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UNITED

STATES

DEPARTMENT

OF

COMMERCE

OFFICE
OF THE
SECRETARY

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20230

FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION 3:30 P.M. EST WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 21, 1981
STATEMENT BY COURTENAY M. SLATER, CHIEF ECONOMIST .FOR THE
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, ON FOURTH QUARTER GNP
During the 2nd half of 1980 real GNP rose at an annual rate of
3.7 percent, restoring most --but not all-- of the ground lost to
the recession during the 2nd quarter.

In the 4th quarter real GNP

was still about 0.8 percent below its 1st quarter peak.
Growth during the 2nd half was entirely in final sales to
consumers and private businesses.

Real government purchases were

little changed and business inventories were reduced somewhat.
The inflation rate (as measured by the GNP fixed weight price
index) showed only minor variation during the year.

In the 4th

quarter, the Federal pay raise added 1.4 percentage points to the
rate of price increase.

Apart from this special factor, the

inflation rate remained between .9 and 10 percent.
The recovery of home building and motor vehicle production
from their depressed 2nd quarter levels accounted•for much, of the
growth during the 2nd half, but both of these industries continue
to operate well below previous peaks.

New domestic auto

production in the 4th quarter was about 25 percent below the 1st
quarter in 1979 in real terms.

Residential construction was about

18 percent below 1st quarter 1979 levels.

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