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B usiness Conditions R eserve S even th FEDERAL Volume 7, No. 6 d is t r ic t M O N TH LY FED ER AL R E V IE W PUBLISH ED R ESERVE B A N K OF B Y THE CHICAGO June 1, 1924 BUSINESS CONDITIONS IN THE UNITED STATES AC T O R Y employment and production of basic commodities declined in April and there was a further recession in wholesale prices. Retail trade was larger than in March, chiefly because of Easter buying and was at about the level of earlier months of the year. There was a decrease in the volume of borrowing for commercial purposes and further easing of money rates. PRODUCTION— The Federal Reserve Board’s index of production in basic industries, adjusted to allow for seasonal variations, declined tw7 per cent o in April. Declines wrere particularly large in the iron and steel, coal, and wroolen industries. Mill consumption of cotton, on the other hand, showed less than the usual seasonal reduction between March and April. Factory employment declined two per cent in April, owing chiefly to large reduc tion of forces at textile and clothing establishments. F P R O D U C T IO N IN BASIC IN D U S T R IE S Ind ex o f 22 ba sic co m m o d itie s co rre cte d fo r season al v a r ia tion (1919=100). L a te st figure A p ril, 1924: 114. Contract awards for new buildings reached a higher value than in March and were larger than a year a g o ; value of building permits granted, however, declined and was smaller than in the corresponding month of 1923. Department of Agriculture estimates on May 1 of the yield of winter wheat and rye are somewhat above the forecasts made in April. The acreage of winter wheat is estimated at 7 per cent less than last year. TRADE— Railroad shipments, which since the middle of March have been smaller than last year, were three per cent less in April than a year ago. Shipments of coal were much below last year, while loadings of merchandise and miscellaneous freight were higher. Wholesale trade in April was in about the same volume as during the preceding month and as in April, 1923. Sales of dry goods and hard- Ind ex o f U. S. B ureau o f L a b o r S ta tistics (1913=100, ba se a d op ted b y the B u rea u ). L a test figure, A pril, 1924: 148. Compiled May 27, 1924 ware were smaller than a year ago, while sales of drugs and shoes showed some increase. Department store sales were considerably larger in April than in March, partly owing to the unusually late Easter; total sales for the two months were two per cent greater than in the corre sponding period of 1923. Merchandise stocks at depart ment stores showed less than the usual seasonal increase in April, but were at a higher level than a year ago. PRICES—Wholesales prices, according to the Bureau of Labor statistics index, declined one per cent during April and reached the lowest point since May, 1922. Farm products, however, advanced two per cent in April. Metals and foods showed substantial reductions; prices of clothing, fuel, and chemicals also declined; while prices of building materials and house furnishings remained unchanged. Dur ing the first half of May, quotations on cotton, wheat, flour, and hogs increased while prices of sugar, silk, wool, and metals declined. BANK CREDIT— During the five-week period ending May 14, the volume of borrowing for commercial purposes RESERVE BANK C R E D IT at member banks in leading cities declined somewhat from the high level reached early in April. There were increases, however, in loans on stocks and bonds and in investments in securities; so that the total of all loans and investments at the middle of May was higher than a month previous, and in larger volume than at any time in more than three years. Volume of borrowing by member banks at Federal Reserve Banks declined further during the last week of April and in May, while holdings of securities bought in the open market increased slightly. Total earning assets declined to $795,000,000 on May 21, the lowrest since the autumn of 1917. Further easing of money conditions during the last week of April and the first three weeks of May was reflected in a continued rise of the prices of government securities, in a reduction from 4^2 to 4J4 per cent in the rate for prime commercial paper, and a decline in the rate for bankers’ acceptances from 4 to 3 per cent. On May 1 the discount rate of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York was reduced from 4 Y i to 4 per cent. FACTORY EM PLO YM EN T Billions of Dollars — 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 W e e k ly figures fo r 12 F ederal R eserv e banks. L a te st figures M ay 21, 1924: T o ta l E arn in g A sse ts 795 m illion ; D isco u n ts 415 m illion ; A c ce p ta n c e s and U nited S ta tes S ecurities 380 m illion. Ind ex fo r S3 m a n u fa ctu rin g industries (1919=100). ure A pril, 1924: 97. L a test fig BUSINESS CONDITIONS IN THE SEVENTH RESERVE DISTRICT P R IL business in the Middle West was featured by a general failure of industry to show the customary spring developments. Construction work, for months a leading factor in the district’s maintenance of high activ ity, on the basis of contracts awarded and permits granted, showed a lower rate of increase over March than in pre vious years. In automobile production a slight recession appeared, and at iron and steel mills, definite contraction of operations followed the marked curtailment in orders. Coal output suffered a more than seasonal drop. Mercantile activity varied, retail trade expanding, largely stimulated by the late Easter, wholesale trade appearing spotted, and freight carloadings continuing the downward trend noted in March. Collections likewise differ, with those from mining and farming districts, however, gener ally reported slow. A Page 2 June A smaller abandonment than usual of winter wheat land, but with a prospective crop below normal, is an outstand ing feature of the agricultural situation. The increase in available farm labor is slight, and wage levels hold firm. CREDIT AND BANKING CONDITIONS With the exception of small seasonal increases in require ments for certain lines, demand for banking accommodation for commercial and industrial purposes during the past month has been on a steadily decreasing scale, reflecting a general slowing down of business activity, and the major ity of banks in the larger cities, particularly Chicago and Detroit, find themselves oversupplied with funds. Rates in Chicago, however, have not undergone any change, though a weakening tendency is discernible here and there. Col lateral loans have ruled at 5 per cent, over-the-counter ac- commodations ranging from 5 to Zl/ 2, and time loans passing at from 4]/2 to 5^4 per cent. While generally speaking, con ditions are good, there is a note of caution in the business world emanating from a number of causes, political and economic in nature. In sections of the district where agriculture is the prin cipal industry, almost no liquidation has taken place, and banks in numerous instances find themselves hard pressed for funds with which to carry the farmers, who have been prevented from marketing their corn on account of the bad roads during the winter and spring season and as a result require further assistance from the banks. Loans to member banks by the Federal Reserve bank continue much below the volume shown on corresponding reporting dates a year ago. On May 21 these aggregated $51,461,000, about half a million above the figure for the preceding week which was the lowest date of the year with the exception of March 19 when loans to members declined to $48,507,000. Total earning assets are like wise below last year’s volume, and on May 21 the figure of $110,714,000 was the lowest since February 27. Fed eral Reserve notes in circulation dropped from $294,041,000 on April 23 to $275,477,000 on May 21, reflecting lessened requirements for currency, and the paying out of gold cer tificates instead of Federal Reserve notes. P O S IT IO N M L L IO .S 1600 R E P O R T IN G MEMBER BANKS, 7TH 013,000 on April 2. The trend has been generally upward throughout April, reflecting considerably augmented hold ings of government securities though “ other investments” have 'also shared in the upward movement. In other se lected cities the volume of investments changed relatively little during April; the first and second weeks of May showed a slight increase. Demand deposits in Chicago and Detroit fluctuated sharplj- in April; on the thirtieth, however, a marked increase over the preceding week W 'as shown, a rise continued on May 7 and 14 when the total of $1,314,709,000 on the latter date registered a new high point. Time deposits in these cities have exhibited an in creasing trend for months, more marked in Detroit since the first o f April, however, than in Chicago, where de clines were shown on two weekly reporting dates. The aggregate for the two cities on May 14 of $677,207,000, marked the high point for 1923 and so far in 1924. In other selected cities time deposits have increased, though during recent weeks the movement has been more gradual than in Chicago and Detroit. P O S IT IO N FEDERAL RESERVE EANK OF C H IC A G O D IS T R IC T or D O L L A R S CHICAGO A N D DETROIT 1 LOANS 4 DISCOUNTS 1400 S w 1200 A / w -A * '■ A ;m a n d d e p o s 1000 800 L a te st figures sh ow n M ay 21, 1924, in thousands o f d olla rs: F ederal R eserv e N otes, 275,477; T ota l E a rn in g A ssets, 110,714. 600 400 TIME DEPOSIT s ^*> {in v e s t m e n t ^ j - C A ’ __ 200 0 OTHER SELECTED CITIES l ----- -- LOANS &DISCOUNTS 400 DEMAND DEPOSITS pTMC O c fiili- b j 200 O . Tf INVESTMENTS ' * .............. _________________________________________________ __________ ____________________ 1919 1920 1921 1922 192} 1924 *B reak in cu rv e in d icates data n ot com p a ra b le w ith p re cedin g. B ased on w e e k ly rep orts to this b a n k b y a p p ro x i m a te ly 49 m em ber banks in C h icago, 13 in D etroit, an d 44 in other sele cte d cities. L a te st figures show n, M ay 14, 1924. Loans and discounts of Chicago and Detroit reporting member banks moved upward throughout April and the first week of May followed by a slight downward move ment on May 14, but the aggregate of “ other selected cities” steadily declined with the exception of a small rise the second week of May. Investments of reporting mem bers in Chicago and Detroit on May 14 were $537,037,000, slightly above the previous high point of the year, $536,- Business Failures— Defaulting firms in the Seventh dis trict in April decreased 0.4 per cent in number from March, but the aggregate o f their liabilities exceeded the March total by 28.5 per cent. Compared with the corresponding m o n t h of 1923, A p r il failures in c r e a s e d both in number and liabilities, the former by 26.9 per cent and the latter by 21.9 per cent. For the whole United States, decreases of 6.1 per cent in number and 49.9 per cent in liabilities were reported in comparison with March; a gain of 12.3 per cent was shown in number over April, 1923, while liabilities de creased 5 per cent. Commercial Paper— Although above the level of a year ago, as was the case in February and March, April sales of commercial paper by ten dealers declined 32.6 per cent from the preceding month. This is a seasonal falling off slightly more extensive than in 1923 and considerably more so than in 1922 and 1921. Paper outstanding at the close of the month had contracted 2.0 per cent from that on March 31 and 18.9 per cent from 1923. Dealers state that while rates during the month were steady, an easing tendency was shown toward the close. Some sales were made at 4 l/ 2 per cent, the customary rates of all dealers being 4 l/ 2@ 4^/[ per cent, whereas in March 4^£ per cent was reported as customary by practically all dealers. Demand was moderately good, being fairly brisk Page 3 June for the best paper, although where rates were unsatisfac tory somewhat of a damper was placed upon buying. De mand was not very strong from country banks, which have been adversely affected by bad weather and road condi tions. It is still somewhat difficult to obtain paper and the supply with the dealers remains moderate. Loans are not freely sought except by firms seasonally borrowing at this time of the year. Open Bill Market— Five open bill market dealers in the district curtailed their acceptance activities considerably in the five weeks preceding May 14. Average weekly pur chases were 32.3 per cent smaller than in the four-week period prior to the one under review. The largest de crease in buying was from purchasers other than acceptors. Aggregate sales were reduced 17.4 per cent, the decline be ing due to reduction in purchases by banks, although Fed eral Reserve bank buying, as well as that of other investors, was augmented considerably. Holdings at the end of the period were reduced about one-half from those on April 9. Extensive declines in the rates of all maturities were made in this period. At the close bid rates for paper of 90-day and under were 3j4@3^s which compare with 4@ 4% for April 9. Longer term eased from 4 % @ 4 % to 3% Offered rates were similarly reduced. The supply of paper was limited to some extent, while demand was fairly good, especially for bills of 90-day and less. Bills moved freely at the offered rates. Acceptances— Considerable curtailment of activity in bankers’ acceptances is evidenced by the April reports from eighteen accepting banks in the district which ex ecuted a volume of bills 33.4 per cent smaller than in March. In the past years these banks customarily showed a substantial increase in the corresponding comparison, but operations in general this year have deviated from the usual trends. Purchases of acceptances were augmented 30.0 per cent, while sales fell off almost half from the previ ous month, resulting in more than doubled holdings on April 30 as compared with March 31. Of these items, the volumes of acceptances executed and those sold were both more than 30 per cent under operations of a year ago, while purchases were 36.1 per cent above April, 1923, and month-end holdings increased to the largest amount since March, 1923. The liability of these banks on their accept ances outstanding at the close of the month was $29,849,321, a decline of 9.3 per cent from March, but an increase o f 43.2 per cent in the year-to-year comparison. Monthend holdings of the banks’ own acceptances showed con siderable gains in both comparisons. Purchases of acceptances by the Federal Reserve bank amounted to $10,680,791, which was the smallest amount since November, 1921, and a decline of nearly 8 million from those of the preceding month. Month-end holdings were the lowest since January, 1923, the volume having receded 11 million from the March 31 level. Sales during the month amounted to $70,788. Joint Stock Land banks totaling $154,997,216 increased ap proximately two million dollars, and the Federal Land banks with $136,792,440 gained nearly two and one-half million. Four Intermediate Credit banks operating in the same territory showed a reduction from March 31 in the total of loans outstanding of nearly sixty thousand, the to tal April 30 being $677,010. A consolidated statement of condition of the twelve Federal Intermediate Credit banks in the United States as at the close of business April 30, 1924, showed an ag gregate of $29,654,425.85 in direct loans and $18,211,367.28 in rediscounts. Government bonds and securities held by the twelve banks totaled $5,451,437.50, and capital stock subscriptions callable from the United States Treasury were shown on the statement as $38,000,000.00. On the liability side, capital stock subscribed was given asi $60,000,000.00, surplus $152,271.20, undivided profits $329,258.67, and Federal Intermediate Credit Bank Debentures outstanding $33,600,000.00. VOLUM E OF PAYM ENT BY CHECK Volume of payment by check in April as reflected by reports of debits to individual accounts received from twenty-four clearing house centers in the district showed declines from March, as well as from April, 1923. In the four largest cities of the district, Chicago, Detroit, Mil waukee, and Indianapolis, the shrinkage from March was 3.5 per cent, and 2.2 from the corresponding month of 1923. The total volume in twenty smaller reporting cen ters declined 2.2 and 0.6 per cent from the preceding month and April, 1923, respectively, while the April decline in the aggregate of the twenty-four cities was 3.4 from March, and 2.0 from April, 1923. A ggregate A p r i l , 1924 P e rc en tag e C h a n g e s fro m (0 0 0 O m it t e d ) M a r c h , 1924 A p r il , 1923 Chicago ........... $2,934,174 Detroit ................................................. 713,110 Milwaukee ........................................... 259,937 Indianapolis ....................................... 145,636 Total T o ta l — 3.6 — 2.6 — 5.8 — 3.6 ........................................$4,052,857 20 c itie s .............................................$ — 3.5 OF PAYMENT — 2.2 — 2.2 648,059 Total 24 cities... .................................$4,700,916 VOLUME — 3.9 + 6 .0 — 3.6 — 1.8 — 0.6 — 3.4 BY — 2.0 CHECK Billions o f Dollars AGRICULTURAL FINANCING Increases over March 31 in the aggregate of loans out standing of twenty-two Joint Stock Land banks and four Federal Land banks operating in the five states including the Seventh district, were shown on April 30. Loans of Page 4 June C h e ck s D raw n on C l e a r i n g H ous e B a n k s , 7 th District. F igu res used are estim a tes fo r calendar m onths based on w eek ly reports to this bank. L a te st figures show n, A pril, 1924, in th ou san d s o f d ollars: C h icago, D etroit, M ilw aukee, and Indianapolis, 4,052,857; 20 Other C learing H ou se C enters, 648,059. SAVINGS ACCOUNTS AND DEPOSITS . The decline of 0.3 per cent in the amount of savings de posits from April 1 to May 1, as reported by 206 banks in. this district, marked a reversal of the upward trend which had been in evidence the two preceding months. The de crease was a reflection of the declines of 0.9 and 0.5 per cent in Illinois and Iowa, respectively, as the other three states showed increases of 0.2 per cent in Michigan, 0.4 per cent in Wisconsin, and 1.0 per cent in Indiana. All of the five states continued to show increases over a year ago, the aggregate gain amounting to 6.8 per cent; the largest growth was in Michigan where an average increase o f 11.4 per cent was reported. Comparison with the 1920 average showed a district increase of 20.7 per cent, Michigan, Illi nois, and Iowa showing the greatest gains. In contrast with the decline in the amount of savings deposits, between April 1 and May 1, there was a gain of 0.1 per cent in the number of savings accounts; Illinois and Iowa, however, showed declines of 0.2 and 0.4 per cent, respectively, while gains were reported for the other three states. There was an increase of 0.7 per cent in the aggregate number of accounts reported for the district on AGRICULTURAL PRODl Direct reports from 136 county agents representing 188,254 farmers show that in the Seventh district approxi mately the same acreage is being planted to corn this spring as in 1923. Wheat seeded last fall is in fairly good condition save in counties in central Illinois and Indiana where the crop suffered some damage from insufficient snow protection during the closing months of the winter. County agents report not only a smaller crop of pigs this spring than in the corresponding season last year but also fewer marketable hogs on farms than a year ago. The available supply of farm hands has increased only slightly and wages are holding firm, the wage trend in thirty-one counties being even higher than in the early part of 1923; rates have been revised downward in fifteen counties where the supply of laborers is slightly greater than the demand. Despite a smaller abandonment of w in ter wheat land this spring than usual, the acreage remaining for harvest is below normal. The Bureau of Agricultural Economics on May 1 estimated a total production of 84,519,000 bushels o f winter wheat for the five states lying largely within the Seventh district; which compares with 126,008,000 bushels, the final estimate for 1923. A total production of 553.013.000 bushels of winter wheat and 61,739,000 bushels of rye is forecast for the United States compared with 572.340.000 and 63,023,000 bushels, respectively, harvested in 1923. Stocks of hay are reported as slightly less than a year ago. FLOUR The flour industry manifested a seasonal decline in ac tivity during April compared with the preceding month, according to figures reported by thirty-eight mills in this district. These operated at an average of 49.0 per cent of capacity compared with 53.3 per cent in March and 41.3 per cent the same month a year ago. Aggregate produc tion during April showed a decline of 8.0 per cent from the March level, wheat flour and other flour decreasing May 1 compared with a year ago, but comparison with the 1920 average showed a decline of 2.5 per cent. Included in this compilation are the last figures reported by one Illinois bank and by three Iowa banks which were closed before May 1. BONDS AND INVESTM ENTS The investment market during April was characterized by uncertainty, with no definite trend. Easing in money rates, however, produced a moderate demand the early part of May, and new' offerings w’ere well taken. Depres sion in the stock market has had a tendency to divert funds from stocks into short-term note issues. Govern ment securities have been strong on account of many busi ness firms placing money not needed for immediate use in their business in this form of security rather than in the bank. Public utilities and rails are meeting with good demand; municipals were rather sluggish until the second wreek in May when an improved demand became apparent with a firming-up of the market; and high-grade real estate bonds have had a ready sale. Foreign bonds strengthened with the generally favorable reception of the Dawes plan. ION AND CONDITIONS 6.3 and 24.9 per cent, respectively. Compared with April, 1923, total output increased 23.4 per cent, wheat flour show ing an increase of 31.9 per cent, while flour other than wheat declined 30.7 per cent. Stocks of both flour and wheat held at the mills de creased during April, the former 15.1 per cent and the latter 9.0 per cent, but compared with a year ago stocks of flour declined 17.4 per cent, while wheat showed little change. Sales of flour during the month were 7.1 per cent smaller in volume and 5.5 per cent less in value than during March, but compared with April, 1923, sales increased 19.7 per cent in volume while little change in value wras shown. Receipts and shipments of flour from Chicago, accord ing to figures furnished by the Chicago Board of Trade, also reflect the d eclin in g a ctiv ity in the in du stry. R eceip ts during the month amounted to 600,000 barrels compared with 972,000 barrels in March and 1,102,000 barrels the same month last year. Shipments of flour from Chicago aggre gated 569,000 barrels compared with 703,000 barrels in the preceding month and 915,000 barrels during April, 1923. GRAIN M ARKETING Domestic demand has been light and receipts of grain from the country limited. The decline in grain move ment from the farms is customary at this time and is usu ally followed by increased marketings after the close of the spring planting season. Grain receipts were greater at interior primary markets in April, 1924, than in the cor responding month of either 1921 or 1922, but fell beknv the level of a year ago and of the preceding month. More wheat and oats were forwarded from interior primary cen ters in April than in either the preceding month or the corresponding period last year. Prices became somewhat firmer as the month progressed but the average for April was less than in March. April transactions on the Chi cago Board of Trade calling for future delivery were conPage 5 June siderably less in total volume than in March but in creased slightly over February. Foreign demand continues about on the same level as in previous months with a large portion of European re quirements being supplied by countries other than the United States. Exports of oats, barley, and corn declined in April compared with March, but those of wheat and rye increased. Visible wheat supplies in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom were 219,403,000 bushels on May 10, 1924, compared with 252,317,000 bushels on April 12, 1924, and 156,704,000 on May 12, 1923. VISIBLE SU PPLY OF GRAIN IN TH E UNITED STATES Stocks in private and public warehouses, at principal points of accumu lation, at lake and seaboard points, and in transit by water in the United States. Figures supplied by the Chicago Board of Trade. (In thousands of bushels) May 17, 1924 W heat C orn O ats B ariev R ye 15,466 8,903 912 19,788 Warehouses and Afloat........ 46,744 685 1,913 101 Bonded ................................. 12,816 April 12, 1924 14,076 22,319 21,503 1,162 Warehouses and Afloat ....... 56.673 1,206 1,115 200 Bonded ......................... ....... 5,985 May 19, 1923 17,997 12,393 16,167 1,809 Warehouses and Afloat ....... 37,110 479 1,396 403 Bonded ......................... ....... 2,554 S H IP M E N T S OF CORN A N D W H E A T P R IM A R Y M A R K E T S — U N IT E D A T IN T E R IO R STATES over March. The total volume of meats and lard for warded in April for export was less than in the preceding month; this was due partly to the exchange situation and partly to supplies in foreign markets being somewhat greater than needed for immediate consumption require ments. Prices on the Continent have been about on a parity with those in the United States, but in the English markets they have fallen below. M OVEM ENT OF LIVE STOCK Fewer hogs and sheep and more cattle and calves were received at public stock yards in the United States during April than in March. H og slaughter declined but that for cattle, calves, and sheep increased, in a comparison of April totals with those of the preceding month. The April receipts and slaughter of cattle, calves, and hogs were greater, while those of sheep and lambs showed smaller volume than the April average of the five years 1919-1923. LIVE STOCK SLAU G H TER C a tt l e Yards in Seventh District April, 1924 .......... 217,183 Public Stock Yards in U. S. April, 1924...........................................647,764 March, 1924............................... 632,886 April, 1923.........................................680,307 H ogs S heep C alves 918,821 194,964 171,344 2,809,188 725,918 2,975,596 719,010 2,933,601 855,323 460,124 358,083 399,800 The movement of live stock back to feed lots on the farms gained in April over March, 1924, as well as over April last year, although the total for the four months ended April 30 was somewhat less than for the corre sponding period in 1923. AVER AG E PRICES OF LIVE STOCK Per hundred pounds at Chicago W e e k E nded M ay 10, 1924 Native Beef Steers (average) ......... $ 9.80 Fat Cows and Heifers............. ......... 6.75 Canners and Cutters............... ......... 3.25 Calves ................................................... 8.50 Stockers and Feeders............... ......... 7.65 Hogs (bulk of sales)............... ......... 7.45 Sheep ......................................... ......... 7.60 Yearling Sheep ......................... ......... 12.10 Lambs ......................................... ......... 15.60 C lass L a te st figures sh ow n A pril, 1924: W lie a t shipm ents, 39.0. C orn shipm ents, 107.0; and MEAT PACKING The aggregate April sales in dollars reported by fifty-nine meat packing companies in the United States were 1.7 per cent less than in March and lowered 2.9 per cent from the corresponding period last year. Produc tion remained at about the same rate as in the preceding month, although it receded toward the close of April as shown by employment figures, which declined 5.8 per cent in number, 7.4 per cent in hours worked, and 6.9 per cent in total payrolls in the period covered by the last paydate in April compared with the corresponding period in March. May 1 inventories shrank slightly from the volume at the beginning of April, but lard holdings in creased. Cold storage stocks exceeded the 1921-1923 aver age for May 1,, although smaller than the 1919-1923 fiveyear average for that date. Prices of veal and lard eased somewhat, and pork loins showed a strengthening ten dency, but the wholesale prices of most other products deviated little from those prevailing at Chicago during March. Although export conditions during May showed signs o f betterment, the demand from both the Continent and the United Kingdom did not improve materially in April Page 6 June M o n t h s of M a rc h A p r il 1924 1924 A p r il 1923 $ 9.95 $ 9.55 ? 9.00 6.65 3.20 8.95 7.00 7.40 10.05 13.10 16.10 6.05 3.20 9.50 6.80 7.35 9.60 12.50 15.65 6.55 3.60 8.40 7.10 8.10 7.90 12.00 13.30 DAIRY PRODUCTS AND POULTRY Seasonal expansion in output continued in the dairy product group during April. The production of creamery butter was 13.4 per cent greater than in March and 6.0 per cent above April a year ago, according to reports sent direct to this bank by representative creameries in the Seventh district. Statistics issued weekly by the Ameri can Association of Creamery Butter Manufacturers indi cate a slightly greater output in the United States during April than in either March, 1924, or April, 1923. The April output of cheese by W isconsin factories increased over the preceding month, but showed a small recession from a year ago. District sales of creamery butter gained 5.4 per cent over March and were 7.8 per cent in excess of those in April last year, according to statistics compiled from sales reports sent to this bank by representative firms. April receipts of dairy products and poultry were larger at Chicago than those in either the preceding month or a year ago. In the United States, May 1 inventories of dairy products almost doubled the holdings on May 1, 1923, those o f butter and eggs being slightly more than on April 1. Stocks of poultry were smaller than at the beginning of April and exceeded those on the corresponding date last year. FUEL AN D POWER COAL Despite the continued dullness in the coal market, prices of bituminous coal remained practically stable from the middle of April to the middle of May, screenings from a number of fields being quoted by the Hopkins Daily Coal Reporter at an even higher level on May 14 than on April 16. This interruption of the downward trend of coal prices, however, was not a reflection of any improvement in demand, but rather of the marked curtailment in sup ply. Illinois production during April amounted to only 3,812,000 tons, a smaller tonnage than has been mined in any month since the strike of 1922, and, with the exception of that year, less than the output for any April since 1916, while Coal Age reported over 100 mines of the 393 shipping units of the state permanently shut down and about the same number closed with indefinite plans for reopening. That similar conditions prevail in Indiana fields is evi denced by the fact that the percentage of time lost by miners in April because of a lack of orders was almost twice as large as in March. Lack of demand, coupled with the cessation of operations in the Southwestern states and in parts of Western Kentucky and Kanawha fields, reduced production in the entire country to less than 7,000,000 tons a week during April compared with a rate of over 11,000000 tons the early part of 1924. The expansion in produc tion during the first full week in May to a level slightly above the 7,000,000-ton mark, may be attributed in part to the resumption of operations in the Southwestern states. The lake trade has been developing more slowly than last year, according to figures furnished by the Ore and Coal Exchange. Total loadings at Lake Erie ports for the 1924 season to the end of April amounted to 949,461 net tons, with vessel fuel aggregating 60,213 tons and cargo 889,248 tons; cumulative loadings in 1923 from the begin ning of the lake season to the end of April totaled 1,152,549 tons, 1,105,074 tons of which were cargo, and 47,475 tons vessel fuel. Shipments to Lake Michigan ports dur ing the first four months of 1924, amounting to 353,788 tons were 48,256 tons greater than in the same period in 1923, whereas distribution to Lake Superior ports during PRODUCTION the same intervals declined from 493,876 tons in 1923 to 341,228 tons in 1924. With the exception of the week ended April 26 when two holidays caused a reduction in output to 1,205,000 tons, anth-acite production in the latter part of April, including the week ended May 3, was maintained at a weekly rate of about 1,600,000 tons compared with more than 2,000,000 tons a week in the same period in 1923. The increase in output during the week ended May 10 to 1,924,000 tons was reported by the Geological Survey to be largely due to the settlement of local labor difficulties and to a more complete operation of mines where work had been ham pered by floods. The increase in anthracite prices beginning May 1, caused chiefly by the cu-tailment o f output during the preceding period, was followed by an improvement in demand. ELECTRIC ENERGY April declines in the activities of electric energy pro ducers are seasonal for all items except industrial sales and plant capacity. The recession in industrial sales is significant in view of the fact that it is the first decline in April from March shown by the available data of this bank covering a period of six years. Operations in April, while on a larger scale than a year ago, were less markedly in advance of 1923 than in the other months of the year. The number of industrial users served by reporting companies in April was 0.2 per cent larger than in March and 5.8 per cent more than in April, 1923. The average increase of the first four months of this year over the corresponding period in 1923 was 6.0 per cent. CHANGES IN APRIL, 1924, FROM PREVIOUS MONTHS Compiled from direct reports to this bank from nine companies P er c e n t c h a n g e f r o m A p r il M a rc h A p r il 1924 1924 1923 Plant capacity (K .W ).......... ..................._ 1,859.785 — 0.1 + 13.2 Plant output (K .W .H .)........... ................. 548,995,556 — 9.4 + 9.2 Plant output (daily average—K .W .H .)— 18,299.852 — 6.4 + 9.2 Peakload demand (K .W .).... ................... 1.315,489 — 9.4 + 6.5 Industrial sales (K .W .H .)........................ 226,336,823 — 2.9 + 9.9 Industrial sales (working day average— K.W .H .) ................................................. 8,705,262 A p r il 1924 R a tio peak load d e m a n d to p la n t capacity........... 70.7 Load factor ............................................................. 58.0 — 2.9 M a rc h 1924 78.0 56.1 + 5.7 A p r il 1923 75.2 56.5 INDUSTRIAL EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS There wras a noticeable lack during April of the usual acceleration of activity within the manufacturing industries of the district. The reports indicate a slowing down in practically all industrial lines, but the curtailments are not large and outdoor work is amply able to absorb an extra supply of labor at this time. The situation is in strong contrast to conditions of a year ago when manufacturers were having difficulty in obtaining the necessary labor for their requirements and when there was a strong tendency toward making wage increases. The returns received by the Illinois State Department of Labor covering 300,000 industrial workers of that state, showed declines for April, amounting to 1.2 per cent in men and 1.0 per cent in earnings. For Wisconsin, as re ported to its Industrial Commission by plants employing 83,000 men, the corresponding losses were 2.7 per cent and 4.3 per cent, respectively. In the states of Indiana, Iowa, and Michigan, reports sent directly to this bank in dicate a somewhat heavier curtailment, the average loss for approximately 30,000 men amounting to 3.7 per cent. The combined figures for all of these states showed de clines of 1.6 per cent in men and 2.3 per cent in the ag gregate earnings. O f the various industries represented in these returns, car construction furnishes the only noteworthy exception to the downward tendency. Stone, clay, and glass products also gained over the preceding month but the change was less pronounced. Metals and metal products as a whole showed a decrease of about one per cent in both employ ment and earnings. The heaviest declines were experienced in the clothing and the leather industries. Page 7 June EMPLOYMENT AND EARNINGS - SEVENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT Number of wage earners week ended— I n d u s t r ia l G rou p April 15 All groups (10)..................................................................... . Metals and metal products (other than vehicles)............ Vehicles ................. ............................................................. . Textiles and textile products............................................ Food and related products................................................... Stone, clay, and glass products.................................. ....... Lumber and its products..................................................... Chemical products................................................................... Leather products................................................................... Rubber products..................................................................... Paper and printing................................................................. March 15 403,868 166,645 45,065 30,054 51,850 12,952 38,825 10,746 16,228 2,481 29,022 410,393 168,303 43,130 33,798 52,029 12,748 40,055 11,108 17,201 2,624 29,397 Total earnings week ended— Per Cent Change April 15 March 15 Per Cent Change — 1.6 — 1.0 +4.5 — 11.1 — 0.3 + 1.6 — 3.1 — 3.3 — 5.7 — 5.4 — 1.3 $9,879,195 3,718,390 1,361,525 647,808 1,296,597 379,120 905,377 273,373 351,778 63,471 881,756 $10,113,645 3,758,698 1,297,717 790,995 1,342,101 367,060 938,812 282,273 379,568 62,267 894,154 — 2.3 — 1.1 + 4.9 — 18.1 — 3.4 + 3.3 — 3.1 — 3.2 — 7.3 + 1.9 — 1.4 MANUFACTURING ACTIVITIES AND OUTPUT AU TO M O BILE PRODUCTION AND DISTRIBU TION April statistics indicate a slight recession in automobile production in comparison with March, a decline which is contrary to the seasonal gains usually in evidence during the spring months. Compared also with April, 1923, total production declined, the first reversal since 1921 of the up ward trend shown in year-to-year comparisons. Statistics received from identical manufacturers representing prac tically complete March production show 336,968 passenger cars produced during April, a loss of 3.2 per cent from March and 2.0 per cent from April, 1923. The output of trucks during April by manufacturers reporting a March output of 33,061 aggregated 34,977, a gain of 5.8 per cent over March and a loss of 4.9 from last year. During April, 1923, passenger cars produced increased 7.6 per cent over March, while truck production gained 8.0 per cent. New automobiles and motorcycles actually sold at both wholesale and retail, which had been reported up to May 1, aggregated $167,466,664 for the five states including the Seventh Federal Reserve district, a- decrease of 6.3 per cent from the April 1 figure, and a gain of 82.3 per cent over May 1, 1923. Actual sales o f automobile trucks and motor wagons amounted to $18,308,488, a gain of 25.6 per cent over the preceding month, and of 58.6 per cent over the corre sponding period last year. Actual sales of automobile parts and accessories aggregating $17,625,533 increased 24.2 per cent over the preceding month and decreased 7.8 per cent from the corresponding month last year. These figures are not comparable with the April production or factory shipment figures. W ith the April curtailment of production, and ship ments smaller than in March, stocks of cars in dealers’ hands and in warehouses were withdrawn in response to retail demand, which showed a marked improvement over March. Reports received by this bank from warehouses in Chicago indicate a fair movement of cars to consumers, but the number of cars still held is in excess of those held a year ago, although replacements have fallen off. Distributors and dealers in the Middle West report gains in the wholesale and retail distribution of new cars during April compared with the preceding month and April a year ago, resulting in a smaller number o f new cars on hand April 30 compared with March 31, although there was a gain compared with a year ago, at which time dealers were experiencing difficulties in receiving new stocks. Used car sales also increased compared with the previous month and year, while the number on hand April 30, decreased from March 31, but continued at a higher level than a Page 8 June year ago. Used cars on hand April 30 represented 111 per cent of the total April sales of used cars. DISTRIBUTION OF AUTOM OBILES Changes in April, 1924, from previous months P er c e n t c h a n g e fro m M a rc h A p r il Number of new cars sold Wholesale ..................... .. Retail ........................... .. Value of new cars sold Wholesale ..................... .. R etail............................. .. New cars on hand at end of month Number ......................... .. Value ........................... .. Used cars sold during month Salable used cars on hand at end of month Number ......................... .. Value ........................... .. C o m p a n ie s in c l u d e d M arch A p r il 1924 1923 1924 1923 +14.1 +21.3 +23.2 + 1.8 43 74 37 59 +17.6 +29.9 + 16.1 — 1.1 43 74 37 59 — 21.4 — 22.7 +28.7 +75.5 +43.2 + 8.9 7S 75 74 59 — 6.5 — 6.6 + 17.7 + 8.7 70 70 47 47 54 54 Shipments of automobiles during April reported by the National Automobile Chamber of Commerce decreased in both carload volume and driveaways from March, 1924, and April, 1923, while shipments by boat increased season ally over March, but were smaller than a year ago. Passenger cars exported from the United States during March numbered 14,035, with a value of $9,572,675 com pared with 13,329 and $9,527,171, lespectively, in February. A year ago 11,811 were exported with a value of $8,217,276. Exports of trucks also increased, totaling 2,3'29 in number and valued at $1,607,518 compared with 1,704 and $1,507,277, respectively, in February and 1,564 and $1,046,075, respec tively, in March a year ago. CASTING FOUNDRIES Contrasting with operations a year ago when marked declines from the preceding month were registered, pro duction and shipments of reporting casting foundries in April rose above March, although the increases were dis tinctly smaller than those shown in the two preceding months. In comparison with April, 1923, however, pro duction and shipments declined, but less extensively than in any other month in 1924. The weighted average per cent of capacity at which twenty-^our foundries reporting on the item operated in April was 77.0 per cent. While comparatively little diffi culty is being encountered in collections, some foundries find them slow in Southern Illinois and Indiana. CHANGES IN APRIL, 1924, FROM PREVIOUS MONTHS Compiled from direct reports to this bank P er c e n t c h a n g e f r o m M arch A p r il Pig iron consumed................... Iron scrap consumed............... Steel scrap consumed......... .... Total tonnage consumed....... Castings shipped (tonnage).... Castings shipped (dollars) 1924 — 4.5 + 9 .4 + 8 .5 + 5 .3 + 1 .9 + 1.7 1923 + 0.1 — 13.2 — 4.1 — 3.7 — 7.5 — 3.8 C o m p a n ie s in c l u d e d M arch A p r il 1924 28 28 28 28 27 27 1923 26 26 26 * 26 25 27 STOVES AND FURNACES Following the increases of February and March, ship ments of stoves and furnaces in April were in lesser vol ume than in the preceding month, the seasonal decline be ing considerably smaller than in 1923. A lessened volume of orders continued the trend of the two preceding months. April showed a slightly smaller decline in production than did March. Collection difficulties are being encountered by some of the companies chiefly in the mining and agricultural dis tricts of the Middle West, and in the East. CHANGES IN APRIL, 1924, FROM PREVIOUS MONTHS Compiled from direct reports to this bank P er c e n t c h a n g e fro m A p r il M arch Shipments ................................. Orders accepted ..................... Inventories ............................... Operations (moulding room).. 1924 — 7.4 — 12.9 + 6.9 — 2.2 1923 + 6.9 — 2.3 + 8.1 + 8.1 C o m p a n ie s in c l u d e d M arch A p r il 1924 16 12 11 15 1924 16 12 11 13 per cent from March, reaching the lowest point since February, 1922. The composite price of iron and steel products in April continued even more precipitately the decline of the preceding month and averaged the lowest since January, 1923. Scrap metal likewise coursed down ward, in a number of instances declines of 20 per cent and more being recorded from the peak of this year reached near the close of February by most iron and steel scrap products. Zinc— Production of slab zinc in April was 44,949 tons, the smallest since December, 1923, and a falling off of 5.9 per cent from that of March; shipments declined from 52,893 tons to 44,245 tons; while stocks were augmented 2.2 per cent. Zinc ores mined in the Joplin district aggre gated 52,609 tons which compares with 84,594 tons in March. The average price declined from $41.50 to $39.52. IRON AND STEEL AGRICULTURAL M ACHINERY AND EQ UIPM ENT The unfavorable factors in the iron and steel trade ob servable in March became increasingly operative in April, reports on that month pointing to general weakness in the more significant indices of conditions in the industry. Unsettlement of prices, because of frequent concessions by mills in need of new tonnages and willing to compete for them by price cutting, served as a deterrent to buyers, the majority of whom preferred to wait for steadier prices which they expected to crystallize at a lower level. Shipments during April continued in large volume which fact, com bined with the slackness in new buying, served to reduce the volume on mill order books considerably. As a result, mill operations in practically all districts were consider ably curtailed and at the close of the month the rate of production was about 20 per cent below the peak of March. Although the placing of future orders for steel was markedly light in April, immediate business, as in March, was in fair volume. There was practically no ac tivity in the pig iron market and prices were readily cut by sellers in the attempt to obtain new business. Even with the concessions, however, orders were few and the tonnages small. Toward the close of the month, with prices still receding, some slight gain in inquiry was no ticed but nothing much in the way of actual buying de veloped. Reports from Chicago mills give evidence of much the same situation as has obtained throughout the country and recession in new business has been pronounced, although it cannot be said that order books underwent any serious depletion. Customers are drawing extensively on what stocks they have, and orders, as they come in, invariably call for prompt shipment. Some recession in steel prices in this district occurred during April, but on the whole fair strength was shown. Pig iron at Chicago declined twice, 50 cents near the middle, and the same at the close of the month. Pig iron production in April was 3,233,428 tons, reced ing 6.7 per cent from March; on the daily average basis the falling off amounted to 3.6 per cent. In the Illinois and Indiana district the recession was practically the same as in the country as a whole. Production of steel ingots was at the daily average rate of 130,241 tons, a decline of 1.9.1 per cent from the record figure of March. Unfilled orders of the United States Steel Corporation declined 12.0 The upward trend, begun in February, continued in April, and agricultural machinery and equipment sales in that month reached the highest level attained so far in 1924, the total being slightly greater than in April, 1923. Exports were greater than a year ago. Production de clined from March, the rate being 61.5 per cent of the theoretical normal for April. Twenty-four firms re ported that dealers’ stocks were moving into farmers’ hands more rapidly than a month ago, but twenty-two of the companies found no improvement. Collections con tinued slow throughout the United States and especially so in the southwestern, central western, and northwestern parts of the country. PRODUCTION AN D SALES OF FARM EQ U IPM EN T IN THE U . S. Changes in April, 1924, from previous months P er c e n t c h a n g e f ro m M arch A p r il 1924 Domestic sales .............. . ....+ 1.8 Sales billed fo r e x p o r t ........... .. +32.5 Total d o m e s tic a n d e x p o r t sales ................................... ....+ 7.3 Production ............................. .. — 4.3 Sales based on dollar amounts. C o m p a n ie s in c l u d e d M arch A p r il 1923 — 7.0 +96.6 1924 113 113 1923 113 113 + 5.3 — 11.6 113 104 113 104 Production computed from employment. SHOE MANUFACTURING, TANNING, AND HIDES Factory shipments of shoes during April exceeded pro duction by 7.3 per cent, and as a result inventories were smaller on May 1 than at the beginning of the preceding month. The recession in production and shipments was seasonal, although the decline from March was less marked in 1924 than in either 1922 or 1923. Twenty-three of the companies reported unfilled orders sufficient for nearly six weeks’ business, based on the rate maintained in April. Inventories reported for May 1 by twenty-seven companies were equivalent to 87.3 per cent of their April shipments. Collections especially in the cotton belt states continue slow. CHANGES IN TH E SHOE M AN U FAC TU R IN G IN D U STR Y IN APRIL, 1924, COMPARED W IT H PREVIOUS MONTHS P er c e n t c h a n g e fr o m M arch A p r il Production ............................. Shipments................................. Inventories ............................. Unfilled orders ....................... 1924 — 3.5 — 4.5 — 1.9 — 2.6 1923 — 6.0 + 4.1 — 5.4 — 27.2 C o m p a n ie s in c l u d e d M arch A p r il 1924 35 35 33 34 1923 35 35 33 34 District production of leather was indicated as lower in April than in either the preceding month or a year ago. Prices generally are unchanged from those a month ago, although calf leather is firmer. Page 9 June Packer green hide markets showed greater activity with prices lower at Chicago during April than in March. Calf skins in greater amount were sold in April than in the preceding month but prices held firm. Sales of country hides have been limited owing to firm asking prices by dealers. The volume of green hides and skins shipped from Chicago was somewhat less in April than in March. FURNITURE Furniture manufacturing in this district slowed down during April, according to reports from seventeen firms which showed that operations averaged 76.7 per cent of capacity compared with 81.4 per cent in March. According to figures reported by twenty firms, orders booked declined 37.2 per cent and shipments 20.8 per cent from the March level, and comparisons with a year ago showed decreases of 23.8 and 11.2 per cent, respectively. Unfilled orders, based on reports from eighteen manufac turers decreased 22.7 per cent during April, leaving about four weeks’ business on hand at the end of the month; comparison with a year ago, according to figures for sev enteen firms, showed a decline of 55.1 per cent. Collec tions were reported slow in some sections of the country. RAW W O O L AND FINISHED W OO LEN S The continued inactivity in the domestic wool market during the last month was reflected in further price de clines. According to reports, the principal inquiry during the last few days of April was centered among the finer grades, but this interest was insufficient to strengthen prices for these grades. The fact that foreign markets remain strong has led to a continuation of the re-export ing of bonded wools abroad in some volume. Few pur chases of the new clip were reported during April, dealers, for the most part, being unwilling to buy at the prices asked. As May approached, however, buying in Western primary markets became more general and sales of Utah wools, as well as o f those from adjoining sections, were effected at 42 cents a pound in the grease. Conditions in the woolen goods trade remain very un satisfactory, with little activity either in men’s wear or women’s wear lines, the latter being affected not only by slow demand, but by labor difficulties as well. BUILDING MATERIALS AND CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES April was a comparatively dull month in the lumber trade. Sales of twenty-nine wholesalers in the Seventh district were 10.9 per cent less than in the same month last year, although there was an increase of 8.7 per cent shown over March—a reflection of seasonal building activity. O r ders received were for small amounts, and to cover im mediate needs only, the majority of these coming from retail yards, flooring, and sash and door factories. Demand for hardwoods fell off considerably, owing to reduced oper ations in the automobile industry. There was also a con traction in orders from furniture manufacturers. The con sequence of this dullness in trade was a general softening in prices, especially of softwoods; also, stocks remained stationary, and, if anything, were above those held last year. Orders for common brick increased somewhat in Iowa, but demand for both brick and cement remained quiet at country points in that state during April, as farmers are buying very conservatively. Fuller operations were re ported in the Illinois brick industry, while Chicago manu facturers were still having difficulty in keeping up with orders. Weather conditions which delayed drying were partly responsible for this situation. Cement production for the entire country continued to expand and shipments, although slightly less than in April, 1923, were 42 per cent greater than in March this year, and compared favorably with other years. There was a decrease of 5.8 per cent in April stocks of cement from the preceding month, but they are still at a very high point. There were no changes in the prices of either cement or common brick in this district during April. Collections are slow in localities depending on the farmer trade, especially in the southern part of Iowa. The ma jority of the reporting firms in the above lines, however, state that collections are about the same as last year and term them satisfactory. Page 10 June CONTRACTS AND PERMITS A gradual lessening in building activity was apparent during April in the Seventh Federal Reserve district. April is usually the seasonal peak month of the year and, al. though this year’s figures conformed to this trend, yet the increases over the previous months were not so great as in other years. Contracts awarded in this district increased 10.2 per cent over March in comparison with 25.7 per cent in the corresponding period last year. They fell 11.5 per cent below April, 1923, and the figures for the first four months of the year were 1.3 per cent under those for the same period last year. Of the five states included in the district, Illinois alone showed a gain over last year in con tracts awarded. Iowa showed the largest decrease, 46.2 per cent, but reported a decided increase over March of this year. Statistics on prospective building revealed approximately the same trend as did actual contracts let. Permits issued by fifty cities in the Seventh district increased 15.6 per cent in estimated cost over March, but were 23.1 per cent less than those issued in April last year. Illinois figures, how ever, showed a decided falling off from a year ago, owing to the enormous volume of permits issued in Chicago in April, 1923. This city surpassed all others at that time in the increase of permits issued, the index number stand ing at 711.9. Indiana was the only state in which the esti mated cost of April permits was less than in the preceding month, the result of generally lessened industrial activity in that state. O f the five large cities of the district, build ing expansion, as compared with last year, was greatest in Detroit, the value of permits issued there in April amounting to $20,128,862, an increase of 68.8 per cent over April, 1923, and of 13.7 per cent over March this year. Des Moines, also, showed a noticeable gain over a year ago, but losses were reported for the other three cities. A l though Chicago permits were much less in estimated cost than last year, the number of permits issued there was un- usually large and increased 27.8 per cent over April, 1923. The major portion of building activity during April was in residential construction. Contracts awarded for that purpose increased over both the preceding month and a year ago. Of the total amount of permits issued in thirtyone cities of the district, 56.5 per cent were for residential building. Last year the ratio stood at 50.3. Permits were also issued for a considerable amount of public building. MERCHANDISING CONDITIONS W H O LESA LE TRADE April returns from reporting wholesalers in this district indicate varied conditions among the different commodity groups as well as among individual firms within each group. As compared wT March, 1924, hardware reports present ith the only clearly defined trend, with April sales for all but two firms heavier than during the preceding month. Gro cery firms are divided, twice as many registering increases as decreases, while drug and shoe dealers show a fairly even distribution. In dry goods, smaller April sales for the majority of firms resulted in an average decline, less marked than corresponding changes in the three preceding years, but only slightly offsetting the February-March decrease peculiar to this year. Sales comparisons with April, 1923, also are mixed, the majority of drug and hardware firms showing more fre quent gains, but for dry goods and groceries, declines pre dominating. Total sales for the first four months of 1924 are less than in 1923 for more than half the firms in each group except groceries. Various stock trends likewise were apparent, grocery, drug, and shoe inventories generally lower on April 30 than a year ago, but dry goods and hardware both averaging 5 per cent increases. The last named group showed the only net gain over March 31, 1923— the result, however, of stock ing up during the month by half the firms. In collections percentage changes from a year ago range from 12 per cent decline for shoes to 6 per cent increase in drugs, while comparisons with March, 1924, show in creases in the cases of all but eleven firms, which reported declines from the preceding month. 1923, however, stocks were generally larger this year, aver aging for the district a gain of 11.1 per cent. A study of average sales during the first four months of 1924 with average stocks during the same period for forty-three firms shows twenty-five inventoried proportionately higher than in 1923, and twenty-three higher than in 1922. Out standing orders continued the slightly downward trend apparent since January, the average for April being 7.1 per cent of purchases during 1923. SPECIALTY STORE TRADE Marked expansion during April in wearing apparel sales was apparent from reports made to this bank by women’s specialty and men’s clothing stores, all of which showed gains over the preceding month. Comparisons with a year ago also are favorable. In general, inventories were re duced during the month. CHAIN STORE TRADE Chain store sales during April vary in comparisons with the preceding month, half the systems reporting regularly to this bank showing increases over March, and half decreases. For the majority of firms, sales were larger than during the same month of previous years. DEPARTMENT STORE TRADE M AIL ORDER TRADE April sales of Chicago’s two largest mail order houses increased over March by 7.6 per cent, a contrast to the usual decreases at this time, and largely the result of Easter trading. Compared with the corresponding month in pre vious years, combined sales were 10.2 per cent ahead of last year, and 53.3 per cent and 48.1 per cent larger than in 1922 and 1921, respectively. The gain of 9.4 over 1920 is the first noted this year. With two exceptions, April sales of department stores reporting to this bank exceeded the March volume of busi ness. This expansion, reflecting the late Easter, compares with a similar increase in 1922, and, though less, corre sponds to the March gains in 1921 and 1923, in both of which years Easter came early. Eighty per cent of the firms reported increases also over April, 1923, amounting on a daily average basis, however, to only 5 per cent, the unseasonable weather this year tend ing to postpone the usual spring stimulus to trade. Cumu lative sales for the first four months of 1924 are 7.3 per cent ahead of a year ago. Collections for the same period average 45.0 per cent of accounts outstanding, as compared with 46.7 per cent, the 1923 ratio, and 43.6 per cent two years ago. For April alone, three-fourths of the stores reported heavier collections than a year ago or during March. With net inventory changes during the month about evenly divided between decreases and increases, aggregate stocks on hand for the group remained practically un changed from the March 31 level. Compared with April 30, TRANSPORTATION Curtailment in commercial activity, as shown by reports from industries generally accepted as indicators of cur rent trends, is reflected in the course of freight carloadings. After advancing to a peak on March 1 for the first quarter of the year, traffic has since trended downward at prac tically the same rate at which it increased during the cor responding period of last year. An analysis, however, of the cumulative freight carloadings since January 1 indicates that this recession has not made the comparison unfavorable with traffic conditions of a year ago. During thirteen con secutive weeks of this year the cumulative volume of freight carloadings exceeded that of the same period of 1923, al though this condition was slightly reversed with the addi tion of the report for the week ending May 3. During the first quarter of 1924, orders were placed for 72,955 freight cars compared with 76,599 for the first quarter in 1923. The increased number of surplus cars, idle be cause of smaller carloadings, has brought about a reduc tion in railroad buying from the exceptionally large pur chases made during February. Page 11 June MONTHLY BUSINESS INDICES COMPUTED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF CHICAGO (Index numbers express a comparison of unit or dollar volume for the month indicated, using the monthly average for 1919 as a base, unless other wise indicated. Where figures for latest month shown are partly, estimated on basis of returns received to date, revisions will be given the following month. Data refer to the Seventh Federal Reserve district unless otherwise noted.) lo. of April March April March Mrms 1924 1924 1923 1923 Meat Packing— (U. S.)— Sales (in dollars)1 ................ Casting Foundries— Shipments (in dollars)......... Stoves and Furnaces— Shipments (in dollars)......... Agricultural Pumps— (U. S . ) - 63 85.7 87.2 86.8 91.5 29 97.5 96.9 101.5 105.0 19 S9.4 97.0 86.4 98.6 20 99.6 103.2 100.0 105.8 131 131 131 114.6 176.8 124.1 112.6 133.5 115.7 123.9 91.0 119.0 125.7 68.6 117.2 Agricultural Machinery & Equipment— (U. S.)2 — * Furniture5 — Orders (in dollars).... Shipments (in dollars} 23 23 89.3 130.9 142.2 165.2 120.7 148.6 162.2 168.4 Shoes4 — Production (in pairs). Shipments (in pairs). 36 36 146.8 153.1 152.1 160.3 158.6 152.5 179.1 189.7 Freight Carloadings— (U. S . ) Grain and Grain Products.... Live Stock.............................. Coal ......................................... Coke ........................................ Forest Products .................. Ore ......................................... Merchandise and Miscellaneous .................. Total ...................................... Iron and Steel— Pig Iron Production:5 Illinois and Indiana......... United States .................... Steel Ingot Production— (U. S.)s .......................... Unfilled Orders U. S. Steel Corp.................................. 96.6 89.7 76.0 120.8 133.4 55.7 104.7 92.4 100.3 145.2 142.0 31.4 96.7 94.4 108.6 171.5 134.5 58.4 103.6 92.0 112.8 166.5 130.8 36.6 124.6 109.3 123.1 113.7 125.5 117.4 119.4 113.7 147.2 128.6 152.8 133.4 139.4 141.1 129.5 135.7 115.5 142.9 139.9 132.9 70.2 79.8 121.6 123.5 Automobiles— (U. S.)— Production: Passenger Cars ............... Trucks ................................ 243.9 135.3 252.1 127.9 248.9 142.3 231.3 131.8 Shipments:* Carloads ............................ Driveaways ........................ Boat2 .................................. 236.1 93.3 119.6 260.2 105.9 14.6 220.3 154.1 148.2 215.0 160.5 56.3 Sales (7th District)— New Automobiles ........... New Automobile Trucks.. Parts and Accessories..... 166.0 70.9 74.9 177.1 56.5 60.3 91.0 44.7 81.2 133.6 50.7 69.9 140.8 148.2 333.1 351.2 39.4 28.9 44.7 52.9 Stamp Tax Collections'— Sales or Transfer of Capital Stock .................................. Sales of Produce on Exchange— Futures ......... No. of April March April March Firms 1924 1924 1923 1923 Electric Energy— Output of Plants (K W H ).... Industrial Sales (K W H ).... 10 10 155.7 172.5 171.9 177.6 143.6 158.2 156.1 156.4 Wholesale Trade— Net Sales (in dollars): Groceries ............................ Hardware .......................... Shoes .................................. Drugs .................................. Dry Goods ...................... 40 21 7 14 13 71.8 117.8 70.5 100.7 82.7 69.5 106.1 58.1 100.9 89.1 79.1 115.9 59.1 100.6 84.2 73.1 114.7 86.5 111.2 104.8 Retail Trade (Department Stores)— Net Sales (in dollars): Chicago .............................. Detroit ................................ Des Moines ................ ..... Indianapolis ...................... Milwaukee ........................ Outside .............................. Seventh District .............. 9 138.7 4 163.9 3 119.2 4 163.8 5 40 118.0 65 145.9 127.3 137.5 109.9 136.4 127.5 96.9 123.2 118.0 150.1 115.1 138.5 142.0 107.5 132.5 133.5 137.9 115.1 155.1 133.0 106.0 129.5 132 114 115 106 119 103 124 112 29 210 10 145 6 178 5 178 4 93 4 208 3 130 198 149 118 163 99 181 136 180 135 125 142 99 159 125 205 145 145 162 96 187 135 73.2 119.6 32.9 86.0 196.3 55.2 85.8 112.4 69.3 99.2 166.8 72.0 80.2 107.0 39.0 78.0 112.3 37.8 87.1 98.2 40.3 94.2 109.2 41.1 93.4 101.5 75.3 87.1 182.0 121.1 169.2 109.9 177.4 136.9 168.3 108.9 343.9 385.7 339.8 233.7 305.9 223.6 275.2 291.0 224.6 256.7 310.4 228.4 288.2 296.9 300.7 269.0 307.6 711.9 245.9 283.6 207.6 301.6 202.0 259.8 126.8 186.3 211.3 207.8 256.0 172.5 165.6 216.8 260.8 316.0 179.7 289.7 215.4 257.8 198.5 ' 252.2 256.8 386.3 243.5 349.8 231.6 284.1 160.8 193.2 178.9 243.0 154.3 123.6 152.7 188.4 172.4 253.2 Retail Trade— (U. S.)— Department Stores ............... Mail Order Houses................ Chain Stores: Grocery .............................. Drug .................. ................. Shoe .................................... Five and Ten Cent............. Music .................................. Candy .................................. Cigar .................................. U. S. Primary Markets'— Grain Receipts: Oats .................................... Corn ................................... Wheat ................................ Grain Shipments: Oats .................................... Corn .................................... Wheat ................................ Flour Production— (In barrels)............................ Building Construction— Contracts awarded (in dollars): Residential ........................ Total .................................... Permits: Chicago .............. Number C ost..... Indianapolis .......Number C o st..... Des Moines .........Number C o s t..... Detroit ................ Number C o st..... Milwaukee ...........Number C ost..... Others (45) .......Number C o st..... Fifty Cities...........Number C o st..... 333 4 42 1. Monthly average 1920-1921=100; 2. Monthly average 1923=100; 3. Monthly average 1919-1920-1921=100; 4. Monthly average of mean of production and shipments in 1919=100; 5. Average daily production; 6. Monthly average 1920=100; 7. Base figures (1920) partly estimated; 8. First Illinois internal revenue district; 9. Monthly average receipts 1919=100. Page 12 June