View original document

The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.

busine ss

1

view

THE COW: A SOURCE OF HEALTH
Milk is a complete food. It contains protein, carbohydrate, fat, .
m inerals, vitamins, and water. M oreover, it is a delicious beverage
when fresh and cool. Yet, the average Am erican consumes less
than a pint a day. Don't cow bells ring loud enough?

CURRENT TRENDS
Production workers' earnings in Third District factories have
recovered most of the ground lost in the recession.
Employment has been rising at a much slower pace.

Additional copies of this issue are available
upon request to the Department of Research,
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia,
Philadelphia 1, Pa.




A SOURCE OF HEALTH

Time is a succession of days linked together by

we do. So do the Norwegians, Canadians and the

nights— at least so it seems to us, and perhaps to

Danes. The French, Belgians and Italians drink

a cow. And so dawn breaks over the Eastern

less milk than we do.

Seaboard. Before the sun is house-high and has

Everybody knows that milk is the nearest ap­

yet some dew to mop off the grass, the farmer has

proach to the perfect food. The human body needs

already milked his cows. His wife has finished the

a balanced diet. No one food meets that require­

washing-up in the milk house; his children have

ment, but milk comes closest. Yet people consume

fed the chickens and have a few more chores to do

it so sparingly.
Is it because milk is too expensive? Is it too

before they slick up for school.
The metropolitan housewife

preparing

hard to get? Is its quality unreliable? Is it too

breakfast. The kitchen door opens a wee bit. An

little advertised? Don’t people like it; or do people
tank up and fill up with so many other kinds of

is

arm, clad in the sleeve of a robe, reaches out to
retrieve from the doorstep the morning paper, the

food and drink that there just isn’t enough room

morning milk, and perhaps a little bottle of cream.

left in American stomachs for more than about

A

a pint of milk a day?

frantic voice from upstairs calls: “ Mom!

Where’s my green ribbon ?” With one hand, Pop

The April Business Review explained why so

wipes the egg off his chin while the other hand

much milk is being produced. This issue will ex­

pours milk on his cereal. Junior, now taller than his

plore why so little milk is consumed.

Dad, is pawing and muttering through a drawer

M ILK

in search of a particular pair of socks. But fi­
nally the house is silent. Mother pours cream in
her coffee, and heaves a sigh of relief. Another

W h a t’s in it?

day has begun.

Let us take a cup of milk apart to see what is in

Less than a pint of milk a day— that is what

it. To begin with, milk as it comes from the cow

the average American citizen consumes. A pint

is about 87 per cent water. Now, if that were

is two cups.

the end of the story, milk at 22^

Less than two cups of milk per

person a day.
The Swiss and the Swedes drink more milk than




cents a quart

would indeed be an expensive way to slake your
thirst. (Incidentally, numerous other beverages

3

b usin e ss re v ie w

many calories in so little weight. The chief virtue

that come in bottles contain as much or more
water at similar or higher prices.) Water in milk,

of milk, however, is its completeness as a food,

however, serves as a vehicle for some invaluable

containing as it does protein, carbohydrate, fat,

ingredients. The other 13 per cent consists of

minerals, and water.

solids— good, healthy, body-building solids.

Milk, next to the white of an egg, is the best

The solids fall into two classes: fats and non­

source of protein — and what is so tasteless as

fat solids. Fat makes up 3.9 per cent of the average

the white of an egg, as Job observed long, long

cup, which leaves about 9.1 per cent of nonfat

ago! We have seen people, on a dare, pierce an

solids. They are protein, 3.4 per cent; milk sugar,

egg and drink it We prefer to drink milk. The

4.9 per cent; and ash, 0.7 per cent. These numbers

protein in milk has high nutritive value and is

come right out of a publication entitled “ Milk,”

easily digested.

A.I.B. 125 (which in this instance does not stand

The fat, curiously, receives so much emphasis

for American Institute of Banking, but rather

when milk comes out of the cow and so little em­

Agriculture Information Bulletin of the United

phasis when milk goes into the consumer. Milk

States Department of Agriculture). So much for

fat is easily digested, is already in emulsified form,

the simple chemistry of a cup of milk.

and is readily absorbed by the body. If you would

Turning from chemistry to dietetics, we find

like to know how much fat you should consume,

that a cup of milk supplies 166 calories of food

we think it advisable to consult a physician rather

energy. Very few foods come loaded with so

than a bank.

NUTRIENTS AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL FOOD SUPPLY, 1952*
Contributions of Four Major Food Groups

FRUITS & VEG.

DAIRY P R O D U C T S **

PER CENT OF TOTAL NUTRIENT
■* U N IT E D

S TA TES

^ ^ EX CLU D IN G




C O N S U M P T IO N

B U TTER

S O U R C E : U N IT E D

4

C IV IL IA N

S TA TES

D E P A R TM E N T

OF

A G R IC U LTU R E

EGGS, MEAT
POULTRY, FISH

GRAIN
PRODUCTS

b u sin e ss re v ie w

Milk sugar, or lactose— if you prefer the fancier

tion. So in more ways than one the cow is a source

term — is said to be less sweet than cane sugar,

of health.

easily digested, and does not irritate the digestive
system. Milk is the best source of calcium needed

From cow to consum er

by children to build bones and teeth, and needed

In some parts of the world, cows are led from door

in large quantities by pregnant women and nurs­

to door to deliver milk directly into the pail of

ing mothers.

the consumer. That system assures delivery of

Milk also contains health-giving minerals and

strictly fresh but not necessarily wholesome milk.

vitamins. It is one of the best sources of ribo­

Here in this country we have a much more elabo­

flavin, one of the B vitamins, and in somewhat

rate system of distribution and what our milk

lesser quantities milk contains vitamin A, thia­

lacks in freshness, compared with the primitive

mine, niacin, ascorbic acid, and iron. The relative

system, is more than made up by complex con­

importance of these ingredients available in dairy

trols to guarantee wholesome milk.

products is shown in the accompanying chart.

In Pennsylvania, as elsewhere, it has long been

Note how much calcium and riboflavin dairy

the custom of farmers to haul their milk in 40-

products contribute to the national food supply.

quart cans to a central collecting point where the

The dietary cycle of man, from cradle to coffin,

cans were picked up and taken to a processing

always begins with milk and often ends with milk.

plant. With ever-increasing installation of cold

In between are stages like milk and vegetables;

wall tanks at dairy farms, more and more milk

steak, french-fries, ham and eggs, coffee; pate de
fois gras, caviar, Scotch, coffee and patisserie;

rides to the processing plant in huge tank trucks
somewhat resembling oil trucks except for the

milk and crackers. If he escapes the cardiac cor­

word “ Inflammable” across the back end of oil

ridor, the chances are he winds up with just milk

trucks to warn the impatient motorist following

— cow’s milk. Qualitatively, there is no significant

without air brakes. A milk tank truck is a motor­

difference between the human milk he drank upon

ized thermos bottle.

arrival and the cow’s milk he shifted to later.

A city milk processing and bottling plant does
a job that scarcely deserves the term “ manufactur­

A p ath o lo gical note

ing.” Indeed, the trade does not so refer to it.

In our mid-20th century mad pace of life, most

What you see when going-through such a plant are

people tear around so furiously that they have no

big tank trucks air-braking perhaps 13,000 lbs.

time to think but apparently have time to worry.

of milk to a halt at the receiving platform, and a

Be it the hurrying or the worrying or both, the

fleet of retail and wholesale delivery trucks

fact is so many people develop ulcers that business

scampering away in all directions from the ship­

executives are sometimes facetiously classified on

ping platform. Between these extremes is a stain-

the basis of the number of ulcers they have.

less-steel symphony in sanitation.

Milk is the backbone for dietary treatment of

You see heads of refrigerated storage tanks,

ulcers. The fluid has therapeutic qualities which

also pipe lines, pasteurizing tanks to kill harmful

help heal and may even increase the resistance of

bacteria with 15-second flash of heat at 160 de­

the mucous membrane of the stomach to ulcera­

grees Fahrenheit, huge mechanical bottle washers,




5

b usin e ss re v ie w

miles of power conveyors, bottling machines,

MILK UTILIZATION

empty bottles and full crates on parade, hydraulic

(Year ended March 31, 1955)
B illio n
p ounds

lift trucks, workers in white, milkmen with order
forms, framed licenses and permits aplenty on
office walls, and endless washing, scrubbing, and
rinsing.
What you don’t see is milk, almost. It is forever
traveling through pipes or resting in refrigerated
tanks or cold storage rooms. No one ever touches
it. The plant is also equipped to homogenize milk,

T o ta l p ro d u c tio n .............. P.!\ . . . . . . . .
Fed to c a lv e s .......................................
T o ta l fo r hum an u se....................................
F luid m illt a nd c r e a m ........................
B u tte r .....................................................
C heese ..................................................
Ice c r e a m ..............................................
E v a p o ra te d , c o n d e n s e d , a n d d ry
w ho le m ilk .......................................

Per c e n t

123
3
120
60
32
13
8

100
3
97
49
26
11
6

7

5

to make light and heavy cream, chocolate milk and

able products went into storage under Govern­

drink, buttermilk, and numerous other dairy prod­

ment loan; but this is not the appropriate place to

ucts; but usually not such things like evaporated

go into that.

and condensed milk, butter, and cheese. The latter
products are customarily manufactured at country
manufacturing plants.

CONSUM ER USES O F D A IR Y PRODUCTS
Milk is older than leather because herdsmen ante­

Pennsylvania milk, in line with milk from the

date tanners. There are no antediluvian records of

Northeast generally, goes to market for the most

per capita milk consumption, so we must be con­

part as fresh, fluid milk. Wisconsin milk, in line

tent with more recent Department of Agriculture

with milk from the North Central region, goes to

reports.

market more in the form of butter, cheese, and

Take the past quarter-century. Crowded into

other manufactured milk products, rather than as

those years have been the country’s worst business

fresh, fluid milk— as mentioned in the April Busi­

depression, a major and a minor war, great social

ness Review. This should be kept in mind as we

and technological changes, and rising standards of

survey the entire milk market of the country.

living. And what has happened to milk consump­
tion? Annual per capita consumption in terms of

The United States “ M ilky W a y ”

total milk equivalent declined from 800 to 700

In the year ended March 31, 1955, the country’s

pounds.

total milk production was 123 billion pounds.

During the depression of the thirties, consump­

Calves got only 3 billion pounds which left 120

tion of dairy products held up very well. World

billion pounds for man. This is the way it went to

War II had adverse effects. Money was abundant,

market. Almost half of it was used in the form

but milk was not. It was rationed, price con­

of fluid milk and cream. Slightly over one-fourth

trolled, and put on every-other-day delivery. In

went into butter, over one-tenth into cheese, and

the early post-war period, people were more in­

smaller amounts into other products, as shown in

terested in automobiles, radios, refrigerators, TV,

the following table.
Utilization, by the way, is not necessarily con­

and other things of which they had been deprived
during the war even more than dairy products.

sumption. Not all dairy products produced last

In more recent years when most things, includ­

year were consumed last year. Some of the stor-

ing money, were abundant, demand for dairy

6




busii

le w

ANNUAL PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION OF DAIRY PRODUCTS*
POUNDS

1929

'3 4

^G A LLO N S
SOURCE: UNITED




'39

'4 4

'49

'5 4

1929

'3 4

'39

'4 4

'49

'5 4

STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

7

b usin e ss re v ie w

products has continued to lag. What has been

250 miles away; that it was pasteurized and per­

happening to the over-all demand for dairy prod­

haps homogenized, and tested for bacteria count.

ucts becomes clearer upon examination of trends

There is almost endless testing and inspecting

in consumption of the major milk products. This

from cow to consumer.

is portrayed by six lines showing the past quarter-

Moreover, if he is a Philadelphian, he may not

century trends for six major milk products. For

know what the price is and that both the Federal

purposes of comparison, a line representing con­

and state governments have a hand in determining

sumption of all dairy products in terms of wholemilk equivalent is also shown. All lines are in

what he pays for his milk. The chances are, how­
ever, his wife knows some of these things.

terms of per capita use and they are plotted on a

Per capita consumption of fluid milk and cream

scale designed to show percentage changes. Thus

is higher now than it was 25 years ago, but not

the steepest incline shows the highest rate of

much higher. In 1929 it was 340 pounds and last

growth.

year it was 352 pounds. Actually, what the line for

For a summary interpretation, it might be said

both fluid milk and cream does not reveal, is the

that the record looks good for cheese, ice cream,

fact that in recent years, consumption of fluid milk

and nonfat milk solids.

It looks only fair for

has been going up and consumption of fluid cream

evaporated milk, fluid milk and cream. And it

has been decreasing. There is an old saying, “ a

looks bad for butter. Now, a few words about

pint is a pound the world around,” but actually a

each.

quart of milk weighs 2.15 pounds. Hence, 352
pounds a year would be about 0.9 pint a day. Al­

Fluid m ilk and cream

lowing for the milk that is used in cooking and

These are the most important dairy products for

baking, it is apparent that people drink consider­

several reasons. To begin with, fluid milk and

ably less than a pint a day.

cream rank first in poundage of consumption.

Why don’t people drink more milk? This ques­

Second, these products bring money income even

tion has received much “ head scratching” and re­

greater than their poundage bears to total pound­

search. There seems to be no simple answer. Cer­

age of dairy products because of a unique pricing

tainly, it cannot be because of any deficiency in

system. Fluid milk that goes to market for con­

health-building quality of the beverage. Its health­

sumption as fluid milk must get there fast, and

fulness is incontrovertibly documented by com­

requires special handling and testing. Therefore it

petent authorities completely divorced from the
dairy industry.

commands a higher price than milk used for man­
ufacturing (into butter, cheese, etc.) which is
considered and called “ surplus milk.”
Fluid milk is what the average man thinks of

Furthermore, it is doubtful that milk in most
markets fails to measure up to required standards
of quality. A Chester County dairy farmer, speak­

when he sees milk on the menu, on the doorstep,

ing about his efforts to get his milk into the best

in the refrigerator, or on the dining table. To him

market at the best price, said: “ The milk must be

it is just that— milk— nothing more and nothing

fresh, taste good, smell good, must be free of sedi­

less. He probably does not know that it came

ment, have adequate butterfat, and low bacteria

from Brucellosis and tuberculin-tested cows 50 to

count.” Some of these things the consumer can

8




b u sin e ss re v ie w

judge for himself; and matters like fat content and

Administration, nonfat dry milk solids may con­

bacteria count, competition and public health

tain not over 5 per cent moisture and not over 1.5

authorities take care of. The question might well

per cent milkfat by weight.

be asked, when, if ever, did you get bad milk
delivered to your home?

Dry skim milk is the fastest growing dairy prod­
uct. Annual consumption per capita rose from

What about the price? Is milk too expensive?

one to almost five pounds, as the chart shows. It

How much more milk would be consumed if the

is made by several methods one of which is spray­

price were reduced? This is another subject that

ing partly concentrated milk into a chamber of hot

has received a great deal of attention and research.

air. This milk is easy to store and transport and,

It is true that wealthy families consume more milk

in terms of milk solids, is cheaper than fluid skim

than poorer families. But it is surprising to learn

milk.

how many housewives do not know what the cur­

Fine, white, and soluble, dry skim milk comes

rent price of milk is per quart and how many do

in bulk and in packages of assorted sizes, includ­

not seem to care.

ing individual envelopes containing the quantity

Most of the studies designed to find out how

recommended by the manufacturer for one quart

changes in the price of milk affect its consumption

of reconstituted nonfat milk. It is used commer­

show that rising prices discourage consumption

cially in large quantities by bakers, meat proces­

and falling prices encourage consumption, but

sors, confectioners, and by some ice cream manu­

not much. Though one should not put too much

facturers. It is also an ingredient in prepared

faith in figures, some market studies show that it

mixes for baked products, puddings, frozen des­

takes about a 4 per cent change in price, upward

serts, soups, and infant foods.

or downward, to bring about a converse 1 per cent
change in consumption. It takes a really big re­

Evaporated m ilk

duction in price to bring about a sizable increase

Evaporated milk is a concentrated, sterilized

in demand. That being the case, reducing the

product made by heating homogenized whole milk

price, assuming it can be done, has its limitation

in a vacuum to remove about 60 per cent of the

as a means of increasing consumption.

water, then sealed in cans and sterilized. Most of

The fat in milk is another problem. We are liv­
ing in an age of girth-consciousness. Some people

the evaporated milk on the consumer market has
vitamin D added.

shy away from milk in the hope of stream-lining

This milk product sells in larger quantities, but

themselves down to some real or imaginary ideal

its past quarter-century rate of consumption has

of configuration. So here is where nonfat, dry

been slower than dry skim milk. Annual per

milk solids come into the picture. Look at the

capita consumption rose from 11 pounds in 1929

line on the chart.

to a peak of 18 pounds in 1948, and has since re­
ceded to the 15-pound level. For home use it can

N o n fa t d ry m ilk solids

be bought in 14% ounce or little six-ounce cans.

This is a long handle, promulgated by an Act of

The product is easily transported and stored. A

Congress, for what most other people call dry skim

can to make a quart of fluid usually sells for less

milk. As defined by the Federal Food and Drug

than a quart of market milk.




9

b usin e ss re v ie w

Cheese

Cheeses

Now, here’s something!

may

be

divided

into

four

general

Cheese comes in more

classes: Very hard, like Parmesan; hard, like

variety, talks louder, and travels farther than any

Cheddar and Swiss; semi-soft, like Brick and

other dairy product. Furthermore, cheese is do­

Roquefort; and soft, like Camembert, Cream, and

ing right well, trend-wise, as the chart shows. The

Cottage. Limberg is a soft cheese that announces

increase in annual consumption per capita from

its presence. Cup cheese is a soft cheese that runs

4.6 pounds in 1929 to 7.7 pounds in 1954, though

like butter.

not spectacular, nevertheless is very good, percent­
age-wise. Cheese is our chief dairy import but

In the United States, cheese is generally made
from cow’s milk — whole or skim. Cheese is the

much cheese is manufactured in this country.

curd of milk, separated from the whey by coagu­
lating the milk.

On the market are to be found cheeses under

After separation, the curd is

stirred and heated and the whey drained off.

several hundred different names, but according to
method of manufacture or the locality there are

Many cheeses are “ cured” ; that is, ripened or

only about 18 distinct types. Even that is too much

aged by holding the cheese for a definite time at a

to detail here.

certain temperature and humidity. During these

BUTTER AND MARGARINE
CONSUMPTION*

RETAIL PRICES
POUNDS

1920

1930

1940

1950

* P E R PERSON
SOURCE: UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

10




busim

processes, flavor and texture are developed by the

year was 13 per cent above the 1948-1952 average.

action of bacteria or molds. To meet Federal

Butter of high quality has a pleasing aroma and

standards, most cheeses must be made from pas­

a fresh, sweet flavor. The texture is smooth and
waxy so that it spreads readily without crumbling.

teurized milk.

The color is uniform throughout and the salt, if

Ice cream

added, is dissolved and evenly distributed. For

Ice cream is as Philadelphian as Independence

cooking purposes, many women prefer it to vege­

Hall. Ice cream, invented a century ago, first ap­

table fats.

peared as a delicacy but has long served as an

Such, in brief, are tbe trends in consumption

important food. It is a frozen mixture of cream or

of the major dairy products. Some of the minor

butterfat, non-fat milk solids, cane, beet, or corn

products, not considered, are condensed milk, but­

sugar, flavor, and sometimes egg yolk solids, and

termilk, chocolate milk and drink, dried whole

perhaps a stabilizer.

milk, acidophilus milk, and Yoghurt. In the off­

Consumption per capita fell sharply during the
depression of the thirties, subsequently rose to a

ing are products, such as, sterilized or concen­
trated milk and other dairy products.

peak in 1946, and eased off thereafter. Ice cream

Though the fortunes of the several major dairy

is encountering competition from other frozen

products vary, consumption of milk and milk

desserts made out of vegetable fats. They look like

products, as a whole, is not growing as might be

and taste like ice cream. Not new, they neverthe­

expected. The plain fact is that people do not con­

less received a boost during World War II butterfat shortages and they have been growing rapidly.

sume as much milk as cows produce.

A big advantage in their favor is that they cost less

HERE’S TO YO U R HEALTH
The question is, can people be induced to use more

than ice cream.

milk? Can they be persuaded to buy more health?

Butter

Can we drink up and eat up the surplus?

Butter really took a slide. Per capita consumption
declined from 17 pounds in 1929 to 9 pounds last

H ealth fo r sa le

year. The reason, as everybody knows, is the com­

One of the numerous associations of the milk

petition of margarine— a spread made from vege­

trade budgeted $4 million this year to advertise

table fat. Margarine has long under-sold butter,

dairy products by television, radio, magazines,

and when butter prices went skyrocketing during

and newspapers. Big-time entertainers with glass

the post-war and Korean days, margarine came

of milk in hand are appearing on TV screens for

into its own. The shift was aided by repeal of

the benefit of adults, animated cartoons for chil­

laws formerly standing in the way of margarine.

dren, milk-vending mirth makers for all ages. This

Some observers feel that butter will stage a

program is supplemented with serious talks by

comeback and they point to the fact that per

professors and magazine advertisements in color

capita consumption rose from 8.6 pounds in 1953

of dainty dairy dishes. Ice cream, cheese, and

to 9.0 pounds in 1954.

In further support of

other dairy products are included in the promo­

that view they cite the fact that production last

tional campaign. Surely some prominent athletes




11

busin e ss re v ie w

and actresses drink milk. They should not be over­

rasher of bacon. An extra bag of peanuts. An ex­

looked.

tra . . . Hold it. Too much health is unhealthy.

The dairy surplus, it is said, would disappear

The daylight-saving-time sun set about two

rapidly if every American would drink one extra

hours ago. Dad fell asleep in his favorite living

glass of milk every other day. That sounds simple

room chair while looking at TV. Mom is putting

enough, but the person who thought of that one

the finishing touches to the alteration of a gradua­

probably did not think of the other surpluses. The

tion gown. Junior is raiding the refrigerator for

wheat surplus is bigger than the dairy surplus.
Perhaps the wheat surplus could be made to dis­

a goodnight snack. A voice from the seamstress,
“ Don’t drink any milk. We have only a quart and

appear if every American ate an extra slice of

a half and we need that for breakfast.” Tomorrow

bread daily. And we have a corn surplus; an extra

is a day of no delivery under every-other-day.

CURRENT

TR E N D S

Business recovery continues through most sectors

similar and the employment loss was 11 per cent

of the economy in the Third Federal Reserve Dis­

in both cases. But in the past nine months the

trict. Retail sales, construction — particularly in

number working at factories in this district has

the field of homebuilding— and weekly earnings

risen only fractionally, while at the national level

of production workers in factories all reflect the

there has been an increase of approximately 4 per

increasing buoyancy that first appeared last mid­

cent. About two-thirds of the country’s gain oc­

year. But manufacturing employment remains one

curred during the second half of 1954, when fac­

area that has been slow in responding to the over­

tory employment locally was about holding its

all improvement in economic activity.

own. In recent months, at least, this dissimilarity

Because factory employment, earnings, and

in trends has been accentuated by the rapid re­

working time play such a decisive role in deter­

covery in basic steel and automobiles, both rela­

mining economic trends, it seems appropriate to

tively more important in the country than in this

take a closer look at what has been happening in

district.

these areas since the business recession “ bottomed
out” some nine months ago.

R ecovery in h e av y goods has been spotty

Em ploym ent has risen m ore n a tio n a lly
than lo cally

when the recession came. In this district they suf­

Durable goods producers were the hardest hit
fered an employment loss of 14 per cent from the

Recessionary forces had about the same impact

fall of 1953 to mid-summer of last year. Further

on factory employment in this district as in the

small declines in each of the first two months of

country generally. From the peak of September

1955 were followed by only a fractional increase

1953 to the low point in July 1954, trends were

in March.

12




b u sin e ss re v ie w

But this is not to say that individual lines in the

level about 1 per cent above last summer’s low

heavy goods division have all lagged in the matter

point.

of recovering some of their employment losses.

Among individual lines of nondurables the most

In electrical machinery, where the earlier decline

pronounced changes from June 1954 to March

exceeded 20 per cent, the number employed rose 8

1955 were in foods and apparel, both of which are

per cent between June 1954 and March of this

subject to wide seasonal swings. So, some of the

year. And in stone, clay, and glass products em­

implications of a 6 per cent employment decline

ployment was up 6 per cent. Minor increases rang­

in foods and an increase of like amount in apparel

ing from 1 to 3 per cent also have occurred in pri­

should be discounted. Both rubber and leather

mary and fabricated metals and in industrial in­

producers, however, raised their employment

struments.

about 3 per cent, and gains of 1 per cent have oc­

The transportation equipment and nonelectrical

curred in such lines as petroleum, chemicals, and

machinery lines experienced the most severe em­

printing and publishing. The number employed

ployment cutbacks in the nine months ended

in textiles has not changed significantly in the

March 1955, reporting losses of 11 and 5 per cent,

past nine months.

respectively. Transportation equipment has been
September 1953, principally because of the low

On an a re a basis there is considerable
variatio n

level of activity in shipbuilding and the furlough

In most industrial areas, employment lows were

of workers in railroad car building and repair
shops. Machinery builders, too, have continued

reached about the middle of last year, although in
places like Philadelphia, the Lehigh Valley, Lan­

particularly hard hit over the whole period from

to reduce their working forces because of the in­

caster, and Scranton these levels were repeated in

terrupted flow of orders. In this industry, lead

January 1955. Factory employment in the York

times are much longer than in some others. Thus

and

the impact of the recession was not felt so quickly,

after the turn of the year. In the past two months,

Delaware

areas touched

bottom

shortly

but by the same token a resumption in ordering

employment increases have not been sharp in any

takes more time for translation into increased em­
ployment.

gains have been a source of encouragement in the

of the ten major city areas. But small successive
Lehigh Valley, Lancaster, Wilkes-Barre, Reading,

In n on d u rab les, ga in s also have been
sm all but on a b ro a d e r front

and Trenton areas, where March employment was

Producers of soft goods began cutting back em­

year.

measurably above the lowest points reached last

ployment a little later than durable goods manu­
more moderate. In this division, the number of

W o rkin g tim e has increased much m ore
than em ploym ent

employees was reduced by 8 per cent from Sep­

When order volume begins to slacken, employers

tember 1953 to about mid-year 1954. Small ad­

shorten hours before they cut back employment.

ditions to working forces during February and

And as business picks up, working time is length­

March were sufficient to raise the employment

ened for the employees remaining on the rolls.

facturers, and in most cases the declines were




13

b usin e ss re v ie w

This seems to be axiomatic. It is exactly what

nondurable goods lines than for those employed

happened early in 1953, some months before em­

in durables. The main factor in the advance in

ployment turned down. The procedure was re­

average weekly income has been the increase in

versed just about a year later with a sharp rise in

working time. Average hourly earnings, however,

working time preceding a very modest recovery in

have continued to rise, reflecting both higher rates

employment.

In this Federal Reserve District,

average weekly hours for production workers have

of pay and a lengthening of the work week to in­
clude more overtime.

risen 5 per cent above the low point of April 1954,
and are little more than 2 per cent under the pre­

NEW PAMPHLET AVAILABLE

recession high reached in March 1953. Average

A brief and simplified description of The Funda­
mentals of Federal Reserve Policy has been pre­
pared and is now available.
This pamphlet— an abbreviated version of a
flannel-board presentation— contains a dozen
illustrations with accompanying text. It deals first
with the problem of economic stability, then with
the nature of the credit market, the role of com­
mercial banks, and finally with the role of the Fed­
eral Reserve in influencing the money supply.
Copies for classroom and other uses are avail­
able upon request to the Department of Research,
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

\vorking time has made a more impressive re­
covery among producers of nondurables than in
in the durable goods lines.

Em ployee e arn in gs have m ade the best
recovery o f all
Average weekly earnings of production workers
have shown a sharp and almost uninterrupted rise
since the spring of last year. In March, they were
almost 7 per cent above their 1954 low and ex­
ceeded the 1953 peak by 2 per cent. Earnings on
this basis have risen more sharply for workers in

14




THIRD FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT




F O R THE R E C O R D . . .
INDEX

b il l io n s

AGO

AGO

1955

*

MEMBER B A N K S 3R D ER.D.

AGO

AGO

Factory*
Third Federal
Reserve District
Per cent change
SUM M ARY

United States
Per cent change

M arch
1 955 from
mo.
ag o

year
ag o

3
mos.
1 955
from
year
ag o

M arch
1 9 55 from
mo.
ago

year
ag o

3
mos.
1955
from
year
ag o

LO C A L
CHANGES

EM PLO YM EN T A N D
IN C O M E
Factory employment ( T o t a l) ... + 1
+ 2

Lo a n s............................................
Investments..................................
U .S. G ovt, se curities..............
O t h e r .........................................
C h e ck payments........................

- 4
+20
+ 1




+ 7
+34
+12

-

4
0

-

5
2

+

1

+
+

5
1

+

5

+
+

1
2

0

-

1

8
2

+

+1

-1
-6

- 1
+ 3
- 3
- 3
- 2
+22t

+ 3
+ 8
+ 3
- 1
+13
+ 7f

—
+
-

+
+

2
2
3
4
1
+20

+ 4
+ 8
+ 8
+ 6
+13
+ 4

+ 5
+ 7
+ 8
+ 7
+13
+ 5

ot

0
0

0
0

0
1

0

R e a d in g ..........

+ 4
+ 7
+ 5
+ 1
+16
+ 8t

0
+1

Trento n...........

+1

W ilke s-B a rre . + 2
W ilm ington.. . + 1

ot +

1t

f2 0 C itie s
tPh ila d e lp h ia

-

Sale s

year mo.
ago ag o

Stocks

Y o r k ................. + 2

year mo. year mo.
ag o ag o ag o ag o

year
ago

+4

+

4

+19 +

4

+3

-

1

+24 +

3

+3

+

4 +47 +10 +

8 +

4 +15 +

5

+1

-

2 +19 +

6

0 +21

6

+3

+

4 + 2 6 + 1 6 +11

0 + 22 +11

-1

-

2 +21 + 1 0 +

8 +14 +

1

-1

+

8 +22 +14 +15 +

4 -

1 +

4

+5

-

2 + 2 8 +21

+11 + 1 3 +11 -

3

+3

+ 1 1 + 50 + 1 3 + 2 3 -

+3

-

8

La n c a ste r. . . . + 1
P h ila d e lp h ia .

2
0

'B ase d on 3-month moving averages.
'•A d ju sted for seasonal variation.

16

+ 9
+36
+18

year mo.
ago ag o

0

PRICES
Consum er....................................

+ 2
+15
- 9

Payrolls

Per cent
Per cent
Per cent
Per cent
Per cent
change
change
change
change
change
M arch
M arch
M arch
M arch
M arch
1955 from 1955 from 1 955 from 1 955 from 1955 from

Scran to n .........

TRADE"
Department store s a le s ............ +
B A N K IN G
( A ll member banks)

- 2
+14
+ 6

Department Store
C h e ck
Payments

Employ­
ment

mo.
ago
OUTPUT
Manufacturing production . . . + 2
Construction c o n tra cts'........... + 1 3
C o a l m ining............................... - 1 1

1955

0
-5
0
-3
0
-3
0
-5

5 +25 +

8 +

8 +

9 +16 +

+

3 +67 +26
3 +19 -

7

'N o t restricted to corporate limits of cities but covers areas of one or
more counties.