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How to Run a River Vietnam: How Much Heat at Home? The Seventies Belong to the Susquehanna BUSINESS REVIEW is produced in the Department of Research. Evan B. Alderferwas primarily responsible for the article “ How to Run a River” , Kathryn Kalmbach for “ Vietnam: How Much Heat at Home?” and D. Russell Connor for “ The Seventies Belong to the Susquehanna.” The authors will be glad to receive comments on their articles. Requests for additional copies should be addressed to Bank and Public Relations, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19101. WATER All the rivers run into the sea; yet the sea is not full; unto the place from whence the rivers came, thither they return again. With poetic eloquence the author of Ecclesiastes described how water goes round and round. It still does. The sun’s heat evaporates oceanic and other waters; winds scatter the moisture-laden clouds; weeping clouds shed their moisture as rain, and that which falls over land finds rivery pathways back to the sea. Nature’s hydrologic cycle, however, plays favorites. Land areas with abundant rainfall luxuriate with vegeta tion; regions with scanty precipitation turn to deserts. So dependent upon water is mankind that a homey philosopher once observed the coincidence of big rivers flowing past big cities and little rivers flowing past little cities. Precipitation over the United States is plentiful in the aggregate, but unevenly distributed. The Eastern third of the country and the Pacific Seaboard are generally well watered; but a vast area between the Rockies and the 100th Meridian, bisecting the Dakotas and Texas, is handicapped with chronic sparsity of rainfall. Precipitation in the 37,000 square miles that constitute the Philadelphia Federal Reserve District is com fortably above the country’s annual average. Over the years, with occasional exceptions, the district’s rainfall has been adequate for its 10 million inhabitants. Within the district, however, the supply of water varies from time to time and place to place because of unequal distribution and the peculiarities of the watercourses. Owing to the irregularity of land contours, rainfall in the district wanders seaward by devious ways from different basins. The largest basin is the Susquehanna, which drains into the Atlantic by way of Chesapeake Bay. Along the New York state border is a small section of the Genesee Basin that drains into the St. Lawrence River. Along the Maryland border is an area of the Potomac Basin, and on the western border some district waters drain into the Ohio River. The eastern part of the district lies in the Delaware Basin. It is heavily popu lated and highly industrialized, in marked contrast with the other district basins which are largely rural and agricultural. Rainfall in the predominantly agricultural basins serves a most essential use to the resident farmers, and the runoff'into the rivers serves municipalities and industries. How well a river serves its basin population depends basically upon the size of the river and the number of people the river is called upon to serve. For a given flow of water, the greater the population the harder the river must work. Also, the harder the river works, the greater the problems of water pollution and abatement. A country river is a many-splendored thing, but urbanization usually transforms it into a many-plundered thing. Because of the economic, political, and social importance of water resource utilization, this issue of the Business Review is given over largely to the district’s two major rivers and their basins— the Delaware and 3 HOW TO RUN A RIVER Rivers seldom get into the newspapers except of the river. Ordinarily, the fresh-water flow when they go on a rampage, overflow their keeps the salt-water intrusion below Philadel banks, and drown people. The Delaware, how phia, but during periods of low flow the salt ever, has been in the headlines most of the sum line creeps upstream. Recently the salt line had mer, not because of high water but because of low water. advanced to a point near the Walt Whitman Bridge, only 15 miles short of Philadelphia’s the prolonged Torresdale water-supply intake. As the drought drought has so reduced the flow of the river worsens the related problems of upstream scar and the storage in reservoirs that downstream city and downstream salinity are intensified. The basic trouble is that people may soon have to drink salt water and upstream users may have no water— unless re Such, in brief, is the unhappy tale of two cities. freshing rains come to the rescue. As rivers go, the Delaware is a small stream. W h e n ce the d ro u g h t? It doesn’t really look like a river until it gets “ Hydrologic adversity” is what the region is below Trenton; in fact the river is only a little suffering from, according to the Water Re over 300 miles long, but it serves the most heav sources Council’s special report to the Presi ily populated and highly industrialized part of dent, entitled “ Drought in Northeastern United the country. States.” The Delaware Basin has had this trou The Delaware serves over 21 million people. ble before, and now it has it again. The severity In normal times it serves them very well, but a of the current drought is explained by the fact prolonged period of subnormal rainfall has pro that the Basin is in its fourth consecutive year duced abnormal times. Philadelphia, the biggest of insufficient rainfall. city on the Delaware, gets half of its water from Abnormal wind patterns cause the prolonged this river and the other half from the Schuylkill dry spell, according to the meteorologists. We — the Delaware’s largest tributary. Drafts from are in the wind belt known as the Prevailing both sources, after use, are returned to the Westerlies. Ordinarily, the Basin is well watered Delaware. by air masses heavily laden with moisture picked New York, the biggest city on the Hudson up from the Gulf of Mexico and South Atlantic River, taps the upper Delaware for one-third of coastal waters. As these warm clouds are chilled its municipal requirements; and the Delaware by the cooler westerlies over our region they draw-off, after use, is flushed into New York drop their moisture as rains, called thunder Bay. During a severe drought both cities are storms. For some strange reason the westerlies menaced— New York with a water shortage and have deviated from their customary pathways, Philadelphia with a salt problem. thus weakening the storm systems. Why the The lower Delaware is an estuary— an arm of winds are misbehaving nobody seems to know, the sea. With the ebb and flow of tides, salty but everybody is aware of the drought. Farmers seawater sloshes up and down the lower reaches were the first to be pinched, and now the urban 4 business review masses are in jeopardy. DELAWARE RIVER BASIN AND SERVICE AREA Be h old the Basin! The Delaware River Basin is a long, narrow, irregularly shaped area of land from which the Delaware and all its trib utaries carry precipita tion to the Atlantic Ocean. It’s a hydrologic gerrymander outlined by the heavy lolloping line on the map, “ Delaware River Basin and Service Area,” showing both the in-Basin and out-Basin areas served by the river. Rivers make conven ient boundary lines, but their basins pay no at tention whatsoever to po litical boundaries. As if conscious of its destiny to serve two big cities, the Delaware starts out as two streams— the West Branch and Branch— both the East originat ing on the western slopes of the Catskill Mountains in New York. From Hancock, New York, the point where the two branches merge, to Port Jervis the Delaware forms the boundary line between Pennsylvania and New York. From Port Jervis down to Source: Water Research Foundation for the Delaware River Basin. 5 business review Marcus Hook the river forms a boundary be ware supplies them with water for domestic use tween Pennsylvania and New Jersey, whence it — drinking, forms a boundary between New Jersey and sprinkling, etc.; commercial use by hotels, mo Delaware until the river is swallowed by the tels, restaurants, and other public establish Atlantic Ocean. Throughout its indecisive me ments; and industrial use such as laundromats, andering the river is joined by numerous tribu car washeries, etc.; and public purposes such bathing, home laundering, lawn taries such as the Lackawaxen, the Musconet- as fire fighting and street cleaning. Total mu cong, the Lehigh, and the Schuylkill rivers. The tributaries, in turn, pick up little sub-tributaries nicipal demand averages about 145 gallons per capita daily. like Lollypop, Devils Hole, Cranberry, and W ig wam creeks, not identified on the map. Unlike some Western rivers that occasionally run bone dry, the Delaware, throughout its re The upper section of the Basin is a thing of corded history, has always had water. The flow beauty and a joy to sportsmen. The middle re of water, however, fluctuates with the volume of gion is endowed generously with extensive wood precipitation— which over the years averages 44 land, good agricultural land, and the famous inches annually in the Basin. Forty-four inches Delaware Water Gap. The lower region, in the is a good average (the United States average is 30 Atlantic Coastal Plain, is heavily industrialized. inches), but people don’t live on averages; they The estuarine section from Trenton to the sea has sufficient depth, with occasional dredg need a daily supply of water. Precipitation in the Basin is both seasonal and cyclical. ing, to accommodate ocean-going vessels loaded Springtime is the season of abundant water with cargoes of iron ore, petroleum, sugar, and produced by the March melt of winter’s snow other raw materials for the manufacturing in and April showers. That’s when the tributaries dustries of Philadelphia and adjacent ports. give full measure to the main stream. In the From Bristol to Wilmington the river is virtu fall months of the year, less rainfall causes the ally palisaded on both sides with industrial es entire river system to languish with low waters. tablishments. And now the river languishes in a drought-in Manufacturing industries, including the more than twoscore producers of kilowatts on the duced low flow which forebodes still lower wa ters as we enter the fall season. Delaware and its tributaries, are the heaviest users of water. Water is used by the steam- Use a n d m isuse o f the D e la w a re electric generating stations in their condensers While people on the lower Delaware, where the for cooling purposes; by the steel mills and the Basin’s greatest density of population exists, petroleum refineries to cool their furnaces; by have seldom been menaced by a shortage of the paper mills in almost every stage of the water, they have had to contend, for a number manufacturing process from their digesters to of years, with an equally bad problem— dirty the cylinder or Fourdrinier paper-forming ma water. How the Delaware became defiled is a chines. Water is indispensable to all manufac typical example of expanding public and pri turing industries. Philadelphia and other riverside municipali ties also use huge amounts of water. The Dela 6 vate use of a natural resource that proceeds by easy stages from use to overuse to misuse. Industries and municipalities, the greatest business review users of water, do not consume it in the usual both phases is the departure and the subsequent sense of the term. Almost every gallon of water return of shad to their Delaware spawning that they withdraw and use is later returned to grounds. the river, but often in filthy condition. “ One of the most modern and efficient water In the days of careless exploitation of natural treatment plants in the world is Philadelphia’s resources, manufacturing industries got rid of Torresdale Plant on the Delaware River.” That their industrial wastes by the simple expedient statement is not made by Philadelphia’s Water of piping them into the river. Acid mine drain Commissioner; it appears in a United States age from the anthracite region oozed into the Geological Survey publication. The Torresdale Delaware by way of the Lehigh River, and the plant is a pushbutton water-treatment plant Schuylkill became badly polluted with culm de capable of purifying over 400 million gallons posits washed down from the hard-coal fields. a day by filtering and treating river water with To compound the pollution, riverside munici various chemicals. Philadelphia also treats all palities dumped their raw sewage into the river. of the city’s sewage before returning it to the Philadelphia, the largest municipality and the river. The city’s entire waterworks and sewage- largest industrial center, was the biggest pol treatment facilities are under a single unified luter and for years nobody seemed to care. With management and control. expanding population and growing industrializa Most of the industrial plants now also treat tion the once lordly Delaware degenerated into their wastes before returning them to the river; a malodorous sewer intolerable to both ships and shad. indeed, with some plants it is a point of pride that their effluent is cleaner than the intake. The D e la w a re is ta k e n to the la u n d ry most a constant problem— so much so that some Farther downstream, however, salinity is al The Interstate Commission on the Delaware concerns in Chester use municipal water ob River Basin (Incodel), organized in 1936, was tained from the Octoraro Creek in the Susque one of the first organizations to campaign vigor hanna River drainage area. ously and effectively for water pollution con trol. By and by, Incodel’s missionary efforts, W h e n the D e la w a re flo w e d into the along with the help of other organizations, suc Su pre m e Court ceeded in fomenting anti-pollution legislation on The waist line of the Delaware Basin is about both sides of the river. With local action and on the latitude of New York City, as the map federal assistance, the Clean Streams Program shows. Back in the early 1920’s the New York got under way in the mid-1940’s. Although the City fathers looked longingly upon the Dela river is much improved, its waters still need ex ware as a source of mountain-fresh water to tensive treatment for municipal and other uses. augment the city’s growing water needs. S h a d return to the D e la w a re the Delaware for 600 million gallons a day, a While their engineers made plans to dip into Philadelphia doesn’t do things half way. When document was drawn for an interstate compact the city pollutes it pollutes thoroughly, and between New York, New Jersey, and Pennsyl when it cleans it cleans vigorously. Evidence of vania. The compact was ratified promptly by 7 business review the New York legislature; but New Jersey and feet per second) at the Delaware’s Montague Pennsylvania demurred. After considerable de gauging station in Sussex County, New Jersey. lay, New York City went ahead with its plans; The Court also appointed a River Master to ad whereupon New Jersey petitioned the United minister the adjudication. States Supreme Court to enjoin the city and state of New York, and Pennsylvania joined in Form ation of the D e la w a re R ive r Basin the petition. C om m ission Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes delivered the opinion of the Court, specifying a mgd (million As a result of the recurring water-shortage prob lem, causing periodic disputes between New gallons daily) upper limit that New York City York City and downstream communities over might withdraw. Also, since such drafts, after water rights, it became increasingly apparent use, are channeled seaward outside the Delaware that settlement of quarrels in chancery is no way Basin, the Court required New York to fortify to run a river. Supreme Court adjudication, while the Delaware in periods of low flow with re restoring amity in times of water scarcity, accom leases of water from their reservoirs in the Basin plished nothing to prevent a future scarcity. in order to prevent damage to the down-Dela- Governors of the four states immediately con ware recreation areas and the lower Delaware cerned and the mayors of the two most vulner able cities— New York and Philadelphia— held oyster beds. That was in 1931. In 1949, New York City barely squeezed summit conferences to consider ways and means through a water shortage, and in the early 1950’s toward a mutually satisfactory solution. They shortages of rainfall caused another crisis. As appointed a Delaware River Basin Advisory the city’s reservoirs ran low, the mayor banned Committee to devise an inter-governmental ar use of water for washing streets, sprinkling rangement for long-range, multi-purpose plan lawns and gardens. Authorities proclaimed “ dry ning, Thursdays,” imposed fines upon owners of leaky Basin. That was in the early summer of 1955. development, and management of the restau Hurricane Diane struck the Basin with tor rants served drinking water only upon request, rential rains, causing floods that took 99 lives faucets, automobiles went unwashed, and public-spirited New Yorkers skipped baths and inflicted over $100 million in property and shaves. As the crisis worsened, New York damage. The disaster stimulated a public clamor petitioned the Supreme Court for more water to do something about the Delaware. Congress acted quickly, directing the Army from the Delaware. The Court, in its 1954 decision, allowed New Corps of Engineers, in cooperation with other York City to dip a little deeper into the Dela federal agencies, to make a survey and formu ware. The ante, in terms of mgd’s, was raised late a plan for the physical control of the wa but again the Court imposed a quid pro quo. In ters to reduce both the high-water and low- compensation the water hazards. Meanwhile, the Water Resources Delaware, the city was required to supply the Association of the Delaware River Basin, a non lower Delaware, from the upper Delaware and profit and nonpartisan citizens group, was or its tributaries, with sufficient water to maintain ganized to alert the general public to the needs a specified minimum flow (expressed in cubic of the Basin. for increased 8 drafts from business review Late in 1960, the Corps of Engineers turned man M. Lack, a retired Army general associated in an exhaustive 11-volume report advocating a with the Water Research Foundation; and for 50-year development program of 58 water-con the Secretary of the Interior, Vernon D. N or trol projects, at an estimated cost of almost $600 throp, former city administrator during Joseph million to reduce flood damage, augment stream Clark’s administration as mayor of Philadelphia. flows, provide additional recreation waters, and more kilowatts of hydro-electric power. Though The D.R.B.C. a t w o rk at some variance with an earlier report prepared Running a river is no simple task, especially one under the auspices of Incodel, physical features in such great demand as the Delaware. The of Commission’s work embraces conservation and the Engineers’ report were subsequently adopted. development of ground and surface water sup After further discussion, complete water-re- ply for municipal, industrial, and agricultural source planning and management for the Dela uses; flood damage reduction; development of ware Basin were at long last designed. On Sep recreational facilities in relation to reservoirs, tember 27, 1961, President Kennedy signed the lakes, and streams; propagation of fish and Delaware River Basin Compact, already ap game; development of hydro-electric power po proved by the Congress and legislatures of New tentialities; control of movement of salt water; York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware. abatement and control of stream pollution; and The document, the first of its kind, provided for regulation of stream flow toward the attainment 100 years of joint federal-state administration of all these goals. of the Basin. The Compact created the Delaware Attainment of these multi-purpose goals re River Basin Commission, endowed with author quires, among other things, economic analyses ity and responsibility to supervise the Basin’s and forecasts of population growth in the Basin water resources. The Commission superseded and its service area, a constant flow of meteoro- Incodel which, even in its limited advisory ca logic and hydrographic data, a running record pacity, had achieved remarkable results in focus of ing public attention and stimulating legislation throughout the river system to maintain mini for better utilization of Basin waters. mum standards of water-quality patterns for water-quality analysis at strategic points The Delaware River Basin Commission is a various uses, and elaborate cost calculations to five-member board consisting of the Governors balance potential expenses of various projects of the four Basin states— Pennsylvania, New against consumer benefits. York, New Jersey, and Delaware— and the Sec “ A river system such as the Delaware,” says retary of the Interior represents the President the Commission in its 1964 Annual Report, of the United States. Sitting at present as voting alternates on the Commission are: Maurice K. “ offers innumerable possible operating combina tions. For example, adjustments can be made to Goddard, Pennsylvania’s Secretary of Forests intercept flood waters for use as water supply and Waters; for New York, Harold G. Wilm, and flow augmentation later in the year. Also, New York State’s conservation commissioner; for New Jersey, H. Mat Adams, former state excess flows can be pumped to off-stream reser voirs during off-peak electrical demand periods conservation commissioner; for Delaware, N or {Continued on Page 12) 9 ^ M S p S iS S l ! MUCH HEAT AT HOME? VIETNAM: So far the Vietnam buildup ordered by the President apparently will funnel an extras$3 ot $4 billion into the war effort between now and the second quarter of 1966. Moreover, more men will be added to the armed forces. An important question being asked at present is: whether or not the proposed degree of mobilization will strain the economy. f iis s S Net Change in National Defense Expenditures (Fiscal Years) ' j’ i t Billions of Dollars Increase in the Armed Forces Maintenance and Defense Spending Billions of Dollars Real Gross National Product (1958 Dollars) Capacity Utilization Billions of Dollars Seasonally Adjusted 6/50-7/53 1. The additional $3-4 billion going into military spend ing during fiscal 1966 will result in an upward shift in defense spending. 86 7 ~ 1 1 IV ' 1965 " 3. With respect to the capacity to meet the demands, the nation is in a relatively favorable situation to meet the limited requirements of the current mobilization pro gram. The nation's manufacturing plants are presently working at about 90 per cent of capacity and the addi tional expenditures anticipated would amount to less than 1 per cent of the current rate of national output and would scarcely dent the existing rate of utilization. More over, the pervasiveness of excess capacity among the various industry groups appears to be sufficient to pre vent serious “ bottlenecks” from developing. Armed Forces 2.8 1964 IM - z Estimated yearly cosY of maintaining 340,000 men £stimated yearly rise in defense outlays 5. Another factor to be cons«tered is that a large portion of the increase in defense outlays will represent merely the shifting of spending rather than a net addition. The increase of 340,000 men in thd* armed forces had to be fed, housed, clothed, etc. in civilian life. Planned Billions of Dollars 11-1965 9. And all of this was imposed on an economy producing only 58 per cent as much in real goods and services as we are producing today. Industrial Production 11/50-11/51 Billions of Dollars 11/65—ll/66e 8. Defense spending was relatively small and after the war broke out, increased almost $20 billion, on a G.N.P. basis, in one year and around $40 billion in three years. 2. And the expansion of the armed forces by 340,000 men will raise the total bearing arms to about 3.0 million. 11-1950 Increase in Defense Spending Male Unemployment Rate— By Age Groups (July 1CS5) Plant and Equipment Expenditures Dec. 1961 Dec. 1962 Dec. 1963 Dec. 1964 July 1965 1965 Proposed 7. In assessing the longer-term impact of the Vietnam hostilities, the differences between now and Korea must be kept in mind. The armed forces were in a low state of preparedness then and were increased by over 2 million. Total 1^-19 Team 20-24 Years 6. The increase in the armed forces will probably have a minimum impact on laborfj Irkets. Most of those who will be drafted are in the age Drackets which possess few developed skills and where unemployment is high. 10. In addition, there is a considerable difference in tim ing. As can be seen on the cycle for industrial produc tion, back in 1950 the economy was at the beginning of a recovery, typically a period of very vigorous business expansion; today we are in the 55th month of business expansion. 4. The added defense spending must also be viewed against a record rate of capital spending which will make even more industrial capacity available. B business review (■ Continued from Page 9) and released again to produce hydro-electric power during peak demand periods. Through DELAWARE RIVER BASIN COMMISSION COMPREHENSIVE PLAN the use of computers, it is now possible to de velop an efficient, integrated plan for operating all projects in a river system.” Effective operation of the river system also requires some long-range planning, and the Commission at the outset designed a compre hensive plan for the orderly development of the water resources of the 12,750-square-mile Basin. The major components of the comprehensive plan, shown in the illustration, are: 1. Ten multi-purpose reservoir projects— six with flood control by the Federal Govern ment, four non-federal water supply and recreation. 2. Enlargement of two federal flood-control dams for water supply and recreation. 3. Completion of the Cannonsville water- supply reservoir for New York City. 4. Eight local watershed programs consisting of dams and reservoirs and land-treatment measures. 5. Water-quality standards, interstate cost sharing policy for water supply in federal reservoirs, policy for protecting groundwater resources (rich in the lower Basin). In the performance of its manifold duties, the Commission utilizes the assistance o f numerous 86-mile stretch of the river between Trenton and Delaware Bay. As if all these duties were not enough to keep other agencies. For example, the Commission it busy, the Commission is also called upon has had the help of the United States Geological frequently to pass on applications for public Survey in compiling basic data on precipitation, and private projects such as water-supply instal surface runoff, and ground-water conditions of lations, waste-treatment operations, watershed the Basin. The United States Public Health developments, or requests to span the Delaware Service is at present engaged in making a com with pipelines, bridges, or ferry routes. prehensive study of the Delaware Estuary to as certain the cause-and-effect relationships of pol D.R.B.C. to the rescue lution, the economic relationships between wa On July 7, the Delaware River Basin Commis ter and water treatment, and water use in the sion called a drought emergency meeting in 12 business review Philadelphia to consider what might be done water be made also from the Cannonsville Res about the diminishing reserves of Basin waters. ervoir to counteract the encroaching salt water Attending the meeting were more than a score with a stronger flow of fresh water. of witnesses representing in-Basin and out-Basin Subsequent to a Presidential task force report municipalities, water and sewer authorities, in on the growing danger of the water famine in dustrial concerns, and utilities— all deeply con the cerned about the threatening shortage and im Udall’s statement that New York and Philadel purity of water incident to the drought. Among phia were on a collision course, the Commis the leading witnesses were New York’s Armand sion made still further redistribution of the D’Angelo, Commissioner, Department of Water Basin’s dwindling water supplies at its August Delaware Basin and Interior Secretary Supply, Gas, and Electricity, who cited the im 18 meeting in Washington. The Commission pending peril of the rapidly receding water authorized New York City to stop making any levels in the city’s reservoirs; and Philadelphia’s downstream releases from storage in its three Samuel Baxter, Commissioner and Chief Engi Delaware River Basin reservoirs after Septem neer of the Philadelphia Water Department, ber 7, and to collect the inflow into these reser who pointed out the menace of salt water creep voirs as a “ water bank” — the “ bank” to be dis ing up the Delaware and threatening the Torres- tributed, by the Commission, as needed between dale intake— the source of half the city’s water New York City and downstream areas. Also, supply. after September 7, releases of water from Lake The Commission declared a 30-day state of emergency, recognizing, among other things, Wallenpaupack in Wayne and Pike counties and the current hydrologic impossibility of New in Sullivan County, New York, are to be more York City’s continued adherence to the Supreme than doubled to compensate for upstream waters from the Orange & Rockland Utilities reservoir Court’s 1954 decree; and ruled (1) that New withheld for New York City from their Pepacton, York City be required to provide at least a part Neversink, and Cannonsville reservoirs, as well of the flow at Montague, not to exceed a definite as waters to be withheld from the Francis E. amount specified in mgd’s; ordered re Walter Reservoir, a flood-control installation in leases of water impounded by the Pennsylvania the upper Lehigh Valley. All these redisposi Power & Light Company’s Lake Wallenpaupack tions effective on September 7 were designed to Dam, and from the Mongaup Reservoir of the increase downstream releases of water by 42 Orange & Rockland Utilities in order to protect per cent. (2) the health, safety, and welfare of the people in the lower Delaware Basin. On August 6, the Commission met again in Philadelphia was given specific assistance in the form of a federal grant of $250,000 to pro vide overtime money to speed up construction of Philadelphia in response to New York City’s a new intake above Torresdale. If that is done fears of running out of water and Philadelphia’s and if the drought does not become more severe apprehensions of the approaching salt line. In salinity effects can be reduced. recognition of the aggravated emergency, the The entire Basin’s countryside is being Commission extended its previous rulings for scoured for all available lakes and ponds. Water an additional period and ruled that releases of from Lake Hopatcong within the Basin is being 13 business review sought by parched North Jersey cities outside almost wholly dependent upon the Delaware and the Basin. For lack of water at least one paper its tributaries for its water requirements, has no mill in North Jersey had to close down, resulting alternative. The city’s purification plants make in the loss of jobs for several hundred workers. these waters potable, for which its consumers For the duration of the drought, the Commis pay a price. It is only natural that Philadelphi sion is limited to equitable distribution of all ans, now menaced by a salt intrusion hazard, available waters within its jurisdiction. It can wonder why New York, on the Hudson, doesn’t perform no miracles. When the Commission was established no one knew that the early use its waters as Philadelphia uses those of the stages of a marathon drought were also in the Delaware. Desalinization of seawater, so unlimited in making. But for the progress in the Commis abundance, has nothing to offer ias a quick solu sion’s comprehensive plan, our present plight tion. It would take years to build a plant with would be even worse. the necessary transmission facilities, and river water can still be purified at substantially lower W a te r a n d w a te rw o rk s cost than desalting seawater. Successive cycles of water shortage are growing The Corps of Engineers, in their comprehen more acute. With expanding population, the sive “ Delaware River Basin Report” of 1960 demand for water in the Basin’s service area said that there was sufficient water in the Basin keeps growing; but the river doesn’t. It is a to meet existing and future needs as far as the credit to the foresight of the Commission that year 2010, including the diversion for New York it embarked, at the very outset, upon a long- provided in the Supreme Court decree. Fuller range plan for more effective utilization of wa utilization of the water resources, however, re ter resources. The essence of the plan is making quires construction of adequate facilities, also more water available for use by providing more outlined in the Engineers’ report. The present waterworks— facilities to capture excess waters drought indicates the need for revision of the in times of plenty for release in times of scar time schedule and perhaps the construction de city. tails. The task under the supervision of the Facilities for water treatment also play a prominent part in water supply. Philadelphia, 14 Delaware River Basin Commission promises to be the best way to run a river. THE SEVENTIES BELONG TO THE SUSQUEHANNA In the same month that President Kennedy In its 448-mile course— 24th longest river in signed into being the Delaware River Basin the United States— the Susquehanna is shining, Commission, a compre is muddy, and more. Its north branch begins in hensive survey of the Third Federal Reserve Lake Otsego, New York, near Cooperstown, re District’s other major water source, the Susque nowned now as site of baseball’s Hall of Fame. hanna River. Unlike that of the Delaware, the As if to legitimatize its birth, the river first loops service area of the Susquehanna in Pennsyl into Susquehanna County, Pennsylvania, then Congress authorized vania— 21,000 square miles, almost half the returns to New York State. It flows westerly land mass of the Commonwealth— is sparsely past industrial Binghamton and Endicott, where populated. Two-thirds of its 39 mid-state coun upon it once more crosses the state line at Sayre, ties are rural, contain fewer than 100 persons Bradford per square mile. Less than 10 per cent of the joined by the Chemung River. County. Here the Susquehanna is water withdrawn from the Susquehanna and its Reinforced by the Chemung, the Susquehanna tributaries is used for public purposes. Large channels southeasterly through rugged game tracts of land in the Susquehanna Basin in and timber country to the great hard coal fields Pennsylvania are state-owned, and are unde veloped; highway access to much of the Basin of Lackawanna and Luzerne Counties. At West Pittston the Susquehanna meets the Lackawanna is at present limited. These conditions permit River. planning for the future that can maximize utili through gently rolling terrain to Northumber zation of resources in the Basin yet minimize land, just north of Sunbury, where it connects dislocation of existing structures and customs. with its west branch. That sh in in g river bria County, in a soft coal region. It runs It then turns southwesterly, courses The west branch rises near Cresson, Cam first through truck and dairy farms to Clearfield, glimpse of the Susquehanna River in Across the then east through state park areas to industrial Plains: “ And when I had asked the name of Williamsport. Here it swings south, passes the the river from the brakeman, and heard that it federal penitentiary at Lewisburg, to its con was called the Susquehanna, the beauty of the fluence with the north branch. At Clarks Ferry, name seemed to be part and parcel of the beauty the main stem of the Susquehanna unites with of the land. . . . That was the name, as no other another of its principal tributaries, the Juniata could be, for that shining river and desirable River. Much of the land through which the valley.” The euphony that enchanted Stevenson Juniata flows is similar to that of the west was mere accident, however. The Andaste Indi branch— farmland, mineral deposits, recreational ans named the river by combining their words areas. Robert Louis Stevenson describes his “ sisku” and “ hanne.” Literally translated, they mean “ muddy river.” Now the character of the Susquehanna changes; so does the economy of the valley 15 business review through which it flows. It streams past the urban national average by almost 40 per cent, her complex of Harrisburg-New Cumberland-Steel- 4,400 rivers and streams number more than ton, state capital, Army depot, steel mills. It splits those in any other state. Few communities along York and Lancaster counties, each with its im the Susquehanna tap the river for public water mensely valuable farmland, diversified industry, supply, however. When drought occurs there is and swelling populations. It leaves Pennsylvania quick, local interest in the Susquehanna as a by crossing the Mason and Dixon Line near source of water supply. But potential is one Peach Bottom, locale of an atomic reactor power generating plant. It supplies Maryland’s hydro thing, means of delivery another. Filtration plants, pumping stations, water and sewer lines electric Conowingo Dam, then empties into Chesapeake Bay at Havre de Grace, some 40 miles northeast of Baltimore. are nonexistent and cannot be built in time to cope with immediate need. Pennsylvania is confronted with water-re lated problems other than that of supply. Its P ro blem s a n d p o ten tials anthracite and bituminous coal mines have cre The foregoing five-paragraph trip down the ated a kind of water pollution particularly seri Susquehanna but hints at the diverse topography ous in the Commonwealth— infusion of poison the river traverses and the full range of devel ous sulphuric acid, deadly to man, fish, and oping and undeveloped communities it serves. plant life. Soil erosion takes a heavy toll: a There are booming metropolitan centers whose study reveals that from March 31 to April 8, industrialization, from basic industry to light 1960, almost two million tons of silt were car manufacturing, is forging ahead. There are de ried past Harrisburg by the Susquehanna, pressed areas, particularly those whose mineral equivalent to the topsoil of a 40-acre farm being or forest resources have been depleted or are no lost every six hours. Floods can be devastating: longer profitable to exploit. There are many fine one in March, 1936, inundated 15,000 acres in colleges, and one-room schoolhouses. There are the Pennsylvania Susquehanna Basin, affected fruit farms, tobacco farms, crop farms, dairy more than 450,000 people. farms, some incomparably successful, some mar More important than mere resolution of water ginally subsisting. There are great reaches of problems in the Susquehanna region is realiza unspoiled public land where fish and game tion of the potentials inherent in integrated de abound, there are congested areas where people velopment of its water and related land re abound. There are power and transport in sources. The Susquehanna Basin is more than abundance, yet kerosene lamps and log roads. twice the size of the Delaware Basin, but has There is affluence, and there is poverty. Possibly only half as many people; it offers room for nowhere else in the United States is the varied growth. Population in the Pennsylvania sector national economy so well-mirrored in miniature. of the Basin has been rising— between 1950 and There are problems, too, some directly re 1960 it grew by 10.3 per cent, which compares lated to water. In years of regular rainfall such favorably with the state’s increase of 7.8 per problems tend to be overlooked, for normally cent. But the growth has been uneven. The al Pennsylvania is a water-rich state: her average ready populous Harrisburg-York-Lancaster area annual precipitation of 42 inches exceeds the posted a rise of 17 per cent, whereas the upper 16 business review river counties (principal cities Scranton, Wilkes- ment of the Basin’s several natural resources. Barre) and the Juniata Branch counties (prin Too often in the past, one resource was ex cipal city Altoona) lost 6.5 per cent. ploited without regard to the effect on another Water supply had little effect on the disparate resource; a telling example is coal mining, changes in population; other factors affecting which has contributed to acid pollution of over employment played major roles. In the growth 2,000 miles of Pennsylvania’s streams. Single area of Harrisburg-York-Lancaster, employment purpose development has ignored latent possi gains between 1950 and 1960 were greatest in bilities— a dam built solely for flood control the fields of government, finance, services, whole purposes might also have served to generate sale and retail trade, and electrical equipment, power, provide swimming and boating facilities, none of which is particularly water-oriented. De and hold water in reserve for times of drought, clining demand for hard coal, thus fewer jobs had it been constructed with these collateral in mining, was primarily causative of the pop purposes in view. ulation loss in the Scranton-Wilkes-Barre area. To aid the Corps of Engineers prepare a plan Altoona suffered a sizable decline in employ that would encompass integrated development ment in its transportation industry, railroading. of the several resources of the Susquehanna Water had little to do with either. Basin, the Congress also authorized other agen Water, however, together with simultaneous cies of the Federal Government to make related advance of other facilities, can do much to aid studies. There are now seven principal U. S. growth of the Susquehanna Basin. The area instrumentalities engaged in the survey. To looks to two kinds of growth, industrial and gether with their main spheres of interest, they recreational. Industries such as pulp and paper are: mills, steel mills, food processing plants, chem ical manufactories, and others dependent upon abundant, potable water, will find many suitable sites in central Pennsylvania. Camping areas, game preserves, streams plentiful with moun tain trout, and just the sheer beauty of unsullied Nature, will attract tourists in increasing num Corps of Engineers (Department of Defense) — flood damage prevention and control Department of Agriculture— resource factors in tributary areas of the Basin Department of Commerce— flood forecasting, federal aid highways Department of Health-Education-Welfare— ber, and generate employment in service indus water quality, economics related to water tries. Together, industry and recreational facili resources ties can promote growth of the Susquehanna Basin. Department of Interior— recreation, fish and game, coal resources and acid mine drain age pollution, geological factors Federal G o v e rn m e n t’s role When the Congress in 1961 directed the Corps of Engineers to prepare “ a comprehensive plan for the development of water and related land Federal Power Commission— matters inciden tal to hydropower Housing and Home Finance Agency— public works, urban renewal resources” in the Susquehanna Basin, it recog The various federal agencies and sub-agencies, nized the essentiality of simultaneous develop 16 in all, have some common interests, and are 17 business review generating data useful to each other. To mini states set up an Interstate Advisory Committee mize duplication of effort and to promote ex on the Susquehanna River Basin. Each state is change of information, they have constituted a equally represented on this committee, which has Susquehanna River Basin Study Coordinating a full-time director and a small staff. The chair Committee. Each agency, and each of the Basin man and two vice chairmen of the Advisory states— Pennsylvania, New York, Maryland— is Committee are the state’s official representatives represented on the committee. Meetings of the on the (federal) Study Coordinating Commit committee are open to press and public, and tee. thus the public is kept informed about progress The Advisory Committee is charged with a second responsibility, to conduct studies relat of the survey. ing to the Basin which do not come within the scope of activities of participating federal and State g o v e rn m e n t’s role of state agencies. One such study resulted in a Pennsylvania have specific interests or respon series of organizational charts delineating the sibilities in administration, research and plan interrelationships among the numerous federal ning, control, and development of the state’s and state agencies engaged in the survey. Thirteen agencies of the Commonwealth natural resources. They are the Departments of Agriculture, Commerce, Forest and Waters, Health, Highways, and Mines and Mineral In A third duty of the Advisory Committee is to draft an inter-governmental compact under which an action program for the Susquehanna dustries; the General State Authority, and the Basin may be carried out. A beginning draft of State Planning Board; the Fish, Game, and Pub this compact has been prepared. It is similar in lic Utility Commissions; the Sanitary Water some respects to the compact that created the Board, and the Water and Power Resources Delaware River Basin Commission and, like Board. Additionally, the Department of Internal the compact, must be approved by the affected Affairs has a general interest in the state’s re states and the Congress, and signed by the sources, as they relate to the Susquehanna Basin. President, to become operative. Inevitably, there is an overlapping of agency responsibilities in given aspects of resource de Tim etable velopment. In a few instances, coordination be It is anticipated that survey of the Susquehanna tween agencies is provided for by statute; in will be completed by 1968 or 1969. In the in most cases, however, there is no statutory man terim, legislatures of the three states will be date, and voluntary liaison has evolved. asked to approve a compact to undertake joint action to develop the Susquehanna River Basin. In terstate A d v iso r y C om m ittee By the time survey and compact are in being, Pennsylvania, New York, and Maryland have a interstate route numbers 80, 81, 83 and 84 will measure of direct participation in the Susque have made the Pennsylvania Susquehanna Basin hanna survey via their representation on the fed accessible to all points of the compass. There eral agencies’ Study Coordinating Committee. will then remain one more obstacle to be over In order to safeguard their interests further, and come by the interested parties: appropriation to promote liaison between themselves, the Basin of federal and state funds to implement the 18 business review master plan for development of the Basin. velop the Susquehanna Basin’s land, labor, Economists coined a catchword to describe power, raw materials, educational plant, and the present decade for the nation— “ The Soaring transportation facilities, jointly with its water Sixties.” Paraphrasing this for the Susquehanna, resources. Should plans now formulated come these ten years can be described aptly as the to fruition, Pennsylvania’s slogan for the next “ Searching Sixties.” They will see the end of decade could well be, “ The Seventies Belong to the first phase of an ambitious endeavor to de the Susquehanna.” 19 F O R T HE R E C O R D . . . 2 YEARS AGO YEAR AGO JULY 1965 Third Federal Reserve District United States Per cent change Per cent change Factory* Employ ment mo. ago year ago 7 mos. 1965 from year ago mo. ago year ago 7 mos. 1965 from year ago - July 1965 from 5 + 9 + 9 4 + 4 + July 1965 from LO CA L CH A N G ES - CO N ST R U C T IO N **............... COAL PRODUCTION............. -1 3 TRADE*** Department store sales.......... Department store stocks........ BA N K IN G (All member banks) Deposits............................ Loans................................ Investments......................... U.S. Govt, securities........... Other.............................. Check payments.................. - 2 1 0 1 + 8 + 7 + 4 + 10 + 9 + 7 + 4 + 10 + 4 + 8 +15 + +18 + 6 -2 3 + 9 + 1 + •Production workers only ••Value of contracts •••Adjusted for seasonal variation Check Payments* Per cent change JULY '65 from Per cent change JULY '65 from Per cent change JULY '65 from year ago mo. ago year ago + 6 - 1 + 9 mo. ago +17 + 8 4 year ago 0 Harrisburg......... + 2 + 2 - 2 + 4 Lancaster.......... 0 + 5 - 1 + 8 +10 Philadelphia....... mo. ago year ago + 5 Lehigh Valley. . . . 2 +20 + + 3 +27 6 + 2 +16 - 1 + - 3 0 1 1 0 Of + + + + + 6 n 1 7 15 13t + 8 +11 + 2 - 5 + 14 +13+ - 3 1 0 - 1 + 1 0 + 9 +14 + 4 - 5 + 17 + 10 + 10 + 14 + 3 - 4 +1 4 +11 0 + 3 + 1 + 10 +10 - 2 Reading............ - 1 + 5 - 5 + 8 + 13 + 6 + 2 + 7 Scranton........... + 1 + 3 + 1 + 8 + 4 + 1 + 9 + Trenton............. - 1 + 3 0 + + 12 - 4 - 3 + 16 Wilkes-Barre. . . . - 1 + 2 - 1 + 5 + + 6 - 3 +14 0 + 4 + 1 + 7 + 10 + 14 + 5 +39 + - 2 + 12 + 8 + 9 + + 13 Wilmington........ PRICES Consumer.......................... Department Store Salesf mo. ago MANUFACTURING Electric power consumed. . . . Man-hours, total*............... Employment, total................ W age income*.................... Payrolls Per cent change JULY '65 from SU M M ARY Ot + 2t + 2+ 0 0 + 2 + 2 + + f20 Cities JPhiladelphia 1 1 York................ +1 6 6 3 1 8 8 *N ot restricted to corporate limits of cities but covers areas of one or more counties. fAdjusted for seasonal variation.