The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
BANK NOTES SECURED BY Commercial Assets AN ADDRESS DELIVERED BY J. LAURENCE LAUGHLIN, Member of the Indianapolis Monetary Commission. BEFORE THE BANKERS’ CLUB OF CHICAGO, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1898. BOND-SECURED CIRCULATION. The people of the United States have become accustomed to the security of bank notes based upon the deposit with the government of national bonds. For thirty-five years this has furnished an absolutely safe bank circulation. There is good reason why they should have come to regard this system as highly satisfactory, and why there should be a strong belief that no other kind of security would be acceptable. It is well.understood, however, to be the. traditional policy of the United States to pay offiits bonded indebtedness. Since the close of the Civil War the reduction of the debt has gone on in a way to surprise the debt-burdened countries of Europe. Twothirds of the debt existing at the close of the Civil War has been paid off and the amount of bonds now available for na tional bank circulation is not large. If we should return to the policy of the past and begin the payment of our national debt again, it is evident that United States bonds could not be used to provide a permanent and increasing bank circulation. Cer tainly, we may not seriously discuss the possibility that a debt of the United States would be purposely contracted merely in order that bonds might be provided with which to secure the notes of national banks. But, even if there were United States bonds in full and suffi cient amounts to secure a proper volume of bank-notes, an ob jection exists to this system which is fatal to the general plan of a bond-secured circulation. It is well understood that the market value of a bond fluctuates with the changes in the com mercial rate of discount. If a 4 per cent. United States bond which has a long time to run sells at par, it means that 4 per cent, is the highest rate to be obtained in perfectly safe invest ments ; but if the rate paid for such investments declined, say, to 3 per cent., the bond which regularly returns four dollars a year to its holder, pays a rate higher than can be got for other equally safe securities, and consequently rises in its value be yond par to such a figure (about $118) that four dollars of in terest on this last sum is equal merely to the usual 3 per cent, to be got in the money market; that is, the holder of the 4 per cent, bond can sell it so much above par that the buyer can get in the four dollars of annual return only 3 per cent, on the amount paid for the bond. In this way, with the fall in the market rate of commercial discount, the United States bonds which were at first sold at par, or at a very slight premium, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 have risen largely in value. The price of such a bond, there fore, is a measure of the market rate of interest on safe secu rities. This explanation will serve to show that changes may take place in the value of bonds due to changes in the credit of the government or to changes in the -commercial rate of in terest, both due to forces entirely outside of the control of the banks. If the premium on the deposited bonds rise from such causes, it practically results that these bonds cost the bank just so much more; for it has securities in the hands of the government which it could at any moment sell for the increased value. Moreover, the profit of a bank on its circulation is diminished as. the price of the deposited bonds increases. Hence, changes in the price of bonds may have a direct bearing upon the profit of circulation, and hence upon the volume of the notes which the banks will thereby keep outstanding. The relation of the price of bonds to the market rate of inter est produces still greater difficulties in regard to the probable issue of bank-note circulation when it is needed. It may be laid down as an undisputed fact that a system of bond-secured circulation is. practically inconsistent with the automatic ad justment of the quantity of notes to the demand of borrowers' and the needs of trade. When the demand for loans is great, there is little profit to be made in putting out notes; that is, when the demand is urgent the supply is not forthcoming. As already explained, the bonds are high-priced and bear a low rate of interest; and yet, in times of financial stringency, the rate of discount is sure to be high, and borrowers are in great need of loans. As against buying bonds, in order to issue only a fractional amount of their value in notes, on the other hand there is the opportunity of loaning such funds directly at the high market rate of discount. The situation, therefore, puts a premium upon the direct use of banking capital, as against that method of investment which leads to increasing the bank note circulation. And in those communities where bank-notes are essential to making discounts this is a serious obstacle. In short, at the time of pressing demand under the existing system, the supply of notes is not forthcoming. On the other hand, if the country is suffering from business depression, if funds are accumulating in the bank, and if the market rate of interest is low because there are few opportuni ties of profitably employing capital) then it would not be impos sible to expect the banks to use superabundant funds in buying bonds of a low rate of interest. It results, therefore, that at a time when the demand for loans is slight and the rate of discount low, it would be easy for the banks to invest in bonds and thereby https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 obtain notes. In short, when there is no demand, the supply is easily obtained. It needs no further comment, consequently, to see that such a system of note-issues works at cross purposes with the needs of the public. With a deposit of bonds for security of notes, there is no supply of notes at a time when most needed and an easy supply of notes when least needed. * So, too, at any given time, with bonds at a definite price, the existing system makes the issue of notes profitable in those sec tions like blew England, for example, where there is already an abundance of both currency and capital, accompanied by low rates of interest, and unprofitable in those sections such as the West and South, where rates of interest are high and a real de mand for more currency and capital exists.f The nature of the *This has been clearly illustrated by the experience of the last half dozen years. From 1882 until 1889 there was a pretty steady advance in the price of government bonds; the 4’s of 1907 having risen from 103 in 1880 to 129 in 1889. In 1880 and 1881, while these bonds were selling between 103 and 112, there was some increase in the national bank circulation; but their price touched 120 in 1882, and for nine years thereafter, the bonds being high priced, there was a steady decrease in the note circulation of the national banks. The financial panic of 1890 caused a fall in the prices of government bonds, and thereby in creased the chances of profit on the circulation of national banknotes. Asa result there was a net increase in their circulation of $13,000,000 in 1891, and of $8,000,000 in 1892. Now, in these two years, there was absolutely no demand for an increase in the circulating medium of this country; on the contrary, the Treasury Department in these years was injecting arbitrarily between $25,000,000 and $50,000,000 of silver paper money into the currency of the country, as a result of the Silver Purchase Act of 1890, and gold, in consequence, was being exported at a rate which alarmed business men and finally precipitated the panic of 1893. During 1893 the 4’s of 1907 sold down to 113, and the banks added to their circula tion $37,000,000. During the months of June, July and August of that year there was a most urgent need for an expansion of the currency; but during these months the new national bank notes did not appear. Not until after the panic was over and money was piling up in all the financial centers—a drug on the mar ket—did the increase in the national bank note circulation take place. As a result of the panic, business being depressed, the interest rate on prime commercial paper during 1894, 1895 and 1896 was between three per cent, and 4 per cent. The money supply of the country was in excess of its needs and gold was exported in large amounts. The Treasury, embarrassed by the withdrawals of gold, was forced to issue bonds in order to maintain the gold reserve. These bond issues forced down the prices of bonds, and thus increased the profit which banks could make upon new circulation. Therefore, considerable idle banking capital, which could be loaned barely at three per cent, in business, was exchanged for govern ment bonds and made the basis for bank notes, so that in 1895 and 1896 there was a net addition to the bank note circulation of $32,000,000. Thus, the national bank note helped to embarrass the government by inflating the currency at a time when the government was doing its utmost to hinder inflation and prevent the exportation of gold to Europe. tit appears for example, that, in the New England'States, where the commer cial rate of discount is not over 5 or 6 per cent., the national banks find it profitable to issue. in excess of the notes on the required deposit of bonds, about half the amount which they might so issue; while in the Western and Southern States, the lanks issue, in general, only the amount of notes permitted upon their required deposit of bonds, barely exceeding this by 1 per cent. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . 5 bonds deposited is not important. The same objections hold, whether the bonds are national, state, municipal or railroad issues. The explanations here briefly given sufficiently account for the extraordinary fact in the history of the national banking system that from December, 1873, when the note circulation stood at §341,320,256, it pretty steadily diminished to October, 1890, when the amount outstanding was but §122,928,084. That is, in the face of an expanding trade and industry, bank-note circulation proved its maladjustment to the needs of the public by shrinking at the time when there was more work to be clone. These facts and the reasons above furnished, which explain why these facts give us this result, make clear beyond perad venture that a bond-secured circulation contains within itself conditions warring directly against the automatic adjustment of notes to the needs of the business world. We must choose between a circulation, on the one hand, to which we have be come accustomed and which is of undoubted safety, but which is incompetent to meet expanding demands; and, on the other hand, a system which, while providing perfect security to the note-holder, will also furnish a volume of notes expanding and contracting according to the needs of trade. The former we now have; the latter is to be found in the plan proposed by the Monetary Commission. CIRCULATION SECURED BY COMMERCIAL ASSETS. Assuming that the system of securing note-issues by the de posit of bonds has not proved desirable, for reasons already given, it is well to consider in-a practical way the various effects of a system of note issues based upon all the resources of the bank without the particular pledge of any one portion of the assets for the notes. Under the plan proposed by the Monetary Commission, the note issues may be considered from four points of view:— I. As affecting the note-holder; II. As affecting the other banks in the system; III. As affecting the depositor; and, IV. As affecting the relative position of city and coun try banks. I.The only possible basis for consideration in a sytem of bank-note issues, and one which must be regarded as funda mental, is an absolute protection to the note-holder. This must be accepted as axiomatic. Not only would a system which did https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6 not provide absolute security to the note-holder have no chance of adoption, but it would also be a distinct wrong to the business community to propose it. The national bank note of the pres ent system has earned a well-deserved confidence, because the basis of its security has been unquestioned. Moreover, the note of one bank should be so protected that it is as good as the note of any other bank, no matter in what part of the coun try it may be circulated. Perfect uniformity of bank-issues throughout the length and breadth of the land is an essential of a good currency The note of a bank in Maine must be equally good if offered in Texas or Oregon. That condition exists un der the present system, and the same result must be achieved under any system which shall be devised to take its place. It may be taken for granted, then, that the ends to be attained in the proposed plan are not only (1) perfect security to the note holder, but also (2) entire uniformity of issues by all the banks of the system. In order to secure these ends, the Commission have recommended a system by which they are confident that uniformity as well as absolute security to the note-holder may be obtained. This plan, in brief, authorizes the issue of notes by any bank to an amount not exceeding its unimpaired capital, less its investment in real estate; a first lien in favor of the note holder upon all the assets of the bank; and, if the foregoing should be insufficient, a prior lien upon the stockholders’ liabil ity, which is for an amount equal to the capital of the bank; and, finally the creation of a Guaranty Fund of 5 per cent.' on outstanding circulation, contributed only in proportion as banks issue notes. Moreover, a heavy tax of 6 per cent, is laid upon any notes issued in excess of 80 per cent, of unimpaired capital; so that we may go upon the assumption that notes will not, under the proposed system, exceed, in ordinary times, 80 per cent, of the capital. It is also provided that the notes shall be receivable at par for debts due to all other national banks and to the government. It is believed that such a system will pro tect the note-holder beyond peradventure; and that, in practical operation, no holder of the note of a failed national bank could ever lose a cent. It should be kept in mind that the Guaranty Fund is clearly distinct from the Redemption Fund. The Guaranty Fund, con tributed by each bank in proportion to its note-issues, is a fund held in trust by the Treasury and reserved solely to provide for the immediate redemption of notes of failed banks. It is in tended that no period of time shall ever exist during which there shall not be on hand a sum sufficient to redeem the note, even of a failed bank. Without this fund, between the date of a failure of a bank and the time when the receiver could have https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 realized in cash upon the assets of the bank, there would be a time when a note could not be redeemed, even though its ulti mate redemption might be assured.* Under the plan of the Commission, it is provided that a note of a failed bank in any part of the country will be redeemed out of this common Guar anty Fund without any delay in waiting for realization upon the assets of the bank by a receiver. This provision perfectly secures uniformity in the value of the note of every individual bank in any part of the country. Any note, whether of a failed or a solvent bank, will, at any time, be redeemed on demand at the Treasury, or, at the discretion of the Secretary of the Treasury, at any sub-treasury of the United States. On the supposition that the present circulation may be in creased from about $200,000,000 to $300,000,000, there would be a Guaranty Fund of $15,000,000 always ready to meet the re demption of notes of insolvent banks. At any one time this would be fully sufficient to cover the notes of a failed bank or group of banks. But it should be understood that this does not necessarily imply an assessment upon other banks. The Guaranty Fund will be used in the purchase of the notes of failed banks to the full extent of those presented. But these notes, for the time being, keep the fund nominally intact, at least while the assets are in process of liquidation. As fast as cash is realized this will be first sent to replace the notes held by the Guaranty Fund; and so long as there are any assets yet unliquidated to meet notes in the Guaranty Fund no assess ment will be made on the other banks. An assessment can take place, then, only for the fraction of notes for which no assets can be realized at the close of the liquidating process by the receiver. In order to act as a brake upon excessive issues, it is provided in the plan of the Commission that all notes beyond 60 per cent., and less than 80 per cent., of the capital of a bank shall be taxed, so long as they are outstanding, at the rate of 2 per cent, per annum, but notes outstanding in excess of 80 per cent, of the capital at the rate of 6 per cent, per annum. The inter est on any portion of the Guaranty Fund invested by the Sec retary of the Treasury and the taxes upon emergency issues, just described, would, in time, furnish permanent additions to the Guaranty Fund, and thereby establish public confidence in the practical sufficiency of this sum for all possible protection to the notes of failed banks. The Guaranty Fund thus described provides for the immediate redemption of the notes of any failed banks, while the prior lien $In the Canadian banking system the notes of insolvent banks bear interest until redeemed. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 on the assets and stockholders’ liability of the bank, together with the operation of the fund in. case of deficiency, make up the provisions for the ultimate and final security of its notes. As distinct from this ultimate security (which is believed to be full and more than sufficient), at the same time providing for the immediate redemption of the notes of insolvent banks, the plan of the Commission provides for the daily and immediate redemption of the notes of all solvent banks by the mainte nance of a 5 per cent. Redemption Fund, as now required by law. As at present, each bank is required to redeem its' notes on demand at its own counters, and also at Washington, or at any sub-treasury which may be designated by the Secretary of the Treasury. This Redemption Fund is a part of the assets of the bank. As a matter of course, the banks must keep on hand cash enough to redeem their own notes, and if a part of this sum be placed in the Treasury it is only intended as a matter of convenience to intercept in the commercial centers the stream of notes coming in for redemption which would otherwise be presented at the counter of the bank. The purpose of a Redemption Fund is to make redemptions more easy and rapid for the community. It is no added burden to the bank,, which would be obliged to perform the same service at its own counter if no Redemption Fund existed. To be required to send notes home to each bank in remote parts of the country, however, is an inconvenience which is obviated by the existence of a Redemption Fund placed in those centers where notes are most likely to be in circulation. The daily and immediate re demption of notes at their own counters and through the Re demption Fund, which must always be kept intact, provides a constant test of the condition of a bank to meet immediate demands. This system of redemption will be much more effect ive under the new than under the present system. Notes will constantly.be coming in for redemption to every bank audit will be impossible for any one bank to keep its notes in circu lation beyond the amount actually needed by the community. Inasmuch as the Redemption Fund is intended only for daily needs, it does not cover the case of possible failure and the pro cess. of liquidation. That, as has been said, is provided for by the Guaranty Fund. Under, the proposed plan the resources behind the notes would be much greater than is usually supposed. The present capital of all national banks is $631,488,095 ; and if notes should be issued by them all to the amount of 80 per cent, of their un impaired capital, the aggregate would be the sum of $505,190, 476, for which the security in the form of total assets would bo https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 $4,011,403,513, or a protection of nearly 8 to 1. But it will be * said that not all banks will issue notes to this limit; and that this will be done mainly by the banks outside of reserve cities. The present capital of the 3,276 banks outside of reserve cities (though including some cities of considerable size) is $401,302, 835; of which 80 per cent, would be $321,042,268 (while they now issue under the present system $144,789,512); for which the security in the form of total assets would be $1,956,216,503, or $6.10 to every $1 of notes. ' There can be no question, then, that in the aggregate the security behind the notes would be ample. It is for occasional instances where such would not be the case that the Guaranty Fund is provided. And, finally, the power of the Comptroller to levy assessments as they may be needed to keep the Fund good for this purpose insures that these occasional failures will cause no possible loss to the note-holders. If it should be thought that the security of a prior lien upon all the resources of a bank (instead of a part specifically invested in bonds) is insufficient for the protection of the note-liability, attention should be called to the fact that now over 90 per cent, of large exchanges of goods are performed by the media of ex change created on the basis of the deposit-liability of banks ; and that the protection to this liability has always been the general resources of the bank. An enormous volume of cheques, drafts and bills are daily in circulation, expanding with expansion of business, constantly coming home for redemption and payment, always regarded as a safe medium of exchange—and this circu lation is protected directly by the general assets of the banks. When it is noted that deposit-accounts of about $2,000,000,000 do a work of about $50,000,000,000 (as exhibited in the clear ings of the United States), while the note-circulation of the banks is only about $220,000,000—it must be said that there is nothing novel or unsafe in basing the smaller amount upon the same security as that of the greater, and to which the community has long been accustomed. Not only are the note-issues in the proposed plan secured by assets of the same kind, but they are given a prior lien on all this vast sum of resources. There is no reason’why the note-issue of a bank should not be as good as its cashier’s draft. On the one hand no greater obstacles, with some obvious limitations, should be put in the way of the increase in the quantity of the one more than of the other; and, on the *With a note liability of $198,920,670, the actual assets now held by all the national banks amount to $3,705,133,707. Should their note issues be increased to $505,190,476, their assets would at the same time be increased by the same amount—making the aggregate assets behind the $505,190,476 of notes, $4,011, 403,513, as stated. . . https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10 other hand, as rigid requirements should be exacted for the* re demption and payment of the one as of the other. In that way, notes will be used if transactions warrant their issue, and be presented for redemption, just the same as a cashier’s cheque, immediately their work is done, thereby operating with perfect elasticity. The people of the United States have become accustomed to regard government bonds as the only safe security for bank issues. It should be clearly understood, however, that perfect security to the note-holder has been obtained under the system proposed herein, as proved both by the experiences of our own country at other times and by practically the universal custom of civilized nations on the continent of Europe to-day. It should be kept constantly in mind, also, that many losses, due to the inadequate security of bank-note issues in various parts of the country before the civil war, came from a system in which the notes were secured by the deposit of bonds. The bonds used, however, were frequently State bonds, which, by repudiation or bad legislation, had depreciated or become worthless. It is the unmistakable testimony of our history before the civil war that the security of bonds did not, by any means, protect the note holder. II.We pass now to the effects of the plan of note-issues, as here proposed, upon the other banks in the system. The objec tion might very naturally arise in the minds of bankers that, under the system of a Guaranty Fund, supplied by all the banks issuing notes, the well managed banks would be sustaining badly managed banks, with the result that there would be no penalty visited upon poor management. Clearly good bankers might not wish to enter a system by which they became responsible for issues of notes over which they could have no control; and they might say that untrained and fraudulent managers might put out excessive issues based on worthless assets. It is therefore well to examine this objection in the light of experience. It is evident that the failure of a bank to provide .proper assets to meet its note liability must depend upon either (1) bad judgment, or (2) fraud. It should be said at once that these two elements of danger can create no greater obstacles to suc cessful management in banking than in any other business, and that average honesty, as well as occasional dishonesty, must be given its due weight. The possibility of fraudulent mismanage ment of bank assets may possibly be magnified too greatly. Nothing is more common and fallacious than to reason that what is true in a particular case is true in general. For in stance, if a single bank had been known to fail, and if assets https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 had proven insufficient to cover the note-issues of that hank, it would be fallacious to assume that the same would be the case at once with many or all banks. Failures due to dishonesty and mismanagement will sometimes happen, but it is undoubt edly true that these are only sporadic cases. Under the pro posed system a special loss in cases of individual banks is dissi pated over the issues of the whole number of banks, and thereby falls lightly upon any one. It is, in short, the opera tion of the general law of averages well known to actuaries. Therefore, the objection to the proposed scheme from the fear that bank assets would be often or generally insufficient is based on the erroneous assumption that fraud will be general and chronic on the part of the issuing banks. An objection based on this general assumption can certainly have little real value. It moreover proves too much. To assume that fraud in regard to banking assets would be so general as feared by timid persons presupposes a condition of morals in the commu nity such that fraud would be so prevalent in all forms of business as to make it impossible for ordinary trade and ex change to go on as it does now. Business as it exists to-day would be impossible. On such an assumption it would not be practicable to obtain a proper number even of book-keepers or officials who could be trusted. But the supposition on which such an objection to this scheme is based is every day and hour contradicted by the fact that we do go on, in banking as in all other business, on the actual belief that fraud is the exception and not the rule. The objection to the plan of the Guaranty Fund as thus stated on the ground of any general prevalence of fraud is hypercritical and largely imaginary. Since the note-issues go out only as the result of a transac tion based on the transfer of exchangeable property, the notes are as sound as the property on which they are based, and bank ing assets in general reflect quite accurately the character of the business transactions of a country. Consequently notes based on general assets are as sound as the business transactions of the country. Bankers, moreover, are as honest as the average man in other branches of business. The banks, therefore, enter ing into this system run no great risks, owing to the require ment of contributions to the Guaranty Fund, since their respon sibility extends only to losses determined by the average honesty of business men. That is, the losses they will be obliged to meet from fraud will be exceptional, and the amount of these will be very small in comparison with the total circulation, and will be no serious burden to the Guaranty Fund. It is founded on the theory of insurance by which a very small premium from each participant is sufficient to provide a considerable sum https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 12 to cover individual losses; and thereby the Guaranty Fund, which ties all the banks together, produces that uniform value of the note-issues in all parts of the country, which is essential to a desirable bank-note circulation. It is well known that in the whole history of our national banks, bank failures have been greatest in the years 1893-1896. In 1893, if all the banks in the system had issued notes to the full amount of 80 per cent, of their capital (as contemplated in the proposed plan), the sum would have been $548,000,000. The aggregate circulation issued by the banks which failed in 1893, on the same basis would have been only 1^ per cent, of the aforesaid possible circulation under the plan proposed. That is, if upon the failure of these banks all their notes had been presented for redemption before a dollar had been collected from their assets, only about one-third of the Guaranty Fund would have been invested in such notes. During the process of liquidation, however, it appeared that the amount which would not have been returned to the fund from the assets of the banks formed only one-eighth of 1 per cent, of the proposed circulation. Hence, a fund of one-eighth of 1 per cent, of the notes outstanding would have met the losses to banks which caused assets to fall short of their note liability. The facts are more conclusive if, instead of one period of fre quent failures we pass under review the whole period of exist ence of the national banks. Of the 352 banks which have failed in the national banking system from 1863 to 1897, the total capital was $58,802,420 (80 per cent, of which would have been $47,041,936); but the net collections from the assets of these 352 banks had already been $65,239,554 at the date of the last report of the Comptroller of the Currency; while even in the case of the banks where the net collections, under the plan proposed, would have been less than 80 per cent, of the capital, the aggregate deficiency would have been met by an average annual assessment upon the remaining banks of about one fortieth of one per cent, of their circulation (assuming that the circulation would have risen to 80 per cent, of their capital). And as the larger part of this apparent deficiency arises from the failure of banks whose affairs are not yet closed, it is prob able that subsequent collections from the assets of these banks would reduce the net loss to date to an amount so insignificant that it might almost be left out of account. Therefore, on the basis of banking assets, as disclosed in the history of the present system, it is beyond question that all losses upon the note-issues of failed banks, after recourse to the general assets of the bank, and to the stockholders’ liability, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 18 will in fact be easily met by a Guaranty Fund of 5 per cent, as proposed. Having shown that the losses which will fall upon the Guar anty Fund will not in any case be serious, it should also be borne in mind that, in the plan of the Commission, responsi bility for the notes of other banks affects only those that issue notes, and even then only in proportion to their note-issues. It may be possible that great city banks which are now able to do a very large business and earn their profits without the use of any notes whatever, may continue to do their business without resort to note-issues at all. So far as this takes place these banks would be entirely unaffected by the requirements for the Guaranty Fund. In case need should arise for the temporary issue of notes, when the need for the issue had passed, and measures had been taken to retire their notes, their contribu tions to the Guaranty Fund would be withdrawn and their responsibility for the issues of other banks would thereupon cease and determine. If it be taken into account how small in fact the losses from failed banks might have been, as previously discussed, it will be found that only a very small part of the Guaranty Fund would have been called upon to meet the sporadic cases of bad manage ment. How small this amount would be, as determined by the character of the assets held by the banks, during the last thirty five years, is surprising to those who may not have investigated the facts. The banks have, moreover, been able under the pres ent law to pay a tax on circulation of 1 per cent.; and yet the average annual assessment on circulation for the Guaranty Fund, as already shown by the experience of thirty-five years, would amount to only one-fortieth of 1 per cent. Attention in this connection should be called to the recommendation of the Com mission that the expenses of the banking system should not be provided by a tax on circulation, but by a tax on capital and surplus. Hence, if there should be no other tax on circulation, the insignificant contribution for the Guaranty Fund can not be s'aid to be seriously heavy. . Resting the security of the notes on the general assets of a bank gives direct importance to the fact that good or bad bank ing depends entirely upon the kind of discounts made. Hence it is proposed under the new plan to obtain so far as possible an improvement in the methods of examinations and reports upon the character, of the resources of the banks. The mere fact that banks have a responsibility no matter how slight, for each other’s notes, will induce a habit of vigilance and watchfulness over the character of other banks which will not only make https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 14 each more careful as to the discounts it makes, but will con stantly tend to drive to the wall mismanaged institutions. Banks showing bad judgment or fraudulent intentions under this sys tem would be so hard pressed by other banks to meet their obligations that they could not long exist. It should also be kept in mind by other banks in the system that the method of rapid and constant redemption which is likely to take place under the proposed system would make it impossible for the mismanagement of banks to go on long un observed. Hence the system of redemption affords a protection of great practical importance to the other banks in the system as a means of detecting the condition of their banking resources. The character of the assets of each bank will be' constantly tested by the requirement to pay its notes on demand. III. It is necessary next to discuss the provisions in the pro posed plan for the protection of the note-holder so far as they affect the depositor. Attention should again be called to the fundamental assumption upon which any system of bank-note cir culation must be based. This assumption is that the note-holder must be given absolute safety. It is useless to discuss note-issues on any other basis. Under the present national banking system the note-holder has absolute security; and it is believed that also under the new system, as already fully described, the note holder is given absolute and perfect security. This is as it should be. Inasmuch as the note moves to a distance from the issuing bank; as it is in a form usually accepted by innocent holders as good money; and inasmuch as members of the com munity should not be obliged to investigate the individual char acter of each bank whose notes are in circulation, the security for each and every note must be thoroughly established inde pendently of the management of any particular bank. The position of the depositor is necessarily different from that of the note-holder. The former is usually one close to, and able to inform himself about, the bank in which he deposits. He is in a position, moreover, where he may be expected to choose his de pository bank for himself, and very properly to face all risks of his own judgment in this matter. It is instantly to be seen that the State could not possibly undertake by regulations to protect a depositor in the exercise of his own voluntary judgment in regard to good or bad banking management. It is clear, there fore, that the depositor stands in a different relation to the bank than that of the distant and innocent note-holder. The depos itor, it is true, may be protected in general by regulations peculiar to his case—by publicity, by frequent examinations. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 15 and by vigilance of the Comptroller against loose and fraudu lent methods. Beyond that banking regulations can not go. We now approach the question first raised as to the effect oi the proposed plan on the depositor with two clearly defined propositions which all must accept: First, that the depositor holds a different position relatively to the bank than the note holder; second, that the note-holder under any practicable scheme must be made absolutely safe. With this understanding, it may be well to discuss the effect on the depositor of the prior lien on the assets of the bank in favor of the note-holder. It is well understood, of course, that for the notes issued, the bank has received an equivalent amount of resources. Under the present national banking system, that part of the assets equal to that received in return for the issue of notes is, in the begin ning, taken irrevocably away from the depositor; and in order that it should not possibly fall into any other hands, is invested in bonds and deposited with the Government. Under the pres ent system, therefore, the note-holder has a claim upon the assets of the bank prior to all other claims. The new system proceeds upon the same principle. Although the method of af fording the protection is different, only the same amount event ually goes to the note-holder under the proposed as under the present system. Consequently, in either system the assets cov ering the note issues are necessarily so placed that they can not go to the depositor. A national bank which, under the present law holds in its re sources, say $500,000 worth of bonds, as a protection to its notes, which are but (we will suppose for simplicity) to an equal amount, would, under the new system, hold $500,000 more of general resources (instead of bonds in the Treasury) to cover an equal amount of notes. The resources behind the depositor are thus not affected by the change of the bond resources into the form of other general resources. On this additional amount of $500,000 of general resources behind the notes, the depositor would have no more claim than if those resources existed, as now, in the form of bonds. In the case of mismanagement and fraud, under the present national bank system, the depositor would suffer directly by the effect on the resources lying behind his deposits. Merely because the additional resources corre sponding to the bonds are held in the possession of the bank and not by the Government, the depositor has no right to as sume that that fact gives him any moral precedence on what lies behind the notes. The only way in which the depositor can be protected from mismanagement is, that directors should direct. Good management will inspire confidence and insure https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 16 large deposits under either system of banking; and under either they will be equally safe. In most cities there now exists keen competition between na tional banks, on the one hand, and state banks and trust com panies on the other hand. It may be said by state banks to depositors, that it would be desirable for them to deposit with the state banks, because, if they deposited with a national bank under the new system, the note-holder of the national bank would have a prior claim upon the assets of the bank in case of failure, and that consequently the deposits would be safer with the trust companies and state banks. We have already shown that on entering the new system, a national bank would have in its possession more resources by exactly the amount of its present bond-holdings kept for security of its notes. Under the present national bank system, by which the portion of the assets intended to secure the notes are placed with the government, in order that mismanagement can, in no possibility, reach them, losses from bad banking can still fall upon the resources behind the deposits. Under the new system the depositor would be worse off only on the supposition that the resources behind the notes, being in the hands of the bank, were thereby liable to mismanagement. On the assumption of bad banking—such that this one part of the resources (behind the notes) is invalidated—it is certain that no other part (such as that behind the deposits) will be any better off; and the risk to the depositor resolves itself, as in every case it must, into a question whether the bank is well or badly man aged as a whole. Such statements as the above, however, may be used by the state banks and trust companies to influence depositors at a time of distrust in the money market. At a critical time depositors might be induced to withdraw large deposits from national banks for fear that in case of failure the note-holders, having a first lien, might exhaust the resources of the bank. Among unthinking depositors this might be selfishly used to the disad vantage of the national banks. It should be observed as to this point that the national banks have a remedy in their own hands. To a timid depositor, instead of a deposit they can offer their own notes, which would be a first lien upon the resources of the bank, and the depositor would then be even better off with the national bank than if he held a deposit in a trust company or a state bank; for, as before explained, the notes would be abso lutely safe. ■ '■ In fact, it is apparent to every one that the unimpaired capi tal, which necessarily appears in the resources, furnishes • an amount of assets which act as a buffer to receive losses before they reach the depositor.' If the note-holder has a prior lien https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 17 "before the depositor, it is equally clear that the depositor has a prior claim before the shareholder, and the capital must be totally impaired before a loss can fall upon the depositor. No other precedence of claims is defensible under any banking law. It might be remarked in passing that if a national bank found itself pushed by the competition of trust companies under state laws, it might create a situation under the new system which would give the depositor exactly the same protection as now under the system of a deposit of bonds to secure the note-holder. That is, if a bank wished to guard against any objection to the position of the depositor under the new system, it might take that portion of its resources which was equal to its note liabil ity, deposit these resources with a trust company as trustee for the note-holder, and then the bank would stand in exactly the same position relatively to depositors as a national bank does now. It is not believed, moreover, that depositors would prefer a trust company under state laws .as against a national bank under the proposed plan, or vice versa, upon any such analysis of bank accounts as has here been given. It will be found, in fact, that depositors place their accounts with banks quite irrespective of such considerations as have been advanced above. Depositors, as a rule, deposit where deposits are already large. A well managed bank, having the confidence of large interests, and already having large deposits, thereby attracts. other deposits. Smaller depositors naturally reason, that, if men in charge of large estates select a certain bank for the deposit of large sums, they must have good grounds for their confidence, and they follow their example without more examination. The banks obtain de posits on the principle of “ to him that hath shall be given.” The accumulation of deposits by a bank in any place depends so entirely upon its reputation for good management, that it is quite independent of the particular system under which the bank is doing business. A trust company or state bank will obtain deposits, not because it is acting under a state law, but directly and solely because of the confidence of the depositors in the reputation and management of the bank. And the same holds true of a national bank to-day; it will accumulate large deposits, not merely because1 it is a national bank, but because it is a well-managed bank. Under the proposed plan, the de posits of the community will be distributed undoubtedly for the same reasons as now, because of the' confidence of the de positors in the relative management and reputation of the respective banks. Objections, therefore, to the proposed scheme on the above mentioned grounds of its effect upon depositors, must be, without doubt, largely fictitious. (2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 18 IV. It is important also to examine into the effect of the plan of the Commission upon the relative positions of city and rural banks. Of course, any one familiar with the opera tions of banking perfectly understands that the profit to a bank does not necessarily depend on its power to issue notes. On this point, however, a widespread misapprehension exists. It is supposed that by granting to banks the privilege of issuing notes, there i.s conveyed to them a means of making large c profits and of monopolizing the market for loans. This belief is largely erroneous. At the very outset we are met by the fact that the largest city banks in our country, almost without exception, make very little, or absolutely no use of their right to issue notes; and yet these great banks make a profit from banking and pile up a huge surplus. How can this be, if the note-issues are so important a privilege ? ■ A bank in reality makes a profit by buying and selling. In making a loan, or discount, it buys the right (duly secured) to receive money in the future, and it pays for this by creating a liability on its resources to pay the borrower on demand. The profit arises from giving the borrower a claim for immediate payment less the bank discount or profit. It follows that the gain to a bank is settled by this discount operation, and resides in that. And this profit is the same to the bank whether the demand liability is issued to the borrower in the form of its notes, or in the form of a deposit-account to his credit. Whether one or the other form of liability is actually used depends not upon the will of the bank, but upon the choice of its customers. In the great financial centers the banks adapt themselves to their constituents, who do not wish to carry notes about, but who find it much safer and most convenient to pay entirely by checks or drafts on deposit accounts. This explains why the. richest city banks with enormous deposits, do a profitable busi ness without issuing any notes. It is quite otherwise in rural districts: there the small bor rower calls for notes, and seldom uses a deposit account. On proper collateral being presented, and a loan being asked for, the bank can not grant it, unless it is able to provide that kind of bank currency—that is, notes—which the habits of the com munity force the borrower to choose. If, as under the present national banking system, the small banks of the South and West find it unprofitable to issue notes, then it often happens that, even where banking capital exists, it can not be used in the particular way which would be of most advantage and con venience to the community in which it is placed. How true this is may be seen by the following statement: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19 ,3 A , .... j - Groups. <1 '' a 3 ■ o a East. N. H.... ' Vt............ RI......... (Outside Prov.) (D a w a " | "m3 •A nd . a ..S nd ' (2) ■ nd .S 1 ' g S' ■ co 34 O'S •H ® A fl "5 O' A ' "- 34 5 3 S . : 8 O <y "7! § O'S I gw ■ S . a (3) (4) 3 o g .. (5 ®’A fl w I"5 A (5) $1,457,500 $1,816,675 $3,734,500 1,471,250 1,568,460 4,857,750 1,175,000 1,729,435 3,239,725 '3 a a 3 3 ti ^ o !> s .^ 5 o f o 3 to toAW ® 'o 5 5 V 5 ^ o o MWH (6) $3,274,175 3,039,710 2,904,435 $5,292,000 6,309,000 4,414,725 ■ 520,190 658,700 215,045 1,966,500 3,637,440 774,000 546,240 712,500 215,000 26,050 53,800 45 1,420,260 2,924,940 559,000 None None .009 259,190 234,587 1,098,000 760,500 180,000 215,000 79,190 19,587 918,000 545,000 .08 .003 513,705 1,735,200 424,500 89,205 1,310,700 .06 .49 .32 .53 West. ' N. D .... Mont.... Wyo...;. South. Ark......... La.......... (Outside N. 0.) S. Car..... As will be seen, returns for three groups of states are given, one a typical Eastern group, one Western, and one Southern. The first column displays the returns for circulation actually outstanding, the second gives the maximum circulation which under present laws it would be possible to issue, i. e., 90 per cent, of the par value of the capital stock of the banks. Col umn 3 represents the circulation corresponding to the minimum amount of bonds required to be deposited by the banks accord ing to law. The differences between the circulation actually outstanding (1) and that corresponding to the' required deposit of bonds (3) represents the amount which, under current condi tions, the banks are induced to issue over and above actual legal requirements, and is given in column 4. The differences be tween the possible maximum (2) and the circulation upon the https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 20 legal minimum of bonds (3) is given in column 5, and repre sents what the banks might issue if conditions made it suffi ciently profitable to induce them to do so. The percentage of column 5, to column 4, indicates what proportion of this possi ble surplus above legal requirements the banks are actually in duced to issue. . The plan of the Commission will work in the interest of the rural communities, and of small borrowers in those regions. Indeed, the plan is only carrying out equal justice and fairness to all classes and to all parts of the country. The large city banks do their business and earn a profit mainly without the use of note-issues. They create a form of currency, of a highly efficient quality as a medium of exchange, by which profits are obtained. But mark this point: this medium of exchange is untaxed (while the currency of country banks, that is, note issues, is, taxed), and it is based on the security of the general commercial assets of the banks. Kow, would it not be fair and just to allow to other parts of the country, where the note liability is the only convenient form of completing the discount operation, an equal right to an untaxed medium of exchange, and to one also based upon the general commercial resources of the bank? That is no more, no less, than justice. The recom mendations of the Commission, therefore, concern mainly the small producers and borrowers in districts other than the finan cial centers. It is true that if the method of issuing notes is made less bur densome and expensive, the city banks may issue more notes than now. They would do this, however, provided they could supply other (and generally rural) communities with notes, in default of sufficient local banking facilities. At present, for reasons illustrated by the figures given above, the country banks borrow of the city, and thereby obtain the currency which they do not row issue themselves. Under the plan of the Commis sion, the main demands of rural districts for notes will be sup plied by the country banks, and they will not bo obliged to de pend so largely on the cities. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis