View original document

The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.

Business C onditions
Report of the Federal Reserve Agent
at Philadelphia
to the Federal Reserve Board

December 1, 1920.

GENERAL SUMMARY
A RE VIEW o£ the past month reveals little change in the gen­

eral condition of business. Distributors, thus far, have manifested
little confidence in the stability of prices either in the primary
markets or in the markets for finished goods, and the orders
which are being placed are few and small in quantity.
A large number of factories have closed altogether or are
working only part time in the effort to keep their organizations
intact. The textile industry in Philadelphia is much depressed;
it is reported that of its 700 mills employed in that industry 40
per cent are closed and 25 per cent have reduced operations. Iron
and steel plants have experienced a marked diminution in the
amount of new business, but are maintaining operations to some
extent on the back orders which remain unfilled.
The retail trade is now making an encouraging beginning in
the reduction of prices and the buying public is reaping some of
the advantages of the lower prices quoted by wholesalers and
manufacturers. It is stated that a ready response to these lower
prices is manifested, and that the volume of trade during October
was noticeably ahead of September and was in excess of sales dur­
ing October, 1919. Stocks on the shelves of retailers at the end
of October were larger than a year ago and slightly ahead of
September 30.
Unemployment and part time work have followed the reduc­
tion in industrial operations. According to the latest reports




1

from the Employment Bureau of the Pennsylvania Department
of Labor, the supply of applicants for available positions is more
than ample to meet the demands in nearly every class of employ­
ment.
During October, lack of cars offered some impediment to the
production of bituminous coal, but not nearly to the same extent
as earlier in the year, and production reached a very high point.
Difficulties of transportation are largely things of the past and
the number of cars moving past Lewistown Junction, Pennsyl­
vania System, affords some indication of the better handling of
traffic; from a low point of 4,384 cars in April the daily average
increased steadily to 6,285 cars in October.
Collections are still noticeably slow, though in a few lines
reports state that they are satisfactory.
In the commercial paper market, some very good names which
appear infrequently have been sold at 7-3/^ per cent, thus break­
ing the 8 per cent rate for the first time in months.
The number of failures in the Third Federal Reserve Dis­
trict, as reported by R. G. Dun & Company, does not show any
large increase, but the amount of liabilities during October was
largely in excess of October of last year. The liabilities of insol­
vent concerns during the first ten months of this year aggregated
$11,559,782 as compared to $5,828,335 in the same period of 1919.
RETAIL TRADE
Retail trade in this district is moving briskly, with sales thus
far this month exceeding those of last month and also those of a
similar period last November. There is an ever present demand
on the part of the consumer for lower prices, and where these
have been met, the response has been generous. Reduction sales
are therefore common in the trade. These are taking the form of
either a fixed percentage mark-down on the entire stock (usually
20 to 35 per cent) or special reductions on particular items. These
sales are given as the sole cause of the present large volume of
trade, for, with the absence of cold weather, the usual seasonal
demand is lacking. Indeed, where reductions have not been re­
sorted to as a stimulus, sales are reported as slightly behind last
month and this month last year.




2

Although retail stocks are moving rapidly, retailers, as a
whole, have not gone into the markets to replenish their reserve
supplies. The attitude of many merchants is well expressed in
the following quotation from one of our reporting firms: “ We
are buying only what we absolutely need from day to day to fill
in, and are even avoiding this where we can substitute one line
for another. Our outstanding orders are lower today than at any
time in our history, and we are placing no orders for spring or
summer delivery. We are simply marking time, waiting a change
in conditions for the better.” This is not the universal attitude,
however, for realizing that the wholesale markets cannot become
stabilized until a buying movement develops, one of the largest
retail stores in the district has announced that it will immediately
enter the market and place orders for spring and summer delivery.
Prices for merchandise are steadily declining, the decrease
in leather products and the textiles being the greatest. Less
marked is the recession in china, house furnishings, galvanized
ware, the metal lines and similar articles.
While unemployment is becoming more or less general in
manufacturing industries, it has not yet had an effect upon the
volume of retail trade. It has, however, resulted in a decided
trend toward conservatism, and consumers are becoming more
exacting as to the quality of the merchandise offered.
The tables below reflect the trend of retail trade conditions
since July 1 of this year.
R E T A IL T R A D E OF D E P A R T M E N T S T O R E S

Stores in Philadelphia— Total number, 6
Per cent increase or decrease
Sept. 1920
O ct. 1920

1. Net sales:
For month named compared to same month, 1919

+ 10.5

+ 9.9

For period July 1 to end of month named, compared
to same period last y e a r .......................................

+ 16.9

+ 13.2

2. Stocks at end of month named:
Compared to same month, 1919..................................

+ 17.6

+ 10.5

Compared to previous m onth.......................................

+

—

8.8

.4

3. Ratio of average stocks at end o f each month for
period from July 1 to date, to average monthly sales
for same period ...............................................................

375.1

378.3

4. Ratio of outstanding orders at end of month named,
to purchases during year, 1919....................................

12.0

7.0




3

Stores outside o f Philadelphia— Total number, 3 2
Per cent increase or decrease
Sept. 1920
O ct. 1920

1. Net sales:
For month named compared to same month, 1919
For period July 1 to end of month named compared
to same period last y e a r .......................................

+ 21.4

+ 2 3 .4

+ 23.1

+ 22.6

2. Stocks at end o f month named :
Compared to same month 1919 ..................................
Compared to previous m o n th ......................................

+ 25.0
+ 7.6

+ 24.3
+ 2.7

3. Ratio of average stocks at end o f each month for
period from July 1 to date, to average monthly sales
for same period................................................................

583.6

532.9

4. Ratio of outstanding orders at end of month named,
to total purchases during year 1919............................

7.6

4.5

A ll reporting firms— Total number, 3 8

1. Net sales:
For month named compared to same
month, 1919.................................
For period July 1 to end of month
named, compared to same period
last year .......................................

July

2. Stocks at end of month named :
Compared to same month, 1 9 1 9 ....
Compared to previous m o n th ..........

Per cent increase or decrease—1920
O ct.
Sept.
A ug.

+

2 3 .8

+

2 2 .5

+

1 5 .1

+

1 5 .8

+

2 3 .8

+

2 4 .9

+

1 9 .5

+

1 7 .3

+

2 8 .3

+

3 1 .0

+

2 0 .5

+

1 6 .1

+

3 .3

+

6 .4

+

8 .3

+

-8

3. Ratio of average stocks at end of each
month for period from July 1 to date,
to average monthly sales for same
period.....................................................

3 9 9 .7

4 7 1 .1

4 5 4 .2

4 3 7 .2

4. Ratio o f outstanding orders at end of
month named, to total purchases
during year 1919..................................

1 9 .8

1 4 .2

1 0 .1

5 .9

AGRICULTURE
The harvests are past and from the reports of the Depart­
ments of Agriculture of Pennsylvania and New Jersey which
follow, it will be seen that they are with one or two exceptions
in excess of last year and of the average for the past ten years.
PE N N SY L V A N IA
NOVEM BER

Crop

Estimated
condition
(per cent)

C orn ............
Buckwheat..
Potatoes----Sweet potatoes
A pp les........ .
Pears..........




91
94
85
93
101
96

Estimated
yield per
acre

45
18
115
140

bu.
“
“
“

1,

1920
Estimated
total
production

65,655,000 bu.
4,518,000 “
27,715,000 “
140,000 “
23,937,000 “
701,000 “

4

LAST YEAR

PAST
TEN YEARS

Final
production

Average
production

72,193,000 bu.
5,530,000 “
25,400,000 “
138,000 “
7,972,000 “
355,000 “

61,115,000 bu.
5,640,000 “
23,580,000 “
115,000 “

NEW JE R SE Y
N O V E M B E R 1, 1920
Estimated
condition
(per cent)

Crop

Corn............
Buckwheat.
Potatoes----Sweet potatoes
Apples........
Pears..........

93
91
93
94

Estimated
yield per
acre

44 bu.
20 “
150 “
143 “

94

Estimated
total
production

11,264,000 bu.
200,000 “
16,050,000 “
2,002,000 “
4,134,000 “
843,000 “

LAST YEAR

PAST
TEN YEARS

Final
production

Average
production

10,800,000 bu.
197,000 “
10,560,000 “
1,750,000 “
2,113,000 “
500,000 “

10,603,000 bu.
252,000 “
9,903,000 “
2,627,000 “
2,241,000 “
605,000 “

The monetary returns to the farmers this year were somewhat
disappointing in view of the high cost of fertilizers, seeds and
labor. It is interesting to note that the Department of Agricul­
ture is perfecting a better system of marketing crops and that
the railroads are cooperating with the department in the way of
bettering the transportation situation.
Farmers claim they are unable to plant the same large acre­
age in wheat as they did last spring, and for that reason they are
not buying or ordering fertilizers in the same quantities as last
year. Raw materials for fertilizer purposes as a result are un­
commonly plentiful. Manufacturers are carrying in stock a
large part of the ingredients provided for the fall trade and are
receiving additional deliveries against purchases of such chem­
icals as potash, nitrate of soda, etc. Prices on the various grades
of fertilizers have declined 15 to 20 per cent, that is to say, for
next spring’s delivery. To illustrate, we give below, according
to chemical analysis, a comparative table showing fall and spring
quotations:
Ammonia

Ingredients in each ton o f fertilizer
Potash
Phosphoric A cid

160 lbs.

100 lbs.

80 “

160 “

120 “

40 “

160 “

80 “

100 lbs.

Price

fall,
spring,
fall,
spring,
fall,
spring,

1920
1921
1920
1921
1920
1921

$76.50
65.00
73.50
61.75
53.00
44.75

IRON AND STEEL
New business in the iron and steel industry is practically at
a standstill, and under conditions now prevailing there is a
buyer’s market. For the first time in years many concerns have
been compelled to get out and offer their goods. Cancellations
have been reported but they have not been on a scale comparable




5

with the textile industries. The downward trend of prices has
been marked during the past month.
The largest price decline which has occurred to date is in
the price of coke, the chief fuel used in the production of pig
iron. From $17 per ton on October 12 the price had fallen to $8
on November 16. Pig iron also shows continued weakness, No.
2X Pennsylvania pig being quoted at $44.79 per ton on November
16, as compared to $47.79 on November 9, and the peak of $53.51
which obtained in September. Though the amount of new busi­
ness offered is small, production during October was unusually
large, and, with the exception of March, the daily average was
the highest for the year. Latest reports, however, indicate that
a considerable number of furnaces have closed down.
The output of steel ingots throughout the country was also
large during October, but steel and steel products have been
affected by the general decline in buying which has now become
a feature of the industry. It is to be noted that the unfilled orders
of the United States Steel Corporation showed a larger decline
during October than during September. Structural steel has
been particularly affected. Reports for the month of October,
issued by the Bridge Builders’ and Structural Society, show that
orders were placed for only 45,500 tons, or 25-^4 per cent of the
capacity of all the concerns whose reports had been received.
This was the smallest amount placed since April, 1919, and com­
pares with 77,700 tons in September, 1920, and 139,500 tons in
October, 1919.
Iron and steel castings have been in comparatively small de­
mand and prices have declined. Automobile manufacturers have
evidently received little response to their price reductions and
are therefore withholding orders for materials. Railroads, too,
do not display much activity in placing orders. Steel plates and
sheets have shared in the general decline in new business.
Manufacturers of wire rope state that their demand has de­
creased very noticeably during the past four weeks and give as
the cause the falling off in drilling operations in the oil fields,
and the demoralized condition of the lumber industry in the
Northwest. These two industries are among the largest users of
wire rope in the country.
Collections have slowed up considerably. Many firms which
in the past have never failed to take advantage of the discount
are now letting their bills run until maturity and in some in­
stances are asking for further extensions of time. The increase




6

in cancellations has been due largely to the decline in prices of
goods which were purchased in the high market which obtained
earlier in the year. Many requests are also being received for
postponement of shipping dates.
COAL
Bituminous

The dominant feature of the bituminous coal business is the
fact that the situation has turned, with rather startling rapidity,
from a problem of production and transportation to a question
of markets.
This abrupt change, with its accompanying break in prices,
is not attributed in any substantial degree to the activities of the
Department of Justice nor to the belated efforts of coal men to
effect a readjustment. The change, therefore, has not been manip­
ulated, but is fundamental. Uppermost in the minds of coal
dealers at present is the question of how far prices will recede;
at what point will they become stabilized? There also looms a
remote uncertainty as to the level to which it is possible for
prices to sink without forcing short time work at the mines. A
month ago prices were around $10.00 to $12.00 per ton. Today
the range is from $4.00 to $6.00.
This situation is the result of the law of supply and demand.
The curtailment of industrial activity has cut down consumption
and, in addition, the demand for export tonnage has fallen off
considerably. It is reported that the Germans are delivering
more tonnage than the Spa agreement exacts, so that the fuel
situation so far as France and the northern countries are con­
cerned, is considerably improved. This has affected the price
obtainable on the Eastern seaboard of this country. Production
throughout the United States during the first 264 working days
of the last four years has been as follows:
Net ton .

Net tons

!917 .............................. 470,998,000
1918 .............................. 505,021,000

1919 ............................... 405,344,000
1920 ................................464,331,000

The year 1920 is, therefore, about six and two-thirds million
tons behind 1917, and a little more than forty and two-thirds mil­
lion tons behind 1918, but is 59 million tons ahead of 1919. Owing
to the decreased consumption caused by the curtailment of indus­
tries, however, there should be no fear of a bituminous coal short­
age for the remainder of the present year.




7

Anthracite

Anthracite production in the United States fell off even more
sharply than did that of bituminous during the first week of
November. The total output is estimated at 1,390,000 net tons or
only 72 per cent of that produced during the third week of Octo­
ber, the latest full time week. The slump was caused almost
entirely by the observance of All Saints Day and Election Day
as holidays.
One concern reports that “there is at present one great
difficulty facing the mines in the transportation of coal, the lack
of room at junction points and tidewater piers. A great unload­
ing pier should be located on the Delaware River somewhere be­
tween Philadelphia and Chester where all railroads might com­
bine their coal for export business, and where four to six steamers
might load at one time. The present unloading piers do not pro­
vide sufficient facilities to meet the export demand. This coun­
try will suffer more likely from lack of track room and terminal
facilities than from lack of cars and motive power.”
There is a noticeable return to the mines of men who had
drifted into steel mills and other industries, and this should en­
able operators to fulfill their contract obligations.
Transportation conditions and the car supply at the present
time are good. This is due to the continued allocation of certain
classes of equipment to the coal industry by the Interstate Com­
merce Commission.
Coke

Beehive coke production showed an increase of 8,000 tons
over the preceding week, 399,000 tons being produced during the
last week of October. Coke prices continue their decline in the
face of a sluggish market, although the recession in the past week
was not so sharp as that which characterized the preceding week.
BUILDING MATERIALS
Lumber

Very little interest is being manifested in the lumber mar­
ket at present and such purchases as are being made are only to
supply immediate needs. One firm tells us, however, that some
of the large buyers are now coming into the market with a view
to placing orders for future delivery. An appreciable falling off
in the amount of lumber supplied to automobile manufacturers
has contributed to the dullness prevailing in the lumber industry.




8

Lumber prices generally are much lower than a few months
ago and are said to be on an average of 15 to 20 per cent lower
than last month and about 40 per cent below peak prices. “ The
American Contractor,” in its quotation section on October 2,
quoted Douglas Fir flooring of a certain size and quality at $56,
f.o.b. the mill, and on November 13, the same kind of lumber
was quoted at $26. Similarly, Southern Pine flooring of a certain
quality declined from $52 to $42.50 in the same period.
Although unskilled labor is plentiful, first class machine and
bench hands are still scarce. The transportation situation offers
no difficulties and it is said that carloads from California are now
coming through in a month, whereas formerly they were two to
three months in transit. New York shipments of lumber, how­
ever, are still embargoed, which interferes somewhat with busi­
ness of that city. Collections in general are said to be satis­
factory.
Brick

The demand for brick at the present time is negligible. This
situation is not unusual at this season of the year as there is al­
ways a let-up in orders. The filling of back orders, however, is
most urgent at this time as it is imperative that the material be
worked up before freezing weather sets in.
Near-by plants are reported to be running at about 60 per
cent of capacity with but few exceptions, representing an in­
crease of 10 per cent over a month ago.
It has been calculated, that it takes a pound of coal to pro­
duce one brick so that much depends upon the price of coal in
determining the cost of production. Salmon brick, used for inside
walls and partitions, are quoted at $20 per thousand; common
smooth brick, which are used for outside work, are quoted at $23
per thousand; and pressed brick for residences and store fronts
are being quoted at $35 to $40 per thousand.
Raw materials are said to be in plentiful supply, the only
difficulty arising being the inability of the shippers to receive
sufficient cars of the open-top, gondola type. Box cars on the
other hand are in greater supply.
The financial situation has had an adverse affect on the brick
industry because municipal improvements and road work, etc.,
had to be held back on account of the tightness of money and the
difficulty of floating bonds.
Collections are said to be generally satisfactory.




9

HARDWARE
Wholesale hardware dealers report to us that the demand for
merchandise is falling off considerably and that the hesitancy
in buying is attributable in part at least to the expectation of
lower prices. Our statistical reports, however, show only a slight
decrease in sales for October, as compared to September, and
they are appreciably higher than in October, 1919. While hard­
ware is not in as urgent request as heretofore, this industry is
much more active than many other lines of business.
Although a few things, such as wire products, are still diffi­
cult to obtain in quantities, supplies of merchandise can be se­
cured much more easily than heretofore.
Prices as a whole have undergone comparatively little change,
though in some lines reductions have occurred; one wholesaler
informs us that tools, hammers and hatchets have declined about
20 per cent.
Collections are slow and the ratio of the accounts outstand­
ing at the end of October to sales during October was 153.7 per
cent as compared to a ratio of approximately 140 per cent for
the month of October, 1919.
Comparative percentages of sales and accounts outstanding
follow:
W H OLESALE H A R D W A R E TR AD E

1. Net sales (selling price) during month
a. As compared to previous m onth............................
b. As compared to same month last y e a r ................
2. Accounts outstanding at end o f month (selling price)
a. As compared to previous month ..........................
b. As compared to same month last year..................
3. Ratio o f accounts outstanding at end o f month to net
sales during m o n th .......................................................

Per cent increase or decrease
Sept. 1920
O ct. 1920

— .4
+ 22.4

— 2.2
+ 6.7

+ 3.1
- f 27.9

— 2.0
+ 16.6

151.9

153.7

COTTON
Cotton Goods

The present situation in the cotton goods industry shows
practically no demand for manufactured goods, with the result
that numerous mills are completely shut down while others are
operating on reduced schedules. Sixty per cent capacity is being
maintained by several mills, but these are operating with a view
to keeping their employees at work, and are therefore accumulat­
ing large stocks of the finished product. Forty to fifty per cent
is the average operating capacity in the industry. Unemployment
is general and a reduction of wages has been made in many plants.




10

The encouraging element in the present stagnant situation
is the fact that the supply of cotton goods in the hands of
jobbers and retailers is reported as exceptionally low. Prices
for cotton goods continue to decline, present quotations being
50 per cent below the peak and on the average 10 per cent below
last month. There is no regular market and as the situation is
wholly in the buyers’ hands, purchasers are able to secure con­
cessions whenever demanded. Price cutting, however, has failed
to stimulate interest, for the principal factor today is not the
price element, but the lack of confidence in the market.
Cancellations are widespread and continue to furnish a try­
ing problem to manufacturers. Collections are rather slow and
are reported as poor to unsatisfactory.
Cotton Yams

No change of consequence has occurred in the cotton yarn
market during the past month. While manufacturers are evi­
dencing some interest by way of inquiries, there is still a dearth
of orders and spinners are fully able to meet any demand for
their product which may arise.
The price of yarns continues to decline and is said to be
several cents per pound below the cost of production based on
the present raw cotton market. Prices, for yarns, however, are
merely nominal, for with business at such a low ebb, there is
not sufficient activity to establish market values. Spinners,
however, are making no purchases of raw cotton at the present
seemingly exceptionally low quotations. Middling cotton which
on July 25 was selling at 43-34 cents per pound could be secured
on November 15 for about 20 cents per pound.
Owing to this marked reduction in prices, many producers
are refusing to sell and are holding their supplies for a rise
in the market. Regardless of this, however, there seems to be
more cotton offering than there is demand to absorb it. The
consumption of raw cotton in the United States has steadily de­
clined. The figures published by the Census Bureau on Novem­
ber 14 show that during October of this year 399,837 bales, or
156.000 less than October, 1919, were used. This is a decrease of
57.000 bales as compared to September, 1920.
WOOL
Woolen Cloth

The effort on the part of retailers to dispose of their present
stocks before placing orders for new goods has resulted in great




11

inactivity among woolen cloth manufacturers. The demand for
woolen cloth is very limited; in fact, it is practically nil, as buyers
are reluctant to place orders because of the continued downward
trend of prices. Cancellations are very frequent, and buyers
have become critical of the quality of the merchandise offered
them.
The market is entirely in favor of the buyer. The following
comparison of present prices with those of last month and the
peak attained was submitted by reporting firms, one giving the
quotations on raw materials and another on serges and tricotines:
Peak

Last M onth

$2.10

$1.40

1-60
4.50
3.80

1.10
2.75
2.25

R A W M A T E R IA L S :

F ine staple clean w o o l
N o. 1 Cashm ere F le e ce
2 /4 0 -1 /2 W o r s te d
2 /3 6 -3 /8 W o r s te d

SERGES A N D T R IC O T IN E S :
Peak (4 months ago)

$5.00 per yd.

Present

$1.20 to $1.10
w ou ld be accepted.
.90 (a b ou t)
2.00
1.75

Tw o months ago

Present

$4.50 per yd.

$3.50 per yd.

Collections are slow and improvement in transportation
seems not to be so general as it is in some other lines, shipment
from New England points being particularly slow.
Wool Yarns

Lack of demand for wool yarns has been reported for several
months, but during the past month, the demand has been at a
minimum, and manufacturers are a unit in declaring that there
is absolutely no call for their product. Among the firms that re­
ported this month, the capacity of plant operations varies from
none at all to 57 per cent, and those concerns which have con­
tinued to manufacture are accumulating heavy inventories.
England and France are sending large quantities of fine wor­
sted yarns to this country, which together with the accumulation
of domestic yarns, has resulted in an abundant supply of raw
materials at a low figure. In fact, the situation resolves itself
into one of holding yarns as long as possible rather than sell at
present quotations. One yarn mill quotes the following prices
on quarter blood scoured: Present price, 47 to 50 cents; last
month, 50 to 53 cents; Government fixed price, $1.40.
The receding prices of dyed wool yarns are reflected in the
following comparison of prices as given by one large spinner:
Present price, $1.25; last month, $1.35; and the peak, $2.20.




12

Collections are poor and even the best firms have a tendency
to allow accounts to run the full period rather than take advan­
tage of discounts.
Raw Wool

According to several large wool dealers, concellations seem
to be the order of the day, brought about by the continued reces­
sion of prices. Demand appears to be at the lowest point, and in
the few cases where orders have been placed, customers insist
upon great reductions, or cancel the orders. There is no stability
of prices, as too few transactions occur to make any fixed price
hold.
Collections are slow and generally unsatisfactory.
SILK
Since early in September, the silk industry has looked for
a general recovery and revival of interest and there has been the
hope that it would make its appearance before the end of the
year. Thus far, however, it has failed to materialize, and the
markets for raw silk goods have settled back to the position which
they occupied at the close of last summer.
Sales and orders booked are decreasing in volume, and with
many mills still operating, stocks of goods are rapidly accumulat­
ing. The production, however, is principally of the staple num­
bers, for which it is expected there will be a ready demand when
a buying movement begins. This is usually the dullest time of
the year, being between seasons, but the pegging of prices of raw
silk in Japan is not reassuring and this is also given as a contribu­
tory cause of the present dullness. The opinion prevails that the
reeling of silk in Japan should be curtailed, for with the assurance
of a fixed price, which the present pegging plan gives, large
amounts of raw silk are being offered. As a result, stocks are
accumulating and some doubt is expressed as to whether the
Government will be able to maintain its fixed price. It is held
that an American demand must shortly develop if the efforts of
the Japanese Government to stabilize the raw silk market are to
be successful.
A comparison of present raw silk prices with last month and
the peak, as given by one of our reporting firms, follows:
Present

R aw silk X X ..............................$6.75
O rganzine X X .......................... 7.75
T ram X ....................................... 7.00




13

Last month

$7.15
8.15
7.40

Peak

$18.40
21.25
19.75

The prices of silk goods are also subject to wide variations.
By bargaining and marketing about, shrewd buyers are able to
secure their wants at practically their own prices. A comparison
of the present prices of taffeta and charmeuse as compared to
those of last month and the peak (reported by the same concern),
is given below:
Present

Last month

T a ffeta ....................................... $1.55
Satin .......................................... 1.75
Charmeuse ............................... 2.00

$1.60
1.85
2.00

Peak

$2.90
3.25
3.50

At present, this concern reports a fairly active demand for
taffeta, sales for the first two weeks of November exceeding the
same period in October. Some few orders for spring delivery
have also been booked, but the demand is much below normal.
The report of this firm is the exception, however, for as a whole
the silk situation may be said to be exceedingly dull.
h o s ie r y

Buyers are still refraining from operating in the hosiery mar­
kets. The present demand is negligible and consists only of
orders for a few numbers to fill in broken lines for which there
is a consumers’ call. Although jobbers have stated that they will
not enter the markets until prices are stabilized, many manufac­
turers, in their desire to liquidate their finished stocks, continued
to quote lower prices during the past month. As a result, the
market is a fluctuating one, uncertainty continues, and buying
interest is wholly lacking. The following prices (on their main
line of hosiery) submitted by one reporting firm clearly portrays
this situation:
Peak

Last month

Present

$4.00

$2.85

$2.50

Other figures at hand show much wider discrepancies between
prices for this and last month.
Many mill owners have curtailed their operations to a mini­
mum or have shut down completely. Unemployment in the in­
dustry is, therefore, becoming more prevalent, and operatives are
applying for work at lower wages.
Cancellations continue a disturbing factor.




14

Below are given figures on the hosiery industry showing con­
ditions since July 1 of this year:
O P E R A T IO N S IN T H E H O S IE R Y IN D U S T R Y
Per cent increase or decrease for
Sept. 1920 O ct. 1920
A ug. 1920

For firms selling to the wholesale trade July, 1920

1. Product manufactured during month
(selling price)
As compared to previous m onth..
As compared to same month, 1919

— 36.2
— 17.5

— 22.2
— 33.3

— 43.0
58.9

2. Finished product on hand at end of
month, (selling price)
As compared to previous month ..
As compared to same month, 1919

+
6.2
+ 137.7

+
4.5
+ 174.1

— 3.6
+ 150.9

— 27.9*
+ 98.2*

3. Raw materials on hand at end of
month, (cost price)
As compared to previous m onth..
As compared to same month, 1919

— 5.0
- f 84.5

+
+

1.2
91.4

— 5.6
+ 49.0

— 18.7*
+ 13.0*

— 17.6

— 13.4
— 61.9

— 22.4
— 71.6

— 47.2*
85.1*

4. Unfilled orders on hand at end of
month, (selling price)
As compared to previous month ..
As compared to same month, 1919

— 35.2

—

9.8
69.0*

•Slight correction in figures since issuance of advance report.

For firms selling to the retail trade

1. Product manufactured during month
(selling price)
As compared to previous month ..
As compared to same month, 1919

— 36.2
— 17.5

— 22.2
— 33.3

— 43.0
— 58.9

—

2. Finished product on hand at end of
month, (selling price)
As compared to previous month ..
As compared to same month, 1919

+
6.2
+ 137.7

+
4.5
+ 174.1

— 3.6
+ 150.9

— 13.1
+ 46.1

3. Raw materials on hand at end of
month, (cost price)
As compared to previous month ..
As compared to same month, 1919

— 5.0
+ 84.5

+
+

1.2
91.4

— 5.6
+ 49.0

—

4. Unfilled orders on hand at end of
month (selling price)
As compared to previous month ..
As compared to same month, 1919

— 17.6
— 35.2

— 13.4
— 61.9

— 22.4
— 71.6

—

44.0
50.4

10.2
+ 144.2

71.8

UNDERWEAR
Further revisions of prices for most types and grades of
underwear were made during the early weeks of the past month.
As, however, this failed to stimulate buying, the lowering of
prices has ceased, and apparently no efforts are being made to
force a market. Not only are no new orders being placed, but the
few that were on the books are being cancelled. One concern




IS

S Y N O P S IS

Compiled as of November 22, 1920




Business

OF

B

Philadelphia Fe

Demand

ESS

S IT U A T IO N

Reserve District

bility to
ly demand

Prices

Raw material
or merchandise
situation

Transportation

Collections

BRICK

Inactive

Stationary

Good

Improved

Fair

C A R P E T S A N D RU GS

Inactive

Lower

Good

Improved

Slower

Inactive

Some stationary
others lower
Lower

Good

Improved

Satisfactory

Good

Improved

Slow

Firm

Improved

Good

Improved

Good

C H E M IC A L S : g ™ f and IndustriaI

Inactive

COAL, A N T H R A C IT E

Strong

COAL, B IT U M IN O U S

Decreasing

Lower

COTTON Y A R N S

Inactive

Lower

Good

Improved

Poor

CO TTO N GOODS

Inactive

Lower

Good

Improved

Poor

G RO CERIES

Limited

Unsteady

Good

Improved

Slower

HARDW ARE

Decreasing

Slightly lower

Improved

Improved

Slow

H O SIE RY

Neglible

Lower

Good

Improved

Very slow

IRON AN D S T E E L

Decreasing

Lower

Good

Improved

Slow

LEATHER

Inactive

Lower

Good

Improved

Slow

LUM BER

Inactive

1

Lower

Good

Improved

Good

PAPER

Decreasing

!

Slightly lower

Good

Improved

Slow to
satisfactory

P A P E R BO XES

Inactive

Lower

Good

Improved

Satisfactory

P R IN T IN G A N D PU B LISH IN G

Decreasing

Slightly lower

Good

Improved

Slower to
satisfactory

R E T A IL T R A D E

Good

Lower

Good

SHOES

Inactive

i

Lower

Good

Improved

Slow

SILK GOODS

Inactive

i

Lower

Good

Improved

Slow

TOBACCO

Decreasing

i

Firm

Good

Improved

Slower

UNDERW EAR

Limited '

:

Lower

Good

Improved

Slow

W O O L E N Y A R N S A N D CLO TH S

Inactive

;

Lower

Good

Improved

Slow to poor

16

iving

|

r

Good

17

reports that it has received cancellations of practically all the
orders it had on hand October 1.
A drastic curtailment of operations has followed and it is
doubtful whether more than 25 per cent of the productive capa­
city of the mills in this district is now being maintained. Wage
scales in many mills have been revised with reductions of from
15 to 25 per cent being reported. Unemployment is general and
many mill workers are making applications for positions at the
new scales.
Collections are exceptionally slow, and firms, even of the very
best financial standing, are requesting extensions of 60 to 90 days.
Conditions in the underwear industry, as reflected by statis­
tics compiled since July, are given below:
O P E R A T IO N S IN T H E U N D E R W E A R IN D U S T R Y
Per cent increase or decrease for
July, 1920 A u g. 1920 Sept. 1920 O ct. 1920

1.

Product manufactured during month
named
a. As compared to previous month . . .
b. As compared to same month last year

— 16.9
— 13.0

+
4.9
— 11.1

— 27.5
— 33.2

2. Finished product on hand at end o f month
named
a. As compared to previous m on th .. . .
b. As compared to same month last year

+ 46.6

+ 27.0
+ 279.1

+ 24.2
+ 70.8

3. Raw materials on hand at end o f month
named
a. As compared to previous month . . .
b. As compared to same month last year

— 15.6

— 3.0
+ 38.7

— 8.8
+ 58.9

— 15.6
+ 19.9

4. Orders booked during month named
a. As compared to previous m onth----b. As compared to same month last year

— 60.0

— 63.9
— 99.8

5. Unfilled orders on hand at end of month
named
a. As compared to previous m onth----b. As compared to same month last year

— 23.4

— 53.9

— 47.6*

— 71.2

— 12.8
— 42.1

*Corrected figure

CARPETS AND RUGS
There has been little or no improvement during the past
month in the carpet and rug industry. Demand at present is al­
most at a standstill and the few orders being placed are small ones
for immediate use. There is an unprecedented cancellation of
orders, especially those for automobile carpets. This perhaps is
due to the downward trend of prices, and also to the fact that
purchasers have an accumulation of stocks which were bought
when prices were at the peak.




18

Due to the drop in raw materials and to the falling off of
demand, the prices of rugs and carpets have declined, some grades
falling 10 per cent and others 35 per cent lower than peak prices.
With the large stocks of merchandise on hand, manufacturers
have no difficulty in filling orders.
Many manufacturers report that their mills are closed en­
tirely, while a few are running from about 20 to 75 per cent of
their capacity. Those which are shut down expect to remain so
until the first of the new year.
Raw materials are plentiful, and show great reductions in
prices varying from 10 to 60 per cent below the peak prices of
1920. A year ago manufacturers were unable to obtain sufficient
yarn to enable them to operate their mills to capacity, and were
forced to purchase yarns abroad. This season, however, the con­
dition is reversed and spinners in this country are clamoring for
orders enough to keep their mills operating.
Although a few reliable houses are asking for extensions of
time, collections are in general satisfactory.
Transportation is slowly returning to normal. There has
b 2 en a very decided improvement in the last thirty days, which,
however, may be partly due to the fact that the number of ship­
ments is fewer than usual.
LEATHER AND SHOES
Shoes

As has been the general situation during the last few months,
business in the shoe industry continues virtually at a standstill.
Those few concerns whose salesmen are still on the road report
that they are meeting with an almost universal failure on the part
of dealers and retailers to place orders for next spring’s styles.
A few orders for immediate delivery is the extent of their suc­
cess. This lack of interest continues in the face of, or perhaps
in part because of, recurrent price declines. Manufacturers who
have an accumulation of the finished product are making quota­
tions without regard to replacement values. Quotations for shoes
are in general from 20 to 30 per cent below the peak of nine
months ago, and from 8 to 10 per cent below last month’s quo­
tations.
Of the plants that continue to operate but few are maintain­
ing total capacity. Curtailment of 50 per cent and under is com­
mon, and as a result, there is considerable unemployment in the




19

shoe industry. From the production standpoint, the situation is
most favorable, with raw materials of all kinds in ample supply;
the transportation situation much improved; and the status of
labor satisfactory.
Leather

Unchanged also is the situation in the leather industry. The
demand for leather—if demand it may be called—is only for ex­
ceptionally small lots for immediate needs. No orders of any size
for future delivery are being booked. This is accounted for, in
large measure, by the present situation in the shoe manufacturing
industry. There are no common quotations for upper leathers
and the undertone is decidedly unsettled, with prices steadily
declining. Sole leather is also being quoted at lower levels, a
decrease of 15 per cent as compared to last month being noted.
This is due in part to the unusually large stocks of tanned leather
on hand. These are far above normal and are principally in the
medium grades. During the wave of extravagance which fol­
lowed the Armistice, and continued until the middle of this year,
only the best varieties of shoes were called for, with the result
that leathers of the medium grades were almost totally neglected.
Hides

Tanners throughout the district have greatly curtailed their
operations, and several have completely shut down. As a result,
the hide and skin markets are stagnant, with quotations contin­
ually on the decline. The radical change which has taken place
in the goat skin situation (98 per cent of the skins being imported)
may be seen in the following figures: From January 1, 1919, until
December of the same year, the price rose from $12 to $36 a dozen.
Today, were there any demand, they could be imported from India
for $9 to $12 a dozen. In the hide market even greater reductions
have been recorded; many types of raw hides are below prewar
levels.
Leather Belting

Due to the widespread idleness of machinery in manufactur­
ing industries, the demand for leather belting is rapidly decreas­
ing. This is enabling manufacturers to catch up on back orders,
and in most instances full capacity is being maintained. Although
in some quarters slight reductions and concessions are being
granted, prices in general are stationary.




20

PRINTING AND PUBLISHING
In response to a questionnaire, which was sent to representa­
tives of the printing and publishing industry, 39 replies were re­
ceived. These showed a decrease in demand during the month
of October as compared with September, which was the largest
month since the abnormal demand of last spring, when there was
congestion in production and difficulty in securing supplies. Of
the concerns which replied to the questionnaire, 20 reported a
decrease in business for October as compared to September; 15
an increase; and 4 that no change had been noticeable. In the
big houses the increase or decrease was felt in most cases in the
larger work, while in the smaller houses the commercial work
bore the brunt of the change. Of the 15 houses which report an
increase in business, 6 attribute it to additional sales effort, while
an equal number state that they have not increased their sales
efforts to any great extent. Several report that even with greater
effort, the return has been less.
In regard to the cost of the productive hour, 26 houses (with
no relation as to size) report that there has been an upward move­
ment during the past three months, while 14 record no par­
ticular change. This is due no doubt to the decrease in orders, as
the labor costs, costs of material and general overhead expenses
show little variation. Apparently the efficiency of labor in this
industry has not materially changed, for 16 houses report that the
production per chargeable hour continues the same, while the
remainder are equally divided, with 10 reporting a decrease and
10 an increase.
The general opinion among the printer publishers is that the
great increase in business during September, and the smaller in­
crease in October, over billings in July and August, are directly
traceable to the tendency to clean up the orders which held over
from the congested period last spring. Among this class of print­
ers, 11 report that the orders now booked are sufficient to keep
them busy for at least three months to come; 12 do not think
that their bookings will keep them occupied for that length of
time, while some others look forward to a longer period of work.
The printing trade is apparently not suffering to as great
an extent as other industries from the general slowing up of col­
lections. With 20 concerns, collections have shown no change
over the previous month, 4 report an improvement, while 15
state that they are behind those of September. This may be
due largely to the diminished demand and the consequent ability




21

to collect with greater facility when customers are fewer in num­
ber and accounts are smaller.
The raw material situation is appreciably improved, 21 houses
reporting to this effect; 15 experience the same condition that
has prevailed, while only 4 feel that it is more difficult to secure
paper.
Prices offered for baled waste and white shavings, except
where the printer is protected by a contract, have shown a marked
decline from the prices offered on September 1. Baled waste,
which brought an average price of $1.52 per hundred weight on
September 1 had dropped to an average price of 87 cents on No­
vember 10. White shavings suffered a slight decline, from an
average price of $4.66 per hundred weight on September 1 to $4.20
per hundred weight on November 10.
PAPER
The demand for paper has shown a decrease within the
past month. This is attributed to a number of reasons. The
high price of paper, which reached the peak during the month
of September, has curtailed its use to some extent. According
to “ Printer’s Ink,” the wave of excessive advertising which swept
the country during the year 1919 and the early part of 1920,
reached the highest point during September of this year. The
general slump in business, however, has dissipated this desire to
advertise, despite the fact that ordinarily when markets are dull,
paper consumption for advertising purposes usually shows an in­
crease, due to heavier advertising in an effort to attract what
little trade there may be.
The general financial situation has had its effect on this indus­
try, as on all others. Apart from advertising, paper consumption
follows the tide of business, but its fluctuations are not as great,
nor as frequent, for it may rightly be classed as a necessity. Con­
sumers at the present time are buying only for current consump­
tion, as they feel that paper, like other essential commodities, is
due for a revision of prices. Orders booked for future delivery
also reflect this feeling, having fallen off. However, the plants
which were hard pressed during the war period and since, are
having an opportunity to catch up on orders already booked, and
in some cases they report that they are replenishing their dimin­
ished stock. Newsprint is the only branch of the paper industry
that is holding its own, as far as demand is concerned.




22

Prices in some lines of paper have shown some decline since
the period in September, when they were at their peak. Boards
and box papers have shown a decided weakness, while newsprint
is being offered on contract below seven cents per pound, as com­
pared to 11 cents per pound for spot deliveries in August, and
17 and 18 cents per pound earlier in the year. Raw materials are
more abundant than earlier in the season, with prices as a whole
declining slightly.
The following table, prepared from a tabulation of the Amer­
ican Writing Paper Company, shows some of the trends of mate­
rial and labor costs in the paper industry:
Cost on N ovem ber 1. as com pared with
O ct. 1,1 9 20
July 1 ,1 9 2 0
Jan. 1 ,1 9 1 9 1913 Average

W ood p u lp ..................................
R a g s .............................................
Paper scrap..................................
Supplies.......................................
C hem icals...................................
All materials................................
L a b o r ...........................................
Materials and labor....................

+ 4.1%
— 3.8%
— 22.2%
— 1.4%
— 1.6%
— 1.6%
—
.0%
— 1.0%

+ 2 0 .0 %
— 1.3%
— 22.2%
+ 2 2 .6 %
— 7.7%
+ 7.5%
— .0%
+ 6.2%

+ 5 0 .9 %
+ 4 7 .3 %
+ 7 5 .7 %
+ 6 4 .6 %
+ 3 7 .1 %
+ 5 0 .7 %
+ 4 0 .0 %
+ 4 8 .7 %

+ 229%
+211%
+ 224%
+193%
+152%
+212%
+176%
+ 205%

Labor conditions are improving, but labor costs, as may be
seen by the above table, show no decrease during the past five
months.
Collections on the whole are satisfactory, although some
buyers are beginning to become a little tardy in their remittances,
especially throughout the south. One concern reports to us that
its collections in New England are the most prompt, while in
certain parts of the south there is a decided tendency toward
slowing up.
Transportation has shown a marked improvement over a few
months ago, but this improvement is not equal in all regions.
Express service is still rather dilatory, and where speed is re­
quired, the use of the parcel post service is usually advocated.
Paper Boxes

October, November and December are ordinarily the best
months of the year in the paper box industry, but the drop in
demand, which began several months ago, has continued with no
abatement up to the present. With the exception of a few con­
cerns that manufacture principally for some commodity which
has recently shown activity (such as coffee), the box plants gen­
erally are working at practically 50 per cent of their capacity.




23

This holds true for both paper and wooden boxes, in both of
which the price reductions have been considerable, partly from
a desire to secure orders and partly as a result of the decrease
in the price of raw materials. Raw materials are very plentiful,
with prices of board showing a decline of between 40 and 50
per cent, and lumber in wholesale quantities showing a decline
of about 30 per cent. Many of the concerns reporting to us are
engaged in making paper boxes for manufacturers of silk, shoes,
underwear, hosiery, hardware, tools and the like, and the demand
from these industries is a negligible quantity at the present time.
Collections without exception seem to be satisfactory in the
industry, and the improvement in transportation has been felt
in this, as in all other lines of business.
WHOLESALE GROCERIES
Caution continues to be the dominating factor in the whole­
sale grocery trade. More steadiness, however, is evident, but
orders are being scaled down to a minimum on the part of the
retailer, and the consumer is apparently paying more attention to
price than to quality. The supply of all products is greater than
the demand. This is due partly to the continued hand-to-mouth
buying policy of the retailer with the consequent reduction of his
stock, and partly to the improvement of transportation conditions,
which has resulted in a more prompt delivery of goods from the
producer to the wholesaler. The market for refined sugar has
shown some activity, evidencing the fact that the retailers have
rid themselves of the high-priced product and are now operating
in closer relation to the market. Some orders for fall delivery
of groceries, which were placed in the spring and summer, have
been cancelled, but this is so only in scattered cases.
As yet, there is no feeling of security in prices. Flour has
touched the lowest point in four years, equaling a low prewar quo­
tation, while sugar is now practically on a par with quotations
before the United States became engaged in hostilities, though
it is still above a real prewar price. Practically all other com­
modities, including coffee, canned goods, dried fruits, rice, tea,
spices, chocolate, cocoa, some soaps and preserves, as well as veg­
etables and fruit, have shown a decline of 30 to 40 per cent below
the prices of a corresponding period in 1919. Prices are still
fairly high for such products as California fruits, salmon, canned
milk, cereals, certain soaps and preserves, but the peak has evi­




24

dently been passed and even in those products slight declines are
noted.
Transportation has shown improvement and there is no doubt
that conditions are much better than earlier in the year. It
must be taken into consideration, however, that there is a reduced
demand for rail service, as many producers are storing their
products until such time as selling conditions have improved.
Our reports for October show a decrease in sales as com­
pared to the previous month (September) and to October a year
ago. This decrease is general and not confined to any particular
house. Although reports show that collections are slower and
require more concentrated efforts, accounts outstanding have de­
creased in amount below those of last month, a fact which is
traceable to reduced sales. The ratio of outstandings to sales
shows marked increase over the previous month, which is a sure
indication that collections are somewhat laggard.
W H OLESALE G R O C E RY TR A D E

1. Net sales (selling price) during month
a. As compared to previous m onth..............................
b. As compared to same month, 1919..........................

Per cent increase or decrease for
A u g. 1920 Sept. 1920 O ct. 1920

2. Accounts outstanding at end o f month (selling price)
a. As compared to previous m onth..............................
b. As compared to same month, 19 1 9 ........................
3. Ratio of accounts outstanding at end o f month to
net sales during m onth...................................................

29.4
3.0

- f 14.1
5.6

11.1
11.2

48.8
7.8

+

2.6
9.2

7.1
5.4

88.1

99.3

CHEMICALS
Inactivity prevails in the market for dyes and industrial
chemicals. Orders are continually decreasing and the surplus of
manufactured materials is gradually increasing. Accumulated
orders have kept many plants running at full capacity, but very
few new ones are being placed, and manufacturers are well able
to supply the demand. The dullness prevalent in the textile mills
has reacted adversely upon the chemical industries.
Raw materials are in abundant supply and prices are declin­
ing, supplies held by “ second hands” being sold at particularly
low levels. Apropos of prices, one large wholesaler of chemicals
writes: “ Within the past three months prices on chemicals, par­
ticularly those manufactured in this country, have declined from
10 to 50 per cent, in many cases being below cost of production.
This has been caused partly by the arrival of imported chemicals




25

from abroad, which together with general lack of interest, has
flooded the market. Raw material supply is in excellent condi­
tion, although it does not seem to us that the prices of raw mate­
rials are declining in the same proportion as those of the manu­
factured articles.”
Collections are becoming slower. Better transportation con­
ditions are reported, and shipments are being received with more
or less regularity.
Drugs

Demand for drugs has fallen off considerably and the orders
being booked are of the hand-to-mouth variety. Sufficient raw
materials are obtainable at very much lower prices than have pre­
vailed for a long time. The prices on drugs vary—some remain
stationary while others have diminished, in some instances, as
much as 30 per cent below peak prices.
Labor is more plentiful. There has been no material reduc­
tion in wages. Transportation conditions show a decided im­
provement, and collections in this branch of the industry are
reported as satisfactory.
TOBACCO
Following the general trend of other industries, the tobacco
trade at the present time is passing through a slight readjustment.
There is some decrease in the demand for well-known higher
priced cigars, due to competition with less well-known brands
which are offered at more attractive prices. The buying is steady,
though in smaller quantities, and production is about keeping up
with the demand.
Output, in the majority of plants in the district, is within
15 to 20 per cent of normal. Some price reductions are taking
place to meet the general trend of the time. Supplies of tobacco,
as a rule, are purchased during the first few months of the year,
so that the raw materials now in use represent high priced leaf
of last year.
According to the latest crop bulletin of the Department of
Agriculture, the production of tobacco this year will be 1,476,444.000 pounds, a record breaking quantity, compared with 1,389,458.000 pounds last year and an average of 1,187,708,000 pounds
for 1914-1918. The quality is about 11 per cent below average.
Manufacturers are frequent purchasers of leaf tobacco but only
for current consumption, as growers’ prices are high.




26

There is an excess supply of labor in many of the manu­
facturing centers. Wages, however, remain stationary in most
instances and show no tendency toward a decline. Labor is one
of the principal cost elements in the production of cigars; taxes,
boxes, and raw material representing the balance of cost. Prices
of the latter have not changed, probably explaining why the de­
cline in prices of finished products has not been more general.
Many of the concerns report that collections are slightly
slower than last month, but give no evidence of concern over this
situation.
Transportation has improved, but shipments of the fall and
holiday orders are held up to some extent by the heavy crops of
fruit and other produce now in the process of marketing.
OFFICE APPLIANCES
The market for office appliances and supplies, in the case of
a few products, has shown a tendency toward a slight lethargy,
reflecting the general trend of business conditions in all repre­
sentative industries in the district. For the more specialized and
cheaper appliances, demand has remained steady, or has shown a
slight increase. The financial situation has curtailed expansion
in this, as in other lines, and the purchasers of office appliances
have been more conservative in their expenditures, except in the
case of supplies which are required for current consumption.
Prices in nearly all lines of metal office equipment remain
firm. In the case of typewriters, dictating machines and adding
machines, the present prices represent those which have been
in force during the last year or two. Prices of office and filingdevice supplies, which are composed largely of paper, however,
have shown some increase up to the beginning of November. This
is due to the fact that paper prices have been extremely high, the
peak having been reached in September. Office furniture, and
equipment made of wood, recently have been lowered in price
as a result of the reduction in the price of lumber, which has
followed the decreased demand for that material.
As in practically all other lines, the labor situation has be­
come easier within the past month. Manufacturers are gradually
catching up on orders placed with them some time ago.
In the few office appliance concerns which do not operate on
a cash basis, collections are reported somewhat slow, especially
in the case of small accounts. Transportation conditions have
been more satisfactory than for a long time. Railroad shipments




27

are coming through more quickly and express shipments also
show some improvement.
FINANCIAL
Bills discounted for member banks by the Federal Reserve
Bank of Philadelphia totaled $151,785,000 on November 19, an
increase of approximately 12 millions over the same date in
October. The peak of these borrowings was $250,000,000, attained
at the end of February of this year. Federal reserve note cir­
culation has declined during the past month. The reserve ratio
on November 19 was 49.4 per cent, as compared with 52.4 per cent
on October 19, this decline being attributable mainly to a decline
in the total reserve held by this Bank. The reserve ratio of the
Federal Reserve System increased from 42.7 per cent on October
15 to 44.1 per cent on November 19.
Reports received from 56 member banks on November 12
show a decline of 2.5 per cent in total loans and investments since
October 15. Deposits increased slightly. As compared to the
beginning of the year, total loans and investments show little
change in amount, but there has been a material change in the
assets of which they are composed. On January 2, United States
securities owned and loans secured by them made up 21 per cent
of the total loans and investments of reporting member banks,
but by November 12 this percentage had declined to 12. The item
“ all other loans and investments,” which is composed in part of
commercial paper holdings, comprised 55 per cent of the total
on January 2 and 64 per cent on November 12. Deposits have
increased 5 per cent since the first of the year.
A daily average of 168,631 checks, to an amount of $56,161,204,
was handled during October by the transit department of this
Bank. In number of checks October surpasses the other months
of 1920, but in amount it was exceeded by June and September.
It was unequalled either in number or amount by any month in
the year 1919.
Savings deposits

The deposits in 24 savings institutions in this district de­
clined slightly during the month of October. A fair increase on
the part of the Philadelphia banks was offset by a decline in the
total of outside cities. In a few institutions larger deposits were
accounted for by back-pay received by the miners. As November
is usually marked by accumulation it would seem that the decline




28

in industrial activity and consequent decrease in earning power
is having an effect. W e give below a comparison of deposits on
November 1, 1920, with previous months:
Philadelphia

N ov em b er 1, 1920 ....................
O cto b e r 1, 1920 ........................
Septem ber 1, 1920 ....................
June 1, 1920 ...............................
N ov em b er 1, 1919 ......................

$242,990,138
242,304,419
242,265,851
242,015,060
226,727,211

Outside
Philadelphia

$49,155,891
49,847,933
49,407,882
49,320,000
47,337,272

Total

$292,146,029
292,152,352
291,673,733
291,335,060
274,063,483

Commercial paper

For the first time in some months the offering rate for com­
mercial paper has dropped below 8 per cent. The 8 per cent rate
is still general, but a number of dealers state that the paper of a
few very high grade concerns which seldom enter the market has
been sold on a 7-^4 per cent basis.
The general supply of paper appears to be holding up well,
though many of the stronger concerns have been reducing their
indebtedness. This has been offset in part by the tendency on
the part of some others to curtail their borrowings from banks
and their endeavor to secure what they need through the open
market, keeping banking lines in reserve.
Country banks are purchasing paper in considerable quantity
and it is said that city banks are showing signs of interest and
have purchased sizeable amounts in some cases.




29

STATEM EN T
Federal Reserve Bank o f Philadelphia

RESOURCES

N ov. 20, 1920

Gold reserve......................
Legal tender, silver, etc..

$180,563,799
478,003

$198,191,669
709,711

$132,127,623
213,919

Total reserve............

$181,041,802

$198,901,380

$132,341,542

$119,120,595
46,949,531
21,142,885
45,925,800

$119,215,906
46,342,414
19,436,242
35,664,300

$186,876,974
19,755,206
1,359,106
31,545,900

$233,138,811

$220,658,862

$239,537,186

Uncollected ite m s............
All other resou rces..........

$16,566,130
495,171
62,182,436
3,388,717

$13,156,185
326,748
77,758,148
3,057,481

$10,844,210
242,548
84,138,920
25,288,756

Total resources........

$496,813,067

$513,858,804

$492,393,162

LIABILITIES

N ov. 20, 1920

Month ago

Year ago

Month ago

Year ago

Bills discounted:..........
Secured by Governm ent w ar
obligations..........................
All oth er............................

Bills bought in open market
United States securities..
Total earning assets
Mutilated and fit notes on
hand:
Federal reserve n otes ...........
Federal reserve bank n o t e s ..

Capital paid i n ..................
Surplus................................
Profit and lo s s ..................
Government deposits . . . .
Due to members—reserve
account............................
Collection item s................

$8,468,550
13,068,886
573,354
741,953

$8,425,800
13,068,886
573,354
1,224,542

$7,855,650
5,311,336
269,215
7,586,654

109,037,825
50,994,110

111,536,300
64,824,384

100,051,361
85,526,264

Gross deposits............

$160,773,888

$177,585,226

$193,164,279

$286,390,255

$287,782,405

$230,475,715

22,127,000
5,411,134

21,915,000
4,508,133

27,900,000
27,416,967

$496,813,067

$513,858,804

$492,393,162

F ederal reserve notes outstanding.........................
Federal reserve bank notes
outstanding....................
All other liabilities............
Total liabilities........




30

RESOURCE

AND

LIABILITY

ITEM S

o f member banks
in Philadelphia, Scranton, Camden and W ilmington
At the close of business
Nov. 12, 1920 Oct. 15,1920 Jan. 2, 1920
T in thousands o f dollars— ~]
L
i.e., o o o ’s omitted.
J

. .$11,347

$11,347

$11,097

.. 39,094

38,087

41,512

..

13,280

26,701

60,581

. .$63,721

$76,135

$113,190

L oan s secu red b y U n ited States secu rities .. 38,450

36,811

68,428

. .767,088

777,848

678,237

.$869,259

$890,794

$859,855

.. 72,093

73,260

59,492

. . 19,478

17,123

21,027

is
. .694,716

693,119

668,657

. . 39,711

39,435

22,651

..

2,899

20,692

43,376

59

59

56

N um ber o f banks rep ortin g

CHARGES

TO

D EPO SITO R S’ A C C O U N T S

other than banks’ or bankers’ , as reported by Clearing Houses
Weeks ending
Nov. 17, 1920
A lto o n a

.......................... .................

Chester

..........................

$3,104,000

Oct. 20, 1920

Nov. 19, 1919

$3,640,000

$3,145,000

6,947,000

5,011,000

H arrisb u rg

.................

2,789,000

4,670,000

Joh n stow n

.....................................

6,040,000

5,674,000

3,616,000

L an caster

.................... ..................

5,855,000

6,580,000

5,741,000

................. .................. 367,877,000

406,428,000

370,800,000

Philadephia
R eading

......................... ...............

Scranton

........................ ...............

4,702,000
13,976,000

T ren ton ..........................

5,799,000

3,791,000

17,613,000

13,123,000

15,403,000

11,673,000
9,713,000

W ilk es-B a rre

............. .................

9,290,000

10,891,000

W illia m sp o rt

............. .................

4,330,000

5,638,000

4,058,000

................. .................

7,441,000

8,389,000

10,330,000

............................... ...............

4,631,000

5,479,000

3,982,000

.................. ................. $449,704,000

$501,270,000

$449,653,000

W ilm in g to n
Y o rk

T o ta ls




31

BUSINESS

IN D IC ATO R S
Percentage Increase or decrease
compared with

N ov. 22, 1920

Previous month

Philadelphia banks:
L oa n s.....................................................
D eposits.................................................
Ratio o f loans to deposits..................

$737,022,000
689,771,000
107

%

Federal Reserve Bank:
Discounts and collateral loans..........
Reserve r a t io .......................................
90-day discount rate............................

$161,062,104
50
6

%
%

—

—

—

00

Commercial paper rate............................

Y ear ago

1
4
104

%
%
%*

—

6
52

%
%*

6

%*

— 22 %
40 %*
4Y % *

8

%*

—

6
2
114

%
%
%'

a

W

f c

*

Percentage increase or decrease
compared with

O ct., 1920

Previous month

Year ago

Bank clearings:
In Philadelphia.....................................
Elsewhere in district............................

$2,141,610,099
137,518,192

4
9

%
%

4

+

2 <%
0 %

Total clearings.................................

$2,279,128,291

+

5

%

4

2

%

Building permits, Philadelphia.............
Post office receipts, Philadelphia..........
Commercial failures in district
(per Bradstreet’s ) ...............................

$2,590,865
$1,369,963

+

3
3

%
fe

— 46
4 24

%
%

38

Latest commodity index figures :
Annalist (food prices o n ly )................
Dun’s .....................................................
Bradstreet’s ...........................................

233.317
$227,188
$15.6750

26

—
—

7.4%
4.3%
7.4%

*

22

— 17.1%
— 4.8%
— 21.3%

*Actual figures.

C O M P IL E D A S O F N O V E M B E R 22, 1920

This business report •will be sent regularly to any address upon request.




32

*