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2-i1948v^f|S

APR
ESTABLISHED 1S39

Re*. U. S. Pat. Office

Volume

McCabe and

as an

By WILLIAM F. HAUHART
of Finance,

Professor

Dr. Hauhart contends,

BRATTER

By MELCinOR

'

Szymczak regarding extension of
Szymczak urges

difficulties of invading Russia, Dr. Palyi points out
with that nation would result in extinction of
dollar's purchasing power, repudiation of national debt, and break¬
down of nation's social structure.
Holds man-force war is archaic,

because of the peculiar postwar phase of

long continued

are causing bank credit expansion, and thus intensifying
inflationary trend. Sees danger in forcing business corporations to
borrow for capital and advocates lower taxes as incentive to
increased production.
-

reconstruction restrictions

on use

McCabe favors less

of credit, and

control than enforcement of

It is my purpose

Spe¬

cial Reserve Plan. McCabe favors

found

controlLng bank holding com¬

problem of inflation.

panies.
30—(Special
:

most

in

treated

;

often

to

,

a

and

business

men.

But fur¬

ther

analysis

will be

devi¬

the

di-

rection

of

under

h i 1

w

■

n

a

t

o

relationship of taxation to the

;■■■ /'

by both economists
.-■•'V"
/'.V.<

The some 220 divisions

Hitler sent into Russia

v-

somewhat

clearer under¬

W

standing

■

To

an

^3

|

leadership was ,-|
in the hands of k'

We See It

be

.<---1

\ ':t

§§r

the

that

cate

i f

probably the

'

memoirs indi¬

EDITORIAL

• old-school
;
generals, not

Economics, Defense and Relief

politi-

of Nazi

j

observer" from

Olympus it would, we are certain,
seem a little strange
Tobey V(R.
ip hear generally intelligent, and cer¬
the
problem
N. H.),.
the
w i t h
which tainly sincere, men: and - women seriously and repeatedly
Senate Bank¬
we
are
con¬
asserting that gifts to foreign peoples, generous far beyond
ing and Cur¬
fronted at the
any historical precedent, and (now mor<* recently, defense
rency
Com¬
present time.
mittee's. in¬
One of our expenditures on a greatly enlarged scale) will be sufficient
quiry into the Dr. Wm. F. Hauhart r d
iffi(c ulties if not necessary to keep the wolf from our door — or in
fitness of Mr
seems
to be more popular language prevent the development of a de¬
Thomas
B
the notion,
rather widely held,
pression with its long train of unemployment and hardship.
McCabe to be
Charles

hip.

<$> leaders

.

given " toward

i

were

organized, best trained, and best equipped the world had seen
up to that time.
Certainly, in comparison to the substantially larger
Russian army, the Nazi might was superior in every way, including
best

(Goebbels'

aid

should

Chairman
e

fallacy in idea

worth
e

thereby

a

S

technical training for youth, not military drillings Sees
mass occupation of Russia is essential in war and
contends aerial supremacy eliminates necessity of physical control.
Concludes UMT is expensive and has no educational value.

and urges

somewhat different approach than is

The basic elements involved have been well

course

ous

its

a

previous articles in the "Chronicle"

D.

suing

to use

discussing the

in

C.—March
the Chronicle):
After pur¬

WASHINGTON,

;

war

.

of credit

controversial methods

-

capital,

credit controls.

Wisconsin

Professor, University of

After explaining

cycle, high taxation is no longer an effective deterrent to
inflation as during the war.
Argues high taxes, by preventing ac¬
cumulation of individual savings and by reducing volume of risk

Washington observer gives views

PALYI

.

business
-of Thomas B. McCabe and M. S.

Copy

Sense?

Or Lack of

Louis University

St.

a

U. M. T.: Show

Inflation Deterrent

on

By HERBERT M.

Price 30 Cents

York, N. Y., Thursday, April 1, 1948

New

Number 4686

167

of

cians.H/ A

n d.
what did it ac-

Of v

complish?.
course,

.

v

Herbert

Brattei

M.

*

member of
of the
System last week

Governors

of

Board

the

a

/

,

Federal Reserve

got around to asking the
nominee questions directly related
to the work of the Board. And this
week Senator Tobey, in pursuit of

finally

objective of ascertain-

his declared

high
taxes will have; an
Reactions in a number of markets and in
anti-inflationary effect under allcircumstances at all times. Some business to such reasoning as this during
that

that

insist

this

time even tc
Others are

no

of tax reduction.

talk

to lower government
expenditures which would nat¬
urally facilitate the -lowering of
unwilling

"(Continued

on page

31)

PICTORIAL

*

appear

to grow from several

One of them doubtless is recollection of the

roots.

upswing

the Greek and

(Continued

,

on page

30)

'

'I

-

,

•

"

Dr. MileUor Paly!

resistance, without Allied
air attacks on German communi¬
cidal

cations

and

industries, and with¬
Russia, the final

out lend-lease to

might have been differ¬
as it may; the fact
is that such a flawless military
machine of some four to five mil-

outcome

that

Be

continued

on page

->C,:

32)

Slate and

-

Chicago.

t.'

j..

Municipal

•**

'

-

■■■#

Yugoslav sui-.

activity which followed our defense program in
our
assumption of the role of the "arsenal to

democracy" in that and the following year. President Roose¬
velt and his New Deal followers had been vainly trying to

in'V
H
to

due

1941

in economic

and

lost

the summer of

ent.

sort

six

the

Havana

r
•/,

Conclusions of this

-

for

INSERT

IBA,

the

of

two have been marked.

1940

pictures. taken
at 12th Annual
Conference of the Central States
Group

the past week or

T

(Continued on page 42)
See

branches of

some

out ;

weeks

Lithographing Co.

R. H. Johnson & Co.
:

V

•,

Established

;

1927

INVESTMENT SECURITIES

*
Bond Department

Hirsch & Co.
Members

New

Stock Exchange
';

York

4, N. Y.

Troy

.

NEW

London

Cleveland

Geneva

Woonsocket

Scranton

>V

Bond Dept. Teletype:

Washington, D. C.

52 WILLIAM ST.. N, Y.

NY 1-708

For

Banks,

(Orlando,

Fla.)

Due Mar. 1, 1958

plus Accrued Interest

Convertible into 333 shares
common

stock per bond

Copies of Offering Circular on request

Gordon Graves & Co.
,-v

Montreal

•

*

;
OF

Toronto

THE

f :

CITY OF NEW YORK

Brokers and

Dealers

Street, New York 4, N. Y.

Tel. WHitehtll 3-2S40




Tele. NY 1-809

New

Public Service Co.

BONDS & STOCKS
Distributors of Municipal
and

Corporate

;

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SUTRO BROS. & CO.
Est.

Members New York

1899

CLEVELAND
Chicayo
D«"v«r
Columbus Toledo- Buffalo

New York

Cincinnati

120
,

>

GRPORATIOTI

1896

Stock Exchange

40

:

Exchange Place, New York 5, N.Y,

Telephone REctor 2-7340

NY 1-702-3 '

„

■

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/

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Members New York Stock

and

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other Principal

'

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*

Boston

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worth 4-6000
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request

upon
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Analysis

Bought—Sold—Quoted

Securities

OTIS & CO.
.

England

securities

Underwriters and

INSTITUTIpNAL INVESTMENTS
30 Broad

NATIONAL BANK

HAnorer 2-0980

foreign

'

$295,000 10-Year 1st Mort. Conv.
6% Bonds
Dated Mar. 1, 1948

of

.

Bell Teletype NY 1-395

CANADIAN

'

i

.

New York

AMERICAN MACHINERY CORP.

■

\

(Eepresentative)

ISSUE

Price 100

Members

Hew York Security Dealers Assn.

;

Springfield

Wilkes-Barre

OF NEW YORK

Syracuse

Buffalo

Albany

Harrisburg

THE CHASE

'

•

'

Chicago

HART SMITH & CO.
'

Teletype NY 1-210

HAnover 2-0600

THE NATIONAL CITY BANK

PHILADELPHIA

^

BOSTON

and other Exchanges

25 Broad St., New York

New York 5

64 Wall Street,

:

.Teletype NY
Enterprise 1820

Telephone:

2

(1418)

THE

\\

Pacific Gas &

•''f

Rights & Common, W. D.

Debentures, W.

Prospectus

I.

New York Hanseatic

Corporation
7-5600

Teletype

-

NY

When

•

I

1-583

accepted

s."

n e s

Virginia Elec. & Power
Deb.

out

that

have

caused

to

change

me

Z%s, 1963

Congress

The

events

Request

'

the

McDonnell & To.

the

go,

Commu¬

Act

quately

nist seizure, of

many ol

still

protect

does

not

workmen

and especially the
public
generally against the abuse of mo¬

slovakia;

nopolistic

New

York

(3)

is

T

S

C.

Tel. REctor 2-7815

E.

Wilson

ACTIVE MARKETS-

March

17.

strikes

in

The

the

industries

n's

a

to

Congress

remind

While

m

u

the

the

—

Sold

—

the

went

only part
majority of the

;

not

and

like

them

exer¬

politics,

in

/

Aetna Standard
Engineering
American Time Corp.

Artcraft Manufacturing

wars

Manufacturing

Boston & Maine R.R.
Clyde Porcelain Steel
Electric Bd. & Share Stubs 7
General Aniline & Film "A"
Hood Chemical
International Detrola
Kirby Lumber
Newmarket Manufacturing

action bi taken

at"

ended. V

That

•,

1

istence
would

tions,

de¬

Distilling

desire

tilities
peace

the
the

the

&TeeneaniCompan^
Members N. Y. Security Dealers
Assn.
37 Wall St., N. Y. 5
Hanover 2-4850
Bell Teletypes—NY 1-1126 &
1127

of

Bernard

M.

the

world.

bilization

of

power

that

so

sufficient
the

military

economic

^

United
would

become

We

have

effective
learned

ordeals and trials.

There is noth¬

ing automatic about it.

Strengthen America

It is against this background of
the absence of peace that one must
discuss the subject of Universal

Military Training, which will af¬
fect so deeply the lives of our

1948.

and the future.

young men

The

^Testimony by Mr. Baruch be¬
Armed. Services-Com¬
mission.
Washington, D. C., March

President

has

wisely

A

return

considered
versal

to
a

the

draft

cannot

Stock

Exchange

Noranda Mines

New

York

Curb

Exchange

Brown Co.

And other

Minn. & Ont.
'

Exchange

Exchanges

Placer

with

Paper

Development

4
f

NEW YORK 4, N.
•

-

-

Y.
■

CHICAGO

DETROIT
PITTSBURGH
GENEVA, SWITZERLAND




5
:

•

Teletype NY 1*1227

Central States Elec. (Va.)
Common

,

Detroit Int'l Bridge

| Aspinook Corp.
Hoving Corp.

,

„

I

Frank C. Masterson & Co.
.

s

-

„

*

-

Established

Members New
64

WALL ST.

York
:

1923

Curb

Exchange

NEW YORK 0

v

Teletype NY 1-1140

HAnover 2-9470

Curb and Unlisted

Military Training.

What¬

the

recent
as

itselfr—

program of

preparedness
which,
been adopted, would have
Hitler from breaking loose.

kept

:;^Tc^a^:.Univers^.,Military. Train¬
ing

Is

past

even

more

urgent.

our measures

fense

always
We

Members

New York Curb Exchange
Chicago Stock Exchange

waited

war

We

Digby 4-3122

,

New York 6
Teletype NY 1-1610

of national de¬

lagged

behind

to

be

the

shown.

Federal Water

had been unloosed

sufficiently convinced
v:y
y,: -.y

act. y

39 Broadway

In the

were we

to

& Gas

Must Prevent War

Today the necessity is to keep
from starting. So terrible are

Southern Production

war

it

destructive

is

potentialities

instrumentalities

of

of

war,

longer

no

good enough to
an
aggressor after he has
begun a war. Preveting/war re¬
quires buttressing our national se¬
curity before the crisis is upon us.
(Continued on page 35) I; :
punish

of INDIA, LIMITED
Bankers

to

the

Government in
Kenya Colony and Uganda

Head

Office:

26,

Troster, Currie & Summers
Members
.

New

York Security

Dealers

■■

if.

i

Ass'i}

Teletype—NY 1-376-377-378

^

.

Branches

In

India,

Goodbody & Co.
6, N.Y.
1-672

Burma,

and Aden

Subscribed Capital
Paid-Up Capital
Reserve Fund
The

Bank

and

Ceylon,

and

Equity Oil

Kenya

Zanzibar

_£4,000,000
£2.000.000
£2,300,000

every
description
exchange business

Trusteeships and Executorships
.

'

Utah Southern Oil
<

conducts

banking

Empire State Oil-

Bishopsgate,

London, E. C.

Teletype NY

Joseph McManus & Co.

NATIONAL BANK

Securities
Department

'i

a

by

had it

British

"

part of

before

years

war—not

one

'90

Members N. Y. Stock Exchange and Other
Principal Exchanges
115 BROADWAY
NEW YORK
Telephone BArclay 7-0100

is not les¬
Universal Mili¬

American

Gaumont-British

Canadian Securities

Securities

they

security

favored

but

the

be

manpower

tary Traning in the

Scophony, Ltd.

Department

Exchange Bldg.

the

national

our

sened.

Colony

N. Y. Cotton

WOrth 4-3113
Bell

immediately the need
permanent
strengthening of

modern

is done to provide the
armed

United Kingdom
4%
Rhodesian Selection

Exchange
Trade

•

Broadway, N. Y.

'

have

a

re¬

substitute for Uni¬

We Maintain Active Market$
in U. 5. FUNDS for

York

Inc.

forces
must

for

y,;

quested re-enactment of Selective
Service.
It should be
approved.

ever

New

of

\*

v

Members Baltimore Stock
Exchange

page 30)

,

Not until

H. Hentz & Co.

Board

•

Mitchell & Company

implement both selective draft

need.

hope that

fore Senate

Members

aid

Barucfa

that making peace
brings its own

29,

vast obli¬

on

hi-jacked and
that the voice of America will
speak of courage and hope, not of
fear and disaster.

While seeking to bring into ex-

Established 1856

take

throughout

sent overseas is not

meant

immediately..

which

so

hos¬

and

Nations

Swasey

to

cessa-

of

o n

r

They
are
growing
obligations,
They require economic assistance.
They require our spiritual leader¬
ship. They also require the mo¬

and of the be¬

mere

conditions'

been forced to

our

that

the

give life to the United Na¬
the American people have

gations

young men
back
home

t i

Telecoin Corp.

Chicago

to

-

too

born of

bring

lief

United Piece Dye Works
U. S. Finishing com. & pfd.
Taca Airways

New Orleans Cotton

once

Financing

Pfd.

<§>-

shooting
?•;

the
*

Time, Inc.

Exchange,

on

taken immediate¬

ly after the

was

Taylor Wharton Iron & Steel
Pacific Telecoin

Cotton

(Continued

.

&

no

mobilization

Northern New England
Punta Alegre Sugar

York

Com.

and Will be advanced

peace.
The United Nations was established to
keep a peace which does
therefore has not been able to function
effectively. We now face the neces¬
sity of retracing at least partly those
steps of scuttle-and-run which were

hurried

.

New

American National

for perpetuating this present un¬
restricted power. In
this, unions
may be joined by individual em¬
ployers : and group of employers
who think it is to their own; self-'

War I

Coal, Com. & Pfd.

Interstate Hosiery
v
May, McEwen & Kaiser

reasons,
on their

military training as well as industrial mobilization.
Cites errors in
unpreparedness of
fully armed and prepare 1 so free peoples of world will
ally themselves with
training as mentally and physic illy helpful to trainees, and as
creating better under¬
standing of democracy by all segments of society.

■

Commodity

;o

they

past and says we must be
us.
Sees military

There is

<

MobilizaiioxiINowSHi

urges

Carborundum Co.

-

By BERNARD M. BARUCH*

Chairman, War Industries Board, World

branch offices

our

not exist and

Baltimore Porcelain Steel

Title Guaranty & Trust
United Artists Theatre

y

Elk Horn

unions

120

Many
plausible

them

of

in¬

to

not

face, have

government
and

industrial

La.-Birmingham, Ala.

Kingan & Co., Com. & Pfd.

cre¬
1

expressions.

some

point where
free society.

finance

present

do

lar

a

in

dictatorship

"

.,

NY 1-1557

the

monopoly

give them up easily..
They deliberately attempt* to con¬
fuse the real issues
by using catc'r
phrases like "repressive
legisla¬
tion," "slave labor law," and simi¬

They

do

of

a

Direct wires

monopo¬

lies

threat¬

power

\

through

that

New Orleans,

not

security

Americans do not like monopo¬
lies or dictators of any kind.

V

DIgby 4-2370

(XctualTWarkeU Qu

Warner &

in

form

in¬

Exchange

St., New York 4, N. Y.

loss of

the nation. Those who think
have vested interests in

.-

Have Full
and universal

Merchants

evidenced

liberty

power

Members New York Stock

25 Broad

the most powerful
monopolies
have
ever
existed.
They
threaten the economic

Quoted

Elder statesman of two world

v

taken, this
to develop to

ens

Commerce, Warren, Ohio, March
1948.
1
W '

Teletype NY 1-1943

Bates

as

power

not

are

23,

of

Steiner, Rouse & Co,

that

the supreme power of
government
and, if sound corrective measures

*An address
by Mr. Wilson be¬
fore
the
Warren
Chamber
of

SIEGEL & CO.
Broadway, N. Y. 0

Bough t—5 old—Q uoted

are

through industry-wide bar¬
gaining has already challenged

,

Bought

such

power

it will destroy our

REALESTATE

individual

cised

\o n

that

me

union

currently being
the coal industry.
Monopoly union

monopoly union
packing and coal

Taft-Hartley Act
way.

r

President

speech

'-./tv

:

.

STOCKS & BONDS

\

Ameri¬

instinctively fear the

abuse

them¬

Czecho¬

BROADWAY, NEW YORK

cans

selves

York Stock

Exchange
Curb Exchange

like them in labor either.

ade¬

New

Members

30

circumstances,

majority of or any
country clearly ates.
favor its provisions as far as
they
The

coal

packing
indus tries;
(2)

120

Louisiana Securities

.

HAnover 2-0700

dustry, and it is becoming
creasingly clear that they ao

real progress and the
the people in the

and

.

worked

possible

the problems the Act
might have
solved are still unfinished busi¬
ness.
While the
Act represents

mind are:
(1)The strikes

in
on

courageously

best compromise

the

under the

my

Bought—Sold—Quoted
Prospectus

Alabama &

invitation to. be

your

finished Busi-

Conv.

,

your speaker this
evening I had in mind
talking about the automobile industry, its problems and its
responsibilities. Recent events
have caused me to
change my mind, and I am going to speak this
evening on the subv
ject of "Un-<j>

Broadway, New York 5

BArclay

-

.

President of General Motors

monopoly power obtained
through nationwide bargaining, and attacks attempts of labor
organizations to control industries
by
extending scope of collective bargaining to include managerial
function, as well as provisions for
pensions, insurance and welfare work. Urges scope of collective
bargaining be defined by law, and
condemns Communist seizure of Czechoslovakia as
indicating increasing threat to free
peoples.

BOUGHT—SOLD—QUOTED

120

Thursday, April 1, 1948

Leading industrialist points out nation's "unfinished business" is indicated in
shortcomings of ths TaftHartley Act and Communist seizure of Czechoslovakia. Scores trade union

request

on

CHRONICLE

,

;

& Power
&

FINANCIAL

By C. E. WILSON*

J

Virginia Electric
Rights

&

Unfinished Business'

i

i

Electric

■

COMMERCIAL

-also undertaken

;||!|

James M. Toolan & Co.
of

67 Wall

Street, New York 5, N.Y.

Tel. HAnover 2-9335

|

Bell Tele. NY 1-2630

THE COMMERCIAL

Number 4686

16T

Volume

I N D E
Articles

,

U. Ml T.:

Show of Force

—Melchior

F^ly i

—.---V*

- ~

—William F. Hauhart

McCabe

and

Szymc&ak

—Herbert

M.

News

-

- -- - -

<So ver

Inflation Deterrent

Credit Control

:

...

:.t^r

_l___Cover

Br alter

"Unfinished Business'— C. E.

Baruch__ll

Have Full Mobilization Now!—Bernard M.

Prices After Two Wars—Jules Backman

(1419)

B. S.

by Ihw, custom and
usage long before statutory creation of SECl Development of new
doctrines by SEC criticized. This is a legislative function: and not
within the ambit of administrative powers. First
Hughes case dis¬
cussed in the light of its doctrine. Dealers act at their
peril! No

___

on

CHRONICLE1

2

;r

2

V

3

TcnsTEin

Practices in securities industry well defined'

'

--—-----

as an

FINANCIAL

.

The Reach lor Power

Page

Lack of Sense?

or

High Taxes No Longer Serve
,

and

&

AND COMPANY

APRIL

FOOL'S DAY

uniform definition of reasonable relation to market
price has been
The scheme is another cog in SEC eff orts at
price control.

Maybe we'll fool

reached.

by making

you

good bid.

a

_

Sobering Realities Regarding Tax Burdens

ly addressed

a meeting of the Stock Brokers' Associates of
Chicago, choosing as his topic "The SEC and* the Broker-

4

—Edmond E. Lincoln.*
Who Killed Cock Robin?—Theodore Prince,—

6

Golds and Our Managed Currency—Thomas I. Parkmson____

6

Dealer.""

Why the Ruhr Is Lagging—Joachim Joesten__

7

Trends

8

of his remarks, Mr.. Loss said:
"What I shall
try to do today, therefore, is to- trace briefly
the history of the several doctrines which the Commission

Affectihg Real Estate Values—William A, Marcus—

What Happens When Stalin
Wisdom for

8

Dies?—Henry J. Taylor

Bull Market—Herbert G. King_,_^;,_,

a

Railroads

Tendencies—A.

W.

Zelomek

15

Factor in More Production—Gustav Metzman,.

as

16

!

What Should Be Done About Russia—H.
Food

19

Murray-Jacoby^i,, 20

Reducing Bank Bond Holdings-Effective Debt Management
—Morris M.

To wnsfcuet
#

The Reach for Power
James A.

'**

■

;

>/!' ~

■

/
,

_

*.'.'.V.

14

lnternationai

u.

Tt'aue

Chilean Debt Plan

17,-

organization Sets Up Charter..,,,,,—

Economists' National Committee
Recommends

Enactment

on

19

Monetary Policy

Buffet Bill

of

14
17

Taxes^ved)

"_i_

__

We Must End "Creeping Munich," Says Hovde

21

22

Guaranty Trust €<h Sees Serious Shortage of Venture Capital 22'
World Bank Grants $16 Million Loan to Chile,
NAPA Survey Committee Reports High

With

24

Production, but
_i_l,-,L' 24

Declines More Pronounced

understood.

Our idea of the function of the SEC is that of

and not of creator of

terpretation,

laws for
not

new

laws whether

or new usages.

.

j

—

Regular Features
__-Cover

——

14

Bank and Insurance

Business Man's Bookshelf,

—,,

20

20

Canadian^

1

7-

Dealer-Bboker Investment Recommendations

Lea Fabrics

customer at

a

Einzig—A Western- European Currency Union?,18
From Washington- Ahead of the News—Carlisle Bargerpn,,- ; t •
Indications of Business Activity,,,
^
-V- ^
—

NSTA Nottes.,.,^—~ —-L.-—■,1^;
News About Banks and Bankers;
l.,—,——Zo
Our Reporter's

I
Governments,*—
Prospective Security Offerings,L
Our Reporter
Public

Report,

—5
—-47

_ _ ,

,

,

_ ,

25
,,,.'-46'

on

Utility

Securities,_T__

26

———

Railroad Securities

:

lo-

--—-—-

-

Securities Salesman's Corner,—

—

Securities Now in* Registration-., lw.

r-~

The State of Trade and Industry

current market in all cases."

5

Bank
$25 00

Reg. U. S. Patent Office
WILLIAM

B.

25 Par^

DANA

COMPANY, Publishers

HERBERT D.

9576

f

;

issue)

statistical

records,
•tate

RIGGS,

Thursday

▼ertising

plete

D.

(general

and

and
v

every

news,

city news,

Offices:

Chicago

bank clearings,

second-class

post
the

E.

C.,

Eng*

Subscription*

in

United".

Territories

at

of

Pan-Amgrican Union,

$35.00

New

;

WHitehall

St., New York 4, N. Y.

3-0272—Teletype NY 1.956

are

made

by dealers at their peril.

This is the

:,

:

f

V

.

:

funds.

:

<

Neither the doctrine of the first

i

"5%

BOUGHT

—-

SOLD

—

QUOTED

>

FIRST COLONY

'■\f: }In one sense,Mr. Loss is correct that the doctrine—
particularly when coupled with ; the "5 % spread philosophy"
of the NASD—has nothing to do with limiting profits.
/

Corporation

;

v:5

*

newly created doctrine of which the SEC
I
' f- .

boasts,

District Theatres

:

*

.Hughes case

nor

the

CORPORATION
52 Wall St.

New York 5^

Tel. HA 2-8080

N. Y.

Tele. NY 1-2425

spread philosophy'takes; into account the operating

costs and expenses

fiats in

a

of dealer-brokers. These
of price control which

program

but arbitrary
have decried

are

we

constantly and against which wie have inveighed editorially;
Although Mr. Loss speaks of the "5% yardstick"

brain-child of the Commission.

ifi

.'

,

.

.

V

■

-

as an

'

!

LAMBORN&CO.,Inc.
99

-

"

'

*

-

I *

'

point of

our

STREET

NEW YORK 5, N. Y.

;

We believe there is sound background for

WALL

*

'

«

When oral arguments took place before the SEC, on the
subject of whether or not the "5% yardstick" was a rule of
the NASD and should, therefore," have been submitted to

10$
SUGAR
Raw—Refined—Liquid
r

NASD

membership, for approval, counsel for a group of
security dealers from many states: in the Union hurled a
challenge at the members of the Commission who were sit¬

Exports—Imports—Futures

DIgby

4-2727

ting in judgment at the hearing.
on

f>age 29)*

COMPANY:
We are interested in offerings of

»

„

.

The Public National Etanls

Mtge. Guar. Co.

S.
of

year;

& Trust

High Grade Public Utility and Industrial

Lawyers Mortgage Co. '•

PREFERRED STOCKS

^

Company

of New York

«

Lawyers Title & Guar. Co.

V

N. Y. Title & Mtge.

Co.

Prudence Co.

7:

Members

TT.




fluctuations in

In

15 Broad

New •York- Stock

St., N.Y. 5

Bell

Teletype

New

25 Broa<I
Tel.:

York Stock Exchange

Street, New York 4
HAnover

T-2033

Members New York

Tel.: FINanclal 2330

Teletype—NY 1-5
Albany

-

Boston

-

Glens Falls

Curb Exchange

135 S. La Salle St., Chicago 3

2-4300

Exchange

WHifehall 4-6330
NY

Spencer Trask & Co.

Members

March

Members
per

the

remittances for for¬

Newburger, Loeb & Co.

States,

and

York

Members N. Y. Security Dealers Assn..

25 Broad

Analysis available

Subscription Rates
Possessions.

New

Bond &

'

matter Febru¬

office
Act

of

CERTIFICATES

.

as

in

TITLE
:

■

25, 1942, at the
N. Y., under
I. 1879.
7

account

exchange,

DUNNE & CO.
:

quotation

Copyright 1948 by William B. Dana
Company
...■''
Reentered

of

made

/*,,

land, c/o Edwards & Smith.

York„

Earnings Record — Monthly,
(Fdreign postage extra.)

Note—On
rate

Record—Monthly,
(Foreign, postage extra.)

eign subscriptions, and advertisements must

etc.).

ary

*

year.

per

;•

j; h What a disgusting mess! The securities industry is being
told, in effect, that sales made in the over-the-counter market

(Continued

and ad*
Monday (com¬

London,

per... year.

£42.00 per year,

Quotation

year.

per

Monthly

be

135
S.
La Salle
St.,
(Telephone: State 0613).;

3, HI.
Drapers' Gardens/

and

Sugar

Warren Brothers "C"

Manager

news

issue.—■ market

corporation

Othey

Business

Thursday, April 1, J94S

Every

i

$25.00

the

SEIKERT, Editor & Publisher

JVlLllAM DANA SEIBERT, President
WILLIAM

:

Place, Mew Yorkv

REctor 2-9570 to

$38.00,

Canada,

1/

4

Other. Publications

CHRONICLE

FINANCIAL

i

of

Dominion

Other Countries,

COMMERCIAL and

!

NASD product, we choose to regard it as an SEC baby, the

—

Twice Weekly

Pablished

many great cases,

Hughes casd left a number of questions unanswered."
question which in the nature-of things was
Left unanswered in the first Hughes case — and-which the
Commission, I would guess, is not likely to attempt to answer
—is precisely what spread is reasonable in relation to the

view.' '"
_

a

44

Says).—38
Washington and You,,,—•—-.,,',^,-4.-.,48
;

that; theory. But, like

Alegre Sugar

Susquehanna Mills
U. Si

22

Tomorrow's Markets (Walter Whyte

The

Punta
i

price

actually obtained criminal convictions of dealers in
cases on\

Teletype N. Y. 1-714

regulator

Mr. Loss takes the attitude that this doctrine has nothing
to do with limiting the amount of the dealer's
profit. The
logic of that claim is hard to follow.
\''

8

May,—,

Bell System

*

a

t

2-4500—120. Broadway

"Another

—

Wilfred

REctor

X-

the first

Observations—-A,

Established .1908

Members N. Y. Security Dealers Assn.

reasonably related to the current market price.

United Nation* Body Reports on 1947 Exchange Exhaustion,

Mutual' Funds

J.K.Rice,Jr.&Co.

by rule, judicial in¬

,

dealer to sell securities to

a

numberKof

Coming Events in the Investment FieldL,,

Haile Mines

.1. X Among other matters, Mr. Loss discussed the, first
Hughes- case holding it to be a fraud under the securities

Junior Investment Bankers and Brokers Assn. Report
Results of(Industry Questionnaire__,,,-i,^,w-~—26
27

American Overseas Airlines

...

have

24

$48 Million in February,——,
35
Frederick D. Gearft&rfc Jr;, Appointed Director of Lear, Inc., 40

I

.

,

Finishing; Com. & Pfd.

Southern Production Co.

,

Irish Free State Fond*■ Drawn for Redemption,—j

_

N. Y. Mutual' Savings Bank Report Deposits Gain of

■

there was,
and continues to be, a well defined
body of law, custom and
usage.ip the securities industry, in connection, with brokerdealer and customer
relationship*, whether that relationship
be on the basis of
acting as principal or as agent.
: "!
The laws
dealing with fraud were fixed' and clearly

f He said "The first Hughes case was a milestone in brokerdealer law, and the doctrine is now so well settled that we

As We See It (Editorial)

U. S.

Act which

Nal'l Industrial Conf. Board Reports "Further Clouding"" ;, t; *\ 1
of Foreign Trade Outlook by New Export Controls,
24
—

Dorset Fabrics (w.d.)

developed with reference to the duties of the broker-

14

New York Stock and Curb Exchange Employees Strike

Max Winkler Opp.oses

3

—

Treanor, Jr., Quits SEC Post.—

Profile*-and

23

■;^

(Editorial)A

Chase Bank Opens Third Branch in Germany,,

.:

,

Supply and Food Prices—Howard T. Cumming—____ 21

4-6551

compass

Long before the passage of > the Securities
created the Securities and
Exchange Commission,

Requirements for National Security—Arthur M. Hill_—17
The Budget of the United States~-James E. Webb--,,-,,-:—-.

Telephone: WHitehall

dealer and summarize their
present status."
>
We strongly resent the advent of the Commission in the
role of doctrinaire.
".■^
:
;

15

.

STREET, NEW YORK

*

4

Outlining the

*

has

13

Steps Toward Easing European Intra-Continental Exchange
—Ernest H.
Weinwurm__j_
Economic

'■

Obsolete Securities Dept.
99 WALL

,

-

?

4'_

Sfehenectady

•
-

Worcester

C. E.

on

request

Unterberg & Co.

Members N.

Y. Security Dealers

61 Broadway, New York

Ass'n'

6, N. Yr.

Telephone BOwling Green 9-3565
Teletype NY 1-1666

'
r

,

I

&

THE COMMERCIAL

(1420)

CHRONICLE

FINANCIAL

Prices After Two Wars

Sobering Realities
Regarding Tax Burdens
f

By JULES BACKMAN*

r

V

York University

Associate Professor of Economics, New

Thursday, April 1, 1948

After explaining background
does

indicate

not

of postwar price rises, Dr. Backroan contends recent decline in food prices
inflationary pressures hare been eliminated. Points out differences in price

basic

By EDMOND E. LINCOLN

Dr. Lincoln

with those following World War I, and contends government and not businessmen
responsible for high prices. Sees little possibility of impending break in general level of prices.

conditions
are

at

present

f

n

% v

t

a

n

t

o r,

1

e

u

—

y

,

'

dealt

have

higher

prices.
In
^discussions of
ments

income from

has

been >

woeful
of

Two
events

recent

prices

above

illus-

esting

pressure

was

of

this

in living costs has been
to the rise in food prices.

due

two-thirds

About

ing the significance of the decline
in farm and food prices since the

the cost of steel,-'

January peaks.

It
must

a

the
price
level
without • much
emphasis being given to the im¬

rise since last June.

mediately preceding rapid rise in
'hese

prices

to the reversal of

or

forces

the

causing that earlier
Today, I would like to

rise.

paint the backdrop against which
price changes must be evaluated.
Recent Changes in Prices
The rise in

the

of

three

war

be

divided

into

phases.

First, there was the
sharp rise attending the modifica¬
tion and

then

OPA

1946.

The

official

price

index

rose

in

sumers'

the

termination

about

15% in 1946 with most of the rise

taking place in the latter part of
the year.
a

This

period

of

was

followed

by

relative

for

most

improved outlook
grain
crops,
the

of

the

price

I refer to the

for

our

own

reported

im¬

and
the development of a larger grain
export surplus in Argentina and
Australia than had been antici¬

provement in European crops,

last

Fall

fell

the amount

in

resulted in

-

a

further

rise

j

(1) The sharp reduction in
domestic corn crop.
Until

a

of

grairi

been hoped that the corn
total
three
billion'

would
bushels.
crop

However, the

deteriorated

harvest
els.
was

rap¬

final

This lost 600 million bushels

crucial

a

newed
was

crop

the

and

onlv 2.4 billion bush¬

was

price

factor

rise

in

after

the

re¬

June.

It

particularly important

because

of

namely:

the
-

second

factor,

;

(2) The

Europe.
*An

grain crop failure in
This development led to

address

before the

by

Dr.

Backman

Citv Club, Cleveland,

O., March 27, 1948.

ever

the price level outruns these

been

picture has

food

accompa¬

nied by a sharp decline in those
prices.
Depending upon the in¬
dex

wholesale

used,

prices

middle of January to

the middle

made

more

postwar experiences.

that

can

be

which helped to contribute to the
rise in prices from i June, 1947, to
..

On-the contrary,

additional. wage

have

increases

taken

place in some industries and
widespread demands for
still higher wages by many unions.
are

Similarly,' although

there

moderate reversal

of

has
the

large wartime Federal budgetary
deficits which represent the basic

price in¬
budgetary surpluses

inflationary

Grinnell Corporation

Portsmouth Steel

:

Carey (Philip) Mfg.

'Prospectus

on

-

Quoted

M+mhcrs N. Y. Stock Exchange and Other
Principal Exchanges




incomes

same

:i As

of

the

Federal,
ments

state

estates.

or

present

time,

local

and

our

govern¬

extraordinary

many

estimated

national income

the method of calcu¬

on

In

such

roads, schools,
supply, etc.
Also,

as

water

wages and salaries of Civil Serv¬
ice -employees
have
almost
doubled over the past 10
years.

Looking back
find

we

that

105 West Adams Si. Chicaro

Teletype NY 1-672

of

periods

Second World

It is

past
fact

a

for

the

as

high

the^e

previous

periods,

and postwar
prices showed

war

wholesale

the following advances:

*7

in

1811
7

1814).

to

154.6

in

1929-1930,

War

1

—

'

<

(from

.

holding

state

and

to

(from 1939

January1948).
Each

of

the

three

earlier

ad¬

followed by very sharp
By 1816 the wholesale
price level was lower than it had

vances was

declines.

been in 1811.:

104.9).

7
Estimated

1929-1930

132

the

1865

in

to

97.7
to

index

by

84

about

the

Ratio

when

Total

of

de¬

aver¬

70's.

v;::'-vV'-1 "■

'■',s

r

the

peak

Canada

.7

•

—-

United Kingdom——-

few

May

1920

.7
- —-w.*---

——

——--4

or

more

17

communist

;

and

totalitarian

18 years ago were

or

at

22%

the

of

Germany,

national

little

a

income;

than

more

all

are

these

21%;

countries

now? Bankrupt or totalitarian!
For
long years

experts

and

writers

on public finance, based
the historical
records, have as¬

on

that

endure

nation

no

and

be

free, with taxes
of the national

could

long
and

prosperous

high

as

income.

25%.

as

Further,

*

12.7
13.3

7

16.4
18.8

reasonable

What

.^7 21.2

Uruguay

16.0

..

.7^.

18.0

..

,77714.5

——

25.0

19.5
20.0

..

-

.

Finland

.-714.1

More
than
21/fe .*: years
have
,7
16.0
Ipt
elapsed since VJ-Day, and prices, 'Cuba
25.6
with some exceptions, are still
11.4
at) Porto Rico
postwar peak levels. A peak level/ Hungary
17.0
of this duration is in sharp con7 Union of South Africa—.
22.1
trast to the experience after the
Roumanian————— ..12.7
earlier wars. Prices declined soon Yugoslavia
.77 12.7
;

the

America,

unless
our

to

point

a

1

we

hap-

course,

United

taxes and

States

of

cut

our

soon

public expenditures

where

the

over-all

"take" will be not

more than 15%
-20% of the national income pro¬
duced in years of normally
good,

but

not

"inflated,"

business

tivity? 77v
It

is

that

a

18.2

..

extended pe¬

will, in due

to

en

,—

an

headed for trouble. '-

22.0

..

over

riod; and any country with a ratio
exceeding 20% seemed definitely

..13.4

—

reached, to
Irish Free State
prices Austria
During
Chile
r.ithe 20's they remained at a level
Czechoslovakia
prewar.

Ail
>

..716.8
..

Belgium

Spain

j

—

Sweden

France

backward

more

ratio exceeding 15% was for¬
.77721.9 C7
merly considered too high to be

~

-

the

of

levied taxes up to 25%l
on their national income,
7

any

Norway-

the
r *

of

20.7

wholesale

above

A

our

'::7r»7'

countries

Where

11.0%

17-

—

Argentina

scarcely 11%,
one-third

next, at 27.5%. Other very im¬
portant high-tax countries some:

New Zealand;,...^..*-*, ..17.8

Netherlands

was

than

more

was

11.6

cut almost in half.

about 40%

little

present ratio.

sumed
-

just before

was

1922,

States the ratio
or

countries.

same

time, in the United

same

present United States rate! Greece

to Income

Country—

Germany

I—From

the

The

% of Taxes

United States—...

the

\,

War

January

were

Taxes

b;Kinds
to
Estimated National"
;7' Income Produced

above

Civil War.
World

had

early

33%

prevailing

peak of

1868 and

in

At

world

than 15%
national income
more

state of Russia headed the list at
about 29%, or slightly under the

v

...

Denmark
was a

estimated

50 lead¬

the

of the World: and Great
Britain, just under 21%.

Countries

Australia;
(1816—103.5; 1811— Switzerland

Civil War—There

col¬

stubbornly, while
government taxes

up

local

1

World War II—115%

the taxes

as

i.e., for fiscal 1947
close to $45,000,000,000, as com¬
pared with around $11,000,000,000.
are

the

weighted
by all gov¬

some

of

produced by those

our

four

governments,

Leading

145.5%

1920).

about

amount

.

the

countries

France,

War—116%; (60.9 in 1861
to 132 in 1865). •
World

Now,

lected by all of our state and local

Civil

1914 to May

did

as

I 7 Federal tax rates and collections

War of 1812—About 50%" (104.9,

1926=100,

much

of peace,

y.ear

times

were

as

Government is collecting

Federal

fol¬

three of which

lowed

state and

our

Government.

third

by very sharp price de¬
clines: The War of 1812, the Civil
War and World War I.
During

peaks,

the

governments ^ collected :: in
Federal

our

War,

before

-

few short years,the prosperous

a

in

ernmental bodies in

.

.

,

normal

need for

improvements and fa¬

new

cilities,

pop¬

during the present

decade, and the resultant

are

an

1

ac¬
..

;

7v

not

commonly understood
very mild and to-be-ex¬

pected decline

of

15%

in indus¬

.———.

trial production, and of

..

—

in

our

only 15%

price level, which has

more

..

—

—

..

after

the

1812

and

reached

ending
the
their

World

had

War

War

of

and

Japan (Proper).——
Costa Rica

months

Greece

Poland

18

the

31st

Armistice

month
in

No¬

vember

—

Algeria
Colombia

completed.

Egypt

Russia

never

has

been

slow

a

or

gradual decline from these strato¬
spheric heights. Only time will
if we

are

this time.

to

;,

reverse

7.

history

•

„,

17.8

——i.—
..

7:23.8

..'17.5
15.8

..

—i

23.7

..

—

.

14.7

..

-716.4

Salvador"
Brazil

17.9

-

-7

Philippine Islands
Mexico

—

Guatemala

1

8.0
26.5

„

15.3

-

—

Bolivia

Consumers' prices showed sim¬
trends although the magni¬

,

15.7

-

ilar

tude of the

20.5

..

..

——

Moreover, these earlier postwar Peru
Portugal
were; quite precipitous.
We cannot ignore the fact that Bulgaria

16.4

..

..

—

(U.S.S.R.)— -77-

declines

27.5

-

—

——

1918, a major part of the
postwar price deflation had been

there

..722.4

—-———--.I—-.

Venezuela

16.7

..

—

By the time

peak

War I.

the

the

of

Civil

reached

following

Request

Goodbody & Co.

of

chart of prices going back
shows
four
very
high

a

tell

115 Broadway. New York
IVUfflMMt, BAtcIapr 7-0100

the

in

Texas Eastern Trans *
Sold

the foregoing

because of the
ulation growth

points resulting from state taxes I sewers,
on

taxes

Tenn. Gas & Electric

-

Bought

:

1800

to

favorable.

Moreover, there has been no re¬
versal
of
the
wage
increases

Ame'ican Hardware

taxed

are

there is in many cases

local

level

of

corporate

addition of several percentage

taxes around twice

examination

an

crops.

knbw the size of

creases, such

an

all of

around

was

cause

top rates

77%;
$50,000

Many attempts to appraise the
ouUook for prices have centered

This

a

To

lation).
Past Postwar Periods

do not

been

38%.

is

over

amounted to little

kreep in mind that

there

credits

somewhat

82

January, 1948.

before

inflation is still with

aged

or

collecting taxes at the following rates on the higher brackets:
Individual
incomes,
a r o u n d<£
86¥j% beginning at $200,000 (and are bound to increase
rapidly for
50.35% at only $18,000); the top the next'
few
*
years,v because of
Federal tax bracket on net estates
shifts in population as well as

ing

us.

all

our

"produced" in 1947 ($185,000,000,000 to $200,000,000,000 depending

I am not at¬

.

from

states have not yet imposed personal income
Yet for the third year of peace,.our Federal
Government alone

taxes.

period

clined

we still
the 1948

free

now

average taxes collected

mean

to

In
evaluating the significance
of'This decline it is important to

reversed

even

of the

we

Detroit Harvester

it

does

are

forecast ; the imme¬
diate outlook for prices.
I am
emphasizing that the underlying

after

.

Nor

estates

collecting around $56,000,000,000 annually in taxes of
all kinds, or roughly close to 30%

of

foods fell from 7 to 15% from the

have thus far been very moderate

Art Metal Construction

forces.

tempting

on

This reversal in the

year ago.

June, Tftie recent developments

it had

idly

our

infla¬

pressure does not mean
prices cannot decline-when¬

stratospheric levels.

the
farm is reported to be larger than
and

stability in of February, Since the middle of
prices in the first half February these prices have been
Many students of prices relatively stable.
Up until the
were in
agreement that the price middle of' February retail food
level
then
prevailing reflected prices declined about 2 ¥2% with
adequately the? underlying infla¬
only moderate changes since that
tion and that the immediate
post¬ time.
Largely as a result of this
war peak
nrobably had been decline in food prices, the official
reached.
Then, in the Summer consumers'
price
index
turned
of 1947, there were three events
down 1.3 in February.
V ^

living costs to new high levels
January of 1948. I refer to: j

this

of

add

that
basic

expectations

below

consumers'

in

to

that prices must move up to new

of 1947.

which

hasten

me

existence

the

a

accounted

of

con¬

Let

in food and farm

pated earlier.
In addition, the
quantity of grain fed to livestock

;

prices since the end

may

large extent, this decline
prices reflected
reversal of the factors which

To

Several of

and

is

at

inflationary pressures have
eliminated or significantly

incomes

;7 7;.'*

,

February decline in grain prices
widely heralded as the be¬
ginning of a postwar collapse in
was

taxation.

small

basic

tionary

background

Many

free1

our

enterprise system.

net incomes

that

,

4

underlying the recent price

modified.

which
be kept in mind in apprais¬
this

is

bracket well below 50% must be
adopted to maintain

:

declines does not indicate that the

been

than 25%
prevailing under

as
inflationary even though steel
prices previously had risen sub¬
stantially less than had other
prices and even though the rise in
question added less than 1% to

Similiarly, the

forces

more

level

rise

denounced

was

create

and

the

OPA.

A

trat'ons.

rise in steel

however,

inter¬

furnish

consequent net increase in total
deposits and money in circula¬
tion. *
Thus, an appraisel of the

prices from 157 in June, 1947, to
168.7 in January, 1948—a rise of
about llk%.
The January level,

perspec-

tive.

Jules Backtnan

a

lack

:

has been an expansion in bank
credit for business loans with the

budgetary surplus, however, there

upon

.$200 to $159 billion, and points out in depression or
expenditures tend to increase. Holds top tax

government

,

higher prices.
This was particularly important for railroads, coal
and steel since increases in those
other

adversity,

m

the entire price structure.
; .• The
impact
of these forces
raised, the
level' of consumers'

there

„

1

contrast to the accumulated
! deficits. .As against the decline in
inflationary pressure due to this

the

"

77

greater demand upon our reduced supplies.
(3) The second round wage increases
which inevitably meant

prices act and interact one upon

these develop-

>

"

~7~

7

~

■

a

most
of
the
headlines
7 until recently

7 with

'

:

high portion of national income consumed by '
to low living standards of many
Foresees possibility of drop in U. S. national

eventually lead U. S.

European nations.

continuously since the end of the war., Higher
living costs, higher steel prices, gray market prices for automobiles, rising building prices,
collapsing grain prices—these and many other headlines have becoihe familiar to all of us.
Prices have been front page news

7

will

taxes

warns

Ecuador

British

19.0
—

India

—

_.

-

.

/

20.0
17.0

rise, and in turn the

(Continued

on page

28)

.

than

15.4%

since

1940,

would
probably lead to a 25%-30% drop
in our national income produced.
We

all
for

should, in fact, in the light of
past experience, be prepared
a

much

sharper drop within

the next few years, on our present

monetary standard.
At any rate, it would not be
surprising to see our present na¬
tional income

(according to recent
computations)
drop

"adjusted"
from

a

current level

approaching
$200,000,000,000 per annum to a
some
place between $125,000,000.000
and
$150,000,000,000.
level

Even

the

decline
income

extreme

would
at

higher than
our history.
It

low

leave

point

a

any

of

such

fully

25%

pre-war year
.

.

a

national

our

in

• •

should further be noted that,

in times of depression or advers-

ity,
Average of 48 Countries

doubled

public

expenditures,

(Continued

on page

.

under

26)

.

Volume 167

Number 4686

THE COMMERCIAL

&

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

(1421)

5

(r
Steel
1

Production

Electric Output

-

New York

.

Ciiy Office

Carloadingt

of Trade
*

'

.

r'

Industry

i

Failuree

,

!

'

..

'

•

/

Speedy settlement
last

week

and

imposed in

.

1 situation

remain

1

-■

:■■■■■■-

restrictions

unaltered the

railroad

on

fuel.

conserve

\

■

of the bituminous coal strike

further

order to

•-

'7,

~

t""Justifiably

-

;

,

cations.

current

week

appeared remote

electorates.

*

/•

V

Th? total effects stemming from the action of the soft coal miners
^eayinS the pits may prove to be si very grave blow to our national
-

7

According to the
falling under the
the mine tieup continue for
oossibiiity ingot output may

economy.

tions

*.

magazine "Steel,'*'"steelmaking bperaimpact of the coal strike, and should

are

another

two

weeks there

is

a

distinct

week

■

•

In

terms

of

of the strike
the

week

S.

Bureau

Mines

as

a

in

20, 1948 dropped to 4,360,000 tons from
the previous week, or a decline of about
67%. >

in

'v"7>7
interest

*

' '■

*

y,'vy-,7 Y ;>7 '

7V77/,:

* "

to

a

few

' ' .77 7'Y'' 7 •,
the Council's doings

7

nificance/Hence

to

we

tained, an qffke

Sail

in

gerties, NV Y ..
for

sever

y e a r s.

|

:BJU .

Hunter has re
cently beei
Y

7777 acting as Vide

Wellington Hunter /
.*

•'

,

7-Y

Pre Si den t

i

:

ties Corporation;'

McDonnell

•

o

' Aetna Securi7 7 7/;

on

'

x

as

Partner

Peter

Morgan & Co., 31 Nassau
Street, New York City, announce
that John R. McDonnell has been
admitted

as

the firm.

Mr. McDonnell has been

general partner in

a

with the firm

shall confine this discussion to the latter.

many taxpayers was the action taken by
Monday and the House on Wednesday of last 77The Legislative Set-up
V'v
y week in
approving income tax reductions by margins sufficiently
First let it be understood that, under the Employment Act
of
./large to overcome the expected veto by President Truman.
The
1946 the President himself (and not the Council) is charged with
Present-W act on the measure before the deadline on April 5, submitting an economic report to the Congress within 60 days aftei
SSr
k1 %
become a ;;law without his signature, the beginning of each regular session. This document, called "The
lne beneiits that will accrue
to the taxpayer
by the measure becom- Economic Report," setting forth the levels and trend of
employment
jng a law will in turn result in an estimated loss of
$4,800,000,000 production and purchasing power in relation to the stated
goal ol
in revenue tc the
government.
.;v
full employment; a review of the relevant economic program of the
^fr?* taxation, w:ith the passing of March 15, government; and legislative recommendations; when submitted to
vthe final day for fihng Federal income tax
returns, it is found that Congress is
immediately referred to its especially-established Joint

the U. S. .Senate

/

7

the govern¬

,";,V

May

42

issue; privately
of

Discussion
of
in the
phase of ideology and economic theory—that is,
the "substantive" content of its reports—could not possibly be con¬
fined to the maximum length of an article. Moreover the unique
"procedural" phases of the Council-^-that is, its status and manner
of functioning in the community—are harboring far
greater sig¬

result

reoorts that production

Indicators"

at

Broadway
and has main¬

/

elite.

ment
A. Wilfred

March

;777'.y77
Of great

of

"Economic

y-k'j 777777

tonnage of bituminous coal losses

the U.

ended

13,314,000 tons
7

yY'

total

,

announcement of its intention to

drop below 60% of capacity.", For the
beginning March 22, 1948, the scheduled operating Tate of
steel companies
having 94% of the steel-making capacity of the
industry was 95.7% of capacity.

/

located

is

it

\~y;' '•/.,<\71 *77 ■'
7 : There is constant evidence of. the almost
unanimous confusion of our, public over this
body's legal status and functioning.
This of
course
has not been lessened by such current
happenings as the Council's verdict pronounced
on the highly-controversial price adjustment by
the steel industry, or by this week's reported

strike

steel producers

many

previously was

reported that the
body's economic pronouncements, voiced directly
or
through the President,. have recently been
exercising the most marked effect oil European

transportation. weTe
coal

abroad

York

City. The firm

or

From

Broadway;

New

unjustifiably, clothed its activities*
with far-reaching political and economic impli¬

7 7J 7

i.

Should the national

be forced to shut down their mills.

may

.

v

!

setback to total
output, however, was slight and many indus¬
to operate at a level
moderately above that of a
••

50

not be

may

as

continued
ago.

Econonfte Advisers

Council of

Truman's

much spoofing as did the Frankfurter-generated Brains
Trusts which operated under President Roosevelt, but its implicaT
tions are far more important.
Domestically its official status has,

:Y
.Labor-management disputes and difficulties encountered in ob¬
taining adequate supplies of some materials worked to hold down
industrial production the
past week.

(Hunter & Co.

BRAINS TRUSTING—1948 STYLE

President

an¬

New

a

York office for

Auto Production

inciting

.year

reopening of

By A. WILFRED MAY

Food Price Index

Buelaees

iVT

tries

the

nounces

Commodity Price Index

I

,

and

Wellington "Dukc" Hunter

^'Retail Trade

.

,

head .of the trad¬

as

ing department.

New Ira

;.,

:

7

Haupt Phone

7

Ira Haupt &

Co., Ill Broadway,
City, members of the

York

New

York

New

Stock

that

nounce

the

Exchange, an¬
telephone num¬

ber of their main office has been

.

2k 9ure2

yl!

2s!?ess actlvlty an4 a record national income Committee on the Economic Report. /This Congressional Committee
soared beyond $7,000,- jS cnarged with studying the various matters contained therein, with
uOtbuOO^ an all-time record figure. The flow of income tax payments recommending the means of
coordinating programs, and with guiding
since March 15 accounted for the new

v

+

«nn

/

II

i

peak.

I''"''..••"I'

*

*

the Congress.

*

\

v

M
Considerable rise in retail volume occurred in most sections of
the country during the week as consumers rushed
to complete their
pre-Easter shopping. Total dollar volume in the
II
period ended on
;-'-H
V Wednesday of
lastjweek. was slightly above that of a year ago, with
71
unit volume
fractionally under that of the corresponding week in
77
3947.
Resistance to high prices and poor
/ '1
quality continued to be
•

/

,

•

'

Strong.;

■

',;'7 ''■V

A

-

usual

long-

term commitments,

The

v

this

coal

STRIKE

strike

steel

1

loss

current

of

steel

In the

event

John

L.

with

rigid

after

his

the

80

miners

days

~

return

to

would

come

just

about

work

Federal

a

the

soon,

-

v;.?(

of

time

the

The end of

the

present

the

80-day period
officially

pact

to

do

steel,

in

consumers

the

third

this year is only now sinking into the minds of those
who had laid ambitious plans to turn their backlogs into
/ finished manufactured products.!
Marshall Plan requirements, the

probability

of

a

record

of the President's

peacetime

defense

together

program

the

and

drum-beating by the oil industry for much needed

large

steel must

it the NAM

various

at

times

:

Francisco

MAD!
IN

CANADIAN

SECURITIES
'

^

Canadian Pacific

the "Daily
consultedv Lor^l

are

The

/

Imperial Oil, Ltd.

International Petroleum

HART SMITH & GO
7'

152 WILLIAM ST., N. Y. 5 HAnorer 2-MM
,

Bell Teletype NY 1-305

New York

Montreal

.

Toronto

or

Political

Implications

r

/

the very great suspicion that the Council can
:

easily be used as a device to further political aims; as another
means of milking the
respectability of the economics profession
to propagandize the
electorate, and of supplying impressive windowdressing for political aims.
7 •7;/:/''"'

.7/1'

i

facile

Defenders of the Council's raison d'etre maintain that it fills the

mechanism

a

Rwy.

or

whether perhaps the President and the
expounding jointly-held theories.
7 !

moreover

need for

Stock

<

too

>

CALIF.—

is

notions,

.1
There is

coal

be

San

y

confusing the nation as to whether
^e
President is merely transmitting fool-pioof facts from a
group ,cjf
scientific experts, whether the Council is functioning as a rationalizer

alleged

What the coal strike will

scale

Roosevelt

,

AMERICAN

Freedom of Consultation

Keynes, the warbling Tom Corcoran, Joseph P. Kennedy, John Lewis
Hull, Sumner Welles, Isador Lubin,; Mayor Hague, B. M
Baruch, etc., etc., etc., but the opinions and suggested policies which
he uttered were as his own, standing on his own two feet of re¬
sponsibility.
7
: At the present time, on the other hand, the set-up of our n^w

'

quarter of

,

and

MARKETS

Cordell

of

y users
.

President

Cwontcle)

Exchanges.

vlt assuredly is beyond criticism for the President of the Unitec
States to get economic information and opinions to whatever extent

injunc-

threat

period required under; the
agreement, the coal miners could
long as their leader ordered them

ends, thp magazine notes.

,

which

non-striking

Law there is no
walk out again and stay out as
to without government interference.

7

York

recommending and developing national economic policies, with
furnishing reports definitely requested by-the President, and with
making a report to the President annually,
y

.

Financim,

joined the staff
of Schwabacher & Co., 600 Mar¬
ket Street,;- members of the New

nomic information, with appraising the Federal Government's; own
programs and activities in the light of their employment-stimulatiop,

President Always Has

The

to

FRANCISCO,

Robert Wilber has

.

Additionally the statute creates m the Executive Office of the
Council of Economic Advisers" of three members ap¬
pointed by the President, and subject to confirmation by the Senate.
These individuals are charged with assisting the President in the
preparation of his above-cited Report, with gathering timely eco¬

Council

Lewis should heed

another strike still confronts the industry.

have

losses

allocations

certain.

seem

;.

and

Taft-Hartley
t

additional

government

tion

'

.

along

make

/

If

■■■

statutory Brains Trust

similar to wartime controls

:i ;

If 7

:,fl

President "a

Worker."

has

will result from the strike

7/

7

:■

year.

The

7

.

;

■,!y,

T"-1/"

v/

89.4% OF CAPACITY

seriously crippled the steel industry and
it is now doubtful that the
industry will better last year's steel
production of 85 million tons, states "The Iron
Age," national metalworking weekly, in its current report on the steel industry.
It
had been hoped that close to 90 million
tons would be produced

;

,

/--V'-•

OUTPUT AT

DUE TO COAL

:

.

^

and from whatever sources he wishes,

STEEL

-

;.

(Special

SAN

with

pre-holiday drop in new order volume reduced total
wholesale volume moderately
during the week, though dollar volume
was very close to the
high level of a year ago. Re-orders of Spring
merchandise continued to be numerous.
Buyers remained priceconscious and were hesitant in!
regard to large orders and

■'

Schwabacher Co. Adds

.

surplus of the government has

•

7Y7'7V:7 f';

,

changed to WQrth 4-6000.

by which the various government
authoritatively reviewed.
; ;

actions and programs can be

77 No one should think of any economist as an objective individual
issuing factual words of wisdom from an ivory tower. But economic
thinking can at least be free from political coloration of its indi-

,77': 7 77777;'77-:' ^ - (Continued

on page

37)77--- 7 >.7;'

-Vl,"

(*K

■

ALBERT FRANK-

GUENTHERLAW
Incorporated

7

77

aU; be considered in coping with the problem of steel demand.
'

,

"

7:

are

In the face of all this, government officials in high
places
assuming that rigid controls over steel output and distribu-; 1

771777;; ' Time Inc. :-777''>7'.....

;y Zition are necessary, according to "The Iron Age."

iI"-ijlrv.They figured that ERP could
-

time

the

fashion,

but

the

President's

be

handled

message

on

in normal peacedefense needs and

coal

strike, changed all that thinking.
Some top
privately expect strict government controls before the

.

ii

(

At

the

present

moment

various

defense

for

agencies

steel
year

are

heads
is out.

Dravo
,

'

.

t

\

,

,

'

'

also

stepped

in

with

the

alloy

steel

'The
order

bar

*4

result

of

/




.

.

;

•

<

'-*

...

•

P.'

outlook.

FREDERIC N. HATCH & CO- INC.
,

current

vdlUhih/ the magazine

•

defense

inquiries

concludes,

(Continued

and

has led

on page

33)

probable

several

131 Cedar

Street, New York 6

future

large steel

Boston

Chicago

*

~

.

Bought—Sold—Quoted

inquiries

which will bring to a new
Deliveries on this product
were three to four weeks
early this year, this trade authority points
out, but promises today run from three to four months.
tautness

,

(

Advertising

Corp.

American Maize Products Co.
■

r

inquiring

large quantities of steel products.
These orders will mean less
plates, pipe and bars for domestic steel fabricators. Aircraft makers
have

7/7

7

,

v

members N.

Established 1888
y.

security

63 Wall Street, New York 5, N. Y.

dealers

association

Bell Teletype NY 1-S97

Philadelphia
San Francisco

6

THE COMMERCIAL

(1422)

'

CHRONICLE

FINANCIAL

&

Thursday, April 1, 1948

Who Killed Cock ^RoWh% Jrftv Gold and Our
By

THEODORE PRINCE,,- L.LM.*

-V

-1-

/ President, The Equitable Life Assurance Society of

Economist and Investment

Counsel, pointing out decline in demand for equity securities m face of V
heavy industrial capital requirements, lays much of blame for ibis condition to severe stock margin
requirements of Federal Reserve Board. Holds margin restrictions, by reducing available equity
capital lp business corporations, is an inflationary fforce.
.va.V;-;
,•

the

begin-

ning."

i

With

the

which

we

be¬

now

which

the

business

hrough equity capital./ It should
?e

i

m

it.

i

n

It

s-

may

ability of our 412,000
.corporations to secure

noted

Industrial Capital

Equities

increased invest¬

equities for the

capital

these

omist,

Prince

investment

is

for

econ¬

counsel

lawyer specializing in
practices and taxes and
circle

an

and

corporate
a

financial

figure for 30 years, and

20

head

years

Exchange (firm

of

the

which

was

Stock

bore; his,

name.—Editor.

-

B

&

Boston

&

Maine

Prior Preferred

RR.

of

than

the

the particular

Federal Street, Boston

from

secured

a

in

1938 these corpo¬

and

dividends

and' had

of $20 billion.

deficit

a

From 1939 through

dividends

paid were $42.7
aillion out of $88.9 billion
earned,

after

taxes, leaving $46.2 billion
surplus which has yet to meet
the impact of inventory losses and
as

decline

future

of

profits.

inventory
the $17 billion

Thus, of

of ^reported
1947

corporation
less

no

than

"profits"

J5 billion

in

the

"Cash/ and

billion"

cut

were

while

;

Government

down

$19

by $10

billion

was

necessary
"to carry inventories
and accounts receivable."
"The

$11 billion growth in net working
capital reflects primarily an ab¬
sorption of reinvested earnings

V

The

growiing i need for
is indicated by the

funds

tional

Product

at

the

Capital

Product

Ex
Expenditures

90

1940..

/

1941..

1942..

160

:

1943..
1944..

211;,;.;,

1945..

1947..

0.2.

The

*17.0.

>
of

1946

to

in

37%

*

the

of

case

Auto-Lite; from

and

of ( bank

Union

aggregate
million in 1946
1947.

for

arrange

for

for

^

phase to the

$502
'

'

<

,

INVESTMENT

SECURITIES

V

This

509 OLIVE STREET

-

;V

increase

proceeding at

pears

There

St.LouisLMo.

Street, Boston

/

'
Members St. Louis Stock

Telephone—-

Xxchang*

REctor 2-5035

billion

in

crease

$7

billion

$22

1939

which

to

American Air Filter

Consider H. Willett

NORTHWEST MINING
For
or

of

Murphy Chair Company

Immediate Execution of Orders
Quotes call TWX Sp-43 on Floor

Exchange

A.M.,

Pac.

other

hours.

from
Std.

10:45

Time:

to

11:30

Sp-62
"

Co.

at

.TV

STANDARD SECURITIES

™i BANKERS BOND HE

CORPORATION
Members Standard
of

*

Incorporated
l»t Floor,

Kentucky Home Life BIdg.
LOUISVILLE 2, KENTUCKY
Bell Tele. LS 186

Brokers

-

Stock

Exchange

Spokane

Dealers

-

Underwriters

Peyton Building, Spokane
Branches at

Kellogg, Idaho

and

Yakima, Wn.

and ,itc

Jhe Treasury'.6

bank balance.

Wouldn't it be n'cc

to

buy

be

able

to

check

a

on

a

refrigerator
bank

your

the

and/write

bank

.ac¬

that

you

count?

■

This all.

means

//;///■/■,///

that the

.

*•'

Treas¬

ury
and

has paid nothing for the gold,

has

a

that

lion

the

British Government

bank deposit

in

banks.

our

for $100 mil¬
The

most

bonds. The

ends in its ignominious burial

instances 40^ investment in
supply of public funds
for investment in
equities is also

Fort

prevailing high income
double

taxation

i of

dividends and the high cost of liv¬
ing. As a result of these circum¬

stances,

plus

financial

policy

ment

in

issues

at

we

the

every

are

selling

than 3%,

as

times

the

vailed

in

a

gap
of
difference

to

be

be

over

farm

on

sent

after what

us

suppose

draws
as

on
a

that Great Brit¬
its bank account

result of the sale

gold. At this time, it would

May, 1946. Again,
(Continued on page 29)

further

a

deposits

of

increase

in

approximately

$400 million.
This

further

money
fact

that

$80

addition

supply
the

results
bank

million of
loans

can

excess

for

to

quired

to

the

use

to

reserves

which

it

deposits for which

new

our

-from/ the

creates

it is

re¬

place with the Federal

Reserve

enjy approximately 20%
legal reserve—the $80 million be¬
comes the legal reserves for
an-,/;
other

$400

million.

well-known

Reserve
The

banking.

net

This

'

"5-for-l"

is

the

Federal

of

:

•

^

^

result is

that the pur¬
chase of $100 million of gold has

actually increased bank deposits.
by $100 million and, at the same
time, has supplied -the source of
another

million

$400

increase

of

.in .our money supply.
these bank deposits

Ani all of /
can

the

at

option of the depositor be turned
into Federal Reserve Bank notes.

This is

our managed
aged currency! :; \"

It is difficult for

in gold

to believe
base

for

mis-man¬

or

-./vi'

; '

as

*

who used

one

the soundest

currency

to .realize

it

that

has

been

now

no

pre¬

■

the
1

additional

of

paper

deposit

or

money.

And what makes this even more

striking is the fact that it is not
at all necessary that this great
volume of paper money should
result from our purchase of gold.
We could purchase' that gold, if
we wanted it badly enough, with¬
out

>th:s

incidental

ih

increase

supply.

money

What

do instead is, through

we

the

manipulation of bookkeepers
and the so-called managers of our

economy,

which

bastard

create

have

dollars
with

connection

no

existing business relations Or. ac- V

tivity and which circulate through

rency

and reducing the

purchas¬

ing value of our dollar.
further
all

rise

bemoan.

in

prices

V

Hence

which
"

v

a

we

4;

probable that the money

go

to

pay

for trucks .and

machinery which would be
out -of

the

country to Great

three

which

in

bank

the country adulterating our cur¬

buried.

more

would

to

Perhaps

at

through, it deserves

gone

now

of the

con¬

trasted with the yield of 5.75%

equities,

has

established

artificially high prices,

more

it

inflationary ain

of the Govern¬
supporting government

description
no

Knox.

Let

find that high grade bonds of

yield

result

banking system,
probably would

and

huge, jquantity

money,

to

gold has
not deDleted the Treasury's bank
funds, and the curious transaction

the

the

could

reduced to the .point where it is

$38

1947.

taxes,

and

ar.

have the refrigerator
please restore its cost to your ac¬

1947, and of this in¬
billion took place in

limited by

SECURITIES

in

reserves

tificate—hb, not actually

since

bank

of

rose

with

and the most
reliable security for future values

count

ap¬

high rate.

life insurance companies and mu¬
tual savings banks is limited in

SPOKANE, WASH.

American Turf Ass'n




in

a

million

the

with

time.

loans

have developed

we

amount is added

The large supply of capital from

LOUISVILLE

Varnish

were

loans

future

bank

deposit./; "1

gold .certificate/is

consequences

some

$100

circumstances

depression should
of

that

keeping entry to the effect thai

or

dismal

bank

a

the' /
"J

of

longer /money
itself; it no
longer backs -up that which we
justify its issue— use for money; and worse than
and thereupon, the Federal
Re-; all this, in its progress from the
serve -Bank restores the Treasury's
foreign seller to its cemetery in
deposit as it was before the gold Fort Knox, it has produced and
purchase check was issued. The left to circulate a

urgency

is supplied

a

Federal

even tc
issue it, but just to make a book¬

•

deposits is infla¬

new

to

the

Treasury,.having paid by check
for the gold, to issue, a gold cer¬

by expend¬
savings and 'is,
therefore, not inflationary.
Bor¬
rowing, however, for capital needs
lead

with

extraordinary process under ar
old act of Congress which permit?

financing as against
borrowing is that the latter

when and if
take hold at

account

./ However,

a

ipublic

can

of

purchased.'*•. To
this
point, the
purchase of the 'gold is like any
other exchange of a
cprnmocrity

$1,274 million
1

money

$190 .million

us

with the Federal Reserve by th'
issuance of'the check for the golc

that

v

.from

rose

to

'

sources

sells-

j: In this operation the Treasury
has decreased
its bank deposUi

in both

none

credit

debt

in

hypothetical case, Jet

by $100 million/

in Elec¬

For the entire group, the

amount.

its

worst'

process is yet to
when- Great
Britain

bank,that bank
required to put up with the
Federal Reserve system a
legal
reserve against the
deposit of ap¬
proximately' 20%.
The balance,
or $80 million, remained as
excess

make

posited with a commercial bank;
thereby increasing bank deposits

postpone issuance of $25 mil¬
lion preferred stock
(s'nce ac¬
line

•//■///

that the British Gov¬

suppose

on

to

complished)

this

total

Oil of California to 66%
tric

into

gold. The Treasury issues its check

s"

is

in

To. take-a

us

particularly
That increase ranged

significant.
from

/'/.'V;-

21

some

.1947

its

/

Reserve Bank "to pay'-the .seller
long- of the gold. The check for $100
important million which the British Govern¬
companies
from ment receives for its gold is de¬

increase
debt

comes

•?.*;

ernment

4:oV;-17.8 o-'Jv'

*240

♦Estimated

;

///v

14.7

228
4

1948—

-

f

204

:

support; from

gold

Bank;

5.2

v

213
j

194-3..

term

4.5

:

any ;

government, Which may be held
on deposit
by the Federal Reserve

16.1

193

I. Parkinson

to the Treasury, except gold ear¬
marked as owned by/a foreign

///

125

T.

V>

country/ it must by law be sold

////■:'; 5.2
////://; :;6.5

■

100

the

our

< ;•

.

was

.that

When

and/

?

commercial

a

•'

parent;'

addition

making,
For

deposited

purchased

without

Gross Nat'l

1939:.

However,

remains

of

deposits

supply.

-ome.

.'
„" '
gold sires a flock of paper money
which foams through the
country

estimated): '

There

million

bank

money

paid

said

$100

our

money

Someone

has

accompanying capital expen¬
ditures
(in billions of dollars—
1948

to

hav¬
further

no

abroad.

gone

behind

That

deposits

for;;

with

bank

Stix & Co.

DAYTON HAIGNEY & CO., Inc.

Lon? Distance 238-9

output

has

for the

gold ' it

market price of everything made,
and grown, plus services rendered)

able

y

*

(total

ply cf this country. The gold is
Fort Knox, and the
machinery

tn

new

paper

ing

^

offered to it; pay-.

2ry are merged in the
money sup¬

cre-

relation to the

tionary while financing from pub¬

New England Lime Common

Reliance

capital
figures

gold
It is

>

or her colonies. The
checks
made in payment for this machin-

money is

bank

/

•

Britain

in the form of

submitted below of the Gross Na¬

Another

Boston Edison

75 Federal

new

■■//'•

or

lic

Private New York

infla¬

our

Need for Capital Funds

•

by creating

.

offset

tionary status?

of

Holding Pfd.

s

money

Tele. BS 128

Boston & Maine Prior 'Pfd.'

e

purpose.

-

Trading Markets

t

our

unmixed blessing.

an

for all gold

ounce

be¬

it

cause

substan¬

very

an

Treasury

nothing
a

$35

pays

addition to

growing inflation.

way
costs

tial amounts to create the produc¬

Dow Chemical and Union Carbide

stressed

our

;

activity.;^:;,;;/:

or

an

made

tion necessary to

ventory.

ST. LOUIS

Boston Railroad

the

1929 and 1939, how
there be but a crucial need of

working capital in

a

which

years

manufacturing

is

of

causes

Treasury

is

in

comparison of time

is
considered inventory profits,
leaving' $12 billion, as surplus.
These surpluses are also backlogs'
as a protection
against recession,
a
reserve
for capital needs and
for depreciation of plant and in¬

This

The

Years / (In Billions of Dollars)

1930 to

earned, after taxes, $12.3
paid out $32.3 billion

aillion

the

only $150 million more
$4.5 billion secured in

securities

10

of the chief

ment

product) and a national pro¬

can

1947.

states:

/'

Walter J. Connolly & Co., Inc.
Tel. HUbbard 2-3790

supply of nearly $3 billion; but this is not

January/ letter -of the National and Carbon to approximately 50%of total capital, excluding surplus.
City Bank, in which, speaking of
the two years ending June 30,1947 Monsanto Chemical, a company of
of non-financial
corporations, it outstanding financial strength, had

Traded in Round Lots

24

equity

the issue of equities and bonds
total

for

BOSTON

1945,

corporations

1947

♦Theodore

in

furnished 50% of the
capital obtained as against only
25% in 1947; further, during the
six years from 1940 through 1945

rations

Via

that

financing

From

in

obtained

was

the

see.

ment

$6 " billion

ne¬

wants

need for

$1.2

capital is

capital
President
Truman
claims they
need—but, is it? Let

The

notes and secured

million in equity capital. This was
;he highest amount of securities

gated, by

the

us

Donds and

and

of

Federal Reserve restricts and im¬

pairs

billion in 1945; in 1947 these cor¬
porations obtained $3.3 billion by

amount

to say, that the so"margin" rule of the

75%

j28/29) $3.5 billion in 1946 and $1.2

much ...needed

far cry

called

$4.5

issued since 1929 when $2 billion
was
issued in bonds and notes

A d

a

and

secured

duction of over twice that of each

,

be

rations

of

are

tration

covering increased . working
capital needs." With substantially
a 50c to 60c dollar (depending on

there has been

years

for

schizophrenia

coming accus*
tomed, the
possibility of
raising this

Theodore Prince

requirements
V, our
business
corporations is of extreme urg¬
ency
in the goal of additional
production. These 412,000 corpo¬
of

process

existing business relations

During the past two
one

billion capidei't economic tal in 1947 (the highest since 1927/
to

tion with

the next^

few years, but
this
is
only

''

'

the U. S.

whereby purchase of gold by
Treasury increases bank deposits add adds to money
supply of
nation, thereby being one of the chief causes of our
growing infla¬
tion. Says process creates bastard dollars which
have no connec¬

Congress on Jan. 7, 1948, stated;
"We are today far short of the industry capacity we need for a growing future. At-least
$50 billion should be invested by industry to improve and expand our productive facilities
over

Parkinson describes

Mr.

President Truman in his State of Union address to

*

Managed Currency

By THOMAS I. PARKINSON *

v''/'-:\,."//V/-:-V.

*A statement by Mr. Parkinson

released by the

Continental Press
Syndicate, Brightwaters, N. Y.

Vilas & Hickey Admit
Vilas &

Hickey, 49 Wall Street,

New

York

City, members of the

New

York

Stock

admit Lulu
ited

Exchange, will

Harris Knies

partnership

on

to lim¬

April 8.

-

Volume

THE COMMERCIAL

Number 4686

167

on

of the ! News

(1423)

Why the Ruhr Is Lagging

I

By JOACHIM JOESTEN

j.

Ahead

FINANCIAL .CHRONICLE

&

'

(Author of "Germany—What Now?" etc.)

v

'

Political economist asserts continuation of Ruhr's present state of "economic coma"
would doom Mar¬
shall Plan to failure. Maintains disappointing coal production is due to food

insufficiency,

By CARLISLE BARGERON
'i

Those Americans who

ashamed of their country, who have

are

:

inferiority complex towards Europe, particularly the bandit ridden
countries of Eastern Europe, can take pride in an episode of a few
an

tnat while we *
radio

have

and

been naive

him

may

and

u n s o-

in

.

we

the;

past,

have

now

Rarred
The

level

his

conniving
have'-Was

characteriz

e

the

'.dictators

for

centuries

in? By

,

the

future

who

will

most

all

Senators

by

papermen.

•

any

these

ing.

But

the

Russian

scorned;

historians

,

time

when^we

ated

in

the

will

»

Ti?
Ihe-New
m

-

world

V

-r*

the

definitely gradu-

old

sukmar*ne
»

mark

$

basis

Deal

scare

'

story

'

"

'

the

core

in

this

country. I remember that

vwnen

1

was

government

We could

anorooriations

boy the Federal
high in majesty,

a

was

ministration, perversely, wants to
kill

the tax

was

and:

y

new^afer circles thatlL

a

nts

p

assureu

1; There

was

a /

deputy

me

rjne

episode

caused
at

whacking
as

we

It is

Our

local

were

In

could

not

on

be

Illinois

came

spineless

sociation
Dinner

v

Annual
the

Meeting

activities,

Waldorf-Astoria

proved that

small, just

we

as

in¬

competent, just as irresponsible
the smallest: town'cohstable.
I

Stock

as
:

have had since the New

high Washington

a

appeared before

a

f committee and announced
r

a

been

sighted 200 miles off Cali¬

sian.

Russian"' submarine

Well, he didn't

He

triguing

wanted

of
;.

the

But

he

so

submarine

?

Senate

gravely

that

fornia.

not

Iron
it

something

to

be

of

a

a

that

had

Rus¬

say

more

described

it

-

Exchange.

one

electric

power.

In

its

>

Announcing the change in

name

-

of Mullaney, Ross & Company to

r

Mullaney, Wells & Company
135 SOUTH LA

^

IP'

'

SALLE STREET

;

;

CHICAGO 3

Telephone FRAnklin 1166

!

•

.

Teletype CG 1110

years

—

What 4 Now?"

PAUL L. MULLANEY
President

evolution'

the

since

Vice President

a

—

sur¬

HARRY B. HEIGN

Vice President

April 1, 1948

v

.of

■

June 4, 1948
.s

(New York City)'

^ ^

Bond Club of New York Annual

Field

Day' at the Sleepy Hollow
Country Club, Scarborough, N. Y.

June 11, 1948

(New York City)

Compromise will be of material
benefit

Rank

r

SECURITIES..

PATHE because of the

to

between

The J. Arthur'

Organization

and

Lion Films, division of

details

agreement are

brochure,

v

concerning

contained in

available

Public Utility

Eagle

Industrial-

PATI1K

£

INDUSTRIES, INC.
Further

Corporation Bond Traders Club
of New York Spring Outing and
Dinner at the Wingfoot Golf Club,
Mamaroneck, N.. Y.
;:T.
v

INVESTMENT

The British Motion Picture Tax

contract

July 16, 1948
Bond

Club

at

the

(Toledo, Ohio)
of

Toledo

on

:

this

Railroad

>

:

;

-

;

Municipal

our

;

request.

Inverness

-

~

the

than 700 correspondents

of

Nov. 15-18, 1948

<

A.C.AIXYN"®COMEANY

annual

Country

on

the




PATHE INDUSTRIES, INC.
■

(Cincinnati, Ohio) I
Municipal Bond Dealers Group
of Cincinnati Annual Spripg
Party,
at the Kenwood Country Club.
\

Club.

'present,; not

one

>$';•*;-Vfy'&■:% Vf.

•

outing

<

commentary
not

a

Senators
more

Saugerties, N. Y.

in¬

as

country west

Curtain. '

is

Teletype: NY 1-115

1

djvA

May 25, 1948
-

Thus, a few days ago when we
£ were in the throes * of the eight
hundred; and ninety-fifth crisis

official

Hotel.

May 10, 1948 (New York City)
; .V■
Annual - Election ' New
York

'•

in,

4

Branch Office:

article, was published on Feb. 27
by the Ziff-Davis Publishing Co.
—EDITOR.
/
/
'

Security Traders Association o1

x

He

wrong, that Federal officials
could be just as

we

-

power over all of

The New Deal

came

York

render, by the author of the above

New York 12th Annual Dinner a1'

Deal

even

of
to

'

the

social

of

;

April 19, 1948 (New.York City)

the Federal

monster. So we
to give the Federal Govern¬

which

lack

comprehensive
study * of
Ger¬
many's
political, economic and

and

Chicago Room

were

'

burning

for
wood,

I "Germany

■

Dealers- As¬

Securities

in

^ ^

(Chicago, 111.)

April 13, 1948

the

)

New

CO.

&

Telephone: WHitehall 3-9898

immediately pre¬
ceding the outbreak of World War
II, European countries imported

could handle the

increasing

are

In

-

came

our

HUNTER
50 Broadway

CHARLES C. WELLS

com¬

touched.

export,

Britain No Longer Coal Exporter

Field

Investment

corrupt and but putty in the'
the Hotel La Salle.'
hands of the Power Trust. But am

enforcement officer

large

for

nation.0

CO MING

away

and

our

NEW YORK OFFICE

beginning and the end of Europe's
vicious 'circle of economic Stag¬

turned

.utility

told

in

to¬

production. Pit props are hard to
get, new housing j? projects
for
miners cannot be completed, and
so
on
and so forth.
Coal is the

EVENTS

and

ment

coal

are

more

missions, we were
to be convinced,

level

crisis

pretty cheap stuff. But
it is the way they do things in
Europe.
So we are getting to be

regulatory auover to the Federal Gov-

ernment.

Announcing the reopening of

quantities of

supply

lumber

^ shots in world affairs, '6nd 'in
Iworld intrigue;'

steady

a

thority

the

and

mally

subma-

this

and

from the United States
(Continued on page 40)

day is so short is that Sweden,
Norway and Finland, which nor¬

J

States'; Rights

more

ports

example, one of the reasons

produce

respect of, awe of,
Federal authority, of
course, that

.

For

why Europe's lumber supply

turn, the lumber shortage hampers
efforts designed "to increase coal

-

was

Even this compara¬

tively small amount, taken out of

'be traced back, atr least in
measure, to th$ fuef short¬

of the Brass'and the Administra¬

dread of him when he rode
by in
his horse and
buggy, but of his
son as well.
7.::vi.
It

Germany, which in its best year
the war shipped some 50
tons
of coal to foreign
countries, exported only 14,723,500
1946.

1

Fills Gap

yawning gap which the
simultaneous eclipse of England
and Germany left in the European
coal supply picture has been filled
to a considerable extent by im¬

million

tons in

S.

The

before

ills

closely related to these enterprises
tion.

United

wholn^^

bad eh

U.

' /

some

ar-

| Federal officer.

>

cfin

"

'

satellites in East¬

age.

gravely that the arresting officer
would surely get into trouble be¬
cause he'was
interfering with a

;

bill.

play tricks and have fun

rested in my
mg

,

reduction

and her

Europe. /

•<>;''v;

:

fact, all of Europe's economic

Ad-

C!CBu?nyouedS: ?0V£t\t VXITouT Feder'*
^
officSfLve
tifen,0thafner
Negro postman
once"
t™.
ma. iv is
town, while
delivef-;wlsLgto'n^n
the mail, for
misdemeanor

A

l

the

that

and

to

Recovery

European

the

of

-v;v.
■4 Europe's need of coal is second
only to its need of food. The two
needs, of course, are closely inter¬
related
and
interdependent.
In

significance that the Mililowered .high public office to the
tary is trying to get a draft, UniPIa<~e it has ever reached versal
Militaiy Training, increased

130,271,900

is out of the picture as a

the Marshall Plan is doomed

Program.

without

years

production of

come, mestic requirements. By compari¬
son, in 1937-1938, Germany's coal
coal-exporting
country.
In
its production, exclusive of the areas
stead, Poland has emerged as a now under Polish administration,
major
supplier, but its export amounted to 242,220,000 tons, of
surplus of about 20 million tons which 44,220,000 tons were -ex¬
a
year is largely earmarked for
ported.
..v;

Britain

failure, no matter how many
billions of dollars are spent on it.
For revival of the Ruhr is the

' ''one day's scare headline. It is not

•

under Roosevelt

and

probably for

total

tons in that year, could be spared
only at the expense of urgent, do¬

slim.

Unless the Ruhr can be roused
from its present state of economic

No, the whole thing served for

-.

performance, the
attaining the 484,000-

of

;;

.wy<

'

of

On the

this

of

look decidedly

approached

Ambassador-;on

by

end

a

producers,
Germany.
Today,

goal by the end of this year

ton

tb

subject at all.

school'as

daily

tons

1947.

chances

coma,

has

envis¬
a

the

/

/

Ambassador just what was cookone

Joesten

and

ern

000
Joachim

England

Russia

output of 330,-

would not have asked the Russian
no

in

66,000,000 short tons of coal

from the two principal

last August,

aged

r It strikes me as amazing that
prosperous
world, and the. if this submarine was out there
only: to become in the Pacific and if this was un-

usual, that the State Department

con-

some

Washihgton
which

y,J';: ),;>?: ';;r-

bored at the estate it had
attained,
and
then
returned
to
the
old
world which it had once

the

at

ican coa*

the

powerful,

targets

o n

ference

by', news¬

nor

This

below

Anglo-Amer¬

these

not

our nation freed
itself from the old world
intrigue
and became the most

in

have

one

produc-

set

it mean
scouting

we

far

t i

suggesting the answers
questions. The amazing
thing is that they were not asked,

write about how

nation

is

to surface in any one

chance do

of

the

not

am

to

imagine, in fact, that the his¬
of

any

littler-

or

than the

year ago.

submarines, testing their truism i
radius, operating Within*200 miles
of Russian shores? T-'-ft V
I

torians

seas

shores or-preparing to move

our

trade.
I

the

Are

it significant? Did
the Russians were

d" that

past,-; we.; a re
now
.quite
adept at their

Bargeron

statement."

of our ports? Was it his point that
this
submarine's
presence
200
miles off our coast was unusual?

l

that

Carlisle

were

free? : Isn't it a fact that a Russian submarine would be perfect-

scheming

and

daily,

.

more

what

the.ly entitled

technique,

:

the implications

of

affairs

;

No single person has yet asked

in 1 him

phisticated
world

|

While

Congress argues the pros and cons of the Marshall Plan, the economic disin¬
tegration of Europe continues apace. According to a late report from the U. S. Military
Government Office in Berlin, Ruhr coal production is down
again to some *260,000 tons

r '• "
commentators, asked

what he meant.

,

-

>

It shows

"grown up."

which shows that we have really

days ago

"y"

consumer

goods shortage, political agitation, uncertainty about mines' ownership, and Communist obstruction,
States following remedial steps required: (1) sweeping currency
reform; (2) food stabilization,
rather than abundance; (3) large equipment investment; and (4) morale.

(Dallas. Tex.) >

National Security Traders Aa»o
ciation Convention.
' .

COMSTOCK & CO.
CHICAGO 4, ILL.
231 So. La Salle St.

Teletype

Dearborn 1501

CG 955

Incorporated

II

CHICAGO

NEW YORK

BOSTON

PHILADELPHIA'"

MILWAUKEE

MINNEAPOLIS
f

OMAHA

KANSAS CITY

'

INDIANAPOLIS

>■

(1424)

THE COMMERCIAL

&

FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE

Trends Affecting Real When Stalin
;

Asserting although in!rinsic value of real

Radio commentator, pointing out
Stalin is only mortal and his

changes slowly,
expresses belief we are near top of present price swing,
particularly in housing, and prices are headed downward. Cautions '
regarding mortgage loan expansion by banks, and hints Taft-Ellender-Wagner Act, if passed, may prove dangerous. Says Veterans V
Housing Act has given artificial stimulus to real estate prices, and
estate

Looks for
At

more

has kept

death
dicts

outset

I

should

like

whole

domestic

define, limits and indicate the
approach to my subject, and would also like to confine
my comments
16 the field of
housing and home finance.
Let me be perfectly
ffank in stating that I am not
qualified to chart the course of real
prices
vahies, hut

my friends.
Vou've
had

have I.

„I/wiltl ltry to
to < this

subject" "those
c v-c./u-'
;

think',

I

work

have

the

happened
in
sJtite mortgage
"lending , busi-

^;:n(,e>

during

s.

past few

-

'

years

h d- what

a

is

happening

,

>

howl It will be

to
those

my purpose

Wflliam A. Marcus

analyze

v

Will have some

trends

bearing

which

the fu¬
ture values of real estate.
Without
becoming too technical I would like
on

a

differentiate between value and
pfice. The term "value" needs some
several,

My"dictionary contains
of which

one

ticularly well suited
"the

pose:

seems

par¬

for this pur¬

desirability

or

worth of

thing; intrinsic worth; utility."

i

^rlce

"the

rig

amount

at

which

current

place

in

transactions

take

market."

illustrate, using

To

the
my

definition of value, the desirabil¬
ity or worth of a thing will vary

under different conditions in the
eyes of various persons.' When I
cdnsider the value of
my home I
think of its contribution
to the

Cdmfort

Wife

and

and

enjoyment of my
children, of its shelter

fTOm the cold and its

sunshine,
around

sstate
will

of

the

the

to the

access

social

times

my

house for sale must look at struc¬
tural

soundness, replacement

costs

(tegs depreciation), character

the

has

price swings has been kept.

followed

since

the

today's market.

■

With

gTiat

^
a

period where

housing- combined

desirability,
increase

induced

in

by

personaL

a

in¬

comes, in marriages, and easy
mortgage credit have resulted in
abnormally high prices. We might
Ca|f this a condition- of scarcity

value.

Passing
As

the

of

"Scarcity

demand

lit more
satisfied,
With the demand for

ownership, and

as

Value"

becomes

more

particularly
Single family

easy

mohey is replaced by

mortgage

more selec¬

tive?' lending
practices, scarcity
/alue will become less and
less
£

price stimulant.

As

the

single

family ownership

demand is now
fairly well satisfied and as mort¬
gage credit progressively

scarcity
jaaas;

tightens,

value

is

diminishing in

*

*An

address by Mr. Marcus at
the Eastern
Regional Savings and

Mortgage Conference of the
American Bankers
Association,
New York
City, March 16, 1948.




;

Likewise do I believe

r

high cost of living, and that

Emerson Electric
—

Kidder &

Manufacturing !

Memorandum—A.

Co., 1 Wall

Street,

M.

!

New

York 5, N. Y.

\y Gaylord Container Corp.—Anal-; |

*•

y

ysis—Reinholdt

&
Gardner, 14
Street* New York 5, N. Y.

Wall

Street, I r

*"■ V-//

Grand Union

74/'.■

Companyf-Invest-"

\;
appraisal—Kalb, Voorhis &
Howard Balanced Fund
Co., 15 Broad Street, New York 5, T : V
ment

of

N.- Y.-7-

Vi 'V;;7

material

Insurance Stocks—A dis¬
cussion of their investment values

.

:

„

~

.

.

H.»ry J. T.ylw
we

in.1

came

;

We

2,

1

Wis.

v:.»:

,

14, Calif.

North Fourth

Also " available
of

is

Milwaukee

^ .

Dempsey-Tegeler * & Co., 210
National Rank of Tulsa—Anal- "
Seventh Street, Los Angeysis—Edward D. Jones & Co., 300 *
es

We've

Nevertheless, the world

Street,
"■

West

not

1947

is

Insurance

tabulation

a

Company

:

-

Mo.

Street, St. Louis 2, rt

-r:; i;"v3;

Re¬

'

National
City Bank
of New
York—Circular—Laird, Bissell &

>

*

;

Municipally Owned Toll Bridges
Meeds, 120 Broadway, New York
Tabulation
of
28 •
municipally 5, N.Y. -

and;

history

The Mortgage

and

—

phia 9, Pa.

industry with specific Company

■

Company

I

moving picture, cut and dried
unchangeable, HEvents can owned toll facilities'
either
ac¬
happen,
and
do
happen, 7 tha quired or constructed
by the mu¬
New
England
Public
Service
change things greatly.
nicipality
during the period from Co.—Analysis—Ira Haupt &
j..
i-■
tV-'rt.-f •*./> vv...
Co.,
1927 to 1947,
including
engineers' Ill Broadway, New York 6, N. Y.
Stalin Is Only Mortal
~

good chance of going
as a year of re¬
turning economic sanity.
r z

Clinton ; Machine

descriptive; of
Also available is a current re- '
Fund; its policies, record, and appraisal of
;; United States Pipe ^
nvestment philosophy—Eaton &
& Foiundry.:
io.ward, Inc.; 24 Federal Street,
Bojston 10,Mass.. ' *
: McQuay,
/ Inc» — New";: report—
■yj
Loewi
& Co.; 225
East Mason ;
Fire

a

a

in

1

'

Circular—Coffin, Betz & Sullivan,
123 South Broad
Street, Philadel¬

Fibre Industry—Out-

Yearbook—Compendium

.

It's as pat as
that, this unfold¬ sults.
ing of events in Europe,

in the

point

has

*

■.•

he

;

where

Exchanges
$10—yearly
(six
W. Stephens, 15

Out look—Memorandum

Eaton &

1948
data

know the ending. Let's
go.
seen it all
before."

the recent drop in the
commodity
markets marked the turning
1948

'

■

troit Harvester.

Curb

Bache &♦: Co., 36 Wall
New York 5/NV Y. ;rt
f-:-.

Then

is

capivirtu¬

711, k

nudged her and said, "Molly,

this

copy

$50—F.

Copper

y

con-

screen.

you

.

down

:»

the New

on

America—Newburger, Loeb & Co.,
15; Broad Street, New York 5;

an;:

your best girl,
looking at the

particularly in the field of hous¬
ing, and that the prices are headed

.

-

*

Factor

.

•

There

are

course, which
orice of real
other

factors,

many
affect

the

estate

types of properties and

as

serv¬

course.

effect,
must

hope

are

we

should
as

i '

playing, > but that we
should study
carefully the results
last two

of savings
and mortgage
activity and chart
the course for the next 12
months
if not for a longer
years

period.

loans are the principal in¬
vestments of savings banks and
savings and loan associations, and
gage

.

one

of the

largest items of the

as¬

sets of

insurance companies. Mort¬
gages of record are estimated to
be over $40
billion
is

divided

billion, of which $14
with; banks,

lodged

about $9 billion with in¬
sured
commercial
banks
and
about $5 billion with mutual
sav¬
,

ings banks.
of

./'

increase of

deposits

has

savings

slowed

rially, whereas the
on

real

z

estate

offer

time

*

•

'* ;

v1 *■

z.VV": *

:

is

of

the

most

tion for
I

I've

way.

•

-Vf-f

find

can

Let's

\

none.

that; to-

verifica¬

Hentz
&
Co., 60 Beaver
Street, New York 4, N. Y.

Also in

ment

is*

exactly the
the

on

about

in

health

with

sinking funds.'-'1

job, and
the

available

our

sidering the death

and

38)

on

brief discus¬

Preferred
* 1

-

Utility

>

Now

Ratios

utility

die—that

is

a

leaflet

a:

totalitarian

second

man

Some

man

second

but

it

in

1

may think

doesn't

work

lini.
;

and

Price

Yields

on

common

no

was

(Continued

second

no

he

stocks.

Earnings

120
;

f

public

v

;

page

operations

South La

Salle Street,

Illinois.

y"

&

broadcast
the

by

Mutual

Mr.

_

Musso

39)

Taylor

Broadcasting

System, March 29, 1948.

Co.,

of
231

Chicago 4,

vyI;' -73-

National

Public

Bank

Tacoma>

z

Narrows

<

&

Trust

(State

)«;•

?

7

ot>

>

;

i

Cross, Inc., 40 Wall Street, New

York 5,

^

If-

With Westheimer & Co.
I>"

;V

""(Special

to

The

Financial .Chronicle)

: v

,

CINCINNATI, O.—Walter Hee-; :

kin

is

322

Walnut

with

Westheimer

Street,

&

Co.,. '?

members

30 Pine

Street, New York 5, N. Y.

"Switch"

Possibilities—List

of

Snider'

"V-:-

♦

American

♦

»

.o

Machinery

Circular—Gordon

Graves

30 Broad Street, New York

Company
to

The

KANSAS

Corp.—

Co.,

CITY,

Cheonkt*) :

been

added

Co.

—

Data

—

Public

Wright, Sni-*

Company..'

Service

Buckley Securities

(Soeclal

Philadelphia 2, Pa.

William

—■

-

to

WEST
Conrad"

on

available

are

-

The

Financial

PALM
M.

I'

S.

is

memoranda

Beeken

Portsmouth Steel, Gruen Watch

and DuMont Laboratories.

Guaranty Building.

now
-

■

*■
,

;•1;r,

,

He

Company,
was

'

:

with

pre¬

viously with Southeastern Securi¬
ties Corp.

;

Chronicle*

BEACH, FLA.—

Allen

z
^

H
"

4, N. Y.

Corporation, 1420 Walnut Street,
Also

f

to

With Wm. S. Beeken Co.
Hlinois

;

•

MO.—Harold

the staff of Prescott,
der

[

Financial

Hunter Jones has

yy

&

(8p«cial

'

*A

Illus¬

of ! ; representative stocks with ap¬ the^New York Stock
Exchange:^ 17; :
proximate price, dividends paid in ^shd:
;dthernleading- nationalv s ^v4
1947, and price range for the cur¬
changes, v t ;7,Vv-"
:
rent year—Stanley Heller &
Co.,
■:
!■

out

second Hitler

on

—

44

Central
was

There

and

Representative Stocks—List of

—

that way.

There

and

Comstock

I

-

stocks

totalitarian

a

activities

v

news

state

Inc.

company.

offering interesting outlook
—Stanley Heller & Co., 30 Pine 7
dismal chore, in just Street, New York 5, N. Y.
as

Industries,

With Prescott, Wright,

Italy, Germany, Spain.
They're
all just alike in this
respect: there
no

tail

of -current

Developments.:1

Bonds

con

Dictatorship

I've- worked

paperman, a
about every

Pathe

Bonds—Tabula¬

of Stalin.

No Second Man in

Office

trated brochure describing in de¬

appraisal of City of Philadel-

of

thing abroad today without

Co., 10 Post
Square, Boston 9, Mass.

Railroad Equipment Certificates 334 % Bonds—Circulars-Roosevelt 7.
-Valuation and appraisal—Stroud &

be

I repeat, we cannot
minds about any

may

up

Co.—'

dealers—

Washington) Toll Bridge Revenue

to

he has been for the
past
t

as

Again,

make

over

page

data

are

Public; Utility

Railroad

condition

seems

same

Cement

&

price, yield, etc., for bonds, Company of New York—Analysis
which are arranged
according to —C. E. Unterberg & Co., 61 Broadrating—Vilas & Hickey, 49 Wall
way, New York 6, N. Y. I
Street, New York 5, N. Y.' Also

phia

But that Stalin will
is going to happen.

State.

on

a

of

Stalin

reverse.

rt

February,

excluding them in making
these comparisons in order to em-

and

sion

can

five years.'

is

am

leaflet

Continental Baking Co., Northern
Pacific
Railway, and St. Louis

my own personal

the very top of our State
Depart¬

comments
based
upon statistics from the
report of
all insured commercial
banks in
the United States as shown
in the

mid-year figures to give an esti¬
mate of those for Dec.
31, 1947. As
the mutual
savings banks figures
on
mortgages have not varied
greatly over the past two years, I

same

is ill

Certainly I

Oregon-Portland

Up-to-date circular fbr
Lerner

Financing—Outlook

knowledge, our American ambas¬ & Co., Inc., 123 South < Broad
sador in
Moscow, General W. B Street, Philadelphia 9, Pa. '
: •
Smith, is at present reporting to
Also available are a valuation

lending
mortgages
has

1948 Federal Reserve
Bulletin. I have projected the 1947

1947—

tion of

start

that Stalin

to

Co.,

—H.

:

I would like

Bond

Public

that out

get

&

of

sought;, in the

quarters,

rumors

tell you

68.

now

health and

reliable

New

-

*

1939

years

Nicolaus

Inc., 105
West Adams Street,
Chicago 3, 111.

mate¬

some

(Continued

•

V

^

Stalin

rate of

greatly speeded up.
to

and

-

with his

;

down

:

today

.

His Death Must Be Considered

•

Since the end of
1945, the rate

•

abroad

considering the death

Stalin,
•'

now

the

anything

without
not

bankers

Stifel,

revenue and actual
gross

for

revenue

Southwestern,

We cannot make up our minds

;
we

before

now,

for the future.

about

,

it

about

we

make up our minds that all is
cut and
dried, and lose all

,

Thus, I believe*
minimize the part

fundamental that

so

think

we

today and tomorrow will leave
imprint on
the
nation's
'

sure to hap
change things

But that it will have great
that much is certain.

This is

minor factor, yet it is an
impor¬
tant one and it is the one
where
vou and I
helped to write yester¬
day's history and where what we
a

"

that is

greatly, is the death of Stalin. No¬
body can
know
the
effect, of

ices.

'

event

pen. and which can

Mortgage lending is not the
major factor in price determina¬
tion; in fact it might be termed

do

estimated

One

market

well

as

of

■

We have been in
fne scarcity of

like

old-time

I believe that we are at or near
the top of the present
price swing,

downward.

'

Central Illinois Public Service—

reference Celanese Corporation of

So

S

does n'ti t

;:

.You as savings bankers and
neighborhood,, transportation
facilities, proximity of schools, 'ending officials know the
impor¬
churches, shopping districts, the tance of mortgage credit. -Mort¬

m

in

thirties,:

seem

record

01

§eWcity of homes and the price at
Which similar houses are
selling

feeling.

,

slow

it

of

pricing

real

of

rest¬

high,

Nazis

took

and

Chemical

us,

•

but

in

as

'

Study — Goodbody
&
Co.*
115
Broadway, New York 6, N. Y.
Also available is a
study on De-;

William Street, New York
5, N. Y.

the..,

real

slowly and
.pattern,
the desirability

that

Stalin

important to

utility of the properties them- t i n u o u s
•elves will change; but that the ;movie? Pe r- ;
price of real estate will follow the haps you sat ".
erratic but rhythmical course that ?there:;y3,W,i:t h
\

economy.

realtor

of

single
ssues)

"

that

guess¬

on

dies?

York Stock

ook for the

md

ful change from the
busy market
place, of the birds that wake me
with their song, and the
neighbors
Whose greeting is
always friendly.
These values to me are
the

prices

observation

if

ally every stock listed

newspaper

has -changed

continue

some

fireplace, of its

the

zhanging only

the other hand is defined

on

to future

with

fundamental 7 value

'

^

as

estate

on

and

this

these;-,: days,
patching Rus-: |
sia follow step
ji'PX steo the

;

safely: steer

cam

cUarof arguments based

r.

which

rCnces

So I believe I

;

foreign
policy.

When

read

you

importance, and .utility ,or. worth
valjue is coming into its own.

"prelate*

happens

It could be very

estate
or,

Soviet

pace

to

ows, earnings,
dividends,
alizations, and volume on

result, there will be a
throwing into the air of

as

What

the

efinition.

new

certain

the

Charts — 922 charts in
spiral
)Ound book covering 12
complete
years, and showing monthly highs,

be considered, pre¬
blood purges, but con¬

must

cludes,

with housing needs.
stable realty values in future.
war

'

*

It is understood that the
firms mentioned will be pleased
to send interested
parties the following literature:

By HENRY J. TAYLOR*

Bankers Association

ABA official

housing construction, since

'

'

'

v

Then?

Senior Vice-President, American Trust Co., San Francisco

.

Recommendations and Literature
•

By WILLIAM A. MARCUS*

Vice-President, Savings Division, American

Dealer-Broker Investment

What

Estate Values

Thursday, April 1, 1948

'

,

Volume 167
•

Number 4686
•




THE COMMERCIAL

-

&

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

f

y

yi •

'

•

•

•

•"
.

'

t,v-

.«-■■■

.

■

^

(1405)

<

REVENUES

-

FROM

December 31,

.

y'.Ly, ■;

/

y

'

•

'

>

OPERATION

'

j-t

' ty

•

•

11947

.

Change from

'1944. ■'

^

Increase—I

Oecrease— D
ifl.tut

Hauling anthracite. V»
19.07 <

$ 24,057,840 $

..;

Hailing bituminous coal.

.

.

Hauling'merchandise. V.
5.57 *

Carrying

1847

fa*

''Mail,

HOW WE USED
YJ Vy

VyV

AuA 77 85 cents

OUR

■f .;y/V;YyV,

—
■

530

1947

1946

r

EXPENSES Of OPERATION

Wages.

\

SIMMS

Fuel..

.

.

.

.

,

.

terial.

;

......

expenses

..

.;

Total

-•

-

^

772,526-1

erations..

.

.

1

x '

y' Y: V'//

Op$

in

history.
1947

Wage

will

cost

Company approximately

'

$7,825,000

458,847-D

$ 7,379,572-1

from

r

•

annually. '.

Payments

V y\' V-'y'Y 7

6,118,301

Revenue

our

increases

to
the

were,

:

1""

y

Expenses V. Y$ 90,894,119
y ;

Net

"

. r

charged

-was

highest in
the

3,400,380-1

:

,y,t r y

.

y

.

744,084-1*

6,189,406

.

$56,899,201

$ 2,921,429-1;

14,117,100
"yy

amortiza-

.

tion, and retirements

^

„

1,613,0614

Wages of $60,379,874, of which

Indtease—I

yy

ma-

....

.........

Depreciation,
V

6,475,73 1

operating expenses,

Decrease-D

7,570,11I V

..

Payments for services and

\

'

$ 56,899,201

.

Rails, ties, and other

*

1,980,966-D

$ 116,760,042 $ 15,333,92 14

...

•

Change-from

:

•

•

,■

December 31,

v

\

11,643,5974

7,674,300

and- other

REVENUES

VyV'YY\

'

RAItJUS.V

56,288,630

transportation services..
Total Revenues

112-09

3,847,4354

passengers... ,;,

express,

2 10,7944

22,243,541

*■

117 "

totaled

Stockholders

to

$4,197,372.

,■

Reading's

uninterrupted dividend record

y
■'

i\yK on all classes of stock dates

y-

7,^54,349-1

25,865,923

$

12,972,305

$ 3,906,679-1

•

back to 1905.

TAXES AND FIXED CHARGES

TTax accruals.......

y

I Payments for

6aJ

ities

I
I

of

...

$

ments

re-

Income

...

^

426,977-1

from

rentals, etc.

,

,

...

.

,

.

1,599,411

y

y;y 64,259-D

Net

•

Thirty-eight

new

steam

or

1

13,55 1,383

Charges.

Fixed Charges.

.....

v

ordered

during

the

new

Extensive

•

year.

.

x

will

y

-

and

terminal

permit

use

of

(

'

OWNED

Roadway
y

less

7

FINANCIAL

Y

ing
and

more

reduced

leased

$70,978

CONDITION
December 31, Change from

:

Property

and

....

ponies.

than 26,000,000 bushels of grain

4,550,000 tons of coal,

v

Total Assets

..

com-

52,172,613

....

37,514,625

1,629,441-1

20,357,971

2,995,776^

r,,

.

U

v . %

..

2,316,557-1

$388,859,519

.

.

y"'-'

,

$ 6,173,933-1

yVyy*.:y; ■■ :4-'vVyvVy'-., V,

y,

Mortgage Bonds and Equipment Ob¬

ligations.y;.,. Vy..
Total Current
Other

.

LiabilitiesV\;,.W...,

$ 95,564,562 $ 2,713,322-D
27,845,920

.

4,810,579-1

Liabilities.4,490,444

662,864-1

260,958,593

3,413,812-1

Capital Stock and Surplus..........
'

Total Liabilities.....
President

$278,814,3 10 $ 5,223,711-1

,

y;T...........
...

All Other Assets..............

Philadelphia

previous records by export¬

...

"46

1947.

Equipment,

for depreciation

reserves

Current Assets

W

"'

Port Richmond Terminal in

exceeded all

payable to

were

securities in lessor companies.

;

OUR

OWED
•

rents

annually by the purchase of

64,724-D

imnew

heavy motive power over greater portion

of ■ system.

debt. V

Program

trains.

roadway

provements

funded

$ 3,556,434-1

5,335,734

Stocks, bonds, and notes of other

•y

two

over

hundred thou¬

diesel locomo¬

modernization, of which "Wall Street" is
first of three

seven

dollars of

roads

income........8,215,649 $ 3,621,158-1.,

for extensive passenger car

commenced

"Net

•

V

tives, 3,188 freight cars were delivered
or

pay¬

$96,995

.

Income Available for Fixed '
—

sand

$ 3,620,693-1

investments,
.

million

-

11,95 1,972

.....

interest

reduced

by the purchase of
94 1,646

Railway Operating In-

come.

yearly
were

-

of Com-

use

pany's facilities by others
'Net

Future

•

of facil-

others, less

for

ceipts

use

.........

$388,859,519. $ 6,173,933-1

-

y

.

/ -

.?

* '

/

9
^

'

10

THE COMMERCIAL

(1426)

&

CHRONICLE

FINANCIAL

Thursday, April 1, 1948

/

NEW YORK

LIFE

INSURANCE
ReviewAof
Brief
the

■;

.

103rd Annual Statement to its

Assets

♦

.

The

♦

COMPANY

held for

assets,

the protection of the Company's life

policyholders, become payable as the policies in these categories terminate
in 1948
by death, maturity or surrender for cash after having been in force

insurance and

annuity contracts and to meet other obligations, totalled
$4,234,184,598 at the end of 1947.
Bonds and stocks are valued in

conformity "with the laws of the several Slates and

as

National Association of Insurance Commissioners.

Policyholders

at

prescribed by the
\

least twenty years.

Surrender .Allowances

♦.♦For the year 1948 the Company has adopted
plan for allowance of amounts in addition to contractual cash values
under life insurance policies issued before June 1, 1944 which during 1948
are surrendered for cash.
This plan has been made possible because of
the Company's having completed the major Steps in Its long-range program
of strengthening insurance reserves which has been in
progress for several
♦

a

Liabilities

The Company's insurance and annuity reserves and other
aggregated $4,003,065,874 at the end of 1947. j Surplus funds
general contingencies totalled $231,118,724.
♦

♦.

liabilities
held for

years.
Reserves

♦

♦

♦

At the close of 1947 the

Company reached
for strengthening insurance and annuity

in its program

its life insurance

reserves

are

held

now

on

an

a

:

major objective

reserves.

interest basis

New Series df Policies

All of

of either 7

introduced

a

values-based

2H per cent or 2 per cent. All of its annuity reserves are on a 2
per cent
basis.
The program of reserve strengthening, wh£ch was undertaken to

8
protect the interests of policyholders, has given recognition to the effect %
upon the Company's net earning rate of exceedingly low yields on high- :
grade investments. Policyholders can take renewed assurance from the

knowledge that the Company has an overall reserve basis as strong as, if
not
stronger than, that of any other life insurance company in the country.

series

new

•»

♦

of

17,

1947

per cent.

iissued from June 1, 1944 to

November 17, 1947, such values

Experience Table of Mortality and interest

Life Insurance in Force

the

Company

1941 Standard Ordinary Table of
In the Company's series of policies

the Commissioners

on

Mortality and interest at 2
omthe American

November

On

policies with cash and other non-forfeiture

;

♦

♦

at

were

based

2% per Vent,

At ihe end of 1947 the Company's life
billion dollars, which was the largest

insurance in force exceeded nine,

volume of

Mortality Experience

♦

♦.

In November of 1947 the Company adopted for its new
mortality table based ori more recent mortality experience
and therefore, in the years to . come, the margin between
"expected
mortality" and "actual mortality" experience should not be so great as
was

protection in force in the Company during its entire history.
Policyholders■"> have $9,063,604,614 of life insurance protection under

The Company's mortality experience in 1947

3,683^297 policies* This was $520,^96,199 greater than at the close of the
previous year.

favorably low.

series of policies a

•

Sales

in the past.

In the
A:'

>

Expenses

*

*

throughout the

essential

Interest

Earnings

*

wages.

*

♦

♦

Company's program of

•

strengthening, the rates of return available *
high quality continued low throughout the better j
part of the year.; However; in the closing months of 1947 there was an
encouraging upturn in interest rates on new investments which it is f
hoped will continue.
]
•
'
t
on

new

new

life insurance

of sales and

during 1947 totalled $857,384,000,
life insurance in force, Family Income policies

among many

other companies.

insurance in 1947

were

On a corresponding basis, sales of new life
per cent' less than the sales

approximately 2K

in 1946.

Payments to Policyholders and Beneficiaries.

While the rate of interest earned by the Company
in 1947 exceeded the rate required to maintain reserves because of the
.

Sales of

paid for in 1947 are reported on a higher basis than in .previous years.
This change has been adopted to conform with the customary
practiced

understandably has been
Continued efforts are being
improve efficiency and effect economies without impairing the 8
services rendered by the Company.
*

♦

amounts

''-\v'v

country, quite

by rising costs of materials and

made to

*

The Company, in common with practically all individuals

♦..

and businesses

affected

"•••■v.1";1;

»♦

reserve

♦

•

During 1947 the

Company's total payments-to policyholders and beneficiaries aggregated
$196,798,797. Of this amount, living policyholders received $115,716,396
and the beneficiaries of 19,804

policyholders who died received $81,082,401.

investments of

A

Nationwide

Organizcttioii

♦

♦

♦

each of the .48 States, the District of

The Compaiiy does business in
Columbia, Alaska, Hawaii and the

.

Dividends

The

provision for 1948 dividends to policyholders is
compared with $41,730,229 for 1947. The amount
available for dividends wias affected by the low
yields from prime invest¬
ments and increased
expenses due to higher costs of materials and wages,
as well as
by the Company.'s program of strengthening reserves mentioned
above.
'
f"<
'\y ••;
.v.-: y
J •,8~': ^ -v 8
..

$37,151,312,

♦

as'

•

_

k

'

Termination Dividends
dividends

payable in 1948

Such dividends, which




•

x

are

.

-

The

V

V

Company-.has -declared termination
life insurance policies in certain categories.
included in the provision for 1948 dividends to

♦.

on

♦

Dominion of Canada.
While national in scope, the New York Life is
very
largely local in its operations in providing services to its policyholders
through 138 Branch Offices in principal business centers, as well as through
its sales organization of

States and Canada.

Volume

THE COMMERCIAL

Number 4686

167

FINANCIAL

&

CHRONICLE
s

*.

i

■

—

—

(1427)
.

•..

,

—

NEW YORK

LIFE

INSURANCE

COMPANY

Statement of Condition

December

Cash

on

Ronds:

*

'

'

;

hand

/
or

ASSETS

in banks...:;.

i

'

_

......

1947

..

.

LIABILITIES
a

"

$ <741,558,001

-:;.v„

;■

'

Reserve for Insurance and

'

;
United States Government.

....

.

.

.

;$2,332,049,733

.

.

Canadian

—>79,364,383

..

Railroad:....
'Public

33,339,605 ■>

7.

...

Computed at 2K% interest.........

J

Computed at 2% interest...... ,' i....

/Reserve for optional ^settlements

-

Municipal. .....................'

3,440,942,321

viously matured....:.......

■

.

.

546,976,861

....................

Stocks, preferred and. guaranteed.. .7

-240,074,438

;....

t.......

j

i

-

Provision for 1948 dividends

104,539,271

.:.

real

fl',.

estate.

.,'.7. .$

...

398,717,530

.

^

Real Estate:

'

• "

-

.$2,560240^7 | f3;278>104;585
717,863,'928

under .policies
<......;....

j

' '

/

pre-

7;'

£•* ;

t

Properties for Company

■}

-

;

use.........

. .

policyholders.

;

10,512,255

Properties^

;

ii;

■'

•

\

.

:

'!

•'

'

.

•

.

;

Reserve-for unmatured

6,465,819.

Housing and Business Properties

Policy Loans:........ 7

.

-37,151,312
39,071,393

'•■"■V

'

'■

::^"rv.V

•"

v
-

options in policies*...........

Reserve for other insurance liabilities.

23,249,360

v.-.7;^

..

Provision for taxes.

.

...

.

...

......

.

40,000,000
5,543,653

;

...

;

TOTAL

-24,375,574

•

•

$55,014,806

are

in

the

above

LIABILITIES.,,J'.V;.'.".V...L/.

:

'

$4,234,184,598

-

7'■:■ ...> >'?r-

Of the securities listed

5,666,318

.

Surplus funds held for general contingencies....... V.

39,265,085
'

-

;..;..

.

Miscellaneous liabilities............................;

premiums and other assets.;.

:

"...

statement,

-securities valued at

deposited with Governments and 'States




'-Z

as

required

i

'

'

-

.

i

>

I

The

Company started business -on April 12, 1845.

The

Statement

*To

A
v

on

believed

7y

to

Annual Statement filed with the New York State Insurance Department.

complete report will gladly be sent upon request.

more

details

to

the

In addition to further

Company's operations during 1947,, it discusses

be of

'

231,118,724
$4,234,184,598

provide for 2H% interest valuation on maturity-of options in policies
prior to 11939, which mainly have 3% interest guarantees.

issued

It has always been mutual and is incorporated under the laws of the State of New Yorki

of Condition shown above is in accordance with the

$4,003,065,874

■

> ' y.V> 7;,7--.. v> >: >: ;>>■> '>

'■

3,507,627

•

by law.
Mi'vO 77;-ft'./

13,968,168

4 156,836,20?

Interest and Rents due and accrued.:...;;-1

Deferred and uncollected

213,701,744

including

S385,910 under contract of sale
Rental

•

....... 4

'

Foreclosed

366,351,074

-

.

.

.

$

Company.,

Policy claims in course of settlement and provision for
claims not reported
/.•..;..:.......

|rLessValuation Reserve............ .* 7' 12,276,826 i'f | 386,440,704

•

t>

j

.

Reserve for premiums paid in advance...............

.

■■

on

to

,

\

Mortgages

>

/

209,137,301
Reserve for dividends left with the

Utility

Industrial and Miscellaneous......

First

Annuity Contracts:

\

;;;7

*

particular interest to policyholders.

A

copy may

a

number of subjects

be obtained by writing

the New York Life Insurance Company, 51 Madison Avenue, New York 10, New York.

'

U

(I

12 .(1428)

f*

«r

,

COMMERClAti '& FINANCIAL; CHRONICLE

THE

,Thursday, April 1, 1943

underwrite

Central Illinois Public Service

Data

Request

on

1420 Walnut

St; '

44 Wall Street

'

.

'

held

been

unavailing. In

was

an

Philadelphia 2

New York 5

eleventh hour maneuver the City

PEnnypacker 5-5976

WHitehall 3-7253

Philadelphia petitioned Federal
District Judge J. Cullen Ganey to
order Philadelphia Transportation
Company to distribute rebate slips
to all riders paying the increased
fares. The petition was granted a
matter of hours before the higher

Private

Wire System between

Philadelphia, New York

Angeles

and Los

Philadelphia

of

rates became effective and added

greatly to the confusion incident

Bank & Insurance

thereto.

2039, Pfd. St Common

Cheitnul

Phila. Phone'

New York phone

WHitehall 4-2400

Teletype PH 257

-

-

dividend action

riders

would

tunity

of

tions.

The

in

Regular

voicing

oppor¬

their

objec¬

P.U.C.

has

-

•v

values

that

and

this

.

the application of

which:
after

to

vanced at

-i

operating

to

$4,-

for

costs

four

production reached

of

<•

222,804

ad- '

sulted

in
in

$3.02,

1946.

be

have

peaks in

re¬

share earnings of
preferred ;dividends,

annual rate

maintained.

Directors

per

after

require¬

inventories and

Warner

of

Net income

higher

that the present $2
can

1947

years.

new

capital

receivables. It is hoped, he said/

shares

each

large

finance

1947. Net sales last year amounted
to $57,252,636 compared with $46,-

the

Feb.

granted

were

in

share

per

reminded

conservative

a

policy is indicated in

ments and the need of funds to

of

1947,
dividend

common

has

Co.,

stockholders that

Both dollar sales and volume of

greater rate. Higher

a

$1.80

the preceding

Pas¬

increased

Coal

tion

amounted to $1.95 per share and

report.

$686,000.

its

on

•

G. H. Love,

—

President Pittsburgh Consolida¬

view

March 12. Dividends in

on

income,;

$61,428,830

rates

wage

of

revenues

year,; but

,

annual

of 55 cents

a year ago.

m

PITTSBURGH

the improvement shown in
Scott Paper Co. paid a

the

approved

1947

taxes,

198,180

involves

-

ff

Pittsburgh Consolidation Coal

dividend

continuance

a

during the current week.
with
98.5%
a

compares

ft

Paper Co.

Reflecting

common

disclosed ■*. net

senger

formula in

a

the

on

directors

company's

long
per-

Scott

com¬

and $1 on the preferred. The con¬
tingent 3% interest on the com¬
pany's 3-6% collateral trust bonds
was declared, payable
July 1.

car

the

both the

on

at 96.3%

This

—

month ago and 103.6%

'

■-

preferred was deferred.
annual
dividend * rates

have been 80 cents

holding

which

have

and

mon

The

missjble fare increases can be
determined only by the rela¬
tionship of earnings to property

•;*

.Vv

without

maintained the stand that

Street, Philadelphia 2

Locust 7-1477

fares

hearings

public

;■

H. N. NASH & CO.
1421

pending litigation of the com¬
pany's new fares, consideration of

City charged the Public
Utility - Commission with bad
faith in permitting
P.T.C. to
increase

Philadelphia Transportation Co.
3-0s

tors meeting' held March 23, it was
announced that "in view of the

The

,

ended

$3,497,107, equivalent to $2.23 per
share, against $3,099,510, or $1.98
per share, for 1946. For the parent
company
only,
not
reflecting
credits and charges to surplus, net
income was $2,858,624 compared
with $2,388,013 the preceding year.

Samuel's appeal to the Pennsylvania Public
to postpone<£Dividends Deferred
the effective date of the higher
schedule until public hearings had
At the P.T.C. Board of Direc¬

CORPORATION

Earnings Up

year

United Gas Improvement

Mayor Bernard
Utility Commission

BUCKLEY SECURITIES

the

Dec. 31,
Co. and
subsidiaries report net income of

Philadelphians are paying the 10 cent cash fares on trolleys and
subways and 12V2 cent fares on buses which became effective March
21—but with papers attached.

operations

Despite the
problems posed by dwindling coal
supplies, steel producers in this
area expect to maintain operations

*

*

G. L

U.

For

DuMont Laboratories

stcct

PITTSBURGH

*

P.T.C. Fare Rise Backfires

•>

Gruen Watch Company

unsubscriDea

any

shares.

Pennsylvania Brevities

Portsmouth Steel Corporation

of

Conjpany
Warner

declared

15

common

stock,

to

of

stock

Company

cents

the

on

payable April 15

*

record

April 1. The
last preceding dividend
was
30'
cents on January 15. Company is
expected to complete its $4,500,000
expansion and modernization program, all of which has been £i- *

compared with $2.07. These results

nanced out of earnings, by mid¬
the fact year, I following " which
stock¬
large towel- holders are
anticipating the adop¬
costs were somewhat offset by * making:^ plant
at
Chester,
de¬ tion of a more liberal dividend
the elimination of overtime in
stroyed by an explosion in 1946,
policy. Operations in 1947 were at
was not restored to service until
certain departments.
/
^
new
high levels and produced/
late 1947./VV/:
I'y/v
earnings of $3.33 per common

ll, 1947, followed by

an

increase

in

18.

Higher

fares

Feb.

on

4

achieved

were

that' the

despite

company's

-

which public sentiment, as such,
is irrelevant. Commission coun¬

Central Louisiana Elec.

Empire

Southern

P.U.C.

Nazareth Cement

' "

Pittsburgh Rys. Co.

is

Legislature

«

Warner Company

directed

Byllesby & Company

PHILADELPHIA OFFICE

/Teletype

RIttenhouse 6-3717

,

r

«

of

the

of

the

it

ordered
fare

its

the

initial

increase

PH 73

Cambridge Bldg. 3s 1953
1500 Walnut St. 6-1950

al¬

P.U.C.

hearings
to

on

begin

in

j /

cubic
the

foot

of

justify its claims in
the higher schedule

of

that-

.

the

mitting it

to

will

If

stand.

put

into

per¬

effect

so, the rebate slips
distributed in com¬

being

pliance

P.U.C., order
be

with

the

Federal

court

the

natural

from

gas

Southwest

field, 1,280 miles
had been delivered to the
Philadelphia Gas Works Co. De¬
livery during this month will be

approximately 100 million cubic
feet. For the present, natural gas
will be mixed with the manufac¬

officials have

to

of

away,

commercial

able

operators

Big Inch
and
Little
Inch
gas
pipelines, announced that the first

be

tured

product

for

domestic

stated

Martin

W. Clement, President
Pennsylvania
Railroad,
an¬
nounced
that
the
company
has

ordered 114 additional diesel-electric locomotives and 2,300 freight
cars
which
will
cost
approxi¬

mately
$27,500,000.
This
will
bring, the
company's
post-war
modernization
of

Of the

company

that

the

in¬

troduction of natural gas to Phila¬
delphia was necessary to relieve

Mr.

-

Philadelphia

Packard

Stock

Active in

Wire to New

*N.Y.

Phone

COrtlandt

7-6814

CHAPLIN

AND

York

share

City

COMPANY

Members
New

the
new

.

A

/

of

ing the

one

preferred

for
held.

common

registration statement

the

(1 Broadway
NEW

ration

cover-'

issue is expected to
effective '. about April

new

13, which will probably also be
record

Bowline Croon 9-3987
Bell System Teletype—PQ 473 :
'

subscribe.

date

.,aqd

First

for

rights

Boston

Smith, Barney

negotiating

with

Co.

&

the

are

company

in respect to forming a
group to

1500 Walnut
St., Philadelphia 2
/Phone Klngsley 5-1716 | Tele. PH 677
Branch: D:me

ALLENTOWN

/

^Ointlc City

Elec. Com.
Chemical Com/

'J®r;
'"J Pub.
Pnlla.

Serv. Com.

Richmond
Cedar
Roberts A

Wks. Com.

i

Price-Earnings Ratios and Yields
123 Public

Elec. Co. Common

trains will be

&

Light

U

;

•

-I The

50th

annual

E> H. Rollins & Sons
Incorporated
PEnnypacker 5-0100

im Walnut St.,
Philadelphia 2

| New York
;

*•

&

new

revenues

rec-

is

chandise

still

carrier

share

Co.,

were

for three

serve

years.

'

(Special

to

The

Financial

—

Chronicle)

Walter

J.

has become associated'

Salle

Street, members of the

Chicago

Ames,

Exchange.

Stock

Malatesta

Mr.

formerly; with

was

Emerich & Co„, Inc., and

(Special'

•;*.;

to

The

Financial <Chronicl®>';

Thomas

and

the

v/ith

minous

55

combined.

F,

Mangan are ncrw

Herrick, Waddell & Co., Inc.,

Liberty Street, New York City.
TTtt

Continuing Interest in:

American Meter Co.
t

'■»,

'

i

fj

••

Grinnell Corporation

Cannon Mills, Inc. Class "B"

Central Soya Co. Inc.

~

~

/

*

-"liipt

Southern Advance Bag & Paper Co.

Talon, Inc.

STROUD & COMPANY

^

^

^

Boston

Chicago

San Pranclsco




;;.U, it
ESTABLISHED

Incorporated
-w.

123 SO. BROAD STREET

120 BROADWAY

PHILADELPHIA 9, PA.

NEW YORK 5, N. Y.

PEnnypacker 5-7330

REctor 2-6528-29

Allentown

;

Pittsburgh "

Lancaster

Scranton

l: *;

CHICAGO, ILL.—Paul Herbert

mer¬

on

Request

P

With Brailsford & Co.

coun¬

of

1914

Boenning & Co.
Members
Members

'

New

Philadelphia
York

Curb

Stock

Exchange

Exchange

/:/.*

(Associate)

1606 Walnut Street, Philadelphia 3, Pa,
,

•

New York Telephone—COrtlandt 7-1202

Telephone PEnnypacker

6-8200

•

11

to

trustees

Walter J. Malatesta Nowv

tonnage of anthractite and bitu¬
coal

appointed

Herrick, Waddel! Adds Two

largest

in the

exceed

now

D.

Moreau

orig¬

was

shipments

Jr., .Botciier

R. C. Harvey & Associates.

$1.28.

the

.

and

Sherrerd,

La

anthracite

an

^

Butcher,

y

for 1947

Per

Reading

inally considered
and

'

with Brailsford & Co., 208 South

$8,215,649, equal
common share after $
were

Merriam B.

Co.; Secretary:

Malatesta

of

was

dividends.

F.;!w

Snyder & Co.;

E.

CHICAGO,; ILL.

$116,760,042. Net income for'

road

Geo.

Brown, Brown Bros. Harriman &

J

report

Reading Co. discloses

year

Jr.,

Barthold.

Co.

Reading Company
-

■.

prospectus

Bought—Sold—Quoted

f

ing officers of the Exchange wer$
appointed to setve for the ensu-.

.♦'''/f.'i

•

*Offered only by

PHILADELPHIA,/ PA.—At the

el

—

■/".

Utility Common Stocks.
on

in the

power

•/'.p.V

Copies

Mender Common

^

i

regular meeting of the Board of
Governors, March 17, the follow¬

der,

Reporting that
its post-war . expansion
program
has resulted in an expenditure of
about $35,000,000 to date, Penn¬
sylvania Power & Light Co. states
that it plans to spend an addi¬
tional $100,000,000 through 1951.

try, freight

/

commit-

companies/

Exchange
Appoints New/Officers

Howard

Power

anthracite

Valuation and Appraisal

Finance

and

of the

ila. Stock

&
Penna.

Although

CITY OF PHILADELPHIA BONDS
j

Executive
tees

Harrisburg."

preferred

RAILROAD EQUIPMENT CERTIFICATES

Bld^,, Allen town, Pa.

has been elected Chairman of the

Treasurer:- H. Gates Lloyd, Drex- *

earnings in 1946

;

Chief Ex¬

as

by diesel

to $3.87 per

Valuation and Appraisal

of his duties

passenger

the

Available Publications

v

lieved

ecutive Officer at his request and

handled

of
.'•I

securities

Otho E. Lane, Chairman of
Board,
Fire
Association- n
Group, Philadelphia, has been re¬

through

ord-operating

Incorporated

Mr.

Vice-President: George E. Sny¬

non-electrified territory west of

to

Corp*,

STOCK EXCHANGE

investment

the largest.

are

; '■

ing year:

i

TORK, N. Y.

Grant 3900

PHILADELPHIA

in

the

become

York, Curb Exch. (Assoc.)

PITTSBURGH 22, PA.

a

members

|

Pitts. Stock Exch.

10th Floor, Peoples Bk. Bldg.

the

planning the issuance
107,383 shares of preferred

of

-;

the

is

each 12 shares of

N. Y. Stock Exch.

f

%

the country. "By May this
year," he said, "we expect that
our
important
east-west

stock to be offered to its stock¬

Bldg., Philadelphia 2

If!*#?
PH 375

Corp.

holders
Direct

that

installations

in

PITTSBURGH—It is reported
that Alleghany
Ludlum
Steel

Issues

Exchange

•

all

Western Pennsylvania

Samuel I. Phillips & Co

stated

diesel

in progress

now

v/z"■

Allegheny Ludlum Preferred

Hershey Creamery Com.

locomotives, 54

new

Clement

company's

followed expansion of local facili-

/v< 'V""

v

.

cost

the road's Altoona works.

Transportation Issues
Trading Department

a

/ /

Works, Eddy stone. The
2,300 freight cars will be built at

shortage and to avoid the
raising of rates which would have
1

K

v

will be built at the Baldwin Loco¬

the fuel

ti es.

114

to

program

$173,500,000.

motive

Gas

-use.;

and

-

R.R. Orders

Penna.

.

of

order will be valueless;

Lehigh Valley RR. Annuity 4Vjj

Members

Corp.,

•

ft

J

Last week Texas Eastern Trans-

mission

Informed observers believe that
the transportation company will

now

Rittenhouse Sq. 5V2-1950

In

criticism

by

action,

the

Federal

challenged.

against

hasty

support

Phila.

be

has

and

1900

litigation

Philadelphia April 1 and 2.

Exchange Bldg. Phila. 2

Telephone

will

recognition
leged

Stock

that

and

Texas Gas to Philadelphia

State

the

involving its rulings should be
brought in State courts. Thus
court

Stromberg Carlson Co.

of

arm

an

the intervention

Sterling Motor Truck

H. M.

share.

sel is expected to argue that the

Gas

Bell

>

;

~

'

System Teletype PH

30

p!

Volume

167

Number 4686

•*

THE COMMERCIAL

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

&

(1429)

"w

"

Wisdom for
:

V'

"■

•-

Colonel King lists as

CLUB

OF

'SYRACUSE

"

'

': ":i

'

:

'

j

/ '• '/

on

principles to be followed: (1)

ld .1

a

c»

c

o

m

-

s
c

s

io

n

o

n

i

v e

1

c

the

Heaton

come
.

President—Edward L. Emmons, Reynolds & Co.

.

Vice-President—Everett W. Snyder, E. W.

V Treasurer—Francis Q Coulter,

;

p

^

Snyder^ Co.

;

i. Board of Governors—Edward

V

Congress

i

t:

began

J. Bullock, Reid-Bullock Co.; Mar¬

&

man
;

lifted

from

volume

to

dinal

there

earnings and

management.

the
positions and

:

"

.

conta¬ C; (4)

the

SUPERVISION Of holdings

the

of

four

are

These

new

guiding principles,

'

car*

maximum

the

keep in mind and

bull

new

benefit

market.

.

from
.

..

'

*

-

NATIONAL SECURITY TRADERS ASSOCIATION
•-

*>'A

'

'/"•

Paul I. Moreland, Moreland &
Co., Detroit;,
Chairman of the Special Legislative Committee of
the National Security Traders

M'

Association, Inc.,
membership of the

that the complete
as follows:

announces

committee is
.,

;.

I

-

Malon C. Courts, Courts & Co., Atlanta, Ga.
Richard A. Gottron, Gottron, Russell &
Co.,

Southern California Edison

Company-1947

Cleveland, O.
/a
-r.,v:"'"
f
Oliver B. Scott,
Maxwell, Marshall & Co., Los
.

Angeles,

Calif.-..j

5,'Sumner R. Wolley, Coffin
-

-

Paul

L

& Burr, Boston, Mass.

Moreland, Chairman, Moreland & Co]

Detroit, Mich.
:

In addition to the five members of the
commit
—
^
ui inc cumuiHr

z

V:
.

'!

Paul I. Moreland

tee, each affiliate of NSTA is designating
rooonfotiwo
fn

a

rep-

J
resentative to advise with the committee
proper.
names of these
representatives will be an¬
nounced as soon as their selection is
completed.
...LU

1..

_

The

•

phia; la - redoubtable

in/his;

local

;..-s ajld Brokers Bowling League, will

con-

pin-smasherr

Gross Revenue of the:

/v Plowt

'

Harry Fahrig, Jr., Reynolds .& Co., Philadel¬

.

v.

/v/ Company in. 1947 was $86,267,983, an increase of a

INVESTMENT TRADERS ASSOCIATION
OF PHILADELPHIA
.v

Expansion ... /The Company s plant budget
for 1947 was approximately $52,500,000,; and the
$12,138,745 or 16.4% over 1946. After all operating/ / ' work programmed was substantially all performed.
/ expenses, including taxes and frequency change ex- :/ The plant budget for 1948 is $63,594,637.
;'.,,;TvPc6se»
after payment in full of all dividends on /
:
<
preferred stocks,-the het income was equivalent to '';
1^48 BUDGET
,
$20,941,609
y
/ > $1.95 per share for tht common stock. ;
' : 'r;/ Stcwn
Scewn Electric
Electric Generating Plants /V *
Gross and Net Income:

«

)

\

-voy a

v

hopeful group of keglers from Philadelphia

to New York

on

The tabulation below of gross revenue

April 18 where they will engage

/

,a*team*chosen-from- ^any'^ cjcack Jumbermen.

•

The

the

friendly
.

is'.scheduled-

pogrom/ which

common

reflects the

'•■ri-;

for

night preceding the Stany. dinner, has

for the

something

of

annual

an

stock for the five years

-

Philadelphia has yet to win

a

series.

SECURITY

Harry Fahrij, Jr.

.

TRADERS

1946

.

457,828,029

•i

/

.William C. Jaokson/Jr., President and
of the

urer

First

Southwest

Texas, lias been selected

nicipal/ Committee

as

of.

-

| -" Traders Association according • to word received
R.

Victor

Mosleyr President.

,

of the Investment

'}

Mr. Jackson

1.83

.

.

A

.

■w

C.

has

tacuzene

become

associated

with Hogan and

Farwell., Inc. He

Hvas

partner

formerly

Browne

&

a

Fleming.




in Ross,
"

«

Investments

Lapham Joins Staff I

-

Cohu

& Co.,

merly

in

under

the

firm

of

name
•

'

v

'if

H.
.

jj

Total Assets
A

for¬
himself
B.

.

Company's generating facilities at December 31,

was

1,394,180 kilowatts, compared with 1,308,-

450 kilowatts in

j

19^6,

it t

•;?»'

an

increase of 85,730 kilowatts.

Generating facilities of 299,000 kilowatt capacity

presently under construction will bring the Company's
.

.of 1948, to 1,561,180 kilowatts, and to 1,693,180 kilo*
watts late

in 194%

New Business

•

.

.

»

»•

'Is.6

.

Vs,

.r

--f

i

1.. The total of new business signed

in 1947 was 639,000
revenue

x^: ■■ '■

DECIMKt

u

1
»

»

*

»

•

•

•

*

.

,

»

J

.

>

•

-

i

•

•

estimated annual

an

/

31,

1»«7

'

$430,422,951

*

#

H.P., with

of $9,272,000.

Liabilities
"t

*,

.

.

Capital Stock Expense

was

for

.

Deferred Charges

Syracuse Sav¬

business

Laoham & Co.

$63,594,637

,

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET

*■
'

SYRACUSE, N. Y.—Beverley H,
has become associated

ings Bank Building. He

.

and-Other Assets

Current Assets ,'i;

Lapham
with

6,609,290

.

!

»

Of Cohu Co. in Syracuse

Megan and Farwell

.

Departments

/ /iTotal 1948 Budget

yp'V

s.nii

H it ill '*.

Electric Plant

/ - CHICAGO, ILL.—Michael Can¬

All Other

-

.

Wf*.

Assets

B. H.

14,663,972

continuing expense of the Com-,,

Jackson,. Jr.

M. Cantacuzene With

_,

fifty-year record low rain-

CONDENSED

W.

y

below- the 1947 level.-

i

o'.l

2,892,683

.

■

snowpack condition in California in 1947-

Bankers Association. /■;

:

9.307,844

Distribution Lines i,«

1947

Company of $10,000,000 in 1948; Such abnormal: I"

year

»

.

of the

1-95

pletion ub rl948, ait expected to reduce net income for
■/ the

4.734,403

Generating Capacity... The operating tapacity

,

pany's frequency change program, scheduled for com¬

was

»

i

.

'>.•

/

of all other charges, including
dividends on preferred stocks,

^fuel costs, and the

formerly Chairman of the Texas Municipal Com¬
mittee

;

74,129,238

86,267,983

'

from

'/ $1.43-//

1948 involvesestimated increase in fuel expense to

National; / Security

is very well known in municipal circles and

Common Slock*

* After payment

fall and

the

.

V

.

.

Forecast for 1948

Corporation, Dallas,

Chairman of the Mu¬

the

.

,

i;"''.-;-

Treas¬

«/•£

Per Share for

■

'.V:

'*64:686.947

*»'^450,637

}947 />;.

ASSOCIATION /

Earnings

■

"

*>'Rettnue

pJt'f

1944

,

'■

-»,

Distribution Substations

*

Pit

194$, %

NATIONAL

.VV-.A

-Cross

1943
'

Transmission Substations

194-3-1947,

4,445,436

Hydroelectric Generating Plants

Transmission Lines

be-

affair, although

'

steady expansion which has occurred in the

Company's operations. ^
v

1come

and earnings

Stated

Capital and Surplus

11375^29

Bonded Indebtedness

32,057,010

Current Liabilities

*

•

.

.

.

.

*

.

•

*

«.

,

43,831,701

.

.

■

•

»

•

*

103,617,881

.

«

•

»

.

*

»

•

»

J $484,667,913

Other Reserves and Liabilities
.

.

.

'

rt

f.

U

i i&i'W

*1 \ u

138,000,000

.

2,486,321

?

.$190,899,241

.

Depreciation Reserve
Total Liabilities.

'•»

.

.

8,326,402

$484,667,913

care¬

fully followed, will bring success
and enable the investor to realize

Co.; George W. Mason, and Norman C. Schmidt, Blair F.
Clayf

baugh & Co.

i

■

(3) DIVERSIFICATION of pur¬
chases in order .to minimize /risks

principles that the shrewd

investor should

shares

650,000

coming

market

bull

industrial

the

the

With

8*4 points and increased

averages

the

to

message

,

March 17, the rally

that

best

financial

in
order
to
a rising stock market, but
check-losses, take
psychology of the trader has profits and be on the outlook for
any
.sudden
changes that might
changed and the public will soon
recognize the superiority of equi¬ affect the market objectives of
profit
or income.
ties to cash.

*

'

:

>

.

Truman's
on

the

strongest

the

Following

liquidation.

President

/

shall .W. Day, Geo. D. B. Bonbright &
Co.; Drew G. Eastman, East-1-

ef-<

to

with

gion of
Col. Herbert G. King

had>

v e

immune

remained

that'

-V;'/

Secretary—Charles T. Heaton, W. N. Pope, Inc.
:

t i

e c

/

Syracuse Trust Co.

u

end

.(2)'SELECTION of the Issues

,

.

confir-»

mation
Charles T.

gave

then to sell when they reach over¬
!

priced levels.

the tape and recognizing that pro*
longed dullness marks the end of
a bear market and that a sudden
rally out of quietude indicated
the stirrings of a new forward
movement. So far the public ha$

ses- <

sv1

'/,■..

»(1). TIMING purchases so as to
buy when certain issues are sell¬
ing- at under-priced levels am

rule of never arguing with

worn

-

used will bring rich

properly

rewardsr

spread rapidly.
\
j
1 Speculative success comes only
to\ those who follow" the timcT

<

panying
the
foreign sell-,
irig". The pain-;

fully dull

if

news ap-

peared to account for the abrupt
-upturn, but the speculative belief
that a major turn was at hand

in

o w s

million. No

to over two
-

the bad news,

Snyder

(2) selection; (3), diversification; and

timing;

^

the

the face of all

W.

.

devastating bear markets in history eame to a close during the third
It terminated as undramatically as it had begun and most
the windup completely. The tip-off was the extreme dullness that accom¬

traders missed
panied

o

E.

•

March, after 22 months.

br ea kvtheif

Emmons

►

■

-

,

Cne of the most
week of

Averages

L.

■' ^

\

-

,

,r;

(4) supervision.

failure of the
|5dw J o n es

Edward

;

Member, New York Stock Exchange

*

.

The Bond Club of Syracuse held its annual election of
officers
Feb. 18. The following were elected to serve for the
coming year!

Bull i Market

a

By HERBERT G. KING

-

-

-

"

BOND

13

TraWBHFV&in

8,319390

■

'

the

J

~

—

THE COMMERaAL

14 " (1430)

FINANCIAL

&

"■

■

ift"

'

r

''.

...

It

announced

'

his

resign

by

appearing—during

vision to take

for

the prac¬

Member

1948:'

and

tice of law in

■

.■

'

TABLE

York

New

City

Mr.
who

.

Treanor,
was

attorney

Brokers'

Securities

Loans

Loans

under the Na¬

tional

Jan.

Indus¬

1

A

A,. A.

i

t

c

later

special
Treanor,. Jr.

coun¬

Federal

investigation,

telephone

of

service

the

in

its

entered

SEC

the

in

and

ing
Holy

Cross

from

the

School

Division

Exchange
He

1941.

in

College

Boston

in

practice

graduated

t

in

He

Desmond T. Barry,

.

in the American
;

The branch at

quarters

at

1

zone.

Heidelberg, with
Friedrich

Elbert

Allee, is the third Chase location
in

Germany, two other offices
having been opened at Frankfurt
and Stuttgart within the past four
months.

W.

H.

Promann

is

in

charge ,of the Heidelberg branch.

Tota!j

quarter of 1947. All classes are
or 2.5%.
Treasury bills, cer

*5,601]

715

5,581

Offsetting this loss has

5,88.1

'ncrease in rates

on

5,634

and

as

5,775

stiffening of the rate

notes

and

3139,000,000
down

5,85*1

4,029

863

5,64?

267

4,149

766

5,711

Investments" average fractionally
below their totals of 1.947 first

stantially the same; interest rates
on
Government obligations are

11 446

267

4,172

quarter. "'Total Loan* & Invest¬

somewhat

;

267

4,157

509
1

7-j.

725

816

.

....

f 3,949

292 11

1

5,76<j

728

5,612

783

; 5,711

$157,030,000

certificates,

TABLE

FIRST

II

1.

V/V'vVif I:11 i.'l;)'

Securities

Loans

Treasury bills
well as some

ments''

253

422

252

21-'—-.

468 1

1/ 248

~

500

4

25_...

Mar.

:

3-*,-.

1

5,290

111

5,215

1,106

5,208
5,164
.5,181/

239

fill 5,174

232

5,160

IS

,

•

1,081

7,261

1,036
1*,G55

7;087
7,245
-I' 7,023
7,047

■'

1,030
1,015

il;

12 Wk. Avg.

240

572

1

1,034

5,249

Average total loans outstanding during the first quarter of this
year were $1,385,000,000 higher than during 1947 first quarter; percentwise they are approximately 24% higher.* The principal gain
average 33%
Loans to brokers and loans for carrying securltie:
are
moderately lower than a year ago, while miscellaneous loars
comprising real estate loans, loans to banks, etc., average $290,000t00(

I

QUARTER

J-

!

.

Total In¬

Obligations
12,013 I'¬
ll 11,833 1

vestments

2,783

8.—

2,621
2,771 4

22

2,885 1
2,574

5

Feb.

11,724
11,786

9,212

.

19—'
26—.J

-!i

r^?//
13

9,150

26—1 2,111
5_—

.

.

1^12,05Q .1:

9,204

12

>-11,965

9,165

9,215

Mar.

BROADWAY, NEW YORK 5, N. Y

;

2,582

19—i

Laird, Bissell & Meeds

9,194

:

2,268
2,223

.'

12

Request

9,212

15-i.—

29

of New York

9,230

11,483
11,440

9,207
i

2,413

9,208'

11,323
11,621

2,428

9,150

11,578

2,662

9,222

i/1 11,884

2,292

9,279

1:111,571

9,204

11,713

i

i—

Wk. Avg,

2,509

,

'

Tot. LoanS
&

18.878

12,880

18,513 1

.13,012:1 11- 18,614

,13,087"

v

12,757.

18,674
1 18,639

12,810"

18,444

'12,504
12,334

1'

•,

and

of

violence
Two

;

r

-

Emil
New

y

18,473 1
i ,,••/

■

operations

of

was

entrance

in

.and -12

ensued

and,

45

4

provocative

acts

glad

of

J. S. Rippel&Co.
Established

18 Clinton

1891

St., Newark 2, N. J.

MArket 3-3430
N.

Y. Phone—REctor 2-4383




CHICAGO 4-

HUbbard 2-0650
BS-297

,

.•

FRAnklin 7535

,

CG-105

PRIVATE WIRE SYSTEM CONNECTING:

Michigan 2837

'

LA-1086

NEW YORK,

Rusv Building

TELEPHONES TO: Hartford, Enterprise 6011

Providence, Enterprise 7008

Portland, Enterprise 7008

Detroit, Enterprise 6066

\

are

this

..

and in

I

-••<••1 yl:

-

a

im~

1 ^ .{.v

uninterrupted.

1

!

-

re¬

kind

on

•

that

of

most
not

were

em¬
.

demand by the union for a closed
or union
shop.
On

31,

it

Wednesday afternoon, March
was reported .that
pickets
thrown

were

Street,

out
saying: "Brokerage em¬
ployees in this building be ready
for a general strike of all Wall
Street

and

the

was

brief period

a

sus¬

at the

soon

partially

According

Mr;
has

was

to
every " precaution

taken

to

maintain

of Ithe

peaceful

exchanges.

It

reported that about 6.75 of the

Emanuel, Deetjen & Co., 52 Wil¬

change,

announce~that

ed manager

the

firm's

vestment

of

and

underwriting
department/
1 Mr.
has

Phillips

been

en¬

the

.in

banking

and

broke rage

field

with

Tucker, An¬
thony & Co.
from

1928

1946,
for

to

banking

were women.

and

the

to

The question
of

through

Service,

with

union-

deavoring

that

Meanwhile, the Fed¬

Mediation

the

exchanges

officers,

settle the

is

en¬

disputes.

at issue is not only

increased

wages

but

a

l-llll

year

employees

striking, about one-fifth

Spencer Phillips

except
a

adviser

strike, and

•

in¬

he

on

Spencer

Phillips has
been appoint¬

ment

out

financial

liam Street, New York City, mem¬
bers of the New York Stock Ex¬

when

were

.

Spencer Phillips With
Emanuel, Deef jen Go. 1

New York Stock Exchange's 1,300

of those

entire

district;";

investment

for

Pine

70

notices

the

was

around

and that they passed

fected

consultations

CLEVELAND, PHILADELPHIA, ST. LOUIS, LOS ANGELES, SAN FRANCISCO

year

March 27, and, with aid of

gaged

eral

SF-573

banks

of instances good
provement may be shown.

af¬

YUkon 6-2332

BOSTON, CHICAGO^

equal those of last

quar¬

number

ex¬

was

SAN FRANCISCO 4

LOS ANGELES 14

-

the

of

1 The o-nly section of stock
change business which was

operation

Wall Street

231 S. LaSalle Street. 210 West Seventh Street

were

ployees of the Stock Exchange.

Schram,

NY 1-2875

strikers

any

know

to

involved

beginning, but

W

BOSTON 9

ex¬

arrested.

also

s

10 Post Office Square

the

Schram, President of the

pended

INCORPORATED

WHitjshauu 3-0702

normal

a

by the walkout,
quotation service, which

GEYER & CO.
67

conducted

the
part of > the Exchange
and
there will be none." -He said he

been

NEW YORK 5:

order, both

Stock Exchange, fol¬
lowing the street fracas, issued a
statement expressing "deepest re¬
gret" because of the violence, and
adding that "there have been no

was

1

'

the

York

those

BANK and INSURANCE STOCKS

I

re¬

strike

policemen

18,410

i.

'

the

injured,

were

restored.

*

by

unions, i Despite

prevent

18,586

12,762

earnings

-t

'

ago.

Exchange and New York Curb Exon

character. On Tuesday, March 30,
a number of the pickets
attempted

:11

WHOLESALE MARKETS IN

\

enlarged

were

business

18.365-

Teletype—NY 1-1248-49

NEW JERSEY

Stock

of the exchanges

'

.

exchanges

18,334

.

5

,

and

1
1

year

On

1

•

a

j

12,653

12,694

of

5

12,689

Telephone: BArclay 7-3500
(L. A. Gibbs, Manager Trading Dept.)

!

18.224

18,191

12,955

,

>

in¬

are

;—

ported to have received injuries/

i

18,279 1

i

1-12,453

*

Investsl
!

13,077

also

likely that first

seems

ill'. 1,1 Hi 11

change buildings by lying down in
front
of
the
doorways.
When
forced to get up by the police,

1947

Total U.S.G.

sub¬

are

here of seamen's unions, began mass
picketing before- exchange
premises.
Violence results in injury and arrests, but operations

1

to
,

Bonds

as

...

picketing, however, and the sud¬

($000,000)

1—1

quar-

words,

higher,

of

mod¬

are

deposits

lower;

and

up

mem-

denness

These tables also show

f

TABLE. Ill

other

cruits from members of the AFL

1 /: -V1; yllv,1 //I/\1l/l •::f
With regard to the banks' portfolios of Government obligations*

FIRST

$21,-!

change fail to report for work

seamen's

higher.

'Total.Loans & Investments/'-

are

holdings

Exchange Employees Strike

ngs,

been in commercial and agricultural loans, which

above last year.

the comparison is, shown in Tables III and IV.

up;

March 27, without formal notice, the
long threatened strike
)f the United Financial
Employees, Local 205, AFL, against the New
York Stock and the New York Curb
Exchanges became a fact. Before
he exchanges opened for
operations, picket lines were formed at the
mtrances of the exchange buildi¬

7;095

..

.

In

year.

1; Workers of New York

'I"■"'

It
ter

during

—

7,038

7<10C
7,14C

.

are

those

over

Clearing House Banks

11"1 -''l-i'l :fJ1l;i1:1:

'

1"

commercial

up,

operatmg costs
payroll charges have increased

and

i

7,085

1,014

1,084
11,009

,.

loans

terest rates on commercial loans.
On the other hand,

'

"

•

.

$21,413,000,000

this

ter

down, miscella¬

agricultural loans

erately

6.7%

or.

408,000,000- during* th£' first

7,037
61992
7,065

A

1,00-3 .I1-

5,267

1#1 238

640

991

7

-

5,324
i

Tptai
LoanF

a

,964

"
■

5,343

235

•

10— 11 771
1 589 1
17
•
24

5.332.

'. 5,327

241
••

<-

•

iveraged

'/ •'

Misci
Loans

Agric. Loans

247

446

-

Si

are

total

With regard to deposits, weekly
of
"demand deposits"
of

New York

are

loans

neous

Government obligations

$1,228,0Q0,000.

are

curity loans
and

Govern¬

on

the first quarter of 1947, and

Commercial

..Loans : &

.

an

totals
■■

1948

been

bonds.

ment

5,710
'Vi'

'

; "

QUARTER

1.7%.

or

"

"

744

.:

1-488

Jan.

change

no

year ago.'

274

Feb.

has

substantially

I1
I f
To summarize: brokers' and se¬
a

530

14

1

is

from

579

ll/Qll-111

>

there

by

5.5%?, while bonds

or

26—

;

71.'

lower

are

moderately below the first
down only approximately
$300,000,-

average

000

733
•

Ctfs. & Notes

SECURITIES

19,701

tificates

Office at 1818 Third Avenue under

Bell

12,608

are

U.S.

<80

11,415

5,80)|
15,6311

•

Treasury Bills

Members New York Stock Exchange

9,047

Governments

684

:*• 7ii

BESSEMER, ALA..—r Carlson &
Company have opened a branch

on

2,370
of

It will also be noted that "Total

'

Circular

Avg.

Holdings

Loans

'

National City Bank

Wk.

766

New Carlson Branch

the direction of Cecil Cosby.

12

\

.

3,968

,

■

19,087

286

y..

Estab¬

offer

19,298

12,040

837

231

will

12,275

10,795

734

656 JA

branch

11,073

8,512

3,924

233

the

2,569

2,283

3,956

739

Germany,

I'- 19,639

295

ill 11
.

ience of Americans there, accord¬

limited banking facilities to U. S.
military and authorized personnel,
including those of allied countries,

19,285

12,394

816

28

authorities
in
Washington, and
the U. S. Military Government in

12,198

11,180

-/y"i-

19

Jan.

the

11,039

8,526
8,504

2,654

724

235

of

.8,530

2,509

3,913

584

here.

19,698 1
19,685

1

9,085

29-3

5

conven¬

approval

12,558

10— i—

...

.

-

12,424

17_.
24—:

19,723

11,278

3—

1

19,99-3

11,394 •'••11'

—

25.. -il 2,193 i; 1.

■

19,850

12,958
12,623

799

18

bank

9,191

.

11,455

12

berg,

the

2,203

1.

756

566

the

18.1

11,777

9,189 1

289

11__._

with

9,219

676

Bank has been opened in Heidel¬

of

-1/1

5

Wk. Avg.

Opened in Germany

office

2,558
2,266

19,84-2

12,765

3,784

Brokers'

lished

^

—,

higher.

■

ing to word received at the head

9,286

3,848
3,883

,

the

1

Loans

($000,000)

for

4...

11..,

2,285

—

20,175

'I 20,138

.

302

former Mayor

I A branch of the Chase National

'1:111 28..,

'

307

to

Third Chase Branch

11,571

.2,374

_—

,13,138
12,850
13,073-

29,8

of Hastings, N. Y.

Germany,

Misc.

3,781

•

.

"

13

with

York

11,631
11,875

778

26_—

and

intends

New

& Invests.

9,504
9,501

v .-

726

1/ 19_

in

University Law

1927.

law

Tot. Loans

Obligations
11,911

vestments

9,5.15

1

2,396

—

881

12—.

.

from

1924

Total In¬

Bonds

29—

Mar.

1936

and became Director of the Trad¬

June,

309

Total U.S.G.

Ctls. & Notes

•

Com¬

Commission

munications

~
.

Agric. Loans
3,776

U $000,000)
U.S.

22—_■

Feb.

the

sel for

/

IV

QUARTER 1948

•'

'

'

15

1933,

n

was

1947

Commercial
&

334

1,007
:. 832

8—

trial Recovery
and

QUARTER

<

($000,000)

"S.

U.

a

FIRST

'

I

'

■i-irjlv 21.1

Banks in New" York

City for the first quarter of 194'. j
1 ;•/■■ ■•"'•"<\1'""'1 •' yi
'/1v li/T/'l

FIRST

*

2,127

show? How? Feb.
operating earnings, or indicated earnings, for the first quarter ■1 '1;1
of 1948 likely to compare with those of the first quarter ol a94<m
It may be of interest to compare the situation as to ear run
,1-1
assets, deposits, interest rates, etc., for the two quarters. ' Tables
Mar.
and II, present bank loans as reported by the Federal Reserve Boar,
1-

and
Exchange Di¬

'•

14.1.

net

are

Trading

up

Bank Stocks

—

First quarter reports of,the banks will soon be
the first week of April^ What may they be expected to

on
April 1 as
Director of its

post

^il/i This Week

.1

the

'

<

TABLE

1

Treasury Bills
,

Jan.,, 7_.

Se¬
curities and Exchange Commission
that' James A. Treanor, Jr. will
was

; '

'

By E. A. VAN DEUSEN
1

1 k

,

,

of

Trading and Exchange Divi-'
sion, resigns to enter private law
practice in New York.

r"

Thursday,^ April lr 1948

It.* 1) ly". 1

-V

Bank and Insurance Stocks

James A. Treanor, Jr., Director

iht—Y ti

CHRONICLE
:'f

Quits SEC Post

m-r

was

vestment

in 1946

experience

consultant, he

as one

and

of

as an

in¬

was

in¬

of the partners who

studies',of

the

firm's

department with the

quirements
clients.

insurance

join Kalb, Voorhis & Co.

coordinate
research

by

1
invest¬

as

companies/ Because

his extensive

vited to

retained

of

its

re¬

institutional

'

Volume 167

Number 4686

THE COMMERCIAL

Arthur
,

dent

ment of

significant step toward self-help, as suggested
by Marshall Plan. Says nine nations have joined compensation
scheme and Great Britain shows
increasing interest after initial
reluctance. Under plan, Bank for International Settlements as cen¬
;

;

-

The

77;:

original restricted scheme.

v

European

Group, to
Kiendl

Company.

of

Trust

Program as proposed by the United
insisting all along upon a maximum of
among the 16 participating nations. Euro¬

position.

fi^st confronted with that American
<§>-

'

For

they have
been

considerable

accus¬

tomed

sible

since

immem¬

with

orial

to

countries

in

terms

of

out
g

a

d

r

t

o

broader conti¬

».he

nental-view¬

points.-

there

has

been

gradual
ization

Ernest H. Weinwurm

result

"■

•.

from

the

i?:;7-.,

'

-v.~

those

pressure

has

Five With

^

'7.'-j.

agreement

an

compensation.

for

'•'*

'

•***!

I

Exchange, an¬
registered rep¬

to

Russ

Building,

been

New

York

York

Stock

that

nounces

five

resentatives
its

have

organization

added

to

Hemphill,

Noyes

&

Bank

Building in Indianapolis.

in' the

of

Davies

&

Proceeds

and

was

The

won

tions.

the

of

(Special

to

Chamberlain

Financial

The

Proceeds

retire

to

of-the

common/,

applied to the 1948 j

California

The

Chronicle)

Co.

WING, MINN.—N. C. Lien
lias joined
the staff of L. W.
Chamberlain & Co., Inc., 315 East

is

an

electricity
water

extent

small

and

Oregon

Oregon

and

i

;

.

!—t

u ■!

V:'; ■*' '''!••

■

'

(Final installment of
'

y.M

,

fv

.'iV#

authorized issue of $32,910,000)

an

;/;7.

1 .'■■ •*

/■ /

:'.y'

''

<:■

7,

Pennsylvania Railroad
Equipment Trust, Series S
2%% Equipment Trust Certificates

currencies

,/.t

*

$10,995,000

..

if* i,

.1

..

(Philadelphia Plan)

i

t

,

V

;:

:

im
To

,

mature

annually $733,000

on

each July 1, 1948 to 1962, inclusive

V "!• '**

!''

To be

These

:

v

are to be issued under an Agreement dated July 1, 1947, Supplemented
of January 1, 1948, which will provide for the issuance of $32,910,000 principal amount
of Certificates to be secured by new standard-gauge railroad equipment estimated to

Statistical Bureau, Inc.,

Certificates

as

and Faii child Publications '

jMjf»vduring last I2 months,: jtt

unconditionally guaranteed as to payment of principal and dividends by endorsement
by The Pennsylvania Railroad Company
•

O,

which-fiey^M

cost not

less than $41,137,500.

-

-

-

-

<.

•

notes

slight business recession and weakening in economic and price "
structure.
Say**; war
not imminent, and holds tax reduction will
I*; have stimulating effect on prices and business activity. Concludes
7 economic forces are
Changing in the balance,'' and basic difficulty

!

■M v, •

<

,

i

,

I

V

is still too much production at too high

believe that

little bit like

discussion

a

reading

of

economic

price.

a

tendencies

/

...

should

be

a

•

■/''' '• ;7:/v;-

## has place di>'
them jn
tain

a cer-

■

'

•

-

■

■'

.

First,There

i

situation.;'

job,
you

was

—*

unless' 7*A%

or

to
the Zra dio

moderate

a

h7

v

-I#••'" h

u

first
n

d

two
r

e

d

are

thought to the signifi¬
developments and indicative

gave no

cant

trends of the last

12 months. The

first

thing\ we must have is a
quick flashback" to the action that

has

brought

us

and

where

Last
Here is

of

the

Twelve
a

very

things

attention

at

the

we

Months

;

deserve

"

our

Wh^t I call to

Zelomek

1.90

;

7-

/1957 >

7
■

1959

2.50

I960

2.35.#!!
2.40

7

7

be¬

k 2.60

1962

2.65

•

off

HALSEY, STUART &. CO.

your attention is
a

R. W.

fiscal

Inc.
A.

BEAR, STEARNS & CO.

RRESSPRICH & CO.

had

came

at

time

a

when

BECKER

EQUITABLE SECURITIES CORPORATION 7

7

incorporated

it

and

did

cut

and

most

in

long.

new

,

mid-Summer,
of activity —
value measures,—
high ground by the

R. L. DAY & CO.

that

the

modest

F.

(incorporated)

.

BURR & COMPANY,

ROTHSCHILD & CO.

•

HAYDEN,

MILLER & CO.

!

HUTCHINSON> CO>

THE

*

in

WM.

Quarter represented a
adjustment of any dis¬

will

not

the next time

repeat
a
:

is

E.

POLLOCK & CO.,

JULIEN COLLINS & COMPANY

.

to

themselves

'

said

for

.

7

the belief that:

(a) the economic situation
,,

-

(Continued

on page

*

'

7

as

a

COMPANY

v

" MULLANEY,

ROSS & COMPANY

E. W. & R. C. MILLER & CO.
7. 7" 7

F. S.

YANTjS^ CO.

THOMAS & COMPANY

7"..

July 1, 1947. Principal and semi-annual dividends (July 1 and January 1) payable in Philadelphia or
New York City. Definitive Certificates, with dividend warrants attached, in the denomination of M,000, registerable
as to principal. Not redeemable prior te maturity. These Certificates are offered when, as and if received by us,
Certificates in temporary or definitive form will be available for delivery at the office of Halsey, Stuart & Co, Inc.
The information contained herein has been carefully compiled from sources considered reliable ana, while not guar¬
anteed as to completeness or accuracy, we believe it to be correct as of this date.

To be dated

.•

be

^

MILWAUKEE COMPANY

THE WISCONSIN

INC.

C. C. COLLINGS AND COMPANY
incorporated
f

decline gets under
; '

much

'

KEAN, TAYLOR & CO.

THE ILLINOIS COMPANY

pos¬

decline

there were in the post¬
economy? Or Was the reversal
caused by outside developments
that

INC.

1 FREEMAN & COMPANY

FIRST OF MICHIGAN CORPORATION

the second
full-scale

HORNBLOWER & WEEKS

7,77'

7 j

McMASTER

Why did this happen? Is it

L.

-v

(incorporated)

end of the year.

sible

7

OTIS & CO.

It

by

measures

particularly
were

last

not

short

was

GRAHAM, PARSONS &, CO.

>

HARRIS, HALL & COMPANY

& SON

GREGORY

/This little recession did not go
far

:

CO.

incorporated

United

States exports were at a peak.

fore the Kiwanis Club, New York




G.

:r

'

City, March 31, 1948.

2,55 /

1961

aresubjtqltoauthorizationby tht Interstate Comwierce Commssion.
in any State in which this announcement is
undersigned and other dealers as may
,.
4' f.
lawfully offer these securities in such State.
77 7

,

in which the defense budget
been 14 Va billion dollars. It

year

way?

moment.

Mr.

1956

;

The Offering Circular may be obtained,
circulated from only such of the

7

-

by

2.25

siigntly.

There

•^Address

1955

tortions

are.

brief statement

that

1.55

1950

2.45%

['Issuance.and sale of these Certificates

war

7

2.15 ;

July,

eased

the fact that this moderate decline

completely in the
dark. ,So would we be, in any dis¬
cussion of economic tendencies, if
we

April
I; prices

e

occurred at the tail end of

Of course, if
haven't read

7

l

you

next.

you

e s a

you

guess what
will happen

/'•

between

read,
to

pages,

1954

7

7.

1958

re¬

while

should be able

.

2.05%

1.35

1.15%

1949

1952

be added)

..'7

,

cession in business activity during
quarter of last year,
dropped .'by
about

have been 7W h 01

listening

the

f

to

1953

1951

Unless he has ; the second
done a poor Production

A.' W.x Zelomek

(Accrued dividends

1948

book.

After you have read the first 200 pages,
you should be able to make a reasonable guess about what happens in
the
last fifty.
The author has created certain
characters
and
a

MATURITIES AND YIELDS
7

April 1, 1948.

7-'-v 77

-.7'

43)

y

a

northern California.

•

,f

to

southern

in

,

multi¬

.•>

Power

operating public utility

providing

Avenue.

■>

,

,

bonds will be

incurred

will be

stock

RED

Merchants

#/

at

debt and for extensions and addi¬

Francisco

San

interest.

bonds

indebtedness

Mejia,
of the

members

accrued

the

construction program.;;

main¬

Co.

offices

staff

Joins L. W.

Maurice L. Fogarty, E. N. Gimbel
and A. G. Matzke.
tains

the

of

applied to the prepayment of note,

Stock Exchanges.

in

Indianapolis,
Ind.
The five, air
formerly with
Paul H. Davis &7C0., are Paul
Campbell,
Michael
J.
Duffecy,

By A*w- zelomek*

Economist, International

Chronicle)

New

Economic Tendencies!
.

Financial

hill, Noyes & Co., member of the

to achieve "trans"

-v-"!•

c ""

•

The

to

;SAN

FRANCISCO, CALIF.—
John C. Poshepny has been added

It. repre¬

;

expan-1ferablllty of European

v'

""-t

(Speq)al

and

competitive sale on a bid of
100.5311.
Blyth & Co., Inc., and
the First Boston Corp. are heading
a group which is offering
100,000
shares of common stock (par $20)
at $21.50
per
share.
This issue
was
awarded at competitive sale
on a bid of $19.91 a share.

With Davies & Mejia

|

/'INDIANAPOLIS, IND.—Hemp¬

The report of the Paris Confer¬
of the ^sixteen nations
sug-

■■■... »I.

V'V"'7'1

the

Hemphill, Noyes

ence

77~

:

■

,

Walnut

1606

ernment securities.

-

r

ad¬

in

Co.,

&

101%
award

Street, members of the Philadel¬
phia Stock Exchange and New
York Curb Exchange (Associate),
as a registered representative.

group, which now
numbers
20
dealers specializing in U. S. Gov¬

sipn of trade and should be eased .based on a proposal submitted by
step by step.:,-But there is also r
* :
(Continued on page 46)
i-

been

membership

Bpenning

and

is

Restrictions

pansion in various directions.

least, that

restrictions hamper

to

Bank

Halsey, Stuart & Co;
offering to the public
$4,500,000 first mortgage bonds
3V8% series due April 1, 1978 at
Inc.

Boenning Adds Gribbel

Trust

,

$6,650 000.

1

PHILADELPHIA, PA.—William
G, Gribbel is now associated with

Morris,

Bankers

Chemical

I

Mr.

year.

C.

strictions and may provide a suit¬
able starting point for further ex¬

unanimous

theory"at

or

harm than good.

sents a
cautious but significant
step in the struggle to get rid of
present
almost
intolerable
re¬

payments restrictions.

in

ahead. Any at-

go

more

lateral

larly important in the field of in¬

consensus,

do

cluding

.

virtually

Financing in behalf of the California Oregon Power Cp. is
being
undertaken today to the extent of

Dealer

one

R.

California Oregon Pwr.
Securities On Market

to

Five nations among the sixteen
participants in the Marshall Plan
have, taken the initiative in con¬

American

.•

encouraged and appreciated in this

is

can

■■

country. - This would strengthen
the postion of those
courageous
statesmen'
who
are
struggling
against heavy odds* to achieve
positive results/ This is particu¬

There

they

i

Every ,v. practical : step- toward
European co-operation should be

ternational

the spot to decide how

on

'" An Initial Step to Relax

;

the

proposals.

'T####

.empt at interference

long-term beneficial effects which
may

men

may

real¬
of

depart¬

15

Walter &

,

fast

How¬

ever,

difficulty by various

may

Americans may be v somewhat
impatient and exasperated in face
of
timidity and slow progress.
But they may. better leave, it -to

re-

-

maintained

be suddenly upset
disastrous effects to their

with

with¬

much

respon¬

the precarious

national economies.'

nationalin¬
terests

much

in

being

now

time

rather narrow

lest

quarers

balance

think

anxiety

for

Company

mitted

Recovery

peans were rather startled when

serve

succeeds

Vice-President of

States Government has been

self-help and co-operation

Securities

Chronicle)

Financial

The

the- staff of Bingham,
Hurry, 621 South Spring
Street, members of the Los An¬
geles Stock Exchange.
added

Guaranty Trust Company,

Government

/.A"..-.-J'*

\

bond

to

ANGELES, CALIF.—Wil¬

liam C. Bilsborough, Jr., has been

has been elected Chairman of the

a

tral agent will collect valuable information for future
expansion

(Boeclal

LOS

Kiendl, Vice-Presi¬
charge of the United

Government

(1431)

Bingham, Walter Adds

H.

in

States

multilateral monetary compensa¬

to

CHRONICLE

Govt. See, Dealers

By ERNEST H. WEINWURM

tion agreement as

FINANCIAL

trlhar Kienril Ms

Steps Towaid Easing European
Intra-Continental Exchange
Mr. Weinwurm calls attention

&

16

THE/ COMMERCIAL

(1432)

'& ■:FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE,

Thursday, April L 1948

as

-

in
By GUSTAV METZMAN*

President, New York Central Railroad

Prominent rail executive tells of wartime accomplishments of American railroads and points out meas¬
taken to improve and expand their facilities to promote greater peacetime production.
Cites difficulties of railroads in obtaining capital and contends only way railroads can hope to have
adequate
earnings is to allow adjustment of rates to meet higher costs of producing their services.
Expresses
^' faith in future of railroads.

/

ures

passed by Congress late last
week and sent to the President. While .no White House action had
oeen taken at the time of this writing there is no reason to doubt
that it will be signed/ There has not been the opposition to it that
;

The railroad reorganization bill

here was to

-orts to

as

passed has one new
feature in it. It is extended to in¬
clude

voluntary stock recapitali¬

zations

as

well

as

bond readjust¬

ments.

Thus, it goes further than
a mere effort to afford a speedier
solution
to
insuperable
fixed
charges and impossible principal
maturities than Section 77 gave.
So far as debt relief is con¬
cerned there is little question but
that Lehigh Valley will be the
first railroad to take advantage ol
the new legislation, it has a very

unless

outlays

maintenance

are

substantially.
Under these
circumstances it is obvious that
(rut

will have little lee¬

the company
to

work out any

compromise re¬
:

adjustment plan. /■The difficulty of the job is ap¬

dAr %

mt into effect this year. He did
lot discuss any details of a pro¬

posed plan to be attempted but it
would naturally be aimed at pro¬
viding in some way for the accru¬
al? of interest

on

the

road's

ad¬

justment bonds (payment is at the
sole discretion of the directors but
is fully cumulative) and at elimi¬
nating the Very large dividend ar¬

the 7% preferred stock.

rears on

Granting that

a

recapitalization of

this nature is

probably desirable,
it seems most optimistic to even
hope that it could be consum¬
mated this year.
The adjustment 5s

are

outstand¬

ing in the amount of $13,555,865.
Interest
is
in
arrears
in
the

amount of

$5,083,449,

or

37.5% per

bonds. The preferred stock is out¬

standing in the amount of $66,693,877 and bears cumulative divi¬
dends of 7%, No dividends have
been paid on the stock since 1931
when $5.25 a share was distrib¬
uted. Prior to that the
regular rate
had been paid for the
years 19271930, inclusive. In 1926 only $5.75
had been paid and in 1925
there
was a payment of
$5 a share Div¬
idend arrears will amount to

$124
by the end of this year, a total of

roundly $82,700,000.
The road's total
mortgage debt,
of the adj ustment
5s,
amounts
to

exclusive

approximately

$47

million. In addition, the road has
serial bank loans and has
reached

CHICAGO, ILL.

Announce¬
ment is made of the change in
name
of Mullaney, Ross & Co.
to

Wells &

Mullaney,

South LaSalle

Wells,

Street.

Co.,

135

Charles C.

Vice-President,

named

was

—

recently

President

of

Clyde

Porcelain Steel

Co., Clyde/ Ohio.
His early career was in teaching
and the book publishing field and
later

was

with

the

Illinois National

Continental

Bank

Chase

and

ration.

$2,820,000.

;

It
should be higher this year but at

best is not

likely to top $4 million

was

Lawrence Stern & Co. He has

ac¬

tively participated in various civic
activities.

Harry

,

B.

President

Heign,

of

the

also

■

Vice-

a

Company,

is

wellrknown in LaSalle Street fi¬
nancial

circles.

Mr.

Heign,

Mr.

Mullaney, and! Mr. Wells are all
directors of Minneapolis Knitting
Works.

Correction
In the "Financial Chronicle" of

March 18th it

was reported that
James R. Pave had become asso¬

ciated with Hannaford
519

California

cisco. Calif.

& Talbot,
Street, San Fran¬

This

was an

■:■

Bonds

error

as

Mr. James R. Page has not been in
the
investment
business
since

,1943.
John Raymond. Page has
joined the staff of Hannaford &
Talbot.

Guaranteed Stocks

-

:

Charles L. Cleveland Dead
Charles L. Cleveland, one of the
ment firm of

Granbery, Marache

& Lord, died at his home after

a

long illness at .the age of 59.;

%m
I M CO

6PAIAKTEEP IA1UOAD STQCKS-HONDS

28 Broad

Stroot
New York 4, N. Y.
Telephone BOwllng Green 9-6400
Teletype BY 1-1063
-




World

;

the

in
War I,

eac

railroads

U./ S.,
aver¬

produced
enough trans-

'

■

po r

tatiori

/service

Gustav Metzmaa

to

move

twice as

many

troops,

operate
than

7\

Two With A. G. Becker Co.
(Special

to The

CHICAGO,

Financial

; markets of

^;/7-///'

What Railroads Are Doing

.

more

twice

as

railroads

America's
aware

h/month, the

age,

1/1

in hand with the wages of

labor..

.-/z/;;

-

factorily, and in* sufficient quan¬
tity to meet the needs of a grow¬
ing nation and the expanding
the world,

■■

had

on/ the

%

'';/*■./

In very truth, the
ot labor mu?t go

of

are

fully

theig responsibilities in

solution

r-

The

meet

this/ production

of

Capital

Private

.

Needed

railroads will" be able to
these responsibilities only

Like the need for materials in the
automotive

industry,-

the

rail¬

roads have been unable to obtain

the

large

number

have ordered.

of

cots

they

And like thfe short¬

it is assured of payment for
services rendered.
/ The incentive
as

for

/ the

employment of private

capital
at

-

in the railroad industry
present is far from sufficient

miles, move more age Of automobile supplies, this to make such employment at¬
as much Army
scarcity of railroad cars makes it tractive. A return of only 3.3%
reight and express, twenty times increasingly difficult to meet all is certainly inadequate to encour¬
os mu6h Navy freight for overseas
the demands of those who wish age private capital toward work¬
destinations, and nearly double as to
buy
railroad transportation ing for the railroad.
In fact, it
se
many ton miles of freight of all
would not be sufficient to war¬
ryice.7//'://;^
kinds as they moved in the first
For example, during the last rant
working for any industry.

many passenger

than

five

times

war—and without serious conges¬

two years, over 1,000 new indus¬

tion!" • tfx

trial

Last year,

despite

a

critical car

the

plants

located along
York Cen¬

were

lines of the New

shortage, the railroads moved the
heavist volume of freight traffic

tral System.

in

freight traffic for our company
than was gained from new indus¬
tries in any other peacetime year.
In fact this new traffic is equiva¬
lent to adding a new major city
to our System.
We are glad to

their

peacetime history/

In

fact, they hauled enough freight
to average 12 ton miles of trans¬

portation service each day in the
year for every man, woman and
child in the United States.

The increased efficiency which
the railroads have been constant¬

ly attaining over the past/25 years
been an important factor Mn

La*

fact

that of all the railroads

in

the entire world with few minor

Those established in

1947 alone will produce more new

Pacific

taxpayers*' money.
/'T6day, > you of industry and
agriculture and we of the rail¬
roads once again are face to face
with the ' problem of production.
This
problem becomes all the

/Consequently, with the excep¬
tion of equipment purchases, rail¬
roads must depend primarily upon
the reinvestment of earnings for
the expansion of their plant and
facilities to meet the demands for

increased production.

earnings

Unless such
maintained at an

are

adequate level, the ability of the
railroads to" continue such
im¬
provements

and
expansion^
in
provide you with suf¬
the long list of older friends for ficient and dependable transpor¬

welcome these
whom

we

new

work,

industries to

order

to

tation

service,

be seriously
only /way r the;
demands for additional transpor¬ railroads can hope to enjov ade¬
tation service, the
railroads at quate earnings is to be allowed,
present have on order approxi¬ just as other industry is allowed,
mately 120,000 new freight cars to adjust the price of their ser¬
and since the resumption of pas¬ vices to the cost of producing it.
senger
car
building halted by Onlv in such a way can the rail¬
the war, they have ordered over roads pav private capital a living
4,000 new passenger-train cars. wage and thus provide the qual¬
Assurance has been given that ity and quantity of transportation
sufficient steel will be allotted for service wbich the public demands
the construction of
10,000 new and rightfully expects. freight cars each month. But such
Has Faith in Railroads
output must continue at this rate
I have faith in the ability of
for the next several years if the
railroads can ever hope to replace the railroads to continue as a
,

In order to meet all these

new

threatened.,

may

The

,

worn-out

vital,

constantly

panding

equipment, provide for
expanding traffic re¬
United States are virtually the quirements, and thus overcome
the present car shortage., Let me
only railroads
left which
are
assure you that the railroads are
privately owned and operated.
Practically all others are govern¬ making every effort to increase
their supply of equipment and
ment owned and. operated with

exceptions, the Canadian

in Canada and the railroads of the

Chronicle)

ILL. — Michael W.
John D.: Kipp are

fill

the demands of

road transportation.

all

for

rail¬

The railroads

part of our ex¬
I have faith
capacity to meet their
ever-increased responsibilities -as
in

pulsating

economy.

their

nation's

the

system.

intelligent
herent

basic

transportation

And T have faith in the

self-interest

fairness

w»nle to

see

of

the

and in¬
American

that they are per¬

equipment mitted to continue as a vigorous
ordered two and three years ago. part of our free enterprise system.
And almost every month that de¬ Onlv in such a way can the rail¬
liveries are delayed, the cost of roads hope to meet the production
of
a
growing nation.
this new equipment goes up and demands
more serious when we realize that
the expense to the railroads < is And only in such a way can they
since April 1840' the: jpbpulation
hope to maintain their strength
increased.
of the United States has increased
1 These and the soaring costs of as mighty defense lines against
an
estimated. 14 .million people,
fuel, materials and supplies, taxes any emergency. '■'/•V//./;" '/////
and is now growing at
a rate
and wages, all combined to
It is in that faith that we of the
give
Which is equivalent to adding al¬
the railroads, in 1947, despite rec¬ railroads face the future/Today;
most three, cities the size of Lans¬
ord traffic and efficiency, a return despite
production
records i all
ing to our population each month. of
only 3.3% on their net prop¬ along the line: despite the; high¬
Our growing nation, the pent-up
erty investment. Such return is est standard of living of any na¬
demands to satisfy wartime short¬
far from sufficient to attract new tion; despite the largest national
ages: at home; and the enlarged
capital
one of the parts es¬ income in our history; despite,all
markets abroad, all combine to
sential to the railroads' production these, there are still those vwho
create a production problem which
line of more and better transpor¬ face the future despondent ;and
calls for the same ingenuity, and
tation service.
fearful. They think they see storm
the same efficiency which enabled
clouds gathering on the economic
America to win the battle of pro¬ //This is not unlike an automobile
unless all parts horizon; they fear they - will hurst
duction in times of war.
Let lis assembly line
wide
flow at the proper time and in
open and drown them an, a
never forget that the inspiration
sufficient quantity, it is impos¬ deluge of economic disaster; they
to achieve a goal must at all times
fear
another
depression; a third
sible to produce the finished prod¬
be backed up/ with the sweat of
uct. The railroads, too, must have world war; an atomic bomb. None
each and everyone of us. Only by
all
their s parts—enough
freight of these do I discount; I am too
maintaining high production cap
much of a realist not to be aware
and
passenger traffic, sufficient
we
hope to maintain our high
are

still

waiting

,

level of wages and our high stand-

for

.

.

manpower, adequate rates, and
ample private capital—all flow¬
ing steadily, in order that the

of

the

our

obstacles

path.

that may lie in

But with faith in our

country, in ourselves, and in our
their only work, we can turn stumbling
& Co., Inc., 120 South La Salle
man at the Lions Club luncheon,
product—transportation • service— blocks into stepping stones of
Street. /
"
arid produce it efficiently, satisC.ansing, Mich., March 30, 1948.
(Continued on page 35)

Gerrard
now

and

connected with A. G. Becker

*From

an

address of Mr. Metz-

.

as
/they can /count j on this steady
In their efforts to meet flow of private capital. The pro¬
these obligations, they have un¬
ductivity of capital is no different /
dertaken the largest new equip¬
from the productivity of labor. j
ment program in their history. Private
capital will produce only

problem.

.,

founders of the New York invest¬

Special Securities

they

than

Corpo¬

with the Continental Illinois Na¬
tional Bank "and Trust Co. and

.

end of last year amounted to
less
than $5 million.
Net income in
1947 amounted to

■

Land

cars

and Trust

Securities

investment firm here in 1938

/ come

150,000 in 1950 and $1,675,000 in
1951,
It. working capital at the

productivity

He is President of Good¬

agreement with the govern¬
ment to pay off certain back
in-

-

and. one-third

:

*

%

';v',/■;
of living.

ard

fewer passen¬

achieving these results. Equally
significant has been the cooper¬
ation among the shippers, rail¬
will Industries of
Chicago and roads and government - agencies
Treasurer of the Evanston, Ill¬
which had its greatest expression
inois, Hospital Association. He is
during and since the last war. In¬
also a director of Wayne Pump
deed, this cooperative effort on
Co. and director and chairman of
the part of all affirms that the
Minneapolis Knitting Works.
American way of mass production
Paul L. Mullaney, President of
and mass consumption can best
Mullaney, Wells & Co., is a di¬ be linked
by mass .transportation
rector of the Trust Co. of Chicago
under private; management,
As
and before establishing his own
further testimonialto this is the
Co.

nn

taxes serially. These serial
principal payments amount to $1,450,000 each in 1948 and 1949, $2,-

cars

i of; the

thereon is close to $88 million/
Total debt senior to the adjust/

Changed lo
Mullaney, Wells & Co.

fewer«>

freight

:

.

Firm Name

fourth

ger

starting

'

,,

>/:;•,V>/'

parent when it is realized that the
total par or face value of the af¬
fected securities (the adjustment
bonds and preferred stock) is in
excess of $80 million and the total
interest
and
dividend
accruals

debt maturity
schedule
in 1948 and extending ments, including equipments, bank
loans and the serial tax payments,
over, the. next few years. Also, it
is generally conceded that fixed i? around $57 million. Capitaliza¬
charges are too high; This will tion junior to the preferred stock
probably be corrected in any re¬ is: represented by 808,966 shares
adjustment plan by putting at it no-bar value common stock. It
least a portion of junior interest
virtually impossible to see how
on
a contingent basis.
So far as any plan could be devised to take
the expanded scope of this new care of the combined claim of
legislation is concerned, Missouri - some $168 millions of the adjust¬
Kansas-Texas is expected to be ment bonds and preferred stock
and still leave anything at all for
the first to attempt any action.
\
Tress reports from St. Louis state the present common.
that Mr. R. J. Morfa, Chairman
of the road's Board of Directors,
raid last week that a recapital¬
ization plan for the road might be
heavy

In this second world conflict, agriculture, industry and the
railroads, working always
partners in progress, made production records which surpassed even the most optimistic
military logistics. With one-fourth fewer employes, one-third fewer locomotives, oneas

for the use of cash in trying

way

;

'

the two earlier el-<^

enact similar legislation.

The bill

was

railroads may produce

UrMiVVAbJlil
uMiWMW*M* M* Sc

X i>

>*

Volume 167 .Number: 4686

"For

using the highways, Americans

two -billion dollars
another

THE COMMERCIAL tb

eight

a

hundred million,

lecal taxes account for

while

By ARTHUR M. HILL*

.'

half, or.
billion, three hundrcd million dollars, and even in
a

1

a

,

total of four

the faee of this

staggering bill,

SUte legislatures in many States
are

automotive taxes to.

new

between

President

This

;

j
"

a

load which the
^ef automotive

>

%

m

\

is, of

Romney

George

tional

Kelvinator

-

g

owners

and

vehicles

t
a

^:/. t.;;- •> r ::
We hardiy need add that these are by no means

o

m

of
slavery
dic^a-

g

i

a

the

h

s

claim

demo¬

crat ic

and

Congress

t

s

<

of

and

human

.»

—

p,ot only the men

of the

women

which

«;

•

line-up

'

*

mean

source

we

a

state

country, from,

obtain

lead¬

our

ers,

acceptance in the belief of our citizens in GOd,
findings of the in our country and institutions,
President's Air Policy Commission, in the, dignity of the free
man,
of generosity and
and the almost identical
conclu¬
fellowship to¬

i p

n

-behalf

—''

I

sources

meet, its

scientists, professional people
on the part .of our nation is
typi¬ of all kinds,, our labor and, in
fied., by bi-partisan approval and wartime,. our .soldiers and
sailors
acceptance of the European Re¬ as well, but also that
dynamic
force that has made America—
covery Plan; similarly, in tne ac¬

way

r

it .and

The realization of Such

demo¬

under

re^

s

on

'—■—

'Jr.:':-..

..

stand'upito

challenge t
dignity? '' -

ins t

a

life;

users

1 are

i

n

1'

.

tb

eonv-

cratic

heavy

a

^Uired:t^earry;^^":;-^':^

'-"V

u

the

course,

<§>

—t

interna¬

Assistant to the

Nash

Corporation.

.

.

of

'

»two

ideologies.

Automobile Manufacturers Asso¬
now

•'

I am sure that we are living in an era of turmoil andi
uncertainty.
We are .not at
peace with, the world—actually or
by statute. It is generally described as a
"cold war,"
perhaps a better term would be a state of world revolution with the

high levels." — George Romney,
formerly
Managing
Director,
ciation and

,y

Industrialist) heading important national defense agency, stresses serious w6rld situation
and points out
measures now being taken to meet it.
Says our strength lies in our national resources and
lays down
as requirements for national
security: (1) a clear, just and honorable foreign policy;
(2) strengthened
armed forces; (3) Increased
stockpiles of strategic materials; (4) encouragement of
discovery of new
!
sources of
materials; and (5) mobilized spiritual resources of the
people. |
Vy
We will all agree,

considering proposals to in-

crease

;

(1433): m

Chairman, National Security Resources Board

;w

State and

final billion and

a

CHRONICLE

pay over

Federal excise taxes take

year.

FINANCIAL

.

r and

general

of

the

ward

other peoples. It is
sions of the Congressional Air
the spirit
being paid by American
free
way
of
of this great nation of
Policy Committee; ;
'"V
burs. When,
1
living.
V.-V;
' '
./' - 'K While I am in no sense of the the people of this land
are in¬
We could not, naturally, even if we
I feel that
would, in
word a political appointee^ but formed and understand the
Arthur M.
Hill
issues,
^
this space sp much as suggest in a general way what " i the remarks
rather a business man selected for they, may always.; be relied
upon
of that great
' 7V
1
/
;
a
.taxes' should be reduced and by what amounts to rlC'Si
job, in spite of my politics, I to pursue the right course, v I
worl d leader, Field Marshall Jan
"support whole-heartedly and im¬
It would be fatuous
Christian SmutSy recently along
for me| to
; ?create a sound tax system-or systems from the conw
plicitly the- President's recom¬ expand tod far on
industrial re¬
this line are so germane to, the
*•$?'> fusion and inequities now existing,.
mendations to Congress on March sources and
production before this
present occasion that I should like
! V'
What we can say is that the burden of taxation
^
17, wherein he outlined the world audience, in this ]

the only onerous taxes
citizens.- < .ji

,

now

:

«

v

,

•

to

he reduced

his

quote

words

they

as

great industrial
city. Our techniques of mass
pro¬
duction have made this
nation

ap¬

situation and urged the prompt
generally only if government ex- v
peared in -Time" Magazine:: :\,j
passage of the European Recovery
:Vs!.';r penditures are sharply .-lowered.
i; V';
"Something is happening in the Program, U h i;v e rs a 1 Military
J
Mere is the spot at which attacks should be first ?
world today which7 is going to
Training and the re-enactment of
v^' of all directed—that is at
shake our civilization to its very Selective Service. In
public profligacy—and it
'
my opinion,
foundations.
'
What
is
called
the
is here that the least effective effort is ordinarily
he was fearless, forthright and
new 'democracy', is making its ap¬
siftcere in his appraisal of the
f;;;made.J':■
Ti.■ 2'.;'C'.'''' pearance today—it has come to situation
can

>

.

Gives six
Dr.

why proposals

reasons

;

lization

Max

Winkler, cf Bernard, Winkler & Co., members of the
New York Stock Exchange, has issued a statement, as of March 25,
-summarizing his reasons for opposing the recent offer of the Govern¬
ment of Chile to redeem its outstanding dollar bonds for a new issue.
These

^

reasons

.are:':''""-

V"

ment

in pay¬
is
ap¬

cause," of

One

securities

tax

feature

as

ex¬

be

Max

Dr.

Winkler

because of the
-

>.i

•

the debt through amortization and
because of the probable increase
the

income

from

and

copper

nitrate has been eliminated.,
•

[

-

K

(3) Chile's debt to

the Amor¬
tization Bureau, i.e., to bondhold¬

amounting to about $24 mil¬

ers,

lion is

cancelled.;-•

;'yf'c \;■</

(4) Of the first payment to be

received,

bondholders

will

asked

to

contribute

total

about

$165,000

waS

of

Agency
debt plan.

new

plan provides for
for > bonds whereas

under the old

from

be

-

new

security

no

a

the

to

which effected the

-(5) The

plan, Chile's income

copper, nitrate and: iodine
specifically earmarked for

that purpose.

*

jif

"•-(6) Under the new plan, sink¬
ing fund payments for the period
1946-53
are. fixed
at $2,531,000

annually, compared with

an aver¬

annual sinking fund of $4,372,150 for the oeriod 1938-1947
under the old plan..
^7v\T

age

„

:

-mrnmm——

.

JP.

JERSEY CITY, N. J.
Schroll

has

the

the

has

from

the

ad¬

New

fallen

ship and

heir- to

world

leader¬

cannot avoid

we

sponsibilities with honor

our

or

re¬

safety.

world

While much has been said with

entirely different place.
we going to play our part in
Are we going to submit and

to
our
diplomatic and
military problems, the plain un¬

years

be

now

an

down to

it,

or are

we

respect

varnished

going

fact

remains

that

our

strength in the world stems from
resources—all

the

of

them.

For

discussion

and

"An address by Mr. Hill at the
Annual Meeting of the Pittsburgh

simplicity,"I have listed them

Post

human

the

of

American

Association,

Ordnance

and

Pittsburgh, Pa.,

March 25. 1948.

and

natural

By

-

of

purpose

as

spiritual,industrial
resources.

human

and

,,

I

General Eisenhower said re¬
cently that oil D-Day plus four
he flew over the English Channel
I actually
damaged
or
an

ooened

—

Howard

20 Van Housten Avenue to engage
in the securities business under
the firm name of Schroll & Co. He
w£s

formerly ' assopiated
with
Peter Morgan & Co. in New York
City in the sales department.. -




Schafer, third gen¬
family in the securi¬

*announcement

is

not an

offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer
The offering is made only by the Prospectus.

~

;

-

,

founded

in

1860.

\

Partners

pride at the ability of his country
so back
up its military forces.

to

When

..

we

come

to

our

picture is not quite
so
comforting.
We Jiave
been
prodigal with our natural re¬
for

sources

world,

>.

the

both

in

While nature

benefit
peace

to

,

.

.

departments

Co.,
ner

Co.

for

E.

I.

duPont

this

it was never
(Continued on page 27)*

in-

ours,

.

"

,

'

-

-V

&

Merrill Lynch,
& Beane and

Pierce, FenKalb, Voorhis &

.

First. Mortgage Bonds, 3% Series due 1978

'

,

%■

The

principals

are former part¬
Kalb, Voorhis & Co. The
Unlisted Trading Department of
Schafer, Miller & Co. will be un¬
ners

7. :A;; ;'/Xe

r

'

'

'

of

Dated
4

'V

--.'w r,.

April 1, 1948

Due

Price

der the direction of Mr. A.

King¬
Ghegan and Mr. Herbert E.
Greene, formerly of Kalb, Voorhis

April 1, 1978

IOO.99%)and accrued interest

ston

& Co.
The

Schafer

has

name

been

The

prominent in the nation's finan¬
cial

circles for

almost

century.

a

'■J

-

Prospectus

:

,

}

may

be obtained in

any

Stale in which this announcement is circulated from only such
as may lawfully offer these securities in such Slate.
7 7.

of the undersigned and other dealers

Edward

Schafer, brother of Oscar
Schafer, is a member of the Stock
Exchange as are, their cousins,
Myron Schafer, one of the few
half-century members of the Ex¬
change; Myron L.... Schafer and
.

,

Charles E. Schafer.

HALSEY, STUART A CO. Inc.
Y-.

A

G. BECKER &. CO.
..

-

r

-incorporated

'

HAYDEN, STONE & CO.

.7,^

C

EQUITABLE SECURITIES CORPORATION

OTIS &

SCHOELLKOPF, HUTTON A POMEROY, INC7

i

CO.
•

'

K "n

i

'•

;
f

\

^

to; individual,

investment

dealer

with

and

DICK A MERLE-SMITH

PHELPS, FENN A CO.
BLAIR & CO.,

HORNBLOWER & WEEKS

'

,

dents in

out the

WILLIAM

BLAIR A COMPANY

principal cities through¬

country.

Formation '
was

correspon¬

S

r *

•

-

i

WM. E. POLLOCK & CO.,

INC.

-

>"

«
y

; -

*'

'

l' 'STROUD

*

previously

the

reported

"Chionicle" of March

firm

new

18.

in
.

the
.,

'7

April-.1.194?

'

r"

^

incorporated

,

GRAHAM, PARSONS & CO.

I A
-

uphnv
& COMPANY

incorporated

of

INC.

GREGORY A SON
■

accounts

,

the
war.

richly endowed

of

buy these securities.
.

of

and

,000,000
.

natural

resources, the

will

Miller, John R.
Meaney,? Exchange member, and
Gerald B. Nielsen, recognized ex¬
pert in the foreign trading invest¬
ment field, who organized
foreign

^hips

; his
supplies

ties business, was for many years
a partner in Schafer Bros.—a firm
include Benjamin

;

to carry on, and he
marveled with

re¬

brokerage and research facilities

offices I at

300

^

Schafer, Miller & Co. will offer

[

counted

sunken, f Yet
armies still had adequate

land

spiritual

(incorporated)

I

1

Schroll & Co. Formed
;

15

eration of his

received

in

of

i

our

in the

Oscar Straus

pay¬

of

Fifty

bow

Miller & Co.,

firm

know it and cherish

through the
greatest crisis in human history.

it?

returning to
with

roster

afford the risk of not being able
militarily to support our diplo¬
matic commitments.' This nation

passing

are

as

should follow. <circumstances can we

no

Exchange, with offices
Broad Street, New York 5,

N. Y.

would

retirement,

business is

member

a

at

tation that
ments

"We

Under

we

York Stock

isting plan.
:j <2)
Expec¬
•larger

names

mission of Schafer,

d is t ributhons
under the

the oldest

the financial

of

,

of

as we

is,inevitable.

Are

Opens in New York

parent rather
•than real be¬

it

may

Schafer, Miller & Go.

(1) The in¬
crease

to the" course

things which in ancient days
we used to call slavery.
If a halt
is not called, then the end of civi¬

not fair to bondholders.

are

state

of

Winkler Opposes Chilean Debl Plan
V ;

a

in

They have given us the
highest standard of living in the
world during
peace, and, as Gen¬
eral
Knudsen said
during the
war, "It deluged the enemy with
production!"

,

and in his conclusions

Czechoslovakia—but it is

ia, peace and invincible

great
war. ,*

wrrnrN
je.
rr.
WEEDEN
&
CO.,

INC.

COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

THE

(1434)

18

Willi Mullaney,

Thursday, April T, 1948

Well* Co.

(Special to Th* Pinanciu. Chronicle)

ILL. —Roland. C.
Roos and David W, Shirley are
with Mullaney, Wells & Co;, 135

CHICAGO,

South La Salle Street.

•

-

By PAUL EIN2IG

By Henry hunt

Turkeys' and Trading Profits

V'/ j.

•;•>

"As;we recall if, Arthur Brisbane was the first to tell this story
and it's a good one; A friend of Brisbane's was1 boasting about his
in-and-out trading profits oft the Stock Exchange. Brisbane replied
that he too had indulged in this so called sport but that his .experi¬
the

NATIONAL

SECURITIES

"It

don't

I

you

CORPORATION

RESEARCH

1

with

a

tran

door

'

nut

You

^^•4^ FliN'D^^m

,

prospectus from
your

Investment dialer

first experience at trapping tur¬
keys somewhat as follows:
■

0-

H0$

PHILADELPHIA

2, PA.

"Shortly

sunrise
the bushes,
my nerves tensed at the sound of
turkey hens 'clucking' and turkey
cocks 'gobbling.' In a minute, I
could see them approaching, peck¬
ing away at the trail of corn. If
was a large flock, nearly twenty
the dew

birds.

a

was

It

f t

e r

still

to

use

to

half

a

the

to build up

third and

a

or

surplus

thus created
reserves; to modernize

hours

but

was

With

net

assets

$7;000,000 in

six weeks

sult of sales of
Aftbett's

new

Affiliated

as

a

re¬

has

000, all borrowed at 2%. Includ¬
ing the bank loan, total assets
now

exceed

$48,000,000,

'number

one

countries such as Britain

emergency'

WAU

STREET,

NEW YORK 5, N Y.

couft-

or

Bel¬

should

gium. ?",:v
'}??
*
directed / To overcome the deadlock.
was proposed in September that
car-building
all
Western European countries

mediate l.y

be

m

should Z make

their v purrenciefreely convertible into each other
This plan was accepted without

^

Inc.,

,

:

:

the Netherlands and J/-yembourg, while Britain and-other
couhtries adhered to it to a lim¬
ited extent;
In practice, the re¬

gium,

sult produced so
I

far has been dis¬

ters.

It

provides for the

lishment of

Dollar

new plan was
Belgian quar¬

a

from
a

estab¬

Western European

Pool) for which-fhe dollar

reserve

would

be

provided un^e^
There is also

the Marshall Plan.

question of creating

some

in¬

an

ternational unit of account for Use
in

trade between

Euro¬

Western

.

-

'

'A'

•

;y

V "

Juno's
Certificates of

Participation in.

INVESTMENT' FUNDS
investing tlieir capital

*,

IN

;

'

Have

you' eVe^ felt* like the"
Chinese philosopher, My Tee Lo?
On the Rocks

A-

•

"These

Things Seemed .Impor¬
tant," published by Selected' Ittvestment Company, quotes from

BONUS

PREFERRED STOCKS
(Series K1-K2)

-

Y

•

New England

COMMON STOCKS
,r.

Prospectus from

Keystone Company
of Boston50

Congress Street

Boston 9,

Massachusetts




ner

Hicks &

in

Price, 231 South

La Salle

Street, members of the
New
York
and
Chicago; ■ Stock
Exchanges,
on April
8. ; - Mri
Stewart was formerly a member
of the Chicago Exchange afndt in
the past was a partner in Hicks
& Price.■;'' ^
^;

ORGANIZED 1931

i

X Albert William^ To Be:/
Nugent & Igoe Partner'
|

investment dealer or
•:

Tke

CHICAGO, ILL.—John C. Stew¬
will acquire the New > York
Stock -Exchange membership of
George Brown and become af part¬

.

1(Series S1-S2-S5-S4)

your local

problem

Partner in Hicks & Price
art

(Series Bl-B2-ft3-B4)

;

oin.

A

itals

would

*'

.

.

General Distributor

.

>'.

Coffin & Burr
Founded 1898

r

:G'

1BOSTON
NEW YORK

HARTFORD

-

PORTLAND

- -

EAST ORANGE, N. Y.—J. Al¬
bert Williamsl will on April 15 be
,

:

'.Incorporated '■ •/ '•,

f■

BANGOR

Britain

admitted to partnership in Nugent
& Igoe, 592 Ma\in Street, members
of the NeV^ York Stock Exchange.

Mr, Williams haVbeeri' aft officer
of

J. Albert'

many years.

Willmqis & Co. for

w

there

are:

ences.

difficuTtv

•

considerable,

v»cit to continental cap¬
make them realize

sterling

is

considered
of

trustworthy

Continental

the

of

their

tary diseases.

respective

are; aware

which

to

/

rteidlv

-

stabriized.

the

franc

i-

fluctuating .in the free markf%
Prices and wages are risinv in
both > countries, but more rapidly
in France than in * Brtam.
If
would be idle to try to jink West¬
ern European currencies with each
.other unless' and until; inflation
has* beeri checked or at any rate
uritiP iVhas' been brought'under a
more or less uniform control,
f

Over, and above all,

.these

balances
lead
to
unreauited exporisland Increase
;

British

Britainls

on

Government

balance -of

be

there ia the

pensive popularity abroad bv satisfying . the needs oi all and sundry

there

establishing

a

he

question of
Western European
r)0

Monetary Union,
.Another

that

,'

-

difficult

the

of

-

-

devalution

overseas.

such

ing

,

European

external

debt)

heavily and

country with
It is

is

of

weigh¬

unilaterally

on

// /

the

It is urged

from American:;$ide) and there is
to believe, notwithstanding
official denials, that it has been

/

reason

discussed

between

Governments
There

mainlv

have

may

ordinatod

the

be

concerned,

the

far

co-

.

several

their

spectiye overvaluation
As

a

of

correct

valuation.

.

concerned.

•

to

devaluation

currencies, to

..

European

;•

re-

,

under¬
stealing, is
or

as

British

Govern¬

ment refuses to consider the idea.
The French and Belgian Govern¬
ments, however, are keen on a
devaluation of sterling, mrtly for

considerations

of

/

prestigg /and

partly in order to be able to buy
cheaper
There

the

from

is

however,

Sterling
to

reason

no

that

a.

\

Area.

believe,

devaluation

of

sterling would be ins*steel upon *,
a
preliminary condition, of a
Western Eur op ea n Monetary
as

,

Union.
The

situation

solution;

calls

While

far u"rgent

co-ordination

production aftd customs union

long-term remedies,

a

of
are

/ /:

solv*fari of

Possibly

^

would help matters, as it would
ease the foreign exchange posi¬
tion

of

that

extent

Western
it

governments
the

Europe,

would

action

bring

to

•

to
the

take!

to

concerned

.necessary

and

enable

>heir monetary trends more, or less
fa conformity with those of .other

participating countries.

.

;

' i
•i

-

i

With Ma rshall Combany
rd-fl-ioj, *0

-

CT^*hic!V)

M'TLWAUKEg, WIS.—Mrs.
M;

Sholf ^

•

and - Monnie

Water

Company,

Street.

Both

'

Elholm

762
were

The^

North
for¬

merly with the Sholts Investment
Go., which has been dissolved fol¬

lowing the death of Bud Sholts.
9'

■

V;

•

■

!

Vera

Marshall

;Wqstern

\

.

nrobl^m

floating debt represented by the
held
opiv

-

,

can

have become associated with

sterling balances
Britain is
the

"

per-

obstacle of Britain's lar°e external
wartime

the

u"til

can

suaded to face its resoons'bility in
this respect instead of seeking ex-

the adoption of the Marshall/Plan

/ For instance, while sterling '>

///;

least

tha+

mone¬

.

currencies.

experts

extent

sterling

the

all

differ¬

is

both of degree and of kind

between

V

in-

the monetary problem would
pro-*
duce immediate results.

-relatively

be

ould'

simple/ ' The.

is

,

the.

that the opposite is the c^se. and
that so long as the present burden :
cf
the
sterling
bal»nc«^
exist,

.

:

which

European currencies.

appointing.
More recently
put forward

make-

imagining that the

with

.

reservation by France. Italy, Bel-

I

and

ustodian

of

payments.- Unless; and

steel

Gov-

Treasury of-

pressure

.

as of March 11, 1948,j were
pean" cOUntrie's.' The currencies o'
$108,280,555 with shares currently the
participating countries would
Just then I was startled by the owned by more than 58,000 share¬
have to be related to th'S unit,
<
'
sound of a gun shot not far be¬ holders.
t Obviously,
the
solution does
hind me. I ,looked around involun¬
National Investors Corporation not
depend /entirely, \ or
ever
tarily -and saw nothing. But the added two new portfolio issues mainly, on the discovery of so™'
turkeys had heard that shot too. during the month of February,
ingenious formula; Its successful
When I looked back, my hutch Corn Products .and Gulf Oil.
■
/
adoption would not be possible
was empty and
remained so for:
Hugh
Long points out/that unless and until some degree o'
.the rest .of the d#y.. J
an equal ift vestment in Manhattan
harmonv has been achieved be¬
"The moral of this tale is,ob¬ Boiid Fund,
Diversified Invest¬ tween the monetarv policies an'*
vious;- when trapping turkeys or- ment Fund, and Fundamental In¬ trends prfivaftinj? in the countrier
trading in the stock market, it vestor& affords a current return concerped.
To that end each of
takes a good man to know when of 5% and provides 12
monthly these countries would have jto put
to pull the string."—Quoted from dividend checks a
their
monetary house in order. If
year.
National Views written by Henry
they all suffered from the - samd
Ward Abbot.
monetary disease • and aPProvi John C. Stewart To Be! ^
fnately to the r same extent! the
Morning, After /
/>

the' open door.
One: walked- in
another Was close behind.

British

world

a

endugh

,

■18

in

is its shortage of freight cars and

to
probably only a few minutes, be¬
fore the first one, a large gobbler, plants to build 300,000 cars in the
least possible time, Col. J. Monrbe
walked into the,hutch. My finger
Johnson, director.of the Qffi^e of
twitched but my
jud&ipent told
Defense
Transportation^ . said
me, not yet, there are pl^ftty iriore
here.
•
4 f 1
»
v
getting closer. A minute later, an¬
other bird walked in. Then an¬
"Rapid building of freight cars
other, and another. 'This is tlie is no less important for peace
life,' said I, as three more joined; than it is for war, Col. Johnson
'Whether or not there's a
their mates in the hutch, making^ said.
seven in all.
Just then, however, World War III,, if something isn't
two walked out and then two done for the railroads, with pro¬
duction at its present level, we're
more. 'What a sap I am,' said I to
myself, 'I should have pulled the going to have a difficult time for
We could
string: when I had seven turkeys.' an indefinite period.
But no, I was wrong—they started build 10,000 cars a month forever,
and
still
not
solve
the
immediate
going, back into the hutch, first
one, theft a pair arid arid another* problem/, he said."
%
pair. Eight birds were in the
hutch! 'I'll make it an even ten,'
Net assets of Investors Mutual,
said I as three more approached

T i 0

European

.

t

N C 0 s (• O « A

Western

'

nation's

the

and
funding, makes for
prestige to sterling and to Brh>

any

tween

by

sys¬

down
Dr. Paul Einzlf

urgent *

| tries.

/

re¬

a

stead of insisting on their scaling ,1

More

For instance, France had to
cuftail' drastically her imports of
*, Distributors Group in
a recent
much-needed goods, not only from
bulletin quotes from "The Wall
Street Journal" as follows:;: "The the dollar area, but even f rr*r-:
Freight Car Shortage

are

burden

shouldering the burden of
wartime
sterling : balances,

threatening to strangle trade be¬

j

live

heroics

of these problems is,
however, the problem of breaking
the'
monetary - deadlock that is

creased its bank loan to $11,000,-

of

'

believe when

the

Customs

than

this

predominant part, v'■

a

fic'als

important and

in¬

countries

share

ernjnent and; British

remote

.more

to

/ Members

con¬

Union.

Lord,

shares

Fund

a

than

more

play

possibilities of

/•-''■•■/I

'*•

up

also

The governments of West-

tem in wh'ch sterling is bound to

p

sidering

of weak¬

source

linking their currencies to

e.titicn
against
each
other.'
They

are

a

European

luctant

other's

.

and to reduce

,

1

ern

more

'

i

HUGH W. LONG & CO.

ness.

better posi¬
tion
to meet

com

on

seemed

order to be in

requirements

fafies Down

_____

sterling and is

each

industry, develop economic inte¬
gration in Western Europe and
undertake now the program of
hard' living arid hard working in
which in the long run salvation
alone', will lie.7,

Another $1 Million

still roosting in tall trees. A friend
of Mr. Brisbane's described his

A MUTUAL

reduced

:

"The turkey trapper gets up be¬
fore day light and settles down in
his 'blind' while the turkeys are

established J 928

<*•——.—.—

.

production, in
a

Affiliated

A Sport for Early, Birds

of

systems

course would be for Britain to
Pursue now the policy it would

turkey

a

plenty of corn inside the hutch
and a liberal sprinkling of corn
leading up to the hutch. Then you
hide yourself in a bush 'blind'
with a1 long string in your hand
attached to the trap door, the idea
being to pull the string when you
get enough turkeys inside the
hutch;. Only sissies settle for less
than a pair of birds.
;0p00\

J
WELLINGTON^m

W

| lows: "Britain faces bankruptcy.
seems that in Georgia you
The only proper, the only longuse guns on wild,turkeys— sighted,
the only courageous
You build

Calls solnhon- urgent

LONDON, ENGLAND.—The experts of the 16 European nations
concerned in the Marshall Plan are at the time of
writing busily en¬
gaged in discussing problems of the economic integration of Western
Europe. They are examining the possibilities of co-ordinatin^ theJr

Economist" as fol-

trapper- tha,."London

turkey

backwoods of Georgia.

trap'em.

hutch

m MOADWAY, NEW YORK 5. N. V.

wild

novice

in the

ftteptdir Mpbn request from
four mrestment dealer, or from

first to put its- monetary house in order.

r

similar to that of3>-

had been

ence

/V"'.-/

Asserting results produced thus far by 16 Western European na¬
tions toward establishing a freely convertible
currency have been
disappointing, Dr. Einzig points to need of harmony between mone¬
tary policies prevailing in nations concerned, thus requiring each v

'

•

Tfffi COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

Number 4686

Volume 167-

(1435)19

HUM

Ml Trade

-

-

'

,

Organization Sets Up Charier

the United States

Representatives of more than SO nations at Havana approve docu¬
ment providing a code for world trade. Would restrict and control
international cartels, prevent government-operated enterprises from
exercising special privileges, bring about eventual redaction of
tariffsr import quotas, import and export controls and bilateral
preferences* ^Commerce Secretary Harrimau lauds' CbarfeV jip '
healthy instrument for expanding world'trade by reducing cofi7
trals to minimum.

,

*

...

budget is geared not only to nation's place in world today/ but also in
worW of tomorrow. Points out effects of war and efforts to prevent future, war account for
79% oi
total budget, and current budget mitst cover tbree t road areas of: (1) our international
responsibility ;
i?) our national defense, and (3) lour domestic programs*: Estimates ERF cost as $4 billion in 1949
and $S billions following year, and says it represents only mittufe fraction of national Incomearid
wiH save future national defense costs. Holds Administration's policy has been - to curb domestic
?
outlays, wherever possible.
y

many months of deliberation4, representatives of over 50
meeting at Havana; Cuba, finally approved, on March' 23, a

Charter

for

Nations.

an

International

Trade

Organization under the United

The Charter consists of nine chapters and 106
covers matters
of

policy'

well

i

gan

or¬

z a

t ion.

Before
i

m

t i

strictions

plementao

n,

|
;

currenciesV that

spent in other countries.

Trade

70 rg anizatioh
(ITO) made a
division of the

^he

>

;

?

"A further ob jective of the Char?

.

Interna-

^can

ter

i

is

»t6; make

nations

to

work

-

;
•

agreements

It"

partisan

—at

W.

tionS

past, countries producing and sell¬

siderations.

Concerning the significance of ing such basic commodities have
the
ITO
Charter, Secretary of suffered when world prices; de¬
of Commerce W. Averell Harri- clined. Low
prices led to declines
man issued on March
24, the fol¬ in production; and the resulting
lowing statement:
*
'
scarcity in turn produced

Under these

Avwwl H»rr(m»ii

prices,

v

In

the

dairies E. Webb

I

world

prosperous

code—a

Charter

an

of
of

Trade. Organization under
the United Nations—will
provide
the nations of the world with a
of

arriving at agreements
to the way: they do business

as

with
is

another.

one

In

a

world that

troubled

by serious disagree¬
ments and by the j ealous guarding
of national rights and powers, it

.

C'&lHt is

highly encouraging

representatives

.

of

so

that

the

many

na-

.

Charter

which

is

aimed

specifi¬
of the
shackles that have restricted in¬
ternational trade. All through the

cally

w,

duction

and;-

prices

stable. ?fv;7; 77:77:7,/ 777

last

at

removing

half

some

century and

especially

of

Government'?

flected

"No one expects that all - of
these objectives Pari be realized
as soon as the Charter is ratified

'

in

in laying; the op¬

process

j The

President

plans

for

the Chief Ex¬

particularly,

ecutive mast bear full responsi¬
bility for what is excluded as well

meet

programs

are

molded

in

the

what

for

as

interna¬

I As

re¬

as

is

included

in

the

Y';....

..

ale

citizons

to

permit an immediate

rec¬

affairs,

own

free

and

the

irj

a

recommendation

for; that

I.should like for

through'the

affairs

of

7y; y■

77:''

problem is

one pf estimating
great¬
possible accuracy and apply¬
ing to them the requirements of

est

the law., 7
of

7

7

In addition, throughout the rest
the budget there are : many

large, continuing programs which

k

a

few

moments to try to describe some
of the basic considerations.;.

Idordlrtheir

the amounts 16 be spent.;

over

',

..

of our position in the world,
yy 7 First of all, the Government of
the United States is a going con¬
by the participating: governments. 7'■
The. United States in the world
cern.
It- operates on-the ? basis of
The world has not recovered suf¬
today is a mighty nation. More
d / large and ■ complex body. oT
ficiently
from
the
destruction
important; it is a hatloir whose
laWs which have 'been developed
and economic dislocation of the
war

The

future work loads with .'.the'

you

amount?

light

trol

would be difficult to change o»
short notice.
For example, large
well know, the budget
public works projects are not sus¬
proposed for 1949 is nearly $40
billion!. You might well ask, how ceptible to rapid contraction with¬
out serious i economic waste,
la ¬
did it get that way?
What, is the the field of national defense, such
derivation of that figure?
What
aircraft procureare
the decisions which result programs * as

budget.

Budget, For. the
this budget has been

1949
shaped- attd

As

overcome.

j

the

year

he

c'onditi oris

and. domestic problemshave the utmost significance;. They
vitally affect our existence as a
strong and free nation.

reasonably

as

erating and1 financial
your enterprises.

government-

our

to

a;similar

con¬

tional

7y77/777

years.

These laws

are

the result of- the

mbnt,

.ship
construction
and
others; cannot be rapidly adjusted
within any one year.
.

a

* ;

These continuing programs have:

basic, momentum which

is re¬

the

flected

in

policy.

The responsibility: of the

budget year4 after
year.
They are hot sensitive tt>
the pressures of an annual budgetPresident is largely to insure that
the specific requirements of laws

expressed needs
enacted by Congress are carried
7 J ■
':;
:
out with efficiency and economy.
i The budget is an essential in¬
The President is, in the fullest
Substantial budgetary reductionsstrument in this ability of each
sense, the servant of the law* fie in ; most .of
citizen'to review and control the
the; areas of heavy
is; in duty bound to execute faith¬ fixed commitments can
affairs of his government.
only come
The
fully the provisions and - require¬ from
congressional action in re¬
countries to retain some of their budget document makes available ments of the law of the land as
vising the basic law,
to' him a complete and detailed
restrictions on trade if the restric¬
enacted by Congress; The signifi¬
tions are needed to cope with spe¬ plan for all government activity. cance. of this fact is clearly re¬
Budget in Light Of World Realities
And most important: no single
cial difficulties. ;777
vealed in the 1949 budget.
;v\
Bui the' true significance of tl>e
part of this plan can be carried
For example, rhore than $9.3 1949 budget does not lie in com¬
y "The Charter is important be¬
out without the approval of the
cause it represents a voluntary ef¬
billion is required to meet costs parisons of non-controllable and
elected
representatives
in
the
fort of the world's great trading
of pensions, tax refunds and in¬ cohtrbllable items. It lies; in the
Congress. They are free-to reject,
nation s to resist the strong ten¬
to modify, or to add to this plan. terest on the public, debt.
These fact that where judgment was ex¬
dency all over the world for each Every dollar mast be voted by the
ercised*, it Twas made with full
are fixed and inescapable obligatum to the

relatively: free condi¬
trading that
existed forty or fifty year's ago.
The Charter itself recognizes these
"Out of the long discussions at facts.
It contains escape clauses
Geneva and Havana has come a
that
permit
the
participating

tions have agreed on a Charter
they will recommend to
their governments for ratification.
which

t

programs

Director

business leaders, you go through

these commodities.- By means
Tonight, I should like sto talk
inter-governmental agreements, about the Subject I know best—the
much can be done to keep pro¬ Budget of the United States/ The,

This

Interna¬

tional

means

its

,

trade.

for

the

7
actions

Budget

the President

the obstacles to be

transcends

United Na-

reasonable

i The

With

steadfast will.

materials—wheat for example

"Representatives of more than prices for the buying nations. Pro¬
77,;'
fifty nations have agreed upon a ducing and consuming countries
alike suffered from sharp- fluctu¬
code to guide them in
working
together to build a freer and more ations in the prices and supplies

.

our

and

■■v7

-

''W'-s

largely
Works determined by the number of per¬
forniiu- sons eligible under provisions of
our ideal? relates, his operating "plans,N con¬ existing law. In all these caseBr
quires careful
siders the goals to be reached and the President has little or no con¬

defense of

judgment and

for buying and Selling certain
kinds of agricultural' products and
raw

amounts spent by the states large¬
;
The Preparation of Budget
! The preparation of the annual ly determine the Federal obliga¬
our
national
1
'j.,",'"
bhdget symbolizes the responsi¬ tion.
life.' Surely,
Veteratis readjustmeht benefits
bility of the President to- plan fo^
we can a ll tfie common defense and the gen- add* another $2.6 billion to the
agree that the
efal welfare.
budget. This amount is

nd

a

\ nation

it 7 possi ble' for'
out

Of "Our

nance

liberties

kinds' of

concerned, and
tional

r

controls on the amounts of certain

by

—-

mainte-^——

the

as

must

be ratified

the

for the second

prefacing my speech tonight with & rcferienge to the recent events in
I refer, of course, to the destruction of the Czechoslovakia!! Republic
time in 10 years.
These developments causi us to think constantly of

among • some groups of countries
to One another's products, and the

the nations

,

Europe.

the

Charter

v

Central

tariffs, import quotas,
import and export controls, the
preferred
treatment
extended

final

t;
-

I cannot avoid

articles, and

the eventual reduction of such re¬

as

as

„,.

„

Director Webb contends 1940

.Alter1
nations

:;
E. •tyfeBfc*
Director, Bureau of the Budget

¥

tions of international

their government.

-

of bur people.
-

•

during the past decade

,77

have

we

seen a

rapid' growth of trade con¬
Many of them,
oUr own export and im¬
port controls, were imposed dur¬
ing the war to conserve scarce
trols of all kinds.

such

as

materials

and

to

make

sure

the

limited supplies went to the right
places.
But world trade has been

hampered for several decades by
many other restrictions that have
been making it more and more
t difficult for nations to- get what
they need from other nations and

y/.v;V

to sell

their

goods freely in the

markets of the world.
.

;:

Prosperity

''

*

.

for certain kinds of manufactured

,

,

tions

to

to

set

up special regula¬
with its own trade
Carried far enough,

£<?ods
giant

being controlled by
combinations
of
manu-

Were

factoring concerns. They agreed
7/77 npt to compete with one an¬
;

other

in

certain

countries.

And

they agreed as' to the prices
they would charge in their carer
fully staked out markets. The re¬
sult was a loss of healthy compe¬
tition in international trade. One
of the aims* of the Charter is to
restrict and control the
of

operations

Congress before it

can

be spent

problems.
this trend would result in anarchy,
with each nation having its own

Grants
*An address

by Director Webb

before the Economic Club of New;

way

York, New York City, March 4,

no

1948.

of doing business, and with
generally recognized rules of
trade among • nations.
7
"We
lieve

in

the

United

States

all nations and will lead to
the

programs

amount to an additional

$2.3 billion, -1 finder the laws es¬
tablishing

these

programs'

the

of the realities of tho

world situation.
The

1949

to

budget is geared not

the United States

(Continued

on page

in the

36)

be¬

a-

-

-

'

This announcement is not

7 "
•

'

-

-

offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy these securities*
offering is made only by the Prospectus.
...

an

The

v

,

$4,500,000

bet¬

life

for our own people and
people of the world." J

The California

The

following is the off'
summary of the ITO* Charter,
isiied from Havana, by the De¬
partment of Public Information
of the United Nations:
y 1
¥
:

awareness

states for long-term

to

in

competition: We believe
in reducing controls on business
to a minimum. We have taken

ter

tibns established by law.. .?7

cope

only be promoted by the freest
interchahge : of- goods between the lead in encouraging the estab¬
lishment of an International Trade
nations.
"
"As early as the first two "dec- Organization because we believe
it is to the ultimate advantage of
ades of this century the markets

can
-

nation

Oregon Power Company
1,

CHAPTER 1
^

Purposes ahdf Objectives

7

interest

'

The

fii'st

Chapter'

(Article! 1)

states in5 broad terms the purpose

these- international

trusts; or and objectives of the Charter ahd
The: purpose is -de¬
r •*; 'LV ;7 of the- ITO.
fined by reference to Article 55
,77"Another aim of the Charter is
to make sure that government- of the Charter of the United Nar
tions.' The objectives are listed
operated * trading enterprises are
npt given special privileges, that as:
work to the disadvantage of pri¬
(a) To assure a large and stead¬
vate business.
They are to be ily growing volume of real in¬
Subject to the same regulations come and effective demand; to
hud to the same trading Condi¬ increase' the
production,
con¬
cartels..

tions

as

traders..

/;7/

■.

'•7 '; 7,;:>7,-;

those that govern private
-

•

"The Charter provides also for




sumption and exchange of goods,
and so to' contribute to a bal-

(Continued onr pagP 34>' ^

'

J

'

.7

The Prospectus may
;

";v

be obtained in

any:State iff rvhictthis announcement is circulaled only from the
as

may

lawfully offer these-securities in such State.

HALSEY, STUART & CO. Inc.
.,n:

April 1,1948.

'17 *

20

(1436)

THE COMMERCIAL

&

FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE

Thursday, April 1, 1943

What Should Be Done About Russia

'

"

By H. MURRAY - JACOB Y *

Formerly U. S. Ambassador-at-Large
By WILLIAM J. McKAY
Since

the

made slow

introduction

of

the

austerity

but nevertheless -definite

Former
Canada

measures

following her efforts

progress

only

the imbalance of trade with this
country. The Dominion's
reserve of gold and U. S. dollars
mounted at the end of February to a
total of $527 millions from the3>
—
December low level of $461 mil¬
to correct

templated

lions.

This

^improvement,

more¬

is not the result of

over,

negative
cf U. S.

of

measures

merely

restriction

imports but is also
of expanded U.

sequence

a

con¬

S. dol¬

lar-earning exports.
The Dominion is not content to
rely on external factors to im¬
prove its foreign exchange posi¬

tion, but is planning independent
steps to increase exports to hard
As

stockpiling

war

south

of

the

would

also

operate to Canadian advan¬
tage. As the world's leading ex¬
porter of base metals it is logical
that the Dominion will be

called

a

concrete

ex¬

ample, Ottawa is now adopting an
export incentive plan, ;■ whereby

interesting to note
Company of
Canada has reopened its Shawinigan Falls No. 2 plant as a result
of expanded U. S. demands.
In
the

Aluminum

this field also Canada

play

can

a

industries in; particular, will be
encouraged to expand their sales
south of the border instead of

aluminum.

the

automobile, f electric appli¬
ances, radio and office machinery

on

the

domestic

con¬
mar¬

ket. The most encouraging devel¬
opment in this direction to date is
the

'

arrangement. made

by

the

newly established Studebaker
Corporation of Canada with the
parent firm in this country, as a
result

of

which

the

Canadian

branch will handle the bulk
Studebaker's foreign business.

Thus

In

ternal effort and

the Canadian U. S. dollar

on

reserves
as
it depends on U. S.
imports for a large proportion of
its requirements.
Previously there

has

been

no

compensating offset
but with the operation of the new
incentive plan
whereby the Cana¬
dian automobile

industry will be
given a higher U. S. dollar quota
in proportion to its
expansion of
hard-currency sales, it is expected
that other firms and other indus¬

tries will

follow the

soon

baker example.

Stude¬

constructive attitude towards her
current economic problems is the
announcement by Reconstruction

Supply Minister Howe

that

during 1948 approximately $2,800
millions will be spent on
types of
{oods, which will tend to increase
the

Dominion's productive capac¬
ity. This figure represents an in¬
of

crease

17%

the

over

capital

goods expenditure of last year and
the

largest amount

in

to

be

improved

external

devel¬

opments the Canadian foreign ex¬

situation

can

be

now

viewed with a greater measure of
optimism. The Canadian authori¬
ties, however, are fully aware that
the corner has not yet been def¬
initely turned and there will be
no

to

relaxation of the current drive
and

conserve

U. S. dollars

earn

until the deficit has been reduced

la

During the week

the

pendent
tion

coming year which
currently estimated at $500 to
$1,000 millions. In addition, con^
are

of

the, bopd

dull

and

nals

fluctuated

rading

inactive

external

market

and

a

narrow

Free funds also
steady and the proceeds of

wore

sales

range.

of

registered

readily absorbed
quirements.

by

were

current

Canadian stocks

in

stronger

bonds

sympathy

re¬

were

with

rend in New York led

s

a

dustrial and base metal issues. The

golds

also

recent

cifies

decline
were

and

Canadian

Pa¬

strong feature

a

of

consequence
rate

after (their

recovered

the

as

a

rail-

recent

increase.

v-v.;.*

Grimm & Co., Will Open
Br. Office in

Orlando, Fla.

alive.

Stock
fice

Exchange, will

at

145

Associated

North

with

will be J.

York

Main

Street.

new

branch

the

Don

Haggerty, Sidney
W. Haley and Bert S.
Long. All
were formerly with A. M.
Kidder
&

Co. and Cohu & Torrey.

CORPORATION

•

CANADIAN STOCKS

are

and

for

probably
the

,

20

last

On Jan,

time.

when

year,

with

the firm in the

has

been

associated

Chicago of¬

Beach

Palm

County

H. Murray-Jacoby

Fed-

President

incorporated

•

that

f

-

The New York Stock
Exchange
has announced the

NEW YORK
5, N. Y.

changes:

'

"

'

•

i.

.

'

'

following firm

N

NY-1-1045

President

man's statement that he

as

an

Ex¬

change member firm on March 25,
when the
membership of Leland
M. Kaiser

was

G, Carhart.

transferred to John

reconciliation

at

'■

'Times."

On

April

the

2,

N.

1939,

"Times" gave

me

a

terview

the

headline

with

Y.

the

full-page in¬
"Left

danger seen in South America;
Ex-Envoy urges counter drive to
Propaganda
of
Dictator

like

Ger-

internal dangerJfrom
Communism,
anbther
word for despair.
And
while without doubt
we, with our
superior resources and organiza-

tion,

would

in

in

it did in other¬

as

countries

between

would

fail,

we

philosophy

through

certainly

cost

win

of such

a

gigantic

so

effect

victory.

It

we

defeat

then,

•'

merely render lip, service to the
Sermon
never

the Mount which

on

a

was

;visionary dream but

in

that

Winston

Churchill fchbrtly thereafter

ihade
suggestion of a Truman-AttleeStalin meeting, probably sensing

the

..

I

as

did

chance

that

to

..

.

this

avoid

.

was

a

sia

a

as

Mr.

given

to

Truman

mankind.

in

says

And

if

address .i

his

that the

door is always open for >
talks, the American i eople

peace

should

let

takable

him

know

in

unmis¬

language that he

should

break down that door.

^

our

Commu¬

reconciliation

with

Rus-

world power, not a

com-

promjse wjth

last

our

about

is

Communism which

something totally different. The

shooting war.
This suggestion was ruled out by

iaj.e president Theodore Roosevelt.

^r"
tAt£ee mand'
also

knowledge of travel and Foreign

further

is

a

unfortunately>,
Truman,,■■■

by Mr.

It

a

Premier Jan

'affairs

significant

Smuts

of South Africa in

of the

that

Union

recent

speech
pointed out that apparently three
great systems were shaping them¬
selves
through an evolutionary
which

process

a

we

would

have to

its

stage

the

On

*,r

We

are

but

we

March

5th;; tne highly
publication,"U.

sponsible

carry

last

big

a

showing clarity.

Stalin

still

does

not

precisely how far hp
without
inviting
war,

sociates,
v/ould
have

can

democratic

our

been

in

stated

a

m0ve

the

clearest

should

we

front

'

page-

to.prqduqq

statement

an

entirely different

door)

inn. our

Russia.

negotiations

Finally,

meeting with President

with Russia would

The purpose

have

to

try

to

find'

basis for
armistice in the cold !war between
a

An

emmissary

of Russia's Premier made the
pro¬
posal. The American Official who

not

travel

to

Russia.

The

made that

was

with

people should be

our

sought
was

realize

to

just

mean.

annual* cost

an

ment of forty

what
of

war,

We

now

govern-

billions." We do not

feel this too much at this moment

national income, the inproduced by all the people,
is around $190 billion. But if we
as

would
boom

fall

billion,

$86

down

level, of

to

the

when

1929

half of

-

super

it

was

income

such

a

would

to

go

the

support

of

the

government;1 and if it were to fall

between

to

Marshal, Stalin

Truman

was

and

:carried

to

George Marshall, U. S. Secretary
of

State.

It

came

on

the

initia¬
The

decision of President Truman and

DTalk

by

Mr* j Murray-Jacoby
before the, Kiwanis Club, Delray
Beafch, Fla.; March-25, 1948.
*
.

in

the

Gap—
war

Britain — British Information
Services,
30
Rockefeller
Plaza,
/

New

York

20, N. Y.—paper.

Economics of Money and Bank*

ing,

The—Lester V, Chandler—1
Harper & Brothers, 49 East 33rd
Street, New York 16,' N. Y.—-

cloth—$4.50.

,

Production
lected

Cost

Trends

Industrial

Areas

in

—

Se¬

Philip

Neff, Lisette C. Baum. and Grs»/«e
E.

Heilman—University of CaliPress, Berkeley, Cant.—

fornia

cloth—$4.00.

;

1

ion-Provincial Fiscal Relations fit

Canada—James A. Maxwell—Na¬
tional

Bureau

of

Economic

Re^-

search, 1819 Broadway, New York
23, N. Y.—paper—50£.
1 to f r

our

come

meeting be held in Stockholm.
Proposal for a Stockholm meeting
President

Battle* of

Recent Developments in Domini

j

made

apparently

Avenue*

*

>

•

'/"Joseph Stalin, late in January,'
a

Conference

Park

invite

now
combined
with atmosphere and climate so that we
"World Report? and published by ;
could
expect some cooperation,
David Lawrence in Washington,1 and: toot
as heretofore the
closed

a

Britain's

as-

mean

,in this connection-we would have

News,"

Gainsbrugh—Na¬

247

Discussion of aftermath of the

We

line which if violated
war and this should

a

Inc.,

definite line

a

language. But simultaneously with

S.

R.

neither.

showing firmness

not

are

done

Board,

Rusia to: freeze the status quo and

re'

at

and

have

together with

~

M.

Industrial

(lower rates for quantity orders.'

softly
We

-

that these systpmg wpuld have to.
sucb

each other.

tional

"Speak

should have drawn

Asiatic

and

man

New York 17, N. Y.—paper—$1.00

go

toat* i$o^necessity existed

2?

and

up,

ration

concepfeonicftom the other

go to war with

it

summed

Behavior of Wages—Jules Back-

much

know after the President's decla¬

whichbe different

powers

with

j have quoted it now for two
years
r
as the desirable American
Policy:

Marshall

realistically: Our Free En¬
terprise System and that of the
other
free
democratic
nations;
the
Communistically dominated
systern; and a system yet to,the

American

once

stick."

look at

formative

vjg0rous

;

i

.

•

-,vjU

Should Fertilizer Production Be

Subsidized?—An

analysis

of

the

National Soil Fertility Act of 19(47
Richard Bradfield
American
—

—

Enterprise Association, Inc., 4 East;
41st Street, New York
17, N. Y.
—paper—50£.
/to
<

the

billion,
could

depression
no one

keep

situation

sia.

If

now

would say
as

ex
on

create

economy

war

top
a

debt

Rus¬

this
as

we

large

a

war—say

an¬

could

our

—

.

.

•

•.

-

-

Spinning

..;

$460 billion debt

Rayon

Staple

ii?;

on

the

Cotton System—Research
Depart¬
ment, American Viscose Corpora¬
tion— fabricoid
copies will be
sent free to all technical
qualified
people who request it of Ameri¬
—

can

last

billion

stand

with
of

■.,

$44

dollar. This is the

that of the

other: $200

of

in the United States

a

rosy

figure

'
:

fact the most practical instrument
ever

on a scientific,
digni¬
basis, ex-mud slinging and
ex-war mongering. What we need
then are three things: Firmness,
Clarity and a willingness to bring

:

V; v

significant

of

-

we.

should explore every avenue that
may lead to peace. We should not

fied

among the democratic pow¬
is

that

)

over;

that

suffer

Thus

•

I

victory i

nist Russia

system of protective quasi-alli-

ers.

and

«•

France and Italy and that j
then and then only we would face

be

offset

should then with top speed create

X-i-Vi v'U -.V V-D
■A'

quoted

normal

would

nonsense

answer

many,

would

its

attacking Lenin's teachings
first

haywire just

wise

in¬

that

indebtedness

entire economy would

our

Apparently,

insists

.

was

go

accumulated

around $1 billion. The

the

Protocol

mine

entire

Russia

David .Lawrence's

Emily Post

some

when

ing to meet Stalin at any time in Powers."
But at all times I felt
Washington was not enough; and the
necessity to explore the funda¬
thirdly, that if such an attempt mental difference

,




Mr.

rubbish.
I began
writing against Communism in
April, 1919, when a statement-of

Tru¬

tive of the Russian Premier.

Kaiser & Co. retired

was

willing to gamble the lives

for

and

will¬

was

would

Exchange
Weekly Firm Changes

the, proposal

S. News"

cans

meet¬

a

City office at 44 Wall Street.

New York Stock

a

of some ten million
young Ameri¬

and

received it'replied that^Mr. Tru¬
man
had made it clear that he

TWO WALL STREET

WORTH 4-2400

Truman

Stalin; that such

and

that

far

we are

ing should take place at a neutral

point

secretary,

press

formation is correct.

Clubs, I made
three recommendations of a policy
to
be
pursued towards Russia:
First, because of an imminently
pending takeover of Czechoslo¬
vakia, the Marshall Plan should
be passed without delay and in an
unemasculated form; second, that
there should be a direct meeting
Marshal

is

"U*

;

eration of Women's

between

a

.

suggestion then

A.E.AMES&CO.

is that

through

So

at 135 La -Salle Street. Mr.
Denton has been in the New York

fice

too,

addressing the

U. >S. and Russia.

Abele

was

Stalin must be held, if it is
held,
1n Washington. The President re¬
iterates that attitude."

this

of

that there have been 'peace feel¬
ers' from Russia. The White House

brought to Washington and turned
down.. Mr. Truman insists that
apy future meeting with-Joseph

elected
Mr.

y

you consider that from the
;
time of George
Washington up to £
the outbreak of World War I our

fact

Truman.

Vice-Presidents.

not

Secretary Marshall was to rebuff
the suggestion. A technical denial
is made by the Secretary of State

meeting had been proposed. The

at

Blair & Co., Inc., has announced
that Harold W. Abele and Rich¬
ard W.
Denton, Jr., have been

assistant

peace

tended to discount reports that

which, because of its importance,
I wish to
quote at length*
'

Blair & Co., Inc.
Elects Two

MUNICIPAL

be

more

made

GOVERNMENT

k

the crossroads

Grimm &

open an of¬

y

We

once

in
—

Co., members of the New

PROVINCIAL

r

much

very

the

by the in¬

Jan

and

a

would

was

the inter¬

within

ORLANDO, FLA.

CANADIAN BONDS

M

na¬

,

section

still

inde¬

an

ances

following

E.R.P. expenditures in the Domin¬
ion during the

would

be

a

to manageable proportions.

history..^

Apart from Canada's own ef¬
forts, the overall situation is cer¬
tain

the combined effect of in¬

as

change

*

>

A further indication of Canada's

and

ity in the mining industries has
also been increased recently as a
result of the Dominion's vigorous
immigration policy which is now
operating to reduce the chronic
labor shortage which plagued this
industry during the war years.

of

the normal way the Canadian au¬
tomobile
industry constitutes a
drain

The Canadian productive capac¬

<

Russia, and says President Truman should
talks, but "should break down the door."

Czechoslovak-

connection it is

leading role especially in view o,
the stepped-up demands of the
U. S. aircraft industry and the
Canadian record during the wai
as
a
major supplier of low cost

centrating

have

to boost still further its pro¬
duction of strategic metals. In this
that

with Rus¬

war

with

war

spoke to you in October of last year, I said that President Truman should never
permitted Congress to. go home but should have kept it in session so that the ERP would
had a chance to be
passed in the Fall.
It is my conviction that had this
happened,

have

opera¬

border

door for

open

*

to avoid

When I

.

upon

f-

currency areas.

tions

-

meeting of President Truman and Joseph Stalin in effort

urges

Warns of disastrous economic effects of

sia.

has

diplomat

Viscose

Corporation,
350
New York 1, New
their business letter¬

Fifth Avenue,

York,
heads.

on
"

.

*

*

*,.a/'

-,.l....

.Volume 167

THE COMMERCIAL

Number* 4686

&

FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE

(1437)

21

■A 2 Recommends Enactment of Bnffett Bill ;
Members of Economists' National Committee
>

approval of

express

Prof.

v.

Waltei

E.

Monetary Policy

on

,

to restore gold coin standard.'

measure

---.y.v

U

"•

Spahr, Executive Secretary of the Economists'

DyHOWARDT.'CUMMING*:":

-

y-y

-

;

President, Curtice Brothers Co», Rochester, N. Y.

?

National Committee

on Monetary Policy, having offices at One Madi-f
Avenue, New York City, and comprising in its membership, some
of the leading economists of the country, has made public,a state*
ment
<•>signed
thereby helps sustain the confiby42 mem-

•

President, National Canners' Association

'•..

son

In. reviewing world and domestic food
situation;

♦

.

bers,
recom¬
mending - the.

Bill

ft:
intro-

;

dueed by Rep-

"f

flow

a

BENJAMIN

Buff
and

BELL, /"
;
Northwestern University.
CLAUDE L. BENNER. Continental

ett

icle"

of

Jan.

The

Bill

"

Insurance

L.

E.

Spahr

RAY

P.

♦ARTHUR

restoration y

in the United States
gold coin monetary standard.

The text of the statement follows:
1

We,

:

the

undersigned,

members

of the Economists' National Com-

mittee

■

on
Monetary Policy, recommend enactment of the Buffett

•

Bill. H. R.

5031, for the following

Washington,
Thalmann

-

to

which

pay

cannot

regulations
therefore

tion,

if

should

honored,
laws and

present

be

honored,

and

are

No

na¬

dishonorable.

it

avoid

can

its

permit

banks

not

are

under

doing

Our countrv

so,

Treasury

to circulate such

and

(II)

Although

♦ROY

California.''

roundabout

a

irredeem¬

system

Federal

Reserve

ba^ks

back

to the gold held by the Treasury,
their circulation in the* form of

irredeemable

paper

!. mits and invites

-money

per*

much freer and

a

'

less

responsible issuance of cir¬
culating media than would be pos-f
sible »f promises were redeemable
in gold

Our present

demand..

on

system, consequently, contributes
a depreciation in the purchasing -pmver of our dollars in terms
of goods and services,
;
i
to

•

>

Jf. ^ jllj) Restoration) pt
monetary

a) js^old-eoin
and
system

standard

would return to the peoole

degree of direct control

!

government's

public

and

a

high
the

over

would

help
members of Congress free them¬
selves
;

of

they
in

:

groups
which
are
dominant factors, if
not the dominant factor,

are

the

.

spending

money. ?■'

••

♦

(IV)

the

of

♦JOHN

'

Emeritus,

MONTFORT

;

University

The

JONES,

'

Of

Two and

KEMMERER, University of
<
V.

L.

Illinois.

KIEKHOFER, The University
Wisconsin.
: .: v

WILLI\M H.
of

WILLIAM

KNIFFIN, Bank Of

H.

E.

A.

University of Illinois.
University of Southern
>

,

/

,

Commercial

and

Financial

Chronicle," N. Y. C.\

H.

State•

^;'r

and Irvine, N. Y. C.
MoKINLEY, The Pennsylvania

Lumbard

Newton,
DAVID

; ': ;

MCDONALD, Donovan, Leisure,

♦ROY W.

College.

MELCJUOR

.s<uV

•

.

.

PARKER,: University of
Pennsylvania.
''y: 'V.
CLYDE W. PHELPS. University of'., y;:
i Southern California.
CHESTER A. PH If .LIPS, The State;
!.
University of Iowa.
•
LELANO REX ROBINSON, 1G Beaver , St.,«
n. y. c.yr
yy
r. g, .rodkey. University of Michigan.
olin glenn saxon, Yale University,!
FRANK

carlton

...'■■■:.

University.'

:

*,

.

Western Reserve.

EDWARD
MAX

The

WinTNEY.

E.

Gamble

and

Procter

Co., Cincinnati. ;,y

y

f.

y

WIEST, University of Kentucky.

WINKLER, College of* the City Of York.
;'r
Lyy../-..'yyy y'^yy -v
.

New

minor

•Indicates
in

mended

text

changes

of

bill, x>r

'-are

in

recom-

terms -of

endorsement.

Restorat:on of

gold-coin

a

;

States would not only reestablish

;

integrity in

the

industry

pay

Mn D. Hines With
Deal Witter in N. Y. C.
'

;

'

bfjj,

;

weather,

*

ocaer; ty

restore

further.
favor¬

of

of

years

world

fooa

vIt is

re¬

a reai-

sonable assumption that until the

food-producing nations of. Europeregain economic and political staibility their requirements for im*
ported foods* will remain at a
high devel.'.;?
7-";v
Foreign' Food Demand

pect

munition

a

diverted

to

making

The demand for food

demand
two

fand

.:{(V) Action now in restnrm g a
•'gold-coin monetary standard

Industries

armaments.

aged greater food production and
supply in this country in recent
years has been the development
of whole new industries within

great

was so

plants stand ready and willing to¬
day to produce at a wartime rate,

if

fants

always

this

•'

things

turned

should

out.-

become

they
Their

the stimulus of
wartime

a

broke5 all

vegetables,;ft.-?h and meats has de*

high prices and

demand

and

of processed foods

their previous production records,

This advertisement appears as a matter

;be

consume

$100,000,000 worth
annually.
% •
They quick-freezing
of fruits,

necessary.

Our farmers likewise reacted to

(Continued

37)

on page

ofrecord only and is under

no

construed

us an

The

:

circumstances to

offering of these Shares for sale,,or as an offer to buy,
itsolicitation of an offer to buy, am of such Shares.'
,
;•

offering is tirade only by the Prospectus.

;

,

the United States

should prove of strategic aid in
wbrking toward a greater freedom

c

from
three

or

'•k.v' f. i

years.
It would be a mis*
take, however, to count on smooth
sailing in bur attempt to satisfy
that demand. Some &f the peoples
abroad who have the greatest need

100,000 Shares
7

:1/ •' iio

be able to make
purchases because of their inabil*
ity

1

earft

may

v

v>'.

'

or^'

not1 have

ation than

have

we

^

•

,

t-r
'

w

•

.

•

; ; -

..

:

if-..-,

■' /

'

.•..

.

•

;

••

\

••

tion

^

i K:r; ■ ■ :-v;

Common Stock

world

;

known sincb

the

•

MHSMi Company

borrow money.
access to
political barriers.
Consequently,- iti 'spite of a po¬
to

Others

,C A- ;

The California Oregon Power

for food may not

(Par value $20 per share)

v;

.

Price $21.50 per

share

Government

war-born

-

i'., ,i;

programs.

work worthy of

f from regimentation.; Of necessity,
this; involves srraoping or sub-

4'A

■

-

in

any *;

;
■1

Copies of the Prospectus, may be obtained from the under'
signed only by persons to whom the undersigned may legally
offer these securities under applicable securities laws.

;
.f
"

;*
Vi

pecial consideraf

discussion

,

of

this

"

•starttially

mod;fving

anv

subject.

svstem

I

of "managed" irredeemable naner

m'onev which

developed

.

accompanies highly

schemes

f- mentally-managed

of

countrv

our

in

point

creased

lion.

are

economy.

historv.

during

at the

ratio

These stocks
and

adenuate

med?a
/

on

provided

•a

in

are

use

ample, in

to

back

an

volume
a

of
circulating
fully convertible basis

our

reasonably

the

amount,

in¬

of

government follows

prudent course in
public
funds
and




and

$2% bil¬

bv

•

John D. Hines

highest

thev

and

1947

^ : sV

&

commodity

nounce

that

John

D.

war

an¬

Hines, for¬

an

pand

with

reach

extremely

Total
was

■

high
t

come

associated with the firm

as

registered representative in the

New

York

New York

office, 14 Wall Street,
City.

.

Corporation

Cental Republic Ccmpany
(Incorporated)
> ;

in

Chamber'1 of

S. A.-, St. Louis,

Mo., March 12, 1948.

.-

-.

v

*

First California Company

Walston, Hoffman & Goodwin

Davis, Skaggs & Co.

1947

prewar

*An address^ by, Mr. Cuirmqing
before; the'1 National ' Marketing
Commerce of

Dean Witter & Co.
-,

Graham, Parsons & Co.

Elworthy & Co.

,

.

of! the

|

Schwabacher & Co.

^

•

production

of

J

HI

Conference

Kidder, Pea body & Co.

„

and

levels

larger than the

merly with Kaiser & Co;,- has be¬

a

The First Boston

.: >

ex¬

greatvi rapidity

food

41%

ability to

.is

production.

exchanges,

C°m Inc.

To, begm withi^agriculture and

during the.

govern-

♦»!l(VI) The monetary gold stocks
of

.

,

the food industries 'demonstrated

'

:

<

c

ex¬

only influence af¬
fecting our food production and
supply today.
In : this: country
there are specific influences; at

•

in

Food

Another factor that has encour¬

the food industry.
We are the
only country in the world whose
very young babies are.fed so-ex*'
tensively from cans and jars. In*

producing ; those

on

had

tion is not,the

!

svstem

war

were

A'The impact of the world situa¬

commerce. ;• x

and

of

New

they simply put on pressure,
expanded their facilities, and kept

processing inJ-

for at least

'I 'support

*:>k'

,

Food

that

%

country may

continued

a

abroad

itself

problem.

and few food manufacturers

V;

Farmers and food

in

was

several

to safe levels;

reconversion

no

good, crops will l?e pegessary in

lus* -of

%■

constant

v

being assisted by
improvements
in
the
are

—

beginning of the war.
That
issued bv the Treasury and Fed¬
Dean Witter & Co., members of would be particularly true if, iti
eral Reserve banks but it would
the face of a possible declining de*
the New York -Stock and Curb
prove helpful in providing leadmand, agriculture continues to be
Exchanges and other leading stock
ershio for other countries which
subjected to the artificial stimu¬
promises to

still

and

■

own

demand, we might
find ourselves approaching a more
balanced supply and demand situ¬

;

y

possesses

still

crops

able

tential

are.stmegling to reestablish sound
•bases for their money/ industry,

v;

My

food because of

people's

monetary standard in the United

despitev labpr shortages arid other
handicaps. :^-Ttiey >.\aCddmpMshiey
this by dint of long hours,
"sweat
and great ingenuity. They were

more

^

,University.
NATHANIEL

.

has

.

.weisman,

ru*sell

;,

food

conditions

dusti ies in this

University.'

Louisiana State

JAMES >R.'TRANT,

1947

under

v

^:y..,y v.:■>,.

SPAHR. New York

can¬

contend

half year after V-E

a

Even

shively, "The New York

a.

Sun.'",
WALTER «.

war

serves

Ulincis,

Chicago,

PALYI.

we

only about 80% of the pre¬
figure. Unfavorable weather

was

/

' ;;

——-—',/yy■/':n" h•

*—:

period;; vegetables, meat animals
and poultry increased by 50%,
fruits by 30, and dairy products
by 20%..
' •
/.

Day we find the world food scarc¬
ity more acute than at any time
in recent history..
In; 1946 food
production
in
Western
Europe

reduced

Editor,

Executive

MAY,

WILFRED
"The

•

I.

LEE,

L.
LEONARD,
California.

♦J.

:

—;—:

no
real peace
attained as

thus
supply
world-wide significance;

*

Pittsburgh.

but in

niemory,

i

HOLDSWORTH, The

University of Miami.

from

.

v

">

.

have already faded

war

*

•

HICKS, University of

C,

THOM

DONALD

•

'ffA-A'A'

v

■

•

HAUHART, Dean

Cincinnati.

relentless drives

the

among

'i.'

Methodist University.

FREDERICK

pressure

-

y

the

from

.

■

1

Yale

Research.

F.

Southern

abuse of the

use and

purse

WILLIAM

in¬

of

direct convers:on leading through

the

/ V.
Co.,

&

HANEY, New York University.

H.

1

dswnward

technics of growing. The better¬
canning—
ment of their varieties from the
practically doubled its ouptut, in¬
peace. : But it
creasing its production from 260,- standpoint of both quality and
is playing a
000,000 cases of canned fruits, disease-resistance; the discovery
of more effective
•leading
role vegetables and
insecticides; the
juices in the pre¬
r and
will con¬ war
of
more
efficient
period to about 500,000,000 development
tinue to do so
cases
in 1946, and this does not farm equipment; and the spread
it as we persist include the
of
greater
knowledge
among
large quantitiesof
in our effort
canned
milk,
meat
and
fish farmers; all these make for a
to bring peace
packed. That high productive ca¬ greater potential production on a
into
t h e
acreage
with
a
given
pacity
exists
today.
Generally given
> world. Food
amount of labor.
speaking, food manufacturers had

HARWOOD, American Institute for

C.

FREDERIC

these

able oromises to pay are currently
maintained on a paritv with gold

by

v

writtem the

Ladenburg,

-

Axe

Rockville Centre Trust Co., L.

practices of this kind.
v;

t a n't

p or

that

,

University,
Li GARIS, University of Southern

LEWIS

promises.

and should avoid

ran

Co., N. Y. C.
W.

,,

'• .'X

•

CUMBERLAND,

&

Economic

(I) Most of the paper money of
the United States carries promises

United States,

Inc., Tarrytown, N. Y.
♦FRED
R.
FAIRCHILD,

E.

y

not

the

a

slogan "Food will win the War and write the Peace/
won the
war,, but we do maintain that- it played an alb

1935-30. average.
Production, of
food grains doubledduring .cthis

yet,

ELLSWORTH. E.

W.

D.

reasons:

•

m

-

D. C.

W.

;

y

part < in r the
victory; With

CRAWFORD, Chamber Of i

of

Commerce

WILLIAM

profits pf producers excessive*^ However, looks for

or

processiiig/

under farm r parity- gvifiiilee^ • find r >*$■

program

still recall the

we

i

j -J.

CALHOUN, University of

W.

government: food

plentiful future food suppfies.

more

We cannot claim that food alone

,

Missouri Valley College, i:

CABLE.

WILBUR

Cincinnati.

a

{

' t
*

;

Co,,

FREDERICK.. A. BRADFORD;' Lehigh
University.«»;»
J.

Walter

Canners Association's executive stresses* continuing

postwar expanded U. S. food production and

as

Many bf.tfie early events of the recent
the food business

v ;

New York City. -

BOGAItT,

out of line

'

provides for a
of

price tendency arising from

Wilmington Delaware.
ERNEST

"Chron¬

28.

Life

American

printed

the

WASHINGTON

JAMES

in the issue of

•

denies food prices

;■

I

.

,

•sSmL

dangers in

; :

are

well

as

University' of

California at. Los Angei<est
C. ARBUTHNGT; Western
Reserve University.

(Rep.-^Neb.)
•

"K\'

....

ANDERSON^

M.

\^'

Harvard

ABBOTT.

.

Points put deficiencies and

CHARLES

d'

i

"

•University..

,

resentative

•

A

SIGNED
CORTEZ

CHARLES

(H.

9031),
1

of

money.

enactment
of
the Buffett

4

the people in their
;-VA-V* tf.•;
I'.

j dence

.

'

foreign demand for American foods

y

*

:

Brush,
Slocumb & Co.
1

;

■

f

^

'/y
Hi.

-

,

J

April'1,

Lester & Co.

/'

M-'rro U>"it :lrr
iCf

Foster & Marshall

Wutff, Hansen & Co.

qid'-:
b

Maynard H. Murch & Co.
.ii;

THE COMMERCIAL

22', (1438)

CHRONICLE

FINANCIAL

&

Sees Serious

We Must End

"Creeps
ing Munich," Declares

Securities Salesman's Corner

Bryn Hovde asserts

article entitled, "Is Salesmanship

an

Securities

National

<31

Douglas Laird, Vice-President
Corporation, made this point:

Research

&

SALESMEN

ALL THE

TOMBSTONE ADVERTISING, AND YOU WILL SEE
DEPRESSION

EST
as

well

as

THE GREAT¬

MANKIND."

HISTORY OF

THE

IN

rope can

"Chronicle" and

gram

But to go

on—the point Mr. Laird makes about the place of the
national life—all salesmen, not only securities sales¬
men for that matter—is so
absolutely true that we wonder how any¬
one could fail to realize the
importance of his work if he makes a
living selling. Yet, time and again, we have heard men depreciate
the work they do if they happen to be salesmen.
We have heard
others say, "Oh, he's only a salesman." We have been present when
some men have been asked what they do for a living and they have
answered in ?. self-conscious sort of w^y.that they, just do some
"peddling." Self effacement and a subconscious feeling of inferiority

salesmanship is

art and

in sales

men

work—as well

the

about

it

minute:

a

entire

our

machine

economic

t'fy

>

Before there

<

*'

'

jobs there must be
machines, tools, facilities—before they can be obtained salesmen must
convince others to part with money to finance these things (that's us
boys). Then salesmen must sell the stuff after all the rest of the
are

people dig it, convert it, style it, change its form again and again,
keep records about it, ship it, wholesale it, retail it, and if there was
to sell it when people didn't want it, Mr. Laird

no one

you're right—
immobility that is called a depression would
frequent condition of American life.

that state of economic
become

a

more

They say an egotistical man is in the long run his own worst
But there is a vast difference between having an understand¬
ing, and an appreciation of what you are doing as you walk through
life> and being a pompous blowhard. Th man who knows he is good

N

>

because he has studied his job—made a
go of things when obstacles
have appeared before him—studied
through his own mistakes and

developed a technique for accomplishing his objectives—that
has a feeling of confidence in his own
powers that?'will enable
to make

a

out

success

of his job and his life.

who ARE EXPERT SALESMEN

is

a

man

field of activity in which they are
engaged—they
wouldn't allow any man to
place them in a position of inferiority—
'v: There is

a

reason

this little column

at this time

Not only was I impressed
by Mr. Laird's insistence that selling securi¬
ties was a most laudable
way of Earning a living (for my part as great
a benefit to mankind as
any of the professions, or other lines'of busi¬
ness
that we undertake in our free
land) but I believe that the

thought I have expressed here is indeed timely
right

now. For many
those of us who have continued in the investment
securities
business have been under attack
by our own government officials,
by assorted demagogues and by leftists and cranks of
every persua¬
sion. We have seen our
business, and our

years,

maligned and caricatured until it is
asked

what

we

no

do, have answered

"Well, I sort of work

in

in Wall Street."

way of
wonder that
a

making

some

self-conscious

a

t h

sort

don't sell, THEY DON'T
EAT!

ROLL BOYS WHO

THAT GOES FOR THE PAY¬

WORK FOR THE

SELVES

COULDN'T ACCOMPLISH IF THEY
STUDIED THEIR
LAW BOOKS FOR
ANOTHER FIFTY YEARS. Ours is a
good busi¬
ness

never,

business will

forget
come

it—and

the

to you.

more

~ ~~~

you

believe

~

this
-'

,

the

more

I

.

.

McDonald & Co. Adds
to

The

Financial

CLEVELAND, O. — Robert J;
Ress is with McDonald
&
Co.,
Union Commerce
Building, mem¬
bers of the New York
and Cleve¬
land Stock
Exchanges. He
was

previously
with
Co. of Davenport.

White-Phillips

to

The

Financial

ciated with E, ,F.
160

Montgomery Street. He was
previously with Walston, Hoffman
Goodwin
& Co.

.

v.;

and

Dean

Witter

ly t-,)r
structure and

the other eonoitions that tenc

discourage the performance

ol

^fal :f

woulcLhaye ^mewto^he j showed

ERP despite Soviet Russia a year
and

naif ago.

a

Dr.

blamed

and

cond.tions for

central

lack

|

European.

the-

of

I member

forced to resort to

W€re

C^crj;

to

meet

j

commer-

capital

some

that. should

requirements

have

been financed by the sale of
rities lo investors.
stock

secu-

The New York

Exchange calculates that in

stirred

told

up' trouble

the

with

proportion

for the

entire

period

SovaetUnionbystrongwprdsun-493g-j947 4ncjusjve^js4ess^han

supported by adequate force. - The g
2%.
official
added, Dr. Hovde said, ] ' Ur '.
that "it would make "all the dif- i
It is
ference

the

hi

cerned, if the U. S.
Czech

freedom

with

a

so

far

dec-W

clear

laraition of

willingness to use arms

to defend

it."

,

:

4l;

generally agreed that the

population

growing

a

equipment,

and

give

effect

to

These heeds must be filled at

Guardian Securities Cor¬
poration is engaging in an invest¬
First

ment business from

offices at 160

Broadway, New; York City: Arthur
H/ Baum is a principal of the
firm.




narrow

and -selling

prices.
Wage ;
sharply and have

costs have risen

become

mere

situation

a

inflexible, creating

that is

not

serious

a

handicap to^Tmost^divisions of in-;
du"try as long.% production; em-i

Unsettling Factors
"The

hesitancy of investors' to
supply equity capital; is probably
in

due

small

no

attitude

of

Hastings Represents* Parker
Hast¬

repre¬
sentative for the Parker Corpora¬

•

""

1"

"

venture

;

neth
to

the

Co.,

Financial

Chronicle)

y

ANGELES, CALIF—Ken¬

N.

Simonds
staff

510

of

has

G.

South
of

the

to

The

Dphl has
of

been

added

Brashears

&

Spring V Street;
Los
Angeles
• '
'
-.f *

Financial

been

Chronicle)

added

to

the

Edgerton,

.

-

Hutton & Co. Adds

(Special

to

The

Financial

i

recently in the official in¬
vestigation of the rise in prices
certain steel products, gome
of ;the ;early postwar viewsVcbnc e r n

i

n

relationships

g

between

Ciironici.e).,

profits in b free-enterprise
has not yet gained - full

system

•

recognition.

1

'Tnternatiqnal

fair& nlso have
played an important part in creat¬
ing the present situation.in the
a

supply

ol

Withnf :

our;

must be frankly
constructively
dealt
economy is to expand

and thrive. V

;

of

to

these

•

-

_

Causes of the

relations

appears

numerous

is

the

to

necessarily ja

business

in

heavy
on

in¬

is generally agreed, are the prin¬
cipal source of the savings ? that

normally supply the great bulk of
capitals The almost con¬
fiscatory^ rates on large incomes

venture

relatively little surplus foi
equity securities

and, little incentive to
that such

assume

investment

some domestic securities
owned by foreigners,; with ,a. de¬
pressing effect on the m^t'Xet. If

the European Recovery

tr.e

neces-

should

tive to risk-taking investment ani
which
depress the' market for

equity'securities both by forcing
hasty liquidation and by breaking
4*p large estates.into smaller units
for which, such securities repre¬
a

less

suitable

form

of

in-

helpful,

hibit

industrial

employment-

expansion,
opportunities,'

weaken

the

business

concerns

financial
and

their

time will inevitably bring.

If free
enterprise in America is to ex¬
pand and;/progress in the future
it

has

laws

and

as

done in the past,v our
regulations must be so

as

means

resume

to restore to risk-takers

and

the

incentives

their essential role in

economy." *; !

v-

Paul Reamer Opens:

'risoecia^
..

/

practical

effects.

Kessler
was

•

•

^

chroniclb)

SOUTH

Reamer

to

our

;*'••

•

BEND,,f Paul

is engaging".in a.- securi¬

curities Company, Inc.

in .its

a n a

abil¬

ity to weather /the varying eco¬
nomic-climate that the passage of

II

harmful

limit

position of

ties busi ness -from * of fices. at

staff,

v

inadequate

ANGELES, CALIF—
"y^tfheni.((Tbe double taxation of
Hutton & Co., 623 South Spring
dividends is without theoretical
Street, have added Frank P. Flinti justification and is certainly
their

both

supply of equity capital must in¬

the

incen¬

be

"In the long run, an

saraly. iinvolves/ The situation is revised
aggravated by the estate taxes,"
which further weaken the

Program

psychologically and otherwise.

tax

LOS

to

the

outlook; and
for; A^^icah

dation of

be fects

causes.

dividual incomes, especially those
in the higher brackets, which, it

sent

is;

is enacted .and proves; successful
in achieving its objectives^ its ef¬

Scarcity

burdeni that has been laid

risk

tional

major/;unsettling, factor

the urgent need
to a radically altered situa¬ gx> 0 d s
and J American" dollars
in which the problem of abroad has resulted in the liqui¬

-

With G. Brashears & Co. '
The

to-

of

to be giving

seems

;^"The situation

■

the

on

venture; capital

Salle

V

capital

faced- and

One

to

concerns

keep prjees down in the face bf
rising costs and which, was mani¬

domestic

limitations

attributable

;(Special

gen^

persistent

industrial

the

making his headquarters at
A

dis¬

and

market ioZ venbire;iwpital> The
Unsatisfactory state of' interna¬

tion,

tion,

the

to

measure

disapproval

trust tqward'pr^itsrin
which has given rise to

in all probability, be considerably
higher1 than they; were before the
war.
The inactive capital demand
that has long served to conceal

way

CHICAGO, ILL.—Bryon
ings is acting as Illinois

a

time/ when prices and- costs will,

First Guardian Securities

E. F.

gan Francisco

costs

replace

worn-out.^and obsolete plant and

technological improyements;

(Special

m

to

as

the margin between raw-material

as

change. f

Chicago

Changes in the price struc¬

hayefbeenT^ther
country mow iaces^; period .yof pfices; and
were cohr <i-and
sustained demand for thoroughly discredited by events,
but it seems that the essential
would support j nfw capital to supply the needs
role of

world
Czech-Soviet relations

Edgerton, Wykoff Co. Adds

;v

sort.

fested

ministry
he said,

Wykoff & Co.-,
618 South Spring Street, member^
of
the
Los
Angeles. Stock Ex¬

Y.'/--.;lr*

de¬

especially

venturesome

more

ture have been such

heen Una iced by stock issues. The

'it

staff

Established 1913

strong

a

expansion,

the

policy was "hypocritical, because

summer,

M.

Street, New York 4, N.

to

of

him
last
that American

foreign

LOS ANGELES, CALIF.—Ralph

46 Front

for

that

pressure on

investment * in

NATIONAL QUOTATION
BUREAU, Inc.

porations represent
terrent

rio year since 1935 has as much as
12% of total corporate expenditure for new plant and equipment

leave

For 35 Years

outlook

has been weak¬

concerns,

by tax laws and by high and
inflexible costs. Tax rates on cor¬

increase whatever, ip*
that business concerns

of1 cial banks

failure to take

our

Stock Exchange.

Over-the-Counter Quotation Services

long-term

businers
ened

no

(jicatmg

the part of America

on

eastern

of

«

Hovde

knowledge

members

-

oi

"l'he

induce
an
adequate
risk-taking investment;

.

LOS

Ifutton & Co.,

i nation

reexarr

to

,t

Chronicle)

SAN
FRANCISCO, CALIF. —
William Herlitz has become asso¬

cient

amount of

ployment and prices remain at
to be no serious h
igh levels but that could becojtne
disagreement as to the existence a
bi^detV; in the event of ;a
expansion
in
of a
large shortage of venture
general decline in the volume "of
Czechoslovak*
Bryn J. Hovde
capital. The National Association
activity and; the price level. The
kia
might
of
Manufacturers
estimates
t~e
rising 'break-even' point for in¬
have been stopped had the United
current deficient at $8 billion an
dustry—that is. the level of activ¬
States been prompt with economic
nually and points out that comme
ity- that marks tbe dividing line
assistance,
ERP was .conceived
| cjal j3ank loans rose rapidly Jr between profit and
too late
he stated, adding
loss-rhas bothati^g ancj 1947 while individual
come bn object of
Czechoslovakia, Finland and even
increasing eon-;
| holdings' of corporate securities cern.

Street.

(Special

tinction in favor of income defrom
capital
gains,
this
partial exemption appears insuffi-

ef¬

jrtek-taking,

Herlitz With E. F. Hutton

Chronicle)

.

dis-

a

the

-

their office at 120 South La

(Special

n g

tfcev

GOVERNMENT, TOO, WHO

ARE SO FOND OF
TELLING US HOW TO DO WHAT THEY THEM¬

i

makes

sabre'V- Soviet;

of way,

.Every

we

11

living,

count—and remember this—

if

a

to

without j

even

•

,

;

of us, when

man who is engaged in the investment securities business
in this
country should eject any and every thought of
inferiority from
Ins mind. Ours is a
good business—a vital business—a damned
tough
business where brains and and character
;

g o

law

rived

tre

healthy state of
capital;, market.
needed is a thorough-

is

the

ani

the

/whole Federal tax

"rattling

.

I have written

w

constructive steps in time.- A high

worthwhile

they have perspective!""

What

4

.

Although

possible

more

a

in

(of

hjm ranking

That is the way men
feel about their job. They know it

of

"Bulletin,"
serted

ade-

the nation's economy, ac¬

on

ation

in
e

is

capital

their

of

School weekly,

-

enemy.

venture

af "airs

Dr. Hovde as-;

would

*

-

by such
declaration,":

the

doubtful^

n

to 'The Guaianty Pur¬
vey,' monthly review of business
and
financial
conditions,
pub¬
lished today by Guaranty Trust
Company of -New York;?
"The bill, if enacted, would ac¬
complish little toward the restor-t

"HitT

in

Writing

What Mr. Laird says in his article is that

of

fects

he said,

a

man, that without his efforts
collapse.
1

Kaiser

is
there

now

cording

1914
a

highly skilled one at that. That any manwho is a good salesman has accomplished something worthwhile in
liis life. Besides he is contributing to the welfare of his country in a
sphere of activity that is so important to the well being of his fellowan

ply

seriousness

ler could have

beep stopped
in
1939,;-apd

other

as

official, declared.

even

close

of the sweep ng
changes that have take l place in
the factors determining the sup-

it, Dr. Bryn J. Hovde, Presi¬

UNESCO

time,* -but-::it

whether

clear statement that

a

to

concern

quate recoghitic

dent of the New School and former

our

fields of creative endeavor.

Think

with

ser ve

matter of

•

The sluggishness of this flow has been
observers of the security markets for;'

taking capital into industry.
a

the United States will fight to Prei¬

much that is both stimulating and helpful in it.

underlies the failures of most

x

striking feature of the testimony on the tax-reduction bill
emphasis placed on the need for stimulating the flow of risk-

the

was

some

be saved only by backing
European Recovery Pro-

the

up

If you sell securities you will find

"A

•

What is left of democracy in Eu¬

the various phases of security salesmanship, we heartily agree. If you
rnissed his piece, look back in the March 25 issue (page 7) of your

.salesman in

,

j

With that,

the rest of Mr. Laird's clearly explained position regarding

read his article.

military

our

immediately be impressed on :
Stalin, as it should have been on)
V
Hitler and the Kaiser.; A.;:.;"

AMERICA AND GET DOWN TO

IN

tion of whole Federal tax structure and other sanations discouraging
< vital function of industrial risk-taking.;

endorsement of democracy must £

Essential to Distribute Securities?" by
"FIRE

Shortage of Venture Capital

.Guaranty Trust Co. of New York holds new tax measure Will accom¬
plish little to aid capital market and advocates thorough reexamina¬

^

•*

Last week in the "Chronicle"

v

Liberal Educator

By JOHN DUTTON

Thursday, April 1, 1948

Boulevard;,

formerly- with

Mr.

IIX4

Beahaer

Maxson. Se¬
-

/

-

Volume ,167

Number 4666

& .FINANCIAL

THE COMMERCIAL

With Wilson, McMaster Co.
1

-

ILL.

-CHICAGO,

South La Salle
■

•

.

\

Director, Banking and Investments,

'i(-'

U. S. Savings Bond Division, U. S. Treasury Dept.

Treasury official

enumerates progress

fight against inflation.

]

of

>

Street.

of reduction i

l

against inflation, and

•(SDCciftl

Bond selling campaign

banker^' cooperation in the

urges

as

Chronicle)

The Financial

to

C. iO.

[

part

ner-of-St. Louis.

He

was

previ¬

A. G.

ously with the local office of
f

^a(*e a statement in 1946
which
national

•

I said "The soundness of

debt

our

was a -new

economy

idea then but commonly accepted now.
-This

can

Savings

Bonds

Pro¬

dollar

held

S

a v

Bonds

the

i

n

g s

of

in-'

runaway

:a:
1
ry.;,vpg|
>;■ much V present
flation

danger
with

I

.

—'

us now/^y:
hardly ;

i

v

1
h g V e v/marri.

t h a t

events

borne this put.'

m

I

all-out

for

-nation

Savings

through ^transfers

ownership.

'

•

•

their accomplishments are
fully known to the people.
Those who are familiar with gov¬

most of

>

To

the Holders of St. Louis Southwestern Railway Company
General and Refunding Mortgage 5% Gold Bonds, Series A,
Due

support

of the

+he

crease

I Cam

Bond,:-;.Program.

national

debt

but-are

present;
to, report that you have held obligations.
splendid job of it.yy;; yyy " T"
to ,Pmmrainf nirpnt1 ute
f°r
Secretary of the Treasury
Sny-f' ^urchasinpIn additionnower
to removal
of direct d bt
• .,
J
from the conder recently told a:group of in- Purchasing power from the cona

Railway Company (hereinafter called
Company) hereby invites tenders for the purchase by it of its
<5% Gold Bonds, Series A, 4ue
July 1, 1990 (hereinafter called the Bonds). The.Company is pre¬
pared to expend up to $1,000,000 if Bonds pre offered on favorable
Interest

a

A A

months

at

ago,

-

y

to

government

the
field

it

because

in this
proving - .a

stay

was

stimulus to their own savings de¬

the presentation

partments; that

Twas such that it made people start

thinking about saving, and if they

bond,

didn't have enough te-buy a

they would perhaps come down
and open an account."
!

;

Savings/ Bonds -issued
-

T_

J.^y If
Fav ngs

w

l

sm.ce

^

bad not- been selling
Bonds, y - the; Treasury

thai! caused

plex \ factors

TheSecretary
the

s

recent

October 6,

During

press^adeqiiatelyi&y^

chasing

the

same

to
in

ori

does
•

the Treasury

borrow

from

;

,,

especially to the promotion of our
various--war loan drives, and to
r-

the

continuing

vided

a

'

selfish, more

■

this respect.

A

■

the
I'd

-

bottom

like

what

effective, more un-

of

our

hearts.-

vou

complish.ft''>;
-

-

Reduction in Bank Holdings : of

ft;"; Bebt
idDn Feb. 28,
tional7 debt
Since

||

that, time'it

duced

to

billion—a
billion.

:

1946, the gross na¬
$279.8 h billion.

was-*

has been

approximately
net

re-

•

$254.2

reduction of

$25.6

About $20

billion of this

increase

in

the

(

^ejnand get^

[ance!

-A.

- v;

There

are

There are many
^re^spdadle^ajT; iotal.
affect the impact of
^; r.-

debt

.two major ..Jwlls .be¬

lupon

y of rejectipn pf tenders,
or

as

high

as

omyy/;

$4 billion dollars.. You
see
that these/ two

readilv

But

a

;

was

-madewith




cash

b:lls

together

would

All Bonds delivered pursuant to the acceptance, in

v/hole or in*.
and must
inclusive,

Chemical Bank & Trust Company, Agent, St. Louis
Southwestern Railwav Company, Corporate Trust Department,
1948, to the

New York 15, N. Yy where payment therefor will

165 Broadway,

(be made.

.

///-./Ay,,

;;

Ayy All Bonds in
in whole

or

;

..

•

•;

coupon form delivered pursuant to the acceptance,
of a tender must be accompanied by all appurte-

in part,

maturing on and after July 1, 1948. All coupon
registered as to principal only must be accompanied by duly
executed bond assignments, with signatures guaranteed.
Tenders must be signed by the owner of the Bonds and, if the

I

nant

coupons,

Bonds

V

principal amount of Bonds tendered by any one person (other than
by a bank, trust company, insurance company, or a member of a
national
securities exchange .or
association) does not exceed
$100,000, principal amount, arrangements must be made
bank,

trust

company,

member of

or

one

with

a

of such exchanges or

associations to surrender the Bonds tendered, in case of acceptance,
in whole
ance

in part, of the tender. Bppks, trust

or

companies, insur-

companies, and persons tendering Bonds in excess of

$100,000,

.principal amount, desiring to .do *0, may make arrangements with
a bank, trust company,.or. member of ope of such exchanges or as¬
sociations to surrender the Bonds tendered, in case of acceptance,in whole

or

in part, of the tender.

The bank, trust company, ex¬

association member signipg the tender form in the space
provided therefor, delivering and accepting settlement for Bonds
change

or

..^pursuant to and in accordance with an acceptance, in
part, .of a tender of another party pr person, >will be

whole or in

paid by the
.Company $250 per $1,00.0, principal pmount, thereof.United States Stamp Taxes are not payable on the sale, as
cancelled.
.the right, in its absolute discretion, to
accept or reject any or all tenders of any. pf said Bonds, or to accept
anv portion of the Bonds covered by any tender and to reject the

Bonds purchased are to be

The "Company reserves

.

-..V,,

successful sales program

about of Savings Bonds to, individuals
$9
billion purchasing power -to can have an eyen more direct ef¬
fect in reducing dangerous infla¬
I*An address by Mr. Townsend the market if they pass. *
The nation is indeed - fortunate tionary
pressure.
Dollars thus
at the annual meeting of The Cen¬
to ' have
tral States. Conference, Chicago,
Secretary Snyder and taken from the spending stream
A
(Continued on page 27)
Secretary Wiggins iri control pf
111., March 23, 1948.
y-A -

I'| reduction,

tenders

representatives, at the addresses appearing in
'
y
1

tenders.

part, of a tender must be delivered in negotiable form
be so .delivered during the period April 7 to April 21,

/

our

■'

their authorized

their respective
.

will be mailed not-later than twelve o'clock

Eastern Standard Time, on April 7, 1948, to makers of

noon,

cording to the naoers might .run could
ran

Proposed Contract No. NY 1 GO," and addressed to Mr. Paul

opened by Mr. Paul J. Longua, or in
Millard or, Mr. C. E. Scott, at said office,
immediately after twelve o'clock nopn, Eastern Standard Time, on
April 5, 1948. Makers of tenders or persons representing them may
„be present and examine each tender jif they so desire.
Notices of acceptance of tenders, in whole or in part, or notices

greatly expanded credit, which in
our present inflationary situation
be dangerous to rthe econ-

Marshall Plan bill; .the other-.is
the tax reduction bilk which,.ac¬

in; this transaction, and, if a firm,
and addresses of each member

names

1948. Tenders received will be

factors that
the public

that emphasize the bution is one
necessity of th's more .than.eyer,- ihgs of United States bonds in the
One is the $5 JbTlion ^..million- banking system may, under cerdollar European-cooperation-,;. or .tain conditions, provide a base for

fore Congress

pr agent

association, the

his absence by Mr. F. H.

/

nationa"

economyDistri¬
of them. Large hold-

or

•

.

Now

iust a little of
have helped us to ac-

over-all

standing does not further outrun Program constitutes a major at¬
production. We must see that the tempt to spread the national deb ;
gap js narrowed until supply and
without increasing the pver-al"

patriotic service in
We thank you from

to report

purchasing

selling officer

or

Company, Room 2105, J65 Broadvyay, New York 6, N. Y., at or
before twelve o'clock noon, Eastern Standard Time, on April 5,

power^has outrun production; and
all along the
•*
^ Savings Bonds and Debt
Tpe.. Today our major economic
problem at home is to make sure ;}'■*& |;yy|:; Management
that the amount of money putSpecifically, this Savings Bond

in this nation has pro¬

more

our, .economy,.

\

^

under

prices have come up

sale 'of- Savings

Bonds since the end of hostilities.

No group

In

amended Octpber 4, 1920, in its Docket Ex

J. Longua, Secretary, St. Louis> Southwestern Railway Company,
Room 2105, 165 Broadway, New York 6, N. Y.
All tenders must be received at the office of the Secretary of the

the

of this increase is due to the buy¬ American Ipeople?/ Wby; ah ex¬
behalf, and for the welfare
ing and holding of Fav'ngs Bopds panded, Savings Bond sales drive?
of the people of America; "
' *l
by indiv;duals, for there has been, '•.First,.it must be stated empha¬
would stress particularly the
tically'. that the Savings Bone
contribution :of the banks to the the Victory Jjogh.vV-'
T • :.;vf Program does not contemplate an
Treasury's financing
programs,

as

|

X,hp manager, purchasing or selling officer of agent in this
; /
V
V"
'V'-'yA
Tenders must be enclosed with accompanying papers ip a plain
envelope, securely sealed, bearing no indication of the name of the
maker of the tender or the amount of the tender and marked "Bid
.

our

-

the regulations

transaction.
.

the

about $6,485> for each family
ithe United States;.
,

22.8% of the debt to | Why, then,
$65.3 billion or 25:7%,. Nearly all still -seek
to
billion

v

and of

indebtedness which now amounts

period' indi¬

1919,

partnership,

„

vidual i ownershijp-ofgovcrnment
securities
increased from $63.5

,,,ciation, and that of the Treasury,
Tor the services bankers have ren¬
dered, and fcr the services that
banker continue to nerform -in

Cotton Belt Building, St. Louis, Missouri,
and

conformity with regulations .of the Interstate Commerce Com¬
mission, each tender must state the name and address of the maker
of the tender (owner of Bonds), ai?d, if a corporation, the names
and addresses of its officers, directors, general manager and pur¬

i The

impossible for" me to ex¬

It is

or

In

(

221 months.

V., marked ^Attention Mr. Paul J. Longua,

N.

Parte No. 54.

Treasury, with the complete sup¬

port of the President and his other
able to retire
economic advisors, to institute this
bank-held debt new
campaign are, perhaps, less
and the existing inflationary po¬
readilyunderstood.
tential wo.uld have -been a£>out
$.110 billion greater ihap it Js.now.
Why Push Savings Bond Sales
Tliis is the ;/IuUfncie5a§ufe iof, the
anti-inflationaryf effect, .of- the .: The government now is .operat¬
favlrvr Bond ;Program in-.the past ing with a surplus of revenues

critical

'

prescribed by the interstate Commerce Commission in its order of

$15 billion jess of

s-ud:

/further

,

i

This Invitation for Tenders is made pursuant to

have-been

would

6,

Comptroller."

.

' '
* J
over expenditures.
The continued
banjklng system held $1.16,7. high costs of the aftermath of war
billion dollars • ■ or 41J)% .^of ;thet and of our national security anc
years
the Treasury Department
Federal debt in .February 1946, foreign aid programs are being
has called upon the financial in¬
when' the debt .reached it's aJMime; met.- The unprecedented national
stitutions of the United States for
hi^h.
By the e ni| of . December income has provided tax receipts
support and assistance upon many 1
°47 this Jiad been .reduced ,vtp .sufficient to permit continued re¬
occasions. and 4n manv different
$91.,1 billion or 35.8%..The amount duction of the debt/.Sound fisca"
capacities.". And he added that
nnw held by commercial banks is
policy/dictates that we must, in
they had vnever failed to - come $68 6
billion, or 26.9%, against a, these/prosperous tim es, endeavor
through. - y*"'- '
| ,y|;w
high of $93.8 billion or 33.7%.
to reduce.further that. nationa11
"

"Throughout

-

all

meeting,

a

they wanted

York

Secretary,"

•

banks assured us that

.

marked "Attention Mr. F. H. Millard, Vice President

v

The '• American
lihas met with the practically uni- Tal. of from $6 to $7 for .each dolr
people
were
.versal support of bankings Prior/J,ar,So r^-red from the banking quick to grasp the .necessity for
/yto the end of the war, I felt that 'System. This means that wf have. .lending their funds to their gov¬
w thdrawn
that much purchasing
ernment during the years when
banking would be in here yery
power from the market and six
we were battling ruthless enemies
shortly after the; end of ..the war
to seven times that much or .about
for our existence in a shooting
y and say:- 'Now, get out of this $20
biJlion from the credit poten¬
war
private -field .-.that belongs to the
tial. The Savings Bond sales since
: The necessity for
an expanded
banking industry and- is not part the
Victory Loan have /covered drive to sell
Savings Bonds now
of what the government ought to
.The-.redemption and maturities gi is
harply less urgent, but the com¬
be doipg/C Strangely enough, a
few

v.'

for Tender may be obtained by addressing
its offices, Room 2105, 165 Broadway, New

request. Forms
the Company at
»

§ dustrialists, meeting in Washing- spmer market, r$bis ..operation ^.re- I; Savings Bonds-in War and lu
ton: "The Savings Bond Program nmves a. credit expansion poten- :•:{?'fIVIvf:'-:fv Peace 'ff/1

..

-

.

accepted for purchase will be paid to April 21,

y All tenders must be submitted in triplicate on the Form
for Tender which will be supplied by the Company upon

V

min-

X

Bonds

on

1948, but not thereafter.

interest on the national

-

-

$9,000

us

•'

terms.

;

is. military, ..past and

It costs

„

General and Refunding Mortgage

business in the world—and nearly

the^nkZ-alLtbat post

f0r

;

the

.........

_

July 1, 1990:

St. Louis Southwestern

and maturities of other Sav-

ons

Railway Company

Invitation for Tenders

.

not

happy
done

,

St. Louis Southwestern

>

-"

/;•<£ ;:y r
appeaiea to
vo the
ine bankers
oanKers 01
ine
'appealed
of ; thie

i

more

management. I am sure everyone
will agree that they have followed
a
very wise course. A • ;
• vn
s Bonds and
left a surplus Of
To give you an idea of the mag¬
$ 3 billion.
It is obvious that This
nitude of the debt problem facing
$ 3 billion represented merely a the
Treasury, among other things
shift of ownership from banking
the Treasury has to yaise $72,000
n-rtitutions to nun-banking inves¬
night and day,
tors.
I would like to emphasize every, ; minute,
that the net proceeds *from the -Sundays and holidays, to run the
U.s S.
the; biggest
Government,
s,,e Qf Savinps Bonds dn n0(
t

f need rHxeipind
>

even

ury.-with funds- to meet redemp-

,v e

you

been

Since I appeared - before
this
ernment finances recognize that
distinguished group we have sold
there were several courses which
in excess of $15.billion in Savings;
Bonds.
This provided the Treas¬ could have been taken in -debt

lessens

threat

has

debt

than $26 billion
of

our

The -reduction in the bank-

Loan.

by individuals.
in

monetary problems at this
critical hour. -We owe them a debt
of gratitude.
I am afraid that

from the over-subscribed Victory

Every
placed

gram.

Chronicle)

\

continuation
a

Financial

MICH.— Lester L.
Lodge has become affiliated with
Charles E. Bailey & Co., Penob¬
scot Building, members of the De¬
troit Stoqk Exchange.

upon

pnnfini»qtia«

of

to The

ownership of the public
only be insured through the

depends .much

by individuals and other non-bank investors.

Edwards & Sons.

Washington

DETROIT,

associated with Reinholdt & Gard¬

move.

'

Charles E. Bailey Co. Adds
(Special

ILL.-^Rodraan
Matheny, Jr., has become

SPRINGFIELD,

ban khold Jigs of U. S. dsbt, and its contribution in

Stresses importance of con inuation of Savings

program

J

West

131

Inc.,
Avenue.
Co.,

Joins Reinholdt & Gardner

.

'

Chronicle)

BEND, IND.—Charles
W. Magner has been addled to the
staff of Albert MeGann Securities

134

Co.,

Financial

to The

SOUTH

By MORRIS M. TOWNSEND*

■'

.

&

McMaster

Wilson,

(Special

J.

Calvin

—

associated with

Webb has become

With Albert MeGann Co.

.

Chronicle)

to The Financial

(Special

n

(1439)

CHRONICLE

balance.

add

ST. LOUIS
.

y

*

.•

New York,

c

•

■FT

4-V

.

..

.

N. Y., March 22, ,1948.

.

•

SOUTHWESTERN RAILWAY COMPANY,
•

|

'paul J. Longua, Secretary.
'

>

,

24

(1440)

THE

COMMERCIAL &

World Bank Grants $16 Million Loan to Chile

McCloy's visit to South
America, similar to the one he
made last fall to several

capitals

Represents
John

first World Bank loan to South
McCloy, President of Bank, to tour

J.

of

South America.
The

International

Bank

Reconstruction

and

Development

announced on March 25 that the Board of
Executive
proved two loans to Chile
totaling $16 million.

The first is

-

in

Chile

loan of $13.5 million for

a

to

n

t

s

r

mentality

-

f
Chilean

the

o

ment

of

m

Office

the

of

and
d

e
:

Electrii d a d, S. A.

(Endesa),-

John J. McCloy

^

a

The

zation.

$2.5

v

million

second

is

to

Fomento

the

loan

a

of

Expressing

or¬

ganization for the purchase
agricultural machinery. -

report of

of

are

eral

velopment field and
with

of

one

the

Vice-

of

the

Victor

gua.

Brazil

off the Bank's

Industrial

represents

Chile, Philippine Republic,

the

generally

The"

of

20
years;
amortization pay¬
ments will begin in the sixth

year

are

loan

calculated

to

retire

the

by maturity.

Tni3 loan car¬
interest rate of 3V2%". The
million loan to Fomento is

an

$2.5

term

a

of

six

and

one-half

years; amortization payments will

begin

in the

calculated

third

to

year

retire

maturity. This loan

the

and

are

loan

carries

an

by
in¬

terest rate of 2%%. In
accordance

with

its

Articles

of

Agreement,

the Bank will also
charge a
mission of 1%
annually on

pro

d

u c

t i

maining in

purchases of critical materials
foreign countries, where a
longer range is indicated by upset
foreign conditions. Purchase or¬
from

decline

i

more

s

der

pro¬

in

nounced. Lux¬

items
prominent
ury

in

of orders

are

ly

large

order

book),

34%

show

decrease,

compared to 14%
creasing. This is the result of

con-

more

j;o

the

cautious

policies.

months, at least,
disruptive
conditions
could be
speedily eliminated; For
the
immediate future,
extreme

ume

if

ex¬

change for the purchase of agri¬

cultural machinery in order
to in¬
the
productivity of Chilean

agriculture.

/

our

accordance with Bank pol<ky, the loan agreements provide

the

be

funds
used

to

be

for

are

put.

loan

two

and

Roberto

>

'

;

contracts

<

were

Vergara,

representative
on

behalf

again,
of

of

the

de

of

la

South

leave for

a

are

with a tendency to
competition increases.

as

are

coming

into

Escalator
reported dropping off
which is a general
are

the competitive

gauge

climate.

;

will

new pressure is

being

versely affected by the coal strike.
1

Reduction in steel
delivery allot¬
ments will create
unbalanced

April 1. He will be accom¬ ventories of
other
materials,
panied by Luis Machado of
1
with

in¬

pit

Cuba,




the

present

short?

changes

'

■

.

were:

■

-

ace¬

conduit;

too

particular,

even

commit¬

Foreign Sales Continue High

:•

:

••

"'rV'

In

I

survey notes, however, that
number of manufacturers re¬

"a

port considerable shrinkage in ex¬
port shipments." This is generally
attributed to "shortage of dollar

types of

some

caused them to focus their
efforts upon new territories
most

February.
caused

time

These

the

New

do

recent"

layoffs

by the coal strike. Over¬

and

extra

shifts

are

out of the picture. The
cient

employees

ductivity.
hard

hit

and

not

its

fading

more

being
accelerating

are

effi¬

are

re¬
pro¬

Northern California is

by the

power

limitations

production.'

on

shortage,
industrial

v'T;:-Vf1 T T

(

Canada

■

..

Many

up

lower.
better

States.

grade.

Backlogs

are

holding

than

the

United

Prices

in

are

Inventories

on

the

down¬

continued

be reduced.

to

Employment is down.
Buying policy duplicates that of
the States.
•
•
;
•

executives

as

result

a

The

is

from

away
?

of

fear; that

export
trade may suffer a temporary set¬
A few
believe that this

rary.

j

;

^^

South America

Back

as

Door

Exports to Europe

Many executives

are

for

.

wondering

whether the licensing regulations

It

is

contended

cover

that

present regulations

an

exports
par¬

under

the

export sale

could be made to South America
where

licenses

no

required
positive Est
and that the products might then
be channeled to Europe.
These
executives speculated
as
to the
for items

not

such

of

back

are

the

on

effectiveness

if

exist.

s^les

present controls
doors
to
Europe

;:

few executives fear that the

A

extension of government licensing
might lead to a greater degree of

state

tradmg and that the private
channels

commercial

be

may

gradually blocked out of the

Licensing Regulations
Opposed*

ture.

bus'ness
to

the

executives
new

are

'

>

because

the

of

are

numerous

utives

be

to

expected

solve

will be aggravated' and

of

anv

that "the

only hope lies in giving the enter¬
prise svstem more freedom by en¬
couraging the free exchange of

goods both here

and

controls

abroad."

Price Pr«vi«*ions Severely
Criticized v'(

s

'

of

.

This

principle

against the use of
nrice criteria in granting licenses.
was

the cost of
a

an

minimum.

of the

sums

will

money

be

•

spent under ERP and
that
"final control of the use of these
funds

must

in this country."

rest

Curb

Quarter

Club

Elects

At

the

Century

Officers

annual

meeting of the
Exchange em¬
ployees' Quarter Century Club,
Louis S. Burgers, a supervisor of
personnel on the exchange trading
New

York

Curb

floor,

was elected President suc¬
ceeding Henry H. Badenberger.
Mr. Burgers, who joined the Curb
Exchange staff on June 27, 1921,

.

the severest, criticism

directed

that

They say* that large
American taxoayers'

was

Some
was

feel

ERP must be held to

govern¬

manufac^

The minority of business exec¬
favorin g * more
strin gent

:

regulations

a

Vice-President

during the past

of

the

club-

year.

Martin J. Keena, director of the

Curb

established by

department

of

Securities,

was elected Vice-President of the
Section 3b of Public Law
395, but
organization. Christopher Hengea majority of executives
regard it
veld, Jr., will serve as Secretary
as
"unworkable and, invpractical.

and

is

easily

subiect

contended

that

to

abuse."

OIT

It

crimination.

For

many

products,

manufacturers believe that few
outside of experts in the indus'try

qualified to make

ancj Treasurer for another year.

personnel

have been given excessive nowers
which might lead to unfair dis¬

are

go

a

today's serious (trade problems.
Instead, thev believe the problems

In

general business, production
has leveled off with the trend to

of

Minority Favor Controls

1

time

reports

more

markets

sterling countries.

Employment is down, the great¬
(34%) reporting low¬

cover

of

in

frequently reported shift in

foreign

est number

than

and.

"increased

foreign
competition." These factors, some
manufacturers
point
out,
have

can

'

pay
rolls J than at any
since
the war—15%
more

restrictions

turers who, in the light of
previ¬
ous
experience, cannot see how
additional ; government ^ controls

*

er

to

ca«es,

;i There

au¬

[-J"- Employment

import

governments."

ment's failure "to consult practi¬
cal men who have
spent years in
export trade."
;

tomobiles; brass; bronze ingots;
containers; ■;cotton twine; :small
motors; fuel oil; pine oil; paint;
polystrene; thermoplastics; valves.

foreseen

regulations, the majority

new

to non-European
countries,
ticularly South America.

realistic

supply:, steel;
alu¬
minum; building (materials; china;
lead; zinc; nail^j methanol (good
grades); some lumber; tin.

ficulties
the

f.

matter of principle.
Several
manufacturers
found
them
un¬

*•'•*.»<irt:

delays and dif¬

pating in the survey "have con¬
tinued at high levels, with an up¬
ward trend
often
in evidence."

opposed

tight

Trade

on

Will be extended to

as

alcohol;

Effect

Because of the

manufacturing exporters partici¬

The

This

importance to producers of heavy
equipment.
.V;

setback may be more than tempo¬

new

Foreign sales of the
majoritv of

products.

many

time factor is held as of
particular

3

•

more

back:

forerunner of still
broader regulations, -v
' • yV-,;T

,

planning

frequent criticism of
regulations is that the

enough for

a

.

production

-

new

many

whether the

to

as

are

and

90-day license period is not long

90-day li¬

by a few producers who fear
josses ' "may be more than
temporary," ( while some' others

ex¬

Another
the

is

that

that

costly delays,
tape," and addi¬

also expected to become

difficult.

regarded as
giving undue

OIT will be bogged
paper work and that

is

for

licensing problems. Scheduling of
orders
are

the

frequently re¬
short, and generally

result

net

look

"unjustified red

are
as

Consequently,

down with

die

ex¬

ercised to continue the
downward
trend. Steel
production, which is
the most serious
bottleneck, is ad¬

America

tour of South America

but

-

-

price

products;

tained and

Industry is measuring inven¬
tories with extreme
caution. They
are somewhat
lower than Febru¬

bor¬

Development,

;

Cor-

Pro¬

the

"

"

-

in

Easier to get:

Inventories

the announcement of
.h* loan to
Chile, it was stated that
John J.
McCloy, President of the
International Bank
for
Recon¬
and

by

New

Following

struction

,

(

materialr prices

Supplies

clauses

ary,

Tour

advised

employment1 situation.

rowers.

To

'

Development;

poracion de Fomento
•

vol¬

productivity and produc¬
efficiency are reported bet¬

ter.

on March
25, 1948 by R. L.
Garner. Vice
President, on behalf
of the International
Bank for Re¬
construction
and

duccion

good

closer balance with
demand. Some
of the fears of
cost increases on
another wave of
wage demands
have been lessened
by the easier

signed

by

generally

reports.

lower,
tion

that representatives of the
Bank
have full
opportunity to
check the end
use to which all

as

few

glycerin; hides; leather; jute; lead
cable; gum rosin; rubber; linseed
oil; menthol; mercury; sugar; tal¬
low; some textiles; yarns.
:

Worker

purposes

shall

The

is

Industrial

disbursed

the

specified in the agreements

purchases

in

almost static,

showing

period

foreign

burlap; butyl acetate; cocoa but¬
ter; cotton goods; some foods;

several

Commodity Prices

that the Bank shall
be furnished
With full information
will

remain

price

On the down side:
ethyl

w

In

that

would
for

these

caution

crease

cense

exchange,

i

ink; saccharin; small tools; twine.

are

The purpose of the
$2.5 million
loan is to
provide

'

.

blocks; dolomite; felts; formalde¬
hyde; glue; platinum; rope; news

sound;

sales

get.

coal-tar

Purchas¬

demand exceeds
supply in many
products,
and
production
and

foreign

In

garded

tone; ; ahintinum^

of

ing agents' over-all opinions
that, basically, business is

production

i

Commodity Changes

Increased

con¬

development

current

important

easier to

disturbing elements—

plans—have

tributed

ex¬

v

basis that

a

stand out, the "downs" overbal¬
ancing the "ups" by a slight mar¬
gin. Many more items are reported

a

in¬

:inuing close buying commitment
schedules and
inventory reduc¬
tion policies.
new

maintain

No

previous

the

backlogs, and to

Specific

and,
while still
substantial
(52% report
maintaining

being reduced
drop-off in

are

schedules. vf >

disappearing rapid¬

development of electrical
power and water facilities and re¬
sources in Chile.

for the

will

.,T :'
j
slowing of demand. Backlogs

the

quantities

proportion to

order

Robert C. Swanton

are

war
talk and
the coal strikeadded to the
uncertainties of the
aid to Europe

required

are

to

Two

change for the purchase and im¬
portation into Chile of equipment

supplies which

clination

both

foreign

ruies."

controls

are

high gear, al¬
though the in¬

,

.

tional credit, shipping and
import

The

porters

fear that the

commitments. 95% report this pol¬
icy, with accent on the 60-day
limitation.
The; few exceptions

o n

re-

com¬

loans to be set aside in the
Bank's
T
The purpose of the
$13.5 mil¬
lion loan is to provide

special reserve fund.

some

be

it is feared that inordinate
delays
in the issuance of licenses are

predominant
purchasing
continues within 90-day

policy

trends—

:

The
$13.5
million
loan
to
Fomento and Endesa is for a term

new

lieve that

Trade personnel.; The

;

to

as

tion may

sneculate

Buying Policy

expressed

whether the OIT will be able to
obtain properly qualified person¬

authority to Office of International

able.

is

nel.

price provisions
inpractical and

;

—«

skepticism

are

for

clearly defines

ductive

pro¬

&

Conference

controls and question the heed for
additional restrictions at this time.
Even among the minority who be¬

new

policy. Selective examina¬
tion of inventory items is advis-;

ary, and more

the

capital for

Board.

the

degree of regula¬
necessary there are
many who are skeptical as to "the
efficiency and effectiveness of the

of its members, the March
Purchasing < Agents Business

of

to

-

Board,
most
exporters
strongly opposed to these

ment

re¬

at

assist in the development of Terri¬
tories of members by
facilitating
the investment of

purposes, including the
encouragement of development of
productive facilities and resources
in less
developed countries.

opinion

Association

con¬

completed by the National

Conference

According

end of Febru¬

objectives

policies—namely, to

composite

are y

licensing

inevitable.

the

National

exporters

by the Department of Commerce,
according to the latest survey
of business practices which
has just been

represents

Moller

most

says

skeptical of their efficiency.

are

Manufacturers find the immediate outlook for
foreign sales fur¬
ther clouded by the recent
introduction of a new set of

Executive

as>

Bank

Board

rulings and

trols

Bolivia, Costa Rica,' Guatemala,
Paraguay and Panama.
-

business

1

ported

in accord

are

main

the

conditions

the Bank has approved in the de¬

.

Machado

Conference
new

of

to be guaranteed
by the Government of Chile.
The loans are the first which

i

Bogota,

Venezuela.

and

Industrial

strongly opposed to

Survey Committee, whose Chairman is Robert C. Swanton, Director
export trading will suffer. More
Purchases of Winchester
Repeating Arms Corp., confirms the, serious
consequences are looked
change in gen-

-

Both loans

York

National

'

Business Survey Committee of National Association of
Purchasing
Agents, headed by Robert C. Swanton, sees new disturbing elements in war talk and coal strike.;
Says worker productivity and
^
efficiency are better.

;

subsidiary of the Fomento organi¬

end

:

More Pronounced

p r e s a

C

and

;

High Production, but Willi Declines

devel¬

Nacional

for

those

Mexico,
Cuba,
Peru,
Uruguay,
Ecuador, Dominican Republic, El
Salvador, Honduras and Nicara¬

Victor Moller of Chile,
Executive Director, will join the
group in Santiago.

eco¬

opment,

ries

countries.

of

Director

Chester A.
Counsel, Drew

created

nomic

and

lems

Brazil

Director,

the

the

promote

.

Chilean

E

purpose

with

on April 2; from
there
tentatively
plan
to
visit
Ecuador Peru, Chile, Uruguay,

President.

Governto

himself

development prob¬

Luis

arte

Thursday, April 1, 1948

Reports "Farther Clouding" by
New Export Controls

European

for the

they

McLain, General
Dudley, Director of Public Rela¬
tions, and Enrique Lopez-Herr-

an

u

acquainting

:

Colombia

Directors ap¬

hydro-electric development

Executive

de Fomento de
la Produccion

(Fomento),

be

economic and

<s>

Gorporaclon

i

will

The group will arrive in

for

CHRONICLE

Mr.

Bulk of proceeds to be
appKed to government sponsored hydro¬

electric projects.
American nation.

FINANCIAL

proper

price

comparisons.

Bonds

.Holders

Nov.

Efficient Administration of
Regulations Doubted
The

consensus of

of

these

1,

1960

$16,000
bonds

through the

ness-like

fiscal agent.

Considerable

Free

State

Redemption
Irish

Free

-

:

State:

are
being notified
principal amount of"

have

been

lot for redemption on

manufacturers
opposing the new controls is that
they "will no;t and cannot be ad¬
ministered in a simple and busi¬
fashion."

Irish

(Saorstat Eireann) external loan
sinking fund 5% gold bonds due
that

>•

of

Drawn for

drawn

by

May 1, 1943

sinking fund at

par.

The bonds will be redeemed at the
head office of The National
Bank

of

New

York,

City
American

Volume 167

Number 4686

-

THE COMMERCIAL

&

CHRONICLE

(i44i)'«;

Cherner

is;
President, and
George F. Hoheim is Executive
Vice-President. Reference to the
organization of the institution ap¬

An

CAPITALIZATIONS

At

the

the

regular meeting of the

of

Directors

of

The

The

Na¬

of

tional City Safe Deposit Company
of New York held on March
25,

Side

North

of New

March 24.

President Fred

Randolph Burgess was ap¬
pointed Chairman of the Execu¬

The

National
City
York, was elected
a
Director of the Safe Deposit
company
to
succeed
the
late

the

Rentschler. Mr.

Board

the

of

'•

tive

and

DeWitt

elected

A.

v a

by the death

■ii-jvY'i
of

Trust

March

on

25 the appointment of Herbert H.

Vice-President

as

Credit

bank;

;,

Lieut.-Commander

in

during World War II,
Colonial
his

Trust

military

Navy

he

N.

is

?162,500.

15

Division

National

the

.amount

Office

the

of

the Currency the

$65,-

100

E. Chester
The

Public.

National

Trust Company

that

nounces

to $130,000 by a stock divilend, and from $130,000 to $162,-

Gersten, President of
Bank

of New York,

Albert J.

and
an¬

300

Kuenzler,

nounced the

>:"At

the

March

29

ing of the Port
Bank

of

Port

of

'

N.

Y.

\

••

the

At

Edward
elected

P.

Ped-f

ident of the

viously,
with

he

Edward P. Pedowe

Cashier.

-

the

the

New

a

senior

York State

iof v Banking. ' Pre¬
had been associated

York

National

New York. He is
lic

a

City

New

York

Bank

of

certified pub¬

accountant, and

the

a

State

member of

Society

of

CPA's and of the American Insti¬
tute of Accountants.

Mr.

March

on

formerly

election

Mr.

25.

Assistant

'»/*/;//■>

L/L',/

of James

Committee

of

the

of March

V/v

of

the

C.

Fen-

Baltimore

11,. by, J-

who is

Board

of

i-i National; Bank,
in the Clearing
House
Ai - H. S. Post who is

Baltimore

succeeds

Chairman

of

Mercantile

signed.

the

Board

of

the

Trust

Company; re¬
Baltimore
"Sun"

The

■-=-■>'"-"J'-iIC'-'AV"^:"*■

says:

"Mr;

Post

resigned the Chair¬
manship of the Committee at the

expiration
has

of

been

his

1947

associated

Clearing House

term.

He

with

the

has

served

as

Chairman

that Committee since 1931.

"Heyward

E.; Boyce,

'

of

^

;

Chairman

of the Board and President of the

Hauxwell & Smith, Inc., has been

Maryland Trust Company is Pres¬

a

Trustee of the 33-year old mu¬

long been active in the civic and

ident

of

James

D.

the First
more

is

the

Clearing
House.
Harrison, President of
National Bank
its

and

until

recently

served

as

President of the Board of Educa¬
tion.




of

Balti¬

Vice-President.
if

community affairs of Port Chester,

if

\

if

•"With a capital of $250,000 <and
surplus of $50,000, the Shirlington
Trust Company of Arlington, Va.
began business

on

are

more

not

timid

on

•

t

kv\ r

'•

v

••*>. •

•

•

.

:

:•

the constructive side of the market.
is looked for but a firm to better

,

v,••

•/.■•

--i -.'V!:•'&<

•

No runaway or wild splurge
price level is believed to be iflr
the making, with the restricted obligations
apparently the more fa¬

50-cent-a-

a

,v.
•

.

The feeling'seems to be growing in bond circles that the trend
prices of the intermediate and long Treasuries is upward for the
time being because investors, traders and dealers have returned tcr

just

outstanding

vored issues at this time.

Evidently

,

...

:

.

.

dividend

I-:.

■

turities into the

,\'

L.

missioner

r

Banks

in

market

it

is

the

he

will

Wis¬

authorities

"pegged

of-town bank and non-bank investors.

announced

.

.

...

.'''

L"

The

big city banks have been stepping out into the more distant
maturities with important purchases reported in the
eligible taxable

Milwaukee
It is added

2y4s due 1956/59 and the 2V2s due Sept. 15, 1967/72.
This is the
time for a considerable period that what appear to have been
rather sizable positions have been taken by the large city institutions
in the longer taxable bonds. >
Previously commitments in the

succeed

the

Citizens

State

Sheboygan, where

Bank

of

.

J. W.

the intermediate-term

Board.*

1952/54.

*:;

■

if

if

..

■' Vi

/

..

exempts. \

?

Tennessee

H. ; Bryce,
Memphis,
businessman, has been

named

Class

a

C

Director

Federal

Louis

of

Bank

these

St.

terrtV

a

and

March 9. Joseph

:

ters

Dallas, Texas. He
one
of the original promo¬
of the company 25 years ago

and

has served
its

Bank

Into

both

the

eligible

move

into the ineligibles has

intermediate

the

and

distant maturities.

more

been rather substantial

in for buying with the

due

1959/62

1

2x/ts due June and Dec. 15, 1967/72, evidently the current

favorites because of the small amount of premium involved.

...

organization.

purposes and tax

it<jLs

The

a

some

new

is

born in

no

had

reductions,; but the feeling in most quarters is that*

bit early to indicate when the Treasury

that type of

Louis Reserve

St.

,

it might be handled in (line with larger expenditures for defense-

way

Vice-President

as

,

Considerable discussion goes on aoout deficit financing and the

Minden, La. He
graduated from Culver and
University of Alabama/ In
1917 he joined the first Officers'
Training School at Fort McPherwas

prominent in the govern -

very

There has been switching out of the shorts by

.

PREMATURE

head office is in

since

obligations particularly in the 2s due Dec. 15,

ending Dec. 31,

Memphis
operations of the
Dixie Wax Paper Company whose

director of the

.

.

The

and the

of

was

principally to the partiallyreported to have been made in

also

were

.

with all issues coming

Mr. Bryce is Vice-President
General Manager in charge

1950.

.

institutions

.

Reserve System.
Douglas W. Brooks,

Memphis, wjiose term ex¬
pired last December: Thle appoint¬
ment is for

Purchases

.

.

confined

were

longer ineligibles with preference for the

Federal

succeeds

.

tap issues.

and

of

.

maturities

,,' Savings banks continue to be

by the Board of Governors

the

He

Reserve

.

ment market adding to their positions in both the eligibles and

,

Deputy Chairman of the Board of
the

distant

more

■

*

.

first

Hansen,
President of Citizens is moving
up to the post of Chairman of the
-

'

;:7:/"/i-Kvv

LONGER BONDS IN FAVOR

Dayton F.
Pauls, who will become President
of

ma¬

result the

a,

; v

.

become Vice-President di Cudahy
State Bank at Cudahy, Wis., ef¬

April 5
according
to

As

.

present and former holders of long governments.
This better
feeling among buyers of Treasury obligations has brought about a
good demand for most of the longer maturities, especially from out-

consin Banking Department, will

fective

.

.

as
Dr. Marcus Nadler and Mr. Beardsley Rumt
prices" of long Treasuries could and would no doubt
be maintained, appears to have
helped to instill confidence among

that

•:,

the

.

well with prices holding well

very

by Mr. Thomas B. McCabe (nominee for Federal
Reserve Board Chairman), before the Senate
Banking Committee,
that continued support of long-term governments at
par seems to be
the right pattern, along with the opinions of such
prominent money-

Stock, Deputy Com¬

of

turn about in the operation

The statement

.

■'

Walter

fully

have too largely increased

or
a

distant obligations.

more

■CONFIDENCE

good earnings made
possible." < !•<

1125.

too

either

.

action

"'

have

taking place with funds going out of the near-term

now

top bonds have been" acting
above support levels. ,

Feb. 12 page 731 and March

11, page
•

investors

,

is

The increase in the bank's cap¬
ital
was
referred in these
col¬
umns

non-hank

many

depicted their holdings of "longs"
their positions in "shorts" so that

30,000

operation. /

'money market followers
further

more

be faced with

may

V The only tangible near-term results that'

.

expect

from the changing conditions;

hardening of interest rates, until the authorities have

time to study general

economic conditions and the probable

was

the

effects upon

PARTIAL EXEMPTS HIGHER
'

The

Georgia,^?and served during

son,

World
cer

it of enlarged government spending.

War I>as

with

the

artillery offi¬

an

of certain of thc-se securities.

Announcement to the effect that

C.

Shefor

Vice-President

tion

Bank

would ^become

of the Fulton Na¬

Erie

Atlanta

.

.

t

v

to bring about

In

,

as

of

from which

Research
;

.

is

Council
I

(

- l-

■

r*i

.

pf
■

>

-

of
the

on page

40)

of

Mr.

j'
Thomas

B.

v-

.

.

♦

■

McCabe

before

the

Senate

markets although there seemingly is less confidence now

"Street" that important
;

new

bank regulations

for from the Congress in the not distant future.

.

.

Eccles idea of "Special Reserves" supposedly would

considered

in

any

new

banking

in the

not be asked

may

.

While the

not

even

be

limitations, larger reserve re¬

■

American Bankers Association,

(Continued

to cover positions, dealers

bidding for these securities which has helped

Banking Committee appears to have been reassuring to the money

March

Chairman

attempt to supply this de¬

as

higher prices for the partially-exempt Treasuries.

Testimony

we quote

Shelor, among his

activities,

an

well

LARGER RESERVES? '

made by Presi¬

"Constitution"

states that Mr.

the

and traders have been

Cocke according to the

7. The paper

other

.

issues

Atlanta, Ga. effec¬

of

tive March 12, was
dent

.

1

mand for the tax-protected

James

-;

partially-exempts continue to be in favor with large buyers

evidently in the market and the financial district apparently short

in

Division

82nd

France^

:

.

.

.

.

as a

McKay, who is President of

tual institution since 1934. He has

the

member of its
Executive' Committee since 1923
and

markets

money

conservative and

..

.

also of

Chairman of the Execu¬

as

position.
was

accounting and
investment
banking firms; • and
gained his early bank experience
with

B.

was

the

the

New

appointment
of
Roberts as Assistant

Vice-Chairman

bank, Mr. Pedlowe
Department;

Bank

Philadelphia

Editor^pf,

to

examiner in

of

S. Armstrong, Financial
that paper. Mr. Fenhagen,

joining the

voted

has

William

the

timore "Sun"

bank since
F e b r u a r y£;,

capital stock

As to the dividend

and continued

•

House at the organiza¬
tion meeting of the Committee on
March 10 was reported in the Bal¬

Executive

of

Co.

Roberts

tive

Vice-Pres¬

staff

Trust

more

of

was

Wright, President said
capital increase from
$600,000 / to
$1,500,000,
accom¬
plished throiigh issuance of stock
purchase rights to shareholders

;:

Clearing

lowe has been;

1941. Prior

elec¬

the

The Tradesmens National
and

hagen
■

its

of

.

The

Presi¬

dent. Mr.

an¬

-/L V.//

-

was

1939

recent

■

meetingPedlowe

and

to succeed him. i

Although the

.

■

ft

|

■

Vice-President

same

has

W. Elkins, Jr., a
Elkins, Morris & Co.,

in

.

.

George

Toseph

Board.

the

of

cap¬

"John C,

.

.

that

member

a

since

"Journal" of March 18.

v

resignation of George
as

announces

post

ft

Directors

of

partner

meet¬

Chairman /

of

Board

W-1'"'

elected to

was

Elkins

tion
■

Savings

Chester,

McKay
newly

created

i

Board

Chester

Dennis A.

;the

W.

,

-:'V

stock.

new

ft

Philadelphia

of

pany

Kerns, assigned to the 5th Avenue
Office, were appointed Assistant
s

if

Land Title Bank & Trust Com¬

Chief Clerk of the 39th Street and
7th Avenue Office, and
Eugene J.

Cashiers.

by the sale of

;Y-:.>

its

on

"Directors

a

of

Bank

increased from

was

Chicago

stitution

_

of

the

on

shares of $50 par stock. .:

the

of

According to the March

bulletin

meeting

now

...

payment,
which will be
April 15 to stock of record
April 9. It places the stock on a
$2 annual dividend basis. The in¬

■

Comptroller of

.

•

at

PRICE TREND

made

Rogers.

*

Byram

.

bank buyers are now bold enough to look H securities with ma¬
turities longer than those of certificates.

declared the Chicago "Journal of
Commerce" of March 19 reports:

Optical

V':

of

declared

was

Sast Port Chester, Conn, increased

1

very long ago.

so

without uncertainties, even the

stock of the La Salle National

March 18.

Its capital Feb. 27 from $65,000 to

Vice-Presi¬

dent.

The first dividend

Bank

Savings

Y.

S.

.

.

.

are

share

March

on

William

Instrument

The

experi¬
with

years

and Commercial

was a

N.

can

entirely in the

cease

"

ital

Y.

•/''

Buffalo

the

Buffalo,

known

/.•'•/-

Corporation, of which lat¬

ter company

&

1929.

;o

which may

money market conditions through the sale of near-term
issues instead of the distant maturities, which was the procedure

of Feb. 26.

as

Government Trust Accounts

.

mediates and longs, with many of these institutions

The increased

'•

v.

:

'

National

Square,

-f

of

trustee

with the

His

several

CIT Corporation

Credit

the

was

Company prior to

service.

includes

ence

;;:V'

Company. He
:s
a
nephew,
of
William
H.
Glenny, who was a trustee of the
Buffalo Savings Bank from 1877

activities of the
Dawson, who was a

Mr.

''i

capital from $625,March 1

}

American

charge of Personal Loan and Con¬
sumer

V, "

tific

in

effective

.

matter of fact certain non-bank investors

a

.

-

by
In
reporting this the Buffalo "Eveling News" stated that Mr. Glenny
is General Manager of the Scien¬

President
Company
of

York;, announced

Dawson

its

//

Square

Franklin

President

Kleeman,

Colonial

New

of

made

# V

S.

"'/jit''"

Bank; of

\

'

Arthur

-

Bryant Glenny has been elected

of

Mr; RefctsdMfer^

stock.

new

,

Commercial banks continue to switch from shorts into inter¬

additional

an

factor of importance in the trend of prices of government

a

easily take care of
near future.
putting funds into
long governments in preference to mortgages and other loans, that
do not seem to embody the
quality they are looking for now,
/•

As

not

of

and

of income tax payments the money markets

squeeze

this liquidation,

National

sale

•

•

a

created

vacancy

the

tighter

,

■•

longer

no

securities.

$50,000 having been realized
by the

was

through the sale of new stock to
the amount of $125,000.

Forward '; was
Director
to
fill
the

Despite the

continue buoyant because the pressure of liquidation by non-bank
investors of Treasury obligations has slowed to the point where it i*

:je

of

Governments

on

of

Fos-

capital, according to the Office of
the Comptroller of the
Currency,

000 to $750,000 effective

Sheperd
was appointed President, General
Manager and New York Agent,

of

...

12 months.

increased

Mr.

and

capital

Bank

#

capital

amount,

mark in

$5,000,000

Franklin

Bank

25, Mr. Burgess was ap¬
Chairman of the Execu¬

Committee

the

•

The

meeting

a

to

the past

March

pointed

and

International

Banking Corporation at
on

was

dents

Office

Brady
appointed Chairman of

also

was

party

National

doubled,
from
$100,000 to $200,000, a $50,000 in¬
crease having been
brought about
by
a
stock
dividend
of
that

birthday

a

the

Bank of Commerce of Pine
Bluff,
Ark.
has
been

visit the bank, at

New

Gordon S.

The

held with local resi¬
depositors invited to
which time Mr.
Berry thanked the members of
the community whose patronage
had servedto bring the savings
deposits of the Bainhridge Avenue

tive-Committee, and Howard C.
Sheperd was appointed President.
James
S.
Rockefeller, a Viceof

Berry,

First

#

in

*

direction of

Under the

increase

the sale of new stock.

York, located at 3125 Bain¬

W.

of

Avenue Office
Savings Bank

Bainbridge

the

Gage Brady, Jr. was ap¬
pointed Chairman of the Board,

Bank

Reporter

;■

By JOHN T. CHIPPENDALE, JR.

if

toria, Ohio, from $150,000 to $200,000, was effected on March 2 by

bridge Avenue in Bronx Borough,
celebrated its first anniversary on

Wm.

President

Our

columns Dec. 18

*'

Bankers

and

OFFICERS, ETC.

REVISED

Board

these

;

last, page 2492.

NEW BRANCHES
NEW

in

peared

CONSOLIDATIONS

a':.-;.

\

FINANCIAL

quirements do, however, come in for much discussion among in-i*
formal money market followers.

.

'■

c

THE COMMERCIAL

(1442)

26

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

&

Investment Association IssuesResims of

Sobering Realities
Regarding Taxes
{Continued from page 4)
present philosophy of govern¬
ment, tend to increase and not to
decrease; Hence, our total public
budgets and tax collections, un¬

Education Committee of Junior Investment Bankers

our

Columbia Gas System
Columbia Gas & Electric, having disposed of its electric subsid¬
iaries, Dayton JPower & Light and Cincinnati Gas & Electric, has now
changed its name to "The Columbia Gas System, Inc." Columbia is
one of the oldest and largest of the natural gas distributing systems.

Together with Consolidated Nat-91
4.1 1 •'
ural Gas (the old Standard Oil, (ranging between
system,

560 and 910)

the larger part of the so-j nothing paid in 1938-39 and 1942
eastern territory (except Ag a result the stock sold as low

serves

called
New

■

it dividend policy was erratic, with

independent)

now

-

:y.r

as

Its 19 operating

England).

subsidiaries serve a population of

7,000,000 in the States of
Kentucky, Maryland, New York,
Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and
West Virginia, and the District of
Columbia. Subsidiaries constitute

about

1

during the weak utility mar¬

kets of 1941-42. Beginning in 1943
dividends have been paid in each
year,

with the annual'totals in¬

creasing steadily from 100 in 1943
to 750 last year.

The regular quar¬
terly rate is now 150 supplement¬
an integrated unit with each com-, ed by year-end extras.
The > stock is currently selling
pany dependent on another either
for gas supplies or markets. The around HVz to yield about 61/2%."
system is divided into four princi¬ The price earnings ratio is 8V2.
pal groups —Charleston, Colum¬ As indicated above, share earn¬
bus, and Pittsburgh, and the oil ings are not expected to show
and gasoline group.
much change in 19.48, but 1949
show
a
substantial gain
Natural gas accounts for. about may
92% of system revenues (which in (which, however, might be diluted
if
the
company
should decide to
1947
amounted to $111,700,000)
with gasoline and oil making up do some equity financing). The
most of the balance.
Residential company expects to increase its
sales account for about 47 % of gas capacity. about 80% by 1950, and
revenues,
industrial 23%, com¬ seasonal peaks will then be han-.
mercial 7% and wholesale and died much more easily through
municipal 23%. Some of the prin¬ the use of huge underground stor¬
age reservoirs.

cipal cities served are Cincin¬
nati, Columbus, Dayton,1 Marion,
Springfield and
Zanesville
in
Ohio; part of Pittsburgh and New
Castle in Pennsylvania; Charles¬

and

Virginia;
(wholesale).

Field

Washington

natural gas

at

of New

the

area,

Sleepy

during the war-time pe¬

C.

depleted reserves.
Hence, the company found it nec¬
essary to obtain gas elsewhere and
it is now tapping the big southern
and mid-western fields by obtain¬
contracts)

Transmission,

of

million

350

150 million from
Transmission, and

(beginning April 15, 1948) 50 mil¬

In

lion from Panhandle Eastern Pipe
Line.
Based on" these contracts,

chian

L.

Morse, Jr., of Hemphill,

addition

to

the

perennial

features of the Field Day, such as

publication

the system now has gas reserves
of
trillion cubic feet available,
of which

Country

mittee. He will be assisted by four
Vice-chairmen—George K. Coggeshell of Schoellkopf, Hutton &
Pomeroy, Inc.; Robert H. Craft of
Guaranty Trust Co. of New York;
P. Scott Russell, Jr., of Glore,
Forgan & Co., and J. Emerson
Thors of Kuhn, Loeb & Co. ■

cubic feet through Tennessee Gas
Texas Eastern

Hollow

Noyes & Co., jhas been named
Chairman of the Field Day Com¬

ing daily deliveries (under longterm

be held

Bryce, Clark, Dodge &
Co., President of the Bond Club.
This year's outing will be the 24th
annual event of its kind.

further

riod

will

T. Jerrold

ducers as well

drawals

Day of the Bond

York

supplies Club,
Scarborough, N. Y., on Fri¬
from the Appala¬
day, June 4, it was announced by

including other pro¬
as its own wells.
Dependable reserves were declin¬
ing, however, and heavy with¬

chian

of the

"Bawl: Street

Journal," trading on the Bond
2yz are in the Appala¬ Club Stock Exchange and golf and
and 4 trillion in the tennis
tournaments, mdny new

area

entertainment events

Southwest.
Columbia
sound

Gas

has

long had

financial structure

and

this

a

year,

are planned
Mr. Morse ^announced.

The various activities will be

in

der the. direction of the
committee chairmen:

recent

years
this has become
stronger. Even after giving effect

the

present budget of $40,000,000,or more should be put in two,

000

un¬

following

E.

Jansen

.

.

52%

common

stock

and

surplus.

Circulation: Norman P. Smith,
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner &
Beane.

Before divestment of the electric

companies and retirement of the
preferred stock the common stock
equity was only 36%; this was in¬
,

Publicity: William H. Long, Jr.,
Exchange:
Robert
Lewis, Estabrook & Co.
'

tion of

serial maturities, sinking
retirements, and reinvest¬
ment of earnings.
fund

iHr©

forma

earnings

per

come

figures

presented

SfSC) have been
Year—

V '■

on

as

.

the

V.' /Amount
$0.79

1942-—

0.87

1S143-..—

0.93

of

which has completely ;

burden
the

ruined

finances

the

of

1948

powerful Great Britain.
In order to effect the necessary

we

theoretical

the

1.34

l?63

While earnings

were




Gordon

•

-

B.

Duval.

Carnival & Side; Show: vWilliam

to

are

6.700

26,8

4.3

1.2

2.2

3,100

73

5,700

16,800
15,200

23

28.0

4.4

2.0

2.3

3.7C0

87

7,000

Trainees

10

27*. 2

3.4

1.2

0.9

2,300

90

5,300

,130

27.4

3.8

1.5

1.9

3,300

83

6,£t)6

In

citizens

'

19,000

,52

35

13

19,600
17,700

€0

0

20

69

20

11

10%
8

this and the

as partners and accountants, which
within the major categories.
)

did not fall

The

following table shows 1947 incomes by positions

.

;

.

Classifications

r.<■;.

Under

4

—'

%

3

11.5

4

:

Trainees

-Buying-

No.

7.5

No.,;

%

'No...

«

-Overall-

,.%

0

•

%•.-;•

No.
18

15

i

12

>.

7.5

3

11.5

rJ 4

.17

4 0

31

57.0

15

58.0

11

48

>1

20

62

51

-

15

23.C

5

19.0

1

4

4

'80

26

22

'

54

100.0

26

100.0

"23

,100

,5

100

120

100

4

.

$2,500——-

Analysts

%

depart¬

or

.;.4

:

No.

$4,500 And over (»)J

$3,500-$4,499
$2,400-»$3,499

;

—Sales—

1947 Income

;

encourage

*

:

the

■{*> Ten had incomes of $5,000 </r above abd two of these had
over,

will

have

to

pay

incomes ,of

Possible

,

reasons

overall basis

an
"

,,,J

are

'

:

Classifications

-

\1

the differences in the levels of income on

for

indicated below:

"1947 Income
-

i

.

some¬

Under

Average Ages

(Years)

—2.9

$3.50Q-$4f489
$2,500-$3,499

,

$2,500

V

:

,

; ,1.9:

;

"

■

'

1.6

,4 3

v',;

27.9

,

27.4

.

»

* ".3.5-:

'

K"' -v27,S^

.'

'

'

.

Average No. of
i
Yearsof College; :t

-

'

:

28.2

2.3

.

^

/

"

Avg. No. of Years in
Securities Business

.

.

,'

$4,500 and over„.
.

,

¥

cre¬

•

*

$10,000

-

"■

•

.

%.9'
1 J

-

'

3.5

»:

;

indicates that any newly launched
business has far less than a 50%

shown

government.
; In considering the question of
top bracket rates, long experience

income

Also, .even

\o succeed.
established

is

evident

that

cards

as

Under

;

qse

"redistributed;"
short years

*

Within

>

over,„>.-

v

.

Analysts

.

24

3,2

2.0

1,8

1.5

2^ *

most

by

those

not

no

tion $3,700) had
in-the business.

and

moved.

will

income

The

the

of

the

try¬

"

'

2.0

\

19

.14

.

,

1,6

,

the securities

no

'

■

remunera¬

'

•

,

prices

are

par,;;

-

The

scaled

from
.

101%

"

-

to

".

:

is engaged pri¬
marily - in
furnishing- electric
Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. heads service throughout a substantial
area in Ohio, which includes the
an underwriting group that is of¬
fering publicly today $40,000,000 cities of Canton, Lima, - Ports¬
The Ohio Power Co. first mort¬ mouth, Steubenville, Zanesville,
gage bonds j 3% series due April Newark. East Liverpool, Lancas¬
1, 1978 at 100.99% and accrued ter, Tiffin. Ironton, Cambridge,
interest. The "group won award Fremont.Fostoria,. New
Phila¬
of the bonds at competitive sale delphia. ;• Coshocton; Mt. • Vetnon
and.Bucyrus.
^
on its:hid of 100.5^999.
v
'
>
company

.

ing-to support and revivify at our.

'

:

Buying Department (average 1947

Offers Ohio Pwr. Bonds

re¬

we are now

1.7^

2.0

2 9

-

the smallest percentage of those expecting to" stay

Halsey, Stuart firoup

Our standard of

countries

Overall

>

*

.

spirit of enterprise

moribund

Trainees
-

On the other hand, the predominant reasons given by those
expecting to stay in the securities business were C(l) interesting
business (2) opportunities, principally resulting from the lack of
young men in the business and (3) high salary potentialities.
;
Many of those replying made additional comments,- the most
common
relating to younger men's problems. An example of surh a
comment is "The desire of the securities business to hire high caliber
men ^cannot be realized so long as the salaries offered are so far
below those of industries with whom it must compete for manpower,
and not everyone has outside .income." ;
"ri.;'" "

more

be

'

-

;

rich. All incentives to risk

taking and the production of

-

3.5

expecting to stay; in

voters

be

Buying
,

In addition many of those with

to note that those in the

it will be impossible

by telling them that the
or those of moderate inr
comes, can bear the tax burden,
while thp masses will largely es¬
cape taxation.
There will soon-

;

expectation either way
the present time mentioned that
they might be forced to leave
the business because of inability to live within their
present incomes.
All except two of those
saying that they did not expect to stay in the
securities business earned less than $3,100. However, it is
interesting

en¬

"rich,"

as

at

few

a

overall,

as

As indicated by the large percentage of those replying needing to
other resources in 1947 (83), the problem of remuneration was

business.

our

fiscal ruin and to individual

well

as

...

.

Sales

$2,500-—___

mentioned

to the in¬

government ^con¬
tinues to spend our - money; * in
peacetime at anything like the
present rate.
It is the road to

departments

—Average Number of Years in Securities Business^-

;'

•$3,500-$4,499
$2,500-$3,499

V

evitable disasters which lie ahead,

provided

and

';$4,500

;

are

definitely "stacked" against either
the individual enterpriser, or the
corporation, if the public powers
levy taxes exceeding 25% of the
total
taxable
net
income; and
probably any top bracket Vrate
over
25% tends to check indi¬
vidual initiative. ) The American voter must be

f
*'
r

and

■

>

the

definitely informed

Classifications

:

businesses,
year in and year out, not more
than 50% make profits. Hence, it
among

in>|

positions

V-'Income

.

i

chance

between
below:

i "Net -proceeds from the sale of
Co/
speedily, the -bonds, together with 'JSY-OOO.000 received from the sale of
reversed,
like
the
Gadarenian
(S-wial to The -JPwanci^ Crr?ONicrx> v. .*■
swine, -we shall rush madly vdowh 7,048. shares of common stock to
LOS ANGELES, CALIF.—H; H
the ^steep place into the sea; jand the company's parent, American
Foster has joined the Staff of G.
Gas and Electric Co., will be used
we ourselves, through our public
Brashears & Company; 510 South
extravagances and lack of twill¬ for. the redemption of gold deben¬ Spring . Street, members of thd
ingness to; fight each; day for free¬ ture ;bonds 6% series due 2024; Lbs Angeles Etock Exchange. ^ •
dom from over^centralized.. gov¬ prepayment of bank notes; and
ernment, will havg become the for .the company's- construction

further-expense.
Unless

our

.

•

course

is

.

-

unconscious

,

agents

The tax bill
1948

of bur

.own

' •;;*;
is

now

being enacted

program. The cost of its construc¬
tion program ,for 1948 through

1951

is ..estimated ,to~ be approxi¬

With MeiriU JLynch CQ.
"TviisNicxB)

(Special to-,

v

LQS ANGELES, CALIF.--Ken¬

merely

a -temporary
neth ;R. 'Rharwin has been added
mately $71344,000."
■ ; l''*;
expedient.It must,
"Regular redemption prices for to the staff of Merrill Lynch,
by a drastic down¬
ward revision of the higher brack¬ the '.bonds pre set at 104.50% to Pierce,, Fenner & rBeane, 523 -West
.v;'"
ets next year.
v..
par,
while special redemption Sixth Street.

vote-getting

be followed

Sports!"; ^William

Chappell, The First

19

of their

for

Laud-Brown, Bank-

No

2U

73

It would appear from the results that the number of years in the
|
securities business may be the principal reason for the differences

M. Marks & Co.

Tru^t Co.
Indoor

.?

69%

following tables, Sales includes traders and men
in municipal department; Analysts includes
economists, statisticians,
and research and. investment
advisory men; Buy-ng includes syndi¬
cate and new businessmen; and Overall
includes, in addition to the

thing directly toward the support

suicide.

Music: W.

in Sccur.Bus.

Yes

26

Overall

Expect to Stay

;

Analysts
Buying

maximum production of goods,
and are to maintain our free en¬
terprise system. We will have to
get back once more to top brac¬
kets nearer 25 %, and virtually all

P. King, Harris, Hall i&
Co,, Inc.
Pool: David W. LovelL Laurence

ers

relative^

fteady during the period 1937-45

Jr., Blyth & Co., Inc.

$

88%

or

Old World which

Hipkins,

$

$

2,900

well
level,

50%

poration.
A.

1960

-sources

Bus.

Expected
-Income—

1.8

bracket rates will have to go

living will be reduced to that of

Clifton

ents

1950

reductions in our tax burden, top

Baseball:
Gardiner
H.
Rome,
Stone & Webster Securities Cor¬

Guaranty Trust Co. of New"York.

^-Of-

(Est.),___,

Clark,

lege

Re-

1.4

once

Dodge & Co.

Dinner:

1946-™—1.20
1947.-_.__,__— 1.3.6
1949 (Est.)_„._„„..

Rex,

Age

Other

ments:

will be broken.

meyer,

1944____——0 92
1945_«

M.

plies

Used

Job

be, year in and year out, almost
uhsupportable—and it is the kind

wealth

Horseshoe pitching: Gerald B.
West, Stone & Webster Securities
Corporation.
Trophies:
Harold
H.
Cook,
Spencer Trask & Co,
Entertainment: Edward xGlass-

follows:

1941__.__—_L

William

J.

Braun, Bosworth ,& Co., sInc.

net in¬

to

Golf:

Tennis:

share

of common stock have been as fol¬
lows
(including projected esti¬
mates for 1948-49 based

f'ri,

Stock

apd is currently decreased by the
large bond issue to 52%. The pres¬
ent stock ratio seems
likely to in¬
crease gradually due. to the
opera¬

Dept.

1947

Income

3.6

.

Doremus & Co.

creased at the end of-1947 to ,61%,

In

pend- Sec.

above, replies from members such

further to mislead the mass of the

Attendance:

of $45 million

Years

of De-

might be close to $35,000,000,000,
still fuliy 25% of a reasonably
"shaken down" national income.
Even such a burden as this would

or

Hunt,

sale

No.

of

Col-

27.5

were

debentures, due 1973, the capitali¬ White, Weld & Co. v
zation is definitely on the conser¬
"Bawl Street Journal": John W.
vative side—about .48% debt and
Valentine, Harris, Hall & Co., Inc.

recent

the

Re-

58

sufficiently aroused,
we would still be confronted with
a total tax burden which by 1950
voters

Years

of

or

Sales

be'done if the

should and could

as

though

Even

No,

A

Pos.

Federal Government for any sub¬

slavement by the State.
The larger incomes and estates
have already been substantially

to

data contained in these replies follow:

decline in the state and
government
expenditures
and taxes, we must look to the
any

local

ation of venture capital, and the

Day June 4

The 1948 Field

Club

The company in the pasty obtain¬

therefor, and Other Comments. Approximately 60% of the 220 ques¬
tionnaires sent out Were returned. The more pertinent and
interesting

.

ed the greater part of its
of

Income from Job During 1947, Did You Have to Use Other
Financial Resources in 1947? Expected Income in 1950 and 1960, Do
You Expect to Stay in the Securities Business? and the Reasons

Hence, as stated above, as there
is little probability or possibility

if

ton, Wheeling and Huntington in
West

Total

such conditions?

reductions.

requesting following data: Age, Years of College, Number
Dependents, Years in Securities Business; Posit-bn or Department,

of

income.
Does any one
believe that we would be other
than a nation of "slaves" under

stantial

Feb, 5, the Education Committee of the Junior Investment
and Brokers Association sent a questionnaire to all its,,

members

national

below

New York Bond Club

On

Bankers

and

prospects of personnel in securities business.

,

cated, could easily turn out to be
as much as 40%-50% of our entire

of

Brokers

a:ia

Association reveals data regarding age, education, earnings

assumptions above indi¬

the

der

Thursday, Ar..i 1, ,1948

J3.

Boston Corp.

.

.

.

Volume 167

U.N. Unit
Its

Reports

1847 Exchange Exhaustion

on

Department of Economic Affairs points'out task of European
Far East

and

v

THE COMMERCIAL

Number 4686

r aeons

true Jon

is

far greater than foreseen when

International Monetary Fund and World Bank
.of

formed..

were

In response to a resolution of the Economic and
the United Nations, passed March 26, 1947, the

7

Economic Affairs of the United Nations has released

Social Council

Department of
report on the

a

foreign exchange position of the devastated countries.
however, has notbeen brought £
to

up

date,

since

the

data

does

;

included

which

1947,

This report,

smaller

a

[not extend beyond August,

1947.; number of countries and an even
According to the report the com- smaller proportion of the total
parisorr of

[

foreign

exchange

j deficit than the present report,
for-' concluded by stating that "it is

eign

.

exchange

countries

earnings

under

the 1 clear that until action is taken by
private
organizations,
govern-

of

review

reveals

[that nearly all the countries Jhad

ments,

[ large deficits on current account

to augment the loanable resources

in 1947.

The deficits have recent-

/ly tended to grow larger than

anticipated, and

was

or

international
to

Known

now

programs of

agencies

the import

exist,

the governments

can-

in some cases, not be financed in full."
Since
77'7an. inadequate ^measure of the that time it has become even
gravity

,

of

the

are,

foreign

exchange

clearer that the task of European

problem since foreign exchange reconstruction, not tqmention that
^Requirements in these cases have - of the Far East, is far greater

.77
.

''777to he met in

one kind of currency
'while foreign exchange resources

:

7.';'accrue in/different kinds of ciirfirst.

•

convertible

not

rency,
;

In

some

[than

foreseen when the International Bank for Reconstruct
was

tion

and

Development

and

the

the International Monetary Fund were

into

the

cases

Navy and the Air Force, and the
Chairman of the National Secur¬

deficits

created and when the major post-

available

event of
In
the

war.

to

National

terior,

of

the

Treasury,

and Labor.

Chairman

Projects

with

phrase

be

"co¬

of military, industrial
civilian
mobilization,"
the

Board's duties and responsibilities
vast

are

and

of

aspects

virtually

cover

all

except
strategy and tactics of the mili¬
economy,

the functioning of

and

tary

our

tially by drawing
•foreign ;exchange

substariremaining

or

upon

war

were

'

-

'

*

of

cies,

•

-

-

-

best endeavor to be prepared for
war whenever it might come—in¬

cluding the immediate^fpture.
V777

What National

'

■

*r

•-■*

•

--J

;■.<

^7"-

7

7.

7! To

"

:fir
tended

.

to

the world.-

:

;
t

;

Consequently, it

for

seems

that it is timely to take stock of
our situation and make our plans
and

for

arrangements

o

th

e r

of

world—I fj have un¬
bounded faith in the possibilities

tol

the

of

I became convinced
years ago when I tasted ethyl al¬
cohol
(mixed with ginger ale)
made from gasoline!.
■*
<

of synthesis.

supply -..while, cohserv777-' hig as much as is reasonably pos- /■ We in the U.r S. A.
sible in .our country lor a possible! thusiastic
people and
'; sources

'

rainy day.

Furthermore,

there

are

many

critical and strategic materials of
which we have no sources in this

*

go too

we

begin

somewhat

(Continued from page 17)

the storehouse

be

far, such

as

with,
more

of the

some

ords

of

Resources!

Board

Is Doing?

,

more

World

,

have

we

than

7

.

tionship

done

dust

off
rec¬

II,

and

are

prepared to suggest ways of avoid¬
ing

some

mistakes

that

of
that

the
We

obvious
made during

more

were

conflict.

are

making

in

in

weigning

organizational
wartime

agen¬

their interrela¬
light of experi¬

the

World

War

II, with the
smoothing out the

of

now

far

an

en¬

sometimes
in the pres-i

enough removed from World War
II

to

of

substitutes

of

science,

(4)

7menis

r

We hope that arranged

of

mutual

interest

will

•eventuate through-the operations
f of our foreign relations, activities

.

'in,

.

the

State-1 Departments and

-

•

through the European Recovery
[ Program that will channel greater

....

«supplies into this country. I am
»confident that in time this desir-

/ "I

able condition will

77

come

about.

Another great possibility is in.herent in chemical synthesis. Our

7
.

»

•

•

,

American-made synthetic rubber

;is

.

a

World War II

ordinated.

be

can

/

soundly

co¬

and

We are

undertaking the

prepa¬

ration of necessary legislation and
executive orders. Equally as im¬

portant,:, we shall
endeavor
to
build up and keep a current roster
of qualified men to be selected to
fill the jobs outlined at the top
echelons and get them to thinking
of their problems in advance.

time

capable

great deal of
trying to persuade
business
executives
to
in

down

to

Washington for
of time to help
orient and give direction to our
work. The problem breaks down

come

limited

periods

into

many

so

have

must

flight

at

categories that
least

a

men to help
into the clear.

dozen

,

we

top¬

work our
It seems to
me
that for a job of such para¬
mount importance we are, very
modest in our requests to industry

way

that

we

us
-

should

receive

the

cooperation without

necessary

having to plead for it.

I scarcely

need to refresh your memory con¬

cerning the criticism from

of the way the war agen¬

nessmen

cies

set

were

up

World War II.
much

that

busi¬

of

I

and operated in
readily concede

that

criticism

was

I know how distasteful

justified.
it

is

business

for

executives

to

come

industrial mobilization plans which

just

that

fascinating pos¬
materials
under study and many beyond the
laboratory stage. I shall not pur¬
sue
the subject further^ for it is
a
complete discussion within it¬
self. The developments have been
of such significance as to require

under

Simi-

pressure.

7[7'' larly, petroleum products through
7/synthesis

.

i

7;

stage of

are

already beyond the
speculation. Pilot

more

///S and::demonstration
~

been

in

plants

operation for

some

have
time

7 7 ' under the direction of the Bureau
777 of Minesf Interior
'
-

•

has

■
•

;

Secretary Krug

recommended

program

7,7'

a
long-term
of construction, and an

program to build three
plants of commercial size for the

7: by-;;two

'

different

processes

ably

a

great experiment is under

7:v7 way near Pittsburgh by two of
77 7 our great corporations—the Pitts7.'; burgh Consolidation Coal Com-

7>

panyiand the Standard Oil Dejl- l ^i°bment Company. In Texas
7:

x

;;

'

7

>
•z

.;

and Kansas-commercial piants are
under

eonstruction

to

are many

of

substitute

re-examination

a

The

.

critical

the

of

stockpile list.

•

:

foregoing leads to the logi¬

question: Why am I here and
we doing about it?/7.[:-

cal

what are

and

7/7 ope from oil-bearing shale. Not¬

;

There

sibilities

immediate

7 7 synthesis of petroleum from coal

:

between the military procurement

convert

/7:

National Security Act 7 7

I

hope all of you have read the
National Security Act of, 1947.
I
do hot want to bore you by para¬
.

phrasing
vides
cies

for

on

tional
headed

a

law.

their

disrupt

busy routines and
Washington to work on

to

M Hi ta ry

Establishment

by the "Secretary iof/De¬

r

Services; the-Na¬

of

7

and ph^nical by-products.
Having [heeri born in Charleston,

7

West Virginia—the chemical eapi-

of the President




the

ject*, to
the
national
security
clause, have been assigned to the
various military services by the
Munitions

Board.

Through edu¬

Armed

I

have

777777/7['.7 7-

enumerated

only

:-:

some

of the

problems. There are manv
others. Your patience would not
stand
I

more

have

the

details,

given

scope

you

I onlv hope

idea

some

of

of the whole problem.

You have been generous

and hos¬

pitable, and I cannot thank you
enough for the opportunity to
meet with you as your guest in
this great industrial city of Pitts¬

cational orders, cooperative en¬
gineering by government and in¬
dustry, procurement plans and the
burgh. 77'''7 ."7'v'7* •77"
like, many of the plants and in¬
dustrial companies
are - already
Requirements for National
aware
of their respective roles
Security
and missions in war production-—
I am going to conclude with
particularly, with recpect to mili¬ what I conceive to be some of
,

production of basic materials and
equal level: The Na¬ certain common components which

hcts

;

industrial

life.

tary end products. It is obviously
the answers to the auestion: What
impossible to extend this method Ajre the
Requirements for National
Briefly, it pro¬ of output allocation down to the

7Vnatural- gas into petroleum prod- fense, established for unification

77

and

economic

suppliers.

coordinate -agen¬

three

an

their prospective
The output of certain
plants, as well as gov¬
ernment-owned plants and those
which have been disposed of sub¬
agencies

tional Security Council
as

composed

C^feirman^ the

are

necessarily subject to alloca¬

tion.

77/ 7;1 -7

also well along in intenesive studies relating to fiscal
We

and
to

are

Security?
d) Pursue a clear, just
honorable foreign policy.

and

by

the

necessities

hemisphere, of

new

metals and minerals—

of

All of the foregoing, while

(5)

essential

and

will

important,

be

of no avail unless it is supported

by the mobilized spiritual resour¬
of all of

friend or potential enemy
have

the

military

that

we

capabilities to

of adopt

without

delay

universal

people.
that I speak

our

Finally, I

am

sure

I

hope

express the .ardent
this nation shall not

into

another

that

thrust

be

conflict.

armed

I

d^auieting world
unfold, both in the im¬
mediate and remote future,
we
shall all be able to keep
our
hearts
and
heads
where
they
ought to be.
But, if despite our
best and most honorable efforts,
war
should
suddenlv
descend
that

as

events

let

upon us,

get and keep our¬

us

state of constant readi¬
We shall make every hon¬

selves in

orable

a

effort

efforts

our

to

If

prevent war.
of no avail,

are

we

determined to be prepared to

are

it.

win

v\

■

..

.

7

•

..

Reducing Bank Bend
Holdings—Effective
Debt
;

Management

(Continued from page 23) 77

.

to compete tor scarce goods,

cease

with

attendant

bidding

prices. ; Such dollars,
held

are

available

of

up

savings,

as

future

for

under conditions more
advantageous to' the individual,

spending

and more advantageous from the
standpoint of the national econ¬
omy;

contribution

a

and

has

the

to

well-being

America

a

bul¬

stability; it is

business

for

wark

/ '•
7
constitutes

[;7'/
thrift

-

/Such

happiness
investor.

the

of

great under,
the tenets of personal thrift.
grown

Why Should Bankers Continue to

Savings Bond

Support the

/7-v Program?
That

is

financial

what

ask

to

fair

.a

question.

executive
he

has

can

The

the

right
expect to

gain from the promotion of Sav¬

Will it strength¬

ings Bond sales.

his position businesswise? Will

en

it pay

off in

a

tangible way?

7

Considered in the broader sense,
the
is

the

to

answer

an

obvious

first question
What's good

one.

for the country, what's good for
his community, what's good for
his customers is
the

and

good for the bank

banker.

No business group

has

a

greater
fi¬

stake

in

nance

and a sound national econ¬

sound

government

Selling Savings Bonds con¬
to both.
Under present
conditions, anything that can be
done
to
check
spiraling prices
will help all financial institutions.
The fight to stabilize the economy
is your fight!
One of the most
omy.

tributes

effective fronts
can

on

which bankers

fight is in the Savings Bond

>7

campaign.
Each

~

[

that Mr.
and Mrs. America buys and holds
is stored up purchasing power for
Savings

the future.

Bond

In Series E or F

bonds,

this buying power will grow with
each six months the security is

held.

(2) Strengthen our armed forc¬
es.
and
thus
serve
notice on

monetary policies—measures back up our diplomatic commit¬
To
do
this we
should
restrain * inflation,
problems ments.

presented

:

including petroleum.

ness.

We have spent a
our

t

fuel.

"

v.

this

in

sources

hope

•

well as
er.t case of oil use in this country.
a
number
of
other
important we all hooe will never be used. Buf
Due to a combination of circum¬
aspects of our national capacity if our business and industrial lead¬
stances, which are unnecessary, to
wage war.
1 ers do not make the sacrifice now
for me to enumerate, it would
in
helping their governmenta l
We have had the benefit, for
appear that all of us suddenly de¬
feel that they are entitled to little
cided to install oil heat in our instance, of certain work on the
subject instituted by the former complaint if such plans are hot to
houses, in hotels and in industrial
their liking.
-7- 7
:
;n tallations.
The cumulative ef¬ Army and Navy Munitions Board
We need men; with a knowl¬
and published in tentative form
fect. if it continues,
will be a
last Fall as a master plan with edge of industry, production, ma¬
definite shortage of oil, which
chine tools, facilities, raw mate¬
one of its hundred-odd annexes—
certain parts, of the country felt
that relating to the organization rials, management experts, men
keenly ;this last winter. It may
skilled in organizational problems,
of the War Production Board.
be of interest to add in passing
in personnel training, price con¬
One
of
the
most
important
that jet engines use fuel from the
trols, finance, economic stabili¬
same
cut from crude oil that is aspects of industrial mobilization
zation, 7 industrial
engineering—
used for manufacturing heating
is that of contact and planning
and all of the other facets of our

shining illustration of doing

*

by the application

Encourage jn every way
discoveries, in this, country

new

.

country.

and

stockpiles
of
critical
and
strategic materials.
Direct our
research and development activi¬
ties toward the further discovery

the minds of all Americans when

industrial

as

;

it is our hope that
much, if not
all, of the authority exercised by
some 36 separate
agencies during

give us a fairly good per¬
spective of the general pattern of

mobilization,

/.<

sources

our

ces

i

are

Increase

(3)

rougn places and of eliminating
potential jurisdictional conflicts,

and

|

important

War

numerical strengthour

civilian

indicating

ences

-

■

mended to Congress to bring our
armed forces up to the required

our

intergovernmental
credits foreign relations. The latter, as I
granted. In this connection,- have pointed out, are integrated
in the Security Council.
777,77','
resources and the second annual report of the
You may rightfully ask at this
,-utilizing the balances of foreign ^International Bank, recently pub[loans already -granted. Other lished^states: ''Because the re¬ point; What have we accom-,
v/77 countries less * fortunately - placed quirements are greater than: an-, plished to date?
My answer is
we
have
oaay, of course, have to reduce ticipated,
been
because the scope of that
organized
their deficits on current account activity and loanable resources of
slightly over three months, and
"by a curtailment of imports. Inthe Bank are limitedjitismani-. we are still looking for the best
'either 'case, however/ the
year
fest that the Bank can provide talents we can find to head some
1948 will see most of the countries
only a part of the answer to the of our important divisions.
with
their
foreign credits ex- problems : which
confront
the
Therefore, while I cannot be too
[hausted and their foreign ex-, world today." The United States,
specific in telling you what we
*change assets rapidly running out, which has so far been the priri- have
accomplished, I can say this:
if not already depleted,
unless cipal source of external financial In
Spite of a still incomplete or¬
?
further
external
assistance
is assistance [ for
the
devastated
ganization, those of us who are
'forthcohiins,'
7 v *:! countries, - is
[now! considering on the
job have already rolled up
i
The Interim Report of February means of further assistance.
our
sleeves and are making our

77'may be met entirely

are

objective

ordination
and

re-enact Selective Service/
President Truman has recom¬

as

capabilities against the es¬
timated military and civilian re¬
quirements in the event of war.

[We

pf-the

course

We should immedi¬

ately

these

charts

the

over

ahead.

we

are

and fuels—to the end. of

Commerce

the

reserves

the

study
rious basic materials, of industrial
capacity,
power
transportation,

appointed from civilian life, and
reports directly to the President.
Coupled

that

so

recommend

underway for the
of potential supply of va¬

In¬

must

to

eventuauiy of war, as well as an
organization' set up for

Secretaries

Board

the

problems*

able

27

military training legislation to /
give our nation powerful, trained
years

its administration!

Under the statute the

of

of

efficient

Resources

Agriculture,

smaller
foodstuffs

type pf legislation for the

proper

the

Defense,

be

may

Chairman

thq

Security

consists

State.

in

of manpower

'

addition

Board
of

mobilization

the

We arc studying various aspects

keep abreast of events and situa¬
tions throughout the world in
their relationship to our own na¬
tional security; and the National
Security
Resources
Board,
of
which J am Chairman, a civilian
organisation designed to advise
the President concerning the co¬
ordination of military, industrial
civilian

supplies

to

measures

and essential consumer goods.

ity Resources Board, designed to

and

(1443)

price controls and
apportion equitably

Secretaries of State, Defense, Army,

re-

quirements for 1947 with the

CHRONICLE

FINANCIAL

&

Series

G

bonds

terest checks into your

six

each

bring in¬
community

The

months.

value

of

individuals
today is $46 billion. It will gcow
if we keen promoting and selling
those

bonds

bonds

with

our

might.

held

all

by

our

skill and all
-

,

28

(1444)

THE COMMERCIAL

(Continued from

subsequent

decline,

shown for

Thus,

during

after

World

prices

has

4)

page

smaller

was

wholesale

prices.
immediately

and
War

I,

consumers'
than doubled (106%).

more

during and after the last

this
wholesale

prices.

peak

their

also

of

prices

has

been

In

fact,

rise,

are now up as

true

much

I

refer

War I

products

i

|

Several

V;

important

period

The
over

the

and

1914 to

to

a

war

deferred

be

During
conflict, we spent ap¬
proximately $300 billion and this
spending has not yet been com¬

tures
*

After World

substantial

they

for

War I

prices

not so

large

•

-

but

price

in our history—and
difficult to- visualize our

able to

off

come

I

as

have

If

it

is

these stilts.

previously noted,

now

"'

;

v

/

*

.'

.

in

labor

cant

after
estimated

been

as
30%, whereas this
time the increases thus far have

much

more

moderate, and

example,
spending in this

total

current

decline

will -be

part

reversed.*

decline

a

One

final

word (•

*

concerning

pe¬

actors.
They increased by sub¬
stantially greater proportions than

this

of

serious distor¬

Such

riod, prices of textile products and
building materials were the bad

armaments / pro¬

adopted,

a

a

prices

line in 1920 while
today some
are out of line.
In the earlier

60%,

are

prices.

in

food

of

coun¬

declined by 5/eths from the
World War I peak. This
time, the
decline has only been about
if

correct

tion-

and

thesfc price relationships. It would
be misleading to leave the im¬
pression that no prices seemed out

try

posals

tliey suggest that

farm

helps to

'

quickf

For

in

decline 'in farm and food
prices was widely regarded as a
heathy development.

ly, while today armaments expen¬
ditures are still being made on a
scale.

one-

ruary

non-existent. ?? •.*..?•
Finally, after World War I, the
world disarmed much more
cases,

government

about

are

helps establish better balance be^tween these /different categories
of prices. That is
why the Feb*

at as much

some

because

decline

productivity

War I has

prices

,

many

eWorld

l'ood

while other wholesale prices are
13% higher.
/•
,j
These comparisons are signifi¬

-industries. In this
connection, too,
it is significant to note that the

and

seems

fifth higher now than at that
time

In

Breakeven points have been
raised to new high levels in

vast

But it

significant distor¬
developed the other
a

the, comparison is made be*

and

being

the stilts threaten to
become big¬

'

low.

were too

tween recent' pe&fcs' and-the;
postWorld War *1 peak in
1920, farm

ever

ger.

in

unbalanced during
because farm

/ For example, as compared with
1926, farm products in January
1948 were 99%
higher, food prices
were*;80%
higher, while other

they have today.
system today is on

higher labor; cost stilts than

been

rela¬

years

parison:

were

..before

rise

these

power as

Our

fact,

as

other years as the basis for com¬

the past two years, and the labor
unions did not have as much eco¬

nomic

developed

that

This

did

other groups

of

prices.

This

consumers' price index
1935-39=100
>>'>.'( ••?'->>"
Dec.,' 1914

"/■'■■■;
'■

All

'

tt'&A

•:*•-

;

to

-

-

:

105.8
--

Clothing

;

Rent

.

'V"'1 29.2

—r-

Fuel, electricity
Housefurnishjngs

;

120.5
199.6

'

■

■

it-'

•

{" -V69.8

'

/',>•* 209.7

91.1

90Q
7
209.7

•

-

V!H I

119.1

S<•

^Percentage
Average,"- j

,

.

All

commodities

104.8

89.8'

169.7i

45.4

100.7

Other

-

than

Farm

,

'

commodities_7;I''

farm

and

Products„_.,__
and

Textile
Fuel

and

-

metal

»■

„...to

162.0

132.7

May, 1920
167.2
->

Jan.,'1948 Jan., 1948
165.6
J —r 1.0
,

*'. 253.0 V+

;,.

157.0

183.9,,

96.0

157.8

157.6

—

98.7

165.4

158.0

—

179.9

193.2

199.8

110,9

188.3

182.3

77.8

nU %i47.o

159.8

130.0

63.6

155.5

^2154/5

113.4

164.4

193.1

t

nJ

4

82.6

i-

;

63.5

,

ji' 1

***

173.70

+12.5
0.1

4.5

—13.2

196.2

244.9

♦

;

148.1

147.3

113.4

'—37.9'

163,4

170.6

,152.3

.to-.

......

,

02.2

212.0

-

'

Perc.entage*
Change,

,

152.4

93,9

j

May, 1920
..

141 7

Miscellaneous1 -LJ-'Jhi'
96.3




■

169.8

materials-w-.__„_,
,_w:
piemicals anddrugs__„i-__,^„'_ ^
Housefumishing goods^

.(+45.4

•

•

109.0

products__„

Building

2.7

+23.6:

*+•13.3 >:j

■
■.

155.5

lighting

s

-

+17.3
,

+22.1
+

3.4

—21.9
,

>

■

-

—18.6
—

0.7

+<17.5
—20.1

*

176.5

30.0

They

this

new

bor¬

a

for.

a

sup¬

movers

tending
mand.;?

it

be

of life or semi-luxuries. The basic
fact is that for most products it is
vital that mass markets be reached

if

available

sold.

■v?-:;7:.";>;

As

7,
of

supplies

you

in

practice.

However, in the or¬
ganized commodity markets such
we have for cotton and
grains

as

and

for perishable foods such as
vegetables and meats, it would be
difficult, if not impossible, to pre¬
vent price rises in most instances

take the

to

supplies.

dicting

such

mean

wholesale price level of

fully operative for food

decline of 45 points from

last

114

a

or

a

decline

a

—

would

The importance
of such a price level in terms of
replacement of plant and equip¬
will

point

out

bo

realized

that

it

is

when

higher
1890

for anjr jrears from

.»*

.

*

~

f

.

J£*

-x

*.*'

.

I.

r'~

1

J

*. V

'

I

dat4

make

less

buy;
services

or

rapidly when prices
and. they, ; will y become
losses

decline*:

certainly would not
wise policy to specu+

Itu

to be

seem

late

in

a

when

inventories

prices

this

at

time;

of / past

interesting illustration partic¬
ularly in the used car market for

increases—

wage

new

which have contributed in part to
lead to new waves

it

the rise—and

We are currently
witnessing ta!(renewed drive for
higher wages based upon these
q

,

.

are

war and
post¬
periods. The paradox has
been that these are the
very in
dusti'ies which have been made

,

the

in

terms

framework of

our

what

of

leVel, they

can

i t h i

tutional

arrangements.
useful to review

It

n

are

the

not responsible for

factors

caused this rise.

•

which
.

T

have

Labor wants

lower living costs—which is what

it

higher

buys—and
it

what

for

wages

Businessmen

sells.

are

enthusiastic about lower costs but

selling; prices.:,

lower

is true of farmers. The

politicians

have been no
talk about

excep-

higher

taxes, which is the price for the
service they sell—and a
pretty

They,

ele¬

mentary economics.-

-fcr

else. The fact seems

someone

to be that
to every

high prices are popular 7
group which has some¬

thing to sell and which is in
.to f7 share
in these

a po¬

sition

high:;
But

That
ness

price is a deflation in busi¬
activity .((Deflation is unpop-

ulafr—politically and socially.
It
means
a
lower national income^
It means smaller profits. It means
less

overtime

and :? smaller

pay,

checks. It means smaller farm in¬
comes. 7 It means losses on invest¬
ments

7 and business, failures.

It,
It means
lower tax receipts and inevitably
pressure
for
more
government
spending.. 7;7/>;7>> '(■ ?,"V1' "V?; ,7 " ■'>••? "i
On the other hand, all history
unemployment.

means

shows that the excesses of a boom

The

later.

be, paid for,

sooner or

the

payment,
the smaller the price to be paid.
The longer it is postponed,? the
sooner

the, maladjustments

ing costs.

more* severe;

become; and" (the. greater

are

.thq

economy.
They determine ; the
total volume of supplies and how

They are not responsible for the
higher freight rates which mus,

pains of readjustment.w?-

""v

1*i

be paid

;

these

supplies " shall be divided
among buyers. Rising prices stim¬

or

ulate

able to higher wages,

Prices

perform two tasks in

greater

supplies

and

our

for

creases

cut

because of higher wages
the

many; other price in
which have been attribut

is

Of

course,

such

all *net

not

companied by

created

point is reached where supply and

and explains the tremendous pres
sure which has been exerted
for

franchisement

upward movements in the
structure.
;(7 '.V

creating

demand

in balance at the pre¬
vailing price. The important point
are

to 7 remember

tions

is

that

both

func^-

during the war years.
primary source of inflation

price

'i?;

They are not responsible for the
foreign policy of our government

be necessary in * order to deter¬
mine whieh buyers will obtain the

forced those prices to record l}igh
levels and created serious new

are

are

limited

supplies

(e.g.,

which

grains,

automo-

biles)!

deriiaridrisa'greater than
and

sup-

prices 'do not' determine

f

led

to

which

large

the

past,"

-a^4

in

fixed

growing
well

an

'income.
*

of-

The

this :*

>diseii-;
steadily

of (consumers ;is
grave social ; problems,
bloc

as

ficulties.

creating

economic;Jdif-

"(>-/7'

of

There is little point in ignoring
the fact that price deflations are

turn

unpopular. Nor the fact that after

purchases

purchases

with

as

important. Thus, if prof¬
high, a price increase may
not be required to obtain
greater
supplies.
But the increase may
its

In

such readjustments havb been

have
the
reverse
tend-ency.
Through this price mechanism a

is the

readjustm^

a

loss.

improvement Tit
labor
and
industrial efficiericy^
Relief would be given to the mil¬
This lions of sorely * pressed person^

; 77
,
They are not responsible for the
huge volume of credit inflation

,

.

expensive one. I might add—while
demanding lower prices from in¬
dustry. Every one seems to be inerested in having prices reduced?-;

have had to

•

are not responsible
for
rise in food prices which has been
the main factor in the rise in liv¬

(

should

some

of

many

' the
existing iasti^

w

-?>.?>-;■?:»7;'{:y\{yyh^y, '

Although it is popular to blame
businessmen for today's high price

"do something about it." Much of
the
discussion, however j seems

accomplished,>

whipping boy for the price

rise.

demands to

many

goods

war

With such

that there

manufactured

est increases in the

A
v.
i
.significant effects of
rising prices, it. is not surprising
>

As I pointed out .earlier,

cars.

is? these

prices which have had the small¬

of labor unrest.

factors.;;

things

products ?

let

an

Finally, price rises wipe out thd
gains

the

sell.

we

,,We ?

many cases.

for

not

that

as

lower prices for the

want
we

I think

same

me caution you not to delude
prevailing currently in
that
many lines, such a decision means yourselves*' into " believing
that
wishing will make it so. - High
many consumers
who
are
prices
are
a
result
of
underlying
willing to pay the prevailing price
and even a higher
price are not pressures—they can be brought
down only by modifying or re¬
able to; obtain' the
product
In¬
evitably, some of these potential versing those pressures. But there
will necessarily be a price to pay
customers
will
bid
above
the
established price determined by to obtain a significant downward
the producer. Automobiles furnish readad justment in the price level.

will disappear

ir.ventorial

the

those

as

increase

in borrowing.. As a result of the
postwar price rise; large inventory
profits have been made but these

stabilize,

of

to cut them regard
fact that demand is

or

nec¬

temporaVily in excess of supply prices.p.\x<r
We,* can get lower prices.
Under shortage
conditions such

ventories valued at higher prices.
an

a

unchanged,

Jjr

working capital tied ub in in¬

This> too, has - led to

the

deliberate decision not tc
raise prices much, to keep therr

Similarly,
industry
finds
a
growing proportion of it3 profits
or

With

For manufactured
products,
the other hand, the
producer-caii

than

1

fall.

change in the situation, the trends
shifted promptly and
dramatically
in February.

except 1917 to 1920 and 1946 and
I

and

summer

we saw

as

mon¬

steps

demand-supply forces have been tion.; Many

the present level.

ment

These

the

given to OP A in

same

exceeds available

is

answer

;about

large in¬
here and abroad

demand

bold

really want lower prices?
-;he

not

not pre¬

from

to reverse these tenden¬
cies.
' v7??7'';\ .7v7"+. '"'7V;
v, .■ ';*'7!*-^:?;?7; •:=■j-7-7:''??(
This raises the question, do we

The

develop¬

am

directly

supply.Vand to the unwilling¬

sistent

A similar

r

de¬

essary

many segments

economy this supply-de¬
mand-price system operates more
efficiently in theory than it does

spiral flows

ness

be

the

of

inflation of bank credit and
ey

:v.'.;;-yk/y-

■

know, in

to

are

volume

record

a

government policy, past and pres¬
ent.
I refer particularly to the

the necessaries

to

a

The fundamental fact is that the

price

.

comes

of

7,?.,/.
>.7 7V;>some responsi¬
bility for the acceleration of price
rises attending excessive wage in¬
creases, their actions, too, reflect
argely...the result of the underying
inflation rather than its
prime cause.
• 7 :"
-•
7-.'

system only the

While that may

beneficiaries

economy,; not. the prime
in the higher prices at¬

While labor has

few; special luxury
products, it certainly is not true
when

,

desire

product most intensively will
the higher price. Those whose
are less intense
will fail to

the

are

market

under conditions where

iSll

123.5

the

for

record

price is
impartial,

who

persons

made it possible

■

conditions

the(

.

them to receive record prices and
levels of farm incomes.

It

ing the 20's about 40% above the

If

-'J

these

divider available

Those

true

off the buyers; with the least in+
sistent demands/ Declining prices

205.1

products.,

and

Metals

leathar„__..;

146.4

138 5
^

Hides

-

'

129.5?'
"192.3

127.7

Foods

•

a'4

8.4

to

plies*.

ply of goods:

plateau dur¬

a

ment this time—and I

+ 13.4

192.1

( 1727s

■

*

1

to

1479

food

--,■

1

1939

261.4- '!;V 103:9

„

Nonagricultural

Average,

Yj

—-

Semi-manufactuied

13 0 n

:

';

•

cV). May, 1920} Jan., 1948*
145.5
114.8

Raw
materials
Finished
products

1Q9

Jan.. 19481

'

115.9

30.8*

Increase—

on

of

adopted.

for

have

*

not fully

are

responsible
which

prewar level.

be

'

wholesale prices
,v.. y i$26=ioo •?

■

168.8

,

175.9;.-* i

-

Jan.; 1948

185:0

'

cases,

to

1920

I4a.4 r-. ;

S
*:? ; -,'120.3 .':>v

Miscellaneous

1914

June, IS^U
1920
<IUIW,

—•

to
to

•

67.7
-i>

Percentage
Change, i

1939

:
tp
■
v. -■ ;■
June- l920^Jan,r 1948 June,

Food

.

'

prices remained

three
be

objective,

an

deviee

so

recipients,

for

all

will

rich will obtain the available
sup¬

rowing which in turn feeds the
prevailing
inflation.
Wholesale

unrealistic

Average,' ■■■■:•■!/->.r

need

a

job,

that under such

business firms have
had a higher cost of
living. De¬
preciation .reserves
based
upon
original cost, are proving to be
inadequate to replace plant and
has created

its

is well to remember that

Pensioners

some

Similarly, farmers

product as
they would be willing to buy at
Sometimes it is said

Similarly,

In

order

lower prices.

workers, etc., have been in
;his general category. One effect
s a growing volume of resistance
by these groups to higher prices.

equipment.

do

merely

be affected.

prices.

or

influ¬

in

obtain as much of the

collar

be

.

■^—Percentage Increase—

do

special

needs

whose incomes do riot increase
as

exercised

to

Large price increases cut the pur¬
chasing power of those groups
rapidly

(3)

be

alternatives

and price relationships are
significantly altered in short pe¬
riods of time, the flow of goods

and services tends to

or

may

supplies. As we saw in
1946, when price is not permitted

different

at

have
made
possible substantial
price increases. And prices have
accordingly been raised for many
products.

to obtain

rates

and other fixed income

Additional support for this
statement is evident if.,we take

during

as

has

rise

priorities,
ence

pay

government employees, white

way/

?

increases,

wage

were

were

probable that

agricul¬

there

82.2

compared
prevailing
Of course, it must

war.

prewar

tion has

didn't

have them today.

98.7

152.4

prices

remembered

the

.

we

147.6

relationship

tionships

.

we

the

before the

the recent

I

disparity

between these
with

5 months.

After World War
have support prices

;

wide divergence between

a

wide

a

spending for World
including war debts, was
In 1943, 1944
1945, we spent more than that

pleted.

'155.5

.

in World War

I,

every

J

prices have risen 155%, while the
increase for other products has
been only 80%.
In other words,

less than $3*5 billion.
and

205.1

>

both groups of prices—farm prices
have more than tripled, and food

considerably

amount

.

127.7

nessed

de¬

was smaller in World War
than during the recent conflict.
The magnitude of the inflation
in World War I was

War

138.5

non-food

to']

114.8 '/o S

The price rise this time has wit¬

I

was

products

Non-farm,

mands

smaller than it
II. Our total

1939

Jan.1948

145.5'£>

Non-farm

economy and hence

of

i._

Foods

this post¬
earlier ones.

magnitude of the change¬

magnitude

c.ommodities

Farm

distinctions

the

significantly

k;;'

,

prices

standing ip line, or
served, (2) some

system of rationing, allocation

:

Effects of High Prices
When

(.1)

ways:

sibilityyfor what happens in their
(badiwick. Large demands

own.

first come, first

that high position

relation¬

May 1920
AH

must be made between
war

not

was

different.
i aiid'H

the

to

price rises for farm and non-farm

decline, namely about 65 to 70%.
Differences—Post-World Wars

time

.

between
major groups of
prices at the postwar peaks. The
magnitude of the World War I

they

as

con¬

ship

consumers'

after the post-World

were

tention.

of

the

at

to

.

has been smaller than

war;

threatens

.

they had been before World War
I. The rise in consumers'
prices
since 1939

and

been

Thursday, April 1, 1948

who gets how much, then supplies
will. be.divided-in one.df three

has been
tinue to he a major difference be¬
by food and farm prices.
tween the two periods.
However,
individual
items
in
In other words, the qualitative other
groups have also had sub¬
arid quantitative differences
be¬ stantial increases (e.g., lumber).
tween World Wars I and II have
At the other extreme, the smallest
been so significant as to explain rises in both periods were found
the differences
in
behavior
of
in the prices of metal and metal
prices in both periods. --.
i products —; an area recently sub^
There is another aspect of the ject to much public discussion and
two postwar price increases which
official investigations because of
is
of considerable importance— a relatively minor .adjustment in
although it has received little at¬ prices.
; >"?yy;!y.

the post-1920 decline had
been completed, consumers' prices
remained about 70% higher than

was

CHRONICLE

held

When

it

FINANCIAL

Prices After Two Wars

J

than

&

past postwar inflations, these

.de¬

clines have not been gradual, but
distortions in our? economy.?
drastic. Ordinarily, there.is no wsy,
Although" 'hinsi-nessmeh
are
Although" businessmen are not of. making sure that we will have.
responsible for the foregoing ac-1"just a little
deflation."sHowever^
tions, they conriot escape respon- there is one major factor in the

Volume

167

at this

picture

gests that if
brakes,

any

been kept
I

refer

and

sug¬

had

put on the
deflation would have

the

large demand for

of the heavy goods
long as we can

So

sell

road

THE COMMERCIAL .&

within moderate limits.

to

industries.

still

time which

we

the products

heavy

Number 4686

the

all

electrical

automobile?,

equipment, rail¬

equipment, oil equipment
farm implements that can be

the

^produced,
decline

probability

the

of

1920-21

of

a

variety

would appear to be remote.

Finally, we cannot ignore
heavy black clouds- on
If

embark

we

sev¬

the

ahead.

As

which

role

will

in

play

the

we

has

trices
meant

steel,

have seen,

These

products.
in

level.

the price

the

not

are

a

in¬

precipitous decline
A large grain

here and abroad, could

more

marketable

1945.

present market value of

ments.
loans

It

is

tember,

be

1929,

remembered

billion

in

averaged

and

$6*/2

billion for the year.

have

So far the

good,

been

crop

For most non-food

'

;

.

products

Accordingly,
find

ex¬

it

sound

any

difficult

is

to
the

be

further and that

new

be

may

deferred

inflationary
into

set

still

motion.

The magnitude of the third round

increases and the extent to

wage

which

they

accompanied

are

by

strikes and the bounty of Mother

in

Nature

the 4948

harvest

,;are

even

the soundest of

cor¬

in

break

be'significant. Tv/4

chasers.

3.7.' V': v

-

This

ordinary
since

is

obvious

to-any
particularly

observer

the

peak

$66

representing substantially the eco¬
nomic supremacy of the world, is
beyond all reason and understand¬
ing.

.

The
the

edict by which
was raised to 75%

summary

"margin"

the N. Y. Stock

Exchange,

listed

of the

prices. The outlook for porations, or to find any beneficial
effect this restriction of credit had
food prices depends upon the size
on
our economy.
It does appear
of
crops
here and abroad.
In
that these high and unusual "mar¬
summary, it appears that the de¬
gins" accelerated inflationary ten¬
lay in the development of a sharp
dencies by banning equity financ¬
postwar price; decline has been
due to factors which continue to ing and "panning" would-be pur¬

will

stock of

some

securities,

purchase

deflation

impending

an

marketable

a

indiscriminately

cept possibly some textiles, there

is little evidence of

billions

Why

^against

$17
billion, while the average loaned
for that year ($1 billion) on such

for

reason

high "margins"
imposed on the

pledges.

July 5, 1945, on a rough com¬
putation, eliminated 25% of the
$70 billion market v^lue (averaged
for the year) of stocks listed on

Inflationary

we

all

on

Requirement

Margin

it

but

will be several months before
know the actual results.

High

of

discrimination

this

Sep¬

expanded armaments program, it
probable that the usual postwar

forces

of the

market in

of

stocks

was

or

less than

1 Vz %

their

averaged market value.
Similarly, on Jan. 21, 1946 raising
the margin to 100%, on the record
of 1945 did not change these fig¬
ures
materially, except that $35
billion of buying power was elim¬
These

inated.
and
the

are

startling figures

serious

cast

must

judgment

wisdom,

doubt

on

abil¬

and

stock,
for the stockholder figured that
(Continued from page 6)
optimism of the company's pros¬
price-times-earnings
ratios,
of quent rise in wages and resulting
stocks are low (the lowest since uncontrollable inflation! And why pect prevailed and the new money
would be ,used for increased pro¬
1923) and their price comparison should the Board dogmatically
tcb commodities, based on a 50c or impose, without any consultation duction, expansion; and the reduc¬
60c

of

restored.

present

mental

formerly,

stockholders
stock

dollar, is also low, and their
market price makes no
allowance for present replacement
valuation of plant and machinery.
A comparison of present Dow

Jones

Industrial

with

wheat

Stock Averages

prices

shows

in

the

stock

average a high of 159 and
low of 121 in 1939 against about

a

173

In wheat, it was $1.12

today.

city,

any

govern¬

orH

bureau

or

an

economic credit restriction, when
the banks are wide open to de¬
cide

basis

on

of

their

judg¬

own

ment how much is to be loaned to
an

individual

bank

Why not let the SEC have
trol

of; "margin"

con¬

requirements
on

$0.62 low in 1939 as
against $3.20 high within a year

appropriate hearings? Why not, as
the writer proposed in 1933 to the

and

Federal

high, and

today approximately a low
of $2.36 which is twice the high
of 1939, against stocks selling 8%
above the highs of 1939.
,

Financing through equities, be¬
ing

investor,
the

solve

attractive basis to the
should, therefore, help

an

on

fundamental

struct

Trade

Commission, con¬
graduated scale of re¬

a

strictions
able
based

on

a

certain

of

ciation.

appreciation*
;

problem
additional equity cap¬ graduated
thus enable production might be.

A

bar

is

measure

ital

On

through increased plant facilities

tp control inflation. Why, if we
a partial but important situ¬

have

ation

to help reduce and balance
inflationary trend, why can't

our

use

we

it?

1

*.

.

-

:

*

be¬

depre¬

or

no

of securing

and

relation

tween the rate of activity and de¬
gree

Since the period
offering of rights for
subscription
to
new
stock has
caused

guide,

of

July

5,

a

control

1945

the

"margin" to 75% and
it

on

Jan. 21,

from

10

to

20

over

100

to around 70.

To¬

day, the holders of the rights to
buy new stock are not imbued
with sufficient

optimism to make
this operation of securing capital
an
easy one, or a profitable one
as it would be if the buyer were
not restricted in his credit oppor¬

tunities.

The

same

on a

dividend

ap¬

lower price level

raises the cost of securing capital
as

much

as

20% from

5% to 6%

a

basis.* That is not sound business

almost three years for the
absurdity of this regulation to re¬

That

thus

count

that

means

an

ac¬

under

margined is
totally frozen and an undesirable
security must be retained even
though it would result in further
diminishing the margin by declin¬
ing in market value, and even be¬
coming worthless. The broker or
his customers thus cannot relieve

themselves from ill advised
chases

unchanged.

unfortunate

like

to

This

Dostoievsky's

the

"Crime

and

The rule has lately

abrogated and is

remain

to

investor must appear

Punishment!"
been

pur¬

if the credit balance

even

remains

in

effect

no

longer

after

March

31, 1948. Why, we may ask, did it

itself to the Federal Reserve

veal

Board?

Further it must be remembered
that the present outstanding issues
of some $66 billion market value
of stocks on the N. Y. Stock Ex-

change developed

and

With

a

costs

(in

labor
(over

in

national

y
•r"

tremen¬

depreciation), volume

100%

:

"margin"

a

on

of less than 50%.
dous increase of

'•

I

,

in

products),

I

national income (over 100%), and
in necessitated expansion, a much

r.
'

(■

larger cash capital would be re¬
quired to maintain normally these

t

outstanding issues and such inas industry should obtain

,

creases

by additional equity capital. v To
increase "margins" by 200% ne¬
cessitates a still larger amount of
cash capital.

imbalance

This brings about

to

industrial

our

gression that cannot fail to

an

pro¬
be of

permanent

injury to our much
expanding economy.

needed

>The
ible

conclusion

that

tionary

these

anti-infla¬

of .the

pundits

Reserve

Board

irresist¬

seems

same

have

Federal

elected

-

to

impose arbitrary conditions that
hamper and impair financing with*
equity capital, vitally needed for fl¬
our

effective

functioning in this

•

crucial world period. Their action ;
could be compared with a decision,

j

the

of

"elders"

suffering from
rate, to require
of

all

in
a

a

community

.

declining birth
strict continence

¬

males!

The right to buy shares of rep¬

:

resentative enterprises on reason- 1
able credit facilities is fundamen¬

tal to the continued
American

System

success

of

free

of the

enter¬

prise and should not be abrogated
by

shot

would

it

not

economic

From

edicts.

gun

foregoing,

would

require

seem
a

authority

the

that 14

financial
or

or
an

even

"ornithologist" to conclude, "who
killed

Cock

Robin?",

v

v

;

and adds to cost of product indi¬

rectly through a pinching
creasing of surplus.
/
;
,

or
-;

de¬

The Reach for Power

0

Our capitalistic system requires

Federal Reserve Board raised the

1946

break

a

points and in 1946 the right to buy
Montgomery Ward stock declined

Tending on market¬
proximately
securities, which should be
on

new

the

costs/

company.

where decisions could be based

in

to

mentioned

from

or

rise

a

given

subscribe to

to

caused

tion, of

state

agency

rights

need

ity of the Federal Reserve Board.

;. Again the Board fails to show
Consideration for maintaining free
rhsrkets, in their rule of July 16*
1945 (11 days after raising "margins" .' to 75%) prohibiting the
exchange of any security* in an
under margined account for an¬
other of equal market value, un¬
less in effect the 75% ."margin" is

1946;

.

to

$8^

were

than offset these current pressures

for higher prices.

(1445)-1 29

between 1939 and 1944 and $1 bil¬
lion in each of the years 1944 and

meant

gredients for
crop,

a

months

CHRONICLE

In
1946
and
the meat
1947, these
higher meat loans were. $357 million and $300
million
and the coal strike has
respectively. Today, there
a
smaller production of are $250 million loaned-on stocks
and
bonds,
other than Govern¬
automobiles,
and
other

strike

an

upon

im

.

factors

significant

portents

eral

horizon.

other

FINANCIAL

money

from

equity *

Would-be 'purchasers

financing.

should

be

;S:U; ■?

V-;

>

l';It

"I" (Continued from

page 3)

then urged, for the purposes of the record, that
former increase was made just be¬ allowed to pay a half of the pur¬ the members who were
sitting indicate what negotiations
fore the end of the war, at which chase price and remain indebted
had taken place in which the SEC and NASD participated,
time a recession, accompanied with for the other half, which is a fully
some
r<
eight million unemployed, secured credit. Certainly a pro¬ out of which the "5% philosophy" grew.;
was
Counsel for these securities dealers pointed out that in
being
predicted I.for'; the tection of 100% for his indebted¬
Spring of 1946 by governmental ness,; should.be permitted, .d;, •
their; opinion, if the SEC participated in any conferences or
experts.: The latter increase was fcr'T'O
Mathematical. Miscalculation? > had'anything to do; with creation of the "5% yardstick" then
based on the following statement:
"The reason for so drastic (in¬
In fact, the restriction keems so the'Commission sHbuld disqualify itself from sitting in judg¬
crease
to
100%) a requirement unfounded and illogical that the ment on the price spread "philosophy" of its own creation.
was
that
inflationary pressures writer believes it possible to be
The members of the Commission remained strangely
were very strong and any growth
the result of a mathematical mis¬
silent. They refused to go on record. The publi<? has never
whatever in stock market credits calculation which is set forth for
since learned jusf what hand the Commission had in the f
would increase them."
what it may be worth. "Margin" is
On Feb. 1, 1947, the "margin" a poor term and the writer has creation of The "5% philosophy."
T ;
/
\
was
It is
reduced to 75% where it is purposely ? accentuated it.
V.We had hoped to flush the Commission out and get a
today. Accordingly, a 100% "mar¬ lacking irr all othferr<?tcdit opera¬ statement on the
subject but our editorial efforts were in:
tion of mortgages,
was

raised

to

100%.

The

*

was

,

The Increased "Margins" Imposed

:By the Federal Reserve. Board
-

the villian of

'Here then, enters

the play! On Fdfc 5, 1945, the Fed¬
eral Reserve Board
directed in

"margins" be increased to
the authority of the act

effect

50%

on

with the re¬
determining

charging the Board

sponsibility

of

"whether undue

use

is being made

of bank credit for the speculative

carrying of or trading in securi¬
ties, real estate or commodities."
The

"undue

term

in

use"

would

language ab¬
normal, harmful or unusual. To
give the Board the autocratic
despotic right to use their judg¬
mean

ment

as

ordinary

to what extent credit may

foe used for

a

basic need and im-

plemental means of production
and expansion
seems
going far
afield<,. Such power would appear
to

be

device

for
restricting
seemingly
punitive
purposes.
Why
not
curb
life
and
fire V insurance
companies
,

credit'

fropi

a

for

loaning

50%.

60%

or

on

gin" was held through the entire
deflationary period in stocks for
fear that "any growth in stock
market credit

would increase in¬

flationary
pressures."
Well, At
looks as though business with the
Government's blessing on wage
increases proceeded

merrily on its
inflationary ; course,
while
the
stock
market
continued just as
merrily on its deflationary course,
branded as "inflationary'.' by the
anti-inflationary pundits of the

Federal Reserve Board..

ly, the imposition of

a

Certain¬

.100% cash

pledges,' col¬
lateral, etc.
The so-called 50%
"margin" means that for a $10
thousand purchase there shall be
$5 thousand unimpaired market
value for the $5 thousand ad¬

vanced

by the

broker or. lender

the purchaser; accordingly the
stock must decline to around 50%
of the purchase
the loan. T; -v'1

In

20%; "margin" was the
practice in 1929, it meant that the
amount advanced by the broker
was
four times the amount put
up by the purchaser.: If you raise
a
50% margin by 50% and thus
make it 75% r(as I assume the

our

conclusion

price to endanger
'ATT- ■'

When

This they, did ipot do., ; ;V. • .
opinion, from their silence, only

to say so.

to

vatye of real estate which means requirement must have had a
only ,50% .or 40%; m a r g i n s large share in the "bust" of 1946
respectively?; Why not have re¬ during which period this veritable
stricted speculation in commodi¬ "prohibition" prevailed. Certainly Federal Reserve Board figured)
ties by imposing 50%-60% and any requirement similar in de¬ you do not raise it 50%, you mul¬
even
75% "margins" instead of gree of severity applied to loans, tiply the amount required as mar¬
allowing them a "margin" of only reserves, borrowing could have gin by three fold; in other words,
20■%' raised lately to 33%%, the produced a panic! History is not a 50% margin or pledge is equal
mute as to controversies of much to the amount loaned—$5,000 to
maximum ever imposed? V
This liberality (which could not less stringent requirements bring¬ $5,000 is one to one.
On a 75%
have a political motivation?) en¬ ing on the 1929 crash.
amount is three
During "margin" the
abled i extended
speculators
to these radical restrictions on the times the amount loaned which is
w

If the SEC had nothing to do with the creation of the
"5% spread philosophy," it would have been a simple thing
fori the members of the; Commission who were then sitting;

In this

be drawn.

can

one

reasonable

;v.

instance, the body that preaches disclosure chose

concealment

as

its weapon.

*

The emergence
in

a

program

of the SEC and the NASD as doctrinaires
of price control through joint activity, con¬
barnacles of the securities industry,

tinues to be one of the

In

a

,

)

field wherein law, custom and usage have created a

great measure of uniformity in practice and certainty in
operation, the Commission has reared the head of uncertainty :
and disturbance and has placed broker-dealers in a position
of

peril during the course of their daily activities.
We like

WE

laws and doctrines established by the legis¬
by administrative bodies and their satellites.

our

lature and not

SUBSCRIBE TO

THE

CONCEPT

OF

GOVERN¬

buying power of the; stocks of one to three or, in the above $10 MENT BY LAW AND NOT BY MEN.
1
)
companies upon which our might thousand transaction, $7500 paid
Our adherence continues to be to the system of free
and power depend what serious by
the .purchaser to $2500 ad¬
enterprise
upon which our government was founded.
; \; '
claim this furious speculation and extension or abuses of credit fa¬ vanced by the broker.
There is
;
- We abhor the
tendency of state participation in and con¬
no
transaction Of pledge, collat¬
price rise was essential to our cilities developed?
< " /
financial ox economic well being!
Loans on stocks, bonds (includ¬ eral, loan or mortgage that re¬ trol of business.
-r
/■ O
'
'
.;;;;;
On the contrary, it probably was ing Government) "and commodi¬ quires a 300%'protection to the
We paiilcularly deprecate the fostering by administra¬
ties
amount
responsible, in largest part, for the
loaned, particularly of a
averaged
.annually
from
tive bodies of new doctrines in the securities industry.
rise in the cost of living, conse¬ about $400 million to $600 million pledge that
, is
the most readily
raise

the

"staff

of life"

to

prices
unheard of in the history of the
country.
Surely no
one. could




.

.

30

THE COMMERCIAL

(1446)

FINANCIAL

&

.without. But

As We See It

tion and

unemployment, and to convert the untoward
business situation into prosperity for more than a half dozen
years. Before the end of 1941 the output of goods was at a

i

level, and between the draft and the demand, for

sion which followed the first world
which

in

some

minds

at

war

—

least appears

1920 break with that of 1929.

a

no

ditions

exist

in

free

a

Neither

state.

their

production

J enter the picture in

;

our own

economic welfare

our

of the ind.vidual workman.

The

tiens

nor

>

particular case—advances

Relief and

At any rate a

Such

gifts
Recovery Flan

surprising

.

.

itself

of

the

Labor

showed

leaders

labor

income

of

considered

being projected under the European

as are

National

Rela-

-

ten-

-

a

dency to support the contentions.

or

Prosperity

old

Board

that

practi¬

cally any matter that might even"
remotely affect the employment,

recollection

to confuse the

employment can be
comprehend almost

to

anything that might indirectly and
ultimately affect the employment

iota.

one

of

stretched

| their employment—except in conquest, which does not

employe can be
being within the,

an

as

collective bargaining, and
that employers can be le-

of

area

■■
slightly different category, but they hence
gaily required to bargain about it. /
certainly are not to be grouped with articles we produce
The desire of some union leadto exchange for other goods we desire from abroad.
By ers to stretch the scope of collec-.
raising wheat and giving it to undernourished peoples in tive bargaining must be appraised
Europe, we may well satisfy an innate desire to do good; in terms of the ultimate limits to I
which that process may take US. .;
we may, if we produce more than otherwise would be the
One of the things I got out of.
case without reducing production elsewhere, find that our
calculus when I studied engineer¬
generosity has not cost us very much, but the direct,, imme¬ ing was the principal of carrying
diate economic benefit we can expect from it is limited, to ideas to theirj limits of zero arid
be sdre. It is one thing to be 'feverishly active; it may be infinity, and looking at them un- ;
der each of these circumstances.
quite another to get ahead.
r
1
.
I
" If we consider the ultimate re-

number of people have long ago come to the conclusion
that another depression must

producing articles which have

only a necessary evil, that they are really useful only in
a negative sense, that is necessary in order to continue
to

workers, unemployment had begun to give signs of complete
disappearance.
of the panip and depres-

ing defined. The reference in thehour's of employment,",*
working conditions and oiner con¬

Act to wages,

divert much of our atten¬

usefulness except in conducting modern warfare, we still
must remember that the production of these things is

get rid of

There is also the memory

effort to

our

Thursday, April 1, 1948'

if we, for the sake of the argument,

even

concede that it is necessary to

(Continued from first page)

record

CHRONICLE

follow World War II in

are

in

a

.

the normal

course

t

of events." With many it is, indeed,

long past due. So much has at

one

time

or

another been

said about this inevitable recession that its appearance
at

time

some

in the

near

future has for

a

good while

by the great rank and file, come to be taken
almost for granted. This line of reasoning obviously
gave rise to the need of something different from the
last time in order to break the supposed line of cause J
past,

and effect.

v

•

,

Spread of Foolish Notions

Then, of

course,

the decade and

f

These

simple, homely truths, but they
often being overlooked.

-

half since the New

a

are

.

often

than

we come out

"Unfinished Business'

their

not,

ish interests
tablish

strict

they frequently were exceptionally capable
to spreading queer notions among the vast
masses of the people. Much of what is now
being said about
what is required to prevent the appearance of a business
depression would never pass muster among those conversant
with the elementary principles of economics — if the sor¬
it

But however all this may
tance

I

came

cerer's wand had not been waved

that

certain

over

re¬

does

,

fined their

anti-union

what

for

I

ployers

am

have

to

seem

important.

■

.

surd I will be accused ol

am

not

been verj

Unions generally con¬
negotiations with em¬

to

the

issue

narrow

o:

this evening, but 1 wages, working hours and other
simply pointing out specific conditions of employment
che problem stripped of the emo¬ Many craft un ion agreements In
tional and political confusion that pre-National Labor Relations Aci
times were practically one-page
usually surrounds it. The simple
affairs, simply stating what the
fact
is
that
monopoly unions
wage rate was and
the rate for
through industry-wide bargaining
*.; < •
.•
exercise power over the industrial overtime.
fife of the nation.
No minority
With the rise of industrial un¬
group, not elected by the people ionism, under the National Labor
Relations Act, a hew concept; of
and not responsible to the people,
saying

here

impor¬
in these

I

am

,

principles involved
matters and these lines of reasoning be understood and
evaluated. Quite conceivably, a period of readjustment
was, and perhaps still is in order. The Lord knows there
are factors enough which
needed to be brought back

(

allowed

be

Can

to

collective bargaining has appeared
For example;
Several years

such

exercise

power; The problem we face with

into proper

similar

is

unions

to

the

with the union lead-'

but w;th no legal or
public responsibility and with no
private
employment except as
they

permit.

may
conditions

agement
without

Under

freedom

the

interference

t
.

these '

of

function

to

man¬

property -

in

making\

its

every-day decisions will her;
gradually restricted.
The union *
leaders—particularly where they !■
have

industry-wide powef—-will •
deciding voice in all;
managerial decisions or at least'
have

the

exercise

will

veto

a

that'

power

will

stop progress.
Competit;on
will "be atified and1 progress in, the

t

;

improvement of industrial proc- '
which reduce the cost and

eSses

price of tb e goods produced by
industry will be halted.

-

Should Define Collective

ago

the President of the CIO
proposec

eternal

>
,

fieally^c^

the country,

Before the National Labor Re¬
lations Act was passed, this issux

unions to es¬

monopoly control and

am not.

some

basic

use

coinpetitidh in their indus*

being

their heads.

be, it is of

to

tries.

master

when

ers

(Continued from page 2)

like their master, ignorant of
economic principles, and when it came to plain everyday
matters of business, devoid of common sense. But again like
more

were

this

tendency to stretch
collective bargaining to com prehend any subject that, a
union
leader* may desire to bargain off,

Deal

appeared upon the scene has spread a great deal of
popular misunderstanding about the nature of the economic
system and about what makes the wheels of industry whirl.
The followers of Mr. Roosevelt, the high priest of this order,

of

suit

are now

Bargaining

relations with others. There is, of course,
a plan for the
Only by defining arid restricting":
one we face with government itreorganization o*
American industry on the basis collective bargaining to its proper
no
gainsaying that huge gifts to foreign peoples, parSelf.
of "industrial councils" to be es¬
sphere can we hope to save what.
No intelligent person will argue
j ticularly if these gifts are financed in such a way that
tablished in each business, and ir we have come to know as our,
they do not diminish consumption in this country or I that we should not have govern¬ each industry.
These
council* American system and keep it from't
ment; The question is how can
were
correspondingly enlarge production, may serve to defer
to consist of union repre¬ evolving into an'alien form; im-;
we limit and
restrict the use of
required readjustments and postpone the day' when K government power by the men to sentatives, representatives of man¬ ported from east of the • Rhine.'
agement and government ^ offi¬ Until this is done, the border area ;
conditions are set aright again. Naturally the gearing
whom it is given so that they
cials,
who,
collectively, i; would of collective bargaining will be
cannot
use
it
to
oL the economy to a vast output of war goods again
destroy the make
a
constant battleground between |
all of the key decisions with
fundamental rights of other citi¬
would require many adjustments in its own right, but
employers and unions, as the un- ;
respect to industry's operations
zens.
The problem remains one
ions
This would be equivalent to put¬
continuously attempt to press
would not very likely cause or even permit the develop¬
-f the most important pieces of
ting union and government exec¬ the boundary- farther and. farther
ment of widespread Unemployment and idleness — at
p "Unfinished business'' facing the utives on the boards of directors into the area of managerial func¬
least for a period of time.
country.
It is becoming increas¬
>
'
\
for e&ch business, and then setting tions.
'
*
!
ingly clear that such labor mo¬
The law will be principally re- '
But is Ihis sort of thing really prosperity? /:
May we nopolies, operating with little of up a super-board of directors*
sponsible
for
this
for each
continuing
cPfw
industry, composed o'
regard it as a gain in economic welfare? Is, literally any¬ no regard for the public interest.
flict.
As
*

■

.

.

-

,

thing,
which

as many appear to suppose, which "makes'jobs" and
causes all elements in the
population and most of the

:

restricted in

be

must

a

the-same elements.

practical
.

or

way

The

branches of the economy to

they must be broken up.
Labor-Management Rela¬

This

long as the law is- not

plan is*

very similar to that which many
persons advocated during the late

on

feel

thatV

they are justified

*
their efforts to drive ahead in this

become and remain active, even tions Act of *1947 failed to deal and unlamented N.R.A. It has*
direction. On the other hand, emfeverishly active, a contribution to the economic welfare of effectively with several other im- many features that are ident'caJ
with the Syndicalist set-up of in¬ ployers will be equally determined
the country or of the world? Obviously, some sort of res¬ oortant matters.' One of these is
to resist these efforts to restrict
dustry /under, Italian
Fascism
compulsory unionism. Many of the
ervations must be made here, or else we must
regard those same people who are loudly de¬ Writing more recently on this management's functions at the exwar years when one could have
only a limited quantity of manding anti-discrimination leg- subject, the President of one of pense of progress..
the largest unions in the CIO ex¬
By defining, this area sharply
meat to eat, shoes to wear, gasoline to travel, and-all the 'station based on race, creed, color
panded
this
concept further F and clearly, Congress could elimior national origin are still advo¬
rest, examples of great prosperity. Of course, they were
nate many issues of potential disthe planning and control * of aP
cating and supporting discrimina¬
industrial
not; of course, the imbalances which developed in those
action
through such pute. This would also relieve inin employment based on uri-

tion

years are what we all fear will at one time or another in
the future force a major recession in the rate of business

activity.
What Business Is

Supposed to Do

*

If the economic system of
any country

:

is to be regarded
as having one and
only one function, namely that of pro¬
viding the peoples of that country with the greatest possible
amount of goods and services of the sort
they most want
and in doing so require the least amount of work and incon¬

;'on

membership.

they

are

tion

of

As

an

example,

demanding the elimina¬

the

poll tax while advo¬

cating compulsory unionism Which
amounts to an industrial poll tax
on
the more basic right to work
and earn a
living.It is worth
remembering that monopoly un¬
ion power is

largely based

and

on

enforced by

joint industrial councils.
The Labor Management
,

Con¬

in

reach

agreement with the rep¬

an

resentatives
ion

of

federations

attempted

the
as

principal
to

the

to

un¬

area

in

which

Another

it is necessary for the industry of any
people to do that which is necessary to protect it from
outside attack. That is to say if the nation is
course,

threatened,

its industry must provide the sinews of modern
which are not only

war—

exceedingly expensive but wholly

necessary.
'
.

which

Opinions

we

are

may

well differ

at the moment




as
to the degree
being threatened from

piece

of

"unfinished

with

unions

basic conflict

on

this matter that

business" is the failure of the new

cannot

Ibbor

bargaining; Furthermore, it is

area

law
and

gaining.

to

pronerlv define

scope

This

the

of collective bar-,

failure is

continuing conflict
sions, insurance, paid

m

riods and various

resulting

over

pen¬

lunch^

pe¬

o.ther payments

be

resolved

by

.

issue

which

cannot

be

collective
an

resolved

satisfactorily under the provisions
of the new law. because

nowhere

within that Act is the subiect mat¬

ter

of

collective

bargaining ac¬
that have
nothing ; to
do
whh curately delineated and the limits
wages paid for work performed. ..of the area of collective bargain¬
,

that Act

of

pose

plish

.

and

to

was

revolutionary

a

nature

system.

consultation

subject to union veto. The

Rela-

Labor

Act, that the aim; and

tions

the

National

the

without

.

bring lasting economic benefits.

under

American

compulsory unionism. union
leaders were unwilling to
Thus, monopoly union power and make
any agreement in this matvenience — if this is the real function of our economic compulsory
unionism' are' tied
itei4;7However, ihese sessions
together.
served one very useful purpose.
system,, we must be very cautious in supposing that many
7
Scope of Collective Bargaining; Thev brought out sharply and
of the things being talked about
today can in the nature of
Not' Defined
7V'4 forcibly the fact that there is a
the case

Of

fear/ based:©#;,its~ experience

ent

management should make
decisions on its own responsibility

arid not

,

.

:
'

;

;
;
;

*'

dustrial management of its ptes-;

ference

1945

t

this issue the unions will

clear

economic

and

accom-

of

i:
.

the

political

/

**

"

.

pur-;

changq in

structure

v

*

Unions and Welfare Plan#

insurance and welfare
be, and usually are, of
great benefit to-employes and the
-

Group

plans

can*

movement/in this/regard, which
was-

initiated

ployers
be

be
of

by

decades

restricted.
any

for the

agp.

Nor

should

should

upon

benifit of

not

olans

the'r members.

''But

participation- by employes
in such plans, whether sponsored
employers

be

entirely

or

unions,

voluntary and

*

there I

the 'right

establish such

by

-

/

progressive em¬

limitation

unions to

,

v.

/
x
,

,

-

should !

not

a

»

condition

of

erpnWment.. • Since

,

the needs

of

individual employes ;

Volume

Number 4686

167

t

•in these matters vary widely, they

should

be

free

to

participate or
not, in e.ther employer-spoi.sorea

>^MMhrtCiAL

ill

I am urging is that no employer*
should-be requxred by law to e-xiena

the

area

collective

ot

bar¬

;:

or union-spcniored plans, as they gaining beyond that wmcn I have
rhay personally-desire, without in ouumed, and that no union, op¬
-any way affecting their status as erating under the protection of
me law,
employes. 1
r
- ■
.
snould be permitted! to
V ,' • - •
•v
Furthermore, the technical lorce him to do so.
The
current
coal strike/which
problems involved in the formula tion and adminstration of these apparently is over tne questional
plans would be very difficult to pensions, forcibly illustrates^ my
resolve in collective barga.ning. point. The coal strike xS already
Such employe benefit plans are beginning to cripple the industrial

-r

-

,

-

;

•

v

involved

•

•

in

of state

maze

very

a

complicated

lished

on

much

•

:

a

federal

duration

longer

laws.
estab-

than

the

agreement, and there¬
fore it is impractical to include
them in union agreements as such
"

;

Wage

involved

as

& Hour Law is also
contributions to such

plans in certain cases must be ineluded

v
•

*

as wages

to

ject

i

X:

and become sub-

overtime

difficult problems in their

their

joint administration will ereequally difficult and far more
issues.;
Every
claim

ate

numerous

under such

;

> tential

a

basis

plan will be the poof a labor dispute,

the

standard,
every-day
cases
which arise under seniority and

i

./'

wage

agreements.
these circumstances,

"..In
it is
sufficiently difficult for employers and unions, acting, independ'
ently, to establish sound benefit
r plans on their own responsibility,
*} It will be much more difficult to
deal with these problems jointly
;

in collective bargaining.
In addition, when a large em-

.

i ployer does business with a numt ber of different unions, it will be

impossible to have uniform benefit plans for all of his employes
without
regard
to their
union
status or affiliation, if these plans
are
to be made the subject of
collective bargaining with each
of the various unions involved.
pi Thus; the inclusion df health

,

r

1

-

and welfare plans within

\
1

•

/

>
•

1 -/
\
:

,<

V

labor-management
W
!:

collective

re¬

a

One

is

communist

say

socialist

a

Marxism

to

and

Seizure

Capital

accumulation

tax

general are the de¬
goals to be attained by

Another

piece

of

"unfinished

been dramatically
brought to the American public s
attention by the communist seizure of Czechoslovakia following
the progressive taking over of the

I

As

:

that

This

a

nism

Conflict

between

freedom

and

"unfinished"

is

,,

.

world.

finished

of

piece

r

w

long

it remains

as

there

business'
basis

sound

no

the

economic force to
require employers to bargain col\-V lectively'-iovef such plans,w or- to
make participation in any such
plans a condition of employment
for employes.
This would leave
both employers and unions free
\o develop sound plans independt;:'
ently of each other, without com> t
plicating collective bargaining on
/<
the ordinary issues of wages and
hours of employment still further.
•

•

to attempt by

•

-

;

•

•

Accordingly, the law should be
only rates

amended to specify that
"

of employment, and
the circumstances and conditions
under which employes
actually

-

of pay, hours

: *
'
•

1

#

,; a

,

taxes.-

might

most -Americans

budgetary

to

realize

that

creasing threat to the free peoples
of tne world. / During tne war
many
people talked as thougn

Russian communism, ; based . on
Marxist philosophy, and Ameri
canism, based on individual rights,
were much the same and maintained that there was no essert
tial conflict between therm It is
a distinct shock to many Ameri
cans
to realize that individua
human rights do not and canno
exist under the Russian systeih
The two systems are as different
as night and day. The ideological
and- practical conflict /between
slave states and free societies is f
now becoming clearer. The magnitude of the gulf between the
idealism as
expressed
by the
propaganda of professional communis ts and the realism of their
action when they have the power
.

on a

nation

is becoming equally clear.

Corn-

munist

actions

speak

so

not

payment

be

able

-

be

can

world

for

u

peace.

develop

,

a

for making' a
the national debt, if

on

taxation.

would

we

not

>,

pressnt scale
latter
group

our

The

that

admit

a

revised

tax

system might facilitate the de¬
velopment of a budgetary surplus?
-;My position is that the efficacy

present.
tion

is

become

the

their

of

level

War

continued.

quence

As

a

ily affected than it

taxaconse-

in

motivation

nomic matters is much

eco-

more

eas-

during the
they were buoyed up
considerably by their patriotism,
was

when

war

While

taxes: could

maintained at

a

have

been

higher level dur-

counter-in¬

ing the conflict the less efficient

depends on
phase of the inflationary
cycle we happen to be passing
through. One phase of this cycle,
the war period, is over. The sec¬
ond phase may be referred to as

part of our planning for the war
relates itself to the methods of

of tax reduction

fluence

to

as

a

inflation

what

Government/ This has turned out

The

to be rather fateful.

made

debt

war

additional
heavy
top of the deficit finanethe immediate postwar, or transi¬
ing
of
the
years
1931
to
1940.
tion period in which we are now'
moving along.'. This pha^se might Moreover/too much reliance was
also Bp referred tolas the-"After¬ placed on* the credit resources of
math" of the war. This in turn we the banking system. This method
was
adopted instead of offering
expect to be followed by a third
a
higher rate of interest which
phase which we hope will be a
would have attracted the savings
more or less normal
period dur¬
of the people at large. The artifL
ing which the present problem of
cially low rate of interest which
inflation will be finally solved.
was used in tapping the credit of
I wish to emphasize that during
our
commercial banking system,
the wartime part of the inflation¬
brought in its train a series of
ary
cycle,: severe taxation was
maladjustments in public as well
quite appropriate but that during as
private finance.'; A gap was
the transition period, where we
thereby
created
between
th6
are now moving, these high scale
money rate of interest
and the
taxes have no longer any virtue in
up

Presidents

or

estimates

to

were

give

us

overau picture of the status of
business at the beginning of 1948.

One note was fairly common to a
large number of these analyses of
business

other

One

the

prbspects.

acute

need

It

of

ex¬

more

an

on

industrial

business

units.

two of the writers stressed

or

practical

non-existence

of

capital markets from which >new
risk
capital could be obtained
for

is

the

expansion

of

business.

It

generally recognized that satis-

faction for this need of
capital is
now

sought

through new bank
Large banks have recently

loans.

increased
loans.

high

sharply

The

result

taxes

this
is

in

are

type of
evident; that

this

instance

encouraging debt while they
tard equity financings
v

When

the

re-

,

More Savings Required

borrowing adopted by the Federal

layer

of

I

of

venture capital and equity invest¬
ments in case of corporations and

People
if

restive

number

a

an

pressed

Inflation Deterrent

surplus

would reduce

we

of

to

that

invest.

and

save

statements

«These

(Continued from first page)

y;;

others ;fear

Still

to

interest

General Managers of larger busi¬
nesses
which were presented in

the

Balkan countries. This has caused

need

for

..

more

sav-

ings and investment at the

pres¬

ent time is
mentioned, the response
is sometimes given that we have

practically full employment
and

therefore

there

is

no

now

outlet

for additional savings and
investments. It should borne in

or

use

mind however that even under the
assumption that all available labor
is now employed there is still one
royal road to promote greater
production and that is to
give the
employed laborers more capital
in the form of additional tools
and

machinery. This requires more
savings and investments, which

will

be made possible
by lowering of taxes. It is hardly necessary
to repeat the fact that the
great
productivity of American labor is

.

against the other, by one part of
the population against another."
: Contrast this with the principle
upon
which our system was
founded as set forth in the]Declaration of Independence:^/ jr«V
"We

saying that the excess profits tax
in vogue at that time was very
much to the point. ..,/<■ .,v
Taxation

truths 'to? be
men are creare

endowed

rights, governments are instituted
among Men, deriving their just
powers from the consent of the
governed", ■
; i. .•
,

the /
re-

quired by law. It should also be
^ '•'/•r^hmended- to - protect employers in
V ; • the
event - that unions attempt,
XX"' through strike action, to compel
v' 1 them to bargain over other mat-

these

high income ;taxes in order to
up
the excess purchasing
power that at such a time gets
into the hands of the people. For
the same reason it goes without

mop

vs.

Borrowing:

the
government cannot
nently.fix. The real
est

planning the financing of a
the balance that is struck
between taxation and borrowing

rate^of inter-

bound to show itsell in the

of

capital

walue.

bonds.

Our,,, business

•

government
units aie

hungry for more capital and the
Government will have to

Federal

compete with
long run.

this

trend

The fundamental principle of

our

republic is not unlimited

arbitrary rule by

a

or

majority, but

such

goodly part
the govern¬
ment' should be syphoned back
into the National Treasury. There
an

emergency a

of the funds spent by

is no need at such

of

the .untoward

taxation

on

a

time to think

effect

of

high

business and produc¬

Federal

the

Reserve/System,

Largely in this way the basis was
laid for the inordinate expansion
of

our

currency

This

posits.
our
war

and demand de-

well

known

fact is

financial inheritance from the
and the deficit financing

that

the constitutional protection of tion in general. The governmen preceded it. It has given us-the
problem - of /inflation
the fundamental rights of minori- appears then in the markets as gigantic
which we now have on our hands,
ties and individuals. Communism the ' great1 and almost sole de¬
And
now the authorities who have
denies and destroys every one of manded It will absorb nearly all
created this dilemma are suggest•r
:-*ters.
the rights which our system rec- the goods and services that! can
foe* produced.
vi w sh to make it clear that- ognizes and protects,
Full employment ing that they should have more
v what T
am proposing would
not
Communism achieves and main- will be maintained since an al power to combat the unhappy reis
available
and suits in their own unique way;
prohibit an employer and a union, tains its power through Greed out-'market
'
V
by entirelv voluntary agreement, and Bribery; through Intimidation necessary to supply the sinews of
I
Taxes Now Not An Inflation
: from including other subjects in
and
Terror;
through
Hatred,
Envy war for ourselves and our allies.
V
Preventive
;
the seo^e of their collective bar- ^nd Jealousy, and through Lying Moreover, under the influence of
v
Excessivety high taxes, as we
gaining Nor do I recommend that Propaganda, based on the theory thb patriotic motive, citizens wil*
V
satisfactorv arrangements that that the end justifies the means. bear the heavy load of taxes with¬ still have them, can no longer be
have
entered into should be
Thus, under communism1 the out serious objection. This is not an element' in the prevention of
inflation.
We
can
rio
disturbed or prohibited. All that mass of the people become com¬ true of the transition period at further
#

'

.

'

.

-




is

ciaimed>

expenditures

the

are

due to

European

and ioans as weu as t0 the
continued swollen Federal civilian
payroll and other budgetary requests.

It

is my

have ^
the

sources

of

preclude,
possibility of
any tax reduction> Some of these

it

in thw

By the extensive use of the reof the commercial banking

In

war,

is

perma-

system in Federal borrowing, all
by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these is of prime importance.. Taxation the credit instruments created by
are Life, Liberty and the pursuit should
have
been
emphasized the government could be moneIn tized by the banks with the help
of Happiness. That to secure these more during our recent war.

area

work, come within
of collective bargaining

hold

self-evident, that all
ated equal, that they

perform

*

-

with

not" only the "Commercial &
Financial
all over the Chronicle" at the turn of the year.

,

As

read

commu¬

a

ability of corporations and

individuals

business"

here in America but

have

an

as

lower scale taxation. This relates

High Taxes No Longer Serve

business" has

well

as

relief in

sirable

of

Czechoslovakia

be

to the

a matter of fact, to¬
talitarianism under any name can

subscribe

now

stimulus to economic

a

activity; and specifically to aug¬
ment
savings and
investments.

statism, while flying the flag
liberalism, are in fact advocat¬
ing a system of! society which
when put into effect in a nation
enslaves its people. v

slow

in

reduced as

of

the

might also

Banks. Taxes should

serve

of

same
track track toward the same des¬
tination.

and
demand
deposits
created by the Treasury with the
cooperation of the Federal Re¬

money

future
Communist

^

4

•

longer offset in this way the ef¬
fect of the enormous amounts of

„■

bargaining, arid it an organization for the systematic
shouM.be made illegal for unions use
of violence:: by one class

of
;

"

was

on"

31

Many well meaning people have
natural or effective rate of inter- due at least in
part to the fact
been duped and "taken in" by combating inflation. As a matter
est. The result is now in part be- that it is more
liberally supplied
communist propaganda and their of fact, excessive taxation may at
claim that their system is demo- that time increase the severity of fore us, but the full effects of with tools and machinery than
cratic; It is democratic only if the inflationary trend. During the this policy are still in the making, the laborers of any other country.
The natural rate of interest deig alsQ ^eing
you accept Lenin's definition of a
jSUggested that
emergency proper (war) the scale
pends. upon the productivity of the "aftermath" of the
democracy. Here - is that defini- of
war
taxation
was
has
appropriately
capital in our economy. Eventu- complicated the
still further confusion in the mat- tion:
present
struggle
quite'high.
I was one of those
ter of Social Security.
"A democracy is a state which who at that time advocated a Fed¬ ally it will be clear that^ theira
of interest is only another one of against inflation. Large continuing1
expenditures which are deemed
Welfare
and ! Similar
plans recognizes the subjection of the eral sales tax as a- complement to
the; prices in the market which necessary by some will
should be excluded from the area minority to the majority, that is, our

5>

*•

lations.

in

'preempted. the area of old age
pensions with respect to the first
£3,000 of annual income of all
employed persons. To require or
permit this highly complex issue
of pensions also to become subject
to collective bargaining will add

:

/

the area of

business"

loudly
of industrial disputes, difficult-— that we are daily becoming less
if not impossible—to solve.
The and less impressed by what they
Federal Government has already say.
*

•

-

"unfinished

the area to enforce communism

of collectivei bargaining can only
create new and unexplored areas

•

■

this

to

over the world.
The
forcibly calls attention

will

than

traveling

only enslave and brutalize the
people.
The great delusion of' those who

hang

coal strike

the peaceful resolution of which communism is a very real and m-*
be much more difficult

socialism

and

freight,

still

;
v

train

time, but they are particu¬

>

:

One of my friends recently said
that communism was an express

hurry.-.. As

week. I'M'; ./ 1;■./•"/,;; •" /■
only do these plans present

many

moaern

larly bad now when it has become
clear that threatening war tlouds

payment when
40 hours

development and formulation, but

>

at any

Not

.

Our

(1447)

.

on

the employe works over

■.y per

nation.

trie

T" LE

never endured it is that a people
torship of the power-drunk few. will be happier and more pros¬
As a matter of fact, ,to Marx perous in some communistic or
they meant- the same thing, and socialistic form of society than
he- frequently used these terms they can or will be in a free so¬
interchangeably. It- is no accident ciety based on the fundamental
that the^official name of the Rus¬ principlesrecognized
by
the
sian: Government is the "Union
founders-1 of
our
republic*
Our
of
Soviet '-Socialist
Republics," Americanism is still the new, rev¬
^nd for -that matter, that the Nazi olutionary, liberal philosohpy in
Those who advocate
party in Germany was the "Na¬ the world.
tional Socialist Workers5 Party." communism, socialism or any form

insur-

usual union

The

of

CHRc,

pletely subservient to the dicta¬

industry is completely dependent
a continuing flow of raw ma¬
terials starting with coal and steel.
time basis that is of Crippling industry str.kes»are bad
and

ance, tax and corporation
Pension plans also must be

1

lite

FINANCIAL

&

feelin| tj/we

our

costs of these

such

proportions

p0wer

items down to
that a sizable

cut in taxes may be effected/ No
one objects to the humanitarian
for giving Western Eufood, fuel, and fertilizer for
their fields. Beyond that, however, all is speculation.
In
conclusion,the
excessive

program

rope

,

taxes

which

were

appropriate

during the war emergency are
now ineffective as a deterrent to
inflation.

dividual

The

stimulation of ininitiative
which
will

bring about increased production
is the soundest method of procedure. This can be done by making savings and investment available to producers and giving the

tax payers of all grades some relief from their burden. It may be
argued

that

this

is

a

long-term

remedy. This is correct but

it is
also true that the melioration or
cure
of inflation cannot be ef-

fected in a short period of time,
We shall do well to reject the
short time expedients and devices
involving control of

our

economy.

•

THE

(1448)

32

COMMERCIAL

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

&

words, the cost of preparing for, customary to admire the Prussian
of fighting the next war is not (and later also the Japanese) dis¬
reduced by augment¬ cipline notoriously inculcated by

U.M.T.: Show of Force or Lack of Sense?
the

of

west

got further than
Leningrad-Moscow-

never

men

the transportation problems

have

(Continued from first page)
lion

Stalingrad line. It would have had
almost twice as far, and use
at least 50% more force, to reach
a
final show-down with the So¬
to go

to

with

overcome

which

are

we

faced.

Similarly, Chinese, Ko¬
also Indian and
Japanese manpower could be used
perhaps

rean,

the

on

side of Russia. If

eastern

another

be

should

there

war

fought with millions of bayonets
and
machine
guns,
the logical

viets.

Today, the Russian army is presumably' better trained, equipped' thing is that we produce,the armand organized than ever before. am®nt® anc* supply the technicians
ihcluding air power, rather than
There are more Russians, too; in
let Europe and the Far East do
addition, the Soviets can enlist
that job for which they are scarce¬
many divisions from the satellite
countries, just as Hitler enlisted ly prepared, especially not while
under enemy aerial bombardment,

The ter¬
as they very well might be. Even
ritory we would have to overrun
in the last war, our decisive role
also has greatly expanded by 500,in Europe was technical in the
000 square miles in Europe alone,
them, and even more so.

advantage.

strategic

Moscow's

to

broadest

of that word. Inci¬

sense

American
manforce that beat, Japan, was numer¬
we need in a next war, if we are
ically far inferior to the Nip¬
ta avoid the fate of Charles XII,
the

would dentally,

large an army, then,

How

Napoleon the First, and Adolf the

less than

matter of years?

a

and

hundred

Two

divisions

twenty

Arehaic

Mass - Warfare

{

not

wouldn't

they

do;

have

have to do a similar

we

well?—

job on the Pacific side as
staggers the imagination,

to say
nothing of the financial costs.:!
..

.

If

with Russia has to be

war

a

fought by American mass invasion
of the Soviet empire, we, might as
well consider it lost from the out¬

set.: It would take years to

get an

of such dimensions mobil¬
and
equipped, transported
supplied. Nor could the over¬

army

ized
and

running of the Russian lands or
of their vital parts, in the face
of desperate resistance, be a mat¬
ter of months., A war of such
duration, magnitude and expense
double

would

treble

or

our

na¬

tional debt. A prolonged war with
Russia would mean the destruc¬
of

tion

Europe, leaving

struction

problem
to

compared
one

our

on

which

would fade into

recon¬

a

the

hands,
present

insignificance.

.It all would add up to the virtual
extinction of the paper dollar's

77/'7 / ,/

Mass
In

Invasion

short,

invasion

War

is

the

for

wants

idea

of

against

^

a

mass-

Russia

is

fantastic and its implications sui¬
cidal.
But if Universal Military

Training
;

means

preparation

kind of

a

for

The

war.

teresting,

;

something,

means;

-

just

to prepare

idea

bombs, jet-propelled rockets, su¬

personic missiles, "death-clouds,"
and what have you. If we cannot
beat
the enemy
by destroying
from the air his supply centers
and
communications,
then
we
would be up against another fiveto-ten-year, contest with a very
doubtful outcome. If

tions

niust

there

war prepara¬

be,

instead

of

material resources
and manpower on universal train¬
wasting

our

ing, we should concentrate on two
things: on maximizing the amount
of decisive air-borne weapons and

what

with them, including
the highly trained personnel of
limited numbers; and on arming
the

goes

potential allies.

last

Even

the

as

tary mind that still dominates the
Pentagon.
r
'•/
y
The notion of sending over mil¬
lions of Americans to fight Russia
—the only potential enemy worth
\consideration—is nonsensical, for

/ ohe thing, because it implies that
we would fight
single-handed. But
it is preposterous to assume

would

have

no

allies.

that

Actu¬

ally, the entire world outside the
"sphere" which the^ Soviets rule
(with

connivance) is bound to
go - with us. Now then, Western
and Southern Europe, from Scan•

•

our

dinavia
come,

to

close

Greece

and

Turkey,

to

posibly

countries,

including North Africa,
East, and some British

the Middle

f Dominions,
7 the brunt of

quirements?
numbers

would

have to bear
direct manpower re¬
Between

them,

in

half

supply
of

the

training is what
our youth,
and

give

it, not military, drilling.

The t alleged

American

need

manpower

forces will need

would-be conquerors of Rus¬

ous

for

vast

a

ten

if the Soviets would continue the

hold

to

their

we

lines

own

ized, if not totally defeated Russia.

* UMT Expensive

tory

and

—

Russians

But

cf

soldiers
such

to

for

"re-educate"

democracy?—as

Guara.

The trainees

become

v/-

constitute

what?

pool—-for

Or

abroad

or

UMT

of
does

tern p

were

"soldiers," ' but

merely

millions

would

be

occuption,

of

1

a.

not to

instead of the

would

lieve

t

a

at

to

the

if

that

would

all one

might have to occupy

the border
sides

west

areas

of

the

on

are

and

the

silly that
it.

war

England

one

fashioned

against

in

Russian

frontiers

mental

Warfare,

or

spite

all of the
in

an

the

of

try
the

be-

not

Educational

No

Some
H
the

technological change in
so simple that
a
child

educational

it

means

or
two million young men
would have to be maintained at a

pie

high level of consumption, housed
and trained, all at the expense of
the taxpayer- and with ho pro¬

young

ductive contribution from them in

And

return.

this is

what

value,

tensions in its

out

actual

of

all

to take

care

God

for—its

so

so

effects
a

the

UMT

serious

amounts

Note

the

the

on

That

disciplinary

democracies

discipline is

Also,

to

to the

worn

•

propaganda

1947,

Oswald
mented

the

<

old

In

*

on

top of

of

some

year.

By

a

$5

current fiscal burder.

to

$10

billion

77/p /7-1./,.

v..

its

another,

on

Mr.

each
7 ■;'-•

•

very

of

the

entire

well

as

in

quality,

they would be better than equal
to the enemy, and
they would not




troops

las,

that

should

be

local,

not

all

for the sake of

The

mere

j

lands,

in

modern

warfare.

In

other

customary

coun-

It is the

public

ex-

the

education
control

of

national,

to

sneer

discipline,

as

e

said

we

There

are

NO, that

no

Russian

the Greek guerrilone has ever seen their
7
'
7 *7

among

-

.

contain

to

the problem is
the

within

Moscowites

their

borders,
within the limits assigned to"
appeasing generosity

>

0f

Hit-

government.
It is the exact opposite of Wash¬
ington's thoughtful condemnation,

lack of

resistance there and

them by the

eulogy

was

rendered

winning the-war. highly-skilled technicians wanted

loss of the border

and they
although there

other words,

not

single plane or gun will be
superfluous by UMT. As in the Farewell Address, of: '.
and would join us as soon as our a matter of
fact, more men have those overgrown military estab¬
troops arrive, - Possibly,
some to be supplied with more weapons, lishments, which under any form
areas
in
the
Caucasus,
the whether or not they ever serve a of Government are inauspicious to
Ukraine, etc., might; be invaded "useful" military purpose.
Nor liberty, and which are to be re¬
too.
The point is
tjiat we do not will the kind of training meted garded as particularly hostile to
need
to
out
to
the
young men, say in a Republican Liberty.';"
conquer/the. whole of
'.-///
Russia or even a'rhhjor part of it year's time, add to the number of
Even in Western Europe it is
a

Iran

of

when

forcefully

Messrs;

Churchill

and

Roose-

at

They did not go beyond, and
will not go beyond, until they are

atom.

Once

they do

present armaments
lete

so,

•

our

will be obso-

altogether. : Presently, they ,7/'•;
of our immense indus-/ >*/

are

aware

trial supremacy, and the last "war
has taught them of our ability to
,

use

it. All

ness

we need
deal out a

to

is

a

prepared-

deadly blow,:

preparedness that means perhaps 70 air groups instead of 40,
a

j more carriers, more atom bombs,
and

the securing of proper bases.

War

preparations on the con¬
templated scale will weaken us
rather

than strengthen. The true
of the international prob¬

nature

is not the danger of Russian
aggression, direct or indirect, open
or
camouflaged. Its true nature
consists in Russia's ability to ob¬
lem

struct

world-wide

economic

nor¬

malization and financial stabiliza¬
tion.

tion

The Soviets
to

sabotage

reconstruction

American ; as

it used to be

77/

velt.

the

fighter,
Villard, com-

"That

under

no

or no

In

liberal

men.

out

trace.

scathing

a

youth of his

try by military

within any such deThe fact is that they

went back,

that.

was

act opposite of the American tta-

dition

on

say

approach, j willing to fight a war, which they
provide ' cannot dare unless they master

Truman's

conscription:

got

danelles;

emphasis

ler's idea also—the indoctrination

or

armaments

they have vital interests involved,
They asked Turkey emphatically
for "joint defense" of the Dar-

its

of

kind

need

not

do

Garrison

we

would be

editorial of "Human Events," Feb:

5,

do

never

of the most shopin the totalitarian

store.

Trieste

are.: obviously

major scale, to

they

one

articles

of

east

step over any dine if it
might embroil them in war with a
major power. Upon our insistence,

|

President's

,

never

drawbacks of spiritual

without

even

items.

fined line?

to—without

„

of

steamroller

forth,

benefits

one

t

uml l™Lconscrip.tl0!?

what

not

nothing of
conscription, to hold the Russian

And

taxpayer in the form of veterans
of

But

"disciplinary"
might be ascribed to

that

is

apparently
Greece and the

Manchuria

any

and bet-

same

of Prague or'
be
stopped

that

defined, .but

doubtful

is, what it

and

on

should

line

north

anc*.

I

and

Note

implied

get her out of War¬

Bucharest,
She
a

no

as well as of Scandinavia. Finland

responsibilities.

would not offer the

usefulness—
costs

us."

aggression.
i

to

Dardanelles, and

of this Tern-

gave

this government

sports,

to the

proportion

combat

would be the

or

runs

a

be di¬ militarization,
and
employ¬ staggenng costs.:..

wake.

;

have

Truman,

materials would

productive

UMT

ter educational and

them—and

so

__

think the best way to do
through a universal training program."
As if family life,
schools,
churches,
youth
clubs,

Moreover,

from

saw

Korea.

specifically: "I want our
people to be informed on

stands

the
eco¬
nomic
system that is suffering
from a manpower shortage would
be doubly damaged:
by losing the
men
in training—and those who

scarce

in

UMT

of

President

which

more

In many instances, family
members may have to be publicly

social

Value

"collateral
last
December, spoke sanctimoniously
of a "universal training program,
giving our young people a background in the disciplinary anproach(!) of getting along with
on^ another, informing of their
physical makeup (sic!), and what

one

verted

intention

temerity to claim that it has

benefit."

grasp : it, but apparently
palatable to political generals
general-politicians.

train

"further"

the "further": there is

along

advocates

-

without

or

conscription,
big idea is to frighten Russia

from

military

: r

tow.' *

clearly

skies/not on the oldbattlefields, still less in

supported.

in

With

'

111

Universal Mili¬
tary Training is just about the
most expensive
way to national
self-protection. In the first place,
it is costly in itself. Every year,

not

mind has to be read since ithas Congress and the whole coun-

astonish
officers

do

Mor e
precisely:
Administration after?

Its

best

services

after"with*ad th<£e

we

armaments?

the

compulsory

lose the next

Economically,

and

of

hesitates to discuss

should

of

In

are

what is the

in modern
time they

y

the

for

,

as

.

deeper

What

the Polish,

nature, universal
training in itself does not relieve
the country of other military ex¬
in penditures.
Not an atom bomb,

which the vast majority of popu¬
is
anti-Russian
anyway,

spend.

lieve

the

the backwoods. That is the funda¬

not

paid

to

ing /number

in the

war

and

and

have

empire,
i.e., mainly the territories beyond
1938

not

useiessness.

problem at stake than UMT itself.

reserve

highly
the technical

necessa

so

seriously conprotecting America's propaganda for UMT

e

We will win

the east and

Soviet

its

on

the
country—and
many,
jobs for the brass hats.
; * v

"

over

many

basis,..

to carry on

activities

same.

a.smaller

volunteer,

a

trained

be

home, the fal¬

remains

Qr like

their

in question at all. In reality,

come

scarcely
military author-

of

aware

is

is

country, but authorization control

iecauso nf the AdminSerb; training. Because of the Admin¬
Russian guerrillas fought in istration policy and propaganda,
backwoods? : The idea is so they naturally remain silent." '

Nazis?

hanced

for

idea./It

If, •<
it, they do so pre¬
sumably for other reasons. What
conscription might accomplish is /
not
military
security
for
this

I be¬

of 1944.

war

want

we

on

manpower-

Whether

anyone

defend

to

we

Allied

available

be

abroad, it would

army

futility:/ conscription

they insist

to provide the new
and methods of transport

weapons

soil againt a huge invading army,
as Churchill contemplated in 1940

the

Germany and Japan.

course,

a mass

its

insidious

Time and again, UMT is being for any such; army. During that
presented
;
How Russia Can Be Kept in:
by
War
Department time, additional men could be
spokesmen as a sort of corollary trained, and trained in the meth¬ -/•/.;/ ,'7/ Check 7:v 7.
-.///
to the
Reserve or the National ods of the war they are to fight
However, there Vis 7 a

after another war, the number oi
fresh
"veterans"
would
be
en¬

have done in

than
an

take two years

III

army will have to oc¬
the immense Russian terri¬

10 years, the
training wears -out
completely. What is eve a worse

certainly do
of men
against sudden attack.
it should become necessaiy to

for defense

send

two, the conscripts will
available as yet. In five or

or

not be

any war

not need any such number

i

year

We

aga/nst a mutilated and disorgan¬

to the fire of inflation and

huge

in

occur

foresee. :

can

and.

sition, universal conscription is a
hopelessly futile idea, to put It
mildly. If we have war within a

movement,

mass

conditiors,

believable that
partially' ities who propagate it should

million

twelve

or/

modern

under those of Amer¬
ica's geographic and economic
po¬

tens of thous¬

are

fight, the rearmed Central Euro¬ trained men for
peans
alone * shouldbe '■ strong most' unlikely to

pseudo-military) thinking. It is
the fallacy that after World War
a

Under

especially

against her ability to ands of college graduates with
10'
carry on the war indefinitely un-1 specialized skills rather than
less her territory is actually in¬ million
high
school youngsters
vaded. At present, aerial suprem¬ with enthusiasm, and that neces¬
acy would eliminate the necessity sity could be satisfied even with¬
of
physical control; the Soviet out recourse to the "formidable
system could scarcely survive at machine" of Selective Service.
To
sum
up,
home if deprived for good of its
quoting Senator
vital supply sources, and morally Taft's recent speech at Providence,
shaken by military defeat.
Even R. I.: "UMT would provide some

further

cupy

-

discipline
displayed
by
Hitler
Youth, SS formations, and the
Gestapo. '

sia were up

by the need ot
refitting them later for productive
occupation. Also, a vast quantity

is based oh

war

tial, too.

fallacy which is rarely ment. The added pressure on the
mentioned, but definitely seems markets necessarily will result in
to play a role in the military (or
Jiigher wages; in turn adding fuel

a

lation

these

better

in

Fallacy of Mass Occupation

the

that

than

so

fundamental
the

for

of

more

lites (250 millon against 310 mil¬
lion).
Is is not the logical thing
assume

the

should

matching Russia's
population—even with her satel¬

to

more

even

war

we

as

appears now, every

world. Technical

in- /,./

it throws light on the archaic mili¬

we

war,

nique

in

antiquated

in

to the gold-braided
superior which '•
resulted
in the
lack
of
ethical

demands of
/will *>e substan¬

manpower

It will require an army
of engineers as well as all types
sia would be of no avail under of auxiliary personnel. But what
present
circumstances,
as • it can UMT accomplish 4n providing
should be evident at once. Previ¬ technical skj)l?
What the armed

lacy

bayonets mean in the age of atom

that

is

True, the
tomorrow's

more

military drill.
That/indeed, has
produced the blind subordination

UMT.

than suffice.

early '40s.
It does not seem
grasped as yet how little

on

to have

it

however,1, inasmuch

of

In this respect,

used

source

the

war

ing it with the extravagant price

bombing

historical parallels
such as with Napoleon's and Hit¬
ler's problems in conquering Rus¬

cations, would

the pattern of

mass-war

a

the

that

one

peace,

Fantastic

constant

If

conception of preparing for
mass-warfare
is
as
typical
of
archaic-mindedness
in
military
matters as is the bogus fear of

its tech¬
country
found it peccessary to keep men
of military age and strength work¬
with the breakup of this nation's
ing in key industries. How much
social structure in its wake.
To
more
important will it be in the
many
Americans,
appeasement next
conflagration to keep the
may not
seem
too expensive a
basic industrial machine running.
price for avoiding such a disas-;
And that takes in farms as well as
trous "victory" — assuming we
mines: this country is bound to be,
would win that war.
' -7
purchasing power, if not the re¬
pudiation of the national debt,

in any way

The

to be
supported
by
technical forces,
manpower for the supply lines, a
coming depression in the eco¬
etc., possibly duplicating the num- nomic field.
It is no sheer coin¬
ber of men in the actual fighting cidence that the same Administra¬
forces.
The problem of ferrying
tion that has been preparing for
such a fantastic army across the
years against mass unemployment
Atlantic—and by the same token,
on the pattern of the 1930's, also
would

or

of internal centers and communi¬

enough

1 /v

ponese.

possibly
transport millions of men within
And how could we

Last?

with

combined

Thursday, April 1, 1948

are

in the posi¬

effort at
in Europe as well
every

in Asia, and can. do so without
sending; .a single soldier beyond

-7-

Volume 167 ;
their

own

Number 4686

sphere,

-

Germany

THE COMMERCIAL

can¬

result of

not

be reconstructed as
long as
the Russians hold the eastern
half.
China and Korea cannot be

put in
long as the Russians have
geographic key to those coun¬

order
the

in

poured

their

into

wasted
ist

The State of Trade and Industry
(Continued from

as

tries

long

as

parties

tion

hands.

France

sabotage

strikes

Money

long

as

ing threat of
italistic

discourages

A

This

investment,

incites cap¬
ital flight, and provides a rational
pretense for the economic irra¬

ace, our present approach is not
only futile (just as Byrnes' "tough
talking" turned out to be) but
actually promotes the Soviet ob¬
jective. Temporarily, while dol¬

lars

flowing freely, the

are

tries

under,

relax

may

dollar

Soviet

menace

somewhat., The

the

ment

dollar

flood

will revive.

menace

outpour

ERP

the

sooner

or
.

proclaimed only two

was

months

the only alterna¬
to
armaments.
Presently,
policies of dissipating our

tive

ago

as

,

both

resources

getting fully under
way, with their combined cost to
the

are

nation

billion

fiscal

next

In

come.

UMT

and

year,

due

—

will

be

of

the

greatly

to

cumu¬

strength and

United

States

weakened

if

not

Nothing would serve
Russian objective better.

If world reconstruction depends

Russia,

on

then

"stopping"

particular,

to

of
a

is necessary

we

of

risk

NOW.

were

in

still

possess*

bloody

Our

war

the

It

Association
23

further

last

week's

of

and

at

each.

failed, against 90
i

were

The

with

ness

addressed the conference.

W.

Dead

Rogers, one of the
pf Rogers &

of the firm

Tracy, Inc., Chicago, passed away
in Hollywood, Fla., on March 20,
had

made his residence

for the past nine years.

Mr. Rogers

has been inactive in the firm since

his retirement in October, 1939, but
held the title of Chairman of the

in

majority

of

the

concerns

week's failures

exceeded

with

this

losses

week ago, and 54 last year.

a

more

of

the

was

week

;

ties,

-




slight

a

:

.

uneasiness in

from

of

9.

and

week

a

construction

only

were

44

Wholesale

year.

group

in

slightly

7;

more

business succumbing in
numerous than in the

„

^

.

i

-

*

Central

with

15

and

the South Atlantic with

only

2

reported.

were

11.

The latter

1947 level when

;;

>

UP,WARD^

j',

The wholesale food price index, compiled by Dun &

,

,

:

Bradstreet,

Inc., continued slightly upward last week, rising to $6.72 on March
23, from >$6.70 a week previous, and the "year's low level of $6.61
on

March

9

and

Feb.

24.

*

On

the-

corresponding

weather

Favorable
sales

final

the

in

date

a

ago the index figure stood at $6.56.:i:7,b7';7';7;7;y£;■'.»
Commodities that rose during the week included beef, butter,
cheese, coffee, cottonseed oil, tea, cocoa and potatoes. On the lower
side were flour, wheat, corn, rye, oats, barley, hams* bellies, lard,
beans, eggs, steers, hogs and lambs. Although declines in individual
items outnumbered advances, the slight rile in this week's index
reflected higher prices for somp; foods which have a relatively high
per-pounci —1--~

LEVEL

1947

ABOVE

TRIFLE

«ie

CONTINUES

AND WHOLESALE TRADE

RETAIL
A

the

and

Easter boosted retail
Total dollar volume

approach of
the holiday.

before

week

appreciably in the period ended on Wednesday of ,last woefc
slightly above the level of the corresponding week a year

rose*

,

and

was

according to Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., in its current review Of
77'/, "7 v
7.- '
.
,,
7.
Despite this sharp dollar volume rise, unit volume remained

ago,

traded

.

fractionally below that of a year ago.
Retail

volume

food

generally

was

steady and close to previous

high levels.
The consumer demand for meat increased slightly and
requests frequently were directed toward the lower-priced ctfts.
Purchases of fish and poultry remained high and there was an

insistent consumer demand, for fresh fruit and vege,tables.
price of butter and some meats increased a trifle the past week.

The

-sharp increase in the demand for apparel during
medium-priced lines attracted considerable atten¬
many shoppers continued to shun expensive
apparel and
low-quality goods.
Children's wear and men's worsted and gabar¬
dine suits were eagerly sought.
Women's lightweight skirts and.
blouses were among the best sellers.
77
7;
There

the

was

tion

a

The

week.
as

7

was

cards

and

slip

of

that

of

above

I

of

7

covers

attracted much attention.

appliances

some

last

week

Regional

by the following percentages: New England 3 to 7,
11, South 4 to 8, Northwest 9 to 13, Middle West 6 to

7 to

week, numerous reorders

the

*

pre-Easter dip in new order volntne

While there was the usual

in

to be from 6 to 10%
estimates exceeded those

Southwest 8 to 12 and Pacific Coast 2 to 6%.

10,

placed.

were

Total order volume

high level of a year ago, but it declined moderately
week.
The number of buyers registered

close to the

was

•

.

week period ended on

year ago

a

East

7

moderately below

estimated

was

ago.

year

a

was

7; ;7' ;:'7.77- "7,77 7- 7;

Retail volume for the country in the

Wednesday

and

moderately, but it was below that of a year ago.

rose

previous high levels.
*7

shoe

Interest in jewelry, gift items, confectionery and

furniture

in

retail

year ago.

a

gardening equipment

supplies*,

housecleaning

coverings, curtains, and

Floor

and

steady

appreciable seasonal rise in the demand for goods

an

paint,

used automobiles.
Easter

remained

shoes

moderately below the levels of

held

as

for

demand

The

that of the previous

from

principal markets dropped considerably in the week. ;
,
V Department stpfe sales on a countrywide basis, as taken from

in

the
,

-

Although moderate weights of wool were contracted for in
West, the movement so far has been far below expectations.

,/v,

•

slow.

was,

Trading in the Boston raw wool market was reported at a
during the past week as buyers awaited developments
that mav result from lower prices in, foreign primary Wool markets.

;

1947.

Federal

Board's index for the week ended March $0,

Reserve

1948, increased by) 9%

the

ended March

weeks

four

from the like^ period of last year.

This com¬

For the

in the preceding week.

increase of 4%

with an

pared

1948, sales increased by 6%

20,

and for

to date increased by 6%.

year

year

Following

;

COMMODITY

CLOSE

PRICES
WEEK

RALLY

IN

LATE

TRADING

LOWER.,'."r V"•7'

Commodities generally moved
latter part of the past week, but

-j;;7

set

a

slow start, retail trade here in New York

very

close# J

Thursday's volume was very heavy

active.

fresh record for a single pre-Easter day.

a

According

to

the

Federal

Reserve Board's index, department

in .New York City for the weekly

store

sales

1948,

increased 3%

weeks

ended

...

broad front in the
was insufficient to wipe
out earlier losses.
The Dun & Bradstreet daily wholesale com¬
modity price index finished at 278.47 on March 23, off 1.0% from
281.22 a week earlier, but still above the 268.03 registered on the
upward
the rise

week

Easter
and

above the same

period to March 20,

period last year.

This com¬

1% in the preceding week. For the four
March 20, 1948, sales decreased 1% and for the year

pared with an increase of

£ ^;V

:

minimum

There

ago but remained
failures totaled 14,

experienced the sharpest upswing from the

;

<

pf cotton, as reported by the Bureau of the C
totaled 785,200 bales in February/compared with 860,200 in
arv, and 339,400 bales in February: a year ago.
Consumption per
working day was equal to 39,900 bales for the month.
This was
slightly under that for January and compared with 42,000 baftes
per day in February 1947.
Carded gray cotton cloth markets wwce
relatively slow and prices were steady to slightly lower for sddfie
construction.
y
7-•
;r

Interest

trade

or

good but mill buying

was

such

.

industry

FOOD PRICE INDEX AGAIN MOVES

r

;

the

early part of the week due
Strength in the closing days was

markets.

to date

rose

by 5%.

on ,a

:

/".'V;

•

■;'77 '-'•'"y'-

(Special

to

The Financial

Webber

(Special

Chronicle) v

CALIF.—John
corresponding date a year ago.
,7
N. Cornish and Thomas B. DrumAlthough showing strength at the close, leading grain mar¬
mond
have
become
associated
kets were unsettled during most of the past week with prices
with Paine, Webber, Jackson &
trending irregularly lower.
Curtis, : 626 South Spring Street;
Trade demand for cash wheat was slow but the government Mr. Cornish was previously with
" 1
'
' - *
was
an
aggressive buyer.
Prices, however, broke sharply as the Deafa Witter & Co.
LOS ANGELES,

..

/.

*

•'

Crowell Weedon Adds

*

Two With Paine,

.

,

cotton prices registered

range,

Consumption

volume

-;'77;7;:

;

'

area

touched

heavy

reflecting

Shippers' demand for cotton, particularly for better quali-

.

i

Of the 87, there

than $100,000. 't

only

the

failing declined
occurring last

21

three

North

narrow

in outside

size

casualties were heavily concentrated * in " the
Pacific States with 34, rising from 28 last week.
The Middle; Atlan¬
tic States had the second largest number. 20, followed by the East

BUT

Edw. W. Rogers

casualties than

more

^(Geographically,

r;

M.

Collins, Julien
President of the
L B. A., and Murray Hanson, GenCounsel of the Association, also

the

probable loss to creditors.

.Retailers

the

H.

101, considerably

mortality increased from last week, rising from 26 to 35
exceeding by 10 the number in 1947's corresponding week. J

and

above

Chicago Transit Authority"; Clif¬

Julien

to

which
>

|

estimated output of

an

Manufacturing

Walter J. McCarter, Gen¬
eral
Manager
of
the 'Chicago
Transit Authority, who spoke on

H. Collins & Co.,

'7v""

principally in manufacturing and
retailing where 35 and 36 concerns, respectively, went out of busi¬

the

Utley, whose topic was
"Hour of Decision"; and John K
Langum,
Vice-President of the
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago,
who spoke on "Government Fi¬
nancing and the Economic Situa¬

.■:•;}

7.'7

the United States and Canada

week's failures occurred

ada";

.of

/;7/>;V/'7:;7y''

trucks in

with losses of

seven

same

Situation

CUTBACK DUE TO

stated

of

of the Board of the Standard

Present

BY

Eighty-seven

lines

Board.

when 5,436,430,000 kwh.
vT'V.,„ 'J:'-.
V7 77

the prewar level; a total of 301 businesses succumbed in the
corresponding week of 1939.
:
v
r
7
V-

service

where he

1948

third

America

24th,

and

106

these

Edward

24,

the

we

weakness,

Congressional approval of additional interim aid funds
Italy and Austria. Inquiries in spot; markets were faihPly
numerous
but sales declined for the week.
Total sales reported
in the ten spot markets were 80,600 bales, as against 110,800 bafles
in the previous week and 85,500 in the same week a year ago.

the

commercial

founders

Jan.

the comparable week of 1947 when 63 occurred and over five times
18 in the same week of 1946.- Failures remained at about one-

the

Indiana, who ad¬
dressed the gathering on "Supply¬
ing the Middle-West with Petro¬
leum Products"; Harold Long, McMaster, Hutchinson & Co., who
spoke on the "Outlook For Can¬

.

ended

cars

Chair¬

tion."1

March

ended

serious aspect.

more

from

Oil Company of

ton

week

Liabilities

Dr. Robert E. Wilson,

"The

week

CHANGEOVERS vV

in

considerable

for France,

Continuing the?; mild fluctuations Characteristic o£ the past
month, commercial and industrial failures fell off-slightly in the
week ending March 25. ' Dun & Bradstreet, Inc., reports a decline

Drake. 7 ;;777:7;. .;>/■•' '77-7\7:;7y77
Speakers
at
the
Conference
man

^

BUSINESS FAILURES OFF SLIGHTLY

held its twelfth annual conference

were

WEEK

industry however, over unconfirmed reports that the
government has been piling
up
copper
stocks since, this trade
authority commented, adequate supplies are on hand.

in

and

a

cern

CHICAGO, ILL. — The Central
States Group of the Investment

.

FOR

that the coal mine shutdown is taking
It warned that the situation for the auto
industry could take on crisis proportions the next week as pig iron
and sheet steel supplies tighten.
"Ward's"-added there is no con¬

on

a

some

was

to weakness

12.1%

108,057 units, "Ward's
Automotive Reports" states.
This compares with a revised total
of 115,556 units in the
preceding week and 100,355 units a year ago.
The slump in auto production was attributed
by "Ward's" to
a
cutback in;: schedules by Ford to permit a changeover to new

Holds 12th Conference

March

the

declined last week to

Central States I. B. A.

on

OFF

STRIKE

Production of

$5,000

,

There

year.

OUTPUT AFFECTED

models.

interest in forward commitments.

no

attributed to
COAL

MODEL

or

showed

prices

Moving in

1,281,210 tons for the average week

produced.

AUTO

estimated -fettt

net rise during the past week.

labor difficulties in the coal fields.
It represented a decrease
143,559 cars, or 17% below the corresponding week in 1947, and
decrease of 104,124 cars, or 12.9% below the same week in

tential at present.

Bankers

and

prewar

LOADINGS

TO

reached

conjure up by not using that po¬

•

tons

kwh., according to the Edison Electric Institute.
This was 80,875,000 kwh. below the preceding week and was the lowest turnout
since the week ended Jan. 3, 1948 when
production amounted to 4,868,011,000 kwh.
The current figure was, however, 335,670,000 kwh.
in excess of output in the week ended March
29, 1947.
The peak was

ignore

preparations

future

a

highest

1,611,400

against 1,725,000 tons last week,
1,669,400 tons, or 95.4% of the old

000

both; the bloodless diplomatic po¬
tential

the

1940,

~

equivalent to

was

the average slightly lower, reflecting expectations of heavy Hog
marketings as soon as the strike of stockyards workers is ov«rIrregular fluctuations featured the Chicago livestock markets vtfttfo
both cattle and hogs prices finishing slightly higher for the week.

The amount of electrical energy distributed by the electric
light
industry for the week ended March 27,1948 was 5,064,555,-

is not to stop,

back, right

showing little

Corn

as

ago,

ago

is

It

on

and power

meaningless, too

are

long-range

-

in

year

94.6%.

was

rate

offerings from farmers.

selling of futures by speculative interests. After showing strength
in early dealings, oats turned downward in sympathy with o#«r 7
grains. Domestic demand for cash lard was slow and futures prices

.

ELECTRIC PRODUCTION CONTINUES DOWNWARD TREND

but to reverse the Soviet tide—to

it

Mon-

on

20, 1948, totaled 700,482
cars, according to the Association of American Railroads.
This was
a
decrease of 96,551 cars, or 12.1% below the
preceding week, due

her

Long-range --programs,;;UMT

dam

one

month

a

Loadings for

further aggression is meaningless.

What

capacity

DUE

operating

ingots and castings

FREIGHT

the

undermined.
the

announced

of

government had purchased aroUn'd 17,000,000 bushels of wliWtt
flour equivalent since the resumption of buying on March 5.
Domestic flour sales continued slow with bakers and other larfc&e

■

>,

Steel Institute

and

the indicated rate

week's

1,705,000 tons

infla¬

course,

The internal

coherence

in

more

the
tionary effects will become
lative.

'

probably to reach $25

without

—

of steel

And ebb the

must,

5)

flood

a

*

and

third-quarter quotas will

mo¬

ebbs,

■*,;

later.
*

the

coun¬

American Iron

1

<

.

.

month ago

cap¬

tionality of bureaucratic blundering.
;
Instead of stopping this men¬

page

that

day of this week the operating rate of steel companies having
94% of the steel-making capacity of the industry will be 89.4%
of capacity for the week
beginning March 29, 1948, a decrease
of 6.3 points, or 6.6%.
This compares with 95.7% one week ago.

produc¬

anywhere
is
the over-hang¬

as

war

cift.

The

otherwise.

or

poured

wasted

be

(heir customers

warn

(1449)

the

users

companies, to

their Commun¬

as

can

by

Money
Italy is

and

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

&

to

The

Financial

Chronicle)

LOS

ANGELES,
C A LI F.—»
Charles E. Hodge is now associ¬
ated with Crowell, Weedon & Co.,
650 South

Spring Street, members
Angeles Stock Ex¬
change. --We was formerly »with
of-

the

First

Los

CaliforniaXo^.

34

(1450)

THE COMMERCIAL

(Continued from

V

standards

(b) To promote industrial and
general
economic
development,
which

must

still in the ^arly stages
of industrial development, and to

ana

are

further

of

by all countries,
of

and

prod¬

markets,

their

for

needed

prosperity

eco¬

(d) To promote on a reciprocal
mutually advantageous basis

tional

other

;

commerce.

(e) To enable countries, by in¬
creasing
the
opportunities
for
their trade and economic develop¬
ment,

abstain

to

from

ment

But

com¬

a

of

Article

and

Domestic

luciiiuci
member

achieve

and

productive

large

takey

maintain

full

S1]ru

dpn

measures

political, economic

institutions.
to

avoid

and

Members

measures

social

will

seek

creating

bal-

ance-of-payments difficulties

to

for

trade

restrictions, the member is

to make its

full contribution and
appropriate action is to be taken

by the other members concerned
r-io correct the situation.
Such ac¬
tion should expand rather
than

contract international trade.

Deflationary Pressure)

or

recognizes

that

members

may

need to take action to
safeguard
their economies against
inflation¬
ary or deflationary pressure from

abroad.

In the

case

of deflation¬

ary pressure

special consideration
is to be given to the
effect on any

member of a serious or
abrupt de¬
cline in the effective
demand of
the
other countries. Article 7
(Fair Labor Standards) calls on
^

members

to

do

whatever is ap¬
propriate and feasible to elimi¬
nate substandard conditions
of la¬

bor, and refers

in

this connection

to cooperation with the
Interna¬
tional Labor Organization.

nizes

that

common

all

countries

interest

quantitative

X?? USu

recog¬
have a

in

the produc¬
use of the world's
human and
material resources. Under
Article
9, members are obligated

tive

pro¬

gressively to develop and. to-




re-

main, subject to the commitment,
under Article 17, which obliges
members
to undertake
negotia¬
■

tions directed to

substantial

a

re¬

the

Such

recommendations

and

mutually advantageous
Existing preference mar¬

basis.

gins
are

not to be increased. Rules

are

laid down for conducting such

negotiations.
If

to those under the fund.

C.

to 28

deal

cluding

is

found

to- have

failed

to negotiate in good faith,
the ITO may authorize the with¬

holding

The

take

Article 18

taxes

provides that internal
regulations are

trade

and

not to be

products

upon

.

more

severe

imported

place

two

quotas to
industries.

film
-i

Section B.

of

protect national
•*;

stances.

the

Exchange Mat¬

of

use

cprtarn

as

export

defned

ments,
world
tion

sub¬

in-

pre

An

exception is allowed
for imnorts of products fo- gov¬
al®o

State

use.

brought,

within

tra^'n*

the

*

is

Charter

obligations for reduction of pref¬

.

,

intended

a;

of

agree-

•

"expansionist" -*
to

and

commodity.

enlarge

f

consume-

i

the V

But

>

specially concerned in lay-

ing down rules to cover "control"
types of agreements, which may;*
have; harmful restrictive effects
on trade. \
^
i
;i Mernbers are obliged to enter
-

.

into

new control type agreements
I
only through Charter procedures, ;

State Tradina-r-Ar-

organizations

tyoes

production

of

JTO is

ticles 29 to 32 lav down the nrin*

Marketing

all

including

agreements

circu™*

ciple that state-trading enterprise®
be guided by commercial
principles ih b"vinp and seli'ng
and
must avoid discrimination;

with

cerned

gain more than a fair--share of
world trade in the products con¬
cerned.
Section D.

*

.

,

may
rot use
orimarv products--to

on

for

;

modify agreements ard the types
y
of agreements wh:ch
may be coneluded.
The ITO is to be con-

Members

:

ernmental

,

Quantitative Restric¬

tions and Related

soon

as

-

groups

However,
as
regards
primarv
commodities, soecial provision is

eluded.

use

to 70)

conducting
study
and'for holding commod¬
ity conferences, the general principles which are to govern com-

mem¬

into force, although the ITO
power
to
grant extensions.

has

to

conditions, the

eedures

in

nqust

certain

increase

an

possible
any event not later than
years after the Charter en¬

and

frorjri
other members than upon domes¬
tic products.
One of the excep¬
tions (Article 19) permits, subject
screen

(or prevent

as

subsidies

into the group' of con¬
parties to ; the General
Agreement on Tariffs and Thade,

:v

culties

abandoning of export sub¬
a
general policy is to

sidies

will

tracting

j^r (Articles 55
■j Recognizing the

or

bers whose trade is affected.

in

members

V'> ;

Commodity
:vvAgreements
;.;V'

to

exports

limitation of subsidies with

for

bringing

'

make

special dlfflaffecting primary com¬
in) imports. Members are obliged modities, Chapter 6 lays down the
intergovernmental
to give full details of the subsi¬ objectives; of
dies they are using and to discuss commodity agreements, the proto reduce

made

effect of

to

Intergovernmental

or

operate

increase

or

sides

the

income

of

that

f

In other cases,

be asked

may

■

subsidies, in¬

form

any

support,

maintain

of
benefits under the
most-favored nation clause,' Suc¬
cessful conclusion of negotiations
have

with

international agency,*
exists.

one

ITO

CHAPTER 6

;
Subsidies^-Articies

Section

ters

member

a

agreements would

place on
such members obligations similar

nation of preferences on a recip¬
rocal

appropriate

If. however, there is unreasonable

delay,
proceed

interestedcoun+rjes may 'A
bv direct negotiation.
^
!

Commodity-cQhtrol *.agreements *
to. be entered into only when
a burdensome surplus or :
widespread unemployment which /
could not be corrected by normal t
market forces alone...These agreer
^
are

.

there is

ments are to insure the availabii-

ity.

supples

of

adequate

.

ters—Quantitative restrictions on
imports and exports are in gen-

erences,

eral

reaspnable; pr'ces: 4 Crufdjng bmn* )
ciples v for : administerin g : control -;
of the so-called technical articles
Articles 33 to 39 is to provide agreemen ts are; laid, down. / but %
standard rules for the adminis¬ particular; methods to be used ^or. *
tration of freedom of transit, valu¬ dealing with specific commodities "
ation for customs imnort and ex¬ are not given, this being left tat

prohibited (Article 20). But
a number of temporary and per¬
manent
exceptions, other- thap
those

balance

on

grounds,

of

-

-

payments

permitted. • ■ Among
temporary exceptions- is the

the

are

Section E.

General Commercial

Provisions—The

general

times

to

meet

world

at

all u

demand

at

-num-nse

preventing
cal

>

■

and unwarranted
™ternationa!I trade,

made between
measures
conflicting with nego¬
tiated obligations
(i.e., obligations
assumed

is

j1. °*her members but
measures

with Charter

Protective

that

do

conflict

obligations,
measures

type are to be settled main¬
ly by direct negotiations
between
the members concerned.
Measures
type must be referred
to the ITO for
approval.
Auto¬

of the latter

ITO

granted

if

approval
certain

will

stated

be

criteria

fulfilled.
These criteria re¬
late to certain types of industries

and

their

date of establishment.
The Article also deals with
dam¬
age to trade resulting from

pro¬

tective

tion

to

and

measures, emergency
offset qxcessive

ac¬

imports

the need

for

secrecy

in ad¬

ministering the provisions,
>

Special circumstances
may jus¬
tify preferential agreements for

economic
ITO

must

proposed

be

preferential
may

ar¬

authorize it

majority.

ITO

criteria.

or

stated

Among

or

belonging to the
region, and (b)

preferential

rates

sound

a

involved

market

for

the branch of
industry or agricul¬
ture to be protected. If the new
arrangement is found to be
likely
to

injure the

outside

dures
ing

the

are

stable

uation,

balance-of-payments; sit¬

trade

of

members

arrangement,

proce¬

laid down for negotiat¬

satisfactory

compensation.

Section F. Special Provisions^Article 40 d e a 1 s with
emer¬

and

ports th»t threaten serious'
injury
to domestic nroducersr -

may

affect international

ures

guard

the Charter for

a group, of cen¬
tres to take sfens fovaH formine

of its imports, subject to the rules
and within the criteria laid down

r»f

in this Article.

elimination

Article
which

22

<•'*,■'

sets

out

the

jv
way

in

quantitative restrictions to

safeguard
should

balance

- of - payments
administered without

be

discriminating between exporting
countries,.

<

i

Article 23, in view Of the prob¬
lems of postwar

adjustments,*

thorizes

members,

with

au¬

suitable

safeguards, to deviate from the
principle
of
non-discrimination

during

a

transitional-period.

•

trade

during

period.

known
and

transitional
procedures,

Alternative

"Havana

the

as

the

available

to

the

ontion"

Geneva
for

"option,"
are
members requiring

operate under this Article.

[ Article

23

purposes
a

also permits a mem¬

to

direct

its exports in
increase its earn¬

way as to

ings of hard currencies, provided
it does not deviate from the

customs union.

non¬

free-trade

The formation
involvine *he

areas.

a

i*rnuo

vided for.

Article

'deals

the

International

ment»

exceptions to Chahter 4r In: add*-,
tipn to the standard exceptions tr
commercial

treaties;

a^ r
fomporarv exceptions

of

number

there

connected with emergency"

cor»d;-

tions,

short¬

such

postwar

as

ages.

CHAPTER 5
i Restrictive

of

action

against restrictive busm®®*'

nrsctices

in

wherever
the

international,

they

tradr

p-e

is

nrocedure

TTO

to

down

investigate

oranMces
torial

laid

the

as

restrictions,

the

for

comr>la;nfc"

effects

of such
price-fixing,
terri¬

exclusion,

production

A

discrimination

quotas, technological
misusb of
patents,

trade-marks and cppv-icrM®:

fbp

of the ITO will be limited
mainly to instructing the offend¬
powers

As

publication of the facts
regards

services

of

e*

or

:

exhaustible

re-*

.

International Trade
Organization
<

-

(Articles 71 to 91)

("Chanter 7 sets opt the structure »
and functions of tho ITO (except ■
for settlement of differences) i:
Section A—(Articles 71 to 73)
Jays down the conditions 6* mem¬
bership and provides for the ad¬
mission of separate customs torriand

United

Nations. Trust

Territories

under

certain; condi¬

Art)cle

lists

69

to

those
ITO

is

to

comprise ,a' Con¬

Executive

an

establish;

Board

the

as

ITO

There is to be

Director General and staff.
Section
details

B—(Articles

to

of

74

.

to

a

;

77);

composition, sessions,
officers, powers and

procedure,
duties

in

The structure of,

such; Commissions
may;

addition

functions: specified

other Chapters.
ference

the; main

in

the

Conference.

member will have

Conference.

one

Each

vote in the

,
,

Section

C—(Articles 78 to 81)
details the composition and pow¬
of the Executive Board.

The

bosrd will consist of 18 members,

the

to be selected

partly as represent¬
ing members and customs unions

Article 24.

ITO

of chief economic

to

authority

Fund

are

defined

in

The ITO is obligated
accept all statistical and other

-

will

have

for

only restricted
dealing witn com-

;

f'sheries, migratory ;

CHAPTER 7
The

ers

such

transportation, insurance and

j

birds and wild animals.

the

principles of the Char+er.

r

commodities

functions of th^ ITO.

oKH ernfpd

pre

under state-.:-

scarce

conservation
sources

tions.

(Articles 46 to 54)
Members

*

and-to- agreements eonre^^d with a

torie®

Busi n ess" Practices

with

commercial services of banks, the

Monetary

-

dealing only with: fair dis-^

tribution

pfev*er?1

ing member to correct the abuse

and

;

ments between one exoortinf end *
one, importing countrv, to agree-I

-

w;th

and to

Working arrangements between

commod-

tradingy^ran^ments.^ to agre&t

'

45

discrimination principle laid down

the- ITO

the appropriate

modities1 dealt

of countries is also
pro¬

in Article 21.

i

in

.council.

of
tariff and other
commerci3! .restrictions betyeen

concerning

ber applying quantitative restric¬
tions
for
balance-of-payments
such

a

Un¬

development of multilateral

this,.

Chapter.
Tbev allow fpr meas¬
otherwise inconsistent with

trade.

A member may^ to safe¬
its external financial posi¬
tion, restrict the quantity or value

itv

If;this f°ils, they
action allowed in the event will be referred to the ITO.
K
of concessions under this Chester
Ther main exceptions; to :1he
resulting ir» a sudden flood of i: Charter directlv relate to
pom

unstable situation may.
.Articles 42 43
44 deal
harm the position 6f other mem¬ theterritori a 1: apo! icgt ion '•?<# I

bers

tied

gency

an

mum

arrangement fulfills

insure

is

any

economic

must

It

strictions must promote the maxi¬

will, however, be given
automatically if the new prefer¬

the

payments.

re¬

new

conditions

safeguard the balance of

The

approval
ential

restric¬

and

two-thirds

a

excepted.

with

(Article 15).
informed of

rangements and

by

deals

til March 1, 1952, ITO approval is
not required.
But members who
discriminate in their import re¬

development

construction

tions to

also

are

21

•

of the for¬

mer

matic

schemes

Article

not con-

w*r" the commercial polons U1?der the Charter)

^
and

trol

recognized that
while it is primarily the
responsi¬
negotiations
bility of each member to maintain

through

rangement,

Reconstruction

Reconstruction)

protective

are
(a) contiguous territo¬
ries among the
parties to the ar¬

(Articles Eight to Fifteen)
Chapter 3 (Economic Develop¬

ment and

of

such ".as

nction

same

;

particular

these

CHAPTER 3

Economic Development
and

as¬

are

:

Article 6 (Safeguards for Mem¬
bers Subject to External
Infla¬

tionary

nn

bal- '

ance-of-payments difficulties for
other members, which would han¬
dicap them in maintaining full
employment without resort to

of

form

A

Where persistent
maladjustment in a member's bal- !:

leads

in¬

branches of agricul¬

or

the

re¬

where

change agreement with the ITO.

price

If

mem¬

balance of pay¬
unsuccessful,
the
ITO
foreign exchange. The(-will refer such complaints to the

ITO may require non-fund mem¬
bers to enter into a special ex¬

25

practices.

j

other countries.

ance-of payments

for

■

measure*

j

wUhta'its''o£T\
through
appropriate to
its

provide

^cognized

and

mand

ential systems are allowed to

of harmful

„

pr relieving of a criti¬ port ; formalities, marks of;origin, bf workep. out bv the countries f
shortage of food. Restrictions, trade regulations anH trade ter¬ especiallv interested through decovering agricultural or fisheries minology.. ;;This section alsb pro¬ fined procedures.
th®3
products needed for the enforce-, vides rules covering
.Disputes ari«mg out of control ;
anti-dump¬
economies of the mem- merit of internal
a greem ents will normally be set- 1
government cen-- ing and countervailing duties.

to

employment and
a
steadily growing de-

and

in

™Sasures>

earn
each

action

to

opportunities

reconstruction

*

(Maintenance

iDiovment»
Employment)

will
win

rights

undertake

industries
ture

3

these

,

other countries.

Under

to

duties,

re-; in general

invest¬

sistance to economic
development

all

of

future

The need for governmental

Charter, including the ex¬
pansion of
international
trade,

well-being

and

,

of the

the

the

adequate security for existing and
future
investments.
They also
agree that it is desirable to avoid
discrimination
between
foreign
investments.

necessary condition for the real¬
ization of the general objectives

for

have

vestments acceptable to them
and

the

alone but is also

national

or

also

Subject

reasonable

unemployment and
underemployment is not of do¬

and

existing

members

Activity

concern

interference in

affairs

Members

ments.

*

(Articles Two to Seven)

mestic

not

ownership

of

that

is

right to state, in just terms,
quirements as to the

CHAPTER 2

declares

reconstruction.
have
the
right,

they
foreign invest¬

ment.

commodity policy.

2

internal

mem¬

importing and exporting rules
formalities. Existing prefer¬

and

and

extent and upon what terms
will allow future

cial policy, business practices and

of

and

reconstruction.

policies, and to determine to what

employment,
development, commer¬

Chapter

economic

investment

other

respecting cus¬
charges on imports

duction of tariffs and to the elimi¬

interna¬

for

used as a basis for

trade in the fields of

avoidance

with

and

foreign

their

(f) To facilitate the solution of
problems relating to international

Employment and Economic

deals

members

that

retard economic progress.

economic

12

investment

sup¬

to

and exports or on transfer of pay¬
ments for
imports and exports

skills,

without prejudice to
existing in¬
ternational agreements, to insure

reduce productive employ¬

or

toms

devel¬

reconstruction

enterprise,

development

measures

which would disrupt world
merce,

economic
as

treatment

bers in all matters

the

It recognizes that public and
pri¬
vate internatioal investment car
be of great va^ie in Dromrf'->?

discriminatory treatment

international

the

development

barriers to trade and the elimina¬
tion. of

with

war-devastated

Article

and

in

nation

Economic

capital, arts or technology
plied by other members.

ment."'"-

the reduction of tariffs and

with the

well

as

injuring

develop¬

and

between

Council and

promote

,

ing facilities for development or
reconstruction, nor to take action

facilities

productive

are

nomic

the

to

access

ucts;
which

equal terms,

on

Tariffs, Preferences,
and Internal Taxation and Regu¬
lation—Under Article 16, mem¬
bers agree to give most-favored-

plaints

direct negotiations between
bers
is

reserves,

ments and

Section A.

■

There

countries.
Members undertake, under Article
11, not to impose unreasonble im¬
pediments in the way of obtain¬

enjoyment

the

to

opment

ment.

(c) To

productivity.

cooperation

bociai

ITO

the international flow
for productive invest¬

encourage
of capital

of

be

etary

(Articles 16 to 45)

members and

countries

those

of

19)

page

Thursday, April 1, 1948

facts presented by the fund. This
includes matters concerning mon¬

Commercial Policy

construct industrial and other eco¬
nomic
resources
ana
to
raise

omy.

particularly

Up Charter

'

CHRONICLE

CHAPTER 4

lull Trade Organization Sets
anced and expanding world econ¬

FINANCIAL

&

partly

by

a

importance, and
two-thirds majority

^

•Volume 167
vote.

Each

will have

Number 4686

member of

one

vote.

THE

the board

ernments

If bv

;

•

only

set

needed.

Commissions.

up

in

"

deais with other
organization pro¬
vision.
Under Article 86 (Rela¬
tion
with
the
United

\

should

;

ment

of

will

be

directly
in connection
political matter brought
Lefore the United Nations in ac¬
with

United

the

provisions

Nations

Charter

storms

The

great

challenge

by

our

Charter

8

•members;'
;

If

,

i '

provides

-

that

the

or

•

Charter is

impaired,

cernecl

•

■

the

member

first

may

resort

to

to

work.

con-

iective

con-

one

sultation

or
arbitration, keeping
informed.! Failing settlement; the dispute may be referred
: to
the Executive Board
.(Article
;94>, with provision for-appeal to
vthe Conference (Article
95): The
ylTO may, under Article 96, re-

was
ner

to

course

ter.

have

procedures

other
Char-

Members

•without

prejudice
international

agreement,

resort;

to

unilateral

ob-(

our

and

everv

i

4

"

w'il

be

be

as

as

it

the

of

of

Michigan said in
Leg;slature

"The true

lic must

free

a

freedom

of

The rules of procedure for set-'
of
differences will be

,

1

established

?

:

by the ITO.

;

CHAPTER 9
General Provisions

.

,

.

r

■j

•

:
f

,

$48 Million in Feb. i

r

(Articles 98. to 106)'

p
;

i

*

Nothing in the Charter will pre-,
elude any member from maintaining economic relations with
members
bers

and

(Article 98),

recognize

but memthat arrangements

.

■

;
-

•;
.

:

.

conduct

trade with

non-members

in a way that would
injure trade
with members should be avoided,
The problems arising out of relation* with non-members will be

Article 99 lists the general exceptions to the Charter. No member will be required to give in:

formation, that

it

considers

No member will be

vented

action

from

it

taking'

considers
to

traffic in

or

pre-

necessary

fissionable

arms

in

materials,

in time of

•

.

,

war

otner emergency in internationai relations, or in carrying out
agreements made by or for a mil-

;

itary establishment
pose of

for

the

pur-

meeting essential require-

j ments of national security. Noth.

ing in the Charter will override

t

the World War II

j

ments. '

;
.

settle-

100

to

102

deal .with

amendments, review of the Charter, withdrawal and termination.
The

force

of

1947.

the

State

of

New

deposits increased by

compared with a
in February,

as

This marks the 67th consecutive
in

Charter

will,

enter

into

(Article 103); 60 days after

ratification by a majority of gov-'




research;

ex-

war
the

decentralization

of

guard against

over-concentra¬

an

industry

to

which

contracts.

war

of

Maintaining

this

this

our¬

constant

debit

^Security
should

job.

be

in¬

democratically
tolerance.

Must

This

and

Prompt enactment of such a
mobilization plan is made ever
more pressing in present circum¬
stances. When the last war broke
out

large proportion of

a

re¬

our

source®
were not being fully uti¬
lized. Plants were
idle;

which

sizable

cotton and wheat.
to

start

has approximately 51%
savings deposits in the sav¬

y

gain

savings
accounts, totaling 20,934, is above
the increase of 19,953 during the
month

a

year

ago,

and

the

vested

vantage is ours, in materials, and
access to all the far reaches Of

'in

the

disciplines

the

country

as

a

to

war

power,

but

prices.

All

wait

us

things

when

the emergency comes.

This

are

mobilize

enough of these
apply them in*telligently,'- vigorously
and
promptly to achieve the stability
in the world which lasting peace
requires.
That is the choice before this

whether

these

to

resources

clamor

may

see"

and

and above all in the spirit¬

ual strength of free men. We have

yes" today to a ceiling on
wages; business !to a ceiling on Us
profits, farmers to a ceiling on

really necessary

and. to

country today. Shall we mobilize

"wait

and-see" habit, so
ingrained in our natures,
must be broken, if we are to use
America's
power
effectively to

now, tor peace? Or, in letting slip
precious time, will we leave our¬
selves no alternative but to mobilike for war in the future?
v

slack today

thing..

Union.

is

It

my

hope

with

understanding

yet be attained.

may

the terrible scorching
war,

the

that

against

the

The issue is one of law .against

Because of
of the last

We should
in

continue

Unless

There is

in materials, fac¬
the

any¬

government

the

powers,

shall

same

confu¬

threats which justify
the

guarding against possible
Only by standing guard
do we gain the time to continue
seeking peace.

measures

Financial

KANSAS

Chronicle)

an

CITY, MO. —A. H.
Bennett. & Co.,< 1004 Baltimore
Avenue,
has
added
John
L.

draft and

Blocher to their staff.

be

prepared,

fronts.

it

other

If

we are

be

must
,•

on

to
all

moral

Without

principles.

those principles will be
left to find their sad expression in
power,

quate. It would be useless to take
the precious time of our young
to train them insufficiently.

protest by suicide.

men

I

gravely doubt that the six
provided in the legislation
before
this Committee is long

J. Thackston in Knoxville

months

KNOXVILLE, TENN.—John A.
is conducting an in¬
vestment business from offices in
Thackston

the Knoxville Bank Building, un¬
der

the

firm

thing less than a year, I fear, is Thackston &

As part of any Universal

tary

Training

should be
of

name

of

John

Co.

A.
?

-

than nothing.

With Flynn & Levitt

Rehabilitate Our Youth

economic mobili¬

.

democratic

the

was

country, for we alone have
the strength to give vigor and life

to

If military training is adopted,
the training period must be ade¬

zation plan which can be put into
effect without delay.

law be per-.

need of construc¬
leadership than today. That
leadership can come only from

Don't Waste Training

require the immediate
of

in

tive

(Special

•

The

power

world in greater

failure.

worse

A, H. Bennett & Co. Adds adoption

force without

Never

while

inflationary havoc of enough. The minimum time should
sqdden
and
full
rearmament at least equal the minimum re¬
would be ghastly.
quired for basic air training. Any¬

The

our

by law, with all

mitted to dictate its slavish terms?

even

and

re-enacting

use

peoples free to choose how they
are
to
govern
themselves?
Qr.

striving for

peacemaking,

we

support of rule

wants to guard
dangers of the past

the

Shall

force.

and to make certain of the future

success

freedom in

to preserve
these critical times.
necessary

an

Soviets

everyone

in

able to act quickly, with full

sion

:porary restraints and disciplines

this

burst upon us

tories, food, labor, prices, in

,

whole.

possible

this slack first and

rcurtailed immediately.

mobilization

for

was

future, the civilian econ¬
would have to be drastically

were

fo

world, in industrial capacity,

technical skills, yes, even in man¬

to say

Let

and
spiritual,
peoples of the

-

free

world hold, are vastly superior to
those which the totalitarian can
command. In every field the ad¬

reason.

economy.

war

count for the State of

,

It

mobilization for

up

brings total accounts held by sav¬
ings banks in the State to a high
of; 7,152,687.
The
average
ac¬
$1,384 is in
marked contrast to the $1 326 of
a year ago and, at'the same
time,
is well above the $968 average

unemployed;
there
stocks of

near

omy

no

mil¬

*a*e.r cutting mto the nor¬

.-Were

in

some

carryover

mal civilian

ings banks of the nation.
February

our

by taking

now

(Soecial

the

they would have to accept in case
of another war. Labor may refuse

their

military

which

habit may seek to block an indus¬

restraints

even

nomic,

trial mobilization

the

r

v

be said again "all we have to fear
i
is fear itself." The resources, eco¬

Change Our Habits

same

;

there is no reason for panic
fright. In fact, it might

come,
or

it for that
resistance of

greater

.

,

!

someone's

oppose

with
.'

.

While the time for decision has

Resources

Enactment of Universal Military
Training would be a departure
from established American habits.

Many

and
'

Use Our Strength

'■

.

from

re¬

might be entrusted to the
it

Coming

together.

different
segments
of
society,
they will learn to understand one
another, to treat one another moire

credit

and

commitments and

our

"

-

different parts of the country and

attempt.

ventory,

•;

Democracy Encouraged

live

to

guided by the

nots^wrecking

mental

These young people will learn

basis of settlement with the Soviet

were

:,

activity.
,

selves, for that would defeat all
we

as

.

;

inflation.

alized

savings banks
experienced a net gain in
savings, bringing total sav¬
ings deposits in the State to $9,904,010,410.
-The State of New

account

be

must

we

do

•

new

same

of

should
they become
necessary. In whatever we under¬
take

I

Military
drilling in a

Through the interwar years I prevent war.
repeatedly urged that such a pro¬
'Th? greatest single necessity in V
Law Against Force
^
be placed on the statute
the world today is for America to
books to be ready to function in
For so-called moral or "paci¬
make up its mind where it stands,
case war came.
It was not done.
fist" reasons, some would deny
so that the other free peoples on
The result was a fumbling and
>
'earth know where to rally.
Un¬ the use of power, as being evil
faltering in the mobilization which
less we come to decision among .in itself. That is to invite war,
unnecessarily lengthened the re¬
ourselves, we invite a scattering even as it encouraged Hitler's
cent; war, cost many lives, many
of our friends and another -war. war. Others will protest that the
extra billions. Much of our cur¬
"measures I have proposed depart
rent inflationary troubles can be
We Still Seek Peace
from "free enterprise" and are
traced to the piecemeal price con¬
:
methods of the police state. Such.
Knowing
where
we stand, I be¬
trol law which was adopted when
lieve, would make possible re¬ people value freedom low indeed
the war began, a law which legr
to
be unwilling to accept the tern-.
newed
endeavors
to find
some

have

The

re¬

deeply

We Have No Slack

were

of all

men

on

draft; the organization
pools of, labpr of all kinds and

lions

York

in

other

promptly,

necessity

obsolete.

Universal

physical training, in disci¬
pline, in self-control and in other
traits, so valuable in every field

sources, so that corrective meas¬
ures and controls can be applied

.

month

and

or

uniform

$46,483,691

>y:>-\

.Articles
-

peace

of

con-

whatever

for
Net

$48,385,342

trary to its essential security interests.

opened, it was re¬
the 131 mutual sav¬

banks

gain

or

-

ings

with non-members to obtain preferential .trade
treatment
or
to

relation

-

ported

to

up

plan. Different
group? may refuse to agree now

a

liability;

accounts

York.;

.studied further by the ITO.
i

.-Savings in saving banks during
February, 1948 exceeded gains of
a year ago both in dollar deposits

non-

supply;

add

become

soon

envision

and

gram

Savings Banks Report
Deposits Gain of

:

be lacking or
work-or-fight

may

useless

•

-

,

of any kind
contrary to
the Charter provisions.

tlement

short

our

institutions, but also in our ability
courage to defend and pro¬

measures

'

which

in the

and

tect them."

of

is

Training as mere
for manual of arms. I see it

responsibility

with

could be a strategic
up-to-date surveys of
underground industrial facilities*

1863,

Reonb-

consist, not only
and

mobilization

will

someone

see

wartime

tion

mes¬

in

glory of the

beneficence

system

cover—a

to

materials

money,

National

should

them, unless State
prepared to under¬

are

.It has been said that it

a constant inventory;
these programs and

all

Board,

mobilization

a

Iplanfi? in stand-ft# readiness

As the wartime Gov¬

what

outlined what such

Panded intelligence and informa-

85 years ago:

over

of

•*\ ^'.Professions and sciences;

i

our

like

with

charged

sources,

?t^P.^vMs;;,.retention .Of
security

national

preservation

the

to

sage

our

concurrence

intensified scientific

mighty force for the

a

institutions.

economic

nation

our

to rehabilitate
authorities

not

should

At different times, before other
committees of Congress. I have

in

v

felt, just

I

sheet of

terials

goes

dunng the war, in everv cor¬
of the earth, and its strength

and

to1

not

reach

each

of American produc¬

nower

ernor

undertake,
to-any other

of

priorities, allocations, and ration¬
ing
powers; a
ceiling over all
prices, wages and rents, to pre¬
vent
inflation; taxation to take
the profit out of war; the accu¬
mulation of strategic raw ma¬

to work.
few, if any, substitutes

protection of

also

*

serv¬

take the task.

strains upon our economy.

Congress.

plan:

,

re¬

envisaged in the

gnv

than those

to

will
as

work.

then

will

of ITO activities,
In dealing with complaints and
settlement of
differences, mem¬

.

a

industrial

inclined to want

_

The
tion

scope

not

•

sleeves and

l'or hard

/legal quest'ons arising within the

undertake

to

economy..

takes off his coat; rolls

are

1

bers

We

us

There

quest from the International Court
of Justice
advisory opinions on

,

.

program should be en¬
acted into law now, with the un¬

our

seem

onlv

of

his

"o

the ITO

T

Such

overcome

"s that few

being nullified

■

mobilization

lull

free economy;
are
the foundation of America's
strength. The trouble right now

benefit accruing to it
directly
indirectly, implicitly or explic¬
itly, under any of the provisions

S'-

better to take them into the

ice and, as part of their training,

potential workers from
to train men in handling weap¬
productive labors.
Increased ar¬
mament needs will add to
the ons, since the particular weapons

commitments

whole.

one

Supporting

production —
many of the
confronting us today*

shall

tribution. under

any

inte¬

Get Ready to Mobilize

work, production and dis¬

considers

; cr

'.of

grated into
■V,-.

increased

problems*

to their communities. It would be

thousand

of

elements

President with the

we

by

simply turning these youths, back

maintaining

need today is for in¬
production, individually
collectively.
If we keep our
straight ahead on our ob—

past should not be perpetuated by

varied

its

of

military trainingeven without
military training—
dis¬
must be a ready-to-go plan for the
;
/■.

can

the impact

must watch

must be a

great

■

-

member

any

procedures

free

a

An

can

The neglects of the

be corrected.

without

entered upon.

become

creased

iective

complaints

under

has

war

and
eyes

(Articles 92 to 97)

for^ dealing' with

we

All

derstanding that it would come
into effect by proclamation of the

The

,

strength

even

partial mobilization being

we

the

today,

all

disaster. But

own

war.

our

capacity

CHAPTER 8

r.

By

war,

of

is

it

adequate defense
balanced defense, with

become the in¬

can

our

own

oroduce

/

Settlement of Differences

r

to_al

America's strength is bound up
witfc
its tremendous

Director General
the legal status of
V

augmented.

tempests.
today is to-

sipate fear.

the

and his staff,
the ITO, and contributions.

.

we

strument of

,

of

fear

wn

.with relations with other organizations, the international respones

i

and

"ace the future unafraid.

subject
ITO Charter provisions.
Other articles in Section F
deal

sihilit

rely on any single measure of
defense, on the atom bomb, on an
air
force, no matter how greatly

Let us not forget that
pilots gain their reputa¬

fall within the
scope of the United
will not be

We would deceive ourselves

war.

to

Progress.

skillful

of

from

to

deal

Factor

as

As

The demands upon
our economy swell rapidly—aid to
tions.
Europe, to Turkey, 0 Greece, to
It would be a tragic illusion, of China, to the occupation areas.
to Selective
Service
course,
to believe that military Returning
would withdraw several hundred
training, by itself, can prevent

application, the
authenticity of texts.

tion

I

106

potential aggressor
into attacking this country or in¬
to overrunning other peaceful na¬
encourage any

territorial

will

.Nations and

.

105 and

ical and mental defects which

Constant Inventory Needed

(Continued from page 2)
Never again do we dare permit
our own lack of preparedness to

(Continued from page 16)

a

cordance
the

104,

More Production

/it

member
with

Articles

Railroads

on

ters.

:

ratification

the

not

attempt to take action
involve passing judg,essentially political mat¬
Any measure taken by a

'

.

the

governments
If

annexes and

'that would

•

force,

20

with

Nations)
members recognize that the ITO

•

signing the Final Act.
1949, the Charter is

Charter is not in
Section E— (Articles 84 and 85) force by October, 1949, the
gov¬
lays down regulations covering- ernments that have ratified it will
the Director General and the staff. discuss on what terms
they desire
Section F— (Articles 86 to
91) to bring the Charter into force.
:

(1451> ' 33

CHRONICLE

April,

Section D—(Articles 82 and 83)
gives the Conference powers to

not

& FINANCIAL

COMMERCIAL

some

program

Mili¬

to

The

Financial

Chronicle)

CALIF.—Aus-4
there ,tin Gatlin has become connected

compulsory means

rehabilitating youths with phys¬

LOS ANGELES,

I
I

with Flynn & Levitt, 411 West
Seventh Street.

36

THE COMMERCIAL

(1452)

The

the

(Continued from page 19)
United

and Korea.

This

a

The budget for 1949 illustrates
this point. The effects of war and
our efforts to prevent a future war
account

for

budget.

Only

79%

of' the

will

1939

were

;

f

in
Only 29% of

items, while 71%

.

cost of aid we should

ac-;

;

;'»•, vVi

•

with

future

a

reference

is

war

to

the

than

It

destruction, distress and

nomic

dislocation

the world.

the

in

of

mainly

alternatives

invest for

to

not

The
world situation is dynamic. While
/we have tremendous power to influence

the

course

easy.

of

-

relief

to

as

First:

We

na¬

future

our

Second:

<

'

We

could

relief

namic

;

.

'

situation

the best

stop relief
Europe somehow

regain economic and po¬
litical stability without our aid. /.
We could take the op¬

future

must

we

sight and statesmanship
vide.
>'

.

In

can

pro¬

the

face

Of these

conditions

—which are not matters of politi¬
cal opinion, but the facts of our

i

present
look

world—it

backward

is

fatuous

find

to

to

base

a

for governmental operations.

The

budget of 10 years ago cannot be¬
the budget for today. < >

come

Prevision for Substantial Public
Debt Payment
•

.

.

*.*.

,

\

-

) The 1949 budget is the third
consecutive balanced budget. If
,

,

:

will provide funds for

;

tial payment
For

.

our

on our

substannational debt.

purposes

tonight, how-

a

ever, it is important to go further
than the common meaning of a

}

familiar

alternatives.
at

with

the

made among

was

As

de¬

as

1 "balanced" budget in which dollar
income

outgo.
The

is

compared

/' ;7
budget for

—be it

any

general store

a

tion—is

with

/•/'•'

.,

dollar

.7.77 7.7/;
enterprise

or corpora¬

of expressing, in
terms of dollars and cents, the
Toperating plans of that enterprise.
You recognize that the real sig¬
nificance
of
any
budget is in
terms of balanced plans—the rel¬
ative emphasis to be placed, for
/ example, on production' and research, sales and advertising, plant
expansion, and many other faca

way

a

*-

*

*

; tors.

This balance must be struck

"in terms of the policies and goals
1
of the enterprise—in terms of the
•

economic

*

market

conditions

easy

are

essential

the

Western

States could

the

on

these

a

in

had

result of

international uncertain¬

ties

and

to

be

revised

^continued

Instead
was

of

a

as

drastic effect

a

and availability of
materials. 'Thus, procure¬

has

been

curtailed

given

future-years#

for

1949

high priority
7*44 ;
i

a

-

fecting

national

defense

empha¬

of

ment

we

develop¬

National

our

believe

now

long-term

Defense

But its scope and

program.

oper¬

saving, ^the ating, details must be reconsidered

faced with depart¬

when

firm

decisions 7have

been

7

1949.'

even

.

and

po¬

of

leaders in

ment

as

and

the

to

our

program

for international

recovery.

combined judgment

the

out

of

govern¬

value

of

our

,

European recovery the essen^tial budgetary policy involved two

in

his

Budget

mes¬

sage when he said:

'"The budgetary implications of
failure" to achieve recovery in

;

elements.

First, what could this Europe and other * crucial areas
afford; second, what were deserve additional emphasis.
Europe's needs?. These budgetary Should failure of these programs

countrv

decisions were worked out in what
was

result in further expansion of to¬
talitarian rule, we should1 have to

truly magnificent coopera¬

a

tive effort.

•Wherever possible, the decision
made to postpone expansion
restrict
expenditures.
The

was

/The President clearly stated this

relationship

aid

to

reexamine

security * position
Probably no other/program in and take-whatever steps'might be
our
Nation's, history, either do¬ necessary
under^ the ^circum¬
mestic or international, has been stances.
The costs of added mil¬
subjected to such searching anal¬ itary strength, if Europe should
ysis in its formulation as the Eu¬ succumb
to
totalitarian
rule,
ropean Recovery Program.
This would far exceed the costs of the
our

;

,

effort included the

work Of busi¬ program of economic aid now be¬
leaders,
legislators,
labor fore Congress."
"'
v;
r
7
7
representatives and government
The
decision : was 7 reached
to

ness

■

,

and

President

keep

had

a

firm

desire

tc

governmental

expenditures
in 1949—a year of strong infla¬
tionary pressures—at the lowest
point consistent with required and
economical
tion.

>

standards

The necessity

itary

of

opera¬

for heavy mil¬

»

.

,

7

years ago.

history,

development

and

material

Let

■

our

give two brief illustra¬

me

tions:^

of

resources.

-77,7'!-•

the

budget for public works.
enter

we

fiscal

1949

.

As

construction

in

-

us/Our veterans

will
.

personnel./ I

am

work of the Harriman

balance is not merely a relationship of receipts to expenditures.
In the 1949 budget the significant
balance lies in properly

relating

three

broad

tional

responsibility,
and'

areas:

/ ,
The.first

national
domestic pro¬

our

grams.

interna¬

our

.

our

,.

area—our

international

responsibility

will cost slightly
than $7 billion in 1949. This
is about 18% of the
budget. The

>v>. more

great bulk of

this

amount




is

for

The
pean

expenditures of the

Euro¬

budget^—about 28% of the totalRecovery Program, as sub¬ to provide for the minimum re¬
by the President,.are; esti¬ quirements of the National De¬

mitted
mated
year

at

$4

billion

1949 and

Atfer

that,

$5

they

in

the

billion in

should

and

cease
after 1952,
liquidation expenses.

How

can

fense program. ?
I should like to

1950.

decline

except
7

evaluate

we

fiscal

ticularly

for
1949

comment

'

on

tions for future years.
As progress toward

of the armed forces is

recovery?

more

is

only; 2% 'of

our

estimated national income of $210

billion/*It'is
;V i'O

u,4i

slightly

U/U 7.<

•

will

.

of

starts to

high

unification

achieved,

a

possible.- Secretary Forthe » National
Security

a

minimum because

construction

labor

costs,

77

In

from

our

force—atomic energy.

new

Truly,

it has been 100 .years

since 1939. >7 7:
hold, also, in our national
strength and the firmness of our
will
the > priceless /ingredients;/
We

from which

can come a

world that

is safe for our children and

children/.

7

their

v/;/7/7/;7,

If there is .one thought I would 7:
like to leave with you tonight, it
is this: the budget of the United
should

States

whole.

It

is

considered:

be

as

lated to the effects of

771

resolve
•

/

;•

to

war

prevent

and our /

future 7

a

V':V;77/77;7 ?-,::/"■ 77;<! '7'■

wish that I could say

that the

;

problems we faced in framing the
1949 budget will not have to be

/

in

1950

yond.r.N'o
facts

statement.

But the

examination

I

make

one

world
be

of

involved.

factors

the years

be-7

,

that

thing cer¬
position is

constant;

the; issues

and

77

;

/

have

spoken tonight/ gentle-/
ment, in a spirit which(I»know /;
governs '• your
consideration/of
public affairs—a spirit of reajl-*-

in

It

7

determined that $2.6 bil¬
lion would be required in 1949 to
-

was

maintain

ects

the
of

already

less would

minimum

econom¬

construction

under

mean

on

way.

waste

proj¬

To

and

do

inef¬

the

have

future

a

firm

this

country)/ I

that

we

forging, through democratic
esses, a balanced operating
which
in

truly reflects

our

are

proc¬

plan
position

the world today.
I

have

equal

ing

vestment

foundation for

public works.

of

faith

ficiency and would further post¬
pone
the benefits from • our in¬
in

:

(re¬

ism, of seriousness, of great faith

,

.

in possession of the

honestly

can

/.

and

man

anti-inflationary

measure.

7

a

reflection, in dol-7
lar terms, of our national policy—7
a balance carefully and painstak7
ingly struck in the light of the,
world situation today. More than;,
three-fourths of this budget is re¬
a

and material shortages—and as an

ical rate

efficient' utilization of funds
be

more than restal,y 1
/'
J V, i\~

'..'.ai.j-i:

par¬

some

investment of $4 billion in world
It

;

aspects of the
program because of their implica¬

:

this

T

new

7

pop-

18.million; our/
$47 to $255
hands, for a short/;"
time, rests the grave duty to con¬
vert
to
peacetime benefits that
tremendous and little-understood 77
debt

billion.

must

.

.

been

than

more

national

there

;

un-7;

?

have

1939

ulation has increased from 4 mil¬

faced

;7;'7

Nearly $3. billion is included in

K^>77-.777

Responsibilities

;:

of

dreamed

war.

and

77,■

.

.

limit expenditures for the conser¬
human

:

.

nation, too, which has 7 >
played a major ;role in waging
and ^inping. the greatest war in 7 ;

firm

vation

has

income

7 This is a

that

enterprise

J

•

from $70 billion to $210
billion.
Our employment is the
highest in history; our industrial
production twice what it was 10 77

will be under way on $12 billion

the

national

—

referring to the hold defense expenditures to their worth of, projects. ? Congress has
Committee, 1948 level in view of our vigorous authorized an additional $9 bil?
Three Broad Areas
the Herter.
Committee, the Krug program to achieve more stable lion in projects on which work
Likewise, in the case of the Committee, the - Council of Eco¬ world economic conditions. Eleven has jnot yet started.
For thrc?
Federal
Government, 7 budgetary nomic Advisers, and many others. billion dollars is included in the years, budgetary policy has held

defense

.

national

Our

1939.

tripled

our

which

of

.

tion has increased 14 million since

and international expend-*
reinforced the decision to

itures

,

.

decisions

about

operate.

the

on

policy which are reflected in the
budget for 1949.7 I should like to
emphasize that the factors which

lion to

what

„

litical'stability#
Given

damental

be- the

.

;

deter¬

was

forward

peacetime development of atomic
energy.
There are provisions in

with

They would have led to
The third broad area in the 1949
greater costs in future years. budget,
our." domestic
program,
In addition, it was necessary to had to be
weighed against inter¬
will yield a very great return to consider the
relationship between national responsibilities and - na«
this Nation by furthering world¬ our national defense
requirements tional defense requirements. \
;
and

hand, it

move

line

,

recovery

to

will

proposals
if reached opJhese matters/^/>'
which,
adopted, would have added more
than $2 billion to defense costs in
Our Domestic Program.

••

economic

On the other
mined

forced upon

mental

of

taking. acalculated risk.
are r*assuming/, that ." dollars

wide

over

sizes that 1949 is a/year of transi¬
tion.
The actions taken are in

a

occupation

have

77Each of these considerations af¬

This early

estimate

of
countries.

recovery

price

but must be

es¬

possible reduction of at least

demand and

the

to

European
Heavy, stockpiling by the United

ment

expenditures for 1949.

palliative.'*m;,are,

billion dollars in expend¬
the next few years.

a

tain

under
;

and

guide posts to
cost of maintain¬

no

billion dollars in national defensa

„

,

<

in¬

nearly
ex¬
wartime weap¬

terms of world-wide

war

to the size of the defense pro¬

needs.

We

These

now

are

number of determinations

a

President

course,

are

resulting

tablished certain preliminary pol¬
, Based
on
these facts our
first studies last spring indicated

rather than
we

least

itures

'occupation of former

emerged from the

should provide a

making this choice

wartime stocks.

hausted and many

ines¬

,7:/7/

that "any assistance that this gov¬
ernment may render in the future
mere

direct and

icies.

at. the

tary Marshall's statement at Cam¬
bridge last - June when he said

a

.

responsibility

were

made

continued and costly relief. 7
? •
This was the essence of Secre¬

7 In*

a

these gram, and, the President bad

.

its

ventories

determine; the
ing an adequate military strength.
Yet
the
Congress in; 1948 had

establishment, of Europe as a go¬
ing concern; without the rieed for*

cure

is

and

areas.

ons

we

there

The President. chose

reconstruction;

item

our

make.

its essential pattern and balance spent now to promote the
recovery
retained by the Congress, Jit of free
peoples in Western Europe

;are

^

are

cision that
to ', aim

■'

:

You

follow

that wisdom, fore-

course

is

•

'

portunity to invest in the ability
events, we cannot always predict of 270 million
productive people
shifts and
changes which /have to help themselves recover
/equally great power to influence through a planned and
coopera¬
us.
Increasingly, in world affairs, tive effort.
\7777':'"''/777;,' /;
inaction is as far reaching a pol¬
Cost of European Reconstruction
icy decision as action. In this dy¬
,

and

force

.

would

Finally:

armed

dent had to deny requests for new
starts which would have added at

.

needs,

could continue

and gamble that

is

answer

the

Of ne¬
have
been

funds

indefinitely.

and national

peace

to

became clear.

course

security?

-

these

turned !

It

This
budget raises the basic
question of today—how much shall

The

cessity,

it

Europe.

goals.
Against tins background, three

recognizes the will
recover and to cooperate which
still exists among free peoples. :

we

of

Western

modern

a-more

balanced

•

obsolete.
As they
;
are
replaced, the cost for national de¬ influenced these decisions may be 7"
so altered in the coming year that •'
fense will
rise.'; •• /•./•;"
7- ;7;/;-7.;
enemy territory. TWe must assure
The size of our national defense they cannot hold for 1950. How¬
conditions in these occupied areas,
ever, these decisions represent the 7
particularly in Germany, which budget will be substantially * af¬ careful and considered
judgment
will permit a minimum of occupa¬ fected by the adoption of univer¬
of the President, Secretary Mar¬
tion forces and guarantee the ef¬ sal training.
Although this pro¬
shall,
Secretary
Forrestal
and
fectiveness of European recovery. gram would eventually cost about
other Cabinet officers in the light
For the past few moments we $2 billion annually, this will be
of facts now available. They will
have been examining the charac¬ partially offset by reductions in
move us farther ahead toward the
ter and cost of our $7 billion in¬ the size of the standing forces,;? ;.
Another important segment of solution of tomorrow's problems
ternational program. These inter¬
than any other decisions we could
the National Defense
national
program is
expenditures
must
be
make at this time.
7.7.; ;7;7:-^7 •
weighted and balanced with the the stockpiling of strategic mate¬
The magnitude of our responsi¬
other two large areas in the. 1949 rials, such as rubber, tin, zinc and
bilities and the deepening crisis
budget — namely national defense chromium.
The Congress, in 1946, author¬ throughout the world require that
and our domestic responsibilities.
we
ized a five-year
think and act with maturity
stockpiling pro¬
National Defense
gram with requirements now in¬ and statesmanship.
Let us next consider national volving over $3 billion. We had to
This; is a growing, expanding
defense. The decision on the size recognize,
however,
that
many nation now coming into the full¬
of this program was difficult to
stockpile materials are scarce in ness of its promise. Our popula- ;

from

ery

to

.

two-thirds

those

capable

rather than to longer-term recov¬

eco¬

rest

This

!

$15 billion by
through in¬
organizations, more

tions of

better

on

available

made

toward

ress

to prevent disease

in

unrest

than

more

ternational

recognizes our leadership in the
family of nations.
It recognizes
the

have

we

an

the missions
and programs of the various serv¬
ices.
•
"7 •
'
■ "X
/
Even in the 1949
Budget, prog¬

resources.

necessary

Since the surrender of the Axis

abroad

framed

world.

the

world

•,

in

,

the

exjend.7

engaged
of

■

direct assistance and

be traced directly to the
■effects of war and our efforts to
can

pi-event

;

powers

,.A-budget in which 79% of the
total

of our entire

now

review

about 2% of

or

works expenditures forv,
new starts on di¬
rect
Federal
public works.
In
holding to this decision the Presi¬
1949 will be for

be—to complicate its appraisal by

relief.. programs

the worsening of
situation required

Only $61 million
all public

of military aircraft and the size the 1949 budget for increased ex¬
our
civilian
penditures for the development of
reserve
presenting it in easy stages or us¬ of
com¬
ing complicated ! fiscal arrange-' ponents.-;:- V 7:-.;::a7«7/ new laboratories- and production /
ments.
/./ :f 7f / On the other hand, ' Substan¬ plants7&nd to step up the training if!"
tially higher expenditures will be of vitally ..needed scientists and 7
7:7/ Cost of Occupied Areas
needed in future years to main¬ technicians: ; This
program
will
The other major! international
tain our current military strength. involve expenditures
of nearly "yexpenditure anticipated for 1949
For some time the military estab¬ $700 million in 19497
.'7
7
is $1.25 billion for government ot
]/ 7
I have described to you the fun¬
lishment has been living largely
"Occupied areas and for the relief

*

apparent that

position and of the character and

was

devoted to other government

•tivities.

of

re-evaluation

the budget for that year went for
war-related

•

was

be

however,
European

;

the proportions

reversed.

1949

reduced at least $2.5 billion. While
the budget was being prepared,

de¬

voted to all other activities of the

government.
In contrast,

the

are

a
emphasized*
Through economies
honestly presented to the coun¬ and reductions elsewhere in the
try in its full scale.
There has defense program, it has been pos¬
been no attempt—nor will there sible to increase our procurement

the

completed in the fiscal
year 1948. As a result, it appeared
that 1949 expenditures might be

total

be

spring it

would

*

21%

preparing

number-

.

signifi¬

faced

Board and the Joint Chiefs

Staff

intensive

Our aid to European recovery is
bold undertaking.
It has been

is the

this question posed?

was

Last

our

on

which
1

How

-

the words of Henry L. Stimson.
.

in

of

counting the loss of life, the suf¬
fering and the tremendous drain

■

Thursday, April 1, 1948

Council, the National Security Re¬
sources

1% of $340 billion, the money cost
to this Nation of the last war, not

Japan

to one of the most

budget.

world, it is framed
perfect futility." These are

with

■*

■

questions

President

ref¬

Germany,

figure of $7 billion

answer

cant

to the

erence

notably

areas,

truly great statesman re¬
cently said: "No private program
and no public policy, in any sector
of our national life, can now es¬
cape
from the compelling fact
a

that if it is not framed with

European Recovery Program

and our commitments for govern*
ment and relief in the occupied

States in the world of tomorrow.

As

CHRONICLE

Budget of the United States

world of today but to the

,

FINANCIAL

courage

out

and

our

this

faith

plan
a

that

vision in
will

our

carry¬

lay

>

better woild.

•

,;u

the

yolume lgl

THE COMMERCIAL

Number 4686

FINANCIAL

&

CHRONICLE

(1483)

37

\

the cost of agricultural

are

Food

Supply and Food

ucts such

(Continued from page 21)
that
would
equal 90% of parity—the parity
price for any commodity is one

lion in 1946.

period, by the same percentage as
the prices of things farmers buy.
As the price of these items ad¬
vanced, so did the parity price.

In very

tion costs incurred at the several

of competition for the housewife's
stages of the approach food dollar. It also makes for the
of the raw products to the retail lowest
possible distribution cost

commodity

that has

increased

since the

different

store

base

many

of

foods—which began so many

with the art of canning
—is heightened now by the many
improvements in other methods of
food preparation and delivery,
years

■

T

Our food habits and the amount

also

are

being

influenced^ by our rapidly ; growing knowledge of nutrition.
As
we come

to learn with more con-,

fidence what constitutes a suitable

shall eat different foods

wc

and probably more food m total.
Well-informed nutritionists do not

with those who claim we

agree

the best-fed nation

are

on.earth.

"

Nor do they even agree
well-fed. Too large a

are

of

age

our

/:

,

Pont¬

But

■; ;

the

on

Jj

strongest in¬

perhaps the

.

food supply will

our

American

the

of

ability

buy food.
With m.
creased employment (from 29 m
lion employees in
people

to

establishments

in

uon-agrieult"^

the 193o-oy pe

riod to about 44 million recently)
and with

greatly increased spend¬

able' income
prewar
our

(fro™.

$175

to

$66,(?n 10471)

d
neople eat more food and
b
food
It is t sometimes said

*

ter

.

only so

that the stomach will hold

much and won't take more,

yet in

country we've witnessed a
17% increase in per capita con.'stimption of food since prewar,
and who is to say it has
its limit? ' Total consumption, has
increased even more, since there
has been a 9% increase in populathis

r^c^e

SonTn this

Moreover as

period

spendable income declines food
item

last

the

farm

to

suffer

^s

m-sales

chances

take
In

vote.

all

with

consumer

the

pur¬

processed

form.

There

or
are

profits also at each of
these stages. Let us consider three
these

of

cost

elements

and

very

briefly comment

on some others.
Our food supply starts with the

Time

grower.

been

and

claimed

share in the
small.
eralize

again it has
grower's
price is too

that

the

I presume it is safe to gen¬
and say "that the law of

and, demand ultimately
will determine that share., If we
find ourselves with a surplus of

be

can

where

good

seen

commodities

in

this

our

the

government, to make
its guarantees, had to

on

step in and buy.
for

in

the

bushels

It had

plus

level.
/; * './1. ,'/
There are forces at work that
tend to Offset that relationship.

so. millions of
lost.
A few were

The support program is oneThe

exported and some went to make
high-cost manufactured products

organization

such

as

creased

was

lost

About $80,000,000
this operation.
As

on

consumers

we

lower

prices

seemed

to

were

•

that

denied

the

is

the

commodities

a

The

coopera¬

efficiency of the

third.

But

Yovi

tobacco and cotton.

may re

call that following the first

World

time

when

War

there % came

prices of
ties

commodi¬

agricultural

fell to

many

a

such low

levels that

farmers were rumed. .With
oversupply came de¬

am enormous

pressed prices. There was plenty
people couldn t get it.

of food but

Some of the New Deal
with-

which

we

are

reached back into that
their
In

of

P^J^FJ

farniliai
period for

supporting arguments.
an

effort to avoid repetition

this

experience of the
zus,
legislation was passed early in
the recent war to establish guar¬

partment

levels

they become important

the unit

in

price.

Food
I

make

observation

one

to

as

enters into the

that out of the

prewar.

/ A Downward Price Tendency

.

While large sections of cannery
are
unionized, other large

If

agriculture, in the interest of
economy, is entitled
to some protection, then at least
let a program be set up that will
not result in creating disastrous
oversupply with the penalties that

labor

over-all

to

be

associated

sections
per

are

not.

Since

with

had.

as

we

in the 1935-39

There

those who

are

that labor rates will
That

be

may

highlv

spendable income —they are not
too high; in fact are low. Whereas
a given quantity of food products
a

profit, 'con¬
sidering the hazards and risks; in¬
volved.
;;/.
/-•'"/
no

prophet, and I lay claim

than

all

the

will and

your be¬
prices may go up
or down
may be completely upset.
Only a few months ago sugar was

lief

a

that

food

item and figured

scarce

inently in

prom-f

a black market. Today
it seems to be in
surplus. Certainly
the market is weak. A sudden

change in weather can upset our
best-laid plans. But trying to look
at the
guiding

factors,

we

have*

guess that with a
great potential to produce food
and with a World demand for it
that is bound to
decline, it would
as if we're in for
gradually:
declining prices. Some prices will
decline too far; in fact,
they air
ready
have.
Processed./ citrus
products are being sold below cost
today. On the other hand, some

seem

food

commodities

are

selling at

very high prices, partly due
their seasonal character and

to

partly

due

to

shortersupply; meat for

example. But

the board the

across

housewife who is willing to shop
carefully and selectively may look
for

lower food bill to feed her"

a

family.

1

.

/ ';/ ./

//

/

/

/"-

"

(Continued from page 5)

•/

Surely it is not overly-skeptical to harbor the
suspicion that three individuals appointed by the President and
operating in his Executive Office, will not at all times confine them¬
selves to the judicial view of events, trends and
policies. And is

of

regards

as

workers

claim

decline.

never

true

skilled

branches

in

some

this

industry.
But
certainly some of the unskilled
and seasonal labor, so much of
which we employ, will be working

dollar at retail

period, in January,

this

not particularly true when related to
appraising the activities
"the boss" and his Administration, cf which
they are members?
At the very best, it is
surely difficult for anyone to realize where
of

the political factor begins and ends.
<
.:
■
..../.V- If the Council's shortcomings are the result of the statute, there
is no reason why the law cannot be altered. But there appears to

be nothing in the law which compels it tq make pronouncements
for public consumption. For the President to. have
economic experts

quietly and directly working for him

as

do his press,

diplomatic,

military, and other technical advisers, is unobjectionable. But'the
Council's provision of a device for giving a coloration of economic
science to his controversial political policies is

quite a different thing.
comes out as a protagonist
reports, or when it is directly quoted on the pricing
activities of the steel companies. No
group of this kind can Simula
taneously serve two masters—the Chief Executive and the public.
For the latter it puts on a show of savants
creating an intellectual
atmosphere and certification of independent expertism to rationalize
This is
in its

typically done when the Council
annual

own

efficiency the President's
politica-f strategy. Witness as a typical result the
a period
recent $40-per-vote income tax bonus
plan whose authorship was
have been in, and are
openly hung on the Council.
/

in, it probably declines at a more
rapid rate in the food industry.
Prewar, the labor rates were rela¬

prices do seem high and to
many "too high." But in relation
to our: wherewithal to buy—our

consumers

industry, he is struck with

am

you

Apply

man-hour declines in

such

food

cost

in respect to profit.
studies profit figures

the modest net rate of

I

reasoning

better

no

,

decline

possible cost to the taxpayer with a possible lessened demand
we can look
for lower prices for
cannot: be justified.
When
in the
and if supply catches up with de¬ agricultural commodities
' v,:/-..
mand and the government finds near future.
^
itself a'really big buyer, it would
Labdi", of course,*playsTan im¬
seem
as
if the program simply portant part in the overall food
cannot stand the pressure of crit¬ industry.
Its chief characteristic
icism that will be leveled against is that much of it is seasonal and
it. But by that time the damage much of it is unskilled. We em¬
will have been done.
\;r//" ploy a high percentage of women.

bound

in this

is

man's

vidual subjective bias.

a

are

one

ahead

next

This

It is impossible to project with
here, thinking of food supply, it certainty what is going to happen
is interesting to note how this to grower prices, but it seems sate
support program tends to encour¬ to believe that they are going to
tend definitely downward.
With
age the growing of commodities
our great capacity to produce and
w.ay in excess of our needs—and

our

as

consumer's dollar

compares* with 40 cents

government is forced to
step in and buy. For our purpose

at

But

secure

the

the

into

to what may,
prices
in the

as

reports

55 cents went to the farmer.

the

that

quite

months

look

to

food

I'll hazard the

Industry Highly Competitive

would

to

S. De¬

Agriculture

of

'

at lower rates

as

we

move

into

a

.

...

f;;// /•'.,} </f{

//

Pamphleteering

.

-

i

The Council's annual report recently issued to the
public can by no
stretch of.the imagination be called an
objective analytical
/

of conditions—but rather

pamphleteering

a

vague

appraisal
philosophic essay,'

Whether wittingly or unwittingly ifr is a paper
arguing for its own
basic : economic
theories
as ' have
some
of
its members
from
the platform and over the air waves. In an
objective discussion of
—

wages

and

prices, the possibility that

a rising wage scale could be
rising prices should at least have been
mentioned, even if completely disagreed with. But the Report com¬
pletely glosses over this. Likewise regarding the critical problem
Of inflation, the many alternative
ways of dealing with it should,
one

of

the effective

causes

of

have

been explored concretely and in detail.
•
While this'writer; as stated above/considers the merit of the
ideological argument irrevelant to this article, he would point out
the large content of subjective bias,contained in the
Report's many,
inferences and assumptions—as in its continuing attack on the
principles of the free competitive system, and in its attempting to make

industry

the scapegoat for future depressions. It repeatedly asks*
question whether we can continue to trust our eco¬
affairs to private enterprise; to which query, besides an.
implied negative, it fails to give both sides of the controversial

the

rhetorical

nomic

Our government economists do,
that "the accumulations of capital

answer.

observe

fact

however,
over

find

the

to
have in

space

years

involved

deprivations of the rank-and-file worker"; and that
increased production must go
increasingly to filling in the consump¬
tion of the erstwhile poor.

V

/

,

....

t

•

1

according to the Bureau of Labor
Public Entitled to Factual Reporting
more
normal period.
Moreover,
Statistics, that same food would with a
nearly adequate labor sup¬ ; / If the Council insists on reporting to the
cost $2.10.
public, they should us©
But that 1935-39 dol¬
ply and competition for jobs, we
documents of an entirely different kind. All generally controversial
lar, as disposable income, has be¬ can
look for greater productivity.
come $2.75.
The price of food has
conclusions should be eliminated, and instead there should
merely
Finally, the great strides in the
not climbed as high as the ability
development of labor-saving ma¬ be an historical factual accounting of events, and even trends, with,
to buy it. Today we can buy the
chinery in this industry will have non-controversial statistical data. All else should be
same amount of food we bought in
exclusively de¬
an important
bearing on the unit voted to the
1935-39 and have more money left
personal education of the President, in lieu of the
labor cost.

other things; or to put into
savings, than we could then. Thus
it can hardly be said that food
to buy

prices are too high.
There

is

conclude
labor

It would seem safe to

that

rates

an

may

adjustment in
be forthcoming

in the not distant future.
,

•

nothing

•

'

;

'

If there is

one

about

mysterious characterizes

the

thing that chiefly

the

distribution

,

electorate.

'//

':■

-

■'*

...

:J

Quite apart from the incidence of politics, the elevation of th©
Council to administrative government rank gives its
findings author¬

!

of

price of food/ In the the various foods that the con¬
anteed grower prices on many last analysis, the price that the ul¬ sumer buys, it is the great number
aericultural
commodities.
^url timate consumer will pay is re¬ o£ people engaged in it.
There
lated to cost. Many elements get are more than 600,000 retail food
Government
told
farmers
1
could count on a price for a parrJ into that price. Chief among these-! stores; if restaurants and : other




all

happen

recent

*

?Saf

find

rates

ability

no

grower

what has

?ion

briefly about the govern¬
ment program which sets support
prices under some basic agnculcommodities, together with

recent

their way into price and when it
is remembered that they apply at

general in¬

At the end of 1947 the U.

This program threatens to get us
into much more serious difficul¬
and

grower

Jhatm

to speak

advances

the

to

future. My guess

experience shown in this respect?

supply

justify. As tax payers
paid for the loss;;/,//!./.-- /

ties. ; Other

of

tives is another.

starch.

-

In that connection I should like

Of course,
in
freight

*

potatoes,
^were

at the

grower

outlet

no

is sufficiently great

/hich

/

high.

are

pro¬ face of a declining
demand,
experi¬ prices of these commodities will
through having developed out¬
ence with potatoes last
year; The decline—and at a more rapid rate
standing character over the years,
market price declined to a point than
consumer prices, if the sur¬
have seemed to make themselves
gram

volume. So long
it. My purpose in mentioning the
employed there will be great prfcs,
program is not to criticize it so tively low in important sections of
sure on our food supply. ;
this' industry./ With
the
acute
/;/// muc& as to indicate how it can
We may thus concmde that sub- and does affect our normal sup- shortage of labor during the war
it was natural that rates would
iprt to the hazards of weather
y of some basic foods.
advance rapidly;' Every type of
we
in the food business
Food Prices
person, including labor from Mex¬
must always recognize—we have
ico, the West Indies and Canada,
the capacity to
We come now to the most com¬
t
and Italian and German prisoners
level of supply, and
mon thing said today about food—
any
of war, was employed
to meet
strong influences are at work en
namely that its price is too high. seasonal
needs/ Obviously (th£se
couraging that supply. It ts. my
Certainly every price advance is
people were unskilled, and
belief that this country need have
sjfice
featured in the papers, and cer¬
they were paid the going rates,
no fear of running short of fo°dtainly
the
labor
organizations unit labor costs were
high. ^Actu¬
X cannot conceive that we wil
make the most of high food prices
ally the wage rates'in this indus¬
ever require a ration programl in
in' their
bargaining for higher
try
are
Vh
times
prewar.
time of peace.
We might
bette^ wages. To the comment that con¬
adopt a program aimed at Pleven
(Consequently, labor costs have
sumer prices of food are too high
of our enormous, waste of
contributed in an important way
I would ask: "too high in relation
food.
to
such, price increases as we have
/ to what?", Compared with prewar,

Government Food Program

The net profit

great grocery chains ranges
very close to lV/%. It is difficult
to maintain that distribution costs
our

significant
the profit .that
price of food. The
industry is so competitive at all
the levels that profits cannot become
the excessive. Some companies,

supply

the

at the retail level.

of

consumer

extended as is. agricultural

The possible effect of

.

in

unprocessed

probability the

present act will be

we
;

Ability to Buy Food

.

fluence
be

that we

population is still un

dernourished.

;

and

ago

af food we consume

diet

ject

the

them

taxes and

"

our

where

chases

years the packag¬
transporting of fresh
fruits and vegetables has acceler¬
ated radically. We can now get [The
legislation provided that
our
vegetables, and even dried these price guarantees should re¬
main in effect for two years fol¬
soup, in a cellophane bag.
We can have a complete variety lowing the war. They expire on
Dec. 31, 1948, unless extended. It
of fruits and vegetables on our
is hardly to be expected that Gon~
tables the year 'round. This trend
gress,
in a presidential election
towards disappearance of the sea¬
year, will want to tackle this sub¬
sonal
characteristic of

recent

ing * and

included the
food
outlets

etables, meat and fish, and the would approximate one million.
labor, transportation and distribu¬ This makes for the keenest kind

velopea into enormous volume.
The pack of frozen friiitk and
vegetables
increased
from
180
million pounds in 1937 to 975 mil¬

ticular

prod¬ eating places are
grain, fruits and veg¬ number of retail

as

ity and prestige which
economist,

or

are

not warranted in the

gle for scientific exactitude.
,

;, In

.*

any

/

case

of any

existing*

by the profession itself in its present status in its strug¬

.

■

event, the.

ganda mechanism to

;

?

; !

*

.;

:

'

•:/<•• /

-

implications of this unique advisory-propa¬

our

democratic process should be fully explored."

38

(1454)

THE COMMERCIAL

i

•

(or rather if the people
buy and sell realize it) a

turnaround
occur

Markets

CHRONICLE

Thursday,-April 1, 1948

izes it
who

Tomorrow's

FINANCIAL

&

with

' ;

,

in

the trend

Trends Affecting Real Esiate Values

can

(Continued from page 8)

equal rapidity.
'/•'#//*
/V'/'/i.

phasize the deposit and loan trend
of the state and national banks.

/

the thirties when the pattern of
long-term instalment loans almost

Title VI FHA loans had been fixed

completely replaced

at 4%

the

Likewise

practice

the

rate

of

interest'

on

by amendment to the Na~

At the end of 1945, real estate [ of making one year flat loans. It j tional Housing Act under date of
Oddly enough, as mentioned
loans stood
at $4,670,000,000,
under the former .practice I May 2, 1946. Bankers as well as
or | was
in
the
opening paragraph, 16% of ordinary time deposits of that second mortgage financing so legislators, and the public at
large,
often
proved costly and even dis- did everything possible to make
signs pointing to both possi¬ somewhat over $29 billion. Using
astrous
to
borrowers.
this
While many
bilities are present.
program work.
Committees
For ex¬ the estimates for the year end of
I banks had already !
=By WALTER WHYTE=
swung to 10 for Veterans Welfare, committees
ample the figures mentioned 1947, real estate loans had in¬ [year instalment
on
Real
Estate
loans, the Nation¬
Loans,, and com-*
Conflicting war and tax talk last week where specific is¬ creased almost 100% to $9,300,- al
Housing Act, passed in 1934, mittees on Publicity organized by
000,000 and stood at over 27% of
halts market advance.
New sues would meet
selling, were estimated deposits of $34 billion. offered a nationwide method of the banking fraternity held opeq
move
after sharp decline a the
Express this another way: In lending for longer periods at uni¬ meetings, schooled their employ¬
figures at which stocks
form rates on a single
mortgage ees, explained the provisions of
possibility.
ceased advancing. So far none the two years 1946 and 1947, time
the
* *
tif
Servicemen's

Walter

Whyte

,

Says—

.

of the stocks

have in

we

our

approaching a pe¬ list have broken their stop
rapidly advancing levels, but that doesn't mean
and at the same time
they won't.
*
❖
*
an increasing possi¬
a sharp intermediate
The strike of Exchange em¬

are

of

riod

markets
there

is

bility of
break.
V'"\.V

*

tit

tit

the

of

Its effect

news.

lars

"

it

^

tit

and

'//'/! with

In the last two weeks you
have seen a sharp advance

will

can

I do
all

not suggest

and

did

everything

possible

and creating

to

this

deavored to temper emotion withi
reason
based on long experience

controls

aid

the veterans.

with

inherent

guarantees and

the

working

tews pertaining

j

en/

Bankers

of

to

economic

and

money

many credit. However, when reason inelements of merit in ' terfered with emotion, many seft
the
reason.
Lenders
system,
and
undertook
to aside
content
make the plan work, hopeful of with the fact that a part of the

over¬

to .time

commercial banks of the
is

national

bankers

that the

loan

estate

real

for

government

government

de¬

insurance,

saw

preserving FHA as
enterprise.

posit ratio of 27% in the insured

the

dangerous one, but I do point
that the increase from 16%
to 27% in two years constitutes a
a

administrative

FHA

have

non-political
of course,

rapid rise and is a cautionary
signal. It is this rise plus the rise

bility

of

far

so

heads

of

to

There

guaranteed

grant

-

without

the |

adhered

was

to

as

Fortunately,

program.

the

loan

of

servant

a

private

country

out

for

see

of

ger

market

Readjustment

Act

type of
Notwithstanding the dan¬

paper.

our

deposits.

Mortgages

selling will be interfered
and brokerage houses
probably be hurt.
But

that is about all I

increased

we

responsibility

wider

a

dol¬

Rapid Use in Real Estate

picture is unimportant. Some
more so than of the mechanics of buying

no
the action of the market.
i

than

billion

a

much

one year

with

the market

on

loaned

we

more

time

I know this sounds confus¬

ing but it is

1947

In the

amount.

same

ployees makes good headline

:

pattern and provided a system of
insurance relieving the lender of

deposits rose $4.7 billion and real
estate loans rose by practically

v

We

loans

went

to

up

bothering

to

f&t

so

$10,800
appraise

properties

themselves, but- dePonded solely upon outside arpPraisers who often merely rubber^
stamped the sales price. This %i

a

is,

present possibureaucratic control of
ever

in commercial and consumer cred¬ home financing if the country is effect was furnishing to each vetequally sharp the time being.
it which shows us how closely our not constantly on its guard to pre- erar} a $10,000 letter of credit for
#
#
tit
break. During the past week
the
business has followed the pattern vent
passage
of
seemingly buying a home with no down payyou have seen what amounts / Meanwhile, maintain your of the nation's economy.. v;
harmless legislation which step
by ment.
More conservative lendto dullness though at a high
With a full recognition of -the step may develop into complete ers,
convinced 'that an owner4
positions in the stocks recom¬
control
level. The advance has been mended.
by government. The pro- eQuify in the property was a 6afe-;
dangers of inflation and with the
Perhaps by next
knowledge that inflation has been posals for yield insurance, for ; fuar<f f°r both the-veteran an#
and is still being fed — week more
fed
significant clues caused by government deficit loans to provide dwellings on the lender, asked that the owner
by headline news of an im¬ will arise.
/fi financing/ by large governmental farms and- for public housing as
ve at least a modest cash inpending war and the prepara¬
expenditures during and after the offered
by
the CTaft-Ellender- jIi* /the property^ •carewar and by an over-abundance of
tions for it. It's not too diffi¬
Wagner
Act
are
steps
which
tuHy
analyzed the character^
The list you have now is:
money
competing for goods in would undoubtedly^/prove
dan'financial .position of
cult to figure that if a war
://///■■/ Purchase - -' :short supply, Mr. Dodge as Presi¬ igerous.
.each applicant in order to make
occurs, plants will start oper¬
Price
In fairness to the
Stop dent of American Bankers Associ¬
/ Stock
FHA, it must certa^T1 that the :-$i6)^vfFurdhased;
ation successfully worked out a be stated that its record of accom- was based on a,loan within the
ating on double and triple; Anaconda
31^-3214
32
4
shifts producing for the wari Avco
i
'i...
4i/2 program of voluntary credit con¬ plishment prior to the war and caPacity of the borrower to service'
trol to which the banks of the na¬ during the war was excellent. Five
31
30
-31
r^Pay- In other words, -theireffort. Obviously the major— Bethlehem
tion have promptly and enthusi¬ billion dollars of loans ui\der Title! objective was to prevent "over-52
54-55
Caterpillar
and even the minor
comII
were
j Douglas
50
-52
54
insured, producing receipts buying" on the part of the veteran
astically responded. Events moved
my
panies who have been shaking Cons. Vultee
12
-13
my opinion
opinion that
that such a
a lend¬
1 end12
quickly in the field of credit and from insurance in excess of the
ing procedure was actually the
amount
their heads at the prospect of Dresser'4:
necessary to pay losses.
21
-22 / •: v23:/ economies as Mr. Dodge and his

after

almost

an

—

•

_.

r

i

_

—

—

—

-

*

future

business

again be in

will

oncfe

position to show
profits. This po¬

a

tremendous

-16

16

13

-15

15

try from important center to im¬

United Aircraft

23

-24

23

portant center

appetite/ to

stocks.

ciently,

will

cause

tit

tir-

them
/' //

to

Thursday.
—Walter

absorb

And if whetted suffi¬

zoom' still further.

___

More next

tential business is behind the

public

'

15

Lockheed -C.LIL

G. L. Martin

[The

views

Whyte

On the

pointed out that in the field of
tion

wiph those of the

realistic side

there is the tax picture. We
know we have a tremendous
debt from the
we see a

last

tax cut

while at the

war.

time

we are

preparing to spend additional
^billions for

#

a

new

war.

The

thing just doesn't make sense.
Or maybe it makes much bet¬
ter sense than is generally
realized. Perhaps all this war
talk is deliberate, aimed for a
specific purpose. What this is
I can only guess at, but if the
coming war is just talk then
the stock market, once it real-

Pacific Coast

y

to

(Special

LOS

on

/

Schwabacher & Co.

Corbrey

CALIF.—Carl

become

associated

to
the
inflationary
by encouraging credit
would aid production of

j

Carter

goods. Mr. Dodge and the
American Bankers Association

New York

Stock Exchange

'Chicago Board 0/ Trade
14 Wail-Street

New York 5, N. Y.

OOcttandt 7-4150

to The

(Special

Financial

Chronicle)

SftB Francisco

31

Haaten;

—

—

Santa

Oakland

—

Officee

Barbara

Sacramento

Fresno




lowered during the war
in order to provide
housing, par¬

war

a

vital interest in it.

;

ANGELES. CALIF—Hor¬
Donnell has joined the staff
Crowell,, Weedon & Co., 650
South Spring Street, members of
the Los Angeles Stock Exchange.
He
was
previously with
First
California Company.

in

Pendelton With

officials do a little better job-in
preserving what is left of sound

And

this

in

so

talk I want

housing shortage. With the
sudden
ending of the war the
country was confronted with the
problem of returning to a peace¬

The

liow

to

mortgage lending
has followed the government's in¬

flationary

our

acts, in

our

time

we

ing

sible.

An

public utterances and

hand

was

in

with

our

education

government

Financial

Chronicle)

DIEGO, CALIF.

—

that

Clar¬

T. Pendleton has become

as¬

are

of the

most

cancerous

to

money

and

625

with

Broadway.

.

are

Chapin With Marache, Sims
(Special

LOS

to The

ANGELES,

Robert H.

sociated

Co.,

Financial

Chronicle)

CALIF.

458

we

South

Spring

y

:

.

the

should

soning

which

each

new

as

it

behind

this

is

Changes in Form of Mortgage

mortgage

lending

took

1944,
J

:f

•Hi/
.

f•;,

i

1

Vt'\'!K?:

/.

<

.*

there

of the

program,
rea¬

provisions

>•/-

law

the

was

•

;-:

.

written

provision

of

'

•

an

into

that

States Government

the

would

amount up to $4,000

(not to exceed 50%

of the

debt)

of each veteran's loan made to aid

in the

of

purchase

,

f

-'-

of
was

a

home.

The

fixed at 4%.

i

•

"i

"•

'<

Administration

vigorously espoused the
100% loans.

of

cause

.

'

For two years nearly all of
the;
housing has been reserved'

new

for the

veteran, with two thoughts!
first, - providing a roof
over his head
and, secondly, re¬
ducing the cost of housing. That
the
first
undertaking has been
partially accomplished cannot be
in

mind:

denied

with

the

1947

record

nf

850,000 completed houses, mostly
for
veterans/ ;But :the second ef¬

fort proved to
the

veteran

friends

be

who

cruel jest to

a

and

those

of

his

sincerely wanted to

help him. Instead of lowering the
price of either new or old con¬

struction, throwing this huge vol¬
pf

ume

-credit

easy

market

resulted

owners

raising

there

cause

in

on

their
little

was

short

a

builders

and

prices
or

be¬
sales

no

effort

required to market their
properties.
In fact, there were
lines of waiting veterans

long

competing among
buy at any price

themselves

long

as

as

to
no

down payment was
required. With
care
to avoid discussion
of the
real reasons of

rapidly increasing
builders, real
estate
brokers,
labor
leaders,
politicians, and others endeavored

housing costs,

to

convince
of

means

many

the public

reducing

that

the

any

monthly

payment of the ultimate purchase
would

reduce

house.

Five

the

cost

minutes

the

on

of

of

part

of

the

serious

listeners

should have shown them that the

Readjustment
and
amendment

in rate of interest

place

success

Congress, yet the head

Veterans'

easing of terms to the home
chaser

merely

mand

and

r

increases

does

de¬
the

by

one

dol¬

On the contrary, the artificial
stimulus given to the sale of
prop¬
erties
merely. ,invited
to

On

be

price in¬
temptation' too great
ignored by most builders.'

the

a

of

score

what

meant to the home

tle

or

how

no

emphasis

much

more

purchaser to buy

easy

terms

purchaser, lit¬
was

placed

on

it/would :-cost
a

a

$10,000 home

financed for.25 years at 4% than

:i >3
:

pur¬

the

reduce

lar.

i

•> )

not

cost of home erection

creases,

United

great change in the form

the

of

Thus,

3'"/V-/,' Lending? //•!
A

and

Loans

to understand the

Act

"

'•

enterprise

financing

Servicemen's

carefully scruti¬
measure

em¬

to public hous¬

the

thereto. '

nation, and I believe
more

is easy

guarantee

members of the Los Angeles Stock
.

arid

proposed to Congress.

&

Street,

of

nize

as¬

Marache,, Sims

beneficial

in

terms, within the

So in view of the

it

of

the

of

thought

FHA mortgage

injurious to the economic wel¬

fare

—

Chapin has become

with

v

.

are

favorable

Veteran Housing

was

H

hospitalization,

assistance

credit ing.

Buckley
He

and

system of private

Brothers, enacted since Franklin Roosevelt
was
first
elected
are
bad.
My
formerly
opinion is that many of them are
San
Diego
manager
for
First *?ood and show
improvement over
California Company and Nelson- former
practices, but I believe that
Douglass & Co.
/
! they should be reviewed to see
sociated

veteran

without resorting

I do not wish to infer that all laws

pertaining

quickly as pos¬
problem at

as

immediate

ployment, as well as aid in pro¬
viding housing for the veteran as
quickly as possible and on the

growths
commencing to plague vs.

some

economy

daily

should

contacts

our

and: why

pressures

bankers

as

law and practice and in eliminat¬

Buckley Bros.
to

show

intent

were

acute

ace

Exchange.

if

ments which prevailed before the

have presented a good case show¬

have

of

Teletype NY 1-928

Private Wires to Principal

monthly

construction

H. Corbrey &
Spring Street.

Members

•

make

related to the size

The relatively high standard of
and
credit require¬

needed

which
New York Curb Exchange (Associate)
Son Francisco Stook Exchange

to

was

attract funds from the large insti¬
tutional lenders.

add

and

which

LOS

ence

Orders Executed

has

South

SAN

Pacific Coast Exchanges

would

Chronicle)

capacity

payments

Co., ing how inflation can be corrected
in
the
war
Mr. only by attacking the causes and ticularly
industry
a
system of areas.
Ruble was formerly with Harris, not by setting up
Since the war these low¬
artificial
control
laws.
I
am sure
ered
standards have been contin¬
Upham & Co. and E. F. Hutton &
that every one of you will agree ued
Co.
because of the scarcity of
with Mr. Dodge's statement that
materials, inferiority of quality,
while banks have not created the
shortage of production and excess
Joins Crowell Weedon
inflationary
problem,
they
do of demand, all contributing to the
with

650

(Special

Securities

Financial

ANGELES,

Ruble

B.

The

er's

ac¬

banks

financed if the borrow¬

play a most important part of the loan and if the rate of in¬
discouraging
credit
which terest was at a level which would

by

the author only.]

Ruble Now With

inflation

combat

be

^ould

trends

Yet

being passed

same

those jof

to

could

But he also

a cause.

time

coincide

However, it has been in existence
only in a rising market and has
not yet been called upon to meet

coun¬

article do not necessarily at any

>'f

more

the

across

explaining the ob¬
jectives of the plan and asking the test of economic depression.
for the cooperation of bankers in
It was this FHA experience in
every state.
Mr. Dodge stressed particular
that
pointed
out
to
that bank loans are a symptom of many the ease with which
housing

in this inflation—not

expressed

Chronicle. They are presented as
v

associates moved

i

I

■

I

> V

i:
I

U

li

t

-(1/

4.

Volume 167

Number 46865

*

it would cdst if he borrowed but

THE

Unfortunately,

COMMERCIAL &

those

savings
$8,000 on the same home for 20 have been largely offset by in-.
years at the same rate of interest.
creased labor costs.
Despite the |
/ In this simple illustration it could- prospect of continued demands for'
1 have been pointed out that the
wage increases the end of spiralborrower would pay $2,200 more
ing costs-should soon be in sight, j
in interest .alone on the larger
.

»

'

*

amount.

In

*
.

*

1948,

rand

.

Houses More

\

,

Notwithstanding the

find the President

we

Congress

the

and

financial

Plentiful

large fig¬
shown by theoretical surveys

ures

'

4 bureaus of

cerned

-

Washington deeply

'by

the

con-

which

course

in-

flation has taken and urging steps
to curb it.- On the other hand, we

i
c

find many who believe
4
v

still

further

terms,

-

;■

anties

r

often

t

that they

solve the housing problem by

can

easing
purchasing
giving government guar-

or

subsidies.

or

These

groups

that private

enterprise
has failed.
Let us analyze that
statement.
Despite the shortages
say

of materials, black markets, labor

inefficiency, ills of distribution
and
particularly the system of
government controls, private eni terprise completed more houses
4 last year than any other year since
;
1925.
True, most controls were
-

*

■

I am
when the best
/ date will be for the lifting of rent
4. control—it must come sooner or
later.

But

/

lifting of

..

be

;

.

the

day requiring the
rate control may

morey

than

closer

we

think.

on

As

cases.

far

properties
are
concerned, the scarcity pre¬
miums are fast fading out of the
picture.
For
the
past
several
months in the metropolitan areas
of many states, it has been
pos¬
sible, in fact, easy, for a nonveteran

find

home

new

30

to

and

which

purchase

has

been

days for veterans'

with

a

held

preference,

takers.

no

Bureau

of

Census the number

of

families in the United

States, in¬
cluding those doubled up and
those living in separate quarters,

increased

4,900,000

from

the

be

ginning of 1940 to the early part

dwelling

Lending Institutions \Already

units

of 44,400,000.

In

we

can avoid

stable and

topheavy mort¬

enced in the last

his

when

pay.

major depression
high rate of foreclosures

a

the

and

Erection of

the

sale

distressed

of

prop¬

erties did much to accentuate the
downward course.

Rental Units Is

Greatest Housing Problem

We must not avoid

reason¬

mortgage structure underlying
real estate
values, it is entirely
logical
that
when
depression
comes the price declines will be
more Orderly than those
experi¬

existing

nearer

our

more

gage position which existed at the
end of the twenties. With a
proper

reducing
the price of housing
through com¬
petitive selling, and aiding the

older

as

real estate will be

down the de-

or

If

ing is sound, then future values of

mand will have the triple benefit
of retarding
inflation/of

trying to sell you one today, cut¬
ting his asking price in many

of 1945, whereas in the same
pe¬
riod there was a net increase in

/

of slowing

process

(1455)

tion is maintained.

money

a consequence, any

ability to

name

tions and fixed money rates being
not prepared to say

i

purchases. As

<*

CHRONICLE

into the purchase of property are
far less'inclined to pay excessive
prices for homes than those who
have little or no equity in such

the waiting list to
buy a new home. The builder is

your

pointed out that according to the

j, two of the most important.

Own

veteran to buy a new
home at a price level

Controls still remain—rent limita-

24, 1946, making
I this record possible. A number of
1

to the number of houses needed

considerable of their

adequately house all of our pop¬
ulation, you no longer have to put

Testimony
presented
by
Mr.
Douglas Meredith before the Joint
Housing Committee in Washing¬
ton, D. C., the week of Jan. 12,

:i taken off on Dec.

.

as

to

FINANCIAL

ual

responsibility

voluntary
let

obligated

gram is in any way intended to
iinjure the veteran—quite the re¬
verse
is true. The medicine for¬

merly offered

to

reduce

of his home had

effect.
a

Now

we

soundest of

the

million

help

veterans

the

other

130

nation.

well

as

larger

problem

million

greatest

needs

of

one

to

as.

of

people

Housing is still

13

on

That

what

the

us.

*

stance

T

reason

where

emotion

overruled

and experience).

Any fur-

ther

lowering
of
the " rate
or
lengthening of the term of indi-

'

'/ vidual loans is

apt to have
the serious
causing the
mortgage money market to dry up,
which would in turn really retard
home construction.
now
effect of

/

-

You

fact

.

probably

are

that

one-half

of

ters.

Yet because of

easy

a|nd guidance.

And I

that

Principle
192

run

things in Russia

principle.

being indispen¬
boss, not by being

indispensable to each other. They
get next to the throne j?y push¬
ing each other—by pushing other
people down, not by cooperation.

a
sound basis.
I believe that
the erection of rental units is our

greatest housing problem of today.
Almost daily private enterprise is

In

fact, they get where
eliminating others,

hey are
just
as
Stalin himself came to the
top, not
by cooperation and team play
with his
associates, but by twotiming others, one by one. ' /
by

entire

nation's

mortgage

to

credit
of the

/housing erected in the past two

has been for ownership and
only 15% for rental. Unsound as
the program is, Section 608 of the
; National
Housing Act provided
practically the only attractive plan
I
for builders to finance the erecV vtion of rental units/ However, the
years

combat

but

it

inflation.

is

remedy

lacks

This

and

new

of

some

ABA

wholesome,
the

appea

that is offered by political reme¬
dies.
Great care must be exer¬

cised

in

applying

which

we

offer;

the

medicine

and

that

cine

be
in

now

effective

more

a

found than the

medi¬

of

limitation
to

v

4%

the

the

and

rate

of

interest
of

control

recently placed

rents

these projects
will in my opinion discourage the
production of this needed form of
housing.
The term of 32 years

-

/

/
.

and

4
v

.

of

/
*

■.t

on

months is considered

seven

by
many bankers to be too long for
the employment of savings
money,
but many have been willing to
finance these rental units during
construction

for

a

moderate

fee

servicing charge. With the softehing of the bond market and the
or

'

rise in money rates generally, in-

;

•

4 surance

companies, which are vir¬
tually the only market for FHA
/' 608's, are unwilling to pay a serV
vicing charge large enough to
;

•

Warrant

the

bank's

share

in

this

'

operation.
4/■' cental

I believe if

housing

are

this

;

the rate

;

be increased to 4V2% and

;

of

/
-

r»,f
r

interest

will

mental controls lessened
Constructed

■

from

private

units.-

to get
source

have

to

govern-

on

newly

Here,

enterprise

again,
cannot
be

credit which

come
4.u

erationT? In

i

the

•

..High

prices

have

caused

in-

production of materials
production has meant

44 increased

V less delay in construction; less delay has permitted < considerable
saving in the cost of the finished

..

j

x

of

studied

,i

j

today's
of each

conditions, the purpose
application should be

fully

care¬

to

distinguish be¬
tween the inflationary and noninflationary nature of the request.
Certainly loans to buy land for
sale of lots

and

on

a

basis should not be
A farmer who has his land

made.

clear,

good

nation.

To

bring

a

fast moving train to an immediate

stop would jar the passengers and
might wreck the train. A skillfu

engineer applies the brakes evenly
as he approaches a
curve, but he
still keeps his "train "moving" in
order

to

nation.

reach

forms of

proper

desti¬

the

so

banker

is

spoke

job. Builders who erected homes
/ in 90 days prior to the war re¬

aid to

level.

inflation, whereas loans

How

do

we
apply those
mortgage
credit?
Certainly not by stopping lending
altogether, but by analyzing cred¬

orinciples

it use—at

to

end

one

encouraging the

nrodaetion of

housing, but at the
insisting that the con¬

other

end

sumer

credit (home buyers' credit)
a
sounder basis than we

home
not.

during

Will

years.

that

the

housing

is

still

and

past

program

buying to cease?
There

market

has

touched.
while

credit,

a

the

two

cause

It should

been

is

same free

job in 1946 and 1947. Today
many of those builders are back

mula

a

three

or

four months' basis.




virtually

un¬

The non-veteran

not

group,
conservative

supplied

with

the

and easy

placed

so

.mortgage for¬
carelessly in the

hands of many veterans. Conven¬
tional borrowers who must

put

-

Did he speak about the
war, or
the suffering of the Ger¬
people?
No.
He began at
once a tirade about his Nazi
rivals.
There was nothing on earth a
could say about another

man

Goering did not say to me
German
Foreign Minister
Ribbentrop. Goering called Ribbentrop a liar, a fool. He blamed
about

him

for

as

°f

0ne

of

many

Goering's

with Hitler.
You see,
whenever Ribbentrop went up in
Hitler's
favor,
Goering 'went
down; and vice versa.
+
Goering

equally terrific in

was

speaking

about

Goebbels.

On

Himmler

the

bels

speaks

that

if

about
had

as early
early, mind you:—
thing Goering
would

the

first

have

done

shoot

.Ribbentrop

would

Loans

to

erect

of the actual

profit

a

stores

later

in

on.

advance

Applicants for loans to erect

sum¬

mer

collateral offered should be turned
down because of their

inflationary

turned

before

the

announced.

was

.

ABA

program
Likewise
the

first

The

thing Ribbentrop and

have been to shoot
Himmler
three

would

of

done

was the road to
inner circle followed by each
man around Stalin
today,

if

them

it

The

he

first.

function in

same

see

our

country.

Here

we

men in
charge of inter-re¬
departments.
We advance

lated

on
merit—on the ability to co¬
operate, not on the ability to cut
each other's throats and tie our¬

selves
of

They

cooperation between the dif¬

ferent

inseparably to the favor
the man at the top of the enter¬

be

perpetual,

shown.

4

there

are

numerous

as

history has

"4

When the

man

second
second

at the

communist

of

the

where

Stalin's

death

us

an

are

tion

to

the

tion.

So far

supply of credit
the
we

change in
have

nounced

estate.

seen

con¬

direc¬

no

pro¬

drop in the price of real
However, just as
easy

credit contributed substantially to

rising costs, particularly in the
housing field, so tightening credit
at the consumer level is bound to

bring

down

the

sale

price of in¬

dividual houses if present produc-

cloth.

by

the

blood

new

future, af¬

in your land and mine.

continuity,

the moving

pic¬

ture of Russian foreign policy and
Russian capabilities, will be im¬

race

The

is

better

when

death*

at the top

is

But

a

come

great im¬
what may,
it

worse—and

or

and

on.

outcome

ponderable.
for

who have

men,

sit

immense ef¬

the

of

events

fecting
The

seem

There

men.

crowd

same

they

have

can

on

top goes

fighting with each other,
but have been helping each other
independent of the big boss. They
are
ready to accept one of their
own number to carry on
smoothly
when the top man of the enter¬
prise dies or retires. You see that
every day in American business

does

if any change in the pres¬
ent Russian movie script is bound
as

to be for the better, from our
point of view, because the present
outlook couldn't be much worse—

nevertheless be

will

there

tain

throwing

the

domestic

up

Soviet

whole

policy

else.

"4;

a

cer¬

into the air of
foreign policy,
and everything

y

•

We Seek Long and Honorable

and in

our very biggest and most
complicated companies. 4
'

Peace

.

What this country of ours seeks

This Happened in Germany
On

the

is

other

hand, look what
happened in totalitarian Germany.
I

Herman

saw

after he
of

the

war.

in

times
Now

was

I

Goering the

went

near

day

to

many

the

war

interview him
a

in

little workman's

Augsburg, Germany

There stood Goering, inside the
low wooden fenfce in front of the

cottage—his

legs

apart

and

his

feet firmly planted. The tunic o
his
pearl gray field
marshal's
uniform was open. His shirt was
wet

with

perspiration.
He was
puffing like a porpoise. But his
blue eyes were hard as flint, smal

■

■

.

-

Now is the time to be

arid

him

v: 4

peace.

even

seen

a

a

I'd

before

great and terrible war,
prolonged and honorable

not

but

captured at the end

Berlin

cottage

Many factors in addi¬

all

have

system.

purges

fect

out

sit

On

y

not been

confinement in

the decline.

shot

could

j

Kremlin

cut

are

had

its peak and was on

Goering, while
have

Kremlin Crowd the Same

It's exactly the reverse of what
makes a large company grow and
j

volume of real estate transactions
reached

to

Goebbels would have done would

character.

And, of course, when
loans are made, they should be
based on conservative appraisals
with a recognition of the inevi¬
table drop fqllowing periods of
high prices and speculation.
'
The
mortgage -market had

been

Goebbels.
Actually shoot is what I mean."

Moreover, that

requirements of the

I neighborhood should be declined.

have

and

can

at

whatever

died

1937—that

as

ber

lands

Goering.

question

no

Hitler

the rat

buy

and

other

hand, if
you read Goebbels' personal diary,
now being published in our coun¬
try, you will notice how Goeb¬

That's the American free oppor¬
tunity system. It works, and it

to

own

troubles

|,he

or

in

man

that

standing timber in
the hope of the sale of those tim¬

order

dealer

borrow

not

bitter

ament

affected

shortage of tributed to
non-veteran

having ample

quired 10 to 12 months to do the

to

more

*£ t

the

see

vacuum

lumber

postpone their plans until build¬
j in 4 short supply and those ing materials and labor are in
which
more adequate supply. Many other
.increase
production
of
needed articles. Obviously, loans loans which might otherwise be
to increase the demand would be considered safe on appraisal of the

*

same

no

could

you

glint in his eyes.

leaves its

retail

should

are

to increase production would
tqnd
to reduce prices at the consumer

the
been

ship.

mensely

A

mand for goods and services which

an

lenders

great opportun¬

prise.

land.

homes, resorts, theatres, cock¬
distinguish between those tail parlors, and certain. types of
credit which increase de¬ eating houses should be asked to
And

asked to

his

small mort¬

a

into debt heavily to buy

go

builder

for the

subject to

or

gage, should not be encouraged to

*

f

second

was

his death bed,

on

even warned his fol¬
lowers against the
very man who
finally did : come to the 4top
Stalin.
4;..
,4:

for consid-1

in

light

loan

stoppage of lending could by the
wildest
imagination be deemed

blamed while the government sits*
be on
in the driver's seat. y444;/;4 y
have seen
creased

purges

There

know,

^ou

Non-Housing Mortgage Credit

subdivision

No system of extreme liberality
credit followed by a virtua

a

best

have

ity to show economic statesman¬

There's

Purges, blood

Lenin

man.

use.i4'4; 144 ''''44:4 ;4;4 ':44;

speculative

.

<

happened?
at the top.

formula

.

Bankers Should Exercise Caution

before

presented with

be

may

Never

ex¬

fashion that

a

nation

served.

Lenin's Warning /44y;

When big boss Lenin
died, what

have

nation
quar¬

44444

v I have
largely concentrated my
already heard quite
bit about the pilot meetings con¬ remarks on housing loans because
Stalin himself got to the
top by
ducted by ABA. You will hear a this is where the inflationary fires
doing away with others, such as
have burned most furiously.
But i Trntskv—hv thp dPaHlv nmrPQc nf
great deal more on this subject as
the various State Associations and there are other forms of mortgage

You

are

the

..

The others around him
got into

on

am delighted

bankers generally are respon¬
sive to their public
obligations.

local bankers expand the program
of the voluntary control of credits

rented

and of rent control 85%

v
•

.

the

sincerely believe that the na¬
looking to bankers for help

of the

aware

[J is normally housed in

I

we

give

man

their positions by
sable to the big

be erected

can

men

the one-big-man

on

rental units wher¬

buildings

way.

important to

The whole government is
built up

erly be deferred, and encouraged
such

whole

Only 10

12

or

non-essential types of building
could quite prop¬

ever

is

in

man

The

another

We're not
dealing with the
million people in Russia.

whose erection

residential

in

The One-Big-Man

of the
of the

discouraged wherever possible

on

state.

works

is

second

any

system

the

country,
therefore, mortgage credit should
be

never

totalitarian

a

asked to write

which will aid

produce rental vacancies.
tion is

to

advice, but also to

tend credit in such

*

ing loans to veterans (another in-

only

(Continued from page 8)
There's

*

tions off for the purpose of mak-

mind that

not

Happens When Stalin Dies?

cost

just the opposite

are

prescription

the

What

challenged to produce this type of
words, in spite of the war
yKv!-;':i Cluttered 444i:f44 ,■ '4
the increase of housing units had housing or surrender that portion
of our economy to subsidized
Already the savings and loan very
pub¬
nearly kept pace with the
associations are well loaned up.
lic housing. I am convinced that
housing needs. A change in busi¬
';■*?< Some banks would have almost ness and
industrial activity could private enterprise can do the job
reached their statutory limitations
in this field but that governmental
very easily cause lessened demand,
(*•: had not the Servicemen's Read- doubling up of families and even controls which retard this con¬
struction will have to be modified
justment Act taken those limita4

in

Don't get the idea that this
pro¬

ether

-

bear

us

exercising
controls,
but
retard credit,

do to

we

individ¬

our

in

credit

whatever

39

as

we

make

hopeful,
prepare for the worst,
our

country

stronger

Stronger—for
there is no possibility 6i peace un¬
less America is strong, and unless
and

stronger

and

peacemakers use bur new
strength more intelligently for
peace than they used our even
greater
wartime
strength
for
peace in the past.
Where there's life, there's al¬
our

-

ways

hope.

And,

in

this

where there's death, there
tOO.

casq.

is hope

44

cannot reach conclu¬
sharp and luminous against sions about anything abroad to¬
his sallow skin—like bright spots
day without considering the death
gleaming on a china plate. As he of Stalin.
and

Again

we

40

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

COMMERCIAL &

THE

(1456)

-

(Continued from page 7)

Indeed, dur¬
ing 1S46-1947, this country, which

the past two years.
before

the

only

Europe

when

the

total

per

ported
by European
countries.
Shipping difficulties, costs and
the Europe-wide dollar shortage
make it unlikely that last year's

was

of the
decline
was
even
greater: from 1.55 tons per per¬

out

workers

Germany and in

tion for ERP<$s

war.

.

To

follows

yet to their efforts.

in

There

for this

are many reasons

the

plies

food

of

availability

slow but steady
increase in Ruhr coal production

litical. social and what not—is of

which had progressed from

an

incredible

almost

For-example,

complexity.

Manpower Shortage

;

last

month

A

1946-47

and

suddenly thrown into reverse
March and April when the

and

begin with, there is an acute food supply situation in the Brit¬
shortage in a desper¬ ish zone took an abrupt turn for
ately overcrowded country. This the worse. In May, the daily out¬
seeming paradox, of course, is not put again dropped below the 200,confined to the Ruhr area alone 000-ton mark, which had been
but exists in greater or less de¬ passed on the upward trend eight
gree everywhere in present-day months earlier* Then emergency
Germany. Due to the recent in¬ supplies were rushed in, mostly
flux of many millions of refugees from American stocks, and a new
from Eastern Europe into a dras¬ advance began. By late August.
tically reduced rump-Germany, 242,000 tons were being mined
all occupation zones, but in par¬ daily.
In mid-September a new
ticular the British, are far more slump set in, at the exact time

the "resettlers"
dren and old or

Last spring, official estimates
figured that at least 100,000 addi¬
tional workers would

in

the

Ruhr

mines

be

to

trend

reach

the

not expected to

than

required

manpower

"Bizonia"

in

and

all-time

high,

for

the

period, was reached on
when 284,400 tons were

more

the

or¬

17%.

of the

vast

in

the

only

help, either because they
inexperienced or weakened
by long years of privation, or dis¬
or

all of these

things together.
Low Labor

;

,

,

one.

are

the

mines,

but

not the

After all, the miners do

to

the
ordinary con¬
generally unsettled

The

of

the

German

economy,

Productivity

German magazine

arti¬

cle, Herr A. Halbfell, Minister of
Labor of the State Government of
North

Rhine-Westphalia, revealed
interesting details about the poor
performance of Ruhr miners since
the end of the
r

t

war.

inArt

.gggyg*??

it

V

,,,

Si

i,

onm

°°°),

i

v

,

and

a

director

and

.

of

Lear

manufacturers

of

electronic

.

New

Mr.

of

has

Arizona,

Phoenix,

at

from

increased

been

$550,000

$1,100,000 by the sale of $550,000 of new stock. The bulletin of

to

the

of

Office

Comptroller of

the

gives the date of the
of March 2.

the Currency

increase

as

«

:

#

*

Vanden v Broecke
former chief of the Financial Sec¬
tion
of
the
Belgium Economic
Mission to Washington, has beer
F.

Joseph

appointed*.'J. Assistant
the

in

dent

Vice-PnesiInternational

Francisco)

(San

America's

of

Bank

Vanden

Broeckc

will be associated with the bank's

His experi¬

Far Eastern activities.

in

1927
after
his
graduation
from
the
University of Antwerp in his na¬
tive Belgium. His career includes
service
in
China, England and
ence

banking

began

of

by L. M

of

Bank

San Francisco, for
branch

bank's

the

.,

e

of

all

of

and

managers

of' its administrative offi¬
cers, according to Executive VicePresident E. A. Mattison, who is
many

Indust ries,

and

Radio

D.

Gearhart, Jr.

Lear

than

of

as

of

600

representatives

22

by

a

it

the

single

Bank,

of views and

exchange

conference

will open

on

Fred

Carlisle

H.

has

appointed Vice - President
and manager of the Bakersfield
main office; Laurence J. Robin,
and

Vice-President

Assistant

Bakersfield
office; and John F. N, Cox, an
Assistant Manager of the Bakers¬
field main office.
All appoint¬
ments are effective April 1.
Mr.
manager

of the East

Carlisle,

who has been Assistant

Vice-President and manager of the
East Bakersfield office of the bank

since

Carlisle
of

C.
Mr.
in 1927 joined the staff
First
National
Bank,

the

Mr.

a?

years

broad

a

>

that followed
experience in
bank.

native of Montana,

a

extensive

an

the

of

messenger.

a

departments of the

Robin,

had

Don

predecessor

the

had

various

succeed

who has resigned.

Bank,

During
he

will

1945,

Shannon,

in

experience

banking in that State before com-"
ing to California in 1942. He has
been
asssistant
manager
of the
Fresno office of the Anglo Bank
Mr.

1946.

with

associated
since

his

1928,

has

Cox

the

been,,

Bank

Anglo

position

present

being that of assistant to the offi¬
cer in
charge of branch loan ad¬
head
office,
father, the

San
late
well known
in diplomatic and banking circles
ministration,

His

Francisco. *

Frederick N. Cox, was

in Central America and
ident of

was

Pres¬

bank in Costa Rica.

a

'■■.y.V;?'';

if

if

if

;v

J. Floyd Ragan was

recently ap¬
pointed Manager of the Alhambra
office
Los

of

California

the

Angeles,

ciated

with

a

since
served

Bank

he

where

Assistant

throughout the State, Mr. Matti¬
son
pointed out that it is not a
convention, Jout is - a
workihg

The

San

of

Allarji A. Calkins,

been

and

the BakersCali¬

Anglo

announced

were

dent A1 Beyer, Jr.

ideas.

Televi¬

and
panies^,;,;,..

Unique
gathering together

the

been

Pacific

Monterey
in
bankins

of

bank, from some 307 communities

ings
F.

is

of

asso¬

Vice-Presi¬

Mr; Ragan has

member of the bank's staff

1933

and

one

year

during

the

war

in the Army Field

Artillery.

On his return to the
bank in March, 1946 he was ap¬

pointed Assistant Manager and
assigned to the Alhambra branch.

Earl K. Simpson, Auditor of the
April 17 with a general as'
California Bank, has been named
sembly at which President L. M
Giannini will deliver an address' Chairman of the Finance Commit¬

cn

sion, manufacturers of Brunswick

Radios,

near

management conference, devoted
almost entirely to business meet¬

Wilcox-Gay
Corp.,

the-affair.

the

on

more

key

and

director

a

of

Asilomar,

Cal.,

does

under¬

writers,
is

Chairman

if

National

since

conference

State-wide

-

"3

*f

President
of

America,

in

• ;•

-

'

history,

finan¬

fornia

Anglo

Mr.

peninsula.

&

offices

Bakersfield

Giannini

M.

if

/ Three promotions in
field

anouncement
President.

a

Club

Angeles Stock Exchange

Banking Department according tc

by L.

He is

California

the

i

March

capital of the First Nation¬

Bank

Grove,

Inc., New

of

member

President.
The
al

17-18-19 at

is

ican Bankers Association.

Francisco,

$1,500,000 to $2,000,000.

Giannini,

Gearhart, Jr., has

aircraft

Gearhart

cial

Bankers

other com¬

several

on

manufactures

parts

for

subject, "What's Ahead?",
he will lead a free

the

after

which

tee of the National Association of
Bank

Auditors

and

Comptrollers

many

.

,

stalled

last

national

Noyember; the inter¬
controversy about the

level-of-industry and related is¬
sues;

the

and

mination

to

Communist

wreck

the

(Soecial

to

The

Financial

Tully
Chronicle)

mittee.
■

''

LOS

ANGELES,
CALIF.
—
Richard W. Jones is, with Mitchum
Tully

&

Co.,

650

South

Spring

Street.

Marshal
^

^

^

one reasqns why the Ruhr is lag-

dlsclosed'1 *in& An$

(special to the financial Chronicle)

as long as it does, the

PASADENA, CALIF.—Rov D.
recovery vol Europe will be de- Waters is with Keenan & Clary,
..

..

„

.

^Inc.; Security Building,

Mr.

Ivey

started

com¬

his

banking career as a messenger
with California Bank in 1908 and
advanced

to

Assistant Cashier in

Following

1912.

Air

Army
War I

deter¬

■

executive

the

of

member

With Mitchum,

pifl'
™
+u
With Keenan & Clary, Inc.
Flan—there are, a thousand and

,Pu>yeR-Bl.the4bine$iof the-Ruhr-layed,




D.

elected

York,

California

the

of

man

types of civilian and mili¬ discussion.; Following this, a series regional conference to be held in
with an almost total lack of con¬
of
departmentals will be held Los Angeles May 12-14.
tary aircraft including Republic
if
*
if
sumer goods except at black mar¬
<
'
through Sunday, ending on Mon^
P-84,
Lockheed
P-80,
North
ket prices, and an uncertain, in¬
R. A. Reid, Vice-President of
American P-86, Boeing B-50 and day, April 19, with another gen¬
ternationally worthless, currency
eral assembly.
All sessions wiR the California Bank, of Los An¬
Boeing 377 Stratocruiser. ";
^
has made work, especially hard
be
closed.
A.
P.
Giannini. geles, recently completed his 25th
To
provide
the
production
nec¬
work,
most
unattractive
to
the
founder-Chairman of Bank of year of service with the
bank
essary to meet its large backlog of
average person,, All Germany to¬
where he is in charge of the Long
America, will be guest of honor.
government
orders,
Lear
plans
to
day is marking time, waiting for
if
Beach Office. Starting his bank¬
i=
something to happen or for some¬ expand its facilities through the
T. E. Ivey, Jr., Vice-President ing career at the Bank of Mont¬
acquisition
of
several
other
com¬
body — somebody else — to do
real, Canada, in 1921, Mr. Reid
of California Bank of Los Angeles
panies. It will be Mr. Gearhart's
something that will set the eco¬
today
(April 1)
40 joined California Bank's staff in
function to investigate and nego¬ completes
nomic stone rolling again.
1923 and after various promotions
tiate for these additional facilities. years of service with that insti¬
Add to all this the uncertainty
tution where he is a director and was appointed branch manager in

about the eventual ownership of
Indeed, the low productivity of
the mines; the political agitation
the labor force on hand is the No.
surrounding the choice of the new
1 problem of the Ruhr
today. In German
Management Group in¬
a
recent

from

10

ff

President of

Co.

Angeles Chamber of Com¬
merce, American Institute of

.

a

work,

of

Orleans, La., was increased March

Turkey.

Higgins In¬
dustries, Inc.,

of low productivity

cause

Ruhr

sumer.

were

inclined to

dropped

get—at least on paper—more than
twice
the
amount
of
calories

Of those who stayed, large num¬
bers proved to be a burden rather

than

figure

Insufficient food rations

;

,

the Euro¬

of

primary

re¬

black market.

of

Consolidated

brief stay, either returning home
cesses

month's time,

which

,

the

a

Food Insufficiency

nature, de¬
again after a

in

than

daily output

of

primitive

disappearing

food

in little

re¬

state

or

fresh

ex¬

of

mines

has

Bank

Gearhart

An

29

available

the

Such

American

tional

tion.

finding that they could obtain
only temporary billets, frequently
serted

money

stocky the capital of the Na¬

new

general

from the

country has been hampered great¬
ly by a desperate housing short¬
age.
Thousands of newcomers,

very

in

ground.

cancer

Incorporated,
products

organization.

Los

if

Through the sale of $500,000 of

The conference is to be held April

way.

shortages
spread through the British zone;

have been at least partly success¬
ful. However, the influx of labor
recruits from other parts of the

a

coal

Recovery Program.

radio

latter

Club.

%

t}

t}

products.

under

as

Berlin

the

or

been

began,

isting population. Extensive
cruiting drives were therefore
ganized in the other states

below

Frederick

Then the in¬

the

pro¬

the

Gearhart Director

of

one-half

the bank 23 years ago.

A call has been issued

located,

was

and

pean

mined. Thereafter another decline

more

food

But in the last analysis it is the

phalia, where the Ruhr district is
vide

continues,

of

human factor that.will determine
the future of the Ruhr as the hard
core

the

and Los

electro-me-

postwar

Rhine-West

the hop,

as

method

investment

large

shortly after he joined

chanical

Nov.

North

long

Depait-

October,

The

of

As

jump

Trust

the

with

sociated

particular November, were
peak months in postwar produc¬

got

production targets set for 1947-48.
State

in the

already been
decided upon and its implemen¬
tation will become an
integral
nart of
the European Recovery
Program.
V/.';

and in

required

and

investment

an

centive
system
devised at the
Washington Coal Conference was
put into effect and a new upward

women, chil¬
disabled men,

are

which

—

or

now

large

a

fad been exhausted.

for the vast majority of

market,

be achieved

above

supply of CARE
packages set aside for bonus dis¬
tribution to
deserving workers

gestion does not mean a corre¬
sponding affluence of the labor

Stability,

materials,
especially; steel
pit props, is required to halt
he progressive decay of the mine
installations and equipment both

To

when

opera¬

oscillate in unison.

manpower

densely populated than they have
ever been.
Yet this human con¬

necessary

output barometer will continue to

a

to month in the winter of
was

amputated?

abundance

distribution

f

the lack of such,

or

unsatisfactory state of affairs. In
fact, the Ruhr problem in all its
aspects—technical, financial, po¬

Who wants to
in a cur¬

situation.

wa'chword.

skip

sup¬

in

"Constitution." As Senior

save

foreseeable future—should be the

ically sick friend, rises and falls
exact and immediate relation
to

this

than

cannot

crit¬

watches the fever curve of a

immediately

drastically

food

rather

of

Mr. Ivey is also a member of the

ment since

sooner

the

and indeed the whole world
as
anxiously
as
one

rope

Jr. has be-

Vice-President

New

Atlanta

It is also imperative to stabilize

figure of the Ruhr, Which all Eu¬

D. Boylston,

Trust Officer, says the

performed and the road is
cleared
for
savings of lasting
value, the better.

months.Experience has
shown that the daily coal output

ing the Ruhr again a going con¬
cern.
Unfortunately results can¬
not be said to be commensurate

the finance committee and Treas¬

State Vice-President of the Amer¬

cannot

a

tion is

recent

Asso¬

$500,000 of new stock.

its

increased

C.,

tion," Mr. Boylston has been as¬

be

The

Bureau,

Men's

charge of the trust department of
the Trust Company of Georgia, of Banking,
Reserve City Bankers
Atlanta, it is learned from the Association, and is a former Chair¬

is certain—that sooner or later it
will

working performance of the Ruhr
miners, a number of incentive
schemes have
been
devised in

Business

Business

capital March 3 from $1,000,000 to
$1,500,000
through the sale of

about which only one thing

rency

Downtown

reform that would give
a new incentive to save

buy all he wants.
money and

'

sweeping

better

geles

urer

lasting effect

by

Na-

he

make

the

individual

the

increase

.

if

Thursday, April 1, 1948

■

Association, Group 5, and former

the miner
even

It-Mi*

"Constitu¬

currency

above

kept

be

must

ground these days than before

particular the Ruhr. Ever since
the first steps were taken toward
a
merger of the American and
British occupation zones in Ger¬
many, a year and a half ago, top
military government officials of
both countries, and their tech¬
nical staffs, have combined their
energies and concentrated their
attention on the problem of mak¬

be achieved

could

which a
overground installations as well
substantially larger amount of coal
as because of widespread malnu¬
can be obtained to supply Europe's
trition, a far greater number of
needs and provide a solid founda¬
only source from

The

fit*

ciation, and the Hospital Service
of Southern California (Blue
Cross), being also Chairman of

Alfred

Probably the

steps are required.

Southern

&

S.

Charleston,

constructive

more

mcst immediate and

points
that, due to the bad repair of
Minister

the

and

Bolder

In this

and shift to 0.86 tons.

son

connection,

aid

Currency Reform Needed

the

mines,

V

tional Bank of South Carolina, at

c o m e

of the total working force

from the United States,
averaging two and a hall million
tons per month, can be exceeded
or even maintained in
1948.
import

Citizens

The

policy, based on CARE packages,emergency
food
rations,
pre¬
miums
and
promises,
has
not
worked.
It may have a soothing
effect but it is not a remedy.

In terms

1947.

in June

tons

for the tragic,

cure

thing is certain: the stopgap

underground worker and shift
1.97 tons of coal, it was only

1.17

wonder

no

confusing plight of the Ruhr. One

At

338,000.

was

and

1938,

of

year

however, produc¬
tivity
was
down
almost 40%.
Whereas in 1938 the average yield

im¬

coal

the

of

production

the same time,

to

ballast, provided

as

one-half

about

coal

shipped

war

peak

*

(Continued from page 25)

There is, to be sure, no panacea

districts than in the

Aachen

*

News About Banks and Bankers

Why the Ruhr Is Lagging
and

1'

as

a

Forces

in the
during World

service

Second Lieutenant, he

returned to the bank and in
was

promoted

elected
later.

in

to

Cashier

1923

and

Vice-President five years
He also holds directorships

California

Trust

Company,

Widgeon. Land -Company, Los An**

1936, elected Assistant Vice-Presi¬
dent
was
a

in

last December

1943, and

elected Vice-President.

member

of

the

Long

He is

Beach

Chamber of Commerce Industrial

Mayor's

Committee,

the

Committee,

board

the

Travelers

Treasurer

and

Special

of directors of

Aid

Society,

member

of

and
the

board of directors of the Kiwanis

Club.

,

—

.

.

;

i-;

Volume 167

Number 4686

THE COMMERCIAL

&

CHRONICLE

FINANCIAL

(1457).

41

Indications of Current Business Activity

The

following statistical

shown in first column

tabulations

production and' other figures for the latest week or month available (dates
or month ended on that date, or, in cases of
quotations, are as of that date)

cover

either for the week

are

.

AMERICAN IRON

AND

STEEL INSTITUTE:
4

Indicated steel

operations

(percent of capacity)

Equivalent to
-Steel

—_____

(net

■''/

.

;

,

stills—daily

output

—.

distillate fuel oil (bbls.)
Residual fuel oil
(bbls.), at——

ASSOCIATION

OF

at.

AMERICAN RAILROADS:

freight loaded (number of caps).
Revenue freight rec'd from
connections (number

CIVIL^^ENTHNEERfNG . CONSTRUCTION,
U.

S.

1,611,400

tnn

1,725,000

krq 400

1

1,705,100

Total shipments

»

5,264,850
5,407,000

5,342,325
5,399,000

4,861,600
4,830,000

15,600,000

15,608,000

15,807,000

14,309,000

2,547,000

2,520,000

2,089,000

8,127,000

5,887,000j.

9,199,000

8,545,000

20

2,531,000

20

20

/

20

7,472,000

7,754,000

9,006,000

9,292,000

113,247,000

.Mar. 20

9,948,000

30,723,000

111,918,000
9,677,000
32,108,000

_Mar. 20

47,603,000

48,546,000

;

109,886,000

104,609,000

9,731,000
34,004,000

10,095,000
31',872, OOt.
42,380,000

'

49,782;000

February;

)

•

i

Slab

/Bituminous coal

and

lignite
Pennsylvania anthracite

STORE

-

Unfilled

output,! all

orders at

end

of

844,041

OF

740,829

Month of February

5'i:

ENGINEERING tfNEWS-

Vi"

BANKERS

$137,910,000 :1

_Mar. 25

'

'69,598,000

j.

$128,741,000

32,729,000

_Mar. 25

68,312,000

57,589,000

63,630,000

38,877,000

.Mar. 25

4,682,000

18,712,000

$60,132,000

STANDING

-

49,139,000
v.*

33,639,000

79,602,000

*

! Imports

STREET,

r

,

INC.

t

20,753.000

51,890,000

Domestic

5,740,000

Dollar

V,

•'

■

■/;

—-7

_Mar. 20

4,360,000

(

■*

_Mar. 20

.1,182,000

j,

_Mar. 20

47,900

**r —•

_H--

&

,

-Mar. 25
—Mar.25

13,314,000
1,214,000

O.

12,900,000 t
1,229,000
-

v!

*122,700

'

.

Lead

tin

(New

(New

106

iU0

,■

93

63

,w

57,081

$105,190,000

$81,567,008.

:

.

PAPER

34,539,068

11,749,(W
12,524,008
104,008

12,537,000

7,340,068

$252,827,000

$262,031,000

$230,031,008

.

,

■

>

•

OUTSTANDING—FED-*
OF

NEW

YORK—

", ".

of Februaf-y 27-i_—-^-—
SEED

DEPT.

——

(tons)

OF

'

•

.,'1'

.

Y*':■' 1"}

\

$290,000,000

$301,000,000

..',r

COMMERCE—

'

1

to'Feb. 29—

3,869,610

3,795,325

3,190,799

2,778,869

778,339

1,115,984

(tons) Aug.

1

month

$40.37

————-——

2,918,488
2,467,974
568,212

S£S
$40.00 r*

' H

ultimate

to

December

of

(000's

'

<

consumers—1

19,617,041:18,726,158

17,450,288

$351,460,200
38,431,950

$335,687,200
38,248,940

$311,020,408

21.200c

21.200c

19.349ft

21.507c

21.532c

20.403ft

15.000c

13182ft

omitted)———

Revenue from ultimate customers—month of
December

$33.15

>/

sales

V'vi'. >,

f

$243,000,008

■

Aug. i to Feb. 29——l-L'—♦

Feb. 29—

Kilowatt-hout

2.86354c
2.86354c

:

$40.29

^„———

Number of ultimate customers

$39.50

METAL PRICES (E.
*

Average for

M.

&

month

Dec.

at

31:—

36,140,291

J.

QUOTATIONS)—
February:

of

_

Mar,
24
»viw«*.i

■

A/Tor

9d
Mar. 24

-

21.200c

21.200c

«.»•—

';

71,425c
21.425c

,

at_

21.200c

21.225c

21.575c

22.450c

94.000c

70.000c

15.000c

15.000c

14.800c

14.800c

.

21.450C
21.450c: ,,;

•

at_/4_

.Copper (per pound)— / V ...
Electrolytic, domestic refinery
Electrolytic, export, refinery---—
Lead (per pound)—
York

New

.St.

', ,14.800c

and Sterling

Silver,

New

Silver,

London

PRICES

15.000c '

—~—-r

Louis

Silver

Exchange:;'-■ .';i

York

(per ounce)

,14.800c—

74.625c

—

ounce)£
"Checks"—

(pence,per

Sterling Exchange,

:

12,9820

"
74.625c

72.329C

45.000

45.000

44.475

$4.02514

$4.02679

$4.02625

■,

i Tin

(per pound)—iNew York Straits—

Public Utilities
Group
Industrials Group

MOODY'S
-

;

;

U.

S.

BOND>

TIELD

DAILY

-------.----Mar. 30

Ln
BaaPublic

114.85

110.70

110.52

103.80

103.47

103.64

106.21

105.86

113.12

112.93

115.43.

115.24

3.09
|JJ

__Mar. 30
Mar. 30

2.81

.Mar. 30

2.90

.Mar. 30

3.13

.

_.Mar. 30

Railroad

115.04

'/

New

Go'.d

"

Group-.
Group.
Group——.

J-

'

->

3.13

2.84

i 2-91
_

'9'

v.-.

3.38

_Mar. 30

; 3.00

3.01

.Mar. 30

2,88

2.89

3.40

/r:,

_

'

'/-/3.C3

Magnesium,
Zinc

/

,,._

-

3.01

commodity

national

J^ar. 30

J

-412.2

...

69.125c

$35,000

$35,008

$76,409

$78,303

S86.S64

36.120c

36.082c

31.190ft

33.000c

33.000c

v 33.500c

33.500c

28.625ft

Nominal

Nominal

Nominal

;

■

-

1

$68,864

$1,800

BUSINESS

INCORPORATIONS—DUN

STOCK

-

Feb.

28

firms

~

—

20.500ft

12.000c

11.077c

10.508ft

$28,110,578

$28,867,631

$28,262,1^

10,126

12,112

j

.*

h- ■"

•

11,000

—

'"$'';%■

accounts^;!
bttlance&ii—

debit

1

I-

and

free

(.•

$536,636

credit

"*$567,769
*
56,409
*414,137
*622,246
66,090,349
136,232,046

56,968

U. S.»

Jn

/

'

shares——

listed

of

U—lrc

banks

in

396,428
596,416

63,158,207

Market value Qf; listed bondsprice lndex,,,12-3l'24=10G

136,313,176

Member borrowing's on U. 8. Govt, issues—_
jvicmuci
Member
borrowings^on
ouiivwineo w« w^v*
other collateral•

;

'■

Stock

^xi.77

and

233.3

dr_„—„

Farm

•'All

•■

156.8

—

?

_Mar. 27

233.4

•

'* '•'

5>

!/'- 143.7 H!".:.!

137.7,
143.7;

••"••••

-~o

*

combined--

■-'■Hvl':'.!-'':, '

".

/.;
-T'' v'

156.8

137.6,

—:

machinerygroups

'

r-,
;

!

\

232.8

203A

157.0 / '

154.5
iot.o

137.6

128.0
133.7

143.0

/i

/

1001

PAINT,V?VARNISH)l>^ACQUER

REAL, ESTATE

200.5

H

Orders

(to(

OF

BOARD

—

Banks

Percentage

U.

and

Mutual

Trust

AND
,

LOAN

HOME

—

of

DRUG

REPORTER

PRICE

100
•

■-

i-.

-•

:■

INDEX—1026-36

•

•

i.-

u

r

.j

'

:•

/;»;

"{

Farm

'

Companies-—i———
——!

lending

184.9..
171.2
■

';

:; Metal

and

metal

products——

and

allied

Housefurnishings
Miscellaneous
»

Shipments

and

187.1'

of

goods-

STEEL

143.7

(M

Raw

groups—

For

materials

Manufactured

of

(DEPT.

products

226,068

253,110
61,561

230,492

49,317
161,773
128,828

other than

farm

•Revised figure.




products and

113,224

$1,006,626

$847,043

OF

150,538

140,05$

158,842

136,048

,COM-

equivalent)

at

end

of

ft.,

logs

log

(M ft., log

scale)

(DEPT.

at

OF

scale)—__

31_!—

Jan.

(short

orders

;

tons)

sale

.

tons)

(short tons)
at

*65,085

64,091

*216,106

137,669

t

jl1'®

I

s

.

tons)—*—

for

68,399
188,647

COMMERCE)—

January:
(short

30,712

*31.479

end

, -r
,.

.

of
,

. ,,
.

141,068

148.124

139,020

108.282

110.970

101.140

32,786

37,154

491,745

489,364
489,364

37,889

month
....

,

.

other-than farm products

44,761
160,297

165,973
144,342

i—

prpducers' own use

(short

All commodities

commodities

sale

Unfilled

articles

All

'

■

52,155

January

.

For

Semi-manufactured

■

$246,114

79,345

36,674

CASTINGS

Month

119.5

Shipments
Special

i

$302,275

79,812

ft. %-in. equivalent)—
consumption
(M' sq.
ft.,

month—

Consumption

136.5

commodities

*■

$263,649

sq.

equivalent)
(M 8q.,ft., %-ln.

Stocks

192.5

products

%-in.

Stocks

/V;v 155.9

Building materials—^
Chemicals

(M

131.7

-

/

Production

.

145.9

lighting materials—^..—

of

159.8

,.

v

•

Fuel and

•"

■■

PLYWOOD

MERCE)—Month

; Hides and leather products
v

$83,788,171

1■""

Jan.,(000's omitted):

'

products
•••:.' FoodSl_J

-

*$68,628,287

BANK

——

V7,,

SOFTWOOD

commodities

/''■

f>

$88,473,000

Total

WHOLSALE PRICES—U
All

81.1%

$86.30$

1 ^204,554

/

-—Mar. 26
..

ss
...
"""

•

Banks/ ———1

Savings

Miscellaneous

AVERAGE

8.

Month

Individuals

OIL, ( PAINT

-

7,825

'

681,134

$63,062
222,255"';!

„

;.-?V'T '•>?

$572,91^7
'

NON-FARM

IN

and Loan Associations-——
Insurance companies __u——

Unfilled orders

;

.

Savings

received

Production

AREAS

FINANCING

73.9%

$74,121
217,026

/ •/.

126.3
•t

%

'

AND FILLER
ior.r
(DEPT.
OF *.vmmt.ivvu»—
i. ut
COMMERCE)—Month of Jan.:
v Total'sales
reported by 680 establishments—

National paperboard
.!

15.00 Oft

margin

net

Total of customers'

Chemicals

$1.66364

( 000's omitted):

«

Market value

Building materials

$1,800
15.000c

.

EXCHANGE—

carrying

hand

■;

$1.63864

20.500c

Credit extended' to customers—"

'/H Fertilizer' materials—;^—
Fertilizers——

$1.61364

15.000c

&

BRADSTREET, INC.—Month of January

413.4

fertilizer

of customers'

.

$1,750

$1,775

TREASURY

—

(000's omitted)——

31

$58,000

-

20.500c

Louis.__——„

CIRCULATION

,

.

28.250ft

$66,000

$1,750
$1,775

(per pound).

Jan.

70.000ft

93.500c

$35,000

2.90

407.4

(

IN

94.000c

93.500e

——

plus, Ingot (per pound)!—;

ingot

DEPT.—As of

<

NEW

moody'S

w t

pound)—-East*8t.

ipett

MONEY"

3.42

•'

price)

.

Aluminum, 99%

v

H.;iv

3.14:/.;

•"

3^54
1

_Mar. 30

IS

3.11

2.90

3.52
■

Utilities

Industrials

|||

2.83

v

...

v/iM
i
I

99%

or

U.
V
S.
v

uunvu

Antimony (per pound) bulk, Laredo—-—"- ;
Antimony (per pound), in cases, Laredo—£
Antimony (per pound), Chinese, Spot,—-__
Platinumj refined, per ounce---—>
tCadmium (per pound)—
JCadmiuni (per pound)—
SCadmium,(per pound)—
——-7---

112.93

,115.04

.
vv

Wi'
'

94.000c
*

Chinese

ounce

V JJCt

Quicksilver (per flask of 76 pounds)-—
HAntimony (per pound) (E. & M. J.)—1

105.52/
,

York,

(per

UU.U

AVERAGES:

Govt. Bonds

Average corporate.

r

H5.04;
110.70

*

-i•

*

$163,775,008"

16,504,000

—'

——

—

'Ml

'V'
:K:r

credits—

EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE:

10.500c

MOODY'S BOND

67,562

$167,840,000 $168,108,000
42,742,000 ^ 53,198,000
11,344,000
11,081,000
12,551,000
15,657,000
1,846,000 1,450,000

,

warehouse

ERAL RESERVE BANK

>

3.2391UC
/
3.23940c3.23940c
V;

II it
4 ^ "If
$40.25 Hx
' SSS
$39.75 Hi;
1 '

.

York)

York)

72,224

134,200

t,\
*

3.23940c

>'

$40.29

Mar. 23

ISe'riat
*

76,07*
162,46t

■/ H

' '

''

Total

1,165,000

<E.;& M. Jr. QUOTATIONS):

—

55,085

12,918,000

131,700

\

'

,

,

/

Mar/23

.

V

^

3.23940c
^^3.239400^;^

_Mar.
Mar. 23

Electrolytic copperDomestic refinery
ac__;_^_—/—_v__———/—
<
Export refinery at—
Straits

f!'-SX

^

f

V

___

,\;rK

:

'

hhH; 101

—

-—

METAL PRICES

65,198

84,431

53,473

BRAD

-

"

I

71,505

68,396

Fdtfruary 28—

"*

foreign- countries

t

INDUSTRIAL)—DUN

steel (per
(per lb.)_____——
lb.)-__
Pig iron (per gross
Toss ton)—
ton)
Scrap steel (perr gross ton)i.—
ton).

,

-

66,784

$90,266,000

—

Stocks

Finished

'"!■

j

SYSTEM—

exchange C-w-r-——4—
on goods, Stored and
shipped between

Based

l"'

:

INDEX—FE

—

5,030,008

(tons).:

RESEVE

Exports -ii—
Domestic; shipments

i

26,493,000
•

27,712,000

i

MINES):

IRON AGE COMPOSITE
PRICES:

6,422,068

5,613,036

GOVERNORS

OF

(in thousands)—-!

AS of

—

'

Crushed (tons)

:'ty

*7,472,776

5,410,438

'

/ACCEPTANCES
OUTFED. RESERVE BANK OF

Received at mills

;

6,940,653

DOLLAR

NEW YORK

$90,318,000

.IMar. 25

FEDERAL

1

;

_Mar. 25

THE

COTTON

r

126,430

(tons
—i.

period

BOARD

—

719,990

ill-:

AND

grades

;

*^i;;

(COMMERCIAL

138,066

-

lbs.)____

DEBITS

flC AS

FAILURES
LURES

139,588

INSTITUTE:

Shipments (tons of 2,000 lbs.).
Stock at end of period (tons).

805,376

(tons

SALES

*

•

•_

smelter

2,000

COMMERCIAL

DEPARTMENT

STEEL

INSTITUTE, ING.—Month of
^

.

711,433

(tons).'£_/£^/'

Beehive coke

zinc

Of

4

797,033

ezzoMISESH:
OF

Ago

January:

•

AMERICAN ZINC

689,062

municipals

(U. S. BUREAU

of

ingots and steel for castings produced
(net tons)—Month of February.._
Shipments of steel products, Including alloy
and stainless
(net tons)—Month of Jan.:

5,240,250
5,344,000

20

of cars)———Mar. 20

constjruction.

OUTPUT

Year

Month

(DEPT.

Steel

20

20

.

federal

AND

700,482

—

»v

PRODUCTS

(thousands of pounds)-

IRON

___-Mar. 20

construction
i---.
construction__-_;_-L.„>^_'i:£^^_^_.i_!—
and

WROUGHT

COMMERCE)—Month

BANK

*

(

constwcttoiW-'-iL-ifwLtiii;—;!

■

/

4

Previous

Month

ALUMINUM

95.4

94.6

n

•

Revenue

COAL

Ago

_Mar. 20

_

oil and

State

Ago

95.7

•

________——

Public

Week

89.4

4

_

Latest

AMERICAN

—-

Total

Week

T

i

of 42 gallons each)——Mar.
average (bbls.)
—————Mar.
(bbls.)__
Mar.
output (bbls.)
Mar.
Gas oil and
distillate fuel oil output
(bbls.)—*—i
.Mar.
Residual fuel oil output (bbls.)
:
.Mar.
Stocks at
refineries, at bulk terminals, in transit and in
pipe lines—
'Finished and unfinished
gasoline (bbls.) at———_
_Mar.
Kerooine (bbls.) at_.

Private

Year

OF

Kerosine

Gas

Month

April 4

tons)———_—April

AMERICAN PETROLEUM
INSTITUTE:
Crude oil
output—daily average (bbls.
Crude runs to

Gasoline

Previous

1

ingots and castings produced

-

Latest

.365,%7fcV
averia^ef*'

tBased
on
*Revlsed figure. tBased1' on the- producers' quotation.
tBased
on
the
of the producers' and platers' quotations.
SBased on platers' quotations. DDomestK, ';

131.3 | five

tons

t{Monthly

or

more

average

but

in

less
year

than

1946.

carload

lot,

packed

in

cases,

f.

o.

b.

New

York.

'

42

&

THE COMMERCIAL

(1458)

FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE

Thursday, April 1, 1948

its tasks under the new

McCabe and

Szymczak

which

all

quired

to

what has been known: That Presi¬

stead
to

would

banks

be

their

to

cash

Since the first several sessions
of the hearings starting

March 3
dealt exclusively with the work
of the Office of Foreign Liquida¬

which

Commissioner,

supply

W.i

&

¥'4

f

f

Chicago and

measure

On

found

visitor at
early hearings could tell,
McCabe's position on Federal
serve policies was a
blank

there

was

could

even

no

evidence

read

or

that

write.

the
Mr.
Re¬
and

our

success

"As

is

functory attention to the renomination of;Mr.,M. S. Szymczak for
a full fourteen year term as Board
Member; Because Mr. Szymczak
had been a Member of the Board

he

striction,

return

When

statement

in

on

clerk read a long
the OFLC prepared

tile

Senator's name; and a
later Mr. McCabe had the

week

.

a

same

clerk read

a

long reply pre¬

pared in his own name.
During a subsequent hearing on
March 24, in reply to questions
Mr.
McCabe
revealed
that he

ing

capital. Notwithstand¬
certain, effect,
many

on

favor

jankers

the

this

method

Hon. C. W.

Tobey

John W.Snyder

dealing with the
present problem of too easy' bank
credit.

on

of

means

a

objection was ex¬
certain
Committee

who

felt

that

he

had

.

;

duction, and particularly more
production per man-hour, is the
most effective way to deal with it

as

by

enough in his present
positipn. However, when the mat¬
ter came on the floor no objection
was raised and Mr. Szymczak was
confirmed.'

over

Board's special reserve plan

some

members

however, would mean
the earnings of banks

this,

long

been long

below expenses and a reasonable

the first hearing opened Senator

Tobey had

so

Mr.

Szymczak,

returned

to

the

who

last

Board

year

from

a

special assignment as Director of
the Economics Division of OMGUS

definitely
under control by providing addi¬

supply side. This means In Berlin, first came to Washing
I
government economy and ton at the invitation of President
in < * 1933.
When
the
deferment of all deferrable ex¬ Roosevelt
penditures. It also means as large Banking Act of 1935 came into

tional

a

for

need

"The

supply

money

bringing

the

more

over

the

result of this study there

a

question in

the

j

many mind condesirability of the'
principles of regulating and
controlling bank ' holding conl- :
panies especially those whose Cx-;,
pansion programs are inconsistent;
with principles of adequate and *
sound banking. /
.U.
no

cerning
■

With the spotlight on Mr, .Mc¬
Cabe. the Seriate paid only per¬

pressed

homework

my

certainly worthwhile from the J
standpoint of the possible future
administration of the Act.
"
;

in reaching

Szymczak Confirmed Without
\;:,V
Hearing .V'/'-'lv

tain of effective bank credit re¬

reducing

Mr.

but

.

the

1

broad

'

f

'In
I

"

'*

arriving at this conclusion

have

,

a

J

former associate of

Eastern holidays a little difficult

our success

v

had

In fact, so far as

a

which

the goal of sustained prosperity."

M. S. Szymczak

alternative to the spe¬

an

Lie

selective mine in government ,service.
to

use

in find¬
ing ways to deal with these prob¬
lems will depend in no small

reserves,

permitted to hold
income-producing assets,
^Jboma* B. McCabe
namely short-term Government
obligations.
The proposal has
come
to be called the Board's
special reserve plan.
"As

the

different from those of a few

years ago.

ranks would be

Mr,

over

and

money

Amberg, as you know; collabo¬
If this be so, co¬ rated in drafting the recommen¬
operation will - be necessary be¬ dations of the Reserve City Bank¬
tween the central banking author¬ ers on this legislation.
\
ities and other agencies.
:
'Since I am not a lawyer and '
'The problems which monetary much of the reading material is
and credit policy must face today
expressed in legal language,
I

headed, and since cial reserve plan, the Board in its
945 and 1946 annual reports also
those sessions produced no direct
asked Congress to raise the limits
cross examination of the nominee,
the public found the procedure to which required cash or pri¬
most
unusual;- and
even
Mr. mary reserves may be increased.
0 increase required cash reserves
McCabe began to wonder whether
the strategy was to wear him out. : :ar enough*to be relatively cer¬
McCabe

of

controls over
credit is put.

are

re¬

hold, except that in¬
being legally required

certain

Board member.

tion

of

add

Harold Amberg, the legal counsel.
of the First National Bank of -

,

Very simply, this plan involves
temporary increase in reserves

dent Truman asked his

opinion, on
Mr. McCabe's qualifications as a

the

of

a

repeated

merely

because

great increase in the public debt.

Treasury John W. Snyder. But
the latter, obviously determined
to disclose the minimum possible

information,

lost

been

nave

IPs

page)

(Continued from first
ing who "decapitated" Mr, Eccles,
called as witness Secretary of the

•M<>

controls

traditional

of

Credit Control

on

conditions

which we face in a combination

been;; particularly
by

pressed

the

extensive

im- I ' '
study, j ^

which the Board and its staff have

^a

given to this general sub j ect over
the past several years. There appear to have been
innumerable " v;
,

discussions

of

the, matter at the ,
Board itself, as well as between
representatives of the Board and
of
other governmental;>

including the Justice
Department, the Comptroller of I

agencies

the Currency and the FDIC.
Federal
Advisory
Council
.

The

,

also

v

has studied the Bill and I under-

that

stand

!

certain' amendments

"

suggested by the Board and :
approved by your Committee as
were

surplus of tax receipts as pos¬ effect Mr. Szymczak enterd upon
sible, so that dollars are removed a new 12-year term as Member of a result of the Council's recom¬
favors as much decentralization
problem of appro¬ from the spending stream and the Board of Governors in 1936. mendations on the subject. Out¬
That term came to an end Feb. side the government, the need for; as possible in the operation of
the priateness of our existing system used to retire public debt held by
reserve
requirements.
This the Federal Reserve System. This 1, 1948. Thus Mr. Szymczak has bank holding company legislation 'I"!"
Federal Reserve System. He made of
it, clear that he believes in co¬ scheme has long been recognized akes dollars out of the money served more than fourteen years. seems to have been urged upon,,'.;
From a well informed source the Board and * the Congress by
'
operating with those with whom as inequitable in certain respects; supply by an equivalent amount
he must work at the Board's indeed the System has engaged in and is a reversal of the wartime the writer learns that Mr. Szym¬ the Association of Reserve City '
chairman. He thought that the many studies of methods to im¬ process by which the money sup¬ czak was Governor Eccles' choice Bankers,
the two Independent . ; '
Board's government-bond support prove it. Ultimately, it will be ply was expanded. The classical as Vice-Chairman of the Board Bankers Associations, some 10 of
:
policy of last December was wise. desirable to have our reserve re¬ precept of sound finance; that at the time Mr. Eccles' expected 112 State Bankers Associations, the But, as for most other FRB prob¬ quirements based on the type of debt should be paid off in boom to be reappointed to the Chair- National Association of; Super¬
lems about which he was asked, i ranking business conducted by a
imes, bar peculiar virtue* in,:the man's post; and that he was also visors of State Batiks and by a
McCabe's
choice
as
Vice- considerable number of independ- :
the nominee stated that he favored bank rather than on the basis of case of a public debt the. size of Mr.
ocation, as is now the case. But ours, so much of which is held Chairman. With Governor Eccles erit bankers throughout the counhaving careful studies made be¬
this is a complicated matter, as by the banking system. ; P • •
fore committing himself.
away on leave Szymczak is now try. I understand that various of
>
;
matters of equity invariably are,
Chairman pro tem. of the Reserve j these organizations have contrib¬
Commends ABA Program
The Special Reserve Plan
and will take time to remedy,"
Board.
uted
suggestions
affecting, the
"As
Mr.
Asked about the controversial
you know, curbing of in¬
Szymczak emphasized.
;
1 With the testimony of Secretary draftsmanship of the * Bill, some
he

authority

level

of

for

bank

regulating

reserves

has

also raised the

"special

chairmanship and leadership, Mr
McCabe

favor

flationary pressures cannot be ac¬

plan" advanced
under Mr. Eccles

reserve

by the Board

testified

that

less

some

method

he

would

controversial

of

strengthening the
over credit, should
v :j such strengthening be necessary.
Board's control

Money Supply Excessive

"Meanwhile,
uation of

an

confront a sit¬
excessive and highly

expansionary

we

money

supply, and

measures

necessary

priate private

are

appro¬

decisions. Bankers,

example,
must ask them¬
of
regulating > growth of bank selves whether, as a group, they
credit in the public interest, with are extending credit on a sound
the object of preventing recur¬ basis—credit which will stand up
;he problem is to find

some

way

for

Mr. McCabe's observations on this
point illustrate his philosophy of rent outbreaks of inflation. Either in whatever storms are ahead of
seeking the smoother way and the Board's special reserve plan us. In this connection, I commend
to your attention, as well as to the
making as few enemies as pos- or authority to raise further ex
sible.isting reserve requirements seems attention of bankers, the program
to be the most feasible, available formulated some time ago by the
It must be noted, of
course, that
restraint for this purpose, taking American
Bankers
Association,
^
the new chairman will preside
into account the over-shadowing and the joint statement on "Bank
over a Board still
largely disposed size of our
public debt.
Credit Policy During the Infla¬
to favor the special reserve plan
1
"There has been little need for tion," issued Nov. 24, 1947, by the
Not only was that plan advanced
increased
reserve
requirements Board of Governors of the Fed¬
in the Board's annual
reports o::
during the past three months be¬ eral Reserve System, the Comp¬
1945 and 1946, and
through Mr.
cause of the Treasury's favorable
troller of the Currency, the FedEccles last year, but as
recently fiscal
developments. which have era! Deposit Insurance Corpora¬
as March 19 in the Federal Remade possible' a substantial re¬ tion, and the Executive Commit¬
/ serve Bulletin the Board again
tirement of bank-held public debt tee of the National Association of
expressed its opinion that it needs
Such retirement has
temporarily Supervisors of State Banks.; ; y
additional powers to Control cred¬
against
bank I "I suggest that the reconstruc¬
it on the:theory that We are still exerted: pressure
credit expansion. But in the fu¬
under
tion and strengthening of policy

predominantly inflationary

.

pressures, leaving the clear implication that "a man convinced

•

against his will, is of the same
opinion still." This impression is
fortified by comments given the
writer only a few days ago by
Governor Matt S. Szymczak; who
during Mr. Eccles' March vaca
tion served
man

pro

as

the Board's chair

tem,

Szymczak's Views

Questioned by the "Chronicle
concerning the Federal Reserve

ture

this

type

of

pressure

wil

be available in the same de¬
gree, and bank' credit conditions
may become unduly easy. If this

not

should

happen, the need for

Some

special,

additional restraint Wil.
be urgent. It; is better to have
authority to deal with a situation
as it develops than to have au¬
thority provided, if at all, too late
to
be
used." - (What Governor
Szycmzak here had in mind
course, was the pending Act to
reduce tax
on

revenues and

its effect

the- surplus.)

Snyder

interroga¬

renewed

controls oyer the use to which the
credit supply is put also requires

careful and conscientious .study. I
do not
suggest that We keep

reaching out for more power, and
controls, but I am aware of
the fact that in honestly and sin¬

more

promote eco¬

seeking to

cerely
nomic

stability at a high level;
techniques
may
perhaps be devised to meet the
Changing
situation. V Fpr many
years the Board has been able to
new

effective

control
into

the

the

flow

of

securities

bank credit

of which

the

Bill,

basis " of

are

already included in;

while
c e r

others

form

Senator

Tobey on Tuesday an¬
the hearings ended.
A
vote would be taken within a few

the

t a i nV amendments

which the Board is even

now pro-

:

posing to the Congress. 1 find that
the bank holding companiesV

nounced

,

even

days, he stated.
Both SenatorTobey and Fulbright duidng the

themselves

hearing this week evidenced the
strongest determination to fight
for enactment of the bill S.829, a

pf; the Board relating to the terms
of this proposed legislation. Finally, your own Committee has voted

have

discussions with

tak'en

representatives
>

unanimously to report the Bill
favorably to the Senate. ' v, r v '
*

ize bank holding companies

"In the light of this extensive :
background of expert study and
support for the Bill I am without
hesitation in renewing my previ¬

considered to

be aimed

at the Transamerica
interests. Tobey stated bis doubt
as,to the efficacy of the Buck
amendment which would author¬

with

in state limits.

ous

endorsement of the principles

-

,

primarily

measure

"■

part' in'

*

I ot the Bill and to state my coh-week's hearings Mr. McCabe did
elusion that there appears to be athe requested "homework" on the definite need for early Congrespending bill. After briefing at the sionai action m this field. I agree.
Federal
Reserve
B o a r d, > Mr. that the Congress and the bank
McCabe presented the following authorities should diligently strive
prepared statement:
to establish such rules and reguBetween; last- week's~ and- this

;
,

,

•

** --I sx""Ss?s;

of this Committee I have made a

quick
Bank

;

banks;

of the

Holding

Company

Act

S.829-r-and have read the June 19,
T947 report of this Committee to
the Senate: as well as the pub

ssa S

Certainly the. ownership
by bank holding companies of un-

proposed

analysis

-

to a sound banking policy, nor is

it fair competitively for the um¬

•*'

-

related businesses is not conducive:

:
>

*

Ky'r

pire of the game—the government f;

lished report of the hearings held
to
follow certain, traditional *
cb May 26, June 2 and June 11,
policies in regard to the expan¬
1947.
I have also conferred, at
sion
activities
of
independentiI
considerable
length,' with. the
banks and anotherI policy with
members of the legal staff of the
regard to bank holding companies. ?
Federal Reserve- Board who aslisted "in^ tlie preparatTon" of the I
I
Bill; They expressed astonishment I
at my very optimistic hope of
JhnnfrT^p °Wrirtpn
mastering the essential features Quat« T.f.s
!!
•

rp^rvTc

market, and
during the war it was given the
powers over the credit structure,
view
task of regulating consumer cred¬ of the Bill in such a short time, only^th
Mr. Szymczek gave his commen
5c nnVnf thpm PxnrPSKed it- 'We equitable competition between all
it. The Board has recently asked
in detail, saying:
have
been
working
iegisclasses
of
banks
and not forpunipansion, will be especially , great Congress to renew the latter
"In the light of all the consider
if we relax our current fiscal
for more
five years tive reasons. X think that S.829
power, at least so far as install¬
ations, the Federal Reserve Board policy while inflationary dangers
and it win be
to
you [
ment credit is concerned.
,
has: recommended to Congress the
what you want in such a short ^ ^ave already mentioned.
exist," Mr. Szymczak amplified.
•
"It
is
possible
that
central
adoption of a plan which we fee
"Fiscal policy is by far the most
time.'
I have persisted, however,
"I think it only fair, however,
W9pld restore some of the powers effective way to deal with the de¬ banking policy will find the in¬ and in addition to conferring with to point out that I,have,not been
over
the money supply which mand side of inflation just as pro- struments
I
also
talked
with
Mr. | able to become an, expert on the ,
necessary to perform them
Bulletin

article

and

the

Board

"The urgency for the Federal
Reserve Board's proposal, or some
other proposal to curb Credit ex¬

the:

l^tion

■

and

complished by monetary, and fis¬ tion, of Mr. McCabe on the pend¬
policy alone; Among other ing bank
holding company bill

cal




mr^this
tharT
dffficult gtve

I

of establishing

establishes^ the Principles which

-Volume

167

Number 4686

:

THE 'COMMERCIAL

precise provisions of the Bill in a
short period of time. As I pointed
out last
week, this subject is not

,

which has been of particular

one

moment

-Bank

at

of

Federal

Philadelphia

intense

imy

the

Reserve

and

even

of

course

briefing over
j the past week has not
brought me
..sufficient
familiarity
with. the
minutiae pi the problem to enable
me

(i

competently

to

different

w e e n

of debate

course

^it should

.

Will Russia attack the United
legislation in principle.'
Even those who believe
TVygr^ss should
fit to States?

proposed
A

if

d

S.829

pass

can

confirmed,

assure

I

will

you

join

appear that

changes

are

diligence.

has

cept what they read in the
papers.
A great many of

the
in

and

(Continued from page 15)
was

ready for

decline,
but its weaknesses were
limited;
(b) that outside developments,
.however, probably prevented a
sharper decline in the Fall of 1947.
some

.

>partial
that

«*

•

failure

the

rather-

»a

of

the

government

reckless

corn

crop;

engaged

on

grain

buying
program; that many businessmen

..

/• had become cautious
;

was a

prematurely

/.and by mid-Summer
.of requirements; and
advances and
irble

that

rather

a

.discussion,

of

//Plan contributed

short

were

wage

irresponsi-

the

Marshall

to

inflationary
; psychology. Speculative inventory
> buying was resumed by business*men.

*.

■

*

.

.

There

were

also

,

stimulating

factors that influenced the
public.
Retail
trade

^through

showed

rather

a

August
disappointing

trend, but cash payments to vet¬
erans in
September helped stimu*

late sales. Perhaps more
impor¬
tant, the Administration ran such

netted

,

(5)

The
financial position of
business has deteriorated. Despite

|

/ /
'

^

/

/ Weaknesses Appeared--

This ; was- an impressive performance by business. 1948 began

/-with what

everyone regarded as
>'a..high, level of momentum, and

v

.

optimism

was; rrampant.

During

,tJanuary, /Jiowever/ there

was

a

marked slowness in many whole¬
sale markets.~ There was
of
growing uneasiness.

a

,

; February
>

there

was

feeling
Dur.ng
of

one

the

broadest and sharpest declines in
i Speculative markets that; had oc-

-

.

■

^eurred for
men
ers
*

,

/
.-

Business¬

Economic observ¬

as

%

eco-

as

it looked only 60 to;

previously.

v

time.

some

well

nomic situation was not

//
*

as

began to suspect that the

strong
90 days
,

,

?

"There is not much doubt that
the economic and price structure
was

weakened

in

respects

many

during the last 12 months. Very
briefly, here are some of the
r
things that began to receive more
»attention, and that paused quite i a

„

.

ibit, of caution, in business opera¬
tions.
j
;
,
(1) Inventories were much
higher. Total business inventories
,

;

■

at

the

$38.3

record

i

new

to meet its finan¬
cial requirements. Bank loans ad¬

draw

and

corporations

end

(to.. $41.8
// January.
u
-

of March,

and

billion

1947

had

were

increased

at. the

end

had

markets

spite the difficulty in selling
issues.

There

oration
and

of

also

was

current

its equivalent

inventories
able

and

assets.

that

aver

somewhat

still low

as

(2) Prices

small steps

compared with earlier

flected in

peak reached in 1920.

businessmen

be

How could

expected

to

feel

/ fmch

impact

%'

■

">

/

*

develooirent

a

has viini
Declines in com¬

on

affdct rural demand; this was evi¬
dent in. February.
,

.

/It seems to me that .these con¬
siderations justify some sort of
a

conclusion.

there

was

a

We have

seen

that

small decline in busi¬

last year; that this was inter¬
rupted and reversed; but that the
business position at the moment
seems to be weaker than it was
then. I can think of no
good rea¬
ness

son'

why there should not be

other decline

it should

an¬

this year, and why

not be

bigger than the

last year, if nature is, left to
its course. That brings us
to the war scare and its potential
effects.
■

one

take

/

War Not

k

1

,

"

"

Imminent;

not met any

who
is

well-informed

chance of such

much

opment. There is
of

fear that
some

sort

conflict.

there will
in

lag.

locations.

anyone who has

spoken to retailers of almost

description/during
months has been

demand for

the

aware

past

any

12

that unit

increasing number
of items has been slipping.
(4) Exports were declining. The
all-time peak was reached in the
an

second quarter of 1947.
Although
the ERP will prevent the decline
from going much farther, the level
of exports from npw on, arid par¬

ticularly net exports, will be below the peak.
^
/




any

a

devel¬

certain amount

a

incident

an

that

consumption, but

person

honestly believes that there

war

of unit

prices and business
is

veto.

The

budget for the coming
or $4 bil¬

families
in

have

their

meet

is

had

to

be

...

budgeting in order to
living costs. There

much

doubt

that

the

some

reduction will be translated

the

tax

or acci¬
might generate

It

is

recognized

probably be icivil

one

of

number

a

of

It is quite possible that

opposing sides will be backed re¬
spectively by the- United States
and Russia. But it is unlikely that
the

conflict

countries

between

will

direct in the

these

become

near

open

future.

price increases,

in

unit

small

V

volume

or

The

absent

tax

will

be

reduction

either
•

alone

'arge in relation to total

is

not

consumer

spending. In fact, a further drop
in farm prices or a small increase
'n unemployment would cancel it
off.

can

able

listen

revival of inflation.

can

get under
.

'

*

mm*

Equip. Trust Ctfs.
An

Pennsylvania RR. equipment
trust, series S, 2%% equipment
trust certificates due $733,000 an¬

from

restric¬

willingly

underwriting group headed

by Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. won
the award March .31 of $10,995,000

nually July 1 1948-1962, inclusive,
and were re-offered by the group,
subject to Interstate Commerce
Commission authorization, at
prices to yield 1.15% to 2.65%,
according to maturity.

to

The

proposals for additional monetary
controls than to proposals for di¬
rect business controls.

the

certificates, issued under
Philadelphia plan, are the
an authorized

final instalment of

$32,930,000 trust certifi¬
series S.
The aggregate
principal amount of these certifi¬
issue of

,;•;•,:' /, S/V;;//;/• :•
X/r
additional $4 billion would
raise the total defense budget for
.

the -next fiscal year to $15 billion

be

Halsey, Stuart Group
Offer Pennsylvania RR.

that inflation

more

a

price structure,
■'

is
being revived, however, would
probably be the signal for a fur¬
ther tightening in credit condi¬
tions.
I
believe that
Congress
would

will

unless

further

credit

on

months

way.

very

up

few

watchful

that some such re¬
adjustment is necessary before a
longer-term period of high-level
activity, based on a less vulner¬

.

;Any sign

next
of

They believe

/ "

refrained

magnitudes involved do
much leverage in the

rather than

;

thorities

small

a

waitiqg. Most
businessmen of my acquaintance
still expect a downward adjust¬
ment in
prices and production

quickly convert a
surplus 'into* a Fediera
deficit/
Following the price de¬
cline in February, monetary au¬

An

/

It

to

I

|

Conclusions

seems

fair

,

describe

at

moment

the

economic

cates,

;

forces

cates will be issued to finance not

as

only slightly higher than it was hanging in the balance. A mile, more than 80% of the cost, esti¬
mated at $41,137,500, or 27 dieselin fiscal 1947; and it was in the
deflationary trend became evident
latter
part of that year that a during the first quarter of the electric 6,000 h.p. passenger lo¬
moderate : business
decline
de¬ year. Recent developments set up comotives; 22 diesel-electric 6.000
veloped.
cross-currents
that have tended h.p. freight locomotives; 28 diesel;
Cross-Currents
, !
to retard this movement. Inten¬ electric 1,000 h.p. switching loco¬
motives; 34 diesel-electric 600/
Since the beginning of the year sification of the war scare would
we have seen a. certain economic
quite probably strengthen these 660 h.p. switching locomotives;
1,000 freight train box cars; and
pattern developing. An inflation¬ cross-currents.
or

,

have

set

now

The

retard

the

up

some

effects
rate

of

of

adjustment and to stimulate

is

to

When you want to

re¬

some

somewhat

of

new

more

ment

can

expect

favorable trend

for

markets
lines

the

and

have

air

forces.

some

equip¬

shown

We

have

for

every

greater
tightness in anticipation of larger

of

defense

This

spending. Retailers can
sales in the next few
months to be slightly higher than
they would have been without a

an

stencil In our mailing department

metal

firm

Cities,

arranged alphabetically by

list

is

within

and

Dealers

bank listed In "Security

and

revised

the

dally

and

States

by

Cities

firm names.
offers you the most

up-to-the-minute service available.
Our

charge

States

tax reduction.

Psychology

a

North America"

and

expect

is at

CIRCULARIZE the Investment

orders, as. more funds*are

appropriated
Metal

train cars.

Firms In the United States and Canada, Remember Us!

markets.

a

9 passenger

diffi¬

basic

cross-cur¬

these

downward

Machine tool makers

the

Nevertheless,

price trend was gradually
readjusting itself to a deflationary
path. The war scare and Con¬
gressional action on tax reduction
ary

or

SPECIAL

far has not been
greatly ; stimulated., However,
I
two
doubt that the war scare period

and

The

Monetary Factor

Federal

the

ones

The reduction of taxes and pro¬
jected increases in Federal spend¬

ing:

had

entire business structure.

drastic development in
field
changes
the

attitude.

;-:V

gain

any

entirely. '

passed

we

not suggest

more

prevents price decreases

or causes

but

,

foreign

whole

less .directly into sales. -:.;"'V-1; '

or

very

be

not

will

caution in operations.
We
willing to recognize the stim¬
ulating forces of tax reductions
and increased defense spending,

difficulties in Italy. Most political
observers believe, however, that
will

there

1

are

draft
measure,
and
quite probably pass it if there are

UMT

that

decline similar to that

gest

emergency

careful

predict
a

We are able to de¬
tect many weaknesses which sug¬

Best guess at the moment seems
to be that Congress will ready an

current

not

be

1920-21.

indefinitely.

UMT unless

pass

past

use

the first quarter of this year; that
rise in prices cannot go on

Military Training was
Congress is
to

to

the

methods of preparedness would be
much more effective.
•

.helpful to retail sales. The pub¬
lic has been badly squeezed. Even
he moderate
to higher income

foolish

Nevertheless,

passed. JBut

anxious

be

demonstration in the second quar¬
ter of 1947, and another one in

some

prospective increase in

a

to

soon

of

literally forced to do so by
foreign development. This
is more than a question of mere
politics, since many opponents of
UMT believe sincerely that other

reduction,
Congress will pass

President's

rash

it is

tax

There is no doubt that reduc¬
tion in personal income taxes will

rents.

I do not believe there is much
chance that there will be a war

been followed by sharp declines?
(3) Unit volume has begun to
measure

not

be

an

general psychology and
a sympathetic effect on other mar¬
kets, Declining farm prices also

armed

v

h o w e v e r,
be further

modity futures markets have

;// such levels had always in the past

«

■

portant effects.

dent of

no

actually

stimulat¬

a

tightening

orice decLnes.

from

This calm attitude might change

tions.

.

experts. This

gather

would

history as an analogy for what
may happen
next.
It would be

a

if Universal

of them

:/> strong confidence in the price
i
level, when prices had only been
y r- higher once or twice before in the
f.
country's entire history, and when

There is

de¬
,

continues

probably

ft

Mosts

past
few
weeks
seems
to
be
seasonal rather than apprehensive.

there

perspective, ''i';-:?//■//./•Z/ To the extent to which either

favorable,

the

would

increasing

an

of items.

We have never had a postwar
period just like the present one.

them

conversations.

the price, level of farm
commodities. If growing weather
will

of

one

so

end. If I read the situation

correctly, we are likely to experi¬
may
seem
like guesswork, ence a series of
scares, rather than
dangerous guesswork, to state
a single one. I doubt that a peak
such a conclusion. I believe, how¬
will be reached in the present
ever, that the logic of the situa¬
state of international tension be¬
tion points in that direction.

A.

complete

Is $5 00 per

S.

D.

LIST

All

addressing

completed within

We

can
a

offices

(United

only)

or

Cities $6.00 per thousand.

or

also

list

thousand.

(main

selected States

at

v

addressing

for

Canada)
N.

supply

the

list

on

24

hours.

gnmmed roU

labels

small additional charge.

It

and

Will
Russia?
our

the

United

The

tradition

States

/w|hole
is

that

attack

history
we

of

become

■

turned

its rise has been appre¬

or

number

activity and the
strengthening in prices during the

lion, which I have no doubt Con¬
gress will also pass. ///- V:/. /.//'<

and

higher. Led by
farm commodities, the wholesale
involving Russia and the United
price index rose again toward the States in the near future. T have
were

attitude

what

either

has

ciably restricted, for

news¬

fatalistic.

volume

down,

indi¬

rush of panic buy¬
ing. Even in the used car market,
the pickup in

Similarly, the increase in de¬
fense spending means more Fed¬
modernization programs.
y/vV:-'/ eral purchases and orders for
C (7) World agricultural, condU somei iMiust r4 es.
Nevertheless,
tionstfiave improved. This has al¬ these two
stimulating factors must
ready been at least partially re¬ be judged in relation to a broader

there

Unit

con¬

different

very

the stores in

fiscal year of about $3

adopted this program with a great
dealof
effectiveness.
Conse¬
quently/it is more difficult to
are

the

,

other is

au¬

its costs
higher; .although

on

One

the defense

tighten credit, hvaddition, they
urged voluntary credit restriction
on
the
banks, ,, and the
banks

money

is

developments

bound to have

activity.

to

new

the

moment,

effects

two

which I believe

receiv¬

Monetary

with

be

-casual

many

them, I would say, accept the
possibility of an early war with¬
out much
question, in contrast to

:/

the

at

what

are

are

ing effect

Cash

./'/"!//

thorities took several

obta.n

is

There

new

was steady tightening

in credit conditions.

had

of

y'
Stimulus

will
be from
international
velopments short of war.

to

de¬

declined, while

accounts

to

seem

front has lagged

question

therefore,

deteri¬

a

advanced. ;•

/■(6) There

of

../,''jiky!-.//

not

,

the capital

on

•

New

r

The

money in order

vanced

economic

seriously.

high earnings, business had

to raise extensive amounts of

,

billion,

ag¬

foreign policy has
gains. Her position,

some

ternal

,

~

an

does

have

Nevertheless, the public has not
however, is by no means con¬ acted as though it were
badly
solidated, and progress on her in¬ frightened. It has not rushed to

standards. I; This not only tends to
concentrated advertising ,camjiscourage inventory speculation
paign about: the pros p e c i pf.
and, excessive
buying,
but is
inflation and higher prices that
among the factors causing some
the public kept on
buying heavily reappraisal of
plant expansion and
.through Christmas.
v

policy

to go slow at home and
conversely.
Her aggressive

it: a

*

followed

foreign

that

amount of economic energy. When
she goes fast abroad, she is forced

subscribed."

*

You will recall that there

Russia bas

gressive

I

her, internal position
sincerely hope
is strong and
healthy. On the
embody the
contrary,
she
has only a limited
to which this

Economic Tendencies
whole

the

that

with

mean

principles

re¬

peculiar
past
two

weeks.

that the final Act will

Committee

during

this

43

culty is too much production at
loo high a price.
Domestic and
foreign demands seem to have
passed their peak. Even at their
peak, they were satisfied with
something to spare for inventory.

a

viduals, who don't know too much
about foreign developments ex¬

of the Board

I

noticed,

versations

administering it with fairness

broad

street."- In

the

could probably pick a better time
than the present. The mere fact

for

measure

I- have

situation

that, if

be-

this

in

spect

that Russia may sometime attack
the United States admit that she

choose

with

"man

the
Com¬

in" substantially

.onn.iecommenaea oy your

mittee, I

'(1450)

in our economy is determined by
the actions and (attitudes of the

,

methods

on

CHRONICLE

requii ed, fhqy will not affect the involved, in wars only on the
u. damental objectives.
<;
•greatest provocation involving di¬
"I
wish to. repeat, Mr.. Chair-I rect attack on our shipping, or on
man, that I am in favor of this our outposts.

other Governors

achieving the same objective. I
'do hope,
however, that, if in the

FINANCIAL

&

fore late Summer
Public

or

Fall.

.

Calm

4 great deal of what happens

Herbert D. Seibert & Co., Inc.
•

25 Park Place

REctor 2-9570

New

Vork 7, ft ¥.

;

44

•

•

March 25 filed

facture corn

for plant

improvements.

Co., Ltd.

Underwriter—Paine, Web-

($20 par), 1947 series.

stock

Atlantic

lateral

par)

Fisheries

Coast

Co.,

Consolidated

.

Underwriter

stock.

common

Boston,

Mass.

Offering

Buffalo.

conversion

'against
^will

—

The

bonds

—

Doolittle

Co.,

&

of the

be

are

•

;

-

i/

preferred stock, convertible prior to July
"
Underwriters — Goldman, Sachs & Co. and
Pierce, Fenner & Beane, New York, and
Piper, Jaffray & Hopwood, Minneapolis. Price and num¬
ber of shares by amendment/Proceeds—To reduce short-*
Jerm bank loans totaling $13,850,000.
Business—Holding
company for durable goods retail stores.
'
V

Inc.'

1958.

•

..-Genuine

Parts

Co., Atlanta,

Ga.

filed

150,000 shares ($5 par) common stock,
of which 50,000 are being offered by company and 100,000;;;.
by five stockholders. Underwriter—Courts & Co., At- v
March

30

amendment. Proceeds—From the $400,000 of bank indebtednessj;
will be retired and balance for working capital. Business
—Wholesale automotive parts and supplies.

/lanta,

Ga.

Price by

sale of the 50,000 shares.

Br/;/ Georgia Hardwood Lumber Co.

ditures.

(4/12-16)

69,500 shares $1 convertible cumulative
preferred stock (no par) and 10,425 shares of common
stock
($1 par).
Underwriter—Reynolds & Co. / Price
by amendment.
Proceeds — To selling stockholders—
March

(4/20)

Consolidated Natural Gas Co.

V;

Merrill Lynch,

treasury for expansion expen-"

and to reimburse

stock

/5B;B

Augusta (Ga.) Grocery Co.
Br/'"
March 22 (letter of notification) $100,000 5% serial de¬
bentures bonds and 4,500 shares of 6% ($20 par) par¬
•

:

cumulative

Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp. , Proceeds—To redeem
bonds. Unsubscribed bonds /
273,566 shares of outstanding $5 cumulative preferred
underwriter. Proceeds —

publicly offered by
General corporate purposes.

proceeds will

Gamble-Skogmo, Inc., Minneapolis, Minn.
March 30 filed an unspecified number of shares ($50 par);
31,

Edison Co. of N. Y.,

250,000

•

$57,382,600 of 3% convertible debentures,
due 1963. Convertible at the rate of one common stock
share for each $25 of debentures.
Offering—Common
stockholders of record March 25 were to be given right
to subscribe for debentures in ratio of $5 of debentures
for each share held.
Due to failure of the New York
P. S. Commission to approve the issue, the' financing
has been postponed.
Underwriting—Unsubscribed de¬
bentures will be offered at competitive bidding.
Prob¬
able bidders: Morgan Stanley & Co.; Halsey, Stuart &

being offered to
stockholders at the rate of $1,500 of bonds for each 1,000
shares of common stock held. The stock will be reserved

■'

No-underwriting.

Rights expire

held.

1 filed

March

mortgage and col¬
168,950 shares ($1

filed $556,500 4V2% general
trust convertible bonds and

2

& Co., New York.
New common to,;
stockholders of record April 6 at rate,

share for each 12 y2 now

shares and

125,000 preferred shares

Detroit
March 22 (letter of notification) 136,268 shares ($1 par)
common
stock., Price—$1 each.
For working capital.

ment for new stores.

.ber, Jackson & Curtis, New York, and Mitchum, Tully
& Co., San Francisco. Price—$21 per share. Proceeds—
To expand facilities.
Feb.

present

new

one

preferred

company

Formsprag Co.,

•

,

April 15. Price—Preferred, par; common by amendment.,B
Proceeds—To buy machinery, trade fixtures and equip¬

,

(4/6)
75,000 shares of 5% cumulative preferred

Associated Telephone
March 15 filed

V

'

of

260,000

and

and 75,000 common shares. The company's
be used for general corporate purposes.

(4/6)

shares of 5% cumulative preferred
($50 par), and 49,431 shares of common stock ($2.50

be offered

sell

shares

common

par). Underwriter—Hemphill, Noyes
Offering—Preferred publicly April 6.

Record date expected to be about April 13
and subscription period will extend two weeks. Proceeds
—$1,000,000 for retirement of bank loans and the bal¬
shares held.

will

holders

March 16 filed 40,000
stock

■1 -A,

ISSUE

Business—Manu¬

Inc., Norfolk, Va.

Colonial Stores,

.preferred stock (no par). Underwriters—The First Bos¬
ton Corp. and Smith, Barney & Co.
Price by amend¬
ment. Offering—To be offered to common stockholders
in ratio of one preferred share for each 12 common

ance

and its sales affiliate..
products.

Partition Corp.

Ludlum Steel Corp., Pittsburgh
107,383 shares of cumulative convertible

Allegheny

PREVIOUS

SINCE

ADDITIONS

INDICATES

Registration

in

Now

Securities

Thursday, April 1, 1948

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

&

THE COMMERCIAL

(1460)

11

filed

March 15 filed $30,000,000 of debentures, due 1968. Int.
;,
rate and price by amendment. Underwriters—To be de¬
ticipating preferred stock. Underwriter—Johnson, ]Lane,
termined through competitive bidding. Probable bidders
(Equitable Securities Corp., A. C. Allyn & Co., Inc., and
Sapec & Co., Inc., Augusta. To purchase assets from
include: White, Weld & Co. and Paine, Webber, Jackson
Clement A. Evans & Co., Inc.) / March 30 stockholders
stockholders of a predecessor corporation.
'
:
& Curtis (jointly); Dillion, Read & Co. Inc.; The First
voted
to change name
to Georgia-Pacific Hardwood
Bennett-Ireland, Inc., Norwich, N. Y.
Boston Corp.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc; Morgan Stan¬
■;>Lumber CCo.
.'
,,
r
»
>
«
March 22 (letter of notification) $200,000 15-year sinking
ley & Co/ Proceeds-^-To be added to general funds for
Gulf States Utilities Co.
(4/19)
fund first mortgage bonds. Underwriter—Mohawk Val¬
purchase of additional capital stock in the company's
March 19 filed $12,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due
ley Investing Co., Inc., Utica, N. Y.
Price—Par.
Pre¬
operating subsidiaries. Expected about April 20.
;;
,
1978,
Underwriters—Names to be determined by com-*
payment of mortgage ($130,000).
Corporate purposes. ■■
•
Crader Oil Co., Oklahoma, City, Okla.
petitive bidding.
' Probable bidders: Stone & Webster
•
Broad Street Investing Corp.
!
March 22 (letter of notification) 50,000 shares ($1 par)
/ Securities
Corp.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Salomon B
March 22 filed 100,000 shares (par $5) ; capital stock.
capital
stock.
Price—$1
each.
For
drilling
and
develop¬
Bros. & Hutzler; Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane
Underwriter—Broad Street Sales Corp. Proceeds—For^
ing oil lease. No underwriting.
B
B/'BB and White, Weld & Co. (jointly); Lehman Brothers.
investment.
' B.. ' B•''_B;/;B B - :B-;'B
Proceeds —To
finance/ construction.
Expected about
Crampton Manufacturing Co. (4/12-16)
Brockway (Pa.) Glass Co., Inc.
'';;BB' vB'B/■'
••
Feb. 5 filed $600,000 first mortgage 5y2% sinking fund ; April 19.■ ;■ ■;///''•';v'■
Feb. 26 filed 5,000 shares of - 5% cumulative preferred
•
H. & B. American Machine Co., Attleboro, Mass.
bonds, due 1966, with warrants to purchase 60,000 shares
stock (par $50) and 7,150 shares of common stock (par ■
March 24 (letter of notification) 60,000 shares (no par)
($1 par) common stock. Underwriter—P. W. Brooks &
$50). Underwriting—None. Offering—Both issues will1;
Co., Inc., New York. Proceeds—To retire secured in¬
common, stock.
Price—$5 per share.
To reduce mort*
be offered at $50 per share to residents of Brockway.
debtedness, finance inventories and supplement working
gage indebtedness.
No underwriting.'
1
k,
Proceeds—Construction and purchase of new equipment.
capital.U Expected early in April.
•
Helicopter
Engineering
ResearchCorp.,
B
'
Cameron Aero Engine Corp.
BB;';';B'B:/BB''- /B'Bv/; •
Cuddy Mountain Mining Co., Spokane, Wash. B
;Philadelphia
;• Dec. 29 (letter of notification) 101,000 shares of common
March 22 (letter of notification) 300,000 shares of com¬
; atock
March 26 (letter of notification) 150,000 shares of com-*
(par $1), of which 85,000 shares will be sold to
mon stock.
Price—25 cents each.
Underwriters—Wil¬
mon
stock (par $1) and 50,000 shares of $1 6% non^
the public; 8,500 shares will be issued to underwriters
liam Ray Bellows, Wellman Albert Clark, Robert Maur¬
cumulative preferred stock. To be issued from time to ...
as additional underwriting consideration and 7,500 shares;,;
ice Cooper, all of Spokane, and Gerry Moore & Co.,
time in small lots at prices ranging between par. ahd
will be issued to American Die & Tool Co. for invest- Seattle.
To begin mining operations at Grants Pass, Ore. B $2 per share. Operating capital.;:
'
'!
ment in return for cancelling $15,000 open account for
(

,

.

„

-

.

"

*

>

,

.

v

'

'

*

■

,

machine
*

tools. : Price—$2

per

Henry P. Rosenfeld & Co., New York.

March

stock.

cosmetic business.

No

underwriting,

;'v

v

B;;

Bancshares
named.

Underwriter—None

Offering—To

be -sold

(: banks and similar financial institutions only.

competitively. Probable

—To buy

Halsey, Stuart & Co, Inc.; The First Boston
Corp.; Blyth & Co., Inc.; Equitable Securities Corp.;
Harriman, Ripley & Co.; Glore, Forgan & Co., and W. C.
Langley & Co; (jointly). Offering—Debentures will be
offered publicly.
Stock will be offered present stock¬
holders on basis of one new share for each four held
bidders:

(letter of notification) 3,000 shares (no par)
Price—$10 each/ Offering—To be sold
.* to nine persons.
For operating expenses in the perfume
and

be offered

ing—Debentures to

24

common

March 29

i

'.^BBBz/BB1 25-year sinking fund debentures, due 1973. Underwrit¬

Carosanti, Los Angeles

Corp., St. Louis, Mo.
filed 327,105% shares ($4 par) common stock.

; Industrial

;:

funds, etc.

ating
•

Dallas (Texas) Power & Light Co. (4/5)
Underwriter—
\
To provide oper-v /Feb, 26 filed 68,250 shares of common (no par) $4,000,000

share.

cial

to

Proceeds

controlling interest in banks and similar finan^
— Banking
and loan opera?
;
>
1 ?

B

institutions.v Business

tions.

International

Asbestos

Co.,

Ltd.,

Sherbrooke,

:,.;B:;-B-B Quebec
Mining & Development Corp., Central
Jan. 30 filed 1,500,000 shares ($1 par) common stock.
City, Colo.
v
/BBBy:/;/ at $60 per share. 1 Texas Utilities Co. (parent) will
Underwriter—Paul E. Frechette, Hartford, Conn., is the
March 25 (letter of notification) 150,000 shares of class A
acquire 62,292, shares. Proceeds—Construction program.
U. S. authorized agent and principal underwriter, /Price
common
stock
($1.50 par) and 34,125 shares ($1 par
Bids—Bids for the purchase of the bonds will be received
—$1 - each. T Proceeds—To construct milling plant and
•

'Jk>

Central

common) stock.

—Carter
ment and

Price—Par for each class.

H. Corbrey

Underwriter

up

Co.,J Chicago,1': For mine develop¬

working capital.' "

BBB;/;|

Central Power & Light Co.
Nov. 21 filed 40,000 shares <$100 par) cumulative pre¬
ferred. .j Underwriter—Kidder, Peabody & Co.
Proceeds
—For

to April 5.B

•

property additions and expenses.

:

>

„

March 25 filed
Stock

Co., Detroit, Mich.
450,000 shares of capital stock ($20 par).

Names

to

Probable

determined

be

bidders

purchase equipment.

I-Odoral, Inc., Wilkinsburg, Pa.
B
notification) 200,000 shares of common
stock (par $1). Price—$1 per share. Underwriter—Ster^
ling Graham Co., Pittsburgh. Purchase of products, etc. B
March 8 (letter of

being sold by American Light & Traction Co. in

/accordance with SEC divestment order.
•

,

Detroit Edison

t

Underwriters—

:

through competitive bidding.
Spencer Traski& Co. and

Kingston Products Corp., Kokomo, Ind.

include:

March 5 (letter of notification) 14,618 shares common

($1
par).
Underwriter—Alison & Co., Detroit. Proceeds
Rutland, Vt.
' ;■ ■; •
: •Empire Chemical Corp., Seattle, Wash.
B
to selling stockholders.
;Bv
:B*':B BB;.BB
:. T
March'30 filed $1,500,000 Series E first mortgage hoods
March 24 (letter of notification) 60,000 shares of common
B •
Kist Bottling Co., Los Angeles, Calif, B B . ;
'
and an unspecified number of shares (no par)
v^lue
voting capital stock. Price—$5 each. Business costs. < No
March 22 (letter of notification) 250,000 shares ($1 par)
common stock. ' Underwriters
Names to be furnished
underwriting.
common stock.
Price—$1 each.
For new buildings and
by amendment.
Proceeds—For a construction program
Esterbrook Pen Co., Camden, N. J. B;BBB/|:;f B/B
; facilities.B;;;•/''
and repair of flood damages.
BBB
; •
iBB"B
March 17 (letter of notification) 1,500 shares of common
Kool-Aid Bottling Co., Inc. of Calif., Sheboygan#v
4
stock
Clinton Industries, Inc., Clinton, ' Iowa
(par
$100).
Price—Par.
Underwriting—None.
;?W|sconsin .
' .
..
March 26 filed $7,000,000 15-year debentures, due 1963. ;; Offering—Stockholders of record April 7 will be given
the right to subscribe for one new share for each four /March 22 filed 1,500,000 shares ($1 par) common/stock.
Underwriters
Smith, Barney & Co., New York and
Underwriter—Heronymus & Co., Sheboygan, Wis. uPro¬
shares
held.
'Rights expire May 7 and subscriptions are
Newhard, Cook & Co., St. Louis, Mo.
Proceeds—To re¬
ceeds—To open and equip bottling plants in California
pay a $1,500,000 bank loan to J. P. Morgan & Co., Incor¬
payable at First; Camden National Bank & Trust Co.
cities.
Price—$1 per share.
/BB//B-;.B:
For
porated and purchase outstanding stock: of American
working capital. •
/,
B/B. • B'
•

'Mi^A

Central Vermont Public Service Corp.,

Coffin & Burr

(jointly); The First Boston Corp.

BBbB'/

,

,

—

—

.

J

Federal

Electric

Products

Co., Newark, N. J.

Feb. 27 filed

Corporate and Public Financing

150,000 shares ($1 par) common stock. Un¬
derwriting—To be filed by amendment. Proceeds—To
repay loans made by/the company and a subsidiary
Cole

Industries, Inc.
Florida

Power

March 2 filed
ferred

stock

.

•

<

■'[,

v

Corp.

:• ~

'

:

;"■/vB ;/

4Q,000 shares ($100 par) cumulative pre¬

and'

110,000 shares ($7.50 par) common
Underwriters—Kidder, Peabody & Co. and Mer¬
Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane.
Offering—Com¬
.

stock.

The

rill

FIRST BOSTON

for the

mon

Boston

>"

-

New York

.

Chicago and other cities


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
fe:
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
&>7.

new

penditures.

CORPORATION /'•

OL /'

J

stockholders

Flotiil

Pittsburgh
"

'

will

common

be

stock.

given the right to Subscribe
Proceeds—Construction

ex¬

-

Products, Inc., Stockton, Calif.

;

-

March 6 filed 385,D00 shares of 60 cent convertible pre¬
ferred stock (par $5) and 325,000 shares of common stock

(par $1).
Underwriter — Floyd D. Cerf Co., Chicago.
Price—preferred $10; common- $6. ; Proceeds — Stock¬

mm

4''"'

I
,tos
Bos'

!> '

THF.

Number 4686

167

Volume

COMMERCIAL & FINANCIAL CHRONICLE

Stuart &

Co..Inc.; Morgan Stanley & Co.; Harris, Hall &
Co, (Inc.) and Drexel & Co. (jointly). Stock will be of¬
fered stockholders of record March 24 at $100 per share
on a one-for-three basis.
Rights expire April 26/- Amer¬
ican Telephone & Telegraph Co. owns 73.35% of out¬
standing stock.
Proceeds—To repay advances from

NEW ISSUE CALENDAR
April 5,

1948
.Bonds

Dallas Power & Light

Co.—
Michigan Consolidated Gas Co.
11:00

Upson Co.

Telegraph Co. expected to amount
$41,000,000 March 31, 1948. Bids—Bids for pur¬
the bonds will be received
at Room 2315,
195 Broadway, ■ New York, tip to 11:30 a.m.
(EST) on
April 6.

.—Preferred

Oklahoma Gas & Electric Co.——

Common

—

——

April 6, .1948

(EST).—

.Preferred

due

-Preferred

Common

—

..Bonds

Southern Counties Gas Co. of Calif..

Virginia Electric & Power Co

...

Debentures

loans

April 7,
Chesapeake & Ohio Ry.
Noon (CST)__...—

•

1948

April 19,

•

share

bonus.

as

toward
chase

1948

due

•

Debentures

•

Superior District Power Co., Ashland, Wis.
52,800 shares of 5% convertible second

-

30 filed

preferred stock, cumulative ($20 par).
common

for each

2V2

program.

stockholders

shares

J-

,

w

Offering—To be

the

rate

of

one

new

Proceeds—Construction

N. Y.

Inc.,

Inc., New York
March 24 (letter of notification) 200 shares of capital
stock (par $1). Price—$6 per share. Underwriter—Delafield & Delafield, New York. Proceeds to selling stock¬
holders.
;

•

M

ern

•

Maryland Credit Finance

March

22

t(letter

cumulative

of

preferred

Corp.,

notification)
stock

Easton,

2,900

,

'• .*

-

Michigan Consolidated Gas Co. (4/5) ►
Feb. 26 filed $7,000,000 first mortgage bonds, due 1969.
Underwriters—To be determined by competitive bidding.
Probable bidders, Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Lehman
Brothers; Dillon, Read & Co. Inc.; Glore, Forgan & Co.;
(White, Weld & Co.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.). Proceeds
—Construction program. Bids—Bids for the purchase of
the bonds will be received at company's office, 415 Clif¬

ford Street, Detroit, up to 11

a.m.

(EST) April 5.

,

•

Montgomery (Edwin Jones), Tucson,>Ariz.
March 22 (letter of notification) $300,000 of personal
notes, bearing 6% compound interest. To refinance cur¬
rent business and personal indebtedness.

ing.!
•

^

No underwrit¬
'

Moore-Handley Hardware Co., Birmingham, Ala.

of

one

•

''/ v

Mountain States Telep. & Teleg. Co. (4/6)
March 5 filed $25,000,000 30-year debentures, due April
1, 1978, and 191,881 shares of capital stock ($100 par).
,

Underwriting—Underwriters for bonds to be determined,
through competitive bidding. Probable bidders: Halsey,




not

to

selling

.

into

two-thirds of

ital.

No

a

share.

common

underwriting.

/ /

For

working

cap¬
■

.

Segal Lock & Hardware Co., Inc., New York
March 24 filed $2,000,000 15-year 6% convertible sink¬
ing fund debentures, due 1963. Underwriter—Floyd D.
Cerf Co., Inc.
Price by amendment. Offering—To be
offered initially to stockholders on basis of one
$100

V.

debenture for each

30

Caster

&

Truck Corp.,

Albion, Mich.

fjled 80,000 shares of

-77:;:7v ■;77 / • 7,77/;.; 777777:,7f l

/7/'7#'

Pecos Potash

stock for
Co.
•

No

a

35,374

shares

(no par)

Fla.
stock.

common

/ Underwriters—Morgan Stanley & Co. and Coggeshall &
Hicks, New York, and G. H. Walker & Co., Providence,
R. I.
Offering—Stock to be offered present holders at
the rate of one for five/ Price by amendment. Proceeds
—General corporate purposes..
) Z-,..•

/

Personal

Book

Mass.

Boston,

Shop,

•

March 24 (letter of notification) 930 shares of preferred
stock.

-

.

will

be

to

used

/ v

;;

.

pay

.

.

■

Pacific

Reno, Nev.
t
$3,500,000 first mortgage bonds, due 197$.
be determined by
competitive bid¬
ding. Probable bidders include: Halsey, Stuart & Co.
Inc.; Blyth & Co., Inc; Proceeds—Construction costs
Power

Co.,

-

Underwriters—To

and the payment of
$650,000 to National Shawmut Bank
of Boston for construction notes.
:

■

;

Silver Bell

Mines

Co., Denver

Feb. 26 filed 125,000 shares ($1 par) capital stock. Price
—$2.50 each.
Offering—To be made to present stock- *
holders.on a pro rata basis during first 10
days of sale.*
Proceeds — Exploration work,
working capital and in¬
debtedness.
/
..
•/.'•'■'

Solvay American Corp.,

New

York

(4/13-21)'

March 19 filed 200,000 shares ($100 par) cumulative
pre¬
ferred stock.
Price by amendment.
Underwriters—
Lazard Freres &
York.

Co., and Harriman Ripley & Co., New

Proceeds—To

&uy 297,897 shares of Class A stock
Wyandotte Chemicals Corp. at $42.80 each, and for
general funds.
'

u

of

^

South Carolina
ible

Telephone Co., Tampa,

filed

debentures,
/ i

Electric

>'•/

&

.•*

Gas

,

Co.

Dec. 2 filed 80,858 shares ($50 par) cumulative convert¬

underwriting.

26

subordinated

Sierra

like amount of the stock of Southern Potash

Peninsular

March

6%

March 26 filed

construction program.,;

18

Offered by three officers and

Price—$100 each.

preferred and

404,293 shares ($4.50 par) common
and 687,293 shares reserved for conversion of
preferred. Underwriter—Kidder, Peabody & Cq., New /
York. Offering—Shares initially will be offered for sub¬
scription by company's common stockholders, the pre¬
for sale,

ferred

on

basis.

a

l-for-10 basis and the

Unsubscribed

shares

will

common

be

on

a

l-for-2

offered

publicly.
Price by amendment. Proceeds—Proceeds together with
other funds will be used to purchase all of the outstand¬
ing common of South Carolina Power Co. from the
Commonwealth & Southern Corp.

directors, Bushrod H. Campbell, John C. Campbell, and
Adah F. Hall.
•

/Powers

No

underwriting.

Southern California Gas Co.

(5/4)
$15,000,000 3^4% first mortgage bonds, :
Underwriters—Names by competitive bidding.
Probable bidders:
Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.; Blyth &
Co.,Inc.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.); Merrill Lynch, Pierce,
Fenner & Beane.
Proceeds—To reimburse treasury for
expenditures made to expand properties.
Expected ;'
around May 4/
^
,i
:

>

.

March

&

Oil

Drilling, Inc., Casper, Wyo.
March 23 (letter of notification) 200,000 shares (250 par)
common stock.
Underwriter
John G. Perry & Co.,
Denver, Colo. For a drilling program.
•

/Public

March

26

Relations,
(letter

of

cumulative

preferred stock

of

stock

common

Public

New York

Inc.,

notification)

(par $1).

/7\
of

New

shares

($10

Co.

of

6%

(par $10) and 2,900 shares
Price—$31 per unit. :Corpo¬

f

Service

^

shares

8,700

v/

-77: ■,</,.

Hampshire
/
par) common stock.
Underwriters—Kidder, Peabody & Co., and Blyth & Co.,
Inc., New York.
Offering—Offered present holders
at rate of one share for each 3x/2 shares held. New Eng¬
6

filed

199,627

land Public Service Co. will waive its

rights to subscribe
purchased by the under¬
Proceeds—Construction
program and retire short-term loans,
t.
Price by amendment.

v

Public
March

3

..

Service Co. o# New Mexico

filed

339,639

shares

common

Southern

.

Counties

Gas

Co.

of Calif.

(par $7).

4

Probable

bidders: Blyth & Co., Inc.; Halsey,
Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp. and Harris,
Hall & Co. (Inc.)
(jointly); W. C. Langley & Co. and /
Glore, Forgan & Co. (jointly); White, Weld & Co.
Pro¬
ceeds—To reimburse treasury for capital expenditures,
including construction costs.
Bids—Bids for purchase
of the bonds vrill be received

934—810
to

8:30

by the company at Rooi
Los Angeles, Calif., up
April 6.

South Flower Street,

a.m.

(PST)

on

(4/6)

stock

(4/6)

Feb. 26 filed $7,000,000 3^4% first mortgage bonds, due
1978.
Underwriting—To be determined by competitive

bidding.

to 141,101 shares which will be

writer.

16 filed

due 1978.

—

Feb.

.

a

Painter Mabelle Gold

Lemon & Co., Washington, D. C.
Price by amendment.,
Proceeds—Shares are being sold by Equitable Securities

(■

one

program for company and subsidiaries, South¬
California Gas Co. and Southern, Counties Gas Co.

rate purposes.

Nashville,, Tenn.; Union Securities Corp., New
Tri-Continental Corp. and Selected Industries
Business—Hardware.
* v\/

to

Securities, Inc., Toledo, Ohio
22 (letter of
notification) 30,000 shares of 5%
stock ($10 par) cumulative and convertible

•

To be made to holders of common stock at
new share
for each five held.
Proceeds—

Mar. 29 filed 350,000 shares ($1 par) common stock. Un¬
derwriters—Paul H. Davis & Co., Chicago and Johnston,

Corp.,
York;
Corp.

•

pany.

stock of record Feb. 27
share for each 10 held. Rights expire

Co., Denver
(letter of notification) 20,000 shares of common
($1 par).
Price—$5 each, and .39,055 shares ($1
par) common capital stock to be sold by William Arthur
Snyder, Denver. Mr. Snyder is offering to exchange this

|"

,

Proceeds

Boston
March 16 filed 500,000 shares of
capital

common

stock

($100 par)

;

^

Shareholders'; Trust of

Electric, San Francisco ~ *
shares ($25 par) common stock-

outstanding

—

of caiif.

•

Md.

Price at market.

off indebtedness.

Offering—To be offered at par to

March 24

•

'

and

velopment work at Palmer, Alaska.

stock to be of¬
fered to stockholders at $100 each and to the public at
$102.50. For working capital. No underwriting.

derwriting.

Gas

Mines, Inc., Seattle, Wash.
(letter of notification) $25,000 of production
notes, at $1 each, and $2,500 of stock, at one cent each.
Underwriting—Frank Joseph Speckert, Seattle. For de¬

shares of 6%

Mica Mountain Mines, Inc., Salt Lake City. Utah
March 26 (letter of notification) 1,539,780 shares of common stock.
Price—50 each.
For mining costs.
No un¬

$25,000 of debentures
stock ($100 par).

26 filed

March

»

;,/

common stock (par $1).
Underwriters—'Names to be filed by amendment. Price
—$7.
Proceeds—Proceeds together with funds from
private sale of $600,000 of 4%%. debentures and $250,000

Expansion

jpay indebtedness, and add to general corporate funds.

$100,000.

Service

Pacific

rate

Working Co., Portland, Ore.
March 26 filed 293,076 shares ($5 par) capital stock.'
Underwriter—Kidder, Peabody & Co., New York. Price
by amendment. Proceeds—To purchase 75% of the stock
of F» Richardson Co., holder of timberlands in Oregon,

.

stockholder.-Underwriting—None.

Jan.

purposes.

common

Proceeds—To finance

Offering

Wood

Business—Manufacture of plywood doors, wood pipe and
lumber.

business

Lighting Corp., San Francisco, Calif.
321,726 shares (no par) common stock.,,
Underwriter—Blyth & Co., Inc., New York. Price—$40.

>

/,/

stock (par $1). '
Underwriter—Harriman Ripley & Co., Inc. Price—Net
proceeds to the trust will.be $20 per share. Business—
A newly-formed diversified
open-end investment com¬

March

■

.,/

working capital at Danville and Kewanee, 111., stores. No
underwriting.

April 9.

:'■■■'77/7'77; /:*://7/7//'77777;

and

of

.

Products

Corp., New York
(letter of notification) common* stock

26

exceed

.

.

Food

of

at the rate of

*

M

shares

March

notification) 400 shares (par $5)
1,600 shares (par $5) class B stock.;
share.
Underwriting—None.
Purchase ^

to be sold to L. L. Skaggs, a director, and
the stock to stockholders at par. To finance the purchase
of a drug store at Marshalltown, Iowa, and for additional

holders of

stock

Longchamps,

•

731

Sardik

Inc., Brooklyn

of

and

100 shares held.
Proceeds—For re¬
payment of two notes and general corporate purposes. -/•.

are

29 filed 686,953
Underwriting—none.

(letter of notification) 327,630 shares of com¬
(par 500). Underwriter—Willis E. Burnside
'& Co., New York. Price—50 cents per share. Offering—
Holders of common stock (par $1) given right to sub¬
scribe at par for .new stock in ratio of two shares (par
50b) for each $1 par share held.
Rights expire April 12.
Pay outstanding claims, etc.', working capital.
•

Proceeds—General

Jan.

(4/13)

March 16
mon

C.

and

Pacific

Airways,

■

Co., Greenville, N. C.

Drug, Inc., Chicago
(letter of notification)

22

1967

.

f

American

Latin

held.

now

at

Osco

March

.

'• Z''"'1

./'

100,000 shares of capital stock ($5 par).
each. ,' Underwriter—First Securities Corp.,

Price—$15
Durham, N.

(letter

stock

•

15 filed

(letter of notification) 3,500 shares common
stock.
Price—$10 each.
To finance and build..small
houses.
No underwriting.
'
" ■
"

.offered

'-V///

26

A

March

11 Broad Street, New York, post¬

'v";'v

...

preferred

construction program.
Bids—Bids for the pur¬
the stock scheduled for March 30 at office of

Old North State Insurance

25

Lake

'

preferred stock,

of

poned to April 5.
..—Bonds

Wash.

underwriters/

Price—$5 per
equipment, etc.

one

Corp.; Harriman, Ripley & Co.; Lehman Brothers and
Blyth & Co., Inc. (jointly). Proceeds—To be applied

Laguna Investments, Inc., Laguna Beach, Calif.

March

(4/5)

Inc., Seattle,

Cecilia Opera Co.,

March

($100 par). Underwriters—To be determined under com¬
petitive bidding. Probable bidders: The First Boston

—..Bonds

St.

•

Co.

.

milling equip¬

No

class

stock.

March

March

York

New

25,000 shares; remaining shares are not
To pay for the purchase of stock in the

Rotary Mills,

ment.

Newelkhorn

Chase National Bank,

•

•

Underwriting—None. Liquidate

Electric

offer

March 23 (letter of
notification) 1,000,000 shares common
stock (par 10).
Price— 100 each.
For

•

preferred share with

per

will

Innes Shoe Co.

•

^

Oklahoma Gas &

—Debentures

Southern California Gas Co.—.....

Co.

program.

Feb. 20 filed 65,000 shares of cumulative

May 3, 1948
Michigan Power Co.—.
May 4,

Inc.,

(The), Fresno, Calif.
(letter of notification) 75,000 shares (no par)
stock.
Price—$4 each. Underwriter—Loewi &

underwritten.

Queen, Inc., Elkhorn, Mont.
(letter of notification) 400,000 shares of com¬
Price—50 each.
To develop a mine.
No
underwriting.
' Z' 77 '//.

1948

Consolidated Natural Gas Co

Price—$10Q

common.

mon

1948

April 20,

Sportsman,

Reliable

common

com¬

include:

March 24

Gulf States Utilities Co........—Bonds

Wisconsin

bidders

construction

a

bank loan, etc.

April 13, 1948
Latin American Airways, Inc.—„—.C— Common
Solvay American Corp.......
..Preferred

-

continue

National

common

,

£

and

par)

Crampton Manufacturing Co
Bonds
Georgia Hardwood Lumber Co....Pref. & Common
Texas Power & Light Co.
..—Bonds and Debs.

•77

be determined under

Probable

March 29 (letter of notification) 3,000 shares of $5 cumu¬
lative preferred stock (par $100) and 3,000 shares (no

.Equip. Trust Ctfs.

April 12,

:

Underwriter—To

bidding.

1948

Bangor & Aroostook RR._———Equip. Trust Ctfs.
V

•

March 25

Halsey,
Stuart & Co. Inc.; The First Boston Corp.;
Kidder, Peabody & Co. and Stone & Webster Securities Corp. (joint¬
ly): White, Weld & Co.; Lehman Brothers and Goldman
Sachs & Co. (jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc. and Harriman
Ripley & Co. (jointly).
Proceeds—To reduce short term

.—Debentures

—

(EST)—,v

a.m.

1978.

petitive

Public Service Co. of New Mexico
11:00

Room

Narragansett Electric Co., Providence, R. I.
March 30 filed $10,000,000 Series B first mortgage bonds,

Mountain States Tel. & Tel. Co.
a.m.

Co., at
1600, 70 Pine St., New York 5, N. Y., before 11 a.m.
(EST).
' •f

of

•

Associated Telephone Co.^ Ltd.—
Colonial Stores, Inc.___——
11:30

Underwriters—Names to be determined through compet¬

bidding.e Probable bidders: Blyth & Co.,
Inc.; The
First Boston Corp.; Harriman
Ripley & Co.; Glore ForgarY
& Co. Proceeds—Cities Service Co. is
selling the stock.
Bids—Cities Service Co. is inviting
sealed, written bids <
for the purchase from it of
339,639 shares of common
stock (par $7) of Public Service Co. of
New Mexico.
Such bids are to be presented to
Cities Service

to about

chase

45

•

itive

American Telephone &

——Bonds

(EST)

a.m.

(1461)

(Continued

on page

46)

' C<

46

(1462)

THE COMMERCIAL
(Continued* from page 45)

*

stock, to be reserved for conversion of preferred.
Underwriters—Equitable
Securities
Corp.,
Nashville,
Tenn., and Clement A. Evans & Co., Inc., Atlanta, Ga.

common

Proceeds—Corporate

•

Steak 'n Shake,

Upson Co.,. Lockport, N. Y. (4/5)
(letter of notification) 4,500 shares of common
stock (par $10).
Price—Market (approximately $14.50
per share). Underwriter—Hamlin & Lunt, Buffalo. Pro¬
ceeds to selling
stockholder...
f'-s

Inc., Bloomington, III.

Feb. 2 filed 40,000 shares of 50c cumulative

preferred

stock,

sold and the remainder reserved for conversion.

Co., St. Louis, Mo.

Under¬

Suburban

at 100.99 and interest.

Development Corp., Shreveport, La.
(letter of notification) 170 shares of partici¬
pating preferred stock. Price—$100 each. Working capi¬

•

Service,

Inc.,

Ontario, Calif.

March 22 filed $500,000

12-year 6% series sinking fund
debentures, due March 1, 1960, with purchase warrants;
attached for the purchase of 50 shares of common stock
($1 par).
Underwriters—Lester & Co. and Wagenseller
& Durst, Inc., Los Angeles. ' Proceeds—To
purchase
California Butane Co.
Business—Utility.
•

Sylvan Seal

Milk,

•

•

.

(4/12)

March 8 filed

$7,000,000 sinking fund debentures, due
1973, and $2,000,000 of first mortgage bonds, due 1978.
Underwriting—To be determined through competitive

construction program.
•

•

Refining Corp.,

T;'/?*

filed

19

850,000 shares ($1 par) common stock.
Underwriter—Distribution by company,

Price—$1 each'.

one new

Ultrasonic

Corp.,

Cambridge, Mass.

capital.
•

(letter of notification) 10,000 shares ($5 par)
stock, Price—$20 each. For general working
No underwriting.

-

Rayon Corp;, New York City
9,950 shares (no par) common stock.
Price—$1,000 each. Each share is to be accompanied by
a "production warrant"
permitting the holder to buy a

Toward Easing

22

American
enable

assistance

those

in

order

to

European countries

with

an intra-European
payments
deficit to pay dollars to the na¬
tions with an intra-European pay¬

ments

r

surplus. In this way, the
latter group would be able to earn
dollars needed for purchases in
the Western Hemisphere.
However, the National

Council

ory

the U.

not

S.

favor

for

pensation

implement the

Americans

pro¬

posed

vised
any

Congress

Marshall

to defer until

consideration

a

of

recom¬

Plan

ad¬

later date
loans

for

monetary stabilization.
The/ European
nations,

then,
put on notice to rely first
their own resources in at¬

were

upon

tempting to relax intra-European

to

exchange
them

all

are

so

kinds

trade

restrictions
refuse,

even

that
to

fill the needs of
culiar situations.
»
may

Agreements met first
and
•* *■

subsequently

1 Committee

•

in

in

London

Paris.

of

It

European
Economic
General Report Appendix
Report of Financial Experts, Chapter
II: Inter-European Payments
Agreements.

Co-operation,

E:




most

consider

..

some

pe¬

..

those

economic

conditions

conditions

as

and

long

as

prevail.

They
will not be discarded
merely as a
result of resolutions adopted
by
international conferences organ¬
ized

under

the

auspices

United Nations.
Thus
American

of

the

agreements,

abandonment

standard

and

moratorium

the

of

and

increasing authorized

,

Works

1.

♦

gold

Hoover

debt

threatened

weaker

loss

of

tinue

i

business

assurance

of

some

countries

vital

with

imports.

relations

to

con¬

without

of

payment in freely
exchangeable funds rather than in
inconvertible" currency of coun¬
of gold and hard

curren-

cies.
Those

countries

then

proposed

to apply the proceeds of their

ports

as

porters.

security

Foreign

exr

to foreign ex¬
buyers of their

products would not pay in the ac¬
customed way of settling direct

whenever the buyer in the other

country would have deposited an
appropriate sum. in inconvertible
currency

bank.
no

As

actual

one

with

his

own

result; there would be
transfer of funds from

currencies only.

~

Pacific Finance
Corp.. of Calif. *
The stockholders on March
16 authorized
the capital stock
by the creation of

time

'

,

!

new

'*'

*

avoid

use

payments,

efforts

^

able

free

were

at

a

Central

with

under

frozen

sound

a

pressure

claims

quire
ties

of

their

goods

consid-

was

banks

of

to

,

;

,

•

1

M

;"

strict

limitations

to be imposed upon the size
outstanding bilateral clearing
balances; overdrafts had '• to be

of

gold

,

or

compensations

individual
m

subject

those

unlimited

goods

to

quantiincrease.

~

.

importers

to

German

Government

the

owners

suffered

;

/

"

large-scale buyers have been hard :
by the /reluctance of foreign '
producers of foodstuffs and raw
/
materials to accept payment in im- V
-

convertible sterling.
Finally, ; bilateralism

come

an

important

nomic

planning

Those

governments

-

has : be-

tool

and

of

eco-

regulations.
that

wish

to
continue wartime regulations and

and 5

resfrictions

in

,

// f

heavy 1

be-

,

negotiations

the

losses.! These sad
experiences are " '
still very much alive. The British : '*V;
who
reiied on their power1 of :

|*

hard currency,
addition, permission had to be

rates

;

ac¬

hit

had

for

vitually

to

willing to sell for export...In
end, foreign mark accounts
increased by leaps and bounds
and

prepay
:

in

4"
*

the

currency

|

Eventually,

heavy !

Nazis .were„eager

of

;f

.

war-reserve stocks.
They
mark balances available ';
for the purchase of those German r

exporters

;

suffered

and

' paid in

working: capital was increasingly immobilized. They had
to give way in
spite of the obviously inflationary effects of such

po.licy.

foodstuffs

.

acquire

whose

a

of

materials

The

able to avoid

would

market

discount.-

countries

-

mechanism with its (their

which they

the

on

policy-.

losses; and wore willing to sell
almost ■; at any price.. to
acquire
exchange for the imports of essential finished goods.

artificial exchange rates and
pay
direct to the seller in his own cur¬
rency

.

turned the emerge
into
a
powerful*

producers

raw

deposited by importers.
were

>

During the depression of the 'thirj

ties

country exporters had to wait for
long time until sufficient funds

clearing

;

Schacht's*;

of / commercial

weapon

to-

of the

For these often

V

.

'

a

the Nazi and Dr.

scheme

ency

a

the

was

ingenuity who

,

been

as

.

Barge balances of over-valued
currencies tended to pile up with
one central bank while in the other

had

official

Weapon of
Economic Policy
/ '

,

It

clearing in spite
of threatening- stiff penalties.
i;

of

■v.;

payments, need to provide for

non-trade

regardless

Bilateralism

on,! a multiplicity of
troubles
developed. Among the
major sources were artificial' ex¬
change rates, differences in terms
of

case

unrealistic quotations.

went

tween

,

J

increase in.

an

300,000 shares of

each

ising in theory; at any rate it led
resumption of trade though on
restricted ;scale.
However, as

-J;
exporters with^^flexible
exchange

would deal in their domestic

/

«

Corp.

*

•

to

granted

country to the other; all part¬

above).

a

In

a

-

instructed to dispose of stock
American
Bemberg

(see

preferred stock (par $25).

settled

central

Alien Property Custodian

Co.;

*

■m

Brit¬

the

Foreign suppliers refused

ners

business!

on

to 500,000 shares,

North American Rayon- Corp.

The scheme looked very prom¬

/and

However, bilateraiism has de¬ with the seller but would deposit
veloped into a powerful force. It the purchase price with their do¬
has created strong vested interests mestic central
bank.
Funds thus
both
ideological and
material. accumulated
would -be
used
to
Some of its principal features are satisfy claims of
exporters who
bound to stay for quite a while. would'be
paid by the central bank
They are the outgrowth of spe>- in their o\yn convertible currency

they will be continued
Payments

methods

■

plans.
on

op¬

and

possibility that those schemes

cific

Committee

ain's

reserves

strongly
of

payments
restrictions
and
to
shelve temporarily their broader
A

the

tries which had lost most of their

Arrangements

the

the

cooperation rather than out¬

Signifcance of Bilateral

of

mending

Plan

right American assistance.
This
gives it an importance far beyond

group

to

standstill'

man

complete

Marshall

vote

30'stockholders voted to increase
by 500,000 the

lit
^held by government

-.W.

and

emergency situation. The
financial crisis of the
early thir¬
ties which culminated in the
Ger¬

the financial field
through Euro¬
pean

Co.

A.ti

an

Europe's

posals, and thus the President in
to

was

Advis¬

ambitious

attention

i&

his

message

which

Com¬
signed on

the Benelux countries. This
agree¬
ment is the first positive
step to

International
Financial
Pay¬

those

Agreement

an

Monetary

18, 1947 by France, Italy and

on

Administration, did

&

1

financial leaders with:interests in
foreign countries will have to give

of

Multilateral

Nov.

4m

practices of bilateralism—whether
they like them or not.
Bilateralism first developed out

draft of

a

filed

Hemphill, Noyes &
The First Boston
Corp.; Dillon, Read & Co. Inc.

the limited scope of its
provisions.

Monetary
and
ments, the policy-making
of

prepared

Mathieson Alkali

_

(jointly); Drexel

European

Exploration Corp.

The holders voted also to change the name of the comPany to Mathieson Chemical Co. There are no current •
Pla.ns to issue any additional stock. Traditional under-r;
writer: Hayden, Stone & Co.
£&*

ex-

$12

1«1

(Continued from page 15)
Benelux countries
(Belgium,
Netherlands, Luxemburg).! This
scheme provided for considerable

Rights will

"

:

,

1 Q7ft

filed

the

subscript
in ratio of /

24

Oil

*

number of shares of authorized common stock and to reduce preferred shares to the number now outstanding."

(par $10).

for

Michigan Power Co. (5/3)
$14,000,000 first mortgage" bonds, due!
TTnllAf«icr
1978.
Underwriters—Names to Lm
be determined
through
competitive bidding.
Probable bidders; Halsey, Stuart
& Co.
Inc.; Lehman Brothers and Goldman, Sachs & Co.
March

Maracaibo

•

Wisconsin

United

March" 29

Prire

24

capital stock from 400,000

companies.

March 22
common

of record March
share for each eight shares
held.

Telephone Co.

Ma«Y 3 stockholders wilt

March

Offering—Offered

■"

Bell

competitive bidding:
Probable bidders:
Morgan Stanley & Co.; Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc.

per share.
Proceeds—Plant
additions and purchase of securities
and assets of other

Proceeds—To build and equip
machinery.
•

v

-

32,937 shares of common stock

nirp Anrii"VfT

Illinois

series "B" and 389,995
shares of capital stock (par $100):
Stock will be offered to
stockholders of record June 2 in-,
ratio of one new share for each five
held. Bonds will be !
sold through

Fund, Inc.

Underwriters—None.
tion by stockholders

f

directors approved
financing program con- 3
templating issuance of $60,000,000 first mortgage
bonds, 7

\f

25 filed

Cj'/

'(jointly).-

•

March

Abilene, Texas

investment.

Feb.

South

Co.

22 filed' 50,000 shares of
capital stock (par $1).
Underwriter—Broad Street Sales Corp. 'Proceeds—For

,

of

(jointly); Mor-1 !
Stanley & Co.; White, Weld & Co. and
Shields, &

•

Wilson-Jones Co.

Expected about April 12.

sale

Consumers- Power

gan

March

Milwaukee, Wis.
March

Whitehall

:

!"!• T\.

groups being formed to bid on some
$20,000,000 preferred stock. Probable bidders:
Harriman
Ripley & Co. and"The First Boston Corp.

Business—Utility.

West Texas Utilities
Corp.,

the

March 25 rumored

March 24 (letter of
notification) 1,983 shares $6 cumula¬
tive preferred stock (m
par). Price—$113. For general
funds.
No underwriting.

bidding. Probable bidders: The First Boston Corp., Hal-;
sey, Stuart & Co. Inc., Blyth & Co., Inc., Smith,
Barney *:
& Co. and Kidder, Peabody & Co.
(jointly); Hemphill,
Noyes & Co. and Drexel & Co. (jointly); W. C. Langley
& Co., and Glore, Forgan & Co/
(jointly); White, Weld
& Co.; Harriman Ripley & Co., and F. S.
Moseley & Co.
(jointly); Lehman Brothers. Proceeds—For construction

f

'

»

be

!;/•

\

Co., Abilene, Texas

Corp.; Harriman Ripley & Co., and Blyth &
Co.,. Inc.!
(jointly); Halsey, Stuart & Co. Inc. (bonds only); Leh¬
man Brothers; W. C.
Langley & Co.; Kidder, Peabody &
Co.; Stone & Webster Securities Corp; Proceeds—For a

,

OiJ

Utilities

v -V

April 7] ?
$5,500,000 equipment trust certificates,
dated April 15, 1948 and due
annually April 15, j
1949-1958.
Probable bidders include:
Halsey, Stuart & i
Co. Inc.; The First Boston
Corp.; Salomon Bros. & Hutz-1
;
lierf Hhrriman Ripley & Co., Inc. and Lehman Bros.
]
(jointly); Blyth & Co., Inc.; Harris, Hall & Co. (Inc.).;
for

to

Lines, Inc., San Francisco,. Calif.

West Texas

'

Chesapeake & Ohio Ry. (4/7); •
Company will receive bids up to noon (CST)

March 29 filed $5,000,000 Series B first
mortgage bonds,"
due 1978.
Underwriter—To be determined by
competi-i
tive bidding.
Probable bidders include The First Boston

Inc., Philadelphia
;;?S
notification) 2,000 shares of common !
Prices—$8 per share.
Underwriter—

Trans-Marine

Western Air

RR.

from Oct. 15, 1948, to
April 15, 1958.

;

24

Bangor & Aroostook

(4/12)
|
company has issued invitations for. bids to be
re-\
ceived April 12 for the purchase of
$700,000 equipment j
trust certificates. The
certificates will be dated April 15,:
1948, and are to mature in 20 semi-annual instalments!

;

New York

-

the/

stock
(no par).
Penington, Colket & Co., Philadelphia. Proceeds to sell¬
ing stockholders.
^
:

purposes.

.

•

The

March 24 (letter of
notification) 12,500 shares of capital
stock.
To be sold by William A. Coulter at
about $8.;
No underwriting. '
<

March 24 (letter of

Texas Power & Light Co.

Oil Corp.,

and North American Rayon
Corp.f
Kuhn, Loeb & Co.; Lehman Brothers,
\
Glore,"Forgan & Co. (jointly).
J

and

(letter of notification) 10,000 shares of com¬
mon stock (par $1).
Prices—$1,50 per share: Underwrit¬
ing—None. Pay expense of incorporation and to
acquire
interest in oil properties in Arkansas.
,://•

•

Gas

Verla

March

No under¬

writing.

ican Bemberg Corp.

,

March 25

of

Probable bidders:

Rights expire April 5. Price—Par.
Proceeds—For construction
expenditures, etc;. Issue of
$10,000,000 3% 1st and ref. bonds, series F, due 1978,
offered March 17 by
White, Weld & Co and associates

preferred stock and $2.50 for the common. This stock
being offered by stockholders who are members of

tal for construction and real estate business.

Office

Bemberg Corp.
>
-T—'
Attorney General TOm C. Clark instructed
the?
Alien Property to undertake
immediately all!

necessary steps for expeditious sale of
controlling stock
interest held by the U. S. Government in
both the Amer¬

for each 25 shares held.

is

Suburban

/

American

March 25

holders of record March 15 at rate of
$100 of debentures;

Price—$8 for the

the Belt family.
•

Expected!

Prospective Offerings

•

Virginia Electric & Power Co. (4/6)
Feb. 17 filed $11,753,800 convertible debentures due
1963.;
Underwriter—Stone & Webster Securities
Corp;, Boston.!
Offering—Offered for subscription by common stock-;

convertible

($1

par)
and
160,000
shares (50c par) common stock, of which 40,000 will be
&

May 3.

f

•

March 26

maceutical division and for general corporate purposes.

writer—White

and'i

Marshall & Ilsley Bank
$200,000 in bank loans.
abc-ut

Sheetwood

.

(letter of notincation)

convertible

participating

redeem-

$12,500,GOO of 33A% of first mortgage bonds at
102V4%
the Central HanOver Bank & Trust Co.

and to repay

March 17

30,000 shares 5% cumu¬
preferred stock, ($10 par).
Price—
$10 each.
Underwriters—White, Noble & Co., Detroit,
and Clair S. Hall & Co., Cincinnati. To operate phar¬
lative

States

together with
$1,000,000 from bank'
loans and $1,GOO,000 from the sale of
common stock to
Wisconsin Electric Power Co., will be
used to

common

Sperti Foods, Inc., Hoboken, N. i.
Feb. 20

United

Thursday, April 1, 1948

ceeds—Proceeds

Co.f Seattle, Wash..
(letter of notification) 300,000 shares ($1 par)
capital stock.
Price—par.
For industrial and
chemical research work to improve
manufacturing.
^

and

purposes

FINANCIAL- CHRONICLE

proportionate share of the company's output.
Under¬
writing—None;' Proceeds—To provide, capital' for the
purchase and operation of a plant with- an annual pro¬
ductive capacity of 4,000,000 pounds of viscose filament
rayon and 85000,000 pounds of viscose stafple fiber.
Busi¬
ness—Rayon manufacturing.

Southern' States Iron Roofing Co., Savannah, 6a.

March 23 filed 40,000 shares: of 5% cumulative convert¬
ible preferred stock ($25 par) and< 80,000 shares ($1 par)

Price by amendment.
debt
payment.

&

as a matter

ofjpollti*

cal pnciple have- found that bi~
lateralism
schemes

fits
of

well-

into

their

controlled" economy

)

,

Volume 167"

and

Number 4686

THE COMMERCIAL

teen

they are most reluctant to
such a useful and power¬

give

ful weapon.
These trends
in

ous

the

countries

policies

of individual

but

Conference

Employment
ments

Trade

on

and

favoring bilateralism

able to achieve their aims

The

were

of

nations

of

zones

be invited to those

well. The govern¬

as

sixteen

Germany.
The Paris agreement provides for
monthly
technical
meetings
of
delegates from the member coun¬
tries; other interested nations*may

they have
been
dominating discussions at the Ha¬
vana

the

of

three Western

not only obvi¬

are

out

participating in the European Re¬
covery Program as well as by the

up

Bank

for

Settlements

se¬

meetings.

'

International

acting

central

as

curing continuation of those poli¬
cies over strenuous opposition
by

agent will restrict itself to policy¬
making functions. It will analyze

the

the data and submit the proposals
for compensations. But all clerical

United

which

was

States

to promote

eager

peal

of

and

expansion

delegation
re¬

work involved in

CHRONICLE

at this, time,

this is a long-range
proposition and it is important to
have a working organization
available at any moment to step
in whenever the situation appears
to be favorable.

responsible quarters of its pecul¬
iar position and of the
special
services it may be qualified to
render in connection with the tre¬

multilateral

mendous job of European recon¬
struction^ This is in striking con¬
trast

Undoubtedly, trade restrictions

to the central banks of the respec¬
tive countries.
This will keep ex¬

restrictions

of

will

continue

cies

long

as

remain

as

inconvertible

at

penses

curren¬

and

a

utilized

for

needed

the

purchase

of

British

Position

and

short-run chances for

abolishing bilateralism

are slight
indeed; the only way to progress
points toward agreements to ex¬

tend
an

bilateralism

ever

eventual

Then

gradually

countries
full

balances

to

only

among a much

avoiding the

of gold

or

dol¬

most

international

upon

Mechanism of

out¬

Summer's

de¬

under

were

importance

of

the

multilateral compensation scheme
in the vast enterprise to bring

about

economic

unification

of

to

and they
system of

partners
to

resort

a

decisions

significant achievement.
der

But

un¬

conditions,
initial
have psychological im¬
portance far beyond their intrin¬
present

steps
sic

may

real

value.

The

great work
will have to start from a number
of
apparently
small endeavors.
There will be setbacks and diffi¬

culties.

But

eventually the hum¬

beginnings

may

into

merge

powerful stream and

may

a

lead to

2 See

of

the

the editorial in the Feb.
New

York

"Comebacks."

"Times":

-

purposes, has in¬
vited bankers to try it again next

Monday.
Bits

and

While the

Pieces

device

27

Two

issue

Notable

ri\

been

behaving satisfactorily, by
and large, it has not been a case
of
merely
opening subscription
books and
closing them in all
cases.

Dealers

report
recent

still

are

there

awareness

of

the

bulk

of

25-year

Likewise

in

the

Penn Power Co.'s
ferred

stock.

satisfactory,

bonds and

new

countered
both

which counts among its'members
almost all nations of Europe both
in the West and in the East.

ously, the predominant position of

titude

different
to

obligations

make

tive

adherence

to

make
field

with

unwilling
in

tained.
the

The.

five

/

On the

other

is

members

The

automatic

the

provision

For it will put at

of

never

anyone

respective partners. Now the staff
to

analyze

data

and

use

appropriate

and

position

evaluate

them

as

a

basis for

suggestions

leading
amendments,
improvements
and possible expansion of the ma¬
chinery.
/
number

of

meetings

on

the

technical level have been held at
the Bank's headquarters. Informa¬
tion has been submitted




by

been

Few bal¬

reported which

were

be suitable for compen¬
Some countries are cred¬

debtor under various condi¬

'

.

four-j

feels

wholehearted

that

it

facing a bit of a chore in the
task of marketing the issue judg¬
ing from reports in dealer circles.

has

the

cooperation of

the

participating in the Euro¬
Recovery Program including

those
not

position

to

indicate

an

that like Switzerland

have

joined officially but
important trade partners.
yet

stocks

may

ing

Europe,

its

staff
find possibilities for improv¬

payment

countries
Plan

over

arrangements

outside

the

with

Marshall

area as well, in the interest
expanding trade on the Euro¬
pean
continent.
Although
the
chances do not seem to be good

of

\

MORRELL

JOHN

en¬

A

for

demand

unknown

of

the

books

on

here.
case

the

terest

in

slated

for

be

the

The

of record

April 10,1948,

the books of the

on

pretty much of

NATIONAL DISTILLERS
PRODUCTS

paid
CORPORATION

a

here,

like

share,

The

Board

COLUMBIA
&

504 per

/

payable

May

on

•;'

March

1948

23,

will not close.

on

::rV:DALE PARKER
Secretary

ELEVATOR

America

Common Dividend No. 162

the

v\;

■■'/•/■'••Ail
420

Lexington Avenue, New York 17

Notice

Dividend
At

a

today,

a

price

of

on

the

record

at. 3:00

20,

of

stock

common

payable April

Corporation,

1948,

o'clock

to

old

B.

Dated March

29,

thr

p.m.,

Apri!

A

basis

salary
will

over-the-

and

be

liberal

offered

to

experienced
man
with
desirable
Complete facilities, statis¬
tical
departments,v etc.
Box K-41,
Financial
Chronicle, 25 Park Place,
contacts.

>;;-v

SITUATION WANTED

O.

BRAND,

Research

record
on

at

payable

stockholders

to

the close of busi¬

April 3, 1948.

Checks will be mailed.

C. A. Sanford, Treasurer
New

York, March 24,1948.

Secretary.

DIVIDEND

per

amounting to
$1.75 per share, on account of the
current quarterly dividend period
ending April 30, 1948, has been
declared payable April 15, 1948
on the outstanding preferred stock
of the Company to holders of pre¬

today the fol¬

share for the second

quarter of

1948 upon the $5
Preferred Stock, payable June
15, 1948 to stockholders of

record

at

—

Economist

manager
of large Canadian
investment
firm, age 36, seeking wider
opportunities. Twelve years experience in
security analysis, business surveys, econ¬
omic analysis, and management. Formerly
•

resident in United States.

Box

J 318, The

Commercial & Financial Chronicle, 25 Park

Place, New York 8, N. Y.

-

A dividend of 1 %%,

lowing dividends:
$1.25

^YMIymm
/CommntJNC.

NOTICE

the close of business

May 14, 1948.

ferred stock of record at the close

$1.00

share upon the
Common Stock, payable June
15, 1948 to stockholders of

of business

record

been

per

at

The

on

April 5, 1948.

A dividend of

the close of business

May 14, 1948.

Analyst

declared,

1948.

gootAeu
has declared

established

an

■:

been

ness

share en

value Common Stock

April 29, 1948,

stock¬

Checks' will be mailed.

1948.

WANTED

TRADER

N. Y. 8.

par

dividend of twenty-five cents per shave

a

declared

was

helc'

no

has

of

of the Board of Directors

meeting

The Board of Directors

commission

COMPANY

A dividend of 50c per

J

HELP

firm.

C

1948, to holders of
April 20, 1948.

15,

nu¬

participants
the conviction

that they could not bid

counter

Treasurer

March 25, 1948.

their

withdrawing

by

1

-

Vanadium Corporation

about when

found

May 1,

OTIS

12,

stock

on

April 9,1948. The transfer books

day

an

which had been formed

payable

1948, to stockholders of record on

Common Stock
No. 53, 15tf per share

■f

holders

bid for the

share on the outstanding

Common Stock,

ELECTRIC

record at close of business

Tuesday.
came

of Directors, has de¬

quarterly dividend of

a

THOS. A. CLARK
S

.

which had been scheduled for last

Wanted

shown

C«or(i A. Morrill, Vico Pras. I Trias.

Ottumwa, Iowa.

same

reoffering

as

a

of

as

Company.

stock for

bidders

$21.50

of

projected sale having de¬
cided to postpone the offering of
65,000 shares of new preferred

to

share

capital stock ftf

paid April. 30th, 1948, to stockhold¬

ers

following regular quarterly dividend:

the

the latest of prospective issuers to

merous

One-Half

John Morrell &Co. will

of the 100,-

new-preferred

quantity

This action

and

Cents (10.375) per

new

common

successful

Oklahoma Gas & Electric Co. is

groups

CO.

dividend of Thirty-

Seven

on

potential is¬
suers of that class of security are
becoming more and more aware.

forego

&

DIVIDEND NO. 75

•

held true in the

Still Snagged 7

for

still

of $5,000,000
bonds, also of

v

////

market

is

underwrite

DIVIDEND NOTICES

nothing to

was

ing place, of central bank leaders
all

30-year maturity.

a

are

Since the Bank is still the meet¬

from

first mortgage

Co.';

first
purchased
from the company as 3J/8% at a
price of 100.5311 and priced for
reoffering later, subject to SEC
clearance,
at 101 to yield the
buyer 3.07%.
;

/ "out-the-window"

Preferred

The

in

are

what is going

see

deal here.

'

nations
pean

the

on

stock

common

$4,500,000
of
mortgage bonds were

be

unavailable up to now.

tlements

took

The Board of Directors has declared this

no reason

The "Bank for International Set¬

those

to

A

to

i

beyond the officials Of the
a

were

were

the

been made available to

of the B.I.S. will be in

not

discouragement.
ing effects may be expected over
a period of time only
Once par¬
ticipating countries have made
appropriate adjustments of their
trade - policies
which take
into
consideration the possibilities of
multilateral compensation which

the disposal of an impartial and
experienced organization a wealth
of information which up to now
has

have

for
More far-reach¬

This is probably the

most, important

to be expected,

tions,
i
However, there is

well
as
the
monthly
arising / under
those

agreements.

ances

found

and

agree¬

Paris covenant.

results

com¬

sale

the

for

tered

re¬

Power

The

who

acquired
Ohip
Power
Co.'s $40,000,000
of new
first mortgage, 30-year bonds, at
competitive bidding appeared to

has

that each partner is both creditor

no

agent with information
regarding terms and functioning
as

was

■

everywhere, others are debt¬
ors
throughout. Sound function¬
ing of the scheme presupposes

,

balances

B.I.S,

the

itors

nish the

ments

initial

sation.

of

occasional

bilateral

and

particularly significant.

However, all members will fur¬

several

year

pensations. As

agent's suggestions; they merely
to give them due considera¬
tion.
/
-

their

became

agreement

to

Narragansett Electric Co. plans
offer $10,000,000 of new first
mortgage 30-year bonds, and has
filed covering registration, while
West Texas Utilities Co. has regis¬

CORPORATION

report that there

made the first proposals for

agree

of

the compensation

operative at the beginning of the

/<,/'.

.

Paris

current

obligation of
compliance with the

assume

to

Agreement

main¬

signatories

hand,

trade lends par¬

First Results of the Compensation

to

Paris agreement are the first

permanent members.

regard

the

policy. Perma¬

approval

Obvi¬

agreed

clared

Bankers

one

to

DIVIDEND NOTICES

At any rate those who

However, this is restricted to pro¬
posals resulting in a reduction of
/bilateral balances, for the time
being; in all other cases the right
individual

•

scheme.

nent members agree to
carry out
the agent's proposals for
compens°t.ion without, individual scrutiny.

of

months.

attrac¬

concession

of economic

recent

ticular significance to her policies

designed

more

countries

advance

are

in

Britain in world

Two classes of membership with

;

co-operative at¬

given

unsubscribed balance.

any

con¬

has taken

be

the addi¬

up

held, with bankers

now

issues, according to market

reconciled

agent" the Bank for International
Settlements in Basle, Switzerland

a more

been

still

observers.

result/Britain

a

have

there

brisk

a

difficulty with the

vertibility. I As

right to take

having

mem¬

practice of "administrative"

under¬

"central

as

4.20% pre¬

will

Shareholders
the

addi¬

of

stock.

tional shares at the rate of

new

California-Oregon

GAS

been

up.

West

shares

321.726

California-Oregon Power

/

has

of

case

Underwriters who

tion agreement can be

by appointing

been

smatter¬

a

Sales

ber ot the multilateral compensa¬

attitude

have

new

but

t

countries upon admittance by the
"charter members.'* This "open
scored

of

common

mains the task of cleaning up an
Unsold balance.

been increasing
of the fact that the ob¬

without much

&

of

ing of this issue to be taken

ligations of

door"

far

Gas

$45,000,000

debentures

How¬

"occasional"

by

Columbia

placed there is still

has

an

portions
offerings

While

Corp.'s

agreement
provides /for
participation
of
all
European

;:/,:;The;

that
new

around.

Electric

which

some

dollars.

scarce

block

tional

the company $19.91 a share. In¬

one more

Britain

Three latest utilities to go into
registration with SEC for new is¬
sues are topped by Pacific Light¬
ing Corp. which is processing a

for five

of several

/
SEC

,

afraid that the Paris

milk

to

Around

issue market has

new

ready

investors.

New Filings with

expansion

000 shares of
were

funds

needing

company,

said to indicate

was

47

Pre-sale inquiry was reported
such as to assure quick closing

believe to be unattainable.

'

ever,

for

as a whole or at least in
The Paris agreement, at this
time, is a symbol rather than any

•

all

sale to

The

part.

convertibility

concentrated

wise

utility.

Europe

results which more cautious souls

trade

agreement might be just

Compensation Scheme

the

overem¬

foreign

They

Paris

phasize

to

reason

no

ble

land.

trade/

the

last

authorities

additional
The

direct

a

exclusively at the Bank of Eng¬

avoiding; its
restrictive fea¬

damaging

tures

was

There is

t

the impression that they had been
treated unfairly by some of their

of

means

much dependent. That surpris¬

which

in.

bilateralism which is the only

practical

which Britain is

on

"administrative"

compensa^
Its main purpose
is to work toward that expansion
of

was

intended to facilitate inter¬

was

decided

multilateral

comes

Britain

originally during
preliminary discussions of the

British

but

It is here where the Paris agree¬
tion

Germany.

French

bacle of "automatic" sterling con¬

lars.

ment for

the

vertibility.

not

larger group, thus

use

of

ing attitude
growth from

existing arrangements have
be compensated
between two partners

and

reluctant

so

which

may

to¬

Scandina¬

(Denmark, Norway

national trade

to be settled in gold or hard cur¬
rency

members

three

Sweden)

zone

ly

multilateralism.

overdraft

under

over

steps

as

as one

Paris agreement although it clear¬

increasing number of in¬

dividual

the

most

the

joined

"occasional"

with

vian countries

goods.

Thus the

the

gether

ago,

Woods Aereemen* odmmistered

Great Britain-has

of

atmosphere a few
when
the
Bretton

death sentence without "due proc¬
ess of law."

The

country tries desperately to
accumulating foreign ex¬
change balances which cannot be

years

the

minimum.

every

avoid

to

(1463)

that would be acceptable to the

One of the incidental effects of

the Paris agreement has been to
enhance greatly the standing of
the B.I.S. in this country.
There
has been increasing realization in

carrying out the
complex transactions will be left

quantitative

trade.

;

& .FINANCIAL

1948,

declared
on

40tf

per

,

the outstanding common

stock of the Company,

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co.

share has

payable April 15,

of the par

value of $ 1.00 per

By W. D. Shilts, Secretary

of

Akron, Ohio, March 29, 1948

common

close

The

Greatest
Name

business

1948.

on

1948

■

,

April.. 5> 1
.

MsrchU.
'•

in Rubber

of

share, to holders
stock of record at the

H.A.WAYr-»

48

THE COMMERCIAL

(1464)

FINANCIAL

&

CHRONICLE

Thursday, April 1, 1948
the

BUSINESS BUZZ

report

assistants

"liberal"

on.

•

•

Tobey
crats
the

Behind-the-Scene Interpretations

Despite all

the

outlook

This

it

may

two

or

before

is

there

millions

and

nation's

allies

ropean

impor¬

too

belief—incident to

the

-

militarily

promise

program

concrete

chiefs

was

chiefs,

with

Forrestal

The

dud.

a

pro¬

defense

Secretary

Defense

presiding,

into

went

hasty labor and belatedly gave
birth to a specific program to

implement the President's
It

sage.

far from the

was

tional thing it

was

*

To

mes¬

sensa¬

heralded^ to
£

*

stage

a

S.

would

If

this

is

the

few

U.

if they

U.

have

openly,
S.

their

in

able

would

support

atom

■

;

any

into

is

It may

set

ment

more

a

.

All

in

all

there

is

,

This

would

not have

may

the

Air

could

is

Force

lead to

"war

a

a

and

except

aircraft companies,
material

bottlenecks.

for

if

five

or

of

or .some

years,'

four

would

five

or

be

few

a

if

it

the

UMT

equipped

should

the

the

basically

armed

develop

serv¬

in¬

some

—

this interpretation

If

tegic plans is correct
it

from

to

recruits

definite period of years hence.

or

amount

years

From

years.

trained

for building a new, modern air
force — the long range force

which

of

ices would further train specialists
to operate the Buck Rogers war—

the

shortages
the

So

-

fly

implies

not

that

actually

the

fear

of stra¬

given,

as

U.

S.

that

does

from the American continent to
Moscow and back
is piddling.

either

Hence there is

no

need at pres¬

home-made

the

Congress

and

the

future.

near

ent for reserving any floor spacer

that

in Washington hotels for "legis¬
lative engineers" to help guide

the

one

time

or

Iron Curtain

military

18

of

antici¬

Italy

elections

It scouts the

actually

in

with

or

program

as

indication

an

assumes

will have

*

It

pare.

several

official^

top

chance

to

get

When¬

feel
more

unmistakable

the

economic

when

Ru-sia

they

dence

of

ward march.

evidences

imperialism of the

from

only

a

preparedness program adopted by
Congress, it is anticipated that
they will request more. Any fur¬

;

.

■

'

■,«

'

year?

*

So

this

is

with

of

aid

with

associated

&

Co.,

813

He

was

Street.

Russell,

Balfour

and

Hoppe,
Stephen¬

The

Byllesby

Financial

Chronicle)

&

H.

Stock

shows

of

the

abandoning the

-

,

the

Joint

mestic business is inherently an
affair of the moment. Another

factor

is

what

Russia

does

at

Federal

a

'■0^; U. S. Finishing
Tucker Corp.

Soya Corp.

top

housing

the

near

in \

the

/So

committee

to

plunked

fbr

public

a

test

the

U.

further.

will

S.

Another

to

coun¬

pro¬

test. It also would

is not doubted, to a

present

lead, it
magnifying of

preparedness

Hence

the

40

N.

Y.

1919

Security Dealers Ass'n

Exchange PI., N. Y. S

H.A. 2-87S0

Teletype N. Y. 1-1397

future.''.;""' *i

try stolen by the Reds would
vide

ESTABLISHED
Members

housing, along with a lot
of fancy new housing subsidies of
If Congress appropriates suffi¬ one
sort
or
another
to
try to
cient
to
make
a
start
on
the swing the nation back to rental
limited program and it does the housing,
even
if it is not en¬
job of discouraging Russia, then thusiastic about rental projects in
risks of war may be delayed or the light of rent controls and the
abated. On the other hand, the danger they might at any time get
U. S. is admittedly so far from tighter rather than looser. //
being in a position to strike, as to
What happened was that Ren.
suggest the possibility Russia may
Ralph Gamble, Chairman of the
the

M. S. WlEN & Co.

public housing pro¬

'//;

;■;>

gram.
>

~

Dorset Fabrics /■//

on

proponent, next to Harry Truman
of

r

England P. S. Pfd.

Con¬

Housing
and
Home Finance Agency, and chief

dor

program upon

associated

Remington Arms

west¬

Committee

Administration's

bureaucracy,

prospective limited effect of the

now

Tidelands Oil

gressional

factors

is

Byllesby & Co., Inc.,

Exchange Building.

New

evi-:

official report of the special

of

Co.,

M.

phase,

It may now be revealed that the

Fin¬

'

>

'•

,

one

preparedness

it

is

defense

in¬

far

plans,

too

y;

soon

to

evidence

chiefs'

limited

;

special
his

housing committee, had

staff

prepare

a

report

was

tices

in

it

did

lic

For Dealers

Up-to-date Circular

7

Now Available

Oregon Portland Cement Co.

and

recommendations. While the

port

re¬

critical of many prac¬
the

building

recommend

housing.

committee

industry,

against pub¬

When

the

assembled,

special
Senator

Flanders of Vermont pulled out

HAnover 2-O05B

LERNER & CO.
Investment

10 Post Office

Securities

Square, Boston 9, Mast.

Telephone Hubbard

1900

Teletype BS

69

Teletype—NY 1-971
Firm Trading

com¬

no

to

U.

Empire Steel Corp.

Markets

S.

FOREIGN SECURITIES

Susquehanna Mills

pre¬

All Issues

present

/

with Russia.

*•")""

fjARL MARKS & HO. INC.

possible that officials have
much broader strategic program

123 South Broad St., Philadelphia 9, Pa.

than the defense officials have so

Iear thru—Montgomery, Scott & Co.
L v New York A Philadelphia
i

far indicated. It may

unrevealed

that

:///;•.K

which suggests that the present

It is

a

Bruce

Arthur

—

become

that

to

that the

war

Chronicle)

PHILADELPHIA, PA.—Charles

Housing, was written for the most
style would:
part
by
some
of
Ray
Foley's
for such considera¬
bright boys. Mr.. Foley is head of

industrial

without

indicates

Conrad, Bruce

Alder

to

the

munist gains in the Italian elec¬

fear of ail out




want

rumored

attempt

vade northern Italy's

stronger

Herbert H. Blizzard & Co.

a

of

control

the

April

might

Municipals
•

the

have

later.

more

toward

region,

Atomization clause

indicate

would

possibility that Yugoslav forces

everything

another except

a

ever

for

accept the superficial

tions. It

They need

time in the

probably

legisla¬

of

•

Soviet

or

possibility

fail to make any decisive strides

country.

At

It

S.

look

pates instead that the Red3 will

the

We have traded

U,

then

resistance

—

Communists at any

procure¬

achievement this spring.
this proves to be the case,

want

France

and Italy will be taken over by

greater

a

is not something charged with
far-reaching
possibilities.
The
military phase can be discounted

.

last

four

number!"

maximum

clear the way
tion.

is calculated,

period

pnone

does not include

nish-Czechoslovakia

restraint, it

solicitation.

out

or cause any

Even

prospectus, Miss Carter,

a

leaping into the military
phase—if only the first step—

Russian

atom

arranged

has

&

(Special

client

program,

ther

service

where

be

one

offering it free to the U. S; with¬

/-'

lot of business for the

babies,"

great

*

and

'1",.A/.

indefinite

for suspecting that the program
as thus far revealed will either

now

or

time

reasoh1 would provide basic training for

no

a

but
that
they
adopted this modest starter on the.
assumption
it
represented
the

If

means

hence

you

;

Financial

Hanseli With

tive

points

bombing
needed.

cost of
Of that

authorization, and
delayed expenditure.

Con¬

your

if

Leydecker & Co.

son,

served

the

The

Conrad,

Stewart

The mil¬

for

to

formerly

bombs

combat

at

troops

for

tract

analysis

'■

Southwest

ment

until
expanded procure¬ the Russians themselves
developed
part will consist of con¬ the atom bomb and the

aside

with

might

actual program

mobilize

supporting

to four additional billions for the
armed services, a substantial pro¬

will go for the
the additional personnel.

in

official

an

a copy

.

Meter

deterring effect against steal¬

to

a
military economy in the
future. Of the proposed three

portion

for

Olsen

S.

tary force and

ing countries with 5th columns.

nothing suggestive in
the program that the U. S. is going
near

as

PORTLAND, OREG.

they

soup.

Russia

So the

There

"Housing

Without

Hanseli, formerly of Hiscox, Van

possibly be sufficient to

being.
a

:

;

potato

restrain

western

impressed.

a."

housing problem, it rates

(Special

a

to

iary indicates its belief that this

to

c

Olsen With

your

future,

near

tried to swipe

territory

sum

S.,

be

be

months,

entitled
i

m e r

it.

"Giving

prospect to the Polit-

bureau that, in the

on

European defensive
alliance against Russia, the west¬
ern Europeans will
not be much

"•

the

would

in

several

simply

few

,

Hence

months,

offer the

military power which can
brought to bear, and not be¬

the

M& ?

next

of U. S..
fore

af¬
pro¬

minority

is

now

looking at. Write to

to

bombs.

but scarcely enough to
respectable retreat from a

Dunkirk.

new

Iceland

or

filing

report

gressman

is

These B-29's could carry atom

combat troops the U. S. now has
available, the military would add
another couple of handfuls. There
might be enough troops to gar¬

request,

what

present strategic planning of
the

comparative handful of

rison Newfoundland

the

of the

outlined

from

status. However,

■,

Mediterranean.

the

it

"administrative

committee," i.e.,

unclassified piece of printed

an

in¬

years
the
acquire just enough
garrison a few islands
and
Alaska.
These
places
ob¬
viously would be air bases suffi¬
ciently
close
to
the
potential
enemy so that the available air¬
craft, the B-29's could fly into
the enemy's territory and return.
Obviously the military could give
no
hint, other than Alaska and
Newfoundland, as to what these
bases might be. It is possible that
they might be Greece, Turkey,
and
points
elsewhere
in
the

presented by the military

gram

So

Eu¬

in

use

to

the

views.

things the

western

of

hibited

them, the military
without quite spelling

simply,

troops

actual

*

*

For

U,

to something.

Yet the

other

could

as

the U. S.

the
amount

to

going

was

out

the

that

—

fairs

A

it

to support the western European

alliance

extension

matter

Among
chieftans,

privately placed upon the
by officials led to the

completely by surprise,

could be filed at least

creasing

"■ '

program

of

minority report. New Dealers in

There is thus

tant

was expected.
Indeed, the
Interpretation which was not

and

Demo¬

report

the Senate limited the committee

con-

their military potential.
no hint yet of a new
military lend-lease program. *

iJl.jhe build-up given

the program, something

of

facto

de

another

sharp change.
With

placing

Finally, there is nothing yet of
building
ordnance
and
aircraft

foment,"

five

the

committee.

report,
a

tracts with one's company.

be a very long
perhaps several
months. On the other hand, it may
be only a week or two or a month
stances,

into

bureaucracy

and ideal circum

most favorable

it

that the anti-public
housing re¬
port, intended to be the majority

words of the President's stop

however/?-

applies,

member,

with

make

conservative group sought to
have the special housing commit¬
tee extended for three months so

Russia special message to Congress, you can at the moment write off
the immediate military preparedness program as something which is
almost of minor significance to your business affairs.

only for the moment. Under the

to

the

and big

drama

and

GOP

voted

Taken

Iron the Nation's Capital

A

prepared

by
the
offered it
adoption. Flanders, another

Foley
for

be that their

•

SPECIALISTS

: 50 Broad Street

estiniate of the situa¬
_____

tion requires a much larger mili-

Hill, Thompson & Co.. Inc.

FOREIGN SECURITIES

.

Markets

New York

#, N. Y.

AFFILIATE: CARL MARKS & CO, Inc. CHICAGO—

and Situations

for

Dealers

120 Broad way j New York 5
Tel. REctor 2-2020

Tele. NY 1-2660

Volume

167

THE COMMERCIAL

Number 4686

&

FINANCIAL

Pictorial Insert I

CHRONICLE

■

......

.

^

_

Central States Group of I. B.

Julien

Collins & Co., Chicago, President of the I.B.A.; Wm. H.
Marshall, The Marshall Co., Milwaukee

H.

Collins, Julien

£<,• <:

Elrrer F.

William M. Rex, Clark, Dodge & Co., New York City; M. J. M. Cox,

v

Dieckman, Glore, Forgan & Co., New York City; Gerald E. Miller, Miller,
Co., Detroit; E. Cummings Parker, Glore, Forgan & Co., Chicago

Curtiss, House
Claude F.

& Co., Cleveland; Paul J. Mullaney, Mullaney, Wells & Co., Chicago;
Turben, Merrill, Turben & Co., Cleveland; Joseph Ch Stuart,

■,

Kenower &

A.

• •

*

F. S. Yantis & Co., Chicago

J. F. Brady, Secretary of District No. 8 of the N.A.S.D.; Arthur S. Grossman, Straus
& Blosser; Wallace H. Fulton, N.A.S.D., Washington, D. C.; Donald E. Nichols,
Ames, Emerich & Co.

William

P. Sharpe,

Andrew

M.

Louis; Alfred S.
Loomis, The Illinois Co.

Mercantile-Commerce Bank & Trust Co., St.

Wiltberger, Blyth & Co., Inc., Chicago; John S.

Baird, A. G. Becker & Co., Chicago;

Hempstead Washburn, Harris Hall & Co.,




Chicago

C. Harold Thompson,

Thompson M. Wakeley, A. C. Allyn & Co.,
Franklin B. Schmick, Straus & Blosser

Inc.;

Cruttenden & Co.; Ralph S. Longstaff, Rogers & Tracy

Richard M. Delafield,
Geo.

First Boston Corp., Chicago;
Securities Co.

S. Channer, Jr., Channer

Pictorial Insert II

THE

COMMERCIAL

&

FINANCIAL

CHRONICLE

Thursday, April 1, 1948

Twelfth Annual Conference

Carl W. Jackson, Harris Hall & Co.,

Chicago; Alfora J.
Baschen, Northern Trust Co.

Don G.
'

Henry T. Berblinger, and Clarence A. McCarthy, both of
Sills, Minton & Co.

Miehls, William Blair & Co.; Ray Olsen, Stranahan, Harris & Co., Chicago;
Ross A. Gustafson, Northern Trust Co.
v
*

Frank

Duffy, Eldridge

V»>

W! '-

-

Ketcham & Nongard

Robinson,

S.

Albert

Trimarco,

and

James

N.

Bay,

all

Harry L. Nelson, Blyth & Co., Inc., Chicago; George R. Torrey, Kebbon, McCormick
■& Co.; Fred T. Rahn, The Illinois Co.; Lawrence W.
Marr, E. H. Rollins & Co.,
Chicago; Francis W. McDonald, Lee Higginson & Co., Chicago

%

^T

1

W m

!

•/'

f

Pf
0
'

W

%

^

^
\5P^*

P. K. Van Winkle, Paine, Webber, Jackson
& Curtis, Chicago; H. Frank Burkholder,

?

,

Equitable Securities Corp.,
Nashville, Tenn.




n

of

Fred W. Fairman & Co.

,

George F. Noyes, The Illinois Co.; J. F. Brady, Secretary of District No. 8 of the
N.A.S.D.; Rupert Bippus, formerly Securities Commissioner of the State of Illinois;
Carl McGlone, Carl McGlone & Co.

Roy D. O'Brien and Tuthill Ketcham, both of

*

Alfred J. Betar, Chris J. Newpart, S. "Knox Kreutzer and Edward
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane

G. Chase, all of

Nathan D. McClure, Harriman
Ripley
& Co., Chicago

Volume

167

THE COMMERCIAL

Number 4686

&

Held March 23 and 24,

Howard F. Detmer, Detrrier & Co.; Walter J. Fitzgerald, Jr., Walter
L. M. Rieckhoff, Northern Trust Co. of Chicago

William

F. Hunter,
all of H. M.

Gordon Booth, and O. G. Corns,
Byllesby & Co., Chicago

Glore, Forgan & Co., Chicago; Robert
Chicago; Paul L. Mullaney, Mullaney,

E. Cummings Parker,
& Co.,

C. W. Evans, Harris Hall &




A. Podesta, Julien Collins
Wells & Co.

Co., Chicago; J. Franklin Bickmore,

Chicago; H. A. Talbert, Blyth & Co., Inc.,

Joseph D. Blosser,

Fitzgerald & Co.;

Boettcher & Co.,

Chicago

Franklin B. Schmick, and Frederick W. Straus,
all

of Straus &

Blosser

Pictorial Insert III

CHRONICLE

FINANCIAL

1948

Arthur W. Curtis, A. G. Becker

& Co.; Chicago;
Kebbon,McCormick & Co.

Clarence E. Torrey,

Nathan S. Sharp, R. S. Dickson & Co., Chicago; Lore W. Alford, Harris Hall
Chicago; Charles R. Park, Greenman & Cook, St. Paul, Minn.

Andrew M.
&

Robert

R.

& Co.,

Baird, A. G. Becker & Co., Chicago; Lee H. Ostrander, William
Co., Chicago; Elmer J. Hassman, A. G. Becker & Co., Chicago

Brinker, John Nuveen & Co., Chicago;

Blair

Chas. A. Capek, Lee Higginson
& Co., Chicago

Corp., Chicago; Chester W. Laing, John Nuveen

Russell T. Stern and Byron G.

Webster, both of Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner

& Beane

Pictorial Insert IV

THE COMMERCIAL

&

FINANCIAL

Thursday, April 1, 1948

CHRONICLE

/Illinois

mm

George J. Gruner, Lee Higginson Corp., Chicago; James F. Quigg, Paine, Webber,
Charles Fry, Chicago Journal of Commerce; Harry L.
i\eison, Biytn <Ji Co., Chicago; David L. Shillinglaw, Shillinglaw, Bolger & Co.

Jos. P.

Jackson & Curtis, Chicago;

p?

ft'lL

Condon, McDougall, Condon & Co., Chibago; Matthew J. Hickey, Jr., Hickey
j & Co.; Wm. D. Kerr, Bacon, Whipple & Co.

X

ri

mmwm

if

■■J

m

Chas. E. Enyart, Enyart, Van Camp & Co.; Jean A. Horacek, Enyart,
John

Walter

E.

Kirstner,

A.

A.

C.

Chicago

Van Camp & Co.;

Kelly, Smith, Barney & Co., Chicago

Allyn

&

Co.,

Harold

A. Tubby, Hemphill, Noyes &
Co., Chicago;
Plummer P. Purdham, Burns, Potter & Co., Inc.,
-

Wm.




A.

Joseph O. Stuart, F. S. Yantis & Co.; O. G. Corns, H. M. Byllesby & Co.;
Talbert, Blyth & Co., Chicago; D. K. Searles, Blyth & Co., Chicago;

H. A.

;

Grigsby, John Nuveen & Co., Chicago;
Hackbert, Goldman, Sachs & Co., Chicago

Paul

Omaha, Neb.

p",;

David

J.

Harris, Sills, Minton & Co.

'

Charles Higgins, Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Beane;
Harris E. Wilder, The Illinois Co.