The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
97th Congress, 2nd Session House Document No. 97-124 Budget of the United States Government Fiscal Year 1983 THE BUDGET DOCUMENTS Budget of the United States Government, 1983 contains the Budget Message of the President and presents an overview of the President's budget proposals. It includes explanations of spending programs in terms of national needs, agency missions, and basic programs, and an analysis of estimated receipts, including a discussion of the President's tax program. This document also contains a description of the budget system and various summary tables on the budget as a whole. United States Budget in Brief, 1983 is designed for use by the general public. It provides a more concise, less technical overview of the 1983 budget than the above volume. Summary and historical tables on the Federal budget and debt are also provided, together with graphic displays. Budget of the United States Government, 1983—Appendix contains detailed information on the various appropriations and funds that comprise the budget. The Appendix contains more detailed information than any of the other budget documents. It includes for each agency: the proposed text of appropriation language, budget schedules for each account, new legislative proposals, explanations of the work to be performed and the funds needed, proposed general provisions applicable to the appropriations of entire agencies or groups of agencies, and schedules of permanent positions. Supplemental and rescission proposals for the current year are presented separately. Information is also provided on certain activities whose outlays are not part of the budget totals. Special analyses previously published in the Special Analyses volume of the Budget may be purchased individually. Major Themes and Additional Budget Details, a supplementary report to the budget documents, highlights the ways in which the 1983 Budget implements major themes of the President's program and describes specific programmatic changes and their effects. Instructions for purchasing copies of any of these materials are on the preceding two pages of this volume. GENERAL NOTES 1. All years referred to are fiscal years, unless otherwise noted. 2. Detail in the tables, text, and charts of this volume may not add to the totals because of rounding. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Washington, D.C. 20402 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page PART 1. THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT Ml PART 2. ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET OUTLOOK 2-1 The economic outlook 2-2 Sensitivity of the budget to economic assumptions 2-6 Changes in the budget outlook since last year 2-13 PART 3. BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS 3-1 Summary 3-2 Current services budget with adequate defense 3-5 The 1983 budget deficit reduction program 3-7 The impact of adequate defense funding on the budget 3-16 Reversal of the growing tax claim on GNP 3-18 Asymmetrical pattern of prospective budget growth, 1983-87 3-20 Correcting the underlying budget imbalance ^ 3-22 Control of Federal credit 3-23 The prospective budget margin for discretionary programs 3-26 Transition of American federalism 3-28 Summary tables 3-32 PART 4. BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-1 Summary 4-2 Enacted legislation 4-3 Receipts proposals 4-11 Effect of enacted and proposed changes on receipts 4-16 Changes in budget receipts 4-17 Receipts by source 4-19 PART 5. MEETING NATIONAL NEEDS: THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY FUNCTION 5-1 Introduction 5-2 National defense 5-9 International affairs 5-21 General science, space, and technology 5-34 Energy 5-41 Natural resources and environment 5-49 Agriculture 5-59 Commerce and housing credit 5-65 Transportation 5-79 Community and regional development 5-91 Education, training, employment, and social services 5-103 Health 5-127 Income security 5-139 Veterans benefits and services 5-163 Administration of justice 5-172 General government 5-179 General purpose fiscal assistance 5-187 III IV CONTENTS Page Interest Allowances Undistributed offsetting receipts PART 6. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET Relationship of budget authority to outlays Fiscal activities outside the Federal budget Budget funds and the Federal debt The increase in total 1981 outlays over the initial budget estimate Comparison of relatively uncontrollable outlays and of receipts Reductions in consulting services and travel Allocation of windfall profit tax receipts PART 7. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS The budget process Coverage of the budget totals Budget authority and related transactions The credit budget Collections Other transactions Basis for budget figures PART 8. THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT Explanatory note... Legislative branch The judiciary Executive Office of the President Funds appropriated to the President Department of Agriculture Department of Commerce Department of Defense—Military Department of Defense—Civil Department of Health and Human Services Department of Housing and Urban Development Department of the Interior Department of Justice Department of Labor Department of State Department of Transportation Department of the Treasury Environmental Protection Agency National Aeronautics and Space Administration Veterans Administration Other independent agencies Allowances Budget totals Off-budget Federal entities PART 9. SUMMARY TABLES Explanatory note relating to the summary tables Table 1. Budget summary Table 2. Budget receipts, outlays, and budget authority Table 3. Budget authority and outlays by agency Table 4. Budget authority and outlays available through current action by Congress Table 5. Relation of budget authority to outlays Table 6. Obligations incurred, net Table 7. Balances of budget authority 5-194 5-197 5-201 6-1 6-2 6-5 6-22 6-27 6-31 6-39 6-41 7-1 7-2 7-6 7-9 7-12 7-13 7-15 7-16 8-1 8-2 8-3 8-12 8-15 8-18 8-25 8-38 8-47 8-57 8-61 8-74 8-79 8-90 8-93 8-99 8-102 8-111 8-118 8-120 8-121 8-124 8-163 8-165 8-168 9-1 9-2 9-3 9-4 9-5 9-6 9-7 9-8 9-9 CONTENTS Page Table 8. Full-time equivalent of total Federal civilian employment in the executive branch Table 9. Budget financing and outstanding debt Table 10. Budget receipts by source Table 11. Offsetting receipts by type Table 12. Budget authority by function and agency Table 13. Outlays by function and agency Table 14. Legislative proposals for major new and expanded programs in the 1983 budget, projection of costs Table 15. New direct loan obligations by agency Table 16. New loan guarantee commitments by agency Table 17. Controllability of budget outlays, 1973-83 Table 18. Budget receipts by source, 1973-83 Table 19. Budget outlays by function, 1973-83 Table 20. Federal transactions in the national income accounts, 1972-83 Table 21. Federal finances and the gross national product, 1964-85 Table 22. Composition of budget outlays in current and constant (fiscal year 1972) prices: 1962-85 Table 23. Budget receipts and outlays, 1789-1985 INDEX 9-10 9-11 9-12 9-15 9-18 9-30 9-43 9-44 9-45 9-46 9-48 9-50 9-59 9-60 9-61 9-62 Ind-1 PART 1 THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT Ml *r.-^?rV.- operate. •-•• r'T'-'^P' BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT To the Congress of the United States: One year ago, in my first address to the country, I went before the American people to report on the condition of our economy. It was not a happy occasion. Inflation, interest, and unemployment rates were at painfully high levels, while real growth, job creation, new investment, personal savings, and productivity gains had virtually ceased. Our economy was staggering under the burden of excessive tax rates, double-digit inflation, runaway Government spending, counter-productive regulations, and uneven money supply growth. The economy, I declared, was in the "worst mess" in half a century. To our great good fortune, there were many in the Congress who understood the nature of our difficulties and who rose with us to meet the challenge. Fundamental and long-overdue remedies were proposed and put in place. Together, we enacted the biggest spending and tax reductions in history. Counter-productive regulations have been swept away, and the Federal Reserve has taken action to bring excessive monetary growth under control. The first year of the 97th Congress will be remembered for its decisive action to hold down spending and cut tax rates. Today, the question before us is whether the second year of this Congress will bring forward equal determination, courage, and wisdom. Clearly, there is a great deal more to be done. Some seek instant relief from the economic problems we face. There is no such panacea. Our program began October 1, and it cannot solve in 4 months problems that have been building for more than 4 decades. All the quick fixes tried in the past not only failed to solve but actually aggravated our economic difficulties. They simply ensured a new cycle of boom and bust, of exaggerated hopes and eventual disappointment. We did not promise the American people a miracle. We did promise them progress, and progress they will get. Our goal was and remains economic recovery—the return of noninflationary and sustained prosperity. We seek a larger economic pie to provide all Americans more jobs, more after-tax income, and a better life. Quick fixes won't get us there. M3 M4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 What will get us there is firm resolve and unwavering adherence to the four fundamentals of our economic recovery program that I outlined to the Congress 1 year ago: • Reducing personal and business taxes to stimulate saving, investment, work effort, and productivity. • Reducing the growth of overall Federal spending by eliminating Federal activities that overstep the proper sphere of Federal Government responsibilities. • Reducing the Federal regulatory burden in areas where the Federal Government intrudes unnecessarily into our private lives or interferes unnecessarily with the efficient conduct of private business or of State or local government. • Supporting a moderate and steady monetary policy, to bring inflation under control. At the same time, I have proposed strengthening the Nation's defenses, to restore our margin of safety and counter the Soviet military buildup. Congressional response to these proposals has been positive and gratifying. While much remains to be done, we have made a good beginning. The Nation's fiscal policy is now firmly embarked on a new, sound, and sustainable course. For the first time in 2 decades, the destructive pattern of runaway spending, rising tax rates, and expanding budgetary commitments has been slowed, and with the cooperation of the Congress this year, will finally be broken. • Where the growth rate of spending had soared to 17.4% in 1980, it is now declining dramatically—to 10.4% this year, and, under the budget I am submitting, to 4.5% next year. • Where budget growth totaled $166 billion from 1979 to 1981, spending will rise by only 60% of that amount from 1981 to 1983, despite cost-of-living adjustments and the needed defense buildup. • After having reached 23% of GNP in 1981, the Federal Government's claim on our economy will steadily recede—to 22% in 1983 and to below 20% by 1987. • After a decade of tax-flation in which fiscal and monetary excess fueled the unrelenting rise of prices and the automatic increase of taxes, significant tax rate reductions have been enacted. A permanent safeguard against bracket creep and Government profiteering on inflation—income tax indexing— has also been created. • Where Government had passively tolerated the swift, continuous growth of automatic entitlements and had actively shortchanged the national security, a long-overdue reordering of priorities has begun, entitlement growth is being checked, and the restoration of our defenses is underway. M5 THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT This dramatic progress in reordering fiscal policy has been paralleled by a similar redirection of monetary policy. The excessive, unsustainable, and eventually ruinous growth of money and credit of the past decade has been curbed. The inflation spiral has been broken. The growth of prices is slowing down. Peoples' savings are beginning to flow out of unproductive speculation, tangible assets, and other inflation hedges back into the Nation's financial arteries where they will be available to power economic recovery, more jobs, and growing incomes and opportunities. THE BUDGET TOTALS (In billions of dollars) 1981 actual Budget receipts Budget outlays Surplus or deficit ( - ) Budget authority 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 599.3 657.2 626.8 725.3 666.1 757.6 723.0 805.9 796.6 868.5 -57.9 -98.6 -91.5 82.9 -71.9 718.4 765.5 801.9 858.0 943.5 In short, we are putting the false prosperity of overspending, easy credit, depreciating money, and financial excess behind us. A M6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 solid foundation has been laid for a sound dollar, sustained real economic growth, lasting financial stability, and noninflationary prosperity for all Americans. We are also moving to shackle the regulatory juggernaut that burdened production, consumed jobs, and diminished productivity growth. During the past year no significant new regulatory statutes were enacted and few major new regulations were imposed. Additions to the Federal Register declined by 23,000 pages. Benefitcost analysis was made mandatory for regulations. Dozens of existing regulations were reviewed, modified, or eliminated. Without taking into account billions of dollars of savings from regulations never formally proposed because of the changed climate our program has created, quantifiable one-time cost savings of over $3 billion and recurring annual savings of nearly $2 billion have been realized. And the effort has just begun. A YEAR OF HISTORIC ACHIEVEMENT These remarkable achievements are the cornerstones of our national economic recovery program. They far exceed anything that the skeptics and critics ever dreamed possible just 1 year ago. They occurred because the executive and legislative branches of our Government joined together to respond to the mandate of the American people and overcome the impediments that had paralyzed Washington for a decade. Together, we have launched a process of reform and change that can transform the course of events. The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 is the largest, most comprehensive, and most constructive tax bill ever adopted. With the cooperation of the Congress and support of the public, it was enacted in just 5 months. It addressed and substantially remedied most of the tax system's shortcomings and disincentives that had accumulated over decades—distortions that were imposing an increasingly heavy toll on investment, economic growth, and job creation. • The penalty tax rate on investment income has been eliminated. By dropping the top rate from 70 to 50%, the attractiveness of tax shelters will be reduced and the incentives for productive investment in stocks, bonds, new business ventures, and other financial assets will be increased. Our Nation's capital will again flow to the growth of business and jobs rather than to the vendors of protection from punitive taxation. • Marginal tax rates have been significantly lowered for the first time in two decades. The 23% across-the-board rate reduction will mean $183 billion in lower taxes for individuals over the first 3 years. The financial reward for savings, work THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT • • • • M7 effort, and new production will stop diminishing and start rising once again. Powerful new incentives for savings have been established. Beginning this year, 50 million workers will be eligible for the first time to set aside tax-free up to $2,000 per year for Individual Retirement Accounts. The annual limit for existing Keogh and IRA investors will also be raised. By sharply altering the incentives for saving as opposed to consumption, a huge new flow of current income will be channeled toward restoring our productivity and lifting our national savings rate from last place in the industrial world. The taxation of phantom corporate profits has also been significantly curtailed. The new accelerated cost recovery system will shorten depreciation periods to 5 years for machinery and 15 years for structures. This will permit fuller recovery of asset costs, a more valid accounting of taxable profits, and a reasonable after-tax return on investments for the first time in years. By eliminating the drastic under-depreciation provided in previous tax law, after-tax business cash flow will be increased by $10 V2 billion this year and $211 billion over the next 6 years. This growing stream of funds for modernization, new machinery, new technology, new products, and new plants will revive our lagging productivity, restore our competitiveness in world markets, and spur the steady growth of jobs, production, and real incomes. The confiscatory taxing of estates and inheritances has been halted as well. By raising the exemption to $600,000, by lowering the rate to 50%, and by removing the limits on the marital deduction, 99.7% of all estates will eventually be exempt from estate taxation. Hard-working American farmers, small businessmen, investors, and workers can once again be confident that the sweat, sacrifices, and accumulations of a lifetime will belong to their heirs rather than their Government. Government profiteering on inflation has been abolished. Beginning in 1985, the individual income tax brackets, the zerobracket amount, and the personal exemption will be corrected annually for inflation. Bracket creep will never again systematically plunder the rewards for production and effort. Government will never again use inflation to take a rising share of the peoples' income without a vote of their representatives. M8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 as a Percent of GNP The past year's achievements on spending control and the reestablishment of budgetary discipline are no less impressive than the sweeping tax changes. For the first time ever, the Congress activated its central budgetary machinery and overcame the spending impulses of its fragmented parts. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 was a watershed in fiscal history—a giant step toward the restoration of fiscal discipline. By the accounting of its own Congressional Budget Office, spending will be $35 billion lower this year and about $130 billion lower over the next 3 years due to just one bill passed in only 5 months after having been considered by 30 different committees, a bill that reduced, reformed or eliminated hundreds of programs. The growth of budgetary outlays is at last being brought in line with the growth of the tax base and the national income. Excess spending commitments, unnecessary programs and overlapping activities were meaningfully addressed in the Reconciliation Act for the first time in decades. • As a result of congressional action in 1981, the growth of entitlements will be reduced by $41 billion during the next 3 years. For the first time, eligibility standards for food stamps and student loans have been tightened. Unemployment benefits have been targeted to States where they are needed. Subsidies for non-needy students have been reduced in the school lunch program. Abuses of the medicaid, nutrition, and THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT • • • • • M9 AFDC programs have been curtailed, saving $14.4 billion over the next 3 years. Overly generous and unaffordable twice-ayear cost-of-living adjustments for Federal retirees have been eliminated. The "uncontrollables" are being brought under control, and benefits have been retargeted where they are most needed. Dozens of ineffective or counter-productive programs have been eliminated or reduced. The $4 billion make-work CETA public sector jobs program was abolished. Extravagant dairy subsidies have been cut substantially. The ineffective $700 million Economic Development Administration is being phased out. The Community Services Administration has been eliminated. An unnecessary $2 billion in Government subsidies for new energy supplies and technologies has been cut. The excessively-funded impact aid program was substantially scaled back. In short, a long-overdue housecleaning of excess budgetary commitments was accomplished. Inappropriate Federal subsidies have been withdrawn. Legislation to return Conrail to the private sector has been enacted. The National Consumer Cooperative Bank has been privatized. Subsidies to the auto industry for new technology demonstrations have been eliminated. Operating subsidies to local mass transit systems are being phased out. Subsidies to exporters have been sharply curtailed. Subsidized disaster loans to financially viable businesses have been eliminated. A major stride toward rationalizing the structure, reducing the cost, and increasing State and local flexibility in the Nation's $91 billion grant-in-aid system has been enacted. Fifty-seven narrow, redtape-ridden categorical grants programs have been replaced with 9 block grants. The pages of regulation imposed on State and local governments have been reduced from over 300 to 6, while the cost to the Federal budget has been reduced. Total funding for nondefense discretionary programs has been reduced. After continuous growth for two decades, the budget cost of these programs will actually decline from $137 billion in 1981 to $130 billion in 1982. An impressive start at reducing fraud, waste, abuse, and unnecessary Government overhead was made. The President's Council on Integrity and Efficiency, established to coordinate a Government-wide attack on fraud and waste, saved $2 billion in the last 6 months of 1981 alone. A comprehensive effort to collect $33 billion in delinquent debts has been launched and will recover $1.5 billion in 1982 and $4.0 billion in 1983. These estimates include recoveries of delinquent taxes due to the Internal Revenue Service. Federal nondefense employment has been reduced by 35,000 since January M10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 1981. The cost of Government travel, publications, and consultants has been reduced substantially. At the same time that the Congress joined in these long-overdue efforts to pare back the size of the Federal budget and slow its momentum of growth, it has fully supported our ambitious but essential plan to rebuild our national defense. A year ago every component of military strength was flashing warning lights of neglect, under-investment, and deteriorating capability. Today, health is being restored. • Pervasive deficiencies in readiness—including too many units not ready for combat, too many weapons systems out of commission, too few people with critical combat skills, and too few planes and ships fully capable of their missions—are being corrected. Funds for operations and maintenance, including training and aircraft flying hours, have been boosted. Backlogs of combat equipment needing repair are being eliminated. Adequate supplies of spare parts necessary to support high operating rates for training, as well as to provide war reserves, are being purchased. • The serious inadequacy in pay and benefits that threatened the all-volunteer force, caused an exodus of skilled personnel, and sapped morale throughout the armed services has been corrected. Last year's 14.3% pay increase has improved recruit quality, boosted reenlistment rates, stopped the drain of critical skills, and contributed to the dramatic revival of morale in our military services. End-strength goals are now being exceeded. In addition, the percentage of recruits with higher test scores has risen in the past year. • Critical investments in conventional and strategic force modernization are now moving rapidly forward. A new bomber for early deployment and an advanced (Stealth) bomber for the 1990's have been approved to retain our capability to penetrate Soviet air defenses. Development of a new, larger, and more accurate MX missile to preserve our land-based deterrent is proceeding. A 5-year shipbuilding program including 133 new ships and a total investment of $96 billion—double the 5-year program of the previous administration—has been launched. Rapid production of new combat systems including the M-l Abrams tank, the AV-8B Marine Corps attack aircraft and the F/A-18 Navy tactical fighter have been approved. Improvements in our airlift and sealift forces to transport equipment and soldiers rapidly to counter military aggression anywhere in the world, are moving forward. THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT Mil NO TIME TO RETREAT These achievements of the first year truly constitute a new beginning. In every major dimension of national strength and wellbeing we have launched the redirection of policy that was so desperately needed and so long overdue. We are ending the destructive inflation and the financial disorder built up over a decade. We have removed the yoke of over-taxation from our workers and our business enterprises. We have begun to dismantle the regulatory straitjacket that impeded our commerce and sapped our prosperity. And we have reversed the dangerous erosion of our military capabilities. The task before us now is a different one, but no less crucial. Our task is to persevere; to stay the course; to shun retreat; to weather the temporary dislocations and pressures that must inevitably accompany the restoration of national economic, fiscal, and military health. The correction of previous fiscal and monetary excesses has come too late to avert an unwelcome, painful, albeit temporary business slump. In the months ahead there will be temptation to resort to pump-priming and spending stimulus programs. Such efforts have failed in the past, are not needed now, and must be resisted at every turn. Our program for permanent economic recovery is already in place. Artificial stimulants will undermine that program, not reinforce it. Likewise, previous excesses in money and credit growth have resulted in financial strain in many regions and sectors of our national economy. The adjustment to lower inflation and a more moderate money and credit policy did not come soon enough to avoid interest rates and unemployment far higher than we would like, and that we are working to reduce. But these effects are temporary. They cannot be remedied by a return to rapid, unsustainable expansion of Federal spending and money growth, which would drive inflation and interest rates to new highs. Our hardwon gains in reducing inflation must be preserved and extended— because permanent reduction of interest rates and unemployment is impossible if the fight against inflation is abandoned, just when it is being won. Similarly, our budget deficits will be large because of the current recession, and because it is impossible in a short period of time to correct the mistakes of decades. But our incentive-minded tax policy and our security-based defense programs are right and necessary for long-run peace and prosperity, and must not be tampered with in a vain attempt to cure deficits in the short-run. The answer to deficits is economic growth and indefatigable efforts to 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 2 M12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 control spending and borrowing. These principles we dare not abandon. THE DEFICIT PROBLEM: ITS ORIGINS Despite the new course we have charted and the gains we have achieved, the voices of doubt, retreat, and rejection are beginning to rise. They conveniently forget that the present business slump was not caused by our program but is the result of the accumulated burdens of past policy errors, which we have taken action to redress. They fail to comprehend that our spending cuts and tax reductions were not designed to redistribute the output of a stagnant economy, but to revive the economy's growth and to increase its size—for the jobless as well as the affluent, for those who aspire to get ahead as well as those who have already arrived. Increasingly, the larger budget deficits that we unavoidably face are offered as evidence that our entire course should be recharted. The matter of budget deficits, therefore, must be addressed squarely. We must fully comprehend why they have grown from our original projections, why they may remain with us for some time to come, what dangers they pose if not vigorously combatted and what steps we can and must take to steadily reduce their size and drain on our available savings. Our original plan called for a balanced budget in 1984. Balance is no longer achievable in 1984, but the factors that have postponed its realization are neither permanent nor cause for abandoning the goal of eventually living within our means. In the near term, the most important setback to our budgetary timetable is the recession now underway. During 1982, receipts will decline by $31 billion and outlays rise by $8 billion due to the falloff of business activity and the increase of unemployment-related payments. This factor alone accounts for nearly all of the difference between the $45 billion 1982 deficit we projected last year and our current estimate of $98.6 billion. While the recession will end before this fiscal year is over, its budgetary impact will spill over for many years into the future. It will take time for the unemployment rate to come down and safety net payments to diminish. The growth of receipts will recover, but not at the levels previously projected. This will add billions to deficits for 1983 and 1984. The second major factor widening the deficit projection is interest payments on our trillion dollar debt. Here we are being penalized doubly for the misguided policies of the past. The discredited philosophy of spend and spend, borrow and borrow, saddled us with a permanent debt burden of staggering dimensions. This year's interest payment of $83 billion exceeds the size of the entire Federal budget as recently as 1958. THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M13 In addition, past fiscal, monetary, and credit excesses have resulted in temporarily high interest rates—rates that will come down, but only as inflation abates, private and public financing practices adjust, and long-term confidence rebuilds. Since market confidence has been so badly shaken by runaway inflation and interest rates in the past 3 years, it is apparent that interest rates over the next several years will fall less rapidly than we had originally anticipated. Between the huge inherited base of national debt, the higher interest rates, and the large prospective additions to the national debt in the next several years, our total debt service costs will rise substantially. Interest payments on the debt will exceed our original projections by $18 billion in 1982, $32 billion in 1983, and $182 billion over 1982-86 taken as a whole. The interest rate/debt service factor, then, constitutes a major source of the setback to our budget timetable. But let us be clear about its origins: it arises primarily from a legacy of past excesses, not from a shortfall in our current budget control efforts, nor from a flaw in our overall program. The third and most important factor contributing to the growth in deficit projections is quite simply the ironic by-product of our rapid and decisive success in bringing down the rate of inflation. Our economic forecast last February projected a 9.5% inflation rate in calendar year 1981 and a further decline to 7.7% in 1982. This projection was scorned by many as too rosy just 1 year ago. Yet the actual inflation rate in 1981 turned out to be lower than our projection, and the inflation decline this year and next year almost certainly will exceed our earlier projections. This is welcome news to every American and we have adjusted our inflation forecast accordingly. But lower rates of price increase also mean lower inflation components in wages and incomes and a reduced flow of inflation-swollen tax receipts to the Treasury. This point is not merely academic. Over the next 5 years, our forecast projects a 9.9% average rate of growth in nominal GNP reflecting a steady fall of inflation to about 4V2% by 1987. If nominal GNP growth were just 2% higher each year, reflecting a continuation of higher inflation, Federal receipts would be enlarged by the staggering sum of $353 billion over the 5 years. On paper, at least, the budget would be nearly balanced in 1987 rather than more than $50 billion in deficit. But if the last decade offers any lesson, it is that we cannot inflate our way to budget balance. Indeed, every budget from 1975 forward projected a balanced budget 2 years into the future and growing surpluses in the out-years. Not one of these surpluses materialized for a very compelling reason: the monetary excesses needed to finance inflationary growth of wages and incomes are the enemy of savings, investment, real economic growth, and fun- M14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 damental business confidence and financial stability. They lead to the kind of pervasive economic breakdown that we experienced during 1979-81—a breakdown that swells Government spending, interrupts the flow of receipts, and causes prospective budgetary surpluses to vanish in a flow of red ink. Thus, we cannot and will not pursue the will-o'-the-wisp of reflation nor the phantom of future budget surpluses premised on a continuance of high inflation. Instead, we must recognize that for a period of time, success in our unyielding battle against inflation will appear to work against our goal of a balanced budget. Thus, while our current revenues will reflect the decline of inflation today, part of our current outlays will reflect the higher rates of inflation in years past. This is especially true in the case of some $249 billion in indexed programs. Generally, the inflation rate used to adjust indexed benefits lags a year or more behind the current payment period. During 1983, for example, an inflation rate of 6.5% is projected, but cost-ofliving adjustments to social security and other program benefits will be 8.1% based largely on the actual inflation experience of 1981. Much the same is true of the $96.4 billion in debt service for 1983. Some part of that will reflect the higher cost of debt securities issued in 1980-82 when inflation and interest rates will have been higher than is now projected for 1983. Thus, the conquest of inflation will contribute to budgetary imbalance for some years to come. But these deficits will prove manageable if we understand why we have them and redouble our efforts to reduce them. The final factor contributing to the worsening of the deficit outlook is that all of the budget savings we had planned for last year were not actually achieved. Most importantly, our plan to ensure the short- and long-run solvency of social security was discarded by the Congress. In an effort to eliminate partisanship and facilitate movement toward a constructive solution, our reform proposal has been withdrawn in favor of a bipartisan commission charged with developing a plan to rescue the social security system by next fall. I am confident that the commission will do just that, but in the meanwhile our outlay projections must be increased by $6 billion in 1983 and $18 billion for 1987. Likewise, the Congress failed to adopt all of the reforms we proposed for medicaid, guaranteed student loans, food stamps and other entitlements. Without further action, about $4 billion would be added to the 1983 deficit in these areas alone. While major and unprecedented action was taken to curb the growth of entitlements last year, the shortfall is still substantial. Entitlement reforms not acted upon by the Congress last year will add nearly $20 billion to the deficit over the next 3 years. When this is combined with THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M15 substantial added outlays for farm subsidies and for discretionary programs that were not reformed, it is clear that the task of budget control is far from complete. THE BUDGET DEFICIT IN PERSPECTIVE Taken together, the effects of recession, higher interest rates, declining inflation, and incomplete congressional action will mean high, continuing, and troublesome Federal budget deficits. Constant vigilance and relentless efforts to pare back future spending and borrowing will be imperative to ensure that they are not permitted to worsen and add further pressure to financial markets and interest rates. Nevertheless, three features of these high deficit numbers must not be lost sight of even as we seek eventually to eliminate them. First, even the 1982 deficit of $98.6 billion is not unprecedented in the context of a recession and recovery cycle. Relative to the present size of the U.S. economy, the budget deficit would have been $94 billion for 1975, followed by deficits of $139 billion, $91 billion and $97 billion in the next 3 years, respectively. Second, these deficits reflect the excess spending commitments of past rather than new spending programs with potential to grow in the future. That means that by remaining firm in our efforts to reduce waste and excess, reform entitlements, reduce low priority spending, and gradually return domestic programs back to State and local governments, the gap between spending subject to firm fiscal discipline and revenues being lifted by steady economic expansion will gradually diminish. Finally, the share of GNP taken in taxes will be substantially lower and the incentives for savings markedly stronger. This expansion of the total savings supply will increase our capacity to absorb deficits and give us additional time to work toward their elimination. M16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 $239 BILLION DEFICIT REDUCTION PLAN The prospect of high deficits during the transition to strong economic growth and low inflation contains a profound warning: any relaxation of our budget control efforts, any backsliding to spending politics as usual, any retreat to time-worn excuses about "uncontrollables"—that results in spending growth significantly above our projections, will mean a serious threat to the progress of our entire economic recovery program. There is precious little margin for shirking or diluting the task the American people have charged us with. That task is nothing less than a constant, comprehensive, ceaseless search for ways to reduce the size of Government and the future growth of its spending. The 1983 budget I am presenting to the Congress faithfully adheres to that mandate. If all proposed measures are adopted, the prospective deficit will be reduced by $56 billion next year, $84 billion in 1984, and $99 billion in 1985. In short, the budget this year represents much more than simply a tabulation of accounts or a compilation of spending decisions, large and small. Instead, it represents a far-reaching, resourceful, and integrated blueprint for reducing the prospective deficit by $239 billion over the next 3 years. It is a bold action plan that, if faithfully implemented, can cut the prospective deficits over that period by nearly 50%. THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M17 Our plan for deficit reduction consists of five parts. It addresses each area of the budget where actions to reduce the gap between spending and revenues are possible and desirable. The first area concerns nonsocial security entitlements. Despite the heartening progress we made toward reform last year, the cost of these automatic spending programs will rise to $201 billion in 1983 without further action. This figure compares to only $119 billion in 1979. Thus, our 1983 budget proposals continue the objective set out previously: to reduce the swift growth of automatic entitlements while preserving benefits for the truly needy. If acted upon fully by the Congress, these new reform measures will save $12 billion next year and $52 billion over the next 3 years. They include new steps to tighten eligibility, reduce errors and abuse and curtail unwarranted benefits in the welfare, medical, and nutrition programs. The explosive growth of medical programs—16.7% per year since 1978—will be contained with tighter reimbursement standards for providers, modest copayment requirements for medicaid beneficiaries, and, later in the year, a comprehensive plan to reform the health care reimbursement system and provide new cost control incentives for all participants. We have also proposed measures to target guaranteed student loans better to those with financial need and to limit the cost growth of Federal military and civilian retirement programs. Nevertheless, let me be clear on this point. Our administration has not and will not turn its back on our elderly or needy citizens. Under our new budget, funding for social insurance programs will be more than double the amount spent only 6 years ago. For example, the Federal Government will subsidize 95 million meals every day. That is one of every seven of all meals served in America. Headstart, senior nutrition programs, and child welfare programs will not be cut from the levels we proposed last year. The second component of our deficit reduction plan covers domestic discretionary and other programs for purposes ranging from agricultural research to housing subsidies and manpower training. Our proposed savings here total $14 billion next year and $76 billion over the next 3 years. These savings measures involve two essential principles. First, where programs are unnecessary, can be better targeted or can be significantly streamlined, we have proposed substantial reductions. Our proposals to convert the fragmented and wasteful CETA training program to a block grant, to target low-income energy assistance to the colder States where it is needed, to combine the WIC program with the child and maternal health block grant, and to further reduce subsidies to business for energy technology development and commercialization are all examples of this principle. M18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 The other principle governing discretionary programs is that we have generally not provided inflation allowances for them. This will provide a powerful incentive to reduce overhead, waste, and low-priority activities and ensure that the money we spend for many worthwhile purposes in the areas of education, transportation, community development, and research is utilized in the most efficient and productive manner possible. Our deficit problem is simply too severe to permit business as usual to continue any longer. The third component of the deficit reduction program involves user fees, or more appropriately, the recovery of costs borne by the taxpayers generally, but that predominantly benefit a limited group of businesses, communities or individuals. Total savings would amount to $2.5 billion in 1983 and $10 billion over the next 3 years. While the Congress made great strides on most of our proposed budget cuts last year, the user fees proposals were a noticeable and disappointing departure from this pattern. The case for action now is even stronger than it was last year. With sacrifices required of almost every beneficiary of Federal programs, it is simply inexcusable and intolerable that yacht owners escape without paying even a small part of the Coast Guard services; or that commercial and general aviation are not paying the cost of the air traffic control system that ensures their safety; or that ship and barge operators do not pay a fair share of the costs of waterways maintained by the Federal Government. Our user fee package corrects these and similar shortcomings in current budget policy and will contribute significantly toward reducing the deficit. The fourth part of the plan is aimed at the executive branch and the most inexcusable of all forms of spending: lax management, the toleration of fraud and abuse, the failure to recover debts owed the Government or to dispose of properties it does not need, and outdated, inefficient, procurement practices. Our fiscal plan has always assumed that our new management would take hold, and that savings would be possible in areas we have simply never looked at before. After 1 year, our new management team has indeed taken hold, the results to date have been impressive, and our plans for future savings are bold and farreaching. All told, these efforts will reduce the budget deficit by $20 billion next year and $68 billion over the next 3 years. We will collect the debts we are owed and the taxes we are due. New legislation will be needed in some cases, but much of these savings will flow from tighter, more aggressive management throughout executive branch agencies. Likewise, we will move systematically to reduce the vast Federal holdings of surplus land and real property. It is estimated that the THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M19 Federal Government owns approximately 775 million acres, and 405,000 buildings, covering about 2.6 billion square feet. Some of this real property is not in use and would be of greater value to society if transferred to the private sector. During the next 3 years we will save $9 billion by shedding these unnecessary properties while fully protecting and preserving our national parks, forests, wildernesses and scenic areas. Our management efforts will also be directed toward the more cost-effective procurement of the goods and services required by the Federal Government. The changes we seek will increase competition for the Government's business, reduce and simplify paperwork and regulations, and develop better standards for our procurement processes and personnel. Over time these efforts will yield large outyear savings not included in the budget totals. Finally, our emphasis thus far has been on reducing excessive tax rates and shrinking the Government's take from the paychecks of workers and the profits of business. On that principle we will not waver. But that does not mean unintended loopholes should go uncorrected, that obsolete tax incentives should be continued, or that profitable business should not contribute at least some minimum fair share to the cost of financing Government. Thus, our deficit reduction plan includes $34 billion over the next 3 years in additional receipts from new initiatives in these areas. About one-third of this total is attributable to our proposal to strengthen the minimum corporate tax, and a substantial share of the other tax revisions will also affect business. In every case, these measures involve the collection of a tax that is owed now or that was intended by the Congress, or elimination of incentives that are no longer needed due to the sweeping reform of business taxation contained in the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981. These new proposals will have no adverse impact on our economic recovery program, are fair and equitable, and will contribute significantly to the reduction of future deficits. CONTINUING THE RESTORATION OF NATIONAL DEFENSE Our 1983 budget plan continues the effort begun last year to strengthen our military posture in four primary areas: strategic forces, combat readiness, force mobility, and general purpose forces. A thorough 8-month review of U.S. strategic forces and objectives preceded my decision this past October to strengthen our strategic forces. The review found that the relative imbalance with the Soviet Union will be at its worst in the mid-1980's and hence needs to be addressed quickly. It also concluded that the multiple protec- M20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 tive structure basing proposal for MX did not provide long-term survivability since the Soviets could counter it (at about the same cost) by simply deploying more warheads. In addition, our review pointed to serious deficiencies in force survivability, endurance, and the capability to exercise command and control during nuclear war. Current communications and warning systems were found to be vulnerable to severe disruption from an attack of very modest scale. The 1983 budget funds programs to correct these deficiencies. The 1983 strategic program of $23.1 billion, an increase of $6.9 billion over 1982, provides for both near-term improvements and longer-term programs. These initiatives include: • Early deployment of cruise missiles on existing bombers and attack submarines. • Acquisition of a new bomber (the B-1B) and development of advanced technology (Stealth) bomber for deployment in the 1990's to provide a continued capability to penetrate Soviet defenses. • Development and procurement of a new, larger, and more accurate land-based missile, the MX. • Continued deployment of Trident ballistic missile submarines to strengthen the sea-based leg of our strategic deterrent. Longer-term programs include: development of a survivable deployment plan for the MX missile, development of a new submarine-launched ballistic missile, continued improvements in the survivability of warning and communications systems, and improvements in strategic defenses against both bomber and missile attacks. The 1983 budget provides $114.3 billion in operations and military personnel costs, an increase of over $13 billion from the 1982 level to improve the combat readiness of our forces. Today a major conflict involving the United States could occur without adequate time to upgrade U.S. force readiness. Our concerns with military readiness reflect both the long lead time required to procure sophisticated equipment (both parts and finished equipment) and past failures to provide adequate peacetime support for combat units. We cannot wait for a period of rising tensions before bringing forces up to combat readiness. My program will continue to bolster combat readiness by increasing training, operating rates, and equipment support. There will be increased aircraft flying hours and supply inventories. In addition, backlogs of combat equipment and real property awaiting maintenance will be reduced. Also, the 1983 budget will provide levels of military compensation that will improve the readiness and capability of the All Volunteer Force. THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M21 Current U.S. mobility forces cannot move the required combat or combat support units fast enough to counter effectively military aggression in Europe, Korea or in the Southwest Asia/Persian Gulf region. For example, at present only a small light combat force could be moved rapidly to the Southwest Asia region. Major mobility shortages include wide-body military cargo aircraft; fast logistics ships; and prepositioned ships and associated support equipment. Elimination of these shortages is an essential first step toward improving U.S. military capability during the first 30 days after the beginning of a crisis. The 1983 budget provides $4.4 billion for: • Initial procurement of a fleet of improved C-5 cargo aircraft, and additional KC-10A tanker/cargo aircraft that will double our wide-bodied military airlift capability by the 1990's. • Continued upgrading of existing C-5A aircraft to extend their effectiveness beyond the year 2000. • Conversion of four additional fast logistic ships that will provide the capability to move heavy combat forces rapidly. • Chartering a fleet of supply ships that can be stationed with equipment and supplies in Southwest Asia to reduce the time required for deployment of heavy forces. In the last decade, the Soviet Union introduced large quantities of highly capable, new-generation tactical equipment including combat ships, tanks and aircraft, which must be countered by modernized U.S. forces. Also, the traditional U.S. superiority in system quality has been considerably narrowed, making Soviet quantitative advantages more serious. The Soviet military force buildup has increased the risk that they may rely on military power to support their foreign policy goals. For the U.S. to maintain, in concert with our allies, sufficient conventional forces to deter potential aggression, our forces must be provided with adequate numbers of new, modern tactical equipment. My 1983 budget includes $106.2 billion for general purpose forces (including both operations and investment), an $18 billion increase over 1982. A key initiative is an expanded shipbuilding program. The United States, dependent on open seas for commerce and military resupply, must have the naval capability to maintain control of vital sea lanes. While our naval forces have declined from the mid-1960's, the Soviets have in existence or under construction eight new classes of submarines and eight new classes of major surface warships, including nuclear-powered cruisers and new aircraft carriers. The budget provides an $18.6 billion shipbuilding program including full funding for two nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, to be constructed during 1983-87. Other ships included in my 1983 program are three large cruisers equipped with an advanced air de- M22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 fense system; two nuclear-powered attack submarines; two frigates for convoy protection and four mine countermeasure ships to improve fleet capability to operate in mined waters. My longer term objective is to increase the deployable battle force from 513 ships in 1982 to over 600 by the end of the decade. In addition, the budget provides for increased production of ground and tactical air force weapons. Production rates will be increased for a variety of new systems such as the M-l Abrams tank, light armored vehicles, and the AV-8B Marine Corps attack aircraft. All of this will be done with a major reform of the acquisition process and vastly improved management of defense operations, which will save $51 billion by 1987. In a continuing fight against fraud, waste, and inefficiency, the Secretary of Defense has appointed an Assistant for Review and Oversight and a Council on Integrity and Management Improvement. REVITALIZATION OF AMERICAN FEDERALISM The Constitution provides clear distinctions between the roles of the Federal Government and of the States and localities. In their wisdom, our founding fathers provided for considerable flexibility so that in following centuries these responsibilities could be adapted to new conditions. But in recent years we have not adapted well to new conditions. We have created confusion as to who is responsible for what. During the past 20 years, what had been a classic division of functions between the Federal Government and the States and localities has become a confused mess. Traditional understandings about the roles of each level of government have been violated. Governments at all levels have had and will continue to face various problems. But, as Governor of California, I learned that a problem in one part of the country does not automatically mean that we need a new Federal program in all 50 States. Yet that is what has happened. In 1964, total Federal grants to State and local governments were $10 billion. By 1980, total Federal grants to States and localities exceeded $90 billion, meaning that 18% of Federal tax receipts were being passed through to States and localities for one reason or another. However, these funds were not passed through entirely benignly. Attached to them were Federal rules, mandates, and requirements. This massive Federal grantmaking system has distorted State and local decisions and usurped State and local functions. I propose that over the coming years we clean up this mess. I am proposing a major effort to restore American federalism. This transition over nearly 10 years will give States and localities the time THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M23 they need to plan for themselves when and how to meet State and local needs that are now being met with Federal Government funds. My proposal will also make available to the States and localities the tax resources that would otherwise fund these programs by the Federal Government. In coming weeks, we will have intensive discussions with local and State officials, the Congress, and many others to hammer out a proposal I will soon send to the Congress. Essentially, I believe the Federal Government should assume full responsibility for the medicaid program which assures adequate health care for the poor. In contrast, financial assistance to the poor is a legitimate responsibility of States and localities. I am proposing, therefore, that the aid to families with dependent children (AFDC) and food stamp programs be turned over to the States. This swap will clarify responsibilities substantially because these programs will become the clear responsibility of one level of government or another. That responsibility is now mixed. In addition, I propose that more than 40 current grant-in-aid programs costing the Federal Government about $30 billion a year be turned back to the States and localities, along with the funds to pay for them. During the period 1984-87, these programs will be funded by a specially designated set of taxes to be used exclusively for financing this transition program. These taxes will be deposited in a fund that will belong to the States. Each State will be able to make its own decision on how rapidly to phase out the turnback programs. This is because each State will have two options: it may use its share of the federalism trust fund to reimburse Federal agencies for continuing to carry out turnback programs, or it may ask that the programs be terminated and then use the funds directly for whatever purposes it desires. Beginning in 1987, the federalism trust fund will gradually be dissolved and the tax sources themselves will be made available to the States. The key to this program is that the States and localities make the critical choices. They have the time to make them in an orderly way. A major sorting out of Federal, State and local responsibilities will occur, and the Federal presence and intervention in State and local affairs will gradually diminish. CONCLUSION While some administration proposals have been turned down, turned aside, or compromised by the Congress, the overall assessment of the past year's action on the budget is heartening. Cooperation, support, goodwill, and a genuine sense of national purpose have enabled us to make significant progress in setting the Federal M24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Government's affairs in order and America on the road to economic recovery. I urge the Congress to approach the new, or renewed, proposals in this budget in the same spirit and with the same goodwill as it did my proposals of a year ago. Much has been accomplished. This budget proposes that more be done. The proposals set forth in this budget will not be accepted readily. They are a second challenging installment of a politically difficult, yet necessary, program. In their specifics, these proposals will undoubtedly be altered by the Congress. The general direction we must travel, however, is clear. I urge the Congress to weigh these budget proposals thoughtfully, and to join me, and my administration, in a constructive effort to curb the growth of Federal spending and to provide for the Nation's security. We must, in the end, roll up our sleeves, face our responsibilities squarely, and persevere at the unending task of setting, and keeping, the Nation's affairs in order. RONALD W. REAGAN. FEBRUARY 8, 1982. PART 2 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET 2-1 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET This part of the budget discusses the budget outlook and the economic assumptions underlying that outlook. The first section presents economic assumptions for calendar years 1982 through 1987, and explains the nature of these assumptions. The second section discusses the sensitivity of the budget to changes in economic assumptions. The third section examines the changes in the budget outlook since last year. The Economic Outlook Previous Government efforts to manage the economy through a mixture of excessive spending, taxing, borrowing, and fine-tuning have exacted a heavy toll in terms of lost economic growth. Major disruptions, imbalances, and abnormalities have appeared in every nook and cranny of the economy. By 1981, the resulting problems had reached crisis proportions. Since early 1979, real output has grown at an average annual rate of only 0.4% and output per manhour has grown by only 0.5% per year, while the level of industrial production has actually declined by 5.7%. Housing starts have managed only an average 1.4 million units. The unemployment rate has been trending steadily higher since mid-1979 and has averaged 7.4% in the last 2 years. In short, economic growth has virtually disappeared. The financial markets have also suffered. Interest rate fluctuations have widened as market uncertainty has grown and the balance sheets of many industrial and financial firms have become dangerously illiquid. With the increasing looseness and unpredictability of fiscal and monetary policies in the 1970's, rising inflation premiums have been supplemented by risk factors to drive interest rates to record levels. Short-term interest rates, such as those on large commercial bank CDs, have fallen to single digits in only 4 out of the past 36 months. The prime rate has not fallen below 10% since 1978, and over the last 3 years it has averaged 15.6%. Long-term Government bond yields reached a lofty 12.4% in 1980 and a record 14.7% in 1981. In 1981 the economy found itself in a state of recession for the second time in 2 years. The final wave of excess Government spending and credit expansion during the second half of 1980 virtually ensured the substantial shrinkage in real output and the rise in unemployment that in fact occurred in 1981. As a result of this 2-2 2-3 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET artificial stimulus, economic imbalances worsened, financial market disruptions intensified, and business and consumer attitudes turned more pessimistic. In early 1981 the President redirected economic policy to break cleanly from the free-spending, easy money, excess credit trends of previous years. In its place, the administration seeks a new era of strong and sustainable economic growth predicated on a new fiscal/monetary policy of tax reduction, budget control, deregulation, and moderate monetary growth. This proved to be a difficult task after the spending spree of the past few years—and the shaking out of previously nurtured excesses has not been accomplished without some difficult short-run side effects. But the adjustment phase appears to be coming to a close, and there are numerous signs that economic recovery will appear on schedule in the spring quarter. From the standpoint of the administration's redirection of policy, the most encouraging development in 1981 was the substantial reduction in the rate of inflation. Money supply growth during 1981 fell to 5%, the first year since 1976 that it was below 7%. Inflation rates correspondingly declined by a range of 3 to 5 percentage points for the consumer and producer price indexes. For the year as a whole, 1981 registered the first significant downturn in inflation since 1976. ANNUAL INFLATION RATES (Percent; 4th quarter over 4th quarter) 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 Consumer Price Index Producer Price Index 6.6 8.9 12.9 12.6 9.4 7.1 8.8 12.7 12.5 7.2 GNP deflator 6.1 8.4 8.0 9.8 8.6 Progress on the inflation front has not been confined to a narrow segment of the economy, but instead has been well represented in the areas of wages, food, energy, housing (homeownership), apparel, and entertainment. Particularly encouraging are recent collective bargaining discussions that suggest the possibility of greater than expected wage moderation in the auto sector, indicating that credible and persistent anti-inflation policies are capable of overcoming longer-term structural problems and rigidities. The economic assumptions used for developing the budget estimates indicate a continued reduction in inflation during 1982. Growth in the GNP deflator drops to a range of 7-8%, against the policy backdrop of persistent budget control and moderate monetary growth. Following this expected inflation decline, the econom360-000 0 - 8 2 - 3 2-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 ic assumptions anticipate a gradual withdrawal of inflation premiums and further reduction in market interest rates beyond the modest beginning initiated in 1981. During the past year all market rates moved erratically, but by yearend the prime rate had fallen to 15%% from a peak of 20^4%. The 91-day Treasury bill rate finished the year at 10.9%, which was considerably below its May peak of 16.3%. Long-term rates also gave ground from their 1981 peaks, and Government bonds finished the year around 13.7%, which is 160 basis points below their highest levels reached in September and October. Continued progress on inflation and inflation expectations in 1982 will open the way for the first steps toward economic recovery. Additionally, the effects of the Economic Recovery Tax Act will be more prominent in 1982, contributing new incentives for enhanced saving, investment, work, and productivity. As a result, real GNP is expected to increase by 3.0% from the fourth quarter of 1981 through the fourth quarter of 1982, with even more robust growth anticipated during the final quarters of the calendar year. Interest rates during the year are expected to descend, if perhaps unevenly. For the year as a whole, the 91-day Treasury bill rate is estimated to average 11.7%, considerably below the 1981 average of 14.1%. The recovery is expected to continue in 1983. Real output is estimated to rise by 5.2% from the fourth quarter of 1982 to the end of 1983, and the unemployment rate is projected to decline to 7.6% by the fourth quarter of 1983. The GNP deflator is projected to rise by only 5.5%, while the consumer price index is estimated to increase by 5.1%. Against this background of inflationary improvement, 91-day Treasury bills are assumed to decline to 9.8% in the last quarter of 1983. The forecasts for 1982 and 1983 are subject to substantial margins of error, particularly in the interest rate area. For periods further in the future, economic projections are subject to even greater uncertainty. In contrast to the short-range economic forecast, the long-range assumptions for the 1984-87 period are not forecasts of future economic conditions. Instead, they are projections consistent with the economic policy objectives of the administration that assume steady progress in reducing unemployment, inflation, and interest rates and in sustaining strong real growth. A central policy objective embodied in the long-range assumptions is the steady reduction in the growth of nominal GNP. During the recovery year 1983, GNP is projected to increase at an annual rate of 11.5%. Over the next 4 years, however, nominal GNP growth declines steadily to a rate of 9.0% by 1987. Fundamental to this expected decline in the growth of nominal GNP is the assumption of a moderate money supply growth path during the 2-5 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET SHORT-RANGE ECONOMIC FORECAST (Calendar years; dollar amounts in billions) Actual 1980 Major economic indicators: Gross national product, percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter: Current dollars Constant (1972) dollars GNP deflator (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter) Consumer Price Index (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter) 2 Unemployment rate (percent, fourth quarter) Annual economic assumptions: Gross national product: Current dollars: Amount Percent change, year over year Constant (1972) dollars: Amount Percent change, year over year Incomes: Personal income Wages and salaries Corporate profits Price level: GNP deflator: Level (1972=100), annual average Percent change, year over year Consumer Price Index: 2 Level (1967=100), annual average Percent change, year over year Unemployment rates.Total, annual average Insured, annual average3 Federal pay raise, October (percent): 4 Civilian Military Interest rate, 91-day Treasury bills (percent) 5 Forecast 19811 1983 1982 9.4 -0.3 9.3 0.7 10.4 3.0 11.0 5.2 9.8 8.6 7.2 5.5 12.6 7.5 9.4 8.4 6.6 8.4 5.1 7.6 2,626 2,922 11.3 3,160 8.1 3,524 11.5 1,481 -0.2 1,510 2.0 1,513 0.2 1,591 5.2 2,160 1,344 246 2,404 1,483 230 2,641 1,605 215 2,887 1,747 260 177.4 9.0 193.6 9.1 208.9 7.9 221.5 6.0 247.0 13.5 272.3 10.3 292.1 7.3 309.5 6.0 7.1 3.8 7.6 3.5 8.9 4.9 7.9 4.3 9.1 11.7 11.5 4.8 14.3 14.1 5.0 8.0 11.7 5.0 7.6 10.5 1 Preliminary actual data. 2 CPI for urban wage earners and clerical workers. Two versions of the CPI are now published. The index shown here is that currently used, as required by law, in calculating automatic cost-of-living increases for indexed Federal programs. 3 This indicator measures unemployment under State regular unemployment insurance as a percentage of covered employment under that program. It does not include recipients of extended benefits under that program. 4 General schedule pay raises become effective in October—the first month of the fiscal year. Thus, the October 1982 pay raise will set new pay scales that will be in effect during fiscal year 1983. 5 Average rate on new issues within period. These projections assume, by convention, that interest rates decline with the rate of inflation. They do not represent a forecast of interest rates. entire period, rather than the stimulative monetary acceleration that has accompanied business cycle recoveries during the past 20 years. It is this fundamental break from the stop-go policies of the past that promises a continuing descent of inflation, rather than merely a temporary pause, and that creates a financial environment in which strong, permanent real growth is possible. Money growth is one of the key determinants of the trend rate of inflation. Consistent with the assumed pattern of moderate money growth and steadily declining nominal GNP growth, the GNP deflator is expected to show a slow but steady decline from a 6.0% rate in 1983 to a 4.5% rate by 1987. 2-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Against a backdrop of firm budget restraint and a controlled expansion of money and credit, inflation expectations and inflation premiums will gradually recede during the period ahead, paving the way for a sustained decline in market interest rates. But the widely anticipated decline in interest rates will not proceed as rapidly nor as predictably as many hope. The attitude of inflationary pessimism that has dominated economic behavior in recent years will not be dissolved quickly. Nonetheless, firm anti-inflation resolve and reliable Government policies to reduce fiscal borrowing requirements can be expected to moderate inflation fears and generate substantially lower interest rates. Accordingly, the interest rate objectives of the administration are embodied in long-range assumptions that anticipate Treasury bill rates of 9.5% in 1984, 8.5% in 1985, 7.0% in 1986, and 5.5% in 1987. In an environment marked by slowing inflation and declining interest rates, the historic reduction of average and marginal tax rates resulting from the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 is expected to create major new incentives for saving, investment, and productivity. Substantial efforts to lower the regulatory burden and other forms of unnecessary interference with private economic activity will supplement the incentives from the tax reductions. Indeed, the interactive combination of lower tax rates, fiscal restraint, reduced regulatory drag, and the improved purchasing power of money is expected to generate the most robust economic recovery period in more than a decade. When measured on a year-over-year basis, the administration's long-run economic policy objectives set real GNP growth at 5.0% in 1984, 4.7% in 1985, 4.4% in 1986, and 4.3% in 1987. Sensitivity of the Budget to Economic Assumptions The economy and the budget are interrelated. Economic conditions significantly affect the budget. The budget and its financing, in turn, influence economic conditions. Both budget outlays and the tax structure have substantial effects on national output and its composition, employment, and inflation. Other activities of Government that are not reflected in the budget totals, such as guaranteed loans, off-budget outlays, and regulatory requirements, also affect the economy. Budget receipts vary with individual and corporate incomes, which respond both to real economic growth and to inflation. Outlays for many Federal programs are also directly linked to developments in the economy. For example, most retirement and other social insurance benefit payments are now tied by law to cost-ofliving indices. Interest on the debt is linked to market interest rates and the size of the budget surplus or deficit, both of which in 2-7 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET LONG-RANGE ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS (Calendar years; dollar amounts in billions) Assumptions 1985 1984 Major economic indicators: Gross national product, percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter: Current dollars Constant (1972) dollars GNP deflator (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter) Consumer Price Index (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter) 1 Unemployment rate (percent, fourth quarter) Annual economic assumptions: Gross national product: Current dollars: Amount Percent change, year over year Constant (1972) dollars: Amount Percent change, year over year Incomes.Personal income Wages and salaries Corporate profits Price level: GNP deflator: Level (1972=100), annual average Percent change, year over year Consumer Price Index:1 Level (1967 = 100), annual average Percent change, year over year Unemployment rates: Total, annual average Insured, annual average2 Federal pay raise, October (percent): 3 Civilian Military Interest rate, 91-day Treasury bills (percent) 4 1986 1987 10.0 4.9 9.4 4.6 9.1 4.3 8.9 4.3 4.9 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.7 6.8 4.6 6.2 4.6 5.6 4.4 5.2 3,883 10.2 4,258 9.7 4,651 9.2 5,068 9.0 1,670 5.0 1,750 4.7 1,827 4.4 1,905 4.3 3,121 1,887 314 3,411 2,065 330 3,723 2,256 317 4,057 2,458 334 232.5 5.0 243.4 4.7 254.6 4.6 266.0 4.5 323.8 4.6 339.2 4.8 354.8 4.6 370.8 4.5 7.1 3.7 6.4 3.2 5.8 2.8 5.3 2.4 5.0 5.5 9.5 5.0 5.0 8.5 5.0 5.0 7.0 5.0 5.0 5.5 1 CPI for urban wage earners and clerical workers. Two versions of the CPI are now published. The index shown here is that currently used, as 2required by law, in calculating automatic cost-of-living increases for indexed Federal programs. This indicator measures unemployment under State regular unemployment insurance as a percentage of covered employment under that program. It does not include recipients of extended benefits under that program. 3 General schedule pay raises become effective in October—the first month of the fiscal year. Thus, the October 1984 pay raise will set new pay4 scales that will be in effect during fiscal year 1985. Average rate on new issues within period. These projections assume, by convention, that interest rates decline with the rate of inflation. They do not represent a forecast of interest rates. turn are influenced by economic conditions. Outlays for certain benefits, such as unemployment compensation and food stamps, vary with unemployment and incomes and are thereby linked to the state of the economy. In recent years the sensitivity of the budget to economic conditions has become increasingly apparent. For example, actual Federal spending in 1980 was $48 billion higher than the original budget estimate in January 1979, with over half the increase directly 2-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 attributable to economic conditions different from those originally assumed. Similarly, 1981 outlays were nearly $45 billion above the original January 1980 estimate, with assumptions about economic conditions again accounting for over half of the increase. The budget impact of declining nominal GNP growth.—The interaction effects between the economy and the budget are particularly crucial now. The Nation's economic policy is undergoing dramatic change, including a clear reversal of the past trends toward continually higher Federal taxes, spending, and borrowing. As discussed earlier in the context of the administration's economic assumptions, a central feature of the shift in policy is the expectation that the growth rate of nominal GNP will fall steadily each year after the initial recovery from the current recession and will reach 9% by 1987. NOMINAL GNP GROWTH (Calendar years; annual rates; percent) 1961-66 1970-75 7.6 Peak, mid-1980 to mid-1981 1978-81 9.3 10.7 12.5 1983-85 1985-87 9.9 9.1 The disinflationary process reflected in the falling growth of nominal GNP over this period has major implications for the budget aggregates, particularly for actual and projected receipts. Tax collections increase automatically as inflation swells various tax bases—personal incomes, corporate profits, payrolls, and sales. This rise occurs almost immediately because of our system of income and payroll tax withholding and estimated payments. The increase in receipts has been proportionately larger than the growth in incomes because of the progressive individual income tax. However, a declining rate of growth of nominal incomes yields a shortfall in receipts as overall economic policy functions to reduce the inflation component of taxable incomes. Federal spending in a variety of areas, such as social security and interest, also responds automatically to inflation. For outlays, however, the response is less than proportionate and occurs more slowly. Statutory cost-of-living benefit increases occur at fixed intervals and are not paid until substantially after the price increases that triggered them. If, for example, benefit increases for social security and other Federal retirement programs were based on a contemporaneous increase instead of a lagged increase beginning in 1982, outlays would be reduced by $5 billion in 1983 and $9 billion by 1987. Similarly, higher interest rates that generally accompany higher inflation are only reflected in new debt issues and do not affect existing debt until it is refinanced. If all debt were 2-9 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET financed at contemporaneous rates, net interest outlays would be reduced by $24 billion by 1987. During the last decade the true fiscal imbalance between Federal revenues and spending has been masked by the accelerating growth in nominal GNP and inflation. This acceleration has increased receipts faster than spending, relative to what would have occurred with non-accelerating inflation and GNP growth rates. In the period of disinflation projected over the next 5 years, the reverse is the case. Receipts will respond immediately to the projected shrinkage in the inflation component of incomes. Outlays, however, will respond with a lag effect. This is partially attributable to built-in prior year spending commitments and partially due to the fact that the inflation-sensitive sectors of the budget (indexed programs and the debt service) discussed above will be driven by higher, earlier rates of inflation. In short, the disinflation process tends to worsen the budget imbalance temporarily and to highlight the extent to which previous deficit levels were artificially supressed by rising inflation. The structural imbalance associated with disinflation is best portrayed by showing what the administration's budget projections would be if inflation and nominal GNP growth were increased by 2 percentage points during calendar years 1982-87. The table below shows that for 1985 receipts would be increased by $67.5 billion compared to an outlay rise of $46.5 billion. This budget gain of $21 billion would widen to $38.5 billion by 1987. Thus, with the higher inflation, the budget would be $15 billion in deficit in 1987 in contrast to the projected deficit of $53 billion in that year. BUDGET EFFECT OF TWO PERCENTAGE POINT HIGHER NOMINAL GNP GROWTH 1 (In billions of dollars) 1982 Receipts Outlays Reduction in deficit MEMORANDUM Projected deficits: Administration forecast. Higher nominal GNP path 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 7.4 3.7 26.3 17.4 45.1 31.6 67.5 46.5 92.6 63.7 121.7 83.2 3.7 8.9 13.5 21.0 28.9 38.5 98.6 - 9 1 . 5 — 94.9 82.6 -82.9 69.4 -71.9 -50.9 -66.0 -37.1 -53.2 -14.7 1 Estimates assume that the projected inflation rate is 2 percentage points higher beginning in calendar year 1982 and that the projected real growth rate is unchanged. Interest rates are also assumed to be 2 percentage points higher. The above table suggests that inflation-induced increases in nominal GNP growth would have salutory budget implications. However, the higher nominal GNP path contradicts the goal of moderate and noninflationary monetary policy. Assuming historically high velocity growth rates, the monetary growth implied from a 2 percentage point rise in nominal GNP would range between 7 2-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 and 8%, the same rate of rise as occurred during the inflationary period of 1976 to 1980. Consequently, a return to the high money growth rates required to achieve this GNP growth would reignite inflationary expectations, generate a rapid run-up of interest rates and inflation premiums, and produce the sort of financial and economic instability that would be incompatible with the objective of sustained real economic growth. Thus, the potential short-run improvement to the budget from inflationary policies would undermine economic recovery. In time, a high unemployment, high interest rate, low growth economy would undermine the objective of budget restraint. Budget impact of the composition of GNP.—The reduction in inflation and nominal GNP growth projected to result from the administration's proposals does create short-run structural imbalances in the Federal budget for the reasons cited above. These structural imbalances are partly ameliorated, however, by the projected shift in the composition of nominal GNP between real GNP growth and inflation. This shift, which will result from the combination of tax and spending cuts, deregulation, and restoration of monetary stability, will change the inflation and real growth composition of nominal GNP from the 5:1 ratio that occurred in 197881 to a projected 1:1 ratio in 1983-87. Such a change will represent a major improvement over the recent past and will be a realistic first step toward regaining the low inflation-high growth record of the early 1960's, when the inflation-to-real-GNP-growth ratio was 1:3. COMPOSITION OF CHANGES IN NOMINAL GNP Nominal GNP Annual rate of change: 1961-1966 . 1978-1981 1983-1987 Share of total GNP growth (percent): 1961-1966 1978-1981 1983-1987 7.6% 10.7 9.5 100 100 100 Real GNP 5.4% 1.7 4.6 72 16 50 Inflation (GNP deflator) 2.1% 8.9 4.7 28 84 50 This change in the composition of GNP growth will improve the overall budget posture and thereby help constrain the increases in the deficit due to lower nominal GNP growth. The table below shows the effect on the deficit of changes in the composition of GNP growth. The shift in composition from inflation to real growth will have little or no effect on receipts because they are determined 2-11 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET primarily by the level of nominal GNP. Outlays, however, would be significantly affected. A shift from inflation to real growth reduces both inflation-sensitive and unemployment-sensitive outlays. Such a shift therefore reduces the budget deficit. To highlight the magnitude of compositional shifts, the table below shows the effect on the administration's projected budget deficits for 1983-87 of a 1.2 percentage point change in the composition of GNP. The higher real growth scenario assumes real growth 1.2 percentage points above the administration forecast each year and an inflation path correspondingly lower. The lower real growth scenario assumes the opposite changes. COMPARISON OF ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS* (Percentages) 1982 Real GNP growth rate: Administration forecastHigher growth scenario. Lower growth scenarioInflation (GNP deflator): Administration forecast.. Higher growth scenario. Lower growth scenario.. Unemployment rate: Administration forecast.. Higher growth scenario. Lower growth scenario.. 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 3.0 4.2 1.8 5.2 6.4 4.0 4.9 6.1 3.7 4.6 5.8 3.4 4.3 5.5 3.1 4.3 5.5 3.1 7.2 6.0 8.4 5.5 4.3 7.7 4.9 3.7 6.1 4.6 3.4 5.8 4.6 3.4 5.8 4.4 3.2 5.6 8.9 8.6 9.2 7.9 7.1 8.7 7.1 5.7 8.5 6.4 4.5 8.3 5.8 3.3 8.3 5.3 2.3 8.3 *Nominal GNP is the same in all cases as in the administration forecast. Interest rates are modified for changes in inflation from the administration forecast. The impact of these GNP composition changes on budget projections is substantial. Under the higher real GNP growth scenario, the projected deficit is reduced by $32 billion in 1984 relative to the administration forecast and by $82 billion in 1987. By contrast, the lower real growth path produces deficits above the $100 billion level each year. EFFECT ON DEFICIT OF SHIFT IN THE COMPOSITION OF NOMINAL GNP (In billions of dollars) Administration forecast Alternative deficit projections:1 Higher growth/lower inflation.. Lower growth/higher inflation.. 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 -98.6 -91.5 -82.9 -71.9 -66.0 -53.2 -94.0 -102.8 -74.7 -108.3 -50.7 -23.9 -0.6 28.8 -115.1 -119.9 -131.4 -135.2 1 Alternative projections assume that the rates of growth of real GNP and inflation are changed in opposite directions and by 1.2 percentage points, beginning in calendar year 1982. The administration's budget projections are predicated, on sustained real growth from the middle of calendar year 1982 through 2-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 1987. Over this period, real growth is projected to average 4.7%. This is higher than the 3.5% average for the period from 1947 to 1981 but it is lower than the 5.4% average rate from 1961 to 1966. Thus, the higher real growth scenario exceeds the 1960's experience by one-half of one percentage point. The lower real growth scenario equals the post-World War II average. REAL GNP GROWTH RATES (Average annual percentage rates) Average 1947-81 Average 1961-66 Administration forecast, 1982-87 Alternative forecasts: High growth Low growth 3.5 5.4 4.7 5.9 3.5 With a major reversal from the inflationary policies of recent years, the objective of the administration's comprehensive economic program is to produce real economic growth that exceeds the average for the post-war period. Federal spending cuts will contribute to a more efficient use of resources in the economy. The tax program enacted last year will substantially boost the after-tax rewards to work, saving, and investment. And removing the excessive burdens of government regulation will further reduce costs to individuals and businesses and increase efficiency and productivity. These administration initiatives, together with the implementation of a sound monetary policy by the independent Federal Reserve System, provide a foundation for sustained economic growth above the average for the post-war period. However, in view of the distortions and imbalances that have resulted from past policy excesses, it does not seem reasonable to expect an immediate return to the highest growth rates observed in the past. The following table provides some historical perspective for alternative economic growth scenarios over 22-quarter periods comparable to the continuous high real growth projected in the administration forecast from mid-1982 through 1987. In view of the above policy initiatives, the administration's projection of 4.7% real growth would seem to be an achievable goal. Consistent with the dramatic reversal from past policy trends, however, it would still exceed the growth attained in four-fifths of such periods over the past 25 years. In contrast, there has never been a 22-quarter period when real growth has approached the 5.9% rate assumed in the high growth scenario, thus implying that the high growth scenario has an extremely low probability of materializing. On the other hand, growth of 3.5% or less occurred only half of the time and this seems too pessimistic in view of the substantial changes in 2-13 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET monetary and fiscal policy brought about by actions of the administration, the Congress, and the Federal Reserve. POST-WAR REAL GNP GROWTH EXPERIENCE* (118 twenty-two quarter periods) Number of periods above Number of periods below 118 96 52 High growth scenario (5.9% annual rate) Administration projection, 1982-87 (4.7% annual rate) Low growth scenario (3.5% annual rate) *Average annual percentage change over 22-quarter periods. Changes in the Budget Outlook Since Last Year The budgetary effects of changes in economic assumptions are illustrated by an analysis of the changes in estimated budget totals resulting from changes in economic assumptions since the administration's budget program was first presented a year ago. A summary comparison of the current economic assumptions with those used last March is shown in the table below. The largest difference between the two sets of assumptions arises because of the current recession, not anticipated a year ago, which results in a 1982 GNP now estimated to be 4% lower than was forecast last March and a 1982 unemployment rate over IV2 percentage points higher. The lower GNP base (and correspondingly lower taxable incomes) is estimated to reduce 1982 receipts by $31 billion compared to the level that would be expected under last March's economic assumptions. At the same time, outlays for unemployment-sensitive programs are estimated to be $7.9 billion higher for 1982 and $7.4 billion higher for 1983. COMPARISON OF MARCH 1981 AND CURRENT ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS (Calendar years; dollar amounts in billions) Nominal GNP: 1981 forecast 1982 forecast Real GNP (percent change): 1981 forecast 1982 forecast GNP deflator (percent change): 1981 forecast 1982 forecast nterest rate on 91-day Treasury bills (percent): 1981 forecast 1982 forecast Unemployment rate (percent): 1981 forecast 1982 forecast 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 2,920 2,922 3,293 3,160 3,700 3,524 4,098 3,883 4,500 4,258 4,918 4,651 1.1 2.0 4.2 0.2 5.0 5.2 4.5 5.0 4.2 4.7 4.2 4.4 99 9.1 83 79 70 60 60 50 54 47 49 46 11.1 14.1 8.9 11.7 7.8 10.5 7.0 9.5 6.0 8.5 5.6 7.0 7.8 7.6 7.2 8.9 6.6 7.9 6.4 7.1 6.0 6.4 5.6 5.8 2-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 A second major difference in the two sets of economic assumptions lies in the lower rates of inflation that are now forecast. The 1981 price level (GNP deflator) ended up about three-quarters of a percentage point lower than was forecast in March, and the 1982 level is now expected to be even further below the March forecast. After 1982, the rate of inflation is projected to average threequarters of a percent per year lower than was forecast last March. By 1986, the projected overall price level is 4% lower than last year's forecast. The less rapid growth of nominal GNP (and of taxable incomes) corresponding to this lower inflation substantially reduces the growth of Federal tax collections, as shown in the table below. Outlays for inflation-sensitive programs also slow, but not by as much, and only with a substantial time lag, because of the factors discussed earlier. Within the projected nominal GNP growth rate, the lower inflation is partially offset by slightly higher real growth after 1982 than was forecast last March, as the economy rebounds and recovers from the recession. This offsets some of the receipts slowdown associated with lower inflation. EFFECTS ON THE BUDGET OF CHANGES IN ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS SINCE MARCH 1981 (In billions of dollars) Current budget estimates adjusted to March 1981 Receipts Outlays Deficit ( - ) Changes due to economic assumptions: Receipts Outlays: Inflation Unemployment Interest rates and deficits Total Increase in deficit ( — ) Current budget estimates: Receipts Outlays Deficit ( - ) 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 657.7 699.4 718.7 721.1 779.7 771.2 856.9 836.1 922.7 897.5 -41.7 -2.4 8.5 20.8 25.2 -31.0 -52.6 -56.7 -60.3 -61.7 15 7.9 16.6 -21 7.4 31.1 -57 4.4 36.0 -98 2.3 39.8 -119 0.9 40.5 25.9 36.5 34.7 32.4 29.5 -91.2 forecast: -56.9 -89.1 -91.4 -92.6 626.8 725.3 666.1 757.6 723.0 805.9 796.6 868.5 861.0 927.0 -98.6 -91.5 -82.9 -71.9 -66.0 Interest rates are now projected to be substantially higher than was assumed last March; for 91-day Treasury bills, the rate was 3 percentage points higher in 1981 and is projected to be higher by 3 percentage points in 1982, 2% percentage points in 1983-85, and lVfe percentage points in 1986. This shift toward higher interest rate assumptions substantially increases estimated interest costs for interest on the public debt, and for other interest rate-sensitive 2-15 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET programs, such as subsidized housing credit programs. Higher projected deficits also add to total projected interest costs. In 1982, these factors add an estimated $16.6 billion to budget outlays, compared to last March's interest assumptions; by 1986, this grows to $40.5 billion, as shown in the preceding table. The budget impact of interest rate assumptions.—Interest costs are a major component of Federal spending. In 1983, net interest costs are projected to be $96.4 billion, or 12.7% of total Federal spending. Estimates of interest costs are highly sensitive to interest rates. If market interest rates rise from, say, 10 to 12%, this two-percentage-point rise would eventually increase interest costs by 20% once all securities are financed at the higher interest rates. Interest costs are also a function of the amount of debt outstanding. In the last decade the public debt has grown rapidly. In December of last year it was over $1 trillion, more than double the amount outstanding only 7 years earlier. The structural deficits that will occur in the immediate future will further add to the future burden of interest costs. COMPARISON OF INFLATION AND INTEREST RATES (Calendar years; percent) 1960-69 Average inflation rate Average 91-day bill rate Difference 1970-79 1980-81 1982-85 1986-87 2.5 4.0 6.5 6.3 9.1 12.8 5.9 10.0 4.5 6.2 1.5 -0.2 3.7 4.1 1.7 Interest costs are expected to be especially burdensome in the next few years because interest rates are expected to remain high relative to inflation. Interest rates reflect borrowers' expectations about inflation. These expectations, reflecting the inflationary fiscal and monetary policies of the last decade, can be expected to adjust only slowly to the disinflationary policies currently in effect. As a result, the gap between inflation and short-term interest rates is likely to be large for the next few years, as shown in the table above. OUTLAY EFFECT OF INTEREST RATE INCREASE (In billions of dollars) 1982 Direct effect of two percentage point higher rates Effect of financing additional borrowing due to higher rates Total effect 3.8 1983 10.4 1984 14.0 16.0 1986 17.8 1987 19.4 0.2 0.8 2.2 3.6 4.6 5.8 4.0 11.2 16.2 19.6 22.4 25.2 Note: Estimates assume that interest rates are two percentage points higher beginning in January 1982. 1985 2-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 The large "real" interest rates in the next few years will have important consequences for Federal spending. This can best be understood by the table above, which shows the effect on Federal spending of a two-percentage-point increase in interest rates. The table shows both the direct effect of higher rates, which increases over time as more and more Federal securities are refinanced at the higher rates, and the effect of the additional Federal borrowing necessitated by the higher interest rates. The combined effects add $11 billion to outlays in 1983 and more than double that amount by 1987. PART 3 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS 3-1 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS Summary The shape, direction, and composition of the Federal budget are undergoing dramatic change under this administration. The 1982 budget began this process with long-range measures to reduce Federal spending. The 1983 budget continues and expands this redirection. Together, the actions achieved and actions proposed result in two fundamental changes: a new environment to foster economic prosperity, and a rational and lean realignment of domestic programs, combined with an adequate defense force. Economic prosperity.—The 1983 budget supports the President's program for economic recovery in several important ways: • Tax, spending, and management initiatives proposed in the budget will reduce the deficits by $239 billion during 1983 to 1985. This figure includes $34 billion in additional revenues due to proposed tax revisions, including a strengthened minimum tax for corporations. Reform of entitlement programs will save $52 billion. Discretionary programs will be cut by $76 billion. New or reproposed user fees will save $10 billion. Budget savings of $68 billion will be achieved through better management: such as debt collection, surplus property sales, accelerated leasing of off-shore oil areas, and prevention of fraud, waste, and abuse. Taken together, all of these measures will reduce the deficit by $56 billion in 1983, $84 billion in 1984, and $99 billion in 1985. • The overall rate of growth in spending is being substantially reduced. After peaking at the unsustainable rate of 17% in 1980, spending growth will decline to 10% in 1982, and 4% in 1983. In real terms, spending growth will average less than 1% in the 1982 to 1987 period, as compared to 4% in the 1976 to 1981 period. • The growth path of the budget has been shifted dramatically downward. Under policies in effect before February 1981, total Federal outlays with an adequate defense would have climbed by 12%, or to $755 billion in 1982, with further large increases to $844 billion in 1983 and $916 billion in 1984. Overall, outlays would have increased by $241 billion between 1981 and 1984. Budget reductions enacted last year and the 3-2 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS 3-3 new measures now proposed, will reduce built-in budget growth markedly: outlay reductions total $30 billion in 1982, $88 billion in 1983, $112 billion in 1984. For the 6 years projected in this budget, the proposed and achieved reductions total $659 billion. • The heretofore rapidly growing Federal Government claim on the private economy is being reversed. Under tax laws in effect prior to August 1981, Federal receipts would have equalled 21.7% of our national output in 1983 and 24.1% by 1987. Because of the President's tax cuts, the receipts share under current law will decline to 19.0% in 1983 and to 18.3% by 1987, resulting in a 5.8% or $287 billion shift of GNP from the Federal to the private sector of the economy compared to previous tax law. • The underlying imbalance in the Federal budget will be steadily reduced. The budget imbalance inherited from the previous administration was substantially larger than the reported back-to-back deficits of nearly $60 billion each year for 19801981. This is because of underfunding of defense and uncontrolled growth of off-budget spending. Taking these factors into account, a valid measure of the true underlying deficit as a share of GNP was 3.4% in both 1980 and 1981. On a comparable basis, the total deficit will decline to 2.6% of GNP in 1984 and 1.3% by 1987. This steady reduction of the total deficit—and the burden it places on financial markets—is an indispensible element of the President's economic recovery program. • Total Federal credit demands on financial markets are being systematically reduced. Total Federal credit demand, including the budget deficit, off-budget borrowing, guaranteed loans, and federally sponsored borrowing soared from $79 billion in 1977 to $142 billion in 1981. During 1981, Federal credit demands accounted for 35% of all funds raised in U.S. credit markets. Systematic efforts to curtail this counterproductive growth have now been put in place. Net direct and guaranteed lending will decrease by 6% in 1983, compared to average growth rates of 21% a year between 1977 and 1981. The offbudget deficit will decline from a 1981 peak of $21 billion to $16 billion in 1983 and $14 billion in 1984. Restructuring of the Federal budget—These overall trends, which are essential to economic revival, complement the structural changes in the budget that are now being proposed—changes that build on the successful efforts begun in 1982. • Real defense spending will rise rapidly in the next several years, and the defense share of the Federal budget will climb steadily. As the President's program to restore an adequate 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 4 3-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 national defense continues apace during 1982, real defense funding will increase by 12.7%, followed by another 13.2% increase in 1983. Over the entire 1981-87 rebuilding period, real Department of Defense obligations will increase at an 8.3% annual rate. As a consequence, the national defense share of total outlays will steadily rise from 24.3% in 1981 to 29.2% by 1983 and 37.2% by 1987. • Entitlement spending growth is being brought under control for the first time since the entitlement explosion began. There is a broad consensus on the need for a well designed, well financed social security system. But beyond that, many entitlement programs have grown explosively and not necessarily wisely. Between 1970 and 1981, entitlements other than social security grew from $33 billion to $168 billion, or 412%, representing a 15.6% annual rate of growth. Last year's Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act—plus new proposals in this budget—will reduce these non-social security entitlements by $25 billion in 1983 and $44 billion by 1987. The projected annual growth rate will decline to 5.2%, a rate only one-third that of the 1970-S1 period. • The structural changes in the budget will result in radically asymmetrical patterns of budget growth in the years ahead. Growth will be limited primarily to defense, social security, and medical care. These will account for 62% of the 1983 budget and total $467 billion compared to $357 billion in 1981. By 1987, total outlays for these programs will climb to $704 billion, representing an 11% annual rate of growth above 1983. By contrast, the budget outside of medicare, medicaid, social security, and defense will decline by 1% a year during the same period. • The budget margin for discretionary programs and lower priority activities will shrink after the tax reduction program is fully effective. Tax reform will stabilize receipts as a share of GNP at 18.7% by 1987. Defense, net interest and the social insurance programs—social security, medicare and unemployment insurance—will absorb 15.8% of GNP in 1987. Other Federal budget commitments, therefore, must be steadily reduced if fiscal balance is to be achieved. The process is underway and part of this shrinkage has already occurred. Excluding defense, interest, and social insurance, the budget will decrease from 8.1% of GNP in 1981 to 5.6% in 1983. The fundamental fiscal challenge for several years ahead will be further reductions in the discretionary components of the budget to a level compatible with the tolerable revenue claim on national income. BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS 3-5 • A major realignment of the responsibilities of Federal, State, and local governments will begin in 1984, reversing the trend of Federal interference in State and local affairs and the bloated growth of Federal grants (from $3 billion in 1954 to $91 billion in 1980). The President's federalism program will redistribute responsibilities among the units of government in the United States to take advantage of the relative capabilities of each. The Federal Government will take full responsibility for all major Government-financed medical programs including medicaid, which is now a shared responsibility among the various levels of government. In exchange, States and localities will assume full responsibility for public assistance and food stamps—also now shared responsibilities. In addition, the President is proposing that the Federal Government turnback to the States over 40 grant programs that address problems that can best be handled closer to the local level. Along with this shift in responsibility will be a comparable shift of tax resources. States and localities can choose to continue programs, restructure them, or terminate them, according to local needs and desires. Current Services Budget With Adequate Defense If an adequate defense had been provided by the previous administration, military pay would have been higher, readiness improvements we are now undertaking would have begun earlier, and investment in weapons and support systems would have been substantially larger. This higher defense spending, together with the already high levels of nondefense spending, would have resulted in much larger deficits during recent years than those actually recorded. The table below presents projections of Federal spending for 1982 to 1987 that assume the administration program for an adequate level of defense and current services for nondefense. Two spending baselines are projected. One is the current services baseline for this budget, which is based on an extrapolation of enacted 1982 program levels. Differences in outlays between this path and administration policy represent the effect of proposed changes recommended in the 1983 budget. The second baseline is extrapolated from 1981 program levels. It is designed to show the path of the budget prior to the sweeping budget reductions initiated by this administration in February 1981. Differences between the pre-February 1981 policy path and the current services baseline represent the effect of changes enacted since this administration came into office. Differences between the pre-February 1981 policy path and the 1983 budget estimates measure the total change in spending levels—both enacted and proposed. 3-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 THE OUTLAY IMPACT OF ENACTED AND PROPOSED BUDGET CHANGES (Dollar amounts in billions) 1982 1983 1984 1985 754.8 844.0 916.1 994.4 1,069.4 1,132.3 -10.6 -16.6 -14.8 -30.2 -14.2 -33.3 -12.2 -35.9 -12.6 -38.1 -13.3 -37.3 -27.1 -45.0 -47.5 -48.0 -50.7 -50.6 727.7 799.0 868.6 -1.4 -1.2 -12.8 -30.2 Subtotal, Decreases -2.6 -43.0 64.7 Major increases Administration budget proposals 0.2 725.3 1.8 757.6 2.1 805.9 -12.0 -17.7 -27.6 -60.5 -32.3 -80.0 -29.7 - 8 8 . 1 -112.2 -128.6 -144.7 -155.5 Pre-February 1981 baseline with adequate defense Enacted changes: Entitlement programs Other programs Subtotal, Enacted changes1 Current services baseline with adequate defense Proposed change in the 1983 Budget: Major decreases: Entitlement programs Other MEMORANDUM Total savings by major budget category: Entitlements Other Total savings 1986 1987 946.3 1,018.7 1,081.7 18.1 23.8 -46.7 -56.7 -29.4 -64.7 -35.9 69 0 -80.5 94.0 104 9 2.7 868.5 2.3 927.0 2.1 978.9 -36.0 -42.0 -49.2 92.6 -102.7 -106.3 2 Comparative growth rates (percent).Pre-February 1981 baseline with adequate defenseAfter reductions achieved last year . ... After reductions proposed in the 1983 budget 11.8 7.8 7.5 11.8 9.8 4.5 8.5 8.7 6.4 8.5 8.9 7.8 7.5 7.7 6.7 5.9 6.2 5.6 •The outlay savings shown are less than the congressional estimates of the savings associated with the Omnibus Reconciliation Act of 1981 largely because they do not include the reductions associated with shifting the strategic petroleum reserve off-budget and because they reflect different methods of calculating the savings from restraining Federal pay raises and other programs. In addition, the estimates shown reflect the impact of legislation other than the Reconciliation Act. 2 The 1982 growth rates are calculated from 1981 outlays restated for adequate defense. The momentum of nondefense spending that existed prior to this administration coming into office, together with adequate defense spending, would have resulted in spending growth about 9% per year through 1987. Under this path, Federal spending would have remained at 23 to 24% of GNP over the next 5 years. The spending reductions proposed by the administration, when combined with spending reductions enacted last year, reduce the annual rate of spending to about 6% per year. Under this path, spending is reduced to 20% of GNP by 1987, 3 percentage points less than under previous budget momentum. BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS 3-7 Pre February 1981 Baseline With Adequate Defense The net reductions enacted in the administration's first year in office will lower Federal spending by more than $269 billion in the 1982-87 period. The further reductions now proposed are almost one and a half that magnitude. Total reductions, enacted and proposed, reduce spending nearly $659 billion over the same period. About 30% of the total cuts are directed toward reducing entitlement programs and 70% are in other programs. The 1983 Budget Deficit Reduction Program Due to the economic influences discussed in Part 2 and incomplete action on the administration's program last year, the budget deficit would soar into the triple digit range and remain there beyond 1987 without corrective action. Deficits of this magnitude would impose extreme pressures on financial markets, undermine the outlook for continued monetary restraint, reduced inflation and economic growth and result in a permanent deficit-to-GNP ratio that is unprecedented in peacetime. The policy actions proposed in the President's 1983 budget change this picture dramatically. Total deficit reduction initiatives rise from $56 billion in 1983 to $99 billion by 1985. If implemented, these measures will assure a steady reduction of the deficit from the 1982 recession peak to levels that, while high by past standards, will be increasingly less burdensome on financial markets 3-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 given the increase in national savings expected from the tax program. The President's deficit reduction program attacks the budgetary imbalance on a broad range of fronts. The following section discusses the savings proposed in the budget by major category. THE 1983 DEFICIT REDUCTION PROGRAM (In billions of dollars) 1984 1985 727.7 -2.6 0.2 799.0 -43.0 1.8 868.6 -64.7 2.1 946.3 -80.5 2.7 725.3 757.6 805.9 868.5 927.0 978.9 Current services receipts Deficit reduction measures Other proposals 626.4 0.3 653.3 12.8 * 703.8 19.4 -0.1 778.3 18.8 -0.5 843.3 18.6 -0.9 906.7 20.2 Budget total 626.8 666.1 723.0 796.6 861.0 925.7 Outlays: Current services baseline with adequate defense Proposed savings Proposed increases Budget total 1986 1987 1983 1982 1,018.7 1,081.7 -94.0 -104.9 2.1 2.3 Receipts: Deficit: Current services deficit with adequate defense Budget deficit *50 1? -101.2 -145.6 -164.8 -168.0 -175.4 -174.9 - 9 8 . 6 —91.5 —82.9 - 7 1 . 9 — 66.0 - 5 3 . 2 million or less. COMPOSITION OF 1983 BUDGET DEFICIT REDUCTION MEASURES (In billions of dollars) 1984 1983 Subtotal, Entitlement savings User fee increases: Offsetting receipts Governmental receipts Subtotal, User fee increases Management initiatives 1 Discretionary and other programs Tax revisions Total, all deficit reduction measures 1 51 4.6 83 52 12 5 0.9 1.1 1.8 1.8 11.7 Total Percent 10 8 2.3 2.1 25 9 15 6 5.1 5.0 17.1 22.8 51.6 21.5 CVJ CO Entitlement savings:x Medical entitlements Cash assistance and nutrition Federal retirement Other 1985 2.1 1.4 2.2 1.6 5.5 4.3 2.3 1.8 2.5 3.5 3.8 9.8 4.1 20.3 24.0 23.9 68.2 28.5 14.2 26.1 35.3 75.6 31.6 7.2 13.5 13.5 34.1 14.3 55.9 84.1 99.3 239.3 100.0 5.9 65 2.1 2.1 Includes both outlay and receipts changes. Entitlement savings.—The administration is proposing further entitlement reforms to restore the focus of social welfare programs 3-9 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS on the people who need them most and to prevent overcompensation of benefits. The major proposals in entitlement programs include: • Medical entitlements.—Excessive medicare reimbursements would be reduced by slowing the rate of increase in reimbursible physician fees and by imposing an interim 2% reduction in hospital reimbursement. The supplementary medical insurance (SMI) deductible would be indexed to the CPI. Federal employees would be covered by medicare. Beneficiaries would be required to contribute a modest payment for use of medicaid services. Federal matching payments would be reduced for optional medicaid services and phased out for State payment errors over a 4-year period. EFFECTS OF ENTITLEMENT REFORM (In billions of dollars) Outlay savings 1983 1984 1985 1986 (0.3) 0.3 (0.2) 2.0 (1.9) (0.1) 2.5 (1.7) (0.1) (0.7) 2.3 (2.2) (0.1) 5.1 (2.3) (2.0) (0.9) 3.7 (3.6) (0.1) 7.8 (2.6) (4.1) (1.1) 4.3 (4.2) (0.1) 11.4 (3.0) (7.2) (1.3) 4.9 (4.8) (0.2) 16.1 (3.4) (11.3) (1.4) 0.6 4.5 7.5 11.6 15.7 21.0 0.2 * 0.1 1.2 0.1 2.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.1 0.2 2.8 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.1 0.2 2.9 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.2 0.2 3.1 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.2 3.1 0.6 0.8 1.1 0.6 4.6 5.2 5.9 6.5 6.9 * 0.5 0.1 2.0 1.1 0.2 2.2 1.5 0.3 2.4 1.7 0.3 2.5 1.9 0.3 27 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 27 36 4.3 47 51 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.1 0.5 1.4 0.1 0.6 1.8 0.1 0.6 2.2 1982 Medical entitlements: Medicaid Proposed legislation Administrative action Medicare .. Proposed legislation Future legislation Administrative action 0.3 . Subtotal... Cash assistance and nutrition.Aid for families with dependent children Child support enforcement Food stamps Child nutrition and special milk Combined welfare administration Supplemental security income Subtotal Federal retirement and disability: Civil service retirement Military retirement Railroad retirement Federal Employees Compensation Act 0.3 Subtotal Other: Unemployment benefits Veterans Administration Guaranteed student loans * * 1987 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 Subtotal 0.3 1.1 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.9 Total outlay savings 1.4 .. . 12.8 18.1 23.8 29.4 35.9 Revenue effects: Railroad retirement Medicare coverage of Federal employees -1.7 0.6 -1.8 0.8 1.9 0.9 -2.0 1.1 -2.1 1.2 Net revenue effect -1.1 -1.0 -1.0 -1.0 -1.0 -11.7 -17.1 -22.8 -28.4 -34.9 Total effect on the deficit * 5 0 million or less. -1.4 3-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 • Cash assistance and nutrition.—Federal matching payments for State payment errors would be phased out over a 4-year period. Work requirements for AFDC and disability criteria for SSI would be strengthened. Food stamp benefits would be reduced 35 cents for every dollar increase in a recipient's income, rather than 30 cents. The allowance for shelter and utilities of AFDC families living in larger households would be reduced and energy assistance would be counted as income. • Federal retirement.—A private rail industry pension would replace a portion of the present Federal pension for railroad workers. The cost-of-living increases in retirement benefits for civilian and military employees of the Federal Government would be limited to the percentage increase in Federal pay if that is lower than the CPI increase. • Other.—A needs test would be applied for guaranteed student loans at all income levels, and charges for making the loans would be increased. These reforms will restore the original character of those Federal entitlement programs which were meant to ensure reasonable levels of income security for those who, through no fault of their own, need assistance from society. The President has also established a bipartisan National Commission on Social Security Reform to propose realistic, long-term reforms. The Commission will make its recommendations by January 1983. No entitlement reforms for social security are proposed in this budget. User fees.—Most Government programs are designed to benefit the Nation as a whole, or provide special assistance to needy or vulnerable groups. Some activities, however, provide direct services to specific groups of individuals or enterprises above and beyond those that accrue to the general public. While it is often necessary or desirable for these activities to be conducted by the Federal Government, it is clearly inequitable and inefficient for the general taxpayer to bear the burden of special services for specific users. To the extent that special beneficiaries of Federal programs do not pay the full cost of those programs, they are receiving a subsidy. Such subsidies both increase the size of the budget and distort the workings of the marketplace. The administration's 1983 budget request includes several proposals to shift the cost of Federal programs that provide special benefits to those who directly benefit from them. The administration supports legislation to: • Reauthorize use of the airport and airway trust fund, and institute user fees to recover all Federal Aviation Administration capital operating and maintenance costs clearly allocable to air carriers and general aviation. 3-11 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS PROPOSED INCREASES IN USER FEES (In billions of dollars 1982 Offsetting receipts: Coast Guard user fees Corps of Engineers navigation fees Commercial nuclear waste Other 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.4 1.2 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.3 0.1 * 1.2 0.1 1.4 0.1 1.5 0.1 1.7 0.1 1.9 0.1 Subtotal, governmental receipts 0.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 Total, user fees 0.2 2.5 3.5 3.8 4.1 4.4 Subtotal offsetting receipts Governmental receipts: Airport and airway trust fund Passport and visa fees *$50 million or less. • Recover the costs of constructing and maintaining commercial navigation projects. • Cover the costs of developing permanent disposal facilities for high-level radioactive waste through user fees on electric utilities that generate nuclear waste. • Collect fees for special services to boat and yacht owners provided by the Coast Guard. The proposal calls for the full costs of services allocable to users to be recovered by the end of 1984. • Increase existing entrance fees at Federal recreation areas and expand the number of areas where fees are charged. • Cover the costs of various other goods, services and activities for special users. In total these proposed user charges will reduce the deficit by $2.5 billion in 1983. Management initiatives.—The 1983 budget includes a number of management initiatives that will substantially reduce the budget deficit over the next 5 years and improve the efficiency of Federal operations. These initiatives include: • a vigorous program to reduce fraud, waste, and abuse; • an aggressive program to collect delinquent debts to the Federal Government and to prevent unnecessary new delinquencies from occurring; • a further reduction of 75,000 workyears in the non-Defense agencies over the 1985-87 period, consistent with the transfer of more than 40 programs to State and local governments and with management efficiencies; • sale of underused Federal property and creation of economic incentives for agencies to manage property more efficiently; 3-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 • acceleration of leasing of Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) lands that have the promise of containing oil and gas; • restraint on Federal pay raises; • improved asset sale management; • replacing monthly premiums for FHA mortgage insurance with a one time payment at settlement; and • improved tax collection and enforcement through speed up of corporate income tax payments, withholding on interest and dividends, and increased IRS enforcement. In total, these management initiatives will reduce the deficit by $20 billion in 1983 and larger amounts in subsequent years. SAVINGS FROM MANAGEMENT INITIATIVES (In billions of dollars) 1982 Outlay reductions: Prevention of fraud, waste, and abuse Improved debt collection Federal employment reduction Federal property disposition Accelerated OCS leasing Federal pay restraint Improved asset sale management Revised FHA mortgage insurance payments.... Subtotal, outlays Receipts increases: improved tax collection and enforcement: Speed up of corporate tax collections Withholding on interest and dividends Increased IRS enforcement and collections. 1.0 0.1 1.1 0.2 1983 1984 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.4 1.4 1.3 0.7 4.0 7.8 3.0 1.0 0.7 14.8 1.4 2.0 2.1 18.5 1.7 1.3 2.4 1985 1.0 2.0 0.7 4.0 5.8 4.5 0.5 0.7 19.2 0.9 1.4 2.4 1986 1.0 2.0 1.5 4.0 6.3 5.8 0.5 0.6 21.8 0.2 1.6 1.3 1987 1.0 2.0 2.3 4.0 5.4 6.9 0.7 0.6 22.9 —0.2 1.9 0.6 Subtotal, receipts 0.2 5.5 5.5 4.7 3.0 2.4 Total, management initiatives.. 1.2 20.3 24.0 23.9 24.8 25.2 Discretionary and other programs.—The administration is proposing reductions in discretionary and other programs that total $14 billion in 1983 outlays. These cuts are needed to reduce the Federal role in areas that are more appropriately the responsibility of the private sector or of the State and local sector; to eliminate unwarranted subsidies; and to reduce lower priority spending. Major sources of discretionary outlay cuts in 1983 include the following: —A $0.9 billion reduction for energy research and development, conservation, and regulation consistent with the need to reduce or phase out energy programs that have subsidized industry and substituted for appropriate private sector investments. —A reduction of $0.7 billion for natural resources and environment programs results primarily from emphasizing non-Feder- BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS 3-13 al financial and cost-sharing for water projects and cuts in low priority programs. -A $1.6 billion reduction in transportation-related outlays, with increased responsibility given to States and localities to build and maintain highways and roads that serve primarily State and local traffic. Formula grants for mass transit operating expenses will also be phased out by 1985. Also, Federal aid for railroads is being reduced as the financial condition of the industry improves. -A $1.0 billion reduction in outlays for elementary and secondary education consistent with current fiscal stringencies and the fact that States and localities must continue to have primary responsibility for meeting education needs. -A reduction of $2.2 billion for training and employment programs, reflecting the consolidation of the fragmented CETA program into a block grant to the States. -A reduction of $1.0 billion in social services programs reflecting the need to reduce costs and better target services produced by State and local delivery systems. -A reduction of $0.6 billion for housing assistance. A major reform of the structure of Federal housing assistance, which has been endorsed by the President's housing commission, is reflected in the 1983 budget. Budget authority for subsidized housing is reduced by $22.5 billion in 1983. -A $0.6 billion reduction in low-income energy assistance, through an adjustment of the grant formula to target funds to those States most in need. -Reductions of $1.3 billion for various discretionary health and income security programs reflecting program consolidations and improved targeting. -A $2.7 billion reduction in net interest outlays relative to the current services base, reflecting the lower Federal borrowing associated with the deficit reduction measures. SUMMARY OF REDUCTIONS IN DISCRETIONARY AND OTHER PROGRAMS (Outlays; in billions of dollars) Energy Natural resources Transportation Elementary and secondary education Training and employment Social services Housing assistance Low-income energy assistance Other income security and health Net interest Allother Total -0.9 -0.7 -1.6 -1.0 -2.2 -1.0 —0.6 -0.6 -1.3 -2.7 -1.7 -14.2 3-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Tax revisions.—The administration is proposing a variety of tax changes designed to eliminate unintended tax benefits and remove obsolete incentives. These changes include the following: • Completed contract accounting.—Under current law, contractors may defer tax on income from long-term capital gains until the year that the contract is completed, even when income is received throughout the term of the contract and certain costs are deducted as they occur. The administration proposes to disallow this method of accounting effective January 1, 1983. • Business energy tax credits.—Effective January 1, 1983, the administration proposes to repeal all business energy tax credits. • Tax-exempt revenue bonds.—The administration proposes that assets financed with tax-exempt revenue bonds issued after 1982 must be depreciated using the straightline method over an extended recovery period. In addition, tax-exempt revenue bond financing will be limited to bonds that are publicly approved by local governments and that, after 1985, receive a financial contribution, commitment, or obligation from the local government. • Modified coinsurance.—Under current tax accounting rules, insurance companies that enter into modified coinsurance arrangements are able to convert taxable investment income, which is subject to tax at a 46% rate, into underwriting income, which is subject to tax at a maximum rate of 23%. The administration proposes to eliminate this tax benefit. • Construction period interest and taxes.—Under current law, corporations are allowed an immediate write-off of interest and taxes incurred during the construction of commercial buildings. The administration proposes that for nonresidential property, these costs must be amortized over 10 years, effective January 1, 1983. • Corporate minimum tax.—Corporations currently must pay a minimum tax, in addition to regular income tax, equal to 15% of certain preferences. The administration proposes to repeal this "add-on" tax effective January 1, 1983. An alternative minimum tax is proposed that would apply only to those corporations that pay very low regular rates of tax. 3-15 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS In total, these tax revisions increase receipts by $7.2 billion in 1983, $13.5 billion in 1984, and $16.8 billion by 1987. RECEIPT EFFECT OF TAX REVISIONS (In billions of dollars 1983 Tax revisions: Completed contract accounting Business energy tax credits Tax-exempt revenue bonds Modified coinsurance Construction period interest and taxes Corporate minimum tax Total 1984 1985 1986 1987 3.3 0.1 -0.2 1.1 0.5 2.3 5.0 0.4 0.3 2.2 1.1 4.6 3.2 0.6 1.1 2.5 1.0 5.1 2.7 0.6 2.1 2.7 1.0 5.6 2.8 0.6 3.3 3.0 1.0 6.2 7.2 13.5 13.5 14.8 16.8 Budget outlays in constant dollars.—The abrupt shift in budget trends and priorities is highlighted by reviewing Federal spending estimates after adjusting for inflation. In the period from 1975 to 1981, real outlays grew by almost 4% per year, with major growth in nondefense spending at the expense of very sluggish growth in spending for our national defense. In sharp contrast to these past trends, overall real spending growth under the administration's proposals will be slowed to an average of only 1% per year from 1981 to 1987, only one-fourth the rate of the previous period. Moreover, spending growth for national defense will be almost 8% per year in real terms, with real nondefense spending declining by almost 2% per year. The decline in nonentitlement outlays is much sharper, averaging about 8% per year. ANNUAL RATES OF INCREASE IN REAL FEDERAL SPENDING (Percent) 1975 to 1981 1981 to 1987 18 79 47 4.3 -7.6 Subtotal, Nondefense 4.6 -1.7 Total 3.9 National defense.. Nondefense: Entitlements.... Other 15 1.0 3-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 The Impact of Adequate Defense Funding on the Budget The underfunding of national defense between 1975 and 1981 substantially complicates the challenge of restoring budget equilibrium. During this period, the real growth in defense spending averaged only 1.8% at a time when Soviet investment growth rates reached unprecedented peacetime levels. As a consequence, the catch-up costs for restoring our military capabilities will be substantial. Strategic deterrence will be strengthened by modernizing all strategic force elements: bombers, land- and submarine-based ballistic and cruise missiles, and command and control systems. Conventional forces will be strengthened and modernized with new aircraft, tanks, missiles, and warships. The budget provides for military pay raises that will permit continued improvements in the quality of armed forces personnel through improved recruitment and retention, and provides for increased training. The budget proposals will also make possible increases in the readiness of our forces through increases in ammunition, spare parts, and other supplies; and improvements in mobility. The planned rebuilding of our military capabilities will be expensive, but only in comparison to the defense budgets of the 1970's. At its peak for the 1980's, the defense budget will remain a consid- 3-17 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS erably smaller percentage of GNP than the average during the 1950's and 1960's. The accompanying table indicates projected defense outlays, total obligational authority and annual real growth rates from inadequate 1981 levels proposed by the previous administration. DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE FUNDING (Dollar amounts in billions) Outlays Total obligational authority Amount 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 Average annual growth rate: 1981-1984 1981-1987 Real growth rate Amount 214.2 258.0 285.5 331.7 367.6 400.8 12.7 13.2 3.8 182.8 215.9 247.0 285.5 324.0 356.0 17.5% 14.7% 10.1 8.3 16.5% 14.7% 4.6 10.4 5.4 Real growth rate 7.7 10.5 8.0 9.6 8.0 4.6 8.7% 8.1 These defense catch-up requirements will absorb most of the gain in receipts projected for 1982-87, necessitating the pervasive alteration of priorities and reductions of spending commitments elsewhere in the budget. Through 1984, three-quarters of the growth in 3-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 total budget receipts will be required to fund the defense buildup. While this requirement will relax somewhat beyond 1984, threefifths of the receipts growth will still be needed to meet defense requirements in subsequent years. INCREASE IN RECEIPTS AND DEFENSE DEPARTMENT OUTLAYS (Dollar amounts in billions) "1982 Cumulative increase in Defense Department outlays over 1981 Cumulative increase in total receipts over 1981 Defense share of receipts gain 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 26.7 59.8 90.9 129.4 167.9 199.9 27.5 97.2% 66.8 89.5% 123.7 73.5% 197.3 65.6% 261.7 64.2% 326.4 61.2% Reversal of the Growing Tax Claim on GNP During the period 1955-1968, the average performance of the economy was characterized by sustained real economic growth, low inflation, and stable financial markets and interest rates. Federal taxes as a share of GNP averaged 18.1%. Since 1968, this stable performance pattern has broken down as shown in the table below. The increase in the Federal receipts claim on national income is both a cause and consequence of this breakdown. As tax burdens rose, real growth faltered, inflation soared and tax burdens were automatically notched up further— reaching an historic peacetime high of 21.0% in 1981. THE TAX CLAIM ON GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (Percent) Average real GNP growth 1955-1968 1969-1978 1979-1981 3.7% 3.1 0.9 Average inflation rate 2.4% 6.3 9.1 Average Treasury bond rate Average tax share of GNP 4.3% 7.2 11.6 18.1% 19.0 20.3 Had this destructive cycle not been broken, the tax share of GNP would have accelerated rapidly under the impetus of bracket creep to over 24% of GNP by 1987. The Federal tax claim on GNP would have been one-third higher than during the strong economic performance years of 1955-68—thereby ensuring a steady deterioration in the trend of savings, investment, productivity, and real economic growth. As shown below, the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 will dramatically reverse this upward creep in the tax burden. The Federal tax claim on GNP will return to pre-1968 levels. The total reduction in tax revenues over the 1982-87 period will exceed $960 billion relative to previous law. This fundamental change in the BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS Pre Econom ic Recovery /li! Tax Act ^jiiiij 3-19 ^ z, 3-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 distribution of national income between the Federal sector and the remainder of the economy capsulizes the basic redirection of national economic policy embodied in the President's economic recovery program. CURRENT LAW RECEIPTS—BEFORE AND AFTER THE ECONOMIC RECOVERY TAX ACT OF 1981 (Dollar amounts in billions) Total receipts: Pre-1981 Tax Act Current law 1 Difference Share of GNP (percent): Pre-1981 Tax Act Current law 1 1 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 664.7 626.4 744.9 653.3 842.7 703.8 955.0 778.3 1,073.0 843.3 1,193.3 906.7 -38.3 -91.6 -139.0 -176.7 -229.7 -286.5 21.6 20.3 21.7 19.0 22.2 18.6 22.9 18.7 23.6 18.5 24.1 18.3 Includes the extension of highway trust fund taxes at present rates after September 30, 1984. Constant dollar receipts.—During the period from 1955 to 1981, real economic growth, legislated tax increases, and the effects of inflation moved taxpayers into higher tax brackets, generating a steadily rising level of real budget receipts. This permitted the real spending commitments of the Federal Government to nearly triple over this period. With new budget and monetary policies in place, this era of rapidly growing real spending and real receipts will be brought to an end. Due to the personal income tax rate cuts, indexing of the individual income tax brackets beginning in 1985, and the sweeping depreciation reform on business income taxes, the growth in constant dollar income tax receipts will be very small between 1981 and 1987. The largest real growth in receipts in this period will come from the social security payroll tax, due to automatic increases in the taxable earnings base, scheduled rate increases, and rising real incomes. As a consequence, fiscal policy must now focus on tradeoffs among existing spending commitments rather than on the allocation of new budget receipts to new or expanded programs. Asymmetrical Pattern of Prospective Budget Growth, 1983-87 During the 1973-81 period, rapid growth was widely distributed across broad sectors of the budget. The average annual growth rate for total outlays was 13%. While most entitlements grew around 14% a year, the average growth rate for medicare and medicaid was 19%. Net interest grew by 18% a year. On average, defense grew by almost 10% a year. In total, discretionary nondefense programs grew by 11% a year. 3-21 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS THE GROWTH IN BUDGET OUTLAYS, 1973-1981 (Dollars amounts in billions) 1973 Budget component: National defense Entitlements: Social security Medicare and medicaid Other Average rate of growth 74.5 159.8 48.2 14.1 32.2 138.0 59.3 94.8 13.6 19.0 14.0 94.6 17.3 292.0 68.7 14.6 18.2 12.7 1.2 9.0 4.6 31.7 29.1 10.3 23.1 9.4 64.7 10.6 30.0 12.1 9.1 9.0 59.2 136.7 10.7 245.6 657.2 12.7 Subtotal, Entitlements Net interest Other nondefense: Education, training, employment, and social services Energy Transportation Community and regional development Allother Subtotal, other nondefense Total budget 1981 9.7% The reduction of spending now underway and extended in the 1983 budget proposals embodies nearly an opposite pattern: rapid growth in a few large components of the budget and no growth or negative nominal and real growth in the remainder. These asymmetrical patterns are highlighted in the table below. The reasons for rapid growth in these three major components are varied. The growth in defense represents a deliberate policy THE GROWTH IN BUDGET OUTLAYS, 1982-1987 (Dollar amounts in billions) Outlays: National defense Social security Medicare and medicaid All other entitlements.. Net interest Other nondefense Total budget outlays Growth rate (percent): Defense, social security, medicare and medicaid All other Total budget Share of budget (percent): Defense, social security, medicare and medicaid All other 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 187.5 154.6 67.4 102.9 83.0 129.9 221.1 173.5 72.4 95.6 96.4 98.7 253.0 188.5 79.8 93.7 98.7 92.3 292.1 202.3 88.8 95.3 100.8 89.2 331.7 216.5 97.8 96.6 99.3 85.2 364.2 232.0 107.4 98.5 93.2 83.5 725.3 757.6 805.9 868.5 927.0 978.9 14.7 5.2 14.0 -8.0 11.6 -2.1 11.9 0.2 10.8 -1.5 8.9 2.1 10.4 4.5 6.4 7.8 6.7 5.6 56.5 43.5 61.6 38.4 64.7 35.3 67.1 32.9 69.7 30.3 71.9 28.1 3-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 decision to improve national military capabilities after a period of under-investment. The social security growth pattern reflects demographic patterns, the large real benefit increases built into the base during the 1970's, and the system's characteristic as an intergeneration transfer and social compact that cannot, and should not, be precipitously altered. The explosive growth of medicare and medicaid is symptomatic of pervasive structural shortcomings in the U.S. health care delivery and financing system. The administration will propose a major cost containment and health competition plan in the near future designed to correct these structural defects. But such system-wide reforms will take years to implement and will have only limited near-term budget impact. Given these factors, the burden of continued budget restraint must fall heavily on the 38% of the budget outside of these three sectors. As the 1983 budget program demonstrates, additional spending reductions in these remaining budget sectors are possible and desirable. But with the passage of time, the problem of overall budget control will be made more difficult by the vast imbalances in present budget growth patterns. Correcting the Underlying Budget Imbalance The fact that Federal fiscal policy had become unsustainable and counterproductive by the 1980-81 period is best revealed by the records set during those 2 years: • the highest rate of peacetime spending growth in history (17% in 1980); • the highest peacetime outlay share of GNP (23.0% in 1981); • the highest peacetime receipts share of GNP (21.0% in 1981); and • the largest back-to-back total deficits in history ($152.7 billion in 1980 and 1981). While these statistics tell a disconcerting story, they do not tell all of it. If it had not been for the shortchanging of national defense in the late 1970's, the total fiscal imbalance at that time would have been far worse. The table below provides a restatement of deficits for 1980 and 1981 based on the minimum defense expenditure increases that would have been necessary in that period to prevent the shortfalls in pay and readiness and the lags in strategic and conventional modernization that actually occurred and are now being reversed. The table also includes off-budget deficits, which grew rapidly in the late 1970's and are now being steadily reduced. The table demonstrates the true extent of fiscal disequilibrium that had set in by 1980 and 1981. Despite steady growth of tax rates and the receipt claim on GNP and only a brief recession, the true total deficit share of GNP averaged 3.4% during 1980-81. The 3-23 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS BUDGET AGGREGATES (Dollar amounts in billions) Actual—Restated for adequate defense Receipts Outlays Budget deficit Off-budget deficit Total deficit Total deficit share of GNP (percent) Estimate 1980 1981 1982 517.1 591.3 599.3 674.9 626.8 725.3 -74.2 -14.2 -88.4 -3.4 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 666.1 757.6 723.0 805.9 796.6 868.5 861.0 927.0 925.7 978.9 -75.6 -98.6 -91.5 -82.9 -21.0 -19.7 -15.7 14.3 - 9 6 . 6 -118.3 — 107.2 - 9 7 . 2 -3.4 -3.8 -3.1 -2.6 71.9 66.0 -11.0 -10.9 -82.8 -77.0 -2.0 -1.7 -53.2 -9.3 — 62.5 -1.3 Federal budget was drastically over-committed in nondefense areas if the Federal tax take was to be restored to levels compatible with strong economic growth and modern historical experience. The structural factors of underinvestment in defense and the adverse temporary impact of disinflation on reduced income and revenue growth help to explain the abnormally large deficits being projected and the lengthy period of time it will take to restore fiscal equilibrium. This structural deficit will diminish steadily over future budget years if continued fiscal restraint is maintained. Control of Federal Credit The rapid growth of Federal credit activity—both direct loans and guaranteed loans—has had serious effects on the Nation's economy and financial markets. During the last decade, the Federal Government became the dominant consumer of the Nation's financial resources. By 1981, direct and guaranteed borrowing, combined with Government-sponsored enterprise borrowing, absorbed an estimated 35% of total credit raised in domestic credit markets. Large Federal credit demands impede the Nation's ability to improve investment and productivity, exacerbate inflation expectations and place upward pressure on both interest rates and inflation. Federally assisted borrowers are frequently less productive than unsubsidized private borrowers; and this preemption of capital that could be efficiently employed in private hands has substantially inhibited economic growth in recent years. Moreover, Federal intervention through guarantees and provision of direct lending distorts the market's assessment of true risk and return. This too has caused a misdirection of investment and a decline in economic growth. The accelerated rate of growth in Federal credit occurred largely in the second half of the 1970's and the first years of the 1980's. Between 1975 and 1982, net direct and guaranteed lending grew at a 19% annual rate of growth. During 1982, however, systematic 3-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 efforts to curtail this growth trend have been put in place. Under the President's proposals, as economic growth resumes and the budget deficit steadily shrinks, total Federal credit demand will steadily fall as a share of GNP and credit market activity. The credit budget—For 1983, the administration is proposing that the credit budget be limited to 2.7% growth above the 1982 level. The credit budget, which is on a gross basis, is the point of budgetary control for credit programs. Due to increased repayments, the net change in credit extended is estimated to decrease by 6% between 1982 and 1983. THE CREDIT BUDGET TOTALS (In billions of dollars) 1981 actual New direct loan obligations1 New guaranteed loan commitments2 Total MEMORANDUM Secondary loan guarantee commitments Guaranteed loans held as direct loans 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 57.2 76.5 56.4 87.1 49.0 98.4 133.7 143.4 147.3 44.1 32.1 48.7 30.4 38.4 24.7 1 Excludes 2 purchases of loan assets by the Federal Financing Bank. Excludes commitments for guarantees of loans previously guaranteed (secondary guarantees) and for guarantees by one Government account of direct loans made by another Government account. Throughout the past year, the administration conducted an intensive inter-agency, Cabinet-level review of Federal credit activities, seeking ways to restrain Federal credit demands on private credit markets and to reduce interest rate pressures in the open market. This effort focused primarily on the areas of housing credit, agriculture credit, credit entitlements and aid to businesses. Major proposals to slow down the growth in the credit budget include: • Government National Mortgage Association.—Loan commitments for mortgage-backed securities by GNMA are proposed to decrease from $48.0 billion in 1982 to $38.4 billion in 1983. This represents a 20% reduction from the 1982 level. Private sector mortgage securities programs are now rapidly developing; to encourage the success of these efforts the administration is proposing to restrain the GNMA program. • Export-Import Bank.—Direct lending will be reduced by $0.6 billion between 1982 and 1983, and guaranteed loans will be held at the 1982 level. Because of the decline in demand for direct credit, and the potential for the private sector to undertake increased insurance activity, these amounts will be sufficient to enable the Export-Import Bank to meet the requisite needs of exporters facing subsidized foreign competition. 3-25 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS MAJOR CHANGES IN THE CREDIT BUDGET TOTALS (In billions of dollars) Credit budget totals, 1982 Changes: Export-Import Bank Farmers Home Administration Rural Electrification Administration.. Small Business Administration Public housing International security assistance CCC price supports Federal Housing Administration Veterans' housing Other Total change Credit budget totals, 1983 MEMORANDUM GNMA mortgage-backed securities (secondary guarantees). Direct loan obligations Guaranteed loan commitments 56.4 87.1 -0.6 -2.6 -0.4 -0.4 -0.5 1.0 -2.0 -0.1 -0.6 -0.5 -0.3 1.5 0.8 -1.8 6,4 2.9 1.0 -7.4 11.3 49.0 98.4 5.8 -9.6 * $ 5 0 million or less. • Farmers Home Administration.—The administration believes that private lenders are increasingly able to fill rural credit needs adequately. Accordingly, reductions proposed in FmHA programs total $2.6 billion in direct loans and $0.6 billion in loan guarantees. These changes include major decreases in direct loans for rural housing, and termination of the business and industrial and alcohol fuels loan guarantee programs. • Rural Electrification Administration.—REA guaranteed loans will be reduced by $0.5 billion in 1983, and direct loans will be reduced by $0.4 billion. These reductions are proposed because a large number of REA borrowers can obtain credit from unsubsidized private sources at prevailing market rates. • Small Business Administration.—The Administration is proposing to eliminate SBA direct loans beginning in 1983 and to reduce 1983 guarantees by 10% below the 1982 level. These decreases are proposed because inequitable and inefficient subsidies are provided only to certain small businesses, while equally deserving firms rely on unsubsidized credit resources. • Public Housing.—A decrease in direct loan obligations of $0.5 billion and an increase of $1.5 billion in guaranteed loan commitments between 1982 and 1983 result from financing transactions of prior year commitments for public housing notes. • International Security Assistance.—The administration plans to increase its military assistance to friendly and strategically important nations in both 1982 and 1983. Direct loans will 3-26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 increase by $1.0 billion in 1983, and guaranteed loans, financed through the Federal Financing Bank, will increase by $0.8 billion. • Commodity Credit Corporation.—Direct loan obligations for commodity price support programs are estimated to decrease by $2.0 billion between 1982 and 1983 due to provisions in the recently enacted Agriculture and Food Act of 1981. Major upwards reestimates in the credit budget are due to improved economic conditions for housing. As the housing industry recovers from its depressed 1981 levels, guaranteed lending increases are expected for: • Federal Housing Administration.—Guaranteed loan commitments for FHA are estimated to increase by $5.0 billion in 1982 and $6.4 billion in 1983. • Veterans.—Guaranteed loan commitments in the veterans loan guarantee revolving fund are estimated to increase by $7.8 billion in 1982 and $2.9 billion in 1983. The Prospective Budget Margin for Discretionary Programs The economic growth and incentive-oriented tax policy now in place will steadily reduce receipts as a share of GNP to an equilibrium level of about 18.7% in 1987. As shown below, this returns the government tax claim on national income to a level consistent with that obtained during the period of strong economic performance of the 1960's. RECEIPTS AS A SHARE OF GNP 1963-73 1978-81 1981 1987, before 1981 tax act 1987, administration policy 18.7% 20.0 21.0 24.1 18.7 The restoration of long-run fiscal equilibrium will require a continuing curtailment and restructuring of Federal budget commitments in order to bring outlays back into balance with receipts and to end debt financing of the Federal budget. Unfortunately, Federal spending commitments grew substantially as a share of GNP during the high-tax era of the mid- and late-1970's. Outlays in 1981 reached an historic peak of 23.0% of GNP. Without the major reductions achieved in the Reconciliation Act of 1981 and the 1982 Appropriations Acts, the outlay claim would have remained at that level indefinitely. 3-27 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS Reducing this structural excess on the outlay side will take time and require difficult choices beyond those new spending restraints proposed in the President's 1983 budget. As is shown in the table on the following page, even with the major deficit reduction initiatives proposed this year, the gap between outlays and receipts as a share of GNP will remain at nearly 1.1% by 1987. Future efforts to reduce this gap will confront an imposing challenge: namely that the combined claim of the Nation's two largest, highest priority, and least flexible budget commitments—defense and the social insurance system—increased substantially since the 1963-73 period. As shown below, the cost of medicare, social security, and unemployment insurance will have grown from 3.9% of GNP during 1963-73 to 6.5% in 1987. After the current defense catch-up effort is nearly completed in 1987, the defense share of GNP will be slightly under its 1963-73 average. In addition, the net interest share will be slightly higher due to the sizable and chronic deficits that will have characterized policy over the entire period. Overall, the GNP share of these three basic components of the budget will rise from 13.1% of GNP during the 1963-73 period to 15.8% by 1987. GNP SHARE OF MAJOR BUDGET COMPONENTS 1963-73 1981 1987 Receipts Major outlay commitments: National defense Social insurance Net interest 18.7% 21.0% 18.7% 7.9 3.9 1.4 5.6 6.9 2.4 7.3 6.5 1.9 Subtotal, major outlay commitments All other budget outlays 13.1 6.7 14.9 8.1 15.8 4.0 19.8 23.0 19.7 Total budget outlays Given the relative inflexibility of these budget claims, nondefense discretionary programs and non-social insurance entitlements will have to bear the major burden of future measures to close the budget gap. Under current budget policy, including all spending reductions proposed in the 1983 budget, the GNP share for "all other" budget programs would be 4.0% in 1987. As is shown in the accompanying table, the all other category is steadily shrinking under current policy, but ultimately major restructuring of budget priorities and elimination of some activities in the category will be required if permanent fiscal equilibrium is to be achieved. 3-28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 REQUIREMENTS TO CLOSE THE BUDGET GAP (Dollar amounts in billions) 1981 Share of GNP: Outlays: Defense, social insurance and net interest Allother Total outlays Total receipts Deficit gap "All other" portions of the budget: Pre-February 1981 current services Current 1983 budget policy Difference (savings) Further outlay savings needed to close the 1987 budget gap 14.9% 8.1 1984 16.3% 5.0 1987 15.8% 4.0 23.0 21.0 -2.0 21.3 19.1 -2.2 19.7 18.7 -1.1 $230.3 n.a. $284.3 $189.7 $325.0 $197.0 n.a. n.a. $94.6 n.a. $128.0 $53.2 n.3.: Not applicable. Transition of American Federalism Federal grants to States and localities have grown from $3 billion in 1954 to $10 billion in 1964 and to $91 billion in 1980. In the last 10 years alone, grants to State and local governments have grown at an average annual rate of 13%. This growth has caused serious ambiguity in both the uses of the Federal tax dollars and in the functions of each level of government under our Federal system. The administration has proposed significant reforms in the intergovernmental grant system through the substitution of block grants, accompanied by decreased regulation, for a large number of categorical,grants. This approach has been only partially accepted by the Congress. The President's new federalism initiative—announced in the State of the Union Message—is sweeping. It explicitly distinguishes Federal from State and local responsibilities. It also provides for the transfer of revenue resources to the States as federally funded activities again become the responsibility of States and localities. A major feature of the initiative is to create clear responsibilities for programs now jointly administered or financed by several levels of government. Under the administration's proposal, States and localities would assume full responsibility for public assistance and food stamp programs. In return, the Federal Government would accept full responsibility for the medicaid program that finances medical care for the poor. This swap will result in substantial administrative efficiencies. Moreover, States will be able to design income support programs for the poor in accordance with local needs. The Federal Government will be required to establish meas- BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS 3-29 ures that will reduce the very rapid cost increases for the medicaid program that have taken place since its inception. The second major feature of the federalism initiative is the transfer of responsibility for over 40 existing federally financed programs that are actually non-Federal in nature to the States and localities. Under the administration's initiative, the States will have 4 years in which to decide whether to carry out these programs themselves, whether to do so in a modified form, or whether to discontinue them. A third feature of the federalism initiative is that as the program responsibilities are turned over to the States, so will the means of funding them. This will be the case regardless of whether the States choose to substitute their own programs for those that will be phased out. During the first transition phase of the federalism initiative, a special transition fund will be established. This fund will receive approximately $28 billion per year from existing excise taxes that will be specially dedicated to finance the federalism transition. This fund will be administered by the Federal Government, but the States will have broad latitude on specific allocations of funds. The fund will be used for three purposes during the first phase of the federalism initiative: • It will finance more than 40 programs slated to be turned back to the States and localities to the extent States wish these programs to be maintained. • It will provide the option for States to receive unrestricted allocations of funds to the extent they decline financing for turnback programs. • It will provide the mechanism for equalizing gains and losses among States that result from the medicaid/public assistance swap. Each State will have an account in the fund based on its share of the turnback programs during the 1979-81 period. These amounts will be modified as necessary to compensate for gains or losses that result from the medicaid/public assistance swap. During the 198487 period, the States may at their option use these funds from their transition account to continue Federal programs that are destined to be turned back to States and local governments. If they do so, they must abide by existing Federal conditions and rules. If a State chooses to have some or all of the designated Federal programs terminated before 1987, the resulting surplus in its transition fund accounts will be made available as a "super revenue sharing" payment to States and localities, and Federal agencies will cease designated program activity in the State concerned. Some super revenue sharing payments will be passed through to localities. Specifically: 3-30 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 • If States opt out of existing programs designated solely for localities (e.g., urban action development grants and mass transit subsidies), the entire amount of the savings will be passed through to local governments. • For education grants, which are generally not made to localities, no pass-through will be required. • For other programs, 15% of the savings will be passed through, using the general revenue sharing formula. This program permits the States to decide how soon, and in what way, the phaseout of the turnback programs will take place. It permits each State to decide its own mix of continued categorical grant programs during the transition phase relative to the use of additional unrestricted tax receipts. The second stage of the federalism initiative is slated to begin in 1988 when the programs designed for turnback will no longer be operated by the Federal Government. Beginning in that year, the Federal taxes dedicated to the fund will be reduced 25% per year. States will be able, at their option, to replace their own excise taxes for those collected by the Federal Government. By 1991, all of the Federal excise taxes designed to finance the federalism transition fund will expire. As a result of this process, the States will have the option of: • continuing, changing, or terminating more than 40 turnback programs that are currently funded through the grant mechanism and through direct Federal operations; or • increasing their tax base by substituting local taxes for Federal taxes that will be phased out. This program will: • create a genuine joint Federal-State transition process; and • provide adequate time for States to adjust local program priorities and local revenue sources. The result of the federalism transition will be a clear separation of Federal from State and local roles. The Federal Government will have responsibility for: • Our national social insurance system, including social security retirement, disability, and medicare. • Aid to the elderly through supplemental security insurance, medicaid, housing assistance, and senior service programs. • Health insurance and medical assistance, including medicare, medicaid programs, and tax incentives for private insurance. • Other national concerns, such as compensatory education and head start, higher education support, handicapped education, and Interstate highways. The States and localities will have responsibility for: • Local transportation facilities and services, such as bridges, streets, State and local highways, and mass transit. BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS 3-31 Community development and local capital investment, including sewage treatment plants, neighborhood renewal, and urban revitalization. General education. Social, health, and nutrition services, such as day care, rehabilitation, community health programs, drug and alcohol treatment, nutrition and health services to low-income families, social work, and protective services. Cash assistance to non-elderly needy, through State and local substitutes for existing food stamp and AFDC programs. 3-32 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Summary Tables The following tables show estimates through 1987 for receipts by source, budget authority and outlays by function, and budget authority and outlays by agency. The data shown by function show major programs within some functions. BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE (In billions of dollars) Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions Excise taxes Other Total Estimate 1981 actual 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 285.9 61.1 182.7 40.8 28.7 298.6 46.8 206.5 43.0 31.9 304.5 65.3 222.5 41.7 32.1 322.9 83.7 242.5 41.5 32.5 362.0 88.2 273.1 40.8 32.5 401.5 83.9 304.0 39.2 32.4 445.7 80.7 329.1 37.9 32.3 599.3 626.8 666.1 723.0 796.6 861.0 925.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 • 3.5 9.1 -1.1 1.2 0.1 2.6 16.1 -1.0 1.4 0.1 2.7 14.9 -1.0 1.6 0.1 2.0 14.8 -1.0 1.8 0.1 2.0 15.8 -1.0 2.0 0.1 0.3 12.8 19.3 18.3 17.7 19.0 MEMORANDUM Effect of receipts proposals in comparison to current services: 1 Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributionsExcise taxes Other Total •$50 million or less. 1 These estimates do not reflect the extension of the highway trust fund taxes that are scheduled 1 expire September 30, 1984; extension is assumed in the current services receipts estimates. 3-33 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS BUDGET AUTHORITY BY FUNCTION (In billions of dollars) Estimates 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 (218.9) 38.5 15.0 62.3 65.7 37.4 18.5 7.0' 4.8 10.0 9.6 6.3 21.0 6.6 (263.0) 44.9 16.5 69.4 89.5 42.7 18.1 7.8 4.3 8.4 6.9 3.4 19.1 6.7 (291.0) 46.0 17.7 73.0 101.9 52.4 17.4 7.7 4.5 7.7 7.3 4.2 19.2 6.9 (338.0) 47.7 18.9 82.0 125.5 64.0 16.4 7.3 4.1 7.3 4.5 4.6 19.5 7.0 (374.9) 48.9 20.0 90.9 142.8 72.3 15.9 6.7 4.5 7.0 4.5 5.4 19.8 7.0 (408.4) 49.7 21.1 98.7 155.1 83.8 15.6 6.7 4.5 6.4 4.5 5.8 20.1 7.0 (23.5) 13.0 4.5 6.0 (17.7) 9.2 3.6 5.0 (81.4) 52.6 18.7 10.1 (281.9) 190.6 2.2 37.0 21.6 -2.2 14.1 18.6 26.3 4.6 5.4 6.9 116.2 (17.8) 9.2 3.6 5.0 (93.6) 62.6 20.5 10.5 14.6 19.3 27.0 4.5 5.2 7.2 119.7 (17.3) 8.8 3.6 5.0 (115.7) 82.5 22.2 11.0 (323.6) 225.7 2.2 40.3 21.3 _4 K9 19.6 27.9 4.6 5.1 7.5 120.5 (16.8) 8.3 3.6 5.0 (128.3) 92.4 24.4 11.6 150.1 7.4 33.6 21.0 6.6 15.8 17.8 24.8 4.3 5.2 6.4 99.1 (18.8) 10.3 3.6 5.0 (77.8) 55.0 13.0 9.8 (257.6) 168.6 2.2 35.0 22.2 -3.9 13.8 19.7 25.7 4.5 5.3 6.7 112.5 .4 -1.0 -2.0 1.9 -2.0 3.4 -3.7 5.0 -4.5 6.7 -5.3 -7.6 -16.1 -8.4 -16.1 -8.7 -17.5 -9.1 -18.9 -9.5 -21.3 -9.8 -23.5 -7.9 -18.0 -1.0 -18.0 -4.0 -18.0 -4.0 -19.5 -4.0 -21.0 -4.0 765.5 801.9 858.0 943.5 1,014.1 1,078.2 Budget authority, off-budget Federal entities.... 32.6 28.8 31.6 20.4 22.1 27.4 Budget authority, including off-budget Federal entities 798.1 830.7 889.6 963.9 1,036.2 1,105.6 National defense Military personnel Retired pay Operation and maintenance Procurement Other 1 International affairs General science, space, and technology Energy Natural resources and environment Agriculture Commerce and housrng credit Transportation2 Community and regional development Education, training, employment, and social services Education Training, employment and other labor Social services Health Medicare Medicaid Other „ Income security Social security Other general retirement Federal employee retirement Unemployment compensation Housing assistance Food and nutrition assistance Other income security .. Veterans benefits and services Administration of justice General government General purpose fiscal assistance Interest Allowances: Civilian agency pay raises Contingencies and other Undistributed offsetting receipts: Employer share, employee retirement Interest received by trust funds Rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf Federal surplus property disposition Total budget authority. (79.2) 52.0 18.0 9.2 (252.3) (310.2) 212.0 2.2 38.8 21.3 2.1 (348.0) 245.1 2.2 41.6 21.1 2.8 15.4 19.9 28.8 4.6 5.1 7.7 116.7 MEMORANDUM 1 2 Includes allowances for civilian and military pay raises for Department of Defense—Military. Includes allowances for military pay raises for the Coast Guard. 3-34 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION [In billions of dollars] Estimates National defense Military personnel Retired pay Operation and maintenance Procurement Other 1 International affairs General science, space and technology. Energy Natural resources and environment Agriculture Commerce and housing credit Transportation2 Community and regional development... Education, training employment, and social services , Education Training, employment and other labor Social services Health Medicare Medicaid Other Income security Social security Other general retirement Federal employee retirement Unemployment compensation Housing assistance Food and nutrition assistance Other income security Veterans benefits and services Administration of justice General government General purpose fiscal assistance Interest Allowances: Civilian agency pay raises Contingencies and other Undistributed offsetting receipts: Employer share, employee retirement Interest received by trust funds Rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf Federal surplus property disposition Total budget outlays. 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 (187.5) 38.3 15.0 60.6 41.3 32.3 11.1 6.9 6.4 12.6 8.6 3.3 21.2 8.4 (221.1) 44.5 16.5 67.3 55.1 37.6 12.0 7.6 4.2 9.9 4.5 1.6 19.6 7.3 (253.0) 45.8 17.7 71.9 70.0 47.5 12.3 7.8 3.8 8.4 5.1 1.3 18.8 6.7 (292.1) 47.5 18.8 79.6 88.3 57.8 13.0 7.4 3.8 7.7 4.6 -.5 19.4 6.9 (331.7) 48.8 19.9 88.5 106.9 67.6 12.5 6.9 4.0 6.9 2.8 -.8 19.7 6.7 (364.2) 49.5 21.1 96.5 119.4 77.7 11.9 6.7 (27.8) 15.4 6.0 6.4 (73.4) 45.7 17.9 9.9 (250.9) 154.6 7.6 19.4 25.2 8.2 15.6 20.2 24.2 4.5 5.1 6.4 99.1 (21.6) 13.1 3.4 5.1 (78.1) 51.0 17.1 10.1 (261.7) 173.5 2.1 21.1 22.6 8.9 13.8 19.8 24.4 4.6 5.0 6.7 112.5 (19.3) 10.3 4.0 5.0 (84.9) 56.3 18.7 9.9 (274.8) 188.5 2.1 22.5 19.8 9.4 14.0 18.6 25.6 4.6 5.2 6.8 116.2 (17.8) 9.3 3.6 5.0 (93.5) 63.0 20.5 10.1 (290.1) 202.3 2.1 24.1 18.0 9.9 14.4 19.3 26.9 4.5 4.9 119.7 (17.3) 8.8 3.6 5.0 (102.4) 69.9 22.2 10.3 (305.7) 216.5 2.2 25.8 16.5 10.4 14.8 19.6 27.9 4.5 4.8 7.3 120.5 (16.8) 8.3 3.6 5.0 (111.9) 76.9 24.4 10.6 (323.1) 232.0 2.1 27.6 15.5 10.7 15.2 19.9 28.7 4.6 4.6 7.6 116.7 .4 -1.0 .7 -2.0 1.8 -2.0 3.3 -3.7 5.0 -4.5 6.7 -5.3 -7.6 -16.1 -8.4 -16.1 -8.7 -17.5 -9.1 -18.9 -9.5 -21.3 -9.8 -23.5 -7.9 -18.0 -1.0 -18.0 -4.0 -18.0 -4.0 -19.5 -4.0 -21.0 -4.0 725.3 757.6 805.9 868.5 927.0 978.9 19.7 15.7 14.3 11.0 10.9 9.3 745.0 773.3 820.2 879.4 938.0 988.2 7.1 4.1 6.3 2.8 -.7 19.7 6.7 MEMORANDUM Outlays, off-budget Federal entities Outlays, including off-budget Federal entities 1 2 Includes allowances for civilian and military pay raises for Department of Defense—Military. Includes allowances for military pay raises for the Coast Guard. 3-35 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS BUDGET AUTHORITY BY AGENCY (In billions of dollars) Estimates Department or other unit Legislative branch The Judiciary Executive Office of the President Funds appropriated to the President. Agriculture Commerce1 Defense—Military 2 3 Defense—Civil Health and Human Services 2 Housing and Urban Development Interior 1 2 Justice 1 2 Labor State Transportation4 Treasury 2 Environmental Protection Agency National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Veterans Administration Foundation for Education Assistance 2 Office of Personnel Management Other agencies 1 2 Allowances 5 Undistributed offsetting receipts Total budget authority.. 1 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1.4 0.7 0.1 11.0 30.3 10.0 214.1 2.9 251.4 13.C 2.9 2.5 26.6 2.5 20.3 110.3 3.7 5.9 24.8 11.2 34.0 17.9 -0.6 -31.5 1.5 0.8 0.1 11.5 24.7 9.7 257.5 2.3 268.4 0.7 3.3 2.6 26.4 2.7 18.4 125.0 3.6 6.6 25.6 8.8 35.6 10.8 -1.2 -43.5 1.6 0.9 0.1 10.6 26.0 10.5 284.7 2.3 292.3 2.8 3.7 2.6 24.9 2.9 18.6 129.8 3.3 6.5 26.3 7.8 37.9 10.5 -0.1 -48.2 1.6 0.9 0.1 9.5 23.7 11.2 330.9 2.4 326.4 7.4 3.2 2.6 24.4 2.9 18.7 133.6 3.3 6.1 27.0 7.8 40.0 10.3 -0.3 -50.0 1.6 0.9 0.1 8.8 24.2 12.0 366.8 2.5 362.0 5.4 3.0 2.6 24.7 3.0 19.0 134.1 3.3 5.5 27.9 7.3 41.9 11.0 0.5 -54.3 1.7 1.0 0.1 8.4 24.3 12.5 399.9 2.6 393.9 9.4 2.8 2.6 25.0 3.1 19.3 129.8 3.1 5.4 28.7 6.8 43.7 11.0 1.4 -58.2 765.5 801.9 858.0 943.5 1,014.1 1,078.2 The budget proposes dismantlement of the Department of Energy (DOE), effective October 1, 1982. Budget data for activities previously performed by DOE are included in the agencies that are proposed to assume these activities. 2 The budget proposes dismantlement of the Department of Education (DEd), effective October 1, 1982. Budget data for activities previously performed by DEd are included in the agencies that are proposed to assume these responsibilities. 3 Includes allowances for civilian and military pay raises for Department of Defense. 4 Includes allowance for military pay raises for the Coast Guard. 5 Includes allowances for civilian agency pay raises and contingencies. 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 6 3-36 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET OUTLAYS BY AGENCY (In billions of dollars) Department or other unit Legislative branch The Judiciary Executive Office of the President Funds appropriated to the President. Agriculture Commerce 1 Defense—Military 2 3 Defense—Civil Health and Human Services 2 Housing and Urban Development Interior 1 2 Justice * 2 Labor State Transportation 4 Treasury 2 Environmental Protection Agency National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Veterans Administration Foundation for Education Assistance 2 Office of Personnel Management Other agencies 1 2 Allowances 5 Undistributed offsetting receipts Total budget outlays.. 1 Estimates 1982 1983 1984 -31.5 1.4 0.8 0.1 6.9 23.5 9.9 215.9 2.3 274.2 13.1 3.3 2.7 26.5 2.4 19.0 124.5 4.6 6.6 24.4 11.4 21.7 7.1 -1.3 -43.5 725.3 757.6 1.5 0.7 0.1 6.4 29.4 11.6 182.8 3.0 252.9 14.6 3.1 2.6 32.1 2.2 20.6 110.0 5.4 5.8 24.1 13.4 19.9 15.0 -0.6 1985 1986 1987 1.5 0.9 0.1 7.6 24.0 10.1 247.0 2.1 294.2 13.4 3.1 2.6 23.6 2.6 18.1 129.4 4.1 6.5 25.6 8.9 23.2 5.9 -0.2 -48.2 1.5 0.9 0.1 7.9 23.9 10.6 285.5 2.2 317.1 13.6 2.9 2.6 21.0 2.6 18.8 133.1 4.0 6.2 26.9 7.9 25.0 4.6 -0.4 -50.0 1.6 0.9 0.1 7.1 22.3 11.3 324.0 2.3 340.3 14.0 2.6 2.6 19.9 2.8 18.9 133.6 3.5 5.7 27.8 7.4 26.9 5.2 0.5 -54.3 1.6 0.9 0.1 7.0 22.5 11.9 356.0 2.4 365.3 14.5 2.5 2.6 19.4 2.9 19.0 129.3 3.2 5.5 28.7 6.9 29.0 4.5 1.4 -58.2 805.9 868.5 927.0 978.9 The budget proposes dismantlement of the Department of Energy (DOE), effective October 1, 1982. Budget data for activities previously performed by DOE are included in the agencies that are proposed to assume these activities. 2 The budget proposes dismantlement of the Department of Education (DEd), effective October 1, 1982. Budget data for activities previously performed by DEd are included in the agencies that are proposed to assume these responsibilities. 3 Includes allowances for civilian and military pay raises for Department of Defense. 4 Includes allowance for military pay raises for the Coast Guard. 5 Includes allowances for civilian agency pay raises and contingencies. PART 4 BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-1 BUDGET RECEIPTS This section of the budget discusses budget receipts for 1981 to 1985 and the legislative proposals and administrative actions affecting them.1 The economic assumptions on which the receipts estimates are based are presented in Part 2, and estimates of receipts for 1986-87 are presented in Part 3. Part 6 contains an analysis of the difference between actual receipts for 1981 and the budget estimates for 1981 made 2 years ago. Part 7 explains the conceptual basis for classifying certain amounts collected by the Federal Government as budget receipts and other amounts as offsetting collections. SUMMARY Total budget receipts in 1983 are estimated to be $666.1 billion, an increase of $39.4 billion from the $626.8 billion estimated for 1982. Receipts in 1984 and 1985 are estimated to be $723.0 billion and $796.6 billion, respectively. These estimates include the effects of: • the income tax reductions and other tax changes provided in the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981; • the increases in the social security tax rate and taxable earnings base scheduled under current law; • the proposed tax revisions and improvements in tax collection and enforcement; and • other receipts changes currently being proposed. BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE (In billions of dollars) 1981 actual Source Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions.... Excise taxes.... Estate and gift taxes Customs duties Miscellaneous receipts Total, budget receipts 1 . . 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1985 estimate 285.9 61.1 182.7 40.8 6.8 8.1 13.8 298.6 46.8 206.5 43.0 7.2 8.9 15.9 304.5 65.3 222.5 41.7 5.9 9.4 16.8 322.9 83.7 242.5 41.5 5.4 9.8 17.2 362.0 88.2 273.1 40.8 5.1 10.2 17.2 599.3 626.8 666.1 723.0 796.6 Detailed estimates of budget receipts by source are shown in tables 10 and 18 of Part 9. 4-2 1984 estimate BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-3 Composition of budget receipts.—The Federal tax system relies predominantly on income and payroll taxes. In 1983: • Income taxes paid by individuals and corporations are estimated at $304.5 billion and $65.3 billion, respectively. These sources combined account for 55.5% of estimated budget receipts. • Social insurance taxes and contributions—composed largely of payroll taxes levied on wages and salaries, most of which are paid in equal amounts by employers and employees—will yield an estimated $222.5 billion, 33.4% of the total. • Excise taxes imposed on selected products, services, and activities are expected to provide $41.7 billion, 6.3% of the total. • Estate and gift taxes, customs duties, and miscellaneous receipts are estimated at $32.1 billion, the remaining 4.8% of budget receipts. Under the tax policy assumptions presented in this budget, the income tax share of total receipts is projected to decline to 56.5% by 1985, 1.4 percentage points less than for 1981. This decline is the net effect of a 2.3 percentage point decline in the individual income tax share that is partially offset by a 0.9 percentage point rise in the corporation income tax share from 10.2% in 1981 to 11.1% in 1985. Social insurance taxes and contributions are projected to rise as a share of total receipts from 30.5% in 1981 to 34.3% in 1985. The projected share of all other receipts declines by 2.4 percentage points between 1981 and 1985. ENACTED LEGISLATION The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, signed by President Reagan on August 13, 1981, is an integral part of the administration's economic recovery program. This Act, which provides incentives for work, saving, and investment, is estimated to reduce receipts by $38.3 billion in 1982, $91.6 billion in 1983, $139.0 billion in 1984, and $176.7 billion in 1985. The major provisions of the Act are described briefly below. Individual income tax provisions.—A number of provisions to reduce individual income tax liabilities are included in the Act. These provisions, which are estimated to reduce receipts by $26.0 billion in 1982, $69.8 billion in 1983, $104.2 billion in 1984, and $127.1 billion in 1985, include the following: • Individual income tax rate reductions.—Marginal tax rates for individuals were reduced by 5% effective October 1, 1981, and will be reduced an additional 10% effective July 1, 1982, and an additional 8% effective July 1, 1983. Compared with prior law, this translates into a reduction in marginal tax rates for individuals of 1.25% for calendar year 1981, 10% 4-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 for calendar year 1982, 19% for calendar year 1983, and 23% for calendar year 1984 and subsequent years. Withholding rates, which were reduced by 5% on October 1, 1981, will be reduced by an additional 10% on July 1, 1982 and 8% on July 1, 1983. • Reduction in the maximum individual income tax rate.—The maximum marginal tax rate on individual income was reduced from 70% to 50% effective January 1, 1982. Since 60% of long-term capital gains are excluded from tax, this provision reduces the maximum effective tax rate on capital gains from 28% (a 70% rate times the 40% included in taxable income) to 20% (a 50% rate times the 40% included in taxable income). The 20% maximum rate applies to all sales or exchanges occurring after June 9, 1981. • Deduction for two-earner married couples.—Married couples with two earners often pay higher taxes than if they were single. To reduce this penalty, the Act allows couples a tax deduction equal to 5% of the first $30,000 of earnings of the spouse with the lower earnings in calendar year 1982. In 1983 and subsequent years, the deduction increases to 10%. • Indexing.—Beginning with calendar year 1985, the individual income tax brackets, the zero bracket amount, and the personal exemption will be adjusted annually for inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index for all urban households (CPI-U). The adjustment for a given calendar year will be the increase in the CPI-U between fiscal year 1983 and the • preceding fiscal year. The 1985 adjustment therefore will be based on the increase in the CPI-U between fiscal years 1983 and 1984. • Charitable contributions deduction for nonitemizers.—Taxpayers who do not itemize deductions are provided a deduction for charitable contributions made after December 31, 1981 and before January 1, 1987. For 1982 and 1983, the deduction is limited to 25% of the first $100 of contributions. For 1984, the deduction will increase to 25% of the first $300 of contributions. The deduction will increase to 50% of all charitable contributions in 1985 and to 100% of contributions in 1986. • Taxation of foreign earned income.—Under prior law, U.S. taxpayers who had foreign earned income were allowed a variety of deductions and exclusions for expenses incurred abroad. This Act replaces these allowances for expenses with a partial exclusion of foreign earned income from tax. Beginning in 1982, each taxpayer may exclude up to $75,000 of foreign earned income from tax. The exclusion will increase by $5,000 annually through 1986, to a maximum exclusion of BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-5 $95,000. In the case of a married couple, the exclusion is computed separately for each qualifying individual. An exclusion for excess housing costs is also provided. Capital cost recovery provisions.—Taxpayers may claim depreciation deductions for tangible property used in a trade or business. Under prior law, these deductions were determined by the particular "facts and circumstances" of the anticipated use of the property, or according to a system of guidelines known as the Asset Depreciation Range System (ADR). The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 replaces these methods of depreciation with the Accelerated Cost Recovery System (ACRS), which provides for a faster write-off of capital expenditures under simplified and standardized rules. This system of accelerated depreciation, which generally applies to all new and used property placed in service after December 31, 1980, is estimated to reduce receipts by $10.5 billion in 1982, $16.5 billion in 1983, $25.8 billion in 1984, and $37.1 billion in 1985. • Depreciation of personal property.—Under this Act, the cost of personal property may be written-off in 3, 5, 10, or 15 years. The 3-year class includes automobiles, light trucks, and machinery and equipment used in research and development. Most other machinery and equipment is classified as 5-year property. The 10-year class includes mobile homes and public utility property for which previous guidelines did not exceed 25 years. Public utility property for which previous guidelines exceeded 25 years is classified as 15-year property. All personal property placed in service after December 31, 1980 and before January 1, 1985 may be depreciated using rates that approximate the 150% declining balance method. This percentage increases to 175% for property placed in service in 1985 and to 200% in subsequent years. As an option, taxpayers may elect to recover the cost of each class of personal property on a straight-line basis over the designated recovery period or over one of two longer periods provided in the Act. • Depreciation of real property.—Real property, other than lowincome housing, may be written-off in 15 years using the 175% declining balance method of depreciation. Low-income housing may be depreciated over 15 years using the 200% declining balance method. As an option, taxpayers may elect to recover the cost of any real property on a straight-line basis over 15, 35, or 45 years. • Leasing.— This Act liberalizes the rules under which firms may transfer unused investment tax credits and depreciation deductions on new investments to profitable firms through leasing transactions. 4-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Windfall profit tax provisions.—Windfall profit taxes for certain producers and types of oil are reduced by several provisions in the Act. These provisions are estimated to reduce windfall profit tax receipts by $0.9 billion in 1982, $1.6 billion in 1983, $1.9 billion in 1984, and $2.2 billion in 1985. Since the windfall profit tax is an excise tax, it is deductible when calculating taxable income. As a result, the net reduction in total budget receipts—taking into account the increase in individual and corporation income taxes—is $1.2 billion in 1982, $1.1 billion in 1983, $1.2 billion in 1984, and $1.4 billion in 1985. Corporation income tax rate reductions.—The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 reduces the tax rate on the first $50,000 of taxable corporate income as shown in the table below. These reductions in corporation income tax rates are estimated to reduce receipts by $0.1 billion in 1982, $0.3 billion in 1983, and $0.5 billion in 1984 and 1985. Tax Rate Current law Taxable corporate income Prior law First $25,000.... Second $25,000 Third $25,000... Fourth $25,000. Over $100,000.. 17 20 30 40 46 1982 1983 and beyond 15 18 30 40 46 Saving incentive provisions.—In addition to the across-the-board reductions in marginal tax rates, several other provisions to encourage saving by individual taxpayers are provided. These provisions, which are estimated to reduce receipts by $0.2 billion in 1982, $2.1 billion in 1983, $3.7 billion in 1984, and $3.5 billion in 1985, are: • Partial exclusion of interest and dividend income from tax.— Under prior law, a single taxpayer was allowed to exclude up to $200 in annual interest and dividend income from tax in 1981 and 1982. For a married couple filing a joint return, the exclusion was $400. Beginning in 1983, the exclusion would have been limited to $100 in annual dividend income per taxpayer. The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 replaces the $400/$200 interest and dividend exclusion with a $200/ $100 dividend exclusion, effective January 1, 1982. The Act also provides that beginning in 1985, 15% of annual interest income may be excluded from tax, up to a maximum exclusion of $450 for a single taxpayer and $900 for a married couple filing a joint return. For taxpayers who itemize deduc- BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-7 tions, only interest income in excess of the taxpayer's interest deductions (excluding interest paid on a home mortgage or in connection with a trade or business) is eligible for the deduction. • Tax-exempt savings certificates.—Under this Act, financial institutions that invest in residential or agricultural loans are allowed to igjsue tax-exempt savings certificates between October 1, 1981 and December 31, 1982. These certificates, which must pay a rate equal to 70% of the rate on the most recently issued 52-week Treasury bill, must be issued for a period of 1 year. Married couples filing a joint return may exclude up to $2,000 in interest earned on a qualified savings certificate from tax. For a single taxpayer, the maximum allowable exclusion is $1,000. • Individual retirement accounts (IRAs).—Beginning January 1, 1982, eligibility for an IRA is extended to all active participants in a tax-qualified employer-sponsored pension plan. In addition, the maximum annual contribution to an IRA established by a working individual for him/herself is increased to $2,000 or 100% of compensation, whichever is less. The maximum annual contribution to an IRA established by a worker for him/herself and a nonworking spouse is increased to the lesser of $2,250 or 100% of compensation. • Self-employed retirement savings (Keogh plans).—The maximum annual contribution to a Keogh plan by a self-employed individual is increased from $7,500 to $15,000, effective January 1, 1982. Estate and gift tax provisions.—Several provisions to reduce estate and gift taxes are provided in the Act. These provisions, which are estimated to reduce receipts by $0.2 billion in 1982, $2.3 billion in 1983, $3.6 billion in 1984, and $4.6 billion in 1985, include the following: • Marital deduction.—Effective January 1, 1982, a surviving spouse is permitted to inherit an unlimited amount without paying tax. Under prior law, the marital deduction was limited to the greater of one-half the adjusted gross estate or $250,000. • Estate and gift tax credit—The maximum credit against estate and gift taxes was $47,000 under prior law. Since $47,000 is the amount of tax owed on an estate or gift of $175,625, estates or gifts of $175,625 or less were exempt from tax. This Act increases the credit annually to $192,800 in 1987 and subsequent years, which will exempt from tax all estates of $600,000 or less. 4-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 • Rate reduction.—The maximum tax rate on estates and gifts is reduced by 5 percentage points a year from 70% in 1981 to 50% in 1985 and subsequent years. • Gift tax exclusion.—The annual gift tax exclusion is increased from $3,000 to $10,000 per donee, effective January 1, 1982. In addition, an unlimited exclusion is provided amounts paid for certain medical expenses and school tuition. Tax straddles.—Under this act the market value of all regulated commodity futures contracts must be determined at year end. Gains and losses on these contracts are to be treated as if 60% of the capital gains and losses are long-term and 40% are short term. Net losses under this rule may be carried back 3 years against corresponding gains. This provision, which applies to property acquired after June 23, 1981, is estimated to increase receipts by $0.6 billion in 1982, $0.9 billion in 1983, $1.0 billion in 1984, and $1.1 billion in 1985. Corporation estimated tax payments.—Corporations are generally required to pay 80% of their income tax liability in estimated payments during the taxable year. The required level of estimated payments has several exceptions, including one that allows corporations to make estimated payments on the basis of the previous year's tax liability. However, under prior law, corporations with taxable income exceeding $1 million in any of the three preceding taxable years were required to make estimated payments equal to at least 60% of their current year's liability, regardless of the previous year's liability. Under this Act, the required level of estimated payments for such corporations is increased to 65% of the current year's liability in 1982, 75% in 1983, and 80% in 1984 and subsequent years. It is estimated that this provision will increase receipts by $0.5 billion in 1982, $1.4 billion in 1983, $1.3 billion in 1984, and $0.3 billion in 1985. EFFECT ON RECEIPTS OF THE ECONOMIC RECOVERY TAX ACT OF 1981 ] (In billions of dollars) Calendar year liabilities 1981 1982 1983 Fiscal year receipts 1984 1985 1981 1984 1982 1983 -26.0 -69.8 -104.2 -127.1 1985 Individual income tax provisions -3.7 -40.9 -82.3 -110.6 -137.6 Capital cost recovery provisions-. Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes -0.9 -4.5 -2.4 -9.5 -3.9 -18.1 -5.3 -25.2 -7.4 -37.2 -0.2 * -1.6 -8.9 -3.0 -13.6 -4.4 -21.4 6.0 -31.0 -5.4 11.8 -22.0 -30.5 -44.6 -0.2 -10.5 16.5 25.8 -37.1 0.4 -0.1 0.5 * -1.3 0.5 0.2 -1.9 0.4 0.3 -2.0 0.5 0.4 -2.4 -0.2 * -0.9 0.5 0.1 -1.6 0.5 0.2 -1.9 0.5 0.3 -2.2 i -0.5 -0.8 -1.2 -1.2 -1.5 -1.2 -1.1 -1.2 -1.4 a -0.2 0.4 -0.5 -0.5 -0.1 -0.3 -0.5 -0.5 -0.8 -4.6 -2.0 -5.6 -0.2 -2.1 -3.7 -3.5 -2.3 -3.6 -4.6 -6.2 -0.2 -2.3 -3.6 -4.6 1.3 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.1 1.0 0.1 * * 0.6 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.9 0.1 1.0 0.1 1.4 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 * 0.6 0.9 l.Oj 1.1 0.5 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.7 -1.9 -2.2 -2.4 Subtotal, capital cost recovery provisions Windfall profit tax and other energy provisions: Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Excise taxes Subtotal, windfall profit tax and other energy provisions Corporation income tax rate reductions Saving incentive provisions * Estate and gift tax provisions Tax straddles: Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Subtotal, tax straddles Corporation estimated tax payments Other: Individual income taxes -0.2 -1.6 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1 -0.1 ID EFFECT ON RECEIPTS OF THE ECONOMIC RECOVERY TAX ACT OF 1981*—Continued I—* (In billions of dollars) O Calendar year liabilities 1981 Corporation income taxes . Social insurance taxes and contributions Excise -0.5 1982 -0.8 05 1983 Fiscal year receipts 1984 -1.0 0.5 0.7 1985 1981 1983 1982 -1.8 06 0.8 -2.8 06 -2.6 -4.3 -0.1 1984 1985 -0.9 05 -1.4 06 -2.2 06 0.4 0.7 0.3 1.2 -1.9 -2.3 -3.8 -0.9 04 Subtotal, other -0.7 -1.8 -1.9 Total -8.9 -57.7 -115.0 -151.1 -199.2 0.2 -38.3 -91.6 139.0 -176.7 -4.0 -4.8 44.4 -10.3 0.5 -1.3 -2.3 -91.6 -19.2 0.5 -1.2 -3.6 -118.7 -27.1 0.6 -1.2 -4.6 -151.2 -40.1 0.6 -2.4 -6.2 -0.2 * -28.2 -9.3 0.4 -0.9 -113.1 -21.6 0.6 -1.2 0.2 -75.4 -13.1 0.5 -1.2 -2.3 3.6 -137.6 33.1 0.6 -1.9 -4.6 57.7 -115.0 -115.1 -199.2 0.2 -38.3 -91.6 -139.0 -176.7 ADDENDUM Effect on receipts by source: Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions Excise taxes Estate and gift taxes Total -0.1 -8.9 *1 $ 5 0 million or less. These estimates are based on the direct effect only of legislative changes at a given level of economic activity. Induced effects are taken into account for forecasting incomes, however, and in this way affect the receipts estimates by major source and in total. so 2 I I BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-11 RECEIPTS PROPOSALS Tax revisions.—The administration is proposing a variety of tax changes designed to eliminate abuses and remove obsolete incentives. These changes, which are described briefly below, are estimated to increase receipts by $7.2 billion in 1983, and $13.5 billion in 1984 and 1985. • Completed contract method of accounting.—Current regulations allow contractors to defer tax on income from long-term contracts until the year that the contract is completed. This completed contract method of tax accounting permits full deferral of tax even when income is received by the contractor throughout the term of the contract and certain costs are deducted when they are incurred. The administration proposes to disallow the use of the completed contract method of tax accounting effective January 1, 1983. Taxpayers will be required to use either the percentage of completion method or the progress payment method of accounting for long-term contracts. The percentage of completion method permits current deductions for allowable costs but requires that income be reported according to the percentage of the contract completed in the tax year. The progress payment method defers the deduction of costs until payment is received. • Business energy tax credits.—Under current law, businesses are allowed investment tax credits for energy saving equipment and structures, in addition to the regular investment tax credit. Some energy tax credits expire at the end of 1982, but others extend through 1985 and beyond. Current law also provides an excise tax exemption, or an equivalent tax credit, for gasohol. With decontrol of oil and natural gas prices, businesses no longer need additional investment incentives for energy conservation and the development of alternative energy sources. Such subsidies interfere with business decisions by preempting free market resource allocations. Effective January 1, 1983, the administration proposes to repeal all business energy tax subsidies and to repeal special provisions allowing States and localities to issue tax-exempt industrial development bonds to finance certain energy property. • Tax-exempt revenue bonds for private activities.—Current law permits States and localities to issue tax-exempt revenue bonds for industrial development, housing, and other specific purposes. The volume of tax-exempt revenue bonds issued for use by private business has grown rapidly over the past few years, raising the cost of financing traditional public projects such as schools and roads. In addition, tax-exempt financing, combined with the Accelerated Cost Recovery System and the investment tax credit, can result in unintended tax shelter 4-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 benefits. The administration proposes that assets financed with tax-exempt revenue bonds issued after 1982 must be depreciated using the straight-line method over an extended recovery period. Tax-exempt revenue bond financing will be limited to bonds that are publicly approved by local governments and that, after 1985, receive a financial contribution, commitment, or obligation from the local government. Small issue industrial development bonds will not be allowed for large businesses. • Modified coinsurance.—Under current tax accounting rules, insurance companies are permitted to enter into modified coinsurance arrangements that result in a reduction in their tax liability. Such arrangements serve no purpose other than tax avoidance, since little, if any, insurance risk is actually transferred between companies. Use of modified coinsurance enables life insurance companies to convert taxable investment income, which is subject to tax at a 46% rate, into underwriting income, which is subject to tax at a maximum rate of 23%. For many life insurance companies, the underwriting income generated under modified coinsurance is not subject to tax. The administration proposes to eliminate the unintended tax benefits resulting from the use of modified coinsurance. In addition, the tax treatment of other forms of coinsurance will be changed to prevent insurance companies from obtaining similar benefits through other provisions of the law. • Construction period interest and taxes.—Individual taxpayers must amortize interest and taxes incurred during the construction of commercial buildings over 10 years. The amortization period for rental housing is 8 years, but is scheduled to become 10 years by 1984. Corporations are allowed an immediate write-off of these costs. The substantial acceleration of cost recovery provided by the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 makes it unnecessary to grant corporations an immediate deduction for a portion of construction costs. The administration proposes that construction period interest and taxes incurred by corporations to develop nonresidential real property after December 31, 1982 be amortized over 10 years. • Corporate minimum tax.—Corporations currently must pay a minimum tax, in addition to regular income tax, equal to 15% of certain tax preferences. This "add-on" minimum tax may apply to any corporation that has reduced its tax liability through the use of designated tax preferences. The administration proposes to repeal the add-on minimum tax effective January 1, 1983, and to replace it with an alternative minimum tax that would apply only to those corporations that pay BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-13 very low regular rates of tax. Corporations will be required to pay the greater of their regular income tax or an alternative tax equal to 15% of their alternative tax base in excess of $50,000. This alternative tax base consists of regular taxable income plus certain tax preferences. The investment tax credit will not be allowed against the alternative tax. • Other tax code changes.—Technical changes will be proposed to close other tax loopholes. Improved Tax Collection and Enforcement—Several improvements in tax collection and enforcement are proposed. These initiatives, which will ensure that the taxes due the Government are paid and that they are collected on a more timely basis, are estimated to increase receipts by $0.2 billion in 1982, $5.5 billion in 1983, $5.5 billion in 1984 and $4.7 billion in 1985. • Withholding on interest and dividends.—Currently no tax is withheld on interest and dividends paid to domestic taxpayers, although taxes are withheld from wages. About 9% to 16% of taxable interest and dividends currently is not reported; the comparable figure for wages and salaries is 2% to 3%. The administration proposes withholding on interest and dividend payments at the rate of 5% effective January 1, 1983. Where feasible, withholding would be extended to U.S. Government securities. Corporations and nontaxable individuals filing exemption certificates would be exempt from withholding. Taxpayers aged 65 or older with a tax liability of $500 ($1,000 on a joint return) or less would also be exempt. • Acceleration of corporate income tax payments.—Corporations generally are required to pay at least 80% of their current year's tax liability in estimated payments. The remaining liability is payable in two equal installments due on the 15th day of the 3rd and 6th months following the close of their taxable year. An exception to these rules permits corporations to base their estimated tax payments on the full amount of their prior year's tax liability. For large corporations, the estimated payments must be at least 65% of their current year's liability (75% in 1983 and 80% thereafter). In order to collect corporate taxes on a more current basis, the administration proposes, for tax years beginning after 1982, to increase the required estimated tax payment from 80% to 90% of the current year's liability and to require that all remaining liability be paid in one payment on the 15th day of the 3rd month following the close of the tax year. In addition, large corporations making estimated tax payments based on their prior year's liability will be required to pay at least 85% of their current year's liability in 1985 and 90% thereafter. 4-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 • Internal Revenue Service staff increases.—In order to improve the efficiency of enforcement and collection activities, the administration proposes to increase the IRS enforcement staff by more than 5,000 persons. • Other provisions.—Additional measures will be proposed to facilitate IRS collection and enforcement efforts. Enterprise zone tax incentives.—Under current law, no special tax incentives are provided for the redevelopment of depressed areas. The administration therefore proposes that beginning January 1, 1984, up to 25 small urban areas per year (not to exceed 75 in total) may be designated as "enterprise zones." Special tax incentives and relief from regulation, designed to increase investment and employment, will be provided businesses and individuals locating in these areas. These incentives, which will be applicable for 20 years, are estimated to reduce receipts in 1984 and 1985 by $0.1 billion and $0.5 billion, respectively. Airport and airway trust fund taxes.—Statutory authority for the airport and airway trust fund expired on September 30, 1980. Since then, revenue from a 5% passenger ticket tax has been deposited in the general fund. The only other aviation taxes currently being levied—a 4 cents per gallon tax on general aviation gasoline and a tire and tube tax—are deposited in the highway trust fund. The administration proposes to reinstate statutory authority for the airport and airway trust fund effective July 1, 1982. The general aviation gasoline tax is proposed to be increased to 12 cents per gallon on July 1, 1982, to 14 cents per gallon on October 1, 1983, and annually thereafter to 20 cents per gallon on October 1, 1986. The administration also proposes to increase the passenger ticket tax to 8% effective July 1, 1982, and to levy a general aviation jet fuel tax that rises annually from 14 cents per gallon on July 1, 1982 to 22 cents per gallon on October 1, 1986. A 5% freight waybill tax and a $3.00 international departure tax also are being proposed. These taxes are estimated to increase receipts by $0.1 billion in 1982, $1.2 billion in 1983, $1.4 billion in 1984, and $1.5 billion in 1985. Increases in passport and visa fees.—The administration has proposed an increase in passport fees from $15 to $30 effective April 1, 1982. An increase in immigrant visa fees from $25 to $100, effective March 1, 1982, is also proposed. While the increase in passport fees requires the passage of legislation currently pending before the Congress, the change in visa fees can be accomplished by administrative action. Together, these proposals are estimated to increase receipts by $41 million in 1982 and by $0.1 billion in each year, 1983-1985. BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-15 Change in railroad retirement system.—The railroad retirement system, which is currently administered by the Federal Railroad Retirement Board and embedded in Federal statute, provides coverage generally equivalent to a combination of social security and a multi-employer industry pension plan. Railroad employees and employers make contributions to railroad retirement that are generally equivalent to social security payroll taxes. These contributions are subsequently transferred to the social security trust funds. Rail industry employers also contribute 11.75% of monthly taxable compensation ($2,025 in 1982) to the industry plan; the employee contribution is 2%. Beginning October 1, 1982, the administration proposes to extend full social security coverage to railroad workers; payroll taxes would be deposited directly in the social security trust funds. The administration also proposes to return the rail industry's plan to the private sector. This proposal is estimated to reduce receipts by $1.7 billion in 1983, $1.8 billion in 1984, and $1.9 billion in 1985. Extension of highway trust fund taxes.—Under current law, the 4 cents per gallon tax on gasoline and diesels fuels will decline to 1.5 cents per gallon on October 1, 1984. Several other taxes that are deposited in the highway trust fund will be reduced or expire at the same time. The administration proposes to extend these taxes at their present rates, which is estimated to increase 1985 receipts by $4.2 billion. Extension of social security hospital insurance taxes to Federal employees.—Most Federal civilian employees currently are exempt from social security taxes. Under this proposal, Federal employees would be required to pay the employee portion of the social security hospital insurance tax (1.3% in 1983 and 1984, and 1.35% in 1985). This change, proposed to become effective January 1, 1983, is estimated to increase budget receipts by $0.6 billion in 1983, $0.8 billion in 1984, and $0.9 billion in 1985. Federalism initiative.—The administration's federalism initiative provides for the eventual transfer of revenue sources to States and localities as they assume responsibility for programs that are now administered and funded by the Federal Government. During the first phase of this initiative (1984-1987), some existing excise taxes will be dedicated to a special fund. This fund will be used to continue interim financing of the programs selected to be returned to the States and localities, or will provide payments to the States equal to the cost of these programs. The choice will be made by the States. The establishment of this fund will have no effect on receipts. For a more detailed discussion of this initiative, see Part 3 of this budget. 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 7 4-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 EFFECT OF ADMINISTRATIVE ACTION AND PROPOSED LEGISLATION1 (In billions of dollars) 1982 Tax revisions: Completed contract accounting Business energy tax credits Tax-exempt revenue bonds Modified coinsurance Construction period interest and taxes Corporate minimum tax Subtotal, improved tax collection and enforcement Enterprise zones Airport and Airway Trust Fund Highway Trust Fund Railroad retirement Federal employee hospital insurance taxes Other Total ADDENDUM Effect of proposals on receipts by source: Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions Excise taxes Other Total ... . 1985 3.3 0.1 -0.2 1.1 0.5 2.3 5.0 0.4 0.3 2.2 1.1 4.6 3.2 0.6 1.1 2.5 1.0 5.1 7.2 13.5 13.5 0.2 2.0 1.4 2.1 1.3 1.7 2.4 1.4 0.9 2.4 0.2 5.5 5.5 4.7 0.1 1.2 -0.1 1.4 * -1.7 0.6 0.1 -1.8 0.8 0.1 -0.5 1.5 4.2 -1.9 0.9 0.1 0.3 12.8 19.3 22.5 0.1 0.1 3.5 9.1 -1.1 12 2.6 16.1 -1.0 14 2.7 14.9 -1.0 5.8 Subtotal tax revisions Improved tax collection and enforcement: Withholding on interest and dividends Acceleration of corporate tax payments Internal Revenue Service staff increases 1984 1983 0.1 * 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 12.8 19.3 22.5 *1 $ 5 0 million or less. These estimates are based on the direct effect only of legislative changes at a given level of economic activity. Induced effects are taken into account for forecasting incomes, however, and in this way affect the receipts estimates by major source and in total. EFFECT OF ENACTED AND PROPOSED CHANGES ON RECEIPTS The actual change in receipts that will result from an enacted or proposed tax revision will depend on both the direct effect of the tax change and the indirect or "feedback" effect. The direct effect is the increase or decrease in receipts due only to the tax change. The indirect or feedback effect is the increase or decrease in receipts due to the effect of the tax change on income levels. The estimates of the effect of enacted and proposed tax changes shown in this budget represent the direct effect of these changes on receipts, based on levels of corporate and individual income that reflect enactment of the tax change. The estimated indirect or feedback effect on receipts due to the tax-induced change in in- 4-17 BUDGET RECEIPTS comes is not included in these estimates because it is already included in gross receipts. For example, the estimates of the effect of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 shown in this budget represent only the direct effect of the changes provided in the Act. The increased receipts resulting from the tax-induced increase in incomes are included in gross receipts. The estimates of the direct effect of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 on receipts therefore overstate the net loss to the Treasury of the income tax reductions and other tax changes provided in the Act. The estimates in this budget of the effect of the administration's proposals on receipts also represent the direct effect of these changes. The indirect effect of these proposals, which is small, is included in gross receipts. CHANGES IN BUDGET RECEIPTS Budget receipts are estimated to rise by $27.5 billion in 1982 and $39.4 billion in 1983. The year-to-year changes can be divided between changes due to growth in the tax base and changes due to revisions in the tax structure. Under the tax rates and structure in effect on January 1, 1980, receipts would have risen by $56.5 billion in 1982 and $75.1 billion in 1983. Thus, the combined effect of administrative actions and enacted and proposed tax law changes, which is shown in the accompanying table, reduces the growth in receipts by $29.0 billion in 1982 and $35.7 billion in 1983. The corresponding decrease for 1984 and 1985 is $33.5 billion and $18.1 billion, respectively. 1982 Growth in receipts (in billions of dollars): Under existing law and administrative actions and proposed legislation Under tax rates and structure in effect Jan. 1, 1980 Difference 27.5 56.5 29.0 1983 39.4 75.1 35.7 1984 56.9 90.4 33.5 1985 73.6 91.7 18.1 4-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 CHANGES IN BUDGET RECEIPTS (In billions of dollars) Receipts under tax rates and structure in effect January 1, 1980 » Administrative actions: Acceleration of State and local deposits of social security taxes effective July 1,1980 Acceleration of employer deposits of withheld income and FICA taxes effective January 1, 1981... Other Enacted legislative changes: Crude Oil Windfall Profit Tax Act of 1980 Omnibus Reconciliation Act of 1980 Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act of 1980 Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 Social security taxable earnings base increases: 2 4 $25,900 to $29,700 effective Jan. 1,1981 $29,700 to $32,400 effective Jan. 1, 1982 $32,400 to $35,100 effective Jan. 1,1983 . $35,100 to $38,100 effective Jan. 1, 1984 $38,100 to $40,500 effective Jan. 1,1985 Social security tax rate increases-. 4 12.26% to 13.3% effective Jan. 1,1981 13.3% to 13.4% effective Jan. 1,1982 13.4% to 14.1% effective Jan. 1, 1985 Other Total, receipts under existing legislation Proposed changes: Tax revisions Improved tax collection and enforcement Enterprise zones Airport and Airway Trust Fund Highway Trust Fund Federal employee hospital insurance taxes Railroad retirement Other Total, receipts under existing and proposed legislation 3 1984 1983 1982 1981 1985 572.3 628.8 703.9 794.2 885.9 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 -0.2 2.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 -2.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 14.4 2.7 10.9 1.5 10.0 3.6 11.7 6.0 11.0 8.9 0.1 -0.2 0.3 -38.3 0.3 -91.6 0.4 -139.0 0.4 176.7 1.5 4.8 1.0 6.0 3.2 1.1 6.9 3.8 3.2 1.1 8.2 4.6 3.8 3.4 0.9 9.3 14.5 1.0 15.9 1.5 17.1 1.6 -L5 -1.3 1.3 -1.7 18.7 1.7 9.0 -6.4 599.3 626.4 653.3 703.8 774.1 0.2 7.2 5.5 0.1 1.2 13.5 5.5 -0.1 1.4 * 0.6 -1.7 0.1 0.8 -1.8 0.1 13.5 4.7 -0.5 1.5 4.2 0.9 -1.9 0.1 626.8 666.1 723.0 796.6 599.3 *$50 million or less. 1 These figures assume a social security taxable earnings base of $25,900. 2 If the taxable earnings base were not changed to reflect increased earnings, the effective social security tax rate on earnings would fall. The amounts included in legislative changes that can be attributed to keeping taxes and average earnings in the same relationship that existed in 19803 are: $1.0 billion in 1981, $4.3 billion in 1982, $8.4 billion in 1983, $13.3 billion in 1984, and $19.2 billion in 1985. These estimates include both the direct and indirect effects of administrative action and legislative changes. 4 Technical note: When the tax rate and the taxable earnings base increase at the same time, dividing up the total effect on receipts is arbitrary to some small extent because of an interaction effect. The increase in receipts due to this interaction effect is attributed to the rate and base changes in proportion to the increases in receipts that would occur if the rate and base were each changed separately. BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-19 RECEIPTS BY SOURCE Individual income taxes.—Individual income tax receipts are estimated at $298.6 billion in 1982 and $304.5 billion in 1983. These estimates reflect the individual income tax reductions provided in the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, which reduce individual income tax receipts in 1982 and 1983 by $28.2 billion and $75.4 billion, respectively. The proposed tax revisions and improvements in tax collection and enforcement increase individual income taxes by an estimated $0.1 billion in 1982 and $3.5 billion in 1983. Individual income taxes in 1984 and 1985 are projected at $322.9 billion and $362.0 billion, respectively. The individual income tax reductions provided in the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 reduce individual income tax receipts by $113.1 billion in 1984 and $137.6 billion in 1985. The tax revisions and other proposed changes offset these reductions in 1984 and 1985 by an estimated $2.6 billion and $2.7 billion, respectively. Corporation income taxes.—Corporation income tax receipts are estimated at $46.8 billion in 1982 and $65.3 billion in 1983. These estimates reflect the Accelerated Cost Recovery System and other provisions of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, which are estimated to reduce corporation income tax receipts in 1982 and 1983 by $9.3 billion and $13.1 billion, respectively. The proposed tax revisions and improvements in tax collection and enforcement add $0.1 billion to receipts in 1982 and $9.1 billion in 1983. Corporation income tax receipts in 1984 and 1985 are estimated at $83.7 billion and $88.2 billion, respectively. These estimates reflect reductions of $21.6 billion in 1984 and $33.1 billion in 1985 due to enactment of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981. The proposed tax revisions and other proposed changes are estimated to increase corporation income tax receipts in 1984 and 1985 by $16.1 billion and $14.9 billion, respectively. Social insurance taxes and contributions.—This category includes social security and railroad retirement taxes, unemployment insurance taxes and deposits, and other retirement contributions. Supplemental medical insurance premiums (SMI) and voluntary hospital insurance premiums, previously included in this category, have been reclassified as proprietary receipts. Receipts from this source are expected to be $206.5 billion in 1982 and $222.5 billion in 1983. These estimates reflect the administration's proposal to convert the rail industry's multi-employer pension from a public to a private system, and a proposal requiring Federal employees to pay the employee portion of the social security hospital insurance tax. The recent increase in the combined employer-employee social security tax rate from 13.3% to 13.4% on 4-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 January 1, 1982, and annual increases in the social security taxable earnings base from $29,700 in 1981 to $32,400 in 1982 and to $35,100 in 1983, also are reflected in these estimates. The estimates for 1984 and 1985 are $242.5 billion and $273.1 billion, respectively. These estimates reflect an increase in the combined employer-employee social security tax rate from 13.4% to 14.1% on January 1, 1985 and annual increases in the taxable earnings base to $40,500 in 1985. Excise taxes.—Excise taxes are levied on a variety of products, services, and activities. Receipts from these taxes are estimated at $43.0 billion in 1982 and $41.7 billion in 1983. These estimates include the windfall profit tax, which is estimated at $24.1 billion in 1982 and $21.2 billion in 1983. The estimates also reflect enactment of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, which reduces excise taxes by $0.9 billion in 1982 and $1.2 billion in 1983. The Black Lung Benefits Revenue Act of 1981, which doubled the taxes that finance the black lung disability trust fund effective January 1, 1982, increases excise tax receipts by $0.2 billion in 1982 and $0.3 billion in 1983. The proposed increases in airport and airway user taxes are estimated to add an additional $0.1 billion to excise taxes in 1982 and $1.2 billion in 1983. The estimates for 1984 and 1985 are $41.5 billion and $40.8 billion, respectively. These estimates include $20.0 billion from the windfall profit tax in 1984 and $19.0 billion in 1985. The provisions of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 result in a net decrease in excise taxes of $1.2 billion in 1984 and $1.9 billion in 1985. The proposed increases in airport and airway user taxes and the extension of highway trust fund taxes at their current rates increase excise taxes by $1.4 billion in 1984 and $5.7 billion in 1985. Estate and gift faxes.—Estate and gift taxes are estimated at $7.2 billion in 1982, $5.9 billion in 1983, $5.4 billion in 1984 and $5.1 billion in 1985. These estimates reflect reductions due to enactment of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 that start at $0.2 billion in 1982 and increase annually to $4.6 billion in 1985. Other receipts.—Customs duties and miscellaneous receipts (the largest of which are deposits of earnings by the Federal Reserve System) are estimated to total $24.8 billion in 1982, $26.2 billion in 1983, $27.0 billion in 1984, and $27.5 billion in 1985. Proprietary receipts.—In addition to budget receipts, the Government receives significant proprietary income from the public. This income is derived from various market-oriented activities and takes the form of interest, rents, royalties, and the sale of Government property, products, and services. Because this income arises from business-type transactions rather than from taxation, it is treated BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-21 Excise and Other Social Insurance Taxes and Contributions Corporation Income Taxes Individual Income Taxes :r> >,m>.* ^i*HsaiafiwfiKi;^^;ss^ as an offset to related outlays and budget authority rather than as budget receipts. Proprietary receipts from the public are explained further in Part 7 and are shown in table 11 of Part 9. PART 5 MEETING NATIONAL NEEDS: THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY FUNCTION 5-1 INTRODUCTION National needs and the functional classification.—This section of the budget discusses budget authority, outlays, and related measures of Federal spending, focusing on the end purposes served by the spending. The presentation is in terms of two closely related analytical structures: the national needs structure and the functional structure.1 The functional structure is divided into 17 broad areas (functions) that provide a coherent and comprehensive basis for analyzing the budget. It has two additional categories—allowances and undistributed offsetting receipts—that are not functions but are required in order to cover the entire budget. In the functional structure, budget authority and outlays are classified according to the primary purpose of the activity; to the extent feasible this classification is made without regard to agency or organizational distinctions. The process of classifying each activity in the function that defines its most important purpose—even though many activities serve more than one purpose—permits adding the budget authority and outlays of each function to obtain the budget totals. The national needs structure uses the same broad categories as the functional structure except that there are no national needs categories for interest, allowances, and undistributed offsetting receipts. In the national needs presentation, programs or activities are counted more than once in those cases where the activities make a significant contribution to more than one national need. For example, budget outlays for medical care for military personnel and dependents are primarily designed to strengthen our nation's defense capability. Hence, they are counted in the national defense function and are not counted in the health function. However, this spending does have a major impact on our Nation's health care for a significant part of the population, so the spending is included in the national needs presentation for health as well as in that for national defense. The Federalism Initiative.—The President's federalism proposal is central to his efforts to streamline the Federal Government, restore its appropriate role within our overall system of government, and reduce its intrusion into the economy and into the lives 1 See the sections entitled "Functional classification" and "National needs presentation" in Part 7 of this volume for additional background information. 5-2 INTRODUCTION 5-3 of the American people. It involves a realignment of the relative roles of the Federal Government and of the State and local governments. The initiative calls for the establishment of clear understandings of what levels of government are responsible for various governmental functions. Under the administration's proposal the Federal Government would accept full responsibility for medicaid, which is now a shared responsibility. In exchange, the States and localities would take full responsibility for aid to families with dependent children and food stamps, now also a shared responsibility. In addition, the States and localities would be given a wide responsibility for a range of programs currently financed by Federal grants-in-aid, and the sources of income to finance them. They would have the choice of maintaining these programs, or discontinuing them. The initiative is planned to phase in over a 4-year period beginning in 1984. This will provide adequate time for Federal and local levels of government to plan, consult, and take legislative action. While the broad outline of the program has been specified by the President, there is ample room for negotiation on many specifics. Hence, this budget discusses the broad rationale underlying the initiative and the most likely major programs to be included in it. As a result: —the data shown in Part 5 and other sections of the budget for 1984 and subsequent years reflect current law and Presidential policy prior to implementation of the Federalism initiative; and —major programs which have been identified as likely to be included in the federalism initiative are identified in Part 5. A more detailed explanation of this initiative can be found in Part 3 of this Budget. Structure of the Part 5 sections.—For each major function (except the interest function), there is a common structure to the presentation. Each section starts with a statement of national needs and the Federal role in meeting these needs. Each section has a table that shows budget authority and another that shows outlays for that function for 5 years (1981 through 1985). These tables display each subfunction and provide programmatic detail below the subfunction level. In many cases, additional tables are presented showing related programs in other functions that support these national needs. Off-budget authority and outlays for each function are shown as addendum entries. Credit budget—Federal credit activity may take the form of direct loans or loan guarantees, and both direct loans and loan guarantees may be issued by either on-budget agencies or offbudget entities. Hence, in order to have a comprehensive system it 5-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 is necessary to include all of these transactions in a single credit budget. There is a fundamental difference in budget accounting between direct loans and loan guarantees. Direct loans are loans made by the Federal Government to borrowers. As such, they are Federal outlays that must be financed by Federal taxes or borrowing. Loan guarantees are Federal guarantees of lending and as such do not directly result in Federal outlays. In recent years most Federal direct loans have been made by or sold to the Federal Financing Bank (FFB), an off-budget Federal entity described in greater detail in Part 6 of this document. The tables in Part 5 display the program activity of the credit budget by function; the sum of these tables adds up to the credit budget totals presented in Part 3 of this document. There are three major changes in the credit budget presentation in Part 5 from that reflected in prior budgets: —In prior budgets the loan guarantee totals were the totals of the Federal contingent liabilities. For example, if the Federal guarantee was for 90% of the total loan, the amount shown in the credit budget was 90% of the loan rather than the total value of the loan that had a guarantee attached. However, the true economic impact of the loan is the full loan—not just the contingent liability. Therefore, the present tables reflect the full value of any loan guaranteed by the Government. —In prior budgets the focus of the credit budget presentation was on the net credit activity (loans less repayments and changes in guaranteed loans outstanding). However, the credit budget tables now focus on new activity—new direct loan obligations and new guaranteed loan commitments—since it is only at that point that the level of new extensions of Federal credit can be controlled. —The tables have been redesigned in order to show both the gross and net obligations and commitments (i.e., after removing double-counting). In last year's budget the tables did not deduct the double-counting. The reasons for this double-counting and the deductions to eliminate it are explained below. Double counting in the credit budget.—There are three types of double-counting of credit activities. Each of these are adjusted for in the Part 5 tables to arrive at net totals. —Loan asset sales and repurchases.—It is commonplace for loans to be made by one agency and then sold to another agency (or another account within the originating agency). This most commonly occurs in the form of loan sales to the FFB and the repurchase of loans from the FFB. Whenever these internal loan sales occur, the purchase of the loan by the acquiring account constitutes a new loan by that account even though it is not a new loan by the Government. Therefore, each time INTRODUCTION 5-5 such internal loan sales occur, new loan activity is recorded that does not constitute new loans to the public. —Guaranteed loans held as direct loans.—In addition to doublecounting of new loan activity, there is also double counting of loan guarantees relative to direct loans. Normally, loan guarantees are alternatives to direct Federal loans. Borrowers may obtain a private housing loan, for example, with Federal housing loan insurance that reduces the risk to the lenders and thus facilitates the private loans. However, when the FFB makes a loan (either a direct loan or a loan purchased from another agency) it requires that some other agency guarantee that the loan will be repaid to the FFB. Hence, all FFB loans are included in the direct loan totals and the same transactions are included in the loan guarantee totals of the guaranteeing agencies. —Secondary guarantees.—On occasion more than one guarantee will be attached to a single loan. This double-guarantee of a loan is called a secondary guarantee and it is deducted from the guaranteed loan totals. Allowances.—The allowances reflected in the current budget fall into three categories—allowances for pay raises, for contingencies, and for greater economies and efficiencies. The transactions in these categories are discussed in greater detail in the allowances section of Part 5. Budget authority and outlays for allowances are always recorded differently in the estimate years than in the past years. For the estimate years allowances are generally undistributed by agency, function, and account; they constitute an adjustment entry to move the budget closer to realistic totals, but the actual distribution of the transactions by account is unidentified. When the transactions actually take place they are recorded in the appropriate agencies, functions, and accounts, so that the budget never records allowances for past periods. Changes in the functional structure.—Only one significant change has been made in the functional classification for the 1983 budget. This change was to rename the subfunction formerly entitled "military assistance" to "international security assistance" and to shift two accounts from the foreign economic and financial assistance subfunction into the international security assistance subfunction. In addition, the title of the subfunction "other advancement and regulation of commerce" no longer includes the words "and regulation" but this had no affect on the coverage of the subfunction. Agency reorganizations connected with the proposed elimination of the Departments of Education and Energy had only minimal affect on the functional classification of programs or accounts. A 5-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 major reclassification has affected one functional total significantly, however. In previous budgets, voluntary social insurance premiums collected by the hospital and supplementary medical insurance trust funds were classified as budget receipts. Because these are not compulsory payments to the Government and are in the nature of medical insurance premiums, they have been reclassified to be offsetting collections. This change reduces recorded budget receipts and outlays by equal amounts ($3.3 billion in 1981). The collections are now classified as offsets to the health care services subfunction of the health function. This change was made retroactively to 1967, the first year of such collections. Relationship to other budget tables.—The budget includes a number of tables that supplement the tables shown in Part 5, including (1) outlays over a longer period of past years; (2) estimates and projections further into the future; (3) budget authority and outlays by agency; and (4) more detailed data than those reflected in the Part 5 tables. • Budget outlays by function and subfunction for the years 1973 through 1983 are shown in table 19 in Part 9 of this document. (Earlier data can be obtained upon request from the Office of Management and Budget.) • Estimates and projections of budget authority and outlays by agency, major function, and major program for the years 1983 to 1987 are published in Part 3 of this document. • Summary budget authority and outlay data by agency for the years 1981 to 1983 are contained in table 3 in Part 9. Detailed data are published in Part 8 (The Federal Program by Agency and Account). • Part 8 contains a detailed set of budget authority and outlay figures for all budget and off-budget transactions. Each item in that listing has a 3-digit code indicating the function and subfunction in which it is classified. The Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act—Section 4(a) of the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978 provides that the President's budget shall incorporate the programs and policies that the President deems necessary to achieve the goals specified in the Act. These goals are discussed in the President's Economic Report. Programs and policies to help achieve these goals, as well as a broad range of other goals mentioned in the Act, are discussed throughout this section. As demonstrated by the national needs sections following, the goals listed in the Act were among those weighed in the process of developing the President's budget recommendations. INTRODUCTION 5-7 Tax expenditures.—Tax expenditures are features of the individual and corporation income tax laws that provide special benefits or incentives in comparison with what would be permitted under the general provisions of the Internal Revenue Code. They arise from special exclusions, exemptions, or deductions from gross income, or from special credits, preferential tax rates, or deferrals of tax liability. Tax expenditures can be viewed as alternatives to other means by which the Federal Government can carry out policy objectives, such as direct outlays, loan guarantees, regulations, and other tax law provisions. Tax expenditures are discussed in the following sections on the Federal program by function, so that they may be compared with the outlays and loan guarantees that serve similar purposes. The method used to measure tax expenditures has been significantly revised in this budget. In previous years tax expenditures were measured as the decrease in tax receipts caused by a tax expenditure provision. This year the concept of tax expenditures has been, changed in order to show the amount of spending that would be required to provide an equal after-tax benefit to the taxpayer. This is designed to make the tax expenditure data more comparable with direct budget outlays. In most cases it would take greater budget outlays to achieve a given level of after-tax benefits than would be required by special tax reductions, because taxpayers would have to pay taxes on the higher income derived from budget outlays. For example, one tax expenditure provision is the exclusion from taxable income of the value of housing and meals provided military personnel. If the Government were to repeal this tax exclusion but instead pay higher salaries, the increase in salaries would be taxed. Therefore, if the Government were to use direct expenditures rather than tax expenditures and were to provide the same total after-tax compensation, the increase in direct outlays for higher salaries would have to be greater than the revenue loss under the special tax provision. The Federal deficit would be the same in either case, however, because the higher outlays would be required only to the extent that tax receipts were higher. Another tax expenditure provision is the exclusion of social security payments from taxable income. If the Government were to repeal this.exclusion while maintaining the value of the program, the increase in direct outlays for benefit payments would similarly have to be greater than the present revenue loss under the special tax provision. For some tax expenditure provisions the revenue loss is equivalent to the direct outlay without any adjustment. This is the case for itemized deductions, such as the deduction for medical expenses. Under present law a patient can pay his medical expenses, 5-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 deduct the amount (if eligible), and obtain a decrease in his tax. Alternatively, the Government could directly pay the portion of medical expenses equal to the revenue loss under the present law. In either case the patient would have the same net medical bill to pay, and the doctor a.nd other suppliers of medical service would have the same taxable income. The revenue loss is therefore itself equal to the equivalent outlay. Tax expenditure estimates cannot simply be added together to obtain totals for functional areas or a grand total. In many cases, simply adding tax expenditures together produces inaccurate totals because certain tax expenditures affect the value of other tax expenditures. These interaction effects are discussed in detail in Special Analysis G, "Tax Expenditures/' which is published separately from this document. In a departure from prior practice, Part 5 of this document and Special Analysis G provide total tax expenditures for each functional area after adjustment for interaction effects. For some functional areas there are no interaction effects; thus the total is simply the arithmetic sum of the individual tax expenditures. However, in many instances this is not the case, and the total for a functional area may be either greater or less than the arithmetic sum of the individual tax expenditures. Tax expenditures are discussed further in Part 6 of this document. In addition, Special Analysis G analyzes the concept and measurement of tax expenditures, explains each tax expenditure provision, and contains tables showing the data under both the old and the revised methods of measurement. Other Federal fiscal activities.—The Federal Government allocates resources by means other than those reflected in budget outlays, tax expenditures, and loan guarantees. Outlays of the offbudget Federal entities, which are federally owned and controlled but excluded from the budget under provisions of laws, are similar in nature to budget outlays. The regulation of economic activity also has a major impact on the economy in many sectors. Finally, provisions of the tax law affect the allocation of resources among private uses and the distribution of income among individuals in many important ways not covered by tax expenditures, which include only special provisions of income taxes. Federal taxes other than income taxes have economic effects, as do tax rates, personal exemptions, and other features of the income tax structure that are not treated as tax expenditures. The national needs sections that follow include information on off-budget Federal entities and discuss major issues regarding economic regulation. Off-budget Federal entities and privately owned, Government-sponsored enterprises are discussed in Part 6 of the Budget NATIONAL DEFENSE 5-9 NATIONAL DEFENSE National Needs Statement • Protect America's people, its institutions, and its lands from foreign aggression. The Federal Role in Meeting the Need: • Deter any attack upon, and prevent the coercion of, the United States, its allies, and friends. • Protect U.S. economic interests and U.S. citizens abroad. • Maintain access to critical resources. • Maintain, in conjunction with our allies, the military capabilities required to counter the expansion of Soviet military presence, particularly where such expansion threatens the interests of the United States. The basic national security objective of the United States defense program is to prevent war—particularly nuclear war. The purpose of United States national security programs is to deter other nations from threatening our vital interests as well as those of our allies and friends. This deterrence must be based on the maintenance of strategic nuclear capabilities, which make nuclear war with us an unacceptable option; maritime superiority; a strong force posture in NATO and Northeast Asia; and the ability to deploy and sustain our forces worldwide. The accompanying table shows budget authority and outlays by appropriation categories for the three major national defense components: military functions of the Department of Defense, atomic energy defense activities, and the defense-related activities of other agencies. The budget proposes $263.0 billion in budget authority for the national defense function in 1983. Outlays are estimated at $221.1 billion in 1983, increasing to $253.0 billion in 1984 and $292.1 billion in 1985. Department of Defense.—The $43.4 billion increase in budget authority for the Department of Defense in 1983 is the largest discretionary increase proposed in the budget. It demonstrates the administration's commitment to provide adequate military strength to maintain the Nation's security. U.S. defense policies ensure our preparedness to respond to and, if necessary, successfully fight either conventional or nuclear war. As the Soviet Union continues to improve its military capabilities, United States forces must be strengthened so that they are ready and able to meet the Soviet challenge and assure the protection of 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 8 5-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL DEFENSE (Functional code 050; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Department of Defense—Military: Military personnel Retired military personnel: Existing law Proposed legislation , Operation and maintenance Procurement Research, development, test and evaluation.... Military construction Family housing Revolving funds and other: Existing law Proposed legislation Allowance for civilian and military pay raises.. Other legislation Subtotal, Department of Defense—Military.. Atomic energy defense activities: Existing law Subtotal, atomic energy defense activities.... Defense-related activities: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, defense, related activitiesDeductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority OUTLAYS Department of Defense—Military: Military personnel Retired military personnel: Existing law Proposed legislation Operation and maintenance Procurement Research, development, test and evaluation.... Military construction Family housing Revolving funds and other: Existing law Proposed legislation Allowance for civilian and military pay raises.. Other legislation Subtotal, Department of Defense—Military.. Atomic energy defense activities: Existing law Subtotal, Atomic energy defense activities... Defense-related activities: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, defense related activities., Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays... 1981 actual 1982 estimate 36,930 38,489 44,896 13,840 15,036 55,548 48,025 16,609 3,398 2,004 62,271 65,701 20,058 5,026 2,239 16,600 17,922 19,113 -89 -190 -257 69,392 73,023 81,983 89,547 101,871 125,497 24,257 27,455 31,687 5,436 6,984 9,162 2,777 2,928 3,120 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 45,996 1985 estimate 47,710 2,031 -206 46 5,399 365 - 2 8 8 297 63 300 4,089 8,504 12,450 137 147 162 178,38,6 214,060 257,469 284,652 330,924 3,651 3,651 4,673 4,673 5,506 5,506 6,383 6,383 6,982 6,982 373 137 460 -402 438 -434 505 -401 373 -4 137 -4 58 104 182,405 218,865 263,033 291,039 338,011 36,409 38,284 44,534 45,820 47,522 13,729 15,000 51,920 35,191 15,278 2,463 1,721 60,585 41,325 18,299 2,744 2,138 16,560 -89 67,279 55,144 22,200 3,975 2,436 17,880 -190 71,890 70,022 25,608 4,817 2,783 19,068 -257 79,636 88,262 29,343 6,238 3,035 -537 107 -625 63 300 4,285 8,461 12,383 137 162 147 156,096 182,800 215,900 247,000 285,500 -614 -702 46 5,081 3,398 3,398 4,498 4,498 5,155 5,155 5,968 5,968 6,473 6,473 276 204 415 -402 436 -434 503 -401 276 -4 204 -4 13 159,765 187,497 102 221,068 252,969 292,075 5-11 NATIONAL DEFENSE our national interests. This requires that our current defense program support: • modernization of all components of U.S. strategic forces to ensure their ability to survive an attack and retaliate; • improvements in the Nation's ability to respond militarily to crises anywhere in the world; • maintaining the maritime superiority required for the deployment of U.S. forces to vital regions overseas, for the support of our allies, and for assuring continued access to vital resources; • revitalizing alliances and coalitions to support maritime superiority, protect U.S. interests worldwide, and achieve NATO objectives; and • improving the readiness and combat endurance of conventional forces, and modernizing these forces with new equipment. The administration has initiated defense programs to achieve these objectives and reverse the decline in our relative military strength. Substantial increases in defense resources will be required over a period of years. The distribution of budget authority for the Department of Defense by mission category is shown in the following table. MISSION CATEGORIES: DEFENSE, MILITARY (Functional code 051; in billions of dollars) t authority Major missions and programs Strategic forces 1 General purpose forces Intelligence and communications Airlift and sealift Guard and reserve Research and development2 Central supply and maintenance Training, medical, and other general personnel activities. Administration and associated activities Support of other nations Total, budget authority.. Prior-year funds and other financial adjustments... Total obligational authority 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 12.7 68.8 11.2 2.9 9.9 14.2 19.1 35.3 3.4 .9 16.2 88.2 14.0 4.0 11.6 16.9 18.9 39.7 3.6 1.0 23.1 106.2 18.0 4.4 14.3 20.1 22.0 44.2 4.3 .9 30.3 114.0 20.2 6.6 15.6 22.7 22.2 47.6 4.7 33.2 139.0 24.6 6.8 17.7 26.3 24.8 52.5 5.2 .9 178.4 214.1 257.5 284.7 330.9 176.1 214.2 258.0 285.5 331.7 -2.3 1 Excludes strategic systems development included in the research and development category. 2 Excludes research and development in other program areas on systems approved for production. Strategic forces.—The 1983 budget provides for continuing modernization of all strategic force elements, including the B-l bomber and a restructured MX missile program. The strategic modernization program consists of five mutually reinforcing elements: 5-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 • Improved communications and control systems better able to survive and fight a nuclear war should deterrence fail. • Modernization of our bomber forces with the production of the B-1B aircraft in the mid-1980's, and an advanced technology Stealth bomber in the 1990's. • Development and deployment of a new submarine-launched ballistic missile (Trident II) with improved range, accuracy, and payload. In addition, the sea-based strategic forces are being augmented in the near term by the deployment of sealaunched cruise missiles. • A step-by-step program to improve land-based ballistic missile accuracy, size, and survivability through the deployment of the MX missile in existing fixed silos and research on future more survivable basing alternatives. • Improvements to strategic defenses including modernization of bomber attack warning systems, acquisition of new F-15 air defense interceptor aircraft, and accelerated development of ballistic missile defense. General purpose forces.—The largest components of defense are conventional military forces, which deter or counter non-nuclear military aggression. General purpose forces must be able to respond to the most demanding of potential conflicts—a war between NATO and the Warsaw Pact—while retaining the flexibility to meet other threats to U.S. interests. The 1983 budget proposes budget authority of $106.2 billion for general purpose forces, a 20% increase over 1982. This provides for strengthening our forces—including rapid deployment forces—by increasing combat readiness and by fielding new and more capable equipment. The following active forces are supported: 16 Army divisions, 3 Marine divisions, 3 Marine air-wings, 26 wings of Air Force tactical aircraft, and 325 general purpose naval warships, including 13 aircraft carriers and 13 carrier air-wings. Army general purpose forces.-^Initiatives to modernize these forces and improve their combat readiness involve procurement of new equipment, including tanks, helicopters, and improved air defense systems. Emphasis is also placed on more realistic unit training, including increased participation of designated rapid deployment force units in servicewide exercises. Additional ammunition and other combat supplies will be acquired so that our forces can better sustain military operations. Continued modernization of equipment is crucial if the Army is to meet the new challenges of conventional warfare. The continued procurement of the M-l main battle tank and other modern fighting vehicles will greatly improve our armored combat capability. NATIONAL DEFENSE 5-13 Production of the Blackhawk helicopter will increase troop mobility, and procurement of the advanced attack helicopter (AAH) will enable our forces to engage heavily armored vehicles at longer ranges and in greater numbers than is possible with existing helicopters. Also included in the budget is the Patriot air defense system to provide more effective protection of vital targets, such as depots, bridges, and airbases. Acquisition of a new division air defense gun, DIVAD, will also continue in 1983. In addition, the Army is continuing steps to improve its retaliatory and defensive chemical warfare capabilities. In addition to continuing equipment modernization, the budget provides funds to increase readiness by improving the quality and degree of unit training. During 1983 more battalions are scheduled to participate in training programs at the new National Training Center at Fort Irwin, Calif. These improvements in training will enhance the Army's ability to deploy effective combat power anywhere in the world at any time. General purpose naval forces.—These forces provide a deterrent to military aggression both in peacetime and during crises; additionally, in peacetime they are a highly visible symbol of our defense commitments. Should deterrence fail, our naval forces must be able to control vital sea lanes and be able to seek out and destroy enemy forces. Our naval forces must also be capable of supporting ground battles by attacking land targets and by conducting amphibious Marine Corps assaults. The U.S. Navy operating fleet will increase from 555 ships in 1982 to 569 in 1983. Achieving a clear margin of naval superiority, however, requires that we continue to modernize our naval weapons systems and increase our force levels further. The $96 billion, 5-year shipbuilding plan calls for building 133 ships between 1983 and 1987, including 6 Trident ballistic missile submarines. The budget proposes procurement of the following new general purpose force ships in 1983: • 2 nuclear powered aircraft carriers, which provide the major striking power of our sea-based conventional forces; • 3 large warships (cruisers) equipped with the AEGIS system, to help protect the fleet from aircraft and missile attack; • 2 small warships (frigates) to protect the fleet and military convoys; • 1 dock landing ship, to support Marine Corps amphibious landings; • 2 nuclear powered attack submarines; • 4 mine countermeasures ships to improve the fleet's ability to operate in the presence of enemy mine threats; • 1 fleet oiler to support our deployed forces; and • 1 salvage ship for recovering damaged ships or aircraft. 5-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 SUMMARY OF ACTIVE MILITARY PERSONNEL AND FORCES (Year end—i.e., as of September 30) 1981 actual Military personnel (in thousands): End strength: Army Navy Marine Corps Air Force Total, Department of Defense.. Average strength: Army Navy Marine Corps Air Force Total, Department of Defense.. Strategic forces: Intercontinental ballistic missiles: Minuteman Titan II Polaris-Poseidon-Trident Strategic bomber squadrons General purpose forces: Land forces: Army divisions Marine Corps divisions Tactical air forces-. Air Force wings Navy attack wings Marine Corps wings Naval Forces: Attack and multipurpose carriers.. Nuclear attack submarines Other warships Amphibious assault ships Airlift and sealift forces: C-5A airlift squadrons Other airlift squadrons Sealift fleet 1 2 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 781 784 784 540 553 569 195 191 192 570 581 600 2,082 2,110 2,148 775 783 782 536 544 558 188 190 194 564 577 592 2,064 2,094 2,125 1,000 1,000 1,000 44 52 53 520 544 568 22 25 25 16 3 16 3 16 3 26 12 3 26 12 3 26 13 3 12 81 196 59 4 13 2 60 1 13 90 207 59 1 4 13 63 13 93 219 60 1 4 13 63 Includes ex-Polaris ships operating as attack submarines. Excludes 6 SL-7 logistics ships undergoing conversion. Naval aviation forces will include 16 tactical air wings (13 Navy and 3 Marine Corps), 24 land-based patrol squadrons, and various support aircraft. To maintain and modernize these forces the budget provides funding for continued production of F-14 and F/A18 aircraft for the tactical airwings, additional production of the SH-60B helicopter and the P-3C long-range aircraft for anti-submarine warfare, and production of the C-2 aircraft as a replacement carrier-support aircraft. Airlift and sealift forces.—These forces must be able to deliver military personnel and combat equipment rapidly to crisis areas NATIONAL DEFENSE 5-15 anywhere in the world. These transportation forces must then be able to deliver the materiel needed to sustain the forces in combat. Readiness will be increased by improvements to existing transport aircraft, and procurement of additional spare parts. The budget provides for replacing the wings on existing C-5A aircraft, extending their service life beyond the year 2000. The budget also proposes acquisition of an updated version of the wide-body, longrange, C-5 cargo aircraft, and more KC-10A tanker/cargo aircraft, increasing our deployment capabilities. Our rapid deployment sealift capability will be increased by the conversion of SL-7 logistics ships and the chartering of additional ships to preposition equipment and supplies near possible trouble spots. Six more supply ships, loaded with equipment and supplies, were deployed to Diego Garcia in 1981, bringing the total in that area to 13 ships. Air Force tactical aircraft.—These forces must be able to gain air superiority, provide close air support to ground combat troops, disrupt enemy forces behind the line of battle, and limit enemy air attacks on allied forces and installations. To increase the combat effectiveness of the tactical air forces, the 1983 budget proposes procurement of the following Air Force tactical aircraft and equipment: • F-15 fighter aircraft for maintaining air superiority; • F-16 multi-mission aircraft for both maintaining air superiority and attacking ground targets; • A-10 aircraft for close air support of ground troops, including anti-tank operations; • modification of some F-lll aircraft with electronic equipment for jamming enemy air defense radars; • TR-1 high altitude reconnaissance aircraft for accurately locating enemy targets from stand-off locations; • AWACS aircraft for providing early warning of hostile aircraft; and • improved guided missiles and bombs for air combat and ground attack missions. The budget supports continued moderization of the Air Force tactical fighter force, providing for 26 active and 12 reserve wings by 1983. Modernization of U.S.-based air defense force with F-15 aircraft is also planned. Improvements to Air Force readiness continue to be made through increased purchases of spare parts and elimination of aircraft maintenance backlogs. Flying hours will increase as a result of additional aircraft entering the inventory and initiatives to increase pilot readiness. Frequent exercises will keep our forces prepared for combat on short notice. 5-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Guard and reserve forces.—Guard and reserve forces need to be trained and equipped to mobilize and deploy rapidly in an emergency. Greater emphasis is being placed on the readiness of these forces. The current reserves are far more capable as a military force than any peacetime reserves have been in the past. The budget provides for continued improvement in unit strength, equipment, and training. The number of personnel is scheduled to increase significantly during 1983, primarily in the Army Guard and Reserve. Modernization of reserve equipment continues with the provision of new aircraft, frigates, and trucks. The first new F-16 fighters for the reserve components will enter Air National Guard service during 1983. More intensive and effective unit training and increased participation of guard and reserve personnel in servicewide training exercises also will help improve readiness. Research and development—The purpose of defense research and development is to devise new and more capable weapon systems to meet changing military requirements and to ensure that our current lead in most areas of military technology is sustained. To accomplish this task, defense research and development supports a wide variety of activities ranging from basic research to construction of full-scale prototypes of weapon systems. The administration proposes that budget authority for defense research and development increase by about 20% in 1983. Major efforts include: • Technology.—Substantial increases in funding are proposed for basic and applied research, as well as for exploratory development of promising new technologies. Areas of emphasis include systems for detecting the enemy at night or in poor weather and lightweight materials for use in weapon systems. •Strategic systems.—The budget provides for accelerated development efforts in support of the overall strategic modernization program. Ballistic missile defense, deep underground basing, and continuous patrol aircraft are being explored as options for future MX missile basing. In addition, development is continuing on a new technology bomber and the new Trident II submarine-launched ballistic missile. • Tactical systems.—The budget emphasizes development of new long-range, ground attack versions of current F-15 and F-16 fighter aircraft for the Air Force, as well as an improved medium-range air-to-air missile. The Navy budget request supports development of a lightweight anti-submarine torpedo, improvements to the heavyweight MK48 torpedo, vertical launch systems for ship-launched missiles, and a major surface warship. The Army is continuing development of new NATIONAL DEFENSE 5-17 missiles and armored vehicles, and improving helicopters and artillery systems. • Other defense research and development—The budget provides for continued improvements in defense intelligence systems, worldwide communications systems, and test and evaluation capabilities. Defense support for the NASA Space Shuttle program will continue. Active duty military personnel.—The past year has been one of the best years for military recruiting and retention since the inception of the All Volunteer Force in 1973. All the military services achieved or exceeded their strength objectives. All made significant improvements in retaining experienced personnel and in enlisting high-quality recruits. These major improvements are due primarily to substantial increases in military pay and benefits enacted in 1980 and 1981. While the 1981 experience demonstrates clearly that the concept of the All Volunteer Force is working, the military services will face other manpower challenges in 1983 and beyond. A further decline in the number of available military-age youths is forecast, and vigorous efforts will have to be made to meet the demands of planned increases in force levels. The 1983 budget supports levels of compensation that will help assure that future manning requirements are achieved. Defense acquisition improvement—The Department of Defense is improving the efficiency of its acquisition process to reduce both cost and the length of the acquisition cycle. New initiatives in this area include: • savings through greater program stability, multiyear contracting, and maintaining economic production rates; • streamlining the acquisition process through decentralization and reduced documentation requirements; and • improving weapon systems development by supporting evolutionary design, reliability criteria, and design-to-cost approaches. The F-16 fighter aircraft program was adopted as a multiyear program in 1982, and promises significant savings. The Navy's C-2 aircraft, medium-range standard missile, fleet oiler, and the Army's Blackhawk helicopter are all candidates to become multiyear acquisition programs. Military retired pay.—Legislation will be proposed to change the military retirement system in order to remove certain inequitable features and make military retirement consistent with other Federal retirement programs. The most important of these is a limitation on the annual cost-of-living adjustment for retirees whose retired pay is greater than that of similar personnel retiring under 5-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 current pay scales. Retirees whose retired pay is between 100% and 120% of current retired pay scales would receive three-fourths of the full cost-of-living adjustment. When retired pay is 120% or more of current retired pay, there would be no cost-of-living increase. In addition, the administration will propose legislation to change the way the budget provides for military retired pay. The budget now reflects only the benefits paid to military personnel who have already retired. Under the proposal, the defense budget would reflect the cost of retirement benefits being earned by military personnel on active or reserve duty at the time they are being earned. This change would improve personnel management by more accurately reflecting true personnel costs. Because the proposal involves complex changes in many parts of the budget, these changes will not be reflected in the budget schedules until the legislation is enacted. Tax expenditures.—The exclusion from taxable income of housing and meals for military personnel, provided either in-cash or inkind, results in an outlay equivalent estimate of $2.5 billion in 1983. In addition, disability pensions received by current military retirees are largely excluded from taxable income, resulting in an outlay equivalent estimate of $165 million for 1983. Tax expenditures for national defense total $2.6 billion in 1983. Atomic energy defense activities.—Under the President's reorganization plan for energy, the Department of Commerce will be responsible for the defense activities formerly within the Department of Energy. These include research, development, testing and production of nuclear weapons, production of special nuclear materials, storage of nuclear wastes from defense programs, and design of reactors for Navy vessels. The accompanying table shows the funding levels for these programs. In total, budget authority of $5.5 billion is requested for 1983, compared to $4.7 billion for 1982. Outlays are estimated to increase from $5.2 billion in 1983 to $6.0 billion in 1984 and $6.5 billion in 1985. The nuclear weapons program involves the design, research, development, testing, and production of nuclear warheads for the nuclear weapons stockpile, including quality control and periodic inspection of the finished devices. Funding levels proposed for 1982 and 1983 provide for increased missile warhead production for current and new weapon systems. The budget provides for increased production of special nuclear materials for use in nuclear warheads. The defense nuclear waste management program provides interim storage for all defense nuclear wastes. The program also sup- 5-19 NATIONAL DEFENSE ATOMIC ENERGY DEFENSE ACTIVITIES (Functional code 053; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 2,304 957 303 87 2,930 1,265 359 119 3,408 1,595 376 127 3,692 2,168 392 131 4,158 2,280 408 136 3,651 4,673 5,506 6,383 6,982 BUDGET AUTHORITY Weapons research, development, test, and production... Weapons materials production and waste management. Naval reactor development Other research programs Total, budget authority.. OUTLAYS Weapons research, development, test, and production... Weapons materials production and waste management. Naval reactor development Other research programs Total, outlays 1 2,186 2,779 3,217 3,428 3,823 984 1,271 1,421 2,020 2,115 283 336 392 390 400 112 135 125 130 3,398 4,498 5,155 5,968 6,473 Includes negative undistributed cost outlay adjustments. ports research to develop permanent storage and isolation of these wastes. The naval reactor development program includes the research and development, design, procurement, and testing of prototype reactors for current and future naval vessels. Other atomic energy defense research and development programs involve improved security at defense nuclear facilities, and arms control and verification technology development. Defense-related activities.—Activities of civilian departments and agencies that support national defense include emergency management, maintenance of strategic stockpiles, and the Selective Service System. In 1983, offsetting receipts are expected to nearly match other outlays because stockpile sales are about the same as purchases. Estimated outlays for the defense-related functions of the Federal Emergency Management Agency of $341 million in 1983 provide for increases in the Nation's civil defense, continuity of government, and mobilization programs. Outlays for the years following 1983 do not include the full effect of an enhanced civil defense program. To meet our needs for critical raw materials that might be unavailable during wartime, the General Services Administration stockpiles strategic and critical materials. Sales and purchases are proposed in 1983 to adjust the inventory of the stockpile to current requirements. Outlays for purchases are estimated at $120 million in 1983. The Selective Service System is responsible for maintaining standby capability to meet defense personnel requirements during 5-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 an emergency national mobilization. The budget includes outlays of $24 million in 1983 to improve the Selective Service System's mobilization capability, including a continuing national registration program. INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 5-21 INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS National Needs Statement: • Protect and advance the interests of the United States and its people in international affairs. The Federal Role in Meeting the Need: • Strengthen U.S. national security by extending assistance to friendly governments in order to counter threats of internal instability or external aggression. • Help friendly Third World countries develop economically through cooperative actions in trade, investment, energy, and agriculture, consistent with the spirit of the Cancun Summit. • Provide humanitarian assistance abroad. • Maintain effective diplomatic and consular operations abroad supported by a well staffed, trained, and equipped Department of State. • Communicate effectively with foreign peoples to explain and defend fully American views and policies and to blunt Soviet propaganda. • Promote a smoothly functioning international economic and financial system through responsible participation in international financial institutions. • Stimulate mutually beneficial trade relations with other countries. The foreign policy of the United States is directed toward achieving an environment of peace, international security and economic prosperity, in which individual political and economic freedoms may flourish. This budget is designed to be a practical allocation of resources toward achieving U.S. foreign policy aims. For 1983, the budget requests $18.1 billion in budget authority and $12.0 billion in estimated outlays, compared with 1982 estimates of $18.5 billion in budget authority and $11.1 billion in outlays. 5-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: CONDUCTING INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS (Functional code 150; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY Foreign aid: International security assistance: Foreign military sales credit Economic support fund Military assistance International military education and training Peacekeeping operations . .... Offsetting receipts and other Proposed legislation Subtotal, international security assistance.... 500 2,100 110 28 34 -231 750 2,564 177 38 151 -194 1,739 2,886 108 54 43 -171 5 1,739 2,886 88 54 46 -129 5 1,739 2,886 88 54 46 -115 6 2,543 3,486 4,663 4,689 4,703 Foreign economic and financial assistance: Multilateral development assistance: Multilateral development banks International fund for agricultural development International organizations Agency for International Development Public Law 480 food aid Peace Corps Refugee assistance Offsetting receipts and other 1,004 1,262 1,537 1,543 1,193 262 1,684 1,229 106 474 -259 215 1,771 1,000 105 503 -327 65 173 1,816 1,028 98 419 -371 115 173 1,828 1,004 98 418 -389 173 1,839 988 98 380 -403 Subtotal, foreign economic and financial assistance 4,499 4,529 4,764 4,790 4,267 Total, foreign aid 7,042 8,015 9,427 9,479 8,970 996 433 41 1,113 467 45 1,255 508 46 1,320 622 42 1,375 639 41 1,471 1,624 1,809 1,984 2,055 551 588 746 672 710 6,908 3,566 5,361 88 -79 3,986 4,446 2,701 3,622 2,667 2,759 2,731 2,124 -80 -82 -84 -85 15,844 8,352 6,241 5,342 4,770 Conduct of foreign affairs: Administration of foreign affairs International organizations and conferences Other Subtotal, conduct of foreign affairs Foreign information and exchange activities International financial programs: Export-Import Bank Foreign military sales trust fund (net) International monetary programs International commodity agreements Offsetting receipts and other Subtotal, international financial programs Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority -95 -97 -97 -98 -96 24,812 18,482 18,126 17,379 16,410 5-23 INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS NATIONAL NEED: CONDUCTING INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS—Continued (Functional code 150; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate OUTLAYS Foreign aid: International security assistance: Foreign military sales credit Economic support fund Military assistance International military education and training Peacekeeping operations Offsetting receipts and other Proposed legislation Subtotal, international security assistance.... 507 2,053 228 22 29 292 755 2,307 317 40 164 -97 913 2,683 203 50 54 -71 4 1,363 2,919 137 51 54 -34 5 1,653 2,922 124 53 54 -25 6 3,131 3,485 3,835 4,496 4,787 Foreign economic and financial assistance: Multilateral development assistance: Multilateral development banks International fund for agricultural development International organizations Agency for International Development Public Law 480 food aid Peace Corps... .. Refugee assistance Offsetting receipts and other 955 1,109 1,253 1,366 1,316 10 326 1,544 1,254 99 384 -357 30 220 1,605 1,141 105 465 -398 40 184 1,720 1,028 98 455 -451 60 173 1,768 1,004 98 436 -476 65 173 1,818 988 98 395 -494 Subtotal, foreign economic and financial assistance 4,215 4,277 4,327 4,429 4,359 Total, foreign aid 7,346 7,762 8,162 8,925 9,146 868 441 39 1,023 474 46 1,168 582 44 1,264 621 37 1,335 638 40 1,347 1,543 1,794 1,922 2,014 525 599 655 699 746 2,066 1,855 -288 122 1,918 -218 247 1,188 -128 292 1,385 127 151 -880 29 452 493 Ml -483 2,007 1,265 1,455 875 1,180 Deductions for offsetting receipts -95 97 97 98 -96 Total, outlays 11,130 11,074 11,968 12,323 12,990 Conduct of foreign affairs: Administration of foreign affairs International organizations and conferences Other ... Subtotal, conduct of foreign affairs Foreign information and exchange activities International financial programs: Export-Import Bank Special defense acquisition fund Foreign military sales trust fund (net) International monetary programs International commodity agreements Offsetting receipts and other Subtotal, international financial programs 456 365 5-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: CONDUCTING INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS—Continued (Functional code 150; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Overseas Private Investment Corporation: Outlays Foreign military sales credit: Budget authority Outlays -5 -6 -6 -6 2,505 1,945 3,320 2,670 4,400 3,715 4,900 4,250 3,648 2,963 International security assistance.—Security assistance programs are vital instruments of United States national security and foreign policy, serving to strengthen allied and friendly countries where the United States has special security concerns. Through these programs, the United States assists other countries in acquiring, training for, and using modern military equipment necessary for their defense, and promotes economic and political stability through balance of payments support and project assistance. They enable the United States to promote peace in the Middle East, to strengthen NATO's southern flank and to support countries in Africa, Asia and the Caribbean threatened >by direct or indirect Soviet expansionism. Security assistance is also provided in connection with U.S. access to military bases and facilities overseas. Security assistance programs are under the policy direction of the Secretary of State and are administered by the Secretary of Defense and the Administrator of the Agency for International Development. Because of serious threats to U.S. interests in several parts of the world, the budget provides for a substantial increase in security assistance and an improvement in the financial terms on which it is provided. Proposed budget authority would rise to $4.7 billion in 1983, $1.2 billion above 1982. Budget outlays are estimated to rise from $3.5 billion in 1982 to $3.8 billion in 1983. Foreign military sales credit.—This program consists of direct credits and loan repayment guarantees to enable foreign governments in 1983 to purchase U.S. defense articles, services, and training. New commitments in 1983 are estimated to be $5.7 billion, $1.8 billion above the 1982 level. Direct loans, which are on-budget, would total $1.7 billion, of which $500 million would be for a loan to Israel. Repayment of this transaction would be forgiven, making it a grant. The remaining $1.2 billion would be provided on belowmarket terms so as to reduce the burden of repayment of these loans on recipients' economies while helping them meet their defense needs. In addition, $3.9 billion would be off-budget loans at INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 5-25 interest rates equal to U.S. Treasury borrowing costs provided through the Federal Financing Bank and guaranteed by the Department of Defense. Budget outlays from the foreign military sales credit program, estimated at $913 million in 1983, result only from disbursements on direct loans and from payments of claims for late repayment on prior-year guarantees. Economic support fund.—Through the economic support fund, the United States furnishes general budget and balance of payments support and finances individual development projects. Economic assistance is provided on a loan and grant basis. The proposed 1983 program includes budget authority of $895 million for direct loans and $1,991 million for grants. Because unanticipated needs invariably arise requiring the rapid provision of U.S. aid, the 1983 budget proposes $75 million in budget authority that are not allocated to specific activities. Military assistance.—Grant military assistance is requested to finance administrative costs of security assistance programs, reimbursements to the armed services for military equipment delivered to foreign governments during prior-year emergencies, and a $50 million special requirements fund to enable more rapid response to unforeseen situations requiring U.S. military assistance. No specific country programs are proposed for funding in 1983. These activities will require $108 million in budget authority and, with spending from prior year appropriations, will result in estimated outlays of $203 million in 1983. International military education and training.—This program provides professional training and education in U.S. and overseas facilities to foreign military and related civilian personnel. It also acquaints these personnel with U.S. social, economic, and political institutions. Proposed grants totaling $54 million in budget authority are requested in 1983. This represents a $16 million increase over 1982. Peacekeeping operations.—The United States is a leading participant in peacekeeping operations, with contributions to the Multinational Force and Observers in the Sinai (part of the Camp David agreement), the United Nations Force in Cyprus, and in 1982 the new peacekeeping force sponsored by the Organization for African Unity in Chad. Total budget authority proposed for peacekeeping programs in 1983 is $43.5 million. Other.—-Legislation will be proposed for $5 million in budget authority for 1983 for a new anti-terrorism training and assistance 360-000 0 - 82 - 5-26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 program. Its purpose is to help foreign law enforcement authorities to combat international terrorism more effectively. Foreign economic and financial assistance.—Foreign economic and financial assistance supports the foreign policy interests of the United States by promoting economic development in Third World countries and providing humanitarian aid to needy people abroad. The United States provides aid both bilaterally and through multilateral institutions. The 1983 proposal of $4.8 billion in budget authority and $4.3 billion in estimated outlays represents a modest increase over the levels recently appropriated for 1982. The increase is necessary to meet past commitments and to respond to the critical needs of developing countries in Asia, Africa, and Latin America. Multilateral development assistance.—Multilateral development banks provide project financing and technical assistance, on both near-market and concessional terms. The World Bank group of institutions and the three regional banks for Latin America, Asia, and Africa lent nearly $17 billion during their last completed fiscal years. Funding is contributed by developed and some advanced developing countries through regular replenishments of capital, which call for annual installment payments by donors, generally over 3- to 5-year periods. Because of the long repayment periods for bank loans, these contributions are required to permit ongoing operations. Contributions to the banks are of two types: • Paid-in capital. This is a direct contribution that requires budget authority and results in budget outlays. Most paid-in capital finances concessional lending. • Callable capital. Members guarantee repayment of the funds that banks borrow on world capital markets to finance their non-concessional lending. This capital is provided under a limitation in appropriations acts and has never led to budgetary outlays. For 1983, proposed budget authority for the banks totals $1.5 billion, and outlays are estimated to be $1.3 billion. The growth in the requested level of funds for 1983 over the 1981 and 1982 levels is almost entirely a function of past commitments to increase participation in capital replenishments. A recent study by the administration concluded that the banks have an important role to play in promoting sound economic policies in recipient countries and recommended that the United States continue to participate in the banks while supporting changes in their operations. The study recommended heavier emphasis on non-concessional lending (at near-market rates) and an end to paid-in capital for non-concessional lending. As a result, U.S. INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 5-27 contributions to future replenishments for some institutions should decrease from 1983 levels. Specialized lending for agriculture will continue through the International Fund for Agricultural Development, an institution that focuses on the small farmer and has major support from the OPEC countries. A replenishment, estimated to total $1.1 billion from all donors, is in negotiation. If remaining issues are successfully resolved, the United States is expected to contribute $180 million in budget authority over 2 years, with a first installment of $65 million in 1983. The United States voluntarily contributes to the United Nations and other international organizations and programs that carry out developmental, humanitarian, and scientific activities. Participation in these multilateral programs complements bilateral assistance in accomplishing overall U.S. foreign policy objectives. Nevertheless, U.S. contributions will decrease in 1983 from the levels of recent years reflecting the administration's view that some multilateral programs are less effective than bilateral aid in achieving the most critical U.S. goals. Of the $173 million of budget authority proposed for 1983, $107 million will support the United Nations Development Program, which is the primary multilateral source of technical assistance for developing countries. Contributions of $26 million are planned for the United Nations Children's Fund, which provides basic development services for mothers and children. Agency for International Development (AID).—Bilateral development assistance programs are carried out by AID. The proposed budget authority for AID for 1983 of $1.8 billion, $45 million greater than the 1982 appropriation, will promote economic growth in developing countries through grants and concessional loans in such sectors as agriculture, population, health, education, and energy. AID also assists development-related research carried out by U.S. universities and supports programs carried out by private and voluntary organizations abroad. The administration's initiatives in the AID program include support of sound economic policies of recipient countries, increased use of American and recipient country private sector resources in development, and promotion of science and technology capabilities within developing countries. AID outlays in 1983 are estimated to be $1.7 billion. Closely related to AID's activities are two other programs that support the private sector emphasis of bilateral aid: • The Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC) provides political risk insurance and financial assistance to support the participation of private American business in the development of the Third World. OPIC is a self-sustaining agency that does not require appropriated funds. In 1983, receipts 5-28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 (largely interest and insurance premiums) are expected to exceed outlays by $82 million. • The trade and development program promotes sales of U.S. goods and services that contribute to the economic programs of certain developing countries, principally those that do not receive AID funding. Budget authority of $10.5 million is proposed for 1983. Public Law 480 food aid.—This program contributes to achieving U.S. objectives in the areas of security assistance, economic development, export market development, and humanitarian relief. The budget requests $1,028 million in budget authority in 1983, an increase of $28 million from 1982. Assistance will be concentrated on the poorest developing countries and on countries of major importance to the United States. A significant portion of direct food donations will be devoted to meeting refugee and emergency relief needs. Peace Corps.—The Peace Corps will continue to help meet the skilled manpower needs of developing countries and promote mutual understanding between the people of the United States and people in more than 50 countries in the developing world. Budget authority of $98 million is requested for 1983, which is a small reduction from 1982. More than 4,600 volunteer service years will be provided in 1983. Refugee assistance.—While there has been no extraordinary refugee emergency this past year, refugee problems continue to be sizable in many parts of the world. Refugee needs can be expected to continue in Africa, the Middle East, Southwest Asia, Indochina, and Eastern Europe. Care for these refugees abroad and the resettlement of some of them in the United States will continue in 1983. Because lower flows of new refugees are anticipated in 1983, this budget proposes $419 million of budget authority, a reduction from 1982, to help international organizations and American voluntary agencies to provide assistance. Recognizing that resettlement in the United States is only a small part of the solution to the worldwide refugee problem, the budget provides funds to encourage voluntary repatriation and other resettlement alternatives abroad. Additional funding for refugee assistance is discussed in the income security section of Part 5. Conduct of foreign affairs.—Funds for this category of programs primarily finance the operating costs of the State Department in carrying out the administration of foreign affairs and provide contributions assessed by certain international organizations of which the United States is a member. Both proposed budget authority and estimated outlays in 1983 would be $1.8 billion. INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 5-29 Administration of foreign affairs.—The administration's commitment to the vigorous pursuit of American interests abroad is clearly reflected in the budget request for State Department operations. A personnel increase is requested to enhance the Department's overseas political and economic reporting and analysis. In addition, training designed to improve the professional reporting, analytical, consular, and administrative skills of the Foreign Service will be expanded. Additional staff are also provided to cope with growing passport and consular workloads. Because the personal safety of government personnel abroad and the protection of overseas physical facilities and national security information are vital, protective security personnel will be increased and security measures will be further strengthened. Funds are provided for the construction of only the highest priority office buildings and staff housing projects abroad, mainly large projects in Moscow, Tokyo, and Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. These improvements in foreign affairs administration, along with inflationary costs abroad, increase proposed budget authority from $1.1 billion in 1982 to $1.3 billion in 1983. International organizations and conferences.—The United States is a member of the United Nations and over 50 other international organizations responsible for many multinational activities of a political, peacekeeping, economic, and social nature. Members of these organizations have collective responsibility for their operating costs, which are financed through assessments based primarily on ability to pay. The United States usually pays the largest share, most commonly 25%. In 1981 the United States began to shift the payment of its contributions to most major organizations to the last quarter of each organization's budget year. While this action has reduced outlays in 1981 and 1982, it will increase 1983 outlays, which will fund most major organizations' calendar year 1982 budgets. Budget authority of $508 million is requested in 1983 for these payments, for assessed contributions to peacekeeping activities, and for the costs of U.S. participation in international conferences. Outlays are estimated to be $582 million in 1983. The United States continues to place a high priority on effective management of international organizations. It is particularly important that organizations regularly evaluate their programs, reduce and phase out low-priority and obsolete activities, operate with lean staffs, and minimize support and overhead costs. The United States intends to support only those organizations' budgets that reflect significant restraint. This administration is convinced that, after the substantial program growth of recent years, the effectiveness of most organizations will be enhanced by a period devoted to evaluation, assimilation, and rationalization. Working closely with other major donors, the United States will seek imple- 5-30 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 mentation of a budget policy of no program growth and significant absorption of nondiscretionary cost increases. Other.—Budget authority of $20 million and estimated outlays of $18 million are requested for the Arms Control and Disarmament Agency in order to support new negotiations to limit intermediaterange nuclear forces (INF) and strategic arms reduction talks (START), as well as other arms control negotiations and activities. Foreign information and exchange activities.—Programs under this heading are intended to provide the rest of the world with a better understanding of the United States and its policies, and to broadcast accurate information to communist countries about world attitudes toward their governments and about events within their borders. These programs are important components of the foreign policy of the United States. Better communication with the communist and noncommunist peoples of the world calls for an increase in budget authority for these activities from $588 million in 1982 to $746 million in 1983. Estimated outlays in 1983 will be $655 million. To counter a growing global campaign by the Soviet Union to undercut United States foreign policy objectives with false and distorted information, the International Communication Agency (ICA) will expand its major effort, Project Truth, to reveal Soviet tactics and to communicate clearly United States policy and objectives. This budget proposes $640 million of budget authority in 1983 to conduct and improve all ICA activities, including Voice of America (VOA) radio broadcasting, academic and leader exchange, seminars, operation of libraries and cultural centers and dissemination of media material in 125 countries. Included are $115 million to complete new VOA shortwave broadcasting facilities in Sri Lanka and Botswana, to renovate Washington studios, and to finance five medium wave AM transmitters to broadcast throughout the Caribbean and Central America. Budget authority for the Board for International Broadcasting is increased to $96 million, which will permit Radio Free Europe/ Radio Liberty, Inc., to improve programs in 8 of the 21 languages in which it broadcasts to the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe and to replace old transmission equipment. To continue a program begun in 1982, $8 million in budget authority is requested for a grant to a private corporation to broadcast to the Cuban people information about Cuban developments at home and abroad. International financial programs.—To support the stable expansion of the international economy, the United States is active in INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 5-31 programs to improve the functioning of the international financial system, facilitate U.S. participation in world trade, and stabilize commodity markets. In 1983, budget authority is estimated to be $6.2 billion and estimated outlays will be $1.5 billion. Export-Import Bank.—The Bank provides direct loans, loan guarantees, and insurance to facilitate the export of U.S. goods and services. In recent years, the Bank's programs and subsidies to domestic businesses and foreign borrowers grew rapidly due to the previous administration's policy of using the Bank as a vehicle to match foreign governments' export subsidy programs on an untargeted basis. The budget for 1983 continues the current policy of limiting the size of the Bank's program while enabling it selectively to meet foreign competition. Proposed authorizations for the Bank's direct loan program are $3.8 billion, 13 percent below the level set in 1982 appropriations legislation. When used selectively, this will be sufficient to meet the most critical requirements for export financing. Proposed commitments for guarantee and insurance programs are $8.0 billion. EXPORT-IMPORT BANK AUTHORIZATIONS (In millions of dollars) 1981 actual Direct loan obligations Loan guarantee commitments Total Total outlays (net) 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 5,431 7,416 4,400 8,000 3,830 8,000 12,847 12,400 11,830 2,066 1,855 1,918 The budget will support export financing on a substantial scale, one that is consistent with the Bank's legitimate role in overcoming limitations in private credit markets and in providing support and leadership in the effort to negotiate an improved international export credit agreement. The administration has already achieved significant progress in negotiating international export credit agreements, which have reduced the high subsidies previously provided by governments in their export financing. The United States will press for substantial further progress. Special defense acquisition fund.—To reduce disruptive and costly diversions of military equipment from U.S. military uses to meet security assistance needs, a special revolving fund has been established. This fund permits the procurement of military equipment in advance of the identification of specific country needs. The equipment can then be transferred to other governments when it is needed. 5-32 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Foreign military sales trust fund.—U.S. law requires that sales of most military equipment and services to foreign governments be made only by the Federal Government. Foreign governments make payments to the fund for cash purchases of U.S. military equipment and services. Outlays occur when payments are made to suppliers. The total estimated outlays of $247 million for 1983 are the net result of all transactions. International monetary programs.—The International Monetary Fund plays a key role in promoting an orderly, market oriented, and responsible system of international financial transactions. Periodically, the United States participates in increases of the resources that the Fund requires to achieve its goals. Budget authority for the U.S. share of an increase was last appropriated in 1981. Outlays, which reflect several types of Fund transactions in dollars, are unpredictable. Over time they should net to zero, the amount estimated for 1983. International commodity agreements.—The United States participates in international commodity agreements whose purpose is to reduce price fluctuations in certain raw materials and thereby encourage production. In 1982, managers of the International Natural Rubber Agreement began acquiring rubber for a buffer stock, funded in part by a 1981 U.S. appropriation of $88 million. No budget authority or outlays are estimated for 1983. Other.—Other programs include transactions of the exchange stabilization fund and repayments of loans to the United Kingdom. The exchange stabilization fund's interest income on holdings of U.S. securities is estimated to result in negative outlays of —$372 million in 1982 and -$411 million in 1983. Tax expenditures.—A tax expenditure results from the deferral of taxes on one-half of the profits derived from the incremental export sales of domestic international sales corporations (DISCs). The DISC provision was established to provide an incentive for domestic firms to increase their exports and to offset partially the perceived export advantages of other countries tax systems. The outlay equivalent estimate for the DISC provision is $2.8 billion in 1983. Americans living and working abroad may exclude up to $75,000 in 1982 and $80,000 in 1983 of foreign earned income as well as allowances for reasonable housing costs in excess of 16% of the salary of a civil service grade 14, step one employee. The outlay equivalent estimate for these benefits is $2.2 million in 1983. This provision is intended to correct for the perceived inequity resulting from high living costs abroad and also to encourage firms to main- 5-33 INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS tain U.S. nationals abroad. Estimated tax expenditures for international affairs total $4.9 billion in 1983. Credit programs.—A number of programs in this function are direct loan and loan guarantee programs. For these programs, the national needs tables showing budget authority and outlays understate the volume of new activity, because most credit activity does not result in additions to the budget. The total volume of new direct loan obligations and new guaranteed loan commitments, as recorded in the credit budget, is shown in the following table. Total direct loan obligations are proposed to be $12.2 billion in 1983. Appropriation bill limitations are requested for $6.9 billion of this amount. Total guaranteed loan commitments are proposed to fall to $7.8 billion in 1983, all of which is subject to limitation in appropriation bills. As the table shows, guarantees of the foreign military sales credit program, discussed earlier in this section, are financed as offbudget direct loans by the Federal Financing Bank. CREDIT PROGRAMS—INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS (In millions of dollars) Guaranteed loan commitments Direct loan obligations Program 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Foreign military sales credit 1 Economic support fund Bilateral development credit Public Law 480 food aid Export-Import Bank Other international assistance Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: 2 Foreign military sales credit 500 274 401 821 5,431 165 750 216 403 754 4,400 171 1,739 895 403 767 3,830 181 2,505 3,320 4,400 Subtotal, gross 10,097 10,014 10,097 10,014 1 Includes 2 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 2,546 3,084 3,929 229 250 250 7,416 8,000 8,000 12,215 10,192 11,334 12,179 2,505 3,320 - 4 , 4 0 0 12,215 7,687 8,014 Less: Guaranteed loans held as direct loans by the FFB: Foreign military sales credit Total, international affairs . 1931 actual 7,779 guarantees of direct loans made by the FFB as shown below. The FFB is a mechanism to finance direct loans sold or guaranteed by other Federal agencies. The deductions below eliminate overlap with transactions shown above in this table. See the introduction to Part 5 for further explanation. 5-34 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY National Needs Statement • Assure the long-term strength of the Nation. scientific and technological The Federal Role in Meeting the Need: • Support long-term basic scientific research that is in the broad national interest. • Develop a greater understanding of the Earth, the solar system, and the universe through space research and technology development. • Develop a space transportation system, based upon the Space Shuttle, to meet the future needs of national security, civil and commercial users. This function includes the National Science Foundation (NSF), and the space programs of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). (NASA aeronautics programs are included in the transportation function.) This function also includes basic physics and life science programs that the administration plans to transfer from the Department of Energy to the Department of Commerce, as part of the administration's proposal to dismantle the Department of Energy. It does not include research for specific missions, such as defense and medical research, that are included in other functions. Proposed budget authority for this function is $7.8 billion in 1983, an increase of $0.8 billion or 12% over 1982. Advances in science and technology are essential to the security of our Nation; to the health, welfare, and safety of our citizens; and to the long-term growth and vitality of our economy. Most Federal Government support for science and technology, including basic research, is provided through research and development programs that serve specific missions in areas such as defense, health, and environmental regulation. The Federal Government also supports, through the National Science Foundation, basic research that is in the broad national interest because the economic incentives of the market place are insufficient to assure adequate private sector investment in such research. For similar reasons, the Federal Government also supports space programs, including the development of the Space Shuttle. Of all Federal support for basic research, about one-third is included in this function. General science and basic research.—The National Science Foundation and the basic physics and life science programs of the De- 5-35 GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY NATIONAL NEED: INCREASING BASIC SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE AND USE OF SPACE (Functional code 250; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY General science and basic research: National Science Foundation programs Department of Commerce general science programs Smithsonian scientific exchange activities Subtotal, general science and basic research Space research and technology: Space flight Space science applications and technology Supporting space activities Subtotal, space research and technology Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority OUTLAYS General science and basic research: National Science Foundation programs Department of Commerce general science programs Smithsonian scientific exchange activities Subtotal, general science and basic research Space research and technology: Space flight Space science, applications, and technology Supporting space activities Subtotal, space research and technology Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Supporting space activities: Budget authority Outlays ., 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1,036 504 * 1,003 529 * 1,078 601 * 1,078 629 * 1,078 652 * 1,541 1,533 1,679 1,707 1,730 3,187 1,359 450 3,578 1,381 508 3,983 1,526 618 3,783 1,482 748 3,368 1,488 688 4,996 5,467 6,127 6,013 5,544 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 6,533 6,995 7,800 7,714 7,270 981 501 * 1,101 559 * 982 589 * 1,130 627 * 1,048 652 * 1,483 1,660 1,572 1,757 1,700 3,053 1,384 444 3,462 1,344 481 3,992 1,462 613 3,803 1,495 729 3,476 1,501 4,881 5,287 6,067 6,027 5,684 707 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 6,359 6,942 7,633 7,779 7,379 111 111 206 206 171 20 112 - 1 9 6 - 2 1 9 partment of Commerce constitute the general science mission of this function. Budget authority of $1.7 billion is proposed for these programs in 1983, an increase of 10% over 1982. National Science Foundation programs.—The principal mission of the National Science Foundation (NSF) is to support basic research in all science and engineering disciplines. The Foundation's programs are particularly important because they complement and balance the support of basic research by mission agencies such as the Department of Defense and the National Institutes of Health. 5-36 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 The 1983 budget proposes $1.1 billion in budget authority for the NSF, 7% more than in 1982. The budget provides for growth above estimated cost increases due to inflation in the natural sciences and engineering. The budget also includes continued support of the U.S. Antarctic program administered by the NSF. The Antarctic Treaty designates the Antarctic as a zone of peaceful international coexistence to be used for study and research. The NSF program includes projects aimed at a better understanding of the Antarctic region. Savings are proposed in the NSF's science education program. The administration believes that support of education is more appropriately the responsibility of State and local governments. The NSF research fellowship program will be continued because it complements the Foundation's support of research. Department of Commerce general science programs.—These programs conduct and support basic research in high energy physics, nuclear physics, life sciences, and nuclear medicine. The budget authority request increases to $0.6 billion in 1983 with the major emphasis on the high energy physics program. The goal of the high energy and nuclear physics programs is to achieve a comprehensive understanding of the fundamental constituents of matter and energy and the basic forces that govern their interaction. The increase provided for high energy physics will permit more effective utilization of existing research facilities. It will also provide for continuation of research and development on improved components and novel concepts that will lead to new research facilities that are essential to the future vitality of the field. Space research and technology.—This part of the function consists of the space-related activities of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. The administration is committed to the timely completion of the development of the Space Shuttle and the beginning of regular operations. In addition to the Space Shuttle, a vigorous program of space activities in space science, applications and technology development is proposed. Space flight—The space flight programs of NASA are intended to sustain and improve our ability to supply space transportation services to government, industry, university, and foreign users. Space flight includes the development, production, and operation of the Space Shuttle; procurement and operation of the Europeandeveloped Spacelab for use in the Shuttle for research in nearEarth orbit; and development and procurement of the space vehicles needed to carry satellites into high-Earth orbit and to launch GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY 5-37 jjjjjjjjSjSpace Flight (Primarily Space Shuttle) V////////////A Space Science, Applications, Technology, and Other General Science and Basic Research planetary exploration spacecraft. Budget authority of $4.0 billion is proposed for these programs in 1983, $0.4 billion more than in 1982. The Space Shuttle is the world's first reusable manned space transportation system, and will routinely launch, retrieve, repair and service satellites in space. The Shuttle will be valuable to a variety of domestic and foreign users, who anticipate its availability for their needs in the early 1980s. It will also be important in meeting national security requirements. The Shuttle is expected to be ready for operations beginning in 1983. The second successful launch of the Space Shuttle Columbia clearly demonstrated that a manned reusable space vehicle is practical. While the Shuttle is expected to replace most expendable launch vehicles when it is operating at full capacity, the budget includes funding for efforts to assure the availability of expendable vehicles until the complete Shuttle fleet is able to replace them. Funding is proposed to complete development and production of the Space Shuttle and to prepare for the regular operations necessary to meet civilian and national security commitments. Funds are also included to demonstrate the ability to repair a damaged 5-38 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 satellite while in orbit, and for modifications to enable the Shuttle to lift heavier payloads. Budget authority of $3.0 billion is proposed for the Space Shuttle program in 1983, compared to $2.5 billion in 1982. Procurement of a second Spacelab is underway, with the initial flight of the first Spacelab planned in the fall of 1983. An upper stage booster to launch high-Earth orbit and interplanetary missions from the Shuttle is being developed. Space science, applications and technology.—Programs in this cat- egory include space science activities to study the solar system and the universe; the development, launch and demonstration of satellite systems for agricultural, geological, weather, and communications uses; and long-range basic space research and technology programs. Budget authority of $0.8 billion is proposed for space science in 1983, an increase of 18% over 1982. The program includes the study of the solar system and the universe, (using satellites in Earth orbit and spacecraft sent to the planets and their moons), and life sciences research related to the space environment. As part of such scientific investigations, the administration supports the continued development of projects such as the space telescope, the gamma ray observatory, Spacelab astronomy experiments, and the Galileo mission to Jupiter. The space telescope program is intended to place a telescope in orbit around the Earth in 1985, allowing the observation of objects in space unobstructed by the Earth's atmosphere and clouds. The space telescope promises significant advances in astronomy, with far better resolution than Earth-based telescopes. The gamma ray observatory, which will allow the investigation of distant objects and phenomena in deep space through study of the gamma ray region of the electromagnetic spectrum, is to be launched in late 1988. Spacelab is designed to be reusable and will be flown repeatedly on the Space Shuttle to conduct advanced investigations of the sun and the universe from Earth orbit. In addition to these major flight programs, funding is proposed for experiments to be flown on satellites, balloons, aircraft, and sounding rockets. Exploration of the solar system will continue with projects under development and spacecraft already in flight such as the Galileo project being developed to explore Jupiter and its moons and Voyager on its way to Uranus. Ground-based research will continue to analyze data from these missions and to assess potential future missions that are costeffective. The Venus orbiting imaging radar (VOIR) mission is being cancelled to permit adequate funding of higher priority space science missions. GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY 5-39 Budget authority of $0.5 billion is proposed for space applications in 1983, maintaining about the same program level as in 1982. The budget requests continued funding for research activities to improve understanding of the Earth's resources, climate, weather, and pollution; to develop agriculture forecasting techniques based on satellite data; to advance knowledge in materials science through low gravity experiments; and to extend the range of satellite communications technology. Development of the fourth and fifth in the series of Landsat satellites that collect data from space about the Earth's land resources is continuing. Landsat-D, the fourth in the series, is scheduled for launch in 1982. These advanced satellites will improve substantially the quality of Earth resources data gathered from space for a variety of applications. In 1983, the administration proposes that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) assume responsibility for operating an Earth-resources satellite data system based on the Landsat-D series of satellites. The climate-observing program is designed to provide global measurements of the level of solar and cosmic radiation absorbed by the Earth. Observations from satellites help improve our understanding of the factors that determine the Earth's climate. Budget authority of $0.2 billion is proposed for basic space research and technology programs, an increase of 9% over 1982. The increase will provide for a strong program in the basic space disciplines including propulsion, electronics, and materials, and assure a sound scientific foundation for the future of the space program. Supporting space activities.—Budget authority of $0.6 billion is proposed for spacecraft tracking and data gathering and processing support for the entire NASA space program, an increase of 22% over 1982. This increase is primarily for the initial lease payments for the new tracking and data relay satellite system (TDRSS). The first TDRSS satellite is proposed for launch from the Shuttle in early 1983. Tax expenditures.—In addition to direct Federal funding of basic research, the tax code encourages private sector research and development, including basic research, by allowing expenditures for such purposes to be deducted as a current expense. The 1983 outlay equivalent estimate for this provision is —$1.3 billion. A new 25% tax credit for increased research and development expenditures is expected to encourage more investment by industry in research and development. The outlay equivalent estimate is $1.1 billion in 1983; tax expenditures for general science, space, and technology are estimated to total -$0.2 billion in 1983. 5-40 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Credit programs.—Long-term lease commitments to finance the construction and acquisition of tracking and data relay satellites for NASA were made in 1976. New commitments in 1983 for this system are expected to be $171 million. These commitments result in loan guarantees and off-budget outlays by the Federal Financing Bank. Lease payments by NASA are expected to commence in 1983, when the system begins operations. CREDIT PROGRAMS—GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE AND TECHNOLOGY (In millions of dollars) Direct loan obligations Program NASA satellite leases l Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: 2 NASA satellite leases Subtotal, gross 1981 actual 1982 estimate Guaranteed loan commitments 1983 estimate 111 111 206 171 111 206 171 Less: Guaranteed loans held as direct loans by the FFB: NASA satellite leases Total, general science, space and technology 1 1981 actual -111 HI 206 1982 estimate 206 -206 1983 estimate 171 -171 171 Includes guarantees of direct loans made by the FFB as shown below. 2 The FFB is a mechanism to finance direct loans sold or guaranteed by other Federal agencies. The deductions below eliminate overlap with transactions shown above in this table. See the introduction to Part 5 for further explanation. ENERGY 5-41 ENERGY National Needs Statement: • Produce and use energy efficiently. The Federal Role in Meeting the Need: • Establish sound, stable public policies that encourage economically efficient energy production and use. • Adopt environmental and nuclear safety regulations that are rational, realistic, and effective. • Focus Government spending for energy on those few areas where the private sector lacks sufficient incentive to invest, primarily long-term research and emergency petroleum stockpiles. Most decisions on producing and using energy in the economy are made in response to market forces, not by the Federal Government. Instead of improving the Nation's energy outlook, Federal Government programs during the 1970's actually reduced our ability to respond to the supply disruptions and rapid increases in prices that occurred during that decade. Federal energy policies, especially price controls on domestically-produced crude oil, dulled market incentives and slowed the response of our economy to changes in world oil markets. The Federal Government has one overriding responsibility with respect to energy: to establish public policies, based on sound economic principles, that reward and encourage efficient energy production and use. The President took a major step in fulfilling this responsibility when he removed controls from oil markets in January 1981. The results have been impressive. In response to market forces: • net oil imports, other than oil purchased for the strategic petroleum reserve, declined from 7.9 million barrels per day in 1979 to about 5.1 million barrels per day in 1981; • total oil consumption has been reduced 14% from the amount used 2 years ago; • less fuel is being used to run a larger economy: this year, 2% less energy was used to provide 2% more goods and services than last year; • oil exploration and drilling activity are setting all-time records, increasing about 40% this year alone; and • world oil prices have begun to decline. The Federal Government has limited responsibilities in energy beyond its overriding responsibility to let the market economy 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 1 0 5-42 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 function. The proposals in this budget focus Government spending on meeting those responsibilities. They include adopting environmental and nuclear safety regulations that are rational, realistic and effective; providing a strategic petroleum reserve to help deal with possible severe disruptions in world oil markets; and supporting limited research and development that the private sector is unlikely to undertake because of its long-term, high risk characteristics. In view of the limited responsibilities and role of the Federal Government in energy, it is wasteful and inappropriate to maintain a Cabinet-level Department of Energy. The President will submit legislation to the Congress that will transfer essential programs of the Department of Energy primarily to the Departments of Commerce and Interior. The budget proposals in this function are identified below by the department and agency that are proposed to be responsible for them in 1983. The budget proposes $4.3 billion in budget authority in 1983 for programs included in this function. Outlays are estimated to be $4.2 billion, a 34% reduction from estimated 1982 levels. Off-budget outlays, including oil purchased for the strategic petroleum reserve, are expected to be $8.6 billion in 1983. There are also approximately $8.8 billion in energy tax expenditures and $11.2 billion in direct loan obligations classified in this function. Energy supply.—The Federal Government's energy supply programs include research and development on new energy technologies, direct energy production, and incentives for nonconventional fuels. Federal spending for energy research and development programs is proposed to be administered by the new Energy Research and Technology Administration in the Department of Commerce. These programs are designed to complement, rather than substitute for, private sector spending. In keeping with this policy, estimated outlays for energy supply research and development decrease from $3.6 billion in 1982 to $2.1 billion in 1983. Outlays for fossil, solar, geothermal, and other non-nuclear research and development programs are estimated to decrease from $1.7 billion in 1982 to $0.7 billion in 1983 on the assumption that the Federal Government will concentrate its efforts on basic and other long-term research and technology development. The budget also includes funds for continued operation of unique experimental and test facilities. This emphasis on long-term research and development includes continued support for nuclear energy programs, particularly magnetic fusion and technology development for nuclear breeder reactors. Neither of these technologies is at the stage where significant industry investment can be expected. Outlays for magnetic fusion 5-43 ENERGY NATIONAL NEED: ENERGY (Functional code 270; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Energy supply: Research and development: Existing law Proposed legislation 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 3,808 2,755 2,010 185 2,099 2,101 3,808 2,755 2,195 2,099 2,101 442 -655 -96 -1,274 1 -908 1,841 848 2,071 24 -806 1,886 16 -781 1,892 2,224 3,689 3,418 3,203 3,228 728 163 27 19 4 Emergency energy preparedness 2,791 191 242 633 235 Energy information, policy, and regulation: Existing law Proposed legislation 1,089 871 772 -60 809 -60 764 60 1,089 871 712 749 704 Subtotal research and development Direct production (net): Uranium enrichment Petroleum reserves Power marketing Incentives for nonconventional fuel production Subtotal, energy supply Energy conservation Subtotal, energy information, policy, and regulation Deductions for offsetting receipts -62 -69 -69 -69 -69 Total, budget authority . 6,769 4,846 4,330 4,536 4,102 in 1983 are estimated to be $0.4 billion, roughly equal to 1982 levels. Outlays for breeder reactors are estimated to be $0.6 billion in 1983, compared to $0.7 billion in 1982. The breeder program will continue its focus on the construction of the Clinch River breeder reactor, now scheduled to begin operations before 1990. There is a clear Federal responsibility for assuring permanent disposal of nuclear waste. Estimated outlays of $50 million are included for generic research on nuclear waste. The budget assumes the enactment of legislation establishing a user fee on utilities for nuclear waste disposal. The fee is expected to yield $0.3 billion in 1983 to support development and operation of geological repositories for the disposal of nuclear waste. To provide general support for all energy technology development, outlays of $0.3 billion in 1983 are estimated for basic energy sciences. This program supports basic research in scientific disciplines that have broad applicability to the development of new energy technologies. Drawing on the resources available at major laboratories and universities, research will continue in fields such as chemical sciences, atomic physics, and basic engineering studies. Such research provides the critical base of knowledge applicable to future technology development by both Government and industry. 5-44 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: ENERGY—Continued (Functional code 270; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs OUTLAYS Energy supply: Research and development: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, research and development Direct production (net): Uranium enrichment Petroleum reserves Power marketing Incentives for non-conventional fuel production.. Subtotal, energy supply Energy conservation Emergency energy preparedness.. Energy information, policy, and regulation: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, energy information, policy, and regulationDeductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entities: Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund: Budget authority Outlays Synthetic Fuels Corporation: Budget authority Strategic Petroleum Reserve: Budget authority Outlays Federal Financing Bank: Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund: Budget authority Outlays Tennessee Valley Authority (power program): Budget authority Outlays Alternative fuels production: Budget authority Outlays Other energy: Budget authority Outlays 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 3,893 3,615 2,255 -115 2,147 -272 2,226 -329 3,893 3,615 2,140 1,875 1,897 341 -624 1,658 93 -271 -736 1,824 123 -141 -803 1,730 39 -64 -805 1,570 38 84 -819 1,527 5,362 4,554 2,965 2,614 2,730 757 736 326 167 11 3,280 227 302 375 410 940 964 750 -60 779 -60 734 -60 940 964 690 719 674 1981 actual 1985 estimate 41 -62 -69 -69 -69 -69 10,227 6,413 4,215 3,807 3,756 25 36 38 41 3,684 2,834 2,074 2,774 1,935 2,297 2,440 2,196 4,690 4,601 4,934 4,932 4,661 4,654 4,020 4,003 3,827 3,796 3,624 237 4,285 198 5,289 278 6,317 236 1,302 252 470 470 915 915 987 987 795 795 -7 -10 28 28 The Federal Government's direct production programs include enriching and selling uranium for use in military programs and civilian nuclear power plants. Outlays result from operating three ENERGY 5-45 existing enrichment plants; building and equipping a fourth, more efficient plant; and from investment in the development of an improved uranium enrichment process. Revenues of $2.0 billion from the sale of enriched uranium are expected to more t h a n offset the outlays for this program in 1983. Responsibility for uranium enrichment is proposed for transfer to the Energy Research and Technology Administration in the Department of Commerce. Receipts from the sale of oil and gas produced at the naval petroleum reserves in California and Wyoming are expected to exceed $1.6 billion, more t h a n offsetting $0.3 billion in production cost outlays. Responsibility for this program is proposed to be in the Interior Department beginning in 1983. The Federal power marketing programs, which include the Tennessee Valley Authority and the five regional administrations t h a t sell and transmit power from Federal hydroelectric dams, are generally unchanged from prior years, with two exceptions. Outlays for the Tennessee Valley Authority power program are estimated to fall from $1.9 billion in 1982 to $1.6 billion in 1983, reflecting changed construction schedules for major facilities. Among the five regional agencies, the Bonneville Power Administration will continue its legislatively-mandated efforts to assure t h a t the electric power needs of the Pacific Northwest are satisfied. This will require $0.5 billion in budget authority and $0.3 billion in estimated outlays in 1983. Outlays for power marketing programs are more t h a n offset by receipts from sales of power. Responsibility for the power marketing administrations is proposed for transfer to the Interior Department in 1983. Incentives for non-conventional fuel production are primarily price, purchase, and loan guarantees t h a t the Synthetic Fuels Corporation may employ to demonstrate the feasibility of producing synthetic fuels commercially. Credit programs.—Federal credit activities in this function are summarized in the accompanying table. The Federal Financing Bank (FFB) finances a significant amount of credit activity in the energy function as off-budget direct loans. Two alternative fuel production projects will continue to be funded through the FFB, and the FFB will offer continued support to the Rural Electrification Administration and the nuclear fuel leasing program of the Tennessee Valley Authority. As part of the administration's Federal credit control program, limitations will be proposed for gross obligations for new Rural Electrification Administration direct loan obligations and new guaranteed loans commitments for 1983. Energy conservation.—The administration has promoted the efficient use of energy and other resources by ending the system of controls on oil markets. This established a realistic oil pricing 5-46 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 policy for the first time in nearly a decade. Investments in modernized plants, equipment, and homes are invariably accompanied today by investments to use energy more efficiently. The response of the economy to decontrolled oil prices has demonstrated that market forces are effective in stimulating the efficient use of energy. In 1979, overall U.S. oil consumption was 18.5 million barrels of oil per day. In 1981, oil consumption had fallen to 16.0 million barrels per day in response to market forces. The amount of energy needed per dollar of gross national product, a key measure of energy efficiency, has fallen each year since energy prices first increased in 1973. Gasoline consumption has decreased from 7.4 to 6.6 million barrels per day in the past 3 years. Homeowners and others in the residential sector have similarly reduced their use of home heating oil by some 500,000 barrels per day in response to market forces. Energy users have invested billions of dollars each year to save energy because those investments make sound economic sense. CREDIT PROGRAMS—ENERGY (In millions of dollars) Guaranteed loan commitments Direct loan obligations Program Tennessee Valley Authority 1 Alternative fuels production * Biomass energy development . Geothermal and other Off-budget Federal entities: * Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund 2 .. Federal Financing Bank: 3 Tennessee Valley Authority Rural electric and telephone revolving fund Alternate fuels production Other energy programs Subtotal, gross Less: Loan assets sold to the FFB and associated guarantees: Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund Guaranteed loans held as direct loans by the FFB: Tennessee Valley Authority . Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund .... Alternate fuels production and other Total, energy 1 Includes 2 Includes 3 1982 estimate 1981 actual 1983 estimate 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 102 83 80 3,624 3,253 4 40 62 45 700 2 1,100 1,100 700 5,131 4,245 3,760 3,624 4,690 5,289 4,661 915 18 4,285 4,934 470 28 9,538 10,941 11,707 12,053 9,233 9,049 -683 -623 -525 -683 -623 -525 4,285 5,289 -3,624 -4,285 -5,289 -4,007 -18 8,855 10,317 11,182 3,721 4,311 - 4 , 1 3 6 915 -498 -484 -1,816 guarantees of direct loans made by the FFB as shown below. loans sold to the FFB as loan assets, and guarantees of those loan assets. The FFB purchases are shown below. The FFB is a mechanism to finance direct loans sold or guaranteed by other Federal agencies. The deductions below eliminate overlap with transactions shown above in this table. See the introduction to Part 5 for further explanation. ENERGY 5-47 Realistic energy prices have eliminated the need for much Government spending on conservation. The budget authority request for energy conservation is reduced from $0.2 billion enacted in 1982 to $27 million in 1983. Outlays are expected to be $0.3 billion in 1983, $0.2 billion of which is for the final year of funding for grants for low income home weatherization and energy saving investments in schools and hospitals. The remaining spending under these grants is proposed to be administered by the Department of Commerce. The remaining $0.1 billion in outlays is for limited, long-term research on energy use that the private sector is unlikely to undertake. All energy conservation research is proposed to be administered by in the new Energy Research and Technology Administration in the Department of Commerce. Emergency energy preparedness.—Emergency energy preparedness programs are intended to help the economy adjust to severe disruptions in the supply of oil. A stockpile of oil (called the strategic petroleum reserve) that can be used in the event of such a disruption is the major program for this purpose. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 moved outlays for oil purchases for the reserve off-budget beginning in 1982. Offbudget outlays for the reserve are estimated to be $2.8 billion in 1982 and 1983. The reserve is expected to be filled to the limit of its capacity of 267 million barrels of oil at the end of 1982 and 343 million barrels at the end of 1983. Outlays for construction of the reserve, which are included in the budget totals, are estimated to be $0.2 billion in 1982 and $0.3 billion in 1983. Energy information, policy, and regulation.—Federal outlays for energy information, policy analysis, and regulation are estimated to decline from $1.0 billion in 1982 to $0.7 billion in 1983. Responsibilities for energy information and policy are to be administered by the Department of Commerce. The administration is proposing that the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, which is responsible for regulating natural gas and oil pipelines, hydroelectric power and electric power transmission, be re-established as an independent agency. Estimated outlays of $90 million for the Commission will be partially offset by receipts of $60 million that are proposed to be raised by levying user fees on industry. The Department of Justice is to take responsibility for the orderly phase-out of the petroleum regulatory enforcement program. The Alaska gas pipeline inspector will continue to oversee planning and construction of the portion of the Alaska natural gas pipeline that runs through the United States. 5-48 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 The budget includes estimated outlays of $0.5 billion in 1983 for the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to support the Commission's work in improving regulation of nuclear power. The administrative and other overhead costs of the Department of Energy are classified in this category. Dismantling the Department, together with other program reductions noted above, is expected to reduce 1983 outlays by approximately $1.0 billion below 1982 levels. Associated reductions in Federal employment are expected to be about 3,800 positions. Tax expenditures.—To encourage energy exploration and production, the tax code permits certain capital costs to be deducted as current expenses rather than amortized over the useful life of the property. In addition, extractive industries are generally permitted to use percentage depletion rather than cost depletion. The outlay equivalent estimates of expensing exploration and development costs, and the use of percentage depletion are $5.6 billion and $2.9 billion, respectively in 1983. A variety of residential tax incentives stimulate energy conservation and encourage conversion to energy sources other than oil or natural gas. The outlay equivalent estimates for these residential energy provisions are $0.5 billion and $0.4 billion respectively in 1983. Business investments in specified energy property are also eligible for special tax credits, in addition to the normally available investment tax credit. The outlay equivalent estimates for these alternative, conservation and new technology credits are $0.8 billion in 1983. However, in the light of the substantial benefits provided by the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 and the administation's commitment to free market forces, certain of these provisions are no longer considered warranted. Accordingly, the administration is proposing to eliminate them. Tax expenditures for energy exploration, production and conservation total $8.8 billion in 1983. NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT 5-49 NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT National Needs Statement • Ensure responsible management and conservation of natural resources held in common—air, water, and public lands. The Federal Role in Meeting the Need• Work with State governments to ensure a clean environment, with special emphasis on controlling emissions of hazardous wastes, pesticides, and toxic substances. • Manage public lands, water, timber, and minerals to balance national needs for their preservation, conservation, and economic development. • Encourage increased knowledge and understanding of the atmosphere, and of the Earth's structure, environment, and natural resources. Major policy changes instituted by the administration over the past year include: • Simplification and provision of increased State and local flexibility in administering pollution control programs. • Turning over regulation of surface coal mining and mined land reclamation to State governments as the appropriate level of government to administer this important program. • Initiation of a 5-year program to rehabilitate and improve the maintenance of the national parks for the enjoyment of the American public. • Streamlining regulations to make appropriate public land available for mineral exploration and development, encouraging additional production of energy and other strategic minerals. • Terminating River Basin Commissions. In most cases they have been replaced by locally supported organizations. Pollution control and abatement—Efforts to control and reduce pollution of air, water, and land are carried out both through direct Federal programs and through Federal financial assistance to State and local governments. Estimated outlays should decrease by 14% to $4.6 billion in 1983, mostly due to the decline in sewage treatment plant construction. Regulatory, enforcement and research programs.—The Environ- mental Protection Agency (EPA) will continue to meet its statutory mandates while emphasizing three new objectives: reducing the 5-50 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 regulatory burden on States, local governments, and regulated industries; concentrating enforcement actions against the most environmentally significant sources; and improving the agency's management efficiency by eliminating duplicative programs, functions, and responsibilities. Efforts will continue to integrate EPA's regulation of toxic pollutants emissions into air, water, and land in a more cost-effective manner. Research will concentrate on improving the scientific and technical basis of the EPA's regulatory decisions. It will emphasize support of regulatory programs that either meet statutory requirements and deadlines or focus on the most pressing environmental problems. For example, the administration expects to accelerate the multi-agency research effort on the sources, transport, and effects of acid rain by increasing budget authority for 1983 by 20% to $22.2 million. Hazardous substance response fund.—Estimated outlays for this program in 1983 are $187 million, an increase of 60% over the 1982 level. The increase reflects EPA's progress in implementing the new "Superfund" program. The hazardous substance response trust fund provides money primarily for cleaning up abandoned hazardous waste sites and for responding to hazardous chemical spills. The fund also finances EPA's vigorous enforcement program to secure cleanup by responsible private parties and to recover costs from responsible parties when fund monies are used to finance cleanup. Taxes on the oil and chemical industries provide most of the financing for these activities. Sewage treatment plant construction grants.—In recognition of program reforms enacted in December 1981, the administration requests 1982 and 1983 budget authority of $2.4 billion for grants to States and localities to construct sewage treatment facilities. The decrease in estimated outlays from 1982 to 1983, from $4.1 billion to $3.4 billion, accounts for 91% of the change in outlays for all pollution control programs. The recently enacted reforms are essential to the long-run integrity of the program because they will concentrate limited funds on the pollution problems of existing populations. This program may be included in the Federalism initiative described in Part 3 of this Budget. The program's continuation in 1984 and beyond will depend on decisions made by States and localities as part of this initiative. Water resources.—This budget provides funds to the Army's Corps of Engineers, Interior's Bureau of Reclamation, and Agriculture's Soil Conservation Service to continue construction already in progress to develop water resources. The administration proposes 5-51 NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT NATIONAL NEED: USING AND PRESERVING NATURAL RESOURCES AND IMPROVING THE ENVIRONMENT (Functional code 300; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY Pollution control and abatement: Regulatory, enforcement and research programsHazardous substance response fund Oil pollution fund Sewage treatment plant construction grants 1,281 68 28 1,605 1,045 189 5 2,400 934 229 3 2,400 934 300 3 2,000 934 355 3 2,000 Subtotal, pollution control and abatement.... 2,981 3,639 3,566 3,237 3,292 4,163 3,916 3,824 -448 4,067 -458 4,125 -475 4,163 3,916 3,376 3,609 3,650 Conservation and land management: Management of national forests, cooperative forestry and forestry research Management of public lands Mining reclamation and enforcement Conservation of agricultural lands Other, including offsetting receipts 2,054 496 178 579 -558 1,759 510 161 570 -969 1,783 455 160 428 -1,433 1,802 456 176 418 -1,529 1,782 463 187 418 -1,551 Subtotal, conservation and land management.. 2,749 2,031 1,393 1,324 1,298 319 27 176 33 69 69 69 942 1,018 1,092 -5 1,104 -10 1,123 -10 1,287 1,228 1,156 1,163 1,182 1,500 1,548 1,457 13 1,477 29 1,503 31 1,500 1,548 1,470 1,505 1,535 Water resources: Construction, operations, and maintenance, etc.. Proposed legislation (navigation user fees) Subtotal, water resources.. Recreational resources: Federal land acquisition* Urban park and historic preservation funds.. Operation of recreational resources: Existing law Proposed legislation (user fees) Subtotal, recreational resources Other natural resources: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, other natural resources.. Deductions for offsetting receipts: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, deduction for offsetting receipts.. Total, budget authority 1 -1,553 - 2 , 3 3 0 -2,409 -2,948 -3,483 -111 -144 -161 -1,553 -2,330 -2,520 -3,092 -3,644 11,128 10,030 8,440 7,746 7,313 Includes budget authority in 1981 from State outdoor recreation grants funded by the land and water conservation fund. funding at a pace that assures the timely completion of highpriority facilities, such as municipal water supply and hydroelectic power. After consultation with local project sponsors, the administration will request appropriations of up to $48 million to initiate construction by the Corps of Engineers and the Bureau of Reclamation of 5-52 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: USING AND PRESERVING NATURAL RESOURCES AND IMPROVING THE ENVIRONMENT—Continued (Functional code 300; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 1985 estimate estimate OUTLAYS Pollution control and abatement: Regulatory, enforcement and research programs.. Hazardous substance response fund Oil pollution fund Sewage treatment plant construction grants 1,264 1 23 3,881 5,169 1,207 117 11 4,050 5,384 1,070 187 6 3,350 4,613 967 255 3 2,840 4,065 944 316 3 2,680 3,943 4,215 4,106 3,855 -448 3,884 -458 3,922 -475 4,215 4,106 3,407 3,426 3,447 Conservation and land management: Management of national forests, cooperative forestry and forestry research Management of public lands Mining reclamation and enforcement Conservation of agricultural lands Other, including offsetting receipts 1,920 492 131 597 -565 1,968 489 137 572 -917 1,834 429 146 540 -1,427 1,768 430 139 450 -1,522 1,747 437 167 446 -1,546 Subtotal, conservation and land management.. 2,576 2,249 1,521 1,265 1,252 495 71 482 109 271 61 1,066 1,057 1,056 -5 1,383 1,044 -10 1,226 1,075 -10 1,194 1,485 1,569 1,494 13 1,441 29 1,508 31 1,485 1,569 1,507 1,469 1,539 -1,553 -2,330 Subtotal, pollution control and abatement... Water resources: Construction, operations, and maintenance, etc.... Proposed legislation (navigation user fees) Subtotal, water resources.. Recreational resources: Federal land acquisition 1 Urban park and historic preservation funds.. Operation of recreational resources: Existing law Proposed legislation (user fees) Subtotal, recreational resources Other natural resources: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, other natural resourcesDeductions for offsetting receipts: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, deductions for offsetting receipts. Total, outlays 1 1,632 184 126 3 -2,409 -2,948 -3,483 -111 -144 -161 -1,533 -2,330 -2,520 -3,092 -3,644 13,525 12,626 9,911 8,359 7,732 Includes outlays for State outdoor recreation grants financed by the land and water conservation fund. new water resource projects that meet the administration's criteria for non-Federal financing and cost-sharing and that are economically and environmentally sound. The administration has reduced from prior years' levels the budget for maintenance of shallow draft harbors, waterways, and commercial ports. The administration believes users should pay for NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT 5-53 most of these services and has proposed user charge legislation that would require non-Federal interests to pay the costs of Federal commercial navigation projects, such as deep draft ports and inland waterways. In the absence of user fees, adequate funds are available for maintenance activities only on waterways and ports with heavy commercial use. The administration will increase its request for appropriations for navigation project maintenance when sufficient offsetting revenues become available from user charge legislation now being considered by the Congress. Conservation and land management—Changes in these programs reflect the administration's efforts to improve the management and productivity of the national forests and public lands, to streamline major leasing programs, and to place maximum responsibility with the States for coal surface mining regulatory and reclamation programs. Management of national forests, cooperative forestry, and forestry research.—Proposed budget authority in 1983 for direct management of national forests is $70 million more than in 1982, after adjusting for variations in funds for fighting forest fires. The administration proposes a major new effort to improve the productivity of national forest management by carefully controlling costs, adjusting management procedures, and paying close attention to benefit-cost relationships. Proposals are directed at producing timber, recreation, and other outputs at the lowest costs. Careful attention will be given to both market values, such as timber, and non-market values, such as water quality, and their associated costs. Receipts—from timber sales, planned at 12.3 billion board feet (BBF), and other activities—are estimated to be $2.1 billion in 1983. This quantity of timber sales compares to estimated 1982 sales of 11.0 BBF. Sales to be made in 1983, together with the 33.6 BBF uncut volume under contract at the end of 1982, should be adequate to respond to anticipated, substantial increases in housing construction by 1983. The proposed budget provides flexibility to further increase sales in subsequent years if necessary by allowing for advance work on sale preparation and road construction. The 1983 budget proposes reductions in budget authority of $12 million for forestry research and $16 million for cooperative forestry from 1982 levels. Research projects from which businesses benefit directly will be sharply curtailed. The private sector can and should finance such commercial research. Grants to States for various management and protection activities on non-Federal lands will be reduced. 5-54 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Management of public lands.—The Bureau of Land Management administers approximately 325 million surface acres of public lands, about 370 million acres of federally owned subsurface mineral rights, and another 1.1 billion acres of the Outer Continental Shelf used for mineral exploration and development. These public lands are managed for a variety of purposes, including recreation, energy and mineral development, timber production, wilderness preservation, grazing, and watershed and wildlife protection. Estimated outlays increase in 1983 for the Outer Continental Shelf oil and gas leasing program, due to acceleration of both the number of sales planned (9) and the number of acres offered. Major leasing programs to develop tar sands and oil shale are underway. Streamlined leasing procedures allow reduced funding for the coal leasing program without affecting the two major sales scheduled in 1983. Participation of permittees in projects to maintain and improve rangelands is increasing, thereby reducing costs to the Federal Government. Revenues generated from activities on public lands, which also return payments to State and local governments, are deposited in the general fund of the Treasury to lower the national debt, or are earmarked for specific program uses. Actual receipts are predicted to increase in 1983 above 1982 due to higher revenues from oil and gas rents and royalties (see Part 4 of the Budget). Mining reclamation and enforcement.—The 1983 budget request returns maximum responsibility to the States for regulation of surface coal mining and reclamation of mined lands. Estimated outlays of $146 million in 1983 include $80 million from the abandoned mine fund. An expected carryover of reclamation grant budget authority from 1982 would supplement requested 1983 budget authority of $78.5 million. The abandoned mine fund provides grants to encourage the 26 coal-producing States to assume primary responsibility for reclamation of lands mined for coal and abandoned prior to 1977. States are also eligible for grants to finance partially programs that regulate coal mining on private and State lands. In addition, States will be reimbursed if they agree to regulate mines located on Federal lands. Conservation of agricultural lands.—Proposed budget authority for these programs in 1983 is $428 million, compared with $570 million in 1982. Technical and financial assistance for soil and water conservation will concentrate on high priority soil and water resource problems. This will achieve the major conservation benefits achieved under current funding levels. To improve the productivity of conservation activities, the administration proposes $10 million in budget authority for a pilot program of matching grants to induce States to increase technical assistance for soil and water NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT 5-55 conservation in high priority problem areas. This will enable State governments to play a significantly greater role in managing and allocating funds for conservation programs. Other conservation and land management—The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) provides grants to States to develop and carry out their coastal zone management (CZM) programs and to mitigate the socio-economic and environmental impacts of coastal energy development activities. NOAA also protects unique estuarine and marine areas through its sanctuaries program. A total of 27 States (87% of the U.S. coastline) already have received 8 years of Federal assistance for coastal zone management and have coastal zone management plans approved by NOAA. States and their localities should assume responsibility for management of coastal zones. The Federal Government has provided more than adequate funding for the States to develop and implement their CZM programs. Furthermore, offshore oil and gas developments are less than originally anticipated and States and localities have the capability to handle them. The administration requests no budget authority for CZM State grants or coastal energy impact assistance grants in 1983. The sanctuaries program is proposed to continue at a reduced level of budget authority of $6 million in 1983. Total outlays in 1983 for these programs are estimated to be $16 million. Recreational resources.—The Federal Government operates and preserves national parks, recreation areas, historic sites, wild and scenic rivers, fish hatcheries, and wildlife refuges. The administration's policy is to improve and maintain nationally significant recreation resources rather than expand the Federal estate. The administration also is leaving to State and local governments decisions concerning acquisition and development of their own parks and other recreational resources. The administration is committed to making national resources widely available to the public for their enjoyment. Estimated outlays in 1983 are $1.4 billion, which is $0.3 billion below 1982. The administration will propose legislation to increase entrance and user fees for recreational use of Federal lands and facilities. Increased receipts for 1983 are estimated to be about $60 million. (Some of these receipts offset recreational resources outlays, while the rest offset the entire natural resources and environment function.) Federal land acquisition.—Four Federal agencies—the Forest Service, Park Service, Fish and Wildlife Service, and Bureau of Land Management—will request a total of $69 million in 1983 5-56 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 budget authority for new recreation lands. Funds will continue to come from receipts deposited into the land and water conservation fund, and will pay only for outstanding court awards for land where the prior administration already had begun the purchase process, for exchanges, and for acquisition of selected and specifically authorized areas. Operation of recreational resources.—An important administration initiative in the operation of recreational resources is a 5-year effort to correct for insufficient maintenance in the past and to assure the quality and accessibility of the national parks to all Americans in the future. As part of this effort, the 1983 budget proposes $190 million in budget authority for Park Service construction and repair, including $105 million for the Administration's park restoration and improvement program. Total budget authority to operate and improve the 333 parks, covering 74 million acres, of the National Park System is proposed at $677 million, a 9% increase over 1982. The Fish and Wildlife Service requests $416 million in budget authority to manage 89 million acres of wildlife refuges, operate 58 fish hatcheries, administer programs to protect endangered species, and provide grants to States for managing hunting and fishing programs. The 1983 budget includes measures to improve overall program efficiency, such as closing facilities not of national significance and streamlining the administrative structure. Other natural resources.—These activities focus on understanding, conservation, and careful husbandry of the Earth's resources, structure, and environment through research and development and information dissemination programs. They comprise elements of the Geological Survey, the Bureau of Mines, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. For the Geological Survey, total outlays in 1983 are an estimated $520 million. An increase in budget authority of $7 million is proposed for development of an automated system to account for royalties from oil and gas production on Federal and Indian lands. Other increases are proposed for resource evaluations on the Outer Continental Shelf, inspection of oil and gas operations, hydrologic studies of acid rain and toxic waste problems, and provision of natural gas to Point Barrow, Alaska. These increases are offset by decreases from three other initiatives: savings from streamlined procedures in mineral leasing and regulatory programs; reductions in lower priority programs; and lower administrative costs. The administration estimates outlays of $136 million in 1983 for the Bureau of Mines, compared with $153 million in 1982. The reduction reflects a reorientation of government research away from technology development and demonstration for direct applica- NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT 5-57 tion to the mining industry. That research should be financed by the private sector, which benefits directly from it. The administration also expects that 1981 tax law changes will encourage industry to carry on more mining research. Funding for NOAA programs (other than coastal zone management) reflects a decrease in budget authority from $830 million to $759 million (about an 8.6% decrease) in 1983. Estimated outlays for 1983 are $785 million. This funding would continue the basic NOAA programs: national weather service; civil environmental satellite remote sensing; fisheries research, management, and development; ocean and atmospheric research and development; research fleet operations; aeronautical and nautical mapping and charting and geodetic surveying; and, a national environmental data storage and retrieval system. Increases for NOAA include system changes for the satellite communication network and operational responsibility for LANDSAT satellite system, a satellite weather information system for the weather forecast offices and acid rain research. Reductions in NOAA programs include: elimination of one polar orbiting satellite, closure of 45 weather stations, phaseout of fisheries industry development activities, and decreases in or elimination of various oceanic and atmospheric research and service programs. The Columbia River hatcheries and the Pribilof Island operations will be phased over to the benefitting States and industries. The administration proposes to recover—by 1985—the full cost of producing aeronautical and nautical charts from users. Likewise, users of the LANDSAT data will be charged to recover the system's operating costs. The NOAA aviation weather program will be financed from the airport and airway trust fund administered by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) since it is a subsidy to the aviation industry. Offsetting receipts.—Total offsetting receipts from natural resources and environment activities are expected to rise from $3.4 billion in 1982 to $4.5 billion in 1983 (part of which is discussed previously in this section). Approximately 15% of this $1.5 billion increment is due to sharp increases in both volume and price of timber harvests in the national forests. Receipts that offset the functional totals come mostly from rents and royalties from land and minerals and sales of timber, from fees for miscellaneous services, and from selling other products and publications. The administration anticipates that the additional offsetting receipts will come from three other sources for which legislation has been proposed: • inland waterway user charges; • deep draft harbor and channel user charges; • increases in recreation user fees. 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 1 1 5-58 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 CREDIT PROGRAMS—NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT (In millions of dollars) Guaranteed loan commitments Direct loan obligations Program Water resources Total, natural resources and environment. 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 25 27 39 25 37 39 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Credit programs.—Direct loans are made to State and local organizations for construction and rehabilitation of non-Federal irrigation, and municipal and industrial water systems. Direct loan obligations in 1983 are proposed to be $39 billion. Tax expenditures.—As an incentive to encourage production, certain capital costs associated with exploration and development of nonfuel-minerals may be expensed rather than depreciated over the life of the asset. Most nonfuel-mineral extractors use percentage depletion, rather than cost depletion. Percentage depletion is more generous than cost depletion in that deductions are not limited to the cost of the investment. The outlay equivalent estimates for those two provisions are $90 million and $640 million, respectively in 1983. Interest on State and local government debt issued to finance the pollution control facilities of private firms is excluded from income subject to tax; the resulting outlay equivalent estimate for 1983 is $1.0 billion. Expenditures made before January 1982 to preserve and restore certain historic structures were eligible for special accelerated depreciation. The outlay equivalent estimate for this provision is $75 million. The gains on the cutting of timber and royalties from iron ore deposits are taxed at rates applicable to long-term capital gains rather than ordinary income. In addition, up to $10,000 of direct costs incurred in a taxable year to forest or reforest a site for the commercial production of timber may be amortized over a 7-year period. The outlay equivalent estimate for these two provisions is $1.1 billion and $30 million respectively. Tax expenditures for natural resources and environment total $2.9 billion in 1983. AGRICULTURE 5-59 AGRICULTURE National Needs Statement: • Ensure agricultural capacity to meet domestic and export demands for food and fiber. The Federal Role in Meeting the Need: • Ensure a healthy, free-market oriented U.S. farm economy with minimal Government interference. • Mitigate the effects of commodity price fluctuations on American farmers through price support, crop insurance, and various agricultural credit programs. • Encourage the conduct of research to increase the quality and production of agricultural commodities. • Provide agricultural commodity marketing services on a user fee basis. This administration has made several major changes in the agriculture function over the past year by: • instituting user charges for cotton classing, tobacco grading, and warehouse inspection and licensing, and broadening the coverage of user charges for grain inspection; • expanding Federal crop insurance to many additional agricultural counties; • reforming the emergency disaster loan program to prevent abuse while continuing to help family-size farm operators recover from damage caused by natural disasters; and • setting interest rates for price support and related loans at the cost of U.S. Treasury borrowing. In addition, the Agriculture and Food Act of 1981 (Public Law 97-98, enacted in December 1981) makes a number of changes in the way farm programs will operate, including the following: • Dairy price support was made more flexible so that increased production can be discouraged during times of constant or declining demand and so that excessive Government outlays can be avoided. • Acreage allotment controls were eliminated from the peanut and rice programs. • Other commodity price support levels were increased to allow for increased farm costs, and added flexibility was provided in production controls, loan rates and disaster payments. • Grain reserve programs were improved by providing added flexibility to respond to changing supply and demand. 5-60 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: IMPROVED AGRICULTURE (Functional code 350; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY Farm income stabilization: Commodity price support and related programs.. Crop insurance Agricultural credit Other programs and unallocated overhead 4,207 7,085 58 425 573 464 211 62 3,828 4,336 717 574 682 819 62 62 1,858 508 564 62 Subtotal, farm income stabilization 5,049 8,037 5,289 5,790 2,992 657 314 703 312 703 310 703 307 119 117 -2 115 115 Agricultural research and services: Research programs Extension programs Marketing programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Animal and plant health programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Economic intelligence Other programs and unallocated overhead.. Offsetting receipts Subtotal, agricultural research and services. Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority 630 304 291 283 156 176 -78 160 119 -77 233 196 151 * 175 175 175 126 126 126 -84 -84 -84 1,559 1,576 1,580 1,541 1,494 38 -4 -4 -4 -4 6,646 9,609 6,865 7,328 4,482 *$500 thousand or less. Total outlays for the agriculture function are estimated to drop from $8.6 billion in 1982 to $4,5 billion in 1983. The decrease is predominantly in commodity pi ice support and related programs. Farm income stabilization.—These programs are the major Federal involvement in the agricultural sector, representing 65% of estimated 1983 outlays in the agriculture function. Price support outlays are highly variable and subject to the uncertainties of weather and of markets at hone and abroad. The estimated outlays shown for 1983 of $2.9 billion are not limits on assistance, and they will vary upward or downward depending upon market conditions. Commodity price support and related programs.—Price support and related programs were created to stabilize, support, and protect farm income and prices and to help the orderly distribution and maintenance of a balanced and adequate supply of agricultural commodities and their product*. The Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC) provides price support to producers of agricultural commodities through loans, purchases, payments and other means. 5-61 AGRICULTURE NATIONAL NEED: IMPROVED AGRICULTURE—Continued (Functional code 350; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs OUTLAYS Farm income stabilization: Commodity price support and related programs.. Crop insurance Agricultural credit Other programs and unallocated overhead Subtotal, farm income stabilization.. Agricultural research and services: Research programs Extension programs Marketing programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Animal and plant health programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Economic intelligence Other programs and unallocated overheadOffsetting receipts Subtotal, agricultural research and services.. Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 4,036 6,343 1,850 2,215 1,765 1 212 431 436 318 405 857 -228 844 698 184 81 60 60 3,993 7,041 2,926 3,564 3,105 624 301 667 310 694 308 696 306 698 304 87 125 117 115 115 282 289 238 196 151 147 177 -78 160 121 -77 175 126 -84 175 126 -84 175 126 -84 1,540 1,596 1,572 1,530 1,485 38 -4 -4 5,572 8,633 4,494 5,090 4,586 6,815 5,790 5,391 3,071 4,952 3,802 1,066 - 3 9 4 - 4 4 3 - 3 5 5 ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Agricultural credit: Budget authority Outlays *$500 thousand or less. Outlays for price support programs are projected to decrease from $6.3 billion in 1982 to $1.8 billion in 1983. This decrease is partly a result of changes that add flexibility to price support programs, embodied in the Agriculture and Food Act of 1981, and partly a reflection of anticipated improvements in agricultural markets. Outlays estimated for 1982 are abnormally high because of farm price conditions; 1983 outlays are projected to be closer to the norm. The United States is the world's largest exporter of farm products. Many countries depend on us for food, and we look to them as markets for our farm products. The value of agricultural exports in 1981 was $44 billion while imports totaled $17 billion, resulting in a positive trade balance of $27 billion. Exports are expected to grow to approximately $46 billion in 1982 and to about $48 billion in 1983. This would create positive trade balances of $28 billion and $30 billion, respectively. 5-62 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Export credit is provided by CCC through a loan guarantee program for commercial and non-commercial export sales that would not occur without the Federal credit guarantee. Federal export credit will expand from $755 million in 1977 to loan guarantee commitments of $2.5 billion per year in 1982 and 1983. This is the highest level of Federally-backed credit ever extended for agricultural exports. Crop insurance.—The Federal Crop Insurance Corporation offers insurance to producers against crop losses from natural hazards. Under the Federal Crop Insurance Act of 1980, the new all-risk crop insurance program will serve 3,000 counties in 1983. Starting in 1983, the expanded insurance program replaces CCC disaster payments while the Farmers Home Administration emergency loan program will be significantly curtailed. Outlays depend primarily on the weather, the number of participants, and crop prices. Outlays are estimated to increase by $0.1 billion in 1983 due to program expansion. (Small business disaster loans, also available under limited circumstances to farmers, are discussed under community and regional development.) Agricultural credit.—New agricultural loan commitments under the agricultural credit insurance fund totaled $8.0 billion in 1981, with approximately 79% of this amount going for disaster and economic emergency loans. Outlays arising from direct loans in this account are financed off-budget through the Federal Financing Bank. Thus, these outlays are excluded from the budget deficit, but they are included in the off-budget deficit. Total new direct loan obligations by the agricultural credit insurance fund (ACIF) are estimated to decline from $8.0 billion in 1981 to $3.7 billion in 1982 and in 1983, largely because of expiration of the economic emergency loan program in 1983 and tighter disaster loan eligibility requirements. The budget does not provide for 1983 extension of the economic emergency loan program, since expanded crop insurance, farm ownership loans, and expanded operating loans will meet the needs of family farmers who formerly participated in the economic emergency loan program. Agricultural research and services.—Research helps to increase agricultural productivity, and it expands knowledge of human nutrition and food safety. The research program will be reoriented in 1983 to focus on long-term, high risk, and potentially high payoff research with widely dispersed benefits. Research also will focus on areas of Federal responsibility, such as specific regulations. Shortterm applied research and development, from which the agricultural industry can expect to benefit, will be phased out of the Federal 5-63 AGRICULTURE AGRICULTURAL CREDIT INSURANCE FUND—LOAN OBLIGATIONS (In millions of dollars) Loan program Farm ownership . Farm operating Emergency: Natural disasters 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 795 823 700 1,325 700 1,460 5,112 1,245 49 24 1,600 1,540 Economic Soil and water Other 47 56 25 12 Total 8,048 3,728 3,737 programs. The groups that benefit directly will be expected to finance such research in the future. Animal and plant health.—The Federal Government carries out a number of programs to prevent the introduction and spread of plant and animal pests and diseases that can cause severe losses in crop yields or livestock. The most significant change in this area is the proposal to phase in a voluntary control program for brucellosis and to terminate the costly control and eradication programs now financed by Federal and State Departments of Agriculture. The Federal Government has spent over $900 million over 47 years in efforts to eradicate this disease, which now can be controlled through vaccination financed by livestock owners. By 1985, savings of $85 million per year will accrue to the general taxpayer. Tax expenditures.—Agriculture is promoted by several tax expenditures. The tax code permits farmers to treat certain capital outlays as current expenses and allows capital gains treatment for certain types of ordinary income. The 1983 outlay equivalent estimates for these two provisions are $570 million and $555 million, respectively. The tax expenditures for agriculture total $1.2 billion in 1983. Credit programs.—A number of programs in this function are credit programs. In some instances, the amount of credit extended under these programs is only partially reflected in the budget totals. Some of the activity occurs in guaranteed loans, and another portion is financed as off-budget direct loans. Related programs.—Several programs, classified in other sections of Part 5 of this Budget, complement the programs in agriculture. The two most significant of these programs are: • Public Law 480, international food aid provided through CCC, classified in the international affairs section; and • soil and water conservation, classified in the natural resources and environment section. 5-64 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 CREDIT PROGRAMS—AGRICULTURE (In millions of dollars) Direct loan obligations Program 1981 actual Price support and related commodity loans (CCC) Agricultural and emergency credit (FmHA): 1 New loans Repurchases and guarantees of loan assets Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: 2 Agricultural credit insurance fund Subtotal, gross Less: Loan assets sold to the FFB: Agricultural and emergency credit (FmHA) Total, agriculture 1982 estimate Guaranteed loan commitments 1983 estimate 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 5,872 8,600 6,560 2,015 2,500 2,500 8,048 1,181 3,728 4,468 3,737 3,481 49 6,910 201 5,391 131 3,071 6,815 5,391 3,071 21,916 22,187 16,889 8,973 8,092 5,702 -6,815 -5,391 -3,071 -6,815 15,101 16,796 13,818 2,158 -5391 -3,071 2,701 2,631 1 Includes 2 loans sold to the FFB as loan assets, and guarantees of those loan assets. The FFB purchases are shown below. The FFB is a mechanism to finance direct loans sold or guaranteed by other Federal agencies. The deductions below eliminate overlap with transactions shown above in this table. See the introduction to Part 5 for further explanation. OUTLAYS FOR FEDERAL PROGRAMS THAT SUPPORT THE AGRICULTURE MISSIONS (In millions of dollars) Program title Disaster loans, drought assistance, and emergency conservationConservation of agricultural lands Rural development programs Public Law 480 food aid Food safety and inspection service Primary function in budget 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 453 - 6 13 302 597 572 540 452 839 1,066 1,217 150 1,254 1,141 1,028 554 377 310 321 COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT 5-65 COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT National Needs Statement: • Seek to maximize the private financing of mortgage credit. • Assure fair and equitable opportunities for business development and growth. The Federal Role in Meeting the Need: • Reduce Federal involvement in the Nation's credit markets to help relieve pressure on interest rates. Reduce the size of current Federal credit programs as one contribution to this end. • Encourage the restructuring of the mortgage lending industry. • Target scarce Federal commerce and housing credit resources to those who are not adequately served by private credit markets, including residents of distressed urban and rural areas. Commerce and housing credit programs provide support to the business and housing sectors in the areas of mortgage credit and thrift insurance, the postal service, and other areas of commerce, including small business assistance. These credit programs are only marginally affected by Federal programs as a whole. Rather, credit levels are largely the result of economic conditions and aggregate Federal sector activity. The 1983 Budget provides $3.4 billion in budget authority and $1.6 billion in estimated budget outlays to meet these national needs. Mortgage credit and thrift insurance programs and activities comprise the largest portion of this assistance, with $1.6 billion in budget authority in 1983. A prolonged period of record high interest rates has resulted in the deepest decline in the housing industry since World War II. Total housing starts in calendar year 1981 were about 1.2 million units, down slightly from 1.3 million in 1980. As overall economic conditions improve and interest rates decline in the second half of 1982, the housing sector should return to higher levels of activity. Housing starts are projected to be about 1.5 million units annually by the end of calendar year 1982. The administration's emphases on deregulation and institutional improvements in financial markets have prevented housing activity from being even lower. Liberalized retirement (IRA and Keogh) accounts, which became effective January 1, 1982, will increase the flow of savings to mortgage lenders and enable them to compete 5-66 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 more effectively for available funds. New mortgage instruments have contributed significantly to mortgage lenders' ability to lend new money at competitive rates. Strong underlying demand for housing by the post-World War II baby boom generation has also provided support for the housing sector. The quality of the nation's housing stock improved substantially after the Second World War and has continued to improve in the last decade. In 1940, almost half of all housing units were dilapidated or lacked plumbing. By 1970, less than 10% fell into that category. During the decade of the 1970's, the percent of units with one or more physical defects fell from 10% of the housing stock in 1973 to 7.5% in 1977. This improvement has resulted largely from the strong performance of the private housing market and the growth in family incomes. Overall housing quality is expected to continue to improve as both the private housing market and the national economy regain strength. As a result, direct Federal assistance (which is discussed in the income security function) will be directed toward helping low-income households obtain decent housing. Federal housing credit will be directed toward those groups that the private sector inadequately serves. Investment opportunities that yield high interest rates have not been uniformly available to all Americans, especially those with limited assets and those less able to shift to more profitable investments. The administration has demonstrated its commitment to greater equity in the provision of financial services through support of the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980. The law provides for an orderly phasing out of regulatory restrictions on the earnings of deposits at banks and savings institutions. This will enable savers to receive competitive rates of return on their investments in these institutions. The administration seeks to reduce Federal and Federally-assisted demands for credit and, by so doing, reduce interest rates and increase the supply of funds available for private investors. Major proposed reductions in Federal loan guarantees in 1982 include $20 billion in the commitment level of the Government National Mortgage Association's (GNMA) mortgage-backed securities program and $1 billion in the authorized guarantee commitment levels for the Small Business Administration (SBA). The 1983 Budget requests further reductions in commerce and housing credit programs. These credit reductions should relieve pressure on interest rates without adversely affecting the industries involved. Where Federal involvement is necessary and justified, the principal concern is to target scarce Federal resources efficiently and effectively to those groups with the greatest need. This budget ensures the efficient and effective use of limited Federal credit resources by: COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT 5-67 • targeting rural housing programs to low-income families occupying substandard housing; • targeting the guaranteed credit assistance of the Small Business Administration more effectively to those firms for which a valid case can be made that the market overestimates the risk of credit or underestimates its return in terms of achieving social objectives (e.g., counteracting discrimination); • deregulating the interest rate on FHA-insured mortgages and, thereby, allowing it to be determined by the market; • ensuring a strong private economy by acting only as a lender of last resort in certain areas, thus reducing inflationary and interest rate pressures and increasing the amount of credit available for productive investment in the private sector; and • redirecting FHA mortgage insurance programs to those groups not served by the private mortgage market. Mortgage credit and thrift insurance.—The most pressing need of both the housing industry and individual homebuyers is lower interest rates. Overall Federal credit reductions will exert downward pressure on interest rates and allow the private housing sector opportunity for growth. The focus of government mortgage credit programs will be on areas the private sector cannot serve, particularly distressed rural areas and central-cities. Savings and loan associations now have the authority to offer new types of adjustable rate mortgages (ARM's). These will allow primary mortgage lenders to receive approximately the market rate of return for the entire duration of long-term loans. Previously, lenders were locked into fixed rates. This situation led to earnings problems in a volatile interest rate climate, especially in 1980 and 1981. Furthermore, proposals by the Federal Home Loan Bank Board to restructure thrift institutions are intended to ensure that these providers of mortgage credit can function profitably over the long term. These measures, which are currently before the Congress, include the expansion of non-mortgage lending to consumers, broadened real estate investment activity, and the authority to offer demand deposits to any customer. Mortgage purchase activities.—The Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA) has provided support for the mortgage market through two major activities: • guarantees of mortgage-backed securities; and • purchases of below market rate tandem mortgages. In 1981, with a commitment limitation of $64 billion, the mortgage-backed securities program issued commitments of $42 billion and guaranteed $17 billion in securities backed by pools of mortgages that were either insured by the Federal Housing Administration or guaranteed by the Veterans Administration. In 1982, a 5-68 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: PROMOTION OF COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT (Functional code 370; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY Mortgage credit and thrift insurance: Department of Housing and Urban Development: Mortgage purchase activities (GNMA) Mortgage credit (FHA) Housing for the elderly or handicapped Department of Agriculture—rural housing programs National Credit Union Administration 1,358 412 797 596 15 1,252 252 745 1,583 230 2 134 277 1,112 121 247 189 402 1,539 130 274 283 456 1,700 150 Subtotal, mortgage credit and thrift insurance 3,178 4,061 1,646 2,507 2,863 1,343 619 500 500 500 875 105 570 52 379 382 346 242 263 270 185 233 -41 199 235 50 160 241 55 173 1 529 1 532 1 511 1 510 2,022 1,603 1,282 1,238 1,216 _7 -8 -8 -8 -8 6,537 6,275 3,419 4,237 4,571 Postal Service Other advancement of commerce: Small business assistance National Consumer Cooperative Bank Technology utilization: Existing law Proposed legislation. . . Economic and demographic statistics Chrysler Corporation loan guarantees (administrative expenses) Other.. . Subtotal, other advancement of commerce Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority 510 limitation of $48 billion is requested on commitments for GNMAguaranteed securities and $28.5 billion are expected to be guaranteed. A 20% reduction from the 1982 commitment limitation, $38.4 billion, is proposed for 1983 and $32 billion of securities are expected to be guaranteed. Tandem mortgage purchase activities will conclude with the award of about $2 billion of commitments in 1982. No further mortgage purchase authority is proposed for 1983. This is largely because of the proposed termination of most new subsidized housing construction programs discussed in the income security function. Also, subsidized mortgage financing for otherwise unsubsidized middle income rental housing will be discontinued. Not only is the private market better able to determine where and when such housing should be constructed, but scarce federal housing subsidies must also be directed to the truly needy. Despite the termination of the section 8 tandem and targeted tandem subsidized mortgage programs in 1983, GNMA will continue to carry out a large volume of mortgage purchase ($2 billion) and sales ($2.5 billion) activity in 1983. Outlays for this program are estimated to 5-69 COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT NATIONAL NEED: PROMOTION OF COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT—Continued (Functional code 370; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs OUTLAYS Mortgage credit and thrift insurance: Department of Housing and Urban Development: Mortgage purchase activities (GNMA) Mortgage credit (FHA) Housing for the elderly or handicapped Department of Agriculture—rural housing programs.. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation National Credit Union Administration Subtotal, mortgage credit and thrift insurance.. Postal Service Other advancement of commerce: Small business assistance National Consumer Cooperative Bank Technology utilization: Existing law Proposed legislation Economic and demographic statistics Chrysler Corporation loan guarantees (administrative expenses) Other Subtotal, other advancement of commerce.. Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1,148 1,032 1,135 1,414 510 182 -245 -1,179 -1,155 -1,142 817 711 286 -51 165 -129 1,095 1,619 1,725 1,777 -1,726 -1,800 -2,000 -2,050 -2,850 370 38 -150 -400 -720 104 117 -10 93 117 -184 - 3 9 9 -2,143 651 925 1,343 619 500 500 500 812 131 602 86 368 358 281 242 259 286 194 233 -45 192 234 -51 159 238 -55 171 1 487 1 585 1 535 1 505 501 1,959 1,728 1,284 1,206 1,136 3,265 1,591 1,298 -516 348 554 1,786 713 851 851 6,045 4,045 5,619 3,249 3,537 852 4,060 130 2,188 78 165 119 275 224 240 179 240 174 240 169 -7 3,946 ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entities: Postal Service: Budget authority Outlays Federal Financing Bank: Rural housing insurance fund: Budget authority Outlays Small business assistance: Budget authority Outlays.-. be $1.3 billion in 1983. Total outlays for GNMA mortgage purchase activities are estimated to be $1.1 billion in 1983. Credit reductions in the GNMA mortgage-backed securities program will not have a major impact on the amount of housing available to consumers. To the contrary, an important effect of the GNMA reductions will be to further encourage and accelerate the development of what is already a predominately private sector housing market. Two government-sponsored enterprises, the Feder- 5-70 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 al National Mortgage Association (FNMA) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (FHLMC), have developed conventional mortgage-backed securities programs in the secondary mortgage market that will be operating in 1982. Furthermore, the most pressing need of the housing industry is lower interest rates. Federal credit reductions should relieve pressure on interest rates and lead to a sustainable and non-inflationary recovery of the mortgage finance and construction industries. Mortgage credit.—The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) provides mortgage and loan insurance for families who may be unable to obtain a mortgage without Federal insurance. Many families, particularly first-time homebuyers, can only afford a low downpayment when purchasing a home. Mortgage lenders, however, are reluctant to make low downpayment loans unless the mortgages are insured. Although private mortgage insurers currently insure more mortgages and charge lower premiums than FHA, some homebuyers—particularly those able to make only very low downpayments—may be unable to obtain private mortgage insurance. Thus, they require FHA mortgage insurance if they are to be able to purchase a home. In addition, FHA insurance is often used in conjunction with GNMA guarantees of securities backed by FHA-insured mortgages. These securities provide mortgage bankers and other lenders with the means to make funds available for mortgages without having to use much, if any, of their own capital. Partially in response to the tremendous growth of private mortgage insurance, the President has appointed a Commission on Housing to consider a range of housing issues. The Commission recommended, in its October Interim Report, that FHA insurance be continued for segments of the housing market not adequately served by the private sector. The administration is requesting $35 billion of new loan guarantee commitment authority for 1983. The request reflects projections of future housing activity and, more importantly, the recognition that private mortgage insurers will be able to adequately serve a larger share of the housing market. Beginning this year, FHA will use a simplified foreclosure method enacted as part of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981. This new law will expedite the foreclosure of multifamily mortgages held by the Secretary of the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). Legislation is being proposed this year to modify bankruptcy laws to ensure the effectiveness of this expedited forecloseure procedure. Previously, long periods were required to complete foreclosure under certain State laws. This led to numerous problems, including: deterioration in the condition of the properties involved, substantial Federal management and holding COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT 5-71 expenditures, vandalism, fire, depreciation and damage, and decline of the neighborhoods in which the properties were located. The use of a uniform and more expeditious foreclosure procedure will not only help ameliorate these conditions, but will also remove foreclosure proceedings from the courts, which are already overcrowded. The administration is proposing a different method for collecting insurance premiums on insured single-family mortgages beginning in 1983. Instead of paying monthly premiums for the life of the mortgages, homebuyers with FHA-insured mortgages will either pay a lump sum at the time of settlement or have the insurance added to the mortgage total. In the latter case, this change will have little effect on the homebuyer's monthly payment. Administrative costs and the burden of monthly premium collections will be eliminated in either case. In addition, legislation to remove current statutory ceilings on interest rates for FHA-insured mortgages is being proposed. FHA also limits the number of points, or advanced interest, that FHAinsured homebuyers may be charged. Points are interest charges that are paid at the time a property is purchased and are used by lenders to increase effective interest rates on FHA-insured mortgages. Each point equals one percent of the mortgage amount. Although the additional points cannot be passed on to the buyer directly, they are passed on indirectly through increased home prices. The proposed deregulation measure will allow mortgage markets to operate more effectively and will benefit buyers by reducing artificially increased home prices. Finally, legislation to remove current restrictions on the sale of FHA defaulted properties is being proposed. Low income tenants can be better served through the administration's proposed modified Section 8 certificate program, while allowing the private market to determine the most economical use of particular properties. This change will facilitate faster sale of FHA properties. All of these factors are expected to result in an increase in net receipts to the FHA fund from $245 million in 1982 to $1,179 million in 1983. Housing for the elderly or handicapped.—In addition to supporting private market mortgage financing with FHA insurance, HUD provides direct loans to finance housing for the elderly and the handicapped. The budget provides for $453 million of new loan commitments in 1983 and continues to support housing for the handicapped in the form of a $40 million set-aside for nonelderly handicapped households. The administration plans to sell $4.6 billion of these direct loans starting with $1.1 billion in 1983. There is no reason for the Federal Government to continue to hold these loans once the projects have been constructed. Legislation will be 5-72 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 proposed to facilitate such sales. Outlays for this program are estimated to be $711 million in 1982 and $286 million in 1983. The decline in 1983 outlays reflects the estimated receipts from the loan sales. Department of Agriculture rural housing programs.—The Farmers Home Administration (FmHA) of the Department of Agriculture administers direct loan programs for homeownership, repair, rental, and farm labor housing. These programs are available in any rural community of 10 thousand or less, and in communities of 10 to 20 thousand outside of a standard metropolitan statistical area (SMSA). Loans are made at interest rates that may be as low as 1%. In addition, a rural rental assistance program assists the tenants of FmHA-financed rental housing. Related grant programs to repair inadequate single family housing, and grants for farm labor projects are classified in the income security function. The 1983 budget proposes $1.1 billion in new direct loans, a reduction of $2.6 billion from the 1982 level. Budget authority of $185 million for rural rental assistance payments is requested to cover the entire life of contracts negotiated in 1983. The reduction in FmHA direct lending is part of a general effort to limit the growth of Federal outlays and to reduce dependence on the Federal Government as a major source of credit. The reduced Federal involvement in credit markets should help to relieve pressure on interest rates in the housing sector. While a reduced program level is proposed, FmHA will improve its efforts to ensure that truly needy households are the primary beneficiaries of the rural housing programs. The agency will enforce a credit-elsewhere test to determine eligibility for homeownership loans. Outlays for FmHA housing programs in this function are estimated to increase from $1.1 billion in 1982 to $1.6 billion in 1983 due primarily to reduced loan repayments. Banking and thrift insurance.—A number of programs enhance the safety and soundness of the banking system and affect its responsiveness to the needs of both savers and borrowers. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) insures the deposits of all federally and many State chartered commercial and savings banks. Receipts of the FDIC are estimated to exceed expenses by $1.8 billion in 1982 and $2.0 billion in 1983. The Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation (FSLIC) insures deposits in savings and loan associations. In 1982, the costs of the FSLIC are estimated to exceed its receipts by only $38 million, which is significantly less than the $370 million cost to the fund in 1981. As economic conditions improve in 1983, receipts are estimated to exceed costs by $150 million. COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT 5-73 The National Credit Union Administration (NCUA) regulates credit unions and insures depositors' accounts. The Insurance Fund of NCUA insures the shares of credit union depositors. In 1983 receipts of the fund are estimated to exceed costs by $1 million. Total net outlays for the NCUA are estimated to be $104 million in 1983. The NCUA also operates a central liquidity facility that provides loans to member credit unions to meet their liquidity needs. The facility is intended to serve as a source of financing only after other sources have been used. It is estimated that the central liquidity facility will provide a gross total of $473 million in loans in 1983 compared to $330 million in 1982. Postal Service.—The Postal Reorganization Act of 1970 established the U.S. Postal Service as an independent part of the executive branch. The Act charges it to provide prompt and efficient mail services to patrons at reasonable rates and fees. Outlays for the general operations of the Postal Service are excluded from Federal budget totals, except for the Federal subsidy payment. In the past this payment covered certain liabilities of the former Post Office Department, public service payments that provide a direct postal subsidy, and reimbursements for revenue forgone by carrying certain classes of mail at free and reduced rates. The request for 1983 reflects the administration's policy that the costs of operating the Nation's postal system should be paid directly by mailers, not by the taxpaying public. Budget authority of $500 million is requested for 1983, $119 million below the President's 1982 request. This reduction will result in an elimination of the public service subsidy and payments to offset the liabilities of the former Post Office Department. The budget also includes a limitation on the Postal Service's authority to borrow from the Treasury. For fiscal year 1983, the maximum amount of funds available would be limited to $1 billion annually, with the stipulations that no more than $500 million could be used for operating expenses and the repayment schedule could not exceed 12 months. This limitation is consistent with the administration's objective of maintaining effective credit control procedures. The off-budget outlays of the Postal Service, $0.7 billion in 1983, represent the difference between its gross expenditures and its gross receipts. The estimates for 1982 and 1983 reflect the increased revenues resulting from the increase in postal rates that became effective on November 1, 1981. Other advancement of commerce.—Federal programs attempt to assure fair and equitable business opportunities by collecting and disseminating information on the economy and by providing technical assistance and guaranteed loans. 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 1 2 5-74 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Small business assistance.—Net outlays for assistance to small business are estimated to total $0.4 billion in 1983, a reduction of $0.2 billion from the 1982 level. The budget request for the Small Business Administration (SBA) calls for elimination of subsidized direct loans, $2.8 billion in new commitments for guaranteed business loans, including $125 million for small business investment companies (SBIC's), and $41 million in direct financing for minority enterprise small business investment companies (MESBIC's). The reduction in SBA financial assistance is an integral part of the administration's effort to reduce Federal credit programs and, thereby, increase private credit availability for businesses. As a group, small businesses will benefit more from the administration's efforts to stabilize financial markets, reduce interest rates, eliminate burdensome regulations, and lower inflation than from direct Federal credit subsidies. In particular, subsidized direct loans have been very costly to the small business community as a whole. Not only do such loans directly increase the need for Federal borrowing, they also create a competitive advantage for some small firms over others that are equally deserving. Since the vast majority of small businesses are obtaining financing without Federal assistance, the administration plans to limit assistance only to those businesses for which a valid case can be made that market imperfections exist. Consistent with this philosophy, 17% of SBA's guaranteed business loans will be targeted to minority-owned firms in 1983. In addition, the budget proposes that the non-credit minority business assistance programs in the Department of Commerce and the SBA continue to operate in 1983 at the 1982 program level of $101 million—an increase of $26 million over the actual 1981 level. National Consumer Cooperative Bank.—The National Consumer Cooperative Bank began operations in 1979 and made its first loans in 1980 with Federal funding. The Bank makes loans at market interest rates to finance a wide variety of cooperatively owned businesses. In 1981 legislation was passed that moves the Bank toward the status of a private financial institution. No funds are in the budget to finance its operations or to cover any of its liabilities. Technology utilization.—In addition to the initiatives to encourage innovation and productivity growth that are built into the tax reduction and deregulation components of the economic recovery program, the administration proposes that the Department of Commerce: • expand and modernize the operation of the patent and trademark systems; • promote commercial use of government-owned patents through licensing of patent rights; and COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT 5-75 • increase patent and trademark fees to cover 100 percent of application processing costs. Under the patent and trademark user fee proposal those individuals who benefit from the 17-year monopoly provided by patent protection would pay for the full cost of providing them with this protection. Economic and demographic statistics.—The budget proposes 1983 budget authority for the data collection efforts associated with the 1982 Census of Agriculture ($20 million), Economic Censuses ($22 million), the Census of Governments ($2 million), and the final phase of the 1980 Decennial Census of Population and Housing ($36 million). Decennial census activities in 1983 will include data dissemination and program evaluation. The budget proposes $33 million in 1983 budget authority reflecting, in part, an upgrade and consolidation of the Department of Commerce's industrial and productivity analysis activities in support of the Economic Recovery Program. In addition, these funds support preparation and analysis of the National Income and Product Accounts summarized in quarterly estimates of the Gross National Product. Chrysler Corporation loan guarantees.—The Chrysler Corporation Loan Guarantee Act of 1979 created the Chrysler Corporation Loan Guarantee Board and authorized it to guarantee up to $1.5 billion in loans to the Chrysler Corporation. In 1981, $400 million in loans were guaranteed; this brought the amount of loan guarantees outstanding to $1.2 billion. No guarantees are expected in 1982 or 1983. Administrative expenses for the loans, however, are expected to be $1 million in 1983. Other.—This budget continues the export and import control activities of the Department of Commerce's International Trade Administration (ITA). ITA's export promotion assistance to small and medium sized businesses will be strenghthened by an expansion of the Foreign Commercial Service overseas. No funding is requested for Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) to firms. The TAA program has a high default rate and many of its beneficiaries have failed to adjust to import competition. Tax expenditures.—The tax system provides a variety of incentives for investment in equipment, commercial and industrial structures, and residential housing. The investment tax credit for capital equipment generates an outlay equivalent estimate of $27 billion in 1982. The safe harbor leasing rules enable new or unprofitable companies to obtain the benefits of the accelerated depreciation provisions of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981. This results in an 5-76 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 outlay equivalent estimate of $4.6 billion in 1983. The expensing of construction period interest and taxes produces an estimated tax expenditure of $615 million in 1983. The cost of financing investment is also reduced by a number of tax incentives. The exclusion of interest on State and local industrial development bonds generates an outlay equivalent cost of $2.3 billion in 1983. The administration is proposing to restrict the excessive use of such bonds. The dividend and interest exclusion produces an outlay equivalent estimate of $650 million. The 1981 Act also provides savings incentives by exempting up to $1,000 ($2,000 for a joint return) of interest on qualified exempt savings certificates. The outlay equivalent estimate for this provision is $2.8 billion in 1983. The Act also permits the tax free reinvestment of dividends in public utility companies; the outlay equivalent estimate for this provision is $590 million in 1983. Preferential treatment of capital gains produces two types of tax expenditures. Taxation of capital gains at less than ordinary rates results in an outlay equivalent estimate of $22.2 billion in 1983. Exempting from tax the full gain from the sale of capital assets acquired by inheritance produces an outlay equivalent estimate of $3.3 billion. Housing investment is encouraged by permitting deductions for mortgage interest and property taxes on owner-occupied homes. This treatment results in outlay equivalent estimates in 1983 of $25.8 billion and $10.5 billion, respectively. In addition, deferral of capital gains on home sales produces further equivalent outlays of $2.1 billion in 1983. Finally, elderly homeowners are permitted a once-in-a-lifetime tax exemption on capital gains up to $125,000 on the sale of a principal residence. This will result in an outlay equivalent estimate of $820 million in 1983. In the past, State and local governments used tax-exempt bonds to finance only low-income rental housing. In recent years, however, they have made increasing use of tax-exempt bonds to provide below-market-rate mortgages for single-family homeownership at an equivalent outlay cost of $1.3 billion in 1983. Use of tax-exempt bonds to finance homeownership was significantly restricted with the passage of the Omnibus Reconciliation Act of 1980. The tax exempt status of such bonds is now scheduled to terminate at the end of 1983. There are also tax expenditures for specific types of business. Financial institutions will receive equivalent outlays of $1.0 billion in 1983 because of the favorable tax treatment accorded excess bad debt reserves. The exclusion of interest on life insurance savings produces an equivalent outlay of $6.8 billion in 1983. Finally, permitting the deduction of interest on consumer debt results in an outlay equivalent estimate of $9.3 billion in 1983. 5-77 COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT Total tax expenditures for commerce and housing credit are estimated to be $120.9 billion in 1983. CREDIT PROGRAMS—COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT (In millions of dollars) Direct loan obligations Program Mortgage purchase activity (GNMA) Mortgage credit (FHA) Housing for the elderly or handicapped Rural Housing (FmHA): New loans Repurchases and guarantees of loan assets Central Liquidity Facility (NCUA) Small Business Assistance 124 National Consumer Cooperative Bank Chrysler Corporation Other programs Off-budget Federal Entities-. Federal Financing Bank: 3 Rural housing (FmHA) Small business assistance Subtotal, gross 1981 actual 1982 estimate Guaranteed loan commitments 1983 estimate 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1,836 414 873 1,993 383 819 6 311 453 42,150 23,635 48,000 28,609 38,400 35,000 3,487 2,592 68 871 130 3,727 2,644 330 712 11 1,145 2,750 473 554 6 6,076 5,648 3,557 3,616 3,150 2,850 278 19 5 6,045 165 5,619 275 3,537 240 16,759 16,532 9,475 Less: Loan assets sold to the FFB and associated guarantees: Rural housing (FmHA) -6,045 -5,619 -3,537 Guaranteed loans held as direct loans: By the FFB: Small business assistance By GNMA: Tandem plan purchases Secondary guarantees: Mortgage purchase activity (GNMA) Total, commerce and housing credit (net) 1981 actual 10,714 10,913 5,938 400 152 181 100 76,035 85,589 79,907 -6,045 -5,619 -3,537 -165 -275 -240 1,832 1,988 -42,150 -48,000 -38,400 25,843 29,707 37,730 1 Includes loans sold to the FFB as loan assets, and guarantees of those loan assets. The FFB purchases aie shown below. Includes guarantees of direct loans made by the FFB as shown below. The FFB is a mechanism to finance direct loans sold or guaranteed by other Federal agencies. The deductions below eliminate overlap with transactions shown above in this table. See the introduction to Part 5 for further explanation. 4 Direct loan obligations for 1983 are repurchases of defaulted guaranteed loans. 2 :} Credit programs.—Most of the programs in this function are direct loan or loan guarantee programs. For these programs, the National Needs tables showing budget authority and outlays understate the volume of new activity, as most credit activity does not result in additions to the budget totals. The total volume of new direct loan obligations and new guaranteed loan commitments, as recorded in the credit budget, is shown in the accompanying table. Total direct loan obligations are expected to be $5.9 billion in 1983. Appropriation bill limitations are requested for $2.4 billion of this 5-78 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 amount. Total guaranteed loan commitments are expected to rise to $37.7 billion in 1983, all of which is subject to appropriation limitations. The guarantees issued in GNMA's mortgage-backed securities program cover loans previously guaranteed by FHA and VA, and therefore are not added to net credit budget totals. TRANSPORTATION 5-79 TRANSPORTATION National Needs Statement: • Maintain a safe, reliable, and efficient transportation system to meet the needs of commerce and the public, with maximum reliance on the private sector and, secondarily, on State and local governments. The Federal Role In Meeting the Need: • Assist the States in developing and maintaining a highway system capable of providing for interstate commerce and the national defense. • Provide capital assistance to repair and modernize existing mass transit systems, especially in large cities, while operating subsidies are phased out. • Encourage the development of self-sufficient, cost-effective rail systems for freight and passengers. • Provide safe and reliable management of the air space and of facilities within which the aviation system operates. • Facilitate a safe, reliable, and efficient marine transportation system. The Nation's transportation systems serve the dual purpose of meeting the personal transportation needs of our citizens and providing an essential component to the smooth working of a healthy national economy. Meeting transportation needs is a responsibility in which all levels of government and private enterprise are involved. The appropriate Federal role is to support programs and activities that address national transportation needs and priorities that would not otherwise be met. In fulfilling its role, the Federal Government must constantly strive to create a balance of Federal, State, local, and private involvement in transportation programs by allowing other levels of government and the private sector the freedom to develop transportation systems that best suit their diverse needs. This administration is committed to returning authority, responsibility, and discretion for transportation programs when overriding national interests are not at stake, to the private sector as a first priority, and to State and local governments when public sector involvement is necessary. The transportation proposals in the 1983 budget illustrate the administration's view of the appropriate Federal role in transportation programs. A theme repeated throughout the discussion of 5-80 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 ground, air, and water systems is the reduction of Federal involvement in programs that can be managed more efficiently by other levels of government or that perpetuate inefficient modes of transportation and distort free market incentives. For example, the Federal highway program will be focused on funding highways needed for the smooth flow of interstate commerce and for the national defense, with particular emphasis on rehabilitating deteriorating interstate highways. States and localities will assume greater responsibility for roads of principal interest to them. Transportation programs that are appropriately State and local responsibilities have been included in the new federalism initiative starting in 1984. This initiative is discussed in Part 3 of this Budget Excessive regulation has been identified as a primary contributor to our current economic difficulties. The 1983 budget reflects a continued effort on the part of this administration to eliminate or relax regulations, and to rely on competition rather than regulation to provide transportation services. The budgets of the Civil Aeronautics Board and the Interstate Commerce Commission, for example, have been reduced as these agencies lessen their regulatory efforts. The administration also supports deregulation of the bus industry to encourage more firms to provide intercity services. In order to ensure that the Federal tax burden is borne equitably by those who benefit from transportation programs, this administration is sponsoring major initiatives aimed at the recovery— through user charges—of the cost of transportation services that provide benefits to individuals or enterprises. The 1983 budget proposals include increases in fees for aviation system use and the introduction of fees for some Coast Guard services. The total 1983 request for budget authority for Federal transportation programs is $19.1 billion, and outlays are estimated at $19.6 billion. Ground transportation.—The budget estimates include outlays of $13.0 billion in 1983 for programs to preserve the Nation's investment in highways, railroads, and mass transit while ensuring that their operations continue in a safe, reliable, and efficient manner. Estimated outlays in 1983 are $1.7 billion lower than in 1982 primarily because of substantial reductions in outlays for railroad grants and subsidies. Highway improvement and construction.—The Federal highway program currently provides grants to the States for construction and rehabilitation of interstate highways, as well as primary, secondary, and urban road systems. Legislation proposed in this budget emphasizes funding for the interstate highway programs vital for interstate commerce and national defense. Funds will be directed toward completing construction of the interstate system and rehabilitating deteriorated pavement on some existing inter- 5-81 TRANSPORTATION NATIONAL NEED: EFFICIENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS (Functional code 400; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY Ground transportation: Highway improvement and construction: Existing law Proposed legislation Highway safety Mass transit Railroads Regulation Subtotal, ground transportation.. Air transportation: Airways and airports: Existing law Proposed legislation Aeronautical research and technology.. Air carrier subsidies Regulation Subtotal, air transportation Water transportation: Marine safety and transportation Coast Guard user fees (proposed legislation).. Ocean shipping Regulation Subtotal, water transportation.. Other transportation Deductions for offsetting receipts. Total, budget authority 9,093 8,596 7,949 8,374 8,374 80 80 80 199 203 204 200 200 4,727 3,546 3,202 3,028 3,028 4,134 1,942 814 675 601 82 70 69 57 62 18,236 14,357 12,317 12,418 12,339 3,412 2,613 3,130 3,221 3,310 450 774 668 855 526 474 486 500 514 115 86 48 53 58 24 20 29 26 19 4,082 3,648 4,463 4,463 4,756 2,006 2,501 1,989 2,402 2,496 -200 -800 - 8 0 0 574 489 480 608 608 11 10 10 10 12 2,592 3,002 2,279 2,219 2,314 109 86 113 114 117 -99 -97 -70 -59 -59 24,920 20,996 19,102 19,155 19,468 state highways. Greater responsibility will be given to State and local governments to build and maintain highways and roads that serve State and local traffic. Through elimination of unnecessary Federal requirements, the administration will provide States and localities with increased flexibility in the use of the Federal funds they now receive. Over time, several small categorical programs were added to the Federal highway program to provide a source of funds for special projects and priorities. Three such programs are proposed for termination in the 1983 budget: highway beautification, railroad-highway crossings demonstration projects, and territorial highways. Elimination of these programs is consistent with the administration's policy of reducing Federal involvement in State and local road programs. The administration is requesting $8.0 billion in budget authority for highway improvement and construction in 1983, $0.6 billion less than the 1982 level. 5-82 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: EFFICIENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS—Continued (Functional code 400; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs OUTLAYS Ground transportation: Highway improvement and construction: Existing law Proposed legislation Highway safety . Mass transit . Railroads .. .. Regulation Subtotal, ground transportation Air transportation: Airways and airports: Existing law Proposed legislation Aeronautical research and technology Air carrier subsidies Regulation Subtotal, air transportation Water transportation: Marine safety and transportation Coast Guard user fees (proposed legislation) Ocean shipping Regulation Subtotal, water transportation Other transportation Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 9F068 8,264 336 3,917 3,703 75 307 3,817 2,271 70 8,312 4 230 3,221 1,209 68 8,211 36 207 3,059 876 62 8,333 64 187 2,991 831 58 17,100 1:4,728 13,045 12,451 12,463 3,158 3,073 544 88 3,209 166 516 52 3,163 491 507 53 3,357 838 514 58 544 119 29 25 25 20 19 3,850 3,730 3,968 4,233 4,785 1,829 2,114 580 12 653 11 2,238 -200 527 10 2,325 -800 477 10 2,418 -800 484 9 2,420 2,778 2,575 2,012 2,112 110 89 115 117 -99 -97 -59 -59 111 -70 23,381 21,228 19,628 18,752 19,418 ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entities: U.S. Railway Association: Budget authority Outlays Federal Financing Bank: Railroads: Budget authority Outlays 228 -267 -94 -13 1,794 250 195 64 58 19 49 -83 -21 The Federal-aid highway programs, with the exception of the interstate system, have been identified for inclusion in the new federalism initiative and eventual turnback to the States. Highway safety.—Programs for highway safety are designed to promulgate and enforce Federal vehicle safety and fuel economy standards, support research and development, and provide supplemental assistance for State highway safety programs. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 reduced funding for some regula- TRANSPORTATION 5-83 tory programs and grants to the States. Funds for regulatory activities were decreased in line with the administration's view that excessive regulation suppresses market incentives to achieve greater fuel efficiency and is a significant factor in our current economic difficulties. Grants to States were restricted to programs with demonstrated success in promoting highway safety. The 1983 request of $0.2 billion in budget authority continues funding for programs of proven success in promoting highway safety. Major initiatives include the development of comprehensive State and local programs to prevent alcohol abuse and to encourage the use of seatbelts. Outlays for highway safety in 1983 are estimated to be $0.2 billion, somewhat less than those estimated for 1982. Mass transit—The Federal Government provides assistance for mass transit through a variety of formula and discretionary grant programs. The majority of funds are reserved for capital projects and operating assistance; grants are also provided for planning activities, demonstration projects, and research. In 1983, $3.2 billion in budget authority is requested for mass transit programs. This amount is $0.3 billion below the level provided for 1982. The budget proposals reflect two major changes for mass transit programs: formula grants for operating expenses are to be phased out over a 3-year period, and construction grantswhile proposed at near current levels—are directed primarily toward projects that modernize and repair existing, proven transit systems. Discretionary assistance for the initiation of new rail transit systems is not proposed in this budget. In the past, most mass transit systems were owned and operated by private companies. However, as the car replaced public transit as the preferred alternative for commuting, ridership on mass transit declined. The drop in ridership, combined with increases in the costs of operating mass transit systems, has resulted in a reliance on public funds to sustain mass transit. The Federal share of the national spending for transit operating expenses has been approximately 15% over the last few years. The administration has examined the usefulness of Federal funding of operating costs and determined that State and local governments should assume complete responsibility for operating local mass transit systems. Federal operating assistance has led to a number of unintended consequences. In some areas these funds support marginally effective, conventional transit services where transportation needs could be better served by more cost-effective and innovative alternatives. Shifting financial responsibility to local authorities should make low-cost alternatives more attractive. Federal operating subsidies have also been partially absorbed by artificially low fares. Fares have not kept pace with inflation since the 5-84 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 1973 oil embargo, even though the cost of operating a private vehicle has increased significantly. In addition, regulations attached to Federal assistance increase costs and reduce productivity. Decisions about service levels, equipment, facilities, fares, wage rates, and management practices are better left to local governments or to the private sector. A gradual phaseout of Federal operating subsidies gives cities and States time to adjust to the loss of funds. No new funds are requested for formula grants to small cities and towns under 50,000 population; however, capital projects in such areas are eligible for discretionary grants. Unobligated funds from previous years can also be used for capital projects or to phase out operating assistance. Assistance for continuing construction of up to 75 miles of the Washington Metrorail system will be provided from two grant programs. Capital grants of $100 million will be provided for the first time from authorizations contained in the National Capital Transportation Act, if local jurisidictions are able to provide sufficient assurances that stable and reliable revenue sources will be available for covering the operating costs of the local transit system. Additional budget authority of up to $195 million may be available from interstate transfer grants, depending on the willingness of local governments to use these funds for Metrorail construction. Mass transit grant programs have been identified for inclusion in the new federalism initiative and eventual turnback to the States. Railroads,—The past several years have been better ones for the railroad industry. Improvements are evident in several ways: 1980 profits were nearly 60% higher than in 1979 and the best since 1943; major mergers were approved by the Interstate Commerce Commission; the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 will help the railroads improve their after-tax profitability; and the deregulatory provisions of the Staggers Rail Act of 1980 will enable railroads to compete more successfully with trucks and barges. Estimated Federal outlays for railroads in 1983 are $1.2 billion, $1.1 billion less than in 1982. Most of the reduction is attributable to settlements of litigation against the Government in 1982, whereas no additional settlement costs are projected for 1983. Federal aid is being phased back or eliminated, consistent with budgetary restraint and the improved financial condition of the industry. Reduced railroad subsidies are proposed for the three main Federal Railroad Administration freight assistance programs: redeemable preference shares, loan guarantees, and local rail service assistance. The first two programs provide funding for acquisition or rehabilitation of tracks and equipment. No funds are recommended for 1983. The third program, local rail service assistance, provides TRANSPORTATION 5-85 funding for rehabilitation or operating subsidies on low volume branchlines that might otherwise be abandoned. The administration proposes to reduce funding for this program from $35 million in 1982 to $20 million in 1983. No funding is planned for 1984. This program benefits primarily local areas and should be supported by States and localities. Conrail provides freight and commuter rail service in the northeast and midwest. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 stipulated that Conrail should be sold as part of a private market solution to rail problems in that part of the Nation. In the past year, Conrail has made remarkable financial and operational progress which will make it more attractive to potential purchasers. Additional operating subsidies have not been requested by Conrail or proposed by the administration for either 1983 or 1984. Conrail has accumulated cash reserves in recent months sufficient to meet potential emergency requirements. Budget proposals in the income security function provide funds for Conrail labor protection payments under a program authorized by the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981. This program provides financial compensation to certain Conrail employees who are laid off. The labor protection program will help Conrail become financially self-sufficient by assisting it to reduce its labor force. In turn, this will strengthen the administration's efforts to sell the railroad as a single entity to a buyer who agrees to provide service on Conrail's system. Transfer of commuter services from Conrail is supported by a one-time-only appropriation in 1982 of $45 million. The 1983 budget includes a proposal to eliminate funding for the federally owned and operated Alaska Railroad. Legislation to transfer the Railroad to the State of Alaska is supported by the administration. In addition, the 1983 budget does not include funding for the continued operation of the Transportation Test Center in Pueblo, Colorado, which carries out research and development for railroads. While the Federal Government would continue to contract for specific research and development projects, the administration believes that the Center should be privately operated. The Federal Government subsidizes intercity rail passenger service throughout the United States by providing grants to the National Railroad Passenger Corporation (Amtrak). In 1981, the Federal Government covered more than 60% of Amtrak's costs, a much greater percentage than it currently covers of intercity bus or commercial aviation costs. To reduce the competitive inequities, the administration supports decreased funding for Amtrak and increased coverage of costs by passengers and the States. The Amtrak Improvement Act of 1981 requires Amtrak to cover 50% of costs with revenues and enables Amtrak to terminate service without congressional approval in certain circumstances. 5-86 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Amtrak had never before been required to cover a given percentage of costs with revenues. The budget proposals include an estimated $610 million in outlays for subsidies to Amtrak in 1983, a reduction of $210 million from estimated outlays for 1982. Also proposed are certain Federal cost-saving measures: labor and management cost savings of $75 million, higher State payments for Federal and State-funded trains, and elimination of any route that does not meet legal criteria in the authorizing legislation for Amtrak. In addition, the administration proposes to alter labor protection for Amtrak employees to lump sum severance payments, similar to the type of payment provided Conrail employees. Federal capital subsidies have allowed Amtrak to improve its passenger cars and engines substantially. By July 1982, 60% of Amtrak's rail passenger cars will be less than 6 years old and 65% of Amtrak's engines less than 4 years old. Of the remaining cars, over 90% have been refurbished within the past 3 years. Budget authority of $55 million is proposed for labor protection and capital grants. With the recommended changes and proposed funding levels, Amtrak should be able to maintain a national system. Amtrak is expected to provide 5.3 billion passenger miles in 1983, a 10% increase over 1981. In 1983, Amtrak passenger revenues are expected to reach $725 million. The administration has altered the primary focus of the Northeast Corridor Improvement Project from developing high speed rail service to ensuring safe and reliable service. Many of the more critical portions of the project are finished. Regulation.—The administration will continue to carry out deregulatory measures in the trucking, railroad, and moving industries. As a result of deregulation, the trucking industry has experienced increased competition and now offers a wider variety of services. Railroads are also becoming more competitive with trucks and barges. The administration is currently pressing for deregulation of the bus industry to increase competition and reduce inefficiencies. Air transportation.—Outlays for air transportation are estimated to be $4.0 billion in 1983 compared to $3.7 billion in 1982. Federal spending for air transportation is for improvement, operation, and maintenance of a safe and efficient national airspace system, aeronautical research and technology, and air carrier subsidies. Airways and airports.—The primary mission of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is to ensure the safe and efficient movement of air traffic. The 1983 budget requests $3.9 billion in budget authority for the FAA. TRANSPORTATION 5-87 Rebuilding the air traffic control system to the capacity provided prior to the August, 1981 illegal strike of approximately 11,500 controllers will continue to be a top priority for the FAA during 1983. Funds provided in the 1983 budget request should allow the FAA to have the system operating at full capacity by January 1, 1984. The FAA estimates net savings from the strike of slightly under $100 million in outlays in 1983. These savings, however, are offset by increases in other operational costs. The administration is proposing to revise legislation transmitted in March 1981 to reauthorize revenue deposits into the airport and airway trust fund. The revised proposal would institute the following user fees for deposit into the trust fund: • an 8% passenger ticket tax on scheduled air carrier flights; • a general aviation tax on aviation gasoline of 12 cents per gallon in 1982, increasing to 20 cents per gallon in 1987; • a 14 cents per gallon tax on jet fuel used by general aviation in 1982, increasing to 22 cents per gallon in 1987; • a 5% freight waybill tax; • a $3.00 international departure tax; and • a tax on tires and tubes. Revenues from these user fees are estimated to be approximately $2.7 billion in 1983, increasing to nearly $4.3 billion in 1987. Funding levels for FAA capital programs are contingent upon congressional approval of the administration's user fee proposal and recovering 85% of FAA costs (all those allocable to air carriers and general aviation) from the trust fund. The 1983 budget proposal includes $450 million of contract authority for airport grants, additional budget authority of $300 million for facilities and equipment, and $24 million for research, engineering, and development if the Congress enacts the administration's user fee and cost recovery proposals. The administration continues to support its legislative proposal transmitted in 1981 to eliminate Federal financial support for the 41 largest airports and to create State block grants for small commercial service and general aviation airports. The increased funding levels for development and procurement of facilities and equipment, which total nearly $535 million in budget authority above the enacted 1982 levels, reflect the administration's commitment to modernizing and expanding the FAA capital plant to meet projected aviation growth if users are willing to pay the allocable costs of development, acquisition, operation and maintenance. The 1983 request for FAA also proposes funding of aviation weather services provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration from the airport and airway trust fund. No new commitments are proposed under the aircraft purchase loan guarantee program. 5-88 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Aeronautical research and technology.—The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) conducts research and technology development programs in the aeronautical sciences. These programs primarily support public sector needs, particularly in the area of defense. The administration requests $486 million in budget authority for these activities in 1983. The budget proposals maintain the major national aeronautical facilities, such as the wind tunnels, and would support research in the basic aeronautical sciences and technology development projects critical to defense and air transportation safety. . Air carrier subsidies.—In conjunction with airline deregulation, one existing air carrier subsidy program designed to promote general aviation, is being replaced with a new program that funds essential air services to small communities. By 1983, the administration expects that the older subsidy will have been terminated. Proposed budget authority for air carrier subsidies is $48 million in 1983, a reduction of over $65 million from the 1981 level. Water transportation.—To meet the need for a competitive U.S. merchant marine and to maintain a safe, reliable, and efficient marine transportation system, the budget includes an estimated $2.6 billion in outlays for water transportation programs in 1983, about $0.2 billion less than estimated for 1982. Marine safety and transportation.—Coast Guard services to the public include search and rescue to vessels in distress, maintenance of navigation aids, icebreaking, prevention and cleanup of marine pollution, enforcement of maritime, customs, and safety-related laws, and examination and licensing of vessels, merchant seamen and ships' officers. The 1983 budget request for the Coast Guard seeks to improve the efficiency of its capital plant and operations. Five aged cutters are to be decommissioned, resulting in substantial savings from reduced maintenance costs. These vessels will be replaced by new cutters better able to meet the many roles of the Coast Guard. The Coast Guard's aircraft fleet will be modernized by the introduction of significant numbers of new medium-range search jet aircraft and short-range recovery helicopters. The budget also proposes improving and modernizing a number of Coast Guard shore facilities. A major new initiative for 1983 is to require users of certain services offered by the Coast Guard to pay fees covering the costs of the service. Currently, most services rendered by the Coast Guard for the public are provided without charge. User fee legislation will be introduced in early 1982 to recover 100% of the costs of Coast Guard services that provide benefits to individuals or enterprises. Fees for services involving a transaction, such as licensing TRANSPORTATION 5-89 and inspections, would be set according to the cost of providing the service. Other services, such as maintaining navigation aids and providing search and rescue services, would be financed by an annual fee or other type of charge. Funding for the Coast Guard's polar ice operations, a service provided for the National Science Foundation, Department of Defense, and the Maritime Administration, will be charged to those agencies. Estimated outlays for marine safety and transportation are $2.2 billion in 1983. Ocean shipping,—Programs in ocean shipping are administered by the Department of Transportation's Maritime Administration, the Panama Canal Commission, and the Federal Maritime Commission. Outlays for ocean shipping are estimated to be $527 million in 1983, $126 million less than estimated for 1982. The Maritime Administration has traditionally provided subsidies to assist the U.S. merchant marine and shipbuilding industry. These include direct operating differential subsidies to offset the higher costs of operating U.S.-flag vessels in the oceanborne foreign commerce. A full review of maritime policies is currently being conducted to determine effective methods for revitalizing the maritime industry. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 eliminated ship construction subsidies for 1982, that offset the higher construction costs of building in U.S. shipyards. No budget authority will be requested for ship construction subsidies in 1983. For the operating subsidies program, 1983 outlays are estimated to be $454 million to meet the Government's obligation on existing contracts; administrative changes will be made to hold down escalating costs. Legislative changes are being pursued to eliminate many of the restrictions under which the U.S. Merchant Marine now operates. The administration's proposals would exempt ocean carrier collective shipping activities from antitrust laws, such as setting rates jointly, dividing revenues and profits on each trade route, and jointly offering vessel capacity and service to shipping customers. The Federal Maritime Commission (FMC) would automatically approve agreements between carriers to engage in these permissible joint activities. The administration's proposals also eliminate the requirement that tariffs be filed with and enforced by the FMC. This restructuring of the regulatory framework will benefit the industry by putting U.S. carriers on an equal footing with foreign carriers. Credit programs.—Many of the programs discussed above contain direct and guaranteed loans including aid to railroads, air carrier subsidies and assistance to ocean shipping. As described in previous sections, the administration is restraining these activities in order to allow private market forces to operate. The Maritime Administration's ship financing fund will extend $600 million in new loan 5-90 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 guarantee commitments, as shown in the accompanying table. Other amounts shown represent obligations from prior commitments. CREDIT PROGRAMS—TRANSPORTATION (In millions of dollars) Guaranteed loan commitments Direct loan obligations Program Highways and mass transportation Aid to railroadsx Aircraft purchase loan guarantees Assistance to ocean shipping Off-budget Federal entities: U.S. Railway Association. Federal Financing Bank: Aid to railroads Subtotal, gross 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 13 39 19 144 32 2 24 25 25 17 1 1,794 173 58 1,886 362 117 1,886 362 117 Less: Guaranteed loans held as direct loans by the FFB: Aid to railroads Total, transportation 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 16 408 1,047 135 56 675 600 1,472 866 600 -1,802 -330 -173 693 -58 542 1 Includes 2 guarantees of direct loans made by the FFB as shown below. The FFB is a mechanism to finance direct loans sold or guaranteed by other Federal agencies. The deductions below eliminate overlap with transactions shown above in this table. See the introduction to Part 5 for further explanation. Tax expenditures.—In addition to direct Federal funding, two tax expenditures provide assistance to shipping concerns and mass transit systems. The 1983 outlay equivalent estimates for these two tax expenditures are $90 million and $15 million, respectively. Tax expenditures for transportation total $105 million in 1983. COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT 5-91 COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT National Needs Statement: • Promote the economic and social viability of urban and rural neighborhoods, communities, and regions. The Federal Role in Meeting the Need: • Promote economic expansion through reductions in Federal expenditures, taxes, and regulations. • Transfer primary responsibility for administering specific community, regional, and economic development programs to State and local governments. • Provide Federal financial assistance to State and local governments to help them identify and resolve essential community, regional, and economic needs in their own manner. • Maintain necessary supplemental assistance for recovery from unexpected disasters. Community and regional development is promoted best by a sound and expanding economy, which can only be achieved by reducing inflation and by increasing the resources available to the private sector. Government policies and programs can do no more than encourage and stimulate community and regional development. Permanent revitalization of depressed areas will require a substantial and long-term commitment of State, local, and private sector resources. Over the past year, the administration has increased the productive resources available to citizens, businesses, States, and local governments by slowing increases in Federal expenditures, reducing individual and corporate income tax rates, and eliminating unnecessary Federal regulations. However, more remains to be done. There are still programs that are unnecessary or ineffective or that could be administered more efficiently by States, local governments, or the private sector. Community and regional development is also encouraged by allowing State and local governments the latitude to address their own problems in their own way. The administration has made progress in this area by returning authority, responsibility, and flexibility to State and local governments for administering programs. In 1981, the Federal Government's principal community and regional development program—the community development block grant program—was simplified to allow for increased flexibility in the use of these funds. Application and reporting requirements were significantly reduced. In addition, legislation was en- 5-92 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT (Functional code 450; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1981 actual 1982 1983 1984 1985 estimate estimate estimate estimate 3,695 675 3,456 440 12 32 BUDGET AUTHORITY Community development: Community development block grants Urban development action grants Rental rehabilitation grants (proposed legislation). Neighborhood Reinvestment Corporation Pennsylvania Avenue development Other programs Subtotal, community development. Area and regional development: Rural development Economic development assistance.. Coastal energy impact assistance.. Indian programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Regional commissions Other programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Offsetting receipts Subtotal, area and regional development.. Disaster relief and insurance: SBA disaster loans Disaster relief National flood insurance fund..., Other programs Subtotal, disaster relief and insurance.. Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority 397 14 18 357 3,456 440 150 16 12 386 3,456 440 150 16 16 459 3,456 440 150 16 16 377 4,811 4,286 4,460 4,537 4,455 701 476 585 224 -7 754 15 1,278 1,178 914 1,022 10 1,225 1,251 30 1,379 "356 158 212 115 2,626 1,928 1,801 1,930 2,098 62 302 93 64 325 62 66 325 84 66 325 64 66 737 459 452 475 455 -30 -51 -55 -69 -31 8,143 6,621 6,658 6,873 6,978 119 111 89 -1 -1 -1 -397 —325" -343 -355 -399 315 359 acted to transfer responsibility for distributing and administering grants to small cities from the Department of Housing and Urban Development to the States, on an optional basis, through the new State community development block grant program for small cities. To achieve both objectives of reducing Federal expenditures and providing adequate and effective financial support for community and regional development, this budget includes proposals that provide economic incentives for private investment in distressed areas, transfer functions from the Federal Government to State and local governments, and maintain adequate support for programs that are consistent with the administration's approach to federalism. Economic incentives for private investment in distressed areas would be encouraged by the establishment of enterprise zones as an experimental, free-market approach to urban problems. The enterprise zone concept is based on a reduction of tax and regulatory burdens in clearly delineated geographic areas as a means of 5-93 COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT NATIONAL NEED: COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT—Continued (Functional code 450; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs OUTLAYS Community development: Community development block grants Urban development action grants Rental rehabilitation grants Neighborhood Reinvestment Corporation. Pennsylvania Avenue development Other programs Subtotal, community development., Area and regional development: Rural development Economic development assistanceLocal public works Coastal energy impact assistance.. Indian programs.Existing law Proposed legislation Regional commissions Other programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Offsetting receipts Subtotal, area and regional development.. Disaster relief and insurance: SBA disaster loans Disaster relief National flood insurance fund Other programs Subtotal, disaster relief and insurance.. Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays ....„ ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entities: Rural Telephone Bank: Budget authority Outlays Federal Financing Bank: Community development: Budget authority Outlays Rural development: Budget authority Outlays 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 4,042 371 4,005 525 3,350 550 12 35 650 14 32 490 16 17 417 3,200 525 75 16 16 304 3,456 522 150 16 14 287 5,111 5,066 4,349 4,135 4,444 839 536 83 36 1,066 422 60 37 1,217 262 30 21 1,131 157 30 16 1,101 85 5 1 984 1,030 1,088 1,151 5 15 169 325 301 1,285 10 85 425 94 151 131 -1 -1 -1 -397 -325 -343 -355 - 3 9 9 203 233 2,708 2,848 2,732 2,442 2,266 1,101 401 54 48 - 7 7 -290 -290 - 2 5 0 325 325 406 381 40 84 57 107 62 62 62 67 1,604 503 237 154 176 -30 -51 -55 -69 -31 9,394 8,366 7,263 6,663 6,856 126 114 163 156 163 155 163 155 163 155 45 34 110 96 120 83 100 46 50 -18 1,650 1,025 1,511 1,036 1,196 691 1,466 486 1,032 437 revitalizing distressed urban areas by stimulating new private investment and creating jobs in those areas. The President intends to submit his plan for enterprise zones to the Congress in the next several weeks and expects enactment this year. 5-94 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Transferring functions in this area to the States will be promoted by the President's federalism initiative as announced in his State of the Union address. This proposal would shift the responsibility for several programs classified in this function (e.g., community development block grants, urban development action grants, community facility loans, and water and sewer grants and loans) to the States. This initiative is further described in Part 3 of the Budget The administration is confident that policies enacted during the past year and those contained in the 1983 budget will increase and strengthen the viability of our urban and rural areas. Achieving this end will require a combination of the recommended financial assistance from the Federal Government, further reductions in Federal expenditures, a transfer of the primary responsibility for administering community and economic development programs to States and localities, and more involvement by States, localities, and the private sector in these development activities. Outlays for this function are estimated to decrease from $8.4 billion in 1982 to $7.3 billion in 1983. Community development—A variety of Federal programs, administered by several agencies, support the mission of community development. These programs provide Federal grants, direct loans, loan guarantees, and technical assistance to States and units of local governments. Community development block grants,—The Housing and Community Development Act of 1974 consolidated a number of separately funded programs of the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) into the community development block grant (CDBG) program. This program substantially improved and simplified the delivery of Federal community development assistance to local governments. In its 7 years, over $20 billion has been spent on community improvements such as housing rehabilitation, streets and roads, water and sewer facilities, and other public facilities. The objective of the block grant program is to develop viable urban communities, by providing decent housing, a suitable living environment, and expanding economic opportunities, principally for persons of low and moderate income. Funds are distributed to all large cities and urban counties by entitlement formulas. Smaller cities receive discretionary funding either from HUD or from their States, if their States have elected to administer the new State community development block grant program for small cities. Realizing the national importance of economically and socially viable communities, the administration recommends budget au- COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT 5-95 thority of $3.5 billion in 1983, the same level provided in 1982. This funding level would provide about $2.4 billion in budget authority for the entitlement program for large cities and urban counties and about $1.0 billion in budget authority for the nonentitlement, "small cities" program. The balance of about $57 million is for the Secretary's discretionary fund, which provides community and economic development assistance to Indian tribes, Alaskan natives, and U.S. Territories, as well as technical assistance to selected CDBG participants. Outlays are estimated to decrease from $4.0 billion in 1982 (when outlays from prior-year obligations are estimated to peak) to $3.4 billion in 1983. Urban development action grants.—This program provides financial assistance to units of local government to be used in conjunction with private and other public funds in promoting locally designed and managed economic development projects. Program revisions made by this administration target more funds on commercial and industrial projects that have the greatest potential for private sector investment, job creation and urban revitalization. Because of the need to increase private investment and jobs in distressed areas and in the Nation as a whole, the administration is requesting $440 million in budget authority for this program in 1983, which is the same level of budget authority as provided for 1982. Outlays are estimated to increase from $525 million in 1982 to $550 million in 1983. Rental rehabilitation grants.—The administration is proposing a new program to be called rental rehabilitation grants. This program will be administered by HUD and will be linked with the modified section 8 housing certificate program. It will provide grants to States and units of local government for up to half the cost of rehabilitating multi-family rental properties, principally for low-income families. It is proposed that this new program replace the section 8 moderate rehabilitation program (discussed in the income security function) and the rehabilitation loan fund, both of which are too expensive and inefficient. (The rehabilitation of single-family, owner-occupied units will continue to be satisfactorily addressed by the CDBG program.) The administration is proposing budget authority of $150 million for this new program in 1983. It is estimated that this level of support will assist in the rehabilitation of 30,000 housing units. Outlays are expected to begin the following year. Neighborhood Reinvestment Corporation.—This public corporation has been successful in forming working partnerships among residents, local governments, and local financial institutions that promote neighborhood reinvestment and revitalization. Unlike 5-96 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 many other community development programs, this corporation does not provide funds for neighborhood projects, but offers the necessary technical assistance so that neighborhoods and communities can begin to resolve their own problems in their own ways. Because of the success of neighborhood organizations in revitalizing distressed areas and the need for the kinds of technical and organizational support provided by the Neighborhood Reinvestment Corporation, the administration requests budget authority in 1983 of $16 million, $2 million more than in 1982. Pennsylvania Avenue development.—The administration requests $12 million in budget authority for 1983 to continue the redevelopment and revitalization of 21 blocks along the north side of Pennsylvania Avenue in downtown Washington, D.C. The first major commercial projects began in 1979 and were completed in 1980 with private investment in excess of $65 million. Several new projects that incorporate private investment in excess of $600 million have been initiated since 1980 in a unique public-private partnership between the Pennsylvania Avenue Development Corporation and private businesses. For 1983, the Corporation will discontinue the practice of requiring developers to construct a specific number of residential housing units within the project area. Outlays for land acquisition and public development activities are estimated to be $17 million in 1983. Other programs.—Several other programs contribute to community development. One of the more important is the urban homesteading program administered by HUD. This program transfers federally owned, single-family properties to local governments for use in locally administered programs to revitalize distressed and abandoned residential areas. For 1983, the administration proposes to expand this program to multifamily units in distressed urban areas. This proposal is in keeping with the President's campaign promise to implement a more comprehensive urban homesteading program to help revitalize distressed neighborhoods and to improve the housing of urban Americans. This program expansion would be carried out on an experimental and limited basis to test the feasibility and effectiveness of multi-family homesteading. If the experiment proves efficient and beneficial, it will be continued on an appropriate scale. The administration requests $12 million in budget authority to operate this program in 1983. This amount is expected to provide for both single-family homesteading as well as the multi-family homesteading demonstration. COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT 5-97 Area and regional development—Programs in this category support rural development, American Indian tribal governments, and multi-State regional development. Rural development.—The Department of Agriculture administers a variety of programs for developing rural areas. For rural water and waste disposal systems, the 1983 budget provides $300 million in direct loan obligations and $120 million in budget authority for grants. Direct loan obligations of $130 million are provided for community facilities. Rural areas can also receive assistance from the Housing and Urban Development's community development block grant program. Outlays for rural development programs are estimated to be $1.1 billion in 1982 and $1.2 billion in 1983. Economic development assistance.—The Department of Commerce's Economic Development Administration (EDA) provides assistance to States, rural and urban communities, and Indian tribes that is designed to reduce unemployment in economically distressed areas and to react to problems of economic adjustment. EDA is proposed for termination at the end of 1982. In March 1981, the administration proposed termination of EDA at the end of 1981 as part of its policy of placing greater emphasis on the private sector and transferring primary responsibility for administering community and economic development programs to States and local governments. However, to facilitate an orderly phase out of EDA programs and provide for an adequate adjustment period prior to termination, funds have been provided to continue EDA programs through 1982. The President's comprehensive economic plan of spending, tax, and regulatory reductions will spur economic expansion and job creation far beyond the capacity of categorical programs administered by EDA. Funds for State and local community and economic development programs will continue to be available in 1983 through the Community Development Block Grant and Urban Development Action Grant programs. Both programs distribute Federal funds more equitably and efficiently than EDA. Specialized assistance for rural areas will continue to be available through the Farmers Home Administration. Coastal energy impact assistance.—This Department of Commerce program provides grants and loans to State and local governments to assist them in planning and financing public facilities and services required as a result of energy development activities in or near coastal areas, such as Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) oil and gas developments. Grants are also provided to States to help them participate in OCS leasing decisions. No budget authority is 5-98 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 requested for this program in 1983 because managing the consequences of offshore oil and gas development has proven to be well within the capacity of States and localities. Indian programs.—The three major objectives of Federal Indian policy are to meet the trusteeship responsibilities of the U.S. Government, to increase self-determination for American Indian tribal governments, and to encourage economic development on Indian reservations. To further these objectives, the Federal Government provides grants, training, technical assistance, direct Federal loans, loan guarantees, and interest subsidies designed to strengthen tribal management and encourage a variety of economic and community development activities. In the 1983 budget, the administration is proposing two initiatives for Indian tribes: (1) $5 million in budget authority for tribal government development for small tribes; and (2) $10 million in budget authority for economic development initiatives that provide seed money grants to help Indian enterprises attract private sector financing. These initiatives are expected to strengthen both tribal governments and reservation economies and make tribes more selfsufficient. Outlays for the Indian programs and for miscellaneous trust funds for regional development are estimated to be $1.0 billion in 1982 and $1.1 billion in 1983. In addition to these programs, other assistance for Indians is classified in the health; education, training, employment, and social services; natural resources and environment; and general government functions. Regional commissions.—The Appalachian Regional Commission and the Commerce Department's Title V Regional Action Planning Commissions were intended to support regional development programs. The Appalachian Regional Commission (ARC) and its nonhighway and access roads programs are proposed for termination at the end of 1982. In March 1981, the administration proposed elimination of these activities at the end of 1981, as part of its policy of relying on the private sector and State and local governments to provide the stimulus for economic development. Because of concerns that the March proposal did not provide adequate time for recipients of ARC funds to adjust to the termination of Federal support, the ARC and its programs were continued through 1982. Funding for one ARC program, the Appalachian Development Highway System (ADHS), is continued in the Department of Transportation budget, to be funded out of the highway trust fund. This separate categorical highway construction program is proposed to be phased out between 1983 and 1986. The ADHS is eligible for funding through Federal-aid for highways, and continued construe- COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT 5-99 tion after 1986 would be through this funding mechanism, at the discretion of the States. Federal support for the title V regional commissions was discontinued at the end of 1981. Continuation of the commissions was unnecessary because nearly all of the commissions' projects duplicate activities that would normally be undertaken by State agencies without Federal support. Disaster relief and insurance.—Insurance against losses from floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, and other natural disasters is primarily the responsibility of individuals and businesses. State and local governments aid recovery, when necessary, and Federal insurance and disaster relief programs are available to supplement State and local resources when they are insufficient. SBA disaster loans.—The Small Business Administration (SBA) provides loans to homeowners and non-agricultural businesses that suffer losses as a result of physical disasters, such as hurricanes or floods. (Starting in 1983, it is anticipated that the Federal Crop Insurance Corporation will be the primary source for disaster assistance for agricultural enterprises.) Statutory changes enacted in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 ensure that such assistance is directed to disaster victims who are truly in need. For businesses eligible for private financial assistance, the act sets a maximum 3-year term for loans at market interest rates. These changes will eliminate interest subsidies to wealthier borrowers and reduce their incentive to apply for disaster loans when no real need exists. In addition, a ceiling of 85% was established for all businesses on the amount of loss covered by disaster loans. The purpose of this limitation is to create an incentive for businesses to make sound locational decisions and to obtain private market insurance rather than to rely on the Federal Government for aid. Interest rates on loans to businesses and homeowners who have no source of private financial assistance have been increased moderately but still provide a subsidy to such victims. Disaster relief.—The Federal Emergency Management Agency administers the Federal disaster assistance program. This nationwide program provides supplemental assistance to individuals, businesses, and State and local governments in the event of a Presidentially declared emergency or disaster. In addition, States or Federal agencies may be reimbursed for expenditures in disaster relief work performed under this authority. The President has proposed that the Federal share of costs for a disaster or major emergency be limited to 75% of total expenditures. This proposal will reduce outlays from the disaster relief fund by an estimated $50 million annually. A number of adminis- 5-100 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 trative changes will result in further savings of several million dollars per year. It is difficult to forecast levels of disaster activity with any degree of certainty. Demands on the fund were light in 1981: 16 disasters or major emergencies were declared, compared to a 5-year average of 34. Unlike 1980 when Mt. St. Helens erupted, none of the 1981 disasters had major budget implications. Estimates of outlays for 1983 through 1987 anticipate the results of the cost-saving measures proposed by this administration, offset by an anticipated return to normal levels of disaster activity. Outlays are estimated to be $406 million in 1982 and $381 million in 1983. National flood insurance fund.—The Federal Emergency Management Agency operates a national program of direct Federal flood insurance at subsidized rates. Over the past 5 years, the program has cost the taxpayers an average of $171 million per year. This budget continues the insurance program but contains a plan to phase-out the costly subsidy by 1987 through a series of rate increases. This plan supports the administration's policy of recovering clearly allocable costs of flood insurance from those who receive the benefits of this program. The change will eliminate a substantial portion of the subsidy that the taxpayer now provides and discourage uneconomic development in flood prone areas. Outlays for this program are estimated at $84 million for 1983. Credit programs.—There are a number of credit programs for community and regional development. For several, the amount of credit activity is only partially reflected in the budget. As shown in the table, direct loan obligations in 1983 are estimated to decrease by $.4 billion from the 1982 estimate and by $1.9 billion from 1981. The largest decreases in direct loan obligations between 1981 and 1983 occur in Small Business Administration disaster loans ($1.1 billion), and the rural development insurance fund in the Farmers Home Administration ($.6 billion). Gross guaranteed loan commitments decrease by $1.1 billion from the 1982 estimate and $1.5 billion from 1981. Related programs.—Many programs that fulfill other national needs as their primary purpose also promote community and regional development. For example, Federal outlays for civil public works shown in the table below and grants for local health, education, transportation and general revenue sharing programs support State and local development. Community development is also encouraged by other Federal activities, including defense contracting, management of public forests and parks, and the operation of 5-101 COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT CREDIT PROGRAMS—COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT (In millions of dollars) Direct loan obligations Program Community development* Other Housing and Urban Development programs Rural development insurance fund (FmHA): New loans .... Repurchases and guarantees of loan assets Economic development assistance Small Business Administration disaster loans Other programs Off-budget Federal entities.Rural Telephone Bank Federal Financing Bank: 2 Rural development insurance fund (FmHA) Community development Subtotal, gross 1981 actual 1982 estimate Guaranteed loan commitments 1983 estimate 110 68 1,010 659 54 1,522 41 505 541 30 640 17 430 518 160 185 185 1,650 45 1,511 110 1,196 120 5,250 3,607 2,911 440 22 1981 actual 1982 estimate 156 125 743 1,650 178 1 4 575 1,511 50 6 31 2,732 2,292 1983 estimate 1,196 16 1,212 Less: Loan assets sold to the FFB and accompanying guarantees: Rural development insurance fund (FmHA) -1,650 -1,511 -1,196 -1,650 -1,511 -1,196 Guaranteed loans held as direct loans by the FFB: Community development ... . -120 45 - 1 1 0 Total, community and regional development 3,600 2,096 1,715 1,037 671 -104 1 Includes guarantees of direct loans made by the FFB shown below. 2 The FFB is a mechanism to finance direct loans sold or guaranteed by other Federal agencies. The deductions below eliminate overlap with transactions shown above in this table. See the introduction to Part 5 for further explanation. Federal facilities, such as Veterans Administration hospitals, naval shipyards, and NASA research facilities. Tax expenditures.—Direct Federal funding for community and regional development is supplemented by several tax expenditures. Under certain conditions, taxpayers may elect to amortize rehabilitation expenditures for low- and moderate-income rental housing over a 5 year period. The 1983 outlay equivalent estimate for this provision is $60 million. The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 replaced the 10 percent investment credit for the rehabilitation of buildings that are at least 20 years old with a three-tier system of investment credits. Under the Act, the credit is 15 percent for rehabilitation of nonresidential buildings 30 to 39 years old; 20 percent for rehabilitation of nonresidential buildings over 39 years old; and 25 percent for rehabilitation of certified historic structures. For 1983, the outlay equivalent estimate is $315 million; tax expenditures for community and regional development total $375 million. 5-102 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR CIVIL PUBLIC WORKS AND CONSTRUCTION 1 (In millions of dollars) Function or Program Federal civil public works: 1 Community and regional development Water resources projects Other natural resources and environment.. Energy Transportation Veterans hospitals and health Other Total, Federal civil public works.. Grants to State and local governments: Community and regional development: Community development block grants.. Other Subtotal, community and regional development.. Highways and mass transit Other transportation Pollution control and abatement Other natural resources and environment., Other Total, grants to State and local governments.. Total, civil public works 1 Outlays for the construction and rehabilitation of physical assets, including privately owned assets. 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 146 2,264 1,121 2,279 446 552 346 7,154 138 2,215 1,143 2,228 480 574 529 7,307 128 2,143 955 1,872 497 637 415 6,647 4,042 1,531 5,573 4,005 1,433 5,438 3,350 1,153 4,503 11,428 469 3,881 277 194 10,726 475 4,050 305 248 10,509 374 3,350 196 176 21,823 28,977 21r242 28,549 19,107 25,754 EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-103 EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES National Needs Statement* • Assist parents, States, and localities in providing education, especially for educationally disadvantaged, lowincome, and handicapped persons. • Assist economically disadvantaged or dislocated workers in finding permanent unsubsidized employment opportunities. • Maintain stable and productive relations between employers and employees. • Provide basic social services for needy children, families, the elderly, and other groups. The Federal Role in Meeting the Needs: • Ensure that the Federal Government's participation in education is limited to appropriate areas of financial support and does not intrude improperly on parental, State, and local responsibilities. • Provide States with block grants for training to help them give their disadvantaged citizens the skills needed for access to jobs. • Assure fairness in the handling of disputes between unions and management and enforce equitable standards governing wages and other relations between employers and employees. • Allow States the flexibility to direct social services resources to help low-income individuals and others with special needs. The Federal role in meeting education, training, employment, and social services needs should be limited to those specific areas where a demonstrated Federal responsibility exists and is of sufficient priority to warrant expenditure of scarce Federal budget resources. Historically, the responsibility for meeting most of these needs has rested with State or local governments and the private 5-104 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 sector. Most Federal programs in this function have been very expensive but not very effective, and have encouraged excessive dependence on the Federal Government. This administration therefore proposes to continue the policies it initiated in its first year by eliminating low priority activities, combining related activities into consolidated grants, and phasing out funding where Federal support is not appropriate. Total outlays for this function are estimated to be $21.6 billion for 1983. This is a 31% decrease from the 1981 level of $31.4 billion. Total outlay equivalent tax expenditures for education, training, employment, and social services are estimated to be $15.7 billion in 1983. Several programs in this function are involved in the federalism initiative described in Part 3 of the Budget. Continuation of these programs in 1984 and beyond will depend on the specifics of the initiative or on decisions made by States and localities as part of the initiative. The responsibility for education rests primarily with parents and with State and local governments. In recent years, Federal intervention has imposed many burdensome requirements that have made the exercise of this responsibility both more costly and more difficult. To decrease the Federal Government's intervention gradually, the administration proposes to continue many of the existing programs in 1983, but at lower funding levels and with fewer regulatory and reporting requirements than in years past. In addition, this budget directs elementary, secondary, and higher education funds more toward those in greatest need. Most training and employment activities are and should be carried out by the private sector. Private businesses and employers are far more efficient than the Government at training workers for specific tasks that contribute to a productive economy. Government training in most cases has been expensive, often has been for people who would probably find work anyway, and too frequently has been for jobs that do not exist. The best contribution the Federal Government can make to the under-trained and unemployed is to encourage the steady expansion of the private economy and private employment. The administration's economic recovery program will assist job seekers much more than expensive and misdirected Federal employment programs. Some Federal training programs for the most disadvantaged should continue, but even EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-105 these will contribute little if the Federal Government, by excessive spending that adds to the Federal deficit, retards economic growth. Those potential workers who have not learned the basic reading, writing, and arithmetic skills required to get started in an entrylevel job may be helped by publicly financed remedial training programs. Such training can best be provided by the States, which can better coordinate it with their already extensive vocational and adult education programs. States also are in a better position than the Federal Government to diagnose the problems of their unemployed and to design appropriate solutions. Different communities have differing needs for social services. Since social services programs are most appropriately operated by States or localities, the administration proposes to provide continued assistance through flexible block grants. For 1981 and 1982, the following major achievements toward fulfilling the Federal role in this function have been realized: • streamlining the major elementary and secondary education program for compensatory education for the disadvantaged to allow more local flexibility; • combining over 40 authorized narrow-purpose categorical education programs into a single State block grant; only 27 of these programs were funded in recent years; • phasing out the programs providing temporary, federally funded jobs in State and local governments; among other drawbacks, these programs had been among the least successful of Federal programs in preparing the unemployed for unsubsidized jobs in the private sector; • phasing out the young adult conservation corps, which failed to focus resources on the most disadvantaged, had one of the worst records among training and employment programs of placing former participants in productive activities, and was one of the most costly training and employment programs per year of service; • establishing an outreach program through ACTION to encourage able and successful Vietnam veterans to help their fellow Vietnam veterans overcome lingering problems associated with military service; and • creating a block grant for social services, which combined a number of social services and related activities. 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 1 4 5-106 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 In addition to the federalism initiative that would begin in 1984, major 1983 budget proposals in education, training, employment, and social services would: • Abolish the Department of Education and form a smaller Foundation for Education Assistance, transferring a number of programs to other agencies. • Consolidate programs providing education for the handicapped, rehabilitation services, and vocational and adult education into less cumbersome, but separate, State grants. • Restrict eligibility for higher education aid to students (grants and loans) to those most in need and concentrate campusbased student aid funds on work-study rather than on additional grants and loans. • Provide a block grant to States for training activities. This would permit an increase in the coordination between education and training programs at the State and local level and would, by eliminating stipends, prevent costly overlap with income maintenance programs. • Continue the Job Corps as a separate federally administered residential training program serving the most educationally and economically disadvantaged youth. • Provide greater flexibility to States in the area of child welfare by consolidating child welfare services, child welfare training, foster care, and adoption assistance programs into a single block grant. NATIONAL NEED: EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES (Functional code 500; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Education: Elementary, secondary, and vocational education: Education for the disadvantaged State education block grant Indian education Impact aid Education for the handicapped: Existing law Proposed legislation Vocational and adult education: Existing law Proposed legislation Other Subtotal, elementary, secondary, and vocational education 1981 actual 1982 estimate 3,112 614 352 662 2,481 471 326 453 1,025 784 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1,942 433 308 289 1,500 305 291 289 1,500 305 291 289 846 846 846 782 634 166 131 500 99 500 79 500 79 6,713 5,280 4,417 3,809 3,809 EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-107 NATIONAL NEED: EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES—Continued (Functional code 500; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Higher education: Aid to students: Pell Grants Campus-based aid Guaranteed student loans: Existing law Proposed legislation General institutional assistance.. Special institutions Other Subtotal, higher education. Research and general education aids: Educational research and statistics Cultural activities Other Subtotal, research and general education aids Subtotal, education Training, employment, and labor services: Training and employment: General training and employment programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Special target groups: Existing law Proposed legislation Job Corps: Existing law Proposed legislation Public service employment Work incentive program Federal-State employment service Other Subtotal, training and employment.. Other labor services: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, training, employment, and labor services Social services: Social services block grant Rehabilitation services Community service programs Child welfare block grant: Existing law Proposed legislation Services for children, youth, and families.. 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 2,604 1,198 2,188 1,024 1,400 400 1,000 400 1,000 400 2,535 216 204 157 3,061 -309 228 220 140 3,397 -912 200 222 82 3,689 -1,174 185 223 82 4,035 -1,536 184 223 82 6,913 6,552 4,789 4,405 4,388 75 673 539 62 639 486 62 562 436 62 506 441 62 528 449 1,286 1,186 1,060 1,010 1,039 14,912 13,018 10,266 9,224 9,236 3,902 2,194 1,800 1,800 200 200 200 387 387 387 782 561 290 586 2,606 365 799 94 246 547 83 487 81 487 70 487 70 9,109 3,945 2,955 2,944 2,944 606 585 639 -2 645 -2 649 _2 9,715 4,530 3,592 3,587 3,591 2,399 938 525 2,400 848 378 1,974 637 104 1,974 639 103 1,974 639 103 174 465 832 923 420 -40 923 420 -40 928 420 -40 928 5-108 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES—Continued (Functional code 500; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Services for the elderly and other special groups-. Existing law Proposed legislation Domestic volunteer programs Other social services Subtotal, social services., Deductions for offsetting receipts. Total, budget authority OUTLAYS Education: Elementary, secondary, and vocational education: Education for the disadvantaged State education block grant Indian education Impact aid Education for the handicapped: Existing law Proposed legislation Vocational and adult education: Existing law Proposed legislation Other Subtotal, elementary, secondary, and vocational education Higher education: Aid to students: Pell Grants Campus-based aid Guaranteed student loans: Existing law Proposed legislation General institutional assistance.. Special institutions Other Subtotal, higher education.. Research and general education aids: Educational research and statistics Cultural activities Other Subtotal, research and general education aids.. Subtotal, education Training, employment, and labor services: Training and employment: General training and employment programs: Existing law Proposed legislation 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 129 63 778 -4 118 59 782 -4 109 59 782 -4 109 59 5,935 5,989 4,968 4,970 4,970 -13 -31 -32 -33 -34 30,550 23,507 18,794 17,747 17,762 3,354 735 316 697 2,978 666 326 580 2,553 578 314 359 1,997 441 291 307 1,568 335 284 290 1,035 1,255 839 38 187 651 846 122 415 110 12 490 84 829 783 153 87 728 1,120 178 156 474 170 142 7,043 7,092 5,467 4,521 3,908 2,495 1,411 2,296 1,195 2,122 1,015 1,336 425 1,008 400 2,259 256 206 162 3,039 -232 315 224 145 3,313 -762 277 241 139 3,616 -1,108 121 231 89 3,948 -1,445 108 225 82 6,790 6,982 6,346 4,709 4,326 61 663 500 91 663 550 106 623 544 68 514 471 62 515 449 1,223 1,304 1,273 1,052 1,026 15,056 15,378 13,086 10,282 9,260 4,150 2,972 596 900 2,250 1,800 EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-109 NATIONAL NEED: EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES—Continued (Functional code 500; in millions of dollars) 1981 actual Major missions and programs Special target groups: Existing law Proposed legislation Job Corps: Existing law Proposed legislation Public service employment Work incentive program Federal-State employment service.. Other 874 Subtotal, training and employment.. Other labor services: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, training, employment, and labor services Social services: Social services block grant Rehabilitation services Community services programs Child welfare block grant: Existing law Proposed legislation Services for children, youth, and families Services for the elderly and other special groups.Existing law Proposed legislation Domestic volunteer programs Other social services Subtotal, social services.. Deductions for offsetting receipts. Total, outlays ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Higher education: Budget authority Outlays 1982 estimate 692 1983 estimate 94 180 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 200 200 387 387 275 269 547 90 90 320 4 11 487 81 487 71 487 70 9,241 5,439 2,764 3,395 2,944 587 584 635 -2 644 -2 648 -2 9,828 6,023 3,397 4,037 3,590 2,646 1,007 619 2,912 788 508 1,974 641 183 1,974 655 104 1,974 655 103 180 493 916 857 423 -40 892 420 -40 919 420 -40 919 915 630 150 97 133 81 843 _4 119 69 774 -4 113 66 774 -4 109 65 6,531 6,400 5,101 4,980 4t974 -13 -31 -32 -33 -34 31,402 27,770 21,552 19,266 17,791 1,955 1,955 700 700 540 595 2,399 381 804 93 Education The Federal Government traditionally has had only a small role in the financial support of education. In 1981, only about 10% of the total national support for education came from the Federal Government. However, the Federal Government's influence on parental, State, and local education decisionmaking has been growing rapidly in recent years. 5-110 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 The administration believes that Federal involvement should return to more traditional minimal levels. This budget includes proposals that would restore a more appropriate Federal-State balance and would substantially reduce the Federal regulatory burden imposed on States and localities. Two major grant consolidations are proposed; they are designed to give more discretion to States and localities. Significant reductions in funding for almost all programs are also requested. The creation of the Department of Education symbolized the progressive intrusion of the Federal Government into an educational system that has drawn its strength from diversity, adaptability, and local control. Legislation is being transmitted to abolish the Department of Education, form a Foundation for Education Assistance, and transfer several programs to other agencies whose missions are more appropriate for these activities. The Foundation and the other proposals in this budget would affirm that the primary responsibility for education rests with parents, the States, and local school systems. Programs administered by the Foundation for Education Assistance would emphasize: • leadership that strengthens State, local, and private control; • more family and private resource involvement in providing student financial assistance to needy college students and more aggressive policies to collect overdue loans; • limited assistance to special student populations at the elementary and secondary school level and greater use of block and consolidated grants; • research and limited data collection; and • civil rights investigation and related activities, except enforcement, which would be transferred to the Justice Department. Federal spending for 1983 is expected to continue its decline from the excessive levels reached in recent years. For 1983, the administration proposes $10.3 billion in budget authority for education programs, $2.8 billion less than is proposed for 1982. Outlays are estimated to be $15.4 billion for 1982 and $13.1 billion for 1983. These estimates assume Congressional approval of rescissions of $1.2 billion and supplemental requests—primarily for guaranteed student loans and for developing institutions—of $1.0 billion in 1982 budget authority. The 1983 budget request includes: • $4.4 billion in budget authority for elementary, secondary, and vocational education programs; • $4.8 billion in budget authority for Federal assistance to support higher education; and • $1.1 billion in budget authority for research and general education aids. EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-111 Elementary, secondary, and vocational education.—Most of the funds requested in the 1983 budget for elementary, secondary, and vocational education are to assist States and localities in providing education to students within priorities determined locally. Education for the disadvantage^—The largest share of the funds for elementary and secondary education goes to States and localities for supplementary compensatory education services—such as special classes in reading and mathematics—to low-income, lowachieving students under Chapter 1 of the newly enacted Education Consolidation and Improvement Act (ECIA) of 1981. In the 1983-84 school year, approximately 13,800 school districts in all 50 States, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the outlying areas will participate in these programs, serving an estimated 4.3 million students. The 1983 request of $1.9 billion in budget authority is $539 million below the 1982 level. State education block grant—Chapter 2 of ECIA combines over 40 authorized categorical programs. (Only 27 of these programs were funded in recent years.) State and local education agencies will determine which of the Act's authorized activities most appropriately address local educational priorities. In 1983, $433 million in budget authority is requested for Chapter 2, $38 million less than is provided in 1982. Indian education.—Budget authority of $308 million is requested for 1983 to support the education of Indians, $18 million less than in 1982. The Bureau of Indian Affairs (BIA) provides support for the education of Indian children through direct operation of 200 elementary and secondary schools, support of tribally operated schools, and financial assistance to public schools serving Indian children. BIA also assists Indian adults by providing financial assistance for higher education, by direct support of tribally operated post-secondary institutions, and by operating continuing education programs on many reservations. Under the administration's proposal to abolish the Department of Education, programs in this area that were formerly administered by the Department would be transferred to BIA. Impact aid—This program compensates local school districts whose revenues are reduced because the parents of school-aged children live or work on tax-exempt Federal property. Payments are made directly to the local districts, which use them for operating expenses and, in some cases, construction. The administration proposes to limit this assistance in 1983 to only those districts most directly affected by Federal activity. Payments would be made to districts only on behalf of children whose parents both live and work on Federal property. The Department of the Treasury would 5-112 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 have primary responsibility for this program. Construction payments for schools serving military personnel would be transferred to the Department of Defense and are classified in the national defense function. Similarly, responsibility for construction of schools serving children living on Indian lands would be transferred to the Department of the Interior. The budget includes a request for 1983 budget authority of $289 million and estimated outlays of $359 million for impact aid payments, including program administration. Education for the handicapped.—Federal funds from two sources help States and localities educate handicapped children. For 1983 the administration is proposing legislation to consolidate programs authorized by the Education of the Handicapped Act and activities for education of the handicapped funded under Chapter 1 of the Education Consolidation and Improvement Act of 1981 into one State block grant. Under this approach, States would be able to use funds more effectively and efficiently than in previous years because of reduced Federal restrictions and regulations. For 1983, $846 million in budget authority is requested, which is $54 million less than the $900 million in budget authority requested for the prior categorical programs in 1982, $116 million of which is shown under education for the disadvantaged. Vocational and adult education.—Vocational education funds assist youth in preparing for careers and assist adults who are in need of training or retraining. These funds, currently provided under several categorical grants with overlapping purposes, are used by States and local agencies to teach work and work-related skills. The adult education program provides formula grants to States to reduce functional illiteracy. Legislation is proposed to consolidate vocational and adult education authorities into a simplified grant to the States, starting in 1983. This will enable States to select the appropriate mix of activities to address vocational and adult education issues in their areas. Budget authority of $500 million is requested for 1983, a $134 million decrease from 1982. Higher education.—The administration requests $4.8 billion in budget authority and $6.3 billion in estimated outlays to support higher education activities in 1983. Federal aid to postsecondary students helps qualified students enter and complete schooling beyond the twelfth grade. These grants, direct loans, loan guarantees, and work-study stipends have expanded from $250 million in budget authority in 1965 to $6.3 billion in 1981. Growth in these programs has been especially rapid in the last few years, as indicated by the accompanying chart. EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-113 Included in the 1983 budget are proposals to control the rapid cost increases in student aid, especially in the guaranteed student loan program. Reforms will be proposed in the student loan programs, such as limiting participation to students with proven financial need and reducing the amount of Federal subsidy per loan. In addition, limits will be placed on Federal grant assistance and increases have been made in expected family and student contributions to educational costs. Aid to students.—Aid to students includes all of the major student aid programs. Budget authority of $4.3 billion and estimated outlays of $5.7 billion are requested for 1983. Pell Grants provide financial aid directly to undergraduate students and form the base upon which other financial aid is awarded. Students qualify for these grants under a needs analysis, performed uniformly nationwide, that takes into account the ability of the student's family to contribute to educational costs. The 1983 request of $1.4 billion in budget authority would allow a maximum award of $1,600 per eligible student, a decrease of $70 from the maximum award level proposed for 1982. In the 1983-84 school year, an estimated 1.8 million students would receive Pell Grants. There are currently three campus-based aid programs: national direct student loans, college work-study, and supplemental educational opportunity grants. Under these programs, each institution 5-114 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 determines a student's individual need under guidelines provided by the Federal Government. In 1983, the administration requests budget authority of $400 million for the college work-study program, which provides stipends to students who work while in school. The administration proposes to eliminate funding for the supplemental educational opportunity grant program and discontinue Federal contributions of capital funds to the national direct student loan program. Even without additional Federal capital contributions, repayments on prior-year loans will make available $435 million for the national direct student loan program, allowing 590,000 new loans. The administration's 1983 request for the guaranteed student loan program (GSL) of $2.5 billion in budget authority and $2.6 billion in estimated outlays would provide new loans to 2.8 million undergraduate students and 1.4 million "auxiliary" loans to parents and graduate and professional students. Several reforms are proposed for the guaranteed student loan program in 1982 and 1983 to reduce future costs, provide help according to need, and produce a more equitable distribution of loans. These reforms would: • increase the loan "origination fee" charged on new loans from 5 to 10%; • apply the GSL need analysis to students from all income levels; • allow graduate and professional students to borrow only under the much less subsidized auxiliary loan program; • increase the insurance premiums paid on GSL's to the Federal Government by: (a) increasing the premium charged lending institutions in the federally insured loan program, which accounts for 5% of new loan volume, from V* to 1%, and (b) initiating a reinsurance premium charged State and private guarantee agencies, which account for 95% of new loan volume, equal to V2 of the yearly income of the agencies from the insurance premium these agencies charge their participating lending institutions; and • limit special allowance payments to the in-school periods plus a 2-year period following graduation or withdrawal from school. These proposals would save $232 million in estimated outlays in 1982 and $762 million in 1983. Even with these changes, $1.2 billion in estimated 1982 outlays are required by loan commitments made under prior agreements that allowed larger interest subsidies. Total outlays for this program are estimated to decrease from $2.8 billion in 1982 to $2.6 billion in 1983 and $2.5 billion in 1984. General institutional assistance.—The major program in this area provides grants to strengthen institutions serving large num- EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-115 bers of disadvantaged students, especially black colleges. Institutions receiving assistance have considerable flexibility in determining how funds will be used. Funds may provide support services to students, finance outreach efforts, or improve the administrative and academic capabilities of the institution. The budget proposes budget authority in both 1982 and 1983 of $130 million for this program. The request represents an increase of $10 million over the 1981 level. In addition, $9 million will be made available to establish an aerospace science and engineering education center at Tuskeegee Institute as a memorial to General Daniel James. The administration has been particularly concerned with the level of support provided for traditionally black colleges. Federal outlays for education programs directly supporting black colleges are estimated to be $212 million in 1983, $26 million more than in 1982. In addition, black colleges will continue to receive a substantial amount of student financial assistance in 1983 under the administration's student aid proposals. These proposals focus aid on the lowest income students, who make up a significant proportion of the enrollment at these colleges. Budget authority of $70 million is requested in 1983 for other general institutional assistance programs such as the higher education facilities loan and insurance program. The administration is proposing a 1982 rescission that would result in no funding for the following general institutional assistance programs: veterans cost of instruction, educational outreach, cooperative education, aid to land grant colleges, public service fellowships, mining fellowships, and law school clinical experience. No funding is requested in 1983 for these programs or for the graduate professional opportunities fellowships and the program for legal training for the disadvantaged. These programs were designed to serve special groups that are eligible for assistance under other higher education programs. Special institutions.—The American Printing House for the Blind (classified in elementary, secondary, and vocational education), Gallaudet College, the National Technical Institute for the Deaf, and Howard University are private institutions that receive direct appropriations from the Federal Government. Under the administration's proposal for the Foundation for Education Assistance, funding for the special institutions, except Howard University, would be transferred to the Department of Health and Human Services in 1983. Howard University would be funded through the Foundation. In 1982, a supplemental request of $5.8 million in budget authority is included for Howard University to help overcome accreditation deficiencies. The 1983 request for the higher education special institutions is $222 million in budget authority and $241 million in estimated outlays, slightly higher than in 1982. 5-116 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Other.—Funds are made available to a variety of agencies and groups to provide support services that encourage the disadvantaged to enter or complete postsecondary education. In 1983, budget authority of $82 million is requested for these programs. CREDIT PROGRAMS—EDUCATION (In millions of dollars) Direct loan obligations Program Guaranteed student loans Student financial assistance Guarantees of SLMA obligations * Other education . Off-budget Federal entities: 2 Federal Financing Bank: SLMA obligations Subtotal, gross 1981 actual 1982 estimate Guaranteed loan commitments 1983 estimate 238 183 410 179 548 138 344 100 1,955 700 2,514 1,633 648 Less: Guaranteed loans held as direct loans by the FFB: Guarantees of SLMA obligations Secondary guarantees: Guarantees of SLMA obligations Total, education 2,514 1,633 648 1981 actual 1982 estimate 7,762 9,500 1,955 700 9,717 10,200 -1,955 -700 -1,955 -700 5,807 8,800 1983 estimate 10,300 10,300 10,300 1 Includes guarantees of direct loans made by the FFB shown below. 2 The FFB is a mechanism to finance direct loans sold or guaranteed by other Federal agencies. The deductions below eliminate overlap with transactions shown above in this table. See the introduction to Part 5 for further explanation. Credit programs.—The major education credit program, the guaranteed student loan program, is expected to generate $10.3 billion in new guaranteed loan commitments in 1983. Federal capital contributions to the national direct student loan program, a part of aid to students, are proposed to be terminated. Other education credit would continue at stable levels with no new lending activities. Prior to 1983 the Federal Government has supported the guaranteed student loan program by granting Federal Financing Bank financing for the obligations of the Student Loan Marketing Association (SLMA), which provides a secondary market for student loans. Beginning in 1983, SLMA will finance its operations solely from private sources. Research and general education aids.—The administration requests $1.1 billion in budget authority for educational research and statistics, cultural activities, and other general education, including the cost of administering programs. The budget includes $62 million in budget authority for 1982 and 1983 educational research and development activities and for limited collection of educational statistics. The budget also requests $562 million in 1983 budget authority for cultural activities, including EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-117 budget authority of $101 million for the National Endowment for the Arts and $97 million for the National Endowment for the Humanities. No funding is requested for the Institute of Museum Services, established as an independent agency in 1981. Funds for the Corporation for Public Broadcasting are provided 2 years in advance; this budget includes $110 million in budget authority for 1985, $27 million less than in 1983. These reduced levels of funding reflect the administration's intent to encourage direct beneficiaries and the private sector to make larger contributions to cultural activities. Budget authority of $227 million for the Smithsonian Institute is also requested in 1983. Other research and general education aids includes the cost of administering programs in the Library of Congress, the Foundation for Education Assistance, and other independent agencies. Budget authority of $436 million is requested for these costs in 1983. OUTLAYS FOR EDUCATION SUPPORTING OTHER MAJOR MISSIONS (In millions of dollars) Agency Elementary and secondary education: Health and Human Services Defense Veterans A d m i n i s t r a t i o n . . . . Agriculture Interior Other ... Subtotal, elementary and secondary education Higher education: Health and Human Services Defense Veterans Administration Agriculture Interior Other Subtotal, higher education 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 616 633 242 406 685 250 282 733 223 4,009 16 3,266 18 3,213 20 723 591 375 6,239 5,216 4,846 2,370 1,645 686 818 975 870 1,744 12 53 79 1,474 1,203 53 71 47 57 4,944 4,061 3,152 423 325 236 701 187 298 36 12 599 154 812 149 320 12 12 176 150 939 111 317 12 12 16 170 2,410 1,956 1,813 13,593 11,233 9,811 Other: Health and Human Services Defense Veterans Administration Agriculture Transportation Justice Labor Other Subtotal, other Total 5-118 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Tax expenditures.—The major tax expenditures that aid higher education are the exclusion of interest on State and local student loan bonds, the personal income tax exemptions available to parents of children age 19 and over who are in school, the deductibility of charitable contributions to educational institutions, and employer educational assistance plans. The outlay equivalent estimates for these provisions in 1983 are $170 million, $1.0 billion, $940 million, and $55 million, respectively. Later in the year, the administration will transmit to the Congress a plan to implement a program of tax credits for families of tuition paying students. Related programs.—Many Federal programs are related to education, although their primary purpose is to meet other national needs. For example, veterans readjustment benefits provide assistance to eligible veterans attending school. The Department of Defense operates the service academies and schools for the dependents of military personnel. The Department of Labor training programs previously authorized by the Comprehensive Employment and Training Act (CETA) were frequently conducted through State and local education agencies. CETA also provided special grants to be used by, or in cooperation with, education agencies to increase coordination between education and training programs. This coordination is expected to increase under the provisions of the block grant to States for training that will be proposed to replace CETA in 1983. The accompanying table shows major education-related programs that support other missions. Training, Employment, and Other Labor Services Programs that carry out the training and employment mission are intended to improve the operation of the labor market and enhance individuals' long-term employment and earnings prospects. Some programs provide training that is intended to develop and improve work skills or provide job counseling and labor exchange services that match workers and jobs. Other labor services programs include the regulation of employer-employee relations and the publication of labor statistics. The administration believes that most training and employment activities should be carried out by the private sector and that, in areas where potential workers lack basic skills required for entry-level jobs, training can best be provided by the States which are already responsible for vocational and adult education programs. Therefore, the budget includes $3.4 billion in estimated outlays for these activities in 1983, a reduction of $2.6 billion from the 1982 estimate of $6.0 billion. Training and employment—Beginning in the 1960's the Federal Government embarked on a series of initiatives that was based on the belief that normal market mechanisms would not work well EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-119 enough to keep cyclical or structural unemployment at a socially acceptable level. As a result, the programs enacted were generally intended to improve the labor market position of the worst off in society through training, subsidized employment, counseling, and related activities. Outlays for training and employment programs increased steadily over the years from $194 million in 1962 to $9.2 billion in 1981, including large temporary increases for public sector jobs as part of the economic stimulus programs in 1977 and 1978. The most recent in the panoply of major training and employment programs is the Comprehensive Employment and Training Act (CETA) of 1973. Originally intended to consolidate the myriad of categorical programs authorized by its predecessors into a block grant to local governments, CETA was continually amended so that the use of funds by local governments was restricted to several separate activities designed to provide specific services to narrowly defined population groups. The enactment of these special categorical programs, first for public service jobs and later for various youth activities, thwarted CETA's original purpose of allowing States and localities to carry out programs to meet the particular needs of their citizens, created severe administrative burdens for grant recipients, and often precluded the development of efficient and effective programs. The authority for CETA appropriations expires at the end of fiscal year 1982. Initiatives undertaken in 1981 to phase out the public service jobs programs were a first step in eliminating the categorical grants under CETA and restoring the training and employment programs to their original purpose of improving longterm employability by providing the disadvantaged with skills that are marketable in the private sector. For 1983, the administration is proposing legislation to replace the expiring CETA. This proposal would: • consolidate current training and employment categorical grant programs into a block grant to the States for training; • continue the Job Corps residential training program, which serves the most educationally and economically disadvantaged youth; and • provide authority for Federal training programs for special target groups that have the most difficulty establishing or maintaining ties to the labor market. The last authority would permit the Federal Government to continue serving such groups as Indians, seasonal farmworkers, older Americans, and those displaced from jobs by changing patterns of international trade. General training and employment programs.— The block grant proposed for 1983 would accomplish several purposes. First, it 5-120 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 would remove the artificial categorization of Federal assistance that has prevented recipients from using grant resources to address their most pressing training and employment problems. Programs, service mix, and geographical areas and the types of people served can then vary from State to State depending on economic situations within the State and on the degree States choose to coordinate other training, education, and labor market services with the block grant training resources. Second, by directing resources to the States, the legislation would permit increased coordination among programs intended to provide training and to improve the operation of the labor market, such as vocational and adult education and the employment service, which are already primarily the responsibility of State governments. Third, the payment of training stipends, which may now supplant regular income maintenance, would be eliminated. These stipends often have enticed people to enter training programs for short-term income rather than long-term earnings or employability gains. This would assure that those who participate in training are those most serious about improving their skills. Although few restrictions on the use of funds will be included in the proposed legislation, no Federal funds could be used for public service employment or work experience activity. Outlays for the block grant for training and employment are estimated to be $900 million in 1983. Outlays for prior CETA grants are expected to be $596 million in 1983. Total outlays will be $1.5 billion less than in 1982. Special target groups.—The Federal Government finances other training and employment services in addition to the grants to States and local prime sponsors authorized under CETA. These programs have been primarily for groups that have special difficulty in forming permanent attachments to the labor force or who have experienced sudden and severe changes in their labor market status. The administration's legislative proposal for training and employment programs in 1983 will include a nationally-administered program authorizing the provision of training and employment services to special target groups. Included among these target groups could be older workers, Indians and other Native Americans, migrants, and other groups such as displaced homemakers or experienced workers dislocated due to increased imports. Because older workers could be served under this proposal, separate funding for the community service employment program for older Americans is not requested in 1983. Outlays for these programs are estimated to be $274 million in 1983, a decrease of $418 million from 1982; $180 million of these outlays in 1983 would be from the new program. EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-121 Job Corps.—The Job Corps residential training program would be reduced from an expected enrollment of 32,000 at the end of 1982 to a level of 22,000 at the end of 1983. This end-of-year level is roughly equal to service levels achieved during most of the 1970's. Unit costs would be held to a minimum through such actions as closing federally operated centers, which are more expensive than centers operated by private contractors. The administration expects to request budget authority of $387 million for the Job Corps under the new legislation in 1983. Public service employment.—Two public service employment programs under CETA provided temporary, federally subsidized employment for low-income, unemployed persons in public or nonprofit agencies. These programs failed as countercyclical stimulus programs, often replaced local resources that could otherwise have been used for any necessary work that these employees might have performed, and were generally less successful than other CETA components in preparing the structurally unemployed for jobs in the private sector. These programs were phased out in 1981. A freeze on new hiring was imposed in March; all participants had left their federally subsidized jobs by September 30, 1981. Outlays of $275 million are estimated for 1982 for the cost of closing out both public service employment programs. Work incentive (WIN)program.—-The WIN program has provided persons receiving aid to families with dependent children (AFDC) training, job counseling, and labor market services. The administration is proposing to terminate this program at the end of 1982 and, in its place, is proposing comprehensive social welfare amendments that would require States to establish a community work experience program (CWEP). This program would provide ablebodied AFDC recipients with public sector work assignments and would require recipients to work enough hours to offset their welfare benefit calculated at the minimum wage. Passage of this proposal would make WIN unnecessary. (This proposal is described more fully in the income security function, where outlays for the new program are classified.) Outlays connected with WIN program termination in 1983 are estimated to be $11 million. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 authorized States to elect to participate in a 3-year WIN demonstration program in lieu of their regular WIN program. Resources for continuing these demonstrations or other WIN-type activities in 1983 would be available under the block grant to States for social services. The WIN tax credit is discussed under tax expenditures. Federal-State employment service.—Job matching services are provided for job seekers and employers free of charge by State 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 1 5 5-122 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 employment service agencies financed by Federal grants. During 1981, the employment service began a redirection of its job finding services to focus on those who most need assistance and to provide others with the basic tools necessary to carry out their own search for jobs. Staff levels are being reduced in 1982 and 1983 as available Federal resources decline. The 1983 request for grants to States for employment services, combined with the grants to operate the State unemployment insurance offices, is the maximum permitted by law, given the anticipated level of receipts of Federal unemployment taxes available for this purpose. Budget authority of $487 million is requested for the Federal and State cost of administering the employment service in 1983, $60 million less than in 1982. Other labor services.—The Federal Government establishes and enforces standards affecting the relationship between employers and employees and between unions and their members. The activities include enforcement of the minimum wage and related laws, regulation of welfare and pension plans, supervision of labor-management relations, regulation of the equal employment practices of Federal contractors, and assurances that election of labor union officials are democratic and that such officials do not abuse their stewardship. In addition, employment and unemployment statistics and data on wages, prices, and productivity are collected and disseminated. Outlays for these activities are estimated at $633 million in 1983. Job safety and health activities are included in the health function; activities relating to job discrimination on the basis of race, age, or sex are included in the administration of justice function. Tax expenditures.—The tax code provides incentives for employers to hire disadvantaged individuals and recipients of certain welfare benefits. Tax credits are also provided to encourage individuals with dependents to work by allowing tax credits for child care expenses. The targeted jobs tax credit provides employers with a credit of 50% of the first $6,000 of a covered employee's wages in the first year and 25% in the second year. This credit was reauthorized and amended by the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981. The Act extends the life of the tax credit through December 31, 1982, and allows a 2-year tax credit to an employer for each qualified employee who begins work before January 1, 1983. The previous categories of economically disadvantaged individuals eligible for the program were retained (youth ages 18 to 25, Vietnam veterans, general assistance and SSI recipients, cooperative education students, exoffenders, and handicapped individuals undergoing vocational rehabilitation). WIN registrants and individuals involuntarily terminated from CETA public service employment programs were added, EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-123 thereby replacing the WIN tax credit. In addition, two failings of the previous tax credit were addressed: retroactive certifications of workers are limited, and cooperative education students are not eligible for the credit unless they are economically disadvantaged. The outlay equivalent estimate for the targeted jobs credit is $200 million in 1983. Employment is also encouraged by a credit for 20% of child care expenses incurred to allow people with dependent children to work. The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 increased the child care credit to 30% for taxpayers with incomes of $10,000 or less. The Act also increased the maximum credit per year from $400 to $480 for one child and from $800 to $960 for 2 or more children. The outlay equivalent estimate for this credit is $2.0 billion in 1983. Training and employment-related programs.—A number of Feder- al programs are related to training and employment, although their primary purpose is to meet other national needs and serve other missions. The following table shows major training and employment-related programs that support other national needs. The table does not include programs that are primarily for economic development. TRAINING AND EMPLOYMENT OUTLAYS IN OTHER NATIONAL NEEDS (In millions of dollars) National needs Natural resources and environment Community and regional development Education Social services1 Income security Veterans benefits and services Administration of justice Allother Total 1 1981 actual 19 29 1,209 1,150 33 516 139 237 3,332 1982 estimate 7 26 1,533 981 152 521 148 213 3,582 1983 estimate 22 1,110 796 22 457 150 210 2,769 Assumes service mix in social service block grant identical to predecessor programs. Social Services The Federal Government provides funds to States and to local public and private institutions for a variety of social services. These services are primarily designed to meet the needs of lowincome people, children and youth, the elderly, the disabled, and other groups with special needs. Many of these programs are more appropriately administered by States, localities, or private groups who are much better able to judge local needs. In 1981, the administration proposed, and Congress enacted, legislation to consolidate many of these programs. This not only enhances State flexibility to target resources where they are most needed but also permits 5-124 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 significant efficiencies and savings in program administration. The administration is proposing additional consolidations for 1983. Outlays for social services are estimated to decrease from $6.4 billion in 1982 to $5.1 billion in 1983. Social services block grant—The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 created a block grant for social services that consolidated several social services related activities. States have wide discretion in determining the types of services offered and who is eligible to receive them. The broad array of services provided by the States includes child day care, foster care, child protective services, homemaker services, family planning, preparation and delivery of meals, transportation, counselling, legal services, and substitute care and day care for adults. Funds may be used for State and local administrative costs, including planning, evaluation, staff training, and conferences or workshops. The funds are distributed among the States on the basis of population. States also have the flexibility of transferring up to 10% of any block grant allotment to other block grants, which support health services, health promotion and disease prevention activities, or lowincome home energy and emergency assistance. Budget authority of $2.0 billion is requested for the social services block grant in 1983, $0.4 billion less than 1982. Rehabilitation services.—In 1983, under the administration's Foundation for Education Assistance proposal, rehabilitation services programs formerly administered by the Department of Education would be transferred to the Department of Health and Human Services. This includes the National Institute for Handicapped Research, which is now shown in "other social services." Budget authority of $637 million is requested in 1983 for rehabilitation services. The administration will propose legislation to consolidate the many categorical programs in this area. Federal funds support a variety of services designed to help disabled individuals become self-sufficient. Reduced Federal restrictions and regulations would allow States and social services agencies to use these funds more effectively and efficiently than in prior years. Community service programs.—In 1983, budget authority of $104 million is requested for community services programs, including $100 million for grants to States under the newly authorized community services block grant. These funds would provide community-based services that could have a major impact on the causes of poverty. Community services programs assist poor persons in a variety of areas such as employment and education. These programs use a wide range of services including those provided by the private sector. EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-125 Estimated outlays for community services programs in 1983 include $100 million for the community services block grant and $33 million for the unexpended obligations of the Community Services Administration, which was terminated on September 30, 1981. These funds will be used for final payments for CSA grant activities financed from appropriations in earlier years and will be administered by the Department of Health and Human Services. Child welfare block grant.—Legislation is being proposed to consolidate child welfare services, child welfare training, foster care, and adoption assistance into one child welfare block grant. Budget authority of $380 million in 1983 is requested for this grant program, a decrease of $85 million from 1982. The block grant would support State services that are designed to strengthen and reunite families and place children promptly and permanently in adoptive homes when they cannot be reunited with their families. (The 1982 amounts for child welfare shown here exclude $300 million that is shown in the income security function.) Services for children, youth and families.—These programs are designed to .improve the quality of services for children and to protect neglected, abused, and homeless children. Budget authority of $923 million is requested for these programs in 1983, a slight decrease from 1982. For 1983, budget authority of $912 million is requested for Head Start, which assists local community groups in providing comprehensive services for low-income pre-school children and their families. This level will allow the program to maintain enrollment of 377,300 children and will enable local projects to reduce overcrowding in Head Start classrooms. Services for the elderly and other special groups.—For 1983, the budget requests budget authority of $774 million for social services for elderly people and other special groups, a slight decrease from 1982. Grants are made to State and area agencies on aging to assist in financing a range of services to older Americans, particularly those with the greatest economic and social need. State and area agencies analyze and evaluate the need for services, act as advocates on behalf of the elderly, furnish technical assistance to service providers, and help to coordinate systems of services for older people. Services delivered locally include transportation, information and referral, legal, and community services in addition to a variety of services provided in the home. These services include nutrition projects for the elderly, which finance meals served in a group setting or delivered to the homebound elderly. Budget authority of $390 million is requested for 5-126 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 these projects in 1983, the same as the 1982 level. The 1983 request would finance approximately 608,000 meals daily. Domestic volunteer programs.—ACTION, a Federal agency for volunteer programs, supports Foster Grandparents, the Retired Senior Volunteer Program (RSVP), Senior Companions, and programs to stimulate volunteer services. In 1983, 345,200 RSVP volunteers are expected to work on community needs, 18,100 foster grandparents are expected to serve 54,000 children with special needs, and 4,100 senior companions are expected to provide longterm care to 14,500 frail and elderly people. No budget authority is requested for the Volunteers in Service to America (VISTA) program for 1983. ACTION will encourage volunteer service through technical assistance, demonstrations, and small grants and will support groups of Vietnam veterans to help other veterans of the Vietnam war with problems stemming from their military service. Outlays for ACTION are estimated to decrease from $133 million in 1982 to $119 million in 1983. Other social services.—Budget authority of $59 million is requested in 1983 to support research, demonstration, training and technical assistance, and evaluation activities in a variety of human services areas. These include the abuse and neglect of children, day care, placing children who are difficult to adopt, information systems, service delivery, strengthening family and community support systems, and the National Institute for Handicapped Research, which develops rehabilitation methods and equipment for the disabled. Tax expenditures.—The provision of social services by a wide variety of private institutions is encouraged by the tax deductibility of contributions to those institutions. The outlay equivalent estimate for charitable contributions, other than to educational and health institutions, is $8.1 billion in 1983. HEALTH 5-127 HEALTH National Needs Statement: • Promote the health of the population. The Federal Role in Meeting the Need: • Promote competition to reduce the rate of inflation in health care costs. • Improve the efficiency and effectiveness of Federal health care programs. • Support health care for the poor. • Promote preventive health and health maintenance measures. • Acquire knowledge regarding the causes, prevention, and treatment of disease. J The administration has begun to restructure the Federal role in financing and providing health care services. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 included a number of the administration's proposals that will help to reduce Federal regulation and control over the provision of health services. This budget proposes more changes to: • Moderate the excessive rate of increase in health care costs through improvement of market forces. In support of the objective of strengthening market forces in health care, the administration is proposing elimination of ineffective Federal regulatory activities, including the health planning and professional standards review organization (PSRO) programs. Later this year the administration will propose major reforms of the current health care financing system to introduce more price discipline into the health care market and moderate the explosive growth of health care costs. • Reform the Federal health care financing programs to increase their effectiveness and efficiency. Proposed reforms of the medicaid program emphasize greater program efficiency and effectiveness. Proposed reforms of the medicare program emphasize increased program efficiency, reductions in excessive reimbursements to providers of health care, more appropriate beneficiary financing of program activities, and greater competition in the medicare market. • Reorganize health services to deliver care more effectively. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 consolidated 21 categorical health programs into 3 health block grants in 5-128 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 1982—for maternal and child health, preventive care, and mental health and substance abuse—with a fourth block grant for primary care authorized to begin in 1983. For 1983, the administration is proposing to consolidate additional programs into the block grants to improve primary care and services for women, infants and children. • Expand research and education efforts throughout the Federal Government to promote health and to prevent illness, accidents and premature death. Increased budget authority is requested to expand the resources available for basic and clinical research. Increased budget authority is also requested for health promotion and disease prevention programs. In 1984, under the administration's federalism initiative, financial responsibility for the total medicaid program would be assumed by the Federal Government in exchange for the States assuming the responsibility for the aid to families with dependent children and food stamp programs. In addition, the responsibility for the health block grants and several other small health grants is proposed to be shifted from the Federal Government to State governments. This initiative would begin in 1984 and be phased in over 4 years. The federalism initiative is discussed in more detail in Patrt 3 of the Budget Health care services.—About 93% of Federal outlays for national health needs is devoted to the mission of financing and providing health care services directly to individuals. Federal outlays for health care services are estimated to rise from $68.0 billion in 1982 to $72.7 billion in 1983 and $79.6 billion in 1984, despite proposed savings. Medicare and medicaid.—Medicare and medicaid outlays, which finance health care services for poor, disabled, and aged Americans, are estimated to be $72.4 billion in 1983 (prior to deduction of offsetting premiums and collections), including proposed legislative savings of $3.6 billion. Medicare outlays are estimated at $55.4 billion in 1983 (prior to deduction of offsetting premiums and collections), including proposed legislation of $1.7 billion in savings. These outlays are expected to finance services for 26 million aged and 3 million disabled Americans. Estimated medicaid outlays of $17.1 billion in 1983, with an additional $15.5 billion provided by States, are expected to finance care for 22 million poor Americans. Medicare and medicaid together are expected to aid nearly one in every five Americans in 1983. 5-129 HEALTH NATIONAL NEED: HEALTH (Functional code 550; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Health care services: Medicare: Hospital and supplementary medical insurance: Existing law Proposed legislation Premiums and collections:1 Existing law Proposed legislation 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 45,292 55,846 17 61,293 -1,910 67,768 -10,273 76,127 -8,180 -3,340 -3,862 6 -4,418 26 -4,922 28 -5,387 32 41,952 52,007 54,991 52,601 62,592 17,530 18,492 -451 14,427 -1,432 20,913 -2,216 24,092 -3,617 861 1,193 741 1,193 741 1,193 741 3,980 3,047 2,551 -3 2,803 -3 3,261 -3 63,462 73,955 72,468 76,032 88,260 3,352 405 3,442 381 3,554 416 3,554 416 3,554 416 3,757 3,824 3,969 3,969 3,969 Education and training of the health care work force: Research training Clinical training 238 427 215 245 212 125 212 125 212 125 Subtotal, education and training of the health care work force 665 460 337 337 337 708 668 712 -2 704 700 369 344 351 -9 354 -14 356 -14 1,077 1,012 1,052 1,043 1,041 -25 -16 -17 -14 14 68,936 79,234 77,808 81,367 93,593 Subtotal, medicare Medicaid: Existing law 2 Proposed legislation Health blocks grants: Existing law Proposed legislation Other health care services: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, health care services Health research: National Institutes of Health research Other research programs Subtotal, health research Consumer and occupational health and safety: Consumer safety: Existing law Proposed legislation Occupational safety and health: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, consumer health and safety and occupational Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority 1 2 Includes voluntary enrollee premiums for medicare coverage. The large decrease in 1983 budget authority is due to a transitional quarter resulting from a technical change in the appropriations language. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 established target rates of medicaid cost increases to encourage the States to limit the program's explosive growth. States above the target will have their Federal matching funds reduced, to the extent that they 5-130 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: HEALTH—Continued (Functional code 550; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs OUTLAYS Health care services: Medicare: Hospital and supplementary medical insurance: Existing law Proposed legislation Premiums and collections:x Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, medicare Medicaid: Existing law Proposed legislation Health block grants: Existing law Proposed legislation Other health care services: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, health care services Health research: National Institutes of Health research Other research programs Subtotal, research programs Education and training of the health care work force: Research training Clinical training Subtotal, education and training of the health care work force Consumer and occupational health and safety: Consumer safety: Existing law Proposed legislation Occupational safety and health: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, consumer health and safety 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 42,489 49,800 -248 57,099 -1,747 65,379 -4,201 75,094 6,729 -3,340 -3,862 6 4,418 26 4,922 28 -5,387 32 39,149 45,696 50,960 56,284 63,010 16,948 17,888 18,959 -1,883 20,910 -2,216 24,092 -3,617 761 1,052 650 1,193 741 1,193 741 4,254 3,617 2,937 2,644 _2 2,783 -3 60,351 67,961 72,675 79,554 88,199 3,394 442 3,422 417 3,515 427 3,550 416 3,554 417 3,836 3,839 3,941 3,966 3,970 236 543 217 420 206 245 207 157 208 132 779 637 451 364 340 688 677 716 _2 707 702 353 339 349 -8 354 -14 355 -14 1,042 1,017 1,055 1,047 1,043 and occupational Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays 1981 actual -25 16 -17 -14 14 65,982 73,437 78,105 84,917 93,539 5-131 HEALTH NATIONAL NEED: HEALTH—Continued (Functional code 550; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Health care services: Budget authority Outlays 1 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 15 -5 -5 Includes voluntary enrollee premiums for medicare coverage are unsuccessful in slowing the rate of increase in program costs. The Congress also adopted a number of the administration's proposals to increase the ability of States to manage their programs more efficiently and effectively, and to assure continuance of basic health care services to welfare recipients. Administration proposals for reducing medicare reimbursement to health providers, as well as a number of other economies designed to increase program economy or effectiveness, were also enacted. The accompanying table displays savings proposals in medicare and medicaid adopted in the 1981 Reconciliation Act. The 1983 budget proposes additional measures to achieve savings in medicaid and medicare. Those measures are discussed below and displayed in an accompanying table. Medicaid reform proposals have three major emphases: • Program efficiency would be improved by eliminating the unnecessary Federal match for State payment of medicare premiums, requiring beneficiaries to contribute a modest payment for use of medicaid services, reducing the length of automatic eligibility extensions for those who find private employment, and gradually eliminating Federal matching payments for State payment errors. • States would be provided incentives to improve program effectiveness by proposals such as eliminating higher matching for particular medicaid services, and reducing Federal matching payments for optional services and beneficiaries. In addition, Federal support for administrative costs will be consolidated into a single payment to States for the administration of medicaid, food stamps, and aid to families with dependent children. This proposal is discussed in the income security function under combined welfare administration. • States would be given flexibility to reduce inappropriate expenditures by such proposals as increasing States' ability to collect long-term care expenditures from beneficiaries' estates and from relatives. Medicare proposals emphasize: 5-132 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 1981 BUDGET RECONCILIATION ACT OUTLAY SAVINGS (In millions of dollars) 1983 estimate Medicaid: Reduce the Federal match in 1982-1984 and impact of other welfare program changes Medicare: Lower the routine hospital cost reimbursement limit to 108 percent of the average for similar hospitals Lower home health agency (HHA) reimbursement limit to the 75th percentile of similar HHAs Reduce the hospital nursing cost reimbursement bonus from 8 percent to 5 percent of costs Increase the hospital insurance (HI) deductible Repeal the coverage of outpatient alcohol detoxification facilities Base coinsurance on deductible in the year the expense was incurred Eliminate the 80 percent occupancy test for hospital reimbursement based on level of care Increase the supplementary medical insurance (SMI) deductible to $75 Eliminate the SMI deductible carry-over from one year to the next Eliminate unlimited open enrollment in SMI Adjust for interactive effects of changes Total 1984 estimate 1985 estimate -696 -835 -3 -43 -39 -38 -14 -16 -18 -65 -305 -90 -10 -74 -360 -110 -10 -84 -410 -120 -10 _5 -210 -55 -10 -10 _5 -240 -55 -11 -15 -10 -250 -55 -13 -15 -1,513 -1,770 -1,026 Improvement in market forces in the health care industry. The administration is currently developing health care financing reforms to eliminate perverse characteristics of the health care market and of medicare which have contributed to excessively high health care costs. These reforms are expected to reduce the rate of medicare cost inflation beginning in 1984. Reforms proposed for 1983 include: indexing the supplementary medical insurance (SMI) deductible to the CPI, coordinating medicare benefits with employment-based group insurance for the working aged, initiating co-payments for home health agency (HHA) services, establishing medicare coverage at the beginning of the first full month of eligibility, and fully integrating Federal employees into medicare through payment of the medicare tax. • Improved program efficiency. Excessively long hospital stays and unnecessary utilization of services would be reduced through better claims review and through tightening current rules which encourage providers to render unnecessary care. The cost effectiveness of the billing process would also be improved. 5-133 HEALTH • Reduction in excessive reimbursement for providers. The administration proposes such reforms as eliminating unintended subsidies for private rooms, reducing duplicate payments to physicians, and reducing the rate of increase of maximum physician reimbursements. Other proposals would eliminate the unwarranted distinction between hospital-based and independent facilities, reimburse radiologists and pathologists on the same basis as other physicians and impose an interim 2% reduction in hospital reimbursements until forthcoming administration proposals to improve market forces in health care can reduce the rate of increase in industry costs. The table below displays the medicare and medicaid savings proposals. PROPOSED HEALTH CARE FINANCING PROGRAM OUTLAY SAVINGS AND REVENUE INCREASES (In millions of dollars) 1983 estimate Medicaid: Proposed legislation: Require beneficiary co-payments Eliminate Federal matching for State payment of beneficiary medicare premiums Eliminate special medicaid matching rates Allow State flexibility to recover long term care expenditures from beneficiary estates and relatives Reduce automatic extension of Medicaid eligibility for AFDC cases dropped from the rolls from 4 months to 1 month Reduce Federal matching for optional services and beneficiaries by 3 percent Phased-in elimination of Federal matching for Medicaid payment errors Medicaid impact of AFDC changes Eliminate hospital utilization review requirement in conjunction with PSRO phase-out Medicaid impact of SSI proposals Extension of Reconciliation Act savings « Impact of medicare proposals on medicaid Subtotal, Medicaid proposed legislation. Administrative and other reductions: Allow State flexibility to recover LTC costs from relatives.. Establish limit on State administrative costs 1 Subtotal, Medicaid administrative action. Total, Medicaid Medicare: Proposed legislation: Update medicare physician fee limits in October rather than July.. Repeal mandated State facility review 1984 estimate 1985 estimate -329 -370 -415 -203 -64 -216 -70 -230 -81 -183 -200 -221 -75 -85 -95 -600 -59 -153 -670 -130 -170 -740 -225 -190 -16 -176 -17 -328 -25 -1,883 +40 -17 -527 -930 + 54 -2,216 -3,617 -100 (-218) -116 (-284) -128 (-393) -100 -116 -128 -1,983 -2,332 -3,745 -210 -10 -235 -10 -230 -10 5-134 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 PROPOSED HEALTH CARE FINANCING PROGRAM OUTLAY SAVINGS AND REVENUE INCREASES— Continued (In millions of dolars) 1983 estimate Index SMI deductible to the CPI Conform radiologist-pathologist reimbursement to that for other physicians.. Begin medicare coverage with the first day of the first full month of eligibility Establish an interim 2 percent reduction in medicare hospital reimbursement Eliminate reimbursement for provider delivery of uncovered services Repeal the PSRO program and provider utilization review requirement Cut projected increase in physician fee screen from 8 percent to 5 percent. Establish coinsurance for home health agency services Make medicare coverage secondary to private group insurance for the working aged Adjust for other proposals Reform health care financing (future legislation) Subtotal, Medicare proposed legislation., Administrative and other reductions: Eliminate subsidy for private hospital rooms Set single reimbursement limits for hospital-based and free-standing facilities Improve contractor utilization review activities Eliminate duplicate payments for physicians in hospital outpatient departments Establish prospective reimbursement rates for renal dialysis services Subtotal, Medicare, administrative action Revenue increase: Integrate Federal workers into medicare hospital insurance2 Total, Medicare deficit reduction 3 . 1 Savings included in the income security 2 Revenues from imposition of HI tax. 3 1984 estimate 1985 estimate -65 -160 -145 -210 -230 -250 -145 -183 -217 -653 -10 -83 -35 -35 -850 -10 -86 -45 -55 -950 -10 -89 -55 -60 -306 -36 -393 -29 -1,950 -450 -78 -4,100 -1,747 -4,201 -6,729 -54 -75 -80 -18 -362 -46 -405 -46 -460 -160 -130 -225 -179 -270 -224 -724 -930 -1,080 -619 -844 -933 -3,090 -5,975 -8,742 function. Excludes offsetting premiums and collections. Health block grants.—Budget authority for health block grants is proposed to increase from $0.9 billion in 1982 to $1.9 billion in 1983, as a result of additional programs being consolidated into these grants. The 1981 Reconciliation Act consolidated an initial 21 categorical programs into 4 block grants. Enactment of these block grants was a critical step toward accomplishing the President's goals of restoring a more appropriate balance among the levels of government and encouraging more efficient and effective use of health resources. The block grants will serve program purposes similar to the categorical programs consolidated, but will allow States flexibility to coordinate and improve the effectiveness of services for their citizens. The block grants streamline program administration by reducing unnecessary Federal regulatory, legal, and reporting HEALTH 5-135 requirements previously imposed on States and grantees. Duplicative and low-priority programs can be eliminated, while gaps in needed local services can be filled. The administration is proposing legislation to consolidate an additional four programs into these grants. • Services for women, infants, and children block grant (formerly maternal and child health).—For 1982, this block grant consolidated seven Federal categorical grant programs. It is enabling States to assist and improve the health of mothers and children through a State-administered program. For 1983, the administration proposes an expansion of the maternal and child health block grant to include the women, infants, and children (WIC) nutrition program formerly classified in the income security function, and a change in the name of the program to "Services for women, infants and children." Evidence indicates that improvement in health status is much greater when supplemental nutrition is combined with improved access to health care than when provided alone. The 1983 request for budget authority for this block grant is $1.0 billion. • Health prevention and services block grant.—This block grant consolidated eight categorical grant programs into one program that emphasizes services to prevent unnecessary injury, illness, and death. For 1983, the administration is requesting $83 million in budget authority for this block grant. • Alcohol, drug abuse, and mental health block grant—Five categorical grant programs were consolidated in this block grant, which emphasizes substance abuse—drugs and alcohol—and mental health services. The administration is requesting $433 million in budget authority in 1983 for this program. • Primary care block grant.—This block grant will enhance the ability of States to provide primary care services to populations in need by converting the categorical community health centers (primary care) program into a block grant to States beginning in 1983. The administration proposes to expand this block grant to include categorical programs for black lung clinics, migrant health, and family planning. The total budget authority requested for 1983 is $417 million. Other health care services.—In order to promote competition in health care, the budget reflects proposed legislation to continue the phaseout of the health planning program, which bars market entry to providers, and the phaseout of direct Federal subsidies for the professional standards review organization (PSRO) program. Legislation will also be proposed to assist federally-funded health maintenance organizations (HMOs) to compete by removing unnecessary 5-136 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Federal requirements, thus allowing a phaseout of Federal grant and loan subsidies. For 1983, the administration is requesting $68 million in budget authority for the direct Federal subsidy to St. Elizabeths Hospital (SEH)—a reduction of $27 million from the Federal subsidy level of $95 million projected for this program in 1982. Federal employees at SEH will be actively working with the District of Columbia (D.C.) to place in the community the patients for whom inpatient psychiatric care is less appropriate than community care. In 1983, this budget proposes that the hospital bill D.C. and Federal agencies for the cost of SEH care for individuals for whom they are responsible. The administration is also considering the development of legislation to establish a corporation to manage the hospital. The administration requests budget authority for the Indian Health Service at a level of $600 million in 1982 and $613 million in 1983, and for the National Health Service Corps at a level of $95 million in 1982 and $103 million in 1983. Federal expenditures to cover the Government's share of health insurance premiums for its employees and annuitants enrolled in the Federal Employees Health Benefits program (FEHB) are estimated at $2.5 billion in 1982 and $3.2 billion in 1983. These estimates include $0.9 billion in 1982 and $1.1 billion in 1983 shown in this function; the remaining agency contributions to health care funds are shown in the table at the end of this function displaying health-related outlays. The administration intends to strengthen the FEHB program through administrative improvements which will capitalize on its uniqueness in providing for participant choice among a number of health plans. Reform proposals also will be developed to moderate the growth of health care costs. Tax expenditures.—Federal tax laws help finance health care by allowing employees to exclude from their taxable income the insurance premiums paid by their employers. The outlay equivalent estimate for this provision is $21.5 billion for 1983. Individuals also are permitted to itemize as deductions certain expenses for health care and premiums paid for health insurance. In 1983, the outlay equivalent estimates of these tax deductions are $4.2 billion. In addition, health-related charitable contributions result in an outlay equivalent estimate in 1983 of $1.4 billion and the exclusion of interest on State and local hospital bonds results in an outlay equivalent estimate of $845 million. Tax expenditures for health total $28.1 billion in 1983. Health research.—The Federal Government provides approximately two-thirds of the total funds devoted to health research in the country. The budget proposes to increase budget authority for HEALTH 5-137 health research from $3.8 billion in 1982 to $4.0 billion in 1983. These funds will support primarily basic biomedical research conducted by the National Institutes of Health. Support will be provided for such activities as research project grants, research centers, training of biomedical scientists, and the NIH intramural research program. Funds are also requested for continued support of research on chemical and related behavioral disorders, such as mental illness and alcohol and drug abuse, as well as health services research and health statistical activities. Education and training of the health care workforce.—In 1983, $212 million in budget authority is requested for the support of about 10,000 research trainees. Because the supply of most health care professionals is now adequate and Federal support for clinical training is therefore no longer essential, budget authority requested for clinical training of health care professionals decreases from $245 million in 1982 to $125 million in 1983. Consumer and occupational health and safety.—Budget authority of $1.1 billion in 1983 is requested for protecting consumers from unsafe and defective products and for protecting workers from occupational hazards. This is $40 million above the 1982 budget authority. Consumer safety.—Budget authority for consumer safety activities is proposed to increase from $668 million in 1982 to $710 million in 1983. Funding would support research, dissemination of information, and regulatory measures to protect consumers from unreasonable consumer product risks. Inspection activities to assure the safety and efficacy of drugs and medical devices and the safety of foods would be continued. Occupational safety and health.—The budget includes $342 million in budget authority to improve occupational safety and health in 1983, $2 million below the 1982 level. The Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) and the Mine Safety and Health Administration (MSHA) in the Department of Labor issue and enforce standards to eliminate workplace hazards causing injury, illness, or death. During 1982 and 1983, both OSHA and MSHA will continue efforts to revise or eliminate standards that burden employers more than needed to protect workers. These efforts will focus resources on those activities most likely to ensure safe and healthful working conditions. Cooperative programs providing voluntary assistance to employers in complying with regulations, without the threat of penalties, will be expanded. For 1983, legislation is proposed that would allow MSHA to concentrate its resources on mines most likely to be hazardous and to eliminate 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 1 6 5-138 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 unproductive activities saving $9 million in proposed budget authority. Health-related expenditures.—The Federal Government supports health-related expenditures that are reported in other budget functions. Among the most important are medical care for veterans and military personnel, reported in the veterans benefits and services and national defense functions, and agency contributions to Federal employee health benefits, which were described under health care services. MAJOR FEDERAL HEALTH AND HEALTH-RELATED OUTLAYS SUPPORTING OTHER MISSIONS (In millions of dollars) 1981 actual Agency 1983 estimate 6,965 5,487 1,190 638 7,594 6,252 1,613 666 8,108 6,710 2,089 655 14,280 16,125 17,562 Veterans Defense Agency contributions to employee health funds Agriculture Total, outlays 1982 estimate Credit programs.—The health function includes several small loan and loan guarantee programs, which generally support larger health initiatives. These include health related student loans and assistance to health maintenance organizations. The total amount of health credit activity proposed for 1983 includes $40 million in direct loan obligations and $88 million in loan guarantee commitments. CREDIT PROGRAMS—HEALTH (In millions of dollars) Direct loan obligations Program Health maintenance organization, loan fund Other health programs l Off-budget Federal entity: 2 Federal Financing Bank: Health programs Subtotal, Gross Less: Loan assets sold to the FFB and associated guarantees: Health maintenance organization, loan fund Total, health 1981 actual 27 30 1982 estimate 41 13 Guaranteed loan commitments 1983 estimate 38 1 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 19 48 36 80 24 80 15 28 16 72 83 56 67 116 104 -15 -28 -16 -15 -28 -16 57 54 40 52 88 88 'Includes loans sold to the FFB as loan assets, and guarantees of those loan assets. The FFB purchases are shown below. 2 The FFB is a mechanism to finance direct loans sold or guaranteed by other Federal agencies. The deductions below eliminate overlap with transactions shown above in this table. See the introduction to Part 5 for further explanation. 5-139 INCOME SECURITY INCOME SECURITY National Needs Statement: • Insure against the loss of income resulting from unemployment, old age, disability, or death of a wage earner. • Assist the truly needy who are unable to provide for themselves. The Federal Role in Meeting the Need: • Provide a base of social insurance upon which individuals can build their own income security through private insurance, pension plans, and personal savings. • Assure that food and shelter are available to the poor, particularly to dependent children, the elderly, and the disabled. • Help the poor in working their way out of need rather than foster permanent dependence on government assistance. • Administer income security programs efficiently, protecting the American taxpayer from costly fraud, waste, and abuse. Income security is the largest and one of the most steadily growing functions in the Federal budget. In 1983 income security outlays are estimated to be $262 billion, about 35% of total budget outlays. The income security function has grown from 2.7% of gross national product (GNP) in 1957 to 7.6% of GNP in 1983. This growth is dominated by social security, which grew at a rate more than three times as fast as GNP over this period. Unemployment compensation outlays, which vary with the unemployment rate, have fluctuated widely both in absolute amounts and as a percent of GNP, but in general have not increased. Other income security outlays, which have risen at a rate roughly three times as fast as GNP in the past, will decline as a percent of GNP in 1983. INCOME SECURITY OUTLAYS AS A PERCENT OF GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 1957 actual Social security Unemployment compensation All other. .. Total ... . 1962 actual 1967 actual 1972 actual 1977 actual 1983 estimate 1.5 .4 .7 2.6 .7 .9 2.8 .3 .9 3.5 .6 1.5 4.5 .8 2.1 5.1 .7 1.9 2.7 4.1 4.0 5.7 7.4 7.6 5-140 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Increases in the cost of income security programs come largely from automatic cost-of-living adjustments and growth in the number of beneficiaries. Most of the benefits are paid under entitlement standards established in law. Last year, the administration proposed and the Congress enacted some entitlement qualifications and made a number of other legislative changes to income security programs through the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981. These changes include: • Elimination of inappropriate social security payments to adult students, nondependent survivors, and disabled workers receiving more in public disability payments than they earned before their disability. • Concentration of extended unemployment benefits on workers in states that are experiencing high levels of unemployment. • Decreases in trade adjustment assistance benefits and increases in training efforts to focus the program more clearly on helping claimants become employed again. • Reductions in the food stamp and other nutrition programs to reduce waste and fraud and to target this assistance on the most needy recipients. • Reforms in aid to families with dependent children that eliminate families with substantial income from the rolls, create new work opportunities for those recipients who should be self-supporting, correct inequities that failed to focus assistance on those in greatest need, and streamline administration. • Reduction in the eligibility ceiling for subsidized housing with the introduction of a requirement that 90% of new tenants have incomes below 50% of the median income for their area, and an increase in the maximum rent contribution from 25% to 30% of income that can be charged tenants in subsidized housing. • Provision of automatic increases in Federal employee retirement programs once per year rather than twice per year. These reforms of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act significantly improved the Federal entitlement programs. In addition, a separate law provided for the eventual solvency of the black lung disability trust fund by raising taxes on coal and by requiring better evidence of disability caused by black lung disease before benefits can be paid. Additional proposals included in this budget will improve further the focus and administration of the entitlement programs. The basic principles of the entitlement reforms proposed in this budget are: • Restoring the focus of social welfare programs on the people who need them the most.—Eligibility for these programs will INCOME SECURITY 5-141 be further restricted to those with the most need, and overlapping benefits will be eliminated. • Reforming Federal retirement programs.—Future benefit increases will be adjusted so that retirees are not better off than those now working in their old jobs. • Preventing overcompensation of benefits.—Benefits will not be provided for periods before the applicant is actually eligible. The major proposals in income security entitlement programs include: •Aid to families with dependent children (AFDC).—Requirements for work as a condition of eligibility will be strengthened, the allowance for shelter and utilities of AFDC families living in larger households will be reduced to reflect economies in shared living expenses, and energy assistance will be counted as income. Federal sharing in the costs of erroneous payments will be phased out. • Child support enforcement.—Federal matching for State and local administrative costs of establishing paternity and collecting support from legally liable absent parents will be restructured. States will be encouraged to increase collections and to operate more cost-effective programs. • Supplementary security income.—The disability criteria will be based on long-term medical prognosis for recovery. • Food stamps.— Benefits will be reduced 35% for increases in income, instead of 30%. Federal payments for benefits issued erroneously will be phased out. • Railroad retirement—The rail industry's pension will be restored to the private sector, and the Department of Health and Human Services will provide social security benefits directly to former rail employees and their families. • Federal civil service.— Excessive cost-of-living increases in retired pay will be eliminated. • Combined welfare administration.—Payments to States for the administrative expenses of food stamps, medicaid, and AFDC will be combined into a single payment with reduced Federal requirements. Under the administration's federalism initiative, responsibility for the AFDC and food stamp programs would be assumed by the State governments in exchange for the Federal Government assuming the responsibility for the medicaid program. This proposed exchange would begin in 1984. In addition, the responsibility for the low income home energy assistance program is proposed to be assumed by the States. This initiative is discussed in more detail in Part 3 of the Budget along with revenues to support it. 5-142 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING INCOME SECURITY (Functional code 600; in millions of dollars) 1981 actual Major missions and programs 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY General retirement and disability insurance: Social security (OASDI): Existing law Proposed legislation Railroad retirement: Existing law Proposed legislation Benefits for disabled coal miners. Other Subtotal, general retirement and disability insurance Federal employee retirement and disability: Retirement and disability programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Federal employees workers' compensation.Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, Federal employee retirement and disability Unemployment compensation: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, unemployment compensation.. Housing assistance: Subsidized housing Other housing assistance Subtotal: housing assistanceFood and nutrition assistance: Food stamps and aid to Puerto Rico: Existing law Proposed legislation Child nutrition and other programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, food and nutrition assistance- 132,950 150,128 161,981 176,076 200,893 6,593 14,506 11,100 \ j 4,675 1,778 28 5,500 5,843 6,125 6,419 -5,493 -5,775 -6,069 1,873 1,780 1,786 1,781 37 31 44 53 139,431 157,531 170,741 192,762 214,176 28,498 33,222 34,664 36,853 38,782 -212 -477 394 418 472 -46 -58 -22 28,777 33,567 34,992 37,013 38,755 279 345 19,048 21,006 22,392 21,719 21,349 -143 - 1 1 2 -95 19,048 21,006 22,249 21,607 21,254 24,840 1,265 26,105 5,217 -5,221 -3,478 1,432 1,367 1,313 6,649 -3,854 -2,164 890 1,223 2,113 11,470 11,559 12,650 12,970 13,374 -273 -2,294 -2,407 -2,541 5,103 4,498 3,747 3,950 4,198 -319 -398 -473 16,573 15,785 13,784 14,115 14,557 7,227 7,878 -101 8,485 6,303 7,163 7,230 7,370 -201 -1,300 -1,217 -1,274 Other income security: Supplemental security income: Existing law Proposed legislation AFDC and related assistance: Existing law Proposed legislation Combined welfare administration.Existing law Proposed legislation Earned income tax credit Refugee assistance Energy and emergency assistance.. Other 1,318 902 1,850 204 1,254 670 1,752 230 9,177 -286 1,914 -259 1,180 532 1,300 243 8,270 -489 2,028 -373 1,100 468 1,300 243 9,330 -708 2,184 -529 1,004 395 1,300 243 5-143 INCOME SECURITY NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING INCOME SECURITY—Continued (Functional code 600; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Subtotal, other income security.. Total, budget authority 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 19,985 17,784 19,664 18,559 19,315 249,918 252,322 257,576 281,891 310,170 OUTLAYS General retirement and disability insurance: Social security (OASDI): Existing law Proposed legislation Railroad retirement: Existing law Proposed legislation Benefits for disabled coal miners Other Subtotal, general retirement and disability insurance. Federal employee retirement and disability: Retirement and disability program: Existing law Proposed legislation Federal employees workers' compensation: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, Federal employee retirement and disability.. Unemployment compensation: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, unemployment compensation.. Housing assistance: Subsidized housing Other housing assistance Subtotal: housing assistance.. Food and nutrition assistance: Food stamps and aid to Puerto Rico: Existing law Proposed legislation Child nutrition and other programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, food and nutrition assistance- 137,970 154,643 169,928 174,363 185,779 3,608 14,120 16,473 5,294 5,707 6,072 6,417 6,684 -5,722 -6,067 -6,334 1,773 1,957 1,781 1,786 1,781 -39 1 -13 -16 -5 145,024 162,268 175,650 190,614 204,384 17,309 19,116 21,215 23,193 25,066 - 2 4 -489 -1,099 -1,458 269 394 472 418 -22 -58 -46 17,547 19,361 21,062 22,466 24,058 238 19,664 25,245 22,747 19,954 18,114 - 3 2 - 1 4 9 - 1 4 5 -125 19,664 25,213 22,598 19,809 17,989 5,747 1,195 6,726 1,521 7,352 1,532 7,831 1,533 8,401 1,548 6,942 8,247 9,364 9,949 11,253 11,517 12,600 12,933 13,330 - 2 7 3 -2,258 -2,375 -2,502 4,949 4,325 3,695 -265 3,768 -348 4,004 -420 16,202 15,569 13,772 13,977 14,411 7,192 8,000 -100 9,188 -286 8,268 -489 9,326 -708 8,504 8,322 7,163 7,230 7,370 - 2 0 1 -1,300 -1,217 -1,274 Other income security: Supplemental security income: Existing law Proposed legislation AFDC and related assistance: Existing law Proposed legislation Combined welfare administration: Existing law Proposed legislation 1,914 -259 2,028 -373 2,184 -529 5-144 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING INCOME SECURITY—Continued (Functional code 600; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Earned income tax credit Refugee assistance Energy and emergency assistance Other Subtotal, other income security Total, outlays ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Housing assistance: Budget authority Outlays 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1,318 726 1,780 202 1,254 849 1,865 223 1,180 633 1,300 237 1,100 485 1,300 248 1,004 415 1,300 243 19,721 20,213 19,770 18,579 19,331 225,099 250,870 261,736 274,808 290,122 822 810 1,261 1,224 1,026 969 1,485 1,417 -96 These reforms will restore the original mission of Federal programs to ensure some income security for those who, through no fault of their own, need assistance from society. General retirement and disability insurance.—Seventy-five per- cent of income security outlays goes to retirement and disability insurance programs. Except for benefits to disabled coal miners, the beneficiaries during their working years have paid to help support these programs. On the average, however, benefits are substantially higher, even after allowing for inflation, than the amounts the beneficiaries paid into the program. Outlays for general retirement and disability insurance are estimated to increase from $162 billion in 1982 to $176 billion in 1983 because of: • automatic increases in benefits tied to the Consumer Price Index; • an increase in the number of aged and disabled persons eligible for benefits; and • increases in individual earnings histories upon which the benefits are based. Social security,—Old age, survivors, and disability insurance (OASDI) touches the lives of virtually every American through benefits received or through payroll taxes deducted from earnings to finance the program. In 1983, 20.9 million people age 62 or over, and 3.6 million of their dependents will be eligible for social security retirement benefits. About 7.5 million people under 65 will receive benefits because they are survivors of deceased workers, and 4.3 million more because they are disabled workers or dependents of disabled workers. Outlays for social security are estimated to be $155 billion in 1982 and $174 billion in 1983. INCOME SECURITY 5-145 Significant reforms to the social security system achieved in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 include: • elimination of benefits for new adult students and phase out of benefits to current adult students over the next 4 years; • payment of lump-sum death benefits only to eligible survivors and not directly to estates or funeral homes; and • integration of disability insurance benefits with other public disability payments, and limitation of total public disability benefits to a worker's pre-disability take-home pay, adjusted for inflation. Despite these reforms, the social security system faces serious financial problems. This financial crisis has been developing over the last decade. It results from weaker economic growth than anticipated and increases in prices relative to wages. Weaker economic growth reduces the amount of payroll taxes collected, and the more rapid increases in prices relative to wages result in larger increases in benefits than in the payroll tax revenues that finance them. The reserves of the Old Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund, including the current interfund borrowing authority to use funds from the Disability (DI) and Hospital Insurance (HI) trust funds through December 1982 are sufficient to finance full OASI benefit payments only through September, 1983. There is estimated to be adequate funds in the OASI, DI, and HI trust funds on a combined basis to finance benefits in subsequent years. The amount of additional budget authority that will be needed to fund OASI benefits and the associated outlays are displayed under proposed legislation. The proposed legislation also reflects the effects of the proposal to restore the railroad industry's pension to the private sector, which is discussed in detail in the Railroad Retirement section below. Long-term financing of the entire social security system looms as a major problem requiring a future restructuring of social security. The longer a solution is postponed the more severe the remedies will have to be. The President seeks to develop a bipartisan consensus to resolve the problems threatening the financial stability of social security. A bipartisan National Commission on Social Security Reform has been established to address these issues and report its recommendations by January 1983. Railroad retirement.—The Railroad Retirement Board (RRB), currently a Federal agency, administers industry pensions funded by the rail sector, windfall payments fully subsidized by the American taxpayer, and the basic social security benefit. Estimated outlays of $5.7 billion in 1982 will go to 988,000 retired and disabled railroad employees, their dependents, and survivors. 5-146 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 The administration proposes to defederalize railroad retirement, restoring the rail industry's pension to the private sector at the end of 1982. Social security benefits would be directly administered by the Department of Health and Human Services rather than by the Railroad Retirement Board, which would be eliminated as a Federal agency. Rail workers, like all other private sector workers, would be entitled to social insurance benefits and protections. Retirees' benefits and workers' rights would be unchanged due to the reorganization. Rail workers would become eligible for higher unemployment insurance benefits typically available under the normal State unemployment insurance systems. The rail industry pension plan would be administered like other multi-employer private pension plans. Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA) protections would apply to newly negotiated benefits. Ownership of the assets of the railroad retirement trust fund would be transferred to the new private corporation chartered to run the rail industry pension. For almost five decades, rail labor and management have collectively bargained the terms and conditions of rail pensions. Restoring the rail industry pension to the private sector frees rail labor and management from the need to petition the Congress to enact legislation to change the rail pension system to conform to labor contracts. The budget includes $350 million in estimated outlays and proposed budget authority for the Federal windfall subsidy for railroad retirement. In the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981, Congress enacted the rail sector's negotiated agreement, which substantially restructured windfall benefits in order to realize future savings. The savings associated with the restructuring are reflected in the budget and require an annual windfall subsidy appropriation not in excess of $350 million to be fully realized. Benefits for disabled coal miners.—Benefits are provided to coal miners disabled from pneumoconiosis (commonly known as "black lung disease") and to their dependents and survivors. Under the Black Lung Benefits Act, if a miner suffers from a chronic dust disease of the lungs meeting specified medical criteria, it is presumed that the miner is totally disabled due to black lung disease and is entitled to benefits. Total outlays for benefits for disabled coal miners are estimated to be $1.8 billion in 1983. These benefits, are increased automatically when there are increases in the GS-2 Federal salary levels. The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) pays benefits from general revenues that are paid to disabled coal miners and their dependents and survivors who filed for benefits from 1970 through 1973. INCOME SECURITY 5-147 The Department of Labor receives black lung claims filed after 1973 and reviews all claims denied by HHS for possible approval under new eligibility criteria. Benefits are to be paid by the mine operator found responsible for the disability. Benefit payments for eligible miners and survivors where no mine operator can be assigned responsibility, or where mine employment terminated before 1970, are paid from the black lung disability trust fund. This trust fund was intended to be financed by an excise tax on coal. However, through 1981 benefit payments and expenses greatly exceeded the tax revenues, and the trust fund deficit has been financed by advances from the general fund. The trust fund is expected to be $1.7 billion in debt at the end of 1982. Recently enacted legislation will gradually eliminate the Federal Treasury advances to the black lung disability trust fund. Excise taxes on coal were temporarily doubled, beginning on January 1, 1982. This increase will expire at the end of 1995 or when the debt is totally retired, whichever is sooner. In addition, eligibility and benefit criteria were adjusted to require better evidence of disability due to black lung disease for claims filed on or after January 1, 1982. However, the liability for claims that were denied prior to the 1977 amendments, subsequently reopened and ultimately approved as the result of these amendments, was transferred from individual mine operators to the trust fund. The new Act will eliminate the need for new general fund advances by 1985, and the trust fund will begin to repay outstanding advances in that year. Federal employee retirement and disability.—Federal employee retirement and disability programs include a number of Federal employee retirement programs in the legislative, judicial, and executive branches. The largest program is the civil service retirement and disability program. In addition, Federal employees workers' compensation is included in this category. Outlays for Federal employee retirement and disability are estimated to increase from $19.4 billion in 1982 to $21.1 billion in 1983. Retirement and disability programs.—Federal employee retirement systems have been unique among pension plans in the generosity of their adjustments to annuities to reflect increases in the cost of living. Civil service annuities are required by current law to be adjusted by the full amount of any increase in the CPI, and in the past even greater adjustments were required. As a result, Federal retirees have found their standards of living remaining level or even improving, while active Federal employees have found their pay rising more slowly than the CPI. With annuities rising so much faster than pay, new Federal retirees are finding their annuities much lower than the annuities of those who 5-148 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 retired several years ago, even when their service history is identical. In order to deal with this problem, legislation is proposed to adjust future civil service retirement annuities by the lesser of the increase in the CPI or the increase in General Schedule pay for Federal employees. In addition, in order to rectify excessively generous adjustments granted to certain annuitants in the past, the proposal would hold down future adjustments to these annuitants until their annuities are once again drawn into a reasonable relationship with the annuities that new retirees with comparable service receive. Retirees whose retired pay is between 100% and 120% of current retired pay scales would receive three-fourths of the full cost-of-living adjustment. For those whose retired pay is 120% or more of current retired pay, there would be no cost-ofliving increase. The proposal will also address another problem. The civil service retirement system contains obsolete or unnecessary provisions that are wasteful and inconsistent with a sound staff retirement system. There are also a number of provisions that hinder efficient administration of the system. These provisions will be deleted or modified. Included are: • the elimination of adult student benefits to conform to changes in social security; • the limitation of retirement service credit for leave without pay; • a requirement for deposits or redeposits with reasonable interest to ensure that only paid service will be credited for retirement purposes; and • the expansion of enforcement authority to reduce waste, fraud, and abuse. Federal employees workers' compensation,—The Department of Labor provides tax-free cash and medical benefits to federal employees or their survivors for job-related injuries, illnesses, or deaths. Federal agencies subsequently reimburse the Department of Labor for payments made on behalf of their employees. About 49,000 workers with long-term disabilities, or their survivors, received monthly payments in 1982. In 1983, this number is estimated to remain the same, primarily because of increased efforts to return recipients to work and to remove those no longer eligible from the rolls. After reimbursements from other agencies, outlays are estimated to increase from $269 million in 1982 to $336 million in 1983. There is evidence that the Federal employees workers' compensation program is being abused. Consequently, legislation is proposed to amend the Federal Employees Compensation Act to (1) remove incentives to file questionable claims; (2) encourage injured workers INCOME SECURITY 5-149 to return to work when they are medically able; (3) remove inequities in compensation, which now permit higher paid workers to receive more in compensation than they took home in pay when working; and (4) encourage both employees and employers to participate fully in the restoration of injured workers to gainful employment as soon as medically possible. In addition future cost-ofliving adjustments will be limited to the lesser of the increase in the CPI or the increase in General Schedule pay for Federal employees. The proposed legislation produces estimated outlay savings of $58 million in 1983. Unemployment compensation.—About 97% of wage and salaried employment in the United States is covered by unemployment compensation that supports individuals who are temporarily out of work and are searching for jobs. Regular benefits (usually up to 26 weeks) are financed by a State tax on employers. State and Federal administrative costs are financed by a Federal tax on employers. Based on the economic assumptions described in Part 2, an estimated average of 4.2 million workers per week will receive unemployment benefits during 1982 and 3.6 million in 1983. Outlays are estimated to decrease from $25.2 billion in 1982 to $22.6 billion in 1983 as a result of a decline in the projected average unemployment rate from 8.9% in fiscal year 1982 to 8.1% in 1983 and the proposed legislation described below. Through 1982, the number of weeks an unemployed worker can receive unemployment insurance is increased by 50%, to a maximum of 39 weeks, in any State where the unemployment rate of covered individuals is 4% or more for 13 consecutive weeks and at least 120% of the rate in the corresponding period in each of the previous 2 years. States may also provide these extended benefits when their insured unemployment rate reaches 5% for a 13-week period regardless of the rate in prior years. Extended benefits are financed one-half from State taxes on employers and one-half from the Federal tax on employers. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 made two changes in extended benefits beginning with 1983 in order to concentrate the additional 13 weeks of benefits on workers in States experiencing high levels of unemployment who held jobs for a reasonable period. As of 1983, extended benefits will be payable in States with 13-week insured unemployment rates of 5% or more (rather than 4%), if that rate is at least 120% of the rate for the comparable period of each of the prior 2 years or, at State option, when the 13-week insured unemployment rate reaches 6% (rather than 5%), regardless of the rate in prior years. Also, beginning with 1983, in order to be eligible for extended benefits a worker must have worked the equivalent of at least 20 weeks during the 5-150 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 year-long period used to determine eligibility for unemployment benefits. Legislation is proposed to correct an inequity that has arisen in administering the program of unemployment compensation for exmilitary personnel as amended by the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981. The proposed legislation would provide benefits only to those involuntarily discharged under honorable conditions because of demobilization, reduction in force, or disability incurred while in the service. Thus those who are not given an opportunity to re-enlist because of a record of indiscipline or failure to maintain skill proficiency would no longer be eligible for benefits. Outlays are estimated at $90 million in 1982 and $50 million in 1983. The legislation, effective for those discharged on or after July 1, 1982, would reduce outlays by $5 million in 1982 and by $30 million in 1983. As part of the general reform of entitlement programs, legislation is proposed to round the weekly unemployment benefit amount down to the next lower whole dollar. To provide time for States to enact necessary legislation to carry out this reform, this change would be effective for new claims beginning July 1, 1983. In addition to the regular unemployment compensation programs, special extra unemployment benefits are available to certain workers under specific circumstances. Legislation is proposed to eliminate most of the extraordinary cash benefits under two of these programs. This legislation is part of a reform aimed at providing, to all eligible workers who have lost their jobs through no fault of their own, the equitable benefits available under the regular unemployment compensation programs. First, under proposed legislation, benefits under the program for workers in the Redwood National Park area would be limited to workers who became unemployed within 9 months of the Federal land acquisition. Redwood Park outlays are estimated to be $12 million in 1982 and $10 million in 1983. The legislation would reduce outlays by $1 million in 1982 and $5 million in 1983. Second, entitlements to weekly cash benefits under the trade adjustment assistance (TAA) program would cease, effective July 1, 1982, except for those in approved training on that date. Special training and employment services would continue to be available for workers under TAA. Under current law, outlays for TAA cash benefits are estimated to be $144 million in 1982 and $118 million in 1983. The proposed legislation would reduce them by $26 million in 1982 and $108 million in 1983. Housing assistance.—The Federal Government subsidizes housing for low-income families and individuals through several programs in the Department of Housing and Urban Development and the Department of Agriculture. Budget authority for these programs is proposed to decline from $6.6 billion in 1982 to —$3.9 billion in INCOME SECURITY 5-151 1983. Despite this dramatic decline, outlays are estimated to increase from $8.2 billion in 1982 to $8.9 billion in 1983 due to commitments from prior years. Subsidized housing.—Currently, there are 3.4 million households living in housing subsidized by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). Commitments to build about 700,000 more units of public housing and housing subsidized under HUD's section 8 lower income rental assistance program were made by the end of 1981. This full inventory of 4.1 million housing units would require Federal subsidies of about $240 billion over the next 30 to 40 years. This estimate excludes operating subsidies for the 1.2 million units of public housing included in this total inventory. Rent ceilings now range as high as $1,500 per unit per month for some privately developed, newly constructed subsidized housing projects. Typically, about 75% of the rent for newly constructed units is paid by the Federal Government. Under the present subsidy program, the Federal Government is assisting about one-third of the eligible low-income renter household population with income at or, below 50% of median family income. Legislation proposing major reform of the structure of Federal housing assistance is reflected in the 1983 budget. This type of change has been endorsed by the President's Housing Commission in its interim report issued in October 1981, and draws upon studies conducted by HUD under the experimental housing allowance program. The reform would build upon the current section 8 existing rental housing assistance program. This program, as it currently operates, enables eligible low-income households to find their own rental housing and receive rental subsidy payments, provided that the housing unit meets housing quality standards and does not rent for more than a fixed amount. The Federal subsidy equals the difference between the tenant rent contribution and the actual rent charged by the landlord. Tenants cannot contribute more than 30% of their income for rent, and most current tenants now pay 26% or less of their income for rent. The principal modification proposed for the section 8 existing rental housing program would be to set the Federal rental subsidy payment (certificate) per participating household at a fixed amount, which will not change over the proposed 5-year contract period, and to remove any ceiling on the amount of rent charged to units, occupied by subsidized tenants. Participating households will be free to shop for any unit of their choice—provided that the unit continues to meet minimum quality standards—with the understanding that any rent charges above the fixed section 8 rent subsidy must be paid by the tenant. The initial level of the annual Federal subsidy payment is estimated to average $2,000 per house- 5-152 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 hold. Actual amounts will be based on the difference between local market rent levels and an assumed tenant rent contribution. This modified section 8 certificate program would also replace the current section 8 moderate rehabilitation program. A new rental rehabilitation grant program (see community and regional development function) will be used to upgrade housing units in conjunction with a portion of the modified section 8 certificate program, beginning in 1983. In 1983, the administration is providing for new construction of rental housing for low-income households under two programs: (1) section 8 subsidized units built for elderly and handicapped households with permanent financing made available by the HUD section 202 housing for the elderly and handicapped loan program, and (2) multifamily housing supported by subsidized loans from the Farmers Home Administration (FmHA). However, many of the 700,000 new construction units currently under contractual commitment are not financially viable, and will therefore not be constructed. In addition, the modified section 8 certificate program will substitute for a substantial portion of the 700,000 new construction units currently under contract. In the case of public housing, a portion of the funding that becomes available from cancellations of new construction projects will be made available to public housing authorities to modernize units. Under these assumptions, it is expected that the HUD subsidized housing inventory will continue to grow to 3.8 million units by 1985. Increases in rents for units currently operated by public housing authorities or subsidized by the HUD section 8 or other rental subsidy programs were authorized in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981. The ceiling on rents was raised from 25% to 30% of income, with the requirement that rents may not increase by more than 10% per year. Legislation is proposed to change this limitation on the annual rate of rent increases to 20%. Legislation is also proposed to count food stamps as income for purposes of calculating rent charges beginning in 1983, thus increasing the amount of rent that can be charged. Finally, while the recently authorized 30% of income limitation on rent charges in HUD subsidized housing will be phased in at a rate of 1% of income per year, beginning in 1982 for current occupants, all new tenants moving into subsidized housing will have their rent set at 30% of income upon occupancy. For 1982, the budget proposes that $9.4 billion in budget authority appropriated for the HUD subsidized housing programs be rescinded. Similarly, for 1983, $2.4 billion in budget authority already provided by the Congress is proposed for rescission as cancellations of construction contracts occur. Nevertheless, outlays are estimated to continue to rise for HUD subsidized housing programs from $6.7 INCOME SECURITY 5-153 billion in 1982 to $7.4 billion in 1983 as units already under construction are completed and occupied. Other housing assistance.—The two major programs in other housing assistance are payments for operation of low-income housing projects (public housing operating subsidies) and rural rental assistance payments. Estimated outlays for these two programs in 1983 are $1.1 billion and $0.2 billion, respectively. With the availability of increased rental incomes, and with emphasis upon modernizing the existing public housing inventory— rather than adding to it—in order to make it more energy efficient and less costly to operate, the requirement for separate operating subsidies from the Federal Government should be reduced. For 1983, this budget includes outlays of $204 million for housing programs administered by the Department of Agriculture in this function. The rental assistance program provides subsidies to lowincome households living in FmHA financed units. The Department of Agriculture also assists farmers to construct housing for farm laborers and individuals to build their own homes. Other major forms of Federal support for the housing sector are tax expenditures and housing credit programs. The housing credit programs and the tax expenditures for housing in general are discussed under the commerce and housing credit function. Food and nutrition assistance.—Needy families and individuals receive food and nutrition assistance through a number of federally-supported programs. The largest programs are food stamps and the school lunch program. The administration requests $13.8 billion in budget authority for food and nutrition assistance for 1983. Food stamps and aid to Puerto Rico.—Food stamps help lower income Americans maintain a nutritious diet. Monthly allotments of stamps based on income and household size are issued to help finance food purchases. These benefits are entirely federally-financed; administrative costs are shared equally by the States and the Federal Government. This budget assumes food stamp participation will average 18.6 million people each month in 1983. Estimated Federal outlays for food stamps and aid to Puerto Rico is $10.3 billion in 1983, a decrease of $902 million from 1982. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 included several changes designed to focus food stamps on the most needy recipients, to reduce wasteful or fraudulent use of food stamps, and to improve program administration. Specifically, a gross income limit on eligibility was established at 130% of the national poverty level. Elderly or disabled people are exempted from this gross income eligibility limit and can qualify if their net income is below the poverty line after allowable deductions are subtracted. Benefits 360-000 0 - 82 - 17 5-154 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 issued in the first month of eligibility were prorated from the application date rather than from the beginning of the month. Tighter limits were placed on the income disregards that help to establish benefit levels, and income accounting procedures were revised to assure use of actual income in determining current need rather than estimating future income to establish eligibility and benefit levels. The Reconciliation Act also established a nutrition assistance block grant for Puerto Rico as a replacement for food stamps in the Commonwealth. This change will give Puerto Rico the flexibility to target nutrition assistance to its most needy residents and to use the grant as a mechanism to promote economic growth and greater self-sufficiency. The 1983 budget reflects proposed legislation to consolidate nutrition assistance to other insular areas (Virgin Islands, Guam, American Somoa, and Northern Marianas). This change will allow these areas to provide adequate nutrition for needy residents without the constraints of inappropriate Federal regulatory and program requirements. New food stamp reforms are proposed for 1983. These reforms include additional changes to direct food stamp benefits only to those who cannot secure adequate food without them. The growth of food stamp costs will be restrained by enactment of proposed legislation to: • reduce benefits by 35% of additional income rather than by 30%; • count all types of cash assistance for energy consumption as income; • establish a $10 per month minimum for food stamp benefits; • remove special disregards for earnings so that all income is treated the same; • establish combined funding for State administration of food stamps, medicaid and aid to families with dependent children, as discussed below under combined welfare administration; and • phase out by 1986 Federal sharing in the costs of erroneous payments made by States. These proposals are estimated to reduce outlays $0.3 billion in 1982 and $2.3 billion in 1983. As part of the administration's federalism initiative, financial responsibility for food stamps and AFDC (including child support enforcement) will be given to the States beginning in 1984. In return, the Federal Government will assume financial responsibility for medicaid. Child nutrition and other programs.—Estimated outlays for child nutrition and other problems in 1983 are $3.4 billion. The Federal Government subsidizes meals for students in schools, child care INCOME SECURITY 5-155 centers, and other institutional settings. Approximately 23.2 million young Americans will receive federally subsidized meals in 1983, with estimated outlays of $3.0 billion. Major changes in these subsidized meal programs were made in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981. Subsidies for nonneedy students, were reduced. Unneeded grants for new food service equipment purchases were eliminated. The duplicative special milk program was removed from schools that participate in other Federal meal subsidy programs. Procedural changes were made to discourage fraudulent claims for meals and to establish eligibility for Federal subsidies more accurately. The summer meal program, long ridden with fraud and abuse, was limited by the Congress to government sponsors only in areas with high concentrations of lower income households. These changes were made to focus assistance to needy youngsters, to reduce duplication in subsidies, and to restrain the growth in Federal costs. Additional changes are proposed in this budget to continue the reforms begun in 1981. The special milk program, which subsidizes milk consumption mainly for 1.4 million non-needy students, and the inefficient and duplicative summer feeding program are proposed to be eliminated. Legislation is also proposed to convert the unconstrained entitlement for child care and breakfast subsidies to a grant to States. This will reduce costly and unnecessary Federal regulation and maximize State flexibility in providing nutrition assistance to pre-school children. Special supplemental food programs finance food supplements for women and their young children. These programs have grown rapidly since the mid-1970's, with outlays rising from $14 million in 1974 to an estimated $917 million in 1982. The women, infants, and children (WIC) program and the smaller commodity supplemental food program make nutritious foods such as milk, cheese, eggs, and juices available as an adjunct to health care. These foods are intended to help reduce or prevent health problems associated with pregnancy, child birth, and infancy. This budget reflects proposed legislation to consolidate WIC into a new service for women, infants and children block grant which is described in more detail in the health function. Currently, WIC and the maternal and child health block grant are nearly identical in intent and in the populations served. This consolidation will help accomplish several objectives. It will fully integrate food supplementation into the provision of health services by the States for women and children. Complicated and burdensome regulations associated with the current WIC program will be reduced. Each State will be able to determine the most appropriate mix of health services that should be available to meet the specific health needs 5-156 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 of its women and children. Finally, this consolidation will help eliminate duplicative administrative structures in the Federal Government. Distribution of surplus food on Indian reservations and in the Pacific Trust Territory will continue unchanged. These foods will help improve the diets of needy Indian and Micronesian households at a cost of $54 million in estimated outlays in 1983. Other income security.—There are a number of other income security programs that assist the poor. Estimated outlays for these programs are $19.8 billion in 1983, a 2 percent decrease from 1982. Supplemental security income.—The supplemental security income (SSI) program, administered and financed by the Federal Government, makes cash payments to needy aged, blind, or disabled individuals. The basic Federal grant is supplemented by State payments in some States. The number of Federal and State recipients was 4.1 million in 1981 and is expected to remain at that level through 1983. Federal outlays in 1983 are estimated to reach $8.9 billion, compared to the 1982 level of $7.9 billion. While automatic cost-of-living increases in benefits account for some of this increase in outlays, the 1983 outlays reflect 13 months of benefit payments because the October 1983 payment date falls on a weekend, and therefore will be paid in 1983. High error rates experienced in the program's initial years have been markedly reduced. Much of this reduction is due to concentrating staff resources on error-prone cases and extensively crosschecking the records of other benefit programs. The Congress adopted the administration's retrospective monthly accounting proposal in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 as a means of further reducing errors in benefit payments without sacrificing equity or incurring substantial administrative costs. When SSI began, the Federal Government provided some States with hold-harmless payments, which should have been phased out several years ago under the original legislation. Subsequent legislation indexed these subsidies to inflation. In 1983, these payments are expected to go only to Wisconsin and will be phased out over 3 years. The administration is proposing the following legislative changes to improve the focus and administration of the SSI program: • Prorate the first month's SSI benefit based upon date of application or date of eligibility (in the case of aged persons). • Define permanent disability based on a prognosis of at least 24 months of disability. • Ensure that the definition of permanent disability is based on a preponderance of medical factors. INCOME SECURITY 5-157 • Eliminate the initial $20 monthly supplemental security income disregard starting with new recipients. Outlay savings from these proposals are estimated to be $286 million in 1983 and $489 million in 1984. AFDC and related assistance.—The aid to families with dependent children (AFDC) program helps State and local governments finance cash assistance to needy families. States determine the levels of AFDC eligibility and benefits within broad Federal guidelines, and administer their own programs. The Federal Government reimburses States, on average, for slightly more than half of their expenses. Child support enforcement (CSE) helps finance a share of State and local administrative expenses for establishing paternity and collecting support from legally liable absent parents. These collections offset AFDC costs. Federal outlays for AFDC and CSE are estimated to be $5.9 billion in 1983, compared to $8.1 billion in 1982. These estimates include proposed legislation discussed below. About 3.7 million families are expected to receive AFDC benefits in 1983 under current law. Reforms enacted in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 refocus AFDC on its original goal: to serve as an aid for dependent children in families where the resources for complete self-support do not exist. These reforms create new opportunities for work and work experience, correct inequities that have provided higher benefits from welfare than from work, and eliminate families who should not receive government aid from the rolls. Combined Federal, State, and local savings from these reforms are estimated to be about $1.5 billion in 1982, and over $2 billion in 1983. Legislation is proposed for 1983 to establish new community work experience programs in all States, which would require those who are able to work to do so as a condition of AFDC eligibility. The work incentive (WIN) program, classified in the education, training, employment, and social services function would be eliminated. Legislation is also proposed that would include income and other resources that have not previously been counted in determining AFDC benefits. Other changes would eliminate program overlaps and streamline administration as discussed below. Legislation is proposed to phase out over 4 years Federal payments to the States for costs of erroneous benefit payments made by States in AFDC, medicaid and food stamps. New incentives for State and local performance in collecting child support payments are also proposed. These reforms will save an estimated $1.3 billion in Federal outlays in 1983 and about an equal amount in State and local costs. As part of the administration's Federalism initiative, financial responsibility for AFDC (including child support enforcement) and 5-158 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 food stamps will be given to the States beginning in 1984. In return, the Federal Government will assume financial responsibility for medicaid. Combined welfare administration.—The Federal Government currently reimburses States for 50% of their administrative expenses for the food stamp, medicaid, and AFDC programs on an open-ended basis. Some administrative expenses, such as those for anti-fraud activities and management information systems, receive a higher Federal match. Although these three programs are often jointly administered, and there is a large overlap among beneficiaries, States work with a different set of cost allocation and reporting requirements for each program. Legislation is being proposed to consolidate payments to States for most of these administrative expenses into a single payment with no State match required. Federal administrative requirements will be reduced or eliminated, giving States added flexibility to design efficient public assistance programs. In certain areas where the Federal Government supports anti-fraud and abuse activities at a matching share greater than 50%, such as food stamps and medicaid fraud control, the current open-ended Federal match will continue. Combined welfare administration will be funded at 95% of the current estimate of ongoing 1982 administrative expenses for food stamps, medicaid, and AFDC. In 1983, outlays are estimated to be $1.7 billion ($800 million of which is the medicaid share and was previously shown in the health function). An additional $526 million in outlays for the food stamp share will continue to be appropriated to the food stamp program. Outlays for combined welfare administration in 1983 are estimated to be $259 million less than if open-ended funding remained available. Earned income tax credit—Since 1975, the Federal Government has provided a tax credit for low-income workers that reduces their income tax liabilities. Where the credit amounts to more than the income taxes owed, the worker receives the difference. Beginning in 1979, provision was made for the credit to be received in advance through additions to wages. In 1983, total outlays for these payments are estimated to be $1.2 billion. Refugee assistance.—The refugee assistance programs reimburse States for refugee/entrant cash and medical assistance, social services, State administrative costs, and child welfare services. This interim assistance includes employment training and services to help refugees and entrants achieve self sufficiency. In recent years, the number of refugees coming to this country has increased dramatically. From 1975 to 1983 more than 700,000 Indochinese and INCOME SECURITY 5-159 190,000 Soviet and other refugees will have been resettled in the United States. This budget assumes the resettlement in 1983 of up to 72,000 Asian refugees and 31,500 others, most of whom will come from the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe. Total outlays for the refugee assistance and related programs are estimated to be $849 million in 1982 and $633 million in 1983. The Federal share of costs for refugees participating in regular assistance programs such as AFDC, medicaid, and food stamps is included in the budget request for each of those programs. Estimated outlays for such costs are $250 million in 1982 and $300 million in 1983. In 1982, the Office of Refugee Resettlement initiated a more restrictive refugee cash and medical assistance reimbursement policy. After an 18-month period of special transitional assistance—which formerly was a 3-year period—assistance is available to a refugee on the same basis as a non-refugee. This policy change supports the administration's effort to reduce the likelihood of unnecessary welfare dependency. This change also reduces the special treatment given to refugees, which is different from the treatment given to other low-income groups. Additional funding for refugee assistance is discussed in the international affairs section of Part 5. Since April 1980, over 135,000 Cubans and about 40,000 Haitians have been allowed to remain in the United States. Although they are not refugees, the Congress authorized their eligibility for AFDC, medicaid, food stamps, and other special assistance for an interim period. For 1983, $17 million in budget authority is requested for their welfare and social services. Cuban and Haitian entrants receive the same 18-month transitional assistance as refugees. After this 18-month period, assistance to Cuban and Haitian entrants will be available on the same basis as non-entrants. For those few entrants remaining in Federal custody, the Department of Justice will administer a program of care and maintenance for 1983. Energy and emergency assistance.—To moderate the impact of rising energy costs on low-income families, $1.3 billion in budget authority is requested for energy and emergency assistance in 1983. This program is a grant to States for aid to their needy citizens. This aid can be in the form of direct cash assistance to needy households, direct payments to fuel vendors on behalf of the needy, or payments to public housing building operators. The administration proposed consolidating low-income energy assistance with the emergency assistance program as a block grant for 1982. The Congress reauthorized this program as a partial block grant without the emergency assistance in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981. For 1983, the administration is request- 5-160 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 ing consolidated low-income energy assistance and emergency assistance funding. This will eliminate unnecessary regulatory burdens on States. The administration will also propose concentrating this program for the winter months by adjusting the grant formula to target funds to States most in need of heating assistance. Tax expenditures.—A variety of income exclusions, tax deferrals, and credits assist the unemployed, aged, retired, and disabled. Unemployment compensation benefits received by people with an annual income, including unemployment compensation, of under $20,000 (single persons) or under $25,000 (married couples) are excluded from taxable income. This results in an outlay equivalent estimate of $2.3 billion in 1983. The exclusion from income subject to tax of all social security (including benefits for dependents and survivors) and most railroad retirement benefits without regard to an individual's income from other sources results in outlay equivalent estimates of $12.5 billion and $375 million, respectively, in 1983. The exclusion of workmen's compensation benefits and the exclusion from income of benefits for the disabled result in outlay equivalent estimates of $3.5 billion and $1.0 billion, respectively, in 1983. The exclusion of disability pay from income taxes will result in an outlay equivalent estimate of $170 million. The outlay equivalent estimates resulting from the extra personal exemption for those over 64 and the blind, and from tax credits for the elderly are $2.4 billion, $30 million, and $135 million, respectively, in 1983. Tax expenditures also provide incentives for employers to provide their workers with pensions and other benefits such as life, accident, and disability insurance and supplemental unemployment compensation. Excluding the cost of these benefits from personal income results in outlay equivalent tax expenditure estimates of $37.9 billion, $2.5 billion, $130 million, and $20 million, respectively, in 1983. The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 provided a new itemized deduction for up to $1,500 of expenses for adoption of children with special needs which make them difficult to adopt. This provision results in an outlay equivalent estimate of $15 million in 1983. In addition, the act also expanded the availability of IRA and Keogh Plans and increased the level of tax deductible contributions. The equivalent outlay cost of all self-employed retirement plans and the IRA and Keogh Plans is $5.8 billion in 1983. Tax expenditures for income security total $72.9 billion in 1983. Related programs.—A number of other programs are related to income security but have as their primary purpose meeting other national needs and servicing other major missions. The following table lists these income security-related programs that support other missions. 5-161 INCOME SECURITY FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR INCOME SECURITY-RELATED BENEFITS SUPPORTING OTHER MAJOR MISSIONS (In millions of dollars) Benefit outlays Department, agency, and program Department of Health and Human Services: Medicare Medicaid Indian Health Health care services Public Health Service officers retirement Total, Department of Health and Human Services Veterans Administration: Service-connected compensation Veterans pensions Readjustment benefits Medical care Other Total, Veterans Administration Department of Defense—Military: Military retirement Foundation for Education Assistance: Student assistance Student loans Total, Foundation for Education Assistance Department of Transportation: Coast Guard retirement Total, outlays 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 42,489 16,948 626 1,246 80 49,552 17,888 628 1,358 100 55,352 17,076 621 1,799 83 61,389 69,526 74,931 8,426 3,755 2,332 6,320 208 9,487 3,940 1,994 6,945 145 10,170 4,014 1,681 7,369 141 21,041 22,511 23,375 13,729 15,000 16,471 3,906 2,404 3,490 2,686 3,137 2,602 6,310 6,176 239 279 336 102F708 113,492 120,853 L 5,739 Credit programs.—Most of the credit activities in this function finances for public housing operation and construction. For 1983, direct loan obligations in this function are proposed to be $2.0 billion and guaranteed loan commitments are proposed to be $18.7 billion. As shown in the table, a portion of the guaranteed loans for public housing operation and construction are financed as offbudget direct loans by the Federal Financing Bank. 5-162 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 CREDIT PROGRAMS—INCOME SECURITY (In millions of dollars) Direct loan obligations Program Low rent public housing1 Other income security Off-budget Federal entity.-2 Federal Financing Bank: Low-rent public housing Subtotal, gross 1981 actual 1982 estimate Guaranteed loan commitments 1983 estimate 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 19,343 18,293 19,771 18,293 19,771 2,196 2 1,500 5 1,000 5 822 1,261 1,026 3,020 2,766 2,031 19,343 3,020 2,766 2,031 18,520 Less: Guaranteed loans held as direct loans by the FFB: Low-rent public housing Total, income security 1981 actual - 8 2 2 -1,261 -1,026 17,032 18,745 1 Includes guarantees of direct loans made by the FFB as shown below. 2 The FFB is a mechanism to finance direct loans sold or guaranteed by other Federal agencies. The deductions below eliminate overlap with transactions shown above in this table. See the introduction to Part 5 for further explanation. [VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES 5-163 VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES National Needs Statement: • Meet the Nation's obligation to veterans of military service. The Federal Role in Meeting the Need: • Compensate veterans disabled while in military service for the degree to which average earnings are impaired. • Provide medical care to veterans for disabilities incurred while in military service; and, within available resources, to needy and aged veterans. • Compensate the families of veterans who are killed in service or who die from service-related disabilities for the reduction in the family's earning power. • Help veterans of wartime and draft service return to civilian life on a social and economic basis comparable to their peers who did not perform military duty. • Provide psychological readjustment services and expanded training opportunities to Vietnam-era veterans with special needs. • Provide financial assistance to needy veterans and their survivors. The benefits and services provided to veterans recognize the special needs of veterans and their survivors that result from sacrifices made in military service. Benefits compensate for loss of earnings resulting from service-related disabilities, provide medical care for physical and psychological disabilities suffered in military service, and assist in preparing returning veterans for civilian life. In addition, veterans benefits assist needy veterans of wartime service and their survivors. Outlays for veterans benefits and services are estimated at $24.2 billion in 1982 and $24.4 billon in 1983. During 1981, the President signed into law several bills that enlarge benefits to veterans: • Medical care for veterans with disabilities resulting from exposure to agent orange and low-level ionizing radiation. The law assures that any veterans with disabilities arising from these sources will be provided outpatient care in Veterans Administration (VA) medical facilities with priority second only to that given to veterans seeking care for service-related disabilities. Hospital care also will be provided, as necessary. • Cost-of-living increases for veterans being compensated for service-connected disabilities. The law provided veterans receiving compensation with a cost-of-living increase averaging 5-164 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 11.2% effective October 1, 1981. This is identical to the increase provided automatically to veteran pensioners effective in July 1981. • Two-year extension of eligibility for GI bill training for educationally disadvantaged Vietnam veterans. This law extended from 10 to 12 years the period of entitlement to vocational training or education necessary to complete requirements for a high school diploma or for on-the-job training. This budget reflects a legislative proposal for an 8.1% cost-ofliving increase in compensation benefits for veterans with servicerelated disabilities to be effective in October 1982. Funds are included for health care for the growing number of elderly veterans. During the 1980's, the number of veterans over age 65 is expected to more than double as virtually all of the 12 million veterans of World War II turn 65. In anticipation of this change, VA's medical care and research activities are devoting more attention to the problems of aging veterans by increasing the availability of long-term and geriatric care and devoting more research to the illnesses and disabilities of the aged. This budget provides construction funds to maintain, renovate, modernize, and systematically replace aging VA medical structures in order to prevent deterioration of the physical facilities housing VA medical services. VA construction projects will focus especially on activities necessary to correct fire and safety deficiencies, and to minimize potential risks from earthquakes. Several legislative proposals, which are described below, would help offset part of the costs of the proposed improvements in veterans programs. Income security for veterans.—In addition to Federal income security programs for the general population, such as social security, unemployment insurance, housing and energy assistance programs, food stamps, and medicare and medicaid, several VA programs help certain veterans and their survivors maintain their income when the veteran is disabled, aged, or deceased. Outlays for this mission are estimated to increase from $14.1 billion in 1982 to $14.8 billion in 1983. Service-connected compensation.—Monthly compensation pay- ments are provided to veterans whose disabilities resulted from military service. The amount of the benefit depends on the degree to which average earnings of individuals with a particular disability are reduced. In addition, payments are made to survivors of veterans who die from service-connected injuries. Legislation effective in October 1981 increased compensation benefits by an average of 11.2%. The administration proposes legislation to provide an 5-165 VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES (Functional code 700; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Income security for veterans: Compensation and pensions: Service-connected compensation: Existing law Proposed legislation Non-service-connected pensions: Existing law Proposed legislation Burial and other benefits Insurance programs: National service life insurance trust fund..., U.S. Government life insurance trust fund., All other insurance programs Insurance program receipts Subtotal, income security for veterans. Veterans education, training, and rehabilitation: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, veterans education, training, and rehabilitation. Hospital and medical care for veterans: Medical care and hospital services: Existing law Proposed legislation Construction Medical administration, research, and other Subtotal, hospital and medical care for veterans.. 1981 actual 1982 estimate Subtotal, other veterans benefits and services. Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 8,530 9,604 9,522 9,661 9,706 624 1,007 1,521 3,794 4,048 3,981 4,181 4,290 -66 -60 -57 208 147 141 147 151 1,104 1,162 1,256 1,281 1,226 34 32 30 28 26 5 8 6 6 6 -465 -476 -470 -461 - 3 9 4 13,210 14,524 15,024 15,789 16,473 2,351 1,945 1,691 -25 1,402 -25 1,178 -23 2,351 1,945 1,666 1,377 1,156 6,339 6,966 7,496 7,684 7,897 5 5 5 386 490 630 630 680 194 184 194 204 210 6,919 7,640 Veterans housing: Housing program receipts (proposed legislation) Other veterans benefits and services: Cemeteries, undistributed VA overhead, and other: Existing law Proposed legislation Non-VA support programs 1983 estimate 8,522 8,791 -95 - 1 0 5 -110 8,324 34 648 * 35 704 * 39 693 * 39 701 * 41 690 683 743 732 742 -3 -3 -3 -3 —3 656 23,167 24,789 25,660 26,310 27,048 *$500 thousand or less. 8.1% cost-of-living increase in compensation benefits, effective in October 1982; estimates for subsequent years assume annual costof-living increases based on projected increases in the Consumer Price Index. This budget contains several legislative proposals to limit excessively liberal compensation benefits. One would eliminate (effective 5-166 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES—Continued (Functional code 700; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1981 actual 1982 1983 1984 1985 estimate estimate estimate estimate OUTLAYS Income security for veterans: Compensation and pensions: Service-connected compensation.Existing law Proposed legislation Non-service-connected pensions: Existing law Proposed legislation Burial and other benefits Insurance programs: National service life insurance trust fund.... U.S. Government life insurance trust fund.. All other insurance programs Insurance program receipts 965 979 991 1,049 1,076 55 70 62 60 59 -50 -67 -63 -67 -35 -465 -476 -470 -461 -394 Subtotal, incomes security for veterans.. 12,909 14,070 14,843 15,439 16,244 Veterans education, training, and rehabilitation: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, veterans education, training and rehabilitation. Hospital and medical care for veterans: Medical care and hospital services: Existing law Proposed legislation Construction Medical administration, research, and other Subtotal, hospital and medical care for veterans.. Veterans housing: Loan guaranty revolving fund Direct loan revolving fund Other (HUD participation sales trust fund) Housing program receipts (proposed legislation) Subtotal, veterans housing.. Other veterans benefits and services: Cemeteries, undistributed VA overhead, and other: Existing law Proposed legislation Non-VA support programs Subtotal, other veterans benefits and services. Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays 8,426 9,488 9,609 9,656 9,702 -1 561 951 1,477 3,755 3,940 4,077 4,166 4,271 -62 -60 -58 208 145 141 146 151 2,254 1,883 1,582 -25 1,287 -25 1,065 -23 2,254 1,883 1,557 1,262 1,043 6,320 6,945 7,364 7,552 7,765 5 5 5 412 444 524 668 823 233 206 216 215 216 6,965 7,594 8,108 8,440 8,809 278 -128 51 13 -85 - 6 8 -183 - 8 5 -14 -13 -8 - 9 5 -105 201 -68 629 -863 -283 234 2 -8 -110 117 698 * 41 ""33 35 39 690 * 39 662 680 741 730 738 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 645 702 _* 22,988 24,155 24,383 25,584 26,948 *$500 thousand or less. October 1, 1983) the payment of compensation at the 100% rate to veterans who are 60% to 90% disabled and deemed unemployable, if those veterans are also collecting social security disability, sup- VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES 5-167 plemental security income, or Federal retirement payments. These veterans would continue to receive their base compensation benefit. A second would cease the payment of dependents' allowances to veterans with 30% or 40% disability ratings. Finally, the budget contains a proposal to make compensation disability rating changes effective in the month the change is determined, rather than waiting until the anniversary date of the current rating. Estimated outlay savings from these proposals are $146 million in 1983. An estimated 2.6 million veterans and their survivors are expected to receive compensation benefits in each of the years 1982 through 1985. Outlays for this mission are estimated to increase from $9.5 billion in 1982 to $10.2 billion in 1983. Non-service-connected pensions.—Pensions are provided to needy wartime-service veterans who are age 65 or older or who have become disabled subsequent to their military service. Survivors of wartime-service veterans also may qualify for pension benefits based on financial need. Under current law automatic cost-of-living increases are provided each July. Legislation is proposed to eliminate adult student benefits in the pension program, comparable to the recently enacted change in the social security program. The administration also proposes legislation that would make compensation and pension benefits payable starting in the first full month of entitlement and would round monthly pension benefit payments down to the nearest full dollar amount. These rules currently are applied to social security benefits and are also being proposed for application to other Federal benefits. Even though the number of veterans age 65 and over is expected to double during the 1980's, the number of pension recipients will decline from 2.0 million in 1981, to 1.9 million in 1982, and to 1.8 million in 1983. This is due to the Veterans and Survivors Pension Improvement Act of 1978, which sharpened the focus of veterans pension benefits upon needy, non-service disabled veterans. Despite this decline, outlays for veterans pensions are estimated to rise from $3.9 billion in 1982 to $4.0 billion in 1983, as a result of an automatic cost-of-living increase estimated to be 8.1% in July 1982. Burial and other benefits.—Families of deceased veterans who received pension or compensation benefits and who are to be buried in private cemeteries may receive allowances to apply toward the purchase of burial plots. Families of deceased veterans also receive burial benefits to assist in defraying funeral expenses. Outlays for burial and other allowances are estimated to decrease from $145 million in 1982 to $141 million in 1983. 5-168 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Insurance programs.—The budget assumes that life insurance programs for veterans and their survivors will provide an estimated $30 billion of coverage on 4.4 million policies in 1983. Policy loans against life insurance reserves declined during 1981 as a result of new regulations tying interest rates more closely to market interest rates. Direct loan obligations in 1983 are expected to be $152 million, 29% higher than the $118 million estimated for 1982. Veterans education, training, and rehabilitation.—The GI bill pro- vides education benefits ranging from college courses to vocational and on-the-job training. These benefits help eligible veterans make the transition from military to civilian life by assisting them to obtain the education they might have received had they not entered military service. Active duty servicemen and widows and children of veterans who have died or been totally disabled in military service also are eligible for these benefits. Individuals who enter military service after 1976 are eligible for the post-Vietnam-era education program, which allows them to set aside $25 to $100 from their monthly pay to finance future education. These amounts are matched by the government on a two-forone basis and returned to these individuals in education payments after they are discharged. This program was funded by the Veterans Administration through December 31, 1981. The Veterans Administration continues to administer the program, but it is currently funded by the Department of Defense and is classified in the national defense function. More than 65% of all Vietnam-era veterans have utilized GI bill benefits. In 1983, nearly 812,000 GI bill trainees are expected to participate in the program, compared with 970,000 in 1982. The number of GI bill trainees (including dependents) will continue to drop in the future as the number of eligible veterans becomes smaller. Thus, outlays for this mission are estimated to decline from $1.9 billion in 1982 to $1.6 billion in 1983, and to $1.0 billion by 1985. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 eliminated flight training under the GI bill, and reduced the matching rate for correspondence training from 70% to 55%. Correspondence training has had a poor record of readying veterans for full-time employment in related occupations This budget, therefore, proposes legislation providing for total elimination of eligibility for correspondence training, with estimated 1983 outlay savings of $6 million. Legislation is also proposed to eliminate the payment of certain dependents' allowances to veterans in vocational training programs who also are receiving dependency allowances under the compensation program. VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES 5-169 Hospital and medical care for veterans.—The Veterans Administration provides hospital and medical care to veterans by operating a nationwide medical care system. In 1983 it is expected to accommodate over 18 million outpatient medical and dental visits, and to treat nearly 1.3 million patients in 172 hospitals, 228 outpatient clinics, 102 nursing homes, and 16 domiciliary facilities. Outlays for medical programs are estimated to be $7.6 billion in 1982 and $8.1 billion in 1983. Medical care and hospital services.—In 1982 and 1983 the VA plans to continue to reorder its program of health care services to provide the most appropriate types of care and to accommodate the anticipated influx of World War II veterans. Almost all of this group of about 12 million veterans (40% of all veterans) will reach age 65 during the decade beginning in 1980. This milestone is especially significant because veterans reaching age 65 become eligible for a wide variety of medical benefits without regard to financial status, and the VA anticipates a rapid increase in the number of veterans seeking long-term and geriatric care. The VA's medical care system will continue to place the needs of service-disabled veterans before all other demands for medical care, and many efforts to improve the quality of medical care will be continued. It is assumed that increases in the cost of VA health care will be moderated through greater efficiency. Under the budget proposals, the research programs of the VA medical system will grow from $128 million in estimated outlays in 1982 to $138 million in 1983. Training of health care professionals will continue, primarily through the affiliation of 137 VA hospitals with medical schools. The Veterans Administration Health Care Amendments of 1981 require that VA medical facilities provide care for veterans whose disabilities result from exposure to agent orange and low-level ionizing radiation. These cases will receive outpatient priority second only to veterans being treated for service-connected disabilities. The VA estimates that this provision will generate 612,000 outpatient visits and 17,000 hospital admissions in 1983. Construction of hospital and extended care facilities.—Budget authority of $612 million is requested for VA medical construction in 1983, $137 million more than for 1982. The 1983 request recognizes the critical need for renovation and modification of many of the aging facilities in which medical services are provided. Funding is included for new nursing homes, projects to remedy health and safety deficiencies, and for construction funds for a replacement hospital in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Budget authority of $18 million is requested for 1983, compared to $16 million enacted for 360-000 0 - 82 - 18 5-170 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 1982, for grants to States for construction of extended care facilities, permitting the establishment or repair of State veterans homes for the care of aging veterans. Veterans housing.—VA mortgage loan guarantee and direct loan programs are expected to assist 325,000 veterans obtain mortgage loans in 1983. Guaranteed loan commitments and direct loan obligations for mortgage loans in 1983 are estimated at $22.5 billion and $0.8 billion, respectively. Sales of housing assets (VA mortgages), estimated at $968 million in 1983, will more than offset the direct cost of these programs. Legislation is proposed to charge a 0.5% loan origination fee to veterans receiving VA mortgage guarantees. This will offset the direct cost of VA housing programs by an additional $95 million in 1983. Other veterans benefits and services.—The Veterans Administration oversees a national cemetery system for burial of eligible veterans, servicemen, and their survivors. New regional cemeteries are under construction in 4 of the 10 Federal regions (I, II, III, and IX) and existing cemeteries have been designated as National Cemeteries in 4 other regions (VI, VII, VIII, and X). In 1982, construction will begin on the National Cemetery at Fort Custer, Michigan (Region V). The budget includes construction funds for expansion of a cemetery in Region IV and $2.5 million in 1983 budget authority for matching grants to States for the construction of State veterans cemeteries. Other expenditures include the cost of non-medical program administration, both in VA headquarters and in field units. Outlays for these programs are estimated to be $680 million in 1982 and $741 million in 1983. Tax expenditures.—In addition to direct Federal funding, a number of tax expenditures provide assistance to veterans. Disability compensation and pension benefits for veterans are excluded from taxable income. The outlay equivalent estimates for these exclusions in 1983 are $1.4 billion and $90 million, respectively. GI bill benefits also are excluded from taxable income, which results in estimated 1983 equivalent outlays of $150 million. Tax expenditures for veterans total $1.7 billion for 1983. Credit programs.—Loans against VA-administered life insurance in the income security area are expected to increase direct loan obligations from $118 million in 1982 to $152 million in 1983, as veterans take advantage of the projected decline in market interest rates. For the same reason, an increase in demand for mortgage insurance and other housing programs is expected to increase guaranteed loan commitments from $19.5 billion in 1982 to $22.5 billion in 1983. 5-171 VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES CREDIT PROGRAMS—VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES (In millions of dollars) Direct loan obligations Program 1981 actual 1982 estimate Guaranteed loan commitments 1983 estimate 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Income security Education programs Mortgage insurance and other housing programs 241 7 738 118 2 757 152 2 781 11,719 19,542 22,451 Total, veterans benefits and services 987 878 936 11,719 19,542 22,451 Related programs.—In addition to the assistance provided specifically for veterans by the VA, many veterans receive assistance from other income security, health, housing, education, training, employment, and social service programs supported by the Federal Government and available to the general population. Some of these programs have components specifically intended to assist veterans. Recent legislation created the position of Assistant Secretary for Veterans Affairs in the Department of Labor and upgraded the status of the 2,000 State employment service staff designated by the legislation to assist disabled veterans to find jobs. Qualified veterans are also eligible to participate fully in the training and related services available under programs run by the Department of Labor. Firms holding Government contracts are required to list their job vacancies with the State employment service and are required to take affirmative action to employ Vietnam-era and handicapped veterans. 5-172 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE National Needs Statement • Promote the safety of persons and protection of their property through law enforcement. • Provide judicial services to adjudicate both criminal and civil disputes. • Operate detention facilities for those charged with crimes and correctional facilities for those convicted of crimes. The Federal Role in Meeting the Need: • Enforce Federal law through the investigation, prosecution, adjudication, and punishment of those violating Federal statutes. • Represent the United States in civil cases. • Provide Federal courts to resolve disputes. • Assist in the improvement of State and local justice systems through training, research, and collection and dissemination of criminal justice statistics. Our body of laws is a formal means to deter criminal conduct; to resolve disputes peacefully; to facilitate voluntary arrangements, such as contracts; and to reinforce basic moral concepts. The order and predictability that the law and its institutions bring to our lives are the foundation of civil society. Recognizing their importance, the Federal Government will spend an estimated $4.6 billion in outlays to maintain the justice system in 1983. Although the Federal Government plays a central role in the administration of justice, its resources are only a small portion of the overall effort: State and local governments are expected to continue spending nearly eight times the amount the Federal Government spends for administration of justice activities. An important theme in the administration of justice in 1983 is for the Federal Government to improve the Nation's law enforcement—not through the past practice of financial assistance to State and local governments—but through the more direct approach of Federal law enforcement agencies cooperating closely with their State and local counterparts. A second theme reflected in this budget is to focus the Federal Government's law enforcement efforts on violent crime—to the extent Federal jurisdiction will permit—by adding it to the Government's other high-priority target areas of organized crime, white collar crime, major drug offenses, and foreign counterintelligence. ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE 5-173 A third theme is to protect the Federal Government against waste, fraud, and abuse through early involvement by the Justice Department in cases uncovered by the Inspectors General located in the major departments and agencies. Federal law enforcement activities.—Over half of the resources of Federal administration of justice are associated with law enforcement activities. While no increases in personnel are proposed, Federal law enforcement outlays in 1983 are estimated to grow to $2.6 billion, or 7% above 1982 levels, in order to maintain current activities. General investigation (FBI).—The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) enforces a broad range of Federal criminal statutes, and works with State and local authorities both to support FBI missions and to assist them in performing their activities through training, dissemination of information, and other assistance. Federal law enforcement funds are used primarily for investigating those cases that are purely Federal, multi-jurisdictional, or too complex for State and local authorities to handle. The budget request for the FBI will emphasize investigations of violent crime, organized crime, white collar crime, and foreign counterintelligence activities. It will also reinstitute fingerprint identification services for non-Federal criminal justice agencies and for institutions that are not responsible for law enforcement, such as banks and State and local licensing agencies. Fingerprint services for these groups were suspended in 1982 to reduce the backlog and the processing time of fingerprint cards for criminals. Services will resume on a reimbursable basis. Outlays for the FBI are estimated to increase from $739 million in 1982 to $798 million in 1983. Narcotics violation investigation (DEA).—The Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) was established in 1973 to provide leadership in the suppression of narcotics and dangerous drugs nationally and internationally. Efforts will increase in 1983 to strengthen enforcement and to disrupt trafficking in the most dangerous drugs. The DEA will expand the number of drug-related investigations carried out jointly with the FBI. Legislative initiatives enacted in 1981 will also improve enforcement of the anti-drug laws, such as posse commitatus provisions to gain access to military assistance for drug enforcement, and the repeal of restrictions against the destruction of opium-producing poppies and other drug-producing crops. Outlays for the DEA are estimated to increase from $227 million in 1982 to $242 million in 1983. Alcohol, tobacco, and firearms investigation (ATF).—The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms is responsible for the enforce- 5-174 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE (Functional code 750; in millions of dollars) 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 740 231 79 938 232 260 799 247 799 247 799 247 Alcohol, tobacco, and firearms investigation (ATF) Border enforcement activities (Customs and INS) Protection and other activities (Secret Service) Other enforcement 675 215 150 864 186 259 1,055 303 266 1,055 335 264 996 310 264 Subtotal, Federal law enforcement activities 2,350 2,479 2,671 2,701 2,617 506 658 321 521 747 120 576 850 576 882 576 914 1,485 1,388 1,427 1,458 1,490 352 169 -13 367 140 -35 383 67 -23 383 63 -23 CO •—• CO OO CD CSJ CO j 4,343 4,339 4,525 4,583 4,530 691 217 147 890 189 251 739 227 82 924 230 266 798 242 799 242 799 247 1,041 298 265 1,041 329 265 986 304 265 2,384 2,468 2,643 2,675 2,601 517 651 324 502 743 148 570 840 13 576 869 576 900 1,493 1,393 1,423 1,445 1,476 361 473 -13 376 318 -35 386 162 -23 CD OO CO OO OO CVJ CO , 383 62 -23 4,698 4,521 4,592 4,571 4,500 Major missions and programs 1981 actual BUDGET AUTHORITY Federal law enforcement activities: General investigation (FBI) Narcotics violation investigation (DEA) Federal litigative and judicial activities: Civil and criminal prosecution and representation Federal judicial activities Representation of indigents in civil cases Subtotal, Federal litigative and judicial activities Federal correctional activities Criminal justice assistance Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority OUTLAYS Federal law enforcement activities: General investigation (FBI) Narcotics violation investigation (DEA) Alcohol, tobacco, and firearms investigation (ATF) Border enforcement activities (Customs and INS) Protection and other activities (Secret Service) Other enforcement Subtotal, Federal law enforcement activities Federal litigative and judicial activities: Civil and criminal prosecution and representation Federal judicial activities Representation of indigents in civil cases Subtotal, Federal litigative and judicial activities Federal correctional activities Criminal justice assistance Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays ment of laws and the regulation of activities relating to alcohol, tobacco, firearms, and explosives. In 1982, the functions of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms will be transferred to the U.S. Secret Service and the U.S. Customs Service. Statutory firearms and explosives enforcement activities will be transferred to the U.S. Secret Service. Regulatory and revenue collection activities will be transferred to the Customs Service. The reorganization ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE 5-175 of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms will not occur before March 30, 1982. Border enforcement activities (Customs and INS).—The United States Customs Service collects revenue from imports and enforces customs and related laws. It administers the Tariff Act of 1930, as amended, as well as numerous other laws. Some of the specific activities Customs is responsible for include: assessing and collecting customs duties, excise taxes, fees and penalties on imported merchandise; interdicting and seizing contraband; and processing persons, carriers, cargo, and mail into and out of the United States. The Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) administers laws related to the admission, exclusion, deportation, and naturalization of aliens. The 1983 budget proposals for INS reflect the administration's commitment to a strong and cohesive immigration policy with special emphasis on improving enforcement, management, and service to those seeking adjustments in their legal status. An additional $58 million in budget authority is requested in 1983 to cover expenses under Section 501(c) of the Refugee Education Assistance Act of 1980 associated with the processing, care, maintenance, transportation, return, and resettlement of Cuban and Haitian entrants. In 1981 the administration introduced omnibus immigration legislation that presents a comprehensive and integrated approach to immigration policy. The legislative proposals are designed to reduce illegal immigration through programs that increase opportunities to work lawfully in the United States, while prohibiting the employment of illegal aliens outside of these programs. Other provisions in the legislation create legal authority to deal with the Cuban and Haitian arrivals of 1980 and avert future migrations of undocumented aliens. The legislation also increases the opportunities for legal immigration from our immediate neighbors, Canada and Mexico. Outlays for border enforcement activities are estimated to increase from $924 million in 1982 to $1,041 million in 1983. Federal litigative and judicial activities.—The Department of Justice litigates all of the Federal Government's criminal cases and most of its civil cases. The Department's concentration on more complex crimes has reduced the number of Federal criminal cases 24% between 1976 and 1980. The civil caseload, on the other hand, has increased 55% during the same period. Approximately one-third of all resources for the administration of justice are for Federal litigative and judicial activities. Outlays in 1983 are estimated to be $1.4 billion, an increase of 2% over the level estimated for 1982. 5-176 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Civil and criminal prosecution and representation.—Outlays for civil and criminal prosecution and representation are estimated to rise from $502 million in 1982 to $570 million in 1983. In recognition of the central role Federal prosecutors play in criminal law enforcement, the administration is directing each of the 94 U.S. attorneys to create law enforcement coordinating committees in their districts. The committees, composed of Federal, State, and local law enforcement officials, will formulate local law enforcement cooperation plans. These plans will identify law enforcement needs and priorities within the district and pinpoint areas where improved Federal, State, and local cooperation is likely to produce the greatest public benefit. The administration also supports: • an active role in civil litigation on the part of the executive branch, to carry out administration policies and to protect the Government's financial interests in court; • improved management of the court preparation process in the executive branch, including better case control and computerization of evidence; and • special emphasis on litigation to collect approximately $3 billion in debts owed to the Federal Government. Federal judicial activities.—Budget estimates from the judiciary are included in the budget without modification by the executive branch. The U.S. Courts have estimated outlays of $840 million in 1983 for all judicial branch activities, a 13% increase over the 1982 level. Representation of indigents in civil cases.—The Legal Services Corporation (LSC) funds State and local agencies that provide free civil legal assistance to the poor. The Corporation is a private nonprofit organization that acts independently of related Federal social and community services programs. Grantees are currently involved both in cases for individual clients and in broader "law reform" activities. The administration proposes that the Corporation not be reauthorized, and that no further separate Federal funding be provided. The administration's social and community services block grants include adequate authority to fund legal services activities that States wish to provide for their citizens. In addition, private attorneys are expected to increase free services to the indigent in accordance with the legal profession's ethical obligations. Federal correctional activities.—The Federal Government is responsible for the care and custody of prisoners charged with or convicted of violating Federal laws. ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE 5-177 The Federal Government generally uses its own facilities to house its convicted prisoners and uses State or local jails to house Federal detainees awaiting trial, sentencing, or transfer to another institution. In some areas, however, either because of the volume of Federal detainees or the unavailability of local facilities, the Federal Government must have its own facilities for detention. In 1982, a new Federal jail opened in Tucson, Arizona to meet the need for additional Federal facilities. The Federal prison population in 1982 is expected to be 12% larger than originally estimated. This unanticipated increase occurred because of the use of prison facilities for many of the Cubans who arrived in 1980, vigorous Federal prosecution in 1981, and use by State offenders paid through reimbursements. These factors should keep the prisoner population at the same level throughout 1983. Because of insufficient housing for prisoners, additional housing will be made available by the end of 1983 through renovations and construction now under way. Outlays for correctional activities in 1983 are estimated to be $386 million, 3% above the level estimated for 1982. Criminal justice assistance.—Public safety is primarily a State and local responsibility. This administration does not believe that providing criminal justice assistance in the form of grants or contracts is an appropriate or effective use of Federal funds. For this reason, budget authority is not requested in the 1983 budget for the juvenile justice and delinquency prevention program, or for any other general law enforcement assistance programs for States and local governments. However, the Federal Government will continue to provide certain types of specialized training and technical assistance to State and local governments, including training for local prison and jail staff and forensic laboratory services. In these areas the Federal Government has a unique capability to meet a nationwide need. The collection and dissemination of criminal justice statistics and research on criminal or civil matters also are appropriate activities for the Federal Government and are included in the budget proposals for 1983. Budget authority of $37 million is requested for the National Institute of Justice and the Bureau of Justice Statistics, slightly above the 1982 level. Projects involving the evaluation and redesign of two of the most important information sources for national crime statistics—the Uniform Crime Reports and the National Crime Survey—will continue as scheduled. Outlays for criminal justice assistance are estimated to decrease from the 1982 level of $318 million to $162 million in 1983, primarily because of grant program reductions begun under prior administrations and continued under this administration. 5-178 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Related programs.—A number of programs described in other functions support the administration of justice. Over 100 agencies and regulatory commissions perform some type of law enforcement activity. About 30 Federal agencies, including the Departments of Agriculture and Labor, the Environmental Protection Agency, and most independent regulatory commissions, have some litigation authority independent of the Department of Justice. GENERAL GOVERNMENT 5-179 GENERAL GOVERNMENT National Needs Statement • Provide central policy formulation and management that responds effectively and efficiently to the needs of the Nation. The Federal Role in Meeting the Need: • Provide a legislative system responsive to the Nation's people. • Provide national executive leadership and set policy and management for the Federal agencies. • Ensure efficiency and accountability in the use of Federal finances, property, and personnel. • Conduct efficient central services, such as tax and fiscal operations and property and personnel management, for the Federal Government. The general government function includes the central management and policy responsibilities of the Federal Government. The goals of the President, his staff, the Congress, and other personnel in this function are to address the needs of the Nation and to improve the management and efficiency of Federal finances, property, and personnel. This function includes leadership, policy formulation and managerial oversight by the President and his executive staff, and the setting of overall policy pursuant to statutes enacted by the Congress. Central services include tax collection, fiscal operations, personnel management, property control, and records management. Outlays for general government are estimated to be $5.0 billion in 1983. This compares with estimated outlays of $5.1 billion in 1982 and $4.6 billion in 1981. Major objectives of this administration are fiscal restraint, greater productivity, and concentration of available resources on the most essential needs. To achieve these, the 1983 budget includes proposals to: • enhance efforts to identify and collect unpaid taxes; • dispose of excess property; and • improve productivity in the Federal Government. Legislative functions.—By law, budget estimates for the legislative branch are included in the President's budget without change as submitted by Congress. The legislative branch estimates $1.2 billion in outlays in 1983 for the operation of the Congress, the General Accounting Office, the Library of Congress, and similar activities. This is about the same as the 1982 level. 5-180 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: GENERAL GOVERNMENT (Functional code 800; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1,031 1,194 1,217 1,330 1,291 BUDGET AUTHORITY Legislative functions Executive direction and management 108 92 104 104 107 2,480 -210 410 2,589 -158 424 2,917 -192 428 2,987 -251 425 3,002 -343 428 2,679 2,855 3,154 3,162 3,087 175 89 313 20 75 273 38 85 239 23 85 229 23 85 229 577 369 362 337 337 162 136 139 139 139 172 145 504 -58 188 11 506 3 134 14 506 6 146 16 506 35 138 16 506 15 763 707 660 703 645 -200 -361 -16 359 - 3 8 0 -16 -16 ?00 - 3 7 7 375 - 3 9 6 Central fiscal operations: Collection of taxes Federal Financing Bank Other fiscal operations Subtotal, central fiscal operations General property and records management: Real property Personal property Records management Other Subtotal, general property and records management Central personnel management Other general government: Territories Indian affairs Treasury claims.. Other . . Subtotal, other general government Deductions for offsetting receipts: Existing law Proposed legislation -195 Subtotal, deductions for offsetting receipts -195 Total, budget authority 5,125 5,152 5,259 5,400 5,210 Executive direction and management—Outlays in 1983 for the White House, other components of the Executive Office of the President, and related activities are estimated to be $101 million— an increase of $7 million over 1982. Central fiscal operations.—The mission of central fiscal operations is to collect taxes, administer the public debt, and carry out certain other financial operations of the Federal Government. Outlays are estimated to be $3.1 billion in 1983, a 10% increase over the 1982 level. Collection of taxes.—The funds supporting this mission are for the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). IRS plans to continue efforts to improve compliance and to ensure that all taxpayers pay their share of the tax burden. Compliance by taxpayers should be enhanced by the Economic Recovery Act, which increased the inter- 5-181 GENERAL GOVERNMENT NATIONAL NEED: GENERAL GOVERNMENT—Continued (Functional code 800; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1,036 1,200 1,204 1,252 1,272 99 94 2,429 -210 382 2,537 -158 423 2,600 2,802 OUTLAYS Legislative functions Executive direction and management 102 105 2,860 -192 424 2,927 -251 421 2,941 3,092 3,097 3,022 2 -171 65 35 73 84 288 244 -191 22 84 234 -238 22 83 234 101 Central fiscal operations: Collection of taxes Federal Financing Bank Other fiscal operations Subtotal, central fiscal operations General property and records management: Real property Personal property Records management Other Subtotal, general property and records management Central personnel management -142 -33 84 260 423 169 428 192 150 102 159 136 140 139 139 Other general government: Territories Indian affairs Treasury claims Other Subtotal, other general government Deductions for offsetting receipts: Existing law Proposed legislation 197 188 169 188 166 150 504 -105 12 506 -20 14 506 -33 16 506 136 16 506 -46 745 687 656 846 642 359 -16 -380 16 377 - 3 7 5 -396 -195 -200 Subtotal, deductions for offsetting receipts -195 -200 Total, outlays 4,614 5,146 5,008 5,210 4,886 14 13 35 28 -8 -8 -9 * 30 30 -1 -1 -1 -361 -16 ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Federal buildings fund: Budget authority Outlays Territories: Budget authority Outlays Other: Budget authority . Outlays 79 79 *$500 thousand or less. est rate paid on underpayments or overpayments of taxes. It provides for adjustments, each January, to make the interest rate equal 100% of the prime interest rate in effect the previous September. Under prior law, the rate was adjusted every alternate year to 90% of the prime rate. Beginning in February of 1982, the 5-182 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 statutory rate will be 20%, as contrasted with 12% in the previous 2 years. In addition, IRS will increase its emphasis on identification and collection of unpaid taxes. First, IRS will allocate a greater portion of its existing resources to these efforts. Second, the 1983 budget reflects an initiative to improve tax administration and increase receipts by increasing resources dedicated to collecting receipts and by automating collection procedures. These initiatives are estimated to produce additional receipts of $2.3 billion in 1983. Federal Financing Bank (FFB).—The Federal Financing Bank (FFB) is an off-budget Federal entity under the supervision of the Treasury Department. It was created with the objectives of reducing the cost of Federal and federally-assisted borrowing from the public and ensuring that such borrowing takes place with the least disruption to financial markets. The FFB neither initiates nor reviews Federal credit programs; it is solely a financing vehicle. Prior to the creation of the FFB, the frequency of non-Treasury government borrowing, the small size of many issues, and the lack of investor familiarity caused higher yields on these securities than on Treasury issues of similar maturity. The Bank was meant to replace the market as a source of funds for these securities, thereby reducing the number of government-backed securities going to market and lowering the financing costs to the Federal Government. The FFB has become the major vehicle to finance Federal programs involving the sale or placement of credit market instruments. Net lending by the FFB to purchase loan assets and disburse direct loans with agency guarantees have grown from $0.6 billion in 1974 (the first year of operation) to $20.9 billion in 1981, decreasing to an estimated $12.1 billion in 1983. The amount of these loans outstanding held by the FFB is expected to grow from $0.6 billion at the end of 1974 to an estimated $111 billion in 1983. The activities of the FFB are determined by the level of activity of the agencies using the Bank. The administration's actions to limit the size of Federal credit programs through the credit budget will slow expansion of the FFB, since all FFB lending is included in the credit budget. The FFB receives interest on the loans it makes higher than the interest rate at which it borrows from the Treasury. It uses a portion of these funds for administrative expenses; the surplus monies are shown as offsetting collections to central fiscal operations. They are estimated to be $192 million in 1983. Further discussion of the Federal Financing Bank is in Part 5 (the introduction) and Part 6 of the Budget, in Special Analysis E, "Borrowing and Debt," and in Special Analysis F, "Federal Credit Programs." These sources also summarize the distribution of FFB GENERAL GOVERNMENT 5-183 activity according to the agencies that it assists. (The special analyses are available from the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402.) The national needs tables in each function, which show budget authority and outlays, also display off-budget activity of the FFB. Other fiscal operations.—Other fiscal operations include primarily the manufacture of coins by the Bureau of the Mint and of currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing. The Mint plans to increase its production capacity by 6.5 billion coins per year through a 5-year program to expand and improve existing facilities. This will help meet the demand for coins, which has doubled in the last 10 years. Estimated outlays for 1983 for other fiscal operations are $424 million, which are above estimated outlays of $423 million in 1982 and $382 million in 1981. General property and records management—The General Services Administration (GSA) is the government's builder and landlord, wholesaler and retailer of supplies, and historian and records keeper. These housekeeping services support the activities of other Federal agencies. Real property.—New Federal building construction was curtailed sharply in 1981 and 1982. In 1983, the administration is requesting $68 million in new obligational authority for a moderate level of new construction. Large projects proposed are new Federal courthouses in Birmingham, Alabama, and Youngstown, Ohio. A new office building is planned for Washington, D.C. to complete the Federal Triangle project. The 1983 budget requests funds for preliminary design of this building, with requests for construction funds to come in subsequent years. The Federal Triangle building will replace some leased space now used as offices for numerous Federal employees. The total amount of federally leased space is expected to decline along with the projected decline in the number of Federal employees. Central personnel management—Personnel management functions are carried out by the Office of Personnel Management (OPM), the Federal Labor Relations Authority and the Merit Systems Protection Board. Estimated outlays for 1983 are $140 million, an increase of $4 million over 1982 levels. As the central personnel management agency of the executive branch, OPM will direct its attention to developing and operating a personnel program that will improve the effectiveness of the Federal Government's operations. Previously, OPM had decentralized its responsibility for ensuring that executive agencies' personnel management and operations are based on standards of merit in the hiring, promotion, and other personnel actions of Federal employ- 5-184 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 ees. OPM is moving to recentralize its delegation of authority in these areas and is reemphasizing its traditional personnel management role. Several issues continue to face the Federal Government, as employer of approximately 2 million civilians, in the area of personnel compensation. The administration is committed to providing a structure of employee pay and benefits that is fair to both the employee and the taxpayer, while ensuring that the Government is able to attract and retain a qualified workforce. As a result, the administration will initiate a study of Federal civilian pay, which is discussed further in the allowances section of the budget. In addition, proposals to modify the civil service retirement system will help ensure that there is more equitable treatment between active and retired Federal employees in protection from inflation. Additional information on employee-related issues is also contained in the health and income security sections of this part of the budget. Other general government—Other activities in the general government function include payments of claims and judgments against the Federal Government, and funding for the territories, Indian affairs, and various commissions. Outlays are expected to decrease from $745 million in 1981 to $656 million in 1983. Territories.—Budget authority of $58 million is proposed for 1983 for continued support of the U.S. territories of Guam, American Samoa, the Virgin Islands, and the Northern Marianas. The decrease of $32 million in budget authority from 1982 is caused primarily by the completion of a major hospital construction project in the Virgin Islands. In addition, the administration proposes up to $8 million in Federal loan guarantees of private sector financing for new power generation facilities in American Samoa. Budget authority of $76 million is requested for the Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands for operations and construction, including $8 million to assist the three Micronesian governments to build new capitols. To increase self-government, the U.S. seeks to terminate the trusteeship (begun shortly after World War II) upon final agreement on a compact of free association with the governments of Palau, the Federated States of Micronesia, and the Marshall Islands. The administration is also seeking a 1982 supplemental appropriation of $21 million for the resettlement of Bikini Islanders (displaced from their homes by U.S. nuclear testing in the 1940V and 1950's) to Kili and Ejit Islands in the Marshalls until such time that Bikini is safe for return. In addition to these programs funded by the Department of the Interior, the territories and the Trust Territory receive grants and payments from other federal agencies. GENERAL GOVERNMENT 5-185 Indian Affairs.—Budget authority was exceptionally high—$145 million—in 1981 for Indian affairs, mostly to provide final payments to settle land claims in Alaska and Maine, as authorized by law. No similar funding involving Indian land claims is projected for 1983. Budget authority for the Navajo and Hopi Indian Relocation Commission is proposed at $14 million in 1983. These funds would continue the relocation of those Indians required to move because of a Federal court determination of the boundary line between the reservations of the two tribes. Funds would cover moving expenses and the cost of replacement housing for relocated families. It will also aid in the selection and transfer of ownership of 250,000 acres of federally owned land to the Navajo Tribe for permanent resettlement. Additional assistance to Indian tribes is classified in a number of functions—health; natural resources and environment; community and regional development; and education, training, employment and social services. Offsetting receipts.—The administration is proposing to eliminate all transfers of excess real property at discounted prices to other Federal agencies and to end all donations of real property to State and local governments. Federal agencies will be required to pay 100% of fair market value; State and local governments will be permitted first right of refusal but will also be required to pay the full market price. The only exception will be real property donations to State and local governments for use as correctional facilities. These measures alone should increase receipts from 1983 to 1987 by approximately $200 million annually. Other new initiatives of the administration to identify and sell excess Federal property are discussed in the undistributed offsetting receipts section of this budget. The General Services Administration (GSA) is proposing to use private sector auditing firms to identify overcharges on transport contracts. The GSA will recover and deposit increased receipts from recovered overcharges into miscellaneous receipts of the Treasury. This is expected to save 16 million in 1983. Credit programs.—This function contains credit programs financed as off-budget direct loans by the Federal Financing Bank (FFB). These include Interior Department guaranteed loans for capital improvement projects in U.S. territories as well as General Services Administration guaranteed loans originated for lease-purchase agreements on some Federal buildings. The accompanying table shows the level of operation of these two programs. Tax expenditures.—In addition to direct Federal funds for general government, the tax code permits individuals to claim a 50% tax credit on political contributions of up to $100 ($200 for joint re360-000 0 - 8 2 - 1 9 5-186 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 CREDIT PROGRAMS—GENERAL GOVERNMENT (In millions of dollars) Direct loan obligations Program Loans to U S territories and other * Federal buildings fund 1 Off-budget Federal entities: Federal Financing Bank: 2 Loans to U.S. territories Federal buildings fund Subtotal, gross 1981 actual 1982 estimate 14 30 35 14 65 Less: Guaranteed loans held as direct loans by the FFB: Loans to U S territories Federal buildings fund Total, general government 14 1983 estimate Guaranteed loan commitments 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 30 35 8 14 14 65 8 -14 -30 -35 65 1 Includes 2 8 guarantees of direct loans originated by the FFB as shown below. The FFB is a mechanism to finance loan asset sales or loan guarantees made by other Federal agencies. The deductions below eliminate overlap with transactions shown above in this table. See the introduction to Part 5 for further explanation. turns). The outlay equivalent estimate for this provision is million in 1983. GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE 5-187 GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE National Needs Statement: • Reduce the size and influence of the Federal Government, and return to State and local governments increased discretion in the use of Federal assistance. The Federal Role in Meeting the Need: • Provide State and local governments with general purpose revenues and with responsibilities that have been preempted by the Federal Government. • Replace some portion of Federal funding with a transfer of revenue sources from the Federal Government to State and local governments. General purpose fiscal assistance provides financial aid to State and local governments without major restrictions or matching requirements. This assistance can be used to provide local services, build infrastructure, retire debt, and for other purposes of general government. Programs in this category include general revenue sharing, payments and loans to the District of Columbia, Forest Service receipts paid to the States, payments in lieu of taxes, and payments to territories and Puerto Rico. Consistent with the President's new federalism initiative, which is discussed in Part 3 of this document, the administration intends to turn over to the States the responsibility for, and the resources to finance, many Federal programs. A federalism trust fund will be established to finance them during the period 1984-87. Over a 4year transition period beginning in 1988, Federal excise taxes will decline each year with States free to substitute their own taxes or to reduce program costs. Outlays for this function are estimated to be $6.7 billion in 1983, compared to $6.4 billion in 1982. General revenue sharing.—Outlays for the general revenue sharing program are estimated to decline from $5.1 billion in 1981 to $4.6 billion in 1983. This decrease is caused by termination of State participation in the program beginning 1981. General revenue sharing currently provides funds to approximately 39,000 jurisdictions. Federal controls are minimal, and are primarily designed to ensure public participation in spending decisions. Governments that receive $25,000 or more in any one year must undergo a full audit of financial accounts every 3 years. Revenue sharing funds are first divided among the States on the basis of total population, urban population, personal and per capita 5-188 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 NATIONAL NEED: FISCAL ASSISTANCE TO STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS (Functional code 850; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 estimate 1981 actual 1983 estimate 1985 estimate 1984 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY General revenue sharing: General revenue sharing payments Administration 4,567 7 4,567 6 4,567 7 4,567 7 4,567 7 4,573 4,573 4,573 4,573 4,573 489 489 551 553 1 1 * * 241 242 342 489 588 453 606 763 848 1,043 103 96 385 5 407 5 45 416 6 45 430 6 45 440 6 Subtotal, other general purpose fiscal assistance 1,678 1,846 2,123 2,371 2,672 Total, budget authority 6,251 6,419 6,696 6,944 7,245 5,134 7 4,570 6 4,567 6 4,567 6 4,567 6 5,140 4,576 4,573 4,573 4,573 492 479 541 398 395 1 1 * * * 241 242 342 489 588 450 605 763 848 1,043 104 96 423 5 411 7 45 416 5 45 430 6 45 440 6 Subtotal, other general purpose fiscal assistance 1,716 1,841 2,113 2,215 2,516 Total, outlays 6,856 6,417 6,686 6,788 7,090 Subtotal, general revenue sharing Other general purpose fiscal assistance: Payments and loans to the District of Columbia.... New York City loan guarantees (administrative expenses) Other payments: Payments to States from Forest Service receipts Payments to States and counties from Federal land management activities Payments in-lieu-of taxes: Existing law Proposed legislation Payments to territories and Puerto Rico Other 550 OUTLAYS General revenue sharing: General revenue sharing payments Administration Subtotal, general revenue sharing Other general purpose fiscal assistance: Payments and loans to the District of Columbia.... New York City loan guarantees (administrative expenses) Other payments: Payments to States from Forest Service receipts . ... Payments to States and counties from Federal land management activities Payments in-lieu-of taxes: Existing law Proposed legislation.. Payments to territories and Puerto Rico Other *$500 thousand or less. income, Federal and State income, tax collections, and general tax effort. Local governments' shares of the allocation are in turn GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE 5-189 based primarily on population, per capita income, and tax effort. The formula helps target assistance to governments with fiscal problems. The program, which originally included allocations for use by State governments, was first passed in 1972 to: • raise funds from what at that time was a relatively more productive and more equitable Federal tax system; • redistribute funds to reduce disparities in State and local fiscal capacities; and • reduce red tape and increase State and local control over the expenditure of Federal aid. Since then, the revenue-generating ability of State and local tax systems, in the aggregate, has grown. State and local tax systems are now less regressive, and Federal taxes relative to both State and local taxes and the gross national product are declining as a result of the administration's 3-year tax reduction package. These changes in the revenue generating ability of State and local governments are consistent with the goal of reducing the size and influence of the Federal Government and turning over decision making and financing for many domestic programs to State and local governments. These changes have increased the ability of State and local governments to finance their local needs. General revenue sharing outlays to local governments are estimated at $4.6 billion in 1983. General revenue sharing is part of the federalism initiative described in Part 3 of this Budget. Other general purpose fiscal assistance.—Several other programs provide funds with minimal restrictions to States and localities. Outlays for these programs are estimated to be $1.8 billion in 1982 and $2.1 billion in 1983. Payments and loans to the District of Columbia.—The District of Columbia's operating budget is financed in part by annual payments from the Federal Government in recognition of the costs to the local government of the Federal presence. The administration requests $551 million in budget authority for the District of Columbia in 1983, of which $425 million is for Federal payments. Included in the Federal payment request is $52 million for the annual Federal contribution to the retirement funds for the District's police officers, firefighters, teachers, and judges as required under the pension reform legislation enacted in 1979. In anticipation of the District of Columbia's entry into the private capital market, the administration will seek legislation to discontinue the City's authority to borrow interest-free short-term funds from the U.S. Treasury. The 1983 estimates anticipate that the City will begin to exercise its authority to borrow in the private market for short term, cash management purposes. For long-term 5-190 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 funding purposes, the 1983 budget requests budget authority of $155 million for Federal loans to fund capital improvements in the District. However, it is expected that the District will make significant progress in developing the capability to finance long-term borrowing in the private market, so that long-term loans from the Federal Government can eventually be phased out. Outlays for the payments and loans to the District of Columbia are estimated to increase from $479 million in 1982 to $541 million in 1983. New York City loan guarantees.—Under the New York City Loan Guarantee Act of 1978, the Secretary of the Treasury is authorized to guarantee up to $1.6 billion of New York City obligations. The remaining guarantee authority is $300 million. The authority to make new loan guarantees ends on June 30, 1982. These guarantees depend on the City's meeting a number of conditions including: sale of the obligations to City or State employee pension funds, balancing of the City's budget by June 30, 1982, and payment of an annual guarantee fee of 0.5% on the outstanding balance. The loan guarantees are not included in the budget totals because they are not expected to result in Federal outlays, but the related administrative costs are included. Other payments.—Some jurisdictions receive payments from the Federal Government based on a percentage of receipts generated from the sale of timber, mineral leases, grazing permits, and other activities on Federal property. Payments to States from Forest Service receipts will return an estimated $242 million in outlays in 1982 and $342 million in 1983 to States for distribution to counties in which National forests are located. These funds are to be used for schools and roads. Payments to States and counties from Federal land management activities are estimated to be $605 million in 1982 and $763 million in 1983 for shared revenues from oil and gas, coal, timber, and grazing activities on Federal lands. Payments in lieu of taxes provide fees to local governments for some Federal lands located within their jurisdictions. They resulted in cash outlays of $104 million in 1981. Revised legislation has been proposed for this program to correct fiscal inequities among the recipients. Upon enactment of acceptable legislation, budget authority of $45 million for 1983 will be requested for payments in lieu of taxes. Payments to territories and Puerto Rico are made because the Federal Government collects some taxes levied by the territories and Puerto Rico and returns these taxes to them. These payments comprise (1) annual advance payments of certain income tax withholding and excise tax collections involving Guam and the Virgin 5-191 GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE Islands, and (2) excise tax withholding involving Puerto Rico. Outlays are estimated at $411 million in 1982 and $416 million in 1983. Credit programs.—The three major credit programs in this function, direct loans to the District of Columbia, short term advances to the District's general fund, and loan guarantees to New York City, are described in the text above. Their expected levels of new activity are shown in the accompanying table. CREDIT PROGRAMS—GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE (In millions of dollars) Direct loan obligations Program Loans to the District of Columbia Repayable advances to D.C. general fund Guarantees of New York City loans Total, general purpose fiscal assistance.... 1981 actual 134 80 214 1982 estimate 145 80 225 Guaranteed loan commitments 1983 estimate 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 155 145 300 300 300 300 Tax expenditures.—Interest on State and local government debt is excluded from Federal taxation. Both corporations (mainly commercial banks) and individuals receive this tax-exempt income. As a result, State and local governments can sell debt obligations at a lower interest cost than would be possible if such interest were subject to tax. Only the effect of excluding interest on general purpose obligations and revenue bonds for public purposes such as toll roads is included in this function. The exclusion of interest on State and local government securities issued to finance pollution control facilities, other industrial development bonds, and housing bonds is classified elsewhere. The outlay equivalent estimate for the exclusion of interest on general purpose State and local debt is $7.7 billion in 1983. The deductibility of nonbusiness State and local taxes gives indirect assistance to these governments of $21.7 billion in 1983. This outlay equivalent estimate is primarily for the deductibility of State and local income and sales taxes. The deductibility of property taxes on owner-occupied homes is classified in the commerce and housing credit function. Under certain conditions, U.S. corporations receiving income from sources in a U.S. possession can claim a special tax credit equal to the U.S. tax, but only on income from such sources. For 1983, the outlay equivalent estimate for this provision amounts to $2.4 billion. Tax expenditures for general purpose fiscal assistance total $32.1 billion in 1983. Related programs.—In addition to general purpose fiscal assistance, the Federal Government provides States and localities with assistance through a variety of Federal grant-in-aid programs. These programs, which range from relatively narrow categorical programs to broader grant programs, are more restrictive than 5-192 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 general purpose fiscal assistance, and are designed to meet other national needs and to serve other major missions. Therefore, they are not included as general purpose fiscal assistance, although they do provide, when taken together, a large source of State and local revenues. Total grant-in-aid outlays to States and localities are estimated to decrease from an estimated $91.2 billion in 1982 to an estimated $81.4 billion in 1983. A major objective of this administration is to simplify the grantsin-aid system, which now contains hundreds of small categorical programs that have high administrative costs and are very restrictive in the use of the funds. There are now so many grant programs that they have become a confusing tangle of minor programs that overlap, conflict, and overregulate. In the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981, 57 categorical grants were consolidated into 9 block grants. This consolidation carries out the administration's objectives of simplifying grants and increasing State and local discretion over the use of Federal funds. In 1983 the administration proposes to combine 41 additional categorical grants into 7 new block grants for vocational and adult education, education for the handicapped, rehabilitation services, training and employment, combined welfare administration, child welfare, and rehabilitation of rental housing. In addition, the administration proposes to combine four other health programs into two existing health block grants and to consolidate the energy and emergency assistance program with the existing low income home energy assistance block grant. As is noted above, through its federalism initiative the administration proposes to shift dramatically the responsibility for and the resources to finance a major portion of the Federal grant programs during an 8-year transition period from 1984-91. Grants are discussed in more detail in "Special Analysis H, Federal Aid to State and Local Governments" which is available from the Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. 5-193 GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE FEDERAL GRANT-IN-AID OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION (In millions of dollars) Function National defense Energy Natural resources and environment Agriculture Commerce and housing credit Transportation Community and regional development Education, training, employment, and social servicesHealth Income security Veterans benefits and services Administration of justice General government General purpose fiscal assistancex Total grant outlays... 1 1981 actual 75 617 4,944 829 4 13,462 6,124 21,146 18,895 21,341 74 333 208 6,710 94,762 These numbers differ slightly from total outlays for this function, because they exclude administrative expenses. 1982 estimate 82 679 5,110 896 5 12,534 5,933 17,310 20,122 21,718 66 257 190 6,319 91,220 1983 estimate 106 409 4,166 859 2 11,889 5,010 12,281 19,469 20,331 65 118 163 6,549 81,418 5-194 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 INTEREST Interest is the cost of borrowing or the income from lending money. The interest function includes both interest paid and interest received by the Federal Government. In 1982 and 1983 interest outlays are estimated to grow substantially, rising by $16.6 billion and $13.4 billion, respectively. By 1983, outlays for the interest function are estimated to be $112.5 billion. INTEREST (Functional code 900; in millions of dollars) Programs 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 95,503 115,700 133,229 329 141,391 -691 147,458 -858 95,503 115,700 132,900 140,700 146,600 BUDGET AUTHORITY Interest on the public debt: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, interest on the public debt Other interest: Interest on refunds of tax collections Interest on loans to the Federal Financing Bank Other: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, other interest Total, budget authority 1,456 1,046 1,712 1,937 1,567 -8,570 -11,885 -15,171 -17,526 -19,121 -5,442 -6,432 -7,146 16 -8,209 -347 -8,667 -541 - 1 2 , 9 6 6 -16,606 - 2 0 , 3 6 4 - 2 4 , 5 1 5 - 2 6 , 8 7 4 82,537 99,094 112,536 116,185 119,726 95,503 115,700 133,229 -329 141,391 -691 147,458 -858 95,503 115,700 132,900 140,700 146,600 OUTLAYS Interest on the public debt: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, interest on the public debt Other interest: Interest on refunds of tax collections Interest on loans to the Federal Financing Bank Other: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, other interest Total, outlays 1,937 1,046 1,712 1,567 1,456 - 8 , 5 7 0 -11,885 - 1 5 , 1 7 1 - 1 7 , 5 2 6 - 1 9 , 1 2 1 -5,443 -6,431 -7,146 16 -12,967 - 1 6 , 6 0 5 - 2 0 , 3 6 4 82,537 99,095 112,536 -8,209 -347 -8,667 541 24,515 - 2 6 , 8 7 4 116,185 119,726 Interest on the public debt—This subfunction includes all interest paid on the public debt. The public debt consists of Treasury securities sold to the public and to trust, revolving, and deposit funds within the Federal Government. Estimates of interest on the public debt are highly sensitive to assumptions about interest rates. For purposes of developing budget estimates, interest rates are assumed—by convention—to INTEREST 5-195 fall as inflation declines. Under this convention, it is assumed t h a t the 91-day bill rate will decline from an average of 14.0% in calendar year 1981 to 11.7% in 1982, 10.5% in 1983, 9.5% in 1984, and 8.5% in 1985. Interest on the public debt is estimated to grow by $20.2 billion in 1982 due to the combined effects of higher average interest rates on Treasury securities and higher Treasury debt outstanding. The 1983 increase is projected to be $17.2 billion and is due primarily to an increase in the amount of Treasury debt outstanding. The estimates of interest on the public debt reflect proposed legislation to modernize the savings bond program. The proposal would establish a new interest rate for savings bonds held at least 5 years. The rate would be 85% of the average market yield on 5year Treasury securities during the holding period. The new rate would also apply to outstanding bonds if held another 5 years. This proposal is estimated to reduce interest outlays by $0.3 billion in 1983. Other interest—This subfunction includes interest payments on tax refunds and, as an offset, interest collections from Federal agencies and the public. Interest on refunds of tax collections.—Interest payments by the Treasury on tax refunds are estimated to be $1.9 billion in 1983, an increase of $0.2 billion from 1982. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 included a provision to set at t h e prime r a t e the interest rates charged on delinquent tax returns and on refunds of tax collections. This makes these payments much more sensitive to interest rates and increases the 1982 and 1983 estimated payments for interest on refunds of tax collections. As projected interest rates decline for later years, these outlays are also expected to decline. Interest on loans to the Federal Financing Bank (FFB).—The largest item of offsetting interest collections is from the off-budget Federal Financing Bank, which is estimated to provide $15.2 billion in offsetting receipts in 1983. In recent years, this off-budget Federal entity has become the major source of funds for many Government programs. The FFB borrows directly from the Treasury and uses these funds to purchase debt and financial assets guaranteed by various Government programs. It then pays interest to the Treasury on this borrowing. Other.—Offsetting interest collections other than from the FFB are estimated at $7.1 billion in 1983. These come from two basic sources: interest charges by Treasury to Federal agency revolving funds, which is by far the largest source, and interest collected from the public outside of revolving funds. Revolving funds borrow from the Treasury primarily to finance direct loans to the public. 5-196 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Other interest collections are from loans made by non-revolving funds to the public and interest paid by banks holding deposits of Federal tax collections. Net interest—A substantial portion of interest outlays is paid to Federal trust funds on securities held by these funds. Since this payment of interest is not made to the public, but rather consists of offsetting transactions within the budget itself, these amounts are deducted from both budget authority and outlays before arriving at the budget totals. As shown in the following table, net interest outlays—the interest function minus the interest received by trust funds—are projected to be $96.4 billion in 1983. Net interest in 1983 is projected to continue its recent rapid growth as a percent of budget outlays. Net interest outlays are estimated to be 12.7% of budget outlays in 1983, compared to 10.5% in 1981. In subsequent years this percent is expected to decline. During most of the 1970's, net interest outlays were in the 7-8% range. In addition, the Federal Reserve Banks hold Government securities as part of their monetary function. The Federal Reserve Banks return most of the interest they receive on these securities back to the Treasury as miscellaneous budget receipts. This deposit of earnings is projected to be $15.8 billion in 1983. Deducting these receipts from net interest results in a net impact on the budget of $80.6 billion in 1983. The net impact of interest is the amount of interest that must be paid from receipts or additional borrowing to meet Federal financing requirements. NET INTEREST (In millions of dollars) 1981 actual Outlays for the interest function Interest received by trust funds 2 Net impact 1 2 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 82,537 99,095 112,536 116,185 119,726 -13,810 -16,080 -16,122 -17,502 -18,934 Net interest outlays Deposit of earnings by the Federal Reserve System 1982 estimate 68,727 1 83,015 96,414 98,683 100,792 -12,834 -14,974 -15,809 -16,155 -16,170 55,893 68,041 80,605 82,528 84,622 Shown as budget receipts. Net amount of interest to be paid from receipts, borrowing, or other means of financing. Tax expenditures.—A tax expenditure arises from the optional deferral of interest income on U.S. savings bonds. Interest is normally taxed each year as it is earned, but the holder of savings bonds may defer paying tax until the bond is redeemed. The outlay equivalent estimate for this provision is $710 million in 1983. 5-197 ALLOWANCES ALLOWANCES Allowances cover certain forms of budgetary transactions that are not reflected in the programmatic detail shown in the preceeding functions. When these transactions actually take place, they will be reported as part of the agency and functional outlays or receipts, rather than as allowances. For this reason the allowances for the year just completed—in this case, 1981—are always zero. The allowances included in the current budget fall into three groupings—allowances for civilian agency pay increases, allowances for contingencies, and allowances for anticipated budgetary savings resulting from the administration's actions to achieve more efficient management. ALLOWANCES (Functional code 920; in millions of dollars) Program 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY Civilian agency pay raises Allowances for contingencies: 392 757 1,853 3,393 -1,000 -1,000 -1,000 -1,000 -1,000 -700 -1,000 -2,000 -1,000 -2,000 -2,000 -3,700 -608 -1,243 -147 -307 376 743 1,809 3,331 -1,000 -1,000 -1,000 -1,000 -1,000 -700 -1,000 -2,000 -1,000 -2,000 -2,000 3,700 -624 -1,257 Relatively uncontrollable programs Other requirements Allowances for more efficient management: Federal employment reduction Fraud waste and abuse Undistributed debt collection Subtotal, more efficient management Total, budget authority OUTLAYS Civilian agency pay raises Allowances for contingencies: Relatively uncontrollable programs Other requirements Allowances for more efficient management: Federal employment reduction Fraud waste and abuse Undistributed debt collection Subtotal, more efficient management Total, outlays 191 -369 Civilian agency pay raises.—The allowance for civilian agency pay raises is designed to include in the budget amounts sufficient to cover the add-on costs of future pay raises. In addition to this allowance, two pay raise allowances are included in the functional detail and, hence, are not included here. An allowance for Department of Defense civilian and military pay increases is separately included in the budget totals for the Defense Department and for 5-198 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 the national defense function. In addition, the Coast Guard military pay allowance is included in the Transportation Department and in the transportation function. The undistributed pay allowance included in this section is for all other employees of civilian agencies. This administration has endorsed the principle of comparability in setting Federal compensation, which has been tested and accepted over time. However, the procedures under current law used to implement this principle have several shortcomings. For example, the law provides for pay comparability only, thus ignoring benefits that now amount to nearly 40% of compensation. Further, pay surveys of the non-Federal labor force exclude the 12 million positions in State and local governments, many of which compare closely with Federal jobs. In February 1981, the administration submitted a legislative proposal to the Congress to correct these shortcomings and others in setting Federal pay. The Congress, in response, did limit the 1982 pay increase to the amount (4.8%) that would have resulted from enactment of the proposed legislation. However, the Congress did not act on the specific legislative proposal. In order to consider certain objections that the Congress raised about the administration's proposals, as well as to consider other proposals that have since been made, the administration plans to withdraw its current legislative proposal and initiate a new review of Federal civilian compensation. This review will recommend revised procedures for setting Federal civilian employees' pay and revised benefit structures, both designed to serve the Government's long-term needs. It is anticipated that the review's recommendations will be available in time to permit a new legislative proposal to be submitted to the Congress with the 1984 budget. As part of the overall effort to reduce Government spending in support of the President's economic recovery program, this budget anticipates an October 1982 pay increase for the white collar workforce of 5.0%, and a blue collar pay increase of the same amount. The final decision on the level of the fiscal year 1983 pay increase will be made in the late summer, as the law provides, after Presidential review of the recommendations of the President's Pay Agent, the Federal Employees Pay Council and the Advisory Committee on Federal Pay, and after a review of the economic conditions prevailing then. For 1982, there is an allowance for the unabsorbed costs of the civilian agency pay raises. Normal practice is to transmit requests for current pay requirements with the budget. This year the requests will be transmitted later because of the late enactment of regular appropriations; this did not provide adequate time to review agency needs carefully. In subsequent years, the 1982 pay ALLOWANCES 5-199 increases are allocated to the agencies' and functional budgets. For 1983, the allowance for civilian agency pay raises covers funds required for the pay raises effective in 1983. Allowances for contingencies.—The Congressional Budget Act requires the budget to include two allowances—one for unanticipated additional spending or savings in relatively uncontrollable programs (such as social security), that would occur under current law without any new appropriations, and the other for estimated additional spending or reductions in discretionary programs, which would require appropriations for the coming year. The estimates for each of these contingency allowances are zero in this budget. The contingency allowance for relatively uncontrollable programs is estimated to be zero because the chances of these outlays being lower than the estimates are as great as the chances of their being higher. Any increase in discretionary program costs above the levels reflected in this budget are expected to be offset by further program reductions. Hence, the contingency allowance for other requirements is also zero. Allowances for more efficient management.—The administration is proposing efficiencies in several areas that would permit substantial budget savings. These savings are expected to decrease estimated outlays by $2.0 billion in 1983 and more in later years. Federal employment reduction.—The detailed budget estimates for agencies and functions assume that Federal employment levels stay constant beyond 1984. The allowance for Federal employment reduction shows the savings that would occur from a reduction of 75 thousand civilian agency employees from 1985 through 1987. Such action would lower Federal outlays by an estimated $0.7 billion in 1985, $1.5 billion in 1986, and $2.3 billion in 1987. Fraud, waste, and abuse.—Budget savings of an estimated $1.0 billion annually are expected from the Inspector General's vigorous program to save Federal money and property that otherwise would be lost through mismanagement in the executive departments and agencies. Comprehensive audits are expected to recover money and property already misallocated because of fraud, waste, and abuse, and to achieve savings by questioning and disallowing prospective abuses, such as inappropriate contracting proposals. Debt collection.—The administration is initiating an aggressive program to collect at least $1.0 billion annually in 1983 and 1984 and $2.0 billion in each subsequent year, by reducing the backlog of delinquent debts to the Federal Government and by preventing unnecessary new delinquencies from occurring. (Other savings from improved debt collection are distributed into the accounts of 5-200 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 executive departments and agencies. All of these savings are displayed in the Debt Collection section of Major Themes and Additional Budget Details.) Actions available under current law should recover $0.5 billion annually, while pending legislation should allow collection of another $0.5 billion annually. Specific efforts under current law will include: increasing the effectiveness of collection officials in the Federal agencies; instituting speedier and more effective litigation against delinquent debtors who are able but refuse to repay; utilizing new techniques, such as greater automation of recordkeeping, billing, and other related functions; and use of private debt collection agencies. In addition, legislation proposed by the administration and now pending before the Congress would provide incentives for debtors to repay promptly. The pending legislation would allow agencies to: —require credit applicants to supply their social security numbers to ensure identity of the prospective debtor; —contract for use of private debt collection agencies where not currently allowed by law; —assess interest and other penalties on non-tax debts; and —refer credit information on delinquent debtors to credit bureaus. 5-201 UNDISTRIBUTED OFFSETTING RECEIPTS UNDISTRIBUTED OFFSETTING RECEIPTS Offsetting receipts are generally deducted from outlays and budget authority at the function, subfunction, or agency level. In four instances, however, such payments are deducted from the budget totals as undistributed offsetting receipts. Deductions for the payments that each agency makes as its share of employee retirement costs and for interest received by trust funds are included as undistributed offsetting receipts to eliminate double counting of budget authority and outlays and thereby measure properly the transactions of the Government with the public. Payments for rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf are extremely large, and their inclusion in a particular function would distort the display of Federal program costs. Federal surplus property disposition is included as an undistributed offsetting receipt because all properties to be sold have not been identified and therefore receipts cannot be allocated among specific programs or functions. Undistributed offsetting receipts are estimated to be $43.5 billion in 1983, $12.0 billion greater than in 1982. Details of all offsetting receipts are shown in table 11 in Part 9 of this Budget. UNDISTRIBUTED OFFSETTING RECEIPTS (Functional code 950; in millions of dollars) Offsetting Receipts BUDGET AUTHORITY AND OUTLAYS Employer share, employee retirement: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, employer share, employee retirement Interest received by trust funds: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, interest received by trust funds Rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf Federal surplus property disposition Total 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1981 actual 1982 estimate -6,371 -7,560 7,734 -619 7,899 -844 -8,176 933 -6,371 -7,560 -8,353 -8,743 -9,109 16,062 -18,000 498 -59 20,948 2,014 -13,810 -16,053 -27 -13,810 -16,080 -16,122 -17,502 -18,934 -10,138 - 7 , 8 6 1 -18,000 -18,000 -18,000 -1,000 -4,000 -4,000 -30,320 -31,502 -43,474 -48,245 -50,043 Employer share, employee retirement—The payments by Federal agencies to various employee retirement funds are counted as outlays of the agencies and as receipts of the respective retirement funds. Nearly two-thirds of these payments are to the civil service retirement fund. Most of the remainder is paid to the social security trust funds. The administration is proposing legislation to cover Federal employees under medicare. This involves the collection of employee 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 2 0 5-202 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 contributions (governmental receipts) and matching employer contributions (offsetting collections) at rates equal to those paid by all other participants. Federal employing agency payments for this purpose are estimated to be $619 million in 1983. Interest received by trust funds.—By law, most trust fund bal- ances are invested in interest-bearing Federal securities. The interest outlays are included in interest on the public debt and are deducted here as undistributed offsetting receipts to avoid double counting. Nearly half of these interest collections is received by the civil service retirement and disability fund, and almost one-third is received by social security and medicare. Several of the proposed legislation items discussed in the other functions such as proposals for medicare and social security trust funds, affect trust fund payments or receipts and thereby affect trust fund balances and interest earnings. On a net basis, these proposals increase interest received by trust funds. Rent and royalities from the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS).— These estimates include cash bonuses received from the new leasing of OCS lands that have the promise of containing oil and gas. Also included are annual rents on existing leases, based on a percentage share of profits, and royalties, based on a percentage of the value of production. OCS collections from lands immediately adjoining State lands or from disputed lands are recorded in deposit funds rather than as offsetting receipts. Such funds are now usually invested in public debt securities. On September 30, 1981, such deposit funds held $4.1 billion of debt securities. The proposed 5-year OCS leasing program significantly accelerates leasing by offering larger areas and by streamlining leasing procedures. The current estimates assume that eight OCS sales will be conducted in 1982 and eight sales in 1983. Seven sales are currently scheduled for 1984. No final decision will be made on any of these sales until environmental studies and other requirements under the National Environmental Policy Act have been completed. Federal surplus property disposition.—The General Services Administration (GSA) manages 36 million acres of property, much of which is developed and is owned to carry out Federal programs. The Departments of the Interior and Agriculture manage about 650 million acres of public lands, much of which is undeveloped and some of which has been set aside to protect its unique characteristics and national value. These protected areas include national parks, monuments, historic sites, refuges, and wilderness areas. The administration will establish a White House/Cabinet level Real Property Review Board to review Federal asset management policies and practices and to identify unneeded Federal properties UNDISTRIBUTED OFFSETTING RECEIPTS 5-203 for disposal. These surplus assets would include those that are excess to the needs of the agencies holding them, properties not utilized at highest and best uses, public lands too small or widely scattered to be efficiently managed, and public lands hindering local growth and economic development. Property integral to agency operations or of unique national value would not be sold. Receipts from surplus property disposition are estimated to be $1.0 billion in 1983 and $4.0 billion for 1984 and 1985. The purposes of improving Federal asset management, including disposal of surplus properties, are to reduce Federal property management costs, to promote highest and best uses of property, to increase receipts and thereby to lower the budget deficit, and to encourage local economic development. PART 6 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-1 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET This part of the budget explains several topics that help to interpret the budget totals and to place the budget in perspective: • the relationship of budget authority to outlays; • fiscal activities outside the Federal budget: —outlays of off-budget Federal entities, —Government-sponsored enterprises, —loan guarantees, and —tax expenditures; • Federal debt and the relationship of budget funds to changes in Federal debt; • the difference between the initial 1981 budget estimate and the actual outcome for: —total outlays, —outlays of relatively uncontrollable programs, and —total receipts; • reductions in consulting services and travel during 1982; and • the allocation of windfall profit tax receipts. RELATIONSHIP OF BUDGET AUTHORITY TO OUTLAYS The Congress must usually provide budget authority, generally in the form of appropriations, before Federal agencies can obligate the Government to make outlays. For 1983, $801.9 billion of new budget authority is proposed for those Federal agencies included in the budget. In addition, $28.8 billion in new budget authority is proposed for those Federal entities that are excluded from the budget. x Of the total new budget authority proposed for budget agencies in 1983, $461.1 billion will require congressional action. New budget authority of $475.8 billion will be available through permanent appropriations under existing law. This consists mainly of trust fund receipts, which in most trust fund programs are automatically appropriated under existing law, and interest on the public debt, for which budget authority is automatically provided under a permanent appropriation enacted in 1847. Offsetting the gross new budget authority is $135.0 billion of deductions for offsetting receipts, which consist of transactions within the Government and proprietary receipts from the public. Almost all of the budget 1 Budget authority is discussed further in Part 7 of this volume. 6-2 6-3 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET BUDGET AUTHORITY (In billions of dollars) Description Available through current action by the Congress: Enacted and pending appropriations Proposed in this budget:* Appropriations Supplemental requests Rescission proposals To be requested separately: Upon enactment of proposed legislation Allowances: Civilian agencies 2 Department of Defense—Military 3 .... Subtotal, available through current action by the Congress Available without current action by the Congress (permanent appropriations): 4 Trust funds (existing law) Interest on the public debt Other Subtotal, available without current action by the Congress Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority 1982 estimate 1981 actual 437.8 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 441.9 462.6 489.3 542.4 -0.9 -4.5 -8.0 -12.2 -0.6 5.4 1.2 4.2 0.1 8.7 -0.3 12.6 437.8 446.9 461.1 4.89.8 542.5 260.5 95.6 23.3 295.6 115.7 23.6 319.9 133.2 22.7 343.7 141.4 30.2 379.7 147.5 28.1 379.4 435.0 475.8 515.2 555.3 -98.9 -116.4 135.0 -147.1 -154.4 718.4 765.5 801.9 858.0 943.5 * 3.7 2.1 1.9 2.4 30.7 28.9 26.7 29.6 17.8 30.7 32.6 28.8 31.6 20.4 749.1 798.1 830.7 889.6 963.9 11.7 -10.7 ADDENDUM Budget authority for off-budget Federal entities: Available through current action by the Congress Available without current action by the Congress Total, off-budget Federal entities Total, budget authority including offbudget Federal entities *$50 million or less. 1 Amounts for 1984 and 1985 are tentative planning targets. 2 Includes allowances for civilian agency pay raises; contingencies; fraud, waste, and abuse; and undistributed debt collections. 3 Includes allowances for civilian and military pay raises for Department of Defense. 4 Allowances for relatively uncontrollable programs with permanent appropriations are estimated at zero. authority proposed for off-budget Federal entities will be available under existing law. Not all of the new budget authority for 1983 will be obligated or spent in that year: 2 2 This subject is discussed more fully in a separate OMB report, "Balances of Budget Authority," which can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service (NTIS) shortly after the budget is transmitted. 6-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 • Budget authority for most trust funds comes from the authority of these funds to spend their receipts from special taxes and contributions and from Federal fund payments. Any balances arising from these receipts remain available to these trust funds indefinitely in order to finance benefits and other purposes specified by law. • Budget authority for most major construction and procurement projects covers the entire cost estimated when the projects are initiated, even though costs will be incurred and outlays made over a period extending beyond the year for which the budget authority is enacted. An exception to this policy is made for water resource programs. • Government enterprises are occasionally given budget authority for general capital purposes that will be used over a period of years. • Budget authority for the subsidized housing programs is equal to the Government's estimated maximum contractual obligation to pay subsidies under contracts, which may extend for periods of up to 40 years. • Budget authority for most other long-term contracts also covers the estimated maximum obligation of the Government. For example, budget authority for many direct loan programs provides financing for a number of years; budget authority for many insurance and loan guarantee programs consists of amounts to be used only in the event of defaults or other claims made upon the programs. As a result of these factors, a substantial amount of budget authority carries over from one year to the next. Most of this is earmarked for specific uses and is not available for new programs. A small part may never be obligated or spent, because it is primarily for contingencies that do not occur or reserves that never have to be used. As shown in the chart on the next page, $125.7 billion of the outlays in 1983, 17% of the total, will be made from budget authority enacted in previous years. At the same time, $169.9 billion of the new budget authority proposed for 1983, which is 21% of the total amount proposed, will not lead to outlays until future years. Thus, the total budget authority for a particular year is not useful for the analysis of that year's outlays, since it combines various types of budget authority that have different short-term and longterm implications for budget obligations and outlays. The relationship between budget authority, obligations, and outlays is discussed further in Part 7 of the Budget and displayed in table 5 of Part 9. Once budget authority is provided, the Congressional Budget and Impoundment Control Act requires that any available amounts withheld from use (without specific congressional authorization) 6-5 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET New Authority Recommended for 1983 To be spent in 1983 632.0 757.6 801.9 Unspent Authority Enacted in Prior Years 830.8 Outlays in 1983 To be spent in Future Years 699.6 Unspent Authority for Outlays in Future Years 869.5 must be reported to the Congress in rescission or deferral messages. The Congress may require these funds to be released by overturning the deferral of budget authority or by not taking action on the proposed rescission. FISCAL ACTIVITIES OUTSIDE THE FEDERAL BUDGET The budget does not include a number of fiscal activities of the Federal Government that result in spending similar to budget outlays. These activities, nevertheless, channel economic resources toward particular uses in ways that are analogous to the effects of budget spending. The outlays of off-budget Federal entities are a major exclusion from the budget. These are discussed in some detail below. This is followed by a description of the Government-sponsored enterprises, which are outside the budget because of their private ownership. Loan guarantees, which are discussed next, allocate economic resources toward particular uses by providing credit to borrowers at more favorable terms than would otherwise be available in the private market. Taxation and tax expenditures, which also have significant allocative effects on the economy, are discussed subsequently. 6-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 The regulation of economic activity can also have economic effects similar to budget spending by requiring the private sector to make expenditures for specified purposes such as safety, pollution control, and accessibility for the handicapped. The effects of this spending are very important, but many of them have not been quantified satisfactorily and therefore cannot be clearly related to the budget. The economic effects of regulation and the Administration's proposals for regulatory reform are discussed in chapter 6 of the Economic Report of the President for 1982. Outlays of off-budget Federal entities.—Off-budget Federal enti- ties are federally owned and controlled, but their transactions have been excluded from the budget totals under provisions of law.3 Therefore, their fiscal activities are not reflected in either budget outlays or the budget surplus or deficit; appropriation requests for their programs are not included in the totals of budget authority for the budget; and their outlays are not subject to the ceilings set by the congressional budget resolutions. As shown in the table on page 6-24, the outlays of the off-budget Federal entities are added to the budget deficit to derive the total Government deficit, which has to be financed by borrowing from the public or by other means. When off-budget outlays are financed by Treasury borrowing, as is usual, the additional debt is subject to the statutory debt limitation; when financed by the entities' own borrowing, it is not. In either case the additional debt is part of the gross Federal debt. Since the 1969 budget, the Federal Government has used the unified budget concept as the foundation for its budgetary analysis and presentation. This concept measures the Government's cash payments to and from the public. The first departure from the unified budget concept occurred in August 1971, when the ExportImport Bank was excluded by statute from the budget. Further departures followed in the next few years under various statutes. The Postal Service fund, the Rural Telephone Bank, the lending transactions that became the Rural Electrification and Telephone revolving fund, and the Housing for the Elderly or Handicapped fund were removed from the budget. The Federal Financing Bank, the U.S. Railway Association, and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation were established off-budget. The Exchange Stabilization Fund had always been outside the unified budget, although it was initially classified as a deposit fund instead of an off-budget Federal entity.4 5 3 Financial statements for these entities are published in the Appendix, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1983. See Part IV, "Off-Budget Federal Entities." 4 The Exchange Stabilization Fund conducts a cycle of operations similar to revolving funds. Consequently, its initial classification as a deposit fund was contrary to the normal meaning of a deposit fund, as defined in Part 7 of this volume. 5 The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (but not the Federal Reserve banks, which are privately owned) is a Federal organization. It is excluded from the budget and from this discussion. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-7 In the past few years the trend toward steadily increasing the number of off-budget Federal entities has been altered. The ExportImport Bank, the Housing for the Elderly or Handicapped fund, and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation were put on-budget by statute in different years. The administrative expenses, interest collections, and actual profits and losses realized from foreign exchange transactions of the Exchange Stabilization Fund were put on-budget in a series of legislative and administrative actions.6 Whenever a former off-budget entity was put on-budget, the budget outlays and deficits of previous years were revised to include the entity to the extent feasible so that the historical series measuring budget transactions would be as accurate and consistent as possible. Most of the transactions of the U.S. Railway Association have also been brought into the budget. Legislation several years ago required that its purchases of Conrail securities be included in the budget, and these purchases have comprised most of its recent activity. In the past two years, however, two new off-budget Federal entities have been established that carry out energy programs. The Synthetic Fuels Corporation was created outside of the budget in 1980 as a means of helping private industry finance the development of oil substitutes. Although the Corporation is itself offbudget, the system of financing was devised so that its funding is included in the budget totals. The funds for carrying out the Corporation's activities come from appropriations to the Secretary of the Treasury. The Treasury makes these funds available to the Corporation by purchasing the Corporation's notes. These payments are shown as Treasury outlays and are included in the budget totals. These budget outlays count as income to the Corporation and, consequently, as an offset to the Corporation's off-budget outlays. Since the Corporation acquires funds only as needed, its net offbudget outlays are approximately zero.7 The Treasury outlays are included in the energy function and discussed in the energy section of Part 5. The strategic petroleum reserve is a program created several years ago to offset partially the effects of potential disruptions in the supply of imported oil to the United States. It does this by building a stockpile of petroleum that can be made available if the need arises. The Congress stipulated in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 that budget authority and outlays for purchasing oil for the reserve were not to be included in the budget totals. This budget adheres to the requirements of this Act by not counting budget authority and outlays for strategic petroleum reserve oil 6 Because it is not practicable to forecast transactions in gold, foreign currency, and foreign investments, profits and losses from foreign exchange transactions are not estimated for the current and future years. 7 Any receipts of the Corporation are also offsets to its outlays and thus reduce its need to borrow from the Treasury. 6-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 purchases in the budget totals beginning in 1982. The costs of operations, maintenance, construction, and administration, however, remain in the budget. Conrail was created by the Federal Government to own and operate the facilities of several railroads in the northeast and midwest. As the result of a settlement in 1980 with the Penn Central Railroad, the Government now owns about four-fifths of ConraiFs common stock and series B preferred stock. The Government's financial assistance to Conrail and its payment to Penn Central have been included in the budget totals. However, Conrail is not currently included in the budget nor is it classified as an offbudget Federal entity. Despite the exclusion of the off-budget entities from the budget, some of the outlays related to their operations are nonetheless included in the budget totals. The budget totals include the funding of the Synthetic Fuels Corporation, the operating costs and certain other expenses of the strategic petroleum reserve, the payment made to the Postal Service fund, and the administrative expenses of the Rural Electrification lending programs and the U.S. Railway Association. Moreover, while the budget authority and outlays of off-budget Federal entities are excluded from the budget totals, some of their activities are subject to Presidential and congressional review. For example, limits on the amount of new lending for the rural electrification program financed by the Rural Electrification and Telephone revolving fund are set annually by law; and the outstanding debt and annual borrowing of the Postal Service are limited by statute. Even though the exclusion of off-budget Federal entities from the budget results from provisions of law, the executive and the Congress have on several occasions expressed concern about this practice and have taken actions to control off-budget spending. This Administration has been very concerned about the effects of the off-budget direct loans in allocating credit toward particular uses and about the necessity of financing these loans by additional Federal borrowing from the public. It has used the credit budget process, discussed in Parts 3 and 7 of this volume, to reduce offbudget direct loans from $20.9 billion in 1981 to an estimated $12.3 billion in 1983 and still lower levels in later years. Within Congress, the House Budget Committee held hearings on off-budget entities in 1976 and subsequently recommended that they all be included in the budget.8 The congressional budget resolutions for 1980 recommended that the congressional budget process should accurately relate the off-budget outlays to the budget. Following 8 House of Representatives, Committee on the Budget, Off-Budget Activities of the Federal Government, Report No. 94-1740 (1976); First Concurrent Resolution on the Budget—Fiscal Year 1978, Report No. 95-189 (1977), pp. 11-12 and 135; and First Concurrent Resolution on the Budget—Fiscal Year 1979, Report No. 95-1055 (1978), p. 23. 6-9 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET this procedural recommendation, the budget resolutions for 1981 and 1982 recommended specific aggregate limits on obligations for new direct loans made by the off-budget entities as well as by the budget agencies. The resolutions for 1982 also recommended that the President take administrative action to limit FFB activities to specified amounts. The off-budget Federal entities, except for the strategic petroleum reserve account and the Postal Service, incur their outlays in order to carry out loan programs. These programs have the same general characteristics as the direct loan programs in the budget. The outlays of the off-budget loan programs are approximately equal to the difference between the new loans disbursed and the repayments of principal. For example, during 1983 the new loans disbursed by the off-budget programs are estimated to be $25.9 billion and repayments $13.6 billion, for an increase in loans outstanding of $12.3 billion. This is about the same as the estimated outlays of $12.2 billion. The difference is due to such factors as administrative expenses and interest paid and received. Like direct loans in the budget, the loans of the off-budget entities are designed to allocate economic resources toward particular purposes. Part 5 of the Budget, "Meeting National Needs: the Federal Program by Function," shows the outlays of the off-budget Federal entities by function and discusses some of their more significant activities. OUTLAYS OF OFF-BUDGET FEDERAL ENTITIES (In billions of dollars) Off-budget Federal entity Federal Financing Bank Rural Electrification and Telephone revolving fund Rural Telephone Bank Strategic Petroleum Reserve account Postal Service fund U.S. Railway Association Synthetic Fuels Corporation Total 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 16.2 12.1 11.0 7.8 .1 — 3 .2 2.8 .6 -.1 .2 2.8 .7 * .2 2.3 .9 .2 2.2 8 21.0 19.7 15.7 14.3 11.0 21.0 * .1 *$50 million or less. As the table above shows, the Federal Financing Bank (FFB) accounts for most of the off-budget outlays and for more than the entire decline estimated in off-budget outlays from 1981 to 1985. Among the other off-budget Federal entities, only the strategic petroleum reserve account and, in some years, the Postal Service fund have comparatively large outlays. Even these are of a smaller magnitude. The outlays of the Postal Service fund are calculated with an offset for the payment it receives that is included in the 6-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 budget. This payment, which is estimated to be $0.5 billion in 1983, is mostly for public service costs and for revenue forgone from carrying certain mail at free or reduced rates. The FFB's outlays do not come from programs that the FFB operates itself. Rather, the FFB finances other programs within the Government by purchasing their debt securities or purchasing obligations that they have guaranteed. The operation of these programs remains both legally and administratively with the agencies that borrow from the FFB or provide the guarantees. The outlays of the FFB include its purchase of guaranteed obligations but not its purchase of Federal agency debt securities. An agency's outlays increase when it spends the proceeds of borrowing from the FFB, so FFB outlays must exclude this borrowing transaction in order to prevent double counting. The FFB buys two types of guaranteed obligations, newly originated guaranteed loans and guaranteed loan assets. Newly originated guaranteed loans are loans that the FFB makes directly itself. This is done upon agency request, with the repayment of the loan to the FFB being guaranteed by the requesting agency. Thus, the Federal Government makes a direct loan outside the budget. Loan assets are loans that an agency has made and for which repayments are still owed. According to law, the category of loan assets also includes certificates of beneficial ownership issued by the Farmers Home Administration and the Rural Electrification and Telephone revolving fund. These certificates are securities backed by loans that the agency continues to hold and service.9 Loan asset sales are offsets to the outlays of the agency that sells them. Therefore, if the selling agency is in the budget, the budget outlays caused by its direct loans are offset by its sales of loan assets. When the FFB buys loan assets, it in effect converts direct loans that have already been made by another agency into offbudget direct loans of the FFB. In order to present the implications of the FFB's transactions for different programs, the budget documents distribute the FFB outlays that are made on behalf of an agency to that agency itself. The table on the next page summarizes this distribution. It shows the outlays that arise from the FFB making direct loans to the public (guaranteed by another Federal agency) and to other agencies or programs (by purchasing loan assets). FFB outlays distributed to an agency or program equal gross FFB loans (of either type) less repayments. The remainder of FFB outlays consists of administrative expenses, the payment of surplus income to the general 9 The President's Commission on Budget Concepts recommended that the sale of such securities (also known as participation certificates) be treated as borrowing, since as a means of financing outlays there is no difference between an agency selling securities labeled "certificates of beneficial ownership," the same agency selling securities labeled "debt," and the Treasury selling securities labeled "debt." See Report of the President's Commission on Budget Concepts (Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1967), pp. 8, 47-48, and 54-55. 6-11 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET fund, and interest paid on borrowings from Treasury, offset by interest received on its own holdings of loans and debt. This category is zero beginning in 1982, because it is planned that all net interest (less administrative expenses) will be paid to the general fund. The distribution of FFB outlays by function is shown as an addendum to the tables throughout Part 5, and a complete listing is given in Part 8 in the section that displays the off-budget entities. DISTRIBUTION OF FEDERAL FINANCING BANK OUTLAYS (In millions of dollars) Description Outlays from direct loans, by agency or program: Farmers Home Administration: certificates of beneficial ownership Rural Electrification and Telephone revolving fund: Certificates of beneficial ownership New originations Foreign military sales credit Commerce: Alternative fuels production Housing and Urban Development: Section 108 loan guarantees Low-rent public housing Transportation: Railroad programs Student Loan Marketing Association National Aeronautics and Space Administration Small Business Administration Tennessee Valley Authority: Seven States Energy Corporation Other Subtotal, outlays from direct loans nterest, administrative expenses, and payment of surplus income Total, FFB outlays 1982 estimate 1981 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 10,860 5,352 1,149 174 160 683 3,918 1,945 623 4,309 2,670 470 525 4,129 3,715 915 404 3,599 4,250 987 466 3,330 2,963 795 35 810 250 1,955 96 1,224 64 700 83 969 19 46 1,417 -83 -18 96 -21 111 119 206 224 112 179 -196 174 -219 169 237 33 198 100 278 -4 236 -27 252 -30 20,956 16,239 12,071 10,982 7,751 16,239 12,071 10,982 7,751 • 79 21,035 As shown in this table, FFB finances a wide variety of programs. In past years and until now, the largest part of its outlays has been for the net purchase of certificates of beneficial ownership from the Farmers Home Administration. These are estimated to decline greatly in the next few years, as FFB's purchase of new certificates decreases and the repayment of old certificates rises. Direct loans to the public guaranteed by the Rural Electrification and Telephone revolving fund and the foreign military sales credit program come to account for most of FFB's outlays. FFB outlays as a whole are estimated to decrease by almost two-thirds from 1981 to 1985 due to restraint on the credit programs that FFB finances, less use 6-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 of the FFB by some of these programs, and a rise in the repayment of past loans. Since the Farmers Home Administration is on-budget, FFB's purchases of its certificates of beneficial ownership reduce total budget outlays as well as Farmers Home outlays. The purchase of certificates of beneficial ownership from the off-budget Rural Electrification and Telephone revolving fund explains the small size of this fund's outlays in the previous table on the outlays of off-budget entities. The purchases by FFB offset this fund's outlays and augment the outlays of the FFB by an equal amount. The table on the next page compares the outlays of the offbudget Federal entities with budget outlays.10 The outlays of the entities that are now off-budget were negligible in 1973 but grew rapidly afterwards, particularly due to the creation and subsequent rapid expansion of the Federal Financing Bank. The outlays of the off-budget Federal entities equalled 3.2% of budget outlays in 1981 but are estimated to decrease substantially to 2.1% in 1983 and 1.3% in 1985. Government-sponsored enterprises. —Several Government-sponsored enterprises have been established and chartered by the Federal Government to perform specialized credit functions. The earlier enterprises were all created with partial or full Government ownership and with direct Government control. In time, however, they were converted to private ownership and some new enterprises were created as privately owned institutions. The rule governing the budget treatment of these enterprises was established in 1967 in accordance with a recommendation by the President's Commission on Budget Concepts. The Commission basically recommended that the budget exclude those Government-sponsored enterprises that are entirely privately owned. Since the enterprises carry out federally designed programs and receive benefits from their close association with the Government, the Commission recommended that financial statements of their operations be included in the budget documents.1112 The Federal Land Banks and Federal Home Loan Banks had both become entirely privately owned a number of years before the unified budget was adopted and therefore have always been excluded. The Federal National Mortgage Association, the Banks for Cooperatives, and the Federal Intermediate Credit Banks became wholly privately owned by repaying their Federal equity capital 10 The historical data for budget outlays include Federal entities that are now off-budget for any period when they were in the budget, and include Government-sponsored enterprises for periods when they had any Government ownership. The outlays of former off-budget entities are included in the budget totals for all years to the extent practicable. 11 Report of the President's Commission on Budget Concepts, pp. 29-30. 12 Financial statements for the Government-sponsored enterprises are published in the Appendix, Part VI, "Government-Sponsored Enterprises." Their borrowing and lending are discussed in sections of separate OMB publications, "Special Analysis E, Borrowing and Debt," and "Special Analysis F, Federal Credit Programs." 6-13 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET COMPARISON OF OUTLAYS FOR THE BUDGET, OFF-BUDGET FEDERAL ENTITIES, AND GOVERNMENTSPONSORED ENTERPRISES (In billions of dollars) Outlays Federal Government1 Fiscal year Budget Off-budget Federal entities Total Governmentsponsored enterprises 2 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 92.2 97.8 106.8 111.3 118.6 92.2 97.8 106.8 111.3 118.6 .4 3 1.1 .5 1.8 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 118.4 134.7 157.6 178.1 183.6 118.4 134.7 157 6 178.1 183.6 1.2 1.9 29 1.7 4.3 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 195.7 210 2 230.7 245.6 267.9 0.1 1.4 195.7 210 2 230.7 245.7 269.4 9.6 * 4.4 11.4 14.5 1975 1976 TQ 1977 1978 1979 324.2 364.5 94.2 400.5 448.4 491.0 8.1 7.3 1.8 8.7 10.4 12.5 332.3 371.8 96.0 409.2 458.7 503.5 7.0 4.6 2.3 9.7 24.5 25.9 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 576.7 657.2 725 3 757 6 805 9 868.5 14.2 21.0 19 7 157 14 3 11.0 590.9 678.2 745 0 773 3 820 2 879.4 25.3 33.4 49 6 52 9 . . . estimate estimate estimate estimate (3) (3) *$50 million or less. 1 The 1972-80 data have been revised to include the Export-Import Bank, the Housing for the Elderly or Handicapped fund, and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation in the budget instead of with the off-budget Federal entities. The administrative expenses and interest collections of the Exchange Stabilization Fund are included in the budget beginning in 1976, and the actual profits and losses realized from foreign exchange transactions are included beginning in 1979. Earlier data for the ESF are not available on a comparable basis. 2 To prevent double counting, outlays of Government-sponsored enterprises exclude loans to other Government-sponsored enterprises and loans to or from Federal agencies and off-budget Federal entities. 3 Not available. late in calendar year 1968 and were accordingly removed from the budget for all later periods. The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation and the Student Loan Marketing Association were later established with full private ownership. The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation is not privately operated, however, because its board of directors consists entirely of members of the Federal Home Loan Bank Board, who are Federal Government officials appointed by the President. The Government-sponsored enterprises were all created to carry out loan programs, either lending their funds directly for specifical360-000 0 - 8 2 - 2 1 6-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 ly authorized purposes, or buying loans originated by the private groups that they were established to assist. The loans of these enterprises primarily support housing, but also support agriculture and higher education. As shown in the previous table, their outlays have grown considerably—from relatively small amounts in the 1960's to $24.5 billion in 1978 and $33.4 billion in 1981. The operations of the Government-sponsored enterprises are not subject to the normal Federal budget review process, and the economic assumptions on which their estimates are based are not necessarily the same as the Administration's economic forecast shown in Part 2. These enterprises estimate that they will increase their spending to $52.9 billion in 1983, which equals 7.0% of budget outlays in that year. The following table shows the total amounts of Government-sponsored loans outstanding and net loans (i.e., the change in loans outstanding) during 1981-83, in billions of dollars: 13 1981 actual Loans outstanding, end of year Net loans 182.3 32.4 1982 estimate 232.4 50.1 1983 estimate 285.5 53.1 Loan guarantees.—Government-guaranteed loans are loans for which the Government guarantees the payment of the principal and the interest in whole or in part. Loan guarantees are contingent liabilities of the Federal Government. They generally do not result in budget outlays except in case of default. Loan guarantees are designed to allocate economic resources to particular uses by providing credit at more favorable terms than would otherwise be available in the private market. If loan guarantee recipients would not have been sufficiently creditworthy to borrow without Federal assistance, the guarantee reallocates credit toward federally selected uses, increasing the total volume of credit channeled into these uses. This leaves a smaller supply of credit to be allocated to those potential borrowers who do not receive assistance. However, the guarantee does not always change the allocation of credit. Some beneficiaries of loan guarantee programs would have been able to secure the funds privately, without Government support. For example, guaranteed mortgage credit might be used to finance, at a lower cost, a house that would have been purchased anyway. In such a case, the guarantee does not alter the allocation of credit resources. 13 In order to prevent double counting in adding Government-sponsored loans to Federal direct loans and guaranteed loans, this table excludes loans from one Government-sponsored enterprise to another, loans from the Federal Government, and guaranteed loans acquired. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-15 Most of the guarantee programs operated by the Federal Government began in efforts to revive the economy during the depression. The Reconstruction Finance Corporation, created in 1932, was the forerunner of the Export-Import Bank, the Small Business Administration, and other credit programs. The Nation's single largest credit program, the Federal Housing Administration's (FHA) home mortgage insurance program, was created in 1934 to stimulate housing construction. During the 1950s and 1960s housing credit dominated Federal credit activities. The home mortgage programs of the FHA and Veterans Administration, which comprised most of these agencies' guarantees, accounted for 81% of the total volume of new commitments for guaranteed loans in 1956. As the chart below shows, the range of activities financed with Federal guarantees has widened since that time. Guarantees are now offered for business, agriculture, energy, and education, though housing continues to dominate. In 1981, total guaranteed loans outstanding were $309.1 billion, and they are expected to rise to $399.3 billion in 1983. Relative Shares of New Commitments for Guaranteed Loans Other Housing iiiiand jji; j'Urbanjj Development Foundation for Export-Import Education Bank. Assistance ::::: HOUSJng ;;;!;;;;; and iiji H I Urban j Development Guaranteed loans may be made to many types of borrowers: individuals, businesses, State and local governments, and foreign governments. The guarantees may be full or partial, and in some programs, such as the guaranteed student loan program, they are supplemented by explicit subsidies or other forms of assistance. Most guaranteed loans are made by banks or other private institu 6-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 tional lenders, and may take the form of mortgages or bank loans. Others are sold in securities markets. An increasing portion of guaranteed loans is disbursed by the Federal Financing Bank (FFB), which is described above on pages 6-9 through 6-12. Since the FFB is an off-budget Federal entity, these disbursements are offbudget direct loans. An additional amount of guaranteed loans originally made by private institutions is purchased and held by privately owned, Government-sponsored enterprises, as the chart below shows. i Held by Federal Financing Bank Held by Government-Sponsored Enterprises Because loan guarantees are not included in the outlay totals or, usually, in the budget authority totals, they were formerly excluded as well from normal budget discipline. In 1980 the credit budget was instituted to subject guaranteed and direct loans to greater scrutiny throughout the budget process. The credit budget covers all direct and guaranteed loans by Federal agencies, whether on- or off-budget. Control is effected through appropriation bill limitations, which cover 58% of all new loan guarantee commitments to be extended in 1983. (See Part 3 of this document for a presentation of credit budget totals for 1981 through 1983, Part 5 for a discussion of credit programs by function, and Part 7 for a more complete description of the credit budget and credit control system.) PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-17 Taxation and tax expenditures.—Taxation affects the economy not only by providing the Government with receipts but also by changing the allocation of resources among private uses and the distribution of income and wealth among individuals. These effects are caused by the structural characteristics of each different tax— for example, by the rate schedules, exemptions, deductions, and exclusions of the individual income tax—and by the magnitude of each tax. The effects of taxation on resource allocation and income distribution are analogous to the effects of outlays. Some features of the tax structure have been defined as "tax expenditures" and are required to receive special attention in the budget. Tax expenditures are defined for purposes of the Congressional Budget Act as "revenue losses attributable to provisions of the Federal tax laws which allow a special exclusion, exemption, or deduction from gross income or which provide a special credit, a preferential rate of tax, or a deferral of tax liability." For a tax provision to cause a tax expenditure under this definition, two conditions are necessary: the provision must be "special" in that it applies to a narrow class of transactions or transactors; and there must be a "general" provision to which the special provision is a clear exception. Tax expenditures are so designated because they are one means by which the Federal Government pursues its objectives, and because in many respects they can be regarded as an alternative means of achieving the same objectives as direct expenditures. They can also be regarded as an alternative means of achieving the same objectives as other instruments of Government policy, such as off-budget outlays, loan guarantees, regulations, and provisions of the tax law other than those that give rise to tax expenditures. There are numerous examples of the similarity in objectives between tax expenditures and direct outlays. For instance, direct expenditures and tax expenditures both reduce the cost of ship acquisition by shipping companies; and direct interest subsidies and the use of tax-exempt bonds both lower the mortgage interest cost for eligible borrowers. Similarly, State and local governments benefit both from direct grants and from the ability to borrow funds at tax-exempt rates; individuals benefit both from direct medicare payments and from the income tax deductibility of medical expenses; and individuals also benefit both from social security payments and from the tax exemption of these payments. Tax expenditures ordinarily result from permanent legislation and therefore are not submitted to the Congress each year and do not routinely receive a formal and systematic annual review. Many tax expenditures and other provisions of tax law were, nonetheless, reviewed by the Administration and the Congress during the work that led to the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981. The Congress 6-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 may also review tax law generally as the result of a reconciliation directive in a congressional budget resolution that calls on various committees to increase receipts or decrease outlays by specified amounts. This procedure was used in the Omnibus Reconciliation Act of 1980, which changed tax expenditures and other provisions of tax law as well as outlays. In addition, the Treasury Department and the Office of Management and Budget reviewed a number of tax expenditure provisions in connection with the preparation of this budget. The Congressional Budget Act requires that the estimated levels of tax expenditures be presented each year in the budget that the President transmits to the Congress and in the reports of the Senate and House Budget Committees on the proposed congressional budget resolutions. This is intended to encourage regular examination of tax expenditures by the Administration, the Congress, and the public. The provisions of the income tax law other than those that result in tax expenditures likewise have major effects on the allocation of resources and the distribution of income. However, these other provisions do not receive the annual, systematic presentation of the kind mandated for tax expenditures; nor do taxes other than the individual and corporation income taxes receive such a presentation. Tax expenditures, other provisions of the income tax, and other tax laws are, nevertheless, generally reviewed whenever fiscal policy decisions are considered regarding the overall level of tax receipts. The classification of certain provisions of law as resulting in tax expenditures requires some standard against which the law can be compared. Deviations of the law from this reference tax structure are deemed to cause tax expenditures. The reference standard used for the individual income tax includes those provisions that exist under current law for graduated rate schedules, personal exemptions, zero-bracket amounts (standard deductions), and basic accounting rules. Thus, under current definition, these characteristics of the tax structure do not generate tax expenditures. The reference standard was not defined explicitly in previous budgets. This year the definition of tax expenditures has been sharpened by using as a reference structure the general provisions of the Internal Revenue Code. As a result, a number of items included in previous lists are no longer deemed to be tax expenditures, such as the exclusion from taxable income of public assistance benefits and the graduated rates of the corporation income tax. The explicit use of the general provisions of the Internal Revenue Code as the reference tax structure makes it clear that listing an item as a tax expenditure does not imply that it is either a desirable or an undesirable provision. If the general provisions of PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-19 the Code were different, the list of tax expenditures and the estimated amounts for particular provisions would also be different. Alternative lists of tax expenditures would be derived if a different reference tax structure were adopted. A different standard might exclude personal exemptions and the zero-bracket amount and thus classify these provisions as resulting in tax expenditures. A different standard might be based upon a normative judgment about an "ideal" income tax base. Such a standard might, for example, adjust incomes for inflation, or it might integrate the individual and corporation income taxes rather than regarding the separate tax treatment of individuals and corporations as part of the reference tax structure. Whatever reference tax structure is adopted, the provisions of tax law that are not defined as resulting in tax expenditures deserve as much scrutiny as the provisions that are, since they also have important allocation and income distribution effects. Tax expenditures are presented at two places in the budget. Part 5, "Meeting National Needs: the Federal Program by Function," discusses the most important tax expenditures in each functional category, together with outlays and guaranteed loans, in order to describe more fully the effects of governmental policy toward meeting each national need. "Special Analysis G, Tax Expenditures," analyzes the concept and measurement of tax expenditures, explains the changes from last year's budget, and presents a complete list of tax expenditure estimates for 1981-83.14 15 The figures shown for tax expenditures in previous budgets were estimates of revenue losses, for past years as well as future ones, for they compared actual or estimated tax receipts with estimates of what tax receipts would have been if the tax law had been different. It was assumed that only the tax provision in question was removed and that taxpayer behavior and all other characteristics of the tax system remained the same. If removing a tax provision would have increased taxable income, for example, the tax expenditure was estimated as the increase in taxable income multiplied by the tax rate that would have been paid on the additional income. In this year's budget the concept of tax expenditures has been changed in order to make tax expenditures more comparable with direct budget outlays. This is done by measuring the tax expenditure as the amount of outlays that would be required to provide an equal after-tax income to the taxpayer (and thereby an equal incentive). In most cases more budget outlays would be required by a 14 "Special Analysis G" is a separate OMB publication. The presentation of tax expenditure estimates in this special analysis meets requirements in the Congressional Budget Act that tax expenditures be set forth in the budget. 15 The role of certain tax expenditures as a form of credit assistance is discussed in a separate OMB publication, "Special Analysis F, Federal Credit Programs." 6-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 special tax provision, because taxpayers would have to pay taxes on the higher income derived from budget outlays. For example, one tax expenditure provision is the exclusion from taxable income of the value of housing and meals provided military personnel. If the Government were to repeal this tax exclusion and instead pay higher salaries, the increase in salaries would be taxed. Therefore, if the Government were to use direct expenditures rather than tax expenditures and were to provide the same total after-tax compensation (and thereby the same incentive to engage in work), the increase in direct outlays for higher salaries would have to be greater than the revenue loss under the special tax provision. The Federal deficit would be the same in either case, however, because the higher outlays would be required only to the extent that tax receipts were higher. In order to make the tax expenditure equivalent to a direct outlay, the revenue loss is adjusted where appropriate so that the taxpayer's after-tax income is the same regardless of whether the Government uses a direct outlay or a tax expenditure provision to achieve its objectives. For some tax expenditure provisions, though, the revenue loss is equivalent to a direct outlay without any adjustment. The new concept is explained more fully in the introduction to Part 5 as well as in "Special Analysis G, Tax Expenditures." 16 This special analysis presents estimates of tax expenditures according to the old concept as well as the revised one, but for program analysis throughout Part 5 only the outlay equivalent estimates are used. The size of a particular tax expenditure depends not only on the tax provision in question but also on the interaction of this provision with the rest of the tax structure. The reductions in the income tax rate schedule enacted in 1981, as an example, automatically decrease many tax expenditures below what they otherwise would have been. A tax rate reduction decreases the amount of receipts that would be gained by repealing deductions and exclusions, because lower tax rates are applied to the increase in taxable income. The interaction among tax provisions means that special calculations are generally needed to add tax expenditures together. For example, if more than one exclusion from individual income were ended, the gain in receipts would generally be greater than the sum of the separate tax expenditures, because some taxpayers would move into higher tax rate brackets. If more than one personal deduction were ended, the gain in receipts would generally be smaller than the sum of the separate tax expenditures, because 16 The new measurement concept was used on a limited and supplementary basis in last year's budget. See Special Analysis G, "Tax Expenditures," in Special Analyses, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1982, pp. 234-38. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-21 some taxpayers would switch to the zero-bracket amount (standard deduction). Consequently, adding together separate tax expenditures would usually be misleading, and they are not added together in this budget except for specially computed totals by functional category. Even if the interaction effects could be properly taken into account, the total amount of all tax expenditures added together would have a restricted meaning. This amount would be defined only with respect to the particular reference tax structure from which it was measured. If a different reference tax structure were used than the general provisions of the Internal Revenue Code, the total amount would be different. The Government's budget receipts would not ordinarily be raised by the total amount of a group of tax expenditures if all the tax expenditure provisions in that group were removed together. The interaction effects would have to be taken into account; and, in accordance with the new concept of outlay equivalence, the tax expenditure is larger than the revenue loss for most special tax provisions. Furthermore, tax expenditures and other provisions of law have frequently been changed together or viewed as substitutes for one another. A direct outlay may also be substituted for a tax expenditure. Thus, even for aggregations of tax expenditures that were measured as revenue losses and that did take interaction into account, the total amount would simply indicate the total resources available for some combination of cutting tax rates, increasing outlays, and reducing the deficit. If a group of tax expenditure provisions were removed, the overall effects on budget receipts and on resource allocation and income distribution would therefore depend on the particular decisions made as to which changes in tax rates and outlays—out of a limitless number of alternatives—were used to compensate for their removal. As discussed in Part 4 of this volume, "Budget Receipts," the principal tax change enacted last year was the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981. This act reduced individual and corporation income taxes substantially. The major reductions were caused by decreases in the individual income tax rates and by adoption of the accelerated cost recovery system as the method for depreciating assets. Neither the rate schedule nor the accelerated cost recovery system is a tax expenditure provision. The individual tax rate schedule has always been considered part of the reference standard, and the accelerated cost recovery system is the general rule governing the recovery of the cost of depreciable property rather than a special method. These reductions are estimated to have major economic effects including increased incentives to work, save, and invest. 6-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 The reductions in the individual income tax rate schedules will, for the reasons stated above, decrease the tax expenditures for deductions and exclusions. The Economic Recovery Tax Act also affects many tax expenditure provisions directly. The incentive to invest is enhanced by liberalizing the rules under which firms that have no tax liability may use leasing transactions to transfer unused investment tax credits and depreciation deductions on new investments to profitable firms. It is also enhanced by several other tax expenditure provisions, including an increase in the investment tax credit for equipment with short lives. The incentive to save is enhanced by the tax exemption of interest on certain one-year savings certificates issued by savings and loan associations and other financial institutions. These provisions, which are comparatively small except for leasing, affect the form in which investment and saving occur and supplement the changes in law that increase the incentives to invest and save but that do not give rise to tax expenditures. Other increases in tax expenditures arise from several provisions, including a tax credit for research and experimentation, a change in the taxation of income earned abroad, and a deduction for charitable contributions given by taxpayers who do not itemize. The Administration is proposing a number of tax changes to end abuses and remove obsolete incentives. Some of these changes would eliminate or modify tax expenditure provisions. For example, the use of tax-exempt bonds for private activities would be restricted, and the business energy tax credits would be repealed. The corporate minimum tax would reduce tax expenditures generally for corporations. The Administration is also proposing a new tax expenditure provision that would provide incentives for the redevelopment of depressed areas designated as "enterprise zones." BUDGET FUNDS AND THE FEDERAL DEBT The budget consists of two major groups of funds: Federal funds and trust funds.17 The Federal funds are derived mainly from taxes and borrowing and are used for the general purposes of the Government. Most of these funds are not restricted by law to any specific Government program. The trust funds, on the other hand, collect certain taxes and other receipts for specified purposes, such as paying social security and unemployment insurance benefits. The budget includes the receipts and outlays of both the Federal funds and the trust funds and, as shown in the following table, deducts the various transactions that occur between them. The budget totals for receipts and outlays therefore generally display 17 Data for Federal funds and trust funds are presented in "Special Analysis C, Funds in the Budget," which is available from the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. 6-23 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET BUDGET TOTALS BY FUND GROUP (In billions of dollars) 1981 actual Budget receipts: Federal funds Trust funds Interfund transactions Total, budget receipts Budget outlays-. Federal funds Trust funds Interfund transactions Total budget outlays Budget surplus or deficit ( —)-. Federal funds Trust funds Total, budget surplus or deficit (—) Addendum: Deficit (—), off-budget Federal entities1 Total, surplus or deficit (—) including off-budget Federal entities 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 410.4 239.4 -50.6 412.8 274 7 -60.8 433.7 296 6 -64.2 470.4 318 6 -66.1 513.2 352.3 -69.0 599.3 626.8 666.1 723.0 796.6 475.2 232.6 -50.6 523.9 262.2 -60.8 540.6 281.2 -64.2 5713 300.7 -66.1 616.4 321.1 -69.0 657.2 725.3 757.6 805.9 868.5 -64.7 _6!l -111.1 12.5 106.9 15.4 -100.8 17.9 103.2 31.3 -57.9 -98.6 -91.5 -82.9 -71.9 -21.0 -19.7 -15.7 -14.3 -11.0 -78.9 -118.3 -107.2 -97.2 -82.8 1 No off-budget Federal entities collect governmental receipts. Hence, no adjustments are made to receipts when on and off-budget totals are consolidated. The off-budget outlays would be classified as Federal funds outlays if they were included in the budget. the net transactions of the Federal Government with the public. The budget does not, however, include the transactions of the Federal Financing Bank and the other off-budget Federal entities, which have been excluded from the budget under provisions of law. Were they to be included in the budget, all of their transactions would be classified in the Federal funds group. Thus, as shown in the table on the next page, the combined deficit or surplus of the budget and the off-budget entities is the principal determinant of the change in the Federal debt held by the public. 18 The budget and off-budget deficits, together with the other factors noted in this table, are estimated to increase the Federal debt held by the public from $794.4 billion at the end of 1981 to $1,021.4 billion at the end of 1983, with the increase in 1983 being a little smaller than in 1982. Borrowing beyond the budget year is projected consistently with the economic assumptions that are explained in Part 2 of this volume. The projected change in debt held by the public in 1984 and 1985 continues to be large each year but to decline as the total Government deficit gradually diminishes. Gross Federal debt is the sum of the debt held by the public and the debt held by the Government itself, which includes such invest18 Table 9 in Part 9 of this Budget contains more detail on budget financing through 1983 and shows the levels of debt from 1980 to 1983. Federal debt is discussed further in a separate OMB publication, "Special Analysis E, Borrowing and Debt," which is available from the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. 6-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET FINANCING AND CHANGE IN DEBT OUTSTANDING (In billions of dollars) Description 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate Budget surplus or deficit ( - ) Deficit ( - ) of off-budget Federal entities -57.9 21.0 -98.6 19.7 -91.5 15.7 -82.9 -14.3 -71.9 -11.0 Total, surplus or deficit ( — ) -78.9 118.3 107.2 97.2 82.8 Means of financing other than borrowing from the public: Decrease or increase ( —) in cash and other monetary assets Increase or decrease ( —) in liabilities for.Checks outstanding, etc Deposit fund balances Seigniorage on coins -1.7 3.7 -1.3 2.1 .5 .3 1.7 .6 .3 -1.6 .5 .7 .8 Total, means of financing other than borrowing from the public -.4 2.9 -.8 .7 .8 Total, requirements for borrowing from the public -79.3 -108.0 -96.5 -82.0 96.5 82.0 17.9 31.3 Transfer of debt holdings2 Change in debt held by the public Change in Federal agency investments in Federal debt: Federal funds Trust funds 2 3 Off-budget Federal entities Deposit funds 4 Total, change in Federal agency investments in Federal debt Change in gross Federal debt -115.4 -3.6 79.3 119.0 108.0 .4 9.4 -.6 2.0 .8 8.6 -.2 2.1 2.0 15.4 -.8 -.4 10.3 11.2 16.2 17.9 31.3 89.6 130.2 124.2 114.4 113.3 1 Several amounts have been assumed to be zero in 1984 and 1985 because they are usually small and cannot be estimated accurately. As of September 30, 1982, $3.6 billion of Federal debt held by trust funds are estimated to be reclassified as debt held by the public, because under proposed legislation the ownership of the assets of the railroad retirement account are to be transferred to a newly created private rail industry pension corporation. 3 Estimates for 1984 and 1985 are equal to the total trust fund surplus. 4 Certain deposit funds only. 2 ments as the Treasury debt held by the social security and other trust funds. At the end of 1983 gross Federal debt is estimated to be $1,258.4 billion, of which debt held by the Government is $237.0 billion. Thus, gross Federal debt is much larger than the Federal debt held by the public. Gross Federal debt is estimated to rise by $124.2 billion during 1983. As indicated in the lower section of the table above, $16.2 billion of this increment will be held by trust funds and other Federal agencies. This is mainly due to the investment of trust fund surpluses in Treasury debt. The Federal funds deficit and the deficit of off-budget Federal entities are the principal determinants of the change in gross Federal debt. The gross Federal debt consists almost entirely of securities issued by the Treasury Department. However, a few Government 6-25 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET agencies are authorized to issue their own debt instruments to the public or to other Government agencies and funds. These securities are part of the gross Federal debt. At the end of 1981 the public held $4.6 billion of agency debt. This debt is expected to fall by small amounts each year as existing agency debt matures and most new agency borrowing is from the Federal Financing Bank (FFB). The FFB finances its purchases of agency debt by borrowing from Treasury, which in turn borrows from the public. To prevent double counting, FFB's holdings of agency debt are not included in gross Federal debt. Almost all Treasury debt issues are covered by a statutory debt limit, though most borrowing by Federal agencies other than the Treasury is excluded from this limit. The ceiling on the debt subject to limit is $1,079.8 billion through September 30, 1982. However, to permit the Federal Government to meet its obligations, the ceiling will have to be raised before that time. Debt subject to the general statutory limit, like gross Federal debt, includes debt held internally within the Government, such as the Treasury issues held by the social security trust funds. Debt subject to the statutory limit is therefore much larger than the debt held by the public and is nearly as large as gross Federal debt. It is a little less than gross Federal debt primarily because most agency debt is excluded from the general statutory limitation. FEDERAL FUNDS FINANCING AND CHANGE IN DEBT SUBJECT TO LIMIT (In billions of dollars) Description 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Federal funds surplus or deficit ( —) Deficit ( - ) of off-budget Federal entities -64.7 -21.0 -111.1 -19.7 -106.9 -15.7 Total, amount to be financed -85.8 -130.8 , —122.6 Means of financing other than borrowing: Decrease or increase ( —) in cash and monetary assets Increase or decrease (—) in liabilities for: Checks outstanding, etc Deposit fund balances Seigniorage on coins Total, means of financing other than borrowing Decrease or increase ( - ) in investments in Federal debt by Federal funds, off-budget entities, and deposit funds 1 Increase or decrease ( —) in Federal funds and off-budget entity debt not subject to limit Total, requirements for borrowing subject to debt limit Change in debt subject to limit *$50 million or less. 1 Certain deposit funds only. -1.7 3.7 -3.8 2.1 .5 .7 -1.7 .6 .3 1.6 .5 -2.9 3.2 -.8 -2.6 .8 -.5 1.0 * -90.1 -131.2 -124.3 90.1 131.2 124.3 — .9 6-26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Since trust fund surpluses for the most part have been invested in debt securities, rather than being held as cash assets, the Federal funds deficit and the deficit of the off-budget Federal entities must be financed primarily by selling Federal debt. This debt is almost entirely subject to the statutory limit. As shown in the previous table, the Federal funds deficit plus the off-budget deficit was $85.8 billion in 1981, and the increase in debt subject to statutory limit was $90.1 billion. Thus, these deficits approximately accounted for the increase in the debt subject to limit. A large part of the Federal funds deficit—and, therefore, a large part of the growth in debt subject to limit—is attributable to transactions between Federal funds and trust funds. These transactions consist primarily of Federal funds payments to trust funds. These payments include interest paid on Treasury debt securities held by trust funds; payments to the civil service retirement fund; and other payments, which are primarily to social insurance trust funds, such as the Federal Government's contribution for supplementary medical insurance. The trust fund payments to Federal funds are relatively small. BUDGET SURPLUS OR DEFICIT ( - ) BY FUND GROUP 1 (In billions of dollars) Description Federal funds.Transactions with the public 2 Transactions with trust funds Total Trust funds: Transactions with the public 2 Transactions with Federal funds Total Budget total: Federal funds Trust funds... Total 1981 actual 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate -20.2 -44.6 -55.6 -55.5 -48.9 -58.1 -42.3 -58.5 -33.2 -70.0 -64.7 -111.1 106.9 100.8 103.2 -37.7 44.6 -42.9 55.5 -42.7 58.1 -40.6 58.5 -38.7 70.0 6.8 12.5 15.4 17.9 31.3 -64.7 6.8 -111.1 12.5 -106.9 15.4 -100.8 17.9 -103.2 31.3 -57.9 98.6 -91.5 -82.9 -71.9 1 For purposes of this analysis, payments from Federal funds to the general revenue sharing trust fund are treated as transactions with the public instead of transactions with a trust fund; and the corresponding payments from the general revenue sharing trust fund to the public are accordingly omitted. This is because the general revenue sharing trust fund has no independent source of funding, and serves only as a channel through which a Federal funds payment is made to the public. 2 Includes some incidental transactions with off-budget Federal entities. The cumulative Federal funds deficit from 1972 through 1981 was $501.0 billion, of which $261.0 billion was attributable to transactions with trust funds and the remaining $240.0 billion was attributable to transactions with the public. The Federal funds group can have a deficit at the same time as there are surpluses in the budget and in the transactions of the Federal funds group with the public. This occurred in 1969. The table above displays the net 6-27 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET transactions of the Federal funds with the public and the trust funds in comparison with the budget surplus or deficit. THE INCREASE IN TOTAL 1981 OUTLAYS OVER THE INITIAL BUDGET ESTIMATE Budget outlays for 1981 were $657.2 billion, which is $44.8 billion higher than originally proposed in January 1980. Since the time when the budget was first prepared on a unified basis for 1969, this increase is the second largest that has ever occurred between the proposal of a budget and its outcome, both in absolute dollars and as a percent of total spending. (The largest was in 1980.) The average difference in previous years was 2.9%, while in 1981 it was 7.3%. This section reviews the major forces that caused this large increase. The following table compares the initially estimated outlays and the actual totals in current and constant (fiscal year 1972) dollars and as a percent of GNP. It also compares the changes in defense and nondefense outlays. The actual outlays for both were substantially above the initial estimate, with defense being 9.2% higher and nondefense 6.7% higher. 1981 OUTLAY INCREASES 1 (Dollars in billions) Initial proposal (January 1980) Budget outlays: Current dollars National defense Nondefense Constant (fiscal year 1972) dollars As a percent of GNP Off-budget outlays (current dollars) 612.4 (146.2) (466.1) 314.4 22.2 18.1 Actual 657.2 (159.8) (497.4) 330.6 23.0 21.0 Percent increase 7.3 (9.2) (6.7) 5.2 3.6 15.8 J The data in this table include an adjustment for shifting the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation on-budget retroactivity ( - $ 4 4 million) and for a retroactive ^classification of supplemental medical insurance (SMI) premiums ana voluntary hospital insurance premiums. These premiums were formerly classified as budget receipts, and are now classified as offsets to outlays. These changes reduce 1981 receipts and outlays by $3.3 billion, thus having no impact on the deficit. Spending increased generally throughout most of the budget and in different kinds of programs. Outlays were larger than initially estimated in almost all of the 19 budget functions. Relatively uncontrollable programs increased 7.0%, and relatively controllable programs increased 8.4%. The causes of the specific changes are described below. Chronology of Outlay Increases.—The chronology of outlay in- creases is displayed in the following table. The financial markets and the Congress reacted unfavorably to the 1981 budget transmitted in January 1980. In response, the Carter administration proposed reductions only two months later, in March 1980. These reductions more than offset large upward reestimates that had 6-28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 occurred during that period. After these reductions, however, there were major upward revisions in the July 1980 Mid-Session Review ($22.2 billion) and the January 1981 Budget ($28.9 billion). The net change subsequently was a small decrease. CHRONOLOGY OF THE 1981 OUTLAY INCREASE (In billions of dollars) January 1980 (1981 budget) Changes: March 1980 (1981 Budget Revisions): A substantial budget revision. Upward reestimates of $13.0 billion were more than offset by planned reductions of $17.2 billion July 1980 (Mid-Session Review): Major increases from changed economic conditions ($11.1 billion), higher Defense-Military spending ($6.9 billion), and other causes ($4.1 billion) January 1981 (1982 budget): The largest increases were for net interest ($11.9 billion), transportation ($4.9 billion—including the $2.1 billion Penn Central settlement), and national defense ($3.6 billion) March 1981 (1982 Budget Revisions): The largest reductions were for net interest ($2.9 billion) and income security ($1.9 billion) July 1981 (Mid-Session Review): The largest increase was for net interest ($5.0 billion).. October 1981 (End of Year Statement) Total increase 612.4 -4.2 22.2 28.9 -7.5 6.0 -0.7 44.8 657.2 Actual Major Causes of the Increase.—The following table summarizes the budget increase according to the reason for the change: (1) economic conditions that were different from the original assumptions; (2) policy changes; (3) unforeseen events such as the courtapproved settlement with the Penn Central Corporation; or (4) estimating and other differences. The amounts in the first three categories are orders of magnitude, and include only the major items. The fourth category is a residual. The figures should therefore be considered approximations. Changes in economic conditions explain 72% of the total increase. Policy changes account for almost half of the remainder. These are analyzed below separately for defense and nondefense. SUMMARY OF REASONS FOR CHANGES IN 1981 OUTLAYS (in billions of dollars) Total Reasons for change (net): Economic conditions Policy: January 1981 and earlier After January 1981 Unforeseen events Estimating differences and other changes Total National defense Nondefense 32.3 7.3 25.0 4.0 1.7 0.6 6.2 1.7 3.2 1.3 2.3 -1.5 0.6 4.9 44.8 13.5 31.3 6-29 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET National defense.—Outlays in 1981 for national defense increased by $13.5 billion, which is 9.2% above the original budget estimate. Roughly half of the defense increase was due to pay and prices, and half reflected real outlays. More specifically, the increase was due primarily to three causes: —higher inflation, primarily the rising costs of fuel and transportation; —higher outlays than anticipated from prior-year contracts and obligations (i.e., faster contractor delivery of previously ordered goods and services); and —policy decisions to increase national defense. These outlays were primarily for increased operations in the Persian Gulf while American hostages were held in Iran, and the October 1980 increase in military pay and benefits. This increase of about 19%, which included the Nunn-Warner pay package, compares to 7.4% assumed in the initial estimates. Nondefense.—There are several major causes of increases in nondefense budget outlays. Economic conditions differed from those forecast in January 1980, as shown in the following table. Growth in real GNP was a little higher than projected for 1980, but 2.1 percentage points lower for 1981. Inflation as measured by the GNP deflator was 0.1 percentage points higher than originally projected for 1980, and 0.3 percentage points higher for 1981. As measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), however, inflation was 1.7 percentage points higher than projected for 1980 and 1.0 percentage point higher for 1981. (The CPI increase from the first quarter of calendar year 1979 to the first quarter of 1980 determined the July 1980 increase in social security. It was projected to be 13.0% but was actually 14.3%.) The unemployment rate was slightly higher than originally projected. Interest rates, however, were significantly higher than the initial assumptions. The 91-day Treasury bill rate during calenCOMPARISON OF ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS: JANUARY 1980 AND ACTUAL (Calendar years) January 1980 estimate Actual 1981 Percent change: GNP (constant 1972 dollars) 4th quarter over 4th quarter Inflation (year over year): GNP deflator Consumer Price Index (CPI) Unemployment rate (annual average) Interest rate (91-day bills, annual average) 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 2 2 1980 Difference 1981 1981 1980 -1.0 2.8 -0.3 | 0.7 0.7 8.9 8.8 9.0 9.1 0.1 11.8 9.2 13.5 10.2 1.7 7.0 7.4 7.1 7.6 0.1 10.5 9.0 11.5 14.1 1.0 -2.1 0.3 1.0 0.2 5.1 6-30 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 dar year 1980 averaged 1.0 percentage point more than the January 1980 assumption, and the 1981 rate was 5.1 percentage points higher. These differences in economic assumptions increased nondefense outlays by an estimated $25.0 billion—with more than two-thirds of this due to higher interest rates than estimated. Higher inflation accounted for the rest. These changes are shown in more detail on the accompanying table. EFFECT OF CHANGES IN ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS ON 1981 NONDEFENSE OUTLAYS (In billions of dollars) Description Inflation: Indexed programs: Social security and railroad retirement Other Medicaid and medicare Subtotal, inflation Interest rates and changes in borrowing: Interest on the public debt: Interest rates Changes in borrowing 1 FSLIC, higher education, housing (FHA and VA), and Export-Import Bank Other interest (payment to trust funds, refunds, etc.) 1 ^ ence 1.1 1.0 5.4 7.5 9.4 6.8 3.0 —1.7 Subtotal, interest rates and changes in borrowing 17.5 Total 25.0 Change in borrowing for all reasons, including causes other than economic assumptions. Other 1981 nondefense changes were caused by various factors: —Net policy changes increased 1981 nondefense outlays about $0.9 billion. The major increases before February 1981 were $9.0 billion, primarily for the inclusion of farmers hurt by droughts as eligible for SB A disaster loans ($1.7 billion), phaseout of the GNMA tandem plan ($1.5 billion), and filling the strategic petroleum reserve ($1.7 billion). These were partially offset by major decreases of $6.7 billion, primarily for elimination of the State share of general revenue sharing ($1.7 billion), employment and training ($1.7 billion), and countercyclical fiscal assistance ($1.0 billion). After January 1981, outlays decreased $1.5 billion for policy reasons. —Increases in outlays for unforeseen events, such as the courtapproved settlement with the Penn Central Corporation, were almost entirely offset by reductions in the allowance for contingencies. —Nondefense outlays increased $4.9 billion on a net basis due to estimating differences and other changes. The major increases were for the Commodity Credit Corporation ($2.6 billion) and food stamps ($1.6 billion). PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-31 COMPARISON OF RELATIVELY UNCONTROLLABLE OUTLAYS AND OF RECEIPTS The Congressional Budget Act requires that the budget contain two comparisons between the initial budget estimates and the actual amounts for the last completed fiscal year: a comparison of the differences in relatively uncontrollable outlays by major program, and a comparison of the differences in receipts by major source. These comparisons are made in the following two sections for the 1981 budget, which was submitted in January 1980 for the fiscal year ending on September 30, 1981. Comparison of relatively uncontrollable outlays.—Outlays in any one year are considered to be relatively uncontrollable when the program level is determined by existing statutes or by contracts or other obligations. Outlays for these programs generally depend on factors that are beyond administrative control under existing law at the start of the fiscal year. For example, the definition of beneficiaries eligible for programs like medicaid and social security is established by law, and usually can be altered only by a change in the law. Prior-year contracts and obligations are also legally binding. For a number of reasons, the amounts estimated in the budget for relatively uncontrollable outlays may differ from the actual outlays that are subsequently realized. For example, legislation may change benefit rates or coverage; the actual number of beneficiaries may differ from the number estimated; and economic conditions (such as interest rates) may differ from what was assumed in making the estimates. Relatively uncontrollable outlays are grouped into two major categories: open-ended programs and fixed costs, for which outlays are generally mandated by law; and payments from prior-year contracts and obligations, for which outlays are required because of previous action, such as entering into contracts. In accordance with the definition, budget estimates of relatively uncontrollable outlays do not include the effects of proposed legislation. In cases where legislation was enacted that significantly affected relatively uncontrollable outlays in 1981, it is identified in the discussion below. The following table shows the differences between actual outlays for relatively uncontrollable programs for 1981 and the amounts estimated in the 1981 budget. The list of programs in this table is the same as table 17 (Controllability of Budget Outlays) in Part 9 of this year's Budget. Several categories include revisions in the classifications of programs, which are shown retroactively for the January 1980 estimate. 6-32 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 RELATIVELY UNCONTROLLABLE OUTLAYS FOR 1981 (In billions of dollars) January 1980 estimate (existing law) * Relatively uncontrollable under present law Open-ended programs and fixed costs: Payments for individuals: Social security and railroad retirement Federal employees retirement and insuranceJ (Military retired pay) (Other) 1 Unemployment assistance Medical care Assistance to students1 Food and nutrition assistance12 Public assistance and related programs All other relatively uncontrollable payments for individuals3 Change Actual 142.1 38.9 (13.7) (25.2) 18.7 53.9 2.1 3.7 20.2 1.0 1.6 (0.1) (1.5) 0.8 5.4 2.5 -0.1 0.6 143.2 40.5 (13.7) (26.8) 19.5 59.3 4.7 3.5 20.8 3.2 -0.2 3.0 282.8 11.7 294.5 54.8 6.9 1.8 -0.1 14.0 -1.7 2.3 4.1 68.7 5.1 4.1 4.0 Total, open-ended programs and fixed costs 2 346.1 30.4 376.4 Outlays from prior-year contracts and obligations: National defense Civilian programsJ 40.6 66.8 0.9 0.3 41.5 67.1 Total, outlays from prior-year contracts and obligations 107.4 1.2 108.6 Total, relatively uncontrollable outlays 453.5 31.6 485.0 Subtotal, payments for individuals 1 Net interest General revenue sharing Farm price supports (CCC)* Other open-ended programs and fixed costs 1 2 4 1 Adjusted for redefinition of classifications in the 1982 or 1983 budgets. This category no longer includes programs that have been reclassified as relatively controllable since January 1980. This category now contains programs that were classified as relatively controllable in January 1980. 4 This category now includes offsetting collections that were classified as receipts in January 1980. 2 3 Actual outlays for relatively uncontrollable programs in 1981 were $485.0 billion, which is $31.6 billion, or 7.0% higher than estimated in January 1980. Outlays for open-ended programs and fixed costs were $30.4 billion higher, and outlays from prior-year contracts and obligations were $1.2 billion higher. Open-ended programs and fixed costs consist mainly of benefit programs, grants, and subsidies for which eligibility is automatic or fixed by law; interest payments; general revenue sharing; farm price supports; and payments for the legislative and judicial branches, which the President must—by law—include in the budget as submitted. Payments for individuals is the major grouping within openended programs and fixed costs. These budget outlays are essential- PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-33 ly income transfers rather than payments for direct Federal operations. Total payments for individuals were 78% of all open-ended programs and fixed costs in 1981. Actual outlays for this grouping were $11.7 billion higher than estimated. This was caused by differences between actual and assumed economic conditions and the number of beneficiaries, and by enactment of legislation. Outlays for social security retirement and disability and for railroad retirement, the biggest category of payments for individuals, were $1.0 billion higher than estimated. The original estimates assumed automatic benefit increases, based on inflation as measured by the consumer price index, of 13.0% in July of 1980 and 9.9% in July of 1981. The actual increases were 14.3% and 11.2%, respectively. Actual outlays for Federal employee 'retirement and disability insurance programs were $1.6 billion above the budget estimate. These programs consist of military retired pay, civilian employee retirement and disability (largely civil and foreign service), and veterans service-connected compensation. Except for veterans service-connected compensation, these benefits are indexed to the consumer price index. Outlays for the indexed Federal employee retirement programs exceeded the budget estimates by $0.6 billion, largely because of higher than anticipated cost-of-living increases. The original estimates assumed automatic increases of 5.8% in September 1980 and 4.3% in March 1981. Actual increases were 7.7% and 4.4%, respectively. The portion of veterans service-connected compensation benefits that increases to adjust for the effects of inflation is considered relatively controllable because it requires congressional action. However, when the increase occurs, it is added to the relatively uncontrollable portion of outlays, and in 1981 it accounts for a $1.0 billion increase in actual outlays. Outlays for unemployment assistance programs were $0.8 billion higher than estimated. While the overall unemployment rate for fiscal year 1981 was 7.3%, slightly below the budget forecast of 7.4%, many more workers in the automobile industry were certified to receive trade adjustment assistance than originally estimated, raising outlays by $1.4 billion. Outlays for other unemployment assistance were lower than expected. Outlays for medical care were $5.4 billion higher than estimated, largely as a result of the higher prices in the health sector that accompanied the higher inflation in general. The use of medical care services was also greater than anticipated. Medicaid outlays were $1.4 billion higher than originally estimated, and medicare outlays were $3.2 billion higher. Assistance to students previously consisted primarily of GI bill benefits. However, the student loan insurance fund has been reclassified as a relatively uncontrollable payment for individuals, and 6-34 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 the data have been adjusted to reflect this change. Outlays for assistance to students were $2.5 billion higher than originally estimated, largely due to the effect of higher interest rates than expected on the interest subsidy for guaranteed student loans. Use of GI bill benefits was greater than anticipated and accounts for a $0.5 billion increase over estimated outlays. Outlays for food and nutrition assistance were $0.1 billion lower than estimated. Lower participation in the child nutrition and special milk programs accounts for the difference between the original estimate and actual outlays for food and nutrition assistance. The food stamp program previously was classified as relatively uncontrollable, but in this budget has been reclassified as relatively controllable. The outlays originally estimated for 1981 have been adjusted to account for this change. Public assistance and related programs include public assistance payments, supplemental security income, outlays for earned income tax credits, and veterans non-service-connected pensions. Outlays were $0.6 billion above the initial estimate largely due to increases of $0.8 billion for public assistance payments and $1.0 billion for supplemental security income. These increases were partially offset by a $0.3 billion decrease in veterans non-service connected pensions, because fewer beneficiaries than expected chose to participate in the new pension program that became effective in 1979, and by a $0.3 billion decrease in outlays for earned income tax credits. Uncontrollable outlays for all other payments for individuals were $0.2 billion lower than estimated, mostly because of lower than expected payments for black lung disabilities. The single largest difference between estimated and actual outlays for open-ended programs and fixed costs was for net interest, where outlays were $14.0 billion—or 25.5%—higher than originally estimated. Interest on the public debt was $16.0 billion higher than assumed, largely because interest rates and Federal borrowing were higher than anticipated, and the average length of maturity of debt was shorter. The budget estimate assumed a 9.2% interest rate on 91-day Treasury bills for fiscal year 1981 whereas the actual 91-day rate averaged 15.7%. Interest received by trust funds, which is offset against interest costs to reflect transactions with the public, was $2.0 billion higher than the budget estimate due to higher than anticipated interest rates and despite lower trust fund balances. Outlays for general revenue sharing declined $1.7 billion due to congressional action to eliminate payments to States. The program now aids local governments only. Other open-ended programs and fixed costs were $4.3 billion above the original budget estimates. A legal settlement with the PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-35 Penn Central Railroad accounts for $2.1 billion of this. Outlays for the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation were $1.0 billion higher than estimated due to increased aid to support savings and loan institutions for losses caused by prolonged high interest rates, low-yielding portfolios, and losses from speculation. Outlays for the foreign military sales trust fund were $0.5 billion above receipts, whereas the 1981 budget assumed that trust fund receipts would exactly offset outlays. The remaining $0.6 billion difference between estimated and actual outlays in this category is due to higher than estimated outlays for several other programs, the largest of which was the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation ($0.2 billion). Outlays for prior-year contracts and obligations for civilian and national defense programs were $1.2 billion—or 1.1%—higher than estimated. Outlays for civilian programs were $0.3 billion higher than estimated, an increase of only 0.5%. The largest differences between estimated and actual outlays in 1981 for prior-year contracts and obligations occurred in housing credit and subsidies, strategic petroleum reserves and other energy programs, urban mass transit, health programs, the Export-Import Bank, and commerce assistance. These programs account for increases of $5.2 billion and decreases of $1.2 billion from estimated to actual outlays. The remaining $3.7 billion of decreases is the result of small differences divided among numerous Federal agencies. Department of Housing and Urban Development outlays for prior-year contracts and obligations account for $1.3 billion more outlays than estimated, largely because the Government National Mortgage Association purchased more mortgages than expected and sold mortgages at lower prices; its relatively uncontrollable outlays were $1.1 billion greater than estimated. The emergency mortgage purchase and subsidized housing programs had outlays $0.4 billion and $0.2 billion higher than expected, respectively. Payments for operation of low-income housing were almost $0.5 billion less than anticipated. The strategic petroleum reserves were filled at a faster rate than expected, raising outlays $1.0 billion over the estimated level. Outlays were higher also for uranium supply and enrichment by $0.3 billion, while other energy supply and conservation programs had outlays approximately $0.2 billion below estimated levels. Tennessee Valley Authority outlays for power supply were $0.4 billion lower than anticipated. Outlays for prior-year contracts and obligations of transportation programs were $0.7 billion higher than estimated. Nearly $1.0 billion resulted from an underestimate of how quickly obligations made by the Urban Mass Transportation Administration would be spent. 6-36 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Outlays for health programs were $1.1 billion above the original estimates, particularly for education and training of the health care work force, which increased by $0.3 billion. In veterans programs, relatively uncontrollable medical care outlays from prioryear contracts and obligations were $0.1 billion lower than expected. Outlays for regulation of pollution were $0.2 billion above estimated outlays, while lower than anticipated outlays in other programs brought the net difference for all pollution control and compliance activities to $0.1 billion above expected levels. The $0.8 billion increase in outlays over anticipated levels from the Export-Import Bank mostly reflects a shift in the Bank's loans from slower to faster spending programs. Outlays for Federal assistance for commerce, economic development and local public works were $0.8 billion below estimated levels. National defense outlays for prior-year contracts and obligations were $0.9 billion—or 2.1%—above the original budget estimate. Outlays for procurement and operations and maintenance were $2.8 billion higher than estimated, but were offset by $1.4 billion greater offsetting collections in various funds. Net changes in outlays for other programs were $0.5 billion lower than originally estimated. Overall, Department of Defense military programs accounted for $0.9 billion of higher outlays, whereas outlays for atomic energy defense were $0.1 billion lower than estimated. Comparison of actual and estimated receipts.—Budget receipts in 1981 were $599.3 billion, which is only $2.6 billion more than the January 1980 estimate of $596.7 billion. The composition of receipts, however, was substantially different from the original estimates, primarily due to changes in incomes and differences in tax law from the legislation proposed in the 1981 budget. COMPARISON OF FISCAL YEAR 1981 BUDGET RECEIPTS (In billions of dollars) January 1980 estimate Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions.. Excise taxes Estate and gift taxes Customs duties Miscellaneous receipts Total Change from 1980 estimate Actual 274 4 71.6 184.1 40.2 5.9 8.4 12.1 11.6 -10.4 -1.3 0.6 0.8 -0.3 1.7 285 9 61.1 182.7 40.8 6.8 8.1 13.8 596.7 2.6 599.3 NOTE.—The data have been revised to reflect the retroactive reclassification of supplemental medical insurance (SMI) premiums and voluntary hospital insurance premiums, formerly classified as budget receipts, as offsets to outlays. These changes reduce 1981 receipts and outlays by $3.3 billion, thus having no impact on the deficit. Higher than anticipated personal incomes, lower than expected corporate profits, and changes in collection patterns and effective tax rates resulted in a net increase in 1981 receipts of $7.8 billion. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-37 This increase was partially offset by differences in tax law from the legislation proposed in the budget, which reduced receipts by $5.2 billion. These differences in tax law consist of modifications of the original budget proposals and changes in law that were not proposed in the 1981 budget. A windfall profit tax on domestic producers of crude oil was proposed in the 1981 budget, together with several energy tax credits and a change in the foreign tax credit on oil and gas extraction. These energy related proposals were expected to increase 1981 receipts by $14.4 billion. The other major proposals affecting 1981 receipts included several initiatives to require taxpayers to make income tax payments closer to the time when tax liabilities are incurred, to require employers to deposit taxes withheld from employees on a more timely basis, and to accelerate the payment schedule of customs duties and tobacco excise taxes. Together, these cash management initiatives were estimated to increase receipts in 1981 by $4.5 billion. Other proposals, which were estimated to increase 1981 receipts by $3.0 billion, included restrictions on the use of tax-exempt funds for mortgage financing; the extension of airport and airway trust fund taxes that were scheduled to expire; and the establishment of a fund, to be financed primarily by fees paid by industry, to assure the adequate and timely clean-up of oil and hazardous substances. Together, the 1981 budget proposals were estimated to increase 1981 receipts by $21.9 billion. Congress passed three major tax laws during 1980 that affected 1981 receipts: the Crude Oil Windfall Profit Tax Act of 1980, the Omnibus Reconciliation Act of 1980, and the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act of 1980. These laws, which were in large part modifications of the January budget proposals, increased 1981 receipts by $17.2 billion. The Crude Oil Windfall Profit Tax Act of 1980 levied a windfall profit tax on domestic producers of crude oil, provided several energy related income tax credits, and excluded some interest and dividend income from tax. The major revenue provisions of the Omnibus Reconciliation Act of 1980 restricted the use of tax-exempt bonds for mortgage financing and required corporations with taxable income exceeding $1 million in any of the three preceding taxable years to make estimated payments equal to at least 60% of their current year's liability. The Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act of 1980 established a fund to clean up hazardous substances spills and uncontrolled hazardous waste dumps. Regulations were published in 1980 that accelerated employer payments to the Treasury of withheld income and payroll taxes. 6-38 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 These regulations, which had been proposed in the 1981 budget, increased 1981 receipts by $0.5 billion. Other legislation enacted in 1980, primarily a tariff reduction and the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980, reduced 1981 receipts by $0.6 billion. Several administrative changes reduced receipts by an additional $0.2 billion. The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, enacted on August 13, 1981, was the only major legislated tax change affecting 1981 receipts that had not been proposed in the 1981 budget. The capital cost recovery provisions of this Act, which provided for the faster write-off of capital expenditures under simplified and standardized rules, reduced 1981 receipts by $0.2 billion. Individual income taxes were $285.9 billion in 1981, $11.6 billion greater than the original budget estimate of $274.4 billion. Differences in tax law from the legislation proposed in the 1981 budget reduced individual income tax receipts by $3.1 billion. This was more than offset by higher than anticipated personal incomes, which increased receipts by $14.6 billion. COMPARISON OF ACTUAL 1981 BUDGET RECEIPTS WITH THE JANUARY 1980 ESTIMATES (In billions of dollars) January 1980 estimate Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions Excise taxes Estate and gift taxes Customs duties .. Miscellaneous receipts Total. . Differences in tax law from 1980 proposals 274.4 71.6 184.1 40.2 5.9 84 12.1 -3.1 -1.2 -1.3 12 * 596.7 -5.2 -04 0.4 Technical adjustments and revised incomes Actual 14.6 -9.2 -0.1 05 0.9 * 2.1 285.9 61.1 182.7 40 8 6.8 81 13.8 7.8 599.3 *$50 million or less. NOTE.—The data have been revised to reflect the retroactive ^classification of supplemental medical insurance (SMI) premiums and voluntary hospital insurance premiums, formerly classified as budget receipts, as offsets to outlays. These changes reduce 1981 receipts and outlays by $3.3 billion, thus having no impact on the deficit. Corporation income taxes were $10.4 billion below the January 1980 estimate. Substitution of legislation enacted during 1980 for the original budget proposals reduced corporation income taxes by $1.2 billion. Different effective tax rates, collection patterns, and economic conditions account for the remaining decline of $9.2 billion. Social insurance taxes and contributions (which are composed of employment taxes and contributions, unemployment insurance receipts, and other retirement contributions) were $1.3 billion less than the January 1980 estimate of $184.1 billion. Higher employment taxes and contributions increased social insurance taxes and contributions by $1.4 billion..This increase was more than offset by PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-39 a $2.9 billion decline in unemployment insurance receipts, primarily due to an overestimate of State taxes deposited in the Treasury to finance unemployment benefits. Other retirement contributions were $0.2 billion above the original estimate. Substitution of the Crude Oil Windfall Profit Tax Act of 1980 for the windfall profit tax proposal reflected in the 1981 budget increased excise taxes by $2.2 billion. Other changes in legislation reduced excise taxes by $1.1 billion, resulting in a net increase in excise taxes due to differences in tax law of $1.2 billion. Estate and gift taxes were $0.8 billion higher than the January 1980 estimate, and customs duties were $0.3 billion lower. A decline in sugar import duties effective February 1, 1980, accounted for $0.2 billion of the decline in customs duties receipts. Miscellaneous receipts in 1981 were $1.7 billion above the original budget estimate of $12.1 billion. An increase in deposits of earnings by the Federal Reserve System, primarily reflecting higher interest rates than anticipated in January 1980, added $2.0 billion to miscellaneous receipts. This was partially offset by a decline in other miscellaneous receipts of $0.3 billion. REDUCTIONS IN CONSULTING SERVICES AND TRAVEL Sections 1731 and 1732 of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 require that funds appropriated for the Executive Branch for 1982 be reduced by $100 million for direct administrative travel and $500 million for consulting and related services below the level in the 1982 budget transmitted in January 1981. The Act requires further that if the 1982 appropriation bills do not achieve these reductions, the President must calculate the additional amounts to be reduced, allocate these amounts among the agencies, and propose rescissions in this budget to achieve the additional reductions. The provisions of the Act assumed that all Executive Branch appropriations for 1982 would be enacted before the beginning of the fiscal year or soon thereafter. This would have provided sufficient time for agencies to determine the effect of the appropriations upon administrative travel and consulting services before the budget was transmitted to the Congress. Such time is necessary because appropriations do not usually specify the amounts available for administrative travel and consulting services. After appropriations are enacted, agencies must determine how the funds will be allocated among these and other uses. Three of the 1982 appropriations bills have not been enacted. Funds for them were provided by a continuing resolution that expires on March 31, 1982. There is, therefore, no way to determine the total Executive Branch amounts appropriated for 1982 for direct administrative travel or for consulting and related services. 6-40 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Moreover, eight of the other ten appropriation bills were not passed until mid-December. This did not provide enough time for agencies to determine the effect of the appropriations on consulting and travel expenditures with any precision; nor did it provide enough time for the Office of Management and Budget to collect and review data, and to allocate reductions for each agency. Therefore, from a procedural standpoint it is impossible to comply literally with the provisions of the Act. Furthermore, it is not possible to achieve the reduction of $100 million in direct administrative travel because the Act provided that no agency could be reduced by more than 15% and exempted travel for emergency national defense, law enforcement, and debt collection activities. The 15% constraint coupled with the fact that direct administrative travel is on the average only 7.5% of all travel* 9 limits the reductions that can be allocated to the agencies to $54 million. Once the exemptions mentioned earlier are subtracted, the amount that can be reduced under the provisions of the Act will be even lower. Meanwhile, on its own initiative the administration had already taken action to constrain 1982 total travel (which includes direct administrative travel). Total travel by the civilian agencies of the Executive Branch has been reduced by approximately $150 million below the level estimated in the January 1981 budget. As for the reduction for consulting and related services, although the amounts of reduction that eventually will be included in appropriations for the executive branch cannot be known at this time, the President's proposed 1983 budget already includes reductions for 1982 in these areas. The President initiated such reductions as part of his March 1981 budget revisions and also in connection with his September 1981 revisions. As a result of these actions, the estimates for 1982 for consulting and related services show reductions of approximately $320 million. The Congress assumed that agencies spent $4 billion a year for consulting and related services when it required that funds enacted for these services be reduced by $500 million in 1982. This is a 12.5% reduction. More recently, executive branch agencies reported that the estimated 1982 obligations for contracting and related services in the January 1981 budget amounted to $1.7 billion. A $320 million reduction against this base is an 18.8% reduction. Thus, the reduction achieved satisfies the congressional intent in percentage terms. 9 Travel is classified as object class 21 in the Budget Appendix. 6-41 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET ALLOCATION OF WINDFALL PROFIT TAX RECEIPTS Section 102 of the Crude Oil Windfall Profit Tax Act of 1980 requires that each year the President propose the allocation of net receipts from the tax in his budget. This act establishes a Windfall Profit Tax Account in the Treasury "for accounting purposes only/' After the Secretary of the Treasury has determined the amount of net receipts from the tax, they are to be allocated to the Windfall Profit Tax Account. Since the Conference Report accompanying the act stated explicitly that the net receipts from the tax "shall not be earmarked or invested separately from general revenues . . .", the allocations referred to in section 102 cannot be interpreted as earmarking funds for specific purposes. The method for these allocations is prescribed by three formulas in subsections b(l), b(2), and b(3) of section 102. The allocations for 1983 are compared in the following table with the amounts included in this budget for the functional categories referred to in the formula. ALLOCATION OF WINDFALL PROFIT TAX, NET RECEIPTS, 1983 (In millions of dollars) Section 102 Formula Total net receipts Allocation: Low-income assistance1 Energy and transportation programs 2 Income tax reductions Total 1 1983 Budget 11,407 11,407 2,852 1,711 6,844 19,770 17,260 11,407 37,030 This amount is the total outlays for the other income security subfunction (609). 2 This amount is the total outlays for all energy and transportation programs in the energy function (270) and the ground transportation subfunction (401). PART 7 THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-1 7-2 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS The budget system of the U.S. Government provides the framework within which decisions on resource allocation and program management are made in relation to the requirements of the Nation, availability of Federal resources, effective financial control, and accountability for use of the resources. THE BUDGET PROCESS The budget process has four main phases: (1) executive formulation and transmittal; (2) congressional action; (3) budget execution and control; and (4) review and audit. Each of these is interrelated with the others. Executive formulation and transmittal.—The budget sets forth the President's financial plan and indicates his priorities for the Federal Government. The President's transmittal of his budget to the Congress early in each calendar year is the climax of many months of planning and analysis throughout the executive branch. Last January, a new President took office and in March transmitted budget revisions that proposed changes to the 1982 budget submitted by his predecessor. Formulation of the 1983 budget began in the spring of 1981. The budget is formulated in the context of a multi-year budget planning and tracking system that extends coverage to the 4 years following the budget year and integrates long-range planning into the executive budget process. This multi-year budget planning system requires that broad fiscal goals and agency spending and employment targets be established beyond the budget year. During the period when a budget is formulated in the executive branch, there is a continual exchange of information, proposals, evaluations, and policy decisions among the President, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) and other Executive Office units, and the various Government agencies. In the spring, agency programs are evaluated, policy issues are identified, and budgetary projections are made, giving attention both to important modifications and innovations in programs and to alternative long-range program plans. These budgetary projections, including projections of estimated receipts prepared by the Department of the Treasury, are then presented to the President for his consideration, and the major issues are discussed. At about the same time, the President receives projections of the economic outlook that are prepared jointly by the Council of Economic Advisers, OMB, and the Treasury. Following a review of these projections, the President establishes general budget and fiscal policy guidelines. General policy directions and planning ceilings for both the fiscal year that will begin THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-3 about 15 months later and for the 2 years beyond are then given to the agencies to govern the preparation of their budget requests. Throughout the fall and early winter, the executive branch is involved in the development of the President's budget. The primary phase of the budget process involves the formulation and preparation of the President's budget for transmittal to the Congress. Budget determinations are made after detailed reviews of agency budget requests. These determinations are then provided to the agencies but may be revised as a result of later Presidential decisions. Fiscal policy issues—relating to total budget outlays and receipts—are reexamined. The effects of budget decisions on budget authority and outlays in the years that follow are also considered and are explicitly taken into account, consistent with the multiyear budget planning system. Thus, the budget formulation process involves the simultaneous consideration of the resource needs of individual programs and the total outlays and receipts that are appropriate in relation to current and prospective economic conditions. The budget reflects the results of both of these considerations. Current services estimates are also prepared to provide the Congress with a basis for the review of the President's budget. These estimates are projections of budget authority and outlays required to continue Federal programs and activities in the upcoming fiscal year, without policy changes from the fiscal year in progress, at the time the estimates are transmitted. The Congressional Budget Act of 1974 requires that these current services estimates be transmitted to provide the Congress with information on projected costs of current programs. For the first two years after the requirement became effective, they were transmitted in November. However, it was generally agreed that the estimates transmitted at that time did not provide a suitable basis for review, since the underlying assumptions changed before the budget was transmitted. As a result, the comparability of the current services and the budget estimates was lessened significantly. Consequently, the current services estimates are now transmitted with the President's budget. Congressional action.—The Congress can act to approve, modify, or disapprove the President's budget proposals. It can change funding levels, eliminate proposals, or add programs not requested by the President. It also enacts legislation affecting taxes and other sources of receipts. In making appropriations, the Congress does not vote on the level of outlays directly, but rather on budget authority. However, since the concurrent budget resolutions, described below, also set targets for outlays, the outlay effect of appropriations must be considered. The Congress first enacts legislation that authorizes an 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 2 3 7-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 agency to carry out a particular program and, in some cases, includes limits on the amount that can be appropriated for the program. Many programs are authorized for a specified number of years or indefinitely; other programs, such as most nuclear energy, space exploration, defense procurement, foreign affairs, and some construction programs, require annual authorizing legislation. Provision of budget authority is usually a separate, subsequent action. Generally, budget authority becomes available each year only as voted by the Congress in appropriation acts. However, in a number of cases the Congress has voted permanent budget authority, under which funds become available annually without further Congressional action. Many trust fund appropriations are permanent, as are a number of Federal fund appropriations, such as the appropriation to pay interest on the public debt. Congressional review of the budget begins when the President transmits his budget estimates to the Congress within 15 days after the start of each new session in January, as required by law. Under the procedures established by the Congressional Budget Act of 1974, the Congress considers budget totals before completing action on individual appropriations. The act requires each standing committee of the Congress to report on budget estimates to the House and Senate Budget Committees by March 15. It also requires the Congressional Budget Office to submit a fiscal policy report to the two budget committees. The Congress adopts the first concurrent budget resolution to guide the Congress in its subsequent consideration of appropriations and revenue measures. The first budget resolution, which is scheduled to be adopted by May 15, sets targets for total receipts and for budget authority and outlays, in total and by functional category. Congressional consideration of requests for appropriations and for changes in revenue laws occurs first in the House of Representatives. The Appropriations Committee, through its subcommittees, studies the proposals for appropriations and examines in detail each agency's performance. The Ways and Means Committee reviews proposed revenue measures. Each committee then recommends the action to be taken by the House of Representatives. When the appropriation and tax bills are approved by the House, they are forwarded to the Senate, where a similar review process is followed. In case of disagreement between the two Houses of the Congress, a conference committee (consisting of Members of both bodies) meets to resolve the differences. The report of the conference committee is returned to both Houses for approval. When the measure is agreed to, first in the House and then in the Senate, it is ready to be transmitted to the President as an enrolled bill, for his approval or veto. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-5 After action has been completed on all or most money bills, the Congress adopts a second concurrent budget resolution containing a budget ceiling on total budget authority and outlays, and a floor on budget receipts. This resolution, which is scheduled to be adopted by September 15, may retain or revise any of the levels set earlier in the year. A budget resolution may include a reconciliation directive that requires various committees of the Congress to reduce budget authority or increase revenues by specified amounts and to report changes in legislation needed to achieve the dollar targets in the reconciliation directive. The legislative changes reported by the individual committees are then compiled into an omnibus reconciliation bill. For the past two years, the Congress has enacted omnibus reconciliation acts in response to directives in budget resolutions. After completing action on the second budget resolution, the Congress may not consider any spending or revenue legislation that would breach the totals specified in this resolution. The Congress may, however, adopt a new budget resolution changing the levels set by the second resolution. If action on appropriations is not completed by the beginning of the fiscal year, the Congress enacts a continuing resolution to provide authority for the affected agencies to continue operations up to a specified date or until their regular appropriations are enacted. Budget execution and control.—Once approved, the President's budget, as modified by the Congress, becomes the basis for the financial plan for the operations of each agency during the fiscal year. Under the law, most budget authority and other budgetary resources are made available to the agencies of the executive branch through an apportionment system. The Director of OMB apportions (distributes) appropriations and other budgetary resources to each agency by time periods or by activities. The objective of the apportionment system is to ensure the effective and orderly use of available resources and to preclude the need for additional appropriations. Nonetheless, changes in laws or other factors may indicate the need for additional appropriations during the year, and supplemental requests may have to be sent to the Congress. On the other hand, reserves may be established under the Antideficiency Act to provide for contingencies or to effect savings made possible by changes in requirements or greater efficiency of operations. Amounts may also be withheld from obligation for policy or other reasons. The Impoundment Control Act of 1974 provides that the executive branch, in regulating the rate of spending, must report to the Congress any deferrals or proposed rescissions of budget au- 7-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 thority, that is, any effort through administrative action to postpone or eliminate spending authorized by law. Review and audit—This is the final phase in the budget process. The individual agencies are responsible for assuring—through their own review and control systems—that the obligations they incur and the resulting outlays follow the provisions of the authorizing legislation and appropriations, as well as other laws and regulations relating to the obligation and expenditure of funds. Agencies are assisted in this responsibility by their audit staffs. Audit activities of major departments and agencies are directed by statutory Inspectors General, appointed by the President. OMB reviews program and financial reports and keeps abreast of agency programs to help assure that program objectives are attained. In addition, the General Accounting Office (GAO), as an agent of the Congress, regularly audits, examines, and evaluates Government programs. Its findings and recommendations are made to the Congress, to OMB, and to the agencies concerned. The GAO also monitors the executive branch's reports to the Congress on deferrals and proposed rescissions. COVERAGE OF THE BUDGET TOTALS Agencies and programs.—The budget totals cover agencies and programs (including Government corporations) no matter how funded, except for the following off-budget Federal entities: Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund Rural Telephone Bank Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Postal Service fund United States Railway Association 1 Federal Financing Bank Synthetic Fuels Corporation2 Strategic Petroleum Reserve3 The off-budget Federal entities listed above are discussed in Part 6 of the Budget. Schedules and financial statements are presented in Part IV of the Budget Appendix. Except for the Federal Reserve Board, these data are also presented in selected tables throughout the budget documents. 1 Amounts made available for investments in Conrail securities, which comprise almost all of the Association's activity after 1977, are included in the budget totals. 2 Budget authority and outlays for the Corporation are not included in the budget totals. However, cash requirements of the Corporation are met by borrowing from the Secretary of the Treasury. Such borrowing is financed by appropriations to the Secretary, and thus is reflected as budget authority and outlays within the budget totals. 3 Budget authority and outlays for the acquisition of petroleum for the Reserve are not included in the budget totals after 1981. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-7 The budget totals do not include transactions of privately owned, Government-sponsored enterprises, such as the Federal land banks and Federal home loan banks. However, privately owned Government-sponsored enterprises are discussed in Part 6 of the Budget, and financial statements are presented in Part VI of the Budget Appendix. Functional classification.*—The functional classification arrays budgetary data according to the major purpose served by the unit being classified. In accordance with the Congressional Budget Act of 1974, the Congress must pass resolutions establishing budget targets by these functional categories. The following criteria are used in establishing and in assigning activities to functional categories: • A function must have a common end or ultimate purpose addressed to an important national need. (The emphasis is on what the Federal Government seeks to accomplish rather than the means of accomplishment, what is purchased, or the clientele or geographic area served.) • A function must be of continuing national importance and the amounts attributable must be significant. • Each basic unit of classification (generally the appropriation or fund account) is classified into the single best or predominant purpose and assigned to only one subfunction. However, when an account is large and serves more than one major purpose, it may be subdivided into two or more subfunctions. • Activities and programs are normally classified by common purpose (or function) regardless of which agencies conduct the activities. National needs presentation.—Section 601 of the Congressional Budget Act of 1974 requires that the budget for each fiscal year shall contain a presentation of budget authority, proposed budget authority, outlays, proposed outlays, and descriptive information in terms of— (1) a detailed structure of national needs, which shall be used to reference all agency missions and programs; (2) agency missions; and (3) basic programs. To meet the requirement of law for a national needs presentation, the budget functional classification was refined to focus more sharply on end purposes and accomplishments. Further refinements in the classification are made as circumstances warrant. Each major function is described in the context of national needs 4 A discussion of this subject is also found in Part 5 of this volume. 7-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 being served, and subfunctions are described in the context of major missions devoted to serving national needs. In the national needs presentation, Federal programs are discussed in terms of national needs and the functional classification. In this context, a single program may be identified as serving several national needs even though classified in a single function. For example, medicare, primarily a health program, is identified as meeting the national need for improved health care. However, it also provides a form of income security by paying for medical bills and, hence, also can be identified as meeting the national need for income security. A discussion of Federal programs based solely on the functional classification system would have been limited to discussing each program in only one category. The national needs presentation can be found in Part 5 ("Meeting National Needs: the Federal Program by Function"). Types of funds.—Agency activities are financed through Federal funds and through trust funds, both of which are included in the budget. Federal funds are of several types. The general fund is credited with receipts not earmarked by law for a specific purpose and with the proceeds of general borrowing. It is charged with payments from appropriations. Special funds contain Federal receipts earmarked for specific purposes, other than for carrying out a cycle of operations. Public enterprise (revolving) funds finance a cycle of business-type operations in which outlays generate collections, primarily from the public. Intragovernmental funds, including revolving, management, and consolidated working funds, finance operations within and between Government agencies and are credited with collections from other Government accounts. Intragovernmental revolving funds are credited with collections earmarked by law to carry out a cycle of business-type operations within and between Government agencies. Trust funds are established to account for the receipt and expenditure of monies by the Government for carrying out specific purposes and programs in accordance with the terms of a statute or trust agreement. These monies are not available for the general purposes of the Government. Within the category of trust funds, there is a special subcategory of trust revolving funds, which are credited with trust-type collections earmarked by law to carry out a cycle of business-type operations. Current expense and capital investment—The budget includes spending for both current operating expenses and capital investment, such as the purchase of lands, structures, and equipment. It THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-9 also includes capital investment in the form of lending and the purchase of investments.5 BUDGET AUTHORITY AND RELATED TRANSACTIONS Budget authority.—Government agencies—whether or not they are included in the budget totals—are permitted to enter into obligations requiring either immediate or future payment of money only when they have been granted authority to do so by law. This authority is usually provided as budget authority. In addition, collections specifically authorized to be credited to appropriation and fund accounts, while not scored as budget authority, are also available for obligation. Budget authority permits obligations to be incurred. The amounts of budget authority requested are determined by the nature of the programs or projects being financed. For activities such as operations and maintenance, entitlement programs, and continuing research programs, for which the cost depends upon the program level planned for a fiscal year, the amount of budget authority requested covers the obligations expected to be incurred during the year. For most projects that are separate and distinct units, particularly direct Federal major procurement and construction projects, "full funding" is requested. That is, funds are requested in sufficient amounts at the time the project is initiated to complete it, regardless of the expected time of completion. Budget authority usually takes the form of appropriations, which permit obligations to be incurred and payments to be made. Some budget authority is in the form of contract authority, which permits obligations in advance of appropriations, but requires a subsequent appropriation or the collection of receipts to liquidate (pay) these obligations. There is also authority to borrow; such budget authority permits obligations to be incurred and liquidated by using funds that are borrowed, generally from the Treasury. It is not in order for either House of the Congress to consider any bill, with certain exceptions, that provides new borrowing or contract authority unless that bill also provides that such new spending authority will be effective only to the extent or in such amounts as provided in appropriations acts. Most appropriations for current operations are made available for obligation only during a specified fiscal year (annual appropriations). Some are for a specified longer period (multiple-year appropriations). Others, including most of those for construction, some for research, and many trust fund appropriations, are made availa5 Additional information on these categories of outlays is provided in "Special Analysis D, Investment, Operating and Other Budget Outlays," which is available from the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. 7-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 ble for obligation until the amount appropriated has been expended or until the objectives have been attained (no-year appropriations). Budget authority can be made available by the Congress for obligation and disbursement during a fiscal year from a succeeding year's appropriation (advance funding). For many education programs, Congress provides forward funding—budget authority made available for obligation in one fiscal year for the financing of ongoing grant programs during the succeeding fiscal year. When advantageous to the Federal Government, an appropriation is provided by the Congress for use in a fiscal year, or more, beyond the fiscal year for which the appropriation act is passed (advance appropriations). Accounts in which budget authority is made available on these bases are listed in Part V of the Budget Appendix. When budget authority is made available by the Congress for a specific period of time, any part that is not obligated during that period expires and cannot be used later. Congressional actions that continue the availability of unobligated amounts that have expired or would otherwise expire are known as reappropriations. The amounts involved are counted as new budget authority in the fiscal year of the legislation in which the reappropriation action is included, regardless of when the amounts were originally appropriated or when they would otherwise lapse. A rescission is a legislative action that cancels new budget authority or balances of budget authority previously made available, prior to the time the authority would otherwise have expired. Rescissions are offset against new budget authority becoming available in arriving at the total of budget authority for each year. A deferral is an executive branch action or inaction—including the establishment of reserves under the Antideflciency Act—that delays the obligation and expenditure of funds within the year that the action is taken. Most authority to obligate funds is enacted by the Congress during or immediately preceding the fiscal year in which it becomes available (current authority). Most current authority is granted year by year. Some budget authority in Federal funds and most budget authority in trust funds becomes available from time to time as the result of previously enacted legislation and does not require current action by the Congress (permanent authority). Such authority is presented as "current" in the year in which the legislation is enacted and "permanent" in succeeding years. The amount of budget authority is usually stated specifically in the legislation that makes it available (definite authority). In some cases the legislation permits the amount to be determined by subsequent circumstances (indefinite authority). Examples of the latter type are authority to borrow that is limited only to the amount of THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-11 borrowing that may be outstanding at any time, the appropriation for interest on the public debt, and the trust fund appropriation equal to receipts under the Federal Insurance Contributions Act (social security). Indefinite budget authority is recorded in the amount of receipts collected or estimated to be collected each year in the case of special and trust funds, and in the amount needed to finance obligations incurred or estimated to be incurred in the case of certain appropriations, contract authority, and authority to borrow. Obligations incurred.— Following the enactment of budget authority and the completion of required apportionment action, obligations are incurred by Government agencies. Such obligations include the current liabilities for salaries and wages and interest; agreements to make loans; contracts for the purchase of supplies and equipment, construction and the acquisition of land, and other arrangements requiring the payment of money. Outlays.—Obligations generally are liquidated by the issuance of checks or the disbursement of cash; such payments are called outlays. In lieu of issuing checks, obligations may also be liquidated (and outlays recorded) by the maturing of interest coupons in the case of some bonds, or by the issuance of bonds, debentures, or notes (or increases in the redemption value of bonds or debentures outstanding). Payments for tax credits in excess of tax liabilities are treated as outlays rather than as an adjustment to budget receipts. Outlays during a fiscal year may be for payment of obligations incurred in prior years or in the same year. Outlays, therefore, flow in part from unexpended balances of prior year budget authority and in part from budget authority provided for the year in which the money is spent.6 Total budget outlays are stated net of offsetting collections and exclude outlays of off-budget Federal entities. Balances of authority.—Not all budget authority enacted for a fiscal year is obligated and paid out in the same year. In multipleyear or no-year accounts, budget authority that is still available for obligation (unobligated balances) may be carried forward for obligation in the following year. The obligated balance is that portion of the budget authority that has been obligated but not yet liquidated (paid). For example, in the case of salaries and wages, 1 to 3 weeks elapse between the time of obligation and the time of payment. In the case of major procurement and construction, several years may 6 This process is depicted on the chart, "Relation of Budget Authority to Outlays—1983 Budget," in Part 6 of this volume. 7-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 elapse. Obligated balances of budget authority are carried forward until the obligations are subsequently paid.7 Therefore, a change in the amount of budget authority for a given year does not necessarily result in a similar change in either the obligations incurred or the budget outlays of that same year. A change in budget authority in any one year may have an effect on obligations for 2 or more years, and may affect budget outlays for an even longer period. Allocations between agencies.—In some cases, an agency may share in the administration of a program for which appropriations are made to another agency or to the President. This is made possible by the establishment of allocations from the "parent" account, that is, the account to which the appropriation was made. Obligations incurred under such allocations are included with the parent account in the Budget (without separate identification) and in the Budget Appendix (where the total obligations of each participating agency are identified separately under the parent account). THE CREDIT BUDGET8 The credit budget is a presentation of direct loan obligations and loan guarantee commitments that provides a framework for making planning and policy decisions on the extent of Federal credit. It also provides a means to analyze, evaluate, and control Federal credit activity. Development of the credit budget is integrated thoroughly with the executive budget process. The credit budget totals and limitations on credit activity proposed for enactment in appropriations language are transmitted to the Congress as part of the President's budget. Since initiation of the credit budget, Congress has voted nonbinding targets in the concurrent budget resolutions for total direct loan obligations and total loan guarantee commitments. Actual control of credit program levels, however, remains with authorizing legislation and appropriations acts. Concepts used in the credit budget—"The credit budget totals are presented in two parts: total direct loan obligations and total loan guarantee commitments. These totals are based on the following concepts: • All direct loan and loan guarantee activities of the Government are included. The credit budget makes no distinction between on-budget and off-budget Federal entities; 7 Additional information on balances of budget authority is provided in a separate report. "Balances of Budget Authority," which can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service shortly after the budget is transmitted. 8 The credit budget is discussed further in Parts 5 and 6 of this volume. Credit schedules and proposed credit limitations in appropriations language are presented in the Budget Appendix. Additional information is provided in "Special Analysis F, Federal Credit Programs," which is available from the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-13 • The credit budget totals represent gross levels of credit activity, without offsets for repayments and other recoveries. By excluding recoveries, the credit budget measures the current level of program activity and enables control to be based on a measure over which the Government has discretion—new extensions of credit; • The credit budget is based on the amount of obligations incurred for direct loans and the amount of commitments for loan guarantees. Obligations for direct loans result from agreements requiring the Government to disburse a loan immediately or at some future time. Commitments for loan guarantees are agreements entered into by the Government to guarantee a loan at such time as the borrower or lender fulfills stipulated preconditions. Unlike direct loan obligations, loan guarantee commitments are excluded from the President's budget totals. They create Government liabilities of a contingent nature that result in obligations and outlays only in the event of a borrower default. Direct loan obligations and loan guarantee commitments represent points at which the Government legally becomes bound to extend credit; • The amount of loan guarantees presented in the budget is calculated on the basis of the full principal amount of the loan involved, even though the loan guarantee may extend to only a portion of the principal. This is done in order to represent the full amount of credit allocated to a particular purpose through a Federal lending program. Limits on Federal credit programs.—Separate limitations on the amount of new direct loan obligations and commitments for loan guarantees are proposed for enactment in the appropriations language for the accounts that support credit activities. These limitations, if enacted, place annual ceilings on credit programs that, in most cases, are otherwise relatively unlimited. Appropriation bill limitations are proposed for about two-thirds of the credit budget totals. The exemptions are primarily for entitlements, emergency or disaster, and insurance programs. These programs can be controlled, however, through changes in authorizing legislation. COLLECTIONS In general.—Amounts collected are classified into two major categories: • Budget receipts, which are compared with budget outlays in calculating the budget surplus or deficit. 7-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 • Offsetting collections, which are deducted from gross disbursements in calculating budget outlays. Budget receipts.—These are collections from the public that result from the exercise of the Government's sovereign or governmental powers. These collections, also called governmental receipts, consist primarily of tax receipts (including social insurance taxes), but also include receipts from court fines, certain licenses, and deposits of earnings by the Federal Reserve System. Gifts and contributions (as distinguished from payments for services or costsharing deposits by State and local governments) are also counted as budget receipts. Offsetting collections.—These are collections from other Government accounts or the public that are of a business-type or marketoriented nature. They are classified into two major categories: offsetting collections credited to appropriation or fund accounts and offsetting receipts (that is, amounts deposited in receipt accounts). In general, the distinction between these two major categories is that collections credited to appropriation or fund accounts can be used without further appropriation action by the Congress, whereas funds in receipt accounts cannot be used without being appropriated. Offsetting collections credited to appropriation or fund accounts occur in two circumstances: • Reimbursements.—When authorized by law, amounts collected in advance or after materials or services are furnished (for example, advances received from the public to pay expenses of providing information under the Freedom of Information Act) are treated as reimbursements to appropriations. These collections are netted against obligations in determining outlays from such appropriations. • Revolving funds.—-In the three types of revolving fundspublic enterprise, intragovernmental, and trust revolving— collections are netted against obligations, and outlays are netted accordingly. Offsetting receipts, generally, are deducted from budget authority and outlays by function or subfunction and by agency. Offsetting receipts are subdivided into two categories, as follows: • Proprietary receipts from the public.—These are collections from the public—deposited in receipt accounts of the general fund, special funds, or trust funds—that arise out of the business-type or market-oriented activities of the Government (for example, loan repayments, interest, sale of property and products, charges for nonregulatory services, and rents and royalties). Such collections are not counted as budget receipts but, rather, are offset against budget authority and outlays by THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-15 agency and by function. There are two exceptions to this rule. Receipts from rents and royalties from Outer Continental Shelf lands and additional receipts from Federal surplus real property disposition are deducted from total budget authority and outlays for the Government as a whole rather than from any single agency or function. • Intragovernmental transactions.—These are payments into receipt accounts from governmental appropriation or fund accounts. They are treated as offsets to budget authority and outlays, rather than as budget receipts. Intragovernmental transactions may be intrabudgetary (where the payment and receipt both occur within the budgetary universe) or result from receipts from off-budget Federal entities in those cases where the payment is made by a Federal entity whose budget authority and outlays are excluded from the budget totals. Normally, intragovernmental transactions are deducted from both the outlays and the budget authority for the agency receiving the payment. However, in two cases intragovernmental transactions are not deducted from the figures of any agency or function. Intragovernmental transactions that involve agencies' payments (including payments by off-budget Federal entities) as employers into employee retirement trust funds or agencies' payments of interest to nonrevolving trust funds appear as special deduct lines in computing total budget authority and outlays for the Government. Intrabudgetary transactions are subdivided into three categories: (1) interfund transactions, where the payment is from one fund group (either Federal funds or trust funds) to a receipt account in the other fund group; (2) Federal intrafund transactions, where the payment and receipt both occur within the Federal fund group; and (3) trust intrafund transactions, where the payment and receipt both occur within the trust fund group. OTHER TRANSACTIONS Borrowing and repayments.—Borrowing and debt repayments are not treated as receipts or outlays. If they were, the budget could be balanced simply by borrowing. This rule applies both to borrowing in the form of public debt securities and to specialized borrowing in the form of agency securities, including the sale of certificates representing participation in a pool of loans. However, some sales of participation certificates, which otherwise would be treated as borrowing, are required by law to be treated as a sale of assets. This results in the proceeds of such sales being credited to an appropriation or fund account with a corresponding reduction in outlays and in the requirement for new budget authority. 7-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 Exercise of the monetary power.—Seigniorage is the profit from coining money. It is the difference between the value of coins as money and their cost of production. Seigniorage on coins arises from the exercise of the Government's monetary powers and differs from receipts coming from the public, since there is no corresponding payment by another party. Therefore, seigniorage is excluded from receipts and treated as a means of financing a deficit or as a supplementary amount to be applied to reduce debt or to increase the cash in the Treasury in a year with a surplus. The increment (profit) resulting from the sale of gold as a monetary asset is treated like seigniorage, since the value of gold is determined by its value as a monetary asset rather than as a commodity. Liabilities in deposit fund accounts.—Certain accounts outside the budget, known as deposit funds, are established to record amounts held in suspense temporarily (for example, proceeds from mineral leases on the Outer Continental Shelf to which title is in dispute) or held by the Government as agent for others (for example, State and local income taxes withheld from Federal employees' salaries and payroll deductions for the purchase of savings bonds by civilian employees of the Government). Such transactions affect Treasury's cash balances even though they are not a part of the budget. To the extent that deposit fund balances are not invested, changes in the accounts are treated as a means of financing. Exchange of cash.—The Government's deposits with the International Monetary Fund are considered to be similar to cash assets. Therefore, the movement of money between the IMF and the Department of the Treasury is not considered in itself a receipt or an outlay, borrowing or lending. In a similar manner, the holdings of foreign currency by the Exchange Stabilization Fund are considered to be cash assets. Changes in these holdings are outlays only to the extent there is a realized loss and offsetting collections only to the extent there is a realized profit on the exchange. BASIS FOR BUDGET FIGURES In general—Outlays usually are stated in terms of checks issued, including cash paid in lieu of checks, net of offsetting collections received. The accrual basis is used generally for interest on the public debt held by private investors; however, interest on the public debt held by trust and other Government accounts is stated on a cash basis. When debt securities are issued at a discount (or at a premium), the difference between the sales price and the redemption value is treated as interest and is accrued evenly over time in the account that issued the securities. This budget incorporates the President's proposal that the Departments of Energy and Education be dismantled. Budget data for THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-17 these departments are included in the successor agencies for all three years. Appropriate information is presented in the Budget Appendix to identify the predecessor accounts. Data for 1981.—The 1981 column of this budget generally presents the actual transactions and balances as recorded in agency accounts and as summarized in the central financial reports prepared by the Department of the Treasury. Data for 1982.—Most of the regular appropriations acts for 1982 have been enacted. However, funding for activities covered by three appropriations bills (Labor, Health and Human Services, and Education and related agencies; Commerce, Justice, and State, the Judiciary, and related agencies; and Treasury, Postal Service and General Government) was provided in a continuing resolution that is effective through March 31, 1982. Supplemental appropriations are proposed in the 1983 budget for pay raises involving the Legislative Branch, the Judiciary, and the International Trade Commission and for additional amounts requested to meet previously unforeseen program costs throughout the Government. To the extent that supplemental appropriations for pay raises in 1982 will be needed for Executive Branch agencies, requests will be submitted to the Congress after transmittal of the budget. Where the word "enacted" is used with reference to 1982, as in tables 1 and 5 of Part 9 of the Budget, the amount generally represents budget authority already voted by the Congress. However, for the budget accounts covered by the 1982 continuing resolution, the amount is based on the full year effect of appropriations available under the continuing resolution. In the case of indefinite appropriations, the enacted sums include the amounts likely to be required. Where the word "estimate" is used, the amounts include enacted budget authority and requested supplemental. Data for 1983.—This budget includes complete estimates for 1983. Part I of the Budget Appendix generally includes the proposed appropriation language for the various items identified in the budget. In some instances, estimates are included in the budget schedules without appropriation language for 1982 and 1983. For these, proposed legislation may be required or the estimated amounts will be requested later when the requirements are known. In certain tables of the budget, the items for later transmittal and the related outlays are separately identified. Estimates of the total requirements for 1982 and 1983 include both the amounts formally requested and the amounts planned for later transmittal. Data for 1984 through 1987.—To place emphasis on longer term objectives and plans consistent with the multi-year budget planning system, this budget presents estimates through 1987. These 7-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 data often reflect specific Presidential policy determinations and are shown in a number of budget tables. Allowances.—Lump sum allowances are included in the tables to cover expected additional changes, such as civilian pay increases, and for expected additional reductions associated with management improvements. The allowance for civilian agency pay raises includes an estimate of the additional amounts that will be required for pay raises that are effective in 1982 for which specific requests will be made later and for pay raises anticipated in 1983 and the years beyond for employees of civilian agencies of the Government. Separate allowances for pay raises are shown for the military and civilian employees of the Department of Defense and for the military employees of the Coast Guard and are included in the figures of the Departments of Defense and Transportation, respectively. These increases are not reflected in the various program appropriation requests since the detailed amounts have not yet been determined. An allowance for relatively uncontrollable programs is shown separately, as required by the Congressional Budget Act. The estimates for such programs are zero because the probability of net decreases or net increases for such programs is believed to be equal. Other allowances contain estimates of expected additional savings from further elimination of fraud, waste, abuse; for undistributed anticipated debt collections; and, in fiscal years 1985 through 1987, for further reductions in Federal employment. Allowances are also shown for the Department of Defense. Budget authority and outlays included in the allowance-section are never appropriated as undistributed allowances, but rather indicate the estimated budget authority and outlays that may be requested. PART 8 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-1 360-000 0 - 82 - 2H EXPLANATORY NOTE This tabulation contains information on budget authority (BA) and outlays (O) for each appropriation and fund account. The budget authority in this tabulation takes account of certain transfers between appropriations. All budget authority items are definite appropriations except where otherwise indicated. Also, budget authority and outlay data for off-budget Federal entities are presented at the end of this table. Within the Federal Financing Bank (FFB) presentation, there is a distribution of its budget authority and outlays to the accounts in the various agencies that are provided credit services by the FFB. Functional code numbers are shown for each account as a cross reference to tables 12 and 13, where the figures are summarized by functional classification. Types of funds in the budget and the deduct entries at the end of each chapter of this tabulation are explained in Part 7. Congressional action in the appropriation process occassionally takes the form of a limitation on the use of a trust fund or other fund, or of an appropriation to liquidate contract authority. Amounts for such items, which do not affect budget authority, are included here in parentheses and identified in the stub column, but are not included in the totals. 8-2 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-3 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars) 1982 estimate 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate Legislative Branch Senate Federal funds General and Special Funds: Compensation of Members, Senate 801 Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Mileage of the Vice President and Senators 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Expense allowances of the Vice President, President Pro Tempore, Majority and Minority Leaders and Majority and Minority Whips 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Salaries, officers and employees 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Office of the Legislative Counsel of the Senate Appropriation, current 801 Outlays Office of Senate Legal Counsel Appropriation, current 801 Outlays Expense allowance for the Secretary of the Senate, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the Senate and secretaries for the majority and 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Senate procedure 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Senate policy committees 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Automobiles and maintenance Appropriation, current Outlays Inquiries and investigations Appropriation, current Outlays Folding documents Appropriation, current BA BA 0 6,703 6,932 6,789 6,932 8,431 8,431 *60 60 BA 0 BA 0 19 33 45 45 45 45 BA 112,159 145,823 0 123,076 131,785 D 8,771 140,556 1,021 ^66 1,087 1,255 495 13 508 525 BA 922 0 804 BA 355 O 323 D BA O 8 8 BA 0 5 5 145,823 1,255 525 1,773 1,268 1,524 D 80 1,604 BA 0 57 49 75 75 96 BA 23,351 0 33,622 41,225 1,975 43,200 BA 57 128 0 109 134 BA 1,036 0 1,773 801 96 801 D 801 47,524 47,524 134 Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 134 8-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1983 estimate 1982 estimate 1981 actual Account and functional code Legislative Branch—Con. Senate—Con. Miscellaneous items Appropriation, current 801 Outlays.. Postage stamps Appropriation, current Outlays Stationery (revolving fund) Appropriation, current Outlays Congressional use of foreign currency, Senate Appropriation, permanent Outlays BA 15,204 32,561 39,543 0 28,720 32,561 39,543 BA 0 5 7 9 9 11 11 BA 0 142 121 43 43 51 51 BA 0 300 .. 342 .. 227,420 227,420 245,279 245,279 801 801 801 Public Enterprise Funds: Senate restaurant fund (revolving fund) Outlays Recording studio (revolving fund) Outlays Senate barber shops (revolving fund) Outlays 801 0 -301 .. 801 0 513 0 - 8 .. 801 Total Federal funds Senate BA 0 160,310 195,467 BA 0 121 121 BA 0 29,254 28,886 29,382 28,207 BA 0 210 210 201 House of Representatives Federal funds General and Special Funds: Payments to widows and heirs of deceased members of Congress 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Compensation of Members, House of Representatives 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Mileage of Members 801 Appropriation, current Outlays House leadership offices 801 Appropriation, current 72 201 BA 2,564 D 141 2,597 2,562 Outlays Salaries, officers and employees Appropriation, current 0 801 2,225 BA 35,146 Outlays Committee employees Appropriation, current.. 0 801 29,225 Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 0 28,112 2,726 2,617 36,165 D 1,651 36,369 34,228 BA 210 41,959 40,281 29,225 1,955 30,011 D 32,035 30,754 8-5 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. House of Representatives—Con. Committee on Appropriations (Studies and Investigations) 801 Appropriation, current BA Outlays Committee on the Budget (Studies) Appropriation, current Outlays Office of the Legislative Counsel Appropriation, current 3,669 3,685 3,750 0 2,924 3,554 3,600 BA 0 245 196 218 209 276 265 BA 2,202 2,390 .. 0 1,863 2,431 .. 801 801 Outlays Office of the Law Revision Counsel Appropriation, current 801 Outlays Members' clerk hire Appropriation, current 801 Outlays Allowances and expenses Appropriation, current 801 BA 521 525 0 478 533 BA 138,348 143,953 0 135,451 138,813 D 4,902 138,162 BA 77,977 81,866 0 73,312 78,856 ^ 5,987 c 1,279 76,981 A 5,987 0 324 _3 BA 41,500 Outlays 0 Compensation of Members and related administrative expenses 801 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Congressional use of foreign currency, House of Representatives 801 Appropriation, permanent BA Outlays 0 38,651 41,761 D 374 40,464 Outlays.. Stationery (revolving fund) Outlays Special and select committees Appropriation, current 801 House of Representatives restaurant fund (revolving fund) 801 Outlays 0 Recording studio (revolving fund) 801 Outlays 0 Beauty shop (revolving fund) 801 Outlays 0 House barber shops (revolving fund) 801 Outlays 0 78,591 801 43,600 41,856 29,432 29 432 1,900 1,492 1,900 1,900 -514 124 Public Enterprise Funds: See footnotes at end of table. 138,195 583 149 ... 23 23 ... -58 59 ... 1,900 1,900 8-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. House of Representatives—Con. Office of the attending physician (revolving fund) 801 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds House of Representatives 1 BA 0 362,880 347,721 382,165 367,959 381,707 367,692 BA 2,207 2,375 0 2,075 2,250 *55 2,305 BA 0 760 692 816 816 951 951 BA 0 6 6 6 6 6 BA 2,759 3,405 0 2,434 2,967 ^84 D 169 3,017 A U Joint Items Federal funds General and Special Funds: Joint Economic Committee Appropriation, current Outlays Joint Committee on Printing Appropriation, current Outlays Statements of appropriations, Senate Appropriation, current Outlays Joint Committee on Taxation Appropriation, current 801 801 801 Outlays Office of the Attending Physician Appropriation, current Outlays General expenses, Capitol police Appropriation, current Outlays Capitol Police Board Appropriation, current Outlays Education of pages Appropriation, current 2,375 801 3,269 801 BA 0 504 442 603 579 633 608 BA 0 834 699 887 852 945 907 BA 0 915 470 628 302 327 BA 245 244 271 801 801 801 D \\ Outlays Official mail costs 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Capitol Guide Service 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Statements of appropriations, House of Representatives 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Federal funds Joint Items See footnotes at end of table. 0 291 246 260 BA 0 52,033 43,433 75,095 72,091 55,196 52,988 BA 0 731 628 734 734 734 734 BA 0 7 7 7 7 7 BA 0 61,001 51,164 84,556 81,039 64,523 62,432 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-7 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Congressional Budget Office Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 801 Outlays BA 12,519 0 12,289 BA 0 12,868 D 408 13,100 16,352 3,327 3,760 C 27 4,540 3,376 3,934 4,465 BA 0 210 338 210 419 210 210 BA 7,462 11,814 0 7,875 10,100 C 179 D 51 9,859 BA 2,264 2,430 5,608 15,941 Architect of the Capitol Federal funds General and Special Funds: Office of the Architect of the Capitol: Salaries Appropriation, current Outlays Contingent expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Capitol buildings Appropriation, current Outlays Capitol grounds Appropriation, current 801 801 . 801 12,331 801 D Outlays 0 West central front of the Capitol 801 Outlays 0 Master plan for future development of the Capitol grounds and related areas 801 Outlays 0 Acquisition of property as an addition to the Capitol grounds 801 Appropriation, current BA Outlays Senate office buildings Appropriation, current 0 2,353 Z 2,595 28 123 78 8 11,500 0 12,785 Construction of an extension to the New Senate Office Building 801 Outlays 0 Acquisition of property as a site for parking facilities for the United States Senate 801 Outlays 0 41,218 4,500 11,497 4,000 B B 500 801 11,881 See footnotes at end of table. B 2 BA Outlays 5,625 14,851 11,500 C 374 16,269 ^ 5,000 A 29,273 5 25,383 22,085 6,500 A 9,489 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 estimate 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Architect of the Capitol—Con. Senate garage Appropriation, current Outlays House office buildings Appropriation, current 801 BA 0 19,899 C 568 21,069 20,814 104 BA 16,602 0 18,451 0 0 79 BA 18,606 0 17,748 Expansion of facilities, Capitol Power Plant 801 Outlays 0 Modifications and enlargement, Capitol Power Plant 801 Outlays 0 Memorial to Hale Boggs 801 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Alterations and improvements, buildings and grounds, to provide facilities for the physically handicapped 801 Outlays 0 Structural and mechanical care, Library buildings and grounds 801 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Library of Congress James Madison Memorial Building 801 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Architect of the Capitol 104 C 801 Outlays Acquisition of property, construction, and equipment, additional House Office Building 801 Outlays Installation of solar collectors in House office buildings 801 Outlays Capitol Power Plant 801 Appropriation, current Outlays.. 99 3 105 104 ... 1,388 ... 20,916 1,500 c 106 21,550 A 1,500 A 122 1,338 4,680 154 4,675 4,373 BA 0 2,932 76,638 113,262 BA 106,874 21,508 79 24 7 6 112 24,060 25,194 1,095 ... 797 8,715 C 138 9,140 700 5,137 5,505 2,019 100,160 145,431 97,670 115,319 111,989 C 213 D 4,011 123,109 129,657 Library of Congress Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, currentOutlays ; footnotes at end of table. 103,469 128,993 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-9 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Library of Congress—Con. Copyright Office: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 376 BA 10,201 Outlays 0 Congressional Research Service: Salaries and expenses 801 Appropriation, current BA 9,804 Outlays 0 Books for the blind and physically handicapped: Salaries and expenses 503 Appropriation, current BA 29,689 9,123 D 630 9,728 15,515 15,464 37,109 29,627 30,000 1,605 31,543 32,891 33,221 35,478 D c 36,723 10 ^153 Outlays 0 Collection and distribution of library materials (special foreign currency program) 503 Appropriation, current BA Outlays Furniture and furnishings Appropriation, current Outlays Payments to copyright owners Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Oliver Wendell Holmes devise fund Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 31,523 3,479 32,382 0 2,798 4,405 ^16 4,451 BA 0 1,686 6,341 1,089 3,097 33,472 4,438 1,563 1,850 4,908 503 376 BA 0 24,981 -2,672 23,000 80,000 23,000 23,000 BA 0 3 11 2 20 2 20 657 133 503 Intragovernmental Funds: Consolidated working fund Outlays Trust funds Gift and trust fund accounts Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Total Federal funds Library of Congress 503 0 503 Total Trust funds Library of Congress BA 0 BA 0 6,373 6,096 209,804 181,558 6,400 6,336 219,467 284,463 6,896 6,465 246,762 244,430 BA 0 6,373 6,096 6,400 6,336 6,896 6,465 BA 0 16,250 8,178 17,888 12,618 16,591 14,405 BA 0 82,400 58,514 84,843 71,982 90,247 81,480 Government Printing Office Federal funds General and Special Funds: Printing and binding Appropriation, current Outlays Congressional printing and binding Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 801 801 8-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Government Printing Office—Con. Office of Superintendent of Documents: Salaries and expenses 806 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Acquisition of site and general plans and designs of buildings 806 Outlays 0 Project planning 806 Outlays 0 24,000 18,180 27,120 ^303 25,423 28,889 28,084 4,600 41 Intragovernmental Funds: Government Printing Office revolving fund Outlays 806 0 -8,176 4,835 -327 122,650 76,696 130,154 119,499 135,727 123,642 BA 220,602 255,014 0 209,033 229,300 ^2,211 D 9,225 235,915 A 2,111 12,404 °381 12,756 15,083 Total Federal funds Government Printing Office... BA 0 General Accounting Office Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 801 Outlays 252,483 MOO United States Tax Court Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 752 Outlays Trust funds Tax Court judges survivors annuity fund Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays BA 11,094 0 10,856 15,013 602 BA 0 149 79 164 79 172 79 Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe: Salaries and expenses 801 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Botanic Garden: Salaries and expenses 801 Appropriation, current BA 450 336 404 550 550 580 1,644 2,311 C 56 2,165 Other Legislative Branch Agencies Federal funds General and Special Funds: Outlays See tootnotes at end of table. 0 1,620 1,827 1,997 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-11 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Other Legislative Branch Agencies—Con. Copyright Royalty Tribunal: Salaries and expenses 376 Appropriation, current BA 461 400 526 Outlays 0 436 *36 438 ^59 525 Cost-Accounting Standards Board: Salaries and expenses 801 Outlays 0 Temporary Commission on Financial Oversight of the District of Columbia-. Salaries and expenses 801 Outlays 0 Office of Technology Assessment: Salaries and expenses 801 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 168 1,649 11,183 14,100 2 4 2 4 2 13,738 15,739 15,535 15,584 16,803 17,202 2 4 2 4 2 1,251,236 1,213,785 1,426,254 1,505,277 1,474,920 1,459,533 11,530 Total Trust funds Other Legislative Branch Agencies BA 0 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Intrafund transactions BA 0 803 BA Q 902 Proprietary receipts from the public jjA 503 BA n 801 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) See footnotes at end of table. -223 12,019 D 250 12,593 Trust funds Office of Technology Assessment: Contributions and donations 801 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Other Legislative Branch Agencies BA 0 2 cnc — 626 -1881 cc. — 00/ Acn — 450 -302 no —ifO {*A -4,081 -4,050 BA 0 1,243,981 1,206,530 1,421,354 1,500,377 BA 0 6,524 6,175 6,568 6,417 13,900 ACn — 450 -302 c con —0,00V -4,053 1,463,535 1,448,148 7,072 6,546 8-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 estimate 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Summary—Con. Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 503 BA 0 902 BA 0 -3,796 -4,478 -4,971 -88 -192 -192 Total Trust funds BA 0 2,640 2,291 1,898 1,747 1,969 1,383 Total Legislative Branch BA 0 1,246,621 1,208,821 1,423,252 1,502,124 1,465,444 1,449,531 BA 11,840 12,922 0 10,602 11,208 D 427 11,358 BA 1,568 Outlays 0 Acquisition of property as an addition to the grounds of the Supreme Court building 752 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 1,783 The Judiciary Supreme Court of the United States Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Care of the building and grounds Appropriation, current 752 12,622 752 Total Federal funds Supreme Court of the United States BA 0 1,654 C 32 2,550 2,017 2,027 645 645 ... 14,053 12,385 13,321 14,553 14,939 14,649 BA 1,911 2,660 0 1,703 1,950 D 58 2,000 BA 5,150 5,730 0 5,035 5,200 D 166 5,351 Court of Customs and Patent Appeals Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 752 Outlays 2,632 United States Court of International Trade Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 752 5,717 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-13 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate The Judiciary—Con. Court of Claims Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 752 Outlays.. BA 5,793 0 5,463 BA 56,000 5,900 D 270 6,130 8,106 59,400 2,850 62,253 63,500 263,400 12,900 272,766 297,100 26,500 2,350 ^670 28,703 A 1,693 34,180 36,000 41,141 43,500 44,257 48,000 47,729 41,827 41,045 55,600 53,722 70,400 68,559 24,551 24,403 1,272 7,987 Courts of Appeals, District Courts, and other Judicial Services Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries of judges Appropriation, current.. 752 Outlays Salaries of supporting personnel Appropriation, current 752 Outlays Defender services Appropriation, current 752 0 55,008 BA 232,931 0 230,734 BA 24,000 D D 63,500 296,532 A Outlays.. 0 Fees of jurors and commissioners 752 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Expenses of Operation and Maintenance of the Courts 752 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Salaries and expenses of magistrates 752 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Bankruptcy courts, salaries and expenses 752 Appropriation, current BA 27,481 68,294 0 68,350 81,200 3,500 83,820 BA 0 3,645 2,842 3,750 3,629 4,500 4,328 BA 0 105,500 97,538 123,000 120,631 158,100 153,325 1,821 1,240 D Outlays Services for drug dependent offenders Appropriation, current Outlays Space and facilities Appropriation, current Outlays.. Furniture and furnishings Outlays Speedy trial planning Outlays Pretrial services agencies, The Judiciary Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 32,647 A 657 94,100 93,120 752 752 752 752 22 752 123 774 8-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 estimate 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate The Judiciary—Con. Courts of Appeals, District Courts, and other Judicial Services—Con. Special rail reorganization court Outlays 752 Total Federal funds Courts of Appeals, District Courts, and other Judicial Services 275 489 623 BA 0 592,748 590,783 678,620 675,249 769,880 761,020 BA 17,150 20,000 25,500 0 16,319 20,311 24,978 17,766 17,163 20,750 20,311 25,500 24,978 BA 9,222 8,598 0 7,742 7,600 ^170 7,120 0 4 76 BA 0 10,696 1,823 10,631 2,646 10,355 1,975 BA 0 646,643 640,278 734,005 730,790 835,413 825,191 Administrative Office of the United States Courts Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current.... Outlays Judicial survivors' annuity program Appropriation, current Outlays 752 752 BA 0 616 616 0 228 Intragovernmental Funds: Consolidated working fund Outlays 752 Total Federal funds Administrative Office of the United States Courts BA 0 .. Federal Judicial Center Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 752 Outlays 8,208 Bicentennial Expenses, The Judiciary Federal funds General and Special Funds: Bicentennial activities Outlays 806 .. Judiciary Trust Funds Trust funds Judicial survivors' annuities fund Appropriation permanent indefinite Outlays Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) See footnotes at end of table. 602 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-15 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate The Judiciary—Con. Summary—Con. Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 750 BA 902 Total Federal funds f BA 0 Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) BA 0 Interfund transactions -3212 -3111 -265 -200 -200 643,166 636,801 730,694 727,479 832,102 821,880 10,631 2,646 10,355 1,975 741,325 730,125 842,457 823,855 10,696 1,823 602 BA 0 , ... -1'346 BA 0 652,516 637,278 Total The Judiciary -3111 Executive Office of the President Compensation of the President Federal funds General and Special Funds: Compensation of the President Appropriation, current Outlays 802 BA 0 250 268 250 272 250 250 BA 0 21,278 20,810 18,877 18,877 22,164 22,164 BA 0 3,374 3,277 3,527 3,467 3,878 3,828 BA 0 168 236 178 212 281 254 The White House Office Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays 802 Executive Residence at the White House Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operating expenses Appropriation, current Outlays 802 Official Residence of the Vice President Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operating expenses Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 802 8-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Executive Office of the President—Con. Special Assistance to the President Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays 802 BA 0 1,591 1,477 1,385 1,434 1,483 1,394 BA 0 2,205 1,975 1,954 1,961 2,115 2,115 2,542 2,602 919 1,161 926 1,168 -3,508 1,551 Council of Economic Advisers Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays 802 Council on Environmental Quality and Office of Environmental Quality Federal funds General and Special Funds: Council on Environmental Quality and Office of Environmental Quality 802 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Intragovernmental Funds: Consolidated working fund Outlays 802 0 Total Federal funds Council on Environmental Quality and Office of Environmental Quality BA 0 2,542 -906 919 2,712 926 1,168 BA 0 5,302 6,161 478 BA 0 2,927 2,733 2,500 2,760 2,653 2,618 BA 0 3,839 3,268 3,356 3,442 3,976 3,994 Council on Wage and Price Stability Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays 802 Office of Policy Development Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays 802 National Security Council Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 802 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-17 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Executive Office of the President—Con. Office of Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays 802 BA 0 12,200 11,614 11,722 11,370 13,640 13,231 BA 0 33,484 32,635 32,079 31,694 36,109 34,136 BA 0 2,628 2,578 2,355 2,663 2,486 2,486 BA 0 36,112 35,213 34,434 34,357 38,595 36,622 34,434 34,357 38,595 36,622 Office of Management and Budget Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses 802 Appropriation, current Outlays Office of Federal Procurement Policy: Salaries and expenses 802 Appropriation, current Outlays Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 802 BA 0 Total Office of Management and Budget BA 0 Qn • ~yu 36,022 35,123 Office of Science and Technology Policy Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays 802 BA 0 2,063 1,632 1,578 1,578 BA 9,360 9,000 0 8,329 8,585 0 -2 1,839 1,839 Office of the United States Trade Representative Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 802 Outlays Special Action Office for Drug Abuse Prevention Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 2 5 554 16 * 10,100 9,542 8-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1982 estimate Executive Office of :he 1 President—Con Special Action Office for Drug Abuse Prevention—Con. Special fund for drug abuse Outlays 554 Total Federal funds Special Action Office for Drug Abuse Prevention 0 -360 103 0 -362 119 BA 0 103,211 95,725 89,680 91,624 101,900 99,019 BA 0 -90 BA 0 103,121 95,635 89,680 91,624 101,900 99,019 150,000 295,000 289,000 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 802 Total Executive Office of the President Funds Appropriated to the President Appalachian Regional Development Programs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Appalachian regional development programs Appropriation, current Outlays Public Enterprise Funds: Appalachian housing fund Outlays 452 BA 0 299,300 336,779 452 0 Total Federal funds Appalachian Regional Development Programs 16 1,696 BA 0 299,300 336,795 150,000 296,696 289,000 BA 0 358,449 400,590 301,694 406,000 325,000 381,000 BA 0 802 -43 84 92 BA 0 358,449 400,590 301,694 406,000 325,000 381,000 Disaster Relief Federal funds General and Special Funds: Disaster relief Appropriation, current Outlays 453 Trust funds Bequests and gifts Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 453 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) See footnotes at end of table. THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-19 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1982 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President—Con. Disaster Relief—Con. Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 450 BA 0 902 BA o Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Total Disaster Relief • -300 300 -22 22 BA 0 358,449 400,590 301,372 405,678 324,678 380,678 BA 0 802 -43 84 92 BA 0 359,251 400,547 301,456 405,678 324,770 380,678 BA 0 1,000 179 880 811 1,000 1,000 Unanticipated Needs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Unanticipated needs Appropriation current Outlays 802 Expenses of Management Improvement Federal funds General and Special Funds: Expenses of management improvement Outlays 802 128 43 International Security Assistance Federal funds General and Special Funds: Foreign military sales credit Appropriation, current Outlays Economic support fund Appropriation, current, indefinite 152 BA 500,000 750,000 0 506,855 755,000 BA 2,095,500 2,564,000 BA 0 4,950 152 1,739,000 913,000 "2,886,000 Reappropriation Outlays Military assistance Appropriation, current 2,306,925 176,512 BA 110,200 Outlays International military education and training Appropriation, current 316,612 0 228,112 152 See footnotes at end of table. "107,500 203,117 38,488 BA 28,400 Outlays 2^682*825 2,052,679 152 0 39,715 22,422 "53,700 50,068 8-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President—Con. International Security Assistance—Con. Peacekeeping operations Appropriation, current, indefinite Outlays Military assistance, South Vietnamese Forces Outlays Assistance for relocation of facilities in Israel Contract authority, permanent, indefinite Outlays 152 BA 34,000 151,000 0 28,748 164,000 0 353 152 M3,474 53,500 152 BA 0 412,084 19,000 15,835 0 109,958 100,000 100,000 2,773,050 3,361,211 3,699,000 3,698,087 4,829,674 4,002,510 -218,220 -200,100 -157,800 -52,751 -74,500 -89,200 BA 0 2,502,079 3,090,240 3,424,400 3,423,487 4,582,674 3,755,510 BA 0 32,789 122,542 146,889 24,526 126,042 33,591 BA 0 520,000 489,713 700,000 742,000 945,000 828,000 BA 0 11,148 14,448 14,448 BA 0 251,547 278,634 221,230 256,822 284,100 269,254 BA 0 139,612 53,242 120,812 58,660 131,883 103,482 Public Enterprise Funds: Guarantee reserve fund Outlays 152 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 152 BA 0 902 BA 0 Total International Security Assistance International Development Assistance Multilateral Assistance Federal funds General and Special Funds: Contribution to the International bank for reconstruction and development 151 Appropriation, current Outlays Contribution to the International development association 151 Appropriation, current Outlays Contribution to the International finance corporation 151 Appropriation, current Outlays Contribution to the Inter-American development bank 151 Appropriation, current Outlays Contribution to the Asian development bank 151 Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-21 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President—Con. International Development Assistance—Con. Contribution to the African development fund Appropriation, current 151 BA Outlays Contribution to the African development bank 151 Appropriation, current Payment to the International Fund for Agricultural Development 151 Appropriation, current Outlays International organizations and programs 151 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Federal funds Multilateral Assistance 41,667 58,333 0 12,876 * 50,000 19,165 BA 17,987 BA 0 9,783 30,000 65,400 40,000 BA 0 262,380 325,761 215,438 219,735 173,250 183,797 BA 0 1,265,982 1,290,823 1,477,150 1,359,067 1,775,675 1,477,289 Bilateral Assistance Federal funds General and Special Funds: Functional development assistance program Appropriation, current 151 BA * 1,298,243 H Outlays.. Sahel development program Appropriation, current 0 1,105,922 BA 91,000 -8,129 1,097,955 ^ —270 1,190,208 ^ —1,600 151 93,757 * 93,757 H Outlays.. 0 54,795 Payment to the Foreign Service retirement and disability fund 153 Appropriation, current BA 27,852 -2,500 70,165 " -2,500 78,726 32,552 * 35,403 A Outlays.. 0 American schools and hospitals abroad 151 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 International disaster assistance 151 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Operating expenses of the International Development Cooperation Agency 151 Appropriation, current BA Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 0 18,487 1,031 41,917 ^ 1,031 35,403 20,000 23,667 20,000 20,152 7,500 17,591 87,250 56,670 27,000 47,115 25,000 43,400 300,578 331,000 278,012 338,966 * 376,000 366,814 8-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President—Con. International Development Assistance—Con. Trade and development program Appropriation, current 151 BA 6,907 0 2,881 10,500 6,528 K Outlays Peace Corps operating expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Miscellaneous appropriations Outlays 151 BA 0 105,531 99,028 105,000 104,844 97,500 97,500 0 12,770 9,092 5,000 0 3,472 7,132 3,000 0 3,611 2,126 1,977 -72,129 -73,705 -77,698 BA 15,826 12,000 0 2,332 14,124 151 Public Enterprise Funds: Development loans-revolving fund Outlays Housing and other credit guaranty programs Outlays Overseas Private Investment Corporation Outlays.. Inter-American Foundation Appropriation, current 151 151 151 151 Outlays * 10,634 12,976 I ntra govern mental Funds: Advance acquisition of property-revolving fund 151 Outlays.. 0 Office of the Inspector General of Foreign Assistance 151 Outlays 0 683 -1 139 BA 0 2 2 20 20 BA 0 -96 250 343 210 210 15,000 15,000 1,913,773 1,681,164 15,270 15,363 15,000 15,000 1,954,537 1,779,825 15,210 15,210 3,390,923 3,040,231 3,730,212 3,257,114 Trust funds Gifts and contributions, Inter-American Foundation 151 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Peace Corps miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Miscellaneous tmst funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 151 151 BA 0 Total Federal funds Bilateral Assistance BA 0 Total Trust funds Bilateral Assistance BA 0 238 4,230 1,832,925 1,587,319 240 4,136 BA 0 3,098,907 2,878,142 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public See footnotes at end of table. 150 BA 0 912 -455 -455 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-23 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President—Con. International Development Assistance—Con. 151 902 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 151 BA 0 BA 0 -305,897 -353,344 -406,616 -308,610 -334,385 -377,998 BA 0 2,485,312 2,264,547 2,702,739 2,352,047 2,945,143 2,472,045 BA 0 240 4,136 15,270 15,363 15,210 15,210 BA 0 -238 BA Total Trust funds ro 0 CD Total International Development Assistance -15,140 -15,100 2 3,898 130 223 110 110 2,485,314 2,268,445 2,702,869 2,352,270 2,945,253 2,472,155 International Commodity Agreements Federal funds General and Special Funds: Contributions to international buffer stocks Appropriation, current Outlays 155 BA 0 88,000 ... 29,000 International Monetary Programs Federal funds General and Special Funds: United States quota, IMF Appropriation, current, indefinite Outlays 155 BA 0 5,361,132 364,743 Military Sales Programs Federal funds Public Enterprise Funds: Liquidation of foreign military sales fund Outlays Special defense acquisition fund Outlays 155 0 -1,771 -1,690 -1,640 -288,500 -217,550 13,020,008 (9,454,211) 9,912,424 15,273,000 (10,827,000) 10,95i;000 15,819,000 (12,197,000) 12,446,000 -1,771 -290,190 -219,190 155 0 Trust funds Foreign military sales trust fund Contract authority, permanent, indefinite Liquidation of contract authority, permanentOutlays 155 BA 0 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) See footnotes at end of table. 8-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President—Con. Military Sales Programs—Con. Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) BA 0 13,020,008 9,912,424 15,273,000 10,951,000 15,819,000 12,446,000 Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 155 Total Trust funds BA BA 0 Total Military Sales Programs BA 0 _ ^ ^ _10f827,000 ; -12,197,000 3,565,797 4,446,000 458,213 124,000 3,622,000 249,000 3,565,797 4,446,000 3,622,000 456,442 -166,190 29,810 * 10,000 9,000 *7,700 8,200 Radio Broadcasting to Cuba Federal funds General and Special Funds: Radio Broadcasting to Cuba Appropriation, current Outlays 154 BA 0 Petroleum Reserves Federal funds General and Special Funds: Petroleum reserves: (Energy supply) (Outlays) 271 0 92,373 17,726 0 19 1,136 11,979,838 7,432,409 7,552,497 7,208,540 8,893,586 7,719,634 . „ 4cc Public Works Acceleration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Public works acceleration Outlays 452 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 150 BA q]p 151 QA -305,897 -353,344 -406,616 152 QA -218,220 -200,100 -157,800 450 lk QO9 RA ™L Q Total Federal funds See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 -300 -361,361 11,095,272 6,547,843 -408,907 6,589,391 6,245,434 -300 -467,220 7,861,195 6,687,243 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING 8-25 (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Funds Appropriated to• the President—Con. Summary—Con. Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) BA 0 Deductions for offsetting receipts:. Proprietary receipts from the public 151 155 Total Trust funds BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 CO Total Funds Appropriated to the President. 15,288,354 10,966,363 15,834,302 12,461,210 -238 -15,140 -15,100 -9,454,211 -10,827,000 -12,197,000 13,021,050 9,916,517 O 3,566,601 462,068 4,446,214 124,223 3,622,202 249,110 14,661,873 7,009,911 11,035,605 6,369,657 11,483,397 6,936,353 Department of Agriculture Office of the Secretary Federal funds General and Special Funds: Office of the Secretary Appropriation, current Outlays 352 BA 0 5,028 5,714 4,715 4,607 5,406 5,406 BA 0 13,541 14,742 14,468 14,034 13,647 13,647 Departmental Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Departmental administration Appropriation, current Outlays Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund Outlays 352 352 0 Total Federal funds Departmental Administration. 348 BA 13,541 0 15,090 14,468 14,034 13,647 13,647 BA 0 8,881 7,523 8,628 8,628 7,752 7,752 BA 0 38,752 37,732 40,828 40,136 43,918 43,226 Office of Governmental and Public Affairs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Governmental and Public Affairs Appropriation, current Outlays 352 Office of the Inspector General Federal funds General and Special Funds: Office of the Inspector General Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 352 8-26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Office of the General Counsel Federal funds General and Special Funds: Office of the General Counsel Appropriation, current Outlays.. 352 BA 0 12,519 12,080 13,330 13,078 14,197 13,457 BA 0 426,831 407,394 425,678 430,028 468,548 453,515 BA 0 15,751 8,596 8,776 9,800 Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds 352 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Agricultural Research Service BA 0 2,447 1,384 426,831 423,145 2,000 1,560 434,274 438,804 2,000 1,820 468,548 463,315 Total Trust funds Agricultural Research Service... BA 0 2,447 1,384 2,000 1,560 2,000 1,820 Agricultural Research Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Agricultural Research Service Appropriation, current Outlays Buildings and facilities Appropriation, current Outlays 352 352 Cooperative State Research Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Cooperative State Research Service Appropriation, current Outlays... 352 BA 0 200,897 198,992 BA 303,769 0 301,288 221,216 226,581 232,103 228,583 315,702 -2,000 312,154 H -1,800 311,911 308,472 ^ —200 8,279 7,709 9,016 8,632 Extension Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Extension Service Appropriation, current 352 Outlays H National Agricultural Library Federal funds General and Special Funds: National Agricultural Library Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 352 BA 0 8,822 8,123 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-27 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 estimate 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. National Agricultural Library—Con. Library facilities Outlays 352 0 Total Federal funds National Agricultural Library. BA 0 -4 8,822 8,119 8,279 7,709 9,016 8,632 BA 0 51,636 51,350 53,694 53,429 BA 0 12 12 12 12 BA 0 39,360 39,112 40,584 40,329 BA 0 50 72 50 50 1,422 1,706 1,535 1,535 Statistical Reporting Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, currentOutlays Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 352 352 Economics and Statistics Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 352 BA 0 93,354 89,925 BA 0 41 26 352 Economic Research Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current.. Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 352 352 World Agricultural Outlook Board Federal funds General and Special Funds: World agricultural outlook board Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 352 BA 0 1,731 1,374 8-28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Foreign Agricultural Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Foreign Agricultural Service 352 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Salaries and expenses (special foreign currency program) 352 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Foreign Agricultural Service.. BA 0 60,816 55,197 319 67,694 67,639 387 79,207 79,207 251 60,816 55,516 67,694 68,026 79,207 79,458 3,500 6,047 3,627 3,627 3,703 3,703 5,000 5,405 450 5,318 Office of International Cooperation and Development Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses 352 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Scientific activities overseas (foreign currency program) 352 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 2,977 4,818 Intragovemmental Funds: Consolidated working fund Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 151 0 -5,559 352 BA 0 9,843 8,076 7,690 9,500 10,095 10,095 Total Federal funds Office of International Cooperation and Development BA 0 8,500 5,893 4,077 8,945 6,680 8,521 Total Trust funds Office of International Cooperation and Development BA 0 9,843 8,076 7,690 9,500 10,095 10,095 1,228,930 1,253,801 1,000,000 1,140,722 1,028,000 1,028,000 Foreign Assistance Programs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Expenses, Public Law 480, foreign assistance programs, Agriculture 151 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 See footnotes at end of table. THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-29 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Foreign Assistance Programs—Con. Increase (-) or decrease in amount owed by the Public Law 480 account to the Commodity Credit Corportation 351 Outlays 0 -24,871 -140,722 BA 0 1,228,930 1,228,930 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,028,000 1,028,000 BA 0 208,834 183,278 62,000 80,100 62,046 60,378 BA 0 20,000 1,808 10,800 11,600 BA 0 190,000 200,876 190,000 190,000 56,000 153,720 BA 0 10,000 11,433 8,800 11,000 . BA 0 10,000 15 701 8,800 18 500 BA 0 1,700 60 176 177 BA 0 12,500 19,152 12,500 14,300 .. Total Federal funds Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service BA 0 453,034 432,308 282,276 324,877 118,046 225,698 57,739 41,997 117,600 117,600 293,703 235,104 Total Federal funds Foreign Assistance Programs Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Rural clean water program Appropriation, current Outlays Agricultural conservation program Appropriation, current Outlays Water Bank program Appropriation, current Outlays Emergency conservation program Appropriation, current Outlays Dairy and beekeeper indemnity programs Appropriation, current Outlays Forestry incentives program Appropriation, current Outlays 351 304 302 302 453 351 302 Federal Crop Insurance Corporation Federal funds General and Special Funds: Administrative and operating expenses Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 351 BA 0 8-30 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Federal Crop Insurance Corporation—Con. Public Enterprise Funds: Federal Crop Insurance Corporation fund 351 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Limitation on administrative and operating expenses Total Federal funds Federal Crop Insurance Corporation BA 0 307,456 93,941 423,233 82,890 57,739 1,182 425,056 211,541 716,936 317,994 3,299,887 2,043,229 -40,815 (6,318) .. Commodity Credit Corporation Support and Related Activities Federal funds Public Enterprise Funds: Price support and related programs: Reimbursement for net realized losses 351 Appropriation, current Indefinite Authority to borrow, current Authority to borrow, permanent Outlays Limitation on administrative expenses and direct loans BA BA BA BA 0 3,783,244 5,000,000 872,853 3,994,229 6,298,607 1,819,000 34,520 42,078 42,078 44,632 44,632 31,000 24,871 140,722 BA 0 34,520 66,949 42,078 185,354 44,632 31,000 Total Federal funds Commodity Credit Corporation BA 0 4,207,260 4,061,178 7,085,307 6,483,961 3,827,876 1,850,000 1,875 1,780 2,501 2,376 (52,750) Special Activities Federal funds General and Special Funds: National Wool Act (special fund) Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 351 BA 0 Intragovernmental Funds: Increase or decrease (-) in amount owed to the Corporation by the Public Law 480 account 351 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Special Activities Office of Rural Development Policy Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 452 BA 0 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-31 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Office of Rural Development Policy—Con. Rural development planning grants Appropriation, current Outlays 452 BA 0 5,000 5,155 3,073 977 Total Federal funds Office of Rural Development BA Policy 0 5,000 5,155 1,875 4,853 2,501 3,353 BA 0 28,309 28,023 29,673 29,670 30,340 30,334 BA BA 0 17,158 3,354 573 5,828 91 1,345 11,318 Total Federal funds Rural Electrification Administration BA 0 45,467 31,377 30,246 35,498 31,776 41,652 BA 0 200,000 268,886 125,000 254,641 120,000 204,228 BA 0 5,000 9,054 7,506 5,378 BA 0 252,630 243,691 274,543 277,516 294,206 292,016 BA 0 3,500 3,710 3,250 3,273 1,508 BA 0 25,000 17,407 13,750 20,476 12,500 21,022 BA 0 6,694 3,950 7,740 5,292 BA 0 1,000 1,984 2150 BA 0 25,000 21,199 15,000 16,210 Rural Electrification Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays 271 Public Enterprise Funds: Rural communication development fund Appropriation, current Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite Outlays 452 Farmers Home Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Rural water and waste disposal grants Appropriation, current Outlays Rural development grants Appropriation, current Outlays Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Rural community fire protection grants Appropriation, current Outlays Rural housing for domestic farm labor Appropriation, current Outlays Mutual and self-help housing Appropriation, current Outlays Rural housing supervisory assistance grants Appropriation, current Outlays Very low income housing repair grants Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 452 452 452 452 604 604 371 604 12,500 12,550 8-32 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1982 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Farmers Home Administration—Con. Rural rental assistance payments Appropriation, current Outlays Compensation for construction defects Appropriation, current Outlays 604 BA 0 185,000 164,818 BA 0 2,000 2,000 371 Public Enterprise Funds: Self-help housing land development Appropriation, current Outlays Rural housing insurance fund Appropriation, current Indefinite Authority to borrow, permanent, Outlays Agricultural credit insurance fund Appropriation, current Indefinite Authority to borrow, permanent, Outlays Rural development insurance fund Appropriation, current Indefinite Authority to borrow, permanent, Outlays fund 371 BA 0 1,000 -456 601 BA BA BA 0 504,318 57,525 32,158 -130,453 575,087 132,880 874,734 1,092,476 BA BA BA 0 297,032 464,083 117 371 indefinite 1,109,722 1,616,910 351 indefinite 682,074 276,090 -228,346 405,243 143,282 180,040 '698,005 452 indefinite Total Federal funds Farmers Home Administration BA BA BA 0 74,141 304,906 511,935 699^377 BA 0 1,897,676 518,276 2,662,317 2,599,767 2,754,219 3,723,221 BA 0 311,863 305,231 310,809 307,394 336,580 341,003 336,217 Soil Conservation Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Conservation operations Appropriation, current Outlays Soil and water conservation grants Appropriation, current Outlays River basin surveys and investigations Appropriation, current Outlays Watershed planning Appropriation, current Outlays Watershed and flood prevention operations Appropriation, current Outlays Great plains conservation program Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 302 302 BA 0 10,000 7,500 301 BA 0 18,323 17,464 15,500 15,726 16,743 16,677 BA 0 10,813 10,381 8,690 8,900 9,152 9,165 BA 0 192,524 205,398 192,045 201,343 117,721 143,186 BA 0 20,664 24,238 21,500 21,588 15,308 20,409 301 301 302 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-33 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Soil Conservation Service—Con. Resource conservation and development Appropriation, current Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds: (Water resources) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) (Conservation and land management) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) 302 BA 0 34,046 36,391 26,000 27,789 10,312 17,168 301 BA 0 660 888 800 832 600 632 BA 0 100 103 100 104 100 104 BA 760 900 700 0 991 936 302 Total Miscellaneous contributed funds Total Federal funds Soil Conservation Service Total Trust funds Soil Conservation Service 736 BA 588,233 574,544 515,816 0 599,103 582,740 555,108 BA 760 900 700 0 991 936 736 Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service Appropriation, current 352 Outlays Buildings and facilities Appropriation, current Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays BA 282,644 277,382 0 280,560 278,259 227,933 L -400 231,533 ^ —400 352 BA 0 6,986 432 3,000 8,127 2,386 3,813 BA 0 1,249 1,378 2,798 2,798 2,878 2,878 352 Total Federal funds Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service Total Trust funds Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service BA 289,630 280,382 229,919 0 280,992 286,386 234,946 BA 1,249 2,798 2,878 0 1,378 2,798 2,878 5,600 5,600 5,195 5,195 Federal Grain Inspection Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 2 6 352 BA 0 25,062 21,322 8-34 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Federal Grain Inspection Service—Con. Public Enterprise Funds: Inspection and weighing services Outlays 352 0 Total Federal funds Federal Grain Inspection Service BA 0 7,708 1,000 25,062 29,030 5,600 6,600 5,195 5,195 BA 50,882 38,233 0 53,999 38,233 33,176 -1,806 33,176 L -1,806 Agricultural Marketing Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Marketing services Appropriation, current 352 Outlays Payments to States and possessions 352 Appropriation, current Outlays Perishable Agricultural Commodities Act fund 352 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Funds for strengthening markets, income, and supply (section 32) 605 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays L BA 0 1,600 1,637 1,000 1,000 '.. BA 0 2,553 2,392 2,740 2,753 2,740 2,753 BA 0 383,012 289,454 462,701 424,070 409,232 370,129 62,702 67,585 67,535 67,535 504,674 466,056 443,342 404,252 352 BA 0 Total Federal funds Agricultural Marketing Service BA 0 Total Trust funds Agricultural Marketing Service. 208 265 438,047 347,482 BA 0 208 265 62,702 67,585 67,535 67,535 BA 0 2,000 1,713 2,400 2,400 2,398 2,398 Office of Transportation Federal funds General and Special Funds: Office of Transportation Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 352 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-35 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Food Safety and Inspection Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 554 BA 311,106 308,228 L Outlays 0 310,808 308,891 L 321,876 -2,000 321,876 -2,000 Trust funds Expenses and refunds, inspection and grading of farm products 352 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays BA 0 63,667 66,567 719 719 719 719 BA 0 84,592 85,190 86,461 84,700 85,477 85,100 BA 11,470,000 Food and Nutrition Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Food program administration Appropriation, current Outlays Food stamp program Appropriation, current 605 605 10,279,610 Outlays 0 11,252,902 1,279,616 -273,000 10,250,659 A L Nutrition assistance for Puerto Rico Appropriation, current Outlays Nutrition assistance for the Territories Appropriation, current Outlays Special milk program Appropriation, current 11,824,650 A L 1,266,791 -273,000 L -2,293,600 11,807,575 ^ 12,825 -2,257,800 L 605 BA 0 825,000 779,600 605 J BA 0 43,760 '41,570 605 BA 118,800 28,100 L Outlays 0 104,384 34,000 L Child nutrition programs Appropriation, current 605 BA Appropriation, permanent Outlays BA 0 1,583,998 1,879,653 3,438,238 1,082,890 L 1,763,948 2,728,900 L Special supplemental food programs (WIC) Appropriation, current 2,214,690 2,989,470 -281,500 BA 927,040 934,080 0 930,119 916,990 128,160 BA 0 128,660 104,251 141,420 137,220 65,200 96,120 BA 16,192,743 15,323,125 13,376,268 0 15,915,084 15,146,260 13,403,120 605 Total Federal funds Food and Nutrition Service.... See footnotes at end of table. 945,516 -334,425 605 Outlays Food donations program Appropriation, current Outlays 28,600 -28,600 27,200 -25,200 8-36 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1982 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Human Nutrition Information Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Human Nutrition Information Service Appropriation, current Outlays 352 BA 0 9,203 6,549 8,289 8,289 BA 0 8,806 8,806 8,564 8,564 4,639 4,621 3,683 3,683 Packers and Stockyards Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Packers and Stockyards Administration Appropriation, current Outlays 352 Agricultural Cooperative Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 352 BA 0 4,500 3,242 BA 0 36 50 BA 0 127,812 98,645 110,392 112,153 97,990 99,215 BA 0 74,184 50,758 63,662 67,929 47,520 50,072 BA 1,021,050 1,036,569 0 847,442 966,791 * 76,600 964,700 * 67,400 BA 0 13,442 196,621 25,000 5,014 BA 0 464,660 487,871 254,497 475,181 297,505 344,588 8,474 461 352 18 28 .... Forest Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Forest research Appropriation, current Outlays State and private forestry Appropriation, current Outlays National forest system Appropriation, current 302 302 302 Outlays.. Forest management, protection and utilization Reappropriation Outlays Construction Appropriation, current Outlays Youth Conservation Corps Outlays Other general appropriations Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 1,028,126 ^ 9,200 302 302 302 0 302 0 280 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-37 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Forest Service—Con. Acquisition of lands for national forests, special acts 302 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Acquisition of lands to complete land exchanges 302 Appropriation, current, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Range betterment fund 302 Appropriation, current, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Construction and operation of recreation facilities 303 Outlays 0 Timber salvage sales 302 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Land acquisition 303 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Forest Service permanent appropriations 302 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Forest Service permanent appropriations 852 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund 302 Outlays Consolidated working fund 302 Outlays 0 Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Highland scenic highway Outlays 754 807 724 724 753 753 532 112 314 314 147 147 6,940 6,755 6,580 6,580 5,800 5,800 25 41 11,884 9,440 764 26,262 21,010 7,563 11303 179,391 96,901 134,573 141,032 149,760 144,408 241,217 241,217 241,712 241,712 342,000 342,000 153,465 117,593 145,000 105,456 146,600 146,280 286 780 1,882,107 2,125,281 145,000 106,236 1,985,607 2,040,626 146,600 146,280 31,614,414 30,838,157 26,666,509 25,451,537 -3,877 2,718 302 BA 0 401 0 Total Federal funds Forest Service BA 0 Total Trust funds Forest Service BA 0 2,141,866 2,043,909 153,465 117,879 BA 0 29,071,734 26,972,160 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Intrafund transactions See footnotes at end of table. 302 BA -186,306 0 -216,150 -230,000 8-38 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate -454,220 -502,585 Department of 1Agriculture—Con. Summary—Con. Proprietary receipts from the public 270 BA 0 300 BA 0 -374,427 oA 302 BA 0 350 BA 0 450 BA 0 J -36,000 -377,426 38,418 605 902 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public -3,851 -38 -38 -5 _4 -4 -2,649 -1,292 -1,292 -379 -168 -174 28,168,931 26,069,357 30,251,144 29,474,887 24,748,098 23,533,126 BA O 231,716 196,616 221,889 189,446 230,589 230,125 0 352 BA 0 BA 0 Total Department of Agriculture -3,851 BA O 302 BA Total Trust funds -1,144,467 -28 550 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 -687,547 BA 0 -153,465 -145,000 -78,250 -76,889 -83,989 1 -35,099 -32,443 -464 28,168,932 26,034,258 30,251,144 29,442,444 24,748,098 23,532,662 25,061 3,171 24,967 A 3,171 31,613 Department of Commerce General Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 376 Outlays White House conference on balanced national growth and economic development 376 Outlays Special foreign currency program 376 Outlays See footnotes at end of table. BA 35,937 0 39,129 1 0 0 A 223 200 31,584 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-39 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. General Administration—Con. Intragovemmental Funds: Working capital fund Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent Outlays 376 0 649 BA 0 464 478 376 Total Federal funds General Administration BA 0 Total Trust funds General Administration BA 0 35,937 40,001 464 478 200 200 28,232 28,339 200 200 200 200 31,613 31,584 200 200 Bureau of the Census Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Periodic censuses and programs Appropriation, current Outlays 376 BA 0 57,200 55,171 57,200 45,917 64,125 64,540 BA 0 177,850 194,201 87,898 98,070 91,294 83,511 376 Intragovemmental Funds: Consolidated working fund Outlays 376 0 1,393 10,980 BA 0 8,365 8,443 10,750 10,750 10,750 10,750 Total Federal funds Bureau of the Census BA 0 235,050 250,765 145,098 154,967 155,419 148,051 Total Trust funds Bureau of the Census BA 0 8,365 8,443 10,750 10,750 10,750 10,750 BA 0 26,015 26,362 28,771 28,380 32,652 32,755 Trust funds Special studies, services, and projects Appropriation, permanent Outlays 376 Economic and Statistical Analysis Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Trust funds Special studies, services, and projects Appropriation, permanent Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 376 376 BA 0 198 185 250 250 250 250 8-40 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Economic Development Assistance Economic Development Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Economic development assistance programs Appropriation, current Outlays Local public works program Outlays Drought assistance program Outlays Financial and technical assistance Outlays Job opportunities program Outlays 452 BA BA 39,700 38,681 25,000 25,000 15,448 15,448 0 436,800 501,674 198,500 359,567 242,244 0 82,760 60,410 30,000 0 838 176 0 225 571 0 30 5,537 0 -4,788 37,000 4,000 476,500 618,970 223,500 488,261 15,448 291,692 BA 0 22,838 34,628 10,237 8,633 BA 0 24,905 43,020 9,114 3,316 BA 0 499,338 653,598 223,500 498,498 15,448 300,325 Total Trust funds Economic Development Assistance BA 0 24,905 43,020 9,114 3,316 BA 107,382 151,995 0 105,588 144,361 136,267 * 1,104 141,271 452 0 BA BA 452 453 376 504 Public Enterprise Funds: Economic development revolving fund Outlays 452 Total Federal funds Economic Development Administration BA 0 Regional Development Program Federal funds General and Special Funds: Regional development programs 452 Appropriation, current Outlays Trust funds Regional development commissions 452 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Total Federal funds Economic Development Assistance Promotion of Industry and Commerce International Trade Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operations and administration Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 376 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-41 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Promotion of Industry and Commerce—Con. International Trade Administration—Con. Participation in United States expositions Outlays 376 0 7,458 3,111 BA 0 9,118 8,374 8,850 8,850 5,100 Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 376 Total Federal funds International Trade Administration Total Trust funds International Trade Administration BA 0 9,723 9,723 107,382 151,995 137,371 113,046 147,472 146,371 BA 9,118 8,850 9,723 0 8,374 8,850 9,723 BA 0 59,600 48,954 56,641 64,000 50,000 60,000 BA 0 7,959 7,907 7,600 7,600 5,033 5,033 BA 174,941 216,236 192,404 0 169,907 219,072 211,404 Minority Business Development Agency Federal funds General and Special Funds: Minority business development Appropriation, current Outlays 376 United States Travel and Tourism Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays 376 Total Federal funds Promotion of Industry and Commerce Total Trust funds Promotion of Industry and Commerce BA 9,118 8,850 9,723 0 8,374 8,850 9,723 775,644 829,751 Science and Technology National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operations, research, and facilities Appropriation, current 306 BA 683,817 * 61,748 L 12,955 Indefinite Outlays See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 476 747,706 750 816,947 750 767,429 L 12,955 8-42 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Science and Technology—Con. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration—Con. Construction Appropriation, current Outlays Coastal zone management Appropriation, current 306 -11,000 8,604 BA 51,585 0 54,879 BA 0 17,485 19,347 31,512 5,000 7,415 "-12,000 44,644 6,409 302 Outlays Promote and develop fishery products and research pertaining to American fisheries 376 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Fishing vessel and gear damage compensation fund 376 Appropriation, current, indefinite Outlays Fishermen's contingency fund 376 Appropriation, current Outlays Foreign fishing observer fund 376 Appropriation, current Outlays Fisheries loan fund Outlays Fishermen's guaranty fund Appropriation, current Indefinite Outlays BA 0 16,186 17,866 27,689 "-12,000 16,466 BA 0 3,155 1,883 3,500 3,611 1,750 1,637 BA 0 290 144 900 900 250 221 BA 0 -259 0 4,323 BA BA 0 1,450 450 1,689 4,000 ^3,250 3,788 ^ 3,250 7,950 7,950 376 -1,000 376 1,800 2,500 600 600 Public Enterprise Funds: Coastal energy impact fund Appropriation, current Outlays 452 Federal ship financing fund, fishing vessels Outlays 376 BA 0 H 36,254 0 2,580 0 - 3 Intragovernmental Funds: Consolidated working fund Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 306 -7,000 37,400 600 25,384 "-4,000 600 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-43 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Science and Technology—Con. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration—Con. Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, current, indefinite Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 306 L BA BA 0 17,654 17,314 18,400 18,400 Total Federal funds National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration BA 0 839,535 877,147 848,552 963,018 776,229 848,931 Total Trust funds National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration BA 0 17,654 17,314 18,400 18,400 4,760 4,760 BA 116,150 118,961 B 2,500 107,176 0 111,650 118,041 B 2,393 L -15,600 20,360 20,360 -15,600 Patent and Trademark Office Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 376 Outlays L L -39,090 104,078 B 107 -39,090 Science and Technical Research Federal funds General and Special Funds: Scientific and technical research and services Appropriation, current 376 BA Indefinite Outlays BA 0 102,904 117,822 * 107,587 -7,131 109,982 L -6,102 L 104,060 115,540 Public Enterprise Funds: Technical information clearinghouse fund Appropriation, current 376 J BA 5,000 Intragovemmental Funds: Working capital fund Appropriation, current Outlays Consolidated working fund Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 376 BA 6,123 0 10,723 0 -2,118 7,228 7,100 376 5,376 * 5,886 5,360 8-44 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1982 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Science and Technology—Con. Science and Technical Research—Con. Trust funds Information products and services Appropriation, current, indefinite Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 376 J BA BA BA BA 0 -27,400 27,400 27,400 '-27,400 125,050 128,016 111,342 109,240 CD CO 24,000 23,601 109,027 112,665 CD CO Total Federal funds Science and Technical Research 23,108 21,279 23,108 21,279 24,000 23,601 . BA 17,237 16,483 Outlays 0 Public telecommunications facilities, planning and construction 503 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 19,432 11,255 * 12,417 13,098 19,705 19,706 18,000 25,112 23,800 36,942 39,138 1,101,654 1140,600 40,762 38,593 34,483 36,367 1,129,546 1,247,835 42,400 42,001 12,417 36,898 968,074 1,060,164 4,760 4,760 253,448 196,970 222,961 230,789 152,772 152,772 42 157 3,650,542 3,397,761 4,673,154 4,498,008 II Total Trust funds Science and Technical Research National Telecommunications and Information Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current.. 376 Total Federal funds National Telecommunications and Information Administration BA 0 Total Federal funds Science and Technology BA 0 Total Trust funds Science and Technology BA 0 Energy Research and Technology Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Program administration: (Energy information, policy, and regulation) 276 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Special foreign currency program Outlays Atomic energy defense activities Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 271 053 BA 0 5,505,781 5,154,941 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-45 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Energy Research and Technology Administration—Con. General science and research activities Appropriation, current Outlays Energy supply, research and development Appropriation, current Outlays Uranium supply and enrichment activities Appropriation, current Contract authority, current Outlays Fossil energy research and development Appropriation, current Outlays Energy conservation research activities Appropriation, current Outlays Geothermal resources development fund Appropriation, current Outlays Alternative fuels production Appropriation, current Outlays 251 BA 0 504,415 501,152 529,360 558,887 600,970 589,370 BA 0 2,739,564 2,899,531 2,294,126 2,867,265 1,875,146 1,997,650 BA BA 0 30,955 411,000 341,416 1,806,000 1,533,672 -140,504 BA 0 993,817 890,063 416,872 639,052 106,900 203,000 BA 0 279,260 248,806 81,203 197,075 17,542 91,224 BA 0 -20,698 727 2,200 2,200 75 75 271 271 271 272 271 271 BA 0 —300,000 83,234 95,083 Public Enterprise Funds: Nuclear waste disposal fund Authority to borrow, current Outlays Trust funds Advances for cooperative work Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 271 J 185,000 '-115,000 BA 0 271 BA 0 14,656 14,072 5,630 39,100 3,606 9,324 Total Federal funds Energy Research and Technology Administration BA 0 8,542,303 8,585,693 9,999,885 10,622,188 8,444,186 7,933,528 Total Trust funds Energy Research and Technology Administration BA 0 14,656 14,072 5,630 39,100 3,606 9,324 28,376 28,376 23,687 23,887 5,468 5,580 Energy Programs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Administrative support for energy programs: (Energy conservation) (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) See footnotes at end of table. 272 BA 0 8-46 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Energy Programs—Con. Energy conservation grants: (Energy conservation) (Appropriation, current) 272 (Outlays) (Area and regional development) (Appropriation, current) BA 420,015 0 479,859 64,197 -5,663 520,136 "_4,814 4,260 H 230,284 ^ —849 452 BA 10,000 (Outlays) 0 14,634 25,000 "-12,186 14,129 "-2,151 Total Energy conservation grants BA 0 430,015 494,493 44,197 528,136 4,260 241,413 BA 0 90,417 83,465 78,919 93,061 54,500 58,300 BA BA 55,606 6,629 11,776 8,856 (Outlays) 0 62,250 47,169 -4-800 12,833 ^800 Total Federal funds Energy Programs BA 0 611,043 668,584 159,379 691,453 73,084 318,926 BA 0 11,226,281 11,535,510 11,930,647 13,490,732 9,912,880 10,036,737 902 BA 100 1cn y™ 270 BA _ 41262 "-14,337 Energy information activities 276 Appropriation, current Outlays Emergency preparedness and energy regulation: (Energy information, policy, and regulation) 276 (Appropriation, current) (Reappropriation) Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Intrafund transactions Proprietary receipts from the public 271 lk 276 » 300 QA A 800 -45274 -1,805,000 -67,386 -2,001 -1,808 QA See footnotes at end of table. -45274 -1,793 J -53,278 370 A jj 376 QA -459 450 » ^247 _6,739 -7,500 -8,000 -22,800 -1,800 -333 -600 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-47 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Summary—Con. 806 BA 0 902 BA -15,603 -4,203 -5,203 BA 0 11,159,742 11,468,971 10,043,579 11,603,664 9,729,396 9,853,253 BA 0 98,468 113,165 68,080 110,265 29,289 38,323 -727 -654 -589 -14,656 -5,630 -3,606 -17,655 -18,400 -20,360 0 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Intrafund transactions Proprietary receipts from the public 376 BA 0 271 BA 0 306 BA n 376 452 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 Total Trust funds 376 BA Interfund transactions n 452 Total Department of Commerce -96 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 J -37,059 -39,926 15,600 -44,264 J 24,100 -2,123 26,248 40,945 3,470 45,655 170 9,204 -3,226 -3,300 -3,300 J 3,300 -22,782 11,159,982 11,483,908 10,043,749 11,646,019 9,729,566 9,862,457 12,447,827 A 105,400 12,41.5,300 A 102,900 14,401,100 Department of Defense-Military Military Personnel Federal funds General and Special Funds: Military personnel, Army Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 051 BA 12,148,300 0 12,006,404 14,316,900 * 2,500 3-48 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 8,920,295 9,117,956 10,578,900 8,925,328 154,200 9,062,100 10,516,400 ^ 151,600 ^ 2,600 2,766,966 ^50,700 2,755,500 ^ 48,700 3,276,100 10,001,821 10,305,414 12,031,400 9,834,483 28,300 10,274,900 11,960,400 ^27,700 ^600 Department of Defense-Military—Con. Military Personnel—Con. Military personnel, Navy 051 Appropriation, current BA Outlays Military personnel, Marine Corps Appropriation, current 0 051 Outlays Military personnel, Air Force Appropriation, current 2,688,500 0 2,611,362 BA 0 A BA 20,900 BA 870,500 963,700 ^9,400 1,224,800 0 837,261 945,800 1,198,100 ^ 8,600 ^800 051 051 BA 0 318,758 302,255 346,670 339,300 641,300 601,200 BA 120,357 138,720 ^2,800 165,900 0 112,271 132,800 158,100 051 Outlays A Reserve personnel, Air Force Appropriation, current Outlays Total Federal funds Military Personnel See footnotes at end of table. M00 291,197 ^ 4,000 284,900 A 3,700 350,900 1,175,600 1,320,100 1,680,500 1,133,520 9,700 1,294,300 1,640,700 ^ 8,800 ^900 423,867 544,600 BA 277,360 0 272,372 343,300 ^300 051 BA Outlays National Guard personnel, Air Force Appropriation, current 2,400 051 Outlays National Guard personnel, Army Appropriation, current 3,253,000 ^ 2,000 051 Outlays Reserve personnel, Navy Appropriation, current Outlays Reserve personnel, Marine Corps Appropriation, current BA 051 Outlays Special pay for aviation officers Appropriation, current Reserve personnel, Army Appropriation, current A 0 A 051 BA 0 BA 0 387,209 373,628 36,929,600 36,408,884 A 2,200 422,400 536,100 2,100 ^ 100 38,489,117 38,283,800 44,895,500 44,534,400 A THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-49 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1982 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Retired Military Personnel Federal funds General and Special Funds: Retired pay, Defense Appropriation, current.. 051 BA 13,840,000 14,938,315 A 97,685 16,599,800 L Outlays.. 0 13,729,065 14,902,300 ^97,400 BA 13,013,933 14,948,197 -89,000 16,559,815 ^285 L -89,000 Operation and Maintenance Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operation and maintenance, Army Appropriation, current 051 B Liquidation of contract authority, current.. Outlays Operation and maintenance, Navy Appropriation, current (2,985) 11,784,542 14,690,100 B 290,300 BA Liquidation of contract authority, current- 17,742,999 (153,567) Outlays 19,359,489 * 22,165,800 229,100 B 0 16,935,681 (43,641) 18,433,300 B 189,900 BA 1,072,206 1,178,740 Liquidation of contract authority, current Outlays 0 (4,077) 969,629 1,481,800 25,300 1,136,200 B 18,000 1,371,700 B 6,100 051 BA 14,756,374 16,020,619 B Liquidation of contract authority, currentOutlays Operation and maintenance, Defense agencies Appropriation, current 21,151,900 B 67,600 051 B Operation and maintenance, Air Force Appropriation, current 16,617,400 B 60,200 051 B Operation and maintenance, Marine Corps Appropriation, current 16,827,600 362,900 0 (388,743) 13,965,253 BA 4,415,749 * 17,944,700 103,300 16,057,400 B 88,300 17,200,900 B 13,200 051 4,998,047 * 5,755,400 B Outlays.. 4,144,710 See footnotes at end of table. 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 2 7 61,200 4,920,400 B 37,900 5,665,500 B 4,600 8-50 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Operation and Maintenance—Con. Operation and maintenance, Army Reserve Appropriation, current 051 BA 521,593 658,150 s OutlaysOperation and maintenance, Navy Reserve Appropriation, current "686,400 800 498,493 625,100 5 700 554,172 570,940 680,000 MOO 051 BA "653,000 fi 200 Liquidation of contract authority, currentOutlays (8,786) 487,872 554,870 fi 130 617,630 s 70 Operation and maintenance, Marine Corps Reserve 051 Appropriation, current Outlays Operation and maintenance, Air Force Reserve Appropriation, current BA 28,854 40,299 0 25,036 34,300 BA 601,980 669,154 "48,415 43,300 051 "766,300 fi 600 Liquidation of contract authority, current Outlays 0 (14,997) 583,604 BA 951,370 662,250 fi 550 754,550 B 50 Operation and maintenance, Army National Guard 051 Appropriation, current 1,087,950 B Liquidation of contract authority, currentOutlays (2,663) 920,460 "1,123,900 1,500 1,055,100 B 1,300 1,106,900 B 200 Operation and maintenance, Air National Guard 051 Appropriation, current BA 1,530,907 1,646,418 B Liquidation of contract authority, currentOutlays "1,761,800 1,400 O (44,235) 1,468,454 National Board for the Promotion of Rifle Practice, Army 051 Appropriation, current BA 845 845 522 900 BA 141,850 155,700 0 132,380 149,600 Outlays Claims, Defense Appropriation, current Outlays Contingencies, Defense Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 0 1,634,500 B 1,300 1,742,900 MOO "875 800 051 051 -20 "172,500 169,800 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-51 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1982 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Operation and Maintenance—Con. Court of Military Appeals, Defense Appropriation, current Outlays Foreign currency fluctuations, Defense Appropriation, current XIII Olympic winter games Outlays 051 BA 2,310 2,607 0 1,947 2,600 213,143 147,900 1,182 200 100 55,548,285 51,919,745 62,271,355 60,585,200 69,391,700 67,278,700 BA 1,199,100 1,936,100 BA 0 3,500 855,596 943,600 BA 1,544,900 2,155,200 * 3,210 3,100 051 BA 051 0 Total Federal funds Operation and Maintenance... BA 0 Procurement Federal funds General and Special Funds: Aircraft procurement, Army Appropriation, current Reappropriation Outlays Missile procurement, Army Appropriation, current 051 K 051 Outlays 0 Procurement of weapons and tracked combat vehicles, Army 051 Appropriation, current BA 1,146,266 3,374,200 1,503,000 * 5,030,685 1,848,144 126,000 2,490,400 B 7,700 BA 1,558,700 2,297,900 0 1,367,959 1,525,000 BA 2,820,408 3,705,871 Outlays.. Outlays Other procurement, Army Appropriation, current * 2,846,600 2,083,900 3,876,300 B Procurement of ammunition, Army Appropriation, current 2,745,914 3,475,300 B 56,200 051 051 * 2,633,384 2,005,500 K 4,567,491 ^ 20,000 Reappropriation Outlays Army national guard equipment Appropriation, current Outlays Aircraft procurement, Navy Appropriation, current Outlays Weapons procurement, Navy Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 20,940 1,637,226 2,219,100 A 1,600 2,977,300 A 7,200 051 BA 0 50,000 12,500 051 BA 6,254,307 9,140,000 0 4,396,638 5,657,500 BA 2,766,029 3,215,100 0 2,296,632 2,442,400 051 * 11,582,300 7,819,600 * 3,901,600 2,930,500 8-52 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Procurement—Con. Shipbuilding and conversion, Navy Appropriation, current 051 BA 7,691,500 8,402,400 18,648,300 B Reappropriation BA Outlays Other procurement, Navy Appropriation, current Outlays Procurement, Marine Corps Appropriation, current 27,900 263,400 236,500 5 343,721 5,386,000 B 28,300 0 5,217,724 BA 3,029,857 3,676,577 0 2,521,046 2,697,200 BA 506,013 1,711,456 6,213,400 B 81,600 051 * 3,970,156 3,237,200 051 * 2,300,700 A Outlays.. Aircraft procurement, Air Force Appropriation, current 0 339,290 20,000 423,600 A 1,000 10,424,428 13,639,898 845,600 A 5,400 051 BA * 17,756,700 B Reappropriation Outlays Missile procurement, Air Force Appropriation, current 219,100 162,900 9,146,900 B 18,600 BA 0 7,941,065 BA 3,333,286 4,559,550 BA 0 2,366,466 14,400 2,934,300 BA 3,148,878 5,365,633 12,344,900 B 112,900 051 * 6,827,900 Reappropriation Outlays Other procurement, Air Force Appropriation, current 4,177,600 051 * 5,845,200 A Reappropriation Outlays Procurement, Defense agencies Appropriation, current BA 0 2,935,010 BA 321,464 40,470 800 3,533,200 ^ 6,900 4,791,200 A 14,700 051 511,500 10,000 341,100 A 1,600 890,284 A Outlays.. Procurement of aircraft and missiles, Navy Outlays Procurement of equipment and missiles, Army Outlays Total Federal funds Procurement See footnotes at end of table. 0 303,961 0 13,590 15,000 10,000 0 4,618 1,000 600 48,025,410 35,191,231 65,700,776 41,325,000 89,547,214 55,143,500 468,200 * 3,900 051 051 BA 0 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-53 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation Federal funds General and Special Funds: Research, development, Army Appropriation, current test, and evaluation, 051 BA Outlays Research, development, test, and evaluation, Navy 3,127,774 3,609,535 0 3,366,100 2,957,986 * 4,484,000 4,038,900 051 Appropriation, current BA 5,844,357 4,988,169 B Reappropriation BA Outlays 0 Research, development, test, and evaluation, Air Force 051 Appropriation, current BA * 6,232,300 -37,226 8,800 5,411,600 4,782,911 8,833,710 B BA 0 7,090,187 6,340,912 Research, development, test, and evaluation, Defense agencies 051 Appropriation, current BA 43,160 Reappropriation Outlays Outlays Director of test and evaluation, Defense Appropriation, current 5,947,100 * 11,220,400 57,000 7,934,300 B 35,000 10,178,000 B 19,000 1,308,948 1,697,646 1,160,041 1,508,600 BA 42,100 53,000 0 35,743 43,400 60,000 52,200 16,609,138 15,277,593 20,058,022 18,299,000 24,256,600 22,200,200 943,701 134,370 * 965,830 0 * 2,259,900 1,965,000 051 K Outlays Total Federal funds Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation BA 0 Military Construction Federal funds General and Special Funds: Military construction, Army Appropriation, current 051 BA 886,234 B Reappropriation Outlays Military construction, Navy Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 3,200 726,577 34,000 782,800 B 3,400 793,800 16,300 B 051 BA 794,265 1,451,393 0 617,563 688,600 75,782 * 1,132,518 1,025,600 8-54 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Military Construction—Con. Military construction, Air Force Appropriation, current 051 BA 937,225 1,545,751 B 717,484 84,400 868,500 B 15,700 BA 276,670 310,350 0 71,265 92,000 BA 250,000 345,000 BA 0 16,968 167,424 94,100 207,200 BA 42,269 67,658 0 29,899 40,500 18,100 * 33,000 55,700 BA 89,700 105,140 0 46,354 69,000 BA 46,942 65,173 O 46,881 42,400 BA 33,000 36,000 0 24,084 27,100 BA 21,600 37,400 0 15,009 20,300 6,600 * 29,000 31,000 BA 0 3,398,073 2,462,540 5,025,966 2,744,400 5,435,700 3,975,100 OutlaysMilitary construction, Defense agencies Appropriation, current 200,703 * 1,881,097 1,446.700 B 40,900 051 Outlays North Atlantic Treaty Organization infrastructure 21,825 * 387,075 183,500 051 Appropriation, current Reappropriation Outlays Military construction, Army National Guard Appropriation, current K 375,000 051 Outlays Military construction, Air National Guard Appropriation, current 051 Outlays Military construction, Army Reserve Appropriation, current 051 Outlays Military construction, Naval Reserve Appropriation, current 051 Outlays Military construction, Air Force Reserve Appropriation, current 051 Outlays.. Total Federal funds Military Construction 16,400 * 90,400 93,100 14,440 * 28,360 51,500 3,300 * 21,900 29,800 Family Housing Federal funds General and Special Funds: Family housing, Army Appropriation, current Outlays Family housing, Navy Appropriation, current Outlays Family housing, Air Force Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 051 BA 0 * 1,053,419 936,900 BA 0 * 768,837 678,700 BA 0 * 931,550 800,700 051 051 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-55 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1982 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Family Housing—Con. Family housing, Defense agencies Appropriation, current Outlays Family housing, Defense Appropriation, current 051 BA 0 * 18,321 16,800 051 Reappropriation Outlays BA 1,984,471 BA 0 18,651 1,716,579 2,153,554 B 80,300 1,992 2,062,600 B 72,300 Public Enterprise Funds: Homeowners assistance fund, Defense Appropriation, current 051 BA 2,000 Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite Outlays BA 0 906 4,308 1,200 2,700 *4,000 1,200 3,300 Total Federal funds Family Housing BA 0 2,004,028 1,720,887 2,239,046 2,137,600 2,777,327 2,436,400 BA 2,760 3,083 0 2,465 1,200 * 3,800 1,000 -6 -4 -3 176,300 221,138 134,000 65,900 Special Foreign Currency Program Federal funds General and Special Funds: Special foreign currency program Appropriation, current 051 Outlays.. Revolving and Management Funds Federal funds Public Enterprise Funds: Defense production guarantees Outlays Laundry service, Naval Academy Outlays 051 051 0 -81 BA BA 0 34,000 221,630 . 159,396 Intragovernmental Funds: Army stock fund Appropriation, current Contract authority, permanent, indefinite Outlays Navy stock fund Appropriation, current Contract authority, permanent, indefinite Outlays Marine Corps stock fund Appropriation, current Outlays Air Force stock fund Appropriation, current Contract authority, permanent, indefinite Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 051 051 BA BA 0 309 580,929 -59,963 9,435 354,372 75,900 191,600 BA 0 4,108 3,049 13,334 29,500 11,812 14,700 BA BA 0 28,300 564,724 -17,521 78,800 161,600 67,400 179,100 051 051 8-56 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Revolving and Management Funds—Con. Defense stock fund Appropriation, current 051 BA Contract authority, permanent, indefinite Outlays Army industrial fund Outlays Navy industrial fund Outlays Marine Corps industrial fund Outlays Air Force industrial fund Outlays Defense industrial fund Outlays Army management fund Outlays Navy management fund Outlays Air Force management fund Outlays Army conventional ammunition fund Appropriation, current Outlays 438,000 BA 0 805,463 -32,903 0 A 69,000 160,500 109,200 -378,200 A 80,000 -170,100 ^ 10,000 -16,356 -44,300 -138,400 0 74,537 44,700 -124,000 0 -3,450 -900 100 0 2,068 7,900 -5,900 0 -74,252 32,000 -300 0 -7,451 4,500 0 8,632 2,504 0 247 -100 051 051 051 051 051 051 051 3 051 working capital 051 BA 0 Total Federal funds Revolving and Management Funds BA 0 -100,000 1,000 -110,000 2,677,463 456,069 910,422 35,946 -45,100 -87,300 5,398,826 '5,080,900 '4,088,654 '4,284,700 Allowances Federal funds General and Special Funds: Civilian and military pay raises Appropriation, current Outlays Other legislation Appropriation, current Outlays 051 7 BA 0 051 J BA 0 Total Federal funds Allowances 137,400 •'137,400 BA 5,398,826 4,226,054 0 5,080,900 4,422,100 30 45 31 50 Trust Funds Trust funds Department of the Army trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Department of the Navy trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 051 BA 0 35 129 BA 15,894 17,261 16,557 0 15,418 15,850 16,740 051 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-57 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Trust Funds—Con. Department of the Air Force general gift fund 051 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Surcharge collections, sales of commissary stores, Army 051 Outlays Department of the Navy trust revolving funds 051 Outlays Department of the Air Force trust revolving funds BA 0 47 6 9 5 12 10 -3,879 -4,245 -150 7,250 4,660 -3,364 5,195 5,990 BA 15,976 17,300 16,600 0 12,430 24,100 27,300 179,034,757 156,748,356 214,678,260 183,411,700 257,955,117 216,375,200 0 0 4,120 051 Outlays 0 Total Trust funds Trust Funds Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) BA 0 Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 051 BA QA Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) interfund transactions J 46,500 J 63,300 BA 178,384,531 214,057,460 257,468,617 0 156,098,130 182,790,900 215,888,700 BA 15,976 17,300 16,600 0 12,430 24,100 27,300 BA 178,385,521 214,059,760 257,469,217 0 156,095,574 182,800,000 215,900,000 4,476 4,638 6,689 6,598 051 BA Total Department of Defense-Military Department of Defense-Civil Cemeterial Expenses, Army Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 705 BA 0 5,032 6,139 8-58 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Defense-Civil—Con. Corps of Engineers-Civil Federal funds General and Special Funds: 301 301 Outlays Operation and maintenance, general Appropriation, current 301 OutlaysFlood control and coastal emergencies Appropriation, current Outlays General expenses Appropriation, current Outlays.. Flood control, Mississippi River and tributaries Appropriation, current 134,013 143,951 137,225 137,200 129,250 129,250 BA 1,593,892 1,416,992 0 1,535,956 1,417,000 1,209,350 '-108,000 1,240,050 '-108,000 BA 967,905 1,008,355 0 980,358 1,008,400 BA 0 25,000 104,352 20 000 BA 0 86,630 89,226 91,000 91,000 99,000 99,000 BA 237,519 256,310 0 265,099 256,300 282,000 '-47,000 254,000 '-47,000 5,000 5,119 4,784 4,784 6,000 6,000 BA 0 1,571 1,711 1,748 1,730 1,848 1,748 BA 0 BA 0 5,207 4,625 5,352 5,207 5,552 5,352 6,778 6,336 7,100 6,937 7,400 7,100 BA 0 43,225 34,667 17,100 -5,800 0 -17,538 35,123 1,011,000 '-89,000 1,008,200 '-89,000 301 301 301 OutlaysSpecial recreation use fees Appropriation, current Outlays Permanent appropriations: (Water resources) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite)... (Outlays) (Other general purpose fiscal assistance) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite)... (Outlays) BA 0 CD O3 General investigations Appropriation, current... Outlays Construction, general Appropriation, current... 303 301 852 Total Permanent appropriations.. Intragovernmental Funds: Revolving fund Appropriation, current Outlays Consolidated working fund Outlays Trust funds Inland waterways trust fund Appropriation, current Outlays Rivers and harbors contributed funds Appropriation, permanent, indefiniteOutlays See footnotes at end of table. 301 301 301 BA 0 301 BA 0 '244,990 '244,990 81,032 83,846 70,000 70,000 71,000 71,000 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-59 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate 2,921,766 2,993,844 2,500,000 2,493,800 Department of Defense-Civil—Con. Corps of Engineers-Civil—Con. Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts-. Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 3,099,962 3,147,526 271 BA . 300 BA in —1U _23j80 -23,332 -23,855 301 JA '-270,000 303 \k '-5,000 902 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 0 —o —4 A Q A -3,181 -3,660 -4,135 BA 3,073,597 2,894,766 2,197,000 0 3,121,161 2,966,844 2,190,800 81,032 83,846 70,000 70,000 315,990 315,990 BA 0 301 BA _ ^ _/om QA Total Trust funds J BA 0 Total Corps of Engineers-Civil _ n m -178,000 66,990 2,814 66,990 BA 3,073,597 2,894,766 2,263,990 0 3,123,975 2,966,844 2,257,790 Ryukyu Islands, Army Summary Federal funds: Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 800 BA Total Ryukyu Islands, Army ..„ BA -410 -410 -410 0 _410 -410 -410 BA 22,155 22,872 26,718 Soldiers' and Airmen's Home Trust funds Operation and maintenance Appropriation, current 705 ^796 Outlays 0 21,392 23,018 ^796 See footnotes at end of table. 26,718 8-60 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1983 estimate 1982 estimate 1981 actual Account and functional code Department of Defense-Civil—Con. Soldiers' and Airmen's Home—Con. Payment of claims Appropriation permanent indefinite Outlays Soldiers' and Airmen's Home revolving fund Outlays 705 BA 0 5 5 5 5 23,673 23,819 26,723 26,723 705 0 26 , Summary Federal funds: Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 705 BA 0 Total Federal funds... . Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 1 —1 BA 0 22,155 21,366 705 BA 0 Total Trust funds ... _/ -3,122 -4,021 -4,865 BA 0 19,033 18,244 19,652 19,798 21,858 21,858 BA 0 19,032 18,243 19,652 19,798 21,858 21,858 BA 0 1,159 863 1,316 1,336 1,449 1,389 BA 0 1,159 863 1,316 1,336 1,449 1,389 300 BA 0 -1,159 -1,316 -1,449 Total Soldiers' and Airmen's Home Wildlife Conservation, Military Reservations Federal funds General and Special Funds: Wildlife conservation Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 303 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public Total Wildlife Conservation, Military Reservations Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 0 BA 0 271 BA 0 300 BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. -296 3,106,153 3,154,528 20 2,927,558 2,999,818 -60 2,508,138 2,501,787 -4 ~8 -10 -24,339 -24,648 -25,304 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-61 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Defense-Civil—Con. Summary—Con. 301 303 I" 5 '-270,000 A '-5,000 705 BA ~J 0 800 QA 902 QA -3,181 -3,660 BA 3,078,218 2,898,832 2,203,279 0 3,126,593 2,971,092 2,196,928 103,187 105,212 93,673 93,819 342,713 342,713 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 301 -410 -410 -4,135 BA QA 705 -410 f J -178,000 -3,122 -4,021 -4,865 Total Trust funds BA 19,033 19,652 88,848 Total Department of Defense-Civil 0 BA 0 21,058 3,097,251 3,147,651 19,798 2,918,484 2,990,890 88,848 2,292,127 2,285,776 Department of Health and Human Services Health Programs Public Health Service Food and Drug Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Buildings and facilities Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 554 BA 0 326,925 334,519 328,032 329,644 356,163 353,955 BA 0 28,253 1,686 4,397 7,723 554 8-62 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. Food and Drug Administration—Con. Public Enterprise Funds: Revolving fund for certification and other services 554 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Food and Drug Administration 962 BA 355,178 328,032 356,163 0 337,167 334,041 361,678 1,281,085 1,134,743 Health Services Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Health services Appropriation, current 551 BA Outlays 0 1,298,205 1,409,978 L L Indian health services Appropriation, current 646,522 551 Outlays Indian health facilities Appropriation, current Outlays Emergency health Outlays 846,472 741,260 1,186,870 BA 606,709 599,645 613,280 0 589,999 600,283 613,364 83,053 89,482 47,152 84,884 58,835 0 4 3 0 -49 -736 -736 BA 1,970,847 1,781,540 2,201,012 0 1,977,641 2,094,412 2,504,855 BA 208,980 223,279 166,671 0 220,341 241,735 188,046 BA 67,848 60,331 50,521 0 79,687 68,359 61,804 551 BA 0 054 Public Enterprise Funds: Health professions graduate student loan insurance fund 553 Outlays Total Federal funds Health Services Administration Centers for Disease Control Federal funds General and Special Funds: Preventive health services: (Health care services) (Appropriation, current) 551 (Outlays) (Health research) (Appropriation, current) 552 (Outlays) Total Preventive health services Total Federal funds Centers for Disease Control.. See footnotes at end of table. BA 276,828 283,610 217,192 0 300,028 310,094 249,850 BA 276,828 283,610 217,192 0 300,028 310,094 249,850 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-63 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. National Institutes of Health Federal funds General and Special Funds: National Cancer Institute: (Health research) (Appropriation, current) 552 BA (Outlays) 963,137 963,176 932,674 1,044,892 982,702 955,574 BA 26,218 23,441 22,775 0 22,365 21,855 19,023 0 (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total National Cancer Institute BA 989,355 986,617 955,449 1,067,257 1,004,557 974,597 BA 516,269 529,787 549,677 0 508,250 526,167 540,196 BA 33,424 29,850 27,466 0 32,907 29,639 26,992 BA 549,693 559,637 577,143 0 541,157 555,806 567,188 BA 66,157 67,450 69,914 0 64,354 66,099 68,799 BA 0 4,957 4,822 4,533 4,440 4,548 4,476 BA 71,114 71,983 74,462 0 69,176 70,539 73,275 BA 348,877 349,535 359,560 0 341,492 345,562 354,794 0 National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute: (Health research) (Appropriation, current) 552 (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute.... National Institute of Dental Research: (Health research) (Appropriation, current) 552 (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total National Institute of Dental Research National Institute of Arthritis, Diabetes, and Digestive and Kidney Diseases: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total National Institute of Arthritis, Diabetes, and Digestive and Kidney Diseases See footnotes at end of table. BA 20,585 18,656 19,862 0 22,088 20,144 18,913 369,462 363,580 368,191 365,706 379,422 373,707 BA 0 3-64 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. National Institutes of Health—Con. National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke BA 0 242,861 226,996 257,322 244,756 265,012 258,141 BA 9,672 8,579 9,493 0 9,190 9,400 8,597 BA 252,533 265,901 274,505 0 236,186 254,156 266,738 222,823 252,922 227,288 229,324 237,560 234,278 National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 Total National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases National Institute of General Medical Sciences: (Health research) ' 552 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total National Institute of General Medical Sciences National Institute of Child Health and Human Development: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) See footnotes at end of table. 9,254 10,505 8,607 8,681 8,483 8,366 BA 0 232,077 263,427 235,895 238,005 246,043 242,644 BA 0 278,979 245,199 292,344 280,463 299,473 293,354 BA 0 54,785 48,150 47,518 45,581 46,148 45,202 BA 333,764 339,862 345,621 0 293,349 326,044 338,556 BA 0 210,800 223,471 217,393 218,881 224,508 222,250 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-65 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. National Institutes of Health—Con. (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) BA 0 9,828 11,100 Total National Institute of Child Health and Human Development BA National Eye Institute: (Health research) (Appropriation, current) 8,916 9,300 9,067 8,500 220,628 226,309 233,575 0 234,571 228,181 230,750 BA 113,794 123,828 127,921 99,571 116,161 123,968 552 (Outlays) 0 (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total National Eye Institute BA 0 4,189 3,579 3,546 3,124 3,629 3,205 BA 117,983 127,374 131,550 0 103,150 119,285 127,173 86,609 87,671 99,672 94,878 152,554 132,731 6,882 6,966 6,598 6,276 4,894 4,258 93,491 94,637 106,270 101,154 157,448 136,989 72,780 67,553 79,550 74,424 82,164 79,134 2,353 2,025 2,392 2,058 National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences-. (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 Total National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences BA 0 National Institute on Aging: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 Total National Institute on Aging Research resources: (Health research) (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) See footnotes at end of table. 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 2 8 2,828 2,521 BA 75,608 81,903 84,556 0 70,074 76,449 81,192 174,897 156,884 183,475 178,016 190,315 185,913 552 BA 0 8-66 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 estimate 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. National Institutes of Health—Con. (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) BA 0 702 681 709 693 175,627 157,446 184,177 178,697 191,024 186,606 9,124 7,274 9,205 8,284 10,147 9,278 12,327 12,827 11,752 11,848 12,309 12,218 32,339 33,651 32,650 32,916 33,734 33,485 0 44,666 46,478 44,402 44,764 46,043 45,703 BA 0 20,727 19,227 20,757 20,972 22,340 22,293 BA 0 BA 0 1,804 1,671 1,805 1,823 1,943 1,939 22,531 20,898 22,562 22,795 24,283 24,232 BA 0 11,750 32,801 9,898 23,357 17,500 21,614 27 11 3,640,186 3,617,806 3,748,771 3,700,253 QQ CD 730 562 Total Research resources QQ John E. Fogarty International Center for Advanced Study in the Health Sciences 552 BA Appropriation, current 0 Outlays National Library of Medicine: (Health research) 552 BA (Appropriation, current) 0 (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) O BA Total National Library of Medicine Office of the Director: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total Office of the Director Buildings and facilities Appropriation, currentOutlays 552 Intragovernmental Funds: General research support grants 552 Outlays National Institutes of Health management fund 552 Outlays 0 Consolidated working fund 552 Outlays 0 Service and supply fund 552 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds National Institutes of Health. See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 -501 64 2,775 3,569,406 3,603,805 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-67 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. Alcohol, Drug Abuse, and Mental Health Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Alcohol, drug abuse, and mental health: (Health care services) 551 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) BA 0 599,964 712,344 432,000 684,297 147,278 BA 0 239,667 249,673 255,730 263,136 288,790 280,567 94,452 63,277 16,387 115,747 92,396 61,635 934,083 751,007 305,177 1,077,764 1,039,829 489,480 BA 0 Total Alcohol, drug abuse, and mental health BA 0 Construction and renovation, St. Elizabeths Hospital 551 Outlays Federal subsidy for St. Elizabeths Hospital 551 Appropriation, current Outlays 0 BA 0 5,182 8,156 18,168 99,401 94,717 67,505 119,027 82,717 61,393 Total Federal funds Alcohol, Drug Abuse, and Mental Health Administration BA 1,033,484 845,724 372,682 0 1,201,973 1,130,702 569,041 Health Resources Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Health resources: (Health care services) (Appropriation, current) 551 (Outlays) (Health research) 552 (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total Health resources Public Enterprise Funds: Health education loans Outlays Nurse training fund Outlays See footnotes at end of table. BA 135,333 68,629 11,176 0 171,901 130,610 79,320 0 687 171 BA 0 352,762 456,832 198,550 350,777 125,235 204,036 BA 488,095 267,179 136,411 0 629,420 481,558 283,356 0 -3,168 -1,230 0 -492 -250 553 553 8-68 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. Health Resources Administration—Con. Medical facilities guarantee and loan fund Appropriation, current Outlays 551 BA BA Total Federal funds Health Resources Administration 0 32,105 22,000 35,422 32,000 30,400 BA 0 488,095 657,865 289,179 515,500 168,411 313,756 BA 109,888 66,289 10,313 53,148 95,225 ^ 1,856 56,514 ^ 7,611 Office of Assistant Secretary for Health Federal funds General and Special Funds: Health services management: (Health care services) (Appropriation, current) 551 (Reappropriation) (Outlays) (Health research) (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) A BA 0 8,675 117,812 BA 0 71,742 84,266 53,882 69,659 56,415 61,524 BA 0 190,305 202,078 130,484 166,740 109,563 125,649 552 Total Health services management Health block grants 551 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Retirement pay and medical benefits for commissioned officers 551 Appropriation, current BA Indefinite BA Outlays 0 81,679 80,438 106,172 99,995 82,620 Public Enterprise Funds: Health maintenance organization loan and loan guarantee fund 551 Appropriation, current, indefinite BA Outlays 0 3,087 1,358 2,500 477 2,500 3,000 Intragovernmental Funds: Service and supply fund Outlays Miscellaneous consolidated working funds Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 515,600 387 000 85,433 551 0 804 552 0 4,797 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-69 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. Office of Assistant Secretary for Health—Con. Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite 551 Outlays BA 6,294 4,620 4,545 0 4,299 4,524 4,541 271,984 291,204 236,656 270,593 713,096 598,746 BA 6,294 4,620 4,545 0 4,299 4,524 4,541 BA 7,965,822 7,404,927 7,777,327 0 8,369,683 8,273,148 8,298,179 BA 6,294 4,620 4,545 0 4,299 4,524 4,541 Total Federal funds Office of Assistant Secretary for Health BA 0 Total Trust funds Office of Assistant Secretary for Health Total Federal funds Public Health Service Total Trust funds Public Health Service Other Health Programs Health Care Financing Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Grants to States for Medicaid Appropriation, current 551 BA 17,439,623 17,866,488 L Outlays Payments to health care trust funds Appropriation, current 0 16,833,344 ^ 552J57 -451,000 17,269,843 ^552,757 14,357,462 L -1,432,300 18,889,462 L -1,883,300 551 BA Outlays 0 9,570,600 9,581,041 14,338,000 14,338,000 15,576,000 J -162,000 15,576,000 '-162,000 Program management: (Health care services) (Appropriation, current) 551 BA (Outlays) 0 90,228 66,535 114,505 ^ 5,941 63,235 ^ 2,052 (Health research) (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total Program management See footnotes at end of table. 69,405 65,961 A 3,889 552 BA 0 25,750 20,600 11,500 9,200 20,000 16,000 BA 115,978 83,976 89,405 0 135,105 74,487 85,850 8-70 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Other Health Programs—Con. Health Care Financing AdministrationCon. tntragovernmental Funds: Miscellaneous consolidated working funds Outlays Trust funds Federal hospital insurance trust fund Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 551 0 613 551 J J BA BA 0 32,851,165 29,248,149 19,000 38,274,000 34,279,550 ^ — 142,246 Federal supplementary medical insurance trust fund 551 Appropriation, current BA Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays.. 0 12,451,059 13,240,433 J -2,000 17,572,000 15,520,220 ^ —105,906 BA 0 27,126,201 26,550,103 32,390,221 32,235,087 28,428,567 32,506,012 BA 0 45,302,224 42,488,582 55,863,000 49,551,618 59,383,000 55,352,374 Total Federal funds Health Programs BA 0 35,092,023 34,919,786 39,795,148 40,508,235 36,205,894 40,804,191 Total Trust funds Health Programs BA 0 45,308,518 42,492,881 55,867,620 49,556,142 59,387,545 55,356,915 BA 0 672,225 670,456 844,698 843,750 855,213 855,213 BA 0 1,101,300 1,090,493 1,098,765 1,098,300 1,102,000 1,103,000 BA 7,227,244 7,877,596 ^ —100,738 8,000,137 L _ ioo;OOO Total Federal funds Health Care Financing Administration Total Trust funds Health Care Financing Administration —1,750,000 41,849,000 39,240,983 -1,130,773 J J -160,000 19,444,000 17,858,147 ^ —615,983 Social Security Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Payments to social security trust funds Appropriation, current Outlays Special benefits for disabled coal miners Appropriation, current Outlays Supplemental security income program Appropriation, current 601 601 609 Outlays Assistance payments program Appropriation, current 0 7,191,506 BA 8,484,107 0 8,503,122 L See footnotes at end of table. L 9,177,062 -285,700 9,188,244 -285,700 609 L Outlays L 6,302,260 -201,000 8,321,943 -201,000 6,609,017 -1,155,200 6,609,017 *-1,155,200 L THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-71 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1982 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Social Security Administration—Con. Child support enforcement Appropriation, current 609 BA 553,377 -145,000 553,377 L -145,000 L Outlays.. 0 Combined welfare administration Appropriation, current 609 BA 1,914,000 -259,000 1,914,000 ^ —259,000 L Outlays.. 0 Energy and emergency assistance 609 Appropriation, current Outlays Refugee and entrant assistance 609 Appropriation, current Outlays Payments to states from receipts for child support 609 Appropriation, permanent Outlays BA 0 1,849,500 1,734,353 1,752,000 1,864,701 1,300,000 1,300,000 BA 0 901,652 725,987 669,747 849,152 532,152 633,119 BA 0 497 519 450 520 450 450 BA BA 0 121,571,604 122,304,248 130,139,351 138,197,914 '9,688,000 144,820,921 153,207,491 J 1,176,000 Trust funds Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund 601 Appropriation, current, indefinite Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Federal disability insurance trust fund Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 601 BA BA 0 J -5,313,000 19,378,292 18,938,323 J 214,000 (3,408,451) 12,992,425 17,280,271 21,989,235 18,446,498 (2,777,050) (3,017,000) A (42,900) Total Federal funds Social Security Administration BA 0 20,236,525 19,916,436 18,243,778 20,677,503 20,198,371 20,311,520 Total Trust funds Social Security Administration.. BA 0 134,564,029 139,584,519 152,128,586 156,644,412 168,574,213 173,535,814 2,398,660 2,646,150 2,400,000 2,911,511 1,974,126 1,974,126 Limitation on administrative expenses Human Development Services Federal funds General and Special Funds: Human services block grants Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 506 BA 0 8-72 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1983 estimate 1982 estimate 1981 actual Account and functional code Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Human Development Services—Con. Services to selected groups: (Elementary, secondary, and vocational education) 501 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 (Higher education) 502 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 (Social services) 506 (Appropriation, current) BA 70,043 79,020 75,168 82,325 77,297 84,234 H 2,644,952 -91,171 H 2,350,866 -77,495 2,598,575 2,337,627 L BA O 2,673,539 2,922,166 2,633,749 2,360,670 BA O 75,483 85,620 58,062 71,686 57,291 61,392 BA 173,750 465,149 O 179,850 506 506 Outlays.. L 493,057 L 420,120 -40,000 423,427 -40,000 506 BA 2,000 1,834 1,572 1,922 2,971 4,217 4,331 BA O 2,000 4,805 5,789 6,253 BA O 365,000 381,067 245,760 268,575 11,353 366,075 311,249 103,500 150,550 -21,532 -1,000 0 552 Total Scientific activities overseas. Work incentives Appropriation, currentOutlays Community services Appropriation, currentOutlays 4,924 4,924 2,838,399 Total Services to selected groups. Scientific activities overseas: (special foreign currency program) (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (special foreign currency program) (Outlays) 4,800 4,974 -4,123 2,389,772 H -13,676 L -4,123 2,415,725 2,461,131 (Outlays). Human resources research and demonstration Appropriation, current Outlays Child welfare block grants Appropriation, current 4,921 4,747 504 506 BA 0 Public Enterprise Funds: Rural Development loan fund 452 Outlays Community development credit unions revolving fund 452 Outlays Total Federal funds Human Development Services See footnotes at end of table. 23,038 BA 0 3,322 878 -1,000 5,688,432 6,246,018 6,168,795 6,401,883 4,930,762 5,046,232 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-73 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Departmental Management Federal funds General and Special Funds: General Departmental management Appropriation, current Outlays Office of Inspector General Appropriation, current Outlays Office for Civil Rights Appropriation, current Outlays Office of Consumer Affairs Appropriation, current Outlays Policy research Appropriation, current Outlays 609 BA 131,454 140,982 158,969 0 127,623 137,562 156,472 BA 0 55,578 54,094 78,809 71,510 72,240 68,147 BA 0 17,420 19,417 17,063 17,321 19,163 19,084 609 751 506 BA 0 2,256 1,746 1,760 1,780 1,987 1,954 609 BA 0 19,500 22,496 13,440 17,599 14,718 15,605 Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund Outlays Consolidated working fund Outlays Grants management fund Outlays 506 561 1,094 0 2,091 1,243 0 -192 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) BA 0 226,208 227,836 252,054 248,109 267,077 262,504 BA 0 61,243,188 61,310,076 64,459,775 67,835,730 61,602,104 66,424,447 500 BA nno A Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts.Intrafund transactions 1,242 552 Total Federal funds Departmental Management... Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 0 506 cnn —ZUo cni —oUU —bUl 550 BA _ 24,826 902 QA -6,079 BA 61,212,075 64,441,692 61,583,076 0 61,278,963 67,817,647 66,405,419 179,872,547 182,077,400 207,996,206 206,200,554 227,961,758 228,892,729 _ _mfi0(j _ BA 0 601 BA i m m -16,232 -17,176 -1,251 QA -1,251 J 2 m m 2,218,000 on? RA Q See footnotes at end of table. -30,069 -36,928 -509,000 8-74 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1982 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Summary—Con. Proprietary receipts from the public 551 554 601 902 Total Trust funds BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 551 BA 0 BA 0 601 BA 0 Interfund transactions Total Department of Health and Human Services BA 0 J -3,339,912 -3,862,000 J -5,063 41,000 -4,418,000 J 26,000 6,000 -4,142 -4,217 -89 -2 174,883,037 177,087,890 202,098,061 200,302,409 223,097,616 224,028,587 -9,581,030 -14,338,000 -15,576,000 J 162,000 -670,456 -843,658 -855,213 225,843,626 228,115,367 251,358,095 252,938,398 268,411,479 274,164,793 Department of Housing and Urban Development Housing Programs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Subsidized housing programs Contract authority, current 604 Contract authority, permanent Liquidation of contract authority, current Outlays Payments for operation of low income housing projects 604 Appropriation, current Outlays Troubled projects operating subsidy 604 Appropriation, current Outlays Congregate services program 604 Outlays Housing counseling assistance 506 Appropriation, current Outlays Mobile home standards program 376 Outlays See footnotes at end of table. BA BA 0 16,336,528 ^ —1,750,480 "-9,399,789 32,335 30,257 (7,207,123) (8,629,000) 5,746,548 6,726,000 24,807,201 -5,245,901 24,800 (9,538,000) 7,352,000 BA 0 1,070,800 928,581 1,292,906 1,278,000 1,075,000 1,110,000 BA 0 18,050 52,735 4,000 83,000 24,000 0 1,376 4,000 6,000 BA 0 7,000 5,437 3,520 4,000 2,810 96 405 0 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-75 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Housing and Urban Development—Con. Housing Programs—Con. Manufactured home inspection and monitoring 376 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Interstate land sales 376 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Public Enterprise Funds: Federal Housing Administration fund 371 Appropriation, current, indefinite Authority to borrow, permanent Outlays Low-rent public housing-loans and other expenses 604 Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite Liquidation of contract authority, current BA 0 4,724 4,671 4,449 7,240 BA 0 216 414 171 171 171 171 BA BA 0 268,640 143,402 181,588 94,900 156,650 -244,666 78,405 55,745 -1,178,726 BA 34,360 (1,060,422) (1,400,000) A Outlays Housing for the elderly or handicapped fund Authority to borrow, current, indefinite Outlays Nonprofit sponsor assistance Outlays Community disposal operations fund Outlays Rental housing assistance fund Outlays Revolving fund (liquidating programs) Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Intragovernmental Funds: Disaster assistance fund Outlays 5,700 6,632 77,359 (1,400,000) 6,094 104,661 797,036 817,404 744,511 711,000 276,617 286,264 0 146 800 600 0 -394 -358 -289 0 3,076 2,542 BA BA 0 903 16 -26,738 84 6 -27,400 0 -23,007 -4,738 27,184,683 7,517,713 -3,727,966 7,769,292 8,546,090 7,666,666 0 371 BA 0 604 451 604 451 962 535 -47,457 453 Total Federal funds Housing Programs BA 0 Government National Mortgage Association Federal funds General and Special Funds: Payment of participation sales insufficiencies Appropriation, current Public Enterprise Funds: Special assistance functions fund Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite 371 BA 371 Outlays Emergency mortgage purchase assistance Outlays Management and liquidating functions fund Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 2,295 BA BA BA 1,769 877 1,352,914 1,880 205 1,249,423 1,764 116 0 1,302,613 1,282,190 1,372,904 0 -73,721 -139,347 -67,841 0 -12,284 -25,500 -10,000 371 371 8-76 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Housing and Urban Development—Con. Government National Mortgage Association—Con. Guarantees of mortgage-backed securities Outlays Participation sales fund: (Mortgage credit and thrift insurance) (Outlays) (Other advancement of commerce) (Outlays) (Community development) (Outlays) (Higher education) (Outlays) (Health research) (Outlays) (Veterans housing) (Outlays) 371 0 -92,015 -118,200 -148,670 0 23,003 32,610 -11,623 0 -12,145 -5,068 -3,147 371 376 451 0 617 823 -837 502 0 -2,965 -3,248 -2,293 552 0 -561 -423 -352 0 51,327 -13,962 -12,597 0 59,276 10,732 -30,849 BA 1,357,855 1,251,508 1,880 0 1,183,869 1,009,875 1,115,544 704 Total Participation sales fund Total Federal funds Government National Mortgage Association Solar Energy and Energy Conservation Bank Federal funds General and Special Funds: Assistance for solar and conservation ments Appropriation, current improve272 BA Outlays 0 250 250 H 21,850 -21,850 6,850 ^ —6,850 H 15,000 -15,000 Community Planning and Development Federal funds General and Special Funds: Community development grants Appropriation, current Outlays Urban development action grants Appropriation, current Reappropriation Outlays Urban homesteading Appropriation, current Outlays Rental rehabilitation grants Appropriation, current Planning assistance Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 451 BA 0 3,694,600 4,042,407 3,456,000 4,005,000 3,456,000 3,350,000 BA BA 0 675,000 435,100 5,025 525,000 440,000 451 371,114 550,000 451 BA 0 * 12,000 12,000 20,000 451 J BA 150,000 451 BA 0 15,756 38,941 20,290 4,738 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-77 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Housing and Urban Development—Con. Community Planning and Development— Con. Neighborhood self-help development program Appropriation, current Outlays Miscellaneous appropriations Outlays 451 BA 0 881 8,886 4,763 0 4,556 3,704 451 Public Enterprise Funds: Rehabilitation loan fund 451 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Urban renewal programs 451 Liquidation of contract authority, permanent Outlays 0 5,631 60,000 11,950 (67,453) 143,699 (92,652) 100,000 (70,000) 70,000 Total Federal funds Community Planning and Development BA 0 4,391,868 4,669,603 3,896,125 4,690,707 4,058,000 3,986,738 BA 0 -4,029 1,232 -453 1,295 450 BA 0 47,575 49,058 33,096 33,496 32,781 32,981 Total Federal funds New Community Development Corporation BA 0 43,546 50,290 32,643 34,791 32,781 33,431 BA 39,650 20,000 0 43,178 27,740 * 20,000 25,440 BA 0 5,700 723 5,016 7,556 5,700 5,763 New Community Development Corporation Federal funds General and Special Funds: New community assistance grants Appropriation, current, indefinite Outlays 451 Public Enterprise Funds: New communities fund Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite Outlays 451 Policy Development and Research Federal funds General and Special Funds: Research and technology Appropriation, current 451 Outlays.. Fair Housing and Equal Opportunity Federal funds General and Special Funds: Fair housing assistance Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 751 8-78 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code Department Of 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Housing and Urban Development—Con. Management and Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses, Including transfer of funds: (Energy conservation) 272 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Community development) 451 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Public assistance and other income supplements) 604 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Federal law enforcement activities) 751 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total Salaries and expenses, Including transfer of funds BA 0 17 16 BA 0 214,664 202,619 194,800 194,253 216,679 217,783 BA 0 92,233 86,564 102,720 102,432 82,190 82,609 BA 0 22,182 20,902 21,980 21,918 22,132 22,244 BA 0 329,096 310,101 319,500 318,603 321,001 322,636 BA 0 8,332 528 2,407 314 BA 0 15 BA 0 329,096 318,433 320,028 321,010 321,001 322,950 BA 0 15 BA 0 33,352,648 14,035,638 13,043,033 14,637,769 711,396 13,156,532 -189 -21154 -24,554 -2,087 -2,122 -2,122 33,350,372 14,033,362 13,019,757 14,614,493 Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund Appropriation, currentOutlays Trust funds Gifts and bequests Appropriation, permanent, indefinite.. Outlays 451 451 Total Federal funds Management and Administration Total Trust funds Management and Administration Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public Total Federal funds.. See tootnotes at end ot table. 450 BA 0 902 BA 0 BA 0 684,720 13,129,856 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-79 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Housing and Urban Development—Con. Summary—Con. Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) BA 0 15 Total Department of Housing and Urban Development BA 0 33,350,372 14,033,377 13,019,760 14,614,496 684,720 13,129,856 355,326 4,750 * 368,777 Department of the Interior Land and Water Resources Bureau of Land Management Federal funds General and Special Funds: Management of lands and resources Appropriation, current 302 BA 406,621 1 Outlays Construction, access, and land acquisition Appropriation, current Outlays Payments in lieu of taxes Appropriation, current 399,990 60,000 339,688 ^ 60,000 BA 14,768 15,223 0 16,799 13,138 BA 103,000 95,520 0 104,082 95,520 0 351,290 302 *2,711 2,207 852 Outlays J 45,000 '45,000 Oregon and California grant lands 302 Appropriation, current, indefinite Outlays Range improvements 302 Appropriation, current, indefinite Outlays Recreation development and operation of recreation facilities 302 Outlays Service charges, deposits, and forfeitures 302 Appropriation, current, indefinite Outlays Miscellaneous permanent appropriations: (Conservation and land management) 302 (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) (Other general purpose fiscal assistance) 852 (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) Total Miscellaneous permanent appropriations See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 48,478 54,251 52,788 49,726 52,883 49,883 BA 0 13,117 11,660 13,226 13,226 11,048 11,048 0 106 24 BA 0 8,296 5,828 9,600 9,500 10,000 9,500 BA 0 3,811 3,296 3,000 3,000 4,000 4,000 BA 0 436,255 435,676 593,699 593,699 756,461 756,461 BA 0 440,066 438,972 596,699 596,699 760,461 760,461 8-80 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1983 estimate 1982 estimate 1981 actual Account and functional code Department of the Interior—Con. Land and Water Resources—Con. Bureau of Land Management—Con. Intragovemmental Funds: Working capital fund Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, current, indefinite Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 302 0 -909 302 Total Federal funds Bureau of Land Management BA BA BA BA 0 100 968 1,111 100 600 700 100 600 700 BA 1,034,346 1,030,779 1,198,382 1,177,521 1,255,630 1,229,389 0 1,068 1,111 700 700 700 700 BA 0 22,924 26,400 22,614 26,886 39,600 39,600 BA 0 576,115 590,975 548,505 612,947 666,585 666,585 BA 0 40,029 40,610 30,596 30,279 36,485 35,485 BA 0 829 11160 BA 0 106,317 106,375 118,518 109,383 140,850 138,680 BA 0 40,500 38,839 39,928 41,416 49,300 49,300 BA BA 0 600 1,695 2,426 600 2,100 2,700 600 2,100 2,700 0 -19,375 .. 0 -16,893 0 Total Trust funds Bureau of Land Management... BA Bureau of Reclamation Federal funds General and Special Funds: Loan program Appropriation, current Outlays Construction program Appropriation, current Outlays General investigations Appropriation, current Outlays Emergency fund Appropriation, current Outlays Operation and maintenance Appropriation, current Outlays General administrative expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Miscellaneous permanent appropriations Appropriation, permanent Indefinite Outlays 301 301 301 301 1,000 301 301 852 Public Enterprise Funds: Colorado River Basin project Outlays Upper Colorado River storage project Outlays 301 301 Intragovemmental Funds: Consolidated working fund Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 301 -3.987 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-81 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Land and Water Resources—Con. Bureau of Reclamation—Con. Trust funds Reclamation trust funds Dropnation, permanent, indefinite... tlays 301 Total Federal funds Bureau of Reclamation Total Trust funds Bureau of Reclamation BA 0 6,969 6,827 8,352 8,352 13,800 13,800 BA 0 788,180 766,199 762,861 834,771 936,520 932,350 BA 0 6,969 6,827 8,352 8,352 13,800 13,800 BA BA 0 24,585 2,745 33,082 10,636 Office of Water Research and Technology Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Reappropriation Outlays 301 25,900 4,635 Intragovernmental Funds: Consolidated working fund Outlays 306 86 0 Total Federal funds Office of Water Research and Technology BA 0 27,330 33,082 10,636 25,986 4,635 Total Federal funds Land and Water Resources... BA 0 1,849,856 1,830,060 1,971,879 2,038,278 2,192,150 2,166,374 BA 0 8,037 7,938 9,052 9,052 14,500 14,500 BA 233,183 218,922 0 228,774 220,350 A 1,800 213,740 ^ 1,700 BA 0 35,397 71,465 6,683 28,844 12,705 12,594 16,491 11,860 1,567 5,546 1,200 16,376 16,757 16,376 15,876 Total Trust funds Land and Water Resources Fish and Wildlife and Parks United States Fish and Wildlife Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Resource management Appropriation, current 303 Outlays.. Construction Appropriation, current Outlays Land acquisition Appropriation, current Outlays Migratory bird conservation account Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 360-000 0 - 8 2 - 2 9 212,428 MOO 303 303 BA 0 303 BA BA 0 1,250 15,140 18,437 8-82 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Fish and Wildlife and Parks—Con. United States Fish and Wildlife Service— Con. Development and operation of recreation facilities 303 Outlays National wildlife refuge fund Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent Outlays Miscellaneous permanent appropriations Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 0 92 BA BA 0 8,500 5,892 11,647 5,760 4,053 9,002 4,053 3,953 BA 0 124,863 131,758 145,400 126,597 158,730 132,584 852 303 Intragovernmental Funds: Consolidated working fund Outlays 303 0 920 .. Trust funds Contributed funds 303 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Total Federal funds United States Fish and Wildlife Service BA 0 3,327 3,077 3,442 3,142 3,750 3,242 424,225 463,093 418,113 408,500 412,353 383,081 Total Trust funds United States Fish and Wildlife Service BA 0 3,327 3,077 3,442 3,142 3,750 3,242 BA 475,021 539,703 0 460,155 512,882 A 2,200 494,675 ^ 2,200 12,372 14,324 6,987 6,682 43,367 134,270 85,172 136,913 123,721 127,009 0 2,577 5,015 BA 0 4,541 4,440 4,142 4,101 3,986 3,884 BA 0 1,000 18,374 7,680 64,441 38,554 National Park Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operation of the national park system Appropriation, current 303 Outlays.. National recreation and preservation 303 Appropriation, current Outlays Construction 303 Appropriation, current Outlays Road construction 303 Outlays John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts 303 Appropriation, current Outlays Urban park and recreation fund 303 Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 BA 0 534,620 8-83 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1982 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Fish and Wildlife and Parks—Con. National Park Service—Con. Land and water conservation fund 303 Appropriation, current BA Contract authority, permanent BA Outlays 0 Land acquisition 303 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Planning, development, and operation of recreation facilities 303 Outlays 0 Historic preservation fund 303 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Commemorative activities fund 303 Outlays 0 Miscellaneous permanent appropriations 303 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA 288,593 30,000 494,960 30,000 382,400 182,300 103,462 66,600 59,776 71,700 5,023 2,287 26,000 52,637 25,440 44,290 21 295 0 437 373 405 405 405 405 0 -632 BA 0 -12,000 1 3,000 499 BA 0 821 956 1,764 1,764 1,700 1,700 Total Federal funds National Park Service BA 0 868,959 1,172,198 783,755 1,217,946 734,578 987,968 Total Trust funds National Park Service BA 0 -11,179 957 1,764 4,764 1,700 2,199 Total Federal funds Fish and Wildlife and Parks.. BA 1,293,184 1,635,291 1,201,868 1,626,446 1,146,931 1,371,049 BA 0 -7,852 4,034 5,206 7,906 5,450 5,441 BA 0 516,056 510,424 494,545 497,730 507,577 506 705 Outlays... 22,814 Intragovernmental Funds: Consolidated working fund Outlays 303 Trust funds Construction (trust fund) Appropriation, current Outlays Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 401 303 0 Total Trust funds Fish and Wildlife and Parks Energy and Minerals Geological Survey Federal funds General and Special Funds: Surveys, investigations and research Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 306 8-84 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1982 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Energy and Minerals—Con. Geological Survey—Con. Barrow area gas operation, exploration, and development 271 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Exploration of national petroleum reserve in Alaska 271 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Payments from proceeds, sale of water 301 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 6,400 5,900 107,001 114,505 2,196 .. 74,981 3,970 2 -1 Intragovernmental Funds: Digitial cartography Appropriation, current Outlays Consolidated working fund Outlays 306 BA 0 3,873 3,330 306 0 Total Federal funds Geological Survey -15,427 .. BA 0 623,059 609,501 496,741 572,711 517,850 519,905 BA BA 0 89,679 5,800 74,786 58,515 62,173 66,366 65,828 BA 0 82,485 56,365 102,082 70,600 97,649 80,520 Total Federal funds Office of Surface Mining Reclamation and Enforcement BA 0 177,964 131,151 160,597 136,966 159,822 146,348 BA 142,319 124,676 0 156,694 146,529 ^ 4,073 150,549 A 1,000 645 300 300 Office of Surface Mining Reclamation and Enforcement Federal funds General and Special Funds: Regulation and technology Appropriation, current Reappropriation Outlays Abandoned mine reclamation fund Appropriation, current Outlays 302 302 Bureau of Mines Federal funds General and Special Funds: Mines and minerals Appropriation, currentOutlays 306 Drainage of anthracite mines Outlays 306 Public Enterprise Funds: Helium fund Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 306 -251 131,436 ^ 3,564 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-85 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Energy and Minerals—Con. Bureau of Mines—Con. Intragovernmental Funds: Consolidated working fund Outlays 306 , 0 1,380 652 BA 0 692 599 800 800 800 800 BA 142,319 150,602 124,676 0 158,468 152,501 135,300 BA 692 800 800 0 599 800 800 Trust funds Contributed funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 306 Total Federal funds Bureau of Mines Total Trust funds Bureau of Mines Total Federal funds Energy and Minerals Total Trust funds Energy and Minerals BA 943,342 807,940 802,348 0 899,120 862,178 801,553 BA 692 800 800 0 599 800 800 Indian Affairs Bureau of Indian Affairs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operation of Indian programs-. (Conservation and land management) (Appropriation, current) 302 (Outlays) (Area and regional development) 452 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Elementary, secondary, and vocational education) 501 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total Operation of Indian programs Indian education assistance Appropriation, current Outlays Construction Appropriation, current BA 85,712 0 82,283 77,743 ^7,000 77,720 A 7,000 87,203 83,700 BA 0 482,245 465,855 469,971 469,840 505,375 489,218 BA 0 270,183 259,375 254,506 254,440 256,672 246,466 BA 838,140 809,220 849,250 0 807,513 809,000 819,384 77,852 51,119 501 BA , 0 81,680 H -6,255 73,531 71,026 H -2,005 "-3,417 56,419 452 BA 100,182 93,628 76,200 J Outlays 0 76,857 85,000 29,800 80,000 5,000 J See footnotes at end of table. 8-86 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Indian Affairs—Con. Bureau of Indian Affairs—Con. Impact aid: school construction affecting lands Appropriation, current Outlays Road construction Appropriation, current Outlays Eastern Indian land claims settlement fund Appropriation, current Outlays Miscellaneous permanent appropriations: (Area and regional development) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) (Other general government) (Appropriation, current) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays). Indian 501 BA 0 22,865 10,170 9,000 25,350 838 18,824 BA 0 48,625 69,536 47,160 53,000 43,585 44,325 BA 0 81,500 81,765 958 BA 0 29,289 28,035 29,000 26,700 29,000 27,000 BA BA 30,000 844 30,857 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 BA 0 60,133 58,892 30,000 27,700 30,000 28,000 -1,099 5,200 6,300 1,570 2,800 2,700 3,000 50,000 485,400 387,800 3,000 50,000 518,200 438,600 452 806 452 806 Total Miscellaneous permanent appropriations Public Enterprise Funds: Revolving fund for loans 452 Outlays 0 Indian loan guaranty and insurance fund 452 Outlays 0 Liquidation of Hoonah Housing Project revolving fund 452 Outlays 0 Intragovernmental Funds: Consolidated working fund Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds: (Area and regional development) (Appropriation, current) (Indefinite) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) (Other general government) (Appropriation, permanent) (Outlays) 452 BA BA BA 0 2,032 46,775 569,114 362,719 BA 0 30,000 30,000 BA 0 647,921 392,719 538,400 387,800 571,200 438,600 BA 0 BA 0 1,233,125 1,142,509 1,060,605 1,080,534 1,080,792 1,072,142 647,921 392,719 538,400 387,800 571,200 438,600 806 Total Federal funds Bureau of Indian Affairs. See footnotes at end of table. -19,119 452 Total Miscellaneous trust funds Total Trust funds Bureau of Indian Affairs 0 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-87 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Territorial Affairs Office of Territorial Affairs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Administration of territories Appropriation, current 806 BA 77,915 86,990 54,911 *3,165 Outlays 0 Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands Appropriation, current 79,913 ^ 3,402 82,710 66,928 ^ 2,930 M72 76,157 75,500 806 BA Outlays 0 Micronesian claims fund, Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands 806 Outlays Payments to the United States territories, fiscal assistance 852 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 0 BA 0 94,522 116,755 A 21,000 99,733 95,655 ^ 1,400 ^ 5,800 -15 1,676 66,366 54,200 54,200 113,366 57,359 54,200 Internal revenue collections for the Virgin Islands 852 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Office of Territorial Affairs.... BA 0 28 231 - 238,803 241,749 187,776 310,047 246,039 223,055 Secretarial Offices Office of the Solicitor and Office of the Secretary Federal funds General and Special Funds: Office of the Solicitor, salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 306 Outlays Departmental management 306 Appropriation, current Outlays Construction management 306 Appropriation, current Outlays Office of Inspector General, salaries and expenses 306 Appropriation, current Outlays Youth conservation corps 302 Appropriation, current Outlays Salaries and expenses (special foreign currency program) 306 Outlays See footnotes at end of table. BA 17,908 17,600 19,071 0 17,359 17,071 18,498 BA 0 41,108 44,412 40,213 38,464 44,157 42,172 BA 0 8,789 1,416 3,840 4,500 4,000 BA 0 9,119 7,227 10,219 9,485 11,400 10,700 BA 0 0 26,000 19,220 4,200 7,002 704 450 550 8-88 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1983 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Secretarial Offices—Con. Office of the Solicitor and Office of the Secretary—Con. Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund 306 Outlays 0 Consolidated working fund, Office of the Secretary 306 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Office of the Solicitor and Office of the Secretary BA 0 -2,532 6,807 102,924 94,613 76,072 76,972 74,628 75,920 2,426 2,426 1,825 1,825 Energy Programs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Administrative support for energy programs: (Energy supply) 271 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Naval petroleum and oil shale reserve 271 Appropriation, current Outlays Strategic petroleum reserve 274 Appropriation, current * Outlays Strategic petroleum reserve entitlements and royalties 274 Appropriation, current Outlays BA 0 2,024 2,024 * BA 0 216,713 147,676 213,142 294,443 232,500 274,500 BA 0 2,790,507 3,313,985 191,432 227,402 242,118 302,400 BA 0 542,146 508,321 BA 0 3,069 2,960 3,538 3,496 2,809 2,809 BA 0 1,552 1,552 7,237 6,931 11,848 11,462 BA 0 261 207 50 104 General and Special Funds: Operation and maintenance, Alaska Power Administration 271 Appropriation, current Outlays Operation and maintenance, Southeastern Power Administration 271 Appropriation, current Outlays Continuing fund, Southeastern Power Administration 271 Appropriation, permanent Outlays General and Special Funds: Operation and maintenance, Southwestern Power Administration 271 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Continuing fund, Southwestern Power Administration 271 Appropriation, current BA See footnotes at end of table. 28,208 32,930 107 21,269 29,285 34,290 34,290 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-89 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1981 actual Account and functional code 1982 estimate 1983 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Energy Programs—Con. Construction, rehabilitation, operation and maintenance, Western Area Power Administration 271 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Emergency fund, Western Area Power Administration 271 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Public Enterprise Funds: Colorado river basins power marketing fund, Western Area Power Administration 271 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Bonneville Power Administration fund 271 Authority to borrow, current BA Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Energy Programs 138,502 148,964 210,774 210,371 207,200 207,200 200 355 500 500 500 500 3,548 -17,751 -2,049 -5,000 276,000 1