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borrowing from the federal reserve bank —some basic principles small business in an age of big business Additional copies of this issue are available upon request to the Department of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Philadelphia 1, Pa. BORROWING FROM THE FEDERAL RESERVE B A N K - ^rr----------II 11 SOME BASIC PRINCIPLES By Karl R. Bopp, President* I propose to discuss borrowing from the Federal Before I discuss borrowing as such I would Reserve Bank. I have selected this topic for dis like to describe briefly some of the economic cussion today precisely because few member developments and bank lending and investing hanks have occasion to borrow at this time. The policies that may lead to it. amount of borrowing is low in part because the Federal Reserve System has provided reserves Why some banks borrow liberally and cheaply in other ways as an impor The ebb and flow in the demand for loans at tant contribution to economic recovery. commercial banks is a reflection of the ebb and Why, then, talk about such borrowing now? There are several reasons: 1. If experience is any guide, this will not he a permanent state of affairs. 2. We all wish to know the basic principles flow in economic activity itself. In periods of rising business and inflation, the demand for loans increases and the commercial banker won ders where to get the funds to lend, how to keep customers content with less money than they wish, on which we operate. 3. We are more apt to establish valid prin ciples when our immediate profit position is not affected by the decisions we reach. *An address before the 64th Annual Convention of the Pennsylvania Bankers Association in Atlantic City, New Jersey, May 28, 1958. 3 business review and how to maintain good will while denying adequately that any investor assumes a risk when some applicants altogether. In periods of declin he buys the longer bond. It is the possibility that ing business, on the other hand, the banker seeks yields may go higher with a consequent loss of customers who will borrow as well as other ways capital value. Even a relatively small change in to employ idle funds. yield will mean a relatively large change in the These alterations in demand and supply would, market value of a long-term bond. Although an of themselves, produce corresponding alterations investor is more likely to remember this when in interest rates. Action of the monetary authori the time for liquidation comes, it is more profit ties who are pursuing a flexible policy adjusted able to remember it when the initial investment to current conditions reinforces such changes in decision is made. Some short-term investors delib erately buy long-term bonds with the expectation interest rates. When demand for loans is slack a banker pre of liquidating just in time to secure a maximum fers to invest his excess funds in short-term return. This approach has possibilities, but it has securities so that the early maturities will provide hazards as well. Sometimes these individuals the funds to meet his needs when loan demand develop a dual standard. They take credit when again picks up. The same is true of bankers gen erally and of other lenders. As a consequence, developments follow their expectations, but they blame others when subsequent developments are short-term rates usually move down much more adverse. than long-term rates, and the structure of interest The prices of long-term bonds, bought to se rates takes on an upward slope. This slope is con cure income in a period of weak loan demand and firmed when the market anticipates that rates will easy money conditions, decline as money tightens. rise. The reason is that anyone who wishes to And, just when money tightens in response to borrow or lend for a long period can do so either economic expansion, the problem of the banker by means of a single contract for the entire term shifts from trying to find profitable outlets for or by means of a series of short-term contracts. excess funds to finding funds with which to meet If the market anticipates a rise in rates, borrowers expanding demands. The risk that was assumed will prefer the long contract to beat the rise and when the long bonds were bought becomes a lenders will prefer the short contracts so as to loss on the books. In seeking funds to meet secure funds from maturities for reinvestment expanding demands it is understandable that the when the rise occurs. In other words, the supply banker might prefer not to sell the bonds because of funds will concentrate in the short market and this would convert the book loss into an actual the demand for funds in the long market, thus loss. confirming the upward slope in rates. At this point hope often enters the picture— That is not the whole story, however. Slack loan hope that the tightness will be only temporary. demand and low rates of interest put pressure on And, of course, experience shows that although bank earnings. There is, therefore, a strong temp the decline in prices continues as money tightens, tation to meet the immediate problem of earnings eventually a peak in yields or a trough in bond by reaching out for longer maturities because of prices is reached from which both move in the the relatively higher yields, even though prices opposite directions. are high. At such times it is not always recognized 4 Why not, therefore, tide over this period by business review borrowing? If the cost of borrowing is not too with the maintenance of sound credit condi great, this might appear to be a method of eating tions; and, in determining whether to grant one’s cake, the higher yield, and having it too, or refuse advances, rediscounts or other not incurring a capital loss. credit accommodations, the Federal Reserve The discount window is not an automatic escape route mation.” Bank shall give consideration to such infor I want to indicate why member banks should not One reason for not relying on the rate exclu seek funds for this purpose from the Federal sively is that the appropriate rate would have to Reserve Bank. Suppose we look at the responsi be comparatively high. The same rate would have bilities of the Federal Reserve System under the to be charged to all members; yet the primary conditions that have been described. It is the purpose would be to discourage the relatively central bank which must adjust its monetary small number of banks that tend to borrow exces policy to economic developments. It tightens sively. This is not to say that the discount rate is credit to restrain inflationary expansion. One evi unimportant. On the contrary, it is an indispens dence of tighter money is the higher interest rates able tool of monetary policy. Its level and changes that have been mentioned and the higher discount in it influence the tone of the market, including rates that the Reserve Banks themselves would market rates. I do not, however, have time to dis charge under the circumstances. Another is a cuss it adequately today. reduced availability of reserves. The discount window of the Federal Reserve The effectiveness of the System’s efforts to restrain would be blunted if reserves were made Bank is like a safety valve that enables a member to secure funds temporarily to meet needs that available freely, if member banks had no hesi could not reasonably be anticipated. It should not tancy in borrowing, and the Reserve Banks never be necessary to charge a member that finds itself asked any questions about continuous borrowing. in such a condition the high rates that would be As an economist, I appreciate that the Reserve necessary to discourage the complacent borrower. Banks probably could discourage, even to the The principles and rules that govern loans to point of preventing, such borrowing by charging member banks are published as Regulation A of a high enough rate. But that is not the kind of the Board of Governors. I would like to read from the foreword to that Regulation: rate policy on which the Federal Reserve Act is based. The Act requires each Federal Reserve “Federal Reserve credit is generally Bank to refuse credit accommodations for any extended on a short-term basis to a member purpose inconsistent with the maintenance of bank in order to enable it to adjust its asset sound credit conditions. It provides specifically: position when necessary because of develop “Each Federal Reserve Bank shall keep itself informed of ments such as a sudden withdrawal of the general character and deposits or seasonal requirements for credit amount of the loans and investments of its beyond those which can reasonably be met member banks with a view to ascertaining by use of the bank’s own resources. Federal whether undue use is being made of bank Reserve credit is also available for longer credit. . . or for any . . . purpose inconsistent periods when necessary in order to assist 5 business review member banks in meeting unusual situations, to withdraw the reserves when the loan is repaid. such as may result from national, regional I should stress that the System always views the or local difficulties or from exceptional cir net result of total borrowing, when deciding cumstances involving only particular mem whether to add more to, or subtract from, bank ber banks. Under ordinary conditions, the reserves through open market operations. So the continuous use of Federal Reserve credit by discount window is not an automatic escape route a member bank over a considerable period that nullifies the effects of open market opera of time is not regarded as appropriate. “ In considering a request for credit tions. On the contrary, these tools function to accommodation, each Federal Reserve Bank of pressure throughout the banking system that gether, to achieve the degree and the distribution gives due regard to the purpose of the credit fulfills at any particular time the objectives of and to its probable effects upon the mainte monetary policy. nance of sound credit conditions, both as to the individual institution and the economy Misconceptions clarified generally. It keeps informed of and takes I would like now to try to clear up a few misun into account the general character and derstandings that I have heard about the admin amount of the loans and investments of the istration of our discount policy. One of these is member bank. It considers whether the bank belief and repetition of an occasional rumor that is borrowing principally for the purpose of I have heard phrased in these words: “ Boy, the obtaining a tax advantage or profiting from Fed sure is tough.” It is difficult to trace such rate differentials and whether the bank is rumors to their source. On occasion we have extending an undue amount of credit for the found that they begin with a banker whose bor speculative carrying of or trading in securi rowing record in terms of frequency, amount, and ties, real estate, or commodities, or otherwise.” duration concerned us sufficiently to warrant a I would like to call to your attention the signifi discussion. We do not, in these discussions, tell cant analysis of the functioning of the discount mechanism that appears in the latest Annual Re the banker how he should manage his own insti port of the Board of Governors (pp. 7-18). bility to manage the Federal Reserve Bank in tution. We do point out that we have a responsi Borrowing at the Reserve Bank is significant accordance with the law and that he should take to the member bank and to the Reserve Bank. To into account that frequent or continuous borrow the member it is a privilege of obtaining addition ing is not appropriate except in unusual circum al reserves to meet unexpected needs. Ordinarily stances. I mention this because unfounded rumors such needs would be for short periods though in may have kept some members from applying for exceptional cases they may be more extended. In advances for legitimate purposes. My suggestion any event, borrowing gives the bank time to make is that when you hear such a rumor either ignore orderly adjustments in its assets should that it altogether or investigate it until you have ascer become necessary. To the Reserve Bank appro tained all relevant facts in the case. When the rele priate borrowing has the advantages of supplying vant facts are known, I would leave to your judg additional reserves directly to the banks that have ment whether we acted tough and capriciously legitimate need for them and of attaching a string or responsibly. 6 business review There has been some misunderstanding concern rowing that calls for correction even in recessions. ing the distinction I have drawn between manag Now, every real craftsman in the field knows ing our own Reserve Bank and managing the that credit cannot be administered according to member bank. As a result, we have at times mechanical rules. Among the important factors received unmerited praise and blame. Usually the that are considered in evaluating the position of praise is some variant of the following observa a particular bank are the following: tion: “ Thanks a lot for forcing me to sell those What is the nature and extent of its loan bonds to repay our debt to you. The bonds have expansion? since gone down several more points.” The blame is some variant of these statements: “ Your atti tude cost my bank plenty. Those bonds you made me sell have since recovered several points.” Is it confronted with seasonal requirements for credit beyond those which could reason ably be anticipated? Actually, we do not tell a banker how to adjust To what extent has it liquidated other assets his position so that he can repay. That is his prob to meet the loan expansion? lem. The nature of that problem will vary among banks, depending in part on earlier investment Has it been subjected to unusual withdrawals of deposits? decisions. The results of action taken will also vary, depending on subsequent developments that Has the community in which the bank is cannot be foreseen. located experienced economic adversity or Another misunderstanding is that the adminis tration of discounting varies over time. I can other unusual developments that require time for solution or adjustment? appreciate how this misunderstanding arises. In Officers of the Federal Reserve Bank are gener a period of easy money most banks will be seeking ally familiar with the managements and policies ways to employ idle funds, relatively few will be of most of the member banks in the District. borrowing at all, and very few, if any, may be Nevertheless, our discount officers find it desir borrowing inappropriately. In a period of tight able from time to time to supplement our knowl money, on the other hand, few banks will have edge by means of direct inquiry. Raising questions idle funds, relatively more will be borrowing, and is at times a necessary part of proper administra some may be complacent about their borrowing. tion of discounting. It is not the questions but the In other words the discount department of the answers that influence our judgment. You appre Reserve Bank will usually be busier in a period ciate that I cannot cite specific cases because these of tight money than in a period of easy money. relationships are confidential, but I know of More banks may approach the continuous bor instances in which the facts demonstrated that rower category as sanguine expectations do not even extended borrowing was appropriate. materialize. And so we have to make more tele phone calls. This results, however, from mainte Commercial banks are different nance of standards by the Reserve Bank and not I move now to the reasoning that leads some from a change in standards or administration. An indication of uniformity of standards is the fact observers to very different conclusions with that occasionally we do find inappropriate bor banks, especially in recessions. Since many of respect to the investment policies of commercial 7 business review the ingredients are the same as those I have men pressure on banks. I have a hunch, however, that tioned, I can be brief. they are more expert at constructing economic Most analysts of business fluctuations would agree that lower long-term interest rates contrib models than at managing either commercial or central banks. ute to economic recovery from recession by stimu I do not mean to suggest that commercial banks lating construction of public works, of houses, should confine their investments exclusively to and of plant and equipment. Since a rising securities of very short maturity. I am well aware demand for long-term bonds would tend to pull down long-term rates, some analysts would substantial amounts of savings deposits and, to of the fact that many commercial banks hold encourage all investors, including commercial pay reasonably competitive rates on such deposits, banks, to purchase such bonds. A few observers, they must invest in longer-term obligations, espe if I understand their reasoning, would even single cially when short-term rates are low. I also recog out commercial banks particularly such nize the problem of maintaining earnings in encouragement. They reason that such action by periods of slack loan demand and low rates. What for the commercial banks would contribute not only I do suggest is that, in expanding its investment to the recovery but also to restraining later pos portfolio at such times, a bank should aim for sible inflationary developments. It would help such a maturity distribution as will meet its fore restrain inflation because the losses in capital seeable needs, and not sacrifice adequate liquid values that accompany inflation would tend to ity for immediate earnings, nor look to the Fed freeze the bonds into the banks. to rescue it from its errors. The logic behind this view has cogency. Never Such a policy, generally followed by commer theless, I am not convinced that commercial banks cial banks, would not mean that the banks were should be encouraged to ignore their internal not doing their share to promote recovery. By liquidity positions even in recessions. Their essen investing their available funds in whatever matur tial role differs from the role of those whose essen ities were most appropriate for them, they would tial function is long-term investment. The genuine be helping to finance Government expenditures long-term investor can ride out a temporary loss and providing funds for investment by others. in capital values. The commercial banker, on the other hand, is always faced with the possible Concluding remarks demand for deposit withdrawal and with pros I have no desire to tell you how to run your insti pective demands from his borrowing customers. tutions. That is your responsibility. On the other Particularly these latter demands— and for indi hand, I do have a responsibility with respect to vidual banks the former as well, as we have the Federal Reserve Bank. In the nature of the learned in the Third Federal Reserve District— case there is a reciprocal relationship between are apt to come precisely when long-term bond our operations. When you borrow from the prices are depressed. Federal Reserve, the Federal Reserve lends to This does not disturb the analysts I have men you. That is why it seemed appropriate to discuss tioned. On the contrary, they see it as a great Federal Reserve Bank lending policy at a time advantage; because it would make a restrictive when loans are few and we can be most objective. monetary policy more effective by putting greater I cannot close without expressing what we all 8 business review know and feel. We share a common goal of needed in many areas. Nevertheless, appropriate reasonably full use of our resources and a reason monetary policy by the Federal Reserve System ably stable level of prices. The banking system and appropriate policies of the commercial banks alone cannot achieve this goal. Much else is are indispensable parts of the common effort. 9 SMALL BUSINESS IN AN AGE OF BIG BUSIN Observations on a New Comprehensive Study o f Small Business Financing This is the age of the big. Large nations dominate Arguments are seldom settled, often because the the world. Large cities control culture and com right information isn’t available. True, many merce. From cigarettes to basketball centers to studies have been made but for the most part they movie screens, size stands out. are inconclusive, even contradictory. Many chinks Size is important in business, too. There are more than 4 million small firms but a relatively remain to be filled in our knowledge of small business. few corporate giants hold dominant positions in Thus, Congress requested the Federal Reserve our economy. Big business now enjoys lion’s System to undertake a major survey of small share leadership in many industries. business financing. The System readily agreed Small firms may be overshadowed but they are and, last autumn, a number of economists and not overlooked. Their problems are widely dis field men began asking questions and analyzing cussed, their potentials debated. Columnists and answers. economists, politicians and professors expound The survey has three general objectives: (1) their views. And they ask crucial questions. Is to assemble existing information; (2) to clarify small business a healthy institution or are its days any financing gaps, i.e., to find out if small busi numbered? Can small firms satisfy their legiti ness is in an inferior position to obtain funds; mate financial needs? Do they need help, and and (3) to explore the effects of the tight-money what kind of help? policy on small business. There are answers but there is little agreement. 10 The first report has been issued. Its 550 pages business review are filled with background material on financing A number of factors have helped small business practices and policies. But it doesn’t pretend to hold its own. Some of the most important are give all the answers. This is a very difficult prob related to strong, basic developments in our lem. Also, the current report is of an interim economy. nature. Research continues, and surveys are still income has set record after record. Education has During the past decade, personal to be made. In fact, the most important one of all become much more widespread, particularly on cannot be ready until 1959. This will involve the college level. These trends have spurred the going to the small businessman himself — the demand for individualized, quality products. The borrower. Trained interviewers all over the coun handmade, the artistic, the “ something special” try will talk with him and peer at his financial has been selling very well. So have new items and statements. ideas. Small firms are well suited to satisfy these Meanwhile, there is much of interest in the first changing tastes. They can emphasize quality report. What follows is merely an attempt to hit instead of quantity; they can dream up, innovate, the highlights. Anyone interested in more detail and pioneer. And they are often more flexible should examine the full report (see Note, Page 17). than their giant competitors. Decisions can be made and quickly changed. Turns can be made on New vitality a dime to keep up with the fickle whims of “ King When the country was young, all businesses were Consumer.” small; now huge corporations are common. Since Washington’s day, or even Lincoln’s the relative importance of small business has slipped— and TH E EX PA N D IN G B U SIN ESS PO PU LA TIO N MILLIONS badly. But recently, small business generally has been growing in step with the economy as a whole. Its share of over-all economic activity has not diminished in the postwar period. There are now about 4 million small businesses — 10 per cent more than in 1948. Over 350,000 new firms are started every year, and more than 99 per cent are small. Of course, many of these tyros quickly fail, but enough survive to increase the business population an average of 50,000 a year. Since the 1930’s, the share of national in come received by small businesses has been rela 1946 1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 '57 tively stable. Similarly, employment in small firms, as a percentage of the labor force, varied The post-war population also is buying more but slightly from 1939 to 1948. As one writer puts services. Higher living standards which mean it: “ The attractions and rewards of indepen more things to fix, greater leisure, larger families, dent enterprise must be varied and substantial, etc., are responsible. Service is a specialty of and the obstacles to entry not so formidable as small business. Over 700,000 small firms are some have claimed.” engaged in the service trades. 11 business review SELF-EM PLO YED B U SIN ESSM EN able and the amount that small business could use HAVE PRO SPERED “ without prohibitive risk.” Let’s examine some Increases in median nonfarm income— 1951 to 1956. specific types of financing. PER CENT Short-term credit Evidence indicates that most small businesses are able to satisfy their legitimate needs for short term credit (loans for less than a yea r). Commer cial banks are a source of credit of major impor tance. The vast majority of banks are small them selves and lend almost exclusively to small firms. In the fall of 1957, there were over $7 billion out standing in bank loans to small businesses. By number, this averaged almost one loan for every two firms in the country. In addition to banks, larger firms lend huge sums to small businesses for short periods. This David-Goliath cooperation arises out of everyday commercial transactions. Large firms sell their Source: Federal Reserve Surveys of Consumer Finances products to smaller ones and permit them to delay Population shifts, both regional and suburban, payment for 30 to 60 days and longer. It is esti have benefited many small businesses. Firms in mated that one-half of small business’ inventory sparsely settled areas may suddenly find them requirements is financed in this manner. selves in the mainstream of migration. Almost overnight, new demand swirls all about them. Factors and commercial finance companies are institutions that specialize in financing accounts Notice that many of these basic boosts, these receivable for small business. These lenders sup factors favoring small business, are born of pros plement rather than compete with commercial perity. Incomes, education, and population move banks. For the most part, they accommodate ment are strongly influenced by economic condi firms that are unable to get bank credit. Factors tions. One of the report’s authors, therefore, con and finance companies are small compared to cludes: “ The best help for small business would other lenders but they have grown greatly in the be the maintenance of an expanding, reasonably past decade. All together they now do a $2 billion stable economy.” business. Though plenty of short-term credit seems avail THE DOORS TO FINANCING able to the small businessman, he is at a disadvan In general, small firms seem to have adequate tage when it comes to interest rates. He generally access to financing. The majority are going con pays more than the large borrower for his bank cerns with good credit connections. In particular, loans. Call this discrimination if you will but it however, there are problem areas. Certain gaps has strong economic justification. There are two appear to exist between the amount of funds avail reasons— administrative costs and risk. 12 business review HOW SMALL IS SMALL? There is no standard definition of small business. Size, after all, is relative. It often depends on who is doing the measuring, and why. Th is is the general yardstick the survey used to determine if a business is small. In these industries: A firm is small if it has: Retail trade Total assets less than $50,000. Public utilities (mostly taxes) Construction firm s Service firm s Wholesale trade Total assets less than $250,000. Commodity dealers Real estate firm s Manufacturing and mining firm s except those listed below Manufacturers of: Total assets less than $1,000,000. Food-liquor-tobacco products Textile-apparel-leather products Sales finance companies Firm s producing: Total assets less than $5,000,000. Metal and metal products Oil-coal-chemical-rubber products Investigation and servicing costs per dollar of self, whereas the large firm can employ specialists. credit extended are much higher on small loans The small businessman apparently makes many than on large. These overhead charges have to be mistakes, for bankers rate “ poor management” spread over a smaller base, thus the lender must far and away the most important blotch on the charge more to wind up with the same percentage credit rating of small business. Lenders, therefore, of profit. charge higher interest rates in order to build Small firms, in general, are poorer credit risks — more likely to get in trouble, less likely to repay larger reserves as a buffer against the extra risk of small business lending. — than large firms. Size in itself has a lot to do with it. The small company is dependent on the Intermediate credit abilities and the limitations of one man— the The availability of one- to five-year loans appears owner. He must make all important decisions him to be getting better all the time. Banks are now 13 business review making many term loans to both large and small Most small businesses just don’t offer this kind businesses. The Small Business Administration of potential. About two-thirds of all small firms and other Government agencies also provide are engaged in the routine, highly competitive intermediate credit. Their greatest contribution, service trades and retailing where rapid growth however, probably has been their stimulating is unlikely. effect on term lending by banks and other private Changes in the financial structure of our econ institutions. Consider, too, the rapid growth of omy have tended to dry up the flow of equity equipment financing by lenders and manufac capital to small business. Once upon a time, frugal turers and the supply of intermediate credit seems fairly sufficient. individuals invested their savings in the busi nesses of friends and relatives. There were rela tively few alternatives — except the mattress. Long-term credit Today, most people deposit their savings in finan Mortgages, for all practical purposes, are the only cial intermediaries. Institutions like building and source of long-term credit for small business. loan associations, pension funds, banks, and They are available from commercial banks, sav insurance companies collect individual nest eggs ings institutions, and insurance companies. If the and reinvest them— but not in small businesses. business has proper assets to pledge, mortgages Responsible for large sums of other people’s usually are easy to get. money, these institutions require safe investments The trouble is, many small businesses don’t in big blocks. have the right assets. They rent their quarters, Seekers and suppliers are often at cross and their equipment is highly specialized. These purposes and this has further reduced the avail firms usually must do without long-term credit, ability of capital. Let’s say a small businessman for small business finds it far too costly to sell has hit on a new product, or discovered a new bonds on the market. market. He decides to expand and he needs money to do it. He wants a long-term loan because, to Equity capital get equity capital, he would have to give up some Finding somebody to put up equity funds— to of the ownership and control of his business— buy into his business— is the small operator’s and a share of future profits, too. On the other most pressing financial problem. hand, investors are loath to loan, for then they get A few institutions, investment firms, develop only a fixed return, taxable as income, and they ment corporations, and the like, furnish equity don’t have a say in running things. They demand capital to firms too small to use the stock markets. the slice of control and profits that the owner is Wealthy individuals, however, are the principal so reluctant to give. Negotiations often end in a source. These investors are after capital gains and stand-off and the investor looks elsewhere. they are a well-informed, sophisticated lot. They demand a high return to compensate for the extra New businesses risks and the fact that their investment is usually It’s a disadvantage to be small if you are after “ locked in” for a number of years. The prospect long-term equity funds. But it’s worse to be new, of a 15 to 20 per cent annual appreciation usually as well as small. In fact, in business, the “ just is necessary to loosen these purse strings. born” and the “ toddlers” seem to have more diffi 14 business review culty in getting credit of all types. And, since compares two surveys of the business loans of most new businesses are small, many of the sup member banks— one taken in 1955, the other in posed difficulties of small business are often really 1957. The over-all increase in loans was substan difficulties of new business. tial, for the period almost spans the late-lamented Lenders and investors put a lot of faith in business boom. The dollar volume of loans to experience and demonstrated ability. They like to large business, however, swelled much faster than know what management can do before they risk loans to small business. The percentage increases their money. New firms just haven’t had time to were roughly: show off their capabilities, or lack of them. Yet medium-sized, 28 per cent; small, 10 per cent. large business, 50 per cent; new firms do manage to raise money, and the It looks as though tight money hit small busi amounts must be substantial. After all, 350,000 ness hardest. But let’s take a closer look. Remem new businesses are started every year. ber, there are two sides to every coin, and to every question. In business the sides are called WHEN CREDIT IS SCARCE supply and demand. Monetary policy works on The recent period of restrictive monetary policy the raised anew the question of whether such a policy increase in loans to small business could be pinches small business especially hard. When because the supply of small business credit was credit is being rationed, large firms supposedly squeezed harder. Or it could be because the supply side. The comparatively smaller crowd small ones to the end of the line. So the demand for loans from small business did not survey attempts to get facts to answer the question. increase as much. The tight-money policy evidently set up cross current effects on small business. In some ways the policy bore adversely on small businesses— There is evidence to indicate the latter was true. All industries did not participate equally in the recent boom. Those that expanded most in other ways it seemed to favor them. rapidly had the greatest reason to borrow. Monetary restraint caused some banks to The boom seemed to be concentrated in indus change their lending policies, to the detriment of tries in which large firms are typical. Metals, small borrowers. Credit standards were upgraded, petroleum, chemicals, rubber, and public utilities more stress was placed on the deposits that bor — all large-scale industries— scored some of the rowers must maintain, and longstanding custom greatest gains in both sales and bank loans. Thus ers were given greater preference than ever. These the relatively greater increase in loans to larger changes tended to favor the large concern over borrowers may be due in part to relatively greater the small. expansion of large-firm industries rather than to But not all banks revised their lending policies, an uneven impact of tight money. and not all to the same degree. Big banks appar From 1955 to 1957, small banks experienced a ently did most of the policy changing. Small relatively smaller loan increase than large banks. banks— specialists in small business lending— This also suggests a less hearty demand for loans often reported no revisions at all. from small firms as compared to the big cor Results of the Federal Reserve survey suggest, on the face of it, that tight money bore harder on small business than large business. The report porations. The prime sources of short-term credit to small (Continued on Page 18) 15 THE ANATOMY OF THE STUDY The Federal Reserve study of small business financing is divided into three main parts. Available now is a report on Parts I and 2. Part I Background studies. Experts write on critical areas of interest. Existing information is reorganized and re-examined to throw new light on the experiences and problems of small business. Sixteen papers are presented, dealing with the following topics: A utho r Title Observations Based on Background Studies George Garvy Who Finances Small Business? V ic to r L. A nd rew s, Seym our Friedland, Eli Shapiro Risks and Returns in Small Business Financing Geoffrey H . Moore, Thomas R. Atkinson, Edward J. Kilberg Adequacy of Small Business Financing: One View A. D. H . Kaplan, Paul H . Banner Adequacy of Small Business Financing: Another View Irving Schweiger What is Small Business? Eleanor J. Stockwell Small Business in the American Economy James S. Duesenberry "Adequacy" of Financing Facilities fo r Small Business — Some Jack Guttentag Conceptual Problems Trends in the Relative Importance of Small Business Jesse W . Markham The Survival of Small Manufacturing Business James McNulty Effects of Long-Run Shifts in Demand for Final Product on the John Sheahan Position of Small Business Government Loan Programs for Small Business 16 Carl A rlt Security Financing of Small Business Richard C. Pickering Public Policies Affecting Small Business Ramsay Wood Management Problems of Small Manufacturing Enterprise in Relation to Financing J. Clark, Jr. State Development Corporations Paul S. Anderson Part II Surveys of Lenders. These surveys view the practices, policies, and techniques of small business finance through the eyes of lenders. New information is developed from extensive use of question naires and interviews. Included are: 1. A survey of member-bank lending. A large sample of banks was asked to report their out standing business loans on October 16, 1957. The results are analyzed and compared with a similar survey made two years earlier. Though loans of all sizes are covered, emphasis is placed on loans to small firm s. 2. A report on inte rview s w ith commercial bankers. Bankers were asked to express their opinions and describe their operations in small business lending. 3. A description of the activities of factors and commercial finance companies. Th is survey was also based largely on personal interviews. 4. An in q u iry into the flo w of credit from large to small business. Interviews with experienced credit men in large corporations develop important new information in this relatively unexplored area. 5. An analysis of small business lending by life insurance companies. Th is survey supple ments a similar one made by the insurance industry itself. 6. An opinion survey taken among those w ho supply equity capital to small business. This is the most pressing problem area in small-business financing. Part III A survey of borrow ers. Th is study is still in the exploratory stage, with completion set fo r 1959. Interviews will be made with small businessmen to view the adequacy of financing from the borrower's point of view. N O T E : C o p ie s o f the re p o rt are a v a ila b le fro m the U . S . G o ve rnm e nt P rin tin g O ffic e , W a sh in g to n 25, D. C . @ $1.50 each. A sk fo r: Fina n c ing S m a ll Bu sin e ss, a R e p o rt to the C o m m itte e s on Ba nking and C u rre n c y and the S e le c t C o m m itte e s on S m a ll B u sin e ss by the Fe d e ra l Reserve Sy ste m . 17 business review business were less affected by monetary restraint increase. This narrowing spread in rates, how than were many other lenders. From 1954 to ever, may have discouraged some banks from 1957, small banks had a relatively greater deposit lending to small business. growth and were consistently in a better lending position than large banks. Big corporations were Conclusion heavy borrowers from large banks and, in addi Small business in general has been holding its tion, tapped the security markets for greatly own in the postwar period. It has access to great increased sums. No doubt a significant portion of quantities of short and intermediate credit. The these proceeds was available to small firms in the supply of long-term credit and loans, however, form of trade credit. Factors and finance com seems somewhat less than adequate. In the words panies also were able to build up their funds for of Federal Reserve Chairman Martin, this gap small-business lending. In one way, monetary restraint has had less “ may be inhibiting the prosperity and growth of the nation.” effect on small than large firms. Interest rates rose There is strong new support for action to nar more— both in percentages and absolute amounts row the gap. Congress is considering some sort — on loans to large borrowers than on loans to of “ capital bank” for small business. The details small borrowers. A survey-to-survey comparison aren’t worked out yet but most of the proposals shows an increase of 0.7 percentage points in provide for Government funds to make long-term the smallest borrower category versus an increase loans to small firms. Another possibility of 1.2 points in the largest. The reason was that Government action to stimulate the flow of private usury laws and banking tradition set an effective ceiling. The typical rates charged small business — higher at the start of the tight-money period— soon bumped the ceiling and stayed there while lower rates charged big business continued to 18 is investment— perhaps through participation agree ments, guarantees, and development credit corporations.* * N e x t m o n th 's Bu sin e ss Review w ill contain an a n a ly sis o f Pe n n syl va n ia 's experience in fina nc ing in d u s t ria l d ev e lo p m e nt. F O R THE R E C O R D . . . INDEX BUSIN ESS FACTORY PAYRO LLS, D IST. 0949 - 100) FAC TO RY EM PLOYM ENT, D IST. (1949 100) J •v/—•- ~ V V D EPARTM ENT j TORC aALEo, DIoT. (1947-49-100, SEASONALLY ADI) A '"w—~ ^ y V \ A C O NSUM ER PRICES, PHILA. (1947-49 «100) ♦ 2 YE A R S AGO _____________________ \ / YE AR AC3 0 . APR. 1958 T h ird Fe d e ra l Reserve D is t ric t U n ite d S ta te s Per cent ch ange Per cent change SUM M A RY A p r il 1958 fro m 4 m os. 1958 A p r il 1958 fro m year ago year ago mo. ago mo. ago year ago Fa c to ry * 4 m os. 1958 fro m year ago LO C A L C H A N G ES D ep a rtm ent S to re Check Paym ents E m p lo y m ent P a y ro lls Per cent change A p r. 1958 fro m Per cent change A p r. 1958 fro m mo. ago year ago mo. ago Sa es year ago S to c ks Per cent change A p r. 1958 fro m mo. ago Per cent change A p r. 958 fro m year ago mo. ago Per cent change A p r. 1958 fro m year ago mo. ago year ago O UTPUT M a n u fa c tu rin g p ro d u c tio n C o n stru c tio n c o ntra c ts . .. C o al m in in g ........................... 0 + 12 — 3 — 14 +27 -3 0 -1 3 - 8 — 27 — 2 + 6 — 11 -1 2 + 4 -2 9 — n 7 -2 2 EM PLO YM EN T AND IN C O M E 0 0 — 7 — 12 — 7 — 2 -1 0 - 8 + + 7 1 + + 4 1 - 3 0 + 1 0 — + + + + 3 0 + + 5 7 1 5t + + + + 4 2 8 5 16 4f La nc a ster - - 1 -1 3 8 ... — 1 — 5 — 2 — 17 + 5 + - -2 3 + 7 + 9 2 + + + 2 2 4 + 12 + 2f — 2 — 7 + 4 P h ila d e lp h ia 0 - 7 - 1 — 9 + 5 Read ing ... 0 — 7 + 4 -1 0 + 13 Sc ra nton ... + 7 -1 1 + 1 — 16 + .... - 4 - II -1 0 + 17 - — 8 — 6 — 15 + 2 - - 9 + 14 — 4 + 8 — 1 + 3 + 11 0 + 18 + 3 — 2 4 + + 8 + 7 + 7 + 9 - 2 + 3 + 6 + + + + 0 5 6 2 0 + 2 + 12 + H + 16 + 6 + + + + + 4 3 7 5 13 4 Tre n to n - 6 W ilk e s -B a rre . + 16 — 6 + 9 W ilm in g to n . - 2 — 6 — 2 0 - + - 0 + 4 + 3 + 4 + 2 6 + 10 - 2 3 + 1 + 4 0 + 1 1 — 7 3 ................................ ................................ 6* + 3* + ’ A d ju ste d fo r seasonal v a ria tio n . 3* f2 0 C itie s 0 0 + 2 4 + + {P h ila d e lp h ia 2 3 Y o rk ................ 6 2 - + 1 + 12 PRIC ES W h o le sa le C o n su m e r 1 — 4 6 BA N K IN G + . 0 — II TRA D E* ( A ll m e m b er banks) D e p o sits .................................... Loans ........................................... In ve stm e n ts ........................... U .S . G o v t, se c u ritie s . . . . O th e r ...................................... Check paym ents .................. V a lley F la rris b u rg Fa c to ry e m p lo ym e n t ( T o ta l) .................................... Fa c to ry wage incom e . . . . D e p a rtm e nt sto re sa le s . . D ep a rtm ent sto re sto c ks . Le hig h 3 + 0 + 14 5 - + +40 1 + 5 4 * N o t re stric te d to c o rp o ra te lim it s o f c itie s but covers areas of one o r m ore c o u ntie s.