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UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS WASHINGTON, D.C. 20230 FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION 10:00 A.M. TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 1978 Leo M. Ber nst ei n: 523- 0824 BEA 78- 14 GROSS NATI ONAL PRODUCT ( GNP) GROSS DOMESTI C PRODUCT ( GDP) REVI SED FOURTH QUARTER 1977 Gr oss nat i onal pr oduct - - t he mar ket val ue of t he Nat i on' s out put of goods and ser vi ces - - i ncr eased $47. 8 bi l l i on or 10. 4 per cent at an annual r at e i n t he f our t h quar t er of 1977, adj ust ed annual r at e of $1, 963. 7 bi l l i on, t o a seasonal l y accor di ng t o r evi sed f i gur es i ssued by t he Bur eau of Economi c Anal ysi s of t he U. S. Commer ce. I n t he t hi r d quar t er , Depar t ment of GNP i ncr eased $46. 0 bi l l i on or 10. 2 per cent . Real out put ( GNP adj ust ed f or pr i ce changes) i ncr eased at an annual r at e of 4. 0 per cent , compar ed wi t h 5. 1 per cent i n t he t hi r d quar t er . The sl ower r at e of gr owt h r esul t ed f r om a r educt i on i n t he r at e of nonf ar m i nvent or y accumul at i on - - f r om $23. 1 bi l l i on i n t he t hi r d quar t er t o $6. 2 bi l l i on i n t he f our t h. Real f i nal sal es i ncr eased 6. 8 per cent at an annual r at e, compar ed wi t h 4. 4 per cent i n t he t hi r d quar t er . Pr i ces, as measur ed by t he GNP chai n pr i ce i ndex, r ose 6. 2 per cent ; a>mpar ed w* * h 4. 3 p e r c e n t / ^ ^ Gr oss domest i c pr oduct i ncr eased $49. 6 bi l l i on, compar ed wi t h $46. 8 bi l l i on i n t he t hi r d quar t er . Real GDP i ncr eased 4. 3 per cent , compar ed wi t h 5. 3 per cent . The r evi sed GNP est i mat e i s $1. 4 bi l l i on l ower t han t he pr el i mi nar y est i mat e i ssued a mont h ago. Net expor t s was r evi sed down $4. 3 bi l l i on and i nvent or y i nvest ment and f i xed i nvest ment wer e r evi sed down by smal l er amount s. Per sonal consumpt i on expendi t ur es was r evi sed up $4. 9 bi l l i on. f o r m B E .67 9 GROSS NATIONAL PROD UCT AND DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL ( 2 - 2 3 - 7 6 ) 1976 GROSS N A T IO N A L PRO D UCT Gross nat ional product (GN P) 1975 1 5 2 8 .8 1976 r 1 7 0 6 .5 N o n d u r a b l e g o o d s ............................................................................................................... 1 0 9 4 .0 1 5 8 .9 4 4 2 .7 S e r v i c e s ................................................................................................................................... 4 3 8 .2 4 9 2 .3 1 8 9 .1 2 0 0 .6 1 4 9 .1 5 2 .9 9 6 .3 5 1 .5 4 9 .5 2 4 3 .3 2 3 0 .0 1 6 1 .9 5 5 .8 D u r a b l e g o o d s ...................................................................................................................... Gross p r ivat e dom est ic invest m ent F i x e d i n v e s t m e n t ............................................................................................................... N o n r e s i d e n t i a l ............................................................................................................... S t r u c t u r e s .................................................................................................................. P r o d u c e r s ’ d u r a b l e e q u i p m e n t ....................................................................... R e s i d e n t i a l ...................................................................................................................... N o n f a r m s t r u c t u r e s .............................................................................................. IV I I * ^ ) 111 IV r S e lT o n a l l y a djusted a T annual rates 1 0 6 .1 6 8 .0 6 5 .7 1 8 9 0 .1 1 2 1 1 .4 1 7 9 .9 4 8 0 .7 5 5 0 .8 1 7 5 5 .4 1 1 3 9 .0 1 6 6 .3 4 5 8 .8 1 8 1 0 .8 1 1 7 2 .4 1 7 7 .0 4 6 6 .6 1 8 6 9 .9 1 1 9 4 .0 1 7 8 .6 4 7 4 .4 1 9 1 5 .9 1 2 1 8 .9 1 7 7 .6 4 8 1 .8 5 1 3 .9 5 2 8 .8 5 4 1 .1 5 5 9 .5 2 9 3 .9 2 7 6 .4 1 8 5 .5 6 1 .6 1 2 3 .9 9 1 .0 8 8 .4 1 .1 2 4 3 .4 2 4 4 .3 1 6 7 .6 5 7 .0 1 1 0 .6 7 6 .7 7 4 .3 2 7 1 .8 2 5 8 .0 1 7 7 .0 5 7 .9 1 1 9 .2 8 1 .0 7 8 .5 2 9 4 .9 2 7 3 .2 1 8 2 .4 6 1 .0 1 2 1 .4 9 0 .8 3 0 3 .6 2 8 0 .0 1 8 7 .5 6 2 .6 1 2 4 .9 9 2 .5 8 8 .2 8 9 .9 1 .1 1 .2 1 .4 2 1 .7 2 2 .4 - .7 1 .1 1 .5 2 3 .6 2 3 .1 .5 1 .4 1 7 .4 1 6 .4 1 .0 1- 3 - .9 1 .4 - 2 .3 1 .1 1 .4 1 3 .8 1 4 .1 - .3 1 9 6 3 .7 1 2 6 0 .2 1 8 6 .3 5 0 0 .0 5 7 3 .9 1 2 0 2 .1 7 7 5 .1 1 1 2 .7 3 0 7 .6 3 5 4 .8 3 0 5 .2 2 9 4 .5 1 9 4 .9 6 4 .8 1 3 0 .1 9 9 .6 9 7 .0 1 .0 1 4 1 .6 1 5 1 .5 1 1 2 .7 3 5 .3 7 6 .5 3 8 .8 F a r m ................................................................................................................................... 3 .6 Net ex ports of goods and ser vi ces E x p o r t s ...................................................................................... 2 0 .4 1 4 7 .3 1 2 6 .9 7 .8 1 6 2 .9 1 5 5 .1 - 1 0 .1 1 7 5 .5 1 8 5 .6 3 .0 1 6 8 .5 1 6 5 .6 - 8 .2 1 7 0 .4 1 7 8 .6 - 9 .7 1 7 8 .1 1 8 7 .7 - 7 .5 1 7 9 .9 1 8 7 .4 3 3 8 .9 1 2 3 .3 8 3 .9 3 9 .4 2 1 5 .6 3 6 1 .4 1 3 0 .1 8 6 .8 4 3 .3 2 3 1 .2 3 9 4 .9 1 4 5 .5 9 4 .3 5 1 .2 3 7 0 .0 3 7 4 .9 3 9 0 .6 1 4 3 ^ . 4 1 3 .4 1 5 3 .8 9 8 .5 5 5 .3 1 5 4 0 .3 1 5 1 8 .3 1 2 7 .1 8 1 2 6 .8 1 2 7 .2 C h a n g e in b u s i n e s s i n v e n t o r i e s ................................................................................. 1—1 • 1 .6 1 0 .7 6 .2 4 .5 1— 1 1 1— 1 0 m I m p o r t s ....................................................................................................................................... LO ............................................................................................................................. 1—1 1 Nonfarm .9 1 .1 - 1 1 .5 1 7 3 .6 1 8 8 .7 2 2 .5 8 9 .9 6 7 .4 2 6 3 .0 2 4 9 .5 1 6 9 3 .1 1 6 9 2 .1 1 8 7 2 .6 1 8 7 2 .7 1 7 5 6 .3 1 7 4 0 .9 1 7 9 7 .0 1 7 9 3 .2 1 8 4 8 .2 1 8 5 1 .4 1 8 9 2 .2 1 8 9 8 .2 1 9 5 3 .0 1 9 4 7 .8 1 2 1 2 .0 1 1 9 7 .3 1 3 3 .8 8 1 3 3 .4 1 3 3 .5 1 4 1 .3 2 1 4 0 .8 1 4 0 .5 1 3 6 .3 5 1 3 5 .9 1 3 5 .8 1 3 8 .1 3 1 3 7 .6 1 3 7 .3 1 4 0 .5 2 1 4 0 .0 1 3 9 .8 1 4 2 .1 9 1 4 1 .7 1 4 4 .3 2 1 4 3 .8 1 4 3 .4 XXXXXX XXXXXX xxxxxx 8 .2 8 .5 1 1 .6 1 1 .4 1 0 .8 6 .7 6 .9 1 3 .2 1 2 .6 1 3 .7 1 3 .6 1 0 .2 1 0 .5 9 .6 9 .7 9 .9 5 .3 5 .2 4 .9 5 .4 5 .5 4 .9 5 .3 5 .0 4 .5 4 .8 4 .9 5 .1 9 .5 9 .4 5 .6 5 .6 5 .9 6 .0 6 .9 7 .1 7 .1 7 .1 7 .5 7 .0 7 .0 1 3 8 2 .7 1 9 6 .9 1 1 8 5 .8 1 1 1 9 .9 6 5 .9 1 5 3 6 .7 2 2 7 .5 1 3 0 9 .2 1 2 4 2 .1 6 7 .1 1 4 3 2 .2 2 0 9 .5 1 4 7 6 .8 2 2 4 .4 1 2 5 2 .4 1 2 0 1 .0 P e r s o n a l s a v i n g ..................................................................................................... 1 2 5 3 .4 1 6 9 .0 1 0 8 4 .4 1 0 0 4 .2 8 0 .2 P e r c a p i t a d i s p o s a b l e p e r s o n a l i n c o m e , d o l l a r s ...................................................... 5 ,0 7 7 5 ,5 1 1 6 ,0 3 7 5 ,6 6 5 P e r s o n a l s a v i n g a s a p e r c e n t a g e of d i s p o s a b l e p e r s o n a l i n c o m e ................. 7 .4 5 .6 5 .1 4 .6 S t a t e a n d l o c a l ...................................................................................................................... 9 3 JC ' Addenda: Fi n al sales (GN P less change in b u siness in ven t o ries) Gross dom est ic product (GN P less rest- of- world s e c t o r )............. Im p licit p r ice d ef lat or , index numbers, 1972 = 100: G N P ......................................................................................................................... G r o s s d o m e s t i c p r o d u c t .................................................................................................. G r o s s d o m e s t i c b u s i n e s s p r o d u c t ............................................................................. Change from p receding period, percent at annual rat e: G N P ......................................................................................................................... G r o s s d o m e s t i c p r o d u c t .................................................................................................. G N P i m p l i c i t p r i c e d e f l a t o r .................................................. ........................................ G r o s s d o m e s t i c p r o d u c t i m p l i c i t p r i c e d e f l a t o r ................................................... G r o s s d o m e s t i c b u s i n e s s p r o d u c t i m p l i c i t p r i c e d e f l a t o r ........................... G N P c h a i n p r i c e i n d e x ..................................................................................................... G N P f i x e d - w e i g h t e d p r i c e i n d e x ................................................................................. 1 0 .7 5 .6 5 .5 5 .3 6 .0 6 .1 D ISPO SIT IO N O F PERSO N A L INCOM E P e r s o n a l i n c o m e ......................................................................................................................... Less: Equals: Less: Equals: So u r c e - P e r s o n a l t a x a nd n o n t a x p a y m e n t s ................................................................ D isp o sab le personal i n c o m e .......................................................................... P e r s o n a l o u t l a y s ......................................................................................................... U . S. D e p a r t m e n t o f C o m m e r c e , Bu r e a u o f Ec o n o m i c A n a l y s i s 1 2 2 2 .6 1 1 6 6 .3 5 6 .3 • 1 4 1 .5 4 .3 4 .8 2 5 9 .6 1 0 .4 1 0 .9 6 .1 6 .3 5 .5 6 .2 6 .3 1 2 9 2 .5 1 2 2 3 .9 68. 1 5 4 9 .8 2 2 6 .1 1 3 2 3 .8 1 2 5 0 .5 k 7 3 .3 1 6 0 2 .8 2 3 4 .6 1 3 6 8 .2 1 2 9 3 .0 5 ,7 9 3 5 ,9 6 7 6 ,0 9 8 4 .1 5 .3 5 .5 6 ,2 8 9 5 .5 * 4 1 5 1 7 .2 2 2 4 .8 m 7 5 .2 1 7 3 .0 1 6 4 .5 1 1 6 .8 .7 1- 0 8 .5 1 0 .1 - 1 .6 5 0 .2 2 4 7 .0 N o n d e f e n s e ...................................................................................................................... Æ S k>.3 3 7 2 .2 .7 .9 - 9 .9 - 1 1 .2 1 .2 ^ R .7 4 6 .7 2 3 8 .5 .................................................................................................................................... N a t i o n a l d e f e n s e .................................. ...................................................................... 8 2 1 .3 1 2 7 .5 3 2 1 .6 3 7 .1 1 3 4 .2 8 8 .4 4 5 .8 2 3 5 .8 Federal 1 2 7 4 .7 3 7 .1 7 9 .7 4 7 .7 4 6 .0 4 0 0 .9 1 4 8 .1 9 5 .6 5 2 .5 2 5 2 .9 Governm ent p u r ch ases of goods and ser vi ces 1976 1977 r IV O F O F E C O N O M IC C O M M E R C E A N A L Y S I S 1977 I II III IV r S e a s o n a l l y a d ju s ted at annual rates B i l l i o n s of 1 9 7 2 d o l l a r s 1 .0 1 .3 1 3 .3 1 4 .9 - 1 .6 F a r m s t r u c t u r e s ..................................................................................................... P r o d u c e r s ' d u r a b l e e q u i p m e n t ....................................................................... 1975 D E P A R T M E N T B U R E A U 1976 B i l l i o n s of cu rr en t d o l l a r s 9 8 0 .4 1 3 2 .9 4 0 9 .3 Per so n al consum pt ion ex pendit ures 1977 r 1977 U .S . NCOME 9 6 .7 xxxxxx xxxxxx 1 3 3 7 .5 8 6 1 .2 1 3 8 .3 3 3 3 .7 3 8 9 .2 1 2 8 7 .4 8 3 9 .8 1 3 0 .7 3 2 9 .4 1 3 1 1 .0 1 3 3 0 .7 8 5 0 .4 1 3 6 .9 3 2 9 .7 8 5 4 .1 1 3 7 .9 3 3 0 .0 1 3 4 7 .4 8 6 0 .4 1 3 6 .5 3 3 2 .4 3 7 9 .7 3 8 3 .8 3 8 6 .3 3 9 1 .4 1 9 5 .3 1 8 3 .9 1 2 7 .0 3 8 .4 88- . 6 5 6 .9 5 5 .1 .7 1 6 9 .2 1 7 1 .0 1 1 9 .0 1 8 6 .7 1 7 7 .0 1 2 4 .3 3 7 .0 2 0 0 .8 1 8 5 .1 1 2 7 .6 3 8 .9 8 7 .3 5 2 .7 5 0 .9 1 9 7 .2 1 8 4 .0 1 2 6 .4 3 8 .2 8 8 .1 5 7 .6 5 5 .7 3 7 .3 8 1 .7 5 2 .0 5 0 .2 1 3 6 0 .7 8 7 9 .9 1 4 1 .7 3 4 2 .7 3 9 5 .4 1 9 6 .4 1 8 9 .6 1 2 9 .8 3 9 .5 9 0 .2 5 9 .8 5 8 .0 8 8 .7 5 7 .5 5 5 .7 1 .1 1 1 .4 1 0 .6 .7 .7 1 .1 - 1 .8 .7 - 2 .5 .7 1 .1 9 .7 9 .9 - .2 .8 1•1 1 3 .2 1 3 .6 - .5 .7 1 .1 1 5 .7 1 5 .3 .4 06 1. 2 1 6 .0 9 5 .8 7 9 .8 1 0 .0 9 7 .9 8 7 .9 1 3 .8 9 6,. 9 8 3 .1 1 0 .6 9 6 .9 8 6 .3 9 .4 9 8 .5 8 9 .1 1 2 .2 9 9 .8 8 7 .6 7 .7 9 6 .4 8 8 .7 2 6 4 .4 9 6 .5 2 7 1 .0 2 6 4 .6 9 7 .1 2 6 3 .3 9 7 .0 2 7 0 .0 1 0 1 .1 2 7 4 .0 1 0 3 .3 2 7 6 .7 1 0 4 .2 XXXXXX xxxxxx XXXXXX xxxxxx XXXXXX XXXXXX 1 3 1 7 .5 1 3 2 2 .8 XXXXXX xxxxxx 1 0 1 .4 XXXXXX 6 .8 3 .7 3 .2 XXXXXX XXXXXX 1 6 7 .9 XXXXXX 1 6 9 .6 1 2 6 6 .2 1 2 6 8 .0 1 3 2 6 .1 1 3 3 0 .1 1 2 8 9 .2 1 2 8 0 .9 1 3 0 1 .2 1 3 0 3 .3 XXXXXX xxxxxx xxxxxx XXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXX - 1 .3 - 1 .1 6 .0 5 .9 4 .9 4 .9 1 .2 1 .3 7 .5 7 .2 6 .2 5 .1 5 .3 4 .0 6 .1 xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx XXXXXX xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx XXXXXX xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx XXXXXX xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx XXXXXX xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx XXXXXX xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx XXXXXX xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx xxxxxx 4 ,0 1 4 4 ,1 3 7 4 ,2 9 2 4 ,1 7 7 XXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXX 1 6 6 .3 8 5 7 .3 8 9 0 .3 9 3 0 .7 1 6 7 .5 9 0 1 .5 xxxxxx 1 6 6 .4 9 0 8 .4 4 ,2 0 2 XXXXXX xf B XXXXXX XXXXXX XXXXXX 9 2 4 .5 4 ,2 6 8 XXXXXX 1 7 2 .5 1 3 5 3 .8 1 3 5 4 .2 1 3 3 1 .8 1 3 4 0 .1 XXXXXX xxxxxx xxxxxx 9 3 4 .4 XXXXXX XXXXXX xxxxxx 4 .3 9 5 5 .2 4 ,3 9 1 4 ,3 0 5 XXXXXX XXXXXX U S C O M M .D C 3 Î 3 1 1 - P 7 6 The r evi sed GNP and per sonal i ncome est i mat es f or t he f our t h quar t er ar e based on pr el i mi nar y sour ce dat a and ar e subj ect t o f ur t her r evi si on next mont h. Measur es of pr i ce change Thr ee GNP pr i ce measur es ar e pr esent ed. The chai n pr i ce i ndex uses t he composi t i on of out put i n t he pr i or quar t er as wei ght s i n t he cal cul at i on of pr i ce change each quar t er . The f i xed- wei ght ed pr i ce i ndex uses t he composi t i on of out put i n 1972 as wei ght s. The i mpl i ci t pr i ce def l at or uses t he cur r ent composi t i on of out put each quar t er as wei ght s. When t he composi t i on of out put changes mar kedl y, t he under l yi ng pr i ce change may be obscur ed i n t he i mpl i ci t pr i ce def l at or . Def i ni t i ons of GNP and GDP GNP i s t he mar ket val ue of t he out put of goods and ser vi ces accr ui ng t o r esi dent s of t he Nat i on. I t i ncl udes f act or i ncome r ecei ved by U. S r esi dent s f r om abr oad - - pr i mar i l y t he r et ur n on U. S. - owned capi t al i n f or ei gn count r i es — and excl udes f act or i ncome ear ned i n t he Uni t ed St at es by f or ei gner s - pr i mar i l y t he r et ur n on f or ei gn- owned capi t al i n t he Uni t ed St at es. GDP i s t he mar ket val ue of t he out put pr oduced wi t hi n t he boundar i es of t he Uni t ed St at es. I t excl udes f act or i ncome r ecei ved by U. S. r esi dent s f r om abr oad and i ncl udes f act or i ncome ear ned i n t he Uni t ed St at es by f or ei gner s. GNP and per sonal i ncome st at i st i cs ar e shown i n t he accompanyi ng t abl e. Addi t i onal dat a wi l l appear i n t he Febr uar y i ssue of t he Sur vey of Cur r ent Busi ness, a mont hl y magazi ne of t he Bur eau of Economi c Anal ysi s. Sur vey of Cur r ent Busi ness i s avai l abl e f r om t he Super i nt endent of Document s, U. S. Gover nment Pr i nt i ng Of f i ce, Washi ngt on, D. C. 20402. Fi r st cl ass mai l : annual subscr i pt i on $31. 00 domest i c. Si ngl e i ssue $2. 75 domest i c. Second cl ass mai l : annual subscr i pt i on $19. 00 domest i c, $23. 75 f or ei gn. Si ngl e copy $1. 60 domest i c, $2. 00 f or ei gn. 4