Full text of Business Conditions Digest : September 1980
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U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Philip M. Klutznick, Secretary Courtenay M. Slater, Chief Economist for the Department of Commerce BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS George Jaszi, Director Allan H. Young, Deputy Director Charles A. Waite, Acting Associate Director for National Analysis and Projections Feliks Tamm, Editor This report is prepared in the Statistical Indicators Division of the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Technical staff and their responsibilities for the publication areBarry A. Beckman—Technical supervision and review Brian D. Kajutti—Composite indexes Morton Somer—Seasonal adjustments Betty F. Tunstall—Data collection and compilation (Phone: 202-523-0541) The cooperation of government and private agencies that provide data is gratefully acknowledged. Agencies furnishing data are indicated in the list of series titles and sources at the back of this report. This publication is prepared under the general guidance of a technical committee under the auspices of the Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards. The Committee consists of the following persons: Beatrice N. Vaccara, Chairman, Bureau of Industrial Economics, U.S. Department of Commerce Joseph W. Duncan, Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards Lyle E. Gramley, Council of Economic Advisers, Executive Office of the President Ronald E. Kutscher, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor J. Cortland Peret, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System ABOUT THIS REPORT BUSINESS CONDITIONS DIGEST (BCD) provides a monthly look at many of the economic time series found most useful by business analysts and forecasters. The original BCD, which began publication in 1961 under the title Business Cycle Developments, emphasized the cyclical indicators approach to the analysis of business conditions and prospects. The report's contents were based largely on the list of leading, roughly coincident, and lagging indicators maintained by the National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. In 1968, BCD was expanded to increase its usefulness to analysts using other approaches to business conditions analysis. Principal additions to the report were series from the national income and product accounts and series based on surveys of businessmen's and consumers' anticipations and intentions. The composite indexes were added at that time, and the report's present title was adopted. The dominant feature of the current BCD is the cyclical indicators section, in which each business cycle indicator is assigned a three-way timing classification according to its behavior at peaks, at troughs, and at all turns. This section is supplemented by a section containing other important economic measures. The method of presentation is explained in the introductory text which begins on page 1. Annual subscription price: $55.00 domestic, $68.75 foreign. Single copy price: $4.75 domestic, $5.95 foreign. Foreign airmail rates are available upon request. Address all correspondence concerning subscriptions to the Most of the data contained in this report also are published by their source agencies. A series finding guide and a complete list of series titles and sources can be found at the back of the report. Cyclical Indicators are economic time series which have been singled out as leaders, coinciders, or laggers based on their general conformity to cyclical movements in aggregate economic activity. In this report, cyclical indicators are classified both by economic process and by their average timing at business cycle peaks, at business cycle troughs, and at peaks and troughs combined. These indicators have been selected primarily on the basis of their cyclical behavior, but they also have proven useful in forecasting, measuring, and interpreting short-term fluctuations in aggregate economic activity. Other Economic Measures provide additional information for the evaluation of current business conditions and prospects. They include selected components of the national income and product accounts; measures of prices, wages, and productivity; measures of the labor force, employment, and unemployment; economic data on Federal, State, and local government activities; measures of U.S. international transactions; and selected economic comparisons with major foreign countries. Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. Make checks payable to the Superintendent of Documents. BUSINESS CONDITIONS DIGEST KCII New Features and Changes for This Issue METHOD OF Seasonal Adjustments MCD Moving Averages Reference Turning Dates Part I. Cyclical Indicators Part II. Other Important Economic Measures How To Read Charts How To Locate a Series Summary of Recent Data and Current Changes 1 1 1 1 4 5 5 6 SEPTEMBER 1980 Data Through August Volume 20, Number 9 L CYOUfAi Al | A2 | A3 j A4 T i f f IH iX^V^O^/; 1 ^ Composite Indexes Leading Index Components Coincident Index Components Lagging Index Components Bl B2 B3 B4 B5 B6 B7 rf . ; \>.^v^fv!> '^'r*-. ; S Employment and Unemployment Production and Income . Consumption, Trade, Orders, and Deliveries Fixed Capital Investment Inventories and Inventory Investment Prices, Costs, and Profits Money and Credit ' Chart 10 12 14 15 Table 60 — — — 16 19 21 23 26 28 31 61 63 64 65 68 69 71 36 — 39 74 77 — ,:<.- :. f :--: i^t't i:/ w; K-V ' ; i-/ <v*<v • ' * Cl C2 C3 Diffusion Indexes Selected Diffusion Index Components Rates of Change The Secretary of Commerce has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Department. Use of funds for printing this periodical has been approved by the Director of the Office of Management and Budget through SeptemDigitized berfor1,FRASER 1980. BCII II. IMPORTANT NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT GNP and Personal Income Personal Consumption Expenditures Gross Private Domestic Investment Government Purchases of Goods and Services Foreign Trade National Income and Its Components Saving Shares of GNP and National Income All A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 H A7 " A8 m PK.'CTlv WAGES .*NL» PRODUCTS iTY Bl B2 | Price Movements Wages and Productivity Chart 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Table 80 80 81 81 82 82 82 83 48 49 84 87 51 89 52 53 90 90 • A30ft fOvtcE ttaKOtf^'fuT AND UNEMPLOYMENT Cl Civilian Labor Force and Major Components jjj GOVERNMENT A C T S V i T u .• Dl i D2 : Receipts and Expenditures Defense Indicators I I I fJ - INTFRNATIOf^P' TK^NolAC f'fONS El j E2 Merchandise Trade Goods and Services Movements 56 57 92 93 Fl"i F2 i F31 Industrial Production Consumer Prices Stock Prices 58 59 59 94 95 96 I III A. MCD and Related Measures of Variability (April 1980 issue) QCD and Related Measures of Variability (April 1980 issue) B. Current Adjustment Factors C. Historical Data for Selected Series 97 98 D. Descriptions and Sources Of Series (See "Alphabetical Index—Series Finding Guide") E. Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions: 1854 to 1975 (March 1980 issue) F. Specific Peak and Trough Dates for Selected Indicators (June 1980 issue) G. Experimental Data and Analyses Alphabetical Index—Series Finding Guide Titles and Sources of Series 106 110 114 Readers are invited to submit comments and suggestions concerning this publication. Address them to Feliks Tamm, Chief, Statistical Indicators Division, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, D.C. 20230 NEW FEATURES AND CHANGES FOR THIS ISSUE A limited number of changes are made from time to time to incorporate recent findings of economic research, newly availChanges in this issue are as follows: able time series, and 1. The series on U.S. industrial production (series 47, 73, 74, 75, 76, 557, and 966) have been revised for the period 1979 to date to reflect the source agency's annual updating of the basic data. revisions made by Further information concerning these revisions may be obtained from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Division of Research and Statistics, Business Conditions Section. source agencies in concept, composition, comparability, coverage, seasonal adjustment methods, benchmark data, etc. Changes may result in revisions of data, additions or 2. Series 62 (Index of labor cost per unit of output, manufacturing) has been revised for the period 1979 to date to reflect the revision of its industrial production component. (See item 1, above.) deletions of series, Further information concerning this revision may be obtained from the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Statistical Indicators Division. in composition of 3. Series 82 and 84 on Capacity utilization rates have been revised by the source agency for the period 1979 to date. These revisions reflect revised capacity indexes and industrial production indexes. Further information concerning these revisions may be obtained from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Division of Research and Statistics, Business Conditions Section. 4. Appendix C contains historical data for series 31, 40, 41, 47, 48, 93, 94, 570, 913-917, 940, 961, 963, and 964. 5. Appendix G contains cyclical comparisons for series 1, 3, 8, 20, 913, 914, 915, and 917. The October issue of BUSINESS CONDITIONS DIGEST is scheduled for release on November 3. in changes in placement of series in relation to other series, changes indexes, etc. BEA PROJECTS for economic analysis BUSINESS CONDITIONS DIGEST A monthly report for analyzing economic fluctuations over a short span of years. This report brings together many of the economic time series found most useful by business analysts and forecasters. The dominant feature is the cyclical indicators section in which approximately 110 business cycle indicators are each assigned a three-way timing classification according to their cyclical behavior at peaks, at troughs, and at all turns. This section also contains other valuable aids for the analysis of business conditions and prospects, such as composite indexes of leading, coincident, and lagging indicators and various diffusion indexes. A second section contains other important economic measures such as prices, wages, productivity, government activities, U.S. international transactions, and international comparisons. Data are presented in charts and tables. Appendixes provide historical data, series descriptions, seasonal adjustment factors, and measures of variability. A computer tape containing data for most of the series is available for purchase. LONG TERM ECONOMIC GROWTH A report for the study of economic trends over a long span of years, 1860-1970. This report has been developed from available statistics to provide a comprehensive, long-range view of the U.S. economy. It is a basic research document for economists, historians, investors, teachers, and students. It brings together under one cover, in meaningful and convenient form, the complete statistical basis for a study of longterm economic trends. A computer tape file of the time series included in the report is available for purchase. COMPUTER PROGRAMS FOR TIME SERIES ANALYSIS The source statements for FORTRAN IV programs used by B E A in its analysis of time series are available on a single computer tape. SEASONAL ADJUSTMENT PROGRAMS.-Two variants of the Census computer program for measuring and analyzing seasonal, trading-day, cyclical, and irregular fluctuations. They are particularly useful in analyzing economic fluctuations which take place within a year. The X-11 variant is used for adjusting monthly data and the X-11 Q for quarterly data. These programs make additive as well as multiplicative adjustments and compute many summary and analytical measures. DIFFUSION INDEX PROGRAM.-A computer program for computing diffusion indexes, cumulated diffusion indexes, and summary measures of the properties of each index. SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS current economic developments. A monthly report for analyzing This report provides a useful combination of current data for more than 2,500 statistical series and significant articles analyzing economic developments. These data and analyses include such areas as the national income and product accounts, the balance of payments accounts, plant and equipment expenditures, regional personal income, and the input-output accounts. A BUSINESS STATISTICS biennial reference volume containing statistical series reported currently in the Survey of Current Business. This report provides historical data back to 1947 for nearly 2,500 time series. The series are accompanied by concise descriptions as to their composition, methods of compilation, comparability, revisions, and availability. Also listed are the names and addresses of organizations which provide the basic data for the series. Adjustments for average seasonal fluctuations are often necessary to bring out the underlying trends of time series. Such adjustments allow for the effects of repetitive intrayear variations resulting primarily from normal differences in weather conditions and from various institutional arrangements. Variations attributable to holidays are usually accounted for by the seasonal adjustment process; however, a separate holiday adjustment is occasionally required for holidays with variable dates, such as Easter. An additional adjustment is sometimes necessary for series which contain considerable variation due to the number of working or trading days in each month. As used in this report, the term "seasonal adjustment" includes trading-day and holiday adjustments where they have been made. Most of the series in this report are presented in seasonally adjusted form and, in most cases, these are the official figures released by the source agencies. However, for the special purposes of this report, a number of series not ordinarily published in seasonally adjusted form are shown here on a seasonally adjusted basis. Month-to-month changes in a series are often dominated by erratic movements. MCD (months for cyclical dominance) is an estimate of the appro-, priate span over which to observe cyclical movements in a monthly series. (See appendix A.) It is the smallest span of months for which the average change in the cyclical factor is greater than that in the irregular factor. The more erratic a series is, the larger the MCD will be; thus, MCD is 1 for the smoothest series and 6 for the most erratic. MCD moving averages (that is, moving averages of the period equal to MCD) tend to have about the same degree of smoothness for all series. Thus, a 5-term moving average of a series with an MCD of 5 will show its cyclical movements about as clearly as the seasonally adjusted data for a series with an MCD of 1. The charts in this report generally include centered MCD moving averages for those series with an MCD greater than 4. The seasonally adjusted data are also plotted to indicate their variation about the moving averages and to provide observations for the most recent months. The historical business cycle turning dates used in this report are those designated by the National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. (NBER). They mark the approximate dates when, according to NBER, aggregate economic activity reached its cyclical high or low levels. As a matter of general practice, neither new reference turning dates nor the shading for recessions will be entered on the charts until after both the new reference peak and the new reference trough bounding the shaded area have been designated. The historical reference turning dates are subject to periodic review by NBER and on occasion are changed as a result of revisions in important economic time series. The dates shown in this publication for the 1948-1970 time period are those determined by a 1974 review. The turning dates for the 1973-1975 period are detailed in NBER's 1976 Annual Report. !Nf)iCATi.?;> Business cycles have been defined as sequences of expansion and contraction in various economic processes that show up as major fluctuations in aggregate economic activity—that is, in comprehensive measures of production, employment, income, and trade. While recurrent and pervasive, business cycles of historicai experience have been definitely nonperiodic and have varied greatly in duration and intensity, reflecting changes in economic systems, conditions, policies, and outside disturbances. One of the techniques developed in business cycle research and widely used as a tool for analyzing current economic conditions and prospects is the cyclical indicators approach. This approach identifies certain economic time series as tending to lead, coincide with or lag behind the broad movements in aggregate economic activity. Such indicators have been selected and analyzed by NBER in a series of studies published between 1938 and 1967. During the 1972-75 period, a new comprehensive review of cyclical indicators was carried out by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) with the cooperation of the NBER research staff. The present format and content of part I of BCD are based on the results of that study. Section A. Composite Indexes and Their Components All cyclical indicators have been evaluated according to six major characteristics: Economic significance, statistical adequacy, consistency of timing at business cycle peaks and troughs, c o n f o r m i t y to business e x p a n s i o n s and contractions, smoothness, and prompt availability (currency). A formal, detailed weighting scheme was developed and used to assess each series by all of the above criteria. (See articles in the May and November 1975 issues of BCD.) The resulting scores relate to cyclical behavior of the series during the period 1947-70. This analysis produced a new list of indicators classified by economic process and typical timing at business cycle peaks and troughs. (See tables on page 2 and text below relating to section B.) This information, particularly the scores relating to consistency of timing, served as a basis for the selection of series to be included in the composite indexes. The indexes incorporate the best-scoring series from many different economic-process groups and combine those with similar timing behavior, using their overall performance scores as weights. Because they use series of historically tested usefulness and given timing characteristics (for example, leading at both peaks and troughs), with diversified economic coverage and a minimum of duplication, composite indexes give more reliable signals over time than do any of the individual indicators. Furthermore, much of the 1 A. Timing at Business Cycle Peaks Economic Process Cyclical Timing LEADING (L) INDICATORS (62 series) ROUGHLY COINCIDENT(C) INDICATORS (23 series) LAGGING (Lg) INDICATORS (18 series) TIMING UNCLASSIFIED 1 EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT II. III. AND INCOME (10 series) CONSUMPTION. TRADE, ORDERS, AND DELIVERIES (13 series) PRODUCTION (18 series) IV. FIXED CAPITAL INVESTMENT (18 series) V. INVENTORIES AND INVENTORY INVESTMENT (9 series) VI. PRICES, COSTS, AND PROFITS Inventory investment (4 series) Inventories on hand and on order (1 series) Stock prices (1 series) Commodity prices (1 series) Profits and profit margins (7 series) Cash flows (2 series) Marginal employment adjustments (6 series) Job vacancies (2 series) Comprehensive employment (1 series) Comprehensive unemployment (3 series) Capacity utilization (2 series) New and unfilled orders and deliveries (6 series) Consumption (2 series) Formation of business enterprises (2 series) Business investment commitments (5 series) Residential construction (3 series) Comprehensive employment (1 series) Comprehensive output and real income (4 series) Industrial production (4 series) Consumption and trade (4 series) Backlog of investment commitments (1 series) Business investment expenditures (5 series) Duration of unemployment (2 series) Business investment expenditures (1 series) Comprehensive employment (3 series) Trade (1 series) Business investment commitments (1 series) (U) (8 series) (17 series) VII MONEY AND CREDM (26 series) Money flows (3 series) Real money supply (2 series) Credit flows (4 series) Credit difficulties (2 series) Bank reserves (2 series) Interest rates (1 series) Velocity of money (2 series) 1 nterest rates (2 series) Inventories on hand and on order (4 series) Unit labor costs and labor share (4 series) 1 nterest rates (4 series) Outstanding debt (3 series) Commodity prices (1 series) Profit share (1 series) Interest rates (1 series) B. Timing at Business Cycle Troughs Economic Process Cyclical Timing LEADING (L) INDICATORS (47 series) ROUGHLY COINCIDENT(C) INDICATORS (23 series) LAGGING (Lg) INDICATORS (40 series) TIMING UNCLASSIFIED (U) for FRASER (1 series) 1. EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT (18 series) II. PRODUCTION AND INCOME (10 series) 1 11 CONSUMPTION, TRADE, ORDERS, AND DELIVERIES (13 series) IV. FIXED CAPITAL INVESTMENT (18 series) V. INVENTORIES AND INVENTORY INVESTMENT (9 series) VI. PRICES, COSTS, AND PROFITS (17 series) MONEY AND CREDIT (26 series) Marginal employment adjustments (3 series) Industrial production (1 series) New and unfilled orders and deliveries (5 series) Consumption and trade (4 series) Formation of business enterprises (2 series) Business investment commitments (4 series) Residential construction (3 series) Inventory investment (4 series) Stock prices (1 series) Commodity prices (2 series) Profits and profit margins (6 series) Cash flows (2 series) Money flows (2 series) Real money supply (2 series) Credit flows (4 series) Credit difficulties (2 series) Marginal employment adjustments (2 series) Comprehensive employment (4 series) Comprehensive output and real income (4 series) Industrial production (3 series) Capacity utilization (2 series) Consumption and trade (3 series) Business investment commitments (1 series) Profits (2 series) Money flow (1 series) Velocity of money (1 series) Unfilled orders (1 series) Business investment commitments (2 series) Business investment expenditures (6 series) Unit labor costs and labor share (4 series) Velocity of money (1 series) Bank reserves (1 series) Interest rates (8 series) Outstanding debt (3 series) Marginal employment adjustments (1 series) Job vacancies (2 series) Comprehensive employment (1 series) Comprehensive and duration of unemployment (5 series) Digitized Inventories on hand and on order (5 series) VII. Bank reserves (1 series) independent measurement error and other "noise" in the included series are smoothed out in the index as a whole. The indexes include only monthly series that are acceptable in terms of relatively prompt availability and reasonable accuracy. The main composite indexes are distinguished by their cyclical timing. Thus, there is an index of leading indicators, series which historically reached their cyclical peaks and troughs earlier than the corresponding business cycle turns. There is an index of roughly coincident indicators, consisting of series which historically reached their turning points at about the same time as the general economy, and an index of lagging indicators, which includes series that typically reached their peaks and troughs later than the corresponding business cycle turns. The leading index contains series with long as well as short leads, but each series leads on the average over time and shows a frequency of leads at the individual turns exceeding that attributable to chance, given the historical distribution of cyclical timing. (An analogous statement applies to the components of the lagging index.) Since 1948, leads were generally more frequent and longer at peaks than at troughs of business cycles, while lags were generally more frequent and longer at troughs than at peaks. The adopted system of scoring and classifying the indicators takes into account these w e l l - e s t a b l i s h e d d i f f e r e n c e s i n timing. Consequently, rough coincidences include short leads (-) and lags ( + ) as well as exact coincidences (0). (For monthly series, the range is from -3 through +1 at peaks and from -1 through +3 at troughs, where minus denotes leads and plus denotes lags in months.) For purposes of constructing a composite index, each component series is standardized: The monthto-month percent changes in a given series are divided by the long-run average (without regard to sign) of those changes. Thus, the more volatile series are prevented from dominating the index. The coincident index is calculated so that its longterm trend (since 1948) equals the average of the trends of its four components. This trend, which is similar to that of GNP in constant dollars, can be viewed as a linear approximation to the secular movement (at an average growth rate) in aggregate economic activity. The indexes of leading and lagging indicators have been adjusted so that both their trends and their average month-to-month percent changes (without regard to sign) are approximately equal to those of the coincident index. (For a more detailed description of the method of constructing the composite indexes, see the 1977 Handbook of Cyclical Indicators.} In addition to these principal composite indexes, differentiated according to cyclical timing, there are five indexes based on leading indicators which have been grouped by economic process. Taken together, these additional indexes include all 12 component series of the overall leading index, plus a few related series. Also shown in this section is the ratio of the index of roughly coincident indicators to the index of lagging indicators, a series known to have a useful pattern of early cyclical timing. Numbers entered on the charts of the composite indexes show the length, in months, of leads (-) and lags ( + ) at each of the reference turning dates covered. The next set of data consists of series included in the principal composite indexes. These are the 12 components of the leading index, the 4 components of the coincident index, and the 6 components of the lagging index. Following the title of each series, its typical timing is identified by three letter symbols in a small box. The first of these letters refers to the timing of the given indicator at business cycle peaks, the second to its timing at business cycle troughs, and the third to its timing at all turns, i.e., at peaks and troughs combined. "L" denotes a tendency to lead, "C" a tendency to roughly coincide with the business cycle turns (as represented by the NBERdesignated reference dates), and "Lg" a tendency to lag. Since these series have been selected for the consistency of their timing at both peaks and troughs, all components of the leading index are denoted "L,L,L," all components of the coincident index "C,C,C," and all components of the lagging index "Lg,Lg,Lg." It should be remembered that these classifications are based on limited evidence, namely the performance of the indicators during the business cycles of the 1948-70 period, which included five peaks and five troughs. While the timing classifications are expected to agree with the patterns prevailing in the near future, they will not necessarily hold invariably in every instance. The timing of the series in the post-1970 period can be determined by inspection of the charts where the 1973-75 recession is shaded according to the dates of the NBER reference cycle chronology. August '57, April '60, and December '69); crossclassification B, on their behavior at five business cycle troughs (October '49, May '54, April '58, February '61, and November 70). Each tabulation distinguishes seven major economic processes and four types of cyclical timing. The titles in the cells identify subgroups of the given economic process with the given timing characteristic. The number of series in each such group is given in parentheses following the title. Complete information on how individual indicators are classified by timing at peaks, troughs, and all turns, along with selected measures and scores, is provided in the 1977 Handbook of Cyclical Indicators. Section C. Diffusion Indexes and Rates of Change Many series in this report are aggregates compiled from numerous components. How the individual components of an aggregate move over a given timespan is summarized by a diffusion index which indicates the percentage of components that are rising (with half of the unchanged components considered rising). Cyclical changes in these diffusion indexes tend to lead those of the corresponding aggregates. Since diffusion indexes are highly erratic, they are computed from changes measured over 6- or 9-month (or 3- or 4-quarter) spans, as well as 1-month (or 1-quarter) spans. Longer spans help to highlight the trends underlying the shorter-term fluctuations. Diffusion indexes are shown for the component series included in each of the three composite indexes and for the components of some of the aggregate series shown in section B. Diffusion measures can be derived not only from actual data but also from surveys of anticipations or intentions. Indexes based on responses of business executives about their plans and Section B. Cyclical Indicators by Economic Process expectations for several operating variables are presented, along with the corresponding indexes This section covers 111 individual time series, based on actual data, as the last set of diffusion including the 22 indicators used in the series. This section also records rates of change for the construction of the composite indexes. The peak and trough timing classifications are shown on the three composite indexes (leading, coincident, and charts in the same manner as described above, but lagging) and for four indicators of aggregate this section includes series with different timing at economic activity: GNP in constant dollars peaks and at troughs, as well as series where the (quarterly), industrial production, employee hours in nonagricultural establishments, and personal timing is not sufficiently consistent to be classified as either L,C, or Lg according to the probabilistic income less transfers in constant dollars. Rates of measures and scoring criteria adopted. Such series change are shown for 1- and 3-month spans or for 1-quarter spans. are labeled U, i.e., unclassified as to timing at Although movements in diffusion indexes and in turning points of the given type. Eight series are rates of change for the same aggregates are unclassified at peaks, one series at troughs, and 19 series at all turns (of the 19, 15 have definite but generally positively correlated, these two measures different timing at peaks and at troughs). No series present information about two related but distinct that is classified as U both at peaks and at troughs aspects of economic change. Diffusion indexes measure the prevailing direction or scope of is included in the list of cyclical indicators. change, while rates of change measure the degree The classification scheme which groups the as well as the overall direction. As is the case for indicators of this section by economic process and diffusion indexes, cyclical movements in the rates cyclical timing is summarized in the two of change tend to lead those of the corresponding tabulations on page 2. Cross-classification A is indexes or aggregates, and thus, they tend to lead based on the observed behavior of the series at five at the business cycle turns as well. business cycle peaks (November '48, July '53, Gross private domestic investment (A3) is fixed capital goods purchased by private business and nonprofit institutions and the value of the change This part is divided into six sections which cover in the physical volume of inventories held by a wide range of quarterly and monthly time series private business. The former include all private measuring various aspects of economic activity. purchases of dwellings, whether purchased for Some of these series are very comprehensive, tenant or owner occupancy. Net purchases of used pertaining to the U.S. economy as a whole, others goods are also included. Government purchases of goods and services have to do with particular sectors or markets, and (A4) is the compensation of government employees still others relate to U.S. international transactions and purchases from business and from abroad. It or to selected foreign countries. The represented excludes transfer payments, interest paid by variables include incomes, outputs, and expenditures; prices, earnings, and productivity; government, and subsidies. It includes gross labor r e s o u r c e s ; g o v e r n m e n t r e c e i p t s , investment by government enterprises but excludes expenditures, and defense-related activities; ex- their current outlays. It includes net purchases of ports and imports; and selected indicators for a few used goods and excludes sales and purchases of land and financial assets. key foreign countries. Net exports of goods and services (A5) is exports less imports of goods and services. Exports are part Section A. National Income and Product of the national production; imports are not, but are The national income and product accounts, included in the components of GNP and are compiled by BEA, summarize both receipts and therefore deducted. More detail on U.S. final expenditures for the personal, business, international transactions is provided in section E. foreign, and government sectors of the economy. National income (A6) is the incomes that Section Al shows the gross national product, originate in the production of goods and services final sales, and personal and disposable personal attributable to labor and property supplied by income. The four major components of the gross residents of the United States. Thus, it measures n a t i o n a l p r o d u c t — p e r s o n a l c o n s u m p t i o n the factor costs of the goods and services proexpenditures, gross private domestic investment, duced. It consists of the compensation of government purchases of goods and services, and employees, proprietors' income, rental income of net exports of goods and services—are presented in persons, corporate profits, and net interest. sections A2 through A5. Most of the series in Saving (A7) is the difference between income section A are presented in current as well as and expenditures during an accounting period. constant dollars. There are also a few per capita Total gross saving includes personal saving, series. The national income and product accounts, business saving (mainly undistributed corporate briefly defined below, are described more fully in profits and capital consumption allowances), and the Survey of Current Business, Part I, government surplus or deficit. January 1976. Shares of GNP and national income (A8).—The Gross national product (GNP) is the market major e x p e n d i t u r e c o m p o n e n t s of GNP value of final goods and services produced by the (consumption, investment, etc.) are expressed as labor and property supplied by residents of the percentages of GNP, and the major income United States, before deduction of allowances for components of national income (compensation of the consumption of fixed capital goods. It is the employees, corporate profits, etc.) are expressed as most comprehensive measure of aggregate percentages of national income. economic output. Final sales is GNP less change in business inventories. Personal income is the income received by persons (individuals, owners of unincorporated Section B. Prices, Wages, and Productivity businesses, nonprofit institutions, private trust funds, and private noninsured welfare funds) from The important data on price movements include all sources. It is the sum of wage and salary the monthly consumer and producer price indexes disbursements, other labor income, proprietors' and their major components. Based largely on income, rental income of persons, dividends, these series are the quarterly price indexes from personal interest income, and transfer payments, the national income and product accounts, notably less personal contributions for social insurance. the GNP implicit price deflator (with weights Disposable personal income is the personal reflecting the changing proportions of different income available for spending or saving. It consists expenditure categories in GNP) and the fixedof personal income less personal taxes and nontax weighted price index for the gross business prodpayments to government. uct. Data on both levels and percent changes are Personal consumption expenditures (A2) is presented for the period since 1969. The group of series on wages and productivity goods and services purchased by individuals, operating expenses of nonprofit institutions, and consists of data on average hourly earnings and the value of food, fuel, clothing, rent of dwellings, average hourly compensation (including earnings and financial services received in kind by in- and other benefits) in current and constant dollars, dividuals. Net purchases of used goods are also in- output per hour of work in the business sector, and rates of change for most of these measures. cluded. Part II. OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES 4 Section C. Labor Force, Employment, and Unemployment This section contains measures of the civilian labor force and its major components: Total numbers of employed and unemployed persons. The number of unemployed is subdivided into selected categories defined by sex, age, and class of worker. Also included are data on participation rates for a few principal segments of the labor force. Section D. Government Activities Receipts, expenditures, and their balance (surplus or deficit) are shown quarterly on two levels: (1) Federal Government and (2) State and local government. Also shown is a selection of series from the discontinued Defense Indicators, These series measure defense activities which influence short-term changes in the national economy. Included are series relating to obligations, contracts, orders, production, shipments, inventories, outlays, and employment. These series are grouped according to the time at which the activities they measure occur in the defense order-production-delivery process. Series measuring activities which usually precede production, such as contract awards and new orders, are classified as "advance measures of defense activity." Series measuring activities which tend to coincide with production, such as employment, and activities which usually follow production, such as shipments, are classified as "intermediate and final measures of defense activity." Section E. U.S. International Transactions This group includes monthly series on exports (excluding military aid) and general imports, plus a few selected components of these aggregates. Also shown are the balances between receipts and expenditures for goods and services, merchandise, and investment income. Section F. International Comparisons This section is designed to facilitate a quick review of basic economic conditions in six of the nations with which we have important trade relationships. The U.S. business cycle shading has been omitted from these charts. Data on industrial production, consumer prices, and stock prices for Canada, the United Kingdom, France, West Germany, Japan, and Italy a r o compared with the corresponding U.S. series. Also included is an industrial production index for the European countries in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). The industrial production series provide cyclically sensitive output measures for large parts of the economies covered. Changes in consumer price indexes (plotted for the period since 1969) provide important measures of the rates of inflation in the major industrialized countries. Stock prices (also shown beginning in 1969) tend to be significant as leading indicators. HOW TO READ CHARTS Peak (P) of cycle indicates end of expansion and beginning of recession (shaded area) as designated by NBER. Basic Data Arabic number indicates latest month for which data are plotted. ("9" = September) Solid line indicates monthly data. (Data may be actual monthly figures or moving averages.) Dotted line indicates anticipated data. Broken line indicates actual monthly data for series where a moving average is plotted. Roman number indicates latest quarter for which data are plotted. ("IV" - fourth quarter) Solid line with plotting points indicates quarterly data. Parallel lines indicates a break in continuity (data not available, extreme value, etc.). Diffusion Indexes Solid line indicates monthly data over 6- or 9-month spans. Broken line indicates monthly data over 1-month spans. Various scales are used to highlight the patterns of the individual series. "Scale A" is an arithmetic scale, "scale L-1" is a logarithmic scale with 1 cycle in a given distance, "scale L-2" is a logarithmic scale with two cycles in that distance, etc. Arabic number indicates latest month for which data are used in computing the indexes. Broken line with plotting points indicates quarterly data over 1-quarter spans. Roman number indicates latest quarter for which data are used in computing the indexes. Solid line with plotting points indicates quarterly data over various spans. Diffusion indexes and rates of change are centered within the spans they cover. Trough (T) of cycle indicates end of recession and beginning of expansion as designated by NBER. Dotted line indicates anticipated quarterly data over various spans. Rates of Change Solid line indicates percent changes over 3- or 6-month spans. Arabic number indicates latest month used in computing the changes. Broken line indicates percent changes over 1-month spans. Broken line with plotting points indicates percent changes over 1-quarter spans. Solid line with plotting points indicates percent changes over 3 - o r 4-quarter spans. Roman number indicates latest quarter used in computing the changes. HOW TO LOCATE A SERIES 1. See ALPHABETICAL INDEX-SERIES FINDING GUIDE at the back of the report where series are arranged alphabetically according to subject matter and key words and phrases of the series titles, or 2. See TITLES AND SOURCES OF SERIES at the back of the report where series are listed numerically according to series numbers within each of the report's sections. Basic data1 Timing classification3 Series title Percent change Unit Average of June measure 1979 1978 4th Q IstQ 2dQ June July 1979 1980 1980 1980 1980 Aug. 1980 July to to July Aug. 1980 1980 Series number 1 Table 1. Summary of Recent Data and Current Changes for Principal Indicators 4th Q to IstQ IstQ 1980 1980 -2.1 -0.3 -7.0 -4.6 -0.4 910 920 930 -6.6 -5.4 -3.7 913 914 915 916 917 to 2dQ I. CYCLICAL INDICATORS A. Composite Indexes 910. Twelve leading indicators 920 Four coincident indicators 930. Six lagging indicators , ... Leading Indicator Subgroups: 913. Marginal employment adjustments 914. Capital investment commitments 915. Inventory investment and purchasing 916 Profitability 917. Money and financial flows L,L,L c,c,c Lg,Lg,Lg L,L,L L,L,L L,L,L L LL L,L,L 1967=100 .. do. ... do. . . . 141.8 140.1 143.1 do. do. do. do do. ... ... ... 115.7 106.2 ... 149.0 98.1 93.2 140.1 145.1 166.4 136.3 145.1 111 .1 133.5 144.7 183.4 124.2 138.0 182.7 124.0 136.1 168.1 96.8 96.3 95.7 89.4 89.6 113.5 105.9 112.5 102.6 110.1 102.2 104.2 104.8 89.4 128.6 135.8 164.1 131.0 136.1 162.4 92.1 93.1 106.5 107.4 98.4 97.2 98.5 99.3 145.5 140.8 136.8 NA 127.3 NA 125.7 NA 128.4 NA 130.6 40.2 40.1 40.1 39.4 39.1 39.1 39.6 91.7 90.4 3.7 -0.2 -2.4 1.9 0.2 3.2 -1.0 2.8 1.6 1.3 NA 2.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 NA 1.7 0. 0.1 0.1 1 .3 0.3 0.3 6.3 -0.6 -2.1 -0.4 -1 .1 -2.8 NA -6.9 B. Cyclical Indicators by Economic Process B1. Employment and Unemployment Marginal Employment Adjustments: *1 . Average workweek, prod, workers, mfg L,L,L 21. Avg. weekly overtime, prod, workers, mfg.2 .. L,C,L 2. Accession rate, per 100 employees, mfg.2 . . . . L,L,L 5 Avg weekly initial claims (inverted 4 ) L,C,L *3. Layoff rate, per 100 employ., mfg. (inv.4)2 . . L,L,L 4. Quit rate, per 100 employees, mfg.2 L,Lg,U Job Vacancies: 60. Ratio, help-wanted advertising to persons unemployed2 46 Help-wanted advertising Comprehensive Employment: 48. Employee hours in nonagri. establishments . . . 42. Persons engaged in nonagri. activities *41 Employees on nonagri payrolls ... 40. Employees in mfg., mining, construction . . . . 90. Ratio, civilian employment to total population of working age2 Hours do. . . . Percent Thousands. . Percent do. . . . L,Lg,U L Lg U Ratio 1967=100 u,c,c u,c,c Thousands. . C,C,C L,C,U do. . . . do. . . . U,Lg,U A.r., bil. hrs. . Percent Comprehensive Unemployment: 37. Total unemployed (inverted4) L,Lg,U Thousands . . 43. Unemployment rate, total (inverted 4 ) 2 L,Lg,U Percent 4 2 45. Avg. weekly insured unemploy-rate (inv. ) . . L,Lg,U do. . . . *91. Avg. duration of unemployment (inverted4) . . Lg,Lg,Lg Weeks 44. Unemploy. rate, 15 weeks and over (inv. 4 ) 2 .. Lg,Lg,Lg Percent 40.4 3.6 4.1 339 0.9 2.1 3.3 4.0 381 1.1 2.0 3.2 4.0 404 1.2 2.0 3.1 3.8 406 1.4 1.9 2.7 3.1 607 3.1 1.4 2.4 3.3 617 2.9 1.4 2.5 3.4 536 1.7 1.3 2.8 3.7 502 2.0 1.3 0.738 0.786 0.699 0.446 0.428 0.428 0.438 149 158 161 150 116 115 118 118 164.56 91,031 86,697 25,585 169.89 93,648 89,886 26,504 170.90 94,319 90,557 26,549 171.97 94,486 91,120 26,605 169.39 93,622 90,489 25,763 168.42 93,346 90,047 25,422 167.59 93,739 89,865 25,142 168.27 93,826 90,066 25,275 58.59 59.25 59.31 59.17 58.41 58.12 58.29 58.23 6,047 5,963 6,084 6,390 7,808 8,006 8,207 6.0 3.2 5.8 3.0 5.9 3.0 6.1 3.2 7.5 4.2 7.7 4.6 7.8 4.5 8,019 7.6 4.3 11.9 10.8 0.789 10.5 10.7 11.2 11.7 11.6 12.6 13.1 1.2 -0.1 0. 2.6 -0.3 0. 0 .010 0. 0. -1 .7 -0.1 -0.2 -0.5 -0.2 -0.1 -0.4 -0.7 -49.5 -0.090 -0.253 -6.8 -1.7 -0.5 1 21 2 5 3 4 -22.7 60 46 0.4 Q.I 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.2 -1.5 -0.9 -0.7 -3.2 48 42 41 40 0.17 -0 .06 -0.14 -0.76 90 -2.5 -0.1 2.3 0.2 0.2 -5.0 -0.2 -0.2 -1.9 -0.1 -22.2 -1.4 -1.0 -4.7 -0.3 37 43 45 91 44 -0.5 0.4 -0.2 -1.1 0.1 0.9 -8.6 -0.3 2.1 -0.1 1399.2 1431.6 1440.3 1 4 4 4 . 7 1408.6 1145.2 1176.3 1186.8 1182.2 1165.1 1164.6 1174.7 1172.1 9 9 5 . 7 1024.1 1029.1 1024.3 1006.9 1005.1 1002.6 1002.1 -0.2 0. -0.4 -0.5 -2.5 -1.4 -1.7 50 52 51 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 B2. Production and Income Comprehensive Output and Income: 50 GNP in 1972 dollars 52 Personal income in 1972 dollars *51. Pers. income less transfer pay., 1972 dollars .. 53. Wages and salaries in mining, mfg., and construction 1972 dollars Industrial Production: *47. Industrial production, total 73 Industrial production durable mfrs 74. Industrial production, nondurable mfrs 49. Value of goods output, 1972 dollars Capacity Utilization: 82. Capacity utilization rate, mfg., FRB 2 83 Capacity utilization rate mfg BEA 2 84. Capacity utilization rate, materials, FRB 2 . . . . C,C,C 0 .3 c,c,c c,c,c A.r., bil. dol. do. . . . ......do. . . . c,c,c do 243.5 246.0 241.5 238.5 228.1 224.7 223 .4 224.8 -0.6 0.6 -1.2 -4.4 53 c,c,c c,c,c 1967=100... 152.5 146.4 164.0 653.1 152.5 145.3 165.0 655.1 152.5 144.1 165.5 659.7 144.6 133.9 158.3 636.9 141.4 129.9 155.3 139.8 127.6 153.4 140.5 128.4 154.0 -1.1 -1.8 -1.2 0 .5 0.6 0.4 -0.8 C,L,L C,C,C 146.1 139.7 156.9 639.5 0. do. . . . do. ... A.r., bil.dol. -5.2 -7.1 -4.4 -3.5 47 73 74 49 L,C,U Percent. . . . . 84.4 85.6 84.4 83.4 77.9 -1 .0 -1 -5.5 L,C,U do do. ... -0.8 -6.8 82 83 84 84 85.6 82 81 80 0.9 -0.2 76 87.4 86.3 85.5 78.7 77.20 41.40 76.54 39.43 36.46 34.71 80.01 39.61 35.21 68.73 33.76 29.48 0.3 0 .7 -4 B3. Consumption, Trade, Orders, and Deliveries Orders and Deliveries: 6. New orders, durable goods 7. New orders, durable goods, 1972 dollars *8. New orders, cons, goods and mtls., 1972 dol. . 25. Chg. in unfilled orders, durable goods2 96. Mfrs.' unfilled orders, durable goods5 *32. Vendor performance 2 © L,L,L L,L,L L,L,L L,L,L L,Lg,U L,L,L Consumption and Trade: c,c,c 56. Manufacturing and trade sales *57. Manufacturing and trade sales, 1972 dollars . . C,C,C C,L,C 75 Industrial production consumer goods C,L,U 54 Sales of retail stores U,L,U 59. Sales of retail stores, 1972 dollars 58 Index of consumer sentiment® Bil.dol do do. . . . do. . . . Bil.dol., EOP Percent Bil.dol L,C,C L,L,L do. . . . 1967=100... Mil. dol do. . . . A.r., bil.dol. I Q 1966=100 L,L,L L,L,L 1967=100... Number. . . . 70.19 41.48 37.16 3.68 228.82 64 72.30 34.74 31.37 11.3 10.3 0.04 1.68 -2.60 2.33 -1.50 2.05 3.26 267 .88 2 6 7 . 8 8 2 7 4 . 8 8 2 7 0 . 3 8 2 7 0 . 3 8 2 7 2 . 0 6 272.10 34 32 28 45 33 49 63 4.28 66.45 32.42 29.07 73.98 35.77 31 .66 NA NA 141.7 141.6 142.2 148.3 143.3 149.2 150.8 149.1 66,741 73,837 7 6 , 3 8 5 7 7 , 9 9 7 7 5 , 2 0 0 76,001 78,394 7 9 , 5 3 3 4 4 , 3 1 4 4 4 , 8 0 0 4 4 , 8 7 9 4 4 , 3 4 4 4 1 , 7 7 7 4 2 , 0 1 3 43,169 4 3 , 2 4 8 254.26 288.28 300.05 309.65 293.99 294.20 302.71 156.32 159.82 158.89 158.76 148.54 147.80 151.45 68.0 79.4 69.2 66.0 66.8 62.1 71.5 63.5 132.9 131.7 132.4 128.9 52.5 54.4 58.7 62.3 67.3 8.9 0.6 4 -2.3 -2.9 -0.9 -1.64 0. 4.5 0.5 1.4 0.28 2 2 .6 -4 -1.6 3 .2 -5.1 -6.4 -3.4 -3.6 -5.8 3.1 2.8 NA NA 0.1 1.5 0.2 6.1 8.0 7.0 2.3 0.4 NA NA NA -2 .6 -2 .4 2.9 2 .5 -0.4 -14.1 -14.8 -16.3 -3.83 -0.1 -0.6 2.1 -1.2 -12 6 7 8 25 96 32 -26.6 -14.3 56 57 75 54 59 55 58 -8.7 -5.7 12 13 B4. Fixed Capital Investment Formation of Business Enterprises: *12 Net business formation 13. New business incorporations 3 9 , 9 9 6 43,714 4 4 , 9 5 6 4 3 , 8 8 2 117.7 114.8 41,394 3 9 , 7 4 6 115.3 NA NA NA Table 1. Summary of Recent Data and Current Changes for Principal Indicators—Continued Basic data1 Series title Timing classification3 Unit of measure Percent change Average 1978 1979 4th 0 1979 IstQ 1980 2dQ 1980 June 1980 July 1980 June to July 1980 Aug. 1980 July to Aug. 1980 4th Q to IstQ 1980 IstQ to 2dQ 1980 5 E 3 C » £ I. CYCLICAL INDICATORS-Con. B4. Fixed Capital In vestment -Con. Business Investment Commitments: Bil. dol 10. Contracts and orders, plant and equipment . . . L,L,L *20. Contr. and orders, plant and equip., do. . . . 1972 dol .. . L LL do. . . . 24. New orders, cap. goods Indus., nondefense . . . L,L,L 27. New orders, capital goods industries, nondedo. . . . fense, 1972 dollars L,L,L 9. Construction contracts, commercial and industrial buildings floor space L,C,U Mil. sq.ft. . . 1 1 New capital appropriations, mfg U,Lg,U Bil. dol 97. Backlog of capital appropriations, mfg.5 . . . . . C,Lg,Lg Bil. dol., EOP Business Investment Expenditures: 61. Business expend., new plant and equipment .. C,Lg,Lg A.r., bil. dol. 69. Machinery and equipment sales and business do. . . . construction expenditures C,Lg,Lg 76. Industrial production, business equip C,Lg,U 1967=100... 86. Nonresid. fixed investment, total, 1972 dol. .. C,Lg,C A.r., bil. dol. Residential Construction Commitments and Investment: 28. New private housing units started, total *29. New building permits, private housing 89. Fixed investment, residential, 1972 dol 22.01 25.32 25.77 26.06 22.77 22.92 24.86 24.90 8.5 0.2 1.1 -12 .6 10 13.60 18.30 14.57 21.64 14.50 21.70 14.18 22.64 12.38 20.57 12.62 19.95 13.72 21.61 13.54 20.31 8.7 8.3 -1.3 -6.0 -2.2 4.3 -12.7 -9.1 20 24 11.41 12.68 12.52 12.57 11.36 11.26 12.24 11.45 8.7 -6.5 0.4 -9.6 27 72.28 65.99 1.5 -8.7 5.7 26.7 9.7 -24.2 -12.7 4.3 9 11 97 2 .4 1.3 61 2 3 0 . 1 3 271.93 2 8 4 . 1 0 3 0 0 . 3 9 2 9 2 . 5 5 292.17 2 9 4 . 1 3 171.3 175.7 171.7 168.1 160 .3 173.0 169.0 140.1 148.8 151.2 145.3 150.5 NA 167.3 0.7 -0.5 NA -0.5 5.7 1.6 0.5 -2.6 -2.3 -3.9 69 76 86 1,249 99.8 1,399 109.9 2.1 14.6 12.0 10.1 -20.7 -15.1 -7.3 -16.6 -20.9 -21.3 28 29 89 -1 .1 2.3 30 80.73 16.78 63.43 90.34 22.20 76.66 86.02 23.28 76.66 90.91 29.50 84.09 68.94 25.76 87.71 153.82 1 7 7 . 0 9 186.95 191.36 193.89 A.r., thous. . 1967=100... A.r., bil. dol. 2,020 145.4 60.1 1,744 123.8 56.7 1,593 108.0 55.8 1,263 91.7 51.7 1,053 72.5 40.7 L LL do. . . . 14.1 9.7 1.4 0.3 2.6 L,L,L L,L,L L,L,L do. . . . do. . . . Bil. dol 19.02 43.2 2.05 10.62 46.4 2.56 L,L,L L,L,L L,L,L 71.19 1,223 87.1 B5. Inventories and Inventory Investment Inventory Investment: 30. Chg. in business inventories, 1972 dol.2 *36. Change in inventories on hand and on order, 1972 dollars (smoothed 6 ) 2 31. Chg. in book value, mfg. and trade invent.2 .. 38. Chg. in mtl. stocks on hand and on order 2 . . . Inventories on Hand and on Order: 71 Mfg and trade inventories total 5 *70. Mfg. and trade invent., total, 1972 dol.5 65. Mfrs.' inventories of finished goods 5 77. Ratio, inventories to sales, mfg. and trade, constant dollars 2 78. Materials and supplies, stocks on hand and on order 5 Lg,Lg,Lg Bil. dol., EOP do. . . . Lg,Lg,Lg do. . . . Lg,Lg,Lg Lg,Lg,Lg Ratio - 8 . 7 5 -12.15 -14.23 43.7 30.8 14.8 1.37 -1.84 -2.32 NA NA NA -2.08 28.9 3 .69 NA NA NA -3.45 15.3 -0.01 2.21 -18.3 -3.92 36 31 38 380.64 427.04 427.04 439.32 447.03 4 4 7 . 0 3 450.67 249.59 257.32 257.32 256.88 257.50 2 5 7 . 5 0 2 5 8 . 4 8 63.88 70.53 70.53 77.00 73.94 76.61 76.61 NA NA NA 0.8 0 .4 0.5 NA NA NA 2.9 -0.2 4.8 1.8 0.2 3.6 71 70 65 1.71 NA -0.03 NA 0. 168.52 199.20 199.20 2 0 5 . 4 3 1 9 9 . 9 0 1 9 9 . 9 0 2 0 1 . 2 7 NA 0.7 NA 1.57 L,Lg,Lg Bil. dol., EOP 1.60 -7.51 -10.96 33.8 49.1 2.09 2.08 1.62 1.62 1.74 1.74 3.1 0.12 77 -2.7 78 B6. Prices, Costs, and Profits Sensitive Commodity Prices: *92. Chg. in sensitive prices (smoothed 6 ) 2 23 Industrial materials prices® L,L,L U,L,L Percent 1967=100... 1.23 231.0 1.12 292.1 0.73 3.8 0.85 5.2 0.09 3.7 -2.33 -11.3 92 23 Stock Prices: *19. Stock prices, 500 common stocks® L,L,L 1941-43=10. 9 6 . 0 2 103.01 105.30 110.30 1 0 8 . 4 0 114.55 119.83 1 2 3 . 5 0 4.6 3.1 4.7 -1.7 19 Profits and Profit Margins: 1 6. Corporate profits after taxes 18. Corp. prof its after taxes, 1972 dollars . . . 79. Corp. profits after taxes, with I VA and CCA . . 80 do in 1972 dol. ... 1 5. Profits (after taxes) per dol. of sales, mfg.2 . . . 26. Ratio, price to unit labor cost, nonfarm bus L,L,L L,L,L L,C,L L,C,L L,L,L L,L,L A.r., bil. dol. do. . . . do. . . . do. . . . Cents 1967=100... 121.5 78.5 83.1 54.2 5.4 95.6 144.1 85.7 85.6 51.6 5.7 94.3 146.9 84.7 80.3 46.9 5.4 94.0 158.0 88.8 72.6 41.4 5.6 93.6 127.1 69.9 75.2 41.7 4.4 93.5 7.6 4 .8 -9.6 -11.7 0 .2 -0.4 -19.6 -21.3 3.6 0.7 -1.2 -0.1 16 18 79 80 15 26 Cash Flows: 34. Net cash flow, corporate 35. Net cash flow, corporate, 1972 dollars L,L,L L,L,L A.r., bil. dol. do. 194 .1 121.5 222.3 128.8 227.7 127.5 238.8 131.3 207.8 111.7 4 .9 3 .0 -13.0 -14.9 34 35 Lg,Lg,Lg 1967-100... 194.0 214.0 221.1 227.5 235.1 2.9 3.3 63 lg,Lg,Lg Dollars Lg,Lg,Lg 1967=100... 1.020 164.1 1.115 175.0 1.152 179.5 1.182 185.0 1.220 194.3 2 .6 3.1 3.2 5.0 68 62 75.7 75.8 76.0 76.4 77.4 0.4 1.0 64 0.05 0.10 -0.14 -2.4 -2.1 -0.43 0.10 0.02 -3.7 -1.8 85 102 104 105 106 0.070 0.010 0.040 -0.003 107 108 -2 .69 49.85 3 4 . 2 1 -41.38 55.94 -3.36 11.2 -55.6 33 112 113 110 Unit Labor Costs and Labor Share: 63. Unit labor cost, private business sector 68. Labor cost (cur. dol.) per unit of gross domestic product ( 1 972), nonfin, corp *62. Labor cost per unit of output, mfg 64. Compensation of employees as percent of national income2 Lg,Lg,Lg Percent 2.08 293.0 2.42 307.1 2.51 318.5 0.18 282.6 -0.46 267.5 197.6 0.27 277.6 200.4 202.3 1.4 0.9 B7. Money and Credit Money: 85. Change in money supply (M1-B)2 102. Change in money supply (M2)2 *104. Chg. in total liquid assets (smoothed6.)2 105. Money supply (M1-B), 1972 dollars *106. Money supply (M2), 1972 dollars L,L,L L,C,U L,L,L L,L,L L,L,L Percent. . . . do do Bil. dol do. . . . 0.66 0.67 0.97 222.5 864.4 0.60 0.71 0.95 215.6 846.2 0.36 0.50 0.79 211.4 834.0 0.41 0.60 0.65 206.3 816.5 -0.02 0.70 0.67 198.6 801.5 1.22 1.51 0.61 198.2 804.1 0.92 1.51 0.64 200.0 816.2 1.80 1.13 0.76 202.3 819.8 -0.30 0. 0.03 0.9 1.5 Velocity of Money: 107. Ratio, GNP to money supply (M1-B)2 108. Ratio, pers. income to money supply (M2) 2 .. C,C,C C,Lg,C Ratio 6.125 1.273 6.330 1.310 6.390 1.322 6.460 1.332 6.500 1.329 1.318 1.318 1.313 0. Credit 33 112 113. 1 10. L,L,L L LL L,L,L L,L,L A.r., bil. dol. do do i do. . . . 40.93 13.28 -7.31 NA 30.96 NA 33.06 11.14 34.25 Flows: Change in mortgage debt2 Change in business loans2 Change in consumer installment debt2 Total private borrowing do. . . . 86.19 90.83 77.47 74.78 24.93 7.87 14.27 22.88 2.14 -4.28 2 9 . 9 3 -11.45 44.35 35.50 23.77 2 0 . 4 1 - 3 5 . 5 3 -41.56 3 4 6 . 6 3 3 5 6 . 9 8 3 0 9 . 7 5 344 .39 152.86 0.88 -0.38 0.12 1.2 0.4 -0.005 NA 17.68 NA Basic data1 Timing classification3 of measure Credit Difficulties: 14. Liabilities of business failures (inv.4)® 39. Delinquency rate, instal. loans (inv. 4 ) 2 5 . . . . L,L,L L,L,L Mil. do! Percent, EOP Bank Reserves: 93. Free reserves (inverted 4 ) 2 ® 94. Borrowing from the Federal Reserve 2 ® L,U,U L,Lg,U Mil.dol do. . . . Series title Pwc.H!»t change Average 1978 1979 4th Q 1979 IstQ 1980 2dQ 1980 June 1980 July 1980 Aug. 1980 June to July 1980 July to Aug. 1980 4th Q to IstQ 1980 IstQ to 2dQ 1980 Series number 1 Table 1. Summary of Recent Data and Current Changes for Principal Indicators —Continued I. CYCLICAL INDICATORS-Con. B7. Money and Credit-Con. Interest Rates: 119. Federal funds rate 2 ® 114. Treasury bill rate 2 ® 115. Treasury bond yields 2 ® 116. Corporate bond yields 2 ® 117. Municipal bond yields2® 118. Mortgage yields, residential 2 ® 67. Bank rates on short-term bus. loans2® *109. Average prime rate charged by banks 2 ® L,Lg,Lg Percent do. C,Lg,Lg do. C,Lg,Lg do. Lg,Lg,Lg do. U,Lg,Lg do. Lg,Lg,Lg do. Lg,Lg,Lg do. Lg.Lg.Lg ... ... ... ... ... ..: ... Outstanding Debt: 66. Consumer installment debt5 Lg,Lg,Lg Bil.dol., EOP *72. Commercial and industrial loans outstanding, weekly reporting large comm. banks Lg,Lg,Lg Bil. dol *95. Ratio, consumer install, debt to pers. income 2 . Lg,Lg,Lg Percent 221.33 2.45 2 2 2 . 2 8 2 3 9 . 3 6 2 3 6 . 0 6 415.33 4 3 6 . 6 9 4 4 5 . 6 9 2.74 NA 2.53 2.74 2.64 2 .64 NA NA -2 .1 NA NA NA 1 .4 0.11 -75.9 -0.21 1 3 -679 -1,131 -1,527 -1,715 -1,070 1,907 1,279 872 1,338 1,800 -114 365 28 390 -356 687 -142 25 384 297 188 107 -645 -628 9 9 12.69 10.05 10.02 12.03 7.95 12.43 17.75 16.32 9.47 7.00 9.40 11.12 7.63 11.85 9.03 8.13 9.83 11.48 8.13 12.39 9.61 9.26 10.53 12.31 8.67 13 .54 -0.44 1.13 0.43 0.36 0.50 0 .54 0.58 1.13 0.70 0.83 0.54 1.15 12.63 11.48 11.12 -1.15 -0.36 1.47 1.66 1.54 1.66 1.03 NA -0.14 1.32 -2.36 -3.41 -1.13 -0.96 -0.28 NA 2.08 -0.08 11 11 11 11 11 11 6 10 2 6 7 . 6 3 303.13 303.13 3 0 8 . 2 4 2 9 9 . 3 5 2 9 9 . 3 5 2 9 8 . 7 4 NA -0.2 NA 1 .7 -2.9 6 159.21 1 6 0 . 3 2 1 6 2 . 9 0 NA 14.32 14.08 0.7 -0.24 1.6 NA 4.0 -0.14 -0.6 -0.34 7 9 7.94 7.22 7.89 8.98 6.02 9.75 9.80 9.06 11.20 10.04 8.74 10.05 6.52 10.89 13.18 12.67 13.58 11.80 9.61 11.33 7.20 NA 15.81 15.08 15.05 13.46 11.15 12.99 8.23 NA 15.67 16.40 126.31 1 4 7 . 0 6 154.92 161.16 14.90 14.34 14.99 15.04 160 .17 14.56 II. OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES B. Prices, Wages, and Productivity B1. Price Movements 310 320. 320c 322 330. 331. 332 333 334. Implicit price deflator GNP Consumer prices (CPI), all items® Change in CPI all items S/A 2 CPI, food Producer prices (PPI), all commodities ® PPI, crude materials PPI intermediate materials PPI capital equipment PPI, finished consumer goods . , 1972=100... 1967=100... Percent 1967=100... 152.0 195.4 0.7 211.4 165.5 217.4 1.0 234 .5 170.6 227.6 1.1 242 .0 174.5 236.5 1.4 245.5 179.0 245.0 0.9 249.4 247.6 1.0 250.5 247.8 0. 252.9 249.4 0.7 257.5 0.1 -1.0 1.0 0.6 0.7 1.8 2 .3 3.9 0.3 1.4 2.6 3.6 -0.5 1.6 31 32 32 32 do. do. do. do. do. ... ... . .. ... ... 209.3 240.2 215.5 199.1 192.6 235.6 282.2 242.8 216.7 215.7 247.5 298.2 257.5 223.0 227.5 259.0 302.6 271.3 230.1 237.5 263.9 293.2 275.4 236.8 242.5 265.2 295.1 277.1 238.1 243 .8 269.8 313 .6 279.3 241.3 248.2 273.1 331.6 282.1 243.5 252.7 1.7 6.3 0.8 1.3 1.8 1.2 5.7 1.0 0.9 1.8 4.6 1.5 5.4 3.2 4.4 1.9 -3.1 1.5 2.9 2.1 33 33 33 33 33 do. . . . 212.9 229.8 237.2 242.6 248.5 250.9 251.7 253 .1 0.3 0.6 2.3 2.4 34 do. do. do. do. 109.0 226.9 116.1 119.3 105.6 247.1 113.7 118.3 104.0 254.6 111.7 117.7 102.3 261.1 110.1 117.7 101.4 267.8 109.4 117.1 101.5 101.8 101.7 0.3 -0.1 -1.6 2 .6 -1 .4 0. -0.9 2.6 -0.6 -0.5 34 34 34 37 100.42 102.91 103.75 104.19 104.70 104.54 105.20 105.02 96.89 96.54 97.01 97.80 97 .00 96.94 97.66 94.37 8,019 5,963 6,084 6,390 7,808 8,006 8,207 6,047 3,542 3,682 2,252 3,710 3,730 2,223 2,593 2,318 2,600 2,702 2,236 2,213 2,271 2,596 2,628 2,235 1,666 1,774 1,709 1,700 1,559 1,531 1,526 1,528 0.6 0.5 2.5 0.5 4.1 4.4 -0.2 0. -2.3 -1.3 -2.7 -3.7 0.4 0 .1 5.0 11.9 1.6 -0.3 0.5 -0.9 22.2 36 .6 14.5 9.2 44 44 3 44 44 44 0.1 0.3 0.9 0. 0.1 -2.2 -0.1 0.2 -0.6 0.1 0.2 -0.7 45 45 45 2 .6 3 .9 -7.2 1 .8 2.2 -1.2 -1.6 3.2 -26.3 -0.6 0.9 -5.1 50 50 50 51 51 51 82. Wages and Productivity 340. Average hourly earnings, production workers, private nonfarm economy 341. Real average hourly earnings, production workers, private nonfarm economy 345. Average hourly compensation, nonfarm bus. . . 346. Real avg. hourly comp., nonfarm business . . . 370. Output per hour, private business sector ... ... ... ... C. Labor Force, Employment, and Unemployment 441 . 442. 37. 444. 445. 446. Labor 451 452. 453. Total civilian labor force Total civilian employment Number of persons unemployed Unemployed males, 20 years and over Unemployed females, 20 years and over Unemployed persons, 16-19 years of age Millions . . . . do. . . . Thousands. . do. . . . ' do. .. . do. . . . Force Participation Rates: Males 20 years and over 2 Females, 20 years and over 2 Both sexes, 16-19 years of age2 Percent do. . . . do. . . . 79.8 49.6 58.0 79.8 50.6 58.1 79.6 51.0 58.2 79.5 51.2 57.6 79.6 51.4 56.9 A.r., bil.dol. do. ... do. . . . do. . . . do. . . . do. . . . 432.1 459.8 -27.7 331.0 303.6 27.4 497.6 509.0 -11.4 354.6 330.0 24.6 524.7 540.4 -15.7 368.7 342.9 25.8 538.4 561.3 -22.9 375.3 350.6 24.6 529.9 579.1 -49.2 373.2 353.6 19.5 79.4 51.3 56.5 79.5 51.6 57.4 79.5 51.7 55.2 D. Government Activities D1. Receipts and Expenditures 501 . Federal Government receipts 502. Federal Government expenditures 500. Federal Government surplus or deficit 2 51 1 . State and local government receipts 512. State and local government expenditures . . . . 510 State and local govt. surplus or deficit 2 D2. Defense Indicators 517. 525 548 564 Defense Department obligations Military prime contract awards New orders defense products National defense purchases MiL dol do. . . . do. ... A.r., bil.dol. 10,360 11,132 5,157 5,356 3,467 3,284 99.0 108.3 11,325 13,246 13,346 12,193 12,973 7,413 7,184 NA 6,149 5,159 3,875 4,591 3 , 5 4 6 4,366 3,623 119.6 124.1 114.6 NA NA 3,941 6.4 NA 23.1 NA NA -9.7 17.0 19.2 7.0 4 .4 0.8 20.6 18.5 3.8 51 52 54 56 Mil.dol. do. do. do. do. do. 11,955 15,136 16,783 1 7 , 7 0 5 18,263 1 8 , 6 4 2 1 8 , 0 7 5 2,483 2,896 3,430 3,131 3 , 0 2 4 3,300 3,368 3 , 2 2 1 3,391 3,711 3 , 9 4 3 3,985 2,500 3,009 14,333 17,195 19,083 2 1 , 0 6 4 19,910 19,893 18,995 6,782 4,676 6,611 5,153 3,278 5,968 6,329 1,725 1,853 1,965 2,103 1,887 1,851 1,843 NA 3,682 4,230 NA NA NA -3.0 9.1 1.1 -4.5 -22.1 14.1 NA 11.6 6.1 NA NA NA 5.5 1.8 5.3 10.4 13.6 4.1 3.2 -8.7 9.4 -5.5 -6.7 -5.8 60 60 60 61 61 61 E. U.S. International Transactions E1. Merchandise Trade 602. 604. 606. 612. 614. 616. Exports, total except military aid Exports of agricultural products Exports of nonelectrical machinery General imports, total Imports of petroleum and products Imports of automobiles and parts ... ... . .. . .. ... ... Table 1. Summary of Recent Data and Current Changes for Principal Indicators—Continued Basic data1 Series title Unit of measure Percent change Average 1st 0 2dQ 3dQ 4th Q IstQ 2dQ 1979 1979 1979 1979 1980 1980 1977 1978 1979 30,204 37,922 -7,718 8,147 3,650 46,177 48,543 -2,366 35,514 43,953 -8,440 10,743 5,518 55,260 57,560 -2,301 45,514 52,881 -7,367 16,492 8,365 71,627 70,408 1,220 41,805 46,919 -5,114 14,263 7,225 65,667 62,935 2,732 42,815 50,885 -8,070 15,250 7,980 67,763 67,873 A.r., bil.dol do do do do .... A.r., dollars do 1340.5 1899.5 1327.4 1305.1 929.5 6,180 4,285 1399.2 2127.6 1385.1 1458.4 972.6 6,401 4,449 1431.6 2368.8 1421.9 1624.3 994.8 6,494 4,512 1430.6 2292.1 1418.4 1572.2 996.6 6,512 4,536 1422.3 2329.8 1404.1 1601.7 993.0 6,460 4,510 A.r bil dol do do do do do do do 924 .5 921.8 915.0 935.4 9 3 6 . 5 910.8 861.7 900.8 925.9 138.2 146.7 127.4 147.1 150.2 144.8 146.9 146.7 145.4 344.1 332.7 3 4 3 . 3 349.1 354.1 348.1 349.2 355.1 347 .8 390.8 410.8 428.3 423.5 426.1 429.9 433.6 437.0 435.6 1210.0 1350.8 1509.8 1454.2 1475.9 1528.6 1580.4 1629.5 1626.6 178.8 195.7 2 0 0 . 3 213.0 213.8 208.7 216.2 220.2 213.4 481.3 530.6 596.9 571.1 581.2 654.1 604.7 630.7 652.0 5 4 9 . 8 619.8 669.3 699.8 686.0 710.6 733.5 757.3 776.9 o3 3dQ to 4th Q 4th Q to IstQ IstQ to 2dQ 1979 1980 1980 | c S £ II. OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES-Con. E2. Goods and Services Movements Except Transfers Under Military Grants 618 620 622 651 652. 668. 669 667. Merchandise exports Merchandise imports Merchandise trade balance2 Income on U S investments abroad Income on foreign investment in the U.S. ..... Exports of goods and services Imports of goods and services Balance on goods and services2 Mil. dol do do do do do do . ...do -110 47,198 54,258 -7,060 18,050 8,731 74,773 72,267 2,506 50,237 59,462 -9,225 18,407 9,524 78,305 78,555 1433.3 2396.5 1426.2 1640.0 993.4 6,494 4,501 1440.3 2456.9 1439.0 1683.1 996.2 6,509 4,502 -250 54,708 65,583 •10,875 20,846 10,752 85,647 86,470 -823 0. 6.4 8.9 54,710 62,353 9.6 10.3 - 7 , 6 4 3 -2,165 -1,650 16,772 2.0 13.3 9.1 12.9 10,417 81,522 4.7 9.4 82,780 8.7 10.1 -1,258 - 2 , 7 5 6 -573 -4.9 3,232 -19.5 -3.1 -4.8 -4.3 -435 618 620 622 651 652 668 669 667 A. National Income and Product A1. GNPand Personal Income 50. 200 213. 224. 225 217 227 GNPin 1972 dollars GNPin current dollars Final sales, 1972 dollars Disposable personal income, current dollars ... Disposable personal income, 1972 dollars Per capita GNPin 1972 dollars Per capita disposable pers income 1972 dol 1444.7 2520.8 1444.4 1737.4 998.5 6,514 4,502 1408.6 2521.3 1406.0 1755.9 983.1 6,337 4,423 0.5 2 .5 0.9 2.6 0.3 0.2 0. 0.3 2.6 0.4 3.2 0 .2 0.1 0. -2.5 0. -2.7 1.1 -1.5 -2.7 -1 .8 50 200 213 224 225 217 227 A2. Personal Consumption Expenditures 231 233 238 239. 230. 232 236. 237 Total 1972 dollars Durable goods 1972 dollars Nondurable goods 1972 dollars Services, 1972 dollars Total, current dollars Durable goods, current dollars Nondurable goods, current dollars Services, current dollars 1.0 -0.1 1.7 0.9 3.4 1.3 4.3 3.2 0.1 -2.7 -12.4 -0.9 -0.3 -1.8 -0.3 -0.2 0.8 3.1 1.9 3.4 3.2 -11.1 0.3 2.6 231 233 238 239 230 232 236 237 A3. Gross Private Domestic Investment 241 243 30 240 242. 245. do do do do do do Total 1972 dollars Total fixed investment 1972 dollars Change in business inventories 1972 dol 2 Total current dollars Total fixed investment, current dollars Chg. in bus. inventories, current dol.2 200.1 186.9 214.3 200.2 13.1 14.1 303.3 281.3 351.5 329.1 215.2 205.5 9.7 387.2 369.0 217.2 204.9 12.3 18.1 373.8 354.6 395.4 361.9 214.2 207.1 7.1 392.3 377.8 14.5 221.7 203.5 207.7 206.3 1.4 387.2 381.7 5.6 203.2 202.9 0.3 387.7 383.0 4.7 188.6 186.0 2 .6 368.5 357.1 -3.0 -0.4 -5.7 -1.3 11.4 -8.9 280.0 104.3 175.7 517.2 186.2 331.0 280.9 106 .7 174.3 528.3 193.3 335.0 1.5 3.8 0.2 4.9 9.5 2.5 128.3 1.7 2.0 0. 4.9 8.5 21.9 22.3 18.2 19.1 33.4 do do do do do do 268.5 100.6 167.9 396.2 144.4 251.8 273.2 274.3 273.1 99.4 98.1 97.4 174.6 435.6 152.6 283.0 174.9 476.4 166.6 309.8 274.7 101.1 173.6 460.1 163.6 296.5 272.4 98.6 174.3 466.6 161.7 304 .9 175.6 477.8 162.9 314.9 277.1 101.1 176.0 501.2 178.4 322.8 do do do do do do 98.4 108.9 119.9 102.3 117.0 100.0 116.0 102.9 122.2 102.1 124.3 104.1 131.7 106.7 17.6 17.0 13.2 20.1 20.1 25.0 238.5 234 .4 4.0 243.7 251.9 267.3 269.5 280.4 292.4 -11.9 308.1 321.7 -13.6 1.0 -7.2 -8.3 -2.2 -1.6 -1.1 2.3 0.1 0.3 -5.0 -6.8 6.7 -0.9 241 243 30 240 242 245 A4. Government Purchases of Goods and Services 261. 263 267. 260. 262. 266. Total, 1972 dollars Federal Government 1972 dollars State and local governments, 1972 dollars Total, current dollars Federal Government, current dollars State and local governments, current dollars . . . 0.3 2.3 1.0 3.2 -0.2 -0.8 2 .1 3.8 1.2 3.2 4.4 2.5 261 263 267 260 262 266 A5. Foreign Trade 256. 257. 255. 252. 253. 250. Exports of goods and services, 1972 dollars . . . Imports of goods and services, 1972 dollars ... Net exports of goods and serv., 1972 dol.2 . . . . Exports of goods and services, current dol Imports of goods and services, currentdol Net exports of goods and serv., current dot.2 . . 88. 2 10.3 175.9 185.8 -9.9 97.9 11.0 207.2 217.5 -10.3 257.5 262.1 -4.6 -8.1 -2.3 99.9 28.3 307.0 309.2 -2.2 -9.6 6.0 2.5 4 .9 9.9 -2.6 -6.4 3.3 -0.4 -3.9 11.4 10.0 -1.7 256 257 255 252 253 250 A6. National Income and Its Components 220. 280. 282. 286. 284. 288 National income Compensation of employees Proprietors' income with IVA and CCA Corporate profits with IVA and CCA Rental income of persons with CCA Net interest 290 295 292 298 293 Gross saving (private and govt.) Business saving Personal saving Government surplus or deficit2 Personal saving rate2 do do do do do do 1525.8 1724.3 1924.8 1869.0 1897.9 1941.9 1990.4 2 0 3 5 . 4 2 0 2 4 . 6 1156.9 1304.5 1459.2 1411.2 1439.7 1472.8 1513.2 1555.2 1567.2 100.2 129.0 116.8 130.8 129.3 130.3 130.0 120.5 134.5 150.0 167.7 178.2 178.9 152.8 176.6 180.8 176.4 175.0 2.5 2 .7 3.2 -2.4 1.5 5.9 24.7 94.0 25.9 26.9 27.3 26.8 26.6 27.0 27.0 27.3 109.5 129.7 122.6 125.6 131.5 139.2 148.1 156.8 276.1 230.7 324.6 253.0 363.9 275.9 362.2 266.0 374.3 274.6 367.3 281.9 351.9 281.0 346.6 279.2 345.5 287.6 -4.2 -0.3 65.0 72.0 -0.3 73.8 13.2 79.2 15.8 85.9 12.7 70.3 14.0 64.4 86.3 -15.1 -29.6 4.9 -4.0 -0.8 2.3 2.8 -3.3 -0.8 0. 6.4 -0.5 0.8 -7.3 -12.7 1.1 5.9 220 280 282 286 284 288 A7. Saving do do do do Percent -19.5 5.0 4.9 4.5 5.0 5.4 4.3 59.7 10.0 3.5 1.7 3.7 -0.3 -1.5 -0.6 3.0 7.9 -8.3 0.2 34.0 -31.3 1.2 NUI h: beries are seasonally mally adjusted adjusted except tor those indicated by <B>, <§), which appear to contain no seasonal movement. Series indicated by an asterisk (*) (*) are included in tlthe major composite indexes. Dollar values are in aruuico cnorifioH finrinHinn composition nnmnneitmn noff tho urrent dollars unless otherwise specified. Pnr For mmnioto complete corioc series titioc titles (including the nnmnnejta composite inHovo^ indexes) ™A and ™. sources, see"Titles 'Titles and Sources of Series" at the back ba of BCD. NA = not available, a = anticipated. jrceSi see :OP = end of period. A.r. = annual rate. S/A = seasonally adjusted (used for special emphasis). IVA = inventory valuation adjustment. CCA = capital consumption adjustment. t. NIA = national income accounts, 1 For a few series, data shown here have been rounded to fewer digits than those shown elsewhere in BCD. Annual figures published by the source agencies are used if availilable. 2 Differences rather than percent changes are shown for this series. 3 The three-part timing code indicates the timing classification of the series at peaks, at troughs, and at all turns: L = leading; C = roughly coincident; Lg = lagging; U = unclassified. 4 Inverted series. Since this series tends to move counter to movements in general business activity, signs of the changes are reversed. 5 End-of-period series. The annual figures (and quarterly figures for monthly »«sj are the last figures for the period. 6 This series is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1, 2, 2, 1) placed at the terminal month of the span. 290 295 292 298 293 COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS Chart Al. Composite Indexes 910. Index of twelve leading indicators (series 1, 3, 8, 12, 19, 20, 29, 32, 36, 92, 104, 106) 920. Index of four roughly coincident indicators (series 41, 47, 51, 57) 930. Index of six lagging indicators (series 62, 70, 72, 91, 95, 109) Digitized forNOTE: FRASER Numbers entered on the chart indicate length of leads (-) Current data for these series are shown on page 60. and lags ( + ) in months from reference turning dates. COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS—Continued Chart Al. Composite Indexes—Continued (Aug.)iApr,' (Nov.) ( O c t . ) F T P ( N o v ) (Mar.) P T 911 Marginal employment adjustments (series 1, 2, 3, 5) -10 914. Capital investment commitments (series 12, 20, 29) -13 T Index: 1967=100 120- -8 2L 11010090- 120- 915. Inventory investment and purchasing (series 8, 32, 36, 92) 11010090110 -12 100 -11 90 916 Profitabilitv ^series 19 26 80) 160 • 150 140 130 • 917. Money and financial flows (series 104, 106, 110) f 940. Ratio, coincident index to lagging index 1948 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 NOTE: Numbers entered on the chart indicate length Current data for these series are shown on page 60. 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 1980 of leads (-) and lags (+) in months from reference turning dates. 11 COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS—Continued Chart A2. Leading Index Components 1. Average workweek, production workers, 3. Layoff rate, manufacturing (per 100 employees—inverted scale) 8. New orders for consumer goods and materials, 1972 dollars (bil. dol.) 32. Vendor performance, percent of companies reporting slower deliveries (percent) Ul 12. Net business formation (index: 1967=100) 20. Contracts and orders for plant and equipment, 1972 dollars (bil. dol.) [7771 I L>L>LI Digitized Current for FRASER data for these series are shown on pages 61, 64, 65, and 66. COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS—Continued Chart A2. Leading Index Components—Continued _29. New iwildifipeiTn|^jriyate^ho 36. Net change in inventories on hand and on order, 1972 dollars, smoothed1 (ann. rate, bil. dol.) 92. Change in sensitive prices, smoothed1 (percent) LL.L 104. Change in total liquid assets, smoothed1 (percent) | L,L,l| 19. Stock prices, 500 common stocks (index: 1941-43=10) EMI 106. Money supply-M2-in LIE 1 This series is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1,2,2,1) placed on the terminal month of the span. 68, 69, and 71. Current data for these series are shown on pages 67, CYCLICAL INDICATORS A I COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS—Continued 1 Chart A3. Coincident Index Components (Dec.) ; N o v , ) P T (Nov.) (Mar ; T P 41. Employees on nonagricuitural payrolls (miliions) 51. Personal income less transfer payments. 57. Manufacturing and trade sales, 1972 dollars (bil. dol.) 1948 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 Current data for these series are shown on pages 62, 63, and 65. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 14 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 1980 A COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS—Continued Chart A4. Lagging Index Components Current data for these series are shown 9L Average duration of unemployment (weeks-inverted 70. Manufacturing and trade inventories, 1972 dollars (bil. dol.) 62. Labor cost per unit of output, manufacturing (index: 1967=100) 72. Commercial and industrial loans outstanding, weekly reporting large commercial banks (bil. dol.) 95. Ratio, consumer installment debt to personal income (percent) on pages 62, 68, 70, and 73. CYCLICAL INDICATORS B | CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS Chart Bl. Employment and Unemployment I Marginal Employment Adjustments] 1. Average workweek, production markers, manufacturing (hours) 21. Average weekly overtime hours, production workers, manufacturing (hours) 2. Accession rate, manufacturing (per 100 employees) A. 4- 5. Average weekly initial claims, State unemployment insurance (thousands—inverted scale) 200- 300- 700- 3. Layoff rate, manufacturing (per 100 employees—inverted safe) 234- 4. Quit rate, manufacturing (per 100 employees) 3-! 1956 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 Current data for these series are shown on page 61. 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart Bl. Employment and Unemployment—Continued | Job Vacancies | 1.4- GO. Ratio, help-wanted advertising to number of persons unemployed (ratio) 1.0- Z 0.6™ 0.2- ZUU 46. Help-wanted advertising Cm** 1967=100) FT Ulll s V V^s- / 175 l ^~^\ ; S ~\ \^ 150 ^ 8 \r^ 125 100 7S 180-1 170- | Comprehensive Employment | 160« 48. Employee-hours in nonagricultural establishments (ann. rate, bil. hours) 150- 100' 9590- 42. Persons engaged in nonagricultural activities (millions) 8580' 41. Employees on nonagricultural payrolls (millions) 6528 27 26 25 24 23 22- 1956 V 57 58 40. Employees in goods-fyodudng industnes—mining, manufacturing, construction (millions) 2120- 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 Current data for these series are shown on pages 61 and 62. 17 B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart Bl. Employment and Unemployment—Continued [Comprehensive Employment-Con.| 90. Ratio, civilian employment to total population of working age (percent) | Comprehensive Unemployment] 37. Number unemployed, total (millions—inverted scale) 43. Unemployment rate, total (percent—inverted scale) 45. Average weekly insured unemployment rate (percent—inverted scale) 91. Average duration of unemployment (weeks—inverted scale) 44. Unemployment rate, persons unemployed 15 weeks and over (percent—inverted scale) Current data for these series are shown on page 62. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve18 Bank of St. Louis CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B2. Production and Income 1600 *• 1500- |Comprehensive Output and Income] 1400 - 50. GNP in 1972 dollars,' Q (ann. rate, bil. dot.) 13001200 - 11001000900 - 8001300* 12001100- 52. Personal income in 1972 dollars (ana rate, bil. dd) 1000 900 - 800700 - 51. Personal income less transfer payments in 1972t dollars (ann. rate, bil. dol.) fc^c] 53. Wages and salaries in mining, manufacturing, and construction in 1972 dollars (ann. rate, bil. dol.) 1956 57 58 59 Digitized for 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 73 74 ?5 76 77 78 79 80 1981 Current data for these series are shown on page 63. FRASER 10 B I CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B2. Production and Income—Continued I Industrial Production] 47. Industrial production, totalI (index: 1967=100)^ |C,C,C| 74. Industrial production, nondurable manufactures (index: 1967=100) N. 73. Industrial production, durable manufactures (index: 1967=100) 49. Value of goods output in 1972 dollars, Q (ann. rate, bil. doL) ™ [Capacity Utilization] data for these series are Digitized for Current FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve 9fl Bank of St. Louis 83. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing (BEA), Q (percent) 82. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing (FRB), Q (percent) h Q 84. Rate of capacity utilization, materials, Q (percent) shown on pages 63 and 64. CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B3. Consumption, Trade, Orders, and Deliveries | Orders and Deliveries] 6. New orders, durable goods industries, current dollars (bit. dol.) fuJI x .^f y i -^ \/ ./^. \j^\^- o jS 7. New orders, durable goods industries, 1972 dollars £J^ (bil. dol.) [YJJ11] X J 30 J 8. New orders for consumer goods and materials in 1972 dollars (bil. dol.) V 25. Change in unfilled orders, durable goods industries (bil. dol.; MCD moving avg.—4-term) , I *->»->»- TTt 96. Manufacturers' unfilled orders, durable goods industries (bit. dol.) 32. Vendor performance, percent of companies reporting slower deliveries (percent) - Current data for these series are shown on page 64. 21 CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B3. Consumption, Trade, Orders, and Deliveries—Continued [Consumption and Trade] 56. Manufacturing and trade i (bil. dol.) in current dollars— 57. Manufacturing and trade sales in 1972 dollars (bil. dol.) 75. Industrial production, consumer goods (index: 1967=100) clcl "" 54. Sales of retail stores in current dollars (bil. C,LU 59. Sales .of retail stores in 1972 dollars (bil. dol.) 55. Personal consumption expenditures, automobiles, Q (ann. rate, bil doL) 58. index of consumer sentiment (1st Q 1966=100) Current data for these series are shown on page 65. 22 CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B4. Fixed Capital Investment I Formation of Business Enterprises! 12. Net business formation (index: 1967=100) [uTI \ 13. New business incorporations (thousands) 11,1,11 - [Business Investment Commitments| 20. Contracts and orders for plant and equipment in 1972 dollars (bil. dol.) 10. Contracts and orders for plant and equipment in current dollars (bil. dol.) h | _ | | 27. Manufacturers' new orders, capital goods industries, nondefense, in 1972 dollars (bil. dol.) X \ 24. Manufacturers' new orders, capital goods industries, nondefense, In current dollars (Kl. dol.) ILL jT —ft- -*•• 1" 1 8 -, • 9. Construction contracts, commercial and industrial buildings j (mil. sq. ft. of floor area; MCD moving avg7-6-term)1' 1 J If 7 * This is a copyrighted series used by permission; it may not be reproduced without written permission from McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F.W. Dodge Division. shown on pages 65 and 66. Current data for these series are urn CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B4. Fixed Capital Investment—Continued Business Investment Commitments-Con. 11. New capital appropriations, manufacturing, Q (bil. dol.) 97. Backlog of capital appropriations, manufacturing, Q (bil. dol.) 61. Business expenditures for new plant and equipment, Q (ann. rate, bil. dol.) [Business Investment Expenditures] 69. Machinery and equipment sales and business construction expenditures (ann. rate, bil. dol.) 76. Industrial production, business equipment (index: 1967=100) Current data for these series are shown on pages 66 and 67. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve 24 Bank of St. Louis B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B4. Fixed Capital Investment—Continued 180-| [Business Investment Expenditures— Con. | 160 4 Presidential fixed investment in 1972 dollars, Q (ana rate, bil. dol.) uo-j 88. Producers' durable equipment, Q [Residential Construction Commitments and Investment] 28. New private housing units started, iLLLl 29. New building permits, private housing units (index: 1967=100) dm 9. Residential fixed investnMit total in 1972. dollars,4 (ann. rate, bil. dol.) Current data for these series are shown on page 67. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ SEPTEMBER Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1980 25 B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS —Continued Chart B5. Inventories and Inventory Investment I Inventory investment] 30. Change in business inventories, 1972 dollars, Q (ann. rate, bit. dd) iLLLl 36. Net change in inventories on hand and on order, 1972 dollars (ann. rate, bil. do!.; moving avg.—4-term1) [LLL] 7 ' 31. Change in book value, manufacturing and trade inventories (ann. rate, bil. dol.; MCD moving avg.-6-term) 38. Change in stocks of materials and supplies on hand andjn order, manufacturing (bil. dol.; MCD moving avg.—4-term)T h |_L| -4h -I -I 1 This series is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1,2,2,1) placed on the terminal month of the span. Current data for these series are shown on page 68. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 26 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis SEPTEMBER 1980 ItCII B I CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B5. Inventories and Inventory Investment—Continued •Api.,iTt?!> ; ')< . ) 'Nov : /I en I Inventories on Hand and on Order] -^ ^ 100 S W) 71. Book value, manufacturing and trade inventories, .s' current dollars (bil. dol.) ^^ -^/* |Lg1lgI|L&| / 70. Manufacturing and trade inventories, 1972 dollars (HL dol.) ^ LZJ, ?£^ , ^^^ 77. Ratio, deflated inventories tom grffis, rnanufacturin^ i ai^ trade vi (ratio) 11* la I ~ ~" z. •H 78. Stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order, manufacturing (bil. dol.) |L,LgfL J j Current data for these series are shown on page 68. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank ofSEPTEMBER St. Louis 1980 ItCII 27 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B I CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B6. Prices, Costs, and Profits [Sensitive Commodity Prices 92. Change in sensitive prices (percent; moving avg.—4-term1) , ;J ill ;i^aujyT 23. Industrial materials prices (index: 1967=100) 19. Stock prices, 500 common stocks (index: 1941-43=10) 16. Corporate profits after taxes, current dollars, Q (ann. rate, bil. dol.) [Profits and Profit Margins 18. Corporate profits after taxes, 1972 dollars, Q (ann. ^JbiLjtoU profits after taxes with IVA and CCA. Corporate profits after taxes with IVA and CCA, current dollars, Q (ann. rate, bil. dol.) rrTT 1 This series is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1,2,2,1) placed on the terminal month of the span. page 69. Digitized forCurrent FRASER data for these series are shown on http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve 28 Bank of St. Louis SFPTPMRFR 1Q«n CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B6. Prices, Costs, and Profits—Continued [Profits and Profit Margins—Con.| 22. Ratio, corporate profits (after taxes) to total corporate domestic income, Q (percent) 31. Ratio, corporate profits (after taxes) with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments to total corporate domestic income, Q (percent) [uj.,1.1 15. Profits (after taxes) per dollar of sates, all manufacturing corporations, Q (cents) 26. Ratio, price to unit labor cost, nonfarm business sector, Q (index: 1967=100) " [Cash Flows| 35. Net cash flow, corporate, in 1972 dollars, Q (ann. rate, bil. dol.) | | _ L L | \ 34. Net cash flow, corporate, in current dollars, Q (ann. rate, bil. dol.) nrm Current data for these series are shown on pages 69 and 70. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ BCD Bank SEPTEMBER Federal Reserve of St. Louis1980 29 CYCLICAL INDICATORS BJ CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B6. Prices, Costs, and Profits—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P (Apr.) (Feb.) T P (Dec.) (Nov.) T P (Nov.) (Mar.) P T T 260- [Uniliabor Costs lid; Labor Share! n 240220200180160140- 63. Unit labor cost private business sector, Q (index: 1967=100) IOG-* THJ 1.31.21 1 •« 1.009- ' 68. Labor cost (current dollars) per unit of gross domestic product (1972 dollars), nonfinancial corporations, Q (dollars) p R« / / |Lg.Lg,Lg| 220210200190180170160150140- 6Z Labor cost per unit of output, manufacturing (index: 1967=100) 130120- 64. Compensation of employees as a percent of national income, Q (percent) y in 807876747270- 1956 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 Current data for these series are shown on page 70. 30 SEPTEMBER 1980 BCII CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B7. Money and Credit (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr,) (Feb.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P (Nov.) (Mar.) P T T + 1.6- j$L (Change In money supply Ml-B (percent; MCD moving avg.-6-term) { l i ? .» I [I] + 1.2+ 0.8- „ J ll M ii^uM iftSA hfi + 0.4- 0.0-0.4- >', i -0.8- 10Z Change in money supply M2 (percent; MCD moving av&~64erm) \L&U + 1.6- 104. Change in total liquid assets (percent; moving avg.-4-term1) iLLLl / fll Money supply-Mi-B-in 1972 dollars (bil. dd.) 106. Money supply-M2-in 1972 dollars (ha. dd.) full 107. Ratio, G N P o money supply Ml-B, Q (ratio) 108. Ratio, personal income to money supply M? (ratkrt cllc 1956 1 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 This series is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1,2,2,1) placed on the terminal month of the span. page 71. Current data for these series are shown on http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank SEPTEMBER of St. Louis 1980 KCII 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B7. Money and Credit—Continued [Credit Flows! Current data for these series are shown on http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve 00 Bank of St. Louis 33. Change in mortgage debt (arm. rate, JMLdoll tun 112. Change in bank loans to businesses (ana rate, biL dol; ji MCD moving avg.-6-term) 113. Change in consumer installment debt (ann. rate, bil. dol.) Eu] 110. Total private borrowing, Q (ann. rate, bil. dol.) iLLLl pages 71 and 72. CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B7. Money and Credit—Continued [Credit Difficulties I 14. Current liabilities of business failures (mil. dol.inverted scale; MCD moving avg.-6-term) 39. Delinquency rate, 30 days and over, consumer installment loans (percent—inverted scale). I till [Bank Reserves] 93. Free reserves (bil. dd-inverted scale) 94. Member bank borrowing from the Federal Reserve (bil. dol.) data for these series are shown on page Digitized Current for FRASER itrn 72. CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B7. Money and Credit—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P (Apr.) (Feb.) T P T 1817- Intent Rates! 16- 119. Federal funds rate (percent) \ 114. Treasury bill rate (percent) 116. Corporate bond yields (percent) 118. Secondary market yields on FHA mortgages (percent) 117. Municipal bond yields (percent) |U,Lg.lg| 1956 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 6H bl; 70 /I 72 73 74 /3 76 77 78 79 80 1981 Current data for these series are shown on pages 72 and 73. itri CYCLICAL INDICATORS B I CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B7. Money and Credit—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P I (Nov.) (Dec.) (Nov.) \Apr.){Feb.) P F p T 21- [Interest Rates—Con/ 2019- 109. Average prime rate charged by banks (percent) [Outstanding Debt) 66. Consumer installment debt (bil. dot) 72. Commercial and industrial loans outstanding, -— weekly reporting large commercial ^yin^ banks (H, dol.) / 95. Ratio, consumer instalment debt to personal income (percent) 1956 57 58 59 Digitized for SO 6.1 62 63 Current data for these series are shown on page 73. FRASER urn 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE Chart Cl. Diffusion Indexes 950. Twelve leading indicator components (6-mo. span—, 1-mo. span—) 951. Four roughly coincident indicator components (6-mo. span—, 1-mo. span—) 952. Six lagging indicator components (6-mo. span—, 1-mo. span—) 961. Average workweek, production workers, manufacturing—20 industries (9-mo. span—, 1-mo. span—) 96Z Initial claims, State unemployment insurance—51 areas (percent declining; 9-mo. span—, 1-mo. span—) Current data for these series are 963. Employees on private nonagricuKurai payrolls—172 industries shown on page 74. (6-mo. span—-, 1-mo. span—) DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued Chart Cl. Diffusion Indexes—Continued 964. New orders, durable goods industries—35 industries (9-mo. span—, 1-mo. span—) / [81 965. Newly approved capital appropriations, deflated-17 industries (4-Q moving avg.-~, 1-Q span •—•) V VJ < * 966. Industrial production—24 industries (6-mo. span—, 1-mo. span—) 967. Industrial materials prices—13 industrial materials (9-mo. span—, 1-mo. span—) 968. Stock prices, 500 common stocks—53-82 industries (9-mo. span—, 1-mo. span—) 960. Net profits, manufacturing-about 700 companies1 (4-Q span) 1 This is a copyrighted series used by permission; it may not be reproduced without written permission from Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. shown on page 75. data for these series are Digitized forCurrent FRASER itrn 37 CYCLICAL INDICATORS DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued Chart Cl. Diffusion Indexes—Continued Percent rising 970. Business expenditures for new plant and equipment—IS industries (1-Q span) (a) Actual exoenditures 974., Number of employees, . (a) Actual expenditures and trade (4-Q span)1 975. Level of inventories, manufacturing and trade (4-Q span)1 (c) Early anticipations 971. New orders, manufacturing (4-Q span)1 976. Selling prices, manufacturing (4-Q span)1 972. Net profits, manufacturing and trade (4-Q span)1 977. Selling prices, wholesale trade (4-Q span)1 .--./••x 973. Net sales, manufacturing and trade (4-Q span)1 1 978. Selling prices, retail trade (4-Q span)1 This is a copyrighted series used by permission; it may not be reproduced without written permission from Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. of about 1,400 business executives. Digitized for surveys FRASER Current data for these series are shown on page 76. Dun & Bradstreet diffusion indexes are based on CYCLICAL INDICATORS DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued Chart C3. Rates of Change (Aug.) (Apr.) P (Apr.) (Feb.) T P (Dec.) (Nov.) T P (Nov.) (Mar.) P T T Percent changes at annual rate 910c. Composite index of twelve leading indicators (series 1, 3, 8, 12, 19, 20,», 32, 36, 92, 104, A ,^ * \i 920c. Composite index of four roughly coincident indicators (series 41, 47, 51, 57) ^innti'i / • ' ry 930c. Composite index of six lagging indicators (series 62, 70 72, 91, 95, 109) 50c. GNP in constant (1972) dollars (1-Q span) 47c. Index of industrial production 48c. Employee-hours in nonagricultural establishments W -* 1 "1 - I 1 51c. Personal income less transfer j paymentsJa Ml Joto_ 1 Data for these percent Digitized for NOTE: FRASER were published. •trn changes are shown occasionally in appendix C. The "Alphabetical Index—Series Finding Guide" indicates the latest issue in which the data for each series NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT Chart Al. GNP and Personal Income , ——^^^—^z: -wri __. ^f^ _^~?T _^_ ~7~~~IJ H 200. GNP in current dollars, Q (ann. ^^^^^^ 223. Personal income in current dollars (ann. rate, bil. dol.) 224. Disposable personal income in current dollars, Q (ann. rate, bil. dol.) 225.nDfep(Kab!e personal BoOTeTn 197?""" 217. Per capita GNP in 1972 dollars (am. jate, 227. Per capita disposable personal income in 197OollaMT(ann. rate,thous. dol.) 1956 57 58 59 60 61 Current data for these series are shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve yin Bank of St. Louis 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 on pages 63 and 80. •ft4^Ik NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Continued Chart A2. Personal Consumption Expenditures Annual rate, billion dollars (current) 1800- "M Personal consumption expenditures— 16001400- 1000900 - 800- n 230. TotaLQ ?00600- 237. Services, Q ^236. Nondurable goods, Q Annual rate, billion dollars (1972) ...s*^ 233. Durable goods, Q , \ M s^^~\S ^-~-*J ^r^^ 1958 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 Current data for these series are shown on pages 80 and 81. 65 66 67 J 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Continued Chart A3. Gross Private Domestic Investment (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T Annual rale, billion dollars (current) Gross private domestic investment— Current data for these series are http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve A9Bank of St. Louis 245. Change in business inventories, 0 Annual rate, billion dollars (1972) 30. Change in business inventories, 0 shown on page 81. OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Continued Chart A4. Government Purchases of Goods and Services (Aug.,) (Apr.) P I (Apr.)(Feb; P I (Nov} P (Mar,) T Annual rate, billion dollars (current) 580 540 500 ^6j Government purchases of goods and services— Current data for these series are 420- 260. Tobl, Q 266. State and local governments, Q Annual rate, billion dollars (1972) 261. Total, Q 267. State and local governments, Q X 263. Federal Government, Q shown on page 81. A NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Continued Chart A5. Foreign Trade Current data for these series are Annual rate, billion dollars (current) 252. Exports of goods and services, Q \ 253. Imports of goods and services, Q 250. Net exports of goods and services, Q Annual rate, billion dollars (1972) 256. Exports of goods and services, Q 257. Imports of goods and services, Q 255. Net exports of goods and services, Q shown on page 82. A NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Continued Chart A6. National Income and Its Components Annual rate, billion dollars (current) [nj fff] 220. National income, Q 280. Compensation of employees, Q [nj 286. Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, Q 28Z Proprietors1 income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, Q fnl 288. Net interest Q 284. Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment, Q "v Current data for these series are shown on page 82. 45 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Continued Chart A7. Saving (Aug.)(Apr.) P (Apr.) (Feb.) T P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P I (Nov.! (Mar.) P T Annual rate, billion dollars (current) -f- n 400360320280240- 290. Gross saving (private and government), Q V 200360320280 « 240- Current data for these series are shown on pages 82 and 83. 46 itrift OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Continued Chart A8. Shares of GNP and National Income (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Nov.) (Mar.) P T Percent [Pereprt of GNP| K^ 235. Personal consumption expenditures, Q 65- 60-1 20-1 288. State and local government purchases of goods and sen/ices, Q 265. Federal Government purchases of goods and services, Q 248. Nonresidential fixed investment, Q 249. Residential fixed investment, Q \ ^247. Change in business inventories, Q 251. Net exports of goods and services, Q [Percent of National Incomel 64. Compensation of employees, Q 283. Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, Q Current data for these series are 287. Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, Q \ 285. Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment, Q ^ shown on page 83. 15- ECONOMIC PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY Chart Bl. Price Movements [Index: 1972=1001- 200 190 180 170 160 150 140' 130' 1/0 310. Implicit price 311. Fixed-weighted price index, gross business product, Q- -ffi I/O ,60' IbO140 310c. Implicit price deflator. GNP (1-Q span) 1 Percent changes at annual rate | 3s: * 311c. Fixed-weighted price into, gross business product (1-Q span) f j 16-month spans | Producer prices— no- 330c. All commodities fT] Index: 1967=1001" Producer prices— 335c. Industrial commodities 330. 334c. Finished consumer goods JH 1969 70 71 72 /3 74 75 76 77 78 Current data for these series are shown on pages 84, 85, and 86. 79 1980 1969 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 1980 • , i i , ••',/ , : ' • , . ; " . : cUK^^IC PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY—Continued Chart Bl. Price Movements—Continued Consumer prices— Percent changes at annual rate 320c. All items (6-month span) 322c. Food (6-month span) 7 Chart B2. Wages and Productivity Index: 1967=100 345. Average hourly compensation, all employees, nonfarm business sector, Q (curreril dbl(ars) 340. Average hourly earnings of production workers, private nonfarm economy (current dollars)1 346. Real average hourly compensation, all employees, nonfarm business sector, 0 X 341. Real average hourly earnings of production workers, private nonfarm economy1 59 Digitized 6U 6! 62 63 64 6t» 67 68 69 >U 7i 74 "*5 76 77 78 79 80 1981 Adjusted for overtime (in manufacturing only) and interindustry employment shifts and seasonality. for FRASER Current data for these series are shown on pages 84, 87, and 88. 1 /in OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY—Continued Chart B2. Wages and Productivity—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P (Apr.) (Feb.) T P (Dec.) (Nov.) T P T |Wajefe-Con.| Change in average Jtarty earnings of production JUIUM workers, private nonfarm economy1 — 6-month rate) ;; o-iiiuimi spans bpdift (aim, ydiwL Rjj^ !^^?^%1? i II jrfcji . 1 1 ' ' ? I iiT''fi1' '' 'ffp 340c. Current-dollar earnings /^ /./- ^^ LiUia H4^ L JMl.l .1IIJ4 J, 341c. Real earnings T Change in average hourly compensation, all employees, norrfarm business sector, Q— 345c. Current-dollar compensation 6-month spars (ann. rate) j |j ^ —4— , 1-quarter spans (ann. rate) ! ^ 4V 4-quarter spans 346c. Real compensation 1-quarter spans (ann. rate) Negotiated wage and benefit decisions, all industries— 348. First year average changes, Q (ann. rate)-*349. Average changes over life of. contract, Q (ann. rate) | Productivity | 370. Output per hour, all persons, private business sector, Q 358. Output per hour, all persons, nonfarm business sector, Q 370c. Change in output per hour, private business sector, Q i-quarterlpans lanr 4-quarter spans V * ^ * 2 'Adjusted for overtime (in manufacturing only) and interindustry employment shifts and seasonality. One-month percent changes have been multiplied by a constant (12) to make data table for actual 1-month percent changes. them comparable to the annualized 6-month changes. See the current Current data for these series are shown on pages 87 and 88. OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, AND UNEMPLOYMENT Chart Cl. Civilian Labor Force and Major Components lAug ' Apr t P r 110105100- 441. Civilian labor force, total (millions) 442. Total employed (millions) Labor force participation rates (percent)— 453. Both sexes 16-19 years of age _ 452. Females 20 years and over Number unemployed (millions)— 37. Total unemployed 446. Both sexes 16-19 years of age 448. Number employed part-time for economic reasons (millions) Current data for these series are shown on page itn 89. 447. Number unemployed, full-time workers (millions) 9590- £) GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIES Chart Dl. Receipts and Expenditures Digitized forCurrent FRASER data for these series are Annual rate, billion dollars (current) 50Z Federal Government expenditures, Q 501. Federal Government receipts, Q 500. Federal Government surplus or deficit, Q 511. State and local government receipts, Q 512. State and local government 510. State and local government surplus or deficit, Q shown on page 90. GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIES—Continued Chart D2. Defense Indicators [Advance Measures of Defense Activity| data for these series are Digitized forCurrent FRASER 517. Defense Department gross obligations incurred (bil. dol.; MCD moving avg.-6-term) 525. Defense Department military prime contract awards (bil. dol.; MCD moving avg.-6-term) 543. Defense Department gross unpaid obligations outstanding (bil. dol.) 548. Manufacturers'new orders, defense products (bil. dol.; MCD moving avg.-6-term) shown on page 90. OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIES—Continued Chart D2. Defense Indicators—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T |lnt|ritediate and ftol Measures of Defense Activity] 557. Output of defense and space equipment (index: 1967=100) 559. Manufacturers' inventories, defense products (bil. dol.) _r 561. Manufacturers' unfilled orders, defense products (bil. dol.) l£ 580. Defense Department net outlays, military functions and military assistance (bil. dol.; MCD moving avg.—6-tem) . _E! : "l1 .4 I A>L**^^ ** mi 588. Manufacturers' shipmwrts, defense products (bil. dol.; MCD moving avg.-4-term) 1956 57 58 59 80 61 62 63 Current data for these series are shown on page 91. 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIES—Continued Chart D2. Defense Indicators—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P I (Dec.) (Nov.) (Apr ; ( f - e b P T P I (Nov.) (Mar. P T I intermediate and Final Measures of Defense Activity-Con. | 570. Employment in defense products industries (millions) 16- 1.4- Defense Department personnel (millions)— 577. Military, active duty 578. Civilian, direct hire employment I National Defense Purchases] 564. Federal Government purchases of goods and setvkgsJQLJoa&aaaL defense, Q (ann. rate, bil. dol.) 565. National defense purchases as a percent of GNP, Q (percent) 1956 5? 58 59 r>0 fai Current data for these series are shown http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of CCDTCMQCD St. Louis 1 QQf\ itr 82 r. on page 91. f;8 6/ 68 fc9 :0 71 72 73 74 75 78 77 78 79 80 1981 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS Chart El. Merchandise Trade data for these series are Digitized forCurrent FRASER 602. Exports, excluding military aid shipments (bil. dol.; MCD moving avg.-5-term) 604. Exports of agricultural products, total (bil. dol.) ; 606. Exports of nonelectrical machinery (bil. dol.) \ 612. General imports (bil. dol.; MCD moving avg.-4-term) 614. Imports of petroleum and petroleum products (bil. dol.) 616. Imports of automobiles and parts (bil. dol.) shown on page 92. U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS— Continued Chart E2. Goods and Services Movements Annual rate, billion dollars Excess of receipts Excess of payments Goods and services— 667. Balance on goods and services, Q Merchandise, adjusted622. Merchandise trade balance, Q 618. Exports, Q Investment income— G&l. Income on U.S. investments abroad, ^852. Income on foreign investments in the U.S., Q NOTE: Annual totals are shown for the period prior to 1960. 93. Digitized forCurrent FRASER data for these series are shown on page http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 OQO CCDTCMDCD itrit OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES F I INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS Chart Fl. Industrial Production (Aug.) (Apr.) P ( D e c . ) (Nov.) (Apr.) (Feb.) T P P T (Nov.) (Mar.) P T T 280260240220- Industrial production— 200- 728. Japan —~, 180- y 721. OECD European countries 160- v m 140- 722. United Kingdom 728. Japan 1956 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 Current data for these series are shown on page 94. 58 QFPTFMRFR 1 Qftfl It! OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES F I INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS—Continued Chart F3. Stock Prices Chart F2. Consumer Prices (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T (Nov.) P (Dec.) (Nov.) P T 6-month spans Percent changes at annual rate (Mar.) T Stock prices— Consumer prices— 19. United States 140- ' •M~ ^^" V J^ W" 9 w A / ^ ^^r*™ t~f~^ I ^\ / A/ 120- 1^1 ^^Ay^^ 100* so- 450« 400« 35C300250- 200JHfi- 745. West Germany *~ Vv^V j- /^^^ ^v /^W -vA"^ 1969 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 Current data for these series are shown on pages 95 and 96. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ CCDTCMDCD Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis KI: mon 78 79 1980 1969 70 71 72 73 74 75 rw^-w^^V^.. T 76 77 78 79 1980 140- CYCLICAL INDICATORS COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS ^M COMPOSITE INDEXES Year and month 910. Index of 12 leading indicators (series 1,3,8,12,19, 20, 29, 32, 36, 92, 104, 106) 920. Index of 4 roughly coincident indicators (series 41,47,51,57) (1967=100) (1967=100) 930. Index of 6 lagging indicators (series 62, 70, 72, 91,95, 109) (1967=100) Leading Indicator Subgroups 913. Marginal employment adjustments (series 1,2,3, 5) 914. Capital investment commitments (series 12, 20, 29) 915. Inventory investment and purchasing (series 8, 32, 36, 92) (1967=100) (1967=100) (1967=100) 916. Profitability (series 19, 26, 80) * (1967=100) 917. Money and financial flows (series 104,106, 110) (1967=100) 940. Ratio, coincident index to lagging index 1 (1967=100) 1978 January February March 139.1 140.3 140.3 134.0 135.0 136.9 134.1 135.9 137.2 97.6 97.2 98.3 115.4 115.9 115.0 104.8 105.9 106.3 90.9 89.4 90.4 148.5 148.0 147.4 99.9 99.3 99.8 April May June 141.5 141.8 142.5 139.3 139.5 140.1 137.8 140.0 142.0 99.0 98.0 97.8 114.9 115.0 116.1 106.9 107.2 106.9 92.1 93.8 94.1 147.5 147.8 148.5 101.1 July August September 141.2 142.0 142.9 140.5 141.4 141.4 143.5 144.5 146.4 97.4 97.3 98.5 115.5 115.4 116.0 105.2 105.8 105.8 94.2 95.4 95.4 148.9 149.1 149.9 97.9 97.9 96.6 0)143.6 142,8 143.0 143.0 144.3 145.5 148.1 152.7 155.2 98.7 98.8 0)117.2 116.1 115.7 106.1 106.2 106.7 94.9 94.1 93.5 150.6 0)151.1 150.2 96.6 94.5 93.8 January February March . .. 142.6 142.3 143.2 144.8 144.9 D146.6 157.4 158.5 158.4 98.5 98.4 98.0 113.9 113.9 115.5 107.4 108.3 0)108.8 93.2 92.2 92.2 148.6 145.6 144.5 92.0 April May June 140.3 141.4 141.6 144.1 145.6 145.0 161 .8 162.5 163.6 94.6 97.3 96.7 113.6 113.3 113.9 107.8 107.3 106.6 92.3 91.7 146.1 146.9 148.4 89.1 89.6 88.6 July August . . . September 141.2 140.1 140.1 145.4 145.0 144.9 164.8 166.4 H70.6 96.4 96.0 96.4 113.6 112.9 114.0 106.1 105.7 104.6 91.7 92.0 88.2 87.1 91 .8 148.6 148.3 r!46.2 r84.9 October November December .... 137.8 135.6 135.4 145.1 r!45.0 145.3 175.9 r!79.1 r!78.0 96.6 96.1 96.3 112.7 112.0 112.7 103.3 102.3 102.3 90.8 90.3 90.2 r!43.9 H40.4 r!38.2 r81.0 r81 .6 January . . . February . March ' 134.9 134.3 131.3 r!45.9 145.2 H43.1 r!78.7 r!81 .0 H90.4 96.3 96.3 94.5 111.9 110.3 108.0 102.7 102.3 rlOl.6 89.9 89.8 137.0 r!38.1 H35.2 r81.6 r80.2 April May June H25.7 rl22.8 124.0 r!40.4 r!37.4 r!36.1 DH96.3 r!83.8 r!68.1 90.3 88.3 89.6 H04.5 H03.3 H04.8 r99.9 r98.2 r97.2 H30.5 r!25.6 r!25.7 r71 .5 r74.8 rSl.O July ... August September 135.8 136.1 164.1 "162. 4 92.1 2 rl06.5 p!07.4 r98,5 p99.3 H28.4 p!30.6 r82.8 p83.8 October November December . . . 0)99.1 99.6 98.7 1979 91 .8 91 .4 92.6 82.5 1980 128.6 131 .0 3 p93.1 r88,5 r88.2 r88.8 (NA) 75.2 October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by (u). Current high values are indicated by0); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity,current low values are indicated by 0). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated, and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 10 and 11. Series 916 reached Excludes series 12 Excludes series 57 ^Excludes series 70 2 3 60 its and for and high value (97.2) in August 1977; series 940 reached its high value (106.6) in March 1977. 36 for which data are not yet available. which data are not yet available. 95 for which data are not yet available. SEPTEMBER 1980 CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS BB EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT Minor Economic Process Timing Class L, L, L 1. Average workweek of production workers, manufacturing Year and month (Hours) L, L, L L, C, L 2. Accession 21. Average weekly overtime rate, manufachours, produc- turing tion workers, manufacturing (Per 100 employees) (Hours) L, C, L L, L, L 5. Average weekly initial claims, State unemployment insurance1 3. Layoff rate, manufacturing (Thous.) Comprehensive Employment Job Vacancies Marginal Employment Adjustments L, Lg, U L, Lg, U (Per 100 employees) 4. Quit rate, manufacturing (Per 100 employees) L, Lg, U 60. Ratio, helpwanted advertising to persons unemployed 46. Index of help-wanted advertising in newspapers (Ratio) (1967=100) U, C , C 48. Employeehours in nonagricultural establishments (Ann. rate, bil. hours) 1978 January February March 3 4 3 7 3 6 4 1 3 9 4 0 338 364 335 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 9 1 9 2 0 0 652 0.680 0.682 138 139 141 159 30 160 83 162 59 0)3 8 3 5 3 5 4 2 4 0 4 0 334 330 341 1 0 1 0 0 9 2 1 2 0 2 1 0 718 0 700 0 741 146 144 147 164 21 164 02 165 04 40 5 An A 3 5 4 0 A 1 4.2 2 1 9 1 2.1 0 712 0 753 0.758 165 27 165 40 3.6 0 9 0 9 E>0.8 1 en 40.5 362 345 328 149 C 152 165.66 9 o 9 9 0)0 828 0.815 0 821 9 n 81 9 fu\ o |M/ £9 .£ 9 i i\ 0r I-\ n 8nn 0 ?Qn 1 RQ 39 7 40 0 40 5 April May June 0)40 9 An A 40 4 July August September 0 An R q c 40.6 3.7 An 6 q 7 fO\/l /i January February March /in £ An & /in ao 40. q 7 4 q 7 A 1 3 . 7/ 4 April May June on .oo oy 2 .y 40.2 /in. i1 40. 3 0 July August September 40.1 40. 1 40.1 October November December A 1 4.3 fffn?'} 334 qqA n Q 0.9 in 2.2 infi ?n 1 61 167.90 161 i fic; 1 68 ?n 1979 October November December .... Q 3 ./ 14 . 0 3.3 3 0 . 0 3.2 4 9 A .0 . AU 4 .0A 4 A, .0 3.9 Q 3. y 3.9 q/i/i qq/i O q/17 O . ny 434 T n n Q "I i.i 2 9 T 2 .U 2 0 0 777 09 0 . 7lOL 1 .9 0. 350 375 I .0n 1 .L 395 390 387 I .4/I 2 1.2 1.9 9 1 .1 ~jjc. A A .0 A .U 1 bo 1 ££ 1 3D 1 RR 1 RA 1 fi£ A^ 1 68 86 i 7A 09 1 67 6n 1 by .4b 1 £A /] C i / o . iy 1 R"3 1 7A •) Q ICC •I -t A O7 1 ^^ 1 /O.o/ -i 7f\ 9£ 0.790 159 170.49 0)167 158 170.50 7Q1 /O 1 07cq 40.1 40.1 40. 2 3.2 3.3 3. 2 4.1 4.0 3. 9 395 409 A H7 407 1 .2 1 .3 1 O 1 .d 2.0 2.0 I .yn o 0 1L 0 . 01 40.3 40.1 39.8 3.2 3.0 3.1 3.9 3.9 3.6 404 375 440 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.714 0.713 0.670 154 151 145 0)172.24 172.09 171.57 39.8 39 3 39 i 3.0 2 6 2 4 3.0 3 0 3 3 569 635 617 2.9 3 5 2 9 1 .5 1 .4 1 4 0.500 0.409 0.428 122 112 115 170.49 169.27 r!68 42 39 1 n?Q 6 2 5 n? 8 3 4 nq 7 po. / 11 Q 1 lo nl 1 Q p II o r!67 . 59 p!68.27 0 7 7 Q . I/O 0 778 1r Q -i 7 A 7-3 1 /U./o 171 A 7 1980 January February March April May June July August September .... cqc n cno i7 i "3 0 /190 p2 0 nli .J ^ p r>n A "38 October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by (u). Current high values are indicated by0>; for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by 0). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 12, 16 and 17. 1 Data exclude Puerto Rico which is included in figures published by the source agency. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ SEPTEMBER 1980 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 61 CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS-Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS IH EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT-Con. Minor Economic Process Timing Class Year and month Comprehensive Unemployment Comprehensive Employment-Con. U,C,C C, C , C L, C, U U, Lg,U L, Lg, U L, Lg, U L, Lg, U Lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg 42. Persons engaged in nonagricultural activities, labor force survey 41. Employees on nonagricultural payrolls, establishment survey 40. Employees in goodsproducing industries (mining, mfg., construction) 90. Ratio, civilian employment to total population of working age 37. Number of persons unemployed, civilian labor force 43. Unemployment rate, total 45. Average weekly insured unemployment rate State programs 1 91. Average duration of unemployment 44. Unemployment rate, persons unemployed 15 weeks and over (Thous.) (Thous.) (Thous.) (Percent) (Thous.) (Percent) (Percent) (Weeks) (Percent) 1978 January February March 89,425 89,653 89,813 84,582 84,892 85,396 24,871 24,909 25,085 58.03 58.03 58.09 6,305 6,088 6,153 6.4 6.1 6.2 3.5 3.6 3.5 13.0 12.6 12.4 1.6 1.6 1.5 April May June 90,468 90,818 91,141 86,104 86,368 86,746 25,460 25,481 25,599 58.42 58.56 58.76 6,056 6,126 5,902 6.1 6.1 5.9 3.2 3.2 3.2 12.4 12.0 12.1 1.5 1.4 1.3 July August September 91,046 91,457 91,598 86,924 87,231 87,419 25,657 25,719 25,801 58.60 58.76 58.78 6,228 5,929 5,971 6.2 5.9 5.9 3.3 3.3 3.2 11.9 11.5 11.5 1.3 1.2 1.3 October .... November December 92,024 92,488 92,456 87,790 88,242 88,567 25,965 26,141 26,267 58.95 59.08 59.06 H>5,788 5,882 5,984 5.7 5 8 5 9 3.0 3.0 3.0 11.8 11 1 10 6 1 .3 1 2 1 2 January February March .. 92,897 93 189 93 303 88,858 89,109 89,455 26,363 26,377 26,537 59.19 59 33 59 31 5,904 5 883 5 882 5 8 5 7 5 7 3.0 3 0 3 0 11 2 11 3 11 8 1 2 1 2 1 3 April May June 93 039 93 249 93 409 89,386 89,708 89,909 26,473 26,522 26,557 59 05 59 1 1 59 13 5 944 5 903 5 824 5 8 5 8 5 7 ? Q fu\ o p ? Q 11 0 10 9 10 5 1 ? 1 2 1 ] July August September 93 9] 7 93 689 94 140 90,054 90,222 90,283 26,582 26 528 26 554 59 37 59 1 9 0)59 42 5 909 6 1 24 5 990 IMS [n/o5. 7 / 5 9 9 Q IMMD i IwM 0 i i i i October November December 94 180 94 223 94 553 90 441 ?fi RRd. on c e o oc cpi/l 90 678 ?fi 59 27 59 27 59 38 94,534 [0)94,626 91,031 [0)91,186 59.24 59.26 1979 KQfl O Q 5 8 0 Q 6 121 6 044 6 087 5 9 5 8 5 9 9 Q fin 6,425 6,307 6 / 1 -30 107 in? 10 5 106 10 5 1 2 1 i 3.2 3.1 3.3 10.5 10.7 11 .0 1.3 1.2 1 .3 0 1 •3 1 1 2 1980 January February March April May June July August September . . [0)26,715 26,623 ,4oo 6.2 6.0 6. 2 93,912 93,609 93,346 90,951 90,468 r90,047 26,121 25,745 r25,422 58.63 58.47 58.12 7,265 8,154 8,006 7.0 7.8 7.7 3.7 4.3 4.6 11.3 10.5 11.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 93,739 93,826 r89,865 p90,066 r25,142 p25,275 58.29 58.23 8,207 8,019 7.8 7.6 4.5 p4.3 11.6 12.6 1.8 2.1 QZL 9QR Ql 1 A.A. f)C A-JC CQ October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©. Current high values are indicated by[0); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by [H). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 14, 15, 17, and 18. *Data exclude Puerto Rico which is included in figures published by the source agency. 62 SEPTEMBER 1980 licit CYCLICAL INDICATORS B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS —Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS . . . Qj PRODUCTION AND INCOME Minor Economic Process Industrial Production Comprehensive Output and Income C,C, C C,C,C Timing Class 50. Gross national product in 1972 dollars Year and month Personal income 223. Current dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 52. Constant (1972) dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) C,C,C C, C, C 51. Personal income less transfer payments in 1972 dollars 53. Wages and salaries in mining, mfg., and construction in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil.doL) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) C, C,C 47. Index of industrial production, total (1967=100) Revised1 C,C,C C, L, L 73. Index of industrial production, durable manufactures 74. Index of industrial production, nondurable manufactures (1967=100) f1) (1967=100) Revised1 C,C,C 49. Value of goods output in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 1978 January February March 1,367^8 1,618.5 1,631.3 1,654.4 1,117.0 1,118.1 1,127.7 967.4 969.4 978.9 233.3 236.0 240.2 140.0 140.3 142.1 132.1 132.3 135.0 152.4 152.9 153.8 621 'A 1, 3 9 5 ^ 2 1,676.5 1,687.3 1 ,704.2 1,135.1 1,133.9 1,137.6 987.5 986.7 991.1 244.0 243.2 244.2 144.4 144.8 146.1 137.6 137.9 139.0 155.5 155.8 157.0 63J'.2 1,407.1 1,730.0 1,741.3 1,756.1 1,149.5 1,151.7 1,154.6 998.5 1,000.3 1,004.1 245.3 244.5 245.1 147.1 148.0 148.6 141.1 141.8 142.9 157.2 158.4 159.3 641^8 l,426!e 1,781.0 1,801.4 1,826.8 1,163.3 1,172.0 1,181.6 1,013.0 1,021.4 1,030.5 246.3 248.7 250.7 149.7 150.6 151.8 144.6 145.5 146.8 159.5 160.4 161.7 657.*3 January February March 1,43CL6 1,834.3 1,851.4 1,872.1 1,172.8 1,172.5 1,177.4 1,021.9 1,022.6 1,027.0 249.4 250.3 D251.6 152.0 152.5 1)153.5 r!47.0 147.2 E)148.6 161.6 162.9 164.0 658^6 April May June 1,422*.3 1,880.7 1,891.6 1,905.1 1,174.0 1,172.7 1,172.4 1,022.7 1,021.5 1,021.8 248.7 248.2 246.9 151.1 152.7 153.0 H44.5 147.6 147.6 162.6 163.6 163.7 647! 3 July August September 1,433.*3 1,933.2 1,946.5 1,960.1 1,180.9 1,179.7 1,177.2 1,023.0 1,021.4 1,019.5 246.1 243.1 242.6 153.0 152.1 152.7 147.2 H44.4 145.9 164.8 165.2 165.4 651. '3 October November December 1,44CU 1,981.2 2,005.5 2,028.3 1,181.4 1,188.1 B)l, 191.0 1,023.5 1,030.6 E>1,033.2 241.9 241.0 241.6 152.7 152.3 152.5 r!46.0 r!45.2 r!44.8 164.8 165.0 165.3 655 '.1 [H)l, 444^7 2,046.5 2,055.7 2,070.0 1,190.5 1,182.1 1,174.1 1,030.5 1,024.8 1,017.5 239.9 239.1 236.5 152.7 152.6 152.1 144.7 144.1 r!43.4 [H)166.0 165.9 164.7 (H)659!7 rl',408!6 r2, 072.0 r2, 079.0 r2,090.4 rl,166.7 rl, 164.1 rl,164.6 rl, 010.1 rl,005.5 rl, 005.1 231.8 227.7 r224.7 148.3 144.0 141.4 r!38.4 H33.3 129.9 161.6 158.0 155.3 r636!9 r2,121.5 [H}p2,137.9 rl,174.7 pi, 172.1 rl,002.6 pi ,002.1 r223.4 p224.8 139.8 p!40.5 r!27.6 p!28.4 153.4 p!54.0 April May June . July August September . . . . October November December 1979 1980 January February March April May June July August September October November December . . NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by (u). Current high values are indicated by[H); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by [H). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 14, 19, 20, and 40. 1 See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. SEPTEMBER 1980 63 CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS H Minor Economic Process PRODUCTION AND INCOME-Con. Q| CONSUMPTION, TRADE, ORDERS, AND DELIVERIES Capacity Utilization L, C, U Timing Class 83. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing (BEA) Year and month (Percent) 1978 January February March 82. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing (FRB) Orders and Deliveries L, C, U 84. Rate of capacity utilization, materials (Percent) (Percent) (M (M L, L, L Value of manufacturers' new orders, durable goods industries 6. Current dollars (Bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.) L, Lg, U 25. Change in unfilled orders, durable goods industries 96. Manufacurers' unfilled orders, durable goods industries (Bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.) L, L, L 32. Vendor performance, companies reporting slower deliveries® (Percent reporting) 62.03 65.05 67.04 38.31 39.81 40.78 35.04 36.20 36.47 2.23 2.73 4.06 186.93 189.66 193.72 55 64 67 83.9 85^6 69.20 68.88 68.54 41.71 41.24 40.70 37.98 37.02 36.84 3.45 4.00 2.79 197.17 201.16 203.95 64 64 66 85^2 86^4 67.39 71.29 72.71 39.76 41.64 42.25 36.50 37.61 37.34 1.94 3.15 3.95 205.89 209.04 212.99 56 65 66 86.4 88.*2 76.42 77.21 76.54 44.10 44.14 43.36 38.06 38.06 38.86 6.32 5.71 3.80 219.31 225.02 228.82 68 66 68 H>r86!9 Drssli 78.68 80.43 E)81.65 44.16 44.68 [H)45.04 E>38.94 38.43 38.63 5.91 D7.10 5.89 234.72 241.82 247.71 69 77 H>78 85."9 r87.*5 75.93 77.04 76.03 41.36 41.75 40.98 36.74 36.88 36.43 4.73 1.52 3.23 252.43 253.96 257.19 76 76 70 r85.*3 87.2 74.58 74.76 77.65 39.82 39.81 40.91 35.95 35.44 35.93 0.71 0.40 3.45 257.90 258.30 261.74 60 55 51 r84!4 86!i 76.52 75.90 77.20 39.71 39.15 39.43 35.60 34.34 34.19 0.98 2.15 3.01 262.72 264.87 267.88 50 47 49 r83.'4 r85'.5 81.47 81.02 77.55 40.61 39.93 38.28 36.10 36.00 33.52 3.52 1.86 1.62 271.40 273.26 274.88 48 42 45 r77.9 r78.7 72.42 67.33 66.45 r35.62 33.23 32.42 r30.35 29.03 29.07 0.21 -2.12 -2.60 0)275.10 272.98 270.38 40 32 28 r73.98 p72.30 r35.77 p34.74 r31.66 p31.37 rl.68 pO.04 r272.06 p272.10 32 34 *83 October November December (Bil.dol.) 8. New orders for consumer goods and materials in 1972 dollars L, L, L 82.6 *84 July August September 7. Constant (1972) dollars L, L, L 82.'o *84 April May June L, L, L *84 1979 January February March i>84 April May June "83 July August September *82 October November December 81 1980 January February March April May June . .. *80 . .. p76 July August September October November December .. NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©. Current high values are indicated byE); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity,current low values are indicated by [H). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 12, 20, and 21. x See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. 64 SEPTEMBER 1980 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS —Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS . B Iflj CONSUMPTION, TRADE, ORDERS, AND DELIVERIES-Con. Minor Economic Process Formation of Business Enterprises Consumption and trade C,C,C Timing Class Manufacturing and trade sales Year and month 56. Current dollars (Mil. dot.) C, L,C C,C,C 57. Constant (1972) dollars 75. Index of industrial produc- (1967=100) U, L, U Sales of retail stores 54. Current dollars goods (Mil.dol.) C.L.U (Mil.dol.) FIXED CAPITAL INVESTMENT 59. Constant (1972) dollars (Mil.dol.) L,C,C L,L, L L, L, L 55. Personal consumption expenditures, automobiles 58. Index of consumer sentiment ® (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (1stQ 1966=100) 1 12. Index of net business formation (1967=100) L, L, L 13. Number of new business incorporations (Number) Revised 2 1978 January February . . . . . . March 232,748 238,854 241,915 148,346 151,393 153,449 143.2 145.2 147.5 62,220 63,040 64,100 42,881 43,149 43,665 62!3 83.7 84.3 78.8 133.5 133.1 130.5 36,414 39,434 37,847 April May June 250,279 251,562 252,883 156,423 156,450 156,468 149.5 149.0 149.3 65,305 65,861 66,392 44,095 44,143 44,232 7CK2 81.6 82.9 80.0 131 .9 132.1 132.7 39,585 39,059 39,860 July August September . 253,690 259,732 260,457 155,750 158,585 157,533 149.8 150.6 150.8 66,794 67,469 68,006 44,322 44,563 44,623 68*.9 82.4 78.4 80.4 133.3 132.5 133.3 40,152 41,007 41,553 October November December 266,934 269,692 272,424 159,972 160,370 161,050 151.2 151.3 151.5 69,164 69,871 70,832 45,117 45,312 45,669 7CL6 79.3 75.0 66.1 134.8 133.4 133.8 41,437 41,423 42,179 January February March 274,091 274,844 283,741 160,460 159,177 [H)164,058 151.3 151.8 |H>153.4 71,293 71,266 72,045 45,381 44,850 44,944 (H>74!6 72.1 73.9 68.4 131.3 132.1 132.5 42,410 42,302 42,761 April May June 276,406 286,413 283,772 157,285 161,807 158,316 149.3 152.2 152.1 71,606 72,292 72,093 44,229 44,405 43,932 68.2 66.0 68.1 65.8 130.9 130.5 130.9 43,034 43,895 43,044 July August September 289,994 293,167 296,776 159,751 160,273 160,068 151.2 148.7 150.0 73,121 74,871 76,666 44,316 45,130 (8)45,771 67.'9 60.4 64.5 66.7 131.8 130.3 132.5 44,655 42,911 44,687 298,619 299,153 302,386 159,757 158,205 158,718 150.0 149.1 148.6 75,583 76,421 77,150 44,803 44,954 44,881 66.'8 62.1 63.3 61.0 131 .9 131.4 B>133.9 B>46,478 44,811 43,579 H)312,730 310,571 305,657 161,600 160,189 154,500 147.9 148.4 148.6 79,464 77,993 76,534 45,695 44,365 42,972 71. * 5 67.0 66.9 56.5 131.0 129.8 r!25.8 44,447 44,583 42,615 295,277 r292,478 r294,203 r!50,706 H47J03 r!47,805 145.3 142.4 142.2 75,011 74,587 r76,001 41,859 41,460 r42,013 r52.7 51.7 r58.7 r!20.5 H17.8 114.8 42,461 41,974 39,746 p302,707 (NA) p!51,447 (NA) 141.6 P141.7 r78,394 [H>p79,533 r43,169 p43,248 62.3 67.3 e!15.3 (NA) (NA) . . 1979 . October November December ... . . 1980 January February March April May June . . July August September . . r52.5 October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by (u). Current high values are indicated by[H>; for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by [H). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 12, 14, 22, and 23. l Series 58 reached its high value (89.1) in 2d quarter 1977. See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. 2 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/SEPTEMBER 1980 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 65 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS Q| FIXED CAPITAL INVESTMENT-Con. Minor Economic Process Business Investment Commitments L, L, L Timing Class L, L, L Contracts and orders for plant and equipment Year and month 10. Current dollars (Bil. dot.) 20. Constant (1972) dollars (Bil.dol.) L, L,L Value of manufacturers' new orders, capital goods industries, nondefense 24. Current dollars (Bil.dol.) L, C, U U, Lg, U C, Lg, Lg 9. Construction contracts for commercial and industrial buildings, floor space1 11. Newly approved capital appropriations, 1,000 manufacturing corporations 97. Backlog of capital appropriations, manufacturing (Bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.) L, L, L 27. Constant (1972) dollars (Bil.dol.) Square feet (Millions) Square meters2 (Millions) 1978 20.79 21.89 20.13 13.26 13.90 12.84 16.07 16.99 16.84 10.30 10.84 10.79 83.03 67.86 71.94 7.71 6.30 6.68 17JO 19.00 21.18 19.83 12.06 13.31 12.42 17.24 17.68 17.66 10.98 11.20 11.13 76.71 88.41 83.27 7.13 8.21 7.74 15J2 22.08 22.92 23.18 13.62 13.99 14.07 18.05 18.57 19.69 11.27 11.48 12.09 74.82 79.21 86.38 6.95 7.36 8.02 16J7 25.94 24.87 22.34 15.56 14.93 13.24 21.12 20.92 18.76 12.86 12.74 11.28 84.55 91.08 81.48 7.85 8.46 7.57 18*.75 26.16 25.48 0)28.10 15.40 15.17 0)16.99 21.23 22.48 23.60 12.72 13.56 16)14.60 88.51 0)105.49 102.77 25.36 22.67 24.66 14.76 13.14 14.32 20.60 21.13 21.70 12.24 12.34 12.78 93.59 87.09 84.08 8.69 8.09 7.81 2K20 July August September 25.82 r23.83 24.49 14.55 H3.38 13.67 21.23 21.08 21.58 12.20 12.00 12.21 88.48 83.85 92.17 8.22 7.79 8.56 22! 69 October November December 24.21 25.69 27.42 13.55 14.65 15.31 21.07 21.75 22.28 12.01 12.73 12.81 93.15 84.13 80.79 8.65 7.82 7.51 23.28 27.35 24.56 26.27 15.01 13.47 14.07 0)23.86 21.48 22.59 13.34 12.02 12.35 104.43 85.46 82.84 9.70 7.94 7.70 0>29*.50 24.20 21.18 22.92 12.98 11.53 12.62 22.16 19.59 19.95 12.02 10.79 11.26 72.90 62.72 71.19 6.77 5.83 6.61 p25^76 r24.86 p24.90 H3.72 p!3.54 r21.61 p20.31 H2.24 pll.45 72.28 65.99 6.71 6.13 January February March April May June . . . July August September October November . December . . 59 '.73 59i98 6o!83 63!43 1979 January February March . ... April May June 8.22 0)9.80 2i!ei 9.55 67^63 69.'95 73^45 76.' 66 1980 January February March . . . April May June July August September October November December 84 '.09 0)p87i71 . . NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by (u). Current high values are indicated by0); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by 0). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. x Graphsof these series are shown on pages 12, 23, and 24. This is a copyrighted series used by permission; it may not be reproduced without written permission from McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F.W. Dodge Division. 2Converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. SEPTEMBER 1980 66 IICII CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS ^9 FIXED CAPITAL INVESTMENT-Con. Minor Economic Process Timing Class Year and month Residential Construction Commitments and Investment Business Investment Expenditures C, Lg, Lg C, Lg, Lg 61. Business expenditures for new plant and equipment, total 69. Machinery and equipment sales and business construction expenditures (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) C, Lg, U C,Lg,C Lg, Lg, Lg C, Lg, C 76. Index of Nonresidential fixed investment in 1972 dollars industrial production, business 86. Total equipment 87. Structures 88. Producers' durable equip. (1967=100) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) L, L, L 28. New private housing units started, total (Ann. rate, thous.) L, L, L 29. Index of new private housing units authorized by local building permits (1967=100) L, L, L 89. Residential fixed investment, total, in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) Revised1 1978 January February March 144^25 205.29 209.48 213.55 152.0 153.6 156.5 133J 40.2 93.0 April May June 150^76 222.93 221.05 228.54 158.0 158.4 160.1 140^3 43.9 96.4 July August September 155.' 41 230.65 236.47 245.60 161.7 163.4 163.8 141 .6 45 'i October November December 163.'% 245.93 249.54 252.58 164.8 165.0 166.8 145^5 January February March 165!94 256.93 256.86 268.78 168.2 169.3 171.0 April May June 173^48 261.20 268.02 265.92 July August September 179^33 October November December 1,779 1,762 2,028 140.5 140.2 145.3 0)2,182 2,018 2,092 157.4 142.6 0)160.2 96 .*5 2,090 1,983 2,014 144.3 136.6 141.4 60.2 46.5 98^9 2,001 2,111 2,052 143.9 145.0 146.8 66!6 147.2 45.8 10l".3 1,727 1,469 1,800 119.1 120.4 136.7 57^7 168.7 171.2 171.2 146^9 47!9 99^0 1,750 1,801 1,910 125.0 133.1 132.4 56.7 274.41 278.61 280.10 171.3 171.6 173.4 150'.7 48.7 0)ioii9 1,764 1,788 1,874 126.3 131.0 136.9 56^5 186*95 285.29 279.46 287.54 172.3 172.6 174.1 150.5 50.1 100.4 1,710 1,522 1,548 119.4 104.0 100.7 55^8 191*36 297.92 ry)303.20 300.05 174.9 176.0 1)176. 1 0)151.2 [H)50.3 100.9 1,419 1,330 1,041 102.7 94.3 78.2 51 '.7 0)193l89 291.99 293.49 r292.17 174.2 171.9 169.0 r!45!3 49 ll r96.3 1,030 906 rl,223 63.7 66.6 87.1 4C)'.7 p294.13 (NA) 168.1 pi 67. 3 rl,249 pi ,399 99.8 109.9 59.4 0)60*9 1979 1980 January February March April May June July August September a!9l'.24 October November December a!93.17 NOTE: Series are : series that mov order. Complete titleo unu ouu.i^o u,^ o,,u.... . Graphs of these series are shown on pages i o, *t, dim LV. x See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. SEPTEMBER 1980 67 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS -Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS Ml Minor Economic Process Timing Class Year and month INVENTORIES AND INVENTORY INVESTMENT Inventory Investment L, L, L L, L,L 36. Change in inventories on 30. Change in hand and on order in 1972 business invendollars tories in 1972 Monthly Smoothed dollars data data1 Inventories on Hand and on Order L, L, L L, L, L 31. Change in book value of mfg. and trade inventories, total 38. Change in stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order, mfg. Lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg Manufacturing and trade inventories 71. Current dollars Lg, Lg, Lg 70. Constant (1972) dollars 65. Mfrs.' inventories of finished goods, book value (Bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.) U Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg 77. Ratio, constantdollar inventories to sales, mfg. and trade 78. Stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order, mfg. (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) January February March isis 21.07 13.75 E)35.22 16.33 18.36 20.35 42.9 36.3 61.1 0.48 1.41 1.81 341.01 344.04 349.13 238.18 238.92 241.23 59.76 59.78 60.24 1.61 1.58 1.57 144.38 145.80 147.60 April . . . May June isie 28.69 18.05 14.51 24.62 |H)26.60 23.87 61.2 32.0 32.1 1.84 2.00 2.32 354.23 356.90 359.58 242.94 243.93 244.65 60.71 61.03 61.45 1.55 1.56 1.56 149.44 151.45 153.76 July August September . . . . 12.*2 14.94 18.77 14.06 18.12 15.95 16.00 37.0 42.9 38.8 1.95 1.64 2.94 362.66 366.23 369.47 245.54 246.77 247.13 61.85 62.65 62.74 1.58 1 . 56 1.57 155.71 157.35 160.29 October November December U'.Q 14.46 18.32 19.09 15.84 15.69 16.45 42.0 54.3 37.8 2.19 3.19 2.84 372.97 377.50 380.64 247.88 249.09 249.59 62.75 63.64 63.88 1.55 1.55 1.55 162.48 165.67 168.52 12.3 28.12 14.56 13.64 19.57 21.22 19.68 56.8 47.2 39.8 E>5.09 3.70 2.98 385.38 389.31 392.63 250.98 251.38 252.24 64.70 65.51 65.88 1.56 1.58 1.54 173.60 177.30 180.29 E>i8!i 28.62 -1.31 20.72 18.86 H6.30 14.83 68.1 43.7 57.3 4.33 0.52 2.59 398.31 401.94 406.72 253.80 254.71 256.18 67.08 67.22 68.08 1.61 1.57 1.62 184.62 185.14 187.73 July August September 7J 24.47 2.46 -21.16 15.32 rl5.26 8.90 B>82.3 44.9 15.2 1.24 2.21 1.74 413.58 417.32 418.59 258.92 [0)259.42 257.63 68.62 68.95 69.87 1.62 1.62 1.61 188.97 191.18 192.93 October November December i.'i -4.33 -8.72 -13.45 -2.88 -9.54 -10.12 53.4 37.8 10.2 2.24 2.52 1.51 423.04 426.19 427.04 258.18 258.13 257.32 69.75 69.94 70.53 1.62 1.63 1.62 195.16 197.69 199.20 6. "3 -9.97 -16.31 r-0.77 -9.77 -11.98 r-11.13 57.3 42.1 48.0 2.48 2.54 1.21 431.82 435.32 439.32 257.47 256.82 256.88 71.78 72.76 73.94 1.59 1.60 1.66 201.67 204.22 D205.43 rl.10 r-25.97 r-22.38 r-7.17 r-6.94 r-12.15 74.4 r3.3 r!4.8 -0.36 -2.85 r-2.32 445.53 r445.80 r447.03 r258.65 r257.83 r257.50 75.76 76.21 r76.61 1.72 |H>rl.75 rl.74 205.07 202.22 H99.90 plO.21 (NA) p-14.23 (NA) p43.7 (NA) pi. 37 (NA) 0>p450.67 (NA) P258.48 (NA) [H) P 77.00 (NA) pi. 71 (NA) p201.27 (NA) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.) (Ratio) (Bil.dol.) 1978 1979 January February March April May June 1980 January February March April May June July August September r2.6 October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by (u). Current high values are indicated byH); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by [R). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 13, 15, 26, and 27. 1 Series is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1,2,2,1) placed at the terminal month of the span. SEPTEMBER 1980 CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS M PRICES, COSTS, AND PROFITS Minor Economic Process Stock Prices Sensitive Commodity Prices L, L, L Timing Class U, L, L 92. Change in sensitive prices Year and month Monthly data 2 Smoothed data 3 (Percent) (Percent) 23. Index of industrial materials prices® (1967=100) L, L, L 19. Index of stock prices, 500 common stocks © (1941-43=10) Profits and Profit Margins L, L, L L, L, L Corporate profits after taxes 16. Current dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 18. Constant (1972) dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) L,C,L L, C, L Corporate profits after taxes with I V A a n d CCA 1 79. Current dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 80. Constant (1972) dollars 2 (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) L, L, L 22. Ratio, profits (after taxes) to total corporate domestic income (Percent) 1978 January February March 0.74 0.27 0.94 1.47 1.36 0.90 219.7 219.9 219.8 90.25 88.98 88.82 106.7 71 \2 70.4 47.*4 9!9 April May June 1.36 0.82 1.82 0.75 0.95 1.19 220.3 217.8 222.1 92.71 97.41 97.66 122*.4 79.9 84!7 55^7 l6'.7 July August September 2.45 0.03 1.37 1.51 1.56 1.36 224.7 232.6 239.1 97.19 103.92 103.86 124'.6 79^7 87.'7 56*7 io.'7 October November December 1.32 1.60 1.22 1.09 1.17 1.40 249.4 254.8 251.8 100.58 94.71 96.11 132! 3 83.2 E>89'.7 56^9 ii!6 1.77 2.92 3.04 1.45 1.75 2.27 258.3 273.5 288.5 99.71 98.23 100.11 142.'6 87*3 87.*6 54.'4 n'.'i -0.35 2.85 2.93 2.22 1.86 1.83 294.5 293.8 293.9 102.07 99.73 101.73 139^3 83.*7 87^9 53^4 ii!6 July August September 1.63 1.09 3.47 2.14 2.18 1.97 297.3 298.1 297.3 102.71 107.36 108.60 148.3 86\9 86.'8 5l'! 5 ii!2 October November December 2.63 1.92 2.33 2.23 2.54 2.48 307.7 304.0 309.6 104.47 103.66 107.78 146.9 84.7 80.3 46.9 11.0 3.43 2.99 -1.05 2.43 D2.74 2.35 316.2 E)322.5 316.9 110.87 115.34 104.69 [H>158!6 E>88!8 72^6 41.4 B>ii!s r-0.65 r-0.24 0.09 rl.ll r-0.11 r-0.46 301.9 278.5 267.5 102.97 107.69 114.55 r!27.'i r69.'9 r75.*2 r41.*7 r9.'3 rO.27 1.12 277.6 292.1 "297.8 119.83 D123.50 5 127.43 1979 January February . March .... April May June 1980 January February March April May June July August September October November December 2.56 1.65 .... CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS Minor Economic Process Timing Class Year and month ^H PRICES, COSTS, AND PROFITS-Con. Profits and Profit Margins-Con. U, L, L L, L, L 81. Ratio, profits (after taxes) with IVA and CCA to corp. domestic income 1 2 15. Prof its (after taxes) per dollar of sales, all manufacturing corporations (Percent) (Cents) Unit Labor Costs and Labor Share Cash Flows L, L, L L, L, L L, L, L 26. Ratio, price Net cash flow, corporate to unit labor cost nonfarm business sector 2 34. Current 35. Constant (1972) dollars dollars (1967=100) (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) Lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg 68. Labor cost 63. Index of unit labor cost, per unit of real private business gross domestic product; nonsector financial corporations (1967=100) 62. Index of labor cost per unit of output, manufacturing Lg, Lg, Lg 64. Compensation of employees as a percent of national income (1967=100) (Dollars) (Percent) Revised3 1978 January February March 6'.2 5.0 94.7 178J 114l4 189*.4 1.002 161.5 163.9 164.4 76!7 April May June 7.'l 5.'i 95.'8 19S.'s 123.5 192,'i 1.009 163.1 163.2 163.3 75!6 July August September Y.2 5.'5 96.'6 197.*3 122ls 195.*2 1.024 163.6 163.1 163.9 75 A October November December Y.2 5!? 96."6 205. ' 7 125.'8 199!6 1.042 164.9 166.6 167.8 75.'6 January February March '6.6 E>5.'9 94 '.7 216.'6 129'.8 205^9 1.075 170.0 171.4 171.5 75!5 April May June 6'.6 5'.6 94.4 217.'3 127,'i 211 '.7 1.104 174.9 173.0 173.7 75!9 July August September 6.'6 sis 94*. 2 228^3 isols 21716 1.127 174.6 175.8 176.3 75^8 October November December 5.5 5.4 94*. 6 227.7 127.5 221.1 1.152 177.8 179.2 181.5 76.0 4.'6 S.'e 93.6 D238.'8 DISKS 22?l5 1.182 182.8 185.1 187.1 7614 rsli p4^4 93l5 r207^8 rllll7 (H>235ll lH>rl.220 190.6 194.6 197.6 1979 1980 January February . March April May June July August September [H}r77l4 200.4 DP202.3 October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by @. Current high values are indicated by[fl); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by |H). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. 1 Graphs of these series are shown on pages 15, 29, and 30. IVA, inventory valuation adjustment; CCA, capital consumption adjustment. 2 3 Series 81 reached its high value (8.1) in 3d quarter 1977; series 26 reached its high value (98.1) in 3d quarter 1975. See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. 70 SEPTEMBER 1980 ItCII CYCLICAL INDICATORS B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS -Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS Ql MONEY A N D C R E D I T Minor Economic Process Velocity of Money Money L, L, L Timing Class 85. Change in money supply (Ml-B) Year and month L, C, U 102. Change in money supply (M2) 1 104. Change in total liquid assets Monthly data (Percent) (Percent) L, L, L L, L,L Smoothed data 2 (Percent) (Percent) L, L, L 106. Money 105. Money supply (Ml-B) supply (M2) in 1972 in 1972 dollars dollars (Bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.) Credit Flows C,C,C C, Lg,C L, L, L 107. Ratio, gross national product to money supply (Ml-B) 108. Ratio, personal income to money supply (M2) (Ratio) (Ratio) 33. Net change in mortgage debt held by financial institutions and life insurance companies (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 1978 i.n January February March 0.00 0.48 0.66 0.41 0.64 0.83 0.82 1.08 0.99 0.93 0.89 [H)224.3 223.0 222.3 0)869.1 867.6 866.3 5.974 1.243 1.247 1.257 82.43 85.03 89.80 April May June 1.12 0.88 0.70 0.65 0.66 0.62 1.06 1.11 0.79 0.95 1 .04 1.04 223.2 223.4 223.0 865.6 864.5 862.3 6.11*6 1.265 1.265 1.270 85.40 93.48 89.80 July August September 0.40 0.43 1.11 0.57 0.78 0.93 0.81 1.03 1.18 0.94 0.89 0.94 222.4 222.0 222.5 861.5 863.0 863.5 6.158 1.282 1.280 1.279 89.15 101.17 92.98 October November December 0.20 0.79 0.73 0.77 0.74 0.57 0.66 1.24 1.11 0.98 0.99 1.02 221.1 221.4 221.6 862.8 863.6 862.9 6.258 1.287 1.293 1 . 303 94.51 94.62 91.61 0.03 0.19 0.89 0.43 0.45 0.91 0.61 0.79 1.20 1.00 0.91 0.85 219.6 217.6 217.3 858.6 852.9 852.0 6.341* 1.303 1.310 1.312 rlOO.84 r82.15 r88.18 1.57 -0.11 1.27 1.02 0.58 1.13 1.13 1.02 1.37 0.95 1.08 0)1.14 218.7 216.2 216.7 852.6 848.7 849.6 6.281 1.305 1.305 1.300 r75.24 r91 .96 r94.76 July August September 0.94 0.66 0.61 0.85 0.91 0.74 0.74 0.85 0)1.38 1.11 1.02 0.99 216.4 215.7 214.5 847.7 846.9 843.3 6.310 1.308 1.305 1.304 r97.36 r84.01 r87.42 October November December 0.18 0.34 0.57 0.48 0.42 0.60 0.49 0.28 0.69 0.95 0.81 0.60 212.8 21V.3 210.0 839.1 834.1 828.9 6.390 1.312 1.323 1.330 0)rl03.69 r77.12 r51 .59 January February March 0.44 0.82 -0.03 0.59 0.80 0.41 0.66 0.96 0.65 0.52 0.66 0.76 208.0 206.9 203.9 822.4 817.7 809.5 6.460 1.334 1.329 1.333 r87.55 67.51 69.29 April May June . . -1.18 -0.10 1.22 -0.21 0.79 rl.51 0.48 rO.71 rO.62 0.73 0.66 0.61 199.7 197.8 198.2 800.5 r799.9 r804.1 0)r6.500 0)1.337 rl.331 rl.318 50.12 16.79 r7.87 0.92 0)pl.80 3 1.19 rl.51 pi. 13 pO.73 el. 14 pO.64 eO.76 200.0 p202.3 r816.2 p819.8 rl .318 pi .313 p40.93 (NA) 1979 January February March April May June . .. 1980 July August September October November December . .. NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by @. Current high values are indicated by0); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity,current low values are indicated by 0). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 13, 31, and 32. Series 102 reached its high value (1.64) in June 1975. 2See footnote 1 on page 68. and 17. SEPTEMBER 1980 3 Average for weeks ended September 3, 10, 71 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS HHj MONEY AND CREDIT-Con. Minor Economic Process Credit Flows-Con. U L, L Timing Class U L,L 112. Net change in bank loans to businesses Year and month (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 113. Net change in consumer installment debt (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) Credit Difficulties L, L, L 110. Total private borrowing (Ann. rate, mil. dol.) L, L, L Bank Reserves L,L,L L, U, U 39. Delinquency 93. Free rate, 30 days reserves© and over, consumer installment loans 14. Current liabilities of business failures@ * (Mil. dol.) (Percent) (Mil. dol.) Interest Rates L, Lg, Lg L, Lg, U C, Lg, Lg 119. Federal funds rate® 94. Member bank borrowing from the Federal Reserve© (Mil. dol.) 1 14. Treasury bill rate® (Percent) (Percent) 1978 January . .February March 9.76 17.21 19.97 29.24 34.34 48.91 309,956 168.31 205.01 324.41 2.42 2.48 2.51 -176 -272 -38 April May June 18.10 26.24 21.96 49.27 51.36 50.48 336,240 202.99 160.40 178.84 2.44 2.28 2.44 -475 -975 -974 13.61 11.78 13.92 41.59 43.58 44.16 345,916 231 .82 206.40 127 02 2.42 2.37 2 42 10.90 8.77 -0 94 40.51 45 98 52 79 394 412 475 34 178 93 196 54 2 35 2 34 2 45 39 31 33 07 5 76 36 80 42 76 43 50 r347 904 April May June 39 62 31 99 23 23 AQ July August September 40 RR 30 54 d^ ^fi July August . . . .^ September > October November December 481 405 344 6.70 6.78 6 79 6.45 6.46 6 32 539 1,227 1 ,111 6 89 7.36 7 60 6 31 6.43 6 71 -1 ,146 -885 -993 1 286 1,147 1 068 7 81 8.04 8 45 7 07 7.04 7 34 -1 049 417 -749 1 261 722 874 8 96 9 76 8 13 8 79 cqo 764 -742 QQZL i n 0.7 070 1 0 Ofi 1 0 OQ in rn Q 1 9 1979 January February March . . . . . October November December . . •3 70 9i in 4 CC Of. 39 67 30 70 29 32 29 35 [R)53 35 r355 864 [fj\r4"l4 400 00 1C 1 Q r309 748 [UN? i 9 2 31 2 33 9 /I Q 9 91 9 9C\ 9 dR npq AA 9 A.7 9 ^Q Qfl/l 1 "^Q one y e 9 zm 1 7£o m . "3011 9 RO 007 "37 2 45 1 38.02 9 £/l qqq 1 /inn 1 1 7^ 9 9 9 or 97 nc OQ7 1 j~\ 10 . r\l U1 9 . 49 1 777 1n 1 qq£ 1 0 9Q Q 9 . rbo 9 nc 1 1 7Q 1 nq7 10 A7 1 D QA PQQ 242.76 ?nn 4R 273 1 7 1 Pfi 90 26 23 OQ 182 22 177 09 187 76 1 "3AZL n 9/1 no 1 q 77 "I O 1 Q 9 9 or /j r 1 r\ Q 10 . -ilo 11 A7 -1 ,079 2,022 1 ,906 1 ,473 -999 -1,465 [H>-2,680 1,241 1,655 E>2,824 13.82 14.13 17.19 12.04 12.81 0)15.53 2,455 1,018 p365 [H}17 61 10.98 9 47 14 00 9 03 9 61 10.44 8 13 9 26 "10.32 -1 ,751 1 o 7Q 1 6 . /O n . OQ7/ 12.07 1980 E>55.48 35.83 -1.52 16.46 27.54 17.24 r344,388 243.15 190.79 274.24 2.37 2.32 2.53 April May June 2.47 -38.96 2.14 -23.82 -41.21 -41.56 pi 52, 860 428.15 381.15 436.68 2.53 2.64 2.74 -2,261 -835 p-114 July August September 13.28 p30.96 2 21.36 -7.31 (NA) 445.69 (NA) (NA) p28 p-356 3 -732 January February March 3 p390 p687 1,052 3 9.15 7 00 October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Current high values are indicated by H); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by [H). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 32, 33, and 34, 1 Series 14 reached its high value (96.99) in September 1977. 2Average for weeks ended September 3 and 10. 3Average for weeks ended September 3, 10, and 17. ^Average for weeks ended September 4} 11, 18, and 25. 72 SEPTEMBER 1980 CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS H9 MONEY AND CREDIT-Con. Minor Economic Process Outstanding Debt Interest Rates-Con. Timing Class Lg, Lg, Lg C, Lg, Lg U, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg 116. Corporate bond yields© 115. Treasury bond yields® 117. Municipal bond yields® 11 8. Secondary market yields onFHA mortgages® Year and month (Percent) (Percent) (Percent) (Percent) Lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg 7. Bank rates n short-term usiness loans 109. Average prime rate charged by banks® ® (Percent) (Percent) Lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg 66. Consumer installment debt 72. Commercial nd industrial oans outtan ding, weekly eporting large commercial banks (Mil.dol.) (Mil.dol.) Lg, Lg, Lg 95. Ratio, consumer installment debt to personal income (Percent) 1978 January February March 8.70 8.70 8.70 7.51 7.60 7.63 5.71 5.62 5.61 9.18 (NA) 9.35 8.90 7.93 8.00 8.00 225,714 228,576 232,652 118,248 119,682 121,346 13.95 14.01 14.06 April May June 8.88 9.00 9.15 7.74 7.87 7.94 5.80 6.03 6.22 9.44 9.74 (NA) 8.'% 8.00 8.27 8.63 236,758 241,038 245,245 122,854 125,041 126,871 14.12 14.29 14.39 July August September 9.27 8.83 8.78 8.10 7.88 7.82 6.28 6.12 6.09 9.96 9.81 9.81 9.92 9.00 9.01 9.41 248,711 252,343 256,023 128,005 128,987 130,147 14.38 14.49 14.58 October November December 9.14 9.30 9.30 8.07 8.16 8.36 6.13 6.19 6.50 9.98 10.04 10.23 1K44 9.94 10.94 11.55 259,399 263,231 267,630 131,055 131,786 131,708 14.56 14.61 14.65 January February March 9.47 9.52 9.65 8.43 8.43 8.45 6.47 6.31 6.33 10.24 10.24 10.26 12!27 11.75 11.75 11.75 270,697 274,260 277,885 134,984 137,740 138,220 14.76 14.81 14.84 April May June 9.69 9.82 9.51 8.44 8.55 8.32 6.29 6.25 6.13 (NA) 10.61 10.49 12^34 11.75 11.75 11.65 281,990 285,296 287,854 141,522 144,188 146,124 14.99 15.08 15.11 July August September 9.47 9.57 9.87 8.35 8.42 8.68 6.13 6.20 6.52 10.46 10.58 11.37 12'.31 11.54 11.91 12.90 290,297 292,743 297,189 149,503 152,048 155,661 15.02 15.04 [0)15.16 October November December 11.17 11.52 11.30 9.44 9.80 9.58 7.08 7.30 7.22 (NA) 12.41 12,24 is.'si 14.39 15.55 15.30 299,375 301,782 303,131 155,971 154,213 154,592 15.11 15.05 14.95 11.65 13.23 [0)14.08 10.03 11.55 [H)11.87 7.35 8.16 [0)9.17 12.60 (NA) [0)14.63 1 5'. 67 15.25 15.63 18.31 304,503 306,798 [0)308,235 159,215 162,201 162,074 14.88 14.92 14.89 13.36 11.61 11.12 10.83 9.82 9.40 8.63 7.59 7.63 13.45 11.99 11.85 [0)17.'75 [0)19.77 16.57 12.63 306,250 302,816 299,353 162,280 159,033 159,211 14.78 14.57 H4.32 11.48 12.31 M2.58 9.83 10.53 MO. 76 8.13 8.67 8.86 12.39 13.54 11.48 11.12 12.07 298,744 (NA) 160,318 [H)pl62,898 "164,678 H4.08 (NA) ....... 1979 1980 January February March April May June July August September October November December 2 n '. 56 3 . . NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Current high values are indicated by (0); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by (0). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 15, 34, and 35. Average for weeks ended September 5, 12, and 19. 2Average for weeks ended September 4, 11, and 18. through 25. AAverage for weeks ended September 4 and 10. SEPTEMBER 1980 3 Average for September 1 73 CYCLICAL INDICATORS DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE Qj DIFFUSION INDEXES Year and month 950. Twelve leading indicator components (series 1,3, 8, 12,19, 20,29,32,36,92, 104, 951. Four ro ughly coincident in dicator components (series 41,47,51,5 7) 952. Six lagging indicator components (series 62, 70, 72, 91, 95, 109) 961 . Average workweek of production workers, manufacturing (20 industries) 106) 1-month span 6-month span 1-month span 6-month span 962. Initial claims for State unemployment insurance, week including the 12th (51 areas) 963. Number of employees on private nonagricultural payrolls (172 industres) 1-month span 6-month span 1-month span 9-month span 1-month span 9-month span 2.5 77.5 65.0 40.0 33.3 47.1 54.9 76.5 56.9 47.1 68.6 68.6 71.8 82.3 82.8 79.9 82.4 11.8 58.8 52.9 60.8 60.8 69.8 61.9 64.2 74.7 75.3 74.7 1 -month span 6-month span 100.0 100.0 91.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 75.0 90.0 66.7 100.0 85.0 1978 January February March 45.8 62.5 41.7 58.3 54.2 58.3 April May June 66.7 54.2 62.5 54.2 50.0 58.3 July August September 45.8 50.0 62.5 62.5 83.3 66.7 100.0 October November December 54.2 37.5 66.7 January February March 25.0 75.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 62.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 66.7 66.7 50.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 58.3 41.7 66.7 33.3 41.7 41.7 25.0 75.0 April May June 25.0 45.8 41.7 July August September . October November December 83.3 83.3 62.5 52.5 70.0 95.0 83.3 83.3 83.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 47.5 45.0 60.0 82.5 47.5 22.5 49.0 42.2 94.1 51.0 76.5 15.7 61.0 67.7 67.2 73.3 77.6 80.5 66.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 83.3 83.3 35.0 67.5 57.5 62.5 70.0 12.5 25.5 29.4 86.3 51.0 66.7 29.4 68.0 75.3 74.7 82.0 79.1 78.2 100.0 75.0 87.5 50.0 83.3 75.0 75.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 52.5 37.5 67.5 15.0 10.0 15.0 11.8 72.5 68.6 46.1 27.5 23.5 66.9 66.3 62.2 74.7 71.8 64.0 41.7 33.3 29.2 12.5 75.0 75.0 75.0 50.0 25.0 91.7 75.0 83.3 83.3 100.0 100.0 0.0 92.5 32.5 17.5 30.0 17.5 66.7 66.7 56.9 49.0 31.4 49.7 58.1 57.8 60.5 53.8 51.5 45.8 29.2 54.2 37.5 33.3 45.8 100.0 100.0 50.0' 100.0 75.0 66.7 83.3 75.0 83.3 75.0 75.0 45.0 72.5 32.5 25.0 90.0 35.3 56.9 86.3 21.6 23.5 49.0 57.0 54.4 52.9 58.1 55.5 55.2 16.7 20.8 50.0 41.7 45.8 16.7 r62.5 75.0 75.0 25.0 83.3 41.7 50.0 50.0 58.3 50.0 37.5 57.5 65.0 45.0 32.5 27.5 53.9 68.6 35.3 33.3 65.1 55.2 53.5 59.3 63.1 56.4 January February March 41.7 29.2 33.3 25.0 58.3 66.7 41.7 66.7 66.7 50.0 75.0 10.0 0.0 17.5 16.7 16.7 60.2 54.9 45.9 r32.0 April May June 12.5 25.0 50.0 33.3 28.2 29.1 r23.3 p26.5 p70.6 r22.7 July August September 87.5 (NA) r32.0 p57.3 50.0 75.0 75.0 91.7 5.0 1979 50.0 50.0 50.0 100.0 7.8 8.8 5.9 1980 "70.0 0.0 75.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.7 1 0.0 0.0 50.0 2 0.0 25.0 66.7 33.3 33.3 25.0 66.7 66.7 2 0.0 3 50.0 50.0 3 50.0 55.0 17.5 r!7.5 r42.5 p85.0 2.5 r5.0 p22.5 25.5 60.8 46.1 3.9 2.0 p2.0 (NA) 42.7 38.1 October November December NOTE: Figures are the percent of series components rising. (Half of the unchanged components are counted as rising.) Data are centered within the spans: 1-month indexes are placed on the 2d month, 6-month indexes on the 4th month, and 9-month indexes on the 6th month of the span. Diffusion indexes 961, 962, and 963 are computed from seasonally adjusted components; indexes 950, 951, and 952 are computed from the components of the composite indexes. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 36. 1 Excludes series 12 and 36 for which data are not yet available. 2 Excludes series 57 for which data are not yet available. 3 Excludes series 70 and 95 for which data are not yet available. 74 SEPTEMBER 1980 CYCLICAL INDICATORS DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con. |}B DIFFUSION INDEXES-Con. Year and month 964. Value of manufacturers' new orders, durable goods industries (35 industries) 1 -month span 9-month span 965. Newly approved capital appropriations, deflated, The Conference Board (17 industries) 1-quarter span 966. Index of industrial production (24 industries) 4-Q moving avg. 1-month span 6-month span 967. Index of industrial materials prices © (13 industrial materials) 1-month span 9-month span 968. Index of stock prices, 500 common stocks x ® 1-month span 9-month span 960. Net profits, manufacturing 2 ® (about 700 companies) 1-quarter span 4-quarter span Revised 7 Revised7 1978 January February March . . 37.1 60.0 45.7 85.7 91.4 80.0 62 74.3 42.9 57.1 85.7 80.0 94.3 27 48.6 80.0 65.7 88.6 80.0 88.6 59 77.1 45.7 62.9 91.4 97.1 91.4 50 January February March 62.9 45.7 62.9 82.9 80.0 61.4 48 April May June 25.7 62.9 51.4 65.7 62.9 60.0 33 July August September 42.9 57.1 60.0 54.3 45.7 75.7 48 51.4 45.7 54.3 62.9 62.9 42.9 53 January February March 72.9 40.0 31.4 22.9 28.6 71 April May June 17.1 34.3 42.9 April May June July . August September .. October November December 3 8.1 66.7 66.7 3 58.3 30.6 50.0 "49.1 "62.1 "69. 8 '78 50.0 61.5 80.8 69.2 80.8 84.6 90.7 90.7 59.3 "82.8 "86.2 "87.7 '78 87.5 87.5 91.7 65.4 69.2 76.9 88.5 92.3 88.5 28.8 98.3 37.3 "70.2 "67.5 "68.4 'so 91.7 79.2 83.3 88.5 80.8 42.3 88.5 88.5 92.3 69.0 39.1 47.3 67.3 74 *52 66.7 79.2 87.5 62.5 66.7 50.0 61.5 76.9 76.9 96.2 96.2 88.5 94.8 35.5 85.5 18.2 32.7 57.4 '?! 45 62.5 54.2 70.8 56.2 54.2 45.8 69.2 42.3 53.8 80.8 84.6 90.7 88.9 75.0 74 *45 16.7 62.5 56.2 'si 52.1 39.6 45.8 66.7 50.0 54.2 46.2 30.8 53.8 63.0 68.5 68.5 75 p47 64.6 52.1 58.3 58.3 58.3 45.8 75.0 37.5 35.4 16.7 16.7 12.5 *49 39.6 47,9 85.4 83.3 79.2 91.7 69.2 34.6 46.2 'BO 87.5 54.2 83.3 87.5 87.5 85.4 *48 70.8 83.3 70.8 3 8.6 0.0 1979 October November December . 5 62.5 5 91.7 80.0 16.4 90.0 5 66.7 66.7 58.3 64.8 92.6 53.7 66.7 58.3 5 58.3 38.0 95.4 69.8 37.7 39.6 74.1 52.8 39.6 47.2 5 5 5 61.5 76.9 5 50.0 73.1 61.5 5 3.7 (NA) 1980 July August September r71.4 p51.4 r34.3 p45.7 p!5 12.5 16.7 16.7 8.3 11.5 15.4 p8.3 0.0 53.8 76.9 16.7 p79.2 6 5 58.3 50.0 53.8 6 50.0 46.2 3.8 26.4 92.5 89.6 77.4 90.6 92.5 88.7 57.7 October November December NOTE: Figures are the percent of series components rising. (Half of the unchanged components are counted as rising.) Data are centered within the spans: 1-month indexes are placed on the 2d month, 6-month indexes on the 4th month, and 9-month indexes on the 6th month of the span; 1-quarter indexes are placed on the 1st month of the 2d quarter, 3-quarter indexes on the 1st month of the 3d quarter, and 4-quarter indexes on the 2d month of the 3d quarter. Seasonally adjusted components are used except in index 968, which requires no adjustment, and index 969, which is adjusted as an index (1-quarter span only). Unadjusted series are indicated by®. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 37. 1 Based on 62 industries through March 1978, on 59 industries through September 1978, on 58 industries through January 1979, on 55 industries through June 1979, on 54 industries through January 1980, and on 53 industries thereafter. Data for component industries are not shown in table C2 but are available from the source agency. 2 This is a copyrighted series used by permission; it may not be reproduced without written permission from Dun and Bradstreet, Inc. 3 Based on 12 components (excluding print cloth). A Based on 58 components for January 1978 through May 1978 and on 57 components through September 1978. 3 Based on 12 components (excluding rosin). 6 Average for September 2, 9, and 16. 7See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. SEPTEMBER 1980 75 CYCLICAL INDICATORS DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con. DIFFUSION INDEXES-Con. Year and quarter a. Actual expenditures (1-Qspan) b. Later anticipations c. Early anticipations (1-Qspan) Anticipated Actual (1-Qspan) (4-Qspan) 80 83 82 82 973. Net sales, manufacturing and trade 1 ® 972. Net profits, manufacturing and trade1® 971. New orders, manufacturing 1 © 970. Business expenditures for new plant and equipment (18 industries) (4-Qspan) (4-Qspan) Anticipated Actual Anticipated Actual (4-Q span) (4-Qspan) (4-Qspan) 80 81 84 85 82 86 90 1977 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 66.7 75.0 88.9 44.4 58 ,.3 66.7 66.7 66.7 72.2 61.1 88.9 61.1 66.7 77.8 69.4 63.9 72.2 61.1 66.7 61.1 69.4 83 66.7 77.8 83.3 77.8 66.7 72.2 66.7 72.2 55.6 72.2 69.4 77.8 52.8 63.9 50.0 58.3 41.7 47.2 75.0 66.7 50.0 61.1 72.2 69.4 71 74 74 76 78 80 84 82 82 83 73 76 78 78 79 82 84 83 85 81 73 78 80 84 80 72 78 74 70 72 78 82 80 70 74 66 75 57 62 66 73 59 86 1978 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 86 87 92 90 86 1979 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 87 84 82 82 85 88 84 78 73 72 80 63 1980 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter (NA) (NA) (NA) DIFFUSION INDEXES-Con. Year and quarter 974. Number of employees, manufacturing and trade 1 ® 975. Level of inventories, manufacturing and trade 1 ® 976. Selling prices, manufacturing 1 @ 977. Selling prices, wholesale trade 1 ® 978. Selling prices, retail trade 1 ® Actual Actual Actual Actual Actual Anticipated (4-Qspan) (4-Qspan) Anticipated Anticipated Anticipated (4-Qspan) (4-Qspan) (4-Q span) (4-Q span) (4-Q span) (4-Q span) Anticipated (4-Qspanl (4-Qspan) 1977 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 60 59 61 62 59 60 61 59 74 72 74 75 65 68 72 70 86 86 87 87 78 81 86 82 87 86 88 90 80 86 86 84 90 86 92 92 86 84 62 64 64 63 59 60 62 62 76 76 76 78 67 70 73 74 87 88 90 91 82 84 87 87 92 93 94 84 90 87 90 91 94 94 93 90 88 92 92 62 60 60 58 60 60 58 56 80 76 73 75 70 74 71 92 93 92 94 86 96 95 95 96 90 92 90 94 95 94 96 90 92 92 90 58 (NA) 54 56 48 67 (NA) 62 70 53 90 (NA) 87 90 83 92 (NA) 90 92 87 92 (NA) 90 93 84 1978 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1980 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter NOTE: Figures are the percent of series components rising. (Half of the unchanged components are counted as rising.) Data are placed on the terminal month of the span. Series are seasonally adjusted except those, indicated by ® , that appear to contain no seasonal movement. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 38. '•This is a copyrighted series used by permission; it may not be reproduced without written permission from Dun and Bradstreet, Inc. Dun and Bradstreet diffusion indexes are based on surveys of about 1,400 business executives. 76 SEPTEMBER 1980 CYCLICAL INDICATORS C DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con. H| SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Bas c Data and Directions of Change Diffusion index components 1980 January April March February 961. AVERAGE WORKWEEK OF PRODUCTION WORKERS, MANUFACTURING (Average weekly hours) + All manufacturing industries Percent rising of 20 components 40.3 40.1 39.8 (75) (10) (0) 39.1 39.0 38.7 38.5 41.2 40.8 40.9 40.7 o Julyr June May August' 3 1 39.8 39.3 39.1 (55) (18) (18) o 39.1 + (42) 39.6 (85) Durable goods industries: + + 39.2 37.9 40.4 r38.8 40.2 38.6 + 40.1 39.8 r39.7 40.7 39.6 40.6 + + 40.1 40.9 + - r37.6 r37.0 40.6 40.6 40.3 39.2 + - + + 40.8 41.5 39.9 41.0 - + 39.9 40.5 39.5 39.7 40.7 38.5 40.3 38.3 + 39.9 38.2 40.3 35.8 39.7 35.3 o 42.5 37.2 41.7 37.1 41.8 39.7 + 41.5 41.1 39.9 36.9 + + 40.1 37.3 + + 39.4 39.2 Stone, clay, and glass products Primary metal industries + 41.4 40.8 Fabricated metal products Machinery, except electrical o + 40.9 41.6 40.8 41.5 40.7 41.3 Electrical equipment and supplies Transportation equipment o o 40.5 40.9 40.3 40.8 40.0 40.4 Instruments and related products Miscellaneous manufacturing industries + + 41.4 39.2 40.9 39.1 40.4 38.6 + Food and kindred products Tobacco manufactures o 39.8 38.5 39.7 37.9 39.3 37.7 + + 39.6 38.2 Textile mill products Apparel and other textile products + + 41.5 36.0 41.1 35.9 40.8 35.3 + Paper and allied products Printing and publishing + + 43.0 37.8 42.9 37.4 42.6 37.2 Chemicals and allied products Petroleum and coal products + 42.0 36.9 + 41.9 40.7 Rubber and plastic products, n.e.c Leather and leather products + + 40.7 37.2 o 40.0 37.2 o 38.0 36.9 37.5 37.6 Lumber and wood products Furniture and fixtures o 37.3 38.5 + + 39.2 39.5 o o 39.2 39.5 + + 39.7 41.1 r40.4 38.2 + 40.0 38.4 + + 40.6 38.6 - r39.6 r37.3 + + 39.8 38.8 + 39.9 37.7 - r39.1 35.2 o 39.1 35.1 o + 39.1 35.2 41.4 r36.8 + + 41.5 36.9 + + 41.8 37.0 r41.1 42.3 o 40.8 42.3 + o 41.0 42.3 Nondurable goods industries: + o + + Percent rising of 35 components . 81,467 - - (40) (73) . . . 81,021 77,546 - (31) 72,416 - 41.3 42.5 39.3 36.7 964. VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS' NEW ORDERS, DURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES 1 (Millions of dollars) All durable goods industries - - 67,328 39.2 r36.7 o o 39.2 35.8 + + 40.2 36.7 - 66,454 + 73,979 - 72,299 2 (43) (34) (17) (51) (71) Primary metals Fabricated metal products + - 13,533 9,092 + 13,086 10,223 - 11,141 9,738 - 9,680 8,862 - 8,373 8,333 + - 8,947 8,076 + + 10,811 8,621 + - 11,637 8,223 Machinery, except electrical Electrical machinery + + 15,249 10,626 + 14,247 11,440 - 14,000 11,109 - 11,651 10,737 - 12,701 10,022 + - 13,085 9,941 + 14,177 9,677 + 13,934 10,818 Transportation equipment Other durable goods industries + 16,448 16,519 - 16,005 16,020 + - 16,345 15,213 + - 17,510 13,976 - 14,320 13,579 + 12,672 13,733 + + 16,113 14,580 - 13,214 14,473 NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available. 1 Data are seasonally adjusted by the source agency. 2 Data for most of the 35 diffusion index components are not available for publication; however, they are included in the totals and directions of change for the six major industry groups shown here. SEPTEMBER 1980 77 CYCLICAL INDICATORS DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con. Rl SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Con. 1980 Diffusion index components January February April March 966. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION * (1967=100) + All industrial production 3 Machinery and allied goods Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery Transportation equipment Instruments Lumber, clay, and glass Clay, glass, and stone products Lumber and products - (75) Percent rising of 24 components Durable manufactures: Primary and fabricated metals Primary metals Fabricated metal products 152.7 + + + + + 152.6 152.1 (38) (35) 116.4 145.0 + 111.9 145.7 167.1 181.7 122.1 175.9 + - 167.0 179.2 125.7 174.8 165.0 131.6 - 162.4 130.2 + o - June May August* 3 July 2 148.3 - (12) 141.4 144.0 (17) (17) 139.8 + 140.5 (79) (17) 113.7 145.5 - 106.4 141.4 - 96.1 133.2 90.4 125.8 80.8 + 122.7 + 83.9 125.7 166.5 179.2 123.8 173.5 + 163.2 177.0 115.1 173.8 - 162.1 171.4 109.8 171.0 158.4 166.8 110.2 169.2 156.8 + 165.5 + 110.6 166.5 + 156.9 167.2 107.3 169.0 156.4 125.3 - 148.8 105.2 - 140.8 104.5 + + 134.5 108.7 + + 133.3 108.9 (NA) (NA) Furniture and miscellaneous Furniture and fixtures Miscellaneous manufactures + 160.8 153.8 - 159.2 151.6 + + 159.5 152.8 - 157.1 151.2 - 149.5 147.3 143.1 143.7 138.3 142.0 Nondurable manufactures: Textiles, apparel, and leather Textile mill products . . Apparel products Leather and products + + 143.4 131.5 74.2 + + 144.0 133.8 73.3 + 142.0 136.1 72.8 - 139.9 131.3 69.9 + 137.1 128.6 70.1 133.6 128.1 68.5 131.8 (NA) 66.0 Paper and printing Paper and products Printing and publishing + + 157.4 138.9 + 153.6 139.9 152.7 139.2 - 148.2 136.5 - 145.7 135.5 146.2 134.9 142.5 + 134.5 + 143.7 134.9 Chemicals, petroleum, and rubber Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastics products + + + 218.0 147.5 265.5 + 217.4 144.6 266.8 213.6 140.7 264.4 - - 189.9 131.1 - 199.2 133.0 248.1 191.1 132.0 - 209.1 137.4 261.8 242.2 238.6 (NA) 127.5 (NA) Foods and tobacco Foods Tobacco products + + 148.5 118.7 + + 149.0 120.0 + + 149.3 122.2 - 147.8 121.9 + - 149.5 116.2 149.0 113.9 147.5 (NA) (NA) (NA) + 141.0 129.9 + 136.0 130.4 + + 137.2 131.8 + + 143.4 132.5 + + 145.0 133.9 + + 137.6 144.6 - 136.6 142.3 132.7 136.0 - 123.5 133.1 - 120.8 128.1 Mining: Coal Oil and gas extraction Metal, stone, and earth minerals Metal mining Stone and earth minerals + + 150.0 133.8 119.8 123.9 + (NA) 141.6 149.8 + 134.8 + 90.5 121.7 (NA) (NA) (NA) 150.7 135.3 (NA) (NA) NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r " indicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available. x Data are seasonally adjusted by the source agency, 2 Revised. See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page Hi, 3 Where actual data for separate industries are not available,, estimates are used to compute the percent rising. 78 SEPTEMBER 1980 CYCLICAL INDICATORS C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con. JRJ SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Con. Diffusion index components 1980 January February March April May June August July i September 967. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES 2 Industrial materials price index (1967=100) . . . . + 316.2 + (50) Percent rising of 13 components 322.5 - 316.9 - (73) (62) 301.9 (12) 278.5 - (15) 267.5 + 277.6 + (54) (0) 292.1 + (77) 297.8 (58) Dollars + 0.971 2.141 - 0.346 0.763 + + 96.750 106.648 +100.000 110.230 - (pound). . (kilogram). . - 7.805 17.207 + + 8.368 18.448 (pound). . (kilogram). . o 0.375 0.827 + 0.380 0.838 + (yard). . (meter). . - 0.404 0.442 - 0.385 + (pound). . (kilogram). . + 0.726 + Print cloth (yard). . (meter). . o Wool tops (pound). . (kilogram). . o Lead scrap (pound). . (kilogram). . - Steel scrap (U.S. ton). . (metric ton). . Copper scrap Tin Zinc Burlap Cotton Hides Rosin Tallow 0.346 0.763 o 7.910 17.438 0.421 1.601 0.810 1.786 - 0.625 0.684 + 0.651 0.712 + (pound). . (kilogram). . + 3.150 + 3.200 7.055 + (pound). . (kilogram). . + 0.745 - 6.944 0.825 - 1.642 - 40.000 88.184 + 42.000 92.593 + (pound). . (kilogram). . + + - (pound). . (kilogram). . - 0.180 0.743 1.638 0.397 0.833 0.170 0.375 0.688 1.517 0.679 1.497 0.760 1.675 - 0.732 1.614 - 0.697 1.537 0.364 0.802 0.313 0.690 0.220 0.485 0.216 0.476 + 0.218 0.481 + 0.256 0.564 + 0.293 0.646 71.000 78.263 63.000 69.445 + 68.000 74.956 + 78.000 85.979 + 88.000 97.002 7.918 + 17.456 8.063 17.776 7.810 17.218 - 7.742 17.068 o 7.742 17.068 + 7.930 17.482 0.390 0.860 0.385 0.849 0.375 0.827 0.368 0.811 - 0.355 0.783 + 0.359 0.791 + 0.373 0.822 0.389 0.425 0.362 0.396 0.350 0.383 0.337 0.369 - 0.324 0.354 + 0.331 0.362 - 0.324 0.354 0.788 - 0.787 1.735 0.779 1.717 0.725 1.598 + 0.783 1.726 + 0.857 1.889 + 1.737 0.891 1.964 0.682 + 0.746 0.695 0.760 0.691 0.756 0.690 0.755 - 0.675 0.738 - 0.668 0.731 - 0.660 0.722 3.500 - 3.460 7.628 3.250 7.165 3.200 7.055 o 3.200 7.055 + 3.400 7.496 + 3.433 7.568 0.490 1.080 0.405 0.893 0.380 0.838 + 0.476 1.049 + 0.522 1.151 - 0.483 1.065 48.000 o 48.000 46.500 105.821 105.821 102.514 45.000 99.207 o 45.000 99.207 o 45.000 99.207 o 45.000 99.207 0.680 1.499 - 0.678 1.495 + 0.688 1.517 + 0.737 1.625 0.152 0.335 + 0.167 0.368 + 0.187 0.412 - 0.183 0.403 98.000 91.800 108.025 101.191 0.592 - 1.305 0.750 1.653 1.836 - 0.674 + 1.486 + 1.614 0.732 - 7.716 1.819 (100 pounds). . (100 kilograms). . Rubber 0.872 1.922 + 0.181 0.399 0.711 1.567 0.180 0.397 0.682 1.504 0.168 0.370 NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) - unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available. 1 Average for September 2, 9, and 16. 2 Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. SEPTEMBER ItCII 1980 79 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT GNP AND PERSONAL INCOME 50. Gross national product in 1972 dollars 200. Gross national product in current dollars and quarter a. Total (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) a. Total c. Percent change at annual rate . Difference b. Difference (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) c. Percent change at annual rate (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 217. Per capita GNP in 1972 dollars 213. Final sales in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, dollars) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 1977 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 22.7 7.4 4.8 7.0 2.2 6,084 6,145 6,236 6,256 1,304.4 1,317.8 1,337.3 1,350.0 1,367.8 1,395.2 1,407.3 1,426.6 6.5 27.4 12.1 19.3 1.9 8.3 3.5 5.6 6,276 6,390 6,431 6,506 1,351.3 1,379.6 1,395.1 1,414.6 4.0 -8.3 11.0 7.0 1.1 11.9 10.5 1,430.6 1,422.3 1,433.3 1,440.3 2.0 6,512 6,460 6,494 6,509 1,418.4 1,404.1 1,426.2 1,439.0 10.8 rO.l 1,444.7 rl,408.6 4.4 r-36.1 1.2 r-9.6 6,514 r6.337 1,444.4 rl,406.0 1,820.2 1,876.0 1,930.5 1,971.3 64.1 55.8 54.5 40.8 15.4 12.8 12.1 8.7 1,315.7 1,331.2 1,353.9 1,361.3 27.6 2,011.3 2,104.2 2,159.6 2,235.2 40.0 92.9 55.4 75.6 8.4 19.8 10.9 14.8 2,292.1 2,329.8 2,396.5 2,456.9 56.9 37.7 66.7 60.4 10.6 6.7 2,520.8 r2,521.3 63.9 rO.5 15.5 1978 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter -2.3 3.1 1980 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter GNP AND PERSONAL INCOME-Con. Year and quarter PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES 230. Total in current dollars Disposable personal income 224. Current dollars 225. Constant (1972) dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.)' (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 231. Total in 1972 dollars 232. Durable goods in current dollars 233. Durable goods in 1972 dollars 227. Per capita in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, dollars) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 1977 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1,250.1 1,286.0 1,323.2 1,361.2 908.0 921.5 936.3 951.8 4,200 4,255 4,313 4,375 1,169.1 1,190.5 1,220.6 1,259.7 849.2 853.1 863.7 880.9 174.3 175.7 178.9 186.4 135.8 136.6 138.2 142.4 1,395.0 1,437.3 1,476.5 1,524.8 956.6 966.1 976.2 991.5 4,390 4,426 4,462 4,522 1,287.2 1,331.2 1,369.3 1,415.4 882.7 894.8 905.3 920.3 185.3 200.3 203.5 212.1 139.3 147.8 147.5 152.1 1,572.2 1,601.7 1,640.0 1,683.1 996.6 993.0 993.4 996.2 4,536 4,510 4,501 4,502 1,454.2 1,475.9 1,528.6 1,580.4 921.8 915.0 925.9 935.4 213.8 208.7 213.4 216.2 150.2 144.8 146.9 146.7 1,737.4 rl,755.9 998.5 r983.1 4,502 r4,423 1,629.5 rl,626.6 936.5 r910.8 220.2 195.7 145.4 127.4 1978 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1980 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 40 and 41. SEPTEMBER 1980 BCIt OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Con. ^M GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Q PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES-Con. Year and quarter 236. Nondurable goods in current dollars (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 238. Nondurable goods in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 237. Services in current dollars (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 239. Services in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 240. Total in current dollars (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 241. Total in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 242. Fixed investment, total, in current dollars 243. Fixed investment, total, in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) (Ann. rate, bii.dol.) 1977 467.7 475.5 483.0 499.2 328.9 329.6 332.1 340.0 527.1 539.3 558.7 574.1 384.5 386.9 393.3 398.5 280.4 300.0 315.7 316.9 191.0 199.6 206.7 203.0 261.1 277.5 288.2 298.5 179.7 186.2 190.1 191.7 505.9 521.8 536.7 558.1 337.3 339.4 344.7 351.9 596.0 609.1 629.1 645.1 406.1 407.6 413.1 416.3 327.0 352.3 356.2 370.5 209.0 216.8 214.0 217.4 304.1 326.5 336.1 349.8 192.5 201.2 201.8 205.5 571.1 581.2 604.7 630.7 348.1 344.1 349.2 355.1 669.3 686.0 710.6 733.5 423.5 426.1 429.9 433.6 373.8 395.4 392.3 387.2 217.2 221.7 214.2 207.7 354.6 361.9 377.8 381.7 204.9 203.5 207.1 206.3 652.0 r654.1 354.1 r347.8 757.3 r776.9 437.0 r435.6 387.7 r368.5 203.2 H88.6 383.0 r357.1 202.9 r!86.0 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1978 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1980 First quarter . ... Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter B Year and quarter GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVEST.-Con. 245. Change in business inventories in current dollars (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) R9 GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES 30. Change in business inventories in 1972 dollars 260. Total in current dollars (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 261. Total in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 262. Federal Government in current dollars 263. Federal Government in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 266. State and local government in current dollars 267. State and local government in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bii.dol.) (Ann. rate, bii.dol.) 1977 First quarter Second quarter . Third quarter Fourth quarter . 19.3 22.5 27.5 18.5 11.3 13.4 16.6 11.3 380.0 391.6 400.5 412.8 264.5 267.6 270.3 271.5 138.2 142.6 145.6 151.2 100.3 101.8 101.8 241.8 249.0 254.9 261.6 166.0 167.3 168.5 169.8 22.8 25.8 20.0 20.6 16.5 15.6 12.2 12.0 419.4 428.3 440.9 453.8 270.7 271.3 274.7 276.0 150.9 148.2 152.3 159.0 99.9 96.6 98.5 99.3 268.5 280.1 288.6 294.8 170.9 174.7 176.2 176.6 19.1 33.4 14.5 12.3 18.1 460.1 466.6 477.8 501.2 274.7 272.4 273.1 277.1 163.6 161.7 162.9 178.4 101.1 101.1 296.5 304.9 314.9 322.8 173.6 174.3 175.6 176.0 517.2 528.3 280.0 r280.9 186.2 193.3 104.3 r!06.7 331.0 335.0 175.7 174.3 98.4 1978 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 5.6 7.1 1.4 98.1 97.4 1980 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 4.7 rll.4 0.3 r2.6 NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 41, 42, and 43. SEPTEMBER 1980 ItCII 81 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Con. I FOREIGN TRADE Year and quarter (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 256. Constant (1972) dollars 252. Current dollars 255. Constant (1972) dollars 250. Current dollars Imports of goods and services Exports of goods and services Net exports of goods and services (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) NATIONAL INCOME AND ITS COMPONENTS 220. National income in current dollars 280. Compensation of employees 257. Constant (1972) dollars 253. Current dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 1977 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 96.5 99.4 97.3 179.8 184.7 186.4 192.3 85.4 88.5 87.3 91.4 1,456.9 1,505.3 1,551.1 1,589.8 1,110.1 1,141.5 1,170.7 1,205.5 184.4 205.7 213.8 224.9 100.7 109.2 111.9 113.8 206.6 213.3 220.6 229.4 95.4 96.9 98.5 101.0 1,621.0 1,703.9 1,752.5 1,820.0 1,244.0 1,288.2 1,321.1 1,364.8 -11.9 17.0 13.2 20.1 20.1 238.5 243.7 267.3 280.4 117.0 116.0 122.2 124.3 234.4 251.9 269.5 292.4 100.0 102.9 102.1 104.1 1,869.0 1,897.9 1,941.9 1,990.4 1,411.2 1,439.7 1,472.8 1,513.2 -13.6 r-2.2 25.0 r28.3 308.1 r307.0 131.7 H28.3 321.7 r309.2 106.7 r99.9 2,035.4 r2,024.6 1,555.2 1,567.2 -9.2 -6.0 -6.3 170.5 178.6 180.1 174.2 100.5 -18.1 11.1 10.9 13.2 5.8 -22.2 -7.6 -6.8 -4.5 5.3 12.3 13.3 12.9 4.0 1978 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter -8.1 -2.3 1980 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter NATIONAL INCOME AND ITS COMPONENTS-Con. Year and quarter 282. Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 284. Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 286. Corporate prof its with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (Ann. rate, bil. dolj SAVING 288. Net interest (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 290. Gross saving (private and government) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 292. Personal saving 295. Business saving (Ann. rate, bil.dol.] (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 1977 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 107.6 23.6 24.6 25.2 25.5 137.1 148.9 160.8 153.0 89.3 92.7 95.8 98.2 253.3 276.0 291.6 283.6 213.9 226.8 243.2 238.8 52.5 65.9 71.9 69.5 109.1 115.0 117.4 125.7 25.2 24.4 26.8 27.1 141.2 169.4 175.2 184.8 101.5 106.8 111.9 117.6 289.7 329.2 332.7 346.9 234.4 253.1 259.6 264.7 74.6 71.2 70.9 71.5 129.0 129.3 130.3 134.5 27.3 26.8 26.6 27.0 178.9 176.6 180.8 176.4 122.6 125.6 131.5 139.2 362.2 374.3 367.3 351.9 266.0 274.6 281.9 281.0 79.2 85.9 70.3 59.7 130.0 r!20.5 27.0 27.3 175.0 r!52.8 148.1 r!56.8 346.6 r345,5 279.2 r287.6 64.4 r86.3 96.9 97.6 98.6 1978 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1980 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 44, 45, and 46. 82 SEPTEMBER 1980 ltd* OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Con. IjJ SHARES OF GNP AND NATIONAL INCOME IRj SAVING-Con. Year and quarter 298. Government surplus or deficit, total (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 293. Personal saving rate (percent of disposable personal income) Percent of Gross National Product 235. Personal consumption expenditures, total (Percent) (Percent) 248. Nonresidential fixed investment 249. Residential fixed investment 247. Change in business inventories (Percent) (Percent) (Percent) (Percent) 251. Net exports of goods and services I 1977 First Quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter -13.1 -16.6 -23.5 -24.8 4.2 5.1 5.4 5.1 64.2 63.5 63.2 63.9 -19.2 5.0 2.3 10.8 5.3 5.0 4.8 4.7 15.8 12.7 14.0 10.0 10.0 10.1 4.5 4.9 4.9 5.1 1.1 1.2 1.4 0.9 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.9 64.0 63.3 63.4 63.3 10.1 10.4 10.5 10.6 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.1 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 -1.1 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 5.0 5.4 4.3 3.5 63.4 63.3 63.8 64.3 10.6 10.7 10.9 10.8 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 0.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 -0.3 -0.1 -0.5 3.7 64.6 64.5 10.8 10.6 4.4 3.5 0.2 0.5 -0.5 -0.1 9.9 9.9 1978 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 0.2 1980 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1.7 r-29.6 r4.9 1M SHARES OF GNP AND NATIONAL INCOME-Con. Year and quarter Percent of GNP-Con. 265. Federal Govt. purchases of goods and services (Percent) Percent of National Income 268. State and local govt. purchases of goods and services (Percent) 64. Compensation of employees (Percent) 283. Proprietors' income with IVA and CCA 1 (Percent) 285. Rental income of persons with CCA 1 (Percent) 287. Corporate profits with IVA and CCA 1 289. Net interest (Percent) (Percent) 1977 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 7.6 7.6 7.5 7.7 13.3 13.3 13.2 13.3 76.2 75.8 75.5 75.8 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.8 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 7.5 7.0 7.1 7.1 13.3 13.3 13.4 13.2 76.7 75.6 75.4 75.0 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.9 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.5 7.1 6.9 6.8 7.3 12.9 13.1 13.1 13.1 75.5 75.9 75.8 76.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.8 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 7.4 7.7 13.1 13.3 6.4 r77.4 1.3 1.3 9.4 9.9 10.4 9.6 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.2 1978 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 8.7 9.9 10.0 10.2 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.5 1979 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 9.6 9.3 9.3 8.9 6.6 6.6 6.8 7.0 8.6 7.3 7.7 1980 First quarter . . . . Second quarter Third quarter . . . . Fourth quarter 76.4 r6.0 r7.5 NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 46 and 47. X IVA, inventory valuation adjustment; CCA, capital consumption adjustment. SEPTEMBER 1980 83 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES B I PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY Qj PRICE MOVEMENTS Implicit price deflator, gross national product Year and month 310. Index (1972=100) Fixed weighted price index, gross business product 310c. Change 311. Index over 1 -quarter spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) (1972=100) 31 1c. Change over 1-quarter spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) Consumer prices, all items 320. index ® 320c. Change over 1-month spans1 (1967=100) (Percent) Consumer prices, food 320c. Change over 6-month spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) 322. Index (1967=100) 322c. Change over 1-month spans1 322c. Change over 6-month spans1 (Percent) (Ann. rate, percent) 1978 6.3 January February March 147.0 April May June iso.'s July August September 153.4 10.6 October November December 0.6 0.6 0.8 8.1 8.5 9.2 200.4 202.1 204.5 0.9 0.8 1.2 12.2 12.7 14.6 10.5 191.5 193.3 195.3 0.7 0.8 0.9 9.3 9.3 9.5 207.2 209.6 212.7 1.3 1.2 1.5 13.5 12.8 11.8 8.8 196.7 197.8 199.3 0.7 0.6 0.9 9.7 9.4 8.9 213.5 214.6 216.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 11.0 10.1 9.1 8.7 200.9 202.0 202.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 9.5 10.6 10.9 218.3 219.9 222.2 1.0 0.7 1.0 11.4 13.3 13.8 10.0 204.7 207.1 209.1 0.9 1.1 1.0 11.1 12.0 12.9 225.3 228.4 230.6 1.4 1.4 1.0 12.9 12.8 11.1 10.1 211.5 214.1 216.6 1.0 1.0 1.0 13.2 12.9 13.3 232.0 233.5 234.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 9.1 6.3 6.4 10.4 218.9 221.1 223.4 1.1 1.0 1.2 13.4 13.3 13.8 235.3 235.5 237.9 0.5 0.1 1.0 6.8 6.9 9.3 8.4 225.4 227.5 229.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 14.5 15.3 15.9 239.8 241.4 244.8 0.8 0.7 1.4 8.2 8.0 7.9 11.2 233.2 236.4 239.8 1.4 1.4 1.4 15.7 15.4 14.8 244.8 244.7 247.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.3 6.6 4.7 10.4 242.5 244.9 247.6 0.9 0.9 1.0 11.7 10.2 248.4 249.2 250.5 0.5 0.3 0.5 6.7 10.7 247.8 249.4 0.0 0.7 252.9 257.5 1.0 1.8 155^2 8.7 . . 187.2 188.4 189.8 152^6 7.2 . 6.6 148*.2 158^5 156!) 1979 January February March 16CL2 April May June 16X8 9.3 162^3 9.3 166.*3 . . July August September 167!2 October November December 17C)!6 8.5 17CK4 8.4 173.9 1980 January February March 9.5 174!s April May June July August September 178^6 rlO.7 rl79*6 . . 183.'l October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by ©. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 48 and 49. Percent changes are centered within the spans: 1-quarter changes are placed on the 1st month of the 2d quarter, 1-month changes are placed on the 2d month, and 6-month changes are placed on the 4th month. SEPTEMBER 1980 ito OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY—Con. Q| PRICE MOVEMENTS-Con. Producer prices, all commodities Year and month 330. Index® 330c. Change over 1 -month spans1 (u) (1967=100) (Percent) Producer prices, crude materials Producer prices, industrial commodities 330c. Change over 6-month spans1 (u) 335. Index® 335c. Change over 1 -month spans1 ® (Ann. rate, percent) (1967=100) (Percent) 335c. Change over 6-month spans1 @ (Ann. rate, percent) 331. Index (1967=100) 331c. Change over 1-month spans1 33 Ic. Change over 6-month spans1 (Percent) (Ann. rate, percent) 1978 January February March 200.1 202.1 203.7 1.0 1.0 0.8 10.7 11.4 11.8 201.6 202.9 204.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 7.2 8.3 8.9 221.6 224.2 229.0 1.2 1.2 2.1 24.6 19.1 21.4 April May June 206.5 208.0 209.6 1.4 0.7 0.8 10.9 8.6 8.7 206.1 207.4 208.7 1.0 0.6 0.6 8.6 8.6 8.4 234.5 235.6 241.3 2.4 0.5 2.4 19.9 17.0 16,1 July August September 210.7 210.6 212.4 0.5 0.0 0.9 8.3 7.5 7.7 210.1 211.4 212.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 8.5 8.5 8.3 242.6 242.5 246.8 0.5 0.0 1.8 16.6 17.4 13.7 October November December 214.9 215.7 217.5 1.2 0.4 0.8 9.8 13.2 13.9 214.7 216.0 217.2 1.0 0.6 0.6 9.6 10.8 12.5 253,2 255.3 257.3 2.6 0.8 0.8 17.2 23.1 23.4 220.8 224.1 226.7 1.5 1.5 1.2 14.5 15.7 15.3 220.0 222.5 225.4 1.3 1.1 1.3 13.8 15.0 16.1 262.6 269.1 274.2 2.1 2.5 1.9 16.4 16.1 17.1 230.0 232.0 233.5 1.5 0.9 0.6 15.1 13.1 14.0 229.0 231.6 234.0 1.6 1.1 1.0 16.5 16.9 17.4 273.2 275.1 278.4 July August September 236.9 238.3 242.0 1.5 0.6 1.6 14.0 13.5 14.4 237.5 240.6 244.2 1.5 1.3 1.5 18.2 17.1 17.0 October November December 245.6 247.2 249.7 1.5 0.7 1.0 15.8 19.2 17.1 249.0 250.6 253.1 2.0 0.6 1.0 254.9 260.2 261.9 2.1 2.1 0.7 H4.5 13.8 12.8 260.6 265.9 268.6 12.0 10.2 1979 January February March April May June . . . . -0.4 0.7 1.2 17.5 12.3 12.9 284.6 285.2 291.4 2.2 0.2 2.2 16.2 17.7 17.4 20.4 22.1 21.0 294.5 298.4 301.7 1.1 1.3 1.1 10.7 16.2 3.0 2.0 1.0 H8.7 17.1 16.3 299.5 307.5 300.9 rl.O rO.O 11.8 8.8 0.7 r290.4 294.1 295.1 1.0 0.6 313.6 331.6 6.6 1980 January February March April May June July August September r2"62.8 263.7 265.2 rO.3 rO.3 0.6 r271.3 271.2 273.0 269.8 273.1 1.7 1.2 275.6 277.3 -0.7 2.7 -2.1 -3.5 1.3 0.3 -2.8 -2.9 -4.3 9.6 16.3 6.3 5.7 October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 48. Percent changes are centered within the spans: the 4th month. SEPTEMBER 1980 1-month changes are placed on the 2d month and 6-month changes are placed on 85 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES B I PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY—Con. I I I PRICE MOVEMENTS-Con. Producer prices, intermediate materials Year and month 332. Index 332c. Change over 1 -month spans1 (1967=100) (Percent) Producer prices, finished consumer goods Producer prices, capital equipment 332c. Change over 6-month spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) 333. Index (1967=100) 333c. Change over 1 -month spans1 (Percent) 333c. Change over 6-month spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) 334c. Change over 1-month spans1 334. Index (1967=100) 334c. Change over 6-month spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) (Percent) 1978 January February March 208.2 209.7 210.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 7.6 7.5 7.9 192.2 193.3 194.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 7.7 7.6 8.1 184.5 186.1 187.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 April May June 211.9 213.1 214.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 6.7 6.9 7.1 195.6 197.0 198.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 8.4 8.4 8.4 189.5 190.8 192.2 1.2 0.7 0.7 July August September 215.1 216.8 218.3 0.3 0.8 0.7 8.6 9.3 9.3 200.1 201.3 202.5 0.8 0.6 0.6 7.7 8.4 8.0 193.7 194.3 195.7 0.8 0.3 0.7 October November December 220.8 222.8 224.3 1.1 0.9 0.7 11.3 11.8 12.6 203.0 205.1 206.4 0.2 1.0 0.6 8.6 9.1 9.2 197.5 198.6 201.1 0.9 0.6 1.3 10.6 12.5 13.4 January February March 226.9 229.2 231.6 1.2 1.0 1.0 13.3 13.4 14.2 208.5 210.3 211.6 1.0 0.9 0.6 9.9 9.9 203.7 206.1 208.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 12.7 12.7 11.1 April May June 235.0 237.3 239.7 1.5 1.0 1.0 15.3 16.2 17.2 214.0 215.0 216.4 1.1 0.5 0.7 9.5 7.4 7.6 209.7 210.8 212.0 0.6 0.5 0.6 11.2 12.2 13.7 243.6 247.1 250.7 1.6 1.4 1.5 17.7 17.6 17.8 218.2 217.9 219.5 0.8 7.0 7.5 7.9 214.8 218.3 222.2 1.3 1.6 1.8 14.9 16.9 17.6 255.0 257.3 260.2 1.7 0.9 1.1 20.4 21.7 19.4 221.4 222.9 224.8 0.9 0.7 0.9 9.6 11.4 11.7 224.8 227.9 229.9 1.2 1.4 0.9 18.3 18.5 18.0 267.3 272.6 273.9 2.7 2.0 0.5 r!5.7 228.4 230.0 232.0 1.6 0.7 0.9 H3.8 12.1 12.2 233.6 237.6 241.4 1.6 1.7 1.6 r!5.6 r274.3 274.9 277.1 rO.l rO.2 0.8 9.2 7.1 r236.2 236.0 238.1 r-0.1 0.9 11.6 12.1 r241.7 242.1 243.8 rO.l rO.2 279.3 282.1 0.8 1.0 241.3 243.5 1.3 0.9 248.2 252.7 1.8 1.8 9.3 9.2 9.8 10.2 9.0 9.3 8.6 8.3 9.5 1979 July August . September ... October November December -0.1 0.7 11.1 1980 January February March . April May June July August September .... 14.1 13.4 rl.8 12.8 12.5 12.9 13.1 0.7 October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 48. Percent changes are centered within the spans: the 4th month. 1-month changes are placed on the 2d month and 6-month changes are placed on SEPTEMBER 1980 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES B I PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY—Con. Bl WAGES AND PRODUCTIVITY Average hourly compensation, all employees, nonfarm business sector Average hourly earnings, production workers, private nonfarm economy, adjusted 1 Year and month Current dollar earnings 340. Index (1967-100) 340c. Change over 1-month spans 2 (Percent) Current dollar compensation Real earnings 340c. Change over 6-month spans2 (Ann. rate, percent) 341. Index (1967=100) 341c. Change over 1 -month spans2 (Percent) 341c. Change over 6-month spans2 (Ann. rate, percent) 345. Index (1967=100) 345c. Change over 1-quarter spans2 (Ann. rate, percent) 345c. Change over 4-quarter spans2 (Ann. rate, percent) 1978 205.8 206.5 208.1 1.1 0.3 0.8 8.5 8.6 9.0 109.6 109.3 109.4 0.5 -0.3 0.1 209.9 211.1 212.5 0.9 0.6 0.7 8.1 8.4 8.3 109.6 109.3 109.1 0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.9 -0.7 -1.0 2HA July August September 214.0 215.0 216.6 0.7 0.5 0.7 8.1 8.0 8.2 109.1 109.0 108.9 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -1.5 -1.3 -0.9 228.9 October November December 218.3 219.4 221.0 0.8 0.5 0.7 8.2 8.5 8.2 108.7 108.6 108.6 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 -1.4 -2.1 -2.9 233.*7 January February March 222.6 224.0 225.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 7.8 7.6 7.5 108.4 107.8 107.3 -0.2 -0.6 -0.5 -3.3 -4.2 -4.9 239^5 April May June 226.7 227.6 229.2 0.7 0.4 0.7 7.5 7.6 8.2 106.9 106.3 105.9 -0.4 -0.6 -0.4 -5.2 -4.9 -4.5 244 !2 July August September 230.8 232.3 234.3 0.7 0.6 0.9 7.5 8.8 9.1 105.5 105.2 104.9 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3 -5.1 -4.0 -4.0 249! 2 October November December 235.0 237.3 239.4 0.3 1.0 0.9 8.4 8.9 9.6 104.2 104.1 103.8 -0.7 -0.1 -0.3 -5.3 -5.5 -5.5 254^6 240.3 242.4 245.2 0.4 0.9 1.2 9.8 9.4 r9.8 102.7 102.2 102.0 -1.1 -0.5 -0.2 -5.2 -5.2 -4.4 261 !i April May June 2'46.2 248.3 r250.9 0.4 0.9 1.0 r9.7 p9.0 101.4 101.4 101.5 -0.6 0.0 0.1 July August September r251.7 p253.1 rO.3 pO.6 rlOl.8 plOl.7 rO.3 p-0.1 January February March April May June . . . 0.6 0.3 0.0 11.4 22CL5 8^4 7.3 8^9 8.4 8^6 8.6 s'.s 1979 10.2 8\9 8.1 8.9 8.5 9.0 9.0 9'.7 1980 January February March r-1.7 p-1.0 10.5 10.9 267^8 October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by (u). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 49 and 50. Adjusted for overtime (in manufacturing only) and interindustry employment shifts. 2 Percent changes are centered within the spans: 1-month changes are placed on the 2d month, 6-month changes are placed on the 4th month, 1-quarter changes are placed on the 1st month of the 2d quarter, and 4-quarter changes are placed on the middle month of the 3d quarter. SEPTEMBER 1980 87 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES B I PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY—Con. R9 WAGES AND PRODUCTIVITY-Con. Average hourly compensation, all employees, nonfarm business sector-Con. Year and month Real compensation 346. Index (1967=100) 346c. Change over 1-quarter spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) 346c. Change over4-quarter spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) Negotiated wage and benefit decisions, all industries® 348. First year 349. Average average changes changes over life of contract (Ann. rate, percent) (Ann. rate, percent) Output per hour, all persons, private business sector 370. Index (1967=100) 370c. Change over 1-quarter spans1 370c. Change over 4-quarter spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) (Ann. rate, percent) 358. Index of output per hour, all persons, nonfarm business sector (1967=100) 1978 January February March ne!6 April May June . . July August September ne.'o 115,'s 3.4 -2.0 -0.7 6!i 6!o -i!i 13.2 8.2 6.8 6.0 7.2 ns!5 ii9*.i -1.5 ne!2 6.*7 116.'/1 6!s 117.*4 -6'.7 lu.'e -i".6 ne.'e -\'.7 ns.'i -i!6 ii5!6 -i!6 115.*2 1.9 2.1 5.9 6!i 119^7 . . . October November December . . ii5!e -0.8 -i!y 6.1 5.2 ng!8 0.3 1979 January February . March 115.*3 April May June 114J July August September 112i9 October November December iii!? 2.8 -0.9 5.3 -2.6 10.5 -4.2 7.8 -3.*4 -4.3 9.0 6.1 8.5 6.0 -4.*5 -4.0 -i!i ns!9 ns!3 IU.'B -3.1 -2.0 -1.4 -0.3 117.'7 1980 January February March n6!i April May June logii -5.5 -2.5 p8.6 plO.l p6.4 p6.8 n?!? iiy'.i -0.3 114.'9 -2.0 114.1 July August September October November December . . . . NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 49 and 50. ^Percent changes are centered within the spans: 1-quarter changes are placed on the 1st month of the 2d quarter and 4-quarter changes are placed on the middle month of the 3d quarter. SEPTEMBER 1980 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES C I LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, AND UNEMPLOYMENT Qj CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE AND MAJOR COMPONENTS Civilian labor force Year and month 441. Total 442. Em- ployed (Thous.) (Thous.) Labor force participation rates 451. Males 20 years and over 452. Females 453. Both 20 years sexes, 16-19 and over years of age (Percent) (Percent) (Percent) 448. Num- Number unemployed 37. Total (Thous.) 444. Males 445. Females 446. Both 20 years and 20 years and sexes, 16-19 over over years of age (Thous.) (Thous.) (Thous.) 447. Fulltime workers (Thous.) ber employed part-time for economic reasons (Thous.) 1978 January February March 99,118 99,009 99,281 92,813 92,921 93,128 79.8 79.7 79.8 48.9 48.8 49.0 57.1 56.8 56.8 6,305 6,088 6,153 2,437 2,361 2,379 2,314 2,126 2,171 1,554 1,601 1,603 4,948 4,812 4,799 3,071 3,227 3,204 April May . June 99,819 100,242 100,458 93,763 94,116 94,556 79.8 79.9 79.8 49.4 49.5 49.6 57.3 58.3 58.3 6,056 6,126 5,902 2,274 2,278 2,171 2,219 2,295 2,275 1,563 1,553 1,456 4,644 4,802 4,581 3,281 3,226 3,329 July August September 100,656 100,731 100,944 94,428 94,802 94,973 79.7 79.7 79.6 49.8 49.6 50.0 58.6 59.1 58.3 6,228 5,929 5,971 2,190 2,177 2,180 2,425 2,219 2,241 1,613 1,533 1,550 4,887 4,612 4,647 3,266 3,256 3,248 October November December 101,189 101,610 101,815 95 401 95,728 95,831 79.6 79.9 80.0 50.0 50.1 50.1 58.6 58.5 58.5 5,788 5,882 5,984 2,139 2,110 2,198 2,107 2,215 2,212 1,542 1,557 1,574 4,475 4,491 4,609 3,231 3,163 3,082 January February March 102,061 102,379 102,505 96,157 96,496 96,623 80.0 80.1 79.9 50.1 50.3 50.4 58.9 58.8 58.6 5,904 5,883 5,882 2,167 2,138 2,164 2,195 2,202 2,212 1,542 1,543 1,506 4,514 4,565 4,539 3,203 3,176 3,211 April May June 102,198 102,398 102,476 96,254 96,495 96,652 79.8 79.7 79.7 50.2 50.4 50.3 58.2 57.9 57.7 5,944 5,903 5,824 2,190 2,130 2,169 2,199 2,208 2,196 1,555 1,565 1,459 4,637 4,533 4,515 3,279 3,283 3,284 July August September 103,093 103,128 103,494 97,184 97,004 97,504 79.9 79.8 79.9 50.8 51.0 50.9 57.9 56.3 58.2 5,909 6,124 5,990 2,254 2,286 2,282 2,160 2,304 2,164 1,495 1,534 1,544 4,617 4,727 4,715 3,274 3,298 3,167 October November December 103,595 103,652 103,999 97,474 97,608 97,912 79.7 79.5 79.5 50.9 50.9 51.1 57.9 58.1 58.6 6,121 6,044 6,087 2,317 2,335 2,303 2,250 2,197 2,257 1,554 1,512 1,527 4,796 4,770 4,791 3,315 3,392 3,519 January February March 104,229 104,260 104,094 97,804 97,953 97,656 79.4 79.6 79.4 51.4 51.3 51.0 58.2 57.4 57.3 6,425 6,307 6,438 2,577 2,507 2,696 2,304 2,254 2,255 1,545 1,547 1,487 5,046 4,942 5,168 3,513 3,406 3,418 April May June 104,419 105,142 104,542 97,154 96,988 96,537 79.5 79.9 79.4 51.5 51.5 51.3 56.3 57.9 56.5 7,265 8,154 8,006 3,246 3,671 3,710 2,534 2,670 2,596 1,485 1,813 1,700 5,875 6,740 6,621 3,816 4,349 3,999 105,203 105,025 96,996 97,006 79,5 79.5 51.6 51.7 57.4 55.2 8,207 8,019 3,730 3,682 2,702 2,628 1,774 1,709 6,781 6,600 4,113 4,148 . . 1979 1980 July August September .... October November . . . . December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by @. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 51. SEPTEMBER 1980 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES D| GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIES [] RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES Federal Government1 Year and month Q DEFENSE INDICATORS State and local governments' Advance measures of defense activity 500. Surplus or deficit 501. Receipts 502. Expenditures 510. Surplus or deficit 511. Receipts 512. Expenditures (Ann. rate, bit. dol.) (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 517. Defense Department gross obligations incurred (Mil. dol.) 525. Defense Department military prime contract awards (Mil. dol.) 543. Defense Department gross unpaid obligations outstanding 548. Value of manufacturers' new orders, defense products (Mil. dol.) (Mil. dol.) 1978 -49li 397!8 447!3 3CL2 319!6 288.8 10,537 10,659 10,155 4,853 4,741 4,909 57,304 58,401 58,986 2,735 2,529 4,393 -2^.6 424. '8 449.4 29'.6 330^5 301 !6 10,242 10,793 10,094 4,970 6,204 7,081 59,348 60,723 60,549 3,761 3,946 3,237 July August September -2CK4 442 '.1 462 '.6 22.7 33K8 309 '.1 10,327 10,278 10,256 3,928 4,924 4,855 61,833 62,028 62,730 2,157 3,214 3,279 October November December -16^3 463. * 5 479^7 27.'l 342! 6 315.*5 10,214 10,484 10,282 4,343 6,509 4,568 63,006 63,440 64,470 3,867 4,381 4,101 -1K7 475. '6 486.8 27!e 343.9 3ie!3 10,787 10,250 11,741 5,706 4,773 5,763 65,120 48,267 67,128 2,684 3,871 3,102 -7.6 485.' 8 492^9 19.'7 345. * 9 326J 9,297 10,935 10,926 4,936 4,720 5,117 68,883 68,468 68,976 3,181 3,640 2,464 -1K3 504^8 516J 25!3 359 '.8 334^5 12,657 11 ,052 11,965 6,135 5,282 6,364 70,252 81,542 71 ,886 2,332 3,029 4,237 -15,'7 524. '7 540 .'4 25*8 368 .*7 342 .'9 11,679 10,730 11,565 4,318 5,670 5,489 64,325 68,634 68,525 3,048 4,033 3,787 -22.9 538.4 561.3 24.6 375.3 350.6 12,563 12,419 14,757 5,515 7,152 5,781 70,088 68,497 72,961 3,352 3,680 4,594 r-49.*2 r529.9 r579.i r!9.*5 r373.2 r353.6 13,639 14,206 12,193 7,572 7,483 7,184 73,766 74,848 75,204 4,948 5,279 3,546 12,973 (NA) (NA) 76,366 (NA) r4,366 p3,941 January February March April May June . . . 1979 January February March . . . April May .. June July August . September October November December . . 1980 January February March . April May June . . July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by ©. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 52 and 53. 1 Based on national income and product accounts. 90 SEPTEMBER 1980 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES D| GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIES—Con. |Q DEFENSE INDICATORS— Con. National defense purchases Intermediate and final measures of defense activity Year and month 557. Output of 559. Manufacdefense and turers' invenspace equipment tories, defense products (1967 = 100) (Mil. dol.) 561. Manufacturers' unfilled orders, defense products 580. Defense Department net outlays 588. Manufacturers' shipments, defense products (Mil. dol.) (Mil. dol.) (Mil. dol.) 570. EmployDefense Department ment in defense personnel products industries 577. Military, 578. Civilian, active duty ® direct hire employment (u) (Thous.) (Thous.) (Thous.) 564. Federal purchases of goods and services 565. Federal purchases as a percent of GNP (Ann. rate, oil. dol.) (Percent) Revised 1 1978 January February March 82.6 80.8 83.9 6,441 6,606 6,626 34,633 34,511 36,108 8,493 8,271 8,375 2,532 2,652 2,795 1,120 1,125 1,138 2,065 2,062 2,058 982 982 982 97!6 i!9 April May June 84.9 84.9 85.6 6,736 6,828 6,804 37,150 38,382 38,914 9,056 8,217 9,072 2,719 2,714 2,705 1,143 1,162 1,173 2,054 2,046 2,057 982 988 1,000 98.*2 4^7 July August September 87.5 87.9 89.0 6,901 6,896 6,905 38,467 38,993 39,499 8,394 9,638 8,592 2,604 2,688 2,773 1,184 1,193 1,195 2,062 2,062 2,062 1 ,002 994 980 99.0 i.'e October November December 89.3 90.3 91.4 7,013 7,004 7,170 40,660 42,293 43,563 9,026 8,762 9,407 2,706 2,748 2,832 1,207 1,219 1,236 2,058 2,050 2,041 981 981 978 10l'.2 4^5 January February March 92.3 92.4 93.0 7,397 7,485 7,586 43,409 44,515 44,588 9,645 9,452 9,525 2,838 2,765 3,029 1,242 1,262 1,278 2,040 2,030 2,026 972 971 968 103.4 4^5 April May June 92.1 92.4 92.2 7,573 7,806 7,953 44,854 45,670 45,138 9,299 9,781 9,425 2,915 2,824 2,996 1,283 1,289 1,299 2,022 2,018 2,024 968 972 979 106.'o 4*.5 July August September 92.9 91.9 93.8 8,048 8,178 8,553 44,656 44,697 46,000 10,499 10,103 9,982 2,814 2,988 2,934 1,310 1,312 1,324 2,027 2,024 2,027 982 974 960 109.0 4.*5 October November December 95.4 96.4 96.7 8,871 9,275 9,462 46,010 46,893 47,492 9,982 10,206 11,182 3,038 3,150 3,188 1,336 1,349 1,356 2,030 2,029 2,020 964 967 967 114.6 4.7 January February March 97.0 97.2 97.1 9,592 9,619 10,075 47,769 48,196 49,401 11 ,341 10,632 11,235 3,076 3,253 3,389 K359 1,366 1,377 2,029 2,032 2,033 964 965 966 119*.6 4.7 April May June 97.6 97.2 96.9 10,277 10,451 10,588 51,061 52,902 53,011 11,356 11,061 11,480 3,286 3,440 3,435 1,373 1,375 1,373 2,028 2,031 r2,034 969 975 988 124*.! 4^9 97.8 p98.4 10,908 (NA) r53,922 p54,452 rll,303 pll,127 r3,453 p3,410 pi, 371 (NA) 2,044 (NA) 990 (NA) 1979 1980 July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 54 and 55. 1 See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ SEPTEMBER 1980 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 91 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES E U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS EH 602. Exports, excluding military aid shipments, total Year and month (Mil.dol.) 604. Exports of agricultural products (Mil.dol.) MERCHANDISETRADE 606. Exports of nonelectrical machinery (Mil.dol.) 612. General imports, total (Mil.dol.) 614. Imports of petroleum and petroleum products 616. Imports of automobiles and parts (Mil.dol.) (Mil.dol.) 1978 9,863 9,938 11,143 1,818 2,058 2,363 2,084 2,187 2,450 13,103 14,221 14,005 3,000 3,626 3,094 1,529 1,661 1,581 April May June 11,628 11,776 12,264 2,428 2,861 2,904 2,415 2,472 2,427 14,491 14,012 13,970 3,162 3,038 3,229 1,715 1,659 1,684 July August September 11,656 12,286 13,275 2,392 2,774 2,512 2,451 2,528 2,815 14,543 14,130 14,821 3,194 3,257 3,307 1,812 1,666 1,822 October November December 12,901 13,448 13,282 2,596 2,533 2,555 2,625 2,718 2,824 14,852 14,818 15,028 3,347 3,489 3,588 1,872 1,875 1,822 January February March 13,265 13,616 14,297 2,338 2,424 2,682 2,682 2,832 2,917 16,528 14,605 15,358 3,580 3,634 3,667 1,963 1,706 1,589 April May June 13,979 14,083 14,817 2,547 2,450 2,909 2,706 2,859 3,034 15,841 16,438 16,835 3,832 4,000 4,199 1,956 1,851 1,730 July August September 15,691 15,713 15,822 3,103 3,141 3,059 3,022 3,241 3,153 16,806 18,277 18,407 4,692 4,949 5,662 1,815 2,113 1,849 October November December 16,680 16,928 16,742 3,254 3,415 3,434 3,251 3,172 3,240 19,037 18,548 19,665 6,050 5,351 6,502 1,805 1,984 1,871 17,348 17,233 18,534 3,439 3,520 3,331 3,297 3,454 3,423 20,945 21,640 20,607 5,614 7,741 6,991 1,899 2,035 1,960 April May June 18,468 17,678 18,642 3,285 3,083 3,024 3,571 3,620 3,943 19,308 20,528 19,893 5,185 7,191 6,611 1,710 1,999 1,843 July August September 18,075 3,300 3,682 3,985 4,230 18,995 5,153 2,103 (NA) (NA) January February March . ... 1979 1980 January February March . . . (NA) (NA) October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by @. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 56. 92 SEPTEMBER 1980 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES E U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Con. IH GOODS AND SERVICES M OVEMENTS(EXCL UDING TRANSFER S UNDER MILITA 3Y GRANTS) |\Merchandise, adjustec 1 Goods and services Year and month 667. Balance 668. Exports (Mil. dol.) (Mil. dol.) 669. Imports (Mil. dol.) 622. Balance (Mil. dol.) 618. Exports (Mil. dol.) Income on investments 620. Imports (Mil. dol.) 651. U.S. investments abroad (Mil. dol.) 652. Foreign investments in the U.S. (Mil. dol.) 1978 January February March ... . -4,969 49,319 54,288 -11.141 30,922 42,063 9,607 4,539 April May June -2,795 54,156 56,951 -8,295 35,404 43,699 9,957 5,474 July August September -1 ,933 56,432 58,365 -7,508 36,828 44,336 10,557 -5,717 October November December 493 61,131 60,638 -6,815 38,900 45,715 12,851 6,343 2,732 65,667 62,935 -5,114 41,805 46,919 14,263 7,225 -no 67,763 67,873- -8,070 42,815 50,885 15,250 7,980 Cflfi 7/1 770 70 oc7 7 nfin A 7 i no C/l OCQ 1 P, HRD p 701 -250 78 305 78 555 -9 225 50 237 59 452 18 407 9 524 r-823 r85,647 r86,470 -10 875 54 708 65 583 r20 846 rlO 752 p-1 258 p81 522 p82 780 rn 7 ft/1^ y,nc/i 710 v~nfi9 ^^^ nl £ nin AT 7 1979 January February March April May June July August September 0 October November December 1980 January February March April May June . 779 July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by @. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 57. 1 Balance of payments basis: Excludes transfers under military grants and Department of Defense sales contracts (exports) and Department of Defense purchases (imports). SEPTEMBER 1980 93 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES F I INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS Qj INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Year and month 47. United States, 721.0ECD 1 index of indusEuropean countrial production tries, index of industrial production (1967=100) (1967=100) 728. Japan, index of industrial production (1967=100) 725. West Germany, index of industrial production (1967=100) 726. France, index of industrial production (1967=100) 722. United Kingdom, index of industrial production (1967=100) 727. Italy, index of industrial production (1967=100) 723. Canada, index of industrial production (1967=100) Revised2 1978 January February March 140.0 140.3 142.1 153 152 150 196.9 197.0 199.5 157 152 152 152 152 155 123 124 123 143.8 146.1 145.9 150.0 151.8 152.2 April May June 144.4 144.8 146.1 153 152 153 200.5 201.5 201.8 153 152 154 161 157 152 128 126 128 143.5 143.8 145.3 154.3 151.8 154.8 July .. . August September 147.1 148.0 148.6 153 152 154 201.8 204.1 206.0 157 156 159 155 155 157 128 128 128 144.4 143.7 146.2 154.1 154.0 158.8 October November December 149.7 150.6 151.8 157 157 158 206.9 207.6 210.1 159 159 159 157 159 161 125 126 129 154.3 154.7 151.9 158.3 158.8 161.8 January February March 152.0 152.5 153.5 154 156 157 210.2 213.1 213.1 159 157 161 158 159 161 122 132 133 152.8 160.0 156.0 160.8 161.0 162.0 April May June 151.1 152.7 153.0 158 158 158 214.4 218.2 218.5 161 164 164 159 163 r!63 132 134 136 156.7 151.9 145.1 160.3 162.1 160.6 July August September 153.0 152.1 152.7 163 158 161 221.2 221.8 220.5 168 164 164 168 168 165 134 130 128 150.4 150.1 159.4 163.1 163.3 165.4 October November December 152.7 152.3 152.5 r!63 225.0 228.1 228.4 166 167 167 161 163 165 129 132 130 166.8 167.3 164.7 164.7 163.7 160.8 January February March 152.7 152.6 152.1 164 164 230.9 243.3 235.0 168 170 170 165 166 130 r!28 r!66 126 166.8 174.0 173.2 H60.9 161.2 164.2 April May June 148.3 144.0 141.4 238.8 236.4 p234.0 168 166 124 124 124 175.5 H61.5 p!65.7 r!60.6 r!57.3 r!56.5 1979 163 163 1980 July August September 139.8 p!40.5 r!64 163 160 p!61 (NA) (NA) r!64 pi 63 r!59 p!61 (NA) (NA) p!25 (NA) (NA) p!56.6 (NA) October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by <u). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 58. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. 2 See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. 94 SEPTEMBER 1980 ItO OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS—Con. JQ CONSUMER PRICES United States Year and month Japan 320. Index® 320c. Change over 6-month spans1 738. Index® France United Kingdom 736. Index® 736c. Change over 6-month spans 1 732. Index® 732c. Change over 6-month spans 1 West Germany 738c. Change over 6-month spans1 735. Index® 735c. Change over 6-month spans 1 (1967=100) (Ann. rate, percent) (1967=100) (Ann. rate, percent) (1967=100) (Ann. rate, percent) (1967=100) (Ann. rate, percent) (1967=100) (Ann. rate, percent) January February March 187.2 188.4 189,8 8.1 8.5 9.2 246.1 247.1 249,4 3.0 3.9 4.1 158.3 159.1 159.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 222.8 224.4 226.4 8.4 9.3 9.9 304.4 306.2 308.1 6.7 6.5 6.8 April May June 191.5 193.3 195.3 9.3 9.3 9.5 252.1 253.5 252.1 5.4 5.9 3.6 160.0 160.3 160.8 2.8 2.2 1.9 228.9 231.1 232.8 11 .7 11.2 10.1 312.6 314.4 316.8 8.4 9.0 8.5 July August September 196.7 197.8 199.3 9.7 9.4 8.9 253.1 253.3 256.4 3.6 3.1 2.9 160.5 160.3 160.2 2.1 2.4 2.5 235.7 237.1 238.6 10.2 9.8 9.6 318.2 320.3 321.6 8.8 9.4 9.8 October November December 200.9 202.0 202.9 9.5 10.6 10.9 256.8 254.1 253.7 1.2 0.9 160.3 160.8 161.4 3.0 3.5 4.3 240.8 242.1 243.2 8.7 9.1 10.4 323.1 325.3 328.0 10.3 10.2 11.2 January February March 204.7 207.1 209.1 11.1 12.0 12.9 253.9 253.1 255.1 1.8 3.1 4.6 162.9 163.6 164.4 4.4 4.3 4.7 245.5 247.1 249.4 9.8 10.4 10.9 332.9 335.6 338.3 11.4 11.4 13.2 April May June 211.5 214.1 216.6 13.2 12.9 13.3 258.6 261.3 261.5 7.3 7.0 5.3 165.3 165.7 166.6 6.0 5.8 5.8 251.8 254.5 256.6 11 .9 12.6 11 .7 344.1 346.8 352.8 21.5 21.4 22.1 July August September 218.9 221.1 223.4 13.4 13.3 13.8 263.8 261 .1 264.4 6.7 6.9 6.9 167.7 167.8 168.3 6.0 6.4 6.1 260.0 262.7 264.9 12.7 12.4 12.8 368.0 370.9 374.6 23.2 23.7 21.5 October November December 225.4 227.5 229.9 14.5 15.3 15.9 267.7 266.7 268.3 6.0 8,9 168.7 169.3 170.1 4.0 5.4 5.6 268.1 269.8 272.0 14.2 14.7 15.6 378.5 381.8 384.6 15.4 16.8 17.4 233.2 236.4 239.8 15.7 15.4 14.8 270.8 273.3 275.5 9.9 9.5 9.9 171.0 172.8 173.8 5.6 5.6 5.7 277.2 280.2 283.4 15.0 15.0 14.1 394.1 399.7 405.1 20.4 20.5 20.5 April May June 242.5 244.9 247.6 11.7 10.2 280.2 282.7 283.5 9.5 174.9 175.6 176.5 6.9 5.5 286.7 289.3 291.1 12.9 (NA) 419.0 422.8 426.8 18.5 15.8 July August September 247.8 249.4 1978 -0.7 1979 10.8 1980 January February March . . . (NA) 284.2 (NA) 176.8 177.0 295.5 (NA) 430.4 431.3 October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 59. Changes over 6-month spans are centered on the 4th month. SEPTEMBER 1980 95 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS—Con. E9 STOCK PRICES Qj CONSUMER PRICES-Con. 19. United States, index of stock 737. Index© 737c. Change 733. Index® 733c. Change prices, 500 over 6-month over 6-month common stocks® spans1 spans1 Italy Year and month Canada 748. Japan, index of stock prices® 745. West Germany, index of stock prices® 746. France, 742. United Kingdom, index of stock index of stock prices® prices® 747. Italy, ndex of stock prices® 743. Canada, ndex of stock prices® (1967=100) (Ann. rate, percent) (1967=100) (Ann. rate, percent) (1967=100) (1967=100) (1967=100) (1967=100) (1967=100) (1967=100) (1967=100) January February March 271.1 273.9 277.4 10.3 10.9 11.5 194.0 195.3 197.5 8.5 9.3 9.6 98.2 96.8 96.6 339.0 348.3 359.7 126.5 127.9 126.1 98.0 100.3 120.0 198.2 187.7 187.5 40.7 43.5 42.8 99.1 98.7 105.3 April May June 280.0 282.7 285.1 12.1 12.6 12.0 197.9 200.7 202.4 9.6 7.3 100.8 106.0 106.2 371.8 371.0 373.2 124.9 124.0 127.1 130.6 133.3 135.7 191.9 202.9 201.2 41.4 43.2 44.0 106.9 109.4 109.1 July August September 286.8 288.3 292.9 12.7 11.8 11.5 205.4 205.5 205.2 8.6 8.2 7.7 105.7 113.0 113.0 382.8 380.3 387.6 129.1 132.3 136.4 149.8 150.6 165.1 204.4 220.3 223.3 44.8 48.4 57.3 116.7 120.8 129.5 October November December 295.5 298.6 300.1 12.7 13.8 14.1 207.3 209.0 209.6 6.8 8.7 109.4 103.3 104.5 395.0 398.9 404.9 138.7 134.8 133.9 158.7 155.4 158.7 217.4 208.1 213.3 57.5 51.6 51.2 122.3 129.1 131.7 305.1 309.7 313.8 14.5 15.6 15.6 211.2 213.2 215.7 9.9 108.5 106.9 108.9 416.1 409.9 405.7 135.0 131.9 131.2 160.9 149.9 155.4 211.1 212.2 240.8 52.4 54.8 57.9 138.4 141.1 150.7 317.8 321.3 323.9 14.9 15.5 17.8 217.2 219.3 220.3 9.5 8.5 8.5 111.0 108.5 110.7 402.9 411.1 402.3 130.6 127.8 121.7 164.5 162.0 171.7 255.7 255.0 241.0 54.1 56.8 58.0 149.5 154.8 168.9 326.7 330.6 339.2 19.2 19.4 21.7 222.1 222.9 224.9 7.9 8.8 9.5 111.7 116.8 118.1 400.6 408.0 412.5 122.0 124.3 125.7 173.7 188.6 207.4 232.8 233.9 236.3 58.8 61.7 63.0 159.4 178.6 191.7 345.5 350.3 356.6 25.8 26.1 23.1 226.5 228.7 230.1 10.0 10.4 113.6 112.8 117.2 408.2 403.4 410.8 123.5 118.3 118.8 187.5 189.1 186.8 238.9 215.6 217.1 62.6 58.6 55.4 175.2 189.3 199.5 January February March 367.9 374.3 378.2 23.0 22.3 20.2 231.3 233.3 235.8 10.3 120.6 125.5 113.9 420.1 425.5 413.0 117.2 123.3 118.1 203.8 207.4 185.4 224.3 239.4 231.6 59.8 61.1 61.1 224.7 256.3 203.2 April May June 384.3 387.8 391.3 18.0 17.2 237.2 240.0 242.7 10.0 11.0 112.0 117.1 124.6 417.6 422.9 423.8 116.5 118.8 120.6 189.0 201.1 p203.6 228.1 230.3 240.7 61.0 61.5 64.8 212.8 216.4 227.5 July August September 398.0 402.0 130.4 134.3 p!38.2 424.9 429.1 p438.0 121.2 121.7 pl!9.7 p202.2 rp206.8 p211.9 rp257.5 rp258.1 p257.0 66.0 D76.0 p82.8 240.0 rp260.0 p268.8 1978 11.0 10.9 1979 January February March .... April May June July August September October November December . .. 10.9 10.1 9.9 1980 9.9 10.6 244.5 246.8 October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 59. 1 Changes over 6-month spans are centered on the 4th month. 96 SEPTEMBER 1980 ItO APPENDIXES B. Current Adjustment Factors 19*30 5. Average weekly initial claims, State unempl oyrnent insurance 13. New business incorporations 1 Feb. 150.1 114.8 90.4 85.7 93.2 105.6 104.8 105.8 15. Profits (after taxes) per dollar of sales, manufacturing 2 33 Net change in mortgage debt 1 3 517. 525. 543. 570. Defense Department gross obligations incurred 1 . . . . . Defense Department military prime contract awards -1989 May 80.3 103.5 -317 189 1033 July 100.3 75.8 87.6 100.8 131.1 104.2 104.8 96.8 96.6 103.8 90.5 94.5 1847 83 640 100.4 100.1 99.3 99.4 89.3 99.6 87.4 91.9 91.5 79.6 69.9 111.5 82.9 87.8 78.2 77.0 74.3 100.9 101.4 99.7 97.6 95.1 93.0 100.4 100.3 99.8 100 9 101 2 Employment in defense products industries . 100.2 100.1 99.8 99.9 99.9 96 6 102.9 102 0 100.0 101 .9 283 -72 -364 474 100.0 100.5 122.1 140.9 113.3 172.0 150.4 105.6 102.1 101.5 104.1 104.0 99.7 100.0 100.0 94.6 100.0 100.5 91.4 97.5 102.7 103.5 92.5 88.1 88.7 105.2 107.7 95.3 94.9 91.5 93.7 100.4 97.1 104.4 98 8 105 2 97.5 109 6 99.5 90.0 96.9 108 2 95 5 77 8 88 1 101 0 94 7 100 5 Defense Department net outlays 604. Exports of agricultural products 95.3 95.3 110.7 105.6 103.9 99.8 91.5 606 Exports of nonelectrical machinery 93.7 95.5 114.4 104.4 106.9 103.2 614 Imports of petroleum and products 1 107 7 93.0 97 8 112 5 90 6 105 8 98 7 107 0 118 8 101 3 Imports of automobiles and parts 98.3 97.9 91.2 106.3 Dec. 86.3 108.7 90.3 Nov. 109.9 100.0 100.2 Oct. 87.1 580 616 Sept. 99.1 104.5 1 Aug. 100.1 Defense Department gross unpaid obligations outstanding 1 1 June 109.2 94.5 -1913 72. Commercial and industrial loans outstanding Mar. Apr. Jan. 102.4 NOTE: These series are seasonally adjusted by the Bureau of Economic Analysis or the National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., rather than by the source agency. Seasonal adjustments are kept current by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Seasonally adjusted data prepared by the source agency will be used in BUSINESS CONDITIONS DIGEST whenever they are available. For a description of the method used to compute these factors, see Bureau of the Census Technical Paper No. 15, THE X-II VARIANT OF THE CENSUS METHOD II SEASONAL ADJUSTMENT PROGRAM. factors are the products of seasonal and trading-day factors. Quarterly series; factors are placed in the middle month of the quarter. 3 These quantities, in millions of dollars, are subtracted from the month-to-month net change in the unadjusted monthly totals to yield the seasonally adjusted net change. These factors are computed by the additive version of the X-ll variant of the Census Method II seasonal adjustment program. 97 C. Historical Data for Selected Series Quarterly Monthly Annual Year Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. IQ 31. CHANGE IN BOOK VALUE OF MANUFACTURING AND TRADE INVENTORIES, TOTAL (ANNUAL RATE, BILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 1948... 1949... 1950. .. 1951.. . 1952. .. 1953. .. 1954. . . 1955. . . 1956. .. 1957. . . 1958... 1959. . . 1960. .. 1961. . . 1962. . . 1963.. . 1964.. . 1965. . . 1966. .. 1967. .. 1968. .. 1969. .. 1970. . . 1971. . . 1972. . . 1973. .. 1974.. . 1975. . 1976. . 1977. . 1978. . . . . . 1979.. . 1980.. . 9 .6 1.9 29.2 5.7 19.6 -4.7 4.5 9.1 6.6 -16.5 0.5 9.5 -3.5 7.0 2.2 6.5 11.5 10.2 17.7 11.1 10.9 2.0 9.9 7.8 33.4 44.5 10.5 21.5 25.1 42.9 56.8 8.6 0.3 7.1 4.5 2.0 9.0 -3.1 -7.8 -6.5 -5.5 5.3 3.6 8.3 18.4 -0.2 16.6 -2.2 14.5 -4.5 5.1 11.4 -4.4 -3.2 -2.9 21.9 5.4 5.2 2.2 5.4 8.7 3.9 7.3 9.4 2.2 5.7 9.5 2.8 -3.5 -3.8 -4.6 -3.8 -4.6 -4.2 -5.4 3.2 7.6 5.1 1.9 13.1 6.0 8.0 8.0 6.4 0.9 6.6 5.7 3.0 8.9 5.4 7.0 -1.7 10.8 -2.4 -0.3 17.8 -1.1 12.7 2.4 2.9 3.7 -5.7 5.3 9.2 12.5 -2.6 -6.4 7.0 3.7 7.8 2.7 4.5 6.4 17.7 7.3 10.3 16.8 12.4 11.8 8.1 29.7 38.5 -11.9 24.8 29.6 36.3 47.2 5.1 15.4 14.2 9.7 7.0 15.2 8.2 15.9 11.6 28.1 53.5 -11.3 26.4 39.2 61.1 39.8 0.8 3.7 -9.5 14.2 0.2 0.1 1.8 1.2 -0.1 -6.8 6.1 6.8 0.9 9.0 5.4 6.9 7.4 4.7 8.2 12.2 18.9 6.3 4.8 13.9 12.8 15.5 12.3 15.5 26.4 32.2 -2.4 27.0 38.9 61.2 68.1 16.5 17.6 -0.2 13.6 20.3 34.2 55.8 -16.9 27.3 21.0 32.0 43.7 2.5 -1.1 5.9 5.6 -3.0 8.4 4.5 2.4 4.6 5.3 -1.0 -1.8 1.9 -2.1 5.4 5.8 5.8 5.6 2.7 4.7 10.3 20.5 12.5 16.0 12.0 17.2 13.3 15.1 13.7 12.8 12.9 25.6 24.5 45.0 13.4 17.6 31.1 42.9 44.9 3.3 9.7 6.2 6.3 11.1 13.2 14.2 15.0 5.6 7.5 8.9 7.2 31.2 59.1 -7.5 44.4 17.2 32.1 57.3 26.2 58.6 0.8 19.0 9.9 37.0 82.3 5.2 1.0 17.8 0.1 10.8 2.6 -0.9 5.0 8.0 5.6 4.3 -4.8 1.9 4.9 8.7 6.7 13.9 4.8 13.8 6.9 9.3 15.9 7 .9 11.2 20.8 22.3 63.4 13.4 42.9 40.7 38.8 15.2 II Q III Q IV Q AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 5.0 3.0 -4.0 20.0 -5.5 24.0 -0.9 -7.2 17.4 2.8 9.3 2.5 5.8 3.2 3.7 -5.0 -3.8 11.3 -7.1 -3.4 -0.3 5.0 -8.6 10.7 -2.1 3.8 3.5 -1.1 -1.0 1.9 6.2 9.1 -0.2 5.7 18.6 -0.8 15.4 14.1 3.1 6.3 14.6 22.7 61.4 12.4 15.6 7.7 42.0 53.4 4.2 7.0 3.5 0.6 7.3 0.5 4.9 7.3 4.4 0.8 6.5 11.9 -13.6 1.2 1.3 0.5 5.2 7.2 2.4 2*. 3 2.3 -6.6 -2.1 12.2 -5.6 20.5 21.8 13.5 -1.5 2.8 6.3 6.4 6.1 3.6 2.3 5.0 -4.0 -4.3 -3.5 5.1 9.0 3.6 4.9 9.2 1.5 -6.4 -6.0 10.4 6.8 6.4 5.2 0. 1.8 1.4 4.2 6.4 5.9 1.5 9.1 3.2 10.4 -4.2 7.3 2.9 5.4 3.2 0. 5.6 4.1 4.6 4.8 -4.7 3.5 2.7 4.8 6.4 7.8 1.8 -1.9 5.0 2.6 0.9 5.5 4.4 7.1 9.8 5.9 8.2 6.0 9.4 15.7 16.6 15.9 7.6 8.4 9.7 7.7 9.5 13.5 14.3 2.3 7.5 9.5 -0.1 19.6 40.5 50.7 -5.7 24.1 32.2 54.3 37.8 14.4 16.7 52.7 54.3 -0.9 20.8 24.5 37.8 10.2 12.5 30.4 45.5 -4.2 24.2 31.3 46.8 47.9 10.5 14.4 30.6 49.0 -8.9 32.9 25.7 41.8 56.4 40. NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES IN NONAGRICULTURAL GOODS-PRODUCING INDUSTRIES — MINING, MANUFACTURING (THOUSANDS) AND CONSTRUCTION, ESTABLISHMENT SURVEY2 -3.3 2.1 3.7 -2.9 5.7 8.6 8.9 9.7 14.2 13.0 9.2 0. 8.5 6.7 17.2 9.0 9.1 17.0 14.7 11.1 14.0 11.6 -5.2 -3.0 10.3 10.4 4.8 8.8 9.0 8.5 13.4 13.8 10.2 14.6 11.9 11.0 17.9 24.3 55.7 10.2 12.0 10.8 13.7 5.0 6.9 17.0 38.6 55.5 9.2 1.9 26.5 27.2 39.6 47.5 20.2 21.5 44.7 33.8 8.5 10.2 14.6 31.0 51.4 -0.5 26.0 26.4 43.2 •46.4 AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 18,915 18,394 17,389 19,817 20,014 21,073 20,219 19,832 20,997 21,196 20,183 20,061 20,789 19,675 20,122 20,463 18,710 18,195 17,119 19,988 20,146 21,235 20,163 19,984 21,087 21,278 19,730 20,121 20,903 19,559 20,304 20,425 18,782 17,978 17,563 20,041 20,066 21,295 20,030 20,191 21,024 21,269 19,504 20,315 20,636 19,621 20,328 20,447 18,507 17,778 17,808 20,094 20,099 21,304 19,877 20,367 21,137 21,192 19,266 20,520 20,721 19,628 20,526 20,615 18,651 17,537 18,198 20,088 20,034 21,296 19,727 20,526 21,135 21,124 19,165 20,644 20,653 19,745 20,516 20,681 18,777 17,401 18,424 20,080 19,642 21,278 19,646 20,641 21,207 21,092 19,178 20,765 20,544 19,880 20,473 20,650 18,876 17,332 18,680 20,045 19,511 21,266 19,476 20,626 20,596 21,026 19,219 20,793 20,451 19,878 20,526 20,697 18,822 17,385 19,074 19,919 20,149 21,142 19,418 20,661 21,124 20,942 19,320 20,273 20,375 19,967 20,546 20,717 18,915 17,510 19,219 19,809 20,421 21,068 19,479 20,675 21,137 20,843 19,494 20,242 20,255 19,963 20,548 20,745 18,822 16,777 19,435 19,834 20 ,582 20,889 19,547 20,789 21,261 20,741 19,426 20,127 20,151 20,004 20,552 20,769 18,795 17,119 19,510 19,853 20,793 20,638 19,705 20,876 21,214 20,539 19,817 20,339 20,012 20,144 20,505 20,707 18,677 17,358 19,533 19,957 20,934 20,471 19,748 20,942 21,292 20,418 19,838 20,720 19,752 20,200 20,428 20,723 18,802 18,189 17,357 19,949 20,075 21,201 20,137 20,002 21,036 21,248 19,806 20,166 20,776 19,618 20,251 20,445 18,645 17,572 18,143 20,087 19,925 21,293 19,750 20,511 21,160 21,136 19,203 20,643 20,639 19,751 20,505 20,649 18,871 17,409 18,991 19,924 20,027 21,159 19,458 20,654 20,952 20,937 19,344 20,436 20,360 19,936 20,540 20,720 18,765 17,085 19,493 19,881 20,770 20,666 19,667 20,869 21,256 20,566 19,694 20,395 19,972 20,116 20,495 20,733 18,774 17,565 18,506 19,959 20,198 21,074 19,751 20,513 21,104 20,964 19,513 20,411 20,434 19,857 20,451 20,640 20,608 21,459 22,615 23,488 23,336 1969.. . 24,119 1970... 24,190 1971. . . 22,941 1972. .. 23,226 1973... 24,391 1974... 25,200 1975. . . 23,296 1976. . . 23,116 20,830 21,560 22,793 23,389 23,542 24,229 24,198 22,841 23,269 24,618 25,219 22,111 23,174 23,807 24,909 26,377 20,832 21,606 22,950 23,314 23,542 24,306 24,204 22,828 23,406 24,702 25,139 22,478 23,250 24,012 25,085 26,537 20,875 21,642 23,002 23,282 23,663 24,310 24,027 22,917 23,484 24,745 25,094 22,328 23,364 24,179 25,460 26,473 20,915 21,763 23,082 23,211 23,694 24,358 23,744 22,977 23,588 24,804 25,054 22,352 23,315 24,290 25,481 26,522 20,958 21,849 23,250 23,200 23,717 24,445 23,649 22,918 23,661 24,919 25,003 22,291 23,303 24,399 25,599 26,557 21,020 21,941 23,291 23,236 23,758 24,497 23,598 22,885 23,574 24,931 24,911 22,251 23,347 24,464 25,657 26,582 21,088 22,032 23,363 23,238 23,796 24 ,486 23,467 22,844 23,694 24,981 24,834 22,445 23,360 24,489 25,719 26,528 21,225 22,134 23,299 23,226 23,831 24,477 23,375 22,982 23,795 24,977 24,726 22,616 23,525 24,610 25,801 26,554 20,983 22,206 23,373 23,205 23,872 24,442 22,830 22,933 24,004 25,109 24,587 22,727 23,398 24,659 25,965 26,554 21,307 22,373 23,419 23,440 23,972 24,300 22,702 23,038 24,121 25,214 24,216 22,762 23,562 24,766 26,141 26,504 21,402 22,536 23,467 23,474 24,092 24,353 23,014 23,067 24,188 25,268 23,659 22,887 23,586 24,780 26,267 26,590 20,757 21,542 22,786 23,397 23,473 24,218 24,197 22 ,870 23,300 24,570 25,186 22,850 23,180 23,834 24,955 26,426 20,916 21,751 23,111 23,231 23,691 24,371 23,807 22,937 23,578 24,823 25,050 22,324 23,327 24,289 25,513 26,517 21,111 22,036 23,318 23,233 23,795 24,487 23,480 22,904 23,688 24,963 24,824 22,437 23,411 24,521 25,726 26,555 21,231 22,372 23,420 23,373 23,979 24,365 22,849 23,013 24,104 25,197 24,154 22,792 23,515 24,735 26,124 26,549 21,005 21,926 23,158 23,308 23,737 24,362 23,577 22,935 23 ,668 24,893 24,794 22,600 23,352 24,346 25,585 26,504 1948. .. 1949. . . 1950. . . 1951. .. 1952. . . 1953. . . 1954. . . 1955... 1956. . . 1957. . . 1958. . . 1959... 1960. . . 1961.. . 1962. . . 1963... 1964... 1965. . . 1966. .. 1967. . . 1968. . . 1977. . . 23 ,683 1978 . . . 24,871 1979. . . 26,363 1980... 41. NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES ON NONAGRICULTURAL PAYROLLS, ESTABLISHMENT SURVEY2 (THOUSANDS) 1948. . . 44,680 1949.. . 44,631 1950. . . 43,472 1951.. . 1952.. . 47,227 48,229 50,043 1954.. . 49,340 1955. .. 49,363 1956... 51,880 1957.. . 52,808 1958.. . 52,002 1959. .. 52,410 I960.. . 54,184 1961. . . 53,524 1962. . . 54,703 1963.. . 55,927 1953. .. 1964... 57,281 59,419 62,415 1967. .. 65,240 1968. . . 66,656 1969. . . 69,297 1970... 71,059 1971... 70,752 1972. .. 72,357 1973... 75,521 1974... 78,020 1975... 77,153 1976.. . 78,381 1977... 80,594 1978.. . 84,582 1979... 88,858 1980... 1965. .. 1966.. . AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 44,492 44,399 43,175 47,519 48,491 50,271 49,270 49,523 52,096 53,000 51,448 52,558 54,406 53,373 54,996 56,039 44,615 44,169 43,816 47,700 48,450 50,360 49,081 49,867 52,141 53,052 51,131 52,863 54,348 53,462 55,109 56,157 44,334 44,057 44,238 47,849 48,476 50,367 48,984 50,106 52,302 53,029 50,787 53,190 54,561 53,485 55,384 56,398 44,615 43,806 44 ,589 47,803 48,478 50,343 48,857 50,414 52,387 52,999 50,760 53,382 54,366 53,664 55,514 56,534 44,863 43,582 44,953 47,915 48,130 50,386 48,810 50,705 52,454 52,961 50,822 53,603 54,292 53,922 55,563 56,571 45,059 43,415 45,361 47,923 47,992 50,385 48,689 50,823 51,764 52,970 50,915 53,683 54,230 54,052 55,663 56,705 45,052 43,490 46,035 47,806 48,687 50,272 48,644 50,905 52,396 52,918 51,118 53,230 54,198 54,232 55,796 56,832 45,167 43,708 46,304 47,743 49,076 50,216 48,752 51,085 52,446 52,825 51,359 53,265 54,069 54,303 55,860 56,971 45,084 42,823 46,530 47,833 49,436 50,114 48 ,828 51,308 52,667 52,673 51,379 53,203 53,982 54,375 55,919 57,148 45,083 43,148 46,654 48,026 49,710 49,824 49,102 51,491 52,722 52,458 51,831 53,503 53,843 54,636 55,943 57,125 45,032 43,497 46,756 48,119 49,933 49,627 49,242 51,721 52,865 52,281 51,968 54,033 53,571 54,739 55,915 57,251 4,596 4,400 3,488 7,482 8,390 50,225 49,230 49,584 52,039 52,953 51,527 52,610 54,313 53,453 54,936 56,041 44,604 43,815 44,593 47,856 48,361 50,365 48,884 50,408 52,381 52,996 50,790 53,392 54,406 53,690 55,487 56,501 45,093 43,538 45,900 47,824 48,585 50,291 48 ,695 50,938 52,202 52,904 51,131 53,393 54,166 54,196 55,773 56,836 45,066 43,156 46,647 47,993 49,693 49,855 49,057 51,507 52,751 52,471 51,726 53,580 53,799 54,583 55,926 57,175 44,866 43,754 45,197 47,819 48 ,793 50,202 48,990 50,641 52,369 52,853 51,324 53,268 54,189 53,999 55,549 56,653 57,621 59,710 62,766 65,224 67,026 69,575 71,201 70,689 72,542 75,923 78,181 76,743 78,637 80,838 84,892 89,109 57,686 59,921 63,129 65,305 67,156 69,803 71,363 70,766 72,850 76,168 78,184 76,429 78,877 81,242 85,396 89,455 57,846 60,080 63,318 65,373 67,422 69,980 71,283 70,969 73,079 76,308 78,239 76,333 79,139 81,615 86,104 89,386 57,974 60,389 63,595 65,478 67,519 70,197 70,998 71,129 73,346 76,473 78,381 76,470 79,186 81,966 86,368 89,708 58,128 60,590 63,989 65,642 67,779 70,478 70,888 71,136 73,639 76,743 78,443 76,400 79,244 82,339 86,746 89,909 58,309 60,868 64,166 65,816 67,979 70,629 70,927 71,169 73,576 76,713 78,492 76,640 79,436 82,640 86,924 90,054 58,510 61,072 64,306 65,933 68,189 70,742 70,750 71,168 73,908 77,009 78,511 77,034 79,584 82,919 87,231 90,222 58,777 61,333 64,367 66,074 68,333 70,800 70,815 71,499 74,107 77,170 78,542 77,216 79,373 83,426 87,419 90,283 58,658 61,538 64,614 66,091 68,569 70,957 70,383 71,485 74,537 77,506 78,599 77,479 79,825 83,662 87,790 90,441 59,080 61,859 64,839 66,570 68,837 70,921 70,264 71,723 74,904 77 ,867 78,234 77,582 80,129 84,032 88,242 90,552 59,320 62,209 65,042 66,767 69,151 71,119 70,661 71,977 75,164 77,933 77,531 77,878 80,324 84,287 88,567 90,678 57,529 59,683 62,770 65,256 66,946 69,558 71,208 70,736 72,583 75,871 78,128 76,775 78,632 80,891 84,957 89,141 57,983 60,353 63,634 65,498 67,573 70,218 71,056 71,078 73,355 76,508 78,354 76,401 79,190 81,973 86,406 89,668 58,532 61,091 64,280 65,941 68,167 70,724 70,831 71,279 73,864 76,964 78,515 76,963 79,631 82,995 87,191 90,186 59,019 61,869 64,832 66,476 68,852 70,999 70,436 71,728 74,868 77,769 78,121 77,646 80,093 83,994 88,200 90,557 58,283 60,765 63,901 65,803 67,897 70,384 70,880 71,214 73,675 76,790 78,265 76,945 79,382 82 ,471 86,697 89,886 This series contains revisions beginning with 1967. This series contains revisions beginning with 1975. (SEPTEMBER 1980) C. Historical Data for Selected Series—Continued Quarterly Monthly Year Feb. Jan. Apr. Mar. 47. 1948. .. 1949.. . 1950. . . 1951.. . 1952... 1953... 1954... 1955.. . 1956. . . 1957.. . 1958... 1959.. . 1960. . . 1961. . . 1962. . . 1963.. . 1964... 1965. . . 1966... 1967.. . 1968. . . 1969. . . 1970. . . 1971... 1972. . . 1973. .. 1974.. . 1975.. . 1976... 1977. .. 1978.. . 1979. . . May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. IQ INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL P R O D U C T I O N , TOTAL (1 9 6 7 = 1 0 0 ) II Q III Q Annual IV Q AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 40.8 40.3 39.9 48.8 49.3 54.6 51.4 54.9 61.1 62.5 57.4 62.5 68.8 63.0 70.2 73.8 40.9 39.9 40.0 49.1 49.6 54.9 51.6 55.6 60.5 63.1 56.2 63.7 68 .2 62.9 71.3 74.6 40.4 39.1 41.3 49.4 49.7 55.3 51.3 56.9 60.5 63.1 55.5 64.7 67.6 63.3 71.7 75.1 40.5 38.9 42.7 49.4 49.3 55.6 51.0 57.5 61.0 62.2 54.6 66.0 67 .0 64.6 71.9 75.8 41.2 38.3 43.7 49.3 48 .8 55.9 51.3 58.5 60.5 62.0 55.1 67.0 67.0 65.6 71.8 76.7 41.7 38.3 45.0 49.0 48.4 55.6 51.4 58.5 59.9 62.1 56.5 67.1 66.1 66.5 71.6 76.9 41.7 38.2 46.4 48.3 47.6 56.3 51.5 59.0 58.1 62.5 57.4 65.5 65.9 67.3 72.3 76.6 41.6 38.6 47.9 47.8 50.7 56.0 51.4 58.9 60.5 62.5 58.5 63.3 65.8 67.9 72.4 76.8 41.2 38.9 47.6 48.1 52.5 54.9 51.5 59.3 61.8 62.0 59.1 63.2 65.1 67.8 72.8 77.5 41.6 37.5 47.9 48.1 53.0 54.4 52.1 60.3 62.4 61.1 59.8 62.7 65.0 69.1 72.9 78.1 41.0 38.5 47.8 48.4 54.1 53.1 53.0 60.5 61.8 59.6 61.5 63.1 64.1 70.2 73.2 78.4 40.6 39.2 48.7 48.7 54.4 51.8 53.6 60.7 62.7 58.5 61.6 67.0 62.9 70.8 73.2 78.3 39.8 40.4 49.1 49.5 54.9 51.4 55.8 60.7 62.9 56.4 63.6 68.2 63.1 71.1 74.5 79.0 86.2 94.4 99.8 103.7 109.5 109.1 108.1 114.6 126.3 129.9 115.2 126.1 133.7 140.0 152.0 79.5 86.7 95.0 99.0 104.3 110.2 108.8 108.0 115.3 127.8 129.6 112.7 128.1 134.5 140.3 152.5 79.5 87.8 96.3 98.5 104.7 110.8 108.8 108.0 116.5 128.5 130.0 111.7 128.7 136.3 142.1 153.5 80.8 88.2 96.5 99.2 104.9 110.6 108.6 108.5 117.7 128.5 129.9 112.6 129.0 137.1 144.4 151.1 81.3 88.9 97.4 98.7 106.2 110.3 108.3 109.1 118.1 129.6 131.3 113.7 130.1 138.0 144.8 152.7 81.5 89.6 97.9 98.4 106.6 111.2 108.1 109.6 118.7 129.9 131.9 116.4 130.7 138.9 146.1 153.0 82 .0 90.4 98.4 98.7 106.5 111.8 108.4 109.8 119.3 130.4 131.8 118.4 131.2 139.0 147.1 153.0 82.6 90.8 98.5 100.0 107.1 112.3 108.3 108.9 120.7 130.4 131.7 121.0 132.0 139.3 148.0 152.1 82 .9 91.1 99.4 100.3 107.1 112.3 107.6 110.3 121.8 131.1 131.8 122.1 131.3 139.6 148.6 152.7 81.7 92.0 100.1 101.2 107.4 112.5 105.4 110.9 123.4 131.4 129.5 122.2 131.3 140.1 149.7 152.7 84.2 92.4 99.4 102.6 108.6 111.4 104.8 111.3 124.4 131.6 124.9 123.5 132.6 140.3 150.6 152.3 85.2 93.5 99.6 103.5 108.8 111.2 107.2 112.3 125.8 131.3 119.3 124.4 133.6 140.5 151.8 152.5 79.3 86.9 95.2 99.1 104.2 110.2 108.9 108.0 115.5 127.5 129.8 113.2 127.6 134.8 140.8 152.7 81.2 88.9 97.3 98.8 105.9 110.7 108.3 109.1 118.2 129.3 131.0 114.2 129.9 138.0 145.1 152.3 -1.5 -13.8 24.5 5.9 8.6 6.8 -3.6 27.2 -1.0 2.8 -18.9 21.7 5.8 2.6 5.9 10.8 13.8 -7.7 41.1 -3.2 -10.0 2.4 1.0 12.1 -3.4 -5.9 9.6 16.2 -8.4 21.9 -0.5 10.1 -4.6 6.6 27.9 -6.6 49.0 -3.7 0.8 5.8 20.3 -0.4 19.8 -20.2 -5.8 8.3 7.0 3.4 -4.9 8.5 10.1 5.1 15.6 -20.4 17.4 10.1 6.8 -20.6 19.1 34.7 -12.5 19.1 2.3 4.3 0.7 -1.6 25.9 0.3 15.8 -3.7 3.9 13.8 5.7 -6.0 7.4 13.1 -5.2 13.0 3.6 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.3 8.1 2.0 4.1 -1.7 3.1 10.9 3.8 -0.3 21.3 2.0 2.0 7.0 -0.7 14.2 11.0 1.0 13.4 6.6 -3.7 0.9 7.5 13.9 0.6 -32.2 7.9 7.3 2.6 8.9 -0.5 9.6 9.8 6.7 4.3 5.2 2.4 -2.8 5.0 12.2 4.5 -7.5 6.3 7.6 5.3 8.2 0.8 40.7 41.1 38.5 43.8 49.2 48.8 55.7 51.2 58.2 60.5 62.1 55.4 66.7 66.7 65.6 71.8 76.5 41.5 38.6 47.3 48.1 50.3 55.7 51.5 59.1 60.1 62.3 58.3 64.0 65.6 67.7 72.5 77.0 41.1 38.4 48.1 48.4 53.8 53.1 52.9 60.5 62.3 59.7 61.0 64.3 64.0 70.0 73.1 78.3 82.5 90.8 98.8 99.7 106.9 112.1 108.1 109.7 120.6 130.6 131.8 120.5 131.5 139.3 147.9 152.6 83.7 92.6 99.7 102.4 108.3 111.7 105.8 111.5 124.5 131.4 124.6 123.4 132.5 140.3 150.7 152.5 41.1 38.8 44.9 48.7 50.6 54.8 51.9 58.5 61.1 61.9 57.9 64.8 66.2 66.7 72.2 76.5 81.7 89.8 97.8 100.0 106.3 111.1 107.8 109.6 119.7 129.8 129.3 117.8 130.5 138.2 146.1 152.5 1980.. . 47-C. CHANGE IN INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION, TOTAL, OVER 1-MONTH (COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE, P E R C E N T ) 1948. .. 1949.. . 1950. . . 1951... 1952... 1953. . . 1954... 1955. . . 1956. . . 1957... 1958.. . 1959. .. 1960... 1961... 1962. .. 1963.. . 1964.. . 1965... 1966... 1967.. . 1968... 1969.. . 1970. .. 1971... 1972... 1973. . . 1974.. . 1975. .. 1976.. . 1977. . . 1978... 1979... 1980.. . 1949... 1950... 1951. . . 1952. . . 1953... 1954.. . 1955. .. 1956. . . 1957... 1958... 1959. . . 1960... 1961.. . 1962. . . 1963... 1964.. . 1965. .. 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969.. . 1970... 1971. . . 1972.. . 1973.. . 1974... 1975. .. 1976. . . 1977.. . 1978. . . 1979... 1980... AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 6.1 -8.5 23.7 2.5 15.8 4.5 -8.9 33.3 8.2 -3.8 -20.4 19.0 37.5 1.9 -9.7 10.3 3.0 -11.3 3.0 7.6 7.6 6.8 4.8 16.4 -11.2 12.1 -22.4 25.6 -10.0 -1.9 20.5 13.8 -13.7 -21.6 46.8 7.6 2.4 9.1 -6.8 32.0 0. 0. -14.0 20.6 -10.1 7.9 6.9 8.3 3.0 -6.0 49.2 0. -9.2 6.7 -6.8 13.4 10.4 -15.8 -17.8 27.0 -10.1 27.6 3.4 11.8 22.8 -17.0 32.0 -2.4 -11.5 6.7 7.3 23.0 -9.4 -3.8 11.6 19.8 0. 20.2 -1.7 15.2 15.6 0. 42.2 -7.1 -9.4 -6.3 2.4 0. -11.3 2.0 35.1 1.8 -15.0 17.8 -3.3 3.2 0. -3.1 44 .4 -15.9 -18.1 16.2 2.4 10.8 -30.7 8.0 20.9 -25.1 -3.6 15.4 12.4 -4.6 -2.8 13.3 46.5 -11.7 113.2 -6.2 -2.3 -2.0 62.5 0. 25.6 -33.6 -1.8 11.2 1.7 3.2 -10.9 9.7 -7.3 7.8 52.0 -21.2 2.4 8.5 29.1 -9.2 13.0 -1.9 -12.0 -1.8 6.8 11.5 12.3 -35.6 7.8 0. 12.0 -10.4 14.9 22.2 12.3 -16.1 15.2 -9.1 -1.8 25.6 1.7 9.7 -16.0 37.1 -2.5 7.7 28.0 -25.2 22.8 4.1 -10.9 -25.8 40.0 7.9 -15.4 20.9 5.1 4.7 -11.1 24.1 25.1 7.7 6.9 -25.7 14.5 4.0 18.9 -20.0 2.0 105.4 -20.3 10.8 0. -1.5 11.3 15.0 12.2 2.4 2.3 8.0 -20.5 10.6 27.5 4.9 -12.1 -34.3 17.7 0.9 -4.2 1.6 1.6 7.9 7.2 7.9 -9.2 7.2 7.9 -3.3 -1.1 7.6 15.2 -2.7 -23.1 20.8 7.4 2.6 4.0 -0.8 0. 16.3 17.7 -5.9 4.7 6.7 0. 0. 13.2 6.8 3.8 -10.1 5.8 17.3 16.5 8.2 -3.9 21.5 5.6 2.5 8.9 2.3 -2.1 -2.2 5.7 13.1 0. -0.9 10.1 2.8 7.3 21.2 -17.2 -26.2 7.7 9.9 11.8 -5.9 15.9 -3.2 -3.3 6.8 4.2 10.8 13.7 12.4 10.7 8.2 3.4 13.5 -29.7 3.0 9.9 6.3 -3.6 4.6 10.2 -2.2 5.6 6.3 2.8 5.6 32.5 5.7 8.1 11.3 2.4 -19.6 7.6 11.3 6.3 3.7 -1.1 6.7 3.4 2.2 6.2 4.7 -0.9 22.7 4.7 0.9 8.5 0. -12.8 9.1 5.4 1.2 17.0 7.0 5.5 -1.1 -9.4 15.0 0. -0-.9 29.8 7.6 2.6 7.6 -6.8 6.2 4.4 4.0 11.5 3.7 0. 0. -7.5 16.6 11.5 6.6 0.9 11.5 -6.2 2.6 5.0 4.8 -16.1 12.5 8.8 11.3 3.4 2.2 -22.0 6.7 17.0 2.8 -19.0 1.0 0. 4.4 9.3 0. 43.6 5.3 -8.1 17.9 14.3 -11.1 -6.6 4.4 10.2 1.8 -35.2 13.5 12.5 1.7 7.5 -3.1 15.2 15.3 2.4 11.0 2.2 -2.1 31.2 11.3 14.4 -2.7 -42.3 9.1 9.4 1.7 10.0 1.6 6.4 12.8 12.6 -4.2 4.7 7.5 -7.9 3.2 16.1 9.0 -3.7 -22.5 14.8 8.5 5.0 4.6 -1.0 10.7 8.5 6.9 -0.2 7.6 1.6 -2.6 6.0 7.9 4.5 6.1 18.3 6.4 7.9 12.0 -0.4 -25.2 -5.7 3.1 9.6 5.1 15.3 -20.7 17.3 9.8 6.0 -20.7 18.0 26.3 -12.8 18.9 2.2 4.2 -11.9 28.2 7.7 10.4 12.6 -20.3 23.3 5.4 0.6 -22.1 19.3 45.0 -11.8 6.5 5.0 4.7 0. -12.5 23.6 7.4 6.3 6.8 -5.9 22.8 -0.7 3.1 -19.3 20.4 10.0 2.0 7.2 10.0 9.6 -10.0 40.9 -3.4 -9.8 4.9 0.8 15.1 -7.2 -3.7 7.3 11.7 -7.3 19.3 1.5 8.6 -0.6 0.8 27.7 -6.8 36.2 -5.7 2.1 5.8 15.5 -2.0 21.5 -19.2 -6.1 11.3 4.6 3.9 -7.7 10.1 5.5 6.9 19.2 -20.1 17.9 8.8 5.2 -20.0 19.8 23.3 -11.5 13.2 3.9 5.8 0.3 -2.9 24.4 1.0 13.0 -3.5 3.7 13.1 3.2 -5.6 7.3 9.1 -3.7 11.5 4.3 7.1 11.6 11.0 0.8 13.4 6.5 -3.9 -1.5 7.5 13.8 0.6 -32.9 7.7 7.2 2.6 8.9 -0.5 23.9 10.9 -1.2 10.3 8.1 -11.6 10.6 14.0 9.7 -4.5 -37.4 13.4 7.5 -0.3 6.3 0. 7.1 11.6 11.1 -2.8 5.4 5.9 -6.4 5.8 14.1 9.2 -3.3 -21.8 13.3 8.3 5.9 2.5 -3.7 8.6 9.8 8.5 -1.2 7.1 2.1 -1.7 5.0 7.8 5.4 5.8 14.6 6.6 8.1 11.0 1.4 -22.3 4.0 7.7 6.0 7.9 2.9 4.7 -4.1 2.0 11.5 3.1 -2.0 21.0 2.7 3.0 7.8 -1.1 14.5 9.7 1.1 11.5 6.8 -6.2 -1.1 10.2 12.1 -0.1 -29.8 9.9 5.5 1.7 7.5 0. 8.6 9.7 6.7 3.9 5.5 1.6 -3.3 5.8 11.4 4.4 -7.3 5.9 7.0 5.3 8.0 0.7 47-C. 1948. . . SPANS CHANGE IN INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION, TOTAL, OVER 3-MONTH (COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE, P E R C E N T ) SPANS AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 5.0 -10.3 16.5 11.3 10.3 6.0 -10.8 21.1 0. 8.7 -20.9 15.1 36.5 -7.3 6.4 7.9 -2.0 -14.0 23.2 5.9 8.5 6.8 -3.8 27.0 -1.3 2.6 -19.0 21.7 3.6 2.6 5.2 10.8 -2.9 -13.2 31.2 5.0 0. 7.5 -3.1 20.3 -0.7 -1.9 -18.1 24.4 -10.1 10.6 10.0 11.3 3.0 -15.1 42.5 1.6 -6.3 7.5 -2.3 22.6 0. -6.8 -7.6 22.4 -6.9 18.3 2.8 11.7 13.5 -7.9 40.9 -3.2 -10.1 2.2 0.8 11.7 -3.9 -6.2 7.4 15.7 -8.6 21.8 -0.6 9.9 12.4 -7.0 39.4 -8.6 -13.1 5.1 4.0 10.9 -17.7 1.9 22.1 -3.0 -6.4 17.8 2.2 4.3 3.9 3.2 44.3 -11.6 16.5 0.7 0.8 2.8 0. 3.3 27.1 -20.3 -7.0 14.8 3.4 0.5 -4.7 6.4 25.2 -7.1 38.4 -4.9 0.8 5.6 13.3 -0.6 19.7 -21.3 -5.9 8.1 6.9 3.2 13.6 -1.6 53.7 -12.8 4.7 9.1 33.1 -8.7 17.8 -16.0 -5.4 11.1 3.4 8.1 -5.6 -1.0 -0.8 5.1 29.6 -19.2 13.0 11.3 8.9 -17.3 22.1 -1.3 -9.9 14.3 4.5 8.6 5.7 12.4 11.7 -1.6 6.8 6.0 -9.0 12.8 15.2 11.4 -5.9 -33.7 15.8 5.9 0. 5.1 0.8 6.3 12.8 12.5 -4.3 4.7 7.6 -8.4 3.0 15.8 8.9 -3.9 -23.1 14.6 8.3 4.6 4.6 -1.0 9.4 9.6 9.2 -2.4 4.7 4.1 -1.8 1.5 11.3 7.2 0. -8.7 9.5 10.6 13.2 -2.3 -11.0 9.4 10.5 10.5 -1.2 7.5 0.4 -1.8 4.1 10.1 5.8 5.4 3.6 6.4 10.8 13.5 0.5 -20.7 10.4 8.5 6.8 -0.4 7.5 1.5 -2.5 6.1 7.8 4.4 6.0 17.9 6.4 7.9 11.7 -1.3 -25.3 6.1 10.4 8.1 -2.0 6.2 4.4 -0.7 4.9 5.5 6.0 6.0 22.3 7.0 5.7 7.7 5.1 -21.0 6.6 8.8 4.6 5.4 3.4 7.5 0. -0.7 9.1 2.5 1.2 28.3 6.0 3.8 9.1 -1.6 -9.4 7.0 6.9 6.3 7.9 1.9 4.0 -1.8 2.6 10.9 3.7 -0.3 21.1 1.8 2.0 7.0 -0.8 -1.5 7.3 7.1 10.5 3.4 2.5 -10.6 4.1 14.5 3.1 -6.8 13.5 0.3 3.2 7.3 -0.8 8.0 7.2 3.7 10.8 5.7 -3.2 -12.3 9.1 12.8 3.7 -19.1 8.5 1.8 2.9 7.2 0.5 -1.0 -7.1 NOTE: These series contain no revisions but are reprinted for the convenience of the user. (SEPTEMBER 1980) 99 C. Historical Data for Selected Series—Continued Quarterly Monthly Annual Year Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. IQ II Q 48. EMPLOYEE-HOURS IN NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS (ANNUAL RATE, BILLIONS OF EMPLOYEE-HOURS) III Q IV Q AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 1948... 1949... 1950. . . 1951... 1952. . . 1953... 1954... 1955. . . 1956.. . 1957... 1958. .. 1959.. . 1960. . . 1961. .. 1962. .. 1963. .. 93.57 92.44 89.16 98.69 100.52 103.81 100.48 101.24 106.88 107.71 104.90 106.43 110.00 107.72 109.91 113.23 92.96 92.04 88.72 98.99 101.00 104.34 100.86 101.87 107.09 108.51 103.14 106.64 110.14 107.81 111.36 113.40 93.48 91.28 90.40 99.38 100.48 104.67 100.59 103.11 106.67 108.22 102.80 107.65 109.78 107.82 112.02 113.50 92.60 90.94 90.99 99.95 100.02 104.59 100.13 103.21 107.38 107.63 101.83 108.57 110.32 107.65 112.58 114.34 93.11 90.41 92.32 99.75 100.46 104.06 99.67 104.41 107.12 107.65 102.04 108.94 110.03 108.27 112.80 114.66 93.84 89.69 93.32 99.74 99.70 104.19 99.69 104.58 107.39 107.56 102.14 109.42 109.89 108.91 112.90 114.91 94.06 89.32 94.33 99.71 99.19 104.05 99.45 104.80 106.10 107.61 102.45 109.08 109.89 109.29 112.94 115.11 94.00 89.37 96.34 99.42 100.72 103.35 99.26 104.98 107.39 107.64 103.01 108.18 109.81 109.70 113.22 115.18 93.93 89.54 96.33 99.19 102.35 102.57 99.36 105.62 107.53 107.19 104.03 107.84 109.24 109.24 113.57 115.56 93.55 87.91 96.89 99.16 102.80 103.29 99.79 105.89 108.08 106.06 104.07 107.71 108.99 110.06 113.09 115.93 93.65 88.48 97.44 99.60 103.12 102.29 100.93 106.46 108.23 105.72 105.03 108.20 109.52 110.87 113.38 115.87 93.53 88.89 97.19 99.93 103.94 101.66 101.20 106.80 108.56 105.54 105.42 109.95 106.79 110.68 113.21 115.84 93.34 91.92 89.43 99.02 100.67 104.27 100.64 102.07 106.88 108.15 103.61 106.91 109.97 107.78 111.10 113.38 93.18 90.35 92.21 99.81 100.06 104.28 99.83 104.07 107.30 107.61 102.00 108.98 110.08 108.28 112.76 114.64 94.00 89.41 95.67 99.44 100.75 103.32 99.36 105.13 107.01 107.48 103.16 108.37 109.65 109.41 113.24 115.28 93.58 88.43 97.17 99.56 103.29 102.41 100.64 106.38 108.29 105.77 104.84 108.62 108.43 110.54 113.23 115.88 93.52 90.03 93.62 99.46 101.19 103.57 100.12 104.41 107.37 107.25 103.40 108.22 109.53 109.00 112.58 114.79 1964... 1965. .. 1966. .. 1967. . . 1968. . . 1969. . . 1970. . . 1971... 1972. . . 1973. . . 1974... 1975.. . 1976. . . 1977... 1978... 1979. .. 1980... 114.80 120.96 126.60 131.41 132.44 137.62 139.91 137.97 141.12 146.60 151.04 147.69 150.77 152.46 159.30 168.43 116.59 121.64 127.74 130.70 133.68 137.82 139.97 137.34 141.86 147.88 151.51 146.26 150.55 155.03 160.83 168.86 116.75 122.06 128.42 130.61 133.61 138.52 140.26 137.84 142.11 148.62 151.26 145.34 150.40 155.03 162.59 170.32 117.43 122.11 128.38 130.55 133.76 138.72 139.83 137.95 143.11 148.91 149.18 145.45 149.66 155.65 164.21 167.60 117.47 122.87 128.58 130.92 134.48 139.38 139.07 138.33 142.92 149.20 151.72 145.78 151.26 156.46 164.02 169.45 117.72 122.76 129.53 131.23 134.97 139.58 138.75 138.56 143.65 149.56 151.62 145.36 151.14 157.00 165.04 170.19 118.06 123.13 129.49 131.43 135.52 139.83 139.04 138.09 143.37 149.87 151.44 145.62 151.66 157.50 165.27 170.37 118.31 123.62 129.86 131.77 135.86 140.33 138.54 138.63 143.87 149.99 151.32 147.16 151.40 157.68 165.40 170.26 118.31 123.88 129.80 132.34 136.14 140.46 134.34 138.41 144.64 150.31 151.47 147.64 151.86 158.39 165.66 170.49 118.72 124.60 130.44 132.07 136.46 140.56 137.31 138.02 144.92 149.81 151.91 147.92 151.86 159.16 166.30 170.50 119.67 125.36 130.76 133.02 136.42 140.20 136.78 139.80 146.02 151.56 149.76 148.49 152.31 159.45 167.90 170.73 120.60 126.16 130.98 133.11 136.90 140.73 137.77 140.26 145.99 151.38 148.04 149.31 152.88 159.49 168.20 171.47 116.05 121.55 127.59 130.91 133.24 137.99 140.05 137.72 141.70 147.70 151.27 146.43 150.57 154.17 160.91 169.20 117.54 122.58 128.83 130.90 134.40 139.23 139.22 138.28 143.23 149.22 150.84 145.53 150.69 156.37 164.42 169.08 118.23 123.54 129.72 131.85 135.84 140.21 137.31 138.38 143.96 150.06 151.41 146.81 151.64 157.86 165.44 170.37 119.66 125.37 130.73 132.73 136.59 140.50 137.29 139.36 145.64 150.92 149.90 148.57 152.35 159.37 167.47 170.90 117.87 123.26 129.22 131.60 135.02 139.48 138.46 138.43 143.63 149.47 150.86 146.84 151.31 156.94 164.56 169.89 48-C. CHANGE IN EMPLOYEE-HOURS IN NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS OVER 1-MONTH SPANS (COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE, PERCENT) AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 1948... 1949... 1950. .. 1951.. . 1952. .. 1953. . . 1954.. . 1955. .. 1956. .. 1957. . . 1958.. . 1959.. . 1960... 1961.. . 1962... 1963. .. 2.6 -13.1 3.7 20.2 7.3 -1.5 -13.1 0.5 0.9 -9.0 -7.0 12.1 0.5 11.0 -8.0 0.2 -7.5 -5.1 -5.8 3.7 5.9 6.3 4.6 7.7 2.4 9.3 -18.4 2.4 1.5 1.0 17.0 1.8 6.9 -9.5 25.2 4.8 -6.0 3.9 -3.2 15.6 -4.6 -3.2 -3.9 12.0 -3.9 0.1 7.3 1.1 -10.7 -4.4 8.1 7.1 -5.4 -0.9 -5.4 1.2 8.3 -6.3 -10.8 10.8 6.1 -1.9 6.2 9.3 6.8 -6.8 19.0 -2.4 5.4 -5.9 -5.4 14.9 -2.9 0.2 2.5 4.2 -3.1 7.1 2.4 3.4 9.8 -9.1 13.8 -0.1 -8.7 1.5 0.2 2.0 3.1 -1.0 1.2 5.4 -1.5 7.3 1.1 2.6 2.8 -4.8 13.8 -0.4 -6.0 -1.6 -2.9 2.6 -13.5 0.6 3.7 -3.7 0. 4.3 0.4 2.1 -0.8 0.7 28.8 -3.4 20.2 -7.8 -2.3 2.1 15.6 0.3 6.8 -9.5 -0.9 4.6 3.0 0.7 -0.9 2.3 -0.1 -2.7 21.2 -8.7 1.2 7.6 1.6 -4.9 12.6 -3.7 -6.1 -4.9 3.8 4.0 -4.7 -19.8 7.2 -0.4 5.4 8.8 5.3 3.1 6.3 -11.9 0.5 -1.4 -2.7 9.4 -5.0 3.9 1.3 8.1 7.0 5.5 3.8 -11.0 14.6 6.7 1.7 -3.8 11.6 5.6 6.0 9.2 3.1 -0.6 -1.5 5.7 -3.0 4.0 10.0 -7.1 3.3 3.9 3.7 -2.0 4.5 21.2 -26.1 -2.0 -1.8 -0.3 0.7 -9.2 7.7 9.6 2.4 2.9 -3.9 7.9 -0.4 -1.0 -9.8 8.8 -0.6 4.0 5.4 1.0 2.0 -6.8 13.6 1.5 -2.9 -1.8 -3.5 6.0 2.8 -2.4 -2.4 6.8 0.5 4.2 3.2 5.1 0.4 -0.6 14.2 -2.2 11.8 -6.0 -1.3 4.1 1.2 -1.3 7.7 -5.6 -2.3 1.3 2.4 2.3 -1.6 -2.0 3.7 3.0 6.4 -3.1 7.7 4.6 3.9 -5.9 5.5 8.5 -7.6 5.5 -1.2 1.0 0.3 -4.6 9.8 3.0 4.4 -2.0 -0.3 5.7 1.9 -2.6 0.3 4.6 -2.5 3.8 2.5 2.4 1964. . . 1965... 1966. . . 1967... 1968. .. 1969... 1970... 1971.. . 1972.. . 1973. .. 1974.. . 1975... 1976. .. 1977. . . 1978 . 1979*.!! 1980 -10.3 3.6 4.3 4.0 -5.9 6.5 -6.8 1.8 7.6 5.1 -2.7 -2.8 12.4 -3.2 — 1.4 20.4 7.0 11.4 -6.3 11.8 1.8 0.5 -5.3 6.5 11.0 3.8 -11.0 -1.7 22.2 1.7 4.2 6.6 -0.8 -0.6 6.3 2.5 4.5 2.1 6.2 -2.0 -7.3 -1.2 0. 7.2 0.5 -0.4 -0.5 1.4 1.7 -3.6 1.0 8.8 2.4 -15.3 0.9 -5.7 4.9 0.4 7.7 1.9 3.5 6.7 5.9 -6.3 3.4 -1.6 2.4 22.5 2.8 13.6 6.4 2.6 -1.1 9.2 2.9 4.5 1.7 -2.7 2.0 6.3 2.9 -0.8 -3.4 -0.9 4.2 3.5 3.7 -0.4 1.8 5.0 2.2 2.5 -4.0 -2.3 2.5 -1.4 2.2 4.2 3.9 2.6 4.9 3.5 3.1 3.1 4.4 -4.2 4.8 4.3 1.0 -0.9 13.5 -2.0 1.5 0. 2.6 -0.6 5.3 2.5 1.1 -30.9 -1.9 6.6 2.6 1.2 4.0 3.7 5.5 4.2 7.2 6.1 -2.4 2.9 0.9 30.0 -3.3 2.3 -3.9 3.5 2.3 0. 6.0 10.0 7.6 3.0 9.0 -0.4 -3.0 -4.5 16.6 9.5 15.0 -15.7 4.7 3.6 2.2 9.7 7.9 2.0 0.8 4.3 4.6 9.0 4.0 -0.2 -1.4 -12.9 6.8 4.6 0.3 3.4 2.4 3.6 2.0 4.2 3.1 -4.2 2.1 4.5 2.6 2.1 0.1 2.3 5.2 2.0 3.7 0.8 3.4 3.5 2.6 -10.9 -0.4 2.9 2.0 -0.4 6.6 2.0 3.6 8.0 7.6 3.7 2.5 2.3 0.8 11.5 5.8 3.9 3.2 -8.4 4.6 2.7 2.8 4.3 4.6 3.9 1.7 2.9 2.8 -1.2 2.0 4.2 3.8 -1.7 1.1 2.6 4.5 s!s 3.1 -1.0 10. 9 -3.6 -17.6 -7.3 14.1 -8.3 5.4 -5.9 1.3 -5.8 -0.8 5.0 1.6 0.1 1.6 5.3 3.9 4.9 7.4 -1.0 1.8 4.9 -1.3 0.3 5.4 7.4 -0.3 -7.0 3.2 6.3 8.3 5.*2 0.3 0.*6 -7.2 0.*7 2!a 2\2 48-C. CHANGE IN EMPLOYEE-HOURS IN NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS OVER 3-MONTH SPANS (COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE, PERCENT) AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 1948. .. 1949... 1950. . . 1951.. . 1952... 1953.. . 1954... 1955. .. 1956. . . 1957... 1958. .. 1959. .. 1960. . . 1961... 1962... 1963. .. 0.8 -6.7 1.1 6.5 5.7 4.8 -5.5 3.8 2.4 1.0 -9.4 6.3 7.4 -6.1 1.8 0.1 0.5 -9.3 7.0 9.3 2 .2 2.8 -4.1 7.8 -0.5 -1.2 -10.0 8.7 -0.6 3.9 4.9 1.0 -4.1 -6.3 8.5 5.2 -2.0 3.0 -1.4 8.0 1.9 -0.3 -11.2 8.3 1.2 -0.3 10.1 4.0 0.6 -6.9 17.2 3.1 -2.1 -1.1 -4.6 10.4 0.1 -3.1 -4.2 8.9 -0.4 1.7 5.3 4.5 1-.5 -6.8 13.6 1.5 -3.1 -1.8 -3.5 5.8 2.7 -2.4 -2.5 6.7 0.4 4.1 3.2 5.1 6.5 -6.9 15.5 -1.0 -3.3 -2.0 -2 .7 6.3 -4.7 -0.1 2.5 1.9 -1.6 6.2 1.3 2.7 3.9 -4.5 18.6 -1.3 1.0 -2.7 -1.6 2.2 1.0 0. 3.9 -2.8 -0.8 5.4 1.5 1.8 0.4 -0.7 13.5 -2.2 11.1 -6.1 -1.3 4.0 0.5 -1.4 7.6 -5.7 -2.3 1.2 2.4 2.3 -2.2 -6.2 11.3 -2.2 15.4 -2.9 1.4 4.2 7.7 -5.6 6.5 -4.9 -3.2 2.8 0.5 2.9 -1.5 -3.9 4.6 0.7 9.9 -4.0 6.9 5.8 3.2 -6.9 8.1 0.1 -1.1 4.3 0.6 2.4 -1.7 -2.9 3.6 3.0 6.4 -3.5 7.6 4.5 3.9 -6.0 5.5 8.1 -8.7 5.4 -1.3 1.0 -4.7 5.8 7.6 5.6 4.0 -10.4 5.9 3.8 -1.4 -4.3 9.4 8.8 -4.6 -0.5 0.5 -3.8 -0.9 -7.4 5.5 7.0 2.0 3.5 -3.7 6.5 1.3 -0.2 -10.2 7.8 2.7 -0.8 5.6 1.7 2.9 -6.9 15.4 1.2 -2.8 -1.6 -3.6 7.5 -0.6 -1.9 -1.4 5.8 -0.5 4.0 3.3 4.1 0.7 -3.8 14.5 -1.9 9.2 -3.9 -0.5 3.5 3.1 -2.3 6.0 -4.5 -2.1 3.1 1.5 2.3 -2.6 -0.3 5.3 3.1 6.8 -6.0 6.8 4.7 1.9 -5.7 7.7 5.7 -4.8 3.1 -0.1 -0.1 0. -4.6 10.2 2.4 3.8 -2.0 -0.2 5.6 1.4 -2.5 0.5 3.7 -1.2 2.3 2.6 2.0 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973.. . 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 2.5 6.7 7.8 -0.2 2.0 4.2 -0.7 1.6 6.0 5.2 -0.1 -9.0 5.7 7.3 3.5 2.3 3.2 3.2 4.9 7.4 -1.1 1.5 4.8 -1.3 0.2 5.4 7.4 -0.3 -7.1 3.0 5.7 8.0 5.1 0.2 9.5 3.9 5.7 -2.6 4.0 3.2 -0.2 -0.1 5.8 6.5 -4.8 -5.9 -2.9 8.6 12.9 -2.0 -4.0 3.1 4.1 2.7 0.7 2.4 4.6 -2.5 2.9 3.0 3.6 0.6 -1.3 1.9 3.7 8.2 1.4 -6.4 3.4 2.3 3.5 1.9 4.1 3.1 -4.2 2.1 4.4 2.6 1.0 0.1 2.0 5.2 6.2 -0.3 -7.1 2.2 3.4 3.5 2.7 5.4 3.2 -2.2 0.4 0.7 2.6 6.2 0.5 5.5 4.8 2.6 6.8 -6.6 2.9 2.5 4.0 2.6 4.2 2.8 -1.5 0.9 2.7 2.1 -1.1 3.8 0.4 3.2 3.4 1.9 -2.3 2.0 3.7 0.8 3.4 3.5 2.5 -12.1 -0.4 2.8 2.0 -0.4 6.4 1.9 3.6 1.5 0.7 2.3 4.9 3.0 2.0 2.8 2.1 -4.9 -0.2 4.4 -0.2 1.2 6.5 0.5 4.3 2.5 0.3 4.7 5.8 2.8 3.8 1.7 -0.4 -5.0 3.4 6.1 4.3 -4.1 3.7 2.4 4.6 6.2 1.1 8.0 7.6 3.7 2.3 2.3 0.8 10.6 5.5 3.8 2.9 -8.8 4.6 2.7 2.8 6.3 2.3 7.8 6.6 3.0 1.1 3.4 -1.8 1.9 9.3 4.7 3.3 -10.7 7.9 1.6 0.4 5.2 4.1 5.1 5.2 7.0 -1.3 2.5 4.1 -0.7 0.6 5.7 6.4 -1.7 -7.3 1.9 7.2 8.1 1.8 -0.2 2.9 3.3 3.2 1.8 4.0 3.6 -3.0 1.8 2.7 2.9 2.6 -0.2 3.1 4.6 5.7 2.6 -6.7 2.4 3.7 2.6 2.7 3.5 2.5 -6.2 0.1 3.3 1.3 -0.1 5.6 0.9 3.7 2.5 1.0 6.8 6.7 3.2 2.4 2.5 -0.5 2.5 6.1 4.9 3.5 -7.9 5.4 2.2 2.6 5.9 2.5 4.3 4.7 4.0 1.4 3.1 2.4 -1.8 2.1 4.2 3.5 -1.8 0.8 2.1 4.5 5.5 2.0 NOTE: These series contain revisions beginning with 1947. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 100 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (SEPTEMBER (1980) C. Historical Data for Selected Series—Continued Monthly Year Jan. Mar. Feb. 93. Apr. May June Quarterly July Sept. Aug. FREE R E S E R V E S (MEMBER BANKS EXCESS R E S E R V E S M I N U S B O R R O W I N G S ) 1 ( M I L L I O N S OF DOLLARS ) Oct. Nov. Dec. IQ II Q III Q IV Q Annual © AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 1948. 1949. 1950. 1951. 1952. 1953. 1954. 1955. 1956. 1957. 1958. 1959. 1960. 1961. 1962. 1963. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 938 669 900 613 723 -640 836 369 -255 116 122 -59 -375 696 555 375 560 600 614 298 330 -672 339 270 -267 -126 324 -48 -365 517 434 301 552 546 655 471 578 -614 503 122 -409 -316 495 -140 -219 486 382 269 700 608 593 672 283 -631 626 95 -533 -504 492 -259 -194 551 441 313 599 601 624 152 65 -353 561 212 -504 -444 547 -319 -33 453 440 247 752 658 700 664 130 365 711 168 -195 -508 484 -513 37 549 391 138 722 910 623 562 -468 366 770 92 -139 -383 547 -556 120 530 440 161 750 861 483 412 -383 -7 725 -189 -339 -471 382 -536 247 537 439 133 756 847 669 383 95 250 708 -286 -214 -466 95 -493 414 547 375 91 706 816 775 821 -400 390 638 -359 -195 -344 96 -459 480 442 419 94 655 677 586 389 -875 198 650 -492 -154 -293 20 -433 614 517 473 33 663 685 885 169 -870 252 457 -245 -36 -133 -41 -424 669 419 268 209 683 605 723 461 544 -642 559 254 -310 -109 314 -82 -320 566 457 315 684 622 639 496 159 -206 633 158 -411 -485 508 -364 -63 518 424 233 743 873 592 452 -252 203 734 -128 -231 -440 341 -528 260 538 418 128 675 726 749 460 -715 280 582 -365 -128 -257 25 -439 588 459 387 112 696 706 676 467 -66 -91 627 -20 -270 -323 297 -353 116 520 421 197 1964. 1965. 1966. 1967. 1968. 1969. 1970. 1971. 1972. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 175 106 -44 -16 144 -480 -799 -91 153 -823 -808 -454 130 433 -176 -692 89 36 -107 -4 38 -596 -819 -127 91 99 -75 -246 236 -315 -701 -781 -120 134 167 -105 -268 175 -413 -844 -704 -8 27 82 -180 -352 269 -326 120 -182 -352 297 -341 135 -174 -362 272 -226 -1,064 -795 -18 -15 -701 -322 110 -1,074 -1,217 -658 -55 89 -144 -368 268 -132 -831 -335 -295 -352 106 -146 -431 160 -167 -992 -208 -153 -327 -34 -83 -222 270 -245 -988 -305 -144 -292 168 -2 -165 107 -310 -829 -49 58 -830 121 22 -132 72 -44 -592 -800 -113 126 123 -156 -324 247 -360 -1,102 83 -134 -390 298 -190 -946 -682 -606 -183 -733 -116 41 102 -151 -373 279 -183 -950 -745 -520 -197 80 -77 -273 179 -241 -936 -187 -80 -483 107 -90 -276 194 -207 -871 -616 -207 -128 -1,388 -1,563 -1,176 -1,564 -1,556 -1,668 -2,386 -1,730 -2,869 -1,708 -3,131 -1,897 -3,173 -1,624 -3,096 -1,267 -1,702 -1,195 -1,036 -1,166 -1,031 -1,455 -1,857 277 -3 -149 -974 -293 -53 12 -35 123 -980 110 171 -690 -738 -11 134 -253 -679 -1,175 -989 -1,049 -1,750 75 101 -46 -808 -161 117 -434 -1,146 -197 212 -443 -993 -1,490 6 193 -872 -885 -904 -1,751 -1,079 -994 -70 149 158 -162 -733 -1,743 -3,133 -61 261 72 -975 -1, 0 2 7 229 280 -705 -417 -1,654 -2,270 10 45 -62 -475 -899 -364 135 110 -384 -749 -1,258 160 378 155 -38 -742 -1,527 -1,131 1973... 1974. 1975. 1976. 1977. 1978. 1979. 1980. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -997 85 -62 -114 -272 -764 9 4 . MEMBER BANK BORROWINGS FROM THE FEDERAL R E S E R V E M I L L I O N S OF DOLLARS ) 1948. . . 1949. . . 1950.. . 1951. .. 1952. . . 1953.. . 1954... 1955. 1956. 1957. 1958. 1959. 1960. 1961. 1962. 1963. .. .. .. .. .. .. . . . . .. 1964. . . 1965. . . 1966. . . 1967... 1968. 1969. 1970. 1971. . . .. .. .. 1972... 1973.. . 1974. 1975. 1976. 1977. 1978. 1979. 1980. . . .. .. . . . . .. .. -1,339 1 -1,003 -1,188 -1,008 -1,077 © AVERAGE FOR P E R I O D 143 169 35 212 210 1,347 100 313 807 406 451 556 905 49 70 99 244 110 123 330 365 1,310 293 354 799 640 242 508 816 137 68 172 270 148 128 242 307 1,202 189 463 993 834 138 601 635 70 91 155 111 98 101 161 367 1,166 139 495 1,060 1,011 130 676 602 56 69 121 144 176 80 438 563 944 155 368 971 909 119 767 502 96 63 209 100 100 68 170 579 423 146 401 769 1,005 142 921 425 63 100 236 95 109 123 194 1,077 418 65 527 738 917 109 956 388 51 89 322 87 94 164 292 1,032 651 115 765 898 1,005 252 1,008 293 67 127 330 128 75 96 338 683 468 67 849 792 988 476 903 225 37 80 321 111 46 67 95 1,048 362 82 884 715 811 425 905 149 65 65 313 118 134 145 340 1,532 486 164 1,016 744 804 486 873 142 105 119 376 134 118 142 657 1,593 441 246 839 688 710 557 906 87 149 304 327 219 142 95 261 294 1,286 194 377 866 627 277 555 785 85 76 142 118 125 83 256 503 844 147 421 933 975 13G 788 510 72 77 189 103 93 128 275 931 51^ 82 714 809 970 279 956 302 52 99 324 121 99 118 364 1,391 430 164 913 716 775 489 896 126 106 163 339 140 115 106 289 780 768 147 606 831 837 294 799 431 79 104 248 256 299 402 389 237 697 965 370 20 1,164 1,044 390 79 61 481 994 304 405 478 362 361 824 1,092 328 33 1,593 1,186 147 76 79 405 973 259 416 551 199 671 918 896 319 99 1,858 1,352 106 58 110 344 999 213 471 626 134 683 996 822 148 109 1,721 1,714 110 44 73 539 897 255 505 722 101 746 1,402 976 330 119 1,786 270 528 674 123 692 1,407 883 453 94 1,788 265 524 766 87 525 1,190 1,358 820 202 60 121 200 1,227 1,777 271 120 262 1,111 1,396 261 123 336 1,286 1,179 309 490 733 126 427 1,135 462 360 574 1,465 1,793 191 66 1,319 1,261 430 452 611 133 569 1,241 425 407 606 1,399 1,285 61 84 840 722 1,906 243 454 557 238 765 1,086 321 107 1,049 1,298 703 127 62 558 874 1,473 273 373 477 317 423 813 984 339 51 1,538 1,194 214 71 83 410 989 246 501 674 119 707 1,268 895 310 107 1,765 2,431 147 95 178 959 1,357 310 539 753 89 535 1,169 931 708 385 2,018 3,315 289 101 680 1,167 1,207 327 465 634 166 587 1,154 403 291 743 1,387 1,260 126 71 906 952 1,800 289 470 634 173 563 1. . 0 1 803 412 321 1,677 3,000 2,050 3,308 331 528 766 90 515 1,067 607 501 514 1,861 2,580 334 564 728 89 565 1,249 827 804 438 2,144 3,351 211 104 1,071 1,147 1,097 570. 3,287 396 75 634 1,068 1,344 2,022 EMPLOYMENT IN D E F E N S E PRODUCTS I N D U S T R I E S 2 (THOUSANDS) 2,050 194 84 462 872 1,338 AVERAGE FOR P E R I O D 1948 1949. . . 1950 . . . 1951. . . 1952 . . . 1956 . . . 1957 . . . 1958. . . 1959. . . 1960. . . 1961. . . 1962.. . 1963... 1964. . . 1965. . . 1966... 1967. . . 1968. . . 1969. . . 1970... 1971. 1972. 1973. 1974. 1975. 1976. 1977. . . .. . . .. .. .. . . 1978... 1979. . . 1,218 1,249 1,250 1,235 1,303 1,369 1,211 1,254 1,246 1,240 1,316 1,366 1,210 1,255 1,244 1,244 1,326 1,354 1,212 1,259 1,240 1,248 1,330 1,350 1,210 1,267 1,233 1,255 1,340 1,347 1,222 1,271 1,201 1,257 1,350 1,345 1,224 1,280 1,213 1,259 1,361 1,337 1,229 1,277 1,228 1,255 1,369 1,332 1,233 1,274 1,224 1,262 1,369 1,328 1,239 1,266 1,218 1,274 1,370 1,328 1,246 1,259 1,230 1,283 1,371 1,317 1,249 1,256 1,232 1,292 1,371 1,318 1,213 1,253 1,247 1,240 1,315 1,363 1,215 1,266 1,225 1,253 1,340 1,347 1,229 1,277 1,222 1,259 1,366 1,332 1,245 1,260 1,227 1,283 1,371 1,321 1,225 1,264 1,230 1,259 1,348 1,341 1,307 1,228 1,357 1,588 1,719 1,691 1,546 1,262 1,109 1,154 1,179 1,185 1,096 1,069 1,120 1,242 1,294 1,224 1,382 1,614 1,723 1,672 1,521 1,238 1,115 1,155 1,179 1,153 1,092 1,074 1,125 1,262 1,285 1,230 1,406 1,630 1,719 1,688 1,503 1,213 1,117 1,157 1,182 1,156 1,093 1,069 1,138 1,278 1,278 1,237 1,430 1,645 1,713 1,686 1,472 1,190 1,123 1,160 1,185 1,138 1,087 1,085 1,143 1,283 1,266 1,247 1,457 1,650 1,713 1,682 1,441 1,179 1,125 1,165 1,187 1,152 1,084 1,088 1,162 1,289 1,258 1,254 1,478 1,662 1,718 1,658 1,421 1,167 1,124 1,169 1,189 1,139 1,071 1,098 1,173 1,299 1,246 1,267 1,502 1,668 1,717 1,659 1,400 1,150 1,124 1,171 1,193 1,129 1,059 1,109 1,184 1,310 1,235 1,276 1,525 1,675 1,725 1,643 1,373 1,147 1,127 1,175 1,152 1,123 1,069 1,103 1,193 1,312 1,236 1,289 1,537 1,686 1,708 1,627 1,353 1,141 1,136 1,171 1,188 1,114 1,069 1,103 1,195 1,324 1,232 1,300 1,554 1,699 1,691 1,613 1,321 1,132 1,134 1,172 1,197 1,103 1,065 1,066 1,207 1,336 1,231 1,315 1,573 1,709 1,701 1,580 1,299 1,123 1,144 1,176 1,193 1,089 1,063 1,068 1,219 1,349 1,228 1,331 1,579 1,718 1,703 1,565 1,281 1,114 1,152 1,176 1,180 1,089 1,068 1,093 1,236 1,356 1,295 1,227 1,382 1,611 1,720 1,684 1,523 1,238 1,114 1,155 1,180 1,165 1,094 1,071 1,128 1,261 1,267 1,246 1,455 1,652 1,715 1,675 1,445 1,179 1,124 1,165 1,187 1,143 1,081 1,090 1,159 1,290 1,239 1,277 1,521 1,676 1,717 1,643 1,375 1,146 1,129 1,172 1,178 1,122 1,066 1,105 1,191 1,315 1,230 1,315 1,569 1,709 1,698 1,586 1,300 1,123 1,143 1,175 1,190 1,094 1,065 1,076 1,221 1,347 1,258 1,266 1,482 1,662 1,712 1,647 1,411 1,171 1,128 1,167 1,184 1,131 1,076 1,085 1,175 1,303 1980... This series contains no revisions but is reprinted for the convenience of the user. This series contains revisions beginning with 1978. (SEPTEMBER 1980) 101 C. Historical Data for Selected Series—Continued Monthly Year Jan. Mar. Feb. Apr. May June Quarterly July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1 Q II Q 913. COMPOSITE I N D E X OF M A R G I N A L EMPLOYMENT ADJUSTMENTS (1967=100) 1948. 1949. 1950. 1951. 1952. .. .. .. .. .. 1953... 1954 . . . 1955... 1956. . . 102.6 94.1 96.8 104.3 101.3 104.1 93.5 98.4 99.8 101.3 94.4 96.6 104.1 101.5 104.0 93.5 99.4 98.4 101.3 92.9 98.1 104 .6 101.1 103.8 93.4 100.1 98.7 101.4 92.0 99.1 103.6 99 .6 103.7 93.0 100.3 99.5 100.6 92.4 100.4 102.5 100.8 102.3 93.8 100.6 97 .5 101.9 93.4 100.9 101.5 100.1 101.9 94.7 99 .4 98.2 1958! 1959. 1960. 1961. 1962. 1963. ! ! .. .. .. .. .. 90.7 97.2 98.6 92.6 96.9 96.4 89.8 97.9 97.1 91.9 97.2 96.9 89.4 98.9 95.1 94.2 97.8 97.1 89.7 99.0 95.1 94.9 98.0 96.7 91.3 98.9 95.2 94.9 97.3 97.2 92.8 98.1 94.7 95.6 96.9 97.5 1964. 1965. 1966. 1967. 1968. 1969. .. .. .. .. .. .. 96.9 100.0 102 .1 101.3 100.0 102.3 99.2 96.5 98.9 101.3 99.0 90.0 97.9 95.9 97.6 98.5 97.6 100.0 102.7 99.4 101.2 101.6 98.3 96.5 99.2 102.4 98.7 89.7 98.1 96.6 97.2 98.4 97.6 100.6 103.8 98.6 101.4 102.3 97.4 96.5 99.5 101.9 98.8 90.1 97.6 98.0 98.3 98.0 98.6 99.7 103.5 98.9 100.4 102.4 96.0 96.7 99.8 101.7 97.9 91.7 96.1 97.3 99.0 94.6 98.3 100.3 103.1 99.5 101.6 102.0 96.3 96.7 99 .4 101.3 99.1 91.4 96.5 97.1 98.0 97.3 98 .4 100.4 102.5 99.9 101.5 102.0 96.6 97.0 98.7 101.0 98.2 92.5 96.1 97.2 97 .8 96.7 1970... 1971. 1972. 1973. 1974. 1975. 1976. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1977.. . 1978. . . 1979... 1980. . . 914. 1948. 1949. 1950. 1951. 1952. 1953. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1954... 1955. 1956. 1957. 1958. 1959. 1960. 1961. 1962. 1963. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1964. . . 1965... 1966. 1967. 1968. 1969. 1970. 1971. 1972. 1973. 1974. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1975.. . 1976. 1977. 1978. 1979. 1980. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1955... 1956. . . 1957... 1958... 1959. . . 1960... 1961. . . 1962... 1963.. . 1964. 1965. 1966. 1967. 1968. 1969. 1970. . . .. .. .. .. .. . . 1971... 1972. . . 1973. . . 1974. . . 1975... 1976.. . 1977. .. 1978. .. 1979... Annual AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 101.5 93.7 102.8 99.8 96.3 100 .9 95.3 99.1 97.8 96 . 7 93.7 97.5 94 .4 95.4 97.1 97.6 100.2 93.5 105.5 98.7 102.6 99.4 94 .4 99.5 98.6 95.9 94.4 97.0 93.9 96.5 96.3 96.9 99.8 95.1 103.8 99.2 104 .3 97.4 94.6 100.7 98.7 94.1 94.8 96 .8 94.0 94.7 97.0 97.4 100.0 93.3 103.5 99.3 104 .5 96.4 95.9 100.4 100.0 93.2 95.3 94.6 93.2 97 .1 96.1 97.6 99.0 93.5 102 .2 100.4 104.2 94.4 97.6 101.0 99.1 92.2 95.9 94.9 92.7 97.4 96.6 97.2 96.9 97.1 102 .2 101.1 103.8 94.4 97.7 100.4 99.3 91.1 95.8 98.9 91.4 97.2 96.3 97.3 101.7 93.8 97.2 104.3 101.3 104.0 93.5 99.3 99.0 101.3 92.6 100.1 102.5 100.2 102.6 93.8 100.1 98.4 100.5 94.1 104.0 99.2 101.1 99.2 94.8 99.8 98.4 98.6 94.6 102.6 100.3 104.2 95.1 97.1 100.6 99.5 100.5 93.8 101.0 101.6 101.7 100.2 94.8 99.9 98.8 9o!o 98.0 96.9 92.9 97.3 96.8 9l!3 98.7 95.0 95.1 97.4 97.1 94!3 97.1 94.1 95.5 96.8 97.3 95!7 96.1 92.4 97.2 96.3 97.4 92!s 97.5 94.6 95.2 97.0 97.2 98 .8 100.2 102.0 99.7 101.3 101.5 97.7 96.9 98.8 100.5 98.1 94.5 96.1 96.7 97.4 99.4 99.6 102.8 100.3 101.1 101.2 96.3 95.7 100.2 100.3 97.0 94.5 95.5 96.2 97.3 98 .4 100.5 103.0 100.4 101.6 101.4 95.2 95.9 100.3 101.1 96 .5 94.3 95.0 97.0 98.5 98.6 101.1 102.5 100.2 102.1 100.9 94.7 96.9 100.5 101.1 94.9 95.0 95.1 97.4 98.7 98 .6 101.6 101.9 100.8 102.2 100.3 94.9 97.5 101.1 101.0 92.0 95.6 96.1 98.0 98.8 99.2 102 .1 101.0 101.1 102.0 100.4 95.9 98.6 101.1 99.8 91.1 97.0 96.9 98.7 99.1 97.4 100.2 102.9 99.8 100.9 102.1 98.3 96.5 99.2 101.9 98.8 89.9 97.9 96.8 97.7 98.3 98.4 100.1 103.0 99.4 101.2 102.1 96.3 96.8 99.3 101.3 98 .4 91.9 96.2 97.2 98.3 96.2 98.9 100.1 102.6 100.1 101.3 101.4 96.4 96.2 99.8 100.6 97.2 94.4 95.5 96.6 97.7 98.8 101.6 101.8 100.7 102.1 100.5 95.2 97.7 100.9 100.6 92.7 95.9 96.0 98.0 98.9 98.4 100.5 102.6 100.0 101.4 101.5 96.5 96.8 99.8 101.1 96.8 93.0 96.4 97.2 98.1 COMPOSITE I N D E X OF C A P I T A L I N V E S T M E N T COMMITMENTS (1967=100) AVERAGE FOR P E R I O D 100.0 90.3 95.3 96 .6 95.9 97.0 92.3 99.8 97.6 94.8 90.6 97.8 96.8 93.5 96.8 96.9 99.1 89.7 96.1 95.8 95.9 96.4 91.7 99.5 97.4 94.8 91.1 99.5 95.4 93.6 96.2 97.3 100.5 89.2 97.1 94.7 94.9 96.3 92.4 99.0 97 .9 93.9 91.3 98.5 96.2 94.1 96.8 97.3 98.9 89 .4 97.5 96.1 95.0 95.8 92.8 99.0 97.5 94.0 92.6 98.6 96.0 94.1 95.9 98.2 99.1 89.7 97.9 94.2 96.0 94.0 93.6 99.2 96.9 94.4 93.7 98.0 95.2 94.8 95.8 97.8 97.4 89.1 99.5 93.8 96.0 94.6 94.3 99.0 96.4 93.7 94.3 97.8 95.5 95.2 96.2 97.7 95.8 90 .0 99.1 93.7 96.3 93.8 94.4 98.8 95.9 93.9 95.6 97.4 94.9 95.2 96.3 98.1 94.6 92.2 96 .8 94.9 98.5 93.3 95.3 99.0 95.4 93.0 96.4 97.5 94.7 94.6 96.7 98.8 94 .9 92.2 96.0 93.9 96.9 93.9 96.5 98.3 95.7 93.0 96.3 97.0 94.4 95.4 96.4 98 .9 93.3 93.4 96.1 94 .2 96.4 92.7 96.9 98.1 95.7 92.4 97.4 96.8 93.6 96.2 96.8 98.7 93.4 94.0 97.8 94.5 96.8 92.7 96.9 98.0 95.3 91.8 96.6 97.6 93.5 95.8 97 .0 99.3 100.2 90.3 95.2 96.7 95.5 96.8 92.2 99.2 97.6 94.8 91.2 98 .2 96.5 93.4 96.2 97.0 99.5 89.4 97.5 95.0 95.3 95.4 92.9 99.1 97.4 94.1 92.5 98.4 95.8 94.3 96.2 97.8 95.9 90.4 98.5 94.1 96.9 93.9 94.7 98.9 95.9 93.5 95.4 97.6 95.0 95.0 96.4 98.2 93.9 93.2 96.6 94.2 96.7 93.1 96.8 98.1 95.6 92.4 96.8 97.1 93.8 95.8 96.7 99.0 97.4 90.8 97.0 95.0 96.1 94.8 94.1 98.8 96.6 93.7 94.0 97.8 95.3 94.6 96.4 98.0 99.1 100.2 101.9 97.3 101.8 107.9 104.5 104.6 109.8 112.1 107.3 98.8 106.4 110.9 115.4 113.9 99.5 99.9 101.7 96.9 103.9 108.3 104.6 104.5 109.6 112.6 107.7 98.2 106.0 111.2 115.9 113.9 98.9 100.2 102.0 97.7 105.3 107.2 103.7 106.2 110.1 112.2 107.9 98.2 106.7 112.0 115 .0 115.5 99.0 99.6 101.0 98.1 103.1 108.3 103.7 106.1 110.6 111.2 107.6 100.3 106.0 111.7 114 .9 113.6 100.1 99.8 100.3 99.0 102.1 107.2 103.7 107.3 110.8 111.6 107.1 101.3 105.7 112.5 115.0 113.3 99.6 100.3 99.3 100.3 102.8 106.9 103.2 108.3 110.5 111.8 106.1 103.1 107.7 113 .3 116.1 113.9 99.4 100.4 99.1 100.4 104 .5 106.4 103.0 107.9 111.4 110.8 106 .6 104.1 107.8 112.4 115.5 99 .4 100.2 98.0 101.7 105.2 106;6 102 .9 108.2 110.9 110.6 105.1 104.3 107.8 114 .8 115.4 100.0 100.4 97.3 101.6 105.6 106.4 103.3 108.3 112.6 109.5 103.6 104 .1 109.4 114.6 116.0 100.0 100.6 96.8 101.6 107.5 106.2 103.5 108.6 112.5 108.8 101.3 103.9 109.8 115.0 117.2 100.1 101.1 95.9 102.5 106.1 105.2 104.1 109.3 112.0 109.2 100.3 104.2 110.3 115.7 116 . 1 100.0 101.5 96.1 102.7 107.2 105.1 105.6 109.9 112.9 107.4 101.7 104 .8 110.2 116.6 115.7 99.2 100.1 101.9 97.3 103.7 107.8 104.3 105.1 109.8 112.3 107.6 98.4 106.4 111.4 115.4 114.4 99.6 99.9 100.2 99.1 102.7 107.5 103.5 107.2 110.6 111.5 106.9 101.6 106.5 112.5 115. 3 113.6 99.6 100.3 98.1 101.2 105.1 106.5 103.1 108.1 111.6 110.3 105.1 104.2 108.3 113.9 115.6 100.0 101.1 96.3 102.3 106.9 105.5 104.4 109.3 99.6 100.4 99.1 100.0 104.6 106.8 103,8 107.4 111.1 110.6 105.2 102.1 107.8 113.4 115.7 92.9 88.5 93.0 102.4 93.0 97.3 89.7 98.0 97.4 94.6 91.2 99.0 94.8 93.6 98.6 98.2 93.1 86.5 96.6 98.5 94.1 95.9 91.9 99.0 96.2 93.7 92.2 99.3 93.1 96.7 95.9 98.9 93.6 90.2 102.4 94.6 95.1 92.9 92.5 99.9 96.2 94.1 95.6 97.6 94.4 97.5 96.7 97.5 90.2 92.8 100.6 93.4 95.3 88.6 95.5 99.0 96.5 91.1 97.6 97.4 93.9 97.8 97.4 98.2 99.1 101.9 104.2 100.2 101.5 102.9 100.3 101.0 102.0 108.1 110.3 93.1 101.1 103.0 105.7 108.2 100.0 101.5 104.2 98.6 100.5 103.5 100.9 100.4 102.4 108.8 107.5 94.5 103.7 104.5 107.0 107.2 101.0 101.1 103.0 100.1 100.3 103.7 99.4 99.3 103.8 108.7 103.6 98.6 103.9 103.4 105.6 101.7 101.5 101.5 101.0 102.5 102.5 98.7 100.7 106.2 109.9 98.1 100.3 102.9 104.1 106.3 COMPOSITE I N D E X OF I N V E N T O R Y I N V E S T M E N T AND P U R C H A S I N G (1967=100 92 .9 88.5 93.1 102.3 92.6 97.4 89.8 97.6 97.4 94.8 91.1 99.3 94.8 93.4 98.9 98.3 92 .4 88.0 93.8 102.2 93.4 97.6 90.2 99.3 97.1 93.7 91.2 99.8 93.4 94.4 98.5 98.9 92.6 87.2 95.0 100.1 93.9 96 .9 90.9 99.6 97.0 93.2 91.3 100.2 92.8 95.9 96.5 99.4 92.9 86.4 96.9 98.3 93.3 95.6 91.9 98.9 96.1 93.6 92.2 99.3 93.0 96.8 95.8 99.1 93.7 85.9 97.8 97 .0 95.2 95.3 92.8 98 .5 95.4 94.3 93.2 98.3 93.6 97.3 95.4 98.1 94.2 87.4 101.6 95.8 95.4 95.0 92.5 99.4 95.8 94.7 94.5 97.5 94.2 97.0 96.2 97.4 93.8 90.5 103.6 94.2 94.8 93.1 92.1 100.1 96.2 94.3 95.6 97.2 94.4 97.6 96.7 97.3 92.7 92.6 102.0 93.7 95.0 90.7 92 .8 100.2 96.7 93.4 96.8 98.0 94.7 97.8 97.2 97.7 91.4 93.2 101.7 94.4 94.8 88.9 94.3 99.7 97.1 92.3 97.3 97.9 94.2 97.8 97.6 98.1 90.2 93.3 100.4 93.1 95.2 88 .4 95.8 99.1 96.6 90.8 98.1 97.1 93.9 97.7 97.5 98.4 89.0 91.8 99 .8 92.8 95.9 88.6 96.5 98.2 95.9 90.1 97.4 97.2 93.6 98.0 97.2 98.2 99.2 102.1 102.9 100.6 101.7 103.1 100.5 100.3 101.6 107.3 110.6 94.3 100.2 102.3 104.8 107.4 98.9 102.2 104.3 100.6 101.8 102.8 100.4 101.2 102.0 108.2 110.5 92.9 101.1 102.7 105.9 108.3 99.3 101.5 105.4 99.3 101.1 102.8 99.9 101.5 102.5 108.9 109.8 92.1 102.0 104.1 106.3 108.8 100.0 101.6 105.0 98.9 100.4 103.4 100.1 101.1 102.2 108.7 109.0 93.2 102.9 105.0 106.9 107.8 100.2 101.6 104.1 98.3 100.5 103.5 101.4 100.5 102.3 108.9 107.6 94.5 103.8 104.7 107.2 107.3 99.8 101.3 103.6 98.7 100.5 103.7 101.2 99.6 102.7 108.9 105.8 95.9 104.5 103.8 106.9 106.6 100.4 101.3 103.5 99.4 100.5 103.7 99.6 99.2 102.9 108.9 104.7 97.3 104.3 103.0 105.2 100.6 101.3 103.3 100.5 99.8 103.7 99.2 99.1 103.8 108.6 104.1 98.4 104.2 103.3 105.8 102.1 100.8 102.2 100.5 100.6 103.8 99.4 99.5 104.8 108.5 102.0 100.0 103.2 103.8 105.8 101.6 100.7 101.8 100.5 101.8 103.5 98.5 100.4 105.9 109.0 100.2 100.8 102.3 104.3 106.1 101.7 101.4 101.6 100.8 103.0 102.3 98.3 100.7 106.2 110.3 98.1 100.4 103.2 103.8 106.2 101.9 102.3 101.2 101.7 102.8 101.7 99.3 101.1 106.6 110.5 95.9 99.6 103.3 104.3 106.7 NOTE: These series contain no revisions but are reprinted for the convenience of the user 112.5 108.5 101.1 104.3 110.1 115.8 116.3 AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 93.3 88.9 92.1 102.6 92.9 97.0 89.0 97.0 97.7 95.4 91.2 97.8 96.2 93.1 98.5 97.4 1980. .. 102 IV Q 101.5 90.9 94.2 97.8 94 .6 97.0 92.6 98.3 97.7 94.7 91.9 97.3 97.2 93.0 95.6 96.7 915. 1948. 1949. 1950. 1951. 1952. 1953. 1954. III Q 92.4 89.5 98.2 97.2 94.4 93.7 92.4 99.0 96.6 93.4 94.2 98.3 94.1 96.4 97.2 98.2 100.5 101.5 103.2 100.0 101.2 103.2 99.8 100.4 103.6 108.9 104.9 96.6 102.9 103.8 106.2 (SEPTEMBER 1980) C. Historical Data for Selected Series—Continued Monthly Year Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 916. 1948. . . 1949. . . 1950. . . 1951.. . 1952. . . 1953.. . 1954.. . 1955.. . 1956. . . 1957... 1958. . . 1959. . . 1960. . . 1961. . . 1962 . . . 1963.. . 1964... 1965. . . 1966. . . 1967... 1968. . . 1969... 1970. . . 1971. . . 1972.. . 1973. 1974. 1975. 1976. . . . . . . .. 1977... 1978. . . 1979. . . 1980. . . 1949... 1950. .. 1951. . . 1952. . . 1953.. . 1954... 1955. 1956. 1957. 1958. 1959. .. .. . . . . . . 1960... 1961.. . 1962. .. 1963.. . 1964. . . 1965. . . 1966. . . 1967. . . 1968. . . 1969. . . 1970... 1971. . . 1972. . . 1973... 1974. . . 1975... 1976. .. 1977... 1978. . . 1979. . . 1980. . . 69.1 70.8 71.0 73.3 75.4 74.7 71.4 82.7 82.3 81.0 75.0 85.8 85.7 82.0 90.0 90.0 69.7 70.7 71.6 73.5 75.1 74.4 72.0 82.9 82.7 80.9 75.7 86.8 84.8 83.2 89 . 7 90.4 71.0 70.5 72.4 73.9 74.7 73.5 72.8 83.6 82.5 80.9 76.1 87.7 84.2 84.3 89.0 91.4 72.0 70.2 73.3 74.2 74.3 73.2 73.6 83.8 81.7 81.1 76.9 88.6 83.4 85.2 87.7 92.1 72.1 70.2 74.2 74.7 74.3 72.6 74.1 84.4 81.5 81.2 77.7 87.4 83.6 85.3 86.4 92.4 95.1 99.0 103.0 99.1 100.1 99.0 89.6 90.7 95.2 98.5 89.0 80.1 94.6 94.5 90.9 93.2 95.8 100.2 102.7 99.1 98 .9 98.6 88.4 92.1 95.9 97.2 87.2 82.3 96.3 94.4 89.4 92.2 96.2 100.3 101.8 99.3 99.1 97.9 88.9 92.6 96.4 96.2 86.9 84.4 95.8 94.9 90.4 92.2 96.5 100.6 102.0 99.5 100.6 97.8 88.8 93.2 96.7 95.0 85.4 86.2 95.4 95.1 92.1 92.3 96.7 100.9 100.9 99.7 101.4 97.9 87.5 93.2 96.7 93.8 84.1 88.5 94.8 95.6 93.8 91.7 96 .8 100.5 100.4 99.6 101.6 96.6 87.5 93.2 97 .0 93.2 82.7 90.4 94.8 96.3 94.1 91.8 . . .. . . .. .. 1953.. . 1954. . . 1955. . . 1956. . . 1957.. . 1958. . . 1959. .. 1960. . . 1961.. . 1962. .. 1963. . . 1964. . . 1965. . . 1966... 1967... 1968. 1969. 1970. 1971. 1972. 1973. 1974. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1975.. . 1976. . . 1977... 1978.. . 1979. . . Aug. Sept. 71.4 71.4 74.0 75.6 74.3 72.6 74.8 85.1 81.9 81.4 78.6 86.8 83.0 85 .6 87 . 1 92.5 Nov. Dec. IQ 97.5 100.8 100.1 100.0 101.3 95.4 87 .6 93.4 97.1 93.2 80.2 91.9 95.0 97.0 94.2 II Q III Q Annual IV Q AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 71.3 82.3 82.7 81.1 75.6 86.0 85.5 82.3 71.7 70.3 73.3 74.3 74 .4 73.1 73.5 83.9 81.9 81.1 76.9 87 .9 83.7 84.9 71.1 71.8 75.0 76.5 74.2 71.9 75.5 85.1 81.6 80.6 79.7 85.8 82.7 86.3, 72.1 70.3 76.0 76.6 74.9 69.4 78.6 84.5 81.0 77.7 83.6 85.2 81.3 88.5 71.0 70.9 73.9 75.3 74.8 72.3 74.7 83.9 81.8 80.1 78.9 86.2 83.3 85.5 90.2 92.0 93.1 93.6 92.2 95.7 99.8 102.5 99.2 99.4 98.5 89.0 91.8 95.8 97.3 87.7 82.3 95.6 94.6 90.2 92.5 96.7 100.7 101.1 99.6 101.2 97.4 87.9 93.2 96.8 94.0 84.1 88.4 95.0 95.7 93.3 91.9 97.4 101.5 99 .1 100.4 100.9 94.7 88.0 93.5 97.7 92.9 78.2 91.9 94.9 96.8 95.0 97.2 103.0 99.1 100.8 100.1 91.8 88.4 93.6 99.0 92.0 77 .8 91.8 93.9 93.9 94.2 96.7 101.2 100.5 100.0 100 .4 95.6 88.3 93.0 97.3 94.1 81.9 88.6 94.8 95.2 93.2 71.2 71.6 75.8 77.0 74.2 70.7 76.3 85.2 81.2 79.7 80.9 85.0 82.1 86.9 72.2 70.8 76.4 76.9 74.4 69.8 77.3 84.3 81.0 78.5 82.4 84.9 81.3 87.6 72.3 69.9 76.5 76.5 75.1 68.8 78.5 84.9 80.8 77.7 83.8 84.9 81.2 88.7 93. *2 93.5 93.4 93!3 71.8 70 .3 75.2 76.4 75.3 69.6 80.1 84.2 81.2 76.8 84.6 85.7 81.3 89.3 89 9 94. 'l 97.3 102.2 98.5 100.8 100.7 93.8 88.3 93.7 98.0 92.9 76.7 91.6 94.8 96.1 95.4 97.1 102.8 98.7 101.0 100.4 92.9 88.2 93.5 98.4 93.5 77.3 91.7 93 .9 94.9 94.9 96 .9 103.2 99.6 100.8 100 .1 91.9 87.7 92.9 99.6 92.5 78.0 91.3 93.5 94.0 94.1 97.6 103.0 99.1 100.7 99.9 90.5 89.4 94.3 99.1 90.1 78.2 92.3 94.3 92.7 93.5 54.4 56 .1 56.0 56.5 59.6 57.4 62.9 67.6 64.4 63.0 68.1 68.5 68 .7 73.3 76.9 82.8 54.5 56.0 55.9 57.6 54.6 62.2 69.4 67.3 68.5 74.3 76.9 83.3 54.6 56.7 55.4 57.4 60.0 57.0 63.6 67.1 64.7 62.1 69.9 67 .6 68.2 74.7 77.9 83.0 57.7 53.5 58.6 60.0 58.0 64.5 66.2 65.3 62.5 71.0 68.7 68.7 75.6 80.0 54.4 55.8 59.1 53 .5 58.2 60.3 59.0 65.7 64.5 64.9 64.1 71.8 67.4 71.0 76.6 81.7 53.9 56.2 57.5 55.9 58.6 58.9 61.4 67.5 64.0 63.8 65.7 71.4 68.0 72.8 77.0 82.2 54.5 56.3 55.8 57.0 59.9 57.0 63.3 67.4 64.6 62.4 69.1 67.8 68.5 74.1 77.2 83 .0 55.1 55.7 57.5 55.0 58.8 59.1 60 .4 66 .3 64 .8 64.1 65.4 70.5 68.1 71.6 76.6 81.7 87 .9 94.2 90 .9 103 .7 109.3 103.5 107.8 120.2 133.5 133.4 123.9 126.8 137.9 148.8 150 .6 88 .5 94.7 90 .4 103.9 110.2 103 .7 108.0 119.8 134.8 132.8 122.0 128.4 139.3 148.8 151.1 88.8 95.2 91.8 103.5 111.1 102.8 109.2 121.0 137.0 133.4 119.6 129.3 140.4 148.5 150.2 83.7 89.8 95.5 95.2 103.3 110.3 102.0 114.0 125.3 138.4 134.6 118.5 131.6 142.2 148.0 146.2 85.2 90.9 96.2 98.7 104.8 108.0 103.1 118.4 127.4 136.4 132.7 120.7 133.7 142.7 147.9 147.1 86.7 93.1 92.6 102.4 107.4 103.5 104.9 120.9 130.4 135.3 127.8 126.8 135.9 146.6 149.3 88.4 94.7 91.0 103.7 110.2 103.3 108.3 120.3 135.1 133.2 121.8 128.2 139.2 148.7 150.6 86.0 92.1 93.8 100.0 106.4 106.3 104.6 118.4 129.6 135.8 129.2 123.5 135.1 145.1 149.0 97.4 101.5 98.8 100.4 100.8 94.8 88.0 93.3 97 .9 92.7 77.6 92.3 94.8 97.2 95.4 69.1 71.0 71.1 73.8 75.6 74.7 COMPOSITE I N D E X OF MONEY AND F I N A N C I A L FLOWS 2 (1967=100) AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 57.5 54.5 57.7 53.1 58.7 59.9 58.0 64.7 66.2 65.3 62.6 71.0 69.0 68.7 75.5 80.1 57.9 54.8 58.0 52.8 58.9 60.2 58.4 64.7 65.9 65 .6 63.0 71.1 68.8 69.3 76.0 80.5 55.5 55.3 58.9 52.8 58.4 60.5 58.5 64.9 65.3 65.4 63.6 71.5 68.2 70.1 76.6 81.2 54.1 56.0 59.2 53.4 58.1 60.5 59.0 65.6 64.2 65.1 64.1 72.0 67.2 70.9 76.6 81.8 53.7 56.0 59.1 54.3 58.0 59.9 59.6 66.6 64.0 64.2 64.6 72.0 66.8 71.9 76.7 82.1 53.4 56.6 58.4 55.3 58.0 59.4 60.6 67.5 63.9 63.9 64 .9 72.2 67.3 72.6 76.9 82.1 53.8 56.3 57.6 56.1 58.5 59.0 61.5 67.6 63.9 63.9 65.5 71.6 68.0 73.0 77.1 82.1 54/4 55.8 56 .6 56.4 59.3 58.3 62.0 67.4 64.3 63.5 66.8 70 .3 68 .7 72.8 77.1 82.5 83.2 89.1 95.7 93.1 103.0 111.1 102.3 111.4 123.3 138.8 134.6 118.4 130.7 141.2 148.5 148.6 83.7 90.0 95.4 95.5 103.2 110.5 101.5 114.3 125.7 138.7 134.9 117.9 132.0 142.2 148.0 145.6 84.1 90.4 95.5 97.0 103.7 109.4 102.1 116.4 127.0 137.7 134.2 119.1 132 .0 143.3 147.4 144.5 84.6 90.5 96.2 97.5 104.2 108.8 103.1 117.5 127.2 136.4 133.7 118.9 133.0 143.3 147.5 146.1 85.3 90.6 96.7 98.6 104.8 108.4 103.3 118.3 127.1 136.2 132.7 119.6 133.7 142.2 147.8 146.9 85.8 91.5 95.8 100.0 105.5 106.8 103.0 119.5 128.0 136.7 131.7 123.5 134.5 142.5 148.5 148.4 86.3 92.5 94.1 101.6 106.2 104.6 103.1 120.7 129.1 136.8 130.2 125.8 135.4 144 .8 148.9 86.6 93.2 92.1 102.5 107.5 103.0 104.9 121.3 130.3 134.9 127.9 127.5 135.9 146.9 149.1 87.1 93.5 91.6 103.0 108.5 103.0 106.7 120.6 131.9 134.2 125.4 127.1 136.5 148.2 149.9 RATIO, COINCIDENT COMPOSITE INDEX TO L A G G I N G COMPOSITE (1967=100) 57. 60. 56. 63. 67. 64. INDEX2 AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 93.0 92.7 98.1 90.8 96 .0 98.9 99.1 105.5 99.2 115.0 98.5 96.8 94.4 94.7 101.1 94 .9 92.1 94.5 93.7 90.5 97.0 98.8 99.1 104.9 101.1 110.9 97.6 99.0 92.7 96.0 101.1 95.3 90.6 95.0 92.2 90.7 96.7 98.4 99.4 106 .4 95.6 109.4 97.8 99.8 92.5 96.9 101.0 96.1 90.8 95.6 90.9 90.7 98.1 98.2 99.4 103 .8 98.7 106.3 97.8 99.8 91.3 98.2 100.6 95.0 88.8 98.1 91.8 89.4 100.0 98.2 98.0 103.5 100.2 108.3 96.8 99.2 90.0 99.4 101.3 95.8 87.2 96.9 96.0 87.8 100.3 97.8 98.4 108.4 99.6 102.8 105 .4 96.8 98.5 90.2 101.0 99.6 95.3 86.4 99.5 95.3 89.0 99.5 98.3 107.5 98 .0 108.2 101.7 95.5 96.4 91.8 103.7 96.4 93.4 87.8 100.9 92.2 93.2 99.4 99.7 105.6 99.2 113.2 98.3 96.1 94.2 94.6 101.9 93.6 91.9 94.1 94.7 90.7 96.6 98.7 99.2 104.6 98.2 108.0 97.5 99.6 91.3 98.2 101.0 95.6 88 .9 96.9 92.9 89.3 99.5 98.1 98.6 106.5 98.7 108.0 100.7 97.0 95.1 93.7 101.9 96.3 92.4 91.3 97.0 91.9 94.6 98.9 99.0 101.4 102.8 100.8 99.3 102.3 96.9 94.5 102.1 109.9 102.7 89.2 93.8 103.0 105.2 97.9 101.0 102.3 100.1 100.5 101.9 96.9 93.9 100.8 111.0 99.8 88.4 95.3 103.6 104.3 97.9 100.6 103.2 100.2 100.4 102.0 96.5 94.3 101.6 110.5 98.7 87.6 96.2 102.6 103.8 96.6 99.3 103.6 100.5 100.8 102.8 96.2 93.2 102 .4 111.4 99.5 86.8 96.1 102.8 103.4 96.6 101.8 103.7 99.3 102.0 102.8 95.5 93.5 103.9 112.0 99.8 85.4 98.2 104.5 102.7 94.5 102.5 103.7 99.1 102.2 101.6 95.1 96.6 105.1 112.4 98.1 82.9 99.0 106.0 103.0 93.8 99.2 101.9 103.4 99.1 102.1 100.5 93.6 100.2 109.1 110.2 96.3 83.5 102.0 105.7 99.7 92.0 100.3 101.7 101.8 99.3 101.6 98.1 94.8 102.7 109.8 105.9 91.7 90.0 103.4 105.8 99.8 89.1 101.0 102.8 100.4 100.1 102.1 96.8 94.2 101.5 110.5 100.4 88 .4 95.1 103.1 104.4 97.5 101.2 103.7 99.6 101.7 102.4 95.6 94.4 103.8 111.9 99.1 85.0 97.8 104.4 103.0 95.0 100.4 102,5 101.3 100.0 102.0 97.7 94.3 102.1 110.3 103.9 90.4 91.6 103.2 104.8 98.0 108.9 100.6 101.7 107.1 96.0 98.6 89.6 100.3 100.4 94.6 86.9 98.7 97.2 88.6 98.6 97.9 108.0 99.4 101.5 105.1 97.5 98.3 90.4 100.8 99.9 95.8 86.5 99.4 95.2 88.5 99.9 98.4 108.4 98.8 105.1 104.0 96.9 98.5 90.6 101.9 98.4 95.4 85.7 100.4 93.4 89.9 99.9 98.7 107.0 98.6 106.8 103.2 96.9 96 .9 90.8 103.7 97.9 93.8 85.4 101.2 93.5 91.5 99.9 99 .6 107.4 97.6 107.9 101.6 95.9 96.4 91.6 104.3 95.9 93.3 87.7 101.3 92.1 93.0 99.6 99.7 108.2 97.7 110.0 100.2 93.8 96 .0 92.9 103.1 95.3 93.1 90.4 100.3 91.0 95.2 98.7 99.7 106.4 97.3 113. 99.1 101.9 103.8 99.4 102.0 100.6 93.5 99.6 108.0 110.9 96.1 82.1 100.7 105.1 99.9 92.0 99.4 101.9 103.2 99.1 102.0 100.6 93.4 99.9 109.2 110.4 96.4 83.7 102.2 105.5 99.3 91.4 . 99.0 101.9 103.2 98.7 102.4 100.2 93.9 101.1 99.8 101.5 102.2 99.5 101.9 99.1 95.2 102.3 110.2 107.1 93.4 87.3 103.9 106.3 101.1 89.1 100.6 101.5 101.7 99.2 101.3 98.4 95.0 102.4 110.0 106.2 91.1 89.4 103.5 106.1 99.6 89.6 100.4 102.0 101.6 99.1 101.6 96.9 94.2 103.5 109.1 104.5 90.5 93.3 102.9 105.0 98.7 88.6 110.0 109.3 96.5 84.8 103.1 106.6 99.8 92.6 Oct. 70.7 72.5 75.3 76.8 74.0 72.4 75.4 84 .9 81.7 80.7 79.6 85.6 82.9 86.4 57.3 54.4 57.4 54.7 58.1 59.9 57.5 64.1 66.6 65.0 61.8 70.8 68.3 68.1 75.3 79.3 940. 1948. 1949. 1950. 1951. 1952. July COMPOSITE I N D E X OF PROFITABILITY 1 (1967=100) 68.6 71.6 70.6 74.5 76.2 75.1 70.5 81.3 83.1 81.3 76.0 85.5 85.9 81.7 89.3 90.1 917. 1948. . . June May Quarterly 98. 92. 95. 93. 103. 90. 1980.. . 'This series contains revisions beginning with 1978. 2 This series contains no revisions but is reprinted for the convenience of the user (SEPTEMBER 1980) 1f)3 C. Historical Data for Selected Series—Continued Quarterly Monthly Year Jan. 961. 1948. . . 1949. . . 1950. .. 1951... 1952... 1953. .. 1954. .. 1955. .. 1956. . . 1957... 1958. . . 1959. .. 1960. . . 1961. . . 1962. .. 1963. . . 1964. . . 1965. . . 1966. . . 1967.. . 1968. . . 1969. . . 1970. . . 1971. . . 1972. . . 1973. . . 1974. . . 1975.. . 1976... 1977. .. 1978. . . 1979. . . 1980... 963. May 37.5 52.5 62.5 42.5 42 .5 42.5 75.0 82.5 30.0 77.5 17.5 62.5 12.5 57.5 60.0 42.5 57.5 27.5 65.0 72.5 37.5 85.0 27.5 82.5 25.0 22.5 62.5 72.5 32.5 57.5 77.5 55.0 42.5 12.5 80.0 77.5 25.0 45.0 30.0 42.5 70.0 47.5 40.0 75.0 37.5 80.0 77.5 20.0 47.5 57.5 62.5 22 .5 80.0 27.5 67.5 92.5 0. 90.0 52.5 82.5 45.0 75.0 40.0 47.5 15.0 87.5 32 .5 72.5 57.5 50.0 37.5 30.0 32.5 37.5 90.0 67.5 77.5 17.5 40.0 57.5 17.5 27.5 20.0 45.0 90.0 55.0 10.0 70.0 25.0 80.0 85.0 35.0 85.0 65.0 30.0 90.0 52.5 35.0 75.0 12.5 27.5 90.0 50.0 90.0 25.0 2.5 1964. . . 1965. . . 1966. . . 1967. .. 1968. . . 1969. . . 1970. . . 1971. . . 1972. . . 1973. . . 1974. . . 1975... 1976. . . 1977.. . 1978. . . 1979.. . 1980. .. Apr. 30.0 32.5 90.0 57.5 75.0 17.5 22.5 92.5 35.0 35.0 27.5 92.5 45.0 92.5 25.0 82.5 52.5 1948. . . 1949. . . 1950. . . 1951. . . 1952. .. 1953. .. 1954. . . 1955... 1956. . . 1957. . . 1958. . . 1959... 1960. .. 1961... 1962. . . 1963... Mar. June July Aug. Sept. Nov. Oct. Dec. IQ DIFFUSION INDEX OF AVERAGE WORKWEEK OF PRODUCTION WORKERS, MANUFACTURING- -20 INDUSTRIES (PERCENT RISING OVER 1-MONTH SPANS) 60.0 57.5 72.5 15.0 52.5 35.0 75.0 50.0 42.5 27.5 27.5 100.0 10.0 961. Feb. 5.0 90.0 17.5 17.5 22.5 72.5 92.5 42.5 10.0 17.5 97.5 75.0 37.5 0. 5.0 10.0 65.0 70 .0 80.0 45.0 25.0 85.0 5.0 92.5 40.0 52.5 87.5 37.5 50.0 17.5 77.5 37.5 30.0 45.0 92.5 32.5 22.5 97.5 35.0 67.5 37.5 70.0 82.5 25.0 22.5 37.5 65.0 25.0 75.0 45.0 82.5 42.5 42.5 60.0 42.5 62.5 70.0 45.0 77.5 22.5 87.5 35.0 55.0 62.5 22.5 42.5 80.0 32 .5 25.0 70.0 40.0 35.0 12.5 82.5 30.0 75.0 87.5 40.0 30.0 40.0 55.0 60.0 40.0 60.0 52.5 80.0 32.5 40.0 80.0 15.0 80.0 62.5 32.5 62.5 55.0 20.0 72.5 35.0 32.5 82.5 55.0 30.0 57.5 30.0 75.0 70.0 22.5 47.5 75.0 70.0 42.5 62.5 62.5 55.0 52.5 20.0 27.5 62.5 32 .5 50.0 87.5 20.0 62.5 45.0 45.0 5.0 87.5 40.0 50.0 72.5 2.5 100.0 27.5 20.0 10.0 90.0 22.5 42.5 85.0 57.5 72.5 87.5 85.0 10.0 65.0 45.0 5.0 65.0 85.0 57.5 20.0 0. 82.5 82.5 77.5 15.0 60.0 15.0 92.5 42.5 40.0 25.0 52.5 100.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 95.0 30.0 87.5 82.5 35.0 65.0 77.5 85.0 12.5 70.0 22.5 10.0 87.5 90.0 37.5 10.0 15.0 60.0 90.0 65.0 10.0 32.5 12.5 100.0 15.0 45.0 15.0 35.0 85.0 45.0 15.0 100 .0 25.0 55.0 7.5 7.5 47.5 95.0 20.0 77.5 5.0 17.5 42.5 90.0 27.5 75.0 67.5 95.0 22.5 67.5 95.0 22.5 95.0 30.0 70.0 42.5 85.0 12.5 12.5 92.5 72.5 10.0 90.0 70.0 82.5 72.5 85.0 55.0 12.5 65.0 22.5 17.5 80.0 90.0 45.0 10.0 22.5 75.0 80.0 40.0 15.0 90.0 77.5 52.5 25.0 40 .0 40.0 12.5 77.5 92.5 35.0 50.0 27.5 42.5 35.0 77.5 42.5 15.0 45.0 80.0 77.5 0. 40.0 85.0 5.0 2.5 60.0 57.5 82.5 52.5 17.5 2.5 67.5 25.0 82.5 70.0 30.0 17.5 45.0 90.0 20.0 72.5 15.0 57.5 90.0 15.0 5.0 90.0 42.5 10.0 97.5 50.0 80.0 87.5 52.5 32.5 27.5 87.5 25.0 10.0 65.0 77.5 67.5 15.0 65.0 12.5 90.0 95.0 17.5 12.5 50.0 95.0 27.5 75.0 7.5 72.5 90.0 12.5 0. 100.0 42.5 10.0 95.0 47.5 67.5 72.5 62.5 10.0 72.5 32 .5 62.5 15.0 75.0 75.0 42.5 0. 90.0 32.5 45.0 82.5 32.5 0. 47.5 95.0 20.0 80.0 0. 80.0 80.0 27.5 0. 95.0 45.0 7.5 87.5 25.0 60.0 95.0 70.0 15.0 65.0 55.0 20.0 15.0 77.5 50.0 27.5 5.0 95.0 45.0 67.5 47.5 25.0 34.2 49.2 49.2 55.0 52.5 47.5 70.0 55.8 47.5 23.3 58.3 55.8 36.7 57.5 32.5 52.5 39.8 48.3 65.4 49.8 55.4 38.1 54.0 63.1 41.9 37.7 60.0 55.6 35.4 64.6 46.9 57.1 87.5 72.5 22.5 37.5 45.0 70.0 60.0 77.5 20.0 32.5 15.0 90.0 55.0 40 .0 57.5 65.0 45.0 62.5 60.0 41.7 40.0 52.5 28.3 56.7 60.0 61.7 35.8 22.5 50.0 48.3 55.8 52.5 50.8 44.2 48.3 47.5 55.8 40.0 38.3 57.5 60.8 38.3 46.7 66.7 43.3 61.7 50.8 41.7 50.0 41.7 43.3 62.5 57.5 49.2 37.5 33.3 46.7 58.3 34.2 78.3 38.3 50.8 50.8 64.2 71.7 73.3 35.0 50.0 36.7 47.5 60.8 80.8 49.2 42.5 16.7 70.8 62.5 51.7 53.3 53.3 54.4 55.4 46.7 50.4 47.5 47.3 41.2 57.1 54.2 50.2 33.3 59.6 48.5 53.1 52.7 52.9 0. 87.5 75.0 25.0 87.5 2.5 90.0 55.0 30.0 7.5 95.0 17.5 25.0 95.0 22.5 80.0 55.8 10.8 93.3 32.5 45.0 37.5 30.0 95.0 14.2 17.5 22.5 91.7 26.7 68.3 78.3 62.5 23.3 35.8 95.0 21.7 68.3 41.7 17.5 72.5 67.5 57.5 77.5 20.0 17.5 42.5 82.5 77.5 17.5 27.5 47.5 52.5 82.5 62.5 10 .0 17.5 47.5 85.0 22.5 72.5 25.0 67.5 60.0 72.5 62.5 70 .0 50.0 42.5 47.5 27.5 75.0 87.5 57.5 25.0 27.5 50.0 72.5 80.0 35.0 37.5 65.0 77.5 32.5 70.0 17.5 45.0 47.5 77.5 70.0 70.0 20.0 90.0 85.0 30 .0 95.0 INDUSTRIES 92.5 35.0 35.0 67.5 27.5 50.0 5.0 80.0 80.0 35 .0 65.0 0. 92.5 42.5 52.5 10.0 97.5 12.5 10.0 92.5 17.5 62.5 82.5 90.0 15.0 32.5 85.0 22.5 42.5 77.5 27.5 20.0 35.0 100.0 50.0 10.0 22.5 90.0 85.0 97.5 7.5 72.5 22.5 7.5 32.5 77.5 70.0 27.5 0. 100.0 62.5 25.0 62.5 45.0 2.5 92.5 85.0 15.0 5.0 7.5 FOR P E R I O D 40.0 65.8 63.3 40.8 65.8 26.7 45.8 53.3 55.0 48.3 80.0 31.7 28.3 57.5 55.0 58.3 17.5 62.5 42.5 82.5 65.0 32.5 45.0 35.0 70.0 35.0 47.5 72.5 7.5 17.5 30 .0 77.5 72.5 60.0 35.0 67.5 57.5 Annual IV Q 37.5 72.5 57.5 51.7 48.3 41.7 85.8 30.0 45.0 35.8 75.8 30.0 69.2 54.2 60.0 32.5 27.5 42 .5 62.5 27.5 27.5 92.5 60.0 15.0 30.0 90.0 42.5 12.5 70.0 62.5 22.5 DIFFUSION I N D E X OF AVERAGE WORKWEEK OF PRODUCTION WORKERS, MANUFACTURING — 20 (PERCENT R I S I N G OVER 9-MONTH SPANS) 75.0 AVERAGE III Q 43.3 40.8 76.7 45.8 51.7 30.0 58.3 57.5 35.0 34.2 65 .8 59.2 46.7 74.2 45.8 57.5 52.5 57.5 62.5 20.0 65.0 82.5 72.5 72.5 57.5 5.0 37.5 52.5 90.0 85.0 5.0 57.5 7.5 II Q DIFFUSION INDEX OF NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES ON PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL PAYROLLS--172 (PERCENT RISING OVER 1-MONTH SPANS) AVERAGE 5.0 85.0 67 .5 32.5 90.0 5.0 95.0 30.0 57.5 10.0 97.5 20.0 15.0 77.5 40.0 55.0 92.5 95.0 12.5 62.5 40.0 15.0 52.5 92.5 67.5 32.5 5.0 95.0 60.0 67.5 70.0 32.5 57.5 85.0 10.0 27.5 45.0 5.0 45.0 95.0 72.5 7.5 2.5 72.5 65.0 100.0 12.5 27.5 70.0 83.3 75.0 11.7 66.7 30.0 10.8 77.5 88.3 46.7 13.3 12.5 72.5 84.2 60.8 13.3 INDUSTRIES 9.2 FOR PERIOD 10.8 62.5 91.7 25.8 83.3 3.3 3.3 84.2 74.2 30.8 80.8 2.5 46.7 86.7 10.8 13.3 83.3 70.0 14.2 94.2 50.0 77.5 81.7 85.0 18.3 95.8 40.8 17.5 83.3 33.3 59.2 96.7 16.7 16.7 88.3 26.7 65.8 75.8 52.5 42.5 29.2 68.3 35.8 12.5 62.5 83.3 60.0 83.3 74.2 13.3 56.7 57.5 35.0 24.2 76.7 50.8 30.0 13.3 95.0 42.5 40.8 50.8 49.2 78.3 92.5 10.0 54.2 35.8 6.7 64.2 31.7 85.0 72.5 21.7 1.7 92.5 42 .5 46.7 9.2 9.2 43.3 88.3 70.0 22.5 2.5 89.2 62.5 64.2 48.3 35.0 23.3 48.3 88.5 27.7 69.4 13.1 62.7 77.3 22.5 10.4 74.6 54.8 18.8 83.5 47.1 66.2 76.9 75.6 35.2 37.9 57.1 27.5 22.7 76.2 73.1 39.8 9.0 65.2 52.3 68.5 58.1 29.8 AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 1948. . . 1949. . . 1950 . . . 1951. . . 1952 . . 1953 . . . 1954 . . . 1958. . . 1959. . . 1960. . . 1961... 1962. .. 1963... 1964. .. 1965. .. 1966... 1967. . . 1968. . . 1969. .. 1970.. . 1971... 1972... 1973.. . 1974.. . 1975. . . 1976. . . 1977... 1978.. . 1979. . . 1980... NOTE: 83.0 67.5 40.8 56.9 57.5 11.0 64.4 70.9 36.2 72.5 46.4 17.3 77.3 46.3 55.1 60.8 65.9 19.2 77.6 52.1 55.1 71.6 65.9 35.8 79.8 43.9 69.5 62.9 64.4 50.3 69.6 37.4 70.1 57.2 53.0 54.4 65.0 43.3 62.6 53.3 61.4 72.3 55.5 39.3 69.5 63.2 61.7 84.0 72.1 34.0 53.9 53.6 61.7 68.6 48.2 35.0 69.5 57.2 60.5 74.2 58.3 29.1 70.4 46.1 47.6 71.1 73.6 21.2 68.6 50.0 58.4 57.2 70.4 73.1 63.8 45.3 64.5 50.9 41.6 71.5 70.1 62.2 18.3 75.0 72.4 68.6 66.9 70.1 70.4 79.3 42.2 72.7 69.5 44.8 37.5 75.6 79.7 58.4 22.1 71.8 66.9 68.6 66.3 61.7 76.3 81.4 50.3 59.6 66.0 39.0 41.0 68.9 68.3 47.7 27.3 67.7 73.5 71.8 62.2 65.9 71.6 74.9 49.1 65.1 62.2 30.8 57.6 63.4 61.0 51.2 41.6 70.6 72.4 69.8 49.7 69.2 65.3 71.6 47.4 58.7 59.3 25.6 65.7 62.8 50.0 51.5 51.5 59.3 71.2 61.9 58.1 62.3 66.8 77.8 57.8 69.2 70.1 34.6 38.4 66.0 57.6 49.7 44.8 52.3 65.1 64.2 57.8 72.8 77.8 65.9 51.5 64.2 62.2 51.2 57.3 45.9 54.4 49.4 57.3 59.6 64.0 61.0 57.0 62.3 64.1 66.5 63.7 66.3 58.7 31.4 49.1 61.6 53.5 43.0 71.8 56.7 60.5 67.7 54.4 80.8 79.0 42.5 50.9 58.7 42.2 48.0 77 .0 62.8 51.7 33.4 67.7 68.3 70.1 67.2 52.9 56.0 74.6 67.1 53.5 69.5 55.8 28.5 46.8 66.3 65.1 36.3 67.2 48.0 65.1 68.0 65.1 65.6 79.9 64.7 70.9 74.4 54.4 28.2 63.1 73.5 76.7 25.0 59.3 64.5 71.8 75.3 55.2 68.9 80.5 65.0 66.3 67.2 59.3 41.9 62.5 73.5 70.1 20.6 70.1 62.2 75.0 74.7 53.5 These series contain revisions beginning with 1975. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 104 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 61.6 44.0 63.4 56.6 35.1 75.7 44.5 64.9 63.9 61.1 70.2 64.2 38.9 62.0 56.7 61.6 71.3 60.0 28.4 69.5 51.1 55.5 68.7 43.3 60.1 58.8 58.7 63.0 72.4 77.9 52.1 59.2 66.7 44.9 40.0 72.0 72.7 56.1 22.6 71.5 70.9 69.7 65.1 65.8 67.9 74.8 51.4 64.3 63.9 30.3 53.9 64.1 56.2 50.8 46.0 60.7 69.6 65.3 55.2 72.0 73.6 58.3 55.4 63.1 54.4 43.5 61.1 56.8 53.2 41.9 65.6 61.5 64.9 65.3 54.8 63.5 78.3 65.6 63.6 70.4 56.5 32.9 57.5 71.1 70.6 27.3 65.5 58.2 70.6 72.7 57.9 66.1 73.1 69.2 55.6 64.2 60.4 37.9 53.1 66.0 63.2 44.0 49.9 63.0 69.0 68.2 58.3 74!9 (SEPTEMBER 1980) C. Historical Data for Selected Series—Continued Quarterly Monthly Year Jan. 963. 1948. . . 1949. . . 1950. .. 1951 .. 1952 . . . 1953 . . . 1954. . . 1955. . . 1956 . . . 1957. . . 1958. . . 1959. . . 1960. . . 1961. . . 1962... 1963... 1964. .. 1965... 1966. . . 1967 .. . 1968. . . 1969.. . 1970. .. 1971... 1972. .. 1973... 1974. . . 1975. .. 1976. . . 1977... 1978. . . 1979... 1980... 964. 1948. 1949. 1950. 1951. .. .. . . .. 1952... 1953... 1954... 1955.. . 1956.. . 1957. . . 1958... 1959. 1960. 1961. 1962. 1963. .. . . .. .. . . 1964. .. 1965... 1966.. . 1967. . . 1968. . . 1969... 1970. . . 1971. . . 1972. . . 1973... 1974. .. 1975... 1976. . . 1977. . . 1978. .. 1979. . . 1980. .. 964. 1948. 1949. 1950. 1951. 1952. 1953. 1954. 1955. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1956.. . 1957. . . 1958... 1959. 1960. 1961. 1962. .. .. .. .. 1963... 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967. . . 1968... 1969. . . 1970 . . . 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974. .. 1975... 1976. . . 1977. . . 1978. . . 1979... 1980... Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. IQ D I F F U S I O N INDEX OF NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES ON PRIVATE N O N A G R I C U L T U R A L PAYROLLS--172 INDUSTRIES 1 (PERCENT R I S I N G OVER 6-MONTH S P A N S ) II Q III Q IV Q Annual AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 92.1 70.2 24.2 77.5 58.4 89.9 66.9 28.2 77.2 63.8 89.3 54.6 55.8 75.4 64.4 15.4 83.4 46.6 59.0 71.3 66.8 23.9 81.3 38.3 73.7 68.0 74.3 49.4 77.3 36.5 71.6 67.4 71.3 66.4 66.0 26.7 78.1 61.1 68.6 76.4 60.4 24 .5 76.9 50.9 61.7 80.8 63.5 21.5 75.7 49.7 65.9 87.4 66.6 19.9 70.4 52.4 64.7 90.3 72.4 20.2 73.1 45.5 65.6 86.8 63.5 20.9 72.5 54.2 67.7 90.4 63.9 36.1 76.7 62.2 29.6 80.7 40.5 68.1 68.9 70.8 74.5 63.3 24.2 76.9 53.9 65.4 88.2 67.5 20.3 72.0 50.7 66.0 75.5 37.2 63.3 62.6 66.1 66.5 80.8 88.3 61.1 73.5 76.7 41.0 38.4 82.0 88.4 67.2 11.6 84.9 86.0 82.3 74.7 71.9 78.4 85.9 53.6 70.9 71.2 34.9 43.6 83.4 84.0 60.8 13 .1 86.0 85.8 82.8 71.8 74.3 81.1 85.9 52.1 75.0 73.5 28.2 44.2 86.3 76.2 54.9 19.2 78.5 84.9 79.9 64.0 78.1 80.5 81.7 48.8 77.9 77.3 30.5 49.4 79.1 70.6 52.6 30.5 75.3 80.8 74.7 60.5 74.9 82.3 79.0 52.3 73.5 77.0 20.3 50.6 74.1 63.4 46.2 49.7 70.1 80.2 75.3 53.8 80.5 85.9 74.3 51.7 75.3 70.6 22.7 61.6 72.4 58.1 42.4 57.8 73.3 77.9 74.7 51.5 78.7 86.8 77.2 59.6 78.5 67.7 24.1 55.2 75.0 62.2 37.2 68.0 63.7 74.1 73.3 58.1 82.6 87.4 74.9 66.0 78.5 59.3 24.1 56.1 78.5 71.5 31.7 70.9 67.7 76.7 77.6 55.5 82.6 89.2 71.3 67 .7 77.6 57.3 28.8 62.8 77.9 71.8 23.0 76.5 68.3 79.1 80.5 55.2 79.3 87.4 68.0 64.2 77.0 54.7 27.6 70.3 82.0 70.9 19.2 81.1 73.3 81.4 82.0 59.3 82.0 89.2 65.0 66.9 76.5 53 .5 30.5 77.6 84.9 73.8 15.4 84.6 75.3 84.6 79.1 63.1 82.0 90.7 65.0 70.9 76.7 49.7 26.7 77.6 84.9 73.0 12.2 82.8 77.3 82.0 78.2 56.4 70.9 80.1 86.7 55.6 73.1 73.8 34.7 42.1 83.9 82.9 61.0 14.6 83.1 85.6 81.7 70.2 77.8 82.9 78.3 50.9 75.6 75.0 24.5 53.9 75.2 64.0 47.1 46.0 72.9 79.6 74.9 55.3 81.3 87.8 74.5 64.4 78.2 61.4 25.7 58.0 77.1 68.5 30.6 71.8 66.6 76.6 77.1 56.3 81.1 89.1 66.0 67.3 76.7 52.6 28.3 75.2 83.9 72.6 15.6 82.8 75.3 82.7 79.8 59.6 77.8 85.0 76.4 59.6 75.9 65.7 28.3 57.3 80.0 72.0 38.6 53.8 74.5 81.1 78.4 60.3 D I F F U S I O N I N D E X OF VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS' NEW ORDERS, DURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES--35 INDUSTRIES 2 (PERCENT R I S I N G OVER 1-MONTH S P A N S ) AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 66.7 73.8 40.5 66.7 42.9 77.1 31.4 38.6 54.3 71.4 28.6 37.1 54.3 61.4 52.4 57.1 31.0 57.1 28.6 65.7 67.1 28.6 60.0 24.3 65.7 44.3 57.1 60.0 71.4 38.1 57.1 52.4 45.2 38.6 31.4 72.9 57.1 38.6 38.6 74.3 42.9 62.9 38.6 52.9 31.0 76.2 47.6 61.9 68.6 51.4 35.7 67.1 20.0 45.7 28.6 55.7 62.9 52.9 64.3 38.1 81.0 52.4 19.0 27.1 44.3 57.1 51.4 60.0 51.4 45.7 34.3 60.0 48.6 58.6 57.1 52.4 28.6 61.9 14.3 65.7 87.1 50.0 50.0 65.7 68.6 45.7 71.4 45.7 54.3 28.6 95.2 47.6 66.7 77.1 77.1 45.7 25.7 41.4 52.9 52.9 38.6 45.7 52.9 70.0 66.7 83.3 38.1 28.6 20.0 58.6 65.7 68.6 57.1 67.1 28.6 52.9 70.0 51.4 48.6 85.7 31.0 23.8 66.7 47.1 57.1 40.0 40 .0 52.9 58.6 88.6 42.9 57.1 62.9 60.0 19.0 33.3 81.0 64.3 32.9 58.6 68.6 75.7 35.7 47.1 37.1 42.9 55.7 48.6 62.9 83.3 57.1 38.1 38.1 45.7 48.6 58.6 80.0 44.3 82.9 31.4 38.6 51.4 62.9 42.9 52.4 85.7 33.3 57.1 60.0 71.4 45.7 38.6 14.3 38.6 67.1 54.3 38.6 42.9 57.1 60.3 52.4 47.6 44.6 46.7 72.4 39.0 45.7 39.1 70.5 38.6 52.4 51.0 61.9 42.1 69.9 42.9 47.6 36.7 53.8 60.0 56.2 43.3 54.3 47.6 45.2 64.8 49.1 59.1 60.3 69.8 36.5 54.0 48.1 64.3 50.5 44.8 50.5 59.5 56.7 44.8 57.6 55.7 59.5 51.6 58.7 50.8 53.2 46.2 59.5 57.6 64.8 31.4 56.2 45.2 45.3 48.6 51.5 54.3 64.7 45.6 50.6 43.9 56.1 60.1 51.2 42.7 52.3 55.0 43.5 55.8 51.8 58.7 77.1 54.3 47.1 48.6 51.4 51.4 51.4 57.1 57.1 55.7 57.1 42.9 60.0 54.3 37.1 62.9 31.4 37.1 71.4 42.9 40.0 67.1 54.3 57.1 67.1 60.0 68.6 48.6 74.3 45.7 60.0 45.7 65.7 64.3 71.4 41.4 54.3 58.6 37.1 48.6 60.0 68.6 62.9 37.1 68.6 71.4 45.7 62.9 61.4 55.7 42.9 48.6 48.6 54.3 51.4 51.4 48.6 31.4 65.7 74.3 54.3 40.0 74.3 25.7 54.3 41.4 45.7 61.4 48.6 40.0 62.9 60.0 57.1 68.6 75.7 51.4 57.1 60.0 42.9 62.9 57.1 67.1 62.9 71.4 54 .3 48.6 54.3 57.1 60.0 45.7 42 .9 48.6 51.4 60.0 57.1 51.4 71.4 62.9 47.1 40.0 58.6 48.6 48.6 48.6 48.6 54.3 57.1 80.0 62.9 48.6 48.6 42.9 40.0 45.7 60.0 71.4 54 .3 42.9 34.3 54 .3 80.0 45.7 48.6 57.1 48.6 67.1 80.0 57.1 65.7 64.3 51.4 37.1 74.3 68.6 74.3 44.3 68.6 51.4 42.9 48.6 52.9 65.7 65.7 60.0 51.4 61.4 42.9 47.1 61.4 48.6 2 .9 42.9 41.4 68.6 34.3 62.9 55.7 58.6 77.1 51.4 54.3 77.1 45.7 62.9 40.0 41.4 58.6 60.0 67.1 62.9 34.3 54.3 62.9 60.0 45.7 45.7 60.0 71.4 48.6 60.0 41.4 52.9 61.4 62.9 65.7 37.1 28.6 42.9 64.3 65.7 62.9 54.3 58.1 51.9 63.3 44.3 48.6 59.0 47.6 54.3 61.4 61.4 62.9 42.9 67.6 57.1 47.6 57.2 57.6 54.7 50.5 60.5 50.5 47.6 56.2 56.2 55.2 48.6 61.4 58.1 54.3 53.3 58.1 46.7 59.0 57.6 52.8 49.5 62.4 53.4 52.4 49.1 65.7 50.5 49.5 61.9 54.8 60.5 64.8 53 .3 55.2 70.0 45.7 56.7 47.6 47.6 41.0 55.3 58.1 56.2 32.4 53.4 61.0 61.4 61.9 50.5 57.5 58.6 53.1 52.7 52.3 51.9 49.3 53.7 60.1 54 .2 51.6 54.1 59.4 58.1 58.1 51.9 D I F F U S I O N I N D E X OF VALUE OF MANUFACTURERS' NEW ORDERS, DURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES--3 5 INDUSTRIES 2 (PERCENT R I S I N G OVER 9-MONTH S P A N S ) AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 90.5 57.1 33.3 66.7 34.3 94.3 64.3 37.1 31.4 88.6 42.9 47.1 65.7 80.0 95.2 57.1 66.7 47.6 44.3 85.7 68.6 45.7 51.4 94.3 34.3 65.7 61.4 68.6 100.0 47.6 42.9 52.4 55.7 88.6 34.3 25.7 61.4 78.6 34.3 58.6 57.1 71.4 100.0 50.0 26.2 28.6 65.7 94.3 40.0 17.1 74.3 65.7 51.4 82.9 60.0 68.6 100.0 9.5 50.0 42 .9 65.7 88.6 21.4 18.6 80.0 88.6 37.1 68.6 68.6 68.6 52.4 100.0 9.5 57.1 5.7 91.4 80.0 51.4 14.3 74.3 72.9 37.1 88.6 62.9 62.9 66.7 95.2 23.8 38.1 7.1 65.7 74.3 68.6 20 .0 84.3 48.6 31.4 80.0 62.9 45.7 57.1 95.2 9.5 52.4 8.6 94.3 71.4 64.3 17.1 68 .6 51.4 45.7 74.3 61.4 62.9 95.2 100.0 4.8 52.4 7.1 88.6 87.1 38.6 25.7 82.9 44.3 31.4 71.4 68.6 77.1 85.7 90.5 9.5 85.7 11.4 94.3 68.6 54.3 28.6 85.7 45.7 32.9 77.1 65.7 62.9 95.2 95.2 28.6 47.6 27.1 91.4 68.6 41.4 28.6 82.9 25.7 42.9 71.4 78.6 77.1 90.5 85.7 38.1 66.7 22.9 88.6 71.4 51.4 25.7 94.3 34.3 64.3 88.6 77.1 80.0 95.2 53.9 47.6 55.6 44.8 89.5 55.7 36.2 48.1 87.2 37.2 57.1 61.4 73.3 100.0 23.0 44.4 25.7 74.3 87.6 37.6 16.7 76.2 75.7 41.9 80.0 63.8 66.7 73.0 96.8 12.7 47.6 7.6 82.9 77.6 57.2 20.9 78.6 48.1 36.2 75.2 64.3 61.9 90.5 90.5 25.4 66.7 20.5 91.4 69.5 49.0 27.6 87.6 35.2 46.7 79.0 73.8 73.3 95.6 28.8 51.6 27.3 73.3 81.1 49.9 25.4 72.6 61.6 40.5 72.9 65.8 68.8 91.4 81.4 92.9 42.9 50.0 68.6 40.0 68.6 91.4 88.6 85.7 22.9 91.4 85.7 85.7 82.9 90.0 88.6 91.4 44.3 68.6 74.3 22.9 62.9 91.4 85.7 80.0 25.7 88.6 85.7 91.4 80.0 74.3 82.9 85.7 42.9 70.0 60.0 32.9 74.3 91.4 82.9 71.4 44.3 97.1 77.1 80.0 61.4 82.9 80.0 84.3 62.9 57.1 62.9 25.7 68.6 85.7 85.7 68.6 54.3 82.9 77.1 85.7 65.7 85.7 80.0 67.1 51.4 55.7 80.0 37.1 57.1 80.0 85.7 72.9 54.3 94.3 80.0 80.0 62.9 74.3 82.9 57.1 62.9 72.9 65.7 31.4 61.4 82.9 82.9 54.3 60.0 84.3 81.4 94.3 60.0 71.4 91.4 50.0 65.7 65.7 55.7 45.7 68.6 80.0 72.9 42.9 80.0 85.7 91.4 88.6 54.3 81.4 80.0 34.3 74.3 71.4 54.3 58.6 72.9 85.7 60.0 40.0 74.3 71.4 91.4 80.0 45.7 80.0 85.7 42.9 77.1 77.1 34.3 62.9 78.6 81.4 71.4 34.3 74.3 82.9 77.1 88.6 75.7 72.9 91.4 40.0 71.4 84.3 37.1 55.7 77.1 88.6 80.0 17.1 80.0 77.1 88.6 91.4 62.9 77.1 97.1 35.7 75.7 82.9 34.3 57.1 82.9 91.4 77.1 17.1 94.3 82.9 91.4 97.1 62.9 80.0 97.1 40.0 71.4 91.4 25.7 58.6 94.3 91.4 68.6 28.6 85.7 77.1 91.4 91.4 42.9 85.2 84.3 90.0 43.4 62.9 67.6 31.9 68.6 91.4 85.7 79.0 31.0 92.4 82.8 85.7 74.8 81.0 81.0 69.5 59.1 61.9 69.5 31.4 62.4 82.9 84.8 65.3 56.2 87.2 79.5 86.7 62.9 77.6 85.7 42.4 72.4 71.4 48.1 55.7 73.4 82.4 68.1 39.1 76.2 80.0 86.6 85.7 58.6 76.7 95.2 38.6 72.8 86.2 32.4 57.1 84.8 90.5 75.2 20.9 86.7 79.0 90.5 93.3 56.2 80.1 86.5 60.1 61.9 70.6 54.4 44.0 72.3 86.8 78.5 51.1 62.5 84.6 84.9 87.8 63.1 This series contains revisions beginning with 1975. 2 This series contains revisions beginning with 1977. (SEPTEMBER 1980) 105 G. Experimental Data and Analyses (Dec.) (Nov.) P T Year and quarter Unit labor cost, all persons, nonfarm business sector 1 Implicit price deflator, gross nonfarm business product 1 (Index: 1967=100) II (Nov.) P (Mar.) T 1 1 1 1 1 1 jI IN 111 1 1 1 I M:p:i ;nr IN ITT TIT TTT TTT Ratio scale 240 Components of BCD series 26- 220 (Index: 1967-100) 200 1978 180.2 184.7 187.8 191.4 IQ . . . . II Q . . . Ill Q . . IV Q . . . 190.2 192.8 195.6 199.3 Implicit price deflator, gross nonfarm business product, Q (index: 1967-100) 180 160 140 240 220 1979 I Q.... II Q . . . 195.1 200.3 204.7 208.4 Ill Q . . IV Q . . . 206.0 212.1 217.3 221.8 1980 I Q.... II Q . . . 213.7 220.5 200 Unit labor cost, all persons, nonfarm business sector, Q (index: 1967-100) 180 160 228.2 235.8 140 Ill Q . . IV Q . . . 120 Inventory-sales ratios in 1972 dollars 2 Year and month Manufacturing (Ratio) Merchant wholesalers (Ratio) —J 100 Inventory-sales ratios in 1972 dollars (ratio)— Arithmetic scale Retail trade (Ratio) 2.1 1979 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. June 1.76 1.78 1.72 1.86 1.78 1.84 1.33 1.35 1.30 1.33 1.30 1.31 1.39 1.38 1.38 1.41 1.42 1.45 July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. 1.84 1.86 1.87 1.87 1.91 1.90 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.30 1.29 1.46 1.42 1.37 1.41 1.40 1.37 .30 Manufacturing- Merchant wholesalers 1980 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. June 1.87 1.88 1.92 2.06 2.09 r2.10 July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. p2.08 (NA) 1.29 1.27 1.37 rl.31 rl.38 rl.37 pi. 32 (NA) 1.34 1.35 1.38 1.42 1.43 rl.40 r Retail trade pi. 38 (NA) 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.3 ill I I I Ml Mt Ml III ill Him I I N I II M i l l III IN 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 NOTE: The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available. Source: U . S . Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2 Source: U . S . Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 106 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.7 G. Experimental Data and Analyses—Continued Net Contributions of Individual Components to the Leading, Roughly Coincident, and Lagging Composite Indexes Basic data Series title (and unit of measure) LEADING INDICATORS 1. Average workweek, production workers, manufacturing (hours) 3. Layoff rate, manufacturing 1 (per 100 employees) 8. New orders for consumer goods and materials in 1972 dollars (billion dollars) 32. Vendor performance, companies reporting slower deliveries (percent) . . . . 12. Net business formation (index: 1967-100) 20. Contracts and orders for plant and equipment in 1972 dollars (billion dollars) 29. New building permits, private housing units (index: 1967=100) 36. Change in inventories on hand and on order in 1972 do!., smoothed 2 (ann. rate, bil. do! . ) . 92. Change in sensitive prices, smoothed 2 (percent) 19. Stock prices, 500 common stocks (index: 1941-43=10) 104. Change in total liquid assets, smoothed 2 (percent) 106. Money supply (M2) in 1972 dollars (billion dollars) 910. Composite index of 12 leading indicators 3 (index: 1967=100) ROUGHLY COINCIDENT INDICATORS 41. Employees on nonagricultural payrolls (thousands) 51. Personal income less transfers in 1972 dollars (annual rate, billion dollars). . . . 47. Industrial production, total (index- 1967=100) 57. Manufacturing and trade sales in 1972 dollars (million dollars) 920. Composite index of 4 roughly coincident indicators 3 (index: 1967=100) LAGGING INDICATORS 91. Average duration of unemployment1 (weeks) 70. Manufacturing and trade inventories, total, in 1972 dollars (billion dollars) 62. Labor cost per unit of output, manufacturing (index- 1967=100) . . . . . 109. Average prime rate charged by banks (percent) 72. Commercial and industrial loans outstanding (million dollars) 95. Ratio, consumer installment debt to personal income (percent) 930. Composite index of 6 lagging indicators 3 (index: 1967=100) May 1980 July June 1980 39.3 Net contribution to index Aug. 1980 1980 39.1 39.1 p39.6 3.5 2.9 1.7 29.03 29.07 r31.66 p31.37 32 28 32 34 p2.0 May to June 1980 June to July 1980 -0.17 0. July to Aug. 1980 0.51 0.60 1.20 -0.36 0.01 0.45 -0.06 -0.14 0.14 0.08 0.06 NA rl!7.8 114.8 el!5.3 NA -0.37 11.53 12.62 r!3.72 p!3.54 0.21 0.19 -0.04 66.6 87.1 109.9 0.79 0.40 0.34 99.8 r-6.94 r-12.15 p-14.23 r-0.11 r-0.46 rO.27 107.69 114.55 119.83 rO.64 0.66 0.61 NA -0.33 -0.13 NA -0.15 0.31 0.43 123.50 0.38 0.28 0.22 eO.76 -0.16 0.10 0.46 1.12 r799.9 r804.1 r816.2 p819 .8 0.20 0.58 0.20 r!22.8 r!24.0 r!28.6 p!31.0 0.98 3.71 1.87 90,468 r90,047 r89,865 p90,066 -0.37 -0.16 rl,005.5 rl, 0 0 5 . 1 rl,002.6 pi, 0 0 2 . 1 -0.02 -0.12 r!44.0 r!41.4 r!39.8 p!40.5 -0.50 -0.31 0.18 rl47,103 r!47,805 p!51,447 NA 0.10 0.53 NA r!37.4 r!36.1 r!35.8 p!36.1 -0.95 -0.22 0.22 -0.67 0.05 -0.77 -0.06 0.18 0.48 0.44 0.44 -7.66 -2.24 -1.05 0.15 0.53 10.5 11.7 11.6 12.6 r257.83 r257.50 p258.48 NA r!94.6 r!97.6 r200.4 p202.3 16.57 12.63 11.48 11.12 0.02 159,033 159,211 160,318 162,898 14.57 r!4.32 p!4.08 NA -0.86 -0.83 r!83.8 r!68.1 r!64.1 p!62.4 -8.54 -2.38 0.23 -0.03 NA NA -1.04 NOTE: The net contribution of an individual component is that component's share in the composite movement of the group. It is computed by dividing the standardized and weighted change for the component by the sum of the weights for the available components and dividing that result by the index standardization factor. See the March 1979 BUSINESS CONDITIONS DIGEST (pp. 106107) for weights and standardization factors. NA, not available, p, preliminary, r, revised, e, estimated. series is inverted in computing the composite index; i.e., a decrease in this series is considered an upward movement. series is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1,2,2,1) placed at the terminal month of the span. Figures in the net contribution columns are percent changes in the index. The percent change is equal (except for rounding differences) to the sum of the individual components' contributions plus the trend adjustment factor. The trend adjustment factor for the leading index is 0.099; for the coincident index, -0.164; for the lagging index, -0.170. 2 This 3 G. Experimental Data and Analyses—Continued Recession Comparisons: Current and Selected Historical Patterns I I I I I I I I I I I 11 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 11 11 I I I I I I I II I I I I I I I 913. Composite index of marginal employment adjustments Devi- Actual ations data from for reference current peaks cycle MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH REF. FROM ACTUAL AND PEAK 1/80 DATA YEAR SERIES 913 1967=100 B UL] -3 -2 -1 Percent 0 +5 • 100 915. Composite index of inventory investment and purchasing Actual data from for reference current peaks cycle D 0. 96.6 96.1 96.3 10/79 11/79 12/79 0. P 96.3 1/80 0. 0.3 -0.2 Deviations 1 2 3 4 -1.9 -6.2 -8.3 96.3 94.5 90.3 88.3 2/80 3/80 4/80 5/80 5 6 7 -7.0 -4.4 -3.3 89.6 92.1 93.1 6/80 7/80 8/80 Percent +10 • 110 • 95 -5 MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH REF. AND FROM ACTUAL PEAK 1/80 DATA YEAR -3 -2 -1 0 .6 -0.4 -0.4 • 85 -0.4 -1.1 -2.7 -4.4 -15 5 6 7 -5.4 -4.1 -3.3 -3 -2 -1 + 10 • 120 +5 • 115 mo 0 -10 +12 +18 1/80 102, 101, 99, 98.2 2/80 3/80 4/80 5/80 97.2 98.5 99.3 6/80 7/80 8/80 112.7 112.0 112.7 10/79 11/79 12/79 0. P 111.9 1/80 -1.4 -3.5 -6.6 -7.7 110.3 108.0 104 .5 103.3 2/80 3/80 4/80 5/80 5 6 7 -6.3 -4.8 -4.0 104.8 106.5 107.4 6/80 7/80 8/80 • 90 -15 917. Composite index of money and financial flows + 15 • 155 + 10 1140 • 135 SERIES 917 1967=100 5.0 2.5 0.9 • 100 143.9 140.4 138.2 • 150 +5 DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH I REF. FROM ACTUAL AND | PEAK 1/80 DATA YEAR 10/79 11/79 12/79 137.0 1/80 0.8 -1.3 -4.7 -8.3 138.1 135.2 130.5 125.6 2/80 3/80 4/80 5/80 5 -8.2 6 7 -6.3 -4.7 125.7 128.4 130.6 6/80 7/80 8/80 +24 +30 +36 For an explanation of these charts, see "How to Read Charts" on p. 107 of the July 1980 issue. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 108 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -10 TMONTHS Months from reference peaks NOTE: • 95 Percent 0.7 0.1 0.7 0. P -1-6 102.7 1 2 3 4 • 105 0 10/79 11/79 12/79 SERIES 914 1967=100 Percent. -6 • 100 103.3 102.3 102.3 MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH AND REF. FROM ACTUAL DATA YEAR PEAK 1/80 914. Composite index of capital investment commitments H05 SERIES 915 1967=100 • 90 -10 +5 -5 •130 • 125 -10 0 +6 +12 +18 +24 +30 +36 Months from reference peaks G. Experimental Data and Analyses—Continued Recession Comparisons: Current and Selected Historical Patterns—Continued 1. Average workweek, production workers, manufacturing Deviations from reference peaks Actual data for current cycle MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH REF. FROM ACTUAL AND PEAK DATA YEAR 1/80 SERIES 1 HOURS Percent -I +2 »41.0 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 • 40.5 • 40.0 -1 -0.5 -0.5 -0.2 0. P 40.1 40.1 40.2 New orders for consumer goods and materials, 1972 dollars, smoothed' Li D 039.5 40.3 1/80 1 2 3 4 -0.5 -1.2 -1.2 -2.5 40.1 39.8 39.8 39.3 2/80 3/80 4/80 5/80 5 6 1 -3.0 -3.0 -1.7 39.1 39.1 39.6 6/80 7/80 8/80 Percent + 20 +15 • 40 +10 MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH AND FROM ACTUAL REF. DATA YEAR PEAK 1/80 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 -3 • 39.0 -4 Actual data for current cycle 10/79 11/79 12/79 +5 0 SERIES 81 BIL. DOL -2 Deviations from reference peaks 0.6 -0.4 -2.0 -1.6 0. P 35.66 35.29 34.71 34.88 9/79 10/79 11/79 12/79 35.43 1/80 1 2 3 4 -0.6 -6.0 -12.6 -16.8 35.21 33.29 30.97 29.48 2/80 3/80 4/80 5/80 5 6 -15.6 -13.4 29.92 30.70 6/80 7/80 >38.5 • 35 -5 -10 -15 • 30 -20 -25 20. Contracts and orders for plant and equipment, 1972 dollars, smoothed 1 'Eul MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH REF. FROM ACTUAL AND PEAK 1/80 DATA YEAR 3. Layoff rate, manufacturing (inverted) mi -3 -2 -1 • Actual -1.0 • 0.5 -0-5 • 1.0 0-0 H.5 + 0-5 • 2.0 0. P 1.3 1/80 1 2 3 4 0. 0.2 1.6 2.2 1.3 1.5 2.9 3.5 2/80 3/80 4/80 5/80 5 6 7 1.6 0.4 0.7 2.9 1.7 2.0 6/80 7/80 8/80 • 3.0 • 3.5 + 6 +12 +18 +24 +30 +36 + 10 +5 0 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 -15 • 12 -20 9/79 10/79 11/79 12/79 -25 0.1 13.79 13.81 14.29 14.63 0. P 14.61 1/80 -30 -5.6 -5.5 -2.2 • 14 -10 MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH REF. FROM ACTUAL AND PEAK DATA YEAR 1/80 0 +2.0 0 +15 SERIES 201 BIL. DOL +1-5 -6 +20 SERIES 3 PER 100 EMPLOYEES 1.2 10/79 -0.1 0. 1.3 11/79 -0.1 1.2 12/79 0 4-1.0 + 2.5 • 18 • 10 1 2 3 4 -1.0 -5.0 -11.0 -12.4 14.47 13.88 13.01 12.80 2/80 3/80 4/80 5/80 5 6 -13.0 -12.0 12.71 12.85 6/80 7/80 Months from reference peaks -35 -6 0 +6 +12 +18 +24 +30 +36 Months from reference peaks NOTE: For an explanation of these charts, see "How to Read Charts" on p. 107 of the July 1980 issue, ^his series is an MCD moving average placed on the center month of the span. 2 Numeral indicates latest month used in computing the series. 109 ALPHABETICAL INDEX-SERIES FINDING GUIDE Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) Current issue (page numbers) Series number Charts Tables Series Historical descriptions data (issue date) issue date) A Accession rate, manufacturing Agricultural products, exports Anticipations and intentions Business expenditures, new plant and equipment Business expenditures, new plant and equipment, Dl . . Consumer sentiment, index Employees, manufacturing and trade, Dl Inventories, manufacturing and trade, Dl New orders, manufacturing, Dl Prices, selling, manufacturing, Dl Prices, selling, retail trade, Dl Prices, selling, wholesale trade, Dl Profits net manufacturing and trade Dl Sales, net, manufacturing and trade, Dl Automobiles Expenditures personal consumption Imports of automobiles and parts 2 604 16 56 61 92 8/80 8/80 8/68 61 970 58 974 975 971 976 978 977 972 973 24 38 22 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 67 76 65 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 2/79 2/79 8/80 2/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 11/68 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 55 616 22 56 65 92 9/79 8/80 10/69* B Balance of payments-See International transactions. Bank loans to businesses, loans outstanding Bank loans to businesses, net change Bank rates-See Interest rates. Bank reserves Free reserves Member bank borrowing from Federal Reserve Bonds-See Interest rates. Borrowing-See Credit. Budget-See Government. Building-See Construction. Building permits, new private housing Business equipment, industrial production Business expenditures, new plant and equipment Business expenditures, new plant and equipment, D 1 . . . . Business failures, current liabilities Business formation Business incorporations Business inventories-See Inventories. Business loans-See Bank loans. Business saving 72 112 15,35 32 73 72 6/79 6/79 11/72 11/72 93 94 33 33 72 72 9/80 9/80 11/72 29 76 61 970 14 12 13 13,25 24 24 38 33 12,23 23 67 67 67 76 72 65 65 8/80 1/80 2/79 2/79 2/79 3/80 3/80 295 46 82 11/79 83 82 84 20 20 20 64 64 64 9/79 9/79 9/79 97 11 965 24 24 37 66 66 75 8/79 8/79 2/79 914 35 34 11 29 29 60 70 70 9/80 9/79 9/79 4/69 ii/68 11/68* C Canada-See International comparisons. Capacity utilization Manufacturing (BEA) Manufacturing (FRB) Materials Capital appropriations, manufacturing Backlog Newly approved Newly approved, Dl Capital investment-See Investment, capital. Capital investment commitments Cl Cash flow, corporate, constant dollars Cash flow, corporate, current dollars Civilian labor force-See also Employment. Employment Employment as percent of population Total Unemployed Coincident indicators, four Composite index Composite index, rate of change Diffusion index Ratio to lagging indicators, composite index Commercial and industrial buildings, contracts awarded . . Commercial and industrial loans outstanding Commercial and industrial loans outstanding, net change . Compensation Compensation, average hourly, all employees, nonfarm business sector Compensation, average hourly, all employees, nonfarm business sector, percent changes Compensation of employees Compensation of employees, percent of national income Compensation, real average hourly, all employees, nonfarm business sector Compensation, real average hourly, all employees, nonfarm business sector, percent changes Earnings, average hourly, production workers, private nonfarm economy Earnings, average hourly, production workers, private nonfarm economy percent changes Earnings, real average hourly, production workers, private nonfarm economy Earnings, real average hourly, production workers, private nonfarm economy, percent changes . Wage and benefit decisions, first year Wage and benefit decisions, life of contract Wages and salaries, mining, manufacturing, and construction 1/72' 1/72 442 90 441 37 51 18 51 18,51 89 62 89 62,89 3/80 2/80 3/80 2/80 4/72* 920 920c 951 940 9 72 112 10 39 36 11 23 15,35 32 60 7/80 7/80 6/79 9/80 8/79 6/79 6/79 11/75* 74*" 60 66 73 72 345 49 87 345c 280 50 45 87 82 ii/79 10/72* 10/69 9/79 10/69* 4/72* 4/72* ii/72 11/72 10/72* 64 30,47 70,83 346 49 88 346c 50 88 340 49 87 2/80 6/72* 340c 50 87 2/80 6/72* 341 49 87 2/80 6/72* 341c 348 349 50 50 50 87 88 88 2/80 11/79 11/79 6/72* 6/72* 6/72* 53 19 63 4/80 10/72* 10/72* Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) Composite indexes Coincident indicators Four coinciders Four coincideis, rate of change Ratio to lagging indicator index Lagging indicators Six laggers , Six laggers, rate of change Leading indicators Capital investment commitments Inventory investment and purchasing Marginal employment adjustments Money and financial flows Profitability Twelve leaders Twelve leaders, rale of change Construction Building permits, new private housing Contracts awarded, commercial and industrial bldgs. . . Expenditures, plus machinery and equipment sales . . . . Gross private domestic fixed investment Nonresidential,as percent of GNP IMonresidential structures, constant dollars Nonresidential, total, constant dollars Residential as percent of GNP Residential, total, constant dollars Housing starts Consumer finished goods-See Wholesale prices. Consumer goods and materials, new orders Consumer goods, industrial production Consumer installment debt Debt outstanding Net change Ratio to personal income . , Consumer installment loans, delinquency rate Consumer pncos-Seealso International comparisons. All items index Ail items, percent changes Food, index „ Food percent changes Consumer sentiment, index Consumption expenditures-See Personal consumption expenditures. Contracts and orders, plant and equipment, constant dol. . Contracts and orders, plant and equipment, current dol. . . Corporate bond yields Corporate profits-See Profits. Costs-See Labor costs and Price indexes. Credit Bank loans to businesses, net change Borrowing, total private Commercial and industrial loans outstanding Consumer installment debt Debt outstanding Net change Ratio to personal income Consumer installment loans, delinquency rate Mortgage debt, net change Crude materials-See Wholesale prices. Charts 110 Tables 920 920c 940 10 39 11 60 930 930c 10 39 914 915 913 917 916 910 910c Historical Series data descriptions (issue date) (issue date) 7/80 7/80 9/80 11/75* 60 7/80 7/80 11/75* 11 11 11 11 11 10 39 60 60 60 60 60 60 9/80 9/80 9/80 9/80 9/80 7/80 7/80 29 9 69 13,25 23 24 67 66 67 8/80 8/79 8/80 4/69 248 87 86 249 89 28 47 25 25 47 25 25 83 67 67 83 67 67 11/79 9/79 9/79 11/79 9/79 3/80 10/69* 8 75 12,21 22 64 65 7/80 12/79 66 113 95 39 35 32 15,35 33 73 72 73 72 5/79 6/79 8/79 2/79 10/72 10/72 320 320c 322 322c 58 49 49,59 49 49 22 84,95 84,95 84 84 65 5/80 5/80 5/80 5/80 8/80 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 11/68* 20 10 116 12,23 23 34 66 66 73 7/80 7/80 1/79 9/68' 7/64 112 110 72 32 32 15,35 72 72 73 6/79 11/79 6/79 11/72 7/64 11/72 66 113 95 39 33 35 32 15,35 33 32 73 72 73 72 71 5/79 6/79 8/79 2/79 4/80 10/72 10/72 525 564 548 517 53 55 53 53 90 91 90 90 5/80 10/79 8/80 5/80 39 32 33 12,21 72 64 2/79 8/79 11/72 12/74 970 965 951 974 963 967 38 37 36 38 36 37 2/79 2/79 ' 6/79 2/79 9/80 5/80 11/68* 966 37 962 975 952 950 964 36 38 36 36 37 971 968 976 978 977 960 972 973 961 38* 37 38 38 38 37 38 38 36 76 75 74 76 74 75 79 75 78 74 76 74 74 75 77 76 75 76 76 76 75 76 76 74 77 60'" 5/75* 9/68* io/69* 6/72" 11/72 11/72 D Debt-See Credit. Defense Military prime contract awards National defense purchases New orders defense products Obligations incurred Deficit-See Government. Deflators-See Price indexes. Delinquency rate, consumer installment loans Deliveries vendor performance Diffusion indexes Business expenditures, new plant and equipment Capital appropriations, manufacturing Coincident indicators Employees manufacturing and trade Employees on private nonagricultural payrolls Industrial materials prices Industrial materials prices, components Industrial production , Industrial production components Initial claims, State unemployment insurance Inventories, manufacturing and trade Lagging indicators Leading indicators New orders durable goods industries New orders, durable goods industries, components . . . . New orders manufacturing Prices, 500 common stocks Prices, selling, manufacturing Prices selling retail trade Prices, selling, wholesale trade Profits manufacturing Profits, net, manufacturing and trade Sales, net, manufacturing and trade Workweek mfg production workers Workweek, mfg. production workers, components Disposable personal income-See Income. NOTE: The following abbreviations are used in this index: Cl, composite index; Dl, diffusion index; GPDI, gross private domestic investment; and NIPA, national income and product accounts. *The identification number for this series has been changed since the publication date shown. Current issue (page numbers) Series number io/69* l'i/68* 4/69* 9/79' 6/78" 2/79 ' 6/79f 6/79 9/80 6/69* 11/68* 2/79' 9/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 10/79 2/79 2/79 9/80 11/68* 5/69* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* ii/68* 11/68* ALPHABETICAL INDEX-SERIES FINDING GUIDE-Continued Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) Curren t issue (pagem mbers) Series Charts Tables Series Historical data escriptions issue date) issue date) E Earnings-See Compensation. Employment and unemployment Accession rate, manufacturing Civilian labor force, total Employee hours in nonagricultural establishments Employee hours in nonagricultural establishments rate of change Employees in mining, mfg., and construction Employees manufacturing and trade Dl Employees on nonagricuitural payrolls Employees on private nonag. payrolls, Dl Employment, ratio to population Employment total civilian Help-wanted advertising in newspapers Help-wanted advertising, ratio to unemployment Initial claims, State unemployment insurance Initial claims, State unemployment insurance, Dl Layoff rate manufacturing Marginal employment adjustments, Cl Overtime hours, mfg. production workers Participation rate, both sexes, 16-19 years old Participation rate females 20 years and over Participation rate, males 20 years and over Part-time workers for economic reasons Persons engaged in nonagricultural activities Quit rate manufacturing Unemployed, both sexes, 16-19 years old Unemployed females 20 years and over Unemployed, full-time workers Unemployed, males 20 years and over Unemployment, average duration Unemployment rate, 1 5 weeks and over Unemployment rate, insured, average weekly Unemployment rate, total Unemployment, total civilian Workweek, mfg. production workers Workweek, mfg. production workers, Di Equipment-See Investment, capital. Exports-See Foreign trade and International transactions. 2 441 16 51 61 89 8/80 3/80 8/68 A/7?* 48 17 61 9/80 o/cp* 48c 40 974 41 963 90 442 46 60 5 962 3 913 21 453 452 451 448 42 4 446 445 447 444 91 44 45 43 37 1 39 17 38 14,17 36 18 51 17 17 16 36 12 16 11 16 51 51 51 51 17 16 51 51 51 51 15,18 18 18 18 18,51 12,16 9/80 9/80 2/79 9/80 9/80 2/80 3/80 7/79 2/80 7/80 6/78 8/80 9/80 8/80 3/80 3/80 3/80 3/80 2/80 8/80 3/80 3/80 3/80 3/80 3/80 2/80 8/80 2/80 2/80 8/80 8/68* 961 36 62 76 62 74 62 89 61 61 61 74 61 60 61 89 89 89 89 62 61 89 89 89 89 62 62 62 62 62,89 61 77 74 9/80 119 34 72 1/79 94 213 917 33 40 72 80 60 9/80 10/79 9/80 311 311c 48 48 84 84 11/79 11/79 667 622 618 602 604 256 252 668 606 620 612 616 257 253 669 614 255 250 251 57 57 57 56 56 44 44 57 56 57 56 56 44 44 57 56 44 44 47 93 93 93 92 92 82 82 93 92 93 92 92 82 82 93 92 82 82 83 7/80 7/80 7/80 8/80 8/80 11/79 11/79 7/80 8/80 7/80 8/80 8/80 11/79 11/79 7/80 8/80 11/79 11/79 11/79 93 33 72 9/80 49 20 63 9/79 502 501 500 512 511 510 298 52 52 52 52 52 52 46 90 90 90 90 90 90 83 9/79 9/79 9/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 11/79 263 262 265 564 267 266 268 261 260 43 43 47 55 43 43 47 43 43 81 81 83 91 81 81 83 81 81 11/79 11/79 11/79 10/79 11/79 11/79 11/79 11/79 11/79 G Goods output in constant dollars Government budget, NIPA Federal expenditures Federal receipts Federal surplus or deficit State and local expenditures State and local receipts State and local surplus or deficit Surplus or deficit, total Government purchases of goods and services Federal, constant dollars Federal current dollars Federal, percent of GNP National defense State and local, constant dollars State and local, current dollars State and local, percent of GNP Total, constant dollars Total current dollars Curren t issue (pagen mbers) Series Charts Tables Series Historical descriptions data (issue date) issue date) Gross business product F Federal funds rate Federal Government-See Government. Federal Reserve, member bank borrowing from Final sales in constant dollars Financial flows and money Cl . Fixed investment-See Investment, capital. Fixed weighted price index, NIPA Fixed weighted price index, percent changes, NIPA Food-See Consumer prices. Foreign trade-See also International transactions. Balance on goods and services Balance on merchandise trade Exports, merchandise, adjusted, exc. military Exports, merchandise, total exc. military aid Exports of agricultural products Exports of goods and services, constant dol., NIPA . . . . Exports of goods and services, current dol., NIPA Exports of goods and services, exc. military Exports of nonelectrical machinery Imports merchandise adjusted exc military Imports, merchandise, total Imports of automobiles and parts Imports of goods and services, constant dol., NIPA . . . . Imports of goods and services current dol NIPA Imports of goods and services, total Imports of petroleum and products Net exports, goods and services, constant dol., NIPA Net exports goods and services current dol NIPA Net exports, goods and services, percent of GNP, NIPA France-See International comparisons. Free reserves Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) 11/68* 8/68 4/72* 12/74 6/69" 6/69* 8/68* 12/74 4/72 Fixed weighted price index, percent changes Gross domestic product, labor cost per unit Gross national product GNP constant dollars GNP, constant dollars, differences GNP constant dollars percent changes GNP current dollars GNP, current dollars, percent changes GNP ratio to monpy supply Goods output in constant dollars Implicit price deflator Implicit price deflator, percent changes Per capita GNP constant dollars Gross private domestic invest. -See Investment, capital. 311 311c 68 48 48 30 84 84 70 11/79 11/79 9/79 50 50b 50c 200 200b 200c 107 49 310 3!0c 217 19,40 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 7/80 9/79 11/79 11/79 10/79 10/69* 10/69* 10/69* 10/69 10/69 10/69 31 20 48 48 40 63,80 80 80 80 80 80 71 63 84 84 80 46 60 17 17 61 61 7/79 2/80 12/74 21 1 16 12 16 8/80 8/80 12/74 8/68 961 36 61 61 77 74 28 29 89 249 25 13,25 25 47 67 67 67 83 3/80 8/80 9/79 11/79 6/72 4/69 310 310c 48 48 84 84 11/79 11/79 10/69* 10/69* 345 49 87 345c 280 64 50 45 30,47 87 82 70,83 346 49 88 346c 95 286 287 225 224 227 50 15 35 45 47 40 40 40 88 73 82 83 80 80 80 8/79 11/79 11/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/69 10/69* 10/69 10/69 10/69 340 49 87 2/80 6/72* 340c 50 87 2/80 6/72* 6/72* 39 40 7/68' 10/69* 10/69* 10/69 H Help-wanted advertising in newspapers Help-wanted advertising, ratio to unemployment Hours of production workers, manufacturing Average weekly overtime Average workweek Average workweek components Average workweek Di Housing Housing starts Housing units authorized by local bldg. permits Residential GPDI constant dollars Residential GPDI, percent of GNP 9/80 10/69* 1 4/72" 6/69 4/72 4/72* 8/68 Implicit price deflator GNP Implicit price deflator GNP percent changes Imports-See Foreign trade and International transactions. Income nonfarm business sector Compensation, average hourly, all employees, nonfarm business sector, percent changes Compensation of employees, pet. of nat'l. income .... Compensation, real average hourly, all employees, 11/73 nonfarm business sector Compensation, real average hourly, all employees, nonfarm business sector, percent changes Consumer installment debt, ratio to personal income , . Corporate profits with IVA and CCA Corp. profits with IVA and CCA, pet. of nat'l. income . Disposable personal income, constant dollars Disposable personal income, current dollars Disposable personal income, per capita, constant dol. . . Earnings, average hourly, production workers, private nonfarm economy Earnings, average hourly, production workers, 5/69* private nonfarm economy, percent changes 5/69* Earnings, real average hourly, production workers, private nonfarm economy Earnings, real average hourly, production 5/69' workers, private nonfarm economy, percent changes . 5/69* Income on foreign investment in the U.S Income on U.S. investments abroad 5/69* Interest net 5/69* Interest, net, percent of national income National income Personal income, constant dollars 5/69" Personal income current dollars 5/69* Personal income, less transfers, constant dollars Personal income, less transfers, constant dols. rate of chg. Personal income, ratio to money supply 5/69 Proprietors' income with IVA and CCA 10/69* Proprietors' income with IVA and CCA, percent of national income 11/72 Rental income of persons with CCA Rental income of persons with CCA, pet. of nat'l. income Wage and benefit decisions, first year Wage and benefit decisions, life of contract Wages and salaries, mining, mfg., and construction .... Incorporations, new businesses 7/68* Industrial materials prices 7/68* Industrial materials prices components 7/68* Industrial materials prices Dl Industrial production - See also International comparisons Business equipment Consumer goods 10/69 Durable manufactures Nondurable manufactures 11/73 Total 10/69 Total components 10/69* Total, Dl 10/69* Total rate of change Installment debt-See Credit. 11/73 10/69 Insured unemployment Avg. weekly initial claims, unemploy. insurance 10/69* Avg. weekly initial claims, unemploy. insurance, Dl . . . Avg weekly insured unemployment rate 10/69 10/72* 11/79 9/79 10/72* 10/69 10/69* 10/72* 10/72* 341 49 87 2/80 341 c 652 651 288 289 220 52 223 51 51c 108 282 50 57 57 45 47 45 19 40 14,19 39 31 45 87 93 93 82 83 82 63 63 63 2/80 7/80 7/80 11/79 11/79 10/79 2/80 1/80 2/80 7/79 6/8011/79 6/72* 5/69* 5/69* 10/69 10/69* 10/69 283 284 285 348 349 53 13 23 47 45 47 50 50 19 23 28 11/79 11/79 11/79 11/79 11/79 4/80 3/80 5/80 10/69* 10/69 10/69* 6/72* 6/72* 967 37 83 82 83 88 88 63 65 69 79 75 5/80 4/69* 67 65 63 63 63,94 78 75 1/80 12/79 12/79 12/79 9/80 11/68 76 75 73 74 47 24 22 20 20 14,20,58 966 47 c 37 39 5 962 45 16 36 18 71 '" 82 61 74 62 7/68* 10/69 4/69" 9/79 9/80 7/80 6/78 8/80 6/69 6/69* 6/69 NOTE: The following abbreviations are used in this index: Cl, composite index; Dl, diffusion index; GPDI, gross private domestic investment; and NIPA, national income and product accounts. *The identification number for this series has been changed since the publication date shown. 111 ALPHABETICAL INDEX-SERIES FINDING GUIDE-Continued Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) Interest, net Interest net percent of national income Interest rates Bank rates on short-term business loans Corporate bond yields Federal funds rate Mortgage yields, secondary market Municipal bond yields Prime rate charged by banks Treasury bill rate . Treasury bond yields , Intermediate materials-See Wholesale prices. International comparisons Consumer prices Canada, index Canada, percent changes France index . France, percent changes Italy index Italy, percent changes Japan index Japan, percent changes United Kingdom index United Kingdom, percent changes United States index United States, percent changes West Germany, index West Germany, percent changes Industrial production Canada France Italy Japan OECD, European countries United Kingdom United States West Germany Stock prices Canada France Italy Japan United Kingdom United States West Germany International transactions-See also Foreign trade. Balance on goods and services Balance on merchandise trade Exports, merchandise, adjusted, exc. military Exports, merchandise, total exc. military aid Exports of agricultural products Exports of goods and services, exc. military Exports of nonelectrical machinery mports, merchandise, adjusted, exc. military mports, merchandise, total mports of automobiles and parts mports of goods and services total mports of petroleum and products ncome on foreign investments in U.S ncome on U S investments abroad Inventories Business inventories, change, constant dollars Business inventories, change, current dollars Business inventories, change, percent of GNP Finished goods manufacturers' Inventories on hand and on order, net change nventories to sales ratio, mfg. and trade (deflated) . . . . Inventory investment and purchasing, Cl Manufacturing and trade constant dollars Manufacturing and trade, current dollars Manufacturing and trade, current dollars, change Manufacturing and trade, Dl Materials and supplies on hand and on order, mfg Materials and supplies on hand and on order, mfg., change Investment, capital Capital appropriations, manufacturing, backlog Capital appropriations manufacturing new Capital appropriations, manufacturing, new, Dl Capital investment commitments Cl Construction contracts, commercial and industrial .... Construction expenditures, business and machinery and equipment sales Gross private domestic investment Fixed investment, constant dollars Fixed investment current dollars Inventories, business, change in-See Inventories. Nonresidential, total constant dollars Nonresidential, total, percent of GNP Producers' durable equip., nonresid., constant dol. Residential, total, constant dollars Residential, total, percent of GNP Structures, nonresidential, constant dollars Total, constant dollars Total, current dollars New orders, capital goods, nondefense, constant dollars New orders, capital goods, nondefense, current dollars Current issue (page numbers) Series number Charts Tables Historical Series data descriptions (issue date) issue date) 288 289 45 47 82 83 11/79 11/79 10/69 10/69* 67 116 119 118 117 109 114 115 35 34 34 34 34 35 34 34 73 73 72 73 73 73 72 73 8/79 1/79 1/79 3/80 1/79 1/79 1/79 1/79 12/74 7/64 11/73 7/64 7/64 11/73 7/64 7/64 1/79 1/79 7/79 7/79 1/79 1/79 1/79 1/79 1/79 1/79 5/80 5/80 1/79 1/79 9/72* 59'" 96 96 95 95 96 96 95 95 95 95 84,95 84,95 95 95 723 726 727 728 721 722 47 725 58 58 58 58 58 58 14,20,58 58 94 94 94 94 94 94 63,94 94 3/80 2/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 9/80 2/79 743 746 747 748 742 19 745 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 96 96 96 96 96 96 96 6/79 6/79 6/79 6/79 6/79 6/79 6/79 667 622 618 602 604 668 606 620 612 616 669 614 652 651 57 57 57 56 56 57 56 57 56 56 57 56 57 57 93 93 93 92 92 93 92 93 92 92 93 92 93 93 7/80 7/80 7/80 8/80 8/80 7/80 8/80 7/80 8/80 8/80 7/80 8/80 7/80 7/80 30 245 247 65 36 77 915 70 71 31 975 78 26,42 42 47 27 13,26 27 11 15,27 27 26 38 27 68,81 81 83 68 68 68 60 68 68 68 76 68 9/79 11/79 11/79 8/80 8/80 1/80 9/80 12/79 12/79 9/80 2/79 8/80 38 26 68 8/80 97 11 965 914 9 24 24 37 11 23 66 66 75 60 66 8/79 8/79 2/79 9/80 8/79 69 24 67 8/80 243 242 42 42 81 81 11/79 10/79 86 248 88 89 249 87 241 240 25 47 25 25 47 25 42 42 67 83 67 67 83 67 81 81 9/79 11/79 9/79 9/79 11/79 9/79 10/79 10/79 27 23 66 8/80 24 23 66 8/80 Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) Plant and equipment Business expenditures new Business expenditures, new, Dl Contracts and orders constant dollars Contracts and orders current dollars Investment, foreign Income on foreign investments in U S Income on U S investments abroad Italy-See International comparisons. Charts .... Tables Series Historical descriptions data (issue date) issue date) 61 970 20 10 24 38 12,23 23 67 76 66 66 2/79 2/79 7/80 7/80 9/68' 652 651 57 57 93 93 7/80 7/80 5/69* 5/69* 68 62 63 26 30 15,30 30 29 70 70 70 70 9/79 12/79 7/80 7/80 7/68 11/68 10/72 930 930c 952 3 10 39 36 12,16 60 7/80 7/80 6/79 8/80 11/75* 910 910c 950 14 104 10 39 36 33 13,31 60 74"' 72 71 7/80 7/80 6/79 2/79 6/80 913 78 11 27 60 68 9/80 8/80 38 26 68 8/80 8 84 12,21 20 64 64 7/80 9/79 917 11 60 9/80 104 105 85 106 102 107 108 33 118 117 13,31 31 31 13,31 31 31 31 32 34 34 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 73 73 6/80 6/80 6/80 6/80 6/80 7/80 6/80 4/80 3/80 1/79 27 24 8 20 10 548 7 6 23 23 12,21 12,23 23 53 21 21 964 971 37 38 66 66 64 66 66 90 64 64 77 75 76 9/80 2/79 ii/68* 88 87 86 248 25 25 25 47 67 67 67 83 9/79 9/79 9/79 11/79 i6/69* 517 721 53 58 90 94 5/30 2/79 49 62 358 370 370c 83 82 84 21 20 15,30 50 50 50 20 20 20 16 63 70 88 88 88 64 64 64 61 9/79 12/79 11/68 11/68* J Japan-See International comparisons. 733 733c 736 736c 737 737c 738 738c 732 732c 320 320c 735 735c 59'" 59'" 59'" 59"" 59 49 49,59 L Labor cost per unit of gross domestic product Labor cost per unit of output, manufacturing Labor cost per unit of output, private business sector 9/72* Labor cost, price per unit of, nonfarm business 9/72* Labor force-See Employment and unemployment. Lagging indicators, six Composite index 9/72* Composite index, rate of change Diffusion index . . 5/69* Layoff rate, manufacturing 5/69* Leading indicators, twelve 9/72* Composite index Composite index rate of change .... Diffusion index .. . 10/72* 10/72* Liabilities of business failures Liquid assets change in total . . . 10/72* 10/72* Loans-See Credit. 9/72* 10/72* 11/68 10/72* 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 74 61 8/68* 5/75* M Man-hours-See Employment and unemployment. Marginal employment adjustments Cl .... Materials and supplies on hand and on order, mfg Materials and supplies on hand and on order, mfg. change Materials, crude and intermediate-See Wholesale prices. Materials, industrial-See Price indexes. Materials, new orders for consumer goods and Materials rate of capacity utilization Merchandise trade-See Foreign trade. Military-See Defense. Money and financial flows, Cl Money supply Liquid assets change in total Money supply M1 .. Money supply M1 percent changes Money supply M2 Money supply M2 percent changes Ratio, GNP to money supply M1 Ratio personal income to money supply M2 Mortgage debt net change Mortage yields secondary market Municipal bond yields 10/72 10/72 7/64' 7/64 IM National defense-See Defense. 10/69 10/69* National Government-See Government. National income-See Income. 9/68 New orders, manufacturers' Capital goods industries, nondefense, constant dol Capital goods industries, nondefense, current dol Consumer goods and materials, constant dollars Contracts and orders, plant and equip., constant dol. 2/69 Contracts and orders, plant and equip., current dol. . . . 2/69 Defense products . 11/68* Durable goods industries constant dollars Durable goods industries current dollars Components . . Diffusion index New orders manufacturing Dl .... Nonresidential fixed investment, GPDI Producers' durable equipment, constant dollars Structures constant dollars Total constant dollars Total, percent of GNP 9/68* 0 Obligations incurred, Defense Department OECD, European countries, industrial production .... Orders-See New orders and Unfilled orders. 10/69* Output-See also Gross national product and Industrial production. Goods output constant dollars Labor cost per unit of ... 10/69* Per hour nonfarm business sector Per hour private business sector 16/69 Per hour, private business sector, percent changes Ratio to capacity manufacturing (BEA) Ratio to capacity, manufacturing (FRB) Ratio to capacity materials 9/68 Overtime hours, production workers, manufacturing NOTE: The following abbreviations are used in this index: Cl, composite index; Dl, diffusion index; GPDI, gross private domestic investment; and NIPA, national income and product accounts. *The identification number for this series has been changed since the publication date shown. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 112 Bank of St. Louis Federal Reserve Curren issue (page numbers) Series 8/80 8/80 7/80 7/80 7/80 8/80 7/80 7/80 9/68 9/68' 9/68* ii/68 6/68* 10/72* 10/72* 9/79* 9/79 9/79 8/80 12/74 ALPHABETICAL INDEX-SERIES FINDING GUIDE-Continued Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) Current issue (page numbers) Series number Charts Tables Historical Series data escriptions (issue date) (issue date) P Participation rates, civilian labor force Both sexes 16-1 9 years of age 453 Females 20 years and over 452 Males 20 years and over 451 Personal consumption expenditures Automobiles 55 Durable goods, constant dollars 233 Durable goods, current dollars 232 Nondurable goods, constant dollars 238 Nondurable goods, current dollars 236 Services, constant dollars 239 Services, current dollars 237 Total, constant dollars 231 Total, current dollars 230 Total percent of GNP 235 Personal income-See Income. Personal saving 292 Personal saving rate . 293 Petroleum and products imports 614 Plant and equipment-See also Investment, capital. Business expenditures for 61 Business expenditues for Dl 970 Contracts and orders for, constant dollars 20 Contracts and orders for, current dollars 10 Population, civilian employment as percent of 90 Price indexes Consumer prices-See also International comparisons. All items index 320 All items, percent changes 320c Food index 322 Food, percent changes 322c Deflators NIPA Fixed weighted, gross business product, index 311 Fixed weighted, gross business product, pet. changes 311c Implicit price deflator GNP index 310 Implicit price deflator, GNP, percent changes 310c Industrial materials 23 Industrial materials, components Industrial materials, Dl 967 Labor cost, price per unit of 26 Sensitive prices change in 92 Stock prices-See also International comparisons. 500 common stocks 19 500 common stocks, D I 968 Wholesale prices All commodities, index 330 All commodities, percent change 330c Consumer finished goods, index 334 Consumer finished goods, percent changes 334c Crude materials index 331 Crude materials, percent changes 331c Intermediate materials, index 332 Intermediate materials, percent changes 332c Producer finished goods, index 333 Producer finished goods, percent changes 333c Price to unit labor cost nonfarm business 26 Prices, selling Manufacturing, Dl 976 Retail trade, Dl 978 Wholesale trade, Dl 977 Prime contracts, military 525 Prime rate charged by banks 109 Producer finished goods-See Wholesale prices. Producers' durable equipment, nonresid., GPDI 88 Production-See Industrial production and GNP. Productivity Output per hour, nonfarm business" sector 358 Output per hour, private business sector 370 Output per hour, private business sector, pet. changes . 370c Profitability, Cl 916 Profits Corporate, after taxes, constant dollars 18 Corporate, after taxes, current dollars 16 Corporate, after taxes, with I VA and CCA, constant dollar 80 Corporate, after taxes, with I VA and CCA, cur. dol. . . . 79 Corporate with IVAand CCA 286 Corporate, with I VA and CCA, pet. of nat'l. income . . . 287 Manufacturing and trade, Dl 972 Manufacturing Dl 960 Per dollar of sales, manufacturing 15 Profitability, Cl 916 Ratio, profits to corporate domestic income 22 Ratio, profits with IVA and CCA to corporate domestic income 81 Proprietors' income with IVA and CCA 282 Proprietors' income with IVA and CCA, pet. of nat'l. inc. . 283 89 89 89 3/80 3/80 3/80 22 41 41 41 41 41 41 41 41 47 65 80 80 81 81 81 81 80 80 83 9/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 46 46 56 82 83 92 11/79 11/79 8/80 24 38 12,23 23 18 67 76 66 66 62 2/79 2/79 7/80 7/80 2/80 49 49,59 49 49 84,95 84,95 84 84 5/80 5/80 5/80 5/80 48 48 48 48 28 11/79 11/79 11/79 11/79 5/80 37 29 13,28 84 84 84 84 69 79 75 70 69 5/8o' 7/80 4/80 4/69* 13,28 37 69 75 9/79 9/79 5/69 5/69* 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 29 85 85 86 86 85 85 86 86 86 86 70 6/80 6/80 5/80 5/80 6/80 6/80 6/80 6/80 6/80 6/80 7/80 6/69* 38 38 38 53 35 76 76 76 90 73 2/79 2/79 2/79 5/80 1/79 25 67 9/79 50 50 50 11 88 88 88 60 9/80 ' Unemployment Duration of unemployment, average Help-wanted advertising to unemployment, ratio Initial claims, avg. weekly, unemploy. insurance Initial claims, avg. weekly, unemploy. insurance, Dl . . . Layoff rate, manufacturing Number unemployed, civilian labor force Both sexes, 16-19 years of age Females, 20 years and over Full-time workers Males, 20 years and over Total unemployed 11/68* Quit rate, manufacturing 11/68* Unemployment rates 11/68* 1 5 weeks and over Insured, average weekly 11/73 Total Unfilled orders, manufacturers' Durable goods industries Durable goods industries, change in United Kingdom-See International comparisons. 6/68* 10/72* 10/72* V 28 28 69 69 9/79 9/79 1/72 7/68 28 28 45 47 38 37 29 11 29 69 69 82 83 76 75 70 60 69 9/79 9/79 11/79 11/79 2/79 10/79 7/80 9/80 9/79 29 45 47 70 82 83 9/79 11/79 11/79 4 16 61 8/80 284 45 82 11/79 R Rental income of persons, with CCA Rental income of persons, with CCA, percent of national income Reserves, free Residential fixed investment, constant dollars, GPDI . . . . Residential fixed investment, percent of GNP Residential structures-See Housing. Retail sales, constant dollars Retail sales current dollars 51 51 51 Q Quit rate, manufacturing Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) 285 47 83 11/79 Current issue (page numbers) Series Charts Tables Series Historical descriptions data (issue date) issue date) 93 89 249 33 25 47 72 67 83 9/80 9/79 11/79 59 54 22 22 65 65 6/80 6/80 213 40 80 10/79 69 57 56 973 77 59 54 24 14,22 22 38 27 22 22 67 65 65 76 68 65 65 8/80 1/80 1/80 2/79 1/80 6/80 6/80 295 298 290 292 293 46 46 46 46 46 82 83 82 82 83 11/79 11/79 11/79 11/79 11/79 92 13,28 69 4/80 19 968 78 13,28 37 27 69 75 68 9/79 9/79 8/80 38 26 68 8/80 114 115 34 34 72 73 1/79 1/79 7/64 7/64 91 60 5 962 3 15,18 17 16 36 12,16 62 61 61 74 61 3/80 2/80 7/80 6/78 8/80 6/69 6/69* 8/68* 446 445 447 444 37 4 51 51 51 51 18,51 16 89 89 89 89 62,89 61 3/80 3/80 3/80 3/80 2/80 8/80 44 45 43 18 18 18 62 62 62 2/80 8/80 2/80 4/72 6/69 4/72 96 25 21 21 64 64 8/80 8/80 9/68 9/68 107 108 32 31 31 12,21 71 71 64 7/80 6/8u 8/79 12/74 330 330c 334 334c 331 331c 332 332c 333 333c 92 1 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 13,28 12,16 85 85 86 86 85 85 86 86 86 86 69 61 6/80 6/80 5/80 5/80 6/80 6/80 6/80 6/80 6/80 6/80 4/80 8/80 36 77 74 9/80 11/72 10/69* 6/72 10/69* s 10/69 10/69 10/69 10/69 10/69 10/69* Salaries-See Compensation. Sales Final sales constant dollars Machinery and equipment sales and business Manufacturing and trade sales, constant dollars Manufacturing and trade sales, current dollars Manufacturing and trade sales, Dl 10/69 Ratio, inventories to sales, mfg. and trade 7/68* Retail sales, constant dollars Retail sales, current dollars 11/68 Saving Business saving 11/68* Government surplus or deficit , Gross saving, private and government 9/68 Personal saving Personal saving rate Selling prices-See Prices, selling. Sensitive prices, change in 5/69* State and local government-See Government. 5/69* Stock prices-See also International comparisons. 5/69* 500 common stocks 5/69* 500 common stocks, Dl Stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order . . . Stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order, 10/69* change 10/69* Surplus-See Government. 4/69 2/69" 11/68* 6/72 10/69 10/69 10/69 7/68* 5/69 5/69* T Treasury bill rate Treasury bond yields 10/69 10/69* 11/68* 9/68* U Velocity of money GNP to money supply M1 , ratio Personal income to money supply M2, ratio Vendor performance 4/72* W Wages and salaries-See Compensation. West Germany-See International comparisons. 3/69' Wholesale prices All commodities, index 7/68* All commodities, percent changes Consumer finished goods, index Consumer finished goods, percent changes 10/69 Crude materials, index 10/69* Crude materials, percent changes Intermediate materials, index Intermediate materials, percent changes Producer finished goods, index Producer finished goods, percent changes Sensitive prices, change in Workweek of production workers, manufacturing Workweek of production workers, manufacturing, 10/69 components 10/69* Workweek of production workers, manufacturing, Dl 961 6/69* 8/68" NOTE: The following abbreviations are used in this index: Cl, composite index, Dl, diffusion index; GPDI, gross private domestic investment; and NIPA, national income and product accounts. *The identification number for this series has been changed since the publication date shown. 113 TITLES AND SOURCES OF SERIES Series are listed below according to the sections of this report in which they appear. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect relationships or order among the series. "M" following a series title indicates monthly data; "Q" indicates quarterly data. Data apply to the whole period except when indicated by "EOM" (end of month) or "EOQ" (end of quarter). To save space, the commonly used sources listed below are referred to by numberSource 1—U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Source 2—U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census; Source 3—U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Source 4—Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Bureau of Economic Analysis and National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (23,66) 10. Contracts and orders for plant and equipment in current dollars (M).-Source 2 and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of the Census and Bureau of Economic Analysis (23,66) 11. Newly approved capital appropriations, 1,000 manufacturing corporations (Q).—The Conference Board (24,66) 12. Index of net business formation (M).-Source 1; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis and National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. (12,23,65) 33. Net change in mortgage debt held by financial institutions and life insurance companies (M).— American Council of Life Insurance; Federal National Mortgage Association; U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Government National Mortgage Association; National Association of Mutual Savings Banks; U.S. Savings and Loan League; and source 4; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (32,71) 34. Net cash flow, corporate, in current dollars (Q).Source 1 (29,70) 35. Net cash flow, corporate, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (29,70) 36. Net change in inventories on hand and on order in 1972 dollars (smoothed) (M).-Sources 1, 2, and 3(13,26,68) Following the source for each series is an indication of the pages on which that series appears. The "Series Finding Guide" also lists chart and table page numbers for each series. 13. Number of new business incorporations (M).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc.; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis and National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. (23,65) 37. Number of persons unemployed, labor force survey (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (18,51,62,89) I-A. Composite Indexes 14. Current liabilities of business failures (M).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (33,72) 910. Composite index of twelve leading indicators (includes series 1, 3, 8, 12, 19, 20, 29, 32, 36, 92, 104, 106) (M).-Source 1 (10,39,60) 913. Composite index of marginal employment adjustments (includes series 1, 2, 3, 5) (M).-Source 1 (11,60) 15. Profits (after taxes) per dollar of manufacturing corporations (Q).-Federal mission and Securities and Exchange seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Analysis 39. Percent of consumer installment loans delinquent 30 days and over ( E O M ) . — A m e r i c a n B a n k e r s Association (33,72) 914. Composite index of capital investment commitments (includes series 12, 20, 29) (M).-Source 1 (11,60) 16. Corporate profits after taxes in current dollars (Q).— Source 1 (28,69) 915. Composite index of inventory investment and purchasing (includes series 8, 32, 36, 92) (M).-Source 1 (1160) 18. Corporate profits after taxes in 1972 dollars (Q).Source 1 (28,69) sales, all Trade ComCommission; Economic (29,70) 38. Change in stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order, manufacturing (M).-Source 2 (26,68) 40. Number of employees in nonagricultural goodsproducing industries—mining, manufacturing, and construction (M).-Source 3 (17,62) 41. Number of employees on nonagricultural payrolls, establishment survey (M).-Source 3 (14,17,62) 42. Number of persons engaged in nonagricultural activities, labor force survey (M).—Sources 2 and 3 (17,62) 43. Unemployment rate, total (M).-Sources 2 and 3(18,62) 19. Index of stock prices, 500 common stocks (M).Standard & Poor's Corporation (13,28,59,69,96) 44. Unemployment rate, persons unemployed 15 weeks and over(M).-Sources2 and 3 (18,62) 917. Composite index of money and financial flows (includes series 104, 106, 110) (M).-Source 1 (11,60) 20. Contracts and orders for plant and equipment in 1972 dollars (M).-Sources 1, 2, 3, and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company (12,23,66) 45. Average weekly insured unemployment rate, State programs (M).—U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (18,62) 920. Composite index of four roughly coincident indicators (includes series 41, 47, 51, 57) (M).-Source 1 (10,39,60) 21. Average weekly overtime hours of production workers, manufacturing (M).—Source 3 (16,61) 46. Index of help-wanted advertising in newspapers (M).The Conference Board (17,61) 930. Composite index of six lagging indicators (includes series 62, 70, 72, 91, 95, 109) (M).-Source 1 (10,39,60) 22. Ratio of profits (after taxes) to total corporate domestic income (Q).-Source 1 (29,69) 916. Composite index of profitability (includes series 19, 26, 80) (M).-Source 1 (11,60) 940. Ratio, coincident composite index (series 920) to lagging composite index (series 930) (M).-Source 1 (H60) 1-B. Cyclical Indicators 1. A v e r a g e w o r k w e e k of production w o r k e r s , manufacturing (M).-Source 3 (12,16,61,77) 2. Accession rate, manufacturing (M).—Source 3 (16,61) 23. Index of industrial materials prices (M).—Source 3 ((28,69,79) 24. Value of manufacturer's new orders, capital goods industries, nondefense, in current dollars (M).—Source 2 (23,66) 25. Change in manufacturers' unfilled orders, durable goods industries (M).-Source 2 (21,64) 47. Index of industrial production, total (M).—Source 4 (14,20,39,58,63,78,94) 48. Employee-hours in (M).-Source 3 nonagricultural establishments (17,39,61) 49. Value of goods output in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (20,63) 50. Gross national product in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (19,39,40,63,80) 51. Personal income, less transfer payments, in 1972 dollars (M).-Source 1 (14,19,39,63) 26. Ratio, implicit price deflator to unit labor cost, nonfarm business sector (Q).-Sources 1 and 3 (29,70) 52. Personal income, total, in 1972 dollars (M).-Source 27. Value of manufacturers' new orders, capital goods industries, nondefense, in 1972 dollars (M).—Sources 1, 2, and 3 (23,66) 53. Wage and salary income in mining, manufacturing, and construction in 1972 dollars (M).—Sources 1 and 3 (19,63) 28. New private housing units started, total (M).—Source 2 (25,67) 54. Sales of retail stores in current dollars (M).—Source 29. Index of new private housing units authorized by local building permits (M).-Source 2 (13,25,67) 55. Personal consumption expenditures, automobiles (Q).Source 1 (22,65) 7. Value of manufacturers' new orders, durable goods industries, in 1972 dollars (M).-Sources 1, 2, and 3 (21,64) 30. Gross private domestic investment, change in business inventories, all industries, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (26,42,68,81) 56. Manufacturing and trade sales in current dollars (M).Sources 1 and 2 (22,65) 8. Value of manufacturers' new orders for consumer goods and materials in 1972 dollars (M).-Sources 1, 2, and 3 (12,21,64) 31. Change in book value of manufacturing and trade inventories, total (M).-Sources 1 and 2 (26,68) 9. Construction contracts awarded for commercial and industrial buildings, floor space (M).-McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company; seasonal adjustment by http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 114 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 32. Vendor performance, percent of companies reporting slower deliveries (M).-Purchasing Management Association of Chicago (12,21,64) 3. Layoff rate, manufacturing (M).-Source 3 (12,16,61) 4. Quit rate, manufacturing (M).—Source 3 5. Average weekly initial claims for insurance, State programs (M).-U.S. Labor, Employment and Training seasonal adjustment by Bureau Analysis (16,61) unemployment Department of Administration; of Economic (16,61) 6. Value of manufacturers' new orders, durable goods industries, in current dollars (M).-Source 2(21,64,77) 1 2 (19,63) (22,65) 57. Manufacturing and trade sales in 1972 dollars (M).Sources 1, 2, and 3 (14,22,65) 58. Index of consumer sentiment (Q,M).-University of Michigan, Survey Research Center (22,65) 59. Sales of retail stores in 1972 dollars (M).-Sources 1 2, and 3 (22,65) TITLES AND SOURCES OF SERIES- Continued 60. Ratio, help-wanted advertising in newspapers (series 46) to number of persons unemployed (series 37) (M).-Sources 1, 2, 3, and The Conference Board (17,61) 84. Rate of capacity utilization, materials (Q).—Source 4 (20,64) 119. Federal funds rate (M).-Source 4 (34,72) 85. Change in money supply Ml-B (M).-Source 4(31,71) 1-C. Diffusion Indexes 61. Business expenditures for new plant and equipment, total (Q).-Source 1 (24,67) 86. Gross private domestic fixed investment, total nonresidential, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1(25,67) 950. Diffusion index of twelve leading indicator components (M).-Source 1 (36,74) 62. Index of labor cost per unit of output, total manufacturing—ratio, index of compensation of employees in manufacturing (sum of wages, salaries, and supplements to wages and salaries) to index of industrial production, manufacturing (M).—Sources 1 and 4 (15,30,70) 87. Gross private domestic fixed investment, nonresidential structures, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (25,67) 951. Diffusion index of four roughly coincident components (M).—Source 1 88. Gross private domestic fixed investment, nonresidential producers' durable equipment, in 1972 dollars (Q).Source 1 (25,67) 952. Diffusion index of six lagging indicator components (M).-Source 1 (36,74) 63. Index of unit labor cost, private business sector (Q).— Source 3 (30,70) 89. Gross private domestic fixed investment, total residential, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (25,67) 64. Compensation of employees as a percent of national income (Q).-Source 1 (30,47,70,83) 90. Ratio, civilian employment to total population of working age (M).-Sources 1, 2, and 3 (18,62) 65. Manufacturers' inventories of finished goods, book value, all manufacturing industries (EOM).—Source 2 (27,68) 91. Average (mean) duration of unemployment in weeks (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (15,18,62) 66. Consumer installment debt (EOM).-Source 4; FRB seasonally adjusted net change added to seasonally adjusted figure for previous month to obtain current figure (35,73) 92. Change in sensitive prices (PPI of crude materials less agricultural products) (smoothed) (M).-Sources 1 and 3 (13,28,69) 93. Free reserves (member banks excess reserves minus borrowings) (M).-Source 4 (33,72) 67. Bank rates on short-term business loans (Q).—Source 4 (35,73) 94. Member bank borrowings from the Federal Reserve (M).-Source 4 (33,72) 68. Labor cost (current dollars) per unit of gross domestic product (1972 dollars), nonfinancial corporations—ratio of current-dollar compensation of employees to real gross corporate product (Q).-Source 1 (30,70) 95. Ratio, consumer installment debt to personal income (EOM).-Sources 1 and 4 (15,35,73) 69. Manufacturers' machinery and equipment sales and business construction expenditures (industrial and commercial construction put in place) (M).—Source 2 (24,67) 70. Manufacturing and trade inventories in 1972 dollars (EOM).-Sources 1, 2, and 3 (15,27,68) 71. Manufacturing and trade inventories, total book value, in current dollars (EOM).-Sources 1 and 2 (27,68) 72. Commercial and industrial loans outstanding, weekly reporting large commercial banks (M).—Source 4; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (15,35,73) 73. Index of industrial production, durable manufactures (M).-Source 4 (20,63) 74. Index of industrial production, manufactures (M).-Source 4 nondurable (20,63) 75. Index of industrial production, consumer goods (M).— Source 4 (22,65) 76. Index of industrial production, business equipment (M).-Source 4 (24,67) 77. Ratio, constant-dollar inventories (series 70) to sales (series 57), manufacturing and trade, total (EOM).— Sources 1, 2, and 3 (27,68) 78. Stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order, manufacturing (EOM).-Source 2 (27,68) 79. Corporate profits after taxes with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (28,69) 80. Corporate profits after taxes with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 $8,69) 81. Ratio of profits (after taxes) with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments to total corporate domestic income (Q).-Source 1 (29,70) 82. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing (Q).—Source 4 (20,64) 83. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing (EOQ).— Source 1 (20,64) 96. Manufacturers' unfilled orders, durable goods industries (EOM).-Source 2 (21,64) 97. Backlog of capital appropriations, 1,000 manufacturing corporations (EOQ).—The Conference Board (24,66) 102. Change in money supply M2 (M).-Source 4 (31,71) 104. Change in total liquid assets (smoothed) (M).-Sources 1 and 4 (13,31,71) indicator (36,74) 960. Diffusion index of net profits, manufacturing—about 700 companies (Q).-Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (35,75) 961. Diffusion index of average workweek of production workers, manufacturing—20 industries (M).—Sources 1 and 3 (36,74,77) 962. Diffusion index of initial claims for unemployment insurance, State programs—51 areas (M).—Source 1 and U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (36,74) 963. Diffusion index of number of employees on private nonagricultural payrolls—172 industries (M).—Source 3 (36,74) 964. Diffusion index of value of manufacturers' new orders, durable goods industries—35 industries (M).—Sources 1 and 2 (37,75,77) 965. Diffusion index of newly approved capital appropriations, deflated—17 manufacturing industries (Q).-The Conference Board (37,75) 966. Diffusion index of industrial production-24 industries (M).-Sources 1 and 4 (37,75,78) 967. Diffusion index of industrial materials prices—13 industrial materials (M).-Sources 1 and 3 (37,75,79) 105. Money supply Ml-B in 1972 dollars (M).-Sources 1, 3, and 4 (31,71) 968. Diffusion index of stock prices, 500 common stocks— 53-82 industries ( M ) . - S t a n d a r d & P o o r ' s Corporation (37,75) 106. Money supply M2 in 1972 dollars (M).-Sources 1, 3, and 4 (13,31,71) 970. Diffusion index of business expenditures for new plant and equipment, total—18 industries (Q).-Source 1 (38,76) 107. Ratio, gross national product to money supply Ml-B (Q).-Sources 1 and 4 (31,71) 108. Ratio, personal income to money supply M2 (M).Sources 1 and 4 (31,71) 109. Average prime rate charged by banks (M).—Source 4 (35,73) 110. Total funds raised by private nonfinancial borrowers in credit markets (Q).-Source 4 (32,72) 112. Net change in bank loans to businesses (M).—Source 4; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (32,72) 113. Net change in consumer installment debt (M).—Source 4 (32,72) 114. Discount rate on new issues of 91-day Treasury bills (M).-Source 4 (34,72) 115. Yield on long-term Treasury bonds (M).-U.S. Department of the Treasury (34,73) 116. Yield on new issues of high-grade corporate bonds (M).-Citibank and U.S. Department of the Treasury (34,73) 117. Yield on municipal bonds, 20-bond average (M).—The Bond Buyer (34,73) 118. Secondary market yields on FHA mortgages (M).-U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Federal Housing Administration (34,73) 971. Diffusion index of new orders, manufacturing—about 700 businessmen reporting (Q).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 972. Diffusion index of net profits, manufacturing and trade—about 1400 businessmen reporting (Q).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 973. Diffusion index of net sales, manufacturing and tradeabout 1400 businessmen reporting (Q).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 974. Diffusion index of number of employees, manufacturing and trade—about 1400 businessmen reporting (Q).— Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 975. Diffusion index of level of inventories, manufacturing and trade—about 1400 businessmen reporting (Q).— Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 976. Diffusion index of selling prices, manufacturing—about 700 businessmen reporting (Q).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 115 TITLES AND SOURCES OF SERIES- Continued 977. Diffusion index of selling prices, wholesale trade—about 450 businessmen reporting (Q).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 978. Diffusion index of selling prices, retail trade—about 250 businessmen reporting (Q).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) II-A. National Income and Product 30. Gross private domestic investment, change in business inventories, all industries, in 1972 dollars (Q).—Source 1 (26, 42, 68, 81) 50. Gross national product in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (19,39,40,63,80) 64. Compensation of employees as a percent of national income (Q).-Source 1 (30,47,70,83) 200. Gross national product in current dollars (Q).—Source 1 (40,80) 213. Final sales (series 50 minus series 30) in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (40,80) 217. Per capita gross national product in 1972 dollars (Q).— Sources 1 and 2 (40,80) 220. National income in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (45,82) 223. Personal income in current dollars (M).-Source 1 (40,63) 224. Disposable personal income in current dollars (Q).— Source 1 (40,80) 225. Disposable personal income in 1972 dollars (Q).— Source 1 (40,80) 227. Per capita disposable personal income in 1972 dollars (Q).-Sources 1 and 2 (40,80) 247. Gross private domestic investment, change in business inventories, all industries, as a percent of gross national product (Q).-Source 1 (47,83) 292. Personal saving (Q).-Source 1 248. Gross private domestic fixed investment, nonresidential, as a percent of gross national product (Q).—Source 1 (47,83) 295. Business saving—undistributed corporate profits plus capital consumption allowances with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (Q).—Source 1 (46,82) 249. Gross private domestic fixed investment, residential, as a percent of gross national product (Q).—Source 1 (47,83) 250. Net exports of goods and services in current dollars; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (44,82) 251. Net exports of goods and services as a percent of gross national product (Q).-Source 1 (47,83) 252. Exports of goods and services in current dollars; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (44,82) 253. Imports of goods and services in current dollars; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (44,82) 255. Net exports of goods and services in 1972 dollars; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (44,82) 256. Exports of goods and services in 1972 dollars; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (44,82) 257. Imports of goods and services in 1972 dollars; national income and product accounts (Q).-Source 1 (44,82) 260. Government purchases of goods and services, total, in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (43,81) 261. Government purchases of goods and services, total, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (43,81) 262. Federal Government purchases of goods and services in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (43,81) 263. Federal Government purchases of goods and services in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (43,81) (46,82) 293. Personal saving rate—personal saving as a percent of disposable personal income (Q).—Source 1 (46,83) 298. Government surplus or deficit, total (Q).-Source 1 (46,83) II-B. Prices, Wages, and Productivity 310. Implicit price deflator, gross national product (Q).— Source 1 (48,84) 311. Fixed-weighted price index, gross business product (Q).-Source 1 (48,84) 320. Index of consumer prices, all items (M).—Source 3 (49,59,84,95) 322. Index of consumer prices, food (M).—Source 3(49,84) 330. Index of producer prices, all commodities (M).-Source 3 (48,85) 331. Index of producer prices, crude materials for further processing (M).-Source 3 (48,85) 332. Index of producer prices, intermediate materials, supplies, and components (M).-Source 3 (48,86) 333. Index of producer prices, capital equipment (M).— Source 3 (48,86) 334. Index of producer prices, finished consumer goods (M).-Source 3 (48,86) 335. Index of producer prices, industrial commodities (M).— Source 3 (48,85) 340. Index of average hourly earnings of production workers, private nonfarm economy—adjusted for overtime (in manufacturing only), interindustry employment shifts, and seasonality (M).-Source 3 (49,87) 265. Federal Government purchases of goods and services as a percent of gross national product (Q).—Source 1 (47,83) 266. State and local government purchases of goods and services in current dollars (Q).—Source 1 (43,81) 267. State and local government purchases of goods and services in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (43,81) 341. Index of real average hourly earnings of production workers, private nonfarm economy—adjusted for overtime (in manufacturing only), interindustry employment shifts, and seasonality (M).—Source 3 (49,87) 268. State and local government purchases of goods and services as a percent of gross national product (Q).— Source 1 (47,83) 346. Index of real average hourly compensation, all employees, nonfarm business sector (Q).—Source 3 (49,88) 280. Compensation of employees (Q).-Source 1 282. Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (Q).—Source 1 (45,82) 348. Negotiated wage and benefit decisions, all industriesfirst year average (mean) changes (Q).—Source 3 (50,88) 237. Personal consumption expenditures, services, in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,81) 283. Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments as a percent of national income (Q).-Source 1 (47,83) 349. Negotiated wage and benefit decisions, all industriesaverage (mean) changes over life of contract (Q).— Source 3 (50,88) 238. Personal consumption expenditures, nondurable goods, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,81) 284. Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment (Q).-Source 1 (45,82) 239. Personal consumption expenditures, services, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,81) 285. Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment as a percent of national income (Q).— Source 1 (47,83) 230. Personal consumption expenditures, total, in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,80) 231. Personal consumption expenditures, total, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,80) 232. Personal consumption expenditures, durable goods, in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,80) 233. Personal consumption expenditures, durable goods, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,80) 235. Personal consumption expenditures, total, as a percent of gross national product (Q).—Source 1 (47,83) 236. Personal consumption expenditures, nondurable goods, in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,81) 240. Gross private domestic investment, total, in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (42,81) 241. Gross private domestic investment, total, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (42,81) 242. Gross private domestic fixed investment, total, in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (42,81) 243. Gross private domestic fixed investment, total, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (42,81) 245. Gross private domestic investment, change in business inventories, all industries, in current dollars (Q).— Source 1 (42,81) http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 116 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (45,82) 286. Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (Q).-Source 1 (47,82) 287. Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments as a percent of national income (Q).-Source 1 (47,83) 345. Index of average hourly compensation, all employees, nonfarm business sector (Q).-Source 3 (49,87) 358. Index of output per hour, all persons, nonfarm business sector (Q).-Source 3 (49,88) 370. Index of output per hour, all persons, private business sector (Q).-Source 3 (49,88) II-C. Labor Force, Employment, and Unemployment 37. Number of persons unemployed, labor force survey (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (18,51,62,89) (45,82) 441. Total civilian labor force, labor force survey (M).— Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 289. Net interest as a percent of national income (Q).— Source 1 (47,83) 442. Total civilian employment, labor force survey (M).— Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 290. Gross saving—private saving plus government surplus or deficit (Q).-Source 1 (46,82) 444. Number unemployed, males 20 years and over, labor force survey (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 288. Net interest (Q).-Source 1 TITLES AND SOURCES OF SERIES- Continued 445. Number unemployed, females 20 years and over, labor force survey (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 565. National defense purchases as a percent of gross national product (Q).-Source 1 (55,91) 47. United States, index of industrial production, total (M).-Source 4 (14,20,39,58,63,78,94) 446. Number unemployed, both sexes 16-19 years of age, labor force survey (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 570. Employment in defense products industries (M).Source 3; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (55,91) 320. United States, index of consumer prices, all items (M).-Source 3 (48,59,84,95) 447. Number unemployed, full-time workers, labor force survey (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 448. Number employed, part-time workers for economic reasons, labor force survey (M).—Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 451. Civilian labor force participation rate, males 20 years and over (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 577. Defense Department personnel, military, active duty (EOM).-U.S. Department of Defense, OSD, Comptroller, Washington Headquarters Services (55,91) 578. Defense Department personnel, civilian, direct hire employment (EOM).-U.S. Department of Defense, OSD, Comptroller, Washington Headquarters Services(55,91) 453. Civilian labor force participation rate, both sexes 16-19 years of age (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 580. Defense Department net outlays, military functions and military assistance (M).-U.S. Department of Defense, OSD, Comptroller, Directorate for Program and Financial Control; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (54,91) II-D. Government Activities 588. Value of manufacturers' shipments, defense products (M).-Source 2 (54,91) 500. Federal Government surplus or deficit; national income and product accounts (Q).-Source 1 (52,90) II-E. U.S. International Transactions 501. Federal Government receipts; national income and product accounts (Q).-Source 1 (52,90) 602. Exports, excluding military aid shipments, total (M).Source 2 (56,92) 502. Federal Government expenditures; national income and product accounts (Q).-Source 1 (52,90) 604. Exports of agricultural products (M).—Source 2; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (56,92) 452. Civilian labor force participation rate, females 20 years and over (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 510. State and local government surplus or deficit; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (52,90) 511. State and local government receipts; national income and product accounts (Q).-Source 1 (52,90) 512. State and local government expenditures; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (52,90) 517. Defense Department gross obligations incurred (M).— U.S. Department of Defense, OSD, Comptroller, Directorate for Program and Financial Control; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (53,90) 525. Defense Department military prime contract awards for work performed in the United States (M).-U.S. Department of Defense, OSD, Comptroller, Washington Headquarters Services; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (53,90) 543. Defense Department gross unpaid obligations outstanding (EOM).-U.S. Department of Defense, OSD, Comptroller, Directorate for Program and Financial Control; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (53,90) 548. Value of manufacturers' new orders, defense products (M).- Source 2 (53,90) (56,92) 614. Imports of petroleum and petroleum products (M).— Source 2; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (56,92) 616. Imports of automobiles and parts (M).—Source 2; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (56,92) 618. Merchandise exports, adjusted, excluding military grants (Q).-Source 1 (57,93) 620. Merchandise imports, adjusted, excluding military (Q).-Source 1 (57,93) 622. Balance on merchandise trade (Q).-Source 1 (57,93) 651. Income on U.S. investments abroad (Q).-Source 1 (57,93) 652. Income on foreign investments in the United States (Q).-Source 1 (57,93) 667. Balance on goods and services (Q).-Source 1(57,93) 557. Output of defense and space equipment (M).— Source 4 (54,91) 668. Exports of goods and services, excluding transfers under U.S. military grants (Q).-Source 1 (57,93) 559. Value of manufacturers' inventories, defense products (EOM).-Source 2 (54,91) 669. Imports of goods and services, total (Q).—Source 1 (57,93) 561. Value of manufacturers' unfilled orders, defense products (EOM).-Source 2 (54,91) 564. Federal Government purchases of goods and services for national defense (Q).-Source 1 (55,91) 722. United Kingdom, index of industrial production (M).— Central Statistical Office (London) (58,94) 723. Canada, index of industrial production (M).—Statistics Canada (Ottawa) (58,94) 725. West Germany, index of industrial production (M).— Deutsche Bundesbank (Frankfurt) (58,94) 726. France, index of industrial production (M).—Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (Paris) (58,94) 727. Italy, index of industrial production (M).-lnstituto Centrale di Statistica (Rome) (58,94) 606. Exports of nonelectrical machinery (M).—Source 2; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (56,92) 612. General imports, total (M).-Source 2 721. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, European countries, index of industrial production (M).—Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (Paris) (58,94) II-F. International Comparisons 19. United States, index of stock prices, 500 common stocks (M).-Standard & Poor's Corporation (13,28,59,69,96) 728. Japan, index of industrial production (M).—Ministry of International Trade and Industry (Tokyo) (58,94) 732. United Kingdom, index of consumer prices (M).— Ministry of Labour (London); percent changes seasonally adjusted by Bureau of Economic Analysis (59,95) 733. Canada, index of consumer prices (M).—Statistics Canada (Ottawa); percent changes seasonally adjusted by Bureau of Economic Analysis (59,96) 735. West Germany, index of consumer prices (M).— Statistisches Bundesamt (Wiesbaden); percent changes seasonally adjusted by Bureau of Economic Analysis (59,95) 736. France, index of consumer prices (M).—Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (Paris); percent changes seasonally adjusted by Bureau of Economic Analysis (59,95) 737. Italy, index of consumer prices (M).-lnstituto Centrale di Statistica (Rome); percent changes seasonally adjusted by Bureau of Economic Analysis (59,96) 738. Japan, index of consumer prices (M).—Office of the Prime Minister (Tokyo); percent changes seasonally adjusted by Bureau of Economic Analysis (59,95) 742. United Kingdom, index of stock prices (M).—The Financial Times (London) (59,96) 743. Canada, index of stock prices (M).-Statistics Canada (Ottawa) (59,96) 745. West Germany, index of stock prices (M).-Statistisches Bundesamt (Wiesbaden) (59,96) 746. France, index of stock prices (M).—Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (Paris) (59,96) 747. Italy, index of stock prices (M).-lnstituto Centrale di Statistica (Rome) (59,96) 748. Japan, index of stock prices (M).—Tokyo Stock Exchange (Tokyo) (59,96) Superintendent of Documents U.S. Government Printing Office Washington, D.C. 20402 OFFICIAL BUSINESS Penalty for Private Use $300 FIRST-CLASS MAIL POSTAGE & FEES PAID USDC WASHINGTON, D.C. PERMIT No. G-56