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'Report X£_> 1982 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Letter of Transmittal BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Washington, D.C., April 15, 1983 THE SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES Pursuant to the requirements of section 10 of the Federal Reserve Act, I am pleased to submit the Sixty-Ninth Annual Report of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. This report covers operations of the Board during calendar year 1982. Sincerely, Paul A. Volcker, Chairman Contents Part 1 Monetary Policy and the U.S. Economy in 1982 3 5 5 8 9 9 10 12 INTRODUCTION THE ECONOMY IN 1982 Household sector Business sector Foreign sector Government sector Labor market developments Prices 14 MONETARY POLICY AND FINANCIAL MARKETS 15 Monetary aggregates and interest rates 20 Aggregate credit flows 24 25 27 INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENTS U.S. international transactions Foreign currency operations 30 30 42 MONETARY POLICY REPORTS TO CONGRESS Report on February 10, 1982 Report on July 20, 1982 Part 2 59 59 59 63 63 64 65 66 67 67 69 70 70 71 72 74 79 79 81 82 84 85 92 99 105 114 121 128 134 Records, Operations, and Organization RECORD OF POLICY ACTIONS OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS Regulation B (Equal Credit Opportunity) Regulation D (Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions) Regulation D (Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions) and Regulation Q (Interest on Deposits) Regulation E (Electronic Fund Transfers) Regulation G (Securities Credit by Persons Other than Banks, Brokers, or Dealers), Regulation T (Credit by Brokers and Dealers), and Regulation U (Credit by Banks for the Purpose of Purchasing or Carrying Margin Stocks) Regulation K (International Banking Operations) Regulation L (Management Official Interlocks) Regulation O (Loans to Executive Officers, Directors, and Principal Shareholders of Member Banks) Regulation Q (Interest on Deposits) Regulation T (Credit by Brokers and Dealers) Regulation U (Credit by Banks for the Purpose of Purchasing or Carrying Margin Stocks) Regulation Y (Bank Holding Companies and Change in Bank Control) Regulation Z (Truth in Lending) Policy statements and other actions 1982 discount rates Rl ( OR!) OF POLICY ACTIONS OF THE FEDERAL OPEN MARKET C O M M I T n . L Authorization for domestic open market operations Domestic policy directive Authorization for foreign currency operations Foreign currency directive Meeting held on February 1-2, 1982 Meeting held on March 29-30, 1982 Meeting held on May 18, 1982 Meetings held on June 30-July 1, 1982, and on July 15, 1982 Meeting held on August 24, 1982 Meeting held on October 5, 1982 Meeting held on November 16, 1982 Meeting held on December 20-21, 1982 143 CONSUMER AND COMMUNITY AFFAIRS 143 Regulatory actions 146 Compliance aids 147 Collection and use of data 154 Compliance with consumer regulations 156 Legislative recommendations 157 Consumer Advisory Council 159 Community Reinvestment Act 159 Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council 161 LITIGATION 161 Bank holding companies—Antitrust action —Review of Board actions 163 Other litigation involving challenges to Board procedures and regulations 167 167 167 170 LEGISLATION ENACTED Export Trading Company Act Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act Continuing appropriations 171 171 178 183 186 BANKING SUPERVISION AND REGULATION Supervision for safety and soundness Regulation of U.S. banking structure Enforcement of other laws and regulations Federal Reserve membership 188 188 189 190 191 192 192 REGULATORY SIMPLIFICATION Monetary policy and payments system Banking structure and supervision Consumer and community affairs regulations Securities credit and securities activities Regulatory impact studies Regulatory Service and other informational services 193 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS 193 Developments in the payments mechanism and in the pricing of Federal Reserve services 197 Examination 197 Income and expenses 198 Federal Reserve Bank premises 199 Holdings of securities and loans 199 Volume of operations 201 r>« - \K1> ' if GOVERNORS 201 Financial statements 207 208 210 214 216 216 217 218 222 226 226 227 227 230 232 233 234 238 240 STATISTICAL TABLES 1. Detailed statement of condition of all Federal Reserve Banks combined, December 31, 1982 2. Statement of condition of each Federal Reserve Bank, December 31, 1982 and 1981 3. Federal Reserve open market transactions, 1982 4. Federal Reserve holdings of U.S. government and federal agency securities, December 31, 1980-82 5. Number and salaries of officers and employees of Federal Reserve Banks, December 31, 1982 6. Bank premises of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, December 31, 1982 7. Income and expenses of Federal Reserve Banks, 1982 7 8 Income and expenses of Federal Reserve Banks, 1914-82 9 Volume of operations in principal departments of Federal Reserve Banks, 1979-82 10 Revenue and expenses of priced services at Federal Reserve Banks, 1982 11 Federal Reserve Bank interest rates, December 31, 1982 12 Reserve requirements of depository institutions 13 Maximum interest rates payable on time and savings deposits at federally insured institutions 14 Margin requirements 15 Principal assets and liabilities, and number of insured commercial banks, by class of bank, June 30, 1982 and 1981 16 Reserves of depository institutions, Federal Reserve Bank credit, and related items—Year-end, 1918-82, and month-end, 1982 17 Changes in number of banking offices in the United States, 1982 18 Mergers, consolidations, acquisitions of assets or assumptions of liabilities approved by the Board of Governors, 1982 249 MAP OF FEDERAL Ki SERVE SYSTEM—DISTRICTS 251 252 254 255 256 257 FEDERAL RESERVE DIRECTORIES AND MEETINGS Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Federal Open Market Committee Federal Advisory Council Consumer Advisory Council Federal Reserve Banks, Branches, and Offices 277 INDEX Part 1 Monetary Policy and the U.S. Economy in 1982 Introduction Production and employment in the United States declined appreciably during 1982 as the economy continued the difficult transition from inflation to price stability. Most broad price indexes rose less than 5 percent over the year, about half the increase in 1981. The improved price performance was attributable in part to generally weak product markets, exceptionally good harvests, and a surplus of oil in world markets. But more fundamental improvement was evident also as underlying trends in wages began to reflect more fully the progress on the price front as well as domestic and international competitive pressures; with businesses aggressively acting to strengthen productivity, unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector rose only about 43/4 percent. The rise in the foreign exchange value of the dollar contributed to the moderation in inflation by reducing import prices, but the effect on export and import volume of the decline in the competitive position of the United States in world markets was a source of weakness in domestic economic activity. Real disposable income edged up over the four quarters of the year, despite a decline in real gross national product. The tax cut in mid1982 and the increase in transfer payments more than offset the weakness in wages and salaries. Purchases of homes, automobiles, and other durable goods were constrained by the high cost of financing as well as by the limited improvement in spendable real income. In addition, faced with reduced sales volume, low profit margins, and high rates of unused capacity, businesses cut investment spending and liquidated inventories. Industrial production fell sharply in 1982, forcing widespread layoffs, and employment dropped throughout the year. The overall rate of civilian unemployment reached a postwar high of 10.8 percent at the end of the year. The principal objectives for monetary policy in 1982 were to maintain the financial discipline necessary to achieve further progress toward price stability and, at the same time, to foster conditions conducive to the development of a sustained recovery in economic activity. Accordingly, the Federal Open Market Committee adopted target ranges that provided for some slowing in the underlying growth of the monetary aggregates from their rates of expansion in 1981. As the year progressed, however, the necessity arose to tolerate growth above the upper limits of those ranges to accommodate unusual demands for liquid assets; to have maintained growth within the original targets in such circumstances would have exacerbated recessionary tendencies in the economy. Over the four quarters of 1982, each of the aggregates did, in fact, exceed its targeted range. The overshoot for Ml was especially large; the bulk of the increase was in other checkable deposits, which rose 34 percent over the year. In the fourth quarter, substantial inflows from maturing all savers certificates were superimposed on already strong demands for liquidity, and Ml rose at an annual Introduction rate of 13 percent. In anticipation of this development and of distortions that would be associated with the introduction of money market deposit accounts in December, the Committee in October shifted its focus to the broader aggregates in implementing its policy objectives. Credit flows increased in 1982, as stepped-up borrowing by all levels of government more than offset reductions in financing by the private sector. Interest rates remained relatively high, but declined significantly in the third quarter. By the end of the year, nominal interest rates across the maturity spectrum had in most cases reached the lowest levels in more than two years. Mounting evidence of a slowing in underlying inflation might well have produced still larger declines in long-term rates but for the threat of widening federal deficits. The Economy in 1982 Economic activity declined in 1982, as real gross national product dropped 1.1 percent, continuing the recession that began in mid-1981.1 The current downturn came on the heels of a sharp drop in GNP in the second quarter of 1980 and a short-lived recovery in the second half of 1980 and early 1981. As a result, by the end of 1982 real GNP had fallen below its level three years earlier. The sharp drop in industrial production in 1982 was associated with widespread layoffs and plant closings. And, with limited job opportunities in other sectors as well, the unemployment rate rose to a postwar high of 103/4 percent by the end of the year. The economic downturn, after the prolonged period of little or no growth, brought about a significant slowing of inflation, with most broad price measures rising less than 5 percent. Declines in activity were particularly large for business investment and exports, which in real terms fell 8 and 13 Vi percent respectively in 1982. Consumption expenditures rose over the year, as real disposable income increased slightly, reflecting a cut in federal taxes and the effects of automatic countercyclical income stabilizers. In addition, defense purchases increased rapidly. At the same time, the large and growing federal budget deficit weighed heavily on the 1. Throughout the discussion of the economy in 1982, annual growth rates reported measure the changes from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 unless indicated otherwise. credit markets and, in the context of continued efforts by the Federal Reserve to maintain monetary discipline, tended to hold long-term interest rates at high levels relative to the prevailing rate of inflation. Inflation slowed dramatically in 1982. The price index for the gross domestic business product rose only AVi percent after an advance of 9 percent in 1981. The deceleration of prices was not only sizable, but also widespread: the rates of inflation for consumer goods and services and capital equipment were all appreciably lower. The slowdown in prices was reinforced by progress in retarding the rate of increase of labor costs. Slack labor markets, as well as lower inflation and expectations of inflation, contributed to the deceleration of wages. The improvement was apparent across all major labor market groups: wage increases in manufacturing and services and for white-collar and blue-collar workers all moderated from the previous year. In addition, wage concessions were negotiated in a number of large collective bargaining settlements. Household Sector Personal consumption expenditures increased 2Vi percent in 1982, with much of this rise reflecting an upswing in motor vehicle purchases at the end of the year. Outside the auto sector, the increase in outlays was more moderate, as real disposable income rose less than 1 percent during 1982. In particular, the July cut in personal taxes, which followed 6 The Economy in 1982 Indicators of Economic Performance Percentage change, Q4 to Q4 Ratio Real GNP Inventory-sales ratio -CL^-J Millions of units Index, 1967=100 Housing starts Industrial production Millions of units Percent Unemployment rate Auto sales 10 Domestic Foreign ! Percentage change, Q4 to Q4 i Percentage change Gross domestic business product price index Unit labor costs 10 nr p 1976 1978 1980 1982 All data are seasonally adjusted at annual rates. The industrial production indexes (monthly) are Federal Reserve data; the unemployment rate (monthly) and the change in unit labor costs are U.S. Department of Labor data; auto sales are from the Motor Vehicle Manufacturers' Association. All other data are from the U.S. Department of Commerce. Real GNP and real final sales are in terms of 1972 dollars. 1976 1978 1980 1982 The inventory-sales ratio is based on real (1972 dollars) manufacturing and total trade sales and inventories. Prices are measured by the fixed-weight price index for gross domestic business product (1972 weights). Unit labor costs are for the nonfarm business sector; percentage change is from four quarters earlier. The Economy in 1982 7 the earlier reduction in October 1981, drop in purchases of furniture and served only to offset a sharp decline appliances. Activity in the housing sector picked in real wages and salaries. With income growth sluggish and employ- up last year, with housing starts rising ment and income prospects uncer- 45 percent from the postwar record tain, consumers appeared reluctant lows reached in late 1981. Residento reduce saving and to acquire big- tial construction put in place, which ticket durable goods. The saving rate lags starts, was up 1 percent in real averaged 6.6 percent for the year as terms over 1982. The improvement a whole, about the same as in 1981. stemmed primarily from a marked The demand for new domestic decline in mortgage interest rates: automobiles was poor in 1982: sales the interest rate on new commithave declined dramatically since early ments for fixed-rate conventional 1979 and last year averaged only 5.8 home mortgages at savings and loan million units, the lowest level since associations dropped from a high of 1961. The pattern of auto sales fluc- 18V2 percent in the autumn of 1981 tuated considerably during the year to 13*/2 percent by the end of 1982. as consumers reacted to incentives Construction of both single- and such as rebates. In the most success- multifamily units experienced gains. ful program, in the fourth quarter, In the multifamily sector, starts rose auto makers offered concessions on about 40 percent over the year to an interest rates coupled with end-of- annual rate of 460,000 units in the year price discounts on 1982 models, fourth quarter. The strength during and the rate of sales was sustained the year resulted partly from an above 6 million units for two consec- increase in units initiated under the utive months for the first time since expiring section 8 subsidy program the middle of 1981. Purchases of administered by the Department of foreign cars held up well in 1982; at Housing and Urban Development. 2.2 million units for the year as a Starts of unsubsidized rental units whole, they accounted for a record also appeared to pick up as vacancy 28 percent of total car sales. Sales of Japanese cars, which made up about Income, Consumption, and Saving 80 percent of foreign auto sales, rose Percentage change, Q4 to Q4 at the end of the year despite export Real consumption restrictions on most models. Reat'ii^'^^'Mncome Excluding motor vehicles, real per- r i _pi 1 sonal consumption expenditures rose l3/4 percent during 1982, in part 0 because of an increase of nearly 2Vi Percent percent in spending for services. Real outlays for food and gasoline also grew over the year, although a smaller portion of household budgets than in recent years was devoted to gasoline 1978 1980 1982 purchases because of favorable price 1976 Based on U.S. Department of Commerce data, seatrends. Sales of all durable goods adjusted at annual rates. Real consumption other than cars fell % percent in real sonally and real disposable income are in terms of 1972 dolterms, mostly because of a 4 percent lars. U fi I rn 8 The Economy in 1982 rates remained quite low despite some increase at year-end, and rents rose more rapidly than the general rate of inflation. Much of the improvement in the single-family sector came toward the end of the year, when the cost of mortgage credit had fallen to affordable levels for many homebuyers. Starts of single-family homes jumped to an annual rate of 800,000 units in the fourth quarter, almost 50 percent above the year-earlier pace. Sales, which had remained depressed through the summer, revived toward year-end, with sharp gains in sales of new homes. Reflecting mainly the unusually weak market conditions during the first three quarters of the year, the average price of homes sold rose moderately in 1982. Measured without regard to concessionary financing or to changes in quality, the average price of existing homes sold was up 3 percent over the year, and the increase in average sales price of new homes sold slowed to about 1 percent, both because of a moderation in construction costs and because of continued movement toward smaller models. Business Sector Business fixed investment fell 8 percent in real terms during 1982. The contraction in capital spending last year came soon after the relatively shallow decline in 1980. This period of prolonged stagnation for the capital goods sector reflected weakness in the underlying determinants of capital spending. By the end of 1982, real final sales were no higher than in mid-1979; the rate of capacity utilization in manufacturing declined throughout 1982, slumping to a postwar low at year-end. Profit margins, as measured by the share of beforetax profits in the gross domestic product for the nonfinancial sector, also dropped to a postwar low, and the number of business failures reached postwar highs. In addition, interest rates remained high relative to the pace of inflation last year, exacerbating financial pressures. Virtually all of the decline in fixed investment last year was in equipment rather than in structures. Real spending for producers' durable equipment fell 103/4 percent over the year, and reductions were widespread. The steepest declines occurred in outlays for heavy industrial machinery such as engines, and for construction machinery and farm equipment. Purchases of most types of transportation equipment, including aircraft and railroad equipment, also fell sharply. Reductions in outlays for office and store machinery, communications equipment, and instruments were relatively small. Real outlays for nonresidential structures declined only 2 percent in 1982. Reductions were concentrated in petroleum and mining activity, which dropped nearly HV2 percent over the year as energy markets softened. Spending on new factories and commercial structures such as shopping malls and retail stores also fell. In contrast, real outlays for construction of office buildings and institutional structures continued to increase. The outlook for business fixed investment continues to be weak. Both private and public surveys of capital spending plans indicate further reductions in the capital goods sector into 1983. Forward-looking indicators suggest that outlays for producers' durable equipment are likely to fall slightly in early 1983; The Economy in 1982 these outlays are likely to stabilize once a recovery in final demand is well under way. But expenditures for nonresidential buildings could decline substantially given the large drop in the real value of contracts for new construction and rising vacancy rates during 1982. Business inventories increased over the second half of 1981, and by the beginning of 1982, manufacturing and trade inventories, in real terms, were exceptionally high relative to sales. As a result, businesses cut output further and liquidated stocks at a rapid pace in the first quarter. The reduction continued at manufacturers, but stocks in the trade sector accumulated. During the summer the inventory correction stalled as shipments and sales fell, and by the autumn significant overhangs reemerged, with imbalances especially severe among durable goods. A second round of aggressive liquidation began in the fourth quarter. By the end of the year inventory imbalances were reduced, but stocks remained high relative to sales in several key sectors, such as primary metals and nonelectrical machinery. Foreign Sector The foreign sector also contributed significantly to the 1982 decline in real GNP. Exports of goods and services fell Yil/i percent over the year as foreign demand was limited by the continued strength of the dollar (which reduced the price competitiveness of U.S. goods), by low levels of economic activity in other nations, and by financial constraints in some developing countries. The volume of imports of goods and services increased during much of 1982 but dropped sharply in the 9 fourth quarter; imports ended the year nearly 7 percent below their level at the end of 1981. The decline in the fourth quarter of last year appears to have been associated in part with the sharp liquidation in inventories at that time. The strength of imports that developed earlier in the year, despite the weak domestic economic situation, was greatly influenced by the increased price competitiveness of foreign goods brought about by the appreciation of the dollar. Government Sector Total government purchases of goods and services rose 2% percent in real terms during 1982. All of the increase came from the federal sector; spending by state and local governments was about unchanged. The budget deficit for the federal government on a national income accounts basis increased from an annual rate of $102 billion in the fourth quarter of 1981 to a rate of about $200 billion at the end of last year. This marked widening of the deficit resulted from a drop in receipts coupled with continued growth of expenditures. Tax receipts fell about Wi percent in nominal terms, compared with increases of 9 to 12 percent in recent years, as both the recession and the tax reductions enacted in 1981 cut into revenues from personal income and corporate profit taxes. In addition, the weak oil market meant a reduction in receipts from the windfall profits tax; and the growth of contributions to social security slowed markedly because of weak income growth. Total federal expenditures grew about 12 percent in nominal terms, down only slightly from the average 10 The Economy in 1982 rise of 13 percent during the preceding five years. About half of the increase in 1982 reflected a W/z percent rise in transfer payments that would have been even greater if increases in expenditures had not been slowed by smaller cost-of-living adjustments in social security payments and cuts in unemployment compensation. The growth of net interest payments, at about 12 percent, was considerably slower last year than in 1981, as the effect of declining interest rates partly offset a record volume of financing. Federal purchases for defense, measured in real terms, rose 6% percent, about matching the administration's target growth rate. Nondefense purchases also increased in real terms; most of the rise reflected a sharp increase in payments for the federal agricultural support program in the fourth quarter that was only partly offset by reductions in discretionary spending and purchases for the strategic petroleum reserve. Grants to states and localities fell more than 43A percent in nominal terms for the year as a whole because of budget cuts in a broad range of programs, from medicaid to mass transit; the reductions in grants in both 1981 and 1982 came after steady increases for two decades. The state and local sector experienced increasing fiscal problems in 1982. In addition to the cuts in federal grants, growth in own-source revenues slowed, partly because of smaller increases in personal tax collections. On the expenditure side, real purchases of goods and services were little changed last year; they have been relatively flat since the late seventies after decades of steady increases. The recent reduction in the growth of state and local purchases can be attributed to both budgetary pressures arising from slower revenue growth and cuts in outlays for education resulting from the decline in the school-age population. Transfer payments increased, in nominal terms, in 1982 as state and local governments attempted to compensate for some of the reductions imposed at the federal level. As a result, total expenditures rose more than 5V2 percent last year, and the sector's operating budget (total balance without social insurance funds) was in significant deficit for the first time since 1974. Labor Market Developments Employment fell throughout 1982 as the recession continued to force widespread layoffs. The reduction in employment was concentrated in the goods-producing sector, in which employment has now fallen for three consecutive years; but even the service-producing sector, the primary source of employment growth in recent years, experienced declining payrolls. By the end of 1982, total nonfarm payroll employment reached a level nearly 3 million below its July 1981 peak, a reduction of more than 3 percent. The job losses last year were concentrated in manufacturing, in which monthly declines averaged nearly 130,000. The cyclically sensitive durable goods industries experienced the largest reductions. Especially sharp declines were registered in the metals, machinery, and transportation equipment industries, in which inventory imbalances were most severe. Payrolls in nondurable manufacturing industries were reduced 350,000 over the year, and nearly all major industries were affected. Layoffs continued at construction sites, despite gradual improvement in The Economy in 1982 homebuilding during the year, and mining employment was reduced substantially. Employment in the service-producing sector turned down in 1982 after a year of relatively slow growth in 1981. Reacting to sluggish sales, trade establishments reduced their staffs by 225,000. In the public sector, budget restraint led to reductions in employment at all levels of government. These employment cutbacks were reflected in a marked increase in the unemployment rate. The overall rate of unemployment reached a postwar high of 10.8 percent in December, well above the 7.2 percent level that prevailed before the current contraction began. Nearly all of the increase in the unemployment rate was among those who previously had held jobs; the inability of new entrants and reentrants to the labor force to find jobs accounted for only a small fraction of the addition to the rolls of the unemployed. The increase was particularly large for adult men, who hold a disproportionate number of jobs in the durable goods and construction industries; the rate of unemployment for this group rose from a low of 5.8 percent in July 1981 to 10.1 percent in December 1982. Growth in the labor force slowed markedly during 1982, reflecting both cyclical factors and longer-term trends. The l3/4 percent rate of growth of the civilian labor force last year was substantially below the 2xh percent rate that had prevailed over the previous decade. The acute deterioration of the labor market in 1982, after two years of diminished employment opportunities, discouraged entry into the labor force. With adult women failing to join the labor force at the rate typical of the 1970s, the overall labor force participation rate 11 remained virtually flat last year. A decline in the teenage population, which meant fewer young jobseekers, was another factor that retarded growth in the labor force in 1982. Last year, productivity registered its strongest advance since 1977. Aggregate hours worked were reduced throughout the year, with particularly sharp declines in the second half of the year. The cut in hours was greater than the reduction in output, and productivity in the nonfarm business sector increased sharply over the final two quarters of 1982 and for the year as a whole was up 1% percent. The growth in productivity was larger than is usual near the trough of a business cycle; this development reflects greater efforts on the part of firms to trim work forces and to concentrate production in efficient plants during an unusually long period of slack. It may lead to some improvement in the underlying trend rate of growth of productivity. The signs of declining increases in wage rates observed in 1981 were confirmed in 1982 by a pervasive slowing in all measures of wages and labor costs. Weak demand for labor and continued progress in reducing the rate of price inflation were the major contributors to this slowdown. The rate of wage increase for production workers declined from %Vi percent in 1981 to less than 6 percent in 1982, the smallest advance since 1967. Wage gains for white-collar workers, as measured by the employment cost index, had failed to slow in 1981, but decelerated nearly 2lh percentage points last year to an increase of less than 6V2 percent. The slowdown in wages and the improvement in productivity combined to hold the increase in unit labor costs 12 The Economy in 1982 in the nonfarm business sector to 43A percent in 1982, down substantially from a peak rate of IIV2 percent over the four quarters of 1979. The moderation in wage increases was particularly notable in new contracts negotiated under collective bargaining agreements. For the 3lA million workers covered by new settlements, first-year increases averaged 3% percent in 1982, compared with 8 percent the last time these same workers negotiated new contracts. Important wage concessions were negotiated during the heavy bargaining schedule early in the year: the auto, trucking, airline, and apparel industries departed significantly from traditional settlements by deferring or eliminating scheduled pay increases, cost-of-living adjustments, or both. Concession bargaining continued for a wide range of contracts for smaller unions in the second half of the year. Several factors were responsible for the prevalence of concessions. First, high relative labor costs left firms in some industries in precarious financial condition as demand slackened. Second, deregulation and intensified competition from both foreign firms and domestic nonunion producers generated additional pressure in some industries. Prices Inflation declined significantly further in 1982, with the deceleration apparent in most types of goods and services. The fixed-weight price index for gross domestic business product increased 4Vi percent last year, after a 9 percent gain in 1981 and a 10V4 percent rise in 1980. Consumer prices exhibited similar improvement: the consumer price index rose just 4V2 percent in 1982, compared with a peak increase of 123/4 percent in 1979. In addition, producer prices at the intermediate and crude stages of processing were about unchanged over the year. Although food and energy prices contributed to the slowdown, price inflation excluding these items also declined sharply. The price index for the gross domestic business product excluding food and energy decelerated from a 9lA percent rate of increase in 1981 to a 5 percent pace in 1982. Food prices at the retail level advanced just 3Vi percent in 1982. This was the fourth consecutive year in which food prices rose less than the overall rate of inflation. To a large extent, the same factors that had restrained price increases in 1981 were present in 1982. For a second year large harvests and mounting grain stocks supplied ample crops. In addition, weak income growth, both at home and abroad, and the strong value of the dollar limited the demand for farm products. However, not all of the deceleration in food prices was due to transistory factors; labor costs in the food sector also slowed substantially last year. Despite an erratic quarterly pattern, changes in energy prices reflected the considerable weakness evident in world petroleum markets in 1982. Prices for refined petroleum products plummeted in the first half of last year. A portion of this decline was retraced in the second half, but prices were generally lower at the close of 1982 than they had been at its opening. Besides holding down prices of gasoline and fuel oil, lower petroleum prices helped to halve the rate of increase in electricity prices. In contrast, natural gas prices continued their steep ascent as deregulation The Economy in 1982 proceeded under the Natural Gas Policy Act of 1978. In 1981, progress in reducing inflation outside of the volatile food and energy sectors was small and confined to a limited number of sectors. In contrast, the slowing in 1982 was both more substantial and more evenly balanced. Weak demand, decelerating labor costs, declining inflation expectations, and a strong dollar all acted to slow prices. Inflation for consumer commodities excluding food, energy, and homeownership fell from 8VA percent in 1981 to 5lA percent in 1982. Similarly, prices of capital goods, as measured by the producer price index, rose only 4lA percent last year, less than half the 1981 pace. Prices of consumer services excluding energy, which had failed to slow in 1981, decelerated from a 103A percent rate of increase 13 in 1981 to a IV2 percent pace in 1982. Medical care and education were the only major categories in which inflation showed no sign of abating. The pervasive slowing in labor costs and prices has created a climate in which continued progress in lowering inflation is likely. Reductions in wage inflation and in price inflation tend to be mutually reinforcing when accompanied by persistent monetary discipline. Decelerating labor costs relieve pressure on prices, while the improved price performance can, in turn, reduce inflation expectations and formal or informal cost-of-living adjustments, and thus lead to a further slowing of labor costs. An important aspect of the 1982 experience was that each of the elements in this process was evident in the substantially lower rates of inflation. 14 Monetary Policy and Financial Markets Monetary policy in 1982 continued to aim at moderating inflationary pressures and, in the process, to provide a basis for sustainable growth in real economic activity. Early in the year the Federal Open Market Committee adopted target ranges for growth in the monetary aggregates believed to be consistent with these objectives. Those ranges were reaffirmed at midyear, with the proviso that growth above the targets might have to be tolerated for a time if unusual demands for money and liquidity emerged, as seemed possible in light of prevailing economic and financial uncertainties. In the second half of the year, demands for highly liquid assets did prove to be appreciably greater than had been anticipated, leading, for the year as a whole, to growth in the aggregates above the upper limits of their respective target ranges. Indeed, over the year the income velocities of the monetary aggregates (defined as the ratio of nominal gross national product to money) declined at the sharpest rates of the postwar period. The conduct of monetary policy in 1982 was complicated by financial developments that greatly hindered the interpretation of movements in narrow money, Ml. Specifically, the component consisting of other checkable deposits (OCDs), which includes NOW accounts and similar interest-bearing checking balances, dominated the growth of Ml during the year. OCDs are probably quite sensitive to changes in the proportion of savings that households want to hold in highly liquid form for precautionary purposes; transaction mo- tives are likely to be not so telling for OCDs as for demand deposits. Moreover, shifts of funds associated with the maturation of a substantial volume of all savers certificates and with the introduction of money market deposit accounts distorted the behavior of Ml in the fourth quarter. Because the extent of these distortions could not be anticipated, the FOMC at its meeting in early October decided to deemphasize Ml, at least temporarily, as an operating guide for monetary policy, and instead, to place greater emphasis on M2 and M3 in the expectation that these measures would be less affected by developments in the fourth quarter. Interest rates declined substantially on balance over 1982, mostly after midyear. Yields on short-term market instruments generally ended the year 3 to 5 percentage points below their levels of late 1981, and long-term rates declined 3 to 4 percentage points. Although the weakness in private credit demands associated with slumping household and business spending freed funds to finance the government, a growing federal deficit tended to hold longterm rates up. Thus, concerns with the burgeoning deficit tended to offset the effects on long-term rates of diminishing inflation expectations. Risk premiums in the interest rate structure widened at times as problems of financial and industrial firms sparked concerns about the safety of investments. In the aggregate, net borrowing by nonfinancial sectors of the economy increased somewhat in 1982. The Monetary Policy and Financial Markets Interest Rates 15 Percent per annum Short-term Federal funds Long-term State and local government bonds 1976 1978 1980 1982 Monthly averages except for Federal Reserve discount rate and conventional mortgages (based on quotations for one day each month). Yields: U.S. Treasury bills, market rate on three-month issues, discount basis; conventional mortgages, rates on first mortgages in primary markets, unweighted and rounded to nearest 5 basis points, from U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development; Aaa utility bonds, weighted averages of new publicly offered bonds rated Aaa, Aa, and A by Moody's Investors Service and adjusted to Aaa utility basis by Federal Reserve; U.S. government bonds, market yields adjusted to 20-year constant maturity by U.S. Treasury; state and local government bonds (20 issues, mixed quality), Bond Buyer. federal government's demands on the credit markets were up roughly 85 percent from the previous year, and state and local government units borrowed more than twice as much as in 1981. In contrast, households greatly curtailed additions to their installment and mortgage debt while they increased their acquisitions of liquid assets. Business borrowing remained relatively strong during the first three quarters of the year, but dropped off sharply in the fourth. Short-term debt fell even more sharply toward the end of the year as lower long-term interest rates allowed many firms to repay short-term debt with the proceeds of long-term security issues. Monetary Aggregates and Interest Rates Money market conditions during 1982 were influenced by changes in demands for and supplies of bank reserves, and by investor concerns about the effects of protracted weak- 16 Monetary Policy and Financial Markets ness in the economy on the creditworthiness of borrowers. Short-term interest rates turned upward in early 1982 as a brisk uptrend in Ml growth over the final months of 1981 was augmented by a burst in January. Because monetary growth exceeded by a considerable margin the System's objectives, the gap between required reserves and the amount of nonborrowed reserves consistent with the System's objectives for monetary growth widened substantially. After peaking in mid-February, about 2 to 3 percentage points above the levels posted at the beginning of the year, money market rates receded slightly over the remainder of the quarter in response to the relative stability of Ml after its January bulge. Short-term rates continued to drift lower through the second quarter. However, yields on private credit instruments rose relative to those on Treasury securities in response to heightened concerns about the creditworthiness of borrowers; these concerns were stirred by filings by several large firms under chapter 11 of the federal bankruptcy laws, the bankruptcies of two relatively small securities dealers, and rising business failures in general. During the summer, weakness in narrow money lowered reserve demands relative to the supply of nonborrowed reserves, and short-term interest rates fell markedly. Further downward movements in rates accompanied several reductions of Vz percentage point each in the discount rate in July and August. Spreads between yields on lower- and higherrated private money market instruments, as well as between yields on private and U.S. government securities, widened considerably over the third quarter as loan losses suffered by several large banks and the exposure of domestic banks to large losses on foreign loans added to investor concerns. By early fall, weakness in the economy, accompanied by unusually strong liquidity demands and increasing financial strains domestically and abroad, led the Federal Reserve to adopt a more accommodative posture toward supplying reserves. As short-term interest rates declined further, concerns about the financial condition of borrowers diminished and spreads related to credit quality narrowed appreciably. Money market rates continued to fall through year-end, a trend that was reinforced by additional reductions in the discount rate. Most long-term interest rates changed little on balance over the first half of the year. Despite apparent improvement in the outlook for inflation, sentiment in the bond market over the period was dominated by the impact of large prospective federal deficits and the possibility that, as the economy began to recover, demands for money and credit would press harder against restricted supplies. In the second half, bond yields moved downward despite such concerns, reflecting further progress against inflation and a spreading view among market participants that the depth of the economic contraction and international financial tensions would preclude an early reversal of the easing in money market conditions. The relative growth and composition of the monetary aggregates in 1982 reflected the introduction of new types of deposit accounts, uncertainties related to the weak econ- Monetary Policy and Financial Markets 17 Reserves and Monetary Aggregates Annual rates of change based on seasonally adjusted data unless otherwise noted, percent 1 iiem Member bank reserves2 Total Nonborrowed Required Monetary base3 Concepts of money4 Ml Currency and traveler's checks Demand deposits Other checkable deposits. M2 Nontransaction component Small-denomination time deposits6 Savings deposits and money market deposit accounts ... General purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual fund 7 assets (n.s.a.) Overnight RPs and Eurodollars (n.s.a.) M3 Non-M2 component Large-denomination time deposits Institution-only money market mutual fund assets (n.s.a.) Large term RPs (n.s.a.) 1980 1QO1 J.7O1 1982 1981 04 01 02 6.7 7.5 6.4 8.5 4.3 7.1 4.7 4.9 7.1 7.9 6.8 7.7 3.1 10.9 3.5 4.1 7.5 -0.9 7.1 7.9 .6 4.2 1.1 6.6 7.2 5.1(2.3)5 04 Q3 4.8 11.2 4.6 6.7 14.8 16.5 13.9 8.5 8.5 3.2 10.5 3.2 6.1 13.2 9.2 3.1 58.1 5.9 -12.5 181.7 7.8 .9 33.8 5.1 -2.5 19.6 7.9 .6 46.3 8.3 -5.4 19.6 6.9 -.1 21.6 7.3 8.5 33.7 9.0 9.4 9.2 9.6 8.7 7.0 10.9 9.2 9.6 10.9 9.5 11.7 8.0 8.3 12.4 8.0 14.2 15.6 5.3 14.2 3.1 9.4 12.0 -3.7 -4.4 -16.4 9.2 -12.2 3.7 -.6 .8 32.4 101.5 133.6 74.3 35.4 22.4 35.0 15.2 29.8 25.5 20.1 30.2 -17.9 56.3 2.4 27.9 25.2 9.7 14.0 11 7 24.3 10.1 14.3 10.6 15.4 8.6 8.2 8.5 16^0 12.5 20!0 9.4 10.4 12.7 21.3 11.9 6.0 10.7 17.5 13.4 4.3 76.8 8.0 115.0 7.5 44.6 8.0 125.2 16.8 8.7 -6.6 10.8 16.8 109.7 -12.6 32.7 35.2 1. Changes are calculated from the average amounts outstanding in each quarter. 2. Annual rates of change in reserve measures have been adjusted for regulatory changes in reserve requirements. 3. Consists of total reserves (reserve balances of depository institutions in the current week plus vault cash held two weeks earlier), currency in circulation (currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions), and surplus vault cash at depository institutions. 4. Ml consists of currency in circulation, traveler's checks of nonbank issuers, demand deposits at all commercial banks other than those due to domestic banks, the U.S. government, and foreign banks, and official institutions less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float, and other checkable deposits (OCD). OCD consists of negotiable order of withdrawal and automatic transfer service accounts at depository institutions, credit union share draft accounts, and demand deposits at mutual sav- 1Q09 ings banks. M2 is Ml plus overnight repurchase agreements (RPs) issued by commercial banks, overnight Eurodollar deposits held by U.S. nonbank residents at Caribbean branches of U.S. banks, taxable and tax-exempt money market mutual fund shares other than institution-only fund shares, savings deposits, money market deposit accounts, and small time deposits (including retail RPs) at all depository institutions. M3 is M2 plus large time deposits at all depository institutions, large term RPs issued by commercial banks and thrift institutions, and assets of institution-only money market mutual funds. 5. Number in parenthesis is adjusted for the effects of shifts from non-Mi sources into other checkable deposits. 6. Balances in individual retirement accounts (IRAs) and Keogh accounts at commercial banks and thrift institutions are subtracted from small time deposits. 7. Excludes balances in IRA and Keogh accounts, n.s.a. Not seasonally adjusted. 18 Monetary Policy and Financial Markets omy, and interest rate movements. Ml increased 8V2 percent over the year, 3 percentage points above the upper bound of the FOMC's target range. Ml surged despite the sharp reduction in income growth; and, as a result, Ml velocity fell roughly 5 percent, the largest drop in any fourquarter span since World War II. The changing character of Ml made its behavior in 1982 difficult to interpret. In particular, the bulk of the growth in narrow money was accounted for by OCDs, which not only serve as a means of payment but also, like savings deposits, are used by many households as a repository of liquid assets. Because OCDs have this savings feature, it was difficult during the year to determine whether movements in Ml reflected mainly changes in the demand for transaction balances, or instead, general changes in the demand for liquid assets. On the whole, the latter seems to have dominated: the substantial inflows to OCDs in 1982 appear to have been part of a broadly based buildup of liquid assets by households, which may have reflected mounting concerns about employment and income prospects as well as the effects of declining open market interest rates. Growth in M2, at 9lA percent, was associated with a decline of 5V2 percent in velocity, also a postwar record.2 The most rapid expansion within the nontransaction part of M2 2. The growth rates for M2 and M3 reported in the text and in the table reflect minor changes made to the definitions of these aggregates in February 1983. Under these new definitions, M2 and M3 include shares of taxexempt money market mutual funds and exclude balances in IRA and Keogh accounts. Under the previous definition, M2 growth in 1982 would have been 93A percent. occurred in its most liquid components, including passbook savings deposits, shares of money market mutual funds, and overnight repurchase agreements (RPs) and Eurodollars. Three new highly liquid deposit accounts authorized by the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee in 1982—the 91-day and 7- to 31-day small-denomination time deposit accounts, and the money market deposit account (MMDA)—also registered sizable inflows. The 91day and 7- to 31-day small time accounts (authorized effective May 1 and September 1) required minimum balances of $7,500 and $20,000 respectively, and paid interest rates whose ceilings were tied to recent yields on 91-day Treasury bills.3 By year-end deposits in these two accounts totaled $30 billion, only a fraction of which apparently represented new funds for depository institutions; substantial amounts placed in these accounts are thought to have been shifted from other, longermaturity, small time deposits. Unlike the new small time accounts, MMDAs (authorized effective December 14) have no fixed minimum maturity and require only a $2,500 average minimum balance to qualify for the payment of unregulated interest rates. Moreover, up to six automatic, preauthorized, telephone, or check-writing transfers can be made from an MMDA each month (but no more than three transfers by check), making these accounts competitive with shares of money market mutual funds. Depos3. Effective January 5, 1983, the interest rate ceiling on 7- to 31-day small time deposits was removed, and minimum-balance requirements for both 91-day and 7- to 31-day small time deposits were lowered to $2,500. Monetary Policy and Financial Markets Monetary, Bank Credit, and Reserve Aggregates Billions of dollars Targeted and actual M1 475 450 Targeted and actual M2 1900 1800 Targeted and actual bank credit 1400 1350 Reserve aggregates , '81 N 011 borrowed reserves. 1982 Targets are ranges adopted by the FOMC for 1981 04 to 1982 04. Target ranges for bank credit reflect the use of a December 1981-January 1982 base to minimize the effects of asset shifts into international banking facilities. The reserve aggregate series have been adjusted to remove discontinuities associated with changes in reserve requirement ratios. Nonborrowed reserves include extended credit. 19 itory institutions promoted MMDAs heavily, and by the end of the year balances in MMDAs stood at $87 billion, approximately three-fifths of which were at commercial banks (the remainder were at thrift institutions). Although most of these balances apparently were reallocated from within M2, funds also were shifted from large-denomination time deposits and term RPs, as well as from sources outside M3. Despite the large inflows to these new types of accounts, overall expansion in the nontransaction component of M2 moderated in 1982 as inflows to total small time deposits and to money market mutual funds abated sharply. Growth in the money market mutual funds, though still substantial, dropped to only onefourth of the 1981 pace, reflecting to some extent an inevitable deceleration in the number of accounts as the pace of the public's learning about this instrument slowed. At the same time, growth in small time deposits declined by two-thirds: sizable runoffs of six-month money market certificates and all savers certificates (ASCs) more than offset rapid expansion of retail RPs, 2V2year small savers certificates, and balances in the new 91-day and 7- to 31-day accounts. Small time deposits were especially weak in the fourth quarter; they were depressed by lower open market rates after midyear, which apparently encouraged many investors to place significant amounts of maturing ASC funds in OCDs and savings deposits, as well as by runoffs of balances accumulated in anticipation of MMDAs. M3 increased 10 percent in 1982, compared with IP/4 percent in 1981, as markedly slower expansion of both large-denomination time depos- 20 Monetary Policy and Financial Markets its and assets of institution-only money Aggregate Credit Flows market mutual funds more than off- Total funds raised by domestic nonset the uptick in M2 growth.4 The financial sectors increased 9 percent reduced issuance of large-denomina- in 1982 to $412 billion, led principally tion time deposits by commercial by an unprecedented pace of borrowbanks reflected stronger expansion ing by government at all levels. of core deposits in combination with Business financing, although down somewhat slower growth in bank from the extraordinary 1981 pace, credit. remained substantial until late in the From a base calculated as the year, when reductions in capital and average for December 1981 and Jan- inventory outlays relative to interuary 1982, bank credit expanded at nally generated funds enabled firms a 7 percent rate, about the same as to reduce their reliance on external it had over the previous year, al- sources of finance. As households though the pace of expansion slowed made concerted efforts to rebuild considerably after the first quarter.5 liquidity, their borrowing weakened Much of the deceleration during the noticeably. Funds raised by foreign year occurred in business loans, re- entities in U.S. markets also dropped flecting weak economic activity and, markedly in response to relatively in the second half of the year, steeply high interest rates in the United declining interest rates that encour- States, a rising dollar, and weakening aged many firms to refinance short- economic activity abroad. term indebtedness with longer-term The U.S. Treasury raised approxbonds. Real estate lending also slowed imately $160 billion in U.S. credit noticeably in the second half. Lendmarkets to finance a combined deficit ing to consumers remained depressed of the federal government and offuntil late in the year, when bank budget agencies of $146 billion for financing of consumer auto purcalendar year 1982; the Treasury chases spurted. In addition, acquisiused about half of the excess to build tions of securities—mainly Treasury up its cash balance. Issuance of obligations—surged in 1982, in remarketable debt totaled approxisponse to heavy Treasury borrowing and strong inflows of core deposits mately $163 billion, as outstanding relative to loan demands. U.S. bank- nonmarketable debt and other boring offices again made substantial rowing from the public declined by advances to their foreign affiliates as small amounts. Coupon issues acthe interest costs on domestic liabil- counted for roughly three-fifths of ities, compared with Eurodollar rates, the funds raised, and net sales of continued to favor such funding of Treasury bills for the remainder. As in 1981, money market mubank assets. tual funds acquired a substantial part of the net issuance of short-term Treasury debt. State and local gov4. Under the previous definition, the growth ernments also were major purchasers rate of M3 in 1982 would have been WA of Treasury securities, likely using percent. such investments as a temporary 5. Unlike the monetary aggregates, the base repository for funds raised through for the FOMC's target for bank credit was accelerated bond sales. Households specified as the December-January average and commercial banks bought most to reduce the distorting effects of shifts of of the remainder. assets to international banking facilities. Monetary Policy and Financial Markets 21 Net Funds Raised and Supplied in Credit and Equity Markets Billions of dollars Sector 1980 1981 19812 19821 19822 HI H2 HI H2 1 Net funds raised Total, all sectors 466 496 515 534 459 492 538 Domestic nonfinancial U.S. government State and local government . 368 79 27 379 87 22 412 161 47 404 82 25 356 93 20 365 99 42 459 223 53 Private Business Household 262 144 118 270 150 120 203 118 85 297 156 141 244 144 100 224 141 84 182 96 87 Domestic financial Private intermediaries Sponsored credit agencies. Mortgage pool securities .. 68 89 44 30 15 86 25 24 19 25 13 47 96 53 27 16 83 35 33 15 110 51 21 38 62 1 5 57 Foreign 29 27 18 35 20 17 18 Total, all sectors 466 496 515 534 459 492 538 Domestic nonfinancial U.S. government State and local government 115 21 22 95 24 20 136 19 47 102 27 20 87 21 20 113 14 32 160 24 63 Private Business Household 70 -2 72 51 8 43 70 13 55 7 48 46 8 37 67 5 62 73 21 57 Domestic financial Private intermediaries Commercial banking Thrift institutions Insurance and pension funds. Other 3 322 273 100 352 280 99 24 106 51 393 352 108 43 98 103 367 297 99 5 93 100 353 299 121 29 106 43 349 260 77 18 93 26 379 324 103 24 95 102 25 19 5 31 15 9 15 47 10 29 16 -4 33 15 22 23 37 -6 7 57 26 29 22 28 39 26 30 Net funds supplied Sponsored credit agencies. Mortgage pool securities .. Federal Reserve System... Foreign 54 52 106 59 1. Includes preliminary data for the fourth quarter. 2. Seasonally adjusted annual rates. 3. Includes finance companies, money market funds, real estate investment trusts, open-end investment companies, and security brokers and dealers. State and local governmental units issued both general-obligation and revenue bonds in large amounts throughout most of 1982, in part because of continued pressures on tax revenues. Net of retirements, funds raised by state and local governments more than doubled between 1981 and 1982, while the issuance of industrial revenue bonds (included in borrowing by the corporate sector) recorded a smaller but nevertheless substantial rise as eligible private borrowers availed themselves of the lower rates on taxexempt obligations. Offerings of state and local debt surged to record levels in the final months of the year in response to declining interest rates; at the same time, a provision of the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act (passed in August), requiring all municipal bonds to be issued in registered form beginning in 1983, evidently prompted many issuers to advance the marketing of bonds planned for that year. The effective date for the new registration requirement was, in fact, postponed six months in mid-December, but most of this accelerated financing had been accomplished by that time. 22 Monetary Policy and Financial Markets Funds Raised by Domestic Nonfinancial Sectors Billions of dollars Federal government 300 200 Business and households 100 State and local governments 1978 1982 Includes equities. Data are quarterly totals at seasonally adjusted annual rates. For the second year in a row, a large slate of municipal bonds met with weakening demand from the traditional institutional buyers in this market. Commercial banks and property and casualty insurance companies on net acquired virtually no tax-exempt securities in 1982; these investors provided almost 30 percent of the net funds raised in the municipal market in 1981 and 60 percent the year before that. Commercial banks evidently found other ways to shelter their income, while many property and casualty insurance companies, suffering continued heavy underwriting losses, had no need for tax-exempt income. Thus households purchased nearly all of the record volume of offerings by state and local governments, for the most part directly but also through mutual funds and unit investment trusts. Reflecting the reduced investments by institutional investors and the unusually heavy issuance, the ratio of taxexempt to taxable yields remained near the record high level reached late in 1981. Faced with low profits, nonfinancial corporations continued to rely heavily on external sources of funds during much of 1982. Toward the end of the year, however, their financing needs dropped off sharply as they made substantial cuts in both inventories and expenditures for plant and equipment. For the year as a whole, corporate business financing in debt and equity markets combined was about 20 percent less than in 1981. The sharp decline in interest rates that began in July and the subsequent strong rally in stock prices brought Financing Pattern of Nonfinancial Corporations Financing gap Capital Net funds raised in credit markets: Total By type 50 Securities and mortgages 1976 ' 1978 1980 'l982 Excludes equities. Data are seasonally adjusted quarterly totals at annual rates. IVA, inventory valuation adjustment. Monetary Policy and Financial Markets about a marked shift in the composition of business financing. Through the first half of the year, high longterm rates of interest induced businesses to rely mainly on bank loans and commercial paper, as they had done so extensively in 1981. As a result, the ratio of short-term to total debt on the balance sheets of U.S. companies reached a record level. From July through December, however, yields on long-term corporate bonds fell approximately 4 percentage points to about 12 percent for top-rated issues, and stock prices rose 35 to 45 percent. Taking advantage of the lower yields, businesses floated substantial quantities of longterm debt and equity, using much of the proceeds to pay down commercial paper and bank loans. Even with these shifts, however, only a massive, sustained restructuring effort could restore debt ratios to the levels of a few years ago. Stimulated by the midyear tax cut as well as by growing concerns about employment and income prospects, households increased their savings in 1982; they concentrated heavily on accumulating financial assets, many of which bore extraordinarily high real rates of return. Despite some pickup in mortgage borrowing late in the year as interest rates declined, the addition to home mortgage debt was the smallest since 1976 and less 23 than half the record amount in 1979. Growth in installment debt was sluggish through most of 1982, reflecting in part continued restrictive lending standards as well as reluctance by consumers to assume debt for the purchase of major durable goods; toward year-end, however, such lending picked up appreciably when car makers offered concessionary financing. Growth in the value of financial assets held by households during 1982 was nearly twice the pace of 1981, and with the slowdown in debt accumulation, household net worth expanded much more rapidly than it had the year before. At the same time, delinquency rates on consumer loans fell during the year—an unusual occurrence during a period of slack economic activity. In contrast, mortgage loan delinquencies and defaults increased sharply, as households that lost income found it difficult to meet the large monthly payments on highinterest-rate loans. The rise in mortgage delinquencies and defaults also may have reflected the effects on homeowners' equity of softness in house prices in some parts of the country. On balance, however, households by year-end had made considerable progress in strengthening their balance sheets and in reducing their exposure to financial stresses. 24 International Developments Worldwide economic activity continued to stagnate in 1982. The generally expected upturn from the slow pace of 1981 did not occur, and activity in nearly all countries slowed further. For foreign industrial countries, real growth (measured fourth quarter to fourth quarter) was negative, while for developing countries—especially those in Latin America—there was an abrupt deceleration from the substantial growth rates of recent years. The lack of buoyancy in the world economy since 1979 reflects a concerted effort in industrial countries to contain the high rates of inflation that resulted in part from the second steep increase in oil prices late in 1979. During 1982, foreign industrial countries continued to aim at fiscal discipline, and also generally maintained restrictive monetary policies. To some extent the policy stance of other countries was influenced by the high real interest rates experienced in the United States, which tended to raise the value of the dollar in the market and aggravate inflation abroad. By late 1982, however, the outlook began to brighten. Inflation rates were generally subsiding, with the help of moderating wage settlements and a lower level of commodity prices, especially for oil. Responding to this easing of inflationary pressures and the steep slide in demand, nominal interest rates in the United States and other industrial countries declined considerably. Still, real interest rates remained exceptionally high, blunting the revival of consumer spending and business invest ment. Pervasive weakness of private investment and mounting unemployment were the most telling indicators of the extent of the world economic slowdown. Certain features of the slowdown in activity and the disinflationary atmosphere of 1982 assumed special importance. One of these was the resurgence of protectionist forces in the United States and elsewhere. Such a development was especially dangerous because it hampered a renewal of growth in the volume of world exports, which has declined for two successive years. Over the GNP and Consumer Price Index 1970=100 Gross national product United States Percentage change from previous year Consumer price index 15 United States r ^ x 10 Foreign 5 1978 1980 1982 Foreign is multilaterally weighted average of the Group of Ten (G-10) countries plus Switzerland, using 1972-76 total trade weights. Data for the United States are from the U.S. Department of Commerce. International Developments years, growth in foreign trade has been one of the major supports of gains in general economic welfare. A second significant feature was the emergence of severe liquidity problems for developing countries that had been financing rapid growth by borrowing large amounts from commercial banks. The burden of servicing this debt, much of it of relatively short maturity, became heavier very rapidly when export proceeds fell, the cost of oil and other imports remained high, and real dollar interest rates rose sharply. Lending to developing countries other than members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), by U.S.-chartered banks, including their foreign branches, has expanded greatly in recent years—from about $50 billion outstanding at the end of 1978 to about $105 billion by September 1982. Of that total, about half was accounted for by Mexico, Argentina, and Brazil. During 1982, severe pressure had developed on the Mexican peso, forcing the government of Mexico to allow its value to depreciate several times during the year and to seek external financial assistance in dealing with a critical erosion of liquidity. Bank lending to Mexico and other debtors, especially in Latin America, threatened to dry up. Working with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Mexico, Argentina, and Brazil agreed to change their economic policies sufficiently to qualify for financial assistance from that institution. In conjunction with those agreements, commercial banks undertook to provide some new financing, and special short-term bridge financing was arranged with U.S. monetary authorities, in some cases acting with other monetary 25 authorities through the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). As a further measure to help stabilize the international financial system, the United States supported an adequate increase in quotas in the IMF, as well as an enlargement and extension to all members of a borrowing facility built on the General Arrangements to Borrow, for use by the IMF in emergency situations that threatened the stability of the international monetary system. The U.S. dollar resumed a strong upward trend in exchange markets early in 1982, and by the end of the year its weighted average value had risen 13 percent. However, the dollar's value peaked early in November and declined moderately thereafter. From the beginning of the upsurge in the second half of 1980 through the end of 1982, the weighted average value of the dollar rose more than 40 percent, to about 20 percent above its level when generalized floating began in March 1973. As discussed later, there is no simple explanation for the extent of the dollar's rise in this period, but the effects on prices and activity in the United States, as well as on the U.S. balance of international transactions, were significant. U.S. International Transactions Under the influence of slack economic activity abroad and of a greatly appreciated dollar, the U.S. current account slid from a moderate surplus in 1981 to a growing deficit during 1982. The trade deficit rose to about $36 billion for the year and was near a $50 billion annual rate in the second half. Export volume dropped about 15 percent from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter 26 International Developments U.S. Balances on Trade and Current Account Billions.of dollars Current account 20 40 Merchandise trade 1978 1980 1982 Data are from the U.S. Department of Commerce and are seasonally adjusted at annual rates. of 1982, with export prices changing only slightly. That decline in export volume was considerably greater than the average for other industrial countries. Imports declined about 9 percent in volume, including a sharp drop in imports of petroleum. In 1982, weak activity abroad and a strong dollar reduced U.S. net receipts from abroad of investment income and for services. In particular, earnings of U.S. direct investments abroad dropped more than one-fourth. The decline in real U.S. exports of goods and services in 1982 represented more than one-third of the total decline in U.S. gross national product in that year. This sector was also a negative factor in 1981. Such prolonged weakness in the export sector contrasts with the generally supportive behavior of exports in earlier periods of slack in the U.S. economy. At the same time, the rise in the value of the dollar over the past two years probably reduced the inflation rate nearly \xh percentage points during 1982. Net outflows of private capital, as recorded in the international accounts, declined considerably in 1982. Flows through banking channels accounted for much of the reduction, reflecting in part a slowdown in lending to some developing countries after midyear. The authorization by the Federal Reserve of international banking facilities (IBFs) at the end of 1981 resulted in a sizable shift of eligible foreign assets and liabilities to these offices from both U.S. and offshore affiliates of banks, but had no net effect on U.S. international capital flows. A considerable net inflow resulted from heightened interest by foreign investors in U.S. Treasury obligations and especially in U.S. corporate bonds offered in offshore markets. Those offerings rose from about $6 billion in 1981 to more than $14 billion in 1982. Nearly all of these issues are sold by the offshore financial affiliates of U.S. companies, and most of the proceeds are accounted for as direct investment inflows when passed on to the U.S. parent company. These transfers, together with the lower reinvested earnings of U.S. companies abroad, account for the net inflows from U.S. direct investments abroad. A contrasting development was a drop in foreign direct investment in the United States from the peak 1981 amount. The persistence of a large positive statistical discrepancy in the international accounts suggests a continuing demand for dollar assets that is operating through channels that are not well covered in the reporting system. In official capital flows, foreign official assets in the United States rose only slightly in 1982 despite a record level of intervention sales of dollars by foreign monetary authori- International Developments ties. A substantial portion of those sales apparently were financed from current earnings, borrowing, or assets held outside the United States. Assets of OPEC countries held in the United States increased moderately. U.S. official reserves rose somewhat during the year; the U.S. reserve position with the IMF increased as that institution used dollars to provide liquidity to other members, and reserve gains also reflected swap agreements with Mexico and Brazil. 27 Foreign Currency Operations The weighted average exchange value of the dollar rose sharply further in 1982, recording a net increase of 13 percent from December to December. The dollar's rise reflected, in part, a perceived improvement in U.S. price performance, both actual and prospective, relative to that abroad. Nominal interest differentials shifted slightly against the dollar over the year, but differentials in real interest rates may have moved U.S. International Transactions1 Billions of dollars Year Quarter Transaction 1981 3 1982 -6.7 -36.1 211.2 247.3 28.2 8.9 1982 1981 04 01 Q2 -.9 -9.2 57.6 66.8 8.5 1.6 1.1 -5.9 55.6 61.5 6.9 2.1 2.2 -5.8 55.0 60.8 7.7 2.0 Q3 Q42 -4.2 -12.5 52.3 64.8 7.4 2.5 -5.6 -11.9 48.2 60.1 6.2 2.4 Current account Merchandise trade balance Exports Imports Investment income (net) 4 Other services Unilateral transfers, private and government 4.5 -27.9 236.3 264.1 33.0 5.9 -6.6 -7.7 -1.9 -2.0 -1.7 -1.7 -2.3 Private capital flows Bank-reported capital, net (outflows, - ) U.S. net purchases ( - ) of foreign securities Foreign net purchase ( + ) of U.S. Treasury securities Foreign net purchase of other U.S. securities U.S. direct investment abroad 4 Foreign direct investment in United States4 Other corporate capital flows, net -25.8 -22.2 -16.0 -1.0 -7.5 -8.2 -5.5 -43.3 -42.5 -22.2 -7.3 -14.4 -10.8 -10.0 -5.4 -7.5 -2.8 -.5 -.4 -3.1 -3.5 2.9 6.7 1.2 1.3 2.1 1.3 2.0 7.1 -8.7 5.9 5.5 .4 -1.0 1.3 -.1 2.5 2.6 .1 1.0 2.0 2.0 21.3 8.3 1.5 9.3 -1.0 1.2 3.1 2.8 -2.6 2.3 1.1 2.0 3.0 8.1 -3.1 2.0 2.1 2.0 -12.5 -2.5 -.7 -.4 -2.0 -2.7 -.8 -3.2 -4.7 -.7 -2.1 .7 -7.9 -.9 38.3 2.5 7.0 Foreign official assets in United States (increase, + ) U.S. government foreign assets, net (increase, - ) Reserve position in IMF Convertible currencies and other reserve assets U.S. government foreign credits and other claims, net Allocation of special drawing rights— Seasonal adjustment discrepancy Statistical discrepancy .2 4.8 -10.3 -2.5 -.9 -7.0 1.1 25.8 1. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. 2. Data for fourth quarter are partial and preliminary, and include Federal Reserve staff estimates. 3. Current account seasonally adjusted; other accounts not seasonally adjusted. -.5 -.5 -1.0 — 9 -.3 -1.5 .6 5.4 -.5 -.3 -2.4 -2.0 15.5 -1.0 -3.0 2.3 7.5 4. Includes reinvested earnings. SOURCE. U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 28 International Developments Weighted Average Exchange Value and Interest Rate Differential Pc March 1973=100 Weighted average exchange value of the dollar 100 rential 90 1980 1981 1982 Exchange value of U.S. dollar is the index of weighted average exchange value of the U.S. dollar against currencies of the other G-10 countries plus Switzerland, using 1972-76 total trade weights. Interest rate differential is the interest rate on threemonth U.S. certificates of deposit minus the weighted average foreign three-month interest rate for other G-10 countries plus Switzerland using 1972-76 total trade weights. weighted averages, the mark held fairly steady through the year; the yen weakened during the first nine months, in part because of political uncertainties, then advanced sharply at year-end; and sterling held fairly steady till late in the year, when it fell sharply as concern mounted that oil prices could drop significantly. Major foreign central banks sold, net, some $40 billion in official intervention operations, after sales of nearly $30 billion in 1981. U.S. monetary authorities sold $132 million against foreign currencies, interSelected Exchange Rate Indexes December 1979=100 80 slightly in favor of dollar assets. A substantial part of the strength of the dollar appeared to be related to "safe haven" considerations—concerns about political uncertainties abroad and about strains on the international banking system, particularly in the wake of the Mexican debt crisis of midsummer. Developments in the U.S. current account seemingly had little effect on the dollar until November, when public forecasts by U.S. officials of very large trade and current account deficits in 1983 may have contributed to a 4 percent decline in the dollar. Over the year, the dollar rose against all major foreign currencies; gains ranged from 5V* percent against the Canadian dollar to 20 percent against the French franc. Against the mark, yen, and sterling the dollar advanced 7, IOV2, and 173A percent respectively. Calculated on their Dollar/mark 100 Dollar/yen Dollar/pound 1980 1981 1982 The weighted average value for each currency is its exchange value against the currencies of the other G-10 countries plus Switzerland, using 1972-76 total trade weights. International Developments vening on five days during the year. Of this total, $30 million was sold in the second quarter, $11 million in the third quarter, and $91 million in the fourth quarter. The Federal Reserve's share of U.S. purchases of foreign currencies amounted to $43 million equivalent of yen and $33 million equivalent of marks. The Federal Reserve's holdings of foreign currencies at year-end were valued at $4,437 million, mostly in marks. Mexico had $483 million outstanding on its regular swap line with the System ($700 million drawn in 29 August, $217 million repaid in December) and an additional $286 million outstanding on the special swap line with the System (part of the $1.85 billion package arranged through the BIS in August). In addition, the Federal Reserve held, under warehousing agreement, some $1,292 million equivalent of foreign currencies for the Treasury. The Federal Reserve incurred foreign exchange translation losses of $150 million on its foreign exchange position at year-end, reflecting the dollar's appreciation during the year. 30 Monetary Policy Reports to Congress Given below are reports submitted to the Congress by the Federal Reserve on February 10, 1982, and on July 20, 1982, pursuant to the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978. Report on February 10, 1982 Monetary Policy and the Performance of the Economy in 1981 The economy was growing rapidly as 1981 began, continuing the sharp cyclical rebound that had started in mid-1980. Activity leveled out during the spring and summer, however, and it fell in the final quarter of the year. As a result, the rate of production of goods and services—real gross national product—was only slightly higher at the end of 1981 than it had been a year earlier. With the weakening of output late in the year, the margin of unutilized plant capacity widened and the unemployment rate rose sharply to near postwar record levels. While economic activity was disappointing last year, signs of progress in reducing inflationary pressures were emerging. The rate of price inflation slowed from the extremely rapid pace of the preceding two years, and as 1981 progressed there also were indications of an easing in the rate of wage increases, particularly in some key pattern-setting industries. Confidence in the restoration of reasonable overall price stability is needed if economic growth is to be resumed on a sustained basis. The accelerating inflation of earlier years had been eroding the foundations of the nation's economy: capital formation had slowed; productivity was sagging; the functioning of basic market mechanisms was being impaired; and inequitable and capricious transfers of wealth were harming many of the weakest among us. The task of reversing the inflationary trend of earlier years was made more difficult because a decade of escalating prices and unsuccessful anti-inflation policies had led to firmly held expectations of continued high—if not accelerating—rates of inflation. Thus, it was recognized that reducing inflation would take time and that anti-inflation policies would have to be applied with persistence if they were to be effective in altering expectations and slowing the rate of increases in prices. While fiscal policy and decisions made in the private sector have much to do with the course of economic developments, economic theory and experience alike indicate that progress toward price stability cannot be obtained without adequate restraint on the growth of money and credit. Monetary policy was conducted in 1981 with this crucial fact in mind. The Federal Reserve set objectives for the growth of the monetary aggregates that it believed would help to damp inflation and would lead to movement over time toward trend rates of monetary expansion consistent with the growth of potential output at stable prices. Short-term market rates of interest began 1981 at record levels, as rapid growth of economic activity in the Monetary Policy Reports second half of 1980 had pushed up the demand for money and credit faster than could be accommodated within the target ranges for growth of the monetary aggregates and bank reserves. Early in 1981 these demands began to subside, pressures on bank reserve positions were relieved, and money market rates declined for a time. A bulge in money demand early in the second quarter was steadily resisted by restraining the supply of reserves, and in the process short-term interest rates moved back to their earlier highs. By midsummer, short-term interest rates were declining, as demands for money and credit slackened while the Federal Reserve expanded nonborrowed reserves in an effort to maintain adequate monetary growth. Those declines in interest rates accelerated in October and November as the recession took hold. On balance, short-term interest rates—although volatile—moved down considerably over the course of 1981. In contrast, long-term rates rose substantially over the period, despite declines in the last quarter of the year. The pressure on long-term rates appeared to reflect a combination of factors. Of continuing strong investor concern were anticipations that continued large federal budget deficits would clash with private credit demands particularly as the economy expanded and put strong pressures on credit markets. Despite reductions in the growth of many federal spending programs, federal borrowing in calendar year 1981 siphoned off roughly a quarter of the total funds available to domestic nonfinancial borrowers. In the background were continuing doubts and skepticism that anti-inflation programs would be carried through. Moreover, 31 the volatility of the markets may have inhibited aggressive buying of longer-term securities. The tensions in credit markets in 1981 had their greatest impact on capital formation by businesses and households. Housing construction fell to its lowest level in the postwar period; only 1.1 million new housing units were started in 1981. The weakness in real estate markets last year reflected a number of influences. Of paramount importance in the short run was the cost of mortgage funds. The average rate on mortgages closed for new homes was 15.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 1981, up from 12.6 percent a year earlier. But it was not higher mortgage rates alone that cut into housing demand: high prices also adversely affected the ability of those seeking new homes to afford the monthly payments. Although house prices changed little in 1981, over the preceding five years prices of new and existing homes had risen half again as fast as the overall rate of inflation. As a result, the share of average family disposable income needed to service the monthly payment on a typical new mortgage rose from 21 percent in 1976 to nearly 40 percent last year. Slow income growth and rising unemployment, along with the increased cost of credit, combined to damp consumer spending in 1981— particularly for more discretionary, large-ticket items such as autos, furniture, and appliances. Since the mid-1970s, household real after-tax income has only been rising at an annual rate of Vi percent, compared with a long-run trend of 2 percent. At the same time, the prices of essential items such as food, gasoline, heating fuel, utilities, and medical services—as a group—have been 32 Monetary Policy Reports rising faster than the overall inflation rate, and the share of disposable income devoted to these items has been increasing. The resulting squeeze on family budgets led many households to overextend themselves during the second half of the 1970s, taking on more and more debt to finance their purchases. With household balance sheets debt-laden and credit costs rising, a retrenchment in consumer borrowing began in 1980, and continued through 1981. As the year progressed, household balance sheets appeared to be improving. Consumer debt burdens (the ratio of monthly debt repayment obligations to income) declined to their lowest level in more than five years. Moreover, partly in response to the higher after-tax income after the tax cut on October 1, the saving rate rose from about 5 percent in the first three quarters of 1981 to 6 percent in the fourth quarter. In real terms, personal consumption expenditures rose IVi percent over the four quarters of 1981. The gain was concentrated in the early months of the year as real consumer spending fell, on balance, over the final three quarters of 1981. Purchases of new automobiles were hardest hit. Sales of domestically produced cars totaled 6.2 million units in 1981, the poorest performance in 20 years. The depressed conditions in the auto sector were related, in part, to the typical cyclical volatility in the demand for motor vehicles and to credit market conditions, which affected the cost of financing new car and truck purchases. However, the current problems in the industry appear to be related mainly to longer-term trends in the demand for automobiles. These include the rapid increase in the price of new cars, high gasoline and other operating costs, sluggish growth of real income, intense foreign competition, and government regulations that have necessitated large investments to comply with emission control standards and to improve fuel efficiency. As 1981 was ending, the auto industry appeared to be taking aggressive actions to reduce costs and to improve the competitiveness of its products. Business firms, like households, restrained their spending on investment goods in 1981. Demand was damped by a substantial degree of excess capacity and by the rising trend in corporate bond rates throughout much of the year, which boosted the real cost of capital. In real terms, expenditures for new plant and equipment rose only IV2 percent over the four quarters of 1981. Although spending for new structures increased during the year, real equipment outlays fell for the second year in a row; the biggest declines were for electrical machinery and transportation equipment, while spending for most other capital goods remained weak. In contrast to fixed investment outlays, sizable unintended inventory accumulation boosted business financing requirements. As the year went on, unexpectedly weak demand led to a buildup of excess stocks in several industries. The most pronounced problem was in autos, but other manufacturers and retailers also found their inventory levels uncomfortably high relative to sales. On balance, total nominal business capital spending—fixed investment and inventories—rose about 20 percent above the 1980 average. Early in 1981, strong economic growth helped boost corporate inter- Monetary Policy Reports nal funds, greatly reducing corporate needs for external financing. But as the economy slowed, corporate profits turned sluggish and businesses were forced to rely more heavily on credit markets to satisfy their rising capital needs. The bulk of business borrowing last year was in short-term markets, as most firms felt it best to defer making long-run commitments in the current financial environment. With the accumulation of additional short-term debt, however, corporate balance sheet positions deteriorated further, and the ratio of short-term to total debt of the nonfinancial corporate sector rose to a record high. Real purchases of goods and services at all levels of government rose only moderately during 1981 as a sharp increase in purchases by the federal government was partly offset by curtailed spending at the state and local level. The rise in federal spending on goods and services reflected another large increase in defense purchases, while federal payroll reductions helped to contain increases in nondefense outlays. At the state and local level, real purchases fell 2 percent owing to a combination of the withdrawal of federal support for many activities, the continued impact of tax limitation measures, and the effects of a sluggish economy on tax revenues. The weighted-average value of the dollar against major foreign currencies rose nearly one-fourth during the period from January to August. The dollar eased somewhat in the last part of 1981, but at the end of the year still remained well above its year-earlier level. The improvement in the inflation outlook in the United States was a factor in the appreciation of the dollar. Moreover, at 33 various times during the year changes in the differential between interest rates on dollar assets and rates of return on foreign currency assets also had a noticeable impact on exchange rates. Real exports of goods and services increased in the first quarter of 1981, in part because of strong growth of GNP in one of our major trading partners, Canada. But for the next three quarters, real exports declined in response to a slowing of economic growth abroad and the effect of the appreciation of the dollar in 1980 and 1981. The volume of imports, other than oil, rose fairly steadily throughout the year. The current account, reflecting this weakened trade performance, shifted from a surplus in the first quarter to a deficit by the fourth quarter. Employment grew at a moderate rate during the first three quarters of 1981 and the unemployment rate edged down. Job increases were strongest in the service and trade sectors. As economic activity began to contract in the autumn, the demand for labor fell sharply and the unemployment rate climbed to 8.8 percent in December—only fractionally below its postwar high. Layoffs in the durable goods and construction industries accounted for much of the drop in employment. As a result, the unemployment rate of adult men—who tend to be more heavily employed in these industries—jumped to a postwar record of 7.9 percent in December 1981. Labor productivity (output per hour worked) showed considerable fluctuation during 1981, reflecting the course of economic activity. Productivity rose at an annual rate of \lA percent in the first three quarters of 1981. However, as often happens at 34 Monetary Policy Reports the beginning of a cyclical downturn, output fell more than employment in the fourth quarter and productivity declined, offsetting the gains earlier in the year. Averaging across shortrun cyclical movements, productivity has shown little improvement in recent years, and thus has provided virtually no offset to the impact of rapidly rising compensation on unit labor costs. Compensation and wage increases did decelerate during 1981—with continuing progress observed throughout the year. But the slowing was moderate, reflecting the basic inertia of the wage-determination process, in which many union contracts last three years or more and nonunion wage agreements usually are set annually. By the second half of 1981, however, some changes in those traditional wage-setting practices were under way in several important industries: management and workers alike began to reconsider planned wage adjustments; some expiring contracts were renegotiated well in advance of termination dates; and labor agreements at a number of firms were modified in an effort to ease cost pressures and to enable firms to compete more effectively. These adjustments, coupled with the progress seen in reducing inflation during 1981, suggest that the nation's anti-inflation policies have set the stage for a sustained unwinding of wage and price increases. The trend in inflation improved noticeably during 1981, and by yearend virtually all aggregate price indexes were advancing well below double-digit rates for the first time since 1978. The consumer price index rose 8.9 percent over the course of 1981, down from the average rate of nearly 13 percent in 1979 and 1980. Important factors in the slowing of inflation were exceptionally favorable agricultural supplies and declines, after the first quarter, in world oil prices. Inflation in areas other than food and energy—particularly consumer commodities and capital equipment—also began to abate, although price pressures persisted in the consumer service sector, notably for medical care. As the year progressed, surveys of consumer expectations suggested that the inflationary psychology, which had increasingly permeated many aspects of economic behavior in earlier years, appeared to be subsiding. The Growth of Money and Credit in 1981 The Board of Governors in its report to the Congress last February indicated that the System intended to maintain restraint in the expansion of money and credit in 1981. The specific ranges chosen by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) for the various monetary aggregates anticipated a deceleration in monetary growth that would encourage further improvement in price performance. Measured from the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981, and abstracting from the effects on deposit structure of the authorization of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts nationwide, the ranges adopted were as follows: for Ml-A, 3 to 5Vi percent; for Ml-B, 3Vi to 6 percent; for M2, 6 to 9 percent; and for M3, 6V2 to 9x/2 percent. The associated range for commercial bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. In formulating its objectives for 1981, the FOMC knew that the growth rates of the narrow aggre- Monetary Policy Reports gates would be affected markedly by shifts into NOW accounts, which for the first time became available nationwide in January. Transfers into NOW accounts, which are included in Ml-B, from savings deposits and other asset holdings not included in Ml were expected to be particularly large in the early months of the year. Thus, in order to avoid confusion about the intent of policy and to facilitate comparisons with previous years, the objectives announced for Ml-B abstracted from such shifts.1 Even after accounting for such shifts, however, the FOMC anticipated that the growth rates of the various aggregates were likely to diverge more than usual, reflecting the rapid pace of institutional change in financial markets. The FOMC indicated that if Ml-B growth (adjusted for shifts into new NOW accounts and other checkable deposits) was about in the middle of its annual range, the growth of M2 was likely to be in the upper part of its range, given the popularity of the nontransaction components of M2 that pay market-related interest rates. It also was noted that the relationship of M3 and bank credit to their respective ranges would be influenced in an important way by the pattern of credit flows that would emerge, and particulary by whether financial conditions would be conducive for corporations to refinance short-term borrowing in the bond and equity markets. It soon became apparent as 1981 unfolded that the behavior of the aggregates was turning out to be even more divergent than had been anticipated. Growth rates of the 1. The shift adjustments were estimated on the basis of survey evidence and were published regularly over the past year. 35 shift-adjusted narrow aggregates were low in the opening months of the year, a development that was welcome following rapid growth in the latter part of 1980. A strong surge in April was offset by weakness over the remainder of the second quarter. On the whole, average growth in adjusted Ml-B over the first half of 1981 was well below the growth that would have been expected on the basis of historical relationships among money, GNP, and interest rates. On the other hand, despite the weakness in Ml-B, the broader aggregates expanded quite rapidly in early 1981. Growth in M2 over the first half was near the upper end of its annual range, while the expansion of M3 placed this aggregate above the upper bound of its range at midyear. After reassessing its objectives for 1981 at midyear, the FOMC elected to leave unchanged the previously established ranges for the aggregates over the remainder of the year. However, in light of the reduced growth in Ml-type balances over the first half of the year, indications that this weakness might reflect a lasting change in cash management practices of individuals and businesses related to the growth of alternative means of holding highly liquid funds, and given the relatively strong growth of the broader aggregates, the FOMC anticipated that growth of the narrow aggregates might likely and desirably end the year near the lower bounds of their annual ranges. Even so, given the sluggishness early in the year, this decision implied that growth of Ml-A and of Ml-B would accelerate over the balance of the year. At the same time, the FOMC indicated that M2 and M3 might well end the year around the upper ends of their ranges. This expectation also 36 Monetary Policy Reports reflected in part the possibility that regulatory and legislative actions as well as the popularity of money market mutual funds might intensify the public's preference to hold the type of assets encompassed in the broader aggregates. Although growth of narrow money in the second half of the year was on average about the same as in the first half, Ml-B strengthened appreciably in the final two months of the year. This acceleration appeared to reflect in part a lagged response to large short-term interest rate declines in the summer and fall and in part a shift to preferences for very liquid assets in an environment of heightened economic and financial uncertainty. Similarly, M2 growth in the second half was about in line with expansion in the first half, although growth in this measure also picked up at the end of the year. The expansion in M3, on the other hand, decelerated from the rapid pace of the first half, as sales of large certificates of deposit slowed in concert with a slackening in growth of bank credit and stronger growth in core deposits. Measuring growth for the year from the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981, growth in Ml-B adjusted for shifts into NOW accounts was about 2VA percent—IVi percentage points below the lower end of its targeted range.2 Growth rates, of course, are affected by the particular pattern of variation that develops over the course of the year. Measuring expansion from December to December, growth in adjusted Ml-B in 1981 was at a rate of 3% 2. Unadjusted for shifts into NOW accounts, Ml-B increased 5.0 percent from the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981. percent. On a yearly average basis, which reflects movements through the year as a whole relative to the level of the previous year, the increase was at a rate of 4% percent. At the same time, measured from the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981, growth of M2 was 9.4 percent, 0.4 percentage point above the upper limit of its range. Also, growth of M3 exceeded the upper end of its range by 1.9 percentage points, while bank credit growth was just inside the upper end of its annual range. The table puts the performance of the aggregates during 1981 into a somewhat longer-term perspective, showing two measures of annual growth. No matter which of the measures of annual growth is used, a marked deceleration in Ml-B since 1978 is apparent. The table also clearly illustrates that growth rates for the broader aggregates have been maintained around a higher level, and larger divergences have developed from growth of Ml-B. In considerable part, these differences can Growth of Money and Bank Credit Percentage changes Period Ml-B 1 M2 M3 Bank credit2 Fourth quarter to fourth quarter 1978 1979 . 1980 1981 8.3 7.5 6.6 2.3 8.3 8.4 9.1 9.4 11.3 9.8 9.9 11.4 13.3 12.6 8.0 8.8 Annual average to annual average 1978 1979 1980 1981 8.2 7.7 5.9 4.7 8.8 8.5 8.3 9.7 11.8 10.3 9.3 11.5 12.4 13.5 8.5 9.4 1. Growth rates for 1980 and 1981 adjusted for shifts to other checkable deposit accounts since the end of the preceding year. 2. The December level used for calculating these 1981 growth rates incorporates an adjustment to abstract from the shifting of assets from domestic banking offices to international banking facilities. Monetary Policy Reports be explained by structural changes in financial markets. As noted earlier, it was already obvious last February when the FOMC was meeting to set its objectives for 1981 that shifts into NOW accounts after their nationwide authorization at the beginning of 1981 would alter the behavior of the narrow aggregates. Data for early January had pointed to a very large movement of funds at the beginning of the year. However, the pattern and magnitude of subsequent movements could not be predicted with any certainty. As events unfolded, the shifts into NOW accounts were more concentrated in the early part of 1981 than was anticipated by the working assumptions of the Board's staff. Through June, the adjustments made to the aggregates to correct for such shifts had the effect of raising Ml-A by $28 billion and lowering Ml-B by $9Vz billion. Over the second half of 1981, further adjustments for shifts into NOW accounts raised Ml-A by only another $6 billion and lowered Ml-B by about $2V2 billion more. While these adjustments are imprecise and based on evidence from a variety of sources, data on the number of NOW accounts coupled with other available information confirm that the shifting of funds from demand deposits to new interest-bearing checking accounts tapered off considerably by the fall. A surge in NOW account balances near the end of the year and early in 1982 appeared to reflect primarily the precautionary savings behavior already noted rather than shifting of funds into new accounts. As already indicated, the growth of the narrow aggregates adjusted for shifts into NOW accounts was low in 1981 compared with the other 37 aggregates and also relative to past relationships with income and interest rates. Continued high interest rates provided a substantial incentive for businesses to intensify efforts to pare narrow money balances and to make increasingly widespread use of sophisticated cash management techniques. At the same time, explosive growth of money market mutual funds (MMMFs), many of which offer check-writing or other thirdparty-payment services comparable with conventional checking accounts, appeared to induce some households to minimize checking account balances. Also, the broader availability of NOW accounts may have stimulated households to reconsider in a more general way their habits of cash management. Likewise, the strong growth of M2 over the past few years reflected changing financial practices. Money market funds and instruments offered by depository institutions that pay market-related interest rates have been accounting for an increasing proportion of M2, as such assets have become much more competitive with open market instruments. Indeed, the attractiveness of small time deposits was enhanced last year by the liberalization of the interest rate ceilings on small savers certificates and to a limited extent by the introduction of all savers certificates. Even so, three-fourths of the increase in the nontransaction components of M2 was accounted for by MMMFs, which grew 140 percent last year. The distortions in the aggregates resulting from the expansion in MMMFs are difficult to quantify. Surveys of household behavior and data on account turnover suggest that most shareholders of money 38 Monetary Policy Reports funds have made little or no use of their accounts for transaction purposes. Thus, the direct substitution effect of MMMFs on the growth of Ml has appeared small, perhaps on the order of 1 percentage point on the rate of growth for the year. However, indirect effects may have been larger as the potential availability of such a highly liquid asset may facilitate holding less funds in demand and NOW accounts. The direct effect of MMMFs on M2 appears more substantial in dollar terms. Presumably, the great bulk of the inflow of $20 billion in 1981 to MMMFs catering only to institutional investors was funds that otherwise would have been invested in assets not included in M2. In addition, it seems likely that a small portion of the growth of $90 billion in other types of MMMFs also reflected diversions from assets not in M2. In light of the sizable distortions created by the growth of institutiononly MMMFs, such funds have been excluded from the revised M2, but they will continue to be a component of M3. In addition, M2 has been revised to include retail repurchase agreements (RPs). Retail RPs, which previously had been a component only of M3, were promoted on a substantial scale in 1981, likely attracting funds mainly from household small-denomination time deposits and MMMF holdings and thus resulting in a downward bias on M2 growth. The net effect on M2 growth of reclassifying institution-only MMMFs and retail RPs, along with other minor revisions, was small. M3 increased more rapidly than M2 last year largely because of the substantial expansion in large CDs, particularly over the first half of the year. With growth of core deposits weak on balance over the year, depository institutions increased their managed liabilities to support expansion in loans and investments. Growth in bank credit accelerated somewhat in 1981 but stayed just within the upper end of its annual target range. The pickup in bank credit growth was concentrated in business loans. Growth in this category was bolstered by the high level of corporate bond rates through most of the year, which tended to focus business credit demands on shortterm borrowing such as bank loans and commercial paper. Although merger activity contributed significantly to the growth of loan commitments over the year, actual takedowns for this purpose influenced loan growth only slightly. Real estate loans at banks in 1981 grew at about the same moderate pace as in 1980, while consumer lending strengthened a little from 1980. Security holdings at banks grew somewhat more slowly than loans in 1981. The bank credit data in December were affected by the shifting of assets to accounts in the newly authorized international banking facilities (IBFs). About $22 billion of loans to foreign customers are estimated to have shifted from U.S. offices to IBFs in December. The data presented in this report are adjusted for this shift. Without this adjustment, the increase in bank credit from the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981 was 8!/4 percent, Vi percentage point less than shown by the adjusted data. Broader measures of credit flows reflected the slowing pace of production and income in 1981 and the effects of high interest rates. Households and businesses continued to Monetary Policy Reports increase their borrowing over the first three quarters, but their use of credit contracted in the fourth quarter in response to the weakening of the economy. In view of the high level of long-term interest rates during most of 1981, virtually all of the increase in funds raised was in shortterm debt instruments. Overall, net funds raised by nonfinancial sectors rose 7 percent in 1981 and continued to fall relative to GNP for the third consecutive year. The Federal Reserve's Objectives for the Growth of Money and Credit The Federal Reserve remains committed to restraint on the growth of money and credit in order to exert continuing downward pressure on the rate of inflation. Such a policy is essential if the groundwork is to be laid for sustained economic expansion. A distinct slowing of inflation occurred during 1981, and the prospects for further progress are good. Failure to persist in the effort to maintain the improvement would have long-lasting and damaging consequences. Once again, underlying expectations would deteriorate, with potentially adverse effects on financial markets, particularly long-term rates. The result would be to embed inflation even more deeply into the nation's economic system—with the attendant debilitating consequences for the performance of the economy. A failure to continue on the current path would mean that the next effort would be associated with still greater hardship. Progress toward price stability can be achieved most effectively and with the least amount of economic disrup 39 tion by the concerted application of monetary, fiscal, regulatory, and other economic policies. But quite clearly inflation cannot persist over an extended period unless financed by excessive growth of money. Thus, a policy of restraint on the growth of the monetary aggregates is a key element in an anti-inflation strategy. Targets for the monetary aggregates have been set with the aim of slowing the expansion of money over time to rates consistent with the needs of an economy growing in line with its productive potential at reasonably stable prices. The speed with which the trend of monetary growth can be lowered without unduly disturbing effects on short-run economic performance depends, in part, on the credibility of anti-inflation policies and their effects on price expectations as well as on other forces influencing interest rates and credit market demands, including importantly the fiscal position of the federal government. More technically, financial innovation or other factors affecting the demand for specific forms of money need to be monitored. In its deliberations concerning the target ranges for 1982, the Committee recognized that the recent rapid increase in Ml placed the measure in January well above the average level during the fourth quarter of 1981. the conventional base for the new target. Experience has shown that, from time to time. Ml growth can fluctuate rather sharply over short periods, and these movements may be at least partially reversed fairly quickly. The available analysis suggested that the recent increase reflected in part some temporary factors of that kind, rather than signaling a basic change in the amount 40 Monetary Policy Reports of money needed to finance growth in nominal GNP. In light of all these considerations, the FOMC reaffirmed the following ranges of monetary expansion—tentatively set out in mid-1981—for the year ending in the fourth quarter of 1982: for ML 2Vi to 5V2 percent; for M2, 6 to 9 percent, and for M3, Wi to 9V2 percent.3 The FOMC also adopted a corresponding range of 6 to 9 percent for commercial bank credit. These ranges are the same as those agreed to in July and reaffirm the Federal Reserve's commitment to reduce inflationary forces. As has been typical in the past, these changes are measured from actual fourthquarter levels from the previous year.4 During 1981, Ml-B (shift-adjusted) rose slowly in relation to nominal GNP.5 On the assumption 3. The objective for growth of narrowly defined money over 1982 is set in terms of Ml only. Last February, when the FOMC set its targets for narrow money, it recognized that regulatory changes allowing for the establishment of nationwide NOW accounts would distort the observed behavior of Ml-A and Ml-B. Accordingly, the targets were set on a basis that abstracted from the shifting of funds into interest-bearing checkable deposits. Based on a variety of evidence suggesting that the bulk of the shift to NOW accounts had occurred by late 1981, the Federal Reserve reaffirmed in December its previously announced intention that starting in January 1982 shift adjustments would no longer be published and only a single Ml figure would be released with the same coverage as Ml-B. 4. Because of the introduction of IBFs, the bank credit data after December 1981 are not comparable with earlier data. The targets for 1982 are in terms of growth from an average of December 1981 and January 1982 to the average level in the fourth quarter of 1982. 5. Ml-B velocity, before shift adjustment, rose at a rate closer to historical experience. However, the shift of funds from savings accounts or other sources of funds not included in measures of the narrow money supply temporarily depressed that velocity figure, particularly early in the year. that the relationship between growth of Ml and the rise of nominal GNP is likely to be more normal in 1982, and given the relatively low base for the range of Ml-B, the Committee contemplated that growth in Ml this year may well be in the upper part of its range. At the same time, the FOMC elected to retain the lower bound of 2V2 percent for growth of Ml that was tentatively set last July in recognition of the possibility that financial innovations—especially techniques for economizing on the use of checking account balances included in Ml—could accelerate, with restraining effects on growth of Ml. The actual and potential effects on Ml of ongoing changes in financial technology and the greater availability of a wide variety of moneylike instruments and near-monies strongly suggest the need for also giving careful attention to developments with respect to broader money measures in the implementation of monetary policy. The range for growth of M2 is the same as in 1981 when actual growth slightly exceeded the upper bound of the range. The Committee contemplated that M2 growth in 1982 would be somewhat below the 1981 pace, although probably in the upper part of the range. However, should personal saving, responding to recent changes in tax law or other influences, grow much more rapidly in relation to income than now anticipated, or should depository institutions attract an exceptionally large inflow to individual retirement accounts from sources outside measured M2, growth of M2 might appropriately reach—or even slightly exceed—the upper end of the range. The ability of depository institutions to compete for the public's Monetary Policy Reports savings will, of course, also be affected in part by deregulatory decisions that may be made by the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee. The 1982 ranges for M3 and bank credit were left unchanged from those for 1981. These aggregates again will be influenced importantly by the degree to which credit demands tend to be focused on short-term borrowing and are funded at home or abroad. The Outlook for the Economy in 1982 Economic activity still appears to be contracting; industrial production and employment certainly declined further in January, with the extent of the fall worsened by exceptionally bad winter storms. Demand in the key sectors that had led the decline— housing and consumer spending— showed some signs of leveling off as the year began, and the recent cuts in production likely have helped to relieve some of the remaining inventory imbalances. Recent weatherrelated disruptions may affect the incoming data for a time, but the economy appears to be in the process of bottoming out, and a perceptible recovery in business activity seems likely before midyear. One element supporting final demands in the economy is the federal government. Part of the recent expansion in the deficit reflects the cushioning effects of reduced taxes and increased government expenditures that result from declining income growth and rising unemployment. In addition, however, the buildup in defense spending is a continuing source of stimulus. The second phase of the tax reductions 41 that occurs in July will provide another expansionary impetus to the economy. At the same time, the deficit—particularly if expected to continue at exceptionally high levels in later years—adversely influences current financial market conditions. The Federal Reserve's objectives for money growth in 1982 are consistent with recovery in economic activity. The expansion is likely to be concentrated initially in consumer spending. Given the substantial margin of excess capacity, outlays for business fixed investment may remain weak, particularly if long-term interest rates continue to fluctuate near their current high levels. A continuation of high levels of longterm rates also would inhibit the recovery in residential housing, although demographic factors will continue to buttress demands in that sector. The effort to deal with inflation is at a critical juncture. The upward trend in inflation clearly has been halted and the process of reversal is under way. There are signs that price setting, wage bargaining, and personal spending decisions are beginning to be made and that these decisions over time will serve to moderate, rather than to intensify, inflationary pressures. Nonetheless, the behavior of financial markets and other evidence strongly suggests the continued existence of considerable skepticism that progress in reducing inflation will be maintained. Lasting improvement in financial markets— particularly for longer-term instruments—is dependent on confidence that progress against inflation will continue; looming federal deficits have served to shake that confidence. Prospects for lower interest rates and for sustaining recovery over a long 42 Monetary Policy Reports period—indeed for the timing of recovery—are thus tied to prospects for a more stable price level. How we emerge from the current recession will be crucial to curtailing inflation further. The recovery phases that have followed recent recessions have sometimes been associated with an acceleration of inflation. However, if monetary and fiscal policies are appropriately disciplined, this pattern need not recur; and recovery from the current recession will be consistent with further progress toward achieving sustainable growth, price stability, and lower levels of interest rates. Given the current circumstances and in light of the objectives for the monetary aggregates for the coming year, the individual members of the FOMC have formulated projections for economic performance in 1982 that generally fall within the ranges indicated in the table. The members of the FOMC expect inflation to continue to moderate in 1982. At the same time, real activity is expected to accelerate with most of the growth coming in the second half of the year. With inflation continuing to be substantial and the prospect of the federal budget deficit remaining large even as the recovery gathers momenEconomic Projections for 1982 Percent Projected for 1982 Period Changes, fourth quarter to fourth quarter Nominal GNP ... Real GNP GNP deflator.... Average level in the fourth quarter Unemployment rate Actual 1981 FOMC members Administration 8 to 10'/2 1/2 to 3 9.3 .7 8.6 61/2 tO 73/4 10.4 3.0 7.2 8.3 81/4 t o 91/2 8.4 turn, demands for credit should intensify as the year progresses. In these circumstances, the recovery is likely to be somewhat restrained, with the result that unemployment probably still will be substantial at year-end. The FOMC members' projections generally encompass those that underlie the administration's recent budget proposals. The consensus view of the FOMC anticipates an improvement in inflation during 1982 comparable with the administration's as well as a similar outlook for the labor market. The administration's projection for real growth falls at the high end of the FOMC consensus. In the event prices and wages should respond more rapidly to anti-inflation policies than historical experience would suggest or should more favorable productivity trends develop, then the recovery could be faster without adverse pressures developing on prices, wages, and interest rates. Report on July 20, 1982 Performance of the Economy in the First Half of 1982 The contraction in economic activity that began in mid-1981 continued into the first half of 1982, although at a diminished pace. Declines in production and employment slowed, while sales of automobiles improved. Real gross national product fell at an annual rate of 4 percent between the third quarter of 1981 and the first quarter of 1982. With output declining, the margin of unused plant capacity widened and the unemployment rate rose to a postwar record. By mid-1982, however, the recession seemed to be drawing to a close. Inventory positions had improved substantially, home building was beginning to revive, and consumer Monetary Policy Reports spending appeared to be rising. Nonetheless, business investment showed signs of increased weakness. Although final demands apparently fell during the second quarter, the rate of inventory liquidation slowed, and on balance, real GNP apparently changed little. If, in fact, this spring or early summer is determined to have been the cyclical trough, both the depth and the duration of the decline in activity will have been about the same as in other postwar recessions. The progress in reducing inflation that began during 1981 continued in the first half of 1982. The greatest improvement was in prices of food and energy—which benefited from favorable supply conditions—but increases in price measures that exclude these volatile items also have slowed markedly. Moreover, increases in employment costs, which carry forward the momentum of inflation, have diminished considerably. Not only have wage increases eased for union workers in hardpressed industries as a result of contract concessions, but wage and fringe benefit increases also have slowed for nonunion and white-collar workers in a broad range of industries. In addition there has been increasing use of negotiated workrule changes as well as other efforts by business to enhance productivity and trim costs. At the same-time, purchasing power has been rising; real compensation per hour increased 1 percent during 1981 and rose at an annual rate of about 3 percent over the first half of 1982. Interest Rates As the recession developed in the autumn of 1981, short-term interest rates moved down substantially. However, part of this decline was 43 retraced at the turn of the year as the demand for money bulged and reserve positions tightened. After the middle of the first quarter, shortterm rates fluctuated but generally trended downward, as money—particularly the narrow measure, Ml— grew slowly on average and the weakness in economic activity continued. In mid-July, short-term rates were distinctly below the peak levels reached in 1980 and 1981. Nonetheless, short-term rates were still quite high relative to the rate of inflation. Long-term interest rates also remained high during the first half of 1982. In part, this reflected doubts by market participants that the improved price performance would be sustained over the longer run. This skepticism was related to the fact that, during the past two decades, episodes of reduced inflation have been short-lived, followed by reacceleration to even faster rates of price increase. High long-term rates also have been fostered by the prospect of huge deficits in the federal budget even as the economy recovers. Fears of deepening deficits have affected expectations of future credit market pressures, and perhaps also have sustained inflation expectations. The resolution on the 1983 fiscal year budget that was adopted by the Congress represents a beginning effort to deal with the prospect of widening deficits: and the passage of implementing legislation should work in the direction of reducing market pressures on interest rates. Domestic Credit Flows Aggregate credit flows to private nonfinancial borrowers increased somewhat in the first half of 1982 from the reduced pace in the second half of 1981, according to very preliminary estimates. Business borrow- 44 Monetary Policy Reports ing rose while households reduced further their use of credit. Borrowing by the federal government increased sharply in late 1981, after the 5 percent cut in personal income tax rates, and remained near the new higher level on a seasonally adjusted basis during the first half of 1982. Reflecting uncertainties about the future economic and financial environment, both lenders and borrowers have shown a strong preference for short-term instruments. Much of the slackening in credit flows to nonfinancial sectors in the last part of 1981 was accounted for by households, particularly by household mortgage borrowing. Since then, mortgage credit flows have picked up slightly. The advance was encouraged in part by the gradual decline in mortgage rates from the peaks of last fall. In addition, households have made widespread use of adjustablerate mortgages and "creative" financing techniques—including relatively short-term loans made by sellers at below-market interest rates and builder "buydowns." About twofifths of all conventional mortgage loans closed recently were adjustable-rate instruments, and nearly three-fourths of existing home transactions reportedly involved some sort of creative financing. Business borrowing dropped sharply during the last quarter of 1981, primarily reflecting reduced inventory financing needs. However, use of credit by nonfinancial corporations rose significantly in the first half of 1982, despite a further drop in capital expenditures. The high level of bond rates has discouraged corporations from issuing long-term debt, and a relatively large share of business borrowing this year has been accomplished in short-term markets—at banks and through sales of commercial paper. The persistently large volume of business borrowing suggests an accumulation of liquid assets as well as an intensification of financial pressures on at least some firms. Signs of corporate stress continue to mount, including increasing numbers of dividend reductions or suspensions, a rising fraction of business loans at commercial banks with interest or principal past due, and relatively frequent downgradings of credit ratings. After raising a record volume of funds in U.S. credit markets in 1981, the federal government continued to borrow at an extraordinary pace during the first half of 1982 as receipts (national income and product accounts basis) fell while expenditures continued to rise. Owing to the second phase of the tax cut that went into effect on July 1 and the effects on tax revenues of the recession and reduced inflation, federal credit demands will expand further in the period ahead. Consumption Personal consumption expenditures (adjusted for inflation) fell sharply in the fourth quarter of 1981, but turned up early in 1982 and apparently strengthened further during the second quarter. The weakness in consumer outlays during the fourth quarter was concentrated in the auto sector, as total sales fell to an annual rate of 7.4 million units—the lowest quarterly figure in more than a decade—and sales of domestic models plummeted to a rate of 5.1 million units. Price rebates and other sales promotion programs during the early months of 1982 provided a fillip to auto demand, and sales climbed to a Monetary Policy Reports rate of 8.1 million units. Auto markets remained firm into the spring, boosted in part by various purchase incentives. But as has generally occurred when major promotions have ended, auto purchases fell sharply in June. Outside the auto sector, retail sales at most types of stores were up significantly for the second quarter as a whole. Even purchases at furniture and appliance outlets, which had been on a downtrend since last autumn, increased during the spring. Real after-tax income has continued to edge up, despite the sharp drop in output during the recession. The advance reflects not only typical cyclical increases in transfer payments but also the reduction in personal income tax rates on October 1. Households initially saved a sizable proportion of the tax cut, boosting the personal saving rate from 5lA percent in mid-1981—about equal to the average of the late 1970s and early 1980s—to 6.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 1981. During early 1982, however, consumers increased spending, partly to take advantage of price markdowns for autos and apparel, and so the saving rate fell. Business Investment As typically occurs during a recession, the contraction in business fixed investment has lagged behind the decline in overall activity. Indeed, even though real GNP dropped substantially during the first quarter of 1982, real spending for fixed business capital actually rose a bit. An especially buoyant element of the investment sector has been outlays for nonfarm buildings—most notably, commercial office buildings, for which appropriations and contracts often are set a year or more in advance. In contrast to investment in struc 45 tures, business spending for new equipment showed little advance during 1981 and weakened considerably in the first half of 1982. Excluding business purchases of new cars, which also were buoyed by rebate programs, real investment in producers' durable equipment fell at an annual rate of 2 percent in the first quarter. The decline evidently accelerated in the second quarter. In April and May, shipments of nondefense capital goods, which account for about 80 percent of the spending on producers' durable equipment, averaged nearly 3 percent below the firstquarter level in nominal terms. Moreover, sales of heavy trucks dropped during the second quarter to a level more than 20 percent below the already depressed firstquarter average. Businesses liquidated inventories at a rapid rate during late 1981 and in the first half of 1982. The adjustment of stocks followed a sizable buildup during the summer and autumn of last year that accompanied the contraction of sales. The most prominent inventory overhang by the end of 1981 was in the automobile sector as sales fell precipitously. However, with a combination of production cutbacks and sales promotions, the days' supply of unsold cars on dealers lots had improved considerably by spring. Manufacturers and nonauto retailers also found their inventories rising rapidly last autumn. Since then, manufacturers as a whole have liquidated the accumulation that occurred during 1981, although some problem areas still exist—particularly in primary metals. Stocks held by nonauto retailers have been brought down from their cyclical peak, but they remain above prerecession levels. 46 Monetary Policy Reports Residential Construction Housing activity thus far in 1982 has picked up somewhat from the depressed level in late 1981. Housing starts during the first five months of 1982 were up 10 percent on average from the fourth quarter of 1981. The improvement in home building has been supported by strong underlying demand for housing services in most markets and by the continued adaptation of real estate market participants to nontraditional financing techniques that facilitate transactions. The turnaround in housing activity has not occurred in all areas of the country. In the south, home sales increased sharply in the first part of 1982, and housing starts rose 25 percent from the fourth quarter of 1981. In contrast, housing starts declined further, on average, during the first five months of 1982 in both the west and the industrial north central states. Government Federal government purchases of goods and services, measured in constant dollars, declined over the first half of 1982. The decrease occurred entirely in the nondefense area, primarily reflecting a sharp drop in the rate of inventory accumulation by the Commodity Credit Corporation during the spring quarter. Purchases by the Commodity Credit Corporation had reached record levels during the previous two quarters, owing to last summer's large harvests and weak farm prices. Other nondefense outlays fell slightly over the first half of the year as a result of cuts in employment and other expenditures under many programs. Real defense spending apparently rose over the first half of the year, and the backlog of unfilled orders grew further. The federal deficit on a national income and product account basis widened from $100 billion at the end of 1981 to about $130 billion during the spring of this year. Much of this increase in the deficit reflects the effects of the recession on federal expenditures and receipts. At the state and local government level, real purchases of goods and services fell further over the first half of 1982 after having declined 2 percent during 1981. Most of the weakness this year has been in construction outlays as employment levels have stabilized after large reductions in the federally funded program (under the Comprehensive Employment and Training Act) led to sizable layoffs last year. The declines in state and local government activity in part reflect fiscal strains associated with the withdrawal of federal support for many activities and the effects of cyclically sluggish income growth on tax receipts. Because of the serious revenue problems, several states have increased sales taxes and excise taxes on gasoline and alcohol. International Payments and Trade The weighted-average value of the dollar, after having declined about 10 percent from its peak last August, began to strengthen sharply again around the beginning of the year, and since then it has appreciated nearly 15 percent on balance. The appreciation of the dollar has been associated to a considerable extent with the declining inflation rate in the United States and the rise in dollar interest rates relative to yields on assets denominated in foreign currencies. Reflecting the effects of the strengthening dollar, as well as the slowing of economic growth abroad, real exports of goods and services Monetary Policy Reports have been decreasing since the beginning of 1981. The volume of imports other than oil, which rose fairly steadily throughout last year, dropped sharply in the first half of 1982, owing to the weakness of aggregate demand—especially for inventories—in the United States. In addition, both the volume and the price of imported oil fell during the first half of the year. The current account, which was in surplus for 1981 as a whole, recorded another surplus in the first half of this year as the value of imports fell more than the value of exports. Labor Markets Employment has declined nearly Wi million since the peak reached in mid-1981. As usually happens during a cyclical contraction, the largest job losses have been in durable goods manufacturing industries—such as autos, steel, and machinery—as well as at construction sites. The job losses in manufacturing and construction during this recession follow a limited recovery from the 1980 recession; as a result, employment levels in these industries are more than 10 percent below their 1979 highs. In addition, declines in aggregate demand have tempered the pace of hiring at service industries and trade establishments over the past year. As often happens near a businesscycle trough, employment fell faster than output in early 1982 and labor productivity showed a small advance after having declined sharply during the second half of 1981. Since mid-1981 the overall unemployment rate has risen 2lA percentage points to a postwar record of 9lA percent. The effects of the recession have been most severe in the durable goods and construction industries, and the burden of rising unemploy 47 ment has been relatively heavy on adult men who tend to be more concentrated in these industries. At the same time, joblessness among young and inexperienced workers remains extremely high; hardest hit have been black male teenagers who experienced an unemployment rate of nearly 60 percent in June 1982. Reflecting the persistent slack in labor markets, most indicators of labor supply also show a significant weakening. For example, the number of discouraged workers—that is, persons who report that they want work but are not looking for jobs because they believe they cannot find any—has increased nearly a half million over the past year, continuing an upward trend that began before the 1980 recession. In addition, the labor force participation rate—the proportion of the working-age population that is employed or actively seeking jobs—has been essentially flat for the last two years after rising about Vi percentage point annually between 1975 and 1979. Prices and Labor Costs A slowing in the pace of inflation, which was evident during 1981, continued through the first half of this year. During the first five months of 1982 (the latest data available), the consumer price index (CPI) increased at an annual rate of 3.5 percent, sharply lower than the 8.9 percent rise during 1981. Much of the improvement was in energy and food prices as well as in the volatile CPI measure of homeownership costs. But even excluding these items, the annual rate of increase in consumer prices has slowed to 5Vi percent this year compared with 9Vz percent last year. The moderation of price increases also was evident at the producer 48 Monetary Policy Reports level. Prices of capital equipment have increased at an annual rate of 4V4 percent thus far this year—well below the 9lA percent pace of 1981. In addition, the decline in raw materials prices, which occurred throughout last year, has continued in the first half of 1982. Gasoline prices at the retail level, which had remained virtually flat over the second half of 1981, fell substantially during the first four months of 1982. Slack domestic demand and an overhang of stocks on world petroleum markets precipitated the decline in prices. However, gasoline prices began to rise again in May in reflection of rising consumption, reduced stocks, and lower production schedules by major crude oil suppliers. The rate of increase in employment costs decelerated considerably during the first half of 1982. The index of average hourly earnings, a measure of wage trends for production and non-supervisory personnel, rose at an annual rate of 6Vi percent over the first half of this year, compared with an increase of 8V4 percent during 1981. Part of the slowing was due to early negotiation of expiring contracts and renegotiation of existing contracts in a number of major industries. These wage concessions are expected to relieve cost pressures and to enhance the competitive position of firms in these industries. Increases in fringe benefits, which generally have risen faster than wages over the years, also are being scaled back. Because wage demands, not to mention direct escalator provisions, are responsive to price performance, the progress made in reducing the rate of inflation should contribute to further moderation in labor cost pressures. The Growth of Money and Credit in the First Half of 1982 The annual targets for the monetary aggregates announced in February were chosen to be consistent with continued restraint on the growth of money and credit in order to exert sustained downward pressure on inflation. At the same time, these targets were expected to result in sufficient money growth to support an upturn in economic activity. Measured from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982, the growth ranges for the aggregates adopted by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) were as follows: for Ml, 2Vi to SVi percent; for M2, 6 to 9 percent; and for M3, 6J/2 to 9V2 percent. The corresponding range specified by the FOMC for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent.6 When the FOMC was deliberating on its annual targets in February, the Committee was aware that Ml already had risen well above its average level in the fourth quarter of 1981. In light of the financial and economic backdrop against which the bulge in Ml had occurred, the Committee believed it likely that there had been an upsurge in the public's demand for liquidity. It also seemed probable that this strengthening of money demand would unwind in the months ahead. Thus, under these 6. Because of the authorization of international banking facilities (IBFs) on December 3, 1981, the bank credit data starting in December 1981 are not comparable with earlier data. The target for bank credit was put in terms of annualized growth measured from the average of December 1981 and January 1982 to the average level in the fourth quarter of 1982 so that the shift of assets to IBFs that occurred at the turn of the year would not have a major impact on the pattern of growth. Monetary Policy Reports circumstances and given the relatively low base for the Ml range for 1982, it did not appear appropriate to seek an abrupt return to the annual target range, and the FOMC indicated its willingness to permit Ml to remain above the range for a while. At the same time, the FOMC agreed that the expansion in Ml for the year as a whole might appropriately be in the upper part of its range, particularly if available evidence suggested the persistence of unusual desires for liquidity that had to be accommodated to avoid undue financial stringency. In setting the annual target for M2, the FOMC indicated that M2 growth for the year as a whole probably would be in the upper part of its annual range and might slightly exceed the upper limit. The Committee anticipated that demands for the assets included in M2 might be enhanced by new tax incentives such as the broadened eligibility for individual retirement and Keogh accounts, or by further deregulation of deposit rates. The Committee expected that M3 growth again would be influenced importantly by the pattern of business financing and, in particular, by the degree to which borrowing would be focused in markets for short-term credit. As anticipated—and consistent with the FOMC's short-run targets—the surge in Ml growth in December and January was followed by appreciably slower growth. After January, Ml increased at an annual rate of only 1V4 percent on average, and the level of Ml in June was only slightly above the upper end of the Committee's annual growth range. From the fourth quarter of 1981 to June, Ml increased at a 5.6 percent annual rate. M2 growth so far this year also 49 has run a bit above the FOMC's annual range; from the fourth quarter of 1981 through June, M2 increased on average at an annual rate of 9.4 percent. From a somewhat longer perspective, Ml has increased at an annual rate of 4.7 percent, measuring growth from the first half of 1981 to the first half of 1982 and abstracting from the shift into NOW accounts in 1981; and M2 has grown at a 9.7 percent annual rate on a half-year over half-year basis. Although Ml growth has been moderate on balance thus far this year, that growth has considerably exceeded the pace of increase in nominal GNP. Indeed, the firstquarter decline in the income velocity of Ml—that is, GNP divided by Ml—was extraordinarily sharp. Similarly, the velocity of the broader aggregates has been unusually weak. Given the persistence of high interest rates, this pattern of velocity behavior suggests a heightened demand for Ml and M2 over the first half. The unusual demand for Ml has been focused on its negotiable order of withdrawal account component. After the nationwide authorization of NOW accounts at the beginning of 1981. the growth of such deposits surged. When the aggregate targets were reviewed this past February, a variety of evidence indicated that the major shift from conventional checking and savings accounts into NOW accounts was over; in particular, the rate at which new accounts were being opened had dropped off considerably. As a result of that shift, however, NOW accounts and other interest-bearing checkable deposits had grown to account for almost 20 percent of Ml by the beginning of 1982. Subsequently, it has become increasingly apparent that Ml is more 50 Monetary Policy Reports sensitive to changes in the public's desire to hold highly liquid assets. Ml is intended to be a measure of money balances held primarily for transaction purposes. However, in contrast to the other major components of Ml—currency and conventional checking accounts—NOW accounts also have some characteristics of traditional savings accounts. Apparently reflecting precautionary motives to a considerable degree, NOW accounts and other interest-bearing checkable deposits grew surprisingly rapidly in the fourth quarter of last year and the first quarter of this year. Although growth in this component has slowed recently, its growth from the fourth quarter of last year to June has been 30 percent at an annual rate. The other components of Ml increased at an annual rate of less than 1 percent over this same period. Looking at the components of M2 not also included in Ml, the so-called nontransaction components, these items grew at a 103/4 percent annual rate from the fourth quarter of 1981 to June. General-purpose and broker-dealer money market mutual funds were an especially strong component of M2, increasing at an annual rate of almost 30 percent this year. Compared with last year, however, when the assets of such money funds more than doubled, this year's increase represents a sharp deceleration. Perhaps the most surprising development affecting M2 has been the behavior of conventional savings deposits. After declining in each of the past four years—falling 16 percent last year—savings deposits have increased at an annual rate of about 4 percent thus far this year. This turnaround in savings deposit flows, taken together with the strong increase in NOW accounts and the still substantial growth in money funds, suggests that stronger preferences to hold safe and highly liquid financial assets in the current recessionary environment are bolstering the demand for M2 as well as for Ml. M3 increased at an annual rate of 9.7 percent from the fourth quarter of 1981 to June, just above the upper end of the FOMC's annual growth target. Early in the year, growth of M3 was relatively moderate as a strong rise in large-denomination CDs was offset by declines in term RPs and in money market mutual funds restricted to institutional investors. During the second quarter, however, M3 showed a larger increase; the weakness in its term RP and money fund components subsided and heavy issuance of large CDs continued. With growth of "core deposits" relatively weak on average, commercial banks borrowed heavily in the form of large CDs to fund the increase in their loans and investments. Commercial bank credit grew at an annual rate of 8.3 percent over the first half of the year, in the upper part of the FOMC's range for 1982. Bank loans have increased on average at an annual rate of about 9x/2 percent, with loans to nonfinancial businesses expanding at an annual rate of 14 percent. In past economic downturns, business loan demand at banks has tended to weaken, but consistently high long-term interest rates in the current recession have induced corporations to meet the bulk of their external financing needs through short-term borrowing. Real estate loans have increased at an annual rate of IVA percent this year, somewhat slower than the growth in each of the past two years. Consumer Monetary Policy Reports loans outstanding during the first half of the year have grown at the same sluggish pace of 3 percent experienced last year. The investment portfolios of banks have expanded at an annual rate of about 5 percent, with the rate of increase in U.S. government obligations about twice as large as the growth in holdings of other types of securities. The Federal Reserve's Objectives for Growth of Money and Credit There is a clear need today to promote higher levels of production and employment in our economy. The objective of Federal Reserve policy is to create an environment conducive to sustained recovery in business activity while maintaining the financial discipline needed to restore reasonable price stability. The experience of the past two decades has amply demonstrated the destructive impact of inflation on economic performance. Because inflation cannot persist without excessive monetary expansion, appropriately restrained growth of money and credit over the longer run is critical to achieving lasting prosperity. The policy of firm restraint on monetary growth has contributed importantly to the recent progress toward reducing inflation. But when inflationary cost trends remain entrenched, the process of slowing monetary growth can entail economic and financial stresses, especially when so much of the burden of dealing with inflation rests on monetary policy. These strains—reflected in reduced profits, liquidity problems, and balance sheet pressures—place particular hardships on industries, such as construction, busi 51 ness equipment, and consumer durables, that depend heavily on credit markets. Unfortunately, these stresses cannot be easily remedied through accelerated money growth. The immediate effect of encouraging faster growth in money might be lower interest rates, especially in shortterm markets. In time, however, the attempt to drive interest rates lower through a substantial reacceleration of money growth would founder, for the result would be to embed inflation and expectations of inflation even more deeply into the nation's economic system. It would mean that this recession was another wasted, painful episode instead of a transition to a sustained improvement in the economic environment. The present and prospective pressures on financial markets urgently need to be eased not by relaxing discipline on money growth, but by adopting policies that will ensure a lower and declining federal deficit. Moreover, a return to financial health will require the adoption of more prudent credit practices on the part of private borrowers and lenders alike. In reviewing its targets for 1982 and setting tentative targets for 1983, the FOMC had as its basic objective the maintenance of the longer-range thrust of monetary discipline in order to reduce inflation further, while providing sufficient money growth to accommodate exceptional liquidity pressures and support a sustainable recovery in economic activity. At the same time, the Committee recognized that regulatory actions or changes in the public's financial behavior might alter the implications of any quantitative monetary goals in ways that cannot be fully predicted. 52 Monetary Policy Reports In light of all these considerations, the Committee concluded that a change in the previously announced targets was not warranted at this time. Because of the tendency for the demand for money to run strong on average in the first half, and also responding to the congressional budget resolution, careful consideration was given to the question of whether some raising of the targets was in order. However, the available evidence did not suggest that a large increase in the ranges was justified, and a small change in the ranges would have represented a degree of "fine tuning" that appeared inconsistent with the degree of uncertainty surrounding the precise relationship of money to other economic variables at this time. However, the Committee concluded, based on current evidence, that growth this year around the top of the ranges for the various aggregates would be acceptable. The Committee also agreed that possible shifts in the demand for liquidity in current economic circumstances might require more than ordinary elements of flexibility and judgment in assessing appropriate needs for money in the months ahead. In the near term, measured growth of the aggregates may be affected by the income tax reductions that occurred on July 1, by cost-ofliving increases in social security benefits, and by the ongoing difficulties of accurately accounting for seasonal movements in the money stock. But more fundamentally, it is unclear to what degree businesses and households may continue to wish to hold unusually large precautionary liquid balances. To the extent the evidence suggests that relatively strong precautionary demands for money per sist, growth of the aggregates somewhat above their targeted ranges would be tolerated for a time and still would be consistent with the FOMC's general policy thrust. Looking ahead to 1983 and beyond, the FOMC remains committed to restraining money growth in order to achieve sustained noninflationary economic expansion. At this point, the FOMC feels that the ranges now in effect can appropriately remain as preliminary targets for 1983. Because monetary aggregates in 1982 more likely than not will be close to the upper ends of their ranges, or perhaps even somewhat above them, the preliminary 1983 targets would be fully consistent with a reduction in the actual growth of money in 1983. In light of the unusual uncertainty surrounding the economic, financial, and budgetary outlook, the FOMC stressed the tentative nature of its 1983 targets. On the one hand, postwar cyclical experience strongly suggests that some reversal of this year's unusual shift in the assetholding preferences of the public could be expected; with economic activity on an upward trend, any lingering precautionary motives for holding liquid balances should begin to fade, thus contributing to a rapid rise in the velocity of money. Moreover, regulatory actions by the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee that increase the competitive appeal of deposit instruments— as well as the more widespread use of innovative cash management techniques, such as "sweep" accounts— also could reduce the demand for money relative to income and interest rates. On the other hand, factors exist that should increase the attractiveness of holding cash balances. Monetary Policy Reports The long upward trend in the velocity of money since the 1950s took place in an environment of rising inflation and higher nominal interest rates— developments that provide incentives for economizing on money holdings. As these incentives recede, it is possible that the attractiveness of cash holdings will be enhanced and that more money will be held relative to the level of business activity. The Outlook for the Economy The economy at midyear appears to have leveled off after sizable declines last fall and winter. Consumption has strengthened with retail sales up significantly in the second quarter. New and existing home sales have continued to fluctuate at depressed levels, but housing starts nonetheless have edged up. In the business sector, substantial progress has been made in working off excess inventories, and the rate of liquidation appears to have declined. On the negative side, however, plant and equipment spending, which typically lags an upturn in overall activity, is still depressed. And the trend in export demand continues to be a drag on the economy, reflecting the dollar's strength and weak economic activity abroad. An evaluation of the balance of economic forces indicates that an upturn in economic activity is highly likely in the second half of 1982. Monetary growth along the lines targeted by the FOMC should accommodate this expansion in real GNP, given the increases in velocity that typically occur early in a cyclical recovery and absent an appreciable resurgence of inflation. The 10 percent cut in income tax rates that 53 went into effect July 1 is boosting disposable personal income and should reinforce the growth in consumer spending. Given the improved inventory situation, any sizable increase in consumer spending should, in turn, be reflected in new orders and a pickup in production. Another element supporting growth in real GNP will be the continuing rise in defense spending and the associated private investment outlays needed for the production of defense equipment. At least during the initial phase, the expansion is likely to be more heavily concentrated in consumer spending than in past business cycles, as current pressures in financial markets and liquidity strains may inhibit the recovery in investment activity. With mortgage interest rates high, residential construction does not seem likely to contribute to the cyclical recovery to the extent that it has in the past. Likewise, the high level of corporate bond rates, and the cumulative deterioration in corporate balance sheets resulting from reliance in recent years on short-term borrowing, may restrain capital spending, especially given the considerable margin of unutilized capacity that now exists. The excellent price performance so far this year has been helped by slack demand and by exceptionally favorable energy and food supply developments. For that reason, the recorded rate of inflation may be higher in the second half. However, prospects appear excellent for continuing the downtrend in the underlying rate of inflation. As noted earlier, significant progress has been made in slowing the rise in labor compensation, and improvement in underlying cost pressures should con- 54 Monetary Policy Reports tinue over the balance of the year. Unit labor costs also are likely to be held down by a cyclical rebound in productivity growth as output recovers. Moreover, lower inflation will contribute to smaller cost-ofliving wage adjustments, which will moderate cost pressures further. The Federal Reserve's objectives for money growth through the end of 1983 are designed to be consistent with continuing recovery in economic activity. A critical factor influencing the composition and strength of the expansion will be the extent to which pressures in financial markets moderate. This, in turn, depends importantly on the progress made in further reducing inflationary pressures. A marked decrease in inflation will take pressure off financial markets in two ways. First, slower inflation will lead to a reduced growth in transaction demands for money, given any particular level of real activity. It follows that a given target for money growth can be achieved with less pressure on interest rates and accordingly less restraint on real activity, the greater is the reduction in inflation. Second, further progress in curbing inflation will help lower long-term interest rates by reducing the inflation premium contained in nominal interest rates. The welcome relief in inflation seen recently apparently is assumed by many to represent a cyclical rather than a sustained drop in inflation. But the longer that improved price performance is maintained, the greater will be the confidence that a decisive downtrend in inflation is being achieved. Such a change should be reflected in lower long-term interest rates and stronger activity in the interest-sensitive sectors of the economy. Another crucial influence on financial markets and thus on the nature of the expansion in 1983 will be the federal budgetary decisions that are made in coming months. The budget resolution that was recently passed by the House and the Senate is a constructive first step in reducing budget deficits as the economy recovers. However, much remains to be done in appropriation and revenue legislation to implement this resolution. How the budgetary process unfolds will be an important factor in determining future credit demands by the federal government and thus the extent to which deficits will preempt the net savings generated by the private economy. A strong program of budget restraint would minimize pressures in financial markets and thereby enhance the prospects for a more vigorous recovery in home building, business fixed investment, and other credit-dependent sectors. In assessing the economic outlook, the individual members of the FOMC have formulated projections for several key measures of economic performance that fall generally within the ranges in the accompanying table. In addition to the monetary aggreEconomic Projections <3f FOMC Members Projected Actual 1981 1982 1983 Changes, fourth quarter to fourth quarter, percent Nominal GNP ... Real GNP GNP deflator.... 9.8 .9 8.9 51/2 tO 71/2 1/2 tO V/2 43/4 t o 6 7 to 9^2 2Vi to 4 4 to 53/4 A verage level in fourth quarter, percent Unemployment rate 8.3 9 to 93/4 8Vi to 91/2 Item Monetary Policy Reports gate objectives discussed earlier, these projections assume that the federal budget will be put on a course that over time will result in significant reductions in the federal deficit. Revised administration forecasts for the economy were not available at the time of the Committee's deliberation. Our understanding, however, is that the administration's midyear budgetary review will be .presented within the framework of the economic assumptions used in the first budget resolution. For the remainder of 1982, those assumptions imply somewhat more rapid recovery than the range now thought most likely by members of the FOMC, 55 but are consistent with the monetary targets outlined in this report on the assumption of growth in velocity characteristic of the early stages of a number of past recoveries. Looking further ahead, the Committee members, like the administration and the Congress, foresee continued economic expansion in 1983, but currently anticipate a less rapid rate of price increase and somewhat slower real growth than the assumptions underlying the budget. The monetary targets tentatively set for 1983, which will be reviewed early next year, would imply, under the budgetary assumptions, relatively high growth in velocity. Part 2 Records, Operations, and Organization 59 Record of Policy Actions of the Board of Governors Regulation B (Equal Credit Opportunity) October 7, 1982—Interpretations and Withdrawal of Amendments The Board adopted two interpretations of Regulation B, effective April 1, 1983, dealing with the treatment of income in judgmental and creditscoring systems and the selection and disclosure of reasons for adverse credit actions. The Board also withdrew proposed amendments to provisions in the regulation dealing with business credit. Votes for these actions: Messrs. Martin, Wallich, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against these actions: None. Absent and not voting: Messrs. Volcker and Partee. One interpretation specifies how creditors should treat income from sources such as alimony, child support, part-time employment, retirement benefits, or public assistance in order to comply with the requirement not to discount or exclude such income when evaluating credit applications. The second interpretation describes how creditors should select and disclose the principal reasons for denying credit or other adverse credit actions. The Board also withdrew several proposed amendments to the business credit provisions of Regulation B. The amendments related only to the mechanical requirements of the regulation and not to the prohibitions against discrimination in any aspect of a business credit transaction. Regulation D (Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions) March 24, 1982—Amendment The Board amended Regulation D, effective April 28, 1982, to make permanent a temporary rule adopted in 1981 to ensure that the phase-in of reserve requirements for new institutions was not used for reserve avoidance. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Rice. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Gramley.1 In November 1981, the Board adopted a temporary amendment to Regulation D to change the manner in which reserve requirements of certain institutions are phased in. The regulation previously had allowed newly established institutions to phase in reserve requirements over two years. This allowance was designed to reduce the start-up problems that new institutions typically experience. In connection with recent actions by Delaware and South Dakota to permit out-of-state holding companies to establish subsidiaries in those states, a number of large banking organizations outside those states announced plans to establish such subsidiaries and to transfer a significant volume of deposits to them. The Board 1. On this and subsequent pages, footnote 1 indicates that there was a vacancy on the Board at the time the action was taken. 60 Board Policy Actions believed these new institutions would not experience the typical start-up problems and should not be eligible for the two-year phase-in provision. The Board, therefore, decided that an institution that began operations after November 17, 1981, would lose its eligibility for the phase-in provision after its reservable liabilities exceeded $50 million. April 26, 1982—Amendment The Board amended Regulation D, effective April 29, 1982, to establish reserve requirements for a recently authorized time deposit. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Rice. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Gramley. Beginning May 1, 1982, the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee (DIDC) authorized a 3!/2-year time deposit not subject to interest rate ceilings. Under existing provisions of Regulation D, nonpersonal time deposits with maturities of four years or more are subject to a zero percent reserve requirement; those with shorter maturities have a 3 percent reserve requirement, after completion of the phase-in periods. The Board, therefore, amended the regulation by changing from four years to three and one-half years the minimum maturity of time deposits subject to the zero percent reserve requirement. The Board noted, however, that this action should not be interpreted as a commitment to continue to shorten deposit maturities in conjunction with the phase-out of interest rate ceilings proposed by the DIDC. Any subsequent decision on reserve requirements will reflect experience, prevailing monetary and economic conditions, and implications for Treasury revenues. The amendment was effective April 29, and was applicable to the reserve maintenance period beginning May 13, 1982. August 20, 1982—Amendment The Board amended Regulation D, effective September 1, 1982, to define as a time deposit the new deposit instrument authorized by the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee. Votes for this action: Messrs. Martin, Wallich, Partee, Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Volcker and Mrs. Teeters. Regulation D had defined a time account as a deposit that has an initial maturity or a notice period of 14 days or more; accounts with shorter maturities are considered demand deposits. The Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee authorized federally insured institutions to offer a new deposit instrument with a maturity of 7 to 31 days, a minimum balance of $20,000, and a ceiling rate tied to the rate on 91-day Treasury bills. The Board amended Regulation D to define the new instrument as a time deposit that is eligible for the lower reserve requirements applicable to time deposits. The amendment was effective September 1, and was applicable to the reserve maintenance period beginning September 9, 1982. September 29, 1982— Amendments The Board amended Regulation D, effective February 2, 1984, to implement a contemporaneous accounting Board Policy Actions system for assessing and maintaining reserve requirements for transaction accounts at depository institutions. Votes for these actions: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Wallich, Partee, and Rice. Votes against these actions: Mrs. Teeters and Mr. Gramley. Under the current system of lagged reserve accounting, an institution's reserve requirements are assessed on the basis of deposit levels averaged over a seven-day period; required reserves are maintained for a seven-day period two weeks later. The contemporaneous system for transaction accounts shortens to two days the lag between the end of the reserve calculation period and the beginning of the reserve maintenance period. Reserves will be computed and maintained, however, on the basis of deposits averaged over a two-week period. Required reserves on nonpersonal time deposits will continue to be maintained on a lagged basis. The Board also adopted certain technical amendments to Regulation D to adjust the reserve maintenance periods of institutions that are not on a weekly reserve maintenance schedule to coincide with the contemporaneous system. Governors Teeters and Gramley opposed adoption of the contemporaneous accounting system. They were not persuaded that the system would significantly improve monetary control, and they believed it would increase the short-run volatility of interest rates because institutions would need to adjust their reserve positions more promptly. They also thought the cost of implementing the system, both for the Federal Reserve and the affected institutions, would not be offset by sufficient public benefits. The other Board members, however, be 61 lieved the benefits resulting from improved monetary control would outweigh the costs. The Board set February 2, 1984, as the effective date of the amendments to ensure that the Reserve Banks and financial institutions would have time to adjust their procedures. October 4, November 3, and December 22, 1982— Amendments The Board adopted a temporary amendment to Regulation D, effective October 5, 1982, that defined as a transaction account a time deposit linked to a line of credit against which third-party transfers can be made. The Board later revised the rule, and on December 22 made the amendment permanent, effective January 22, 1983. Votes for the October and November actions: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against these actions: None. Votes for the December action: Messrs. Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Volcker. In October, the Board amended Regulation D to impose the reserve requirements of transaction accounts on any time deposit linked to a line of credit that can be used for writing checks or for making other third-party transfers. The Board acted to discourage the use of these complex arrangements designed to avoid regulatory requirements. The temporary amendment was effective immediately for time deposits issued after October 4 and for deposits that matured and were renewed after that date. The Board also requested comment on the effects of its action, with 62 Board Policy Actions the understanding that a permanent rule would be adopted later. After adoption of the temporary amendment, the Board was informed that some institutions were having difficulties terminating certain deposit contracts. To ensure that those institutions would not be adversely affected by later Board action, and to allow a convenient transition to the new money market deposit account authorized beginning December 14, the Board exempted from the amendment time deposits issued before October 5 and renewed automatically before December 31, 1982. In December, the Board made the amendment permanent, effective January 22,1983. It also clarified that time deposits pledged as collateral for incidental overdrafts in a checking account were not covered by the amendment. October 27, 1982—Amendment moval of reserve requirements through October 1985. The Board, therefore, amended Regulation D to provide a phased reduction in reserve requirements for these former member banks, effective with the reserve maintenance period beginning October 28, 1982. November 24, 1982— Amendments The Board adopted three amendments to Regulation D that (1) increased the amount of transaction balances to which the lower reserve requirement applied; (2) effectively exempted small institutions from reserve requirements; and (3) established reserve requirements for a newly authorized money market deposit account. Votes for these actions: Messrs. Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against these actions: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Volcker. The Board amended Regulation D, effective October 28, 1982, to impleUnder the Monetary Control Act ment recent statutory changes in reserve requirements for former of 1980, depository institutions, Edge and Agreement corporations, and member banks. U.S. agencies and branches of foreign Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, banks are subject to reserve requireMartin, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. ments set by the Board. The reserve Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: requirements initially imposed under the act were 3 percent on the first $25 Mr. Wallich. million of an institution's transaction The Monetary Control Act of 1980 balances and 12 percent on balances required banks that withdrew from above that level. The act further dimembership in the Federal Reserve rected the Board to adjust that level System on or after July 1, 1979, to annually to reflect changes in the level maintain reserves in amounts equal of transaction balances in the banking to the reserve requirements of mem- system nationwide. The amount was ber banks. The Garn-St Germain increased to $26 million for 1982, and Depository Institutions Act of 1982 recent growth in such balances indimodified the reserve requirements for cated that a further increase of $0.3 member banks that withdrew be- million was warranted. Accordingly, tween July 1, 1979, and March 31, the Board amended Regulation D to 1980, to provide for the gradual re- increase to $26.3 million the amount Board Policy Actions of transaction balances subject to the lower reserve requirement. The amendment was effective December 30, 1982, and applicable to the reserve maintenance period that begins January 13, 1983. In a second action, the Board implemented provisions of the Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982 that reduced to zero percent the reserve requirements on the first $2 million of an institution's reservable liabilities. That act also provided that, beginning in 1982, the Board shall increase the amount of the exemption annually based on deposit growth nationwide over a 12-month period ending June 30. Accordingly, the Board amended Regulation D, effective December 9, 1982, to incorporate provisions of the Garn-St Germain act and to establish the exemption at $2.1 million. In a third action, the Board established reserve requirements for a new money market deposit account, effective December 14, 1982, the date on which the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee authorized federally insured institutions to begin offering the new account. The Board determined that money market deposit accounts that permit no more than six transfers from the account per month, of which no more than three may be by check, will have the same reserve requirements as savings accounts. Accounts that permit a depositor to make more than six transfers or draw more than three checks per month are subject to the reserve requirements on transaction accounts. Regulation D (Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions) and 63 Regulation Q (Interest on Deposits) December 22, 1982— Amendments The Board adopted technical amendments to Regulations D and Q, effective January 5, 1983, to incorporate changes approved by the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee in the rules governing the payment of interest on deposits. Votes for these actions: Messrs. Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against these actions: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Volcker. The Depository Institutions Deregulation Act of 1980 transferred to the DIDC the authority to prescribe rules governing the payment of interest on deposits that previously had been held by the Board and the other federal regulators of financial institutions. To conform to recent actions by the DIDC, the Board amended Regulation D and Regulation Q as follows: (1) reduced to $2,500 the minimum denomination of 26-week money market deposits, 91-day time deposits, and 7- to 31-day time deposits; (2) removed the interest rate ceilings on 7- to 31-day time deposits; (3) established money market deposit accounts; and (4) removed the interest rate ceilings on negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts of $2,500 or more. Regulation E (Electronic Fund Transfers) September 29, 1982— Amendments The Board adopted four amendments to Regulation E, effective October 12, 1982, relating to exemp- 64 Board Policy Actions tions for certain preauthorized transfers, terminal receipts, periodic statements, and procedures for certain foreign transactions. quirement to provide duplicate statements when a customer transfers funds between two accounts at the same institution. The fourth change liberalVotes for the preauthorized transfer ized the documentation requirements amendment: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, and the error-resolution procedures Wallich, Partee, Rice, and Gramley. for electronic fund transfers initiated Vote against this action: Mrs. Teeters. in foreign countries. Votes for the other three amendments: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Wal- Regulation G (Securities Credit lich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against these ac- by Persons Other than Banks, Brokers, or Dealers), tions: None. Regulation T (Credit by Brokers The Board amended Regulation E and Dealers), and Regulation U to exempt institutions with assets of (Credit by Banks for the $25 million or less from the require- Purpose of Purchasing or ments governing participation in Carrying Margin Stocks) preauthorized credit and debit pro- January 13, 1982—Amendments grams of the federal and private sectors. Governor Teeters opposed these The Board revised and simplified changes because she preferred that portions of Regulations G, T, and U private-sector payments not be ex- as part of its Regulatory Improveempt from the regulation. She be- ment Project. All of the changes lieved that the notices and disclosures were effective February 15, 1982, required by the regulation provided except the amendment to Regulation appropriate safeguards and that cus- U concerning collateral, which was tomers of small institutions should effective March 31, 1982. have the same protections as those of Votes for these actions: Messrs. larger institutions. Volcker, Schultz, Wallich, Partee, Rice, and Gramley. Votes against these acThe other Board members noted tions: None. Absent and not voting: that smaller institutions are governed Mrs. Teeters. by the operating rules of the clearinghouse associations to which they In mid-1981, the Board published belong. Moreover, institutions would for comment proposals to substanhave difficulty separating other re- tially revise the Board's margin regcurring payments from private-sector ulations. Although the rewriting of the transfers to take advantage of the ex- regulations would not be completed emption. For these reasons, the other for some time, the Board decided to Board members approved the adopt certain amendments in advance amendment. of the revisions to grant relief and Another amendment expanded an flexibility in areas in which the comexemption governing receipts given ments disclosed no significant disafor transfers initiated at electronic greement. These amendments are diterminals; it provided that institutions rected at simplifying the language, need not indicate on the terminal re- reducing regulatory burden, and acceipt the type of account involved if knowledging innovations in securities only one of the consumer's accounts markets. can be accessed at that terminal. A Among the changes adopted was third amendment eliminated the re- an amendment to Regulation G that Board Policy Actions 65 into account changing market conditions and exchange practices. One of the revisions permitted issues of foreign stock to be included on the OTC list if the issuer has registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Previously, foreign stocks were excluded because of difficulty in obtaining financial data about issuers. Under the previous rules, a company could be included on the OTC list if it met the standards on two of the three criteria for eligibility: price, capital, and market value. The Board decided to eliminate the market-value criterion, since it was found to be of limited value, and to make conformance with the price and capital criteria mandatory. In addition, the Board changed those two criteria, as follows: (1) To be included initially on the list, an issuer must have at least $4 million in capital and 400,000 shares outstanding (previously, $5 million and May 12, 1982—Amendments 500,000). (2) For continued inclusion The Board amended its margin credit on the list, a company must have $1 regulations (G, T, and U), effective million in capital and a price per share June 12, 1982, to change the criteria of at least $2 (previously, $2.5 million for including a company's shares on and $3). Stocks that are currently listed the list of stocks traded over the but do not meet the new eligibility counter that are eligible for margin standards will be retained on the OTC credit. list for two years. Votes for these actions: Messrs. MarThe Board also announced that futin, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, ture editions of the OTC list, which and Gramley. Votes against these ac- is published three times a year, will tions: None. Absent and not voting: become effective two weeks after Messrs. Volcker and Wallich. publication, rather than immediately, The Board regularly publishes a list to allow brokers and other users time of stocks traded over the counter to adjust their operations. (OTC) that are sufficiently similar to securities traded on the major exchanges as to be afforded similar treatment under the Board's margin Regulation K (International regulations. If a company meets the Banking Operations) Board's criteria for inclusion on the OTC list, its stock is eligible for trad- March 10, 1982—Amendment ing on margin. The Board amended Regulation K, The amendments to Regulations G, effective March 12, 1982, to permit U revised those criteria to take Edge corporations to provide certain DigitizedT, forand FRASER expanded the lending activities permissible for creditors covered by the regulation and the types of collateral they may accept. The amendment also clarified the definition of an indirect security for a loan. Regulation T was revised to permit brokers and dealers to provide investment banking services that include the arranging of credit. Regulation U was revised to exempt from the regulation bank credit not secured by margin equity securities. In addition, the definition of indirect security credit was changed to parallel that in Regulation G. All three regulations were revised to remove the provisions governing equity-building devices, thereby giving investors with highly leveraged margin accounts greater flexibility in reallocating their portfolios. 66 Board Policy Actions investment advisory and management services in the United States. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Wallich.1 The International Banking Act of 1978 directed the Board to remove from its regulations limitations that unnecessarily restrict or put Edge corporations at a disadvantage in competing with foreign-owned banking institutions in the United States. In keeping with that directive, the Board amended Regulation K to permit Edge corporations to provide several types of economic and investment advisory and management services to their foreign customers, including the following: (1) general economic information; (2) portfolio investment advice on securities, other financial instruments, and real estate; and (3) management of investment portfolios, with discretionary authority to buy or sell securities. Also, Edge corporations may provide their U.S. customers with advisory services regarding foreign investments. The amendment does not authorize Edge corporations to manage real estate or commercial or industrial properties. The amendment was expected to further competitive equality between domestic and foreign banks in the United States by enabling U.S. banks, through their Edge subsidiaries, to offer a range of financial services similar to those that may be offered by U.S. branches of foreign banks. Regulation L (Management Official Interlocks) September 15 and December 22, 1982—Amendments Board amended Regulation L, DigitizedThe for FRASER effective October 26, 1982, to implement recent revisions in the Depository Institution Management Interlocks Act of 1978. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Martin. In December, the Board further amended Regulation L, effective February 7, 1983, to clarify the circumstances under which certain management interlocks may be continued until November 10, 1988. Votes for this action: Messrs. Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Volcker. The act and the implementing regulations of the federal regulatory agencies generally prohibited certain interlocking relationships involving officers of unaffiliated organizations. Interlocking relationships in existence when the act was passed were permitted to continue for 10 years; that time period was to be shortened if the circumstances of either interlocking institution changed. Recent amendments to the act, however, clarified congressional intent that certain changes in circumstances—a merger, an acquisition, the establishment of new offices, or a sizable increase in assets—did not require termination of the interlocking relationship. Therefore, the Board and the other agencies amended their regulations to delete that requirement. Other amendments to Regulation L were adopted in September to conform with the statutory changes, including one that permits a management official to continue serving at both a depository and a nondeposi- Board Policy Actions tory organization even if the latter becomes a diversified savings and loan holding company. When the Board amended Regulation L in September, it published for comment a proposed amendment that would permit a management official who had terminated a "grandfathered" interlock because of provisions in the existing regulation to resume the interlock for the remainder of the 10-year permissible period. After consideration of comments received, the Board amended Regulation L in December to allow the resumption of such an interlocking relationship until November 10,1988. Regulation O (Loans to Executive Officers, Directors, and Principal Shareholders of Member Banks) October 22, 1982—Amendment The Board amended Regulation O, effective November 1, 1982, to conform to the requirements of the Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982 dealing with bank loans to officials. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Before passage of the Depository Institutions Act of 1982, lending by a member bank to its executive officers had been limited by the Federal Reserve Act and Regulation O to the following amounts: $60,000 for a home mortgage, $20,000 for the education of an officer's children, and $10,000 for other purposes-. In addition, loans to bank officials or their interests that exceeded $25,000 required the prior approval of the bank's board of directors. Depository Institutions Act Digitized forThe FRASER 67 eliminated the dollar limitations on mortgage and education loans, and the Board amended Regulation O to remove those dollar amounts. The act also deleted the limitations on loans for other purposes and on the maximum loan amount that does not require board approval, and authorized each federal regulatory agency to establish appropriate limitations for the institutions under its jurisdiction. The Board decided to retain the limitations currently in Regulation O for those two purposes pending completion of a review of the regulation and adoption of final rules to implement the act. Regulation Q (Interest on Deposits) August 20, 1982—Amendments and Interpretation The Board adopted several amendments to Regulation Q relating primarily to recent actions by the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee; it also issued an interpretation regarding the secondary market for certificates of deposit (CDs). Votes for these actions: Messrs. Martin, Wallich, Partee, Rice, and Gramley. Votes against these actions: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Volcker and Mrs. Teeters. One amendment revised the rules under which member banks may offer small-denomination repurchase agreements. Before these amendments were adopted, repurchase agreements (RPs) on U.S. government and agency securities in denominations of less than $100,000 and with maturities of 90 days or more were considered time deposits subject to the interest rate ceilings of Regula- 68 Board Policy Actions tion Q; small-denomination RPs with maturities of less than 90 days were exempt from the ceilings unless they were automatically renewable. In a series of actions, the DIDC authorized a greater variety of deposit instruments for financial institutions and removed interest rate ceilings for time deposits with maturities of three and one-half years or longer. Because these actions reduced the incentive for institutions to raise longer-term funds through the issuance of RPs, the Board decided it was no longer necessary to subject small-denomination RPs of 90 days or more to interest rate ceilings or to restrict member banks from offering automatically renewable RPs with maturities of less than 90 days. The Board, therefore, amended Regulation Q, effective August 24, 1982, to exempt RPs of member banks from interest rate limitations. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Federal Home Loan Bank Board had taken similar actions for RPs of institutions in their jurisdictions. Other amendments to Regulation Q, effective September 1, 1982, were adopted in conjunction with actions taken by the DIDC. One amendment changed the definition of a time deposit to allow member banks to issue time deposits in book-entry form rather than as written contracts. The remaining changes were technical amendments to conform the regulation to actions of the DIDC. Those amendments affected maximum rates payable on time and savings deposits, the advertisement of rates paid on certain short-term deposits, penalties for early withdrawal of time deposits, and treatment of obligations issued by a parent bank holding company. The Board also issued an interpretation, effective August 24, 1982, regarding a member bank's participa tion in the secondary market for negotiable time deposits it had issued. The interpretation stated that a member bank may assist a depositor in finding a purchaser for a negotiable CD, as an alternative to the depositor's incurring a penalty for early withdrawal. A bank also may arrange for unaffiliated third parties to purchase deposits from its customers. A member bank may not, however, purchase its own deposits from customers, enter into reciprocal arrangements with another institution to purchase deposits from one another, or reimburse a third party for purchasing the bank's deposits. October 4, 1982—Interpretation The Board adopted an interpretation of Regulation Q, effective October 18, 1982, regarding the interest rate charged on a loan for which a borrower has pledged a time deposit as collateral. That interest rate must be at least 1 percentage point above the effective interest rate paid on the time deposit. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. The Board had become aware of various deposit arrangements designed to evade the interest rate ceilings of Regulation Q or the reserve requirements of Regulation D. By adopting this interpretation—and a related amendment to Regulation D— the Board sought to ensure that the rules regarding interest rate ceilings on deposits and penalties for withdrawal of time deposits before maturity were not violated. The interpretation clarifies that the minimum annual rate of interest that may be charged on a loan for which a time Board Policy Actions deposit is pledged as collateral is 1 percentage point above the effective annual rate paid on the deposit. The loan rate must take into account the effect compounding has on the interest paid on the deposit. The interpretation is applicable to loans made, extended, renewed, or agreed to after October 17, 1982. November 24, 1982— Amendment The Board amended Regulation Q, effective October 15, 1982, to permit governmental units to maintain negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts at member banks. Votes for this action: Messrs. Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Volcker. The Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982, which was enacted and became effective October 15, permits the deposit of public funds in NOW accounts by all domestic and territorial governmental units. The Board, therefore, adopted the amendment to conform Regulation Q with the provisions of the act. December 22, 1982— Amendments These actions are discussed under Regulation D. Regulation T (Credit by Brokers and Dealers) January 13, 1982—Amendments These actions are discussed under Regulation G. May 12, 1982—Amendment The Board amended Regulation T, 69 effective May 17, 1982, to include as acceptable collateral in stock lending and borrowing transactions certain letters of credit, U.S. government securities, certificates of deposit, and bankers acceptances. Votes for this action: Messrs. Martin, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Messrs. Volcker and Wallich. Regulation T had permitted only cash to be pledged as collateral by brokers and dealers for borrowing or lending securities. In November 1981, the Board proposed to amend the regulation so that brokers and dealers could borrow and lend against letters of credit issued by banks insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and against U.S. government securities. Commenters indicated that the proposal was too restrictive. After consideration of the comments, the Board decided to amend the regulation by expanding the list of acceptable collateral to include the following: U.S. government and agency securities; negotiable bank certificates of deposit and bankers acceptances, if issued and payable in the United States; and irrevocable letters of credit issued either by a domestic bank that is insured by the FDIC or by a foreign bank that has filed an appropriate agreement with the Board. May 12, 1982—Amendments Additional actions for this date are discussed under Regulation G. December 8, 1982—Amendment The Board amended Regulation T, effective January 17, 1983, to specify the characteristics that make private mortgage pass-through securities acceptable collateral for margin credit. 70 Board Policy Actions Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, In conjunction with a request by a Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, bank holding company to perform Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes certain management consulting servagainst this action: None. ices, the Board sought public comThe amendment, which is appli- ment on whether to permit the activcable to securities not guaranteed by ity generally. On the basis of comments an agency of the federal government, received, the Board decided to perestablished the following criteria for mit holding companies to provide eligibility for margin credit: (1) the consulting services to unaffiliated original issue must be at least $25 mil- nonbank depository institutions, sublion; (2) the issuer must have filed ject to the same restrictions that apply current registration reports with the when such services are provided to Securities and Exchange Commis- bank clients. The Board also amended the regsion; and (3) the creditor must have ulation to permit holding companies a reasonable basis for believing that to have management officials in comthe servicing agent is passing through mon with the institutions to which they the payment of mortgage interest and principal according to the terms of the provide consulting services, if such interlocks are permitted by certain prooffering. visions of Regulation L (Management Official Interlocks). Regulation U (Credit by Banks for the Purpose of Purchasing or Carrying Margin Stocks) April 28, 1982—Determination on Reinsurance Activities January 13, 1982—Amendments The Board determined that the reinMay 12, 1982—Amendments surance of group mortgage life insurThese actions are discussed under ance was not an activity closely Regulation G. related to banking and that it should not be permissible for bank holding Regulation Y companies. (Bank Holding Companies and Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Change in Bank Control) Martin, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Rice. Votes against this action: None. March 10, 1982—Amendments Absent and not voting: Messrs. Wallich and Gramley. The Board amended Regulation Y, effective April 20, 1982, to permit bank holding companies to provide A bank holding company proposed management consulting services to to reinsure group credit life insurance unaffiliated nonbank depository in- for real estate loans made by its substitutions and, under certain condi- sidiaries. The Board earlier had detions, to have management interlocks termined that underwriting mortgage with those institutions. life insurance was not closely related to banking and therefore was imperVotes for these actions: Messrs. missible. Although the applicant cited Volcker, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. distinctions between its proposed acRice, and Gramley. Votes against these actions: None. Absent and not voting: tivities and those involved in underMr. Wallich.1 writing insurance, the Board found Board Policy Actions those distinctions insufficient to warrant reversal of its previous decision. Consequently, the Board decided that there was no reasonable basis for determining that the activity is closely related to banking, and therefore that the activity is not permissible for bank holding companies. June 30, 1982— Termination of Rulemaking 71 case by case, and therefore it withdrew the proposed amendment. August 20, 1982—Amendments The Board amended Regulation Y and a related interpretation, effective September 25, 1982, to clarify and expand the scope of data processing activities permissible for bank holding companies. Votes for these actions: Messrs. Martin, Wallich, Partee, Rice, and Gramley. Votes against these actions: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Volcker and Mrs. Teeters. The Board terminated a rulemaking proceeding that would have amended Regulation Y to make acting as a futures commission merchant for nonaffiliated customers a permissible In July 1982, after reviewing public activity for bank holding companies. comments and the results of a public Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, hearing on the matter, the Board apMartin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, proved the application of a bank Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes holding company to engage in a broad against this action: None. range of data processing activities. At In December 1981, the Board pub- that time the Board also agreed to lished for comment a proposal to make those activities permissible for amend Regulation Y to add to the list all holding companies, under certain of activities permissible for bank conditions. The Board, therefore, holding companies acting as a futures amended Regulation Y to permit accommission merchant for nonaffil- tivities such as transmission of data, iated customers. Such activity would provision of data bases, and provision include executing and clearing futures of data processing hardware in concontracts covering bullion, foreign junction with the provision of perexchange, U.S. government securi- missible software. The amendment ties, and money market instruments also specified activities that may be that are traded on major exchanges. performed for the internal operations The proposal resulted from an ap- of the holding company and its subplication by a bank holding company sidiaries and those that may be perto act as a futures commission mer- formed for others. The related interchant. The Board approved the ap- pretation explained that packaged data plication because of the holding com- processing and transmission facilities pany's special expertise in that activity provided by holding companies should and because of the safeguards and be limited to the performance of commitments to which the company banking functions. had agreed. Because of the inherent risks, however, the Board preferred Regulation Z (Truth in Lending) not to make the activity generally permissible for holding companies. In- February 10, 1982—Amendment stead, the Board decided to review The Board amended Regulation Z, applications to engage in the activity effective February 19, 1982, to ex- 72 Board Policy Actions elude from the definition of an arranger of credit those people, such as real estate brokers, who arrange financing by sellers of real property. Votes for this action: Messrs. Schultz, Wallich, Partee, Rice, and Gramley. Vote against this action: Mrs. Teeters. Absent and not voting: Mr. Volcker. The 1980 revisions to the Truth in Lending Act required disclosures from persons who are not usually considered creditors but who routinely arrange for credit to be extended. This requirement raised the question whether real estate brokers and agents who arrange seller-financed purchases of homes are required to provide truth-in-lending disclosures, and a proposal was made to include such arrangers of credit in the requirements of Regulation Z. Most Board members, however, preferred not to amend the regulation until the Congress, which was expected to consider that question later in the year, had reached a decision on the matter. Governor Teeters believed real estate brokers should be included for the protection of borrowers. The other Board members believed the real estate industry should not have to incur the expense and difficulty of attempting to comply with a new requirement that the Congress later might make moot. The Board, therefore, excluded such brokers from the definition of an arranger of credit, with the understanding that it might be necessary to consider the matter again. Policy Statements and Other Actions May 20, 1982—Mandatory Convertible Securities The Board issued guidelines, effective immediately, to clarify whether debt securities that contain a requirement for future conversion to equity securities qualify as primary capital. The guidelines were issued jointly with the Comptroller of the Currency. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. In December 1981, the Board and the Comptroller of the Currency jointly issued guidelines for assessing the capital adequacy of national and state member banks and bank holding companies. The guidelines established two measures of capital: total capital and primary capital. One of the components of primary capital is mandatory convertible securities. After adoption of the capital adequacy guidelines, several banking organizations issued or proposed to issue mandatory convertible debt securities in one of two basic types. Under the conditions of issuance of one type, holders of the debt instruments are obligated to purchase similar amounts of the issuer's stock by the time the instruments mature. With the second type, issuers of such debt instruments are obligated to sell stock in sufficient amounts to replace the instruments at maturity. The revisions to the capital adequacy guidelines specify that the instruments will qualify as primary capital only if certain conditions are met. The conditions are designed to assure that the instruments will be replaced with permanent equity and will be issued in a form consistent with sound banking principles. In adopting these guidelines, the Board noted that if an inadequately capitalized banking organization issues mandatory convertible securities, the instruments should Board Policy Actions not serve as the basis for additional leverage that would reduce its capital ratios. Although the guidelines were effective immediately, the Board and the Comptroller sought comment on them, with the understanding that they might be revised later. June 30, 1982—Nonvoting Equity Investments by Bank Holding Companies The Board adopted a policy statement, effective July 8, 1982, governing bank holding company acquisitions of nonvoting equity shares of other bank holding companies. Votes for this action: Messrs. Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Volcker. The Bank Holding Company Act prohibits a holding company from acquiring control of another bank or bank holding company without prior approval of the Board and also prohibits the acquisition of more than 5 percent of the voting shares of a bank. In anticipation of possible statutory changes that would make interstate banking permissable, a number of bank holding companies have made substantial equity investments in the preferred or nonvoting common stock of banking organizations located in other states. In the typical equity investment arrangement, a holding company acquires a significant portion of another holding company's nonvoting stock, with the understanding that, if interstate banking becomes permissible, the investing organization will merge with or acquire the other holding company. Some agreements include restrictive 73 or limiting provisions to protect the investment of the banking organization. To determine whether the terms of equity investment agreements are consistent with the Bank Holding Company Act, the Board adopted a policy statement that outlines the factors it will consider. In recognition of the variety of possible arrangements, the Board decided not to establish rigid rules for making determinations of control but, instead, to provide general guidelines. The statement describes the types of arrangements that indicate that controlling interest has been acquired by the investing bank holding company, and those arrangements that create the presumption that control has been acquired. In making its determinations, the Board will look at all aspects of the proposed investment, including the amount of nonvoting stock being acquired, the existence of terms or conditions that unduly restrict the operations of the banking organization in which a holding company is investing, and the size and terms of any warrants or options to acquire voting shares. The statement also requested any company considering such a nonvoting equity investment to review the investment with the Board before entering into the agreement. September 13, 1982— Modification of the Policy on Mandatory Convertible Securities The Board modified the criteria it uses to determine whether mandatory convertible securities issued by state member banks and bank holding companies qualify as primary capital. The revised policy is applicable to securities issued after September 27, 1982. 74 Board Policy Actions The reasons for the Board's deciVotes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. sions are reviewed below. In reachRice, and Gramley. Votes against this ing those decisions the Board also action: None. Absent and not voting: took into account the economic and Mr. Martin. financial developments that are covIn May, the Board adopted a policy ered in greater detail elsewhere in statement, issued jointly with the this REPORT. A listing of the Board's Comptroller of the Currency, that set discount rate actions during 1982, forth the conditions under which including the votes on the actions, mandatory convertible debt securities follows this review. qualify as primary capital for purposes of determining capital ade- January to Mid-July: quacy. Although the policy was ef- No Change in Discount Rate fective immediately, the Board sought comment on certain issues, with the During the latter part of 1981, interunderstanding that the policy might est rates had declined considerably and the Board had approved reducbe revised later. tions in the basic discount rate from After consideration of the com- 14 percent in late October to 12 ments received, the Board made one percent in early December. In the substantive change in the criteria: it closing weeks of 1981 and the early established a limitation on equity- weeks of 1982, relatively rapid growth commitment notes, a type of man- in the monetary aggregates and widedatory convertible security. The re- spread discussion of large prospecvised policy limits the issuance of such tive federal deficits had fostered an notes to 10 percent of an organiza- upturn in market interest rates, and tion's primary capital exclusive of by February short-term rates had mandatory convertible issues. The risen to levels well above the basic Board believed that that limitation discount rate. would encourage organizations to rely On March 1, the Board disapmore on equity notes than on equityproved a request from one Federal commitment notes. Certain other Reserve Bank to raise the discount technical changes in the policy also rate by 1 percentage point to 13 were made. percent. The other eleven Banks had The Comptroller of the Currency proposed that the current rate be adopted similar revisions to the policy maintained. The Board decided that for national banks. a higher discount rate was not warranted by conditions in financial 1982 Discount Rates markets. Short-term interest rates, The Board approved seven changes although still relatively high, had in the basic discount rate during edged down from recent peaks, and 1982. All were reductions of Vi monetary growth appeared to have percentage point and they lowered subsided in previous weeks. In reachthe rate from 12 percent in mid-July ing its decision the Board also gave to 8% percent by year-end. The weight to indications of current Board also voted on four occasions weakness in economic activity. On April 12, the Board turned to turn down requests for rate changes submitted by individual Federal Re- down a request by one Reserve Bank to increase the discount rate by 1 serve Banks. Board Policy Actions 75 August 13, and August 26. Apart from serving to bring the discount rate into better alignment with shortterm market interest rates, the reductions were deemed appropriate in view of the continued relatively moderate growth in money and of evidence of reduced credit demands at banks. In reaching its decisions the Board also took into account indications of continued relatively sluggish economic activity. The Board disapproved a pending reduction of Vi percentage point in the discount rate on September 13 in light of prevailing conditions in financial markets and of the recent performance of the monetary aggregates. Subsequently, the Board approved a reduction of Vi percentage point to 9Vi percent on October 8. Short-term market rates had declined substantially just before this action, after what proved to be a temporary upturn in previous weeks. In the circumstances the Board decided that a decrease of Vi percentage point would maintain an appropriate Mid-July to Mid-December: alignment between the discount rate Reductions in Discount Rate and short-term market rates. The final discount rate actions of During the first part of July, market interest rates declined substantially, the year were reductions of Vi perespecially short-term rates. Treasury centage point approved on Novembill rates fell below the discount rate. ber 19 and December 13. These On July 19, the Board approved a actions were viewed as consistent reduction in the basic discount rate with the prevailing pattern of shortfrom 12 percent to WVi percent. The term interest rates and were taken action was taken in the context of against a background of continued the decline in market rates and was progress toward price stability and also deemed to be appropriate in indications of persisting sluggishness light of the relatively restrained growth in economic activity. The Board of money and credit over the course recognized that recent monetary growth had been relatively rapid but of recent months. Market interest rates declined also noted that such expansion was sharply further during subsequent associated with current economic and weeks, and the Board approved ad- financial uncertainties that were in ditional reductions of V2 percentage turn generating exceptional demands point in the discount rate on July 30, for liquidity. percentage point and requests by two other Banks to lower the rate by V2 percentage point and 1 percentage point respectively. Short-term interest rates had changed little during previous weeks and remained considerably above the basic discount rate. The Board took note, however, of the moderation in monetary growth since the early weeks of the year and of key economic indicators that pointed to a decline in economic activity during the first quarter. After weighing these developments, the Board concluded that on balance current economic and financial conditions argued against a change in the discount rate. Subsequently, on June 21, the Board disapproved a request by one Reserve Bank to reduce the discount rate by xh percentage point to IIV2 percent. The Board decided that a lower discount rate would not be appropriate after the recent increases in market rates. 76 Board Policy Actions Votes on Reserve Bank Actions to Change the Discount Rate Under the provisions of the Federal Reserve Act, the boards of directors of the Federal Reserve Banks are required to establish rates on discounts for and advances to depository institutions at least every 14 days and to submit such rates to the Board for review and determination. The Board votes listed below are those that involved approval or disapproval of actions to establish new rates or to change existing rates. Reference is made in this report to the basic discount rate, which is the rate on discounts and advances to depository institutions for shortterm adjustment credit. Other categories of discount window credit include advances made over extended periods to depository institutions that are under sustained liquidity pressure. Such extended credit may also be provided when exceptional circumstances or practices adversely affect a particular depository institution. Finally, so-called seasonal credit may be provided for periods longer than those permitted under adjustment credit to assist smaller institutions in meeting regular needs for funds arising from certain expected movements in their deposits and loans. As of December 31, 1982, the structure of rates was as follows: a basic rate of 8V2 percent for shortterm adjustment credit; a rate for seasonal credit of 8V2 percent; and a rate on extended credit of 8V2 percent for the first 60 days of borrowing, 9V2 percent for the next 90 days of borrowing, and IOV2 percent after 150 days. March 1, 1982 The Board disapproved an action taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on February 23, 1982, to increase the basic discount rate from 12 percent to 13 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None.1 April 12, 1982 The Board disapproved actions taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on April 6 to increase the basic discount rate to 13 percent, and by the directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Chicago and Dallas on April 8 to reduce the basic discount rate to IIV2 percent and 11 percent respectively. Votes for these actions: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Gramley. Votes against these actions: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Rice. June 21, 1982 The Board disapproved an action taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago on June 10 to reduce the basic discount rate to ll!/2 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Rice. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Messrs. Volcker and Gramley. July 19, 1982 Effective July 20, 1982, the Board approved actions taken by the direc1. This note appears on p. 59. Board Policy Actions tors of the Federal Reserve Banks of New York, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, Kansas City, Dallas, and San Francisco to reduce the basic discount rate from 12 percent to 11V2 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Rice. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Messrs. Wallich and Gramley. The Board subsequently approved similar actions taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, Cleveland, St. Louis, and Minneapolis, effective July 21, and Philadelphia, effective July 23, 1982. July 30, 1982 Effective August 2, 1982, the Board approved actions taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Kansas City, Dallas, and San Francisco to reduce the basic discount rate to 11 percent. Votes for this action: Mr. Volcker, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Messrs. Martin, Wallich, and Partee. The Board subsequently approved a similar action taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, effective August 3, 1982. August 13, 1982 Effective August 16, 1982, the Board approved actions taken by the directors of all of the Federal Reserve Banks to reduce the basic discount rate to lOVi percent. 77 Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Wallich, Partee, Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mrs. Teeters. August 26, 1982 Effective August 27, 1982, the Board approved actions taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Kansas City, Dallas, and San Francisco to reduce the basic discount rate to 10 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Wallich, and Partee. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mrs. Teeters and Messrs. Rice and Gramley. The Board subsequently approved a similar action taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, effective August 30, 1982. September 13, 1982 The Board disapproved an action taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago on September 9 to reduce the basic discount rate to 9Vi percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Martin. October 8, 1982 Effective October 12, 1982, the Board approved actions taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Kansas City, and Dallas to reduce the basic discount rate to 9V2 percent. 78 Board Policy Actions Effective October 11, 1982, the Board approved an action taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and those of its branches that were open on that date to reduce the basic discount rate to 9V2 percent; the effective date for the Salt Lake City Branch was October 12. Votes for these actions: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against these actions: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Wallich. The Board subsequently approved a similar action taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, effective October 13,1982. November 19, 1982 Effective November 22, 1982, the Board approved actions taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Kansas City, and San Francisco to reduce the basic discount rate to 9 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Wallich, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. The Board subsequently approved similar actions taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Dallas, effective November 23, and Cleveland, effective November 26, 1982. December 13, 1982 Effective December 14, 1982, the Board approved actions taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, Atlanta, Chicago, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Dallas, and San Francisco to reduce the basic discount rate to 8V2 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Martin, Partee, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Rice, and Gramley. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Wallich. The Board subsequently approved similar actions taken by the directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of New York, Cleveland, Richmond, and Kansas City, effective December 15, and Philadelphia, effective December 17, 1982. 79 Record of Policy Actions of the Federal Open Market Committee The record of policy actions of the Federal Open Market Committee is presented in the ANNUAL REPORT of the Board of Governors pursuant to the requirements of section 10 of the Federal Reserve Act. That section provides that the Board shall keep a complete record of the actions taken by the Board and by the Federal Open Market Committee on all questions of policy relating to open market operations, that it shall record therein the votes taken in connection with the determination of open market policies and the reasons underlying each such action, and that it shall include in its ANNUAL REPORT to the Con- gress a full account of such actions. In the pages that follow, there are entries with respect to the policy actions taken at the meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee held during the calendar year 1982, including the votes on the policy decisions made at those meetings as well as a resume of the basis for the decisions. The summary descriptions of economic and financial conditions are based on the information that was available to the Committee at the time of the meetings, rather than on data as they may have been revised later. It will be noted from the record of policy actions that in some cases the decisions were made by unanimous vote and that in other cases dissents were recorded. The fact that a decision in favor of a general policy was by a large majority, or even that it was by unanimous vote, does not necessarily mean that all members of the DigitizedCommittee for FRASER were equally agreed as to the reasons for the particular decision or as to the precise operations in the open market that were called for to implement the general policy. During 1982 the policy record for each meeting was released a few days after the next regularly scheduled meeting and was subsequently published in the Federal Reserve Bulletin. Policy directives of the Federal Open Market Committee are issued to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York as the Bank selected by the Committee to execute transactions for the System Open Market Account. In the area of domestic open market activities, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York operates under two separate directives from the Open Market Committee: an Authorization for Domestic Open Market Operations and a Domestic Policy Directive. (A new Domestic Policy Directive is adopted at each regularly scheduled meeting.) In the foreign currency area, it operates under an Authorization for Foreign Currency Operations and a Foreign Currency Directive. These four instruments are shown below in the form in which they were in effect at the beginning of 1982. Changes in the instruments during the year are reported in the records for the individual meetings. Authorization for Domestic Open Market Operations In Effect January 1, 1982 1. The Federal Open Market Committee authorizes and directs the Federal 80 FOMC Policy Actions Reserve Bank of New York, to the extent necessary to carry out the most recent domestic policy directive adopted at a meeting of the Committee: (a) To buy or sell U.S. Government securities, including securities of the Federal Financing Bank, and securities that are direct obligations of, or fully guaranteed as to principal and interest by, any agency of the United States in the open market, from or to securities dealers and foreign and international accounts maintained at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, on a cash, regular, or deferred delivery basis, for the System Open Market Account at market prices and, for such Account, to exchange maturing U.S. Government and Federal agency securities with the Treasury or the individual agencies or to allow them to mature without replacement; provided that the aggregate amount of U.S. Government and Federal agency securities held in such Account (including forward commitments) at the close of business on the day of a meeting of the Committee at which action is taken with respect to a domestic policy directive shall not be increased or decreased by more than $4.0 billion1 during the period commencing with the opening of business on the day following such meeting and ending with the close of business on the day of the next such meeting; (b) When appropriate, to buy or sell in the open market, from or to acceptance dealers and foreign accounts maintained at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, on a cash, regular, or deferred delivery basis, for the account of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at market discount rates, prime bankers acceptances with maturities of up to 9 months at the time of acceptance that (1) arise out of current shipment of goods between countries or within the United States, or (2) arise out of the storage 1. Pursuant to an action taken by the Committee at its meeting on December 2122, 1981, the limit on changes between Committee meetings in System Account holdings of U.S. government and federal agency securities was set at $4.0 billion for the period through the close of business on February 2, 1982, at which time it reverted to $3.0 billion. within the United States of goods under contract of sale or expected to move into the channels of trade within a reasonable time and that are secured throughout their life by a warehouse receipt or similar document conveying title to the underlying goods; provided that the aggregate amount of bankers acceptances held at any one time shall not exceed $100 million; (c) To buy U.S. Government securities, obligations that are direct obligations of, or fully guaranteed as to principal and interest by, any agency of the United States, and prime bankers acceptances of the types authorized for purchase under l(b) above, from dealers for the account of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York under agreements for repurchase of such securities, obligations, or acceptances in 15 calendar days or less, at rates that, unless otherwise expressly authorized by the Committee, shall be determined by competitive bidding, after applying reasonable limitations on the volume of agreements with individual dealers; provided that in the event Government securities or agency issues covered by any such agreement are not repurchased by the dealer pursuant to the agreement or a renewal thereof, they shall be sold in the market or transferred to the System Open Market Account; and provided further that in the event bankers acceptances covered by any such agreement are not repurchased by the seller, they shall continue to be held by the Federal Reserve Bank or shall be sold in the open market. 2. The Federal Open Market Committee authorizes and directs the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (or, under special circumstances, such as when the New York Reserve Bank is closed, any other Federal Reserve Bank) (a) to lend to the Treasury such amounts of securities held in the System Open Market Account as may be necessary from time to time for the temporary accommodation of the Treasury, under such conditions as the Committee may specify; and (b) to purchase directly from the Treasury for renewable periods not to exceed 30 days, when authorized by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System pursuant to an affirmative vote of not less than five members, for its own account (with discretion, in cases FOMC Policy Actions where it seems desirable, to issue participations to one or more Federal Reserve Banks) such amounts of special shortterm certificates of indebtedness as may be necessary from time to time for the temporary accommodation of the Treasury, provided that the rate charged on such certificates shall be a rate of VA of 1 percent below the discount rate of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at the time of such purchases and provided that the total amount of such certificates held at any one time by the Federal Reserve Banks shall not exceed $2 billion. 3. In order to ensure the effective conduct of open market operations, the Federal Open Market Committee authorizes and directs the Federal Reserve Banks to lend U.S. Government securities held in the System Open Market Account to Government securities dealers and to banks participating in Government securities clearing arrangements conducted through a Federal Reserve Bank, under such instructions as the Committee may specify from time to time. 4. In order to ensure the effective conduct of open market operations, while assisting in the provision of short-term investments for foreign and international accounts maintained at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the Federal Open Market Committee authorizes and directs the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (a) for System Open Market Account, to sell U.S. Government securities to such foreign and international accounts on the basis set forth in paragraph 1 (a) under agreements providing for the resale by such accounts of those securities within 15 calendar days on terms comparable to those available on such transactions in the market; and (b) for New York Bank account, when appropriate, to undertake with dealers, subject to the conditions imposed on purchases and sales of securities in paragraph 1 (c), repurchase agreements in U.S. Government and agency securities, and to arrange corresponding sale and repurchase agreements between its own account and foreign and international accounts maintained at the Bank. Transactions undertaken with such accounts under the provisions of this paragraph may provide for a service fee when appropriate. 81 Domestic Policy Directive In Effect January 1, 19822 The information reviewed at this meeting suggests that real GNP declined appreciably in the fourth quarter and that prices on the average rose less rapidly than over the first three quarters of the year. In November industrial production fell more than in preceding months; nonfarm payroll employment, especially in manufacturing, declined sharply further; and the unemployment rate rose an additional 0.4 percentage points to 8.4 percent. The nominal value of retail sales increased, but the level was still well below the average for the third quarter. Housing starts remained at a depressed level. The rise in the index of average hourly earnings has been somewhat less rapid this year than during 1980. The weighted average value of the dollar against major foreign currencies has changed little on balance since midNovember. The U.S. foreign trade deficit in October widened substantially from the unusually low rate in September, and the average for the two months was about the same as that for July and August. Ml-B (adjusted for estimated shifts into NOW accounts) expanded substantially in November and early December, but its level in November was still well below the lower end of the Committee's range for growth over the year from the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981. Growth of M2 accelerated sharply in November, raising its level above the upper end of its range for the year. Short-term market interest rates and bond yields continued to decline in the latter part of November, but since then they have risen to levels generally higher than those of midNovember; over the period since midNovember, mortgage interest rates have declined further. On December 3 the Board of Governors announced a reduction in Federal Reserve basic discount rates from 13 to 12 percent. The Federal Open Market Committee seeks to foster monetary and financial conditions that will help to reduce infla2. Adopted by the Committee at its meeting on December 21-22, 1981. 82 FOMC Policy Actions tion, promote a resumption of growth in output on a sustainable basis, and contribute to a sustainable pattern of international transactions. At its meeting in early July, the Committee agreed that its objectives would be furthered by reaffirming the monetary growth ranges for the period from the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981 that it had set at the February meeting. These ranges included growth of 3Vi to 6 percent for Ml-B, abstracting from the impact of flows into NOW accounts on a nationwide basis, and growth of 6 to 9 percent and 6^2 to 9!/2 percent for M2 and M3 respectively. The Committee recognized that the shortfall in Ml-B growth in the first half of the year partly reflected a shift in public preferences toward other highly liquid assets and that growth in the broader aggregates had been running at about or somewhat above the upper end of their ranges. In light of its desire to maintain moderate growth in money over the balance of the year, the Committee expected that growth in Ml-B for the year would be near the lower end of its range. At the same time, growth in the broader aggregates might be high in their ranges. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. The Committee also tentatively agreed that for the period from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 growth of Ml, M2, and M3 within ranges of 2V21to 5Vi1 percent, 6 to 9 percent, and 6 /2 to 9 /2 percent respectively would be appropriate. In the short run, the Committee seeks behavior of reserve aggregates consistent with growth of Ml and M2 from November 1981 to March [1982] at annual rates of around 4 to 5 percent and 9 to 10 percent respectively. The target for Ml no longer reflects the "shift-adjustment" for conversion of outstanding interestbearing assets into new NOW accounts, formerly estimated in the "shift-adjusted" Ml-B series. In setting the Ml target, the Committee took account of the relatively rapid growth that had already taken place through the first part of December; it also recognized that interpretation of actual money growth may need to take account of the significance of fluctuations in NOW accounts, which have recently been growing relatively rapidly. The Chairman may call for Committee consultation if it appears to the Manager for Domestic Operations that pursuit of the monetary objectives and related reserve paths during the period before the next meeting is likely to be associated with a federal funds rate persistently outside a range of 10 to 14 percent. Authorization for Foreign Currency Operations In Effect January 1, 1982 1. The Federal Open Market Committee authorizes and directs the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, for System Open Market Account, to the extent necessary to carry out the Committee's foreign currency directive and express authorizations by the Committee pursuant thereto, and in conformity with such procedural instructions as the Committee may issue from time to time: A. To purchase and sell the following foreign currencies in the form of cable transfers through spot or forward transactions on the open market at home and abroad, including transactions with the U.S. Treasury, with the U.S. Exchange Stabilization Fund established by Section 10 of the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, with foreign monetary authorities, with the Bank for International Settlements, and with other international financial institutions: Austrian schillings Belgian francs Canadian dollars Danish kroner Pounds sterling French francs German marks Italian lire Japanese yen Mexican pesos Netherlands guilders Norwegian kroner Swedish kronor Swiss francs B. To hold balances of, and to have outstanding forward contracts to receive or to deliver, the foreign currencies listed in paragraph A above. C. To draw foreign currencies and to permit foreign banks to draw dollars under the reciprocal currency arrangements listed in paragraph 2 below, provided that drawings by either party to any such arrangement shall be fully liquidated within 12 months after any amount outstanding at that time was first drawn, unless the Committee, because of exceptional circumstances, specifically authorizes a delay. FOMC Policy Actions D. To maintain an overall open position in all foreign currencies not exceeding $8.0 billion. For this purpose, the overall open position in all foreign currencies is defined as the sum (disregarding signs) of net positions in individual currencies. The net position in a single foreign currency is defined as holdings of balances in that currency, plus outstanding contracts for future receipt, minus outstanding contracts for future delivery of that currency, i.e., as the sum of these elements with due regard to sign. 2. The Federal Open Market Committee directs the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to maintain reciprocal currency arrangements ("swap" arrangements) for the System Open Market Account for periods up to a maximum of 12 months with the following foreign banks, which are among those designated by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System under Section 214.5 of Regulation N, Relations with Foreign Banks and Bankers, and with the approval of the Committee to renew such arrangements on maturity: Foreign bank Amount of arrangement (millions of dollars equivalent) Austrian National Bank National Bank of Belgium Bank of Canada National Bank of Denmark Bank of England Bank of France German Federal Bank Bank of Italy Bank of Japan Bank of Mexico Netherlands Bank Bank of Norway Bank of Sweden Swiss National Bank Bank for International Settlements Dollars against Swiss francs Dollars against authorized European currencies other than Swiss francs 250 1,000 2,000 250 3,000 2,000 6,000 3,000 5,000 700 500 250 300 4,000 600 1,250 Any changes in the terms of existing swap arrangements, and the proposed terms of any new arrangements that may be authorized, shall be referred for review and approval to the Committee. 3. All transactions in foreign currencies undertaken under paragraph 1(A) above shall, unless otherwise expressly authorized by the Committee, be at prevailing market rates. For the purpose of provid 83 ing an investment return on System holdings of foreign currencies, or for the purpose of adjusting interest rates paid or received in connection with swap drawings, transactions with foreign central banks may be undertaken at nonmarket exchange rates. 4. It shall be the normal practice to arrange with foreign central banks for the coordination of foreign currency transactions. In making operating arrangements with foreign central banks of System holdings of foreign currencies, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York shall not commit itself to maintain any specific balance, unless authorized by the Federal Open Market Committee. Any agreements or understandings concerning the administration of the accounts maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York with the foreign banks designated by the Board of Governors under Section 214.5 of Regulation N shall be referred for review and approval to the Committee. 5. Foreign currency holdings shall be invested insofar as practicable, considering needs for minimum working balances. Such investments shall be in liquid form, and generally have no more than 12 months remaining to maturity. When appropriate in connection with arrangements to provide investment facilities for foreign currency holdings, U.S. Government securities may be purchased from foreign central banks under agreements for repurchase of such securities within 30 calendar days. 6. All operations undertaken pursuant to the preceding paragraphs shall be reported promptly to the Foreign Currency Subcommittee and the Committee. The Foreign Currency Subcommittee consists of the Chairman and Vice Chairman of the Committee, the Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors, and such other members of the Board as the Chairman may designate (or in the absence of members of the Board serving on the Subcommittee, other Board Members designated by the Chairman as alternates, and in the absence of the Vice Chairman of the Committee, his alternate). Meetings of the Subcommittee shall be called at the request of any member, or at the request of the Manager for Foreign Operations, for the purposes of reviewing recent or contemplated operations and of consult- 84 FOMC Policy Actions ing with the Manager on other matters relating to his responsibilities. At the request of any member of the Subcommittee, questions arising from such reviews and consultations shall be referred for determination to the Federal Open Market Committee. 7. The Chairman is authorized: A. With the approval of the Committee, to enter into any needed agreement or understanding with the Secretary of the Treasury about the division of responsibility for foreign currency operations between the System and the Treasury; B. To keep the Secretary of the Treasury fully advised concerning System foreign currency operations, and to consult with the Secretary on policy matters relating to foreign currency operations; C. From time to time, to transmit appropriate reports and information to the National Advisory Council on International Monetary and Financial Policies. 8. Staff officers of the Committee are authorized to transmit pertinent information on System foreign currency operations to appropriate officials of the Treasury Department. 9. All Federal Reserve Banks shall participate in the foreign currency operations for System Account in accordance with paragraph 3G(1) of the Board of Governors' Statement of Procedure with Respect to Foreign Relationships of Federal Reserve Banks dated January 1, 1944. Foreign Currency Directive In Effect January 1, 1982 1. System operations in foreign currencies shall generally be directed at count- ering disorderly market conditions, provided that market exchange rates for the U.S. dollar reflect actions and behavior consistent with the IMF Article IV, Section 1. 2. To achieve this end the System shall: A. Undertake spot and forward purchases and sales of foreign exchange. B. Maintain reciprocal currency ("swap") arrangements with selected foreign central banks and with the Bank for International Settlements. C. Cooperate in other respects with central banks of other countries and with international monetary institutions. 3. Transactions may also be undertaken: A. To adjust System balances in light of probable future needs for currencies. B. To provide means for meeting System and Treasury commitments in particular currencies, and to facilitate operations of the Exchange Stabilization Fund. C. For such other purposes as may be expressly authorized by the Committee. 4. System foreign currency operations shall be conducted: A. In close and continuous consultation and cooperation with the United States Treasury; B. In cooperation, as appropriate, with foreign monetary authorities; and C. In a manner consistent with the obligations of the United States in the International Monetary Fund regarding exchange arrangements under the IMF Article IV. FOMC Policy Actions Meeting Held on February 1-2, 1982 85 Sales of new domestic automobiles fell to an annual rate of 4.9 million units in December, the lowest Domestic Policy Directive monthly pace in 22 years. Auto sales picked up in the first few weeks of Preliminary estimates of the Com- January, but continued at an excepmerce Department indicated that tionally low rate. real gross national product had dePrivate housing starts rose 13 perclined at an annual rate of about 5]A cent in December from the depercent in the fourth quarter of 1981. pressed rate in November, but reAverage prices, as measured by the mained below an annual rate of 1 fixed-weight price index for gross million units. Nearly all of the indomestic business product, in- crease was in multifamily units. creased at an annual rate of about 7 Sales of existing homes picked up percent, much less rapidly than over somewhat in December, as had sales the first three quarters of the year. of new homes in November; neverDuring 1981, real GNP and nominal theless, total home sales in NovemGNP grew about 3A percent and 9lA ber were about one-third below their percent respectively, and the price year-earlier level. index referred to above rose about 9 The producer price index for finpercent. ished goods rose 0.3 percent in DeThe index of industrial production cember, compared with 0.5 percent fell 2.1 percent further in December, in November. During 1981 the index for a cumulative decline of about 7 rose 7 percent, compared with the percent over the last five months of increase of nearly 12 percent over 1981. The decline in December again 1980. Producer prices of consumer was broadly based, reflecting output foods rose only a little during 1981, reductions for nearly all major prod- and the rise in energy prices moderuct groupings, and it was particular- ated, as a surge early in the year ly sharp for durable consumer goods after decontrol of oil prices was foland both durable and nondurable lowed by some decline in the second goods materials. Available data, no- half. Producer prices of other contably for the automotive and steel sumer goods and capital equipment industries, suggested further produc- also rose less rapidly in 1981 than in 1980. The consumer price index rose tion cutbacks in January. Total nonfarm payroll employ- 0.4 percent in December; over the ment declined sharply in December year the index increased about 9 for the third consecutive month. Job percent, compared with a rise of losses in manufacturing continued about 12V2 percent over 1980. Insizable, totaling more than 700,000 creases were smaller in 1981 than in in the fourth quarter. The unemploy- 1980 for all major components of the ment rate rose an additional 0.5 per- index. The rise in the index of average centage point in December to 8.9 hourly earnings slowed considerably percent. The nominal value of retail sales in the final three months of 1981 increased somewhat further in De- from the pace earlier in the year. cember, but the level remained be- Over the year, the index rose about low the average for the third quarter. SVA percent, compared with an in 86 FOMC Policy Actions crease of about 9Vi percent over 1980. In foreign exchange markets the trade-weighted value of the dollar against major foreign currencies rose about 4 percent during January, reflecting primarily responses to the widening differential between U.S. and foreign interest rates. Foreign monetary authorities intervened considerably to resist the depreciation of their currencies. The U.S. trade deficit increased in the fourth quarter from the rate in the previous two quarters, as nonagricultural exports declined and non-oil imports rose. At its meeting on December 2122, 1981, the Committee had decided that open market operations in the period until this meeting should be directed toward behavior of reserve aggregates consistent with growth of Ml and M2 from November 1981 to March 1982 at annual rates of around 4 to 5 percent and around 9 to 10 percent respectively. In setting the objective for Ml, the Committee took account of the relatively rapid growth that had already taken place through the first part of December. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating consultation of the Committee between regularly scheduled meetings, was set at 10 to 14 percent. Ml grew at an annual rate of 11 !/2 percent in December and accelerated in January to a rate estimated to be above 20 percent. Expansion in checkable deposits other than demand accounts (other checkable deposits, or OCDs), which accounted for a substantial part of the acceleration of Ml growth in November and December, apparently was even more rapid in January. Growth of M2 moderated in December to an annual rate of about 73A percent, but picked up in January to a rate estimated at about 11 percent; the substantial growth over the two months reflected strength in the more liquid of the nontransaction components as well as in Ml. 1 Some evidence suggested that the disproportionate growth in NOW and similar accounts in recent months had resulted at least in part from a desire of individuals to hold liquid balances because of uncertainties about economic prospects and interest rates. The pace of monetary growth in December and January raised required reserves and generated demands for reserves considerably in excess of the volume supplied during 1. The growth rates cited are based on revised data for the monetary aggregates, reflecting new benchmarks and revised seasonal factors and some minor changes in the definition of M2, that were published on February 5. As redefined, M2 no longer includes institution-only money market mutual funds (which remain in M3) and includes retail repurchase agreements (RPs) in denominations of less than $100,000 (which were already in M3). The monetary aggregates are defined as follows: Ml comprises demand deposits at commercial banks and thrift institutions, currency in circulation, traveler's checks, negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts at banks and thrift institutions, and credit union share draft accounts. M2 contains Ml and savings and small-denomination time deposits at all depository institutions, overnight repurchase agreements (RPs) at commercial banks and retail RPs at all depository institutions, overnight Eurodollars held at Caribbean branches of member banks by U.S. residents other than banks, and money market mutual fund shares other than those restricted to institutions. M3 is M2 plus large-denomination time deposits at all depository institutions, large-denomination term RPs at commercial banks and savings and loan associations, and institution-only money market mutual funds. FOMC Policy Actions the intermeeting period through System open market operations. Consequently, borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks for purposes of adjusting reserve positions expanded sharply; borrowings averaged nearly $1.3 billion in the four statement weeks ending January 27, compared with an average of about $425 million in the four weeks ending December 23. The federal funds rate rose from around 121A percent in the days preceding the December meeting to about 14 percent in the days just before this meeting. Against a background of continued rapid growth in monetary aggregates and large prospective federal deficits, market interest rates had risen on balance since the Committee's meeting in December: shortterm rates increased about Wi to 2Vi percentage points and bond yields rose about Vi to 1 percentage point. The prime rate charged by most commercial banks on short-term business loans remained at 153/4 percent during the intermeeting interval. Average rates on new commitments for fixed-rate conventional home mortgage loans increased nearly 3A of a percentage point. Total credit at U.S. commercial banks, adjusted for shifts of assets from U.S. offices of banks to recently established international banking facilities (IBFs), expanded at an annual rate of about 11 percent in December.2 Growth in business loans accelerated substantially, and security, real estate, and consumer loans 2. International banking facilities began operations on December 3, 1981. The adjustment made in calculating growth in bank credit involved adding back assets estimated to have been transferred from U.S. banking offices to IBFs. 87 also registered sizable gains. From the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981, bank credit expanded S3A percent. Issuance of commercial paper by nonfinancial institutions was relatively strong in December, but slowed in early January. Staff projections presented at this meeting suggested that real GNP would decline further in the current quarter and then begin to recover in the second quarter. The unemployment rate was expected to increase to a peak in the second quarter, while inflation, as measured by the fixed-weight price index for gross domestic business product, was projected to slow further over the year. Views of Committee members concerning economic activity and prices during 1982 generally differed little from the staff projections. The members thought that recovery in activity most likely would begin before long, although they differed somewhat with regard to its probable strength. Their projections of growth in real GNP over the year ending in the fourth quarter of 1982 ranged from V2 percent to 3 percent. However, a number of members expressed concern about the risk that the recession might be prolonged by greater weakness in business capital investment than currently anticipated or by other developments. Members were unanimous in the view that the reduction in the rise in prices was likely to continue: their projections for the increase in the GNP implicit deflator over the year ranged from 6V2 to VIA percent, compared with a rise of about 8V2 percent over the year ending in the fourth quarter of 1981. At this meeting, the Committee completed the review, begun at the 88 FOMC Policy Actions meeting in December 1981, of the ranges for growth of monetary aggregates over the period from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 within the framework of the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978. At its meeting in July 1981, the Committee had reaffirmed the ranges for growth over the year ending in the fourth quarter of 1981 that it had set in early February. These ranges were 3 to 51/2 percent for Ml-A and V/i to 6 percent for Ml-B, abstracting from the impact of the introduction of NOW accounts on a nationwide basis; 6 to 9 percent for M2; and 6V2 to 9!/2 percent for M3. The associated range for growth of commercial bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. For the year ending in the fourth quarter of 1982, the Committee had tentatively agreed that growth of Ml, M2, and M3 within ranges of 2Vi to 5Vi percent, 6 to 9 percent, and 6V2 to 9Vi percent respectively would be appropriate.3 When the Committee reaffirmed the ranges for 1981 at its meeting in July, it recognized that the divergence in growth of the various monetary aggregates was proving to be considerably greater than had been anticipated at the beginning of the year, even after allowance for the effects of shifts into NOW accounts. Thus it was thought likely and desirable that growth of Ml-B over the 3. In looking ahead to 1982, it had been decided to abandon the compilation of Ml-A and the shift-adjusted Ml-B (that is, Ml-B adjusted to exclude that portion of flows into NOW accounts in 1981 estimated to have come from other interest-bearing assets rather than from demand deposits). The remaining aggregate for Ml is the one formerly labeled Ml-B, which includes the total amount of NOW accounts. year would be near the lower bound of its range and that growth of M2 and M3 might well be around the upper ends of their ranges. The divergence in behavior between the narrow monetary aggregate and the broader ones proved to be even greater than had been expected at midyear. From the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981, growth of Ml-B adjusted for shifts into NOW accounts was about 2!/4 percent, approximately VA percentage points below the lower end of its range. Growth in this aggregate over the year was slow in relation to growth of nominal GNP, as financial innovations and high interest rates induced changes in cash-management techniques. Growth of M2 and M3 over the year was about 9Vi percent and 11 ]A percent respectively, about Vi percentage point and VA percentage points above the upper ends of their ranges. The relatively strong growth of M2 reflected in part shifts of funds from market instruments to money market mutual funds and the expansion of small savers certificates at depository institutions in response to liberalization of interest rate ceilings; M3 grew more than M2 because of a substantial expansion in large-denomination CDs, as depository institutions increased their managed liabilities to support expansion in loans and investments. In contemplating ranges for 1982, the Committee continued to face unusual uncertainties concerning the forces affecting monetary growth. It seemed likely that the recent expansion in NOW accounts would prove to be mostly a temporary aberration in individuals' liquidity preferences and that the relationship between growth of money and of nominal FOMC Policy Actions GNP would be closer to historical patterns. The ongoing changes in financial technology, which had reduced demand for Ml for most of 1981, were generally presumed to have effects in 1982 consistent with earlier experience, unless such arrangements as "sweeps" of individual checking accounts into money market funds or other instruments became widespread. With respect to M2, growth could be augmented if the scheduled reduction in federal income taxes or other influences raised the personal saving rate or if depository institutions attracted an exceptionally large flow of funds into individual retirement accounts (IRAs) from sources not included in M2. In the Committee's discussion of ranges for monetary growth in 1982, the members were in agreement on the need to maintain the commitment to the long-standing goal of restraining growth of money and credit, thereby contributing to a further reduction in the rate of inflation and providing the basis for restoration of economic stability and sustainable growth in output. Nevertheless, members differed somewhat in their views concerning the particular ranges most appropriate for the year. For Ml, most members favored reaffirming the range of 2!/2 to 5Vi percent that had been tentatively adopted at the meeting in July 1981. One member advocated a somewhat higher range, with a view to promoting more growth of real GNP and a lower rate of unemployment. In addition, some sentiment was expressed for retaining the range of 2Vi to 5!/2 percent but taking the base level of Ml in the fourth quarter of 1981 to be the lower end of the 89 Committee's range for last year. Such an adjustment of the base would in effect recognize that the recent burst in growth of Ml had brought its level more in line with the lower end of the 1981 range and, unless the burst proved to be temporary, could provide a more appropriate starting point. Members differed somewhat more in their views concerning the broader monetary aggregates. Most desired to reaffirm the tentative range of 6 to 9 percent adopted last July. However, a substantial number initially favored specification of slightly higher ranges, largely because of their assessments of the likely impact of various developments that would tend to raise growth of M2 relative to that of Ml. One member suggested that in pursuit of its objectives during the course of the year the Committee give more weight to M2 than to Ml, because of the volatility of the behavior of the narrower aggregate in the short run reflecting, among other things, the response of NOW accounts to changing liquidity preferences and interest rates. More generally, it was felt that considerable weight should be given to M2 in interpreting developments during the year. At the conclusion of the discussion, the Committee decided to reaffirm the ranges for 1982 that had been tentatively established in mid1981. Thus the Committee adopted the following ranges for growth of the monetary aggregates from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982: for Ml, 2Vi to 5Vi percent; for M2, 6 to 9 percent; and for M3, 6!/2 to 9!/2 percent. The associated range for commercial bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. In setting the range for Ml, the 90 FOMC Policy Actions Committee recognized that the recent rapid increase in that aggregate placed it in January well above the average in the fourth quarter of 1981 but that it was too early to judge conclusively the extent to which the upsurge reflected temporary influences rather than a basic change in the amount of money needed to finance growth of nominal GNP. On the assumption that the relationship between growth of Ml and the expansion of nominal GNP was likely to be closer to normal than it had been in 1981, the Committee contemplated that growth of Ml in 1982 might acceptably be in the upper part of its range. The lower part of the range was considered appropriate to allow for the possibility that institutional or regulatory changes would speed the process of economizing on the cash balances included in Ml. The Committee also contemplated that growth of M2 was likely to be high within its range, although growth still would be somewhat below that in 1981. However, growth of M2 might appropriately reach or even slightly exceed the upper end of its range if personal savings grew much more rapidly in relation to income than anticipated or if depository institutions attracted an exceptionally large flow of funds into IRAs from sources outside measured M2. In light of the unusual growth of NOW accounts in recent weeks, it was emphasized that the Committee might wish to reconsider the range for Ml should evidence suggest a more lasting change in individuals' liquidity preferences; in any event, it would reconsider the ranges in July within the framework of the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978. The Committee adopted the following ranges for growth in the monetary aggregates for the period from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982: Ml, Vh to 51/2 percent; M2, 6 to 9 percent; and M3, 6I/2 to 9Vi percent. The associated range for bank credit is 6 to 9 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Boehne, Boykin, Corrigan, Gramley, Keehn, Partee, Rice, Schultz, and Wallich. Vote against this action: Mrs. Teeters. Mrs. Teeters dissented from this action because she believed that somewhat higher monetary growth over the year ahead was needed to promote adequate expansion in economic activity and a reduction in the rate of unemployment. Specifically, she favored a range for Ml that was at least Vi percentage point higher than that adopted by the Committee and a range for M2 that provided for somewhat greater growth in the broader aggregate relative to that in Ml. In contemplating its objectives for monetary growth over the remainder of the first quarter of the new year, the Committee took account of the very rapid rise in Ml in recent months, especially in January. Given the apparent persistence of slow growth in nominal GNP in the first quarter, it seemed quite likely that the demand for money would abate substantially over the months ahead. Even if Ml grew no further from January to March, its income velocity on the average for the first quarter could well decline at a postwar record rate. While some decline in Ml seemed desirable, the Committee did not feel that much stronger measures than those already in place would be necessary or appropriate in FOMC Policy Actions the period immediately ahead to force such a decline. Against this background, the Committee decided to seek behavior of reserve aggregates associated with no further growth of Ml from January to March and with growth of M2 at an annual rate of around 8 percent, with a view to bringing growth of both aggregates over time into their longer-run target ranges for the year. It was also agreed that some decline in Ml, which would be associated with a faster return to its longer-run range, would be acceptable in the context of reduced pressure in the money market. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating consultation of the Committee, was set at 12 to 16 percent. The following domestic policy directive was issued to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York: The information reviewed at this meeting indicates that real GNP declined appreciably in the fourth quarter of 1981 and that prices on the average rose much less rapidly than over the first three quarters of the year. In December industrial production and nonfarm payroll employment declined sharply for the third consecutive month, and the unemployment rate rose an additional 0.5 percentage point to 8.9 percent. The nominal value of retail sales increased somewhat further, but the level was still below the average for the third quarter. Although housing starts expanded, they remained at a depressed level. The rise in the index of average hourly earnings was considerably less rapid over the fourth quarter of 1981 than on the average earlier in the year. The weighted average value of the dollar against major foreign currencies rose substantially during January; foreign monetary authorities intervened considerably to resist the depreciation of their currencies. In the fourth quarter the 91 U.S. foreign trade deficit increased from the rate in the previous two quarters. Ml grew rapidly in December and January, reflecting in part rapid expansion in checkable deposits other than demand accounts. Growth of M2 also was substantial, owing to strength in the more liquid of the nontransaction components as well as in Ml. Short-term market interest rates and bond yields on balance have risen further in recent weeks, and mortgage interest rates have also increased. The Federal Open Market Committee seeks to foster monetary and financial conditions that will help to reduce inflation, promote a resumption of growth in output on a sustainable basis, and contribute to a sustainable pattern of international transactions. The Committee agreed that its objectives would be furthered by growth of Ml, M2, and M3 from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 within ranges of 2xh !to 5V2 percent, 6 to 9 percent, and 6V2 to 9 /2 percent respectively. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. The Committee seeks behavior of reserve aggregates over the balance of the quarter consistent with bringing Ml and M2 over time into their longer-run target ranges for the year. Taking account of the recent surge in growth of Ml, the Committee seeks no further growth in Ml for the January-to-March period and growth in M2 at an annual rate of around 8 percent. Some decline in Ml would be associated with more rapid attainment of the longer-run range and would be acceptable in the context of reduced pressure in the money market. The Chairman may call for Committee consultation if it appears to the Manager for Domestic Operations that pursuit of the monetary objectives and related reserve paths during the period before the next meeting is likely to be associated with a federal funds rate persistently outside a range of 12 to 16 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Boehne, Boykin, Corrigan, Gramley, Keehn, Partee, Rice, Schultz, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Wallich. Votes against this action: None. 92 FOMC Policy Actions Meeting Held on March 29-30, 1982 1. Domestic Policy Directive The information reviewed at this meeting suggested that real GNP, which had declined at an annual rate of 4!/2 percent in the fourth quarter of 1981, fell appreciably further in the first quarter of this year. However, the level of final purchases in real terms was sustained, and the contraction in activity apparently moderated during the quarter. Average prices, as measured by the fixedweight price index for gross domestic business product, were estimated to have risen much less than the annual rate of 7.5 percent in the preceding quarter. The index of industrial production rose 1.6 percent in February, after a decline of 2.5 percent in January that was accounted for partly by severe winter weather. Although curtailments in output continued early this year, the rate of decline in industrial production from December to February was notably smaller than in the last four months of 1981. Like industrial production, nonfarm payroll employment in February recovered some of its January decline. Over the two months the average monthly decline amounted to a little less than 100,000, compared with an average of about 300,000 in the fourth quarter. The unemployment rate in February, at 8.8 percent, was the same as in December. The nominal value of retail sales, also distorted in January by the unusually severe weather, rebounded in February to about the level in December. Almost all categories of retail sales increased in February after having declined in January. Unit sales of new domestic automobiles rose to an annual rate of 6.2 million in February, buoyed by rebates and other price concessions; unit sales dropped in the first few weeks of March despite the continuation of purchase-incentive programs, but remained above the depressed fourth-quarter rate. The Department of Commerce survey of business spending plans taken in January and February suggested that current-dollar expenditures for plant and equipment in 1982 would be about IVA percent greater than in 1981. The results implied a year-to-year decline of about 1 percent in real terms. Private housing starts edged up in January and February from their unusually depressed pace in the fourth quarter of 1981, but the annual rate in February remained less than 1 million units for the seventh consecutive month. Sales of new and existing houses fell in January, reflecting the adverse weather conditions in many areas of the country in addition to the high level of mortgage interest rates; sales of existing homes picked up in February, but sales of new homes declined markedly further. The rise in both producer and consumer prices moderated substantially in the first two months of the year. The producer price index for finished goods declined 0.1 percent in February, after a rise of 0.4 percent in January. Reductions in energy prices and rebates on motor vehicles contributed to the February decline in producer prices and to a deceleration in consumer prices as well. The consumer price index rose only 0.3 percent and 0.2 percent in January and February respectively. The rise in the index of average hourly earn- FOMC Policy Actions ings over the first two months of the year remained at a reduced pace. In foreign exchange markets the trade-weighted value of the dollar against major foreign currencies rose about 4 percent further in February and March, partly reflecting a widening of the differential between U.S. and foreign interest rates during much of the intermeeting interval. However, the differential narrowed somewhat toward the end of the period. Monetary authorities of some foreign countries intervened on a substantial scale to resist the depreciation of their currencies. The U.S. foreign trade deficit in January and February was somewhat less on average than in the fourth quarter, reflecting declines in imports of both oil and non-oil products. Exports also declined further from the fourth-quarter rate. At its meeting on February 1-2, 1982, the Committee had adopted the following ranges for growth of the monetary aggregates over the period from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982: Ml, 2Vi to 51/2 percent; M2, 6 to 9 percent; and M3, 6'/2 to 91/2 percent. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. At the February meeting, the Committee recognized that rapid monetary growth over the recent months had placed both Ml and M2 in January above the ranges adopted for growth over the year. Consequently, the Committee had also decided that open market operations in the period until this meeting should be directed toward behavior of reserve aggregates over the balance of the first quarter consistent with bringing growth of Ml and M2 over time into their longer-run target ranges. For the period from January 93 to March, the Committee sought no further growth in Ml and growth in M2 at an annual rate of around 8 percent. It was also agreed that some decline in Ml, which would be associated with a faster return to its longer-run range, would be acceptable in the context of reduced pressure in the money market. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating consultation of the Committee, was set at 12 to 16 percent. After having grown rapidly for three months, Ml declined at an annual rate of about 33A percent in February and expanded only a little in early March. A substantial contraction in demand deposits accounted for the decline in February, as flows into other checkable deposits continued strong. Growth of M2 slowed to an annual rate of 4lA percent in February, reflecting a slackening of the expansion in its nontransaction component as well as the decline in Ml, but partial data suggested that growth accelerated in March. Nonborrowed reserves declined substantially in February and then turned up in March; in the statement week ending March 24, such reserves remained somewhat below the average for the month of January. Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks for purposes of adjusting reserve positions averaged a little less than $1.1 billion in the four statement weeks ending March 24 compared with an average of $1.2 billion in four weeks ending January 27, although such borrowings averaged nearly $1.5 billion in the intervening four weeks. The federal funds rate, which had been about 14 percent in the days 94 FOMC Policy Actions preceding the February meeting, generally fluctuated in a range of 133/4 to 15!/2 percent during the subsequent intermeeting period. Most other short-term market interest rates declined Vz to 1 percentage point on balance over the intermeeting interval and long-term yields fell about Vi to VA percentage point. The prime rate charged by most commercial banks on short-term business loans, which had been raised from 153/4 to I6V2 percent on February 2, was unchanged during the remainder of the intermeeting period. Average rates on new commitments for fixedrate home mortgage loans moved down nearly Vi percentage point to about 17 percent. Total credit outstanding at U.S. commercial banks, adjusted for shifts of assets to IBFs, expanded at an average annual rate of about 11 percent in January and February, the same as in December. Growth in total loans picked up in February, and expansion in business loans continued sizable in both months. Issuance of commercial paper by nonfinancial institutions was quite strong in February. Staflf projections presented at this meeting suggested that real GNP would begin to recover in the second quarter and would expand moderately over the balance of 1982. The unemployment rate was expected to reach a peak in the second quarter, while inflation, as measured by the fixed-weight price index for gross domestic business product, was projected to slow somewhat further over the year. Views of Committee members concerning the most probable direction of economic activity and the behavior of prices in the remaining three quarters of 1982 generally dif fered little from the staflf projections, but several members emphasized the unusual uncertainties that could produce a different result. The prospective cut in federal income taxes at midyear and the current expansion in defense orders and outlays, together with a reduction or a reversal of inventory liquidation, were expected to contribute to economic recovery before long; but whether recovery would begin as early as in the second quarter was questioned, in part because a number of sensitive indicators of activity had continued to point to weakness. Concern was also expressed that continuing deterioration in both agriculture and nonagricultural industries and regions might dampen some types of consumer expenditures and overall outlays for plant and equipment. Moreover, there was a general feeling that the recovery could be more restrained than in earlier cycles, partly because financial stringency and high interest rates had prevailed for so long. With respect to inflation, progress recently had been greater than expected, and some further reduction in the underlying trend of costs and prices was thought likely; current price indicators were expected to show particularly small increases for some months. The Committee considered objectives for monetary growth over the period from March to June in light of several circumstances bearing on the recent and prospective behavior of the monetary aggregates. It appeared that growth of both Ml and M2 from January to March would be close to the rates that the Committee had specified for that period. Consistent with the targets established for the year, however, slower growth than in the first quarter as a FOMC Policy Actions whole would be needed in the remaining quarters. The level of M2 in March appeared close to the upper end of its longer-run range. A staff analysis suggested that the demand for money in the three months through June might be expected to moderate significantly from its growth in the first quarter. Growth of Ml on average in the first quarter had been considerably greater than would have been predicted on the basis of the actual behavior of nominal GNP and interest rates; the income velocity of Ml had declined very sharply after a small decline in the last quarter of 1981. Velocity declines of this magnitude and duration have been rare in the postwar period, and they were particularly unusual in the absence of declines in short-term interest rates. The great bulk of the first-quarter growth of Ml had occurred in NOW accounts, suggesting that individuals wished to hold increased liquid balances in an environment of considerable uncertainty about the prospects for economic activity and interest rates. That interpretation was supported by renewed growth over recent months in highly liquid savings deposits that had relatively low yields. In the course of the second quarter, the accumulated liquidity balances might be drawn down to some extent, either for spending or for investing in other assets, especially if the economy strengthened and uncertainties were reduced. Thus at some point, relatively slow growth of Ml, consistent with a fairly prompt return to its longer-run range, could be associated with a substantial rise in velocity. Should the recently increased preference for liquidity be more enduring, somewhat greater growth in Ml over time 95 might be needed to foster economic recovery. The task of judging the trend in Ml and of implementing monetary policy in the period immediately ahead would be complicated by problems involved in assessing the pattern of monetary growth during the early part of the second quarter. Calculation of seasonal adjustments for that part of the year is particularly difficult because of large tax payments, differences in the speed of their processing, and uncertainties about the size of tax refunds. The behavior of Ml is also affected by the extent to which funds accumulated in anticipation of tax payments are held in Ml deposits or, for example, in money market mutual funds. Seasonal factors allow for a large rise in unadjusted Ml in April. However, the computation of the seasonal factors for the month has been complicated by the sharp variation in growth patterns in April for the past two years and by the related difficulties of isolating the impact of such nonrecurring influences as the credit control program in 1980 from possible shifts in the seasonal influences over time. Thus, inherent difficulties in the seasonal adjustment process as well as the usual uncertainties related to large tax payments and refunds raised the possibility that, while aiming at a second-quarter deceleration in monetary growth, allowance would need to be made for some bulge of growth in April. Given the uncertainties about the near-term economic prospects as well as about the technical and other factors affecting the monetary aggregates, almost all members of the Committee felt that it would be desirable to set a course for the second quarter as a whole designed to per- 96 FOMC Policy Actions mit modest growth of Ml, consistent with moving toward the longer-run growth objective over a period of time. Considerable attention was paid to evaluating the significance of recent behavior of NOW accounts. In the Committee's decision, the point was made that the growth of Ml since October could be traced almost entirely to extraordinarily rapid growth in NOW accounts. A number of factors suggested that the growth of NOW accounts, as well as the accompanying growth in savings accounts, reflected a desire of individuals to hold more highly liquid assets, at least temporarily, in the light of uncertainties about economic activity and interest rates. Growth in demand deposits, which are held by businesses as well as by individuals, had been sluggish. Moreover, growth of the larger M2 aggregate, especially since December, appeared generally in line with the Committee's expectations. Liquid balances accumulated in NOW accounts might be drawn upon in the second quarter, but if they were not, an effort to return Ml to its longer-run range might imply a more restrictive policy than was intended or would be desirable. It was suggested that if individuals evidenced a continuing desire to hold large liquid balances, the Committee would need to consider the implications of such a shift in liquidity preference for its range of growth of Ml over 1982. At the same time, it was noted that growth of Ml over a longer period extending back into 1981 understated the expansion of transaction balances to the extent that the accumulation of shares in money market mutual funds represented such balances. Partly for that reason, some members suggested that a stronger effort to reduce growth of Ml would be desirable to maintain pressure for continuation of the reduction in the rate of inflation. Considering the pattern of growth in the period ahead and the seasonal uncertainties, most members believed that the behavior of Ml in April should be evaluated partly in light of the behavior of M2. Thus, for example, relatively rapid growth of Ml in April should be more readily accepted if M2 appeared to be growing at a pace consistent with the Committee's expectations for growth over the year. Should Ml growth in April be relatively rapid, offsetting behavior in the ensuing months would be expected. At the same time, sentiment was expressed for prompt efforts to contain an undue bulge in growth of Ml in April, on the grounds that the absence of such efforts would be interpreted as a weakening of the Committee's anti-inflationary stance and could have adverse consequences in longterm bond markets. At the conclusion of the discussion, the Committee decided to seek behavior of reserve aggregates associated with growth of Ml and M2 from March to June at annual rates of about 3 percent and 8 percent respectively. It was understood that most, if not all, of the expansion in Ml over the period might well occur in April, and within limits, an April bulge in Ml alone should not be strongly resisted. In any event, it was agreed that deviations from those targets should be evaluated in light of the probability that over the period, M2 would be less affected than Ml by deposit shifts related to the mid-April tax date and by changes in the relative importance of NOW accounts as a savings vehicle. FOMC Policy Actions Some shortfall in growth of Ml, consistent with progress toward the upper part of the range for the year as a whole, would be acceptable in the context of appreciably reduced pressures in the money market and relative strength of other aggregates. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating further consultation of the Committee, was set at 12 to 16 percent. The following domestic policy directive was issued to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York: The information reviewed at this meeting suggests that real GNP declined appreciably further in the first quarter of 1982 but that final purchases were sustained and the contraction in activity moderated during the quarter; prices on the average rose much less rapidly than in the preceding quarter. In January weakness in activity was accentuated by unusually severe weather, and in February the nominal value of retail sales rebounded while industrial production and nonfarm payroll employment recovered part of their January declines. The unemployment rate in February, at 8.8 percent, was unchanged from December. Although housing starts rose further in the first two months of the year, they remained at a depressed level. The rise in both the consumer price index and the producer price index for finished goods moderated substantially, and the advance in the index of average hourly earnings on the average remained at a reduced pace. The weighted average value of the dollar against major foreign currencies continued to rise strongly in February and March; foreign monetary authorities intervened on a substantial scale to resist the depreciation of their currencies. The U.S. foreign trade deficit in January and February on the average was somewhat less than the fourth-quarter rate. Ml declined in February, after three months of rapid growth, and then increased moderately in early March. Growth of M2 slowed appreciably in February, owing to a slackening of the 97 expansion in the nontransaction component as well as to the decline in Ml. Short-term market interest rates and bond yields on balance have declined since early February, and mortgage interest rates have edged down. The Federal Open Market Committee seeks to foster monetary and financial conditions that will help to reduce inflation, promote a resumption of growth in output on a sustainable basis, and contribute to a sustainable pattern of international transactions. At its meeting in early February, the Committee agreed that its objectives would be furthered by growth of Ml, M2, and M3 from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 within ranges of 2Vi to 5!/2 percent, 6 to 9 percent, and 6V2 to W2 percent respectively. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. In the short run, the Committee seeks behavior of reserve aggregates consistent with growth of Ml and M2 from March to June at annual rates of about 3 percent and 8 percent respectively. The Committee also noted that deviations from these targets should be evaluated in light of the probability that M2 would be less affected over the period than Ml by deposit shifts related to the tax date and by changes in the relative importance of NOW accounts as a savings vehicle. Some shortfall in growth of Ml, consistent with progress toward the upper part of the range for the year as a whole, would be acceptable in the context of appreciably reduced pressures in the money market and relative strength of other aggregates. The Chairman may call for Committee consultation if it appears to the Manager for Domestic Operations that pursuit of the monetary objectives and related reserve paths during the period before the next meeting is likely to be associated with a federal funds rate persistently outside a range of 12 to 16 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Ford, Gramley, Partee, Rice, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Winn. Votes against this action: Messrs. Black and Wallich. Messrs. Black and Wallich dissented from this action because they 98 FOMC Policy Actions favored specification of somewhat lower rates for monetary growth from March to June than those adopted by the Committee, which would be associated with a relatively prompt return of Ml growth to its range for the year. Mr. Black believed that continued growth of Ml above its longer-run range for any extended period would adversely affect economic activity by exacerbating inflationary expectations and weakening markets for longer-term securities; for that reason, he felt that it was particularly important to resist any surge in growth of Ml that might develop in April. In Mr. Wallich's opinion, it would be desirable to restrain the pace of the prospective recovery in economic activity, consistent with some reduction in the unemployment rate, to sustain a degree of pressure for continuation of the reduction in the underlying rate of inflation. 2. Review of Continuing Authorizations At this, the first regular meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee following the election of new members from the Federal Reserve Banks to serve for the year beginning March 1, 1982, the Committee followed its customary practice of reviewing all of its continuing authorizations and directives. The Committee reaffirmed the authorization for domestic open market operations, the authorization for foreign currency operations, the foreign currency directive, and the procedural instructions with respect to foreign currency operations in the forms in which they were currently outstanding. Votes for these actions: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Black, Ford, Gramley, Partee, Rice, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Wallich and Winn. Votes against these actions: None. In reviewing the authorization for domestic open market operations, the Committee took special note of paragraph 3, which authorizes the Reserve Banks to engage in the lending of U.S. government securities held in the System Open Market Account under such instructions as the Committee might specify from time to time. That paragraph had been added to the authorization on October 7, 1969, on the basis of a judgment by the Committee that such lending of securities was reasonably necessary to the effective conduct of open market operations and to the implementation of open market policies, and on the understanding that the authorization would be reviewed periodically. At this meeting the Committee concurred in the judgment of the Manager for Domestic Operations that the lending activity in question remained reasonably necessary and that the authorization should remain in effect on a continuing basis, with the understanding that the manager would monitor the lending operation closely and would recommend discontinuing it in the event that it was no longer reasonably necessary to the effective conduct of open market operations. 3. Agreement with Treasury to Warehouse Foreign Currencies At its meeting on January 17-18, 1977, the Committee had agreed to a suggestion by the Treasury that the Federal Reserve undertake to FOMC Policy Actions "warehouse" foreign currencies— that is, to make spot purchases of foreign currencies from the Exchange Stabilization Fund and simultaneously to make forward sales of the same currencies at the same exchange rate to the ESF. Pursuant to that agreement, the Committee had agreed that the Federal Reserve would be prepared to warehouse for the Treasury or for the ESF up to $5 billion of eligible foreign currencies. At this meeting the Committee reaffirmed the agreement on the terms adopted on March 18, 1980, with the understanding that it would be subject to annual review. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Black, Ford, Gramley, Partee, Rice, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Wallich and Winn. Votes against this action: None. 4. Authorization for Domestic Open Market Operations On April 13-14, 1982, members of the Committee voted to increase from $3 billion to $5 billion the limit on changes between Committee meetings in System Account holdings of U.S. government and federal agency securities specified in paragraph l(a) of the authorization for domestic open market operations, effective immediately, for the period ending with the close of business on May 18, 1982. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Black, Gramley, Martin, Partee, Rice, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Wallich, Winn, and Roos. Votes against this action: None. Mr. Roos voted as alternate for Mr. Ford. This action was taken on recommendation of the Manager for Domestic Operations. The Manager 99 had advised that since the March meeting, large-scale net purchases of securities had been undertaken to counter the effects on member bank reserves of increases in currency in circulation and in Treasury balances at Federal Reserve Banks. The amount of these purchases was approaching $3 billion, leaving no leeway for further purchases over the current intermeeting interval. It appeared likely that sizable additional purchases would be required in the period ahead because of a projected further rise in Treasury balances associated with expansion in tax receipts. On April 26-27, the Committee voted to approve an additional increase of $1 billion, to $6 billion, in the intermeeting limit on changes in holdings of U.S. government and federal agency securities, after the Manager had advised that the rise in Treasury balances at Federal Reserve Banks apparently would be considerably larger than anticipated earlier. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Black, Martin, Partee, Rice, Mrs. Teeters, Messrs. Wallich, Winn, Guflfey, and Roos. Votes against this action: None. Absent: Mr. Gramley. Messrs. Guffey and Roos voted as alternates for Messrs. Balles and Ford respectively. Meeting Held on May 18, 1982 The information reviewed at this meeting suggested that real GNP would change little in the current quarter after declining at annual rates of about 4 percent in the first quarter, according to preliminary estimates of the Commerce Department, and Axh percent in the fourth 100 FOMC Policy Actions quarter of 1981. In the current quarter, business inventory liquidation appeared to be moderating from the first quarter's extraordinary rate. The rise in average prices, as measured by the fixed-weight price index for gross domestic business product, appeared to be slowing somewhat further from the annual rate of about 5Vi percent in the first quarter indicated by the preliminary estimates. The nominal value of retail sales increased appreciably in April, according to the advance report, following little change on average over the first quarter. The advance report indicated especially strong sales gains in the automotive group, at stores selling building materials and related items, and at furniture and appliance stores. Unit sales of new domestic automobiles were at an annual rate of 5.5 million units compared with a rate of nearly 6 million in March and in the first quarter as a whole; unit sales picked up appreciably in early May, buoyed by new purchase-incentive programs. The index of industrial production fell 0.6 percent in April, following a decline of 0.8 percent in March. In both months output of business equipment, construction supplies, and durable goods materials declined substantially, while production of consumer durable goods rose markedly. In April, industrial output was 8V2 percent below its prerecession peak in July 1981. Nonfarm payroll employment declined in March and April, reflecting continued sizable job losses in manufacturing and construction and smaller losses in other major sectors. The unemployment rate rose an additional 0.4 percentage point in April to 9.4 percent. Private housing starts edged up in March for the fifth consecutive month, but at an annual rate still below 1 million units, they remained depressed. Sales of new homes declined further, while sales of existing homes picked up slightly. The producer price index for finished goods changed little in March and April. Prices of energy-related items declined substantially in March and fell even more sharply in April. Prices of other nonfood consumer goods and of capital equipment rose in both months, and prices of foods and food materials rose sharply in April following little change in March. The consumer price index declined 0.3 percent in March, largely because of substantial reductions in costs of gasoline and homeownership, but declines in food prices also had a moderating influence. Thus far in 1982, both the producer price index for finished goods and the consumer price index have risen at annual rates of 1 percent or less on balance, and the advance in the index of average hourly earnings has remained at a reduced pace. In foreign exchange markets the trade-weighted value of the dollar against major foreign currencies rose somewhat further in early April but then fell about VA percent over the following month, reflecting in part a decline in U.S. interest rates relative to foreign rates and market expectations of further declines. The U.S. foreign trade deficit was about onethird less in the first quarter than in the preceding quarter, as imports fell more sharply than exports. At its meeting on March 29-30, the Committee had decided that open market operations in the period until this meeting should be directed FOMC Policy Actions toward behavior of reserve aggregates consistent with growth of Ml and M2 from March to June at annual rates of about 3 percent and 8 percent respectively. It was understood that most, if not all, of the expansion in Ml over the period might well occur in April, and within limits, an April bulge in Ml alone should not be strongly resisted. In any event, it was agreed that deviations from those targets should be evaluated in light of the probability that over the period M2 would be less affected than Ml by deposit shifts related to the mid-April tax date and by changes in the relative importance of NOW accounts as a savings vehicle. Some shortfall in growth of Ml, consistent with progress toward the upper part of the range for the year as a whole, would be acceptable in the context of appreciably reduced pressures in the money market and the relative strength of other aggregates. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating further consultation of the Committee, was set at 12 to 16 percent. Growth of Ml accelerated to an annual rate of I PA percent in April from 2!/2 percent in March. But the expansion was concentrated in the first half of the month and was largely retraced by month-end. As in other recent months, checkable deposits other than demand deposits (OCDs) posted a sizable increase. Growth of M2 moderated to an annual rate of about 9V2 percent in April from 1114 percent in March, reflecting a slackening in the expansion of its nontransaction component. Total credit outstanding at U.S. commercial banks grew at an annual 101 rate of 73A percent in April, about the same as in March. Banks added substantially to their holdings of Treasury securities, but expansion in their total loans, including business loans, moderated somewhat further. Business borrowing from other sources also moderated, as issuance of commercial paper by nonfinancial businesses slowed substantially and offerings of corporate securities declined. Nonborrowed reserves, adjusted to include special borrowing and other extended credit from Federal Reserve Banks, changed little in April. Virtually all of the increase in total reserves associated with the expansion of Ml was provided through the discount window. Borrowing from Federal Reserve Banks for purposes of adjusting reserve positions (including seasonal borrowing) rose to an average of $1.5 billion in the two statement weeks ending April 28 from a weekly average of about $1.2 billion in March and the first half of April. Such borrowing subsequently fell back to an average of about $1.1 billion in the two weeks ending May 12. The federal funds rate, which had been about 15 percent at the time of the March meeting, generally fluctuated in a narrow range of about 143A to 15!/2 percent during the subsequent intermeeting period. Most other short-term interest rates fell Vi to 1 percentage point on balance over the intermeeting interval, and longterm yields registered similar declines. The prime rate charged by commercial banks on short-term business loans remained at the I6V2 percent rate that has prevailed since early February. Average rates on new commitments for fixed-rate mortgage loans at savings and loan 102 FOMC Policy Actions associations declined slightly, to about 163/4 percent. During the meeting the Committee was apprised of developments in the market for U.S. government securities stemming from the failure of a securities firm to make sizable interest payments that were due on borrowed Treasury obligations. System officials were monitoring the situation closely and it was understood that they would continue to do so. Staff projections at this meeting suggested that real GNP would expand moderately over the balance of 1982. Inflation, as measured by the fixed-weight price index for gross domestic business product, was projected to remain moderate while the unemployment rate was expected to remain near its April level. Views of Committee members concerning prospects for economic activity and the behavior of prices generally differed little from the staff projections. However, several members commented that the risks of a deviation from the projections were on the downside; they noted reports of gloomy sentiment prevailing among businessmen and consumers and of financial strains being experienced by many business firms, financial institutions, farmers, and consumers. Reduced economic activity and high interest rates were adversely affecting profits and eroding financial positions; the impact on key sectors of the economy such as capital investment, housing, and spending on consumer durables could impede the recovery. A few members gave more emphasis to elements of strength in the near-term outlook, which they believed reduced the risks of prolonged recession and enhanced the prospects for a near-term recovery in economic activity. The favorable factors included the large tax cut at midyear and the concurrent increase in social security payments. In addition, liquidation of business inventories, which had been of unusual proportions in recent months, was likely to be reduced or reversed, thereby contributing to economic recovery. It was also suggested that spending in interest-sensitive sectors of the economy was likely to revive, perhaps more quickly than many anticipated, if inflation remained relatively moderate and interest rates declined. It was emphasized during the discussion that a key element in the economic outlook would be developments affecting the federal budget and the size of future deficits. Significant progress in reducing prospective deficits would serve to improve business and consumer confidence and help to achieve and maintain the lower interest rates necessary to support a sustained economic recovery. It was noted during the discussion that considerable progress had been made in the fight against inflation. Although the major price indexes overstated the extent of the recent improvement, the underlying rate of inflation was down substantially and cost pressures in general appeared to be continuing to ease. Inflationary expectations also appeared to have moderated somewhat further, but they remained sensitive to developments in the fiscal and monetary policy areas. At its meeting on February 1-2, 1982, the Committee had adopted the following ranges for growth of the monetary aggregates over the period from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982: FOMC Policy Actions Ml, 2V2 to 5Vi percent; M2, 6 to 9 percent; and M3, 6V2 to 9Vi percent. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. At this meeting the Committee reviewed the short-run objectives for monetary growth that it had established in late March calling for expansion at annual rates of about 3 percent for Ml and about 8 percent for M2 over the three months from March to June. The Committee took note of a staff analysis suggesting that, despite the bulge in April as a whole, growth of Ml was generally consistent with the objective for the three-month period, reflecting weakness in late April and early May. Thus the level of Ml, although still above a path consistent with the Committee's range for growth from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982, had moved down toward that path somewhat more rapidly than had been anticipated earlier. Growth of M2 also appeared to be consistent with the Committee's objective for the March-to-June period, and the level of that aggregate remained close to the upper end of its range for 1982. As at the previous meeting, staff analysis suggested that the demand for money, as defined by Ml, might moderate significantly in the current quarter. In the first quarter, growth of Ml had been considerably greater on average than would have been expected on the basis of the actual behavior of nominal GNP and interest rates; as a result, the income velocity of Ml had shown an unusually large decline. The great bulk of the growth in Ml in the first quarter, and indeed in the period since October 1981, had occurred in its NOW account component. A variety of evidence suggested an increased 103 preference on the part of individuals to accumulate highly liquid balances in an environment of considerable uncertainty about prospects for economic activity and interest rates. It was thought that in the course of the current quarter the strong savings or precautionary demands for liquid balances were likely to begin to moderate, and perhaps to unwind, if economic prospects appeared to be improving as projected and if uncertainties about financial conditions were reduced. While considerable uncertainties remained, the behavior of NOW accounts in late April and early May was consistent with that expectation. The staff analysis also suggested that continued pursuit of the secondquarter objectives for monetary growth set at the preceding meeting and the related provision of reserves through open market operations would be consistent with at least modest easing in bank reserve positions. Such easing in turn could be reflected in some decline in shortterm interest rates. Rates appeared high, considering the recession in activity, the slower rise in prices, and more technically, the degree of pressure on bank reserve positions. During the Committee's review of its second-quarter objectives, almost all the members agreed that growth rates consistent with those adopted at the previous meeting remained appropriate under current economic and financial conditions. Some sentiment was expressed for moderately faster monetary growth in the current quarter with the objective of improving liquidity and easing financial pressures, but no member favored substantially faster monetary expansion. Pursuit of the latter policy course, it was suggested, would 104 FOMC Policy Actions probably exacerbate inflationary expectations, especially in light of the outlook for large deficits in the federal budget, and thereby exert upward pressure on interest rates. Given the uncertainties relating to the public's demand for liquid balances, notably NOW accounts, most members continued to believe that the behavior of Ml should be evaluated partly in light of the behavior of M2 over the weeks ahead. Thus, for example, somewhat more rapid growth of Ml might be accepted if it appeared to be associated with a continuing desire by the public to build up liquid balances and with growth of M2 near its specified rate. At the conclusion of the discussion the Committee agreed to reaffirm the objectives for monetary growth established at the previous meeting and to seek behavior of reserve aggregates associated with growth of Ml and M2 from March to June at annual rates of about 3 percent and 8 percent respectively. The Committee noted that deviations from these objectives should be evaluated in light of changes in the relative importance of NOW accounts as a savings vehicle. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating further consultation of the Committee, was set at 10 to 15 percent. The following domestic policy directive was issued to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York: The information reviewed at this meeting suggests that real GNP will change little in the current quarter after the appreciable further decline in the first quarter, as business inventory liquidation moderates from last quarter's extraordinary rate. In April the nominal value of retail sales expanded, while industrial production and nonfarm pay roll employment continued to decline. The unemployment rate rose 0.4 percentage point to 9.4 percent. Although housing starts edged up in March for the fifth consecutive month, they remained at a depressed level. The rate of increase in prices on the average appears to be slowing somewhat further in the current quarter; so far this year both the consumer price index and the producer price index for finished goods have risen little on balance, and the advance in the index of average hourly earnings has remained at a reduced pace. The weighted average value of the dollar against major foreign currencies, after rising somewhat further in early April, has fallen sharply over the past month, reflecting in part a decline in U.S. interest rates relative to foreign rates and market expectations of further declines. The U.S. foreign trade deficit in the first quarter was one-third less than in the preceding quarter. Ml increased sharply in April, but the expansion was concentrated in the first half of the month and was largely retraced later. Growth of M2 moderated somewhat, owing to a slackening of the expansion in the nontransaction component. Short-term market interest rates and bond yields on balance have declined since the end of March, and mortgage interest rates have edged down further. The Federal Open Market Committee seeks to foster monetary and financial conditions that will help to reduce inflation, promote a resumption of growth in output on a sustainable basis, and contribute to a sustainable pattern of international transactions. At its meeting in early February, the Committee agreed that its objectives would be furthered by growth of Ml, M2, and M3 from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 within ranges of 2Vi to 5Vi percent, 6 to 9 percent, and 6V2 to 9Vi percent respectively. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. In the short run, the Committee seeks behavior of reserve aggregates consistent with growth of Ml and M2 from March to June at annual rates of about 3 percent and 8 percent respectively. The Committee also noted that deviations from these targets should be evaluated in light of changes in the relative impor- FOMC Policy Actions tance of NOW accounts as a savings vehicle. The Chairman may call for Committee consultation if it appears to the Manager for Domestic Operations that pursuit of the monetary objectives and related reserve paths during the period before the next meeting is likely to be associated with a federal funds rate persistently outside a range of 10 to 15 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Balles, Black, Ford, Gramley, Mrs. Horn, Messrs. Martin, Partee, Rice, Wallich, and Timlen. Vote against this action: Mrs. Teeters. (Mr. Timlen voted as alternate for Mr. Solomon.) Mrs. Teeters dissented from this action because she favored specification of somewhat higher rates of monetary growth from March to June with the objective of improving liquidity and easing financial pressures. In her opinion, the time had come to foster lower and less variable interest rates in order to enhance prospects for significant recovery in output and employment. Meetings Held on June 30-July 1, 1982, and on July 15, 19821 Domestic Policy Directive The information reviewed at this meeting suggested that real GNP had changed little in the second quarter, after declining at an annual rate of 1. At its meeting on June 30-July 1, 1982, in accordance with the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978 (the HumphreyHawkins Act), the Committee reviewed its ranges for growth of the monetary and credit aggregates for the period from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 and gave preliminary consideration to the objectives for monetary growth that might be appropriate for 1983. The conclusion of the Committee's consideration of the ranges was 105 3.7 percent in the first quarter, as business inventory liquidation moderated from an extraordinary rate. The rise in average prices, as measured by the fixed-weight price index for gross domestic business product, appeared to have slowed somewhat from the annual rate of about 43/4 percent in the first quarter. The nominal value of retail sales rose Wi percent further in May, according to the advance report. Sales gains were widespread and were especially strong at automotive, general merchandise, and apparel outlets. Unit sales of new domestic automobiles rose about I6I/2 percent to an annual rate of 6.4 million units. Auto sales dropped sharply in the first 20 days of June, however, following the termination of most purchase-incentive programs. The index of industrial production edged down 0.2 percent in May, following declines of 0.8 percent in each of the two preceding months. Output of business equipment continued to drop sharply, and production of durable goods materials also declined further. But production of consumer durable goods rose markedly for the second month in a row, reflecting primarily an appreciable increase in automobile assemblies. Nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged in May, after having declined substantially in March and April. In manufacturing, job losses were appreciably less in May than in the earlier months, and deferred until July 15, 1982, owing to the long interval before the date of Chairman Volcker's testimony in conjunction with the Board's midyear report under the act, which was scheduled for July 20 before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. The Board's report also was transmitted to the Congress on July 20. 106 FOMC Policy Actions the average workweek edged up 0.1 hour to 39.1 hours. In contrast to the payroll data, the survey of households indicated a substantial increase in employment; but growth in the civilian labor force was even greater, and the unemployment rate edged up 0.1 percentage point to 9.5 percent. The Department of Commerce survey of business spending plans taken in late April and May suggested that current-dollar expenditures for plant and equipment would rise only 2lA percent in 1982, compared with 7lA percent reported in the February survey and an actual expansion of about 83/4 percent in 1981. The survey results implied a year-toyear decline of about 2V2 percent in real terms. Private housing starts rose appreciably in May to an annual rate of 1.1 million units, exceeding a rate of 1 million units for the first time since last July. Most of the May increase was in the more volatile multifamily sector: multifamily starts rose nearly 50 percent, compared with an increase of about 9 percent in singlefamily starts. Sales of new homes increased substantially in May, while sales of existing homes were unchanged; total home sales were nearly 25 percent below the level of a year earlier. The producer price index for finished goods changed little in May, as sharp declines in prices of energyrelated items about offset increases in prices of food and other consumer goods and capital equipment. Over the first five months of the year, the index was virtually stable. The consumer price index, which had registered a small net increase over the first four months of the year, rose 1 percent in May, reflecting sharp in creases in the volatile homeownership and energy components of the index and a considerable rise in food prices. Through May, the rise in the index of average hourly earnings was at a significantly less rapid pace than during 1981. In foreign exchange markets the trade-weighted value of the dollar against major foreign currencies had risen about 7 percent over the period since the last FOMC meeting, to its highest level since early 1971. The strength of the dollar reflected a rise in U.S. interest rates relative to foreign rates as well as heightened concerns because of hostilities in the Middle East. The U.S. foreign trade deficit in the first five months of 1982 was at a rate substantially less than that in the fourth quarter of last year, as imports declined more than exports. At its meeting on May 18, the Committee had reaffirmed the objectives for monetary growth established at its meeting at the end of March; thus, it had decided to seek behavior of reserve aggregates associated with growth of Ml and M2 from March to June at annual rates of about 3 percent and 8 percent respectively. The Committee had also agreed that deviations from these objectives should be evaluated in light of changes in the relative importance of NOW accounts as a savings vehicle. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating further consultation of the Committee, was set at 10 to 15 percent. Ml declined at an annual rate of about 2 percent in May, following expansion at an annual rate of about 103/4 percent in April. The contraction was attributable to a sizable FOMC Policy Actions decline in other checkable deposits, which had exhibited extraordinary growth over the preceding six months. M2 grew at an annual rate of about IOI/2 percent in May, a little above the rate in April. Total credit outstanding at U.S. commercial banks grew at an annual rate of about 8Vi percent in May, down slightly from the pace in April. Growth in business loans, at an annual rate of nearly 19 percent, accounted for much of the rise in bank credit, as most other categories of loans and investments registered only moderate growth or contraction. Business demands for credit, especially short-term credit, were exceptionally strong in May, as nonfinancial businesses also issued a sizable volume of commercial paper. Nonborrowed reserves, adjusted to include extended credit from Federal Reserve Banks, expanded substantially in May, after having changed little in April. Total reserves grew moderately, however, as borrowing from Federal Reserve Banks for purposes of adjusting reserve positions (including seasonal borrowing) declined appreciably. In the two statement weeks ending June 23, such borrowing averaged about $875 million, compared with an average of about $940 million in May. The federal funds rate averaged about WA percent in the two statement weeks ending June 23, compared with around 14!/2 percent in the days immediately preceding the Committee meeting on May 18. The rate moved toward 15 percent in the days just before this meeting, influenced by the approach of the June 30 statement date. Most other interest rates rose about Vi to 1 Vi percentage points over the intermeeting period. 107 The failure of one dealer in U.S. government securities and difficulties being experienced by another dealer heightened concerns about credit risks throughout the securities markets and induced some widening of risk premiums.2 The prime rate charged by most commercial banks on short-term business loans remained at 16V2 percent. Average rates on new commitments for fixedrate mortgage loans at savings and loan associations edged up slightly. The staff projections presented at this meeting suggested that real GNP would grow at a moderate pace over the year ahead but that the unemployment rate would remain near its recent high level. The rise in prices, as measured by the price index for gross domestic business product, was expected to pick up somewhat in the second half of 1982 from the substantially reduced rate in the first half, but continued improvement in the underlying trend was anticipated. Views of Committee members concerning prospects for economic activity and the behavior of prices generally were similar in character to the staff projections. Consumption seemed likely to rise in response to the 10 percent reduction in federal income taxes at midyear, the concurrent cost-of-living increase in social security payments, and other factors; and the extraordinary rate of liquidation of business inventories in the first half of 1982 also seemed likely to contribute to some economic growth. 2. Neither of these firms was on the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's list of primary dealers in U.S. government securities that file reports on their operations with the Bank's Market Reports Division. 108 FOMC Policy Actions As had been the case at the May meeting of the Committee, however, several members commented that the principal risks of a deviation from the projection of moderate growth in real GNP were on the downside, and some expressed concern that any recovery could falter. Business and consumer sentiment was reported to have deteriorated further, reflecting, among other things, greater uneasiness about the effects of high interest rates, increased bankruptcies, and difficulties affecting certain financial and industrial institutions. In these circumstances, business and consumer demands for liquidity might increase, rather than decline as many expected, extending the contraction in business capital expenditures and limiting consumer outlays for housing and durable goods. Concerning the prospective behavior of consumers, most statistical measures suggested that their liquidity was improving. The point was made, however, that rapidly rising prices of existing houses and readily available mortgages, which were characteristic of earlier years, were no longer providing stimulus for spending. Starting in 1983, a significant volume of balloon payments on earlier house-purchase loans would mature. Moreover, the recovery in activity could be impeded by weak expansion abroad, by import-financing problems of some major trading partners of the United States, and by the deterioration in the competitiveness of U.S. exports associated with the sharp rise in the foreign-exchange value of the dollar. It was stressed during the meeting that considerable uncertainty remained about the size of the federal budget deficit for fiscal 1983, as well as for later years, although the recent congressional action on a budget resolution for the coming fiscal year represented progress toward a more restrained fiscal policy. To implement the resolution, a great deal remained to be done in legislating appropriations and additional revenues. Several Committee members observed, moreover, that the deficit would be considerably larger than that contained in the resolution, only in part because the latter was based on relatively optimistic assumptions concerning the performance of the economy. The degree of progress in reducing prospective federal deficits would have a major impact on pressures in financial markets and thus on the performance of such creditsensitive sectors as homebuilding and business fixed investment. In the absence of significant progress, private investment outlays of all types would be less than otherwise. With respect to prices, the members noted that considerable progress had been made in reducing the rate of increase but that the risks of exacerbating inflationary expectations remained serious. In any case, the underlying rate of inflation was not so low as might be inferred from the recent behavior of major indexes of prices, and the rise in those indexes was generally expected to pick up somewhat from the substantially reduced pace of 1982 to date. At its meeting on February 1-2, 1982, the Committee had adopted the following ranges for growth of the monetary aggregates over the year from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982: for Ml, 2!/2 to 5Vi percent; for M2, 6 to 9 percent; and for M3, 6V2 to W2 percent. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. In setting FOMC Policy Actions the range for Ml, the Committee recognized that the level of that aggregate in January was well above the average in the fourth quarter of 1981 but that it was too early to judge conclusively the extent to which the recent upsurge in growth reflected temporary influences rather than a basic change in the amount of money needed to finance growth of nominal GNP. On the assumption that the relationship between growth of Ml and the expansion of nominal GNP was likely to be closer to normal than it had been in 1981, and given the relatively low base in the fourth quarter of 1981, the Committee contemplated that growth of Ml in 1982 might acceptably be in the upper part of its range. The Committee also contemplated that growth of M2 was likely to be high within its range. At this meeting, the Committee reviewed its ranges for growth of the monetary and credit aggregates for the period from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 and gave preliminary consideration to objectives for monetary growth that might be appropriate for 1983. With respect to the current year, the Committee noted that the levels of the monetary aggregates in June were slightly above the upper ends of their ranges for 1982. The upsurge in Ml in January was followed by quite slow growth on average over the next five months, and from the fourth quarter of 1981 to June, Ml had increased at an annual rate of 5.7 percent. Over the same period, M2 and M3 had grown at annual rates of 9.4 percent and 9.7 percent respectively. Although the growth of Ml was moderate over the first half of 1982, it considerably exceeded the growth 109 of nominal GNP; in the first quarter, the decline in the income velocity of Ml was extraordinarily sharp. Similarly, the income velocity of the broader monetary aggregates was unusually weak in the first half. Given the persistence of relatively high interest rates, the behavior of velocity in the first half suggested a heightened demand for Ml and M2. The unusual demand for Ml in the first half was concentrated in NOW accounts and other interest-bearing checkable deposits, which have some characteristics of traditional savings deposits. The enlarged share of these accounts in Ml had made this aggregate more sensitive to changes in the public's desire to hold highly liquid assets. Growth of M2 as well as that of Ml appeared to have been bolstered in the first half of 1982 by increased preferences for holding highly liquid financial assets. Conventional savings deposits actually increased, after having contracted in the preceding four years, and money market mutual funds continued to expand strongly, although less so than in 1981. Altogether, the nontransaction component of M2 (M2 less Ml) grew at an annual rate of IOV2 percent from the fourth quarter of 1981 to June. In reconsidering the ranges for 1982, Committee members remained in agreement on the need to maintain the commitment to the long-standing goal of restraining growth of money and credit in order to contribute to a further reduction in the rate of inflation and provide the basis for restoration of economic stability and sustainable growth in output. At the same time, the Committee took account of the need to provide sufficient monetary growth to encourage 110 FOMC Policy Actions recovery in economic activity over the months ahead. Growth consistent with the current longer-run ranges, quite possibly around the upper end, was thought to be adequate in view of the sizable rise in the velocity of money that generally developed in the early stages of a cyclical recovery in economic activity. Still, the members recognized that regulatory actions and changes in the public's preferences for various assets, as well as shifts in liquidity demands generally, would tend to affect the velocity of money and would need to be taken into account in evaluating the behavior of the monetary aggregates. To the extent that precautionary demands for money remained strong, for example, growth of the major monetary aggregates near, or possibly somewhat above, the upper ends of their ranges for 1982 might well be consistent with the Committee's general policy objectives. In the Committee's discussion at this meeting, almost all members preferred retention of the previously established ranges for growth of the monetary aggregates in 1982, with the understanding that growth around the upper ends of the ranges would be acceptable, but some sentiment was expressed for small upward adjustments in the ranges. Several members observed that any increase in the ranges might well be misinterpreted as a relaxation of the Committee's commitment to the long-run objective of restraining monetary growth and contributing to a further reduction in the rate of inflation, thereby adversely affecting inflationary expectations and longterm interest rates. It was also noted that minor adjustments in the ranges might seem to suggest an unrealistic degree of precision with which monetary growth could be controlled and might not be sufficient in any case to allow for a temporary bulge related to exceptional demands for liquidity, should they develop. With respect to 1983, most members felt that the current ranges for 1982 could appropriately be retained; but they recognized that, in light of all the current uncertainties surrounding the economic, financial, and federal budgetary outlook, ranges adopted at this time would be especially tentative. The current ranges would be consistent with a reduction in monetary growth in 1983 if, as seemed likely, growth of the monetary aggregates in 1982 was around the upper ends of their ranges. Some sentiment was expressed for a reduction in the ranges for 1983, particularly if those for 1982 were raised, in line with the general objective of reducing monetary growth gradually over time. The implications for monetary policy of the recent congressional action on a budget resolution were considered at some length. Committee members generally felt that a fifrn follow-through in current efforts to reduce budgetary deficits should \contribute to easing financial market strains within the context of the current ranges for monetary growth; to help assure that result, in their view, it was important that action beyond the magnitude incorporated in the first budget resolution be taken affecting future years. It was not thought that the budgetary effort itself would warrant even greater growth in the monetary aggregates than was being contemplated. Excessive monetary growth would tend to work against the benefits of an improved budgetary outlook in curb- FOMC Policy Actions ing inflation and inflationary expectations. The Committee concluded its discussion and reached a decision on the longer-run ranges during a telephone conference on July 15, 1982. The Committee considered policy for the period from June to September in light of the apparent consensus for retaining the previously established ranges for growth of the monetary aggregates over the year, with the understanding that growth near, or for a time somewhat above, the upper ends of those ranges would be acceptable depending on emerging strength of liquidity demands in a period of economic uncertainty. The data becoming available at the time of the meeting indicated that growth of Ml had weakened appreciably after midJune and that growth of both Ml and M2 over the whole period from March to June apparently had been in line with the Committee's objectives for growth over that period at annual rates of about 3 percent and 8 percent respectively. The levels of Ml and M2 in June, as noted earlier, were just slightly above the upper ends of their ranges for 1982. Evaluating the behavior of Ml and implementing policy in the period immediately ahead would be complicated by a number of special influences. The midyear reduction in withholding rates for federal income taxes and the cost-of-living increase in social security payments were generally expected to lead to some bulge in monetary growth in July. It was also expected, however, that any such bulge would be offset in ensuing months. More fundamentally, some easing in demands for liquidity and precautionary balances, and a concomitant increase in the 111 income velocity of money, was anticipated over the months ahead, but the public's liquidity preferences could not be predicted with much confidence, especially in the current environment of financial strains. Given these problems, most members stressed the need for flexibility in interpreting the behavior of the monetary aggregates in the period ahead. Thus, while still aiming to provide moderate monetary growth consistent with the objectives for growth over the year, those members would be willing to tolerate a bulge early in the period to the extent that it appeared to be a temporary effect of the tax reduction and increased social security payments, perhaps compounded by seasonal adjustment problems. They would also accept somewhat faster growth over the quarter as a whole if it appeared that demands for liquidity and precautionary balances were not easing as anticipated. In general, they wished to guard against the possibility that short-term aberrations in the behavior of money or exceptional demands for liquidity in circumstances of unusual uncertainty would generate financial market pressures that would impede the prospective recovery in output. A few members of the Committee were concerned that accommodation of much of a bulge in monetary growth in July or a relatively rapid expansion over the summer months as a whole might jeopardize prospects for achieving the monetary objectives for the year and thus would risk exacerbating inflationary expectations. Accordingly, they believed that tendencies toward such monetary growth rates in the months ahead should be met by increased 112 FOMC Policy Actions pressures on bank reserve positions and in the money market. On the other hand, one member advocated a strategy directed toward a prompt easing of money market conditions with a view to promoting reductions in short-term interest rates. It was also suggested by one member that the Committee adopt an effective ceiling of 15 percent for fluctuations in the federal funds rate over the weeks until the next scheduled meeting, in an effort to avoid any significant backing up of interest rates in the current environment and to strengthen prospects for the anticipated recovery in economic activity. Several members observed, however, that such a strategy was more likely to be viewed as a fundamental change in the Committee's approach to targeting monetary growth and would have adverse market reactions because of its potential for producing an unduly rapid expansion in bank reserves and money. At the conclusion of the discussion, the Committee agreed to seek behavior of reserve aggregates associated with growth of Ml and M2 from June to September at annual rates of about 5 percent and about 9 percent respectively. It decided that somewhat more rapid growth would be acceptable depending on evidence that economic and financial uncertainties were leading to exceptional liquidity demands. It was also noted that seasonal uncertainties, together with increased social security payments and the initial impact of the tax cut on cash balances, might lead to a temporary bulge in the monetary aggregates, particularly Ml. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating further con sultation of the Committee, was continued at 10 to 15 percent. The following domestic policy directive was transmitted to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York: The information reviewed at this meeting suggests that real GNP changed little in the second quarter, after the appreciable further decline in the first quarter, as business inventory liquidation moderated from an extraordinary rate. In May the nominal value of retail sales continued to pick up, while industrial production declined only a little further and nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged. The unemployment rate edged up 0.1 percentage point to 9.5 percent. Housing starts rose appreciably from a depressed level. The price index for gross domestic business product appears to have risen at a relatively slow rate in the second quarter. Over the first five months of this year the producer price index for finished goods was virtually stable, and the advance in the index of average hourly earnings remained at a reduced pace. The consumer price index rose sharply in May, after a small net increase over the preceding four months. The weighted average value of the dollar against major foreign currencies has risen sharply over the past month, reaching its highest level since early 1971, in response to a rise in U.S. interest rates relative to foreign rates as well as to hostilities in the Middle East. The U.S. foreign trade deficit in the first five months of 1982 was at a rate substantially less than in the fourth quarter of last year, as imports declined more than exports. Ml declined somewhat in May, after its sharp rise in April, while growth of M2 remained substantial. Business demands for credit, especially short-term credit, were exceptionally strong. Shortterm market interest rates and bond yields generally have risen since late May, and mortgage interest rates have increased. The Federal Open Market Committee seeks to foster monetary and financial conditions that will help to reduce inflation, promote a resumption of growth in output on a sustainable basis, and con- FOMC Policy Actions tribute to a sustainable pattern of international transactions. At its meeting in early February, the Committee agreed that its objectives would be furthered by growth of Ml, M2, and M3 from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 within ranges of 2!/2 to 5Vi percent, 6 to 9 percent, and 6V2 to W2 percent respectively. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. These ranges were under review at this meeting. In the short run, the Committee seeks behavior of reserve aggregates consistent with growth of Ml and M2 from June to September at annual rates of about 5 percent and about 9 percent respectively. Somewhat more rapid growth would be acceptable depending on evidence that economic and financial uncertainties are leading to exceptional liquidity demands and changes in financial asset holdings. It was also noted that seasonal uncertainties, together with increased social security payments and the initial impact of the tax cut on cash balances, might lead to a temporary bulge in the monetary aggregates, particularly Ml. The Chairman may call for Committee consultation if it appears to the Manager for Domestic Operations that pursuit of the monetary objectives and related reserve paths during the period before the next meeting is likely to be associated with a federal funds rate persistently outside a range of 10 to 15 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Gramley, Martin, Partee, Rice, and Keehn. Votes against this action: Messrs. Black, Ford, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Wallich. Mr. Keehn voted as alternate for Mrs. Horn. Messrs. Black, Ford, and Wallich dissented from this action because they favored a policy for the period immediately ahead that was firmly directed toward bringing growth of Ml down to its range for 1982 by the end of the year. They were concerned that accommodation of relatively rapid growth over the summer months might jeopardize achievement of the monetary objectives for 113 the year and thus would risk exacerbating inflationary expectations. Accordingly, they believed that tendencies toward rapid monetary expansion in the months immediately ahead should be met by greater pressures on bank reserve positions and in the money market. Mrs. Teeters dissented from this action because she favored specification of somewhat higher rates for monetary growth during the third quarter along with an approach to operations early in the period that would clearly signal an easing in policy. In her opinion, policy at this point should be directed toward exerting downward pressure on shortterm interest rates in order to promote recovery in output and employment. At a telephone meeting on July 15, the Committee concluded its review of the ranges for growth of the monetary aggregates in 1982 and the tentative ranges for 1983 and took the following actions. The Committee reaffirmed the following ranges for growth of the monetary aggregates over the year from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 that it had adopted in early February: for Ml, 2!/2 to 5Vi percent; for M2, 6 to 9 percent; and for M3, 6V2 to 9Vi percent. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. At the same time, the Committee agreed that growth in the monetary and credit aggregates around the top of the indicated ranges would be acceptable in the light of the relatively low base period for the Ml target and other factors, and that it would tolerate for some period of time growth somewhat above the target range should unusual precautionary demands for money and liquidity be evident in the light of current economic uncertainties. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Black, Ford, Mrs. Horn, Messrs. Martin, 114 FOMC Policy Actions and Partee. Vote against this action: Mrs. Teeters. Absent and not voting: Messrs. Gramley, Rice, and Wallich. Mrs. Teeters dissented from this action because she favored an explicit statement that growth of Ml above the upper end of the Committee's range for 1982 by 1 percentage point, or even as much as VA percentage points, might be acceptable. In her opinion, it was important to indicate the acceptable degree of growth of Ml above the range in order to foster market behavior that would lower interest rates and enhance the prospects for sustaining recovery in output and employment. The Committee indicated that for 1983 it was tentatively planning to continue the current ranges for 1982, but would review that decision carefully in the light of developments over the remainder of 1982. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Black, Ford, Mrs. Horn, Messrs. Martin, Partee, and Mrs. Teeters. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Messrs. Gramley, Rice, and Wallich. Shortly afterwards, Messrs. Gramley, Rice, and Wallich, who had been unable to attend the meeting on July 15 but who had been present for the main discussion of the longer-run ranges for monetary growth held at the meeting on June 30-July 1, associated themselves with the Committee in its actions with respect to the ranges for both 1982 and 1983. Following the Committee's actions on July 15, the next to last paragraph of the domestic policy directive adopted at its meeting on June 30-July 1 read as follows: The Federal Open Market Committee seeks to foster monetary and financial conditions that will help to reduce inflation, promote a resumption of growth in output on a sustainable basis, and contribute to a sustainable pattern of international transactions. At its meeting in early February, the Committee had agreed that its objectives would be furthered by growth of Ml, M2, and M3 from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 within ranges of 2V2 to 5!/2 percent, 6 to 9 percent, and 6V2 to W2 percent respectively. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. The Committee began a review of these ranges at its meeting on June 30July 1, and at a meeting on July 15, it reaffirmed the targets for the year set in February. At the same time the Committee agreed that growth in the monetary and credit aggregates around the top of the indicated ranges would be acceptable in the light of the relatively low base period for the Ml target and other factors, and that it would tolerate for some period of time growth somewhat above the target range should unusual precautionary demands for money and liquidity be evident in the light of current economic uncertainties. The Committee also indicated it was tentatively planning to continue the current ranges for 1983, but would review that decision carefully in the light of developments over the remainder of 1982. Meeting Held on August 24, 1982 1. Domestic Policy Directive The information reviewed at this meeting suggested that real GNP would advance only a little further in the current quarter, following an increase at an annual rate of about 1XA percent in the second quarter. Average prices, as measured by the fixedweight price index for gross domestic business product, were continuing to rise more slowly than in 1981. The nominal value of retail sales rose 1 percent in July, according to the advance report, recovering only FOMC Policy Actions part of the 3lA percent decline recorded in June. Sales of new domestic automobiles, which had dropped to an annual rate of 4.8 million units in June, rose a little in July and early August. The index of industrial production was about unchanged in July, following a cumulative decline of more than 10 percent from the prerecession level in July 1981. Production of business equipment continued to drop at its recent pace of 2 to 3 percent per month, while output of defense and space equipment continued to expand. Output of consumer goods picked up, reflecting mainly an increase in automobile assemblies, but automobile output in July was at a rate substantially above the sales pace of June and July, and production schedules for August were cut back. Nonfarm payroll employment, after declining sharply in June, was essentially unchanged in July, as continued job losses in manufacturing were about offset by gains in trade and service industries. The unemployment rate rose 0.3 percentage point to 9.8 percent, as the civilian labor force expanded and total civilian employment was unchanged. Private housing starts rose 34 percent in July, more than reversing the decline in June; but at an annual rate of 1.2 million units, starts remained low by historical standards. All of the July increase was in multifamily units; starts of such units more than doubled, in part because of an upsurge in those qualifying for rental subsidies under a federal government program terminating on September 30. That impending termination also apparently contributed to a substantial rise in July in newly issued permits for multifamily units; 115 permits for single-family dwellings declined slightly and were at about the same pace as in the second quarter as a whole. Combined sales of new and existing homes in June continued about 25 percent below those of a year earlier. The producer price index for finished goods and the consumer price index both rose 0.6 percent in July, following increases of 1.0 percent in June. At the producer level, prices of energy-related items increased sharply in both months and in July accounted for nearly all of the rise in the index; prices of food and food materials fell substantially in July. At the consumer level, food prices edged down in July, while increases in energy prices and homeownership costs moderated from the rapid rates recorded in June. Over the first seven months of the year, the producer price index for finished goods and the consumer price index rose at annual rates of about 3 percent and 5!/2 percent respectively, compared with increases of about 7 percent and 9 percent in 1981. The advance in the index of average hourly earnings also was considerably less rapid through July than during 1981. In foreign exchange markets the trade-weighted value of the dollar against major currencies, while fluctuating over a wide range, had changed little on balance since late June despite a sharp decline in U.S. interest rates relative to foreign rates. The strength of the dollar in the face of narrowing interest rate differentials apparently reflected concerns of market participants about economic and financial difficulties abroad. The U.S. foreign trade deficit in the second quarter was somewhat below the first-quarter deficit, reflecting primarily a sub- 116 FOMC Policy Actions stantial drop in petroleum imports; the total of other imports rose somewhat and exports were about unchanged. At its meeting on June 30-July 1, the Committee had agreed to seek behavior of reserve aggregates associated with growth of Ml and M2 from June to September at annual rates of about 5 percent and about 9 percent respectively. It had also decided that somewhat more rapid growth would be acceptable depending on evidence that economic and financial uncertainties were leading to exceptional liquidity demands. Moreover, the Committee had noted that seasonal uncertainties, together with increased social security payments and the initial impact of the tax cut on cash balances, might lead to a temporary bulge in the monetary aggregates, particularly Ml. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating further consultation of the Committee, was set at 10 to 15 percent. Ml in fact declined slightly in July, following declines in May and June, as demand deposits continued to contract and growth in currency slowed further. Growth of M2, after moderating in June from a rapid pace in previous months, accelerated again in July. Small-denomination time deposits increased sharply during the month, and shares in money market mutual funds continued to expand at a relatively strong pace; in contrast, savings deposits at all depository institutions declined substantially after growing moderately during earlier months of the year. Total credit outstanding at U.S. commercial banks grew at an annual rate of about 6V2 percent in July, well below the pace in the first half of the year. Growth in business loans slowed in July, but generally strong business demands for short-term credit were reflected in an increase in loans booked at foreign branches of U.S. banks and in a sharp acceleration in issuance of commercial paper by nonfinancial businesses. Issuance of publicly offered bonds rose in July. Nonborrowed reserves expanded relatively rapidly in July. However, with the demand for reserves weak, in part reflecting the sluggishness of Ml, adjustment borrowing by depository institutions (including seasonal borrowing) declined from an average of about $1.1 billion in June to about $330 million in the two statement weeks ending August 18. Market interest rates had declined sharply over the period since the last Committee meeting. Short-term market rates fell 4 to 6 percentage points. The federal funds rate, for example, declined from around 141/2 percent at the end of June to about 10 percent in the statement week ending August 18 and to around 9 percent in the days immediately preceding this Committee meeting. Bond yields declined about PA to 2 percentage points. A substantial part of the decline in long-term rates occurred in an unusually strong rally in debt markets around mid-August, when record price increases also occurred in the stock market. The strength of the downward movement in interest rates apparently reflected a shift in market sentiment about the outlook for interest rates against the background of strains in financial markets, relatively weak economic indicators, and legislative action on the federal budget. Over the intermeeting interval, the prime rate charged by commercial banks on FOMC Policy Actions short-term business loans was lowered from 16'/2 percent to W/i percent. In conjunction with the decline in short-term market rates, the Federal Reserve discount rate was reduced in three steps from 12 percent to 10^2 percent over the period. In home mortgage markets, average rates on new commitments for fixedrate conventional loans at savings and loan associations declined about !/2 percentage point on balance. The staff projections presented at this meeting suggested that real GNP would grow at a moderate pace over the year ahead but that the unemployment rate would remain near its recent high level. Inflation, as measured by the fixed-weight price index for gross domestic business product, was expected to pick up somewhat over the months ahead from the substantially reduced pace in the first half of 1982, but continued improvement in the underlying trend was anticipated. In the Committee's discussion of the economic situation and outlook, several members commented that the timing of an economic recovery was subject to considerable uncertainty, but no member expressed disagreement with the general character of the staff projection. As at other recent meetings, some Committee members suggested that the principal risks of a deviation from the projection were on the down side. Reference was made to the growing expressions of concern in the business community and to financial strains being experienced by many business firms, financial institutions, and others. In this situation, spending might well remain weak in key sectors of the economy. Business capital spending was cited as especially vulnerable to remaining 117 depressed, particularly in the event of renewed upward pressure on long-term interest rates. On the other hand, it was observed, continued success in the fight against inflation would over time ease pressures in long-term debt markets, improve business confidence, and strengthen business capital spending. Some members commented that to date the midyear reduction in federal income taxes and the concurrent cost-of-living increase in social security payments appeared to have had little impact on consumer spending. The view was expressed, however, that the midyear tax actions were likely to exert a positive influence on a delayed basis. It was also noted that the recently reduced levels of interest rates, if they were sustained, would help to relieve financial pressures throughout the economy and thereby contribute to improvement in economic activity over the months ahead. At its meeting on June 30-July 1, the Committee had begun a review of the monetary growth objectives for the period from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 that it had set in early February. Subsequently, at a meeting on July 15, the Committee had reaffirmed those objectives, which included ranges of 2!/2 to 5!/2 percent for Ml, 6 to 9 percent for M2, and 6!/2 to 9Vi percent for M3. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. At the same time the Committee agreed that growth in the monetary and credit aggregates around the top of the indicated ranges would be acceptable in the light of the relatively low base period for the Ml target and other factors, and that it would tolerate for some period of time growth somewhat 118 FOMC Policy Actions above the target range should unusual precautionary demands for money and liquidity be evident in the light of current economic uncertainties. The Committee also indicated that it was tentatively planning to continue the current ranges for 1983 but that it would review that decision carefully in the light of developments over the remainder of 1982. At this meeting the Committee reviewed the short-run objectives that it had established at the previous meeting calling for expansion at annual rates of about 5 percent for Ml and about 9 percent for M2 over the three months from June to September. Data available through mid-August indicated that growth in Ml was running below the Committee's objective, while partial data suggested that growth in M2 had moved above the objective for the three-month period. In relation to the Committee's objectives for the year as a whole, the latest staff estimates indicated that the expansion of Ml was within its longer-run range, while that of M2 was somewhat above its 1982 range. During the Committee's discussion, most of the members agreed that the short-run growth objectives adopted at the previous meeting remained appropriate under current economic and financial conditions and should be retained. The view was expressed that the substantial recent decline in interest rates, which in part reflected growing public awareness of the progress that had been made in curbing inflation, provided welcome relief in easing financial strains throughout the economy. A number of members expressed concern, however, about the volatility of interest rates and some commented that further sharp movements in either direction over the near term might have damaging consequences. Some members emphasized that a pronounced increase from current levels would aggravate financial strains and inhibit recovery in interest-sensitive sectors of the economy. Some members also suggested that a large further decline might foster a resurgence of inflationary expectations and could prove to be unsustainable and therefore unsettling to financial markets. Several members expressed the view that the Committee should review its policy if reserve provision to meet monetary growth objectives was fostering a substantial change in pressures on bank reserve positions and in credit markets. Reference was made to the relative strength in M2 over the course of recent weeks that appeared to be related in part to unusual demands for liquid investments, such as money market funds, at comparatively attractive yields. The members agreed that under prevailing circumstances, growth in M2 somewhat above its short-run target would be acceptable over the period immediately ahead. At the conclusion of the discussion the Committee agreed to reaffirm the objectives for monetary growth established at the June 30July 1 meeting for the June to September period. The Committee decided that somewhat more rapid growth in the monetary aggregates would be acceptable depending upon evidence that economic and financial uncertainties were fostering unusual liquidity demands for monetary assets and were contributing to substantial volatility in interest rates. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a FOMC Policy Actions mechanism for initiating further consultation of the Committee, was set at 7 to 11 percent. The following domestic policy directive was issued to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York: The information reviewed at this meeting suggests only a little further advance in real GNP in the current quarter, following a relatively small increase in the second quarter, while prices on the average are continuing to rise more slowly than in 1981. In July the nominal value of retail sales rose somewhat from a sharply reduced June level; housing starts increased substantially, though from a relatively low rate; and industrial production and nonfarm payroll employment were essentially unchanged. The unemployment rate rose 0.3 percentage point to 9.8 percent. Over the first seven months of the year the advance in the index of average hourly earnings was considerably less rapid than during 1981. The weighted average value of the dollar against major foreign currencies, while fluctuating over a wide range, has changed little on balance since late June despite a sharp decline in U.S. interest rates relative to foreign rates. Demand for dollars appeared to reflect concern about economic and financial difficulties abroad. The U.S. foreign trade deficit in the second quarter was somewhat below the first-quarter deficit, with petroleum imports down substantially. Ml declined slightly in June and July, while growth of M2 moderated somewhat from its average pace earlier in the year. Business demands for credit, especially short-term credit, remained generally strong. Market interest rates have declined sharply since around midyear, reflecting a shift in market sentiment about the outlook for interest rates against the background of strains in financial markets, relatively weak economic indicators, and legislative action on the federal budget. The Federal Reserve discount rate was reduced in three steps from 12 percent to IOV2 percent during the period. The Federal Open Market Committee seeks to foster monetary and financial conditions that will help to reduce inflation, promote a resumption of growth in 119 output on a sustainable basis, and contribute to a sustainable pattern of international transactions. At its meeting in early February, the Committee had agreed that its objectives would be furthered by growth of Ml, M2, and M3 from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 within ranges of 2!/2 to 5Vi percent, 6 to 9 percent, and 6V2 to 91/2 percent respectively. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. The Committee began a review of these ranges at its meeting on June 30July 1, and at a meeting on July 15, it reaffirmed the targets for the year set in February. At the same time the Committee agreed that growth in the monetary and credit aggregates around the top of the indicated ranges would be acceptable in the light of the relatively low base period for the Ml target and other factors, and that it would tolerate for some period of time growth somewhat above the target range should unusual precautionary demands for money and liquidity be evident in the light of current economic uncertainties. The Committee also indicated that it was tentatively planning to continue the current ranges for 1983 but that it would review that decision carefully in the light of developments over the remainder of 1982. In the short run, the Committee continues to seek behavior of reserve aggregates consistent with growth of Ml and M2 from June to September at annual rates of about 5 percent and about 9 percent respectively. Somewhat more rapid growth would be acceptable depending on evidence that economic and financial uncertainties are leading to exceptional liquidity demands and changes in financial asset holdings. The Chairman may call for Committee consultation if it appears to the Manager for Domestic Operations that pursuit of the monetary objectives and related reserve paths during the period before the next meeting is likely to be associated with a federal funds rate persistently outside a range of 7 to 11 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Black, Ford, Mrs. Horn, Messrs. Martin, Partee, Rice, and Mrs. Teeters. Vote against this action: Mr. Wallich. Absent and not voting: Mr. Gramley. 120 FOMC Policy Actions Mr. Wallich dissented from this action because he favored an approach to operations early in the period that would lessen the chances of short-term interest rates remaining below the prevailing discount rate or falling further below it. He was concerned that such interest rate behavior would tend to accelerate monetary expansion and that the necessary restraint of reserve growth to curb such expansion might lead to a sizable rebound in shortterm rates with adverse implications for business and consumer confidence. 2. Authorization for Foreign Currency Operations At this meeting Committee members were apprised of the status of ongoing discussions with the Government of Mexico regarding short-term financing arrangements to support Mexico's efforts to strengthen its economic and financial position. At its meeting on June 30-July 1, the Committee had agreed, in response to a request by officials of the Bank of Mexico, that it would stand ready to provide to the Bank of Mexico up to the full $700 million available under the Federal Reserve System's existing swap arrangement with that Bank. Subsequently, on August 4, 1982, the Bank of Mexico, which had drawn on its swap line on an overnight basis on a few occasions in recent months, drew $700 million for a period of three months. At the time of this meeting, negotiations were under way among Mexico, the U.S. Treasury, major central banks, and other lenders to provide multilateral financial support to Mexico. The purpose of the support was to effect an orderly transition to an economic stabilization program that the Government of Mexico had announced was being developed. The Committee authorized Federal Reserve participation in the proposed multilateral financing package through the temporary establishment of a special swap arrangement of $325 million with the Bank of Mexico in addition to the regular arrangement of $700 million. Accordingly, paragraph 2 of the Committee's authorization for foreign currency operations was amended, effective August 28, 1982, for the period through August 23, 1983, to read as follows: 2. The Federal Open Market Committee directs the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to maintain reciprocal currency arrangements ("swap" arrangements) for the System Open Market Account for periods up to a maximum of 12 months with the following foreign banks, which are among those designated by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System under Section 214.5 of Regulation N, Relations with Foreign Banks and Bankers, and with the approval of the Committee to renew such arrangements on maturity: Foreign bank Amount of arrangement (millions of dollars equivalent) Austrian National Bank National Bank of Belgium Bank of Canada National Bank of Denmark Bank of England Bank of France German Federal Bank Bank of Italy Bank of Japan Bank of Mexico Regular Special Netherlands Bank Bank of Norway Bank of Sweden Swiss National Bank Bank for International Settlements Dollars against Swiss francs Dollars against authorized European currencies other than Swiss francs 250 1,000 2,000 250 3,000 2,000 6,000 3,000 5,000 700 325 500 250 300 4,000 600 1,250 FOMC Policy Actions Any changes in the terms of existing swap arrangements, and the proposed terms of any new arrangements that may be authorized, shall be referred for review and approval to the Committee. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Black, Ford, Mrs. Horn, Messrs. Martin, Partee, Rice, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Wallich. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Gramley. On August 30, 1982, the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve announced that they were participating with central banks of other Group of Ten countries, Spain, and Switzerland, under the aegis of the Bank for International Settlements, in making available to the Bank of Mexico short-term financing totaling $1.85 billion. The Treasury would provide $600 million though the Exchange Stabilization Fund, in conjunction with the $325 million that the Federal Reserve was making available through its additional swap arrangement. The multilateral financing program provided that drawings by Mexico would be made in line with progress toward agreement between the Mexican Government and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on an economic adjustment program that will permit Mexico to qualify for drawings under the IMF's Extended Fund Facility. Meeting Held on October 5, 1982 Domestic Policy Directive The information reviewed at this meeting suggested that real GNP had changed little in the third quarter, following an increase at an annual rate of about 2 percent in the second quarter. Average prices, as mea 121 sured by the fixed-weight price index for gross domestic business product, were continuing to rise more slowly than in 1981. The nominal value of retail sales fell nearly 1 percent in August, according to the advance report, returning to the sharply reduced June level. Sales declines were particularly marked at automotive outlets and at general merchandise, apparel, and furniture and appliance stores. Sales of new domestic automobiles increased slightly in August to an annual rate of 5.3 million units; sales rose further to an annual rate of 6 million units in the first 20 days of September, apparently in response to purchase incentives offered by manufacturers in an effort to reduce excess stocks of 1982 models. After having changed little in July, the index of industrial production declined 0.5 percent in August to a level about 1 percent below its second-quarter average and more than 10 percent below its prerecession level in July 1981. Production of consumer goods fell in August, following a sizable advance over the preceding four months, and output of business equipment continued to drop at a rapid rate. Output of defense and space equipment expanded further. Limited information currently available for September was generally indicative of some further decline in production. Nonfarm payroll employment fell further in August, mainly reflecting sizable job losses in the manufacturing and trade sectors. In contrast to the payroll data, the survey of households indicated an increase in employment, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 9.8 percent. But initial claims for unemployment insurance rose to a new high in mid- 122 FOMC Policy Actions September, suggesting further deterioration in the labor markets. The Department of Commerce survey of business spending plans taken in late July and August suggested that businesses had again reduced their spending plans for 1982. The survey results indicated that current-dollar expenditures for plant and equipment would rise only 3A of a percent in 1982, compared with an estimated 2lA percent in the May survey and 7 lA percent in the February survey. Actual expansion in 1981 was about 83/4 percent. Private housing starts fell in August to an annual rate of 1.0 million units, reversing much of the substantial increase in July. While starts in August were above the average in the second quarter, they remained quite low by historical standards. Sales of existing homes declined 5 percent in August to the lowest monthly pace since 1970, while sales of new homes continued at the sluggish pace of recent months. The producer price index for finished goods rose 0.6 percent in August, the same as in July. The consumer price index rose only 0.3 percent in August; food prices declined for the second consecutive month and energy prices leveled off after increasing sharply over the preceding three months. So far this year the producer price index and the consumer price index had risen at annual rates of about 33A percent and 5 percent respectively. In recent months the advance in the index of average hourly earnings had remained considerably less rapid than during 1981. In foreign exchange markets the trade-weighted value of the dollar had risen about 5 percent over the period since the last FOMC meeting. The dollar's strength reflected in part a continuing concern in the market about economic and financial difficulties abroad and also some firming of U.S. interest rates relative to foreign rates after a considerable drop earlier. The U.S. foreign trade deficit rose sharply in August, reflecting primarily a substantial rebound in nonpetroleum imports. The deficit on average in July and August was at a rate well above that for the first half of the year, mainly because of increased imports of oil. At its meeting on August 24, the Committee had agreed to continue seeking behavior of reserve aggregates consistent with growth of Ml and M2 from June to September at annual rates of about 5 percent and about 9 percent respectively. It had also agreed that somewhat more rapid growth in the monetary aggregates would be acceptable depending upon evidence that economic and financial uncertainties were leading to exceptional liquidity demands and changes in holdings of financial assets. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating further consultations of the Committee, was set at 7 to 11 percent. Following three months of weakness, Ml grew at an annual rate of about IOV2 percent in August and appeared to have grown more rapidly in September. Much of the strength of Ml was accounted for by rapid growth in other checkable deposits, but demand deposits also expanded in both months, after contracting on average since early in the year. The expansion in checkable deposits may have reflected in part the early impact on take-home pay of the tax cut as well as unusual liquidity demands in the face of FOMC Policy Actions continued economic uncertainties. Moreover, the lower level of shortterm market interest rates had reduced the earnings disadvantage of keeping funds in checkable accounts. Growth in M2 accelerated to an annual rate of about 14!/4 percent in August, but was estimated to have slowed substantially in September as expansion in its nontransaction component decelerated markedly. Total credit outstanding at U.S. commercial banks grew at an annual rate of about 6!/2 percent in August, the same as in July but well below the pace in the first half of the year. Partial data for September suggested that growth slowed somewhat despite a pickup in growth of business loans from the sharply reduced August pace; a significant part of the strengthening in business loans appeared to have been associated with merger activity. Other short-term borrowing by nonfinancial businesses generally was weak: the volume of commercial paper outstanding edged down in August and dropped further in September. However, the weakness in short-term borrowing was largely offset by increased long-term financing in the bond market. Total reserves expanded quite rapidly in September, after having grown relatively little on average over the preceding several months. A little less than half of the September growth in total reserves was supplied by nonborrowed reserves, and adjustment borrowing (including seasonal borrowing) by depository institutions increased from an average of about $420 million in August to about $815 million in September. Most short-term market interest rates rose somewhat on balance over the intermeeting interval. Rates had 123 declined substantially over the preceding two months, and decreases were particularly marked around the time of the August 24 meeting of the Committee, when expectations of continued declines in short-term market rates were strong. Effective August 27, the Federal Reserve discount rate was reduced from lOVi to 10 percent. Subsequently federal funds traded at rates somewhat above the discount rate, as compared with a trading level of around 9 percent in the last statement week of August, and rates on private short-term instruments also rose by about 1 to 2 percentage points from their late August lows. At the same time, rates on Treasury bills moved up only slightly, partly reflecting the increased preference for quality on the part of investors. The well-publicized problems in recent months of a few banks here and abroad, the acute external financing difficulties of Mexico, and emerging financing problems in other developing countries led to a more cautious atmosphere in private credit markets and a widening of yield spreads between U.S. government securities and some private credit instruments. Bond yields continued to decline over the intermeeting period, falling !/4 to 3A percentage point. Average rates on new commitments for fixedrate conventional home mortgage loans declined about 1 percentage point. The staff projections presented at this meeting suggested that real GNP would grow moderately in the course of 1983, but that any recovery in economic activity in the months just ahead was likely to be quite limited. The projections for the year ahead also suggested that unemployment would remain at a high 124 FOMC Policy Actions level. The rise in prices, as measured by the fixed-weight price index for gross domestic business product, was expected to slow gradually from a rate in the third quarter of 1982 that was estimated to be somewhat higher than that in the first half of the year. In the Committee's discussion of the economic situation and policy, it was generally agreed that growth in real GNP over the next year at about the relatively restrained pace projected by the staff was a reasonable expectation. Expansion in output at a somewhat faster pace might occur, if consumer and business confidence in the outlook improved during the next few months. So far, however, the widely held expectations of recovery beginning in the spring or summer had been disappointed, and there were still no signs of a strengthening in the economy. The projected expansion in consumer demands associated with the midyear cut in federal income taxes had not yet developed; prospects for business plant and equipment spending and for commercial construction had deteriorated; and agricultural income and expenditures had remained depressed. In September industrial output and employment most likely had declined further, and the unemployment rate had almost surely risen from the July-August level of 9.8 percent. Against that background, it was recognized that there were risks of a shortfall from the projection of moderate growth in real GNP over the quarters ahead. At the same time, progress in reducing the rate of inflation had been substantial, exceeding expectations of many, even after allowance for the influence of volatile prices of energy products and foods. More over, further moderation in labor cost and price pressures and also in inflationary expectations was a reasonable anticipation, given an environment of moderate expansion in output and employment, relatively low levels of resource utilization, and prospects for improvement in productivity. Domestic problems were being intensified because the recession in economic activity was worldwide; it had affected every major industrial country and, through its impact on foreign trade and commodity prices, the developing countries as well. Many of the latter countries had accumulated large external debts over a number of years, and they now faced difficult financing and adjustment problems. Altogether, these circumstances had been contributing to an atmosphere of nervous uncertainty, which was reflected in, among other things, the foreign exchange value of the dollar. Over recent months, the dollar had risen against other major currencies even when dollar interest rates were declining relative to foreign rates, and the high exchange value currently had serious implications both for U.S. export industries and for efforts abroad to pursue flexible monetary policies. The U.S. banking system had been subjected to pressures, owing in part to well-known problems of particular institutions but also to a more general uneasiness about the possibility of further credit problems domestically or internationally. An unusually cautious attitude in private credit markets had led to a widening of risk premiums, with the result that private interest rates had declined less than rates on Treasury securities since midsummer, and in FOMC Policy Actions recent weeks private short-term market rates had tended to move up. Altogether, these circumstances appeared to have been associated with business efforts to generate and conserve cash, with market participants' concerns about the quality of credit, and with a general increase in precautionary demands for money and liquidity. In financial markets and elsewhere, a sense of disarray could develop, which could increase the atmosphere of uncertainty. With respect to the period ahead, the Committee continued to face uncertainties about the interpretation of the behavior of the monetary aggregates in general, arising from the impact of the current economic environment on precautionary demands for money and liquidity. Moreover, the behavior of Ml in particular during the final three months of the year would inevitably be distorted by two institutional developments. First, a very large volume of all savers certificates would mature in the first part of October, and disposition of the proceeds could be expected to induce temporary bulges in both the demand deposit and NOW account components of Ml. Second, later in the quarter, as the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee (DIDC) implemented recent legislation, depository institutions would be authorized to offer a new account (or accounts) that would be free from interest rate ceilings, would be usable to some degree for transaction purposes, and would be competitive with money market mutual funds. The new account was likely to have a substantial impact on the behavior of Ml, but no basis existed for predicting its magnitude. While the new account seemed likely to have a depressing effect on currently 125 defined Ml as it drew money from NOW accounts, the direction of the overall effect was in some doubt since that would depend in part on the exact characteristics of the instrument or instruments authorized by the DIDC. The new instrument could include even more transaction features than the account specifically provided for in the legislation. The new instrument could also be expected to affect the composition of M2 and perhaps in some degree its total as well. It seemed clear, however, that the new instrument would affect the behavior of M2 and other broader aggregates to a much smaller extent than that of Ml. Because of these difficulties in interpreting the behavior of Ml during the fourth quarter, the Committee decided that it would place much less than the usual weight on that aggregate's movements during this period and that it would not set a specific objective for its growth. In the view of most members, against the background of prevailing economic and financial developments, added pressures on bank reserve positions and money markets in response to a bulge in Ml related to the maturing of all saver certificates were not justified; indeed, some easing of the pressures of recent weeks in some sectors of the private credit markets would be desirable, if that could be consistent with growth in the broader aggregates in line with longer-term objectives. The Committee agreed that in all the circumstances, it would seek to maintain expansion in bank reserves needed for an orderly and sustained flow of money and credit, consistent with growth of M2 (and M3) from September to December at an annual rate in a range of around 8V2 to 9Vi 126 FOMC Policy Actions percent, and taking account of the desirability of somewhat reduced pressures in private credit markets in the light of current economic conditions. Growth of M2 from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 might be somewhat above the range for the year that the Committee had reaffirmed in July; the Committee had also agreed then that for a time it would tolerate growth somewhat above the target range, in the event of unusual precautionary demands for money and liquidity, and that such growth would be consistent with longerterm objectives. Recent and prospective market and economic conditions appeared consistent with that approach. Somewhat slower growth over the period from September to December, bringing those aggregates around the upper part of the ranges for the year ending in the fourth quarter of 1982, would be acceptable and desirable in a context of declining interest rates. Should economic and financial uncertainties lead to still stronger liquidity demands, somewhat more rapid growth in the broader aggregates would be tolerated. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating further consultation of the Committee, was set at 7 to 10!/2 percent. The following domestic policy directive was issued to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York: industrial production and nonfarm payroll employment also declined. Housing starts fell, reversing much of the substantial July increase. The unemployment rate was unchanged at 9.8 percent in August, but claims for unemployment insurance have risen further in recent weeks and there are indications of some further decline in production. In recent months the advance in the index of average hourly earnings has remained considerably less rapid than during 1981. The weighted average value of the dollar against major foreign currencies has risen strongly further over the past month, reflecting in part a continuing concern in the market about economic and financial difficulties abroad and also some firming of U.S. interest rates relative to foreign rates after a considerable drop earlier. The U.S. merchandise trade deficit rose sharply in August and on average in July and August the deficit rate was well above that for the first half. After three months of weakness, Ml grew rapidly in August and September; growth in M2 accelerated in August from an already rapid pace but appears to have slowed markedly in September. Following large declines over the preceding two months, short-term market interest rates have risen somewhat on balance since late August, while bond yields and mortgage rates have continued to decline. The Federal Reserve discount rate was reduced from IOV2 percent to 10 percent in late August. Meanwhile, reflecting some well-publicized problems in recent months of a few banks here and abroad and the financing difficulties of Mexico, a more cautious atmosphere in private credit markets has been reflected in wider spreads between U.S. government and some private credit instruments. The Federal Open Market Committee seeks to foster monetary and financial conditions that will help to reduce inflation, promote a resumption of growth in output on a sustainable basis, and conThe information reviewed at this meet- tribute to a sustainable pattern of intering suggests that real GNP changed little national transactions. In July, the Comin the third quarter, following a small mittee agreed that these objectives increase in the second quarter, while would be furthered by reaffirming the prices on the average continued to rise monetary growth ranges for the period more slowly than in 1981. In August the from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the nominal value of retail sales fell back to fourth quarter of 1982 that it had set at the sharply reduced June level, while the February meeting. These ranges FOMC Policy Actions were 2Vi to 5'/2 percent for Ml, 6 to 9 percent for M2, and 6'/2 to 9V2 percent for M3. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. The Committee agreed that growth in the monetary and credit aggregates around the top of the indicated ranges would be acceptable in the light of the relatively low base period for the Ml target and other factors, and that it would tolerate for some period of time growth somewhat above the target range should unusual precautionary demands for money and liquidity be evident in the light of current economic uncertainties. The Committee also indicated that it was tentatively planning to continue the current ranges for 1983 but that it would review that decision carefully in the light of developments over the remainder of 1982. Specification of the behavior of Ml over the balance of the year is subject to unusually great uncertainties because it will be substantially affected by special circumstances—in the very near term by reinvestment of funds from maturing all savers certificates and later by the public's response to the new account directly competitive with money market funds mandated by recent legislation. The probable difficulties in interpretation of Ml during the period suggest much less than usual weight be placed on movements in that aggregate during the current quarter. These developments are expected to affect M2 and other broader aggregates to a much smaller extent. In all the circumstances, the Committee seeks to maintain expansion in bank reserves needed for an orderly and sustained flow of money and credit, consistent with growth of M2 (and M3) in a range of around SVi to 9!/2 percent at an annual rate from September to December, and taking account of the desirability of somewhat reduced pressures in private credit markets in the light of current economic conditions. Somewhat slower growth, bringing those aggregates around the upper part of the ranges set for the year, would be acceptable and desirable in a context of declining interest rates. Should economic and financial uncertainties lead to exceptional liquidity demands, somewhat more rapid growth in the broader aggregates would be tolerated. The Chairman may call for Committee consultation if it appears to 127 the Manager for Domestic Operations that pursuit of the monetary objectives and related reserve paths during the period before the next meeting is likely to be associated with a federal funds rate persistently outside a range of 7 to 10'/2 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Gramley, Martin, Partee, Rice, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Wallich. Votes against this action: Messrs. Black and Ford and Mrs. Horn. Mr. Black dissented from this action because he preferred to direct operations in the period immediately ahead toward restraining monetary growth. Although he was mindful of the current difficulties of interpreting the behavior of Ml, he was concerned that the recent strength in Ml might be followed by still more rapid growth in lagged response to the substantial decline in short-term interest rates that had occurred in the summer, which could require even more restrictive operations later. Mr. Ford dissented from this action because he preferred a policy for the period immediately ahead that was more firmly directed toward restraining monetary growth, although he recognized that the behavior of Ml in particular would be difficult to interpret. He was concerned that the Committee's policy directive might be misinterpreted in ways that could adversely affect pursuit of the System's longer-run antiinflationary objectives, particularly in the context of a highly expansive fiscal policy program. Mrs. Horn dissented from this action because she preferred to continue setting a specific objective for growth of Ml, as well as for M2, over the current quarter, notwithstanding the problems of interpreting 128 FOMC Policy Actions its behavior. In setting a target for Ml, she would tolerate faster growth early in the period, owing to the uncertain impact of the proceeds from maturing all savers certificates, and would give greater weight to the behavior of M2 for some weeks after the introduction of the new instrument at depository institutions. 1981. Output of business equipment fell substantially further in October, and as in other recent months, defense and space equipment was the only major category of final products showing strength. Capacity utilization in manufacturing fell 0.8 percentage point to 68.4 percent, the lowest level in the postwar period. Nonfarm payroll employment fell further in October, declining slightly more than the average over the preMeeting Held vious four months. Cutbacks in emon November 16, 1982 ployment were widespread and were especially marked in durables manu1. Domestic Policy Directive facturing. The unemployment rate The information reviewed at this rose an additional 0.3 percentage meeting suggested that real GNP point to 10.4 percent, with the rise would change little in the fourth concentrated among adult workers. quarter, after increasing at an annual In recent weeks, moreover, initial rate of 3A percent in the third quarter claims for unemployment insurance according to preliminary estimates remained exceptionally high. of the Commerce Department. AverPrivate housing starts rose in Sepage prices, as measured by the fixed- tember and in the third quarter as a weight price index for gross do- whole were nearly 17 percent higher mestic business product, were than in the second quarter. Most of continuing to rise at a much less the third-quarter increase was in the rapid pace than in 1981. multifamily sector and was attributThe nominal value of retail sales able mainly to a surge in federally rose 0.6 percent in October, but the subsidized rental units at the end of level was little higher than in the the fiscal year. In September, newly second and third quarters. Sales in- issued permits for both single-family creased at automotive outlets and and multifamily dwellings rose subfurniture and appliance stores, but stantially. Sales of new homes also edged down at nondurable goods advanced appreciably, exceeding stores. Unit sales of new domestic the 1981 average rate for the first automobiles fell back to an annual time this year; sales of existing rate of 5.3 million units, after having homes, however, remained at the increased to an annual rate of 6.2 reduced August pace. million units in September in reThe producer price index for finsponse to special promotions aimed ished goods rose 0.5 percent in Octoat reducing excess stocks of 1982 ber, following a decline of 0.1 permodels. cent in September. Most of the The index of industrial production October increase was attributable to declined 0.8 percent in October, a higher prices for motor vehicles, little more than in both August and which had been reduced in SeptemSeptember, and was about HVi per- ber by end-of-year liquidation allowcent below its recent peak in July ances and discounts on 1982 models. FOMC Policy Actions Prices of consumer foods and energy-related items edged down in October. Over the first ten months of the year the index rose at an annual rate of about VA percent, less than half the pace in 1981. The consumer price index rose 0.2 percent in September, as the homeownership component declined and most other categories registered relatively small increases. Over the first nine months of the year the index rose at an annual rate of about 43/4 percent, compared with an increase of about 9 percent in 1981. In recent months the advance in the index of average hourly earnings had remained considerably less rapid than it was during 1981. In foreign exchange markets the trade-weighted value of the dollar against major foreign currencies continued to appreciate from the end of September to mid-November. The dollar strengthened further despite somewhat greater declines, on balance, in U.S. interest rates than in foreign interest rates over the period. Moreover, release of data indicating that the U.S. merchandise trade deficit in the third quarter was more than double the rate in the first two quarters of the year apparently had little impact on exchange rates. At its meeting on October 5, the Committee had agreed that it would seek to maintain expansion in bank reserves needed for an orderly and sustained flow of money and credit, consistent with growth of M2 (and M3) from September to December at an annual rate in a range of around %Vi to 9Vi percent, and taking account of the desirability of somewhat reduced pressures in private credit markets in the light of current economic conditions. Somewhat slower growth, bringing those aggre 129 gates around the upper part of the ranges set for the year, would be acceptable and desirable in a context of declining interest rates. Should economic and financial uncertainties lead to exceptional liquidity demands, somewhat more rapid growth would be tolerated. The Committee had also decided that it would place much less than the usual weight on the movements of Ml during the period from September to December and would not set a specific objective for its growth, because its behavior would be substantially affected by special circumstances. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating further consultation of the Committee, was set at 7 to W/i percent. Growth of M2 and M3, which had been sluggish in September, picked up to annual rates of about 8 percent and 9 percent respectively in October; still, growth remained below the brisk pace of earlier in the year. Growth of Ml surged to an annual rate of a little over 20 percent, influenced by shifts of funds in connection with the large volume of maturing all savers certificates. Total credit outstanding at U.S. commercial banks grew at an annual rate of about 7 percent in October, up somewhat from the reduced September pace. Banks acquired a sizable volume of U.S. Treasury securities, but growth in loans generally remained relatively weak. Total short-term borrowing by nonfinancial businesses slowed further, as growth in business loans at banks moderated and the volume of commercial paper outstanding contracted substantially for the second month in a row. However, the weakness in short-term borrowing was 130 FOMC Policy Actions offset in part by an increase in longterm financing in the bond market. The demand for reserves was relatively strong in October, reflecting particularly the rapid growth of Ml. Nonborrowed reserves grew rapidly, and adjustment borrowing (including seasonal borrowing) fell to an average of $337 million in October from an average of $815 million in September. Short-term market interest rates on private instruments declined about 1 Vi percentage points on balance over the intermeeting interval, after a temporary reversal in September. Yields on short-term U.S. Treasury securities declined less, by about 3A to 1 percentage point, and the rate on three-month Treasury bills actually rose somewhat. Quality spreads in the money markets, after widening in September, had narrowed in recent weeks as concerns about private credit risks apparently lessened. On October 8 the Federal Reserve announced a reduction in the discount rate from 10 percent to 9!/2 percent. Shortly thereafter, and over the balance of the intermeeting interval, federal funds traded at rates close to the new discount rate, compared with a trading level somewhat above 10 percent in September and early October. In the long-term capital markets, bond yields continued to decline over the period, falling about 1 to VA percentage points; common stock prices advanced sharply, with many indexes touching new highs in early November. In home mortgage markets, average rates on new commitments for fixed-rate conventional home mortgage loans declined about VA percentage points further to around 137s percent. The staff projections presented at this meeting, like those of early October, suggested that real GNP would grow moderately during 1983, but that any recovery in economic activity in the months just ahead was likely to be quite limited. The projections for the year ahead also suggested that unemployment would remain at a high level. The rate of increase in prices, as measured by the fixedweight price index for gross domestic business product, was expected to drift down. In the Committee's discussion of the economic situation and outlook, several members commented that the staff projection of moderate growth over the year ahead remained a reasonable expectation and the view was expressed that the projected growth could be exceeded. However, many members continued to stress that there were substantial risks of a shortfall from the projection. Considerable emphasis was given to the widespread signs of weakness in economic activity and to the continuing absence of evidence that an economic recovery might be under way. In the view of some members, a number of indicators of economic activity were in fact consistent with a further decline, at least over the near term. Reference was also made to the unusually sharp impact of the drop in exports—the consequence of worldwide recession and of the very high foreign exchange value of the dollar—and to expectations of a very slow recovery abroad. Moreover, the prospects for worldwide recovery were complicated by the financing difficulties of many developing countries. Although widely held expectations of a domestic recovery had been repeatedly disappointed, the members FOMC Policy Actions noted that the large decline in interest rates over recent months had eased financial strains in the economy, fostered some recovery in housing and related industries, and appeared in recent weeks to have improved confidence somewhat among businessmen and consumers. One indicator of the less bearish sentiment was the decline in risk premiums in securities markets as rates on private credit instruments had fallen in recent weeks relative to those on U.S. government obligations. The improvement in attitudes was also reflected in the sharp rise of prices in the stock market. Several members commented, however, that the apparent easing of concerns was still quite tentative and could easily be reversed, with highly adverse consequences for the economy, if interest rates were to rise significantly from current levels. Some Committee members, while acknowledging the absence of evidence of an imminent upturn in economic activity, nonetheless viewed the prospects for recovery as relatively favorable. They emphasized that fiscal policy and monetary policy tended to exert their impacts with a lag and that the sharp turn toward fiscal stimulus and the easing of conditions in financial markets were relatively recent developments. In this connection, concern was expressed that an overly expansive combination of fiscal and monetary policies would stimulate inflationary expectations, foster a rise in long-term interest rates, and limit or abort the economic recovery. Turning to policy, the Committee reviewed the short-run objectives for monetary growth that it had established at its meeting on October 5 calling for expansion in M2 (and M3) at an annual rate in a range of around 131 8V2 to 9!/2 percent for the period from September to December. No specific objective had been set for Ml growth in the fourth quarter because of the anticipated difficulty of interpreting the behavior of that aggregate during the quarter. In their discussion the Committee members agreed that the behavior of Ml would continue to be distorted by institutional developments. The first involved the large buildup of checkable deposits associated with the maturing of a very large volume of all savers certificates, especially in early October. The resulting bulge in Ml growth had persisted somewhat longer than some members had anticipated; but, according to a staff analysis, Ml growth could be expected to decelerate over the balance of the quarter as the transaction balances built up from maturing all savers certificates were invested or drawn down. Growth of Ml and also M2 could be positively affected in the near term, however, by a possible buildup of balances for eventual placement in the short-term deposit account that had recently been authorized by the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee, effective December 14, 1982. It was generally expected that the new account, which would be free from interest rate ceilings and could be used to a limited extent for transaction purposes, would draw funds from regular transaction accounts, thereby tending to reduce Ml after its introduction. In view of these institutional distortions, the Committee decided that it would continue to give much less than the usual weight to Ml and that it would not set a specific objective for its growth over the fourth quarter. The behavior of M2 and M3, 132 FOMC Policy Actions though not of their components, appeared to have been affected only marginally by the maturing of all savers certificates, and these broader aggregates were also expected to be affected much less than Ml when the new deposit account was introduced in mid-December. In reviewing the growth objectives for M2 and M3 that had been set for the fourth quarter, most of the Committee members endorsed the view that monetary growth running somewhat above the Committee's target ranges set early in the year was appropriate given the indications of continuing strong demands for liquidity during a period of relatively weak economic activity. In that connection, emphasis was placed by some members on the evidence that velocity trends over the past year or so seemed to suggest a distinct break from earlier postwar experience. While questions could be raised about the persistence of the slowdown in velocity, available evidence suggested that unusual economic and financial uncertainties, as well as lower interest rates, were inducing a greater desire to hold liquid assets than had been assumed in setting the annual targets. With regard to the choice of specific objectives for the broader aggregates in the fourth quarter, all of the members favored growth rates that were within or slightly above the range adopted at the October 5 meeting. It was suggested that such growth rates would balance the desirability of meeting current liquidity needs and fostering economic recovery against the risk of creating excess liquidity that might later complicate the achievement of sustained progress toward price stability, particularly in light of the prospect of continuing large deficits as the economy recovered. Several members commented that further declines in interest rates would be welcome for both domestic and international reasons, but concern was also expressed that any sizable declines in association with unduly rapid monetary growth could prove to be unsustainable, with unsettling effects on financial markets and adverse consequences for inflationary expectations and the economy. At the conclusion of its discussion the Committee agreed that, against the background of prevailing economic and financial conditions and current liquidity demands, it would seek to maintain expansion in bank reserves needed for an orderly and sustained flow of money and credit, consistent with growth of M2 (and M3) from September to December at an annual rate of around 9Vi percent. The Committee also decided that somewhat slower growth in M2 and M3, to the extent of reducing their expansion for the year to nearer the upper part of the ranges for 1982, would be acceptable and desirable if such growth were associated with declining interest rates. On the other hand, somewhat more rapid growth would be tolerated if continuing economic and financial uncertainties should appear to be reflected in exceptional liquidity demands. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating further consultation of the Committee, was set at 6 to 10 percent. The following domestic policy directive was issued to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York: The information reviewed at this meeting suggests little change in real GNP in FOMC Policy Actions the fourth quarter and continuation of the rise in prices at a much less rapid pace than in 1981. In October the nominal value of retail sales edged up, but was little higher than in the second and third quarters; industrial production and nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline; and the unemployment rate rose another 0.3 percentage point to 10.4 percent. Initial claims for unemployment insurance have remained exceptionally high. In September and the third quarter as a whole, housing starts had strengthened. In recent months the advance in the index of average hourly earnings has remained considerably less rapid than during 1981. The weighted average value of the dollar against major foreign currencies continued to appreciate from the end of September to mid-November. The U.S. merchandise trade deficit in the third quarter was more than double the rate in the first two quarters of the year. Growth of M1, already rapid in August and September, accelerated sharply in October in association with the maturing of a large volume of all savers certificates. Growth of M2 and M3 picked up from sluggish rates in September, but remained below the brisk pace of earlier in the year. Most short-term market interest rates have declined on balance since early October, after a reversal in September, and bond yields and mortgage rates have declined further. On October 8 the Federal Reserve announced a reduction in the discount rate from 10 percent to 9Vi percent. Quality spreads in the money markets, which had widened, have narrowed in recent weeks as interest rates have declined, and common stock prices have advanced sharply. The Federal Open Market Committee seeks to foster monetary and financial conditions that will help to reduce inflation, promote a resumption of growth in output on a sustainable basis, and contribute to a sustainable pattern of international transactions. In July, the Committee agreed that these objectives would be furthered by reaffirming the monetary growth ranges for the period from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 that it had set at the February meeting. These ranges 133 were 2!/2 to 5Vi percent for Ml, 6 to 9 percent for M2, and 6V2 to 9XA percent for M3. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. The Committee agreed that growth in the monetary and credit aggregates around the top of the indicated ranges would be acceptable in the light of the relatively low base period for the Ml target and other factors, and that it would tolerate for some period of time growth somewhat above the target range should unusual precautionary demands for money and liquidity be evident in the light of current economic uncertainties. The Committee also indicated that it was tentatively planning to continue the current ranges for 1983 but that it would review that decision carefully in the light of developments over the remainder of 1982. Specification of the behavior of Ml over the balance of the year remains subject to substantial uncertainty because of special circumstances in connection with the reinvestment of funds from maturing all savers certificates and the public's response to the new account directly competitive with money market funds mandated by recent legislation. The difficulties in interpretation of Ml continue to suggest that much less than usual weight be placed on movements in that aggregate during the current quarter. In all the circumstances, the Committee seeks to maintain expansion in bank reserves needed for an orderly and sustained flow of money and credit, consistent with growth of M2 (and M3) of around 9Vi percent at an annual rate from September to December. Somewhat slower growth, bringing those aggregates around the upper part of the ranges set for the year, would be acceptable and desirable in a context of declining interest rates. Should economic and financial uncertainties lead to exceptional liquidity demands, somewhat more rapid growth in the broader aggregates would be tolerated. The Chairman may call for Committee consultation if it appears to the Manager for Domestic Operations that pursuit of the monetary objectives and related reserve paths during the period before the next meeting is likely to be associated with a federal funds rate persistently outside a range of 6 to 10 percent. 134 FOMC Policy Actions Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Black, Gramley, Mrs. Horn, Messrs. Martin, Partee, Rice, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Wallich. Vote against this action: Mr. Ford. the course of today's operations to provide reserves to meet increased seasonal needs. Meeting Held Mr. Ford dissented from this ac- on December 20-21, 1982 tion because he believed that it ran the risk of complementing very large 1. Domestic Policy Directive budget deficits with substantial in- The information reviewed at this creases in the supply of money. In meeting suggested that real GNP, his view the result would be an over- which had increased at an annual ly stimulative combination of poli- rate of 0.7 percent in the third quarcies that could rekindle inflation and ter, declined in the fourth quarter, drive up interest rates during 1983. although final sales apparently were maintained. The rise in average 2. Authorization for Domestic prices, as measured by the fixedOpen Market Operations weight price index for gross domestic business product, remained much At this meeting the Committee voted less rapid than in 1981. to increase from $3 billion to $4 The nominal value of retail sales billion the limit on changes between rose about 2]A percent in November, Committee meetings in System Ac- after having increased IV2 percent count holdings of U.S. government over the preceding two months. Aland federal agency securities speci- though gains in November were refied in paragraph l(a) of the authori- corded for all major categories of zation for domestic open market op- stores, the rise was attributable erations, effective immediately, for mainly to a sharp increase in sales at the period from October 6, 1982, automotive outlets. Unit sales of through the close of business on new domestic automobiles increased November 16, 1982. to an annual rate of 63A million, as Votes for this action: Messrs. buyers responded to interest rate Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Black, concessions and other special proFord, Gramley, Mrs. Horn, Messrs. motions offered primarily on 1982 Martin, Partee, Rice, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Wallich. Votes against this models. In the first 10 days of December, however, sales fell back to action: None. an annual rate of 53A million units. This action was taken on the recPrivate housing starts, both singleommendation of the Manager for family and multifamily, rose subDomestic Operations. The Manager stantially in November, and at an had advised that substantial net pur- annual rate of 1.4 million units, were chases of securities in recent weeks nearly 500 thousand units higher had reduced to about $500 million than the rate in the first half of the the leeway for further purchases year. Newly issued permits for residuring the intermeeting period end- dential construction also strengthing with the close of business today. ened, rising 6 percent in November Purchases of securities in excess of after increasing 17 percent in Octothat leeway seemed desirable during ber. FOMC Policy Actions Business fixed investment spending appeared to be continuing the downtrend that began in mid-1981 as shipments and orders for nondefense capital goods declined in October, the latest month for which data were available. According to the Department of Commerce survey taken in late October and November, plant and equipment spending would rise only 2 percent in the first half of 1983 from the level in the second half of this year; in real terms, the survey results implied a decline of more than 2 percent. Along with capital spending, inventory investment was exerting a dampening influence on economic activity, as businesses continued their efforts to reduce inventories. The index of industrial production fell again in November, but the decline of 0.4 percent was half that in each of the preceding two months. Most major sectors registered reductions in output, with cutbacks especially pronounced in durable goods industries. Defense and space equipment continued to be the only major category of final products showing strength. Capacity utilization in manufacturing declined to 67.8 percent, a new postwar low. Nonfarm payroll employment fell 165,000 in November, about the same as the average monthly decline earlier in the year. Job losses were concentrated in the manufacturing sector, particularly durable goods manufacturing. The unemployment rate rose 0.4 percentage point to 10.8 percent. Initial claims for unemployment insurance, although down from the peaks in early autumn, remained relatively high. The producer price index for finished goods rose 0.6 percent in November. More than half of the rise 135 was attributable to sharp increases in prices of energy-related items; prices of consumer foods declined somewhat, while prices of other consumer goods rose moderately. Over the first 11 months of the year the index increased at an annual rate of about 33/4 percent. The consumer price index edged up only 0.1 percent in November, as homeownership costs declined and price increases for most other major expenditure categories slowed. Thus far in 1982 the index had risen at an annual rate of about Axh percent, half the pace in 1981. The advance in the index for average hourly earnings slowed appreciably to an annual rate of 4!/2 percent from June to November, compared with an annual rate of 6!/2 percent over the first half of 1982 and about 8V2 percent during 1981. In foreign exchange markets the trade-weighted value of the dollar against major foreign currencies had declined about 4!/2 percent from peaks reached in early November. A major factor in the decline apparently was the market's reassessment of prospects for the U.S. foreign trade and current accounts. In October the U.S. foreign trade deficit rose sharply further: agricultural exports declined somewhat from the reduced third-quarter rate, and nonagricultural exports fell substantially while imports rose. At its meeting on November 16, the Committee had agreed that it would seek to maintain expansion in bank reserves needed for an orderly and sustained flow of money and credit, consistent with growth of M2 (and M3) from September to December at an annual rate of around 9!/2 percent. The Committee also decided that somewhat slower growth in M2 and M3, to the extent of reducing 136 FOMC Policy Actions their expansion for the year to nearer the upper part of the ranges set for 1982, would be acceptable and desirable if such growth were associated with declining interest rates. On the other hand, somewhat more rapid growth would be tolerated if continuing economic and financial uncertainties should appear to be reflected in exceptional demands for liquidity. The Committee had also decided that it would continue to place much less than the usual weight on the movements of Ml during the period from September to December and would not set a specific objective for its growth over the fourth quarter. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating further consultation of the Committee, was set at 6 to 10 percent. The demand for reserves remained strong in November, reflecting particularly the continuing rapid growth of transaction balances. Nonborrowed reserves grew rapidly, although less so than in October, and adjustment borrowing (including seasonal borrowing) rose to an average of $433 million in November from an average of $337 million in October. M2 grew at annual rates of about 8V4 percent and IVA percent in October and November respectively, and M3 grew at an annual rate of about 9VApercent in both months. On average, expansion in these broader aggregates had remained at about or somewhat below the rates of earlier in the year. On the basis of partial data, however, it was estimated that expansion in M2 and M3 had slowed substantially in recent weeks. Growth of Ml had remained rapid in recent months, influenced by shifts of funds associated with the maturing in early October of a large volume of all savers certificates and possibly with the recent and prospective introduction of new deposit accounts at depository institutions. Expansion in total credit outstanding at U.S. commercial banks slowed to an annual rate of 1 Vi percent in November. Banks again acquired a sizable volume of U.S. Treasury securities, but their total loans outstanding fell. Business loans contracted at an annual rate of nearly 8 percent and security loans declined markedly, while real estate and consumer loans remained sluggish. The outstanding volume of commercial paper of nonfinancial businesses contracted substantially for the third successive month, as firms continued to raise funds in the longer-term capital markets. Short-term market interest rates declined about Vs to 3A percentage point on balance over the intermeeting period, while bond yields rose a little in response to unusually heavy borrowing by businesses and governments. The Federal Reserve announced reductions in the discount rate from W2 to 9 percent on November 19 and to 8V2 percent on December 13. In recent weeks federal funds had traded in the area of 8!/2 to 9 percent, compared with about 9Vi percent over the previous intermeeting interval. The prime rate charged by most commercial banks on shortterm business loans was reduced Vi percentage point to 11 Vi percent in late November. Average rates on new commitments for fixed-rate conventional home mortgage loans had edged down further in recent weeks. The staff projections presented at this meeting continued to suggest FOMC Policy Actions that real GNP would grow moderately during 1983. The projections also suggested that unemployment would remain at a high level. The rate of increase in prices, as measured by the fixed-weight price index for gross domestic business product, was expected to drift down. The views of Committee members with respect to the economic situation and outlook had changed little in the period since the Committee meeting in mid-November. Moderate growth in real GNP over the year ahead accompanied by some further improvement in the performance of prices continued in general to be regarded as a reasonable expectation. Since mid-November, it was observed, additional signs of a nearterm strengthening in activity had appeared, particularly in markets for housing and consumer goods, and there were indications of some improvements in business confidence in many parts of the country. At the same time, conditions in the industrial sector remained severely depressed, reflecting the sustained downtrend in business fixed investment, the ongoing efforts to pare business inventories, and the continued weakness in export markets. In some industries, the expansion in orders for defense equipment was providing at least a partial offset to the weakness in demands for nondefense equipment, but the translation of such orders into production and employment often involved extended lags. On balance, an upturn in economic activity appeared to be in the offing, although the evidence was not conclusive and some Committee members stressed that there were substantial risks of a shortfall from the staff projection. 137 As in mid-November, it was noted that financial market conditions had eased significantly since midyear, and fiscal policy over the second half of 1982 had become highly stimulative. In fact, some members continued to express concern that an overly expansive combination of fiscal and monetary policies might reinvigorate inflationary expectations, thereby fostering a rise in long-term interest rates that would limit or abort the expected recovery. At a meeting in July 1982, the Committee had reaffirmed the monetary growth ranges for the period from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 that it had set at its meeting in early February. These ranges were V/i to 5!/2 percent for Ml, 6 to 9 percent for M2, and 6V2 to 9!/2 percent for M3. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. The Committee had agreed that growth in the monetary and credit aggregates around the top of the indicated ranges would be acceptable in the light of the relatively low base period for the M1 target and other factors, and that it would tolerate for some period of time growth somewhat above the target range should unusual precautionary demands for money and liquidity be evident in the light of current uncertainties. The Committee had also indicated in July that it was tentatively planning to continue the current ranges for 1983. That decision will be reviewed at the Committee meeting scheduled for February 8-9, 1983, taking into account the latest economic developments and institutional changes associated with the new deposit accounts authorized by the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee (DIDC). In the Committee's discussion of 138 FOMC Policy Actions policy for the near term, the period from December 1982 to March 1983, the members considered objectives for monetary growth against the background of the tentative ranges for 1983 as a whole. In the discussion, it was recognized that the behavior of the aggregates would continue to be distorted by institutional developments relating to deregulation of interest rates on deposits. Depository institutions had begun to offer the new money market deposit account that had been authorized by the DIDC, effective December 14, 1982. This account had limited transaction features and, while included in M2, was excluded from Ml. The DIDC had also authorized a minimum balance NOW account free of interest rate ceilings, effective January 5, 1983, which would be included in Ml. The impact of the new accounts on the behavior of the monetary aggregates was highly uncertain, especially in the case of Ml for which even the direction of the impact was currently unclear. A staff analysis referred to the large pool of liquid assets that could be shifted into the new accounts, possibly during a relatively short period of time. The magnitude of such shifts and the allocation of funds between the two new accounts would depend on the competitive pricing and promotion of the accounts by depository institutions and on the response of depositors to interest rate relationships and to the elements of convenience. At one extreme, shifts of funds could be dominated by flows into the new NOW accounts, thereby causing Ml to rise sharply during some transition period. At the other extreme, money market deposit accounts might attract most of the shifted funds, including those from deposits in Ml, retarding the growth of Ml if not actually reducing its level. The shifts of funds would clearly work in the direction of expanding M2, although the magnitude of the effect was very uncertain. A large part of the shifts would probably represent a redistribution of funds among the components of M2, but in addition funds would shift into M2 from market instruments and from large-denomination certificates of deposit. Growth in M3 was expected to be affected the least because depository institutions would probably curtail their issuance of large-denomination certificates of deposit in response to the availability of funds through the new accounts. The timing of the various shifts was also subject to a great deal of uncertainty, although earlier experience with the introduction of NOW accounts suggested that a large part of the transition to the new accounts would be concentrated in a relatively short period of time. At its meetings held in October and November, the Committee had decided to place much less weight than usual on Ml in the fourth quarter and not to set a specific objective for its growth, because of the difficulties of interpreting its behavior in a period of major institutional changes. At this meeting, the members generally favored continuance of that reduced attention to Ml during the first quarter. Thus, the Committee focused on setting objectives for growth of M2 and M3. Reference was made to the fact that, despite some evidence of a deceleration in the growth of these broader aggregates most recently, FOMC Policy Actions their expansion over the year ending in the current quarter would be somewhat above the growth ranges that had been set by the Committee. At recent meetings, however, most Committee members had endorsed the view that monetary growth somewhat above those ranges was appropriate in light of the indications of strong demands for liquidity during a period of relatively weak economic activity. The income velocity of the broader aggregates, and also of Ml, appeared to have declined at an unusually sharp rate over the year. With respect to M2, most Committee members indicated a preference for setting a first-quarter growth rate that would allow for some modest shift of funds into components of that aggregate from market instruments and large-denomination certificates of deposit. They were prepared, however, to accept greater growth if analysis of incoming data and other evidence from depository institutions and market reports indicated that the new money market accounts were generating substantial shifts of funds into those aggregates from outside sources. During the Committee's discussion, the observation was made that the uncertainties that had generated unusual demands for liquidity in relation to GNP during 1982—and the accompanying decline in the velocity of the monetary aggregates— could be expected to abate as economic activity strengthened and consumer and business confidence improved. Thus, abstracting roughly from the impact of the new deposit accounts, the velocity of money could be expected to show much less weakness in 1983 than in 1982, though whether it might continue to 139 be affected by strong liquidity demands was open to question. At the conclusion of the discussion, the Committee decided to seek to maintain expansion in bank reserves consistent with growth of M2 at an annual rate of around W2 percent and growth of M3 at an annual rate of about 8 percent for the period from December to March. The objective for M2 would allow for a modest amount of growth resulting from shifts into the newly authorized money market deposit accounts from large-denomination certificates of deposit or market instruments. For both M2 and M3, the Committee indicated that greater growth would be acceptable if analysis of incoming data and other evidence from banking and market reports indicated that the new money market deposit accounts were generating more substantial shifts of funds into these broader aggregates from market instruments. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating further consultation of the Committee, was set at 6 to 10 percent. The following domestic policy directive was issued to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York: The information reviewed at this meeting suggests that real GNP declined in the fourth quarter, although final sales apparently were maintained, and that the rise in prices remained much less rapid than in 1981. Retail sales and housing activity have strengthened in recent months, but business fixed investment apparently has weakened further and efforts to reduce inventories have continued. In November industrial production and nonfarm payroll employment declined further, and the unemployment rate rose 0.4 percentage point to 10.8 percent. Initial claims for unemployment insurance, although down from the early autumn peaks, have remained relatively 140 FOMC Policy Actions high. In recent months the advance in the index of average hourly earnings has slowed appreciably further. The weighted average value of the dollar against major foreign currencies has declined from peaks reached in early November. The U.S. merchandise trade deficit rose sharply further in October. Growth of Ml has remained rapid in recent months, while growth of M2 and M3 has continued at about or somewhat below the rates of earlier in the year. On balance short-term market interest rates have declined since mid-November, while bond yields have risen somewhat in response to unusually heavy borrowing by businesses and governments; mortgage rates have edged down further. The Federal Reserve announced reductions in the discount rate from 9Vi percent to 9 percent on November 19 and to 8!/2 percent on December 13. The Federal Open Market Committee seeks to foster monetary and financial conditions that will help to reduce inflation, promote a resumption of growth in output on a sustainable basis, and contribute to a sustainable pattern of international transactions. In July, the Committee agreed that these objectives would be furthered by reaffirming the monetary growth ranges for the period from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 that it had set at the February meeting. These ranges were 2Vi to 5Vi percent for Ml, 6 to 9 percent for M2, and 6I/2 to 9 Vi percent for M3. The associated range for bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. The Committee agreed that growth in the monetary and credit aggregates around the top of the indicated ranges would be acceptable in the light of the relatively low base period for the Ml target and other factors, and that it would tolerate for some period of time growth somewhat above the target should unusual precautionary demands for money and liquidity be evident in the light of current economic uncertainties. The Committee had also earlier indicated that it was tentatively planning to continue the current ranges for 1983, but it will review that decision carefully at its February 1983 meeting in light of economic developments and institutional changes associated with the new deposit accounts authorized by the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee. Specification of the behavior of Ml over the months ahead remains subject to substantial uncertainty because of special circumstances in connection with the public's response to the new deposit accounts available at depository institutions. The difficulties in interpretation of Ml continue to suggest that much less than usual weight be placed on movements in that aggregate during the coming quarter. The institutional changes also add a degree of uncertainty to the behavior of the broader monetary aggregates. In all the circumstances, the Committee seeks to maintain expansion in bank reserves consistent with growth of M2 of around 9Vi percent at an annual rate, and of M3 at about an 8 percent rate, from December to March, allowing in the case of M2 for modest shifting into the new money market accounts from large-denomination CDs or market instruments. The Committee indicated that greater growth would be acceptable if analysis of incoming data and other evidence from bank and market reports indicate that the new money market accounts are generating more substantial shifts of funds into broader aggregates from market instruments. The Chairman may call for Committee consultation if it appears to the Manager for Domestic Operations that pursuit of the monetary objectives and related reserve paths during the period before the next meeting is likely to be associated with a federal funds rate persistently outside a range of 6 to 10 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Gramley, Mrs. Horn, Messrs. Martin, Partee, Rice, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Wallich. Votes against this action: Messrs. Black and Ford. Mr. Black dissented because he preferred to direct policy in the weeks immediately ahead toward ensuring that the growth of Ml, abstracting from temporary effects of the introduction of new money market deposit accounts, would moderate from the extremely rapid rate of recent months. While recognizing FOMC Policy Actions the difficulties in interpreting Ml currently, he was concerned that excessive underlying growth in that aggregate might reverse the progress achieved in reducing inflation and inflationary expectations and lead to substantially weaker markets for long-term securities. Mr. Ford dissented from this action because he continued to prefer a policy for the current period that was more firmly directed toward restraining monetary growth, after allowance for the short-run impact of the introduction of the new money market deposit accounts. He remained concerned that rapid expansion in the supply of money together with very large budget deficits would produce an overly stimulative combination of policies that could rekindle inflation and inflationary expectations and lead to higher interest rates during 1983 and 1984. The Committee subsequently, on several occasions, discussed the extraordinarily rapid growth in money market deposit accounts (MMDAs) that had taken place since they became available in mid-December and the implications of this growth for behavior and interpretation of the monetary aggregates. At a telephone conference on January 28, 1983, it was noted that these accounts had risen to a level of about $185 billion on average by the week ending January 19, leading to a very sharp expansion in M2. Estimates of sources of MMDA inflows at this time were inevitably subject to considerable uncertainty. Growth of M2 seemed clearly to be on a track well above the 9V2 percent annual rate for the December to March period set at the December meeting, but staff analysis—based on assessment of incom 141 ing data as well as various reports on sources of MMDA inflows—suggested it was possible that virtually all of the greater M2 growth might be attributed to unexpectedly large shifts into MMDAs out of instruments not included in M2. Effects on M3 were more problematical, but actual growth of this aggregate in December and January on average appeared to have been modest. Expansion of Ml had remained on the strong side; while there may have been some diversion from Ml to MMDAs, its growth very recently had been raised by the introduction of Super NOW accounts. It was the Committee consensus for the time being to maintain the existing degree of reserve restraint but not to increase this restraint further in response to the recent reported overtarget growth of the broader monetary aggregates because that growth appeared to be primarily related to the massive redistribution of funds currently under way. The situation will be reviewed at the FOMC meeting on February 8-9. 2. Authorization for Domestic Open Market Operations At this meeting the Committee voted to increase from $3 billion to $4 billion the limit on changes between Committee meetings in System Account holdings of U.S. government and federal agency securities specified in paragraph l(a) of the authorization for domestic open market operations, effective immediately, for the period ending with the close of business on February 9, 1983. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Black, Ford, Gramley, Mrs. Horn, Messrs. Martin, Partee, Rice, Mrs. Teeters, 142 FOMC Policy Actions and Mr. Wallich. Votes against this action: None. This action was taken on the recommendation of the Manager for Domestic Operations. The Manager had advised that substantial net sales of securities were likely to be required during January in order to absorb reserves that had been provided over recent weeks to meet seasonal needs for currency in circulation. On January 25-26, 1983, the Committee voted to approve an additional increase to $5.5 billion in the intermeeting limit on changes in holdings of U.S. government and federal agency securities, effective immediately, for the period ending with the close of business on February 9, 1983. This action was taken after the Manager had advised that the seasonal need to absorb reserves in association with the return flow of currency would be greater than anticipated earlier. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Solomon, Balles, Black, Ford, Gramley, Mrs. Horn, Messrs. Martin, Partee, Rice, Mrs. Teeters, and Mr. Wallich. Votes against this action: None. 143 Consumer and Community Affairs During 1982, the Board continued its efforts to reduce the costs of compliance with its consumer regulations, while maintaining the protections for consumers that the underlying statutes provide. These efforts followed a complete rewriting in 1981 of Regulation Z (Truth in Lending) and Regulation C (Home Mortgage Disclosure) to ease the burdens of compliance and to simplify and clarify regulatory provisions. The Board used several approaches during 1982 to carry out these efforts. It amended several consumer regulations to reduce or eliminate costly requirements that failed to provide proportionate benefits to consumers; unified interpretations of consumer regulations by providing commentaries that are updated periodically; distributed aids to help smaller institutions comply with the regulatory requirements; and gathered and analyzed information to assist in rulemaking and enforcement activities. All these actions are discussed in this report. The report also examines the extent of compliance in 1982 with Regulation Z (Truth in Lending), Regulation B (Equal Credit Opportunity), and Regulation E (Electronic Fund Transfers); legislative recommendations; the activities of the Consumer Advisory Council; and the Federal Reserve System's activities relating to the Community Reinvestment Act. Regulatory Actions Regulation Z and Regulation E were amended in 1982 to reflect statutory changes, changes in the marketplace, and new comparisons of the burdens of compliance with the benefits to consumers. Interpretations of Regulation B were adopted, and official staff commentaries of Regulation M (Consumer Leasing) and Regulation Z were issued. Arranger of Credit In October 1981, the Board published for comment a proposed amendment under which Regulation Z would apply to real estate brokers who arrange financing by the seller. This proposal was motivated both by statutory changes and by issues arising from the more frequent use of seller financing in the mortgage market. One of the original provisions of the Truth in Lending Simplification and Reform Act required that disclosures be given by persons who regularly arrange for consumer credit to be extended by someone who is not a creditor. However, neither the statutory amendment nor the formal legislative history defined "arrangers of credit" or clearly indicated the type of person intended to be covered. The commenters raised issues that called for a difficult balancing of benefits to consumers against burdens on brokers. Supporters argued, for example, that without truthin-lending disclosures, a consumer might not be alerted to a large balloon payment due after a few years. Moreover, the act would impose no greater responsibilities on real estate brokers than on others it covered. Opponents of the proposal argued that it would impose a burden 144 Consumer and Community Affairs without really assisting buyers because the principal purpose of the disclosure is to assist buyers in shopping for credit, and seller financing is usually arranged only when other kinds of financing are unobtainable and thus shopping for credit is to no avail. They also pointed out operational problems, and argued that no new burdens should be laid on a real estate industry already experiencing serious problems. In February, the Board amended the definition of "arranger of credit" in Regulation Z to exclude persons, such as real estate brokers, who arrange for seller financing of real property. In making this decision, the Board noted that the Congress was considering the issue and that if the Board covered brokers and they were later excluded by the Congress, the industry would incur needless expense in preparing to comply. In fact, the Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982, enacted in October, amended the Truth in Lending Act to exclude all arrangers of credit (including real estate brokers) from the definition of creditor and, therefore, from the coverage of the act. Seller's Points The Board also considered amending Regulation Z to require the annual percentage rate (APR) to include seller's points (an amount a lender requires the seller to pay to provide financing to the buyer). Because the exclusion of seller's points from the finance charge might have created a disclosure loophole, the Board in July proposed several alternatives: inclusion of seller's points in the calculation of finance charges and of annual percentage rates; an entry in Digitizeddisclosure for FRASER statements and advertise ments of the amount of seller's points being charged; a notice in disclosure statements and advertisements of the possible effect of seller's points on the accuracy of APRs; and such a notice in advertisements only. Half of the commenters urged the Board not to take any action. The Board found that the advantages of the disclosures to consumers would be uncertain and that the disclosures would involve costs and other burdens that appeared to outweigh their benefits. Accordingly, the Board decided in September not to amend Regulation Z at that time to require disclosure of seller's points. Preauthorized Electronic Transfers In October, the Board amended Regulation E to exempt financial institutions with assets of $25 million or less from its requirements concerning preauthorized electronic transfers. Many such institutions were subject to those requirements only because they receive electronically initiated social security transfers for their customers, and the Board found that most were unduly burdened by the requirements. In relieving such institutions of that burden, the Board hoped that more banks would undertake to provide electronic transfers and thus that consumers would benefit from the safety, certainty, and earlier availability of funds that the service makes possible. Other Amendments to Regulation E In 1982, Regulation E was amended in these other ways to reduce regulatory burdens without sacrificing consumer protection: • An exemption was provided from the requirement to disclose, on ter- Consumer and Community Affairs minal receipts, the type of account involved in an automated teller machine transaction, when only a single account can be accessed. • An exemption was provided from the requirement to provide a periodic statement for each account when a transfer is made between accounts of the same consumer in the same institution. • Modifications were made to the requirements for documentation and for procedures to resolve errors for transfers initiated outside the United States. Interpretations In October, the Board adopted interpretations of Regulation B to clarify procedures for compliance. The interpretations, effective April 1, 1983, address the application of Regulation B. The first discusses the ways a creditor can comply with the regulation's prohibition against discounting or excluding "protected income" while using judgmental and credit-scoring systems in considering a credit application. Protected income is income derived from alimony, child support, separate maintenance, part-time employment, retirement benefits, or public assistance. The second interpretation deals with the rules on the selection and disclosure of the principal reasons for adverse action. Also in October, the Board withdrew proposed amendments to the business credit provisions of the regulation because the costs and burdens appeared to outweigh limited benefits of the proposals. The amendments would have affected the requirements for recordkeeping and notification of adverse action in certain loan transactions, and would subjected business credit to the Digitizedhave for FRASER 145 general rule against asking for an applicant's marital status. The withdrawal of the proposals does not affect the substantive provisions of the Equal Credit Opportunity Act and Regulation B, which prohibit discrimination on the basis of sex, marital status, race, and certain other protected characteristics in any aspect of a credit transaction. State Exemptions In 1982, the Board granted exemptions from certain parts of the Truth in Lending Act to the states of Maine, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Oklahoma, and Wyoming. That act directs the Board to exempt from its provision transactions that are subject to state laws that meet certain requirements. Under the act, consumer credit transactions may be exempted from chapter 2 (credit transactions) if the applicable state law is substantially similar to the federal act and if the state demonstrates adequate provision for enforcement. The act sets the same exemption standards for chapter 4 (credit billing) and chapter 5 (consumer leases) respectively, but also directs the Board to consider whether the state law is more protective of the consumer. The Board also renewed the exemptions of Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Jersey, and New York from the disclosure requirements of the federal Home Mortgage Disclosure Act, as amended in 1980, and the Board's Regulation C, which implements the act. These exemptions are based on the determination that state law provides for substantially similar disclosures and that it contains adequate provision for enforcement. Finally, the Board terminated the exemption granted to 146 Consumer and Community Affairs state-licensed savings and loan associations in California in 1976. Such associations must comply with the federal act and Regulation C beginning with the reporting of data on loans made in calendar year 1982. Consolidation of Interpretations In May, the Board published an official staff commentary on Regulation M (Consumer Leasing). Like the commentaries on Regulations Z and E, this one, CL-1, consolidates all regulatory interpretations and provides for additions and changes to be grouped and issued periodically. The commentary, which modifies the staffs previous approach of providing interpretations one by one in response to specific inquiries, also provides interpretations of more general application. The changes in language, distribution, and organization should help institutions keep abreast of the official interpretations. In September, the Board published the first revision of its official staff commentary on Regulation Z. The changes generally provide more flexibility in compliance without compromising basic consumer protection. The Board plans to amend the commentary only when necessary to respond to significant questions or to clarify language. The revision addresses the following issues: • Use of the creditor's commercial lending rate as the base rate in variable-rate, open-end credit plans. • Application of the rules about finance charges to the offering of cash discounts in the sale of motorvehicle fuel. • Disclosures for several types of mortgage financing plans, including growth equity mortgages and graduated-payment, adjustable-rate mortgages. Compliance Aids Even the most exhaustive efforts to simplify regulations cannot eliminate all the burdens of compliance. The difficulties include mastering the details of the law and figuring out the effect of the rules on the institution's operations. In 1982, to make compliance easier, the Board distributed two aids: a booklet and a videotape. The Board developed the booklet, "A Guide to HMDA Reporting," to help smaller institutions use census tools and identify properties by census tract numbers in the course of complying with the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA). The 14page booklet, distributed to all financial institutions subject to the act, was developed in consultation with the U.S. Bureau of the Census. It explains the steps in the HMDA reporting process and how to use census tract maps and indexes. It also contains sample reporting forms, compliance checklists, and a directory of the regional offices of the Bureau of the Census. The two-hour videotape, "Regulation Z: The Simplified Rules," which provides an overview of the revised regulation, helped institutions comply with the simplified Truth in Lending rules by October 1, 1982, the mandatory compliance date. The Federal Reserve Banks lent copies of the tape without charge to financial institutions, mortgage lenders, retailers, and others. This service proved to be an effective and comparatively inexpensive way of educating institutions in advance. About 12,000 people viewed the tape in 1982; smaller institutions appear to have been the heaviest users. To help consumers understand their rights and responsibilities, the Board and the Federal Reserve Banks con- Consumer and Community Affairs tinued distribution of a range of popular pamphlets, films, and teaching aids; added "Your Credit Rights," a curriculum on credit laws produced by the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis; continued a series of nationwide workshops for teachers on credit issues; and provided technical assistance to the media and to private organizations preparing consumer education materials. Collection and Use of Data In 1982, the Board compiled, analyzed, and applied various data to strengthen its enforcement and rulewriting efforts. Consumer Survey To improve administration of consumer protection regulations to support monetary policy, the Board has joined with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), and the Departments of Health and Human Services, Labor, and the Treasury in sponsoring a comprehensive consumer survey in 1983. The survey, which will be conducted by the University of Michigan's Survey Research Center, will be the first in six years to correlate household balance sheets with consumer financial decisions, and the first in more than twenty years to collect comprehensive data on consumers' assets. It should help the Board determine the benefits to the consumer of the Truth in Lending Act, the Equal Credit Opportunity Act, and other consumer laws. After the survey is cleared by the Office of Management and Budget (under the Paperwork Reduction Act), the Survey Re 147 search Center will start interviewing in 5,000 households. Compliance Cost Survey In 1981 and 1982, the Board's Regulatory Improvement Project group surveyed approximately 100 banks to gather data on the incremental startup and on-going costs of complying with Regulations B (Equal Credit Opportunity), E (Electronic Fund Transfers), and Z (Truth in Lending). The banks were asked to furnish cost data for the following functional categories: administration, training, legal services, changes in data processing systems, labor, postage, statements, disclosures, and premises and equipment. The survey questions also gave the banks an opportunity to comment on the usefulness, effectiveness, and burden of specific regulatory provisions and to indicate which disclosures and documentation they would continue to provide in the absence of regulatory requirements. The Board will use the results of this study to weigh compliance costs against consumer benefits and to determine the need for any changes in the regulations. Consumer Complaints The Federal Reserve System investigates and resolves complaints against state member banks; it also forwards to the appropriate enforcement agencies any complaints it receives that involve other creditors or businesses. In 1982, the Federal Reserve's computerized logging system registered 2,840 complaints: 1,891 by letter, 908 by telephone, and 41 in person. In 1982, the System responded to 228 written inquiries concerning consumer credit laws and banking policies and procedures. In responding to both inquiries and complaints, the 148 Consumer and Community Affairs staff provides consumers with individualized explanations of laws, regulations, and banking practices, and with printed material relevant to their needs. The Board's Division of Consumer and Community Affairs assists the Reserve Banks in handling consumer complaints. Members of the Board's staff regularly evaluate a sample of the complaints resolved by the Reserve Banks for adherence to System procedures and guidelines. Because the results of the review are then discussed with the Bank, the Board believes this program is successful in strengthening the complaint-handling system by providing feedback and suggestions. In 1982, the Board revised questionnaires that are directed to consumers whose complaints against state member banks were handled by the System. The revisions allow the Board to assess more accurately consumer attitudes about its system for handling complaints. A high percentage of the respondents report favorable reactions to the treatment of complaints by the Federal Reserve System. Approximately 63 percent found the explanation they received clear and understandable; 70 percent were satisfied with the promptness with which the complaint was handled; 95 percent were treated courteously by Federal Reserve staff; 54 percent believed the Federal Reserve was complete and thorough in handling the problem; and 79 percent would contact the Federal Reserve again if they should encounter another problem with a bank. Forty-six percent of the respondents found the resolution of their complaint acceptable. Those numbers suggest that many people were satisfied with the System's handling of their complaints though those complaints were Digitizedeven for FRASER not resolved in their favor. Many of those cases involved practices that are permissible for banks but that consumers find objectionable or hard to understand. The accompanying table summarizes the nature and resolution of the complaints against state member banks that were received in 1982. About 53 percent of the complaints against state member banks concerned lending functions; of these, about 13 percent alleged discrimination on a prohibited basis. The other 40 percent alleged improper notices, functions not related to discrimination, improper disclosures of credit costs, discrimination on other than the specifically prohibited bases, and other problems with the lending functions. Approximately 27 percent involved interest on deposits and general practices concerning deposit accounts. The System received 1,397 complaints about unregulated bank practices, 14 percent fewer than in 1981. The Board continued to monitor consumer complaints about unregulated practices to identify those that may be unfair or deceptive and adopted additional procedures for such monitoring. The Board also surveyed consumers about the practice of assessing fees on inactive accounts, testified before a congressional subcommittee concerning delayed funds availability, and discussed the system for handling complaints with the Consumer Advisory Council. As in the past, the Board identified practices that are not subject to regulations, about which the System receives 15 or more complaints per quarter, or 50 annually. Of the 1,397 complaints, 435 fell into this category. They were of six types: complaints about disputed deposits (99, or 7.1 percent of all complaints about unregulated practices); discrepancies Consumer and Community Affairs 149 Consumer Complaints Received by the Federal Reserve System, by Function and Resolution, 1982 Type of complaint Type of resolution Total complaints Total concerning state member banks Insufficient information1 Information furnished2 Bank legally correct No accommodation Accommodation made 3 Clerical error, corrected Factual dispute 4 Bank violation, resolved5 Possible bank violation, unresolved6 Customer error Pending, December 31 Total complaints Loan functions Discrimination Other Deposit function Electronic fund transfers Trust services Other 2,840 282 1,121 812 75 26 524 1.226 33 219 162 10 28 487 7 79 326 4 62 38 0 2 15 0 4 198 12 44 357 148 177 41 25 68 16 11 0 3 156 65 67 13 12 85 35 55 21 4 9 7 8 2 3 3 3 1 0 2 36 22 35 5 1 18 14 194 1 2 23 6 5 77 7 6 47 1 1 5 0 0 2 3 0 40 1. The staff has been unable, after follow-up correspondence with the consumer, to obtain sufficient information to process the complaint. 2. When it appears that the complainant does not understand the law and that there has been no violation on the part of the bank, the Federal Reserve System explains the law in question and provides the complainant with other pertinent information. 3. In these cases the bank appears to be legally correct but chooses to make an accommodation. 4. These cases involve factual disputes not resolvable by the Federal Reserve System and contractual disputes that can be resolved only by the courts. Con- sumers wishing to pursue the matter may be advised to seek legal counsel or legal aid, or to use small claims courts. 5. In these cases a bank appears to have violated a law or regulation and has taken corrective measures voluntarily or as requested by the Federal Reserve System. 6. When a bank appears to have violated a law or regulation, customers are advised to seek civil remedy through the courts. Cases that appear to involve criminal irregularity are referred to the appropriate law enforcement agency. in accounts (95, or 6.8 percent); charges and procedures concerning insufficient funds (81, or 5.8 percent); debt-collection tactics (59, or 4.2 percent); bond redemption (51, or 3.7 percent); and excessive time to clear checks (50, or 3.6 percent). The two largest categories of complaints received (disputed deposits and discrepancies in accounts) involve factual disputes between the consumer and the bank in which no faulty practice is clearly identified. Each of these categories, however, accounts for only a small fraction (6 percent or less) of all consumer complaints received. The table on the next page identifies by subject the consumer complaints received by the Federal System in 1982. DigitizedReserve for FRASER The Board formalized procedures for gathering additional information concerning complaints about unregulated practices to enhance the Board's ability to fulfill its responsibilities under section 18f of the Federal Trade Commission Act. These procedures stipulate that the Board will continue to identify the types and numbers of complaints received by the System and to review periodically the complaints handled by the Reserve Banks. The Board will, in appropriate cases, enlist the aid of examiners to investigate practices of banks that these procedures reveal as especially problematic. The Board may also request data or summaries from other banking agencies regarding similar types of practices in the 150 Consumer and Community Affairs Consumer Complaints Received by the Federal Reserve System, by Subject, 1982 consumers with inactive and active accounts reported receiving written disclosure statements and informaSubject Number tion about inactivity fees. Thus consumers with inactive accounts did not Regulation B (Equal Credit Opportunity) 544 appear less aware of the terms of deRegulation C (Home Mortgage Disclosure) 2 posit accounts than those with active Regulation E (Electronic Fund deposit accounts. Transfers) 63 Regulation Q (Interest on Deposits) . . . . 174 In March, the Board's Staff DirecRegulation X (Securities Credit) 0 tor for Federal Reserve Bank ActivRegulation Z (Truth in Lending) 500 Regulation BB (Community ities testified for the Board on the isReinvestment) 1 sue of delayed funds availability beRegulation CC (Consumer Credit Restraint) 0 fore the Senate's Subcommittee on Consumer Affairs of the Committee Fair Credit Reporting Act 63 Fair Debt Collection Practices Act 27 on Banking, Housing, and Urban Fair Housing Act 0 Holder in due course 5 Affairs. The Board acknowledged Transfer agents 4 that the practice by some depository Municipal securities dealer regulation . . . 2 Unregulated bank practices 1,397 institutions of delaying the availabil1 Other 58 ity of funds deposited by check has 2,840 Total caused difficulties for consumers. 1. "Other" refers primarily to miscellaneous comGiven the wide variety of circumplaints against business entities. stances inherent in the check-clearing process, however, the Board believes institutions they supervise. The pro- that an attempt to deal with the cedures call for the Board's inquiry practice of delayed funds by regulation to continue only until the Board has would be costly to banks and, ultisufficient information to determine mately, to consumers themselves. whether regulatory action is neces- The Board continues to review the sary. The Board believes these pro- situation and to consider several cedures enhance the present program nonregulatory alternatives for imand ensure access to necessary infor- proving the situation. First, the Board is undertaking a study of possible mation in areas of concern. In July 1982, as part of the Survey improvements in its check-collection of Consumer Attitudes conducted by procedures that would speed hanthe Survey Research Center of the dling of return items or confirmation University of Michigan, the Board of payment or nonpayment of checks. asked consumers about their experi- In addition, the Board is working ences with fees charged on inactive with the American Bankers Associchecking and savings accounts. Of the ation on ways to encourage banks to respondents who had inactive ac- disclose their policy on the availabilcounts (22 percent of the total) 13 ity of funds, and will continue to percent indicated that the financial monitor consumer problems and atinstitution had charged a fee on their titudes in this area. accounts because too few deposits or withdrawals were made during the year. These data indicate that fees for Aggregated Home Mortgage inactivity on deposit accounts were Disclosure Act Data Federal Reserve examiners now use relatively infrequent. addition, equal proportions of HMDA data, aggregated by the FedDigitized forIn FRASER Consumer and Community Affairs eral Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC), to prepare themselves for examinations of state member banks. For each census tract in a standard metropolitan statistical area (SMS A), and for each SMS A as a whole, the HMD A tables show the number and the principal amount of various kinds of residential loans: government-insured, conventional, home improvement, and home purchase loans; loans on multifamily dwellings; and loans made to nonoccupant owners. The tables also include the percentage of minority population, the median family income, the median age of the housing stock, and the number of owneroccupied units in each census tract. The aggregated data, which are available at central repositories, give examiners a clearer picture of the housing and income characteristics of a bank's community. For example, the data can help identify census tracts that have predominantly older housing units. For each SMSA, the data also show the number of tracts by three income categories (low and moderate income, middle income, and upper income, defined by the relation of the median income in the tract to the median income in the SMSA as a whole) and the dollar amount and number of housingrelated loans in census tracts in each of those categories. These data help examiners prepare questions for interviews with community representatives during examinations for compliance with the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA). The aggregated data also are broken down by income and racial characteristics. For instance, they show the total principal amount and number of loans extended in lowand moderate-income census tracts minority populations greater Digitizedwith for FRASER 151 than 80 percent. Examiners may, for example, compare this information with that for low- and moderateincome tracts with a minority population of less than 5 percent. Such comparisons may suggest hypotheses about compliance with the Equal Credit Opportunity and Fair Housing Acts that can be tested during the compliance examination. Regulation E—Economic Impact Analysis One of the provisions of the Electronic Fund Transfer Act directs the Board to monitor the costs and benefits that such transfers have for financial institutions and consumers. The economic impact of the act increased during 1982 as more financial institutions offered electronic fund transfers (EFTs) and more consumers used them. Over 76 percent of commercial and mutual savings banks and over 16 percent of all other depository institutions now provide EFT services that are covered by the statute's compliance requirements. A large percentage of banks in all size classes offer automated clearinghouse transfers and access to automated teller machines (ATMs), among other forms of EFT. While larger banks are more likely to offer a full range of consumer EFT services than smaller ones, shared networks and joint ventures are rapidly making the more sophisticated EFT services accessible to smaller banks as well. Because nearly all banks now use computers, the proportion of institutions offering regulated consumer EFT services undoubtedly will increase. Consumer demand for EFT services continued to grow during 1982, as more transactions were conducted through ATMs, telephone bill-pay- 152 Consumer and Community Affairs ment systems, and automated clearinghouses. More households had accounts at financial institutions that offered access to EFT services, and the number of consumers using ATMs and authorizing automatic direct credits and debits to their accounts increased. Additionally, the development of point-of-sale EFT and home banking systems is accelerating. The benefits to consumers from the Electronic Fund Transfer Act are difficult to measure because they cannot be isolated from consumer protections that would have been provided otherwise. Some evidence that comes from compliance statistics in examination reports suggests, however, that there are no widespread compliance problems or violations of the consumer rights established by the act. One of the five federal agencies that regulate financial institutions reported no significant change from the previous year in the percentage of institutions not in full compliance; the others reported only a moderate increase in noncompliance. The increase may be explained largely by the substantial increase in the number of institutions becoming subject to the act: new entrants into the EFT market are likely to need time to adjust to the act's many compliance requirements. Further evidence that consumers have no serious problems with EFT lies in data from the Board's Consumer Complaint Control System. Only 75 of the 2,840 complaints processed in 1982 involved EFTs. The Board forwarded 37 of these complaints to other agencies for resolution; of the remaining 38, only 4 involved a violation of the regulation. Digitized forSimilarly, FRASER costs associated with the act are difficult to quantify because it is hard to know how the industry would have evolved without the statutory requirements. Direct evidence on the compliance costs and benefits to financial institutions was obtained from a survey conducted by the Board in 1981 and 1982. The survey asked for incremental start-up and ongoing compliance costs—that is, costs that were incurred above and beyond operating expenses in the absence of the act's requirements. Some institutions found it difficult to identify the procedures that they would not have adopted in the absence of federal regulation—that is, those attributable to Regulation E. Some found it difficult to allocate joint costs. For example, if a compliance officer is employed by an institution to deal with all regulatory requirements, for what part of that salary and overhead does Regulation E account? Institutions generally prorated such expenses according to the percentage of employee time spent on the regulation. They followed a similar procedure with capital equipment, such as computers, furniture, and telephones. Responding institutions were asked to estimate only those expenses that they could attribute directly to Regulation E. Information was requested for seven categories of start-up costs, for nine categories of ongoing costs, and for overhead and fringe benefits. In general, when a cost category could not be estimated by a respondent, it went unreported. In analyzing the cost data, the Board staff estimated missing data using reports from similar institutions. Start-up and ongoing costs of compliance per reporting institution are shown in the accompanying table. The table shows that larger institutions generally spent more than Consumer and Community Affairs 153 Costs of Complying with Regulation E, by Deposit Size of Respondents Dollars Size of deposits (millions of dollars) Type of cost Less than 100 100-500 5001,000 1,0003,000 3,000 or All respondents A. Average start-up costs per institution (dollars) Administration Training Legal services Changes in data processing systems Premises, furniture, supplies, and equipment Statement forms and disclosure documents Other 2,333 1,102 Total 6,206 3,361 2,421 3,255 18,808 6,010 17,248 17,275 10,521 15,035 75,663 28,374 23,960 7,257 37,846 83,082 173,681 687 464 9,047 5,804 1,698 417 3,769 949 15,187 6,745 50,836 14,387 19,096 85,094 156,893 372,704 684 572 450 634 432 B. Average ongoing costs per institution (dollars) Administration Labor Training Legal services Printing or purchase of statements Postage Premises, furniture, supplies, and equipment Telephone Other Total 2,992 6,351 7,143 7,370 42,995 39,197 4,107 15,787 23,282 80,310 446 168 1,077 1,017 4,332 1,676 2,366 1,550 12,786 9,891 1,306 753 951 1,427 3,134 13,145 22,662 17,633 16,747 40,281 393 122 264 1,520 909 526 144 485 0 0 385 1,095 21,418 468 18,702 12,794 21,940 105,108 65,588 223,886 C. Average start-up and ongoing costs per EFT transaction (dollars) Average total start-up costs . .116 .092 Average total ongoing costs . .217 .090 Total average compliance costs for first year .333 .182 smaller institutions to comply with the act. The functions in which start-up was most costly included changes in data processing systems, administration, and statements and disclosures related to the act's requirements for documentation and disclosures (panel A of the table). Many institutions made extensive changes in systems to provide the detailed statements required by the act. Increasing the frequency of periodic statements for certain savings accounts was particularly costly. Labor, administration, and postwere among the three most costly Digitizedage for FRASER .109 .124 .068 .077 .126 .049 .035 .047 .235 .173 .103 .124 elements of ongoing compliance. As with start-up costs, the act's documentation requirements proved the most costly (panel B). Labor costs were associated with preparation of statements and with the error-resolution procedures. Because of their nature, labor costs are likely to increase relative to other costs as the volume of EFT transactions expands. The compliance costs reported by individual institutions varied according to many factors, such as the degree to which data processing systems needed modification and the way in which institutions chose to comply. One important determinant 154 Consumer and Community Affairs of costs was the number of EFT transactions processed. The smallest institutions had the highest costs per transaction, and the largest institutions the lowest (panel C). Although that relation was not consistent across the size categories, on balance these results suggest scale economies in compliance with Regulation E: larger institutions and those with higher volumes of transactions incur relatively lower compliance costs per transaction. Three-fourths of the responding institutions reported that the act did not cause them to abandon any existing or planned consumer services; those that indicated some reduction in services mentioned a ban on EFT transactions for savings accounts, an end to payment of utility bills at ATMs, and the delay of planned EFT services until compliance could be achieved. Practically no institutions reported that operating costs were reduced or eliminated by the act, or that they enjoyed benefits from the act or Regulation E, though almost all reported that consumers might benefit. Responding institutions were about equally divided in their perceptions of how the act and the regulation had affected the payments system: a third found a net benefit from standardization; a third perceived an increase in overall payment system costs; and the rest detected no appreciable effect. A complete summary of the survey findings will be published as a Board staff study. Further information on the benefits of Regulation E will be generated by a major consumer survey, to be conducted in early 1983. Compliance with Consumer Regulations The five federal agencies that reguenforce late financial institutions compliance with the consumer regulations mainly through periodic examinations. The other agencies charged with enforcing these laws monitor compliance primarily through investigating consumer complaints or other monitoring procedures (except for the Farm Credit Administration, which enforces Regulations Z and B through examination). This section summarizes the information provided by the enforcing agencies on compliance in 1982 with the Truth in Lending Act, the Equal Credit Opportunity Act, and the Electronic Fund Transfer Act. The reports cover the period July 1, 1981, to June 30, 1982. Regulation Z (Truth in Lending) The Board of Governors, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the National Credit Union Administration (NCUA), and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) reported that compliance with "old" Regulation Z continued to improve in 1982. About one-third of all institutions examined were found to have no violations at all, evidence of an improvement in compliance. Moreover, of those that did have violations, roughly half had only a small number (one to five). Thus, in the aggregate, about 75 percent of the financial institutions were in substantial compliance with Regulation Z. The Federal Home Loan Bank Board (FHLBB), on the other hand, reported a 13 percent decrease in the number of institutions with no violations. The following were the most frequent violations of the "old" Regulation Z: • Failure to disclose accurately the number, amount, due dates, or periods of scheduled payments on the indebtedness. Consumer and Community Affairs • Failure to disclose the annual percentage rate (APR) with sufficient accuracy. • Failure to disclose the total amount of the finance charge using the term "finance charge," and the sum of payments using the term "total of payments." • Failure to identify with the term "balloon payment" any payment that is more than twice the amount of a regularly scheduled equal payment. • Failure to include, when appropriate, charges or premiums for credit insurance covering life, accident, health, or loss of income in the finance charge disclosed. The FDIC issued ten cease-anddesist orders, and the FHLBB issued two, that cited Regulation Z violations. Both agencies, as well as the OCC and the Board, also issued memoranda of understanding and other administrative enforcement actions that included provisions requiring compliance with Regulation Z. The five member agencies of the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council reported that in 1982 approximately 1,450 institutions reimbursed a total of $5.5 million on about 105,000 accounts under the Regulation Z enforcement policy. Although this total is somewhat higher than the 1981 figure of $4.7 million, the dollar volume of restitutions decreased 55 percent from the rate in the last two quarters of 1981 to the first two quarters of 1982. This marked decline indicates that compliance with provisions on the APRs and finance charges of Regulation Z was improving over that period. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) reported that it is inquiring into compliance with provisions of two acts: those in the Fair Credit Billing Act, for resolution of disputes unauthorized use of credit cards, Digitizedand for FRASER 155 and those in the Truth in Lending Act for advertising as they relate to television and the Consumer Leasing Act. The FTC has investigated several companies for inaccurate APR and finance charges, and has monitored compliance with the Cash Discount Act of 1981 and with the advertising provisions for closed-end credit in connection with consent judgments that were filed against 12 firms in 1981. According to the FTC, compliance with requirements for credit advertising and cash discounts remains problematic. The other agencies with responsibilities for enforcement of the Truth in Lending Act are the Packers and Stockyards Administration of the Department of Agriculture and the Farm Credit Administration. The former reported no truth in lending complaints or enforcement actions in 1982; the latter reported only two minor complaints. Regulation B (Equal Credit Opportunity) All the federal agencies responsible for regulating financial institutions reported improved compliance with the Equal Credit Opportunity Act (ECOA) and Regulation B. About 67 percent of the institutions examined had no violations, up from 51 percent in 1981; and most institutions with violations had fewer than five. The following were the most frequent violations of Regulation B in 1982: • Failure to provide or properly complete a written notice of adverse action. • Failure to provide the name and address of the federal supervisory agency on an adverse action notice. • Failure to observe time limits on sending out adverse action notices. 156 Consumer and Community Affairs • Failure to provide the required notice concerning "other income." The federal regulators issued eight cease-and-desist orders in 1982 that cited violations of Regulation B, and seven agreements or memoranda of understanding, most of which involved that regulation. The FTC took formal enforcement action against two creditors for violations of Regulation B: one for failure to give written notices of adverse action and accurate reasons for denial, and the other for failure to retain copies of rejected applications for 25 months. Although most creditors seem to be complying, the FTC staff continues to find serious problems: some creditors are illegally requiring a spouse's signature on a promissory note, failing to consider applications from consumers who rely on alimony and other forms of protected income, illegally discouraging elderly applicants from filing credit applications, and failing to retain rejected applications as required by Regulation B. The other regulatory agencies reported satisfactory compliance. The Farm Credit Administration had only a few ECO A complaints, none of which involved illegal discrimination. The Civil Aeronautics Board (CAB) received 21 complaints, and none warranted formal action. Regulation E (Electronic Fund Transfers) The Board, FDIC, FHLBB, and NCUA reported that about 26 percent of the institutions failed to comply with some provisions of Regulation E and the Electronic Fund Transfer Act in 1982, up from about 20 percent in 1981. The majority of these institutions, however, had only one to five violations. On the other hand, the OCC reported a slight increase in compliance. The following were the most frequent violations of Regulation E in 1982: • Failure to provide initial disclosures, or failure to provide correct initial disclosures, when a consumer contracts for EFT service or before the first electronic transfer on the account. • Failure to provide a notice of error-resolution procedure at least once each calendar year. • Failure to include on the periodic disclosure the address and telephone number for inquiries or notification of an error. • Failure to include in the periodic disclosure statement the name of any third party to or from whom funds were transferred. • Failure to provide notice by one of the allowed means when a consumer's account is credited by "routine" preauthorized transfers. The FTC encountered no problem severe enough to justify enforcement action, and the CAB and the Securities and Exchange Commission reported that organizations subject to their jurisdiction engage in no activities covered by the Electronic Fund Transfer Act. Legislative Recommendations The FDIC, the FTC, and the OCC have recommended several changes in the Truth in Lending, Equal Credit Opportunity, and Electronic Fund Transfer Acts. The FDIC, which believes that truth in lending requirements are complex and unmanageable, calls for a "complete overhaul" of the act and regulation. The FDIC suggested that exemptions from dis- Consumer and Community Affairs closure for simple interest loans with identical annual percentage and simple-interest rates and with a finance charge that is "entirely a function of the amount of credit extended and the time it was outstanding." The FTC recommended that the Congress remove the prohibition on credit surcharges imposed by the Cash Discount Act (section 167 of the Truth in Lending Act). According to the FTC, the widespread confusion of businesses and consumers stems from the lack of practical difference between a cash discount and a credit surcharge. The FTC also said that the ban against credit surcharges has spurred many corporate policies and state regulations that not only fail to benefit the public but also harm retailers by imposing unnecessary compliance costs and causing the loss of customer goodwill. The OCC favors further simplification of the Truth in Lending Act, but prefers that no changes be made until the full effects of simplification and the recent update of the Regulation Z commentary are known. The OCC recommended that the Congress reconsider certain provisions of the Electronic Fund Transfer Act. It criticized the three-tier schedule for determining consumer liability (which may be $50, $500, or unlimited, depending on the circumstances). These provisions, according to the OCC, make it unnecessarily complicated to establish consumer liability because financial institutions must prove when the consumer learned of the loss or theft and, in some instances, whether the losses would have occurred if the consumer had notified the institution. The OCC also recommended that the Congress clarify its intent with 157 regard to a financial institution's burden of proof in a dispute about authorization of a transfer. The OCC pointed out that Regulation E requires merely a good-faith investigation of the institution's records in resolving the dispute. As a result, the financial institution does not bear so heavy a burden of proof of unauthorized use as the act intended. In addition, the OCC wants the Congress to clarify whether the requirement about the burden of proof applies only in a judicial procedure or in the pretrial stages of a consumer dispute as well. Consumer Advisory Council In 1982, the Consumer Advisory Council (CAC) met quarterly to advise the Board with regard to its responsibilities under the consumer credit protection laws and to discuss other issues relating to consumer finances. The council has 30 members, representing a wide spectrum of consumer and creditor interests. The CAC invited public comment in March on several questions related to the availability and affordability of credit for consumers, neighborhood reinvestment projects, and community programs in the current economic environment. The council received nearly 60 letters; those from financial institutions generally said that the high cost of funds and the inability of consumers to afford credit have led to an "overall reduction in credit." Some of the industry comments said that these factors have had the greatest negative impact in low- and moderate-income neighborhoods. Most of the other comments came from local nonprofit community organizations. These commenters be- 158 Consumer and Community Affairs lieved that the main obstacles to obtaining credit to meet community needs were high interest rates, cuts in federal programs, unemployment, and the recession in general. They said that high interest rates have caused problems for the credit programs that benefit the low-income consumers who have been hit especially hard by the recession. The solutions to these problems, according to the creditors, lay in a lower inflation rate; more community services, such as credit counseling; bond programs to help the thrift industry; an end to usury ceilings; revisions of bankruptcy laws; reductions in compliance costs; and more education for consumers. The community organizations stressed federal programs, such as the block grant program for community development; job training; and funds for nonprofit housing corporations and for home improvement loans. These organizations called on the Board to make credit available to banks for loans for housing low- and moderateincome people, for small businesses, and for farmers. In 1982, the CAC also discussed practices in the financial services industry that may be deceptive or unfair to consumers—for example, the advertising of individual retirement accounts (IRAs). Some council members expressed concern that many advertisements give consumers the impression that investments and earnings in IRAs are tax-free forever, and say nothing about withdrawal penalties, maintenance fees, or cancellation periods. The council formed a special committee to investigate IRA advertising and to formulate recommendations. At its October meeting, the CAC adopted the committee's report, which recom mended that IRA advertisements should disclose the following: • The penalties for early withdrawal. • The basis for projected longterm earnings (together with a warning as to the effect of inflation) and the extent to which the sponsor is committed to maintain the underlying rates. • If applicable, the term of the account, the simple rate of interest, and the yield. • The amounts or rates of all charges imposed on the account. • The type of investment or instrument and whether insured. • The way the consumer can get additional advance information. The recommendations also stated that IRA advertisements should not use "scare tactics" by warning about the inadequacy of pensions or other benefits. The council also discussed consumer needs for disclosure of fees and reduced earnings on inactive accounts, the advantages and disadvantages of surcharges and cash discounts on credit-card transactions, and the effect of the prime rate on consumer credit rates. Some members of the council suggested that the disclosure practices relating to variable-rate loans should be monitored carefully. At the request of Chairman Volcker, the CAC established in 1982 a committee to review the Board's policies and procedures under the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA). The CRA Review Committee is evaluating the System's examination activity, procedures for applications and complaints, training of personnel, and community affairs and public information functions relating to the CRA. The committee Consumer and Community Affairs plans to present its report in early 1983. Community Reinvestment Act The Board of Governors, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Federal Home Loan Bank Board, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency are required by the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) to encourage the institutions under their jurisdiction to help meet the credit needs in their communities, including low- and moderate-income neighborhoods, consistent with the safety and soundness of the institutions. The act requires the agencies to assess the record of institutions in meeting the needs of their communities and to take that record into account in deciding certain applications that the institution may file. Most applications to the Federal Reserve are considered by the Federal Reserve Banks acting on behalf of the Board. The Board itself considers applications that raise significant legal or policy questions and those from institutions that have unsatisfactory CRA records. In 1982, the Board processed eight applications protested by community groups challenging the applicant's record of meeting community credit needs, and eighteen unprotested cases that involved applicants with CRA ratings that were less than satisfactory. One of the protested cases was approved following a negotiated agreement between the applicant and the protestant. One of the unprotested applications was withdrawn to allow the applicant time to improve its CRA performance. The remaining applications were approved on the basis of additional information about the applicant's performance or 159 commitments by the applicant to the Board or the community groups. In the 1982 reporting period, Federal Reserve System personnel examined 854 state member banks for CRA compliance, using the Uniform Interagency Community Reinvestment Act Assessment Rating System. This system ranks financial institutions on a scale of 1 through 5, with 5 representing the lowest level of performance and 3, less than satisfactory performance. About 79 percent of the state member banks received a rating of 2; 12 percent, a rating of 1; 13 percent, a rating of 3; and less than 1 percent, a rating of 4. No bank received a 5. To assure a balanced perspective in determining community credit needs and assessing the CRA performance, Federal Reserve examiners often interview community representatives outside the financial institution. In the 1982 reporting period, 1,271 such interviews were conducted with government officials, community-based organizations, trade associations, community development corporations, and civil rights and consumer advocates. Also, to assist the Board in encouraging state member banks to help meet the credit needs of their communities, each Reserve Bank has appointed a Community Affairs Officer, who facilitates communication between bankers and community groups. Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council In 1982, the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC) approved uniform examination procedures for the Truth in Lending, Fair Debt Collection, and Home Mortgage Disclosure Acts. It also 160 Consumer and Community Affairs sponsored the production of a videotape course for examiners, entitled "Outside Contact Interviews: Interviewing for Information from the Community." The purpose of the course is to teach examiners how to interview community representatives for information about the economic condition and the credit needs of the bank's community. This information should help examiners assess the CRA performance of a financial institution; it may also be helpful in examinations relating to the Fair Housing and Equal Credit Opportunity Acts. 161 Litigation During 1982, the Board of Governors was named in 34 lawsuits, compared with 43 in 1981. Of the 19 actions filed in 1982, 6 raised questions under the Bank Holding Company Act, compared with 5 in 1981. As of December 31, 1982, 17 cases were pending, 4 of which involve the Bank Holding Company Act. A brief description of each of these cases and of those disposed of in 1982 follows. denied petitioner's petition for certiorari (102 S. Ct. 2958). Litigation was completed in the suits filed by Option Advisory Service, Inc. In Option Advisory Service, Inc. v. Board of Governors, no. 81-4174 (2d Circuit, filed September 24, 1981), petitioner sought review of the Board's order approving the application of Midland Bank, Ltd., London, England, to acquire Crocker National Bank, San Francisco, California (Federal Reserve Bulletin, volume 67, September 1981, page 729). Bank Holding Companies— On December 28, 1.981, the court of Antitrust Action appeals dismissed the petition for In 1982, the U.S. Department of review on the ground that petitioner Justice filed no challenges under the lacked standing. On February 18, antitrust laws of the United States to 1982, the court of appeals awarded acquisitions or mergers by bank hold- court costs to Midland Bank. On ing companies that had been ap- June 28, 1982, the Supreme Court proved by the Board, and as of the denied petitioner's petition for cerend of the year, no such cases were tiorari (50 U.S.L.W. 3998.20). pending from previous years. In Option Advisory Service, Inc. v. Board of Governors, no. 81-4176 (2d Circuit, filed September 24, 1981), Bank Holding Companies— petitioner sought judicial review of a Review of Board Actions Board order approving the applicaIn Wilshire Oil Company of Texas v. tion of Credit and Commerce AmerBoard of Governors, no. 81-1560 ica Holdings, N.V., Willemstad, (3rd Circuit, filed April 9, 1981), Netherlands Antilles, to acquire Fipetitioner sought judicial review of a nancial General Bankshares, Inc., Board order determining that peti- Washington, D.C. (Federal Reserve tioner continued to be subject to the Bulletin, volume 67, September 1981, Bank Holding Company Act and page 737). On December 28, 1981, directing it to terminate its status as the court of appeals dismissed the a bank holding company. On Decem- petition for review on the ground ber 31, 1981, the court of appeals that petitioner lacked standing. Peaffirmed the Board's order (668 F.2d titioner then filed a petition for 732). On February 1, 1982, the court certiorari, which was denied by the of appeals denied petitioner's request Supreme Court on May 17, 1982 (102 for a rehearing en bane, and on June S. Ct. 2242). 21, 1982, the U.S. Supreme Court In Option Advisory Service, Inc. 162 Litigation v. Board of Governors, no. 81-4248 (2d Circuit, filed December 21, 1981), petitioner sought judicial review of a Board order approving the application of J.P. Morgan & Co., Inc., New York, New York, to acquire Morgan Bank (Delaware), Wilmington, Delaware (Federal Reserve Bulletin, volume 67, December 1981, page 917). The action was dismissed for lack of standing on January 26, 1982. In First Lakefield Bancorporation et al. v. Board of Governors, no. 482-8 (D. Minn., filed January 6, 1982), plaintiff sought a declaratory judgment that its application for Board approval to acquire First Trust Bank in Lakefield, Lakefield, Minnesota, had been approved by operation of law because the Board had failed to act within 91 days of receipt of the complete record of the application, as required by the Bank Holding Company Act. By stipulation of the parties, the action was dismissed with prejudice on June 8, 1982. In C.A. Cavendes, Sociedad Financiera v. Board of Governors, no. 82-1030 (D.C. Circuit, filed January 8, 1982), petitioner sought judicial review of the Board's order approving an application by Florida National Banks of Florida, Inc., Jacksonville, Florida, to merge with Alliance Corporation, Jacksonville, Florida (Federal Reserve Bulletin, volume 68, January 1982, page 49). The Board's order was affirmed without opinion on March 29, 1982 (675 F.2d 1339). In Gustafson v. Board of Governors, nos. 82-4113 and 82-4213 (5th Circuit, filed March 24 and June 4, 1982), petitioner seeks judicial review of an order of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas approving the application of Raymondville State Bancshares, Inc., Raymondville, Texas, to acquire Raymondville State Bank, Raymondville, Texas, pursuant to authority delegated by the Board of Governors (Federal Reserve Bulletin, volume 68, April 1982, page 260). The case has been fully briefed and is awaiting argument. In First Bancorporation v. Board of Governors, no. 82-1401 (10th Circuit, filed April 9, 1982), petitioner seeks judicial review of a Board order approving petitioner's application to acquire an industrial loan company, providing the acquired company does not simultaneously offer negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts and also engage in the business of commercial lending, and that any NOW accounts offered be subject to reserve requirements and federal limitations on interest rates (Federal Reserve Bulletin, volume 68, April 1982, page 253). The case has been fully briefed and is awaiting argument. In Florida National Banks of Florida, Inc. v. Board of Governors, nos. 82-1483 (D.C. Circuit) and 82-1048 (D.D.C., both filed April 15, 1982), petitioner sought review of a Board order, dated April 5, 1982, that determined not to disapprove—under the Change in Bank Control Act— the acquisition of petitioner's shares by C.A. Cavendes, Sociedad Financiera, Caracas, Venezuela, and that after such acquisition, Cavendes would not be considered to be controlling petitioner for purposes of the Bank Holding Company Act. By stipulation of the parties, both actions were dismissed with prejudice on June 11, 1982. In Wyoming Bancorporation v. Board of Governors, no. 82-1634 (10th Circuit, filed May 20, 1982), Litigation petitioner seeks judicial review of the Board's order dated April 22, 1982 (Federal Reserve Bulletin, volume 68, May 1982, page 313), disapproving petitioner's application to acquire the American National Bank of Powell, Powell, Wyoming. Petitioner challenges the Board's definition of the relevant geographic market for assessing the competitive impact of this proposal. The case has been fully briefed and is awaiting argument. In Association of Data Processing Service Organizations, Inc., et al. v. Board of Governors, nos. 82-1910 and 82-2108 (D.C. Circuit, filed August 6 and September 20, 1982), petitioners seek judicial review of Board orders approving an application by Citicorp, New York, New York, to engage through a subsidiary in certain data processing activities (Federal Reserve Bulletin, volume 68, August 1982, page 505), and amending the Board's Regulation Y to designate those activities as closely related to banking and thus permissible for bank holding companies in general (Federal Reserve Bulletin, volume 68, September 1982, page 552). The actions are pending. Other Litigation Involving Challenges to Board Procedures and Regulations The following cases are arranged either according to the act under which they were filed or under the category Employment Actions. Monetary Control Act of 1980 In First Bank & Trust Co. v. Board of Governors, no. 81-38 (E.D. Ky., filed February 24, 1981), plaintiff seeks declaratory and injunctive relief from a Board determination that 163 plaintiff is ineligible to qualify for the phasing-in of reserve requirements on deposits, which is permitted for nonmember banks under the Monetary Control Act. The parties' cross-motions for summary judgment or dismissal are pending. In Bank Stationers Association et al. v. Board of Governors, no. C811417A (N.D. Ga., filed July 27, 1981), plaintiffs seek declaratory and injunctive relief from the fee schedule for automated clearinghouse services that was adopted by the Board pursuant to the Monetary Control Act. By order dated December 22, 1981, the district court dismissed plaintiffs' complaint for lack of standing. On January 21, 1982, plaintiffs filed an appeal in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit (no. 82-8058). The case has been fully briefed and is awaiting decision. Financial Institutions Supervisory Act of 1966 In Hall v. Board of Governors, no. C81-1786A (N.D. Ga., filed September 28, 1981), plaintiff sought declaratory and injunctive relief and compensatory damages in connection with an order issued by the Board pursuant to the Financial Institutions Supervisory Act. On March 10, 1982, the case was transferred to the U.S. District Court for the Middle District of Florida. By stipulation of the parties, the case was dismissed with prejudice on November 10, 1982. In Wolfson v. Board of Governors, no. 81-913 CWTK (M.D. Fla., filed September 28, 1981), plaintiff seeks declaratory and injunctive relief and compensatory damages in connection with the Board's issuance of an order pursuant to the Financial Institutions 164 Litigation Supervisory Act. The Board's motion for summary judgment is pending. In Gabriel v. Board of Governors, no. 82-7190 (9th Circuit, filed April 6, 1982), petitioner sought judicial review of an order of removal and prohibition issued by the Board pursuant to the Financial Institutions Supervisory Act. By stipulation of the parties, the petition for review was dismissed on July 30, 1982. bia Circuit reversed the action of the district court and upheld the Board's statement under the Glass-Steagall Act. Petitions for rehearing, filed by the Securities Industry Association and by A.G. Becker, Inc., are pending. Freedom of Information Act In 9 to 5 Organization for Women Office Workers v. Board of Governors, no. 80-2905-C (D. Mass., filed December 30, 1980), plaintiff sought under the Freedom of Information Glass-Steagall Act Act, records from a wage survey In A.G. Becker Inc. v. Board of conducted by a consortium of emGovernors et al., no. 80-2614 ployers in Massachusetts and used (D.D.C., filed October 14, 1980), by the Board in approving salaries and Securities Industry Association v. for the Federal Reserve Bank of Board of Governors et al, no. 80- Boston. By orders dated December 2730 (D.D.C., filed October 24, 21, 1981, and June 17, September 1980), plaintiffs seek review of a 30, and December 2, 1982, the disBoard statement, dated September trict court partially granted and par26, 1980, denying in part plaintiffs' tially denied each of the parties' petition that the Board prohibit cross-motions for summary judgBankers Trust Company, a state ment. member bank, from selling thirdIn Flagship Banks, Inc. v. Board party commercial paper as an agent of Governors, no. 82-2920 (D.D.C., of the issuer. Plaintiffs also filed filed October 12, 1982), plaintiff petitions for review of the Board's seeks disclosure of Board records statement in the Court of Appeals pertaining to a notice filed pursuant for the District of Columbia Circuit to the Change in Bank Control Act. (nos. 80-2258 and 80-2314, filed The Board filed an answer to the October 14 and 24, 1980 respeccomplaint on November 12, 1982. tively). In an opinion and order dated July 28, 1981 (519 F. Supp. 602), the district court declined to Government in the Sunshine Act order the Board to initiate enforce- In A.G. Becker, Inc. v. Board of ment proceedings against Bankers Governors, no. 80-2175 (D.D.C., Trust, but invalidated the legal con- filed August 25,1980), plaintiff seeks clusions in the Board's statement. declaratory and injunctive relief under The Board and A.G. Becker ap- the Government in the Sunshine Act pealed the judgment of the district with respect to the Board's determicourt (nos. 81-2070, 81-2058, and nation to exclude the public from a 81-2096). meeting at which plaintiffs petition In an opinion and order dated for initiation of enforcement proNovember 2, 1982, the U.S. Court ceedings was discussed. In an order of Appeals for the District of Colum- and opinion dated November 26, Litigation 1980 (502 F. Supp. 378), the district court granted in substantial part the Board's motion for summary judgment, holding that the Board had acted properly in closing the meeting to the public, but had not given public notice of the meeting at the earliest practicable time. Plaintiff appealed the action (no. 81-1493, D.C. Circuit, filed May 4, 1981). The appeal was consolidated with Board of Governors v. A.G. Becker, Inc., no. 80-2258 (see the discussion of cases under the GlassSteagall Act); and in an opinion and order dated November 2, 1982, the U.S. Court of Appeals upheld the Board's action on the merits. Plaintiff's petition for a rehearing is pending. Administrative Procedure Act 165 motion for summary judgment. In an opinion and order dated July 13, 1981 (650 F.2d 1093), the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit affirmed the district court's judgment in favor of the Reserve Bank. On February 22, 1982, plaintiffs petition for certiorari was denied by the Supreme Court (102 S. Ct. 1449). In Hilliard v. Volcker et al., no. 76-1655 (D.D.C., filed December 8, 1976), the district court, after remand from the Court of Appeals (659 F.2d 1125), found no grounds for plaintiffs claim of discrimination and rendered judgment for the Board on January 12, 1982. In Hilliard v. Cooper, no. CA 0950-82 (D.C. S. Ct., filed January 25, 1982), removed to the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia (no. 82-0355), and Hilliard v. Langley, no. CA 1322-82 (D.C. S. Ct., filed February 2,1982), removed to the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia (no. 820454), the court dismissed plaintiffs' complaints of discrimination by orders dated June 4, 1982, on grounds of collateral estoppel based on the prior decision of the district court in Hilliard v. Volcker et al. (discussed in previous paragraph). In Philadelphia Clearing House Association et al. v. Board of Governors, no. 82-3245 (E.D. Pa., filed July 27, 1982), plaintiffs seek injunctive and other relief under the Administrative Procedure Act with respect to a Board determination to set a uniform deadline of 12 noon for presentment of "city items" by Federal Reserve Banks to depository institutions for clearing and settlement. The case is pending. Other Actions In Berkovitz et al. v. Government of Employment Actions Iran, no. C80-0097-WWS (N.D. Cal., In Bollow v. Board of Governors et filed June 13, 1980), plaintiffs seek al, no. C76-977 (N.D. Cal., filed to impose a trust on the assets of the May 12, 1976), a former employee government of Iran and to recover of the Federal Reserve Bank of San damages in connection with the death Francisco sought damages and other of Martin Berkovitz, a U.S. citizen. relief against the Board and the In September 1981, the court entered Reserve Bank in connection with the a stipulated stay of all proceedings termination of his employment. By pending further order of the court. order dated September 23, 1977, the In Gordon v. Heimann et al., nos. district court granted the Board's C8O-1265A (N.D. Ga., filed July 25, 166 Litigation 1980) and 81-288A (N.D. Ga., filed February 15, 1981), plaintiff sought damages from 44 defendants in connection with alleged violations of the Securities Act of 1933, the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO). The two actions were dismissed by the district court, by orders dated December 2, 1980, and May 28, 1981 respectively. By orders dated September 25, 1981, the district court awarded attorneys' fees to certain defendants in both cases and denied them to certain defendants in no. C8O-1265A. Plaintiffs appeals from the district court's orders of September 25, 1981 (nos. 81-8017 and 81-8018) were consolidated before the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit with cross-appeals from the defendants denied attorneys' fees (no. C80-1265A). The case is pending. In Public Interest Bounty Hunters v. Board of Governors; no. C811184A (N.D. Ga., filed June 25, 1981), plaintiff alleges that various Board actions violate the Bank Holding Company Act and the GlassSteagall Act. On November 29, 1982, plaintiff appealed the district court's orders dated June 23, 1982, dismissing the action, and September 30, 1982, awarding attorneys' fees to the defendant. In Christian Educational Association , Inc. v. Federal Reserve System, no. 82-88 CIV-T-H (M.D. Fla., filed January 29, 1982), plaintiff sought declaratory and other relief in connection with the issuance of Federal Reserve notes as legal tender. The Board's motion to dismiss, filed March 29, 1982, was granted by the court on June 11, 1982. In Vick v. Volcker, no. 82-0592 (D.D.C., filed March 2,1982), plain tiff seeks damages and other relief in connection with the alleged unconstitutionally of the Federal Reserve Act. The district court dismissed the complaint for lack of standing. Plaintiff filed notices of appeal (D.C. Circuit: nos. 82-1504, 82-1505, 821506, and 82-1510), and the appeals are stayed pending the filing of plaintiffs motion to proceed in forma pauperis in the district court. In Richter v. Board of Governors etal, no. 82-C-3150 (N.D. 111., filed May 21, 1982), plaintiff seeks injunctive relief in connection with the Board's conduct of national monetary policy. The Board's motion to dismiss is pending. In Montgomery v. State of Utah et al., no. C82-1504 W (D. Utah, filed May 3, 1982), plaintiff sought declaratory and other relief with respect to the issuance of Federal Reserve notes as legal tender. Following a hearing on the Board's motion to dismiss, the district court dismissed the complaint. In Bowler v. Treasurer of the United States et al9 no. 82-0151-B (D. Me., filed July 15, 1982), plaintiff seeks relief in connection with the alleged unconstitutionality of issuance of Federal Reserve notes as legal tender. The district court granted the Board's motion to dismiss by order dated November 17, 1982. Plaintiffs appeal from the order is pending in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit (no. 82-1879). In Hay ton v. State of Utah et al.y no. C82-6595 (D. Utah, filed September 10, 1982), plaintiff seeks declaratory, injunctive, and compensatory relief in connection with the alleged unconstitutionality of issuance of Federal Reserve notes as legal tender. The Board's motion to dismiss is pending. 167 Legislation Enacted Export Trading Company Act Public Law 97-290, approved October 8, 1982, consists of four titles. 1. Title I, the Export Trading Company Act of 1982, encourages the formation and operation of export trading companies to promote exports. 2. Title II, the Bank Export Services Act of 1982, amends section 4 of the Bank Holding Company Act to permit bank holding companies and bankers' banks, and Edge and Agreement corporations that are subsidiaries of bank holding companies, to invest in export trading companies pursuant to Federal Reserve regulation.1 Investment by banking institutions in export trading companies generally is subject to a prudential limit of 5 percent of the institution's consolidated capital and surplus. Title II also increases the statutory ceiling on eligible bankers acceptances to 150 percent of a member bank's capital and surplus without prior Board approval and to 200 percent with Board approval. These ceilings apply also to U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks that are covered by section 7 of the International Banking Act of 1978. 3. Title III (Export Trade Certificates of Review) establishes proce1. Under this act bankers' banks are defined as depository institutions that are organized solely to do business with other financial institutions; that are owned primarily by the financial institutions with which they do business; and that do not do business with the general public. dures for the Secretary of Commerce, with the concurrence of the Attorney General, to issue certificates of review to export trading companies. Such a certificate protects its holder from criminal and civil antitrust actions for conduct that is specified in, and complies with the terms of, the certificate. 4. Title IV, the Foreign Trade Antitrust Improvements Act of 1982, amends the Sherman Act and the Federal Trade Commission Act to supplement the antitrust certification provisions in Title III. Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act Public Law 97-320, the Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982, approved October 15, 1982, consists of eight titles. Title I, the Deposit Insurance Flexibility Act, expands the authority of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation (FSLIC) to deal with the unusual financial pressures that many depository institutions now face. Among other things, the Deposit Insurance Flexibility Act does the following: 1. Permits the FDIC and the FSLIC to provide capital assistance to insured commercial banks or savings banks and to insured savings and loan associations respectively when severe financial conditions threaten the stability of a number of insured institutions or of insured institutions with significant resources. The agencies may provide such assistance if it 168 Legislation Enacted would lessen the risk of loss to the insurance funds. 2. Expands the forms of permissible capital assistance. 3. Expands the powers of the regulatory agencies to facilitate mergers between depository institutions through the conversion of mutual organizations to stock form. 4. Under certain conditions, permits the acquisition by out-of-state thrift institutions or bank holding companies of insured savings and loan associations, closed insured commercial banks with assets of $500 million or more, and insured savings banks with assets of $500 million or more that have failed or are in danger of failing. Certain provisions of Title I expire three years after the date of enactment. Title II, the Net Worth Certificate Act, authorizes the FDIC and the FSLIC to increase or maintain the capital of troubled, qualified depository institutions through the purchase of net worth certificates. The authority to purchase additional net worth certificates expires three years from the date of enactment. Title III, the Thrift Institutions Restructuring Act, expands the lending, investment, and liability powers of federally chartered thrift institutions. This title includes the following provisions, among others: 1. Authorizes federal savings and loan associations and savings banks to invest up to 10 percent of assets in commercial loans and expands their consumer lending authority. 2. Requires the elimination of the differential on deposit interest rate ceilings in favor of thrift institutions on or before January 1, 1984. 3. Directs the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee to es tablish, within 60 days of enactment, an account that is "directly equivalent to and competitive with money market mutual funds." 4. Preempts state laws prohibiting enforcement of due-on-sale provisions, except for a limited period of time specified in the law. Title IV amends various statutes relating to national and state member banks. It includes the following provisions, among others: 1. Increases the lending limit for a single borrower for national banks from 10 to 15 percent of unimpaired capital and surplus, with an additional 10 percent if the loan is fully secured by marketable collateral. The new limits are subject to a number of exceptions. 2. Revises section 23A of the Federal Reserve Act, governing loans to affiliates of member banks and other FDIC-insured institutions, to do the following, among other things: (a) Limit the aggregate amount of "covered transactions" between a bank and any one affiliate to 10 percent of the bank's capital and surplus (20 percent in the case of all affiliates). (b) Require that covered transactions between a bank and its affiliates be on terms and conditions consistent with safe and sound banking practices. (c) Eliminate restrictions on transactions among most bank subsidiaries of a holding company, except for the restriction on the purchase of low-quality assets. (d) Expand the definition of "affiliate" to include, among other things, any organization sponsored and advised on a contractual basis by a bank or its affiliates and any investment company advised by a bank or its affiliates. Legislation Enacted (e) Expand the types of collateral permitted on bank loans and extensions of credit to affiliates, while requiring that these new types of collateral have a high value relative to the loan. 3. Exempts all depository institutions from reserve requirements on the first $2 million of liabilities on which reserves are required. The exemption is indexed and will increase annually by a dollar amount calculated by applying to the $2 million 80 percent of the percentage increase in the total liabilities of all depository institutions that are subject to reserves. 4. Amends the Financial Institutions Regulatory and Interest Rate Control Act of 1978 to do the following, among other things: (a) Eliminate the statutory limitations on loans by member banks to their executive officers for purchasing their own homes and for their children's education. The $10,000 limit on loans for any other purpose is replaced by authority to bank regulators to set an appropriate limit. (b) Replace the $25,000 limit above which loans to insiders must be approved by the board of directors with an authorization for bank regulators to set an appropriate limit. (c) Authorize the bank regulators to develop alternative reporting and disclosure requirements for bank loans to insiders. When the new requirements are effective, the existing requirements will be repealed. 5. Extends the deadline for bank holding companies to divest real estate or interests in real estate from December 31, 1982, to December 31, 1984. Title V amends the Federal Credit Union Act to provide greater operating flexibility for federal credit 169 unions and for the National Credit Union Administration. Title VI amends the Bank Holding Company Act to prohibit bank holding companies from providing insurance as underwriter, agent, or broker. Exceptions to the general prohibition include the following, among other things: 1. Any insurance agency activity engaged in by a bank holding company with consolidated assets of less than $50 million. 2. Any insurance agency activity engaged in by a bank holding company before May 1, 1982, and certain expansions of those activities. 3. Any insurance agency activity in communities of less than 5,000 or in any place in which the bank holding company demonstrates that insurance agency facilities are inadequate. 4. Activity as underwriter, agent, or broker with respect to credit life, credit disability, and involuntary unemployment insurance in connection with an extension of credit. 5. Sale of property insurance on loan collateral by finance company subsidiaries. The insurance must be limited to repayment of the outstanding balance on the loan and may not exceed $10,000 ($25,000 if the loan is for the purchase of a mobile home). Title VII contains miscellaneous changes to various statutes that, among other things, do the following: 1. Exempt certain student loans from the Truth in Lending Act and exclude arrangers of credit, including real estate brokers and loan brokers, from the definition of "creditor" in the Truth in Lending Act. 2. Authorize negotiable order of withdrawal accounts for all federal, state, and local public units. 170 Legislation Enacted 3. Permit bank service corporations to engage in certain nonbanking activities, with the prior approval of the Board of Governors. 4. Designate the Federal Reserve Board building as the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building. 5. Require each of the federal deposit insurance agencies to conduct a study of the current system of federal deposit insurance and transmit a report to the Congress within six months of the date of enactment. The studies are to include, among other things, the feasibility of the following: (a) Offering depositors the option to purchase additional deposit insurance. (b) Basing deposit insurance premiums on risk. (c) Consolidating the three separate insurance funds. Title VIII, the Alternative Mortgage Transaction Parity Act of 1982, authorizes nonfederally chartered housing creditors to offer alternative types of mortgages in order to achieve parity with federally chartered institutions. Continuing Appropriations Public Law 97-377, the Further Continuing Appropriations Act, approved December 21, 1982, contains a provision declaring it to be the sense of the Congress that the Federal Reserve, with due regard for controlling inflation, should continue to take such actions as are necessary to achieve and maintain a level of interest rates low enough to generate significant economic growth and thereby reduce the current intolerable level of unemployment. 171 Banking Supervision and Regulation One of the Federal Reserve's principal responsibilites is the supervision and regulation of commercial banking organizations. In carrying out its duties, the Federal Reserve supervises and regulates state member banks; bank holding companies and their nonbank subsidiaries; the international activities of banks and bank holding companies; and the U.S. banking and nonbanking activities of foreign banks. Many of these supervisory activities are conducted in coordination with other federal and state regulatory agencies. A description of how the System fulfilled these responsibilities during 1982 follows. Supervision for Safety and Soundness The Federal Reserve conducts three main types of supervisory activities to ensure the safety and soundness of financial institutions: on-site examinations and inspections, surveillance and monitoring activities, and enforcement and other supervisory actions. Examinations and Inspections The on-site review of operations is the primary mechanism for ensuring the safety and soundness of financial institutions. Examinations or inspections of these operations entail (1) an appraisal of the quality of the institution's assets; (2) an evaluation of management, along with internal operations, policies, and procedures; (3) an assessment of the key financial factors of capital, earnings, asset and liability management, and liquidity; and (4) a review for compliance with applicable laws and regulations.1 State Member Banks The Federal Reserve is the primary federal supervisor and regulator of state-chartered commercial banks that are members of the System. At the end of 1982, there were 1,040 state member banks, accounting for about 7 percent of all insured commercial banks. Because these banks typically were larger than the average, they held around 18 percent of total assets of insured commercial banks. State member banks are examined every 18 months, except when significant weaknesses or other conditions call for more frequent examination. In 1982, System personnel conducted 809 examinations, many jointly or concurrently with examiners from state regulatory agencies. Bank Holding Companies During 1982, the number of bank holding companies increased by 853 to a total of 4,557. These organizations control commercial banks that hold about 84 percent of the total assets of insured commercial banks in the United States. 1. The Board's Division of Consumer and Community Affairs handles compliance with consumer and civil rights laws through the use of specially trained examiners at the Federal Reserve Banks. These regulatory responsibilities are covered in the "Consumer and Community Affairs" section of this REPORT. Compliance with other statutes and regulations, which is treated in this section, is the responsibility of the Board's Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation and of the Reserve Bank examiners, who check for safety and soundness. 172 Banking Supervision and Regulation U.S. activities of foreign banks. In recent years, foreign entities have rapidly expanded their operations in the United States; today they are a significant element in the U.S. banking system. As of December 31, 1982, 205 foreign banks operated 338 state-licensed uninsured branches and agencies, 31 state-licensed branches insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and 53 branches and agencies licensed by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (of which 2 have FDIC insurance). Foreign banks also owned a controlInternational Activities Edge and Agreement corporations. ling interest in 69 U.S. subsidiary Edge corporations are chartered by banks. Altogether, these foreign the Board to conduct an interna- banks controlled 14.4 percent of U.S. tional banking business to provide banking assets as of June 30, 1982. The Federal Reserve has broad all segments of the U.S. economy with a means of financing interna- residual and oversight authority for tional trade, in particular exports. the supervision and regulation of Agreement corporations are state- foreign banks that engage in banking chartered companies that enter into in the United States through branches, an agreement with the Board to limit agencies, commercial lending comtheir operations to international panies, and subsidiary banks. In banking. During 1982, the Federal fulfilling this responsibility, the FedReserve conducted 112 examinations eral Reserve relies on examinations of Edge and Agreement corporations conducted by the appropriate federal regulatory agency for insured branches and their branches. Overseas operations of U.S. bank- and for federally licensed branches ing organizations. Examinations of and agencies, or commercial bank the international operations of state subsidiaries; and by the appropriate member banks, Edge corporations, state authority for state-licensed and bank holding companies are branches and agencies. Although the conducted at the banking organiza- states have primary authority for tion's head office in the United examining state-licensed uninsured States, where the ultimate responsi- branches and agencies, the Federal bility for overseas facilities lies. To Reserve participated in the examiverify and supplement the results of nation of 118 such offices in 1982. the head-office examinations, on-site reviews of important overseas facilities are performed at least every 3 years. In 1982, the Federal Reserve Specialized examined 12 foreign branches of Examinations state member banks and 10 overseas The Federal Reserve conducts spesubsidiaries of Edge corporations and cialized examinations in the followbank holding companies. ing areas of bank activity. Most large bank holding companies, as well as small companies with significant nonbank assets, are inspected at least every eighteen months, others at least every three years. The inspection focuses on the operations of the parent holding company and its nonbank subsidiaries; the subsidiary banks are examined by their federal banking regulatory agency. During the year, System staff conducted 1,273 inspections of bank holding companies. Banking Supervision and Regulation Electronic Data Processing The Federal Reserve examines the electronic data processing (EDP) activities of state member banks, as well as independent centers that provide EDP services to these banks. During the year, System EDP examiners conducted 296 on-site reviews of state member banks and independent data centers. In addition, the Federal Reserve reviewed 96 EDP examination reports of independent centers providing EDP services to state member banks that were prepared by other federal agencies under the Interagency EDP Examination Program. Trust Activities The Federal Reserve examines trust departments of state member banks, trust companies that are members of the Federal Reserve System, and certain nondepository trust-company subsidiaries of bank holding companies. These examinations review the trust functions to ensure they are conducted in accordance with applicable fiduciary principles and with laws and regulations. During the year, the Board examined 305 institutions that exercise trust powers under its supervision. Municipal Securities Dealers and Clearing Agents Under the Securities Acts Amendments of 1975, the Board is responsible for supervising state member banks and bank holding companies that act as municipal securities dealers or as clearing agencies. In 1982, the Board examined 34 of the 50 state member banks registered with the Board as dealing in municipal securities for their trading accounts. A clearing agency acts as a custodian of securities for the settlement of securities transactions by book 173 keeping entries. The three agencies registered with the Board were examined in 1982; one examination was conducted jointly with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Transfer Agents System examiners conduct separate reviews of state member banks and bank holding companies that act as transfer agents. Transfer agents countersign and monitor the issuance of securities, register the transfer of securities, and exchange or convert securities. During 1982, the Board examined 137 such banks and bank holding companies. Improvements to Examinations and Inspections During the year, the Federal Reserve took a number of steps to enhance its examination and inspection programs. New Examination Report for Commercial Banks In recent years, it has become evident that a new format for reports was required to respond to developments in the banking industry. To meet that need, in 1982 the Federal Reserve adopted a new report for commercial bank examinations conducted after January 1, 1983. The report was designed to respond to changing banking practices, particularly with respect to funding and asset-liability management, and to place additional emphasis on the evaluation of management policies, procedures, and internal systems and controls. Each examination report makes extensive use of data from reports of condition and income filed by state member banks and from the uniform bank performance report, as well as information obtained di- 174 Banking Supervision and Regulation rectly from the bank under examination. The report balances the presentation of these data with written analyses of important aspects of the bank's management, loan quality, and financial condition. In addition to asset quality and liquidity, the report emphasizes the analysis of interest rate sensitivity and off-balance-sheet items of banks, and incorporates the revised definition and guidelines relating to capital adequacy that were implemented in 1982. Because the report makes extensive use of readily available data, it will result in more efficient examinations and will free examiners to devote more time to the review of problem areas requiring supervisory attention. Supervisory Reporting Requirements During the year, the Federal Reserve participated with the other federal banking regulators under the auspices of the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC) in developing quarterly schedules to be completed by commercial banks in conjunction with the reports of condition and income.2 These reports will be of particular importance to the supervisory and examination processes. One such schedule, ''Repricing Opportunities for Selected Balance Sheet Categories," provides information that will assist examiners in analyzing the interest rate sensitivity of banks' earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities, and the effect of interest rate changes on a 2. The Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council is composed of the Comptroller of the Currency, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Federal Home Loan Bank Board, the National Credit Union Administration, and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. bank's condition. Another, "Commitments and Contingencies," provides information that will help examiners assess the potential impact that off-balance-sheet items—such as loan commitments, foreign exchange contracts, interest rate futures contracts, and letters of credit might have on a bank's financial condition. The FFIEC also developed and implemented a quarterly schedule on past-due, nonaccrual, and renegotiated loans and leases, which bear on the quality of a bank's loan portfolio. In carrying out these changes, the regulatory agencies attempted to balance the needs for better and more timely supervisory information and for minimizing the reporting burden. Definition of Bank Capital and Capital Adequacy Guidelines Nineteen eighty-two marked the first full year of applying the broadened definition of bank capital in determining its adequacy in state member banks. The FFIEC recommended the definition to promote uniformity among federal bank regulators and to provide guidance to commercial banks. Under the new definition, bank capital consists of primary capital and secondary capital. Primary capital comprises common and perpetual preferred stock, surplus and undivided profits, contingency and other capital reserves, mandatory convertible instruments, and 100 percent of the funds set aside as reserves for possible loan losses. Secondary capital comprises limited-life preferred stock, and subordinated notes and debentures; however, there are restrictions upon the amount of these less permanent funds that may be counted as part of a bank's capital structure. Banking Supervision and Regulation This was also the first full year of implementing the new ratio guidelines issued by the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) for assessing the adequacy of capital in the examination and supervision of national banks, state-chartered banks that are members of the Federal Reserve System, and bank holding companies. The guidelines address the longterm decline in capital ratios, particularly those of certain large multinational banks; introduce greater uniformity in the supervisory assessment of capital adequacy; provide banks and holding companies with direction for capital and strategic planning; and permit some reduction of the disparities in capital ratios between banking organizations of different size. In general, the guidelines apply to sound, well-managed organizations and will be applied so as to allow for differences in the risks assumed by institutions. Criteria for Determining Primary Capital Status of Mandatory Convertible Securities In 1982, the Federal Reserve and the OCC jointly adopted criteria for determining whether debt securities that require conversion to, or the issuance of, equity can qualify as part of the primary capital of a banking organization in an assessment of that organization's compliance with the capital adequacy guidelines. Two types of these securities were issued during the year, equity notes and equity commitment notes. Equity notes require the holder to buy the common stock or perpetual preferred stock of the issuer. Equity commitment notes require the issuer to sell sufficient equity over the life of the security to liquidate the debt. 175 The criteria adopted to evaluate these securities include provisions that ensure the issuance of equity capital within a certain period of time and that limit the total amount of such securities an organization may include in its primary capital. Coordination of Examinations of Large Banks and Their Parent Holding Companies In December 1981, the Federal Reserve and the OCC agreed to conduct certain examinations concurrently, and in 1982 the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) entered the agreement. The Federal Reserve, the OCC, and the FDIC plan to implement the new agreement in 1983. Under the agreement, bank holding companies with more than $1 billion in consolidated assets and their lead national or state nonmember bank subsidiaries are to be examined concurrently on an annual basis by the Federal Reserve and the OCC when a lead national bank is involved, and by the Federal Reserve and the FDIC when the lead bank is a state nonmember bank. The purpose of the program is to strengthen coordination and consistency in the supervision of large banking organizations. The program is also expected to enhance cooperation among the federal banking agencies, to eliminate duplication, and to reduce the burden of multiple examinations on commercial banks and their parent companies. New Manual on Bank Use of Certain Financial Contracts In 1982, the Board's Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation developed and implemented a new manual for examiners, ''Manual for Examination of Bank and Bank Holding Company Use of Interest 176 Banking Supervision and Regulation Rate Futures and Forward Contracts." The manual contains procedures for verifying compliance with the Board's policy statements governing bank and bank holding company activities in futures and forward contracts. The policy and manual are designed to ensure that the involvement of banks and holding companies in interest rate futures and forward transactions is in accordance with safe and sound banking practices and is undertaken for the purpose of limiting or hedging banking risks. Revised Examination Report and Manual, and New Rating System, for Edge Corporations During 1982, the Federal Reserve revised its examination report for Edge corporations and the accompanying manual to reflect changes in the structure of these organizations resulting from branching. In addition, a new system for rating the financial condition and management performance of Edge corporations involved in banking activities was implemented. The rating system closely parallels the CAMEL system used in rating commercial banks, but places special emphasis on rating the quality of assets, earnings, and management.3 These components are rated on a scale of 1 through 5, in descending order of performance, and a composite rating is also calculated. The new rating system will summarize important information about the financial condition of Edge corporations and will help focus supervisory efforts on companies with financial deficiencies. 3. CAMEL refers to the rating system used by the federal supervisory agencies to assess the financial condition of commercial banks. Examination Guidelines for Retail Repurchase Agreements In light of the increased use by banking organizations of retail repurchase agreements (RPs) involving U.S. government or agency securities, the Federal Reserve developed guidelines concerning this activity to be used in the examination of state member banks. In addition, the Federal Reserve sent a letter to each state member bank addressing the issues and risks associated with retail RPs, as well as setting forth certain disclosure guidelines and requirements to ensure that retail RPs are not misconstrued or misrepresented as insured bank deposits. EDP Examinations In 1982, the Federal Reserve, in conjunction with the other agencies of the FFIEC, issued a statement to all financial institutions emphasizing the importance of obtaining and analyzing financial data on their institution's independent data processing servicers. In addition, each agency adopted a uniform examination program for multiregional data processing servicers (MDPS). Under the program, major data processing servicers with centers across the country are examined on a nationwide, consolidated basis. The program eliminates duplication of effort, fosters cooperation and uniformity, and reduces the burden of multiple examinations on data processing servicers. In addition, the Federal Reserve and the FDIC adopted new guidelines and procedures for the supervision of electronic fund transfer systems (EFTS) of state-chartered banks. The banking industry's rapid expansion of retail and wholesale EFTS services necessitated the revision of previous guidelines. Banking Supervision and Regulation Surveillance and Monitoring Program The Federal Reserve System performs computer surveillance of member banks on a quarterly basis and of large bank holding companies on a semiannual basis. Current financial reports of banks and bank holding companies are screened periodically at the Board and sent to the Reserve Banks, which do the financial analysis and take any corrective action. If surveillance indicates that a bank or bank holding company is in good financial condition and that there is no trend toward serious deterioration in its key financial ratios, then the time between on-site examinations of these organizations may be lengthened. On the other hand, if surveillance suggests a poor and deteriorating financial condition, the banking organization is likely to have its examination date accelerated. During 1982, the Board revised its bank holding company performance report (BHCPR) and developed a user's guide to conform to the FFIEC's uniform bank performance report. Since its introduction, the BHCPR has been successfully used by the federal regulatory agencies as well as some state banking regulatory agencies. 177 Board may also assess civil money penalties for violations of a ceaseand-desist order, of the Bank Holding Company Act, or of certain provisions of the Federal Reserve Act. In 1982, the Reserve Banks recommended or initiated 44 enforcement actions, most dealing with unsafe or unsound banking practices; 30 were completed by year-end. In connection with the completed actions, the Board issued 15 cease-anddesist orders and entered into 23 written agreements: 17 involved banks; 13, bank holding companies or their subsidiaries; and 8, individuals participating in the affairs of the financial institutions. In 1982, the Board collected ten civil money penalties totaling $540,900 and assessed, but did not fully collect, an additional civil money penalty. Of the total, one was paid by a bank, two were paid by or assessed against bank holding companies, and eight were paid by individuals. The Board made available to the public a description of all formal supervisory actions completed during the year and the reasons for them. This action was taken to achieve the fullest public disclosure of information consistent with valid concerns of confidentiality. Enforcement Actions and Civil Money Penalties Staff Training Under the Financial Institutions Supervisory Act of 1966, the Board of Governors has the authority to enter into written agreements or ceaseand-desist actions with state member banks, bank holding companies, and persons associated with such organizations that engage in unsafe or unsound practices or that violate applicable laws or regulations. The System training continued to emphasize analytical and supervisory themes common to the four areas of supervision and regulation—examinations, inspections, applications, and surveillance—and to stress areas of interdependence. During 1982, the Federal Reserve conducted fourteen schools, seven of which offered core banking courses—two introductory, 178 Banking Supervision and Regulation three intermediate, and two ad- state banking activities of these forvanced. Other schools included two eign banks and for foreign banks dealing with credit analysis—a new that control a U.S. subsidiary comsubject—two with bank holding com- mercial bank. pany applications, two with consumer compliance, and one with a Bank Holding Company Act financial analysis program for senior By law, a company must obtain the examiners. The two credit analysis Board's approval to form a bank schools were held in Washington and holding company by securing control were followed by regional programs of one or more banks. Moreover, at four Reserve Banks for 115 stu- once formed, a bank holding comdents. Additional training programs pany must receive the Board's apin specialized areas, including trusts, proval before acquiring more banks international banking, electronic data or related nonbanking companies. processing, activities of municipal In reviewing an application filed securities dealers, management, and by a bank holding company, the instructor training, were conducted Board considers the convenience and by the FFIEC. needs of the community, the appliIn 1982, 516 employees completed cant's financial and managerial reSystem training programs and 214 sources, the prospects of both the completed FFIEC courses. As in applicant and the firm to be acprevious years, staff from state bank- quired, and the likely effects of the ing departments and several foreign proposal on competition. central banks also attended the SysIn 1982, the Board—and, under tem schools. delegated authority, the Federal Reserve Banks, the Director of the Regulation of Board's Division of Banking SuperU.S. Banking Structure vision and Regulation, and the The Board of Governors administers Board's Office of the Secretary— the Bank Holding Company Act, the acted on 2,401 bank holding comBank Merger Act, and the Change pany applications. The System apin Bank Control Act. In doing so, proved 1,086 proposals to organize the Federal Reserve acts on a variety holding companies and denied 3; of proposals that directly or indi- approved 418 bank acquisitions by rectly affect U.S. banking structure existing bank holding companies and at the local, regional, and national denied 4; and approved 839 requests levels. The Board also has primary to acquire nonbank companies that responsibility for regulating the in- are closely related to banking and rejected 3. Data on holding company ternational operations of domestic decisions are shown in the accompabanking organizations and of the nying table. U.S. operations of foreign banks that engage in banking in the United States, either directly through a branch Bank Merger Act or agency, or indirectly through a The Bank Merger Act requires that subsidiary commercial lending com- all proposed bank mergers receive pany. In addition, the Board has the prior approval of the appropriate established regulations for the inter- federal bank regulatory agency. If Banking Supervision and Regulation 179 Bank Holding Company Decisions by the Federal Reserve, Domestic Applications, 1982 Direct action Proposal B o a r d of Governors Delegated authority Office of Federal Division Director1 the Reserve Banks Secretary Total A p p r o v e d | D e n i e d Approved Denied Approved Approved Permitted Formation of holding company Retention of bank. Acquisition Bank Nonbank Merger of holding company Other Total 47 3 ... ... 8 1,031 1 . . . ... 1,089 1 26 60 4 3 ... ... ... ... 53 6 339 111 ... 662 422 842 12 5 1 1 ... 7 ... 2 2 ... 17 ... ... ... 32 15 150 12 7 2 69 1,499 662 2,401 1. This heading refers to decisions approved or denied by the Director of the Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation. the bank surviving the merger is a state member bank, the Federal Reserve has primary jurisdiction. Before approving a bank merger, the Federal Reserve considers the community's convenience and needs, the financial and managerial resources and prospects of the existing and proposed institution, and the competitive effects of the proposal. The Board must also consider the views of certain other agencies on the competitive factors involved in the transaction. During 1982, the Federal Reserve approved 52 merger applications: 3 were approved by the Board, 2 by the Secretary of the Board under delegated authority, and 47 by the Reserve Banks under delegated authority. As required by law, each merger is described in table 18 in the Statistical Tables section of this REPORT. When the Comptroller of the Currency or the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation has jurisdiction over a merger, the Board is asked to comment on the competitive factors to assure comparable enforcement of the antimonopoly provisions of the act. On behalf of the Board, the Reserve Banks submitted 736 reports on competitive factors to the Comptroller of the Currency and the FDIC. The Board and those agencies have adopted standard terminology for assessing competitive factors in bank merger cases to assure consistency in administering the Bank Merger Act. Change in Bank Control Act The Change in Bank Control Act of 1978 gave the federal banking agencies the authority to disapprove changes in the control of banks and bank holding companies. The Federal Reserve is the agency responsible for changes in the control of state member banks and bank holding companies. Factors to be considered in determining whether a transfer of control should be denied include the financial condition, competence, experience, and integrity of the acquiring person, and the effect on competition. In 1982, 152 changes in ownership 180 Banking Supervision and Regulation of the stock of state member banks and holding companies were reported; all but four were processed by the Reserve Banks. There was only one denial. International Activities of U.S. Banking Organizations The Board has three principal statutory responsibilities in supervising the international operations of U.S. banking organizations: to issue licenses for foreign branches of member banks and regulate the scope of their activities; to charter and regulate Edge corporations and their investments; and to authorize and regulate overseas investments by member banks, Edge corporations, and bank holding companies. Foreign Branches of Member Banks Under provisions of the Federal Reserve Act and Regulation K, member banks may establish branches in foreign countries subject, in most cases, to the Board's prior approval. In reviewing proposed foreign branches, the Board considers the requirements of the governing statute, the condition of the bank, and the bank's experience in international business. In 1982, the Board approved the opening of 43 foreign branches. By the end of 1982, 163 member banks were operating 877 branches in foreign countries and overseas areas of the United States, a net increase of 36 from the revised figure for 1981. One hundred twenty-nine national banks were operating 744 of these branches, while 34 state member banks were operating the remaining 133 branches. International Banking Facilities Effective December 3, 1981, the Board amended its Regulations D and Q to permit the establishment of international banking facilities (IBFs) in the United States. Subject to conditions specified by the Board, IBFs may be established by U.S. depository institutions, by Edge and Agreement corporations, and by U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks. An IBF is essentially a set of asset and liability accounts that is segregated from other accounts of the establishing office. In general, deposits from and credit extended to foreign residents or other IBFs can be booked at these facilities free from domestic reserve requirements and interest rate limitations. By the end of 1982, 430 offices had established IBFs. Edge and Agreement Corporations Under sections 25 and 25(a) of the Federal Reserve Act, Edge and Agreement corporations may engage in international banking and foreign financial transactions. These corporations, which are usually subsidiaries of member banks, provide their owner organizations with additional powers in two areas: (1) they may conduct a deposit and loan business in states other than that of the parent, provided that the business is strictly related to international transactions; and (2) they have somewhat broader foreign investment powers than member banks, being able to invest in foreign financial organizations, such as finance companies and leasing companies, as well as in foreign banks. In 1982, the Board approved the establishment of 9 Edge corporations and 1 Agreement corporation, and the operations of 25 branches by established Edge corporations. The Board requires each Edge corporation that is engaged in Banking Supervision and Regulation banking to maintain a ratio of equity to risk assets of at least 7 percent. At midyear, half of the banking corporations had ratios that were more than twice this minimum. Foreign Investments Under authority of the Federal Reserve Act and the Bank Holding Company Act, in 1982 the Board authorized 118 foreign investments by member banks, Edge and Agreement corporations, and bank holding companies. Most were for additional investments in financially related companies. Export Trading Companies In 1982, the Bank Export Services Act amended section 4 of the Bank Holding Company Act to permit bank holding companies, their subsidiary Edge or Agreement corporations, and bankers' banks to invest in export trading companies subject to certain limitations and after Board review. The purpose of the act is to allow for meaningful and effective participation by bank holding companies in the financing and development of export trading companies. The Board has proposed regulations to achieve the objectives set forth in the law: to facilitate the export of goods and services produced in the United States and to help avoid adverse effects on the subsidiary banks of the bank holding companies involved. Delegation of Applications In exercising its responsibility to formulate policies and procedures in the applications area, the Board has delegated certain regulatory functions—including the authority to approve, but not deny, certain types of applications—to the Reserve Banks 181 and to the Board's Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation and Office of the Secretary. In September 1979, the Board issued revised rules that delegated additional authority to the Reserve Banks to approve applications for bank holding companies and bank mergers. During 1980, the first full year under expanded delegation, 89 percent of all holding company and merger applications were acted on under delegated authority while the proportion during 1982 increased to 93 percent. In contrast, only 78 percent were processed by the Reserve Banks in 1978, the last full year before expanded delegation. In 1982, the Board delegated to the Reserve Banks authority to approve domestic branches of Edge corporations and foreign "shell" branches of member banks. In addition, the Board reduced from 60 to 45 days the notification period for foreign investments by U.S. banking organizations. The benefits that were expected from broadened delegation continue to be achieved: routine cases have been removed from the Board's agenda to allow more efficient use of staff of both the Board and the Reserve Banks. Timely Processing of Applications Although the number of applications by holding companies increased 27 percent from 1981 to 1982, the System still acted on 97 percent of these proposals within 90 days of the filing of a complete application. In 1982, 48 of the 52 applications for bank mergers were processed within 90 days; the 4 that took longer involved protest proceedings. The System also prepared 736 reports on 182 Banking Supervision and Regulation the competitive factors of proposed mergers for the other two banking agencies; all but a few were completed within 30 days. Of the 152 change-of-control notices, 148 were handled within 90 days. The System also measures its performance in processing international applications against a 90-day standard. During 1982, the Federal Reserve acted on 244 international applications, 95 percent of which were decided in 90 days or less. During 1982, several changes in procedures were instituted to expedite still further the processing of applications so as to reduce the burden on applicants and to make more efficient use of Board and Reserve Bank staff. These changes included the revision of application forms and the further streamlining of certain internal procedures. Pamphlet on Processing Applications The Board issued a pamphlet, "Processing Bank Holding Company and Merger Applications," to facilitate the filing of an application by those without experience in this area. The pamphlet, designed as a compact reference, not only assists an applicant in preparing and filing an application, but also explains the steps in processing and outlines the factors the System must consider when reviewing an application. Public Notice of Board Decisions Each action by the Board or its delegated representative on a case involving a bank holding company, bank merger, change in control, or international banking is effected by an order or announcement. Orders set forth the essential facts of the application, the basis for the decision, and the decision. Announcements state merely the action taken by the Federal Reserve. All orders and announcements are released immediately to the public and are reported in the Board's weekly H.2 statistical release, "Actions of the Board; applications and reports" and the monthly Federal Reserve Bulletin. Announcements of applications and notices received by the System but not yet acted on are also made in the H.2 release. Board Policy Decisions and Developments in Bank-Related Activities During 1982, the Board expanded the list of permissible bank holding company activities contained in Regulation Y to include additional data processing and transmission services to third parties, and management consulting advice to nonaffiliated nonbank depository institutions. The Board also approved by order two other activities: acting as a futures commission merchant for nonaffiliated persons in the execution and clearance of certain financial futures contracts, and arranging equity financing for commercial and industrial income-producing properties. Certain restrictions on the way these activities are to be offered are outlined either in Regulation Y or in the related Board order. The conditions are intended to ensure that these activities by bank holding companies are conducted in a manner consistent with the public interest. In recognition of its supervisory responsibilities, the Board also ap- Banking Supervision and Regulation proved the acquisitions of savings and loans associations by two bank holding companies. The Board had previously stated that it preferred to defer to the Congress the question of whether a bank holding company should be permitted to operate a savings and loan association. In approving the two acquisitions, the Board took note of the distressed financial condition of the two acquired associations, the lack of any viable alternative, and the condition of the thrift industry in general. In each instance, the Board determined that substantial public benefits would result from preserving these institutions as competitors in the thrift industry. Subsequent to approval of the acquisition of the two institutions, the Congress passed the Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982. Among the important provisions of this act, the Congress established specific criteria for permitting a bank holding company to acquire a federally insured thrift institution when severe financial conditions threaten the stability of a number of such institutions or of such institutions with significant resources. Enforcement of Other Laws and Regulations The preceding sections discussed the Board's activities in carrying out its statutory responsibilities for the supervision of bank safety and soundness and the regulation of banking structure. This section describes the enforcement of other laws, rules, and regulations. Financial Disclosure by State Member Banks The Board's Regulation F deals with the disclosure requirements for state member banks that have securities registered under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Seventy-three state member banks, most of which are of small or medium size, were registered with the Board under this regulation. These institutions must file certain materials, such as financial reports and proxy statements, that are of interest to investors. The Board's staff reviews these filings for compliance with the regulation. The disclosure rules under Regulation F are substantially similar to those issued by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Loans to Executive Officers Under section 22(g) of the Federal Reserve Act, state member banks must include with their quarterly report of condition a list of loans to executive officers. The table summarizes these data for the last quarter of 1981 and the first three quarters of 1982. Total loans to executive officers Period October 1—December 31, 1981 January 1—March 31, 1982 April 1—June 30, 1982 July 1—September 30, 1982 183 Number Amount (dollars) 1,074 778 971 989 6,866,599 5,459,960 7,016,053 5,365,086 Range of interest rates charged (percent) 6-26 6-27 7-21 6-21 184 Banking Supervision and Regulation Applications by State Member Banks The Board's authority over state member banks covers permission to open new branches, to make investments in bank premises that exceed 100 percent of capital stock, to add to the capital base from sales of subordinated debt, and the waiver of the six months' notice of intention to withdraw from membership in the System. The Federal Reserve employs the application or notification process to administer these statutory provisions. With few exceptions, these matters are handled under delegated authority by the Federal Reserve Banks or, in the case of proposed sales of subordinated debt, by the Director of the Board's Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation. Stock Repurchases by Bank Holding Companies A bank holding company sometimes purchases its own shares from existing shareholders. Often such stock repurchases are financed through borrowings, so that the net effect of the transaction is to increase the debt of the bank holding company at the very time that its equity is decreased. Because relatively large repurchases may adversely affect the financial condition of a bank holding company and its bank subsidiary, the Board, by regulation, requires holding companies to provide advance notice of repurchases that retire 10 percent or more of their consolidated equity capital. The Federal Reserve reviewed 150 such notifications during 1982, all but 2 of which were acted on by the Reserve Banks on the Board's behalf. Securities Regulation Under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (1934 Act), the Board is responsible for regulating credit used to purchase or carry securities. In fulfilling its responsibility under the 1934 Act, the Board limits the amount of credit that may be provided by securities brokers and dealers (Regulation T), by banks (Regulation U), and by other lenders (Regulation G). Regulation X extends these credit limitations, or margin requirements, to certain borrowers and certain credit extensions, such as credit obtained from foreign lenders by U.S. citizens. The SEC, the National Association of Securities Dealers, and the national securities exchanges examine brokers and dealers for compliance with Regulation T. The three bank supervisory agencies examine banks for compliance with Regulation U, with the Board being responsible for state member banks that extend stock-secured credit for the purpose of buying margin stock. The Board, the National Credit Union Administration, and the Farm Credit Administration examine other lenders under their respective jurisdictions for compliance with Regulation G. At the end of 1982, there were 536 such lenders, 296 of which were subject to the Board's supervision. During the year, Federal Reserve examiners inspected 99 lenders that were subject to Regulation G (these lenders are inspected on a biennial basis) for compliance with the Federal Reserve's margin requirements. Regulations G and U, in general, impose credit limitations on banks and other lenders only when a loan is for the purpose of purchasing or Banking Supervision and Regulation carrying publicly held equity securities and is secured by such securities. Regulation T limits the amount of credit that brokers and dealers may extend based on the value of securities serving as collateral. This collateral must consist of stocks and bonds traded on national securities exchanges or certain over-the-counter stocks and bonds that the Board designates as having characteristics similar to those of stocks listed on national exchanges. The latter category of stocks appear on the Board's "List of OTC Margin Stocks." The Board published revised lists of OTC stocks subject to its margin regulations on March 1, July 26, and October 18, 1982. In March, the list consisted of 1,576 stocks. The Board's Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation monitors the market activity of all OTC stocks to determine what stocks to place on this list. Stocks must meet certain criteria, established by the Board, before they can be eligible for the OTC margin stock list. On May 12, 1982, the Board changed those criteria (1) to allow foreign issuers to be eligible for listing, (2) to replace certain alternative criteria with mandatory requirements, and (3) to relax financial requirements to make them comparable to those of major stock exchanges. In 1982, there were other significant amendments to the margin regulations and further proposals to amend them. On January 18, the Board adopted several amendments to relax certain restrictions in Regulations G, T, and U. Lenders subject to Regulation G now have broader lending powers and greater flexibility as to the types of collateral for loans they may accept. The January amendments also exempted from 185 Regulation U bank credit that was not secured by margin equity securities and simplified the definition of indirect security. The latter change was also made in Regulation G. At the same time, the Board relaxed restrictions on the arranging of credit by brokers and dealers to permit them to engage in investment banking services that had been previously prohibited. In another area, on February 25, the Board proposed a regulatory framework for establishing margin requirements on contracts for stockindex futures. As of December 31, 1982, the Board had not imposed formal margin requirements on these contracts. On March 25, as part of its Regulatory Improvement Project, the Board proposed for public comment a total revision of Regulation T. The new proposal would incorporate amendments already adopted on January 18 (mentioned above). On April 19, the Board filed a brief as amicus curiae in support of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in Board of Trade of the City of Chicago vs. SEC, 611 F.2d 1137 (7th Cir. 1982); vacated as moot, 51 U.S.L.W. 3418 (U.S. Sup. Ct., November 29, 1982); a case in which the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit ruled that options on securities of the Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA) were not securities upon which margin requirements apply. If the court's decision were left standing, the Board's regulation governing options on GNMA and other government securities, adopted on October 5, 1981, would be invalidated. The Board also believed that the sweeping nature of the Seventh Circuit's decision could challenge its authority 186 Banking Supervision and Regulation to set margins on a wide variety of other options, which have consistently been treated as securities over which the Board has margin authority. This decision was effectively reversed by the enactment of legislation (in October 1982) that specifically makes GNMA options securities for purposes of the federal securities laws. On November 29, the Supreme Court vacated the judgment of the Seventh Circuit on the basis that the litigation was mooted by the new amendments to the federal securities laws. On May 12, the Board amended Regulation T to permit brokers and dealers who are authorized to borrow and lend securities for certain purposes to accept letters of credit, U.S. government securities, bank certificates of deposit, and bankers acceptances as collateral. Before the amendment, brokers and dealers were permitted to borrow and lend securities only against a deposit of cash. The Board's amendment also permits foreign banks to issue letters of credit in stock lending and borrowing transactions if they have filed with the Board agreements to comply with the same rules and regulations applicable to member banks in securities credit transactions. On December 9, the Board amended Regulation T to permit brokers and dealers to extend credit on private mortgage pass-through securities. The amendment added a provision to the definition of an over-the-counter margin bond, on which brokers and dealers may extend good-faith credit. In order for brokers and dealers to extend credit on private mortgage passthrough securities, the securities must have an original issue size of at least $25 million. The issuer must file current reports with the Securities and Exchange Commission and appear to be meeting material obligations under the terms of the offering. Under section 8 of the 1934 Act, a broker or dealer may not borrow from a bank on the collateral of registered securities unless the bank is either a member of the Federal Reserve System or one that files an agreement with the Board undertaking to comply with all statutes, rules, and regulations applicable to member banks with respect to their securities credit activities. Domestic and foreign nonmember banks must file these agreements, designated T-l and T-2 respectively, before they engage in the business of lending to brokers and dealers on the collateral of registered securities. During the year, the Board processed four T-l and T-2 agreements. During 1982, the Board's Securities Regulation Section of the Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation issued 36 interpretations of the margin regulations that presented sufficiently important or novel issues to be published in the Securities Credit Transactions Handbook, which is part of the Federal Reserve Regulatory Service. These interpretations, which were published monthly, serve as a guide to compliance with the margin regulations. Federal Reserve Membership At the end of 1982, 5,619 banks were members of the Federal Reserve System, a net increase of 145 from the previous year. Member banks operated 26,953 branches on December 31, 1982, a net increase of 1,192 for the year.4 4. This figure includes 1,818 automatic teller machine branches. Banking Supervision and Regulation Member banks accounted for 38 percent of all commercial banks in the United States, and for 64 percent of commercial banking offices. Complete figures on changes in the num- 187 ber of banks and banking offices by charter class are provided in table 17 in the Statistical Tables section of this REPORT. 188 Regulatory Simplification Action taken by the Board of Governors in 1982 to comply with the Financial Regulation Simplification Act of 1980 is reported here, as required by section 805 of that act. Also discussed are the Board's efforts under the Regulatory Flexibility Act and the Board's Statement of Policy Regarding Expanded Rulemaking Procedures. These acts and the Board's policy statement are intended to improve the regulatory process. The Financial Regulation Simplification Act (Title VIII of the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980) requires that each federal financial regulatory agency assure that its regulations impose no more burdens than are necessary, that they are adopted only after interested persons are heard, and that they are written simply and clearly. The act also requires each agency to establish a program of periodic review of its regulations to determine whether the regulations meet these objectives. The following are examples of steps the Board has recently taken to meet statutory objectives and to carry out its policy statement. Monetary Policy and Payments System Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions (Regulation D) Since passage of the Monetary Control Act, the Board has deferred reserve and reporting requirements for nonmember depository institutions with total deposits of less than $2 million. In 1982, the Congress enacted legislation that would permanently exempt the first $2 million of a depository institution's reservable liabilities from reserve requirements, thereby exempting almost 25,000 institutions. Whenever it could do so consistent with the needs of monetary policy, the Board attempted to ease the regulatory burden. Thus, before substituting a contemporaneous reserve accounting system for lagged reserve accounting, the Board sought estimates of the cost and complications institutions would incur in altering their systems for collecting and reporting information on deposits and in managing a contemporaneous system. Moreover, the Board delayed the change until February 1984, to permit institutions to make the necessary adjustments in their administrative and data processing procedures. Collection of Checks and Other Items and Wire Transfers of Funds (Regulation J) The Board proposed to amend Regulation J to reduce float by changing the schedule for payment of cash items on midweek closing days and nonstandard holidays. It also adopted an amendment to extend the times during which checks may be deposited for collection, in order to improve the speed and efficiency of the nation's payments mechanism. Institutions of all sizes will benefit substantially from the better funds availability that the program affords. Regulatory Simplification 189 Interest on Deposits (Regulation Q) Management Official Interlocks (Regulation L) To implement the Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982, the Board amended Regulation Q in several ways. Banks were permitted to offer money market deposit accounts, with a limit of three checks per month, and Super NOW accounts, with unlimited transfers, both without interest rate ceilings provided that balances exceed $2,500. In addition, all governmental units may maintain NOW accounts. Another amendment permitted member banks to issue all time deposits in book-entry form as an alternative to issuing certificates of deposit in definitive form, a change that should yield cost savings to depositors and institutions. The Board reviewed its experience under the new Regulation L and decided to take additional steps to lighten the regulatory burdens. Among other things, the proposed amendments would aid depository institutions, including small ones, that face a disruptive loss of management because of the Depository Institutions Management Interlocks Act. They also would relieve institutions of the need to apply for the statutory maximum grace period of 15 months in which to terminate any interlock that becomes prohibited because of changes in circumstances; the grace period is automatically granted to all affected institutions. The Board also implemented a statutory change preserving grandfather rights of current management officials for 10 years despite a change in circumstances. Banking Structure and Supervision International Banking Operations (Regulation K) Recently, the Board amended Regulation K to permit Edge corporations in the United States to offer certain investment advisory and management services, and thereby to remove a barrier to entry into new business fields. This change continues the policy established with the International Banking Act of 1978 of enhancing the organizational and operational flexibility with which U.S. banks can conduct international activities; that policy has emphasized upgrading the competitive capabilities of Edge corporations at home and abroad. The Board also changed the procedures for establishing a U.S. branch of an Edge corporation and shortened certain investment notification from 60 to 45 days. Digitizedperiods for FRASER Bank Holding Companies and Change in Bank Control (Regulation Y) The Board has added to the list of permissible nonbanking activities in which bank holding companies may engage. The new activities are providing expanded data processing; acting as a futures commission merchant; offering securities discount brokerage (approved in early 1983); arranging equity financing with institutional lenders for income-producing property; consulting on management to thrift institutions; acquiring a troubled or failing savings and loan institution in another state; and offering information, advice, and transactions in connections with foreign exchange (approved in early 1983). Staff work is continuing on a complete revision of Regulation Y under the Board's Regulatory Im- 190 Regulatory Simplification provement Project. This work has focused on eliminating applications whenever possible and improving System processing of applications that are still required. The redrafted regulation will incorporate essential statutory material and a number of Board rulings to make it self-contained and more useful. The Board proposed guidelines, in the form of a policy statement, to be used to assess competitive factors under the Bank Holding Company Act and the Bank Merger Act. Such guidelines should aid applicants by fostering greater certainty and generally expediting the application process. The Board published criteria for determining the primary capital status of mandatory convertible securities, to be used in connection with capital adequacy guidelines issued jointly by the Board and the Comptroller of the Currency in 1981. Consumer and Community Affairs Regulations Equal Credit Opportunity (Regulation B) In response to industry requests for clarification, the Board adopted interpretations concerning the use of income from various sources in creditscoring systems and the disclosure of creditors' reasons for adverse decisions. Also, the Board withdrew proposed amendments that would have subjected some business-credit transactions to all requirements related to adverse actions and retention of records. Electronic Fund Transfers (Regulation E) The Board adopted four amendto grant relief to providers of Digitized ments for FRASER EFT services. One amendment eliminates duplicate periodic statements for certain intrainstitutional transfers; a second exempts small institutions from provisions regulating preauthorized electronic transfers; and the others lift certain burdens from institutions that are members of debit-credit card networks. Truth in Lending (Regulation Z) The Board updated the Official Staff Commentary of Regulation Z, which has replaced 1,500 individual staff interpretations. The commentary is revised on a regular schedule to answer significant questions that have arisen during the preceding six months. As indicated in the ANNUAL REPORT for 1981, the Board declined in February 1982 to adopt a proposed amendment that would have redefined "arranger of credit" so as to require real estate brokers to provide truth in lending disclosures to buyers of residential property when sellers are providing some or all of the financing. The Board asked the Congress to clarify the matter, and the Congress amended the Truth in Lending Act to exclude all arrangers of credit from disclosure requirements. Thus the Board did not need to define ''arranging," and real estate brokers and sales persons involved with seller-financed transactions are spared the expense of complying with the regulation. The Board also considered alternative disclosure requirements to deal with seller's points. The points paid by a seller to a creditor became an issue because of the widespread use and advertising of reduced-rate plans for financing purchases of homes and automobiles. The Board subsequently declined to amend the regu- Regulatory Simplification lation because of doubts about the benefits to consumers and because of practical difficulties—notably, ensuring compliance in advertising and determining the influence of points on negotiated prices. 191 Credit by Brokers and Dealers (Regulation T) As separate matters, the Board adopted two proposals that affect regulation of brokers and dealers. One permits brokers and dealers to use irrevocable letters of credit and Securities Credit and other instruments as collateral when, Securities Activities in the ordinary course of business, they borrow or lend securities. This Securities Credit Regulations type of transaction arises from the (Regulations G, T, U, and X) need to complete short sales or to As indicated in last year's ANNUAL settle customer transactions when the REPORT, in January 1982 the Board broker has not yet received delivery adopted amendments to simplify and of expected securities. Both brokers modernize Regulations G, T, and U. and customers view the use of letters These actions should foster compe- of credit favorably, and such use can tition between banks and broker- be expected to reduce the net cost dealers, reduce the compliance bur- of credit used by brokers and dealers den for brokers and dealers, and in clearing transactions. expand flexibility in making investThe other proposal that the Board ment decisions. Proposals are under adopted as an amendment to Regudevelopment to reorganize the aclation T permits private mortgage count structure required at brokerpass-through certificates to be used age firms, among other things, and as collateral for margin credit. By the regulations are being redrafted to embody terminology the industry treating these certificates as analonow uses. These changes simplify gous to OTC bonds, the amendment and clarify various complex provi- should promote regulatory equality sions and together with changes al- between broker-dealers and comready made should save more than mercial banks. This amendment is one million reporting hours. Public not expected to have a significant comment has been received on the adverse economic impact on a subcompletely rewritten Regulation T stantial number of small entities. that incorporates these proposed changes, and the redrafting of Regulations G, U, and X is proceeding. Stock Index Futures The Board amended these regula- The Board published advance notice tions to revise the criteria that over- of a proposal to establish a regulatory the-counter stocks must meet initially framework for imposing margin reand the criteria that they must con- quirements for futures contracts based tinue to meet to remain on the on stock indexes under Regulations Board's "List of OTC Margin Stocks." G, T, and U. The notice solicited The amendments involved a mixture information helpful in designing a of relaxing and tightening changes, regulatory framework that presents but none of the comments received the fewest operational problems, indicated that the changes would should federal regulation become have a significant economic impact necessary. The comments will be on firms, whatever their size. taken into consideration in the cur 192 Regulatory Simplification rent joint agency study of federal margin regulations. Membership of State Banking Institutions in the Federal Reserve System (Regulation H) The Board, in conjunction with the other banking agencies and the Securities and Exchange Commission, revised form TA-1 for transfer agents for securities transactions to reduce substantially the information required. Regulatory Impact Studies The Board is engaged in a number of projects to assess the costs and burdens of regulations. 1. Working through the Survey Research Center of the University of Michigan, the Board conducted additional surveys of consumers' experience with depository institutions and prepared the questionnaire for a survey of the financial affairs of 5,000 consumers. Analysis of the results is expected to help guide Federal Reserve regulatory actions. 2. The Board sponsored a colloquium on the deregulation of product lines in banking that brought together representatives from financial institutions and the banking agencies. The proceedings of the colloquium are available from the Board. 3. The Board has undertaken a joint agency study regarding the scope and effectiveness of federal regulation of margin requirements. The other participating agencies are the Securities and Exchange Com- mission and the Commodities Futures Trading Commission. Federal authority in this area needs reexamination because the structure of financial markets has changed since margins were first regulated in 1934. The Board has noted that most contracts for financial futures and options, which have been introduced and grown rapidly in recent years, are bought and sold under a regulatory framework different from that in the cash markets, although the new instruments are partial substitutes for one with another and prices are related across markets. The Board has solicited public comment on specific areas in the study. Regulatory Service and Other Informational Services The Board continues to update the Federal Reserve Regulatory Service. A significant step in 1982 was the collection and publication of major Board and staff rulings under Regulation Y (Bank Holding Companies and Change in Bank Control). Previously, these rulings were not readily available. The Board also continues to publish new educational materials. For example, a pamphlet, "Processing Bank Holding Company and Merger Applications," tells a holding company how to prepare and file an application with the System and explains the processing steps and timing once the application is filed. The pamphlet also outlines the factors that the Board considers in acting on holding company and merger applications. 193 Federal Reserve Banks Developments in the Payments Mechanism and in the Pricing of Federal Reserve Services The pricing environment mandated by the Monetary Control Act of 1980 continued to have a significant impact on the activities of the Federal Reserve Banks in 1982. One of the basic goals of the act was a less costly, more effective payments mechanism. To achieve that goal the act required the Board to establish fee schedules for services provided by Reserve Banks to depository institutions. In the process, incentives have changed, and resources are being used more efficiently by both the Reserve Banks and private depository institutions. During 1982, the Federal Reserve concentrated on (1) adjusting the structure and level of fees to reflect more accurately the cost of resources devoted to providing services, and (2) providing incentives for more efficient use of resources in payments services. Commercial Check Collection The total volume of commercial checks cleared by the Federal Reserve Banks declined approximately 12 percent from 1981 to 1982. The reduction was attributable largely to the re-emergence and expansion of local clearing arrangements following the advent of pricing, and to changing deposit patterns. Further, the business recession may have dampened check volume growth. More over, depository institutions sought ways that were more cost-effective to clear checks through the Federal Reserve—for example, by taking advantage of the generally lower prices for collection of checks that are completely sorted as to payor bank. Because these shifts in volume were greater than anticipated, revenues were not so large as expected. After six months of experience with charging for check collection services, several adjustments in prices were made. Effective April 1, 1982, the fee for completely sorted checks was separated into two components: a fee for each item and a fee for the deposit as a whole. In addition, prices were raised for nonmachinable items and for deposits of unsorted checks. The Federal Reserve also sought in 1982 to accelerate the collection of checks. In August the Board published for comment a proposed program designed to improve funds availability to institutions that deposit checks for collection through the System. After careful consideration of the issues raised in the comments it received, the Board in December adopted a program that was revised, among other reasons, to take into account the concerns of depository institutions of all sizes. Under this program, which was scheduled to become effective in February 1983, institutions may deposit checks for collection later in the day at Federal Reserve offices, and the Reserve Banks will phase in a schedule for presentment of checks to payor institutions later in the 194 Federal Reserve Banks tration transfers. The Banks also will cooperate with the private sector to facilitate electronic payments among corporations through ACHs. These enhancements to the ACH service will promote efficiency in the payments mechanism by encouraging more rapid and less costly methods Wire Transfer of Funds and of payment. Net Settlement When it adopted the initial fee The volume of wire transfers of funds schedule, effective August 1981, the grew 15 percent in 1982; it averaged Board recognized that the full potenmore than 2.9 million transfers per tial for an ACH service had not been month. The installation of terminals realized. To encourage the use of at depository institutions to originate the ACH service, the Board set a and receive wire transfers through fee schedule that assumed a mature the Federal Reserve continued dur- volume of transactions, which was ing the year. This spread of terminals expected to be achieved in about five is expected to improve further the years. efficiency of the system. In April 1982, the Board anThe initial schedules of fees for nounced a plan for ending its incenwire transfers and net settlement tive pricing policy for the ACH became effective early in 1981. After service. Support for ACH prices will considerable review of alternative fee be reduced gradually over several structures and of the costs of provid- years so that the fees established in ing the service, the Board revised 1985 should fully recover the producthose fee schedules, effective April tion costs of the service plus the 29, 1982. The principal change im- private sector adjustment factor posed fees on the receivers, as well (PSAF). This adjustment is the imas on the originators, of all wire puted cost that accounts for the taxes transfers. Previously, receivers paid that would have been paid and the fees only for transfers on which they return on capital that would have requested notice. been provided had the services been furnished by a private-sector firm. A revised schedule announced in NoAutomated Clearinghouse vember 1982 set fees designed to Service recover 40 percent of costs plus the The volume of transactions through PSAF, in accordance with the supautomated clearinghouses (ACHs) port program announced earlier in expanded approximately 16 percent the year. In addition, the structure during 1982, mostly because of the of fees was altered to set (1) separate increase in commercial transactions. fees for day-cycle and night-cycle In their efforts to enhance the com- processing in recognition of cost mercial ACH service, the Reserve differentials, and (2) higher day-cycle Banks plan to expand the night-cycle fees for credits than for debits in service during 1983 to accommodate recognition of the benefits that acapplications other than cash-concen- crue to receivers of credits. business day. The later deadlines should facilitate faster collection of checks, especially those that are deposited at institutions some distance away from the institution on which they are drawn. Federal Reserve Banks Coin and Currency Services The initial fee schedule for the cash transportation service became effective on January 28, 1982. To ease the burden of adjustment to full-cost pricing of cash transportation for institutions in remote areas, the Board established maximum fees to be charged to individual institutions. It also determined to review this pricesupport program at year-end, and if it were to extend the program at that time, to do so for no longer than one year. In that review, on December 27, the Board increased the maximum fees for the cash transportation service and affirmed its commitment to terminate the program of support at the end of 1983, in view of the shifts in transportation arrangements and new efforts in the private sector toward more efficient distribution of coin and currency. The Board also endorsed a uniform accounting approach for cash shipments, effective July 1, 1983, and revised guidelines for the structure of cash transportation fees, effective January 27, 1983. The initial fee schedule for the coin wrapping service also became effective on January 28, 1982. At that time, only two Reserve Banks offered the service. During the year, however, three more Banks began offering it, and others were expected to participate in 1983. Securities Services The initial fee schedule for all securities services offered by Federal Reserve Banks to depository institutions became effective October 1, 1981. Since that time, in anticipation of repricing the services, the System has devoted considerable effort to 195 analyzing the response to explicit pricing, to considering potential service enhancements, and to reviewing costs. The Board published a proposed fee schedule for book-entry services for comment late in 1982, before acting on a revised fee schedule expected to become effective in the second quarter of 1983. The proposed fees were higher than those contained in the initial schedule. Part of the proposal was the establishment of a fee per issue. During 1982, improvements were made in the schedule of credit availability for past-due items in the noncash collection service. Several actions were also taken to expedite the collection process for definitive securities, and to contain the costs of providing the service. Despite these improvements, which appeared to make the services more attractive, throughout 1982 the System continued to experience declines in volume for most of the definitive securities services offered by the Reserve Banks. After adjustment for the drop in volume, however, the float associated with definitive securities services declined markedly as a result of the service improvements. Float Continuing the trend that began in 1980, Federal Reserve float declined to a daily average of $2.3 billion in 1982, primarily because of further operational improvements at the Reserve Banks. Those improvements were part of a program announced by the Board in 1980, whose purpose was to reduce Federal Reserve float, through operational improvements, before its pricing. Since the inception 196 Federal Reserve Banks of the program, nearly two-thirds of System float has been eliminated. In November 1982, the Board published for comment three proposals related to the remaining float: (1) changes in crediting procedures that Reserve Banks use for interterritory check shipments; (2) a charge to the Reserve Bank account of the depositing institution for a returned interterritory check in the amount of $50,000 or more on the day the Federal Reserve gives credit to the returning payor institution; and (3) the explicit pricing of intraterritory float. The Board will review comments on these proposals and expects to take final action during the first quarter of 1983. Work is under way on proposals for the most cost-effective approaches to eliminating or pricing the remaining Federal Reserve float. The Board expects to review such proposals in 1983. Administrative Matters On November 22, 1982, the Board announced changes in the Federal Reserve's procedures for administering clearing balances. The changes, which were to take effect in early 1983, permit any depository institution to establish a clearing balance. Other changes adopted by the Board simplify requirements for clearing balances for smaller institutions. On December 17, 1982, the Board adopted a private sector adjustment factor of 16 percent for 1983 pricing purposes. Although based on more recent data, the new PSAF is the same as that in 1982. Financial Performance The Monetary Control Act directs the Federal Reserve to set fees that, over the long run, are based on (1) all the direct and indirect costs of providing services, and (2) an imputed cost (represented by the PSAF) that accounts for the taxes that would have been paid and the return on capital that would have been provided had the services been furnished by a private-sector firm. For 1982, the total revenue from pricing of services was $421.6 million and the total expense of providing them was $456.8 million. Thus expenses exceeded revenue by $35.2 million. Including the PSAF, the expenses exceeded revenue by $90.9 million. Two adjustments can be made to the 1982 results: (1) for the incentive pricing program for the ACH service, which anticipated recovery of only 20 percent of production costs plus the PSAF through pricing; and (2) for the price support program in the cash transportation service. After the effect of these programs, pro forma net revenue after the private sector adjustment was -$78.8 million. Table 10 in the Statistical Tables section of this REPORT shows the revenue and expense by major categories of priced services. The revenues for Federal Reserve services tend to be sensitive to the volume of use because most of the services are priced per item or per transaction. In contrast, the costs of providing services do not respond readily to changes in volume. Early in 1982, projected revenue for the year fell short of projected costs plus the PSAF by a considerable margin, because the actual volume fell short of expectations, especially in some of the check and securities services, and because the redistribution of volume across services was not fully anticipated. Changes in the fee Federal Reserve Banks schedules for wire transfers, net settlement, and some check services, announced before mid-1982, mitigated the revenue shortfall somewhat. The fee schedules for other services were not revised so readily because of the complexities of the issues associated with such revisions. Through efforts to contain costs and to improve their services, however, the Federal Reserve Banks made substantial progress in reducing the shortfall over the course of 1982 so that by the fourth quarter, the production costs of providing services were recovered through pricing revenues, although not the full PSAF. Initiatives are well under way to eliminate the remaining shortfall; and the Board expects that by the end of 1983, the second full year of experience with pricing services, pro forma net revenue adjusted for the programs that support the ACH and cash transportation services will reflect the recovery of direct and indirect costs, including the private sector adjustment. Examination The Board's Division of Federal Reserve Bank Operations examined 197 the 12 Reserve Banks and their 25 branches during 1982, as required by section 21 of the Federal Reserve Act. In conjunction with the examination of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the Board's examiners audited the accounts and holdings related to the Federal Reserve System Open Market Account and the foreign currency operations conducted by that Bank in accordance with policies formulated by the Federal Open Market Committee, and furnished copies of these reports to the Committee. The procedures that were followed by the Board's examiners were surveyed and appraised by a private firm of certified public accountants, pursuant to the policy of having such reviews made annually. Income and Expenses The accompanying table summarizes the income, expenses, and distribution of net earnings of the Federal Reserve Banks for 1982 and 1981. Current income, at $16,517 million in 1982, was $1,009 million higher than in 1981. The principal change was an increase of $942 million in income on U.S. government obliga- Income, Expenses, and Distribution of Net Earnings of Federal Reserve Banks, 1982 and 1981 Thousands of dollars Item 1982 Current income Operating expenses Current net income Net deduction from current net income Assessments for expenditures of Board of Governors Net income before payments to U.S. Treasury Dividends paid Payments to U.S. Treasury (interest on Federal Reserve notes) Transferred to surplus 1. Operating expenses include $4 million and $29 million in earnings credits granted to depository institutions in 1981 and 1982 respectively. In 1981, the 16,517,385 1,024,475 15,492,910 68,833 61,813 15,362,264 79,352 15,204,591 78,320 1981 15,508,350 901,120 14,607,230 368,873 63,163 14,175,194 74,574 14,023,723 76,897 cost of earnings credits was reported as a deduction from current net income. NOTE. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. 198 Federal Reserve Banks tions. Income from priced services amounted to $387 million. Operating expenses were $1,024 million, including $28 million of earnings credits granted to depository institutions. Assessments for expenditures of the Board of Governors totaled $62 million. The profit and loss account showed a net deduction of $69 million, principally because of an unrealized loss of $150 million on assets denominated in foreign currencies related to revaluation to market exchange rates, and a gain of $85 million on sales of U.S. government obligations. Statutory dividends to member banks totaled $79 million, $4 million more than in 1981. This rise reflected an increase in the capital and surplus of member banks and a consequent increase in the paid-in capital stock of the Federal Reserve Banks. Payments to the U.S. Treasury as interest on Federal Reserve notes totaled $15,205 million for the year, compared with $14,024 million in 1981. This amount consists of all net income after dividends and the amount necessary to bring surplus to the level of paid-in capital. A detailed statement of the income and expenses of each Federal Reserve Bank during 1982 is shown in table 7, and a condensed historical statement appears in table 8, in the Statistical Tables section of this REPORT. A detailed statement of assessments and expenditures of the Board of Governors appears in "Financial Statements," pages 201-06. Federal Reserve Bank Premises During 1982, the Baltimore Branch occupied its new quarters and sold the vacated building and property. With the approval of the Board of Governors, the Omaha Branch acquired property for a future building site; and the Birmingham Branch acquired adjacent property for projected expansion. Table 6, in the Statistical Tables section of this REPORT, shows the cost and book values of premises owned or occupied by the Federal Reserve Banks and branches, and of real estate acquired for future banking-house purposes. Securities and Loans of Federal Reserve Banks, 1980-82 Millions of dollars except as noted Total U.S. government securities1 Loans Acceptances Average daily holdings 2 1980 1981 1982 129,750 132,238 140,968 128,196 130,754 139,772 1,420 1,363 1,047 134 121 149 Earnings 1980 . 1981 1982 12,673 14,766 15,697 12,479 14,551 15,504 176 196 175 18 19 18 Average interest rate (percent) 1980 1981 1982 9.77 11.17 11.14 9.73 11.13 11.09 12.39 14.38 16.71 Item and year 1. Includes federal agency obligations. 13.43 15.70 12.08 2. Based on holdings at opening of business. Federal Reserve Banks and Loans The accompanying table presents holdings, earnings, and average interest rates on securities and loans of the Federal Reserve Banks during the past three years. Average daily holdings of securities and loans during 1982 amounted to $140,968 million, an increase of $8,730 million over 1981. Holdings of U.S. government securities increased $9,018 million; loans decreased $316 million; and acceptances increased $28 million. 199 The average rates of interest on holdings decreased from 11.13 to 11.09 percent on U.S. government securities; increased from 14.38 to 16.71 percent on loans; and decreased from 15.70 to 12.08 percent on acceptances. Volume of Operations Table 9 in the Statistical Tables section of this REPORT shows the volume of operations in the principal departments of the Federal Reserve Banks for 1979-82. 201 Board of Governors Financial Statements The financial statements of the Board for the years 1982 and 1981 were ex- amined by Arthur Andersen & Co., independent public accountants. A U D I T O R S ' REPORT To the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System: We have examined the balance sheets of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System as of December 31, 1982 and 1981, and the related statements of assessments and expenditures and changes in financial position for the years then ended. Our examinations were made in accordance with generally accepted auditing standards and, accordingly, included such tests of the accounting records and such other auditing procedures as we considered necessary in the circumstances. In our opinion, the financial statements referred to above present fairly the financial position of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System as of December 31, 1982 and 1981, and the results of its operations and the changes in its financial position for the years then ended, in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles applied on a consistent basis. f Washington, D.C., February 18, 1983. 202 Financial Statements BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM BALANCE SHEETS As of December 31, ASSETS 1982 1981 OPERATING FUND Cash Receivables and advances Stockroom and cafeteria inventories at lower of cost (first-in, first-out) or market Deferred publication costs (Note 3) Total operating fund $ 4,613,805 554,928 $ 6,164,961 634,532 257,495 — 5,426,228 240,040 334,562 7,374,095 1,301,314 61,056,512 8,636,512 6,845,572 77,839,910 1,301,314 60,787,084 8,085,073 5,893,872 76,067,343 $ 83,266,138 $ 83,441,438 $ 4,328,675 1,466,018 3,074,671 $ PROPERTY FUND, at cost (Note 1) Land and improvements Buildings Furniture and equipment Computer equipment Total property fund LIABILITIES AND FUND BALANCES OPERATING FUND Liabilities Accounts payable Accrued payroll and related taxes Accrued annual leave (Note 1) 8,869,364 2,484,847 1,372,466 2,694,966 6,552,279 Commitments and contingencies (Notes 2 and 4) Fund balance (Note 1) Balance, beginning of year Assessments (under) over funded expenditures and unfunded accrued annual leave Balance, end of year Total operating fund 821,816 (4,264,952) (3,443,136) 5,426,228 (2,809,658) 3,631,474 821,816 7,374,095 PROPERTY FUND (Note 1) Fund balance Balance, beginning of year Additions—at cost Disposals—at cost Total property fund 76,067,343 1,808,096 (35,529) 77,839,910 $ 83,266,138 The accompanying notes are an integral part of these balance sheets. 75,262,877 852,955 (48,489) 76,067,343 $ 83,441,438 Financial Statements 203 BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM STATEMENTS OF ASSESSMENTS AND EXPENDITURES For the years ended December 31, 1982 1981 $ 61,813,400 $ 63,162,700 85,766,269 147,579,669 84,859,336 148,022,036 43,874,292 7,598,440 1,765,093 1,316,441 1,289,216 1,268,450 1,228,791 1,038,630 982,601 906,766 626,559 476,168 386,917 248,829 889,123 63,896,316 41,014,846 6,227,869 1,591,343 1,179,604 1,791,588 1,273,657 867,466 862,981 788,394 655,030 560,350 442,897 347,152 173,693 690,950 58,467,820 1,802,331 848,062 ASSESSMENTS LEVIED ON FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS (Note 1) For Board expenses and property additions For expenditures made on behalf of the Federal Reserve Banks for printing, issuance, and redemption of Federal Reserve notes Total assessments F U N D E D EXPENDITURES (Note 1) Board expenses Salaries Retirement and insurance contributions (Note 2) Travel Contractual services Printing and binding Heat, light, and power Equipment, office space, and other rentals (Note 4) Telephone and telegraph Repairs and maintenance Postage Stationery, office, and other supplies Cafeteria operations, net Professional fees Books and subscriptions Other Board property additions, net of recoveries on disposals of $5,765 in 1982 and $4,893 in 1981 (Note 1) Expenditures for printing, issuance, and redemption of Federal Reserve notes on behalf of the Federal Reserve Banks (Note 1) Total funded expenditures Assessments (under) over funded expenditures 85,766,269 151,464,916 (3,885,247) 379,705 U N F U N D E D ACCRUED A N N U A L LEAVE (Note 1) . ASSESSMENTS (UNDER) OVER F U N D E D EXPENDITURES AND U N F U N D E D ACCRUED A N N U A L LEAVE 84,859,336 144,175,218 3,846,818 $ 215,344 (4,264,952) $ The accompanying notes are an integral part of these statements. 3,631,474 204 Financial Statements BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN FINANCIAL POSITION For the years ended December 31, 1982 1981 $ 61,813,400 $ 63,162,700 85,766,269 5,765 1,937,380 396,711 149,919,525 84,859,336 4,893 836,495 570,458 149,433,882 63,896,316 58,467,820 85,766,269 84,859,336 — 269,428 586,968 951,700 3,485 451,216 397,224 1,030 151,470,681 144,180,111 SOURCES OF FUNDS Assessments levied for Board expenses and property additions Assessments levied for expenditures made on behalf of the Federal Reserve Banks Recoveries from disposals of property Increase in accounts payable, accrued payroll and related taxes Decrease in receivables, inventories, and deferred costs Total sources APPLICATIONS OF FUNDS Board expenses Expenditures for printing, issuance, and redemption of Federal Reserve notes on behalf of the Federal Reserve Banks Additions to property Land and improvements Buildings Furniture and equipment Computer equipment Total applications (DECREASE) INCREASE IN CASH CASH BALANCE, beginning of year CASH BALANCE, end of year (1,551,156) 911,190 $ 4,613,805 $ 6,164,961 The accompanying notes are an integral part of these statements. 5,253,771 6,164,961 Financial Statements NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS DECEMBER 31, 1982 AND 1981 (1) SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES In preparing its financial statements, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (the Board) has applied accounting principles which, in management's opinion, best reflect its financial position and results of operations. These accounting principles include certain principles which are generally accepted for organizations in the private sector and also certain principles which are generally accepted for governmental units. A summary of significant accounting policies is shown below. Assessments, Board Expenses, and Property Additions—Assessments made on the Federal Reserve Banks for Board expenses and additions to property are calculated based upon expected cash needs. Assessments, Board expenses, and property additions are recorded on the accrual basis of accounting. Assessments and Expenditures Made on Behalf of the Federal Reserve Banks—Assessments and expenditures made on behalf of the Federal Reserve Banks for the printing, issuance, and redemption of Federal Reserve notes are recorded on the cash basis. This treatment produces results which are not materially different from those which would have been produced using the accrual basis of accounting. Property—The Board does not charge depreciation as an operating expense. Property additions are charged to expense in the Operating Fund in the year of acquisition; recoveries on the disposal of property are recorded as a reduction of expense in the Operating Fund in the year of disposal. When property is acquired or sold, the property asset accounts and the balance in the property fund account are increased or decreased at cost. Employee Annual Leave—In accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 43, "Accounting for Compensated Absences," the Board records the liability for employees' rights to receive compensation for annual leave in the accompanying Balance Sheets. In addition, the incremental expense for this liability is separately presented in the accompanying Statements of Assessments and Expenditures since it is not funded currently by assessments levied on the Federal Reserve Banks. (2) RETIREMENT PLANS There are two major retirement plans for employees of the Board. Approximately 83 percent of the employees are covered by the Federal Reserve Board Plan. Substantially all new members of the staff who do not come directly from a position in the federal government are covered by this plan. The second plan, the Civil Service Retirement Plan, covers all new employees who come directly from federal government service. Employee contributions are the same percentage of salary under both plans, and benefits are similar, being based upon the Civil Service Plan. Under the Civil Service Plan, the Board's contributions directly match employee payroll deductions. Under the Federal Reserve Board Plan, the Board's 205 contributions for active employees are actuarially determined and are funded in the current period. The Board's contributions to the retirees' Cost-ofLiving Adjustment (COLA) totaled $1,937,000 in 1982 and $878,000 in 1981. The increase in the level of these contributions was primarily attributed to a change in policy. Consistent with federal government action taken in 1981, the Board changed its method of computing the retirees' COLA from a semiannual basis to an annual basis. Because it was the year of transition, however, the 1981 COLA only reflected the change in the consumer price index that occurred during the six months ended December 31,1980. In 1982, the COLA reflected the change in the consumer price index that occurred during the twelve months ended December 31, 1981. Additionally, employees of the Board participate in the Federal Reserve System's Thrift Plan. Under this plan, the Board contributes a fixed percentage of allowable employee savings to employee savings accounts. Board contributions to the retirement plans and the Thrift Plan totaled approximately $6,384,000 in 1982 and $5,338,000 in 1981. As of January 1, 1982 and 1981 (the dates of the most recent actuarial reviews), the accumulated plan benefits for the Federal Reserve Board Plan were as follows. As of January 1, 1981 1982 Actuarial present value of accumulated plan benefits Vested $44,679,000 Nonvested 2,550,000 $43,931,000 2,791,000 $47,229,000 $46,722,000 The assumed rate of return used in determining the present value of accumulated plan benefits was 10 percent in 1982 and 9 percent in 1981. As of January 1,1982 and 1981, net assets available for plan benefits exceeded the actuarial present value of accumulated plan benefits. (3) FEDERAL RESERVE REGULATORY SERVICE The Board began publication of the Federal Reserve Regulatory Service in 1981. This monthly looseleaf service contains Board regulations, interpretations, staff rulings, and other regulatory materials. The service is distributed without charge throughout the Federal Reserve System. It is also sold to depository institutions, legal firms, and others. Subscription revenues in the amount of $844,000 and $711,000 were generated in 1982 and 1981, respectively. These revenues were used to offset prior year's deferred publication costs and current year publication costs. (4) COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES The Board leases office and computer equipment and office and storage space under leases which may generally be terminated within one year. At Decem- 206 Financial Statements ber 31, 1982, fixed future rental commitments were approximately $1,252,000 for 1983. The Board has been named as a defendant in litigation involving challenges to, or appeals from, actions or proposed actions of the Board pursuant to statutory requirement or authorization. Such lawsuits generally seek injunctive or declaratory relief against the Board rather than monetary awards. It is the opinion of Board counsel that lawsuits involving monetary awards do not represent a material liability to the Board. The Board is self-insured with regard to (1) a group term life and accident insurance plan for Board officers and (2) losses of its building and equipment from fire or other casualties. Coverage for other customarily insured risks, such as workers' compensation and comprehensive general liability, is carried by the Board. (5) FEDERAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS EXAMINATION COUNCIL The Board is one of five member agencies of the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (the Council). During 1982 and 1981, the Board paid $175,000 and $114,000, respectively, in assessments for operating expenses of the Council. The Board serves as custodian for the Council's cash. (This cash is not reflected in the accompanying financial statements.) It also processes accounting transactions, including payroll for most employees, and performs other administrative services for the Council which are reimbursed. The Board is not reimbursed for the costs of personnel who serve on the Council and on the various task forces and committees of the Council. The costs associated with these contributed services are included in the accompanying financial statements. Statistical Tables 208 Tables 1. Detailed Statement of Condition of All Federal Reserve Banks Combined, December 31, 1982 Thousands of dollars ASSETS Gold certificate account Special drawings rights certificate account Coin Loans and securities Loans to depository institutions Acceptances held under repurchase agreement Federal agency obligations Bought outright Held under repurchase agreement U.S. government securities Bought outright Bills Notes Bonds Total bought outright Held under repurchase agreement 11,147,909 4,618,000 439,297 714,833 1,479,978 8,936,836 587,795 54,425,660 62,625,895 18,555,734 135,607,289 3,704,305 Total U.S. government securities 139,311,594 Total loans and securities 151,031,036 Cash items in process of collection Transit items 11,295,950 Other cash items 1,694,151 Total cash items in process of collection 12,990,101 Bank premises Land Buildings (including vaults) Building machinery and equipment Construction account Total bank premises 350,982 131,762 128,676 611,420 Less depreciation allowance 152,960 90,322 458,460 Bank premises, net Other assets Furniture and equipment Less depreciation Total furniture and equipment, net Denominated in foreign currencies 1 Interest accrued Premium on securities Due from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Overdrafts Prepaid expenses Suspense account Real estate acquired for banking-house purposes All o t h e r . . . . . Total other assets Total assets 548,782 275,679 96,729 178,950 5,764,470 2,315,022 386,759 285,333 64,504 59,123 139,683 14,832 137,167 9,345,844 190,120,970 Tables 209 !.,--• Continued LIABILITIES Federal Reserve notes Outstanding (issued to Federal Reserve Banks) Less held by Federal Reserve Banks 159,979,052 17,989,453 Total Federal Reserve notes, net 141,989,599 Deposits Depository institutions U.S. Treasury—general account Foreign—official accounts Other deposits Collected funds due to other Federal Reserve Banks Officers' and certified checks International organizations All other 2 26,491,873 5,033,451 328,280 1,438,718 55,681 109,498 874,047 Total other deposits Deferred availability cash items 2,477,944 8,813,035 Other liabilities Exchange-translation account Unearned discount Discount on securities Sundry items payable Suspense account All other - 171,901 1,412 2,060,878 38,528 338,080 4,893 Total other liabilities . 2,271,890 Total liabilities 187,406,071 CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Capital paid in Surplus Other capital accounts 3 Total liabilities and capital accounts 1. Of this amount, $1,404.0 million was invested in securities issued by foreign governments, and the balance was invested with foreign central banks and the Bank for International Settlements. Amount shown includes $1,291.8 million in foreign currencies warehoused for U.S. Treasury. 2. In closing out the other capital accounts at year-end, the Reserve Bank earnings that are payable to the Treasury are included in this account pending payment. 1,357,449 1,357,449 190,120,970 3. During the year, this item includes undistributed net income, which is closed out on Dec. 31; see table 7 in the Statistical Tables section of this REPORT. NOTE. Amounts in boldface type indicate items in the Board's weekly statement of condition of the Federal Reserve Banks. 2. Statement of Condition of Each Federal Reserve Bank, December 31, 1982 and 1981 Millions of dollars Total Boston Philadelphia New York Cleveland Richmond Item 1982 1981 11,148 4,618 438 717 0 1982 1981 3,160 951 18 554 225 13 531 141 19 744 302 48 805 253 38 967 408 51 1,147 288 46 559 0 101 0 212 0 19 0 19 0 108 0 102 0 1982 1981 1982 1982 11,151 3.318 377 570 241 26 1,017 165 20 3,212 1,335 32 1,604 0 15 0 77 0 90 0 1982 1981 1982 1981 ASSETS Gold certificate account Special drawing rights certificate account (Join Loans To depository institutions Other 1,480 195 0 0 1,480 195 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,937 588 9,125 269 413 0 388 0 2,811 588 2,657 269 298 0 327 0 590 0 662 0 758 0 729 0 U.S. government securities Bought outright 1 Held under repurchase agreements 135,607 3,705 127,738 3,216 6,265 0 5,437 0 42,656 3,705 37,188 3,216 4,519 0 4,571 0 8,950 0 9,274 0 11,506 0 10,198 0 Total loans and securities 151,034 142,147 6,693 5,902 51,330 44,084 4,918 5,110 9,559 9,955 12,372 11,029 13,000 549 10,636 498 345 97 313 98 1,630 25 705 23 299 51 397 52 497 27 383 27 1,723 110 1,730 99 5,764 3,577 5,129 3,592 150 144 141 125 1,436 1,358 1,386 1,296 236 107 191 140 432 191 397 197 300 259 Acceptances held under repurchase agreements. Federal agency obligations Bought outright Held under repurchase agreements Cash items in process of collection Bank premises Other assets Denominated in foreign currencies 2 All other Interdistrict Settlement Account Total assets 0 0 + 101 + 287 + 871 + 656 + 364 -256 -1,322 -1,066 -307 256 222 + 562 190,128 176,848 8,367 8,068 61,229 52,279 6,767 6,325 10,478 10,989 15,883 15,379 LIABILITIES 141,990 131,906 7,191 6,995 44,812 39,633 5,560 5,287 8,823 8,972 12,411 12,046 26,489 5,033 328 2,484 25,228 4,301 505 791 676 0 5 25 602 0 9 12 8,882 5,033 170 587 5,075 4,301 267 540 816 0 9 21 664 0 12 10 1,051 0 16 41 1,259 0 25 20 1,322 0 11 65 1,301 0 16 31 34,334 30,825 706 623 14,672 10,183 846 686 1,108 1,304 1,398 1,348 8,814 2,272 306 94 278 106 485 596 949 876 173 68 159 89 215 134 339 182 8,297 8,002 60,565 51,641 6,647 6,221 10,280 10,797 1,478 452 15,739 1,656 197 187,410 8,800 2,759 174,290 15,247 1,359 1,359 0 1,279 1,279 0 35 35 0 33 33 0 332 332 0 319 319 0 60 60 0 52 52 0 99 99 0 96 96 0 72 72 0 66 66 0 190,128 176,848 8,367 8,068 61,229 52,279 6,767 6,325 10,478 10,989 15,883 15,379 Federal Reserve notes outstanding (issued to Bank) LESS: Held by Bank 4 Federal Reserve notes, net 5 159,979 17,989 141,990 151,033 19,127 131,906 8,050 859 7,191 7,885 890 6,995 47,896 3,084 44,812 43,654 4,021 39,633 7,546 1,986 5,560 7,374 2,087 5,287 9,463 640 8,823 9,882 910 8,972 13,708 1,297 12,411 13,348 1,302 12,046 Collateral for Federal Reserve notes Gold certificate account Special drawing rights certificate account Other eligible assets U.S. government and agency securities 11,148 4,618 107 126,717 11.151 3,318 0 117,437 570 241 0 6,380 1,017 165 0 5,813 3,212 1,335 0 40,265 3,160 951 0 35,522 554 225 0 4,781 531 141 0 4,615 744 302 0 7,777 805 253 0 7,914 967 408 0 11,036 1,147 288 0 10,611 Total collateral 141,990 131,906 7,191 6,995 44,812 39,633 5,560 5,287 8,823 8,972 12,411 12,046 Federal Reserve notes .. . . Deposits Depository institutions U.S\ Treasury—General account Foreign—Official accounts Other Total deposits Deferred-availability cash items Other liabilities and accrued dividends 3 Total liabilities CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Capital paid in Surplus Other capital accounts Total liabilities and capital accounts FEDERAL RESERVE NOTE STATEMENT For notes see end of table. 2. Statement of Condition of Each Federal Reserve Bank, December 31, 1982 and 1981—Continued Millions of dollars Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Dallas Kansas City San Francisco Item 1982 1981 1982 1981 1982 1981 1982 1981 1982 1981 1981 1982 1982 ASSETS 402 161 44 436 98 43 1,476 646 26 1,171 519 23 418 170 25 450 129 29 154 61 19 189 48 17 675 241 44 534 154 31 743 310 32 628 192 26 1,233 518 78 1,083 380 67 Loans To depository institutions Other 83 0 399 0 88 0 49 0 9 0 11 0 33 0 60 0 160 0 57 0 3 0 15 0 Acceptances held under repurchase agreements ooo Gold certificate account Special drawing rights certificate account Coin 44 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Federal agency obligations Bought outright Held under repurchase agreements 227 0 290 0 1,268 0 1,393 0 301 0 338 0 113 0 136 0 422 0 417 0 606 0 571 0 1,130 0 1,217 0 U.S. government securities Bought outright 1 Held under repurchase agreements 3,452 0 4,059 0 19,246 0 19,501 0 4,565 0 4,734 0 1,709 0 1,911 0 6,406 0 5,842 0 9,192 0 7,992 0 17,141 0 17,031 0 Total loans and securities 3,687 4,393 20,597 21,293 4,954 5,121 1,831 2,058 6,861 6,319 9,958 8,620 18,274 18,263 Cash items in process of collection Bank premises Other assets Denominated in foreign currencies2 All other 1,664 34 438 117 1,571 34 923 19 1,011 17 til 15 632 14 451 28 1,784 104 703 70 167 99 151 135 1,212 22 216 141 1,528 14 738 4686 1,366 24 259 165 1,404 16 377 151 688 27 213 62 375 203 945 438 809 411 -930 + 742 -730 -702 -187 24,310 7,267 5,931 22,672 21,599 Interdistrict Settlement Account -278 -434 813 4346 -158 Total assets 6,269 6,669 24,776 -275 161 52 -211 + 873 + 767 + 91 306 254 + 1,542 2,780 2,793 10,508 9,396 13,132 13,110 LIABILITIES Federal Reserve notes Deposits Depository institutions U.S. Treasury—General account Foreign—Official accounts Other 3,295 3,142 20,612 19,534 4,630 4,532 1.463 7,851 6,652 9,317 8,666 15,730 14,984 1.647 0 16 31 1,842 0 24 8 2,854 0 30 114 3.358 0 47 78 477 0 6 1,408 662 0 10 17 414 0 8 22 764 0 10 3 1,224 0 9 36 1,422 0 14 15 2,408 0 14 46 2,930 0 20 22 4,718 0 34 88 5,349 0 51 35 Total deposits 1,694 1,874 2,998 3,483 1,891 689 444 777 1,269 1,451 2,468 2,972 4,840 5,435 Deferred-availability cash items Other liabilities and accrued dividend 3 1,007 55 1,360 99 508 288 554 379 603 67 544 92 452 28 420 39 1,168 96 1,064 115 1,024 135 1,149 155 1,395 259 328 430 Total liabilities . . 6,051 6,475 24,406 23,950 7,191 5,857 2,682 2,699 10,384 9,282 12,944 12,942 22,224 21,177 CAPITAL ACCOUNTS Capital paid in Surplus Other capital accounts 97 97 0 185 185 0 6,269 6,669 24,776 24,310 7,267 Federal Reserve notes outstanding (issued to B a n k ) . . . LESS: Held by Bank 4 Federal Reserve notes, net 5 5,522 2,227 3,295 5,270 2,128 3.142 22,048 1,436 20,612 21,111 1,577 19,534 Collateral notes for Federal Reserve notes Gold certificate account Special drawing rights certificate account Other eligible assets U.S. government and agency securities 402 161 0 2,732 436 98 0 2,608 1,476 646 0 18.490 Total collateral 3,295 3,142 20,612 Total liabilities and capital accounts. . . 109 109 0 180 180 0 38 38 0 37 37 0 49 49 0 47 47 0 62 62 0 5,931 2,780 2,793 10,508 5,440 810 4,630 5,546 1,014 4,532 2,206 448 1,758 1,995 532 1,463 1,171 519 0 17.844 418 170 0 4,042 450 129 0 3,953 154 61 0 1,543 19,534 4,630 4,532 1,758 57 57 0 94 94 0 84 84 0 224 224 0 211 211 0 9,3% 13,132 13,110 22,672 21,599 8,974 1,123 7,851 7,891 1,239 6,652 11,047 1,730 9,317 10,121 1,455 8,666 18,079 2,349 15,730 16,956 1,972 14,984 189 48 0 1,226 675 241 107 6,828 534 154 0 5,964 743 310 0 8,264 628 192 0 7,846 1,233 518 0 13,979 1,083 380 0 13,521 1,463 7,851 6,652 9,317 8,666 15,730 14,984 FEDERAL RESERVE NOTE STATEMENT 1. Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. government securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks— and excludes (if any) securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 2. Includes U.S. government securities held under repurchase agreement against receipt of foreign currencies and foreign currencies warehoused for the U.S. Treasury. Assets shown in this line are revalued monthly at market exchange rates. 3. Includes exchange-translation account reflecting the monthly revaluation at market exchange rates of foreign-exchange commitments. 4. Beginning September 1980, Federal Reserve notes held by the Reserve Banks are exempt from the collateral requirement. 5. Includes Federal Reserve notes held by U.S. Treasury and by Federal Reserve Banks other than the issuing Bank. 6. Includes special investment account at Chicago of Treasury bills maturing within 90 days. NOTE. Data for 1982 in tables 1 and 2 may differ because of rounding or closing adjustments, which are not included in table 2. 214 Tables 3. Federal Reserve Open Market Transactions, 1982 Millions of dollars Type of transaction Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES Outright transactions (excluding matched transactions) 0 2,756 0 600 1,017 868 0 0 474 995 0 600 4,149 0 0 0 0 0 542 0 0 20 0 2,633 -940 0 0 0 900 -1,479 0 132 0 333 -525 0 1 to 5 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange 0 0 -542 0 50 0 -974 765 0 0 -900 1,479 570 0 -333 525 J to 10 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange oooo 0 0 -1,659 100 oooo 81 0 0 0 Over 10 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange oooo 0 0 0 75 oooo Treasury bills Gross purchases Gross sales Exchange Redemptions 52 0 0 0 All maturities Gross purchases Gross sales Redemptions 0 2,756 600 1,087 868 0 474 995 600 4,984 0 0 Matched transactions Gross sales Gross purchases 51,132 51,717 28,033 28,258 38,946 38,650 44,748 44,759 Repurchase agreements Gross purchases Gross sales 12,962 12,914 18,656 21,919 8,595 6,998 18,396 14,724 -2,724 -2,820 179 8,667 0 0 68 0 0 32 0 0 13 800 935 872 1,006 554 471 2,033 1,119 -203 -166 70 909 402 -597 488 280 -2,524 -3,583 737 9,856 Others within 1 year Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange Redemptions Net change in U.S. government securities FEDERAL AGENCY OBLIGATIONS Outright transactions Gross purchases Gross sales Redemptions Repurchase agreements Gross purchases Gross sales Net change in federal agency obligations BANKERS ACCEPTANCES Repurchase agreements, net Total net change in System Open Market Account . Tables Oct. Nov. Dec. 774 0 0 0 2,552 0 0 0 1,897 731 0 200 17,067 8,369 0 3,000 0 0 733 -650 0 0 0 623 0 0 88 0 2,819 - 1,924 0 0 0 906 -943 0 312 0 17,295 -14,164 0 0 0 -4,938 3,078 0 0 -733 650 0 0 -623 0 485 0 -2,204 1,515 0 0 -906 943 1,797 0 - 14,524 11,804 0 0 601 837 () 0 0 0 0 0 0 194 0 -616 250 0 0 0 0 -2,172 2,128 0 0 -601 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 132 0 0 159 0 0 July Aug. 1,559 0 200 0 1,905 1,175 -200 200 1.721 651 0 600 425 674 0 400 0 0 1,498 - 2,541 0 0 0 988 - 1.249 0 71 0 382 0 0 0 0 4,938 -3,914 0 II oo May 0 0 -988 1.049 691 0 -382 200 0 113 595 519 0 400 0 -498 941 0 0 0 0 123 0 0 Sept. 3,452 0 () 1.897 731 200 19,870 8,369 3,0(X) 45.655 46.370 39,579 41,724 72.123 69.088 543.804 543,173 5.618 9,420 4,161 4.161 15,229 11,525 130.774 130,286 1,636 8,358 595 519 400 1,559 0 0 2,903 1.175 200 1,721 651 600 425 674 400 774 0 36.047 36.790 41,509 37,548 54.646 58,753 39,403 37.962 51.983 51.554 10.155 15.424 5,332 5.332 18,267 18,267 3.755 2.567 9.649 7.035 1.535 0 0 6 0 0 1 1,305 2,301 831 831 4,389 4.389 0 () 46 1.095 866 0 0 5 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 189 1,997 1,225 1,776 2.778 739 739 2.566 1,978 18.957 18,638 183 -768 0 0 565 248 -813 -2,408 5,634 966 2,550 -4,134 582 -1,008 -6,615 *Less than $500,000. NOTE. Sales, redemptions, and negative figures reduce holdings of the System Open Market Account; all other figures 388 0 0 -2.402 Total 307 0 -601 234 () () 0 0 1 215 0 5,5% 1,480 1.285 3,697 9,773 increase such holdings. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. 216 Tables 4. Federal Reserve Bank Holdings of U.S. Government and Federal Agency Securities, December 31, 1980-82 Millions of dollars December 31 Increase or decrease ( - ) Description 1982 U.S. government securities—Total 1-15 days 1 16-90 days 91 days to 1 year 1-5 years 5-10 years Over 10 years Held outright 2 Treasury bills Treasury notes Treasury bonds Held under RPs Federal agency obligations—Total 1-15 days 16-90 days 91 days to 1 year 1-5 years 5-10 years Over 10 years Held outright Banks for Cooperatives Export-Import Bank Federal Farm Credit Banks Federal Home Loan Banks Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation Federal Intermediate Credit Banks Federal Land Banks Farmers Home Administration Federal National Mortgage Association Government National Mortgage Association—PCs . U.S. Postal Service Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority .. General Services Administration Held under RPs 1. Includes securities held under repurchase agreements. 2. Excludes securities sold under matched agreements, and | 1981 1980 139,312 4,3% 31,088 40,057 35,102 12,095 16,574 130,954 3,935 25,190 37,417 36,025 11,752 16,634 121,328 4,780 23,499 30,187 34,505 13,354 15,002 8,358 461 5,898 2,640 -923 343 -60 9,626 -845 1,691 7,230 1,520 -1,602 1,632 54,426 62,626 18,556 3,704 49,359 59,978 18,401 3,216 43,688 58,718 16,893 2,029 5,067 2,648 155 488 5,671 1,260 1,508 1,187 9,525 730 564 1,954 4,780 979 518 9,394 530 631 1,443 5,256 962 573 9,264 705 426 1,519 4,838 1,092 685 131 200 -67 511 -476 17 -55 130 -175 205 -76 418 -130 -112 21 0 2,174 2,494 5 50 613 147 3,198 67 37 117 14 588 21 16 1,960 2,500 5 59 840 163 3,312 83 37 117 14 269 35 16 1,459 2,426 0 75 988 187 3,305 83 37 117 14 525 0 -16 214 -6 0 -9 -227 -16 -114 -16 0 0 0 319 -14 0 501 74 5 -16 -148 -24 7 0 0 0 0 -256 1982 1981 securities held under repurchase agreements. NOTE. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. 5. Number and Salaries of Officers and Employees of Federal Reserve Banks, December 31, 1982 President Federal Reserve Bank (including branches) Other officers Employees Number Total Annual salary (dollars) Number Annual salaries (dollars) Fulltime Parttime Annual salaries (dollars) Number Annual salaries (dollars) Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta 111,000 145,000 82,000 92,000 97,000 106,000 50 150 42 40 71 67 2,477,500 8,716,000 2,085,000 1,808,000 3,325,300 3,194,600 1,267 3,946 1,026 1,214 1,873 2,063 172 93 73 62 95 44 26,863,227 87,266,680 19,428,094 22,251,700 30,786,903 37,586,333 1,490 4,190 1,142 1,317 2,040 2,175 29,451,727 96,127,680 21,595,094 24,151,700 34,209,203 40,886,933 Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco 117,000 94,000 90,000 87,000 82,000 122,000 84 46 40 54 47 91 3,975,600 2,177,980 1,849,000 2,435,500 2,232,600 4,414,101 2,871 1,184 992 1,560 1,367 2,066 105 75 2 45 30 84 52,705,239 21,248,033 18,441,700 26,960,797 24,809,561 42,206,872 3,061 1,306 1,035 1,660 1,445 2,242 56,797,839 23,520,013 20,380,700 29,483,297 27,124,161 46,742,973 1,225,000 782 38,691,181 21,429 880 410,555,139 23,103 450,471,320 Total Tables 217 Bank Premises of Federal Reserve Banks and Branches, D e c e m b e r 3 1 , 1982 Dollars Federal Reserve Bank or Branch Cost Total 2 Net book value 5,425,128 44,538 106,916,400 161,580 96,872,789 138,291 12,561,757 1,136,219 3,010,752 21,427,695 745,855 1,661,223 37,425,729 2,359,936 5,559,819 20,817,670 945,657 2,994,507 Land Buildings (including vaults) 1 21,635,436 27,840 79,855,836 89,202 NEW YORK . Annex Buffalo 3,436,277 477,862 887,844 BOSTON Annex Building machinery and equipment PHILADELPHIA 1,876,601 52,360,009 5,253,502 59,490,112 51,170,428 CLEVELAND . . . Cincinnati Pittsburgh 1,074,281 1,997,249 1,658,376 5,802,520 13,541,212 5,113,033 4,439,911 7,521,727 3,064,907 11,316,712 23,060,188 9,836,316 3,704,841 15,496,563 7,757,737 RICHMOND Annex Baltimore Charlotte 3,912,575 522.733 3,880,302 347,071 55,679,289 3,725,466 35,036,673 1,075,116 14,314,313 3,616,991 946,943 73,906,179 7,865,190 38,916,975 2,369,130 65,989,168 4,421,545 38,698,750 1,219,698 ATLANTA Birmingham Jacksonville Annex Miami Nashville New Orleans 1,202,255 2,361,070 164,004 107,925 3,547,571 592,342 3,087,693 6,565,323 1,905,770 1,706,794 76,236 11,776,944 1,474,678 2,754,272 3,558,580 1,046,244 778,505 15,843 2,116,440 1,175,891 1,476,257 11,326,159 5,313,084 2,649,303 200,003 17,440,955 3,242,912 7,318,222 6,293,027 3,603,775 875,565 155,826 16,598,408 1,546,874 5,053,452 CHICAGO Annex Detroit 4,511,942 53,066 797.734 16,439,102 302,249 3,137,976 11,448,225 136,878 1,972,024 32,399,268 492,193 5,907,734 15,289,180 457,478 2,779,316 ST. LOUIS Little Rock Louisville Memphis 700,378 1,148,492 700,075 1,135,623 4,944,833 2,067,898 2,865,319 4,239,761 3,823,399 1,023,475 1,131,238 2,126,755 9,468,610 4,239,865 4,696,632 7,502,139 3,724,513 2,979,025 2,442,333 5,483,003 MINNEAPOLIS... Helena KANSAS CITY . . . Denver Oklahoma City Omaha 1,394,384 289,619 1,338,737 2,997,746 646,386 1,030,226 26,664,805 104,184 12,059,988 3,646,679 2,370,476 1,550,902 7,692,189 61,906 5,813,699 2,374,384 1,717,342 817,215 35,751,378 455,709 19,212,423 9,018,808 4,734,204 3,398,342 26,749,830 343,588 12,929,195 5,998,423 3,473,865 1,848,063 DALLAS El Paso Houston San Antonio 3,729,268 262,477 2,049,064 448,596 5,388,345 1,048,617 1,994,423 1,782,893 3,653,592 393,301 791,229 570,846 12,771,205 1,704,395 4,834,716 2,802,335 8,222,787 1,498,073 4,114,724 2,179,935 SAN FRANCISCO Annex Los Angeles Portland Salt Lake City Seattle 12,436,775 247,201 644,238 83,288,534 131,114 4,711,365 2,174,233 62,078 2,426,971 97,899,542 440,393 7,782,575 92,806,072 340,809 4,423,713 207,381 480,222 274,772 1,678,512 1,974,295 2,018,722 649,432 1,036,376 1,234,879 2,535,324 3,490,893 3,528,373 1,956,146 2,380,543 2,006,517 Total 90,321,708 479,658,092 131,762,159 701,741,959 548,781,704 1. Includes expenditures for construction at some offices pending allocation to appropriate accounts. 2. Excludes charge-offs of $17,698,968 before 1952. Other real estate 3 1,224,363 1,675,944 166,845 951,793 283,753 5,323,439 479,076 4,726,662 14,831,874 3. Includes acquisitions for banking-house purposes, and Bank premises formerly occupied and being held pending sale. NOTE Details may not add to totals due to rounding. 218 Tables 7. Income and Expenses of Federal Reserve Banks, 1982 Dollars Total Item Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland CURRENT INCOME Loans Acceptances U.S. government securities Foreign currencies Priced services All other 174,599,512 18,282,868 15,492,891,505 432,541,731 386,732,282 12,337,230 72,915,122 18,282,868 4,828,055,401 109,322,456 58,982,951 5,947,971 10,790,342 7,476,261 694,660,256 11,216,663 23,845,933 532,768 524,668,313 17,608,710 14,867,390 241,276 1,047,056,094 32,333,016 23,999,246 318,797 Total 16,517,385,129 734,271,258 5,093,506,769 568,176,031 1,111,183,414 469,307,979 29,834,881 101,388,988 23,633,374 26,945,680 128,075,979 8,317,808 14,414,464 8,361,765 449,229 810,832 25,199,077 1,706,982 1,751,510 6,625,349 391,748 487,997 8,121,877 538,624 1,030,710 100,095,196 19,358,575 37,449,670 4,793,726 1,361,436 2,435,555 12,862,222 4,253,849 7,351,488 4,098,033 945,646 1,938,790 6,622,762 856,872 2,036,381 16,696,319 14,819,043 20,973,887 12,797,242 10,014,647 3,186,972 2,299,705 2,093,546 461,151 486,324 2,775,275 1,399,008 3,858,868 6,189,509 1,545,422 1,340,142 1,494,875 1,973,677 40,014 992,314 911,821 953,867 1,371,834 250,947 395,686 53,111,250 32,686,112 1,876,321 1,581,050 9,918,295 6,627,483 1,568,091 2,105,343 3,974,531 1,382,311 4,815,638 CURRENT EXPENSES Salaries and other personnel expenses Retirement and other benefits Fees Travel Postage and other shipping costs Communications Materials and supplies . . . . Building expenses Taxes on real estate Property depreciation... Utilities Rent Other Equipment Rentals Depreciation Repairs and maintenance Cost of Federal Reserve currency Cost of earnings credits 1 . . All other Shared costs, net 2 Recoveries Expenses capitalized 3 Total4 Reimbursements ... / Net expenses 19,788,408 996,542 4,280,130 1,328,987 838,717 98,441,027 28,261,201 27,137,096 0 -4,109,109 -2,840,279 5,454,292 2,806,545 2,302,334 187,686 -310,360 -92,201 22,400,628 1,930,562 4,402,408 -172,581 -929,720 -7,223 4,524,085 1,392,678 1,161,926 227,777 -409,478 0 6,628,954 1,996,859 1,952,888 -408,380 -66,884 -163,438 1,100,277,278 -75,802,294 1,024,474,984 71,377,331 -6,788,241 64,589,090 218,732,180 -17,592,132 201,140,048 55,861,368 -4,435,281 51,426,087 66,172,619 -5,066,172 61,106,447 Tables 219 —Continued Richmond 10,511,320 Atlanta 3,236,546 Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco 17,978,090 6,129,624 5,719,762 15,125,041 8,690,546 1,283,449,216 22,369,054 28,019,258 624,751 421,329,511 2,235,496,829 32,699,165 60,766,531 44,695,757 61,051,781 874,700 1,321,170 534,237,701 12,495,072 19,113,403 442,936 204,995,294 15,911,316 21,180,961 276,880 720,536,314 1,019,659,201 19,343,250 27,925,967 28,565,313 26,088,093 216,183 621,310 1,978,747,375 70,550,531 37,122,196 918,489 1,344,973,599 502,835,679 2,376,614,401 572,418,737 248,084,213 779,872,280 1,089,419,612 2,096,029,138 11,211,220 35,501,997 39,248,272 59,495,404 24,015,714 20,737,835 31,245,710 28,233,617 49,026,507 10,148,260 511,661 1,190,997 10,921,503 543,532 1,228,466 16,811,432 1,107,989 2,245,578 6,523,239 568,350 688,040 5,370,653 378,621 820,755 8,457,956 442,820 1,304,750 7,512,907 491,067 1,013,983 14,021,961 1,187,185 1,840,846 10,039,965 1,416,153 3,561,839 10,400,429 2,001,465 3,681,688 13,748,988 2,303,212 4,211,219 6,178,235 705,674 2,276,020 4,998,600 1,003,036 1,393,603 7,590,579 1,206,278 2,879,994 7,394,045 1,285,382 2,518,135 11,367,612 2,019,572 3,164,958 1,352,197 2,937,441 1,929,376 934,038 1,142,517 1,033,949 905,828 1,744,942 107,127 869,558 1,784,092 639,016 2,037,457 1,873,096 1,717,288 402,122 530,443 1,133,923 284,084 399,492 1,808,307 957,600 817,877 76,638 625,524 514,805 810,918 1,147,115 46,473 586,590 667,569 663,518 1,285,565 767,275 627,232 919,068 1,226,824 1,579,707 1,766,890 626,700 5,842,954 2,710,779 6,159,046 1,993,281 9,425,786 2,488,330 2,003,530 1,791,311 1,927,345 1,577,600 2,204,446 3,007,295 3,148,144 3,012,638 5,062,761 4,408,691 1,553,834 1,474,999 1,788,136 1,252,165 904,671 1,650,394 1,466,867 2,252,966 10,400,382 2,740,820 1,470,755 239,011 -918,531 -231,247 7,987,997 4,379,560 1,962,581 603,069 -379,954 -184,515 12,131,492 8,068,853 4,942,415 -462,706 -68,889 -637,614 3,433,409 498,783 1,028,173 558,990 -518,924 -106,573 1,631,364 1,829,799 1,331,593 440,632 -84,794 -68,666 5,915,811 519,795 1,219,361 -224,193 -276,895 -759,478 4,755,151 806,271 2,085,616 -986,975 -116,829 -476,456 13,177,462 1,290,676 3,277,046 -2,330 -27,851 -112,868 96,682,823 -5,491,944 91,190,879 145,650,574 -9,323,489 136,327,085 53,646,200 -3,282,981 50,363,219 48,478,593 -2,188,905 46,289,688 69,490,524 -3,970,062 65,520,462 66,154,722 -3,786,618 62,368,104 118,074,383 -7,760,596 110,313,787 89,955,9614 -6,115,873 83,840,088 For notes see end of table. 220 Tables 7. Income and Expenses of Federal Reserve Banks, 1982—Continued Dollars Total Item Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland PROFIT AND LOSS Current net income Additions to current net income Profits on sales of U.S. government securities All other Total additions Deductions from current net income Losses on foreign cur- 5 rency transactions . All other Total deductions ... Net additions to or deductions ( - ) from current net income Assessment for expenditures of Board of Governors6 Net income before payments to U.S. Treasury Dividends paid Payments to U.S. Treasury (interest on Federal Reserve notes) Transferred to surplus Surplus, January 1 Surplus, December 31 15,492,910,149 669,682,167 4,892,366,721 516,749,946 1,050,076,967 85,240,779 1,162,530 86,403,309 3,989,431 311 3,989,742 27,142,214 18,637 27,160,851 2,806,247 606 2,806,853 5,533,135 706 5,533,841 149,612,214 5,624,246 155,236,460 3,889,918 43,557 3,933,475 37,253,441 1,239,217 38,492,658 6,134,101 46,663 6,180,764 11,220,916 43,094 11,264,010 -68,833,150 56,267 -11,331,807 -3,373,911 -5,730,169 61,813,400 1,605,700 15,383,800 2,579,800 4,639,900 15,362,263,601 79,352,304 668,132,734 2,039,198 4,865,651,114 19,582,450 510,796,235 3,393,997 1,039,706,899 5,891,495 15,204,590,947 78,320,350 1,279,128,350 1,357,449,200 664,574,836 1,518,700 33,434,500 34,953,200 4,833,139,264 12,929,400 318,683,300 331,612,700 500,598,188 6,804,050 52,986,600 59,790,650 1,031,120,404 2,695,000 96,451,300 99,146,300 1. In 1981, earnings credits were classified as a deduction from current net income. 2. Includes distribution of costs for projects performed by one Bank for the benefit of one or more other Banks. 3. This item includes expenses for labor and materials temporarily capitalized and charged to activities when the products are consumed. 4. The total expense for Richmond has been adjusted to exclude $4,519,237, which was allocated to the expenses of other Federal Reserve Banks for operation of the Federal Reserve Communications System. 5. This item consists of unrealized net losses related to revaluation of assets denominated in foreign currencies to market exchange rates. 6. For additional details, see the last three pages of the section "Board of Governors, Financial Statements." NOTE. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. Tables 221 7—Continued Richmomid Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis 1 Kansas City Dallas | San Francisco 1,261,133,511 411,644,801 2,240,287,316 522,055,518 201,794,525 714,351,818 1,027,051,508 1,985,715,351 7,303,207 844,771 8,147,978 2,080,775 18,418 2,099,193 11,946,614 8,155 11,954,769 2,822,073 1,410 2,823,483 1,040,924 29,883 1,070,807 4,047,928 1,648 4,049,576 5,851,259 40,300 5,891,559 10,676,972 197,685 10,874,657 7,779,835 60,625 7,840,460 11,370,528 129,006 11,499,534 21,095,322 508,627 21,603,949 4,338,754 23,094 4,361,848 5,535,652 9,845 5,545,497 6,732,550 176,117 6,908,667 9,724,794 688,177 10,412,971 24,536,403 2,656,224 27,192,627 307,518 -9,400,341 -9,649,180 -1,538,365 -4,474,690 -2,859,090 -4,521,412 -16,317,970 3,173,400 4,745,200 8,649,500 1,802,800 2,251,600 2,759,800 4,074,500 10,147,400 1,258,267,629 4,116,116 397,499,260 2,221,988,635 6,237,573 10,926,469 518,714,354 2,285,427 195,068,235 2,888,870 708,732,928 3,568,966 1,018,455,596 5,368,824 1,959,249,982 13,052,919 1,248,471,813 5,679,700 65,866,900 71,546,600 379,625,737 11,635,950 97,228,900 108,864,850 2,206,444,016 4,618,150 180,055,100 184,673,250 515,818,077 610,850 37,468,800 38,079,650 190,038,015 2,141,350 46,842,850 48,984,200 700,300,061 4,863,900 57,044,550 61,908,450 1,002,595,672 10,491,100 83,766,500 94,257,600 1,931,864,864 14,332,200 209,299,550 223,631,750 1. In 1981, earnings credits were classified as a deduction from current net income. 2. Includes distribution of costs for projects performed by one Bank for the benefit of one or more other Banks. 3. This item includes expenses for labor and materials temporarily capitalized and charged to activities when the products are consumed. 4. The total expense for Richmond has been adjusted to exclude $4,519,237, which was allocated to the expenses of other Federal Reserve Banks for operation of the Federal Reserve Communications System. 5. This item consists of unrealized net losses related to revaluation of assets denominated in foreign currencies to market exchange rates. 6. For additional details, see the last three pages of the section "Board of Governors, Financial Statements." NOTE. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. 222 Tables 8. Income and Expenses of Federal Reserve Banks, 1914—82 Dollars Period, or Federal Reserve Bank Current income Current expenses Net additions or deductions (—) Assessments for expenditures of Board of Governors All Banks 1914-15 . 1916 .... 1917 .... 1918 .... 1919 .... 2,173,252 5,217,998 16,128,339 67,584,417 102,380,583 2,018,282 2,081,722 4,921,932 10,576,892 18,744,815 5,875 -193,001 -1,386,545 -3,908,574 -4,673,446 302,304 192,277 237,795 382,641 594,818 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 1926 1927 1928 1929 .... ... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... 181,296,711 122,865,866 50,498,699 50,708,566 38,340,449 41,800,706 47,599,595 43,024,484 64,052,860 70,955.496 27,548,505 33,722,409 28,836,504 29,061,539 27,767,886 26,818,664 26,628,458 26,739,327 26,207,133 28,909,469 -3,743,907 -6,314,796 -4,441,914 -8,233,107 -6,191,143 -4,823,477 -3,637,668 -2,457,792 -5,026,029 -4,861,642 709,525 741,436 722,545 702,634 663,240 709,499 721,724 779,116 697,677 781,644 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... 36,424,044 29,701.279 50,018.817 49,487.318 48,902.813 42,751.959 37,900.639 41,233,135 36,261,428 38,500,665 27,533,141 26,322,110 25,562,571 28,422,677 27,869,374 30,171,545 28,194,457 27,052,234 27,186,684 27,025,391 -93,136 311,451 -1,413,192 -12,307,074 -4,430,008 -1,736,758 485,817 -1,631,274 2,232,134 2,389,555 809,585 718,554 728,810 800,160 1,372,022 1,405,898 1,679,566 1,748,380 1,724,924 1,621,464 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 .... .... .... .... .... ... ... .... ... ... 43,537,805 41,380,095 52,662,704 69,305,715 104,391,829 142,209,546 150,385,033 158,655,566 304,160,818 316,536,930 27,461,466 31,123,609 36,877,718 41,129,934 46,879,564 46,376,762 54,975,323 62,753,308 69,466,518 74,235,176 11,487,697 720,636 -1,568,208 23,768,282 3,221,880 -830,007 -625,991 1,973,001 -34,317,947 -12,122,274 1,704,011 1,839,541 1,746,326 2,415,630 2,296,357 2,340,509 2,259,784 2,639,667 3,243,670 3,242,500 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 275,838,994 394,656,072 456,060,260 513,037,237 438,486,040 412,487,931 595,649,092 763,347,530 742,068,150 886,226,116 77,138,071 91,373,589 100,572,489 109,415,220 105,558,331 105,865,923 115,842,696 124,306,103 131,804,455 138,232,106 36,294,117 -2,127,889 1,583,988 -1,058,993 -133,641 -265,456 -23,436 -7,140,914 124,175 98,247,253 3,433,700 4,095,497 4,121,602 4,099,800 4,174,600 4,194,100 5,339,800 7,507,900 5,917,200 6,470,600 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 1,103,385,257 941,648,170 1,048,508,335 1,151,120,060 1,343,747,303 1,559,484,027 1,908,499,896 2,190,403,752 2,764,445,943 3,373,360,559 147,348,575 155,009,475 169,481,234 179,700,557 188,740,689 195,713,790 198,379,526 209,351,250 228,152,172 259,953,236 13,874,702 3,481,628 -55,779 614,835 725,948 1,021,614 996,230 2,093,876 8,519,996 -557,553 6,533,700 6,265,100 6,654,900 7,572,800 8,655,200 8,576,396 9,021,600 10,769,596 14,198,198 15,020,084 Tables 223 8.—-Continued Payments to U.S. Treasury Dividends paid Franchise tax Under section 13b Interest on Federal Reserve notes Transferred to surplus (section 13b) Transferred to surplus (section 7) 217,463 1,742,775 6,804,186 5,540,684 5,011,832 2,703,894 1,134,234 48,334,341 70,651,778 5,654,018 6,119,673 6,307,035 6,552,717 6,682,496 6,915,958 7,329,169 7,754,539 8,458,463 9,583,911 60,724,742 59,974,466 10,850,605 3,613,056 113,646 59,300 818,150 249,591 2,584,659 4,283,231 82,916,014 15,993,086 -659,904 2,545,513 -3,077,962 2,473,808 8,464,426 5,044,119 21,078,899 22,535,597 10,268,598 10,029,760 9,282,244 8,874,262 8,781,661 8,504,974 7,829,581 7,940,966 8,019,137 8,110,462 17,308 -2,297,724 -7,057,694 11,020,582 -916,855 6,510,071 607,422 352,524 2,616,352 1,862,433 4,533,977 1,134,234 2,011,418 8,214,971 8,429,936 8,669,076 8,911,342 9,500,126 10,182,851 10,962,160 11,523,047 11,919,809 12,329,373 297,667 227,448 176,625 119,524 24,579 -60,323 27,695 102,880 67,304 -419,140 -425,653 82,152 141,465 197,672 244,726 326,717 247,659 67,054 35,605 -54,456 -4,333 49,602 135,003 201,150 262,133 27,708 86,772 75,223,818 166,690,356 193,145,837 17,617,358 570,513 3,554,101 40,237,362 48,409,795 81,969,625 81,467,013 8,366,350 18,522,518 21,461,770 13,082,992 13,864,750 14,681,788 15,558,377 16,442,236 17,711,937 18,904,897 20,080,527 21,197,452 22,721,687 196,628,858 254,873,588 291,934,634 342,567,985 276,289,457 251,740,721 401,555,581 542,708,405 524,058,650 910,649,768 21,849,490 28,320,759 46,333,735 40,336,862 35,887,775 32,709,794 53,982,682 61,603,682 59,214,569 -93,600,791 23,948,225 25,569,541 27,412,241 28,912,019 30,781,548 32,351,602 33,696,336 35,027,312 36,959,336 39,236,599 896,816,359 687,393,382 799,365,981 879,685,219 1,582,118,614 1,296,810,053 1,649,455,164 1,907,498,270 2,463,628,983 3,019,160,638 42,613,100 70,892,300 45,538,200 55,864,300 -465,822,800 27,053,800 18,943,500 29,851,200 30,027,250 39,432,450 For notes see end of table. 224 Tables 8. Income and Expenses of Federal Reserve Banks, 1914-82—Continued Dollars Period, or Federal Reserve Bank 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 Current income . . . .. . . . Total, 1914-82 Aggregate for each Bank,1914-82 Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Total Current expenses Net additions or deductions (—) Assessments for expenditures of Board of Governors 3,877,218,444 3,723,369,921 3,792,334,523 5,016,769,328 6,280,090,965 6,257,936,784 6,623,220,383 6,891,317,498 8,455,390,401 10,310,148,406 300,145,586 344,550,798 379,371,852 450,705,676 506,424,874 551,488,714 606,948,264 623,859,582 652,617,206 693,559,531 11,441,829 94,266,075 -49,615,790 -80,653,488 -78,487,237 -202,369,615 7,310,500 -177,033,463 -633,123,486 -151,148,220 21,227,800 32,634,002 35,234,499 44,411,700 41,116,600 33,577,201 41,827,700 47,366,100 53,321,700 50,529,700 12,802,319,335 15,508,349,653 16,517,385,129 791,157,259 897,114,405 1,024,474,984 -115,385,855 -372,879,185 -68,833,150 62,230,800 63,162,700 61,813,400 131,617,347,653 11,941,561,317 -1,744,668,964 776,352,508 6,219,194,588 35,041,576,438 6,386,381,559 10,147,608,805 10,040,897,126 5,970,651,606 20,534,656,054 5,061,525,611 2,669,821,755 5,605,914,743 6,757,109,021 17,182,010,349 805,778,799 2,494,053,832 640,596,889 848,275,126 954,600,118 968,125,662 1,579,807,163 657,424,414 479,465,553 725,096,486 633,222,519 1,155,114,754 -65,166,284 -395,917,147 -74,921,868 -150,509,181 -103,566,012 -122,907,176 -286,247,684 -63,638,446 -48,484,094 -75,208,478 -104,680,109 -253,422,486 31,092,986 205,010,786 38,844,018 67,086,390 40,293,476 52,964,060 114,355,372 25,415,872 21,420,615 32,422,509 43,216,073 104,230,351 131,617,347,653 11,941,561,317 -1,744,668,964 776,352,508 Tables 225 -Continued Payments to U.S. Treasury Dividends Franchise tax Under section 13b Interest on Federal Reserve notes Transferred to surplus (section 13b) Transferred to surplus (section 7) 41,136,551 43,488,074 46,183,719 49,139,682 52,579,643 54,609,555 57,351,487 60,182,278 63,280,312 67,193,615 3,493,570,636 3,356,559,873 3,231,267,663 4,340,680,482 5,549,999,411 5,382,064,098 5,870,463,382 5,937,148,425 7,005,779,497 9,278,576,140 32,579,700 40,403,250 50,661,000 51,178,300 51,483,200 33,827,600 53,940,050 45,727,650 47,268,200 69,141,200 70,354,516 74,573,806 79,352,304 11,706,369,955 14,023,722,907 15,204,590,947 56,820,950 76,896,650 78,320,350 1,526,526,198 149,138,300 2,188,893 113,990,793,736 -3,657 1,486,121,399' 69,634,479 425,946,071 86,855,954 137,110,589 75,522,467 93,222,820 214,302,447 50,597,141 40,004,409 62,278,088 80,740,837 190,310,896 7,111,395 68,006,262 5,558,901 4,842,447 6,200,189 8,950,561 25,313,526 2,755,629 5,202,900 6,939,100 560,049 7,697,341 280,843 369,116 722,406 82,930 172,493 79,264 151,045 7,464 55,615 64,213 102,083 101,421 5,194,946,365 31,083,837,366 5,464,469,990 8,827,331,955 8,783,187,479 4,610,265,182 18,114,465,130 4,218,513,883 2,022,262,284 4,637,866,142 5,795,996,936 15,237,651,024 135,411 -433,412 290,661 -9,906 -71,517 5,491 11,682 -26,515 64,874 -8,674 55,337 -17,089 45,048,025 368,869,271 74,120,872 112,380,093 77,426,408 114,131,390 200,002,004 43,199,278 52,861,413 66,048,400 98,535,078 233,499,167 1,526,526,198 149,138,300 2,188,893 113,990,793,736 -3,657 1,486,121,399! l.The $1,486,121,399 transferred to surplus was reduced by direct charges of $500,000 for charge-off on Bank premises (1927), $139,299,557 for contributions to capital of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (1934), and $3,657 net upon elimination of sec. 13b surplus (1958); and was increased by $11,131,013 transferred from reserves for contingencies (1945), leaving a balance of $1,357,449,198 on Dec. 31, 1982. NOTE. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. 226 Tables 9. Volume of Operations in Principal Departments of Federal Reserve Banks, 1979-82 Operation 1982 1981 1980 1979 Millions of pieces Loans Currency received and counted Currency verified and destroyed Coin received and counted Checks handled U.S. government checks Postal money orders All other2 Issues, redemptions, and exchanges of U.S. government securities Transfers of funds3 Food stamps redeemed 0) 10,679 4,147 16,859 3,510 17,023 3,197 17,700 8,839 2,969 18,756 655 126 13,971 683 126 15,880r 705 117 15,721r 718 117 15,067 156 58 2,565 188 54 2,625 301 43 2,541 335 35 1,730 Amounts (millions of dollars) Loans Currency received and counted Currency verified and destroyed Coin received and counted Checks handled U.S. government checks Postal money orders All other Issues, redemptions, and exchanges of U.S. government securities Transfers of funds Food stamps redeemed 184,997 128,802 31,258 2,714 236,532 117,901 24,912 3,184 267,957 104,333 20,183 2,703 220,628 93,119 22,638 2,765 628,639 6,645 8,722,369 611,403 6,030 9,454,638r 598,569 6,164 9,365,649r 511,044 6,323 8,514,670 26,550,780 121,239,371 9,869 12,728,458 93,968,246 9,547 10,326,013r 78,594,862 9,268 8,186,706r 64,231,109 7J79 1. Number handled (in thousands): 1982, 24; 1981, 36; 1980, 25; and 1979, 38. 2. Includes checks processed in pre-sorted bundles (fine sort items) as follows (millions Trillions of bundles): 1980, 19P 4.5, with a value of $1,314,925 million; 1981, 8.3 with a value of $1,715,552 million; and 1982, 10.0, with a value of $1,383,735 million. Before 1980, the volume of these items was insufficient to warrant separate reporting. 3. Includes the volume processed at both sending and receiving offices of Federal Reserve Banks. The number of priced wire transfers in 1982 was 35 million. r Revised. 10. Revenue and Expense of Priced Services at Federal Reserve Banks, 1982 Thousands of dollars Service Item Revenue Expense Net revenue Private sector adjustment4 Net revenue after private sector adjustment... Federal Reserve System1 Wire transfer and net settlement Definitive Commer- Commercial Book-entry safekeeping cial check and noncasn 2 ACH collection collection Cash transportation3 Coin wrapping 421,571 456,824 -35,253 55,672 49,251 47,922 1,329 7,662 1,302 9,620 -8,318 1,510 283,034 304,004 -20,970 40,646 13,326 16,117 -2,791 2,575 14,503 20,349 -5,846 2,944 24,149 29,457 -5,308 226 1,167 1,094 73 109 -90,925 -6,333 -9,828 -61,616 -5,366 -8,790 -5,534 -36 MEMO: Pro forma net revenue after private sector adjustment, after effect of the ACH and cash transportation programs -78,796 -924 1. Total System revenue comprises $386.7 million of income from fees for services and $34.8 million of income related to clearing balances established by depository institutions. Total System expense includes $28.3 million of earnings credits granted to depository institutions on clearing balances. Details may not add to totals because revenue and expense data shown by service do not reflect the income and expense related to clearing balances. 2. The Board established an incentive pricing program for the commercial automated clearinghouse service that provides for fee structures designed to recover an increasing share of expenses over a period of several years. For 1982, revenue for the commercial ACH service was expected to represent approximately 20 percent of expenses plus the private sector adjustment factor. 3. The Board adopted a transitional support program, to be -2,309 concluded at the end of 1983, for the cash transportation service, and anticipated that expenses plus the private sector adjustment would exceed revenue for the duration of the program. 4. This adjustment is an imputed cost intended to reflect the taxes that would have been paid and the return on capital that would have been provided had a private sector firm furnished the services. In 1982, a PSAF of 16 percent was applied to Bank expenses for priced services, except certain shipping expenses. NOTE. Revenue and expenses of priced services offered by the Federal Reserve Banks are derived from the income and expense data shown in table 7. Expenses for priced services are based primarily on the Federal Reserve Planning and Control System, which provides for the allocation of expenses to the principal areas of operation of the Banks. Tables 227 11. Federal Reserve Bank Interest Rates, December 31, 1982 Percent per annum Loans t o depository institutions Federal Reserve Bank Short-term adjustment credit and seasonal credit 1 Boston New York Extended credit 2 First 60 days of borrowing Next 90 days of borrowing After 150 days 81/2 91/2 10V5 8V* 9Vi 10V* Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco 8V* 1. Rates applied to short-term advances for the purpose of meeting temporary funding requirements and to longer-term advances made to smaller institutions for the purpose of meeting seasonally recurring needs for funds. See sections 201.3(a) and 201.3(b)(l) of Regulation A . 2. Applicable t o advances when exceptional circumstances or practices involve only a particular depository institution and to advances when an institution is under sustained liquidity pressures. See section 201.3(b)(2) of Regulation A . 12. Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions Percent of deposits Through July 13, 1966 Net demand deposits2 Effective date1 1917—June 21 1936—Aug 16 1937_Mar. 1 May 1. 1938_Apr. 16 1941—Nov. 1 1942—Aug. 20 Sept 14 Oct. 3 194g_Feb 27 June 11 Sept. 24, 16 1949—-May 5 1 June 30, July 1 Aug 1 11, 16 18 25 Sept. 1 1951—jan ii 16 25, Feb. 1 1953—July 9, 1 1954—june 24 16 July 29, Aug. 1 1958—Feb. 27, Mar. 1 Mar. 20, Apr. 1 Apr. 17 24 . I960—Sept. 1 Nov 24 Dec. 1 1962—July 28 Oct. 25, Nov 1 For notes see e n d of table. Central reserve city banks Reserve city banks Country banks Time deposits (all classes of banks) 13 l9Vi 223/4 26 223/4 26 24 22 20 22 24 26 24 10 15 17V* 20 17V* 20 7 10V* 12V4 14 12 14 3 41/2 51/4 6 5 6 22 21 20 71/2 7 6 23V2 23 22 V* 22 23 24 22 21 20 19V* 19 18V* 18 17V* 19V* 19 18V5 18 19 20 19 16 15 14 13 12 13 14 13 6 18 YIVi 17 5 5 12 11V* 11 16V* 12 \Vi (3) 4 228 Tables 12. Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions—Continued Percent of deposits July 14, 1966, through Nov. 8, 1972 (deposit intervals in millions of dollars) Time deposits4 (all classes of banks) Net demand deposits2 Effective date1 Reserve city banks 0-5 | Country banks Over 5 0-5 | \6Vi5 1966-July 14, 21 Sept. 8, 11 1967-Mar. 2 16 1968-Jan. 11, 18 1969-Apr. 17 1970-Oct. 1 .... 16V5 17 .... Over 5 0-5 125 .... .... .... 17 17V4 Other time Savings .... .... .... .... 12 12Vi .... 12Vi 13 .... 45 .... 3Vi 3 .... | 45 .... 3V4 3 .... .... Over 5 5 6 .... 5 Nov. <I 1972, 1hrough Nov. 12, 1980 (deposit intervals in millions ()f dollars Net demand deposits 26 Time and savings deposits4 Time7 Effective date 1972-Nov. 9 16 1973-July 19 1974-Dec. 12 1975-Feb. 13 Oct 30 1976-Jan. 8 Dec. 30 0-2 8 2-10 10100 10 12 10V5 12VS 16VS8 13 13VS id \2 13 . . . 7V2 100400 Over 400 Savings 17V5 35 0-5, by maturity 30179 days Mi 113/4 4yrs. or more 30179 days 35 18 17V4 16V>> 180 days to 4 yrs. 3 3 4yrs. or more 55 ' 6' 3 2VS9 . ... 'Y 180 days to 4yrs. Over 5, by maturity I9 3 3 2Vz9 I9 12 /4 Beginning Nov. 13, 1980 Type of deposit, and deposit interval10 Depository institution requirements after implementation of the Monetary Control Act11 Percent Effective date Net-transaction accounts1213 $0-$26.3 million Over $26.3 million 3 12 12/30/82 12/30/82 Nonpersonal time deposits14 By original maturity Less than 3Vi 3V2 years or more 3 0 4/29/82 4/29/82 Eurocurrency liabilities All types 3 11/13/80 1. Reserves required during the period from inception of the Federal Reserve System until June 20, 1917, were not strictly comparable with later requirements; they were based on aggregate amounts of deposits, and reserve balances with the Reserve Banks were increased in stages. When two dates are shown, the first applies to the change at central reserve or reserve city banks and the second to the change at country banks. 2. Demand deposits subject to reserve requirements, beginning Aug. 23, 1935, were total demand deposits minus cash items in process of collection and demand balances due from domestic banks (also minus war loan and Series E bond accounts during the period Apr. 13, 1943—June 30, 1947). All required reserves were held on deposit with Federal Reserve Banks from June 21,1917, until late 1959. Since then, member banks were allowed to count vault cash as reserves, as follows: country banks—in excess of 4 and 2Vi percent of net demand deposits effective Dec. 1,1959, and Aug. 25,1960, respectively; central reserve city and reserve city banks—in excess of 2 and 1 percent effective Dec. 3, 1959, and Sept. 1, 1960, respectively. All institutions were allowed to count all vault cash as reserves effective Nov. 24, 1960. In graduated requirement schedules, each deposit interval applies to that part of the deposits of each bank. Beginning Oct. 16, 1969, Regulation M required reserves against (a) net balances due from domestic offices to their foreign branches and (b) foreign-branch loans to U.S. residents; Regulation D imposed a similar requirement against (c) borrowings from foreign banks by domestic offices of a member bank. Limited reserve-free base amounts were originally permitted under Regulation M but were eliminated for (b) effective June 21,1973, and were lowered in steps for (a) and (c) until eliminated effective Mar. 4,1974. Beginning June 21, 1973, loans aggregating $100,000 or less to any U.S. res- Tables 229 12.—Continued ident were excluded from computations, as were total loans of a bank to U.S. residents if not exceeding $1 million. The applicable reserve percentage, which was originally 10 percent, was increased to 20 percent on Jan. 7, 1971; reduced to 8 percent on June 21, 1973, to 4 percent on May 22, 1975, and to zero on Aug. 24, 1978. Effective Dec. 1, 1977, the reserve required against deposits that foreign branches of U.S. banks use for lending to U.S. residents was reduced to 1 percent, and on Aug. 24, 1978, it was reduced to zero. For details see Regulations D and M as described in "Record of Policy Actions of the Board of Governors," in previous ANNUAL REPORTS. 3. Authority of the Board of Governors to classify or reclassify cities as central reserve cities was terminated effective July 28, 1962. 4. Time deposits such as Christmas and vacation club accounts became subject to the same requirements as savings deposits, effective Jan. 5,1967. Negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts were defined in the Board's Regulation Q as savings deposits beginning Jan. 1, 1974. Effective with the reserve computation period beginning Nov. 16,1978, domestic deposits of Edge corporations were subject to the same reserve requirements as deposits of member banks. 5. This rate had been established in the earlier structure. It remained the same in the new structure established this date. 6. Effective Nov. 9, 1972, a new criterion was adopted to designate reserve cities, and on the same date requirements for reserves against net demand deposits of member banks were restructured to provide that each member bank maintain reserves related to the size of its net demand deposits. The new reserve city designations were as follows: A bank having net demand deposits of more than $400 million was considered to have the character of business of a reserve city bank, and the presence of the head office of such a bank constituted designation of that place as a reserve city. Cities in which there were Federal Reserve Banks or branches were also reserve cities. Any bank, wherever located, having net demand deposits of $400 million or less was considered to have the character of business of banks outside of reserve cities and was permitted to maintain reserves at ratios set for banks not in reserve cities. 7. Beginning Nov. 2, 1978, a supplementary reserve requirement of 2 percent was added to the existing requirements for time deposits of $100,000 or more and for certain other liabilities. This supplementary requirement was eliminated with the maintenance period beginning July 24, 1980. From June 21,1973, through Dec. 11, 1974, member banks, except as noted below, were subject to a marginal reserve requirement against increases in the aggregate of the following types of obligations: (a) outstanding time deposits of $100,000 or more, (b) outstanding funds obtained by the bank through issuance by a bank's affiliate of obligations subject to the existing reserve requirements on time deposits, and (c) beginning July 12, 1973, funds from sales of finance bills. For the period June 21 through Aug. 29, 1973, (a) included only single-maturity time deposits. The requirement applied to balances above a specified base, but was not applicable to banks having obligations of these types aggregating less than $10 million. Including the basic requirement (5 percent during the entire period), requirements were as follows: 8 percent for (a) and (b) from June 21 through Oct. 3, 1973, and for (c) from July 12 through Oct. 3, 1973; 11 percent from Oct. 4 through Dec. 26, 1973; and 8 percent from Dec. 27, 1973, through Sept. 18, 1974. Beginning Sept. 19, the 8 percent requirement applied only to those obligations in (a), (b), and (c) with initial maturities of less than 120 days, and effective Dec. 12, 1974, the remaining marginal reserve was removed on this type of obligation issued to mature in less than 4 months. For details, see "Record of Policy Actions of the Board of Governors" in 1973 and 1974 ANNUAL REPORTS. Effective with the reserve maintenance period beginning Oct. 25, 1979, a marginal reserve requirement of 8 percent was added to managed liabilities in excess of a base amount. This marginal requirement was increased to 10 percent beginning Apr. 3, 1980, was decreased to 5 percent beginning June 12,1980, and was eliminated beginning July 24,1980. Managed liabilities are defined as large time deposits, Eurodollar borrowings, repurchase agreements against U.S. government and federal agency securities, federal funds borrowings from nonmember institutions, and certain other obligations. In general, the base for the marginal reserve requirement was originally the greater of (a) $100 million or (b) the average amount of the managed liabilties held by a member bank, Edge corporation, or family of U.S. branches and agencies of a foreign bank for the two reserve computation periods ending Sept. 26, 1979. For the computation period beginning Mar. 20, 1980, the base was lowered by (a) 7 percent or (b) the decrease in an institution's U.S. office gross loans to foreigners and gross balances due from foreign offices of other institutions between the base period (Sept. 13-26, 1979) and the week ending Mar. 12, 1980, whichever was greater. For the computation period beginning May 29, 1980, the base was increased IVi percent above the base used to calculate the marginal reserve in the statement week of May 14-21, 1980. In addition, beginning Mar. 19, 1980, the base was reduced to the extent that foreign loans and balances declined. 8. The 16V^ percent requirement applied only for one week and solely to former reserve city banks. For other banks, the 13 percent requirement was continued in this deposit interval. 9. The average of reserves on savings and other time deposits had to be at least 3 percent, the legal minimum at that time. 10. The Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982 (P.L. 97-320) provides that $2 million of reservable liabilities (transaction accounts, nonpersonal time deposits, and Eurocurrency liabilities) of each depository institution are subject to a reserve requirement of zero percent. Each year the Board will adjust the amount of reservable liabilities subject to the zero percent requirement 80 percent of the percentage increase in the total reservable liabilities of all depository institutions as of June 30; no adjustment is made in the event of a decrease. Effective Dec. 9, 1982, the amount of the exemption was established at $2.1 million. In determining the reserve requirements of a depository institution, the exemption applies in the following order: (1) net negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts (that is, NOW accounts less allowable deductions); (2) net other transaction accounts; and (3) nonpersonal time deposits or Eurocurrency liabilities, starting with those with the highest reserve ratio. With respect to NOW and to other transaction accounts, the exemption applies only to the accounts that would be subject to a 3 percent reserve requirement. 11. For nonmember banks and thrift institutions that were not members of the Federal Reserve System on or after July 1, 1979, a phase-in period ends September 3, 1987. For banks that were members on or after July 1, 1979, but withdrew on or before Mar. 31, 1980, the phase-in period established by P.L. 97-320 ends on Oct. 24,1985. For existing member banks the phase-in period is about three years, depending on whether their new reserve requirements are greater or less than the old requirements. All new institutions will have a two-year phasein beginning with the date that they open for business, except for those institutions that have total reservable liabilities of $50 million or more. 12. Transaction accounts include all deposits on which the account holder is permitted to make withdrawals by negotiable or transferable instruments, payment orders of withdrawal, and telephone and preauthorized transfers (in excess of three per month) for the purpose of making payments to third persons or others. However, money market deposit accounts (MMDAs) authorized under 12 CFR 1204.122, and similar accounts offered by institutions not subject to the rules of the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee that permit up to six preauthorized, automatic, or other transfers per month, of which no more than three can be checks, are not transaction accounts. Such accounts are savings deposits subject to the reserve requirements for time deposits. 13. The Monetary Control Act of 1980 requires that the amount of transaction accounts against which the 3 percent reserve requirement applies be modified annually 80 percent of the percentage change in transaction accounts held by all depository institutions, as of June 30 each year. Effective Dec. 31, 1981, the amount was increased from $25 million to $26 million; and effective Dec. 30, 1982, to $26.3 million. 14. In general nonpersonal time deposits are time deposits, including savings deposits, that are not transaction accounts and in which the beneficial interest is held by a depositor that is not a natural person. Also included are all transferable time deposits and certain obligations issued to depository institution offices located outside the United States. For details, see section 204.2 of Regulation D. 230 Tables 13. Maximum Interest Rates Payable on Time and Savings Deposits at Federally Insured Institutions1 Percent per annum Savings and loan associations and mutual savings banks (thrift institutions) Commercial banks Type and maturity of deposit In effect Dec. 31, 1982 Percent Savings Negotiable order of withdrawal accounts 3 Time accounts 4 Fixed ceiling rates by maturity 5 14-89 days * 90 days to 1 year 1 to 2 years 8 2 to 2XA years 8 2Vi to 4 years 8 4 to 6 years 9 6 to 8 years 9 8 years or more 9 Issued to governmental units (all maturities) n IRAs and Keogh (H.R. 10) plans (3 years or more)1112 Effective date Previous maximum Percent Percent Percent 51/4 7/1/79 7/1/73 5V5 7/1/79 5V4 12/31/80 1/1/74 51/4 12/31/80 5V4 53/4 8/1/79 1/1/80 6 7/1/73 6Vi 71/4 73/4 7/1/73 11/1/73 12/23/74 6/1/78 5Vi 5Vi 53/4 53/4 7/1/73 7/1/73 1/21/70 1/21/70 1/21/70 ii/1/73 3 Previous maximum Effective date 5V4 5 63/4 71/2 73/4 53/4 () 11/1/73 12/23/74 6/1/78 (2) 1/1/74 1/1/80 61/2 Effective 6 6 (10) 71/2 () 1/21/70 1/21/70 1/21/70 ' ii/1/73' 7 3 6/1/78 7 /4 12/23/74 6/1/78 7 /4 12/23/74 6/1/78 73/4 7/6/77 6/1/78 73/4 7/6/77 1. For the history of interest rate ceilings before 1982, see previous editions of the A N N U A L R E P O R T . 2. July 1, 1973, for mutual savings banks; July 6, 1973, for savings and loan associations. 3. Federally insured commercial banks, savings and loan associations, cooperative banks, and mutual savings banks in Massachusetts and New Hampshire were first permitted to offer negotiable order of withdrawal ( N O W ) accounts on Jan. 1, 1974. Authorization to issue N O W accounts was extended to similar institutions throughout New England on Feb. 27, 1976, in New York State on Nov. 10, 1978, New Jersey on Dec. 28, 1979, and to similar institutions nationwide effective Dec. 31, 1980. 4. For exceptions with respect to certain foreign time deposits see the Federal Reserve Bulletin for October 1962 ( p . 1279), August 1965 (p. 1084), and February 1968 (p. 167). 5. Effective Nov. 10, 1980, the minimum notice period for public unit accounts at savings and loan associations was decreased to 14 days and the minimum maturity period for time deposits at savings and loan associations in excess of $100,000 was decreased to 14 days. Effective Oct. 30, 1980, the minimum maturity or notice period for time deposits was decreased from 30 to 14 days at mutual savings banks. 6. Effective Oct. 30, 1980, the minimum maturity or notice period for time deposits was decreased from 30 to 14 days at commercial banks. 7. N o separate account category. 8. N o minimum denomination. Until July 1, 1979, a minimum of $1,000 was required for savings and loan associations, except in areas where mutual savings banks permitted lower minimum denominations. This restriction was removed for deposits maturing in less than 1 year, effective Nov. 1, 1973. 9. N o minimum denomination. Until July 1, 1979, the minimum denomination was $1,000 except for deposits representing funds contributed to an individual retirement account (IRA) or a Keogh ( H . R . 10) plan established pursuant to the Internal Revenue Code. T h e $1,000 minimum requirement was removed for such accounts in December 1975 and November 1976 respectively. Effective date In effect Dec. 31, 1982 10. Between July 1, 1973, and Oct. 3 1 , 1973, certificates maturing in 4 years or more with minimum denominations of $1,000 had no ceiling; however, the amount of such certificates that an institution could issue was limited to 5 percent of its total time and savings deposits. Sales in excess of that amount, as well as certificates of less than $1,000, were limited to the 6V2 percent ceiling on time deposits maturing in 2V!2 years or more. Effective Nov. 1, 1973, ceilings were reimposed on certificates maturing in 4 years or more with minimum denomination of $1,000. There is no limitation on the amount of these certificates that banks can issue. 11. Accounts subject t o fixed-rate ceilings. See footnote 8 for minimum denomination requirements. 12. Effective Jan. 1, 1980, commercial banks are permitted to pay the same rate as thrift institutions on I R A and Keogh accounts and accounts of governmental units when such deposits are placed in 2Vi-year-or-more variable-ceiling certificates o r in 26-week money market certificates regardless of the level of the Treasury bill rate. N O T E . Before Mar. 3 1 , 1980, the maximum rates that could be paid by federally insured commercial banks, mutual savings banks, and savings and loan associations were established by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the Board of Directors of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Federal Home Loan Bank Board under the provisions of 12 C F R 217, 329, and 526 respectively. Title II of the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980 (P.L. 96-221) transferred the authority of the agencies t o establish maximum rates of interest payable on deposits to the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee. The maximum rates on time deposits in denominations of $100,000 or more with maturities of 30-89 days were suspended in June 1970; the maximum rates for such deposits maturing in 90 days or more were suspended in May 1973. For information regarding previous interest rate ceilings on all types of accounts, see earlier issues of the Federal Reserve Bulletin, the Federal Home Loan Bank Board Journal, and the Annual Report of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Tables 231 13.—Continued TIME DEPOSITS SUBJECT TO VARIABLE CEILING RATES 7- to 31-day time deposits. Effective Sept. 1,1982, depository institutions are authorized to issue nonnegotiable time deposits of $20,000 or more with a maturity or required notice period of 7 to 31 days. The maximum rate of interest payable by thrift institutions is the rate established and announced (auction average on a discount basis) for U.S. Treasury bills with maturities of 91 days at the auction held immediately before the date of deposit or renewal ("bill rate"). Commercial banks may pay the bill rate minus 25 basis points. The interest rate ceiling is suspended when the bill rate is 9 percent or below for the four most recent auctions held before the date of deposit or renewal. 91-day time deposits. Effective May 1, 1982, depository institutions were authorized to offer time deposits that have a minimum denomination of $7,500 and a maturity of 91 days. The ceiling rate of interest on these deposits is indexed to the discount rate (auction average) on most recently issued 91-day Treasury bills for thrift institutions and the discount rate minimum 25 basis points for commercial banks. The rate differential ends 1 year from the effective date of these instruments and is suspended at any time the Treasury bill discount rate is 9 percent or below for four consecutive auctions. Six-month money market time deposits. Effective June 1, 1978, commercial banks and thrift institutions were authorized to offer time deposits with a maturity of exactly 26 weeks and a minimum denomination requirement of $10,000. The ceiling rate of interest on these deposits is indexed to the discount rate (auction average) on most recently issued 26-week U.S. Treasury bills. Interest on these certificates may not be compounded. Effective for all 6-month money market certificates issued beginning Nov. 1,1981, depository institutions may pav rates of interest on these deposits indexed to the higher of (1) the rate for 26-week Treasury bills established immediately before the date of deposit (bill rate) or (2) the average of the four rates for 26-week Treasury bills established for the 4 weeks immediately before the date of deposit (4-week average bill rate). Ceilings are determined as follows: Bill rate or 4-week average bill rate 7.50 percent or below Above 7.50 percent 7.25 percent or below Above 7.25 percent, but below 8.50 percent 8.50 percent or above, but below 8.75 percent 8.75 percent or above Commercial bank ceiling 7.75 percent l A of 1 percentage point plus the higher of the bill rate or 4-week average bill rate Thrift ceiling 7.75 percent l /i of 1 percentage point plus the higher of the bill rate or 4-week average bill rate 9 percent VA of 1 percentage point plus the higher of the bill rate or 4-week average bill rate 12-month all savers certificates. Effective Oct. 1, 1981, depository institutions are authorized to issue all savers certificates (ASCs) with a 1-year maturity and an annual investment yield equal to 70 percent of the average investment yield for 52-week U.S. Treasury bills as determined by the auction of 52-week Treasury bills held immediately before the calendar week in which the certificate is issued. A maximum lifetime exclusion of $1,000 ($2,000 on a joint return) from gross income is generally authorized for interest income from ASCs. 2l/2-year to less than 31/2-year time deposits. Effective Aug. 1, 1981, commercial banks are authorized to pay interest on any variable ceiling nonnegotiable time deposit with an original maturity of 2Vi years to less than 4 years at a rate not to exceed V4 of 1 percent below the average 2Vi-year yield for U.S. Treasury securities as determined and announced by the Treasury Department immediately before the date of deposit. Effective May 1, 1982, the maximum maturity for this category of deposits was reduced to less than 3Vi years. Thrift institutions may pay interest on these certificates at a rate not to exceed the average 2^2-year yield for Treasury securities as determined and announced by the Treasury Department immediately before the date of deposit. If the announced average 2Vi-year yield for Treasury securities is less than 9.50 percent, commercial banks may pay 9.25 percent and thrift institutions 9.50 percent for these deposits. These deposits have no required minimum denomination, and interest may be compounded on them. The ceiling rates of interest at which they may be offered vary biweekly. Between Jan. 1, 1980, and Aug. 1, 1981, commercial banks and thrift institutions were authorized to offer variable ceiling nonnegotiable time deposits with no required minimum denomination and with maturities of 2l/2 years or more. Effective Jan. 1, 1980, the maximum rate for commercial banks was 3/4 percentage point below the average yield on 2V£-year U.S. Treasury securities; the ceiling rate for thrift institutions was J /4 percentage point higher than that for commercial banks. Effective Mar. 1, 1980, a temporary ceiling of H3/4 percent was placed on these accounts at commercial banks and 12 percent on these accounts at savings and loans. Effective June 2,1980, the ceiling rates for these deposits at commercial banks and savings and loans were increased Vi percentage point. The temporary ceiling was retained, and a minimum ceiling of 9.25 percent for commercial banks and 9.50 percent for thrift institutions was established. TIME DEPOSITS NOT SUBJECT TO INTEREST RATE CEILINGS, BY MATURITY Money Market Deposit Accounts. Effective Dec. 14, 1982, depository institutions are authorized to offer a new account with a required initial balance of $2,500 and an average maintenance balance of $2,500 not subject to interest rate restrictions. No minimum maturity period is required for this account, but depository institutions must reserve the right to require seven days' notice for withdrawals. When the average balance is less than $2,500, the account is subject to the maximum ceiling rate of interest for NOW accounts; compliance with the average-balance requirement may be determined over a period of one month. Depository institutions may not guarantee a rate of interest for this account for a period longer than one month or condition the payment of a rate on a requirement that the funds remain on deposit for longer than one month. No more than six preauthorized, automatic, or other third-party transfers are permitted per month, of which no more than three can be checks. Telephone transfers to third parties or to another account of the same depositor are regarded as preauthorized transfers. IRAs and Keogh (H.R.10) plans (18 months or more). Effective Dec. 1, 1981, depository institutions are authorized to offer time deposits not subject to interest rate ceilings when the funds are deposited to the credit of, or in which the entire beneficial interest is held by, an individual pursuant to an IRA agreement or Keogh (H.R.10) plan. Such time deposits must have a minimum maturity of 18 months, and additions may be made to the time deposit at any time before its maturity without extending the maturity of all or a portion of the balance of the account. nonnegotiable ti of 3V2 years or more that are not subject to interest rate ceilings. Such time deposits have no minimum denomination, but must be made available in a $500 denomination. Additional deposits may be made to the account during the first year without extending its maturity. 232 Tables 14. Margin Requirements1 Percent of market value Effective date For credit extended under Regulation T (brokers and dealers), U (banks), G (others than brokers, dealers, or banks), and X (borrowers) Margin stocks 1934—Oct. 1 1936—Feb. 1 Apr. 1 1937—Nov. 1 1945—Feb. 5 July 5 1946—Jan. 21 1947_Feb. 1 1949—Mar. 3 1951—Jan. 17 1953—Feb. 20 1955—Jan. 4 Apr. 23 1958—Jan. 16 Aug. 5 Oct. 16 1960—July 28 1962—July 10 1963—Nov. 6 1968— Mar. 11 June 8 1970—May 6 1971—Dec. 6 1972—Nov. 24 1974—Jan. 3 1977—Jan. 1 Convertible bonds 25-45 (3) 55 40 50 75 100 75 50 75 50 60 70 50 70 90 70 50 70 70 80 65 55 65 50 50 $ 50 50 75 100 75 50 75 50 60 70 50 70 90 70 50 70 70 80 65 55 65 50 50 25-55 1. Regulations T, U, G, and X, adopted by the Board of Governors pursuant to the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, limit the amount of credit to purchase and carry "margin securities" and "margin stock" (as defined in the regulations) when such credit is collateralized by securities. Margin requirements are the difference between the market value (100 percent) and the maximum loan value of collateral as prescribed by the Board. Regulation T was adopted effective Short sales, Tonly Writing options, Tonly 2 Q 50 60 50 50 50 50 50 30 Oct. 15,1934; Regulation U, effective May 1,1936; Regulation G, effective Mar. 11, 1968; and Regulation X, effective Nov. 1, 1971. 2. The margin is expressed as a percent of the current market value of the stock underlying the option. 3. The requirement was the margin "customarily required" by the brokers and dealers. Tables 233 15. Principal Assets and Liabilities, and Number of Insured Commercial Banks, by Class of Bank, June 30, 1982 and 1981 ' Asset and liability items shown in millions of dollars Insured commercial banks Item Total Member banks Total State June 30, 1982 780,667,097 228,988,338 396,874,626 796,524,833 774,416,606 213,130,602 62,982,045 150,148,557 149,397,441 614,070,085 597,080,537 166,597,012 48,580,474 118,016,538 111,754,636 182,454,748 177,336,069 46,533,590 14,401,571 32,132,019 37,642,805 267,586,222 258,291,860 119,288,404 39,665,172 79,623,232 38,905,688 1,292,282,619 60,588,650 307,125,361 924,568,557 123,326,781 916,428,968 57,215,839 226,028,487 633,184,631 88,705,972 720,651,972 37,924,377 172,186,397 510,541,202 68,614,684 195,776,996 19,291,462 53,842,090 122,643,429 20,091,288 375,853,651 3,372,811 81,096,874 291,383,926 34,620,809 14,414 5,538 4,506 1,032 8,876 Loans and investments, total Loans Gross Net Investments U.S. Treasury securities. Other2 Cash assets, total 1,396,530,061 1,009,655,435 1,064,111,055 1,032,708,466 332,419,006 102,647,217 229,771,789 188,303,129 Deposits, total Interbank Other demand Other time Total equity capital... Number of banks National Insured nonmember banks June 30, 1981 Loans and investments, total Loans Gross Net Investments U.S. Treasury securities. Other2 Cash assets, total 1,254,421,202 896,060,439 698,551,950 197,508,489 1,254,421,202 935,344,629 906,046,456 319,076,573 104,364,322 214,712,251 205,148,743 688,185,284 668,064,557 207,875,155 66,055,466 141,819,689 169,096,631 536,702,702 521,110,004 161,849,248 50,423,955 111,425,293 115,756,522 151,482,582 146,954,553 46,025,907 15,631,511 30,394,396 53,340,109 935,344,629 906,046,456 319,076,573 104,364,322 214,712,251 205,148,743 Deposits, total Interbank Other demand ... Other time Total equity capital. 1,210,720,048 75,300,099 332,030,778 803,389,126 113,279,656 861,723,042 72,030,999 244,334,669 545,357,350 81,288,763 664,475,770 40,427,802 182,377,437 441,670,516 62,996,277 197,247,272 31,603,197 61,957,232 103,686,834 18,292,486 1,210,720,048 75,300,099 332,030,778 803,389,126 113,279,656 Number of banks... 14,443 5,472 4,453 1,019 8,971 1. All insured commercial banks in the United States. 2. Includes trading accounts for banks with assets of less than $100 million. NOTE. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. 234 Tables 16. Reserves of Depository Institutions, Federal Reserve Bank Credit, and Related Items—Year-End 1918-82, and Month-End 1982 Millions of dollars Factors supplying reserve funds Federal Reserve Bank credit outstanding U.S. government securities Period Total Bought outright Held under repurchase agreement drawing rights certificate account Treasury currency outstanding5 Loans Float 1 All other 2 Other Federal Reserve 294 575 262 146 273 355 390 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,498 3,292 3,355 1,563 1,405 1,238 1,302 2,873 2,707 2,639 3,373 3,642 3,957 4,212 0 0 1,795 1,707 0 0 0 0 0 1,709 1,842 1,958 2,009 2,025 0 0 0 0 0 1,459 1,381 1,655 1,809 1,583 4,112 4,205 4,092 3,854 3,997 0 0 0 0 0 1,977 1,991 2,006 2,012 2,022 1,373 4,306 1,853 4,173 2,145 4,226 2,688 4,036 2,463 8,238 0 0 0 0 0 2,027 2,035 2,204 2,303 2,511 2,486 2,500 2,612 2,601 2,593 10,125 11,258 12,760 14,512 17,644 0 0 0 0 0 2,476 2,532 2,637 2,798 2,963 Gold stock 4 1918 .. 1919 .. 1920 .. 1921 .. 1922 .. 1923 .. 1924 .. 239 300 239 300 0 0 1,766 2,215 287 234 436 134 540 287 234 436 80 536 0 0 0 54 4 2,687 1,144 618 723 320 199 201 119 40 78 27 52 1925 .. 1926 .. 1927 . 1928 . 1929. 375 315 617 228 511 367 312 560 197 488 3 57 31 23 643 637 582 1,056 632 63 45 63 24 34 378 384 393 500 405 1930 . 1931. 1932. 1933. 1934. 739 817 1,855 2,437 2,430 686 775 1,851 2,435 2,430 43 42 4 2 0 251 638 235 21 20 14 15 5 372 378 41 137 21 1935 . 1936. 1937. 1938. 1939. 2,431 2,430 2,564 2,564 2,484 2,430 2,430 2,564 2,564 2,484 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 10 4 7 12 39 19 17 91 38 28 19 16 11 1940. 1941. 1942. 1943. 1944. 2,184 2,254 6,189 11,543 18,846 2,184 2,254 6,189 11,543 18,846 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 6 5 94 471 681 815 10 14 10 4 0 0 0 0 0 2,274 2,361 6,679 12,239 19,745 21,995 22,737 22,726 21,938 20,619 0 0 0 0 0 3,087 3,247 3,648 4,094 4,131 1945. 1946. 1947. 1948. 1949. 24,262 23,350 22,559 23,333 18,885 24,262 23,350 22,559 23,333 18,885 0 0 0 0 0 249 163 85 223 78 578 580 535 541 534 2 1 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 15,091 24,093 23,181 24,097 19,499 20,065 20,529 22,754 24,244 24,427 0 0 0 0 0 4,339 4,562 4,562 4,589 4,598 1950. 1951. 1952. 1953. 1954. 20,778 23,801 24,697 25,916 24,932 20,725 23,605 24,034 25,318 24,888 53 196 663 598 44 67 19 156 28 143 1,368 1,184 967 935 3 5 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 22,216 25,009 25,825 26,880 25,885 22,706 22,695 23,187 22,030 21,713 0 0 0 0 0 4,636 4,709 4,812 4,894 4,985 1955. 1956. 1957. 1958. 1959. 24,785 24,915 24,238 26,347 26,648 24,391 24,610 23,719 26,252 26,607 394 305 519 95 41 108 50 55 64 458 1,585 1,665 1,424 1,2% 1,590 29 70 66 49 75 0 0 0 0 0 26,507 26,699 25,784 27,755 28,771 21,690 21,949 22,781 20,534 19,456 0 0 0 0 0 5,008 5,066 5,146 5,234 5,311 1960. 1961. 1962. 1963. 1964. 27,384 28,881 30,820 33,593 37,044 26,984 30,478 28,722 33,582 36,506 400 159 342 11 538 33 130 38 63 186 1,847 2,300 2,903 2,600 2,606 74 51 110 162 94 0 0 0 0 0 29,338 31,362 33,871 36,418 39,930 17,767 16,889 15,978 15,513 15,388 0 0 0 0 0 5,398 5,585 5,567 5,578 5,405 Tables 235 16.—Continued Factors absorbing reserve funds Deposits, other than reserves, with Federal Reserve Banks Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital3 Member bank reserves Currency in circulation Treasury cash holdings6 4,951 5,091 288 385 51 31 96 73 25 28 118 208 0 0 1,636 1,890 0 0 1,585 1,822 51 68 5,325 4,403 4,530 4,757 4,760 218 214 225 213 211 57 96 11 38 51 5 12 3 4 19 18 15 26 19 20 298 285 276 275 258 0 0 0 0 0 1,781 1,753 1,934 1,898 2,220 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,654 0 1,884 2,161 0 99 0 14 59 4,817 4,808 4,716 4,686 4,578 203 201 208 202 216 16 17 18 23 29 8 46 5 6 6 21 19 21 21 24 272 293 301 348 393 0 0 0 0 0 2,212 2,194 2,487 2,389 2,355 0 0 0 0 0 2,256 2,250 2,424 2,430 2,428 -44 -56 63 -41 -73 4,603 5,360 5,388 5,519 5,536 211 222 272 284 :*,029 19 54 8 3 121 6 79 19 4 20 22 31 24 128 169 375 354 355 360 241 0 0 0 0 0 2,471 1,961 2,509 2,729 4,096 0 0 0 0 0 2,375 1,994 1,933 1,870 2,282 96 -33 576 859 1,814 5,882 6,543 6,550 6,856 7,598 :2,566 2,376 3,619 :2,706 ;2,409 544 244 142 923 634 29 99 172 199 397 226 160 235 242 256 253 261 263 260 251 0 0 0 0 0 5,587 6,606 7,027 8,724 11,653 0 0 0 0 2,743 4,622 5,815 5,519 6,444 2,844 1,984 1,212 3,205 5,209 8,732 11,160 15,410 20,499 25,307 2,213 ;2,215 :2,193 :2,303 ;2,375 368 867 799 579 440 1,133 774 793 1,360 1,204 599 586 485 356 394 284 291 256 339 402 0 0 0 0 0 14,026 12,450 13,117 12,886 14,373 0 0 0 0 0 7,411 9,365 11,129 11,650 12,748 6,615 3,085 1,988 1,236 1,625 28,515 28,952 28,868 28,224 27,600 :2,287 :2,272 1,336 1,325 1,312 977 393 870 1,123 821 862 508 392 642 767 446 314 569 547 750 495 607 563 590 106 0 0 0 0 0 15,915 16,139 17,899 20,479 16,568 0 0 0 0 0 14,457 15,577 16,400 19,277 15,550 1,458 562 1,499 1,202 1,018 27,741 29,206 30,433 30,781 30,509 1,293 1,270 1,270 761 796 668 247 389 346 563 895 526 550 423 490 565 363 455 493 441 714 746 111 839 907 0 0 0 0 0 17,681 20,056 19,950 20,160 18,876 0 0 0 0 0 16,509 19,667 20,520 19,397 18,618 1,172 389 -570 763 258 31,158 31,790 31,834 32,193 32,591 767 775 761 683 391 394 441 481 358 504 402 322 356 272 345 554 426 246 391 694 925 901 998 1,122 841 0 0 0 0 0 19,005 19,059 19,034 18,504 18,174 0 0 0 0 310 18,903 19,089 19,091 18,574 18,619 102 -30 -57 -70 -135 32,869 33,918 35,338 37,692 39,619 377 422 380 361 612 485 465 597 880 820 217 279 247 171 229 533 320 393 291 321 941 1,044 1,007 1,065 1,036 0 0 0 0 0 17,081 17,387 17,454 17,049 18,086 2,544 2,544 3,262 4,099 4,151 18,988 18,988 20,071 20,677 21,663 637 % 645 471 574 Treasury Foreign For notes see last two pages of table. Other Other Federal Reserve accounts3 With Federal Reserve Banks Currency and coin7 Required8 Excess8 236 Tables 16. Reserves of Depository Institutions, Federal Reserve Bank Credit, and Related Items—Year-End 1918-82, and Month-End 1982—Continued Millions of dollars Factors supplying reserve funds Federal Reserve Bank credit outstanding U.S. government securities9 Period Loans Float1 AH other 2 Other Federal Reserve 290 661 170 0 0 137 173 141 186 183 2.248 2.495 2,576 3.443 3.440 187 193 164 58 64 Held under repurchase agreement Special drawing rights certificate account Treasury currency outstanding5 Total Gold stock 4 0 0 0 0 2,743 43,340 47,177 52,031 56,624 63,584 13,733 13,159 11,982 10,367 10,367 0 0 0 0 0 5,575 6,317 6,784 6,795 6,852 1,123 1,068 1,260 1,152 3,195 67,918 76,515 78,551 86,072 92,208 10,732 10,132 10,410 11,567 11,652 400 400 400 400 400 7,149 7,710 8,313 8,716 9,253 Total Bought outright 10 1965. 1966. 1967. 1968. 1969. 40,768 44,316 49,150 52,937 57,154 40,478 43,655 48,980 52,937 57,15410 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 ... .. .. .. .. 62,142 70,804 71,230 80,495 85,714 62,142 69,481 71,119 80,395 84,760 0 1,323 111 100 954 335 39 1,981 1,258 299 4.261 4.343 3.974 3.099 2.001 57 261 106 68 999 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 .. .. .. .. .. 94,124 104,093 111,274 118,591 126,167 92,789 100,062 108,922 117,374 124,507 1,335 4,031 2,352 1,217 1,660 211 25 265 1,174 1,454 3.688 2.601 3.810 6,432 6,767 1,126 991 954 587 704 3,312 102,461 3,182 110,892 2,442 118,745 4,543 131,327 5,613 140,705 11,599 11,598 11,718 11,671 11,172 500 1,200 1,250 1,300 1,800 10,218 10,810 11,331 11,831 13,083 130,592 128,038 140,348 136,863 148,837 144,544 2,554 3.485 4,293 1,809 1,601 717 4.467 1.762 2.735 776 195 1,480 8,739 146,383 9,230 153,136 9,890 163,659 11,160 11,151 11,148 2,518 3,318 4,618 13,427 13,687 13,786 134,025 134,436 133,005 137,996 138,415 136,007 141,641 140,624 139,540 141,023 146,619 144,544 3,397 0 1,679 6,265 0 0 0 1,418 4,803 0 0 4,293 2,217 1,180 2,646 1,799 1,058 1,638 458 449 1,123 438 374 717 1,635 2,959 1,882 1.507 1.776 2,545 1,713 1,446 550 1.168 2,401 2,735 597 0 488 768 0 0 0 565 813 0 0 1,480 11,151 11,150 11,150 11,149 11,149 11,149 11,149 11,148 11,148 11,148 11,148 11,148 3,318 3,568 3,568 3,818 3,818 3,818 4,018 4,018 4,218 4,218 4,418 4,618 14,523 14,579 13,734 13,756 13,767 13,781 13,786 13,786 13,786 13,786' 13,786 13,786 1980 .. 1981 .. 1982 .. 1982 Jan. Feb. Mar. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 137,422 134,436 134,684 144,261 138.415 136,007 141,641 142,042 144,343 141,023 146,619 148,837 1. Beginning with 1960, figures reflect a minor change in concept; see Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 47 (February 1961), p. 164. 2. Data consist principally of acceptances and, until Aug. 21, 1959, industrial loans, authority for which expired on that date. 3. Before Apr. 16, 1969, this category includes the total of Federal Reserve Bank capital paid in, surplus, other capital accounts, and other liabilities and accrued dividends less the sum of bank premises and other assets, and was reported as "Other Federal Reserve accounts"; thereafter, "Other Federal Reserve assets" and "Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital" are shown separately. 4. Before Jan. 30, 1934, data include gold held in Federal Reserve Banks and in circulation. 5. These figures include currency and coin (other than gold) issued directly by the Treasury. The largest components are fractional and dollar coins. For details see the regular table, "Currency and Coin in Circulation," in the Treasury Bulletin. 9,689 9,043 9,029 10,394 8,635 8,813 9,956 9,141 9,673 10,131 9,685 9,890 151,560 147,618 148,729 158,729 149,884 149,003 153,768 153,643 156,502 152,760 159,079 163,659 6. This category consists of the coin and paper currency held by the Treasury, as well as any gold in excess of the gold certificates issued to the Reserve Bank. 7. Between Dec. 1, 1959, and Nov. 23, 1960, part of the amount was allowed as reserves; thereafter all was allowed. 8. These figures are estimated through 1958. Before 1929, they were available only on call dates (in 1920 and 1922, the call dates were Dec. 29). Beginning Sept. 12,1968, the amount is based on close-of-business figures for the reserve period 2 weeks previous to the report date. 9. Beginning Dec. 1, 1966, these securities include federal agency obligations held under repurchase agreements and beginning Sept. 29, 1971, federal agency issues bought outright. 10. Includes, beginning 1969, securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. government securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks—and excludes (if any) securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. Tables 237 16.—Continued Factors absorbing reserve funds Currency in circulation Deposits, other than reserves, with Federal Reserve Banks sury cash holdings6 Treasury Foreign Other 42,056 44,663 47,226 50,961 53,950 760 1,176 1,344 695 596 668 416 1,123 703 1,312 150 174 135 216 134 355 588 653 747 807 57,093 61,068 66,516 72,497 79,743 431 460 345 317 185 1,156 2,020 1,855 2,542 3,113 148 294 325 251 418 86,547 93,717 103,811 114,645 125,600 483 460 392 240 494 7,285 10,393 7,114 4,196 4,075 136,829 144,774 154,908 441 443 429 140,475 140,525 141,673 143,044 145,523 147,134 147,051 148,310 148,093 148,922 152,895 154,908 462 470 484 491 477 460 418 418 423 444 444 429 Other Federal Reserve accounts3 Required clear& ances Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital 3 Member bank reserves11 With Federal Reserve Banks Currency and coin 7 Required8 X cess 8*,12 211 -147 -773 -1,353 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,919 18,447 19,779 21,092 21,818 22,085 4,163 4,310 4,631 4,921 5,187 22,848 24,321 25,905 27,439 28,173 -238 -232 -182 -700 -901 1,233 999 840 1,41913 1,27513 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,986 2,131 2,143 2,669 2,935 24,150 27,788 25,647 27,060 25,843 5,423 5,743 6,216 6,781 7,370 30,033 32,496 32,044 35,268 37,011 -460 1,035 98 12 -1,360 -3,798 353 352 379 368 429 1,090 1,357 1,187 1,256 1,412 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,968 3,063 3,292 4,275 4,957 26,052 25,158 26,870 31,152 29,792 8,036 8,628 9,421 10,538 11,429 35,197 35,461 37,615 42,694 44,217 -1,103 -1,535 -1,265 -893 -2,835 3,062 4,301 5,033 411 505 328 617 781 1,033 0 0 0 0 117 436 4,671 5,261 4,990 27,456 25,111 26,053 13,654 15,576 16,666 40,558 42,145 41,391 675 -1,442 1,328 8,285 3,835 2,866 12,239 2,540 4,099 3,275 3,234 10,975 2,309 2,247 5,033 333 416 421 966 308 586 982 348 396 327 387 328 393 414 425 450 523 437 663 502 405 450 717 1,033 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 135 139 167 176 189 213 221 247 300 356 408 436 5,539 6,291 4,955 5,561 5,784 4,837 5,359 4,791 5,047 4,783 5,209 4,990 24,931 24,825 26,190 24,526 23,274 19,985 24,752 24,745 20,015 24,321 26,124 26,053 16,341 15,007 14,914 15,888 15,441 15,872 16,040 15,814 16,752 16,877 17,103 16,666 42,300 40,542 38,824 40,115 38,922 39,804 39,701 40,066 39,737 40,701 41,355 41,391 -1,028 -710 2,280 299 -207 -3,947 1,091 493 - 2,970 497 1,872 1,328 11. Beginning November 1979, includes reserves of member banks, Edge Act corporations, and U.S. agencies and branches of foreign banks. Beginning Nov. 13, 1980, includes reserves of all depository institutions. 12. Beginning with the week ending Nov. 15, 1972, figures include $450 million of reserve deficiencies on which Federal Reserve Banks are allowed to waive penalties for a transition period in connection with bank adaptation to Regulation J as amended, effective Nov. 9, 1972. Allowable deficiencies (beginning with first statement week of quarter) included are (in millions): 1973—Ql, $279; Q2, $172; Q3, $112; Q4, $84; and 1974—Ql, $67, and Q2, $58. The transition period ended after the second quarter of 1974. 13. Beginning July 1973, this item includes certain deposits of domestic nonmember banks and foreign-owned banking institutions held with member banks and redeposited in full with Federal Reserve Banks in connection with voluntary participation by nonmember institutions in the Federal Reserve 14 System's program of credit restraint. As of Dec. 12, 1974, the amount of voluntary nonmember bank and foreign-agency and branch deposits at Federal Reserve Banks that are associated with marginal reserves are no longer reported. However, two amounts are reported: (1) deposits voluntarily held as reserves by agencies and branches of foreign banks operating in the United States, and (2) Eurodollar liabilities. 14. Beginning with the week ending Nov. 19, 1975, figures are adjusted to include waivers of penalties for reserve deficiencies, in accordance with change in Board policy that became effective Nov. 19, 1975. NOTE. For a description of figures and discussion of their significance, see "Member Bank Reserves and Related Items," Section 10 of Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1941-1970 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Sept. 1, 1976), pp. 507-23. 238 Tables 17. Changes in Number of Banking Offices in the United States, 1982 Commercial banks (including stock savings banks and nondeposit trust companies) Type of office and change All banks Member Total Banks, Dec. 31, 1981 Changes during 1982 New banks Ceased banking operation Voluntary liquidation Suspensions Placed in receivership Banks converted into branches Other Interclass changes Nonmember to national Nonmember to state member State member to national . . . State member to nonmember National to state member . . . National to nonmember Noninsured national to national Noninsured mutual to insured mutual Noninsured nonmember to state member Noninsured to insured Noninsured state member to noninsured Noninsured nonmember to insured Insured mutual to insured nonmember Insured mutual to federal mutual Net change Dec. 31, 1982 National Total State 14,882 5,474 4,454 1,020 378 -1 -4 -1 -6 378 -1 -4 -1 -6 240 199 41 -1 -1 -262 -45 -246 -42 -116 -16 -87 -15 36 36 9 -3 -9 1 1 -8 -9 Noninsured Insured 15,323 II 2 Mutal savings banks Nonmember 8,927* 77 -1 481 » Insured Noninsured 330 111 -15 -2 -1 -1 6 -6 61 -1 -4 -1 -3 -29 -1 r -2 -130 -18 ' ' ' 1'g'' -36 II 2 -9 -10 -3 g 3 9 1 2 2 -2 -1 l 1 1 1 I 2 2 1 3 _2 -2 -2 60 83 145 125 20 -106 44 -15 -8 15,383 14,965 5,619 4,579 1,040 8,821 525 315 103 Tables 239 17,—Continued Mutual savings banks Commercial banks (inc uding stock savings banks and nondeposit trust companies) Type of office and change All banks Member Total Branches and additional offices, Dec. 31, 19816 Total National NonNon- Insured insured insured 40,405 25,761 20,598 5,163 14,584 60 2,872 270 1,666 264 -443 1,575 247 -393 -5 847 174 -274 -1 691 140 -229 5 156 34 -45 -6 727 73 -119 -4 1 86 17 -48 5 -2 383 383 -4 -2,888 Net change -1,384 -926 -626 -436 42,163 39,479 25,135 20,162 46 3 463 104 -58 2 -2 184 -14 -26 -160 -26 5 -383 104 -2 -184 -14 160 14 26 27 -25 -27 -25 37 2 -4 -2,429 Banking facilities Dec. 31, 19817 154' 154r Changes during 1982 Interclass changes State member to national . .. Other -4 -4 37 2 -3 -1,818 2 -3 -1,423 " ' - 3 9 5 ' -4 1 -4 -4 -4 -4 -3 Dec. 31, 19827 150 150 125 114 1. As of Dec. 1982, includes 13 state member noninsured and 1 noninsured national trust companies. 2. Reflects 1 insured nonmember bank in Puerto Rico that was admitted to Federal Reserve membership. 3. Reflects 1 noninsured nonmember bank in Puerto Rico that became insured by the FDIC. 4. Branches of insured nonmember bank in Puerto Rico that was admitted to Federal Reserve membership. -37 - 2 ... -2 -459 1 -611 -2 -190 -299 -1 -436 -22 4,973 14,285 59 2,436 248 117' Net change Insured 43,547 Changes during 1982 De novo Banks converted Discontinued Sale of branch Interclass changes Nonmember to national Nonmember to state member Nonmember to insured mutual State member to national . . . State member to nonmember National to state member . . . National to nonmember . . Noninsured mutual to insured mutual. Insured mutual to federal mutual Insured mutual to insured nonmember . . . . Insured mutual to national Other Discontinued ATM branches 5 . Dec. 31, 19826 Nonmember State 2 25 -1 11 25 5. The Board no longer maintains ATMs. 6. Figures exclude banking facilities. 7. Data include facilities provided at military and other government establishments through arrangements made by the Treasury. r Revised. 240 Tables 18. Mergers, Consolidations, Acquisitions of Assets or Assumptions of Liabilities Approved by the Board of Governors, 1982 United Jersey Bank/Southwest, Camden, New Jersey, to acquire certain assets and assume the deposit liabilities of a branch of The Bank of New Jersey, Camden, New Jersey SUMMARY REPORT BY THE ATTORNEY GENERAL (2/19/82) The proposed transaction would not be significantly adverse to competition. BASIS FOR APPROVAL BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (2/4/82) United Jersey Bank/Southwest (Applicant), with assets of $106 million, proposes to acquire certain assets and assume the deposit liabilities of the Pine Hill office (Branch), with assets of $7 million, of The Bank of New Jersey. The relevant market in this proposal is the Philadelphia-Camden market, in which Applicant ranks twenty-third among forty-five commercial banks, with 0.5 percent of the area's commercial bank deposits. The proposed merger would not alter Applicant's rank in the market and would not substantially increase Applicant's share of market deposits. The proposal would have no significant effect on competition. The proposal would not alter the generally satisfactory condition of Applicant, and it would allow continued operation of an office that The Bank of New Jersey had intended to discontinue in carrying out a decision to curtail retail operations. Thus the proposal would have a positive effect on the convenience and needs of the area immediately surrounding Branch. Michigan Bank-Port Huron, Port Huron, Michigan, to merge with Marine Bank & Trust, Marine City, Michigan SUMMARY REPORT BY THE ATTORNEY GENERAL (No report received.) BASIS FOR APPROVAL BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (2/19/82) Michigan Bank-Port Huron (Applicant), a proposed state member bank, with assets of $239 million, proposes to merge Marine Bank & Trust (Bank), with assets of $44 million. Applicant is a subsidiary of Michigan National Corporation, Bloomfield Hills, Michigan (MNC), which ranks second among Michigan's commercial banking organizations, with about 12 percent of the deposits held by banking offices in the state. The relevant market in this proposal is the Detroit area, in which MNC ranks fourth among forty-nine commercial banking organizations, with 11.5 percent of area deposits. If the proposed merger took place, MNC would continue to rank fourth in the market and would increase its share of market deposits by 0.2 percentage point. The two closest commercial banking offices to the sole office of Bank are both branches of Applicant. Two savings and loan associations, with organizational deposits of $167 million and $449 million, operate offices in Marine City. Overall, the competitive effect of the proposal would not be sufficiently adverse to warrant disapproval. Both Applicant and Bank are in satisfactory condition, and the condition of the resulting bank would be satisfactory. The proposal would improve the services at the Bank's current office. Among the new services that would be offered are automatic payrolls, a foreign department, issuance of credit cards, and electronic funds transfers. Further, trust services would be expanded, interest rates on passbook savings accounts raised, and Saturday lobby hours would be expanded. The convenience and needs of the community to be served are such as to outweigh any adverse competitive effects. Accordingly, consummation of the proposal is consistent with the public interest. The Toledo Trust Company, Toledo, Ohio, to merge with The Peoples Bank, Carey, Ohio SUMMARY REPORT BY THE ATTORNEY GENERAL (2/19/82) The proposed transaction would not be significantly adverse to competition. BASIS FOR APPROVAL BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (2/24/82) The Toledo Trust Company (Applicant), with assets of $1 billion, proposes to merge The Peoples Bank (Bank), with assets of $23 million. Applicant is a subsidiary of Toledo Trustcorp, Inc. (TTI), which ranks thirteenth among Ohio's commercial banking organizations, with 2 percent of the deposits. Tables 241 18.—-Continued Bank ranks third among five commercial banks in the Wyandot County banking market, with 13.6 percent of total deposits. Neither Applicant nor any banking affiliate of TTI is represented in the Wyandot market. The proposal would not have a significant effect on competition. The proposal would add trust powers and leasing services to the banking services available in the Wyandot County market. The convenience and need factors, including those relating to the Community Reinvestment Act, are consistent with approval. The financial and managerial resources of Applicant are satisfactory, and the banking factors are consistent with approval. Guardian State Bank, Salt Lake City, Utah, to merge with Empire State Bank, Salt Lake City, Utah SUMMARY REPORT BY THE ATTORNEY GENERAL (4/2/82) The proposed transaction would not be significantly adverse to competition. BASIS FOR APPROVAL BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (3/30/82) Guardian State Bank (Applicant), with assets of $5 million, proposes to merge Empire State Bank (Bank), with assets of $14 million. In view of the financial condition of Bank, the Utah Commissioner of Financial Institutions has recommended expeditious action by the Federal Reserve System to prevent the failure of Bank. Thus the Reserve Bank requested that reports about competitive factors be furnished within 10 days. The convenience and need factors, as well as the competitive factors, are consistent with approval. Peoples Bank of Danville, Danville, Virginia, to acquire certain assets and assume substantially all of the liabilities of Aquia Bank and Trust Company, Stafford, Virginia SUMMARY REPORT BY THE ATTORNEY GENERAL (No report received. Requests for reports on the competitive factors were dispensed with, as authorized by the Bank Merger Act, to permit the Reserve Bank to act immediately to safeguard depositors of Aquia Bank and Trust Company.) BASIS FOR APPROVAL BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (4/5/82) Peoples Bank of Danville (Applicant), with assets of $32 million, proposes to acquire certain assets and assume substantially all of the liabilities of Aquia Bank and Trust Company (Bank), with assets of $14 million. On the basis of information before the Reserve Bank, an emergency situation clearly exists so that, pursuant to the provisions of the Bank Merger Act, the Reserve Bank is required to act immediately to safeguard Bank's depositors. Bank has experienced financial and managerial problems that have reduced its competitiveness. The financial and managerial resources and prospects of the proposed organization would benefit the operations at the office now occupied by Bank without diminishing Applicant's prospects. The financial and managerial resources and prospects of Applicant are satisfactory, and, as a result of this proposal, Bank's customers would be served by a stronger organization. First Virginia Bank-Highlands, Covington, Virginia, to merge with The Bath County National Bank, Hot Springs, Virginia SUMMARY REPORT BY THE ATTORNEY GENERAL (5/14/82) The proposed transaction would not be significantly adverse to competition. BASIS FOR APPROVAL BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (5/20/82) First Virginia Bank-Highlands (Applicant), with assets of $54 million, proposes to merge The Bath County National Bank (Bank), with assets of $19 million. Applicant is a subsidiary of First Virginia Bank, Inc., Falls Church, Virginia, which ranks seventh among Virginia's commercial banking organizations, with about 7 percent of the deposits held by banking offices in the state. The relevant market in the proposal is the Bath County area, in which Bank is the only bank. The merger would have no significant adverse effects on competition, and would improve the services available at the offices now operated by Bank. The financial and convenience and need are consistent with approval. Digitizedfactors for FRASER 242 Tables 18. Mergers, Consolidations, Acquisitions of Assets or Assumptions of Liabilities Approved by the Board of Governors, 1982—Continued The Connecticut Bank and Trust Company, Hartford, Connecticut, to merge with Orange National Bank, Orange, Connecticut SUMMARY REPORT BY THE ATTORNEY GENERAL (5/28/82) The proposed transaction would not be significantly adverse to competition. BASIS FOR APPROVAL BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (8/13/82) The Connecticut Bank and Trust Company (Applicant), with assets of $3.6 billion, proposes to merge Orange National Bank (Bank), with assets of $35 million. Applicant is the sole banking subsidiary of CBT Corporation, Hartford, which is the largest commercial banking organization in the state, holding 20.0 percent of the deposits. If the proposed merger took place, CBT Corporation would hold 20.2 percent of the deposits held by commercial banking offices in Connecticut. The closest offices of the participating banks are 1.2 miles apart. The relevant market in this case is the New Haven banking market, in which Applicant ranks fourth among fourteen commercial banking organizations, with 12.2 percent of the area's commercial bank deposits. If the proposed merger were consummated, Applicant would continue to rank fourth in the New Haven market and would hold 14.1 percent of area deposits. However, mutual savings banks control 73 percent of time and savings deposits at offices of commercial and mutual savings banks in the New Haven market; and the town of Orange would no longer have home office protection after this merger. Applicant proposes to offer the following new services at the Orange office of the resulting bank: automated teller machines, negotiable order of withdrawal accounts, trust services, and international services. Convenience and need factors lend weight to approval. Bank has experienced problems that have reduced its competitiveness. The resources and prospects of the proposed organization would benefit the operations at the offices now occupied by Bank without diminishing Applicant's prospects. The financial and managerial resources and prospects of Applicant are satisfactory and, as a result of this proposal, Bank's customers would be served by a stronger organization. United Virginia Bank, Richmond, Virginia, to merge with The First National Bank of Martinsville and Henry County, Fieldale, Virginia SUMMARY REPORT BY THE ATTORNEY GENERAL (8/6/82) The proposed transaction would not be significantly adverse to competition. BASIS FOR APPROVAL BY THE SECRETARY OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS (9/7/82) United Virginia Bank (Applicant), with assets of $3.9 billion, proposes to merge The First National Bank of Martinsville and Henry County (Bank), with assets of $203 million. Applicant is a subsidiary of United Virginia Bankshares Incorporated, Richmond (UVB),which ranks first among banking organizations in Virginia, with about 13.6 percent of deposits in the state. The closest offices of the participating banks are about 40 miles apart. Applicant is not represented in the Henry County market, in which Bank, with 39.1 percent of area deposits, ranks first among six banks. The proposed merger would not have a significant effect on competition. Applicant proposes to expand the trust services available to Bank's customers. Business and commercial interests in the Henry County market should benefit from higher loan limits. The banking factors are consistent with approval. United Virginia Bank, Richmond, Virginia, to merge with Citizens National Bank, New Market, Virginia SUMMARY REPORT BY THE ATTORNEY GENERAL (No report received.) BASIS FOR APPROVAL BY THE SECRETARY OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS (9/7/82) United Virginia Bank (Applicant), with assets of $3.9 billion, proposes to merge Citizens National Bank (Bank), with assets of $36 million. The closest offices of the participating banks are 20 miles apart. Applicant does not now operate offices in the relevant Shenandoah County market, in which Bank ranks third among Tables 243 18.-—Continued commercial banks, with 17.3 percent of market deposits. The proposal would not have a significant effect on competition. With respect to convenience and need factors, Applicant plans to provide at the offices now operated by Bank several new or enhanced services, such as industrial development assistance, investment advisory services, and a wide array of trust services. The banking factors are consistent with approval. St. Joseph Valley Bank, Elkhart, Indiana, to merge with First National Bank of Goshen, Goshen, Indiana SUMMARY REPORT BY THE ATTORNEY GENERAL (5/14/82) St. Joseph Valley Bank (Applicant) is the only banking subsidiary of SJV Corporation and is the second largest bank in Elkhart County, with total deposits of $286 million including $57 million in demand deposits of individuals, partnerships, and corporations (IPCs), and net income for 1981 of $2 million. Applicant has fourteen banking offices, twelve located in various parts of Elkhart City, and one office each in Nappanee and Bristol. Applicant also has five electronic funds transfer units in Elkhart City and offices of affiliated corporations in Elkhart City and Goshen, Indiana, and Decatur, Illinois. First National Bank of Goshen (Bank) is an independent bank with five offices, all in Goshen. As of December 31, 1981, Bank had total deposits of $72 million, including $13 million in IPC demand deposits. For the year ending December 31, 1981, Bank had net income of $912,000. Both Applicant and Bank are in Elkhart County, which is in northern Indiana, bordering on Michigan to the north, St. Joseph County (where South Bend is located) on the west, and the primarily rural counties of LaGrange on the east and Kosciusko on the south. In 1970, Elkhart County had a population of 126,529 and had experienced a growth rate of 4.9 percent over the previous decade; population in St. Joseph County had declined 7 percent during the same period. Population estimates for 1978 indicated that the city and county of Elkhart continued their growth, whereas South Bend and St. Joseph County lost population. In 1979, Elkhart County was designated as a standard metropolitan statistical area (SMSA). Goshen, the second largest city in the county, is approximately 10 miles from Elkhart, the largest city. That city has about 93 separate companies with 50 or more employees and several large employers with over 1,000 employees. Its industrial development is primarily on the east side. Goshen has four companies with 300 or more employees and an industrial park south of the city with 2,500 employees. The largest shopping center in Elkhart County, outside of downtown Elkhart, is the Concord Mall, located southeast of Elkhart about halfway to Goshen. Adjacent to the Elkhart SMSA is the South Bend SMSA, which consists of St. Joseph and Marshall Counties and includes the cities of South Bend and Mishawaka. While Elkhart and St. Joseph Counties are contiguous and the distance between Elkhart City and South Bend is relatively short (about 13.5 miles), the true travel distances may be longer because of the way industry is located in the various areas. The South Bend SMSA has substantial industrial development to the west and southwest of South Bend and toward the south of Mishawaka. The statistics from the 1970 census (the latest available) indicate that only a few people commute between Elkhart County and St. Joseph County. Furthermore, both counties have high unemployment at present (over 12 percent), so that commuting may be substantially lower than in 1970. The nearest major shopping area in St. Joseph County for Elkhart County residents is downtown Mishawaka. Another shopping center is located just west of downtown Mishawaka. Another significant factor in determining the geographic market is the very restrictive branching and bank holding company laws of Indiana. Branching is permitted only within the county of a bank's home office and only single bank holding companies are permitted. Thus banks in neither county have the opportunity to compete with banks in the other by establishing branches there. [Because of federal and state law the same conclusion holds for Michigan banks north of Elkhart County. There may be some commuting between Michigan and Elkhart County.] Therefore, we believe that the relevant geographic market for analyzing this acquisition is Elkhart County. Applicant and Bank compete in the relevant geographic market. The nearest offices of Applicant and Bank are a little over five miles apart, at the Concord Mall on U.S. Route 33 south 244 18. Tables Mergers, Consolidations, Acquisitions of Assets or Assumptions of Liabilities Approved by the Board of Governors, 1982—Continued of Elkhart and at U.S. Route 33 west and Bashor Road, on the northwest end of Goshen respectively. Twelve of Applicant's offices are within 10 miles of one of Bank's offices. Applicant is the second largest bank and depository institution in the market, with total deposits of $286 million, accounting for 26.5 percent of the total deposits of all depository institutions in the market. [All commercial bank data are as of June 30, 1981; savings and loan association data are as of September 30, 1980; and credit union data are as of January 1,1981.] Bank is the fourth largest bank and fifth largest financial institution, with total deposits of $72 million, accounting for 6.9 percent of total deposits in the market. The four-firm concentration ratio is 80.7 percent, and the Herfindahl Index is 2067 (including savings and loan associations and assuming 1 percent market shares for each of the 24 credit unions in the market). The resulting bank would be the largest financial institution in the market, with total deposits of $358 million, or 33.4 percent of total deposits. The four-firm concentration ratio would increase to 87.6 percent and the Herfindahl Index would increase almost 400 basis points, to 2433. The proposed transaction would eliminate direct competition and substantially increase concentration levels in the relevant geographic market, and thus would have a significantly adverse effect on competition. BASIS FOR APPROVAL BY THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS (9/28/82) St. Joseph Valley Bank (Applicant), with assets of $356 million, proposes to merge First National Bank of Goshen (Bank), with assets of $85 million. Applicant has concurrently applied for membership in the Federal Reserve System. All offices of Applicant are at least five miles from any office of Bank. Applicant and Bank are in the "South Bend Ranally Metro Area," as defined by the Rand McNally Commercial Atlas, in which Applicant ranks fourth among twenty-two commercial banking organizations, controlling 11 percent of market deposits. Upon consummation of the proposed merger, Applicant would become the market's second largest commercial banking organization and would control 13.9 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in this market, which has a relatively low level of concentration. The Board concludes that the proposed merger would not have a significant adverse effect on existing or potential competition. With respect to convenience and need factors, Applicant plans to provide at the offices now operated by Bank several new or enhanced services such as industrial development assistance, investment advisory services, and a wide array of trust services. The financial and managerial resources of Applicant, its parent, and Bank are regarded as generally satisfactory and their prospects appear favorable. As a result, the banking factors are consistent with approval. First Colbert National Bank, Sheffield, Alabama, to merge with Bank of Florence, Florence, Alabama SUMMARY REPORT BY THE ATTORNEY GENERAL (12/17/82) The proposed transaction would not be significantly adverse to competition. BASIS FOR APPROVAL BY THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS (10/18/82) First Colbert National Bank (Applicant), with assets of $59 million, proposes to merge Bank of Florence (Bank), with assets of $15 million. Applicant proposes to convert to a state-chartered institution, and has also applied for membership in the Federal Reserve System. Applicant ranks fourth among eight banking organizations in the Florence banking market, with 10.2 percent of total deposits. The bank resulting from the proposed merger would rank third in the Florence market, with 12.7 percent of the area's commercial bank deposits. This merger would increase the four-bank concentration to 88.3 percent; but, in fact, the two banks have been affiliated by virtue of common ownership and director interlocks since the establishment of Bank in 1975. Thus initial control of Bank did not eliminate any existing competition or increase market concentration; the relationship between Bank and Applicant appears to be such that little if any meaningful competition has ever developed between the two banks. In this light, the Board does not regard the effects of the proposed acquisition on competition in the relevant banking market as significant. The financial and managerial resources of Applicant, its parent, and Bank are regarded as Tables 245 18.-—Continued generally satisfactory, and their prospects appear favorable. The banking factors thus are consistent with approval. The convenience and needs factors of the community to be served are also consistent with approval. Accordingly, the Board has determined that consummation of the transaction would be consistent with the public interest and that the application should be approved. First Virginia Bank-Franklin County, Rocky Mount, Virginia, to merge with Farmers and Merchants Bank, Boones Mill, Virginia SUMMARY REPORT BY THE ATTORNEY GENERAL (10/29/82) The proposed transaction would not be significantly adverse to competition. BASIS FOR APPROVAL BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK (11/9/82) First Virginia Bank-Franklin County (Applicant), with assets of $60 million, proposes to merge Farmers and Merchants Bank (Bank), with assets of $17 million. Applicant is a subsidiary of First Virginia Bank, Inc., Falls Church, Virginia (FVB), which ranks seventh among Virginia's commercial banking organizations, with about 7 percent of the deposits held by banking offices in the state. The relevant market in this proposal is the Roanoke market, in which FVB ranks fifth among fourteen banking organizations, with 8.7 percent of the area's commercial bank deposits. Following the proposed merger, FVB would rank fourth in the Roanoke market, with 9.9 percent of area deposits. The proposal would not have a significant effect on competition. Bank has had financial and managerial problems that have reduced its competitiveness. The financial and managerial resources and prospects of the proposed organization would benefit the operations at the offices now occupied by Bank without diminishing Applicant's prospects. The financial and managerial resources and prospects of Applicant are satisfactory and, as a result of this proposal, Bank's customers would be served by a stronger organization. Mergers Approved Involving Wholly Owned Subsidiaries of the Same Bank Holding Company The following transactions involve banks that are subsidiaries of the same bank holding company. In such case, the Summary Report by the Attorney General indicates that because the banks are wholly owned subsidiaries of the same bank holding company, their proposed merger is essentially a corporate reorganization and therefore will have no effect on competition. The Board of Governors, the Federal Reserve Bank, or the Secretary of the Board of Governors, whichever approved the application, determined that the competitive effects of the proposed transaction, the financial and managerial resources, and the prospects of the banks concerned, as well as the convenience and needs of the community to be served, were consistent with approval. Name of bank, type of transaction, and other banks involved1 Fidelity Union Bank, Newark, New Jersey Assets (millions of dollars) 1,349 Date of approval by Board or Reserve Bank 3-1-82 Merger Fidelity Union Bank, N.A., Red Bank, New Jersey Fidelity Union Bank, N.A., Garden State, Paramus, New Jersey The Toledo Trust Company, Toledo, Ohio 498 828 1,018 Merger Northwest Ohio Bank, Bowling Green, Ohio The Oak Harbor State Bank Company, Oak Harbor, Ohio National Bank of Fulton County, Delta, Ohio 42 34 23 3-23-82 246 Tables 18. Mergers, Consolidations, Acquisitions of Assets or Assumptions of Liabilities Approved by the Board of Governors, 1982—Continued Name of bank, type of transaction, and other banks involved1 First Virginia Bank, Falls Church, Virginia Assets (millions of dollars) 680 Date of approval by Board or Reserve Bank 4-7-82 Merger First Virginia Bank-Loudoun, Leesburg, Virginia First Virginia Bank-Eastern, Warrenton, Virginia The Bank of New Jersey, Camden, New Jersey 29 7 550 4-8-82 Merger Prospect Park National Bank, Wayne, New Jersey First Virginia Bank-Shenandoah Valley, Woodstock, Virginia... 285 69 5-4-82 Merger Bank of Frederick County, Stephens City, Virginia 11 Central Bank of the South, Birmingham, Alabama 2,231 5-27-82 Merger Central Bank, N.A., Mobile, Alabama AmeriTrust Company, Cleveland, Ohio 83 4,662 6-23-82 Merger AmeriTrust Company of Toledo, Toledo, Ohio Royal Trust Bank of Tampa, Tampa, Florida 6 17 7-1-82 Merger Royal Trust Bank of St. Petersburg, Gulfport, Florida Royal Trust Bank of Orlando, Orlando, Florida American Bank and Trust Company, Lansing, Michigan 58 21 373 8-11-82 Merger American Bank of Perry, Perry, Michigan 16 First Virginia Bank of the Southwest, Christiansburg, Virginia .. 48 10-21-82 Merger First Virginia Bank-Bland County, Bland, Virginia 15 1. Each proposed transaction was to be effected under the charter of the first-named bank. The table is in chronological order of approval. Mergers Approved Involving a Nonoperating Institution with an Existing Bank The following transactions have no significant effect on competition; they merely facilitate the acquisition of the voting shares of a bank (or banks) by a holding company. In such cases, the Summary Report by the Attorney General indicates that the transaction will merely combine an existing bank with a nonoperating institution; in consequence, and without regard to the acquisition of the surviving bank by the holding company, the merger would have no effect on competition. The Board of Governors, the Federal Reserve Bank, or the Secretary of the Board of Governors, whichever approved the application, determined that the proposal would, in itself, have no adverse competitive effects, and that the financial and convenience and need factors were consistent with approval. Tables 247 18,—Continued Name of bank, type of transaction, and other banks involved1 Assets (millions of dollars) DB Banking Co., Youngstown, Ohio Date of approval by Board or Reserve Bank 1-7-82 Merger The Dollar Savings and Trust Company, Youngstown, Ohio 572 The Interim Dime Bank of Marietta, Marietta, Ohio 2-12-82 Merger The Dime Bank of Ross County, N.A., Adelphi, Ohio The Dime Bank, Marietta, Ohio 9 30 The FTB Fifth Bank, Russellville, Ohio 2-17-82 Merger The Bank of Russellville, Russellville, Ohio 21 The FTB Sixth Bank, Fairborn, Ohio (2) 3-4-82 Merger The Farmers and Merchants Bank, Fairborn, Ohio 41 Whitley Banking Co., Columbia City, Indiana (2) 3-22-82 Merger The Farmer's Loan and Trust Company, Columbia City, Indiana 45 Cullman County Bank, Cullman, Alabama (2) 3-29-82 Merger Parker Bank and Trust Company, Cullman, Alabama 36 Indiana Southern Bank of Sellersburg, Sellersburg, Indiana 41 4-16-82 Merger Indiana Sointerim Bank of Sellersburg, Sellersburg, Indiana (2) City Bank and Trust Company, Dixon, Illinois 47 4-16-82 Merger Third Bank of Dixon, Dixon, Illinois (2) The Scott County State Bank, Scottsburg, Indiana 47 4-16-82 Merger Scottsburg Bank, Scottsburg, Indiana (2) New Valley Bank of Nevada, Las Vegas, Nevada (2) 6-4-82 Merger Valley Bank of Nevada, Las Ve*gas, Nevada Bank One of Geauga County, Chardon, Ohio 915 (2) 6-11-82 Merger The Chardon Savings Bank Company, Chardon, Ohio 94 The DeKalb Bank, DeKalb, Illinois 78 Merger The DeKalb Interim Bank, DeKalb, Illinois 7-8-82 248 Tables 18. Mergers, Consolidations, Acquisitions of Assets or Assumptions of Liabilities Approved by the Board of Governors, 1982—Continued Name of bank, type of transaction, and other banks involved1 First Virginia Bank-Tazewell, Tazewell, Virginia Merger Tazewell National Bank, Tazewell, Virginia Brownsburg Service Bank, Brownsburg, Indiana Merger Hendricks County Bank and Trust Company, Brownsburg, Indiana American Bank Company, Princeton, West Virginia Merger Princeton Bank & Trust Company, Princeton, West Virginia.... Assets (millions of dollars) 7-8-82 52 (2) (2) Bank of Pontiac, Pontiac, Illinois Merger Pontiac State Bank, Pontiac, Illinois . 62 HC State Bank, Harbor Beach, Michigan Merger Huron County Bank, Harbor Beach, Michigan (2) First Peoples State Bank, Cedar Rapids, Iowa Merger Peoples Bank and Trust Company, Cedar Rapids, Iowa. First Trust & Savings Bank of Kankakee, Kankakee, Illinois.... Merger Midwest Trust and Savings Bank of Kankakee, Kankakee, Illinois The New Bank, Vienna, Virginia Merger The Business Bank of the United States, Vienna, Virginia. Peoples Liberty Bank and Trust Company, Covington, Kentucky Merger Plibco Bank, Inc., Covington, Kentucky 8-2-82 140 59 State Bank of Waupun, Waupun, Wisconsin Merger Waupun Interim Bank, Waupun, Wisconsin. 7-28-82 45 The Union Bank & Savings Company, Bellevue, Ohio . Merger Bellevue Interim Bank, Bellevue, Ohio Elliott State Bank, Jacksonville, Illinois. Merger ES Bank, Jacksonville, Illinois Date of approval by Board or Reserve Bank 8-12-82 (2) 8-25-82 (2) 8-30-82 25 128 8-31-82 (2) 39 9-30-82 10-19-82 150 135 11-23-82 (2) 12-9-82 6 128 12-10-82 1. Each proposed transaction was to be effected under the charter of the first-named bank. The table is in chronological order of approval. 2. This is a newly organized bank, not in operation. 249 The Federal Reserve System Boundaries of Federal Reserve Districts and their Branch Territories d, HAWAII © Legend o ® • • Boundaries of Federal Reserve Districts Boundaries of Federal Reserve Branch Territories Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Federal Reserve Bank Cities Federal Reserve Branch Cities Federal Reserve Bank Facilities Federal Reserve Directories and Meetings 252 Directories and Meetings Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System December 31, 1982 Term expires PAUL A. VOLCKER of New Jersey, Chairman 1 PRESTON MARTIN January 31, 1992 of California, Vice Chairman l January 31, 1996 NANCY H. TEETERS of Indiana J. CHARLES PARTEE of Virginia January 31, 1984 January 31, 1986 HENRY C. WALLICH of Connecticut EMMETT J. RICE of New York January 31, 1988 January 31, 1990 LYLEE. GRAMLEY of Missouri January 31, 1994 OFFICE OF BOARD MEMBERS JOSEPH R. COYNE, Assistant to the Board DONALD J. WINN, Assistant to the OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR FOR FEDERAL RESERVE BANK ACTIVITIES THEODORE E. ALLISON, Staff Director Board Deputy Assistant to the Board ANTHONY F. COLE, Special Assistant to the Board WILLIAM R. JONES, Special Assistant to the Board WILLIAM R. MALONI, Special Assistant to the Board FRANK O'BRIEN, JR., NAOMI P. SALUS, Special Assistant to the Board OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY WILLIAM W. WILES, Secretary BARBARA R. LOWREY, Associate Secretary JAMES MCAFEE, Associate Secretary LEGAL DIVISION MICHAEL BRADFIELD, ROBERT E. MANNION, Counsel OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR FOR MONETARY AND FINANCIAL POLICY STEPHEN H. AXILROD, Staff Director EDWARD C. ETTIN, Deputy Staff Director MURRAY ALTMANN, Board STANLEY Board J. SIGEL, Assistant to the Assistant to the R.V. BERNARD, Special Assistant to the Board General Counsel Deputy General J. VIRGIL MATTINGLY, JR., Associate General Counsel T. SCHWARTZ, Associate General Counsel RICHARD M. ASHTON, Assistant General Counsel GILBERT NANCY P. JACKLIN, Assistant General Counsel A. BROWN, Assistant to the General Counsel MARYELLEN NORMAND OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR FOR MANAGEMENT JOHN M. DENKLER, Staff Director T. MULRENIN, Assistant Staff Director JOSEPH W. DANIELS, SR., Federal Reserve System EEO Program Adviser EDWARD DIVISION OF RESEARCH AND STATISTICS JAMES L. KICHLINE, Director JOSEPH S. ZEISEL, Deputy Director MICHAEL J. PRELL, Associate Director DONALD L. KOHN, Senior Deputy Associate Director ELEANOR J. STOCKWELL, Senior Deputy Associate Director F. WENDEL, Deputy Associate Director HELMUT 1. The designations as Chairman and Vice Chairman expire on August 6, 1983, and March 30, 1986, respectively unless the services of these members of the Board shall have terminated sooner. Associate Director JARED J. ENZLER, Senior Deputy Directories and Meetings DIVISION OF RESEARCH AND STATISTICS—Continued MARTHA BETHEA, Assistant Director JOE M. CLEAVER, Assistant Director ROBERT M. FISHER, Assistant Director DAVID E. LINDSEY, Assistant Director LAWRENCE SLIFMAN, Assistant Director FREDERICK M. STRUBLE, Assistant Director STEPHEN P. TAYLOR, Assistant Director PETER A. TINSLEY, Assistant Director LEVON H. GARABEDIAN, Assistant Director (Administration) DIVISION OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCE 253 DIVISION OF BANKING SUPERVISION AND REGULATION JOHN E. RYAN, Director R. DAHL, Associate Director DON E. KLINE, Associate Director WILLIAM TAYLOR, Associate Director JACK M. EGERTSON, Assistant Director ROBERTA. JACOBSEN, Assistant Director ROBERTS. PLOTKIN, Assistant Director THOMAS A. SIDMAN, Assistant Director SIDNEY M. SUSSAN, Assistant Director SAMUEL H. TALLEY, Assistant Director LAURA M. HOMER, Securities Credit Officer FREDERICK EDWIN M. TRUMAN, Director F. GEMMILL, Associate Director CHARLES J. SIEGMAN, Associate Director LARRY J. PROMISEL, Senior Deputy**Associate Director ROBERT DALE W. HENDERSON, Deputy Associate Director SAMUEL PIZER, Staff Adviser MICHAEL P. DOOLEY, Assistant DIVISION OF CONSUMER AND COMMUNITY AFFAIRS GRIFFITH L. GARWOOD, Director C. Director JERAULD KLUCKMAN, Associate GLENN E. LONEY, Assistant Director DOLORES S. SMITH, Assistant Director Director DIVISION OF PERSONNEL RALPH W. SMITH, JR., Assistant Director DIVISION OF FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OPERATIONS CLYDE H. FARNSWORTH, JR., Director LORIN S. MEEDER, Associate Director DAVID L. ROBINSON, Associate Director C. WILLIAM SCHLEICHER, JR., Associate DAVID L. SHANNON, Director JOHN R. WEIS, Assistant Director CHARLES W. WOOD, Assistant Director DIVISION OF SUPPORT SERVICES DONALD E. ANDERSON, Director ROBERT E. FRAZIER, Associate Director WALTER W. KREIMANN, Associate Director Director WALTER ALTHAUSEN, Assistant Director CHARLES W. BENNETT, Assistant Director ANNE M. DEBEER, Assistant Director JACK DENNIS, Assistant Director RICHARD B. GRE,EN, Assistant Director EARL G. HAMILTON, Assistant Director ELLIOTT C. MCENTEE, Assistant Director OFFICE OF THE CONTROLLER E. LIVINGSTON, Controller GEORGE DIVISION OF DATA PROCESSING CHARLES L. HAMPTON, Director BRUCE M. BEARDSLEY, Deputy Director ULYESS D. BLACK, Associate Director GLENN L. CUMMINS, Assistant Director NEAL H. HILLERMAN, Assistant Director ELIZABETH Director WILLIAM C. Director A. JOHNSON, Assistant SCHNEIDER, JR., Assistant ROBERT J. ZEMEL, Assistant Director 254 Directories and Meetings Federal Open Market Committee December 31, 1982 Members PAUL A. VOLCKER, Chairman (Board of ANTHONY M. SOLOMON, Vice Chairman Governors) (elected by Federal Reserve Bank of New York) J. BALLES (elected by Federal Reserve Banks of Minneapolis, Kansas City, and San Francisco) ROBERT P. BLACK (elected by Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, Philadelphia, and Richmond) WILLIAM F. FORD (elected by Federal Reserve Banks of Atlanta, St. Louis, and Dallas) LYLE E. GRAMLEY (Board of Governors) KAREN N. HORN (elected by Federal Reserve Banks of Chicago and Cleveland) PRESTON MARTIN (Board of Governors) J. CHARLES PARTEE (Board of Governors) EMMETT J. RICE (Board of Governors) NANCY H. TEETERS (Board of Governors) HENRY C. WALLICH (Board of Governors) JOHN Officers STEPHEN H. AXILROD, Staff Director MURRAY ALTMANN, Secretary NORMAND R.V. BERNARD, Assistant Secretary NANCY M. STEELE, Deputy Assistant Secretary MICHAEL BRADFIELD, General Counsel JAMES H. OLTMAN, Deputy General Counsel ROBERT E. MANNION, Assistant General Counsel JAMES L. KICHLINE, Economist JOHN M. DAVIS, RICHARD G. DAVIS, Associate Economist EDWARD C. ETTIN, Associate Economist MICHAEL W. KERAN, Associate Economist DONALD L. KOCH, Associate Economist JAMES PARTHEMOS, Associate Economist MICHAEL J. PRELL, Associate Economist CHARLES J. SIEGMAN, Associate Economist EDWIN M. TRUMAN, Associate Economist JOSEPH S. ZEISEL, Associate Economist Associate Economist PETER D. STERNLIGHT, Manager for Domestic Operations, System Open Market Account SAM Y. CROSS, Manager for Foreign Operations, System Open Market Account During 1982, the Federal Open Market of the Federal Open Market Committee" Committee held eight regularly scheduled in this REPORT.) meetings. (See "Record of Policy Actions Directories and Meetings 255 Federal Advisory Council December 31, 1982 Members District No. 1—WILLIAM S. EDGERLY, Chairman of the Board and President, State Street Bank and Trust Company, Boston, Massachusetts District No. 2—DONALD C. PLATTEN, Chairman of the Board, Chemical Bank, New York, New York District No. 3—JOHN H. WALTHER, Chairman of the Board, New Jersey National Corporation and New Jersey National Bank, Trenton, New Jersey District No. 4—JOHN G. MCCOY, Chairman, Bane One Corporation, Columbus, Ohio District No. 5—VINCENT C. BURKE, JR., Chairman of the Board, The Riggs National Bank of Washington, D.C., Washington, D.C. District No. 6—ROBERT STRICKLAND, Chairman, Trust Company of Georgia, Atlanta, Georgia District No. 7—ROBERT M. SURDAM, Chairman, National Bank of Detroit, Detroit, Michigan District No. 8—RONALD TERRY, Chairman of the Board, First Tennessee Bank, N.A., Memphis, Tennessee District No. 9—CLARENCE G. FRAME, Vice Chairman, First Bank System, Inc., Minneapolis, Minnesota District No. 10—GORDON E. WELLS, Chairman of the Board, First National Bank of Kansas City, Kansas City, Missouri District No. 11—T.C. FROST, JR., Chairman, Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc., San Antonio, Texas District No. 12—JOSEPH J. PINOLA, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, First Interstate Bancorporation, Los Angeles, California Officers DONALD C. PLATTEN, President ROBERT M. SURDAM, HERBERT V. PROCHNOW, Secretary WILLIAM J. KORSVIK, Associate Secretary Vice President Directors WILLIAM S. EDGERLY CLARENCE G. FRAME JOHN H. WALTHER Meetings of the Federal Advisory Council were held on February 4-5, May 20-21, September 16-17, and November 4-5, 1982. The Board of Governors met with the council on February 5, May 21, September 17, and November 5, 1982. The council, which is composed of 12 repre- sentatives of the banking industry, one from each Federal Reserve District, is required by law to meet in Washington at least four times a year and is authorized by the Federal Reserve Act to consult and advise the Board on all matters within the jurisdiction of the Board. 256 Directories and Meetings Consumer Advisory Council December 31, 1982 CHARLOTTE H. SCOTT, Charlottesville, Virginia, Chairman MARGARET REILLY-PETRONE, Upper Montclair, New Jersey, Vice Chairman ARTHUR F. BOUTON, Little Rock, Arkansas JULIA H. BOYD, Alexandria, Virginia ELLEN BROADMAN, Washington, D.C. GERALD R. CHRISTENSEN, Salt Lake City, Utah JOSEPH N. CUGINI, Westerly, Rhode Island RICHARD S. D'AGOSTINO, Wilmington, Delaware SUSAN PIERSON DE WITT, SHIRLEY T. HOSOI, Los Angeles, California GEORGE S. IRVIN, Denver, Colorado HARRY N. JACKSON, Minneapolis, Minnesota F. THOMAS JUSTER, Ann Arbor, Michigan ROBERT J. MCEWEN, STAN L. MULARZ, Chicago, Illinois WILLIAM J. O'CONNOR, JR., Springfield, Illinois Buffalo, New York JOANNE S. FAULKNER, WlLLARD P. OGBURN, New Haven, Connecticut MEREDITH FERNSTROM, New York, New York Boston, Massachusetts JANET J. RATHE, Portland, Oregon ALLEN J. FISHBEIN, RENE REIXACH, Washington, D.C. E.C.A. FORSBERG, SR., Atlanta, Georgia PETER D. SCHELLIE, LUTHER R. GATLING, NANCY Z. SPILLMAN, New York, New York VERNARD W. HENLEY, Richmond, Virginia S.J., Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts Rochester, New York Washington, D.C. Los Angeles, California CLINTON WARNE, Cleveland, Ohio JUAN J. HINOJOSA, FREDERICK T. WEIMER, Meetings Me Allen, between Texas the Consumer Advisory Council and members of the Board of Governors were held on January 2728, April 28-29, July 28-29, and October 27-28, 1982. The council, which is com- posed of creditors, Chicago, Illinoisconsumers, and others, was established pursuant to the Equal Credit Opportunity Act to advise the Board on consumer-related matters. Directories and Meetings 257 Federal Reserve Banks, Branches, and Offices December 31, 1982 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK, branch Chairman1 Deputy Chairman BOSTON2 Robert P. Henderson Frank E. Morris Thomas I. James A. Atkins Mclntosh NEW YORK2 Robert H. Knight, Esq. Boris Yavitz Frederick D. Berkeley III Anthony M. Solomon Thomas M. Timlen PHILADELPHIA Jean A. Crockett Robert M. Landis Edward G. Boehne Richard L. Smoot CLEVELAND2 J.L. Jackson Karen N. Horn William H. William H. Knoell Hendricks Clifford R. Meyer Milton G. Hulme, Jr. Buffalo Cincinnati Pittsburgh RICHMOND2 Baltimore Steven Muller Paul E. Reichardt Edward H. Covell President First Vice President John T. Keane Robert D. McTeer, Jr. Stuart P. Fishburne Albert D. Tinkelenberg Naomi G. Albanese ATLANTA William A. Fickling, William F. Ford Jr. Robert P. John H. Forrestal Weitnauer, Jr. William H. Martin III Copeland D. Newbern Eugene E. Cohen Cecelia Adkins Leslie B. Lampton Jacksonville Miami Nashville New Orleans Atlanta CHICAGO Detroit ST. LOUIS Little Rock Louisville Memphis MINNEAPOLIS John Sagan Stanton R. Cook Russell G. Mawby For notes see last page of listing. Fred R. Herr Charles D. East Patrick K. Barron Jeffrey J. Wells James D. Hawkins Delmar Harrison Silas Keehn Daniel M. Doyle William C. Conrad Armand C. Stalnaker Lawrence K. Roos W.L. Hadley Donald W. Griffin Moriarty, Jr. Richard V. Warner James F. Thompson Donald B. Weis William G. Phillips John B. Davis, Jr. Robert E. Showalter Harold J. Swart Robert P. Black Jimmie R. Monhollon Charlotte Culpeper3 Birmingham Vice President in charge of branch E. Gerald Corrigan Thomas E. Gainor John F. Breen Donald L. Henry Randall C. Sumner 258 Directories and Meetings FEDERAL RESERVE BANK, branch Chairman1 Deputy Chairman Helena Ernest B. Corrick KANSAS CITY Paul H. Henson Doris M. Drury Denver Oklahoma City Omaha James E. Nielson Christine H. Anthony Robert G. Lueder DALLAS Gerald D. Hines. John V. James El Paso Houston San Antonio A.J. Losee Jerome L. Howard Lawrence L. Crum SAN FRANCISCO . John J. Balles Caroline L. John B. Williams Ahmanson Alan C. Furth Bruce M. Schwaegler John C. Hampton Wendell J. Ashton John W. Ellis Los Angeles Portland Salt Lake City Seattle President First Vice President Vice President in charge of branch Robert F. McNellis Roger Guffey Henry R. Czerwinski Wayne W. Martin William G. Evans Robert D. Hamilton Robert H. Boykin William H. Wallace Joel L. Koonce, Jr. J.Z. Rowe Thomas H. Robertson Richard C. Dunn Angelo S. Carella A. Grant Holman Gerald R. Kelly 1. The Chairman of a Federal Reserve Bank, by statute, also serves as Federal Reserve Agent. 2. Additional offices of these Banks are located at Lewistown, Maine; Windsor Locks, Connecticut; Cranford, New Jersey; Jericho, New York; Utica at Oriskany, New York; Columbus, Ohio; Columbia, South Carolina; Charleston, West Virginia; Des Moines, Iowa; Indianpolis, Indiana; and Milwaukee, Wisconsin. 3. Culpeper Communications and Records Center is a facility. Conference of Chairman Conference of Presidents The chairmen of the Federal Reserve Banks are organized into a Conference of Chairmen that meets to consider matters of common interest and to consult with and advise the Board of Governors. Such meetings, attended also by the deputy chairmen, were held in Washington on May 23-24 and December 2-3, 1982. The Executive Committee of the Conference of Chairmen during 1982 comprised John Sagan, Chairman, William A. Fickling, Vice Chairman, and Paul H. Henson, member. On December 2, 1982, Robert P. Henderson was elected chairman of the conference and of its Executive Committee to serve for the succeeding year; William G. Phillips was elected vice chairman of the conference and a member of the Executive Committee; and Steven Muller was elected as the other member of the Executive Committee. The presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks are organized into a Conference of Presidents that meets periodically to consider matters of common interest and to consult and advise the Board of Governors. At a meeting held September 14-15, 1981, Lawrence K. Roos, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, was elected Chairman, and Anthony M. Solomon, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, was elected Vice Chairman for 1982. Lynn A. David of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis was appointed Secretary, and Thomas J. Campbell of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York was appointed Assistant Secretary. Bradley K. Sabel of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York replaced Mr. Campbell as Assistant Secretary on October 6, 1982. Directories and Meetings Conference of First Vice Presidents The Conference of First Vice Presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks was organized in 1969 to meet periodically for the consideration of operational and other matters. On October 8, 1981, Donald W. Moriarty, Jr., First Vice President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, was elected Chairman, and Thomas M. Timlen, First Vice President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, was elected Vice Chairman of the conference for 1982. Lynn A. David and Thomas J. Campbell were appointed Secretary and Assistant Secretary respectively. Mr. Campbell was replaced by Bradley K. Sabel on October 6, 1982. Directors Class A and Class B directors are elected by the member banks of a Federal Reserve District. Class C directors are appointed by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. One term in each class of directors expires each 259 year. Directors are chosen without discrimination as to race, creed, color, sex, or national origin. The Class A directors are chosen as representatives of member banks and, as a matter of practice, are active officers of member banks. Class B and Class C directors represent the public and are selected with due, but not exclusive, consideration to the interests of agriculture, commerce, industry, services, labor, and consumers. Class B and Class C directors may not be officers, directors, or employees of any bank, nor may Class C directors be stockholders of any bank. Annually, the Board of Governors designates one Class C director of each Reserve Bank to serve as chairman of the Bank and one to serve as deputy chairman. Branches of Federal Reserve Banks have either five or seven directors, of whom a majority are appointed by the board of directors of the parent Federal Reserve Bank. The others are appointed by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The chairmen of branch boards are selected from among directors appointed by the Board of Governors. District 1—BOSTON Term expires Dec. 31 Class A H. Alan Timm President, Bank of Maine, N.A., Augusta, Maine Henry S. Woodbridge, Jr..Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Rhode Island Hospital Trust National Bank, Providence, Rhode Island James Stokes Hatch President and Chief Executive Officer, The Canaan National Bank, Canaan, Connecticut 1982 1983 1984 Class B Carol R. Goldberg Senior Vice President, The Stop & Shop Companies, Inc., Boston, Massachusetts Joseph A. Baute Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Markem Corporation, Keene, New Hampshire George N. Hatsopoulos....President, Thermo Electron Company, Waltham, Massachusetts 1982 1983 1984 260 Directories and Meetings Class C Thomas I. Atkins Michael J. Harrington Robert P. Henderson Term expires Dec. 31 General Counsel, National Association for the Advancement of Colored People, New York, New York Harrington Company, Peabody, Massachusetts Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Itek Corporation, Lexington, Massachusetts .... 1982 1983 1984 District 2—NEW Y O R K Class A Gordon T. Wallis Peter D. Kiernan Robert A. Rough Chairman of the Board, Irving Trust Company, New York, New York Chairman and President, Norstar Bancorp Inc., Albany, New York President, The National Bank of Sussex County, Branchville, New Jersey 1982 1983 1984 Class B William S. Cook President, Union Pacific Corporation, New York, New York John R. Opel President and Chief Executive Officer, International Business Machines Corporation, Armonk, New York Edward L. Hennessy, Jr. ..Chairman of the Board, Allied Chemical Corporation , Morristown, New Jersey 1982 1983 1984 Class C Boris Yavitz Paul Garrett Professor of Public Policy and Business Responsibility, Columbia University, New York, New York Robert H. Knight Senior Partner, Shearman and Sterling, Attorneys, New York, New York Gertrude G. Michelson ....Senior Vice President, R.H. Macy & Company, Inc., New York, New York 1982 1983 1984 BUFFALO BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank M. Jane Dickman Partner, Touche Ross & Co., Buffalo, New York Arthur M. Richardson Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Security Trust Company, Rochester, New York Carl F. Ulmer President, The Evans National Bank of Angola, Angola, New York Edward W. Duffy Chairman of the Board, Marine Midland Bank, N.A., Buffalo, New York Appointed by Board of Governors Frederick D. Berkeley III .Chairman of the Board and President, Graham Manufacturing Company, Inc., Batavia, New York 1982 1982 1983 1984 1982 Directories and Meetings John R. Burwell George L. Wessel President, Rollins Container Corporation, Rochester, New York President, Buffalo AFL/CIO Council, Buffalo, New York 261 Term expires Dec. 31 1983 1984 District 3—PHILADELPHIA Class A Donald J. Seebold President, The First National Bank of Danville, Danville, Pennsylvania Roger S. Hillas Chairman and President, Provident National Bank, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Douglas Eugene Johnson..President, Ocean County National Bank, Point Pleasant Beach, New Jersey Class B Eberhard Faber, IV Harry A. Jensen Richard P. Hauser Class C Jean A. Crockett Robert M. Landis George E. Bartol III Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Eberhard Faber, Inc., Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania President and Chief Executive Officer, Armstrong World Industries, Inc., Lancaster, Pennsylvania Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, John Wanamaker, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania... Chairman, Department of Finance, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Partner, Dechert Price & Rhoads, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Chairman of the Board, Hunt Manufacturing Company, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 District 4—CLEVELAND Class A John W. Alford J. David Barnes Raymond D. Campbell Class B John W. Kessler E. Mandell de Windt Richard D. Hannan Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, The Park National Bank, Newark, Ohio Chairman of the Board, Mellon Bank, N.A., Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Director, The Oberlin Savings Bank Co., Oberlin, Ohio President, John W. Kessler Company, Columbus, Ohio Chairman of the Board, Eaton Corporation, Cleveland, Ohio Chairman of the Board and President, Mercury Instruments, Inc., Cincinnati, Ohio... 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 262 Directories and Meetings Class C John D. Anderson William H. Knoell J.L. Jackson Term expires Dec. 31 Senior Partner, The Andersons, Maumee, Ohio President and Chief Executive Officer, Cyclops Corporation, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Executive Vice President and President, Coal Unit, Diamond Shamrock Corporation, Lexington, Kentucky 1982 1983 1984 CINCINNATI BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Oliver W. Birckhead Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, The Central Trust Company, N.A., Cincinnati, Ohio O.T. Dorton President, Citizens National Bank, Paintsville, Kentucky Richard Fitton President and Chief Executive Officer, First National Bank of Southwestern Ohio, Hamilton, Ohio Sherrill Cleland President, Marietta College, Marietta, Ohio. Appointed by Board of Governors Sister Grace Marie Hiltz...President, Sisters of Charity Health Care Systems, Inc., Cincinnati, Ohio Clifford R. Meyer Executive Vice President, Cincinnati Milacron Inc., Cincinnati, Ohio Don Ross Owner, Dunreath Farm, Lexington, Kentucky 1982 1983 1984 1984 1982 1983 1984 PITTSBURGH BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank William D. McKain President, Wheeling National Bank, Wheeling, West Virginia Ernest L. Lake President, The National Bank of North East, North East, Pennsylvania Robert C. Milsom President, Pittsburgh National Bank, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania James S. Pasman, Jr Executive Vice President of Finance, Aluminum Company of America, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Appointed by Board of Governors Robert S. Kaplan Dean, Graduate School of Industrial Administration, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Milton G. Hulme, Jr President and Chief Executive Officer, Mine Safety Appliances Company, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Quentin C. McKenna President and Chief Executive Officer, Kennametal Inc., Latrobe, Pennsylvania 1982 1983 1984 1984 1982 1983 1984 Directories and Meetings 263 Term expires District 5—RICHMOND Class A William M. Dickson J. Banks Scarborough Joseph A. Jennings Class B James A. Chapman, Jr Leon A. Dunn, Jr Paul G. Miller Class C Paul E. Reichardt Steven Muller William S. Lee III President and Senior Trust Officer, The First National Bank in Ronceverte, Ronceverte, West Virginia Chairman and President, Pee Dee State Bank, Timmonsville, South Carolina Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, United Virginia Bankshares Inc. and United Virginia Bank, Richmond, Virginia Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Inman Mills, Inman, South Carolina Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Guardian Corporation and Subsidiaries, Rocky Mount, North Carolina Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Commercial Credit Company, Baltimore, Maryland Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Washington Gas Light Company, Washington, D.C President, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Duke Power Company, Charlotte, North Carolina Dec. 31 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 BALTIMORE BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Hugh D. Shires Senior Vice President, First National Bank of Maryland, Cumberland, Maryland A.R. Reppert President, The Union National Bank of Clarksburg, Clarksburg, West Virginia Joseph M. Gough, Jr President, The First National Bank of St. Mary's, Leonardtown, Maryland Pearl C. Brackett Deputy Manager, Baltimore Regional Chapter of the American Red Cross, Baltimore, Maryland Appointed by Board of Governors Edward H. Co veil Vice President for Governmental and Industry Affairs, Country Pride Foods Limited, Easton, Maryland Robert L. Tate Chairman, Tate Industries, Baltimore, Maryland 1982 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 264 Directories and Meetings Thomas H. Maddux Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, Easco Corporation, Baltimore, Maryland Term expires Dec. 31 1984 CHARLOTTE BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank W.B. Apple, Jr President, First National Bank of Reidsville, Reidsville, North Carolina Marvin D. Trapp President and Chief Executive Officer, The National Bank of South Carolina, Sumter, South Carolina Nicholas W. Mitchell Chairman of the Board, Piedmont Federal Savings and Loan Association, WinstonSalem, North Carolina Hugh M. Chapman Chairman of the Board, The Citizens & Southern National Bank of South Carolina, Columbia, South Carolina Appointed by Board of Governors Naomi G. Albanese Dean, School of Home Economics, University of North Carolina at Greensboro, Greensboro, North Carolina Wallace J. Jorgenson President, Jefferson-Pilot Broadcasting Co., Charlotte, North Carolina Henry Ponder President, Benedict College, Columbia, South Carolina . 1982 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 District 6—ATLANTA Class A Dan B. Andrews Hugh M. Willson Guy W. Botts Class B Jean McArthur Davis Harold B. Blach, Jr Horatio C. Thompson Class C John H. Weitnauer, Jr William A. Fickling, Jr Jane C. Cousins President, First National Bank, Dickson, Tennessee President, Citizens National Bank, Athens, Tennessee Chairman of the Board, Barnett Banks of Florida, Inc., Jacksonville, Florida President, McArthur Dairy, Inc., Miami, Florida President, Blach's Inc., Birmingham, Alabama President, Horatio Thompson Investment, Inc., Baton Rouge, Louisiana Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Richway, Atlanta, Georgia Chairman and Chief Executive, Charter Medical Corporation, Macon, Georgia President and Chief Executive Officer, Merrill Lynch Realty/Cousins, Miami, Florida 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 Directories and Meetings BIRMINGHAM BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank C. Gordon Jones President and Chief Executive Officer, First National Bank of Decatur, Decatur, Alabama Martha A. Mclnnis Executive Vice President, Alabama Environmental Quality Association, Montgomery, Alabama Henry A. Leslie President and Chief Executive Officer, Union Bank and Trust Company, Montgomery, Alabama William M. Schroeder Chairman and President, Central State Bank, Calera, Alabama Appointed by Board of Governors William H. Martin III President and Chief Executive Officer, Martin Industries, Inc., Florence, Alabama Samuel R. Hill, Jr President, University of Alabama in Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama Louis J. Willie Executive Vice President, Booker T. Washington Insurance Co., Birmingham, Alabama 265 Term expires Dec - 31 1982 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 JACKSONVILLE BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Whitfield M. Palmer, Jr. ..Chairman, Mid-Florida Mining Company, Ocala, Florida Billy J. Walker President, Atlantic Bancorporation, Jacksonville, Florida Gordon W. Campbell President and Chief Executive Officer, Exchange Bancorporation, Inc., Tampa, Florida Lewis A. Doman President, The Citizens and Peoples National Bank, Pensacola, Florida Appointed by Board of Governors Copeland D. Newbern Chairman of the Board, Newbern Groves, Inc., Tampa, Florida Joan W. Stein Chairman, Regency Square Properties, Inc., Jacksonville, Florida Jerome P. Keuper President, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, Florida 1982 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 MIAMI BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank M.G. Sanchez President and Chief Executive Officer, First Bankers Corporation of Florida, Pompano Beach, Florida Daniel S. Goodrum Senior Executive Vice President, Sun Banks of Florida, Ft. Lauderdale, Florida 1982 1983 266 Directories and Meetings E. Llwyd Ecclestone, Jr. ..President and Chief Executive Officer, National Investment Co., West Palm Beach, Florida Stephen G. Zahorian President, Barnett Bank of Fort Myers, N.A., Fort Myers, Florida Appointed by Board of Governors Sue McCourt Cobb Attorney, Greenberg, Traurig, Askew, Hoffman, Lipoff, Quentel, and Wolff, P.A., Miami, Florida Eugene E. Cohen Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Coconut Grove, Florida Roy Vandegrift, Jr President, Vandegrift-Williams Farms, Inc., Pahokee, Florida Term expires Dec. 31 1984 1984 1982 1983 1984 NASHVILLE BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Charles J. Kane Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Third National Bank in Nashville, Nashville, Tennessee John R. King President, The Mason and Dixon Lines, Inc., Kingsport, Tennessee James F. Smith, Jr Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Park National Bank, Knoxville, Tennessee Michael T. Christian President and Chief Executive Officer, First National Bank of Greeneville, Greeneville, Tennessee Appointed by Board of Governors Cecelia Adkins Executive Director, Sunday School Publishing Board, Nashville, Tennessee Robert C.H. Mathews, Jr. Managing General Partner, R.C. Mathews, Contractor, Nashville, Tennessee C. Warren Neel Dean, College of Business Administration, The University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee 1982 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 NEW ORLEANS BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Patrick A. Delaney Chairman and President, Whitney National Bank of New Orleans, New Orleans, Louisiana Ben M. Radcliff President, Ben M. Radcliff Contractor, Inc., Mobile, Alabama Paul W. McMullan Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, First Mississippi National Bank, Hattiesburg, Mississippi Jerry W. Brents President and Chief Executive Officer, First National Bank, Lafayette, Louisiana 1982 1982 1983 1984 Directories and Meetings Appointed by Board of Governors Sharon A. Perlis Attorney, Metairie, Louisiana Leslie B. Lampton President, Ergon, Inc., Jackson, Mississippi . Roosevelt Steptoe Professor, Southern University, Baton Rouge Campus, Baton Rouge, Louisiana 267 Term expires Dec. 31 1982 1983 1984 District 7—CHICAGO Class A Patrick E. McNarny Ollie Jay Tomson Roger E. Anderson Class B Mary Garst Leon T. Kendall Dennis W. Hunt Class C Stanton R. Cook John Sagan Edward F. Brabec President, First National Bank of Logansport, Logansport, Indiana President, The Citizens National Bank of Charles City, Charles City, Iowa Chairman of the Board, Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust Company of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois Manager of Cattle Division, Garst Company, Coon Rapids, Iowa Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corp., Milwaukee, Wisconsin President, Hunt Truck Lines, Inc., Rockwell City, Iowa President, Tribune Company, Chicago, Illinois Vice President-Treasurer, Ford Motor Company, Dearborn, Michigan Business Manager, Chicago Journeymen Plumbers, Local Union 130, U. A., Chicago, Illinois 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 DETROIT BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Dean E. Richardson Chairman, Manufacturers National Bank of Detroit, Detroit, Michigan Lawrence A. Johns President, Isabella Bank and Trust, Mount Pleasant, Michigan James H. Duncan Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, First American Bank Corporation, Kalamazoo, Michigan Thomas R. Ricketts Chairman and President, Standard Federal Savings and Loan Association, Troy, Michigan 1984 Appointed by Board of Governors Russell G. Mawby President and Trustee, W.K. Kellogg Foundation, Battle Creek, Michigan 1982 1982 1983 1984 268 Directories and Meetings Karl D. Gregory Robert E. Brewer Professor; Management and Economic Consultant, School of Economics and Management, Oakland University, Rochester, Michigan Executive Vice President, Finance, K Mart Corporation, Troy, Michigan Term expires Dec. 31 1983 1984 District 8—ST. LOUIS Class A Donald L. Hunt Clarence C. Barksdale George M. Ryrie Class B Mary P. Holt Frank A. Jones, Jr Jesse M. Shaver Class C Armand C. Stalnaker Vacancy W.L. Hadley Griffin President, First National Bank of Marissa, Marissa, Illinois Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Centerre Bank National Association, St. Louis, Missouri President, First National Bank & Trust Co., Alton, Illinois President, Clothes Horse, Little Rock, Arkansas President, Dietz Forge Company, Memphis, Tennessee Consultant, Allis-Chalmers Corporation, Louisville, Kentucky Chairman of the Board, General American Life Insurance Co., St. Louis, Missouri.... Chairman of the Board, Brown Group, Inc., St. Louis, Missouri 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 LITTLE ROCK BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank William H. Bowen Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, The Commercial National Bank of Little Rock, Little Rock, Arkansas William H. Kennedy, Jr. ..Chairman of the Board, National Bank of Commerce of Pine Bluff, Pine Bluff, Arkansas Gordon E. Parker Chairman of the Board and President, The First National Bank of El Dorado, El Dorado, Arkansas Shirley J. Pine Department of Communicative Disorders, University of Arkansas at Little Rock, Little Rock, Arkansas Appointed by Board of Governors E. Ray Kemp, Jr Vice Chairman of the Board and Chief Administrative Officer, Dillard Department Stores, Inc., Little Rock, Arkansas 1982 1983 1984 1984 1982 Directories and Meetings Richard V. Warner Sheffield Nelson Group Vice President, Wood Products Group, Potlatch Corporation, Warren, Arkansas .. Chairman of the Board, President, and Chief Executive Officer, Arkla, Inc., Little Rock, Arkansas 269 Term expires Dec - $1 1983 1984 LOUISVILLE BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Howard Brenner Vice Chairman of the Board, Tell City National Bank, Tell City, Indiana Frank B. Hower, Jr Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Liberty National Bank and Trust Company, Louisville, Kentucky R.I. Kerr, Jr President and Managing Officer, Greater Louisville First Federal Savings and Loan Association, Louisville, Kentucky John E. Darnell, Jr Chairman of the Board, President, and Chief Executive Officer, The Owensboro National Bank, Owensboro, Kentucky Appointed by Board of Governors James F. Thompson Professor of Economics, Murray State University, Murray, Kentucky William C. Ballard, Jr Executive Vice President-Finance and Administration, Humana, Inc., Louisville, Kentucky Sister Eileen M. Egan President, Spalding College, Louisville, Kentucky 1982 1983 1984 1984 1982 1983 1984 MEMPHIS BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Earl L. McCarroll President, The Farmers Bank & Trust Co., Blytheville, Arkansas Wayne W. Pyeatt President, Memphis Fire Insurance Company, Memphis, Tennessee Edgar H. Bailey Chairman and President, Leader Federal Savings and Loan Association, Memphis, Tennessee William M. Matthews, Jr. .Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Union Planters National Bank of Memphis, Memphis, Tennessee Appointed by Board of Governors Patricia W. Shaw Executive Vice President, Universal Life Insurance Company, Memphis, Tennessee... Donald B. Weis President, Tamak Transportation Corp., West Memphis, Arkansas G. Rives Neblett Attorney, Neblett, Bobo & Chapman, Shelby, Mississippi 1982 1983 1984 1984 1982 1983 1984 270 Directories and Meetings District 9—MINNEAPOLIS Class A Henry N. Ness Vern A. Marquardt Dale W. Fern Class B Joe F. Kirby Harold F. Zigmund William L. Mathers Senior Vice President, The Fargo National Bank, Fargo, North Dakota President, Commercial National Bank of L'Anse, L'Anse, Michigan President and Chairman of the Board, The First National Bank of Baldwin, Wisconsin, Baldwin, Wisconsin Chairman, Western Surety Company, Sioux Falls, South Dakota President and Chief Executive Officer, Blandin Paper Company, Grand Rapids, Minnesota President, Mathers Land Co., Inc., Miles City, Montana Class C Sister Generose Gervais ...Administrator, St. Mary's Hospital, Rochester, Minnesota William G. Phillips Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, International Multifoods, Minneapolis, Minnesota John B. Davis, Jr President, Macalester College, St. Paul, Minnesota •. Term expires Dec. 31 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 1982 1984 1984 HELENA BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Jase O. Norsworthy President, The N.R.G. Company, Billings, Montana Harry W. Newlon President, First National Bank, Bozeman, Montana Roger H. Ulrich President, The First State Bank of Malta, Malta, Montana Appointed by Board of Governors Ernest B. Corrick Vice President and General Manager, Champion International Corporation, Timberlands-Rocky Mountain Operation, Missoula, Montana Gene J. Etchart Past President, Hinsdale Livestock Company, Glasgow, Montana 1982 1982 1983 1982 1983 District 10—KANSAS CITY Class A Howard K. Loomis Wayne D. Angell President, The Peoples Bank, Pratt, Kansas. President, Council Grove National Bank, Ottawa, Kansas 1982 1983 Directories and Meetings John D. Woods Class B Charles C. Gates James G. Harlow, Jr Duane Acker Class C Paul H. Henson John F. Anderson Doris M. Drury Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, The Omaha National Bank, Omaha, Nebraska President and Chairman of the Board, Gates Rubber Company, Denver, Colorado President and Chief Executive Officer, Oklahoma Gas and Electric Co., Oklahoma City, Oklahoma President, Kansas State University, Manhattan, Kansas Chairman, United Telecommunications, Inc., Kansas City, Missouri President and Chief Executive Officer, Farmland Industries, Inc., Kansas City, Missouri Professor of Economics; Director of Public Affairs Program, University of Denver, Englewood, Colorado 271 Term expires Dec - 31 1984 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 DENVER BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Delano E. Scott President and Chairman, The Routt County National Bank of Steamboat Springs, Steamboat Springs, Colorado George S. Jenks Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Albuquerque National Bank, Albuquerque, New Mexico Kenneth C. Naramore President, Stockmen's Bank & Trust Company, Gillette, Wyoming Donald D. Hoffman Chairman, Central Bank of Denver, Denver, Colorado Appointed by Board of Governors Alvin F. Grospiron Denver, Colorado Ralph F. Cox Executive Vice President and Director, Atlantic Richfield Company, Denver, Colorado James E. Nielson President and Chief Executive Officer, J.N., Inc., Cody, Wyoming 1982 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 OKLAHOMA CITY BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Marcus R. Tower Vice Chairman of the Board; Chairman of the Credit Policy Committee, Bank of Oklahoma, Tulsa, Oklahoma W.L. Stephenson, Jr Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Central National Bank and Trust Company, Enid, Oklahoma 1982 1982 272 Directories and Meetings William H. Crawford President and Chief Executive Officer, First National Bank and Trust Company, Frederick, Oklahoma Appointed by Board of Governors Samuel R. Noble Chairman of the Board, Noble Affiliates, Inc., Ardmore, Oklahoma Christine H. Anthony Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Term expires Dec - 31 1983 1982 1983 OMAHA BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Donald J. Murphy Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, United States National Bank of Omaha, Omaha, Nebraska Joseph J. Huckfeldt President, Gering National Bank and Trust Company, Gering, Nebraska William W. Cook, Jr President, Beatrice National Bank and Trust Company, Beatrice, Nebraska Appointed by Board of Governors Robert G. Lueder President, Lueder Construction Company, Omaha, Nebraska Gretchen S. Velde Chairman of the Board, Swanson Enterprises, Inc., Omaha, Nebraska 1982 1983 1983 1982 1983 District 11—DALLAS Class A John P. Gilliam Miles D. Wilson Lewis H. Bond Class B Robert D. Rogers Kent Gilbreath J. Wayland Bennett President and Chief Executive Officer, First National Bank in Valley Mills, Valley Mills, Texas Chairman of the Board and President, The First National Bank of Bellville, Bellville, Texas Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Texas American Bancshares Inc., Ft. Worth, Texas President, Texas Industries, Inc., Dallas, Texas Associate Dean, Hankamer School of Business, Baylor University, Waco, Texas Professor of Agricultural Finance and Associate Dean, College of Agricultural Sciences, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, Texas 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 Directories and Meetings Class C Margaret S. Wilson John V. James Gerald D. Hines 273 Term expires Dec. 31 Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Scarbroughs Stores, Austin, Texas Chairman of the Board, Dresser Industries, Inc., Dallas, Texas Owner, Gerald D. Hines Interests, Houston, Texas 1982 1983 1984 EL PASO BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Stanley J. Jarmiolowski ....Chairman of the Board and President, First International Bank in El Paso, N. A., El Paso, Texas Claude E. Leyendecker... .President, Mimbres Valley Bank, Deming, New Mexico Ernest M. Schur Chairman of the Executive Committee, The First National Bank of Odessa, Odessa, Texas Gerald W. Thomas President, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, New Mexico Appointed by Board of Governors A.J. Losee Shareholder, Losee, Carson, & Dickerson, Professional Association, Artesia, New Mexico Chester J. Kesey C.J. Kesey Enterprises, Pecos, Texas Mary Carmen Saucedo Associate Superintendent, Central Area, El Paso Independent School District, El Paso, Texas 1982 1983 1984 1984 1982 1983 1984 HOUSTON BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Will E. Wilson Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, First Security Bank of Beaumont, N.A., Beaumont, Texas Raymond L. Britton Labor Arbitrator, and Professor of Law, University of Houston, Houston, Texas Ralph E. David President, First Freeport National Bank, Freeport, Texas Thomas B. McDade Vice Chairman, Texas Commerce Baneshares, Inc., Houston, Texas Appointed by Board of Governors Jerome L. Howard Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Mortgage & Trust, Inc., Houston, Texas 1982 1983 1984 1984 1982 274 Directories and Meetings Paul N. Howell George V. Smith, Sr Chairman of the Board and President, Howell Corporation, Houston, Texas President, Smith Pipe & Supply, Inc., Houston, Texas Term expires Dec - 31 1983 1984 SAN ANTONIO BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank George Brannies Chairman of the Board and President, The Mason National Bank, Mason, Texas John H. Garner President and Chief Executive Officer, Corpus Christi National Bank, Corpus Christi, Texas Charles E. Cheever, Jr President, Broadway National Bank, San Antonio, Texas Joe D. Barbee President and Chief Executive Officer, Barbee-Neuhaus Implement Company, Weslaco, Texas Appointed by Board of Governors Pat Legan Owner, Legan Properties, San Antonio, Texas Lawrence L. Crum Professor of Banking and Finance, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas.. Carlos A. Zuniga Partner, Zuniga Freight Services, Inc., Laredo, Texas 1982 1983 1984 1984 1982 1983 1984 District 12—SAN FRANCISCO Class A Frederick G. Larkin, Jr. ...Chairman of the Executive Committee, Security Pacific National Bank, Los Angeles, California Ole R. Mettler President and Chairman, Farmers & Merchants Bank of Central California, Lodi, California Robert A. Young Chairman and President, Northwest National Bank, Vancouver, Washington 1982 1983 1984 Class B Clair L. Peck, Jr Chairman of the Board, C.L. Peck Contractor, Los Angeles, California J.R. Vaughan Senior Member, Richards, Watson, Dreyfuss & Gershon, Los Angeles, California George H. Weyerhauser...President and Chief Executive Officer, Weyerhauser Company, Tacoma, Washington . Class C Caroline L. Ahmanson Chairman of the Board, Caroline Leonetti, Ltd., Hollywood, California 1982 1983 1984 1982 Directories and Meetings Fred W. Andrew Alan C. Furth President and Chief, Operating Officer, Superior Farming Company, Bakersfield, California President, Southern Pacific Company, San Francisco, California 275 Term expires Dec. 31 1983 1984 LOS ANGELES BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Bram Goldsmith Chairman of the Board, City National Bank, Beverly Hills, California William L. Tooley Managing Partner, Tooley and Company, Investment Builders, Los Angeles, California James D. McMahon President, Santa Clarita National Bank, Valencia, California Robert R. Dockson Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, California Federal Savings, Los Angeles, California Appointed by Board of Governors Togo W. Tanaka President, Gramercy Enterprises, Los Angeles, California Lola M. McAlpin-Grant ...Assistant Dean, Loyola Law School, Los Angeles, California Bruce M. Schwaegler President, Bullock's-Bullocks Wilshire, Los Angeles, California 1982 1982 1983 1984 1982 1983 1984 PORTLAND BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Herman C. Bradley, Jr President and Chief Executive Officer, TriCounty Banking Company, Junction City, Oregon William S. Naito Vice President, Norcrest China Company, Portland, Oregon Jack W. Gustavel President and Chief Executive Officer, The First National Bank of North Idaho, Coeur d'Alene, Idaho John A. Elorriaga Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, United States National Bank of Oregon, Portland, Oregon Appointed by Board of Governors Phillip W. Schneider Former Northwest Regional Executive, National Wildlife Federation, Portland, Oregon John C. Hampton Chairman and President, Willamina Lumber Company, Portland, Oregon Carolyn S. Chambers Executive Vice President and Treasurer, Liberty Communications, Inc., Eugene, Oregon 1982 1983 1984 1984 1982 1983 1984 276 Directories and Meetings SALT LAKE CITY BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Fred H. Stringham President, Valley Bank and Trust Company, South Salt Lake, Utah Albert C. Gianoli President and Chairman of the Board, First National Bank of Ely, Ely, Nevada Spencer F. Eccles President and Chief Executive Officer, First Security Corporation, Salt Lake City, Utah Lela M. Ence Executive Director, University of Utah Alumni Association, Salt Lake City, Utah Appointed by Board of Governors Robert A. Erkins Geothermal Agri/Aquaculturist, White Arrow Ranch, Bliss, Idaho J.L. Terteling President,TheTertelingCompany, Inc.,Boise, Idaho Wendell J. Ashton Publisher, Deseret News, Salt Lake City, Utah Term expires Dec. 31 1982 1983 1984 1984 1982 1983 1984 SEATTLE BRANCH Appointed by Federal Reserve Bank Donald L. Mellish Chairman of the Board, National Bank of Alaska, Anchorage, Alaska Lonnie G. Bailey Chief Operating Officer and Executive Vice President, Farmers & Merchants Bank of Rockford, Spokane, Washington John N. Nordstrom Co-Chairman of the Board, Nordstrom, Inc., Seattle, Washington, G. Robert Truex, Jr Chairman, Rainier Bancorporation and Rainier National Bank, Seattle, Washington .... Appointed by Board of Governors Merle D. Adlum President, Puget Sound District Council, Maritime Trades Department, AFL/CIO, Seattle, Washington Virginia L. Parks Vice President for Finance, and Treasurer, Seattle University, Seattle, Washington John W. Ellis President and Chief Executive Officer, Puget Sound Power & Light Company, Bellevue, Washington 1982 1983 1984 1984 1982 1983 1984 Index 279 Index Acceptances, bankers {See Bankers acceptances) Administrative Procedure Act, 165 Assets and liabilities Banks, by class, 233 Board of Governors, 202 Federal Reserve Banks, 208-13 Balance of payments, review of 1982, 24-29 Bank capital, definition, 174 Bank holding companies Control of, changes, 179-80 Equity investments, acquisitions by, 73 Examination, inspection, and regulation, 171-83 International banking operations, 65-66, 172, 180 Litigation, 161-63 Number and assets, 171 Regulation Y {See Regulations) Stock repurchases, 184 Bank Holding Company Act, 73, 166, 167, 169, 177, 178, 181 Bank mergers and consolidations, 178-79, 182, 240-48 Bankers acceptances Authority to purchase and enter into repurchase agreements, 79-80 Collateral in stock lending and borrowing transactions, 69 Federal Reserve Banks Earnings, 198, 199, 218 Holdings, 198, 199, 208, 210, 212 Legislation enacted, 167 Open market transactions, 214 Repurchase agreements, 208, 210, 212, 214 Banking offices, changes in number, 238 Banking supervision and regulation by Federal Reserve System, 171-87 Board of Governors {See also Federal Reserve System) Consumer Advisory Council, 157, 256 Delegated authority, 178, 181, 184 Board of Governors— Continued Financial statements, 201-06 Interpretations {See Interpretations) Legislation recommended, 156 Litigation, 161-66 Members and officers, 252 Policy actions and statements, 59-78 Publications {See Publications) Regulations {See Regulations) Regulatory improvement and simplification, 64, 147-50, 188-92 Salaries, 203 Training {See Training) Branch banks Changes in number, 239 Federal Reserve Bank premises, 198, 217 Directors, 259-76 Vice presidents in charge, 257 Foreign, of U.S. banking organizations, 172, 180 Foreign banks, 172 Capital, bank, definition, 174 Capital accounts Banks, by class, 233 Federal Reserve Banks, 209, 211, 213 Capital adequacy guidelines, 72, 73, 174, 175 Cash Discount Act, 157 Certificates of deposit, 67, 68, 69 Check clearing and collection {See Transfers of funds) Commercial banks Assets and liabilities, 233 Banking offices, changes in number, 238 Number, by class, 233 Supervision and regulation by Federal Reserve System, 171-87 Transfers of funds {See Transfers of funds) Community Reinvestment Act, 151, 158 Comptroller of the Currency, 72, 74 280 Index Condition statement of Federal Reserve Banks, 208-13 Consumer Advisory Council, 157, 256 Consumer and community affairs, 143-60 Consumer leasing, 146 Consumer survey, 147 Credit (See also Loans) Equal Credit Opportunity (See Equal Credit Opportunity) Stocks, 64, 69, 184-86 Truth in Lending (See Truth in Lending) Deposit Insurance Flexibility Act, 167 Depository Institution Management Interlocks Act of 1978, 66 Depository institutions Interest on deposits (See Interest on deposits) Legislation enacted, 168 Reserve requirements, 59-63, 227 Depository Institutions Act of 1982, 67 Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980, 62, 63, 67, 163, 188 Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee, 60, 63, 68, 168 Deposits Banks, by class, 233 Federal Reserve Banks, 209, 211, 213, 235, 237 Interest rates (See Interest on deposits) Reserve requirements (See Reserve requirements) Directors, Federal Reserve Banks and branches, 259-76 Discount rates at Federal Reserve Banks (See Interest rates) Discounts and advances (See Federal Reserve Banks) Dividends, Federal Reserve Banks, 197, 220, 223, 225 Earnings of Federal Reserve Banks (See Income of Federal Reserve Banks) Economy in 1982, 5-13 Educational activities, 177-78 Electronic fund transfers (See Transfers of funds) Equal Credit Opportunity Act, 156 Regulation B, 59, 145, 155, 190 Examinations and inspections Bank holding companies, 171 Federal Reserve Banks, 197 Improvements, 173-77 International activities, 172 Specialized, 172 Staff training, 177 State member banks, 171 Expenses Board of Governors, 201-06 Federal Reserve Banks, 197, 218, 222, 224 Export trading companies, 167, 181 Federal Advisory Council, 255 Federal agency securities Authority to purchase and enter into repurchase agreements, 79-81, 99, 134, 141 Federal Reserve Bank holdings and earnings, 198, 208, 210, 212, 216 Federal Reserve open market transactions, 214 Repurchase agreements, 208, 210, 212, 214, 216 Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, 68 Federal deposit insurance studies, 170 Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council, 150-51, 159, 176, 178 Federal Financing Bank, 80 Federal Home Loan Bank Board, 68 Federal Open Market Committee Audit of System Open Market Account, 197 Continuing authorizations, review, 98 Meetings, 79, 254 Members and officers, 254 Policy actions, 79-142 Federal Reserve Act, 67, 79, 168 Federal Reserve Agents, 257-58 Federal Reserve Banks Assessments for expenses of Board of Governors, 203, 220, 222, 224 Bank premises, 198, 208, 210, 212, 217 Branches (See Branch banks) Capital accounts, 209, 211, 213 Chairmen, deputy chairmen, 257, 258 Index Federal Reserve Banks— Continued Condition statement, 208-13 Delegated authority, 178, 181, 184 Directors, 259-76 Discounts and advances, 208, 210, 212, 218, 234, 236 Dividends, 197, 220, 223, 225 Examination or audit, 197 Income and expenses, 197, 218, 222, 224 Interest rates, 227 Officers and employees, number and salaries, 216 Operations, volume, 226 Presidents and vice presidents, 257 Pricing of System services and developments in payments mechanism, 193-97, 226 Profit and loss, 220 Securities and loans, holdings and earnings, 198 Training, 177-78 U.S. government securities (See U.S. government securities) Federal Reserve notes Condition statement data, 208-13 Cost of printing, issue, and redemption, 203 Interest paid to U.S. Treasury, 197, 220, 223, 225 Litigation, 166 Federal Reserve System (See also Board of Governors) Banking supervision and regulation by, 171-87 Consumer affairs (See Consumer and community affairs) Foreign currency operations (See Foreign currencies) Map of Federal Reserve Districts, 249 Membership, 62, 187 Pricing of System services and developments in payments mechanism, 193-97, 226 Training (See Training) Financial Institutions Regulatory and Interest Rate Control Act of 1978, 169 Financial Institutions Supervisory Act of 1966, 163, 177 281 Financial markets and monetary policy, 14-23 Financial Regulation Simplification Act of 1980, 188 Foreign banks, 62, 66, 69, 167, 172, 180 Foreign currencies Authorization and directive for operations, 79, 82-84, 98, 120 Federal Reserve earnings, 218 Review, 98 Foreign stocks, 65 Freedom of Information Act, 164 Futures commission merchants, 71 Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982, 61, 63, 67, 69, 144, 167-70 Glass-Steagall Act, 164, 166 Gold certificate accounts of Reserve Banks and gold stock, 208, 210, 211,212,213, 234, 236 Government in the Sunshine Act, 164 Home mortgage disclosure, 146, 150 Income of Federal Reserve Banks, 197, 218, 222, 224 Individual retirement accounts, 158 Insured commercial banks Assets and liabilities, 233 Banking offices, changes in number, 238 Interest on deposits (See also Interest rates) Maximum rates payable on time and savings deposits, table, 230 Regulation Q, 63, 67 Interest rates (See also Interest on deposits) Federal Reserve Banks Changes, 74-78 Table on rates, 227 Legislation enacted, 170 Interlocking relationships, 66, 70 International Banking Act of 1978, 66, 167 International banking facilities, 180 International banking operations, 65-66, 172, 180 International developments, review, 24-29 282 Index Interpretations, 59, 67, 68, 71, 145, 146 Investments Banks, by class, 233 Federal Reserve Banks, 208, 210, 212 Foreign, by U.S. banking organizations, 181 Labor market developments, 10 Leasing, consumer, 146 Legislation (See also specific act) Enacted, 167-70 Recommended, 156 Litigation Bank holding companies, 161-63 Board procedures and regulations, challenges, 163-66 Loans (See also Credit) Affiliates of member banks, legislation enacted, 168 Banks, by class, 233 Executive officers of member banks, 67, 169, 183 Federal Reserve Banks Discounts and advances, 208, 210, 212, 218, 234, 236 Holdings and earnings, 198, 218 Interest rates, 227 Volume, 208, 210, 212, 226, 234, 236 Margin requirements Securities credit, 64, 65, 69-70, 185 Table, 232 Member banks (See also National banks) Affiliates, legislation enacted, 168 Assets, liabilities, and capital accounts, 233 Banking offices, changes in number, 238 Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks (See Loans) Branches (See Branch banks) International banking operations, 65-66, 172, 180 Loans to executive officers, 67, 169 Number, 233 Reserve requirements (See Reserve requirements) Reserves and related items, 242-45 State member banks (See State member banks) Member banks—Continued Transfers of funds (See Transfers of funds) Mergers and consolidations, 178-79, 182, 240-48 Monetary Control Act (See Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980) Monetary policy Financial markets relative to, 14-23 Reports to Congress, 30-55 Review of 1982, 3-13 Money market deposits, 62, 63 Mortgage loans, 170 Mutual savings banks, 238 National banks (See also Member banks) Assets and liabilities, 233 Banking offices, changes in number, 238 Capital adequacy guidelines, 72, 73, 174, 175 Legislation enacted relating to, 168 Number, 233 Negotiable order of withdrawal accounts, 63, 69, 169 Nonmember depository institutions Assets and liabilities, 233 Banking offices, changes in number, 238 Number, 233 Over-the-counter stocks, 65, 185 Payments mechanism, developments, 193-97, 226 Policy actions Board of Governors Discount rates at Federal Reserve Banks, 74^78 Regulations (See Regulations) Statements and other actions, 59-78 Federal Open Market Committee Authority to effect transactions in System Open Market Account Domestic operations, 79-82, 85, 92, 99, 105, 114, 121, 128, 134, 141 Foreign currency operations, 79, 82-84, 98, 120 Review, 98 Index Presidents and vice presidents of Federal Reserve Banks Conference of Presidents and Conference of First Vice Presidents, 258, 259 List, 257 Salaries of presidents, 216 Prices, 12 Pricing of System services and developments in payments mechanism, 193-97, 226 Profit and loss, Federal Reserve Banks, 220 Publications Bank holding company and merger pamphlets, 182, 192 Consumer aids, 146 Examination manuals, 175, 176 Federal Reserve Regulatory Service, 192, 198 Regulations (See also Regulatory improvement and simplification) B, Equal Credit Opportunity, 59, 145, 155, 190 D, Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions, 59-63, 188 E, Electronic Fund Transfers, 63, 144, 151-54, 156, 190 G, Securities Credit by Persons Other than Banks, Brokers, or Dealers, 64, 191 H, Membership of State Banking Institutions in the Federal Reserve System, 192 J, Collection of Checks and Other Items and Wire Transfers of Funds, 188 K, International Banking Operations, 65, 189 L, Management Official Interlocks, 66 M, Consumer Leasing, 146 O, Loans to Executive Officers, Directors, and Principal Shareholders of Member Banks, 67 Q, Interest on Deposits, 63, 67, 69 T, Credit by Brokers and Dealers, 64, 69, 191 U, Credit by Banks for the Purpose of Purchasing or Carrying Margin Stocks, 64, 191 283 Regulations—Continued Y, Bank Holding Companies and Change in Bank Control, 70-71, 182, 189, 192 Z, Truth in Lending, 71-72, 144, 146, 154, 190 Regulatory improvement and simplification, 64, 147-50, 185, 188-92 Repurchase agreements Authority to purchase and to enter into, 79-81 Bankers acceptances, 79-80, 208, 210, 212, 214 Federal agency securities, 79-81, 208, 210, 212, 214, 216 Regulation Q, amendment, 67 Retail, examination guidelines for, 176 U.S. government securities, 79-81, 208, 210, 212, 214, 216, 234 Reserve requirements, depository institutions Changes, 59-63 Table, 227 Reserves and related items, 234-37 Retirement accounts, 158 Salaries Board of Governors, 203 Federal Reserve Banks, 216 Schools (See Training) Securities (See also specific types) Credit transactions, 64, 69, 184-86 Mandatory convertible securities, 72, 73, 175 Special drawing rights, 208, 210, 212, 234, 236 State member banks (See also Member banks) Applications by, 184 Assets and liabilities, 233 Banking offices, changes in number, 238 Control of, changes, 179-80 Examination, 171-77 Executive officers, loans to, 67, 169, 183 Financial disclosures, 183 Legislation enacted relating to, 168 Mergers and consolidations, 178, 179, 182, 240-48 Number, 171, 233 284 Index Stock index futures, 191 Stock market credit, 64, 69, 184-86 Supervision and regulation (See Banking supervision and regulation by Federal Reserve System) System Open Market Account Audit, 197 Authority to effect transactions Domestic operations, 79-82, 85, 92, 99, 105, 114, 121, 128, 134, 141 Foreign currency operations, 79, 82-84, 98, 120 Review, 98 Thrift Institutions Restructuring Act, 168 Training, 111-IS Transfers of funds Check collection, 188, 193 Electronic fund transfers, 63, 144, 151-54, 156, 190 Federal Reserve operations, volume, 226 Negotiable order of withdrawal accounts, 63, 69, 169 Transfers of funds—Continued Pricing of System services and developments in payments mechanism, 193-97, 226 Truth in Lending Act, 72, 145, 156, 157, 169 Regulation Z, 71-72, 144, 146, 154 U.S. balance of payments, review, 24-29 U.S. government securities Authority to buy, to enter into repurchase agreements, and to lend, 79-81, 99, 134, 141 Bank holdings, by class of bank, 233 Collateral in stock lending and borrowing transactions, 69 Federal Reserve Banks Authority to buy directly from U.S. Treasury, 80-81 Earnings, 198-99, 218 Holdings, 198-99, 208, 210, 212, 216, 234, 236 Open market transactions, 214 Repurchase agreements, 208, 210, 212, 214, 216, 234, 236 FRB 1—11,500—0483 C