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Published Weekly by the FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of CLEVELAND
to
December 2, 1957
November 26, 1957

STOCK MARKET

The mercurial nature of the investing public was
evinced by the happenings of last week. Although information regarding the President's health was fragmentary and confused, the stock market broke badly in the last half hour on Tuesday.
The reaction on Wednesday, when more details became available, sent
stock prices skyrocketing. The sharp turnabout seemed to be based
not so. much on the news, as on second thoughts. The rally which
followed, and carried through to the end of the week, indicated that
there was considerable technical strength in the market, regardless
of what the level will be six months hence. (Forrest. N. Y. Times,

12/1 III p .1)
The Department of Labor reported that unemployment
had increased in most major production and employment centers during the autumn. The survey said
three-fifths of the 149 major areas had experienced increases in unemployment, but they generally were small to moderate. Areas reporting the most significant increases in labor supply were mostly those
with concentrations of employment in aircraft, where employment has
declined as a result of defense procurement cutbacks, and in machinery
and primary metals. The Department said that area employment conditions, while less favorable than in September, had not been seriously
affected by the increased unemployment and that job totals had remained at or near peaks -for the season in many areas. (N. Y. Times,

UNEMPLOYMENT UP
IN MOST AREAS

11/30 p.4)
COI1TON MILLS
BOOST PRICES

Cotton goods price increases are broadening. Mark-ups
were announced by four leading textile producers on
various types of finished cotton fabrics. The C?mpa- nies ascribed the price boosts chiefly to the recent sharp climb in
Selection of these items does not imply t_his bank's guaranty of their accuracy,


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nor agreem ent with the views expressed.

raw cotton costs, but said they also reflected strengthening demand.
Price improvement in finished cotton cloth came in the wake of increases over the past fortnight in quotations for cotton gray goods-unfinished cloth. Extended shutdowns which many mills plan to make
over the Thanksgiving and Christmas holidays have been a factor in
the turn-for-the-better in gray goods markets. These curtailments
are expected to lighten the burden of mill inventories, which have
been holding prices down for months. (Wall St. J., 11/26 p.1)
While many key industries are turning downward,
tire sales this year are expected to run 4% ahead of 1956. And next year will see gains of
3% to 5%, rubber company officials are estimating. This reflects the
still growing influence of the automobile and other motor vehicles.
It's the passenger car replacement market that is giving tire men
something to shout about. Rubber manufacturers say it is the most
stable, steadily gaining and profitable end of the tire business.
Since 1950 the number of cars on the highways has grown to an ~stimated 51.5 million from 35.7 million--a gain of 44% in seven years.
A further increase of 3.5 million is likely a year from now, one official observes. Other tire men say the outlook is indeed good. In
weighing the 1957 outlook a year ago, officials forecast moderate
gains of 1% to 2% in total passenger tire replacement shipments.
Rubber company executives have boosted their estimates several times
since then, and now they figure on record 1957 shipments of 56.5 million, about 6% above a year ago. (Byrne. Wall St. J., 11/29 p.18)

TIRE SAIES EXPECTED
TO RUN 4% ABOVE '56

DISPERSAL OF
BASES URGED

Two prominent scientists, speaking before a Senate investigating subcommittee headed by Lyndon B. Johnson,
urged the immediate strengthening and dispersal of the
bases of United States heavy bombers as a precaution against Soviet
ballistic missile attack. This recommendation led a list of five
proposals for action submitted by Dr. Edward H. Teller, known for his
work in developing the hydrogen bomb. The five proposals were endorsed by Dr. Vannevar Bush, former head of the Research and Development Board.
Dr. Teller suggested the following as of the highest priority:
Carefully look into the strength and capacity of the Strategic Air
Command, with special emphasis on dispersal of bases; accelerate and
expand the missiles program, including research on space platforms
and the like, and introduce overtime work on production, if possible;
examine the country's passive defense situation, with a view to building a network of atomic radiation shelters and storehouses of food
and raw materials; enlarge the program for building nuclear-powered
-submarines; and improve the nation's facilities for scientific

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education, with special emphasis on techniQues that would change the
public's attitude toward scientists. (Raymond. N. Y. Times, 11/26
p.1)
LOW REDEMPTION
LEVEL "GOOD"

Surveying the recent refunding operations, the Treasury said that only a small perc.;entage of holders
of a maturing $10 billion issue decided to take cash
rather than swap for new securities. Officials rated the low level
of cash redemptions as "good". Of the total amount of the maturing
issue, some $8 billion was held by the Federal Reserve System or was
in Government accounts and was completely "rolled over" or refunded.
The other $2 billion was in public hands, and Treasury officials estimated the attrition (cash redemption) of this portion of the issue
was only 7%. (Wall St. J., 11/29 p.11)
The Government (November 25) offered investors
$200 million of new securities in what it hopes
will be its last borrowing operation this year.
The securities were offered by the Federal National Mortgage Association. The $200 million will be turned over to the Treasury to repay
earlier mortgage association borrowings from the Government. The
maneuver will give the Treasury money that it needs to pay its bills,
but won't shrink the perilously close margin that now separates the
Treasury from the $275 billion statutory debt ceiling. FNMA now has
come to the Treasury's rescue on two separate occasions. The Government has been skidding along just under the debt ceiling since last
summer, and earlier this fall FNMA borrowed $802 million which it
turned over to the Treasury. Financial officials believe that completion of the FNMA offering will make it possible for the Government
to stay out of the securities market until early in Janup,ry. (Slevin.
N. Y. Herald Trib., 11/26 III p.6)
$200 MILLION ISSUE
OFFERED BY FNMA

LAKES FREIGHTERS

The last of a fleet of more than 100 ocean freighters is scurrying eastward from the Great Lakes
bound for overseas and leaving behind a season's
cargo record unsurpassed in the more than 27-year history of the inland shipping link with European ports. While several cargo tonnage
figures are still in the unofficial stage, others estimate the tonnage in and out of the lakes this season will show about a 40,000-ton
increase. Last year a lesser number of ships carried out or brought
in 575,000 tons of export-import general cargo. The feeling among
shipowners is that the cargo increase is an indication that shippers
are experimenting with the Great Lakes navigation routes prior to the
opening of the St. Lawrence Seaway in 1959 to determine whether or
not time and money can be saved by using the inland shipping route
CHALK UP RECORD


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rather than by moving freight through seaboard ports.
J~ of Comm., 11/26 p.1)

(Mantrap.

12 NEW ORE BOATS

Pittsburgh Steamship division of U.S. Steel Corp.
has long-range plans for building 12 large new
iron ore carriers for the Great Lakes trade, Admiral Charles R. Khoury (Ret.), president of the division, said at a news
conference. The program probably would involve an outlay of around
$100 million. Adm. Khoury stressed that no final decision has been
reached on the vessel building program. It is doubted that the new
vessel building program, when completed, would result in any substantial gain in total capacity of Pittsburgh Steamship's lake fleet.
The division has plans for replacing 29 older, smaller and less powerful vessels with the new boats, actually reducing the total number of
ships in the fleet by 17. Adm. Khoury said Pittsburgh Steamship is
considering building vessels with cargo capacities of 20,000 to 25,000
tons and 700 feet long. The largest vessel in its fleet at present
is the A.M. Anderson, with a capacity of a little under 20,000 tons.
(Wall St. J., 11/27 p.8)

FOR GREAT LAKES

SECURITIES SALES
AT RECORD LEVEL

U.S. corporations tapped the capital markets at a
record third quarter rate between July and September of this year. A Securities and Exchange Commission survey showed the companies marketed $3 billion in new securities in the third quarter, up from $2.7 billion, the former record
for the corresponding period set in 1956. Wh le the third quarter
total fell short of the $3.6 billion offered in the first quarter and
$3.3 billion in the second quarter, the SEC said it lifted the combined offerings for the first nine months of 1957 to a record $9.9 billion, up $2 billion from the previous high during the like period
last year. The Commission ascribed the record flow of securities
offerings to a "high level of business spending for expansion". It
reported the corporations floated $1.9 billion in securities for plant
and equipment expenses during the third quarter, while another
$900 million of securities were offered for working capital. (Wall
St. J., 11/26 p.16)


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