The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
THE BUSINESS REVIEW THIRD FEDERAL I S p RESERVE DISTRICT PHILADELPHIA J p , JULY I, 1923 By RICHARD L. AUSTIN, Chairman and Federal Reserve Agent FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of PHILADELPHIA SUMMARY OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS IN THE UNITED STATES Production and shipment of goods continued in heavy larger number of wage advances during the 30-day volume during May; the volume of employment was period ending May 15 than in any earlier month this sustained, and many wage advances were reported. year and average weekly earnings in all reporting indus Wholesale commodity prices declined during May and tries increased by 3.8 per cent. The advances were most general in the cotton, steel, meat packing, and the early weeks of June. Production of iron and steel, cement, and petroleum sugar refining industries. was larger in May than in any previous month, and mill In agriculture the condition of both winter and spring consumption of cotton was close to wheat is reported less favorable than a year ago, while Production maximum. The high level of produc the condition of the cotton crop is slightly better than tion in these industries, together with last year, owing entirely to more favorable growing increases in practically all other reporting lines, are re conditions in Texas. A shortage of farm labor is re flected in an advance of 2 per cent in May in the Fed ported from most sections of the country. eral Reserve Board’s index of production in basic in Active distribution of commodities is indicated by dustries. In the building industry there was a further heavy movement of merchandise and miscellaneous decline in principal cities in the value of permits granted freight, and car loadings continued to exceed which represent prospective building operations. Con Trade all previous records for this season. In cer tain lines of trade a decline in the volume of tract awards, however, which represent actual current undertakings, continued to increase, though declines are manufacturers’ orders for future delivery is reported. The volume of both wholesale and retail trade was reported in the New York and Chicago districts. This industrial activity has been accompanied by a larger in May than in April. Among the wholesale slight increase of employment at industrial establish lines sales of meat, hardware, and shoes showed par ments. The demand for labor was also reflected in a ticularly large increases, while sales of clothing and dry- BANK CREDIT BILLiOnS OF DOLLARS 600 MEMBER BANKS IM LEADmG cmES | Demand D eposits : ! 1 , ■. i | i i i i ! t~~-— 1 | Loans and D iscounts "**• **• *• • • _____ 1 In v e stm e n ts^ — Deposits 1919 goods decreased. The Federal Reserve Board’s index of wholesale trade, which makes no allowance for sea sonal changes, was 5 per cent higher than in April and 14 per cent higher than a year ago. Sales of depart ment stores increased about 8 per cent in May, and all reporting lines of chain store business reported in creases. Mail order sales were 6 per cent less than in April, but were larger than in any previous May. Price declines were reported during May and the first three weeks of June for a large number of commodities. All of the nine groups in the Bureau of Wholesale Labor Statistics Index, except food prices and housefurnishings, show decreases for May and the average for all commodities declined by 2 per cent. Loans of reporting member banks in principal cities, which have been increasing since the early part of the decreased over Bank year, 16 and June 13.$100,000,000 between May Bank holdings of credit Government securities, which increased over 1920 1921 1922 1923 $100,000,000 in connection with the Treasury transac tions of May 15, declined as the securities were distrib uted by the banks. Accompanying these decreases in loans of member banks and the receipts during May of $45,000,000 of gold from abroad, the loans and investments of Federal reserve banks decreased $120,000,000 between May 23 and June 20, to the lowest point for the year and ap proached the low point reached in August, 1922. The reserve bank holdings of bankers’ acceptances and Gov ernment obligations are now lower than at any time since early 1922. Money rates continued to show a slightly easier tend ency. The June 15 issue of $150,000,000 6-months treasury certificates paid a rate of interest of 4 per cent, compared with 4*4 per cent on a similar issue sold in March. Money in circulation increased $38,000,000 between May 1 and June 1 due chiefly to increases in the circulation of gold and silver certificates. TABLE OF CONTENTS Agriculture ..................................................... Bankers’ acceptances ................................. Bricks ............................................................... Building ........................................................... Cigars ................................................................ C o a l................. Coal, anthracite ............................................ Coal, bituminous .......................................... Coke .................................................................. Commercial paper ........................................ Confectionery ................................................ Cotton goods ................................................ Cotton, r a w ..................................................... Cotton, yarns ................................................ District summary ........................................ Drugs, wholesale .......................................... Drygoods, wholesale ................................... Employment and wages............................... PAGE 26 7 12 11 25 14 14 15 15 8 11 16 15 17 3 9 8 5 Financial conditions Floor coverings ............... Foreign exchange ......... Gas and electric fixtures, Glass ................................... Groceries, wholesale . . . , Hardware, wholesale Hides and skins............... Hosiery ............................. Iron ................................... Leather .............................. Lumber .............................. National sum m ary......... Paint ................................... Paper .......................... .. Printing and publishing Retail trade . .................. Savings dep osits............. 2 PAGE 6 20 8 13 13 10 9 23 19 13 , 21 12 1 13 . 23 24 8 7 Securities ........................................................ Shoes ............................................................... Shoes, wholesale .......................................... Silk goods ....................................................... Silk, raw ......................................................... Silk, thrown .................................................. Steel .................................................................. Summary, district ........................................ Summary, national ................. Synopsis of business conditions............. Tobacco ........................................................... Tobacco, leaf ................................................ U nderw ear...................................................... Wholesale trade ............................................ Wool, raw ....................................................... Woolen and worsted goods...................... Wool yam s ..................................................... PAGE 7 21 10 18 20 19 13 3 1 4 25 26 ' 20 8 18 17 18 S U M M A R Y OF BU SIN ESS C O N D ITIO N S IN THE TH IRD FEDERAL R E SERVE D IS T R IC T F URTHER reductions in wholesale commodity this district has increased sharply. That unemployment prices, somewhat easier supply of labor in certain is at a minimum is indicated by reports from five of the industries, and continuation of the lull in buying principal cities in this district estimating that only slightly over 7,000 persons are out of 'work. This have been the outstanding features of the past month. is In many lines, the present period is usually a dull one, the lowest figure since employment records were and therefore the decrease in sales should cause no sur started at the beginning of 1921. prise. Practically all textiles have been in poor request, That consumption is still heavy is indicated by re and little future business is being obtained. Indeed, ports of wholesalers and retailers in this district. All not a few cancellations have been received, especially in of the wholesale lines reporting to us showed increased woolen and worsted goods, hosiery, and underwear. sales over those of both last month and a year ago. Certain textile manufacturers, moreover, have had nu Retail sales in May, despite the unseasonable weather, merous requests to postpone shipments. The leather were of larger proportions than in May, 1922, and late and paper industries report decreased business during reports indicate that warmer weather has served to May and early June, but the volume is still of fair pro induce more active purchasing. of portions. A similar situation prevails among printers. the heavy consumption of goodsFurther evidence the is reflected in Building permits issued in this district have de that are most creased, and the demand for building materials is notice light or moderate stocks true that being carried instocks industries, although it is in many cases ably less than it was a month ago, although operations are increasing. Distribution too has been at a high in many cases are going ahead despite rising costs. Iron rate. the last week in and steel products are not selling as well as they were, ceeded Car loadings during seventh time sinceMay ex 1,000,000 for the figures and bituminous coal and coke are moving slowly. Do have been available. The same week was notable also mestic sizes of anthracite, however, continue in excellent in that, for the first time since last September, there demand. In summarizing it may be said that although was a surplus of cars. This is an eloquent testimonial orders are of smaller volume and for prompt delivery, of the progress made by the railroads in getting their business is far from being poor, and a feeling of opti rolling stock in condition. mism is apparent. The opinion is generally expressed Marked reductions in wholesale prices during May are that the present lull is favorable for sound business, and shown by all of the well-known index numbers. Bradmany firms are making plans for a more active buying street’s declined from $13.6665 to $13.3841; Dun’s dropped from $192,944 to $191,414; and the index of movement in the late summer or early fall. With the exception of textile plants, many of which the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which had been station are operating on reduced schedules, production con ary for two months at 159, fell to 156—the same as it tinues at a high rate, and the output of several basic was in January. For the first time in several months, commodities, such as pig iron, steel ingots, and petro none of the commodity groups, shown by the Bureau’s leum, has made new records. Although the scarcity index, advanced; and all but two of the groups, foods of labor is still great in certain industries, there is a and housefurnishing goods, declined. The greatest de somewhat easier condition in many lines. The de crease was in fuel and lighting, which fell from 200 to creased operating schedules in textile plants have re 190. duced labor requirements to some extent, and the short Turning to the broader aspects of the present busi age in other industries is not so acute, although un ness situation, probably one of the most striking phe doubtedly more men could be used, especially in the nomena has been the expansion of our imports and the iron and steel plants. Advances in wages are still falling off in exports. The chart on page 5 indicates numerous, and our index of average weekly wages in the trend of our foreign trade since 1912. SYNOPSIS OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS Compiled as of June 23, 1923 Business Bricks Cigars Coal, anthracite Coal, bituminous Coke Confectionery Cotton goods Cotton yarns Drugs, wholesale Drygoods, wholesale Floor coverings Gas and electric fixtures Glass Groceries, wholesale Hardware, wholesale Hosiery, fullfashioned Hosiery, seamless Iron and steel Leather goods Leather, heavy Leather, upper Lumber Paints Paper Printing and publishing Shoes, manufacture Shoes, retail Shoes, wholesale Silk goods Silk, thrown Tobacco leaf Underwear, heavy weight Underwear, light weight Woolen goods Worsted goods Worsted yarns Demand Third Federal Reserve District Prices Firm Firm Firm Decreasing Decreasing Firm to higher Lower Lower Fine chemicals —higher Fair to good Botanicals— lower Unchanged Fair to lower Fair to good Firm Good Firm Good Decreasing Generally Good unchanged Good Firm Fair Unchanged Unchanged Fair to lower Decreasing Fair to good Unchanged Good to lower Unchanged Poor to lower Unchanged Fair to lower Fair to good Firm to lower Good Firm Good Firm Fair to good Firm Fair Unchanged Good Unchanged Fair Unchanged Poor Unchanged Lower Poor Firm to Poor to fair higher Poor F'irm Firm Poor Good (for coat Firm ings) Unchanged Poor Unchanged Poor Good Good Good Poor Fair Fair to good Poor Poor Finished stocks Light Moderate Light Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Labor situation Supply Wages Some Scarce increases Sufficient Unchanged Some scarcity 1 Unchanged Unchanged Sufficient Sufficient ; Unchanged Some scarcity 1 Some increases Some scarcity, ; Unchanged skilled 1 I Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Light to moderate Moderate— decreasing Moderate to heavy Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Heavy Moderate Light to moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Light Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate 4 Sufficient Some scarcity Some scarcity Some increases j Some increases Some scarcity Some scarcity Scarce Sufficient Sufficient Sufficient Some scarcity Sufficient Scarcity, unskilled Some scarcity Some scarcity Some increases Some increases Increasing Unchanged 1 Unchanged Unchanged Some increases Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Unchanged Some scarcity Unchanged Some scarcity Unchanged Scarcity, Some unskilled increases Some scarcity Unchanged Some scarcity , Unchanged Some scarcity Unchanged Sufficient Unchanged Slight scarcity, Unchanged skilled Collections Fair to good Fair to good Fair Fair Fair Fair Fair : Fair | Fair Fair Good Fair Fair Fair Fair ! Fair to good Fair to good Fair Good Fair to good Fair to good Fair to good Fair Fair to good Fair Fair to good Fair to good Good Fair to good Fair to good Fair Fair to good Fair to good Fair to good Fair to good Fair to good cent. In the metal products establishments the expan sion has been large—over 9 per cent since January, and in the building material and most of the food products industries heavy increases have also been re corded. The accompanying tables and chart show revised index numbers of employment and wages in the leading industries and the principal cities of the Third Federal Reserve District during the first five months of 1923. Employment in principal cities Third Federal Reserve District Cities Allentown .. Bethlehem .. Bloomsburg . Bridgeport .. Camden ........ Chester ........ Columbia . .. Easton ......... Harrisburg . . Hazleton .... Lancaster . .. Lebanon .... Norristown . Philadelphia . Pottstown . ... Reading........ Scranton ....... Trenton ........ Wilkes-Barre Williamsport Wilmington . York ............ All others .... During the last three m onths our im ports have exceeded our exports for the first tim e since August, 1914. Source—Department of Commerce Beginning in March, it will be noted, imports were of greater value than exports for the first time since August, 1914, and the same condition continued during the next two months. Especially interesting in this connection is the fact that during the ten months ending April 30, nearly 60 per cent of our imports consisted of raw materials and of semi-finished goods for further use in manufacturing. Less than 20 per cent were manufactures ready for consumption. The recent im port balance has caused a great deal of discussion re garding the possibility of an outward movement of gold. If such a turn is to come in the near future, there have been as yet no indications of it, as gold imports have continued to be larger than exports. EMPLOYMENT AND WAGES The total number of wage earners employed at the 504 manufacturing establishments reporting to this bank changed but little from April to May. In the latter month employment at these plants was 202,158, as compared with 201,180 in April—an increase of 978, or less than one per cent. Of the 31 industries represented in our index, 15 showed increases, 6 no change, and 10 showed decreases. Many of the changes were of a seasonal nature. Canneries again reported a large expansion, and employment at petro leum refineries and in building material industries increased seasonally. Car repair plants and sugar re fineries also showed considerable increases, but most of the other groups remained stable or reported slight reductions. The textile industries in particular have changed but little during 1923. Although general employment, as indicated by our weighted index, is now about 5 per cent larger than it was in January, the textile industries show a decrease of nearly one per 5 Number °f reporting plants Jan. 18 4 4 3 16 6 3 8 8 3 7 4 3 188 4 18 14 19 5 12 13 18 126 102 112 113 103 107 108 90 101 110 120 112 113 112 117 109 120 109 100 102 106 115 114 111 Number employed Index numbers Average 1922=100 Feb. Mar. April May May 102 114 111 107 108 125 102 103 109 123 106 113 110 120 114 121 106 104 103 109 115’ 113 112 101 113 111 95 109 119 111 105 118 128 106 131 111 122 116 121 110 111 107 116 117 112 113 98 111 111 94 112 128 114 113 125 127 100 143 111 123 109 109 109 113 99 111 120 119 114 3,539 500 1,419 1,572 16,512 5,177 924 2,101 2,856 2,488 1,791 1,196 635 88,392 1,196 8,817 2.426 7,150 980 2.569 8,707 2,327 38,884 98 112 113 95 111 128 114 104 122 130 103 140 114 122 108 112 112 113 108 113 119 114 115 Wages and Employment Third Federal Reserve District Average weekly wages Industries Number of reporting plants 504 All industries Metal products: Automobiles and parts................. 19 Electrical machinery ................... 18 Foundries and machine shops... 37 Iron and steel products................. 32 Car construction and repair..... 9 Shipbuilding ................................... 5 Textile products: Carpets and rugs ......................... 14 Clothing .......................................... 22 Cotton goods ................................. 17 Felt hats ........................................ 4 Knit goods .................................... 27 Silk goods ...................................... 37 Worsted and woolens ................. 24 Food products: Bakeries .......................................... 18 Canneries ........................................ 8 Confectionery and ice cream .... 21 Slaughtering and meat packing.. 12 Sugar refining ............................. 3 Building materials: Cement ............................................ 15 Glass ................................................ 7 Pottery ............................................ 11 Miscellaneous: Boots and shoes ........................... 16 Leather ............................................ 29 Chemicals and paints ................... 17 Cigars and tobacco ..................... 14 Furniture ........................................ 17 Musical instruments ..................... 2 Paper and pulp............................... 13 Printing and publishing ............. 19 Petroleum refining ....................... 5 Rubber tires and goods............... 12 Index numbers Average 1922=100 Index numbers Average 1922=100 Actual Feb. Mar. Apr. May 109 112 115 116 120 110 105 112 125 109 99 108 108 115 127 114 102 114 108 123 132 118 101 114 100 124 135 119 104 118 112 129 142 127 112 28.46 22.17 27.44 29.95 31.79 28.39 99 107 103 98 103 109 98 104 115 105 103 109 114 104 104 117 107 96 111 110 110 101 115 107 94 111 113 110 112 119 109 102 114 117 113 105 85 107 104 99 105 82 103 104 98 103 131 107 103 110 103 107 107 104 112 122 126 78 114 119 82 131 132 87 105 109 114 107 105 96 116 104 108 100 103 111 111 115 107 99 111 106 112 106 109 113 115 112 110 102 117 111 113 106 Jan. The most significant development during May was the marked growth in earnings reported in most of the industries of the district. Average weekly wages for all groups advanced from $25.51 in April to $26.71 in May, or nearly 5 per cent, as compared with an in crease of less than one per cent in April. In 24 of the 31 industries, weekly earnings were larger, the most pronounced improvement occurring in the leather, paper and pulp, and electrical machinery industries. That this phenomenon was not confined to the Third District is evidenced by the fact that the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics reported an average increase in average weekly earnings of 3.8 per cent at 6,075 estab lishments throughout the United States. Employment May Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. | May $26.71 114 117 119 119 120 202,158 121 112 113 121 162 112 127 114 116 122 170 118 131 123 120 128 176 117 127 124 121 130 175 121 127 120 119 132 179 122 7,253 3,336 6,353 22,450 28,504 11,609 29.55 20.57 22.96 25.35 21.34 19.81 22.81 111 98 104 119 103 105 101 113 100 103 121 105 105 102 113 103 104 121 107 107 98 115 101 103 120 107 107 97 116 100 99 122 108 104 97 4,182 3,612 6,717 4,848 5,816 12,459 9,733 105 112 113 108 106 27.46 20.56 20.74 28.16 28.72 102 109 102 105 88 103 110 106 104 102 102 105 104 101 103 106 115 94 100 100 107 126 95 100 108 2,918 2,782 5,079 1,755 2,510 140 130 88 144 141 90 31.79 37.44 29.20 103 95 88 104 108 91 108 115 95 110 106 97 113 108 100 7,655 879 2,065 103 106 121 110 109 104 125 110 115 107 6 May Actual 101 119 120 110 110 103 138 110 126 104 18.11 25.69 30.13 15.45 24.02 26.61 29.45 31.45 28.95 25.06 106 104 123 102 113 109 106 100 103 105 104 104 125 96 113 109 106 101 105 110 101 105 126 93 115 111 104 100 106 118 102 105 126 91 114 112 106 100 107 118 100 102 126 89 115 112 105 100 111 115 2,472 8.320 4,970 5,521 2,751 7,996 2,680 2,601 6,544 5,788 FINANCIAL CONDITIONS Since the middle of April, commercial loans and dis counts of reporting member banks in the Third Federal Reserve District have tended steadily upward, and on June 13 stood at 356 millions, as against 332 on April 18. Secured loans, on the other hand, decreased from 288 to 269 millions. Investments have increased slightly. Country-wide figures evidence a small in crease in commercial loans in this two-months’ period, and a small decrease in secured loans and in invest ments. Changes in the figures of reporting member banks during the past month follow: Increases or decreases in loans and investments from May 16 to June 13 (All figures in millions of dollars) District Boston ................................................ New Y ork ....................................... Philadelphia .................................. Cleveland .......................................... Richmond ....................................... Atlanta .............................................. 7. Chicago ............................................. 8. St. Louis .......................................... 9. Minneapolis ................................... 10. Kansas City ................................... 11. Dallas ................................................. 12. San Francisco ................................ All districts .................................. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Other Secured (commer loans cial) loans June 20, 1923 20 20 10 10 10 10 4 Invest ments — 62 — 12 9 — 12 7 — 1.1 — .9 — 1.8 — 22.7 + 2.1 + 2.8 — 17 + 1-5 + 1.6 — 2.8 — 38 4 + 1 4 .4 + 1.1 — 37 + 3.2 — 29 3 — 84 — 40 — 12 — 2.3 + 8.8 — 44 — 4.1 — 3.1 — 3.0 — 4.2 — 4.5 — 13.1 + 1.5 — .3 — 10 — 24 — 10.4 — 52.0 — 62.6 — 49.0 Reporting member banks: Loans and discounts: Sec’d by U. S. securities.... Sec’d by other stocks and bonds ................................... All others (commercial)___ Total .................................... Investments ........................... Total deposits ....................... Federal Reserve Bank: Discounted paper..................... Purchased paper ....................... United States securities........... Total earning assets............. Federal res. note circulation.. Total deposits ........................... Total reserves........................... Reserve ratio............................. Latest* Four weeks ago Number of reporting banks Eight weeks ago $19 $18 $18 250 356 263 342 270 332 $625 312 806 $623 315 789 $620 308 774 $71 20 18 '$67 21 25 $52 24 25 $109 201 113 22 0 70 . 0 % Philadelphia ............... Scranton ...................... W ilk es-R a rre ................. Williamsport ............... Wilmington ................. York A ......................... Other cities ................. * For reporting member banks Tune 13: for Federal Reserve Bank June 20. $92.77 80.13 86.24 82.71 86.40 93.49 97.71 $101.10 86.75 85.47 82.27 86.86 92.51 97.57 5 5 6 3 9 6 6 5 4 5 5 14 Per cent increase or decrease June 1, 1923, compared with— May 1, 1923 1.5 — .9 .8 1.6 .1 .8 — .4 — .1 .0 .8 —1.0 2.2 June 1, 1922 12.4 7.9 10.8 38.6 5.6 9.2 13.3 1.1 7.3 18.9 13.1 9.5 June 1, 1921 19.1 — 2.7 4.2 50.7 6.6 21.1 11.9 7.3 12.9 20.2 21.9 13.0 Sales of bankers’ acceptances by five dealers operat ing within the Third Federal Reserve District, aver aged $1,749,000 weekly in the fourBankers* June acceptances weeka period endingincrease 13. This was considerable over the figures for the previous period, but was less than the amounts sold early in the year, and in the correspond ing period a year ago, when sales averaged $3,010,000. Demand for bills is only fair and is concentrated on the shorter maturities. Offering rates remain at 4 and 4% per cent. Sales and purchases by the five dealers were as follows: $101 $113 199 202 113 118 231 227 73.8% 70.9% A further decrease in the prices of industrial stocks took place in the month ending June 20, and various classes of bonds, with the exception of Securities Liberty bonds, also declined. Compara tive averages of security prices follow: $90.81 80.60 85.74 82.24 86.07 93.17 98.14 Savings deposits Third Federal Reserve District Banking statistics Third Federal Reserve District (000,000’s omitted) Two months ago Savings deposits in the Third Federal Reserve Dis trict as reported by 80 banks increased 0.6 per cent dur ing the month of May. Owing to the inSavmgs elusion of a municipal deposit of large p size in Harrisburg and the merger of a Reading bank with a bank not previously included in our reports, it appears that this figure is somewhat con fusing. If we should eliminate the effects of these items we would find an increase of only 0.3 per cent during May and of 7.5 per cent as compared with the figures of June 1, 1922. Because of these changes, percent ages for Harrisburg, Reading, and the grand total have been omitted in the following table: Discounted bills held by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia amounted to 71 millions on June 20, as compared with 62 millions on May 16. Holdings of acceptances and United States securities declined from 47 to 37 millions in the same period, and the circulation of Federal reserve notes from 202 to 201 millions. i industrial stocks ................. railroad stocks ................... first-grade rail bonds........... second-grade rail bonds. ... public utility bonds ........... industrial bonds ................. Liberty bonds ...................... Month ago 7 $1,514,000 646,000 1,208,000 2,424,000 $235,000 337,000 116,000 182,000 $320,000 260,000 525,000 642,000 s 1923: May 17 to June 13............... April 16 to May 16............... March 12 to April 15.............. February 12 to March 11___ 1922: May 15 to June 11............... the figures being $3,257,500 and $2,845,000 respect ively. Rates at which sales were made ranged from 4J4 to 5j/2 per cent. The amount sold at per cent was per cent of the total, and that at 5j4 per cent only yA of 1 per cent of the total. Of the remaining 98 per cent the greater part was sold at 5 per cent. Sales to Purchases others $827,000 $2,949,000 o' 8 Sales to F. R. Bank Weekly averages for period RETAIL TRADE Reports from retail stores indicate that June sales will show a healthy gain over those of June, 1922. Though consumers are exercising care and demanding value, they are purchasing with considerable freedom, and the articles in demand embrace practically all classes of merchandise. Retailers report that they are experiencing no difficulty in obtaining goods and that quotations are no higher than they were a month ago. In some lines they are offered concessions in price, especially on certain silk and cotton fabrics. The table on page 9, compiled from reports of retail establishments in the Third Federal Reserve District, shows that in May business was larger by 17.3 per cent than in May, 1922. Notable increases were made by stores located in coal, railroad, and iron and steel cen ters. Last year, strikes on the railroads and in the coal mines retarded business, and production of iron and steel was on a smaller scale. Credit houses continue to show satisfactory increases. Acceptances executed by twelve banks in this district declined slightly from $3,767,000 in the month ending May 10 to $3,743,000 for June 10. A year ago the amount was $4,612,000. Wool, cotton, hides, skins, and silk are among the more important commodities involved in local acceptance transactions. Foreign exchange rates Noon cables Par value June 20, 1923 May 20, 1923 June 20, 1922 London ................. $4.8665 $4.6229 $4.6296 $4.4236 .0865 .0667 Paris ..................... .1930 .0626 Antwerp ............... .1930 .0534 .0822 .0574 .0489 Milan ..................... .1930 .0457 .0486 Berlin ................... .2382 .000009 .000020 .003144 Vienna ................. .2026 .000014 .000014 .000068 .3834 .3915 Amsterdam .......... .4020 .3922 .2123 Copenhagen ........ .2680 .1794 .1861 .2669 .2552 Stockholm ............ .2680 .2649 .1525 .1555 Madrid .................. .1930 .1487 .1804 .1894 Berne ................... .1930 .1797 .8034 .8174 Buenos A ires....... .9648 .8068 .7832 Shanghai ............. .7082 .7245 .7438 Some dealers report that their sales of commercial paper have increased in June, but others say that the * market is not active and that their sales paper ^ ° Pr°bably be no larger than in May. Buying continues to be spasmodic rather than regular, but the number of banks that have purchased is said to have increased in recent months. The supply of paper is increasing, and brokers’ lists are fuller than they were a month ago. Rates have not changed, the bulk of the transactions being at 5 and 5j4 per cent. Early in June, however, the rate on a number of names that had been held at 4j4 per cent was changed to 5 per cent, and freer sales re sulted. But later in the month some paper was again offered at 4j4 per cent. During May six dealers in this district sold paper to the amount of $6,102,500, as compared with $7,932,500 in April and $9,588,000 in May, 1922. Three of these reports show that sales were larger in Philadelphia than outside, but the other three showed just the re verse. For the first time since last October, total sales in Philadelphia were larger than those outside the city, 8 WHOLESALE TRADE The heavy employment and high wages that have re sulted from the prosperous condition of manufacturing industries during the past spring, have caused the May sales of all the reporting wholesale lines to exceed those of May, 1922. Although a small part of the gain over last year must be attributed to higher prices, the actual physical volume of sales has increased greatly. The chart on page 11 shows the relatively large volume of business in wholesale groceries that has been done in this district during the past 8 months. In all lines, the ratio of accounts outstanding to sales was lower in May than in April, but only in drygoods and boots and shoes was it smaller than in May, 1922. Although wholesalers have had considerable diffi culty this spring in moving their goods, the warm weather in June caused the spot deDrygoods mand to improve decidedly. Business in May was only fair, but sales ex ceeded those in April by 2.0 per cent, and those in May, 1922, by 32.6 per cent. Specialties in voiles, swisses, and tissues are more active than staple wash goods. Like most of the latter, ginghams have been inactive. The majority of wholesale drygoods houses have booked a considerable quantity of orders for fall de livery. Those that have booked fall business report that about 10 per cent of their orders are to be delivered Retail trade Third Federal Reserve District C o m p a r is o n OF NET SALES May, 1923 with May, 1922 All reporting firms................... Firms in—Philadelphia ........... —Allentown, Easton and Bethlehem---—Altoona..................... —Chester ..................... —Harrisburg ............. —Johnstown ............... —Lancaster ................. —Reading ................ —Scranton ................. —Trenton ................... —Wilkes-Barre .......... —Williamsport ........... —Wilmington ............. —York ......................... —All other cities........ All department stores............ Department stores in Phila__ Depart, stores outside Phila__ All apparel stores..................... Men’s apparel stores —in Philadelphia.... —outside Philadelphia Women’s apparel stores —in Philadelphia........ —outside Philadelphia Credit houses............................. +17.3% +13.1 “ +23.3 “ +19.9 “ +32.3 “ +27.1 “ +27.8 “ +17.5 “ +24.5 “ +33.9 “ +13.9 “ +29.3 “ + 8.3 “ +17.6 “ +12.1 “ +23.6 “ +16.0“ +11.7 “ +21.6 “ +18.6 “ + 4.8 “ +15.4“ +25.3 " +17.8 “ +40.9 “ C Jan. 1 to May 31, 1923 with Jan. 1 to May 31, 1922 + 14.7% + 12.4“ +17.9 “ +15.3 “ +44.4 “ +18.4 “ +24.7 “ +18.7 “ +18.8 “ +21.0“ +10.8 “ +21.1 “ + 7.1 “ +15.6 “ +13.2 “ +16.1 “ +14.0 “ +12.1 “ +16.4 “ + 14 2 “ +10.6 “ +16.3 “ +18.5 “ + 7.5 “ +31.3 “ o m p a r is o n of sto ck s May 31, 1923 with May 31, 1922 May 31, 1923 with April 30, 1923 + 12.1% + 9.2 “ + 8.0 “ + 3.1 “ +31.4 “ +15.9 “ +13.3 “ +12.3 “ +11.9 “ + 6.6 “ +29.0 “ +12.9 “ +21.8 “ + 4.5 “ +25.2 “ +13.0 “ +10.8 “ +16.2 “ + 6.6 “ +18.5 “ + 6.6 “ — 8.5 “ +14.1 “ +24.9 “ —1.0% — .4“ +4.6 “ —5.6 “ —2.4 “ —2.6 “ + .8 “ — .8“ —3.0 “ +2.2 “ —4.0 “ —3.8 “ —1.8 “ —3.4 “ —3.2 “ — .8“ 0.0 “ —2.0 “ —2.0“ —6.6 “ —4.7“ —2.7 “ +2.5 “ —3.9 “ Rate of turnover Percentage of orders outstand ing May 31, Jan. 1 to Jan. 1 to 1923, to May 31, May 31, total purchase* 1922 1923 in 1922 3.1 3.8 2.6 2.8 2.5 3.0 2.6 2.2 3.5 3.1 3.0 2.3 1.7 2.5 2.0 3 .1 3.6 2.6 3.5 2.8 1.9 6.9 3.4 '2.7 3.0 3.6 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.0 2.3 2.1 3.0 2.9 3.0 2.4 1.6 2.2 2.0 2.9 3.4 2.5 3.4 2.9 1.8 5.5 3.4 2.3 9.3% 9.6 “ 9.8 “ 5.2 “ 7.3 “ 6.8 “ 10 .4 “ 11.5 “ 8.0 “ 3.7 " 22.0 “ 2 .4 “ 6.3 “ 2& " * Times per year based on cumulative period. in the period from 30 to 60 days hence, and that from 75 to 85 per cent are for delivery further than 60 days ahead. Much of the fall merchandise will be shipped in September. During the past month wholesale stocks have been decreasing. However, the desire of holders to move their stocks has caused considerable quantities of cotton and silk fabrics to be offered at concessions. Collections are fair. Although the demand was somewhat “spotty” during May, the sales of drugs in that month, estimated in dol lars, were 1.3 per cent larger than in April, Drugs and 11.4 per cent larger than in May, 1922. During the early part of June, half of the reporting wholesale firms found that the demand was tending to improve slightly, but the others experienced no change. During the past month, wholesale stocks in this dis trict have tended to increase. But so many whole salers have preferred not to place future orders until the results of the foreign and domestic collections are known, that the New York market for crude drugs has been very dull. As a rule, price changes have been of small importance, but owing to the short supply of gum opium, makers of narcotics have advanced their quotations. Prices of calcium arsenate and blue vitriol were reduced because of the slack demand. So far, the supplies of the former have been more than adequate to care for the needs of southern cotton planters. Since June 1, collections are reported to have become slightly less prompt. The ratio of accounts outstand ing to sales decreased from 139.6 per cent in April to 135.9 per cent in May. Sales of wholesale hardware, as reported by 34 firms in this district, increased 3.5 per cent over those of April, and were 17.4 per cent greater Hardware than those of last May. Our index of sales for May was 129, as compared with 125 for the previous month. Builders and con tractors continue to be the heaviest purchasers, but mines also are buying more, and in some communities farmers are purchasing more freely. Few if any re quests for cancellations are being received. Stocks range from moderate to heavy, but reports are con flicting as to whether they are increasing or decreasing. Collections are fair and show little change from a month ago. The ratio of accounts outstanding to sales, which is indicative of the state of collections, was 153.6 as compared with 158.5 in April. Sales of shoes at wholesale in June are expected to show an increase over those of the same month last year, and in this respect will resemble the Shoes sales of recent months. White leather shoes, although making a late start, have sold well, and wholesalers report that their stocks of these are depleted. Business is also good, for this time of the year, in suede and satin shoes for women; and even of staple lines a fair quantity has been sold. Retailers had allowed their supply of the latter to become so small that a few sales made it necessary for them to replenish stock. Collections, which were better in May than in April, have shown further improvement during June. Stocks in wholesale houses are reported to be light or moderate, and retailers also are said, as a rule, to be carrying moderate stocks. Cancellations have been ex ceedingly few, in consideration of the lateness of the season and the rapid changes in styles. During May, sales in this district, as reported to the Federal Reserve Bank, increased 5.3 per cent as com pared with April, and 24.0 per cent as compared with May, 1922. The ratio of accounts outstanding on May 31 was lower than in either April, 1923, or May, 1922, as is shown in the table below. During June, wholesale groceries have been in good request. Of the firms reporting to this bank, about half found that the demand remained Groceries unchanged, but with the others it was better than in May. With the exception of orders booked for new pack goods to be shipped in October, November, and December, nearly all of the business is for spot delivery. Of the orders in the hands of wholesalers, those for delivery in 30 days average 93 per cent; in 30 to 60 days, 11 per cent; and after 90 days, 8 per cent. In the table below are listed the articles or classes of merchandise that were men tioned as the best sellers during the early part of June. Commodities Number of wholesalers who report them active This month Sugar ........................................ Canned vegetables ................. Canned fruits ......................... Canned goods, in general. ... Cereals ...................................... M ilk ...................................................... Beverages ................................ Coffee ....................................... Flour ........................................ Soap .......................................... Last month 14 13 0 18 7 12 5 5 0 11 8 7 7 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 As seen in the charts on page 11, sales usually in crease in May and June. The only exception during the last four years has been in the dollar sales in May, 1921. Although the sales of 1919 and 1920, expressed in dollars, greatly exceeded those of the average month of 1922, as indicated in chart number one, prices were then so high that the physical volume of business, shown in chart number two, was much smaller than that of the present time. However, the sales in June and July, 1920, were so heavy that the volume of busi ness in each of those two months exceeded that in any month thereafter. Sales by wholesale grocers in May of this year were 6.1 per cent larger than in April, and 15.8 per cent greater than in May, 1922. The gain in dollar sales over those of last year is larger than the actual increase in the physical volume of business, be cause in the meantime prices have advanced. The in dex of grocery sales compiled by this bank was 118 for May, as compared with 113 for April. Wholesale trade Third Federal Reserve District Percentage of increase or decrease in Number of reporting firms Accounts outstanding May, 1923, compared with— Net sales May, 1923, compared with— Ratio of accounts outstanding to sales Apr., 1923 Boots and shoes.......... Drugs ......................... Drygoods ................... Groceries ................... Hardware ................. 14 16 20 51 34 May, 1922 Apr., 1923 May, 1922 May, 1923 Apr., 1923 May, 1922 +5.3% +1.3 “ +2.0 “ +6.1 “ +3.5 “ +24.0% + 11.4 “ +32.6 “ + 15.8 “ + 17.4 “ -5.2% —1.9 “ —5.8 “ +1.2 “ +1.1 “ +12.2% +25.7 “ +21.3 “ +20.4 “ +20.0 “ 240.9% 265.7% 135.9“ 139.6 “ 238.2 “ 258.0 “ 103.4 “ 107.8 “ 153.6 “ 158.5 “ 279.8% 123.3 “ 260.5 “ 102.0 “ 151.5 “ 10 DOLLAR SALES OF WHOLESALE GROCERIES THIRD FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS' 1 3,986 150 iff lO O 2,659 1,329 __ Above overage EM3 Below average —— lrcdex numbers of price of food products- Bureau of Labor Statistics 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 Large sales in 1919 and 1920 are m ainly due to higher prices prevailing then. Index represents m onth ly sales of 35 reporting firms. Source—Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Although one-third of the wholesalers reporting to this bank indicate that stocks have not changed, the majority state that they are decreasing. During the month, prices of canned vegetables, cheese, syrup, tea, and salt have advanced, but quotations on evaporated and canned fruits, soap, flour, and sugar have declined. Stocks of canned peas and of most sizes of canned toma toes are small and prices are firm. According to the revised figures of the Department of Agriculture, this year’s tomato plantings are estimated at 272,050 acres, as compared with 224,660 and 87,240 acres in 1922 and 1921 respectively. Flour prices declined, largely on account of the absence of an export demand, and sugar quotations were reduced because of the accumulations of unsold stocks at refineries. Physical volume estimated on basis of average of food products prices In 1922. Index represents m onthly sales of 35 reporting firm s. Source—Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia 11 CONFECTIONERY At present the confectionery business is seasonally dull, and the demand is not as heavy as it was a month ago, though most manufacturers report that it is greater than it was a year ago. The manufacture of many candies that are not salable in warm weather has been discontinued, and for this reason production at some factories is light. Buying of candies in large cities has fallen off heavily because of the warm weather, but this loss of business has been partly made up by large purchases for summer resorts. Manufacturers, how ever, state that the call for their products is fairly good, considering the season. Hard and soft candies, which are marketable during the summer months, are in good demand. Other candies that are salable chiefly in cool weather are in light request, although mountain resorts have placed some fair sized orders for these. Pro ducers of bar chocolate, baking chocolate, marshmallow whip, and chocolate coating state that the demand is fair. Operations at confectionery factories vary from 35 to 90 per cent of capacity, the average for this dis trict being about 70 per cent. Manufacturers report that all orders on their books are for immediate ship ment. A few cancellations and some requests for post ponement of shipments are reported, but these are not of large proportions. On June 1 many manufacturers advanced prices from 2 j/2 to 10 per cent on piece candies and chocolate coat ing. Very few, if any, have raised their prices on box candies over those of a year ago. Sugar during the month has held relatively firm, but cocoa beans have shown further weakness. The increases in candy prices that have taken place since the beginning of the year have been caused chiefly by higher priced sugar and increased labor costs, as there have been no ad vances in other commodities used in candy manufacture. Finished stocks at the factories are moderate and are remaining stationery. Although some manufacturers are buying sugar only from hand to mouth, the major ity have fairly large supplies on hand, and in general the stocks of raw materials are not heavy. Both skilled and unskilled workers at many factories are still scarce, although because of the slackening in demand some factories are now adequately supplied. Girl workers, in particular, are difficult to obtain. A few candy makers granted wage advances of from 5 to 10 per cent during the month, but the majority report that their wage scales are unchanged. Collections are only fair, and many firms report that they are slower than they were a year ago. BUILDING The value of building permits issued during May in fourteen cities of the Third Federal Reserve District declined for the second consecutive month. The chart on page 12 shows how sharp has been the fall since the maximum of $31,844,831 was reached in March. It will be noted, however, that despite the decrease, the value of permits in May was considerably greater than that for the same month in the preceding three years. In only two cities of the district, Atlan tic City and Lancaster, was the value of permits greater than in April. The table below shows the number of permits and their estimated value for May, 1923, and for May of last year, together with the cumulative totals for the first five months of both years. Although a few manufacturers of bricks report a slight decrease in the number of inquiries received dur ing the past month, the great majority are Bricks still receiving substantial business, and in practically all cases sufficient orders are on the books to insure operations for several months. Certain manufacturers, especially in Philadelphia, are loading bricks from the kilns as soon as they become sufficiently cool. As might be expected under such cir cumstance, stocks are light, or at the best, only moder ate. Prices are quite firm, but there have been no advances during the month. Operations do not average over 80 per cent of capacity, largely because of scarcity of labor, both skilled and unskilled. In a few cases wages have been increased by about 5 per cent, but in general there has been no change since last month. Collections for the most part are good, although some manufacturers consider them to be only fair. Opinion differs as to whether collections are more prompt or slower than they were a month ago, but the majority believe they are better than they were at this time last year. Despite the sharp decrease in the value of perm its issued during May, the total was greater than that for the corresponding m onth of recent years. Source—Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Lumber manufacturers and wholesalers report a de crease in demand during the past month, but retailers continue in general to receive good busiLumber ness. With wholesalers most orders are for prompt delivery, but some mills have orders for future delivery. Prices on a few grades of soft woods have weakened somewhat, but hardwoods on the whole have been firm and show little change. Con siderable quantities of western woods are coming in and are moving well. The better grades of cypress are in good demand, as is yellow pine flooring; but North Carolina pine is not in as good request as it was a few weeks ago. Building permits Third Federal Reserve District May, 1923 May, 1922 Permits Operations lEstimated cost Permits Operations Estimated cost Allentown ................. 114 Altoona ....................... 253 Atlantic City ............ 180 Camden ...................... 115 Harrisburg ................ 111 Lancaster .................. 144 Philadelphia .............. 1,566 Reading...................... 405 Scranton ................... 210 Trenton ...................... 223 Wilkes-Barre ............ 159 Williamsport ............. 149 Wilmington ............... 130 York ........................... 272 Total ...................... 4,031 Does not report operations. $352,115 137 365,763 259 180* 1,086.982 1,143,725 172 267,050 122 435,925 189 2,298 12,709.660 591,975 456 351,852 210* 714,017 284 254,777 159* 34,942 175 231,977 130 150,279 272 5,043 $18,691,039 98 313 413 124 94 87 1,483 361 188 168 179 148 118 217 3,991 117 317 iii 130 87 2,288 387 188 225 179 148 118 217 4,532 12 $397,900 424,2% 943,114 184,016 319,075 157,195 8,872,050 532,400 619,052 651,294 269,058 190,404 163,118 121,841 $13,844,813 January to ^lay inclusive 1922 1923 Permits Estimated cost Permits Estimated cost 445 $2,766,620 400 $1,268,175 837 1,619,302 870 1,087,802 1,314 5,091,707 1,676 4,058,286 424 4,324,187 459 1,908,476 445 4,2%,175 429 1,639,455 986,695 446 1,555,460 398 5,980 66.808,220 6,580 39,238,425 1,419 2,675,905 1,457 2,210,471 626 1,711,760 557 1,318.783 725 3,340,068 619 1,706,693 1,774,%5 486 1,213,214 621 907,000 366 609,682 466 4% 1,733,615 397 1,613,793 418,447 739 1,215,755 610 14,748 $98,%1,670 15,539 $60,137,466 Stocks in most cases are only moderate. Retailers viously guaranteed their prices until August 30, an purchased heavily in January and February, which was nounced on June 11 that this guarantee would be ex unusually early, and recently they have been so busy tended to November 30. This action has stabilized the making deliveries that they have purchased but little. market considerably. As soon as they have an opportunity to take stock, how Stocks of both finished goods and raw materials are ever, it is expected they will place substantial orders. only moderate, and are either stationary or decreasing. Mills are operating at a high rate, but they find it diffi The majority of plants continue to operate at capacity, cult to obtain sufficient unskilled labor. Here and there and, as in other industries, there is a shortage of labor, wage increases of from 10 to 15 per cent have been skilled workers being especially scarce. One or two granted to both skilled and unskilled workers. small wage increases have been made since last month. Collections are fair. Wholesalers state that collec Collections vary considerably but in general may be tions have changed but little since last year, but manu classed as fair. facturers find them more prompt. Manufacturers of gas and electric fixtures are re The majority of glass manufacturers report good ceiving only a fair amount of business, but in some business, but makers of plate and window glass have cases the decreases are only seasonal, noted a slight seasonal decline. At this time ua.s .arlr f ec~ and they are optimistic regarding connc x ures ^[j£{ons jn faip The majority of Glass most of the houses and buildings that were started last year are enclosed, and those that orders are for shipment within sixty days. Few if were commenced this spring are not yet ready to be any cancellations have been received, and there have glazed. Manufacturers, however, are busy with orders been no requests for postponement of shipments. for delivery later in the year, and large quantities of Prices in general have not changed during the past goods are being shipped on past contracts. Some month, and although in certain lines quotations are builders have already bought their requirements for the quite strong, in others, where competition is keen, they fall and are leaving the glass in the manufacturers’ are rather weak. Stocks of both raw materials and fin warehouses. The shortage of plate glass has been ished goods are only moderate, and are being held sta somewhat relieved, but there is still a large demand. tionary. Prices, however, are from 10 to 15 per cent lower than Operations range from 60 to 80 per cent of capacity. they were a few weeks ago, partly because of heavy Numerous reports are made of scarcity of skilled labor, importations from Europe. Automobile manufactur and a few wage advances of from 3 to 10 per cent have ers have been taking an important part of the domestic been made during the month. Unskilled workers are output, and this, together with the demand from build for the most part in ample supply, but in certain in ers, had forced prices to a high level. stances their wage scales have been increased slightly. Operations are at capacity in most cases, but certain Collections are only fair, or in some cases poor, and bottle and stained-glass manufacturers are working at the majority of manufacturers find them to be slower only 65 or 75 per cent of capacity. In some instances, than they were either last month or a year ago. there is a slight shortage of both skilled and unskilled IRON AND STEEL labor, but few wage increases have been granted. Stocks are light, in general, and in those factories that Although many branches of the iron and steel in manufacture only on specification, they are of course dustry continue to enjoy substantial business, there is nil. Raw materials are being carried in moderate sup a noticeable increase in the number of firms who re ply, and no difficulty is found in obtaining them. port the demand to be only fair. Pig iron has been in Collections range from fair to good, and show little poor request for several weeks, and even the recent change from those of last month or of a year ago. concessions in price failed to bring out any great num Although paint manufacturers are now entering the ber of buyers for the third quarter. Manufacturers season in which demand may be expected to fall off of iron bars have had fair business, the chief purchasers somewhat, only a few operators report de being railroads and locomotive builders. With foun ta in t creased sales during the past month. The dries, business varies considerably, some describing it continued good business has been gratifying, as good, and others as only fair. Railroads, locomotive and there is considerable optimism regarding the fall. builders, and public utilities have been the heaviest The majority of orders are for prompt shipment, and purchasers. Certain foundrymen note that orders re ceived are for smaller quantities than was customary practically none are for delivery beyond sixty days. Since the advance was made on ready-mixed paints a few weeks ago, and buyers are not requiring so a few weeks ago, quotations in general have been firm. prompt delivery. Many manufacturers of fabricated Prices on several raw materials, such as turpentine and steel are receiving fewer inquiries, but the volume of linseed oil, are lower than they were earlier in the business on the books is satisfactory. spring, and pig lead also is down from the peak price The decrease in the orders for structural steel is reached a few weeks ago. Corroders, who had pre- shown in the chart on page 14. 13 operations would be not far from 90 per cent of capacity. Quotations on several products are slightly easier. As was generally expected, a slack demand, and possibly lower prices for coke, brought about a reduction of $2 a ton on eastern pig irons during the early part of June. The chart below shows the composite price of pig iron and quotations on spot coke since 1920. It will be noted that pig iron quotations during this period have quite generally followed the same course as have coke prices. PRICES OF PIG IRON AND COKE DOLLARS TOM 50 40 30 20 The decrease in building activity is indicated by the unusually large falling off in sales of structural steel during the last two m onths. Source—Department of Commerce It will be seen that bookings reached a peak in March, and have since been declining. Machinery and ma chine tools are being sought in fair volume by railroads, public utilities, and general industries, and power equipment is in good demand. In general, our reports indicate that although most branches of the industry have substantial orders on their books, inquiries and new business are considerably less than they were a few weeks ago. Much of the decline is seasonal, it is true, and the majority of manufacturers are looking forward to a quickening in business once the hot weather is over. The falling off in activity is reflected in the report of the unfilled orders of the United States Steel Corporation, which on May 31 were 6,981,351 tons, or 307,158 tons less than at the end of the previous month. This marks the second successive month in which the Corporation’s unfilled orders have shown a decline. In spite of the gradual decrease in demand, produc tion has been maintained at record levels. Pig iron output in May reached 3,867,694 tons, or 317,958 tons more than in April, and for the third month in suc cession exceeded all previous totals. Fourteen furnaces were blown in during the month and three were blown out, leaving 321 active on June 1. In this district on the same date 42 furnaces were in blast, a gain of 1 over the previous month. The production of steel ingots, by the 30 companies which in 1922 made 84.13 per cent of the total, reached the unprecedented figure of 3,537,753 tons. There is no doubt that the output for all companies was over 4,000,000 tons. The average percentage of operations of firms reporting to us is about 80. Many of the larger plants, however, are working at a much higher figure, and taking these into consideration, it is probable that a fair average of w PicJ ir o n A .. lO 5 4 3 2 1 ••••* '\ 1920 F u rn a ce ***• 1921 cok e : / / 1922 V ''" X 1923 During the past four years quotations on pig iron and coke have fol lowed the same general trend, but coke prices have fluctuated more violently. Source—“Iron Age " 14 2X Philadelphia iron is now quoted at $30, furnace. Slight reductions have been made on billets, and scrap has weakened considerably. But the composite price of finished steel, as computed by the “Iron Age,” has remained unchanged during the past five weeks. The market on several types of steel is less firm, and it is now possible to obtain fairly early deliveries at quoted prices. The great majority of manufacturers find unskilled labor extremely scarce, and about half of those report ing to us have granted increased wages. Foundries in particular are unable to obtain sufficient laborers. Al though skilled labor is in better supply than unskilled, there is a pronounced shortage, and several plants have advanced their wage scales. Collections are fair, and the majority of operators find them unchanged from last month. COAL The demand for domestic sizes of anthracite con tinues to be insistent, orders for stove coal being espe cially heavy. Steam sizes are still in Anthracite poor request, and pea coal is not sell ing as well as it was a few weeks ago. The tonnage moving to the Lakes is less than in 1921, but, of course, considerably larger than it was last year during the strike. Those operators that have the facili ties have stored considerable quantities of steam sizes. The majority of mines are working at capacity, but in some cases labor troubles have caused a reduced out put. Weekly production has hovered around 2,000,000 tons, except in the week ending June 2, when the cele bration of Memorial Day reduced the total by about 25 per cent. Estimated production for the past four weeks, and for the corresponding period of 1922 is as follows: Week ending May 26 June 2 June 9 June 16 ........................ ......................... ......................... ....................... 1923 1.956.000 net 1.606.000 “ 2.046.000 “ 2.053.000 “ 1922 tons 10.000 net tons “ 8.000 “ “ “ 13.000 “ “ “ 22.000 “ “ mines have closed down, thus releasing cars for other operations. In spite of these shutdowns, production continues at a relatively high rate, and during April and May was higher than for any corresponding period in recent years, except 1918. Output for the past four weeks, and for the similar period in 1922 was as fol lows: Week ending May 26 June 2 June 9 June 16 ..................... ..................... ..................... ..................... 1923 1922 11,049,000 net tons 10,059,000 “ “ 10,708,000 “ “ 10,800,000 “ “ 4,889,000 net tons 4,616,000 “ “ 5,136,000 “ “ 5,013,000 “ “ The decreased production during the week ending June 2 was due to the celebration of Memorial Day. Mines in this district are working at an average of 60 per cent of capacity. Labor supply varies considerably. Some operators report a sufficient number of miners, but others state that even if they could obtain the cars, or if market conditions warranted it, they could not operate at capacity because of the scarcity of labor. The coke market is still dull, and although some con tracts have been made, the majority of consumers are buying in the spot market. Spot prices Coke have declined further during the month, furnace grade now being quoted at $4.75, and foundry at $5.50 a ton, as compared with $5 and $6 respectively a month ago. Output of beehive coke fell off during the week ending June 2, because of the Memorial Day celebration, but it had previously hov ered around 400,000 tons weekly. Estimated produc tion during the last four weeks, for which figures are available, was as follows: The reduced output in 1922 was due to the miners’ strike. Certain operators report a shortage of miners and miners’ helpers, but in general the supply of labor is adequate. In most cases the miners appear to be satis fied, although small outlaw strikes are not unusual. It is expected that at the tri-district convention, to be held June 26, the Union will formulate its policy regarding the terms of the new agreement to replace the one ex piring August 31. Some observers believe that the re port of the United States Coal Commission, which is to be made on July 1, will have some influence upon the terms of the new agreement. Quotations on domestic sizes have been firm, ranging from $7.35 to $12.50 a gross ton, f. o. b. mines, de pending upon the source of supply. Steam sizes have weakened in some cases, No. 1 buckwheat being listed at from $2.75 to $3.50, f. o. b. mines. There has been no improvement in the demand for bituminous coal during the past month, and dealers and 19 ........................................................... 411,000 operators are unanimous in reporting a May 26 ........................................................... 415,000 net tons May “ Bituminous poor market. Embargoes have been June 2 ........................................................... 395,000 “ “ “ in effect upon shipments to the Lakes, June 9 ........................................................... 416,000 “ “ and this has tended to force southern coal to New Eng land, where local operators had hoped to find a fair market. When the embargoes were removed, it was COTTON expected that considerable tonnage could be sold in New England, but it was found that consumers in that In spite of such depressing factors as the curtailment territory had received fair-sized stocks by water. In of operations in Eastern mills and the condition report of the Department of Agriculture, which the Philadelphia district, buyers are taking only small quantities and show no disposition to place contracts, K a w was better than anticipated, the statistical the majority of sales being in the spot market. Con cotton position of the old cotton crop was strong tract prices range from 25 cents to $1 above spot quota enough to raise quotations on spot cotton from 25.30 tions. Spot prices continued to decline during the cents a pound on May 11 to 29.90 cents a pound on month, Pool 10 being quoted on June 18 at from $2.00 June 11. Prices have been by no means steady, how to $2.40, as compared with $2.15 to $2.60 on May 21. ever, but have been marked by the fluctuations that are The supply of cars is somewhat better, because many usual prior to the arrival of the new crop. 15 Supply and takings of American cotton* Season of Season of Season of 1922-1923 1921-1922 1920-1921 1 In bales Visible supply, American, at end of previous season (July 31) 1,968,159 4,112,651 2,943,882 Crop in sight, American, to June 2 2 ................................................... io s o o 3 7 0 1 0 .3 3 0 3Q7 10.845.869 Total ...................................... 12774.329 14 443 248 13.789.751 Visible supply, American, on June 2 2 ................................................... 1,210,440 2,688,025 4,510,848 World’s takings of American to June 2 2 ................................................... 11,564,089|11,755,223 9,278,903 * Figures compiled by New York Cotton Exchange. Exports of this season from August 1 to May 31 were 974,093 bales smaller than those of a year ago, but the domestic takings, which have been especially heavy in the South, were considerably larger. Conse quently, the total world’s takings of American cotton to date, as indicated by the table above, are only slightly smaller than those of the corresponding period of last season. In past years, about half of the American production has been exported, but as shown by the chart below, the percentage exported during the past ten years has varied greatly. If exports and domestic takings con tinue at their present rates for the remainder of the season, the total consumption will greatly exceed the 1922 crop. Consequently, the carryover to next season must necessarily be small. Because of the limited quantity of old crop cotton available, the bidding of COTTO N 1P R E T E CN Am erican production Exports Percentage exported short interests tends to force old cotton to prices rela tively much higher than those of the new crop. Unfavorable weather early in the season delayed the crop at least two weeks, thereby making it more suscep tible to destruction by the boll weevil. The condition as of May 25 was reported to the Department of Agri culture to be 71. The following chart shows the correlation between the estimated acreages, the condi tion figures as of May 25, and the final yields in all the years since 1910. No official estimate of acreage has yet been made for this year, with the exception of the preliminary forecast, but private estimates indicate an increase over last year’s acreage of about 9 per cent. The correlation between yield and acreage is seen to be much closer than that between yield and the condition as of May 25. See chart. C O TTO N PRODUCTION 1910 1911 1912 1913 1914 1915 1916 1917 1915 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 o Although the condition of cotton was better on May 25, 1923, than on the sam e date in the preceding four years, it m ust be noted that the condition on that date is of less significance in forecasting the size of the crop than is the acreage planted. The offi cial estim ate for 1923 has not yet been issued, by the Bureau of the Census, but reliable private sources estim ate this year's acreage as 9 per cent larger than that of 1922. Source—Department of Commerce Since May 25, the weather generally has been favor able. Chopping has been completed throughout the cotton belt. According to a survey made by Clemson College, 50,000 negroes have left 41 counties of South Carolina since November 1, 1922. In 14 of these counties, 14,722 acres of cotton have been abandoned largely because of this exodus. During the past month, the cotton goods market has continued to be extremely dull, and buying has in general been for immediate needs only. AlLotton though this lack of demand may be partly ®°° s attributed to seasonal influences and un In spite of the heavy exports of raw cotton before the war, crops were favorable weather conditions, the underlying reason is so large that the percentage exported declined steadily. The ratio line reached its low point in 1917 because little cotton the disparity in price between old and new crop cotton. was exported in that year, and its peak in 1921 because of the exceptionally sm all crop and the con Print cloths and sheetings were in very poor request, tracted dom estic consum ption. but a few orders for the latter were placed by the bag Source—Department of Commerce 16 1900 1905 1910 1915 trade. Velours and mohair plush for furniture cov erings have continued in greater demand than tapes try. A considerable volume of business has been done in flannels, but the shipping dates of the orders booked have not been as far ahead as usual. Although sales of wash goods at retail were stimulated by the recent warm weather, little of this activity has yet reached the manufacturers. During the past month, prices on most cotton cloths have been reduced, and quotations have tended to fluc tuate except on certain special lines that are active. However, prices this spring have been on such a high level, as compared with those abroad, that exports from this country have been curtailed. As shown by the fol lowing table, exports of cotton cloth in April were nearly 14 per cent less in yardage than those of the same month in 1922, although the total value was some what greater. Exports of cotton cloth* April Kind of cloth Cotton duck ............. Unbleached ............... Bleached ..................... Printed ...................... Piece-dyed ................. Yarn-dyed ................. April totals ............... March totals............. February totals ........ January totals........... 1923 Quantityin sq. yds. 1922 Value Quantity in sq. yds. Value 752,931 $309,810 913,882 $376,450 9,266,388 1,248,051 17,883,444 1,864,529 6,406,130 1,079,367 7,685,683 1,060,127 10,706,685 1,698,871 10,015,490 1,316,444 11,024,768 2,136,157 8,080,295 1,430,995 6,584,528 1,347,774 7,063,236 1,198,591 44,741,430 $7,820,030 51,642,030 $7,247,136 48,885,378 8,418,714 48,406,572 7,112,542 36,751,374 6,207,135 32,707,056 4,812,729 38,892,656 6,399,124 31,037,671 4,549,230 * Department of Commerce. The curtailment of activity in eastern mills has in creased, and in this district manufacturers are operat ing at 65 or 70 per cent of capacity. But mills mak ing narrow fabrics, specialties, and plush are running most of their equipment. Practically all of the business on the books is for delivery within 60 days. Some re quests for postponed shipments and cancellations have been reported, but these do not appear to be for large quantities. Finished goods in mill hands are moderate and stationary, but stocks of raw material are fairly heavy and are either stationary or decreasing. Un skilled labor is now in sufficient supply, although there is still some scarcity of skilled help. Wages, in general, have not been changed since last month. Collections are fair, but tend to become slower. Cotton yarns continue to be neglected, and there is little buying except to fill immediate requirements. Although raw cotton prices have recovCotton erecj muci1 0f ground lost by the sharp yarns decjjne April and early May, this has had little noticeable effect upon the demand from weav ers. The latter have adopted a waiting policy in the hope that prices of yarn would decline still further. Consequently, only small scattered sales are being made, usually for immediate delivery. Carded yarns consti tute the bulk of the sales, combed yarns being still in small request. Owing to the lack of demand, the prices quoted on yarns have varied widely, and many sales have been made at concessions. When raw cotton values com menced to rise, quotations on carded hosiery yarn strengthened, but they were later reduced again. Combed yarn at present can be bought at relatively low prices as compared with carded. Stocks of yarns in the hands of dealers are moderate and in many cases are increasing. Of the orders on the books, about three quarters are for delivery within the next 60 days, and the remainder within the succeed ing month. No cancellations have been received, but there have been some requests for postponed shipments. Collections are only fair. WOOL The current demand for men’s wear and for dress goods is light, and few duplicate orders have been re; ceived. What little business has Woolen and, 5een done has tended tQward wors e goo s Specjaitjes rather than staple fabrics. This dulness, however, has been more pronounced in men’s wear than in dress goods, since the demand for the latter has been largely centered in the woolen pile fabrics, such as bolivias, which continue in great vogue. The chief interest in dress-goods is still in the finer grades. Poiret twills are in strong request, but unlike last year, they do not dominate the field, because of the increasing popularity of wool crepes. The lack of demand has been reflected in cancella tions and in requests for postponed deliveries. The latter are tantamount to appeals for extended credit. Although cancellations have been numerous and have affected as much as one-third of the business booked by some mills, the evil is but little greater than is normally to be expected in this month between seasons. More over, many weavers report that the number of cancella tions has diminished. About three-quarters of the orders on the books are for delivery within sixty days, the remainder being for shipment in the month there after. Production has been curtailed considerably. Whereas a month ago about 90 per cent of the looms in this dis trict were in operation, mills that manufacture suitings are now running at only 65 per cent of capacity, and labor, which last month was scarce, is reported to be sufficient in the majority of cases. This curtailment, however, has not prevented some accumulations of fin ished goods, and where such accumulations have been 17 WOOL --------------------------------------- -------------- - - E% Wool consumption 73 Pencentocje of active woolen spindles Pencentooe of active worsted spindles 5 PERCENT: 31------------n — - _ ijllj f t 'W & iJ J l 1919 k ft H n r r gf§l 'tym. 8 M n f f l w m m m s 5 • .. a - J . __________ ....... ‘ i ! heavy, they have been offered at concessions. The presence of these stocks, together with the strong re sistance of buyers to higher prices, has prevented weav ers from obtaining advances, and during the past month the level of quotations has not changed. Stocks of yarn in weavers’ hands are moderately light and are either stationary or decreasing. Collections are fairly good, but some mills report requests for future datings. During the past month the demand for worsted and woolen yarns was negligible, and the little business booked was to cover immediate needs only. Wool However, this dulness was largely seasonal yarns an(j Was to have been expected. Nearly all the business on the books is for delivery within sixty days, few spinners having orders for delivery beyond that period. There have been no cancellations, but a few requests to postpone shipments have been re ceived. Some duplicate orders were received from bathing suit manufacturers. Although a few concessions are reported, spinners’ prices in general have remained firm. Stocks of yarn in the hands of spinners are moderate, as are also sup plies of raw materials; but our reports differ as to whether they are stationary or decreasing. In spite of the flat demand, nearly all the worsted spindles in this district are still running on orders booked previously. Worsted mills, however, are more active than woolen mills. That this condition is also true for the country as a whole is shown by the accom panying chart. Since October, 1922, the activity of worsted spindles has exceeded that of woolen spindles. The supply of unskilled labor is reported to be adequate, but skilled spinners continue to be scarce. In general, wages are the same as they were a month ago. Collections are still fairly good. The Philadelphia raw wool market remains extremely quiet. Sales have been confined largely to small quan tities of the finer grades, bought for filling Raw and dealers wool in purposes,the lightweightare now looking forward to openings, which last year began about August 1. After a short period of moderate activity in the West, buyers refused to pay the asking prices of the growers, and although the clip is reported to be little more than half sold, transactions are almost at a standstill. Mill consumption, however, is still fairly heavy. As shown by the following chart, the quantity of wool enter ing production during the first four months of the year in those mills that report to the Department of Com merce has been much larger than during the corre sponding periods in 1921 and 1922. Some decrease is to be expected at this time of year because of seasonal influences, but spinners have been sufficiently active to consume much of their supplies of raw wool. f;' ' W 1920 50 ' * " 4 1921 1922 < 1923 __ 1 Owing to the dem and for tweeds last year, the activity of woolen spindles in this country between March and October, 1922, greatly exceeded that of worsted spindles; but now the latter are more active. The consum ption shown is that reported to the Departm ent of Commerce by over 600 m anufacturers. Source—Deportment of Commerce Stocks of foreign wools in the hands of dealers are heavy, and the abundant supply of clothing wools of foreign origin has caused the dealers who needed money to dispose of them at concessions. For the same reason, the re-shipment of these wools to foreign ports has continued. However, in spite of the concessions in eastern markets and the slight softening tendency that has been reported in the West, quotations on fine grades remain firm. The world-wide scarcity of these wools has been reflected in the strength displayed at auctions during the past month in England and Aus tralia. SILK The sale of broad silks has continued to be curtailed because of high prices. Not only are customers afraid that they cannot resell goods bought at . present prices, but they fear that, owing to goo s unsteadiness of the raw silk market in the face of the approaching crop, the value of goods bought now may depreciate while in their hands. As a result, little fall business has been booked. However, crepes, especially cantons and georgettes, are selling in considerable volume, although yarn-dyed fabrics con tinue to be neglected. Stocks of the latter, which a year ago were heavy, have been depleted by sales made at concessions, and since manufacturers have been pro ducing them in but small quantities this spring, stocks of yarn-dyed fabrics are now light. About 60 per cent of the orders on the books are for delivery within 60 days, and some 40 per cent are for shipment within the succeeding month. Owing to the lack of demand, manufacturers have been unable to obtain higher prices, and in general IS prices have not changed since last month. But some concessions have been reported. There have been no cancellations and almost no requests for postponed shipments. The majority of mills are now operating at about 65 per cent of capacity. More than one half of the manu facturers report that skilled labor is still scarce, but the majority find that unskilled labor is sufficient. As a rule, wages have not been changed since last month. Stocks of finished goods in weavers’ hands are moderate and tend to remain stationary; but supplies of raw materials are fairly light and in many cases are decreas ing. Collections are fairly good. During the month, the thrown silk market has con tinued extremely quiet, except for a few small orders j,. to fill immediate requirements. Of the silk n business on books, practically all is for delivery within the next two months. Owing to the scarcity of work and the keen competition, it is impossible to advance throwing prices. Consequently, prices are very weak and show a tendency to fluctuate widely. Few cancellations have been reported, but re quests for postponed shipments are frequent. It is estimated that plants are operating only half of their equipment. Stocks of finished goods and raw materials are light and are decreasing. Throwsters are making frequent complaints about the poor quality of the raw silk, but as the old crop is almost depleted, this is to be expected. Both skilled and unskilled labor, though still scarce, is more plentiful than it was last month. Collections are fair. Silk imports, stocks and deliveries to American mills* In bales 1923 May ........................................ April ...................................... March .................................... February ................................ January ................................. 1922 May ........................................ April ...................................... March ..................................... February ............................... January .................................. 1921 May ........................................ April ...................................... 1920 May ........................................ April ...................................... * Silk Association of America. Imports during month Deliveries Storage at to American end of month mills 25,814 27,414 28,336 33,759 32,593 24,509 38,193 33,515 36,231 34,680 29,962 28,657 39,436 44,615 47,087 34,842 21,438 19,746 19,950 40,177 33,284 24,247 26,651 22,107 33,842 20.826 19,268 22,077 28,982 31,139 31,810 35,585 31,307 31,933 20,541 20,038 20,275 17,008 22,325 25,336 42,407 44,457 Deliveries of raw silk to American mills have de creased because of high prices. It may be seen from the preceding table that in May these deliveries declined more than 35 per cent from those of April, reaching the lowest point in over a year. HOSIERY Sales of hosiery by both wholesalers and retailers have increased considerably, owing largely to the warm weather. Some of this gain has been reflected in larger orders to manufacturers, but the full benefit of the improvement does not appear to have been felt by them as yet. The great bulk of the new orders placed, both for full-fashioned and seamless hosiery, call for early shipment, though some mills report that they are re ceiving a fair amount of business for autumn. The total quantity of wool mixtures for women that has thus far been bought is much smaller than it was a year ago, when many mills had taken large orders for fall delivery; but some manufacturers anticipate that a good business will yet be done in heavy hosiery for women, and that when the demand begins it will be so heavy that it will be difficult to meet it in the required time. Mills making wool and fibre mixtures for men have taken considerable business for August and September delivery, and in fact men’s hose in all fabrics are in better demand than women’s, misses’, and chil dren’s or infants’. Cancellations have increased. Some of these have been due to the failure of mills to deliver goods on time, but more are said to be caused by the late start of the retail selling season and by the fear of buyers of being overstocked. Priees of silk hosiery are for the most part unchanged, but quotations for mercerized and cotton lines have been lowered by a number of manufacturers. One of the largest producers of hosiery in this country has announced prices for its numerous lines for delivery up to October 1. Though raw materials are higher than when its previous prices were made, the new offerings are in most instances priced lower. Prices of both silk and cotton yarns are lower, and wool and worsted yarn quotations are barely steady. The supply of labor is better, though a number of mills report that it is still insufficient for their needs. Wages are for the most part unchanged, and the num ber of advances reported is smaller than it has been in recent months. Nearly all the advices received by us state that collections are either fair or good. According to figures compiled by the Department of Commerce from the reports of 331 establishments rep resenting 389 mills throughout the country, hosiery production decreased from 4,619,585 dozen pairs in March to 4,268,047 dozen pairs in April. The largest item in this decrease was in women’s seamless hosiery, production of which was 1,458,104 dozen pairs in March and 1,288,961 in April. Shipments, finished 19 products on hand, orders booked, and cancellations were all slightly less in April than in March, but orders on hand at the end of the month rose from 10,729,516 dozen pairs in March to 10,902,679 in April. Reports from hosiery manufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District, tabulated below, show the conditions that existed during May. Hosiery industry Third Federal Reserve District In terms of dozens of pairs May, 1923, May, 1923, compared with compared with April, 1923 May, 1922 Firms selling to the wholesale trade: Number of reporting firms— 31 f + Product manufactured during month ............................................ Finished product on hand at end of month .................................... Orders booked during month---Cancellations received during month ........................................... Shipments during m onth............. Unfilled orders on hand at end of month...................................... Firms selling to the retail trade: — 3.6“ — 29.9 “ +118.7 “ + 3.3“ — 9.9“ + 6.1% +20.8 “ +29.3 “ —33.7 “ + 5.3 “ +49.2 “ Underwear industry Third Federal Reserve District Number of reporting firms— 12 Product manufactured during month ............................................ + Finished product on hand at end of month .................................... + Orders booked during month---- + Cancellations received during month ............................................ + Shipments during m onth............. — Unfilled orders on hand at end of month...................................... f + 3.0% .7“ 4.8“ 13.8“ 2.7“ -6“ next spring’s goods will be opened is largely a matter of conjecture. At present, labor costs and cotton are both considerably above last year’s figures, but on the other hand buyers are strongly opposing an advance. Cotton yarns are lower than they were a month ago, but the violent fluctuations in raw cotton cause yarn quota tions to vary considerably. Labor is still reported to be in short supply, but no advances in wages have occurred during the month. Collections are from fair to good. Returns from manufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District, tabulated below, show that production of summer underwear during May was larger than that of April, the difference amounting to 6.1 per cent. But it was smaller than that of May, 1922. Orders booked during the month were 15.7 per cent less than in April and .6 per cent less than in last May; and cancellations increased 1683.7 per cent, as compared with April. Al though in percentages this is an exceedingly large fig ure, in actual dozens the cancellations were 4477 in May and 251 in April. In the production of winter under wear there was a seasonal increase of 29.2 per cent, as compared with April. New orders taken were prac tically nil. (In terms of dozens) +27.1% —14.0 “ —11.1 “ — .6“ + 7.3 “ +73.0 “ May, 1923, May, 1923, compared with tompared with April, 1923 May, 1922 Summer underwear Number of reporting firms— 13 Product manufactured during month ........................................... Finished product on hand at end of month .................................... Orders booked during month.... Cancellations received during month ........................................... Shipments during m onth............. Unfilled orders on hand at end of m onth..................................... Winter underwear Number of reporting firms—6 Product manufactured during month ........................................... Finished product on hand at end of month .................................... Orders booked during month.... Cancellations received during month ........................................... Shipments during month ............. Unfilled orders on hand at end of m onth...................................... + 6.1% — 9.8 “ - 15.7“ +1683.7“ — 11.9“ - 15.8“ - 1.0% — 56.0 “ — .6“ +165.9 “ + 12.2“ +363.5 “ UNDERWEAR The knitted underwear trade has experienced an other month of inaction. It is true that some mills have received a little late spring business, but the total of these filling-in orders during the past season has been disappointing. Heavy weight underwear, + 292% + 8.7% considered in the light of new business at the mills, + 13.7 “ + 13.0“ is very dull, and repeat orders are not now expected — 68.5“ — 81.3“ in quantity until early autumn. Jobbers bought suf ficiently at the opening to be able to await trade de + 106.6“ +147.9 “ velopments before completing their quota, and at pres ent they are more interested in the opening of lines — 9.5 “ +150.3 “ for the spring of 1924 than in making further pur chases. The time for this opening has not been de FLOOR COVERINGS termined upon, but it is expected that it will be some time during the latter part of July. Certain of the Most manufacturers of carpets and rugs report that smaller mills are said to be already showing their lines, not only are new orders decreasing but also that they but little, if any, buying is reported. The prices at which are receiving numerous requests for postponement of 20 shipments until after the June 30 inventory period and a moderate number of cancellations. Buyers have com menced to complain that this season’s prices are too high and as most of them have made considerable purchases they are becoming fearful of finding them selves overstocked and perhaps facing a lower market next October. Reports from widely separated parts of the country that new building operations have been held up has also tended to curtail buying. But not withstanding these adverse reports, the mills are run ning at full capacity and are even in some cases working night shifts. They are also well supplied with orders for the near future. Stocks in the hands of jobbers and retailers appear to have increased somewhat and al though some mills report that buyers are still urging prompt delivery, these are now the exception rather than the rule. The supply of labor has increased and is now suffi cient. This gain is ascribed to dulness and consequent curtailment in operations, in some of the other textile lines. Collections generally are good although some report that they are becoming slower. Some manufacturers of linoleums say that new orders are decreasing, but others are still receiving a large volume of business. All, however, are booked ahead on practically every grade. Felt base goods are said to have replaced low grade wool rugs in many cases and this may account in part at least for the large in crease in production and sales of felt base goods during the past year. The shortage of labor that was reported last month by linoleum manufacturers is not so marked now and some state that the number of applicants for work has greatly increased. year, is in men’s shoes, which in four months of this year increased from 29,001,625 pairs to 36,842,000 pairs. Women’s shoes, on the other hand, increased in the same period only from 36,092,000 to 40,640,000 pairs. These figures are rather surprising in view of the tremendous variety of styles made for women in contrast with the much more staple lines for men’s wear. But they only emphasize the fact we have previously pointed out, namely that production of women’s shoes has been made slower and more difficult by the demand for so many and such quickly changing styles, and therefore has not kept pace with the large increase in activity in other branches of the shoe manu facturing trade. Factories in this district making women’s shoes have taken some orders for shipment in July and August, but very few if any for later delivery. These orders are mostly for suedes and grain leathers in the more subdued colors ranging between grey and brown. Factories producing misses’ and children’s shoes, although even these are showing some quite pronounced styles, have been able in certain cases to book orders as far ahead as October. The great bulk of the fall business, however, is yet to be placed, and as many western buyers are expected to visit the eastern markets in July and to attend the style show in Boston, shoe manufacturers appear confident that during the next few weeks they will receive a large influx of business. Cuba continues to be the heaviest foreign buyer of American shoes, and Mexico is second, though far be hind Cuba. In April, the latest month for which figures have been published, shipments of leather shoes to Cuba totaled 472,871 pairs, valued at $959,817. Shoes are offered at prices which show no advance, except in some of the novelties, on which the extra LEATHER work means extra cost to the maker. Satin slippers In recent years June has been a dull month in the have also been advanced. Leathers, except in a few shoe factories; the spring run is being finished and fall of the especially wanted shades and tannages, are business is either just beginning or has tending to decline, but satin for slippers has risen Shoes not yet been booked. This year is no ex sharply. Some factories still complain of a shortage ception, and as production was very heavy of labor in the fitting rooms, but in general the labor in the first part of the year, the present dulness seems situation is satisfactory and wage increases are few. unusually great. According to reports issued by the In nearly all the reports received, collections are said Department of Commerce, the total production of to be either fair or good; but a few firms find them shoes in the first four months of this year was poor. In the table on page 22 the reports of firms in 128,513,069 pairs, or an average of more than the Third Federal Reserve District are tabulated. It 32.000. 000 pairs per month and an annual rate exceed will be seen that production increased 5.1 per cent ing 385,000,000 pairs. The largest production for a as compared with April, and 14.7 per cent as com calendar year for which figures are available was pared with May, 1922. 330.000. 000 pairs in 1919. Thus, if the last eight Shoes at wholesale are seasonally dull, but sales months of this year show a rate of production equal are still running considerably ahead of those of a year to that of the first four months, the output will be ago, and repeat orders are in fair volume. From the 55.000. 000 pairs larger than in 1919. In 1922 the table on page 10 it will be seen that sales in May in total production was less than 324,000,000 pairs. creased 5.3 per cent as compared with April, and 24.0 The greatest gain in output, as compared with last per cent as compared with May, 1922. 21 Boot and shoe industry Third Federal Reserve District Number of reporting firms— 33 (In terms of pairs) May, 1923, May, 1923, compared with compared with April, 1923 May, 1922 Product manufactured during month + 5.1% Shipments during month................... — 3.5“ Orders booked during month......... —17.3 “ Orders on hand at end of month... + 3.7 “ Cancellations received during month +23.3 “ Stocks (unsold) on hand at end of month................................................ + .8 “ Number of operatives on payroll... — 2 .0 “ + 14.7% + 11.5“ + 24.8 “ + 106.6“ — 67.1 “ — 10.9“ + 8.8“ With the advent of warm weather during the second half of May, sales of shoes at retail improved and since then have been good. Some retailers state that sales of men’s oxfords have not come up to expec tations but that the total of sales is satisfactory. The demand for the bright colors in women’s shoes has de creased sharply, and the more subdued colors are gaining in popularity. Suede shoes are among the best sellers and satins are also in request. As is usual at this season, sales of white leather shoes are large. From the following table it will be seen that sales in May exceeded both those of April and those of May, 1922, the increases being 16.2 per cent and 16.9 per cent respectively. Stocks, though slightly larger than they were a month ago, are considerably lower than they were last year. Retail shoe trade Third Federal Reserve District Sales of nearly all leathers continue to be small and have been steadily decreasing since March. Con siderable curtailment in production is Leather being made, but this will not be apparent in finished goods, especially in the heavy leathers, for some time. Prices are nominally un changed, but the market is now a buyers’ market, and reasonable bids are seldom declined. Lower raw stock prices have been largely responsible for the weakened position of leather. Shoe manufacturers are as a rule holding back as long as possible before buying and are then taking only sufficient for im mediate needs. They feel that the market has turned in their favor and that they can afford to. wait. Cut soles are said in some cases to have been offered at prices below production cost. Stocks being heavy, the makers were anxious to reduce inventories. Leather belting is in fair request, but the urgent de mand has ceased, and belt makers have about caught up with their orders and are now able to make quick deliveries. Low grade leather belts are reported to be replacing belts of other materials in several leading in dustries, and this has caused a fair demand in a part of the industry that had been somewhat behind. Ex perimental tests made by the manufacturers of leather belting are said by some to be responsible for this change. Exports of leather belting this year have been increasing, and the last figures issued, those for April, show that during that month 98,501 pounds of belt ing, valued at $960,830, were shipped out of the country. The figures compare with 86,209 pounds, valued at $679,398, exported in April, 1922. The following chart shows that although hides are about at pre-war levels, and shoulders are selling at a slight reduction as compared with 1914, butts are about 50 per cent higher than at that time. (In terms of dollars) 1. Net'sales: Number of stores reporting—29. May, 1923, as compared with April, 1923............ +16.2% May, 1923, as compared with May, 1922............. +16.9“ January 1 to May 31, 1923, as compared with January 1 to May 31, 1922................................... +10.2“ 2. Stocks (selling price): Number of stores reporting—26. May, 1923, as compared with April, 1923............. + .7% May, 1923, as compared with May, 1922.............. — 7.1 “ 3. Rate of turnover (times per year based on cumulative period): Number of stores reporting—26. January 1 to May 31, 1923 ................................... January 1 to May 31, 1922 ................................... 3.4 2.8 22 Sources—War Industries Board, “Hide and Leather,” “Dun’s Review” Upper leathers are active only in those special lines suitable for the prevailing styles of shoes for women, particularly colored kid and suede calf. Low grades of calf grain leather^are in increased demand, as these are being used in the cheaper lines of children’s shoes in place of side leather. The reason given for this change is that side leathers are now selling at prices almost equal to calf, and that the latter is considered more desirable when prices are approximately the same. Some sales have been made of black kid in the large skins, which have been difficult to dispose of. In order to effect these sales it has been necessary to make concessions in price. This, however, is by no means unusual. Harness leather sales have fallen off sharply, and some price reductions are reported. The agricultural districts are said not only to be buying much less, but are very slow in paying for goods purchased. Lug gage business has been good, and sales both of trunks and hand luggage are larger than they were a year ago. Some makers of bags and suit cases, however, are now seeking business, and in order to obtain it are willing to shade prices. Fancy leather articles are selling well, both for early and for fall delivery, and plants are running at full capacity. The following table shows the percentage of in crease or decrease in the production and stock of leathers in April as compared with March. Although production decreased considerably during April, stocks in most cases increased. Production during month Backs, bends and sides........................... — 1.1% Belting butts ..................................... — 13 3 “ Offal, sole and belting ..................... — 2.3 “ Cattle side, upper ............................. — 14 4 “ Calf and kip ...................................... — 11.5 “ Goat and kid ...................................... } * — 1 0 .6 “ Cabretta .......................................................... j soaked by some of the larger interests. The calf skin market remained firm for some time on the basis of 18 cents for Chicago city skins. But suddenly one large holder of these weakened, and the price quickly broke to 16 cents, and the New York market also recorded sales at a decline. Packer skins, however, have held firm, although no business is reported in them. Goat skin quotations are somewhat lower, except for the few varieties especially adapted to the manufacture of the desired colors. It must be remembered, however, that India, the largest source of our supply of goat skins, is now in the midst of the poor season, and that in the opinion of some tanners the decline in price is not suffi cient to offset the poorer quality of the skins. The fol lowing chart shows the supply of cattle hides and of calf and goat skins in this country. The production of leathers made from hides is subdivided into many classes, and it is therefore impossible to figure exactly how many hides were made into leather in April. But production of calf and kip in that month was 1,384,839 skins, and of goat and kid, 4,122,505 skins. The stock of calf and goat skins at the end of April was therefore sufficient for more than two months at the same rate of production. Stock at end of month { + • 5% +4. 1 “ + . 3“ — 1. 3 “ -f- .02 “ + .8“ -5 . 6 “ * Production figures not separated. Cattle hides and calf and goat skins constitute the raw m aterial from a great part made. The stocks of Exports of all leathers in April, according to figures which considerably of leather isat the com m encem entall of these are lower than of 1921. Stocks of cattle hides, however, have increased since prepared by the Tanners’ Council of America, were, on July 1, 1922. a quantity basis, 81 per cent of the average monthly Source—Department of Commerce shipments before the war. PAPER Collections in most leather lines are reported as either good or fair, but a few firms state they have be In general the demand for paper is still satisfactory, although the falling off in the sales of many grades come slower. The market for hides has been weak and dull, and which became evident last month still continues. The prices of both Argentines and natives have favored the call for wrapping, kraft, and fibre papers and for card buyer. Stocks in the hands of the packers boards has been rather light, but many of the mills had Hides and are saj^ t0 jarger> but tanners seem sufficient old orders to consume this month’s output. s ins content to let the market drift. No A few plants have curtailed production and are work doubt the reason for this attitude is the consider- ing at only from 50 to 75 per cent, but most of the able reduction in the number of hides now being wrapping-paper mills are operating at capacity, 23 although some of their output is being placed in stock. The demand for book papers is still good, and most of the book-paper plants are working at capacity on orders. However, the mills are able to make more prompt de liveries than they have for several months. Fine papers, too, are in fairly good request, and most of the plants are able to sell their entire output. The buying season for wall papers for late summer and fall delivery is now open, and wall-paper manufacturers report that many orders are being booked and that production is at capacity. Crepe towels and toilet tissues are not in such good request as they were last month, and at present are moving slowly. Board manufacturers state that their products are in good demand, and the board market shows little change from last month. Boxboard mills are operating at about 85 per cent of capacity. Practically all orders for paper, except those of wall-paper makers, are for delivery within sixty days. No cancellations of orders have been received by the mills reporting to this bank during the month. Whole salers state that the volume of business is satisfactory and about the same as it was last month, but approxi mately 10 per cent less than in March, the peak month of the year. Consumers are continuing the policy of buying only for immediate needs. The production of paper in the United States during the first half of the year has been heavy, and the paper industry has made a marked recovery from the low point it reached in 1921. As the following chart shows, the production of four important grades of paper dur ing the first four months of this year was considerably greater than during the same period of 1922 and 1921. there has been evidence of a slight softening in the spot market, particularly on wrapping papers. Most grades of chemical pulps have held firm in price, although bleached sulphite and bleached soda pulps have weak ened somewhat. Domestic mechanical pulps have de clined about 4 per cent in price, because of further decreases in imported groundw'ood. Finished stocks at most mills are moderate and are remaining stationary, although at some wrapping paper plants finished stocks are increasing. Supplies of raw materials are moderate, and most mills have contracted for their requirements for the next three or four months. Several manufacturers have made long con tracts for coal because of the favorable prices quoted. Wholesalers’ stocks are moderate and in many instances are decreasing. Unskilled labor is still in scant supply at many mills, and at some plants skilled labor, too, is scarce. Book and fine paper manufacturers report that girl workers are especially scarce. In general, wages are unchanged at the higher levels established at the beginning of May. Collections vary from fair to good. PRINTING AND PUBLISHING Although the majority of printers report a decrease in the demand for their products as compared with the months of April and May, business is considerably bet ter than it was in June, 1922. Many state that orders on hand are from 10 to 30 per cent greater than they were a year ago. However, new business has not been secured in such large amounts in the latter half of the month as during the first half, and the majority of printers expect to curtail their activities at the end of PAPER PRODUCTION June or the beginning of July. Purchases from print ers have been distributed over nearly all lines of busi ness. Direct-by-mail advertising matter for summer business has been in good demand, many printers stat ing that their sales of this form of advertisements have been larger than ever before. Commercial advertising work, such as booklets, pamphlets, price lists, etc., is in greater request than job printing, and the heaviest buy ers are producers who are at present seasonally active, such as manufacturers of roofing supplies, road build ing materials, and machinery, furniture, stoves and ranges, building materials, soaps and perfumes. Plant operations vary greatly, but they average about 78 per cent of capacity. Newsprint Book Wrapping Fine Some magazine publishers report that sales of ad vertising space have remained practically stationary During the first four m onths of this year the production of paper was since April, but there has been a decrease in the sales enorm ous. The increase as compared with 1922 and 1921 has been especially pronounced in the case of of space in farm magazines. However, there is book, wrapping and fine papers. Source—Federal Trade Commission normally a decrease in the sales of advertising space during the summer, and the publishers state that the During the month practically no changes have oc curred in prices, as all grades of paper and paper board decrease is no greater than they had expected. In fact, have held firm. This is true of contract prices, but sales are from 2 to 5 per cent greater than they were in 24 THOUSAUDSf June, 1922. Subscription sales in general show an in A distinct decrease in the call for 15 cent, 3 for 50 crease of about 10 per cent over those of last June, al cents, and higher priced cigars is noticeable, but this though they are not as heavy as they were last month. has been counterbalanced by an increased demand for Book publishers find the demand for their products to 10 cent and 2 for a quarter sizes. Several manu be very good, and they are operating at capacity. School facturers of Class C and Class D cigars have tempor and text books, encyclopaedias and novels are in great arily stopped the production of 15 cent and 3 for 50 cent request, and many books for the Christmas buying are sizes and are concentrating their output on 10 cent now being printed. Lithographers state that the de and 2 for a quarter sizes. The average of plant mand for display advertising is very heavy and that operation by the large producers is approximately 80 orders for this work show an increase over those of or 85 per cent. Practically all orders are for prompt previous months. Production of 1924 calendars, too, shipment. is under way, and most of the lithographers are working Though the demand in April and May was rather at capacity. disappointing to many manufacturers, the output of No changes in the cost of materials have occurred cigars in the United States during the first five months during the month, as paper, inks, glues, and other mate of this year was considerably greater than during the rials used by the industry have held firm in price. Print same period of 1922 and 1921. As the following ers’ prices, too, have been steady, and many firms report chart shows, cigarette production during this period that severe price cutting is less evident than it was early was enormous and far in excess of the first five in the year. However, chiefly because of the increased months of 1922 and 1921. cost of paper, printing and publishing costs are about 5 per cent higher than they were in June, 1922. The majority of firms report that the supply of PRODUCTION OF CIGARS AND CIGARETTES skilled workmen is adequate, although, as usual, there Cigarettes C ig a r s is a scarcity of thoroughly competent operatives. Wage (small) (large) scales remain at the same level as was established by the Typothetae of Philadelphia two years ago. The supply 1 of semi-skilled and unskilled labor, and girl clerical workers, however, is not plentiful, and many printers and publishers report difficulty in obtaining these. In May several firms made 10 per cent wage advances to these classes of workers. Collections vary from fair to good, the majority of firms reporting that they are only fair. TOBACCO Manufacturers of cigars report that orders booked this month have been larger than those received in First five months F irst fiv e months May, but in general the demand is only Both large cigars and cigarettes have been produced in larger q u anti Cigars slightly better than it was in June, 1922. tiesspondingthe first of the onthstwo this yearBut cigar the corre during five m of than in period past years. output The large producers of cigars state that has increased less than 5 per cent as compared with 1922, whereas cigarette production is 36 per business is good, but the smaller manufacturers char cent greater. acterize it as only fair. With the smaller producers, Source—Collector of Internal Revenue particularly makers of 5 cent and 8 cent cigars the demand has been light since April, and stocks on hand In general, cigar prices have remained unchanged are rather heavy. Consequently, they have curtailed during the month. Tobacco leaf prices, too, are hold production severely, and are operating at an average ing firm. Manufacturers’ stocks of cigars are moder of only 65 per cent of capacity. However, the recent ate and are remaining stationary or decreasing improvement in business makes the outlook more en slightly. The supplies of tobacco leaf held by manu couraging. Large manufacturers of nationally adver facturers, also, are moderate. tised brands report that though sales are not as heavy The supply of skilled cigar makers at most factories as had been anticipated, they are on the whole satis is adequate, but some scarcity of unskilled labor is factory. The warm weather of this month has stim still noted. Wage scales, on the whole, are unchanged. ulated the demand, but jobbers’ orders for the summer The majority of firms report that collections are resort business are smaller than usual. The very from fair to good, and in most instances they are cautious buying policy of retailers has caused some stated to be more prompt than they were a month ago. jobbers who have a standing order for a fixed quantity At the close of May many large factors entered the of cigars weekly, to cut down the size of these orders. Lancaster market and made some big purchases of 25 1 i 1921 1 ■ 1922 1923 AGRICULTURE 1922 Pennsylvania packed wrappers, but that market has not shown much activity since. Leaf dealers re The period of prolonged drouth, which has continued port that buying by manufacturers has unbroken, except for light showers, since early in May Tobacco j3een pghi- anJ tlia.t the large producers are in nearly all parts of this district, has been distinctly ea really the only purchasers. The packings unfavorable to the growth of crops. The yields of of 1922 Pennsylvania wrappers have appeared on the strawberries, June peas, and asparagus were smaller market in large amounts and about a month earlier than than had been anticipated in May, because lack of rain usual. Current quotations on these vary from 26 to fall not only checked growth but caused the withering 30p2 cents per pound, actual weight based on Septem of vines and berries. Pastures are poorly developed; ber 1, 1923, weights and inspection. Of the total the early hay crops are short; grain crops are below the amounts that have appeared on the market, leaf dealers average; much replanting of corn and truck has been report that about 80 per cent was purchased by large necessary, because of poor germination or poor growth; cigar manufacturers. No 1922 packed fillers have yet and if a heavy rainfall does not occur soon, the yields been offered in the Lancaster district, and practically will be very small. Early in the month, heavy wind all of the 1922 fillers in the bundle were bought up sev and sand storms did considerable damage to truck crops in the southern half of New Jersey, particularly to eral weeks ago by tobacco manufacturers.. Nearly all of the 1922 Pennsylvania and Ohio to tomatoes and potatoes, which were severely cut by baccos have passed from the farmers’ hands, probably sand. A big fruit crop, however, is in prospect, and not more than 5 percent of the crop being still held by the Department of Agriculture estimates that the yield the growers. Leaf dealers state that not in the past 25 of apples, peaches, and pears in this district will be years have the growers of Ohio and Pennsylvania to greater than the average, and also than that of 1922, except in New Jersey where the apple crop is not ex bacco been sold out as closely as they are now. On June 8 American importers and cigar manufac pected to be as large as it was last year. Of course, turers bought 2,750 bales of Sumatra tobacco on that weather conditions will exert a great influence on fruit day’s sale at Amsterdam, Holland. The average prices yields, and continued drouth may cause the fruit to paid for American grades were considerably higher drop off the trees. The following tables contain the than the average of any of the previous sales this year. Department of Agriculture’s estimate of the condition Leaf dealers report that their sales of Sumatra tobacco and size of the important grain, hay, and fruit crops this month were heavier than those of a month ago, de in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware. spite record prices. The Rotterdam sales of Java to Grains and hay June 1, 1923 bacco have opened and about 1,000 bales have thus far been purchased by Americans. The prices although W INTER WHEAT high were much lower than at the Sumatra sales at Per Estimated production (bushels) Amsterdam. cent S American packers and dealers curtailed their buying normal 1923 ? ! 10-year j average in Porto Rico late last month, and as a result that market has not been very active. Because of the lack Pennsylvania ................. 83 21,630,000 25,234,000 24,197,000 of buying, prices softened somewhat, although they New Jersey..................... 83 1,294,000 1,540.000; 1,515,000 are still higher than they were last year. Purchases of Delaware ......................... 85 1,517,000 1,766,000 i 1,815,100 the new Cuban (Havana) crop by dealers and packers OATS have been heavy in the Vuelta Abajo district, but in the Remedios and Partido sections buying has been rather Per Estimated p r o d u c ti o n ( b u s h e ls ) cent S light. The prices demanded by the growers in the two normal 1922 10*year 1923 | average latter districts—50 to 58 cents per pound—seem to have effectually stopped buying. A strike of the tobacco ................. selectors, who demanded a 50 per cent increase in Pennsylvania..................... 86 38,345,000 41,242,00039,393,000 New Jersey w'ages in the Cuban districts, also contributed to the Delaware ......................... 87 2,071,000 2,232,000 2,242,000 193,000 161,000 148,500 81 halt in purchases. The strike in the Partido section has RYE been settled by granting the strikers’ demands. Most of the Vuelta Abajo crop has been sold by the farmers Per Estimated production (bushels) S cent in the bundle at close to 1920 prices, but the demand normal 1923 io?2 ij average 10-year of the other districts for prices higher than those of 1920 has made the Cuban market less active than usual i Pennsylvania ................. 8 in June. As a result many of the growers are accept New Jersey..................... 891 3,656,000 3,740,000 4,012,000 ing lower prices and the Remedios crop is now selling Delaware ......................... 90 1,148,000 1,159,000 1,213,000 71,000 70,000 35,200 at about 40 cents per pound. 26 ta t e 109 ta te ta te BARLEY Per Estimated production (bushels) cent normal 1923 10-year 1922 average S ta te Pennsylvania ................. 296,000 206,000 299,000 88 ALL HAY (tame and wild) Per Estimated production (bushels) cent normal 1923 10-year 1922 average S ta te Pennsylvania ................. New Jersey ..................... Delaware ......................... 3,693,000 4,888,000 4,278,000 349,000 485.000 487,000 95,000 118.000 101,200 78 72 77 An outstanding feature of the Department of Agri culture’s June 1 estimate is that throughout this district the apple and peach crops are expected to be bigger than they were last year, though over the entire United States they are expected to be smaller. The total apple crop of the United States is estimated at 168,637,000 bushels, as compared with 203,628,000 bushels last year; but the commercial crop is estimated at 32,284,000 barrels, as against 31,090,000 barrels in 1922. This increase in the estimate of the commercial crop is be cause the quality of the crop is expected to be better than it was last year. The total peach crop for the United States is estimated at 46,525,000 bushels, as compared with 56,705,000 bushels, the final estimate of the 1922 crop. The New Jersey Department of Agriculture in its preliminary estimates states that the acreage planted to corn is the same as last year, but 11 per cent smaller than the average area planted for the past ten years. The acreage of white potatoes planted this season is estimated at 84 per cent of last year’s, and that of sweet potatoes at 98 per cent. Reports from all parts of the Third Federal Reserve District confirm earlier statements of reduced plantings of many crops, be cause of the shortage of labor. The Pennsylvania De partment of Agriculture states that 10 per cent of the arable land of the state which was worked last year is idle. In New Jersey a like amount is estimated to have been left unplanted, and in Delaware about 8 per cent. Potato beetles, flea beetles, and aphids are reported to be exceptionally numerous in many parts of the dis trict, and in some counties the apple scab is widespread. But in general, insect pests and plant diseases are no more prevalent than usual; in fact, the dry weather has prevented the spread of many diseases, as most fungi thrive only in wet weather. The present sub normal development of most crops is due entirely to lack of rainfall. Fruits, June 1, 1923 APPLES E stim a te d p r o d u c tio n Per S ta te T o ta l (b u sh e ls) cent n o rm a l 1922 1923 Pennsylvania ............................................ New Jersey................................................ Delaware .................................................. 84 78 64 11,623,000 2,160,000 805,000 11,400,000 2,610,000 980,000 C o m m e r c ia l (b a r r e ls) 3 -y ea r average 10,731,000 1,356,000 2,073,000 468,000 528,000 225,000 Pennsylvania ....................... New Jersey ......................... Delaware ................................ 6-year average. Per 3 -y ea r average 1,216,000 522,000 213,000 995,000 501,000 163,000 PEARS PEACHES S ta te 1922 1923 Estimated production (bushels) cent normal 1923 1922 3-year average 81 84 60 1,863,000 2,281,000 161,000 1,560,000 2,000,000 320,000 1,303,000 1,494,000 332,500 27 Estimated production (bushels) Per cent normal 1923 1922 75 80 60 647,000 630,000 170,000 405,000 158,000 576,000 3-year average 547,000 427,000 156,166 * Condition of minor crops on June 1 Pennsylvania Delaware Per cent normal Crop New Jersey Per cent normal Per cent normal 1923 Blackberries and raspberries............. Field peas............................................ Field beans.......................................... Pastures ............................................... Cabbage ................................................ Onions .................................................. Melons .................................................. Tomatoes (early) .............................. 1922 10-year average 1923 1922 10-year average 1923 1922 10-year average 93 90 87 77 85 91 84 •• 91 95 91 93 94 93 84 •• 90 91 88 89 90 93 85 •• 91 86 80 72 89 88 84 89 92 91 95 86 86 89 85 88 89 91 88 89 86 90 82 85* 95 85 85 75 84 90 70 •• 93 82 90 80 87 86 84 85 92 82 •• ,, ,, * Three-year average. In both Pennsylvania and New Jersey, most of the truck crops on June 1 were below their condition on June 1, 1922, and below their average condition on the same date for the past ten years. Only the small fruits (raspberries and blackberries) were above the average. Pastures throughout this district are in poor condi tion. The late spring delayed their development; the dry weather has stunted growth, and many fields have been practically burnt up. On account of the high price of dry feeds, dairymen put their herds on the pastures rather early, and first and second growth has been prac tically eaten up. Several county agents fear that pas tures will be poor all summer, because of this close cropping. The first cutting of hay has been poor, par ticularly on light soils, and many farmers who usually have a surplus for sale will be obliged to buy hay to feed their cattle. The production of milk this spring, in several counties, has been lower than that of any similar period in recent years, because of the scarcity of dry feeds and pasture. Within a month the agricultural outlook has changed from very good to uncertain, but the damage done by the drouth is not as yet irreparable. A prolonged heavy rainfall will save most of the growing fields and pro duce good yields of second early crops and of late crops. COMPILED AS OF JUNE 23, 1923 This business report will be sent regularly without charge to any address upon request 28