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EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 7:30 P.M. EDT, SUNDAY, JUNE 13, 2010
BEA 10-27

Gross Domestic Product for Guam, 2002-2007
HAGATNA, GUAM (June 14, 2010) – Today, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is
releasing its first set of estimates of the major components of gross domestic product
(GDP) for Guam.1
Objectively gauging changes in economic activity is difficult in the absence of
comprehensive economic metrics, such as the GDP. Until now, a framework did not exist to
estimate the GDP of Guam. The Statistical Improvement Program, funded by the Office of
Insular Affairs (OIA) of the U.S. Department of the Interior, has made it possible for BEA to
develop formal methodologies for measuring the GDP of Guam.
On May 5, 2010, BEA released estimates of total GDP for American Samoa, the
Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The
estimates for Guam showed that from 2002 to 2007, real GDP -- GDP adjusted to remove
price changes -- grew at an average annual rate of 1.8 percent.2 (For comparison, the
average annual growth rate for the United States (excluding the territories) was 2.8 percent
over this period.)
The estimates released today supplement the estimates of total GDP for Guam that were
released in May. The accompanying tables present estimates for the major components of
GDP, including consumer spending, private fixed investment, net exports, and government
spending.3 Also included in this release are estimates of the major components of gross
domestic income.
The estimates of the major components of Guam’s GDP show that changes in consumer
spending, in government spending (including spending for construction), and in exports of
services accounted for much of the year-to-year volatility in real GDP growth.

In constructing the estimates for Guam, BEA used methodologies consistent with the
methods used to estimate U.S. GDP. Information from the Economic Census of Island
Areas was used to establish levels of GDP for the years 2002 and 2007. Annual series
were then developed and used to estimate GDP for the intervening years. Because Guam
is not included in most of the major surveys used by BEA to estimate U.S. GDP, the
support of government leaders in Guam and the assistance provided by the Guam Bureau
of Statistics and Plans, the Guam Department of Revenue and Taxation, the Guam Bureau
of Labor Statistics, and the Guam Bureau of Budget and Management Research were
critical to the successful production of the estimates presented in this release.
Moving forward, the agreement between OIA and BEA will extend and improve the
estimates of GDPfor Guam. BEA currently plans to release estimates for both 2008 and
2009 in the spring of 2011.
1

These estimates are based on limited source data and are subject to revision.

2

Summary GDP statistics for Guam are presented on page 3 of this news release.

3

Consumer spending refers to personal consumption expenditures and government
spending refers to government consumption expenditures and gross investment.
BEA’s national, international, regional, and industry statistics; the Survey of Current
Business; and BEA news releases are available without charge on BEA’s Web site at
www.bea.gov. By visiting the site, you can also subscribe to receive free e-mail summaries
of BEA releases and announcements.

Guam

From 2002 to 2007, real GDP of Guam grew at an average annual rate of 1.8 percent.
Year-to-year fluctuations in economic growth reflected changes in construction activity and
in tourism. Guam's economy was significantly affected by a number of economic shocks
over this period, including Typhoon Pongsona, the SARS epidemic, the outbreak of avian
flu, and the financial downturn in Asia.
Summary Statistics for Guam
2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

20022007
AAGR

1

GDP (millions of dollars)
Real GDP (millions of chained 2005
dollars)
Population 2
Real GDP per capita (chained 2005
dollars)
1. Average annual growth rate. 2.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau,
International Database.

3,568

3,542

3,846

4,100

4,176

4,280

3.7%

3,651

3,643

3,936

4,100

3,959

3,988

1.8%

161,057163,593166,090168,564171,019173,4561.5%
22,669 22,269 23,698 24,323 23,149 22,991 0.3%

From 2002 to 2007, the population of Guam increased at an average annual rate of 1.5
percent, and real GDP per capita increased at an average annual rate of 0.3 percent.

Guam
Table 1. Gross Domestic Product

[Millions of
dollars]
20032004
1
3,568

2005 2006 2007
3,5423,8464,1004,1764,280

Line
2002
Gross domestic product
Personal consumption
expenditures

2

2,359

2,1892,3662,5892,6602,783

Private fixed investment

3

95

130 126 122 140 180

Net exports
Exports
Goods
Services
Imports
Goods
Services

4
5
6
7
8
9
10

-368
611
50
561
979
958
21

-444
544
43
501
988
966
22

11

1,482

1,6681,7171,8421,8832,006

12
13

861
620

993 1,0311,0801,0771,142
675 686 762 806 864

Government consumption
expenditures and gross
investment
Federal
Territorial

Guam
Table 2. Real Gross Domestic
Product, Chained Dollars

-363 -453 -507 -690
741 839 812 814
53 52 53 91
688 788 759 723
1,1031,2921,3181,504
1,0761,2631,2881,463
28 30 31 41

[Millions of chained
(2005) dollars]
20032004
2005 2006 2007
1
3,651
3,6433,9364,1003,9593,988

Line
2002
Gross domestic product
Personal consumption
expenditures

2

2,503

2,2932,4552,5892,5542,601

Private fixed investment

3

111

148 135 122 131 164

Net exports

4

-657

-571 -451 -453 -557 -703

Exports
  Goods
  Services
Imports
  Goods
  Services
Government consumption
expenditures and gross
investment
Federal
Territorial

5
6
7
8
9
10

736
58
677
1,393
1,372
22

628 801 839 761 744
48 56 52 51 83
580 745 788 710 662
1,1991,2521,2921,3181,448
1,1761,2231,2631,2881,408
24 29 30 30 39

11

1,653

1,7631,7971,8421,8301,923

12
13

958
694

1,0551,0691,0801,0261,084
708 728 762 805 841

Guam
Table 3. Percent Change From Preceding Year in Real
Gross Domestic Product
2003
Gross domestic product

Line [Percent]
20042005
20062007
1
-0.2
8.1 4.2 -3.40.7

Personal consumption expenditures

2

-8.4

7.0 5.5 -1.31.8

Private fixed investment

3

32.9

-8.5 -9.5 7.0 24.9

Net exports
Exports
Goods
Services
Imports
Goods
Services

4
5
6
7
8
9
10

-14.6
-16.9
-14.4
-13.9
-14.3
5.8

27.4
15.5
28.5
4.4
4.0
21.6

Government consumption
expenditures and gross investment
Federal
Territorial

11
12
13

6.7
10.0
2.0

2.0 2.5 -0.65.1
1.4 1.0 -5.05.6
2.9 4.6 5.7 4.4

Guam
Table 4. Contributions to Percent Change in Real Gross
Domestic Product

4.8
-7.3
5.8
3.2
3.2
3.6

-9.4-2.1
-2.063.6
-9.9-6.8
2.0 9.9
2.0 9.3
-1.032.2

Line
20042005 2006 2007

2003
Percent change:
  Gross domestic product
Percentage points:
Personal consumption expenditures

1

-0.2 8.1 4.2 -3.4 0.7

2

-5.604.36 3.38 -0.831.18

Private fixed investment

3

0.89 -0.32-0.320.21 0.84

Net exports
Exports
Goods
Services
Imports
Goods
Services

4
5
6
7
8
9
10

1.64 3.08 -0.02-2.54-3.56
-2.574.35 0.96 -1.94-0.41
-0.240.19 -0.10-0.030.82
-2.334.15 1.06 -1.91-1.23
4.21 -1.27-0.98-0.60-3.15
4.24 -1.13-0.96-0.61-2.91
-0.03-0.14-0.030.01 -0.24

Government consumption
expenditures and gross investment
Federal
Territorial

11
12
13

2.85 0.93 1.11 -0.272.28
2.50 0.39 0.27 -1.301.43
0.36 0.54 0.84 1.03 0.85

Guam
Table 5. Percent Change From Preceding
Year in Prices for Gross Domestic
Product
and Price Indexes for Gross Domestic
Product
[Percent]
  Gross domestic product
Personal consumption expenditures

  Gross domestic product
Personal consumption expenditures

Guam
Table 6. Gross Domestic Income

Line2002
1
2

3
4

……..
……..
[Index
numbers,
2005=100]
97.7
94.3

200320042005 2006 2007
-0.5 0.5 2.4
1.2 1.0 3.7

5.5
4.1

1.7
2.8

97.2 97.7 100.0105.5107.3
95.4 96.4 100.0104.1107.0

[Millions of
dollars]
20032004
1
3,568
2
1,879
Line

2002
  Gross domestic income
Compensation of employees
Taxes on production and imports less
3
subsidies
Gross operating surplus
4

94

127 154 163 165 194

1,595

1,3201,5681,7331,7181,677

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