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1

SINESS CONDITION

I

yBRARY

A REVIEW BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF CHICAGO

t •

Volume 23

DECEMBER

1.

1940
19 4 0

Number 11

THIS MONTH

District Summary
Industrial Activity
Employment and Payrolls
v-.:;..

Trade Trends

tmm

!8l|

The Agricultural Situation
Credit and Finance
Current Events
National Summary

I.1:

' .:

mSMmm

HKi
HMM81

FRANK D. WILLIAMS, CLASS A DIRECTOR







Frank D. Williams, Class A Director
Member banks in the Seventh district with less than $200,000 capital and
surplus are represented on the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank’s Board of Direc­
tors by Mr. Frank D. Williams, Executive Vice President and Cashier of The
First Capital National Bank of Iowa City, Iowa. Mr. Williams has been a Class
A director of this Federal Reserve bank since late April 1934.
Mr. Williams, who was born in Galt, Iowa, was connected with the banking
business even before he completed his education. In the summer following his
graduation from the Hampton, Iowa, high school, he worked in the State Savings
Bank of Hampton. Subsequently, he attended Grinnell College, Grinnell, Iowa,
for four years, and then again worked in the State Savings Bank of Hampton.
In 1917 he enlisted in the United States Navy and was later commissioned an
ensign; he received his discharge in 1919. Immediately thereafter he was made
assistant cashier of the Hampton bank in which capacity he served for more than
three years. While Mr. Williams retained this position in Hampton, he was also
attending the State University of Iowa over a part of the period.
At the beginning of 1923, Mr. Williams became cashier of the First National
Bank. Sheffield, Iowa, which position he filled for over six years. He next held
for four years the office of cashier and later of president of the Iowa State Bank,
Algona, Iowa. Mr. Williams since that time has been Executive Vice President
and Cashier of the First Capital State Bank, now The First Capital National
Bank, of Iowa City, Iowa, as previously indicated.

District Summary of Business Conditions
ONTINUING the expansion evident in earlier fall
October volume of construction contracts awarded in the
months, output of Seventh district industry has re­ Seventh district held at the high level established in recent
mained at an unusually high level. With the bulk of con­
months. Total awards were 50 per cent greater than last
tracts under the defense program already let, the district is October, non-residential contracts figuring more prominently
starting work on its more than half-billion dollar share of in the aggregate than in other recent months. For the year
total defense contracts. Further marked gains have been through October, residential contracts were about one third
shown in employment and wage earners’ incomes, particu­ higher than for the same 1939 period, while total contracts
larly in the durable goods industries where payrolls have were heavier by 10 per cent.
already passed the 1937 peak. Though declining seasonally
in some instances, sales of commodities at retail have been Trade—Total department store sales for October were 4
maintained at favorable levels. Bolstered by generally higher per cent larger than in the month last year, but on a daily
prices for agricultural products, cash income of district average basis trade was at about the same level. For the
farmers has been running substantially ahead of last year. three weeks ended November 16, the larger district depart­

C

Industry—Further substantial month-to-month gains were
recorded during October in employment of Seventh district
industries. Over the period, the number of workers was up
4 per cent, while wages gained 7 per cent. Since last July
the Seventh district has shown a rise of 15 per cent in em­
ployment and 25 per cent in amount of wages paid. The
durable goods industries have particularly contributed to
gains this fall. Month-to-month trends this year have been
remarkably similar to those of last year, so that compari­
sons with 1939 have been little changed over recent months;
total industrial employment was 10 per cent and payrolls
16 per cent above last October. The level of employment
and payrolls is at present close to the post-depression high
reached in the fall of 1937.
With defense requirements now playing an increasingly
important role, the primary steel industry has continued to
operate at a sustained high level. Since the Labor Day week,
rate of steel ingot operations in the Chicago district has not
fallen below 97 per cent of computed capacity and for the
third week in November was up to 100 per cent. There has
been a steady lengthening of delivery schedules; little evi­
dence has been found of excessive building-up of steel
stock piles by important industrial consumers. Pressure on
the machine tool industry for increased output continues
strong, and almost all sections of the heavy industries are
operating at high levels.
With volume of new business at casting foundries con­
tinuing an upward trend, production during October was
accelerated over September by one third at steel foundries
and by one fourth at malleable casting plants. Although
business at stove and furnace factories was off somewhat
from earlier high levels, shipments continued to show sea­
sonal expansion and were 16 per cent greater than in
October 1939.
Production and sales of 1941-model automobiles have
been considerably better than previously expected. October
automobile output was the highest in history for the month,
as well as the largest for any single month since June 1937.
Sales of used cars have also been good, but used-car stocks
are considered somewhat unwieldy by the trade.
With operations at better than 90 per cent of capacity in
October, shipments by district furniture manufacturers were
up 16 per cent over last year. There was a substantial rise
over September in production and shipments at paper mills,
but activity was somewhat lower than the high level reached
in October 1939. Output of soft coal mines in the area de­
clined sharply, following a building-up of inventories prior
to the price rise this fall. A seasonal expansion was shown
in petroleum refinery activity.



ment stores showed a sales gain of 9 per cent over the com­
parable 1939 period. There were seasonal declines during
October in retail sales of shoes and of furniture, but shoe
sales were 4 per cent greater than a year ago, while the retail
furniture business was 8 per cent better than in October
1939. Rises in retail stocks were of a seasonal nature; inven­
tories at the end of the month were on about the same level
as last year. District wholesale trade showed some increase
in October and, as a whole, was 9 per cent greater than
last year.

Agriculture—District corn yields have turned out much

better than had been expected earlier in the season, but the
indicated soybean crop is lower. With livestock slaughter
during October at an unusually high level—hog slaughter

SEVENTH
OCTOBER

DISTRICT BUSINESS ACTIVITY
1940 COMPARED WITH OCTOBER
50 40 50 20 10

INDUSTRY
STEEL PRODUCTION*
MFG. EMPLOYMENT.........
MFG. PAYROLLS..........................
BUILDING CONTRACTS
...
MALLEABLE CASTING SHIPMENTS.
STEEL CASTING SHIPMENTS.......
FURNITURE SHIPMENTS.......
PAPER SHIPMENTS............._..
AUTOMOBILE PR00..U.S.......
BIT. COAL PROD........................ .

0

1939

10 20 SO 40 50 60 TO 80

PER CENT
INCREASE

PER CENT
DECREASE
■

■■
■HHBH

AGRICULTURE
FARM CASH INCOME*
MEAT-PACKING PR0D..U.S...
CHEESE PROD.,WIS................
BUTTER PRODUCTION.........
CATTLE RECEIPTS........
HOG RECEIPTS.......................

■___

TRADE
0EPT. STORE SALES...............
DEPT. STORE STOCKS........... .
RET. SHOE SALES....................
RET. FURNITURE SALES........
WHOLESALE TRADE..................

■
i
■
■

FINANCE
MEMBER BANK RESERVES!..
REP. HERB. Bit. DEHAND DEPOSITS, AOJ.!.....
REP. MEMB. BK. LOANS.!..........
BANK DEBITS.............................

■
MM
gHB
IHH

1. Ingot rate, Chicago district, week ending November 23. 2. September
data. 3. As of November 20.
Pag* 1

being in record volume for the month—meat-packing pro­
duction was larger than in any previous October and 16
per cent greater than in the 1939 period. Production and
consumption of dairy products have been in heavy volume
for the season. Prices of most district farm products have
held fairly steady, although there were sell-offs in principal
grains in the third week of November. Prices of major dairy
products have increased somewhat more than seasonally.

Industrial Activity
Defense Contracts—About $1,500,000,000 in contracts
was let under the National Defense Program between midOctober and November 16, swelling the total for such awards
to around $9,000,000,000. Of this latter amount, roughly
$750,000,000 has been let to firms in the Seventh district.
The United States total does not include approximately
$1,000,000,000 allocated by the Navy Department for arma­
ment on naval vessels being constructed in private yards.
During the period from October 15 to November 16,
$210,000,000 in contracts was awarded to Seventh district
firms, or about 17 per cent of the national total for the
period. Over one half covered one award to the Ford Motor
Company for the manufacture of airplane engines. Also let
were contracts for additional facilities at the new explosives
plant to be built outside Chicago, $11,000,000; for aircraft
armament, $13,000,000; for a new shell-loading plant,
$11,500,000; for ammunition components, $23,000,000;
for assorted construction work, $13,000,000; for trucks and
tractors, $5,500,000; and for loading artillery ammunition,
$14,000,000.

Steel Production and Consumption—Until recently
defense business had not been so important a factor in the
steel industry of the Chicago district as in some other areas,
a strong domestic demand being chiefly responsible for main­
taining a high level of operations. Currently, however,
orders for defense work are coming in at an accelerated rate
and general buying for domestic uses continues heavy, so
that primary producers of steel in this district are booked
at least through the end of this year and deliveries are
lengthening steadily. In the third full week of November,
steel ingot output bad reached a rate equal to 100 per cent
of computed practical capacity; it had not been under 97
per cent of capacity since the week containing the Labor
Day holiday. October business at sales offices was decidedly
above the September volume. The first half of November saw
a very slight easing in demand, but it is believed this was
due to the desire on the part of consumers to maintain
orderly buying and to give precedence to defense business.
Mill backlogs continue to grow and deliveries have been
extended to almost three months on certain of the more
popular items of steel. Structural steel has been exception­
ally active in the recent demand, while carbon and alloy
bars still remain most prominent in the buying. Hot and
cold rolled sheets also have become of increasing impor­
tance in current bookings, with household appliance manu­
facturers and the automotive industry figuring largely in
this demand. Purchases by the railroads in this area have
been sizable, and among other heavy users of steel products
at present are agricultural implement firms, manufacturers
of heavy machinery, the building industry, tank contractors,
drop forgers, and, as has been indicated, structural fabri­
cators. Steel warehouses, whose business has been excellent
and where inventories are being built up, likewise have been
active buyers of steel.
Faye 2




Credit and Finance—Loan volume at weekly reporting
member banks in the district has continued its upward trend,
reaching 1,059 million dollars by November 20. This rep­
resented a gain of 12 per cent since early June and was close
to the peak reached in 1937. The high-grade bond market
has been quite firm, and the Federal Reserve banks have
disposed of some of their holdings of Government securities
during recent weeks.
RATE

OF

STEEL

CHICAGO

PER CENT DF CAPACITY

INGOT

DISTRICT

PRODUCTION
PER CENT OF CAPACITY

By weeks. Source: Iron Age.

Although an increasing amount of current bookings is
for first-quarter delivery and there is definite evidence of
considerable buying of steel products for inventory-building
purposes, it is believed that with few exceptions inventories
are little more than adequate for regular business purposes.
A number of steel-consuming concerns in this district would
have to increase their stocks of steel, if much defense work
is obtained. Present buying policy of steel users apparently
depends largely on the delivery situation, for as schedules
continue to lengthen, steel users feel it necessary to anticipate
their requirements somewhat further in advance. Another
factor is the prospect that defense needs will become increas­
ingly great, and it is hoped not to hamper deliveries on such
business later by purchases for domestic purposes. Among
steel consumers that have expanded their raw material stocks
recently are the automobile industry and its suppliers, agri­
cultural implement makers, manufacturers of machine tools
and of heavy machinery, miscellaneous users of steel, and
the steel warehouses. It is indicated that 1941 consumption
of steel will also be very high and in many instances on an
even larger basis than currently, especially in view of ex­
pected defense business to be received.
Makers of machine tools in this area are meeting with
increasing pressure, as defense business becomes ever
greater and general demand remains strong. The delivery
situation is a growing problem and lack of an adequate
supply of skilled workers in this industry is a complicating
factor.
Prices of rail steel items were raised in mid-November
by certain companies in the Chicago district area. Scrap
iron and steel prices have been strong and recently have
moved upward, although trading has remained rather dull.
October production of pig iron in the Illinois and Indiana
district was in record volume, on a daily average basis, sur­
passing slightly the previous peak reached in June 1929.

STEEL AND MALLEABLETCASTINOS
SEVENTH DI8TRICT

Steel Castings:
Orders booked (tons)...
Orders booked (dollars)
Shipments (tons)............
Shipments (dollars).......
Production (tons)...........

October 1940
Per Cent Change
from
September October
1940
1939
..
+38.9
—16.1
..
+37.5
—15.3
..
+23.8
+41.3
..
+18.0
+42.0
.
+36.4
+26.8

Malleable Castings:
Orders booked (tons)...........................................................................
Orders booked (dollars)......................................................................
Shipments (tons)...................................................................................
Shipments (dollars)..............................................................................
Production (tons)...................................................................................

+49.7
+47.0
+18.3
+19.9
+25.1

AUTOMOB ILES

+26.9
+25.0
+15.8
+18.6
+10.0

Following two months of substantial increases, orders
booked by reporting stove and furnace companies in the
Seventh district fell off 25 per cent in the aggregate for
October from the preceding month and they also totaled
2 per cent smaller than a year ago. Shipments, on the other
hand, continued a seasonally expanding trend, rising 19
per cent over the September volume, and exceeded those of
last October by 16 per cent. Production followed the trend
of shipments. There was some further reduction of inven­
tories between the end of September and October 31.

Automobiles—Reflecting the high level of employment
and some anticipatory buying in view of possible emergency
defense requirements later, production and sales of 1941model automobiles have been unexpectedly great. Factory
output of new cars during October was the heaviest for the
period in history and larger than for any month since June
1937. There were 421,214 passenger cars and 72,009 trucks
manufactured in the United States, which figures represent
gains of 88 and 61 per cent, respectively, over the September
volumes, and of 67 and 17 per cent over October a year ago.
By early November 1940 production of automobiles to date
had surpassed that for the entire calendar year 1939.
Although November has three less working days than did
October, it is anticipated that at the rate of output prevail­
ing through the first half of the period, production for the
entire calendar month will fall only a little below that for
October. Despite unusually heavy retail sales of new pas­
senger cars, field stocks are being augmented in most in­
stances because of the exceptionally large factory production.
However, supplies of several popular models still are in­
adequate to meet current demand. Retail selling of trucks
has been on the increase and together with requirements for
military purposes has somewhat complicated the situation
in this industry.
The movement of used cars has been good over the coun­
try, but field stocks are considered rather unwieldy. Stocks
of late-model used cars, in particular, are heavy and trade-in
values given on such cars have been relatively great.
In the Seventh district, sales of new automobiles rose
sharply during October over September, both in the whole­
sale and retail field, and were substantially larger than in
October last year. The number of cars sold by reporting
dealers rose 83 per cent over September and increased 43
per cent over a year ago. Stocks of new cars, on the other
hand, also expanded considerably—almost 50 per cent in
number—between September 30 and October 31, and on
the latter date were twice as heavy as in 1939 at the same
time. Used-car sales in this area gained over those in the
month last year by better than 20 per cent. Dealer stocks of
used cars exceeded the October 31, 1939 level by one third,
while value of such inventories increased to an even greater
extent in the comparison.



PASSENGER

i93a

1939

1940

Number of new passenger automobiles produced and registered each month in
the United States. October 1940 registrations estimated. Sources: Production,
United States Department of Commerce; Registrations, R. L. Polk & Company.

Building—The downturn for October in construction con­
tract volume was somewhat smaller in the Seventh district
than has usually been the case in other years, amounting to
but 3 per cent. Residential awards, which made up nearly
one half of the district total, fell below the September level,
but except for the preceding month were the heaviest for
any corresponding period since the summer of 1929. Awards
for commercial and industrial building continued to expand,
totaling more than twice the volume for October last year.
Less impressive, but showing gains none the less, were the
comparisons for public works and utility projects. About one
third of the October contracts were publicly financed, a
somewhat higher proportion than has generally prevailed
so far this year but lower than the 42 per cent of all awards
in the first ten months of 1939 that were publicly financed.
BUILDING CONTRACTS AWARDED
SEVENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT
Period

Total
Contracts

Residential
Contracts

October 1940.....................................................................
Change from September 1940..................................
Change from October 1939........................................
First ten months of 1940................................................
Change from same period in 1939............................

$ 67,270,000
-2.7%
+50.5%
*536,819,000
+10.5%

i 31,390,000
-8.4%
+40.1%
*237,628,000
+32.5%

Data furnished by the F. W. Dodge Corporation.

On a seasonally adjusted basis, distribution of basic build­
ing materials increased during October, particularly that
of wholesale lumber and cement. Prices of building mate­
rials, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, advanced
about 2 per cent in October.

Furniture—The dollar amount of orders booked during
October by Seventh district furniture manufacturers closely
approximated that of the preceding month and totaled 7
per cent heavier than in the corresponding year-ago period.
Shipments expanded 16 per cent and were this same per­
centage above those of last October. A slightly greater vol­
ume of shipments than orders, plus cancellations, reduced
backlogs 5 per cent between September 30 and the end of
October. Factory operations averaged over 90 per cent of
capacity in October, several firms producing at or above
previously computed practical capacity rates.
Freight-Car Loadings—Daily average freight-car load­
ings originating on the lines of 21 railroads in the Seventh
district fell, during October, slightly below the high level
prevailing a year earlier, although the cumulative total for
Pago 3

the first ten months of 1940 continued well ahead of 1939.
Loadings of coal and of grain in October were much below
the year-ago levels, the former due to inventory accumula­
tion by consumers prior to introduction on October 1 of
minimum F.O.B. mine prices and the latter to smaller move­
ments this year of the principal grains. Reflecting a gen­
erally higher level of industrial activity, loadings of coke
continued substantially above 1939.

Coal Production—Daily average output of bituminous
coal in the Seventh district declined rather sharply during
October, whereas an increase of about 15 per cent over
September is normally expected at this season. Production
had been at a high rate during the latter part of the sum­
mer, as consumers built up inventories in anticipation of
price increases after October 1. Following such rises in
quotations, resulting from the establishment of minimum
F.O.B. mine prices under the Bituminous Coal Act of 1937,
output diminished, both for the Seventh district and for
the nation as a whole, as consumers made more extensive
use of inventories previously built up. Cumulative produc­
tion of coal in the district for the first ten months of the
year exceeded 1939 by 7 per cent.
Petroleum Refining—-The rate of refinery operations in
the Seventh district expanded during October in about the
normal seasonal proportions, gasoline production exceeding
the September figure by 3 per cent. However, the margin of
increase over 1939 has been narrowed considerably in the
past two months, as comparisons are made against a sharply
rising trend in the fall months last year. Daily average con
sumption of gasoline in this area is estimated to have de­
clined from September, with the result that stocks at re­
fineries rose somewhat further.

Employment and Payrolls
The rising trends in Seventh district employment and
payroll volumes continued in October. This marked the
third successive month of increases in these highly signifi­
cant indicators of economic activity. The number of workEMPLOYMENT AND PAYROLLS SEVENTH FEDERAL
RESERVE DISTRICT
Week of October 15, 1940
Industrial Group

Per Cent Change
from Sept. 15, 1940

Wage
No. of
No. of Payments No. of
Wage
Reporting Employes
Employes Payments
(000
Omitted)
Firms

Dubablk Goods:

1,741
383
254
439
2,817

482,021
397,176
19,932
49,676
948,805

$15,278
15,531
524
1,128
32,461

+3.5
+9.5
+0.7
+3.3
+5.8

+4.4
+17.2
+2.2
+6.3
+10.2

Textiles and Products..........
Food and Products...............
Chemical Products...............
Leather Products..................
Rubber Products...................
Paper and Printing................
Total........................................

371
1,066
303
170
33
695
2,638

62,916
122,409
36,670
27,281
16,404
79,021
344,701

1,233
3,030
1,124
592
408
2,359
8,746

+0.6
-4.3
+1.6
+0.5
+7.8
+1.5
-0.6

—0.6
—1.6
+2.9
+1.1
+2.1
+3.2
+0.7

Total Mfg., 10 Groups..............

5,455

1,293,506

41,207

+4.0

4,962
1,085
47
730

139,566
103,560
7,920
13,222

3,067
3,567
202
457

+3.7
+0.7
+10.9
-4.1

+1.3
+1.9
+13.1
—5.5

The margin of increase over 1939 which prevailed during
September in aggregate district volumes was maintained in
October. Employment was about 10 per cent above the corre­
sponding 1939 level, while payrolls stood 16 per cent higher.
Relationships between this year and 1937 were little
changed; employment was 2 per cent lower than three years
ago, while wage payments were larger by the same
percentage.

Trade Trends
Department Stores—Aggregate volume of Seventh dis­
trict department store trade was up 2 per cent in October
over the preceding month and exceeded that of the corre­
sponding 1939 month by 4 per cent. Owing to a greater
number of trading days in the current period, however,
sales on a daily average basis declined 10 per cent in the
former and increased only fractionally in the latter com­
parison. Following special promotional sales in September,
Detroit department store trade was off more than 20 per
cent in the aggregate for October from a month previous.
Business of Chicago stores increased 12 per cent, that of
Indianapolis and Milwaukee firms rose 5 and 4 per cent,
respectively, and the total for stores in other cities showed
a 12 per cent expansion.
Data covering the three-week period ended November 16
indicate sales increases of 5 per cent in Chicago, 16 per

+8.0

Merchandising............................
Public Utilities..........................
Coal Mining................................
Construction...............................

ers employed in the district has risen 15 per cent since this
last July, while their total remunerations have increased by
25 per cent. Data for October were strongly influenced by
the durable goods group, particularly by the automobile
and its related industries. In the latter, increases of 10 and
17 per cent, respectively, were recorded over September in
employment and payrolls, as the industry swung into full
volume production on the 1941-model cars. Less spectacular
gains were noted in the metals (largely steel) and in the
wood products groups. In the non-durable classification,
little net change was recorded. Seasonal decreases in the out­
put of a number of important food products, especially
canned goods, more than offset an expansion in the meat­
packing industry. Consequently, net declines took place in
the food products group, which counteracted rises in most
of the other non-durable goods industries. The chemical,
rubber products, and paper industries continued to add to
their employment and payroll volumes, while slight change
was shown in the textiles group. Among the non-manufactur­
ing groups, seasonal influences were generally operative,
except in the public utilities where gains were evident,
contrary to the usual trend at this season.

Metals and Products1...........
Vehicles...................................
Stone, Clay, and Glass........
Wood Products......................
Total........................................

DEPARTMENT STORE TRADE IN OCTOBER 1940

Non-Dubable Goods:

Total Non-Mfg., 4 Groups.......

6,824

264,268

7,293

+2.3

+1.4

Total, 14 Groups.......................

12,279

1,567,774

48,500

+3.7

+7.0

*Other than vehicles.
...
.
Data furnished by State agencies of Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

Pmf 4




Locality

Per Cent Change
October 1940
from
October 1939

Per Cent
Change
First Ten
Months 1940
from Same
Period 1939

Ratio of October
Collections to
Accounts
Outstanding
End of September

Net Sales

Stocks End
of Month

Net Sales

1940

1939

Chicago.....................
Detroit......................
Fort Wayne.............
Indianapolis.............
Milwaukee................
Peoria........................
Other Cities*...........

+4.1
+8.3
—3.2
+5.5
+3.9
—9.4
+0.1

+3.2
+0.3

47.4
49.8
38'.8
39.7

49.2
48.9

+6.6
—5.2
+2.8

+5.4
+8.5
+6.3
+7.7
+5.9
+2.2
+4.6

33.2

3i’.6

7th District.............

+4.4

+1.8

+6.1

43.7

43.5

♦Include Fort Wayne and Peoria.

37'. 8
39.8

Department store stocks rose further during October by
8 per cent, which is in accordance with seasonal trend, and
totaled 2 per cent above those held on October 31, 1939.
This latter gain may be largely discounted, however, by the
somewhat higher prices that prevail this year in various
merchandise groups. Rate of turnover continued higher than
last year.

CROP PRODUCTION
Estimated by the United States Department of Agriculture on November 1 Condition
(In thousands of bushels, unless otherwise specified)
Seventh District
United States
PrePre­
liminary Final
Average liminary Final
Average
1940
1939
1929-38
1940
1939
1929-38
Corn...........................
955,812 1,132,703
849,234 2,433,523 2,619,137 2,299,342
Soybeans.................
61,691a
69,612a 21,514 a
79,198
87,409
27,318
White Potatoes
40,591
40,211
50,703
393,931
364,016
366,949
Beans (dry edible)1.
3,961b
4,529b
3,995b
15,130
13,962
13,086
Onions'......................
2,938c
2,804c
3,028c
15,142
17,840
14,157
Sugar Beets*............
l,062d
1,033d
792d
11,633
10,773
8,937
Cabbage*..................
219c
167c
205c
1,289
1,137
1,134
Buckwheat...............
685c
629c
805c
5,904
5,739
7,617
Cranberries3.............
119e
108e
62e
570
704
590

Retail Shoes—The usual sharp decline was recorded dur­

'In thousands of 100-lb. sacks. 2 In thousands of tons. 3In thousands of barrels,
a—Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa, b—Michigan and Wisconsin, c—Five States including
Seventh district, d—Michigan, e—Wisconsin.

cent in Detroit, 11 per cent each in Indianapolis and Mil­
waukee, and 9 per cent for the district as a whole over the
corresponding weeks a year ago.

ing October in the retail shoe trade of the Seventh district,
sales of reporting dealers and department stores totaling
almost 30 per cent below those of a month previous. Such
sales increased 4 per cent in the aggregate over last Octo­
ber. Retail inventories of shoes, though rising 3 per cent
between September 30 and October 31, remained slightly less
on the latter date than a year earlier.

Retail Furniture—A 15 per cent decline, largely sea­
sonal, took place in October from September in sales of
furniture and housefurnishings by Seventh district dealers
and department stores. Since the majority of reporting firms
had heavier sales in this comparison, declines in the total
reflected lower sales by a few large firms. An increase of 8
per cent was shown over last October. Stocks of furniture
and housefurnishings were expanded by 4 per cent in the
aggregate by October 31 over the end of September but
continued only a little above the corresponding 1939 level.
Wholesale Trade—In general, distribution of commodi­
ties at wholesale by houses located in the Seventh district
and reporting to the Bureau of the Census rose during Octo­
ber over the preceding month. The only major group to show
a decline in the comparison was the jewelry trade, and total
sales by all lines were up 8 per cent. As compared with a
year ago, also, most wholesale trade phases recorded in­
creases, the gain in the aggregate amounting to 9 per cent.
Wholesale inventory trends varied considerably as between
the end of September and October 31; with the exception
of groceries and meats, stocks on the latter date remained
somewhat heavier than a year earlier.

Grain Marketing—Trends in domestic wheat prices have
continued to be largely dominated by the effect of the loan
program in reducing the supply of free wheat. There was
an almost uninterrupted price advance from the middle of
August until October 24 when, after the loan program had
forced wheat prices up to a level which represented in most
areas the basic price plus accrued charges, the market re­
acted under weak milling and flour trade and a decline in
the open interest. In November prices again recovered, al­
though there was a substantial sell-off in the third week of
the month. Very little increase took place in country mar­
ketings of wheat following price advances, and substantial
amounts of the grain went under loan; by mid-month the
total under loan passed 250 million bushels. A revival in
flour demand and the continued holding attitude of farm­
ers likewise sustained prices. The extent to which North
American wheat prices are being held above “world” prices
by Government support is indicated by the export indem­
nity which would be required to export wheat to Europe.
The Department of Agriculture estimates that as of midNovember this would be about 31 cents per bushel from
Gulf ports.
PRICES

OF

FARM

PRODUCTS

DOLLARS PER 1QQ POUNOS

AT

CHICAGO

. DOLLARS PER IPO POUNOS

WHOLESALE TRADE IN OCTOBER 1940
Commodity
Drugs and Drug Sundries...........
Electrical Goods...........................
Groceries.........................................
Hardware.......................................
Jewelry............................................
Meats and Meat Products...........
Paper and Its Products...............
Tobacco and Its Products...........
Miscellaneous..................................

Per Cent Change from Same Month Last Year
Accounts
Net Sales
Stocks
Outstanding Collections
+ 9.3
+ 3.2
+13.3
+14.3
+ 0.6
+ 4.9
— 2.3
+ 9.9
+ 8.9

+
+
—
+
+
—
+
+
+

2.4
5.3
3.0
4.7
5.7
2.1
2.6
6.1
3.9

+ 6.4
+ 3.6
— 1.7
+12.1
+19.1
— 2.9
— 1.6
+ 4.9
+ 7.0

CENTS PER BUSHEL

+ 6.5
+ 1.9
+ 2.5
+11.2
+ 7.2
+ 2.7
— 0.4
+ 12.6
+ 5.3

Data furnished by Bureau of the Census, United States Department of Commerce.

The Agricultural Situation
Crops—Husking returns have indicated higher corn yields
per acre than had been expected on October 1. Final out­
turn of the Seventh district crop, therefore, was estimated
as 40 million bushels greater on November 1 than had
been indicated a month earlier. On the other hand, soybean
production was off another 2 million bushels over the
month, and the potato crop was 3 million bushels less than
had previously been estimated.



CENTS PER POUND

1937

CENTS PER POUND

1338

1339

1940

By weeks, 1937 through November 23, 1940.
Page 5

In late October and early November, corn prices weak­
ened a little but continued considerably higher than last
year. By mid-month prices had improved somewhat; new
corn was beginning to move in fairly large volume, and
quality, while not so good as in the preceding three years,
turned out better than had been expected, a substantial
proportion of receipts grading No. 3 or better. On the basis
of the revised Government crop estimate, the total supply of
corn available for the crop year beginning October 1 is
3,135 million bushels, which except for last year is the
largest supply since 1932. Announcement of the new corn
loan basis of 61 cents on November 19 apparently was well
discounted in advance by the trade.
Conditions in the Argentine have continued very serious.
November com contracts at Buenos Aires went as low as 23
cents in early November, reflecting a surplus of 250 million
bushels and almost no export outlet. Some Governmentowned corn is to be sold for use as generating fuel.
MOVEMENT OF GRAIN AT INTERIOR PRIMARY MARKETS
IN THE UNITED STATES
(In thousands of bushels)
October
October September October 1930-39
1940
1940
1939
Avg.
Wheat:
Receipts.........................................................
17,983
38,427
19,584
22,641
Shipments......................................................
15,597
17,494
16,966
19,483
Com:
Receipts.........................................................
37,115
29,995
32,110
20,868
Shipments......................................................
19,093
12,472
13,204
10,694
Oats:
Receipts...............................................................
4,228 6,968
6,262
6,864
Shipments...........................................................
4,249 6,941
6,193
5,684

Livestock and Meat Packing—Hog prices showed mod­

erate weakness in October and November, though declines
were small in relation to the greatly increased marketings.
Beef quotations have been higher than in mid-October. Re­
ceipts of hogs at public stockyards in the United States dur­
ing October registered a greater than normal increase over
September, and the margin of gain over last year widened
to 27 per cent, the largest spread recorded in this compari­
son since last April. October cattle slaughter was unusually
heavy, while inspected slaughter of hogs was in record
volume for the month. Apparently spring pigs are being
marketed early and in lighter weights, reflecting the unfa­
vorable relationship between com and hog prices.
The meat-packing industry of the United States experi­
enced a month of exceptional activity in October. Tonnage
production was the heaviest for any October on record and
exceeded any other month since last January, which latter
period is normally the seasonal peak for the year. The pre­
vious October peak had been in 1934, when stockyard re­
ceipts were heavily augmented by drought conditions. Ton­
nage sales of packing houses in October exceeded production,
although the increase over September was more modest than
in the case of production. Not since 1923 had October sales
been so heavy. Lower prices apparently had some effect
on the sales volume. Dollar sales increased but slightly over
September, inducing the assumption that, in addition to
generally lower meat quotations, October tonnage sales
included greater proportions of the less expensive animal
products.
MEAT PACKING-UNITED STATES
Per Cent Change in October 1940 from
October
September October 1930-30
Avg.
1940
1939
+15.6
+20.4
+27.7
Tonnage produced...................................... ......................
+18.8
+16.4
+16.1
Tonnage sold............................................... ......................
+3.6
+13.4
+ 3.4
Dollar sales............................................... ......................
Inventories, end of month........................ ......................
—8.6
+38.8
+14 8
Page 6




LIVESTOCK SLAUGHTER
(In thousands)
YardB in Seventh District:
October 1940.............................
October 1939.............................
Federally Inspected Slaughter:
United States:
October 1940.............................
September 1940........................
October 1939.............................

Cattle

Hogs

Lambs and
Sheep

Calves

...........
...........

202
199

777
553

248
233

73
75

...........
...........
...........

968
812
893

4,483
3,168
3,545

1,734
1,469
1,585

507
417
482

AVERAGE PRICES OF LIVESTOCK
(Per hundred pounds at Chicago)
Week Ended
Months of
October September
Nov. 23,
1940
1940
1940
Native Beef Steers (average). . .. ........... $12.00
$11.75
$11.45
Fat Cows and Heifers................... ...........
8.50
8.60
8.50
Calves............................................... ...........
10.50
9.00
9.50
6.30
...........
6.15
6.45
Lambs............................................... ...........
9.10
9.20
9.10

October
1939
t 9.75
8.15
10.50
6.85
9.30

Dairy Products—With dairy pastures favored during Oc­

tober by mild weather and the lateness of the season, milk
flow per cow on the first of November was at unusually high
levels for that time of year. Since feed supplies are quite
ample, dairy cows have also been fed liberally on grains.
Though only slightly higher than average, October produc­
tion of creamery butter in the United States was 11 per cent
greater than last year. Output of American cheese continued
high; for the nation, production totaled about 45 million
pounds, which was 12 per cent higher than for October
1939. In the Seventh district, butter production was up
9 per cent over 1939. United States stocks of dairy products
on November 1 were rather low when compared with Novem­
ber 1 supplies of recent years. Including Government hold­
ings, butter stocks were down 18 per cent from 1939, but
cheese supplies continued heavy.
In addition to the unusually high production of milk for
this season of the year, a principal development in the dairy
situation has been the substantial improvement in prices of
butter and cheese. By mid-November, prices for 92-score
butter at Chicago reached 33 cents, a gain of over 4 cents
since early October, while cheese quotations showed similar
strength. This rise in prices has been somewhat more than is
seasonally usual and apparently reflects the increase in
consumer purchasing power. According to the Bureau of
Agricultural Economics, prospects are for a continued high
level of consumption of dairy products for the winter as
a whole.
MILLIONS OF DOLLARS

MILLIONS OF DOLLARS

FARM

CASH

By months, through September 1940.

INCOME

Credit and Finance
Weekly Reporting Member Banks—Loans of Seventh

district weekly reporting member banks during the five
weeks ended November 20 continued the expansion that has
been evident since early June. At that time outstanding
loans stood around $950 million, while on November 20 the
total was $1,059 million, an increase of 12 per cent. While
part of this rise undoubtedly is seasonal in nature, a sizable
proportion is believed to be due to the rising level of busi­
ness activity over the period. Other changes in assets and
liabilities of these banks during the five weeks under review
were of little immediate significance—investments rose be­
cause of somewhat heavier acquisitions of Treasury bills,
and demand deposits continued their upward trend.

the amount of 4 billion dollars, over and above the statu­
tory $45 billion debt limit. Proceeds from these bills will
be used to reimburse the general fund, in part, for national
defense expenditures since July 1, from which fund, in
turn, will come repayment for the weekly maturities. These
bills had been issued under the regular debt limit of $45
billion and the current procedure will, consequently, trans­
fer indebtedness from under this limit to the supplementary
$4 billion authorization.
Between October 2 and November 20, the Federal Re­
serve System’s portfolio of Government securities was re­
duced by over $200,000,000. On the latter date, such holdings
were $362,000,000 lower than a year earlier.

Selected Seventh District Banking Data
WEEKLY

REPORTING

MEMBER

BANKS

CONDITION OF REPORTING MEMBER BANKS
SEVENTH DISTRICT
(Amounts in millions)
Change from
Nov. 20, Oct. 16, Nov. 22,
Assets
1940
1940
1939
Loans and investments—total...........................................
$3,548
$+98 $+401
Loans—total...........................................................................
1,059
+34
+152
Commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans...............
649
+26
+109
Open-market paper................................................................
40
—3
+5
Loans to brokers and dealers in securities........................
37
+4
+7
Other loans for purchasing or carrying securities............
65
—3
—11
Real estate loans....................................................................
128
+2
+18
Loans to banks.......................................................
.......
0
0
0
Other loans............................................................
140
+8
+24
U. S. Treasury bills..................................................... ' ’ ’
289
+40
+207
U. S. Treasury notes.............................................................
269
+12
—158
U. S. Treasury bonds...................................................... , ’
1,092
0
+164
Obligations fully guaranteed by U. S. Government! !
271
—1
—40
Other securities.......................................................................
568
+13
+76
Cash reserves, other than items in process of collection .
2,259
—89
+255
Liabilities

194Q
Weekly figures lor reporting member banks in leading cities of the Seventh district.

mrv A

1077

On

tntn

Securities Markets—Bond prices continued firm during
the latter part of October and the first three weeks of No­
vember, with the “gilt-edged” section of the market moving
into new high ground. Treasury and municipal bonds have
been particularly strong, the sharpest increases coming early
in November. Indications that future issues of such securities
might not include the current tax-exemption feature lent a
sort of scarcity enhancement to those already outstanding at
the time. New corporate and municipal bonds were issued
in heavy volume during October and included several par­
ticularly large individual issues, such as those of the
Southern California Edison Company, The Youngstown Sheet
and Tube Company, City of Los Angeles Department of
Water and Power, and the serial water bonds of New York
City. Issues during the first few weeks of November were
in much lower volume than in October.
In the latter part of October, the Treasury offered for
cash subscription $112,000,000 of United States Housing
Authority notes, dated November 1, 1940, and maturing in
one year. These notes bore a *4 Per cent coupon. A little
more than $10,000,000 of the notes was allotted to Seventh
district investors. In mid-November, the Treasury an­
nounced that the 3% per cent bonds of 1941-43 were called
for payment on March 15, 1941. The issue is outstanding
in the amount of about $545,000,000.
.

Demand deposits—adjusted...............................................
Time deposits......................................................................’ ’
Inter-bank deposits.......................................................... ’ ’"
U. S. Government deposits................................

2,986
986
1,343
137
Nov. 1-20,
1940
Turnover velocity of demand deposits (annual rate)....
21.32

+25
+9
—28
—1
Oct.
1940
20.80

+375
+41
+181
+26
Nov.
1939
20.00

BANK DEBITS, SEVENTH DISTRICT
(Amounts in millions)

Chicago.............
Des Moines.......
Detroit..............
Fort Wayne....
Grand Rapids..
Indianapolis....
Milwaukee........
Peoria................
South Bend___
32 smaller cities
Total 41 cities..

Per Cent
October Change from
1940
October 1939
$3,420
+21.5
103
+7.2
1,181
+26.5
36
+7.0
64
+8.5
238
+11.4
282
+4.2
70
+14.7
50
+24.8
591
+10.4
6,035
+19.3

First Ten
Months of
1940
$30,195
966
9,978
329
583
2,142
2,693
608
436
5,250
53,180

Per Cent
Change from
Same Period
of 1939
+6.4
+3.3
+18.5
+ 7.7
+12.6
+10.1

+5.9

+12.1
+21.6

+11.4
+9.3

VOLUME OF OPERATIONS IN PRINCIPAL DEPARTMENTS
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF CHICAGO

Items Handled
Commercial checks...................................................................
Non-cash collections (Bills, notes, bonds, coupons, etc.)..
Paper currency received and counted....................................
Corns received and counted........................................
Wire and other transfers of funds (Inter-and intra-district)
Securities in and out of safekeeping........................................
Coupons cut from securities in safekeeping.................'' [ ’ ’

Average for Each Banking
Day during
October 1940 October 1939
525.000
2,281
1,080,000
324.000
497
905
1,814

511,000
2,327
1,230,000
435,000
486
896
1,842

115,592,000
2.512.000
4.908.000
51,339
79.129.000
22.215.000
922,000,000

99,286,000
2,391,000
4,698,000
57,721
61,086.000
12,604,000
882,000,000

Dollab Amounts

In early November, the Treasury commenced issuing
weekly series of Treasury bills under the provision of Sec­
tion 302 of the Revenue Act of 1940, which authorized the
Treasury to issue special national defense securities in



Commercial checks...................................................................
Non-cash collections (Bills, notes, bonds, coupons, etc.)..
Paper currency received and counted....................................
Coins received and counted.....................................................
Wire and other transfers of funds (Inter-and intra-district)
Securities in and out of safekeeping........................................
Value of securities held in safekeeping at end of month. 1

Pag* 7

Reserve Officers Appointed to Defense Posts
MONTHLY BUSINESS INDEXES
Data refer to Seventh district and are not
adjusted for seasonal variation unless other­ Oct.
1940
wise indicated.
1935-39 average =*100

Oct.
1939

Sept. Aug.
1939 1939

123
144

117
133

108
122

108
118

102
106

89
94

107
112

107
111

104
108

J01
110

102
108

101
106

118
135

114
126

107
117

106
116

102
107

94
98

181

173

168

154

120

107

161
121

Manufacturing Industries:
Durable Goods:

Sept. Aug.
1940 1940

86
75

18
49

96
104

62
46

24
65

162
144
147
135

137
116
123
114

129
109
117
108

114
102
124
117

84
74
95
90

88
73
96
88

121

125

109

118

114

101

186

162

134

156

152

100

154
164

157
140

140
124

144
143

140
126

119
123

115

107

111

124

113

110

150
145

147
140

146
141

132
132

126
129

119
119

Non-Durable Goods:
Total:
Fig Iron Production :*
Automobile Production—(TT. S.):
Ceating Foundries Shipment!:

Railroad Freight Carloadinge:*
Originating in Chicago Industrial Area....
Stoves and Furnaces:
Furniture Manufacturing:
Paper Manufacturing:*
Petroleum Refining—(Indiana, Illinois,
Kentucky Area):*
Bituminous Coal Production:*
Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, and Michigan.........
Building Contract! Awarded:

96

110

94

125

100

76

272
171

297
176

229
159

194
114

153
167

218
133

134
137
111

105
118
107

107
124
102

116
118
107

106
115
110

103
116
96

93
American Cheese Production—(Wisconsin) 103
Department Store Net Sales:*
111
109
128
116
111
112
107

104
116

115
128

88
100

100
108

117
113

112
156
137
126
115
125
113

93
87
101
98
100
93
118

111
105
126
116
113
HI
106

104
143
119
116
112
116
105

85
74
91
86
87
83
105

Meat Packing—(If. 3.):

Dairy Products:*

•Daily average basis.

Current Events
Eight New Member Banks
During late October and in November up to the time of
this issue going to press, seven State banks joined the Fed­
eral Reserve System in the Chicago district and an eighth,
the Plainfield State Bank, Plainfield, Illinois, became a
member through conversion into a national bank. The seven
new State members are the Citizens State Bank, Marshall,
Indiana; Union Bank and Trust Company, Delphi, Indiana;
State Bank of Rock Island, Rock Island, Illinois; The
Grant State Bank, Grant, Michigan; Camp Grove State
Bank, Camp Grove, Illinois; the Security State Bank, New
Hampton, Iowa; and the Security State Bank, Sheldon,
Iowa. Since the first of the year, State banks in the various
portions of the Seventh district have joined the System in the
following numbers:
Illinois .............................................................. 5
Indiana ...............................................................26
Iowa ................................................................... 6
Michigan ............................................................. 11
Wisconsin ...................... ;................................. 1
Total ...............................................................49
Page §




In the belief that participation of smaller business con­
cerns throughout the country is vital to the defense program,
the National Defense Advisory Commission has designated
Mr. Donald M. Nelson of the Commission as Director of
Small Business Activities. The Defense Commission has asked
the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System to
serve as operating agent in carrying out this purpose. To
this end officers in each of the twelve Federal Reserve banks
and their twenty-four branches have been designated to
serve as field representatives of the Director of Small Busi­
ness Activities and of the Board of Governors. Officers ap­
pointed for this district are:
H. P. Preston, First Vice President, Seventh Federal
Reserve District
A. L. Olson, Assistant Vice President, Chicago area
H. J. Chalfont, Cashier, Detroit area
These officers are to assist the Director of Small Business
Activities through performance of several duties:
To make confidential reports from time to time con­
cerning business enterprises located in their respective
districts and desiring to obtain defense orders;
To acquaint local banks with the procedure to be fol­
lowed in accepting assignment of claims against the
Government resulting from Government contracts, as
security for loans;
To encourage local banks to make loan commitments
on condition that borrowers obtain Government contracts
and assign claims against the Government resulting from
such contracts as security for loans;
To furnish business enterprises with information on the
procedure to follow and proper contacts to make relative
to obtaining defense contracts;
To assist those business enterprises which have secured
defense orders and are unable to get necessary credit from
local commercial banks, to obtain loans from the Federal
Reserve banks or R.F.C.

Szymczak Addresses Illinois Bankers
On Thursday evening, November 14, Governor M. S.
Szymczak of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve
System, spoke at the annual fall dinner of the Illinois
Bankers Association. Stressing some of the problems con­
cerning reserves and credit policies with which central bank­
ing authorities are confronted, Governor Szymczak pointed
out that since bank reserves now form a potential basis for
an over-extension of credit, the cooperation of commercial
banks in the solution of these problems is indispensable.

Delphi, Indiana, Rotarians Hear Hodge
On November 19, Mr. Paul C. Hodge, Assistant Counsel
of this bank, addressed about fifty members and guests
of the Delphi, Indiana, Rotary Club on the subject, “The
Federal Reserve System and the Advantages of Membership.”
Delphi is the location of one of the new Federal Reserve
member banks, the Union Bank and Trust Company.

Young Speaks at Testimonial Dinner
On November 12, Mr. C. S. Young, Vice President of the
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, addressed those assembled
at a testimonial dinner in honor of Mr. H. M. Stone. Mr.
Stone, who is President of the City National Bank of
Kankakee, Illinois, has recently completed fifty years in
the banking business.

DIRECTORS

AND

OFFICERS

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
DIRECTORS
E. Wood, Chicago, 111................................... Chairman
J. Lewis, Chicago, 111......................... Deputy Chairman
Max W. Babb............................................ Milwaukee, Wis.
Clifford V. Gregory.....................Des Moines, Iowa
Walter J. Cummings...................................Chicago, 111.
Nicholas H. Noyes........................Indianapolis, Ind.
E. R. Estberg............................................... Waukesha, Wis.
Charles B. Van Dusen........................... Detroit, Mich.
Frank D. Williams.................................................................. Iowa City, Iowa
Robert

Frank

MEMBER OF FEDERAL ADVISORY COUNCIL
Edward

E.

Brown................................................................................. Chicago,

Geo. J.

Schaller

111.

OFFICERS
H.
J.

H. Dillard. ...
H. Snyder... .

W.

C. S.
C. B.
W. C.

............................ President
.......... First Vice President
.....................Vice President
Vice President and Cashier
..................... Vice President
.................General Counsel

P. Preston....

Young................
Dunn..................

Bachman.............. Assistant

Vice President
Vice President
A. L. Olson.................. Assistant Vice President
A. T. Sihler.................. Assistant Vice President
A. M. Black. .. .Manager, Planning Department
J. J. Endres..............................................Auditor
P. C. Hodge.............................. Assistant Counsel
O. J. Netterstrom........ Assistant

Dawes...........................................AssistantCashier
W. A. Hopkins....................................... AssistantCashier
F. A. Lindsten........................................AssistantCashier
L. G. Meyer............................................ AssistantCashier
F. L. Purrington.................................... AssistantCashier
J. G. Roberts....................................... AssistantCashier
C. M. Saltnes........................................AssistantCashier

N. B.

DETROIT BRANCH
D I RE ( TORS
E. Davidson................................ Bay City, Mich.
M. Dodge......................................... Detroit, Mich.
A. C. Marshall............................................ Detroit, Mich.

James

Joseph

Walter

S.

McLucas..................................... Detroit, Mich.

Harry L. Pierson........................................... Detroit, Mich.
L. Whitney Watkins..................... Manchester, Mich.

OFFICERS
H. J. Chalfont




Cashier

H. L. Diehl

Assistant Cashier

National Summary of Business Conditions
(By the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System)
INDUSTRIAL

PRODUCTION

INDII^TRIAI
**

outPut rose sharply in October and the first half of November for
prices of basic commodities advanced further. New” orders both and
defense purposes and for civilian needs continued in large volume.

Index of physical volume of production, adjusted for
seasonal variation, 1935-1939 average = 100. By months,
January 1934 to October 1940.
FACTORY EMPLOYMENT AND PAYROLLS

1940

Indexes of number employed and payrolls, without
adjustment for seasonal variation, 1923-1925 average = 100.
By months, January 1934 to October 1940. Indexes com­
piled by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics.
WHOLESALE PRICES OF BASIC COMMODITIES

Distribution—In October department store sales declined considerably from the
advanced level of the two preceding months, while sales at variety stores, which
also had been large in August and September, increased seasonally. In the early
part of November department store sales increased somewhat.
Total loadings of revenue freight in October were maintained at about the level
reached in September. Shipments of miscellaneous merchandise increased further,
while loadings of coal showed a sharp decrease. In the first week of November
freight-car loadings declined by less than the usual seasonal amount.

K FOODSTUFFS

1934

1935

1936

1937

1938

1939

1940

Federal Reserve groupings of Bureau of Labor Statistics’
data, 1926 = 100. Thursday figures, January 4, 1934, to
November 7, 1940.
MONEY

RATES

■PER CENT

IN

NEW

YORK

Product ion --Volume of industrial production, as measured by the Board’s sea­
sonally adjusted in'dex, rose further in October to about '128 per cent of the
1935-1939 average as compared with 125 in September and 126 at the peak reached
last December.
•
Increases in output were marked in the automobile and textile industries. In the
rayon industry, where production in September had been curtailed by a strike,
activity increased considerably, and cotton textile mills were also more active.
Mill sales of cotton goods have been large since the middle of August, reflecting
increased civilian and military demand, and have been in excess of production
during most of this period. At wool textile mills, where activity had risen sharply
in September, there was a further increase in October. Backlogs of orders in this
industry are now of considerable size owing to a large volume of orders received
during the past two months, particularly from the Government. Automobile produc­
tion rose to about 500,000 cars and trucks, the largest monthly total since the
spring of 1937, and retail sales of both new and used automobiles were reported
to be large for this time of year.
•In the steel and machinery industries activity continued at a high rate in
October. In the first half of November steel ingot production advanced slightly
further and was at about 96 per cent of capacity. This high rate of output is
expected to be maintained for some time to come, according to trade reports, as
new orders for steel have continued large. Lumber production, which had risen
sharply since midsummer, declined less than seasonally in October. New orders
for lumber were somewhat below the high rate of August and September but
remained above production, reflecting in part continued Government demands.
Bituminous coal production declined sharply in October but in the first half of
November showed some increase. In this industry output had been maintained
in large volume during the summer owing in part to considerable stocking of
coal in anticipation of higher prices. Anthracite production also declined in the
first half of October but rose sharply in the latter part of the month owing in part
to seasonal influences. Crude petroleum production, which had been curtailed
during most of the summer, increased further in October.
Value of construction contract awards increased in October, following a decline
in the previous month, according to figures of the F. W. Dodge Corporation and
the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Changes in the amount of contract
awards in recent months have reflected principally fluctuations in contracts for
public projects. Awards for private construction have shown about the usual
seasonal changes, following a sharp rise in July and August.

Wholesale Commodity Prices—Prices of basic commodities continued to advance
from the middle of October to the middle‘of November, with the chief increases
in industrial materials, particularly lead, hides, wool, and textile yarns. The general
index of wholesale commodity prices rose further by about one per cent in this
period, reflecting increases in prices of some finished goods as well as of materials.

CITY
PER CENT

Bank Credit—Total loans and investments at reporting member banks in 101
leading cities have increased substantially since the end of September. Commercial
loans showed sizable increases both in New York City and in other leading cities.
Following reductions during August and September, holdings of United States
Government obligations at these banks also increased. Federal Reserve System
holdings of Government obligations were reduced by $180,000,000 between
September 25 and November 13.

TREASURY BILLS
( NEW ISSUES ) /

For weeks ending January 6, 1934, to November 9, 1940.




United States Government Security Prices—After rising moderately during
the latter part of October prices of United States Government securities advanced
sharply in the early part of November. The quotation on the 1960-65 bonds reached
a new high level at about llO1^, and the yield on this issue declined to 2.12 per
cent compared" with 2.25 per cent in October and 2.26 per cent in June 1939 and
again in April 1940. The average yield on 3- to 5-year Treasury notes declined
to less than % of 1 per cent.

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