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ANNUAL REPORT Federal Reserve Bank Of Cleveland https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 8 9 The Federal Reserve System is responsible for formulating and implementing U.S. monetary policy. It also supervises banks and bank holding companies, and provides financial services to depository institutions and to the federal government. The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland is one of l2 regional Reserve Banks in the United States that, together with the Board of Governors in Washington, DC., comprise the Federal Reserve System. The F'ederal Reserve Bank ot Cleveland, its two branches in Cincinnati and Pittsburgh, and its Regional Chec.k Processing Center in Columbus serve the Fourth Federal Reserve District. The Fourth District includes Ohio, western Pennsylvania, the northern panhandle of West Virginia, and eastern l{entucl~y. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Presidem's Foreword 2 • Central Bank independence 22 Directors https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 24 20 Comparative Financial Statements Officers This essay presents chis Bank's views aLout th~ importance of' central-bank i(ldepe11de11ce, a<:counl• ab ility, and candor for achievi ng important nat1on:1I economic goals. Tbe views expr.,sscd in th,s e!say are 1101 r,ecessaril,y ohnreJ by the other Federal Reserve Banks or by the Board of' Governors uf' d,e federal Reserve S.vstcm. Neverlheless, our experience io the 1970s should remind us that trying to prolong the expansion at the cost of more inflation is a mistake. There is no trade-off between inflation and expansion because ultimately inflation causes recession, The President's Foreword and inflation results in less-thanoptimum economic performance. Maximum production and output The Federal Reserve's independence can be achieved only when inflation has once again come under review. is eliminated. Legislation was introduced in Congress last year that would increase in performing its central bank func- political influence over the nation's tJOns and in providing financial central bank. Jn the months ahead, services by our 25 directors, to whom such initiatives will evoke question we extend our deepest appreciation. by elected officials about monetar.v We ar·e especially grateful to policy and the Federal Reserve's Daniel M. Galbreath, president ol independence. John W. Galbreath & Co. , This year's annual report essay Columbus, Ohio, who resigned from argues that an independent central the Cleveland board earlier this year bank is crucial in order for any na- due to other commitments. We also tion to maintain price stability and, appreciate the contributions of our ultimately, economic growth. In addi- retiring Branch chairmen: Owen B. tion, increased central bank candor Buder (retired chairman of the about its goals and methods would board of The Procter & Gamble enhance the effectiveness of mone- Company), chairman of the tary policy and would provide great- Cincinnati board; and James E. Haas er accountability for its actions to (president and chief operating the public and Congress. officer· ol'National Intergroup, Inc.), Our own history and the his- chairman of the Pittsburgh board. tories of many other nations teU us Their leadership has been valuable that economic policies that are politi- and will be missed. cally appealing in the short run often Special thanks go to those can lead to inflation in the long run. who have completed their term of Clearly, elected leaders have a far service on our Branch boards: more likely conflict between short- Robert M . Duncan (president of the and long-term goals in monetary First National Bank of Louisa) , who policymaking than does an indepen- served on our Cincinnati Branch dent central bank. The year ahead seems likely to board; and Thomas G. Dove (chairman of the Executive Committee pose significant challenges for the and chief executive officer of Wheel- Federal Reserve. As 1989 drew to a ing Dollar Bank) and Karl M. von close, there was discernible evidence der Heyden (formerl_y senior vice of slowing in the pace of the economic expansion . Whether the slowing is but a pause in an otherwise healthy expansion or is the precursor of a more severe s!owi ng is, of https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Fourth District is guided course, unknown. .. . AN INDEPENDENT CENTRAL BANK president-finance and chief financial IS CRUCIAL IN ORDER FOR ANY NATION TO MAINTAIN officer of H.J. Heinz Company, currently executive vice president and chief financial officer of R.J .R. PRICE STABILITY AND, Nabisco, Inc.), who served on our Pittsburgh Branch board. Our directors represent a vari- ULTIMATELY, ECONOMIC GROWTH. ety of banking and business interests from throughout the District. Their dedicated service and guidance is valued, as is that of Thomas H. O'Brien (chairman, president, and chief executive officer of PNC Financial Corp). who is currently representing the Fourth Federal Reserve District on the Federal Advisory Council and is currently president of the council. The contributions made by members of the 1989 Small Bank and Small Business Advisory Councils are also very much appreciated. Finally, I wish to extend my personal gratitude to the officers and staff of the Bank, whose energy, creativity, and commitment made 1989 a successful year. W. Lee Hoskins President March 8. 1990 3 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis CONGRESS Central Bank DISPERSED THE CENTRAL BANK 's Independence es that it is in the naThis essay argu F d al Reserve, al • est for the e er tion inter 1banks, to be ell as for all centra as • hin government dent wit . . • dw epen d dence is necesm W. believe t h at •in epen POWER AMONG e for a centra I bank to pursue sary • that foster Iong- term ecopo li c1es ic growth. nom . . • our v·•1ew t h a t maintammg It 1s h •ce level should be t e . a stable pn . objective. Federal Reserve'spnmary . h. h I run relations ip d G• g t e on nd inflation, an iven b tween money a . bility e d I Reserves' unique a the Fe era this • monetary po icy, to determme . [ ct be the only one b" tive may m a oit can 1ec direct • IY and consistently r achieve. b lieve that the h more, we e Furt er "bl for • re spons1 e d al Reserve is b Fe er . d fr m pu • denve 0 • po Ii c1es . purswng . b candor, comm1tlic consensus, wit .. ment, an d accountab1hty. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 money to operate the central bank. the Federal Reserve uses revenues from its own operations to pay its bills, and contributes its excess earnings to the Treasury. 2 The appropriations process would not be a potential tool for influencing Federal THE FEDERAL RESERVE'S Foundation Reserve policy. For Independence THIRTEEN ENTITIES - Second, Congress dispersed the central bank's power among the Fed- THE TWELVE REGIONAL The history of our nation is rich with RESERVE BAf,IKS AND . •: i ,;,. : ' '· ,• THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS '',. .. ~~ ·I, ·'.v/ .. IN WASHINGTON, D.C. twelve regional Reserve Banks and wariness of executive-branch con- the Board of Governors in Washing- trol of money and credit. One of the ton, 0.C. The seven governors on the reasons our Constitution gives the Board must be chosen so that, at any power to coin money to the Con- time, there is no more than one gress, rather than to the President, is governor from any one District. This that the Founding Fathers were dispersion of power makes it aware of the tendency of sovereigns difficult - to debase the currency. specific geographic areas or special 1 even a semblance of a government central bank for 97 of its first 137 years of independence. The First Bank of the United States (1791-1811) and the Second Bank of the United States (1816-1836) account for the other 40 years. Both banks were essentially independent of the executive branch. Moreover, the fact that neither bank's 20-year charter was renewed illustrates the suspicion of any centralized control of money and credit. FLEXIBLE DESIGN, In designing the Federal Reserve System in 1913, Congress was careful to assure, to the e..xteot possible, the central bank's independence from the turbulent and shifting political pressures that could innuence its operation. That sense of independence has been incorporated into the Federal Reserve in several ways. First, Congress granted the Federal Reserve self-financing authority. fnstead of Congress appropriating 5 the episodes testifying to a pervasive Tbe United States did not have https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis eral Reserve's thirteen entities - perhaps impossible - for interest groups to unduly influence Federal Reserve policies. Ttl~OUCH THE YEA R S, Co t~ GRESS HAl> AFFIRMED ITS INTENTIOtl THAT Third, Congress incorporated a blend of publ-ic and private elements into the Federal Reserve's structure. Commercial banks hold aU the stock of the Reserve Banks, entitling them to elect six of the nine directors on the board of directors of each Reserve Bank. The other three direc- approval of the Federal Reserve's tors on each board are appointed Board of Governors. Federal by the Board of Governors. However; banking interests are Reserve governors are nominated by the President and confirmed by the not a dominant force on Federal Re- Senate, a method of appointment serve Bank boards, since three of the intended to make the Board more six directors elected by bankers and sensitive to political concerns. How- all three of the directors appointed ever; lheir long terms - 14 years - by the Board of Governors must 110/ and the fact that they <cannot be be bankers. In addition, the chair- reappointed after serving a fuU term, man and vice chairman of each Fed- removes them to a significant degree eral Reserve Bank board must be from the pressures of the political chosen from among the non banker process. group of directors appointed by the Board. Fourth, Congress directed that U.S. monetary policy be decided by CONTINUING REINFORCEMENT. Through the years, Congress has affirmed its intention that the Federal Reserve should be indepen- majority vote in the Federal Reserve's dent. For e.."<ample , the original Fed- policymaking Federal Open Market eral Reserve Act of 1913 created e.'C Committee (FOMC). Voting privileges officio positions for the Secretary of in the FOMC are held by the seven the Treasury and the Comptroller of members of the Federal Reserve's the Currency on the Board of Gover- Board of Governors, by the president nors. But with the passage of the of the Federal Reserve Bank of Banking Act of 1935, Congress New York, and by a rotating group of removed these positions in recogni- four of the other eleven Reserve Bank presidcnts.3 Federal Reserve's FOMC and Board Reserve Bank presidents are of Governors be even more indepen- appointed by the boards of directors of the Reserve Banks, subject to the • ., CURRE'4T LAW REQUIRES THE FEDERAL RESERVE TO PIIOMOTE MAXIMUM tion of the desirability of having the EMPLOYMENT, STABLE PRICES AND dent of the administration .4 Nor did Congress object when, in 1951, the Federal Reserve reasserted its independence from the Treasury. ln what is now known as The Accord, the Federal Reserve and the Treasury affirmed the central bank's freedom to conducL an independent monetary policy. They agreed to abandon the wartime practice of pegging interest rates on 'Il-easury debt issues at a low level for the convenie nce of the Treasury's https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis borrowing activity. 5 MODERATE LOHO-'TERM INTEREST RATES , TH FEDERAL RESERVE SHOULD BE I DEPENDE!,IT. ., THI\T ll•DEPENDENCE DOES N MEAN FREEOOM Fi:tOM RESP0t4S IBILITV TO COOPERATE, COORDINATE , I\ND BE HELD ACCOUt-lTA6LE Framework For Achieving Goals Although Congress has given the Federal Reserve a substantial degree of independence, that independence does not mean freedom from respon- the a twas an expression of goals to sibility to cooperate, coordinate, and be pursued by all agencies of the be held accountable. Congress can, government to the extent that their at any time, change the Federal usual operations and powers Reserve if it believes that the central enabled them to do so. bank is not acting in the nation's long-run best interest. Beyond what was specified in HUMPHREY-HAWKINS AcT. A mending the Employment Act of 1946 is the FuU Employment the original Federal Reserve Act of and Balanced Growth Act of 1978, also 19l3, Congress has adopted various known as the Humphrey-Hawkins pieces ol' legislation that spell out the Ac.t. The Humphrey-Hawkins goals of the Federal Reserve, with- Act requires the government to pursue out indicating specifically what methods should be used to achieve several national goals, including " ... full employment and production, increased real income, balanced these goals. EMPLOYMENT ACT OF growth, a balanced federal budget, 1946. The Employment Act of 1946 adequate produ tivity growth ... an requires the government to pursue improved trade balance ... and ''maximum employment, production, and purchasing power. "6 This law reasonable price stability."0 Like the original Employment was enacted when, at the end of Act of 1946, the Humphrey-Hawkins World War II, Congress and the Ac.t establishes general goals for aU President were concerned that sharp agencies of government rather than reductions in government purchases specific assignments for each one. of military equipment and the dis- However, the Humphrey-Hawkins charge of millions of military person- Act is more specific. in that it requires nel might cause unemployment to the President to establish economic rise to the levels experienced in the goals consistent with eventually l930s. achieving total and adult unemploy- 7 Responsibility for achieving the goals of the Employment Act of 1946 was not assigned specifically to the Federal Reserve System or to any other agency of government. Rather, 1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ment rates of 4 percent and 3 percent, respectively. It also establishes procedures to help coordinate the policies of the various agencies of government \ to achieve those goals. For example, the Federal Reserve is required to report its monetary policy plans to \ \ .... \ Congress semiannually, and to comment on the relationship of those plans to the President's goals. 9 FEDERAL RESERVE REFORM ACT OF 1977. ·, ✓• ,,.,.- / . / In contrast to those laws, the Federal Reserve Act, as amended, assigns some specific goals to the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve Reform Act of 1977 amended the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 so that it now requires the Federal Reserve " ... to promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate increases the likelihood that political long-term interest rates." and special-interest groups could 10 However, it is the Federal Reserve's respon- try to influence the Federal Reserve sibility to decide how best to pursue to pursue the policy that is currently those goals. important to that group."' RESPONDING TO MULTI- PLE GOALS. The multiplicity of goals In this respect, the Federal Reserve's situation is different from the Federal Reserve to choose which that of West Germany's central bank, which is also independent. More ,.- goal it emphasizes at any moment, than one goal is specified by law for rather than committing it to a partic- that bank, but German law s~aies. that ular goal." This type of discretion the goal of price stability i~? 'be "". -~-~:~,...::... :. given highest priority ,when_e¥er ab,- ·_;;• ,:;~_.:_f': f· r >' .. .;· . - ?.·. --=-~~. other goal might conll~w.ith -~· ";.__~ ·./)};· ---~-~:· ·.•' •• -- ,:::.: •=: _r...- established by Congress permits maintaining price s~f>~µty. 13 Jh!1~{iJf{'.-,_.i 1 major reaso~ why' i~any'i-pp'_~-. ~level rose by only i.i'12;.~rc.epi: , ;,~' ''., ;:-between 1950 and • 19akw6.ile ffi~ V.s. ~-~ I -.•~'••· • price level rose by 3?1:;:-PSF_cenL· . ;. ~ CHARTING A -COURSE. since currentlaw requires the Fed"' era.I.Reserve to promote maximum employment, stab!~ prices, and https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis B moderate long-term interest rates, the Federal Reserve must choose a viable strategy to accomplish this .i, mission. Two approaches seem plausible. One approach would be for the central bank to try to achieve a • ..,__"-•- t) balance among its three Congres- \ '\ ~ sionally mandated objectives. The I.. "' Federal Reserve could use its own .'l\ ,: ·\ ' ...... \ •( '·· . judgment about what balance among the objectives to pursue, and could ~ . ' . ,. change that balance from time to time ··ae~e~ding on its view of how the 'i •!, l \ i, ,. economy works and what course is ·I broadly acceptable to the public. { t t . ,. . . ~ ~ '\ In essence, this is the practice ·• 'it·,, that the Federal Reserve has followed . It has strived to balance desirable economic conditions such as full employment, economic growth, and low long-term interest rates with low rates of inflation. But the major drawback to this approach is its feasibility. To strike I a balance among the mandated goals requires that they be reliably linked to one another. Furthermore, mone- T,HE MULTIPLICITY I tary policy would need to be capable of influencing simultaneously all three economic dimensions in the desired directions and quantities. / Both economic theory and CONGRESS PERMITS \, actual experience indicate that fine- I \ tuning the economy through mone- THE FEDERAL RESERVE TO 1 , tary policy is fraught with peril. ., CHOOSE WHICH GOAL IT EMPHASIZES \, (. ~ ,, -- AT ANY MOMENT, --c.;:;::;=,;::-:-. --- ' " ..:.,:._- .t, j •1 PARTICULAR GOAL, \ I ' RATHER THAN COMMITTING IT TO A J• https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . l • -·-----.t 9 --- l While monetary policy is capable of influencing che economy in the shorl to intermediate run, over longer periods of time, monetary poLlcy can only affect the rate of inflation. The rate of inflation, in turn, affects all Using this approach, the Fed- dimensions of economic perfor- eral Reserve would seek to maintain mance, including employment and a stable price level over time. Price interest rates. Maximum production stability could be defined as an infla- and employment and low interest tion rate that averages zero over time rates can be achieved only at low and bas only small and offsetting inflation rates. deviations from zero, or as an infla- By its very nature. a balancing tion rate so small that it does not act among complex economic goals affect economic decisions. An econ- causes substantial confusion about omy with price stability would expe- the Federal Reserve's intentions. rience changes in individual prices, Such confusion could be avoided to but decisions about the future could a large degree if Congress or the be made with.out concern for persis- Federal Reserve assigned priorities tent, long-run inflation. to the goals, or if the Federal Reserve publicly explained the balance it was Choosing between these two alternative methods of pursuing the seeking among its goals, and Federal Reserve's goals - promptly notified the public of any balancing several goals or focusing policy changes. on price stability - THE MONEY-INFLATION LtNK, A at more promising approach, least for the long run, is to select one objective - the only one that the Federal Reserve can influence that is, requires a thorough understanding of how the economy operates and how monetary policy affects the economy. Many aspects of these economic linkages are poorly understood, lead- directly. This approach builds on the ing to spirited debates about bow long-run relationship between the Federal Reserve should money and inflation . conduct its business. Most participants in this debate are likely to concede that only a central bank can produce price stability, that much of the movement in Long- , . ,OIIEA I.ONCER PERIODS O 'TIME. t◄ ONETARV POI.ICV term interest rates can be traced to changes in expected inflation, and that employment and income growth over time depends essentially on CAN ON Y ~FFECT T IE RATE OS: IHl"L.ATIOH.,.{WttlCH) AFFECTS developments in technology, efficiency , and labor-force growth. Consequently, the real issue in the debate concerns the trade-off between the ,,. COi OMICPERl"ORMANCE . short-run costs and the long-run , benefits of pursuing price stability. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 10 Price Stability And Independence Why is price stability - that is, the elimination of any upward trend in the general level of pri es - an important goal, and why does a cen•• INFLATION IIAMPERS EFFICIENCY, •. OISCOURAGE\S) SAVlt+G (ANO) ENGENDERS SOCIALLY WASTEFUL because the tax code alJows depreci- pursue it? ation only with respect to the pur- Without price tability, an rather than its current replacement tion, and inflation is costly in several cost. redistributes wealth and earned in- price signals. When a price or wage come. Wealth is shifted from lenders rises during an inflation, it is often to borrowers, or more specifically, unclear how much, if any, of the from net monetary creditors to net increase is a relative increase, and monetary debtors, including the gov- how much merely reflects the rise in ernment, by reducing the purchasing the general price level. power of the funds being used for repayment. efficiency with which decisions can Real earned income is shifted be made by households about occu- from people with inflexible wage pations, employment, and consump- contracts to those who are able tion; and by fi1·ms about output to raise their wages or prices faster levels, equ.ipment-labor ratios, and than the rate of inflation. These materials inputs to their production redistributions are unjust because processes. Uncertainty about future they are not legislated in a demo- rates of inflation adds to investment cratic process by representatives risk and increases the risk premiums of the people. in interest rates, reducing investment capital goods. Second, in the United States, inflation interacts with the tax code ro discourage saving and investment. Interest earned on financial assets is truced in fult, even though part of the interest income is merely an inflation premium. Investment is discouraged 11 Third, unanticipated inflation efficiency by reducing the clarity of and shifting it toward shorter-lived https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis chase price of capital equipment, economy becomes vulnerable to mfla- This lack of clarity reduces rhe ACTIVITY, stated, and therefore overtaxed, tral bank need independence to ways. First, inflation hampers REDISTRIBUTES WEALTH , because business profits are over- Fourth, inflation engenders socially wasteful but personally necessary activity to hedge against and to profit from inflation's redistribution of wealth. Households hedge against inflation by buying houses, land, buildings, and nonproductive assets such as gold, for which they otherwise would have no need. During hyperinflations, households even hoard foodstuffs and other basic commodities. Firms increase inventories as an inflation hedge. Analysts sell forecasts to help people know how much CENTR inflation to expect, consultants sell advice on methods of hedging ,...,... against the inflation, and financial institutions develop financial instruments to be used as inflation hedges. ACCOUN -- I APPRt Although these activities are IN A DEMO sensible for the firms and people who engage in them, they are socially IN FACT, wasteful because they merely alter the pattern of inflation's redis- HA tribution of wealth, rather than adding to that wealth. PRICE STABILITY. ULTIMATE If the aggregate price level is predictably TOC stable, lenders do not need compensation for the inflation they expect THE FEDEi between the times the loans are made and repaid. With price stabil- G ity, the inflation premium would become nearly zero, in contrast to the 4 to 5 percent built into current rates. Reducing the size of the premium for expected inflation is, in fact, the only method that the Federal Reserve has for achieving lasting reductions in long-term interest rates. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 12 By pursuing a policy of price stability, the Federal Reserve would! have the maximum possible impact on employment. Businesses would be able to plan with some certainty and without the concern that inflation could adversely affect their plans. An economy with a stable price AL-BANK level is more efficient and more likely to grow, because con.fusing "ABILITY IS price signals and disincentives for saving and investment are reduced. IPRIATE Price stability promotes fairness because it eliminates unlegislated CRACY AND, redistribution of weahh and income caused by inflation. The resources :oNCRESS once used for hedging against inflation's redistributions can be freed ,THE for other uses. A criticism of using a stable AUTHORITY price level as the Federal Reserve's primary goal is that the Federal -IANCE Reserve would not be directly attempting to achieve a balance among inflation, employment, and growth. That criticism is invalid JAL. because monetary policy cannot bring about lasting increases in employment or economic growth, except by providing a stable price environment. SUPPOIIT FOR INDEPEN· DENCE. How important is political independence for central banks as they pursue price stability? Substantial evidence indicates a link between central-bank independence and the ability to achieve price stability. Assessments of the degree of independence of the central banks of several major nations and their correspond1ng rates of inflation in recent decades indicate that countries whose central banks have a greater degree of independence have 13 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis experienced lower rates of inflation. 1 " .,.THE NATION'S CENT~A&. B"NI( MUST HAVE PRICE STABILITY IF TrlE UNITED STATES IS TO ACHIEVE f"ftlCE STABILITY The wisdom of having an independent Federal Reserve is supported by U.S. experience. The Federal Reserve's independence, which is greater than that of all but a few ol' the central banks of the world, has resulted in the United States having had less inflation than The Goal Of Monetary Policy most other countries , From 1950 to 1988, consumer ti' the United States is to achieve prices rose by 391 percent in Lhe price stability and enjoy its benefits, United States, while they were rising the nation's central bank must have by a weighted average of Sil percent price stability as its monetary in industrialized nations (including policy goal. the United States) and by about 32,000 percent in developing nations. This evidence leads naturally to The Federal Reserve's control of money creation gives it the power to control the price level over time. No the conclusion that independence is other agency of our government can a necessary condition for the Federal do that. Fun:hermore, while mone- Reserve to successfully pursue price tary policy may affect employment stability, or even to seek a balance or interest rates for short periods of among employment , stable prices, time, the lasting effect on employ- _and long-term interest rates. if that ment or interest rates results only should be the desired course of through control of inflation_ action. Moreover, it appears that the Therefore, if this nation is to enjoy the benefits of price stability degree of independence is an impor- and, at the same time, to have maxi- tant determinant of avoiding infla- mum employment, output, and the tion, even when other sociopolitical other benefits of free markets, factors thaL might e."plain differences in national inflation rates are considered. For example, even taking into account other possible causes of inflationary pressure, the degree of central-bank independence appears to have an important effect on a nation 's price stability., s https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 14 AS ITS MONETARY POLICY GOAL. MONETARY POLICY (HAS A) LASTING EFFECT ON EMPLOY ME NT OR I N TEREST RATES ONLY T H ROUGH CONTROL OF INF LATION , the Federal Reserve must pursue price stability. A PUBLIC COMMITMENT , It is our view that the Federal Reserve should commit itself to the goal of price stability.," Announcement of such a com- short-run goals that might be incom- mitment would serve three purposes. patible with long-term performance. First, establishing a specific goal Third, Lhe Federal Reserve's would enhance the ability of Con- public commitment to price stability gress to hold the Federal Reserve would foster the expectation of price accountable for achieving the goal. stability in the economy. Price and Central-bank accountability is wage decisions that are consistent appropriate in a democracy and, in with price stability would be encour- fact, Congress has the ultimate aged. thereby making price stability authority to change the Federal easier to achieve and maintain. Reservc's goal. lt,1PLEMENTING PRICE Second, a commitment to price STABI L1Tv. Commitment to price sta- stability would enhance the Federal bility requires more than just saying Reserve's freedom from political that price stability is the goal the pressures as it pursued that goal. Federal Reserve will pursue. To be The absence of any prioritization of useful and effective, the commitment t he legally mandated goals creates must include some important details. circumstances in which various par- Because the United States has not ties are likely to try to influence the had a long-term policy of price sta- Federal Reserve to emphasize one bility, the Federal Reserve will need or another of those goals. • , IT /U>PEARS TIIAT A public commitment to price to implement such a strategy gradually. The initial step would be to stability. would reduce the effective- establish and announce a specific ness of political pressure timetable for reducing inflation and to deviate from that goal. Thus, a distinction can be made between a central bank eventually eliminating it. TIH! DEOREE OF INOE'1ENDENC£ The Federal Reserve should that is accountable for long-run then announce and explain the performance and a central bank that actions it will take to achieve its spe- can be influenced by government cified trajectory for the inflation rate. Whenever decisions are made officials who might be pursuing IS AN tM,>ORTAHT DETERMl~lANT about the money growth or the interest rates that the FederaJ Reserve is seeking in order to follow its timetable, those decisions should be announced immediately,1 7 OF AVOUJUIC IUFLATIOH , 15 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis While we believe that decisions should be announced immediately, we think that the details of discus- FEDERAL RESERVE INDEPENDENCE, sions in FOMC meetings should not be released because to do so could inhibit discussion in those meetings. Finally, if the inflation rate deviates from the announced timetable, the Federal Reserve should explain why the deviation has occurred, and announce and explain the actions ·:, :··----r-.. being taken to get back on track. Federal Reserve independence, -----~ -~... _. and candor about objectives and timetables, would interact to aid the Federal Reserve's pursuit of price _,..--....._ · ·-'-~•i •.;~~ -r. ·.I L___,__ ,, -·1~· · · , ........ stability in several ways. Independence in determining monetary policy is necessary if the Federal Reserve is to have credibility when it announces how it will conduct monetary policy. Candor in announcing its goals and methods will only enhance Federal Reserve credibility, which will facilitate achieving price stability. .... I, • • https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ·~ ., ..,... ____...,. I . t 16 AND CANDOR • AND TIMETABLES, WOULD INTERACT TO AID THE FEDERAL RE5ERVE'S Inflation interferes with a nation's pursuit of other economic goals such as full employment, eco- PURSUIT OF PRICE STABILITY. nomic growth, and low interest rates, while price stability supports the pursuit of those goals. The Federal Reserve's independence has served this nation well. While U.S. price-level experience has not been as good as it should have been, it has certainly been much better than those nations whose ConcJusions " "'- f ' . ~ ~ I .. I' '! central banks are controlled by their executive branches of government. t ., f There is much to recommend the Our nation's prospects for greater continued independence of the Fed- price-level stability, and thus the eral Reserve System. Clearly, the opportunity for greater overall authors of the Constitution long-run prosperity, will be enhanced intended, as one aspect of the sep- if the Federal Reserve's indepen- aration of powers, that the e.xecutive dence is maintained and its commit- branch of government should not ment to price stability is strengthened have tbe power to coin money. And it and made more explicit . is clear that Congress, in its design \: ~ of the central bank, intended that the Federal R eserve should have substantial independence from both the executive and the legislative branches in conducting its .. •. operations . Expert opinion here and abroad has, through the years, urged that the executive branch of government in any nation should not have the power to create money and credit. Moreover, empirical evidence indicates that those nations whose central banks have greater independence also have less inflation than 17 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis other nations. 4. S ee Milton Friedman and Anna Jacobson Schwartz, A Monetary History of the United States 1867-1960, (Princeton University Press for the National Bureau of Economic Research, 1963), pp. 445-46, footnote 25. s. Annual Report of the Secretary of1J1e 1reasury on the State of the Finances for the Fiscal Footnotes 1. See Lawrence Gipson, The Coming of the Revolution: Year Ended June 30, 1951 (Government Printing Office, 1951), p . 271. 6. Employment Act of 1946, Section 2, as recorded in the 1763-1175 (Harper and Row, 1954), United States Code: Congressional pp. 40-54. Another reason was to Service, Laws of79tb Congress, Sec- keep the states from having the power to coin money. See Edward Meade Earle, ed., The Federalist, ond Session (West Publishing Company). p . 20. nos. 42 and 44 (Madison, 1788), (Modern Library, 1937), pp. 275-76 and 289-91. 2. In 1988, the Federal Reserve System had $17.55 billion of net income after expenses. From that net income, $17.36 billion was contributed to the U. . Treasury. See 75th Annual Report 1988, Board of Governors or the Federal Reserve System, p. 216. 3. The voting records of Federal Reserve Bank presidents and governors in the FOMC are Economic Report of che President, January 1947, (GPO. 1947), p. vii. 7. s. Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978, as recorded in the United States Code; Congressional Service and Adminisrrarive News, La..vs of9Stfi Con- 9. Economic Report of tbe President, January 1919, (GPO, 1979), pp. 106-08. 10. Federal Reserve Reform Act of 1977, as recorded in notion that the struclUre of the Fed- lhe United States Code: Congressional Service and Administrative News, Laws of95th Congress, First Session (West Publishing Company). of different views or what is best for the nation. When voting at FOMC meetings during the last quarter cen- H4S SERYEOTHIS NATION WELL, gress, Second Session (West Publishing Company). quite different, which supports the eral Reserve provides representation THE FEDERAL RESERVE'S INDEPENDENCE tury, presidents have been twice as likely as governors to dissent from the FOMC's majority in favor of a tighter monetary policy, while gover• nors have been five times as likely as presidents to dissent from the majority in favor of an easier monetary policy. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 18 .. . ev,oe .. ce ltlOICATES Tt-lAT NAl lOHS ALSO I AVE LESS 1,-.FlATIOM . HOSE CENTRAL BANl(S HAVE C.REATEft NDEPEHDENCE (April 1989) , p. 274: "Ma.-ximum sustainable economi growth over time is the Federal Reserve's ulrimate objective. The primary role of monetary policy in the pursuit of trus goal is to foster price stability." 11. "Statement by Alan 17. For a detailed rebut- Greenspan , Chairman, Board of tal of the argument that delayed Governors of the Federal Reserve release of the FOMC's decisions is System, before the Subcommittee on necessary, ee Marvin Goodfriend, Domestic Monetary Policy of tbe Commjrtee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, October 25, 1989, '' 14. See Alberto Alessina, "Macroeconomics and Politics," Macroeconomics Annual (The MIT "Monetary Mystique: Secrecy and Central Banking." Journal oflifone- Federal Reserve Bulletin. vol. 75 Press for the National Bureau for Economic Research, 1988), pp. 38-43 tary Economics (January 1986), pp. 63-92. For a study showing that prompt release of the Federal (December 1989), p. 797. and table 9. See also King Banaian, Reserve's one-quarter-ahead money Leroy O . 1,aney, and Thomas D . projections would improve the accuracy oftbe public's expectations of 12. See Robert L. Hetzel, ''Central Banks' Independence in Historical Perspective," Journal of Monetary Economic , vol. 25, no. I (January 1990). Hetzel distinguishes between central banks lhat have independence with commitment to a particular goal, and Willett, "Central Bank Independence: An International Comparison ," Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Economic Review, (March future money growth, see Michael Hutchison and John R. Judd, 1983), pp. 6-8. Surprises: International Evidence," 1 s. Alessina, Ma cro- independence with autonomy to economics Annual, p. 42; and Banaian and others, Economic choose a goal or goals, He argues Review, pp. 12-13. that the latter type of independence tempts special interest groups to try to influence the central bank's choice of goal. 13. See Manfred 16. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan appa rently agrees. See Alan Greenspan, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, "Mone- Willms, "The Monetary Policy tary Policy Report to the Congress," Decision Process in the Federal Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 75 (August 1989), pp. 527-38: "... the fun- Republic of Germany." in Donald R. Hodgman, ed .. Tbe Political Econ omy ofMonetary Policy: National and International Aspects, Conlerence Series no. 26 (Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, July 1983), p. 36. damental objective of our policy ... remains to maximize sustainable economic growth which in turn requires the achievement of price stability over time;" and "Any inflalion that persists will hinder the economy's ability to perform at peak efficiency and to create jobs." See also Alan Greenspan, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, ''Monetary Policy Report to the Congress, '' Fed- 19 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ~ral Reserve Bulletin, vol. 75 ''Central Bank Secrecy and Money Worbng Paper89-02 (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. June 1989). 1989 STATEMENT OF CONDITION 1988 Assets Gold certificate account $ Special drawing rights certificate account Coin 661,000,000 $ 655,000,000 508,000,000 314,000,000 35,198,010 25,465,147 260,490,000 890,000,000 375,348,521 402,430,203 Loans and securities: Loans to depository institutions Federal agency obligations bought Comparative Financial Statement outright For years ended December 31 U.S. government securities Bills 6,016,323,386 6,515,038,679 Notes 5,256,981,596 5,253,906,524 1,772,647,794 1,728,921,594 Total U.S. government securities 13,045,952,776 13,497,866,797 Total loans and securities 13,681.79},297 14,790,297,000 Cash items in process of collection 311,132,941 243,970,219 Bonds 35,636,690 31.674,850 Other assets 1,996,567,172 793,404,407 lnterdistrict settlement account 1,213,581,514 (659,500,560) Bank premises Total Assets $18,440,907,624 $16,294,309,063 $15,565,816,189 $13,703,779,373 2,107,236,707 1,893,425,046 Liabilities Federal Reserve notes Deposits: Depository institutions Foreign Other deposits 8,100,000 8,250,000 62,171.052 13,993,166 2,177,507,759 1.915,668,212 Deferred availability cash items 287,754,553 266,000,247 Other liabilities 162,828,823 179,054,731 $ 18, 193,907,324 $16,064,502,563 Total deposits Total Liabilities Capital accounts Capital paid in $ 123,500,150 247,000,300 Total Capital Accounts $ Total Liabilities and Capital Accounts $18,440,907,624 114,903,250 114,903,250 123,500,150 Surplus https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis $ $ 229,806,500 $16,294,309,063 20 CONGRESS GRANTED THE FEDERAL RESERVE SELF•FINANCING AUTHORITY. 1989 INCOME AND EXPENSES 1988 Current Income Interest on loans 2,429,631 $ $ L,149,099,468 Interest on government securities 1,384,919 1,055,774,529 Earnings on foreign currency 56,068,247 16,607,328 Income from services 42,968,475 40,109,734 AU other income Total current income 592,146 571,323 $ l,251,l57,967 $1,114,447,833 Current operating expenses 66,379,062 65 ,237,787 Cost of earnings credits 11, 691,875 11,043,526 $ L 173,087,030 $1,038,166,520 Current Net Income ~ Profit and Loss Additions to current net income Profit on foreign exchange transactions $ Profit on sales of government securities $ $ 0 l,369,885 68,403,659 3,270 All other additions Total additions 702,956 5,886 69,109,885 $ 1,376,770 0 Deductions from current net income s 28,098,147 l, 190 108,533 Total deductions $ 1,190 $ 28,206,680 Net additions or deductions $ 69, 108.695 $ 26,830,910 $ 3,338,604 $ 1,924,431 Loss on foreign exchange transactions $ All oth¢r deductions Assessments by Board of Governors Cost ofUnreimbursable Treasury Services 4,877,500 4,620,100 10,402,141 10,064,330 18,618,245 16,608,861 $1,223,577,480 $ 994,726,749 $ $ Board of Governors expenditures Federal Reserve currency costs Total assessments by Board of Governors et Income Available for Distribution Distribution of Net Income Dividends paid 7,054,527 6,811,391 Payments to U.S. Treasury (interest on Federal Reserve notes) Transferred to surplus Total distributed 21 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1,207,926,053 985,705,508 8,596,900 2,209,850 $1,223,577,480 $ 994,726,749 CONGRESS INCORPORATED Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Directors As of December 31, 1989 Chairman & Federal Reserve Agent CHARLES W. PARRY Retired Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Aluminum Company of America Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Deputy Chairman JOHN R. MILLER Former President & ChiefOpera1ing Officer Standard Oil Company of Ohio Cleveland, Ohio President, Federal Advisory Council DANI ELM. GALBREATH President, John W. Galbrea1h & Co. Columbus, Ohio (Resigned July l. 1989) VERNA K. G,asoH TH0MA9 H. O'BRIEN Chairman, Presiden1 & Chief Executive Officer PNC Financial Corp Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Presidenl, The Limi1ed Stores, Inc. Columbus, Ohio LABAN P. JACKSON, JA. Chairman, Clearcreek Properties Lexington, Ken1ucky Cincinnati Directors WtLLIAM H. MAY Chairman & President First National Bank of Nelsonville Nelsonv,lle, Ohio WILLIAM T. McCONNELL Presidenl, The Park National Bank Newark, Ohio D0UCLAS E. OLESEN President and ChiefExecu1ive Officer Bauelle Memorial Institute Columbus, Ohio (Term began Augusl 22, 1989) ROBERT 0. STOREY Partner, Burke, Haber & Berick Cleveland, Ohio FRANK WoesT Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Huntington Bancshares Incorporated Columbus, Ohio https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Chairman OWEN B. BUTLER Retired Chairman of1he Board The Procter & Gamble Company Cincinnati, Ohio JACK W. BUCHANAN President, Sphar & Company, Inc. Winchester, Kentucky ROBERT M. DUNCAN President First National Bank of Louisa Louisa, Kentucky ALLEN L. DAVIS President & Chief Executive Officer The Provident Bank Cincinnati, Ohio KATE IRELAND National Chairman Frontier Nursing Service Wendover, Kentucky JERRY L. K1R8Y Cincinnati Directors Marvin Rosenberg Robert M. Duncan Kate Ireland Jerry L. Kirby Jack W. Buchanan Chairman of the Board, President & Chief Execulive Officer Citizens Federal Savings & Loan Association Dayton, Ohio MARVIN R0S£Nl3ERC Partner, Towne Properties, Ltd. Cincinnati, Ohio 22 A BLEND OF PUBLIC AND PRIVATE ELEMENTS INTO THE FEDERAL RESERVE'S STRUCTURE. Pi tts bur g h Dir e ct o rs Chairman JAM ES E. HAAS President & Chief Operating Officer National Intergroup, Inc. Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania (Resigned September 20. 1989) Chairman ROBER T P . BO ZZ ON E President & Chief Operating Officer Allegheny Ludlu m Corporation Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania (Term began October 5, 1989) A. GEOR GE DAVI D SON , JR . Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Consolidated Natural Gas Company Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania THOMAS G. Dove Chairman or the Executive Committee & Chief Executive Officer Wheeling Dollar Bank W heeling, West Virginia STEPHEN C. HANSEN President & Chief Executive Officer Dollar Bank, FSB Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania JACK B . PtATT Chairman, Millcraft Industries Washington, Pennsylvania (Term began November 3, 1989) E . JAM E S TR I MAR C H I President & Chief Executive Officer First Commonwealth Financial Corporat ion Indiana, Pennsylvania KARL M . VON D E R H E YD E N Senior Vice President-Finance & Chief Financial Officer H.J. Heinz Com pa ny Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania (Resigned July 6, 1989) MILTON A. WASHIHO TO H President & Chief Executive Officer Allegheny Housing Rehabilitation Corporation Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Pittsburgh Directors S1ephen C. Hansen George A. Davidson E. James Trimarchi Cleveland Directors Frank Wobst Chairman Charles W. Parry William H. May 23 William T. McConnell Deputy Chairman John R. Miller Laban P. Jackson. Jr. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Milton A. Washington Thomas G. Dove J1L l. GO UB E.AUi< CLARI< V1cc Pre•idenl & Associate General Counsel V. PATRICK Co.ST Vic~ Pre;;,dent & General Auditol Cuv LAWRENCE Vice Pre>idcm CAEICH "T OH R. FRICIEK Vice President ELENA M. McCALL R. CHRIS Vice P,esiden, MOORE Vice President & Seer •tary McGoWAI• w. PRICE ROBERT JAMES W. RAKOWSKV OAv,o E. R1CH Assis1an( Vice President Vice Presldenf JOHN P. ROBINS Examining Officer EDWARO E. RICHARDSON Vke President TERRENCE J. Ron~ A$.Sisnrnt Vice President MARKS , SNIOERMAN Vice Presidenl & Associate Director of Research w. Lee K. Assistant Vice President SANDRA PtAtrl.Al.TO As of March I, 1990 LA\IRA Assisrnn1 Vice !'resident Bank of Cleveland Officers WILLIAM MAJOR Assist"-n l Vice President Vice President Federal Reserve JOHN E. KLEINHEN Z As.sis!ant Vice President SUSAN G . SCHUELLER As,s,stant Vice Presidcnl HOSKINS JOSEPH C , THORP President V ite President BURTON G. SHUTACK Assistant Vice President WILLIAM H . HENORICl<S RoaERT VANVALKENBURG Firot Vice Prosid~nt Vice President J. WILLIAM S"'ITH Assi~ani Vice Pre5ident RANDOLPH G. COLEMAN W, A>4DREW Senior Vice President WATTS V,ce President& Regulatory Counsel JOHN M. EDWARD J, STEVENS Aosi5!alll Vice President & Econi;,mi51 DAVIS Senior Vice Pre>ident & Dir~ctor of Research A. MARGRET BEEKEL Assistant Vice Pres ido111 JAMES B. THOMSON A~is1:1nt Vice President & 1::conomist JOHN J. RITCHEY Senior Vice President & General Counsel TERRY N. BENNETT Assistant Vice Pres,denl D. SAMUEL SMITH J_ CALLAHAN TI-IOMAS Stmior Vice Presiden1 As!oistant V\,'. c President & AssisLn.1n Se~1·etar_v G. DONALD VINCEL RANDA.LL W . EBEAT5 Senior Vice President Assistant Vice President & Economist ROBERT F. W,.R E JOMNJ, ERCEG Senior Vice President Assistant Vice President & Economisl WALt<ER F. TODD Ass,stant Ge11e1 al Counsel & Research Oflicer HENRY P. TROLIO Assistant Vice President ROBERT E . WHITE Assistant Vice Presidenl & Assisra111 General Auditor JOHN J, WIXT E D, J!I- , s~jor Vice Pre.side,-, I WILLIAM DAREt.L R , WIT"TRUP T. GAVIN Assistan t Vire President & Econom,st Assist1tnl Vice Pr~idenl ANDREW J . 8A:tAR ELAINE Vice President G. GELLER Assistant Vice Pre idcnt JAKE D , BRELAND AoeERT Vice President J. GoR1\ls Assistant Vice President WtLl. tAM s. BROWN Vice President NORMAN k. Assislanl Vice Pr~s,denr HACEN ANDREW C . BURKLE, JR . Vice President Et>DI£ L , HAROV Examining Ot'liccr LYNN M. HARTIG A:His,aot Viee Pre$iJent DAVID P. JACER Assistant Vice President RAV FORD P. kALICH Assistant Vic" President KEVIN P. K~LLEV 1\.u,srant Vice P,·c•iclenl 24 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ci n ci nnat i Br.:inr:f. CHARLES A. CERINO ~nior Vic~ Presidient Roscoe E. /\ssisuu11 Vic, President HARR,sON DAVID F. W1=1saROO llssislant Vier Presidenl J EARY S. WILSOfr,f _.\ssis1ant Vice President l'iusburgh Branch J. HAROLD SWART Senior Vice President RAYMOND L. BR,Ntc.MAN Assistnn 1 Vice PrC$iden1 Lo,s A. R1BACk Assistant Vice President RoBeRT e. ScttAUB A.ssist:UH Vice President Columb us Orficc, CHARLES F. Wtt. l. lAM S Vice Pr~sident MAIN O FFICE Eas( bth Street and Superior Awnue Cleveland, 011 ~-111~ 2105;9.2()()0 CINCINNATI BRANCH 150 l°fosl ~lh lreei Cin~innali, 01-1 46202 :\15 721 ~,8i PITTSBURGH BRANCH i l f Gram Street Pi1tsburgh, PA 15219 This annual report wu prepared Ly Lhe Research Department and the Public Affairs and Bank Rda.tions D~partment, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. for additional copies of this rcpor1 , ~12.261.7800 c:onui.cL rla, Public Affairs and Bank Relalmns D~par"ltl'lent, Federn l Reserve Ba.nk of C leveland, COLUMBUS RECt0NAL CHECK PROCESSING CENTER 'Jti~ h'.ingsmill Parkway Columbus, Ol I ~3229 lHR46.705tJ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis l'.O. Box b.587, Cleveland, 011 ~4101