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THE BUSINESS REVIEW THIRD FEDERAL PHILADELPHIA RESERVE DISTRICT November i, 192.8 By RICHARD L. AUSTIN, Chairman and Federal Reserve Agent FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of PHILADELPHIA B U SIN E SS C O N D IT IO N S IN T H E U N IT E D S T A T E S Volume of production and distribution of commodities increased seasonally in September and was larger than a year ago. There was a further advance in the general price level. Loans of member banks in leading cities increased in Sep tember and October in response to the seasonal demand for commercial credit. P rod u ction . Industrial production in creased further in September, and the output of manufactures was in larger vol ume than in any previous month. Factory employment and payrolls also increased. Production of iron and steel and of au tomobiles was unusually large during September and October, although there has recently been some curtailment of operations in these industries. There were also increases in September in the activity of the textile, meat packing, and tire industries, and in the output of coal, petroleum, and copper, while lumber pro duction showed a decline. Building contracts awarded, after de clining in volume for three months, in creased considerably in September and exceeded all previous records for that month. The increase was due chiefly to certain large contracts for industrial plants and subway construction. During the first three weeks of October awards exceeded those for the same period last IND U STR IAL PER CENT 150 year, the excess being especially large in the Eastern Districts. Department of Agriculture estimates of this year’s crop yields indicate that the production of all crops in the aggregate will exceed last year’s output by about 5 per cent. The corn crop is estimated at 2,903,000,000 bushels, or 5 per cent above last year’s production. The October 8 estimate indicated a cotton crop of 13,993,000 bales, or 446,000 bales less than was forecast on September 8, compared with a yield of 12,955,000 in 1927. T rade. Department store sales in creased considerably in September and were larger than a year ago, reflecting in part the influence of cooler weather. Inventories of department stores at the end of the month were smaller than on the same date of last year. Wholesale distribution in all leading lines except meats was somewhat smaller than in September, 1927. Freight car loadings showed more than a seasonal increase in September and continued large in Octo ber. Shipments of miscellaneous com modities in recent weeks have continued in larger volume than in previous years. P rices. Wholesale commodity prices increased further in September and the Bureau of Labor Statistics Index ad vanced to 100.1 per cent of the 1926 average. Increases, which were largest in farm products and foods, occurred in nearly all groups except hides and leather and textiles, which showed slight declines. Since the latter part of September there have been decreases in the prices of live stock and meats, grains, wool, and hides, and increases in cotton, silk, rubber, and iron and steel. Bank credit. Demand for bank credit for commercial purposes increased be tween the middle of September and the middle of October, reflecting seasonal activity in trade and the marketing of crops. There was also a growth in loans to brokers and dealers in securities, though total loans on securities of re porting member banks showed little change. During the four weeks ending October 24, a growth of about $40,000,000 in the total volume of reserve bank credit in use was due chiefly to continued increase in the demand for currency offset in part by a small inflow of gold from abroad. Reserve bank holdings of acceptances in creased by about $130,000,000 during the period, while the volume of discounts for member banks declined by about $100,000,000. United States security holdings remained practically unchanged. Open market rates on commercial PRODUCTION PER CENT 150 10 0 50 0 50' 1924 1925 1926 1927 1928 In d ex n u m b e r o f p r o d u c tio n o f m a n u fa ctu re s a n d m in era ls c o m b in e d , a d ju s te d fo r seasonal va ria tion s (1923-25 average = 10 0 ). L a test fig u re, S ep tem b er, 114. 1924 M o n th ly averages o f d a ily figu res fo r 12 F ed eral reserve b an k s. L a test figures are aver ages o f first 23 d ays in O cto b e r. 1925 1926 1927 1928 M o n th ly averages o f w e e k ly figu res fo r b a n k s in 101 le a d in g citie s. L a te st figu res are aver ages fo r first th re e w e e k ly re p o rt d a te s in O c to b e r. Page One BUSINESS INDICATORS Philadelphia Federal Reserve District Latest figure compared with September, 1928 Previous month Retail trade— estimated net sales (127 stores). Department stores (59)................................ Apparel stores (34)....................................... Shoe stores (18)............................................ Credit stores (16).......................................... I n d e x o f U n it e d S t a t e s B u r e a u o f L a b o r S t a t is t i c s (1926 = 100, b a s e a d o p t e d b y b u r e a u ) . L a t e s t fig u r e , S e p t e m b e r , 100.1. paper and on bank acceptances remained unchanged between the middle of Sep tember and the latter part of October, while rates on security loans declined in October. B U SIN E SS C O N D IT IO N S IN T H E P H IL A D E L P H IA F E D E R A L R E S E R V E D IS T R IC T Business and industrial activity in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve District has continued to advance toward some what higher levels than those usually pre vailing at this season. The production and distribution of goods have increased materially in recent weeks, and in many instances have reached the peak for this year or for some years past. The busi ness situation this fall in fact has been in sharp contrast with that existing at the same time last year when trade and in dustry were less active than is usual at this season. Retail trade continues to show sea sonal gains. Sales of reporting stores in creased considerably during September and were almost 6 per cent larger than in the same month last year. The whole sale and jobbing trade also is active, most of the reporting lines indicating a larger volume of business. Sales in September were larger than in August but smaller than in September, 1927. Railroad shipments of commodities in the Allegheny district are more than sea sonally active, and in September reached the largest volume since the fall of 1926. The movement of merchandise and mis cellaneous commodities in the four weeks ending about the middle of October was at the highest point for this year and was ahead of the amount in the same period last year or two years ago. Check payments in this district during September established a record volume for that month. In the four weeks ended October 17, they were 17.4 per cent greater than four weeks before and ex ceeded those for the same period last year by 14.5 per cent. Stimulated by a larger demand for manufactured goods, industrial operations have expanded further during the month. Factory employment increased in Sep Page Two Year ago .$19,964,900 .$16,245,200 ..$2,430,200 ___ $332,000 ....$ 957 ,500 + 33.9 % +36.7 “ + 35.7 “ + 14.5 “ .$ 8 , 939,100 . . . $ 200,900 . $ 1 , 513,400 . . . $ 808,300 . . . $ 486,900 .$ 3 , 114,000 . $ 1 , 599,700 . . . $ 436,200 . . . $ 779,700 + 3.7 “ + 9.0 “ Productive activity: Employment—806 plants in Penna................... Wage payments in above plants........................ Shoe production* (92 factories)......................... Hosiery production* (131 mills)........................ Wool consumption* (85 mills)........................... Active cotton spindle hours (Penna. and N. J .). Pig iron production............................................ Iron casting production (38 foundries)............. Steel casting production (10 foundries)............ Anthracite........................................................... Bituminous coal—Penna.................................... Cement................................................................ Electric power output (11 systems).................. 265,055 .................... $ 6 , 761,511 prs...........1, 383,619 doz.prs.. .1, 358,238 lbs........... 7, 189,413 ...............59, 994,772 tons............ 298,089 tons............ ..6,606 tons............ ..4,089 tons........ 6, 036.000 tons........ 10 ,137,000 bbls......... 3, 601.000 KW H .. 468, 658,000 + 0.7 1 - 0.2 + 0.9 “ 1 .6 “ + + + 27.6 “ 1 4 .3 “ 9.6 “ 15.3 “ 8.5 “ 3 .1 “ 11.3 “ 1 5 .3 “ Distribution: Freight car loadings (Allegheny district— weekly average) Tonnage of vessels (Port of Philadelphia)........................ ....................222,632 tons........ 3,591,215 Wholesale trade— net sales (119 firms). Boots and shoes (6)........................... Drugs (12)......................................... Dry goods (16).................................. Electrical supplies (4 )....................... Groceries (35).................................... Hardware (24)................................... Jewelry (11)....................................... Paper (11).......................................... Financial and credit: Debits (17 cities)................................................................ Savings deposits (95 banks)............................................... Bills discounted held by F. R. B. of Phila. (daily average) Bankers’ acceptances executed (8 banks for month ended October 10)..................................................................... - 2.1 “ + 23.0 “ + 24.6 “ + 2.1 “ + 1.7 “ + 9.1 “ - 4.5 “ - - 8.3 ' 1.8 1 -1 3 .9 + 14.6 1 0.6 + ' - 3.1 ' -2 5 .8 ' -1 2 .3 ' 0.8 ‘ -1 0 .3 2 .1 - 5.8% 3.6 “ 9.8 “ + 1.1 “ + 46.1 “ 4.7 “ - 15.6 “ 4.6 “ - 1 7 .2 “ 2.3 “ + 2.7 “ - 12.5 “ 6.7 “ + 4.2 “ + 3.5 - 4.2 1.9 4.3 + “ ended October 10).................................................... Commercial paper sales (5 dealers)................................ + 9.7 1 + 0.5 1 + 7 .5 ' + 4 .8 “ +178.8 “ + 3.0 ' + 12.3 “ - ..$2,336,300 Bankers’ acceptances outstanding (8 banks for month 2.1 -1 5 .1 -2 4 .1 -2 5 .8 + 8.3 “ - 73.9 “ 9.6 “ + 80.4 “ .$11,727,100 .$45,633,500 -3 1 .0 + 34.3 - 28.7 “ + 13.6 “ ............4,444 .$15,099,000 - 7.0 4.9 - -17.0 -16.0 + .$2,613,004,000 ...$683,848,600 ...$106,500,000 .$5,144,000 .$13,737,000 ..$2,757,500 Commercial failures— number........................................ Commercial failures— liabilities...................................... ................... 66 Building and real estate: Building permits (16 cities)......................................... Building contracts awarded (Philadelphia district). . Number of real estate deeds recorded (Philadelphia county)...................................................................... Value of mortgages recorded (Philadelphia county).. Miscellaneous: Sales of life insurance (Penna., N. J., and D el.)........ Retail sales of automobiles (11 distributors).............. Wholesale sales of automobiles (12 distributors)....... + 6.1 “ + + + .$69,083,000 . .$2,623,900 ..$4,860,700 - 12.0 6.2 5.6 “ 34.3 “ 6.1 ' + 14.6 ' + 20.8' * Bureau of Census preliminary figures. tember and the volume of payrolls for the first time exceeded that in the same month last year. The demand for in dustrial workers continued to increase indicating a steady improvement in pro ductive operations. On the basis of actual working days, consumption of electric power by industries in this district increased substantially in the month and was considerably ahead of the quantity used in September, 1927. Significant is the fact that inventories carried by reporting manufacturers gen erally speaking are moderate, and show a considerable decline as compared with the volume of a month and a year ago. This decrease has been especially marked in metals, textile products, shoes, and building materials. Building operations in September ex perienced a sharp recovery from the de cline in August, as evidenced by a large increase in the value of contracts awarded. The value of building permits, however, continued to decline. Real es tate transactions in Philadelphia also showed marked decrease in the month and in the year. Favored by colder weather, the demand for anthracite by householders has im proved appreciably in recent weeks. This is also true of the bituminous market which has become more active than a month ago in sympathy with the general betterment of manufacturing industries. Rates for commercial paper and bank ers’ acceptances have not changed re cently, but call loans secured by stock ex change collateral averaged lower in the first three weeks of October than in Sep tember. Member banks in this district report declines in loans on securities and in other loans and discounts which are largely commercial in character. Member banks reduced their borrowings from the Federal Reserve Bank to 80 millions on October 17, the lowest point since the middle of June. F IN A N C IA L C O N D IT IO N S Rates for prime commercial paper and ninety-day bankers’ bills on October 19 were 5J2 per cent and 4 y2 per cent, re / spectively, unchanged from quotations a month ago. Ninety-day time money reached a high point at 7 ^ per cent late in September, but since has declined to 7 per cent and the average rate for call money renewals in the first twenty days of October was 7.04 per cent, as com pared with 7.35 per cent in the same period last month. In Philadelphia the predominant rates to customers on prime commercial paper were 5^2 to per cent in the week ended October 15. Brokers’ loans continued to increase in the past month. In the eight-week period ending October 17, the total has expanded 463 millions to 4,664 millions. Comparative figures, as reported by New Y ork City member banks, follow : (In millions of dollars) Oct. 17, Aug. 22, Oct. 19, 1928 1928 1927 890 For out-of-town banks. . 1,733 2,041 809 1,512 1,880 1,096 1,350 988 4,664 4,201 Sept., 1928, compared with Sept., 1927 CONDITIONS Philadelphia Federal Employ Reserve District ment Allentown Harrisburg Johnstown Lancaster Philadelphia Reading Scranton Trenton Wilkes-Barre Williamsport Wilmington York area.. . “ ... “ ... “ . .. “ ... “ ... “ ... “ ... “ ... “ ... “ ... “ ... - - 6.6% + 3.1 -1 6 .3 - 8.3 - 9.6 + 3.0 + 5.6 - 4.4 - 9.8 - 8.1 + 2.7 - 3.1 Value of building permits Debits Savings deposits Retail trade sales Electric power sales + 80.3% - 24.2 “ - 58.9 “ - 41.3 “ - 47.0 “ - 49.9 “ + 26.9 “ 4 .3 “ + 13.9 “ +476.0 “ 0 .0 “ +162.9 “ - 34.8 “ + 1.9% -1 9 .0 “ - 1.3 * -2 9 .2 “ + 7.2 “ + 9.1 “ - 2.3 “ - 1 8 .5 “ + 2.7 “ -1 5 .3 “ - 1.4 “ + 21.6 “ + 7.1 “ + 4.2% + 4.0 “ + 1.5 “ - 0.9 “ + 19.4 “ + 7.0 “ + 0.3 “ - 4.2 “ + 5.4 “ - 1.8 “ - 1.2 “ + 5.4 “ + 3.3 “ + 2.6% + 30.6 “ + 24.2 “ + 1.3 “ + 7.9 “ + 5.3 “ + 4.3 “ - 7.8 “ + 2.7 “ + 0.7 “ + 15.4 “ + 5.9 “ ............% * + 1.0 “ Wage payments 7.2% + 1.3 - 4.7 -1 0 .8 - 8.8 + 10.1 - 0.3 - 2.6 - 9.5 - 0.6 + 4.9 0 “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ + 2.7 « f + 3.6 “ + 8.0 “ +41.1 “ + 4.8 “ +11.3 “ t ................§ ................§ + 26.4 “ + 21.5 “ Sept., 1928, compared with Aug., 1928 Allentown area. .. “ .. Altoona u .. Harrisburg u .. Johnstown u .. Lancaster “ .. Philadelphia “ .. Reading a ... Scranton u .. Trenton Wilkes-Barre “ .. Williamsport u “ .. Wilmington York + + + + + - + + + + 4.7% 0.6 “ 3.0 “ 3.0 “ 1.8 “ 2.6 “ 0.8 “ 3.3 “ 2.0 “ 1.1 “ 2.2 “ 1.6 “ 1.5 “ + + + + + - 6.4% 0.6 “ 2.7 “ 5.9 “ 1.4 “ 5.1 “ 4.1 “ 2.3 “ 0.9 “ + 2.9 “ - 3.0 “ 0 “ + 2.5 “ + 133.5% - 87.0 “ - 68.7 “ + 16.5 “ + 58.4 “ - 49.3 “ +100.6 “ - 35.4 “ - 48.3 “ +255.4 “ - 12.4 “ + 187.8 “ + 45.3 “ + + + 3.3% 7.8 “ 5.3 “ 5.5 “ 8.2 “ 11.3 “ + 3.7 “ + 6.0 “ - 0.4 “ + 6.6 “ + 6.2 “ +20.1 “ + 1.1 “ + + + + + + + + + 0.2% 0.6 “ 0.1 “ 0.5 “ 1.1 “ 0.8 “ 0.6 “ 0.0 “ 0.1 “ 0.6 “ 0.1 “ 0.1 “ 1.2 “ + 9.2% + 10.5 “ + 29.8 “ + 2.8 “ + 17.7 “ + 4 4 .8 “ + 0.7 “ + 11.2 “ +15.6 “ + 21.3 “ + 20.8 “ + 2.1 “ - 2.6 % * 8.7 “ - 2.8 “ f + 4.1 “ + 3.5 “ - 4.3 “ - 4.1 “ + 11.0 “ t ..............§ ..............§ + 4.3 “ + 15.1 “ 3,434 Commercial loans of reporting member banks in leading cities of the country expanded seasonally in the four weeks ended October 17, whereas loans on se curities and investments declined. The circulation of money has increased in the past month. No Canadian move ment of gold was reported between Sep tember 19 and October 17, but imports through New York amounted to 10.5 millions, of which about 10 millions came from the United Kingdom; exports were less than 3 millions. There was little change in the cash reserves of the federal reserve system, and a small decline in its total holdings of bills and securities, despite a seasonal increase in holdings of purchased bills. Borrowings from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia were in excess of 100 millions over most of the month, but in the week ended October 17 the mem ber banks reduced their borrowings to 80 millions. Taking the four-week period as MONEY IN CIRCULATION AND Billions MONETARY GOLD STOCK D LLA S O R i 5,0 w 4.8 4.6 4.4 MONEY IN CIRCULATIC> N > golc Changes in Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Oct. 17, (Dollar figures in 1928 millions) Bills discounted for member banks in Philadelphia.......... $ 45.4 20 other large cities 23.5 Other communities 11.3 Total bills discounted.......... $ 80.2 Bills bought.............. 18.5 United States and other securities.. . . 20.7 Total bills and securities........... Member banks’ re serve deposits........ Federal reserve note circulation............. Cash reserves, total. . Reserve ratio............ $119.4 135.9 Four weeks One year -$ 2 3 .4 + 1.1 1.7 +$28.9 + 13.1 .4 -$ 2 4 .0 + 5.6 +$41.6 + 5.9 - - 1.5 17.6 -$ 1 9 .9 +$29.9 - - 1.7 f Production (not sales). 1.8 128.2 2.4 2.9 174.5 + 11.7 - 32.6 65.8% + 6.6% -1 0 .8 % a whole, a reduction of 24 millions in bills discounted was reported, due largely to Philadelphia member banks. Deposit and note liabilities declined and the cash re serves of this bank increased, with a re Reporting member banks in twenty-one leading cities (In millions in dollars) Changes in Oct. 17, 1928 Total loans and dis counts: Philadelphia*........ $ Outside Philadelphiaf.................. 1926 -1 3 .9 +24.9 + 2.3 + 21.5 Totals............ $1,058.1 -1 1 .6 +46.4 294.9 - 5.5 -2 5 .5 221.9 + .9 516.8 - 4.6 Investments: Philadelphia*........ Outside Philadel phia! .................. Totals............ $ \ \ Time deposits: Philadelphia*........ Outside Philadel phia! .................. 1927 - 3.2 -2 8 .7 587.2 - 2.1 -5 6 .7 241.8 - 6.4 -1 2 .0 Totals............ $ 829.0 \ \ 1928 One year 670.1 - 8.5 -6 8 .7 216.6 - 3.6 +25.4 280.2 - .7 + 1.0 496.8 - 4.3 +26.4 Totals............ $ 4.0 A---------1925 Five weeks 388.0 wtw STOCK J Includes Camden area sulting rise in the reserve ratio from 59.2 per cent on September 19 to 65.8 per cent on October 17, the highest since June 13. Declines in loans on securities and in other loans and discounts were reported by member banks in Philadelphia in the five weeks ended October 17, but outside of this city small increases were reported. The total loans and discounts of 114 member banks in 21 cities of the Phila delphia Federal Reserve District de creased about 12 millions and net demand and time deposits fell nearly 13 millions. Net demand deposits: Philadelphia*........ Outside Philadel phia! .................. f V— MONi:tary -'■ * Includes Wilkes-Barre and Williamsport area, § Included in Allentown area. 1929 * 32 banks, f 82 banks. Page Three Investments declined between 4 and 5 millions, notwithstanding a new issue of United States Government certificates of indebtedness on October 15. Allotments of these securities to banks in the district aggregated $29,700,000, of which $26,319,500 was paid for by deposit credit. Commercial paper sales. Owing to very small purchases by Philadelphia banks, sales of commercial paper declined in September. The reports of five deal ers are summarized below : bonds, however, changed little in the month ended October 20. Trading in stocks on the New York Stock Exchange, excluding Saturdays, has averaged in excess of 4,000,000 shares daily since the beginning of September. The return on 33 industrial common stocks in September was 4.2 per cent, according to the Standard Statistics Company, as compared with 4.9 per cent a year earlier. IN D U S T R IA L C O N D IT IO N S Sales to city banks Sales to country banks Total sales 1928— Sept........ $ 225,000 $2,532,500 $2,757,500 Aug........ 1,717,500 1,530,000 3,247,500 July........ 1,585,000 1,462,500 3,047,500 June........ 1,175,000 1,155,000 2,330,000 1927— Sept........ 5,970,200 4,612,500 10,582,700 Bankers’ acceptances. Acceptances executed by eight banks in Philadelphia increased from $4,993,000 in the month ended September 10, to $5,144,000 in the month of October 10, and compared with $4,581,000 a year earlier. The amount outstanding declined from $14,026,000 on September 10 to $13,737,000 on October 10. Figures collected by the American Acceptance Council show that $1,004,000,000 of bankers’ acceptances was out standing on September 30, as against $952,000,000 on August 31, and $864,000,000 on September 30, 1927. Securities. New capital issues (re funding excluded), as reported by the Commercial and Financial Chronicle, in creased from 247 millions in August to 499 millions in September, but were smaller than in the corresponding month last year, despite an increase in corporate issues which resulted chiefly from heavier offerings by public utilities. Figures taken from the “ Chronicle” follow : Sept. First 9 months (In millions of dollars) 1928 1927 1928 1927 Refunding excluded: Corporate issues Long term bonds and notes......................... Short term bonds and notes......................... Stocks........................... 226 234 2,015 2,563 Total corporate............... Other issues..................... 391 372 3,775 3,810 108 163 1,525 1,783 Grand totals................ 499 535 5,300 5,593 7 31 167 207 158 107 1,593 1,040 Following a period of hesitancy, indus trial stock prices moved to higher levels in October, according to an average pre pared by Dow, Jones and Company. Their averages of 20 rail stocks and of 40 Page Four Industrial activity in this district, as in the country, has continued the expansion begun early in the fall. Operations of manufacturing plants have reached the highest rate this year and compare favor ably with the high levels customary at this season. Reports are replete with evidence of this broadening. The volume of manu factures in many lines is approaching the record mark; the demand for labor con tinues strong, employment remains well sustained, and payrolls are growing larger; corporate earnings are better; the agricultural situation seems to be fairly satisfactory; and the demand for finished goods is increasingly active. In striking contrast is the fact that in the fall of 1927 employment declined al most steadily, and general business and industrial production showed a smaller rise than is usual at this season. This movement, too, occurred at a time when money rates were low, while the reversal of the situation this year has been in the face of higher money rates, which ap parently have exerted virtually no adverse influence on either the marketing or the production of commodities. Manufacturing. The market for most manufactured products is active, the de mand having increased sharply since the middle of last month. The majority of lines also report more than favorable comparisons with the volume of business at the same time last year. Prices gen erally show little change from the level of four weeks ago. The demand for fabricated iron and steel products remains unusually strong and sales have increased substantially since last month. Manufacturing plants, jobbers, construction companies, public utilities, railroads, and foundries are buy ing more heavily. Prices of finished metal products generally have advanced in the month. Activity in the principal textile prod ucts also continues to show rapid recov ery from the dullness prevailing a few months ago. Considerable improvement is noted in the sale of cotton and wool manufactures, full-fashioned and seamless hosiery, and floor coverings. While the demand for silk goods is only fair, it is somewhat better than four weeks ago. The call for silk and wool fibers, how ever, has slackened a little during the month. The clothing market is moder ately active, though practically no change has occurred since last month. Com parisons with the volume of textile busi ness a year ago as a rule are favorable. In sympathy with raw cotton, prices of cotton yarns and fabrics have advanced in the month, though still remaining be low last year’s level. Quotations for silk goods have declined, while those for raw silk have risen as compared with a month and a year ago. Prices of domes tic and foreign wool fibers, as well as of wool manufactures, have receded slightly during the month but continued well ahead of those at the same time last year. Business in shoes and leather shows little change. Some gain is noted in the sale of shoes, but in sole leather and in black and colored kid there have been slight declines. A few reports of price advances in shoes and kid leather have been received while several returns show declines in quotations for sole leather. Manufacturers of building materials, particularly electrical supplies, lumber, cement, and paint, have experienced a further rise in demand for their products, although the comparison with sales of a year ago still remains unfavorable. With the exception of advances in lumber and declines in paint, prices of building ma terials show no pronounced change. Orders on the books of reporting man ufacturers show substantial gains during the month, and generally are not far be hind the volume of a year ago. This is especially true of most of the leading textile lines and of cigars and paint. Un filled orders of the United States Steel Corporation at the end of September were about 2 per cent larger than the month before and nearly 18 per cent greater than those on the same date last year. Advance business for steel cast ings in this district also rose about 35 per cent in the month and 39 per cent in the year. Orders on the books of iron foundries, while declining about 4 per cent from August to September, were al most 20 per cent larger than at the end of September, 1927. New orders for fabri cated structural steel, though smaller than in August, were noticeably ahead of the volume a year before. In response to this pronounced growth in demand for finished goods, the volume of output has increased materially since the early part of September, and plant operations in many lines have experienced a noticeable expansion. The demand for labor by employers has continued ex ceptionally active, as indicated by a greater number of open positions per applicant. The ratio of positions avail able to applicants in Pennsylvania rose during September nearly 2 per cent and was almost 44 per cent higher than in September, 1927. Factory employment in Pennsylvania, though still slightly less than a year ago, showed an increase of about 1 per cent from August to September. Pay rolls, on the other hand, while declining a little in the month, on account of Labor Day, exceeded for the first time this year the volume of a year before, the gain being almost 2 per cent. Last year at the same time employment declined onetenth of 1 per cent and payrolls dropped over 2 per cent. Sept., 1928 change from Sept., 1927* Aug., 1928t Rated generator capacity. . . . + 26.1% - 0.8% Generated output.................... Hydro-electric..................... Steam................................... Purchased............................ + 15.3 “ +410.8 “ 0.9 “ + 7 .6 “ Sales of electricity................... Lighting............................... Municipal........................ Residential and commercial................................ Power................................... Municipal........................ Street cars and railroads . Industries......................... All other sales...................... + 18,8 “ + 2.6 “ + 12.1 “ + 11.8 “ + 6 . 7 “ + 8.6 “ + 13.0 + 11.6 +317.3 + 8.6 + 9.7 + 62.1 “ “ “ “ “ “ - 2.1 -4 6 .6 +17.3 - 0.5 +12.3 - 1.3 - 3.9 + 3.7 - 2.4 + 9.8 “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ * 9 systems f 11 systems The iron and steel industry has con tinued to enlarge its operations in an effort to meet the requirements for the last quarter of this year. Daily produc tion of pig iron in this district increased 4 per cent from August to September, while in the country the gain amounted to less than 1 per cent. Daily output of steel ingots also showed a gain of more than 7 per cent. EMPLOYMENT AND WAGES in Pennsylvania All manufacturing industries ( 5 1 ) ...................... 806 8 9 .3 Per cent change since Per cent change since index * Sept., 1927 Aug., 1928 $25 .71 - 0 .2 $25 .51 0 .5 2 7 .2 8 2 8 .0 5 -1 1 .5 - 4.6 + 7.4 - 2.3 - 5.6 + 22.5 + 7.1 + 0.4 +12.6 + 3.7 + 2.7 + 2.2 29.17 27.67 26.42 26.80 28.85 28.96 26.81 30.74 24.58 27.96 23.99 25.57 29.85 29.01 25.47 27.87 29.86 26.75 27.03 30.75 24.48 28.80 23.68 23.96 6 6 .2 -1 7 .3 - 0 .5 2 8 .4 0 2 8 .3 0 90.1 84.4 53.3 75.1 24.5 + 30.0 + 32.3 -2 3 .6 -1 0 .2 -6 0 .8 - 2.4 + 1.3 - 3.1 - 7.2 + 47.6 28.90 30.73 27.17 25.67 31.02 29.33 30.75 27.56 25.93 22.73 - 1 .8 -2 1 .3 -1 6 .7 + 2.7 + 12.5 - 2.9 - 4.4 + 6.9 + 14.3 -2 1 .0 + 6.8 + 3.1 + 1 .8 + 4.8 - 1.9 - 0.3 + 3.5 - 2.0 + 0.5 + 5.3 - 0.1 + 4.2 + 10.5 + 7.9 2 1 .7 9 2 1 .2 3 22.53 21.14 18.79 26.43 23.21 25.64 27.49 17.42 19.78 14.96 15.55 21.99 20.39 18.22 26.10 24.11 25.49 26.25 17.76 21.48 14.36 14.86 + + + 0 .6 + 2 .0 2 0 .5 2 2 0 .0 5 99.3 101.1 102.4 96.9 3.8 6.6 1.0 1.9 - + 4.2 -1 0 .3 + 8.3 28.66 18.43 31.67 29.84 28.51 19.09 31.74 28.15 2.3 102.0 + 1.8 + 4 .2 14.99 14.08 8 1 .8 -1 3 .4 2 7 .6 8 87.3 85.0 80.9 - 6.6 -2 4 .2 - 2.5 - 6 .3 + 0.9 -1 5 .2 + 1.5 2 6 .6 6 - 7.5 -2 4 .1 + 2.4 - 2 .8 - 1.8 -1 0 .4 + 5.6 24.01 31.52 23.98 23.38 33.24 24.97 - + 0 .6 8 8 .5 2 .5 2 2 .3 6 2 1 .9 1 80.8 92.0 121.6 - 6 .8 - 1.8 - 9.5 -1 4 .9 + - 1.7 + 6.4 - 7.9 - 3.5 +12.9 - 9.5 20.96 25.64 17.73 21.36 24.19 18.05 104.0 93.5 119.9 112.9 121.4 96.5 + + 0 .9 2 8 .3 9 2 8 .9 8 + 3.8 +12.6 + 1.3 - 5.9 + 2.2 + 2.4 - 0.4 +12.9 - 2.5 + 1.0 26.50 28.72 25.93 25.47 29.49 27.55 28.71 23.37 26.33 30.54 + + + + - 1.0 1 0 4 .8 0.5 109.9 1.3 93.7 8.7 109.0 1.9 98.6 + + - + 1.0 + 0.4 - 0.5 +12.1 + 3.0 2 3 .2 2 2 3 .2 2 25.85 18.05 21.79 30.85 25.86 18.36 21.15 29.38 + + + 0 .3 1 0 3 .6 2 9 .4 9 92.1 110.1 115.3 + + 2 9 .1 1 1.1 4.6 0.8 + 0 .9 4.4 1.7 0.6 4.6 2.1 2.0 28.05 14.63 32.91 29.11 14.98 32.54 6.7 2.9 6.9 1 0 3.7 + + + - 2.7 0.5 4.1 4.6 0.4 92.5 89.7 102.3 -1 7 .4 -1 1 .2 + 0.6 + 6.7 - 2.7 + 0.9 28.95 25.32 33.29 27.89 25.98 34.38 9 0 .7 Transportation eauipment.. Automobiles.................... Auto, bodies and parts. .. Locomotives and cars. . . . Railroad repair shops. . . . Shipbuilding.................... 6 7 .8 -1 6 .5 - 0 .9 89.9 88.9 56.7 77.5 23.0 + 18.9 + 28.5 -2 5 .3 - 6.2 -6 4 .3 + + 1.0 1.4 1.7 6.2 8.5 Textile products.................. 163 9 4 .5 Cotton g o o d s .................. 14 76.2 Woolens and worsteds. . . 15 85.1 Silk goods........................ 39 98.3 Textile dyeing & finishing 9 113.1 Carpets and rugs............. 10 79.2 4 96.6 Hats................................. Hosiery............................. 27 108.6 Knit goods, other............ 15 85.7 Men’s clothing................. 10 94.6 Women’s clothing............ 9 110.5 Shirts and furnishings . . . 92.3 11 - 3-0 -1 8 .8 -1 1 .5 - 0.2 - 2.1 - 3.6 - 1.9 + 1.4 + 10.6 -1 2 .1 +11.7 - 4.6 - 0 .8 9 9 .8 + + + + + + + + 2.3 4.8 3.5 2.1 1.8 0.1 0.6 1.7 5.9 6.0 2.9 73.9 84.6 100.9 125.3 72.8 97.2 133.4 84.5 94.5 115.7 89.2 Foods and tobacco.............. 102 9 9 .2 Bread & Bakery products 30 104.3 Confectionary................. 14 97.2 Ice cream......................... 11 95.7 Meat packing.................. 14 95.2 Sugar Refining................. Cigars and tobacco.......... 33 100.5 + - - 0 .4 - 0.7 + 7.9 -1 0 .1 + 1.9 1 0 0 .0 3.8 1.6 3.5 1.9 - 1.5 - Stone, clay & glass products Brick, tile and pottery.. . Cement............................. Glass................................. 66 30 14 22 8 3 .7 -1 1 .3 90.2 78.5 90.5 43 8 4 .6 17 79.2 20 85.0 6 110.5 + 1.8 -1 3 .2 -1 3 .7 Chemical products.............. Chemicals and drugs. . . . Coke................................. Explosives........................ Paints and varnishes. . . . Petroleum refining........... 48 9 7 .9 28 94.1 3 117.9 3 120.3 9 123.0 5 89.1 + 5 .4 + 2 .9 + 6.6 + 15.5 - 2.6 -1 0 .2 + 4.8 + + + + 6.6 0.4 1.7 0.7 4.5 Leather and rubber products Leather tanning.............. Shoes................................ Leather products, other. . Rubber tires and goods .. 51 9 8 .8 17 104.6 23 92.1 7 115.0 4 78.2 + - 0.3 2.2 6.2 8.6 Paper and printing.............. Paper and wood pulp. . . . Paper boxes and bags. . . . Printing and publishing. . 57 9 3 .5 13 84.3 6 98.0 38 104.3 + 110.8 31 103.9 5 99.2 59 95.6 95 94.8 + — - Construction & contracting Street railways.................... Aug. 15, 1928 - + 0 .7 + 2 .2 9 0 .9 - 9.5 43.2 + 0.1 78.7 92.9 + 3.5 + 1.5 104.5 - 2.4 100.3 77.3 + 13.0 + 7.0 87.9 111.4 + 0.5 + 12.2 224.3 99.8 + 6.8 + 1.2 84.8 - 4.3 100.8 4 15, 1928 + 1 .6 0 .9 + 3 .6 -2 9 .0 - 4.8 +12.1 +12.1 + 2.8 -1 3 .8 + 3.3 + 10.0 +63.1 + 11.7 - 6.4 + 25.6 40 6 11 13 6 Aug., 1928 Sept., 1927 AVEiRAGE WEE1KLY EARI vTINGS week ended + 9 .4 -2 5 .9 + 1.2 +22.6 + 18.5 + 9.4 -1 2 .6 + 5.5 + 20.8 +64.6 + 24.9 + 0.7 + 24.0 ' - Metal products................... 236 8 8 .9 Blast furnaces................. 9 40.9 Steel wks. & rolling mills. 44 77.3 Iron and steel forgings. . . 10 85.2 Structural iron work....... 10 107.5 Steam & hot water htg. ap. 17 94.5 Stoves and furnaces........ 9 76.3 Foundries......................... 39 88.1 Machinery and parts. . . . 40 103.1 Electrical apparatus........ 17 207.2 Engines and pumps......... 10 96.3 Hardware and tools........ 20 81.8 Brass and bronze prods. . 11 104.6 Lumber products................ Lumber and planing mills Furniture......................... Wooden boxes................. The number of wage earners in Dela ware increased about 3 per cent and the volume of wage disbursements nearly 2 per cent between August and September, the food industry showing the largest gain. In September, 1927, employment showed a gain of 4 per cent and wage payments a gain of 3 per cent. Employ ment and wage payments in New Jersey increased about 4 per cent in the month, while at the same time last year the num ber of workers increased less than 2 per cent and payrolls less than 1 per cent. Consumption of electrical energy by in dustries in this district has increased materially between August and Septem ber and as compared with a year earlier, when the total is reduced to the basis of actual working days, and in Philadel phia industrial power consumption in September was the largest on record. Total sales of electricity showed a gain of about 3 per cent in the month and less than 19 per cent as contrasted with Sep tember, 1927. The output of electric power by reporting central stations was about 2 per cent less than in August, but over 15 per cent larger than in the same month last year. ELECTRIC POWER Philadelphia Federal Reserve District PAYROLLS Sept., 1928 EM PLOYMENT Sept., 1928 No. of plants re port Sept, ing index * 0 .8 6 .5 1 :1 2 .1 Foundries making iron and steel cast ings, however, were somewhat less active during September than in August, al though their advance business increased considerably in comparison with the volume of a year ago. The output of steel barrels, about 20 per cent of which is produced in Penn 4 .0 0 .5 1.4 6.3 3.2 2.8 0 .2 6.1 0.1 5.5 0 .2 sylvania, continues well ahead of last year. The rate of operation of practically all major textile lines has risen further during the past four weeks. Plants are working at more than 75 per cent of capacity, which is nearly 3 per cent higher than a month ago. Consumption of raw Page Five Sept., 1928 (gross tons) Iron and steel Daily output Pig iron— United States. 102,077 Phila.Fed.Res. Dist............ 9,936 Steel Ingots— United States. 165,903 9 mos„ 1928, com pared with 9 mos., 1927 Change from Sept., 1927 + 10.4 % - 1 .5 % + 14.3 “ -9 .9 “ + 3 2 .0 “ + 9 .4 “ Source: Iron Age. IRON M ILLIONS TONS 5 AND smaller in September than in the same month last year, but the sale of cigarettes was nearly 2 per cent larger. Productive activity in paper plants remains practically unchanged. As a result of greater demand, flour mills have extended their operations con siderably, the present rate being about 80 per cent of capacity, which is some what higher than a month ago. The movement of flour and grain to and from the Port of Philadelphia is shown below : STEEL A ^UNHLL :d orders —-U S STEEL CORR .OUTPUT > STEEL 1 5T F NO 3 Flour and grain movement Port of Philadelphia (Figures in thousands of units) 1927 Jan. to Aug., incl. 1928 Jan. to Aug., incl. Increase or decrease A 3 2 y w s '~<JOUTPUT OF P O IRON __ _ r* 1 19 2 5 19 2 6 1927 1928 Source: Iron Age. wool and carpet wools, however, shows little change in the month on a basis of actual working days. Silk mills continue to show an increas ing rate of operation in response to new business calling largely for spring de livery. The movement of silk fibers de clined somewhat in September, as in dicated by the following table: Raw silk (in bales) Sept., 1927 Aug., 1928 Sept., 1928 Imports..................... Storage (warehouses) Mill takings.............. 52,475 58,986 50,107 62,930 50,975 50,821 47,286 50,464 47,797 Source: The Silk Association of America, Inc. Mill takings of American cotton de clined less than 6 per cent in the month and were about 21 per cent smaller than in September, 1927. Official estimates of the new cotton crop as of October 1 indicate a production of 13,993,000 bales as against an estimate of 14,439,000 bales a month before and an actual yield of 12,955,000 bales last year. The hosiery industry is more active than four weeks ago, the rate of opera tion increasing about 2 per cent. Shoe factories are working at about the same rate as last month, although there are some signs of slackening. Neither sole leather plants nor those preparing kid leather show much change since the middle of last month. Production of cigars continues season ally large, both cigar and tobacco plants having enlarged their operations during the past month. Distribution of cigars in the country, as indicated by the sale of revenue stamps, was about 8 per cent Page S ix Receipts— Flour............... bbls. Wheat..............bus. Corn................. “ O ther grains (o a t s , ry e , barley)......... “ Exports— Flour................bbls. Wheat..............bus. Corn................ “ O ther grains (o a t s , ry e , barley)......... “ Stocks on Sept. 1— Flour................bbls. Wheat..............bus. Corn................ “ per cent in the month. Other comparisons fo llo w : Building operations Sept., Change from 1928 (000’s Sept., omitted) 1927 Contract awards— P h ila . F ed . R es Total.................. $ 45,634 Residential........ 18,553 United States— 587,674 Residential........ 202,807 Permits issued— P h ila . F ed . R es. Dist. (16 cities) United States (533 + 13.6% + 0.8% + 4 . 3 “ + 23.3 “ +12.7 “ + 7.0 “ - 0.0 “ +14.4 “ 11,727 -2 8 .7 “ 267,261 - 1,367 15,405 441 1,156 4,494 1,005 + 211 .0,911 564 1,566 1,723 + 157 151 14,009 30 80 6,234 702 — — 71 7,775 672 785 739 — 46 74 1,739 40 73 905 16 — 1 834 24 — + — Source: The Commercial Exchange of Philadelphia. The manufacture of building materials shows little change in the rate of output as compared with four weeks ago, though electrical supplies, brick, and paint in dicate gains. Shipments of fabricated structural steel, while declining slightly from August to September, exceeded those for the same month last year. Current inventories generally are mod erate and show a considerable decline as compared with a month and a year ago. This is especially true of metals, textile products, shoes, and building materials. Building and real estate. The volume of building operations has shown a marked increase lately. The value of contracts awarded was over 34 per cent larger in September than in August, eastern Pennsylvania and Delaware being chiefly responsible for this gain. The value of permits issued in 16 cities of the district, on the other hand, declined 31 9 mos., 1928, com pared with 9 mos., 1927 3.6 “ 9.9 “ Sources: F. W. Dodge Corp. and S. W. Straus & Co The real estate market in Philadelphia has slackened further since the middle of last month. The number of real estate deeds and the value of mortgages re corded during September decreased ap preciably as compared with the preceding month and a year earlier. Sheriff’s sales of properties, while declining nearly 4 per cent in the month, were almost 35 per cent in excess of those in September, 1927. Coal. Cooler weather has stimulated considerably the demand for anthracite, particularly domestic sizes, buying by householders being more active than at the same time last year. Quotations generally have advanced in the month. Colliery operations have increased sharply in recent weeks. The output in the four weeks ended October 13 totaled 7,267,000 tons, a gain of about 21.3 per cent over the previous four weeks and 10.9 per cent over the total for the same period last year. The demand for bituminous, while still only fair, also has been greatly quickened by the general improvement in the manu facturing industries. Mining activity has continued to show noticeable expansion. Production in the country during the four weeks ended October 13 rose to 43,395,000 tons, which was an increase of 14.7 per cent as compared with the previ ous four weeks and 6.4 per cent over the same period last year when operations in many collieries were suspended on account of strike. Agriculture. Favored by good weather, farm operations are moving for ward actively. The planting of winter wheat is well under way but indicated acreage is somewhat smaller than that of last year. Plowing is fully up to nor mal for this time, more than half of it being already finished. Nearly all of the tobacco, peach, and pear crops have been completed, and the digging of late pota toes and corn cutting is in full swing. The quality of truck and fruit crops as a rule is higher than that in 1927, the color, size, soundness and texture of fruits being above the average. Dairy herds compare favorably with the normal October condition. The num ber of marketable hogs is said to be a trifle smaller than at the same time last year, and the new hogs are in good mar ket condition. The supply of farm labor appears to be sufficient. The following table gives comparisons of some leading crops in this district and in the United States: Crop estimates (Figures in thou sands of units) P h ila . F ed . R es. Dist.— Corn..............bus. Oats.............. “ Potatoes (white). . . . “ Tobacco........lbs. Hay (tame).. tons 1927 yield Estimate, Per cent Oct., 1, change 1928 45,929 24,844 47,704 21,427 + 3.9 -1 3 .8 25,998 44,880 3,636 29,651 45,570 3,398 +14.1 + 1.5 - 6.5 United States— Corn..............bus. 2,773,708 2,903,272 Oats.............. “ 1,184,146 1,452,966 Potatoes 406,964 463,722 (white).. “ Tobacco........lbs. 1,195,880 1,353,258 Hay (tame).. tons 106,468 92,688 + 4.7 +22.7 +13.9 +13.2 -1 2 .9 Source: Department of Agriculture. D IS T R IB U T IO N Railroad shipments of merchandise and miscellaneous commodities in the Alle gheny district during September and the first fortnight of October have averaged larger in volume than in August, reflect ing the seasonal tendency; they have also exceeded the amount shown for the same period last year and two years ago. In the four weeks ended October 6, load ings of these commodities totaled 634,064 cars, a gain of 3.9 per cent as compared with a year ago and 2.4 per cent over the same period in 1926. Freight car loadings of all commodities in this section also show more than a seasonal increase. In September they reached the largest volume since the fall of 1926, and continued to be larger in October than last year. In the four weeks ended October 6 shipments totaled 930,581 cars, a gain of 5.4 per cent over a year ago but a loss of 2.8 per cent as compared with 1926. Domestic and foreign shipments by water to and from the Port of Philadel phia, while declining between August and September, were over 4 per cent larger than in the same month last year, the in crease in foreign trade being chiefly re sponsible for this favorable comparison. Retail trade. Early reports indicate that retail trade continues seasonally active, the demand varying in most cases between good and fair. The majority of the returns show gains in sales since the middle of last month. Retail prices gen erally remain unchanged. Sales during September increased sonally active, and prices remain steady, except for numerous advances on groc eries. Since the middle of last month the demand for groceries, hardware, jew elry, electrical supplies, and paper has increased, while the remaining three lines show little change, according to prelim inary reports. sharply, reflecting the usual seasonal tendency, and were nearly 6 per cent larger than in the same month last year. In the first nine months this year, how ever, sales were still about 3 per cent smaller than in the same period last year. All lines reported gains in the month over a year earlier. With the exception of Scranton and Easton, all city areas experienced gains over September, 1927, the largest increases occurring in Altoona, Harrisburg, Williamsport, Lancaster, Wilmington, and Philadelphia. Inventories held by retailers at the end of September increased seasonally, but were about 8 per cent smaller than a year before, this change being shown by nearly all lines. The rate of turnover was higher in September than in the like month last year. September sales exceeded those of August by nearly 4 per cent but were almost 5 per cent below the volume of a year earlier. All lines, but drugs and paper, showed gains during the month; compared with a year before, groceries and paper experienced a larger volume of business, while the other six lines showed declines. Reports on stocks carried at the end of the month were divided about evenly between those showing increases and those registering decreases in con trast with a month and a year earlier. Accounts outstanding generally showed Wholesale trade. Distribution of merchandise at wholesale continues sea Sept., 1928, change from AUTOMOBILE TRADE Philadelphia Federal Reserve District 12 distributors Sept., 1927 Number Value Number Value + 16.0 % + 9.7 “ + 19.0 “ + 6 2 .8 “ + 6 0 .5 “ + 18.6 “ Sales, new cars, wholesale..................................... Sales, new cars, at retail....................................... Stocks of new cars................................................. Sales of used cars................................................... Stocks of used cars................................................ Retail sales, deferred payment............................. + 20.8 % + 14.6 “ + 24.3 “ + 70.8 “ +64.9 “ +21.4 “ -1 1 .1 % -2 3 .5 “ + 28.0 “ + 31.5 “ + 3.5 “ -1 2 .8 “ -1 2 .0 % -1 6 .0 “ + 25.8 “ + 37.8 “ +23.7 “ -1 0 .2 “ Comparison of net sales RETAIL TRADE Philadelphia Federal Reserve District Aug., 1928 Comparison of stocks Jan. 1 to Sept. 30, 1928 Sept. 30, 1928, with with with Jan. 1 to Sept. 30, Aug. 31, Sept. 30, 1927 1928 1927 1927 Sept., 1928, with Sept., 1927 Accounts Collec tions receiv during able at end of month month com pared com with pared year with ago 1928 year ago Rate of turnover, Jan. 1 to Sept. 30 + 5.8% - 3 .2 % - 8.1% + 7.6% 2.35 2.34 + 3.6 “ + 2.4 “ outside Philadelphia.............. + 7.0 “ -3 .9 “ -4 .7 “ -1 .9 “ - 8.8 “ + 7.3 “ -1 0 .4 “ + 6.6 “ - 5.3 “ + 8.8 “ 2.25 2.41 1.87 2.24 2.46 1.74 -3 .2 -3 .2 -3 .3 -1 .3 -1 .5 + 0 .3 + 3 .4 + 3 .6 - 9.0 - 6.9 -1 1 .8 -1 .1 — 1.8 + 2.3 + 3.2 - 5.4 1.94 2.20 1.51 4.90 5.21 3.25 1.87 1.75 1.99 2.31 1.49 4.74 5.13 2.91 1.87 1.73 outside Philadelphia.............. outside Philadelphia.......... Shoe stores................................. Credit stores............................... WHOLESALE TRADE Philadelphia Federal Reserve District + 4.3 “ + 6.1 “ + 1.5“ + 11 .8 “ + 12.9 “ + 3.5 “ + 1.1 “ +46.1 “ Boots and shoes. . -1 5 .6 % - 4.6 “ Dry goods............ -1 7 .2 “ Electrical supplies - 2.3 “ Groceries.............. + 2.7 “ Hardware............. -1 2 .5 “ Jewelry................. - 6.7 “ Paper.................... + 4 . 2 “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ + 7.8 + 5.4 + 11.6 + 15.0 +14.1 + 18.8 + 7.1 + 3.1 “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ + 7 .8 % + 2.9 “ -0 .8 “ +15.4 “ + 6.7 “ + 0.5 “ + 3 .4 “ -5 .3 “ + 2 .8 “ Collections, September, 1928, compared with August, Sept. 30, Aug. 31, Sept. 30, Aug. 31, 1928 1928 1927 1928 1927 ing to sales, Sept., 1928 Sept., 1927 + 9.7% + 3.3 “ + 14.5 “ - 2.3 “ + 5.3 “ + 1.3 “ + 9.7 “ + 1.8“ 352.9% 160.2 “ 249.6 “ 128.0 “ 118.2 “ 208.0 “ 386.2 “ 162.0 “ + 9.0% - 2.1 “ +23.0 “ +24.6 “ + 2.1 “ + 1.7 “ + 9.1 “ - 4.5 “ Stocks, Sept. 30, 1928 compared with Accounts out standing, Sept. 30 1928, compared with + 12.9% Ratio of ac counts out- Net sales, September, 1928, compared with Sept., 1927 “ “ “ “ “ “ “ “ ..........% ..........% - 8.7% - 3.0 “ -1 2 .0 “ - 0.5 “ - 0.9 “ -1 1 .9 “ + 4 . 5 “ + 2.4 “ + 7.9 “ + 3.8 “ - 4.8 “ - 2.0 “ - 9.0 “ + 3.3 “ - 0.9 “ + 3.6 “ + 1.1 “ + 0.7 “ +15.7 “ August, 1928 -1 3 .2 % - 6.2 % - 2.8 “ — 4 3 “ -1 7 .8 “ - 0.2 “ — 1.1“ - 0.2 “ - 2.5 “ - 5.6 “ + 3.2 “ -1 5 .1 “ -1 0 .2 “ + 7.5 “ + 7.0 “ Page Seven gains during the month. Most reports indicate a decline in collections as com pared with the previous month and a year before. A U TO M O B ILES thousanmP A S S E N G E R C A R S ---- U N IT E D STATES — At r t —\ \ J v'*',/ A 1925 PRODUCTION VvV 1926 /V { \ r r /v -\' A ✓ n,r EXPORTS 1927 1928 Source: Department of Commerce. Automobile trade. Sales of new passenger cars at retail and wholesale were smaller both in number and value during September than in August but were appreciably larger than those in the same month last year. This also was true of retail deferred payment sales. Sales of used cars, on the other hand, showed substantial gains in num ber and value as compared with the pre ceding month and a year earlier. Inventories of new and used cars car ried by dealers at the end of the month showed a marked increase from those of a month and a year before. C O M M O D IT Y P R ICE S Wholesale commodity prices have de clined slightly since the middle of last month. The average of Fisher’s index stood at 99.1 in the three weeks ended October 19 as against 99.8 for September and 96.2 for October, 1927. The general level of wholesale prices in the country as a whole continued the upward movement during September, the rise as compared with August being more than 1 per cent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Compared with a year before, the price level was nearly 4 per cent higher. Index numbers of wholesale commodity prices (1926=100) Sept., 1927 All commodities.............. 96.5 98.9 100.1 Farm products............... 105.9 Foods............................... 96.5 Hides and leather products.............................. 112.5 Textile products............. 98.5 Fuel and lighting............ 84.2 Metals and metal products.............................. 97.6 Building materials.......... 92.1 Chemicals and drugs. . . . 96.4 Housefurnishing goods. . 98.6 Miscellaneous................. 89.2 Raw materials................ 99.9 Semimanufactured articles............................... 98.6 Finished products.......... 94.0 Nonagricultural commodities.............................. 94.0 107.0 104.1 108.8 106.9 121.0 96.3 84.6 120.7 95.6 85.1 100.4 94.6 94.7 97.2 79.3 99.2 100.5 94.7 95.1 97.2 79.7 100.5 97.3 99.1 96.9 100.5 96.7 97.8 Aug., 1928 Sept., 1928 BUSINESS CONDITIONS IN THE PHILADELPHIA FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT Prices Demand Retail t r a d e .................. Little change Little change Unchanged Unchanged Fair; unchanged Fair; little change Fair; slight increase Higher Unchanged Unchanged Active; increased Fair; increased Fair; increased Paper ....................... Shoes ....................... W ool ......................... Cotton y a r n s ............ Iron and steel products Unchanged Unchanged Little change Higher Some advances Active; increased Fair; little change Fair; smaller Fairly active; increased Active; increased Cotton ........................... Silk ............................... W ool ............................. Hosiery ......................... Carpets and r u g s ........ Shoes ............................. Leather— kid ............................. sole ........................... Paper ........................... Tobacco ........................ Cigars ........................... Lumber ......................... Paint ............................. Cement ......................... Advanced Slightly lower Slightly lower Little change Unchanged Some advance Clothing ....................... Flour ............................. Building ....................... Operations Fairly active; increased W holesale t r a d e .......... Drugs ....................... Dry goods ................ Electrical supplies.. Unfilled orders com pared with a year ago Groceries .................. Hardware ................ Bituminous coal ........ Page Eight Stocks Increased seasonally but smaller than year ago Smaller Increased in month but decreased in the year Larger Smaller Smaller but larger than a year ago Larger Higher Little change Smaller Smaller Active; increased Fair; slightly larger Active; increased Active; increased Active; increased Fair; little change Smaller Smaller U. S. Steel Corp. orders increased Smaller Smaller Larger Larger Little change Slightly larger Higher Higher Higher Higher Higher Little change Smaller Smaller Smaller Smaller Smaller Smaller Some advance Lower Little change Some advances Little change Higher Some declines Unchanged Fair; little change Fair; little change Fair; declined slightly Active; increased Active; increased Fair to poor: increased Active; increased Active; increased Little change Slightly smaller Slightly smaller Larger Larger Smaller Larger Smaller Unchanged Slightly lower Little change Higher Higher Little change Little change Some declines Little change Higher Construction costs changed little Higher fox' domestic sizes Several advances Fair; decreased Fair; increased Increased Smaller Active; increased Little change Slightly higher Value of contracts increased Higher Larger Larger Slightly larger Smaller Smaller Smaller Smaller Smaller but larger than year ago Smaller Smaller Fair; increased Higher Value of permits decreased Smaller Little change