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EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 A.M. EDT, WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 29, 2018 Technical: Media: Lisa Mataloni (GDP) Kate Pinard (Corporate Profits) Jeannine Aversa (301) 278-9083 (301) 278-9417 (301) 278-9003 BEA 18-43 gdpniwd@bea.gov cpniwd@bea.gov Jeannine.Aversa@bea.gov Gross Domestic Product: Second Quarter 2018 (Second Estimate) Corporate Profits: Second Quarter 2018 (Preliminary Estimate) Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 4.2 percent in the second quarter of 2018 (table 1), according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 2.2 percent. The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "advance" estimate issued last month. In the advance estimate, the increase in real GDP was 4.1 percent. With this second estimate for the second quarter, the general picture of economic growth remains the same; the revision primarily reflected upward revisions to nonresidential fixed investment and private inventory investment that were partly offset by a downward revision to personal consumption expenditures (PCE). Imports which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, were revised down. (see "Updates to GDP" on page 2). Real GDP: Percent change from preceding quarter 2014 U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 2015 2016 2017 2018 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Real gross domestic income (GDI) increased 1.8 percent in the second quarter, compared with an increase of 3.9 percent in the first quarter. The average of real GDP and real GDI, a supplemental measure of U.S. economic activity that equally weights GDP and GDI, increased 3.0 percent in the second quarter, compared with an increase of 3.1 percent in the first quarter (table 1). The increase in real GDP in the second quarter reflected positive contributions from PCE, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, federal government spending, and state and local government spending that were partly offset by negative contributions from private inventory investment and residential fixed investment. Imports decreased (table 2). The acceleration in real GDP growth in the second quarter reflected accelerations in PCE, exports, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, as well as a smaller decrease in residential fixed investment. These movements were partly offset by a downturn in private inventory investment and a deceleration in nonresidential fixed investment. Imports decreased after increasing in the first quarter. Current-dollar GDP increased 7.6 percent, or $370.9 billion, in the second quarter to a level of $20.41 trillion. In the first quarter, current-dollar GDP increased 4.3 percent, or $209.2 billion (table 1 and table 3). The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 2.3 percent in the second quarter, compared with an increase of 2.5 percent in the first quarter (table 4). The PCE price index increased 1.9 percent, compared with an increase of 2.5 percent. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index increased 2.0 percent, compared with an increase of 2.2 percent. Updates to GDP The percent change in real GDP was revised up 0.1 percentage point from the advance estimate, reflecting upward revisions to nonresidential fixed investment, private inventory investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending that were partly offset by downward revisions to PCE, residential fixed investment, and exports. Imports were revised down. For more information, see the Technical Note. A detailed "Key Source Data and Assumptions" file is also posted for each release. For information on updates to GDP, see the "Additional Information" section that follows. Real GDP Current-dollar GDP Real GDI Average of Real GDP and Real GDI Gross domestic purchases price index PCE price index Advance Estimate Second Estimate (Percent change from preceding quarter) 4.1 4.2 7.4 7.6 … 1.8 … 3.0 2.3 2.3 1.8 1.9 For the first quarter of 2018, revised tabulations from the BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages program were incorporated into the estimates; the percent change in real GDI was unrevised at 3.9 percent. -2- Corporate Profits (table 10) Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) increased $72.4 billion in the second quarter, compared with an increase of $26.7 billion in the first quarter. Profits of domestic financial corporations increased $16.8 billion in the second quarter, in contrast to a decrease of $9.3 billion in the first quarter. Profits of domestic nonfinancial corporations increased $63.6 billion, compared with an increase of $32.3 billion. Rest-of-the-world profits decreased $8.0 billion, in contrast to an increase of $3.7 billion. In the second quarter, receipts decreased $6.0 billion, and payments increased $2.0 billion. * * * Next release: September 27, 2018 at 8:30 A.M. EDT Gross Domestic Product: Second Quarter 2018 (Third Estimate) Corporate Profits: Second Quarter 2018 (Revised Estimate) * * -3- * Additional Information Resources Personal income is the income received by, or on behalf of, all persons from all sources: from participation as laborers in production, from owning a home or business, from the ownership of financial assets, and from government and business in the form of transfers. t includes income from domestic sources as well as the rest of world. It does not include realized or unrealized capital gains or losses. Additional resources available at www.bea.gov: • • • • • • Stay informed about BEA developments by reading the BEA blog, signing up for BEA’s email subscription service, or following BEA on Twitter @BEA_News. Historical time series for these estimates can be accessed in BEA’s interactive data application. Access BEA data by registering for BEA’s data application programming interface (API). For more on BEA’s statistics, see our monthly online journal, the Survey of Current Business. BEA's news release schedule NIPA Handbook: Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts Disposable personal income is the income available to persons for spending or saving. It is equal to personal income less personal current taxes. Personal outlays is the sum of personal consumption expenditures, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments. Personal saving is personal income less personal outlays and personal current taxes. The personal saving rate is personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income. Definitions Gross domestic product (GDP) is the value of the goods and services produced by the nation’s economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production. GDP is also equal to the sum of personal consumption expenditures, gross private domestic investment, net exports of goods and services, and government consumption expenditures and gross investment. Profits from current production, referred to as corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment (IVA) and capital consumption (CCAdj) adjustment in the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPAs), is a measure of the net income of corporations before deducting income taxes that is consistent with the value of goods and services measured in GDP. The IVA and CCAdj are adjustments that convert inventory withdrawals and depreciation of fixed assets reported on a tax-return, historical-cost basis to the current-cost economic measures used in the national income and product accounts. Profits for domestic industries reflect profits for all corporations located within the geographic borders of the United States. The rest-ofthe-world (ROW) component of profits is measured as the difference between profits received from ROW and profits paid to ROW. Gross domestic income (GDI) is the sum of incomes earned and costs incurred in the production of GDP. In national economic accounting, GDP and GDI are conceptually equal. In practice, GDP and GDI differ because they are constructed using largely independent source data. Real GDI is calculated by deflating gross domestic income using the GDP price index as the deflator and is therefore conceptually equivalent to real GDP. Current-dollar estimates are valued in the prices of the period when the transactions occurred—that is, at "market value." Also referred to as "nominal estimates" or as "current-price estimates." For more definitions, see the Glossary: National Income and Product Accounts. Real values are inflation-adjusted estimates—that is, estimates that exclude the effects of price changes. Statistical conventions Annual-vs-quarterly rates. Quarterly seasonally adjusted values are expressed at annual rates, unless otherwise specified. This convention is used for BEA’s featured, seasonally adjusted measures to facilitate comparisons with related and historical data. For details, see the FAQ “Why does BEA publish estimates at annual rates?” Quarterly not seasonally adjusted values are expressed only at quarterly rates. The gross domestic purchases price index measures the prices of final goods and services purchased by U.S. residents. The personal consumption expenditure price index measures the prices paid for the goods and services purchased by, or on the behalf of, "persons." -4- to further revision by the source agency; "second" and "third" estimates are released near the end of the second and third months, respectively, and are based on more detailed and more comprehensive data as they become available. Percent changes. Percent changes in quarterly seasonally adjusted series are displayed at annual rates, unless otherwise specified. For details, see the FAQ “How is average annual growth calculated?” Percent changes in quarterly not seasonally adjusted values are calculated from the same quarter one year ago. All published percent changes are calculated from unrounded data. Annual and comprehensive updates are typically released in late July. Annual updates generally cover at least the 5 most recent calendar years (and their associated quarters) and incorporate newly available major annual source data as well as some changes in methods and definitions to improve the accounts. Comprehensive (or benchmark) updates are carried out at about 5-year intervals and incorporate major periodic source data, as well as major conceptual improvements. Calendar years and quarters. Unless noted otherwise, annual and quarterly data are presented on a calendar basis. Quantities and prices. Quantities, or "real" volume measures, and prices are expressed as index numbers with a specified reference year equal to 100 (currently 2012). Quantity and price indexes are calculated using a Fisherchained weighted formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent periods (quarters for quarterly data and annuals for annual data). For details on the calculation of quantity and price indexes, see Chapter 4: Estimating Methods in the NIPA Handbook. The table below shows the average revisions to the quarterly percent changes in real GDP between different estimate vintages, without regard to sign. Chained-dollar values are calculated by multiplying the quantity index by the current dollar value in the reference year (2012) and then dividing by 100. Percent changes calculated from real quantity indexes and chained-dollar levels are conceptually the same; any differences are due to rounding. Chained-dollar values are not additive because the relative weights for a given period differ from those of the reference year. In tables that display chained-dollar values, a "residual" line shows the difference between the sum of detailed chained-dollar series and its corresponding aggregate. Vintage Average Revision Without Regard to Sign (percentage points, annual rates) Advance to second 0.5 Advance to third 0.6 Second to third 0.2 Advance to latest 1.3 Note - Based on estimates from 1993 through 2016. For more information on GDP updates, see Revision Information on the BEA Web site. The larger average revision from the advance to the latest estimate reflects the fact that periodic comprehensive updates include major statistical and methodological improvements. Updates to GDP Unlike GDP, an advance current quarterly estimate of GDI is not released because data on domestic profits and on net interest of domestic industries are not available. For fourth quarter estimates, these data are not available until the third estimate. BEA releases three vintages of the current quarterly estimate for GDP: "Advance" estimates are released near the end of the first month following the end of the quarter and are based on source data that are incomplete or subject -5- List of GDP News Release Tables Table 1. Table 2. Table 3. Table 4. Table 5. Table 6. Table 7. Table 8. Table 9. Table 11. Table 12. Appendix Table A. Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change from Preceding Period Contributions to Percent Change in Real Gross Domestic Product Gross Domestic Product: Level and Change From Preceding Period Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change from Preceding Period Real Gross Domestic Product: Annual Percent Change Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Quarter One Year Ago Relation of Gross Domestic Product, Gross National Product, and National Income Personal Income and Its Disposition Corporate Profits: Level and Percent Change Corporate Profits by Industry: Level and Change From Preceding Period Gross Value Added of Nonfinancial Domestic Corporate Business Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Aggregates and Price Indexes: Percent Change From Preceding Period and Contributions to Percent Change Appendix Table B. Not Seasonally Adjusted Real Gross Domestic Product: Level and Percent Change From Quarter One Year Ago -6- August 29, 2018 7DEOH5HDO*URVV'RPHVWLF3URGXFWDQG5HODWHG0HDVXUHV3HUFHQW&KDQJH)URP3UHFHGLQJ3HULRG Line 2015 2016 2017 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2014 Line 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q1r Q2r Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 4.9 1.9 3.3 3.3 1.0 0.4 1.5 2.3 1.9 1.8 1.8 3.0 2.8 2.3 2.2 4.2 1 4.5 4.7 3.5 3.4 2.9 2.3 2.4 3.4 2.7 2.6 1.8 2.9 2.2 3.9 0.5 3.8 2 4.5 5.5 4.4 4.8 4.3 2.4 3.4 4.8 3.3 2.7 1.9 5.6 4.1 6.8 -0.6 5.4 3 7.4 8.1 6.6 9.4 5.0 2.9 3.2 6.6 10.4 7.1 1.9 8.7 7.7 12.7 -2.0 8.6 4 3.2 4.3 3.4 2.6 4.0 2.1 3.5 3.9 -0.1 0.6 1.9 4.0 2.3 4.0 0.1 3.7 5 4.4 4.3 3.1 2.7 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.8 2.4 2.5 1.7 1.7 1.4 2.6 1.0 3.1 6 7.6 -0.3 12.8 2.0 -1.2 -5.8 -1.8 -1.0 -0.4 8.1 4.9 5.7 8.8 0.8 9.6 0.4 7 8.2 4.3 0.0 3.7 3.1 -1.9 1.9 2.8 3.2 1.7 9.9 4.3 2.6 6.2 8.0 6.2 8 8.7 2.0 -1.8 2.0 1.1 -3.9 -1.2 3.8 4.6 0.0 9.6 7.3 3.4 4.8 11.5 8.5 9 1.1 6.7 -8.7 1.7 -13.9 -20.6 -4.0 3.3 12.6 -1.2 12.8 3.8 -5.7 1.3 13.9 13.2 10 14.8 -5.6 4.4 0.8 7.3 -4.4 -6.4 0.1 0.1 0.9 9.1 9.7 9.8 9.9 8.5 4.4 11 5.9 10.4 -5.0 4.0 4.6 11.1 8.7 9.6 5.5 -0.4 8.0 6.6 1.7 0.7 14.1 11.0 12 6.3 14.9 7.5 11.0 11.4 5.8 13.7 -1.0 -1.7 7.7 11.1 -5.5 -0.5 11.1 -3.4 -1.6 13 ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... 14 ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... 15 1.4 4.7 -4.2 3.8 -3.5 -2.2 -2.4 3.4 6.1 -3.6 5.0 3.6 3.5 6.6 3.6 9.1 16 3.4 4.6 -9.4 6.5 -4.6 -4.8 0.2 3.6 7.7 -3.1 4.2 4.2 2.1 10.9 3.2 13.1 17 -2.8 5.0 7.4 -1.3 -1.3 2.8 -7.2 3.1 3.2 -4.6 6.4 2.6 6.3 -1.0 4.2 1.6 18 0.6 11.0 6.6 3.2 4.1 -0.4 0.5 0.8 4.9 6.2 4.8 2.5 2.8 11.8 3.0 -0.4 19 0.6 11.7 7.8 3.6 3.1 -1.3 -0.4 1.1 4.2 6.4 4.9 2.4 2.5 14.2 2.4 -0.3 20 0.7 8.1 1.3 1.9 8.9 3.8 4.4 -0.7 7.9 5.7 4.5 3.1 4.4 2.0 5.5 -0.8 21 Gross domestic product (GDP)............................... 2.9 1.6 2.2 1 2 Personal consumption expenditures............................... 3.7 2.7 2.5 3 Goods................................................................................ 4.7 3.6 3.7 Durable goods................................................................ 4 7.6 5.5 6.8 5 3.4 2.7 2.1 Nondurable goods.......................................................... 6 Services............................................................................. 3.2 2.3 2.0 7 Gross private domestic investment................................. 4.8 -1.3 4.8 8 Fixed investment............................................................... 3.4 1.7 4.8 9 1.8 0.5 5.3 Nonresidential................................................................. Structures.................................................................... 10 -3.0 -5.0 4.6 Equipment................................................................... 11 3.1 -1.5 6.1 Intellectual property products...................................... 12 3.7 7.5 4.6 13 6.5 3.3 Residential...................................................................... 10.1 14 Change in private inventories............................................ ........... ........... ........... 15 Net exports of goods and services.................................. ........... ........... ........... 16 Exports.............................................................................. 0.6 -0.1 3.0 17 -0.3 0.3 3.3 Goods............................................................................. Services.......................................................................... 18 2.4 -0.9 2.5 19 Imports............................................................................... 5.5 1.9 4.6 Goods............................................................................. 20 5.8 1.4 4.6 21 4.0 4.2 4.4 Services.......................................................................... 22 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment......................................................................... 1.9 1.4 -0.1 2.8 -0.4 2.3 4.0 1.9 0.7 3.4 23 Federal.............................................................................. 0.0 0.4 0.7 4.7 -5.9 2.2 1.0 -0.6 2.3 0.2 National defense............................................................. -2.0 -0.6 24 0.7 5.5 -11.0 0.0 0.8 -4.0 2.6 -1.1 25 3.1 1.9 0.8 3.5 2.5 5.5 1.4 4.6 1.9 2.1 Nondefense.................................................................... 26 State and local................................................................... 3.0 2.0 -0.5 1.6 3.2 2.3 5.8 3.4 -0.3 5.4 Addenda: 1 27 Gross domestic income (GDI) ......................................... 2.6 0.8 2.3 4.8 2.9 2.9 1.3 1.0 0.3 1.5 28 Average of GDP and GDI.................................................. 2.7 1.2 2.2 4.9 2.4 3.1 2.3 1.0 0.3 1.5 29 Final sales of domestic product......................................... 2.6 2.1 2.2 5.0 2.7 1.2 3.7 1.7 1.1 2.2 30 Gross domestic purchases................................................ 3.6 1.8 2.5 4.7 2.9 4.8 3.3 2.0 0.6 1.9 31 Final sales to domestic purchasers................................... 3.3 2.3 2.5 4.8 3.7 2.7 3.6 2.7 1.3 2.5 32 Final sales to private domestic purchasers....................... 3.7 2.5 3.0 5.2 4.6 2.8 3.5 2.9 1.4 2.3 33 Gross national product (GNP)........................................... 2.8 1.5 2.3 5.4 1.1 3.5 3.0 0.9 0.7 0.9 34 Disposable personal income............................................. 4.1 1.7 2.6 4.5 5.0 5.0 3.1 3.4 0.9 2.7 Current-dollar measures: 35 4.0 2.7 4.2 6.9 2.7 3.0 5.7 2.4 0.5 1.2 GDP................................................................................ GDI................................................................................. 36 3.7 1.9 4.2 6.8 3.7 2.6 3.7 2.5 0.4 1.1 37 3.8 2.3 4.2 6.9 3.2 2.8 4.7 2.5 0.4 1.2 Average of GDP and GDI............................................... Final sales of domestic product...................................... 38 3.7 3.2 4.2 7.1 3.0 1.2 6.2 3.0 1.3 2.0 39 3.9 2.6 4.3 6.2 3.3 3.1 4.8 3.2 0.2 1.2 Gross domestic purchases............................................. Final sales to domestic purchasers................................ 40 3.7 3.2 4.4 6.4 3.6 1.3 5.3 3.7 0.9 2.0 41 4.1 3.4 4.8 6.7 4.5 1.6 5.1 4.0 1.2 2.2 Final sales to private domestic purchasers.................... GNP................................................................................ 42 3.8 2.6 4.3 7.4 1.9 3.1 5.3 2.4 0.9 0.5 43 Disposable personal income.......................................... 4.4 2.8 4.4 5.7 4.6 3.2 5.1 4.7 0.7 3.0 r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the first quarter of 2018. 1. Gross domestic income deflated by the implicit price deflator for gross domestic product. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis -7- -0.8 -1.6 -3.3 1.0 -0.4 1.0 1.6 2.8 -0.1 0.6 0.2 0.5 -1.2 3.0 0.0 -0.8 0.0 -0.3 0.4 -1.2 0.0 2.4 5.6 -2.0 -1.3 -1.0 -1.3 -2.9 1.1 -0.9 2.4 4.1 2.9 5.7 1.4 1.5 2.6 3.0 2.1 0.9 2.3 3.7 6.0 0.5 1.6 22 23 24 25 26 -0.9 0.6 2.9 1.9 2.6 3.3 2.4 -0.6 2.0 2.0 2.5 1.9 2.4 2.8 1.6 1.5 2.4 2.1 0.7 3.0 2.0 2.4 2.8 2.7 3.5 2.6 2.6 1.9 2.6 3.3 1.5 4.5 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.6 3.2 2.6 2.2 1.3 2.0 1.8 2.7 1.7 2.3 3.6 2.2 1.5 1.9 3.2 3.1 4.0 4.4 2.6 2.3 3.9 3.1 1.9 2.2 1.9 2.0 2.2 4.4 1.8 3.0 5.3 3.0 3.9 4.3 4.1 2.5 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 5.1 1.8 3.4 5.7 4.4 4.9 5.6 5.3 1.7 3.5 3.5 3.5 4.0 3.5 4.1 4.3 3.1 3.3 3.9 4.5 4.2 3.0 5.0 4.1 4.4 4.9 4.7 3.9 5.6 4.8 4.7 4.2 4.9 5.3 3.6 6.6 4.2 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 4.2 3.8 3.0 4.8 3.2 4.0 4.0 4.4 3.6 4.0 5.6 3.9 5.1 4.2 4.7 5.8 6.0 6.7 6.9 5.3 5.1 4.3 6.0 5.1 4.0 4.8 4.5 4.5 4.2 7.0 7.6 5.1 6.4 8.4 5.6 6.4 6.5 7.4 4.4 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 August 29, 2018 7DEOH&RQWULEXWLRQVWR3HUFHQW&KDQJHLQ5HDO*URVV'RPHVWLF3URGXFW Line 2015 2016 2017 2014 Q3 Q4 Q1 2015 Q2 Q3 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2016 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2017 Q2 Q3 Q4 2018 Q2r Q1 Line Percent change at annual rate: Gross domestic product................................................ Percentage points at annual rates: 2 Personal consumption expenditures................................. 3 Goods.................................................................................. Durable goods................................................................... 4 Motor vehicles and parts................................................ 5 Furnishings and durable household equipment............. 6 Recreational goods and vehicles................................... 7 Other durable goods...................................................... 8 Nondurable goods............................................................. 9 Food and beverages purchased for off-premises 10 consumption................................................................. Clothing and footwear.................................................... 11 Gasoline and other energy goods.................................. 12 Other nondurable goods................................................ 13 1 14 Services.............................................................................. 15 Household consumption expenditures (for services)........ Housing and utilities....................................................... 16 Health care..................................................................... 17 Transportation services.................................................. 18 Recreation services....................................................... 19 Food services and accommodations............................. 20 Financial services and insurance................................... 21 Other services................................................................ 22 Final consumption expenditures of nonprofit 23 institutions serving households....................................... Gross output of nonprofit institutions............................. 24 Less: Receipts from sales of goods and services 25 by nonprofit institutions................................................ 2.9 1.6 2.2 4.9 1.9 3.3 2.50 1.02 0.53 0.18 0.12 0.15 0.08 0.49 1.85 0.77 0.39 0.08 0.11 0.17 0.02 0.38 1.73 0.78 0.48 0.11 0.12 0.19 0.07 0.30 2.98 0.98 0.51 0.13 0.10 0.21 0.07 0.47 3.10 1.18 0.55 0.17 0.09 0.19 0.10 0.63 2.36 0.94 0.46 0.21 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.48 2.28 1.91 1.02 0.91 0.65 0.35 0.33 -0.02 0.12 0.15 0.11 0.18 0.09 0.05 0.37 0.56 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.26 0.18 0.12 0.04 0.05 0.01 -0.02 0.15 0.15 0.09 0.05 0.03 0.30 0.07 0.14 0.17 0.25 0.12 0.03 0.19 0.14 0.04 0.06 0.01 0.27 2.00 1.99 0.05 0.82 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.27 0.31 1.91 1.41 2.12 1.67 0.55 0.51 0.86 0.65 0.00 0.11 0.17 0.11 0.26 0.10 0.10 0.29 0.18 -0.10 1.48 1.08 1.55 1.01 0.27 0.16 0.64 0.46 0.09 0.08 0.11 0.06 0.19 0.10 0.15 -0.09 0.10 0.23 0.95 0.96 0.08 0.36 0.07 0.06 0.03 0.14 0.23 3.3 1.0 0.4 2.2 4.2 1 2.64 0.36 1.42 -0.13 0.87 -0.15 0.4 -0.35 0.18 0.03 0.22 0.13 0.07 0.04 0.55 0.02 2.55 1.12 0.60 0.16 0.10 0.17 0.16 0.52 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0.05 0.16 0.29 0.11 0.15 0.04 0.17 -0.15 0.11 -0.05 -0.02 -0.05 0.26 0.17 0.12 0.11 0.14 0.17 0.04 0.18 10 11 12 13 1.26 1.00 1.02 0.90 1.29 1.09 1.17 0.82 0.79 0.65 1.22 0.49 1.30 0.83 0.83 0.93 1.34 0.78 1.26 0.89 0.82 0.77 1.14 0.24 0.01 0.28 -0.03 0.17 0.35 0.26 -0.17 -0.13 0.36 0.04 0.27 0.07 0.41 0.48 0.35 0.48 0.84 -0.19 0.87 0.25 0.04 0.60 0.28 0.16 0.12 0.04 0.10 0.08 0.05 0.11 0.16 -0.04 0.07 0.07 0.23 -0.02 0.11 -0.01 0.26 -0.04 -0.10 0.15 0.19 0.08 0.01 -0.05 -0.05 0.05 0.31 0.07 0.15 0.06 0.16 0.05 -0.06 0.12 -0.05 0.04 -0.01 0.10 0.18 -0.13 0.00 -0.28 -0.19 0.16 -0.02 0.38 0.05 0.16 0.11 -0.06 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.48 0.22 0.25 0.29 0.24 0.33 -0.10 0.31 -0.06 1.43 1.32 0.31 0.25 0.03 0.09 0.37 0.00 0.26 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 0.25 0.09 0.12 0.22 23 24 0.00 -0.17 1.52 1.62 0.51 0.72 0.21 0.23 -0.1 -0.01 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.17 0.06 -0.05 0.30 0.49 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.03 0.08 -0.03 0.33 0.24 2.3 1.9 2.30 1.79 1.01 0.70 0.46 0.71 0.13 0.34 0.11 0.13 0.20 0.19 0.01 0.06 0.55 -0.01 1.8 1.8 3.0 2.8 1.75 1.22 0.58 0.40 0.50 0.13 0.25 -0.22 0.05 0.13 0.16 0.19 0.05 0.04 0.08 0.27 1.95 1.17 0.60 0.08 0.14 0.29 0.10 0.56 1.52 0.86 0.54 0.21 0.14 0.05 0.14 0.32 0.27 0.36 0.11 0.12 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.07 -0.04 -0.01 0.14 -0.12 -0.04 -0.05 -0.03 0.05 0.27 -0.15 0.05 0.25 0.07 -0.01 0.27 0.13 0.01 -0.21 -0.26 -0.04 0.36 0.25 -0.02 -0.06 0.21 0.20 0.14 0.35 0.46 0.24 -0.02 -0.11 0.12 0.35 0.49 -0.04 0.11 25 26 Gross private domestic investment.................................... 27 Fixed investment................................................................ Nonresidential................................................................... 28 Structures....................................................................... 29 Equipment...................................................................... 30 Information processing equipment.............................. 31 Industrial equipment.................................................... 32 Transportation equipment........................................... 33 Other equipment......................................................... 34 Intellectual property products......................................... 35 Software...................................................................... 36 Research and development........................................ 37 Entertainment, literary, and artistic originals............... 38 Residential........................................................................ 39 0.83 0.57 0.24 -0.10 0.19 0.13 0.00 0.16 -0.10 0.15 0.08 0.04 0.03 0.33 -0.24 0.81 0.29 0.81 0.06 0.68 -0.16 0.13 -0.09 0.35 0.08 0.22 -0.01 0.08 -0.10 -0.06 -0.06 0.11 0.31 0.20 0.14 0.17 0.17 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.23 0.13 1.32 1.35 1.15 0.04 0.87 0.03 0.12 0.39 0.33 0.24 0.15 0.07 0.02 0.20 -0.05 0.72 0.26 0.21 -0.36 0.11 -0.16 -0.16 -0.14 0.41 0.02 0.35 0.04 0.45 2.15 0.37 -0.01 0.63 -0.25 0.27 -0.31 0.05 0.27 0.05 0.08 0.13 0.02 0.06 0.41 0.05 -0.23 -0.19 -0.21 0.17 0.10 0.07 -0.34 0.07 0.03 0.03 0.24 0.35 -1.04 -0.33 -0.53 -0.70 -0.27 0.09 0.03 -0.27 -0.13 0.44 0.12 0.31 0.01 0.20 -0.31 0.31 -0.16 -0.12 -0.40 -0.12 -0.12 -0.12 -0.04 0.36 0.18 0.18 -0.01 0.47 -0.17 -0.07 1.30 0.80 0.95 1.47 0.14 1.61 0.10 0.46 0.52 0.28 1.60 0.72 0.44 1.04 1.34 1.07 0.50 0.59 0.00 1.20 0.94 0.45 0.63 1.47 1.13 0.09 0.35 -0.04 0.36 0.11 -0.18 0.04 0.40 0.39 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.50 0.55 0.56 0.56 0.49 0.27 0.12 0.17 0.14 0.30 0.27 0.20 0.18 0.22 0.21 0.05 0.01 0.06 0.07 0.15 0.08 0.06 0.08 -0.04 -0.09 -0.21 -0.17 -0.02 -0.07 0.13 0.14 0.20 0.02 -0.06 0.03 0.02 0.16 0.19 0.15 0.19 0.00 0.09 0.39 0.23 -0.02 0.33 0.28 0.08 0.03 0.58 0.47 0.18 0.14 0.13 0.20 0.22 0.20 -0.05 0.31 0.23 0.23 0.07 -0.16 0.13 0.06 -0.12 0.06 0.27 0.23 -0.01 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.04 -0.06 0.28 0.41 -0.22 -0.02 0.41 -0.14 -0.06 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Change in private inventories.......................................... 41 Farm.................................................................................. Nonfarm............................................................................ 42 0.25 -0.53 0.03 -0.03 0.23 -0.50 0.00 -0.03 -0.77 0.00 0.08 -0.03 0.00 -0.11 -0.73 2.16 -0.25 -0.73 -0.70 -0.62 -0.62 -0.59 1.03 -0.80 0.15 -0.06 -0.03 -0.03 -0.18 0.16 0.02 -0.11 -0.02 2.02 -0.20 -0.70 -0.68 -0.44 -0.78 -0.62 1.14 -0.78 43 Net exports of goods and services..................................... 44 Exports................................................................................ 45 Goods................................................................................ Services............................................................................ 46 47 Imports................................................................................ Goods................................................................................ 48 Services............................................................................ 49 -0.78 0.08 -0.03 0.10 -0.85 -0.74 -0.11 -0.31 0.36 0.26 0.10 -0.67 -0.55 -0.12 -1.58 -0.56 -0.86 0.30 -1.02 -0.99 -0.03 50 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment........................................................................... 51 Federal................................................................................ National defense............................................................... 52 Consumption expenditures............................................ 53 Gross investment........................................................... 54 Nondefense....................................................................... 55 Consumption expenditures............................................ 56 Gross investment........................................................... 57 58 State and local.................................................................... Consumption expenditures............................................... 59 Gross investment.............................................................. 60 r Revised Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 0.12 0.20 0.32 -0.12 -0.08 -0.06 -0.02 0.33 0.25 -0.01 0.51 0.00 0.03 0.05 0.33 -0.08 -0.02 0.03 0.23 -0.07 -0.01 -0.02 0.26 -0.01 -0.01 0.05 -0.03 0.08 0.05 0.02 0.09 0.07 0.04 0.01 0.08 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.34 0.22 -0.06 0.18 0.25 0.18 0.00 0.11 0.09 0.04 -0.06 0.07 -1.08 0.62 0.42 0.21 -1.70 -1.48 -0.22 -0.01 0.48 0.54 -0.06 -0.49 -0.44 -0.05 -0.22 0.51 0.14 -0.48 0.43 0.28 -0.06 0.28 -0.06 0.18 0.02 0.14 0.03 0.37 -0.21 -0.28 -0.40 0.12 0.07 0.17 -0.10 0.31 -0.09 -0.07 -0.03 -0.11 0.27 0.26 0.07 -0.19 0.25 0.35 -0.36 0.29 0.03 -1.32 -0.31 0.39 0.71 -0.44 0.00 0.26 0.58 -0.24 -0.31 0.13 0.13 -0.20 -0.06 -0.10 -0.68 -0.88 0.06 -0.11 -0.47 -0.73 -0.12 0.02 -0.21 -0.15 0.14 -0.16 0.23 0.03 0.19 0.36 0.07 0.08 1.04 -0.91 0.27 -0.97 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0.03 1.02 -0.89 0.28 -1.00 -0.10 0.08 0.01 -0.89 0.59 0.44 0.42 0.79 0.33 0.33 0.17 0.83 0.26 0.11 0.25 -0.04 -0.69 -0.36 -0.41 -1.68 -0.57 -0.28 -0.29 -1.62 -0.12 -0.09 -0.12 -0.06 40 41 42 -0.02 0.43 0.26 0.18 -0.45 -0.30 -0.15 1.17 1.10 1.03 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.02 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 -0.07 0.40 0.70 0.33 0.12 0.60 -0.15 0.17 0.03 -0.13 0.01 -0.18 0.41 0.27 -0.42 0.15 0.07 -0.04 0.16 0.02 -0.10 0.11 0.03 0.00 0.16 -0.08 0.26 0.17 -0.49 0.00 0.03 -0.16 0.10 -0.04 -0.13 0.11 -0.05 -0.01 0.21 -0.11 0.11 0.11 -0.48 0.11 -0.05 -0.11 0.06 -0.01 -0.07 0.11 -0.06 -0.10 0.07 -0.08 0.09 0.12 -0.01 -0.11 0.08 -0.05 0.05 -0.03 -0.06 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.14 -0.03 0.02 0.00 0.07 0.15 0.04 0.12 0.05 0.06 0.03 0.00 0.08 0.01 -0.05 0.03 0.15 0.06 0.03 0.14 0.02 0.11 0.06 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 -0.07 0.04 0.11 0.08 0.04 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 -0.01 0.03 -0.03 0.35 0.26 0.63 0.37 -0.03 0.58 -0.04 0.07 0.00 -0.13 -0.15 -0.10 0.15 0.10 0.26 0.30 0.30 0.27 0.19 0.21 0.14 0.14 -0.02 -0.07 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 0.02 0.09 -0.05 0.33 0.10 -0.22 0.37 -0.18 -0.08 0.02 -0.07 -0.10 -0.09 0.16 0.08 0.41 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.06 0.11 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 -8- -1.05 -0.44 -0.39 -0.05 -0.61 -0.38 -0.23 0.19 -0.03 -0.05 0.31 0.31 0.44 2.3 -0.07 0.13 -0.30 -0.01 0.03 -0.04 -0.28 -0.17 -0.11 0.17 0.06 1.5 August 29, 2018 7DEOH*URVV'RPHVWLF3URGXFW/HYHODQG&KDQJH)URP3UHFHGLQJ3HULRG&RQWLQXHV Billions of dollars Line Billions of chained (2012) dollars Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2017 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2017 2017 2018 2017 2018 Q1r Q2r Q1r Q2r Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 19,588.1 19,831.8 20,041.0 20,411.9 18,050.7 17,995.2 18,120.8 18,223.8 18,324.0 18,514.6 13,359.1 13,579.2 13,679.6 13,871.6 12,558.7 12,515.9 12,584.9 12,706.4 12,722.8 12,841.2 4,166.0 4,250.9 4,267.7 4,327.8 4,391.9 4,366.0 4,410.2 4,483.9 4,477.0 4,535.7 1,411.2 1,445.7 1,434.5 1,458.7 1,577.9 1,559.2 1,588.6 1,636.6 1,628.2 1,662.2 497.7 516.4 498.5 505.1 507.2 498.0 508.4 528.3 510.7 519.1 316.3 322.6 324.1 331.3 360.4 355.8 363.8 373.9 375.5 381.1 379.9 386.3 388.5 392.5 476.2 475.5 478.4 492.2 500.6 511.9 217.3 220.4 223.4 229.9 239.9 236.5 243.9 247.8 249.9 259.0 2,754.8 2,805.2 2,833.2 2,869.1 2,822.0 2,813.9 2,829.9 2,857.7 2,858.6 2,884.9 Change from preceding period 2017 r 2018 r Line Q1 Q2 Q2 Gross domestic product (GDP).................................. 19,485.4 19,359.1 1 391.5 100.2 190.6 1 2 Personal consumption expenditures................................. 13,321.4 13,233.2 310.5 16.5 118.4 2 3 Goods................................................................................... 4,156.1 4,117.1 155.8 -6.9 58.7 3 Durable goods................................................................... 1,406.5 1,393.4 4 101.1 -8.4 34.0 4 Motor vehicles and parts................................................ 5 498.2 489.7 20.7 -17.6 8.4 5 Furnishings and durable household equipment........... 6 315.4 312.9 25.7 1.6 5.6 6 Recreational goods and vehicles.................................. 7 378.1 378.2 43.8 8.4 11.3 7 Other durable goods...................................................... 8 214.7 212.6 13.8 2.1 9.1 8 9 58.0 0.9 26.3 9 Nondurable goods............................................................. 2,749.6 2,723.7 Food and beverages purchased for off-premises 10 consumption................................................................ 965.8 959.5 967.9 982.6 988.3 998.0 938.9 932.3 939.7 953.5 958.6 965.2 22.2 5.1 6.5 10 Clothing and footwear.................................................... 11 379.7 378.5 380.2 384.7 385.5 394.3 382.9 381.6 383.7 392.1 384.7 393.0 9.0 -7.4 8.3 11 Gasoline and other energy goods................................. 12 307.0 292.6 301.0 327.3 340.6 345.3 446.5 450.6 447.1 445.4 441.9 444.4 -5.5 -3.5 2.5 12 Other nondurable goods................................................ 1,097.2 1,093.2 1,105.8 1,110.5 1,118.8 1,131.5 1,045.1 1,042.7 1,050.5 1,056.0 1,061.4 1,070.0 13 26.7 5.4 8.6 13 14 Services............................................................................... 9,165.3 9,116.1 9,193.1 9,328.3 9,411.9 9,543.8 8,184.5 8,165.6 8,193.7 8,246.6 8,267.9 8,330.6 162.0 21.3 62.6 14 15 164.9 10.3 57.7 15 Household consumption expenditures (for services)...... 8,761.9 8,710.4 8,791.9 8,924.9 8,992.5 9,118.3 7,842.2 7,821.9 7,855.0 7,904.9 7,915.2 7,972.8 Housing and utilities....................................................... 2,447.8 2,438.2 2,458.2 2,492.6 2,515.6 2,549.9 2,129.9 2,130.0 2,131.6 2,143.2 2,146.0 2,159.4 16 13.3 2.8 13.4 16 Health care..................................................................... 2,271.2 2,248.7 2,284.6 2,313.2 2,331.0 2,355.2 2,145.8 2,129.2 2,156.8 2,169.7 2,177.3 2,189.1 17 64.1 7.6 11.8 17 Transportation services................................................. 18 437.0 432.9 435.5 452.3 450.1 455.9 417.6 414.0 417.4 428.3 427.2 428.5 13.4 -1.0 1.3 18 Recreation services....................................................... 19 541.8 541.2 543.3 543.6 549.0 554.5 489.1 490.9 488.5 486.3 488.5 492.5 10.1 2.2 4.1 19 Food services and accommodations............................ 20 897.3 894.1 898.8 904.6 914.2 941.4 795.3 794.1 795.8 795.2 799.5 815.7 4.8 4.3 16.2 20 Financial services and insurance.................................. 1,060.4 1,050.8 1,066.9 1,094.4 1,102.5 1,113.4 21 848.4 844.7 851.0 855.1 852.7 852.5 21.0 -2.4 -0.2 21 Other services................................................................ 1,106.5 1,104.6 1,104.6 1,124.3 1,130.1 1,147.9 1,027.0 1,029.3 1,024.9 1,039.1 1,036.4 1,048.4 22 40.5 -2.7 12.0 22 Final consumption expenditures of nonprofit 23 institutions serving households...................................... 403.4 405.7 401.2 403.4 419.4 425.6 343.1 344.3 339.7 342.7 353.3 358.2 -2.4 10.6 4.9 23 Gross output of nonprofit institutions............................. 1,511.5 1,499.4 1,517.0 1,530.0 1,544.6 1,562.1 1,357.2 1,348.8 1,359.7 1,363.1 1,366.9 1,376.8 24 21.9 3.8 9.9 24 Less: Receipts from sales of goods and 25 services by nonprofit institutions................................. 1,108.1 1,093.7 1,115.8 1,126.6 1,125.2 1,136.6 1,015.3 1,005.4 1,021.6 1,021.8 1,014.3 1,019.2 24.9 -7.5 4.9 25 146.1 75.0 3.4 26 26 Gross private domestic investment................................... 3,368.0 3,337.9 3,413.9 3,441.4 3,543.8 3,586.7 3,196.6 3,172.1 3,239.8 3,246.0 3,321.0 3,324.4 27 Fixed investment................................................................ 3,342.5 3,320.8 3,358.5 3,420.0 3,507.4 3,587.9 3,155.1 3,141.3 3,161.2 3,209.3 3,271.3 3,320.7 145.3 62.0 49.4 27 Nonresidential................................................................... 2,587.9 2,576.7 2,607.0 2,642.6 2,720.3 2,789.9 2,538.1 2,530.8 2,552.3 2,582.7 2,654.0 2,708.9 28 126.8 71.3 54.9 28 Structures....................................................................... 29 585.4 588.3 585.3 590.6 614.9 641.9 517.5 522.2 514.5 516.2 533.3 550.1 22.8 17.1 16.8 29 Equipment....................................................................... 1,150.4 1,137.4 1,162.8 1,189.1 1,212.6 1,228.4 1,183.7 1,169.5 1,197.1 1,225.6 1,250.9 1,264.5 30 67.6 25.3 13.7 30 Information processing equipment............................. 31 381.9 379.0 386.5 393.7 401.9 410.3 459.8 455.2 466.8 477.5 490.5 503.2 48.9 13.0 12.7 31 Industrial equipment.................................................... 32 231.3 230.1 234.6 238.5 243.9 243.4 228.6 227.7 231.6 234.6 238.5 236.4 14.2 3.9 -2.1 32 Transportation equipment........................................... 33 284.3 279.4 285.0 290.4 300.7 303.1 264.2 259.0 264.7 270.9 280.3 281.0 -10.1 9.4 0.6 33 Other equipment.......................................................... 34 252.9 249.0 256.8 266.4 266.1 271.6 241.0 237.6 244.4 253.0 252.8 257.0 20.0 -0.2 4.1 34 Intellectual property products........................................ 35 852.0 850.9 858.9 862.9 892.7 919.7 841.1 842.3 845.9 847.3 875.7 898.9 37.3 28.4 23.2 35 Software....................................................................... 36 352.9 353.5 359.7 355.9 370.3 382.2 379.3 377.7 387.9 385.3 402.1 414.8 33.4 16.8 12.7 36 Research and development....................................... 37 417.9 416.5 417.8 425.0 439.7 453.8 386.8 389.5 384.0 386.8 398.8 409.2 4.8 12.0 10.4 37 Entertainment, literary, and artistic originals.............. 38 81.2 80.9 81.4 82.0 82.7 83.6 77.7 77.5 77.5 78.2 78.4 78.9 1.1 0.2 0.5 38 39 754.6 744.1 751.5 777.4 787.2 797.9 611.1 605.2 604.5 620.7 615.3 612.8 19.8 -5.3 -2.5 39 Residential......................................................................... Change in private inventories.......................................... 40 25.5 17.1 55.4 21.5 36.3 -1.2 22.5 11.9 64.4 16.1 30.3 -26.9 -0.9 14.2 -57.3 40 41 -5.0 -5.4 -3.6 -4.2 -1.9 -0.1 -5.9 -5.6 -4.9 -6.2 -6.9 -4.9 -0.1 -0.7 2.1 41 Farm................................................................................... Nonfarm............................................................................. 42 30.5 22.5 59.0 25.7 38.2 -1.1 27.4 16.9 67.8 21.1 35.9 -22.5 -1.0 14.8 -58.4 42 43 Net exports of goods and services.................................... -578.4 -571.9 -557.3 -607.9 -639.2 -551.9 -858.7 -844.1 -845.9 -899.2 -902.4 -843.7 -72.5 -3.1 58.6 43 44 Exports................................................................................ 2,350.2 2,316.3 2,358.3 2,432.0 2,477.4 2,567.5 2,450.1 2,435.0 2,456.1 2,495.9 2,517.8 2,573.1 71.9 21.9 55.3 44 45 54.6 13.7 54.8 45 Goods................................................................................ 1,535.9 1,510.8 1,536.7 1,598.8 1,628.1 1,705.0 1,697.3 1,686.2 1,694.8 1,739.2 1,753.0 1,807.8 Services............................................................................. 46 814.3 805.4 821.6 833.2 849.3 862.4 753.4 749.3 760.8 759.0 766.9 770.0 18.1 7.9 3.1 46 47 Imports................................................................................. 2,928.6 2,888.2 2,915.5 3,039.9 3,116.6 3,119.3 3,308.7 3,279.1 3,302.0 3,395.1 3,420.1 3,416.8 144.4 25.0 -3.3 47 Goods................................................................................ 2,378.5 2,344.6 2,358.9 2,474.6 2,537.1 2,536.4 2,773.5 2,745.8 2,762.6 2,855.6 2,872.7 2,870.5 48 122.1 17.1 -2.2 48 49 550.0 543.6 556.7 565.3 579.4 583.0 534.9 532.4 538.1 540.8 548.1 547.0 22.4 7.3 -1.1 49 Services............................................................................. r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the first quarter of 2018. 1. Real gross domestic income is gross domestic income deflated by the implicit price deflator for gross domestic product. Note. Users are cautioned that particularly for components that exhibit rapid change in prices relative to other prices in the economy, the chained-dollar estimates should not be used to measure the component's relative importance or its contribution to the growth rate of more aggregate series. For accurate estimates of the contributions to percent changes in real gross domestic product, use table 2. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis -9- Table 3. Gross Domestic Product: Level and Change From Preceding Period--Table Ends Line 2017 Billions of dollars Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2017 2018 r Q2r Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 August 29, 2018 Billions of chained (2012) dollars Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Change from preceding period Line 2018 2017 2018 2017 r r Q2 Q1 Q1r Q2r Q2 Q3 Q4 50 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment........................................................................ 3,374.4 3,360.0 3,372.3 3,419.1 3,456.8 3,505.5 3,130.4 3,130.0 3,121.8 3,140.2 3,152.2 3,170.6 -2.1 12.0 18.4 50 51 Federal................................................................................. 1,265.2 1,264.0 1,263.8 1,280.6 1,294.8 1,312.9 1,196.4 1,197.1 1,193.2 1,205.2 1,213.1 1,224.2 8.6 7.9 11.1 51 National defense............................................................... 52 743.9 746.7 743.1 750.7 759.0 772.5 713.8 717.6 712.3 717.5 722.8 733.4 4.6 5.3 10.6 52 Consumption expenditures............................................ 53 594.0 595.2 592.3 598.5 606.6 618.3 566.9 568.6 564.7 568.9 574.4 583.7 -3.7 5.5 9.4 53 Gross investment........................................................... 54 149.9 151.5 150.8 152.3 152.4 154.2 147.0 149.1 147.8 148.7 148.6 149.8 8.5 -0.1 1.2 54 55 521.3 517.3 520.7 529.8 535.8 540.4 481.9 478.9 480.3 487.0 489.5 490.2 3.9 2.6 0.6 55 Nondefense....................................................................... Consumption expenditures............................................ 56 392.8 388.9 392.4 399.5 406.0 409.4 358.6 355.6 357.5 362.6 366.3 366.4 2.0 3.7 0.1 56 Gross investment........................................................... 57 128.5 128.4 128.3 130.4 129.8 131.1 123.3 123.4 122.8 124.4 123.2 123.7 1.9 -1.2 0.5 57 58 State and local.................................................................... 2,109.2 2,096.0 2,108.5 2,138.5 2,162.0 2,192.5 1,932.3 1,931.3 1,926.9 1,933.5 1,937.7 1,945.2 -10.5 4.3 7.5 58 59 -0.8 0.9 2.5 59 Consumption expenditures............................................... 1,744.5 1,733.6 1,747.5 1,768.0 1,784.4 1,803.5 1,595.4 1,595.3 1,594.9 1,594.5 1,595.3 1,597.9 Gross investment.............................................................. 60 364.8 362.4 361.1 370.5 377.6 389.0 336.8 335.9 331.9 339.0 342.4 347.4 -9.7 3.5 5.0 60 61 Residual................................................................................... ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ -1.4 -3.4 -13.6 -5.1 -10.3 -20.0 ................ ................ ................ 61 Addenda: 62 Gross domestic income (GDI)1......................................... 19,628.6 19,545.9 19,702.5 19,908.5 20,201.0 20,454.4 18,183.3 18,168.7 18,226.7 18,294.2 18,470.2 18,553.2 404.3 176.0 83.0 62 63 Average of GDP and GDI.................................................... 19,557.0 19,452.5 19,645.3 19,870.2 20,121.0 20,433.1 18,117.0 18,081.9 18,173.8 18,259.0 18,397.1 18,533.9 397.9 138.1 136.8 63 64 Final sales of domestic product........................................... 19,459.9 19,342.1 19,532.7 19,810.4 20,004.7 20,413.1 18,008.7 17,963.6 18,042.6 18,186.5 18,274.4 18,509.9 391.1 87.9 235.5 64 65 Gross domestic purchases.................................................. 20,063.8 19,931.1 20,145.3 20,439.7 20,680.2 20,963.7 18,881.0 18,813.5 18,941.2 19,087.4 19,190.2 19,330.3 453.0 102.8 140.1 65 66 Final sales to domestic purchasers..................................... 20,038.3 19,914.0 20,089.9 20,418.3 20,643.9 20,964.9 18,839.8 18,783.0 18,863.3 19,051.0 19,141.3 19,327.1 452.6 90.3 185.8 66 67 Final sales to private domestic purchasers........................ 16,663.9 16,554.0 16,717.6 16,999.2 17,187.0 17,459.5 15,713.5 15,656.9 15,745.8 15,915.4 15,993.7 16,161.5 455.8 78.3 167.7 67 68 Gross domestic product................................................... 19,485.4 19,359.1 19,588.1 19,831.8 20,041.0 20,411.9 18,050.7 17,995.2 18,120.8 18,223.8 18,324.0 18,514.6 391.5 100.2 190.6 68 69 Plus: Income receipts from the rest of the world................ 957.1 924.9 979.6 1,024.5 1,063.2 1,071.7 900.8 873.4 920.7 957.2 989.6 991.9 77.2 32.4 2.3 69 70 Less: Income payments to the rest of the world................. 713.4 708.7 724.6 753.7 794.4 806.5 667.5 665.3 677.2 699.6 731.3 738.2 52.0 31.7 6.9 70 71 Equals: Gross national product....................................... 19,729.1 19,575.4 19,843.0 20,102.6 20,309.8 20,677.0 18,284.0 18,203.6 18,364.1 18,480.8 18,581.5 18,767.7 416.3 100.7 186.2 71 72 Net domestic product........................................................... 16,369.2 16,258.1 16,453.3 16,667.9 16,837.6 17,156.7 15,092.0 15,047.8 15,150.1 15,230.7 15,309.0 15,474.9 301.9 78.3 165.9 72 r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the first quarter of 2018. 1. Real gross domestic income is gross domestic income deflated by the implicit price deflator for gross domestic product. Note. Users are cautioned that particularly for components that exhibit rapid change in prices relative to other prices in the economy, the chained-dollar estimates should not be used to measure the component's relative importance or its contribution to the growth rate of more aggregate series. For accurate estimates of the contributions to percent changes in real gross domestic product, use table 2. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - 10 - August 29, 2018 7DEOH3ULFH,QGH[HVIRU*URVV'RPHVWLF3URGXFWDQG5HODWHG0HDVXUHV3HUFHQW&KDQJH)URP3UHFHGLQJ3HULRG Line 2015 2016 2014 2017 Q3 Q4 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Line 2015 2016 2017 2018 r Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 -0.2 2.4 1.2 0.1 -0.2 2.7 1.4 2.3 2.0 1.2 2.2 2.5 2.0 3.0 1 -1.8 2.0 1.2 -0.2 0.2 2.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 0.8 1.6 2.7 2.5 1.9 2 -8.2 1.9 -0.8 -4.0 -4.1 1.2 -0.9 0.8 2.2 -2.8 0.7 1.5 2.2 0.4 3 -3.0 -0.7 -2.2 -2.2 -1.9 -2.6 -3.5 -3.5 0.2 -3.1 -2.4 -2.2 -1.1 -1.5 4 -10.7 3.1 -0.1 -4.8 -5.2 3.1 0.4 3.0 3.3 -2.6 2.3 3.4 3.9 1.4 5 1.4 2.0 2.1 1.6 2.3 2.9 3.0 2.5 2.0 2.4 2.0 3.3 2.6 2.6 6 0.1 -0.3 0.3 -0.6 -1.6 1.7 0.6 2.1 1.0 2.0 1.9 1.3 2.5 3.1 7 1.3 0.2 0.5 -0.6 -1.3 1.5 0.7 1.9 1.1 1.9 2.0 1.2 2.5 3.1 8 0.9 -0.3 -0.3 -1.4 -2.2 0.5 -0.7 1.0 0.6 1.0 1.3 0.7 0.7 1.9 9 0.1 -1.1 1.8 0.1 -1.7 3.2 -0.6 2.4 2.7 3.7 3.9 2.3 3.2 4.9 10 -0.3 -0.9 -1.5 -1.4 -1.0 -0.6 -0.5 -1.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.5 -0.5 -0.3 0.8 11 3.5 1.3 0.1 -2.4 -4.1 0.2 -1.0 3.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 1.2 0.4 1.4 12 2.5 2.0 3.5 2.5 1.9 5.4 6.0 5.1 3.0 5.1 4.5 3.1 8.8 7.3 13 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 14 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 15 -9.7 -0.8 -4.1 -6.1 -5.7 4.2 2.3 2.5 3.8 0.3 3.8 6.1 4.0 5.7 16 -12.7 -2.0 -6.2 -8.1 -10.5 5.6 2.3 2.0 4.7 -0.5 4.9 5.7 4.2 6.3 17 -3.3 1.5 0.2 -2.3 3.9 1.8 2.4 3.5 2.0 1.7 1.9 6.8 3.6 4.6 18 -15.6 -5.1 -4.9 -8.5 -6.7 1.5 3.1 1.1 4.6 0.0 1.0 5.7 7.3 0.7 19 -17.9 -6.3 -5.4 -9.8 -8.1 1.5 4.0 1.4 5.4 -0.9 0.0 6.1 7.9 0.2 20 -4.2 0.4 -2.3 -2.3 -0.2 1.4 -0.5 -0.1 1.1 3.6 5.4 4.3 4.6 3.2 21 Gross domestic product (GDP).............. 1.1 1.9 2.0 0.4 1.0 Personal consumption expenditures............. 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.2 -0.4 Goods.............................................................. -3.1 -1.6 0.3 -0.8 -4.8 Durable goods.............................................. -2.2 -2.3 -2.2 -1.8 -3.1 -3.5 -1.2 1.6 -0.3 -5.6 Nondurable goods........................................ Services........................................................... 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.2 1.8 Gross private domestic investment................ 0.7 0.0 1.5 2.5 1.7 Fixed investment............................................. 0.9 0.1 1.5 2.4 1.0 0.5 -0.8 0.7 1.3 1.1 Nonresidential............................................... Structures.................................................. 2.2 0.4 2.6 6.8 5.1 Equipment................................................. -0.5 -1.0 -0.6 -0.4 0.0 Intellectual property products.................... 0.8 -1.3 1.1 -0.2 -0.4 2.7 3.6 4.5 7.3 0.7 Residential.................................................... Change in private inventories.......................... ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ Net exports of goods and services................. ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ Exports............................................................ -5.0 -2.0 2.9 -1.0 -7.2 -7.2 -3.8 3.0 -2.6 -9.8 Goods........................................................... Services........................................................ -0.5 1.5 2.6 2.5 -1.4 Imports............................................................. -8.2 -3.6 2.3 -3.0 -8.1 Goods........................................................... -9.6 -4.2 2.4 -3.8 -9.3 -1.6 -0.6 1.9 0.8 -2.1 Services........................................................ Government consumption expenditures and gross investment.................................... 0.3 0.3 2.6 2.2 0.2 -2.2 2.2 0.6 -1.1 -2.2 2.8 1.7 2.5 3.7 1.6 2.5 3.2 2.9 3.3 22 23 Federal............................................................ 0.6 0.5 1.9 1.8 0.5 -0.5 1.1 0.8 -0.6 -1.2 2.2 1.8 2.2 2.7 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.8 1.9 23 National defense........................................... 24 0.3 0.3 1.6 1.4 -0.1 -0.7 0.9 0.7 -0.9 -1.6 2.1 1.7 1.8 2.3 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.2 24 25 1.0 0.9 2.4 2.6 1.3 -0.2 1.4 0.8 -0.2 -0.7 2.5 2.0 2.9 3.4 2.0 1.5 1.4 2.4 3.0 25 Nondefense.................................................. 26 State and local................................................. 0.1 0.2 3.0 2.4 0.0 -3.2 2.9 0.4 -1.3 -2.9 3.1 1.7 2.7 4.3 1.7 3.4 4.4 3.6 4.2 26 Addenda: 27 Final sales of domestic product....................... 1.1 1.1 1.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 2.5 1.2 0.2 -0.1 2.7 1.4 2.2 2.0 1.2 2.2 2.5 2.0 3.0 27 28 Gross domestic purchases.............................. 0.3 0.8 1.9 1.6 0.0 -1.5 1.6 0.9 -0.4 -0.5 2.3 1.5 2.1 2.2 1.1 1.8 2.6 2.5 2.3 28 29 Final sales to domestic purchasers................. 0.4 0.8 1.9 1.6 -0.1 -1.3 1.7 1.0 -0.4 -0.5 2.3 1.6 2.0 2.2 1.1 1.8 2.6 2.5 2.3 29 30 Final sales to private domestic purchasers..... 0.4 0.9 1.7 1.4 -0.1 -1.2 1.6 1.1 -0.3 -0.1 2.2 1.5 1.9 1.9 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.5 2.1 30 31 Gross national product (GNP)......................... 1.0 1.1 1.9 2.0 0.4 -0.3 2.4 1.2 0.1 -0.2 2.7 1.4 2.3 1.9 1.2 2.2 2.5 1.9 3.0 31 1 1.3 1.4 1.9 2.1 1.1 0.4 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.6 2.3 2.0 2.1 2.2 1.3 1.8 2.4 2.4 2.8 32 32 GDP excluding food and energy .................... 33 Gross domestic purchases excluding 1 food and energy ........................................... 1.0 1.1 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.1 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.4 2.1 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.5 33 1 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.1 0.7 1.8 1.5 1.0 1.7 2.1 2.0 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.4 2.1 2.2 2.0 34 34 PCE excluding food and energy .................... 2 -0.1 0.8 1.5 1.0 -0.9 -2.3 1.8 1.0 -0.3 -0.3 2.0 1.4 1.7 2.1 0.0 1.4 2.5 2.3 1.9 35 35 Market-based PCE ......................................... 36 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy1,2........................................................ 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.5 1.6 1.3 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.1 1.5 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.1 36 Implicit price deflators: 37 1.1 1.1 1.9 1.9 0.8 -0.3 2.3 1.5 0.1 -0.3 2.8 1.5 2.1 2.1 1.1 1.9 2.7 2.0 3.2 37 GDP.............................................................. Gross domestic purchases........................... 38 0.4 0.8 1.8 1.5 0.4 -1.6 1.5 1.2 -0.4 -0.6 2.4 1.6 1.9 2.3 1.1 1.6 2.8 2.6 2.6 38 39 1.0 1.1 1.9 1.9 0.8 -0.4 2.3 1.5 0.1 -0.3 2.8 1.5 2.1 2.0 1.1 1.9 2.7 1.9 3.2 39 GNP.............................................................. r Revised 1. Food excludes personal consumption expenditures for purchased meals and beverages, which are classified in food services. 2. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, financial services furnished without payment) and the final consumption expenditures of nonprofit institutions serving households. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 - 11 - August 29, 2018 7DEOH5HDO*URVV'RPHVWLF3URGXFW$QQXDO3HUFHQW&KDQJH Line 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 Gross domestic product (GDP).............................. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)................... Goods............................................................................. Durable goods.............................................................. Nondurable goods........................................................ Services.......................................................................... Gross private domestic investment............................... Fixed investment............................................................. Nonresidential.............................................................. Structures.................................................................. Equipment................................................................. Intellectual property products.................................... Residential................................................................... Change in private inventories.......................................... Net exports of goods and services................................ Exports............................................................................ Goods.......................................................................... Services....................................................................... Imports............................................................................ Goods.......................................................................... Services....................................................................... Government consumption expenditures and gross investment...................................................................... Federal............................................................................ National defense.......................................................... Nondefense................................................................. State and local................................................................ Addenda: Gross domestic income (GDI)1....................................... Average of GDP and GDI................................................ Final sales of domestic product....................................... Gross domestic purchases.............................................. Final sales to domestic purchasers................................. Final sales to private domestic purchasers..................... Gross national product.................................................... Real disposable personal income................................... Price indexes: Gross domestic purchases........................................... Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy2...................................................................... GDP............................................................................. 2 GDP excluding food and energy ................................. PCE.............................................................................. PCE excluding food and energy2................................. 3 Market-based PCE ..................................................... 2,3 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy ........ Percent change from preceding year Percent change from fourth quarter to fourth quarter one year ago Line 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2.6 1.6 2.2 1.8 2.5 2.9 1.6 2.2 2.6 1.6 1.5 2.6 2.7 2.0 1.9 2.5 1 1.7 1.9 1.5 1.5 2.9 3.7 2.7 2.5 2.7 1.2 1.6 1.9 3.8 3.0 2.8 2.7 2 2.8 2.2 2.1 3.1 4.0 4.7 3.6 3.7 4.3 0.9 2.4 3.5 5.0 4.0 3.6 4.6 3 5.6 5.1 6.0 6.1 7.2 7.6 5.5 6.8 9.0 3.5 6.3 5.0 9.2 6.0 6.8 7.7 4 1.6 0.9 0.4 1.8 2.6 3.4 2.7 2.1 2.2 -0.2 0.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 5 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 2.4 3.2 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.4 1.2 1.1 3.2 2.6 2.4 1.8 6 14.1 6.6 11.0 6.9 5.4 4.8 -1.3 4.8 12.1 10.4 4.0 9.3 4.7 1.7 1.1 5.0 7 3.1 7.1 10.0 5.6 6.3 3.4 1.7 4.8 6.1 9.2 7.2 5.7 6.6 1.2 2.4 5.7 8 4.5 8.7 9.5 4.1 6.9 1.8 0.5 5.3 8.9 10.0 5.6 5.4 6.4 -0.7 1.8 6.3 9 -16.1 2.7 13.0 1.3 10.6 -3.0 -5.0 4.6 -3.6 8.6 4.0 6.7 8.8 -10.7 2.5 2.9 10 20.2 13.4 11.0 4.7 6.7 3.1 -1.5 6.1 22.6 12.7 7.8 5.4 5.1 2.0 -1.4 9.6 11 2.7 6.2 5.0 5.4 4.3 3.7 7.5 4.6 1.6 7.2 3.7 4.5 6.4 3.5 5.8 4.2 12 -3.1 -0.1 13.0 12.4 3.9 10.1 6.5 3.3 -5.7 5.3 15.4 7.1 7.8 8.9 4.5 3.8 13 .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. 14 .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. .............. 15 12.1 7.1 3.4 3.6 4.3 0.6 -0.1 3.0 9.9 4.6 2.1 6.0 3.0 -1.6 0.8 4.7 16 15.0 7.1 3.8 3.2 4.6 -0.3 0.3 3.3 11.1 5.5 1.4 7.1 2.8 -3.2 2.0 5.3 17 6.3 7.3 2.4 4.5 3.6 2.4 -0.9 2.5 7.2 2.8 3.8 3.7 3.5 1.8 -1.5 3.6 18 13.1 5.6 2.7 1.5 5.1 5.5 1.9 4.6 12.0 3.8 0.6 3.0 6.7 3.4 3.1 5.4 19 15.4 6.1 2.6 1.8 5.6 5.8 1.4 4.6 13.9 3.9 0.5 3.4 7.2 3.2 2.8 5.9 20 3.6 3.2 3.1 0.5 2.6 4.0 4.2 4.4 3.7 3.2 1.4 1.1 4.0 3.9 4.3 3.5 21 0.0 4.1 2.9 6.2 -2.7 -3.1 -2.6 -2.1 -3.4 -3.5 -2.1 -1.9 -3.4 0.9 -2.2 -2.4 -5.5 -6.7 -3.5 -0.3 -0.9 -2.6 -4.2 -0.1 0.1 1.9 0.0 -2.0 3.1 3.0 1.4 0.4 -0.6 1.9 2.0 -0.1 0.7 0.7 0.8 -0.5 -1.3 1.9 1.3 3.0 -3.5 -3.4 -3.5 -3.6 -3.2 -3.3 -2.1 -2.6 -4.7 1.2 -1.7 -2.4 -6.1 -6.5 -5.5 0.2 0.2 -1.2 -3.6 2.7 1.1 2.2 1.2 -0.2 3.4 2.8 0.9 0.2 -0.7 1.5 1.4 0.1 1.3 1.3 1.3 -0.5 22 23 24 25 26 3.5 3.0 1.1 3.0 1.6 2.0 2.9 2.0 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.6 2.8 1.8 2.3 3.4 2.8 2.1 2.2 2.0 3.0 2.2 3.3 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.3 2.2 1.8 -1.3 3.2 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.8 3.6 2.5 4.0 2.6 2.7 2.6 3.6 3.3 3.7 2.8 4.1 0.8 1.2 2.1 1.8 2.3 2.5 1.5 1.7 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.5 3.0 2.3 2.6 3.5 3.0 1.8 3.1 2.3 3.3 2.8 3.5 2.1 1.9 1.4 1.6 1.4 2.6 1.9 1.6 2.9 2.2 1.9 1.2 1.7 2.6 1.2 4.9 1.5 2.1 2.0 2.2 1.7 2.6 2.6 -2.5 4.0 3.3 3.0 3.3 3.6 4.3 2.6 5.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.0 3.1 1.2 1.5 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.7 1.9 1.6 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.8 3.3 2.6 2.8 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 1.4 2.4 1.8 1.5 1.7 0.3 0.8 1.9 1.4 2.4 1.8 1.5 1.4 0.1 1.3 1.9 35 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.1 1.8 2.1 1.9 2.5 1.6 2.5 1.4 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.3 1.5 1.0 1.2 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.5 1.6 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.3 0.3 1.3 -0.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.1 1.7 0.8 1.4 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.9 1.1 0.7 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.7 1.9 2.8 1.9 1.8 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.1 1.2 1.6 0.8 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.2 1.5 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.3 1.2 0.0 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.2 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 1. Gross domestic income deflated by the implicit price deflator for gross domestic product. 2. Food excludes personal consumption expenditures for purchased meals and beverages, which are classified in food services. 3. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, financial services furnished without payment) and the final consumption expenditures of nonprofit institutions serving households. Note. Estimates under the Percent change from the preceding year columns are calculated from annual data. Estimates under the Percent change fourth quarter to fourth quarter columns are calculated from fourth quarter values relative to the same quarter one year prior. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - 12 - August 29, 2018 7DEOH5HDO*URVV'RPHVWLF3URGXFW3HUFHQW&KDQJH)URP4XDUWHU2QH<HDU$JR Line 2014 2016 2018 2015 2017 Line Q2r Q1r Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 3.0 2.7 3.8 3.4 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.9 1 3.5 3.8 4.3 4.0 3.6 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.4 2.6 2 4.5 5.0 5.4 4.8 4.8 4.0 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.6 3.2 3.4 3.6 4.6 3.9 3.9 3 8.2 9.2 9.3 7.9 7.3 6.0 5.1 4.4 5.7 6.8 6.4 7.0 6.3 7.7 6.6 6.6 4 2.8 3.0 3.6 3.4 3.6 3.0 3.0 3.4 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.6 2.2 3.0 2.6 2.5 5 2.9 3.2 3.7 3.6 3.1 2.6 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.8 1.7 2.0 6 5.2 4.7 9.0 5.4 3.2 1.7 -1.7 -2.5 -2.3 1.1 2.8 4.5 6.8 5.0 6.2 4.8 7 6.9 6.6 5.7 4.0 2.8 1.2 1.7 1.4 1.5 2.4 4.3 4.7 4.6 5.7 5.2 5.7 8 8.0 6.4 4.5 2.7 0.8 -0.7 -0.5 -0.1 0.8 1.8 4.4 5.3 5.0 6.3 6.7 7.0 9 8.0 8.8 2.9 0.0 -3.9 -10.7 -9.6 -9.3 -3.0 2.5 6.7 6.8 2.2 2.9 3.1 5.3 10 10.7 5.1 5.5 3.4 1.6 2.0 -0.8 -1.0 -2.7 -1.4 2.5 4.8 7.3 9.6 9.5 8.1 11 4.1 6.4 4.3 3.7 3.3 3.5 7.1 8.5 8.7 5.8 5.6 4.9 3.9 4.2 5.6 6.7 12 2.5 7.8 10.7 9.9 11.1 8.9 10.4 7.3 4.0 4.5 3.9 2.7 3.0 3.8 0.2 1.2 13 ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ 14 ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ ............ 15 4.8 3.0 2.4 1.4 0.1 -1.6 -1.1 -1.2 1.2 0.8 2.6 2.7 2.1 4.7 4.3 5.7 16 5.7 2.8 1.9 1.1 -0.9 -3.2 -0.8 -1.5 1.6 2.0 3.0 3.2 1.8 5.3 5.0 7.2 17 3.0 3.5 3.5 2.0 2.4 1.8 -1.8 -0.7 0.3 -1.5 1.9 1.8 2.6 3.6 3.0 2.8 18 4.5 6.7 7.1 5.3 6.2 3.4 1.9 1.2 1.4 3.1 4.1 4.6 4.1 5.4 5.0 4.2 19 4.9 7.2 7.7 5.8 6.5 3.2 1.2 0.6 0.9 2.8 4.1 4.4 4.0 5.9 5.2 4.5 20 2.3 4.0 4.3 3.0 5.0 3.9 4.7 4.0 3.8 4.3 4.3 5.3 4.4 3.5 3.8 2.8 21 Gross domestic product (GDP)................................ Personal consumption expenditures (PCE).................... Goods................................................................................ Durable goods................................................................ Nondurable goods.......................................................... Services............................................................................. Gross private domestic investment................................. Fixed investment................................................................ Nonresidential................................................................. Structures.................................................................... Equipment................................................................... Intellectual property products....................................... Residential...................................................................... Change in private inventories............................................ Net exports of goods and services.................................. Exports.............................................................................. Goods............................................................................. Services.......................................................................... Imports............................................................................... Goods............................................................................. Services.......................................................................... Government consumption expenditures and gross investment........................................................................ -0.5 0.2 1.1 2.2 1.9 2.2 2.5 1.3 1.1 0.9 -0.1 0.1 -0.4 0.1 0.7 1.3 22 23 Federal.............................................................................. -1.4 -1.2 -0.8 0.4 -0.9 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.1 0.4 1.3 1.9 2.3 23 National defense............................................................. 24 -2.3 -3.6 -2.7 -1.4 -3.7 -0.2 -0.4 -1.5 0.2 -0.7 -0.5 1.7 0.2 1.3 2.1 2.2 24 25 0.0 2.7 2.3 3.2 3.5 3.4 2.5 2.4 1.2 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.7 2.3 25 Nondefense.................................................................... 26 State and local................................................................... 0.2 1.1 2.4 3.2 3.7 2.8 3.5 2.0 1.3 1.4 -0.3 -0.5 -0.9 -0.5 0.0 0.7 26 Addenda: 1 3.9 4.0 3.9 3.0 2.1 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.1 27 27 Gross domestic income (GDI) .......................................... 28 Average of GDP and GDI.................................................. 3.5 3.3 3.9 3.2 2.2 1.7 1.3 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 28 29 Final sales of domestic product......................................... 3.3 3.0 3.2 3.1 2.3 1.9 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.6 2.4 3.0 29 30 Gross domestic purchases................................................ 3.0 3.3 4.5 3.9 3.2 2.7 1.9 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 30 31 Final sales to domestic purchasers................................... 3.3 3.6 3.9 3.7 3.2 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.8 2.6 2.9 31 32 Final sales to private domestic purchasers........................ 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.0 3.4 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.3 2.9 3.2 32 33 Gross national product....................................................... 3.1 2.6 3.7 3.2 2.1 2.0 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.6 2.6 2.7 3.1 33 34 Real disposable personal income...................................... 4.3 5.2 4.9 4.4 4.1 3.1 2.5 1.6 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.9 34 Price indexes: 35 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.3 2.0 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.3 35 Gross domestic purchases............................................. Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy2 1.9 1.6 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.2 36 36 37 2.1 1.6 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.5 2.1 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.4 37 GDP................................................................................ GDP excluding food and energy2................................... 2.1 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.3 38 38 39 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.6 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.2 39 PCE................................................................................ 2 PCE excluding food and energy .................................... 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 40 40 41 1.3 0.8 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.8 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.5 2.0 41 Market-based PCE3........................................................ Market-based PCE excluding food and energy2,3........... 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.7 42 42 r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the first quarter of 2018. 1. Gross domestic income deflated by the implicit price deflator for gross domestic product. 2. Food excludes personal consumption expenditures for purchased meals and beverages, which are classified in food services. 3. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, financial services furnished without payment) and the final consumption expenditures of nonprofit institutions serving households. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 - 13 - August 29, 2018 7DEOH5HODWLRQRI*URVV'RPHVWLF3URGXFW*URVV1DWLRQDO3URGXFWDQG1DWLRQDO,QFRPH [Billions of dollars] Line 2015 2016 2017 Q2 19,359.1 924.9 708.7 19,575.4 3,101.1 -186.8 16,661.1 10,339.9 8,395.7 1,944.2 1,495.0 724.4 2,089.5 574.6 1,280.5 160.7 -3.5 Gross domestic product (GDP)................................................................................ 18,219.3 18,707.2 19,485.4 Plus: Income receipts from the rest of the world......................................................... 839.3 859.1 957.1 Less: Income payments to the rest of the world.......................................................... 613.1 643.8 713.4 Equals: Gross national product............................................................................... 18,445.5 18,922.5 19,729.1 Less: Consumption of fixed capital.............................................................................. 2,917.5 2,990.5 3,116.2 Less: Statistical discrepancy....................................................................................... -254.9 -126.9 -143.2 Equals: National income........................................................................................... 15,783.0 16,058.9 16,756.1 Compensation of employees.................................................................................... 9,696.8 9,956.2 10,407.2 Wages and salaries............................................................................................... 7,854.4 8,080.7 8,453.8 Supplements to wages and salaries...................................................................... 1,842.4 1,875.6 1,953.4 adjustments 1,421.9 1,419.3 1,500.9 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment.............................. 651.8 694.8 730.2 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.... 2,057.3 2,035.0 2,099.3 Net interest and miscellaneous payments................................................................ 591.8 546.0 576.4 Taxes on production and imports less subsidies...................................................... 1,212.6 1,241.9 1,285.9 Business current transfer payments (net)................................................................. 156.7 168.1 161.2 Current surplus of government enterprises.............................................................. -5.8 -2.3 -4.9 Addenda: 18,474.2 18,834.1 19,628.6 19,545.9 18 Gross domestic income (GDI).................................................................................. 19 Average of GDP and GDI......................................................................................... 18,346.8 18,770.7 19,557.0 19,452.5 -1.4 -0.7 -0.7 -1.0 20 Statistical discrepancy as a percentage of GDP...................................................... r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the first quarter of 2018. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 - 14 - Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2017 2018 Q1r Q3 Q4 19,588.1 19,831.8 20,041.0 979.6 1,024.5 1,063.2 724.6 753.7 794.4 19,843.0 20,102.6 20,309.8 3,134.8 3,163.9 3,203.4 -114.4 -76.6 -159.9 16,822.6 17,015.3 17,266.2 10,471.2 10,568.6 10,710.1 8,506.6 8,588.1 8,710.6 1,964.6 1,980.5 1,999.4 1,507.5 1,526.1 1,549.9 732.0 745.3 749.3 2,101.1 2,150.7 2,177.3 561.5 580.1 591.9 1,290.7 1,305.8 1,337.4 164.0 147.0 161.2 -5.4 -8.2 -10.8 19,702.5 19,645.3 -0.6 19,908.5 19,870.2 -0.4 20,201.0 20,121.0 -0.8 r Line Q2 20,411.9 1,071.7 806.5 20,677.0 3,255.2 -42.6 17,464.4 10,820.3 8,805.8 2,014.5 1,573.5 753.9 2,249.7 576.6 1,353.1 150.3 -12.9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 20,454.4 20,433.1 -0.2 18 19 20 August 29, 2018 7DEOH3HUVRQDO,QFRPHDQG,WV'LVSRVLWLRQ [Billions of dollars] Line 2015 2016 2017 Q2 16,721.2 10,339.9 8,395.7 1,944.2 1,495.0 41.5 1,453.5 724.4 2,610.9 1,490.9 1,120.0 2,841.6 1,290.6 2,014.2 14,707.0 13,716.7 990.2 6.7 1 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2018 2017 Q1r Q3 Q4 16,895.1 17,103.1 17,319.2 10,471.2 10,568.6 10,710.1 8,506.6 8,588.1 8,710.6 1,964.6 1,980.5 1,999.4 1,507.5 1,526.1 1,549.9 36.4 35.4 35.2 1,471.1 1,490.6 1,514.7 732.0 745.3 749.3 2,615.1 2,692.9 2,719.5 1,500.1 1,577.2 1,597.6 1,115.1 1,115.7 1,121.9 2,875.3 2,887.6 2,933.9 1,306.0 1,317.3 1,343.6 2,048.5 2,070.9 2,030.0 14,846.6 15,032.2 15,289.2 13,853.3 14,083.3 14,194.8 993.4 948.9 1,094.3 6.7 6.3 7.2 Line Q2r 17,497.6 10,820.3 8,805.8 2,014.5 1,573.5 42.1 1,531.4 753.9 2,743.4 1,603.2 1,140.2 2,963.6 1,357.1 2,042.6 15,455.1 14,400.8 1,054.3 6.8 Personal income ......................................................................................................... 15,719.5 16,125.1 16,830.9 1 Compensation of employees....................................................................................... 9,696.8 9,956.2 10,407.2 2 Wages and salaries.................................................................................................. 7,854.4 8,080.7 8,453.8 3 Supplements to wages and salaries......................................................................... 1,842.4 1,875.6 1,953.4 4 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.... 1,421.9 1,419.3 1,500.9 5 Farm......................................................................................................................... 56.4 37.5 38.9 6 Nonfarm.................................................................................................................... 1,365.5 1,381.8 1,462.0 7 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment................................. 651.8 694.8 730.2 8 Personal income receipts on assets............................................................................ 2,471.3 2,516.6 2,631.6 9 Personal interest income.......................................................................................... 1,438.1 1,440.9 1,523.0 10 Personal dividend income......................................................................................... 1,033.3 1,075.7 1,108.6 11 Personal current transfer receipts............................................................................... 2,683.0 2,778.1 2,859.7 12 Less: Contributions for government social insurance, domestic.................................. 1,205.3 1,239.9 1,298.6 13 Less: Personal current taxes.......................................................................................... 1,935.2 1,954.3 2,034.6 14 Equals: Disposable personal income........................................................................ 13,784.3 14,170.9 14,796.3 15 Less: Personal outlays.................................................................................................... 12,740.1 13,222.7 13,809.5 16 Equals: Personal saving.............................................................................................. 1,044.2 948.2 986.8 17 Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income............................... 7.6 6.7 6.7 18 Addenda: 19 Personal income excluding current transfer receipts, billions of chained (2012) dollars2.............................................................................................. 12,641.3 12,804.8 13,171.4 13,127.2 13,207.3 13,301.7 13,379.1 13,454.4 19 2 13,366.5 13,595.2 13,949.2 13,909.8 13,986.2 14,065.9 14,219.8 14,307.0 20 20 Disposable personal income, billions of chained (2012) dollars ................................. r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the first quarter of 2018. 1. Personal income is also equal to national income less corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, taxes on production and imports less subsidies, contributions for government social insurance, net interest and miscellaneous payments, business current transfer payments (net), and current surplus of government enterprises, plus personal income receipts on assets, and personal current transfer receipts. 2. The current-dollar measure is deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 - 15 - August 29, 2018 7DEOH&RUSRUDWH3URILWV/HYHODQG3HUFHQW&KDQJH Billions of dollars Line 2015 2016 2017 Q2 1 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.................................... 2 Less: Taxes on corporate income............................................. 3 Equals: Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments........... 4 Net dividends.......................................................................... 5 Undistributed profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................... Addenda for corporate cash flow: 6 Net cash flow with inventory valuation adjustment........ Undistributed profits with inventory valuation 7 and capital consumption adjustments............................ Consumption of fixed capital............................................... 8 Less: Capital transfers paid (net)........................................ 9 Addenda: 10 Profits before tax (without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments).............................. 11 Profits after tax (without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments).............................. 12 Inventory valuation adjustment.............................................. 13 Capital consumption adjustment............................................ Percent change from preceding period Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2017 Q3 2018 Q4 Q1 Quarter one year ago Line 2018 Q2 Quarterly rates 2016 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2018 Q4 Q1 Q2 2,057.3 397.2 2,035.0 392.9 2,099.3 350.7 2,089.5 355.8 2,101.1 365.2 2,150.7 333.8 2,177.3 212.0 2,249.7 237.1 -1.1 -1.1 3.2 -10.7 0.6 2.6 2.4 -8.6 1.2 -36.5 3.3 11.8 7.7 -33.4 1 2 1,660.1 1,164.9 1,642.1 1,187.4 1,748.6 1,215.3 1,733.7 1,233.3 1,735.9 1,215.5 1,816.8 1,194.8 1,965.3 1,213.2 2,012.6 1,222.1 -1.1 1.9 6.5 2.3 0.1 -1.4 4.7 -1.7 8.2 1.5 2.4 0.7 16.1 -0.9 3 4 495.2 454.7 533.3 500.4 520.5 622.0 752.1 790.5 -8.2 17.3 4.0 19.5 20.9 5.1 58.0 5 2,091.8 2,080.5 1,941.4 2,194.1 2,086.2 1,348.6 2,498.7 2,565.0 -0.5 -6.7 -4.9 -35.4 85.3 2.7 16.9 6 495.2 1,593.4 -3.2 454.7 1,630.3 4.4 533.3 1,699.6 291.5 500.4 1,692.1 -1.5 520.5 1,709.0 143.4 622.0 1,725.5 998.9 752.1 1,745.6 -1.1 790.5 -8.2 17.3 4.0 19.5 20.9 5.1 58.0 1,773.6 2.3 4.3 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.6 4.8 -0.9 ................. ................. ................. ................. ................. ................. .................... 7 8 9 2,134.2 2,129.7 2,181.9 2,200.4 2,230.7 2,084.6 2,111.0 2,205.6 0.2 10 1,737.0 52.8 -129.8 1,736.9 -1.0 -93.7 1,831.2 -45.5 -37.1 1,844.6 -13.0 -97.9 1,865.5 -30.8 -98.8 1,750.8 -74.4 140.4 1,899.0 -74.1 140.4 1,968.5 0.0 5.4 1.1 -6.1 8.5 3.7 6.7 -90.2 ................. ................. ................. ................. ................. ................. .................... 134.3 ................. ................. ................. ................. ................. ................. .................... 11 12 13 Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - 16 - -0.2 2.4 1.4 -6.5 1.3 4.5 August 29, 2018 7DEOH&RUSRUDWH3URILWVE\,QGXVWU\/HYHODQG&KDQJH)URP3UHFHGLQJ3HULRG Line 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 2015 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.............................................. Domestic industries............................................................................. Financial............................................................................................... Nonfinancial......................................................................................... Rest of the world................................................................................... Receipts from the rest of the world..................................................... Less: Payments to the rest of the world............................................. Corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment............ Domestic industries............................................................................. Financial............................................................................................... Federal Reserve banks.................................................................... Other financial................................................................................... Nonfinancial......................................................................................... Utilities............................................................................................... Manufacturing................................................................................... Durable goods............................................................................... Fabricated metal products.......................................................... Machinery.................................................................................... Computer and electronic products............................................. Electrical equipment, appliances, and components.................. Motor vehicles, bodies and trailers, and parts.......................... Other durable goods................................................................... Nondurable goods......................................................................... Food and beverage and tobacco products............................... Petroleum and coal products..................................................... Chemical products...................................................................... Other nondurable goods............................................................ Wholesale trade................................................................................ Retail trade........................................................................................ Transportation and warehousing..................................................... Information........................................................................................ Other nonfinancial............................................................................. Rest of the world................................................................................... 2,057.3 1,654.7 397.1 1,257.6 402.5 675.1 272.6 2,187.0 1,784.5 437.6 100.7 336.8 1,346.9 20.1 422.5 233.8 24.8 24.0 67.9 24.0 26.4 66.7 188.7 68.9 16.5 64.9 38.4 152.1 169.2 62.2 140.4 380.4 402.5 2016 2,035.0 1,628.5 438.4 1,190.0 406.5 683.3 276.8 2,128.7 1,722.2 468.9 92.0 376.9 1,253.3 7.2 322.9 188.1 23.4 18.3 49.5 4.8 29.2 62.8 134.8 65.6 -29.8 61.8 37.1 127.5 173.5 62.9 171.6 387.7 406.5 2017 [Billions of dollars] Level Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2018 2017 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2,099.3 1,650.4 445.6 1,204.8 448.8 747.1 298.2 2,136.4 1,687.5 468.7 78.3 390.4 1,218.9 3.8 292.9 165.6 22.5 18.0 40.1 2.9 21.0 61.1 127.2 58.4 -11.9 49.6 31.1 111.8 162.5 59.4 148.6 439.8 448.8 2,089.5 1,670.2 438.7 1,231.5 419.3 721.1 301.8 2,187.3 1,768.0 468.7 80.1 388.6 1,299.3 5.3 306.9 178.7 25.3 20.6 36.0 5.2 22.3 69.3 128.2 56.7 -17.9 55.5 33.9 128.9 170.7 66.4 148.6 472.5 419.3 2,101.1 1,641.3 458.9 1,182.4 459.9 759.4 299.6 2,199.9 1,740.0 489.0 71.8 417.2 1,251.0 2.7 320.8 169.6 23.4 19.3 46.4 3.1 19.2 58.1 151.2 67.0 -4.5 56.9 31.8 114.7 168.7 59.6 157.8 426.6 459.9 Note. Estimates in this table are based on the 2012 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - 17 - 2,150.7 1,667.6 450.5 1,217.2 483.0 798.8 315.8 2,010.3 1,527.3 453.7 71.9 381.8 1,073.6 1.4 264.5 150.5 20.1 13.4 44.8 0.9 14.3 57.0 114.0 55.2 -7.0 39.8 25.9 86.3 139.2 50.6 124.0 407.5 483.0 2,177.3 1,690.7 441.2 1,249.5 486.7 819.6 333.0 2,036.9 1,550.2 444.5 69.9 374.6 1,105.8 -1.1 238.5 128.8 19.7 13.3 33.1 3.7 9.8 49.1 109.8 49.0 -0.7 36.2 25.3 88.6 155.4 47.9 148.9 427.6 486.7 2,249.7 1,771.1 457.9 1,313.1 478.6 813.6 335.0 2,115.4 1,636.7 462.2 66.6 395.6 1,174.6 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 478.6 Change from preceding period 2016 -22.3 -26.3 41.3 -67.6 4.0 8.2 4.2 -58.3 -62.3 31.3 -8.8 40.1 -93.6 -12.9 -99.6 -45.7 -1.4 -5.7 -18.4 -19.2 2.8 -3.8 -53.9 -3.3 -46.3 -3.1 -1.2 -24.6 4.3 0.7 31.3 7.3 4.0 2017 64.3 22.0 7.2 14.8 42.3 63.7 21.4 7.7 -34.6 -0.2 -13.7 13.5 -34.4 -3.4 -30.0 -22.4 -0.9 -0.3 -9.4 -1.9 -8.2 -1.7 -7.6 -7.2 17.8 -12.2 -6.0 -15.7 -11.0 -3.5 -23.0 52.1 42.3 2017 Q3 11.6 -28.9 20.2 -49.2 40.6 38.3 -2.3 12.5 -28.0 20.3 -8.3 28.6 -48.3 -2.6 13.9 -9.1 -1.8 -1.4 10.4 -2.1 -3.1 -11.2 23.0 10.3 13.4 1.4 -2.1 -14.2 -2.0 -6.8 9.2 -45.9 40.6 Line 2018 Q4 49.5 26.4 -8.4 34.8 23.1 39.3 16.2 -189.6 -212.7 -35.3 0.1 -35.4 -177.4 -1.3 -56.3 -19.1 -3.3 -5.8 -1.6 -2.2 -4.9 -1.1 -37.2 -11.7 -2.5 -17.1 -5.9 -28.4 -29.5 -9.0 -33.8 -19.1 23.1 Q1 26.7 23.0 -9.3 32.3 3.7 20.9 17.2 26.6 23.0 -9.2 -2.0 -7.2 32.2 -2.5 -26.0 -21.8 -0.4 -0.1 -11.7 2.7 -4.4 -7.9 -4.2 -6.2 6.2 -3.6 -0.6 2.3 16.2 -2.7 24.9 20.0 3.7 Q2 72.4 80.4 16.8 63.6 -8.0 -6.0 2.0 78.5 86.5 17.7 -3.2 20.9 68.8 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ -8.0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 August 29, 2018 7DEOH*URVV9DOXH$GGHGRI1RQILQDQFLDO'RPHVWLF&RUSRUDWH%XVLQHVV Line 2015 2016 2017 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2017 2018 Q1r Q2r Q2 Q3 Q4 Line Billions of dollars Gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business............................................................. 9,136.3 9,245.4 9,644.4 9,628.9 9,660.8 9,770.7 9,926.5 10,077.9 1 Consumption of fixed capital..................................................................................................................... 1,406.1 1,432.6 1,491.0 1,484.5 1,498.8 1,512.6 1,529.4 1,553.0 2 Net value added....................................................................................................................................... 7,730.2 7,812.8 8,153.4 8,144.5 8,162.1 8,258.1 8,397.1 8,524.9 3 Compensation of employees................................................................................................................. 5,290.6 5,426.4 5,695.3 5,664.0 5,723.5 5,766.5 5,861.1 5,927.7 4 Wages and salaries............................................................................................................................ 4,427.2 4,554.9 4,779.5 4,753.5 4,802.8 4,838.5 4,920.5 4,977.8 5 Supplements to wages and salaries................................................................................................... 863.4 871.4 915.8 910.5 920.6 927.9 940.6 949.9 6 Taxes on production and imports less subsidies.................................................................................. 780.1 794.3 828.5 824.0 832.5 841.4 851.8 861.5 7 Net operating surplus............................................................................................................................. 1,659.6 1,592.2 1,629.7 1,656.5 1,606.1 1,650.2 1,684.2 1,735.7 8 Net interest and miscellaneous payments......................................................................................... 305.0 332.5 335.2 335.4 334.5 334.7 341.7 333.3 9 Business current transfer payments (net).......................................................................................... 96.9 69.7 89.6 89.5 89.2 98.4 93.0 89.3 10 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................ 1,257.6 1,190.0 1,204.8 1,231.5 1,182.4 1,217.2 1,249.5 1,313.1 11 Taxes on corporate income............................................................................................................. 284.0 271.3 247.0 254.4 255.4 223.8 149.7 170.1 12 Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................ 973.6 918.8 957.9 977.1 927.0 993.4 1,099.8 1,143.1 13 Net dividends................................................................................................................................. 641.1 698.7 703.6 755.7 627.8 716.4 -326.1 242.1 14 Undistributed profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments................ 332.5 220.0 254.2 221.4 299.2 277.0 1,425.9 901.0 15 Addenda: 16 Profits before tax (without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments)....................... 1,294.1 1,254.3 1,264.4 1,312.4 1,281.8 1,147.9 1,179.9 1,264.8 16 17 Profits after tax (without inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments).......................... 1,010.1 983.0 1,017.4 1,057.9 1,026.4 924.2 1,030.2 1,094.7 17 52.8 -1.0 -45.5 -13.0 -30.8 -74.4 -74.1 -90.2 18 18 Inventory valuation adjustment.............................................................................................................. -89.3 -63.3 -14.0 -67.8 -68.6 143.6 143.8 138.5 19 19 Capital consumption adjustment........................................................................................................... Billions of chained (2012) dollars Gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business1........................................................... 8,810.0 8,942.5 9,246.1 9,233.7 9,291.9 9,387.3 9,508.5 9,559.6 20 20 2 21 Consumption of fixed capital ................................................................................................................... 1,371.6 1,413.3 1,455.9 1,449.7 1,461.4 1,473.6 1,489.1 1,506.8 21 3 22 Net value added ....................................................................................................................................... 7,438.4 7,529.2 7,790.1 7,784.0 7,830.4 7,913.7 8,019.4 8,052.8 22 Dollars; quarters seasonally adjusted Price, costs, and profits per unit of real gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business: 4 23 Price per unit of real gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business ......................... 1.037 1.034 1.043 1.043 1.040 1.041 1.044 1.054 23 0.601 0.607 0.616 0.613 0.616 0.614 0.616 0.620 24 24 Compensation of employees (unit labor cost)....................................................................................... 0.294 0.294 0.297 0.296 0.296 0.297 0.296 0.297 25 25 Unit nonlabor cost.................................................................................................................................. Consumption of fixed capital............................................................................................................... 0.160 0.160 0.161 0.161 0.161 0.161 0.161 0.162 26 26 Taxes on production and imports less subsidies plus business current transfer payments (net).... 27 0.100 0.097 0.099 0.099 0.099 0.100 0.099 0.099 27 Net interest and miscellaneous payments......................................................................................... 0.035 0.037 0.036 0.036 0.036 0.036 0.036 0.035 28 28 29 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (unit profits from current production)................................................................................................... 0.143 0.133 0.130 0.133 0.127 0.130 0.131 0.137 29 Taxes on corporate income................................................................................................................ 0.032 0.030 0.027 0.028 0.027 0.024 0.016 0.018 30 30 Profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................... 31 0.111 0.103 0.104 0.106 0.100 0.106 0.116 0.120 31 r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the first quarter of 2018. 1. The current-dollar gross value added is deflated using the gross value added chain-type price index for nonfinancial industries from the GDP-by-industry accounts. For periods when this price index is not available, the chain-type price index for GDP goods and structures is used. Effective with this release, the estimates of real gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business were revised historically, reflecting the incorporation of updated price deflators from BEA's industry economic accounts. 2. Chained-dollar consumption of fixed capital of nonfinancial corporate business is calculated as the product of the chain-type quantity index and the 2012 current-dollar value of the corresponding series, divided by 100. 3. Chained-dollar net value added of nonfinancial corporate business is the difference between the gross value added and the consumption of fixed capital. Effective with this release, the estimates of real gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business were revised historically, reflecting the incorporation of updated price deflators from BEA's industry economic accounts. 4. The deflator for gross value added of nonfinancial corporate business divided by 100. Note. Estimates in this table are based on the 2012 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 - 18 - August 29, 2018 $SSHQGL[7DEOH$5HDO*URVV'RPHVWLF3URGXFWDQG5HODWHG$JJUHJDWHV3HUFHQW&KDQJH)URP3UHFHGLQJ3HULRGDQG&RQWULEXWLRQVWR3HUFHQW&KDQJH Line 2015 2016 2014 2017 Q3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Gross domestic product (GDP) and related aggregates: GDP......................................................................................... Goods...................................................................................... Services................................................................................... Structures................................................................................ Motor vehicle output................................................................ GDP excluding motor vehicle output....................................... Nonfarm business gross value added1................................... 2.9 2.9 2.8 3.6 6.3 2.8 3.5 1.6 1.2 1.8 1.0 1.8 1.6 1.6 2.2 3.8 1.5 2.2 -1.3 2.3 2.7 Q4 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2016 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Percent change from preceding period 4.9 1.9 3.3 3.3 1.0 0.4 1.5 7.6 -1.8 4.0 3.9 0.1 -0.7 0.5 3.8 2.8 3.6 2.3 1.6 2.2 1.1 3.8 9.3 -1.5 9.4 -0.6 -8.6 8.6 16.9 -4.4 1.5 17.6 20.9 -22.8 10.4 4.6 2.1 3.4 2.9 0.4 1.2 1.3 6.4 2.2 4.1 4.1 0.6 0.1 1.6 Contributions to percent change in real gross domestic product Percent change at annual rate: Gross domestic product.................................................... 2.9 1.6 2.2 4.9 Percentage points at annual rates: 9 Goods......................................................................................... 0.88 0.35 1.11 2.32 10 Services...................................................................................... 1.71 1.13 0.92 2.30 11 Structures................................................................................... 0.29 0.08 0.19 0.31 12 Motor vehicle output................................................................... 0.18 0.05 -0.04 0.45 r Revised 1. Consists of GDP less gross value added of farm, of households and institutions, and of general government. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 8 2017 Q1 2.3 3.1 2.4 -1.7 2.8 2.3 2.5 1.9 1.6 2.0 2.4 4.0 1.9 2.2 Q1 1.8 2.3 1.3 3.4 -2.9 1.9 2.3 Q2 1.8 1.2 1.3 7.8 -7.3 2.1 1.9 2018 Q3 3.0 8.6 1.2 -2.5 -2.2 3.1 3.8 Q4 2.8 8.4 1.2 -3.7 -3.8 3.0 3.6 2.3 1.1 2.1 7.9 23.2 1.8 3.0 r Line Q2 Q1 2.2 4.1 1.2 3.4 9.5 2.0 2.6 4.2 7.0 2.9 4.6 -6.2 4.5 5.0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1.9 3.3 3.3 1.0 0.4 1.5 2.3 1.9 1.8 1.8 3.0 2.8 2.3 2.2 4.2 8 -0.54 1.71 0.72 -0.13 1.23 2.23 -0.13 0.04 1.19 1.41 0.73 0.48 0.05 0.98 -0.06 0.58 -0.19 1.33 -0.74 -0.78 0.17 0.71 0.67 0.29 0.92 1.51 -0.14 0.08 0.47 1.27 0.19 0.12 0.69 0.80 0.28 -0.08 0.37 0.79 0.63 -0.22 2.43 0.77 -0.21 -0.06 2.40 0.74 -0.32 -0.10 0.34 1.32 0.64 0.58 1.20 0.73 0.28 0.26 2.05 1.78 0.39 -0.18 9 10 11 12 $SSHQGL[7DEOH%1RW6HDVRQDOO\$GMXVWHG5HDO*URVV'RPHVWLF3URGXFW/HYHODQG3HUFHQW&KDQJH)URP4XDUWHU2QH<HDU$JR Line Q1 4281.9 2950.9 731.6 -168.1 579.6 747.7 767.8 Gross Domestic Product (GDP).............................................. Personal consumption expenditures....................................... Gross private domestic investment......................................... Net exports of goods and services.......................................... Exports................................................................................. Imports.................................................................................. Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Addenda: Current dollar measures: (Billions of dollars) 8 GDP...................................................................................... 4494.2 Gross Domestic Income....................................................... 4634.8 9 r Revised Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Billions of chained (2012) dollars at quarterly rates 2017 2016 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 4402.4 4448.4 4526.6 4338.6 4500.6 4562.1 4649.4 3052.5 3059.6 3185.3 3014.3 3135.8 3136.2 3272.4 763.7 799.0 756.3 733.4 796.2 859.2 807.8 -203.1 -207.3 -207.7 -182.5 -226.3 -223.5 -226.4 591.8 601.8 604.9 594.2 607.9 616.0 632.0 794.9 809.1 812.6 776.7 834.2 839.5 858.3 784.6 792.0 788.1 770.8 787.1 783.9 788.6 4670.2 4626.0 4728.1 4735.9 4814.8 4837.4 4652.8 4888.9 4856.4 4838.9 4933.7 4852.8 5042.5 5047.9 - 19 - Percent change from quarter one year ago Line 2018 2018 2016 2017 r Q2r Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 1.3 1.4 2.0 1.3 2.2 2.6 2.7 3.3 3.0 1 4483.0 4636.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.1 2.7 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.7 2 3097.6 3219.4 796.0 841.6 -2.1 -2.2 1.0 0.3 4.3 7.5 6.8 8.5 5.7 3 -197.5 -228.9 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 4 619.0 638.0 -1.4 0.5 0.8 2.5 2.7 2.4 4.5 4.2 4.9 5 816.5 866.9 1.3 1.3 2.4 3.9 4.9 3.8 5.6 5.1 3.9 6 782.7 795.6 1.4 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.3 -1.0 0.1 1.5 1.1 7 4901.5 5117.1 5130.7 506. 2.3 1.6 2.6 3.8 3.3 1.3 3.5 5.5 4.0 4.6 4.3 2.5 4.7 4.3 5.3 4.7 5.6 4. 8 9