v THE COMMERCIAL Number 4686 r aeons true Jon is far greater than foreseen when International Monetary Fund and World Bank .of formed.. were In response to a resolution of the Economic and the United Nations, passed March 26, 1947, the 7 Economic Affairs of the United Nations has released Social Council Department of report on the a foreign exchange position of the devastated countries. however, has notbeen brought £ to up date, since the data does ; included which 1947, This report, smaller a [not extend beyond August, 1947.; number of countries and an even According to the report the com- smaller proportion of the total parisorr of [ foreign exchange j deficit than the present report, for-' concluded by stating that "it is eign . exchange countries earnings under the 1 clear that until action is taken by private organizations, govern- of review reveals [that nearly all the countries Jhad ments, [ large deficits on current account to augment the loanable resources in 1947. The deficits have recent- /ly tended to grow larger than anticipated, and was or international to Known now programs of agencies the import exist, the governments can- in some cases, not be financed in full." Since 77'7an. inadequate ^measure of the that time it has become even gravity , of the are, foreign exchange clearer that the task of European problem since foreign exchange reconstruction, not tqmention that ^Requirements in these cases have - of the Far East, is far greater .77 . ''777to he met in one kind of currency 'while foreign exchange resources : 7.';'accrue in/different kinds of ciirfirst. • convertible not rency, ; In some [than foreseen when the International Bank for Reconstruct was tion and Development and the the International Monetary Fund were into the cases Navy and the Air Force, and the Chairman of the National Secur¬ deficits created and when the major post- available event of In the war. to National terior, of the Treasury, and Labor. Chairman Projects with phrase be "co¬ of military, industrial civilian mobilization," the Board's duties and responsibilities vast are and of aspects virtually cover all except strategy and tactics of the mili¬ economy, the functioning of and tary our tially by drawing •foreign ;exchange substariremaining or upon war were ' - ' * of cies, • - - - best endeavor to be prepared for war whenever it might come—in¬ cluding the immediate^fpture. V777 What National ' ■ *r •-■* • --J ;■.< ^7"- 7 7. 7! To " :fir tended . to the world.- : ; t ; Consequently, it for seems that it is timely to take stock of our situation and make our plans and for arrangements o th e r of world—I fj have un¬ bounded faith in the possibilities tol the of I became convinced years ago when I tasted ethyl al¬ cohol (mixed with ginger ale) made from gasoline!. ■* < of synthesis. supply -..while, cohserv777-' hig as much as is reasonably pos- /■ We in the U.r S. A. sible in .our country lor a possible! thusiastic people and '; sources ' rainy day. Furthermore, there are many critical and strategic materials of which we have no sources in this * go too we begin somewhat (Continued from page 17) the storehouse be far, such as with, more of the some ords of Resources! Board Is Doing? , more World , have we than 7 . tionship done dust off rec¬ II, and are prepared to suggest ways of avoid¬ ing some mistakes that of that the We obvious made during more were conflict. are making in in weigning organizational wartime agen¬ their interrela¬ light of experi¬ the World War II, with the smoothing out the of now far an en¬ sometimes in the pres-i enough removed from World War II to of substitutes of science, (4) 7menis r We hope that arranged of mutual interest will •eventuate through-the operations f of our foreign relations, activities . 'in, . the State-1 Departments and - • through the European Recovery [ Program that will channel greater .... «supplies into this country. I am »confident that in time this desir- / "I able condition will 77 come about. Another great possibility is in.herent in chemical synthesis. Our 7 . » • • , American-made synthetic rubber ;is . a World War II ordinated. be can / soundly co¬ and We are undertaking the prepa¬ ration of necessary legislation and executive orders. Equally as im¬ portant,:, we shall endeavor to build up and keep a current roster of qualified men to be selected to fill the jobs outlined at the top echelons and get them to thinking of their problems in advance. time capable great deal of trying to persuade business executives to in down to Washington for of time to help orient and give direction to our work. The problem breaks down come limited periods into many so have must flight at categories that least a men to help into the clear. dozen , we top¬ work our It seems to me that for a job of such para¬ mount importance we are, very modest in our requests to industry way that we us - should receive the cooperation without necessary having to plead for it. I scarcely need to refresh your memory con¬ cerning the criticism from of the way the war agen¬ nessmen cies set were up World War II. much that busi¬ of I and operated in readily concede that criticism was I know how distasteful justified. it is business for executives to come industrial mobilization plans which just that fascinating pos¬ materials under study and many beyond the laboratory stage. I shall not pur¬ sue the subject further^ for it is a complete discussion within it¬ self. The developments have been of such significance as to require under Simi- pressure. 7[7'' larly, petroleum products through 7/synthesis . i 7; stage of are already beyond the speculation. Pilot more ///S and::demonstration ~ been in plants operation for some have time 7 7 ' under the direction of the Bureau 777 of Minesf Interior ' - • has ■ • ; Secretary Krug recommended program 7,7' a long-term of construction, and an program to build three plants of commercial size for the 7: by-;;two ' different processes ably a great experiment is under 7:v7 way near Pittsburgh by two of 77 7 our great corporations—the Pitts7.'; burgh Consolidation Coal Com- 7> panyiand the Standard Oil Dejl- l ^i°bment Company. In Texas 7: x ;; ' 7 > •z .; and Kansas-commercial piants are under eonstruction to are many of substitute re-examination a The . critical the of stockpile list. • : foregoing leads to the logi¬ question: Why am I here and we doing about it?/7.[:- cal what are and 7/7 ope from oil-bearing shale. Not¬ ; There sibilities immediate 7 7 synthesis of petroleum from coal : between the military procurement convert /7: National Security Act 7 7 I hope all of you have read the National Security Act of, 1947. I do hot want to bore you by para¬ . phrasing vides cies for on tional headed a law. their disrupt busy routines and Washington to work on to M Hi ta ry Establishment by the "Secretary iof/De¬ r Services; the-Na¬ of 7 and ph^nical by-products. Having [heeri born in Charleston, 7 West Virginia—the chemical eapi- of the President the ject*, to the national security clause, have been assigned to the various military services by the Munitions Board. Through edu¬ Armed I have 777777/7['.7 7- enumerated only :-: some of the problems. There are manv others. Your patience would not stand I more have the details, given scope you I onlv hope idea some of of the whole problem. You have been generous and hos¬ pitable, and I cannot thank you enough for the opportunity to meet with you as your guest in this great industrial city of Pitts¬ cational orders, cooperative en¬ gineering by government and in¬ dustry, procurement plans and the burgh. 77'''7 ."7'v'7* •77" like, many of the plants and in¬ dustrial companies are - already Requirements for National aware of their respective roles Security and missions in war production-— I am going to conclude with particularly, with recpect to mili¬ what I conceive to be some of , production of basic materials and equal level: The Na¬ certain common components which hcts ; industrial life. tary end products. It is obviously the answers to the auestion: What impossible to extend this method Ajre the Requirements for National Briefly, it pro¬ of output allocation down to the 7Vnatural- gas into petroleum prod- fense, established for unification 77 and economic suppliers. coordinate -agen¬ three an their prospective The output of certain plants, as well as gov¬ ernment-owned plants and those which have been disposed of sub¬ agencies tional Security Council as composed C^feirman^ the are necessarily subject to alloca¬ tion. 77/ 7;1 -7 also well along in intenesive studies relating to fiscal We and to are Security? d) Pursue a clear, just honorable foreign policy. and by the necessities hemisphere, of new metals and minerals— of All of the foregoing, while (5) essential and will important, be of no avail unless it is supported by the mobilized spiritual resour¬ of all of friend or potential enemy have the military that we capabilities to of adopt without delay universal people. that I speak our Finally, I am sure I hope express the .ardent this nation shall not into another that thrust be conflict. armed I d^auieting world unfold, both in the im¬ mediate and remote future, we shall all be able to keep our hearts and heads where they ought to be. But, if despite our best and most honorable efforts, war should suddenlv descend that as events let upon us, get and keep our¬ us state of constant readi¬ We shall make every hon¬ selves in orable a effort efforts our to If prevent war. of no avail, are we determined to be prepared to are it. win v\ ■ .. . 7 • .. Reducing Bank Bend Holdings—Effective Debt ; Management (Continued from page 23) 77 . to compete tor scarce goods, cease with attendant bidding prices. ; Such dollars, held are available of up savings, as future for under conditions more advantageous to' the individual, spending and more advantageous from the standpoint of the national econ¬ omy; contribution a and has the to well-being America a bul¬ stability; it is business for wark / '• 7 constitutes [;7'/ thrift - /Such happiness investor. the of great under, the tenets of personal thrift. grown Why Should Bankers Continue to Savings Bond Support the /7-v Program? That is financial what ask to fair .a question. executive he has can The the right expect to gain from the promotion of Sav¬ Will it strength¬ ings Bond sales. his position businesswise? Will en it pay off in a tangible way? 7 Considered in the broader sense, the is the to answer an obvious first question What's good one. for the country, what's good for his community, what's good for his customers is the and good for the bank banker. No business group has a greater fi¬ stake in nance and a sound national econ¬ sound government Selling Savings Bonds con¬ to both. Under present conditions, anything that can be done to check spiraling prices will help all financial institutions. The fight to stabilize the economy is your fight! One of the most omy. tributes effective fronts can on which bankers fight is in the Savings Bond >7 campaign. Each ~ [ that Mr. and Mrs. America buys and holds is stored up purchasing power for Savings the future. Bond In Series E or F bonds, this buying power will grow with each six months the security is held. (2) Strengthen our armed forc¬ es. and thus serve notice on monetary policies—measures back up our diplomatic commit¬ To do this we should restrain * inflation, problems ments. presented : including petroleum. ness. We have spent a our t fuel. " v. this in sources hope • well as er.t case of oil use in this country. a number of other important we all hooe will never be used. Buf Due to a combination of circum¬ aspects of our national capacity if our business and industrial lead¬ stances, which are unnecessary, to wage war. 1 ers do not make the sacrifice now for me to enumerate, it would in helping their governmenta l We have had the benefit, for appear that all of us suddenly de¬ feel that they are entitled to little cided to install oil heat in our instance, of certain work on the subject instituted by the former complaint if such plans are hot to houses, in hotels and in industrial their liking. -7- 7 : ;n tallations. The cumulative ef¬ Army and Navy Munitions Board We need men; with a knowl¬ and published in tentative form fect. if it continues, will be a last Fall as a master plan with edge of industry, production, ma¬ definite shortage of oil, which chine tools, facilities, raw mate¬ one of its hundred-odd annexes— certain parts, of the country felt that relating to the organization rials, management experts, men keenly ;this last winter. It may skilled in organizational problems, of the War Production Board. be of interest to add in passing in personnel training, price con¬ One of the most important that jet engines use fuel from the trols, finance, economic stabili¬ same cut from crude oil that is aspects of industrial mobilization zation, 7 industrial engineering— used for manufacturing heating is that of contact and planning and all of the other facets of our shining illustration of doing * by the application Encourage jn every way discoveries, in this, country new . country. and stockpiles of critical and strategic materials. Direct our research and development activi¬ ties toward the further discovery the minds of all Americans when industrial as ; it is our hope that much, if not all, of the authority exercised by some 36 separate agencies during give us a fairly good per¬ spective of the general pattern of mobilization, /.< sources our ces i are Increase (3) rougn places and of eliminating potential jurisdictional conflicts, and | important War numerical strengthour civilian indicating ences - ■ mended to Congress to bring our armed forces up to the required our intergovernmental credits foreign relations. The latter, as I granted. In this connection,- have pointed out, are integrated in the Security Council. 777,77',' resources and the second annual report of the You may rightfully ask at this ,-utilizing the balances of foreign ^International Bank, recently pub[loans already -granted. Other lished^states: ''Because the re¬ point; What have we accom-, v/77 countries less * fortunately - placed quirements are greater than: an-, plished to date? My answer is we have oaay, of course, have to reduce ticipated, been because the scope of that organized their deficits on current account activity and loanable resources of slightly over three months, and "by a curtailment of imports. Inthe Bank are limitedjitismani-. we are still looking for the best 'either 'case, however/ the year fest that the Bank can provide talents we can find to head some 1948 will see most of the countries only a part of the answer to the of our important divisions. with their foreign credits ex- problems : which confront the Therefore, while I cannot be too [hausted and their foreign ex-, world today." The United States, specific in telling you what we *change assets rapidly running out, which has so far been the priri- have accomplished, I can say this: if not already depleted, unless cipal source of external financial In Spite of a still incomplete or¬ ? further external assistance is assistance [ for the devastated ganization, those of us who are 'forthcohiins,' 7 v *:! countries, - is [now! considering on the job have already rolled up i The Interim Report of February means of further assistance. our sleeves and are making our 77'may be met entirely are objective ordination and re-enact Selective Service/ President Truman has recom¬ as capabilities against the es¬ timated military and civilian re¬ quirements in the event of war. [We pf-the course We should immedi¬ ately these charts the over ahead. we are and fuels—to the end. of Commerce the reserves the study rious basic materials, of industrial capacity, power transportation, appointed from civilian life, and reports directly to the President. Coupled that so recommend underway for the of potential supply of va¬ In¬ must to eventuauiy of war, as well as an organization' set up for Secretaries Board the problems* able 27 military training legislation to / give our nation powerful, trained years its administration! Under the statute the of of efficient Resources Agriculture, smaller foodstuffs type pf legislation for the proper the Defense, be may Chairman thq Security consists State. in of manpower ' addition Board of mobilization the We arc studying various aspects keep abreast of events and situa¬ tions throughout the world in their relationship to our own na¬ tional security; and the National Security Resources Board, of which J am Chairman, a civilian organisation designed to advise the President concerning the co¬ ordination of military, industrial civilian supplies to measures and essential consumer goods. ity Resources Board, designed to and (1443) price controls and apportion equitably Secretaries of State, Defense, Army, re- quirements for 1947 with the CHRONICLE FINANCIAL & Series G bonds terest checks into your six each bring in¬ community The months. value of individuals today is $46 billion. It will gcow if we keen promoting and selling those bonds bonds with our might. held all by our skill and all - , 28 (1444) THE COMMERCIAL (Continued from subsequent decline, shown for Thus, during after World prices has 4) page smaller was wholesale prices. immediately and War I, consumers' than doubled (106%). more during and after the last this wholesale prices. peak their also of prices has been In fact, rise, are now up as true much I refer War I products i | Several V; important period The over the and 1914 to to a war deferred be During conflict, we spent ap¬ proximately $300 billion and this spending has not yet been com¬ tures * After World substantial they for War I prices not so large • - but price in our history—and difficult to- visualize our able to off come I as have If it is these stilts. previously noted, now "' ; v / * .' . in labor cant after estimated been as 30%, whereas this time the increases thus far have much more moderate, and example, spending in this total current decline will -be part reversed.* decline a One final word (• * concerning pe¬ actors. They increased by sub¬ stantially greater proportions than this of serious distor¬ Such riod, prices of textile products and building materials were the bad armaments / pro¬ adopted, a a prices line in 1920 while today some are out of line. In the earlier 60%, are prices. in food of coun¬ declined by 5/eths from the World War I peak. This time, the decline has only been about if correct tion- and thesfc price relationships. It would be misleading to leave the im¬ pression that no prices seemed out try posals tliey suggest that farm helps to ' quickf For in decline 'in farm and food prices was widely regarded as a heathy development. ly, while today armaments expen¬ ditures are still being made on a scale. one- ruary non-existent. ?? •.*..?• Finally, after World War I, the world disarmed much more cases, government about are helps establish better balance be^tween these /different categories of prices. That is why the Feb* at as much some because decline productivity War I has prices , many eWorld l'ood while other wholesale prices are 13% higher. /• ,j These comparisons are signifi¬ -industries. In this connection, too, it is significant to note that the and seems fifth higher now than at that time In Breakeven points have been raised to new high levels in vast But it significant distor¬ developed the other a the, comparison is made be* and being the stilts threaten to become big¬ ' low. were too tween recent' pe&fcs' and-the; postWorld War *1 peak in 1920, farm ever ger. in unbalanced during because farm / For example, as compared with 1926, farm products in January 1948 were 99% higher, food prices were*;80% higher, while other they have today. system today is on higher labor; cost stilts than been rela¬ years parison: were ..before rise these power as Our fact, as other years as the basis for com¬ the past two years, and the labor unions did not have as much eco¬ nomic developed that This did other groups of prices. This consumers' price index 1935-39=100 >>'>.'( ••?'->>" Dec.,' 1914 "/■'■■■; '■ All ' tt'&A •:*•- ; to - - : 105.8 -- Clothing ; Rent . 'V"'1 29.2 —r- Fuel, electricity Housefurnishjngs ; 120.5 199.6 ' ■ ■ it-' • {" -V69.8 ' /',>•* 209.7 91.1 90Q 7 209.7 • - V!H I 119.1 S<• ^Percentage Average,"- j , . All commodities 104.8 89.8' 169.7i 45.4 100.7 Other - than Farm , ' commodities_7;I'' farm and Products„_.,__ and Textile Fuel and - metal »■ „...to 162.0 132.7 May, 1920 167.2 -> Jan.,'1948 Jan., 1948 165.6 J —r 1.0 , *'. 253.0 V+ ;,. 157.0 183.9,, 96.0 157.8 157.6 — 98.7 165.4 158.0 — 179.9 193.2 199.8 110,9 188.3 182.3 77.8 nU %i47.o 159.8 130.0 63.6 155.5 ^2154/5 113.4 164.4 193.1 t nJ 4 82.6 i- ; 63.5 , ji' 1 *** 173.70 +12.5 0.1 4.5 —13.2 196.2 244.9 ♦ ; 148.1 147.3 113.4 '—37.9' 163,4 170.6 ,152.3 .to-. ...... , 02.2 212.0 - ' Perc.entage* Change, , 152.4 93,9 j May, 1920 .. 141 7 Miscellaneous1 -LJ-'Jhi' 96.3 ■ 169.8 materials-w-.__„_, ,_w: piemicals anddrugs__„i-__,^„'_ ^ Housefumishing goods^ .(+45.4 • • 109.0 products__„ Building 2.7 +23.6: *+•13.3 >:j ■ ■. 155.5 lighting s - +17.3 , +22.1 + 3.4 —21.9 , > ■ - —18.6 — 0.7 +<17.5 —20.1 * 176.5 30.0 They this new bor¬ a for. a sup¬ movers tending mand.;? it be of life or semi-luxuries. The basic fact is that for most products it is vital that mass markets be reached if available sold. ■v?-:;7:.";>; As 7, of supplies you in practice. However, in the or¬ ganized commodity markets such we have for cotton and grains as and for perishable foods such as vegetables and meats, it would be difficult, if not impossible, to pre¬ vent price rises in most instances take the to supplies. dicting such mean wholesale price level of fully operative for food decline of 45 points from last 114 a or a decline a — would The importance of such a price level in terms of replacement of plant and equip¬ will point out bo realized that it is when higher 1890 for anjr jrears from .»* . * ~ f . J£* -x *.*' . I. r'~ 1 J *. V ' I dat4 make less buy; services or rapidly when prices and. they, ; will y become losses decline*: certainly would not wise policy to specu+ Itu to be seem late in a when inventories prices this at time; of / past interesting illustration partic¬ ularly in the used car market for increases— wage new which have contributed in part to lead to new waves it the rise—and We are currently witnessing ta!(renewed drive for higher wages based upon these q , . are war and post¬ periods. The paradox has been that these are the very in dusti'ies which have been made , the in terms framework of our what of leVel, they can i t h i tutional arrangements. useful to review It n are the not responsible for factors caused this rise. • which . T have Labor wants lower living costs—which is what it higher buys—and it what for wages Businessmen sells. are enthusiastic about lower costs but selling; prices.:, lower is true of farmers. The politicians have been no talk about excep- higher taxes, which is the price for the service they sell—and a pretty They, ele¬ mentary economics.- -fcr else. The fact seems someone to be that to every high prices are popular 7 group which has some¬ thing to sell and which is in .to f7 share in these a po¬ sition high:; But That ness price is a deflation in busi¬ activity .((Deflation is unpop- ulafr—politically and socially. It means a lower national income^ It means smaller profits. It means less overtime and :? smaller pay, checks. It means smaller farm in¬ comes. 7 It means losses on invest¬ ments 7 and business, failures. It, It means lower tax receipts and inevitably pressure for more government spending.. 7;7/>;7>> '(■ ?,"V1' "V?; ,7 " ■'>••? "i On the other hand, all history unemployment. means shows that the excesses of a boom The later. be, paid for, sooner or the payment, the smaller the price to be paid. The longer it is postponed,? the sooner the, maladjustments ing costs. more* severe; become; and" (the. greater are .thq economy. They determine ; the total volume of supplies and how They are not responsible for the higher freight rates which mus, pains of readjustment.w?- ""v 1*i be paid ; these supplies " shall be divided among buyers. Rising prices stim¬ or ulate able to higher wages, Prices perform two tasks in greater supplies and our for creases cut because of higher wages the many; other price in which have been attribut is Of course, such all *net not companied by created point is reached where supply and and explains the tremendous pres sure which has been exerted for franchisement upward movements in the structure. ;(7 '.V creating demand in balance at the pre¬ vailing price. The important point are to 7 remember tions is that both func^- during the war years. primary source of inflation price 'i?; They are not responsible for the foreign policy of our government be necessary in * order to deter¬ mine whieh buyers will obtain the forced those prices to record l}igh levels and created serious new are are limited supplies (e.g., which grains, automo- biles)! deriiaridrisa'greater than and sup- prices 'do not' determine f led to which large the past," -a^4 in fixed growing well an 'income. * of- The this :* >diseii-; steadily of (consumers ;is grave social ; problems, bloc as ficulties. creating economic;Jdif- "(>-/7' of There is little point in ignoring the fact that price deflations are turn unpopular. Nor the fact that after purchases purchases with as important. Thus, if prof¬ high, a price increase may not be required to obtain greater supplies. But the increase may its In such readjustments havb been have the reverse tend-ency. Through this price mechanism a is the readjustm^ a loss. improvement Tit labor and industrial efficiericy^ Relief would be given to the mil¬ This lions of sorely * pressed person^ ; 77 , They are not responsible for the huge volume of credit inflation , . expensive one. I might add—while demanding lower prices from in¬ dustry. Every one seems to be inerested in having prices reduced?-; have had to • are not responsible for rise in food prices which has been the main factor in the rise in liv¬ ( should some of many ' the existing iasti^ w -?>.?>-;■?:»7;'{:y\{yyh^y, ' Although it is popular to blame businessmen for today's high price "do something about it." Much of the discussion, however j seems accomplished,> whipping boy for the price rise. demands to many goods war With such that there manufactured est increases in the A v. i .significant effects of rising prices, it. is not surprising > As I pointed out .earlier, cars. is? these prices which have had the small¬ of labor unrest. factors.;; things products ? let an Finally, price rises wipe out thd gains the sell. we ,,We ? many cases. for not that as lower prices for the want we I think same me caution you not to delude prevailing currently in that many lines, such a decision means yourselves*' into " believing that wishing will make it so. - High many consumers who are prices are a result of underlying willing to pay the prevailing price and even a higher price are not pressures—they can be brought down only by modifying or re¬ able to; obtain' the product In¬ evitably, some of these potential versing those pressures. But there will necessarily be a price to pay customers will bid above the established price determined by to obtain a significant downward the producer. Automobiles furnish readad justment in the price level. will disappear ir.ventorial the those as increase in borrowing.. As a result of the postwar price rise; large inventory profits have been made but these stabilize, of to cut them regard fact that demand is or nec¬ temporaVily in excess of supply prices.p.\x<r We,* can get lower prices. Under shortage conditions such ventories valued at higher prices. an a unchanged, Jjr working capital tied ub in in¬ This> too, has - led to the deliberate decision not tc raise prices much, to keep therr Similarly, industry finds a growing proportion of it3 profits or With For manufactured products, the other hand, the producer-caii than 1 fall. change in the situation, the trends shifted promptly and dramatically in February. except 1917 to 1920 and 1946 and I and summer we saw as mon¬ steps demand-supply forces have been tion.; Many the present level. ment These the given to OP A in same exceeds available is answer ;about large in¬ here and abroad demand bold really want lower prices? -;he not not pre¬ from to reverse these tenden¬ cies. ' v7??7'';\ .7v7"+. '"'7V; v, .■ ';*'7!*-^:?;?7; •:=■j-7-7:''??( This raises the question, do we The develop¬ am directly supply.Vand to the unwilling¬ sistent A similar r de¬ essary many segments economy this supply-de¬ mand-price system operates more efficiently in theory than it does spiral flows ness be the of inflation of bank credit and ey :v.'.;;-yk/y- ■ know, in to are volume record a government policy, past and pres¬ ent. I refer particularly to the the necessaries to a The fundamental fact is that the price . comes of 7,?.,/. >.7 7V;>some responsi¬ bility for the acceleration of price rises attending excessive wage in¬ creases, their actions, too, reflect argely...the result of the underying inflation rather than its prime cause. • 7 :" -• 7-.' system only the While that may beneficiaries economy,; not. the prime in the higher prices at¬ While labor has few; special luxury products, it certainly is not true when , desire product most intensively will the higher price. Those whose are less intense will fail to the are market under conditions where iSll 123.5 the for record price is impartial, who persons made it possible ■ conditions the( . them to receive record prices and levels of farm incomes. It ing the 20's about 40% above the If -'J these divider available Those true off the buyers; with the least in+ sistent demands/ Declining prices 205.1 products., and Metals leathar„__..; 146.4 138 5 ^ Hides - ' 129.5?' "192.3 127.7 Foods • a'4 8.4 to plies*. ply of goods: plateau dur¬ a ment this time—and I + 13.4 192.1 ( 1727s ■ * 1 to 1479 food --,■ 1 1939 261.4- '!;V 103:9 „ Nonagricultural Average, Yj —- Semi-manufactuied 13 0 n : '; • cV). May, 1920} Jan., 1948* 145.5 114.8 Raw materials Finished products 1Q9 Jan.. 19481 ' 115.9 30.8* Increase— on of adopted. for have * not fully are responsible which prewar level. be ' wholesale prices ,v.. y i$26=ioo •? ■ 168.8 , 175.9;.-* i - Jan.; 1948 185:0 ' cases, to 1920 I4a.4 r-. ; S *:? ; -,'120.3 .':>v Miscellaneous 1914 June, IS^U 1920 <IUIW, —• to to • 67.7 -i> Percentage Change, i 1939 : tp ■ v. -■ ;■ June- l920^Jan,r 1948 June, Food . ' prices remained three be objective, an deviee so recipients, for all will rich will obtain the available sup¬ rowing which in turn feeds the prevailing inflation. Wholesale unrealistic Average,' ■■■■:•■!/->.r need a job, that under such business firms have had a higher cost of living. De¬ preciation .reserves based upon original cost, are proving to be inadequate to replace plant and has created its is well to remember that Pensioners some Similarly, farmers product as they would be willing to buy at Sometimes it is said Similarly, In order lower prices. workers, etc., have been in ;his general category. One effect s a growing volume of resistance by these groups to higher prices. equipment. do merely be affected. prices. or influ¬ in obtain as much of the collar be . ■^—Percentage Increase— do special needs whose incomes do riot increase as exercised to Large price increases cut the pur¬ chasing power of those groups rapidly (3) be alternatives and price relationships are significantly altered in short pe¬ riods of time, the flow of goods and services tends to or may supplies. As we saw in 1946, when price is not permitted different at have made possible substantial price increases. And prices have accordingly been raised for many products. to obtain rates and other fixed income Additional support for this statement is evident if.,we take during as has rise priorities, ence pay government employees, white way/ ? increases, wage were were probable that agricul¬ there 82.2 compared prevailing Of course, it must war. prewar tion has didn't have them today. 98.7 152.4 prices remembered the . we 147.6 relationship tionships . we the before the the recent I disparity between these with 5 months. After World War have support prices ; wide divergence between a wide a spending for World including war debts, was In 1943, 1944 1945, we spent more than that pleted. '155.5 . in World War I, every J prices have risen 155%, while the increase for other products has been only 80%. In other words, less than $3*5 billion. and 205.1 > both groups of prices—farm prices have more than tripled, and food considerably amount . 127.7 nessed de¬ was smaller in World War than during the recent conflict. The magnitude of the inflation in World War I was War 138.5 non-food to'] 114.8 '/o S The price rise this time has wit¬ I was products Non-farm, mands smaller than it II. Our total 1939 Jan.1948 145.5'£> Non-farm economy and hence of i._ Foods this post¬ earlier ones. magnitude of the change¬ magnitude c.ommodities Farm distinctions the significantly k;;' , prices standing ip line, or served, (2) some system of rationing, allocation : Effects of High Prices When (.1) ways: sibilityyfor what happens in their (badiwick. Large demands own. first come, first that high position relation¬ May 1920 AH must be made between war not was different. i aiid'H the to price rises for farm and non-farm decline, namely about 65 to 70%. Differences—Post-World Wars time . between major groups of prices at the postwar peaks. The magnitude of the World War I they as con¬ ship consumers' after the post-World were tention. of the at to . has been smaller than war; threatens . they had been before World War I. The rise in consumers' prices since 1939 and been Thursday, April 1, 1948 who gets how much, then supplies will. be.divided-in one.df three has been tinue to he a major difference be¬ by food and farm prices. tween the two periods. However, individual items in In other words, the qualitative other groups have also had sub¬ arid quantitative differences be¬ stantial increases (e.g., lumber). tween World Wars I and II have At the other extreme, the smallest been so significant as to explain rises in both periods were found the differences in behavior of in the prices of metal and metal prices in both periods. --. i products —; an area recently sub^ There is another aspect of the ject to much public discussion and two postwar price increases which official investigations because of is of considerable importance— a relatively minor .adjustment in although it has received little at¬ prices. ; >"?yy;!y. the post-1920 decline had been completed, consumers' prices remained about 70% higher than was CHRONICLE held When it FINANCIAL Prices After Two Wars J than & past postwar inflations, these .de¬ clines have not been gradual, but distortions in our? economy.? drastic. Ordinarily, there.is no wsy, Although" 'hinsi-nessmeh are Although" businessmen are not of. making sure that we will have. responsible for the foregoing ac-1"just a little deflation."sHowever^ tions, they conriot escape respon- there is one major factor in the Volume 167 at this picture gests that if brakes, any been kept I refer and sug¬ had put on the deflation would have the large demand for of the heavy goods long as we can So sell road THE COMMERCIAL .& within moderate limits. to industries. still time which we the products heavy Number 4686 the all electrical automobile?, equipment, rail¬ equipment, oil equipment farm implements that can be the ^produced, decline probability the of 1920-21 of a variety would appear to be remote. Finally, we cannot ignore heavy black clouds- on If embark we sev¬ the ahead. As which role will in play the we has trices meant steel, have seen, These products. in level. the price the not are a in¬ precipitous decline A large grain here and abroad, could more marketable 1945. present market value of ments. loans It is tember, be 1929, remembered billion in averaged and $6*/2 billion for the year. have So far the good, been crop For most non-food ' ; . products Accordingly, find ex¬ it sound any difficult is to the be further and that new be may deferred inflationary into set still motion. The magnitude of the third round increases and the extent to wage which they accompanied are by strikes and the bounty of Mother in Nature the 4948 harvest ,;are even the soundest of cor¬ in break be'significant. Tv/4 chasers. 3.7.' V': v - This ordinary since is obvious to-any particularly observer the peak $66 representing substantially the eco¬ nomic supremacy of the world, is beyond all reason and understand¬ ing. . The the edict by which was raised to 75% summary "margin" the N. Y. Stock Exchange, listed of the prices. The outlook for porations, or to find any beneficial effect this restriction of credit had food prices depends upon the size on our economy. It does appear of crops here and abroad. In that these high and unusual "mar¬ summary, it appears that the de¬ gins" accelerated inflationary ten¬ lay in the development of a sharp dencies by banning equity financ¬ postwar price; decline has been due to factors which continue to ing and "panning" would-be pur¬ will stock of some securities, purchase deflation impending an marketable a indiscriminately cept possibly some textiles, there is little evidence of billions Why ^against $17 billion, while the average loaned for that year ($1 billion) on such for reason high "margins" imposed on the pledges. July 5, 1945, on a rough com¬ putation, eliminated 25% of the $70 billion market v^lue (averaged for the year) of stocks listed on Inflationary we all on Requirement Margin it but will be several months before know the actual results. High of discrimination this Sep¬ expanded armaments program, it probable that the usual postwar forces of the market in of stocks was or less than 1 Vz % their averaged market value. Similarly, on Jan. 21, 1946 raising the margin to 100%, on the record of 1945 did not change these fig¬ ures materially, except that $35 billion of buying power was elim¬ These inated. and the are startling figures serious cast must judgment wisdom, doubt on abil¬ and stock, for the stockholder figured that (Continued from page 6) optimism of the company's pros¬ price-times-earnings ratios, of quent rise in wages and resulting stocks are low (the lowest since uncontrollable inflation! And why pect prevailed and the new money would be ,used for increased pro¬ 1923) and their price comparison should the Board dogmatically tcb commodities, based on a 50c or impose, without any consultation duction, expansion; and the reduc¬ 60c of restored. present mental formerly, stockholders stock dollar, is also low, and their market price makes no allowance for present replacement valuation of plant and machinery. A comparison of present Dow Jones Industrial with wheat Stock Averages prices shows in the stock average a high of 159 and low of 121 in 1939 against about a 173 In wheat, it was $1.12 today. city, any govern¬ orH bureau or an economic credit restriction, when the banks are wide open to de¬ cide basis on of their judg¬ own ment how much is to be loaned to an individual bank Why not let the SEC have trol of; "margin" con¬ requirements on $0.62 low in 1939 as against $3.20 high within a year appropriate hearings? Why not, as the writer proposed in 1933 to the and Federal high, and today approximately a low of $2.36 which is twice the high of 1939, against stocks selling 8% above the highs of 1939. , Financing through equities, be¬ ing investor, the solve attractive basis to the should, therefore, help an on fundamental struct Trade Commission, con¬ graduated scale of re¬ a strictions able based on a certain of ciation. appreciation* ; problem additional equity cap¬ graduated thus enable production might be. A bar is measure ital On through increased plant facilities tp control inflation. Why, if we a partial but important situ¬ have ation to help reduce and balance inflationary trend, why can't our use we it? 1 *. . - : * be¬ depre¬ or no of securing and relation tween the rate of activity and de¬ gree Since the period offering of rights for subscription to new stock has caused guide, of July 5, a control 1945 the "margin" to 75% and it on Jan. 21, from 10 to 20 over 100 to around 70. To¬ day, the holders of the rights to buy new stock are not imbued with sufficient optimism to make this operation of securing capital an easy one, or a profitable one as it would be if the buyer were not restricted in his credit oppor¬ tunities. The same on a dividend ap¬ lower price level raises the cost of securing capital as much as 20% from 5% to 6% a basis.* That is not sound business almost three years for the absurdity of this regulation to re¬ That thus count that means an ac¬ under margined is totally frozen and an undesirable security must be retained even though it would result in further diminishing the margin by declin¬ ing in market value, and even be¬ coming worthless. The broker or his customers thus cannot relieve themselves from ill advised chases unchanged. unfortunate like to This Dostoievsky's the "Crime and The rule has lately abrogated and is remain to investor must appear Punishment!" been pur¬ if the credit balance even remains in effect no longer after March 31, 1948. Why, we may ask, did it itself to the Federal Reserve veal Board? Further it must be remembered that the present outstanding issues of some $66 billion market value of stocks on the N. Y. Stock Ex- change developed and With a costs (in labor (over in national y •r" tremen¬ depreciation), volume 100% : "margin" a on of less than 50%. dous increase of '• I , in products), I national income (over 100%), and in necessitated expansion, a much r. ' (■ larger cash capital would be re¬ quired to maintain normally these t outstanding issues and such inas industry should obtain , creases by additional equity capital. v To increase "margins" by 200% ne¬ cessitates a still larger amount of cash capital. imbalance This brings about to industrial our gression that cannot fail to an pro¬ be of permanent injury to our much expanding economy. needed >The ible conclusion that tionary these anti-infla¬ of .the pundits Reserve Board irresist¬ seems same have Federal elected - to impose arbitrary conditions that hamper and impair financing with* equity capital, vitally needed for fl¬ our effective functioning in this • crucial world period. Their action ; could be compared with a decision, j the of "elders" suffering from rate, to require of all in a a community . declining birth strict continence ¬ males! The right to buy shares of rep¬ : resentative enterprises on reason- 1 able credit facilities is fundamen¬ tal to the continued American System success of free of the enter¬ prise and should not be abrogated by shot would it not economic From edicts. gun foregoing, would require seem a authority the that 14 financial or or an even "ornithologist" to conclude, "who killed Cock Robin?", v v ; and adds to cost of product indi¬ rectly through a pinching creasing of surplus. / ; , or -; de¬ The Reach for Power 0 Our capitalistic system requires Federal Reserve Board raised the 1946 break a points and in 1946 the right to buy Montgomery Ward stock declined Tending on market¬ proximately securities, which should be on new the costs/ company. where decisions could be based in to mentioned from or rise a given subscribe to to caused tion, of state agency rights need ity of the Federal Reserve Board. ;. Again the Board fails to show Consideration for maintaining free rhsrkets, in their rule of July 16* 1945 (11 days after raising "margins" .' to 75%) prohibiting the exchange of any security* in an under margined account for an¬ other of equal market value, un¬ less in effect the 75% ."margin" is 1946; . to $8^ were than offset these current pressures for higher prices. (1445)-1 29 between 1939 and 1944 and $1 bil¬ lion in each of the years 1944 and meant gredients for crop, a months CHRONICLE In 1946 and the meat 1947, these higher meat loans were. $357 million and $300 million and the coal strike has respectively. Today, there a smaller production of are $250 million loaned-on stocks and bonds, other than Govern¬ automobiles, and other strike an upon im . factors significant portents eral horizon. other FINANCIAL money from equity * Would-be 'purchasers financing. should be ;S:U; ■? V-; > l';It "I" (Continued from page 3) then urged, for the purposes of the record, that former increase was made just be¬ allowed to pay a half of the pur¬ the members who were sitting indicate what negotiations fore the end of the war, at which chase price and remain indebted had taken place in which the SEC and NASD participated, time a recession, accompanied with for the other half, which is a fully some r< eight million unemployed, secured credit. Certainly a pro¬ out of which the "5% philosophy" grew.; was Counsel for these securities dealers pointed out that in being predicted I.for'; the tection of 100% for his indebted¬ Spring of 1946 by governmental ness,; should.be permitted, .d;, • their; opinion, if the SEC participated in any conferences or experts.: The latter increase was fcr'T'O Mathematical. Miscalculation? > had'anything to do; with creation of the "5% yardstick" then based on the following statement: "The reason for so drastic (in¬ In fact, the restriction keems so the'Commission sHbuld disqualify itself from sitting in judg¬ crease to 100%) a requirement unfounded and illogical that the ment on the price spread "philosophy" of its own creation. was that inflationary pressures writer believes it possible to be The members of the Commission remained strangely were very strong and any growth the result of a mathematical mis¬ silent. They refused to go on record. The publi<? has never whatever in stock market credits calculation which is set forth for since learned jusf what hand the Commission had in the f would increase them." what it may be worth. "Margin" is On Feb. 1, 1947, the "margin" a poor term and the writer has creation of The "5% philosophy." T ; / \ was It is reduced to 75% where it is purposely ? accentuated it. V.We had hoped to flush the Commission out and get a today. Accordingly, a 100% "mar¬ lacking irr all othferr<?tcdit opera¬ statement on the subject but our editorial efforts were in: tion of mortgages, was raised to 100%. The * was , The Increased "Margins" Imposed :By the Federal Reserve. Board - the villian of 'Here then, enters the play! On Fdfc 5, 1945, the Fed¬ eral Reserve Board directed in "margins" be increased to the authority of the act effect 50% on with the re¬ determining charging the Board sponsibility of "whether undue use is being made of bank credit for the speculative carrying of or trading in securi¬ ties, real estate or commodities." The "undue term in use" would language ab¬ normal, harmful or unusual. To give the Board the autocratic despotic right to use their judg¬ mean ment as ordinary to what extent credit may foe used for a basic need and im- plemental means of production and expansion seems going far afield<,. Such power would appear to be device for restricting seemingly punitive purposes. Why not curb life and fire V insurance companies , credit' fropi a for loaning 50%. 60% or on gin" was held through the entire deflationary period in stocks for fear that "any growth in stock market credit would increase in¬ flationary pressures." Well, At looks as though business with the Government's blessing on wage increases proceeded merrily on its inflationary ; course, while the stock market continued just as merrily on its deflationary course, branded as "inflationary'.' by the anti-inflationary pundits of the Federal Reserve Board.. ly, the imposition of a Certain¬ .100% cash pledges,' col¬ lateral, etc. The so-called 50% "margin" means that for a $10 thousand purchase there shall be $5 thousand unimpaired market value for the $5 thousand ad¬ vanced by the broker or. lender the purchaser; accordingly the stock must decline to around 50% of the purchase the loan. T; -v'1 In 20%; "margin" was the practice in 1929, it meant that the amount advanced by the broker was four times the amount put up by the purchaser.: If you raise a 50% margin by 50% and thus make it 75% r(as I assume the our conclusion price to endanger 'ATT- ■' When This they, did ipot do., ; ;V. • . opinion, from their silence, only to say so. to vatye of real estate which means requirement must have had a only ,50% .or 40%; m a r g i n s large share in the "bust" of 1946 respectively?; Why not have re¬ during which period this veritable stricted speculation in commodi¬ "prohibition" prevailed. Certainly Federal Reserve Board figured) ties by imposing 50%-60% and any requirement similar in de¬ you do not raise it 50%, you mul¬ even 75% "margins" instead of gree of severity applied to loans, tiply the amount required as mar¬ allowing them a "margin" of only reserves, borrowing could have gin by three fold; in other words, 20■%' raised lately to 33%%, the produced a panic! History is not a 50% margin or pledge is equal mute as to controversies of much to the amount loaned—$5,000 to maximum ever imposed? V This liberality (which could not less stringent requirements bring¬ $5,000 is one to one. On a 75% have a political motivation?) en¬ ing on the 1929 crash. amount is three During "margin" the abled i extended speculators to these radical restrictions on the times the amount loaned which is w If the SEC had nothing to do with the creation of the "5% spread philosophy," it would have been a simple thing fori the members of the; Commission who were then sitting; In this be drawn. can one reasonable ;v. instance, the body that preaches disclosure chose concealment as its weapon. * The emergence in a program of the SEC and the NASD as doctrinaires of price control through joint activity, con¬ barnacles of the securities industry, tinues to be one of the In a , ) field wherein law, custom and usage have created a great measure of uniformity in practice and certainty in operation, the Commission has reared the head of uncertainty : and disturbance and has placed broker-dealers in a position of peril during the course of their daily activities. We like WE laws and doctrines established by the legis¬ by administrative bodies and their satellites. our lature and not SUBSCRIBE TO THE CONCEPT OF GOVERN¬ buying power of the; stocks of one to three or, in the above $10 MENT BY LAW AND NOT BY MEN. 1 ) companies upon which our might thousand transaction, $7500 paid Our adherence continues to be to the system of free and power depend what serious by the .purchaser to $2500 ad¬ enterprise upon which our government was founded. ; \; ' claim this furious speculation and extension or abuses of credit fa¬ vanced by the broker. There is ; - We abhor the tendency of state participation in and con¬ no transaction Of pledge, collat¬ price rise was essential to our cilities developed? < " / financial ox economic well being! Loans on stocks, bonds (includ¬ eral, loan or mortgage that re¬ trol of business. -r /■ O ' ' .;;;;; On the contrary, it probably was ing Government) "and commodi¬ quires a 300%'protection to the We paiilcularly deprecate the fostering by administra¬ ties amount responsible, in largest part, for the loaned, particularly of a averaged .annually from tive bodies of new doctrines in the securities industry. rise in the cost of living, conse¬ about $400 million to $600 million pledge that , is the most readily raise the "staff of life" to prices unheard of in the history of the country. Surely no one. could . . 30 THE COMMERCIAL (1446) FINANCIAL & .without. But As We See It tion and unemployment, and to convert the untoward business situation into prosperity for more than a half dozen years. Before the end of 1941 the output of goods was at a i level, and between the draft and the demand, for sion which followed the first world which in some minds at war — least appears 1920 break with that of 1929. a no ditions exist in free a Neither state. their production J enter the picture in ; our own economic welfare our of the ind.vidual workman. The tiens nor > particular case—advances Relief and At any rate a Such gifts Recovery Flan surprising . . itself of the Labor showed leaders labor income of considered being projected under the European as are National Rela- - ten- - a dency to support the contentions. or Prosperity old Board that practi¬ cally any matter that might even" remotely affect the employment, recollection to confuse the employment can be comprehend almost to anything that might indirectly and ultimately affect the employment iota. one of stretched | their employment—except in conquest, which does not employe can be being within the, an as collective bargaining, and that employers can be le- of area ■■ slightly different category, but they hence gaily required to bargain about it. / certainly are not to be grouped with articles we produce The desire of some union leadto exchange for other goods we desire from abroad. By ers to stretch the scope of collec-. raising wheat and giving it to undernourished peoples in tive bargaining must be appraised Europe, we may well satisfy an innate desire to do good; in terms of the ultimate limits to I which that process may take US. .; we may, if we produce more than otherwise would be the One of the things I got out of. case without reducing production elsewhere, find that our calculus when I studied engineer¬ generosity has not cost us very much, but the direct,, imme¬ ing was the principal of carrying diate economic benefit we can expect from it is limited, to ideas to theirj limits of zero arid be sdre. It is one thing to be 'feverishly active; it may be infinity, and looking at them un- ; der each of these circumstances. quite another to get ahead. r 1 . I " If we consider the ultimate re- number of people have long ago come to the conclusion that another depression must producing articles which have only a necessary evil, that they are really useful only in a negative sense, that is necessary in order to continue to workers, unemployment had begun to give signs of complete disappearance. of the panip and depres- ing defined. The reference in thehour's of employment,",* working conditions and oiner con¬ Act to wages, divert much of our atten¬ usefulness except in conducting modern warfare, we still must remember that the production of these things is get rid of There is also the memory effort to our Thursday, April 1, 1948' if we, for the sake of the argument, even concede that it is necessary to (Continued from first page) record CHRONICLE follow World War II in are in a . the normal course t of events." With many it is, indeed, long past due. So much has at one time or another been said about this inevitable recession that its appearance at time some in the near future has for a good while by the great rank and file, come to be taken almost for granted. This line of reasoning obviously gave rise to the need of something different from the last time in order to break the supposed line of cause J past, and effect. v • , Spread of Foolish Notions Then, of course, the decade and f These simple, homely truths, but they often being overlooked. - half since the New a are . often than we come out "Unfinished Business' their not, ish interests tablish strict they frequently were exceptionally capable to spreading queer notions among the vast masses of the people. Much of what is now being said about what is required to prevent the appearance of a business depression would never pass muster among those conversant with the elementary principles of economics — if the sor¬ it But however all this may tance I came cerer's wand had not been waved that certain over re¬ does , fined their anti-union what for I ployers am have to seem important. ■ . surd I will be accused ol am not been verj Unions generally con¬ negotiations with em¬ to the issue narrow o: this evening, but 1 wages, working hours and other simply pointing out specific conditions of employment che problem stripped of the emo¬ Many craft un ion agreements In tional and political confusion that pre-National Labor Relations Aci times were practically one-page usually surrounds it. The simple affairs, simply stating what the fact is that monopoly unions wage rate was and the rate for through industry-wide bargaining *.; < • .• exercise power over the industrial overtime. fife of the nation. No minority With the rise of industrial un¬ group, not elected by the people ionism, under the National Labor Relations Act, a hew concept; of and not responsible to the people, saying here impor¬ in these I am , principles involved matters and these lines of reasoning be understood and evaluated. Quite conceivably, a period of readjustment was, and perhaps still is in order. The Lord knows there are factors enough which needed to be brought back ( allowed be Can to collective bargaining has appeared For example; Several years such exercise power; The problem we face with into proper similar is unions to the with the union lead-' but w;th no legal or public responsibility and with no private employment except as they permit. may conditions agement without Under freedom the interference t . these ' of function to man¬ property - in making\ its every-day decisions will her; gradually restricted. The union * leaders—particularly where they !■ have industry-wide powef—-will • deciding voice in all; managerial decisions or at least' have the exercise will veto a that' power will stop progress. Competit;on will "be atified and1 progress in, the t ; improvement of industrial proc- ' which reduce the cost and eSses price of tb e goods produced by industry will be halted. - Should Define Collective ago the President of the CIO proposec eternal > , fieally^c^ the country, Before the National Labor Re¬ lations Act was passed, this issux unions to es¬ monopoly control and am not. some basic use coinpetitidh in their indus* being their heads. be, it is of to tries. master when ers (Continued from page 2) like their master, ignorant of economic principles, and when it came to plain everyday matters of business, devoid of common sense. But again like more were this tendency to stretch collective bargaining to com prehend any subject that, a union leader* may desire to bargain off, Deal appeared upon the scene has spread a great deal of popular misunderstanding about the nature of the economic system and about what makes the wheels of industry whirl. The followers of Mr. Roosevelt, the high priest of this order, of suit are now Bargaining relations with others. There is, of course, a plan for the Only by defining arid restricting": one we face with government itreorganization o* American industry on the basis collective bargaining to its proper no gainsaying that huge gifts to foreign peoples, parSelf. of "industrial councils" to be es¬ sphere can we hope to save what. No intelligent person will argue j ticularly if these gifts are financed in such a way that tablished in each business, and ir we have come to know as our, they do not diminish consumption in this country or I that we should not have govern¬ each industry. These council* American system and keep it from't ment; The question is how can were correspondingly enlarge production, may serve to defer to consist of union repre¬ evolving into an'alien form; im-; we limit and restrict the use of required readjustments and postpone the day' when K government power by the men to sentatives, representatives of man¬ ported from east of the • Rhine.' agement and government ^ offi¬ Until this is done, the border area ; conditions are set aright again. Naturally the gearing whom it is given so that they cials, who, collectively, i; would of collective bargaining will be cannot use it to oL the economy to a vast output of war goods again destroy the make a constant battleground between | all of the key decisions with fundamental rights of other citi¬ would require many adjustments in its own right, but employers and unions, as the un- ; respect to industry's operations zens. The problem remains one ions This would be equivalent to put¬ continuously attempt to press would not very likely cause or even permit the develop¬ -f the most important pieces of ting union and government exec¬ the boundary- farther and. farther ment of widespread Unemployment and idleness — at p "Unfinished business'' facing the utives on the boards of directors into the area of managerial func¬ least for a period of time. country. It is becoming increas¬ > ' \ for e&ch business, and then setting tions. ' * ! ingly clear that such labor mo¬ The law will be principally re- ' But is Ihis sort of thing really prosperity? /: May we nopolies, operating with little of up a super-board of directors* sponsible for this for each continuing cPfw industry, composed o' regard it as a gain in economic welfare? Is, literally any¬ no regard for the public interest. flict. As * ■ . . - , thing, which as many appear to suppose, which "makes'jobs" and causes all elements in the population and most of the : restricted in be must a the-same elements. practical . or way The branches of the economy to they must be broken up. Labor-Management Rela¬ This long as the law is- not plan is* very similar to that which many persons advocated during the late on feel thatV they are justified * their efforts to drive ahead in this become and remain active, even tions Act of *1947 failed to deal and unlamented N.R.A. It has* direction. On the other hand, emfeverishly active, a contribution to the economic welfare of effectively with several other im- many features that are ident'caJ with the Syndicalist set-up of in¬ ployers will be equally determined the country or of the world? Obviously, some sort of res¬ oortant matters.' One of these is to resist these efforts to restrict dustry /under, Italian Fascism compulsory unionism. Many of the ervations must be made here, or else we must regard those same people who are loudly de¬ Writing more recently on this management's functions at the exwar years when one could have only a limited quantity of manding anti-discrimination leg- subject, the President of one of pense of progress.. the largest unions in the CIO ex¬ By defining, this area sharply meat to eat, shoes to wear, gasoline to travel, and-all the 'station based on race, creed, color panded this concept further F and clearly, Congress could elimior national origin are still advo¬ rest, examples of great prosperity. Of course, they were nate many issues of potential disthe planning and control * of aP cating and supporting discrimina¬ industrial not; of course, the imbalances which developed in those action through such pute. This would also relieve inin employment based on uri- tion years are what we all fear will at one time or another in the future force a major recession in the rate of business activity. What Business Is Supposed to Do * If the economic system of any country : is to be regarded as having one and only one function, namely that of pro¬ viding the peoples of that country with the greatest possible amount of goods and services of the sort they most want and in doing so require the least amount of work and incon¬ ;'on membership. they are tion of As an example, demanding the elimina¬ the poll tax while advo¬ cating compulsory unionism Which amounts to an industrial poll tax on the more basic right to work and earn a living.It is worth remembering that monopoly un¬ ion power is largely based and on enforced by joint industrial councils. The Labor Management , Con¬ in reach agreement with the rep¬ an resentatives ion of federations attempted the as principal to the to un¬ area in which Another it is necessary for the industry of any people to do that which is necessary to protect it from outside attack. That is to say if the nation is course, threatened, its industry must provide the sinews of modern which are not only war— exceedingly expensive but wholly necessary. ' . which Opinions we are may well differ at the moment as to the degree being threatened from piece of "unfinished with unions basic conflict on this matter that business" is the failure of the new cannot Ibbor bargaining; Furthermore, it is area law and gaining. to pronerlv define scope This the of collective bar-, failure is continuing conflict sions, insurance, paid m riods and various resulting over pen¬ lunch^ pe¬ o.ther payments be resolved by . issue which cannot be collective an resolved satisfactorily under the provisions of the new law. because nowhere within that Act is the subiect mat¬ ter of collective bargaining ac¬ that have nothing ; to do whh curately delineated and the limits wages paid for work performed. ..of the area of collective bargain¬ , that Act of pose plish . and to was revolutionary a nature system. consultation subject to union veto. The Rela- Labor Act, that the aim; and tions the National the without . bring lasting economic benefits. under American compulsory unionism. union leaders were unwilling to Thus, monopoly union power and make any agreement in this matvenience — if this is the real function of our economic compulsory unionism' are' tied itei4;7However, ihese sessions together. served one very useful purpose. system,, we must be very cautious in supposing that many 7 Scope of Collective Bargaining; Thev brought out sharply and of the things being talked about today can in the nature of Not' Defined 7V'4 forcibly the fact that there is a the case Of fear/ based:©#;,its~ experience ent management should make decisions on its own responsibility arid not , . : ' ; ; ; ; *' dustrial management of its ptes-; ference 1945 t this issue the unions will clear economic and accom- of i: . the political / ** " . pur-; changq in structure v * Unions and Welfare Plan# insurance and welfare be, and usually are, of great benefit to-employes and the - Group plans can* movement/in this/regard, which was- initiated ployers be be of by decades restricted. any for the agp. Nor should should upon benifit of not olans the'r members. ''But participation- by employes in such plans, whether sponsored employers be entirely or unions, voluntary and * there I the 'right establish such by - / progressive em¬ limitation unions to , v. / x , , - should ! not a » condition of erpnWment.. • Since , the needs of individual employes ; Volume Number 4686 167 t •in these matters vary widely, they should be free to participate or not, in e.ther employer-spoi.sorea >^MMhrtCiAL ill I am urging is that no employer* should-be requxred by law to e-xiena the area collective ot bar¬ ;: or union-spcniored plans, as they gaining beyond that wmcn I have rhay personally-desire, without in ouumed, and that no union, op¬ -any way affecting their status as erating under the protection of me law, employes. 1 r - ■ . snould be permitted! to V ,' • - • •v Furthermore, the technical lorce him to do so. The current coal strike/which problems involved in the formula tion and adminstration of these apparently is over tne questional plans would be very difficult to pensions, forcibly illustrates^ my resolve in collective barga.ning. point. The coal strike xS already Such employe benefit plans are beginning to cripple the industrial -r - , - ; • v involved • • in of state maze very a complicated lished on much • : a federal duration longer laws. estab- than the agreement, and there¬ fore it is impractical to include them in union agreements as such " ; Wage involved as & Hour Law is also contributions to such plans in certain cases must be ineluded v • * as wages to ject i X: and become sub- overtime difficult problems in their their joint administration will ereequally difficult and far more issues.; Every claim ate numerous under such ; > tential a basis plan will be the poof a labor dispute, the standard, every-day cases which arise under seniority and i ./' wage agreements. these circumstances, "..In it is sufficiently difficult for employers and unions, acting, independ' ently, to establish sound benefit r plans on their own responsibility, *} It will be much more difficult to deal with these problems jointly ; in collective bargaining. In addition, when a large em- . i ployer does business with a numt ber of different unions, it will be impossible to have uniform benefit plans for all of his employes without regard to their union status or affiliation, if these plans are to be made the subject of collective bargaining with each of the various unions involved. pi Thus; the inclusion df health , r 1 - and welfare plans within \ 1 • / > • 1 -/ \ : ,< V labor-management W !: collective re¬ a One is communist say socialist a Marxism to and Seizure Capital accumulation tax general are the de¬ goals to be attained by Another piece of "unfinished been dramatically brought to the American public s attention by the communist seizure of Czechoslovakia following the progressive taking over of the I As : that This a nism Conflict between freedom and "unfinished" is ,, . world. finished of piece r w long it remains as there business' basis sound no the economic force to require employers to bargain col\-V lectively'-iovef such plans,w or- to make participation in any such plans a condition of employment for employes. This would leave both employers and unions free \o develop sound plans independt;:' ently of each other, without com> t plicating collective bargaining on /< the ordinary issues of wages and hours of employment still further. • • to attempt by • - ; • • Accordingly, the law should be only rates amended to specify that " of employment, and the circumstances and conditions under which employes actually - of pay, hours : * ' • 1 # ,; a , taxes.- might most -Americans budgetary to realize that creasing threat to the free peoples of tne world. / During tne war many people talked as thougn Russian communism, ; based . on Marxist philosophy, and Ameri canism, based on individual rights, were much the same and maintained that there was no essert tial conflict between therm It is a distinct shock to many Ameri cans to realize that individua human rights do not and canno exist under the Russian systeih The two systems are as different as night and day. The ideological and- practical conflict /between slave states and free societies is f now becoming clearer. The magnitude of the gulf between the idealism as expressed by the propaganda of professional communis ts and the realism of their action when they have the power . on a nation is becoming equally clear. Corn- munist actions speak so not payment be able - be can world for u peace. develop , a for making' a the national debt, if on taxation. would we not >, pressnt scale latter group our The that admit a revised tax system might facilitate the de¬ velopment of a budgetary surplus? -;My position is that the efficacy present. tion is become the their of level War continued. quence As a ily affected than it taxaconse- in motivation nomic matters is much eco- more eas- during the they were buoyed up considerably by their patriotism, was when war While taxes: could maintained at a have been higher level dur- counter-in¬ ing the conflict the less efficient depends on phase of the inflationary cycle we happen to be passing through. One phase of this cycle, the war period, is over. The sec¬ ond phase may be referred to as part of our planning for the war relates itself to the methods of of tax reduction fluence to as a inflation what Government/ This has turned out The to be rather fateful. made debt war additional heavy top of the deficit finanethe immediate postwar, or transi¬ ing of the years 1931 to 1940. tion period in which we are now' moving along.'. This pha^se might Moreover/too much reliance was also Bp referred tolas the-"After¬ placed on* the credit resources of math" of the war. This in turn we the banking system. This method was adopted instead of offering expect to be followed by a third a higher rate of interest which phase which we hope will be a would have attracted the savings more or less normal period dur¬ of the people at large. The artifL ing which the present problem of cially low rate of interest which inflation will be finally solved. was used in tapping the credit of I wish to emphasize that during our commercial banking system, the wartime part of the inflation¬ brought in its train a series of ary cycle,: severe taxation was maladjustments in public as well quite appropriate but that during as private finance.'; A gap was the transition period, where we thereby created between th6 are now moving, these high scale money rate of interest and the taxes have no longer any virtue in up Presidents or estimates to were give us overau picture of the status of business at the beginning of 1948. One note was fairly common to a large number of these analyses of business other One the prbspects. acute need It of ex¬ more an on industrial business units. two of the writers stressed or practical non-existence of capital markets from which >new risk capital could be obtained for is the expansion of business. It generally recognized that satis- faction for this need of capital is now sought through new bank Large banks have recently loans. increased loans. high sharply The result taxes this is in are type of evident; that this instance encouraging debt while they tard equity financings v When the re- , More Savings Required borrowing adopted by the Federal layer of I of venture capital and equity invest¬ ments in case of corporations and People if restive number a an pressed Inflation Deterrent surplus would reduce we of to that invest. and save statements «These (Continued from first page) y;; others ;fear Still to interest General Managers of larger busi¬ nesses which were presented in the Balkan countries. This has caused need for .. more sav- ings and investment at the pres¬ ent time is mentioned, the response is sometimes given that we have practically full employment and therefore there is no now outlet for additional savings and investments. It should borne in or use mind however that even under the assumption that all available labor is now employed there is still one royal road to promote greater production and that is to give the employed laborers more capital in the form of additional tools and machinery. This requires more savings and investments, which will be made possible by lowering of taxes. It is hardly necessary to repeat the fact that the great productivity of American labor is . against the other, by one part of the population against another." : Contrast this with the principle upon which our system was founded as set forth in the]Declaration of Independence:^/ jr«V "We saying that the excess profits tax in vogue at that time was very much to the point. ..,/<■ .,v Taxation truths 'to? be men are creare endowed rights, governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed", ■ ; i. .• , the / re- quired by law. It should also be ^ '•'/•r^hmended- to - protect employers in V ; • the event - that unions attempt, XX"' through strike action, to compel v' 1 them to bargain over other mat- these high income ;taxes in order to up the excess purchasing power that at such a time gets into the hands of the people. For the same reason it goes without mop vs. Borrowing: the government cannot nently.fix. The real est planning the financing of a the balance that is struck between taxation and borrowing rate^of inter- bound to show itsell in the of capital walue. bonds. Our,,, business • government units aie hungry for more capital and the Government will have to Federal compete with long run. this trend The fundamental principle of our republic is not unlimited arbitrary rule by a or majority, but such goodly part the govern¬ ment' should be syphoned back into the National Treasury. There an emergency a of the funds spent by is no need at such of the .untoward taxation on a time to think effect of high business and produc¬ Federal the Reserve/System, Largely in this way the basis was laid for the inordinate expansion of our currency This posits. our war and demand de- well known fact is financial inheritance from the and the deficit financing that the constitutional protection of tion in general. The governmen preceded it. It has given us-the problem - of /inflation the fundamental rights of minori- appears then in the markets as gigantic which we now have on our hands, ties and individuals. Communism the ' great1 and almost sole de¬ And now the authorities who have denies and destroys every one of manded It will absorb nearly all created this dilemma are suggest•r :-*ters. the rights which our system rec- the goods and services that! can foe* produced. vi w sh to make it clear that- ognizes and protects, Full employment ing that they should have more v what T am proposing would not Communism achieves and main- will be maintained since an al power to combat the unhappy reis available and suits in their own unique way; prohibit an employer and a union, tains its power through Greed out-'market ' V by entirelv voluntary agreement, and Bribery; through Intimidation necessary to supply the sinews of I Taxes Now Not An Inflation : from including other subjects in and Terror; through Hatred, Envy war for ourselves and our allies. V Preventive ; the seo^e of their collective bar- ^nd Jealousy, and through Lying Moreover, under the influence of v Excessivety high taxes, as we gaining Nor do I recommend that Propaganda, based on the theory thb patriotic motive, citizens wil* V satisfactorv arrangements that that the end justifies the means. bear the heavy load of taxes with¬ still have them, can no longer be have entered into should be Thus, under communism1 the out serious objection. This is not an element' in the prevention of inflation. We can rio disturbed or prohibited. All that mass of the people become com¬ true of the transition period at further # ' . ' . - is ciaimed> expenditures the are due to European and ioans as weu as t0 the continued swollen Federal civilian payroll and other budgetary requests. It is my have ^ the sources of preclude, possibility of any tax reduction> Some of these it in thw By the extensive use of the reof the commercial banking In war, is perma- system in Federal borrowing, all by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these is of prime importance.. Taxation the credit instruments created by are Life, Liberty and the pursuit should have been emphasized the government could be moneIn tized by the banks with the help of Happiness. That to secure these more during our recent war. area work, come within of collective bargaining hold self-evident, that all ated equal, that they perform * - with not" only the "Commercial & Financial all over the Chronicle" at the turn of the year. , As read commu¬ a ability of corporations and individuals business" here in America but have an as lower scale taxation. This relates High Taxes No Longer Serve business" has well as relief in sirable of Czechoslovakia be to the a matter of fact, to¬ talitarianism under any name can subscribe now stimulus to economic a activity; and specifically to aug¬ ment savings and investments. statism, while flying the flag liberalism, are in fact advocat¬ ing a system of! society which when put into effect in a nation enslaves its people. v slow in reduced as of the might also Banks. Taxes should serve of same track track toward the same des¬ tination. and demand deposits created by the Treasury with the cooperation of the Federal Re¬ money future Communist ^ 4 • longer offset in this way the ef¬ fect of the enormous amounts of „■ bargaining, arid it an organization for the systematic shouM.be made illegal for unions use of violence:: by one class of ; " was on" 31 Many well meaning people have natural or effective rate of inter- due at least in part to the fact been duped and "taken in" by combating inflation. As a matter est. The result is now in part be- that it is more liberally supplied communist propaganda and their of fact, excessive taxation may at claim that their system is demo- that time increase the severity of fore us, but the full effects of with tools and machinery than cratic; It is democratic only if the inflationary trend. During the this policy are still in the making, the laborers of any other country. The natural rate of interest deig alsQ ^eing you accept Lenin's definition of a jSUggested that emergency proper (war) the scale pends. upon the productivity of the "aftermath" of the democracy. Here - is that defini- of war taxation was has appropriately capital in our economy. Eventu- complicated the still further confusion in the mat- tion: present struggle quite'high. I was one of those ter of Social Security. "A democracy is a state which who at that time advocated a Fed¬ ally it will be clear that^ theira of interest is only another one of against inflation. Large continuing1 expenditures which are deemed Welfare and ! Similar plans recognizes the subjection of the eral sales tax as a- complement to the; prices in the market which necessary by some will should be excluded from the area minority to the majority, that is, our 5> *• lations. in 'preempted. the area of old age pensions with respect to the first £3,000 of annual income of all employed persons. To require or permit this highly complex issue of pensions also to become subject to collective bargaining will add : / the area of business" loudly of industrial disputes, difficult-— that we are daily becoming less if not impossible—to solve. The and less impressed by what they Federal Government has already say. * • - "unfinished the area to enforce communism of collectivei bargaining can only create new and unexplored areas • ■ this to over the world. The forcibly calls attention will than traveling only enslave and brutalize the people. The great delusion of' those who hang coal strike the peaceful resolution of which communism is a very real and m-* be much more difficult socialism and freight, still ; v train time, but they are particu¬ > : One of my friends recently said that communism was an express hurry.-.. As week. I'M'; ./ 1;■./•"/,;; •" /■ only do these plans present many moaern larly bad now when it has become clear that threatening war tlouds payment when 40 hours development and formulation, but > at any Not . Our (1447) . on the employe works over ■.y per nation. trie T" LE never endured it is that a people torship of the power-drunk few. will be happier and more pros¬ As a matter of fact, ,to Marx perous in some communistic or they meant- the same thing, and socialistic form of society than he- frequently used these terms they can or will be in a free so¬ interchangeably. It- is no accident ciety based on the fundamental that the^official name of the Rus¬ principlesrecognized by the sian: Government is the "Union founders-1 of our republic* Our of Soviet '-Socialist Republics," Americanism is still the new, rev¬ ^nd for -that matter, that the Nazi olutionary, liberal philosohpy in Those who advocate party in Germany was the "Na¬ the world. tional Socialist Workers5 Party." communism, socialism or any form insur- usual union The of CHRc, pletely subservient to the dicta¬ industry is completely dependent a continuing flow of raw ma¬ terials starting with coal and steel. time basis that is of Crippling industry str.kes»are bad and ance, tax and corporation Pension plans also must be 1 lite FINANCIAL & feelin| tj/we our costs of these such proportions p0wer items down to that a sizable cut in taxes may be effected/ No one objects to the humanitarian for giving Western Eufood, fuel, and fertilizer for their fields. Beyond that, however, all is speculation. In conclusion,the excessive program rope , taxes which were appropriate during the war emergency are now ineffective as a deterrent to inflation. dividual The stimulation of ininitiative which will bring about increased production is the soundest method of procedure. This can be done by making savings and investment available to producers and giving the tax payers of all grades some relief from their burden. It may be argued that this is a long-term remedy. This is correct but it is also true that the melioration or cure of inflation cannot be ef- fected in a short period of time, We shall do well to reject the short time expedients and devices involving control of our economy. • THE (1448) 32 COMMERCIAL FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & words, the cost of preparing for, customary to admire the Prussian of fighting the next war is not (and later also the Japanese) dis¬ reduced by augment¬ cipline notoriously inculcated by U.M.T.: Show of Force or Lack of Sense? the of west got further than Leningrad-Moscow- never men the transportation problems have (Continued from first page) lion Stalingrad line. It would have had almost twice as far, and use at least 50% more force, to reach a final show-down with the So¬ to go to with overcome which are we faced. Similarly, Chinese, Ko¬ also Indian and Japanese manpower could be used perhaps rean, the on side of Russia. If eastern another be should there war fought with millions of bayonets and machine guns, the logical viets. Today, the Russian army is presumably' better trained, equipped' thing is that we produce,the armand organized than ever before. am®nt® anc* supply the technicians ihcluding air power, rather than There are more Russians, too; in let Europe and the Far East do addition, the Soviets can enlist that job for which they are scarce¬ many divisions from the satellite countries, just as Hitler enlisted ly prepared, especially not while under enemy aerial bombardment, The ter¬ as they very well might be. Even ritory we would have to overrun in the last war, our decisive role also has greatly expanded by 500,in Europe was technical in the 000 square miles in Europe alone, them, and even more so. advantage. strategic Moscow's to broadest of that word. Inci¬ sense American manforce that beat, Japan, was numer¬ we need in a next war, if we are ically far inferior to the Nip¬ ta avoid the fate of Charles XII, the would dentally, large an army, then, How Napoleon the First, and Adolf the less than matter of years? a and hundred Two divisions twenty Arehaic Mass - Warfare { not wouldn't they do; have have to do a similar we well?— job on the Pacific side as staggers the imagination, to say nothing of the financial costs.:! .. . If with Russia has to be war a fought by American mass invasion of the Soviet empire, we, might as well consider it lost from the out¬ set.: It would take years to get an of such dimensions mobil¬ and equipped, transported supplied. Nor could the over¬ army ized and running of the Russian lands or of their vital parts, in the face of desperate resistance, be a mat¬ ter of months., A war of such duration, magnitude and expense double would treble or our na¬ tional debt. A prolonged war with Russia would mean the destruc¬ of tion Europe, leaving struction problem to compared one our on which would fade into recon¬ a the hands, present insignificance. .It all would add up to the virtual extinction of the paper dollar's 77/'7 / ,/ Mass In Invasion short, invasion War is the for wants idea of against ^ a mass- Russia is fantastic and its implications sui¬ cidal. But if Universal Military Training ; means preparation kind of a for The war. teresting, ; something, means; - just to prepare idea bombs, jet-propelled rockets, su¬ personic missiles, "death-clouds," and what have you. If we cannot beat the enemy by destroying from the air his supply centers and communications, then we would be up against another fiveto-ten-year, contest with a very doubtful outcome. If tions niust there war prepara¬ be, instead of material resources and manpower on universal train¬ wasting our ing, we should concentrate on two things: on maximizing the amount of decisive air-borne weapons and what with them, including the highly trained personnel of limited numbers; and on arming the goes potential allies. last Even the as tary mind that still dominates the Pentagon. r '•/ y The notion of sending over mil¬ lions of Americans to fight Russia —the only potential enemy worth \consideration—is nonsensical, for / ohe thing, because it implies that we would fight single-handed. But it is preposterous to assume would have no allies. that Actu¬ ally, the entire world outside the "sphere" which the^ Soviets rule (with connivance) is bound to go - with us. Now then, Western and Southern Europe, from Scan• • our dinavia come, to close Greece and Turkey, to posibly countries, including North Africa, East, and some British the Middle f Dominions, 7 the brunt of quirements? numbers would have to bear direct manpower re¬ Between them, in half supply of the training is what our youth, and give it, not military, drilling. The t alleged American need manpower forces will need would-be conquerors of Rus¬ ous for vast a ten if the Soviets would continue the hold to their we lines own ized, if not totally defeated Russia. * UMT Expensive tory and — Russians But cf soldiers such to for "re-educate" democracy?—as Guara. The trainees become v/- constitute what? pool—-for Or abroad or UMT of does tern p were "soldiers," ' but merely millions would be occuption, of 1 a. not to instead of the would lieve t a at to the if that would all one might have to occupy the border sides west areas of the on are and the silly that it. war England one fashioned against in Russian frontiers mental Warfare, or spite all of the in an the of try the be- not Educational No Some H the technological change in so simple that a child educational it means or two million young men would have to be maintained at a pie high level of consumption, housed and trained, all at the expense of the taxpayer- and with ho pro¬ young ductive contribution from them in And return. this is what value, tensions in its out actual of all to take care God for—its so so effects a the UMT serious amounts Note the the on That disciplinary democracies discipline is Also, to to the worn • propaganda 1947, Oswald mented the < old In * on top of of some year. By a $5 current fiscal burder. to $10 billion 77/p /7-1./,. v.. its another, on Mr. each 7 ■;'-• • very of the entire well as in quality, they would be better than equal to the enemy, and they would not troops las, that should be local, not all for the sake of The mere j lands, in modern warfare. In other customary coun- It is the public ex- the education control of national, to sneer discipline, as e said we There are NO, that no Russian the Greek guerrilone has ever seen their 7 ' 7 *7 among - . contain to the problem is the within Moscowites their borders, within the limits assigned to" appeasing generosity > 0f Hit- government. It is the exact opposite of Wash¬ ington's thoughtful condemnation, lack of resistance there and them by the eulogy was rendered winning the-war. highly-skilled technicians wanted loss of the border and they although there other words, not single plane or gun will be superfluous by UMT. As in the Farewell Address, of: '. and would join us as soon as our a matter of fact, more men have those overgrown military estab¬ troops arrive, - Possibly, some to be supplied with more weapons, lishments, which under any form areas in the Caucasus, the whether or not they ever serve a of Government are inauspicious to Ukraine, etc., might; be invaded "useful" military purpose. Nor liberty, and which are to be re¬ too. The point is tjiat we do not will the kind of training meted garded as particularly hostile to need to out to the young men, say in a Republican Liberty.';" conquer/the. whole of '.-/// Russia or even a'rhhjor part of it year's time, add to the number of Even in Western Europe it is a Iran of when forcefully Messrs; Churchill and Roose- at They did not go beyond, and will not go beyond, until they are atom. Once they do present armaments lete so, • our will be obso- altogether. : Presently, they ,7/'•; of our immense indus-/ >*/ are aware trial supremacy, and the last "war has taught them of our ability to , use it. All ness we need deal out a to is a prepared- deadly blow,: preparedness that means perhaps 70 air groups instead of 40, a j more carriers, more atom bombs, and the securing of proper bases. War preparations on the con¬ templated scale will weaken us rather than strengthen. The true of the international prob¬ nature is not the danger of Russian aggression, direct or indirect, open or camouflaged. Its true nature consists in Russia's ability to ob¬ lem struct world-wide economic nor¬ malization and financial stabiliza¬ tion. tion The Soviets to sabotage reconstruction American ; as it used to be 77/ velt. the fighter, Villard, com- "That under no or no In liberal men. out trace. scathing a youth of his try by military within any such deThe fact is that they went back, that. was act opposite of the American tta- dition on say approach, j willing to fight a war, which they provide ' cannot dare unless they master Truman's conscription: got danelles; emphasis ler's idea also—the indoctrination or armaments they have vital interests involved, They asked Turkey emphatically for "joint defense" of the Dar- its of kind need not do Garrison we would be editorial of "Human Events," Feb: 5, do never of the most shopin the totalitarian store. Trieste are.: obviously major scale, to they one articles of east step over any dine if it might embroil them in war with a major power. Upon our insistence, | President's , never drawbacks of spiritual without even items. fined line? to—without „ of steamroller forth, benefits one t uml l™Lconscrip.tl0!? what not nothing of conscription, to hold the Russian And taxpayer in the form of veterans of But "disciplinary" might be ascribed to that is apparently Greece and the Manchuria any and bet- same of Prague or' be stopped that defined, .but doubtful is, what it and on should line north anc*. I and Note implied get her out of War¬ Bucharest, She a no as well as of Scandinavia. Finland responsibilities. would not offer the usefulness— costs us." aggression. i to Dardanelles, and of this Tern- gave this government sports, to the proportion combat would be the or runs a be di¬ militarization, and employ¬ staggenng costs.:.. wake. ; have Truman, materials would productive UMT ter educational and them—and so __ think the best way to do through a universal training program." As if family life, schools, churches, youth clubs, Moreover, from saw Korea. specifically: "I want our people to be informed on stands the eco¬ nomic system that is suffering from a manpower shortage would be doubly damaged: by losing the men in training—and those who scarce in UMT of President which more In many instances, family members may have to be publicly social Value "collateral last December, spoke sanctimoniously of a "universal training program, giving our young people a background in the disciplinary anproach(!) of getting along with on^ another, informing of their physical makeup (sic!), and what one verted intention temerity to claim that it has benefit." grasp : it, but apparently palatable to political generals general-politicians. train "further" the "further": there is along advocates - without or conscription, big idea is to frighten Russia from military : r tow.' * clearly skies/not on the oldbattlefields, still less in supported. in With ' 111 Universal Mili¬ tary Training is just about the most expensive way to national self-protection. In the first place, it is costly in itself. Every year, not mind has to be read since ithas Congress and the whole coun- astonish officers do Mor e precisely: Administration after? Its best services after"with*ad th<£e we armaments? the compulsory lose the next Economically, and of hesitates to discuss should of In are what is the in modern time they y the for , as . deeper What the Polish, nature, universal training in itself does not relieve the country of other military ex¬ in penditures. Not an atom bomb, which the vast majority of popu¬ is anti-Russian anyway, spend. lieve the the backwoods. That is the funda¬ not paid to ing /number in the war and and have empire, i.e., mainly the territories beyond 1938 not useiessness. problem at stake than UMT itself. reserve highly the technical necessa so seriously conprotecting America's propaganda for UMT e We will win the east and Soviet its on the country—and many, jobs for the brass hats. ; * v " over many basis,.. to carry on activities same. a.smaller volunteer, a trained be home, the fal¬ remains Qr like their in question at all. In reality, come scarcely military author- of aware is is country, but authorization control iecauso nf the AdminSerb; training. Because of the Admin¬ Russian guerrillas fought in istration policy and propaganda, backwoods? : The idea is so they naturally remain silent." ' Nazis? hanced for idea./It If, •< it, they do so pre¬ sumably for other reasons. What conscription might accomplish is / not military security for this I be¬ of 1944. war want we on manpower- Whether anyone defend to we Allied available be abroad, it would army futility:/ conscription they insist to provide the new and methods of transport weapons soil againt a huge invading army, as Churchill contemplated in 1940 the Germany and Japan. course, a mass its insidious Time and again, UMT is being for any such; army. During that presented ; How Russia Can Be Kept in: by War Department time, additional men could be spokesmen as a sort of corollary trained, and trained in the meth¬ -/•/.;/ ,'7/ Check 7:v 7. -./// to the Reserve or the National ods of the war they are to fight However, there Vis 7 a after another war, the number oi fresh "veterans" would be en¬ have done in than an take two years III army will have to oc¬ the immense Russian terri¬ 10 years, the training wears -out completely. What is eve a worse certainly do of men against sudden attack. it should become necessaiy to for defense send two, the conscripts will available as yet. In five or or not be any war not need any such number i year We aga/nst a mutilated and disorgan¬ to the fire of inflation and huge in occur foresee. : can and. sition, universal conscription is a hopelessly futile idea, to put It mildly. If we have war within a movement, mass conditiors, believable that partially' ities who propagate it should million twelve or/ modern under those of Amer¬ ica's geographic and economic po¬ tens of thous¬ are fight, the rearmed Central Euro¬ trained men for peans alone * shouldbe '■ strong most' unlikely to pseudo-military) thinking. It is the fallacy that after World War a Under especially against her ability to ands of college graduates with 10' carry on the war indefinitely un-1 specialized skills rather than less her territory is actually in¬ million high school youngsters vaded. At present, aerial suprem¬ with enthusiasm, and that neces¬ acy would eliminate the necessity sity could be satisfied even with¬ of physical control; the Soviet out recourse to the "formidable system could scarcely survive at machine" of Selective Service. To sum up, home if deprived for good of its quoting Senator vital supply sources, and morally Taft's recent speech at Providence, shaken by military defeat. Even R. I.: "UMT would provide some further cupy - discipline displayed by Hitler Youth, SS formations, and the Gestapo. ' sia were up by the need ot refitting them later for productive occupation. Also, a vast quantity is based oh war tial, too. fallacy which is rarely ment. The added pressure on the mentioned, but definitely seems markets necessarily will result in to play a role in the military (or Jiigher wages; in turn adding fuel a lation these better in Fallacy of Mass Occupation the that than so fundamental the for of more lites (250 millon against 310 mil¬ lion). Is is not the logical thing assume the should matching Russia's population—even with her satel¬ to more even war we as appears now, every world. Technical in- /,./ it throws light on the archaic mili¬ we war, nique in antiquated in to the gold-braided superior which '• resulted in the lack of ethical demands of /will *>e substan¬ manpower It will require an army of engineers as well as all types sia would be of no avail under of auxiliary personnel. But what present circumstances, as • it can UMT accomplish 4n providing should be evident at once. Previ¬ technical skj)l? What the armed lacy bayonets mean in the age of atom that is True, the tomorrow's more military drill. That/indeed, has produced the blind subordination UMT. than suffice. early '40s. It does not seem grasped as yet how little on to have it however,1, inasmuch of In this respect, used source the war ing it with the extravagant price bombing historical parallels such as with Napoleon's and Hit¬ ler's problems in conquering Rus¬ cations, would the pattern of mass-war a the that one peace, Fantastic constant If conception of preparing for mass-warfare is as typical of archaic-mindedness in military matters as is the bogus fear of its tech¬ country found it peccessary to keep men of military age and strength work¬ with the breakup of this nation's ing in key industries. How much social structure in its wake. To more important will it be in the many Americans, appeasement next conflagration to keep the may not seem too expensive a basic industrial machine running. price for avoiding such a disas-; And that takes in farms as well as trous "victory" — assuming we mines: this country is bound to be, would win that war. ' -7 purchasing power, if not the re¬ pudiation of the national debt, in any way The to be supported by technical forces, manpower for the supply lines, a coming depression in the eco¬ etc., possibly duplicating the num- nomic field. It is no sheer coin¬ ber of men in the actual fighting cidence that the same Administra¬ forces. The problem of ferrying tion that has been preparing for such a fantastic army across the years against mass unemployment Atlantic—and by the same token, on the pattern of the 1930's, also would or of internal centers and communi¬ enough 1 /v ponese. possibly transport millions of men within And how could we Last? with combined Thursday, April 1, 1948 are in the posi¬ effort at in Europe as well every in Asia, and can. do so without sending; .a single soldier beyond -7- Volume 167 ; their own Number 4686 sphere, - Germany THE COMMERCIAL can¬ result of not be reconstructed as long as the Russians hold the eastern half. China and Korea cannot be put in long as the Russians have geographic key to those coun¬ order the in poured their into wasted ist The State of Trade and Industry (Continued from as tries long as parties tion hands. France sabotage strikes Money long as ing threat of italistic discourages A This investment, incites cap¬ ital flight, and provides a rational pretense for the economic irra¬ ace, our present approach is not only futile (just as Byrnes' "tough talking" turned out to be) but actually promotes the Soviet ob¬ jective. Temporarily, while dol¬ lars flowing freely, the are tries under, relax may dollar Soviet menace somewhat., The the ment dollar flood will revive. menace outpour ERP the sooner or . proclaimed only two was months the only alterna¬ to armaments. Presently, policies of dissipating our tive ago as , both resources getting fully under way, with their combined cost to the are nation billion fiscal next In come. UMT and year, due — will be of the greatly to cumu¬ strength and United States weakened if not Nothing would serve Russian objective better. If world reconstruction depends Russia, on then "stopping" particular, to of a is necessary we of risk NOW. were in still possess* bloody Our war the It Association 23 further last week's of and at each. failed, against 90 i were The with ness addressed the conference. W. Dead Rogers, one of the pf Rogers & of the firm Tracy, Inc., Chicago, passed away in Hollywood, Fla., on March 20, had made his residence for the past nine years. Mr. Rogers has been inactive in the firm since his retirement in October, 1939, but held the title of Chairman of the in majority of the concerns week's failures exceeded with this losses week ago, and 54 last year. a more of the was week ; ties, - slight a : . uneasiness in from of 9. and week a construction only were 44 Wholesale year. group in slightly 7; more business succumbing in numerous than in the „ ^ . i - * Central with 15 and the South Atlantic with only 2 reported. were 11. The latter 1947 level when ;; > UP,WARD^ j', The wholesale food price index, compiled by Dun & , , : Bradstreet, Inc., continued slightly upward last week, rising to $6.72 on March 23, from >$6.70 a week previous, and the "year's low level of $6.61 on March 9 and Feb. 24. * On the- corresponding weather Favorable sales final the in date a ago the index figure stood at $6.56.:i:7,b7';7';7;7;y£;■'.» Commodities that rose during the week included beef, butter, cheese, coffee, cottonseed oil, tea, cocoa and potatoes. On the lower side were flour, wheat, corn, rye, oats, barley, hams* bellies, lard, beans, eggs, steers, hogs and lambs. Although declines in individual items outnumbered advances, the slight rile in this week's index reflected higher prices for somp; foods which have a relatively high per-pounci —1--~ LEVEL 1947 ABOVE TRIFLE «ie CONTINUES AND WHOLESALE TRADE RETAIL A the and Easter boosted retail Total dollar volume approach of the holiday. before week appreciably in the period ended on Wednesday of ,last woefc slightly above the level of the corresponding week a year rose* , and was according to Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., in its current review Of 77'/, "7 v 7.- ' . ,, 7. Despite this sharp dollar volume rise, unit volume remained ago, traded . fractionally below that of a year ago. Retail volume food generally was steady and close to previous high levels. The consumer demand for meat increased slightly and requests frequently were directed toward the lower-priced ctfts. Purchases of fish and poultry remained high and there was an insistent consumer demand, for fresh fruit and vege,tables. price of butter and some meats increased a trifle the past week. The -sharp increase in the demand for apparel during medium-priced lines attracted considerable atten¬ many shoppers continued to shun expensive apparel and low-quality goods. Children's wear and men's worsted and gabar¬ dine suits were eagerly sought. Women's lightweight skirts and. blouses were among the best sellers. 77 7; There the was tion a The week. as 7 was cards and slip of that of above I of 7 covers attracted much attention. appliances some last week Regional by the following percentages: New England 3 to 7, 11, South 4 to 8, Northwest 9 to 13, Middle West 6 to 7 to week, numerous reorders the * pre-Easter dip in new order volntne While there was the usual in to be from 6 to 10% estimates exceeded those Southwest 8 to 12 and Pacific Coast 2 to 6%. 10, placed. were Total order volume high level of a year ago, but it declined moderately week. The number of buyers registered close to the was • . week period ended on year ago a East 7 moderately below estimated was ago. year a was 7; ;7' ;:'7.77- "7,77 7- 7; Retail volume for the country in the Wednesday and moderately, but it was below that of a year ago. rose previous high levels. *7 shoe Interest in jewelry, gift items, confectionery and furniture in retail year ago. a gardening equipment supplies*, housecleaning coverings, curtains, and Floor and steady appreciable seasonal rise in the demand for goods an paint, used automobiles. Easter remained shoes moderately below the levels of held as for demand The that of the previous from principal markets dropped considerably in the week. ; , V Department stpfe sales on a countrywide basis, as taken from in the , - Although moderate weights of wool were contracted for in West, the movement so far has been far below expectations. ,/v, • slow. was, Trading in the Boston raw wool market was reported at a during the past week as buyers awaited developments that mav result from lower prices in, foreign primary Wool markets. ; 1947. Federal Board's index for the week ended March $0, Reserve 1948, increased by) 9% the ended March weeks four from the like^ period of last year. This com¬ For the in the preceding week. increase of 4% with an pared 1948, sales increased by 6% 20, and for to date increased by 6%. year year Following ; COMMODITY CLOSE PRICES WEEK RALLY IN LATE TRADING LOWER.,'."r V"•7' Commodities generally moved latter part of the past week, but -j;;7 set a slow start, retail trade here in New York very close# J Thursday's volume was very heavy active. fresh record for a single pre-Easter day. a According to the Federal Reserve Board's index, department in .New York City for the weekly store sales 1948, increased 3% weeks ended ... broad front in the was insufficient to wipe out earlier losses. The Dun & Bradstreet daily wholesale com¬ modity price index finished at 278.47 on March 23, off 1.0% from 281.22 a week earlier, but still above the 268.03 registered on the upward the rise week Easter and above the same period to March 20, period last year. This com¬ 1% in the preceding week. For the four March 20, 1948, sales decreased 1% and for the year pared with an increase of £ ^;V : minimum There ago but remained failures totaled 14, experienced the sharpest upswing from the ; < pf cotton, as reported by the Bureau of the C totaled 785,200 bales in February/compared with 860,200 in arv, and 339,400 bales in February: a year ago. Consumption per working day was equal to 39,900 bales for the month. This was slightly under that for January and compared with 42,000 baftes per day in February 1947. Carded gray cotton cloth markets wwce relatively slow and prices were steady to slightly lower for sddfie construction. y 7-• ;r Interest trade or good but mill buying was such . industry FOOD PRICE INDEX AGAIN MOVES r ; the early part of the week due Strength in the closing days was markets. to date rose by 5%. on ,a : /".'V; • ■;'77 '-'•'"y'- (Special to The Financial Webber (Special Chronicle) v CALIF.—John corresponding date a year ago. ,7 N. Cornish and Thomas B. DrumAlthough showing strength at the close, leading grain mar¬ mond have become associated kets were unsettled during most of the past week with prices with Paine, Webber, Jackson & trending irregularly lower. Curtis, : 626 South Spring Street; Trade demand for cash wheat was slow but the government Mr. Cornish was previously with " 1 ' ' - * was an aggressive buyer. Prices, however, broke sharply as the Deafa Witter & Co. LOS ANGELES, .. /. * •' Crowell Weedon Adds * Two With Paine, . , cotton prices registered range, Consumption volume -;'77;7;: ; ' area touched heavy reflecting Shippers' demand for cotton, particularly for better quali- . i Of the 87, there than $100,000. 't only the failing declined occurring last 21 three North narrow in outside size casualties were heavily concentrated * in " the Pacific States with 34, rising from 28 last week. The Middle; Atlan¬ tic States had the second largest number. 20, followed by the East BUT Edw. W. Rogers casualties than more ^(Geographically, r; M. Collins, Julien President of the L B. A., and Murray Hanson, GenCounsel of the Association, also the probable loss to creditors. .Retailers the H. 101, considerably mortality increased from last week, rising from 26 to 35 exceeding by 10 the number in 1947's corresponding week. J and above Chicago Transit Authority"; Clif¬ Julien to which > | estimated output of an Manufacturing Walter J. McCarter, Gen¬ eral Manager of the 'Chicago Transit Authority, who spoke on H. Collins & Co., '7v"" principally in manufacturing and retailing where 35 and 36 concerns, respectively, went out of busi¬ the Utley, whose topic was "Hour of Decision"; and John K Langum, Vice-President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, who spoke on "Government Fi¬ nancing and the Economic Situa¬ .■:•;} 7.'7 the United States and Canada week's failures occurred ada"; .of /;7/>;V/'7:;7y'' trucks in with losses of seven same Situation CUTBACK DUE TO stated of of the Board of the Standard Present BY Eighty-seven lines Board. when 5,436,430,000 kwh. vT'V.,„ 'J:'-. V7 77 the prewar level; a total of 301 businesses succumbed in the corresponding week of 1939. : v r 7 V- service where he 1948 third America 24th, and 106 these Edward 24, the we weakness, Congressional approval of additional interim aid funds Italy and Austria. Inquiries in spot; markets were faihPly numerous but sales declined for the week. Total sales reported in the ten spot markets were 80,600 bales, as against 110,800 bafles in the previous week and 85,500 in the same week a year ago. the commercial founders Jan. the comparable week of 1947 when 63 occurred and over five times 18 in the same week of 1946.- Failures remained at about one- the Indiana, who ad¬ dressed the gathering on "Supply¬ ing the Middle-West with Petro¬ leum Products"; Harold Long, McMaster, Hutchinson & Co., who spoke on the "Outlook For Can¬ . ended cars Chair¬ tion."1 March ended serious aspect. more from Oil Company of ton week Liabilities Dr. Robert E. Wilson, "The week CHANGEOVERS vV in considerable for France, Continuing the?; mild fluctuations Characteristic o£ the past month, commercial and industrial failures fell off-slightly in the week ending March 25. ' Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., reports a decline Drake. 7 ;;777:7;. .;>/■•' '77-7\7:;7y77 Speakers at the Conference man ^ BUSINESS FAILURES OFF SLIGHTLY held its twelfth annual conference were WEEK industry however, over unconfirmed reports that the government has been piling up copper stocks since, this trade authority commented, adequate supplies are on hand. in and a cern CHICAGO, ILL. — The Central States Group of the Investment . FOR that the coal mine shutdown is taking It warned that the situation for the auto industry could take on crisis proportions the next week as pig iron and sheet steel supplies tighten. "Ward's"-added there is no con¬ on a some was to weakness 12.1% 108,057 units, "Ward's Automotive Reports" states. This compares with a revised total of 115,556 units in the preceding week and 100,355 units a year ago. The slump in auto production was attributed by "Ward's" to a cutback in;: schedules by Ford to permit a changeover to new Holds 12th Conference March the declined last week to Central States I. B. A. on OFF STRIKE Production of $5,000 , There year. OUTPUT AFFECTED models. interest in forward commitments. no attributed to COAL MODEL or showed prices Moving in 1,281,210 tons for the average week produced. AUTO estimated -fettt net rise during the past week. labor difficulties in the coal fields. It represented a decrease 143,559 cars, or 17% below the corresponding week in 1947, and decrease of 104,124 cars, or 12.9% below the same week in tential at present. Bankers and prewar LOADINGS TO reached conjure up by not using that po¬ • tons kwh., according to the Edison Electric Institute. This was 80,875,000 kwh. below the preceding week and was the lowest turnout since the week ended Jan. 3, 1948 when production amounted to 4,868,011,000 kwh. The current figure was, however, 335,670,000 kwh. in excess of output in the week ended March 29, 1947. The peak was ignore preparations future a highest 1,611,400 against 1,725,000 tons last week, 1,669,400 tons, or 95.4% of the old 000 both; the bloodless diplomatic po¬ tential the 1940, ~ equivalent to was the average slightly lower, reflecting expectations of heavy Hog marketings as soon as the strike of stockyards workers is ov«rIrregular fluctuations featured the Chicago livestock markets vtfttfo both cattle and hogs prices finishing slightly higher for the week. The amount of electrical energy distributed by the electric light industry for the week ended March 27,1948 was 5,064,555,- is not to stop, back, right showing little Corn as ago, ago is It on and power meaningless, too are long-range - in year 94.6%. was rate offerings from farmers. selling of futures by speculative interests. After showing strength in early dealings, oats turned downward in sympathy with o#«r 7 grains. Domestic demand for cash lard was slow and futures prices . ELECTRIC PRODUCTION CONTINUES DOWNWARD TREND but to reverse the Soviet tide—to it Mon- on 20, 1948, totaled 700,482 cars, according to the Association of American Railroads. This was a decrease of 96,551 cars, or 12.1% below the preceding week, due her Long-range --programs,;;UMT dam one month a Loadings for further aggression is meaningless. What capacity DUE operating ingots and castings FREIGHT the undermined. the announced of government had purchased aroUn'd 17,000,000 bushels of wliWtt flour equivalent since the resumption of buying on March 5. Domestic flour sales continued slow with bakers and other larfc&e ■ >, Steel Institute and the indicated rate week's 1,705,000 tons infla¬ course, The internal coherence in more the tionary effects will become lative. ' probably to reach $25 without — of steel And ebb the must, 5) flood a * and third-quarter quotas will mo¬ ebbs, ■*,; later. * the coun¬ American Iron 1 < . . month ago cap¬ tionality of bureaucratic blundering. ; Instead of stopping this men¬ page that day of this week the operating rate of steel companies having 94% of the steel-making capacity of the industry will be 89.4% of capacity for the week beginning March 29, 1948, a decrease of 6.3 points, or 6.6%. This compares with 95.7% one week ago. produc¬ anywhere is the over-hang¬ as war cift. The otherwise. or poured wasted be (heir customers warn (1449) the users companies, to their Commun¬ as can by Money Italy is and FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & to The Financial Chronicle) LOS ANGELES, C A LI F.—» Charles E. Hodge is now associ¬ ated with Crowell, Weedon & Co., 650 South Spring Street, members Angeles Stock Ex¬ change. --We was formerly »with of- the First Los CaliforniaXo^. 34 (1450) THE COMMERCIAL (Continued from V standards (b) To promote industrial and general economic development, which must still in the ^arly stages of industrial development, and to ana are further of by all countries, of and prod¬ markets, their for needed prosperity eco¬ (d) To promote on a reciprocal mutually advantageous basis tional other ; commerce. (e) To enable countries, by in¬ creasing the opportunities for their trade and economic develop¬ ment, abstain to from ment But com¬ a of Article and Domestic luciiiuci member achieve and productive large takey maintain full S1]ru dpn measures political, economic institutions. to avoid and Members measures social will seek creating bal- ance-of-payments difficulties to for trade restrictions, the member is to make its full contribution and appropriate action is to be taken by the other members concerned r-io correct the situation. Such ac¬ tion should expand rather than contract international trade. Deflationary Pressure) or recognizes that members may need to take action to safeguard their economies against inflation¬ ary or deflationary pressure from abroad. In the case of deflation¬ ary pressure special consideration is to be given to the effect on any member of a serious or abrupt de¬ cline in the effective demand of the other countries. Article 7 (Fair Labor Standards) calls on ^ members to do whatever is ap¬ propriate and feasible to elimi¬ nate substandard conditions of la¬ bor, and refers in this connection to cooperation with the Interna¬ tional Labor Organization. nizes that common all countries interest quantitative X?? USu recog¬ have a in the produc¬ use of the world's human and material resources. Under Article 9, members are obligated tive pro¬ gressively to develop and. to- re- main, subject to the commitment, under Article 17, which obliges members to undertake negotia¬ ■ tions directed to substantial a re¬ the Such recommendations and mutually advantageous Existing preference mar¬ basis. gins are not to be increased. Rules are laid down for conducting such negotiations. If to those under the fund. C. to 28 deal cluding is found to- have failed to negotiate in good faith, the ITO may authorize the with¬ holding The take Article 18 taxes provides that internal regulations are trade and not to be products upon . more severe imported place two quotas to industries. film -i Section B. of protect national •*; stances. the Exchange Mat¬ of use cprtarn as export defned ments, world tion sub¬ in- pre An exception is allowed for imnorts of products fo- gov¬ al®o State use. brought, within tra^'n* the * is Charter obligations for reduction of pref¬ . , intended a; of agree- • "expansionist" -* to and commodity. enlarge f consume- i the V But > specially concerned in lay- ing down rules to cover "control" types of agreements, which may;* have; harmful restrictive effects on trade. \ ^ i ;i Mernbers are obliged to enter - . into new control type agreements I only through Charter procedures, ; State Tradina-r-Ar- organizations tyoes production of JTO is ticles 29 to 32 lav down the nrin* Marketing all including agreements circu™* ciple that state-trading enterprise® be guided by commercial principles ih b"vinp and seli'ng and must avoid discrimination; with cerned gain more than a fair--share of world trade in the products con¬ cerned. Section D. * . , may rot use orimarv products--to on for ; modify agreements ard the types y of agreements wh:ch may be coneluded. The ITO is to be con- Members : ernmental , Quantitative Restric¬ tions and Related soon as - groups However, as regards primarv commodities, soecial provision is eluded. use to 70) conducting study and'for holding commod¬ ity conferences, the general principles which are to govern com- mem¬ into force, although the ITO power to grant extensions. has to conditions, the eedures in nqust certain increase an possible any event not later than years after the Charter en¬ and frorjri other members than upon domes¬ tic products. One of the excep¬ tions (Article 19) permits, subject screen (or prevent as subsidies into the group' of con¬ parties to ; the General Agreement on Tariffs and Thade, :v culties abandoning of export sub¬ a general policy is to sidies will tracting j^r (Articles 55 ■j Recognizing the or bers whose trade is affected. in members V'> ; Commodity :vvAgreements ;.;V' to exports limitation of subsidies with for bringing ' make special dlfflaffecting primary com¬ in) imports. Members are obliged modities, Chapter 6 lays down the intergovernmental to give full details of the subsi¬ objectives; of dies they are using and to discuss commodity agreements, the proto reduce made effect of to Intergovernmental or operate increase or sides the income of that f In other cases, be asked may ■ subsidies, in¬ form any support, maintain of benefits under the most-favored nation clause,' Suc¬ cessful conclusion of negotiations have with international agency,* exists. one ITO CHAPTER 6 ; Subsidies^-Articies Section ters member a agreements would place on such members obligations similar nation of preferences on a recip¬ rocal appropriate If. however, there is unreasonable delay, proceed interestedcoun+rjes may 'A bv direct negotiation. ^ ! Commodity-cQhtrol *.agreements * to. be entered into only when a burdensome surplus or : widespread unemployment which / could not be corrected by normal t market forces alone...These agreer ^ are . there is ments are to insure the availabii- ity. supples of adequate . ters—Quantitative restrictions on imports and exports are in gen- erences, eral reaspnable; pr'ces: 4 Crufdjng bmn* ) ciples v for : administerin g : control -; of the so-called technical articles Articles 33 to 39 is to provide agreemen ts are; laid, down. / but % standard rules for the adminis¬ particular; methods to be used ^or. * tration of freedom of transit, valu¬ dealing with specific commodities " ation for customs imnort and ex¬ are not given, this being left tat prohibited (Article 20). But a number of temporary and per¬ manent exceptions, other- thap those balance on grounds, of - - payments permitted. • ■ Among temporary exceptions- is the the are Section E. General Commercial Provisions—The general times to meet world at all u demand at -num-nse preventing cal > ■ and unwarranted ™ternationa!I trade, made between measures conflicting with nego¬ tiated obligations (i.e., obligations assumed is j1. °*her members but measures with Charter Protective that do conflict obligations, measures type are to be settled main¬ ly by direct negotiations between the members concerned. Measures type must be referred to the ITO for approval. Auto¬ of the latter ITO granted if approval certain will stated be criteria fulfilled. These criteria re¬ late to certain types of industries and their date of establishment. The Article also deals with dam¬ age to trade resulting from pro¬ tective tion to and measures, emergency offset qxcessive ac¬ imports the need for secrecy in ad¬ ministering the provisions, > Special circumstances may jus¬ tify preferential agreements for economic ITO must proposed be preferential may ar¬ authorize it majority. ITO criteria. or stated Among or belonging to the region, and (b) preferential rates sound a involved market for the branch of industry or agricul¬ ture to be protected. If the new arrangement is found to be likely to injure the outside dures ing the are stable uation, balance-of-payments; sit¬ trade of members arrangement, proce¬ laid down for negotiat¬ satisfactory compensation. Section F. Special Provisions^Article 40 d e a 1 s with emer¬ and ports th»t threaten serious' injury to domestic nroducersr - may affect international ures guard the Charter for a group, of cen¬ tres to take sfens fovaH formine of its imports, subject to the rules and within the criteria laid down r»f in this Article. elimination Article which 22 <•'*,■' sets out the jv way in quantitative restrictions to safeguard should balance - of - payments administered without be discriminating between exporting countries,. < i Article 23, in view Of the prob¬ lems of postwar adjustments,* thorizes members, with au¬ suitable safeguards, to deviate from the principle of non-discrimination during a transitional-period. • trade during period. known and transitional procedures, Alternative "Havana the as the available to the ontion" Geneva for "option," are members requiring operate under this Article. [ Article 23 purposes a also permits a mem¬ to direct its exports in increase its earn¬ way as to ings of hard currencies, provided it does not deviate from the customs union. non¬ free-trade The formation involvine *he areas. a i*rnuo vided for. Article 'deals the International ment» exceptions to Chahter 4r In: add*-, tipn to the standard exceptions tr commercial treaties; a^ r fomporarv exceptions of number there connected with emergency" cor»d;- tions, short¬ such postwar as ages. CHAPTER 5 i Restrictive of action against restrictive busm®®*' nrsctices in wherever the international, they tradr p-e is nrocedure TTO to down investigate oranMces torial laid the as restrictions, the for comr>la;nfc" effects of such price-fixing, terri¬ exclusion, production A discrimination quotas, technological misusb of patents, trade-marks and cppv-icrM®: fbp of the ITO will be limited mainly to instructing the offend¬ powers As publication of the facts regards services of e* or : exhaustible re-* . International Trade Organization < - (Articles 71 to 91) ("Chanter 7 sets opt the structure » and functions of tho ITO (except ■ for settlement of differences) i: Section A—(Articles 71 to 73) Jays down the conditions 6* mem¬ bership and provides for the ad¬ mission of separate customs torriand United Nations. Trust Territories under certain; condi¬ Art)cle lists 69 to those ITO is to comprise ,a' Con¬ Executive an establish; Board the as ITO There is to be Director General and staff. Section details B—(Articles to of 74 . to a ; 77); composition, sessions, officers, powers and procedure, duties in The structure of, such; Commissions may; addition functions: specified other Chapters. ference the; main in the Conference. member will have Conference. one Each vote in the , , Section C—(Articles 78 to 81) details the composition and pow¬ of the Executive Board. The bosrd will consist of 18 members, the to be selected partly as represent¬ ing members and customs unions Article 24. ITO of chief economic to authority Fund are defined in The ITO is obligated accept all statistical and other - will have for only restricted dealing witn com- ; f'sheries, migratory ; CHAPTER 7 The ers such transportation, insurance and j birds and wild animals. the principles of the Char+er. r commodities functions of th^ ITO. oKH ernfpd pre under state-.:- scarce conservation sources tions. (Articles 46 to 54) Members * and-to- agreements eonre^^d with a torie® Busi n ess" Practices with commercial services of banks, the Monetary - dealing only with: fair dis-^ tribution pfev*er?1 ing member to correct the abuse and ; ments between one exoortinf end * one, importing countrv, to agree-I - w;th and to Working arrangements between commod- tradingy^ran^ments.^ to agre&t ' 45 discrimination principle laid down the- ITO the appropriate modities1 dealt of countries is also pro¬ in Article 21. i in .council. of tariff and other commerci3! .restrictions betyeen concerning ber applying quantitative restric¬ tions for balance-of-payments such a Un¬ development of multilateral this,. Chapter. Tbev allow fpr meas¬ otherwise inconsistent with trade. A member may^ to safe¬ its external financial posi¬ tion, restrict the quantity or value itv If;this f°ils, they action allowed in the event will be referred to the ITO. K of concessions under this Chester Ther main exceptions; to :1he resulting ir» a sudden flood of i: Charter directlv relate to pom unstable situation may. .Articles 42 43 44 deal harm the position 6f other mem¬ theterritori a 1: apo! icgt ion '•?<# I bers tied gency an mum arrangement fulfills insure is any economic must It strictions must promote the maxi¬ will, however, be given automatically if the new prefer¬ the payments. re¬ new conditions safeguard the balance of The approval ential restric¬ and two-thirds a excepted. with (Article 15). informed of rangements and by deals til March 1, 1952, ITO approval is not required. But members who discriminate in their import re¬ development construction tions to also are 21 • of the for¬ mer matic schemes Article not con- w*r" the commercial polons U1?der the Charter) ^ and trol recognized that while it is primarily the responsi¬ negotiations bility of each member to maintain through rangement, Reconstruction Reconstruction) protective are (a) contiguous territo¬ ries among the parties to the ar¬ (Articles Eight to Fifteen) Chapter 3 (Economic Develop¬ ment and of such ".as nction same ; particular these CHAPTER 3 Economic Development and as¬ are : Article 6 (Safeguards for Mem¬ bers Subject to External Infla¬ tionary nn bal- ' ance-of-payments difficulties for other members, which would han¬ dicap them in maintaining full employment without resort to of form A Where persistent maladjustment in a member's bal- !: leads in¬ branches of agricul¬ or the re¬ where change agreement with the ITO. price If mem¬ balance of pay¬ unsuccessful, the ITO foreign exchange. The(-will refer such complaints to the ITO may require non-fund mem¬ bers to enter into a special ex¬ 25 practices. j other countries. ance-of payments for ■ measure* j wUhta'its''o£T\ through appropriate to its provide ^cognized and mand ential systems are allowed to of harmful „ pr relieving of a criti¬ port ; formalities, marks of;origin, bf workep. out bv the countries f shortage of food. Restrictions, trade regulations anH trade ter¬ especiallv interested through decovering agricultural or fisheries minology.. ;;This section alsb pro¬ fined procedures. th®3 products needed for the enforce-, vides rules covering .Disputes ari«mg out of control ; anti-dump¬ economies of the mem- merit of internal a greem ents will normally be set- 1 government cen-- ing and countervailing duties. to employment and a steadily growing de- and in ™Sasures> earn each action to opportunities reconstruction * (Maintenance iDiovment» Employment) will win rights undertake industries ture 3 these , other countries. Under to duties, re-; in general invest¬ sistance to economic development all of future The need for governmental Charter, including the ex¬ pansion of international trade, well-being and , of the the the adequate security for existing and future investments. They also agree that it is desirable to avoid discrimination between foreign investments. necessary condition for the real¬ ization of the general objectives for have vestments acceptable to them and the alone but is also national or also Subject reasonable unemployment and underemployment is not of do¬ and existing members Activity concern interference in affairs Members ments. * (Articles Two to Seven) mestic not ownership of that is right to state, in just terms, quirements as to the CHAPTER 2 declares reconstruction. have the right, they foreign invest¬ ment. commodity policy. 2 internal mem¬ importing and exporting rules formalities. Existing prefer¬ and and extent and upon what terms will allow future cial policy, business practices and of and reconstruction. policies, and to determine to what employment, development, commer¬ Chapter economic investment other respecting cus¬ charges on imports duction of tariffs and to the elimi¬ interna¬ for used as a basis for trade in the fields of avoidance with and foreign their (f) To facilitate the solution of problems relating to international Employment and Economic deals members that retard economic progress. economic 12 investment sup¬ to and exports or on transfer of pay¬ ments for imports and exports skills, without prejudice to existing in¬ ternational agreements, to insure reduce productive employ¬ or toms devel¬ reconstruction enterprise, development measures which would disrupt world merce, economic as treatment bers in all matters the It recognizes that public and pri¬ vate internatioal investment car be of great va^ie in Dromrf'->? discriminatory treatment international the development barriers to trade and the elimina¬ tion. of with war-devastated Article and in nation Economic capital, arts or technology plied by other members. ment."'"- the reduction of tariffs and with the well as injuring develop¬ and between Council and promote , ing facilities for development or reconstruction, nor to take action facilities productive are nomic the to access ucts; which equal terms, on Tariffs, Preferences, and Internal Taxation and Regu¬ lation—Under Article 16, mem¬ bers agree to give most-favored- plaints direct negotiations between bers is reserves, ments and Section A. ■ There countries. Members undertake, under Article 11, not to impose unreasonble im¬ pediments in the way of obtain¬ enjoyment the to opment ment. (c) To productivity. cooperation bociai ITO the international flow for productive invest¬ encourage of capital of be etary (Articles 16 to 45) members and countries those of 19) page Thursday, April 1, 1948 facts presented by the fund. This includes matters concerning mon¬ Commercial Policy construct industrial and other eco¬ nomic resources ana to raise omy. particularly Up Charter ' CHRONICLE CHAPTER 4 lull Trade Organization Sets anced and expanding world econ¬ FINANCIAL & partly by a importance, and two-thirds majority ^ •Volume 167 vote. Each will have Number 4686 member of one vote. THE the board ernments If bv ; • only set needed. Commissions. up in " deais with other organization pro¬ vision. Under Article 86 (Rela¬ tion with the United \ should ; ment of will be directly in connection political matter brought Lefore the United Nations in ac¬ with United the provisions Nations Charter storms The great challenge by our Charter 8 •members;' ; If , i ' provides - that the or • Charter is impaired, cernecl • ■ the member first may resort to to work. con- iective con- one sultation or arbitration, keeping informed.! Failing settlement; the dispute may be referred : to the Executive Board .(Article ;94>, with provision for-appeal to vthe Conference (Article 95): The ylTO may, under Article 96, re- was ner to course ter. have procedures other Char- Members •without prejudice international agreement, resort; to unilateral ob-( our and everv i 4 " w'il be be as as it the of of Michigan said in Leg;slature "The true lic must free a freedom of The rules of procedure for set-' of differences will be , 1 established ? : by the ITO. ; CHAPTER 9 General Provisions . , . r ■j • : f , $48 Million in Feb. i r (Articles 98. to 106)' p ; i * Nothing in the Charter will pre-, elude any member from maintaining economic relations with members bers and (Article 98), recognize but memthat arrangements . ■ ; - •; . : . conduct trade with non-members in a way that would injure trade with members should be avoided, The problems arising out of relation* with non-members will be Article 99 lists the general exceptions to the Charter. No member will be required to give in: formation, that it considers No member will be vented action from it taking' considers to traffic in or pre- necessary fissionable arms in materials, in time of • . , war otner emergency in internationai relations, or in carrying out agreements made by or for a mil- ; itary establishment pose of for the pur- meeting essential require- j ments of national security. Noth. ing in the Charter will override t the World War II j ments. ' ; . settle- 100 to 102 deal .with amendments, review of the Charter, withdrawal and termination. The force of 1947. the State of New deposits increased by compared with a in February, as This marks the 67th consecutive in Charter will, enter into (Article 103); 60 days after ratification by a majority of gov-' research; ex- war the decentralization of guard against over-concentra¬ an industry to which contracts. war of Maintaining this this our¬ constant debit ^Security should job. be in¬ democratically tolerance. Must This and Prompt enactment of such a mobilization plan is made ever more pressing in present circum¬ stances. When the last war broke out large proportion of a re¬ our source® were not being fully uti¬ lized. Plants were idle; which sizable cotton and wheat. to start has approximately 51% savings deposits in the sav¬ y gain savings accounts, totaling 20,934, is above the increase of 19,953 during the month a year ago, and the vested vantage is ours, in materials, and access to all the far reaches Of 'in the disciplines the country as a to war power, but prices. All wait us things when the emergency comes. This are mobilize enough of these apply them in*telligently,'- vigorously and promptly to achieve the stability in the world which lasting peace requires. That is the choice before this whether these to resources clamor may see" and and above all in the spirit¬ ual strength of free men. We have yes" today to a ceiling on wages; business !to a ceiling on Us profits, farmers to a ceiling on really necessary and. to country today. Shall we mobilize "wait and-see" habit, so ingrained in our natures, must be broken, if we are to use America's power effectively to now, tor peace? Or, in letting slip precious time, will we leave our¬ selves no alternative but to mobilike for war in the future? v slack today thing.. Union. is It my hope with understanding yet be attained. may the terrible scorching war, the that against the The issue is one of law .against Because of of the last We should in continue Unless There is in materials, fac¬ the any¬ government the powers, shall same confu¬ threats which justify the guarding against possible Only by standing guard do we gain the time to continue seeking peace. measures Financial KANSAS Chronicle) an CITY, MO. —A. H. Bennett. & Co.,< 1004 Baltimore Avenue, has added John L. draft and Blocher to their staff. be prepared, fronts. it other If we are be must ,• on to all moral Without principles. those principles will be left to find their sad expression in power, quate. It would be useless to take the precious time of our young to train them insufficiently. protest by suicide. men I gravely doubt that the six provided in the legislation before this Committee is long J. Thackston in Knoxville months KNOXVILLE, TENN.—John A. is conducting an in¬ vestment business from offices in Thackston the Knoxville Bank Building, un¬ der the firm thing less than a year, I fear, is Thackston & As part of any Universal tary Training should be of name of John Co. A. ? - than nothing. With Flynn & Levitt Rehabilitate Our Youth economic mobili¬ . democratic the was country, for we alone have the strength to give vigor and life to If military training is adopted, the training period must be ade¬ zation plan which can be put into effect without delay. law be per-. need of construc¬ leadership than today. That leadership can come only from Don't Waste Training require the immediate of in tive (Special • The power world in greater failure. worse A, H. Bennett & Co. Adds adoption force without Never while inflationary havoc of enough. The minimum time should sqdden and full rearmament at least equal the minimum re¬ would be ghastly. quired for basic air training. Any¬ The our by law, with all mitted to dictate its slavish terms? even and re-enacting use peoples free to choose how they are to govern themselves? Qr. striving for peacemaking, we support of rule wants to guard dangers of the past the Shall force. and to make certain of the future success freedom in to preserve these critical times. necessary an Soviets everyone in able to act quickly, with full sion :porary restraints and disciplines this burst upon us tories, food, labor, prices, in , whole. possible this slack first and rcurtailed immediately. mobilization for was future, the civilian econ¬ would have to be drastically were fo world, in industrial capacity, technical skills, yes, even in man¬ to say Let and spiritual, peoples of the - free world hold, are vastly superior to those which the totalitarian can command. In every field the ad¬ reason. economy. war count for the State of , It mobilization for up brings total accounts held by sav¬ ings banks in the State to a high of; 7,152,687. The average ac¬ $1,384 is in marked contrast to the $1 326 of a year ago and, at'the same time, is well above the $968 average unemployed; there stocks of near omy no mil¬ *a*e.r cutting mto the nor¬ .-Were in some carryover mal civilian ings banks of the nation. February our by taking now (Soecial the they would have to accept in case of another war. Labor may refuse their military which habit may seek to block an indus¬ restraints even nomic, trial mobilization the r v be said again "all we have to fear i is fear itself." The resources, eco¬ Change Our Habits same ; there is no reason for panic fright. In fact, it might come, or it for that resistance of greater . , ! someone's oppose with .' . While the time for decision has Resources Enactment of Universal Military Training would be a departure from established American habits. Many and ' Use Our Strength '■ . from re¬ might be entrusted to the it Coming together. different segments of society, they will learn to understand one another, to treat one another moire credit and commitments and our " - different parts of the country and attempt. ventory, •; Democracy Encouraged live to guided by the nots^wrecking mental These young people will learn basis of settlement with the Soviet were :, activity. , selves, for that would defeat all we as . ; inflation. alized savings banks experienced a net gain in savings, bringing total sav¬ ings deposits in the State to $9,904,010,410. -The State of New account be must we do • new same of should they become necessary. In whatever we under¬ take I Military drilling in a Through the interwar years I prevent war. repeatedly urged that such a pro¬ 'Th? greatest single necessity in V Law Against Force ^ be placed on the statute the world today is for America to books to be ready to function in For so-called moral or "paci¬ make up its mind where it stands, case war came. It was not done. fist" reasons, some would deny so that the other free peoples on The result was a fumbling and > 'earth know where to rally. Un¬ the use of power, as being evil faltering in the mobilization which less we come to decision among .in itself. That is to invite war, unnecessarily lengthened the re¬ ourselves, we invite a scattering even as it encouraged Hitler's cent; war, cost many lives, many of our friends and another -war. war. Others will protest that the extra billions. Much of our cur¬ "measures I have proposed depart rent inflationary troubles can be We Still Seek Peace from "free enterprise" and are traced to the piecemeal price con¬ : methods of the police state. Such. Knowing where we stand, I be¬ trol law which was adopted when lieve, would make possible re¬ people value freedom low indeed the war began, a law which legr to be unwilling to accept the tern-. newed endeavors to find some have The re¬ deeply We Have No Slack were of all men on draft; the organization pools of, labpr of all kinds and lions York in other promptly, necessity obsolete. Universal physical training, in disci¬ pline, in self-control and in other traits, so valuable in every field sources, so that corrective meas¬ ures and controls can be applied . month and or uniform $46,483,691 >y:>-\ .Articles - peace of con- whatever for Net $48,385,342 trary to its essential security interests. opened, it was re¬ the 131 mutual sav¬ banks gain or - ings with non-members to obtain preferential .trade treatment or to relation - ported to up plan. Different group? may refuse to agree now a liability; accounts York.; .studied further by the ITO. i .-Savings in saving banks during February, 1948 exceeded gains of a year ago both in dollar deposits non- supply; add become soon envision and gram Savings Banks Report Deposits Gain of : be lacking or work-or-fight may useless • - , of any kind contrary to the Charter provisions. tlement short our institutions, but also in our ability courage to defend and pro¬ measures ' which in the and tect them." of is Training as mere for manual of arms. I see it responsibility with could be a strategic up-to-date surveys of underground industrial facilities* 1863, Reonb- consist, not only and mobilization will someone see wartime tion mes¬ in glory of the beneficence system cover—a to materials money, National should them, unless State prepared to under¬ are .It has been said that it a constant inventory; these programs and all Board, mobilization a Iplanfi? in stand-ft# readiness As the wartime Gov¬ what outlined what such Panded intelligence and informa- 85 years ago: over of •*\ ^'.Professions and sciences; i our like with charged sources, ?t^P.^vMs;;,.retention .Of security national preservation the to sage our concurrence intensified scientific mighty force for the a institutions. economic nation our to rehabilitate authorities not should At different times, before other committees of Congress. I have in v felt, just I sheet of terials goes dunng the war, in everv cor¬ of the earth, and its strength and to1 not reach each of American produc¬ nower ernor undertake, to-any other of priorities, allocations, and ration¬ ing powers; a ceiling over all prices, wages and rents, to pre¬ vent inflation; taxation to take the profit out of war; the accu¬ mulation of strategic raw ma¬ to work. few, if any, substitutes protection of also * serv¬ take the task. strains upon our economy. Congress. plan: , re¬ envisaged in the gnv than those to will as work. then will of ITO activities, In dealing with complaints and settlement of differences, mem¬ . a industrial inclined to want _ The tion scope not • sleeves and l'or hard /legal quest'ons arising within the undertake to economy.. takes off his coat; rolls are 1 bers We us There quest from the International Court of Justice advisory opinions on , . program should be en¬ acted into law now, with the un¬ our seem onlv of his "o the ITO T Such overcome "s that few being nullified ■ mobilization lull free economy; are the foundation of America's strength. The trouble right now benefit accruing to it directly indirectly, implicitly or explic¬ itly, under any of the provisions S'- better to take them into the ice and, as part of their training, potential workers from to train men in handling weap¬ productive labors. Increased ar¬ mament needs will add to the ons, since the particular weapons commitments whole. one Supporting production — many of the confronting us today* shall tribution. under any inte¬ Get Ready to Mobilize work, production and dis¬ considers ; cr '.of grated into ■V,-. increased problems* to their communities. It would be thousand of elements President with the we by simply turning these youths, back maintaining need today is for in¬ production, individually collectively. If we keep our straight ahead on our ob— past should not be perpetuated by varied its of military trainingeven without military training— dis¬ must be a ready-to-go plan for the ; /■. can the impact must watch must be a great ■ - member any procedures free a An can The neglects of the be corrected. without entered upon. become creased iective complaints under has war and eyes (Articles 92 to 97) for^ dealing' with we All derstanding that it would come into effect by proclamation of the The , strength even partial mobilization being we the today, all disaster. But own war. our capacity CHAPTER 8 r. By war, of is it adequate defense balanced defense, with become the in¬ can our own oroduce / Settlement of Differences r to_al America's strength is bound up witfc its tremendous Director General the legal status of V augmented. tempests. today is to- sipate fear. the and his staff, the ITO, and contributions. . we strument of , of fear wn .with relations with other organizations, the international respones i and "ace the future unafraid. subject ITO Charter provisions. Other articles in Section F deal sihilit rely on any single measure of defense, on the atom bomb, on an air force, no matter how greatly Let us not forget that pilots gain their reputa¬ fall within the scope of the United will not be We would deceive ourselves war. to Progress. skillful of from to deal Factor as As The demands upon our economy swell rapidly—aid to tions. Europe, to Turkey, 0 Greece, to It would be a tragic illusion, of China, to the occupation areas. to Selective Service course, to believe that military Returning would withdraw several hundred training, by itself, can prevent application, the authenticity of texts. tion I 106 potential aggressor into attacking this country or in¬ to overrunning other peaceful na¬ encourage any territorial will .Nations and . 105 and ical and mental defects which Constant Inventory Needed (Continued from page 2) Never again do we dare permit our own lack of preparedness to (Continued from page 16) a cordance the 104, More Production /it member with Articles Railroads on ters. : ratification the not attempt to take action involve passing judg,essentially political mat¬ Any measure taken by a ' . the governments If annexes and 'that would • force, 20 with Nations) members recognize that the ITO • signing the Final Act. 1949, the Charter is Charter is not in Section E— (Articles 84 and 85) force by October, 1949, the gov¬ lays down regulations covering- ernments that have ratified it will the Director General and the staff. discuss on what terms they desire Section F— (Articles 86 to 91) to bring the Charter into force. : (1451> ' 33 CHRONICLE April, Section D—(Articles 82 and 83) gives the Conference powers to not & FINANCIAL COMMERCIAL some program Mili¬ to The Financial Chronicle) CALIF.—Aus-4 there ,tin Gatlin has become connected compulsory means rehabilitating youths with phys¬ LOS ANGELES, I I with Flynn & Levitt, 411 West Seventh Street. 36 THE COMMERCIAL (1452) The the (Continued from page 19) United and Korea. This a The budget for 1949 illustrates this point. The effects of war and our efforts to prevent a future war account for budget. Only 79% of' the will 1939 were ; f in Only 29% of items, while 71% . cost of aid we should ac-; ; ;'»•, vVi • with future a reference is war to the than It destruction, distress and nomic dislocation the world. the in of mainly alternatives invest for to not The world situation is dynamic. While /we have tremendous power to influence the course easy. of - relief to as First: We na¬ future our Second: < ' We could relief namic ; . ' situation the best stop relief Europe somehow regain economic and po¬ litical stability without our aid. /. We could take the op¬ future must we sight and statesmanship vide. >' . In can pro¬ the face Of these conditions —which are not matters of politi¬ cal opinion, but the facts of our i present look world—it backward is fatuous find to to base a for governmental operations. The budget of 10 years ago cannot be¬ the budget for today. < > come Prevision for Substantial Public Debt Payment • . . *.*. , \ - ) The 1949 budget is the third consecutive balanced budget. If , , : will provide funds for ; tial payment For . our on our substannational debt. purposes tonight, how- a ever, it is important to go further than the common meaning of a } familiar alternatives. at with the made among was As de¬ as 1 "balanced" budget in which dollar income outgo. The is compared /' ;7 budget for —be it any general store a tion—is with /•/'•' ., dollar .7.77 7.7/; enterprise or corpora¬ of expressing, in terms of dollars and cents, the Toperating plans of that enterprise. You recognize that the real sig¬ nificance of any budget is in terms of balanced plans—the rel¬ ative emphasis to be placed, for / example, on production' and research, sales and advertising, plant expansion, and many other faca way a *- * * ; tors. This balance must be struck "in terms of the policies and goals 1 of the enterprise—in terms of the • economic * market conditions easy are essential the Western States could the on these a in had result of international uncertain¬ ties and to be revised ^continued Instead was of a as drastic effect a and availability of materials. 'Thus, procure¬ has been curtailed given future-years# for 1949 high priority 7*44 ; i a - fecting national defense empha¬ of ment we develop¬ National our believe now long-term Defense But its scope and program. oper¬ saving, ^the ating, details must be reconsidered faced with depart¬ when firm decisions 7have been 7 1949.' even . and po¬ of leaders in ment as and the to our program for international recovery. combined judgment the out of govern¬ value of our , European recovery the essen^tial budgetary policy involved two in his Budget mes¬ sage when he said: '"The budgetary implications of failure" to achieve recovery in ; elements. First, what could this Europe and other * crucial areas afford; second, what were deserve additional emphasis. Europe's needs?. These budgetary Should failure of these programs countrv decisions were worked out in what was result in further expansion of to¬ talitarian rule, we should1 have to truly magnificent coopera¬ a tive effort. •Wherever possible, the decision made to postpone expansion restrict expenditures. The was /The President clearly stated this relationship aid to reexamine security * position Probably no other/program in and take-whatever steps'might be our Nation's, history, either do¬ necessary under^ the ^circum¬ mestic or international, has been stances. The costs of added mil¬ subjected to such searching anal¬ itary strength, if Europe should ysis in its formulation as the Eu¬ succumb to totalitarian rule, ropean Recovery Program. This would far exceed the costs of the our ; , effort included the work Of busi¬ program of economic aid now be¬ leaders, legislators, labor fore Congress." "' v; r 7 7 representatives and government The decision : was 7 reached to ness ■ , and President keep had a firm desire tc governmental expenditures in 1949—a year of strong infla¬ tionary pressures—at the lowest point consistent with required and economical tion. > standards The necessity itary of opera¬ for heavy mil¬ » . , 7 years ago. history, development and material Let ■ our give two brief illustra¬ me tions:^ of resources. -77,7'!-• the budget for public works. enter we fiscal 1949 . As construction in - us/Our veterans will . personnel./ I am work of the Harriman balance is not merely a relationship of receipts to expenditures. In the 1949 budget the significant balance lies in properly relating three broad tional responsibility, and' areas: / , The.first national domestic pro¬ our grams. interna¬ our . our ,. area—our international responsibility will cost slightly than $7 billion in 1949. This is about 18% of the budget. The >v>. more great bulk of this amount is for The pean expenditures of the Euro¬ budget^—about 28% of the totalRecovery Program, as sub¬ to provide for the minimum re¬ by the President,.are; esti¬ quirements of the National De¬ mitted mated year at $4 billion 1949 and Atfer that, $5 they in the billion in should and cease after 1952, liquidation expenses. How can fense program. ? I should like to 1950. decline except 7 evaluate we fiscal ticularly for 1949 comment ' on tions for future years. As progress toward of the armed forces is recovery? more is only; 2% 'of our estimated national income of $210 billion/*It'is ;V i'O u,4i slightly U/U 7.< • will . of starts to high unification achieved, a possible.- Secretary Forthe » National Security a minimum because construction labor costs, 77 In from our force—atomic energy. new Truly, it has been 100 .years since 1939. >7 7: hold, also, in our national strength and the firmness of our will the > priceless /ingredients;/ We from which can come a world that is safe for our children and children/. 7 their v/;/7/7/;7, If there is .one thought I would 7: like to leave with you tonight, it is this: the budget of the United should States whole. It is considered: be as lated to the effects of 771 resolve • / ;• to war prevent and our / future 7 a V':V;77/77;7 ?-,::/"■ 77;<! '7'■ wish that I could say that the ; problems we faced in framing the 1949 budget will not have to be / in 1950 yond.r.N'o facts statement. But the examination I make one world be of involved. factors the years be-7 , that thing cer¬ position is constant; the; issues and 77 ; / have spoken tonight/ gentle-/ ment, in a spirit which(I»know /; governs '• your consideration/of public affairs—a spirit of reajl-*- in It 7 determined that $2.6 bil¬ lion would be required in 1949 to - was maintain ects the of already less would minimum econom¬ construction under mean on way. waste proj¬ To and do inef¬ the have future a firm this country)/ I that we forging, through democratic esses, a balanced operating which in truly reflects our are proc¬ plan position the world today. I have equal ing vestment foundation for public works. of faith ficiency and would further post¬ pone the benefits from • our in¬ in : (re¬ ism, of seriousness, of great faith , . in possession of the honestly can /. and man anti-inflationary measure. 7 a reflection, in dol-7 lar terms, of our national policy—7 a balance carefully and painstak7 ingly struck in the light of the, world situation today. More than;, three-fourths of this budget is re¬ a and material shortages—and as an ical rate efficient' utilization of funds be more than restal,y 1 /' J V, i\~ '..'.ai.j-i: par¬ some investment of $4 billion in world It ; aspects of the program because of their implica¬ : this T new 7 pop- 18.million; our/ $47 to $255 hands, for a short/;" time, rests the grave duty to con¬ vert to peacetime benefits that tremendous and little-understood 77 debt billion. must . . been than more national there ; un-7; ? have 1939 ulation has increased from 4 mil¬ faced ;7;'7 Nearly $3. billion is included in K^>77-.777 Responsibilities ;: of dreamed war. and 77,■ . . limit expenditures for the conser¬ human : . nation, too, which has 7 > played a major ;role in waging and ^inping. the greatest war in 7 ; firm vation has income 7 This is a that enterprise J • from $70 billion to $210 billion. Our employment is the highest in history; our industrial production twice what it was 10 77 will be under way on $12 billion the national — referring to the hold defense expenditures to their worth of, projects. ? Congress has Committee, 1948 level in view of our vigorous authorized an additional $9 bil? Three Broad Areas the Herter. Committee, the Krug program to achieve more stable lion in projects on which work Likewise, in the case of the Committee, the - Council of Eco¬ world economic conditions. Eleven has jnot yet started. For thrc? Federal Government, 7 budgetary nomic Advisers, and many others. billion dollars is included in the years, budgetary policy has held defense . national Our 1939. tripled our which of . tion has increased 14 million since and international expend-* reinforced the decision to itures , . decisions about operate. the on policy which are reflected in the budget for 1949.7 I should like to emphasize that the factors which lion to what „ litical'stability# Given damental be- the . ; deter¬ was forward peacetime development of atomic energy. There are provisions in with They would have led to The third broad area in the 1949 greater costs in future years. budget, our." domestic program, In addition, it was necessary to had to be weighed against inter¬ will yield a very great return to consider the relationship between national responsibilities and - na« this Nation by furthering world¬ our national defense requirements tional defense requirements. \ ; and hand, it move line , recovery to will proposals if reached opJhese matters/^/>' which, adopted, would have added more than $2 billion to defense costs in Our Domestic Program. •• economic On the other mined forced upon mental of taking. acalculated risk. are r*assuming/, that ." dollars wide over sizes that 1949 is a/year of transi¬ tion. The actions taken are in a occupation have 77Each of these considerations af¬ This early estimate of countries. recovery price but must be es¬ possible reduction of at least demand and the to European Heavy, stockpiling by the United ment expenditures for 1949. palliative.'*m;,are, billion dollars in expend¬ the next few years. a tain under ; and guide posts to cost of maintain¬ no billion dollars in national defensa „ , < in¬ nearly ex¬ wartime weap¬ terms of world-wide war to the size of the defense pro¬ needs. We These now are number of determinations a President course, are resulting tablished certain preliminary pol¬ , Based on these facts our first studies last spring indicated rather than we least itures 'occupation of former emerged from the should provide a making this choice wartime stocks. hausted and many ines¬ ,7:/7/ that "any assistance that this gov¬ ernment may render in the future mere direct and icies. at. the tary Marshall's statement at Cam¬ bridge last - June when he said a . responsibility were made continued and costly relief. 7 ? • This was the essence of Secre¬ 7 In* a these gram, and, the President bad . its ventories determine; the ing an adequate military strength. Yet the Congress in; 1948 had establishment, of Europe as a go¬ ing concern; without the rieed for* cure is and areas. ons we there The President. chose reconstruction; item our make. its essential pattern and balance spent now to promote the recovery retained by the Congress, Jit of free peoples in Western Europe ;are ^ are cision that to ', aim ■' : You follow that wisdom, fore- course is • ' portunity to invest in the ability events, we cannot always predict of 270 million productive people shifts and changes which /have to help themselves recover /equally great power to influence through a planned and coopera¬ us. Increasingly, in world affairs, tive effort. \7777':'"''/777;,' /; inaction is as far reaching a pol¬ Cost of European Reconstruction icy decision as action. In this dy¬ , and force . would Finally: armed dent had to deny requests for new starts which would have added at . needs, could continue and gamble that is answer the Of ne¬ have been funds indefinitely. and national peace to became clear. course security? - these turned ! It This budget raises the basic question of today—how much shall The cessity, it Europe. goals. Against tins background, three recognizes the will recover and to cooperate which still exists among free peoples. : we of Western modern a-more balanced • obsolete. As they ; are replaced, the cost for national de¬ influenced these decisions may be 7" so altered in the coming year that •' fense will rise.'; •• /•./•;" 7- ;7;/;-7.; enemy territory. TWe must assure The size of our national defense they cannot hold for 1950. How¬ conditions in these occupied areas, ever, these decisions represent the 7 particularly in Germany, which budget will be substantially * af¬ careful and considered judgment will permit a minimum of occupa¬ fected by the adoption of univer¬ of the President, Secretary Mar¬ tion forces and guarantee the ef¬ sal training. Although this pro¬ shall, Secretary Forrestal and fectiveness of European recovery. gram would eventually cost about other Cabinet officers in the light For the past few moments we $2 billion annually, this will be of facts now available. They will have been examining the charac¬ partially offset by reductions in move us farther ahead toward the ter and cost of our $7 billion in¬ the size of the standing forces,;? ;. Another important segment of solution of tomorrow's problems ternational program. These inter¬ than any other decisions we could the National Defense national program is expenditures must be make at this time. 7.7.; ;7;7:-^7 • weighted and balanced with the the stockpiling of strategic mate¬ The magnitude of our responsi¬ other two large areas in the. 1949 rials, such as rubber, tin, zinc and bilities and the deepening crisis budget — namely national defense chromium. The Congress, in 1946, author¬ throughout the world require that and our domestic responsibilities. we ized a five-year think and act with maturity stockpiling pro¬ National Defense gram with requirements now in¬ and statesmanship. Let us next consider national volving over $3 billion. We had to This; is a growing, expanding defense. The decision on the size recognize, however, that many nation now coming into the full¬ of this program was difficult to stockpile materials are scarce in ness of its promise. Our popula- ; from ery to . two-thirds those capable rather than to longer-term recov¬ eco¬ rest This ! $15 billion by through in¬ organizations, more tions of better on available made toward ress to prevent disease in unrest than more ternational recognizes our leadership in the family of nations. It recognizes the have we an the missions and programs of the various serv¬ ices. • "7 • ' ■ "X / Even in the 1949 Budget, prog¬ resources. necessary Since the surrender of the Axis abroad framed world. the world •, in , the exjend.7 engaged of ■ direct assistance and be traced directly to the ■effects of war and our efforts to can pi-event ; powers ,.A-budget in which 79% of the total of our entire now review about 2% of or works expenditures forv, new starts on di¬ rect Federal public works. In holding to this decision the Presi¬ 1949 will be for be—to complicate its appraisal by relief.. programs the worsening of situation required Only $61 million all public of military aircraft and the size the 1949 budget for increased ex¬ our civilian penditures for the development of reserve presenting it in easy stages or us¬ of com¬ ing complicated ! fiscal arrange-' ponents.-;:- V 7:-.;::a7«7/ new laboratories- and production / ments. /./ :f 7f / On the other hand, ' Substan¬ plants7&nd to step up the training if!" tially higher expenditures will be of vitally ..needed scientists and 7 7:7/ Cost of Occupied Areas needed in future years to main¬ technicians: ; This program will The other major! international tain our current military strength. involve expenditures of nearly "yexpenditure anticipated for 1949 For some time the military estab¬ $700 million in 19497 .'7 7 is $1.25 billion for government ot ]/ 7 I have described to you the fun¬ lishment has been living largely "Occupied areas and for the relief * apparent that position and of the character and was devoted to other government •tivities. of re-evaluation the budget for that year went for war-related • was be however, European ; the proportions reversed. 1949 reduced at least $2.5 billion. While the budget was being prepared, de¬ voted to all other activities of the government. In contrast, the are a emphasized* Through economies honestly presented to the coun¬ and reductions elsewhere in the try in its full scale. There has defense program, it has been pos¬ been no attempt—nor will there sible to increase our procurement the completed in the fiscal year 1948. As a result, it appeared that 1949 expenditures might be total be spring it would * 21% preparing number- . signifi¬ faced Board and the Joint Chiefs Staff intensive Our aid to European recovery is bold undertaking. It has been is the this question posed? was Last our on which 1 How - the words of Henry L. Stimson. . in of counting the loss of life, the suf¬ fering and the tremendous drain ■ Thursday, April 1, 1948 Council, the National Security Re¬ sources 1% of $340 billion, the money cost to this Nation of the last war, not Japan to one of the most budget. world, it is framed perfect futility." These are with ■* ■ questions President ref¬ Germany, figure of $7 billion answer cant to the erence notably areas, truly great statesman re¬ cently said: "No private program and no public policy, in any sector of our national life, can now es¬ cape from the compelling fact a that if it is not framed with European Recovery Program and our commitments for govern* ment and relief in the occupied States in the world of tomorrow. As CHRONICLE Budget of the United States world of today but to the , FINANCIAL courage out and our this faith plan a that vision in will our carry¬ lay > better woild. • ,;u the yolume lgl THE COMMERCIAL Number 4686 FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE (1483) 37 \ the cost of agricultural are Food Supply and Food ucts such (Continued from page 21) that would equal 90% of parity—the parity price for any commodity is one lion in 1946. period, by the same percentage as the prices of things farmers buy. As the price of these items ad¬ vanced, so did the parity price. In very tion costs incurred at the several of competition for the housewife's stages of the approach food dollar. It also makes for the of the raw products to the retail lowest possible distribution cost commodity that has increased since the different store base many of foods—which began so many with the art of canning —is heightened now by the many improvements in other methods of food preparation and delivery, years ■ T Our food habits and the amount also are being influenced^ by our rapidly ; growing knowledge of nutrition. As we come to learn with more con-, fidence what constitutes a suitable shall eat different foods wc and probably more food m total. Well-informed nutritionists do not with those who claim we agree the best-fed nation are on.earth. " Nor do they even agree well-fed. Too large a are of age our /: , Pont¬ But ■; ; the on Jj strongest in¬ perhaps the . food supply will our American the of ability buy food. With m. creased employment (from 29 m lion employees in people to establishments in uon-agrieult"^ the 193o-oy pe riod to about 44 million recently) and with greatly increased spend¬ able' income prewar our (fro™. $175 to $66,(?n 10471) d neople eat more food and b food It is t sometimes said * ter . only so that the stomach will hold much and won't take more, yet in country we've witnessed a 17% increase in per capita con.'stimption of food since prewar, and who is to say it has its limit? ' Total consumption, has increased even more, since there has been a 9% increase in populathis r^c^e SonTn this Moreover as period spendable income declines food item last the farm to suffer ^s m-sales chances take In vote. all with consumer the pur¬ processed form. There or are profits also at each of these stages. Let us consider three these of cost elements and very briefly comment on some others. Our food supply starts with the Time grower. been and claimed share in the small. eralize again it has grower's price is too that the I presume it is safe to gen¬ and say "that the law of and, demand ultimately will determine that share., If we find ourselves with a surplus of be can where good seen commodities in this our the government, to make its guarantees, had to on step in and buy. for in the bushels It had plus level. /; * './1. ,'/ There are forces at work that tend to Offset that relationship. so. millions of lost. A few were The support program is oneThe exported and some went to make high-cost manufactured products organization such as creased was lost About $80,000,000 this operation. As on consumers we lower prices seemed to were • that denied the is the commodities a The coopera¬ efficiency of the third. But Yovi tobacco and cotton. may re call that following the first World time when War there % came prices of ties commodi¬ agricultural fell to many a such low levels that farmers were rumed. .With oversupply came de¬ am enormous pressed prices. There was plenty people couldn t get it. of food but Some of the New Deal with- which we are reached back into that their In of P^J^FJ farniliai period for supporting arguments. an effort to avoid repetition this experience of the zus, legislation was passed early in the recent war to establish guar¬ partment levels they become important the unit in price. Food I make observation one to as enters into the that out of the prewar. / A Downward Price Tendency . While large sections of cannery are unionized, other large If agriculture, in the interest of economy, is entitled to some protection, then at least let a program be set up that will not result in creating disastrous oversupply with the penalties that labor over-all to be associated sections per are not. Since with had. as we in the 1935-39 There those who are that labor rates will That be may highlv spendable income —they are not too high; in fact are low. Whereas a given quantity of food products a profit, 'con¬ sidering the hazards and risks; in¬ volved. ;;/. /-•'"/ no prophet, and I lay claim than all the will and your be¬ prices may go up or down may be completely upset. Only a few months ago sugar was lief a that food item and figured scarce inently in prom-f a black market. Today it seems to be in surplus. Certainly the market is weak. A sudden change in weather can upset our best-laid plans. But trying to look at the guiding factors, we have* guess that with a great potential to produce food and with a World demand for it that is bound to decline, it would as if we're in for gradually: declining prices. Some prices will decline too far; in fact, they air ready have. Processed./ citrus products are being sold below cost today. On the other hand, some seem food commodities are selling at very high prices, partly due their seasonal character and to partly due to shortersupply; meat for example. But the board the across housewife who is willing to shop carefully and selectively may look for lower food bill to feed her" a family. 1 . / ';/ ./ // / / /"- " (Continued from page 5) •/ Surely it is not overly-skeptical to harbor the suspicion that three individuals appointed by the President and operating in his Executive Office, will not at all times confine them¬ selves to the judicial view of events, trends and policies. And is of regards as workers claim decline. never true skilled branches in some this industry. But certainly some of the unskilled and seasonal labor, so much of which we employ, will be working dollar at retail period, in January, this not particularly true when related to appraising the activities "the boss" and his Administration, cf which they are members? At the very best, it is surely difficult for anyone to realize where of the political factor begins and ends. < .: ■ ..../.V- If the Council's shortcomings are the result of the statute, there is no reason why the law cannot be altered. But there appears to be nothing in the law which compels it tq make pronouncements for public consumption. For the President to. have economic experts quietly and directly working for him as do his press, diplomatic, military, and other technical advisers, is unobjectionable. But'the Council's provision of a device for giving a coloration of economic science to his controversial political policies is quite a different thing. comes out as a protagonist reports, or when it is directly quoted on the pricing activities of the steel companies. No group of this kind can Simula taneously serve two masters—the Chief Executive and the public. For the latter it puts on a show of savants creating an intellectual atmosphere and certification of independent expertism to rationalize This is in its typically done when the Council annual own efficiency the President's politica-f strategy. Witness as a typical result the a period recent $40-per-vote income tax bonus plan whose authorship was have been in, and are openly hung on the Council. / in, it probably declines at a more rapid rate in the food industry. Prewar, the labor rates were rela¬ prices do seem high and to many "too high." But in relation to our: wherewithal to buy—our consumers industry, he is struck with am you Apply man-hour declines in such food cost in respect to profit. studies profit figures the modest net rate of I reasoning better no , decline possible cost to the taxpayer with a possible lessened demand we can look for lower prices for cannot: be justified. When in the and if supply catches up with de¬ agricultural commodities ' v,:/-.. mand and the government finds near future. ^ itself a'really big buyer, it would Labdi", of course,*playsTan im¬ seem as if the program simply portant part in the overall food cannot stand the pressure of crit¬ industry. Its chief characteristic icism that will be leveled against is that much of it is seasonal and it. But by that time the damage much of it is unskilled. We em¬ will have been done. \;r//" ploy a high percentage of women. bound in this is man's vidual subjective bias. a are one ahead next This It is impossible to project with here, thinking of food supply, it certainty what is going to happen is interesting to note how this to grower prices, but it seems sate support program tends to encour¬ to believe that they are going to tend definitely downward. With age the growing of commodities our great capacity to produce and w.ay in excess of our needs—and our as consumer's dollar compares* with 40 cents government is forced to step in and buy. For our purpose at But secure the the into to what may, prices in the as reports 55 cents went to the farmer. the that quite months look to food I'll hazard the Industry Highly Competitive would to S. De¬ Agriculture of ' at lower rates as we move into a . ... f;;// /•'.,} </f{ // Pamphleteering . - i The Council's annual report recently issued to the public can by no stretch of.the imagination be called an objective analytical / of conditions—but rather pamphleteering a vague appraisal philosophic essay,' Whether wittingly or unwittingly ifr is a paper arguing for its own basic : economic theories as ' have some of its members from the platform and over the air waves. In an objective discussion of — wages and prices, the possibility that a rising wage scale could be rising prices should at least have been mentioned, even if completely disagreed with. But the Report com¬ pletely glosses over this. Likewise regarding the critical problem Of inflation, the many alternative ways of dealing with it should, one of the effective causes of have been explored concretely and in detail. • While this'writer; as stated above/considers the merit of the ideological argument irrevelant to this article, he would point out the large content of subjective bias,contained in the Report's many, inferences and assumptions—as in its continuing attack on the principles of the free competitive system, and in its attempting to make industry the scapegoat for future depressions. It repeatedly asks* question whether we can continue to trust our eco¬ affairs to private enterprise; to which query, besides an. implied negative, it fails to give both sides of the controversial the rhetorical nomic Our government economists do, that "the accumulations of capital answer. observe fact however, over find the to have in space years involved deprivations of the rank-and-file worker"; and that increased production must go increasingly to filling in the consump¬ tion of the erstwhile poor. V / , .... t • 1 according to the Bureau of Labor Public Entitled to Factual Reporting more normal period. Moreover, Statistics, that same food would with a nearly adequate labor sup¬ ; / If the Council insists on reporting to the cost $2.10. public, they should us© But that 1935-39 dol¬ ply and competition for jobs, we documents of an entirely different kind. All generally controversial lar, as disposable income, has be¬ can look for greater productivity. come $2.75. The price of food has conclusions should be eliminated, and instead there should merely Finally, the great strides in the not climbed as high as the ability development of labor-saving ma¬ be an historical factual accounting of events, and even trends, with, to buy it. Today we can buy the chinery in this industry will have non-controversial statistical data. All else should be same amount of food we bought in exclusively de¬ an important bearing on the unit voted to the 1935-39 and have more money left personal education of the President, in lieu of the labor cost. other things; or to put into savings, than we could then. Thus it can hardly be said that food to buy prices are too high. There is conclude labor It would seem safe to that rates an may adjustment in be forthcoming in the not distant future. , • nothing • ' ; ' If there is one about mysterious characterizes the thing that chiefly the distribution , electorate. '// ':■ - ■'* ... :J Quite apart from the incidence of politics, the elevation of th© Council to administrative government rank gives its findings author¬ ! of price of food/ In the the various foods that the con¬ anteed grower prices on many last analysis, the price that the ul¬ sumer buys, it is the great number aericultural commodities. ^url timate consumer will pay is re¬ o£ people engaged in it. There lated to cost. Many elements get are more than 600,000 retail food Government told farmers 1 could count on a price for a parrJ into that price. Chief among these-! stores; if restaurants and : other all happen recent * ?Saf find rates ability no grower what has ?ion briefly about the govern¬ ment program which sets support prices under some basic agnculcommodities, together with recent their way into price and when it is remembered that they apply at general in¬ At the end of 1947 the U. This program threatens to get us into much more serious difficul¬ and grower Jhatm to speak advances the to future. My guess experience shown in this respect? supply justify. As tax payers paid for the loss;;/,//!./.-- / ties. ; Other of tives is another. starch. - In that connection I should like Of course, in freight * potatoes, ^were at the grower outlet no is sufficiently great /hich / high. are pro¬ face of a declining demand, experi¬ prices of these commodities will through having developed out¬ ence with potatoes last year; The decline—and at a more rapid rate standing character over the years, market price declined to a point than consumer prices, if the sur¬ have seemed to make themselves gram volume. So long it. My purpose in mentioning the employed there will be great prfcs, program is not to criticize it so tively low in important sections of sure on our food supply. ; this' industry./ With the acute /;/// muc& as to indicate how it can We may thus concmde that sub- and does affect our normal sup- shortage of labor during the war it was natural that rates would iprt to the hazards of weather y of some basic foods. advance rapidly;' Every type of we in the food business Food Prices person, including labor from Mex¬ must always recognize—we have ico, the West Indies and Canada, the capacity to We come now to the most com¬ t and Italian and German prisoners level of supply, and mon thing said today about food— any of war, was employed to meet strong influences are at work en namely that its price is too high. seasonal needs/ Obviously (th£se couraging that supply. It ts. my Certainly every price advance is people were unskilled, and belief that this country need have sjfice featured in the papers, and cer¬ they were paid the going rates, no fear of running short of fo°dtainly the labor organizations unit labor costs were high. ^Actu¬ X cannot conceive that we wil make the most of high food prices ally the wage rates'in this indus¬ ever require a ration programl in in' their bargaining for higher try are Vh times prewar. time of peace. We might bette^ wages. To the comment that con¬ adopt a program aimed at Pleven (Consequently, labor costs have sumer prices of food are too high of our enormous, waste of contributed in an important way I would ask: "too high in relation food. to such, price increases as we have / to what?", Compared with prewar, Government Food Program The net profit great grocery chains ranges very close to lV/%. It is difficult to maintain that distribution costs our significant the profit .that price of food. The industry is so competitive at all the levels that profits cannot become the excessive. Some companies, supply the at the retail level. of consumer extended as is. agricultural The possible effect of . in unprocessed probability the present act will be we ; Ability to Buy Food . fluence be that we population is still un dernourished. ; and ago af food we consume diet ject the them taxes and " our where chases years the packag¬ transporting of fresh fruits and vegetables has acceler¬ ated radically. We can now get [The legislation provided that our vegetables, and even dried these price guarantees should re¬ main in effect for two years fol¬ soup, in a cellophane bag. We can have a complete variety lowing the war. They expire on Dec. 31, 1948, unless extended. It of fruits and vegetables on our is hardly to be expected that Gon~ tables the year 'round. This trend gress, in a presidential election towards disappearance of the sea¬ year, will want to tackle this sub¬ sonal characteristic of recent ing * and included the food outlets etables, meat and fish, and the would approximate one million. labor, transportation and distribu¬ This makes for the keenest kind velopea into enormous volume. The pack of frozen friiitk and vegetables increased from 180 million pounds in 1937 to 975 mil¬ ticular prod¬ eating places are grain, fruits and veg¬ number of retail as ity and prestige which economist, or are not warranted in the gle for scientific exactitude. , ;, In .* any / case of any existing* by the profession itself in its present status in its strug¬ . ■ event, the. ganda mechanism to ; ? ; ! * .; : ' •:/<•• / - implications of this unique advisory-propa¬ our democratic process should be fully explored." 38 (1454) THE COMMERCIAL i • (or rather if the people buy and sell realize it) a turnaround occur Markets CHRONICLE Thursday,-April 1, 1948 izes it who Tomorrow's FINANCIAL & with ' ; , in the trend Trends Affecting Real Esiate Values can (Continued from page 8) equal rapidity. '/•'#//* /V'/'/i. phasize the deposit and loan trend of the state and national banks. / the thirties when the pattern of long-term instalment loans almost Title VI FHA loans had been fixed completely replaced at 4% the Likewise practice the rate of interest' on by amendment to the Na~ At the end of 1945, real estate [ of making one year flat loans. It j tional Housing Act under date of Oddly enough, as mentioned loans stood at $4,670,000,000, under the former .practice I May 2, 1946. Bankers as well as or | was in the opening paragraph, 16% of ordinary time deposits of that second mortgage financing so legislators, and the public at large, often proved costly and even dis- did everything possible to make signs pointing to both possi¬ somewhat over $29 billion. Using astrous to borrowers. this While many bilities are present. program work. Committees For ex¬ the estimates for the year end of I banks had already ! =By WALTER WHYTE= swung to 10 for Veterans Welfare, committees ample the figures mentioned 1947, real estate loans had in¬ [year instalment on Real Estate loans, the Nation¬ Loans,, and com-* Conflicting war and tax talk last week where specific is¬ creased almost 100% to $9,300,- al Housing Act, passed in 1934, mittees on Publicity organized by 000,000 and stood at over 27% of halts market advance. New sues would meet selling, were estimated deposits of $34 billion. offered a nationwide method of the banking fraternity held opeq move after sharp decline a the Express this another way: In lending for longer periods at uni¬ meetings, schooled their employ¬ figures at which stocks form rates on a single mortgage ees, explained the provisions of possibility. ceased advancing. So far none the two years 1946 and 1947, time the * * tif Servicemen's Walter Whyte , Says— . of the stocks have in we our approaching a pe¬ list have broken their stop rapidly advancing levels, but that doesn't mean and at the same time they won't. * ❖ * an increasing possi¬ a sharp intermediate The strike of Exchange em¬ are of riod markets there is bility of break. V'"\.V * tit tit the of Its effect news. lars " it ^ tit and '//'/! with In the last two weeks you have seen a sharp advance will can I do all not suggest and did everything possible and creating to this deavored to temper emotion withi reason based on long experience controls aid the veterans. with inherent guarantees and the working tews pertaining j en/ Bankers of to economic and money many credit. However, when reason inelements of merit in ' terfered with emotion, many seft the reason. Lenders system, and undertook to aside content make the plan work, hopeful of with the fact that a part of the over¬ to .time commercial banks of the is national bankers that the loan estate real for government government de¬ insurance, saw preserving FHA as enterprise. posit ratio of 27% in the insured the dangerous one, but I do point that the increase from 16% to 27% in two years constitutes a a administrative FHA have non-political of course, rapid rise and is a cautionary signal. It is this rise plus the rise bility of far so heads of to There guaranteed grant - without the | adhered was to as Fortunately, program. the loan of servant a private country out for see of ger market Readjustment Act type of Notwithstanding the dan¬ paper. our deposits. Mortgages selling will be interfered and brokerage houses probably be hurt. But that is about all I increased we responsibility wider a dol¬ Rapid Use in Real Estate picture is unimportant. Some more so than of the mechanics of buying no the action of the market. i than billion a much one year with the market on loaned we more time I know this sounds confus¬ ing but it is 1947 In the amount. same ployees makes good headline : pattern and provided a system of insurance relieving the lender of deposits rose $4.7 billion and real estate loans rose by practically v We loans went to up bothering to f&t so $10,800 appraise properties themselves, but- dePonded solely upon outside arpPraisers who often merely rubber^ stamped the sales price. This %i a is, present possibureaucratic control of ever in commercial and consumer cred¬ home financing if the country is effect was furnishing to each vetequally sharp the time being. it which shows us how closely our not constantly on its guard to pre- erar} a $10,000 letter of credit for # # tit break. During the past week the business has followed the pattern vent passage of seemingly buying a home with no down payyou have seen what amounts / Meanwhile, maintain your of the nation's economy.. v; harmless legislation which step by ment. More conservative lendto dullness though at a high With a full recognition of -the step may develop into complete ers, convinced 'that an owner4 positions in the stocks recom¬ control level. The advance has been mended. by government. The pro- eQuify in the property was a 6afe-; dangers of inflation and with the Perhaps by next knowledge that inflation has been posals for yield insurance, for ; fuar<f f°r both the-veteran an# and is still being fed — week more fed significant clues caused by government deficit loans to provide dwellings on the lender, asked that the owner by headline news of an im¬ will arise. /fi financing/ by large governmental farms and- for public housing as ve at least a modest cash inpending war and the prepara¬ expenditures during and after the offered by the CTaft-Ellender- jIi* /the property^ •carewar and by an over-abundance of tions for it. It's not too diffi¬ Wagner Act are steps which tuHy analyzed the character^ The list you have now is: money competing for goods in would undoubtedly^/prove dan'financial .position of cult to figure that if a war ://///■■/ Purchase - -' :short supply, Mr. Dodge as Presi¬ igerous. .each applicant in order to make occurs, plants will start oper¬ Price In fairness to the Stop dent of American Bankers Associ¬ / Stock FHA, it must certa^T1 that the :-$i6)^vfFurdhased; ation successfully worked out a be stated that its record of accom- was based on a,loan within the ating on double and triple; Anaconda 31^-3214 32 4 shifts producing for the wari Avco i 'i... 4i/2 program of voluntary credit con¬ plishment prior to the war and caPacity of the borrower to service' trol to which the banks of the na¬ during the war was excellent. Five 31 30 -31 r^Pay- In other words, -theireffort. Obviously the major— Bethlehem tion have promptly and enthusi¬ billion dollars of loans ui\der Title! objective was to prevent "over-52 54-55 Caterpillar and even the minor comII were j Douglas 50 -52 54 insured, producing receipts buying" on the part of the veteran astically responded. Events moved my panies who have been shaking Cons. Vultee 12 -13 my opinion opinion that that such a a lend¬ 1 end12 quickly in the field of credit and from insurance in excess of the ing procedure was actually the amount their heads at the prospect of Dresser'4: necessary to pay losses. 21 -22 / •: v23:/ economies as Mr. Dodge and his after almost an — • _. r i _ — — — - * future business again be in will oncfe position to show profits. This po¬ a tremendous -16 16 13 -15 15 try from important center to im¬ United Aircraft 23 -24 23 portant center appetite/ to stocks. ciently, will cause tit tir- them /' // to Thursday. —Walter absorb And if whetted suffi¬ zoom' still further. ___ More next tential business is behind the public ' 15 Lockheed -C.LIL G. L. Martin [The views Whyte On the pointed out that in the field of tion wiph those of the realistic side there is the tax picture. We know we have a tremendous debt from the we see a last tax cut while at the war. time we are preparing to spend additional ^billions for # a new war. The thing just doesn't make sense. Or maybe it makes much bet¬ ter sense than is generally realized. Perhaps all this war talk is deliberate, aimed for a specific purpose. What this is I can only guess at, but if the coming war is just talk then the stock market, once it real- Pacific Coast y to (Special LOS on / Schwabacher & Co. Corbrey CALIF.—Carl become associated to the inflationary by encouraging credit would aid production of j Carter goods. Mr. Dodge and the American Bankers Association New York Stock Exchange 'Chicago Board 0/ Trade 14 Wail-Street New York 5, N. Y. OOcttandt 7-4150 to The (Special Financial Chronicle) SftB Francisco 31 Haaten; — — Santa Oakland — Officee Barbara Sacramento Fresno lowered during the war in order to provide housing, par¬ war a vital interest in it. ; ANGELES. CALIF—Hor¬ Donnell has joined the staff Crowell,, Weedon & Co., 650 South Spring Street, members of the Los Angeles Stock Exchange. He was previously with First California Company. in Pendelton With officials do a little better job-in preserving what is left of sound And this in so talk I want housing shortage. With the sudden ending of the war the country was confronted with the problem of returning to a peace¬ The liow to mortgage lending has followed the government's in¬ flationary our acts, in our time we ing sible. An public utterances and hand was in with our education government Financial Chronicle) DIEGO, CALIF. — that Clar¬ T. Pendleton has become as¬ are of the most cancerous to money and 625 with Broadway. . are Chapin With Marache, Sims (Special LOS to The ANGELES, Robert H. sociated Co., Financial Chronicle) CALIF. 458 we South Spring y : . the should soning which each new as it behind this is Changes in Form of Mortgage mortgage lending took 1944, J :f •Hi/ . f•;, i 1 Vt'\'!K?: /. < .* there of the program, rea¬ provisions >•/- law the was • ;-: . written provision of ' • an into that States Government the would amount up to $4,000 (not to exceed 50% of the debt) of each veteran's loan made to aid in the of purchase , f -'- of was a home. The fixed at 4%. i • "i "• '< Administration vigorously espoused the 100% loans. of cause . ' For two years nearly all of the; housing has been reserved' new for the veteran, with two thoughts! first, - providing a roof over his head and, secondly, re¬ ducing the cost of housing. That the first undertaking has been partially accomplished cannot be in mind: denied with the 1947 record nf 850,000 completed houses, mostly for veterans/ ;But :the second ef¬ fort proved to the veteran friends be who cruel jest to a and those of his sincerely wanted to help him. Instead of lowering the price of either new or old con¬ struction, throwing this huge vol¬ pf ume -credit easy market resulted owners raising there cause in on their little was short a builders and prices or be¬ sales no effort required to market their properties. In fact, there were lines of waiting veterans long competing among buy at any price themselves long as as to no down payment was required. With care to avoid discussion of the real reasons of rapidly increasing builders, real estate brokers, labor leaders, politicians, and others endeavored housing costs, to convince of means many the public reducing that the any monthly payment of the ultimate purchase would reduce house. Five the cost minutes the on of of part of the serious listeners should have shown them that the Readjustment and amendment in rate of interest place success Congress, yet the head Veterans' easing of terms to the home chaser merely mand and r increases does de¬ the by one dol¬ On the contrary, the artificial stimulus given to the sale of prop¬ erties merely. ,invited to On be price in¬ temptation' too great ignored by most builders.' the a of score what meant to the home tle or how no emphasis much more purchaser to buy easy terms purchaser, lit¬ was placed on it/would :-cost a a $10,000 home financed for.25 years at 4% than :i >3 : pur¬ the reduce lar. i •> ) not cost of home erection creases, United great change in the form the of Thus, 3'"/V-/,' Lending? //•! A and Loans to understand the Act " '• enterprise financing Servicemen's carefully scruti¬ measure em¬ to public hous¬ the thereto. ' nation, and I believe more is easy guarantee members of the Los Angeles Stock . arid proposed to Congress. & Street, of nize as¬ Marache,, Sims beneficial in terms, within the So in view of the it of the of thought FHA mortgage injurious to the economic wel¬ fare — Chapin has become with v . are favorable Veteran Housing was H hospitalization, assistance credit ing. Buckley He and system of private Brothers, enacted since Franklin Roosevelt was first elected are bad. My formerly opinion is that many of them are San Diego manager for First *?ood and show improvement over California Company and Nelson- former practices, but I believe that Douglass & Co. / ! they should be reviewed to see sociated veteran without resorting I do not wish to infer that all laws pertaining quickly as pos¬ problem at as immediate ployment, as well as aid in pro¬ viding housing for the veteran as quickly as possible and on the growths commencing to plague vs. some economy daily should contacts our and: why pressures bankers as law and practice and in eliminat¬ Buckley Bros. to show intent were acute ace Exchange. if ments which prevailed before the have presented a good case show¬ have of Teletype NY 1-928 Private Wires to Principal monthly construction H. Corbrey & Spring Street. Members • make related to the size The relatively high standard of and credit require¬ needed which New York Curb Exchange (Associate) Son Francisco Stook Exchange to was attract funds from the large insti¬ tutional lenders. add and which LOS ence Orders Executed has South SAN Pacific Coast Exchanges would Chronicle) capacity payments Co., ing how inflation can be corrected in the war Mr. only by attacking the causes and ticularly industry a system of areas. Ruble was formerly with Harris, not by setting up Since the war these low¬ artificial control laws. I am sure ered standards have been contin¬ Upham & Co. and E. F. Hutton & that every one of you will agree ued Co. because of the scarcity of with Mr. Dodge's statement that materials, inferiority of quality, while banks have not created the shortage of production and excess Joins Crowell Weedon inflationary problem, they do of demand, all contributing to the with 650 (Special Securities Financial ANGELES, Ruble B. The er's ac¬ banks financed if the borrow¬ play a most important part of the loan and if the rate of in¬ discouraging credit which terest was at a level which would by the author only.] Ruble Now With inflation combat be ^ould trends Yet being passed same those jof to could But he also a cause. time coincide However, it has been in existence only in a rising market and has not yet been called upon to meet coun¬ article do not necessarily at any >'f more the across explaining the ob¬ jectives of the plan and asking the test of economic depression. for the cooperation of bankers in It was this FHA experience in every state. Mr. Dodge stressed particular that pointed out to that bank loans are a symptom of many the ease with which housing in this inflation—not expressed Chronicle. They are presented as v associates moved i I ■ I > V i: I U li t -(1/ 4. Volume 167 Number 46865 * it would cdst if he borrowed but THE Unfortunately, COMMERCIAL & those savings $8,000 on the same home for 20 have been largely offset by in-. years at the same rate of interest. creased labor costs. Despite the | / In this simple illustration it could- prospect of continued demands for' 1 have been pointed out that the wage increases the end of spiralborrower would pay $2,200 more ing costs-should soon be in sight, j in interest .alone on the larger . » ' * amount. In * . * 1948, rand . Houses More \ , Notwithstanding the find the President we Congress the and financial Plentiful large fig¬ shown by theoretical surveys ures ' 4 bureaus of cerned - Washington deeply 'by the con- which course in- flation has taken and urging steps to curb it.- On the other hand, we i c find many who believe 4 v still further terms, - ;■ anties r often t that they solve the housing problem by can easing purchasing giving government guar- or subsidies. or These groups that private enterprise has failed. Let us analyze that statement. Despite the shortages say of materials, black markets, labor inefficiency, ills of distribution and particularly the system of government controls, private eni terprise completed more houses 4 last year than any other year since ; 1925. True, most controls were - * ■ I am when the best / date will be for the lifting of rent 4. control—it must come sooner or later. But / lifting of .. be ; . the day requiring the rate control may morey than closer we think. on As cases. far properties are concerned, the scarcity pre¬ miums are fast fading out of the picture. For the past several months in the metropolitan areas of many states, it has been pos¬ sible, in fact, easy, for a nonveteran find home new 30 to and which purchase has been days for veterans' with a held preference, takers. no Bureau of Census the number of families in the United States, in¬ cluding those doubled up and those living in separate quarters, increased 4,900,000 from the be ginning of 1940 to the early part dwelling Lending Institutions \Already units of 44,400,000. In we can avoid stable and topheavy mort¬ enced in the last his when pay. major depression high rate of foreclosures a the and Erection of the sale distressed of prop¬ erties did much to accentuate the downward course. Rental Units Is Greatest Housing Problem We must not avoid reason¬ mortgage structure underlying real estate values, it is entirely logical that when depression comes the price declines will be more Orderly than those experi¬ existing nearer our more gage position which existed at the end of the twenties. With a proper reducing the price of housing through com¬ petitive selling, and aiding the older as real estate will be down the de- or If ing is sound, then future values of mand will have the triple benefit of retarding inflation/of trying to sell you one today, cut¬ ting his asking price in many of 1945, whereas in the same pe¬ riod there was a net increase in / of slowing process (1455) tion is maintained. money a consequence, any ability to name tions and fixed money rates being not prepared to say i purchases. As <* CHRONICLE into the purchase of property are far less'inclined to pay excessive prices for homes than those who have little or no equity in such the waiting list to buy a new home. The builder is your pointed out that according to the j, two of the most important. Own veteran to buy a new home at a price level Controls still remain—rent limita- 24, 1946, making I this record possible. A number of 1 to the number of houses needed considerable of their adequately house all of our pop¬ ulation, you no longer have to put Testimony presented by Mr. Douglas Meredith before the Joint Housing Committee in Washing¬ ton, D. C., the week of Jan. 12, :i taken off on Dec. . as to FINANCIAL ual responsibility voluntary let obligated gram is in any way intended to iinjure the veteran—quite the re¬ verse is true. The medicine for¬ merly offered to reduce of his home had effect. a Now we soundest of the million help veterans the other 130 nation. well as larger problem million greatest needs of one to as. of people Housing is still 13 on That what the us. * stance T reason where emotion overruled and experience). Any fur- ther lowering of the " rate or lengthening of the term of indi- ' '/ vidual loans is apt to have the serious causing the mortgage money market to dry up, which would in turn really retard home construction. now effect of / - You fact . probably are that one-half of ters. Yet because of easy a|nd guidance. And I that Principle 192 run things in Russia principle. being indispen¬ boss, not by being indispensable to each other. They get next to the throne j?y push¬ ing each other—by pushing other people down, not by cooperation. a sound basis. I believe that the erection of rental units is our greatest housing problem of today. Almost daily private enterprise is In fact, they get where eliminating others, hey are just as Stalin himself came to the top, not by cooperation and team play with his associates, but by twotiming others, one by one. ' / by entire nation's mortgage to credit of the /housing erected in the past two has been for ownership and only 15% for rental. Unsound as the program is, Section 608 of the ; National Housing Act provided practically the only attractive plan I for builders to finance the erecV vtion of rental units/ However, the years combat but it inflation. is remedy lacks This and new of some ABA wholesome, the appea that is offered by political reme¬ dies. Great care must be exer¬ cised in applying which we offer; the medicine and that cine be in now effective more a found than the medi¬ of limitation to v 4% the the and rate of interest of control recently placed rents these projects will in my opinion discourage the production of this needed form of housing. The term of 32 years - / / . and 4 v . of / * ■.t on months is considered seven by many bankers to be too long for the employment of savings money, but many have been willing to finance these rental units during construction for a moderate fee servicing charge. With the softehing of the bond market and the or ' rise in money rates generally, in- ; • 4 surance companies, which are vir¬ tually the only market for FHA /' 608's, are unwilling to pay a serV vicing charge large enough to ; • Warrant the bank's share in this ' operation. 4/■' cental I believe if housing are this ; the rate ; be increased to 4V2% and ; of / - r»,f r interest will mental controls lessened Constructed ■ from private units.- to get source have to govern- on newly Here, enterprise again, cannot be credit which come 4.u erationT? In i the • ..High prices have caused in- production of materials production has meant 44 increased V less delay in construction; less delay has permitted < considerable saving in the cost of the finished .. j x of studied ,i j today's of each conditions, the purpose application should be fully care¬ to distinguish be¬ tween the inflationary and noninflationary nature of the request. Certainly loans to buy land for sale of lots and on a basis should not be A farmer who has his land made. clear, good nation. To bring a fast moving train to an immediate stop would jar the passengers and might wreck the train. A skillfu engineer applies the brakes evenly as he approaches a curve, but he still keeps his "train "moving" in order to nation. reach forms of proper desti¬ the so banker is spoke job. Builders who erected homes / in 90 days prior to the war re¬ aid to level. inflation, whereas loans How do we apply those mortgage credit? Certainly not by stopping lending altogether, but by analyzing cred¬ orinciples it use—at to end one encouraging the nrodaetion of housing, but at the insisting that the con¬ other end sumer credit (home buyers' credit) a sounder basis than we home not. during Will years. that the housing is still and past program buying to cease? There market has touched. while credit, a the two cause It should been is same free job in 1946 and 1947. Today many of those builders are back mula a three or four months' basis. virtually un¬ The non-veteran not group, conservative supplied with the and easy placed so .mortgage for¬ carelessly in the hands of many veterans. Conven¬ tional borrowers who must put - Did he speak about the war, or the suffering of the Ger¬ people? No. He began at once a tirade about his Nazi rivals. There was nothing on earth a could say about another man Goering did not say to me German Foreign Minister Ribbentrop. Goering called Ribbentrop a liar, a fool. He blamed about him for as °f 0ne of many Goering's with Hitler. You see, whenever Ribbentrop went up in Hitler's favor, Goering 'went down; and vice versa. + Goering equally terrific in was speaking about Goebbels. On Himmler the bels speaks that if about had as early early, mind you:— thing Goering would the first have done shoot .Ribbentrop would Loans to erect of the actual profit a stores later in on. advance Applicants for loans to erect sum¬ mer collateral offered should be turned down because of their inflationary turned before the announced. was . ABA program Likewise the first The thing Ribbentrop and have been to shoot Himmler three would of done was the road to inner circle followed by each man around Stalin today, if them it The he first. function in same see our country. Here we men in charge of inter-re¬ departments. We advance lated on merit—on the ability to co¬ operate, not on the ability to cut each other's throats and tie our¬ selves of They cooperation between the dif¬ ferent inseparably to the favor the man at the top of the enter¬ be perpetual, shown. 4 there are numerous as history has "4 When the man second second at the communist of the where Stalin's death us an are tion to the tion. So far supply of credit the we change in have nounced estate. seen con¬ direc¬ no pro¬ drop in the price of real However, just as easy credit contributed substantially to rising costs, particularly in the housing field, so tightening credit at the consumer level is bound to bring down the sale price of in¬ dividual houses if present produc- cloth. by the blood new future, af¬ in your land and mine. continuity, the moving pic¬ ture of Russian foreign policy and Russian capabilities, will be im¬ race The is better when death* at the top is But a come great im¬ what may, it worse—and or and on. outcome ponderable. for who have men, sit immense ef¬ the of events fecting The seem There men. crowd same they have can on top goes fighting with each other, but have been helping each other independent of the big boss. They are ready to accept one of their own number to carry on smoothly when the top man of the enter¬ prise dies or retires. You see that every day in American business does if any change in the pres¬ ent Russian movie script is bound as to be for the better, from our point of view, because the present outlook couldn't be much worse— nevertheless be will there tain throwing the domestic up Soviet whole policy else. "4; a cer¬ into the air of foreign policy, and everything y • We Seek Long and Honorable and in our very biggest and most complicated companies. 4 ' Peace . What this country of ours seeks This Happened in Germany On the is other hand, look what happened in totalitarian Germany. I Herman saw after he of the war. in times Now was I Goering the went near day to many the war interview him a in little workman's Augsburg, Germany There stood Goering, inside the low wooden fenfce in front of the cottage—his legs apart and his feet firmly planted. The tunic o his pearl gray field marshal's uniform was open. His shirt was wet with perspiration. He was puffing like a porpoise. But his blue eyes were hard as flint, smal ■ ■ . - Now is the time to be arid him v: 4 peace. even seen a a I'd before great and terrible war, prolonged and honorable not but captured at the end Berlin cottage Many factors in addi¬ all have system. purges fect out sit On y not been confinement in the decline. shot could j Kremlin cut are had its peak and was on Goering, while have Kremlin Crowd the Same It's exactly the reverse of what makes a large company grow and j volume of real estate transactions reached to Goebbels would have done would character. And, of course, when loans are made, they should be based on conservative appraisals with a recognition of the inevi¬ table drop fqllowing periods of high prices and speculation. ' The mortgage -market had been Goebbels. Actually shoot is what I mean." Moreover, that requirements of the I neighborhood should be declined. have and can at whatever died 1937—that as ber lands Goering. question no Hitler the rat buy and other hand, if you read Goebbels' personal diary, now being published in our coun¬ try, you will notice how Goeb¬ That's the American free oppor¬ tunity system. It works, and it to own troubles |,he or in man that standing timber in the hope of the sale of those tim¬ order dealer borrow not bitter ament affected shortage of tributed to non-veteran having ample quired 10 to 12 months to do the to more *£ t the see vacuum lumber postpone their plans until build¬ j in 4 short supply and those ing materials and labor are in which more adequate supply. Many other .increase production of needed articles. Obviously, loans loans which might otherwise be to increase the demand would be considered safe on appraisal of the * same no could you glint in his eyes. leaves its retail should are to increase production would tqnd to reduce prices at the consumer the been ship. mensely A mand for goods and services which an lenders great opportun¬ prise. land. homes, resorts, theatres, cock¬ distinguish between those tail parlors, and certain. types of credit which increase de¬ eating houses should be asked to And asked to his small mort¬ a into debt heavily to buy go builder for the subject to or gage, should not be encouraged to * f second was his death bed, on even warned his fol¬ lowers against the very man who finally did : come to the 4top Stalin. 4;.. ,4: for consid-1 in light loan stoppage of lending could by the wildest imagination be deemed blamed while the government sits* be on in the driver's seat. y444;/;4 y have seen creased purges There know, ^ou Non-Housing Mortgage Credit subdivision No system of extreme liberality credit followed by a virtua a best have ity to show economic statesman¬ There's Purges, blood Lenin man. use.i4'4; 144 ''''44:4 ;4;4 ':44; speculative . < happened? at the top. formula . Bankers Should Exercise Caution before presented with be may Never ex¬ fashion that a nation served. Lenin's Warning /44y; When big boss Lenin died, what have nation quar¬ 44444 v I have largely concentrated my already heard quite bit about the pilot meetings con¬ remarks on housing loans because Stalin himself got to the top by ducted by ABA. You will hear a this is where the inflationary fires doing away with others, such as have burned most furiously. But i Trntskv—hv thp dPaHlv nmrPQc nf great deal more on this subject as the various State Associations and there are other forms of mortgage You are the .. The others around him got into on am delighted bankers generally are respon¬ sive to their public obligations. local bankers expand the program of the voluntary control of credits rented and of rent control 85% v • . the sincerely believe that the na¬ looking to bankers for help of the aware [J is normally housed in I we give man their positions by sable to the big be erected can men the one-big-man on rental units wher¬ buildings way. important to The whole government is built up erly be deferred, and encouraged such whole Only 10 12 or non-essential types of building could quite prop¬ ever is in man The another We're not dealing with the million people in Russia. whose erection residential in The One-Big-Man of the of the discouraged wherever possible on state. works is second any system the country, therefore, mortgage credit should be never totalitarian a asked to write which will aid produce rental vacancies. tion is to advice, but also to tend credit in such * ing loans to veterans (another in- only (Continued from page 8) There's * tions off for the purpose of mak- mind that not Happens When Stalin Dies? cost just the opposite are prescription the What challenged to produce this type of words, in spite of the war yKv!-;':i Cluttered 444i:f44 ,■ '4 the increase of housing units had housing or surrender that portion of our economy to subsidized Already the savings and loan very pub¬ nearly kept pace with the associations are well loaned up. lic housing. I am convinced that housing needs. A change in busi¬ ';■*?< Some banks would have almost ness and industrial activity could private enterprise can do the job reached their statutory limitations in this field but that governmental very easily cause lessened demand, (*•: had not the Servicemen's Read- doubling up of families and even controls which retard this con¬ struction will have to be modified justment Act taken those limita4 in Don't get the idea that this pro¬ ether - bear us exercising controls, but retard credit, do to we individ¬ our in credit whatever 39 as we make hopeful, prepare for the worst, our country stronger Stronger—for there is no possibility 6i peace un¬ less America is strong, and unless and stronger and peacemakers use bur new strength more intelligently for peace than they used our even greater wartime strength for peace in the past. Where there's life, there's al¬ our - ways hope. And, in this where there's death, there tOO. casq. is hope 44 cannot reach conclu¬ sharp and luminous against sions about anything abroad to¬ his sallow skin—like bright spots day without considering the death gleaming on a china plate. As he of Stalin. and Again we 40 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE COMMERCIAL & THE (1456) - (Continued from page 7) Indeed, dur¬ ing 1S46-1947, this country, which the past two years. before the only Europe when the total per ported by European countries. Shipping difficulties, costs and the Europe-wide dollar shortage make it unlikely that last year's was of the decline was even greater: from 1.55 tons per per¬ out workers Germany and in tion for ERP<$s war. . To follows yet to their efforts. in There for this are many reasons the plies food of availability slow but steady increase in Ruhr coal production litical. social and what not—is of which had progressed from an incredible almost For-example, complexity. Manpower Shortage ; last month A 1946-47 and suddenly thrown into reverse March and April when the and begin with, there is an acute food supply situation in the Brit¬ shortage in a desper¬ ish zone took an abrupt turn for ately overcrowded country. This the worse. In May, the daily out¬ seeming paradox, of course, is not put again dropped below the 200,confined to the Ruhr area alone 000-ton mark, which had been but exists in greater or less de¬ passed on the upward trend eight gree everywhere in present-day months earlier* Then emergency Germany. Due to the recent in¬ supplies were rushed in, mostly flux of many millions of refugees from American stocks, and a new from Eastern Europe into a dras¬ advance began. By late August. tically reduced rump-Germany, 242,000 tons were being mined all occupation zones, but in par¬ daily. In mid-September a new ticular the British, are far more slump set in, at the exact time the "resettlers" dren and old or Last spring, official estimates figured that at least 100,000 addi¬ tional workers would in the Ruhr mines be to trend reach the not expected to than required manpower "Bizonia" in and all-time high, for the period, was reached on when 284,400 tons were more the or¬ 17%. of the vast in the only help, either because they inexperienced or weakened by long years of privation, or dis¬ or all of these things together. Low Labor ; , , one. are the mines, but not the After all, the miners do to the ordinary con¬ generally unsettled The of the German economy, Productivity German magazine arti¬ cle, Herr A. Halbfell, Minister of Labor of the State Government of North Rhine-Westphalia, revealed interesting details about the poor performance of Ruhr miners since the end of the r t war. inArt .gggyg*?? it V ,,, Si i, onm °°°), i v , and a director and . of Lear manufacturers of electronic . New Mr. of has Arizona, Phoenix, at from increased been $550,000 $1,100,000 by the sale of $550,000 of new stock. The bulletin of to the of Office Comptroller of the gives the date of the of March 2. the Currency increase as « : # * Vanden v Broecke former chief of the Financial Sec¬ tion of the Belgium Economic Mission to Washington, has beer F. Joseph appointed*.'J. Assistant the in dent Vice-PnesiInternational Francisco) (San America's of Bank Vanden Broeckc will be associated with the bank's His experi¬ Far Eastern activities. in 1927 after his graduation from the University of Antwerp in his na¬ tive Belgium. His career includes service in China, England and ence banking began of by L. M of Bank San Francisco, for branch bank's the ., e of all of and managers of' its administrative offi¬ cers, according to Executive VicePresident E. A. Mattison, who is many Indust ries, and Radio D. Gearhart, Jr. Lear than of as of 600 representatives 22 by a it the single Bank, of views and exchange conference will open on Fred Carlisle H. has appointed Vice - President and manager of the Bakersfield main office; Laurence J. Robin, and Vice-President Assistant Bakersfield office; and John F. N, Cox, an Assistant Manager of the Bakers¬ field main office. All appoint¬ ments are effective April 1. Mr. manager of the East Carlisle, who has been Assistant Vice-President and manager of the East Bakersfield office of the bank since Carlisle of C. Mr. in 1927 joined the staff First National Bank, the Mr. a? years broad a > that followed experience in bank. native of Montana, a extensive an the of messenger. a departments of the Robin, had Don predecessor the had various succeed who has resigned. Bank, During he will 1945, Shannon, in experience banking in that State before com-" ing to California in 1942. He has been asssistant manager of the Fresno office of the Anglo Bank Mr. 1946. with associated since his 1928, has Cox the been,, Bank Anglo position present being that of assistant to the offi¬ cer in charge of branch loan ad¬ head office, father, the San late well known in diplomatic and banking circles ministration, His Francisco. * Frederick N. Cox, was in Central America and ident of was Pres¬ bank in Costa Rica. a '■■.y.V;?''; if if if ;v J. Floyd Ragan was recently ap¬ pointed Manager of the Alhambra office Los of California the Angeles, ciated with a since served Bank he where Assistant throughout the State, Mr. Matti¬ son pointed out that it is not a convention, Jout is - a workihg The San of Allarji A. Calkins, been and the BakersCali¬ Anglo announced were dent A1 Beyer, Jr. ideas. Televi¬ and panies^,;,;,.. Unique gathering together the been Pacific Monterey in bankins of bank, from some 307 communities ings F. is of asso¬ Vice-Presi¬ Mr; Ragan has member of the bank's staff 1933 and one year during the war in the Army Field Artillery. On his return to the bank in March, 1946 he was ap¬ pointed Assistant Manager and assigned to the Alhambra branch. Earl K. Simpson, Auditor of the April 17 with a general as' California Bank, has been named sembly at which President L. M Giannini will deliver an address' Chairman of the Finance Commit¬ cn sion, manufacturers of Brunswick Radios, near management conference, devoted almost entirely to business meet¬ Wilcox-Gay Corp., the-affair. the on more key and director a of Asilomar, Cal., does under¬ writers, is Chairman if National since conference State-wide - "3 *f President of America, in • ;• - ' history, finan¬ fornia Anglo Mr. peninsula. & offices Bakersfield Giannini M. if / Three promotions in field anouncement President. a Club Angeles Stock Exchange Banking Department according tc by L. He is California the i March capital of the First Nation¬ Bank Grove, Inc., New of member President. The al 17-18-19 at is ican Bankers Association. Francisco, $1,500,000 to $2,000,000. Giannini, Gearhart, Jr., has aircraft Gearhart cial Bankers other com¬ several on manufactures parts for subject, "What's Ahead?", he will lead a free the after which tee of the National Association of Bank Auditors and Comptrollers many . , stalled last national Noyember; the inter¬ controversy about the level-of-industry and related is¬ sues; the and mination to Communist wreck the (Soecial to The Financial Tully Chronicle) mittee. ■ '' LOS ANGELES, CALIF. — Richard W. Jones is, with Mitchum Tully & Co., 650 South Spring Street. Marshal ^ ^ ^ one reasqns why the Ruhr is lag- dlsclosed'1 *in& An$ (special to the financial Chronicle) as long as it does, the PASADENA, CALIF.—Rov D. recovery vol Europe will be de- Waters is with Keenan & Clary, .. .. „ . ^Inc.; Security Building, Mr. Ivey started com¬ his banking career as a messenger with California Bank in 1908 and advanced to Assistant Cashier in Following 1912. Air Army War I deter¬ ■ executive the of member With Mitchum, pifl' ™ +u With Keenan & Clary, Inc. Flan—there are, a thousand and ,Pu>yeR-Bl.the4bine$iof the-Ruhr-layed, D. elected York, California the of man types of civilian and mili¬ discussion.; Following this, a series regional conference to be held in with an almost total lack of con¬ of departmentals will be held Los Angeles May 12-14. tary aircraft including Republic if * if sumer goods except at black mar¬ < ' through Sunday, ending on Mon^ P-84, Lockheed P-80, North ket prices, and an uncertain, in¬ R. A. Reid, Vice-President of American P-86, Boeing B-50 and day, April 19, with another gen¬ ternationally worthless, currency eral assembly. All sessions wiR the California Bank, of Los An¬ Boeing 377 Stratocruiser. "; ^ has made work, especially hard be closed. A. P. Giannini. geles, recently completed his 25th To provide the production nec¬ work, most unattractive to the founder-Chairman of Bank of year of service with the bank essary to meet its large backlog of average person,, All Germany to¬ where he is in charge of the Long America, will be guest of honor. government orders, Lear plans to day is marking time, waiting for if Beach Office. Starting his bank¬ i= something to happen or for some¬ expand its facilities through the T. E. Ivey, Jr., Vice-President ing career at the Bank of Mont¬ acquisition of several other com¬ body — somebody else — to do real, Canada, in 1921, Mr. Reid of California Bank of Los Angeles panies. It will be Mr. Gearhart's something that will set the eco¬ today (April 1) 40 joined California Bank's staff in function to investigate and nego¬ completes nomic stone rolling again. 1923 and after various promotions tiate for these additional facilities. years of service with that insti¬ Add to all this the uncertainty tution where he is a director and was appointed branch manager in about the eventual ownership of Indeed, the low productivity of the mines; the political agitation the labor force on hand is the No. surrounding the choice of the new 1 problem of the Ruhr today. In German Management Group in¬ a recent from 10 ff President of Co. Angeles Chamber of Com¬ merce, American Institute of . a work, of Orleans, La., was increased March Turkey. Higgins In¬ dustries, Inc., of low productivity cause Ruhr sumer. were inclined to dropped get—at least on paper—more than twice the amount of calories Of those who stayed, large num¬ bers proved to be a burden rather than figure Insufficient food rations ; , the Euro¬ of primary re¬ black market. of Consolidated brief stay, either returning home cesses month's time, which , the a Food Insufficiency nature, de¬ again after a in than daily output of primitive disappearing food in little re¬ state or fresh ex¬ of mines has Bank Gearhart An 29 available the Such American tional tion. finding that they could obtain only temporary billets, frequently serted money stocky the capital of the Na¬ new general from the country has been hampered great¬ ly by a desperate housing short¬ age. Thousands of newcomers, very in ground. cancer Incorporated, products organization. Los if Through the sale of $500,000 of The conference is to be held April way. shortages spread through the British zone; have been at least partly success¬ ful. However, the influx of labor recruits from other parts of the a coal Recovery Program. radio latter Club. % t} t} products. under as Berlin the or been began, isting population. Extensive cruiting drives were therefore ganized in the other states below Frederick Then the in¬ the pro¬ the Gearhart Director of one-half the bank 23 years ago. A call has been issued located, was and pean mined. Thereafter another decline more food But in the last analysis it is the phalia, where the Ruhr district is vide continues, of human factor that.will determine the future of the Ruhr as the hard core the and Los electro-me- postwar Rhine-West the hop, as method investment large shortly after he joined chanical Nov. North long Depait- October, The of As jump Trust the with sociated particular November, were peak months in postwar produc¬ got production targets set for 1947-48. State in the already been decided upon and its implemen¬ tation will become an integral nart of the European Recovery Program. V/.'; and in required and investment an centive system devised at the Washington Coal Conference was put into effect and a new upward women, chil¬ disabled men, are which — or now large a fad been exhausted. for the vast majority of market, be achieved above supply of CARE packages set aside for bonus dis¬ tribution to deserving workers gestion does not mean a corre¬ sponding affluence of the labor Stability, materials, especially; steel pit props, is required to halt he progressive decay of the mine installations and equipment both To when opera¬ oscillate in unison. manpower densely populated than they have ever been. Yet this human con¬ necessary output barometer will continue to a to month in the winter of was amputated? abundance distribution f the lack of such, or unsatisfactory state of affairs. In fact, the Ruhr problem in all its aspects—technical, financial, po¬ Who wants to in a cur¬ situation. wa'chword. skip sup¬ in "Constitution." As Senior save foreseeable future—should be the ically sick friend, rises and falls exact and immediate relation to this than cannot crit¬ watches the fever curve of a immediately drastically food rather of Mr. Ivey is also a member of the ment since sooner the and indeed the whole world as anxiously as one rope Jr. has be- Vice-President New Atlanta It is also imperative to stabilize figure of the Ruhr, Which all Eu¬ D. Boylston, Trust Officer, says the performed and the road is cleared for savings of lasting value, the better. months.Experience has shown that the daily coal output ing the Ruhr again a going con¬ cern. Unfortunately results can¬ not be said to be commensurate the finance committee and Treas¬ State Vice-President of the Amer¬ cannot a tion is recent Asso¬ $500,000 of new stock. its increased C., tion," Mr. Boylston has been as¬ be The Bureau, Men's charge of the trust department of the Trust Company of Georgia, of Banking, Reserve City Bankers Atlanta, it is learned from the Association, and is a former Chair¬ is certain—that sooner or later it will working performance of the Ruhr miners, a number of incentive schemes have been devised in Business Business capital March 3 from $1,000,000 to $1,500,000 through the sale of about which only one thing rency Downtown reform that would give a new incentive to save buy all he wants. money and ' sweeping better geles urer lasting effect by Na- he make the individual the increase . if Thursday, April 1, 1948 ■ Association, Group 5, and former the miner even It-Mi* "Constitu¬ currency above kept be must ground these days than before particular the Ruhr. Ever since the first steps were taken toward a merger of the American and British occupation zones in Ger¬ many, a year and a half ago, top military government officials of both countries, and their tech¬ nical staffs, have combined their energies and concentrated their attention on the problem of mak¬ be achieved could which a overground installations as well substantially larger amount of coal as because of widespread malnu¬ can be obtained to supply Europe's trition, a far greater number of needs and provide a solid founda¬ only source from The fit* ciation, and the Hospital Service of Southern California (Blue Cross), being also Chairman of Alfred Probably the steps are required. Southern & S. Charleston, constructive more mcst immediate and points that, due to the bad repair of Minister the and Bolder In this and shift to 0.86 tons. son connection, aid Currency Reform Needed the mines, V tional Bank of South Carolina, at c o m e of the total working force from the United States, averaging two and a hall million tons per month, can be exceeded or even maintained in 1948. import Citizens The policy, based on CARE packages,emergency food rations, pre¬ miums and promises, has not worked. It may have a soothing effect but it is not a remedy. In terms 1947. in June tons for the tragic, cure thing is certain: the stopgap underground worker and shift 1.97 tons of coal, it was only 1.17 wonder no confusing plight of the Ruhr. One At 338,000. was and 1938, of year however, produc¬ tivity was down almost 40%. Whereas in 1938 the average yield im¬ coal the of production the same time, to ballast, provided as one-half about coal shipped war peak * (Continued from page 25) There is, to be sure, no panacea districts than in the Aachen * News About Banks and Bankers Why the Ruhr Is Lagging and 1' as a Forces in the during World service Second Lieutenant, he returned to the bank and in was promoted elected later. in to Cashier 1923 and Vice-President five years He also holds directorships California Trust Company, Widgeon. Land -Company, Los An** 1936, elected Assistant Vice-Presi¬ dent was a in last December 1943, and elected Vice-President. member of the Long He is Beach Chamber of Commerce Industrial Mayor's Committee, the Committee, board the Travelers Treasurer and Special of directors of Aid Society, member of and the board of directors of the Kiwanis Club. , — . . ; i-; Volume 167 Number 4686 THE COMMERCIAL & CHRONICLE FINANCIAL (1457). 41 Indications of Current Business Activity The following statistical shown in first column tabulations production and' other figures for the latest week or month available (dates or month ended on that date, or, in cases of quotations, are as of that date) cover either for the week are . AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE: 4 Indicated steel operations (percent of capacity) Equivalent to -Steel —_____ (net ■''/ . ; , stills—daily output —. distillate fuel oil (bbls.) Residual fuel oil (bbls.), at—— ASSOCIATION OF at. AMERICAN RAILROADS: freight loaded (number of caps). Revenue freight rec'd from connections (number CIVIL^^ENTHNEERfNG . CONSTRUCTION, U. S. 1,611,400 tnn 1,725,000 krq 400 1 1,705,100 Total shipments » 5,264,850 5,407,000 5,342,325 5,399,000 4,861,600 4,830,000 15,600,000 15,608,000 15,807,000 14,309,000 2,547,000 2,520,000 2,089,000 8,127,000 5,887,000j. 9,199,000 8,545,000 20 2,531,000 20 20 / 20 7,472,000 7,754,000 9,006,000 9,292,000 113,247,000 .Mar. 20 9,948,000 30,723,000 111,918,000 9,677,000 32,108,000 _Mar. 20 47,603,000 48,546,000 ; 109,886,000 104,609,000 9,731,000 34,004,000 10,095,000 31',872, OOt. 42,380,000 ' 49,782;000 February; ) • i Slab /Bituminous coal and lignite Pennsylvania anthracite STORE - Unfilled output,! all orders at end of 844,041 OF 740,829 Month of February 5'i: ENGINEERING tfNEWS- Vi" BANKERS $137,910,000 :1 _Mar. 25 ' '69,598,000 j. $128,741,000 32,729,000 _Mar. 25 68,312,000 57,589,000 63,630,000 38,877,000 .Mar. 25 4,682,000 18,712,000 $60,132,000 STANDING - 49,139,000 v.* 33,639,000 79,602,000 * ! Imports STREET, r , INC. t 20,753.000 51,890,000 Domestic 5,740,000 Dollar V, •' ■ ■/; —-7 _Mar. 20 4,360,000 ( ■* _Mar. 20 .1,182,000 j, _Mar. 20 47,900 **r —• _H-- & , -Mar. 25 —Mar.25 13,314,000 1,214,000 O. 12,900,000 t 1,229,000 - v! *122,700 ' . Lead tin (New (New 106 iU0 ,■ 93 63 ,w 57,081 $105,190,000 $81,567,008. : . PAPER 34,539,068 11,749,(W 12,524,008 104,008 12,537,000 7,340,068 $252,827,000 $262,031,000 $230,031,008 . , ■ > • OUTSTANDING—FED-* OF NEW YORK— ", ". of Februaf-y 27-i_—-^-— SEED DEPT. —— (tons) OF ' • .,'1' . Y*':■' 1"} \ $290,000,000 $301,000,000 ..',r COMMERCE— ' 1 to'Feb. 29— 3,869,610 3,795,325 3,190,799 2,778,869 778,339 1,115,984 (tons) Aug. 1 month $40.37 ————-—— 2,918,488 2,467,974 568,212 S£S $40.00 r* ' H ultimate to December of (000's ' < consumers—1 19,617,041:18,726,158 17,450,288 $351,460,200 38,431,950 $335,687,200 38,248,940 $311,020,408 21.200c 21.200c 19.349ft 21.507c 21.532c 20.403ft 15.000c 13182ft omitted)——— Revenue from ultimate customers—month of December $33.15 >/ sales V'vi'. >, f $243,000,008 ■ Aug. i to Feb. 29——l-L'—♦ Feb. 29— Kilowatt-hout 2.86354c 2.86354c : $40.29 ^„——— Number of ultimate customers $39.50 METAL PRICES (E. * Average for M. & month Dec. at 31:— 36,140,291 J. QUOTATIONS)— February: of _ Mar, 24 »viw«*.i ■ A/Tor 9d Mar. 24 - 21.200c 21.200c «.»•— '; 71,425c 21.425c , at_ 21.200c 21.225c 21.575c 22.450c 94.000c 70.000c 15.000c 15.000c 14.800c 14.800c . 21.450C 21.450c: ,,; • at_/4_ .Copper (per pound)— / V ... Electrolytic, domestic refinery Electrolytic, export, refinery---— Lead (per pound)— York New .St. ', ,14.800c and Sterling Silver, New Silver, London PRICES 15.000c ' —~—-r Louis Silver Exchange:;'-■ .';i York (per ounce) ,14.800c— 74.625c — ounce)£ "Checks"— (pence,per Sterling Exchange, : 12,9820 " 74.625c 72.329C 45.000 45.000 44.475 $4.02514 $4.02679 $4.02625 ■, i Tin (per pound)—iNew York Straits— Public Utilities Group Industrials Group MOODY'S - ; ; U. S. BOND> TIELD DAILY -------.----Mar. 30 Ln BaaPublic 114.85 110.70 110.52 103.80 103.47 103.64 106.21 105.86 113.12 112.93 115.43. 115.24 3.09 |JJ __Mar. 30 Mar. 30 2.81 .Mar. 30 2.90 .Mar. 30 3.13 . _.Mar. 30 Railroad 115.04 '/ New Go'.d " Group-. Group. Group——. J- ' -> 3.13 2.84 i 2-91 _ '9' v.-. 3.38 _Mar. 30 ; 3.00 3.01 .Mar. 30 2,88 2.89 3.40 /r:, _ ' '/-/3.C3 Magnesium, Zinc / ,,._ - 3.01 commodity national J^ar. 30 J -412.2 ... 69.125c $35,000 $35,008 $76,409 $78,303 S86.S64 36.120c 36.082c 31.190ft 33.000c 33.000c v 33.500c 33.500c 28.625ft Nominal Nominal Nominal ; ■ - 1 $68,864 $1,800 BUSINESS INCORPORATIONS—DUN STOCK - Feb. 28 firms ~ — 20.500ft 12.000c 11.077c 10.508ft $28,110,578 $28,867,631 $28,262,1^ 10,126 12,112 j .* h- ■" • 11,000 — '"$'';%■ accounts^;! bttlance&ii— debit 1 I- and free (.• $536,636 credit "*$567,769 * 56,409 *414,137 *622,246 66,090,349 136,232,046 56,968 U. S.» Jn / ' shares—— listed of U—lrc banks in 396,428 596,416 63,158,207 Market value Qf; listed bondsprice lndex,,,12-3l'24=10G 136,313,176 Member borrowing's on U. 8. Govt, issues—_ jvicmuci Member borrowings^on ouiivwineo w« w^v* other collateral• ; '■ Stock ^xi.77 and 233.3 dr_„—„ Farm •'All •■ 156.8 — ? _Mar. 27 233.4 • '* '•' 5> !/'- 143.7 H!".:.! 137.7, 143.7; ••"•••• -~o * combined-- ■-'■Hvl':'.!-'':, ' ". /.; -T'' v' 156.8 137.6, —: machinerygroups ' r-, ; ! \ 232.8 203A 157.0 / ' 154.5 iot.o 137.6 128.0 133.7 143.0 /i / 1001 PAINT,V?VARNISH)l>^ACQUER REAL, ESTATE 200.5 H Orders (to( OF BOARD — Banks Percentage U. and Mutual Trust AND , LOAN HOME — of DRUG REPORTER PRICE 100 • ■- i-. -• :■ INDEX—1026-36 • • i.- u r .j ' :• /;»; "{ Farm ' Companies-—i——— ——! lending 184.9.. 171.2 ■ '; :; Metal and metal products—— and allied Housefurnishings Miscellaneous » Shipments and 187.1' of goods- STEEL 143.7 (M Raw groups— For materials Manufactured of (DEPT. products 226,068 253,110 61,561 230,492 49,317 161,773 128,828 other than farm •Revised figure. products and 113,224 $1,006,626 $847,043 OF 150,538 140,05$ 158,842 136,048 ,COM- equivalent) at end of ft., logs log (M ft., log scale) (DEPT. at OF scale)—__ 31_!— Jan. (short orders ; tons) sale . tons) (short tons) at *65,085 64,091 *216,106 137,669 t jl1'® I s . tons)—*— for 68,399 188,647 COMMERCE)— January: (short 30,712 *31.479 end , -r ,. . of , . ,, . 141,068 148.124 139,020 108.282 110.970 101.140 32,786 37,154 491,745 489,364 489,364 37,889 month .... , . other-than farm products 44,761 160,297 165,973 144,342 i— prpducers' own use (short All commodities commodities sale Unfilled articles All ' ■ 52,155 January . For Semi-manufactured ■ $246,114 79,345 36,674 CASTINGS Month 119.5 Shipments Special i $302,275 79,812 ft. %-in. equivalent)— consumption (M' sq. ft., month— Consumption 136.5 commodities *■ $263,649 sq. equivalent) (M 8q.,ft., %-ln. Stocks 192.5 products %-in. Stocks /V;v 155.9 Building materials—^ Chemicals (M 131.7 - / Production . 145.9 lighting materials—^..— of 159.8 ,. v • Fuel and •" ■■ PLYWOOD MERCE)—Month ; Hides and leather products v $83,788,171 1■"" Jan.,(000's omitted): ' products •••:.' FoodSl_J - *$68,628,287 BANK —— V7,, SOFTWOOD commodities /''■ f> $88,473,000 Total WHOLSALE PRICES—U All 81.1% $86.30$ 1 ^204,554 / -—Mar. 26 .. ss ... """ • Banks/ ———1 Savings Miscellaneous AVERAGE 8. Month Individuals OIL, ( PAINT - 7,825 ' 681,134 $63,062 222,255"';! „ ;.-?V'T '•>? $572,91^7 ' NON-FARM IN and Loan Associations-—— Insurance companies __u—— Unfilled orders ; . Savings received Production AREAS FINANCING 73.9% $74,121 217,026 / •/. 126.3 •t % ' AND FILLER ior.r (DEPT. OF *.vmmt.ivvu»— i. ut COMMERCE)—Month of Jan.: v Total'sales reported by 680 establishments— National paperboard .! 15.00 Oft margin net Total of customers' Chemicals $1.66364 ( 000's omitted): « Market value Building materials $1,800 15.000c . EXCHANGE— carrying hand ■; $1.63864 20.500c Credit extended' to customers—" '/H Fertilizer' materials—;^— Fertilizers—— $1.61364 15.000c & BRADSTREET, INC.—Month of January 413.4 fertilizer of customers' . $1,750 $1,775 TREASURY — (000's omitted)—— 31 $58,000 - 20.500c Louis.__——„ CIRCULATION , . 28.250ft $66,000 $1,750 $1,775 (per pound). Jan. 70.000ft 93.500c $35,000 2.90 407.4 ( IN 94.000c 93.500e —— plus, Ingot (per pound)!—; ingot DEPT.—As of < NEW moody'S w t pound)—-East*8t. ipett MONEY" 3.42 •' price) . Aluminum, 99% v H.;iv 3.14:/.; •" 3^54 1 _Mar. 30 IS 3.11 2.90 3.52 ■ Utilities Industrials ||| 2.83 v ... v/iM i I 99% or U. V S. v uunvu Antimony (per pound) bulk, Laredo—-—"- ; Antimony (per pound), in cases, Laredo—£ Antimony (per pound), Chinese, Spot,—-__ Platinumj refined, per ounce---—> tCadmium (per pound)— JCadmiuni (per pound)— SCadmium,(per pound)— ——-7--- 112.93 ,115.04 . vv Wi' ' 94.000c * Chinese ounce V JJCt Quicksilver (per flask of 76 pounds)-— HAntimony (per pound) (E. & M. J.)—1 105.52/ , York, (per UU.U AVERAGES: Govt. Bonds Average corporate. r H5.04; 110.70 * -i• * $163,775,008" 16,504,000 —' —— — 'Ml 'V' :K:r credits— EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE: 10.500c MOODY'S BOND 67,562 $167,840,000 $168,108,000 42,742,000 ^ 53,198,000 11,344,000 11,081,000 12,551,000 15,657,000 1,846,000 1,450,000 , warehouse ERAL RESERVE BANK > 3.2391UC / 3.23940c3.23940c V; II it 4 ^ "If $40.25 Hx ' SSS $39.75 Hi; 1 ' . York) York) 72,224 134,200 t,\ * 3.23940c >' $40.29 Mar. 23 ISe'riat * 76,07* 162,46t ■/ H ' ' '' Total 1,165,000 <E.;& M. Jr. QUOTATIONS): — 55,085 12,918,000 131,700 \ ' , , / Mar/23 . V ^ 3.23940c ^^3.239400^;^ _Mar. Mar. 23 Electrolytic copperDomestic refinery ac__;_^_—/—_v__———/— < Export refinery at— Straits f!'-SX ^ f V ___ ,\;rK : ' hhH; 101 — -— METAL PRICES 65,198 84,431 53,473 BRAD - " I 71,505 68,396 Fdtfruary 28— "* foreign- countries t INDUSTRIAL)—DUN steel (per (per lb.)_____—— lb.)-__ Pig iron (per gross Toss ton)— ton) Scrap steel (perr gross ton)i.— ton). , - 66,784 $90,266,000 — Stocks Finished '"!■ j SYSTEM— exchange C-w-r-——4— on goods, Stored and shipped between Based l"' : INDEX—FE — 5,030,008 (tons).: RESEVE Exports -ii— Domestic; shipments i 26,493,000 • 27,712,000 i MINES): IRON AGE COMPOSITE PRICES: 6,422,068 5,613,036 GOVERNORS OF (in thousands)—-! AS of — ' Crushed (tons) :'ty *7,472,776 5,410,438 ' /ACCEPTANCES OUTFED. RESERVE BANK OF Received at mills ; 6,940,653 DOLLAR NEW YORK $90,318,000 .IMar. 25 FEDERAL 1 ; _Mar. 25 THE COTTON r 126,430 (tons —i. period BOARD — 719,990 ill-: AND grades ; *^i;; (COMMERCIAL 138,066 - lbs.)____ DEBITS flC AS FAILURES LURES 139,588 INSTITUTE: Shipments (tons of 2,000 lbs.). Stock at end of period (tons). 805,376 (tons SALES * • •_ smelter 2,000 COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT STEEL INSTITUTE, ING.—Month of ^ . 711,433 (tons).'£_/£^/' Beehive coke zinc Of 4 797,033 ezzoMISESH: OF Ago January: • AMERICAN ZINC 689,062 municipals (U. S. BUREAU of ingots and steel for castings produced (net tons)—Month of February.._ Shipments of steel products, Including alloy and stainless (net tons)—Month of Jan.: 5,240,250 5,344,000 20 of cars)———Mar. 20 constjruction. OUTPUT Year Month (DEPT. Steel 20 20 . federal AND 700,482 — »v PRODUCTS (thousands of pounds)- IRON ___-Mar. 20 construction i---. construction__-_;_-L.„>^_'i:£^^_^_.i_!— and WROUGHT COMMERCE)—Month BANK * ( constwcttoiW-'-iL-ifwLtiii;—;! ■ / 4 Previous Month ALUMINUM 95.4 94.6 n • Revenue COAL Ago _Mar. 20 _ oil and State Ago 95.7 • ________—— Public Week 89.4 4 _ Latest AMERICAN —- Total Week T i of 42 gallons each)——Mar. average (bbls.) —————Mar. (bbls.)__ Mar. output (bbls.) Mar. Gas oil and distillate fuel oil output (bbls.)—*—i .Mar. Residual fuel oil output (bbls.) : .Mar. Stocks at refineries, at bulk terminals, in transit and in pipe lines— 'Finished and unfinished gasoline (bbls.) at———_ _Mar. Kerooine (bbls.) at_. Private Year OF Kerosine Gas Month April 4 tons)———_—April AMERICAN PETROLEUM INSTITUTE: Crude oil output—daily average (bbls. Crude runs to Gasoline Previous 1 ingots and castings produced - Latest .365,%7fcV averia^ef*' tBased on *Revlsed figure. tBased1' on the- producers' quotation. tBased on the of the producers' and platers' quotations. SBased on platers' quotations. DDomestK, '; 131.3 | five tons t{Monthly or more average but in less year than 1946. carload lot, packed in cases, f. o. b. New York. ' 42 & THE COMMERCIAL (1458) FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Thursday, April 1, 1948 its tasks under the new McCabe and Szymczak which all quired to what has been known: That Presi¬ stead to would banks be their to cash Since the first several sessions of the hearings starting March 3 dealt exclusively with the work of the Office of Foreign Liquida¬ which Commissioner, supply W.i & ¥'4 f f Chicago and measure On found visitor at early hearings could tell, McCabe's position on Federal serve policies was a blank there was could even no evidence read or that write. the Mr. Re¬ and our success "As is functory attention to the renomination of;Mr.,M. S. Szymczak for a full fourteen year term as Board Member; Because Mr. Szymczak had been a Member of the Board he striction, return When statement in on clerk read a long the OFLC prepared tile Senator's name; and a later Mr. McCabe had the week . a same clerk read a long reply pre¬ pared in his own name. During a subsequent hearing on March 24, in reply to questions Mr. McCabe revealed that he ing capital. Notwithstand¬ certain, effect, many on favor jankers the this method Hon. C. W. Tobey John W.Snyder dealing with the present problem of too easy' bank credit. on of means a objection was ex¬ certain Committee who felt that he had . ; duction, and particularly more production per man-hour, is the most effective way to deal with it as by enough in his present positipn. However, when the mat¬ ter came on the floor no objection was raised and Mr. Szymczak was confirmed.' over Board's special reserve plan some members however, would mean the earnings of banks this, long been long below expenses and a reasonable the first hearing opened Senator Tobey had so Mr. Szymczak, returned to the who last Board year from a special assignment as Director of the Economics Division of OMGUS definitely under control by providing addi¬ supply side. This means In Berlin, first came to Washing I government economy and ton at the invitation of President in < * 1933. When the deferment of all deferrable ex¬ Roosevelt penditures. It also means as large Banking Act of 1935 came into tional a for need "The supply money bringing the more over the result of this study there a question in the j many mind condesirability of the' principles of regulating and controlling bank ' holding conl- : panies especially those whose Cx-;, pansion programs are inconsistent; with principles of adequate and * sound banking. / .U. no cerning ■ With the spotlight on Mr, .Mc¬ Cabe. the Seriate paid only per¬ pressed homework my certainly worthwhile from the J standpoint of the possible future administration of the Act. " ; in reaching Szymczak Confirmed Without \;:,V Hearing .V'/'-'lv tain of effective bank credit re¬ reducing Mr. but . the 1 broad ' f 'In I " '* arriving at this conclusion have , a J former associate of Eastern holidays a little difficult our success v had In fact, so far as a which the goal of sustained prosperity." M. S. Szymczak alternative to the spe¬ an Lie selective mine in government ,service. to use in find¬ ing ways to deal with these prob¬ lems will depend in no small reserves, permitted to hold income-producing assets, ^Jboma* B. McCabe namely short-term Government obligations. The proposal has come to be called the Board's special reserve plan. "As the different from those of a few years ago. ranks would be Mr, over and money Amberg, as you know; collabo¬ If this be so, co¬ rated in drafting the recommen¬ operation will - be necessary be¬ dations of the Reserve City Bank¬ tween the central banking author¬ ers on this legislation. \ ities and other agencies. : 'Since I am not a lawyer and ' 'The problems which monetary much of the reading material is and credit policy must face today expressed in legal language, I headed, and since cial reserve plan, the Board in its 945 and 1946 annual reports also those sessions produced no direct asked Congress to raise the limits cross examination of the nominee, the public found the procedure to which required cash or pri¬ most unusual;- and even Mr. mary reserves may be increased. 0 increase required cash reserves McCabe began to wonder whether the strategy was to wear him out. : :ar enough*to be relatively cer¬ McCabe of controls over credit is put. are re¬ hold, except that in¬ being legally required certain Board member. tion of add Harold Amberg, the legal counsel. of the First National Bank of - , Very simply, this plan involves temporary increase in reserves dent Truman asked his opinion, on Mr. McCabe's qualifications as a the of a repeated merely because great increase in the public debt. Treasury John W. Snyder. But the latter, obviously determined to disclose the minimum possible information, lost been nave IPs page) (Continued from first ing who "decapitated" Mr, Eccles, called as witness Secretary of the •M<> controls traditional of Credit Control on conditions which we face in a combination been;; particularly by pressed the extensive im- I ' ' study, j ^ which the Board and its staff have ^a given to this general sub j ect over the past several years. There appear to have been innumerable " v; , discussions of the, matter at the , Board itself, as well as between representatives of the Board and of other governmental;> including the Justice Department, the Comptroller of I agencies the Currency and the FDIC. Federal Advisory Council . The , also v has studied the Bill and I under- that stand ! certain' amendments " suggested by the Board and : approved by your Committee as were surplus of tax receipts as pos¬ effect Mr. Szymczak enterd upon sible, so that dollars are removed a new 12-year term as Member of a result of the Council's recom¬ favors as much decentralization problem of appro¬ from the spending stream and the Board of Governors in 1936. mendations on the subject. Out¬ That term came to an end Feb. side the government, the need for; as possible in the operation of the priateness of our existing system used to retire public debt held by reserve requirements. This the Federal Reserve System. This 1, 1948. Thus Mr. Szymczak has bank holding company legislation 'I"!" Federal Reserve System. He made of it, clear that he believes in co¬ scheme has long been recognized akes dollars out of the money served more than fourteen years. seems to have been urged upon,,'.; From a well informed source the Board and * the Congress by ' operating with those with whom as inequitable in certain respects; supply by an equivalent amount he must work at the Board's indeed the System has engaged in and is a reversal of the wartime the writer learns that Mr. Szym¬ the Association of Reserve City ' chairman. He thought that the many studies of methods to im¬ process by which the money sup¬ czak was Governor Eccles' choice Bankers, the two Independent . ; ' Board's government-bond support prove it. Ultimately, it will be ply was expanded. The classical as Vice-Chairman of the Board Bankers Associations, some 10 of : policy of last December was wise. desirable to have our reserve re¬ precept of sound finance; that at the time Mr. Eccles' expected 112 State Bankers Associations, the But, as for most other FRB prob¬ quirements based on the type of debt should be paid off in boom to be reappointed to the Chair- National Association of; Super¬ lems about which he was asked, i ranking business conducted by a imes, bar peculiar virtue* in,:the man's post; and that he was also visors of State Batiks and by a McCabe's choice as Vice- considerable number of independ- : the nominee stated that he favored bank rather than on the basis of case of a public debt the. size of Mr. ocation, as is now the case. But ours, so much of which is held Chairman. With Governor Eccles erit bankers throughout the counhaving careful studies made be¬ this is a complicated matter, as by the banking system. ; P • • fore committing himself. away on leave Szymczak is now try. I understand that various of > ; matters of equity invariably are, Chairman pro tem. of the Reserve j these organizations have contrib¬ Commends ABA Program The Special Reserve Plan and will take time to remedy," Board. uted suggestions affecting, the "As Mr. Asked about the controversial you know, curbing of in¬ Szymczak emphasized. ; 1 With the testimony of Secretary draftsmanship of the * Bill, some he authority level of for bank regulating reserves has also raised the "special chairmanship and leadership, Mr McCabe favor flationary pressures cannot be ac¬ plan" advanced under Mr. Eccles reserve by the Board testified that less some method he would controversial of strengthening the over credit, should v :j such strengthening be necessary. Board's control Money Supply Excessive "Meanwhile, uation of an confront a sit¬ excessive and highly expansionary we money supply, and measures necessary priate private are appro¬ decisions. Bankers, example, must ask them¬ of regulating > growth of bank selves whether, as a group, they credit in the public interest, with are extending credit on a sound the object of preventing recur¬ basis—credit which will stand up ;he problem is to find some way for Mr. McCabe's observations on this point illustrate his philosophy of rent outbreaks of inflation. Either in whatever storms are ahead of seeking the smoother way and the Board's special reserve plan us. In this connection, I commend to your attention, as well as to the making as few enemies as pos- or authority to raise further ex sible.isting reserve requirements seems attention of bankers, the program to be the most feasible, available formulated some time ago by the It must be noted, of course, that restraint for this purpose, taking American Bankers Association, ^ the new chairman will preside into account the over-shadowing and the joint statement on "Bank over a Board still largely disposed size of our public debt. Credit Policy During the Infla¬ to favor the special reserve plan 1 "There has been little need for tion," issued Nov. 24, 1947, by the Not only was that plan advanced increased reserve requirements Board of Governors of the Fed¬ in the Board's annual reports o:: during the past three months be¬ eral Reserve System, the Comp¬ 1945 and 1946, and through Mr. cause of the Treasury's favorable troller of the Currency, the FedEccles last year, but as recently fiscal developments. which have era! Deposit Insurance Corpora¬ as March 19 in the Federal Remade possible' a substantial re¬ tion, and the Executive Commit¬ / serve Bulletin the Board again tirement of bank-held public debt tee of the National Association of expressed its opinion that it needs Such retirement has temporarily Supervisors of State Banks.; ; y additional powers to Control cred¬ against bank I "I suggest that the reconstruc¬ it on the:theory that We are still exerted: pressure credit expansion. But in the fu¬ under tion and strengthening of policy predominantly inflationary . pressures, leaving the clear implication that "a man convinced • against his will, is of the same opinion still." This impression is fortified by comments given the writer only a few days ago by Governor Matt S. Szymczak; who during Mr. Eccles' March vaca tion served man pro as the Board's chair tem, Szymczak's Views Questioned by the "Chronicle concerning the Federal Reserve ture this type of pressure wil be available in the same de¬ gree, and bank' credit conditions may become unduly easy. If this not should happen, the need for Some special, additional restraint Wil. be urgent. It; is better to have authority to deal with a situation as it develops than to have au¬ thority provided, if at all, too late to be used." - (What Governor Szycmzak here had in mind course, was the pending Act to reduce tax on revenues and its effect the- surplus.) Snyder interroga¬ renewed controls oyer the use to which the credit supply is put also requires careful and conscientious .study. I do not suggest that We keep reaching out for more power, and controls, but I am aware of the fact that in honestly and sin¬ more promote eco¬ seeking to cerely nomic stability at a high level; techniques may perhaps be devised to meet the Changing situation. V Fpr many years the Board has been able to new effective control into the the flow of securities bank credit of which the Bill, basis " of are already included in; while c e r others form Senator Tobey on Tuesday an¬ the hearings ended. A vote would be taken within a few the t a i nV amendments which the Board is even now pro- : posing to the Congress. 1 find that the bank holding companiesV nounced , even days, he stated. Both SenatorTobey and Fulbright duidng the themselves hearing this week evidenced the strongest determination to fight for enactment of the bill S.829, a pf; the Board relating to the terms of this proposed legislation. Finally, your own Committee has voted have discussions with tak'en representatives > unanimously to report the Bill favorably to the Senate. ' v, r v ' * ize bank holding companies "In the light of this extensive : background of expert study and support for the Bill I am without hesitation in renewing my previ¬ considered to be aimed at the Transamerica interests. Tobey stated bis doubt as,to the efficacy of the Buck amendment which would author¬ with in state limits. ous endorsement of the principles - , primarily measure "■ part' in' * I ot the Bill and to state my coh-week's hearings Mr. McCabe did elusion that there appears to be athe requested "homework" on the definite need for early Congrespending bill. After briefing at the sionai action m this field. I agree. Federal Reserve B o a r d, > Mr. that the Congress and the bank McCabe presented the following authorities should diligently strive prepared statement: to establish such rules and reguBetween; last- week's~ and- this ; , , • ** --I sx""Ss?s; of this Committee I have made a quick Bank ; banks; of the Holding Company Act S.829-r-and have read the June 19, T947 report of this Committee to the Senate: as well as the pub ssa S Certainly the. ownership by bank holding companies of un- proposed analysis - to a sound banking policy, nor is it fair competitively for the um¬ •*' - related businesses is not conducive: : > * Ky'r pire of the game—the government f; lished report of the hearings held to follow certain, traditional * cb May 26, June 2 and June 11, policies in regard to the expan¬ 1947. I have also conferred, at sion activities of independentiI considerable length,' with. the banks and anotherI policy with members of the legal staff of the regard to bank holding companies. ? Federal Reserve- Board who aslisted "in^ tlie preparatTon" of the I I Bill; They expressed astonishment I at my very optimistic hope of JhnnfrT^p °Wrirtpn mastering the essential features Quat« T.f.s !! • rp^rvTc market, and during the war it was given the powers over the credit structure, view task of regulating consumer cred¬ of the Bill in such a short time, only^th Mr. Szymczek gave his commen 5c nnVnf thpm PxnrPSKed it- 'We equitable competition between all it. The Board has recently asked in detail, saying: have been working iegisclasses of banks and not forpunipansion, will be especially , great Congress to renew the latter "In the light of all the consider if we relax our current fiscal for more five years tive reasons. X think that S.829 power, at least so far as install¬ ations, the Federal Reserve Board policy while inflationary dangers and it win be to you [ ment credit is concerned. , has: recommended to Congress the what you want in such a short ^ ^ave already mentioned. exist," Mr. Szymczak amplified. • "It is possible that central adoption of a plan which we fee "Fiscal policy is by far the most time.' I have persisted, however, "I think it only fair, however, W9pld restore some of the powers effective way to deal with the de¬ banking policy will find the in¬ and in addition to conferring with to point out that I,have,not been over the money supply which mand side of inflation just as pro- struments I also talked with Mr. | able to become an, expert on the , necessary to perform them Bulletin article and the Board "The urgency for the Federal Reserve Board's proposal, or some other proposal to curb Credit ex¬ the: l^tion ■ and complished by monetary, and fis¬ tion, of Mr. McCabe on the pend¬ policy alone; Among other ing bank holding company bill cal mr^this tharT dffficult gtve I of establishing establishes^ the Principles which -Volume 167 Number 4686 : THE 'COMMERCIAL precise provisions of the Bill in a short period of time. As I pointed out last week, this subject is not , which has been of particular one moment -Bank at of Federal Philadelphia intense imy the Reserve and even of course briefing over j the past week has not brought me ..sufficient familiarity with. the minutiae pi the problem to enable me (i competently to different w e e n of debate course ^it should . Will Russia attack the United legislation in principle.' Even those who believe TVygr^ss should fit to States? proposed A if d S.829 pass can confirmed, assure I will you join appear that changes are diligence. has cept what they read in the papers. A great many of the in and (Continued from page 15) was ready for decline, but its weaknesses were limited; (b) that outside developments, .however, probably prevented a sharper decline in the Fall of 1947. some . >partial that «* • failure the rather- »a of the government reckless corn crop; engaged on grain buying program; that many businessmen .. /• had become cautious ; was a prematurely /.and by mid-Summer .of requirements; and advances and irble that rather a .discussion, of //Plan contributed short were wage irresponsi- the Marshall to inflationary ; psychology. Speculative inventory > buying was resumed by business*men. *. ■ * . . There were also , stimulating factors that influenced the public. Retail trade ^through showed rather a August disappointing trend, but cash payments to vet¬ erans in September helped stimu* late sales. Perhaps more impor¬ tant, the Administration ran such netted , (5) The financial position of business has deteriorated. Despite | / / ' ^ / / Weaknesses Appeared-- This ; was- an impressive performance by business. 1948 began /-with what everyone regarded as >'a..high, level of momentum, and v . optimism was; rrampant. During ,tJanuary, /Jiowever/ there was a marked slowness in many whole¬ sale markets.~ There was of growing uneasiness. a , ; February > there was feeling Dur.ng of one the broadest and sharpest declines in i Speculative markets that; had oc- - . ■ ^eurred for men ers * , / .- Business¬ Economic observ¬ as % eco- as it looked only 60 to; previously. v time. some well nomic situation was not // * as began to suspect that the strong 90 days , , ? "There is not much doubt that the economic and price structure was weakened in respects many during the last 12 months. Very briefly, here are some of the r things that began to receive more »attention, and that paused quite i a „ . ibit, of caution, in business opera¬ tions. j ; , (1) Inventories were much higher. Total business inventories , ; ■ at the $38.3 record i new to meet its finan¬ cial requirements. Bank loans ad¬ draw and corporations end (to.. $41.8 // January. u - of March, and billion 1947 had were increased at. the end had markets spite the difficulty in selling issues. There oration and of also was current its equivalent inventories able and assets. that aver somewhat still low as (2) Prices small steps compared with earlier flected in peak reached in 1920. businessmen be How could expected to feel / fmch impact %' ■ "> / * develooirent a has viini Declines in com¬ on affdct rural demand; this was evi¬ dent in. February. , . /It seems to me that .these con¬ siderations justify some sort of a conclusion. there was a We have seen that small decline in busi¬ last year; that this was inter¬ rupted and reversed; but that the business position at the moment seems to be weaker than it was then. I can think of no good rea¬ ness son' why there should not be other decline it should an¬ this year, and why not be bigger than the last year, if nature is, left to its course. That brings us to the war scare and its potential effects. ■ one take / War Not k 1 , " " Imminent; not met any who is well-informed chance of such much opment. There is of fear that some sort conflict. there will in lag. locations. anyone who has spoken to retailers of almost description/during months has been demand for the aware past any 12 that unit increasing number of items has been slipping. (4) Exports were declining. The all-time peak was reached in the an second quarter of 1947. Although the ERP will prevent the decline from going much farther, the level of exports from npw on, arid par¬ ticularly net exports, will be below the peak. ^ / any a devel¬ certain amount a incident an that consumption, but person honestly believes that there war of unit prices and business is veto. The budget for the coming or $4 bil¬ families in have their meet is had to be ... budgeting in order to living costs. There much doubt that the some reduction will be translated the tax or acci¬ might generate It is recognized probably be icivil one of number a of It is quite possible that opposing sides will be backed re¬ spectively by the- United States and Russia. But it is unlikely that the conflict countries between will direct in the these become near open future. price increases, in unit small V volume or The absent tax will be reduction either • alone 'arge in relation to total is not consumer spending. In fact, a further drop in farm prices or a small increase 'n unemployment would cancel it off. can able listen revival of inflation. can get under . ' * mm* Equip. Trust Ctfs. An Pennsylvania RR. equipment trust, series S, 2%% equipment trust certificates due $733,000 an¬ from restric¬ willingly underwriting group headed by Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. won the award March .31 of $10,995,000 nually July 1 1948-1962, inclusive, and were re-offered by the group, subject to Interstate Commerce Commission authorization, at prices to yield 1.15% to 2.65%, according to maturity. to The proposals for additional monetary controls than to proposals for di¬ rect business controls. the certificates, issued under Philadelphia plan, are the an authorized final instalment of $32,930,000 trust certifi¬ series S. The aggregate principal amount of these certifi¬ issue of ,;•;•,:' /, S/V;;//;/• :• X/r additional $4 billion would raise the total defense budget for . the -next fiscal year to $15 billion be Halsey, Stuart Group Offer Pennsylvania RR. that inflation more a price structure, ■' is being revived, however, would probably be the signal for a fur¬ ther tightening in credit condi¬ tions. I believe that Congress would will unless further credit on months way. very up few watchful that some such re¬ adjustment is necessary before a longer-term period of high-level activity, based on a less vulner¬ . ;Any sign next of They believe / " refrained magnitudes involved do much leverage in the rather than ; thorities small a waitiqg. Most businessmen of my acquaintance still expect a downward adjust¬ ment in prices and production quickly convert a surplus 'into* a Fediera deficit/ Following the price de¬ cline in February, monetary au¬ An / It to I | Conclusions seems fair , describe at moment the economic cates, ; forces cates will be issued to finance not as only slightly higher than it was hanging in the balance. A mile, more than 80% of the cost, esti¬ mated at $41,137,500, or 27 dieselin fiscal 1947; and it was in the deflationary trend became evident latter part of that year that a during the first quarter of the electric 6,000 h.p. passenger lo¬ moderate : business decline de¬ year. Recent developments set up comotives; 22 diesel-electric 6.000 veloped. cross-currents that have tended h.p. freight locomotives; 28 diesel; Cross-Currents , ! to retard this movement. Inten¬ electric 1,000 h.p. switching loco¬ motives; 34 diesel-electric 600/ Since the beginning of the year sification of the war scare would we have seen a. certain economic quite probably strengthen these 660 h.p. switching locomotives; 1,000 freight train box cars; and pattern developing. An inflation¬ cross-currents. or , have set now The retard the up some effects rate of of adjustment and to stimulate is to When you want to re¬ some somewhat of new more ment can expect favorable trend for markets lines the and have air forces. some equip¬ shown We have for every greater tightness in anticipation of larger of defense This spending. Retailers can sales in the next few months to be slightly higher than they would have been without a an stencil In our mailing department metal firm Cities, arranged alphabetically by list is within and Dealers bank listed In "Security and revised the dally and States by Cities firm names. offers you the most up-to-the-minute service available. Our charge States tax reduction. Psychology a North America" and expect is at CIRCULARIZE the Investment orders, as. more funds*are appropriated Metal train cars. Firms In the United States and Canada, Remember Us! markets. a 9 passenger diffi¬ basic cross-cur¬ these downward Machine tool makers the Nevertheless, price trend was gradually readjusting itself to a deflationary path. The war scare and Con¬ gressional action on tax reduction ary or SPECIAL far has not been greatly ; stimulated., However, I two doubt that the war scare period and The Monetary Factor Federal the ones The reduction of taxes and pro¬ jected increases in Federal spend¬ ing: had entire business structure. drastic development in field changes the attitude. ;-:V gain any entirely. ' passed we not suggest more prevents price decreases or causes but , foreign whole less .directly into sales. -:.;"'V-1; ' or very be not will caution in operations. We willing to recognize the stim¬ ulating forces of tax reductions and increased defense spending, difficulties in Italy. Most political observers believe, however, that will there 1 are draft measure, and quite probably pass it if there are UMT that decline similar to that gest emergency careful predict a We are able to de¬ tect many weaknesses which sug¬ Best guess at the moment seems to be that Congress will ready an current not be 1920-21. indefinitely. UMT unless pass past use the first quarter of this year; that rise in prices cannot go on Military Training was Congress is to to the methods of preparedness would be much more effective. • .helpful to retail sales. The pub¬ lic has been badly squeezed. Even he moderate to higher income foolish Nevertheless, passed. JBut anxious be demonstration in the second quar¬ ter of 1947, and another one in some prospective increase in a to soon of literally forced to do so by foreign development. This is more than a question of mere politics, since many opponents of UMT believe sincerely that other reduction, Congress will pass President's rash it is tax There is no doubt that reduc¬ tion in personal income taxes will rents. I do not believe there is much chance that there will be a war been followed by sharp declines? (3) Unit volume has begun to measure not be an general psychology and a sympathetic effect on other mar¬ kets, Declining farm prices also armed v h o w e v e r, be further modity futures markets have ;// such levels had always in the past « ■ portant effects. dent of no actually stimulat¬ a tightening orice decLnes. from This calm attitude might change tions. . experts. This gather would history as an analogy for what may happen next. It would be a if Universal of them :/> strong confidence in the price i level, when prices had only been y r- higher once or twice before in the f. country's entire history, and when There is de¬ , continues probably ft Mosts past few weeks seems to be seasonal rather than apprehensive. there perspective, ''i';-:?//■//./•Z/ To the extent to which either favorable, the would increasing an of items. We have never had a postwar period just like the present one. them conversations. the price, level of farm commodities. If growing weather will of one so end. If I read the situation correctly, we are likely to experi¬ may seem like guesswork, ence a series of scares, rather than dangerous guesswork, to state a single one. I doubt that a peak such a conclusion. I believe, how¬ will be reached in the present ever, that the logic of the situa¬ state of international tension be¬ tion points in that direction. A. complete Is $5 00 per S. D. LIST All addressing completed within We can a offices (United only) or Cities $6.00 per thousand. or also list thousand. (main selected States at v addressing for Canada) N. supply the list on 24 hours. gnmmed roU labels small additional charge. It and Will Russia? our the United The tradition States /w|hole is that attack history we of become ■ turned its rise has been appre¬ or number activity and the strengthening in prices during the lion, which I have no doubt Con¬ gress will also pass. ///- V:/. /.//'< and higher. Led by farm commodities, the wholesale involving Russia and the United price index rose again toward the States in the near future. T have were attitude what either has ciably restricted, for news¬ fatalistic. volume down, indi¬ rush of panic buy¬ ing. Even in the used car market, the pickup in Similarly, the increase in de¬ fense spending means more Fed¬ modernization programs. y/vV:-'/ eral purchases and orders for C (7) World agricultural, condU somei iMiust r4 es. Nevertheless, tionstfiave improved. This has al¬ these two stimulating factors must ready been at least partially re¬ be judged in relation to a broader there Unit con¬ different very the stores in fiscal year of about $3 adopted this program with a great dealof effectiveness. Conse¬ quently/it is more difficult to are the , other is au¬ its costs higher; .although on One the defense tighten credit, hvaddition, they urged voluntary credit restriction on the banks, ,, and the banks money is developments bound to have activity. to new the moment, effects two which I believe receiv¬ Monetary with be -casual many them, I would say, accept the possibility of an early war with¬ out much question, in contrast to :/ the at what are are ing effect Cash ./'/"!// thorities took several obta.n is There new was steady tightening in credit conditions. had of y' Stimulus will be from international velopments short of war. to de¬ declined, while accounts to seem front has lagged question therefore, deteri¬ a advanced. ;• /■(6) There of ../,''jiky!-.// not , the capital on • New r The money in order vanced economic seriously. high earnings, business had to raise extensive amounts of , billion, ag¬ foreign policy has gains. Her position, some ternal , ~ an does have Nevertheless, the public has not however, is by no means con¬ acted as though it were badly solidated, and progress on her in¬ frightened. It has not rushed to standards. I; This not only tends to concentrated advertising ,camjiscourage inventory speculation paign about: the pros p e c i pf. and, excessive buying, but is inflation and higher prices that among the factors causing some the public kept on buying heavily reappraisal of plant expansion and .through Christmas. v policy to go slow at home and conversely. Her aggressive it: a * followed foreign that amount of economic energy. When she goes fast abroad, she is forced subscribed." * You will recall that there Russia bas gressive I her, internal position sincerely hope is strong and healthy. On the embody the contrary, she has only a limited to which this Economic Tendencies whole the that with mean principles re¬ peculiar past two weeks. that the final Act will Committee during this 43 culty is too much production at loo high a price. Domestic and foreign demands seem to have passed their peak. Even at their peak, they were satisfied with something to spare for inventory. a viduals, who don't know too much about foreign developments ex¬ of the Board I noticed, versations administering it with fairness broad street."- In the could probably pick a better time than the present. The mere fact for measure I- have situation that, if be- this in spect that Russia may sometime attack the United States admit that she choose with "man the Com¬ in" substantially .onn.iecommenaea oy your mittee, I '(1450) in our economy is determined by the actions and (attitudes of the , methods on CHRONICLE requii ed, fhqy will not affect the involved, in wars only on the u. damental objectives. <; •greatest provocation involving di¬ "I wish to. repeat, Mr.. Chair-I rect attack on our shipping, or on man, that I am in favor of this our outposts. other Governors achieving the same objective. I 'do hope, however, that, if in the FINANCIAL & fore late Summer Public or Fall. . Calm 4 great deal of what happens Herbert D. Seibert & Co., Inc. • 25 Park Place REctor 2-9570 New Vork 7, ft ¥. ; 44 • • March 25 filed facture corn for plant improvements. Co., Ltd. Underwriter—Paine, Web- ($20 par), 1947 series. stock Atlantic lateral par) Fisheries Coast Co., Consolidated . Underwriter stock. common Boston, Mass. Offering Buffalo. conversion 'against ^will — The bonds — Doolittle Co., & of the be are • ; - i/ preferred stock, convertible prior to July " Underwriters — Goldman, Sachs & Co. and Pierce, Fenner & Beane, New York, and Piper, Jaffray & Hopwood, Minneapolis. Price and num¬ ber of shares by amendment/Proceeds—To reduce short-* Jerm bank loans totaling $13,850,000. Business—Holding company for durable goods retail stores. ' V Inc.' 1958. • ..-Genuine Parts Co., Atlanta, Ga. filed 150,000 shares ($5 par) common stock, of which 50,000 are being offered by company and 100,000;;;. by five stockholders. Underwriter—Courts & Co., At- v March 30 amendment. Proceeds—From the $400,000 of bank indebtednessj; will be retired and balance for working capital. Business —Wholesale automotive parts and supplies. /lanta, Ga. Price by sale of the 50,000 shares. Br/;/ Georgia Hardwood Lumber Co. ditures. (4/12-16) 69,500 shares $1 convertible cumulative preferred stock (no par) and 10,425 shares of common stock ($1 par). Underwriter—Reynolds & Co. / Price by amendment. Proceeds — To selling stockholders— March (4/20) Consolidated Natural Gas Co. V; Merrill Lynch, treasury for expansion expen-" and to reimburse stock /5B;B Augusta (Ga.) Grocery Co. Br/'" March 22 (letter of notification) $100,000 5% serial de¬ bentures bonds and 4,500 shares of 6% ($20 par) par¬ • : cumulative Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp. , Proceeds—To redeem bonds. Unsubscribed bonds / 273,566 shares of outstanding $5 cumulative preferred underwriter. Proceeds — publicly offered by General corporate purposes. proceeds will Gamble-Skogmo, Inc., Minneapolis, Minn. March 30 filed an unspecified number of shares ($50 par); 31, Edison Co. of N. Y., 250,000 • $57,382,600 of 3% convertible debentures, due 1963. Convertible at the rate of one common stock share for each $25 of debentures. Offering—Common stockholders of record March 25 were to be given right to subscribe for debentures in ratio of $5 of debentures for each share held. Due to failure of the New York P. S. Commission to approve the issue, the' financing has been postponed. Underwriting—Unsubscribed de¬ bentures will be offered at competitive bidding. Prob¬ able bidders: Morgan Stanley & Co.; Halsey, Stuart & being offered to stockholders at the rate of $1,500 of bonds for each 1,000 shares of common stock held. The stock will be reserved ■' No-underwriting. Rights expire held. 1 filed March mortgage and col¬ 168,950 shares ($1 filed $556,500 4V2% general trust convertible bonds and 2 & Co., New York. New common to,; stockholders of record April 6 at rate, share for each 12 y2 now shares and 125,000 preferred shares Detroit March 22 (letter of notification) 136,268 shares ($1 par) common stock., Price—$1 each. For working capital. ment for new stores. .ber, Jackson & Curtis, New York, and Mitchum, Tully & Co., San Francisco. Price—$21 per share. Proceeds— To expand facilities. Feb. present new one preferred company Formsprag Co., • , April 15. Price—Preferred, par; common by amendment.,B Proceeds—To buy machinery, trade fixtures and equip¬ , (4/6) 75,000 shares of 5% cumulative preferred Associated Telephone March 15 filed V ' of 260,000 and and 75,000 common shares. The company's be used for general corporate purposes. (4/6) shares of 5% cumulative preferred ($50 par), and 49,431 shares of common stock ($2.50 be offered sell shares common par). Underwriter—Hemphill, Noyes Offering—Preferred publicly April 6. Record date expected to be about April 13 and subscription period will extend two weeks. Proceeds —$1,000,000 for retirement of bank loans and the bal¬ shares held. will holders March 16 filed 40,000 stock ■1 -A, ISSUE Business—Manu¬ Inc., Norfolk, Va. Colonial Stores, .preferred stock (no par). Underwriters—The First Bos¬ ton Corp. and Smith, Barney & Co. Price by amend¬ ment. Offering—To be offered to common stockholders in ratio of one preferred share for each 12 common ance and its sales affiliate.. products. Partition Corp. Ludlum Steel Corp., Pittsburgh 107,383 shares of cumulative convertible Allegheny PREVIOUS SINCE ADDITIONS INDICATES Registration in Now Securities Thursday, April 1, 1948 FINANCIAL CHRONICLE & THE COMMERCIAL (1460) 11 filed March 15 filed $30,000,000 of debentures, due 1968. Int. ;, rate and price by amendment. Underwriters—To be de¬ ticipating preferred stock. Underwriter—Johnson, ]Lane, termined through competitive bidding. Probable bidders (Equitable Securities Corp., A. C. Allyn & Co., Inc., and Sapec & Co., Inc., Augusta. To purchase assets from include: White, Weld & Co. and Paine, Webber, Jackson Clement A. Evans & Co., Inc.) / March 30 stockholders stockholders of a predecessor corporation. ' : & Curtis (jointly); Dillion, Read & Co. Inc.; The First voted to change name to Georgia-Pacific Hardwood Bennett-Ireland, Inc., Norwich, N. Y. Boston Corp.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc; Morgan Stan¬ ■;>Lumber CCo. .' ,, r » > « March 22 (letter of notification) $200,000 15-year sinking ley & Co/ Proceeds-^-To be added to general funds for Gulf States Utilities Co. (4/19) fund first mortgage bonds. Underwriter—Mohawk Val¬ purchase of additional capital stock in the company's March 19 filed $12,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due ley Investing Co., Inc., Utica, N. Y. Price—Par. Pre¬ operating subsidiaries. Expected about April 20. ;; , 1978, Underwriters—Names to be determined by com-* payment of mortgage ($130,000). Corporate purposes. ■■ • Crader Oil Co., Oklahoma, City, Okla. petitive bidding. ' Probable bidders: Stone & Webster • Broad Street Investing Corp. ! March 22 (letter of notification) 50,000 shares ($1 par) / Securities Corp.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon B March 22 filed 100,000 shares (par $5) ; capital stock. capital stock. Price—$1 each. For drilling and develop¬ Bros. & Hutzler; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane Underwriter—Broad Street Sales Corp. Proceeds—For^ ing oil lease. No underwriting. B B/'BB and White, Weld & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers. investment. ' B.. ' B•''_B;/;B B - :B-;'B Proceeds —To finance/ construction. Expected about Crampton Manufacturing Co. (4/12-16) Brockway (Pa.) Glass Co., Inc. '';;BB' vB'B/■' •• Feb. 5 filed $600,000 first mortgage 5y2% sinking fund ; April 19.■ ;■ ■;///''•';v'■ Feb. 26 filed 5,000 shares of - 5% cumulative preferred • H. & B. American Machine Co., Attleboro, Mass. bonds, due 1966, with warrants to purchase 60,000 shares stock (par $50) and 7,150 shares of common stock (par ■ March 24 (letter of notification) 60,000 shares (no par) ($1 par) common stock. Underwriter—P. W. Brooks & $50). Underwriting—None. Offering—Both issues will1; Co., Inc., New York. Proceeds—To retire secured in¬ common, stock. Price—$5 per share. To reduce mort* be offered at $50 per share to residents of Brockway. debtedness, finance inventories and supplement working gage indebtedness. No underwriting.' 1 k, Proceeds—Construction and purchase of new equipment. capital.U Expected early in April. • Helicopter Engineering ResearchCorp., B ' Cameron Aero Engine Corp. BB;';';B'B:/BB''- /B'Bv/; • Cuddy Mountain Mining Co., Spokane, Wash. B ;Philadelphia ;• Dec. 29 (letter of notification) 101,000 shares of common March 22 (letter of notification) 300,000 shares of com¬ ; atock March 26 (letter of notification) 150,000 shares of com-* (par $1), of which 85,000 shares will be sold to mon stock. Price—25 cents each. Underwriters—Wil¬ mon stock (par $1) and 50,000 shares of $1 6% non^ the public; 8,500 shares will be issued to underwriters liam Ray Bellows, Wellman Albert Clark, Robert Maur¬ cumulative preferred stock. To be issued from time to ... as additional underwriting consideration and 7,500 shares;,; ice Cooper, all of Spokane, and Gerry Moore & Co., time in small lots at prices ranging between par. ahd will be issued to American Die & Tool Co. for invest- Seattle. To begin mining operations at Grants Pass, Ore. B $2 per share. Operating capital.;: ' '! ment in return for cancelling $15,000 open account for ( , . „ - . " * > , . v ' ' * ■ , machine * tools. : Price—$2 per Henry P. Rosenfeld & Co., New York. March stock. cosmetic business. No underwriting, ;'v v B;; Bancshares named. Underwriter—None Offering—To be -sold (: banks and similar financial institutions only. competitively. Probable —To buy Halsey, Stuart & Co, Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Equitable Securities Corp.; Harriman, Ripley & Co.; Glore, Forgan & Co., and W. C. Langley & Co; (jointly). Offering—Debentures will be offered publicly. Stock will be offered present stock¬ holders on basis of one new share for each four held bidders: (letter of notification) 3,000 shares (no par) Price—$10 each/ Offering—To be sold .* to nine persons. For operating expenses in the perfume and be offered ing—Debentures to 24 common March 29 i '.^BBBz/BB1 25-year sinking fund debentures, due 1973. Underwrit¬ Carosanti, Los Angeles Corp., St. Louis, Mo. filed 327,105% shares ($4 par) common stock. ; Industrial ;: funds, etc. ating • Dallas (Texas) Power & Light Co. (4/5) Underwriter— \ To provide oper-v /Feb, 26 filed 68,250 shares of common (no par) $4,000,000 share. cial to Proceeds controlling interest in banks and similar finan^ — Banking and loan opera? ; > 1 ? B institutions.v Business tions. International Asbestos Co., Ltd., Sherbrooke, :,.;B:;-B-B Quebec Mining & Development Corp., Central Jan. 30 filed 1,500,000 shares ($1 par) common stock. City, Colo. v /BBBy:/;/ at $60 per share. 1 Texas Utilities Co. (parent) will Underwriter—Paul E. Frechette, Hartford, Conn., is the March 25 (letter of notification) 150,000 shares of class A acquire 62,292, shares. Proceeds—Construction program. U. S. authorized agent and principal underwriter, /Price common stock ($1.50 par) and 34,125 shares ($1 par Bids—Bids for the purchase of the bonds will be received —$1 - each. T Proceeds—To construct milling plant and • 'Jk> Central common) stock. —Carter ment and Price—Par for each class. H. Corbrey Underwriter up Co.,J Chicago,1': For mine develop¬ working capital.' " BBB;/;| Central Power & Light Co. Nov. 21 filed 40,000 shares <$100 par) cumulative pre¬ ferred. .j Underwriter—Kidder, Peabody & Co. Proceeds —For to April 5.B • property additions and expenses. : > „ March 25 filed Stock Co., Detroit, Mich. 450,000 shares of capital stock ($20 par). Names to Probable determined be bidders purchase equipment. I-Odoral, Inc., Wilkinsburg, Pa. B notification) 200,000 shares of common stock (par $1). Price—$1 per share. Underwriter—Ster^ ling Graham Co., Pittsburgh. Purchase of products, etc. B March 8 (letter of being sold by American Light & Traction Co. in /accordance with SEC divestment order. • , Detroit Edison t Underwriters— : through competitive bidding. Spencer Traski& Co. and Kingston Products Corp., Kokomo, Ind. include: March 5 (letter of notification) 14,618 shares common ($1 par). Underwriter—Alison & Co., Detroit. Proceeds Rutland, Vt. ' ;■ ■; • : •Empire Chemical Corp., Seattle, Wash. B to selling stockholders. ;Bv :B*':B BB;.BB :. T March'30 filed $1,500,000 Series E first mortgage hoods March 24 (letter of notification) 60,000 shares of common B • Kist Bottling Co., Los Angeles, Calif, B B . ; ' and an unspecified number of shares (no par) v^lue voting capital stock. Price—$5 each. Business costs. < No March 22 (letter of notification) 250,000 shares ($1 par) common stock. ' Underwriters Names to be furnished underwriting. common stock. Price—$1 each. For new buildings and by amendment. Proceeds—For a construction program Esterbrook Pen Co., Camden, N. J. B;BBB/|:;f B/B ; facilities.B;;;•/'' and repair of flood damages. BBB ; • iBB"B March 17 (letter of notification) 1,500 shares of common Kool-Aid Bottling Co., Inc. of Calif., Sheboygan#v 4 stock Clinton Industries, Inc., Clinton, ' Iowa (par $100). Price—Par. Underwriting—None. ;?W|sconsin . ' . .. March 26 filed $7,000,000 15-year debentures, due 1963. ;; Offering—Stockholders of record April 7 will be given the right to subscribe for one new share for each four /March 22 filed 1,500,000 shares ($1 par) common/stock. Underwriters Smith, Barney & Co., New York and Underwriter—Heronymus & Co., Sheboygan, Wis. uPro¬ shares held. 'Rights expire May 7 and subscriptions are Newhard, Cook & Co., St. Louis, Mo. Proceeds—To re¬ ceeds—To open and equip bottling plants in California pay a $1,500,000 bank loan to J. P. Morgan & Co., Incor¬ payable at First; Camden National Bank & Trust Co. cities. Price—$1 per share. /BB//B-;.B: For porated and purchase outstanding stock: of American working capital. • /, B/B. • B' • 'Mi^A Central Vermont Public Service Corp., Coffin & Burr (jointly); The First Boston Corp. BBbB'/ , , — — . J Federal Electric Products Co., Newark, N. J. Feb. 27 filed Corporate and Public Financing 150,000 shares ($1 par) common stock. Un¬ derwriting—To be filed by amendment. Proceeds—To repay loans made by/the company and a subsidiary Cole Industries, Inc. Florida Power March 2 filed ferred stock . • < ■'[, v Corp. :• ~ ' : ;"■/vB ;/ 4Q,000 shares ($100 par) cumulative pre¬ and' 110,000 shares ($7.50 par) common Underwriters—Kidder, Peabody & Co. and Mer¬ Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane. Offering—Com¬ . stock. The rill FIRST BOSTON for the mon Boston >" - New York . Chicago and other cities http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ fe: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis &>7. new penditures. CORPORATION /'• OL /' J stockholders Flotiil Pittsburgh " ' will common be stock. given the right to Subscribe Proceeds—Construction ex¬ - Products, Inc., Stockton, Calif. ; - March 6 filed 385,D00 shares of 60 cent convertible pre¬ ferred stock (par $5) and 325,000 shares of common stock (par $1). Underwriter — Floyd D. Cerf Co., Chicago. Price—preferred $10; common- $6. ; Proceeds — Stock¬ mm 4''"' I ,tos Bos' !> ' THF. Number 4686 167 Volume COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Stuart & Co..Inc.; Morgan Stanley & Co.; Harris, Hall & Co, (Inc.) and Drexel & Co. (jointly). Stock will be of¬ fered stockholders of record March 24 at $100 per share on a one-for-three basis. Rights expire April 26/- Amer¬ ican Telephone & Telegraph Co. owns 73.35% of out¬ standing stock. Proceeds—To repay advances from NEW ISSUE CALENDAR April 5, 1948 .Bonds Dallas Power & Light Co.— Michigan Consolidated Gas Co. 11:00 Upson Co. Telegraph Co. expected to amount $41,000,000 March 31, 1948. Bids—Bids for pur¬ the bonds will be received at Room 2315, 195 Broadway, ■ New York, tip to 11:30 a.m. (EST) on April 6. .—Preferred Oklahoma Gas & Electric Co.—— Common — —— April 6, .1948 (EST).— .Preferred due -Preferred Common — ..Bonds Southern Counties Gas Co. of Calif.. Virginia Electric & Power Co ... Debentures loans April 7, Chesapeake & Ohio Ry. Noon (CST)__...— • 1948 April 19, • share bonus. as toward chase 1948 due • Debentures • Superior District Power Co., Ashland, Wis. 52,800 shares of 5% convertible second - 30 filed preferred stock, cumulative ($20 par). common for each 2V2 program. stockholders shares J- , w Offering—To be the rate of one new Proceeds—Construction N. Y. Inc., Inc., New York March 24 (letter of notification) 200 shares of capital stock (par $1). Price—$6 per share. Underwriter—Delafield & Delafield, New York. Proceeds to selling stock¬ holders. ; • M ern • Maryland Credit Finance March 22 t(letter cumulative of preferred Corp., notification) stock Easton, 2,900 , '• .* - Michigan Consolidated Gas Co. (4/5) ► Feb. 26 filed $7,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due 1969. Underwriters—To be determined by competitive bidding. Probable bidders, Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Lehman Brothers; Dillon, Read & Co. Inc.; Glore, Forgan & Co.; (White, Weld & Co.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.). Proceeds —Construction program. Bids—Bids for the purchase of the bonds will be received at company's office, 415 Clif¬ ford Street, Detroit, up to 11 a.m. (EST) April 5. , • Montgomery (Edwin Jones), Tucson,>Ariz. March 22 (letter of notification) $300,000 of personal notes, bearing 6% compound interest. To refinance cur¬ rent business and personal indebtedness. ing.! • ^ No underwrit¬ ' Moore-Handley Hardware Co., Birmingham, Ala. of one • ''/ v Mountain States Telep. & Teleg. Co. (4/6) March 5 filed $25,000,000 30-year debentures, due April 1, 1978, and 191,881 shares of capital stock ($100 par). , Underwriting—Underwriters for bonds to be determined, through competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, not to selling . into two-thirds of ital. No a share. common underwriting. / / For working cap¬ ■ . Segal Lock & Hardware Co., Inc., New York March 24 filed $2,000,000 15-year 6% convertible sink¬ ing fund debentures, due 1963. Underwriter—Floyd D. Cerf Co., Inc. Price by amendment. Offering—To be offered initially to stockholders on basis of one $100 V. debenture for each 30 Caster & Truck Corp., Albion, Mich. fjled 80,000 shares of -77:;:7v ■;77 / • 7,77/;.; 777777:,7f l /7/'7#' Pecos Potash stock for Co. • No a 35,374 shares (no par) Fla. stock. common / Underwriters—Morgan Stanley & Co. and Coggeshall & Hicks, New York, and G. H. Walker & Co., Providence, R. I. Offering—Stock to be offered present holders at the rate of one for five/ Price by amendment. Proceeds —General corporate purposes.. ) Z-,..• / Personal Book Mass. Boston, Shop, • March 24 (letter of notification) 930 shares of preferred stock. - . will be to used / v ;; . pay . . ■ Pacific Reno, Nev. t $3,500,000 first mortgage bonds, due 197$. be determined by competitive bid¬ ding. Probable bidders include: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc; Proceeds—Construction costs Power Co., - Underwriters—To and the payment of $650,000 to National Shawmut Bank of Boston for construction notes. : ■ ; Silver Bell Mines Co., Denver Feb. 26 filed 125,000 shares ($1 par) capital stock. Price —$2.50 each. Offering—To be made to present stock- * holders.on a pro rata basis during first 10 days of sale.* Proceeds — Exploration work, working capital and in¬ debtedness. / .. •/.'•'■' Solvay American Corp., New York (4/13-21)' March 19 filed 200,000 shares ($100 par) cumulative pre¬ ferred stock. Price by amendment. Underwriters— Lazard Freres & York. Co., and Harriman Ripley & Co., New Proceeds—To &uy 297,897 shares of Class A stock Wyandotte Chemicals Corp. at $42.80 each, and for general funds. ' u of ^ South Carolina ible Telephone Co., Tampa, filed debentures, / i Electric >'•/ & .•* Gas , Co. Dec. 2 filed 80,858 shares ($50 par) cumulative convert¬ underwriting. 26 subordinated Sierra like amount of the stock of Southern Potash Peninsular March 6% March 26 filed construction program.,; 18 Offered by three officers and Price—$100 each. preferred and 404,293 shares ($4.50 par) common and 687,293 shares reserved for conversion of preferred. Underwriter—Kidder, Peabody & Cq., New / York. Offering—Shares initially will be offered for sub¬ scription by company's common stockholders, the pre¬ for sale, ferred on basis. a l-for-10 basis and the Unsubscribed shares will common be on a l-for-2 offered publicly. Price by amendment. Proceeds—Proceeds together with other funds will be used to purchase all of the outstand¬ ing common of South Carolina Power Co. from the Commonwealth & Southern Corp. directors, Bushrod H. Campbell, John C. Campbell, and Adah F. Hall. • /Powers No underwriting. Southern California Gas Co. (5/4) $15,000,000 3^4% first mortgage bonds, : Underwriters—Names by competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth & Co.,Inc.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane. Proceeds—To reimburse treasury for expenditures made to expand properties. Expected ;' around May 4/ ^ ,i : > . March & Oil Drilling, Inc., Casper, Wyo. March 23 (letter of notification) 200,000 shares (250 par) common stock. Underwriter John G. Perry & Co., Denver, Colo. For a drilling program. • /Public March 26 Relations, (letter of cumulative preferred stock of stock common Public New York Inc., notification) (par $1). /7\ of New shares ($10 Co. of 6% (par $10) and 2,900 shares Price—$31 per unit. :Corpo¬ f Service ^ shares 8,700 v/ -77: ■,</,. Hampshire / par) common stock. Underwriters—Kidder, Peabody & Co., and Blyth & Co., Inc., New York. Offering—Offered present holders at rate of one share for each 3x/2 shares held. New Eng¬ 6 filed 199,627 land Public Service Co. will waive its rights to subscribe purchased by the under¬ Proceeds—Construction program and retire short-term loans, t. Price by amendment. v Public March 3 .. Service Co. o# New Mexico filed 339,639 shares common Southern . Counties Gas Co. of Calif. (par $7). 4 Probable bidders: Blyth & Co., Inc.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp. and Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.) (jointly); W. C. Langley & Co. and / Glore, Forgan & Co. (jointly); White, Weld & Co. Pro¬ ceeds—To reimburse treasury for capital expenditures, including construction costs. Bids—Bids for purchase of the bonds vrill be received 934—810 to 8:30 by the company at Rooi Los Angeles, Calif., up April 6. South Flower Street, a.m. (PST) on (4/6) stock (4/6) Feb. 26 filed $7,000,000 3^4% first mortgage bonds, due 1978. Underwriting—To be determined by competitive bidding. to 141,101 shares which will be writer. 16 filed due 1978. — Feb. . a Painter Mabelle Gold Lemon & Co., Washington, D. C. Price by amendment., Proceeds—Shares are being sold by Equitable Securities (■ one program for company and subsidiaries, South¬ California Gas Co. and Southern, Counties Gas Co. rate purposes. Nashville,, Tenn.; Union Securities Corp., New Tri-Continental Corp. and Selected Industries Business—Hardware. * v\/ to Securities, Inc., Toledo, Ohio 22 (letter of notification) 30,000 shares of 5% stock ($10 par) cumulative and convertible • To be made to holders of common stock at new share for each five held. Proceeds— Mar. 29 filed 350,000 shares ($1 par) common stock. Un¬ derwriters—Paul H. Davis & Co., Chicago and Johnston, Corp., York; Corp. • pany. stock of record Feb. 27 share for each 10 held. Rights expire Co., Denver (letter of notification) 20,000 shares of common ($1 par). Price—$5 each, and .39,055 shares ($1 par) common capital stock to be sold by William Arthur Snyder, Denver. Mr. Snyder is offering to exchange this |" , Proceeds Boston March 16 filed 500,000 shares of capital common stock ($100 par) ; ^ Shareholders'; Trust of Electric, San Francisco ~ * shares ($25 par) common stock- outstanding — of caiif. • Md. Price at market. off indebtedness. Offering—To be offered at par to March 24 • ' and velopment work at Palmer, Alaska. stock to be of¬ fered to stockholders at $100 each and to the public at $102.50. For working capital. No underwriting. derwriting. Gas Mines, Inc., Seattle, Wash. (letter of notification) $25,000 of production notes, at $1 each, and $2,500 of stock, at one cent each. Underwriting—Frank Joseph Speckert, Seattle. For de¬ shares of 6% Mica Mountain Mines, Inc., Salt Lake City. Utah March 26 (letter of notification) 1,539,780 shares of common stock. Price—50 each. For mining costs. No un¬ $25,000 of debentures stock ($100 par). 26 filed March » ;,/ common stock (par $1). Underwriters—'Names to be filed by amendment. Price —$7. Proceeds—Proceeds together with funds from private sale of $600,000 of 4%%. debentures and $250,000 Expansion jpay indebtedness, and add to general corporate funds. $100,000. Service Pacific rate Working Co., Portland, Ore. March 26 filed 293,076 shares ($5 par) capital stock.' Underwriter—Kidder, Peabody & Co., New York. Price by amendment. Proceeds—To purchase 75% of the stock of F» Richardson Co., holder of timberlands in Oregon, . stockholder.-Underwriting—None. Jan. purposes. common Proceeds—To finance Offering Wood Business—Manufacture of plywood doors, wood pipe and lumber. business Lighting Corp., San Francisco, Calif. 321,726 shares (no par) common stock.,, Underwriter—Blyth & Co., Inc., New York. Price—$40. > /,/ stock (par $1). ' Underwriter—Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. Price—Net proceeds to the trust will.be $20 per share. Business— A newly-formed diversified open-end investment com¬ March ■ .,/ working capital at Danville and Kewanee, 111., stores. No underwriting. April 9. :'■■■'77/7'77; /:*://7/7//'77777; and of . Products Corp., New York (letter of notification) common* stock 26 exceed . . Food of at the rate of * M shares March notification) 400 shares (par $5) 1,600 shares (par $5) class B stock.; share. Underwriting—None. Purchase ^ to be sold to L. L. Skaggs, a director, and the stock to stockholders at par. To finance the purchase of a drug store at Marshalltown, Iowa, and for additional holders of stock Longchamps, • 731 Sardik Inc., Brooklyn of and 100 shares held. Proceeds—For re¬ payment of two notes and general corporate purposes. -/•. are 29 filed 686,953 Underwriting—none. (letter of notification) 327,630 shares of com¬ (par 500). Underwriter—Willis E. Burnside '& Co., New York. Price—50 cents per share. Offering— Holders of common stock (par $1) given right to sub¬ scribe at par for .new stock in ratio of two shares (par 50b) for each $1 par share held. Rights expire April 12. Pay outstanding claims, etc.', working capital. • Proceeds—General Jan. (4/13) March 16 mon C. and Pacific Airways, ■ Co., Greenville, N. C. Drug, Inc., Chicago (letter of notification) 22 1967 . f American Latin held. now at Osco March . '• Z''"'1 ./' 100,000 shares of capital stock ($5 par). each. ,' Underwriter—First Securities Corp., Price—$15 Durham, N. (letter stock • 15 filed (letter of notification) 3,500 shares common stock. Price—$10 each. To finance and build..small houses. No underwriting. ' " ■ " .offered '-V/// 26 A March 11 Broad Street, New York, post¬ 'v";'v ... preferred construction program. Bids—Bids for the pur¬ the stock scheduled for March 30 at office of Old North State Insurance 25 Lake ' preferred stock, of poned to April 5. ..—Bonds Wash. underwriters/ Price—$5 per equipment, etc. one Corp.; Harriman, Ripley & Co.; Lehman Brothers and Blyth & Co., Inc. (jointly). Proceeds—To be applied Laguna Investments, Inc., Laguna Beach, Calif. March (4/5) Inc., Seattle, Cecilia Opera Co., March ($100 par). Underwriters—To be determined under com¬ petitive bidding. Probable bidders: The First Boston —..Bonds St. • Co. . milling equip¬ No class stock. March March York New 25,000 shares; remaining shares are not To pay for the purchase of stock in the Rotary Mills, ment. Newelkhorn Chase National Bank, • • Underwriting—None. Liquidate Electric offer March 23 (letter of notification) 1,000,000 shares common stock (par 10). Price— 100 each. For • preferred share with per will Innes Shoe Co. • ^ Oklahoma Gas & —Debentures Southern California Gas Co.—..... Co. program. Feb. 20 filed 65,000 shares of cumulative May 3, 1948 Michigan Power Co.—. May 4, Inc., (The), Fresno, Calif. (letter of notification) 75,000 shares (no par) stock. Price—$4 each. Underwriter—Loewi & underwritten. Queen, Inc., Elkhorn, Mont. (letter of notification) 400,000 shares of com¬ Price—50 each. To develop a mine. No underwriting. ' Z' 77 '//. 1948 Consolidated Natural Gas Co Price—$10Q common. mon 1948 April 20, Sportsman, Reliable common com¬ include: March 24 Gulf States Utilities Co........—Bonds Wisconsin bidders construction a bank loan, etc. April 13, 1948 Latin American Airways, Inc.—„—.C— Common Solvay American Corp....... ..Preferred - continue National common , £ and par) Crampton Manufacturing Co Bonds Georgia Hardwood Lumber Co....Pref. & Common Texas Power & Light Co. ..—Bonds and Debs. •77 be determined under Probable March 29 (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of $5 cumu¬ lative preferred stock (par $100) and 3,000 shares (no .Equip. Trust Ctfs. April 12, : Underwriter—To bidding. 1948 Bangor & Aroostook RR._———Equip. Trust Ctfs. V • March 25 Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Kidder, Peabody & Co. and Stone & Webster Securities Corp. (joint¬ ly): White, Weld & Co.; Lehman Brothers and Goldman Sachs & Co. (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc. and Harriman Ripley & Co. (jointly). Proceeds—To reduce short term .—Debentures — (EST)—,v a.m. 1978. petitive Public Service Co. of New Mexico 11:00 Room Narragansett Electric Co., Providence, R. I. March 30 filed $10,000,000 Series B first mortgage bonds, Mountain States Tel. & Tel. Co. a.m. Co., at 1600, 70 Pine St., New York 5, N. Y., before 11 a.m. (EST). ' •f of • Associated Telephone Co.^ Ltd.— Colonial Stores, Inc.___—— 11:30 Underwriters—Names to be determined through compet¬ bidding.e Probable bidders: Blyth & Co., Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Harriman Ripley & Co.; Glore ForgarY & Co. Proceeds—Cities Service Co. is selling the stock. Bids—Cities Service Co. is inviting sealed, written bids < for the purchase from it of 339,639 shares of common stock (par $7) of Public Service Co. of New Mexico. Such bids are to be presented to Cities Service to about chase 45 • itive American Telephone & ——Bonds (EST) a.m. (1461) (Continued on page 46) ' C< 46 (1462) THE COMMERCIAL (Continued* from page 45) * stock, to be reserved for conversion of preferred. Underwriters—Equitable Securities Corp., Nashville, Tenn., and Clement A. Evans & Co., Inc., Atlanta, Ga. common Proceeds—Corporate • Steak 'n Shake, Upson Co.,. Lockport, N. Y. (4/5) (letter of notification) 4,500 shares of common stock (par $10). Price—Market (approximately $14.50 per share). Underwriter—Hamlin & Lunt, Buffalo. Pro¬ ceeds to selling stockholder... f'-s Inc., Bloomington, III. Feb. 2 filed 40,000 shares of 50c cumulative preferred stock, sold and the remainder reserved for conversion. Co., St. Louis, Mo. Under¬ Suburban at 100.99 and interest. Development Corp., Shreveport, La. (letter of notification) 170 shares of partici¬ pating preferred stock. Price—$100 each. Working capi¬ • Service, Inc., Ontario, Calif. March 22 filed $500,000 12-year 6% series sinking fund debentures, due March 1, 1960, with purchase warrants; attached for the purchase of 50 shares of common stock ($1 par). Underwriters—Lester & Co. and Wagenseller & Durst, Inc., Los Angeles. ' Proceeds—To purchase California Butane Co. Business—Utility. • Sylvan Seal Milk, • • . (4/12) March 8 filed $7,000,000 sinking fund debentures, due 1973, and $2,000,000 of first mortgage bonds, due 1978. Underwriting—To be determined through competitive construction program. • • Refining Corp., T;'/?* filed 19 850,000 shares ($1 par) common stock. Underwriter—Distribution by company, Price—$1 each'. one new Ultrasonic Corp., Cambridge, Mass. capital. • (letter of notification) 10,000 shares ($5 par) stock, Price—$20 each. For general working No underwriting. - Rayon Corp;, New York City 9,950 shares (no par) common stock. Price—$1,000 each. Each share is to be accompanied by a "production warrant" permitting the holder to buy a Toward Easing 22 American enable assistance those in order to European countries with an intra-European payments deficit to pay dollars to the na¬ tions with an intra-European pay¬ ments r surplus. In this way, the latter group would be able to earn dollars needed for purchases in the Western Hemisphere. However, the National Council ory the U. not S. favor for pensation implement the Americans pro¬ posed vised any Congress Marshall to defer until consideration a of recom¬ Plan ad¬ later date loans for monetary stabilization. The/ European nations, then, put on notice to rely first their own resources in at¬ were upon tempting to relax intra-European to exchange them all are so kinds trade restrictions refuse, even that to fill the needs of culiar situations. » may Agreements met first and •* *■ subsequently 1 Committee • in in London Paris. of It European Economic General Report Appendix Report of Financial Experts, Chapter II: Inter-European Payments Agreements. Co-operation, E: most consider .. some pe¬ .. those economic conditions conditions as and long as prevail. They will not be discarded merely as a result of resolutions adopted by international conferences organ¬ ized under the auspices United Nations. Thus American of the agreements, abandonment standard and moratorium the of and increasing authorized , Works 1. ♦ gold Hoover debt threatened weaker loss of tinue i business assurance of some countries vital with imports. relations to con¬ without of payment in freely exchangeable funds rather than in inconvertible" currency of coun¬ of gold and hard curren- cies. Those countries then proposed to apply the proceeds of their ports as porters. security Foreign exr to foreign ex¬ buyers of their products would not pay in the ac¬ customed way of settling direct whenever the buyer in the other country would have deposited an appropriate sum. in inconvertible currency bank. no As actual one with his own result; there would be transfer of funds from currencies only. ~ Pacific Finance Corp.. of Calif. * The stockholders on March 16 authorized the capital stock by the creation of time ' , ! new '*' * avoid use payments, efforts ^ able free were at a Central with under frozen sound a pressure claims quire ties of their goods consid- was banks of to , ; , • 1 M ;" strict limitations to be imposed upon the size outstanding bilateral clearing balances; overdrafts had '• to be of gold , or compensations individual m subject those unlimited goods to quantiincrease. ~ . importers to German Government the owners suffered ; / " large-scale buyers have been hard : by the /reluctance of foreign ' producers of foodstuffs and raw / materials to accept payment in im- V - convertible sterling. Finally, ; bilateralism come an important nomic planning Those governments - has : be- tool and of eco- regulations. that wish to continue wartime regulations and and 5 resfrictions in , // f heavy 1 be- , negotiations the losses.! These sad experiences are " ' still very much alive. The British : '*V; who reiied on their power1 of : |* hard currency, addition, permission had to be rates ; ac¬ hit had for vitually to willing to sell for export...In end, foreign mark accounts increased by leaps and bounds and prepay : in 4" * the currency | Eventually, heavy ! Nazis .were„eager of ;f . war-reserve stocks. They mark balances available '; for the purchase of those German r exporters ; suffered and ' paid in working: capital was increasingly immobilized. They had to give way in spite of the obviously inflationary effects of such po.licy. foodstuffs . acquire whose a of materials The able to avoid would market discount.- countries - mechanism with its (their which they the on policy-. losses; and wore willing to sell almost ■; at any price.. to acquire exchange for the imports of essential finished goods. artificial exchange rates and pay direct to the seller in his own cur¬ rency . turned the emerge into a powerful* producers raw deposited by importers. were > During the depression of the 'thirj ties country exporters had to wait for long time until sufficient funds clearing ; Schacht's*; of / commercial weapon to- of the For these often V . ' a the Nazi and Dr. scheme ency a the was ingenuity who , been as . Barge balances of over-valued currencies tended to pile up with one central bank while in the other had official Weapon of Economic Policy / ' , It clearing in spite of threatening- stiff penalties. i; of ■v.; payments, need to provide for non-trade regardless Bilateralism on,! a multiplicity of troubles developed. Among the major sources were artificial' ex¬ change rates, differences in terms of case unrealistic quotations. went tween , J increase in. an 300,000 shares of each ising in theory; at any rate it led resumption of trade though on restricted ;scale. However, as -J; exporters with^^flexible exchange would deal in their domestic / « Corp. * • to granted country to the other; all part¬ above). a In a - instructed to dispose of stock American Bemberg (see preferred stock (par $25). settled central Alien Property Custodian Co.; * ■m Brit¬ the Foreign suppliers refused ners business! on to 500,000 shares, North American Rayon- Corp. The scheme looked very prom¬ /and However, bilateraiism has de¬ with the seller but would deposit veloped into a powerful force. It the purchase price with their do¬ has created strong vested interests mestic central bank. Funds thus both ideological and material. accumulated would -be used to Some of its principal features are satisfy claims of exporters who bound to stay for quite a while. would'be paid by the central bank They are the outgrowth of spe>- in their o\yn convertible currency they will be continued Payments methods ■ plans. on op¬ and possibility that those schemes cific Committee ain's reserves strongly of payments restrictions and to shelve temporarily their broader A the tries which had lost most of their Arrangements the the cooperation rather than out¬ Signifcance of Bilateral of mending Plan right American assistance. This gives it an importance far beyond group to standstill' man complete Marshall vote 30'stockholders voted to increase by 500,000 the lit ^held by government -.W. and emergency situation. The financial crisis of the early thir¬ ties which culminated in the Ger¬ the financial field through Euro¬ pean Co. A.ti an Europe's posals, and thus the President in to was Advis¬ ambitious attention i& his message which Com¬ signed on the Benelux countries. This agree¬ ment is the first positive step to International Financial Pay¬ those Agreement an Monetary 18, 1947 by France, Italy and on Administration, did & 1 financial leaders with:interests in foreign countries will have to give of Multilateral Nov. 4m practices of bilateralism—whether they like them or not. Bilateralism first developed out draft of a filed Hemphill, Noyes & The First Boston Corp.; Dillon, Read & Co. Inc. the limited scope of its provisions. Monetary and ments, the policy-making of prepared Mathieson Alkali _ (jointly); Drexel European Exploration Corp. The holders voted also to change the name of the comPany to Mathieson Chemical Co. There are no current • Pla.ns to issue any additional stock. Traditional under-r; writer: Hayden, Stone & Co. £&* ex- $12 1«1 (Continued from page 15) Benelux countries (Belgium, Netherlands, Luxemburg).! This scheme provided for considerable Rights will " : , 1 Q7ft filed the subscript in ratio of / 24 Oil * number of shares of authorized common stock and to reduce preferred shares to the number now outstanding." (par $10). for Michigan Power Co. (5/3) $14,000,000 first mortgage" bonds, due! TTnllAf«icr 1978. Underwriters—Names to Lm be determined through competitive bidding. Probable bidders; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Lehman Brothers and Goldman, Sachs & Co. March Maracaibo • Wisconsin United March" 29 Prire 24 capital stock from 400,000 companies. March 22 common of record March share for each eight shares held. Telephone Co. Ma«Y 3 stockholders wilt March Offering—Offered ■" Bell competitive bidding: Probable bidders: Morgan Stanley & Co.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. per share. Proceeds—Plant additions and purchase of securities and assets of other Proceeds—To build and equip machinery. • v - 32,937 shares of common stock nirp Anrii"VfT Illinois series "B" and 389,995 shares of capital stock (par $100): Stock will be offered to stockholders of record June 2 in-, ratio of one new share for each five held. Bonds will be ! sold through Fund, Inc. Underwriters—None. tion by stockholders f directors approved financing program con- 3 templating issuance of $60,000,000 first mortgage bonds, 7 \f 25 filed Cj'/ '(jointly).- • March Abilene, Texas investment. Feb. South Co. 22 filed' 50,000 shares of capital stock (par $1). Underwriter—Broad Street Sales Corp. 'Proceeds—For , of (jointly); Mor-1 ! Stanley & Co.; White, Weld & Co. and Shields, & • Wilson-Jones Co. Expected about April 12. sale Consumers- Power gan March Milwaukee, Wis. March Whitehall : !"!• T\. groups being formed to bid on some $20,000,000 preferred stock. Probable bidders: Harriman Ripley & Co. and"The First Boston Corp. Business—Utility. West Texas Utilities Corp., the March 25 rumored March 24 (letter of notification) 1,983 shares $6 cumula¬ tive preferred stock (m par). Price—$113. For general funds. No underwriting. bidding. Probable bidders: The First Boston Corp., Hal-; sey, Stuart & Co. Inc., Blyth & Co., Inc., Smith, Barney *: & Co. and Kidder, Peabody & Co. (jointly); Hemphill, Noyes & Co. and Drexel & Co. (jointly); W. C. Langley & Co., and Glore, Forgan & Co/ (jointly); White, Weld & Co.; Harriman Ripley & Co., and F. S. Moseley & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers. Proceeds—For construction f ' » be !;/• \ Co., Abilene, Texas Corp.; Harriman Ripley & Co., and Blyth & Co.,. Inc.! (jointly); Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. (bonds only); Leh¬ man Brothers; W. C. Langley & Co.; Kidder, Peabody & Co.; Stone & Webster Securities Corp; Proceeds—For a , OiJ Utilities v -V April 7] ? $5,500,000 equipment trust certificates, dated April 15, 1948 and due annually April 15, j 1949-1958. Probable bidders include: Halsey, Stuart & i Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.; Salomon Bros. & Hutz-1 ; lierf Hhrriman Ripley & Co., Inc. and Lehman Bros. ] (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.).; for to Lines, Inc., San Francisco,. Calif. West Texas ' Chesapeake & Ohio Ry. (4/7); • Company will receive bids up to noon (CST) March 29 filed $5,000,000 Series B first mortgage bonds," due 1978. Underwriter—To be determined by competi-i tive bidding. Probable bidders include The First Boston Inc., Philadelphia ;;?S notification) 2,000 shares of common ! Prices—$8 per share. Underwriter— Trans-Marine Western Air RR. from Oct. 15, 1948, to April 15, 1958. ; 24 Bangor & Aroostook (4/12) | company has issued invitations for. bids to be re-\ ceived April 12 for the purchase of $700,000 equipment j trust certificates. The certificates will be dated April 15,: 1948, and are to mature in 20 semi-annual instalments! ; New York - the/ stock (no par). Penington, Colket & Co., Philadelphia. Proceeds to sell¬ ing stockholders. ^ : purposes. . • The March 24 (letter of notification) 12,500 shares of capital stock. To be sold by William A. Coulter at about $8.; No underwriting. ' < March 24 (letter of Texas Power & Light Co. Oil Corp., and North American Rayon Corp.f Kuhn, Loeb & Co.; Lehman Brothers, \ Glore,"Forgan & Co. (jointly). J and (letter of notification) 10,000 shares of com¬ mon stock (par $1). Prices—$1,50 per share: Underwrit¬ ing—None. Pay expense of incorporation and to acquire interest in oil properties in Arkansas. ,://• • Gas Verla March No under¬ writing. ican Bemberg Corp. , March 25 of Probable bidders: Rights expire April 5. Price—Par. Proceeds—For construction expenditures, etc;. Issue of $10,000,000 3% 1st and ref. bonds, series F, due 1978, offered March 17 by White, Weld & Co and associates preferred stock and $2.50 for the common. This stock being offered by stockholders who are members of tal for construction and real estate business. Office Bemberg Corp. > -T—' Attorney General TOm C. Clark instructed the? Alien Property to undertake immediately all! necessary steps for expeditious sale of controlling stock interest held by the U. S. Government in both the Amer¬ for each 25 shares held. is Suburban / American March 25 holders of record March 15 at rate of $100 of debentures; Price—$8 for the the Belt family. • Expected! Prospective Offerings • Virginia Electric & Power Co. (4/6) Feb. 17 filed $11,753,800 convertible debentures due 1963.; Underwriter—Stone & Webster Securities Corp;, Boston.! Offering—Offered for subscription by common stock-; convertible ($1 par) and 160,000 shares (50c par) common stock, of which 40,000 will be & May 3. f • March 26 maceutical division and for general corporate purposes. writer—White and'i Marshall & Ilsley Bank $200,000 in bank loans. abc-ut Sheetwood . (letter of notincation) convertible participating redeem- $12,500,GOO of 33A% of first mortgage bonds at 102V4% the Central HanOver Bank & Trust Co. and to repay March 17 30,000 shares 5% cumu¬ preferred stock, ($10 par). Price— $10 each. Underwriters—White, Noble & Co., Detroit, and Clair S. Hall & Co., Cincinnati. To operate phar¬ lative States together with $1,000,000 from bank' loans and $1,GOO,000 from the sale of common stock to Wisconsin Electric Power Co., will be used to common Sperti Foods, Inc., Hoboken, N. i. Feb. 20 United Thursday, April 1, 1948 ceeds—Proceeds Co.f Seattle, Wash.. (letter of notification) 300,000 shares ($1 par) capital stock. Price—par. For industrial and chemical research work to improve manufacturing. ^ and purposes FINANCIAL- CHRONICLE proportionate share of the company's output. Under¬ writing—None;' Proceeds—To provide, capital' for the purchase and operation of a plant with- an annual pro¬ ductive capacity of 4,000,000 pounds of viscose filament rayon and 85000,000 pounds of viscose stafple fiber. Busi¬ ness—Rayon manufacturing. Southern' States Iron Roofing Co., Savannah, 6a. March 23 filed 40,000 shares: of 5% cumulative convert¬ ible preferred stock ($25 par) and< 80,000 shares ($1 par) Price by amendment. debt payment. & as a matter ofjpollti* cal pnciple have- found that bi~ lateralism schemes fits of well- into their controlled" economy ) , Volume 167" and Number 4686 THE COMMERCIAL teen they are most reluctant to such a useful and power¬ give ful weapon. These trends in ous the countries policies of individual but Conference Employment ments Trade on and favoring bilateralism able to achieve their aims The were of nations of zones be invited to those well. The govern¬ as sixteen Germany. The Paris agreement provides for monthly technical meetings of delegates from the member coun¬ tries; other interested nations*may they have been dominating discussions at the Ha¬ vana the of three Western not only obvi¬ are out participating in the European Re¬ covery Program as well as by the up Bank for Settlements se¬ meetings. ' International acting central as curing continuation of those poli¬ cies over strenuous opposition by agent will restrict itself to policy¬ making functions. It will analyze the the data and submit the proposals for compensations. But all clerical United which was States to promote eager peal of and expansion delegation re¬ work involved in CHRONICLE at this, time, this is a long-range proposition and it is important to have a working organization available at any moment to step in whenever the situation appears to be favorable. responsible quarters of its pecul¬ iar position and of the special services it may be qualified to render in connection with the tre¬ multilateral mendous job of European recon¬ struction^ This is in striking con¬ trast Undoubtedly, trade restrictions to the central banks of the respec¬ tive countries. This will keep ex¬ restrictions of will continue cies long as remain as inconvertible at penses curren¬ and a utilized for needed the purchase of British Position and short-run chances for abolishing bilateralism are slight indeed; the only way to progress points toward agreements to ex¬ tend an bilateralism ever eventual Then gradually countries full balances to only among a much avoiding the of gold or dol¬ most international upon Mechanism of out¬ Summer's de¬ under were importance of the multilateral compensation scheme in the vast enterprise to bring about economic unification of to and they system of partners to resort a decisions significant achievement. der But un¬ conditions, initial have psychological im¬ portance far beyond their intrin¬ present steps sic may real value. The great work will have to start from a number of apparently small endeavors. There will be setbacks and diffi¬ culties. But eventually the hum¬ beginnings may into merge powerful stream and may a lead to 2 See of the the editorial in the Feb. New York "Comebacks." "Times": - purposes, has in¬ vited bankers to try it again next Monday. Bits and While the Pieces device 27 Two issue Notable ri\ been behaving satisfactorily, by and large, it has not been a case of merely opening subscription books and closing them in all cases. Dealers report recent still are there awareness of the bulk of 25-year Likewise in the Penn Power Co.'s ferred stock. satisfactory, bonds and new countered both which counts among its'members almost all nations of Europe both in the West and in the East. ously, the predominant position of titude different to obligations make tive adherence to make field with unwilling in tained. the The. five / On the other is members The automatic the provision For it will put at of never anyone respective partners. Now the staff to analyze data and use appropriate and position evaluate them as a basis for suggestions leading amendments, improvements and possible expansion of the ma¬ chinery. / number of meetings on the technical level have been held at the Bank's headquarters. Informa¬ tion has been submitted by been Few bal¬ reported which were be suitable for compen¬ Some countries are cred¬ debtor under various condi¬ ' . four-j feels wholehearted that it facing a bit of a chore in the task of marketing the issue judg¬ ing from reports in dealer circles. has the cooperation of the participating in the Euro¬ Recovery Program including those not position to indicate an that like Switzerland have joined officially but important trade partners. yet stocks may ing Europe, its staff find possibilities for improv¬ payment countries Plan over arrangements outside the with Marshall area as well, in the interest expanding trade on the Euro¬ pean continent. Although the chances do not seem to be good of \ MORRELL JOHN en¬ A for demand unknown of the books on here. case the terest in slated for be the The of record April 10,1948, the books of the on pretty much of NATIONAL DISTILLERS PRODUCTS paid CORPORATION a here, like share, The Board COLUMBIA & 504 per / payable May on •;' March 1948 23, will not close. on ::rV:DALE PARKER Secretary ELEVATOR America Common Dividend No. 162 the v\; ■■'/•/■'••Ail 420 Lexington Avenue, New York 17 Notice Dividend At a today, a price of on the record at. 3:00 20, of stock common payable April Corporation, 1948, o'clock to old B. Dated March 29, thr p.m., Apri! A basis salary will over-the- and be liberal offered to experienced man with desirable Complete facilities, statis¬ tical departments,v etc. Box K-41, Financial Chronicle, 25 Park Place, contacts. >;;-v SITUATION WANTED O. BRAND, Research record on at payable stockholders to the close of busi¬ April 3, 1948. Checks will be mailed. C. A. Sanford, Treasurer New York, March 24,1948. Secretary. DIVIDEND per amounting to $1.75 per share, on account of the current quarterly dividend period ending April 30, 1948, has been declared payable April 15, 1948 on the outstanding preferred stock of the Company to holders of pre¬ today the fol¬ share for the second quarter of 1948 upon the $5 Preferred Stock, payable June 15, 1948 to stockholders of record at — Economist manager of large Canadian investment firm, age 36, seeking wider opportunities. Twelve years experience in security analysis, business surveys, econ¬ omic analysis, and management. Formerly • resident in United States. Box J 318, The Commercial & Financial Chronicle, 25 Park Place, New York 8, N. Y. - A dividend of 1 %%, lowing dividends: $1.25 ^YMIymm /CommntJNC. NOTICE the close of business May 14, 1948. ferred stock of record at the close $1.00 share upon the Common Stock, payable June 15, 1948 to stockholders of of business record been per at The on April 5, 1948. A dividend of the close of business May 14, 1948. Analyst declared, 1948. gootAeu has declared established an ■: been ness share en value Common Stock April 29, 1948, stock¬ Checks' will be mailed. 1948. WANTED TRADER N. Y. 8. par dividend of twenty-five cents per shave a declared was helc' no has of of the Board of Directors meeting The Board of Directors commission COMPANY A dividend of 50c per J HELP firm. C 1948, to holders of April 20, 1948. 15, nu¬ participants the conviction that they could not bid counter Treasurer March 25, 1948. their withdrawing by 1 - Vanadium Corporation about when found May 1, OTIS 12, stock on April 9,1948. The transfer books day an which had been formed payable 1948, to stockholders of record on Common Stock No. 53, 15tf per share ■f holders bid for the share on the outstanding Common Stock, ELECTRIC record at close of business Tuesday. came of Directors, has de¬ quarterly dividend of a THOS. A. CLARK S . which had been scheduled for last Wanted shown C«or(i A. Morrill, Vico Pras. I Trias. Ottumwa, Iowa. same reoffering as a of as Company. stock for bidders $21.50 of projected sale having de¬ cided to postpone the offering of 65,000 shares of new preferred to share capital stock ftf paid April. 30th, 1948, to stockhold¬ ers following regular quarterly dividend: the the latest of prospective issuers to merous One-Half John Morrell &Co. will of the 100,- new-preferred quantity This action and Cents (10.375) per new common successful Oklahoma Gas & Electric Co. is groups CO. dividend of Thirty- Seven on potential is¬ suers of that class of security are becoming more and more aware. forego & DIVIDEND NO. 75 • held true in the Still Snagged 7 for still of $5,000,000 bonds, also of v //// market is underwrite DIVIDEND NOTICES nothing to was ing place, of central bank leaders all 30-year maturity. a are Since the Bank is still the meet¬ from first mortgage Co.'; first purchased from the company as 3J/8% at a price of 100.5311 and priced for reoffering later, subject to SEC clearance, at 101 to yield the buyer 3.07%. ; / "out-the-window" Preferred The in are what is going see deal here. ' nations pean the on stock common $4,500,000 of mortgage bonds were be unavailable up to now. tlements took The Board of Directors has declared this no reason The "Bank for International Set¬ those to A to i beyond the officials Of the a were were the been made available to of the B.I.S. will be in not discouragement. ing effects may be expected over a period of time only Once par¬ ticipating countries have made appropriate adjustments of their trade - policies which take into consideration the possibilities of multilateral compensation which the disposal of an impartial and experienced organization a wealth of information which up to now has have for More far-reach¬ This is probably the most, important to be expected, tions, i However, there is well as the monthly arising / under those agreements. ances found and agree¬ Paris covenant. results com¬ sale the for tered re¬ Power The who acquired Ohip Power Co.'s $40,000,000 of new first mortgage, 30-year bonds, at competitive bidding appeared to has that each partner is both creditor no agent with information regarding terms and functioning as was ■ everywhere, others are debt¬ ors throughout. Sound function¬ ing of the scheme presupposes , balances B.I.S, the itors nish the ments initial sation. of occasional bilateral and particularly significant. However, all members will fur¬ several year pensations. As agent's suggestions; they merely to give them due considera¬ tion. / - their became agreement to Narragansett Electric Co. plans offer $10,000,000 of new first mortgage 30-year bonds, and has filed covering registration, while West Texas Utilities Co. has regis¬ CORPORATION report that there made the first proposals for agree of the compensation operative at the beginning of the /<,/'. . Paris current obligation of compliance with the assume to Agreement main¬ signatories hand, trade lends par¬ First Results of the Compensation to Paris agreement are the first permanent members. regard the policy. Perma¬ approval Obvi¬ agreed clared Bankers one to DIVIDEND NOTICES At any rate those who However, this is restricted to pro¬ posals resulting in a reduction of /bilateral balances, for the time being; in all other cases the right individual • scheme. nent members agree to carry out the agent's proposals for compens°t.ion without, individual scrutiny. of months. attrac¬ concession of economic recent ticular significance to her policies designed more countries advance are in Britain in world Two classes of membership with ; co-operative at¬ given unsubscribed balance. any con¬ has taken be the addi¬ up held, with bankers now issues, according to market reconciled agent" the Bank for International Settlements in Basle, Switzerland a more been still observers. result/Britain a have there brisk a difficulty with the vertibility. I As right to take having mem¬ practice of "administrative" under¬ "central as 4.20% pre¬ will Shareholders the addi¬ of stock. tional shares at the rate of new California-Oregon GAS been up. West shares 321.726 California-Oregon Power / has of case Underwriters who tion agreement can be by appointing been smatter¬ a Sales ber ot the multilateral compensa¬ attitude have new but t countries upon admittance by the "charter members.'* This "open scored of common mains the task of cleaning up an Unsold balance. been increasing of the fact that the ob¬ without much & of ing of this issue to be taken ligations of door" far Gas $45,000,000 debentures How¬ "occasional" by Columbia placed there is still has an portions offerings While Corp.'s agreement provides /for participation of all European ;:/,:;The; that new around. Electric which some dollars. scarce block tional the company $19.91 a share. In¬ one more Britain Three latest utilities to go into registration with SEC for new is¬ sues are topped by Pacific Light¬ ing Corp. which is processing a for five of several / SEC , afraid that the Paris milk to Around issue market has new ready investors. New Filings with expansion 000 shares of were funds needing company, said to indicate was 47 Pre-sale inquiry was reported such as to assure quick closing believe to be unattainable. ' ever, for as a whole or at least in The Paris agreement, at this time, is a symbol rather than any • all sale to The part. convertibility concentrated wise utility. Europe results which more cautious souls trade agreement might be just Compensation Scheme the overem¬ foreign They Paris phasize to reason no ble land. trade/ the last authorities additional The direct a exclusively at the Bank of Eng¬ avoiding; its restrictive fea¬ damaging tures was There is t the impression that they had been treated unfairly by some of their of means much dependent. That surpris¬ which in. bilateralism which is the only practical which Britain is on "administrative" compensa^ Its main purpose is to work toward that expansion of was intended to facilitate inter¬ was decided multilateral comes Britain originally during preliminary discussions of the British but It is here where the Paris agree¬ tion Germany. French bacle of "automatic" sterling con¬ lars. ment for the vertibility. not larger group, thus use of ing attitude growth from existing arrangements have be compensated between two partners and reluctant so which may to¬ Scandina¬ (Denmark, Norway national trade to be settled in gold or hard cur¬ rency members three Sweden) zone ly multilateralism. overdraft under over steps as as one Paris agreement although it clear¬ increasing number of in¬ dividual the most the joined "occasional" with vian countries goods. Thus the the gether ago, Woods Aereemen* odmmistered Great Britain-has of atmosphere a few when the Bretton death sentence without "due proc¬ ess of law." The country tries desperately to accumulating foreign ex¬ change balances which cannot be years the minimum. every avoid to (1463) that would be acceptable to the One of the incidental effects of the Paris agreement has been to enhance greatly the standing of the B.I.S. in this country. There has been increasing realization in carrying out the complex transactions will be left quantitative trade. ; & .FINANCIAL 1948, declared on 40tf per , the outstanding common stock of the Company, Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. share has payable April 15, of the par value of $ 1.00 per By W. D. Shilts, Secretary of Akron, Ohio, March 29, 1948 common close The Greatest Name business 1948. on 1948 ■ , April.. 5> 1 . MsrchU. '• in Rubber of share, to holders stock of record at the H.A.WAYr-» 48 THE COMMERCIAL (1464) FINANCIAL & CHRONICLE Thursday, April 1, 1948 the BUSINESS BUZZ report assistants "liberal" on. • • Tobey crats the Behind-the-Scene Interpretations Despite all the outlook This it may two or before is there millions and nation's allies ropean impor¬ too belief—incident to the - militarily promise program concrete chiefs was chiefs, with Forrestal The dud. a pro¬ defense Secretary Defense presiding, into went hasty labor and belatedly gave birth to a specific program to implement the President's It sage. far from the was tional thing it was * To mes¬ sensa¬ heralded^ to £ * stage a S. would If this is the few U. if they U. have openly, S. their in able would support atom ■ ; any into is It may set ment more a . All in all there is , This would not have may the Air could is Force lead to "war a a and except aircraft companies, material bottlenecks. for if five or of or .some years,' four would five or be few a if it the UMT equipped should the the basically armed develop serv¬ in¬ some — this interpretation If tegic plans is correct it from to recruits definite period of years hence. or amount years From years. trained for building a new, modern air force — the long range force which of ices would further train specialists to operate the Buck Rogers war— the shortages the So - fly implies not that actually the fear of stra¬ given, as U. S. that does from the American continent to Moscow and back is piddling. either Hence there is no need at pres¬ home-made the Congress and the future. near ent for reserving any floor spacer that in Washington hotels for "legis¬ lative engineers" to help guide the one time or Iron Curtain military 18 of antici¬ Italy elections It scouts the actually in with or program as indication an assumes will have * It pare. several official^ top chance to get When¬ feel more unmistakable the economic when Ru-sia they dence of ward march. evidences imperialism of the from only a preparedness program adopted by Congress, it is anticipated that they will request more. Any fur¬ ; . ■ ' ■,« ' year? * So this is with of aid with associated & Co., 813 He was Street. Russell, Balfour and Hoppe, Stephen¬ The Byllesby Financial Chronicle) & H. Stock shows of the abandoning the - , the Joint mestic business is inherently an affair of the moment. Another factor is what Russia does at Federal a '■0^; U. S. Finishing Tucker Corp. Soya Corp. top housing the near in \ the /So committee to plunked fbr public a test the U. further. will S. Another to coun¬ pro¬ test. It also would is not doubted, to a present lead, it magnifying of preparedness Hence the 40 N. Y. 1919 Security Dealers Ass'n Exchange PI., N. Y. S H.A. 2-87S0 Teletype N. Y. 1-1397 future.''.;""' *i try stolen by the Reds would vide ESTABLISHED Members housing, along with a lot of fancy new housing subsidies of If Congress appropriates suffi¬ one sort or another to try to cient to make a start on the swing the nation back to rental limited program and it does the housing, even if it is not en¬ job of discouraging Russia, then thusiastic about rental projects in risks of war may be delayed or the light of rent controls and the abated. On the other hand, the danger they might at any time get U. S. is admittedly so far from tighter rather than looser. // being in a position to strike, as to What happened was that Ren. suggest the possibility Russia may Ralph Gamble, Chairman of the the M. S. WlEN & Co. public housing pro¬ '//; ;■;> gram. > ~ Dorset Fabrics /■// on proponent, next to Harry Truman of r England P. S. Pfd. Con¬ Housing and Home Finance Agency, and chief dor program upon associated Remington Arms west¬ Committee Administration's bureaucracy, prospective limited effect of the now Tidelands Oil gressional factors is Byllesby & Co., Inc., Exchange Building. New evi-: official report of the special of Co., M. phase, It may now be revealed that the Fin¬ ' > '• , one preparedness it is defense in¬ far plans, too y; soon to evidence chiefs' limited ; special his housing committee, had staff prepare a report was tices in it did lic For Dealers Up-to-date Circular 7 Now Available Oregon Portland Cement Co. and recommendations. While the port re¬ critical of many prac¬ the building recommend housing. committee industry, against pub¬ When the assembled, special Senator Flanders of Vermont pulled out HAnover 2-O05B LERNER & CO. Investment 10 Post Office Securities Square, Boston 9, Mast. Telephone Hubbard 1900 Teletype BS 69 Teletype—NY 1-971 Firm Trading com¬ no to U. Empire Steel Corp. Markets S. FOREIGN SECURITIES Susquehanna Mills pre¬ All Issues present / with Russia. *•")"" fjARL MARKS & HO. INC. possible that officials have much broader strategic program 123 South Broad St., Philadelphia 9, Pa. than the defense officials have so Iear thru—Montgomery, Scott & Co. L v New York A Philadelphia i far indicated. It may unrevealed that :///;•.K which suggests that the present It is a Bruce Arthur — become that to that the war Chronicle) PHILADELPHIA, PA.—Charles Housing, was written for the most style would: part by some of Ray Foley's for such considera¬ bright boys. Mr.. Foley is head of industrial without indicates Conrad, Bruce Alder to the munist gains in the Italian elec¬ fear of ail out want rumored attempt vade northern Italy's stronger Herbert H. Blizzard & Co. a of control the April might Municipals • the have later. more toward region, Atomization clause indicate would possibility that Yugoslav forces everything another except a ever for accept the superficial tions. It They need time in the probably legisla¬ of • Soviet or possibility fail to make any decisive strides country. At It S. look pates instead that the Red3 will the We have traded U, then resistance — Communists at any procure¬ achievement this spring. this proves to be the case, want France and Italy will be taken over by greater a is not something charged with far-reaching possibilities. The military phase can be discounted . last four number!" maximum clear the way tion. is calculated, period pnone does not include nish-Czechoslovakia restraint, it solicitation. out or cause any Even prospectus, Miss Carter, a leaping into the military phase—if only the first step— Russian atom arranged has & (Special client program, ther service where be one offering it free to the U. S; with¬ /-' lot of business for the babies," great * and '1",.A/. indefinite for suspecting that the program as thus far revealed will either now or time reasoh1 would provide basic training for no a but that they adopted this modest starter on the. assumption it represented the If means hence you ; Financial Hanseli With tive points bombing needed. cost of Of that authorization, and delayed expenditure. Con¬ your if Leydecker & Co. son, served the The Conrad, Stewart The mil¬ for to formerly bombs combat at troops for tract analysis '■ Southwest ment until expanded procure¬ the Russians themselves developed part will consist of con¬ the atom bomb and the aside with might actual program mobilize supporting to four additional billions for the armed services, a substantial pro¬ will go for the the additional personnel. in official an a copy . Meter deterring effect against steal¬ to a military economy in the future. Of the proposed three portion for Olsen S. tary force and ing countries with 5th columns. nothing suggestive in the program that the U. S. is going near as PORTLAND, OREG. they soup. Russia So the There "Housing Without Hanseli, formerly of Hiscox, Van possibly be sufficient to being. a : ; potato restrain western impressed. a." housing problem, it rates (Special a to iary indicates its belief that this to c Olsen With your future, near tried to swipe territory sum S., be be months, entitled i m e r it. "Giving prospect to the Polit- bureau that, in the on European defensive alliance against Russia, the west¬ ern Europeans will not be much "• the would in several simply few , Hence months, offer the military power which can brought to bear, and not be¬ the M& ? next of U. S.. fore af¬ pro¬ minority is now looking at. Write to to bombs. but scarcely enough to respectable retreat from a Dunkirk. new Iceland or filing report gressman is These B-29's could carry atom combat troops the U. S. now has available, the military would add another couple of handfuls. There might be enough troops to gar¬ request, what present strategic planning of the comparative handful of rison Newfoundland the of the outlined from status. However, ■, Mediterranean. the it "administrative committee," i.e., unclassified piece of printed an in¬ years the acquire just enough garrison a few islands and Alaska. These places ob¬ viously would be air bases suffi¬ ciently close to the potential enemy so that the available air¬ craft, the B-29's could fly into the enemy's territory and return. Obviously the military could give no hint, other than Alaska and Newfoundland, as to what these bases might be. It is possible that they might be Greece, Turkey, and points elsewhere in the presented by the military gram So Eu¬ in use to the views. things the western of hibited them, the military without quite spelling simply, troops actual * * For U, to something. Yet the other could as the U. S. the amount to going was out the that — fairs A it to support the western European alliance extension matter Among chieftans, privately placed upon the by officials led to the completely by surprise, could be filed at least creasing "■ ' program of minority report. New Dealers in There is thus tant was expected. Indeed, the Interpretation which was not and Demo¬ report the Senate limited the committee con- their military potential. no hint yet of a new military lend-lease program. * iJl.jhe build-up given the program, something of facto de another sharp change. With placing Finally, there is nothing yet of building ordnance and aircraft foment," five the committee. report, a tracts with one's company. be a very long perhaps several months. On the other hand, it may be only a week or two or a month stances, into bureaucracy and ideal circum most favorable it that the anti-public housing re¬ port, intended to be the majority words of the President's stop however/?- applies, member, with make conservative group sought to have the special housing commit¬ tee extended for three months so Russia special message to Congress, you can at the moment write off the immediate military preparedness program as something which is almost of minor significance to your business affairs. only for the moment. Under the to the and big drama and GOP voted Taken Iron the Nation's Capital A prepared by the offered it adoption. Flanders, another Foley for be that their • SPECIALISTS : 50 Broad Street estiniate of the situa¬ _____ tion requires a much larger mili- Hill, Thompson & Co.. Inc. FOREIGN SECURITIES . Markets New York #, N. Y. AFFILIATE: CARL MARKS & CO, Inc. CHICAGO— and Situations for Dealers 120 Broad way j New York 5 Tel. REctor 2-2020 Tele. NY 1-2660 Volume 167 THE COMMERCIAL Number 4686 & FINANCIAL Pictorial Insert I CHRONICLE ■ ...... . ^ _ Central States Group of I. B. Julien Collins & Co., Chicago, President of the I.B.A.; Wm. H. Marshall, The Marshall Co., Milwaukee H. Collins, Julien £<,• <: Elrrer F. William M. Rex, Clark, Dodge & Co., New York City; M. J. M. Cox, v Dieckman, Glore, Forgan & Co., New York City; Gerald E. Miller, Miller, Co., Detroit; E. Cummings Parker, Glore, Forgan & Co., Chicago Curtiss, House Claude F. & Co., Cleveland; Paul J. Mullaney, Mullaney, Wells & Co., Chicago; Turben, Merrill, Turben & Co., Cleveland; Joseph Ch Stuart, ■, Kenower & A. • • * F. S. Yantis & Co., Chicago J. F. Brady, Secretary of District No. 8 of the N.A.S.D.; Arthur S. Grossman, Straus & Blosser; Wallace H. Fulton, N.A.S.D., Washington, D. C.; Donald E. Nichols, Ames, Emerich & Co. William P. Sharpe, Andrew M. Louis; Alfred S. Loomis, The Illinois Co. Mercantile-Commerce Bank & Trust Co., St. Wiltberger, Blyth & Co., Inc., Chicago; John S. Baird, A. G. Becker & Co., Chicago; Hempstead Washburn, Harris Hall & Co., Chicago C. Harold Thompson, Thompson M. Wakeley, A. C. Allyn & Co., Franklin B. Schmick, Straus & Blosser Inc.; Cruttenden & Co.; Ralph S. Longstaff, Rogers & Tracy Richard M. Delafield, Geo. First Boston Corp., Chicago; Securities Co. S. Channer, Jr., Channer Pictorial Insert II THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE Thursday, April 1, 1948 Twelfth Annual Conference Carl W. Jackson, Harris Hall & Co., Chicago; Alfora J. Baschen, Northern Trust Co. Don G. ' Henry T. Berblinger, and Clarence A. McCarthy, both of Sills, Minton & Co. Miehls, William Blair & Co.; Ray Olsen, Stranahan, Harris & Co., Chicago; Ross A. Gustafson, Northern Trust Co. v * Frank Duffy, Eldridge V»> W! '- - Ketcham & Nongard Robinson, S. Albert Trimarco, and James N. Bay, all Harry L. Nelson, Blyth & Co., Inc., Chicago; George R. Torrey, Kebbon, McCormick ■& Co.; Fred T. Rahn, The Illinois Co.; Lawrence W. Marr, E. H. Rollins & Co., Chicago; Francis W. McDonald, Lee Higginson & Co., Chicago % ^T 1 W m ! •/' f Pf 0 ' W % ^ ^ \5P^* P. K. Van Winkle, Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis, Chicago; H. Frank Burkholder, ? , Equitable Securities Corp., Nashville, Tenn. n of Fred W. Fairman & Co. , George F. Noyes, The Illinois Co.; J. F. Brady, Secretary of District No. 8 of the N.A.S.D.; Rupert Bippus, formerly Securities Commissioner of the State of Illinois; Carl McGlone, Carl McGlone & Co. Roy D. O'Brien and Tuthill Ketcham, both of * Alfred J. Betar, Chris J. Newpart, S. "Knox Kreutzer and Edward Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane G. Chase, all of Nathan D. McClure, Harriman Ripley & Co., Chicago Volume 167 THE COMMERCIAL Number 4686 & Held March 23 and 24, Howard F. Detmer, Detrrier & Co.; Walter J. Fitzgerald, Jr., Walter L. M. Rieckhoff, Northern Trust Co. of Chicago William F. Hunter, all of H. M. Gordon Booth, and O. G. Corns, Byllesby & Co., Chicago Glore, Forgan & Co., Chicago; Robert Chicago; Paul L. Mullaney, Mullaney, E. Cummings Parker, & Co., C. W. Evans, Harris Hall & A. Podesta, Julien Collins Wells & Co. Co., Chicago; J. Franklin Bickmore, Chicago; H. A. Talbert, Blyth & Co., Inc., Joseph D. Blosser, Fitzgerald & Co.; Boettcher & Co., Chicago Franklin B. Schmick, and Frederick W. Straus, all of Straus & Blosser Pictorial Insert III CHRONICLE FINANCIAL 1948 Arthur W. Curtis, A. G. Becker & Co.; Chicago; Kebbon,McCormick & Co. Clarence E. Torrey, Nathan S. Sharp, R. S. Dickson & Co., Chicago; Lore W. Alford, Harris Hall Chicago; Charles R. Park, Greenman & Cook, St. Paul, Minn. Andrew M. & Robert R. & Co., Baird, A. G. Becker & Co., Chicago; Lee H. Ostrander, William Co., Chicago; Elmer J. Hassman, A. G. Becker & Co., Chicago Brinker, John Nuveen & Co., Chicago; Blair Chas. A. Capek, Lee Higginson & Co., Chicago Corp., Chicago; Chester W. Laing, John Nuveen Russell T. Stern and Byron G. Webster, both of Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane Pictorial Insert IV THE COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL Thursday, April 1, 1948 CHRONICLE /Illinois mm George J. Gruner, Lee Higginson Corp., Chicago; James F. Quigg, Paine, Webber, Charles Fry, Chicago Journal of Commerce; Harry L. i\eison, Biytn <Ji Co., Chicago; David L. Shillinglaw, Shillinglaw, Bolger & Co. Jos. P. Jackson & Curtis, Chicago; p? ft'lL Condon, McDougall, Condon & Co., Chibago; Matthew J. Hickey, Jr., Hickey j & Co.; Wm. D. Kerr, Bacon, Whipple & Co. X ri mmwm if ■■J m Chas. E. Enyart, Enyart, Van Camp & Co.; Jean A. Horacek, Enyart, John Walter E. Kirstner, A. A. C. Chicago Van Camp & Co.; Kelly, Smith, Barney & Co., Chicago Allyn & Co., Harold A. Tubby, Hemphill, Noyes & Co., Chicago; Plummer P. Purdham, Burns, Potter & Co., Inc., - Wm. A. Joseph O. Stuart, F. S. Yantis & Co.; O. G. Corns, H. M. Byllesby & Co.; Talbert, Blyth & Co., Chicago; D. K. Searles, Blyth & Co., Chicago; H. A. ; Grigsby, John Nuveen & Co., Chicago; Hackbert, Goldman, Sachs & Co., Chicago Paul Omaha, Neb. p",; David J. Harris, Sills, Minton & Co. ' Charles Higgins, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane; Harris E. Wilder, The Illinois Co.