The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
A M E R I C A ’S N E W B E G I N N I N G : A F E R P R O G R A M O R C O N O M IC E C O V E R Y F E B R U A R Y 18, 198 1 NOTICE Embargoed-for Wire Transmission Until 4:00 p.m. (E.S.T.) and Embargoed for Release Until 9:00 p.m. (E.S.T.) Wednesday, February 18,1981 The White House Office of the Press Secretory America’s New Beginning : A Program for Economic Recovery C o n te n ts I. II. P r e s id e n tia l M e s s a g e t o th e C o n g r e s s A W h ite H o u s e R e p o r t III. P r e s id e n t’ s B u d g e t R e f o r m P la n IV . P r e s id e n t’ s P r o p o s a ls fo r T a x R e d u c t io n I. P r e s id e n tia l M e s s a g e to th e C o n g r e s s THE W H IT E H OUSE W A S H IN G T O N F ebru ary TO THE CONGRESS I t I s w ith e v e n in g t o m ake ad d ress b r ie fly am p r o p o s i n g I n fo r ou r econom y. in n u m ber: OF THE U N IT E D 18, 1981 STATES: p le a s u r e th a t I ta k e th e o p p o r tu n ity t h is my f i r s t m a j o r a d d r e s s t o t h e C o n g r e s s . The d e s c r i b e s th e c o m p r e h e n s iv e p a c k a g e t h a t I o r d e r t o a c h ie v e a f u l l and v ig o r o u s r e c o v e r y T he k e y e le m e n ts o f t h a t p a c k a g e a r e fo u r A b u d g e t r e fo r m p la n F e d e r a l s p e n d in g ; to cut th e ra te o f g ro w th in A s e r i e s o f p r o p o s a l s t o r e d u c e p e r s o n a l in c o m e ta x r a te s by 10 p e rc e n t a y e a r o v e r th r e e y e a rs and fo r A to c r e a te jo b s by a c c e le r a t in g d e p r e c ia tio n b u s in e s s in v e s t m e n t in p la n t and e q u ip m e n t; fa r -r e a c h in g p rogram o f r e g u la to r y r e lie f; A n d , in c o o p e r a t io n w ith th e F e d e r a l R e se r v e B o a r d , a n ew c o m m itm e n t t o a m o n e t a r y p o l i c y t h a t w i l l r e s t o r e a s t a b le c u rre n c y and h e a lth y f in a n c i a l m a rk ets. Taken t o g e t h e r , I b e lie v e th e s e p r o p o s a ls w i l l p u t th e N a tio n on a fu n d a m e n ta lly d i f f e r e n t c o u r s e — a c o u r se le a d in g to o f le s s in fla tio n , our c itiz e n s . To a id th e m ore C on gress g ro w th , in and a c tin g a b r ig h te r p r o m p tly on fu tu re th e se fo r a ll p r o p o s a ls , I am t o d a y f o r w a r d i n g t h e a t t a c h e d d o c u m e n t s w h i c h d e s c r i b e t h e p r o g r a m i n g r e a t e r d e t a i l t h a n I c a n i n my a d d r e s s t o you. S p e c i f i c a l l y , y o u w i l l f i n d th e f o l l o w i n g d o c u m e n ts in t h i s p a c k a g e : (1 ) An e c o n o m ic r e p o r t — is s u e d a s a W h ite H ou se paper — t h a t o u t l i n e s a l l f o u r o f t h e e l e m e n t s i n my p rogram and s e t s f o r t h th e b a ck g ro u n d to th o s e e le m e n ts . th a t (2 ) has A le n g th y r e p o r t on been p rep a red by th e my i n i t i a l b u d g e t c u t p r o p o s a l s O f f i c e o f M anagem ent and B u d g e t. I t s h o u ld b e n o te d t h a t t h i s r e p o r t w i l l b e fo llo w e d b y a c o m p le te b u d g e t s u b m is s io n t o th e C o n g r e s s , a d d r e s s in g f i s c a l y e a r s 8 1 and 8 2 . T h a t r e p o r t w i l l b e s e n t t o you on M arch 1 0 t h . 2 (3 ) by th e A D e p a rtm e n t report o f th e on my p r o p o s a ls fo r ta x r e d u c tio n is s u e d T reasu ry. I t i s my h o p e t h a t t h i s c o m b i n a t i o n o f a llo w th e C o n g r e s s t o p r o c e e d in a c c o r d a n c e e s ta b lis h e d in t h e C o n g r e s s i o n a l B u d g e t A c t r a p id c o n s id e r a tio n o f t h is e n t ir e p ro gra m . tr a n s m itta ls w ill w ith t im e t a b le s and w i l l p e r m it My C a b i n e t a n d o t h e r m e m b e r s o f my A d m i n i s t r a t i o n h a v e w o r k e d i n t e n s i v e l y a n d c o o p e r a t i v e l y w i t h me i n d e v e l o p i n g t h i s p r o g r a m f o r e c o n o m ic r e c o v e r y . A l l o f u s a r e now e a g e r t o w ork w it h t h e C o n g r e s s a s p a r t n e r s in an u n d e r t a k in g t h a t i s v i t a l t o th e fu t u r e o f th e N a tio n . RONALD REAGAN II. A W h ite H o u s e R e p o r t CONTENTS I. II. A P ro g ra m fo r E c o n o m ic R e c o v e r y T h e T w in P r o b le m s o f H ig h I n fla tio n a n d S ta g n a n t G r o w t h III. S lo w in g th e G r o w t h o f G o v e r n m e n t S p e n d in g IV . R e d u c in g T a x B u rd e n s v. V I. V II. P r o v id in g R e g u la t o r y R e lie f C o n tr o llin g M o n e y a n d C r e d it A N ew B e g in n in g fo r th e E c o n o m y I. A Program for Economic Recovery T o d a y the Adm inistration is proposing a national recovery plan to reverse the debilitating com bination o f sustained inflation and econom ic distress which continues to face the Am erican econom y. W ere we to stay with existing policies, the results w ould b e readily predictable: governm ent presence unem ploym ent. in the econom y, m ore inflation, stagnating productivity, a rising and higher Indeed, there is reason to fear that i f we remain on this course, our econom y may suffer even more calam itously. T h e program w e have developed will break that cycle o f negative expectations. It w ill revitalize econ om ic growth, renew optim ism and confidence, and rekindle the N atio n ’s entrepreneurial instincts and creativity. T h e benefits to the average Am erican will be striking. Inflation — w hich is now at d ouble digit rates — will be cut in h a lf b y 1986. T h e Am erican econom y w ill prod u ce 13 m illion new jobs by 1986, nearly 3 m illion m ore than i f the status qu o in governm ent p olicy were to prevail. T he econ om y itself should break out o f its anemic grow th patterns to a m u ch m ore robust grow th trend o f 4 to 5 percent a year. T hese positive results w ill be accom plished sim ultaneously with reducing tax burdens, increasing private saving, and raising the living standard o f the Am erican fam ily. T h e plan is based on sound expenditure, tax, regulatory, an d m onetary policies. It seeks prop erly functioning m arkets, free play o f wages and prices, red u ced governm ent spending and borrow ing, a stable and reliable monetary fram ework, and reduced governm ent barriers to risk-taking and enterprise. T h is agenda for the future recognizes that sensible policies which are consistendy applied can release the strength o f the private sector, im prove econom ic growth, and reduce inflation. W e have forgotten som e important lessons in Am erica. inflation. Excessively rapid monetary grow th cannot lower govern m ent regulations d o not contribute to econom ic vitality. H igh taxes are not the rem edy for interest rates. W ell-intentioned In fact, governm ent spending has becom e so extensive that it contributes to the econom ic problem s it w as designed to cure. M ore govern m ent intervention in the econom y cannot possibly be a solution to ou r econom ic problem s. W e must rem em ber a sim ple truth. T he creativity and am bition o f the Am erican p eo p le are the vital forces o f econom ic growth. The m otivation and incentive o f o u r p eo p le — to supply new goods and services and earn additional income for their fam ilies — are the m ost precious resources o f our N atio n ’s econom y. T h e goal o f this Adm inistration is to nurture the strength and vitality o f the A m erican people b y reducing the burdensom e, intrusive role o f the F ed era l G overnm ent; b y lowering tax rates and cutting spending; and by providing incentives for ind ivid u als to work, to save, and to in v e st It is our basic b e lie f that only by reducing the grow th o f governm ent can we increase the grow th o f the econom y. T h e U .S. econom y faces no insurm ountable barriers to sustained growth. It confronts no perm anently disabling tradeoffs between inflation and unem ploym ent, betw een high interest rates and high taxes, or betw een recession and hyperinflation. W e can revive the incentives to w o rk and save. W e can restore the willingness to invest in the private capital required to acjhieve a steadily rising standard o f living. M ost important, we can regain our faith in the future. T he plan consists o f four parts: (1) a substantial reduction in the growth o f Federal expenditures; (2) a significant reduction in Federal tax rates; burdens; (3) prudent relief o f Federal regulatory and (4) a m onetary policy on the part o f the independent Federal Reserve System which is consistent with those policies. These four com plem entary policies fon n an integrated and com prehensive program . It should b e clear from the most cursory exam ination o f the econom ic program o f this Adm inistration that w e have m oved from m erely talking abou t the econom ic difficulties facing the A m erican people to taking the strong action necessary to turn the econom y around. T he leading edge o f our program is the com prehensive reduction in the rapid grow th o f Federal spending. As show n in detail below , our b udget restraint is m ore than "cosm etic" changes in the estim ates o f Federal expenditures. b u d g et reductions. But we have not adopted a sim ple-m inded "m eat ax" approach to Rather, a careful set o f guidelines has been used to identify lower-priority program s in virtually every departm ent and agency that can be elim inated, reduced, or postponed. The second elem ent o f the program, w hich is equally im portant and urgent, is the reduction in F ed eral personal incom e tax rates b y 10 percent a year for 3 years in a row. G o s e ly related to this is an incentive to greater investm ent in production and jo b creation via faster tax w rite-offs o f new factories and production eq u ip m en t The third key elem ent o f our econom ic expansion program is an am bitious reform o f regulations em p lo ym en t that w ill reduce the governm ent-im posed barriers to investm ent, production, and W e have suspended for 2 m onths the unprecedented flood o f last-minute rulem aking o n the part o f the previous Adm inistration. W e have elim inated the ineffective and counterproductive w age and price standards o f the C oun cil on W age and Price Stability, and we have taken other steps to elim inate governm ent interference in the marketplace. T he fourth aspect o f this com prehensive economic program is a m onetary policy to provide the financial environm ent consistent with a steady return to sustained growth and price stability. D uring th e first week o f this Adm inistration its com m itm ent to the historic independence o f the Federal R eserve System w as underscored. It is clear, o f course, that m onetary an d fiscal policy are closely interrelated. Success in one area can be m ade m ore difficult — or can be reinforced — b y the other. T h u s, a predictable and steady grow th in the m oney supply at more m odest levels than often experienced in the past w ill be a vital contribution to the achievem ent o f the econom ic goals d escribed in this R eport. T h e planned reduction and subsequent elim ination o f F ed eral deficit financing will h elp the Federal Reserve System perform its im portant role in achieving econom ic grow th and stability. T h e ultim ate im portance o f this program for sustained econom ic grow th will arise not only from th e positive effects o f the individual com ponents, im portant as they are. Rather, it w ill b e the dram atic im provem ent in the underlying econ om ic environm ent and outlook that will set a new and 2 m ore positive direction to econom ic decisions throughout th e economy. and high tax burdens w ill no longer be an overriding m otivation. Protection against inflation O n ce again econom ic choices — involving working, saving, and investm ent — will be based primarily on the prospect for real rewards for those productive activities which im prove the true econ om ic w ell-being o f our citizens. 3 II. The Twin Problems of High Inflation and Stagnant Growth T h e policies this Adm inistration is putting forw ard for urgent consideration b y the Congress are based o n the fact that this N ation now faces its m ost serious set o f econom ic problems since the 1930s. Inflation has grown from 1 to 1 -1/ 2 percent a year in the early 1960s to about 13 percent in the past 2 years; not since W orld W a r I have we had 2 years o f b ack -to -b a ck double digit inflation. A t the sam e time, the rate o f econom ic growth has b een slowing and the unem ploym ent rate creeping upward. Productivity growth — the m ost im portant single measure o f o u r ability to im prove our standard o f living — has been declining steadily for m ore than a decade! In the past 3 years our productivity actually fell. T h e m ost im portant cause o f our economic problem s has been the governm ent itself. Federal G overnm ent, through tax, lon g-term spending, regulatory, and m onetary growth and price stability for ephem eral short-term goals. The policies, has sacrificed In particular, excessive governm ent spending and overly accommodative m onetary policies h ave com bined to give us a climate o f continuing-inflation. T h a t inflation itse lf has helped to sap ou r prospects for growth. In addition, the grow ing w eight o f haphazard and inefficient regulation has weakened our productivity growth. High m arginal tax rates on business and individuals discourage work, innovation, and the investm ent necessary to im prove productivity and lon g-ru n growth. F in ally, the resulting stagnant growth contributes further to inflation in a vicious cycle that can only b e broken with a plan that attacks broadly on all fronts. T h e R o l e o f t h e G o v e r n m e n t in C a u s i n g I n f l a t i o n Surges o f inflation are not unusual in history; there were price explosions after b oth W orld Wars, as w ell as sm aller outbursts in the 1920s and late 1930s. Therefore, in spite o f the role played by food and energy prices in recent inflationary outbursts, it is m isleading to concentrate on these transitory factors as fundam ental causes o f the inflationary bias in the A m erican econom y. Even when prices in these m arkets have been stable, inflation has continued w ith little relief. W h a t is unusual about ou r recent history is the persistence o f inflation. Outbursts o f high inflation in the last 15 years have not been follow ed b y the custom ary price stability, but rather by long period s o f continued high inflation. our econ om y works. This persistence o f inflation has crucially affected the way People now believe inflation is "h ere to stay” ; they plan accordingly, thereby giving further m om entum to inflation. Since there are im portant long-term relationships betw een suppliers and custom ers and betw een workers an d m anagem ent, lon g-term contracts, som etim es unwritten, are often based on the view that inflation w ill p ersist T his robs the econom y o f flexibility which m igh t otherwise contribute to reducing inflation. T h e Federal G overnm en t has greatly contributed to the persistence o f high inflation. O verly stim ulative fiscal an d m onetary policies, on average, have financed excessive spending and thus pushed prices upw ard. Since governm ent accom m odation is w idely exp ected to continue, inflation has becom e em b ed d ed in the econom y. 4 W h en inflationary outbursts occur, policym akers all too often h ave made a quick turn toward restraint. Such turnabouts, how ever, have been short-lived and their tem porary nature has increasingly been anticipated by savers, investors, and workers. Subsequent declines in em ploym ent and growth inevitably call forth stim ulative policies before inflation can be brought under control. Such "sto p -a n d -g o " policies have on ly resulted in high er unem ploym ent and low er real growth. F inally, but equally im portant, governm ent policies have increased inflation by reducing the potential o f our econom y to grow — directly through the increasing burdens o f taxes and regulations, and indirectly through inflation itself. The result is a vicious circle. Its force can b e m easured b y the statistics o f our productivity slow dow n, but it is seen m ore dram atically in the anxiety and concern o f our people. G o v e r n m e n t C o n tr ib u t e s to th e P r o d u c tiv ity S lo w d o w n Productivity, popularly m easured as ou tpu t per w orker-hour, is an indicator o f the efficien cy o f the econ om y and consequently o f our ability to m aintain the rate o f im provem ent in ou r standard o f living. O v er the past 15 years, the rate o f productivity im provem ent has slowed, and now virtually halted. G overn m en t policies have been a m ajor contributor to the slow dow n but they can be an even more im portant contributor to the cure. T h e w eight o f regulation and the discouragem ent that results from h igh marginal tax burdens are key factors, but inflation itse lf also plays an im portant role. R educed capital form ation is the m ost im portant and visible, but not the only, channel b y w hich this occurs. R a te s o f G row th in th e C a p ita l-L a b o r R atio, P rod u ctivity, a n d R ea l N e t C a p ita l S to c k P e r c e n t An nuo l R o t e 6 4 2 0 -2 Capital-Labor Ratio Productivity Net Capital Stock Note: Capital-labor ratio is real net capital stock (gross stock less replacement requirements and pollution abatement expenditures) in the p-ivate business sector divided by employment. Productivity is output per hour of all persons in the private business sector. Source: Departments of Commerce and Labor and Council of Economic Advisers. 5 B y increasing uncertainty about the future, inflation discourages investors from undertaking projects that they w ould have considered profitable but w hich, with today’s inflationary environment, they consider too risky. Inflation also diverts funds from productive investments into hedging and speculation. Although recent statistics show that the share o f ou r econom y’s production devoted to investm ent is high by historic standards, the magnitude is illusory — an illusion fostered b y inflation. A ccelerating prices, and the high interest rates and shifting econom ic p o licy associated with them, have contributed to an unwillingness to m ake lon g-lived investments. A s a result, o u r stock o f productive plant and equipm en t depreciates faster, so that m ore investm ent is needed sim ply to stand still. T h e regulatory requirem ents im posed b y the governm ent have likew ise served to discourage investm ent by causing uncertainty in business decisionmaking. In addition, investm ents to m eet regulatory requirements h ave diverted capital from expanding productive capacity. S om e estimates have p u t regulation-related investment at m ore than 10 percent o f the total level o f business investm ent in recent years. T h e expanding intrusiveness o f the governm ent into the private sector also inhibits innovation and lim its the ability o f entrepreneurs to produce in the m ost efficient way. I n fla t io n , G r o w th , a n d th e T a x S y s t e m T h e role o f the tax system in reducing our past grow th, and its potential for im proving the prospects for future grow th, deserve special attention. B y reducing the incentives for investm ent and innovation, both b y individuals and b y businesses, the tax system has been a k ey cause o f our stagnation. Restoring the prop er incentives w ill m ake a m ajor contribution to the lo n g-ru n vitality o f our econom y. T h e progressivity o f the personal incom e tax system levies rising tax rates on additions to incom e that m erely keep pace with inflation. H ouseholds therefore fin d that even i f their gross incom es rise with inflation, their after-tax real income declines. Som e households respond to these high er m arginal tax burden s b y reducing their work e ffo r t "Bracket creep" also encourages taxpayers to seek out "tax shelters,” sources o f incom e that offer high er after-tax returns but n ot necessarily higher -before-tax returns than more productive sources, again contributing to econom ic inefficiency. In the last two decades the Congress has reduced personal incom e taxes seven times. Nevertheless, avera g e effective ta x rates a r e now about 3 0 p ercen t h igher than their m id -1960's low . (S ee C h a rt) M arginal tax rates have clim b ed in tandem w ith average rates. 6 E ffe c tiv e F e d e r a l P e r s o n a l Percent In c o m e T a x R a te s Note Federal personal taxes as a percent of taxable income Source: Department of Commerce and C o uncil of Economic A d v ise rs D ue to inflation, the rate o f return on corporate assets, after tax, and the lev el o f corporate earnings have been seriously eroded o v er the past decade a n d a half. T h a t was a m ajor factor stunting R a t e s o f R e tu rn o n C a p ita l Percent Note: Rates of return on net stocks oI reproducible capital lor nan-fmanctal corporations Source Departments of Commerce and Treasury 7 capital spending from what it otherwise would have b een. T he tax treatm ent o f depreciation has been an im portant contributor to this lowering o f returns. W e now allow w rite-offs at the cost o f purchase, rather than at more realistic prices. This creates phantom profits upon which taxes are paid. Finally, unless the Congress takes frequent actions to offset the revenue-generating effect o f inflation on the progressive personal tax system, the C on gress has available for spending unlegislated increases in funds. Inflation in tandem with the tax system thereby impairs the fiscal discipline o f the budget process an d facilitates high er levels o f governm ent spending than w ou ld result i f the Congress were forced to vote on each tax increase. This offers further encouragem ent to inflation. T h e E c o n o m y a s a W h o l e h a s S u ffe r e d Because past policies have not reduced unem ploym ent, even as they have encouraged rising inflation — the econom y as a w hole has suffered. O v e r the past two decades, we have seen the "misery index” — the sum o f the inflation and unem ploym ent rates — m ore than double, rising from 7.3 in 1960 to 17.2 in 1980. W h ile unem ploym ent rates have fluctuated over the business cycle, there has been no lon g-ru n trad eoff betw een unem ploym ent and inflation. T h e upw ard m ovem ents in inflation -have n ot brought us falling unem ploym ent rates, nor has high u nem ploym ent brought low er inflation. M isery In dex (U n e m p lo y m e n t R a te P lu s Inflation) Percent i8 —|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------16 14 12 10 8 6 2 0 1960 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 Unemployment Rate □ Percent Change m the Personal Consumption Expenditures Deflator Source: B aw d on date from Departments of Commerce and Labor 8 T h u s, trends o f the past are clearly disturbing in that they have sapped our N ation’s econom ic vitality. O f greater significance, how ever, is the danger we face i f the policies o f the 1970s are continued. F o r the first time in A m erican history financial m arkets reflect the b e lie f that inflation w ill not retreat significantly from current high levels. T he N atio n ’s econom y an d financial system are on a dangerous course — one which, i f n ot reversed, w ould lead to a prolon ged stagnation o f econom ic growth an d em ploym ent, ever higher inflation and interest rates, and potentially a financial crisis. The solution to this grow ing econom ic threat calls for b o ld actions designed to reduce — dram atically and sharply — inflationary expectations. T hese policies must restore fiscal integrity; increase incentives for saving, investm ent, and production; attain m onetary and financial stability; and enhance the role o f the m arketplace as the principal force in the allocation o f resources. 9 III. Slowing the Growth of Government Spending The uncontrolled growth o f governm ent spending has been a prim ary cause o f the sustained high rate o f inflation experienced b y the American econom y. Perhaps o f greater importance, the continued and apparently inexorable expansion o f governm ent has contributed to the widespread expectation o f persisting — and possibly higher — rates o f inflation in the future. Thus, a central goal o f the econom ic program is to reduce the rate at which governm ent spending increases. In view o f the seriousness o f the inflationary pressures facing us, the proposed reductions in the Federal budget for the com ing fiscal year are the largest ever proposed. Despite the tendency to refer to "cutting" the budget, it is d ear that an expanding population, a growing econom y, and a difficult international environm ent all lead to the n eed for year-to-year rises in the level o f governm ent spending. Thus, the badly n eed ed effort to "c u t" the budget really refers to reductions in the amount o f increase in spending requested from one year to the next. The m agnitude o f the fiscal problem facing the U n ited States can b e seen when we realize that, despite the $49.1 billion o f savings including $5.7 b illion in o ff-b u d ge t outlays that is being recommended for fiscal 1982, the total am ount o f Federal outlays for the year is likely to be $41 billion higher than the current year. (A separate docum en t is being issued by the O ffice o f Management a n d Budget that outlines the major spending reductions in considerable detail.) It is essential to stress the fundam ental principles th at guided the developm ent o f that program. First, and m ost importantly, all m em bers o f our society except the truly needy will be asked to contribute to the program for spending control. Second, w e will strengthen our national defense. Finally, these fundam ental principles led to n ine specific guidelines that were applied in reducing the budget: • Preserve "the social safety net." • Revise entitlements to eliminate unintended benefits. • R edu ce subsidies to m id d le - and u pp er-in com e groups. • Impose fiscal restraint on other national interest programs. • R ecover costs that can be clearly allocated to users. • Stretch-out and retarget public sector cap ital investment program s. -• R edu ce overhead and personnel costs o f the Federal G overnm en t. • A p p ly sound econom ic criteria to subsidy programs. • Consolidate categorical grant programs in to block grants. 10 T h e application o f these guidelines has required great care, judgm ent, and sensitivity. H owever, we are putting forward over 80 proposals that w ill carry o u t these guidelines and affect virtually every segment o f our econom y except the truly needy. The Adm inistration’s insistence on this fundam ental principle has meant that program s benefiting m illions o f truly needy beneficiaries have not been affected b y the spending control e ffo r t T hese program s include social insurance benefits for the elderly, basic unem ploym ent benefits, cash benefits for the chronically p o o r, and society’s obligations to veterans. T h e selection o f specific reductions has been a d ifficu lt task involvin g the enure Adm inistration as well as m uch consultation w ith representatives o f business, labor, agriculture, m inority groups, and State and local governments. T h e spending reduction plan will shift Federal b u d g e t priorities so that Federal resources are spent for purposes that are truly the responsibility o f the national g o v e rn m en t A s the table below indicates, our budget plans reflect the increased im portance attached to n ational defense, m aintain the Federal G overn m en t’s support for the truly needy, and fu lfill our responsibilities for interest paym ents on the national d e b t T h e spending reductions will restrain Federal involvem en t in areas that are properly le ft to State and local governm ents or to the p rivate sector. SHIFTINBUDGETPRIORITIES 1962 1981 1984 46.8 26.2 6.9 26.9 106.8 157.9 239.3 64.3 193.2 654.7 249.8 313.0 43.8 24.5 6.4 24.1 36.6 9.8 32.4 40.6 m m 18.4 D ollar Am ounts (in billions ) D O D - M ilitary Safety net program s N et interest A ll other Total 66.8 142.0 771.6 Outlay Shares (percent) D O D • M ilitary Safety net program s N et interest A ll other Total 100.0 100.0 8.6 100.0 C arryin g ou t this program o f budget restraint w ill also halt and b eg in to reverse the tendency o f governm ent to take an ever-larger share o f our econom ic resources. F ro m a high o f 23 percent o f the gross national product (G N P ) in fiscal 1981, Federal o u tla ys are now scheduled to d ecline to 21.8 percent in fiscal 1982 and to reach approxim ately 19 p ercen t beginning in 1984. TH E FEDERAL B U D G E T AN D GNP F iscal Y e a r O u tla y s as P ercen t of GNP 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 23.0 21.8 20.4 19.3 19.2 19.0 11 In conjunction with the tax program that is being proposed, the present excessively high deficit in the budget w ill be reduced and, in a few years, elim inated. Because o f the legacy o f fiscal commitments that were inherited b y this Administration, balancing the b udget w ill require tough action over several years. From a d eficit o f SS9.6 billion in 1980 — and o f a sim ilar deficit this year i f past policies had continued — F ed eral expenditures are now estimated to exceed revenues b y $45.0 billion in 1982, and $23.0 billion in 1983. By fiscal 1984 — under the policy recom m endations presented in this docum ent — the Federal b u d g et should be in balance. A n d that w ill n ot be a on e-tim e occurrence. A s shown in the table b elow , the Federal b udget w ill actually generate a surplus in 1985 and 1986, for the first tim e since 1969. Federal Revenues and O utlays F iscal Y ear D eficit ( - ) or Revenues O u tlays Surplus ( + ) (in billions o f dollars) 1981 600.2 654.7 -54.5 1982 650.5 695.5 -45.0 1983 710.1 73 3.1 -23.0 1984 772.1 77 1.6 + 0.5 1985 851.0 844.0 + 7.0 1986 942.1 9 12 .1 +30.0 T h e F ed e ra l B u d g e t a n d th e E c o n o m y The rewards that the econom y will reap with enactm ent o f the spending control plan are m any and substantial. In the past, excessive deficit spending has been a m ajor contributor to the initiation and persistence o f inflation. N o t only have Federal b u d g et deficits at tim es o f expanding private sector activity fu ele d inflationary pressures, but governm ent’s tendency to stop fighting inflation w ith the first signs o f a slackening econom y has persuaded firm s and workers that they n eed not fear pricing them selves out o f business with inflationary w age and price increases. W ith the plans for controlling governm ent spending, the Federal budget w ill becom e a w eapon against inflation, rather than one o f its m a jo r causes. During the decade o f the 1970s, the Federal b u d g e t was in deficit every year. d eficit was a relatively m odest $2.8 billion; in 1980 it w as nearly $60 billion. alm ost 200 percent. W hen this Adm inistration began, th e prospect was for a continuation o f these alarm ing trends. In 1970 the O utlays soared b y 12 F iscal Receipts Y ear O utlays D eficit (-] (in billions o f dollars) 193.7 196.6 -2.8 1971 188.4 211.4 -23.0 1972 208.6 232.0 -23.4 1973 232.2 247.1 -14 .8 1974 264.9 269.6 -4 .7 1975 281.0 326.2 -45.2 1976 300.0 366.4 -66.4 1977 357.8 402.7 -44.9 - 1978 402.0 450.8 -48.8 1979 465.9 493.6 -2 7 .7 1980 520.0 579.6 -59 .6 1970 M any o f the program reductions that are being proposed w ill contribute to a m ore efficient use o f resources in the econom y and thereby high er levels o f production and incom e. N o lon ger will the a verage Am erican taxpayer be asked to contribute to program s that further narrow private interests rather than the general public interest w ith user charges. In m any cases, such services are m ore appropriately paid for By consolidating a variety o f categorical grant program s into a few block grant program s, the resources spent w ill provide greater benefits because the levels o f governm ent closer to the people can better recognize their needs than can W ashington. A n d b y reducing F ed era l deficits an d off-b u d get F ederal financing we will ensure that F ed eral borrow ing requirem ents d o not crowd m ore productive private activities out o f the m arket. T h e budget that is b ein g proposed w ill restore the F ed eral G o vern m en t to its prop er role in A m erican society. It w ill contribute to the health o f the econom y, the strength o f our m ilitary, and the protection o f the less fortunate m em bers o f society w ho n eed the com passion o f the governm ent for their support. M any special interests w h o had found it easier to look to the Federal G overnm ent for support than to the com petitive m arket w ill be disappointed b y this budget, b u t the average w o rk er and businessman, the backbone o f o u r N ation, w ill find that their interests are b ette r served. 13 IV. Reducing Tax Burdens A n integral part o f the com prehensive econom ic program is a set o f tax proposals to im prove the a fter-tax, after-in flation rewards to work, saving, and investm ent. Inflation in evitab ly increases the bu rd en o f taxes on individuals by pushing them into high er and higher m argin al rates. In businesses, inflation m akes the purchase o f new equipm ent progressively m ore d ifficu lt b y reducing the am ou n t o f cash flow available for capital investm ent T h e tax package addresses b oth o f these prob lem s. T a x R e l i e f f o r I n d iv id u a ls A n y increase in nom inal incom e m oves taxpayers into high er tax brackets, w h eth er the increase is real or m erely an adjustm ent for higher costs o f living. inflation , raising average tax rates and tax burdens. real or nom inal — A s a consequence, taxes rise faster than In fa c t every 10 percent increase in incom e — prod u ces abou t a 15 p ercen t increase in F ed eral personal incom e tax receipts. A n avera ge fam ily requ irin g a $1,500 c o s t-o f-liv in g increase to m aintain its standard o f livin g m ust have $1,900 in wage increases to keep even after taxes. Individual tax liabilities rose from 9.2 percent o f personal incom e in 1-965 to 11 .6 percent last year. T h e average tax burden w ould have risen far m ore had not m uch o f the in flation -related tax increases been o ffse t b y periodic tax cuts. sh arp ly for m ost taxpayers. Marginal tax rates, how ever, have b een allow ed to rise In 1965, 6 percent o f all taxpayers faced m arginal rates o f 25 percent or m ore. T o d a y nearly one o f every three taxpayers is in at least the 25 percent b ra c k e t A s taxpayers m ove into high er brackets, incentives to w ork, save, and invest are red u ced since each addition to in com e yields less after taxes than before. In the late 1960s and the early 1970s, A m erican s saved b etw een 7 to 9 percent o f personal disposable incom e. rate w as betw een 5 to 6 p e rc e n t In 1979 and 1980, the saving T h e com bination o f inflation and high er m argin al tax rates is u n d o u b ted ly a m ajor factor in the low er personal saving rate. T o correct these problem s and to im prove the after-tax return from w ork an d from saving, the P resid en t is asking th e C on gress to reduce the marginal tax rates for individuals across the board by 10 p ercen t per yea r for the next 3 years starting July 1, 1981. T h is w ould reduce rates in stages from a ran ge o f 14 to 70 p ercen t to a range o f 10 to 50 percen t effective January 1, 1984. T hese rate red u ction s will con trib u te m aterially above those which w o u ld b e attained under p resen t laws. At these h igh er in com e levels, the reductions in Federal tax revenues, com pared with those w hich w ould b e o b ta in ed un der p resen t law, are $6.4 b illio n in fiscal 1981, $44.2 billion in fiscal 1982, and rise to $ 162.4 b illion in fiscal 1986. T h e effect o f these tax cu ts on a 4 -p erso n family w hose 1980 incom e is $25,000 w ou ld be a $ 153 tax reduction this year, and a $809 tax reduction fo r 1984, assum ing no increase in incom e. If th e fa m ily ’s n om inal earnings rise to $30,300 in 1984, their tax reduction w ould b e $ 1,112 in that year. 14 T h e Adm inistration's proposals w ill bring down average individual tax receipts to 10.8 percent o f personal incom e in 1984, still 1.6 percentage points a b o v e where it was in 1965. W ithout these marginal tax rate cuts, however, individual taxes w ould rise to 14.7 percent o f personal income by 1984. Failure to enact these proposals is thus tantam ount to im posing a tax increase on the average Am erican taxpayer. T a x In c e n tiv e s fo r In v e s tm e n t Since the late 1960s the rate o f net capital form ation (excluding spending m andated to m eet environmental standards) has fallen substantially. For th e 5 years ending in 1979, increases in real net business fixed capital averaged just over 2 percent o f the N ation’ s real net national product, or o n e -h a lf the rate for the latter part o f the 1960s. O n e o f the m ajor tasks facing the U .S. econom y in the 1980s is to reverse these trends and to prom ote m ore capital investment. T o com bat the d eclin e in productivity growth, to hasten the replacem ent o f en ergy-in efficien t m achines and equipm ent, to com ply w ith governm ent mandates that do not enhance production, we m ust increase the share o f o u r N ation’s resources going to investm ent Both im provem ents in productivity an d increases in productive jo b s w ill com e from expanded investment. Inflation and an outdated capital equipm ent depreciation system have com bined to low er the after-tax real rate o f return on capital investments b y business. H igh inflation causes a large discrepancy betw een the historic and the current replacem ent costs o f physical assets o f business. Thus, coiporate financial records, u tilizing historic costs an d current dollar sales figures, significantly overstate nom inal profits and understate true economic costs. In 1980 alone, the replacem ent cost o f inventories exceed ed b y over $43 b illion the cost o f the inventories claim ed for tax purposes. D epreciation charges based on historical cost fell short o f the replacem ent cost o f capital assets consu m ed by another $ 17 billion. T hese arose from a failure to record inventory and capital assets at their true replacem ent cost. O n an inflation adjusted basis, m an y firms are n ow paying out m ore than their real incom e in the form o f taxes and dividends. T h e result is that real investm ent in equipm ent, maintenance, m odernization, and new technology is falling further b e h in d the needs o f our econom y. G e a rly , present incentives for business capital form ation are inadequate. A s a consequence, the President is asking the C on gress to provide for an accelerated cost recovery system for m achinery and equipm en t and certain structures according to the follow ing classes: • T en years on an accelerated w rite -o ff schedule for lon g-lived public utility property (w ith a 10 p ercen t investm ent credit) and factories, stores, and warehouses used b y their owners (no investm ent credit, consistent with present law ). 15 • F ive years on an accelerated w rite-o ff schedule (plus 10 percent investm ent credit) fo r all other m achinery and equipm ent except lo n g -liv e d utility property. • Three years on an accelerated w rite-o ff schedule (plus 6 percent investm ent credit) for autos and light trucks and capital costs for research and developm ent. In addition, au d it-p ro of recovery periods would b e established for other depreciable real estate: • Fifteen years straight line (and no investm ent credit) for other nonresidential buildings an d low -incom e housing. • Eighteen years straight line (and no investm ent credit) for other rental residential structures. A 5 -year phase-in o f the accelerated recovery rates for the 5 -y e a r and 10 -year classes is proposed, but the effective date w ould be January 1, 1981, so that no pendin g investm ent plans are deferred in anticipation o f the new system. These tax changes will m ake im portant contributions to raising econom ic activity above the levels o f which w o u ld be attained un der present laws. A t this higher incom e, Federal tax revenues w ould be less than those which w ou ld b e obtained under present law, by $2.5 billion in fiscal 1981, $9.7 billion in fiscal 1982, and $59.3 b illion in fiscal 1986. D IR E C T R E V E N U E E F F E C T S O F P R O P O S E D T A X R E D U C T I O N S (in billions o f dollars) (F iscal Years) . 1981 1982 .1983 1984 1985 1986 Individual 30 Percent Phased R ate Reduction -6.4 -44.2 -8 1 .4 - 1 1 8 .1 -1 4 1 .5 -16 2 .4 -2.5 -9.7 -1 8 .6 -30.0 -44.2 -59.3 -8.8 -53.9 -100.0 -14 8 .1 -18 5 .7 -2 2 1.7 Business Accelerated C ost Recovery System A fter Interaction with Individual T a x TOTAL These changes will sim plify accounting procedures and raise after-tax profits o f businesses. For exam ple, a m anufacturer o f glass products that buys n ew m achinery for $100,000 in 1982 will, as a result o f these new cost recovery allowances, reduce its tax liability b y $1,798 in that year, $2,517 in 1983, and additional amounts in later years. 16 The basic differences betw een the present accelerated depreciation law and proposed accelerated capital cost recovery system are shown in the follow ing chan: P R E S E N T L A W D E P R E C IA T IO N A N D A C C E L E R A T E D C O S T R E C O V E R Y S Y S T E M Comparison of Major Features ITEM PRESENT LAWDEPRECIATION ACCELERATED COST RECOVERY SYSTEM General Applicability Option of "facts and circumstances” or guidelines (ADR). Mandatory. Guidelines allow 2-1/2 to 50 years depending on asset type or activity, with optional 20 percent variance for each. 3 years (autos, light trucks, and machinery and equipment used for research and development), 5 years (most machinery and equipment), or 10 years (long-lived public utility property). Determined by facts and circumstances or by guidelines ranging from 25 to 60 years depending on the type o f building. 10years for owner-occupied factories, stores, and warehouses; 15 years for other nonresidential and for low-income housing; 18 years for other residential. Straight line; or for new property, taxpayer may elect declining balance up to 200 percent, or sum-of-yeais digits. Accelerated write-off built into tables. Same for new residential; up to 150 percent declining balance for new, nonresidential; up to 125 percent declining balance for used residential; straight line for used nonresidential. Same for 10-year property. Straight line for other. Ordinary income recapture up to prior allowances (section 1245). Ordinary income recapture up to prior allowances (section 1245). Ordinary income recapture up to excess over straight line (section 1250). Same for 10-year real property. No recapture for others. Vintage accounting. Vintage accounting. Ratably, or choice o f conventions. Half-year convention built into tables. 3-1/3 percent for machinery and equipment written-off or held for 3-5 yean, 6-2/3 percent for 5-7 years, 10 percent if longer. 6percent for 3-year class and 10 Carryovers Choice o f 20 percent shorter or longer lives; straight line or accelerated methods, where allowed. Deductions may add to net operating loss which can be carried over 7 yean. Extends net operating loss and investment credit carryover period from 7 to 10 years. Timing o f eligibility When placed in service. When placed in service, or for property with at least a 2 year construction period, as acquired. Recovery periods: Tangible personal property Real Estate Recovery method: Tangible personal property Real Estate Recapture provisions: Tangible personal property Real Estate Asset accounting: General First year Investment tax credit 17 percent for 5-year and 10-year eligible property. V. Providing Regulatory Relief T h e rapid growth in F ederal regulation has retarded economic growth and contributed to inflationary pressures. W hile there is widespread agreem ent on the legitim ate role o f governm ent in protecting the environment, prom oting health and safety, safeguarding workers and consum ers, and guaranteeing equal opportunity, there is also growing realization that excessive regulation is a very significant factor in our current econom ic difficulties. T h e costs o f regulation arise in several ways. First, there are the outlays for the F ederal bureaucracy which administers and enforces the regulations. Second, there are the costs to business, nonprofit institutions, and State and local governments o f com plying with regulations. Finally, there are the longer run and indirect effects o f regulation on econom ic growth and productivity. T h e most readily identifiable o f the costs are the administrative outlays o f the regulatory agencies, since they appear in the Federal budget. T hese costs are passed on to individuals and businesses directly in the form o f higher Federal taxes. M u ch larger than the administrative expenses are the costs o f com pliance, which add $100 billion per year to the costs o f the goods and services we buy. T h e most important effects o f regulation, however, are the adverse im pacts on econom ic grow th. These arise because regulations m ay discourage innovative research and developm ent, reduce investment in new plant and equipm ent, raise unem ploym ent by increasing labor costs, and reduce com petition. Taken together, these longer run effects contribute significantly to our current econom ic dilem m a o f high unem ploym ent and inflation. In many cases the costs o f regulation can be substantially reduced w ithout significantly affecting w orthwhile regulatory goals. U nnecessarily stringent rules, intrusive m eans o f enforcem ent, extensive reporting and recordkeeping requirem ents, and other regulatory excesses are all too com m on. D uring this Adm inistration’s first month in office, five m ajor steps have been taken to address the problem o f excessive and inefficient regulation. Specifically, we have: • Established a Task F orce on Regulatory R e lie f chaired b y V ice President G eo rg e Bush, • A bolished the C o u n cil on W age and Price Stability’s ineffective program to control w age and price increases, • • Postponed the effective dates o f pending regulations until the en d o f M arch, Issued an Executive order to strengthen Presidential oversight o f the regulatory process, and • A ccelerated the decontrol o f domestic oil. 18 P r e s id e n tia l T a s k F o r c e o n R e g u la to r y R e lie f Previous efforts to m anage the proliferation o f Federal regulation failed to establish central regulatory oversight at the highest level. O n January 22, the President announced the creation o f a Task F orce on Regulatory R e lie f to be chaired by the V ice President. T h e membership is to include the Secretary o f the Treasury, the Attorney G eneral, the Secretary o f Com m erce, the Secretary o f Labor, the D irector o f the O ffic e o f M anagem ent and Budget, the Assistant to the President for Policy D evelopm ent, and the C hairm an o f the C ou n cil o f Econom ic Advisers. T h e T a sk Force’s charter is to: • R eview m ajor regulatory proposals b y executive branch agencies, especially those that appear to have m ajor policy significance o r involve overlapping jurisdiction am ong agencies. • Assess executive branch regulations already on the books, concentrating on those that are particularly burdensom e to the national econom y or to k ey industrial sectors. • O versee the developm ent o f legislative proposals designed to balance and coordinate the roles and objectives o f regulatory agencies. T e r m in a tio n o f C W P S ’ s W a g e -P r ic e S ta n d a rd s P ro g r a m T h e C o u n cil on W a ge and Price Stability (C W P S ) was created in 1974, and like m any governm ent agencies, rapidly grew in size and scope. But- the C W P S program o f w age-price standards proved to be totally ineffective in halting the rising rate o f inflation. O n January 29, the President rescinded the C W P S ’s w age-price standards program. A s a result, taxpayers w ill save about S1.5 m illion, em ploym ent in the Executive O ffic e o f the President will decline b y abou t 135 people, and Federal requirem ents that businesses subm it volum inous reports win end. P o s t p o n in g P e n d in g R e g u la t io n s O n January 29, the P resident also sent a m em orandum to cabinet officers and the head o f the Environm ental Protection A g en cy (E PA ), requesting that, to the ex ten t perm itted b y law, they postpone the effective dates o f those regulations that w ou ld have b ecom e effective b efore M arch 29 and that they refrain from issuing any new final regulations during this 60*day period. T h is suspension o f new regulations has three purposes: First, it a llow s the new Adm inistration to review the "m id nigh t" regulations issued during the last days o f the previous Adm inistration to assure that they are co st-effective. Second, the Adm inistration’s appointees now can b ecom e fam iliar with the details o f the various program s for w hich they are responsible b e fo re the regulations becom e 19 final. Lastly, the suspension allows time for the Administration, through the Presidential Task Force, to develop improved procedures for m anagem ent and oversight o f the regulatory process. T h e E x e c u tiv e O r d e r o n F e d e r a l R e g u la tio n The President has signed a new Executive order designed to im prove m anagem ent o f the Federal regulatory process. It provides reassurance to the Am erican people o f the governm ent’s ability to control its regulatory activities. The Office o f M anagem ent and Budget is charged with administering the new order, subject to the overall direction o f the Presidential T a sk Force on Regulatory Relief, The order em phasizes that regulatory decisions should be based on adequate information. Actions should not be undertaken unless the potential benefits to society outweigh the potential costs, and regulatory priorities should be set on the basis o f n et benefits to society. T h e ord er requires agencies to determine the m ost cost-effective approach for m eeting any given regulatory objective, taking into account such factors as the econom ic condition o f industry, the national econom y, and other prospective regulations. A s part o f the developm ent o f any important regulation, the order also requires that each agency prepare a Regulatory Impact Analysis to evaluate potential benefits and costs. T h e Task Force will oversee this process; O M B will m ake comments on regulatory analyses, help d eterm ine which new and existing regulations should be reviewed, and d irect the publication o f sem iannual agendas o f the regulations that agencies plan to issue or review. D e c o n t r o llin g D o m e s t ic O il P r ic e s The President has also ordered the immediate decontrol o f dom estic oil prices, instead o f w aiting until October as originally scheduled. This has elim inated a large Federal bu reau cracy which adm inistered a cum bersom e and inefficient system o f regulations that served to stifle dom estic oil production, increase our dependence on foreign oil, and discourage conservation. I n t e g r a t i n g t h e G o a l s o f R e g u l a t o r y R e l i e f w it h P a p e r w o r k R e d u c t i o n O u r program to reduce regulatory burdens will dovetail with the efforts under th e Paperwork R edu ctio n A ct o f 1980. Lam entably, present regulations will require Am ericans to sp en d over 1.2 b illion hours filling ou t governm ent form s during 1981. T h is is eq u ivalen t to the an n u al labor input for the entire steel industry. T h e Congress responded to the n eed for consistent m anagem ent o f Federal paperw ork and regulatory issues b y passing the Paperwork Reduction A c t o f 1980. T h e act creates an O ffice o f Inform ation and R egu latory A ffairs w ithin O M B with the power to review Federal regulations that contain a recordkeeping o r reporting requirem ent and directs this agen cy to reduce th e paperwork burden b y 15 percent.. 20 F u tu r e T a r g e ts fo r R e g u la t o r y R e v ie w T h e program o f regulatory relief is ju st getting under w ay. Future regulatory reform efforts will b e directed not only at proposed regulations, but also at existing regulations and regulatory statutes that are particularly burdensom e. T his process has already begun: in the first month o f the Adm inistration several cabinet departments and agencies— on their ow n initiative and in coordination with the Task Force— have taken action on particularly controversial rules. F o r example, rules m andating extensive bilingual education programs, passive restraints in large cars, the labeling o f chem icals in the w orkplace, controls on garbage truck noise, and increased overtim e payments for executives have been withdrawn or postponed. The actions taken already are expected to save the A m erican public and industry alm ost $1 billion annually. T h e Adm inistration w ill b e reviewing a host o f other regulations in the near future. L e g is la tiv e C h a n g e s N o t all o f our regulatory problem s can be resolved satisfactorily through more effective regulatory m anagem ent and decisionm aking. regulatory decisions. Existing regulatory statutes too often preclude effective M any o f the statutes are conflicting, overlapping, or incon sistent Some force agencies to prom ulgate regulations while giving them little discretion to take into account changing conditions or new infonnation. O ther statutes give agencies extrem ely broad discretion, which they have sometimes exercised unwisely. T h e Adm inistration will exam ine all legislation that serves as the foundation for m ajor regulatory program s. T h is om nibus review, spearheaded b y the Presidential Task F o rce on Regulatory R elief, will result in recom m endations to reform these statutes. T h e Task F o rce will initially concentrate its efforts on those laws scheduled for Congressional oversight or reauthorization, such as the C lean A ir A c t 21 VI. Controlling Money and Credit Monetary policy is the responsibility o f the Federal Reserve System, an independent agency within the structure o f the government. independence. The Administration will do nothing to underm ine that A t the same time, the success in reducing inflation, increasing real incom e, and reducing unemployment will depend on effective interaction o f m onetary policy with other aspects o f econom ic policy. T o achieve the goals o f the Administration’s economic program, consistent m onetary policy m ust be applied. Thus, it is expected that the rate o f money and credit growth will be brought down to levels consistent with noninflationary expansion o f the econom y. If monetary policy is too expansive, then inflation during the years ahead w ill continue to accelerate and the Administration’s economic program will be underm ined. will intensify. Inflationary psychology Wages, prices, and interest rates will reflect the b e lie f that inflation — and the destructive effects o f inflation — will continue. By contrast, i f monetary policy is unduly restrictive, a different set o f problem s arises, unnecessarily aggravating recession and unemployment. A t times in the past, abruptly restrictive policies have prompted excessive reactions toward short-term monetary ease. A s a result, frequent policy changes can send confusing signals, and the additional uncertainty underm ines long-term investment decisions and economic growth. With money and credit growth undergoing steady, gradual reduction over a period o f years, it will be possible to reduce inflation substantially and permanently. In this regard, the Adm inistration supports the announced objective o f the Federal Reserve to continue to seek gradual reduction in the growth o f money and credit aggregates during the years ahead. Looking back, it seems clear that i f a policy o f this kind had been successfully followed in the past, inflation today w ould b e substantially lower and would not appear to be so intractable. Until recently, the Federal Reserve had attempted to control m oney growth by setting targets for interest rates, particularly the rate on Federal funds. Experience here and abroad has shown repeatedly that this interest rate management approach is not sufficient to achieve reliable control. M istakes in predating movements in econom ic activity or tendencies on the part o f policym akers to avoid large interest rate fluctuations can lead to undesirable gyrations in the rate o f m on ey growth. P~ S S L 2 " * Fed6ral ReSerVC ad0pted “ r 1979> Federal Reserve sets dered 10 bC C° nSiStenl With 016 desired exPansi ° n in the m onetary T Z6 d t0 ^ ° Ver 3 mUCh w ider ran8e in response to changes in the dem and for money and c re d it A num ber o f factors - such as the introduction o f credit controls and *L their subsequent removal and frequent shifts in announced fiscal policies - have contributed to « j S S Z T t o i " ” " * r a ,S “ dkm0ne“ > p a * y « . A t the same tim e, w e need to learn rrom the experience with the new techniques and seek further im provem ents T h e Federal Reserve has undertaken a study o f last year’s experience. W e look forward to the results and encourage them to m ake the changes that appear wananted. 22 In that connection, success in m eeting the targets that the Federal Reserve has set will itself increase confidence in the results o f policy. Otherwise, observers are likely to pay excessive attention to short-run changes in m oney grow th and revise anticipations upward or downward unnecessarily. W ithout confidence in the long-term direction o f p o licy, such short-run changes may lead to unwarranted b u t disturbing gyrations in credit, interest rates, com m odity prices, and other sensitive indicators o f inflation and econom ic grow th. Better m onetary control is not consistent with the m anagem ent o f interest rates in the short run. But, with m onetary policy focusing on long-term objectives, the resultant restraint on money and credit growth w ould interact with the tax and expenditure proposals to low er inflation as well as interest rates. T h e Adm inistration w ill confer regularly with the F ed eral Reserve Board on all aspects o f our econom ic program . T h e policies that are proposed in the program will help to advance the efforts o f the independent F ed eral Reserve System . In particular, the substantial reductions o f the Federal G overnm en t’s deficit financing and the achievem ent o f a balanced budget in 1984 and the years that follow should enable the Federal R eserve System to red u ce dramatically the growth in the m oney supply. T o that end, the economic scenario assumes that the growth rates o f m oney and credit are steadily reduced from the 1980 levels to o n e -h a lf those lev els b y 1986. W ith the F ed eral Reserve gradually but persistently reducing the grow th o f m oney, inflation should decline at least as fast as anticipated. inflationary expectations w ill decline. M oreover, i f m onetary grow th rates are restrained, then A n d since interest rate movem ents are largely a m irror o f price expectations, reduction in one will produce reduction in the other. 23 VII. A New Beginning for the Economy This plan for national recovery represents a substantial break with past policy. is based on the prem ise that the people who make up the econom y investors, buyers, and sellers — do not need the governm ent to m ake reasoned and intelligent decisions about how best to organize and run their own lives. current environment. T h e new policy workers, managers, savers, They continually adapt to best fit the The most appropriate role for governm ent econom ic policy is to provide a stable and unfettered environment in which private individuals can confidently plan and m ake appropriate decisions. The new recovery plan is designed to bring to all aspects o f governm ent policy a greater sense o f purpose and consistency. Central to the new policy is the view that expectations play an important role in determ ining economic activity, inflation, and interest rates. Decisions to work, save, spend, and invest depend crucially on expectations regarding future government policies. Establishing an environm ent which ensures efficient an d stable incentives for work, saving, and investment now and in the future is the cornerstone o f the recovery plan. Personal tax reductions w ill allow people to keep m ore o f what they earn, providing increased incentives for work and saving. Business tax reductions w ill provide increased incentives for capital expansion, resulting in increased productivity for workers. Spending reductions and elim ination o f unneeded regulation will return control over resources to the private sector where incentives to economize are strongest. Stable monetary policy, com bined with expanding productive capacity, w ill bring about a reduction o f the inflation rate. Inflation control is best achieved with a tw o-edged policy designed both to lim it the rate o f increase in the m oney stock and to increase the productive capacity o f the econom y. N either policy can be expected to. achieve adequate results alone. A stable monetary policy, gradually slowing grow th rates o f m oney and credit along a preannounced and predictable path, will lead to reductions in inflation. A t the same time, the effects o f supply-oriented tax and regulatory changes on work incentives, expansion and im provem ent o f the capital stock, and improved productivity will boost output and create a "bu yers’ m arket" for good s and services. As a result o f the policies set forth here, our econom y’s productive capacity is expected to grow significandy faster than could b e achieved with a continuation o f past policies. Specifically, real economic activity is projected to recover from the 1980-81 period o f weakness and m ove to a 4 to 5 percent annual grow th path through 1986, as shown in the table below. Concurrently, the general rate o f inflation is expected to decline steadily to less than 5 percent annually b y 1986 from the current 10 percent plus rate. 24 ECONOMICASSUMPTIONS (CALENDARYEARS) __________________________________ 1981 N om inal G ross N ational Product (billions) (Percent C han ge) Real G ross N ational Product (billions. 1972 dollars) (Percent C han ge) 1982 Consum er Price Index * 1967 = 100 (Percent C han ge) U nem ploym ent Rate (Percent) 1984 1985 1986 $2,920.0 $3,293.0 12.8 $3,700.0 12.4 $4,098.0 11.1 10.8 $4,500.0 9.8 $4,918.0 9.3 1,497.0 1,560.0 4.2 1,638.0 5.0 1,711.0 4.5 1,783.0 4.2 1,858.0 4.2 195.0 9.9 211.0 226.0 7.0 240.0 6.0 252.0 5.4 265.0 4.9 274.0 11.1 297.0 8.3 315.0 6.2 333.0 5.5 348.0 4.7 363.0 4.2 7.8 7.2 6.6 6.4 6.0 5.6 1.1 Im plicit Price D eflator (Percent C han ge) 1983 8.3 *CPI for urban wage earners and clerical workers (C PI-W ). In contrast to the inflationary dem and-led booms o f the 1970s, the m ost significant growth o f econom ic activity will occur in the supply side o f the econom y. Not o n ly will a steady expansion in business fixed investment allow our econom y to grow w ithout fear o f capacity-induced inflation pressures, b u t it will also increase productivity and red u ce the grow th o f production costs by incorporating new and more high -efficien t plants, m achinery, and technology into our m anufacturing base. T h e result will be revitalized growth in the real incom es and standards o f living o f our citizens and significantly reduced inflationary pressures. A s our econ om y responds to a new era o f econom ic policy, unem ploym ent will be significantly reduced. T h e Adm inistration’s plan for national recovery w ill take a large step toward im proving the international econom ic environm ent by repairing dom estic conditions. Im proving expectations and slowing inflation will enhance the dollar as an international store o f valu e and contribute to greater stability in international financial markets. A s interest rates come d o w n and faster U .S. grow th contributes to rising world trade, econom ic expansion in other countries w ill also accelerate. T his Adm inistration w ill work closely with the other major industrial countries to prom ote consistency in econom ic objectives and policies so as to speed a return to noninflationary growth in the w orld econom y. F inally, rising U .S. productivity will enhance o u r ability to com pete with other countries in world m arkets, easing protectionist pressures at hom e and thus strengthening our ability to press other countries to reduce their trade barriers and export subsidies. T h e econom ic assum ptions contained in this message may seem optim istic to som e observers. Indeed they d o represent a dram atic departure from the trends o f recent years — but so do the proposed policies. In fact, i f each portion o f this com prehensive econom ic program is put in place — quickly and com pletely — the econom ic environm ent cou ld im prove envisioned in these assumptions. 25 even m ore rapidly than Bui, if the program is accepted piecemeal — if only those aspects that are politically palatable are adopted — then this economic policy will be no more than a repeat o f what has been tried before. And we already know the results o f the stop-and-go policies o f the past. Indeed, if we as a Nation do not take the bold new policy initiatives proposed in this program, we will face a continuation and a worsening o f the trends that have developed in the last tw o decades. We have a rare opportunity to reverse these trends: to stimulate growth, productivity, and em ploym ent at the same time that we move toward the elimination o f inflation. 26 I I I . P r e s i d e n t 's B u d g e t R e f o r m P l a n THE W H ITE O ffic e of th e HOUSE P ress S e c re ta ry BUDGET REFORM PLAN N O T IC E AND EMBARGOED FOR W IR E T R A N S M IS S IO N U N T IL 4 s 0 0 P .M . ( E . S . T . ) FOR R ELEASE U N T IL 9 : 0 0 P . M . ( E . S . T . ) W ed n esd ay, F eb ru a ry 1 8 , 1 981 Jam es S c o t t B rad y A s s is t a n t to th e P r e sid e n t and P r e s s S e c r e ta r y INTRODUCTION T h is b u d g e t P r e s i d e n t 's in c lu d e : T h ese b e in g r e fo r m p la n i s o v e r a ll p la n one fo r o f se v e r a l e s s e n tia l p a rts o f th e e c o n o m ic r e c o v e r y . O th e r e le m e n ts — a 3 - y e a r 30% r e d u c t i o n in a ll in d iv id u a l in c o m e ta x r a t e s d e s ig n e d t o r e s t o r e i n c e n t i v e s and p ro m o te ren ew ed e c o n o m ic g ro w th ? — s ig n if ic a n t m o d ific a tio n o f d e p r e c ia tio n p la n t a n d e q u ip m e n t i n o r d e r t o p r o m o te c r e a t i o n , and i n d u s t r i a l r e v i t a l i z a t i o n ; — a fa r -r e a c h in g r e g u la to r y a lle v ia te e x c e s s iv e cost rem ove u n n e c e s s a r y b a r r i e r s — a n ew p a r t n e r s h i p d e s i g n e d t o th a t w ill red u ce e x c e ssiv e r e s t o r e a s t a b le c u rre n c y and e le m e n ts r e le a s e d a r e d is c u s s e d in m ore w it h t h i s d o c u m e n t. s c h e d u le s in v e s tm e n t, fo r jo b r e fo r m p rogram th a t w ill and c o m p lia n c e b u rd e n s and t o e c o n o m ic e x p a n s i o n ; an d a c h ie v e a m o n e ta ry p o lic y r a t e s o f m oney g r o w th an d h e a lth y fin a n c ia l m a rk e ts. d e ta il in th e m a te r ia ls The budget r e fo r m p la n o u tlin e s a c o m p r e h e n s iv e , m u lt i -y e a r p ro g ra m f o r e n d in g t h e recent u n s u s ta in a b le u pw ard s p ir a l o f F ederal s p e n d in g and b o r r o w in g . I t i s an e s s e n t i a l c o r n e r s t o n e of th e P r e s i d e n t 's o v e r a ll e c o n o m ic program . Its fu ll im p le m e n ta tio n is c r u c ia l to a c h ie v in g a s u s ta in e d r e d u c tio n in in fla tio n and in te r e s t ra te s, and to r e s to r in g fin a n c ia l s t a b i l i t y t o t h e U .S . eco n o m y . M a jo r f e a t u r e s i n c l u d e : — A $ 4 1 .4 b i l l i o n r e d u c tio n in 1 9 8 2 ou th e cu rren t p o lic y b a se , to g e th e r w u ser ch arges and $ 5 .7 b illio n in r e d u c tio n s fo r a to ta l o f $ 4 9 .1 s a v in g s . — A d r a m a t i c dow nw ard s h i f t in F ederal s p e n d in g g ro w th ra te s, b r in g in g th e 16% t r e n d o f t h e r e c e n t p e r i o d t o a b o u t 7% o v e r t h e n e x t s e v e r a l f i s c a l y e a r s . A s te a d y r e d u c tio n in a b a la n c e d budget th e re a fte r. — th e F e d e r a l in 1984 tla y s com pared to ith $ 2 .0 b i l l i o n in o ff-b u d g e t o u tla y b illio n in f i s c a l d e f i c i t , r e s u ltin g in and m od est s u r p lu s e s The f i r s t c o m p r e h e n s iv e p r o p o s a l in m ore th a n a to overh aul th e N a t i o n 's overgrow n $350 e n title m e n ts sy ste m . P ro p o se d r e v i s i o n s o f fo o d decade b illio n sta m p s, e x te n d e d u n e m p lo y m e n t b e n e fits, tra d e a d ju s tm e n t a s s i s t a n c e , .s t u d e n t lo a n s , v a r io u s secon d ary s o c ia l s e c u r ity b e n e fits , m e d ic a id , and o th e r e n title m e n t -1- program s g r o w in g — save $ 1 8 .9 $ 9 .4 b illio n b illio n by a id , P rop osed and F ed eral c o n s o lid a tio n 1982, w ith s a v in g s a c tu a l e lim in a tio n of F e d e r a l program s in c lu d in g and d e v e lo p m e n t p rogram s, su p p ort of in 1986. S u b s ta n tia l c u tb a c k s or u n e s s e n tia l or in e ffe c tiv e CETA, A m tr a k , e n e r g y r e s e a r c h im p a c t __ w o u ld to fo r n e a r ly th e 100 a rts. narrow c a te g o r ic a l gran t p rogram s in to a fe w f l e x i b l e b lo c k g r a n ts S t a t e and l o c a l s u p p o r t o f e d u c a t i o n , h e a l t h and s o c ia l s e r v ic e s . S a v i n g s b y 1 9 8 3 w o u ld e x c e e d $ 4 b i l l i o n . — S h arp r e d u c tio n s in F ederal s u b s id ie s fo r s y n fu e ls d e v e lo p m e n t, E x p o r t -I m p o r t Bank a c tiv itie s , and th e d a i r y i n d u s t r y , a lo n g w it h a s u b s t a n t i a l s t r e t c h - o u t of fu n d in g f o r h ig h w a y s , a i r p o r t s , sew age t r e a t m e n t p l a n t s and w a te r p r o je c ts . In cre a se d u ser fe e s fo r b arge o p e r a to r s , a ir w a y u s e r s , and c o m m e r c ia l and r e c r e a t i o n a l v e s s e l s . sy ste m As a r e s u lt of t h e s e b r o a d ly b a s e d c u t b a c k s in lo w e r p r i o r i t y F ed eral a c tiv itie s and s h a r p ly c o n s tr a in e d o v e r a ll s p e n d in g le v e ls , in te r n a l bu d get p r io r it ie s w i l l s h i f t d r a m a tic a lly . The h ig h e s t p r i o r i t y w i l l b e g r a n te d t o n e c e s s a r y fu n d in g g r o w th fo r d e fe n se , s o c ia l s e c u r ity b e n e fits , in c lu d in g c o s t-o f-liv in g p r o t e c t i o n , and o t h e r e s s e n t i a l s o c i a l s a f e t y n e t p r o g r a m s . As a r e s u l t , t h e d e fe n s e s h a r e o f F e d e r a l s p e n d in g w i l l r i s e fr o m 24% at p resen t to 32% by 1984; s o c ia l s a f e t y n e t s p e n d in g w i l l i n c r e a s e f r o m 37% t o 4 1 % ; a l l o t h e r F e d e r a l p r o g r a m s w i l l d e c l i n e fr o m 29% o f t h e b u d g e t t o 1 8 % , a n d d e b t s e r v i c e w ill a ls o fa ll so m e w h a t. H IS T O R IC A L SE T TIN G The la s t 25 years have been c h a r a c te r iz e d by u n s u s ta in a b le in c r e a s e s in F e d e r a l s p e n d in g . T h i s u p w a r d m om entu m in program g ro w th has fa r exceeded th e g ro w th in our ta x base. Tax in c r e a s e s b o th le g is la t e d in c r e a s e s and a u to m a tic in c r e a s e s th a t occur as in c o m e g ro w th m oves ta x p a y e rs in to h ig h e r ta x b r a c k e t s — h a v e b e e n im p o s e d t o fin a n c e th is program g ro w th . Even t h e s e t a x i n c r e a s e s , w h ic h h a v e b e e n a f u n d a m e n t a l c a u s e o f th e e c o n o m ic s t a g n a t i o n t h a t t h i s c o u n t r y h a s e x p e r ie n c e d , have been in s u ffic ie n t t o f in a n c e th e la r g e s p e n d in g g ro w th t h a t h a s nno^r r e ^ ‘ * i S 3 f e s u lt' th is c o u n try has e x p e r ie n c e d u n p re c e d e n te d p e a c e tim e b u d g e t d e f i c i t s i n r e c e n t y e a r s a n d n ow la b o r s u nd er n e a r ly a t r i l l i o n d o l l a r n a t i o n a l d e b t . Th. sh arp u pw ard over u n o r e S d J l^ u n p re c e d e n te d a c c e le r a te . s p ir a l g ro w th of in F ed eral F ederal s p e n d in g s p e n d in g is has sh ow n t h . absen ce o f budget c o n tr o l a c tio n s , th re a te n s to F ro m 1 9 5 5 t o 1 9 6 4 , s p e n d in g in c r e a s e d -2- in a c c e le r a te d T a b le 1. s h a r p ly d e c is iv e and c o n tin u e to “ a ll a n n u a t a vera g e r a te o f ab o u t 6% . T h i s r a t e a c c e l e r a t e d t o a b o u t 10% in th e 1 9 6 4 -7 6 p e r io d a n d i s e s t i m a t e d t o b e c l o s e t o 12% f o r t h e 1 9 7 6 -8 1 p e r i o d , o r d o u b le th e ra te of 1 9 5 5 -6 4 . In th e m ost recent p e r i o d , s p e n d i n g i s e s t i m a t e d t o i n c r e a s e a t a 16% a n n u a l r a te o v e r 1 9 7 9 -8 1 . T a b le 1 . — GROWTH IN FEDERAL SPENDING 1 9 5 5 -6 4 1 9 7 6 -8 1 1 9 7 9 -8 1 A n n u a l R a te o f G ro w th ( P e r c e n t ) ; N a t i o n a l d e f e n s e ............................................... N o n d e f e n s e .................................................................. 2 .9 9 .9 1 1 .9 1 2 .0 1 7 .0 1 5 .5 T o t a l ............................................................... 6 .3 1 1 .9 1 5 .9 9 .4 9. 3 5 .3 1 6 ■8 5 .3 1 7 .0 2 2 .1 2 2 .3 A v e r a g e O u t l a y S h a r e o f GNP; N a t i o n a l d e f e n s e ............................................... N o n d e f e n s e .................................................................. T o t a l ............................................................... 1 8 .7 A s a s h a r e o f g r o s s n a t i o n a l p r o d u c t (G N P ), t h e n o n d e fe n s e s e c t o r o f th e bu d get has in c r e a s e d d r a m a tic a lly s in c e th e p r e -1 9 6 4 p e r io d . D u r in g t h i s p e r i o d , m any o f t h e G r e a t S o c i e t y a n d n e w e r e n t i t l e m e n t p r o g r a m s cam e i n t o f u l l b lo o m . T h is r a p id g ro w th in n o n d e fe n s e s p e n d in g occurred p a r tly at th e exp en se o f sh arp r e d u c t i o n s i n t h e d e f e n s e s h a r e o f GNP a n d p a r t l y a t t h e exp en se o f an i n c r e a s e in t o t a l F e d e r a l s p e n d in g a s a s h a r e o f GNP. It is a ls o s ig n ific a n t t h a t w h ile in th e f i r s t p e r io d F e d e r a l reven u es averaged ju s t 1 8 .0 % o f GNP/ budget s u r p lu s e s w ere fr e q u e n tly a c h ie v e d and net a d d itio n s to th e n a tio n a l d eb t a m o u n te d t o o n l y $ 3 3 b i l l i o n , o r an a v e r a g e o f a b o u t $3 b illio n per year. D u r in g th e 1 9 7 6 -8 1 p e r io d , th e F e d e r a l ta x sh a re o f GNP i n c r e a s e d s h a r p l y , y e t n e t a d d i t i o n s to th e n a tio n a l debt t o t a l e d $ 3 9 0 b i l l i o n , o r b e t t e r th a n $ 6 0 b i l l i o n p e r y e a r . -3- PRELIMINARY BUDGET OUTLOOK T>ie P r e sid e n t’ s o v e r a ll e c o n o m ic p la n % t D o lic v b a se in c lu d e s a s u b s ta n tia l d e fe n s e . W hen a l l o w a n c e i s m ade f o r cannot su cceed w ith o u t a «SS.t u n d e r fu n d in g of n a tio n a l fu n d in g im p * ? ^ e d ^ r e a d in e s s and a s te a d y b u ild u p o f c o n v e n tio n a l and s tr a te g ic fo r c e s l e v e l s c o m m e n su ra te w it h p r e s e n t w o r ld c o n d i t i o n s , t o t a l s p e n i n g g ro w th r a t e s w o u ld r e a c h e v e n m ore i n f l a t i o n a r y l e v e l s . O u tla y s w o u ld g r o w a t d o u b l e d i g i t r a t e s , h i t t i n g t h e o n e t r i l l i o n d o l l a r s p e n d in g m a rk by 1986. The P r e s id e n t h a s t h e r e f o r e d e te r m in e d t h a t in o r d e r to re sto re c o n fid e n c e in f i n a n c i a l m a r k e ts and a c h i e v e r a p i d a n d s u s t a i n e d r e d u c tio n in p r e s e n t d o u b le d i g i t i n f l a t i o n and in te r e s t ra te s, F ederal s p e n d in g g r o w t h m u s t b e h e l d t o 6% i n 1 9 8 2 w i t h s i m i l a r r e s tr a in t in fu tu r e fis c a l years. To a c h i e v e t h i s c r i t i c a l o b j e c t i v e , F e d e r a l o u t l a y s m u st b e h e ld to $696 b illio n in 1 9 8 2 , $ 7 3 3 b i l l i o n in 1 9 8 3 and t o s i m i l a r l y r e s t r a in e d l e v e l s in f u t u r e y e a r s . T h ese s u b s ta n tia lly reduced ra te s o f in c r e a s e r e la t iv e to th e c u r r e n t p o lic y b a se c o n s t i t u t e a sh arp r e v e r s a l o f r e c e n t tr e n d s : r a th e r th a n in c r e a s in g f a s t e r t h a n t h e g r o w t h r a t e o f n o m i n a l GNP a n d th e F ederal ta x base, F ed eral s p e n d i n g w o u ld g r o w s u b s t a n t i a l l y s l o w e r — a n e s s e n t i a l p r e - c o n d i t i o n f o r e n d in g i n f l a t i o n . T h is d ocu m en t p r e s e n t s a p r e lim in a r y e s tim a te of th e budget sa v in g s m easu res r e q u ir e d to a c h i e v e t h e P r e s i d e n t 's s p e n d in g lim ita tio n g o a ls . M ore r e f i n e d e s t i m a t e s w i l l be sen t to th e C on gress on M arch 1 0 w h en t h e p r e s e n t i n t e n s i v e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n r e v ie w and r e v i s i o n o f t h e 1 9 8 2 b u d g e t i s c o m p le t e d . N e v e r th e le s s , T a b le 2 p r o v id e s a c le a r in d ic a tio n o f th e m a g n itu d e of th e u n a v o id a b le ta sk ahead. To s t a y w it h in t h e p r o p o s e d 1 9 8 2 s p e n d in g c e i l i n g , c u r r e n t p o l i c y o u t l a y s , i n c l u d i n g an a d d i t i o n a l $ 7 . 2 b i l l i o n f o r d e f e n s e , m u st b e r e d u c e d b y $ 4 1 .4 b illio n or by 6% . To m a in ta in fu t u r e y e a r c e i l i n g s w i l l r e q u i r e even la r g e r r e d u c tio n s fr o m th e cu rren t p o lic y b ase. T h ese sa v in g s r e d u c tio n ta rg e ts are now e s t i m a t e d a t $ 8 0 b i l l i o n in 1 9 8 3 and s l i g h t l y in e x c e s s o f $ 1 0 0 b i l l i o n b y 1 9 8 4 . Due t o t h e h u g e l e a d t i m e b u i l t i n t o t h e F e d e r a l budget b e tw e e n s p e n d in g p o lic y changes and a c t u a l r e d u c t io n s o u tla y s i t i s im p e r a tiv e th a t l e g i s l a t i v e and e x e c u tiv e 1/ p rocess in c a sh a c tio n The c u r r e n t p o l i c y b a s e u sed in th is docum ent g e n e r a lly r e fle c ts e s tim a te s of w hat b u d g e t a m o u n ts w o u ld b e i f n o c h a n g e s w e r e m ad e t o c u r r e n t p r o g r a m o r s e r v i c e l e v e l s u s i n g c u r r e n t e c o n o m ic a s s u m p t io n s . H ow ever, d e fe n s e p u rch ases and fo r e ig n a id a r e in c lu d e d in t h e b a s e i n t h e a m o u n ts in th e C a r te r a d m in is t r a t io n ’ s b u d g e t. -4- T a b l e 2 . — BUDGET S A V IN G S PLAN (O u tla y s in b i l l i o n s o f d o l la r s ) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1986 1986 6 5 7 .8 1. 3 729.7 7.2 792.1 20.7 849.0 27.0 911.4 50.2 972.8 63.1 C u r r e n t p o l i c y b a s e w ith a d e q u a t e d e f e n s e .................................................. 6 5 9 .1 736.9 812.8 876.0 961.6 1035.9 P r e s i d e n t 's B u d g e t P l a n ; P r o p o s e d s p e n d i n g c e i l i n g .......................... B u d g e t s a v i n g s t a r g e t ...................................... 6 5 4 .7 4 .4 695.5 41.4 733.1 79.7 771.6 104.4 844.0 117.6 912.1 123.8 E x is tin g B udget S t a t u s ; C u r r e n t p o l i c y b a s e ............................................ A d d e d d e f e n s e f u n d s 1 / ................................... P r e s i d e n t 's B u d g e t S a v in g s P r o p o s a l s : A c t i o n s r e c o m m e n d e d n ow o r t o b e i n c lu d e d in M arch r e v i s i o n s : B u d g e t o u t l a y r e d u c t i o n s ................... O ff-b u d g e t o u tla y r e d u c t i o n s ... U s e r c h a r g e s ( r e c e i p t s ) ...................... S u b t o t a l ............................................................ 4 .8 ( 0 .7 ) ( -------) ( 5 .5 ) B udget s a v in g s t o be p re se n te d s u b s e q u e n t l y .................................................. 41.4 (5.7) (2.0) 58 i 5 (7.4) (2.6) 73.7 (9.2) (3.0) 86.6 (11.1) (3.5) 95.8 (13.1) (3.9) (49.1) (68.5) (85.9) (101.2) (112.8) 21.2 30.7 31.0 28.0 1 / T h e s e i n c r e a s e d a m o u n ts d o n o t i n c l u d e t h e s a v i n g s f o r d e f e n s e s p e c ifie d la te r in th is d o cu m e n t. They rep resen t an o u ts id e e s tim a te o f p o t e n t ia lly n e c e ssa r y d e fe n se in c r e a s e s a f t e r ta k in g s a v in g s in t o a c c o u n t. T h e s e a m o u n t s w i l l b e f u l l y r e v i e w e d a n d m ay be r e v is e d fo r th e M arch budget s u b m is s io n . commence Mediately on P « s ! ^ n ? s la b u ^ e r " a " n gf g o a is . S e c tio n II of th is docum ent th e fo r m of e n title m e n t ch an ges, b lo c k grant le g is la tiv e p r o p o s a ls and p r o p o s e d a p p r o p r ia t io n r e s c i s s i o n s , d e fe r r a ls r e v is e d th e 1982 e a r lie s t a u th o r ity p o s s ib le re q u e sts w ill be fo r w a rd e d to C on gress d a te. In a d d it io n , th e P r e s id e n t h a s u r g e n tly in s tr u c te d a ll a 9 « £ < ]y h e a d s and o t h e r e x e c u t i v e b r a n c h p o l i c y m a k e rs t o d e v e l o p f u r t h e r p r o p o s a ls and p la n s fo r r e d u c in g o v e r h e a d c o s t s , p r o g r a m m a tic e x p e n d itu r e s , and o th e r s a v in g s in u n e s s e n tia l govern m ent s p e n d in g . T h ese a d d it io n a l s a v in g s m easu res w i l l be p r e s e n te d in th e 1 9 8 2 b u d g e t r e v i s i o n s d u r in g t h e s e c o n d w eek in M arch a n d in a d d itio n a l m essages to th e C on gress in th e w eeks and m o n th s ahead. For t h e s e r e a s o n s , th e e s t im a t e s in t h i s d ocu m en t a r e n e c e s s a r i l y p r e lim in a r y . They are d e r iv e d by r e p r ic in g base fig u r e s a v a i l a b l e in th e J a n u a ry 1 9 8 2 b u d g e t. M ore p r e c i s e a m o u n ts w ill b e p r e s e n t e d in t h e M arch r e v i s i o n s . R E C E IP T S WITH TAX REDUCTION PROGRAM T a b le 3 d e m o n stra te s th e c u r r e n tly e s tim a te d im p a c t o f th e P r e s i d e n t ’ s t a x r e d u c t i o n p r o p o s a ls on b o t h F e d e r a l r e c e i p t s and on t h e t a x b u r d e n b o r n e b y w o r k e r s an d b u s i n e s s e s . U n der c u r r e n t la w , r e c e ip ts w o u ld c o n t i n u e t o e x h i b i t t h e d e b i l i t a t i n g g r o w t h r a te s o f th e r e c e n t p a s t , r is in g a t a 14% annual ra te th ro u g h 1986. M oreover, th e F ederal ta x sh are of GNP w o u l d h i t a n h i s t o r i c h i g h a t 2 2 .0 % i n 1 9 8 2 a n d w o u ld c o n t i n u e t o r i s e t o o v e r 24% b y 1 9 8 6 . T h is c o n t r a s t s m a r k e d ly , w ith t h e a v e r a g e 18% ta x s h a r e o f GNP d u r i n g t h e h i g h GNP g r o w t h p e r i o d o f t h e m i d - 1 9 6 0 ' s . The P r e s i d e n t 's ta x r e d u c tio n program e lim in a te s th e se p r o s p e c t i v e i n c r e a s e s and lo w e r s o v e r a l l F e d e r a l t a x burd en s to le v e ls m ore c o m p a tib le w ith v ig o r o u s p r i v a t e s e c t o r g r o w th and ren ew ed e c o n o m ic i n c e n t i v e s . N e v e r th e le s s , d e s p ite s u b s ta n tia l ta x ra te re d u c tio n s and th e s te a d ily fa llin g in fla t io n r a te s a ssu re d in th e A d m in is tr a tio n e c o n o m ic s c e n a r io l / , F ed eral r e c e ip ts , i n c l u d i n g m o d e s t a m o u n ts fr o m t h e P r e s i d e n t 's u s e r f e e p r o p o s a l s , w o u ld g r o w b y n e a r l y 10% a n n u a l l y . The e x p e c te d $342 b illio n r is e th a n a d e q u a te fu tu r e b u d g et in F e d e r a l r e c e ip t s o v e r t o fu n d p la n n e d o u tla y d e fic its . th e 1 9 8 1 -8 6 le v e ls and 1/ e c o n o m ic recovery c o n ta in e d in th e p la n fo r s e c t io n o f t h i s d o c u m e n t. D e ta ile d e c o n o m ic a s s u m p tio n s a r e and in th e l a s t -6- p e r io d i s m ore to e lim in a te W IT H C u rren t la w In d iv id u a l T a b l e 3 . — CURRENTEY E ST IM A T E D R E C E IP T S P R E S I D E N T 'S T AX REDUCTION PROGRAM AND USER FEE ( d o l l a r a m o u n ts i n b i l l i o n s ) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1 / ......................................... 6 0 9 .0 7 0 2 .4 8 0 7 .6 9 1 7 .2 1 0 3 3 .2 1 1 5 9 .8 r e d u c t i o n ................ -6 .4 -4 4 .2 -8 1 .4 -1 1 8 .1 -1 4 1 .5 -1 6 2 .4 r e f o r m ..................................................... -2 .5 -9 .7 -1 8 .6 -3 0 .0 -4 4 .2 -5 9 .3 2 .0 2 .6 3 .0 3 .5 3 .9 r e c e ip ts in c o m e D e p r e c ia tio n PROPOSALS ta x P rop osed u ser c h a r g e s ............................................... R e c e ip ts w ith n ew ......... p o l i c y ......................... 6 0 0 .2 6 5 0 .5 7 1 0 .2 7 7 2 .1 8 5 0 .9 9 4 2 .0 S h a r e o f GNP; C u r r e n t l a w 1 / ................... ........................................ A f t e r t a x r e d u c t i o n p r o g r a m ................... 2 1 .4 2 1 .1 2 2 .0 2 0 .4 2 2 .4 1 9 .7 22 .9 1 9 .3 23 .5 1 9 .3 2 4 .1 1 9 .6 1/ 1984, ta x I n c l u d e s e x t e n s i o n o f h ig h w a y t r u s t and a d d itio n a l r e c e ip ts needed b a s is . fu n d t a x e s t o m a in ta in s c h e d u le d to e x p ir e t h e h ig h w a y t r u s t fu n d S e p te m b e r 3 0 , on an a c c r u a l CURRENTLY ESTIM ATED BUDGET OUTLOOK WITH P R E S ID E N T 'S BUDGET SAV IN G S AND TAX REDUCTION PROGRAMS The o f f i c i a l b u d g e t e s t i m a t e s r e f l e c t i n g t h e P r e s i d e n t 's t a x an d b u d g e t s a v in g s p r o p o s a ls w i l l b e fo rw a rd e d t o th e C o n g r e s s a lo n g w ith th e 1982 budget r e v i s i o n s on M arch 1 0 . The t a b l e b e lo w , h ow ev er, p r o v id e s a p r e lim in a r y e s tim a te o f th e ren ew ed fis c a l b a la n c e th a t can be a c h ie v e d if th e se m easu res are fu lly im p le m e n te d . F ir m a d h e r e n c e t o t h e p r o p o s e d o u t l a y c e i l i n g s w i l l s t e a d i l y r e d u c e F e d e r a l s p e n d in g a s a s h a r e of GNP. It w o u ld a ls o r e s u lt in r a p id r e d u c tio n o f th e F e d e ra l d e f i c i t and th e a c h ie v e m e n t o f b a la n c e b y 1 9 8 4 , w ith m o d e st s u r p lu s e s t h e r e a f t e r . R edu ced F e d e r a l b o r r o w in g p r e s s u r e s on c r e d i t m a r k e ts w o u ld , in tu rn , fa c ilita te a s t e a d y r e d u c t i o n i n m oney s u p p ly g r o w th a n d r e - i n f o r c e t h e a n t i - i n f l a t i o n a r y im p a c t o f s h a r p l y lo w e r s p e n d i n g g ro w th r a t e s . NEW P R IO R IT IE S A c h ie v in g th e P r e s i d e n t 's b u d g e t s a v in g s t a r g e t w i l l r e q u i r e t h a t th e in d is c r im in a t e p r o l i f e r a t i o n o f n ew F ed eral program s m u st co m e t o an e n d . The e v e r -w id e n in g r e a c h o f F e d e r a l e c o n o m ic an d s o c ia l r e s p o n s ib ilitie s m u st be reversed . N u m erou s p o o r ly c o n c e iv e d o r u n e s s e n t ia l p rogram s i n i t i a t e d d u r in g r e c e n t d e c a d e s m u st b e e li m i n a t e d o r s e v e r e l y r e d u c e d . F e d e r a l Ub n L ^ e s ? 5 a w l, and d is a r r a y t h a t c h a r a c t e r i z e s F e d e r a l b u d g e t , t h e P r e s i d e n t 's p la n e s ta b lis h e s tw o fir m o v e r r id in g p r i o r i t i e s : in a d e S ia te in a d e q u a te — a d e q u a te 5 5 E T d e fe n s e fu n d in g resou f c? s to r e b u ild c a p a c i t i e s ; and of in C lU d i" 9 e s se n tia l s o c ia l c° s t -o f -liv in g ! 2 5 t t 2 r * « ? ’S o , ; 2 . S ! T J . th e N a t i o n 's s a fe tv p ro te «?o n ?«>« th e and L r net “ e Federal. w id e s p r e a d r e d u c t i o n . A s i s sh o w n i j T ab l P 5 ° r ° ? s c r u t in y and budget sa v in q s n la n w ill H r S ' ,, 5 ' th e P r e s i d e n t 's a llo c a tio n s . By 1 9 8 4 , t h e d lfe n s p ^ r e “ ° 5 der in t e r n a l b u d g e t p resen t 24% s h a r e t ^ 32% WiH rise * ro m th e s t i l l l e s s th a n t h e d e fe n s e a s u b s t a n t ia l e x p a n s io n , b u t I960-s . S o c ia l s J fe t y n e ? b u d g e t s h a r e , d e m o n s tr a tin g w ill not be fin a n c e d p rogram s. ln *n ced at e x n fn ^ Share° f th e 1950's and th a t th e ^ rJ *1 ^ 1S° in c r e a s e t h e i r r e q u ir e d d e fe n se b u ild u p th e e x p e n s e o f v i t a l in c o m e s u p p o r t -8 - W IT H T a b l e 4 . — CURRENTLY E ST IM A T E D BUDGET OUTLOOK P R E S I D E N T 'S BUDGET S A V IN G S AND T A X REDUCTION PROGRAM ( d o l l a r a m o u n ts i n b i l l i o n s ) T a r g e t o u t l a y c e i l i n g s ........................................................ E s tim a te d r e c e i p t s a f t e r ta x r e d u c tio n T arget Share of i VO I d e fic it (-) or s u r p l u s ... 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 6 5 4 .7 6 9 5 .5 7 3 3 .1 7 7 1 .6 8 4 4 .0 9 1 2 .1 6 0 0 .2 6 5 0 .5 7 1 0 .2 7 7 2 .1 8 5 0 .9 9 4 2 .0 -5 4 .5 -4 5 .0 -2 2 .9 + 0 .5 + 6 .9 + 2 9 .9 2 3 .0 2 1 .1 2 1 .8 2 0 .4 2 0 .4 1 9 .7 1 9 .3 1 9 .3 1 9 .2 1 9 .3 1 9 .0 1 9 .6 GNP: T a b l e 5 . — S H I F T IN B U D G E T P R I O R I T I E S U N D E R P R E S I D E N T ' S P L A N ( d o l l a r a m o u n t s in b i l l i o n s ) D e p a rtm e n t o f D e f e n s e -M i l i t a r y S o c ia l s a f e t y n e t p r o g r a m s .... N e t i n t e r e s t ................................................... A l l o t h e r .................................... ....................... T o ta l O u tla y Shares 1962 1981 1984 $ 4 6 .8 2 6 .2 6 .9 2 6 .9 $ 1 5 7 .9 2 3 9 .3 6 4 .3 1 9 3 .2 $ 2 4 9 .8 3 1 3 .0 6 6 .8 1 4 2 .0 1 0 6 .8 6 5 4 .7 7 7 1 .6 (P e r c e n t) D e p a rtm e n t o f D e f e n s e - M i l i t a r y S o c ia l s a f e t y n e t p r o g r a m s .... N e t i n t e r e s t ................................................... A l l o t h e r ............................................................ 4 3 .8 2 4 .5 6 .4 2 5 .2 T o ta l 1 0 0 .0 % 2 4 .1 3 6 .6 9 .8 2 9 .5 1 0 0 .0 % 3 2 .4 4 0 .6 8 .6 1 8 .4 1 0 0 .0 % In resp on se to s h a r p ly im p ro v e d e c o n o m ic and fin a n c ia l c o n d itio n s , th e debt s e r v ic e sh are w i l l f a l l so m e w h a t. As a c o n se q u e n c e , th e sh a re a c c o u n te d fo r by a ll o th e r p rogram s, r a n g in g fr o m s u b s i d i z e d e n e r g y p r o j e c t s , t o c a t e g o r i c a l a i d s f o r e d u c a t io n , t o s u b s i d i e s f o r b u s i n e s s and a g r i c u l t u r e w i l l s h r in k d r a m a tic a lly . -1 0 - Shift in Budget Priorities. (P e r c e n t C o m p o s itio n o f O u tla y s ) 1984 BUDGET REFORM C R IT E R IA The d r a s t i c fis c a l re tre n c h m e n t r e q u ir e d by th e P r e s id e n t’ s e c o n o m ic p la n w i l l b e a c h i e v e d th r o u g h t h e im p o s i t i o n o f a s e t o f c le a r , c o n s is te n t, and e c o n o m ic a lly sou n d p o lic y c r ite r ia . S p e n d i n g h a s a c h i e v e d r u n a w a y m om entum i n recen t years becau se such c r ite r ia w ere la r g e ly absen t in b o th th e e x e c u t iv e and le g is la t iv e bran ch es. D u r in g t h i s f i s c a l "o p e n s e a s o n ," a lm o s t no dem and f o r F e d e r a l a s s i s t a n c e fr o m a n y s e c t o r o f t h e e c o n o m y , r e g io n o f t h e N a t i o n , o t h e r u n it o f G o v e rn m e n t, o r t h e n o n - p r o f i t se c to r w as c o n sid e r e d in v a lid . As a con sequ en ce, F ederal p rogram s to d a y are fu n d in g e v e r y t h i n g fr o m w i n d m i ll s t o lu x u r y h o t e l s , e m p ty p a s s e n g e r t r a i n s , s e w e r c o l l e c t o r l i n e s , m u n ic ip a l p a y r o l l s , an d a w id e v a r i e t y o f e d u c a t i o n a l and s o c i a l s e r v i c e s . The in itia l roun d of b u d g et s a v in g s d e t a ile d in t h i s docum ent c o r r e s p o n d t o t h e n ew c r i t e r i a t h a t t h e P r e s i d e n t h a s e s t a b l i s h e d fo r e v a lu a tin g c la im s fo r F e d e ra l su p p o rt. In th e w eeks and m o n th s ahead, t h e s e c r i t e r i a w i l l be fu r th e r a p p lie d v ig o r o u s ly t o a l l a r e a s o f t h e b u d g e t in an e f f o r t to a c h ie v e s u b s ta n tia l fu r th e r e x p e n d itu r e s a v in g s . T h ese c r ite r ia ares — p r e s e r v a tio n — r e v is e e n title m e n ts to — red uce m id d le -u p p e r in c o m e — re co v e r c le a r ly a llo c a b le g o v e rn m e n ta l r e c e i p t s ) ; — a p p ly — stre tc h out and re ta rg e t im p r o v e m e n t p r o g r a m s ; sou n d of th e c r ite r ia im p o se f i s c a l in te r e s t; s o c ia l e lim in a te to r e s tr a in t — c o n s o lid a te g r a n t s ; and — red u ce overh ead g o v e rn m e n t. on n et; u n in te n d e d b e n e fits ; b e n e fits ; c o sts fr o m e c o n o m ic c a te g o r ic a l and s a fe ty p erson n el s u b sid y p u b lic o th e r gran t u sers (in c r e a s e in p rogram s; se c to r program s of program s in to c o sts th e of c a p ita l n a tio n a l b lo c k F ederal The d is c u s s io n b e lo w o u t l i n e s t h e s e b u d g e t r e fo r m c r i t e r i a and p r o v i d e s i l l u s t r a t i o n s o f p r o g r a m r e d u c t i o n s r e s u l t i n g fr o m t h e i r a p p lic a tio n . F u ll d e t a i ls o f p roposed b u d get p o lic y ch an ges are p r o v id e d in th e fo llo w in g s e c t i o n s . -12- Preservation of the Social Safety Net D u r in g t h e c e n t u r y 's f i r s t g r e a t c r i s i s o f t h e A m e r ic a n e c o n o m y , a new s y s t e m o f in c o m e s e c u r ity m easu res w as e re c te d in th e 1 9 3 0 's to p ro te ct th e e l d e r l y , u n e m p lo y e d , an d p o o r fr o m t h a t era's severe e c o n o m ic bu rd en s. D u r in g th e su bseq u en t fo u r d ecad es, t h e s e p ro g ra m s w e re m a in t a in e d and im p r o v e d , and b eca m e t h e c o r e o f t h e N a t i o n 's p erm an en t s o c ia l s a fe ty n et. T h ese e sse n tia l c o m m itm e n ts n ow tra n sc e n d d iffe r e n c e s o f id e o lo g y , p a r t is a n s h ip , and f i s c a l p r i o r i t i e s . T h u s , a s we s e e k t o r e s o l v e t h e s e c o n d g r e a t e c o n o m ic c r is is th is cen tu ry , in part th ro u g h severe bu d get r e d u c tio n s , P r e s id e n t b e lie v e s th a t th e e s s e n t i a l s o c i a l s a fe t y n e t m u st m a in ta in e d . In d eed , th e P r e s i d e n t 's budget r e fo r m p la n a n im a te d b y and m u st b e u n d e r s to o d in te r m s o f i t s m o t i v a t i o n p reserve and r e p r e se n t th e o v e r th e p a s t m a in ta in th o se a c c ru e d perm an en t fiv e d ecad es. of th e be is to s o c ia l s a fe ty n e t p rogram s t h a t c o n s e n s u s o f t h e A m e r ic a n p e o p le N ot every p r o g r a m d e f e n d e d i n t h e nam e o f t h e d i s a d v a n t a g e d c a n o r s h o u ld b e c o n s id e r e d p a r t o f t h e e s s e n t i a l s o c i a l s a f e t y n et. B u t t h e P r e s i d e n t h a s d e t e r m i n e d t h a t , a t a m in im u m , t h e p r o g r a m s d e s c r ib e d in T a b le 6 m e r it th e h ig h e s t p r i o r i t y . O n ly m o d e s t r e v i s i o n s a r e p r o p o s e d f o r t h e s e p r o g r a m s , w it h s a v i n g s a m o u n tin g to one p e r c e n t o f 1982 o u tla y l e v e l s . As th e t a b le in d ic a t e s , th e d o lla r c o m m itm e n t to th e se core s o c ia l sa fe ty net program s w i l l be s u b s t a n t ia l o v e r th e n e x t 5 years. Any s ig n ific a n t re tre a t fr o m p rop osed r e d u c tio n s e ls e w h e r e i n t h e b u d g e t w i l l p o s e a t h r e a t t o t h e N a t i o n 's f i s c a l c a p a c i t y t o m a in t a in t h e a b o v e c o m m itm e n ts . In a d d i t i o n t o t h e c o r e co m p o n e n ts o f t h e s o c i a l s a f e t y n e t , t h e P r e s id e n t h a s d e te r m in e d t h a t c e r t a i n o th e r im p o r ta n t program s can n ow be m a in ta in e d a t p r e s e n t l e v e l s . T h u s , th e H ead S t a r t p ro g ra m , s e r v in g 3 7 5 ,0 0 0 c h ild r e n a t an a n n u a l c o s t o f o v e r $800 m illio n ; th e su m m e r y o u t h e m p l o y m e n t p r o g r a m , p r o v i d i n g su m m e r jo b s t o 8 0 0 ,0 0 0 t o 9 0 0 ,0 0 0 lo w -in c o m e y o u t h s a t an a n n u a l c o s t o f a b o u t $ 8 0 0 m i l l i o n ; and s u b s id iz e d s c h o o l n u t r i t io n p rogram s fo r lo w -in c o m e c h ild r e n and p rogram s to p r o v id e m e a ls fo r th e e l d e r l y , w ith an a n n u a l c o s t o f $ 2 .1 b illio n can p r e s e n tly be sp ared of a ll th e o th e r sh arp re d u c tio n s p rogram s. th a t have n e c e s s a r ily been r e q u ir e d The a b o v e d i s c u s s i o n m akes c l e a r t h a t th e d o l l a r r e q u ir e m e n ts to m a in ta in th e s o c ia l s a fe ty net are and w i l l c o n tin u e t o be s u b s ta n tia l. H ard c h o i c e s and d i f f i c u l t t r a d e o f f s h a v e n o t been a v o id e d b y th e P r e s id e n t in d e v i s in g t h e b u d g e t r e fo r m p la n . In d e fe n d in g and s e e k in g t o m a in ta in th e s o c i a l s a f e t y n e t , h o w e v e r, th e P r e sid e n t h a s a r t ic u la t e d a se n se o f p r i o r i t i e s th a t i s b o th c le a r and w id e ly s h a r e d . -13- Table 6.— SOCIAL SAFETY NET PROGRAMS ( d o l l a r a m o u n t s in b i l l i o n s ) 1981 1 982 184.0 20.3 209.2 17.2 15.1 20.0 n e t . . . . ................ S o c ia l s a fe ty n et as p e rc e n t "ta r g e t o u t l a y c e i l i n g " .............................................................................. S o c ia l in s u r a n c e b e n e f i t s fo r th e e ld e r ly . B a s i c u n e m p l o y m e n t b e n e f i t s ............................................ C ash b e n e f i t s f o r d e p e n d e n t f a m i l i e s , e l d e r l y , a n d d i s a b l e d ............................................................ S o c i a l o b l i g a t i o n t o v e t e r a n s . . . ............................. O u tla y s fo r s o c ia l s a fe ty 1984 1985 1986 233.1 15.2 256.3 15.2 280.4 14.7 305.1 14.4 15.4 22.1 16.7 23.9 16.0 25.5 17.3 27.4 17.9 28.8 239.3 263.9 288.8 313 . 0 339.9 366.1 36.6 37.9 39.4 40.6 40.3 40.1 1983- Revise Entitlements to Eliminate Un in t e n d e d Benefits The N a t i o n 's s o c ia l s a fe ty net c o n s is ts p r im a r ily of le g is la tiv e ly e s t a b lis h e d e n t it le m e n t s t o fix e d s o c i a l in s u r a n c e o r m e a n s -te s te d b e n e f i t s . W h ile p o sin g s e r io u s p r o b le m s fo r s h o r t -r u n fis c a l m a n a g e m e n t, su ch e n title m e n ts are th e o n ly p r a c t i c a l w ay t o e n s u r e r e l i a b l e a n d r e g u l a r p a y m e n t o f b e n e fits t o m i l l i o n s o f A m e r ic a n c i t i z e n s . D u r in g th e la s t 20 years, h ow ever, th e F e d e ra l e n t itle m e n ts s t r u c t u r e a n d r e l a t e d in c o m e s e c u r ity program s have e x h ib ite d r a p id , n e a r ly u n in te r r u p te d real g ro w th . T o t a l p a y m e n ts f o r in d iv id u a ls in c r e a s e d a t a r a te n e a r ly d o u b le th a t of o v e r a ll b u d g e t g ro w th and 2♦ 5 t im e s f a s t e r th a n GNP. M o reov er, th e sh are of to ta l b u d g e t o u t l a y s a c c o u n te d f o r b y t h e s e b e n e f i t p a y m e n ts ro se d r a m a tic a lly . T a b le 7 . — GROWTH OF EN TITLE M EN T AND INCOME S E C U R IT Y ( d o l l a r ' a m o u n ts i n b i l l i o n s ) C u rren t D o lla r s 1972 D o lla r s 3 4 .1 4 4 .4 7 1 .9 1 2 4 .4 1 5 3 .3 1 9 6 0 ...................................... .. 1 9 6 5 ...................................... .. 1 9 7 0 ........................................ 1 9 7 5 ........................................ 1 9 8 1 ...................................... .. PAYMENTS S hare o f F e d e ra l B udget 2 6 .0 % 2 8 .4 33 .6 4 8 .0 5 0 .3 M u ch o f t h i s g r o w t h r e p r e s e n t s i n c r e a s e d c o v e r a g e o f w ork ers in th e s o c ia l s e c u r ity sy ste m and r e a l b e n e f i t in c r e a s e s . But a s u b s t a n t ia l p r o p o r tio n i s due t o th e c r e a tio n of num erou s n ew e n title m e n ts and b e n e fits s in c e 1970 or m a jo r e x p a n s io n o f e a r lie r p rogram s. A s i s sh ow n in th e fo llo w in g ta b le , th e se new er in c o m e s e c u r ity p ro g ra m s h a v e e x h i b i t e d e x p l o s i v e g ro w th p a tte rn s — in c r e a s in g t e n fo ld in a s in g le d e c a d e . -15- T a b le 8 . — OUTLAYS FOR R E L A T IV E L Y NEW OR EXPANDED FEDERAL A S S IS T A N C E PROGRAMS (in m illio n s o f d o lla r s ) 1970 F o o d s t a m p s .................................................................................................................. B l a c k l u n g ( c o a l m i n e r b e n e f i t s ) .................................................. E x t e n d e d u n e m p l o y m e n t b e n e f i t s ........................................................ W IC ( f o o d s u p p l e m e n t s ) ................................................................................ L o w - i n c o m e e n e r g y a s s i s t a n c e .............................................................. S u p p l e m e n t a l s e c u r i t y i n c o m e .............................................................. H o u s i n g a s s i s t a n c e ............................................................................................. T r a d e a d j u s t m e n t a s s i s t a n c e ................................................................. S c h o o l n u t r i t i o n ................................................................................................... S o c i a l s e c u r i t y d i s a b i l i t y .................................................................... T o t a l ...................................................................................................................... * P red ecessor 1981 577 10 ........ ........ ........ 1 ,8 1 2 * 480 3 383 2 , 352 1 0 ,9 5 0 1 ,7 1 8 4 ,0 9 4 904 1 ,8 9 6 7 ,3 0 5 6 ,8 6 1 2 ,7 4 3 3 ,4 8 5 16, 978 5 ,6 1 7 5 6 ,9 3 4 p rogram s. T he g r o w th p a t t e r n s o f t h e p a s t tw o decades have s te m m e d fro m m u ltip le sou rces. A t t i m e s , p rogra m s w ere d e v e lo p e d in r e s p o n s e t o n ew p e r c e p t i o n s o f n e e d ; at o th e r tim e s to n ew ty p e s of p r o b le m s . The s u b s ta n tia l e x p a n s io n of th e fo o d a s s i s t a n c e p rogram s in th e e a r ly 1 9 7 0 's in r e s p o n s e t o e v id e n c e o f n a tio n a l hunger and m a ln u tr itio n is an e x a m p le of th e fo r m e r ; th e lo w -in c o m e e n e r g y a s s i s t a n c e p a y m e n ts r e f l e c t t h e l a t t e r . O th e r sources o f g ro w th have in c lu d e d : — E x p a n s io n o r l i b e r a l i z a t i o n o f s o c i a l in s u r a n c e c o v e r a g e a s re p re se n te d by th e near d o u b lin g o f th e s o c ia l s e c u r ity d is a b ility c a s e lo a d s in c e 1970 and th e $2 b illio n cost of s o c ia l s e c u r ity stu d e n t p a y m e n ts, c r e a te d in 1 9 6 5 . — S t a t u t o r y , a d m i n i s t r a t i o n , and ju d ic ia l lib e r a liz a tio n of e lig ib ility c r i t e r i a f o r m e a n s -te s te d p ro g ra m s. In m any c a s e s , t h e t r u e m e a s u r e o f in c o m e f o r p u rp oses of e s ta b lis h in g e l i g i b i l i t y i s b a d ly d i s t o r t e d . T here h as been a ste a d y e x p a n s io n o f d e d u c tio n s to in c o m e , in c lu d in g s h e lte r a llo w a n c e s , c h ild c a re c o s t s , w ork r e la t e d e x p e n s e s , m e d ic a l and v a r io u s ty p e s o f ir r e g u la r in c o m e . The "p y r a m id in g " o f t h e s e d e d u c t io n s f r e q u e n t ly c r e a t e s a w id e g a p b e tw e e n a r e a s o n a b le m easu re o f a r e c i p i e n t ' s g r o s s in c o m e a n d " c o u n t a b l e " in c o m e u s e d f o r b e n e fit d e te r m in a tio n . T h ese p r a c tic e s expand th e e l i g i b i l i t y b a s e , e s c a l a t e p ro g ra m c o s t s , and r e s u l t in unneeded b e n e f i t s . -1 6 — F a ilu r e to in te g r a te m u ltip le b e n e fits , e s p e c ia lly in -k in d tr a n s fe r s . M any h o u s e h o ld s t h a t b e n e f i t fr o m fo o d s t a m p s , f o r e x a m p le , r e c e i v e m e d ic a id , f r e e sch ool lu n c h e s and b r e a k fa sts, h o u s in g s u b s id ie s , and lo w in c o m e en ergy a s s is ta n c e p a y m e n ts. Y et o n ly cash t r a n s f e r s , su c h a s AFDC, a r e c o u n te d in d e t e r m in in g fo o d sta m p a l l o t m e n t s . — S u b s id y p a y m e n ts and r e im b u r s e m e n t sc h e m e s fo r in -k in d b e n e f i t s su ch a s s u b s id iz e d h o u s in g , m e d ic a l a s s i s t a n c e , and c h ild care s e r v ic e s encou rage e x p a n s io n o f th e q u a n tity o r c o s t o f s e r v ic e s to th e lim it of a v a ila b le F ederal d o lla r s , w ith o u t r e g a r d f o r th e m ost e f f i c i e n t p r o v is io n o f b e n e fit s . T h u s, s e c t i o n 8 h o u s in g r e q u ir e s $ 2 ,2 3 6 p e r u n it in a n n u a l s u b s i d i e s , m e d ic a id s e r v ic e s a r e f r e q u e n t ly o v e r - u t i l i z e d , and s t a n d a r d s and s t a f f i n g r a t io s fo r day c a re c e n te r s h av e in c r e a s e d s t e a d i ly . T h ese c o n s id e r a tio n s and u n s u s t a in a b le g ro w th t r e n d s c o n t a in an u n m is ta k a b le l e s s o n : o u r s o c i e t y 's c o m m itm e n t to an a d e q u a te s o c ia l sa fe ty net c o n ta in s p o w e r fu l, in h e r e n t ly e x p a n s io n a r y te n d e n c ie s . I f l e f t unchecked, th e se fo r c e s th re a te n e v e n tu a l fis c a l r u in and s e r io u s c h a lle n g e s to b a s ic s o c ia l v a lu e s o f in d e p e n d e n c e and s e lf-s u p p o r t. The F ederal G overnm en t has c re a te d s o m any e n t i t l e m e n t s f o r u n n e c e s s a r y b e n e f i t s t h a t i t i s e s s e n t i a l t o b e g i n p a r i n g th e m b a c k . P r o p o s a ls fo r r e fo r m : T he P r e s i d e n t 's b u d g e t r e fo r m th is lo n g overdu e e ffo r t. F o r 1 9 8 2 , m ore th a n $ 9 b u d g e t s a v i n g s ca n b e a c h ie v e d b y an i n i t i a l s e t of r e v is io n p r o p o s a ls . T h e se s a v in g s w i l l grow t o $ 1 6 1985. F u r th e r p r o p o s a ls w i l l b e d e v e lo p e d b y th e A i n t h e m o n th s a h e a d . p la n b e g in s .0 b i l l i o n in e n title m e n t .0 b i l l i o n b y d m in is tr a tio n In a l l c a s e s , t h e s e recom m ended c h a n g e s a r e d e s ig n e d t o e l i m i n a t e excesses, o v e r la p s , and u n in te n d e d b e n e f i t s t h a t h a v e d e v e lo p e d d u r in g th e r e c e n t p e r io d o f u n b r id le d e x p a n s io n . I f app roved by th e C on gress, th e se r e fo r m s w i l l r e fo c u s b e n e f i t s on th e t r u l y n e e d y and r e t a r g e t p ro g ra m s on th e ir in te n d e d p u rp oses. They w ill b r in g th e c o s t and c o v e r a g e o f th e F e d e r a l e n t it le m e n t and in c o m e s u p p o r t s y s t e m b a c k in to c o n fo r m ity w ith th e N a tio n ' s e s s e n t i a l s o c i a l s a f e t y n e t c o m m itm e n ts . T h u s, p r o p o s a l s t o l i m i t fo o d sta m p e l i g i b i l i t y t o f a m i l i e s w it h g r o s s in c o m e s b e lo w 130% o f p o v e r t y an d t o e m p lo y r e tr o s p e c tiv e in c o m e a c c o u n tin g w ill h e lp r e tu r n th e p rogram t o i t s o r i g i n a l g o a l: e n s u r in g a d e q u a te n u t r i t io n le v e ls fo r a ll h o u s e h o ld s . U nder cu rren t r u le s and p r a c tic e , t h e fo o d sta m p p r o g r a m h a s b e c o m e , in f a c t , an i n d i r e c t t r a n s f e r p a y m en t program fo r m any p e o p le n o t t r u l y in n eed — a p o lic y e f f e c t n ev e r in te n d e d . S im ila r ly , t h e e x t e n d e d n a t i o n a l u n e m p lo y m e n t b e n e f i t f e a t u r e o f u n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e w a s in te n d e d to p r o v id e e x tra su p p ort d u r in g p e r io d s o f s e v e r e c y c l i c a l u n e m p lo y m e n t. But ch an ges in th e la b o r fo r c e and th e in c r e a s in g ly uneven g e o g r a p h ic d is tr ib u tio n o f u n e m p lo y m e n t h a v e m ade o b s o l e t e t h e n o t i o n t h a t th e se b e n e fits s h o u ld be tr ig g e r e d -1 7 - by th e n a tio n a l u n e m p lo y m e n t ra te . The p rop osed s h i f t t o S t a t e t r i g g e r s a t m o d e s tly h ig h e r th r e s h o ld l e v e l s w i l l r e d ir e c t e x te n d e d b e n e f i t s t o areas w h ere th e y are needed w h ile re m o v in g in c e n tiv e s fo r p r o lo n g in g u n e m p lo y m e n t b e n e f i t s i n g r o w t h a r e a s o f th e N a tio n w h ere jo b o p p o r tu n itie s a re a v a ila b le . The p rop osed r e fo r m s o f t h e b la c k lu n g p ro g ra m f o r c o a l m in e r s c o n ta in a s im ila r o b je c tiv e : to r e fo c u s b e n e fits on th o se d is a b le d by b la c k lu n g ; to c u r ta il te n d e n c ie s t o expand th e p rogram i n t o w h at y o u ld , in e f f e c t , b e a s p e c i a l p e n s io n p rogram fo r m in e r s ; and t o a s s u r e t h a t th e c o a l in d u s t r y b e a r s th e c o s t o f d i s a b i l i t i e s c a u s e d b y w ork i n th e m in e s . The P r e s i d e n t 's p la n a ls o seeks to c u r ta il s h a r p ly th e tra d e a d ju s tm e n t a s s is ta n c e p rogram , w h ic h has now becom e a secon d ary and o v e r l a p p i n g u n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e p r o g r a m , a d e v e l o p m e n t c l e a r l y in c o m p a tib le w ith its o r ig in a l in te n t. The P r e s i d e n t 's b u d g e t r e fo r m p la n a l s o c a l l s f o r e l i m i n a t i o n o f tw o s e c o n d a r y s o c i a l i n s u r a n c e b e n e f i t s ~ th e s o c ia l s e c u r ity stu d e n t and s p e c ia l m in im u m b e n e f i t s — b e c a u s e m o r e e f f i c i e n t m e a n s - t e s t e d b e n e f i t p r o g r a m s a r e n ow a v a i l a b l e t o s u p p o r t needy r e c ip ie n ts . T h ese changes w ill sa v e a n e t o f $ 2 .6 b i l l i o n b y 1 9 8 4 an d w i l l m o d e s t ly im p r o v e th e a c tu a r ia l b a la n c e s of th e t r u s t fu n d . F i n a l l y , t h e s e i n i t i a l r e fo r m p r o p o s a ls s e e k t o l i m i t t h e ru naw ay g ro w th of tw o o f t h e m a jo r i n - k i n d b e n e f i t p r o g r a m s — m e d i c a i d and lo w e r -in c o m e r e n t a l ( s e c t i o n 8 ) h o u s in g a s s i s t a n c e — th ro u g h in te r im s t a b i l i z a t i o n m easu res. T h ese m easu res w ill produ ce budget sa v in g s o f $ 4 .3 b i l l i o n p e r y e a r b y 1 9 8 4 and p e r m it tim e t o d e v e lo p a lt e r n a t i v e a p p ro a ch e s t h a t a v o id th e in h e r e n t cost and s e r v ic e e s c a l a t i o n and b e n e f i t o v e r l a p s b u i l t i n t o e x i s t i n g p rogram s. Taken t o g e t h e r , th e se in itia l r e fo r m s c o n s titu te a c a r e fu l, d is c r im in a tin g , and e q u i t a b l e e f f o r t t o r e s t r u c t u r e t h e N a t i o n 's overgrow n e n title m e n t sy ste m . They a ls o d e m o n stra te th a t a c h ie v in g fis c a l c o n t r o l and m a in t a in in g t h e N a t i o n 's e s s e n t i a l s o c i a l s a f e t y n e t a r e c o m p a tib le o b j e c t i v e s . R educe M id d le to U pper In c o m e B e n e fits G iv e n t h e n e e d t o s h a r p ly reduce F ederal s p e n d in g r e s u ltin g in fla t io n a r y p r e s s u r e s , s u b s id ie s to th o se t o u p p e r in c o m e s r e p r e s e n t an o b v io u s f o c a l p o i n t f o r r e fo r m p la n . g ro w th and w it h m id d le th e budget The sh arp s u b s id y r e d u c t io n s p r o p o s e d b y t h e p la n a r e , h o w e v e r , c l e a r l y b a l a n c e d b y t h e P r e s i d e n t ’ s c o m m it m e n t t o l o w e r t a x r a t e s and b u d g e t b a la n c e . No grou p s are m ore a c u te ly a ffe c te d by in fla tio n , h ig h t a x l e v e l s , and b r a c k e t c r e e p th a n th e N a t i o n ’ s m i d d le in c o m e t a x p a y e r s ; a c c o r d in g ly , th e P r e s i d e n t 's o v e r a ll p rogram w ill, in som e cases, im m e d ia te ly and s h o u ld , in m o st c a s e s , r a p id ly co m p en sa te fo r any d is lo c a tio n s o c c a sio n e d by p rogram s u b s id y r e d u c t io n s . -1 8 - T h e r e i s y e t a n o t h e r a s p e c t t o t h e m i d d l e t o u p p e r in c o m e s u b s i d y r e d u c tio n s and e li m i n a t i o n s p r o p o s e d b y th e b u d g e t re fo r m p la n . O nce e n a c t e d b y t h e C o n g r e s s , th e p la n w ill arrest w hat has h e r e to fo r e been an u n fo r tu n a te n a tio n a l d r ift to w a rd th e u n iv e r s a liz a tio n o f s o c ia l b e n e fit s . E x te n s io n o f s o c i a l sa fe ty net program s d e s ig n e d fo r th e poor to a ll c itiz e n s is a p r e s c r i p t i o n f o r i n f l a t i o n , h i g h t a x e s , lo w g r o w t h , a n d f e d e r a l l y im p o se d m a n d a tes. H ence, th e s p e c ific p r o p o s a ls in th e P r e s i d e n t 's r e fo r m p la n d e a lin g w ith m id d le t o u p p e r in c o m e s u b s i d i e s s h o u l d , w hen a d o p t e d , a r r e s t d i v i s i v e d e b a t e o v e r su ch m a n ife s tly u n s u s ta in a b le program s a s n a t io n a l h e a lth in s u r a n c e , m i d d l e in c o m e h o u s in g s u b s id ie s , u n iv e r s a l c o lle g e a id , and s im ila r i n i t i a t i v e s . An e x a m in a tio n s u b s id y p rogram s d e m o n stra te s th e of th e tw o p r in c ip a l m id d le t o upper t h a t th e P r e s i d e n t 's p la n p rop oses to c l e a r n eed f o r im m e d ia te a c t i o n . in c o m e r e fo r m U nneeded lu n c h s u b s id ie s : U nder th e P r e s i d e n t 's p la n , f a m i l i e s o f f o u r w i t h a n n u a l i n c o m e s a b o v e $ 1 5 , 6 3 0 m ay b e r e q u i r e d t o pay an e x t r a $ 6 0 m ore p e r c h i l d p e r y e a r f o r s c h o o l l u n c h e s . It is a m easu re of th e ex ten t to w h ic h m id d le to upper in c o m e s u b s i d i z a t i o n h a s o c c u r r e d in th e F e d e r a l b u d g e t t h a t a d o p tio n o f th e P r e s i d e n t ' s p la n r e g a r d in g th e s c h o o l n u t r i t i o n program w ill a lo n e g e n e r a t e m ore th a n $2 b i l l i o n i n s a v i n g s a n n u a lly b y 1 9 8 6 . M o r e o v e r , a d e q u a t e f u n d i n g w o u ld r e m a i n t o su p p ort fr e e sch ool l u n c h e s f o r 1 0 m i l l i o n p o o r c h i l d r e n , 3 m i l l i o n o f whom w i l l a l s o c o n tin u e t o r e c e iv e f r e e s c h o o l b r e a k f a s t s . S tu d en t lo a n s : A n o th e r b r o a d a r e a o f s u b s id y r e d u c t io n t o m id d le and upper in c o m e f a m i l i e s t h a t i s p r o p o s e d b y t h e b u d g e t r e f o r m p la n d e a ls w ith s tu d e n t lo a n s and g ra n ts. The p la n p rop oses s ig n ific a n t changes (d e s ig n e d to ta rg e t b e n e fits on a ctu a l s tu d e n t f i n a n c i a l n e e d s) in b o th th e g u a ra n te e d stu d e n t lo a n (G S L ) and P e ll gran t program s, at s a v i n g s o f m o re t h a n $ 9 . 2 b i l l i o n fr o m 1 9 8 1 - 8 6 . I n t h e c o n t i n u i n g b u d g e t r e v i e w now t a k i n g u p p e r in c o m e b e n e f i t p r o g r a m s s i m i l a r to p rop oses to r e d u c e and e li m i n a t e w i l l b e r e d u c t i o n and e l i m i n a t i o n . R ecover A llo c a b le C o sts w ith U ser p l a c e , o t h e r m id d le t o th o se th a t th e p la n c o n s id e r e d fo r s im ila r F ees M o st G overn m en t p ro g ra m s a r e d e s ig n e d t o b e n e f i t th e N a t io n a s a w h o le , or p r o v id e s p e c ia l a s s is ta n c e to needy o r v u ln e r a b le grou p s. Some a c tiv itie s , how ever, p r o v id e d ir e c t e c o n o m ic b e n e fits to a s p e c ific and know n grou p of in d iv id u a ls or e n te r p r is e s . W h ile i t i s o f t e n n e c e s s a r y o r d e s i r a b l e f o r th e se a c tiv itie s to be c o n d u cted by th e F e d e r a l G o v e rn m e n t, i t i s c le a r ly in e q u ita b le fo r th e g e n e r a l ta x p a y e r to b e a r th e bu rden of s e r v ic e s th a t p r o v id e s p e c ia l b e n e fit s fo r s p e c if ic u s e r s . The b u d g e t r e fo r m p la n p r o v id e s f o r s h i f t i n g th e cost of so m e s u c h a c t i v i t i e s t o t h o s e who d i r e c t l y b e n e f i t . -19- The P r e s id e n t i s p r o p o s in g u s e r f e e s t o e lim in a t e th e s u b s i d i e s on in la n d w a te r w a y s, recover h a lf of th e C oast G u a rd co sts d ir e c tly a s s o c ia te d w ith a c t i v i t i e s t h a t b e n e f i t u s e r s o f b o a t s and y a c h t s , and f u l l y f i n a n c e t h e a i r t r a f f i c c o n t r o l sy ste m by r e in s ta tin g and a d e q u a t e ly fu n d in g t h e a i r p o r t and a ir w a y t r u s t fu n d . A d d it io n a l p r o p o s a ls w ill be d e v e lo p e d to a p p ly th is p r i n c i p l e o n a m ore e x t e n s i v e s c a l e . E lim in a tin g s u b s id ie s f o r a i r p o r t and a ir w a y u s e r s : The a c t u a l u s e r s o f t h e a v i a t i o n s y s te m — c o m m e r c ia l and gen eral a v ia tio n — r e c e iv e m ost o f i t s b e n e f i t s . N ot r e q u ir in g u s e r s t o b e a r th e f u l l c o s t o f t h e i r a c t i v i t i e s p r o v id e s an u n w a rra n te d s u b s i d y and en cou rages u n e c o n o m ic u s e o f t h e s y s t e m . P assen ger t ic k e t ta x e s and g e n e r a l a v i a t i o n f u e l t a x e s s u f f i c i e n t t o f i n a n c e t h e e n tir e cost of th e a i r t r a f f i c c o n t r o l sy ste m w i l l be p ro p o se d in l i e u o f a g e n e r a l reven u e s u b s id y . ( T h is s u b s i d y w as $ 1 . 9 b i l l i o n in 1 9 8 0 .) B o a t an d y a c h t u s e r f e e s : C o a s t G u a rd o p e r a t i n g e x p e n s e s i n 1 9 8 2 w ill e x c e e d $ 1 .3 b i l l i o n . A s u b s ta n t ia l p o r tio n o f i t s s e r v ic e s — in c lu d in g lic e n s in g , in s p e c tio n , vessel d o c u m e n ta tio n , o p e r a tio n of a id s t o n a v i g a t i o n , r e s c u e and to w in g a s s i s t a n c e , i c e b r e a k i n g , and w a t e r p o l l u t i o n m o n it o r in g and c le a n u p — are p r o v id e d w ith o u t c h a r g e . Y e t th e y b e n e f i t a s m a ll segm en t o f th e p u b lic — som e 9 m i l l i o n i n d i v i d u a l s a n d f i r m s . To re m e d y t h i s u n n ecessary su b s id y , le g is la tio n w ill be s u b m itte d fo r a g r a d u a t e d s y s t e m o f f e e s f o r C o a s t G u a rd s e r v i c e s t o b e p h a s e d i n over th e next 4 years. About h a l f o f th e c o s t s , e x c e p t th o s e r e l a t e d t o la w e n fo r c e m e n t and m ilita r y r e a d in e s s , w o u ld be in c lu d e d . As is th e c a s e w i t h many F e d e r a l a c t i v i t i e s f o r w h ic h f e e s a r e a lr e a d y c o l l e c t e d ( e . g . , u se o f p a rk cam p grou n d s, c a t t l e g r a z in g on F ederal la n d s ), boat and yacht ow n ers and t h e m a r itim e in d u s t r y w i l l be c h a r g e d r e l a t i v e l y s m a ll f e e s in r e l a t i o n t o th e v a lu e o f b e n e f i t s th e y r e c e i v e . E lim i n a t e i n la n d w a te rw a y s u b s id ie s : The A d m in is tr a tio n w ill seek to e li m i n a t e t h e s u b s id y on in la n d w a te r w a y s, b e g in n in g in 1 9 8 3 , by in c r e a s in g ta x e s fo r barge f u e l . The F e d e r a l G overn m en t now s p e n d s o v e r $ 3 2 5 m i l l i o n p e r y e a r to o p e ra te and m a in ta in in la n d w a te r w a y s f o r c o m m e r c ia l t r a f f i c t h a t u n t i l t h i s y e a r h a s p a id no t a x o r f e e f o r s y s te m u se. T h is year a new ta x of 4 c e n ts per g a llo n on b arge f u e l w i l l r e p a y o n l y 11% o f t h a t c o st. U n d e r t h i s p r o p o s a l , f u e l t a x e s w i l l i n c r e a s e fr o m 6 c e n t s p e r g a llo n t o a b o u t 30 c e n ts p er g a llo n in 1 9 8 3 . T h is w i l l c o v e r t h e f u l l am ou n t t h a t t h e G overn m en t s p e n d s on t h e o p e r a tio n and m a in te n a n c e o f th e w a te rw a y s. I t i s e s tim a te d th a t th e in c r e a s e in c o s t t o s h ip p e r s w i l l b e l e s s th a n 0 .4 c e n ts per to n m ile . T here w i l l b e fu tu r e ta x in c r e a s e s t o pay fo r in c r e a s e d e x p e n se s on e x i s t i n g w a t e r w a y s a n d t o p a y f o r t h e c o n s t r u c t i o n , o p e r a t i o n , a n d m a i n t e n a n c e o f new w a t e r w a y s . -20- Apply Sound Criteria to Economic Subsidy Programs The p a s t d e c a d e o f d e t e r i o r a t i n g n a tio n a l e c o n o m ic p e r fo r m a n c e has been a c c o m p a n ie d b y a r a p id b u i l d - u p o f F e d e r a l g r a n t s and o th e r su b s id ie s d e s ig n e d to a lle v ia te th e e ffe c ts of th a t d e t e r i o r a t i o n on s p e c i f i c s e g m e n ts o f t h e p o p u l a t i o n and e co n o m y . F ederal p r o g r a m s h a v e t h u s b e e n c r e a t e d a n d e x p a n d e d i n t h e name o f s t i m u l a t i n g g r o w t h , j o b s , e x p o r t s , a n d new te c h n o lo g ie s ; and to a s s is t d e c lin in g in d u s tr ie s and f i r m s and i n o t h e r w ays t o a lte r and fin e -tu n e th e le v e l and c o m p o s itio n of n a tio n a l e c o n o m ic a c t i v i t y . M any of th e se program s, h ow ever, have se rv e d t o d i s t o r t th e m a rk e t econ om y and have th ereb y c o n tr ib u te d as much to th e p r o b le m s th e y w ere in te n d e d to add ress as to th e ir s o lu tio n . S u c h s u b s i d y p o l i c y c o m m itm e n ts h a v e l a r g e l y r e s u l t e d fr o m o v e r l y p e r m i s s i v e f i s c a l p o l i c i e s , fr o m an absen ce of hard e c o n o m ic a n a ly s is , and fr o m fa ilu r e to u se li m i t e d ta x r e s o u r c e s on a c o s t -e ffe c t iv e b a s is . The P r e s i d e n t 's b u d g e t and c o m p r e h e n s iv e e c o n o m ic p la n app roach th e real p r o b le m s a s s o c ia te d w ith d e te r io r a tin g e c o n o m ic p e r f o r m a n c e fr o m a f u n d a m e n t a l l y d i f f e r e n t p r e m i s e : th a t so u n d b u d g e t c o n t r o l , t a x r e d u c t i o n , r e g u l a t o r y r e fo r m , and a p p r o p r ia t e m o n e ta ry p o lic ie s rep resen t th e o n ly real hope fo r renew ed, n o n - i n f l a t i o n a r y g r o w th and p r o s p e r i t y . A c c o r d i n g l y , th e P r e s i d e n t 's p la n c o n t e m p la t e s s e v e r e r e d u c tio n s i n m a k e -w o r k j o b p r o g r a m s , g o v e r n m e n t a l p r o g r a m s t o s t i m u l a t e new en ergy te c h n o lo g ie s , and r e g io n a l and c o m m u n ity d e v e lo p m e n t s u b s id ie s , as w e ll as a h o s t o f o th e r m is d ir e c te d s p e n d in g and s u b s id y p ro g ra m s. I n t h e c o n t e x t o f a h e a l t h y e x p a n d in g e c o n o m y , s ta b le fin a n c ia l m a rk e ts and a r e v i v a l o f s a v i n g s , in v e s t m e n t , and e n t r e p e n e u r s h ip , n o rm a l m a rk e t f o r c e s w i l l b e r e l i e d upon to a c h ie v e p resen t program g o a ls . T h u s, b y w ay o f e x a m p l e , t h e ste a d y r e d u c tio n of in te r e s t ra te s and e lim in a t io n of in fla tio n a r y cost pressu res fr o m t h e n a t i o n a l econom y w i l l do m o re t o s t i m u l a t e e x p o r t s a n d i n t e r n a t i o n a l c o m p e t i t i v e n e s s th a n c u r r e n t E x p o r t - I m p o r t B ank s u b s i d i e s t o a s e l e c t e d g r o u p o f l a r g e c o r p o r a tio n s . S im ila r ly , th e budget r e fo r m p la n c o n te m p la te s r e d i r e c t i o n o f b e l o w - m a r k e t l o a n s b y t h e F a r m e r s Home A d m i n i s t r a t i o n t o t h e v e r y poor and to th o se of th e N a t i o n 's s m a lle s t and p oorest c o m m u n itie s th a t tr u ly la c k a c c e s s t o f in a n c ia l m a rk e ts. The b u d g e t r e fo r m p la n a l s o s h a r p ly r e s t r i c t s h i g h ly s u b s id iz e d R u ra l E l e c t r i f i c a t i o n A d m i n i s t r a t i o n (R E A ) l o a n s fo r p o w e r -g e n e r a tin g and te le p h o n e s y s t e m i m p r o v e m e n t s , a s w e l l a s REA a c c e s s t o t h e F e d e r a l F in a n c in g B an k. On t h e g r o u n d s t h a t p r e s e n t d a i r y s u b s i d i e s a r e n e e d l e s s l y l a r g e , th e budget r e fo r m p la n p rop oses im m e d ia te e lim in a t io n of m a n d a to ry d a ir y p r ic e su p p ort i n c r e a s e c u r r e n t ly s c h e d u le d t o t a k e e f f e c t on A p r i l 1 , 1 9 8 1 . L o n g -te r m r e fo r m s a ffe c tin g th e d a ir y in d u str y w ill be ad d ressed in th e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n 's c o m p r e h e n s iv e fa r m program , w h ic h w ill be s u b m itte d to th e C o n g r e ss d u r in g th e c u r r e n t l e g i s l a t i v e s e s s i o n . -21- Many o b s o l e t e o r in h e r e n tly in e ffic ie n t F ederal s u b s id ie s to s p e c ific se cto rs of th e e co n o m y w i l l a l s o b e e l i m i n a t e d . For e x a m p le i p a s s e n g e r f a r e s o n A m t r a k 's r o u t e s c o v e r o n l y a b o u t 40% of to ta l o p e r a tin g c o s t s , th e r e b y r e q u ir in g u n j u s t i f i a b ly la r g e s u b s id ie s . I f th e c u r r e n t r o u te s tr u c tu r e i s t o be m a in ta in e d , A m tra k p assen gers or S ta te and lo c a l g o v e r n m e n ts m u st p a y a g r e a te r p r o p o r tio n o f th e t o t a l o p e r a tin g c o s t s . The b u d g e t r e fo r m p la n a l s o p r o p o s e s o t h e r s i g n i f i c a n t r e d u c t i o n s in F e d e ra l a c t i v i t y th a t i s n e ith e r j u s t i f i e d by c o s t -e ffe c t iv e u se of ta x resou rces nor by t h e P r e s i d e n t ' s c o m m itm e n t t o a m a r k e t —d i r e c t e d p o l i c y . A c c o r d in g ly , th e budget re fo r m p la n p rop oses th e p h a s e -o u t o f o p e r a tin g s u b s id ie s fo r l o c a l t r a n s i t s y s t e m s , C o n r a i l , c e r t a i n l o c a l a i r l i n e s e r v i c e s , and t h e P o sta l S e r v ic e . S tr e tc h -O u t P rogram s and R e -T a r g e t P u b lic S e c to r C a p ita l In v estm e n t T he F ederal G overn m ent has u n d e rta k en a nu m ber o f d e s i r a b l e p u b lic se cto r c a p ita l in v e s tm e n t p rogram s. U nder norm al c o n d itio n s of lo w in fla t io n and stro n g e c o n o m ic g r o w t h , t h e c u r r e n t r a t e o f m any o f th e se a c tiv itie s w o u ld be ju s tifie d . H ow ever, g iv e n th e i n s t a b i l i t y o f t h e U .S . econom y, th e b u d g e t r e fo r m p la n r e q u i r e s t h a t in t h e s h o r t ru n t h e s e in v e s tm e n ts be stre tch e d out or d e la y e d . The im m e d ia te n e e d t o im p r o v e t h e h e a l t h o f t h e e c o n o m y a s a w h o le o v e r r i d e s t h e m e r its of r a p id c o m p le tio n of su ch p r o je c ts in d iv id u a lly . S p e c i f i c p r o p o s a ls in c lu d e w a te r resou rce p r o je c ts , w a ste tr e a tm e n t fa c ilitie s , h ig h w a y s , m ass t r a n s i t , and a i r p o r t s . W a te r resou rce p r o je c ts : T h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l p r o p o s e a n 11% r e d u c t i o n in th e p la n n e d c o n s t r u c t i o n p ro g ra m of th e C orp s of E n g in e e r s , C iv il; W a te r and P ow er R e s o u r c e s S e r v i c e ; a n d S o i l C o n se r v a tio n S e r v ic e . T h is r e d u c t io n w i l l d e f e r o n ly som e le s s c r i t i c a l p a r t s o f p r o j e c t s , su c h a s t h e d e v e lo p m e n t o f r e c r e a t i o n areas and som e ru ral flo o d c o n tro l and ir r ig a tio n w a te r d is t r ib u t io n sy ste m s. The s t r e t c h -o u t o f a b o u t 70 of th e m o re th a n 300 p r o je c ts u n d e rw a y w i l l r e d u c e F e d e r a l e x p e n d i t u r e s b y $ 1 .6 b i l l i o n o v e r th e n e x t 5 y e a r s . W a ste tr e a tm e n t g ra n ts: T he a p p lic a tio n of th e d e fe r r a l p r in c ip le to th e m u n ic ip a l w a ste tr e a tm e n t g r a n t program w i l l re d u ce n e a r -te r m o u t la y s f o r c a p i t a l in v e s tm e n ts b y $ 0 .1 b illio n in 1982, $ 1 .0 b illio n in 1 9 8 3 , and $ 2 .0 b i l l i o n i n 1 9 8 6 . In a d d i t i o n , m a jo r r e fo r m s w i l l b e p r o p o s e d t h a t w ill r e lie v e th e b u rden on th e F ederal G overn m ent fo r fin a n c in g p r o je c t s th a t im p r o v e t h e e n v ir o n m e n t o n l y m a r g i n a l l y o r n o t a t a l l . H ig h w a y c o n s tr u c tio n g ra n ts: The A d m i n i s t r a t i o n 's h ig h w a y program prop osal w ill in v o lv e s t r e t c h i n g o u t a n d s l o w i n g dow n c o n s tr u c tio n of lo w e r p r io r ity h ig h w a y p r o je c ts . B o th th e p r im a r y sy ste m and t h e I n t e r s t a t e h ig h w a y s y s te m i n p a r t i c u l a r w i l l , h ow ever, c o n tin u e to r e c e iv e a h ig h le v e l of F ederal fu n d in g . Som e l o w e r p r i o r i t y I n t e r s t a t e h i g h w a y p r o j e c t s w i l l b e e lim in a t e d to a llo w f i n a l c o m p le tio n o f th e sy ste m b y th e 1 9 9 0 -22- s ta tu to r y d e a d lin e . The p r o p o s e d c h a n g e s i n program w ill produce budget sa v in g s of b i l l i o n by 1 9 8 6 . th e F e d e r a l h ig h w a y a p p r o x im a te ly $ 1 2 .6 M a ss t r a n s i t c a p i t a l g r a n t s : T he r e d u c e d fu n d in g l e v e l s f o r m ass t r a n s i t c a p it a l g r a n ts a re p r im a r ily a c h ie v e d by r e d u c in g th e am ount of fu n d s fo r c o n s t r u c t i n g new r a i l t r a n s i t s y s t e m s a n d e x te n d in g e x i s t i n g s y s te m s . G r a n t s t o p u r c h a s e b u s e s and u p d a te e x is tin g r a il sy ste m s — p a r tic u la r ly in la r g e , c o n c e n tr a te d urban a r e a s — w i l l be c o n tin u e d . The c o n s t r u c t i o n o f new r a il tr a n s it sy ste m s o r e x te n s io n s h as n o t p ro v e d , how ever, to be as c o s t -e ffe c t iv e as o th e r, le s s c a p ita l in te n s iv e p r o je c ts . The fiv e r a i l s y s t e m c o n s t r u c t i o n p r o j e c t s now u n d e r w a y t h a t r e c e i v e F e d e r a l a s s i s t a n c e (W a s h in g t o n , M ia m i, B u ffa lo , B a ltim o r e , an d A tla n ta ) r e q u ir e a p p r o x im a te ly $75 m illio n per m ile fo r c o n s t r u c t i o n and e q u ip m e n t. R e d u c tio n of a ir p o r t c o n s tr u c tio n gran t program : The A d m in is tr a tio n w ill p rop ose le g is la tio n to red u ce th e an n u al fu n d in g a v a i l a b l e f o r a i r p o r t c o n s t r u c t i o n g ra n ts d u r in g 19811986 by 33% . T h e n e e d t o e x p a n d a i r p o r t c a p a c i t y i s no l o n g e r s o c r itic a l a s i t w a s w hen a v i a t i o n t r a f f i c i n c r e a s e d s i g n i f i c a n t l y o n a n a n n u a l b a s i s a n d t h e d e v e l o p m e n t o f new a ir c r a ft r e q u ir e d w id e r and lo n g e r r u n w a y s. The e f f e c t s on a v i a t i o n s a f e t y w i l l b e n e g lig ib le s i n c e a l m o s t no a v i a t i o n a c c i d e n t s a r e r e l a t e d t o t h e p h y s ic a l fe a tu r e s o f a ir p o r t s . Im p ose F is c a l R e s tr a in t on O th e r P rogram s of N a tio n a l In te re st In norm al c ir c u m s t a n c e s , th e F e d e r a l b u d g e t can carry program s th a t are in th e n a tio n a l in te r e s t b u t c a n n o t b e a c c o r d e d an urgen t p r io r it y . F o r e x a m p le , w h ile no o n e can deny th a t our l i v e s a r e m ade r i c h e r b y m u se u m s, t h e a r t s , a n d h u m a n i t i e s , i t i s a ls o tru e th a t th e y c a n n o t c l a i m t h e sam e u r g e n c y o r p r i o r i t y t h a t m u st b e a s s i g n e d t o p rog ram s p r o v i d in g th e t r u l y n e e d y w ith th e fu n d a m e n ta ls of life . In t im e s su c h a s t h e s e , th e a r t s and h u m a n it ie s m u st p l a c e g r e a t e r r e l i a n c e on th e r o le of p r iv a te p h i l a n t h r o p y and S t a t e and l o c a l s u p p o r t . The b u d g e t r e fo r m p la n w o u ld r e d u c e s u p p o r t f o r t h e a r t s a n d h u m a n i t i e s e n d o w m e n ts t o a n o u t l a y l e v e l o f a p p r o x im a te ly - $ 1 0 0 m i l l i o n . The m e r it of research and d e v e lo p m e n t is w ith o u t q u e s t io n . H ow ever, in tim e s of fis c a l a u s te r ity even som e p r o m is in g in v e s tm e n ts i n s c i e n c e a n d t e c h n o l o g y m u s t b e r e s t r a i n e d a n d new u n d e r ta k in g s p o s tp o n e d . T h u s , t h e p r e v i o u s l y p la n n e d g r o w th i n o u t l a y s f o r th e N a tio n a l S c ie n c e F o u n d a tio n a n d NASA w i l l b e m o d e r a t e l y r e d u c e d . In th e l a t t e r c a s e , tr im m in g b a c k lo w e r p r i o r i t y p ro g ra m s w i l l e n a b le us to proceed w ith th e Space S h u ttle program and to c o n tin u e e s s e n tia l R&D program s in areas of sp a ce s c ie n c e , space a p p l i c a t i o n s , and a e r o n a u t i c s . The N a t io n a l I n s t i t u t e s o f H e a lth w i l l r e c e i v e m o d e ra te fu n d in g in c r e a se s th a t are d e s ig n e d to a llo w th e c o n tin u a tio n of e s s e n t i a l b io m e d ic a l r e s e a r c h ; h ow ever, th e in c r e a s e s w ill be -23- in s u ffic ie n t t o fu n d overhead fe e s p a id tr a in e e s . n o n -u r g e n t a c t i v i t i e s to in s titu tio n s fo r su ch a s e x t r a o r d in a r y fe d e r a lly su p p o rted F i n a l l y , beyon d th e s e program s t h a t c l e a r l y h ave m e r it , t h e r e a r e a num ber of o t h e r s w h ose fu n d a m e n ta l m e r it i s d e b a t a b l e . S u ch p rog ram s m u st b e s e v e r e l y c u t b a c k o r e v e n e l i m i n a t e d . A broad v a r ie ty of a d d it io n a l F e d e r a l program s h ave b een th e s u b je c t o f in t e n s e d e b a te a s t o t h e i r u n d e r ly in g m e r it. E ven r e c o g n iz in g th e v ie w s o f th e in h e r e n t w o rth o f su ch p ro g ra m s t h a t a r e o f f e r e d by t h e i r p r o p o n e n t s , c o n t i n u e d s u p p o r t f o r th e m c a n n o l o n g e r b e ju s tifie d under th e P r e s i d e n t 's budget r e fo r m p la n — th e o p e r a tin g p r e m is e of w h ic h i s t h a t F e d e r a l s u p p o r t m u s t now b e r e s tr ic te d to program s of fu n d a m e n ta l n a tio n a l p r io r ity . A c c o r d in g ly , th e p la n c a lls fo r te r m in a tio n o f th e N a tio n a l C o n su m er C o o p e r a tiv e Bank, th e S o la r E n ergy and E nergy C o n s e r v a tio n Bank, an d t h e HUD p l a n n i n g a s s i s t a n c e p r o g r a m . It fu rth e r c a l l s fo r a r a p id p h a s in g out of th e P r o fe s s io n a l S ta n d a rd s R e v ie w O r g a n i z a t i o n (PSRO) p r o g r a m , a n d t h e c l o s u r e o f th e e i g h t r e m a in in g P u b li c H e a lth S e r v i c e h o s p i t a l s . F u r th e r , p rogram s t h a t do n o t m eet s t r i n g e n t p r io r ity te sts of th e P r e s i d e n t 's budget r e fo rm p la n w ill be c o n s id e r e d fo r r e d u c tio n and te r m in a tio n in th e c o n tin u in g budget r e v ie w process. C o n s o lid a te C a te g o r ic a l G ra n t P rogram s in to B lo c k G ra n ts T here is a g r o w in g c o n s e n s u s am ong S t a t e a n d l o c a l g o v e r n m e n t o f f i c i a l s t h a t a s m any narrow c a te g o r ic a l g ra n ts as p o s s ib le s h o u ld be c o n s o l i d a t e d i n t o a fe w b l o c k g r a n t s , p a r t i c u l a r l y i f F e d e r a l fu n d in g m u st b e re d u ce d in t h e e f f o r t t o c u rb i n f l a t i o n . T h e w i d e l y a c k n o w le d g e d b e n e f i t s o f b l o c k g r a n t s are th a t th e y a llo w th e r e d u c tio n o f o v e rh e a d b e c a u s e t h e r e a r e fe w e r p e o p le p r o c e s s i n g p a p e r s , and t h a t th e y p e r m it S t a t e and l o c a l o f f i c i a l s t o a l l o c a t e fu n d s t o t h e m o st u r g e n t areas of need. T h u s, a b lo c k gran t p r o g r a m f u n d e d a t a l o w e r l e v e l c a n p r o v i d e a s m any b e n e f i t s f o r t h e S t a t e and l o c a l r e c i p i e n t s a s a h i g h e r l e v e l of fu n d in g f o r a m u l t i p l i c i t y o f n a rro w c a t e g o r i c a l g r a n t s . In c o n ju n c tio n w ith th is requ est fo r th e c o n v e r s io n of c a t e g o r ic a l g r a n ts t o b lo c k g r a n t s , S ta te and lo c a l o ffic ia ls asked th a t fe d e r a lly m a n d a te d cost r e q u ir e m e n ts — w h ic h M a y o r K och o f New Y o r k h a s c a l l e d " t h e m a n d a te m i l l s t o n e " — and o th e r r e g u la tio n s be r e la x e d , a g a in so th a t redu ced F e d e r a l d o lla r s c o u ld have th e sam e im p a c t on real n eed s. The e lim in a tio n of u n n ecessary r e g u la tio n s is a k e y p a r t o f th e re fo r m p l a n . In W a s h in g to n , th e o b j e c t i o n m ost o f t e n r a i s e d t o b lo c k g r a n t s i s t h a t th e F e d e r a l G overn m ent w i l l l o s e c o n t r o l o v e r t h e e ffe c tiv e u s e o f t h e t a x p a y e r 's d o l l a r s . But th e p o in t i s t h a t th e F e d e r a l G overn m en t u n n e c e s s a r ily c o n tr o ls d e ta ile d S ta te and lo c a l p r io r itie s . S t a t e s and l o c a l i t i e s a r e not a lie n o r g a n iz a tio n s -24- in im ic a b le to th e b e s t in t e r e s t o f th e c it i z e n s th e y r e p r e s e n t. T hey c o n s i s t o f t h o s e l e g i s l a t o r s and e x e c u t i v e s who cope w ith th e real p r o b le m s of th e c i t i z e n s th e y s e r v e . P e o p le a t th e S t a t e a n d l o c a l l e v e l s h o u l d b e m a k in g d e c i s i o n s w i t h r e s p e c t to th e s o c ia l and c o m m u n ity s e r v ic e s t h a t a re r e q u ir e d in t h e i r lo c a litie s . I t may t u r n o u t t h a t one ju r is d ic tio n needs m o re m o n ey f o r c h i l d w e l f a r e s e r v i c e s t h a n f o r l e g a l s e r v i c e s . O ne le s s o n is c le a r fr o m th e p a st: th e o n ly r e a l l o s e r in c o n v e r tin g c a te g o r ic a l g ra n ts to a b lo c k gran t are th e b u r e a u c r a tic m id d le m e n — t h e g r a n t s m e n — who u s e up f u n d s f o r th e n eedy. M any o f t h e r o u g h l y 5 5 0 c a t e g o r i c a l g ra n ts program s s h o u ld b e c o n v e r t e d t o b lo c k g r a n t s . A t t h i s tim e , th e P r e s id e n t is p r o p o s in g tw o m a jo r b l o c k g r a n t s : o n e f o r h e a l t h and s o c i a l s e r v i c e s and t h e o t h e r f o r e d u c a t io n . H e a lth and s o c i a l s e r v ic e s : The p resen t array of about 40 c a te g o r ic a l g ra n ts fo r h e a lt h and s o c i a l s e r v i c e s m o s t ly s e r v e n arrow p o p u la tio n grou p s d e fin e d by v a r io u s in c o m e , h e a lth sta tu s, age, r e s id e n c e , and jo b c a te g o r ie s . O ver th e y e a r s , t h e s e p ro g ra m s h a v e becom e e n s n a r e d i n a s ta g g e r in g degree of w a ste , c o m p le x ity , and b u r e a u c r a tic overhead. The program s p r o p o s e d f o r c o n s i d e r a t i o n e n c o m p a ss 4 3 7 p a g e s o f la w and 1 ,2 0 0 pages of r e g u la tio n . T h ese program s a d m in is te r 6 ,8 0 0 s e p a r a te g r a n t s and a p p r o x im a te ly 2 4 ,0 0 0 g r a n t s ite s . O nce aw ards are m ade, o v e r 7 m i l l i o n man h o u r s o f S t a t e a n d l o c a l g o v e r n m e n t a n d c o m m u n ity e f f o r t a r e u s e d j u s t i n f i l l i n g o u t f e d e r a l l y r e q u ir e d re p o rts each year. In a d d i t i o n , th e N a tio n s u p p o r ts o v e r 3 ,3 0 0 F e d e r a l e m p lo y e e s t o a d m i n i s t e r t h e g r a n t p ro g ra m s p rop osed fo r c o n s o lid a tio n . The needy o fte n m u st go to several d iffe r e n t a g e n c ie s fo r d i f f e r e n t s e r v i c e s a n d d i f f e r e n t f a m i l y m em b e rs may r e c e i v e care fr o m d iffe r e n t p r o v id e r s . F o llo w -u p and c o n t i n u i t y o f c a r e a r e n e g le c te d . M oreover, th e re has been a p r o life r a t io n o f se p a ra te r e g u la tio n s , o u t -r e a c h and lin k a g e r e q u ir e m e n ts , gran t a p p l i c a t i o n and r e v ie w p r o c e s s e s , and a u d i t /r e c o r d r e q u ir e m e n ts . T h is p r o l i f e r a t i o n h a s c r e a t e d b a r r i e r s t o e f f e c t i v e c o o r d in a t io n am ong S ta te s, c o m m u n itie s , and o t h e r i n s t i t u t i o n s t h a t p r o v id e s e r v ic e s . U n n ecessary overhead exp en ses have r e s u lt e d . F in a lly , m any o f th e se program s are very s m a ll, th o u g h a ll r e q u ir e e x te n s iv e r e g u la t io n s . The P r e s i d e n t 's b lo c k g r a n t p r o p o s a l a d d r e s s e s t h e s e p r o b le m s . I t i s in te n d e d t o e n a b le S t a t e s t o p la n and c o o r d in a t e t h e i r own s e r v ic e program , e s ta b lis h th e ir own p r i o r i t i e s , a n d e x e r c i s e e f f e c t i v e c o n t r o l o v e r th e r e s o u r c e s p r o v id e d t o lo c a litie s and n o n p r o fit o r g a n iz a tio n s . T h is a p p ro a ch re d u c e s th e m u l t i p l i c i t y o f r u le s and r e g u l a t i o n s — h e n c e , F ederal d ir e c tio n — under w h ic h s e r v ic e a g e n c ie s m u st c u r r e n tly o p e ra te . F u rth e rm o re , o v e r l a p p i n g f u n d i n g f r o m d i f f e r e n t p r o g r a m s f o r t h e sam e s e r v i c e s c o u ld b e e li m i n a t e d . E d u c a tio n : The D e p a r tm e n t of E d u c a tio n c u r r e n tly a d m in is te r s over 45 narrow c a t e g o r i c a l g r a n t program s t h a t p r o v id e r e s o u r c e s t o S t a t e and l o c a l g o v e rn m e n ts to su p p ort a w id e v a r ie ty of e d u c a tio n a l o b je c tiv e s . The P r e s id e n t i s p r o p o s in g t o c o l l a p s e -25- t h e s e p r o g r a m s i n t o tw o p r o g r a m s — o n e b l o c k g r a n t t o and t h e o t h e r t o l o c a l e d u c a t i o n a l a g e n c i e s ( L E A 's ) . th e S ta te s T h ese b lo c k g r a n ts w i l l s h i f t c o n t r o l o v e r e d u c a tio n p o li c y aw ay fr o m th e F ederal G overn m en t and back to S ta te and lo c a l a u th o r itie s — w h ere it c o n s titu tio n a lly and h is to r ic a lly b e lo n g s . The F e d e r a l r o l e i s t o s u p p ly n e c e s s a r y r e s o u r c e s , n o t t o s p e c i f y in e x c r u c i a t i n g d e t a i l w h at m u st b e done w ith th e se resou rces. U nder th e se b lo c k g ra n ts, th e re w ill b e no r e q u ir e m e n ts f o r m a t c h in g f u n d s a n d n o d em an ds th a t F ederal fu n d s "s u p p le m e n t ra th e r th a n s u p p la n t" lo c a l fu n d in g . T h e re w i l l b e no e n d le s s b y z a n t i n e s q u a b b l e s o v e r m y r ia d a c c o u n t i n g r e g u l a t i o n s th a t a id b u rea u cra ts, not c h ild r e n . A p p r o x im a te ly 13% o f th e F e d e r a l fu n d s in program s to be c o n s o lid a te d are now used fo r a d m in is tr a tiv e exp en ses by S ta te and lo c a l a g e n c ie s . T h is overhead w i l l be d r a s tic a lly redu ced under th e c o n s o lid a tio n p r o p o s a l. The LEA b lo c k gran t in c lu d e s program s t h a t a re p r e s e n t ly fo r stu d e n ts ju d g e d to have s p e c ia l e d u c a tio n a l n eed s: th e e c o n o m ic a lly d is a d v a n ta g e d , th e p h y s ic a lly or m e n ta lly h a n d ic a p p e d , c h ild r e n w ith lim ite d p r o fic ie n c y in E n g lis h , c h i l d r e n i n s c h o o l d i s t r i c t s u n d e r g o in g r a c i a l d e s e g r e g a t i o n , and illite r a te a d u lts . The gran t t o t h e S t a t e s c o m b in e s p r o g r a m s th a t (a ) p r o v id e d i r e c t e d u c a tio n a l s e r v ic e s fo r h a n d ic a p p e d , n e g le c te d , and d e l i n q u e n t c h i l d r e n ; ( b ) im p r o v e t h e s t a f f i n g and s e r v ic e s o f th e S ta te e d u c a tio n a l a g e n c ie s ; and (c ) su p p ort im p r o v e d sch ool s e r v ic e s in a v a r ie ty of w ays, in c lu d in g a ss is ta n c e to sch ool lib r a r ie s , c u r r ic u lu m d e v e lo p m e n t, and p r o v id e te c h n ic a l a s s is ta n c e . B ecau se m any o f t h e s e p r o g r a m s o v e r la p s e r v i c e s to d is a d v a n ta g e d stu d e n ts, th e b lo c k gran t sy ste m w ill a llo w lo c a litie s to e lim in a t e c o n flic tin g and d u p l i c a t i v e r e g u l a t i o n s and r e p o r t i n g r e q u i r e m e n t s . B u d g e t a u t h o r i t y f o r t h e b l o c k g r a n t s i n 1 9 8 2 w i l l b e 80% o f th e sum of th e c o m b in e d program s in 1981. The A d m in is tr a tio n a n t i c i p a t e s t h a t th e re d u ce d fu n d in g l e v e l s w ill be o ffse t by m o re e f f i c i e n t m anagem ent g e n e r a t i n g fr o m t h e i n c r e a s e d l a t i t u d e g i v e n t o S t a t e and l o c a l g o v e r n m e n ts t o t a i l o r e d u c a t i o n p r o g r a m s t o s u i t th e p a r t i c u la r needs o f c h ild r e n in t h e i r d i s t r i c t s . I n su m m a ry , t h e c r e a t i o n o f t h e s e tw o b lo c k g ra n ts w ill be a m a jo r c o n tr ib u to r to th e b u d g e t r e fo r m p la n . M o re b l o c k g r a n t p r o p o s a l s w i l l b e m ade t o t h e C o n g r e s s b y t h i s A d m i n i s t r a t i o n . R educe F e d e r a l O v e r h e a d , and I n e f f i c i e n c y P erson n el C o sts, and P rogram W a s te F e d e r a l G overn m en t a c t i v i t y i s r a r e l y s u b je c t e d t o th e te st of th e m a r k e tp la c e . As a r e s u l t , th e r e h a s b een a te n d e n c y t o b u i ld up overhead, p e r s o n n e l, and r e g u l a t o r y c o s t s w i t h o u t r e g a r d t o th e m easu rem en t o f b e n e f i t s . The b u d g e t r e fo r m p la n p r o v id e s f o r r e d u c tio n s in th e s e a r e a s . I t w ill a ls o s y s te m a tic a lly red u ce -26 r e g u la to r y in te r v e n tio n in p r iv a te se cto r p r o m o te e c o n o m ic e f f i c i e n c y and o u t p u t . T h is p r o c e s s i s a lr e a d y c o m p le te fre e z e on procurem ent of o ffic e G overn m ent t r a v e l . a c tiv itie s so as to u n derw ay. The P r e s id e n t has p la c e d a F ederal h ir in g and ordered lim its on e q u ip m e n t, c o n s u ltin g s e r v ic e s , an d For 1982 and beyond, every asp ect o f F e d e r a l m a n a g e m e n t an d a d m i n i s t r a t i v e p r a c t i c e w i l l b e e v a l u a t e d and tig h te n e d . As a su ccessor to th e p r e s e n t h ir in g fr e e z e p o li c y , th e P r e s id e n t i s p r o p o s in g a 5 -y e a r p la n t o s t e a d i l y redu ce F ederal e m p lo y m e n t . By 1986, F ederal p a y r o lls w o u ld d e c l i n e b y 7% a t a s a v i n g s o f $ 1 .5 t o $ 3 .9 b i l l i o n a n n u a lly and c u r r e n t p a y l e v e l s . V ig o r o u s , sy s te m a tic p la n s to e lim in a te program w a s te and fr a u d and t o sp eed F e d e r a l d e b t c o l l e c t i o n a re a ls o under d e v e lo p m e n t. The P r e s id e n t w ill a ls o prop ose m a jo r re fo r m o f th e F e d e r a l pay c o m p a r a b ilit y sy ste m in order to b r in g s a la r y s c h e d u le s and annual a d ju s tm e n t c o sts in to lin e w ith a c t u a l p r iv a t e s e c t o r le v e ls . F in a lly , th e s u b s ta n tia l a d d itio n a l resou rces r e q u ir e d fo r d e fe n s e r e a d in e s s and s t r e n g t h e n in g s t r a t e g i c and c o n v e n t io n a l c a p a b i l i t i e s w i l l n o t e x e m p t t h e D e f e n s e D e p a r t m e n t fr o m r i g o r o u s r e q u ir e m e n ts t o e li m i n a t e w a s t e f u l p r a c t i c e s and p rogram s. The P r e s i d e n t 's b u d g e t r e fo r m p la n c a l l s f o r $ 2 .9 b i l l i o n in d e fe n s e cost s a v in g s in 1982, r is in g to $ 7 .5 b illio n by 1986. P ro cu re m en t r e fo r m , r e a lig n m e n t o f th e d o m e s tic b a s in g s t r u c t u r e , and fu t u r e y e a r p e r s o n n e l r e d u c t io n s w i l l a l l c o n t r i b u t e t o t h e s e s a v in g s . -27- INDEX OF PROGRAM PROPOSALS BY BUDGET REFORM CRITERIA Page 1. REVISE ENTITLEMENTS TO ELIMINATE UNINTENDED BENEFITS D e p a r tm e n t o f A g r i c u l t u r e F o od s t a m p s .................................................................................................................................. 1 -1 D e p a r t m e n t o f H e a l t h a n d Human S e r v i c e s S o c ia l s e c u r ity b e n e f it s : M inim um b e n e f i t s ........................................................................................................... A d u l t s t u d e n t b e n e f i t s .......................................................................................... D i s a b i l i t y i n s u r a n c e ................................................................................................ AFDC w e l f a r e p r o g r a m s ..................................................................................................... M e d i c a i d ........................................................................................................................................... 1 -5 1 -7 1 -9 1 -1 1 1 -1 5 D e p a r t m e n t o f H o u s i n g a n d U rb a n D e v e lo p m e n t S u b s i d i z e d h o u s i n g l e v e l s .......................................................................................... ..1 - 1 7 S u b s i d i z e d h o u s i n g r e n t s ...............................................................................................1 - 1 9 P u b l i c h o u s i n g m o d e r n i z a t i o n ................................................................................. ..1 - 2 1 D ep a rtm e n t o f L a b o r U n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e : E x t e n d e d b e n e f i t s ....................................................................................... . ................ 1 - 2 2 W ork t e s t ............................................................................................................................... .. 1 - 2 4 F e d e r a l e m p l o y e e s i n j u r y c o m p e n s a t i o n ( F E C A ) ................................... .. 1 - 2 6 U n e m p lo y m e n t c o m p e n s a t i o n f o r e x - s e r v i c e m e m b e r s ............................. 1 - 2 8 T r a d e a d j u s t m e n t a s s i s t a n c e .................................................................................... .. 1 - 3 0 B l a c k l u n g .......................... .......................................................................................................... .. 1 - 3 3 O th e r A g e n c ie s F ederal c iv ilia n i n d e x a t i o n ........................... 1 -3 5 D ep a rtm e n t o f A g r i c u l t u r e C h i l d n u t r i t i o n ....................................................................................................................... 2 -1 D ep a rtm e n t o f E d u c a tio n S t u d e n t a s s i s t a n c e .............................................................................................................. 2 -3 O th e r A g e n c ie s S a l l i e Mae ( g u a r a n t e e d 2 -5 2. r e tir e m e n t: Annual REDUCE MIDDLE-UPPER INCOME BENEFITS stu d e n t lo a n s -28- — o f f - b u d g e t ) ............... 3. RECOVER CLEARLY ALLOCABLE COSTS FROM USERS GOVERNMENTAL R ECEIPTS) (INCR EASE IN D ep a rtm en t o f D e f e n s e - C i v i l I n l a n d w a t e r w a y s u b s i d y ................................................................................................ 3 -1 D e p a r tm e n t o f T r a n s p o r t a t i o n S u b s i d i e s f o r a i r w a y a n d a i r p o r t u s e r s ..................................................... B o a t a n d y a c h t u s e r f e e s .............................................................................................. 3 -3 3 -5 4. APPLY SOUND C R IT E R IA TO ECONOMIC SUBSIDY PROGRAMS D e p a rtm e n t o f A g r i c u l t u r e D a i r y p r i c e s u p p o r t s ............................................................................................................... 4 - 1 A l c o h o l f u e l s a n d b i o m a s s l o a n s ......................................................................... ..... 4 - 3 R u r a l E l e c t r i f i c a t i o n A d m i n i s t r a t i o n ( o f f - b u d g e t ) .......................... 4 - 5 F a r m e r s Home A d m i n i s t r a t i o n d i r e c t l o a n s ............................................... ..... 4 - 8 D e p a r t m e n t o f C om m erce E c o n o m ic a n d r e g i o n a l A p p a la c h ia n R e g io n a l d e v e lo p m e n t ( i n c l u d i n g C o m m i s s i o n ) .................................................................... 4 -1 0 D e p a r tm e n t o f E n e rg y S y n t h e t i c f u e l s ........................................................................................................................ F o s s i l e n e r g y .............................................................................................................................. S o l a r e n e r g y ................................................................................................................................. O t h e r e n e r g y s u p p l y ............................................................................................................. E n e r g y c o n s e r v a t i o n ............................................................................................................. A l c o h o l f u e l s s u b s i d i e s ................................................................................................. 4 -1 2 4 -1 4 4 -1 6 4 -1 8 4 -2 0 4 -2 3 D e p a r t m e n t o f H o u s i n g a n d U rb a n D e v e l o p m e n t S o l a r E n e r g y a n d C o n s e r v a t i o n B a n k ................................................................. C o m m u n ity d e v e l o p m e n t s u p p o r t a s s i s t a n c e ................................................ 4 -2 4 4 -2 5 D e p a r tm e n t o f L a b o r C o m p r e h e n s iv e E m p lo y m e n t a n d T r a i n i n g A c t (C E T A ) p u b l i c s e r v i c e j o b s .......................................................................................................... 4 -2 6 D e p a r tm e n t o f T r a n s p o r t a t i o n M a ss t r a n s i t o p e r a t i n g s u b s i d i e s ....................................................................... A m tr a k s u b s i d i e s ...................................................................................................................... N o r t h e a s t c o r r i d o r im p r o v e m e n t p r o j e c t ..................................................... Low v o lu m e r a i l r o a d b r a n c h l i n e s .......................................................................... C o o p e r a t i v e a u t o m o t i v e r e s e a r c h .......................................................................... 4 -2 8 4 -3 0 4 -3 2 4 -3 4 4 -3 5 O th e r A g e n c ie s A c c e le r a t io n o f m in e r a l le a s in g ( o f f s e t t i n g r e c e i p t s ) . . . . 4 -3 6 CAB a i r l i n e s u b s i d y ............................................................................................................. ...4 - 3 8 C o n r a i l ................................................................................................................................................ .. 4 - 3 9 E x p o r t - I m p o r t B a n k ................................................................................................................ .. 4 - 4 1 P o s t a l S e r v i c e s u b s i d i e s .............................................................................................. .. 4 - 4 3 -29- Page 5. STRETCH OUT AND RETARGET PUBLIC SECTOR CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGRAMS D e p a r tm e n t o f T r a n s p o r t a t i o n F e d e r a l h ig h w a y c o n s t r u c t i o n ................................................................................. ..... 5 - 1 U rb a n m a s s t r a n s p o r t a t i o n c a p i t a l g r a n t s ............................................... .....5 - 3 A i r p o r t c o n s t r u c t i o n ........................................................................................................ ..... 5 - 5 O th e r A g e n c ie s W a t e r r e s o u r c e d e v e l o p m e n t c o n s t r u c t i o n .................................................. EPA w a s t e t r e a t m e n t g r a n t s ....................................................................................... 6. 5 -6 5 -7 IMPOSE F IS C A L RESTRAINT ON OTHER PROGRAMS OF NATIONAL INTEREST D e p a r t m e n t o f C om m erce V a r io u s N a t i o n a l O c e a n ic and A tm o s p h e r ic A d m i n i s t r a t i o n p r o g r a m s ........................................................................................................................................ 6 -1 D e p a r tm e n t o f E d u c a t io n S c h o o l a s s i s t a n c e in f e d e r a l l y a f f e c t e d a r e a s (im p a c t a i d ) .................................................................................................................................................... .....6 - 3 V o c a t i o n a l e d u c a t i o n ..............................................................................................................6 - 5 N a t i o n a l I n s t i t u t e o f E d u c a t i o n ..............................................................................6 - 6 I n s t i t u t e o f M useum S e r v i c e s .......................................................................................6 - 7 D e p a r tm e n t o f E n e rg y E n e r g y r e g u l a t i o n ................................................................................................................. G e n e r a l s c i e n c e ....................................................................................................................... E n e r g y i n f o r m a t i o n a n d o v e r h e a d ......................................................................... 6 -8 6 -9 6 -1 0 D e p a r t m e n t o f H e a l t h a n d Human S e r v i c e s N a t i o n a l I n s t i t u t e s o f H e a l t h ..................................................................................6 - 1 2 M e d i c a l s e r v i c e s f o r m e r c h a n t s e a m e n .......................................................... ...6 - 1 4 H e a l t h p r o f e s s i o n s e d u c a t i o n .....................................................................................6 - 1 6 H e a l t h m a i n t e n a n c e o r g a n i z a t i o n s ...................................................................... ...6 - 1 8 N a t i o n a l H e a l t h S e r v i c e C o r p s ..................................................................................6 - 2 0 R e g u l a t i o n o f h e a l t h c a r e i n d u s t r y ................................................................ ...6 - 2 2 D e p a r t m e n t o f H o u s in g a n d U rb a n D e v e lo p m e n t P l a n n i n g a s s i s t a n c e ............................................................................................................ R e h a b i l i t a t i o n l o a n f u n d ............................................................................................. N e i g h b o r h o o d s e l f - h e l p d e v e l o p m e n t ................................................................ 6 -2 4 6 -2 5 6 -2 6 D e p a r tm e n t o f t h e I n t e r i o r I m p r o v e t a r g e t i n g o f c o n s e r v a t i o n e x p e n d i t u r e s .............................. Y o u t h C o n s e r v a t i o n C o r p s ............................................................................................. 6 -2 7 6 -2 9 D e p a rtm e n t o f L a b o r Young A d u lt C o n s e r v a tio n C o r p s ............................................................................ 6 -2 9 D e p a r tm e n t o f T r a n s p o r t a t i o n H ig h w a y s a f e t y g r a n t s . T . ............................................................................................. 6 -3 1 -30- Page O th e r A g e n c ie s C o r p o r a t i o n f o r P u b l i c B r o a d c a s t i n g ............................................................. F o r e i g n a i d ................................................................................................................................... NASA r e d u c t i o n s ........................................................................................................................ N a t i o n a l C o n su m e r C o o p e r a t i v e B a n k ................................................................ N a t i o n a l E n d ow m en ts f o r t h e A r t s a n d H u m a n i t i e s ........................... N a t i o n a l S c i e n c e F o u n d a t i o n ..................................................................................... 7. CONSOLIDATE CATEGORICAL GRANT PROGRAMS INTO BLOCK GRANTS D e p a r tm e n t o f E le m e n ta r y E d u c a tio n an d s e c o n d a r y D ep a rtm e n t o f H e a lth and H e a lth s o c ia l 8. 6 -3 2 6 -3 3 6 -3 5 6 -3 7 6 -3 9 6 -4 1 e d u c a tio n p r o g r a m s ...................................... 7 -1 a n d Human S e r v i c e s s e r v i c e s p r o g r a m s .............................................................. 7 -6 REDUCE OVERHEAD AND PERSONNEL COSTS OF THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT D e p a r tm e n t of D e f e n s e - M i l i t a r y ..................................................................................... 8 -1 O th e r A g e n c ie s F e d e r a l c i v i l i a n e m p l o y m e n t ..................................................................................... .....8 - 3 F e d e r a l p a y c o m p a r a b i l i t y s t a n d a r d ................................................................. .....8 - 5 R e g u l a t i o n s .................................................................................................................................... .....8 - 8 -31- INDEX OF PROGRAM PROPOSALS BY AG EN CY Page D ep a rtm en t o f A g r i c u l t u r e F o o d s t a m p s ............................................................................................................................... C h i l d n u t r i t i o n .................................................................................................................... R u r a l E l e c t r i f i c a t i o n A d m i n i s t r a t i o n ( o f f - b u d g e t ) .................. C o m m o d ity C r e d i t C o r p o r a t i o n : D a i r y p r i c e s u p p o r t s ............ F a r m e r s Home A d m i n i s t r a t i o n : D i r e c t l o a n s ...................................... A l c o h o l f u e l s and b i o m a s s l o a n s ...................................................................... D e p a r t m e n t o f Com m erce E c o n o m ic a n d r e g i o n a l d e v e l o p m e n t ( i n c l u d i n g A p p a l a c h i a n R e g i o n a l C o m m i s s i o n ) ................................................................ V a r i o u s N a t i o n a l O c e a n i c an d A t m o s p h e r i c A d m i n i s t r a t i o n p r o g r a m s ..................................................................................................................................... D e p a rtm e n t of 1 -1 2 -1 4 -5 4 -1 4 -8 4 -3 4 -1 0 6 -1 D e f e n s e - M i l i t a r y ................................................................................. 8 -1 D ep a rtm en t o f D e f e n s e - C i v i l I n l a n d w a te r w a y s u b s i d y ( i n c r e a s e i n g o v e r n m e n t a l r e c e i p t s ) ................................................................................................................................... 3 -1 D ep a rtm en t o f E d u c a tio n E l e m e n t a r y a n d s e c o n d a r y e d u c a t i o n p r o g r a m s ................................... S c h o o l a s s i s t a n c e i n f e d e r a l l y a f f e c t e d a r e a s (im p a c t a i d ) ................................................................................................................................................. V o c a t i o n a l e d u c a t i o n ...................................................................................................... S t u d e n t a s s i s t a n c e ............................................................................................................ N a t i o n a l I n s t i t u t e o f E d u c a t i o n ...................................................................... I n s t i t u t e o f M useum S e r v i c e s ............................................................................... 6 -3 6 -5 2 -3 6 -6 6 -7 D e p a r tm e n t o f E n e rg y S y n t h e t i c f u e l s .................................................................................................................... G e n e r a l s c i e n c e .................................................................................................................... F o s s i l e n e r g y .......................................................................................................................... S o l a r e n e r g y ............................................................................................................................. O t h e r e n e r g y s u p p l y ......................................................................................................... E n e r g y c o n s e r v a t i o n ......................................................................................................... E n e r g y r e g u l a t i o n ............................................................................................................... E n e r g y i n f o r m a t i o n a n d o v e r h e a d ...................................................................... A l c o h o l f u e l s s u b s i d i e s ............................................................................................. 4 -1 2 6 -9 4 -1 4 4 -1 6 4 -1 8 4 -2 0 6 -8 6 -1 0 4 -2 3 D e p a r t m e n t o f H e a l t h a n d Human S e r v i c e s M inim um s o c i a l s e c u r i t y b e n e f i t s ................................................................... S o c i a l s e c u r i t y d i s a b i l i t y i n s u r a n c e ....................................................... S o c i a l s e c u r i t y — a d u l t s t u d e n t b e n e f i t s ......................................... AFDC w e l f a r e p r o g r a m s ................................................................................................... M e d i c a i d ......................................................................................................................................... H e a l t h a n d s o c i a l s e r v i c e s p r o g r a m s ........................................................... R e g u l a t i o n o f h e a l t h c a r e i n d u s t r y .............................................................. N a t i o n a l I n s t i t u t e s o f H e a l t h ............................................................................ H e a l t h p r o f e s s i o n s e d u c a t i o n ............................................................................... H e a l t h m a in t e n a n c e o r g a n i z a t i o n s ................... . . ........................................ M e d i c a l s e r v i c e s f o r m e r c h a n t s e a m e n ........................................................ N a t i o n a l H e a l t h S e r v i c e C o r p s ............ ............................................................... 1 -5 1 -9 1 -7 1 -1 1 1 -1 5 7 -6 6 -2 2 6 -1 2 6 -1 6 6 -1 8 6 -1 4 6 -2 0 -32- 7 -1 Page D e p a r t m e n t o f H o u s i n g a n d U r b a n D e v e lo p m e n t. P l a n n i n g a s s i s t a n c e ......................................................................................................... R e h a b i l i t a t i o n l o a n f u n d ........................................................................................... N e i g h b o r h o o d s e l f - h e l p d e v e l o p m e n t .............................................................. P u b l i c h o u s i n g m o d e r n i z a t i o n ............................................................................... S u b s i d i z e d h o u s i n g r e n t s ........................................................................................... S u b s i d i z e d h o u s i n g l e v e l s ........................................................................................ S o l a r E n e r g y a n d E n e r g y C o n s e r v a t i o n B a n k ......................................... C o m m u n ity d e v e l o p m e n t s u p p o r t a s s i s t a n c e ............................................ 6 -2 4 6 -2 5 6 -2 6 1 -2 1 1 -1 9 1 -1 7 4 -2 4 4 -2 5 D ep a rtm e n t o f th e I n t e r i o r I m p r o v e d t a r g e t i n g o f c o n s e r v a t i o n e x p e n d i t u r e s ........................ Y o u t h C o n s e r v a t i o n C o r p s . ..................................................................................... 6 -2 7 6 -2 9 D ep a rtm en t o f L a b o r U n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e : E x t e n d e d b e n e f i t s ....................................... U n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e : W ork t e s t .............................................................. T r a d e a d j u s t m e n t a s s i s t a n c e .................................................................................. C o m p r e h e n s iv e E m p lo y m e n t a n d T r a i n i n g A c t (C E T A ) p u b l i c s e r v i c e j o b s ................................... ....................................................................................... B l a c k l u n g .................................................................................................................................... U n e m p lo y m e n t c o m p e n s a t i o n f o r e x - s e r v i c e m e m b e r s ........................ F e d e r a l e m p l o y e e i n j u r y c o m p e n s a t i o n ( F E C A ) .................................... Y o u n g A d u l t C o n s e r v a t i o n C o r p s .......................................................................... D e p a r tm e n t o f T r a n s p o r t a t i o n F e d e r a l h i g h w a y c o n s t r u c t i o n ................................................................................ U rban m ass t r a n s p o r t a t i o n : C a p i t a l g r a n t s ....................................... M a ss t r a n s i t o p e r a t i n g s u b s i d i e s .................................................................... A i r p o r t c o n s t r u c t i o n ....................................................................................................... A m tr a k s u b s i d i e s ................................................................................................................... N o r t h e a s t c o r r i d o r im p r o v e m e n t p r o j e c t .................................................. Low v o lu m e r a i l r o a d b r a n c h l i n e s ....................................................................... H ig h w a y s a f e t y g r a n t s .................................................................................................... C o o p e r a t i v e a u t o m o t i v e r e s e a r c h p r o g r a m ................................................ S u b s i d i e s f o r a i r w a y a n d a i r p o r t u s e r s (F A A — i n c r e a s e t o g o v e r n m e n t a l r e c e i p t s ) ...................................................................................... B o a t and y a c h t u s e r f e e s ( i n c r e a s e in g o v e r n m e n ta l r e c e i p t s ) .................................................................................................................................... -33- 1 -2 2 1 -2 4 1 -3 0 4 -2 6 1 -3 3 1 -2 8 1 -2 6 6 -2 9 5 -1 5 -3 4 -2 8 5 -5 4 -3 0 4 -3 2 4 -3 4 6 -3 1 4 -3 5 3 -3 3 -5 Page O th e r S a v in g s A c c e le r a t i o n o f m in e r a l le a s i n g ( o f f s e t t i n g r e c e i p t s ) . . . EPA w a s t e t r e a t m e n t g r a n t s .................................................................................... NASA r e d u c t i o n s .................................................................................................................... CAB a i r l i n e s u b s i d y ........................................................................................................ C o n r a i l ........................................................................................................................................... C o r p o r a t i o n f o r P u b l i c B r o a d c a s t i n g .......................................................... E x p o r t - I m p o r t B a n k ........................................................................................................... F o r e i g n a i d ............................................................................................................................... N a t i o n a l C o n su m er C o o p e r a t i v e B a n k ............................................................. N a t i o n a l E nd ow m en ts f o r t h e A r t s an d H u m a n i t i e s ........................ N a t i o n a l S c i e n c e F o u n d a t i o n ................................................................................. P o s t a l S e r v i c e s u b s i d i e s .............................................................................. .. .. S a l l i e Mae ( g u a r a n t e e d s t u d e n t l o a n s — o f f - b u d g e t ) ............ W a t e r r e s o u r c e d e v e l o p m e n t c o n s t r u c t i o n ............................................... F e d e r a l p a y c o m p a r a b i l i t y s t a n d a r d ............................................................. F ed eral c i v i l i a n r e tir e m e n t: A n n u a l i n d e x a t i o n ........................ F e d e r a l c i v i l i a n e m p lo y m e n t ................................................................................. R e g u l a t i o n s ............................................................................................................................... -34- 4 -3 6 5 -7 6 -3 5 4 -3 8 4 -3 9 6 -3 2 4 -4 1 6 -3 3 6 -3 7 6 -3 9 6 -4 1 4 -4 3 2 -5 5 -6 8 -5 1 -3 5 8 -3 8 -8 1. R EVISE ENTITLEMENTS TO ELIM INATE UNINTENDED BENEFITS D e p a rtm e n t of A g r ic u ltu r e TARGETED REFORM OF FOOD STAMPS In a c c o r d w ith t h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n 's e f f o r t s t o t a r g e t a s s is ta n c e to th e m ost needy fa m ilie s , and t o r e s t r a i n t h e u n c o n t r o l l e d g r o w th o f e n t i t l e m e n t s p e n d i n g , m a jo r c h a n g e s w i l l b e p r o p o s e d i n t h e f o o d sta m p p r o g r a m . F or a fa m ily o f fo u r , e l i g i b i l i t y w i l l b e li m i t e d t o th o s e w h ose gross in c o m e is le s s th a n $ 1 1 ,0 0 0 p e r y e a r — a b o u t $ 9 0 0 p e r m o n th . U nder c u r r e n t la w , s im ila r fa m ilie s w ith in c o m e s in excess of $ 1 4 ,0 0 0 a n n u a lly are e lig ib le fo r fo o d sta m p s. O v e r la p p in g sch ool m eal and fo o d s ta m p s u b s id ie s w ill be e lim in a te d . B e n e f i t c a l c u l a t i o n s w i l l b e b a s e d on a c t u a l r e c e n t e a r n i n g s o r p a y m e n ts r a t h e r th a n p r o j e c t e d e a r n i n g s o r p a y m e n ts. A r e c i p i e n t 's i n i t i a l a llo t m e n t w i l l b e p r o -r a t e d t o e n su re th a t t h e b e n e f i t s p r o v i d e d a r e m o re e q u i v a l e n t t o t h e n u m b er of days in th e m o n th fo r w h ic h a s s is ta n c e is needed. L ib e r a liz e d a l l o t m e n t l e v e l s a n d in c o m e d e d u c t i o n s s c h e d u l e d t o ta k e e ffe c t in th e next fis c a l year w ill be r e p e a le d . T ig h te n e d a d m in is tr a tio n and program m o n ito r in g w ill y ie ld a d d itio n a l s a v in g s th ro u g h red u ced overhead co sts, and th ro u g h th e e l i m i n a t i o n o f p a y m e n t e r r o r s a n d f o o d s ta m p f r a u d . T h e s e c h a n g e s w i l l h e l p t o r e f o c u s t h e fo o d sta m p p r o g r a m on its o r ig in a l p u rp ose — t o e n s u r e a d e q u a t e n u t r i t i o n f o r A m e r i c a 's needy f a m ilie s . T h e c o m b in e d e ffe c t of fo o d s t a m p 's cu rren t p r o s p e c tiv e in c o m e t e s t a n d h i g h d e d u c t i o n s fr o m in c o m e h a s b e e n t o d i v e r t t h e f o o d s ta m p p r o g r a m a w a y fr o m t h i s o r i g i n a l p u rp ose to w a rd a g e n e r a liz e d in c o m e tr a n sfe r program , r e g a r d le s s o f n u tr itio n a l need. By r e s t r u c t u r i n g fo o d sta m p s to c o m p le m e n t o th e r n u tr itio n p r o g r a m s a n d t a r g e t i n g f u n d s o n t h o s e w h o s e lo w in c o m e s prevent th em fr o m m a in ta in in g an a d e q u a te d ie t, s ig n ific a n t s a v in g s can be a c h ie v e d w h ile e n s u r in g t h a t n eedy f a m i l i e s h a v e t h e r e s o u r c e s t o m eet t h e i r n u t r i t i o n a l n e e d s . T h e se c h a n g e s a r e a l s o d e s ig n e d t o e li m i n a t e a n o m a lie s fo u n d in th e p r e s e n t p r o g r a m , w h e re f a m i l i e s w it h h i g h a n n u a l in c o m e s a r e n e v e r t h e l e s s e l i g i b l e f o r fo o d sta m p s d u r in g sh o rt, te m p o ra r y p e r io d s o f u n e m p lo y m e n t . The p r e s e n t program a l s o p e r m its th o s e w it h r e l a t i v e l y h i g h in c o m e s t o t a k e h i g h e r o f f s e t s fo r s h e lte r and c h ild care exp en ses th a n lo w e r -in c o m e fa m ilie s . The A d m i n i s t r a t i o n ' s p r o g r a m w o u ld rem ove 4 0 0 ,0 0 0 su ch h o u s e h o ld s fr o m th e r o lls . A t t h e sa m e t i m e , a f a m i l y o f f o u r w i t h i n c o m e b e l o w $ 1 0 , 9 8 5 w o u ld r e c e i v e t h e f u l l n u t r i t i o n a l b e n e f i t — o n ly m o d ifie d t o a cco u n t fo r d u p lic a te d n u t r it io n s u b s id ie s . 1-1 T h ese r e fo r m s t o e f f i c i e n t l y t a r g e t b e n e f i t s t o a c t u a l need w i l l a ls o h e lp t o r e s t r a i n th e r a te o f in c r e a s e o f F ederal s p e n d in g . As a r e s u l t , F e d e r a l f o o d sta m p c o s t s w i l l b e $ 1 . 8 b i l l i o n l o w e r in 1 9 8 2 th a n u n d e r c u r r e n t la w . O ver t h e 5 -y e a r p e r io d th ro u g h 1 9 8 6 , c o s t s w i l l b e re d u ce d b y a b o u t $ 1 1 .7 b i l l i o n . P r o p o s a ls w ill s e v e r a l w ays: be advanced to change th e fo o d s ta m p program in — S e t g r o s s in c o m e l i m i t s o n fo o d sta m p e lig ib ility at 130% o f th e p o v e r ty l e v e l — a b o u t $ 1 1 ,0 0 0 p e r y e a r f o r a f a m ily o f fo u r — in 1 9 8 2 . In c a lc u la tin g b e n e fits fo r h o u s e h o ld s w ith earned in c o m e , th e c u r r e n t 20% e a r n e d in c o m e d e d u c tio n w o u ld be kept to encou rage c o n tin u e d w o r k fo r c e p a r tic ip a tio n . O th e r d e d u c tio n s fr o m g r o s s in c o m e w o u ld c o n t i n u e t o b e u s e d t o e s t a b l i s h b e n e fit le v e ls fo r each h o u s e h o ld . T h ese d e d u c tio n s w o u ld no lo n g e r be in d e x e d to p r ic e ch an ges. The c o m b in e d e f f e c t o f t h e s e c h a n g e s w o u ld p r e v e n t t h o s e who a r e t e m p o r a r i l y o u t o f w o rk d u e t o s e a s o n a l o r v o l u n t a r y p e r i o d s o f u n e m p lo y m e n t fr o m r e c e i v i n g b e n e f i t s , u n le s s th e ir in c o m e w as lo w over a s u s ta in e d p e r io d . S i m i l a r l y , f a m i l i e s w h ose h i g h e r l i v i n g s t a n d a r d s a llo w th e m to ta k e d is p r o p o r tio n a te a d v a n ta g e of excess s h e l t e r c o s t d e d u c t i o n s w o u ld n o l o n g e r b e e l i g i b l e . Of t h e 9 m i l l i o n f o o d sta m p r e c i p i e n t s w h o s e m a jo r sou rce of in c o m e is in c o m e tr a n sfe r p a y m e n ts and in -k in d b e n e f i t s s u c h a s h o u s i n g a s s i s t a n c e , t h e in c o m e c e ilin g w o u ld have l e s s o f an e x c l u s i o n a r y e f f e c t a s t h e v a l u e o f i n - k i n d b e n e f i t s w o u ld c o n t i n u e t o b e e x c l u d e d . — E l i m i n a t e o v e r l a p p i n g f o o d s ta m p a n d fr e e sch ool m eal s u b s id ie s . The m o n t h ly f o o d s ta m p b e n e f i t i s b a s e d on th e a s s u m p tio n t h a t a l l m e a ls f o r t h e f a m i ly are ea ten at hom e. F o r s t u d e n t s fr o m f a m i l i e s w i t h i n c o m e s b e l o w $ 1 1 , 6 4 0 , f r e e s c h o o l m e a l s w i l l r e m a i n a v a i l a b l e i n m o re th a n n i n e - t e n t h s o f t h e N a t i o n 's s c h o o l s . T h ese sch ool m e a ls are in te n d e d to m eet o n e - t h i r d o f a s t u d e n t 's d a ily n u tr itio n a l n eeds. F o r s t u d e n t s who r e c e i v e b o th fo o d sta m p s and fre e sch ool m e a ls , th e F ederal G overn m en t s u b s id iz e s fo u r ra th e r th re e m e a ls each sch ool day. To e lim in a t e t h i s s u b s id y o v e r la p , fo o d sta m p a l l o t m e n t s w i l l b e a d j u s t e d fo r h o u s e h o ld s w ith s t u d e n t s i n p r im a r y and s e c o n d a r y s c h o o l s t o r e f l e c t t h e v a lu e of fr e e sch ool m e a ls . F a m ilie s w ith s tu d e n ts w it h o u t a c c e s s t o s u b s i d i z e d s c h o o l m e a ls and t h o s e who cannot eat m e a ls at sch ool fo r r e lig io u s or d ie ta r y re a so n s w i l l n o t have t h e ir a llo tm e n ts ch an ged . — C a l c u l a t e e l i g i b i l i t y on t h e b a s i s o f h o u s e h o ld in c o m e in th e p r io r p e r io d . S ta te s now h a v e t h e o p t i o n t o e i t h e r e s t i m a t e f u t u r e in c o m e o r u s e t h e p r io r m o n t h 's in c o m e to d e te r m in e h o u s e h o ld in c o m e e lig ib ility . E s t i m a t i n g f u t u r e in c o m e c a n e a s i l y r e s u l t i n erron eou s p a y m e n ts or in a c c u r a te e l i g i b i l i t y d e te r m in a tio n s . In a d d it i o n t o p r e v e n t in g o v erp a y m e n ts due to errors in in c o m e r e p o r t in g , t h i s p r o p o s a l h a s th e added a d v a n ta g e 1-2 o f e n s u r in g t h a t f a m i li e s can n o t ta k e a d v a n ta g e o f fo o d sta m p s d u r in g te m p o ra ry p e r io d s of v o lu n ta r y or f o r e s e e a b l e u n e m p lo y m e n t u n l e s s t h e i r a v a ila b le in c o m e is tr u ly lo w . B ecau se b o th e l i g i b i l i t y and b e n e f i t d e t e r m i n a t i o n s w o u ld be based on a n n u a liz e d average in c o m e d u r in g th e p r io r p e r io d , th e lo n g e r -t e r m u n e m p lo y e d w o u ld b e c o m e e l i g i b l e f o r b e n e f i t s as th e ir fu n d s ru n o u t . P r o - r a t e f i r s t m o n t h 's b e n e f i t s t o r e f l e c t th e p o r tio n of th e m o n th fo r w h ic h a s s is ta n c e is needed. U nder c u r r e n t l a w , a r e c i p i e n t who is c e r tifie d and is s u e d fo o d sta m p s la te i n t h e m o n th r e c e i v e s a f u l l m o n t h l y a llo tm e n t. U n d e r t h i s p r o p o s a l , t h o s e who n e e d h e l p f o r l e s s t h a n a f u l l m o n th w hen t h e y f i r s t a p p ly fo r fo o d s t a m p s w o u ld r e c e i v e a p r o - r a t e d a l l o t m e n t . R e p e a l p r o v i s i o n s s c h e d u le d f o r 1 9 8 2 t h a t w i l l in c r e a se f u t u r e f o o d s ta m p c o s t s . T h e 1 9 8 0 F o o d S ta m p A m en d m en ts a llo w th e S e c r e ta r y o f A g r ic u lt u r e , b e g in n in g in 1 9 8 2 , to p r o je c t p r ic e changes in c a lc u la tin g fo o d s ta m p a llo tm e n ts and in c o m e d e d u c tio n s . The A d m i n i s t r a t i o n recom m en ds t h a t a u t o m a t ic b e n e f i t i n c r e a s e s b e b a s e d on a 1 2 -m o n th p e r i o d o f a c t u a l p r i c e c h a n g e s w h ic h a v o id s th e u n c e r t a in t y o f p r o j e c t i n g fo o d c o s t s . In a d d itio n , s p e c ia liz e d d e d u c tio n s fo r 1982 added in th e r e c e n t a m e n d m e n ts w ill be p rop osed fo r r e p e a l. Ite m iz e d d e d u c t i o n s c o m p l i c a t e f o o d s ta m p a d m i n i s t r a t i o n a n d h e l p t o c a u s e e r r o n e o u s p a y m e n t s t o f o o d s ta m p r e c i p i e n t s . Im p ro v e o v e r a l l m anagem ent and m o n ito r in g to en su re c o m p lia n c e . W h ile recen t le g is la tiv e c h a n g e s p e r m it S ta te s to im p r o v e b e n e fic ia r y tr a c k in g and in c o m e v e r i f i c a t i o n a n d m ake o t h e r m a n a g e m e n t i m p r o v e m e n t s , n o t a ll S ta te s are f u l l y a p p ly in g a v a i l a b l e te c h n iq u e s t o id e n tify , p rev e n t, and correct paym ent errors and recover o v erp a y m e n ts. S h i f t i n g t o r e t r o s p e c t i v e in c o m e a c c o u n t i n g w i l l a l s o im p r o v e r o u t i n e in c o m e v e r i f i c a t i o n and s a m p lin g t e c h n i q u e s . T h ese m easu res w ill en su re th a t b e n e fits are p a id o n ly to th e t r u l y n e e d y , th a t fr a u d u le n t c la im s a r e d e t e c t e d and d e te rre d , and th a t a ll a p p lic a tio n s , in te r v ie w s , and tr a n s a c tio n s are c o n d u c te d in th e m ost e f f i c i e n t and sp e e d y m an n er. 1- 3 The p r o p o s a l is e x p e c te d to r e s u lt th e fo llo w in g (in m illio n s 1983 1982 1981 C u rren t b a s e : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s .................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s .................................... P rop osed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s .................................... in change: o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 1986 1 1 ,0 8 4 1 0 ,9 5 0 1 2 ,5 7 0 1 2 ,4 7 3 1 3 ,1 7 1 1 3 ,0 7 0 1 3 ,6 0 7 1 3 ,5 0 3 1 3 ,9 9 0 1 3 ,8 8 3 1 4 ,1 6 0 1 4 ,0 5 1 -1 5 0 -1 5 0 -1 ,8 2 8 -1 ,8 2 2 -2 ,0 1 2 -2 ,0 0 4 -2 ,4 6 2 -2 ,4 5 1 -2 ,6 3 6 -2 ,6 2 4 -2 ,7 7 1 -2 ,7 5 9 1 0 ,9 3 4 1 0 ,8 0 0 1 0 ,7 4 2 1 0 ,6 5 1 1 1 ,1 5 9 1 1 ,0 6 6 1 1 ,1 4 5 1 1 ,0 5 2 1 1 ,3 5 4 1 1 ,2 5 9 1 1 ,3 8 9 1 1 ,2 9 2 1-4 He al th and Human Services ELIM IN ATIN G THE SO CIAL SECURITY MINIMUM PAYMENT AMOUNT S in c e th e en a ctm en t o f s o c i a l s e c u r ity , a n u m b er of unearned b e n e fits have been added to th e c o r e o l d - a g e and s u r v i v o r 's in su r a n c e program . In recen t years, th e se a d d -o n s have th re a te n e d th e c o n tin u e d s o lv e n c y o f th e b a s ic s o c i a l s e c u r it y program . W h ile fu n d a m e n ta l p rog ram r e fo r m s w ill be needed to prevent th e in s o lv e n c y of th e s o c ia l s e c u r ity t r u s t fu n d s, e l i m i n a t i n g t h e s e a d d -o n p a y m e n ts i n 1 9 8 1 c a n a c h i e v e s i g n i f i c a n t s a v i n g s , e n h a n c in g th e a b i l i t y o f t h e s o c i a l s e c u r i t y sy ste m to m eet o u r n a t i o n a l c o m m itm e n t t o p r o v i d e a d e q u a t e s o c i a l s e c u r i t y in c o m e t o o u r N a t i o n ' s r e t i r e d w o r k e r s . O ne m a jo r paym ent a d d -o n has been th e s o -c a lle d "m in im u m b e n e f it ." R e g a r d le s s o f t h e am ount o f s o c i a l s e c u r i t y b e n e f i t s t h a t a r e t i r e e i s e l i g i b l e f o r b a s e d on h i s e a r n i n g s h is to r y in covered e m p lo y m e n t , th e m inim um paym ent p r o v is io n r a i s e s th e b a s i c b e n e f i t t o a t l e a s t $ 1 2 2 p e r m o n th . The o r i g i n a l p u rp o se o f t h i s p r o v is io n — f i r s t e n a cted in 1939 a t a $ 1 0 p e r m o n th l e v e l — w as t o i n c r e a s e r e t i r e m e n t in c o m e f o r th o se w ith very lo w w age h is to r ie s , and fo r th o se w h ose e m p lo y m e n t w as p r i m a r i l y b e f o r e s o c ia l s e c u r ity covered th e ir w ork in th e s y s t e m 's e a r ly years. S in c e 1 9 7 4 , h o w e v e r, th e s u p p l e m e n t a l s e c u r i t y in c o m e program (S S I) has p r o v id e d cash a s s is ta n c e to su ch r e tir e e s . I n f a c t , t h e m a in e f f e c t o f t h e m inim um p a y m e n t f o r th e se w ork ers is to o ffs e t, d o lla r fo r d o l l a r , t h e a m o u n t o f S S I a s s i s t a n c e t h e y w o u ld r e c e i v e w e r e t h e y n o t r e c e iv in g e le v a te d s o c i a l s e c u r it y b e n e f i t s . Now th a t m o s t e m p lo y m e n t h a s b e e n c o v e r e d u n d e r s o c i a l s e c u r i t y f o r a t l e a s t 30 y e a r s , th e m a in b e n e fic ia r ie s of th e m inim um paym ent p r o v is io n a r e t h o s e w i t h s h o r t w o rk h i s t o r i e s i n s o c i a l s e c u r i t y - c o v e r e d e m p lo y m e n t, c h ie fly due to lo n g p e r io d s of F ederal c iv ilia n e m p lo y m e n t. Su ch r e tir e e s , o f c o u rse , a ls o r e c e iv e g e n e ro u s F e d e r a l p e n s i o n s I n 1 9 7 8 , in f a c t , th e a v e r a g e F e d e r a l a n n u i t a n t r e c e i v i n g s o c i a l s e c u r i t y m inim um p a y m e n t s had F e d e r a l p e n s i o n in c o m e o f $ 9 0 0 p e r m o n t h . A n o t h e r 10% o f m inim um b e n e fit r e c i p i e n t s h a v e w o r k in g s p o u s e s e a r n in g a t l e a s t $ 1 4 ,0 0 0 per y ea r. B e c a u s e t h e s e r e c i p i e n t s r e c e i v e s o c i a l s e c u r i t y p a y m e n ts f a r in excess of t h e l e v e l t o w h ic h t h e i r s p o t t y c o n t r i b u t i o n s e n t i t l e th e m , t h e y r e p r e s e n t a s e r i o u s d r a i n on t h e s o c i a l s e c u r i t y t r u s t fu n d s. E l i m i n a t i n g t h e "m in im u m b e n e f i t " w o u ld s t o p t h i s d r a in , w ith o u t r e d u c in g b e n e f i t s f o r t r u l y n eed y r e t i r e e s a t a l l ; t h e i r b e n e f i t s w o u ld b e r e p l a c e d , d o l l a r f o r d o l l a r , b y in c r e a s e d SSI in c o m e . O n ly 17% ( 5 0 0 ,0 0 0 ) of m inim um b e n e fit r e c ip ie n ts , h o w e v e r , a r e t r u l y n e e d y ; GAO h a s f o u n d t h a t a t l e a s t 74% d o not "d e p e n d p r im a r ily " on th e ir s o c ia l s e c u r ity fo r r e tir e m e n t in c o m e . 1-5 1981 C u r r e n t b a s e ............ P o lic y r e d u c tio n . P ro p o sed b u d g e t .. O u t l a y s (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 1982 1983 1984 1985 1 3 8 ,0 2 2 -5 0 1 3 7 ,9 7 2 1 5 7 ,8 3 7 -1 ,0 0 0 1 5 6 ,8 3 7 1 7 5 ,5 1 5 -1 ,1 0 0 1 7 4 ,4 1 5 1 9 1 ,1 3 4 -1 ,1 0 0 1 9 0 ,0 3 4 1986 2 0 6 ,5 7 9 2 2 1 ,5 7 3 - 1 ,1 0 0 -1 ,1 0 0 2 0 5 ,4 7 9 2 2 0 ,4 7 3 NOTE: S a v in g s assu m e th e changes w ill be e ffe c tiv e A u gu st 1 , 1981, ta k e in t o a cc o u n t a s s o c ia t e d in c r e a s e s in o th e r F ederal a s s is ta n c e program s, and are s e n s itiv e to e c o n o m ic a s s u m p tio n s . _________ ( i n m i l l i o n s o f 1981 1982 1983 N et s a v i n g s fr o m p r o p o s a l . S o c ia l s e c u r it y s a v in g s fr o m p r o p o s a l ........................ S S I i n c r e a s e fr o m p r o p o s a l ...................................... -5 0 -1 ,0 0 0 -1 ,1 0 0 d o l l a r s ) _________ 1984 1985 -1 ,1 0 0 -1 ,1 0 0 ( -6 0 ) ( -1 ,3 0 0 ) ( -1 ,4 0 0 ) ( -1 ,5 0 0 ) ( -1 ,5 0 0 ) (1 0 ) 1-6 (3 0 0 ) (3 0 0 ) (4 0 0 ) (4 0 0 ) Health and Human Services ELIM IN ATIN G SO CIAL SECURITY PAYMENTS TO ADULT STUDENTS S o c i a l s e c u r i t y f a c e s a g r o w in g s o l v e n c y t h r e a t . As one e le m e n t of a s s u r in g b a s ic b e n e fits t o r e t i r e d o r d i s a b l e d w o r k e r s and th e ir s u r v iv o r s , th e A d m in is tr a tio n p la n s to e lim in a te th e a d d itio n a l b e n e f i t s p r e s e n t l y p a id t o s t u d e n t s w h ose p a r e n t s a r e s o c ia l s e c u r ity b e n if ic ia r ie s . P a y m e n ts t o s t u d e n t s f r o m s o c ia l s e c u r ity a r e u n r e la t e d t o e d u c a t io n a l c o s t o r n eed and d u p li c a t e m ore a p p r o p r i a t e F e d e r a l s t u d e n t a s s is ta n c e p rogram s. W ith o u t s o c ia l s e c u r ity , lo w a n d m i d d l e in c o m e a d u l t s t u d e n t s w o u ld b e e lig ib le fo r F ederal stu d e n t a s s is ta n c e ta ilo r e d to th e ir e d u c a tio n a l c o sts and need. E lim in a tin g s o c i a l s e c u r ity fo r s t u d e n t s w o u ld a d d $ 7 b i l l i o n t o t h e s o c i a l s e c u r i t y t r u s t fu n d s b y 1 9 8 6 — w ith o u t h ig h e r ta x b u r d e n s . A d u lt s t u d e n t p a y m e n ts w ere a d d ed a s a m a r g in a l b e n e f i t t o s o c i a l s e c u r ity i n 1 9 6 5 , w hen t h e t r u s t f u n d s h a d c o n s i d e r a b l e r e s e r v e s and s o c i a l s e c u r i t y b e n e f i t s w ere much lo w e r . S tu d en t s o c ia l s e c u r ity is in a p p r o p r ia te and in e ffic ie n t as a com ponent o f s o c i a l in s u r a n c e . O ld -a g e , s u r v iv o r s and d is a b ility in s u r a n c e p ro te c ts a g a in s t lo s s o f in c o m e fr o m r i s k s t h a t a r e b e y o n d t h e w o r k e r 's c o n tro l (o ld age, d is a b ility , and d e a th ). S o c ia l s e c u r ity s h o u ld n o t u n i v e r s a l l y in s u r e a s t u d e n t 's c h o ic e t o g o t o sc h o o l beyond age 1 8 , e s p e c ia lly s in c e e s ta b lis h e d F ederal program s b e t t e r t a r g e t stu d e n t a s s i s t a n c e . S tu d en t p a y m e n t s h a v e g ro w n fr o m $ 1 6 5 m i l l i o n i n 1 9 6 5 t o o v e r $ 2 b i l l i o n in 1 9 8 1 , w ith average per c a p ita p a y m e n ts g o in g up o n e -th ir d fa ste r th a n th e C P I. W h ile th e n u m b er o f a d u lt s t u d e n t s on s o c i a l s e c u r i t y r o s e by o n ly 25% in th e p ast 10 y e a r s , t h e c o s t o f s t u d e n t p a y m e n t s w e n t up 2 4 0 % . T h e s e p a y m e n ts fr o m o ld -a g e , s u r v iv o r s , and d is a b ility in s u r a n c e a r e now a s i g n i f i c a n t d r a i n on t h e tru st fu n d s, one w h ic h th e G en eral A c c o u n t i n g O f f i c e re c o m m e n d s s h o u l d b e e n d e d ( R e p o r t s HRD 7 9 - 1 0 8 , A u g u s t 3 0 , 1 9 7 9 , a n d HRD 8 1 - 3 7 , D e c e m b e r 3 1 , 1 9 8 0 ) . S tu d en t p a y m e n t s fr o m s o c i a l s e c u r i t y c u r r e n t l y a v e r a g e $ 2 5 5 p e r m o n t h , b u t r a n g e fr o m $ 2 0 t o $ 7 0 0 . S tu d e n ts w h ose p a re n ts had lo w e a r n in g s g e t lo w p a y m e n t s fr o m s o c i a l s e c u r i t y , w h i l e t h o s e w ith h ig h -e a r n in g p a re n ts get h ig h p a y m e n ts, m a k in g stu d e n t s o c i a l s e c u r i t y p a y m e n ts i n v e r s e l y r e l a t e d t o n e e d . In c o n tra st, m ost o t h e r F e d e r a l s t u d e n t a s s i s t a n c e i s b a s e d on need. N o n -s o c ia l s e c u r ity F ederal stu d e n t a s s is ta n c e has in c r e a s e d over 2 0 - f o l d , fr o m $ 2 8 4 m i l l i o n i n 1 9 6 5 t o $ 7 b i l l i o n in 1981. Of th e 8 0 0 ,0 0 0 stu d e n ts on s o c ia l se c u r ity , a p p r o x im a te ly 2 5 0 ,0 0 0 w o u ld becom e n e w ly e lig ib le fo r b a s ic e d u c a tio n a l o p p o r tu n ity (P e ll) g ra n ts, w ith o th e r stu d e n ts n e e d in g F ederal a ss is ta n c e e l i g i b l e fo r in s u r e d s tu d e n t lo a n s , n a tio n a l d e fe n se stu d e n t lo a n s , e t c . 1- 7 T h i s p r o p o s a l w o u ld e lim in a t e th e stu d e n t p a y m e n ts. No new r e c ip ie n ts w o u ld b e e l i g i b l e , a n d c u r r e n t s t u d e n t p a y m e n t s w o u ld b e r e d u c e d b y 25% a n n u a l l y u n t i l t h e s t u d e n t r e a c h e s a g e 2 2 . 1981 C u r r e n t b a s e ............ P o lic y r e d u c tio n . P ro p o sed b u d g e t .. 1 3 8 ,0 2 2 -2 0 1 3 8 ,0 0 2 O u tla y s 1982 1 5 7 ,8 3 7 -7 0 0 1 5 7 ,1 3 7 (in m illio n s o f 1983 f9 8 4 1 7 5 ,5 1 5 -1 ,2 0 0 1 7 4 ,3 1 5 1 9 1 ,1 3 4 - 1 ,5 0 0 1 8 9 ,6 3 4 d o lla r s ) 1985 “ 2 0 6 ,5 7 9 -1 ,7 0 0 2 0 4 ,8 7 9 1986 2 2 1 ,5 7 3 -1 ,7 0 0 2 1 9 ,8 7 3 NOTE: S a v in g s assu m e th e changes w ill be e ffe c tiv e A u gu st 1 , 1981, ta k e i n t o a cco u n t a s s o c ia t e d in c r e a s e s in o th e r F ederal a s s is ta n c e program s, and are s e n s itiv e to e c o n o m ic a s s u m p tio n s . 1- 8 Health and Human Services TIGHTENING E L I G I B I L I T Y FOR D IS A B IL IT Y INSURANCE The A d m in is tr a tio n w ill red u ce r a p id ly g r o w in g d is a b ility in s u r a n c e co sts by tig h te n in g a d m in is tr a tio n and e n d in g m is d ir e c te d b e n e f it s . A new m a n a g e m e n t t e a m w ill ta k e a c tio n to e lim in a te in e lig ib le p a y m e n ts, and th e A d m in is tr a tio n w ill p r o p o s e l e g i s l a t i o n t o r e l a t e d i s a b i l i t y b e n e f i t s m o re c l o s e l y t o a d i s a b l e d w o r k e r 's p r i o r e a r n i n g s . D i s a b i l i t y in s u r a n c e b e n e f i t s r e p la c e l o s t e a r n in g s f o r d is a b le d w ork ers and th e ir f a m i l i e s , a l l o w i n g r e c i p i e n t s t o m a in t a i n an a d e q u a te l i v i n g sta n d a rd d e s p ite th e ir in a b ility to w o rk to su p p ort t h e ir fa m ilie s . T h is i s th e p u rp o se o f s o c i a l in s u r a n c e . In Jan u ary o f re p o rted t h a t : 1981, h ow ever, th e G en eral A c c o u n tin g O ffic e (GAO) " t h e r e may b e a s m any as 5 8 4 ,0 0 0 b e n e fic ia r ie s not c u r r e n tly d is a b le d but s till r e c e iv in g d is a b ility b e n e fits . T h ese b e n e fic ia r ie s rep resen t over $2 b i l l i o n a n n u a l l y i n T r u s t Fund c o s t s . " S o c ia l S e c u r ity A d m in is tr a tio n (S S A ) s t u d i e s c o n f i r m t h a t h u g e su m s are p a id in c o r r e c tly to in d iv id u a ls m is c la s s ifie d as d is a b le d . As a r e s u lt, DI c a s e l o a d s h a v e r i s e n b y 80% s i n c e 1 9 7 0 , and c o s t s h a v e c lim b e d b y 5 0 0 % . U nder th e d ir e c tio n of th is A d m in is tr a tio n , th e SSA w i l l b e g in t o i n t e n s i v e l y r e v ie w c a s e s t o in s u r e t h a t o n ly th e t r u l y d is a b le d r e c e iv e d is a b ility b e n e fits . O v e r ly -g e n e r o u s b e n e f i t l e v e l s i n d u c e so m e i n d i v i d u a l s t o r e m a i n on d i s a b i l i t y in s u r a n c e lo n g a f t e r an y t r u e d i s a b i l i t y has been overcom e. T h i s f r e q u e n t l y o c c u r s w hen a r e c i p i e n t ' s DI b e n e f i t s e x c e e d t h e w a g e l e v e l o f h i s c u s t o m a r y w o r k , e s p e c i a l l y now th a t in d e x in g i n r e c e n t y e a r s h a s d r i v e n up t h e v a l u e o f D I b e n e f i t s . I n a d d i t i o n , D I b e n e f i c i a r i e s may r e c e iv e b o th d is a b ility and w ork ers' c o m p e n s a tio n fr o m p la n s s p o n s o r e d b y e m p lo y e r s o r t h e S ta te s. T o r e m o v e t h i s w o rk d i s i n c e n t i v e , a "m e g a c a p " w ill be e s ta b lis h e d on b e n e f i t s t h a t DI b e n e f i c i a r i e s r e c e i v e t o e n s u r e th a t d is a b ility in c o m e fr o m a ll sou rces never exceeds th e w o r k e r 's p r io r e a r n in g s , a d ju s te d f o r i n f l a t i o n . T h is p r o p o s a l w i l l p r e v e n t DI r e c i p i e n t s w i t h m u l t i p l e sou rces of d is a b ility p a y m e n t s fr o m r e c e i v i n g o v e r l y - g e n e r o u s b e n e f i t s . The A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l a l s o p r o p o s e l e g i s l a t i o n t o m o re c l o s e l y t i e e l i g i b i l i t y f o r DI t o t h o s e who h a v e p a i d t h e i r f a i r s h a r e o f c o n tr ib u tio n s t o th e s o c i a l s e c u r it y sy ste m . U nder c u r r e n t la w , p e o p le who have not p a id s o c i a l s e c u r i t y t a x e s in th e p a s t 5 y ea rs are e li g i b l e fo r d i s a b i li t y b e n e fit s . R e q u ir in g d i s a b i l i t y i n s u r a n c e b e n e f i c i a r i e s t o h a v e h ad a m ore r e c e n t a tta c h m e n t to th e w o rk fo rc e — m easu red by w o r k in g 6 out o f t h e l a s t 13 1-9 q u a r t e r s — w o u ld o f l o s t (c o v e r e d ) m ore c l o s e l y e a r n in g s . lin k b e n e fits to th e r e p la c e m e n t The net e ffe c t of th e s e p r o p o s a ls w i l l b e t o e n su re t h a t o n ly t h o s e who a r e t r u l y d e s e r v i n g o f s u p p o r t a r e a d d e d t o t h e b e n e f i t r o l l s , a n d t o e v e n t u a l l y e l i m i n a t e t h o s e who a r e c a p a b l e o f s e l f su p p o rt. T h e s e r e f o r m s w i l l r e d u c e t h e d r a i n on th e d is a b ility i n s u r a n c e t r u s t fu n d a s f o l l o w s . O u tla y s ( i n m i l l i o n s o f 1984 1983 1981 1982 C u r r e n t b a s e .............................. P o lic y r e d u c tio n : Im p r o v e a d m i n i s t r a t i o n ............ In s titu te a " m e g a c a p " ........................... T ig h te n r e c e n c y -o f w o rk t e s t ........................... P r o p o s e d b u d g e t ..................... d o lla r s ) 1986 1985 1 7 ,4 0 0 ► ,1 7 3 2 0 ,6 2 1 2 1 ,8 8 4 2 3 ,2 3 3 2 4 ,7 3 4 -5 0 -2 0 0 -5 0 0 -7 0 0 -9 0 0 -1 ,1 0 0 -5 -5 0 -7 5 -1 0 0 -1 2 5 -1 5 0 -1 0 1 7 ,3 3 5 -3 0 0 1 ,6 2 3 -6 0 0 1 9 ,4 4 6 -9 0 0 2 0 ,1 8 4 -1 ,2 0 0 2 1 ,0 0 8 -1 ,5 0 0 2 1 ,9 8 4 NOTE: S a v in g s assu m e t h e ch a n g e s w i l l b e e f f e c t i v e J u ly 1 , 1 9 8 1 , ta k e in t o a c c o u n t a s s o c ia t e d in c r e a s e s in o th e r F ederal a s s i s t a n c e p r o g r a m s , and a r e s e n s i t i v e t o e c o n o m ic a s s u m p t i o n s . B ackgrou n d. — D i s a b i l i t y in s u r a n c e b e n e f i t s a r e p a id w o r k e r s a n d t h e i r f a m i l i e s w hen a d i s a b l e d w o r k e r i s : "c u r r e n t ly i n s u r e d ," w h ic h s o c ia l s e c u r ity e a r n in g s c a le n d a r q u a r t e r s ; g e n e r a lly in 20 of to d is a b le d r e q u ir e s h a v in g th e p r e v io u s 40 — d e te r m in e d b y S ta te d is a b ility d e te r m in a tio n s e r v ic e a d ju d ic a to r s to su ffe r fro m a to ta lly d is a b lin g c o n d it io n e x p e c te d t o p e r s i s t a t l e a s t one y e a r ; and — u n a b le to engage The c o s t s o f d i s a b i l i t y a s sh o w n b e l o w : in "s u b s ta n tia l in su r a n c e have g a in fu l g ro w n b y N um ber o f D is a b le d W ork ers Annual B e n e fit s R e c e iv in g B e n e f i t s ($ m i l l i o n s ) 1 9 6 5 .................. 1 9 7 0 .................. 1 9 7 5 .................. 1 9 3 1 .................. 1 9 8 5 .................. 9 8 8 ,0 7 4 1 ,4 9 2 ,9 4 8 2 ,4 8 8 ,7 7 4 2 ,8 6 9 ,0 0 0 2 ,9 9 1 ,0 0 0 1 ,1 5 9 2 ,3 5 2 6 ,7 4 7 1 6 ,9 7 8 2 4 ,0 0 0 1-10 a c t i v it y ." le a p s and b o u n d s , A verage M o n th ly B e n e f i t s 98 131 226 410 655 Health and Human Services COST REDUCTION AND IMPROVED MANAGEMENT OP WELFARE PROGRAMS The P r e s id e n t p la n s t o p r o p o s e s e v e r a l r e fo r m s to th e a id to fa m ilie s w ith dependent c h ild r e n (AFDC) and c h ild su p port e n f o r c e m e n t (C S E ) p r o g r a m s , w h i c h a r e a d m i n i s t e r e d b y HH S. T h ese c h a n g e s a r e d e s i g n e d t o d e t e r m i n e w e l f a r e n e e d s m o re a c c u r a te ly , im p r o v e program a d m in is tr a tio n , red u ce fr a u d and a b u s e , and d e c r e a s e F e d e r a l and S t a t e c o s t s . AFDC p r o v i d e s F e d e r a l f u n d s t o S t a t e s o n a m a t c h i n g b a s i s t o pay cash w e lfa r e b e n e f i t s t o n eedy f a m i li e s w ith d e p e n d en t c h i ld r e n . CSE f i n a n c e s 75% o f S t a t e s ' c o s t s of e n fo r c in g and c o lle c tin g c h i l d s u p p o r t fr o m l i a b l e a b s e n t p a r e n t s . W h ile e ffo r ts have been m ade in th e past to t i g h t e n AFDC e l i g i b i l i t y a n d p r e v e n t f r a u d a n d a b u s e , much m o r e r e m a i n s t o be done. A n o m a lie s in th e p resen t sy ste m o fte n r e s u l t in th e paym ent o f c a sh w e lfa r e g ra n ts to h ig h -in c o m e fa m ilie s . For e x a m p le , g ra n ts a r e m ade t o m o t h e r s a n d c h i l d r e n w i t h o u t r e g a r d f o r t h e p r e s e n c e o f a w o r k in g ste p p a re n t in th e hom e. As a r e s u lt, cash a s s is ta n c e is p r o v id e d to f a m i l i e s w h ose t o t a l a v a i l a b l e i n c o m e i s m o re t h a n a d e q u a t e to en su re th e f a m i l y 's su p p o rt. S im ila r ly , cash a s s is ta n c e is o fte n p r o v id e d to f a m i l i e s w h o s e in c o m e w o u ld b e m o re t h a n a d e q u a t e i f th e ab sen t p a r e n ts p a id t h e i r c h ild su p p o rt o b l i g a t i o n s . C hanges are needed to a s s u r e th a t th e r e s o u r c e s a v a ila b le t o a f a m ily a r e f u l l y ta k e n i n t o a c c o u n t in d e te r m in in g th e f a m i l y 's need fo r a p u b lic a s s i s t a n c e c a s h p a y m e n t, t o s t a n d a r d i z e and s i m p l i f y p r o g r a m r e q u ir e m e n t s and a d m i n i s t r a t i o n (w h ic h w i l l h e l p redu ce e r r o r s , w a ste , and a b u se ), to in c r e a s e c h ild su p port c o lle c tio n s w h ic h w ill red u ce th e am ount o f w e l f a r e p a y m e n ts n e e d e d , a n d t o p r o v i d e a m o re e q u i t a b l e b a l a n c e b e t w e e n t h e S t a t e and F e d e r a l s h a r e s o f CSE c o sts and c o lle c tio n s . The m a jo r ch a n g es in c lu d e th e f o llo w in g : A id to F a m ilie s W ith D ep en d en t C h ild r e n C o u n t i n g t h e in c o m e o f a c h i l d ' s s t e p p a r e n t a s a sou rce of su p port i n d e t e r m i n i n g t h e c h i l d ' s AFDC e l i g i b i l i t y and b e n e f i t s . T h e e f f e c t w o u ld b e t o r e d u c e t h e w e l f a r e b e n e f i t o f o r e v e n d r o p fr o m th e w e lfa r e r o lls th o se fa m ilie s who r e c e i v e c a s h a s s i s t a n c e i n a d d i t i o n t o t h e a m p le i n c o m e o f t h e w o r k in g ste p p a re n t. T h is change w ill go a lo n g w ay to w a r d e n s u r i n g t h a t o n l y t h e t r u l y needy r e c e iv e a s s is t a n c e . — C o u n t i n g a f a m i l y ' s e a r n e d in c o m e t a x c r e d i t (E I T C ) o n a c u r r e n t b a s i s i n d e t e r m i n i n g t h e m o n t h l y AFDC b e n e f i t t o r e f l e c t b e t t e r th e f a m i l y 's a c tu a l, cu rren t need fo r 1-11 a s s is ta n c e . T he E IT C may now b e c o u n t e d a s a lum p sum a f t e r y e a r ' s e n d , w h ic h r e s u l t s i n h i g h e r w e l f a r e c o s t s . T he E IT C now p r o v id e s s u b s ta n tia l in c o m e su p p ort — to ta lin g $ 1 .9 b illio n in 1982 — to lo w e r -^ in c o m e fa m ilie s . The p rop osed change w ill prevent th is a s s i s t a n c e fr o m b e i n g d u p l i c a t e d . L im itin g d e d u c tib le c h ild ca re c o s t s and s ta n d a r d iz in g o th e r w o r k - r e l a t e d e x p e n s e s (w h i c h o f f s e t e a r n e d in c o m e i n d e t e r m i n i n g APDC b e n e f i t s ) a n d r e f o r m i n g o t h e r e a r n e d in c o m e d i s r e g a r d s . E a r n e d in c o m e r e d u c e s th e f a m i l y 's need fo r w e lfa r e and is s u b t r a c t e d fr o m t h e w e l f a r e g r a n t e x c e p t t o th e e x te n t o f f s e t by th e se d is r e g a r d s . C u rrent la w p r o v id e s th a t a f a m i l y m ay o f f s e t e a r n e d in c o m e b y u n l i m i t e d c h i l d c a r e e x p e n s e s and o t h e r w ork r e la te d exp en ses, and by c e r ta in o th e r d is r e g a r d s . O p e n -e n d e d d i s r e g a r d s p e r m i t a d i s p r o p o r t i o n a t e b e n e fit fo r h ig h e r -in c o m e w o r k in g fa m ilie s . W h ile o f f s e t s o f e a r n e d in c o m e d u e t o w o rk e x p e n s e s a n d c h i l d c a r e c o sts e lim in a t e so m e w o rk d i s i n c e n t i v e s , t h e y a l l o w f a m i l i e s w i t h r e l a t i v e l y h i g h in c o m e s t o r e m a in on AFDC. For e x a m p le , a f a m i l y o f f o u r t h a t r e c e i v e s $ 5 0 0 i n m o n th ly c a s h b e n e f i t s i f i t h a s n o o t h e r in c o m e c o u l d o f f s e t an a d d itio n a l $500 a m o n th in e a r n in g s by c h a r g in g o f f l a r g e c h i l d c a r e and o t h e r " w o r k - r e l a t e d e x p e n s e s ." The f a m i l y w o u ld t h e n c o n t i n u e to r e c e iv e its fu ll $500 m o n th ly AFDC g r a n t p l u s i t s $ 5 0 0 m o n th ly e a r n i n g s , f o r a n a n n u a l t o t a l in c o m e o f $ 1 2 , 0 0 0 . T h ese changes w ill e s ta b lis h a maximum lim it on th e a llo w a b le co sts a s s o c i a t e d w it h e a r n in g in c o m e . R e q u ir in g S ta te s to d e te r m in e a fa m ily ’ s AFDC e l i g i b i l i t y a n d b e n e f i t s b a s e d o n p r e v i o u s a c t u a l in c o m e and c i r c u m s t a n c e s . M o s t S t a t e s now b a s e e l i g i b i l i t y a n d b e n e fits on p r o j e c t i o n s o f a f a m i l y ' s f u t u r e in c o m e a n d c ir c u m s ta n c e s . In th e fr e q u e n t in s t a n c e s w h ere fa m ily e s t i m a t e s a r e e i t h e r e r r o n e o u s (a n d f a i l t o b e r e p o r t e d ) or m is le a d in g , s u b s ta n tia l o v erp a y m e n ts can b e m ade, w h ic h m ay r e q u i r e s e v e r a l m o n th s t o c o r r e c t , i f t h e y a r e d e te c te d a t a l l . P r o h i b i t i n g AFDC p a y m e n ts b e l o w $ 1 0 /m o n t h to s im p lify an d redu ce th e co sts of a d m in is t r a t io n f o r m a r g in a l c a s e s t h a t m ay b e o n a n d o f f t h e r o lls fr o m m o n th to m o n th . C h ild Support E n fo r c e m e n t C h a r g i n g an a p p l i c a n t f e e i n n o n -A F D C c a s e s t o r e i m b u r s e CSE c o s t s o f S t a t e s a n d t h e F ederal G o v ern m en t, w h ic h have n o d i r e c t s t a k e i n su c h c a s e s and d o n o t o t h e r w i s e sh a r e in su ch c o l l e c t i o n s . T h is p r o p o s a l w o u ld en su re m o re a d eq u a te resou rces fo r in v e s tig a tio n s and c o l l e c t i o n s i n AFDC c a s e s . 1-12 — F in a n c in g i n c e n t i v e p a y m e n ts o u t o f t h e S t a t e a s w e l l a s th e F e d e ra l sh a re o f c o l l e c t i o n s . In th e case of CSE c o lle c tio n s f o r AFDC r e c i p i e n t s , t h e F e d e r a l G o v e r n m e n t and t h e S t a t e s r e c e i v e s h a r e s o f t h e c o l l e c t i o n s i n th e sam e r a tio th a t t h e y f i n a n c e AFDC b e n e f i t c o s t s . CSE in c e n tiv e p a y m e n ts, w h ic h are m ade to p o litic a l ju r is d ic tio n s th a t c o o p era te in m a k in g c h i l d s u p p o r t c o lle c t io n s fo r o th e r p o l i t i c a l ju r is d ic t io n s , are now f i n a n c e d e n t i r e l y fr o m t h e F e d e r a l s h a r e o f c o l l e c t i o n s . S h a r in g th e co sts of in c e n tiv e s s in tr o d u c e s g r e a te r e q u ity in th e s h a r in g of CSE a d m in is tr a tiv e co sts b e tw e e n t h e F e d e r a l G overn m en t and t h e S t a t e s . — E x t e n d CSE a c tiv itie s to in c lu d e th e c o lle c tio n of a lim o n y . In c e r t a i n S t a t e s , a lim o n y and c h i l d s u p p o r t p a y m e n ts a r e n o t d i f f e r e n t i a t e d b y la w in th e absen t p a r e n t 's su p p ort o b lig a tio n . F in a n c in g th e c o l l e c t i o n o f c o m b in e d c h i l d s u p p o r t a n d a l i m o n y w i l l i n c r e a s e CSE c o lle c tio n s — a n d c o n s e q u e n t l y r e d u c e AFDC c o s t s — i n th e se S t a t e s . — M a n d a tin g t h a t t h e I n t e r n a l R evenue S e r v ic e in te r c e p t F ederal in c o m e ta x re tu rn s to c o l l e c t c h ild su p p ort a r r e a r a g e s fr o m l i a b l e absen t p a re n ts w h ere a cou rt ju d g m e n t h a s a l r e a d y b e e n o b t a i n e d . To a c h ie v e th e s e program l e g i s l a t i o n t o am end t h e r e fo r m s , th e P r e s id e n t S o c ia l S e c u r ity A c t. w ill be p r o p o s in g As a r e s u l t o f t h e s e c h a n g e s , F e d e r a l a n d S t a t e AFDC c o s t s w i l l d e c l i n e a s m o re o f a f a m i l y ' s a v a i l a b l e r e s o u r c e s a r e t a k e n in to a c c o u n t, and as program a d m in is tr a tio n is im p r o v e d . M o re in d iv id u a ls lia b le fo r c h ild su p port w o u ld c o n tr ib u te su ch s u p p o r t , a n d on a m o re r e g u l a r b a s i s , w i t h a c o n s e q u e n t r e d u c t i o n in fa m ilie s ' p u b lic a s s is ta n c e n eed s. B e n e fic ia r ie s o f CSE c o l l e c t i o n e f f o r t s i n n o n -A F D C c a s e s w o u ld b e g i n t o b e a r p a r t of CSE c o lle c tio n c o s ts . F e d e r a l a n d S t a t e CSE c o s t s c o u l d t h e n b e c o n c e n t r a t e d o n t h o s e c a s e s w h ic h w o u ld r e d u c e t h e p u b l i c w e l f a r e bu rden. 1-13 T h ese p r o p o s a ls in fu n d in g : are e x p e c te d to 1981 C u rren t b a s e : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P rop osed b u d g e t : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... * $ 5 0 0 ,0 0 0 or r e s u lt in th e (in m illio n s 1982 1983 fo llo w in g o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 changes 1986 7 ,7 1 9 7 ,8 1 7 6 ,1 5 9 8 ,0 7 9 8 ,2 9 4 8 ,2 9 4 8 ,4 5 7 8 ,4 5 7 8 ,6 6 2 8 ,6 6 2 8 ,8 2 8 8 ,8 2 8 * * -5 2 0 -5 2 0 -6 7 0 -6 7 0 -7 2 2 -7 2 2 -7 9 5 -7 9 5 -8 2 4 -8 2 4 7 ,7 1 9 7 ,8 1 7 5 ,6 3 9 7 ,5 5 9 7 ,6 2 4 7 ,6 2 4 7 ,7 3 5 7 ,7 3 5 7 ,8 6 7 7 ,8 6 7 8 ,0 0 4 8 ,0 0 4 le s s . 1-14 Health and Human Services INCREASING THE CO ST-EFFECTIV E N E SS OF THE MEDICAID PROGRAM As h e a lt h c a r e c o s t s have r is e n d r a m a tic a lly over th e la s t 15 years, th e c o s t o f m a in ta in in g h e a lt h c a r e e n t it le m e n t b e n e f i t s has e s c a la te d a la r m in g ly . C o sts under fe d e r a lly su p p o rted m e d ic a l a s s is ta n c e program s f o r t h e n e e d y h a v e r i s e n fr o m $ 5 . 2 b i l l i o n in 1970 to over $29 b illio n in th is fis c a l year. C o m b in e d F ederal a n d S t a t e e x p e n d i t u r e s f o r m e d i c a i d now e x c e e d $ 1 ,3 0 0 f o r each e l i g i b l e b e n e f i c i a r y . F e d e r a l and S t a t e r e g u la t o r y e f f o r t s t o d a t e h a v e f a i l e d t o ste m th e in c r e a s e in c o s t s b e c a u se th e y f a i l t o a f f e c t th e u n d e r ly in g c o s t -i n c r e a s i n g b i a s in th e h e a lt h c a r e sy ste m t h a t r e s u l t s fr o m th e in s u la tio n of a l l p a r t i e s i n m e d i c a l c a r e m a r k e t s fr o m t h e c o s t con seq u en ces o f t h e ir d e c is io n s . The A d m in is tr a tio n w ill prop ose c o m p r e h e n s iv e le g is la tio n to rem ed y th e se m arket d is to r tio n s . As an in te r im m easu re p r io r to th e a d o p tio n of th e se A d m in is tr a tio n in itia tiv e s , th e A d m in is tr a tio n w ill p rop ose le g is la tio n to e s ta b lis h a lim it on th e m e d ic a id p r o g r a m 's u n c o n s tr a in e d g ro w th . As p a r t o f t h i s p r o p o s a l, F e d e r a l program r e q u i r e m e n t s w o u ld b e m o d i f i e d t o a l l o w S ta te s to am end th e ir presen t program s t o e n su re t h a t e s s e n t i a l s e r v i c e s a r e p r o v id e d t o n e e d y f a m i l i e s in a t i m e ly and c o s t - e f f e c t i v e m a n n er. T h e m e d i c a i d p r o g r a m h a s b e e n g r o w i n g f a s t e r t h a n 15% a y e a r fo r th e p a s t 5 y e a r s , a n d t h e F e d e r a l G o v e r n m e n t now p a y s 50% t o 78% o f e a c h S t a t e 's m e d ic a id e x p e n d it u r e s . H ig h F ederal m a tc h in g , e x c e s s iv e b e n e fit p r o v is io n s , and o v e r ly -g e n e r o u s e l i g i b i l i t y h a v e m ade t h e m e d i c a i d program a very p o o r ly m anaged s o c ia l program th a t fa ils t o p r o v id e c o s t - e f f e c t i v e s e r v i c e s t o th o s e m ost in need. E lig ib ility errors a lo n e , fo r e x a m p le , are c u r r e n tly e s tim a te d to cost F ederal and S ta te g o v e rn m e n ts a p p r o x im a te ly $ 1 .2 b i l l i o n p e r y e a r . B eca u se under th e in te r im cap F ederal e x p e n d itu r e s w o u ld no lo n g e r b e o p e n - e n d e d . S t a t e s w o u ld h a v e a d d i t i o n a l i n c e n t i v e s t o redu ce fr a u d , w a ste , and ab u se in th is S t a t e -a d m in is t e r e d program . In a d d i t i o n , t h e new f l e x i b i l i t y g r a n t e d S t a t e s w o u ld e n a b l e th e m t o r e o r g a n i z e t h e i r p r o g r a m s to d e liv e r care m o re e f f e c t i v e l y and a t lo w e r c o s t . T h e l i m i t w o u ld b e s t r u c t u r e d t o r e d u c e F e d e r a l e x p e n d i t u r e s $ 1 0 0 m illio n b e lo w th e cu rren t base e s tim a te in 1981. F ederal e x p e n d i t u r e s w o u ld b e a l l o w e d t o in c r e a s e 5% in 1982. A fte r 1 9 8 2 , F e d e r a l s p e n d i n g w o u ld r i s e o n l y w i t h t h e r a t e o f i n f l a t i o n as m easu red by th e GNP d e f l a t o r . The A d m in is t r a t io n b e l i e v e s t h is degree o f r e s tr a in t can be a c h ie v e d by S ta te s w ith o u t r e d u c in g b a s i c s e r v i c e s f o r th e m ost n e e d y . The 1 9 8 2 r e d u c t io n , fo r e x a m p le , is o n ly about 3% of p r o je c te d F e d e r a l/S t a t e 1-15 s p e n d in g . In th e 1 9 8 3 -8 6 p e r io d , th e A d m in is tr a tio n e x p e c ts to i n s t i t u t e c o m p r e h e n s iv e h e a l t h f i n a n c i n g and m e d ic a id r e fo r m s to r e d u c e t h e r a t e o f h e a l t h c o s t i n f l a t i o n and t o im p r o v e m e d i c a i d . D u r in g t h e i n t e r i m p e r i o d , F e d e r a l e x p e n d i t u r e s w i l l b e a l l o c a t e d am ong S ta te s so th a t each S ta te w ill m a in ta in it s curren t r e l a t i v e s h a r e o f t o t a l m e d ic a id s p e n d in g . U n d e r t h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n p r o p o s a l , S t a t e s w o u ld n o t b e f o r c e d to s h o u ld e r u n r e a s o n a b le .a d d i t i o n a l bu rd en s. L e g is la t iv e changes w o u ld b e s o u g h t t o e n s u r e t h a t S t a t e s have th e fle x ib ility to am end q u ic k ly t h e e l i g i b i l i t y , b e n e f i t s , and p aym en t p r o v i s i o n s o f t h e i r S t a t e m e d ic a id p la n s s o as t o a llo w th em to m eet th e e s s e n tia l h e a lth care n e e d s o f t h e i r n e e d y c i t i z e n s a t a lo w e r co st. U nder c u r r e n t la w , e x c e s s iv e F ederal m a n d a tes are an o b s ta c le to cost c o n tr o l. T he A d m i n i s t r a t i o n p r o p o s a l w o u ld e n su re t h a t S t a t e s had th e a u t h o r it y t o r e o r ie n t th e ir program q u ic k ly to w a rd e s s e n tia l s e r v ic e s to th o s e m ost in n e e d . No S ta te , how ever, w o u ld be p rev e n ted fr o m p r o v id in g w h a tev e r a d d itio n a l se r v ic e s it d eem ed a p p r o p r ia te out of its own resou rces. The p r o p o s a l fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to r e s u lt 1981 C u rren t b a s e : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . P o lic y r e d u c tio n : Budget a u t h o r i t y .. O u t l a y s .............................. P rop osed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s .............................. in th e fo llo w in g (in m illio n s 1982 1983 changes o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 in 1986 1 7 ,2 6 4 1 8 ,8 3 0 1 8 ,2 1 3 2 0 ,9 4 3 2 0 ,4 4 1 2 3 ,0 2 4 2 2 ,5 2 9 2 5 ,1 0 6 2 4 ,5 9 3 2 7 ,2 9 0 2 6 ,7 3 2 -3 5 3 -1 ,2 3 7 -1 ,0 1 3 -2 ,2 1 3 -1 ,9 8 6 -3 ,1 6 6 -2 ,9 3 0 -4 ,1 8 1 -3 ,9 1 6 -5 ,3 1 8 -5 ,0 2 1 1 6 ,9 1 1 1 7 ,5 9 3 1 7 ,2 0 0 1 8 ,7 3 0 1 8 ,4 5 5 1 9 ,8 5 8 1 9 ,5 9 9 2 0 ,9 2 5 2 0 ,6 7 7 2 1 ,9 7 2 2 1 ,7 1 1 1-16 Housing and Urban Development REDUCED LEVEL OF ADDITIONAL SU B SID IZE D HOUSING As p a r t o f th e gen eral e ffo r t to c o n tro l lo n g -te r m F ederal govern m en t s p e n d in g and t h e r e b y e l i m i n a t e i n f l a t i o n and p r o m o te e c o n o m ic g r o w th , t h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l p r o p o s e to red u ce th e p la n n e d n u m b er o f a d d i t i o n a l s u b s i d i z e d h o u s i n g u n i t s i n 1 9 8 2 b y 1 3 % , fr o m 2 6 0 ,0 0 0 to 2 2 5 ,0 0 0 u n its . To p e r m it an o r d e r ly t r a n s i t i o n t o t h i s lo w e r 1 9 8 2 l e v e l , t h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l a l s o p rop ose a r e d u c tio n in th e 1981 p rogram . A f t e r th e r e d u c tio n i s t a k e n i n t o a c c o u n t , t h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n 's 1 9 8 2 s u b s i d i z e d h o u s in g program w i l l s t i l l p r o v i d e a 8 .4 % i n c r e a s e a b o v e t h e a c t u a l 1 9 8 0 program l e v e l ( 2 0 6 ,0 0 0 u n it s ) o f th e p r e v io u s a d m in is t r a t io n . T h e r e h a s b e e n m o u n tin g c o n c e r n o v e r t h e p a s t s e v e r a l y e a r s over th e g r o w in g per u n it co sts and e c o n o m i c e f f i c i e n c y o f H U D 's s u b s id iz e d h o u s in g p rog ram . A 1982 program le v e l of 2 2 5 ,0 0 0 u n its add resses th e se con cern s b u t a l l o w s c o n t in u e d g ro w th o f s u b s id iz e d h o u s in g . It s h o u ld be n o ted th a t th e s u b s id iz e d h o u s in g program h as a ls o been c r i t i c i z e d as in e q u ita b le b e ca u se i t p r o v id e s v e ry deep s u b s id ie s to le s s th a n 9% of th e to ta l e l i g i b l e h o u s e h o ld s w h ile th e r e s t c u r r e n t ly r e c e i v e no s u b s i d i e s at a l l . To a c h ie v e th is p o lic y change, th e P r e s id e n t w i l l p ro p o se a d e fe r r a l o f $ 1 .3 b illio n in 1981 budget a u th o r ity fo r th e D e p a r tm e n t o f H o u s i n g a n d U rb a n D e v e l o p m e n t 's s u b s i d i z e d h o u s i n g program . T he am ount o f b u d g e t a u t h o r i t y d e f e r r e d w ill th e n be u sed to fu r th e r redu ce th e b u d get a u th o r ity needed to su p p o rt a 2 2 5 ,0 0 0 u n it p rogram l e v e l in 1 9 8 2 . T h is p r o p o s a l fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to r e s u lt 1-17 in th e fo llo w in g changes in 1981 C u rren t b ase 1 / : B udget a u t h o r it y . . O u t l a y s .............................. P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. O u t l a y s ... ....................... .. P rop osed b u d g et : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. O u t l a y s .............................. (in m illio n s 1982 1983 o f d o lla r s ) 1934 1985 1986 2 9 .5 0 2 5 ,6 3 7 2 7 ,1 2 3 6 ,8 9 4 2 8 ,4 6 4 7 ,9 0 1 3 0 ,3 5 4 9 ,1 8 6 3 1 ,6 6 0 1 0 ,3 6 4 3 3 ,3 4 3 1 1 ,4 6 4 ------1 -3 ,5 3 6 -1 0 -3 ,0 2 6 -3 9 -3 ,4 4 0 -9 5 -3 ,4 3 7 -2 2 3 -3 ,6 2 4 -3 7 1 2 9 .5 0 2 5 ,6 3 6 2 3 ,5 8 7 6 ,8 8 4 2 5 ,4 3 8 7 ,8 6 2 2 6 ,9 1 4 9 ,0 9 1 2 8 ,2 2 3 1 0 ,1 4 1 2 9 ,7 1 9 1 1 ,0 9 3 1/ T he b a s e n u m b e r s a s s u m e t h e e n a c t m e n t o f an i n c r e a s e i n maximum s u b s i d i z e d h o u s i n g r e n t c o n t r i b u t i o n s fr o m 25% t o 30% of a d ju s te d t e n a n t in c o m e . (S e e s e p a r a t e f a c t s h e e t on t e n a n t r e n t b u r d e n .) 2 / T h e R e a g a n b u d g e t t o t a l s i n c l u d e t h e c o m b in e d e f f e c t s of in c r e a s in g t e n a n t r e n t c o n t r i b u t i o n s and r e d u c in g t h e s u b s i d i z e d h o u s in g program l e v e l . 1-18 Housing and Urban Development INCREASED RENT CONTRIBUTIONS FOR SU B SID IZE D HOUSING TENANTS The A d m in is t r a t io n p r o p o s e s t o g r a d u a lly in c r e a s e a llo w a b le rent c o n t r ib u t io n p a id b y te n a n ts l i v i n g s u b s i d i z e d h o u s i n g fr o m 25% t o 30% o f t h e i r a d j u s t e d th e maximum in f e d e r a lly in c o m e s . A s i m i l a r , m o re l i m i t e d p r o p o s a l p a s s e d t h e C o n g r e s s i n 1 9 7 9 but th e a u t h o r it y has n o t been u t i l i z e d . U nder c u r r e n t r e g u l a t i o n s , t e n a n ts l i v i n g in s e c t io n 8 s u b s id iz e d h o u s in g , p u b lic h o u s in g , and o th e r HUD s u b s id iz e d u n its t h u s p a y n o t m o r e t h a n 25% o f t h e ir a d ju s te d in c o m e s to w a r d re n t. The F ederal govern m en t s u b s id iz e s th e d i f f e r e n c e b e tw e e n t h e a c t u a l m a rk e t r e n t c h a r g e d f o r th e u n it ( o r , in th e c a s e o f p u b lic h o u s in g , th e per u n it o p e r a t in g c o s t ) and th e t e n a n t 's r e n t c o n t r i b u t i o n . M any p o o r p e o p l e d o n o t l i v e i n s u b s i d i z e d h o u s i n g ; a n d m o re t h a n 13 m illio n re n ters at a l l l e v e l s o f in c o m e h a v e b e e n p a y i n g a g r e a t e r p e r c e n t a g e o f t h e i r in c o m e s f o r ren t in recen t years. T h is in c r e a s e in t e n a n t r e n t c o n t r i b u t i o n s w i l l r e d u c e so m e o f t h e i n e q u i t y o f p r o v i d i n g v e r y l a r g e s u b s i d i e s t o l e s s t h a n 9% o f t h e t o t a l e l i g i b l e h o u s e h o ld s w h ile th e r e s t c u r r e n t l y r e c e i v e no s u b s id ie s at a l l . But even a f t e r th e gradu al p h a s e -in of th e in c r e a s e in t e n a n t r e n t c o n t r i b u t i o n s i s c o m p le te d in 1 9 8 6 , th e 3 .3 m i l l i o n h o u s e h o ld s c u r r e n t ly liv in g in s u b s id iz e d h o u s in g w ill c o n tin u e to p a y o n t h e a v e r a g e a much l o w e r p e r c e n t a g e o f t h e i r in c o m e s f o r b e t t e r h o u s i n g t h a n t h e 3 5 m i l l i o n l o w e r in c o m e h o u s e h o l d s who l i v e i n u n s u b s i d i z e d h o u s in g . It is e stim a te d th a t th e in c r e a s e d r e n t paym ent f o r s u b s id iz e d t e n a n ts in 1 9 8 2 w i l l a v e r a g e l e s s t h a n $ 5 p e r m o n th . C u r r e n t ly , v e r y n eed y h o u s e h o ld s pay le s s th a n 25% of th e ir in c o m e s f o r r e n t i n HUD s u b s i d i z e d h o u s i n g p r o j e c t s . S in c e t h i s p r o p o s a l p r o v i d e s f o r t h e sa m e r a t e o f i n c r e a s e f o r a l l te n a n ts, th e d iffe r e n tia l fo r th e v e r y n eed y w i l l b e m a in ta in e d f o r th e next 5 years. T o a c h i e v e t h i s p o l i c y c h a n g e , HUD w i l l i m p le m e n t th e a u th o r ity it a l r e a d y h a s t o i n c r e a s e t e n a n t r e n t c o n t r i b u t i o n s fr o m 25% t o 30% f o r new t e n a n t s w i t h in c o m e s a b o v e 50% o f a r e a m e d ia n i n c o m e . The P r e s id e n t w i l l p r o p o s e th e l e g i s l a t i o n r e q u ir e d t o a p p ly th e rent b u rd en in c r e a s e s to c u r r e n t t e n a n t s a n d new t e n a n t s w i t h i n c o m e s b e l o w 50% o f a r e a m e d ia n i n c o m e . The r e n t i n c r e a s e fr o m 25% to 30% o f in c o m e w i l l b e p h a s e d - i n a t 1% o f in c o m e p e r y e a r o v e r th e n e x t 5 y e a r s . 1-19 The p r o p o s a l fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to r e s u lt 1981 C u rrent b a se l / : B udget a u t h o r i t y . . . O u t l a y s .......................... .. . P o lic y r e d u c tio n 2 / : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . O u t l a y s ................................ P rop osed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . O u t l a y s ................................ . . . . in th e fo llo w in g ( in m i ll i o n s 1983 1982 changes in o f d o lla r s ) 1985 1984 1986 2 8 ,9 7 3 6 ,5 7 1 3 2 ,0 4 4 8 ,1 7 7 3 3 ,1 9 7 9 ,7 2 9 3 6 ,0 3 1 1 1 ,5 4 0 3 7 ,7 1 9 1 3 ,3 6 0 3 9 ,6 1 1 1 5 ,1 0 6 -5 0 0 -9 -4 ,9 1 6 -2 3 2 -4 ,5 7 4 -5 3 8 -5 ,5 8 7 -1 ,0 1 8 —6 , 0 6 6 -1 ,7 4 8 -6 ,2 6 9 -2 ,4 4 5 2 8 ,4 7 3 6 ,5 6 2 2 7 ,1 2 8 7 ,9 4 5 2 8 ,6 2 3 9 ,1 9 1 3 0 ,4 4 4 1 0 ,5 2 2 3 1 ,6 5 3 1 1 ,6 1 2 3 3 ,3 4 2 1 2 ,6 6 1 1/ C o m b in e d to ta ls fo r su b s id iz e d and p u b lic h o u s in g o p e r a tin g s u b s id y program s, e x c lu d in g p u b lic h o u s in g m o d e r n iz a tio n . 2/ R e f l e c t s n o t o n l y t h e im p a c t o f r e n t i n c r e a s e s , b u t a l s o t h e n e t e f f e c t o f r e s c i s s i o n s and s u p p l e m e n t a l s i n 1 9 8 1 a n d 1 9 8 2 . 1-20 Housing and Urban Development EXTENSION OF TIMETABLE FOR COMPLETING PUBLIC HOUSING MODERNIZATION The p u b l i c h o u s in g m o d e r n iz a tio n program is a p u b lic se cto r c a p ita l in v e s tm e n t a c tiv ity w ith lo n g -te r m b e n e fits . The c o m p r e h e n s iv e m o d e r n iz a t io n e f f o r t f o r p u b l i c h o u s in g a u th o r iz e d by th e C on gress la s t year s h o u ld h e l p e n s u r e t h a t a l l p u b l i c h o u s i n g p r o j e c t s m e e t m inim um h e a l t h a n d s a f e t y s t a n d a r d s a n d a r e m ade m ore en ergy e ffic ie n t and le s s c o s tly to o p e ra te . S tr e tc h in g out th is program is p a r t o f t h i s A d m i n i s t r a t i o n 's o v e r a l l s t r a t e g y t o im p ro v e t h e p e r fo r m a n c e o f t h e U .S . econom y. The o r ig in a l c o n g r e s s io n a l fu n d in g fo r th e program w as so a m b itio u s t h a t i t i s q u e s t io n a b le w h eth e r th e fu n d s c o u ld have b een u sed e f f e c t i v e l y in any c a s e . An i m p r o v e d U . S . e c o n o m y w i l l r e d u c e i n f l a t i o n - c a u s e d i n c r e a s e s i n t h e c o s t o f o p e r a t i n g .p u b l i c h o u s in g and m ost of th e b a s i c o b j e c t i v e s o f th e c o m p r e h e n s iv e m o d e r n iz a t io n p rogram w i l l b e a c c o m p lis h e d b y 1 9 8 5 o r 1 9 9 6 . T he s t r e t c h o u t o f c o n s t r u c t i o n and r e n o v a t i o n a c t i v i t y w ill be a c h ie v e d by c a r r y in g o v er $ 300 m i lli o n o f th e 1981 a p p r o p r ia tio n i n t o 1 9 8 2 , an d r e d u c i n g t h e 1 9 8 2 a n d fu tu r e year a p p r o p r ia tio n le v e l by 40% . The 1981 a p p r o p r ia tio n l a n g u a g e f o r t h e HUD s u b s i d i z e d h o u s i n g p r o g r a m s w i l l h a v e t o b e am en d ed s l i g h t l y t o p e r m i t $ 3 0 0 m illio n of th e $ 2 .0 b illio n in b u d g et a u t h o r it y earm arked f o r p u b lic h o u s in g in th e 198 1 a p p r o p r ia t io n a c t t o b e d e f e r r e d u n t i l 1982. T h is $ 3 0 0 m i l l i o n d e f e r r a l p l u s a n a m en d ed 1 9 8 2 a p p r o p r i a t i o n o f $ 1 .2 b i l l i o n w i l l su p p o rt a t o t a l 1982 program le v e l of $ 1 .5 b i l l i o n fo r m o d e r n iz a tio n . The prop osal fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to 1981 C u rren t b a s e : Budget a u t h o r i t y .... P r o g r a m l e v e l .................. O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .... P r o g r a m l e v e l .................. O u t l a y s .................................... P rop osed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r i t y .... P r o g r a m l e v e l ............ .. O u t l a y s .................................... * D e fe r r a l. r e s u lt in th e (in m illio n s 1982 1983 fo llo w in g changes o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 in 1986 2 ,0 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 246 2 ,0 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 296 2 ,0 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 371 2 ,0 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 471 2 ,0 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 571 2 ,0 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 671 (-3 0 0 ) -3 0 0 ........ -8 0 0 -5 0 0 -8 0 0 -8 0 0 -8 0 0 -8 0 0 -2 0 -8 0 0 -8 0 0 -6 0 -8 0 0 -8 0 0 -1 0 0 2 ,0 0 0 1 ,7 0 0 246 1 ,2 0 0 1 , 500 296 1 , 200 1 , 200 371 1, 200 1 ,2 0 0 451 1 , 200 1 ,2 0 0 511 1, 200 1 ,2 0 0 571 Department of Labor TARGETING UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE EXTENDED BENEFITS ON STATES WITH HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT In o rd e r to p rev e n t h a r d s h ip in areas w h ere h ig h le v e ls of u n e m p lo y m e n t m ake new j o b s d i f f i c u l t t o f i n d f o r m any u n e m p lo y e d w o r k e r s , th e F e d e r a l G overn m en t a s s i s t s t h e S t a t e s in p r o v id in g an a d d itio n a l 13 w eeks of u n e m p lo y m e n t in s u r a n c e b e n e fits ("e x te n d e d b e n e f i t s " ) beyond th e b a s ic 26 w eeks of coverage p r o v id e d by b a s ic S t a te p rogram s. T h ese a d d i t i o n a l b e n e f i t s a re t r i g g e r e d w hen a S ta te ’ s ra te of u n e m p lo y m e n t am ong in s u r e d w ork ers reach es 4% fo r 13 w e e k s , i f t h e r a t e i s a t l e a s t 20% a b o v e t h e r a t e f o r t h e sam e p e r i o d i n e a c h o f t h e p r i o r 2 years. S t a t e s may (a n d m any d o ) p r o v i d e t h e s e e x t e n d e d b e n e f i t s w hen t h e S t a t e 's ra te r e a c h e s 5% f o r 13 w e e k s , r e g a r d l e s s o f t h e r a t e i n th e p r io r 2 years. W hen th e n a tio n a l ra te of in s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t r e a c h e s 4 . 5 % , t h e e x t e n d e d b e n e f i t s p r o g r a m t r i g g e r s on i n a l l 50 S t a t e s . S t r u c t u r a l s h i f t s i n t h e U . S . e co n o m y o v e r t h e l a s t 15 y e a r s h a v e produced s ig n ific a n t r e g io n a l d iffe r e n tia ls in u n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e s , r e g a r d l e s s o f g e n e r a l e c o n o m ic c o n d i t i o n s . For e x a m p le , i n t h e d e p t h o f t h e 1 9 7 4 - 7 5 r e c e s s i o n , i n s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e s ran ged fr o m a h ig h of 1 3 .2 % i n M i c h i g a n t o a lo w o f 2 .7 % i n T exas. T o d a y , w h i l e i n s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t i s i n t o l e r a b l y h i g h in th e i n d u s t r i a l N o r t h e a s t and M id w e s t, in s u r e d r a t e s r e m a in b e lo w 2% i n a nu m ber o f s u n b e l t S t a t e s . The r e s u l t i s t h a t t h e n a t i o n a l tr ig g e r fo r ex ten d e d b e n e fits o fte n p r o v id e s e x ten d e d b e n e fit p a y m e n ts to w ork ers in t ig h t la b o r m a rk e ts w h en ev er th e n a t i o n a l t r i g g e r i s "o n ". O ver an d above th e u n n ecessary co sts a s s o c ia te d w ith th e a d d itio n a l b e n e f i t s , p r o v i d i n g l o n g - t e r m b e n e f i t s t o u n e m p lo y e d w ork ers in m a rk e ts w h ere la b o r is in sh ort s u p p ly a c t u a lly a g g ra v a tes u n e m p lo y m e n t i n t h e s e areas by p r o v id in g a d is in c e n tiv e fo r u n e m p lo y e d w ork ers to seek o th e r jo b s . In a d d itio n t o th e h a r m fu l e f f e c t s o f p r o v id in g e x te n d e d b e n e f i t s in areas of lo w u n e m p lo y m e n t , t h e p r e s e n t e x t e n d e d b e n e f i t s p r o g r a m s u f f e r s fr o m t e c h n i c a l f l a w s t h a t m ake it u n r e s p o n s iv e to c h a n g in g n eed s• U n d er p r e s e n t la w , r e c i p i e n t s o f e x te n d e d b e n e f i t s a r e c o u n te d in c a lc u la tin g th e in s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e s . S e v e r a l a n o m a lie s h a v e r e s u l t e d fr o m t h i s m e th o d o f c a l c u l a t i o n . The paym ent of e x ten d e d b e n e fits m ay be d e la y e d w hen u n e m p lo y m e n t r is e s . E x t e n d e d b e n e f i t s may b e p a i d i n o n e S ta te fo r several m o n th s w h ile th e y are not p a id in a se co n d S t a t e w ith an i d e n t i c a l o v e r a l l u n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e . E x te n d e d b e n e f i t s c o n t i n u e t o b e p a id w h en o v e r a l l u n e m p lo y m e n t i s l e s s t h a n it w as w hen th e e x tra p a y m e n ts s t a r t e d . To re m e d y th e se p r o b le m s , th e r e c a li b r a t e th e e x ten d e d b e n e fits e x ten d e d b e n e fit p a y m e n ts o n ly 1-22 A d m in is tr a tio n p rop oses to program in order to fo c u s on th o se areas w h ere h ig h u n e m p lo y m e n t p r o v i d e s a r e a l b a r r i e r t o e m p lo y m e n t f o r u n e m p lo y e d w ork ers. L e g i s l a t i o n w i l l b e p r o p o se d t o a c c o m p lis h t h i s program r e o r ie n ta tio n . The le g is la tio n w o u ld : (1 ) e lim in a te th e n a t i o n a l e x t e n d e d b e n e f i t s p r o g r a m , w h ic h now r e q u i r e s p a y m e n t o f e x ten d e d b e n e fits in a ll S ta te s — i n c l u d i n g t h o s e w i t h lo w u n e m p lo y m e n t — w hen th e n a tio n a l in s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t ra te reach es th e le v e l s e t b y la w ; ( 2 ) rem ov e c la i m a n t s o f e x t e n d e d b e n e f i t s fr o m t h e c a l c u l a t i o n o f t h e i n s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t ra te , w h ic h d e te r m in e s when e x t e n d e d b e n e f i t s a r e p a i d i n e a c h S t a t e ; and (3 ) r e q u ir e a h ig h e r le v e l of u n e m p lo y m e n t in in d iv id u a l S ta te s b e fo r e ex ten d e d b e n e f i t s a re p a id . I n a d d i t i o n , t h e new re q u ir e m e n t in th e 1 9 8 0 R e c o n c ili a t i o n A c t t h a t e x te n d e d b e n e f i t s c l a i m a n t s m u st a c c e p t o f f e r s o f j o b s t h a t p a y an am ount e q u a l to th e ir UI b e n e fits ( a t l e a s t t h e m inim um w a g e ) w i l l b e s t r i c t l y e n fo r c e d . T h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n p r o p o s a l w o u ld e l i m i n a t e t h e n a t i o n a l tr ig g e r and change th e m e th o d o f c a l c u l a t i n g t h e i n s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t r a t e e f f e c t i v e J u ly 1 , 1 9 8 1 . The p r o p o s a l w o u ld a ls o in c r e a s e th e S ta te t r i g g e r r a t e s t o 5% i n s u r e d u n e m p lo y m e n t (a n d 120% o f t h e r a t e i n t h e c o m p a r a b le p e r i o d o f t h e p r i o r 2 years) or, at S ta te o p tio n , t o 6% ( w i t h o u t r e g a r d t o p r i o r y e a r s ) . To p e r m it n e c e s s a r y c h a n g e s in S t a t e la w , t h e in c r e a se in S ta te tr ig g e r r a t e s w o u ld t a k e e f f e c t O c t o b e r 1 , 1 9 8 2 . The p rop osal fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to 1981 C u rren t b a s e : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. P rop osed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y .. NOTE: T o ta l a u th o r ity fo r id e n tifia b le . UI UI . r e s u lt in th e (in m illio n s 1983 1982 fo llo w in g changes in o f d o lla r s ) 1985 1984 1986 2 0 ,1 1 3 2 3 ,2 7 9 2 ,4 8 3 2 3 ,9 3 8 837 2 4 ,1 3 3 543 2 3 ,0 2 9 423 2 3 ,1 2 6 338 -4 0 0 -7 0 0 -1 ,2 3 1 -7 0 0 -4 7 7 -1 0 0 -1 9 6 -1 0 0 -2 8 4 -2 0 0 -2 8 7 1 9 ,7 1 3 2 2 ,5 7 9 1 ,2 5 2 2 3 ,2 3 8 360 2 4 ,0 3 3 347 2 2 ,9 2 9 139 2 2 ,9 2 6 51 bu dget a u th o r ity is e x ten d e d b e n e fits 1-23 sh o w n is becau se budget not s e p a r a te ly Department of Labor STOPPING UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PAYMENTS TO PEOPLE WHO WILL NOT TAKE OTHER JOBS T h e p u r p o s e o f t h e u n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e s y s t e m i s t o p r o v i d e a c u s h io n fo r w ork ers d u r in g te m p o ra ry , in v o lu n ta r y p e r io d s o f u n e m p lo y m e n t, a n d t o e n s u r e t h a t u n e m p lo y e d w o r k e r s h a v e a d e q u a t e re so u rc e s to search fo r a lte r n a te e m p lo y m e n t co m m en su ra te w ith th e ir s k i l l s and a b i l i t i e s . R e g u l a r u n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e ( U I ) b e n e f i t s a r e p a y a b l e f o r up t o 26 w e e k s i n m o s t S t a t e s . E x te n d e d b e n e f i t s , a v a i l a b l e d u r i n g h i g h u n e m p lo y m e n t p e r io d s , ad d h a lf a g a in as many w eeks t o a c l a i m a n t ' s e l i g i b i l i t y f o r a maximum ( r e g u l a r p lu s e x t e n d e d ) t o t a l o f 39 w e e k s . E c o n o m ic e v e n t s o f t h e p ast decade have produced s ig n ific a n t str u c tu r a l s h ifts i n t h e A m e r ic a n e c o n o m y , w i t h e m p lo y m e n t i n a nu m ber o f m a jo r i n d u s t r i e s d e c l i n i n g w h i l e n e w e r i n d u s t r i e s g r o w . T h e s e s h i f t s h a v e p r o d u c e d m a jo r c h a l l e n g e s f o r A m e r ic a n w ork ers as th e y seek to a d ju s t t o c h a n g i n g e m p lo y m e n t p a t t e r n s . The p r e s e n t u n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e la w s e x a c e rb a te th e se p r o b le m s . By a llo w in g w ork ers to d ra w up to 6 m o n th s o f u n e m p lo y m e n t in s u r a n c e b e n e fits u n le s s jo b s in th e ir o c c u p a tio n s are a v a i l a b l e , t h e u n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e s y s t e m a c t u a l l y d i s c o u r a g e s w ork ers fr o m s e e k in g e m p lo y m e n t i n new i n d u s t r i e s w h i c h , w h i l e t h e y p a y lo w e r w a g es i n i t i a l l y , h o ld th e prosp ect of g r o w in g e m p lo y m e n t a n d new c a r e e r s . In o r d e r t o rem ed y t h i s p r o b le m , t h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l p r o p o s e l e g i s l a t i o n r e q u i r i n g w o r k e r s who h a v e been u n e m p lo y e d fo r at le a s t 3 m o n th s t o s e e k e m p lo y m e n t t h a t p r o v i d e s w a g e s a t l e a s t e q u a l t o t h e i r u n e m p lo y m e n t in s u r a n c e b e n e fit am ou n t and th e m inim um w a g e . T h o s e d r a w in g t h e i r f i r s t 13 w e e k s o f u n e m p lo y m e n t b e n e fits , h ow ever, w o u ld be a llo w e d t o c o n tin u e t o s e a r c h f o r w o rk i n t h e i r c u s t o m a r y a r e a s a t p r e v a i l i n g w a g e s . U n d e r c u r r e n t l a w , t h o s e who r e f u s e t o a c c e p t s u i t a b l e w o rk are d e n i e d UI b e n e f i t s . H o w e v e r , s u i t a b l e w o rk i s u s u a l l y d e f i n e d a s a jo b s im ila r to th e c l a i m a n t 's p r e v io u s e m p lo y m e n t . The p r o p o s a l w o u ld a p p l y t o a l l r e g u l a r UI c l a i m a n t s , a f t e r 1 3 w eeks of b e n e fits , th e d e fin itio n of s u ita b le w o rk th a t th e 1980 R e c o n c ili a t i o n A c t r e q u ir e s be a p p lie d t o a ll e x ten d e d b e n e fit c la im a n ts a f t e r A p r i l 1 , 1 9 8 1 . T h ose on season al o r o t h e r t e m p o r a r y l a y o f f s w o u ld c o n t i n u e t o g e t U I , s i n c e t h e i r r e g u l a r jo b i s e x p e c te d t o re su m e . H ow ever, in d iv id u a ls w h ose p r o s p e c t s f o r r e t u r n i n g t o t h e i r p r e v i o u s l i n e o f w o rk a r e s t i l l n o t g o o d a f t e r 3 m o n th s o f u n e m p lo y m e n t w o u ld b e e x p e c t e d t o a d j u s t t o c h a n g e d e c o n o m ic c o n d i t i o n s b y a c c e p t i n g a jo b th a t may not pay a s much a s t h e i r p r e v i o u s j o b . T h is c h a n g e w i l l s p e e d t h e t r a n s i t i o n fr o m j o b s t h a t a r e not o p e n in g up a g a i n t o j o b s i n s e c t o r s w h e r e w o r k e r s a r e i n d e m a n d . 1-24 T h e r e s u l t i s e x p e c t e d t o b e a c h a n g e i n w o rk s e a r c h p r a c t i c e s b y UI c l a i m a n t s a n d a m o re r a p i d a s s i m i l a t i o n o f u n e m p lo y e d w o r k e r s i n t o t h e e m p lo y e d l a b o r f o r c e . B o th t h e w o r k e r s and t h e e co n o m y w ill b e n e fit fr o m th e d ecrease in th e u n p r o d u c tiv e p e r io d o f u n e m p lo y m e n t . I n d i v i d u a ls w ith good p ro sp e c ts fo r o b ta in in g w o rk in c u sto m a ry o c c u p a tio n w ith in a r e a s o n a b ly sh ort p e r io d r e m a in s u b j e c t t o r e g u l a r S t a t e r e q u i r e m e n t s . th e ir w o u ld T h e p r o v i s i o n w o u ld b e a p p l i e d to r e g u la r c la im a n t s a fte r 13 w eeks o f b e n e f i t s e f f e c t i v e O c to b e r 1 , 1 9 8 2 , t o g i v e S t a t e s tim e to en act n ecessary le g is la t io n . T h e F e d e r a l la w w o u ld b e am en ded t o r e q u i r e t h e s u i t a b l e w o rk d e f i n i t i o n a s a c o n d i t i o n o f F e d e r a l a p p r o v a l o f S t a t e UI la w . Su ch app roval is r e q u ir e d b e fo r e e m p lo y e r s m ay c r e d it t h e i r S t a t e UI t a x p a y m e n ts a g a i n s t t h e i r F e d e r a l UI t a x l i a b i l i t y . The p r o p o s a l fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to r e s u lt in th e fo llo w in g ___________ ( i n m i l l i o n s 1981 1982 1983 C u rren t b a s e : O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : O u t l a y s ................................... P rop osed b u d g e t: O u t l a y s ................................... 1 6 ,0 1 6 1 5 ,7 6 7 ........ ........ 1 6 ,0 1 6 1 5 ,7 6 7 1-25 1 5 ,0 5 9 -2 8 5 1 4 ,7 7 4 changes in o f d o l l a r s ) _____________ 1984 1985 1986 1 5 ,1 2 6 -2 8 5 1 4 ,8 4 1 1 4 ,7 9 8 -2 7 2 1 4 ,5 2 6 1 4 ,5 0 6 -2 6 4 1 4 ,2 4 2 Department of Labor END OVERUSE AND EXCESSIVE BENEFITS UNDER THE FEDERAL EMPLOYEES INJURY COMPENSATION PROGRAM As p a r t o f th e g e n e r a l e f f o r t t o im p r o v e e n title m e n t program s, th e A d m in is tr a tio n w ill overhaul th e F e d e r a l e m p lo y e e s i n j u r y c o m p e n s a tio n p r o g r a m . T h ese changes are geared to r e m o v in g (1 ) in c e n tiv e s t o f i l e q u e s tio n a b le c la im s ; (2 ) d is in c e n t iv e s f o r i n j u r e d w o r k e r s t o r e t u r n t o w ork when t h e y a r e m e d i c a l l y a b l e t o d o s o ; a n d ( 3 ) i n e q u i t i e s i n c o m p e n s a t i o n r a t e s , w h ic h now p e r m i t h i g h e r - p a i d w o r k e r s t o r e c e i v e m ore i n c o m p e n s a t i o n b e n e f i t s t h a n th e y r e c e iv e d in ta k e -h o m e pay w hen w o r k in g . T he n u m b e r o f q u e s t i o n a b l e c l a i m s w i l l b e r e d u c e d and w o r k e r s w i l l b e re sto re d t o p r o d u c t i v e w o rk m o re q u i c k l y . T h e c h a n g e s a r e b e i n g p r o p o s e d b e c a u s e t h e num ber o f c l a i m s b e i n g s u b m itte d fo r w ork ers c o m p e n s a tio n b e n e f i t s under th e F e d e r a l E m p lo y e e C o m p e n s a t i o n A c t (FECA) h a s b e e n g r o w i n g a t a n a la r m in g pace, b e a r in g no r e l a t i o n t o t h e num ber o f F e d e r a l e m p l o y e e s o r t h e G o v e rn m e n t’ s s a fe ty record . T he annual ra te of c la im s r e c e i v e d b y t h i s p r o g r a m h a s g o n e fr o m 1 8 , 0 0 0 i n f i s c a l y e a r 1 9 7 0 to over 3 0 ,0 0 0 in 1980. T he i n c r e a s e d u s e o f t h i s p r o g r a m i s a l s o r e f l e c t e d in th e g ro w th of b e n e fit p a y m e n ts, fr o m $151 m illio n in 1 9 7 0 t o $78 5 m i ll i o n in 1 9 8 0 , to o v e r $ 1 .0 b i l l i o n in 1982. I n a n e r a w h e re a l l s e c t o r s o f s o c i e t y a r e b e in g c a lle d on to r e s tr a in th e g ro w th o f g o v e rn m e n t, i t i s i n e q u i t a b l e t o p r o v i d e F e d e r a l e m p lo y e e s w ith an in ju r y c o m p e n s a tio n sy ste m w h ic h , th ro u g h poor d e s i g n , o v e r c o m p e n s a te s F e d e r a l e m p lo y e e s r e l a t i v e t o th e c o m p e n s a tio n r e c e i v e d by p r iv a te se cto r e m p lo y e e s fo r s im ila r in ju r ie s . The f o l l o w i n g p r o p o s e d r e f o r m s w o u ld e n s u r e th e e ffic ie n t c o m p e n s a tio n of ju s tifia b le c la im s , w h ile e lim in a tin g th e o v e r c o m p e n s a tio n and o th e r in e q u itie s th a t c u r r e n t l y p l a g u e t h e F e d e r a l e m p lo y e e s c o m p e n s a t i o n p r o g r a m : in c r e a s e m ake t h e — t h e c o m p e n s a tio n r a t e e n t i r e am ou n t s u b j e c t to to r e i n s t a t e th e 3 -d a y w a it in g p e r io d r e c e i v e c o m p e n s a tio n b e n e f i t s ; 80% o f g r o s s pay but F e d e r a l in c o m e t a x e s ; b e fo r e a c la im a n t can r e d u c e t h e p a y t h a t a p e r s o n c a n g e t f o r up t o 45 days w h ile a c la im f o r c o m p e n s a tio n f o r a w o r k -r e la t e d i n j u r y i s b e i n g p r o c e s s e d fr o m 100% t o 80% o f f u l l s a l a r y ; a n d — convert s e r v ic e curren t FECA c o m p e n s a tio n r e c ip ie n ts to th e c iv il a n n u ity r o lls a fte r age 65, in s te a d o f th e p r a c t i c e o f p r o v id in g , l i f e - l o n g c o m p e n s a tio n . 1-26 The l e g i s l a t i o n fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to 1981 C u rren t b a s e : Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P rop osed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... r e s u lt in th e (in m illio n s 1982 1983 fo llo w in g changes o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 in 1986 316 316 344 344 389 389 431 431 481 481 512 512 ----------- -1 0 2 -1 0 2 -1 1 4 -1 1 4 -1 2 6 -1 2 6 -1 3 8 -1 3 8 -1 5 1 -1 5 1 316 316 242 242 275 275 305 305 343 343 361 361 1-27 Department of Labor ELIM INATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT COMPENSATION FOR THOSE WHO VOLUNTARILY QUIT M ILITARY SERVICE I n o r d e r t o t a r g e t u n e m p lo y m e n t c o m p e n s a t i o n o n t h o s e w o r k e r s who are tr u ly in v o lu n ta r ily u n e m p lo y e d , th e A d m in is tr a tio n w ill prop ose th a t u n e m p lo y m e n t c o m p e n s a tio n fo r e x -s e r v ic e m e m b e r s (U CX) n o t b e p a i d to th o se who le a v e th e m ilit a r y s e r v ic e s v o l u n t a r i l y a f t e r J u ly 1 , 1 9 8 1 . The change r e fle c ts th e fa c t th a t m ilita r y s e r v ic e i s now e n t i r e ly v o lu n ta r y . V i r t u a lly e v e ry S ta te c u r r e n tly p r o v id e s fo r e i t h e r t e m p o r a r y d i s q u a l i f i c a t i o n fr o m b e n e f i t s o r a r e d u c t i o n i n b e n e fit a m o u n ts to c iv ilia n e m p lo y e e s who q u it th e ir jo b s v o lu n ta r ily , and a l l S t a t e s r e f u s e b e n e f i t s t o t h o s e who r e f u s e bona fid e e m p lo y m e n t o ffe r s in th e ir c u sto m a ry o c c u p a tio n . F ederal la w p r o h i b i t s S t a t e s fr o m t r e a t i n g e x - s e r v i c e m e m b e r s i n t h e sam e m a n n e r . T h e c h a n g e w o u ld tre a t a ll e x -s e r v ic e m e m b e r s th e sa m e n a tio n w id e ; th o se who q u i t t h e m i l i t a r y v o l u n t a r i l y , r e f u s i n g r e e n l i s t m e n t o f f e r s , w o u ld b e i n e l i g i b l e fo r b e n e fits . U nder th e change, th o se w ith o t h e r th a n h o n o r a b le o r g e n e r a l d i s c h a r g e s w o u ld r e m a i n i n e l i g i b l e f o r b e n e f i t s . The c h a n g e i s e x p e c t e d t o r e s u l t in a d e c r e a s e o f about 70% in program co sts. E x -s e r v i c e m e m b e r s w ith at le a s t one y e a r o f s e r v i c e who w ere in v o lu n ta r ily se p a ra te d fr o m th e m ilita r y , u n le s s th e y r e c e iv e d o th e r th a n an h o n o r a b le or gen eral d i s c h a r g e , w o u ld c o n t i n u e t o be e lig ib le fo r b e n e fits . O n ly e x - s e r v i c e m e m b e r s who q u i t v o l u n t a r i l y w o u ld b e a f f e c t e d . In a d d itio n to th e q u e s tio n of e q u ity , th e a v a i l a b i l i t y o f l i b e r a l UCX b e n e f i t s u p o n v o l u n t a r y s e p a r a tio n fr o m th e a rm ed s e r v ic e s a g g ra v a tes m ilita r y p r o b le m s in r e ta in in g tr a in e d __ p e r s o n n e l. A t a t i m e when s i g n i f i c a n t e f f o r t s a r e b e i n g m ade in th e fa c e of severe b u d g eta ry c o n s tr a in ts — t o f a c i l i t a t e r e t e n t i o n b y u p g r a d in g m i l i t a r y c o m p e n s a tio n , it m akes little sen se to sp en d a d d itio n a l fu n d s t o e n c o u r a g e p r e s e n t m i l i t a r y p e r s o n n e l t o l e a v e t h e arm ed s e r v i c e s . 1-28 The p r o p o s a l fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to r e s u lt 1981 C u rrent b a se : B udget a u t h o r i t y .• .. O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P roposed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... in th e fo llo w in g (in m illio n s 1983 1982 changes o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 in 1986 333 333 250 250 249 249 258 258 260 260 261 261 -6 0 -6 0 -1 7 5 -1 7 5 -1 7 5 -1 7 5 -1 8 1 -1 8 1 -1 8 3 -1 8 3 -1 8 3 -1 8 3 273 273 75 75 74 74 77 77 77 77 78 78 1-29 Department of Labor ELIM INATING TRADE ADJUSTMENT ASSISTANCE PAYMENTS TO PEOPLE ALREADY RECEIVING UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE BENEFITS The A d m in is t r a t io n w i l l p r o p o s e l e g i s l a t i o n t o r e fo r m th e tra d e a d ju s tm e n t a s s is ta n c e (T A A ) program fo r w ork ers by t a r g e t in g b e n e f i t s on t h o s e w o r k e r s who h a v e n o t b e e n c a l l e d b a c k to w o rk by t h e i r f o r m e r e m p l o y e r s a n d who h a v e b e e n u n a b l e t o f i n d o t h e r w o rk b y t h e t i m e t h e i r u n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e ( U I ) b e n e fits ru n o u t. F u rth e rm o re , paym ent of TAA at th e sam e tim e as u n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e w i l l b e e l i m i n a t e d . T h e o r i g i n a l p u r p o s e o f t r a d e a d j u s t m e n t a s s i s t a n c e w as t o a s s i s t w ork ers i n f i n d i n g new e m p lo y m e n t when c h a n g in g in te r n a tio n a l c o m p e titiv e c o n d itio n s c a u s e d t h e i n d u s t r i e s i n w h ic h t h e y w e r e e m p lo y e d to d e c lin e . T he program c o m b in e s in c o m e su p p o rt, r e tr a in in g , and r e lo c a tio n a s s is ta n c e to p r o v id e d is p la c e d w o rk ers w ith th e tim e and resou rces th e y need to adapt to c h a n g in g c o n d i t i o n s . In th e l a s t 4 y e a r s , h o w e v e r, th e e f f e c t o f th e program h a s b e e n s e v e r e ly a lt e r e d . W h o le s a le c e r t i f i c a t i o n o f w o rk ers in t r o u b le d b a s i c i n d u s t r i e s h a s p r o d u c e d a s i t u a t i o n w h e r e TAA c a s h p a y m e n t s a r e b e i n g made t o t h o u s a n d s o f w o r k e r s r e g a r d l e s s o f t h e i r i n t e n t to seek a lte r n a te e m p lo y m e n t in new and g r o w in g in d u s tr ia l se cto rs. In a d d i t i o n t o d i s t o r t i n g th e program r e l a t i v e t o i t s o r i g i n a l i n t e n t , t h i s s h i f t has produced a cost e x p lo s io n . In M a rch o f 1 9 8 0 , f i s c a l y e a r 1 9 8 1 TAA c o s t s w e r e e s t i m a t e d a t $ 4 5 0 m illio n . By N ovem ber, th is e s tim a te had b a llo o n e d to $ 2 .7 b illio n , as w ork ers in th e a u to and ste e l i n d u s t r i e s w ere c e r t i f i e d as e l i g i b l e . I m m e d ia te a c t i o n i s n e c e s s a r y t o prevent th e p r o g r a m fr o m c o n t i n u i n g t o g e n e r a t e o u t l a y s f a r i n e x c e s s o f t h o s e n e e d e d t o s a t i s f y t h e i n t e n t o f t h e la w T h e p u r p o s e o f t h e p r o p o s e d r e f o r m s i s t o r e f o c u s t h e TAA p r o g r a m on its p r im a r y p u rpose — a d ju s tm e n t to changed e c o n o m ic c o n d itio n s . C ash b e n e fits w o u ld be p r o v id e d o n ly t o w o rk ers d i s p l a c e d fr o m t h e i r j o b s f o r e x t e n d e d p e r i o d s who n e e d m o re t i m e t o g e t t r a i n i n g , r e l o c a t e , o r f i n d new j o b s . W ork ers c e r tifie d as e lig ib le f o r TAA w o u ld r e c e i v e a w e e k l y TAA p a y m e n t e q u a l t o t h e i r w e e k l y u n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e b e n e f i t a f t e r th e y u sed up a ll th e ir w eeks o f u n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e . A d is p la c e d w ork er c o u l d r e c e i v e up t o a t o t a l o f 52 w e e k s o f u n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e a n d TAA b e n e f i t s . T h is change w i l l in te g r a te th e TAA program w ith th e r e g u la r UI s y s te m . T he c h a n g e w o u ld b e e f f e c t i v e f o r a l l p r e s e n t and f u t u r e c la i m a n t s as of O cto b er 1 , 1981. A ll w ork ers c e r tifie d fo r TAA w ill c o n tin u e to be e li g i b le fo r s p e c i a l TAA j o b s e a r c h a n d r e l o c a t i o n a l l o w a n c e s . T he p r o p o s e d c h a n g e s a r e b a s e d on a s t u d y and r e c o m m e n d a tio n s by th e G eneral A c c o u n tin g O ffic e and su p p o rted b y fin d in g s o f a s e c o n d , in d e p e n d e n t s t u d y . B o th s t u d i e s fo u n d th a t m o re th a n 1-30 tw o -th ir d s o f t h e w o r k e r s who r e c e i v e d TAA h a d r e t u r n e d t o t h e i r o r i g i n a l e m p lo y e r s a f t e r a t e m p o r a r y s p e l l o f u n e m p lo y m e n t. In many c a s e s t h e s e TAA b e n e f i t s , w h ic h a r e m e a n t t o h e l p t h e w o r k e r over a p e r i o d o f u n e m p lo y m e n t, w e r e p a i d i n a lum p sum a f t e r t h e w ork er had r e tu r n e d t o h i s o r h e r o ld jo b , o r had ta k en a new one. The s tu d ie s a ls o fo u n d t h a t t h e w o r k e r s m o s t i n n e e d o f a s s i s t a n c e w ere t h o s e who r e m a in e d u n e m p lo y e d fo r a le n g th y p e r i o d and d id n o t r e t u r n t o t h e i r o r i g i n a l e m p lo y e r . As a r e s u lt of th e p rop osed ch an ges, lum p sum p a y m e n ts o f r e t r o a c t i v e b e n e f i t s t o t e m p o r a r i l y u n e m p lo y e d w o r k e r s who have a l r e a d y r e t u r n e d t o w ork w i l l b e r e d u c e d s h a r p l y . In th e c a s e o f w ork ers in th e a u to m o tiv e in d u s tr y , th e paym en t c o m p u ta tio n m e c h a n is m h a s h a d t h e i n a d v e r t a n t e f f e c t o f s h i f t i n g co sts th a t w o u ld o th e r w is e be p a id b y th e i n d u s t r y -f i n a n c e d s u p p le m e n ta l u n e m p lo y m e n t b e n e fits (S U B ) fu n d s to th e F ederal T reasu ry. C u r r e n t ly , in d u s tr y SUB fu n d s p a y o n l y th e d i f f e r e n c e b e tw e e n G o v e r n m e n t u n e m p lo y m e n t c o m p e n s a t i o n and th e SUB fu n d in c o m e g u a r a n t e e (u p t o 95% o f w a g e s ) . T h u s , many w o r k e r s , p a r t i c u l a r l y t h o s e i n t h e a u t o i n d u s t r y , do n o t r e c e i v e m ore in c o m e b e c a u s e o f TAA, b u t t h e SUB f u n d s p a y o u t l e s s . I n f a c t , SUB f u n d s r e q u i r e r e c i p i e n t s o f r e t r o a c t i v e TAA p a y m e n ts t o pay a ll or part of t h o s e p a y m e n ts b a c k t o t h e SUB f u n d . U nder th e cu rren t p r o g r a m , w o r k e r s who e x p e r i e n c e u n e m p lo y m e n t cau sed a t le a s t in p art by im p o r ts , as d e te r m in e d by th e S e c reta ry of L abor, are e lig ib le fo r h ig h e r and le n g th ie r b e n e f i t s t h a n t h o s e a v a i l a b l e t o o t h e r u n e m p lo y e d w o r k e r s i n th e sam e c o m m u n i t i e s . W orkers c e r t i f i e d by th e S e c r e t a r y a s e l i g i b l e fo r TAA r e c e iv e w e e k l y b e n e f i t s e q u a l t o 70% o f t h e i r p r e v i o u s g r o s s w e e k l y w a g e s , up t o a maximum o f t h e n a t i o n a l a v e r a g e w age in m a n u fa c tu r in g (c u r r e n tly §269 a w e e k ) f o r up t o 52 w e e k s . S in c e t h e s e b e n e f i t s a r e n o t t a x a b l e t o e m p lo y e e s w ith b e n e fits b e lo w th e ta x a b ility th r e s h o ld on u n e m p lo y m e n t b e n e fits in c u r r e n t la w , th e v a lu e of b e n e fits r e c e iv e d by h ig h e r -w a g e w ork ers o f t e n e x c e e d s t h e a v e r a g e m a n u f a c t u r i n g w a g e l i m i t , w hen com pared t o t a x a b le e a r n i n g s . A f t e r th e change as of O cto b er 1 , 1981, w e e k ly TAA b e n e fit a m o u n ts w ill be th e sam e a s t h e w o r k e r ‘ s w e e k l y u n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e b e n e f i t a m o u n t, a n d w i l l b e p a i d o n l y to w ork ers who h a v e u s e d up a l l t h e i r w e e k s o f u n e m p lo y m e n t i n s u r a n c e . 1- 31 T h is p rop osal fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to 1981 C u rrent b a se Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. O u t l a y s ............................. P rop osed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ............................. r e s u lt in th e (in m illio n s 1983 1982 fo llo w in g changes o f d o lla r s) 1984 1985 in 1986 2 ,7 0 0 1 ,5 0 0 1 ,5 0 0 1 .0 0 0 1 ,0 0 0 500 500 500 500 500 500 ------ - 1 ,1 5 0 -1 ,1 5 0 -7 6 0 -7 6 0 -3 3 0 -3 8 0 -3 8 0 -3 8 0 -3 8 0 -3 8 0 2 ,7 0 0 350 350 240 240 120 120 120 120 120 120 1-32 Department of Labor PLACE THE BLACK LUNG TRUST FUND ON A SE L F -SU ST A IN IN G B ASIS T he b l a c k lu n g d i s a b i l i t y t r u s t fu n d (BLDTF) i s r a p id ly s in k in g in to in s o lv e n c y , p r o d u c in g m a s s iv e d e f i c i t s t h a t a r e p r e s e n t l y f i n a n c e d fr o m g e n e r a l r e v e n u e s . A t t h e end o f f i s c a l y e a r 1980, th e t r u s t fu n d owed t h e U . S . T r e a s u r y $ 9 5 6 m i l l i o n . O f th e $922 m i l l i o n e x p e c t e d t o b e e x p e n d e d fr o m t h e fu n d i n 1 9 8 1 , o n l y $275 m illio n w ill b e c o v e r e d b y r e v e n u e s r e c e i v e d fr o m t h e c o a l t a x . T h i s w i l l m ean t h a t a n o t h e r $ 6 4 7 m i l l i o n w i l l h a v e t o b e f i n a n c e d by T re a su ry lo a n s . U n d e r e x i s t i n g la w , t h e t r u s t fu n d w i l l have a p r o je c t e d d e f i c i t o f $ 9 .2 b i l l i o n b y 1 9 9 5 . The m a jo r s o u r c e o f th e f u n d 's i n s o l v e n c y i s t h a t l a x s t a t u t o r y a n d a d m i n i s t r a t i v e p r o c e d u r e s h a v e e x p a n d e d t h e p r o g r a m fr o m its o r ig in a l pu rp ose — to com p en sate p e o p le who a re m e d ic a lly d i s a b l e d b e c a u s e o f b l a c k lu n g d i s e a s e — in to a gen eral coal m i n e r 's b e n e fit program th a t a p p r o a c h e s an a u t o m a t i c p e n s i o n . R e c e n t GAO s a m p l i n g o f e l i g i b i l i t y c e r t i f i c a t i o n s fo u n d th a t an a s to n is h in g 88% o f a l l t h e c l a i m a n t s c e r t i f i e d a s e l i g i b l e w e re e i t h e r n o t d i s a b l e d , o r e l s e c o u ld n o t b e p r o v e d to have b la c k lu n g d i s e a s e . In o r d e r t o p u t t h e t r u s t fu n d on a so u n d f i n a n c i a l f o o t i n g , t h e A d m in is t r a t io n w i l l d e v e lo p a r e fo r m p r o p o s a l t h a t w ill re sto re s o lv e n c y by r e s tr ic tin g b e n e fit e n title m e n ts to th o se th a t are t r u ly m e d ic a lly d is a b le d by b la c k lu n g , and en su re th a t th e program is fin a n c e d b y a r e a s o n a b l e l e v y on t h e c o a l i n d u s t r y , ra th e r th a n fr o m gen eral reven u es. T he o b je c tiv e of th e p r o p o s a ls w o u ld be t o e l i m i n a t e q u e s t i o n a b l e c l a i m s and r e d u c e t r u s t fu n d o u t l a y s t o a le v e l w h ere th e coal in d u s tr y c o u ld fin a n c e b e n e fits w ith a r e a s o n a b le c o a l t a x in c r e a s e w ith o u t d r a w in g on t h e T r e a s u r y . T h e BLDTF was c r e a t e d i n 1 9 7 8 t o p a y b l a c k lu n g b e n e f i t s and th e cost of a d m in is te r in g th e program . T h e fu n d w as t o b e f i n a n c e d t h r o u g h a c o a l p r o d u c t i o n t a x , w h ic h i s c u r r e n tly 50 c e n ts per to n fo r u n dergrou n d coal a n d 25 c e n t s f o r s u r f a c e - m i n e d c o a l . W h i l e t h e fu n d w as e x p e c t e d i n i t i a l l y t o have a s m a ll d e fic it fin a n c e d by b o r r o w in g fr o m th e U .S . T reasu ry, it w as a l s o e x p e c te d th a t by th e m i d - 1 9 8 0 's it w o u ld becom e and r e m a in s o lv e n t. H ow ever, p r e s e n t e x p e r i e n c e sh o w s t h a t u n l e s s c h a n g e s a r e m a d e , t h e fu n d w i l l n o t b e s o l v e n t u n t i l t h e n e x t c e n t u r y . T h ere i s s i g n i f i c a n t p o t e n t ia l fo r tig h te n in g up th e p r o g r a m 's e lig ib ility r e q u ir e m e n ts th a t w o u ld reduce o u tla y s w ith o u t h a r m in g l e g i t i m a t e b e n e f i c i a r i e s . S im p ly r e s t o r i n g th e program to its o r ig in a l p u rp ose — to p r o v id e b e n e fits to th o se c e r t i f i a b l y d i s a b l e d b y b l a c k lu n g d i s e a s e — w o u ld r e s u lt in m a jo r r e d u c t i o n s in p ro g ra m o u t l a y s . 1-33 o f d o lla r s ) 1985 1984 1981 (in m illio n s 1983 1982 C u rren t b a s e : O u t g o ........................................ In co m e ( - ) a / ................. 824 -2 7 5 775 -2 9 2 647 -3 2 1 609 -3 4 1 669 -3 6 4 932 -3 7 9 D e f i c i t ................. 549 483 326 268 305 553 -3 0 -3 7 8 -3 5 4 -3 5 3 -3 8 2 -4 6 9 519 105 P o lic y change ( n e t ) .... P rop osed b u d g et ( n e t ) .. a/ T h ese are g o v e rn m e n ta l r e c e ip t s s id e o f th e b u d g e t, b / T r u s t fu n d s u r p l u s . -2 8 b / r e c e ip ts and -8 5 b / 1986 -7 7 b / appear on 83 th e NOTE: O u tg o p a t t e r n s v a r y fro m year to year becau se of e s tim a te s of t h e t i m i n g o f lu m p -su m p a y m e n ts an d r e i m b u r s e m e n t s t o th e fu n d • 1- 3 4 Office of Personnel Management ANNUAL INDEXATION OF C I V IL SERVICE RETIREMENT ANNUITIES U nder p r e s e n t p o l i c y , v i r t u a l l y e v e r y F e d e r a l b e n e fic ia r y group r e c e i v i n g a s s i s t a n c e w i t h a u t o m a t i c a d j u s t m e n t s f o r t h e im p a c t o f in fla tio n h a s i t s p a y m e n ts a d j u s t e d a n n u a l l y . P a y m e n ts f o r f o o d s t a m p s , c h i l d n u t r i t i o n , and s o c i a l s e c u r ity are now a d ju s te d a n n u a lly . R e tir e d c iv il se rv a n ts, h ow ever, now have th e ir p e n s io n s a d ju s t e d tw ic e a y e a r . T h is is c le a r ly u n fa ir . To assu re e q u it a b le tr e a tm e n t fo r a ll r e c ip ie n ts o f a s s is ta n c e , b i - a n n u a l c o s t - o f - l i v i n g a d j u s t m e n t s w o u ld be r e p la c e d w ith a s i n g l e a n n u a l a d ju s tm e n t f o r c i v i l s e r v i c e r e t i r e e s . F ederal c iv ilia n r e tir e e s have been w e ll p r o te c te d a g a in s t th e im p a c t o f i n f l a t i o n an d r e c e iv e very gen erous a n n u itie s . In 1979, over h a lf of th e r e t i r e d e m p lo y e e s r e c e i v e d r e t i r e m e n t p a y m e n ts o f o v e r $ 8 , 4 0 0 p e r y e a r . I n f a c t , 25% of th e r e tir e d e m p lo y e e s r e c e i v e d o v e r $ 1 2 ,0 0 0 in 1 9 7 9 . Ir o n ic a lly , th e se gen erou s a d ju s tm e n ts have m eant t h a t o l d e r r e t i r e e s o f t e n r e c e i v e g r e a t e r b e n e f i t s th a n r e c e n t r e t i r e e s w ith c o m p a r a b le p o s i t i o n s an d l e n g t h o f F e d e r a l s e r v i c e . F o r e x a m p le , a G S -5 t y p i s t r e t i r i n g i n 1 9 6 5 a t a g e 6 2 w i t h 3 0 y e a r s o f F e d e r a l s e r v ic e w o u ld c u r r e n tly r e c e iv e an annual a n n u ity of over $ 1 1 ,0 0 0 , w h ile a s im ila r e m p lo y e e r e t i r i n g l a s t summer w o u ld r e c e i v e l e s s th a n $ 8 ,0 0 0 a n n u a lly . A s im ila r p rogram s. p rop osal has been 1981 C u rren t b a s e : B udget a u t h o r i t y . ... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . P rop osed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y . ... m ade fo r m ilit a r y r e tir e m e n t (in m illio n s o f d o lla r s ) 1983 * 1984 1985 1982 1986 2 7 ,6 5 8 1 7 ,6 0 5 3 0 ,1 5 7 2 0 ,2 3 3 3 2 ,3 6 2 2 2 ,5 4 4 3 4 ,2 3 7 2 4 ,6 5 5 3 5 ,9 4 1 2 6 ,6 4 3 3 7 ,4 0 9 2 9 ,4 6 6 ----------- -5 5 8 -5 1 0 -4 7 2 -4 2 4 -4 3 0 -3 8 9 -4 1 6 -3 6 6 -4 1 7 -3 6 7 2 7 ,6 5 3 1 7 ,6 0 5 2 9 ,5 9 9 1 9 ,7 2 3 3 1 ,8 9 0 2 2 ,1 2 0 3 3 ,8 0 7 2 4 ,2 6 6 3 5 ,5 2 5 2 6 ,2 7 7 3 6 ,9 9 2 2 8 ,0 9 9 1-35 2. REDUCE MIDDLE-UPPER INCOME BENEFITS Department of Agriculture CHILD N U TR ITIO N : ELIM IN ATIO N OF SU B SID IE S FOR MIDDLE AND UPPER INCOME HOUSEHOLDS As part of th e A a s s is ta n c e on th e s u b s id ie s t o s c h o o ls T h ese changes w ill t h e y a r e m ost n eeded p r o p o r tio n s o f needy d m in is tr a tio n ’ s e ffo r ts to fo c u s F ederal tr u ly needy, th e s t r u c t u r e o f F e d e r a l m eal and s i m i l a r i n s t i t u t i o n s w ill be a lte r e d . h e l p t o c o n c e n t r a t e F e d e r a l r e s o u r c e s w h e re — in sch ool d is tr ic ts w ith th e h ig h e st fa m ilie s . At p rese n t, th e F e d e r a l G overn m en t p r o v i d e s s u b s i d i e s in t h r e e d iffe r e n t c a te g o r ie s (c a s h , c o m m o d itie s , and s p e c ia l cash a s s is ta n c e ) t o s c h o o l d i s t r i c t s t h a t a g r e e t o p r o v id e f r e e m e a ls t o t h e l o w e s t - i n c o m e s t u d e n t s ( t h o s e b e l o w 125% of th e p o v e rty lin e ), and r e d u c e d -p r ic e d m e a ls t o th o s e w ith s l i g h t l y h ig h e r in c o m e s (b e t w e e n 125% a n d 185% o f t h e p o v e r t y l i n e ) . T he b a s ic cash a n d c o m m o d ity s u b s i d i e s a r e d i s t r i b u t e d t o s c h o o l s b a s e d on t h e t o t a l num ber o f c h i l d r e n p a r t i c i p a t i n g i n t h e m eal program , r e g a r d le s s of in c o m e le v e l. T he r e s u l t i s a s u b s i d y , e q u a l t o a b o u t 50% o f t h e p u r c h a s e p r i c e o f m e a l s s e r v e d to m id d le an d u p p e r - i n c o m e s t u d e n t s — m any o f whom com e fr o m f a m i l i e s w i t h v e r y h ig h in c o m e s . G i v e n t h e n e e d t o f o c u s F e d e r a l b e n e f i t s on t h o s e t r u l y in n eed , th e A d m in is tr a tio n w ill prop ose le g is la tio n to r e s t r i c t s u b s i d i e s t o t h e lo w e r -in c o m e g r o u p s . U nder th e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n p r o p o s a l , F e d e r a l s u b s i d i e s f o r m id d le a n d u p p e r in c o m e f a m i l i e s of fo u r w ith annual in c o m e s above $ 1 5 ,6 3 0 w ill be e lim in a t e d . S tu d e n ts fr o m th e se n o n -n e e d y f a m i l i e s now r e c e i v e s u b s i d i e s of about 32 c e n ts per lu n c h . S tu d e n ts fr o m f a m i l i e s o f f o u r w i t h in c o m e s b e t w e e n $ 1 1 , 6 4 0 and $ 1 5 ,6 3 0 w i l l c o n tin u e to have th e ir sch ool m e a ls p a r tia lly s u b s id iz e d . N e x t y e a r , s c h o o l d i s t r i c t s w o u ld r e c e i v e an a v e r a g e F e d e r a l s u b s id y o f 64 c e n ts f o r each m eal s e r v e d t o t h i s grou p o f stu d e n ts. F o r s t u d e n t s fr o m f a m i l i e s o f f o u r w i t h in c o m e s b e l o w $ 1 1 ,6 4 0 , th e p r e s e n t p o li c y o f f u l l s u b s id iz a t io n o f m e a ls w ill c o n tin u e . The 1 0 .3 m illio n c h ild r e n fr o m p o o r f a m i l i e s w i l l c o n t i n u e t o r e c e i v e f u l l y s u b s i d i z e d f r e e s c h o o l l u n c h e s and 3 . 0 m i l l i o n w i l l a l s o b e n e f i t fr o m a f u l l y s u b s i d i z e d b r e a k fa st at s c h o o l. An a d d itio n a l 1 .9 m illio n l e s s needy stu d e n ts w i l l r e c e iv e annual s u b s i d i e s o f $ 11 5 p e r y e a r f o r lu n c h . F ederal su p p ort w ill no l o n g e r c o n t i n u e f o r 1 4 . 5 m i l l i o n m i d d l e and u p p e r in c o m e s t u d e n t s w h o se sch ool d is tr ic ts now r e c e i v e m e a l s u b s i d i e s o f l e s s t h a n $60 per stu d e n t each y e a r . S ta te s or lo c a li t i e s may ch oose to s u b s id iz e — fr o m th e ir resou rces — stu d e n ts w ith la r g e r i n c o m e s , o r p a r e n t s o f t h o s e s t u d e n t s may b u y s c h o o l m e a l s . 2-1 O t h e r n o n - e s s e n t i a l a c t i v i t i e s fu n d e d u n d e r t h i s a c c o u n t w i l l be te r m in a te d , in c lu d in g f u n d s t o p u r c h a s e new s c h o o l f o o d s e r v i c e e q u ip m e n t , n u t r i t i o n e d u c a t i o n and tr a in in g g ra n ts to S ta te s, s u b s id iz e d sn ack s, an d a ll s u b sid ie s t o . s c h o o ls w ith h ig h tu itio n s . T he b a s e a n d s p e c ia l s u b s id ie s fo r b o th fr e e an d r e d u c e d p r i c e m e a l s w i l l b e a n n u a l l y i n d e x e d i n f u t u r e y e a r s fr o m 1982 le v e ls fo r p r ic e changes in th e c u r r e n tly a u th o r iz e d in d ic e s . F i n a l l y , s c h o o l s s h o u l d v e r i f y on a s a m p le b a s is , th e in c o m e e lig ib ility of stu d e n ts c la im in g f u l l o r p a r t i a l m eal s u b s id ie s . By f o c u s i n g F e d e r a l m e a l s u b s i d i e s on c h i l d r e n fro m fa m ilie s in need. F e d e r a l c o s t s w i l l b e r e d u c e d b y o v e r 35% n e x t y e a r , o r b y m o re t h a n $9 b i l l i o n b y 1 9 8 6 . A t t h e sam e t i m e , c o n tin u e d fu ll a n d p a r t i a l F e d e r a l s u b s i d i e s f o r lo w e r in c o m e s t u d e n t s w i l l h e l p to en su re th a t t h e s e s tu d e n ts h ave a c c e s s t o a d e q u a te n u t r i t i o n a t s c h o o l. A d m in is tr a tiv e ly , th e se changes w ill redu ce th e e x is tin g c o m p l e x i t y o f o v e r 20 s u b s i d y r a t e s t h a t v a r y b y in c o m e l e v e l , ty p e of m e a l, and ty p e of in s titu tio n c la im in g th e s u b s id y . T he e lim in a t io n of a c t i v i t i e s c o l l a t e r a l t o fu n d in g n u tr itio n su b s id ie s fo r th e needy is a ste p aw ay fr o m in a p p r o p r ia te F ederal in v o lv e m e n t in S ta te and lo c a l sch ool a d m in is tr a tio n . T h ese p r o p o s a ls e s tim a te s : r e s u lt in th e (in m illio n s 1932 1983 1981 C u rren t b a s e : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................ . P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y ... O u t l a y s ................................ P rop osed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................ . fo llo w in g changes in o f do l l a r s ) 1984 1985 budget 1986 3 ,4 6 4 3 ,3 6 0 4 ,1 5 5 3 ,9 1 8 4 ,5 8 2 4 ,3 2 1 4 ,9 2 6 4 ,6 4 6 5 ,2 5 8 4 ,9 5 9 5 ,5 7 9 5 ,2 6 1 -1 4 5 -4 2 -1 ,6 5 7 -1 ,5 7 5 -1 ,8 0 0 -1 ,7 0 9 -1 ,9 3 4 -1 ,8 3 5 -2 ,0 4 6 -1 ,9 4 0 -2 ,1 5 8 -2 ,0 4 5 3 ,3 1 9 3 ,3 1 9 2 ,4 9 9 2 ,3 4 3 2 ,7 8 2 2 ,6 1 2 2 ,9 9 3 2 ,8 1 1 3 ,2 1 2 3 ,0 1 8 3 ,4 2 1 3 ,2 1 6 2-2 Department of Education REFOCUSING STUDENT ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS I n o r d e r t o r e s t o r e t h e f o c u s o f t h e tw o m a jo r s t u d e n t fin a n c ia l a s s is ta n c e p r o g r a m s , a d m i n i s t e r e d b y t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f E d u c a t i o n on t h e t r u l y n e e d y and t o e m p h a s i z e t h e t r a d i t i o n a l r o l e of th e fa m ily and th e s tu d e n t i n c o n t r i b u t i n g t o m e e tin g th e c o s t s o f h ig h e r e d u c a tio n , th e A d m in is tr a tio n w ill p rop ose s ig n ific a n t changes in b o th t h e G u a r a n t e e d S t u d e n t L o an (G S L ) and t h e P e l l G ran t p ro g ra m s. In th e l a s t s e v e r a l y e a r s t h e s e program s have been c o n tin u a lly lib e r a liz e d ; F ederal b e n e fits h a v e b ecom e e x c e s s i v e . A lth o u g h th e P e ll G ran t program , th e s u c c e s o r to th e B a s ic E d u c a tio n a l O p p o r t u n i t y G r a n t (BEOG) p r o g r a m , i s d e s i g n e d p r i m a r i l y t o a s s i s t lo w in c o m e s t u d e n t s , g r a n t s a r e on o c c a s i o n p r o v i d e d t o s t u d e n t s fr o m f a m i l i e s w i t h in c o m e i n e x c e s s o f $ 3 0 , 0 0 0 p e r y e a r . The GSL p r o g r a m now p r o v i d e s l o a n s o f up t o $ 2 , 5 0 0 a n n u a l l y f o r stu d e n ts and up t o $ 3 , 0 0 0 a n n u a l l y t o t h e i r p a r e n t s r e g a r d l e s s o f in c o m e . S u b s t a n t i a l F e d e r a l b e n e f i t s a re b e in g p a id o u t t o th o s e who do n o t n e e d th em t o m e e t e d u c a t i o n a l e x p e n s e s . By m o re d ir e c tly t a r g e t i n g F e d e r a l s t u d e n t l o a n s a n d g r a n t s on n eed y s t u d e n t s , program co sts w ill be reduced by over $ 9 .2 b illio n in 1 9 8 1 -1 9 8 6 . A t t h e sam e t i m e , t h e i m p o r t a n t n a t i o n a l p o l i c y o b je c t i v e o f a s s u r in g e q u a l access to h ig h e r e d u c a tio n w i l l b e m a in ta in e d . U nder th e se p r o p o s a l s , G u a r a n te e d S t u d e n t Loan p ro g ra m i n t e r e s t b e n e f i t s w i l l n o t b e p a i d t o b o r r o w e r s who c a n n o t d e m o n str a te a need fo r th e s e s u b s id ie s t o fin a n c e t h e i r e d u c a tio n . T h is change w ill be a c h i e v e d b y l i m i t i n g s t u d e n t l o a n a m o u n ts t o " r e m a i n i n g n e e d " ( e d u c a t i o n a l c o s t s m in u s o th e r a id and e x p e c te d fa m ily c o n tr ib u tio n ), e lim in a t in g th e in -s c h o o l in te r e s t s u b s i d y on l o a n s t o s t u d e n t s , and e l i m i n a t i n g t h e F e d e r a l s p e c i a l a llo w a n c e to le n d e r s on l o a n s t o p a r e n t s . B e n e f i t s t o t h e h i g h e s t in c o m e s tu d e n ts w i l l a l s o b e e lim in a te d in th e P e ll G ran t program by in c r e a s in g t h e am ou n t o f d i s c r e t i o n a r y in c o m e t h a t f a m i l i e s m u s t c o n t r i b u t e t o t h e s u p p o r t o f a s t u d e n t a n d b y r e q u i r i n g an a n n u a l $ 7 5 0 s e l f - h e l p c o n t r i b u t i o n fr o m s t u d e n t s , e x c e p t w h e re ex tre m e f i n a n c i a l need i s d e m o n s tr a te d . W i t h o u t t h e s e m a jo r r e f o r m s , t h e G u a r a n t e e d S t u d e n t L o a n p r o g r a m , in p a r tic u la r , c o u ld be r e c k l e s s l y e x p a n d e d o v e r t h e n e x t fe w years. U nder t h e GSL program , stu d e n ts can borrow a n n u a lly r e g a r d le s s o f t h e i r in c o m e o r e d u c a t i o n a l n e e d , w i t h t h e F e d e r a l g o v e r n m e n t p a y i n g a l l t h e i n t e r e s t on t h e l o a n u n t i l t h e stu d e n t is out of s c h o o l. T he r e s u l t i s t h a t th e F e d e r a l govern m en t b o r r o w s m on ey a t h i g h r a t e s o f i n t e r e s t , t u r n i n g i t o v e r — f ree — to stu d e n ts to sp en d a s th e y se e f i t . W h ile th e p r i n c i p a l am ount o f t h e lo a n m u st e v e n t u a l l y be r e p a id , th e proceeds of th e se lo a n s can be in v e s te d in m oney m a rk e t fu n d s o r o t h e r 2-3 i n v e s t m e n t s , a l l o w i n g s t u d e n t s and t h e i r f a m i l i e s t o e a r n 1 4 -1 5 % y ie ld s on m oney fo r w h ic h th e F ederal govern m en t i s p a y in g 1 4 -1 5 % , b e f o r e e v e n t u a l l y r e p a y in g th e lo a n . W ith o u t r a tio n a l lim ita tio n s , su ch as th e A d m in is tr a tio n is p r o p o s in g , th e D e p a r tm e n t o f E d u c a t i o n c o u l d s o o n b e co m e t h e c r e d i t o r of fir s t resort fo r every A m e r ic a n fa m ily th a t has a f a m i l y m em ber e n r o lle d in u n d e rg ra d u a te o r g ra d u a te e d u c a tio n . T he s a v in g s b e lo w r e f l e c t t h e e f f e c t s o f t h e s e l i m i t a t i o n s . (in m illio n s 1983 1982 1981 C u rren t b a s e : Budget a u t h o r i t y . . . . O u t l a y s .................................. P o lic y r e d u c tio n : Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s .................................. P rop osed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 1986 4 ,8 1 2 4 ,1 0 4 5 ,3 4 1 5 ,1 7 8 5 ,5 7 4 5 ,5 1 6 5 ,7 3 9 5 ,6 9 8 5 ,7 6 9 5 ,7 6 1 6 ,0 0 4 5 ,9 4 5 -3 3 8 -1 0 6 -1 ,0 1 6 -8 0 3 * -1 ,6 5 9 -1 ,4 9 9 -1 ,8 5 7 - 1 ,8 0 8 -2 ,0 7 4 -2 ,0 1 9 -2 ,2 8 7 -2 ,2 3 3 4 ,4 7 4 3 ,9 9 8 4 ,3 2 5 4 ,3 7 5 3 ,9 1 5 4 ,0 1 7 3 ,9 8 2 3 ,8 9 0 3 ,6 9 6 3 ,7 4 2 3 ,7 1 7 3 ,7 1 2 2- 4 ELIMINATING THE STUDENT LOAN MARKETING A SS O C IA T IO N ’ S ( SALLIE MAE) ACCESS TO FEDERAL BORROWING T he A d m i n i s t r a t i o n p r o p o s e s t o e l i m i n a t e S a l l i e M a e 's access to th e F ederal F in a n c in g Bank (F F B ). S a l l i e Mae was s e t up a s a p r iv a te c o r p o r a tio n to p r o v id e a secon d ary m ark et fo r th e G u a ra n tee d S tu d en t L oan (G SL ) p rogram . S a l l i e Mae b u y s t h e s e l o a n s u s i n g F F B -p r o v i d e d c a p i t a l u n d e r a D e p a r tm e n t o f E d u c a tio n g u a ra n te e . S a l l i e Mae e f f e c t i v e l y i n c r e a s e s t h e t o t a l v o lu m e o f l o a n s u n d e r t h e GSL p r o g r a m o v e r and a b o v e w hat w o u ld be le n t w ith o u t a se c o n d a ry m a rk e t. W ith GSL v o lu m e a t r e c o r d l e v e l s , s t i m u l a t i o n b y S a l l i e Mae i s u n n ecessary. I n f a c t , o u t s t a n d i n g GSL c o m m itm e n ts a r e s c h e d u le d to d o u b le in 1 9 8 2 o v e r th e l e v e l p r e v a i l i n g a s r e c e n t l y as 1 9 8 0 , r i s i n g t o o v e r $ 2 0 b i l l i o n i n o u t s t a n d i n g c o m m itm e n ts b y t h e end of th e year. Some o f th e 49 S t a t e g u a r a n te e a g e n c ie s p r o v id e s e c o n d a r y m a rk e ts f o r s t u d e n t lo a n s . F u rth e r, th e re are o th e r i n c e n t i v e s w i t h i n t h e GSL p r o g r a m t o g e n e r a t e t h e l o a n c a p i t a l i t n eed s. In a d d i t i o n , th e A d m in is t r a tio n w i l l p r o p o s e ch an ges t o e n s u r e t h a t G u a ra n tee d S tu d e n t Loans are a v a ila b le fo r needy stu d e n ts. G iv e n th is e x p a n d in g resou rce b a s e in s u p p o r t o f s t u d e n t lo a n o r i g i n a t i o n s in th e p r i v a t e s e c t o r , i t i s s im p ly un n ecessary to p r o v id e S a llie Mae w ith a d d itio n a l c a p ita l to expand its secon d ary m arket o p e r a tio n s in g u a ra n te e d stu d e n t lo a n s . A lth o u g h th is p rop osal h a s no o n - b u d g e t o u t l a y i m p a c t , i t w i l l r e d u c e F e d e r a l b o r r o w in g r e q u ir e m e n ts in th e N a tio n ’ s c r e d it m a rk e ts b y r e d u c in g t h e b o r r o w in g r e q u ir e m e n ts o f th e o f f - b u d g e t F e d e r a l F in a n c in g B ank. By e l i m i n a t i n g t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f E d u c a t i o n 's g u a r a n t e e o f S a llie M ae’ s FFB b o r r o w in g , o ff-b u d g e t sa v in g s w ill o c c u r due t o a r e d u c t i o n o f an e s t i m a t e d $ 1 5 b i l l i o n o f F e d e r a l F in a n c in g Bank a c q u is it io n s o ver th e n ex t f i v e y e a r s . FFB AC Q U ISIT IO N OF SALLIE MAE OBLIGATIONS (in m illio n s 1982 1983 1981 C u r r e n t b a s e ............................. P o l i c y r e d u c t i o n .................. P r o p o s e d b u d g e t ..................... o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 1986 1 ,0 9 5 1 ,9 2 3 2 ,5 0 0 3 ,0 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 4 ,0 0 0 ........- 1 , 9 2 3 - 2 , 5 0 0 - 3 , 0 0 0 - 3 , 5 0 0 - 4 , 0 0 0 1 ,0 9 5 -------------------------- 2-5 3. RECOVER CLEARLY ALLOCABLE COSTS FROM USERS (INCREASE IN GOVERNMENTAL RECEIPTS) D e p a r tm e n t o f ELIMINATE D e fe n s e - C iv il INLAND WATERWAY SU B SID IE S T he A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l s e e k t o e l i m i n a t e t h e s u b s i d y on in la n d w a te rw a y s, b e g in n in g i n 1 9 8 3 , b y i n c r e a s i n g u s e r s f e e s on b a r g e fu e l. T he F e d e r a l G o v e rn m e n t now s p e n d s o v e r $325 m illio n per y e a r i n t h e o p e r a t i o n a n d m a in t e n a n c e o f c e r t a i n i n l a n d w a te r w a y s fo r c o m m e r c ia l t r a f f i c w h ic h u n t i l t h i s y e a r h a s p a i d no t a x o r fe e fo r sy ste m u s e . T h i s y e a r a new c h a r g e o f 4 c e n t s p e r g a l l o n on b a r g e f u e l w i l l c o v e r o n ly 11% of th a t co st. U nder th is p r o p o s a l, u ser fe e s w ill in c re a se fr o m 6 c e n t s p e r g a l l o n t o a b o u t 30 c e n t s p e r g a l l o n i n 1 9 8 3 t o c o l l e c t th e $ 3 2 5 m i l l i o n th e G overn m en t w i l l sp e n d on t h e o p e r a t i o n and m a in t e n a n c e of th e w a te rw a y s. I t i s e s tim a te d t h a t th e in c r e a s e in c o s t t o s h ip p e r s w ill be le s s th a n 0 . 4 c e n t s p e r to n m i l e . The p roq ram w i l l be d e s i g n e d t o i n c r e a s e r e c e i p t s t h e r e a f t e r a s e x p e n s e s r i s e and to pay f o r new c o n s t r u c t i o n and o p e r a t i o n a n d m a i n t e n a n c e o f f u t u r e new w a te r w a y s a s t h e y a r e c o m p l e t e d . R e c e ip t s w i l l be p la c e d in th e in la n d w a te r w a y tru st fu n d and w ill be u s e d t o p l a c e t h e w a te r w a y s on a s e l f - s u s t a i n i n g b a s i s . U se rs w i l l n o t be r e q u ir e d to re p a y th e c o n s t r u c t io n c o s t o f th e e x is tin g sy ste m (e s tim a te d at $6 b i l l i o n ) — o n l y t h e c o s t o f a d d i t i o n s a s th e y a re c o m p le te d . To t h e e x t e n t t h a t t r a f f i c may be d i v e r t e d t o o t h e r l e s s c o s t l y fo rm s o f t r a n s p o r t a t i o n b e c a u s e o f ch an ges in s h ip p in g c o s t s r e s u ltin g fr o m th e prop osed ta x in c r e a s e , our to ta l t r a n s p o r t a t io n sy ste m w i l l be e c o n o m ic a lly m ore e f f i c i e n t . L e g is la tio n w ill be T he l e g i s l a t i o n w i l l fo llo w in g t a b le : su b m itte d in c r e a s e to th e 3-1 r a is e th e u ser fe e s. fe e s per g a llo n as show n in th e (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) _ ___ 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 19 81 P o te n tia l r e c e ip ts 1 / : C u rren t r e c e i p t s . . . . P rop osed i n c r e a s e . . . P r o p o s e d b u d g e t ............ E s tim a te d r a t e s (c e n ts per g a llo n ) : E x is tin g le g i s la t i o n P r o p o s e d l e v e l ............... 1/ o u tla y s . T h ese ite m s are 30 58 67 258 325 4 4 6 6 6 30 58 30 — g o v e rn m e n ta l 3-2 r e c e ip ts , 80 275 355 90 300 390 115 315 430 8 31 8 32 10 34 not o ffs e t s to Department of Transportation ELIMINATING SU B SID IE S FOR AIRPORT AND AIRWAY USERS To s h i f t th e c o s t s o f govern m en t s e r v i c e s t o t h o s e who d ir e c tly b e n e fit, t h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l p r o p o s e an i n c r e a s e i n a v i a t i o n u ser ta x e s b e g in n in g in 1982. The ta x e s w ill a ffe c t b o th c o m m e r c ia l and g e n e r a l a v i a t i o n . T he F ederal A v i a t i o n A d m i n i s t r a t i o n (F A A ) p r o v i d e s t h e s e r v i c e s n ecessa ry fo r a sa fe and e ffic ie n t a v ia tio n sy ste m . T h ese s e r v ic e s in c lu d e th e o p e r a tio n of a i r p o r t to w e r s and e n r o u t e c e n t e r s t h a t make up t h e n a t i o n a l a ir tr a ffic c o n tro l sy ste m . T he FAA a l s o p r o v i d e s a v a r i e t y o f l i c e n s i n g , c e r t i f i c a t i o n , an d i n s p e c t i o n s e r v i c e s f o r t h e a v i a t i o n c o m m u n ity . P r o v id in g th e s e s e r v i c e s i s a m u lti-b illio n d o lla r o p e r a tio n . T he u sers — c o m m e r c ia l a n d g e n e r a l a v i a t i o n — r e c e i v e m o s t o f t h e b e n e f i t s and s h o u l d p a y f o r t h e co sts. N ot r e q u ir in g th e u s e r s to b e a r th e f u l l c o s t o f t h e i r a c t i v i t i e s e n co u ra g es h ig h e r u se o f t h e s y s t e m t h a n w o u ld o t h e r w i s e b e t h e c a s e , r e s u l t i n g i n c o n tin u a l p ressu re to expand th e s y s t e m 's c a p a c ity . T he A d m i n i s t r a t i o n 's p rop osal fo r a 20% a v i a t i o n f u e i t a x — w h ic h w i l l m ore t h a n d o u b l e t h e 1 9 8 0 f u e l ta x — w ill s ig n ific a n tly in c r e a se th e recovery of co sts put on t h e s y s te m b y g e n e r a l a v ia tio n . H ow ever, gen eral a v ia tio n w ill c o n tin u e to be c r o s s - s u b s i d i z e d b y c o m m e r c i a l a v i a t i o n , w h ic h w i l l p a y m ore t h a n 100% o f t h e s y s t e m c o s t s . A lth o u g h a v i a t i o n u s e r s h a v e p a id t a x e s i n t h e p a s t , th e C o n g r e s s has r e s tr ic te d th e u se o f th e r e s u lt in g rev en u es to c o v e r ju s t s l i g h t l y o v e r 40% o f t h e s y s t e m c o s t s . T he g e n e r a l t a x p a y e r has c a r r ie d th e r e s t o f th e b u rd en . T he A d m i n i s t r a t i o n ' s p r o p o s a l i s d e s ig n e d t o overcom e t h i s i n e q u i t y . T he co sts of th e a ir w a y t r u s t fu n d . in an u n c o m m itte d b i l l i o n in 1 9 8 0 . a v i a t i o n s y s t e m a r e p a i d fr o m t h e a i r p o r t and T he p a s t c o n g r e s s i o n a l r e s t r i c t i o n s r e s u lte d tru st fu n d b a la n c e of a p p r o x im a te ly $ 3 .7 T he A d m i n i s t r a t i o n ' s t a x p r o p o s a l w i l l e n s u r e t h a t f u n d s r e q u i r e d t o c a r r y o u t FAA p r o g r a m s w i l l e q u a l t h e r e v e n u e r a is e d th ro u g h u ser ta x e s. A 20% f u e l t a x , 9% p a s s e n g e r t i c k e t t a x , 5% f r e i g h t w a y b i l l t a x , and o t h e r m i s c e l l a n e o u s t a x e s a r e in c lu d e d in th e p r o p o s a l. T h ese ta x e s w ill g e n e ra te revenue to ta lin g a p p r o x im a te ly $ 3 .3 b i l l i o n in 1 9 8 2 , i n c r e a s in g t o $ 5 .2 b i l l i o n in 1986. By t h e m i d - 1 9 8 0 ' s , r e v e n u e s w i l l e x c e e d FAA f u n d i n g l e v e l s s o t h a t t a x r e d u c t i o n s may b e p o s s i b l e . 3- 3 (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 1982 1983 1984 19 85 19 81 C u r r e n t r e c e i p t s ................. P o l i c y i n c r e a s e .................... P r o p o s e d r e c e i p t s ............... 1 ,8 0 2 ....... 1 ,8 0 2 1 ,3 7 7 1 ,R 8 2 3 ,2 5 9 3-4 1 ,5 3 4 2 ,1 5 9 3 ,6 9 3 1 ,7 0 3 2 ,4 4 2 4 ,1 4 5 1 ,8 7 1 2 ,7 5 3 4 ,6 2 4 1 98 6 2 ,0 9 1 3 ,1 0 4 5 ,1 9 5 Department of Transportation E S T A B L I S H B O A T AND Y A C H T OW NER F E E S T h e c o s t o f r u n n i n g t h e U . S . C o a s t G u a r d (U S C G ) w i l l e x c e e d $ 1 .3 b illio n in 1982. A lm o st a ll USCG s e r v i c e s a r e p r o v i d e d t o a sm a ll seg m en t o f th e p u b lic w ith o u t ch arg e. S e rv ic e s in c lu d e lic e n s in g , in s p e c tio n , v e s s e l d o c u m e n ta tio n , o p e ra tio n o f a id s to n a v ig a tio n , re s c u e an d to w in g a s s i s t a n c e , ic e b r e a k in g , and w a te r p o llu tio n m o n ito rin g and c le a n u p , am ong o th e rs. The a p p ro x im a te ly n in e m illio n in d iv id u a ls and firm s w ho d i r e c t l y b e n e f i t fro m th e s e s e r v ic e s sh o u ld pay fo r th e m . T h erefo re, le g isla tio n w ill be su b m itte d to th e C o n g ress to a u th o riz e a g r a d u a t e d s y s t e m o f f e e s f o r USCG s e r v i c e s . The fees w o u ld be phased in o v e r t h e n e x t 4 y e a r s a n d w o u ld e v e n t u a l l y c o v e r a b o u t h a l f t h e c o s t s o f USCG e x c e p t t h o s e r e l a t e d to la w en fo rcem en t and m ilita ry re a d in e s s . W h ile th e N e b ra s k a fa rm e r c a n r e a s o n a b ly be e x p e c te d to h e lp pay fo r th e cost of d efen se a n d la w e n fo rc e m e n t, i t is u n re a s o n a b le th a t h e o r sh e sh o u ld su b sid iz e th e c o s t o f s e r v ic e s t h a t a s m a ll num ber o f y a c h tsm e n , fis h e rm e n , an d s h ip o w n e rs now e n jo y f r e e o f c h a rg e . B e g in n in g in 1982, a ch arg e w o u ld be le v ie d fo r a ll d ire c t a d m in is tra tiv e se rv ic e s (e .g ., is su a n c e of a m e rc h a n t m a rin e lic e n se , d o c u m e n ta tio n of a boat or v e s se l, p e rio d ic sa fe ty in s p e c tio n s , s u p e rv isin g th e d o c k in g or lo a d in g o f h azard o u s carg o , e tc .). T hese fees m ig h t ran g e fro m S15 to S20 f o r a ro u tin e lic e n s e re n e w a l, to sev eral th o u s a n d s of d o lla rs fo r in sp e c tio n of a h azard o u s carg o fa c ility o r th e te s tin g and c e r t i f i c a t i o n o f a b o a t 's s t r u c t u r a l i n t e g r i t y . A sy ste m o f a n n u a l fe e s w il l b e i n i t i a t e d to c o v e r th e cost of in d ire c t se rv ic e s u se d b y r e c r e a t io n a l b o a te r s , c o m m e rc ia l b o a t o p e r a to r s , and th e m e rc h a n t m a rin e ( e .g ., m a in ta in in g buoys and n a v ig a tio n lig h ts , h arb o r vessel tra ffic sy ste m s, rescu e h e lic o p te rs, and b o a ts and crew s on sta n d b y ). T hese w ill in itia lly ra n g e fro m $10 to $20 a n n u a lly fo r a r e c r e a t io n a l b o a t u se d on in la n d w a te rw a y s to s e v e r a l h u n d re d o r a th o u s a n d d o l la r s fo r c o m m e rc ia l v e s s e ls t h a t o p e r a te m a in ly in c o a s ta l w a te r s . As i s th e c a s e w ith m any a lre a d y c o lle c te d (e .g ., on F ed eral la n d s), boat in d u s try w ill be ch arg ed cost o f b e n e fits th e y re on th e g e n e ra l ta x p a y e r b illio n ). F ed eral a c tiv itie s fo r w h ic h fees are u se o f p a rk cam p g ro u n d s, c a t t l e g ra z in g and yacht o w n ers and th e m a ritim e r e l a t i v e l y sm a ll fe e s in r e la tio n to th e c e iv e . In th e a g g re g a te , th e ta x b u rd en w ill be red u ced su b sta n tia lly ($ 1 -5 The D e p a rtm e n t o f T ra n s p o rta tio n is d e v e lo p in g th e le g is la tiv e p ro p o sa ls and fe e sc h e d u le s n e c e ssa ry to im p le m e n t th is p o lic y an d l e g i s l a t i o n w i l l b e s u b m itte d to th e C o n g re s s in e a r l y M arch . 3-5 1981 C u r r e n t r e c e i p t s ...................... I n c r e a s e d r e c e i p t s ............... P ro p o sed b u d g et r e c e ip ts .......... .......... ------- 3- 6 (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 1982 1983 1984 1985 100 100 200 200 300 300 400 400 4. A P PL Y SOUND CRITERIA TO ECONOMIC SUBSIDY PROGRAMS D e p a rtm e n t o f A g r ic u ltu r e R E D U C T IO N IN F E D E R A L S U B S I D I E S FO R T H E D A IR Y IN D U S T R Y T he F e d e r a l G o v ern m en t b u y s d a ir y p ro d u c ts e q u iv a le n t to a b o u t 8 b illio n pounds o f m ilk a y e a r , w h ic h c o s ts ta x p a y e r s a b o u t $ 1 .3 b ill io n and d riv e s up consum er p r ic e s . The P re sid e n t p ro p o ses r e f o r m s i n t h i s p ro g ra m t o a c h ie v e tw o b a s i c o b j e c t i v e s : — a v o id e x c e ss p ro d u c tio n an d G o v e rn m e n t-h e ld su rp lu s e s, re su ltin g in re d u c e d c o s ts to G o v ern m en t an d co n su m ers? and — p ro v id e s u f f ic ie n t p ric e su p p o rt fo r th e d a iry to e n su re a d e q u a te s u p p lie s o f d a iry p ro d u c ts. E x p e c te d re su lts of th is refo rm are: — th e e lim in a tio n p ric e s; — red u ced p ro d u c tio n — lo w e r p r ic e s f o r c o n su m e rs an d d a iry p ro d u c ts; — or in d u stry re d u c tio n of in c re a se s in d a iry o f e x c e ss m ilk ; red u ced b u tte r, F e d e ra l G o v ern m en t and ch e ese ; and redu ced F ed eral b ud get o u tla y s. in c re a se d p urch ases of c o n su m p tio n excess of m ilk , U s u a lly , a d e c re a s e in p ro d u c tio n r e s u lt s in h ig h e r p r ic e s . The d a iry p ric e su p p o rt sy ste m , h o w e v e r, h a s a l te r e d th e fo rc e s o f su p p ly and dem and fo r s e v e ra l y e a rs . U nder th e p ro g ram as i t is c u r r e n t l y s t r u c t u r e d , m o re m ilk i s p ro d u c e d w hen G o v e rn m e n t d a ir y p ric e su p p o rts are in c re a se d . B ecause th e re have been la rg e s u rp lu s e s o f m ilk s in c e 1 97 8, th e in c r e a s e d p ro d u c tio n m ust be p u r c h a s e d b y th e F e d e r a l G o v e rn m e n t. As a r e s u lt, F e d e ra l sto c k s are in c re a se d and p ric e s p a id b y co n su m ers a re in c re a s e d . By d e c re a sin g th e F ed eral su b sid y fo r d a iry p ro d u c ts, excess p ro d u c tio n w ill b e slo w ly e lim in a te d . T h is s h o u ld r e s u l t in m o re s ta b le p ric e s th a t d ep en d on su p p ly and dem and fo r b o th fa rm e rs an d co n su m ers, r a th e r th a n th e a r t i f i c a l l y h ig h p r ic e s c r e a te d by a F e d e ra l s u b sid y p ro g ram . To a c h ie v e th e se o b je c tiv e s, th e A d m in istra tio n w ill s u b m it le g isla tio n to e lim in a te th e m a n d a to ry in c r e a s e in d a ir y p r ic e s u p p o r t c u r r e n t l y r e q u i r e d b y la w o n A p ril 1, 1981. L o n g -te rm 4-1 refo rm s w ill b e p a r t o f th e A d m i n i s t r a t io n 's p ro g ram p ack ag e fo r th is le g is la tiv e s e s s io n . c o m p re h e n siv e farm W ith o u t th e s e c h a n g e s, c o s ts fo r th e d a ir y p r ic e s u p p o rt p ro g ra m w ill in c re a se ste a d ily , re a c h in g $ 3 .2 b illio n in 1986. The p ro p o s e d c h a n g e s w i l l k e e p th e p ro g ra m c o s ts a t m uch lo w e r le v e ls o f $50 0-$6 0 0 m illio n p e r y e a r. O u tla y s (in m illio n s o f d o lla r s ) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 C u r r e n t b a s e ...................................... P o l i c y r e d u c t i o n ....................... P r o p o s e d b u d g e t .......................... 1 ,3 2 7 1 ,7 1 7 2 ,1 2 3 2 ,4 0 8 2 ,8 3 0 3 ,2 2 8 -1 3 8 -1 ,0 9 5 -1 ,6 1 4 -1 ,8 8 7 -2 ,2 6 3 -2 ,7 2 7 1 ,1 8 9 622 509 521 567 501 4-2 Department of Agriculture T E R M IN A T E T H E F A R M ER S HOME A D M IN IS T R A T IO N A L C O H O L F U E L S AND B IO M A S S LOAN PROGRAM As p a r t o f a g e n e ra l e f f o r t to re d u ce d ep en dence on th e F ed eral G o v ern m en t as a s u p p lie r o f c r e d it, th e P re s id e n t w ill p ro p o se te rm in a tio n o f th e F arm ers H om e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n (F m H A ) a lc o h o l fu e ls and b io m a ss lo a n p ro g ram and re s c is s io n o f u n o b lig a te d fu n d s th a t t o t a l a b o u t $500 m illio n . The A d m in istra tio n w ill su p p o rt c o n tin u a tio n o f ta x in c e n tiv e s f o r a lc o h o l f u e ls , w h ic h w i l l r e s u l t in re d u c e d T re a s u ry r e c e i p t s o f $ 4 .3 b i l l i o n in th e 1 98 1-86 p e rio d . Even in th e a b s e n c e o f F e d e r a l c r e d i t a s s i s t a n c e f o r d e v e lo p m e n t o f a lc o h o l an d b io m a ss f u e l s , th e -A d m in is tra tio n b e lie v e s th a t w o rth w h ile p ro je c ts w o u ld s till a ttra c t p riv a te in v e sto rs because: — th e te c h n o lo g y fo r a lc o h o l is w e ll p ro v en ; fu e ls an d b io m a ss p ro d u c tio n — e x is tin g F e d e ra l and S ta te ta x p o lic ie s su b sid iz e p ro d u c tio n o f a lc o h o l f u e ls an d b io m a ss b y a t l e a s t p e r b a r r e l; and — re m o v a l o f p r ic e c o n tr o ls fro m d o m e stic c ru d e o i l m akes a lc o h o l an d b io m a ss f u e ls c o m p e titiv e w ith o th e r e n e rg y fo rm s. th e $18 E x c e s s iv e p r o d u c tio n o f a lc o h o l f u e ls fro m g r a in c ro p s th a t c o u ld r e s u l t fro m th e lo a n s u b s id y p ro g ra m m ay h a v e a d v e r s e e f f e c t s on fo o d p ric e s and a g ric u ltu ra l e x p o rt rev en u es. In a d d itio n , th e F e d e r a l in v o lv e m e n t m ig h t e n a b le m a rg in a l p ro je c ts to a ttra c t p riv a te fin a n c in g t h a t w o u ld o th e rw ise go t o m o re p r o d u c t iv e in v e s tm e n ts . The te rm in a tio n b u d g e t sa v in g s: of th is p ro g ram 4-3 w ill re su lt in th e fo llo w in g 19 81 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity 1 /. P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity 1 /. O u t l a y s ............................................. P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity 1 /. O u t l a y s ............................................. 1986 525 56 ------104 ------3 ------4 ------3 3 -5 0 5 -4 6 — -9 4 -------3 -------4 -------3 -3 20 10 —— 10 ------------- -------— ------—— 1 / N ew l o a n c o m m i t m e n t s . (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 19 82 19 83 1984 1985 4-4 Department of Agriculture R E D U C T IO N IN F E D E R A L F IN A N C IA L A S S IS T A N C E TO C O O P E R A T IV E S AND P R IV A T E C O M PA N IE S A S S IS T E D BY TH E RURAL E L E C T R IF IC A T IO N A D M IN IS T R A T IO N (R E A ) As p a rt o f a g en eral effo rt to le n d in g i n U .S . c r e d i t m a r k e ts , P re s id e n t p ro p o se s th e fo llo w in g red u ce th e sh are of F ed eral and to re d u ce F e d e ra l c o s ts , th e c h a n g e s i n t h e REA p r o g r a m : B e g in n in g in 1 98 2, d is c o n tin u e F ed eral F in a n c in g B ank d ire c t le n d in g to e le c tr ic g e n e ra tio n and tra n sm iss io n c o o p e ra tiv e s and to te le p h o n e c o m p a n ie s and c o o p e ra tiv e s. P ro v id e F e d e r a l g u a r a n te e s o f lo a n s fro m p riv a te so u rces in ste a d . T h is a c tio n w ill red u ce T r e a s u r y b o rro w in g b y $ 5 ,1 4 5 m i l l i o n in 1 9 8 2 . R e d u c e REA d i r e c t l e n d i n g $ 1 8 7 m i l l i o n i n 1 9 8 1 a n d $350 m illio n in 1982 by e lim in a tin g lo a n s to te le p h o n e c o m p a n ie s and c o o p e ra tiv e s and re d u c in g lo a n s to e le c tr ic c o o p e ra tiv e s. T hese — D i s c o n t i n u e 2% d i r e c t a m o u n t o f 5% l o a n s . — D is c o n tin u e 5% d i r e c t lo a n s fo r g e n e ra tio n and tra n sm iss io n f a c i l i t i e s ; s u b s titu te an e q u iv a le n t am ount o f g u a ra n te e d p r iv a te lo a n s . ch a n g es w ill b e a c h ie v e d lo a n s ; s u b stitu te an e q u iv a le n t by: d ir e c tin g th e S e c re ta ry o f th e T re a su ry to d isc o n tin u e F ed eral F in a n c in g B ank d ire c t le n d in g to REA b o rro w ers; 1/ s e e k in g le g is la tio n to p e rm it c h a rg in g r a t e s f o r REA d i r e c t l o a n s ; in s tr u c tin g th e d ire c t lo a n s and e n c o u ra g in g p riv a te le n d e rs — 1/ — h ig h e r in te re st S e c re ta ry o f A g ric u ltu re to ta rg e t REA to th o s e m o st in n e e d (m o re re m o te a r e a s ) o th e r b o rro w ers to seek c re d it fro m ; and p r o p o s i n g b u d g e t r e s c i s s i o n s a n d a m e n d m e n t s t o b r i n g REA d ir e c t le n d in g in to lin e w ith th e s e p ro p o se d c h a n g e s. The A d m in istra tio n is p ro p o sin g a b ro ad refo rm of F ed eral F in a n c in g B ank o p e r a tio n s th a t w ill a f f e c t o th e r a g e n c ie s a s w e ll, in c lu d in g th e F arm ers H om e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n a n d t h e T en n essee V a lle y A u th o rity . 4-5 T hese p ro p o sed a c tio n s a re b ased on th e fa c t th a t th e la rg e ly a c c o m p lish e d its p urpo se — to p ro v id e in v e stm e n t c a p ita l n e c e s s a ry to p ro v id e e le c tric and se rv ic e in ru ral areas. M o r e t h a n 99% o f a l l f a r m e le c tr ic se rv ic e . The b u lk of b o rro w in g is now g e n e r a tio n an d s y s te m im p ro v e m e n ts , c o s ts t h a t s h o u ld b sy ste m u s e r s . In th e absence o re lia n c e o f ru ra l u spo nsored c re d it. u n d e rw ritin g n e a rly g e n e ra tio n by 1995, REA h a s th e b a sic te le p h o n e s now h a v e fo r pow er e b orne by f r e s t r a i n t , REA w o u ld c o n t i n u e t o e x p a n d t h e tility c o m p a n ie s on fe d e ra lly -p ro v id e d and It h a s b e e n e s t i m a t e d t h a t t h e REA w o u ld b e 15% o f t o t a l U . S . in v e stm e n t in e le c tric a l if le f t unchecked. T he m a jo r re a s o n t h a t th e s e sy ste m s h a v e n o t c o n v e rte d to u s in g th e p r iv a te s e c to r as a m a jo r c a p ita l so u rce is th e h ig h ly fa v o ra b le te rm s tru c tu re — fo r b o th th e d ir e c t and g u a ra n te e d le n d in g — o f f e r e d b y REA. As a co n seq u en ce, th e a v a ila b ility o f th e s e s u b sid ie s re d u ce s th e n e c e s s ity fo r re c ip ie n ts to im p ro v e th e ir fin a n c ia l p o sitio n s in o rd e r to a t tr a c t p riv a te c a p ita l. C u s to m e rs o f R E A -fin a n c e d u t i l i t i e s r e c e iv e p o w er a n d te le p h o n e se rv ic e s a t r a t e s t h a t a v e r a g e 8 -1 2% b e lo w c u s t o m e r s o f n o n -R E A fin a n c e d u t i l i t i e s . T a k in g th e s e a c ti o n s w i l l re su lt in a d ra m a tic re d u c tio n in d ire c t F ed eral le n d in g — $ 5 .5 b i l l i o n in 1 98 2, an d o v e r $32 b i l l i o n b e tw e e n 1982 an d 1 9 8 6 . In a d d itio n , F ed eral in te re st su b sid y c o sts w o u ld b e re d u c e d b y a b o u t $27 m i l l i o n in 1982 an d by a b o u t $400 m illio n o v e r 1 98 2-86 . A t th e sam e tim e , ru ral e le c tric and te le p h o n e co n su m ers s e rv e d b y th e s e sy ste m s s h o u ld c o n tin u e to r e c e iv e a d e q u a te s e r v ic e a t r a te s c o m p a ra b le to th o s e c h a rg e d to c u s to m e rs o f n o n -R E A -fin a n c e d u t i l i t i e s . 4-6 The ch an g es a re e x p e c te d fu n d in g 1 /: to re su lt 1981 C u rren t b ase: L oan g u a ra n te e c o m m i t m e n t s ........................... B udget a u th o rity a n d o u t l a y s ........................... P o lic y re d u c tio n : Loan g u a ra n te e c o m m i t m e n t s ........................... B udget a u th o rity a n d o u t l a y s ........................... P ro p o se d b u d g e t: L oan g u a ra n te e c o m m i t m e n t s ........................... B udget a u th o rity a n d o u t l a y s ........................... 1/ T he lo lo a n s w hen th T hese o u tla y s A lth o u g h th e se th e y re p re s e n t in th e fo llo w in g (in m illio n s 1982 1983 changes o f d o lla rs) 1984 1985 in 1986 6 ,2 4 5 6 ,2 4 5 6 ,7 4 5 7 ,2 8 0 7 ,8 7 0 8 ,5 0 0 4 ,7 7 4 5 ,7 5 2 7 ,3 8 7 7 ,5 7 1 7 ,5 2 0 7 ,8 0 0 -1 8 7 -5 ,4 9 5 -5 ,9 3 5 -6 ,4 0 5 -6 ,9 2 5 -7 ,4 8 0 -3 8 -1 ,1 4 2 -2 ,3 2 8 -3 ,6 0 3 -4 ,9 7 5 -6 ,4 5 0 6 ,0 5 8 750 810 875 945 1 ,0 2 0 4 ,7 3 6 4 ,6 1 0 5 ,0 5 9 3 ,9 6 8 2 ,5 4 5 1 ,3 5 0 a n g u a r a n t e e s o f t h e REA a r e c o n v e r t e d to d ire c t ey are purch ased b y th e F e d e ra l F in a n c in g B ank. are e x c lu d e d fro m th e budget to ta ls by la w . re d u c tio n s a re n o t in c lu d e d in th e b u d g e t to ta ls , s ig n if ic a n t s a v in g s in F e d e ra l b o rro w in g c o s ts . 4- 7 Department of Agriculture R E D U C T I O N I N F A R M E R S HOM E A D M I N I S T R A T I O N D IR E C T L E N D IN G A C T I V I T I E S As p a r t o f a g e n e ra l effo rt to lim it th e g ro w th of F ed eral o u tla y s and to re d u c e d ep en d e n c e on th e F e d e ra l G o v ern m en t a s a s u p p lie r o f c r e d it, th e A d m in istra tio n p la n s to red u ce d ire c t le n d in g by th e F arm ers H o m e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n ( F m H A ) b y a b o u t 5% d u r i n g t h e l a s t h a l f o f 1 9 8 1 a n d a l m o s t 25% i n 1 9 8 2 . The F arm ers H om e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l n a r r o w i t s f o c u s t o s e r v e b o r r o w e r s w ho la c k access to o th e r c re d it so u rces, ra th e r th a n s e rv e a s a s o u rc e o f b e lo w -m a rk e t i n t e r e s t r a te lo a n s and lo a n g u a ra n te e s to a w id e v a r i e t y o f p r i v a t e , c r e d it- w o r th y b o r ro w e rs , a s i t h a s in th e re c e n t p a s t. The 1981 b u d g et p ro v id e s d ire c t le n d in g b y t h e F a r m e r s H om e A d m in is tra tio n o f a lm o s t $13 b i l l i o n . The C a rte r 1982 budget re q u e s ts over $10 b illio n . A 5% r e d u c t i o n i n 1 9 8 1 w o u l d r e d u c e th e t o t a l by a p p ro x im a te ly $565 m illio n . The 1982 re d u c tio n of $ 2 .4 b i l l i o n r e s u l t s in a $ 7 .9 b i l l i o n lo a n l e v e l . The lo a n change w ill in c lu d e o b lig a tio n s: th e fo llo w in g m a jo r re d u c tio n s in d ir e c t ( d o l l a r am o u n ts in m i l lio n s ) N um ber o f P ro p o sed N um ber o f 1982 C a rte r B udget Loans Loan L evel Loans F arm o w n e r s h ip ... F arm o p e r a t i n g . .. E m erg en cy d i s a s t e r ........................... R ural re n ta l h o u sin g . . . . . . . . . M o d e ra te in c o m e h o m e o w n e rsh ip l o a n s ...................................... W a te r a n d w a s t e .. C o m m u n ity f a c i l i t i e s .................... T o t a l ....................... $ 1 ,5 0 0 1 ,5 0 0 1 6 ,4 0 0 4 4 ,4 2 0 2 ,0 0 0 $ 700 1 ,3 2 5 7 ,6 5 0 3 9 ,2 4 0 3 8 ,6 1 0 1 ,6 0 0 3 0 ,9 0 8 983 1 ,3 9 0 870 1 ,2 3 0 802 575 1 9 ,7 0 0 1 ,2 3 8 500 300 1 2 ,2 8 0 645 260 613 130 305 7 ,6 2 0 1 2 2 ,3 7 1 5 ,4 2 5 9 2 ,2 4 0 The m a jo r re d u c tio n s id e n ti f ie d sh o u ld n o t s ig n ific a n th e p o o re s t h o u se h o ld s and c o m m u n itie s. P ro g ram s v e ry p o o r w o u ld r e c e iv e r e l a t i v e l y s m a lle r r e d u c t io n s t h a t p r o v id e h o m e o w n e rs h ip lo a n s t o m o d e ra te in c o m e f a is a n tic ip a te d th a t a ll b u t th e s m a lle st and p o o re st 4- 8 tly affect s e rv in g th e th a n th o se m ilie s. It c o m m u n itie s w ill be a b le to fin d a lte r n a tiv e so u rc e s of fu n d in g fo r ru ral d e v e lo p m e n t p r o je c ts C o n se q u e n tly , e l i g i b i l i t y fo r th e w a te r a n d w a s te lo a n p ro g ra m w i l l b e li m ite d to th o s e c o m m u n itie s th a t are to o s m a ll to p a r t i c i p a t e in th e bond m a rk e t o r a re to o p o o r to a f f o r d a w a te r sy ste m w ith o u t g r a n t a s s is ta n c e * I t is a n tic ip a te d th a t th e F arm C re d it S y ste m , S ta te farm o w n e rsh ip p ro g ram s, p riv a te le n d e rs and th e expanded crop in s u ra n c e p ro g ram w ill p ro v id e s u f f ic ie n t re s o u rc e s to m itig a te t h e e f f e c t o f t h e r e d u c t i o n s i n FmHA l e n d i n g . The p ro p o sed 1981 r e c is s io n s o f lo a n a on d ire c t le n d in g w o u ld b e a c h ie v e d b y 1982 C a rte r b u d g e t. T h is p ro p o sal fu n d in g : is re d u c tio n s w o u ld be ac u th o rity s p e c if ie d in th e in th e a p p ro p ria tio n a c t; a m e n d in g th e l i m i t a t i o n s e x p e c te d to re su lt 1 ,0 5 6 -1 ,2 0 5 th e (in m illio n s 1983 1982 1981 C u rren t base: B udget a u th o rity .... in 1 ,4 7 4 2 ,5 5 9 2 ,0 9 6 2 ,9 5 5 h ie v e d by p ro p o sin g cu rren t lim ita tio n th e 1982 re d u c tio n s c o n ta in e d in th e fo llo w in g o f d o lla rs) 1984 1985 2 ,5 6 8 3 ,2 3 6 D ir e c t lo a n o b l i g a t i o n s ........................... 1 2 , 9 9 0 1 0 , 2 3 7 1 0 , 2 3 7 1 0 , 2 3 7 P o lic y re d u c tio n : -------------3 0 -1 0 5 B udget a u th o rity .... -3 0 -1 0 5 -1 7 9 -2 5 5 D ire c t lo a n -5 6 5 -2 ,3 5 4 -2 ,3 5 4 -2 ,3 5 4 o b l i g a t i o n s ........................... P ro p o sed b u d g e t: 1 ,4 7 4 2 ,0 6 6 2 ,4 6 3 1 ,0 5 6 B udget a u th o rity .... 2 ,7 7 6 2 ,9 8 1 2 ,4 5 4 1 ,1 7 5 D ir e c t lo a n 7 ,8 8 3 7 ,8 8 3 7 ,8 8 3 o b l i g a t i o n s ........................... 1 2 , 4 2 5 4-9 changes in 1986 2 ,9 2 2 3 ,4 9 6 3 ,1 6 9 3 ,6 5 8 1 0 ,2 3 7 1 0 ,2 3 7 -1 7 9 -3 3 1 -2 5 5 -4 0 7 -2 ,3 5 4 -2 ,3 5 4 2 ,7 4 3 3 ,1 6 5 2 ,9 1 4 3 ,2 5 1 7 ,8 8 3 7 ,8 8 3 D e p a r tm e n t o f C om m erce A p p a la c h ia n R e g io n a l C o m m issio n REDUCTIONS TO ECONOMIC AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS T h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n p r o p o s e s t o e l i m i n a t e f u n d in g f o r t h e E c o n o m ic D e v e l o p m e n t A d m i n i s t r a t i o n (E D A ) and th e R e g io n a l D e v e lo p m e n t C o m m issio n s of th e D e p a rtm e n t o f C o m m erce, a n d t h e n o n -h ig h w a y p ro g ra m s o f t h e A p p a la c h ia n R e g io n a l C o m m issio n (A R C ). T h ere is no c o n v in c in g e v id e n c e th a t th e se p ro g ram s have been e ffe c tiv e in c re a tin g new jo b s o r c a p ita l in v e stm e n t, o r a re a c tu a lly needed to p ro m o te lo c a l and re g io n a l e c o n o m ic d e v e lo p m e n t. S tu d ie s in d ic a te th a t th e to ta l c o s t p e r jo b d i r e c t l y c r e a t e d b y a n EDA d e v e l o p m e n t g r a n t i s o n t h e o rd er of $ 6 0 ,0 0 0 t o $ 7 0 ,0 0 0 f o r a p e r s o n - y e a r o f e m p lo y m e n t. S tu d ie s a lso show th a t EDA p r o g r a m s have had little in flu e n c e on lo c a l e c o n o m ic d e v e lo p m e n t s in c e s u c h d e v e lo p m e n t g e n e r a l l y w o u ld have o ccu rred w ith o u t EDA i n v e s t m e n t . The R e g io n a l C o m m issio n s d u p lic a te th e a c tiv itie s o f S ta te s and lo c a litie s th a t have th e c a p a b ility to carry out re g io n a l p ro je c ts . The p o lic y change w i l l s a v e m o re th a n $5 b i l l i o n o v e r th e n e x t 4 -5 y e a r s . E c o n o m ic e x p a n s io n a n d jo b c r e a t i o n i n d i s t r e s s e d a r e a s w ill be s tim u la te d th ro u g h g e n e ra l ta x , f i s c a l , and r e g u la to r y re d u c tio n m easu res a n d m o re fle x ib le c o m m u n ity d e v e lo p m e n t su p p o rt a ssista n c e . D e v elo p m en t a s s i s t a n c e to ru ral areas w ill be p r o v i d e d b y t h e F a r m e r s H om e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i t h i n t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f A g ric u ltu re . S p e c ific changes w ill f o r EDA, t h e R e g io n a l second h a lf o f 1981 r e q u i r e a m e n d m e n ts t o R e g io n a l C o m m issio n in 1982. in v o lv e re s c in d in g re m a in in g a p p r o p r ia tio n s C o m m i s s i o n s , a n d ARC ( n o n - h i g h w a y ) f o r th e and e lim in a tin g fu n d in g in 1982. T h is w ill t h e 1 9 8 2 b u d g e t f o r EDA a n d ARC p r o g r a m s . fu n d in g is a lre a d y p ro p o se d fo r te rm in a tio n T he tr a d e a d ju s tm e n t a s s i s t a n c e p ro g ra m now lo c a te d in EDA w i l l b e t r a n f e r r e d t o t h e D e p a r t m e n t o f C o m m e r c e 's I n t e r n a t i o n a l T r a d e A d m in istra tio n . The p ro g ram w il l c o n tin u e to b e fu n d e d a t $51 m illio n in b u d g e t a u th o r ity in 1981 and $53 m illio n in 1 98 2. The A p p a la c h ia n h ig h w a y p ro g ra m w i l l b e t r a n s f e r r e d to th e F ed eral H ig h w a y A d m i n i s t r a t i o n a n d fu n d e d fro m t h e h ig h w a y t r u s t f u n d . 4-10 1981 C u r r e n t ba se : B udget a u th o r ity .. .. (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 19 82 1983 1984 1985 1986 1 ,0 0 4 P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity .. 1 ,0 3 4 1 ,0 2 3 1 ,1 3 1 1 ,0 8 0 1 ,2 2 4 1 ,1 4 5 1 ,3 1 8 1 ,2 3 9 1 ,4 0 9 1 ,3 1 2 -5 0 2 P ro p o sed b u d g e t* : B udget a u th o rity .. -7 6 9 -4 4 0 -8 5 4 -6 4 4 -9 3 4 -7 5 5 -1 ,0 1 0 -8 8 2 -1 ,0 8 5 -9 9 7 502 265 583 277 436 290 390 308 357 324 315 * The p ro p o sed b u d g e t w o u ld f u n d ARC h i g h w a y p r o g r a m s a t $215 m illio n in 1982 and p ro v id e fo r th e o rd e rly phaseout of p r i o r EDA f u n d i n g c o m m i t m e n t s . 4-11 Department of Energy R E S T R U C T U R IN G O P S Y N T H E T IC F U E L S PROGRAM S T he P r e s id e n t i s c o m m itte d to e n su rin g th e d e v e lo p m e n t of a c o m m e rc ia l sy n th e tic fu e ls in d u stry th a t can h e lp re p la c e im p o rte d o i l w ith c o m p e titiv e ly - p r ic e d d o m e stic f u e ls m ade fro m our abundant reso u rces of c o a l, o il s h a le , ta r san d s, and re n e w a b le m a te r ia ls . T hrou gh a c a re fu lly -d e sig n e d , s tre a m lin e d s y n th e tic fu e ls p ro g ram , th e P re s id e n t b e lie v e s we can a c h ie v e r a p id d e v e lo p m e n t o f o u r s y n th e tic f u e ls p o t e n t i a l w ith o u t a h u g e D e p a rtm e n t o f E n e rg y b u r e a u c ra c y an d w ith o u t n e e d le s s u s e o f ta x d o lla r s to s u b s id iz e p r iv a te b u sin e ss v e n tu re s . By s h iftin g th e n e w ly -c re a te d S y ap p ro ach p e rm its th e D e p a rtm e n t o f $ 2 .7 b i l l i o n o v e r am ount i f p ro je c t fo cu s o f G o v ern m en t s y n f u e ls p ro g ra m s t o th e n th e tic F u e ls C o rp o ra tio n , th e P r e s id e n t's e lim in a tio n o f d u p lic a tiv e s y n fu e ls p ro g ram s a t E n e r g y t h a t w i l l c o s t t h e t a x p a y e r a m in im u m o f th e n e x t fiv e y e a rs — and p o s s ib ly tw ic e th a t o v e rru n s fo llo w h i s t o r i c a l p a tte r n s . The P re sid e n t in te n d s to a p p o in t new b o ard m em bers to th e S y n th e tic F u e ls C o rp o ra tio n as soo n a s p o s s ib le and a s s ig n to th e C o rp o ra tio n th e r e s p o n s ib ility to a ssist m a jo r sy n fu el p la n t c o n stru c tio n p ro je c ts . S in c e th e s e ty p e s o f s u p p o rt w ere ch o se n s p e c if ic a lly to en c o u ra g e th e p ro d u c tio n o f sy n th e tic fu e ls by th e p r iv a t e s e c to r in a tim e o f r i s i n g e n e rg y p r ic e s , th e r e i s a good chance th a t a sig n ific a n t p o rtio n of th e $17 b illio n a v a ila b le to th e C o rp o ra tio n w ill n e v e r h av e to be p a id o u t to p riv a te c o m p a n ie s. E n c o u ra g in g s y n th e tic fu e ls p ro d u c tio n th ro u g h th e S y n th e tic F u e ls C o rp o ra tio n in s te a d o f th ro u g h th e D e p a rtm e n t of E n erg y th e re fo re red u ces th e lik e lih o o d th a t s y n th e tic fu e ls p ro m o tio n w il l becom e a m a jo r b u d g e t b u rd e n in th e fu tu re . S h iftin g th e D e p a rtm e n t of E n e r g y 's sy n th e tic fu el c o m m e rc ia liz a tio n and d e m o n stra tio n a c ti v i tie s to th e S y n th e tic F u e ls C o rp o ra tio n w ill p ro v id e a m o re e ffic ie n t and fo cu sed p ro g ram fo r d e m o n stra tin g s y n th e tic fu e l p ro d u c tio n . The s h if t w ill a lso in su la te p ro je c t se le c tio n fro m th e "p o rk b a rre l" p o litic a l p ro cess. B ecause p riv a te c o m p a n ie s w ill m anage c o n s t r u c ti o n w ith m o re o f t h e i r ow n m oney a t r i s k u n d e r th e new ap p ro ach , th e lik e lih o o d o f s u c c e s s f u l p r o je c t o u tc o m e s w i l l b e in c re a se d , w h ile p o te n tia l c o sts fo r th e G o v e rn m e n t. w ill d ecrease. T h is change i s c o n s i s t e n t w ith th e A d m i n i s t r a t io n 's p o lic y to re ly on p riv a te m arket fo rces to set th e pace of c o m m e rc ia l in tro d u c tio n of sy n th e tic fu e ls te c h n o lo g ie s . The D e p a rtm e n t o f E n e rg y w i l l en d its p ro g ram of m a jo r te c h n ic a l d e m o n stra tio n s, tra n sfe r th e in te rim a lte r n a tiv e fu e ls fu n d in g p ro g ram to th e S y n th e tic F u e ls C o rp o ra tio n and fo cu s on s u p p o rtin g lo n g -ra n g e r e la te d r e s e a r c h an d d e v e lo p m e n t. As a re su lt of G o v ern m en t fu n d in g th is change, c u rr e n t a rra n g e m e n ts fo r d ir e c t o f co al liq u e fa c tio n and g a s ific a tio n p ro je c ts 4-12 w ill be te rm in a te d . 1 / The P re sid e n t a n tic ip a te s th a t th e C o rp o ra tio n w ill c o n sid e r s u p p o rtin g th e s e and o th e r f a c i l i t i e s e ith e r as fu ll-s iz e d s y n th e tic fu e l p ro je c ts or as le ss th a n c o m m e rc ia l jo in t- v e n t u r e s . T he s h i f t to a s y n fu e ls p ro g ram b a se d o n t h e C o r p o r a tio n m ay a c t u a l l y e n h a n c e d o m e s tic ' e n e rg y s u p p l i e s , sin c e th e c u m u la tiv e p r o d u c tio n fro m th e a f f e c te d D e p a rtm e n t o f E n e rg y p r o j e c t s w o u ld b e l e s s th a n 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 b a rre ls of o il per day, w h ile th e th e C o rp o ra tio n w ill c o n tin u e to p ro v id e su p p o rt f o r s y n th e ti c f u e l p r o je c ts th a t c o u ld y ie ld equal or g re a te r a m o u n ts o f s y n th e ti c f u e ls p r o d u c tio n . The p ro p o sal fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to 1981 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity * O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity . O u t l a y s ................................... P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity . O u t l a y s ................................... * w ere m ade m illio n o re m a in d e r on June 3 th o se p ro 1980. The coo fo r co n und re su lt in th e (in m illio n s 1982 1983 fo llo w in g changes o f d o lla rs) 1984 1985 in 1986 415 275 858 864 1 ,0 6 4 859 362 676 140 224 25 256 -5 4 5 -2 7 5 -1 ,0 2 8 -8 6 4 -1 ,0 6 4 -8 5 9 -3 6 2 -6 7 6 -1 4 0 -2 2 4 -2 5 -2 5 6 -1 3 0 -1 7 0 -------- -------- -------- ------- A p p ro p ria tio n s fo r th e in te rim a lte r n a tiv e fu e ls p ro g ram in 1980 to be a v a ila b le in fu tu re y e a rs. In 1981, $300 f th e s e fu n d s w ill b e p ro p o se d fo r r e s c is s io n , w h ile th e w ill b e tr a n s f e r r e d to th e S y n th e tic F u e ls C o rp o ra tio n 0, 1981. T he C o rp o ra tio n w ill a lso c o n sid e r a d o p tin g j e c t s f o r w h ic h fu n d s m ay b e o b l i g a t e d p r i o r t o J u n e 3 0 , p ro p o sed tr a n s f e p e ra tio n w ill b e c o n tin u ity of s u lta tio n s w ith c e r o u r a g re e m e n ts r o f p r o je c ts th a t in v o lv e in te r n a tio n a l c a rrie d o u t in a m anner th a t p ro v id e s D e p a rtm e n t of E n erg y fu n d in g p e n d in g o o p e ra tin g p a rtn e rs th a t are re q u ire d w ith th e m . 4-13 Department of Energy REDUCTIONS IN F O S S I L E N E R G Y R E S E A R C H A N D D E V E L O P M E N T In c o n ju n c tio n w ith th e re stru c tu rin g of th e sy n th e tic fu e ls p ro g ram , th e A d m in istra tio n p la n s to rev am p fo ss il en erg y research and d e v e lo p m e n t and te rm in a te c o m m e rc ia liz a tio n a c tiv itie s in th e D e p a rtm e n t o f E n e rg y . T h i s w i l l a l l o w a 45% re d u c tio n in o u tla y s w h ile c o n tin u in g e ffe c tiv e su p p o rt fo r lo n g e r-te rm re s e a rc h w ith h ig h e r p o te n tia l re tu rn s to th e N a tio n . The D e p a rtm e n t of E n erg y c u rre n tly c o n d u c ts a w id e r a n g e o f a c t i v i t i e s aim e d a t im p ro v in g te c h n o lo g ie s fo r p ro d u c in g and u sin g c o a l, o il, an d g as and fo r s u b s id iz in g a d o p tio n o f th o s e te c h n o lo g ie s by p riv a te in d u s try . C o stly n e a r-te rm a c t i v i t i e s , such a s c o n s tru c tio n and o p e ra tio n of p ilo t p la n ts u sin g c o m p a n y -sp e c ific p ro cesses, su b sid iz e in d iv id u a l c o m p a n ie s w h ile p ro d u c in g ra p id and u n c o n tro lla b le g ro w th in th e F ed eral b u d g e t. The b u d g et in th is a re a h as in c r e a s e d o v e r 15 tim e s th e 1974 le v e l, p r im a r ily b e c a u s e o f th e h ig h c o sts a sso c ia te d w ith b u ild in g la rg e sc a le p ilo t and d e m o n stra tio n p la n ts . T h e se G o v ern m en t o u tla y s a re le s s n eed ed a t p r e s e n t because th e en erg y in d u s try has s te p p e d up its r e s e a r c h an d d e v e lo p m e n t in v e s tm e n ts , h a v in g in c re a s e d i t s 1979 s p e n d in g 25% over th e p re v io u s y e a r 's le v e l. D e re g u la tio n of en erg y p ric e s w ill p ro v id e a d d itio n a l in c e n tiv e s to c o n tin u e th is tre n d , w h ile o th e r A d m in istra tio n p o lic ie s such as ta x re lie f and rem o v al of e x c e ss iv e re g u la to ry b urdens w ill fu rth e r enhance th e p riv a te s e c t o r 's a b i l i t y to d e v e lo p an d in tr o d u c e new te c h n o lo g ie s . By re ly in g on p riv a te m ark et fo rc e s and th e ass n e w ly c re a te d S y n th e tic F u e ls C o rp o ra tio n , te c h n o lo g y d e m o n s tra tio n and c o m m e rc ia liz a tio n p ro c e e d w ith o u t d ir e c t F e d e ra l fu n d in g . F ed eral w ill th u s fo c u s on h ig h - r is k , lo n g e r-te rm , h ig h -p th a t th e p riv a te se c to r tra d itio n a lly has been a b le to u n d e rta k e . ista n c e of th e th e n e a r-te rm a c tiv itie s can rese arch su p p o rt ay o ff a c tiv itie s le ss w illin g o r T h is ch an g e in s tr a te g y w ill r e s u l t in a le ss c o s tly and m o re e ffe c tiv e F ed eral research and d e v e lo p m e n t p ro g ra m t h a t w i l l le a v e c o m m e r c ia liz a tio n t o p r i v a t e e n e rg y c o m p a n ie s c o m p e tin g in th e m arket p la c e . S u b s ta n tia l b u d g e t s a v in g s w i l l r e s u l t fro m th e a d o p tio n o f th is p o lic y as fu n d in g fo r d e sig n and o p e ra tio n o f m a jo r f o s s i l e n e rg y p i l o t an d d e m o n s tra tio n p la n ts is re d u c e d o r e lim in a te d an d r e d u c tio n s m ade in th e n e a r-te rm and com panysp e c ific r e s e a r c h an d d e v e lo p m e n t w ork in c o a l. D e re g u la tio n o f o il and gas w ill a lso p ro v id e su ffic ie n t in c e n tiv e s fo r th e p riv a te se c to r to u n d e rta k e m any o f th e a c t i v i t i e s c u r r e n tly fu n d ed in th e p e tro le u m and gas research and d e v e lo p m e n t p ro g ram s. I t i s e x p e c te d t h a t te c h n o lo g y d e v e lo p m e n t w i l l n o t b e 4-14 slo w e d dow n b e c a u s e m any o f th e a c t i v i t i e s now s u p p o rte d b y th e G o v ern m en t w ill b e c o n tin u e d b y th e p riv a te se c to r. In fa c t, th e s e changes w i l l m ake i t p o s s i b l e t o d e v o te m o re g o v e r n m e n ta l r e s o u r c e s t o t r u e r e s e a r c h a s th e m o re c a p i t a l - i n t e n s i v e a p p lie d and m a rk e t-o rie n te d F ed eral a c tiv itie s are sc a le d back. In a d d itio n , th e a n ti-c o m p e titiv e e f fe c ts of G o v ern m en t su b sid ie s fo r c o m m e rc ia liz a tio n w ill be e lim in a te d , u ltim a te ly b e n e fitin g th e c o n su m e r th ro u g h lo w e r c o s ts f o r new e n e rg y s o u r c e s . To a c h ie v e th is change in p o lic y , som e c o n tr a c t s 'W i ll be te rm in a te d and m a jo r re d u c tio n s p ro p o sed fo r 1982. The A d m in istra tio n w ill a ls o p ro p o se re s c is s io n s fo r 1981. The p ro p o sa l is fu n d in g : e x p e c te d to re su lt 1981 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity .... P ro p o se d b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity .... in th e fo llo w in g (in m illio n s 1983 1902 changes o f d o lla rs) 1985 1984 in 1986 727 745 793 799 874 838 938 895 995 974 942 943 -7 0 -5 9 -3 7 3 -3 6 1 -5 2 2 -4 3 3 -6 0 5 -5 4 9 -6 7 6 -6 5 7 -6 0 2 -6 0 4 657 686 420 438 352 405 333 346 319 317 340 339 4-15 Department of Energy E L I M IN A T IO N O F E X C E S S IV E F E D E R A L IN V O L V E M E N T I N SO LA R ENERGY DEVELOPM ENT S tim u la te d b y th e new so la r en erg y p ro d u c ts in a c c o rd a n c e w ith th e gas p ric e s p e rm itte d w i l l rem o v e th e s u b s id th a t have p re v e n te d p o te n tia l. F ed eral is exp P re sid under ie s fo r so la r s o la r ta x c r e d its , th e m arket fo r a n d in g r a p id ly . D e re g u la tio n o f o il e n t’s p o lic y and in c re a s in g n a tu ra l th e N a tu ra l G as P o lic y A ct o f 1978 c o m p e tin g o i l an d g a s te c h n o lo g ie s en erg y fro m a c h ie v in g its tru e In th is new , h e a lth ie r e n v iro n m e n t te c h n o lo g ie s , th e P re sid e n t b e lie v e s f o c u s o f t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f E n e r g y 's s o c o s tly n e a r-te rm d e v e lo p m e n t, c o m m e rc ia liz a tio n e f f o r ts and in to d e v e lo p m e n t p r o je c ts th a t are to o u n d e rta k e . T o ta l F ed eral su p p o rt fo r so la u n d e r th e P r e s id e n t’s p ro p o s a l c re d its, w h ic h a re e x p e c te d b u sin e ss in v e s to rs in so la r b e tw e e n 1981 an d 1 9 8 6 . fo r c o m m e rc ia l s i t is p o ssib le to s h if t la r a c tiv itie s aw ay d e m o n stra tio n , lo n g e r-ra n g e research ris k y fo r p riv a te firm o la r th e from and and s to r e n e rg y w il l re m a in e x tre m e ly h ig h due to c o n tin u a tio n of th e ta x to re d u ce ta x e s fo r r e s id e n tia l and en erg y sy ste m s by $ 2 .6 b illio n The A d m in istra tio n w ill c o n tin u e d i r e c t G o v ern m en t s u p p o r t f o r so la r p ro g ram s fo cu sed on advanced research c o n c e p ts and e x p lo r a to r y d e v e lo p m e n t, b u t assu m es t h a t th e p r iv a te s e c to r w il l be re sp o n sib le f o r d e v e lo p in g m a rk e ta b le sy s te m s o n c e te c h n i c a l fe a s ib ility is e sta b lish e d . The A d m in istra tio n w ill p erm an en t fa c ility fo r th e m issio n of th e o a p p ro p ria te s ta ffin g le v a ls o p ro p o se d e fe rrin g c o n s tru c tio n o f a th e S o la r E n erg y R eserch I n s t i t u t e u n t i l rg a n iz a tio n is b e tte r d e fin e d and an e l ag reed upon. By p la c in g g r e a t e r e m p h a sis on th e p r iv a t e s e c t o r in d e v e lo p in g an d m a rk e tin g s o l a r p r o d u c ts . D e p a rtm e n t o f E n e rg y s o la r s p e n d in g c a n b e r e d u c e d b y m o r e t h a n 60% i n 1 9 8 2 , w i t h c u m u l a t i v e sa v in g s of n e a rly $ 1 .9 b illio n by th e end of 1986. T h is can be a c c o m p lish e d w ith o u t a f f e c ti n g th e F e d e ra l G o v e r n m e n t's su p p o rt fo r lo n g e r-te rm r e s e a r c h o n e m e rg in g s o la r te c h n o lo g ie s . T hese b u d g e t c h a n g e s w i l l h a v e l i t t l e e f f e c t on s o la r e n e rg y u s e , w h ic h w ill c o n tin u e a h e a lth y r a te o f in c re a se over tim e as risin g c o n v e n tio n a l en e rg y p ric e s and s o la r ta x in c e n tiv e s s tim u la te th e dem and f o r s o la r p ro d u c ts . The p ro p o sal changes: is e x p e c te d to re su lt 4-16 in th e fo llo w in g fu n d in g 1981 C u r r e n t base: B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P ro p o se d b u d g e t: B udget a u th o r ity ... . O u t l a y s .............................................. A ddendum : S o la r ta x c re d its (e x c lu d in g a lc o h o l fu e ls an d b io m a ss). (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 577 589 583 589 664 650 623 657 595 595 553 553 -9 9 -7 9 -3 6 3 -3 6 5 -4 2 8 -4 1 4 -3 7 2 -4 0 6 -3 3 0 -3 3 0 -2 7 5 -2 7 5 479 510 220 224 236 236 251 251 265 265 278 278 128 216 334 466 682 796 4-17 Department of Energy R E D U C T IO N O P S U B S I D I E S FO R ENERGY S U P P L Y PROGRAM S T h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l p r o p o s e a 34% r e d u c t i o n i n e n e r g y su p p ly p ro g ram s in g e o th e rm a l, en e rg y s to ra g e , e l e c tr i c en e rg y sy ste m s, e n e rg y im p a c t a s s i s t a n c e , e n v iro n m e n ta l s t u d i e s , u ra n iu m r e s o u r c e a sse ss m e n ts and h y d ro p o w er as p art of th e g en eral e ffo rt to e m p lo y m arket fo rces in ste a d o f b u re a u c ra tic a lly -a d m in iste re d p ro g ram s to a c h ie v e n a tio n a l en erg y g o a ls. T hese re d u c tio n s w ill: te r m in a te g e o th e rm a l lo a n g u a ra n te e s th a t t o r e a l l o c a t e c a p i t a l fro m m o re p r o d u c tiv e -- serv e m e re ly in v e s tm e n ts ; e lim in a te fu n d in g fo r a d d itio n a l G o v e rn m e n t-su p p o rte d c o m m e rc ia liz a tio n of g e o th e rm a l te c h n o lo g ie s th a t can an d sh o u ld b e su p p o rte d by th e p riv a te s e c to r ; e lim in a te e n e rg y im p a c t a s s is ta n c e g r a n ts to th e S ta te s th a t d u p lic a te o th e r F e d e ra l p ro g ram s and u n n e c e s s a rily assum e re sp o n s ib iliy fo r a c tiv itie s th a t are m o re a p p r o p r ia te ly u n d e rta k e n by S ta te an d lo c a l g o v e rn m e n ts; e lim in a te d e v e lo p m e n t an d d e m o n stra tio n p ro g ram s in e le c tric e n e rg y sy ste m s an d e n e rg y s to r a g e t h a t c a n an d sh o u ld be s u p p o rte d by th e p riv a te s e c to r ; — te rm in a te e n v iro n m e n ta l s tu d ie s th a t a re in e f f e c tiv e an d d u p lic a te e f f o r t s a t th e E n v iro n m e n ta l P r o te c tio n A gency and o th e r F e d e ra l a g e n c ie s; p h a s e o u t u ra n iu m r e s o u rc e a s s e s s m e n t a c t i v i t i e s t h i s p ro g ram is no lo n g e r n ecessary to m eet n o n p ro life ra tio n o b je c tiv e s ; and — te rm in a te s u b s id d e m o n stra tio n s p ro v id e d th ro u g h c r e d it p ro g ram s By fo c u sin g D e p a rtm h ig h -ris k research , m illio n o v e r th e n e x t m eet th e se c rite ria T h ere w ill b e l i t t l e ie s fo sin c e a 21% in th e r a l l a d d itio n a l sm a ll h y d ro p o w er s u ff ic ie n t in c e n tiv e s a re a lre a d y in v e stm e n t ta x c r e d it an d th ro u g h D e p a rtm e n t o f A g r ic u ltu r e . ent of E nerg y p ro g ram s o u tla y s can be red u ced fiv e y ea rs. V a rio u s p r o w ill be p hased o u t in im p a c t on d o m e stic e n e rg y on lo n g by a to ta l je c ts th a t an o rd e rly s u p p lie s . To a c h ie v e th is p o lic y ch an g e, th e A d m in istra tio n w ill re sc issio n s of 1981 fu n d s and red u ce its req u est a p p ro p ria tio n s. T he c h a n g e s in fu n d in g a r e show n b e lo w : because n u c le a r 4-18 e r-te rm , o f $861 do not m an n er. p ro p o se fo r 1982 1981 C u rr en t base: B udget a u th o rity ... O u t l a y s .......................................... P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o r ity ... O u t l a y s .......................................... P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity ... O u t l a y s .......................................... (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 662 598 551 605 559 559 583 572 596 585 624 610 -1 4 8 -3 7 -1 8 6 -1 5 6 -1 7 8 -1 7 7 -1 7 8 -1 7 0 -1 6 9 -1 5 8 -1 7 6 -1 6 3 514 561 365 449 381 382 405 402 427 427 448 447 4-19 Department of Energy REDUCTION OF ENERGY CONSERVATION PROGRAMS M o tiv a te d b y r i s i n g e n e rg y c o sts and su b sta n tia l F ed eral ta x c re d its, in d iv id u a ls, b u sin e sse s and o th e r in stitu tio n s are u n d e rta k in g m a jo r c o n se rv a tio n e ffo rts. E v id e n c e of th e se c o n se rv a tio n e f f o r ts is c le a r. In th e 6 y e a rs a f t e r th e A rab o i l em b argo , t o t a l e n e r g y c o n s u m p tio n in c r e a s e d o n ly 6% , c o m p a re d t o a n i n c r e a s e o f 29% i n t h e 6 y e a r s p r i o r to th e em b argo . W ith risin g en erg y p ric e s s in c e th e o il em b argo in 1973, en erg y c o n su m p tio n p e r d o l l a r o f o u tp u t h a s s te a d i l y d e c lin e d e v e ry y e a r s i n c e , d e c r e a s i n g b y a t o t a l o f 9% . D e c o n tro l o f o i l p r ic e s and c o n tin u a tio n of ta x c r e d its can b e e x p e c te d to a c c e le r a te th e s e tre n d s . Som e F e d e r a l c o n s e r v a tio n p ro g ram s are, th e re fo re , no lo n g e r n e c e s s a r y , w h i le o t h e r s m ay im p e d e p r i v a t e i n i t i a t i v e b y im p o s in g to o g re a t a re g u la to ry b u rd en on th e p u b lic . S e le c te d , lo n g -te rm research and d e v e lo p m e n t a c t i v i t i e s a re n eed ed , h o w ev er, as is a s s i s t a n c e t o s c h o o ls a n d h o s p i t a l s a n d lo w -in c o m e p e o p le w ho d o n o t b e n e f it fro m ta x c r e d it s . The P re sid e n t is p ro p o sin g no change in c o n s e r v a tio n ta x c r e d i t , w h ic h is e x p e c te d to $739 m illio n in su p p o rt o f p riv a te c o n se rv a tio n 1981 and $799 m illio n d u rin g 1982. The p ro p D e p a rtm e n t o f E n e rg y c o n s e rv a tio n a c tiv itie s d ecrease of le ss th a n 20% i n t o t a l F e d e r a l c o n s e rv a tio n in 1982. th e c u rre n t en erg y p ro v id e a t le a s t a c ti v i tie s d u rin g o sed re d u c tio n s in th u s rep resen t a su p p o rt fo r en erg y P ro g ram re d u c tio n s are p ro p o sed fo r th e th re e ty p e s of c o n se rv a tio n p ro g ram s c o n d u c te d by th e D e p a rtm e n t o f E n e rg y : te c h n o lo g y d e v e lo p m e n t, re g u la tio n and in fo rm a tio n , and f i n a n c ia l a s s i s t a n c e to S ta te a n d lo c a l g o v e rn m e n t. T e c h n o lo g y d e v e lo p m e n t p ro je c ts th a t can be c o m m e rc ia lly v ia b le w ith o u t F ed eral a ssista n c e w ill be te rm in a te d . T h ese p r o je c ts in c lu d e w ork on e n e rg y fro m u rb a n w a s te , consum er p ro d u c ts , advanced a u to m o tiv e e n g in e d e s ig n , e le c tric and h y b rid v e h ic le s , and in d u e tric a l p ro cesses. O th e r h ig h p o te n tia l p r o je c ts th a t a re u n lik e ly to b e su p p o rte d b y th e p r iv a te s e c to r a lo n e b e c a u se th e y a re h ig h risk an d lo n g te rm , o r a p p ly to m any in d u s t r i e s , w il l b e r e ta in e d . R e g u la to ry p ro g ram s m a n d a tin g b u ild in g an d a p p lia n c e e f f i c i e n c y s ta n d a rd s an d u t i l i t y c o n se rv a tio n s e rv ic e s have sm a ll F ed eral c o s ts, but if u n d e rta k e n as p la n n e d by th e p re v io u s a d m i n i s t r a t i o n , th e y w o u ld im p o se m a s s iv e r e g u l a t o r y b u rd en s on th e p riv a te se c to r. T h ey w o u ld b e a n ig h tm a r e t o a d m i n i s t e r a n d en fo rce. T h e re fo re , th e s e p ro g ram s a lso w o u ld be e lim in a te d . C o n su m ers a lre a d y a r e d e m a n d in g a n d m a n u f a c tu r e r s a r e p r o d u c in g m o re e n e r g y e f f i c i e n t p ro d u c ts and b u ild in g s w ith o u t F ed eral sta n d a rd s. S im ila rly , w h ere c o n se rv a tio n is an e c o n o m ic a l t e r n a t i v e t o new g e n e r a tin g c a p a c ity , u t i l i t i e s a r e d e v e lo p in g 4-20 th e ir own c o n s e r v a tio n p ro g ram s. The in te rn a l c o n se rv a tio n e f f o r ts and c e rta in w o u ld b e r e t a i n e d . F ed eral G o v e r n m e n t 's in fo rm a tio n p ro g ram s F in a n c ia l a ssista n c e to S ta te and lo c a l g o v ernm ent c o n s e rv a tio n p ro g ram s w ill b e red u ced and re stru c tu re d . G ra n ts fo r S ta te en erg y o ffic e s and p u b lic o u tre a c h p ro g ram s w ill be e lim in a te d . T h e se p ro g ra m s h a v e c r e a te d new b u r e a u c r a c ie s w h ile d o in g little to p ro m o te c o n se rv a tio n . C u rre n t p u b lic aw a ren ess o f en erg y c o n s e rv a tio n b e n e f its and th e h ig h le v e l o f p r iv a te in v e s tm e n t in en e rg y c o n se rv a tio n c le a rly show th a t th e se p ro g ram s do not ju stify F ed eral su p p o rt. G ra n ts fo r c o n s e rv a tio n a c t i v i t i e s in p u b lic an d n o n -p ro fit sc h o o ls and h o s p ita ls w ill c o n tin u e a t a red u ced ra te of a p p ro x im a te ly $100 m illio n . T hese g ra n ts have p ro v ed th e ir v a lu e in fin a n c in g c o s t-e ffe c tiv e c o n se rv a tio n im p ro v e m e n ts in p u b lic fa c ilitie s not e lig ib le fo r ta x in c e n tiv e s . F in a lly , th e E n erg y D e p a r tm e n t's w e a th e riz a tio n a ssista n c e p ro g ram w ill b e in c o r p o r a te d i n t o th e D e p a rtm e n t o f H o u sin g an d U rb a n D e v e l o p m e n t's c o m m u n ity d e v e lo p m e n t b lo c k g ran t p ro g ram . L o w -in c o m e hom e w e a th e r i z a tio n a c t i v i t i e s w i l l th u s c o n tin u e , b u t m o re in a c c o rd w ith lo c a l n e e d s an d p r i o r i t i e s . C u rre n tly , ab o u t o n e - t h i r d o f c o m m u n ity d e v e lo p m e n t b lo c k g r a n t f u n d s , o r a b o u t $1 b illio n a n n u a lly , is t a r g e t e d b y r e c i p i e n t c o m m u n itie s t o som e fo rm o f re h a b ilita tio n . C o m b in in g th e D e p a rtm e n t of E n erg y w e a t h e r i z a t i o n p ro g ra m w ith t h e c o m m u n ity d e v e lo p m e n t b lo c k g r a n t is one e x a m p le o f A d m in is tr a tio n e f f o r t s t o s h i f t r e s o u r c e s a n d d e c isio n m a k in g a u th o rity to S ta te and lo c a l g o v e rn m e n ts th ro u g h b lo c k g ra n ts an d p ro g ram s im p lif ic a tio n w h e re v e r p o s s ib le . The e x istin g D e p a rtm e n t of E n erg y p ro g ram has been p la g u e d by in c re a sin g c o s ts and q u a lity c o n tro l p ro b le m s. As c u rre n tly s t r u c t u r e d , th e D e p a rtm e n t o f E n e rg y p ro g ra m w o u ld ta k e 50-10 0 y e a r s t o r e a c h a l l th e p o t e n t i a l l y e l i g i b l e lo w -in c o m e h o u s e h o ld s in th e N a tio n . By s h iftin g a d m in istra tiv e re sp o n sib ility e n t i r e l y t o th e lo c a l l e v e l , c o m m u n itie s w i l l b e a b le to d e v is e w e a th e riz a tio n e ffo rts m ost a p p ro p ria te to th e ir needs and c irc u m s ta n c e s and a c h ie v e g re a te r le v e ls of e ffic ie n c y and p ro d u c tiv ity . To a c h ie v e th e s e p o lic y ch a n g es, a p p ro p ria te a d ju stm e n ts to th e 1981 an d 1982 b u d g e ts w ill b e p ro p o se d . A lso , w h ere a p p ro p r ia te , re g u la tio n s now in effe ct or under c o n sid e ra tio n w ill be w ith d ra w n and a m e n d m e n ts to le g is la tio n w ill be p ro p o sed . By e lim in a tin g u n n ecessary c o n se rv a tio n p ro g ram s and by b e tte r ta rg e tin g re m a in in g e f f o r t s , D e p a rtm e n t o f E n e rg y p ro g ra m c o s ts c a n b e r e d u c e d b y n e a r l y 10% i n 1 9 8 1 , b y n e a r l y 40% i n 1 9 8 2 , and b y a t o t a l o f n e a rly $ 2 .4 b i l l i o n b y th e en d o f 1 9 8 6 . T he fu n d in g ch ang es p ro je c te d su m m a riz e d b e lo w : as a r e s u lt o f th e se 4-21 re d u c tio n s are 1981 C u rre n t, b a s e : B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity .... P ro p o se d b u d g e t: B ud g et a u th o rity ... . O u t l a y s .............................................. ADDENDUM : E n erg y c o n se rv a tio n (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 800 729 872 799 779 925 601 776 545 604 542 542 -2 5 4 -6 6 -6 7 7 -3 1 0 -5 9 7 -6 1 1 -4 2 7 -5 8 9 -3 7 4 -4 3 3 -3 7 3 -3 7 3 546 663 195 489 182 314 174 187 171 171 169 169 739 799 709 594 465 351 4-22 D e p a r t m e n t of Ener gy REDUCTION OF ALCOHOL FUELS SUBSIDIES The A d m in istra tio n w ill p ro p o se te rm in a tio n of fe a s ib ility stu d ie s, c o o p e ra tiv e a g re e m e n ts an d lo a n g u a ra n te e s fo r a lc o h o l f u e l s a n d b io m a ss e n e rg y d e v e lo p m e n t as p art of th e g en eral e ffo rt to ad o p t m arket p rin c ip le s to a c h ie v e n a tio n a l en e rg y g o a ls. The p ro p o sed change re d u ce s th e le v e l of su b sid ie s fo r a lc o h o l fu e ls an d b io m a ss p ro g ra m s . Tax c r e d its w ill c o n tin u e , w h ic h , in th e c a s e o f a lc o h o l f u e ls , w il l r e s u l t in a s u b s id y of o v er $18 p e r b a r r e l. The re m o v al o f p r ic e c o n tr o ls fro m d o m e stic crud e o i l w i l l m ake a lc o h o l f u e l s m o re c o m p e titiv e a n d e lim in a te th e need fo r a d d itio n a l su b sid ie s th ro u g h lo a n g u a ra n te e s, f e a s i b i l i t y s tu d ie s , and c o o p e ra tiv e a g re e m e n ts. As a re su lt o f o f E n erg y fo r f e lo a n g u a ra n te e h a v e t o c o m p e te en erg y p ro je c ts . t h i s c h a n g e , p r o je c ts s e le c t e d b y th e D e p a rtm e n t a s ib ility stu d ie s, c o o p e ra tiv e a g re e m e n ts, and aw ard s w ill n o t b e fu n d e d . T hese p ro je c ts w ill fo r fin a n c in g in p r iv a te m a rk e ts a lo n g w ith o th e r To a c h ie v e th is p o lic y ch an g e, th e A d m in istra tio n w ill p ro p o se a re sc is sio n of $745 m illio n o f fu n d s a p p ro p ria te d in 1980. The fu n d in g c h a n g e s a r e show n b e lo w : 1981 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity .... P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity .... P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity ... • A ddendum : T ax c r e d its and e x c is e ta x e x e m p tio n f o r (in m illio n s 1982 1983 o f d o lla rs) 1984 1985 1986 0 114 0 29 0 13 0 15 0 15 0 15 -7 4 5 -1 1 4 0 -2 9 0 -1 3 0 -1 5 0 -1 5 0 -1 5 -7 4 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 292 431 628 900 1 ,0 6 5 992 4-23 Housing and Ur ba n D e ve lo pm en t E L IM IN A T IO N O P T H E SO LA R EN ER G Y AND EN ERG Y C O N SE R V A T IO N BANK T h is new G o v ern m en t s p e n d in g p ro g ram , in te n d e d p rim a rily to p ro m o te re sid e n tia l en erg y c o n se rv a tio n and s o la r te c h n o lo g y in v e stm e n ts th ro u g h su b sid ie s, w ill not be sta rte d up. S u b s ta n tia l e c o n o m ic in c e n tiv e s a lre a d y e x ist fo r such in v e stm e n ts as a r e s u lt o f r is in g en e rg y p r ic e s and sig n ific a n t ta x c re d its fo r re sid e n tia l en erg y c o n s e r v a tio n im p ro v e m e n ts (1 5 % ) a n d s o l a r t e c h n o l o g y m e a s u r e s (4 0 % ). T h ere is no re a so n to c re a te y e t a n o th e r F ed eral p ro g ram w ith F e d e ra l o v erh ead to p ro m o te th e se sam e o b je c tiv e s. T h erefo re, im p le m e n tin g r e g u la tio n s h a v e b e e n w ith d ra w n an d w ill n o t b e p u b lis h e d , an d no lo a n s u b s id ie s w i l l b e d isb u rs e d . To th e e x te n t th a t lo c a l g o v e rn m e n ts d e s i r e t o a s s i s t c e r t a i n g ro u p s — su c h a s lo w -in c o m e h o u se h o ld s — w ith e n e r g y c o n s e r v a ti o n , th e y c a n u s e c o m m u n ity d e v e lo p m e n t b lo c k g r a n t fu n d s . T he 1981 a p p ro p ria tio n o f o v e r $121 m illio n w ill b e p ro p o se d re sc issio n . The 1982 b u d g e t w ill b e am ended to w ith d ra w a p p ro p ria tio n re q u e ste d by th e C a rte r a d m in is tra tio n . The p ro p o sa l is fu n d in g : e x p e c te d to re s u lt in P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity ... P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity ... O u t l a y s .......................................... fo llo w in g (in m illio n s 1983 1982 1981 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o r ity ... th e changes o f d o lla rs) 1984 1985 fo r th e in 1986 121 47 132 149 141 137 150 147 158 157 166 162 -1 2 1 -4 7 -1 3 2 -1 4 9 -1 4 1 -1 3 7 -1 5 0 -1 4 7 -1 5 8 -1 5 7 -1 6 6 -1 6 2 ------------- ------- —— MW --------------- 4-24 _____ Housing and Urban Development RESTRUCTURING HUD's COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT SUPPORT ASSISTANCE C u rre n tly th e D e p a rtm e n t of H o u sin g and U rb an D ev elo p m en t p ro v id e s f i n a n c ia l s u p p o rt d i r e c t l y to lo c a l g o v e rn m e n ts to h e lp f i n a n c e g e n e r a l c o m m u n ity d e v e lo p m e n t a c tiv itie s and s p e c ific e c o n o m ic d e v e lo p m e n t p r o j e c t s t h r o u g h t h e C o m m u n ity D e v e lo p m e n t B l o c k G r a n t (C D B G ) a n d t h e U r b a n D e v e l o p m e n t A c t i o n G r a n t (U D A G ) p ro g ram s. W h i l e c o m m u n i t i e s c a n u s e t h e i r CDBG f u n d s f o r a b r o a d rang e o f c o m m u n ity a n d e c o n o m ic d e v e lo p m e n t p u r p o s e s , n o t a l l o f t h e e c o n o m i c d e v e l o p m e n t a c t i v i t i e s e l i g i b l e f o r UDAG f u n d i n g c a n b e s u p p o r t e d u n d e r C D B G . T h e UDAG p r o g r a m , o n th e o th e r hand, c u r r e n tly re q u ire s an e x c e ss iv e am ount o f F e d e ra l in te rv e n tio n in d e v e lo p in g , s e l e c t i n g , a n d m o n ito r in g l o c a l e c o n o m ic d e v e lo p m e n t p ro je c ts . T he R ea g a n A d m in is tr a tio n w i l l s e e k to rem ed y th e s e d e fic ie n c ie s by d e v e lo p in g new p o lic ie s to in te g r a te th e s e p ro g ram s in to a m o re e f f i c i e n t a n d f l e x i b l e g r a n t m e c h a n ism . T h is e ffo rt w ill b u ild on th e b est fe a tu re s of b o th p ro g ra m s t o im p ro v e th e d e liv e ry o f F e d era l re so u rc e s fo r th e se p u rp o ses and to p ro v id e t h e m a x im u m d e g r e e o f f l e x i b i l i t y f o r l o c a l g o v e r n m e n t s . C u rren t re stric tio n s on t h e u s e o f CDBG f u n d s f o r c o m m e r c i a l a c t i v i t i e s w ill be lib e ra liz e d . The UDAG e m p h a s i s on se c u rin g p riv a te se c to r fin a n c ia l in v o lv e m e n t in lo c a l e c o n o m ic d e v e lo p m e n t p ro je c ts w ill be re in fo rc e d . T hese p ro p o sed p ro g ram re v isio n s w ill re d u c tio n s show n fo r th is fu n c tio n to c o m m u n itie s w ith m in im a l a d v e rs e im p a c t. p e rm it th e fu n d in g be ab sorbed by lo c a l _____________ ( i n m i l l i o n s 1981 1982 1983 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity O u tla y s. . . . . . . . . P o lic y re d u c tio n s B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s ............................... P ro p o se d b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s ............................... o f d o l l a r s ) _______________ 1984 1985 1986 4 ,7 5 0 4 ,6 2 5 5 ,0 9 7 4 ,5 3 4 5 ,4 1 3 4 ,8 3 2 5 ,7 1 0 5 ,1 7 1 5 ,9 9 6 5 ,4 8 5 -------- -5 8 4 -1 2 -6 7 8 -6 7 -8 3 7 -2 7 1 -8 8 2 -7 0 2 -9 2 6 -8 1 4 4 ,3 7 0 4 ,2 0 3 4 ,1 6 6 4 ,6 1 3 4 ,4 1 9 4 ,4 6 7 4 ,5 7 6 4 ,5 6 1 4 ,8 2 8 4 ,4 6 9 5 ,0 7 0 4 ,6 7 1 4 ,3 7 0 4 ,2 0 3 4-25 Department of Labor P H A S E O U T O P C O M P R E H E N S IV E EM PLO Y M EN T AND T R A I N IN G A C T (C E T A ) P U B L IC S E R V IC E JO B S T he A d m in is tra tio n p ro p o se s p h a sin g o u t by th e end o f f i s c a l y e a r 1 9 8 1 t h e tw o CETA p ro g r a m s th a t p ro v id e fu n d s fo r su b sid iz e d p u b lic se c to r e m p lo y m e n t (P S E ) i n S t a t e a n d l o c a l g o v e r n m e n ts * T h e r e d u c t i o n i n PSE w i l l r e t u r n CETA t o i t s o r i g i n a l p u r p o s e of im p ro v in g th e e m p lo y a b ility of th e lo w -in c o m e / s tru c tu ra lly u n e m p lo y e d b y p r o v i d in g th e m w ith s k i l l s t h a t a r e m a rk e ta b le in th e p riv a te se c to r. P u b lic se rv ic e e m p lo y m e n t p r o g r a m s , b y c o n tra s t, p ro v id e l i t t l e s k ills tra in in g . T he w ork e x p e rie n c e th a t PSE p a r t i c i p a n t s re c e iv e in p u b lic s e c to r jo b s h a s n o t h e lp e d m o st o f th e m in s e e k in g p r i v a t e s e c t o r e m p lo y m e n t, o fte n because th e ty p e s o f jo b s th e y g e t in th e p u b lic s e c to r h a v e n o c o u n te rp a rts in th e p riv a te s e c to r. In th e s h o rt ru n , th e a b ility o f CETA t o enhance e m p lo y m e n t p ro sp e c ts in th e p riv a te se c to r can be stre n g th e n e d by c o o r d i n a t i n g t h e c u r r e n t CETA t r a i n i n g p ro g r a m s m o re c l o s e l y w i t h th e e x i s t i n g T i t l e V II p ro g ra m , w h ic h is in te n d e d t o in c r e a s e th e i n v o l v e m e n t o f t h e p r i v a t e s e c t o r i n CETA t r a i n i n g p r o g r a m s . For t h e l o n g e r te r m , CETA w i l l b e re v ie w e d in i t s e n t i r e t y w it h th is e n d i n m in d b e f o r e t h e 1 9 8 3 b u d g e t i s s u b m itte d t o t h e C o n g r e s s . CETA w a s o r i g i n a l l y in te n d e d to p r o v id e t r a i n i n g a n d e m p lo y m e n t o p p o rtu n itie s d e s ig n e d to im p ro v e th e lo n g -te rm e m p lo y m e n t p ro sp e c ts of th e d is a d v a n ta g e d an d s t r u c t u r a l l y u n e m p lo y e d . In th e 1 9 7 4 -7 5 r e c e s s io n , h o w e v e r, th e r e l a t i v e l y s m a ll PSE p ro g ra m a u th o riz e d by T itle II o f th e o rig in a l le g isla tio n w as d ra m a tic a lly ex p an d ed , in o rd e r to advance th e "g o v ern m en t a s e m p lo y e r o f l a s t r e s o r t " p h ilo s o p h y th e n p r e v a le n t am ong m anpow er th e o rists. S u b se q u e n tly , th e T itle VI p ro g ram w as c r e a te d to enhance th e "c o u n te r-c y c lic a l" th ru st of p u b lic se rv ic e e m p lo y m e n t. PSE h a s p ro v e n t o b e a p o o r c o u n t e r - c y c l i c a l d e v ic e . H ig h l e v e l s o f PSE e m p lo y m e n t w e re r e a c h e d o n ly in 1 9 7 7 -7 8 a f t e r t h e d e p th o f th e 197 4-75 re c e ss io n had lo n g p a s s e d . C o n s id e ra b le e v id e n c e in d ic a te s , m o reo v er, th a t th e n e t jo b c re a tio n im p a c t of PSE p ro g ram s has b e e n r e l a t i v e l y sm a ll in th e lo n g e r te rm . S ev eral s tu d ie s h av e show n th a t a h ig h p ro p o rtio n o f CETA e m p lo y m e n t s u p p l a n t s , r a t h e r th a n a u g m e n ts , h i r i n g s t h a t w o u ld h a v e o c c u r r e d re g a rd le ss of th e p r e s e n c e o f CETA, e f f e c t i v e l y d i v e r t i n g fu n d s t h a t w o u ld h a v e b e e n u s e d f o r t h i s p u rp o s e to o th e r en d eav o rs. In a ll, th e tra c k reco rd of PSE p ro g ra m s i n a c h ie v in g t h e i r p u rp o rte d o b je c tiv e — to enhance th e e m p lo y a b ility of p a rtic ip a n ts fo r th e 8 o u t o f 10 jo b s c r e a te d b y th e p r i v a t e s e c to r — h a s b e e n d ism a l in d e e d . By c o n tr a s t, sk ill tra in in g , e sp e c ia lly o n -th e -jo b tra in in g a p p e a rs to le a d to h ig h e r p o « t-p ro g ra m in c re a s e s in e a rn in g s th a n 4-26 p u b lic s e rv ic e e m p lo y m e n t. The c u r r e n t tr a in in g p ro g ram s h av e p ro v e n to b e m o re e f f e c t i v e th a n th e PSE p ro g ram s at p la c in g p a rtic ip a n ts. (O n ly about 1 /3 of PSE p a rtic ip a n ts fin d em p lo y m e n t w hen th e y le a v e t h e i r s u b s i d i z e d j o b . ) M o reo v er, th e a v e ra g e c o s t o f g e t t i n g an u n e m p lo y ed p e rs o n i n t o an u n s u b s id iz e d jo b fro m th e PSE p ro g r a m s i s tw o t o t h r e e t i m e s m o re e x p e n s i v e th a n u n d er th e tr a in in g p ro g ram s. As a re s u lt of th is p h ase-o u t o f PSE under CETA, th e 3 0 0 ,0 0 0 in d iv id u a ls w ho c u rre n tly h o ld jo b s c o m p le te ly or p a rtia lly f u n d e d w i t h CETA r e s o u r c e s w i l l c o n t i n u e i n th e ir jo b s and be ab so rb ed in to th e re g u la r S ta te o r lo c a l g ov ernm ent p a y ro ll, be p la c e d in an u n s u b s id iz e d jo b in th e p r i v a t e s e c t o r b y th e p rim e spo n so r, or have t o s e e k e m p lo y m e n t e l s e w h e r e . T h o se w ho lo s e t h e i r jo b s w i l l b e e l i g i b l e f o r u n e m p lo y m e n t c o m p e n s a tio n . The P re sid e n t w ill d ire c t th e S e c re ta ry o f L abor to p la c e a to ta l fre e z e on h irin g in b o th PSE p ro g ram s. The S e c re ta ry w ill d e v e lo p p la n s fo r th e o rd e rly phase dow n o f th e p ro g ram s to e n s u r e t h a t i n d iv id u a ls h o ld in g C E T A -fun d ed jo b s are no lo n g e r p a id w ith F ed eral reso u rces a fte r S e p te m b e r 3 0 , 1981. A re sc issio n o f unneeded T itle VI fu n d s w ill be re q u e ste d and excess T itle II-D re so u rc e s w ill be d e fe rre d in to 1982, re d u c in g th e am ount o f budget a u th o rity needed fo r c o n tin u in g CETA p ro g ram s. A 1982 budget am endm ent w ill be p ro p o sed to th e C o n g re ss to re d u c e th e p e n d in g A d m in is tra tio n r e q u e s t. The p ro p o sa l is fu n d in g fo r th e e x p e c te d to PSE p o r ti o n r e s u lt in o f CETA: .. P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity . P ro p o se d b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity . .. fo llo w in g changes (in m illio n s o f d o lla rs ) 1984 1983 1982 1985 1981 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity . th e in 1986 2 ,9 2 4 3 ,9 5 5 3 ,7 7 1 4 ,2 3 6 4 ,0 7 8 4 ,5 7 8 4 ,4 0 8 4 ,9 4 6 4 ,7 6 2 5 ,3 4 1 5 ,1 4 3 -1 5 3 -6 3 5 —4 , 6 4 4 -3 ,5 6 6 -4 ,2 3 6 -4 ,0 7 3 -4 ,5 7 8 -4 ,4 0 8 -4 ,9 4 6 -4 ,7 6 2 -5 ,3 4 1 -5 ,1 4 3 -6 8 9 206 5 2 ,7 7 1 * -------- -------- -------- * In c lu d e s $689 m illio n ex c ess T itle II-D fu n d s d eferred in to 1982 and u sed to re d u ce b u d g et a u th o rity n eed s o f c o n tin u in g CETA p r o g r a m s . 4-27 Department of T r a n s p o r t a t i o n PH A S E O U T O F F E D E R A L MASS T R A N S IT O P E R A T IN G S U B S I D I E S M ass t r a n s i t o p e r a t i n g s u b s i d i e s w i l l b e p h a s e d o u t b y 1 9 8 5 . The F ed eral g o v ernm ent does n o t, and sh o u ld n o t# c o n tro l th e o p e ra tio n of lo c a l tra n sit sy ste m s — in c lu d in g th e i r c o s ts , se rv ic e le v e ls and fa re s . U n fo rtu n a te ly , F e d e ra l su b sid ie s fo r lo c a l o p e ra tin g c o s ts can be c o u n te r-p ro d u c tiv e b e c a u se F e d e ra l " s tr in g s " d r iv e up th e s e c o s ts w h ile h o ld in g f a r e s u n n e c e ssa rily lo w . A ls o , th e r e i s no re a s o n fo r som eone in S io u x F a l l s t o p a y F e d e r a l ta x e s s o t h a t som eone in L os A n g e le s c a n g e t t o w ork on tim e b y p u b li c t r a n s p o r t a t i o n . — F ed eral fu n d s o fte n su p p o rt m a rg in a lly e ffe c tiv e c o n v e n tio n a l tr a n s i t s e rv ic e s and p re v e n t tr a n s p o r ta tio n needs fro m b e in g serv ed by m o re c o s t-e ffe c tiv e and in n o v a tiv e a lte rn a tiv e s such as c a rp o o ls, v a n p o o ls, su b sc rip tio n bus and jitn e y se rv ic e s. C o n v e n tio n a l tra n sit sy ste m s on th e av erag e have to su b sid iz e slig h tly m o r e t h a n 50% o f t h e c o s t o f e a c h r i d e t h r o u g h th e lo c a l, s ta te and F ed eral ta x p a y e r. F u rth e rm o re , th is n a tio n a l tra n sit d e fic it is e sc a la tin g ra p id ly ; c o s t i n c r e a s e s f r o m 1 9 7 3 t o 1 9 7 8 a v e r a g e d 1 3 .2 % a year w h ile th e a v e r a g e f a r e i n c r e a s e d o n l y 3 .5 % a y e a r o v e r th e sam e p e r io d . — F a re s h av e g e n e ra lly n o t k e p t p ace w ith i n f l a ti o n sin c e th e 1973 o i l e m b arg o , e v e n th o u g h th e c o s t o f t h e m a in a lte rn a tiv e m eans of tra n sp o rta tio n — th e p riv a te v e h ic le — h as in c re a se d d ra m a tic a lly o v er th e r i s e in in fla tio n . I t is p ro b a b le th a t th e c o s t o f o w n in g and o p e ra tin g o n e 's car w ill c o n tin u e to in c r e a s e f a s t e r th a n th e in f la tio n ra te ; th u s, tr a n s it fares c o u ld be ra ise d c o n sid e ra b ly to co v er th e lo ss of F ed eral s u b s id ie s w ith o u t lo s in g m any p a tr o n s . — T ra n s it o p e ra tin g su b sid ie s fo r ev ery o n e — poor a lik e — a r e a t e r r i b l y i n e f f i c i e n t w ay p a r t ic u la r d isa d v a n ta g e d g ro u p s su ch a s th e e ld p o o r, m in o ritie s , and y o u th . O ne a n a ly s is th a t o n ly 2 3 .5 % o f t r a n s i t o p e r a t i n g s u b s i d i e w e n t t o lo w in c o m e h o u s e h o ld s . ric h and to a s s is t e r ly , th e e stim a te d s in 1975 To c u s h io n th e te m p o ra ry d i f f i c u l t i e s c a u se d b y th is p h a s e o u t o f F ed eral a ssista n c e , th e re m a in in g tra n sitio n fu n d s w ill be c o n c e n tra te d on th o se la rg e u rb an a re a s th a t p ro v id e th e m ost tr a n s it s e rv ic e . A s th e F e d e r a l G o v ern m en t g r a d u a lly re d u c e s s u b s id ie s f o r t r a n s i t o p e ra tin g ex p en se s. S ta te and lo c a l g o v e rn m e n ts and tra n sit o p e ra to rs w ill f a c e d e c is i o n s o n W h e th e r t o (1 ) r a i s e S t a t e a n d lo c a l su b sid ie s, (2 ) in c r e a s e tra n sit fares, or (3 ) re d u c e 4-28 s e rv ic e s. M any d i f f e r e n t c o m b in a tio n s o f t h e s e a c t i o n s ta k e n , each u rb an a re a d e c id in g w hat is best in lig h t lo c a l needs and p re fe re n c e s. 1981 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P ro p o se d b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. (in m illio n s 1983 1982 w ill be of its o f d o lla rs) 1984 1985 1986 1 ,1 0 5 750 1 ,2 0 8 876 1 ,3 1 6 1 ,0 5 3 1 ,4 2 4 1 ,1 6 8 1 ,5 2 8 1 ,2 8 4 1 ,6 2 6 1 ,3 9 8 ------------- -1 0 3 -9 6 -5 8 1 -2 5 6 -1 ,0 5 9 -6 0 0 -1 ,5 2 8 -1 ,0 8 3 1 ,6 2 6 1 ,3 5 6 1 ,1 0 5 750 1 ,1 0 5 780 735 797 365 568 4-29 -------201 42 Department of Transportation R E D U C T I O N IN A M T R A K F A R E S U B S I D I E S P a s s e n g e r s a r e c u r r e n t l y p a y i n g o n l y 40% o f A m t r a k 's o p e ra tin g c o s ts. T ax p ay ers s u b s i d i z e e a c h p a s s e n g e r 's f a r e a n a v e r a g e o f §35 p e r t r i p . T h e se s u b s id iz e d f a r e s a ls o c o m p e te w ith a ir and in te rc ity bus fa re s. T a x p a y e r s u b s i d i e s a llo w A m tra k t o o f f e r a f a r e b e tw e e n C h ic a g o a n d L os A n g e le s t h a t i s 5130 le ss th a n an a irlin e tic k e t t o th e sam e d e s tin a t io n . I t is o b v io u s ly a p o o r u s e o f s c a r c e ta x d o l l a r s to o p e r a te a t r a i n b e tw e e n W a sh in g to n , D .C . a n d C i n c i n n a t i t h a t , b e c a u s e o f lo w r i d e r s h i p , c o s t s m o re i n su b sid ie s th a n an a irlin e tic k e t fo r th e sam e trip . The A d m i n i s t r a t i o n p r o p o s e s t o i n c r e a s e A m tra k f a r e s to cover 50% , 60% , 70% and 80% of o p e ra tin g c o s ts in 1982, 1983, 1984, and 1985. F ares w ill be in c re a se d b ecau se i t is n o t f a ir fo r th e g en eral ta x p a y e r to s u b s id iz e t h a t p o r tio n o f th e p o p u la tio n w h ic h r i d e s A m tra k t r a i n s , p a rtic u la rly w h en m any A m tra k ro u te s p ro v id e a lm o st no n a tio n a l b e n e f it b ec au se th e y o p e ra te t o t a l l y w ith in a s t a t e o r. j u s t b e tw e e n tw o sta te s. It is e x p e c te d th a t som e p assen g ers w ill s h ift to a ir or in te rc ity bus tra n sp o rta tio n as a r e s u lt o f h ig h e r tr a in fa re s . F ed eral b u d g e t sa v in g s w ill b e s u b s ta n tia l? §431 m illio n in 1982 an d i n c r e a s i n g t o § 1 .1 b i l l i o n in 1 9 8 6 . F ares w ill a p p ro x im a te ly d o u b le on s h o rt d is ta n c e tr a in s in c re a se a p p ro x im a te ly 50% on lo n g -h a u l tr a in s , and r i s e s lig h tly on N o rth e a st C o rrid o r ro u te s s ta rtin g n ex t y ear. The fin a n c ia l burden w ill be s h ifte d to A m tra k p assen g ers or S ta te g o v e rn m e n ts, o r e ls e c e r t a i n t r a i n s w ill b e e lim in a te d . To a c h ie v e t h is p o lic y ch an g e, th e A d m in istra tio n w ill p ro p o se a m e n d m e n ts t o t h e 198 2 b u d g e t t o r e d u c e a p p r o p r i a t i o n s f o r A m tra k su b sid ie s. L e g isla tio n w ill a ls o be p ro p o sed to re q u ire h ig h e r fa re s , g re a te r S ta te fin a n c ia l p a rtic ip a tio n to su p p o rt lo c a l tra in se rv ic e , a n d e l i m i n a t i o n o f A m tr a k 's f a r e s u b s i d y w h e n i t c o m p e te s w ith lo c a l c o m m u te r t r a i n s . B e c a u s e A m tra k tra in s rep resen t le ss th a n 1% o f i n t e r c i t y t r a v e l , t h i s p r o p o s a l w i l l h a v e v i r t u a l l y no n e g a tiv e e f f e c t s o n p e r s o n a l t r a v e l in t h e U .S . 4— 30 1 981 C u r r e n t base: B udget a u th o rity . .. . P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P ro p o se d b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity .. . . O u t l a y s .............................................. (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 1585 1953 1984 1985 1986 906 769 1 ,0 4 4 994 1 ,1 3 8 1 ,1 0 0 1 ,2 3 1 1 ,2 0 0 1 ,3 2 1 1 ,3 0 0 1 ,4 0 6 1 ,4 0 0 -2 5 -2 5 -4 3 1 -3 2 5 -6 0 6 -4 8 5 -7 6 0 -6 8 8 -9 6 4 -9 0 4 -1 ,0 5 6 -1 ,0 5 0 881 744 613 669 532 615 471 512 357 396 350 350 4-31 Department of Transportation R E D U C E D F U N D I N G F O R T H E N O R T H E A S T C O R R I D O R IM P R O V E M E N T P R O J E C T In a n e f f o r t t o re d u c e fu n d in g p ro g ra m s w h ic h a r e not c ritic a l, e sp e c ia lly w hen v ie w e d in th e c o n te x t o f th e N a t i o n 's im m e d ia te e c o n o m ic c risis, th e N o rth e a st C o rrid o r Im p ro v em en t P ro je c t (N E C IP ) w ill be re d ire c te d and red u ced in s iz e . The p ro je c t, w h ic h i s t o im p r o v e r a i l r o a d s e r v i c e b e tw e e n W a s h in g to n D .C . and B o sto n , p la c e s n e e d le ss e m p h a sis on im p ro v in g t r i p tim e : th e c o s ts o f in c r e a s in g t r a i n s p e e d o u tw e ig h th e b e n e f i t s . S e v e n ty -fiv e p e rc e n t o f C o rrid o r rid e rs are c o m m u te rs. They w o u ld not re a p n o tic e a b le b e n e f i ts fro m in c r e a s e d sp e e d b e c a u s e th e y t r a v e l s h o r t d is ta n c e s on t r a i n s t h a t m ake freq u en t sto p s. Y e t N E C IP h a s p l a n n e d t o s p e n d s i z e a b l e a m o u n ts o f m o n e y f o r h i g h speed ra il s e r v i c e , w h ic h w o u ld r e q u i r e a new s i g n a l l i n g s y s te m c o s tin g in e x c e ss o f $350 m illio n , e le c tr if ic a tio n of re m a in in g u n e le c trifie d p o rtio n s o f th e C o rrid o r, and fre q u e n t re s u rfa c in g o f tra c k and ro ad b ed . E ven now N o r th e a s t C o rrid o r rid e rs o n ly pay about h a lf o f th e to t a l c o s t o f ru n n in g N o rth e a s t C o rrid o r tra in s. I t is u n lik e ly th a t th e y w ill ch o o se to pay th e fares n e c e ss a ry to c o v e r th e c o s ts o f m a in ta in in g h ig h sp e ed tr a c k . By r e d ir e c tin g th e u se o f i t s re s o u rc e s , m o re re lia b le s e rv ic e fo r th e m a jo rity o f N o rth e a st C o rrid o r tr a v e le r s , and e lim c a p ita l an d m a in te n a n c e c o s ts w h ile h o ld C o rrid o r fa re s . N E C IP ra th e in a te in g can p ro v id e s a f e r , r th a n th e m in o rity la rg e , u n n ecessary dow n in c re a se s in As a r e s u l t o f t h i s c h a n g e , im p ro v e m e n t w o rk w i l l b e r e d i r e c t e d to w a rd th e m ost h e a v ily tra v e le d se g m e n ts of th e C o rrid o r, e le c trific a tio n w ill be e lim in a te d n o rth o f N ew H a v e n , t h e e x is ti n g s i g n a l l i n g sy ste m w il l b e r e p a ir e d r a t h e r th a n r e p la c e d , a n d s t a t i o n im p ro v e m e n ts w i l l b e m ade on a F e d e ra l/lo c a l co st sh a rin g b a sis. By re fo c u sin g th e P ro je c t, sa v in g s o f $310 m illio n w ill be re a liz e d o v er th e n ex t 4 y e a rs, and re q u e sts fo r fu rth e r fu n d in g fo r h ig h sp eed N o rth e a s t C o rrid o r r a i l s e r v ic e w ill b e a v e rte d . A u th o riz in g le g is la tio n w ill b e su b m itte d to C o n g ress to change th e fo c u s an d s iz e o f th e N o r th e a s t C o r rid o r Im p ro v em en t P r o je c t. R e lia b le a n d s a f e r a i l s e r v i c e w o u ld r e p l a c e f a s t e r t r a i n s p e e d s as th e g o a l o f th e P ro je c t, and to ta l a u th o riz a tio n w o u ld fa ll fro m $ 2 .5 b i l l i o n t o $ 2 .1 9 b i l l i o n . A b u d g e t am endm ent w ill b e s u b m i t t e d t o r e d u c e N E C IP 1 9 8 2 f u n d i n g b y $ 2 8 8 m i l l i o n , a n d $125 m illio n of 1981 fu n d in g w ill be d eferred u n til 1982 as th e P ro je c t is re s tru c tu re d . 4-32 1 9 81 C u r r e n t base: B udget a u th o r ity ... . O u t l a y s .............................................. P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P ro p o se d b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 1982 1983 1984 1985 350 373 488 465 172 534 20 316 15 152 -------2 5 -2 8 8 -9 5 13 -1 1 4 -2 0 -5 1 -1 5 -2 5 350 348 200 370 185 420 -------265 ------127 4-33 1 9 86 Department of Transportation E L IM IN A T IO N OF FED ERA L SU PPO RT F O R LOW VOLUM E R A IL R O A D B R A N C H L IN E S To r e tu r n p ro g ram s to S ta te s and l o c a l i t i e s w hen th e b e n e f its a r e p rim a rily lo c a l, th e A d m in istra tio n p ro p o se s to e lim in a te fu n d in g fo r th e L o cal R a il S e rv ic e A ssista n c e p ro g ram of th e F ed eral R a ilro a d A d m in is tra tio n , s ta r tin g in 1981. T h is p ro g ra m p ro v id e s fo rm u la g r a n t a s s is ta n c e to S ta te s f o r r a i l p la n n in g and fo r su p p o rt of se rv ic e on lo w v o lu m e ra il b ra n c h lin e s (u su a lly d e fin e d as lin e s c a rry in g le ss th a n 3 m illio n g ro ss to n m ile s of tra ffic a n n u a lly ). P ro g ram te rm in a tio n is p ro p o sed b e c a u se : (1 ) t r a f f i c on th e s e lin e s is so l i g h t t h a t i n t e r s t a t e co m m erce w i l l n o t b e d i s r u p t e d ; (2 ) th e G o v ern m en t h a s l i t t l e i n t e r e s t in th e r e te n tio n o f m a rg in a l ra il lin e s; a n d ( 3 ) o v e r 25% o f p r o g r a m f u n d s a r e a l l o c a t e d t o S t a t e s th a t h av e l i t t l e o r no b ra n c h lin e ab and on m en t p ro b le m . A lth o u g h s e v e r a l o th e r F e d e r a l r a i l r o a d a s s i s t a n c e p ro g ra m s s e r v e a u se fu l p urpo se by e n c o u ra g in g ra ilro a d s to re stru c tu re and im p ro v e th e ir ra il sy ste m s, th is p ro g ram is o f q u e stio n a b le u se fu ln e ss . T h ere w ill be l i t t l e , if any, n o tic e a b le ad v erse c o n se q u e n c e fro m i t s te rm in a tio n . P ro g ram te rm in a tio n w ill b e a c h ie v e d by re q u e s tin g r e s c is s io n o f u n c o m m ite d 1 98 1 a p p r o p r i a t i o n s a n d b y n o t r e q u e s ti n g a n y fu rth e r a p p ro p ria tio n s fo r 1982 o r su b seq u en t y e a rs. 1981 C u rren t b ase : B udget a u th o rity .... P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity .... (in m illio n s 1982 1983 o f d o lla rs) 1984 1985 1986 80 56 88 80 96 115 104 110 112 115 119 116 -8 0 -8 -8 8 -3 2 -9 6 -6 2 -1 0 4 -8 0 -1 1 2 -1 0 3 -1 1 9 -1 1 0 -------48 — _ 48 53 30 12 6 4-34 Department of Transportation ELIMINATION OF THE COOPERATIVE AUTOMOTIVE RESEARCH PROGRAM T he A d m in is tra tio n h a s d e c id e d n o t to in itia te th e c o o p e ra tiv e a u to m o tiv e research p ro g ram (C A R P ) of th e D e p a rtm e n t of T ra n sp o ra tio n . Im m e d ia te fu n d in g e lim in a tio n is p ro p o sed fo r th is p ro g ram . T he a u to m o b ile c o m p a n ie s r a t h e r th a n th e F e d e r a l G o v ern m en t a r e in th e best p o s itio n to d e c id e w h at k in d of research to u n d e rta k e and w hen to do so . G iv e n o t h e r d em an d s on i t s re s o u rc e s , F e d e ra l fin a n c in g o f lo n g -te rm re s e a rc h to b e n e fit a p a r tic u la r in d u s try is an in a p p ro p ria te a llo c a tio n of F ed eral fu n d s. T h is p ro g ram w as d e v e lo p e d in c o o p e ra tio n w ith th e U .S . a u to m o b ile i n d u s t r y to re d u c e th e N a t i o n 's d e p e n d e n c e on fo re ig n o il by f i n a n c in g a b a s ic r e s e a r c h p ro g ra m a im e d a t a c c e l e r a t i n g th e d e v e lo p m e n t of m o re fu e l-e ffic ie n t and te c h n o lo g ic a lly ad v an ced a u to m o b ile s. F u n d in g w as o r i g i n a l l y in te n d e d t o b e on a m a tc h in g b a sis, w ith th e F e d e r a l G o v ern m en t p r o v id in g h a l f th e reso u rces. T he m a tc h in g a rra n g e m e n t w as w a iv e d in fisc a l year 1981 because o f i n d u s t r y e c o n o m ic c o n d i t i o n s . As a r e s u lt, th e p ro g ra m in 1981 is now w h o lly a F e d e ra l f in a n c ia l r e s p o n s ib ili ty . A r e s c i s s i o n o f u n c o m m itte d 1981 a p p r o p r ia t io n s w i l l b e and no re q u est w ill be m ade fo r a p p ro p ria tio n s fo r subsequent y ears. 1981 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s ............................... P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s ............................... P ro p o se d b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s ............................... (in m illio n 1982 1983 re q u e ste d 1982 or of d o lla rs) 1984 1985 1986 12 6 13 9 14 13 15 14 16 14 17 15 12 -6 -1 3 -9 -1 4 -1 3 -1 5 -1 4 -1 6 -1 4 -1 7 -1 5 4-35 Department o f th e I n t e r i o r A C C E L E R A T IO N O F M IN E R A L L E A S IN G T he m o re p r o m is in g areas of th e N a tio n fo r u n d isc o v e re d u n d e v e lo p e d en erg y and m in e ra l re s o u rc e s are la rg e ly on F e d e ra l la n d s . The P re s id e n t b e lie v e s th a t th o se la n d s can sh o u ld b e th o ro u g h ly e x p lo re d an d , as a p p ro p ria te , d e v e lo p e d m in e ra ls p ro d u c tio n , w h ile at th e sam e tim e p ro te c tin g e n v iro n m e n t. or th e and fo r th e The P re sid e n t p la n s to a c c e le ra te th e le a sin g o f m in e ra l reso u rces on F ed eral la n d s. The p ro p o sed a c tio n s w ill m ake a d d itio n a l la n d s a v a ila b le fo r m in e ra l e x p lo ra tio n and fo r m in e r a l d e v e lo p m e n t an d p ro d u c tio n . T he m a jo r e m p h a sis is upon le a s in g la n d s fo r e n e rg y m in e ra ls . The a c c e le ra tio n of le a sin g sought by th e P re sid e n t w ill s ig n ific a n tly in c re a se o u r k n o w le d g e of d o m e stic en erg y and n o n -en erg y m in e ra l reso u rces. D o m e stic p ro d u c tio n w ill be s i g n i f i c a n tl y in c re a s e d in th e lo n g e r te rm , th u s c o n tr ib u tin g to e c o n o m ic g ro w th . The a c c e le ra tio n w ill in c re a s e th e p ro p r ie ta ry r e c e ip ts o f th e G o v ern m en t an d h e lp to re d u c e th e b u d g e t d e f i c i t , a n d a l s o i n c r e a s e t h e s h a r e d re v e n u e p a y m e n ts t o S t a t e s . R ig h ts t o o i l and g a s on th e O u te r C o n tin e n ta l S h e lf (O C S ) are le a se d by c o m p e titiv e se a le d -b id a u c tio n s c u rre n tly h e ld in a c c o rd a n c e w ith th e le a s in g sc h e d u le o f Ju n e 198 0. A s p a r t o f t h e a c c e l e r a t i o n s o u g h t b y t h e P r e s i d e n t , t h e OCS o i l and gas le a s in g sc h e d u le w ill be re v ise d as q u ic k ly as can be d o n e i n a c c o r d a n c e w it h t h e r e q u ir e m e n ts o f t h e OCS L a n d s A c t . A m a jo r o b je c tiv e o f th e r e v is io n w ill be to s h o rte n th e tim e p e rio d re q u ire d t o s t a r t e x p l o r a t o r y d r i l l i n g i n a l l OCS a r e a s . The OCS s a le p re p a ra tio n p ro cess w ill be stre a m lin e d and s h o rte n e d w h ile p re s e rv in g a d e q u a te p ro te c tio n o f e n v iro n m e n ta l v a lu e s an d th e p u b l i c 's p r o p r ie ta r y i n t e r e s t . O n -sh o re o i l an d g a s , c o a l, o i l s h a le , g e o th e rm a l re s o u r c e s , and o th e r m in e ra ls a r e le a s e d b y a v a r i e t y o f m e th o d s u n d e r s e v e r a l le g isla tiv e a u th o ritie s . T he C a r te r b u d g e t a n t i c i p a t e d tw o coal le a se sa le s in 1982, th re e in 1983, and fo u r in 1984. I t a lso p la n n e d to h o ld o n e c o m p e titiv e o i l and g as le a se sa le in th e N a tio n a l P e tro le u m R e se rv e -A la sk a d u rin g 1982, to o ffe r fo u r p ro to ty p e o i l s h a re le a s e s in 1983, and to h o ld th e firs t o il s h a le le a s e s a le u n d er a p erm an en t le a s in g p ro g ram in 1 9 8 5. O n -sh o re m in e ra l le a s in g w ill be a c c e le ra te d b y : — o f f e r i n g i n 1 9 8 2 , tw o o i l a n d g a s le a se sa le s N a tio n a l P e tro le u m R e s e rv e -A la sk a an d fo llo w in g a d d itio n a l s a le s in su b se q u en t y ears* 4-36 in th e up w ith — b e g in n in g re g u la r o i l s h a le p ro g ram in 1984 o r e a r l ie r ; — b e g in n in g im m e d ia te ly to s im p lify a d m in istra tiv e ly th e coal le a sin g p ro c e s s to a c h ie v e s ig n if ic a n tly ex panded le a s in g by 1983, i f p o s s ib le , b u t no la te r th a n 1984. As a r e s u lt o f th e se chan gas, o n-sh ore o il and R e se rv e -A la sk a , o il sha s u b s ta n tia lly in c re a se d o le a s in g and under a p erm an en t g e s , t h e r a t e o f l e a s i n g o f OCS o i l and gas la n d s in th e N a tio n a l P e tro le u m le la n d s , and coal la n d s w ill be v e r th e y e a rs 1 98 1-19 8 6. T hese p o lic y changes are e x p e c te d to r e s u lt in th e b u d g e ta ry c h a n g e s show n in th e ta b le b e lo w . The re d u c tio n show n b e lo w in c lu d e s m odest in c re a se s in a d m in istra tiv e c o sts. I t a lso in c lu d e s a $ 1 0 0 m il lio n in c r e a s e in 1 9 8 2 , an d s m a lle r a m o u n ts in fu tu re y e a r s , i n p a y m e n ts t o t h e S t a t e s fro m M in e ra l L e a s in g A c t rev en u es. 1981 C u rren t b a s e .... P o lic y re d u c tio n P ro p o sed b u d g e t. B ud g et A u th o rity and O u tla y s (in m illio n s o f d o lla rs )* 1983 1984 1985 1982 -9 ,2 5 7 -1 0 ,9 0 0 -1 0 ,8 0 0 -2 5 0 -8 0 0 -2 ,0 0 0 -9 ,5 0 7 -1 1 ,7 0 0 -1 2 ,8 0 0 -1 0 ,9 0 0 -3 ,1 0 0 -1 4 ,0 0 0 -1 1 ,0 0 0 -3 ,5 0 0 -1 4 ,5 0 0 1986 -1 1 ,1 0 0 -3 ,5 0 0 -1 4 ,6 0 0 * E a c h l i n e b e lo w i s th e sum o f le a s in g -re la te d e x p e n d itu re s and re c e ip ts. In each ca se th e n e t r e s u lt n e g a tiv e o u tla y s in c e th e in c o m e to th e G o v ern m en t — — i s g r e a t e r t h a n t h e g o v e r n m e n t ' s e x p e n d i t u re re c e ip ts An in c re a s e in n e g a tiv e o u tla y s re d u c e s o u tla y s and le a sin g . d e fic it. 4-37 b u d g e ta ry is a th e s on th e Civil Aeronautics Board ELIMINATION OP A I R L I N E SUBSIDY PROGRAM FOR AIRLINE DEVELOPMENT The A d m in istra tio n p ro p o se s th e e lim in a tio n o f th e 406 a irlin e su b sid y p ro g ram a d m in is te re d by th e C iv il A e ro n a u tic s B o ard . The 419 a i r l i n e s u b sid y p ro g ram , in te n d e d to e n su re s e rv ic e to lo c a l c o m m u n itie s a s th e a irlin e in d u s try is d e re g u la te d , w ill be a d ju ste d to p rev en t e x c e ssiv e p ay m en t t o c o m m u n itie s s h i f t i n g from th e 406 s u b s id y p ro g ra m to th e 419 p ro g ram . T he 406 p ro g ram w as c r e a te d in 1938 in o rd e r to d e v e lo p th e a ir tra n sp o rta tio n in d u s t r y in th e U n ite d S ta te s a n d t o im p ro v e m a il se rv ic e . S in c e th a t tim e th e a i r l i n e in d u s try has m a tu re d and becom e fin a n c ia lly sound. The su b sid y p ro g ram s t i l l e x is ts because o f th e lo b b y in g e ffo rts of su b sid iz e d a irlin e s and c e rta in c o m m u n itie s r e c e iv in g s u b s id iz e d s e r v ic e . T h ere a r e , in f a c t , a i r l i n e s now r e c e iv in g g o v e rn m e n t fu n d in g fo r s e rv ic e to c o m m u n itie s w h ere n o n su b sid iz e d a ir lin e s a re w illin g to p ro v id e s e rv ic e . The 419 a i r l i n e s u b sid y p ro g ram , c re a te d to g u a ra n te e a i r s e rv ic e to c o m m u n itie s s e rv e d b y n o m o re th a n one a irlin e , w ill be a d ju ste d s o t h a t n o c o m m u n ity n e w ly e n t e r i n g t h e p ro g ra m w i l l b e a b le t o r e c e i v e m o re i n 419 s u b s id y th a n i t had re c e iv e d under th e o th e r p ro g ram . T h is w ill p rev en t su b sid y to A la sk a n c o m m u n itie s fro m s k y - r o c k e tin g . By d isc o n tin u in g th is o b so le te m illio n w ill b e saved o v er th e n ex en sure a i r tr a n s p o r ta tio n se rv ic e 419 p ro g ram w h ile e lim in a tin g e x c e p ro g ram , a p p ro x im a te ly §210 t 5 y ears. The g ov ernm ent w ill to lo c a l c o m m u n itie s u n d e r th e ssiv e s u b s id ie s . A u th o riz in g le g isla tio n w ill be su b m itte d to C o n g ress to e lim in a te th e e x is tin g 406 p ro g ram . L e g is la tio n w ill a ls o be s u b m itte d t o am en d t h e 4 19 p ro g ra m t o p r e v e n t a n y c o m m u n ity fro m re c e iv in g g re a te r su b sid y th a n it had d ire c tly or in d ire c tly re c e iv e d u n d e r th e 406 p ro g ram . (in m illio n s o f d o lla rs ) 1982 1983 1984 1985 L981 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s ............................... P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s . . .................... P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s ............................... 1986 144 148 144 144 143 143 138 139 123 124 97 99 -------™ — -5 6 -5 0 -6 4 -6 4 -5 4 -5 4 -3 4 -3 4 -2 -2 88 94 79 79 84 85 89 90 95 97 144 148 4-38 United States Railway Association T E R M IN A T IO N O F F U N D IN G FO R C O N R A IL As p a r t o f a g e n e ra l e f f o r t to red u ce th e p u b lic ta x b urden and a llo w m a rk e t p r in c ip le s to a p p ly , th e A d m in is tra tio n in te n d s to w ean C o n ra il fro m a l l F e d e ra l s u b s id ie s . No fu n d in g w ill b e p ro v id e d to a id C o n ra il beyond 1982. The o r i g i n a l i n t e n t o f th e la w l e a d i n g t o C o n r a i l 's f o r m a tio n in 1 97 6 w as th a t it becom e a s e lf - s u f f ic ie n t c o rp o ra tio n ; th is p o lic y ch an g e w ill re q u ire C o n ra il to a tta in th a t goal m o re q u ic k ly . M a jo r refo rm of C o n ra il, in c lu d in g (a) s u b s ta n tia l tra c k a b a n d o n m e n t, (b ) r e d u c tio n in C o n r a i l 's w o rk fo rc e an d c h a n g e s in w ork ru le s, and (c) S ta te a n d /o r lo c a l su p p o rt fo r lo sin g o r m a r g in a l r a i l l i n e s i s n e c e s s a r y f o r 's e l f - s u s t a i n i n g o p e ra tio n s. W ith o u t s u c h re fo rm , d ism e m b e rm e n t o f C o n r a il th r o u g h s a l e o f i t s l i n e s t o o t h e r r a i l r o a d s m ay b eco m e a n e c e s s i t y . C o n ra il p ro v id e s f r e ig h t* a n d c o m m u te r r a i l s e r v i c e o v e r 1 7 ,0 0 0 ro u te m ile s in th e N o rth e a s te rn q u a d ra n t o f th e U n ite d S ta te s. I t w as fo u n d ed in 1976 as a co n se q u en ce o f th e f in a n c ia l c o lla p s e o f th e Penn C e n tra l and six o th e r N o rth e a ste rn ra ilro a d s. O r i g i n a l l y , i t w as e s tim a te d t h a t C o n r a il w o u ld r e q u i r e a to ta l o f $ 2 .1 b illio n in d ire c t F ed eral a id and $ 0 .2 b i l l i o n in p a y m e n ts t o a d v e rse ly a ffe c te d ra ilro a d e m p lo y e e s. In ste a d , F ed eral p a y m e n ts m ade fro m 1 9 7 6 -1 9 8 1 to C o n r a il, i t s e m p lo y e e s, an d i t s p r e d e c e s s o r r a ilr o a d s e x c e e d $ 5 .7 b i l l i o n : $ 3 .3 b illio n in d i r e c t a i d , $ 0 .3 b i l l i o n in p a y m e n ts t o C o n r a il e m p lo y e e s, an d $2-1 b i l l i o n fo r an o u t-o f-c o u rt s e ttle m e n t w ith th e Penn C e n tra l re g a rd in g th e v a lu e o f p r o p e r tie s tr a n s f e r r e d to C o n ra il in 1976. A " s ta tu s quo" C o n ra il w o u ld co a d d itio n a l $ 1 .5 -2 .0 b ill io n in d ir e c w e ll as h un dred s o f m illio n s o f d e m p lo y e e s an d in co u rt and ju d g m o u t s ta n d in g la w s u i t s . st th e F e d e r a l G o v ern m en t a n t a id b e tw e e n 198 1-19 8 5, as o l l a r s in p a y m e n ts to C o n r a il ent c o sts as a re su lt of A lth o u g h a $350 m illio n 1981 su p p le m e n ta l a p p ro p ria tio n is re q u e s te d to k eep C o n ra il in ta c t th is y e a r, $100 m illio n o f th is a p p ro p ria tio n w ill be re se rv e d fo r u se in 1982, c o n tin g e n t upon a s s u ra n c e s th a t a lo n g -ru n s o lu tio n can b e w orked o u t to re so lv e C o n ra il* s p ro b le m s. L e g is la tio n w ill b e p ro p o se d a f t e r p e n d in g s tu d ie s a r e c o m p le te d in A p r il. 4-39 1981 C u r r e n t base: B udget a u th o r ity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P o lic y ch a n g es: B udget a u th o rity .... P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 19 8 2 1983 1984 1 9 85 1986 185 185 450 450 550 550 300 300 150 150 100 100 +350 +250 -4 0 0 -3 0 0 -5 5 0 -5 5 0 -3 0 0 -3 0 0 -1 5 0 -1 5 0 -1 0 0 -1 0 0 535 435 50 150 -— ------- ------------- ------------- 4-40 --------------- Export-Import Bank R E D U C T IO N O F E X P O R T -IM P O R T BANK D IR E C T L E N D IN G To h e lp c o n tro l th e e x p a n sio n of F ed eral P a rtic u la rly th o se w ith a su b sid y e le m e n t, w i l l p r o p o s e t h a t t h e E x p o r t - I m p o r t B a n k 's a u t h d ire c t lo a n s be s e t a t $ 4 .4 b i l l i o n in 1 98 2, C a r t e r b u d g e t a n d 31% f r o m t h e c u r r e n t b a s e . cred th e A o rity dow n it p ro g ram s, d m in istra tio n to m ake new 12% f r o m t h e T he B a n k ' s le n d in g o p e r a tio n s g rew b y over 400% fro m 1977 to 1980. The C a r te r a d m in is tr a tio n u se d th e B ank a s a v e h ic le fo r h e a d -to - h e a d c o m p e titio n w ith fo re ig n ex p o rt su b sid y p ro g ram s. Som e a r g u e t h a t r a p id f u r t h e r g ro w th in th e E x p o rt-Im p o rt B a n k ’s d ir e c t lo a n s is n e c e ssa ry to expand e x p o rts, red u ce U .S . tra d e d e fic its, a n d h a l t t h e d e c l i n e i n t h e U .S . s h a r e o f w o r ld t r a d e . H o w ev er, th e in t e r n a t i o n a l a c c o u n ts o f th e U n ite d S ta te s a r e now stro n g co m p ared to o th e r m a jo r i n d u s t r i a l c o u n tr ie s . T h e U .S . c u r r e n t a c c o u n t b a la n c e h a s im p ro v e d b y n e a r ly $20 b i l l i o n sin c e 1978 w h ile th o se of G erm any and Japan h av e d e c lin e d by $26 b ill io n an d $30 b illio n re s p e c tiv e ly . F u r t h e r , t h e U .S . s h a r e o f w o rld tr a d e h a s in c re a s e d in r e c e n t y e a r s . T h is e x c e lle n t U .S . ex p o rt p erfo rm an ce h a s r e s u lt e d p r im a r ily fro m c y c l i c a l c h a n g e s in t h e U .S . an d f o r e ig n e c o n o m ie s , a n d n o t fro m g ro w th in th e B an k ' s d ir e c t le n d in g . B ecause of th e B a n k 's p ast le n d in g p o lic ie s, fa c ilitie s te n d to be reg ard ed as e n title m e n M o reo v er, a la rg e p ro p o rtio n of th e B a n k 's an su p p o rts e x p o rts by a h a n d fu l o f la rg e firm s. In firm s a c c o u n te d fo r t w o —t h i r d s o f d ir e c t lo a n s . B a n k 's s u b s i d y t o f o r e i g n b o r r o w e r s r e s u l t s in a r e t u r n t o t h e U .S . eco n o m y a n d a d r a i n o n c a p i t a l t h e l im in a t e s th e b e n e f i ts fro m t r a d e . its c re d it t p ro g ram s. nual le n d in g 1980, seven F u rth e r, th e lo w ra te of a t red u ces o r The A d m i n i s t r a t i o n 's p ro p o sal w ill e n a b le th e B ank to o f f e r s u b s t a n t i a l l e v e l s o f c r e d i t t o U .S . e x p o r t e r s ; b u t c r e d i t te rm s w i l l b e l e s s g e n e ro u s a n d c r e d i t w i l l b e m o re c a r e f u l l y t a r g e t e d . In a d d itio n to b e n e fitin g fro m th e re g u la r, lo n g -te rm d ir e c t l o a n s , s m a l l e r U .S . e x p o rte rs w ill c o n tin u e to be a ssiste d by th e B a n k 's m e d iu m -te rm d i s c o u n t lo a n p r o g r a m . T h is com ponent o f t h e B a n k 's d i r e c t le n d i n g w i l l be m a in ta in e d a t $400 m illio n a n n u a l l y r a t h e r th e m e l i m i n a t e d a s p r o p o s e d b y P r e s i d e n t C a r t e r . By r e s t r a i n i n g th e g ro w th o f th e s e p ro g ra m s, F e d e r a l o u tla y s an d th e F e d e r a l d e f i c i t c a n b e re d u c e d b y m o re th a n $6 b illio n over th e next 5 fisc a l y ears. A t th e sam e tim e , th e o b je c tiv e o f p ro m o tin g e x p o rts w ill b e su p p o rte d a t h i s t o r ic a ll y h ig h le v e ls . The c h a n g e s w i l l h a v e o n ly a n o m in a l im p a c t o n t h e l e v e l o f U .S . e x p o r ts b e c a u s e (1 ) p re v io u s c re d it le v e ls w ere u n n e c e ssa rily h ig h , (2 ) th e d i r e c t l o a n p r o g r a m f i n a n c e s o n l y 2 t o 3% o f U . S . e x p o r ts , an d (3 ) a s in f l a t i o n an d in te re st ra te s su b sid e , th e d e m a n d f o r t h e B a n k 's c r e d i t w i l l f a l l . , 4-41 T h e E x p o r t - i m p o r t B a n k ' s b u d g e t l e v e l s w i l l c h a n g e as 1981 C u rren t b ase: Loan a u th o riz a tio n s . B udget a u th o rity .... P o lic y re d u c tio n : Loan a u th o riz a tio n s . B udget a u th o rity .... P ro p o sed b u d g e t: Loan a u th o riz a tio n s . B udget a u th o rity .... 5 ,9 0 0 7 ,0 1 0 2 ,3 4 0 -7 5 2 -7 5 0 -6 0 5 ,1 4 8 6 ,2 6 0 2 ,2 8 0 (in m illio n s 1983 1982 follows: o f d o lla rs) 1984 1985 1986 7 ,3 1 0 6 ,0 5 0 2 ,7 7 0 7 ,7 1 0 6 ,3 9 0 2 ,9 6 0 8 ,1 0 0 6 ,6 9 0 3 ,1 9 0 -2 ,0 1 0 -2 ,0 9 0 -2 ,3 5 0 -1 ,9 8 0 -2 ,1 1 0 -2 ,2 5 0 -4 1 0 -9 9 0 -1 ,3 8 0 -2 ,5 0 0 -2 ,4 1 0 -1 ,6 0 0 -2 ,6 5 0 -2 ,5 6 0 -1 ,7 1 0 5 ,2 1 0 3 ,9 8 0 1 ,3 6 0 5 ,4 5 0 4 ,1 3 0 1 ,4 8 0 6 ,4 1 0 5 ,9 3 0 2 ,7 8 0 4 ,4 0 0 3 ,9 5 0 2 ,3 7 0 4-42 6 ,8 8 0 5 ,7 0 0 3 ,0 4 0 4 ,6 9 0 3 ,5 9 0 2 ,0 5 0 4 ,9 6 0 3 ,8 0 0 1 ,3 9 0 Postal Service R E D U C T IO N O F P U B L IC S E R V IC E AND REV EN U E FO RG O N E S U B S I D I E S TO TH E PO ST A L S E R V IC E T he A d m in is tra tio n b e lie v e s th a t th e c o s ts o f m a il s e r v ic e sh o u ld be b o rn e by u sers, not ta x p a y e rs. The U .S . P o s ta l S e rv ic e c u rre n tly re c e iv e s a F e d e r a l s u b s i d y e q u i v a l e n t t o a b o u t 7% o f its to ta l o p e ra tin g b u d g e t. The F ed eral paym ent su b sid iz e s c e rta in m a il u sers and in c re a s e s th e f in a n c ia l b u rd e n fo r a l l ta x p a y e rs. T h is p r o p o s a l w o u ld red u ce th a t b urden by $632 m illio n in 1982. T h ese s u b s id ie s u n d e rc u t th e in c e n tiv e s fo r th e P o s ta l S e rv ic e to re a liz e o p e ra tio n a l e f f i c i e n c i e s , . slo w in g th e p r o g r e s s to w a rd f u l l f in a n c ia l in d e p e n d e n c e . A r t i f i c i a l l y s u p p re s se d m a il ra te s fo r c e rta in u sers, m ade p o s s ib le b y th e s e s u b s i d i e s , e n c o u ra g e i n e f f i c i e n t u se o f th e m a il sy ste m . T h is p ro p o se d re d and th e rev en u e p u b lic se rv ic e su th a t are not s p ro v id e s fu n d s fo m a il. U nder th is out by 1984, $789 m illio n u c t i o n w o u ld a f f e c t t h e p u b l i c se rv ic e su b sid y fo rg o n e p a y m e n ts to th e P o s ta l S e rv ic e . The b sid y o f fs e ts th e c o s ts o f m a in ta in in g s e rv ic e s e lf-su sta in in g . The rev en u e fo rg o n e su b sid y r fre e and red u ced ra te s fo r c e rta in c la s s e s of p ro p o sa l, th e p u b lic s e rv ic e su b sid y w ill be p h ased an d th e re v e n u e fo rg o n e p ay m en t w i l l b e re d u c e d fro m to $500 m illio n . 1981 C u rren t base: B udget a u th o rity .... O u tla y s.• • • • • • • » • • • • P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity ...• O u t l a y s .............................................. P ro p o se d b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. (in m illio n s 1983 1982 o f d o lla rs) 1984 1985 1986 1 ,5 9 3 1 f593 1 .5 0 1 1 .5 0 1 1 .4 0 9 1 .4 0 9 1 .3 1 7 1 .3 1 7 1 .3 1 7 1 .3 1 7 1 .3 1 7 1 .3 1 7 -2 5 0 -2 5 0 -6 3 2 -6 3 2 -6 9 0 -6 9 0 -76 5 -7 6 5 -7 7 9 -7 7 9 -7 7 9 -7 7 9 1 ,3 4 3 1 ,3 4 3 869 869 719 719 552 552 538 538 538 538 4-43 5. S T R E T C H O U T AND R E T A R G E T P U B L IC S E C T O R C A P I T A L IM P R O V E M E N T PR O G R A M S D e p a rtm e n t o f T r a n s p o r ta tio n R E D U C T I O N O P F E D E R A L H IG H W A Y C O N S T R U C T I O N G R A N T S T h e A d m i n i s t r a t io n w i l l p ro p o s e h ig h w a y l e g i s l a t i o n t o e sta b lis h p ro g ram stru c tu re and fu n d in g fo r th e n ex t 5 y e a rs. As w ith o th e r m a jo r fe d e ra lly su p p o rte d p u b lic se c to r in v e stm e n t p ro g ram s, th e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n 's h ig h w a y p ro g ram p ro p o sal w ill in v o lv e s t r e tc h i n g o u t an d slo w in g dow n c o n stru c tio n of lo w e r p rio rity h ig h w a y p r o j e c t s . T h is a c t i o n i s r e q u ir e d to h e l p s te m t h e n e a r - t e r m i n s t a b i l i t y a n d d e t e r i o r a t i o n o f th e U .S . econom y. In a d d i t i o n , th e A d m in is tr a tio n w i l l p ro p o s e to e lim in a te m any o f th e e x istin g sp e c ia l c a te g o ric a l p ro g ram s, a llo w in g S ta te and lo c a l g o v e rn m e n ts to s e t th e ir own p r i o r i t i e s and to assum e re sp o n sib ility fo r h ig h w a y p ro g ram s n o t d ir e c t ly a f f e c tin g th e F ed eral p rio ritie s of p re se rv in g in te rs ta te co m m erce and p ro v id in g fo r th e n a tio n a l d e fe n se . B o th th e p r im a r y s y s te m an d th e I n t e r s t a t e h ig h w a y s y s te m in p a rtic u la r w ill c o n tin u e to re c e iv e a h ig h le v e l o f F e d e ra l fu n d in g . Som e lo w e r p r i o r i t y I n t e r s t a t e h ig h w a y p r o j e c t s , h o w e v e r, w i l l b e e l im in a te d to a llo w f i n a l c o m p le tio n o f th e sy ste m b y th e 1990 s t a t u t o r y d e a d lin e . T h e p r o p o s e d c h a n g e s in th e F e d e r a l h ig h w a y p ro g ra m w i l l p ro d u ce budget sa v in g s o f a p p ro x im a te ly $ 1 2 .6 b i l l i o n th r o u g h 1 9 8 6 . At th e sam e tim e , th e c le a r fo c u s o f F e d e ra l a tte n tio n and fu n d in g on th e h ig h e r p r i o r i t y I n t e r s t a t e an d p rim a ry sy ste m s, a lo n g w ith g re a te r re sp o n s ib ility and f le x ib ility a t th e S ta te le v e l, w ill e n s u r e t h a t h ig h w a y t r a n s p o r t a t i o n s y s te m s c o n tin u e t o s e r v e th e N a t i o n 1s n e e d s . To A dm a u th a lso im p le m e n t th e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n 's h ig h w a y p ro g ram , th e in is tra tio n w ill p ro p o se ch an g es in th e e x is tin g 1982 h ig h w a y o riz a tio n s. A u th o riz a tio n le v e ls f o r 1983 th ro u g h 1986 w ill b e p ro p o sed . 5- 1 (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 1982 19 83 1984 1985 1981 C u r r e n t base: B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o r ity .... P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. 1986 1 1 ,0 5 4 9 ,8 5 4 1 1 ,9 7 9 1 0 ,8 2 8 1 2 ,7 8 9 1 1 ,5 0 3 1 3 ,5 8 6 1 2 ,3 9 5 ------- - 1 , 3 9 0 - 1 , 9 6 4 -— -2 4 4 -1 ,2 1 1 -2 ,5 4 6 -1 ,7 0 0 -3 ,2 4 3 -2 ,0 8 8 -3 ,4 3 7 -2 ,2 3 4 9 ,4 3 3 9 ,1 2 8 9 ,5 4 6 9 ,4 1 5 1 0 ,1 4 9 1 0 ,1 6 1 9 ,2 0 0 8 ,7 3 4 9 ,2 0 0 8 ,7 3 4 9 ,9 2 6 8 ,4 0 1 8 ,5 3 6 8 ,1 5 7 5-2 9 ,0 9 0 8 ,6 4 3 Department of Transportation R E D U C T IO N IN FE D E R A L M ASS T R A N S IT C A P IT A L G R A N TS The re v ise d budget red u ces fu n d in g le v e ls fo r m ass tra n sit c a p ita l g ra n ts . The b ud get s a v in g s a re p rim a rily a c h ie v e d by re d u c in g th e am ount o f fu n d s fo r c o n s tru c tin g new ra il tra n sit s y ste m s and e x te n d in g e x is tin g sy ste m s. The re v ise d budget c o n tin u e s to re c o g n iz e a F e d e ra l in te r e s t in im p ro v in g tra n s it se rv ic e s th ro u g h g ra n ts to p u rc h a se b u se s and u p d a te e x is tin g r a i l sy ste m s — p a r t ic u la r l y in la r g e , c o n c e n tra te d u rb a n areas. The c o n stru c tio n of new r a i l t r a n s i t s y s te m s o r e x te n s io n s h a s n o t p ro v e d , h o w ev er, to b e as c o st-e ffe c tiv e as le ss c a p ita l in te n s iv e p ro je c ts. T he f iv e r a i l sy ste m c o n s tr u c tio n p r o je c ts now u n d e rw a y t h a t r e c e iv e F e d e r a l a s s i s t a n c e (W a sh in g to n , M ia m i, B u ffa lo , B a ltim o re , and A tla n ta ) re q u ire a p p ro x im a te ly $75 m illio n a m ile to c o n s tr u c t an d e q u ip fo r o p e ra tio n . The sam e $75 m illio n c o u ld b e u s e d t o b u y m o re th a n 500 b u s e s . F ed eral a s s is ta n c e fo r such r a il c o n stru c tio n p ro je c ts w ill be p o stp o n e d a t le a s t u n til th e e c o n o m ic s i t u a t i o n a n d th e c o n d i tio n o f th e F e d e r a l b u d g e t im p ro v e . T hese changes are needed because: — P rim a ry r e s p o n s ib ili ty fo r m ass tra n sit w ith S ta te an d lo c a l g o v e rn m e n ts. — In th e sh o u ld sy ste m s p art of — The a v a ila b ility o f s te a d ily in c re a sin g F e d e ra l tra n sit fu n d in g and F e d e ra l re g u la to ry re q u ire m e n ts h a s s h a rp ly e s c a la te d new t r a n s i t s y s te m c o s ts . F e d e ra lly fin a n c e d ra il s y s te m s a r e o f t e n b u i l t w ith e x tr a v a g a n t f e a tu r e s '; c o n s t r u c t i o n w ag es p a id a r e s o m e tim e s e x c e ss iv e ly h ig h d u e to F e d e ra l la w s; an d r o u te s a re ad d ed w h ere th e y a re not ju stifie d fro m an e c o n o m ic p o in t of v ie w . In co m p a riso n to th e $75 m illio n a m ile c o s t fo r th e fiv e fe d e ra lly a ssiste d p ro je c ts n o te d a b o v e , S an D ie g o i s b u ild in g a tr o lle y lin e , w ith o u t any F e d e ra l a s s is ta n c e , c o s tin g le s s th a n $6 m illio n a m ile . — T r a n s it sy ste m e n e rg y s a v in g s a r e n o n e x is te n t or s m a ll in th e s h o r t ru n a n d to o s p e c u la tiv e in th e lo n g ru n to j u s t i f y m a jo r F e d e ra l in v e s tm e n ts on en erg y e ffic ie n c y g ro u n d s. It has been e stim a te d th a t BART, th e S an F ra n c is c o B ay A re a r a p id r a i l sy ste m , r e q u ir e d so m uch en erg y d u rin g i t s c o n s tru c tio n th a t th is i n i t i a l en e rg y in v e s tm e n t m ay n e v e r b e r e p a id . sh o u ld re m a in p resen t e c o n o m ic situ a tio n , F ed eral e m p h a sis be c o n c e n tra te d on m a in ta in in g e x is tin g t r a n s i t th a t h av e p ro v ed e f fe c tiv e and a re an e sse n tia l a la r g e u rb a n tr a n s p o r ta tio n n e tw o rk . 5-3 — U nder th e se c o n d itio n s, and th e im m e d ia te im p e ra tiv e need to re o rd e r F e d e ra l p r i o r i t i e s , F e d e ra l in v e s tm e n t in new f ix e d g u id e w a y sy s te m s c a n n o t b e j u s t i f i e d . T he p ro p o s e d b u d g e t e m p h a siz e s th e fo llo w in g : — The c e n tra l fo cu s of th e F ed eral tra p ro g ram in th e fu tu re w ill be on th e im p ro v e m e n t o f e x i s t i n g , p ro v e n t r a n s i t fu n d in g f o r b u s and r a i l m o d e rn iz a tio n c o n tin u e d and in c re a s e d in fu tu re y e a rs . — N ew t r a n s i t s y s t e m s a n d p l a n n i n g a c tiv itie s w ith su c h sy ste m s w il l no lo n g e r be f e d e r a lly ~ T r a n s i t s y s te m s f o r w h ic h th e F ed eral G o v ern m en t h a s is su e d fo rm al l e t t e r s o f in te n t an d w h ere c o n s tr u c tio n is u nd erw ay w ill be fin a n c e d to c o m p le te o p e ra b le t r a n s i t s e g m e n ts . — D o w n to w n P e o p l e M o v e r a n d U rb an In itia tiv e s p ro je c ts w ill be te rm in a te d in m e d ia te ly b u t U rb an I n i t i a t i v e s p r o je c ts a lr e a d y u n d e r c o n s tru c tio n w ill b e c o m p le te d . P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity ... . . a s so c ia te d fin a n c e d . (in m illio n s, o f d o lla r s ) 1982 1983 1984 1985 1981 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity ... . . P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity ... n sit a ssista n c e m a in te n a n c e an d s y ste m s. T hus, p ro je c ts w ill be 1986 3 ,3 4 0 2 ,7 4 4 3 ,6 5 0 2 ,8 0 0 3 ,7 6 2 3 ,0 1 0 4 ,0 7 0 3 ,3 3 7 4 ,3 6 8 3 ,6 6 9 4 ,6 4 7 3 ,9 9 6 -2 1 0 -3 1 -9 5 0 -2 7 0 -1 ,0 4 7 -5 4 5 -1 ,2 2 0 -9 7 5 -1 ,3 6 8 -1 ,2 8 4 -1 ,4 9 7 -1 ,4 8 0 3 ,1 3 0 2 ,7 1 3 2 ,7 0 0 2 ,5 3 0 2 ,7 1 5 2 ,4 6 5 2 ,8 5 0 2 ,3 6 2 3 ,0 0 0 2 ,3 8 5 3 ,1 5 0 2 ,5 1 6 5-4 Department of Transportation REDUCTION OF AIRPORT CONSTRUCTION GRANT PROGRAM The A d m in istra tio n fu n d in g a v a ila b le 1986 b y 33% . w ill p ro p o se le g is la tio n to red u ce th e annual fo r a ir p o r t c o n s tru c tio n g ra n ts d u rin g 1981- T he n eed to ex pand a ir p o r t c a p a c ity is no lo n g e r so c ritic a l as it w as in th e p a s t w hen a v ia tio n t r a f f i c in c r e a s e d s i g n i f i c a n t l y o n a n a n n u a l b a s is an d th e d e v e lo p m e n t o f new a irc ra ft re q u ire d w id e r and lo n g e r ru n w ay s. The e ffe c ts of th e re d u c tio n on a v ia tio n sa fe ty w ill be n e g lig ib le s in c e a lm o st no a v ia tio n a c c id e n ts are re la te d to th e p h y sic a l fe a tu re s o f a irp o rts and th e v a s t m a jo rity o f fe d e ra lly a id e d p ro je c ts e ith e r in c re a se a i r p o r t c a p a c i ty o r p ro m o te o p e r a t io n a l s a f e t y . F o r 1981 an d 1982# th e re d u c tio n s c o u ld b e ta k e n a c r o s s - th e - b o a r d in b o th e n title m e n t and d isc re tio n a ry g ran t p ro g ram s. C o n s id e ra tio n a ls o w ill b e g iv e n to a c h ie v in g th e re d u c tio n s by re stru c tu rin g th e e x is tin g p ro g ram s an d p o s s ib ly e x c lu d in g la rg e c o m m e rc ia l a irp o rts fro m g ran t e lig ib ility . L arg e a irp o rts u su a lly h av e a s tro n g f in a n c ia l b a s e fro m la n d in g fe e s an d sp a c e r e n t a l c h a r g e s w ith w h ic h t o f in a n c e a c a p ita l p ro g ram . Thus F e d e r a l c o n s tr u c tio n g ra n ts a r e u s u a lly o n ly a s m a ll p o r tio n o f a la rg e a i r p o r t 's c a p ita l p ro g ram . I n M ia m i, f o r i n s t a n c e , t h e F ed eral c o n stru c tio n g ra n ts equal a p p ro x im a te ly 10% of th e a i r p o r t 's t o t a l p ro g ram . A t p re se n t, a u th o riz a tio n s fo r th e a irp o r t c o n s tru c tio n g ra n t p ro g ram h av e e x p ire d . The 9 6 th C o n g ress fa ile d to act on a le g isla tiv e p ro p o sal s u b m itte d by th e C a rte r a d m in is tra tio n to e x te n d th e a ir p o r t g ra n t p ro g ram an d to a llo w c o n tin u e d use of th e a irp o rt and a irw a y t r u s t fu n d to fin a n c e th e p ro g ra m . The A d m in is tr a tio n is p ro p o s in g new a u th o r iz in g l e g i s l a t i o n t h a t w i l l in c lu d e re d u c e d a n n u a l fu n d in g le v e ls . T o ta l s a v in g s of $ 1 .8 b i l l i o n a re e x p e c te d th ro u g h 1986 a s a r e s u l t o f t h i s p ro p o s a l. (in m illio n s 1982 1983 1981 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity .... P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity .... P ro p o se d b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity .... o f d o lla rs) l9 § 4 1985 1986 722 595 750 625 818 671 885 726 950 779 1 ,0 1 1 829 -2 7 2 -1 2 0 250 140 -2 7 8 -1 6 1 -3 0 5 -1 9 6 -3 3 0 -2 1 9 -3 7 1 -2 3 9 450 475 500 485 540 510 580 530 620 560 640 590 5-5 O th e r In d e p e n d e n t A g e n c ie s EXTEND WA TE R RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT PROJECT CONSTRUCTION T h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l p r o p o s e a n 11% r e d u c t i o n i n th e p la n n e d c o n stru c tio n p ro g ram o f th e C o rp s o f E n g in e e r s - C iv il, W a te r an d Pow er R e so u rc e s S e rv ic e , and S o il C o n se rv a tio n S e rv ic e . T h is re d u c tio n w ill n o t d e la y th e r e a liz a tio n o f h y d ro e le c tric , m u n ic ip a l w a te r su p p ly , n a v ig a tio n , or u rb an flo o d c o n tro l f e a t u r e s , b u t w i l l d e f e r som e le s s c ritic a l p a rts of p ro je c ts such a s th e d e v e lo p m e n t o f r e c r e a tio n a r e a s an d som e r u r a l f lo o d c o n tro l and ir rig a tio n d e liv e rie s . O n ly a b o u t 70 o e x p e rie n c e any fe a tu re s o n -lin e e x p e n d itu re s by f th e m o re d e la y . The w ill av erag e $ 1 .6 b i l l i o n o th a n 300 p r o je c ts u nd erw ay w ill d e la y s in b rin g in g n o n -c ritic a l 2 y ears and w ill red u ce F ed eral v er th e n ex t 5 y e a rs . T hese p ro p o sa ls re su lt fo llo w in g in th e changes in fu n d in g : _____________ ( i n m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) _______________ 1981 1982 1983 1964 1985 1986 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity . O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity . O u t l a y s ................................... P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity . O u t l a y s ................................... 2 ,4 1 5 2 ,5 2 0 2 ,6 6 0 2 ,6 7 5 3 ,1 2 4 3 ,1 2 0 3 ,2 6 2 3 ,2 5 8 3 ,1 1 3 3 ,1 1 0 2 ,7 7 2 2 ,7 7 2 95 90 340 337 545 544 515 514 215 217 2 ,5 6 5 2 ,5 8 5 2 ,7 8 4 2 ,7 8 3 2 ,7 1 7 2 ,7 1 4 2 ,5 9 8 2 ,5 9 6 2 ,5 5 5 2 ,5 5 5 ---------——— 2 ,4 1 5 2 ,5 2 0 5-6 Environmental Protection Agency REFO RM O F M U N IC IP A L W ASTE TREA TM ENT G RANTS TO REDUCE T H E C O S T O F A C H IE V IN G E N V IR O N M E N T A L P R O T E C T IO N T he P re s id e n t is p ro p o sin g red u ced a p p ro p ria tio n s and a m o re c o s t-e ffe c tiv e ta rg e tin g o f th e m u n ic ip a l w a ste tr e a tm e n t g ra n t p ro g ram a d m in is te re d by th e E n v iro n m e n ta l P ro te c tio n A gency. T h is a c tio n w ill red u ce near te rm e x p e n d itu re s fo r c a p ita l in v e s tm e n ts , c o n s is te n t w ith th e need to red u ce F ed eral e x p e n d itu re s. T h ro u g h m a jo r re fo rm s to th e p ro g ra m , i t w ill a ls o re lie v e th e b urden on th e F ed eral G o v ern m en t fo r fin a n c in g p r o j e c t s t h a t im p ro v e th e e n v iro n m e n t o n ly m a r g i n a lly o r not at a ll. T hese refo rm s w ill g re a tly red u ce th e c u rre n t F e d e ra l r e s p o n s i b i l i t y fro m th e e s tim a te d $90 b illio n re q u ire d under c u r r e n t la w ; a n d w o u ld d o s o w ith o u t s a c r i f i c i n g o u r o b j e c t i v e o f c le a n e r w a te r. T he ch a n g e in th e p ro g ram w ill b e a c h ie v e d by th e fo llo w in g th re e a c tio n s: (1 ) a re sc is sio n o f $1 b i l l i o n in a p p r o p r ia tio n s f o r 1 9 8 1 ; (2 ) p ro p o s in g le g i s l a ti o n to re q u ire F ed eral fu n d in g of o n ly th o se p ro je c ts th a t are se le c te d and d e sig n e d to s i g n i f i c a n t l y im p ro v e th e q u a l i t y o f th e r e c e i v i n g w a te r s in th e near te rm ; and (3 ) w ith d ra w in g th e re q u e s t to a p p r o p r ia te 1982 fu n d s u n t il th e re fo rm s h av e b een e n a c te d . T h ere a re $15 b ill io n a lr e a d y a p p r o p r ia te d fro m th e T re a s u ry b u t n o t y e t sp e n t, w h ic h w ill be used to c o n tin u e c o n s tr u c tio n on c o m m itte d f a c i l i t i e s . N ew s t a r t s t h a t w o u ld have been fu n d ed w ith th e 1981 fu n ds p ro p o sed fo r r e s c is s io n and w ith th e 1982 a p p ro p ria tio n w ill be p o stp o n e d u n t il re fo rm le g is la tio n is e n a c te d . At th a t p o in t, $ 2 .4 b i l l i o n w il l b e p ro p o se d . S p e c ific le g isla tio n w ill be fo rw ard ed to C o n g ress by th e E n v iro n m e n ta l P ro te c tio n A gency in th e near fu tu re . T h is le g isla tio n w ill c o n c e n tra te th e p ro g ram on tre a tm e n t p ro je c ts th a t d ir e c tly enhance th e q u a lity o f re c e iv in g w a te rs . P ro je c ts, or fe a tu re s o f p ro je c ts, th a t do not re su lt in d ire c t e n v iro n m e n ta l im p ro v e m e n t, or w h ic h f o c u s o n f u t u r e c o m m u n ity g ro w th w il l have to be b u ilt, if at a ll, w ith o u t F ed eral a ssista n c e . E x a m p les of p ro je c ts th a t w o u ld no lo n g e r be e l i g i b l e f o r F e d e ra l fu n d in g in c lu d e new in te r c e p to r se w e rs, th e fu n d in g o f c a p a c ity to m eet fu tu re p o p u la tio n p ro je c tio n s , and c o ll e c tio n sew er sy ste m s th a t c o n tr ib u te to u rb a n s p ra w l an d h a v e a m a rg in a l im p a c t on w a te r q u a li t y . 5-7 (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 19 82 19 83 1984 1985 1981 C u r r e n t base: B udget a u th o rity .. O u t l a y s ...................................... P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity .. O u t l a y s ...................................... P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity .. O u t l a y s ...................................... * C o n g ress/ 1982. 1986 3 ,3 0 5 3 ,6 1 0 4 ,2 2 0 3 ,9 4 0 4 ,2 3 0 4 ,2 6 0 4 ,2 5 0 4 ,5 7 0 4 ,1 0 0 4 ,8 6 5 4 ,1 0 0 . -1 ,0 0 0 -3 ,6 1 0 -12 5 -1 ,5 4 0 -1 ,0 4 5 -1 ,8 6 0 -1 ,9 7 0 -2 ,1 7 0 -1 ,9 6 0 -2 ,4 6 5 -1 ,9 5 0 _____* 2 , 4 0 0 3 ,1 8 5 4 ,0 9 5 2 ,4 0 0 2 ,2 8 0 2 ,4 0 0 2 ,1 4 0 2 ,4 0 0 2 ,1 5 0 . . . 2 ,3 0 5 4 ,2 0 0 C o n tin g e n t upon th e e n a c tm e n t o f n e e d e d refo rm s an a p p r o p r ia tio n o f $ 2 .4 b i l l i o n w i l l b e re q u e s te d 5-8 by fo r th e 6. IM P O S E F IS C A L R E S T R A IN T ON O T H E R PROGRAM S O P N A T IO N A L IN T E R E S T D e p a rtm e n t o f C on snerce N A T IO N A L O C E A N IC AND A T M O S P H E R IC A D M IN IS T R A T IO N (D E P A R T M E N T O F CO M M ERC E) T he N a tio n a l O c e a n ic an d A tm o sp h e ric A d m in is tr a tio n (N O A A ) does m any th in g s t h a t we a s a N a tio n v a lu e h ig h ly ( e .g ., h u r r ic a n e and to rn a d o w a rn in g s and p r o t e c t i o n o f e n d a n g e r e d m a r in e m a m m a ls); h o w e v e r, S ta te s and l o c a l i t i e s sh o u ld assu m e re sp o n s ib ility fo r th o se NOAA p r o g r a m s fro m w h ich th e y d ire c tly b e n e fit. The A d m in is tra tio n w ill th e re fo re p ro p o se a $150 m illio n re d u c tio n in 1 9 8 2 f o r NOAA p r o g r a m s . F u n d in g w ill be te rm in a te d fo r th e C o a sta l E n erg y Im p act P ro g ram (C E IP ) and th e C o a sta l Zone M a n a g e m e n t (C Z M ) S t a t e g r a n t p r o g r a m . F ed eral g ran t a ssista n c e w ill be re d u c e d to S ea G ra n t C o lle g e s b y 50% . In a d d itio n , th e d e v e l o p m e n t o f t h e N a t i o n a l O c e a n S a t e l l i t e S y s te m (N O S S ) w i l l b e d eferred . T h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n p r o p o s e s t o t e r m i n a t e t h e C E IP p r o g r a m b e c a u s e th e l o c a l im p a c ts fro m o i l an d g a s d e v e lo p m e n t h a v e p ro v e n to be fa r le ss th a n o rig in a lly a n tic ip a te d and w e ll w ith in th e c a p a b ility o f S ta te s and lo c a litie s to h a n d le . The o v e ra ll c o a sta l p o p u la tio n is o n ly e x p e c te d to in c r e a s e b y a b o u t 8 ,0 0 0 p erso n s a year as a re su lt of c o a sta l en erg y d e v e lo p m e n t. L o u i s i a n a , w h ic h h a s r e c e iv e d a l a r g e p o r t i o n o f C E IP f u n d s , a l s o r e c e iv e d s e v e ra n c e ta x e s fro m o i l an d g a s — a m o u n tin g to ro u g h ly $500 m illio n in 1979. T hese fu n d s c o u ld be used to a s s is t p erso n s in re lo c a tin g . The CZM p r o g r a m has la rg e ly a c h ie v e d its p u rp o se. S ta te s c o v e rin g 78% of th e c o a s tlin e a lre a d y h av e re c e iv e d 7 y e a rs o f F e d e r a l a s s i s t a n c e to d e v e lo p , im p le m e n t, and a d m in iste r th e ir c o a sta l zone m anagem ent p ro g ram s. C o n t i n u a t i o n o f t h e S t a t e CZM p ro g ra m s a n d a n y a d d i t i o n a l im p ro v e m e n ts s h o u ld be fin a n c e d by th e S ta te s. G ran t re d u c tio n s to th e 16 d e s ig n a te d S ea G ra n t C o lle g e s are p ro p o sed because th e research and in fo rm a tio n d e riv e d fro m th e s e i n s t i t u t i o n s is p r im a r ily o f lo c a l, S ta te , o r r e g i o n a l b e n e f i t a n d c a n b e c o n d u c t e d w i t h o u t NOAA f u n d i n g . The g lo b a l w e a th e r d a ta th a t c o u ld be g e n e ra te d by NOSS i s o f lo n g -te rm s c i e n t i f i c im p o rta n c e , b u t i t can be p o s tp o n e d a t a t o t a l G o v ern m en t s a v in g s o f $900 m illio n o v e r th e n e x t 7 y e a r s . NOAA p r o g r a m c o sts o v er th e n ex t 5 y e a rs o rig in a l in te n t o f a s s is ta n c e o n ly w hen can th u s be T hese chan th e c o a sta l e s s e n tia l and . 6-1 re d u c e d b y m o re th a n $1 b i l l i o n ges are c o n s is te n t w ith th e p ro g ram s — to p ro v id e F e d e ra l fo r fro n t-e n d seed m oney. The c o s t o f NOSS i s t o o h i g h a t th is tim e and o c e a n o g ra p h ic d a ta needs can b e m et th ro u g h o th e r m eans. T hese changes w ill red u ce F e d e r a l s p e n d i n g w i t h o u t a f f e c t i n g N O A A 's p r i m a r y m i s s i o n s . A sh o rt d e sc rip tio n o f th e ab o ve p ro g ram s fo llo w s: — The C o a sta l E n erg y Im p act P ro g ram (C E IP ) p ro v id e s F ed eral a s s is ta n c e to S ta te s and lo c a litie s to p la n fo r an d m it ig a te th e im p a c t o f c o a s ta l en erg y d e v e lo p m e n t a c tiv itie s . — The C o a sta l Zone M anagem ent (C Z M ) p r o g r a m p ro v id e s F ed eral g ran t a ssista n c e to 25 S t a t e s t o p r o t e c t a n d d e v e lo p in a " r a tio n a l" m anner th e ir c o a s ta l z o n e. — T he S ea G ra n t p ro g ram w as d e sig n e d research c a p a b ilitie s acro ss p a r tic ip a tin g Sea G ran t C o lle g e s. ~ The p ro p o se d n a tio n a l ocean s a t e l l i t e used to o b ta in o c e a n o g ra p h ic d a ta p re d ic tio n and to assess th e ro le d e te rm in in g th e w o r ld 's c l im a te . In DOD a n d N A S A w o u l d s h a r e i n t h e $900 N O SS, W h ic h i s i n t h e e a r l y s t a g e s o f P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o r ity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. sy s te m w o u ld be fo r c i v i l w e a th e r of th e ocean in a d d i t i o n t o NOAA, m illio n cost of d e v e lo p m e n t. (in m illio n s o f d o lla rs ) 1982 1983 1984 1985 1981 C u rren t b a se : B udget a u th o r ity ..• . to d e v e lo p m a rin e th e c o u n try in 1986 92 145 184 175 224 217 262 265 275 274 268 249 -9 -6 -1 5 2 -6 9 -2 0 2 -1 4 8 -2 3 8 -2 1 6 -2 5 0 -2 5 3 -2 4 1 -2 2 3 83 139 32 106 22 69 24 49 25 21 27 26 6-2 Department of Education R E D U C T IO N O F SC H O O L A S S IS T A N C E IN F E D E R A L L Y A F F E C T E D A R EA S (IM P A C T A ID ) T he A d m in is tra tio n re c o g n iz e s th a t th e p rim a ry r e s p o n s ib ili ty fo r fin a n c in g e le m e n ta ry and se c o n d a ry e d u c a tio n r e s t s w ith S ta te and lo c a l g o v e rn m e n ts. F e d e ra l sp e n d in g i s j u s t i f i a b l e o n ly in th o s e c ir c u m s ta n c e s in w h ic h a c l e a r F e d e r a l r o le can be id e n tifie d . In t h e Im p a c t A id p ro g ra m , t h e A d m i n i s t r a t io n p r o p o s e s t o d i r e c t s c a rc e F e d e ra l re so u rc e s o n ly to th o se school d istric ts m ost se rio u sly burdened by th e p resen ce of n o n ta x a b le F ed eral p ro p e rty . In 1982, a 45% re d u c tio n in th e m a in te n a n c e and o p e ra tio n s p o rtio n of Im p a c t A id w i l l b e a c h ie v e d b y e l i m i n a t i n g p a y m e n ts fo r c h ild r e n w hose p a re n ts c o n tr ib u te to th e su p p o rt of th e ir e d u c a tio n th ro u g h S ta te and lo c a l ta x e s. P a y m e n ts w i l l b e m ade o n ly to th o s e s c h o o l d i s t r i c t s in w h ic h c h ild r e n w ho re sid e and w hose p a re n ts w o r k o n F e d e r a l p r o p e r t y r e p r e s e n t 20% o r m o r e o f to t a l e n ro llm e n t. A le g itim a te F ed eral ro le in su p p o rtin g th e e d u c a tio n of th e se c h ild re n has lo n g been re c o g n iz e d . M a in te n a n c e an d o p e r a tio n p a y m e n ts w i l l b e m ade to th e 330 m ost h e a v ily burdened d istric ts w h ile S ta te and lo c a l e d u c a tio n a g e n c ie s w o u ld a ssu m e t o t a l r e s p o n s i b i l i t y in over 3 ,5 0 0 o th e r d i s t r i c t s t h a t c u r r e n tly r e c e iv e p a y m e n ts. G iv e n p resen t c o n stra in ts, i t is no lo n g e r fe a s ib le to p ro v id e s u b s ta n tia l su p p o rt under th e Im p a c t A id p ro g ram to school d i s t r i c t s s o le ly on th e b a s is o f th e re s id e n c e p a tte r n o f F e d e ra l e m p lo y e e s. W ith th e e x c e p tio n o f th e tin y f r a c tio n o f F e d e ra l e m p lo y e e s w ho a r e e x e m p t fro m in c o m e ta x e s in th e D istric t of C o lu m b ia by v irtu e o f e m p lo y m e n t w ith a C o n g re s sm a n fro m t h e i r hom e s t a t e , a l l o th e r F e d e r a l e m p lo y e e s p a y sta te in c o m e , real p ro p e rty , and p erso n al p ro p e rty t a x e s i n t h e j u r i s d i c t i o n s .in w h ic h th e y liv e in a m an n er no d i f f e r e n t th a n o th e r c i t i z e n s . To th e e x t e n t t h a t w e ll- p a id F e d e r a l e m p lo y e e s au g m e n t th e ta x base of th e re g io n s in w h ic h th e y l i v e , th e r e i s no j u s t i f i c a t i o n f o r a d d i t i o n a l F e d e r a l p a y m e n ts t o th e s c h o o ls to w h ic h th e y send th e i r c h ild re n s o le ly on th e g ro u n d s o f re s id e n c e . The fo llo w in g s p e c ific p ro g ram ch a n g es w ill b e m ade fo r 1 98 2. P a y m e n ts w i l l b e m ad e f o r "A " c h i l d r e n in "S u p er A" d istric ts (th o se d istric ts w i t h 20% o r m o r e "A " c h i l d r e n e n r o l l e d ) a t 90% e n t i t l e m e n t ; p a y m e n ts f o r "A " l o w - r e n t h o u s i n g c h i l d r e n i n " S u p e r A " d i s t r i c t s w i l l b e l i m i t e d t o 20% e n t i t l e m e n t ; a n d p a y m e n t s to "B " m ilita ry or c iv ilia n c h ild re n w ill be e lim in a te d . In 1981 th e p a y m e n ts f o r m a in te n a n c e an d o p e r a tio n s a s s i s t a n c e w o u ld be m ade a t 90% o f a d i s t r i c t ' s e n t i t l e m e n t t h r o u g h a r e s c i s s i o n o f $67 m illio n . 6-3 1981 Current base: B udget a u th o rity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o r ity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o r ity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. (in m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 790 932 875 888 953 968 1 ,0 3 2 1 ,0 4 7 1 ,1 0 7 1 ,1 2 7 1 ,1 7 8 1 ,1 9 6 -6 7 -8 2 -4 7 4 -4 5 0 -52 3 -5 0 0 -5 6 7 -5 5 1 -6 0 8 -5 8 4 -6 3 2 -6 1 3 723 850 401 438 430 468 465 496 499 543 546 583 6-4 Department of Education R E D U C IN G F U N D IN G FO R V O C A T IO N A L E D U C A T IO N T h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l p r o p o s e a 20% r e d u c t i o n i n fu n d in g fro m th e C a r t e r 1 9 8 2 b u d g e t r e q u e s t f o r t h e D e p a rtm e n t o f E d u c a t i o n 's V o c a tio n a l E d u c a tio n p ro g ram . T he V o c a tio n a l E d u c a tio n A ct p ro v id e s fo r F ed eral su p p o rt of v o c a tio n a l e d u c a tio n p ro g ram s. M ost o f th e fu n d in g fo r th e s e p ro g ra m s i s th ro u g h fo rm u la g r a n ts to th e S ta te s , w h ich re q u ire th e S ta te s to m a tc h F e d e r a l d o l l a r s . S ta te and lo c a l e d u c a tio n a g e n c ie s c u r r e n t l y p r o v id e m o re th a n $10 f o r e v e ry F e d e r a l d o l l a r s p e n t fo r v o c a tio n a l e d u c a tio n . T h erefo re, F ed eral e x p e n d itu re s at th e cu rren t se rv ic e s le v e l are n o t needed to en su re th a t s ig n if ic a n t v o c a tio n a l e d u c a tio n p ro g ram s a re c a r r ie d on in th e S ta te s. C o n tin u e d h ig h le v e ls o f F e d e ra l v o c a tio n a l e d u c a tio n fu n d in g can no lo n g e r be ju stifie d on th e g ro u n d s th a t F e d e ra l fu n d s a re re q u ire d to le v e ra g e S ta te and lo c a l reso u rces to p ro v id e v o c a tio n a l e d u c a tio n s e rv ic e s to s p e c ia l ta r g e t p o p u la tio n s . The p o p u la tio n s th a t u s u a lly m ost re q u ire F e d e ra l su p p o rt a re n o t th e m a jo r fo cu s o f th e p ro g ram s. In sch o o l y e a r 1 9 7 8 -7 9 , o n ly ab o u t 15% o f to ta l v o c a tio n a l e d u c a tio n p ro g ram p a rtic ip a n ts w ere d isa d v a n ta g e d , h a n d ic a p p e d , or had lim ite d E n g lish s p e a k in g a b ility . T h e p r o p o s e d 20% re d u c tio n in budget a u th o rity w ill n e g lig ib le e f f e c t on v o c a tio n a l e d u c a tio n e n ro llm e n t s in an d l o c a l e x p e n d itu re s f a r o u tw e ig h F e d e ra l a p p ro p ria tio recen t y e a rs , p a r tic ip a tio n in v o c a tio n a l e d u c a tio n p ro g c o n tin u e d to in c r e a s e ev e n th o u g h th e r e h a v e been v irtu in c re a s e s in F ed eral a p p ro p ria tio n s . in m illio n s 1983 1982 1981 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s ............................... P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s ............................... P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s ................ have c e S ta ns. ram s h a lly a te In as no o f d o lla rs 1984 1985 1986 779 767 859 962 910 962 974 881 1 ,0 3 9 1 ,0 1 5 1 ,1 0 4 1 ,0 6 8 -------- -2 3 6 ----- -2 2 0 -2 4 2 -2 4 2 -2 5 9 -2 5 2 -2 7 7 -2 6 9 -2 9 4 -2 8 3 779 767 623 742 668 720 715 629 762 746 810 785 6-5 Department of Education R E D U C T IO N O P F U N D IN G FO R T H E N A T IO N A L IN S T IT U T E O F E D U C A T IO N The A d m in is tra tio n w ill w ith d ra w th e $5 m i l l i o n s u p p lm e n ta l p ro p o sed by th e C a rte r a d m in is tra tio n fo r th e N a tio n a l I n s t itu te o f E d u c a tio n (N IE ) f o r 1981 an d re d u c e fu n d in g f o r N IE in 1982 and s u c c e e d in g y ears by 25% . The re s e a rc h and d is s e m in a tio n a c tiv itie s of th e N IE , w h ile o c c a sio n a lly m a k in g v a lu a b le c o n trib u tio n s to th e th e o ry and p ra c tic e o f e d u c a tio n , a re o f r e l a t i v e l y lo w p r i o r i t y g iv e n p r e s e n t b u d g e ta r y c o n d i t i o n s . N IE f u n d s r e s e a r c h a n d d e m o n s t r a t i o n a c t i v i t i e s i n th re e area s: b a sic e d u c a tio n a l research , e d u c a tio n a l o rg a n iz a tio n and a d m in is tra tio n , and d is s e m in a tio n o f th e r e s u lts o f re s e a rc h and d e m o n stra tio n s to p r a c titio n e r s in th e f ie ld . W h ile th e l a t t e r a c tiv ity ca n , in c e r ta in in s ta n c e s , have im m e d ia te p ay o ffs in im p ro v e d e d u c a tio n a l p ra c tic e at th e lo c a l le v e l, th e o th e r a c t i v i t i e s o f t h e N IE p a y o f f , i f a t a l l , o n ly i n t h e l o n g e r r u n . W h ile b a s i c e d u c a tio n a l r e s e a r c h h a s v a lu e , d e f e r r a l s a n d s t r e t c h o u ts o f w ork c u r r e n tly u nd erw ay can a c h ie v e s ig n if ic a n t b u d g e ta ry s a v in g s w ith o u t re d u c in g th e a b ility of th e N IE to su p p o rt im p ro v e m e n ts in c u r r e n t e d u c a tio n a l p r a c t i c e . The A d m in is tra tio n p ro p o sal p ro v id e s th e S e c r e ta r y o f E d u c a tio n w ith c o n s id e r a b le f l e x i b i l i t y to r e a l l o c a t e re m a in in g fu n d s to w a rd th o se e ffo rts th a t w ill re su lt in c o n tin u e d im p ro v e m e n ts in e d u c a tio n a l p ra c tic e . A s a r e s u l t o f t h e s e r e d u c t i o n s , N IE w i l l b e p r o v i d e d w i t h b u d g e t a u th o r it y o f $74 m illio n in 1981 an d $61 m illio n in 1 9 8 2 . B udget a u t h o r i t y w i l l b e r e d u c e d b y 25% a n n u a l l y o r b y $ 1 1 7 m i l l i o n o v e r th e n e x t 5 y e a r s . (in m illio n s o f d o lla r s ) 1982 1983 1984 1985 L981 C u rren t b a se : B udget a u th o rity ... O u t l a y s ........................................... P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity ... O u t l a y s ........................................... P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity ... O u t l a y s ........................................... 1986 74 71 81 80 87 83 94 88 100 93 105 100 ------- -2 0 -2 2 -2 2 -2 0 -2 3 -2 0 -2 5 -2 1 -2 7 -2 2 74 71 61 58 65 63 71 68 75 72 78 78 6-6 Department of Education R E D U C IN G F E D E R A L S U P P O R T TO M USEUM S T h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n p r o p o s e s t o t e r m i n a t e t h e I n s t i t u t e f o r M useum S e r v i c e s , w h ic h a w a rd s g r a n ts t o m useum s p r i n c i p a l l y f o r g en eral o p e ra tin g su p p o rt. T h is p ro p o sal is p art of an o v e ra ll A d m in istra tio n e f f o r t to re th in k F ed eral su p p o rt of c u ltu ra l a c tiv itie s . W h ile m useum s and o th e r re p o s ito rie s o f c u ltu ra l a r t i f a c t s a r e im p o rta n t in o u r s o c ie ty , th e y have tra d itio n a lly been th e b e n e fic ia rie s of p riv a te p h ila n th ro p y , fo r b o th c o n s tru c tio n and o p e ra tin g fu n d s. I t is tr u e th a t th e o v e ra ll d e c lin e in e c o n o m ic c o n d itio n s in recen t y ears and p u n ish in g ly h ig h p e rso n a l and c o rp o ra te ta x r a te s h av e d iv e rte d p riv a te c a p ita l in to ta x s h e lte r s r a th e r th a n e x p e n d itu r e s t h a t b e n e f i t s o c ie ty a s a w h o le . The A d m in istra tio n p ro p o s e s to a t ta c k th e s e p ro b le m s d i r e c t l y , h o w e v e r, th ro u g h its o v e ra ll e c o n o m ic p ro g ram . A h e a lth y and e x p a n d in g econom y w ill p r o v id e f a r m o re e f f e c t i v e s u p p o rt f o r c u l t u r a l a c tiv itie s th a n any re a s o n a b le am ount o f e x p lic it F e d e ra l su p p o rt. The change w ill be m illio n fo r 1981 and a e lim in a te fu n d s fo r s u p p o rt w ill b e m a in ta agency a c tiv itie s . a c h ie v e d b y p ro p o sin g a r e s c is s io n o f -$ 1 2 -$ 1 6 m illio n b u d g e t am endm ent f o r 1982 to g ra n ts to m useum s. Som e a d m in is tr a ti v e in e d th ro u g h 1982 in o rd er to phase out (in m illio n s 1983 1982 1951 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s ............................... P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s ............................... P ro p o se d b u d g e t: B udget a u th o rity O u t l a y s ............................... 1954 158? 19§6 13 13 14 12 15 13 16 14 18 16 19 18 # * • -1 2 -2 -1 4 -1 2 -1 5 -1 3 -1 6 -1 4 -1 8 -1 6 -1 9 -1 8 • ■ • 1 11 * 2 • * * * $ 5 0 0 , 0 0 0 o r less. o f d o lla rs) 6-7 -------- --------- Department o f Energy R E D U C T IO N S IN EN ERG Y R E G U L A T IO N I N TH E D EPA RTM EN T O F EN ER G Y The P re sid e n t's c o m m itm e n t t o e n d in g u n n ecessary G o v ern m en t re g u la to ry p ro g ram s w ill p e rm it a s iz e a b le re d u c tio n in s p e n d in g an d re m o v a l o f l a r g e n u m b ers o f F e d e r a l e m p lo y e e s fro m G o v e rn m e n t p a y ro lls . O il d e c o n tro l h a s e n a b le d th e P re sid e n t to p ro p o se e lim in a tio n of th e D e p a rtm e n t o f E n e rg y r e g u la to r y a c t i v i t i e s t h a t w e re d e s ig n e d to c o m p e n sa te f o r th e m a rk e tp la c e im b a la n c e s caused by p ric e c o n tro ls on o il. D e p a rtm e n t o f E n e rg y p ro g ra m s such as th e p ric e and a llo c a tio n re g u la to ry fu n c tio n s of th e E c o n o m ic R e g u la t o r y A d m i n i s t r a t i o n , i n t e r v e n t i o n s i n S t a t e p u b l i c u tility p ro c e e d in g s, m a n d a to ry fu e l-u se r e s tr ic tio n s , and th e cu m b erso m e c o u p o n r a t i o n i n g sy ste m w il l b e c o m p le te ly e lim in a te d o r re p la c e d b y s tre a m lin e d p ro g ram s re ly in g on m a rk e t f o r c e s . The p ro p o se d re d u c tio n s to ta l $150 m illio n , fro m 1982 b u d g e t a u th o r it y le v e ls . The p ro g ram changes ch an g es in fu n d in g : are e x p e c te d re s u lt in (in m illio n s 1982 1983 1981 C u rren t b ase: B udget a u th o r ity ... . O u t l a y s .............................................. P o lic y re d u c tio n : B udget a u th o rity .. . O u t l a y s .............................................. P ro p o sed b u d g e t: B udget a u th o r ity .... O u t l a y s .............................................. to o r a re d u c tio n th e o f 57% fo llo w in g o f d o lla rs) 1984 1985 1986 260 262 261 249 243 244 233 234 232 228 225 224 -3 3 -3 3 -1 5 0 -1 2 7 -1 3 8 -1 4 0 -1 3 1 -1 3 2 -1 2 7 -1 2 3 -1 1 8 -1 1 7 227 229 111 122 105 104 102 102 105 105 107 107 6-8 D e p a rtm e n t R E D U C T IO N IN D EPAR TM ENT O P EN E R G Y GENERAL S C IE N C E o f E n ergy PROGRAMS As p a r t o f i t s o v e r a ll p o lic y of r e d u c in g fu n d in g le v e ls to a s s is t i n r e s o l v i n g t h e N a t i o n ' s f i s c a l and e c o n o m ic c r i s i s , t h e A d m in is tr a tio n p rop oses a r e d u c tio n of $40 m illio n in th e D e p a r tm e n t o f E n e r g y 's g e n e r a l s c i e n c e p r o g r a m s i n l i f e s c i e n c e s an d n u c l e a r m e d i c i n e , h i g h -e n e r g y p h y s i c s , and n u c le a r p h y s ic s . T h is r e d u c t io n w i l l s t i l l p r o v id e an in c r e a s e o v e r 1 9 8 1 t o c o v e r a n t i c i p a t e d i n f l a t i o n i n r e c o g n i t i o n o f th e im p o r ta n c e of b a s ic research i n t h e s e a n d o t h e r f i e l d s o f t h e n a t u r a l s c i e n c e s a s an in v e s tm e n t in th e N a t io n ' s f u t u r e . T h ese p rogram s, e s p e c ia lly h ig h -e n e r g y p h y s ic s , depend u p on la r g e , c o m p le x f a c i l i t i e s and in s t r u m e n t s t o c o n d u c t t h e i r b a s i c e x p e r im e n ts . The c o s t o f o p e r a t i o n and m a in te n a n c e fo r th ese fa c ilitie s has s u b s ta n tia lly in c r e a s e d in recen t years, p a r t i c u l a r l y w ith r i s i n g e n e rg y c o s t s * The s p e c i f i c im p a c ts o f t h e s e r e d u c tio n s w ill be a te m p o ra ry s t r e t c h -o u t o f new c o n s t r u c t i o n , a g e n e r a l d e c r e a s e i n o p e r a t i n g l e v e l and u t i l i z a t i o n , a gen eral r e d u c tio n in th e le v e l of e x p e r im e n ta tio n fo r m e d i u m -e n e r g y n u c le a r p h y s ic s , n u c le a r m e d ic in e and l i f e s c i e n c e s , and d e fe r r a ls of new a c c e le r a to r c o n s tr u c tio n a t u n iv e r s it ie s . In 1 9 8 3 and b e y o n d , th e A d m in is t r a t io n o f e f f o r t f u n d i n g t h a t w o u ld e n s u r e t h e r e s e a r c h a c t i v i t i e s in th e fu t u r e . (in m illio n s 1982 1983 1981 C u rren t b a se : B u d g e t a u t h o r i t y . .• • O u t l a y s ............ ....................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .... O u t l a y s ................................... P roposed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y ..• O u t l a y s .................................... p r o je c ts a c o n sta n t v i a b i li t y o f th e se o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 le v e l b a s ic 1986 504 510 607 602 653 651 708 708 755 755 801 801 ~5 “4 -4 0 -2 9 -4 5 -4 3 -6 1 -6 1 -7 2 -7 2 -8 4 -8 4 499 506 567 573 608 608 647 647 683 683 717 717 6 -9 D e p a rtm e n t o f E n ergy ELIM IN ATIO N OF EXCESSIVE ENERGY INFORMATION AND DEPARTMENTAL OVERHEAD A C T IV IT IE S As p a r t o f th e e f f o r t to red u ce e x c e s s iv e F ederal G overn m en t overhead co sts and b u rd e n so m e i n f o r m a t io n g a t h e r i n g a c t i v i t i e s , th e A d m in is tr a tio n p la n s a s ig n ific a n t r e o r ie n ta tio n an d r e d u c tio n in th e d a ta and a n a ly tic s e r v ic e s of th e E n ergy I n fo r m a t io n A d m i n i s t r a t i o n (E IA ) in th e D e p a r tm e n t of E n ergy. V a r io u s d e p a r t m e n t -w id e s u p p o r t and a d m i n i s t r a t i v e f u n c t i o n s w i l l a l s o b e c u t b a c k c o n s i s t e n t w ith d im in is h e d a c t i v i t y e ls e w h e r e i n th e D e p a r tm e n t. T he b u d g e t f o r E IA p r o g r a m s h a s g ro w n s i g n i f i c a n t l y i n t h e p a s t 4 years. Much of th is g ro w th has been t o c r e a t e new o r m o re d e t a i l e d d a t a s y s t e m s and r e f i n e d a n a ly s e s o f lim ite d p r a c tic a l v a lu e . A s a r e s u l t , t h e G o v e r n m e n t h a s c r e a t e d a g r o w i n g dem and f o r e n e r g y c o n s u l t a n t s and s t a t i s t i c i a n s . T he prop osed change w ill reverse t h e t r e n d to w a r d e v e r m o re d e t a i l e d s t a t i s t i c s an d a ssessm e n ts. E IA e f f o r t s W i l l b e fo c u s e d on b a s ic o il, gas, c o a l, and e le c tr ic u tility d a t a s y s t e m s , w i t h im p r o v e m e n t s i n t h e s e s y s t e m s m ade a s w a r r a n t e d , a n d o n p u b lic a tio n s of proven v a lu e , such as t h e M o n th ly E n e rg y R e v ie w . E m p h a s is w i l l b e o n n a tio n a l le v e l d a ta ; S ta te le v e l d a ta , c o s t ly to c o l l e c t , w i ll be cut back. R e c e n tly crea ted sy ste m s th a t have produced in fo r m a tio n r e a d ily a v a ila b le e ls e w h e r e w ill be s ig n if ic a n t ly red u ced o r e lim in a t e d . A n a ly t ic a l e f f o r t s w i l l be r e o r ie n te d to p r o v id e f a s t e r , m o re r e l e v a n t a n a l y s i s and e l i m i n a t e d u p l i c a t i o n w ith o t h e r D e p a rtm e n t o f E n e rg y o ffic e s . R educed a c tiv ity of o th e r E nergy D e p a r t m e n t u n i t s w i l l a l s o r e d u c e t h e n e e d f o r E IA su p p o rt. E n e rg y D e p a rtm e n t o v e r h e a d a c tiv itie s su ch as a c c o u n tin g and person n el are p rop osed to be cut b a c k l a r g e l y t o c o m p le m e n t r e d u c t i o n s p r o p o s e d f o r o t h e r a r e a s o f t h e D ep a r tm e n t o f E n ergy. O th e r p r o p o s e d d e c r e a s e s o c c u r i n d e p a r tm e n t-w id e f u n c t i o n s su c h as p o lic y a n a ly s is , in te r n a tio n a l en ergy a c tiv itie s , p u b lic in fo r m a tio n and o t h e r p r o g r a m s f o r w h ic h t h e r e i s now l e s s n e e d b e c a u se m arket f o r c e s w i l l b e p la y in g a la r g e r r o le in r e s o lv in g en ergy is s u e s . To a c h ie v e th e s e r e s u l t s , th e P r e s id e n t w i l l b u d g e t a m e n d m e n ts a s w e l l a s a n y le g is la tio n d a t a r e q u ir e m e n ts w r i t t e n i n t o la w . p rop ose needed a p p r o p r ia te to redu ce The p rop osal is e x p e c te d to red u ce E IA and d e p a rtm e n ta l a d m in is tr a tio n b u d get a u th o r ity by $38 m illio n o r 10* in 1982. T o t a l fu n d in g r e q u ir e m e n ts and c h a n g e s a r e a s f o l l o w s : 6 -1 0 _____________ ( i n C u rren t m illio n s o f d o l l a r s ) ______________ 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 366 356 398 387 405 405 414 414 423 423 431 431 -1 3 -3 -3 8 -2 7 -6 2 -6 2 -6 7 -6 7 -7 3 -7 3 -7 8 -7 8 353 353 360 360 343 343 347 347 350 350 353 353 b a se: B udget a u t h o r i t y .... O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B u dget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P rop osed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . 6 -1 1 H e a lth and H um an S e r v ic e s MODERATE GROWTH FOR THE NATIONAL IN STITU TES OF HEALTH R e f l e c t i n g t h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n ' s c o m m itm en t t o F e d e r a l s u p p o r t of e s s e n tia l b io m e d ic a l r e s e a r c h a c t i v i t i e s , fu n d in g i n c r e a s e s w i l l b e p r o p o s e d f o r c o n t i n u e d g r o w th o f t h e N a tio n a l In s titu te s of H e a lth (N IH ). NIH p r o v id e s su p p ort fo r b io m e d ic a l r e s e a r c h , p r i m a r i ly th ro u g h N I H 's e le v e n In s titu te s . R esearch p r o je c t g r a n t s , made m o s t l y t o i n d i v i d u a l r e s e a r c h e r s and r e s e a r c h t e a m s , accoun t fo r a p p r o x im a te ly o n e - h a l f o f N I H 's b u d g e t . O t h e r NIH fu n d s s u p p o r t a v a r i e t y of research and tr a in in g a c tiv itie s , in c lu d in g t h e NIH i n t r a m u r a l r e s e a r c h p r o g r a m , r e s e a r c h c e n t e r s , and c o n t r a c t s . T h is fu n d in g w ill a llo w c o n tin u a tio n of p r e v io u s years' c o m m itm e n ts and p e r m it s u b s ta n tia l n u m b ers o f new a w a r d s e a c h year. As p a r t o f a gen eral e ffo r t to a c h ie v e e c o n o m ie s an d redu ce lo w e r p r i o r i t y a c t i v i t i e s , h o w e v e r, th e fu n d in g i n c r e a s e s w i l l n o t f u l l y co v e r p r o je c te d in f la t i o n . R eal r e d u c tio n s b e lo w t h e c u r r e n t b a s e w i l l b e m ade a c r o s s a l l NIH I n s t i t u t e s . D e s p ite th e se o v e r a ll r e d u c tio n s , h ow ever, th e A d m in is tr a tio n r e m a i n s c o m m i t t e d t o NIH r e s e a r c h p r o j e c t g r a n t s a s a v e h i c l e f o r s tim u la tin g s c i e n t i f i c b re a k th ro u g h s th a t re tu rn b e n e fits to s o c i e t y f a r i n e x c e s s o f t h e F e d e r a l c o m m itm e n t o f f u n d s . One o f t h e p r i n c i p a l a r e a s o f r e d u c t i o n w i l l b e t h e i n s t i t u t i o n a l p a y m e n ts m ade fo r NIH (a n d o t h e r ) r e s e a r c h t r a i n i n g u n d e r t h e n a t i o n a l r e s e a r c h s e r v i c e a w a r d s (NRSA) p r o g r a m . T h is p rop osal w o u ld e lim in a te th e cu rren t p r a c tic e of p a y in g m o re t o an i n s t i t u t i o n f o r a F e d e r a lly su p p o rte d t r a i n e e th a n i s c h a rg e d in tu itio n a n d f e e s t o n o n - f e d e r a l l y s u p p o r t e d s t u d e n t s a t t h e sam e in s titu tio n . A l l t r a i n e e s w o u ld c o n t i n u e t o r e c e i v e aw ards fo r t h e i r t u i t i o n , f e e s , and l i v i n g e x p e n s e s . For 1981, th e A d m in is tr a tio n w ill requ est budget a u th o r ity r e d u c t i o n s t o t a l i n g $ 1 2 6 m i l l i o n b e l o w t h e NIH c u r r e n t base but s till a llo w in g a $89 m illio n in c r e a s e o v e r th e 1 980 l e v e l . For 1 9 8 2 , a f u r t h e r i n c r e a s e o f $ 2 4 6 m i l l i o n , fr o m $ 3 .5 b illio n to n e a r ly $ 3 .8 b i l l i o n in b u d g et a u t h o r it y , w i l l be r e q u e s te d . In a d d it io n , th e A d m in is tr a tio n w i l l p rop o se th a t th e le g is la tiv e r e q u ir e m e n t fo r th e in s titu tio n a l p a y m e n ts under NRSA be e lim in a t e d . T he r e d u c t i o n s a r e f u n d i n g f o r N IH : e x p e c te d to r e s u lt 6 -1 2 in th e fo llo w in g changes in 1981 C u rrent b a se : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . O u t l a y s ................................ P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y ... O u t l a y s ................................ P rop osed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r i t y ... O u t l a y s ................................ . . . . (in m illio n s 1982 1983 o f d o lla r s ) L984 1985 3 ,6 4 4 3 ,4 3 2 3 ,9 6 1 3 ,7 3 1 4 ,2 5 0 4 ,0 0 3 4 , 514 4 ,2 5 1 4 ,7 6 2 4 ,4 8 5 5 ,0 0 0 4 ,7 0 9 -1 2 6 -5 4 -1 9 7 -1 4 5 -3 7 3 -3 3 6 -5 1 2 -4 6 8 -6 2 8 -5 8 4 -7 2 6 -6 8 2 3 ,5 1 8 3 ,3 7 8 3 ,7 6 4 3 ,5 8 6 3 ,8 7 7 3 ,6 6 7 4 ,0 0 2 3 ,7 8 3 4 ,1 3 4 3 ,9 0 1 4 , 274 4 ,0 2 7 N o t e : E l i m i n a t i o n o f NRSA i s e x p e c t e d t o r e s u l t change i n f u n d i n g f o r t h e A l c o h o l , D rug A b u s e , A d m i n i s t r a t i o n (n o t in c lu d e d a b o v e ) : Budget a u t h o r i t y .... O u t l a y s ................................... 1986 -4 -1 -5 -4 6 -1 3 -5 -4 in th e fo llo w in g and M e n ta l H e a lt h -6 -6 -6 -5 -7 -6 H e a lth E L IM IN A T E M E D IC A L S E R V IC E S E N T IT L E M E N T and H u m an FOR .MERCHANT S e r v ic e s SEAM EN The P u b l i c H e a l t h S e r v i c e (PH S) h a s o p e r a t e d a w h o lly fe d e r a lly f i n a n c e d m e d i c a l c a r e s y s t e m f o r m e r c h a n t se am en s i n c e 1 7 9 8 . The o r ig in a l p u rp ose of th e e n t i t l e m e n t w as t o p r o t e c t t h e N a t i o n fr o m c o m m u n ic a b le d i s e a s e s t h a t c o u l d b e b r o u g h t i n t o t h e c o u n t r y fr o m f o r e i g n p o rts at a tim e when th e r e w ere fe w m e d ic a l fa c ilitie s in A m e r ic a n port c itie s . Today, th o se c i t i e s have s u f f i c i e n t m e d ic a l f a c i l i t i e s . M o reo v e r, th ro u g h th e y e a r s , t h i s e n t i t l e m e n t h a s b e e n e x p a n d e d fr o m m e r c h a n t se a m e n to m erchant seam en u n io n m em bers — i n c l u d i n g t u g b o a t o p e r a t o r s , f i s h e r m e n , o f f s h o r e d r i l l i n g c rew m e n , and o t h e r s i n a d d i t i o n to o c e a n g o in g seam en . T h u s , a p r o g r a m t h a t w as o r i g i n a l l y d e s i g n e d t o p r o v i d e o c c a s i o n a l o n s h o r e b e n e f i t s f o r seam en who s p e n t m ost of th e ir days at sea has becom e, in e f f e c t , a f r e e G overn m ent h e a l t h d e liv e r y program fo r s e le c te d c la s s e s of o c c u p a tio n s . The A d m in is tr a tio n w ill s e e k r e p e a l o f t h i s e n t it le m e n t and c lo s u r e o f t h e r e m a i n i n g e i g h t PHS h o s p i t a l s and 2 9 c l i n i c s now p r o v i d i n g fr e e m e d ic a l c a r e . The PHS h o s p i t a l a n d c l i n i c s y s t e m , m o r e o v e r , i s u n d e r -u s e d and a c tu a lly a g g ra v a tes h e a lth care co sts in c itie s w h ere th e h o s p it a ls a re lo c a te d . Im p r o v e d h e a l t h , t h e d e c lin in g s iz e of th e o c e a n g o in g m erchant fle e t, and t h e g ro w th o f c o l l e c t i v e l y b a r g a i n e d h e a l t h c a r e p l a n s h a v e l e d t o lo w d em a n d s on th e PHS h o s p ita l sy ste m . O ccupan cy r a t e s o f th e h o s p i t a l s h a v e a v e r a g e d a b o u t 60% s i n c e 1 9 7 6 , c o m p a r e d t o n a t i o n a l m inim um sta n d a rd s of 80% occupancy. In a d d i t i o n , a l l o f th e h o s p i t a l s a r e lo c a t e d in a r e a s w ith an e x c e s s s u p p ly o f h o s p i t a l bed s, and a ll of th e e ig h t a ffe c te d c itie s h ave a t l e a s t one o th e r F e d e r a l f a c i l i t y o p e r a t i n g a t l e s s t h a n 80% o c c u p a n c y to care fo r n o n -m e r c h a n t se a m e n p a tie n ts e n title d to F ederal c a r e . T h u s, t h i s p r o p o s a l w i l l a f f e c t a p p r e c i a b l y n e i t h e r m e r c h a n t s e a m e n 's a c c e s s t o c a r e , n o r t h e e i g h t c i t i e s w h e re t h e h o s p i t a l s a n d c l i n i c s a r e l o c a t e d . M o st o f t h e h o s p i t a l s and c l i n i c s h a v e a l s o b e e n s e r v i n g a s m a ll nu m ber of lo w -in c o m e p e o p le in th e ir areas, la r g e ly on an o u tp a tie n t b a s is , in order to fill u n u sed c a p a c ity . T h is prop osal in c lu d e s fu n d s to a l l o w t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f H e a lt h and Human S e r v i c e s t o p a y f o r s u c h s e r v i c e s b y c o n t r a c t i n 1 9 8 2 w h i l e s e e k in g a rra n g e m e n ts f o r in d ig e n t c a r e w ith o t h e r u n d e r -u tiliz e d h o s p it a ls in a ffe c t e d a r e a s . T he A d m in is tr a tio n w ill seek a $39 m illio n r e s c i s s i o n o f 1981 f u n d i n g t o b e g i n p h a s i n g o u t t h e h o s p i t a l s and c l i n i c s t h i s y e a r . F o r 1 9 8 2 , a $ 1 1 0 m i l l i o n r e d u c t i o n fr o m c u r r e n t r e q u i r e m e n t s w i l l be so u g h t. U nder t h i s s c h e d u le , t h e e n t i r e s y s te m w i l l e i t h e r b e c l o s e d o r tu r n e d o v e r t o l o c a l c o m m u n itie s t h a t w is h t o m a in ta in 6 -1 4 th e fa c ilitie s by th e p e r i o d w i l l b e m ore t h a n end o f 1982. $900 m illio n . The p r o p o s a l fu n d in g : to is e x p e c te d r e s u lt 1961 C u rren t b a s e : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P roposed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y . ... O u t l a y s ................................... in S a v in g s th e over fo llo w in g (in m illio n s 1982 1983 th e 1 9 8 1 -8 6 changes o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 in 19$6 157 157 171 171 183 183 194 194 205 205 215 215 -3 9 -3 9 -1 1 0 -1 1 0 -1 8 3 -1 8 3 -1 9 4 -1 9 4 -2 0 5 -2 0 5 -2 1 5 -2 1 5 118 118 61 61 ----------- ----------- ----------- — - — 6 -1 5 H e a lth and BETTER TARGETING OF FEDERAL SU BSID IE S HEALTH PROFESSIONS EDUCATION H um an S e r v ic e s FOR As p a r t o f i t s p la n s fo r b e tte r ta r g e tin g th e a llo c a tio n of F ed eral fu n d s , th e A d m in is tr a tio n w ill p rop ose t o end la r g e g e n e r a l s u b s i d i e s f o r t h e t r a i n i n g o f p h y s i c i a n s and o t h e r h e a l t h p r o fe s s io n a ls . S u ch p r o g r a m s a r e no l o n g e r n e c e s s a r y i n l i g h t o f th e g r o w in g p r o je c te d s u p p ly of m ost h e a lth p r o fe s s io n a ls . In ste a d , F ederal p r o g r a m s w i l l b e d i r e c t l y t a r g e t e d on t r a i n i n g needs o f n a tio n a l p r i o r i t y . D u r in g th e 1 9 6 0 's and th e 1 9 7 0 's , th e s u p p ly of h e a lth p r o fe s s io n a ls in c r e a s e d d r a m a tic a lly , p a r tly as a r e s u lt o f F e d e r a l s u b s id ie s o f abou t 518 b i l l i o n . D u r in g t h e 1 9 7 0 's , th e annual n u m ber of g ra d u a te s fr o m m e d i c a l s c h o o l s d o u b l e d fr o m 8 ,0 0 0 t o n e a r ly 1 6 ,0 0 0 . T o d a y , t h e N a t i o n a s a w h o le h a s r e a c h e d o r e x c e e d e d th e e s tim a te d r e q u ir e d l e v e l o f h e a lt h p r o fe s s io n a ls fo r a lm o s t every m a jo r s p e c ia lty . T he nu m ber of a c tiv e p h y s ic ia n s a lo n e i s e x p e c te d to re a ch n e a r ly 6 0 0 ,0 0 0 b y 1 9 9 0 , an i n c r e a s e o f 58% b e t w e e n 1 9 7 5 and 1 9 9 0 . The A d m in is tr a tio n w ill prop ose le g is la t io n to r e fo c u s F ed era l a i d o n a l i m i t e d num ber o f n a t i o n a l p r i o r i t y m e d i c a l s p e c i a l t i e s , r a th e r th a n p r o v id in g la r g e s u b s id ie s fo r a ll s p e c ia ltie s . In a d d itio n , s u p p o r t f o r t r a i n i n g in n o n -p h y s ic ia n s p e c i a l t i e s w i l l b e f o c u s e d on o c c u p a t i o n s , such as n u r s in g , w h ere sh o rtg a g e s p e r s is t. By m o re d i r e c t l y t a r g e t i n g F e d e r a l h e a l t h p r o f e s s i o n s t r a i n i n g s u b s i d i e s on n a t i o n a l p r i o r i t i e s , p rogram c o s t s can be redu ced by about 40% a n n u a lly , or b y m ore t h a n $ 1 . 9 b i l l i o n b e tw e e n 1 9 8 2 a n d 1 9 8 6 . A t t h e sam e t i m e , h ig h e r -p r io r it y , m o re ta rg e te d program s w ill s u b s id iz e th e e d u c a tio n of h e a lth p r o f e s s i o n a l s i n t h o s e f i e l d s w h e re t h e y a r e m o s t n e e d e d . The p r o p o s e d c h a n g e i s not e x p e c te d to a ffe c t th e p r o je c te d s u r p lu s e s f o r t h e c o m in g d e c a d e i n n e a r l y a l l h e a l t h p r o f e s s i o n s areas. F e d e r a l s t u d e n t a s s i s t a n c e p rogram s in t h e D e p a rtm e n t of E d u c a tio n w ill c o n t i n u e a s s i s t i n g s t u d e n t s t o f i n a n c e t h e i r own e d u c a tio n . In a d d it io n , th e A d m in is tr a tio n w i l l c o n tin u e s u p p o rt a t th e 1981 a p p r o p r ia te d l e v e l of $20 m illio n fo r a s s is ta n c e program s to e n c o u r a g e m i n o r i t i e s , who a r e now u n d e r - r e p r e s e n t e d in h e a l t h p r o f e s s i o n s f i e l d s , t o c h o o s e m e d ic in e a s a c a r e e r . T he A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l p r o p o s e 1981 a m en d m en ts and le g is la tio n to carry g e n e ra l s u b s id ie s to n a tio n a l p r io r it y The ta r g e tin g e d u c a tio n is fu n d in g : of F ederal e x p e c te d to s u b s id ie s r e s u lt in 6 -1 6 r e s c is s io n s , 1982 budget o u t t h e p o l i c y c h a n g e fr o m g ra n ts. fo r h e a lth p r o fe s s io n s th e fo llo w in g ch an ges in (in C urren t m illio n s o f dolia r s ) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 368 333 400 359 429 381 456 400 481 417 505 433 -2 1 9 -3 2 -2 8 0 -1 2 6 -3 0 9 -2 2 1 -3 3 6 -2 6 0 -3 6 1 -2 9 7 -3 8 5 -3 1 3 149 301 120 233 120 160 120 140 120 120 120 120 b ases B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . P rop osed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... 6 -i7 H e a lth and H um an S e r v ic e s ELIMINATE UNNECESSARY FEDERAL SU B SID IE S FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HEALTH MAINTENANCE ORGANIZATIONS As p a r t o f th e e f f o r t t o e lim in a t e u n n e cessa ry F e d e r a l s u b s i d i e s , th e A d m in is tr a tio n w i l l p r o p o se t o p h ase o u t th e F ederal gran t and lo a n s u b s id y program to h e a l t h m a in t e n a n c e o r g a n i z a t i o n s (HMOs) b y t h e e n d o f 1983. T he A d m in is tr a tio n b e lie v e s th a t a fte r 8 y e a r s o f F e d e r a l s u p p o r t t h e f e a s i b i l i t y o f HMO p r e p a i d h e a lt h c a r e d e l i v e r y h a s b e e n a d e q u a te ly d e m o n s tr a te d , and th a t HMOs can be f i n a n c i a l l y s e l f -s u p p o r t i n g i n s t i t u t i o n s d e v e lo p e d w ith o u t c o n tin u e d F e d e r a l s u b s i d i e s . T h e r e a r e now 2 3 5 HMOs w i t h 9 m i l l i o n m em bers l o c a t e d i n e v e r y u r b a n a r e a w i t h a p o p u la tio n g re a te r th a n 1 m i l l i o n , a n d a f f i l i a t e d w i t h 15% o f t h e N a t i o n ' s p h y s ic ia n s . In r e c e n t years, s u b s ta n tia l a m o u n ts of p r iv a te c a p i t a l h a v e b e e n p r o v i d e d f o r HMO d e v e l o p m e n t . The m a jo r im p e d im e n t t o f u r t h e r i n v e s t m e n t o f p r i v a t e c a p i t a l i n HMO d e v e l o p m e n t i s n o t a d e a r t h o f F e d e r a l s u p p o r t b u t, ra th e r, th e u n n e c e s s a r ily r e s tr ic tiv e r e q u ir e m e n ts fo r F ederal q u a lific a tio n p r e s e n tly fo u n d in th e H e a lth M a in te n a n c e O r g a n iz a tio n A c t. In fa c t, a r t i f i c i a l l y h i g h m inim um b e n e f i t r e q u ir e m e n ts and o r g a n i z a t i o n a l s ta n d a r d s have been a le a d in g source of d e fa u lts am ong s m a l l , f e d e r a l l y s u p p o r t e d HMOs t h a t h a v e fo u n d t h a t th e heavy F ederal r e q u ir e m e n ts p r ic e d th e ir b e n e f i t p a c k a g e s o u t o f th e m a rk e t. A m en dm en ts w i l l b e p r o p o s e d t o t h e HMO A c t , w h ic h e x p i r e s a t t h e en d o f t h e f i s c a l y e a r , t o re m e d y t h i s p r o b l e m . O n c e HMOs a r e n o lo n g e r r e q u ir e d to u n d e rta k e u n e c o n o m ic a c tiv itie s , p r iv a te c a p ita l w i l l b e r e a d i l y a v a i l a b l e f o r HMO d e v e l o p m e n t , o b v i a t i n g th e need fo r fu r t h e r s u b s i d i e s . T h i s p r o p o s a l w i l l a l s o h a l t F e d e r a l l o s s e s fr o m f u r t h e r a t t e m p t s t o s t a r t HMOs t h a t a r e n o t e c o n o m i c a l l y c o m p e t i t i v e . The c u r r e n t s u b s i d y p r o g r a m f o c u s e s on e n t i t i e s t h a t c o u ld n o t o b t a i n - p r i v a t e f i n a n c i n g b e c a u s e o f t h e i r h i g h r i s k , and th e n im p o s e s u n u s u a lly e x te n s iv e , c o s tly b e n e fit packages and o th e r c o n d itio n s th a t in h ib it th e ir c o m p e titiv e n e s s . As a r e s u lt, d e fa u lts on u n secu red l o a n s f o r HMO o p e r a t i n g d e f i c i t s a n d r e q u i r e d i n t e r e s t s u b s i d y p a y m e n t s w i l l e x h a u s t t h e $ 1 1 6 m i l l i o n HMO l o a n r e v o l v i n g fu n d b y t h e e n d o f t h e y e a r a n d w i l l r e q u i r e s u b s ta n tia l fu tu r e s p e n d i n g e v e n w i t h o u t a w a r d in g a n y new l o a n s . T h is p r o p o s a l w i l l d r o p th e C a r t e r a d m i n i s t r a t i o n ’ s s u p p le m e n ta l re q u e st o f $17 m illio n fo r th e lo a n fu n d and seek a 1981 r e s c is s io n o f $20 m illio n . No new g r a n t s o r l o a n s w i l l b e m a d e , a l t h o u g h HMOs now r e c e i v i n g g r a n t su p p ort w ill be a llo w e d to c o m p le te th e ir gran t p e r io d . The program w i l l be c o m p le t e ly p h a sed o u t b y th e end o f 1 9 8 3 . 6 -1 8 T h i s p r o p o s a l s h o u ld h a v e no s i g n i f i c a n t e f f e c t on d e v e lo p m e n t o f e c o n o m i c a l l y v i a b l e HMOs, w h ic h c a n be fu n d e d th ro u g h p r iv a te sou rces. M oreover, c o m p e titiv e HMOs w i l l b e m o re e f f e c t i v e l y e n c o u r a g e d th r o u g h th e h e a lt h fin a n c in g r e fo r m p r o p o s a ls t h a t th e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n i s d e v e lo p in g f o r l a t e r su b m is s io n th a n th ro u g h g r a n t s and lo a n s u b s i d i e s . The prop osal fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to 1981 C u rren t b a s e : Budget a u t h o r it y . . . . P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . P rop osed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . • r e s u lt in th e (in m illio n s 1982 1983 fo llo w in g changes o f d o lla r s ) 1985 1984 in 1986 73 30 59 43 63 45 66 55 69 66 72 73 -3 7 -6 -2 4 -1 8 -5 7 -2 7 -6 6 -5 0 -6 9 -6 1 -7 2 -7 3 36 24 35 25 6 18 -----5 ——— 5 ——*- 6 -1 9 —— _ H e a lth and H um an S e r v ic e s RESTRAIN EXCESS GROWTH IN THE NATIONAL HEALTH SERVICE CORPS A s p a r t o f i t s e f f o r t s t o red u ce m arket d i s t o r t i o n s and F ederal s u b s id ie s , th e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l s e e k no new s c h o l a r s h i p s f o r t h e N a t i o n a l H e a l t h S e r v i c e C o r p s (NHSC) p r o g r a m . T h is a c t i o n i s i n t e n d e d t o p r e v e n t u n n e c e s s a r y p r o g r a m g r o w th a n d c o s t s in th e 1 9 9 0 's , w hen p erson s r e c e i v i n g new s c h o l a r s h i p s w o u ld c o m p l e t e t h e i r t r a i n i n g and r e p o r t f o r a s s ig n m e n t a s F e d e r a l e m p lo y e e s . T he NHSC p r o v i d e s f e d e r a l l y e m p lo y e d p h y s i c i a n s a n d o t h e r h e a lth p r o f e s s i o n a l s t o a r e a s c l a s s i f i e d b y t h e D ep a r tm e n t o f H e a lt h and Human S e r v ic e s as h e a l t h manpower, s h o r t a g e a r e a s . M ost o f th e NHSC a s s i g n e e s r e c e i v e f u l l t u i t i o n and s t i p e n d s u p p o r t w h i l e in m e d ic a l sch ool fo r w h ic h th e y ow e s e r v i c e o n a y e a r - f o r - y e a r b a s is . S e r i o u s r e m a i n i n g p r o b le m s o f a c c e s s to a d e q u a te p r im a r y care w ill p r o b a b ly b e v i r t u a l l y e l i m i n a t e d w i t h i n t h e n e x t fe w y e a r s due t o g ro w th i n t h e N a t i o n 's s u p p ly of p h y s ic ia n s , past NHSC s c h o la r s h ip c o m m it m e n t s , and a much b e tte r th a n e x p e c te d r e e n l i s t m e n t r a t e o f NHSC a s s ig n e e s who have c o m p le te d th e ir o b lig a tio n s . At m o st, 6 ,0 0 0 NHSC a s s ig n e e s — to serve a p p r o x im a te ly 12 m i l l i o n u n d e rse rv e d p e o p le — a r e n ecessary to cover a ll h e a lth m anpow er sh o rta g e areas. H o w e v e r , t h e NHSC p la c e m e n t p r o g r a m i s c u r r e n t l y p r o j e c t e d t o grow fr o m 2 ,0 6 0 in 1980 t o 9 , 0 0 0 b y 1 9 9 0 , e v e n i f new a w a r d s w e r e f r o z e n t o d a y . In a d d it io n , r e c e n t d a ta in d ic a te th a t p h y s ic ia n s in g e n e r a l, and p r im a r y care p h y s ic ia n s in p a r t ic u la r , a re v o lu n t a r ily lo c a t in g i n s m a l l e r c o m m u n i t i e s , and t h a t s p e c i a l i s t s i n r u r a l a r e a s s p e n d 30% o r m o re o f t h e i r t i m e o n p r i m a r y c a r e . F in a lly , s in c e th e s c h o la r s h ip p i p e l i n e i s s o l o n g , w h a te v e r s h o r t - t e r m p r o b le m s i n p r i m a r y c a r e a c c e s s r e m a in w o u ld n o t b e a d d r e s s e d b y new a w a r d s . In a d d i t i o n t o t h e e x c e s s s u p p ly p r o b le m , t o t a l p r o g r a m c o s t s f o r a s s ig n e e s o b lig a t e d by s c h o la r s h ip a re v e r y h ig h . F ederal co sts now a v e r a g e $ 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 p e r p h y s ic ia n f o r each y e a r o f s c h o l a r s h i p o b lig a te d s e r v ic e . A l t e r n a t i v e a i d p r o g r a m s w o u ld b e m ore cost e ffe c tiv e . C o n s e q u e n tly , th e A d m in is tr a tio n p rop oses to e l i m i n a t e a l l new NHSC s c h o l a r s h i p a w a r d s i n 1 9 8 1 and 1982 but w ill a llo w s t u d e n t s who c u r r e n t l y h a v e s c h o l a r s h i p s t o c o m p l e t e th e ir tr a in in g . A 1981 r e s c is s io n of $16 m illio n in fu n d s p rop osed fo r new s c h o la r s h ip s w i l l be r e q u e s te d . F o r 1 9 8 2 and b e y o n d , n o new s c h o l a r s h i p s w i l l b e s o u g h t . T h ese p r o p o s a ls w ill not a d v e r s e ly a ffe c t h e a lth m an p ow er sh o rta g e areas. The NHSC p la c e m e n t program , w h ic h p r o v i d e s h e a lth p r o fe s s io n a ls fo r th e s e a re a s is p r o je c te d to c o n tin u e g r o w i n g t h r o u g h 1 9 9 0 e v e n w i t h n o new s c h o l a r s h i p a w a r d s . 6 -2 0 The p rop osal fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to 1981 C u rrent b a se : Budget a u t h o r i t y .... O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . P rop osed b u d g e t: B u dget a u t h o r i t y .. . . r e s u lt in th e (in m illio n s 1982 1983 fo llo w in g changes o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 in 1986 165 151 195 187 224 206 258 231 295 264 335 300 -1 6 -3 -3 1 -1 4 -4 5 -3 7 -5 4 -4 5 -6 5 -5 4 -8 0 -6 5 149 148 164 173 179 169 204 186 230 210 255 235 6 -2 1 H e a lth P H A S IN G OUT FEDERAL R E G U L A T IO N OF THE H EA LTH and H um an CARE S e r v ic e s IN D U S T R Y As p a r t o f th e g e n e r a l e f f o r t to r e s t r a in h e a lth care co sts by s tim u la tin g c o m p e titio n in th e h e a lth care in d u s tr y , th e A d m in is tr a tio n w ill prop ose p h a s in g out th e F ederal h e a lth p la n n in g an d p r o f e s s i o n a l s t a n d a r d s r e v i e w o r g a n i z a t i o n s (P S R O s) p rogram s. T he c u r r e n t h e a l t h p l a n n i n g program — a d m in is te r e d th ro u g h 213 lo c a l h e a lth s y s te m s a g e n c ie s and 57 S t a t e h e a l t h p la n n in g and d e v e lo p m e n t a g e n c ie s — rep re se n ts an e ffo r t to im p o s e a c o m p le x n a t i o n a l h e a l t h r e g u l a t o r y p r o g r a m o n S t a t e s a n d lo c a litie s . I t h a s n o t p r o v e d e f f e c t i v e i n c o n t r o l l i n g c o s t s on a n a tio n a l b a s is , and it in h ib its m ark et fo r c e s needed to stre n g th e n c o m p e titio n and p r o v id e le s s c o s tly s e r v ic e s . T he PSRO p r o g r a m — a d m i n i s t e r e d t h r o u g h 185 r e la tiv e ly a u to n o m o u s PSROs of w id e ly v a r y in g e f f e c t i v e n e s s — r e g u la t e s h e a lth c a r e s e r v i c e s f o r m e d ic a r e and m e d ic a id b e n e f i c i a r i e s , and has cost t h e N a t i o n m o re t o a d m i n i s t e r t h a n i t h a s s a v e d i n r e d u c e d h e a l t h care c o s ts . R ecent s tu d ie s on th e e ffe c ts of th e PSRO program by th e C o n g r e s s io n a l B u d get O f f i c e p r o v id e c o n v in c in g e v id e n c e t h a t th e PSRO r a is e s n a tio n a l h e a lth care s p e n d in g . T he c o s t o f t h e n a tio n w id e sy ste m o f h o s p i t a l u tiliz a tio n r e v ie w o r g a n iz a tio n s e x c e e d s th e r e s u l t i n g s a v in g s a c h ie v e d b y r e d u c t io n s i n le n g t h o f h o s p ita l sta y and lo w e r a d m is s io n ra te s. E v en t h i s a n a l y s i s f a i l s t o f a c t o r i n t h e r e a l i t y t h a t , due t o t h e p e r v e r s e w ay in w h ic h h o s p ita ls a r e p r e s e n t l y r e im b u r s e d f o r s e r v i c e s on a c o s t b a s is , cost "s a v in g s " a c h ie v e d th ro u g h lo w e r m e d ic a r e and m e d ic a id u tiliz a tio n a r e s i m p l y p a s s e d o n t o h o s p i t a l u s e r s who p a y t h e i r own b i l l s , o r who a r e c o v e r e d b y p r i v a t e i n s u r a n c e . I f c o m p e titiv e fo r c e s a re to r e s tr a in c o sts, fre e e n try in to h e a lt h c a r e m a rk e ts i s e s s e n t i a l . O th e r w is e , h i g h -c o s t p r o v id e r s can m o n o p o liz e h e a lth care m a rk e ts. T he c e r t i f i c a t e - o f - n e e d r e v ie w p r o c e s s c o n d u c te d under th e h e a lt h p la n n in g program is a sy ste m w h ereby h o s p i t a l s and o t h e r i n s t i t u t i o n a l p r o v i d e r s m u st r e c e i v e a G overn m ent f r a n c h i s e b e f o r e b e g in n in g o p e r a t i o n s . T h is s y ste m i n h i b i t s f r e e m arket e n t r y , o f t e n p r o p p in g up h ig h -c o s t in s titu tio n s b e h in d a G o v e r n m e n t -c r e a t e d e n try b a r r ie r . E l i m i n a t i o n o f t h i s f r a n c h i s i n g s y s te m i s a n e c e s s a r y e le m e n t in t h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n 's e f f o r t s t o p r o m o te t h e e f f e c t i v e f u n c t i o n i n g o f p r iv a t e m arket fo r c e s in th e h e a lth c a re s e c t o r . T he h e a lth p la n n in g a n d PSRO p r o g r a m s w o u ld b e p h a s e d o u t o v e r th e 1 9 8 1 -1 9 8 3 p e r io d , c o n s is t e n t w ith a 2 -y e a r A d m in is tr a tio n tim e ta b le t o d e v e lo p and c a r r y o u t h e a l t h f i n a n c i n g r e fo r m s t h a t encou rage c o m p e titio n in th e h e a lth se cto r. To b e g in th e p h a s e -o u t , a $ 2 8 m i l l i o n r e d u c t io n in fu n d in g f o r h e a l t h p la n n in g w ill be p rop osed fo r 1 9 8 1 , and c o n t r a c t s w i l l b e re n e w e d w it h 6 -2 2 o n l y t h o s e PSROs j u d g e d m o s t e f f e c t i v e i n c o n t r o l l i n g h e a l t h c a r e co sts. Some t r a n s i t i o n a l f u n d i n g f o r t h e m ost e ffe c tiv e PSROs w o u ld be c o n t in u e d i n t o 1 9 8 3 t o a l l o w c o m p e tin g s y s te m s o f c a r e to c o n tr a c t fo r th e ir s e r v ic e s . The p h a s e -o u t fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to r e s u lt 1981 H e a lth in th e fo llo w in g (in m illio n s 1982 1983 changes o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 in 1986 P la n n in g C u rren t b a s e : Budget a u t h o r i t y .... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B u dget a u t h o r i t y .. . . P rop osed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . 145 162 158 171 170 172 180 179 190 188 199 197 -2 8 -1 0 -1 0 0 -6 2 -1 6 8 -8 7 -1 8 0 -1 5 9 -1 9 0 -1 8 8 -1 9 9 -1 9 7 117 152 58 109 2 85 -----20 ——— - — . . . . . . 174 171 189 186 203 199 215 212 227 223 238 234 -3 8 -3 8 -1 1 9 -1 1 7 -1 3 6 -1 3 4 -2 1 5 -2 1 2 -2 2 7 -2 2 3 -2 3 8 -2 3 4 135 133 70 68 65 PSRO P r o g r a m C u rrent P o lic y base: r e d u c tio n s : P rop osed b u d g et: 6 -2 3 M A H o u s in g T E R M IN A T IO N OF TH E HUD P L A N N IN G and U rban A S S IS T A N C E D e v e lo p m e n t PROGRAM The P r e s i d e n t p l a n s t o en d t h e p l a n n i n g a s s i s t a n c e p r o g r a m o f t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f H o u s i n g a n d U rb a n D e v e lo p m e n t . T he p r i m a r y in te n t of t h i s p rog ram — t o d e v e lo p s u b -n a t i o n a l p la n n in g c a p a b i l i t i e s — h as been r e a l i z e d . T h e r e i s no e v i d e n c e t h a t g e n e r a l p l a n n i n g a s s i s t a n c e u n lin k e d t o p rogram im p le m e n ta tio n , as in th e case h ere, is e ffe c tiv e . To t h e e x t e n t t h a t S t a t e s and l o c a l i t i e s b e n e f i t i n g fr o m t h e program fin d it w o r t h w h ile and of h ig h p r i o r i t y , th e y can p r o v id e fu n d in g , o r u se b lo c k g r a n t o r g e n e r a l r e v e n u e s h a r i n g f u n d s f o r t h i s p u r p o s e a t t h e i r own d i s c r e t i o n . To a c h ie v e t h i s p o l i c y c h a n g e , th e P r e s id e n t w i l l p r o p o se r e s c i s s i o n o f a l l a v a ila b le b u d g e ta ry r e s o u r c e s (e s tim a te d $ 3 3 .7 5 m illio n ) a n d s e e k an am endm ent t o t h e 1 9 8 2 C a r t e r in o r d e r n o t t o r e q u e s t 1 9 8 2 fu n d in g f o r t h i s p r o g r a m . T h is p r o p o s a l fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to r e s u lt th e fo llo w in g (in m illio n s 1982 1983 1981 C u rren t b a s e : B udget a u t h o r i t y . ... O u t l a y s ... .. .. .......................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y . ... O u t l a y s ................................... P roposed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r i t y . ... O u t l a y s ................................... in a 1981 to be budget changes o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 in 1986 34 40 37 35 39 36 42 39 44 41 46 44 -3 4 -3 -3 7 -2 6 -3 9 -3 6 -4 2 -3 9 -4 4 -4 1 -4 6 -4 4 ------ ------ 37 9 ----------- -----—— ____ ——— ——— 6 -2 4 H o u s in g T E R M IN A T IO N OF TH E and R E H A B IL IT A T IO N U rban LO AN D e v e lo p m e n t FUND The P r e s i d e n t p la n s t o a b o l i s h th e r e h a b i l i t a t i o n lo a n fu n d of th e D e p a r tm e n t of H o u s in g and U rb a n D e v e lo p m e n t. T h i s fu n d u n n e c e s s a r ily d u p lic a te s th e r e h a b ilita tio n e ffo r ts of th e c o m m u n ity d e v e lo p m e n t b lo c k gran t (CDBG) program . CDBG r e c i p i e n t s a n n u a l l y u s e a b o u t 30% o f t h e i r b l o c k g r a n t f u n d s fo r r e h a b ilita tio n in any g iv e n year. In 198 1 a b o u t $ 1 .1 b i l l i o n fr o m CDBG a p p r o p r i a t i o n s w i l l b e u sed fo r r e h a b ilita tio n . By c o n tra st, th e r e h a b ilita tio n lo a n f u n d w o u ld h a v e f u n d e d o n l y $ 2 0 0 m i ll i o n o f r e h a b i li t a t i o n in 1 9 8 1 . F u r t h e r m o r e , C D B G -fu n d e d r e h a b i l i t a t i o n i s m ore f l e x i b l e t h a n r e h a b i l i t a t i o n th ro u g h th e fu n d s in c e C D B G -fu n d e d r e h a b ilita tio n can m ake u s e o f d i r e c t g r a n t s , w h i c h c a n r e a c h v e r y l o w - i n c o m e r e c i p i e n t s who w o u ld not be e lig ib le fo r lo a n s , in te r e s t s u b s id ie s , or lo a n s . By c o n t r a s t , t h e r e h a b i l i t a t i o n l o a n fu n d p r o v i d e s o n l y l o a n s . The c h a n g e a l s o r e p la c e s F e d e r a l c o n t r o l w ith l o c a l d e c is i o n -m a k i n g . To a c h ie v e t h i s p o lic y ch an ge, th e P r e s id e n t w i l l p r o p o se a 1981 r e s c i s s i o n o f a l l a v a ila b le b u d g eta ry r e s o u r c e s (e s tim a te d to be $ 1 3 0 m i l l i o n ) , p l u s a l l r e p a y m e n t s fr o m p r i o r l o a n s ( e s t i m a t e d t o be $62 m illio n fo r 1 9 8 1 ). I n a d d i t i o n , an am en d m en t t o t h e 1 9 8 2 C a r te r b u d g et w i l l be sou gh t so a s n o t to requ est 1982 fu n d in g fo r t h i s program . T h is p rop osal fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to 1981 C u rrent b a s e : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . O u t l a y s ................................ P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r it y . . . O u t l a y s ................................ P rop osed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y ... O u t l a y s ................................ r e s u lt in th e ( in m i l l i o n s 1982 1983 fo llo w in g changes o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 in 1986 130 133 130 134 134 136 138 138 140 140 142 142 -1 3 0 -6 3 -1 3 0 -1 9 1 -1 3 4 -2 1 0 -1 3 8 -2 1 1 -1 4 0 -2 1 3 -1 4 2 -2 1 4 70 -5 7 -7 4 -7 3 -7 3 -7 2 6 -2 5 H o u s in g T E R M IN A T IO N OF TH E NEIGH BORHOOD S E L F -H E L P and U rban D e v e lo p m e n t DEVELOPM ENT PROGRAM T he P r e s i d e n t p l a n s t o e n d t h e n e i g h b o r h o o d s e l f - h e l p d e v e l o p m e n t p r o g r a m o f t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f H o u s in g and U rb a n D e v e l o p m e n t . The n e i g h b o r h o o d s e l f - h e l p d e v e lo p m e n t p r o g r a m l a r g e l y d u p l i c a t e s t h e e ffo r ts of th e N e ig h b o r h o o d R e i n v e s t m e n t C o r p o r a t i o n , a p u b l i c c o r p o r a t i o n , a n d c o m m u n ity d e v e lo p m e n t b l o c k g r a n t f u n d s can be u sed fo r th e sam e pu rp oses as s e lf-h e lp fu n d s, w ith th e a d d itio n a l b e n e fit th a t c it y o ffic ia ls are d ir e c tly in v o lv e d . G iv e n th e s m a ll siz e of th is program and th e a lte r n a tiv e r e s o u r c e s , a n y n e g a t i v e im p a c t s h o u ld b e m in im a l. To a c h ie v e t h i s p o l i c y c h a n g e , th e P r e s id e n t w i l l p r o p o s e a 1981 r e s c is s io n of a ll a v a ila b le b u d g eta ry r e s o u r c e s (e s tim a te d a t $ 8 .3 m i l l i o n ) and w i l l s e e k an am endm ent to th e 1982 C a rte r b u d g e t s o t h a t 1 9 8 2 fu n d in g w i l l n o t b e r e q u e s t e d . T h is p rop osal fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to 1981 C u rren t b a s e : Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . P o lic y r e d u c tio n : Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P rop osed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r it y . . . . O u t l a y s ................................... * $ 5 0 0 ,0 0 0 or r e s u lt in th e (in m illio n s 1982 1983 fo llo w in g changes o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 in 1986 9 15 10 9 11 10 11 11 12 11 12 12 -8 -4 -1 0 -9 -1 1 -1 0 -1 1 -1 1 -1 2 -1 1 -1 2 -1 2 1 11 -----* ----------- ----------- le s s . 6 -2 6 ——— D e p a r tm e n t IM P R O V E D T A R G E T IN G OF C O N S E R V A T IO N o f th e In te r io r E X P E N D IT U R E S The P r e s i d e n t i s d e te r m in e d t h a t th e In te r io r D e p a rtm e n t be a good ste w a rd o f th e n a t u r a l and h i s t o r i c t r e a s u r e s p r o t e c t e d b y t h e N a t i o n a l P ark S e r v i c e . The N a t i o n ' s p a r k s a r e n o t now b e in g p r o p e r ly p ro te c te d fo r th e p e o p le s ' u s e . The G overn m en t m u st l e a r n t o m a n a g e w h a t i t ow ns b e f o r e it seek s to a c q u ir e m o re la n d . To b r in g th e budget u n d e r c o n t r o l and m ake a d d i t i o n a l f u n d s a v a i l a b l e f o r r e s t o r a t i o n a n d im p r o v e m e n t o f th e n a tio n a l park s y s te m , th e P r e s id e n t p r o p o se s to s u b s t a n t i a l l y r e fo c u s th e D e p a r t m e n t ’ s c o n s e r v a t i o n and p r e s e r v a t i o n p r o g r a m s . T h is w i l l b e a c c o m p lis h e d th ro u g h m o r a to r iu m s on F ederal la n d p u r c h a s e s a n d e l i m i n a t i o n o f t h r e e m a jo r S t a t e g r a n t p r o g r a m s an d by s i g n i f i c a n t l y in c r e a s in g th e r e so u r c e s a v a ila b le fo r e x i s t i n g N a t i o n a l P ark S e r v i c e a r e a s . L e g i s l a t i o n t o am end t h e la n d a n d w a t e r s o n s e r v a t i o n fu n d w i l l b e s o u g h t t o a l l o w m o n i e s i n t h e fu n d t o b e u s e d f o r r e s t o r a t i o n a n d im p r o v e m e n t o f o u r N a t i o n a l P a rk S y s t e m . In a d d it io n , a g g r e s s iv e exch an ge program s w i l l be i n i t i a t e d to rou n d out th e F ederal c o n s e r v a tio n e s t a t e . M a jo r changes fo r th e se program s are as fo llo w s : B udget A u th o r ity 1981 P rogram 1981 L evel R e s c is s io n Land and W a te r C o n s e r v a t io n Fund: S ta te r e c r e a tio n g r a n ts . F e d e r a l la n d a c q u i s i t i o n and a d m i n i s t r a t i o n .. . . . . N a t i o n a l P ark r e s t o r a t i o n a n d i m p r o v e m e n t ....................... ($ m i lli o n s ) 1982 C a rte r Budg e t 304 -1 4 5 237 -1 0 5 ------ ------ T o t a l ...................................... 541 -2 5 0 520 150 U r b a n p a r k g r a n t s ............................. H i s t o r i c p r e s e r v a t io n fu n d .. 65 42 -3 5 -8 75 32 5 In 1 9 8 1 , $105 m illio n w a te r c o n s e r v a tio n 185 1982 R eagan Budget ----------------335 ------ 45 105 w i l l b e p r o p o s e d f o r r e s c i s s i o n o f la n d and fu n d a p p r o p r ia tio n s fo r F ederal la n d 6 -2 7 a c q u i s i t i o n and i n 1 9 8 2 a s i m i l a r am ou nt w i l l b e r e q u e s t e d f o r a m a jo r park r e s to r a tio n and im p r o v e m e n t in itia tiv e . T he 1 9 8 2 l e v e l f o r F e d e r a l la n d a c q u i s i t i o n w i l l be l i m i t e d t o th e am ount n ecessary to c lo s e out cu rren t cou rt a w a r d s , e m e rg e n c y la n d a c q u i s i t i o n e f f o r t s , and a d m in is tr a tio n . T he to ta l re q u e ste d fr o m th e la n d and w a te r c o n s e r v a t i o n fu n d f o r b o t h t h e p a r k s i n i t i a t i v e and la n d a c q u i s i t i o n p rog ram in 1982 w ill be $150 m illio n . P o s tp o n in g F ederal a c q u is itio n w ill a llo w fo r a th o u g h tfu l p o lic y r e v ie w of e x is tin g park and r e c r e a tio n l e g i s l a t i o n , a n d im p r o v e d u t i l i z a t i o n o f l a n d e x c h a n g e s a n d S t a t e and l o c a l e f f o r t s t o a c h i e v e c o n s e r v a t i o n g o a l s . In 1982, $5 m i l l i o n w i l l be r e q u e s te d t o a id th e N a t io n a l T r u s t fo r H is to r ic P r e s e r v a tio n . No changes are prop osed to th e c u r r e n t ta x in c e n t iv e s fo r h i s t o r i c p r e s e r v a tio n , e s tim a te d to be $ 10 0 m i ll i o n in 1 9 8 2 - (in m illio n s 1982 1983 1981 C u rren t b a se 1 / : Budget a u t h o r it y . O u tla y s . . .................. P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r it y . O u t l a y s .......................... P roposed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r it y . O u t l a y s .......................... .. .. .. o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 1986 1 ,1 6 0 1 ,2 3 4 1 ,2 4 8 1 ,2 6 8 1 ,3 1 4 1 ,2 5 1 1 ,3 8 5 1 ,3 2 0 1 ,4 5 1 1 ,3 4 4 1 ,5 1 5 1 ,3 9 8 -5 7 3 -5 6 6 -2 7 0 -5 1 2 -2 8 6 -4 6 5 -3 6 5 -4 7 1 -3 4 9 -6 0 5 -4 0 3 587 1 ,1 4 3 682 998 802 965 920 955 980 995 910 995 1/ N a t i o n a l P a r k S e r v i c e o p e r a t i o n s an d c o n s t r u c t i o n , la n d and w a te r c o n s e r v a tio n fu n d , urban p a r k g r a n t s , and h i s t o r i c p r e s e r v a tio n fu n d . 6 -2 8 D e p a rtm e n t D e p a rtm e n t T E R M IN A T IO N AND O F YOUNG A D U L T YOUTH C O N S E R V A T IO N C O N S E R V A T IO N CORPS o f o f Labor th e I n t e r io r CORPS PROGRAMS C o n tin u a tio n o f th e young a d u lt c o n s e r v a tio n corps (Y A C C ) and Y o u th C o n s e r v a t i o n C o r p s (Y C C ) p r o g r a m s c a n n o t b e j u s t i f i e d i n a t r u ly a u s te r e b u d g et. T he A d m in is tr a tio n w ill prop ose (1 ) to p h ase out th e YACC p r o g r a m b y t h e en d o f 1 9 8 2 b y n o t e n r o l l i n g a n y new p a r t i c i p a n t s , d e f e r r i n g som e 1981 fu n d s to 1982; and (2 ) to te r m in a te th e YCC program in 1981, r e s c i n d i n g fu n d s c u r r e n tly a v a ila b le . T h e L a b o r D e p a r tm e n t YACC p r o g r a m p r o v i d e s e m p lo y m e n t on p u b lic la n d s fo r u n e m p lo y e d y o u t h a g e s 1 6 t o 2 3 o f a l l in c o m e l e v e l s . I t i s one o f th e m ost c o s tly and le a s t ta rg e te d of F ederal e m p lo y m e n t and tr a in in g program s fo r y o u th . O n ly o n e - t h i r d o f YACC p a r t i c i p a n t s a r e e c o n o m i c a l l y d i s a d v a n t a g e d — com pared to m o r e t h a n 80% f o r a l l o t h e r C o m p r e h e n s iv e E m p lo y m e n t a n d T r a i n i n g A ct (C E T A ) y o u th program s. L e s s t h a n 30% o f p a r t i c i p a n t s a r e m i n o r i t i e s — com pared t o m o re th a n 50% in th e o th e r y o u th program s, in c lu d in g m ore th a n 70% in b o th jo b c o r p s and t h e sum m er y o u t h e m p lo y m e n t p r o g r a m . F u rth e rm o re , w ith th e s in g le e x c e p t i o n o f t h e m o re t a r g e t e d a n d e n t i r e l y r e s i d e n t i a l j o b c o r p s tr a in in g p r o g r a m , i t i s t h e m o s t e x p e n s i v e CETA p r o g r a m p e r y e a r o f s e r v ic e . B ecau se o f th e se h ig h c o sts and poor ta r g e tin g , fo r every $ 3 0 5 ,0 0 0 th e YACC program s p e n d s , i t p r o v id e s o n ly on e y e a r o f s e r v i c e t o a lo w e r -in c o m e b l a c k y o u t h . T h ese y o u th e x p e r ie n c e th e h ig h e s t ra te s of u n e m p lo y m e n t i n o u r s o c i e t y a n d h a v e t h e w o r s t f u t u r e jo b p r o s p e c ts — p r o s p e c ts t h a t a r e r a r e l y enh an ced by p a r t i c i p a t i o n i n t h e YACC p r o g r a m . By c o n t r a s t , w h e n e v e r t h e CETA g e n e r a l y o u t h grant program ( YETP) spend s $ 3 0 5 ,0 0 0 , it p r o v i d e s 2 0 y e a r s o f s e r v i c e t o lo w -in c o m e b la c k y o u t h s . The p rop osal w ill have little im p a c t on c u r r e n t p a r t i c i p a n t s b e c a u s e t h e p h a s e -d o w n s c h e d u le w ill not in gen eral r e q u ir e la y o ffs . In ste a d , no new p a r tic ip a n ts w i l l b e e n r o l l e d , and p a r t i c i p a n t l e v e l s w i l l d e c li n e g r a d u a lly th ro u g h a t t r i t i o n . The i m p a c t o n t h o s e who m i g h t have e n r o lle d if th e program w ere c o n tin u e d is a l s o e x p e c t e d t o b e m in im a l b e c a u s e t h e p ro g ra m i s r e l a t i v e l y s m a ll — an a v e r a g e o f a b o u t 4 5 0 p a r t i c i p a n t s in each S ta te in 1 9 8 0 — a n d d r a w s fe w p a r t i c i p a n t s f r o m a n y p a r t i c u l a r grou p o f y o u th . T here w i l l be som e r e d u c tio n in F ederal and S t a t e c o n s e r v a t i o n w o r k , b u t m any o f t h e a f f e c t e d p r o j e c t s a r e o f su ch lo w p r i o r i t y t h a t t h e y a r e u n d e r t a k e n o n l y b e c a u s e t h e f r e e l a b o r p r o v i d e d b y YACC p a r t i c i p a n t s i s a v a i l a b l e . 6 -2 9 To a c h i e v e t h e YACC p h a s e -d o w n , th e P r e s id e n t w ill d e fe r $58 m illio n of 1981 budget a u th o r ity to 1 9 8 2 . T h e se fu n d s w i l l b e s u f f i c i e n t t o fin a n c e p h a s e -o u t a c t i v i t i e s in 1 9 8 2 , so no budget a u th o r ity fo r YACC i n 1 9 8 2 i s r e q u i r e d o r r e q u e s t e d . The L a b o r D e p a r tm e n t h a s a l r e a d y a d v i s e d t h e D e p a r t m e n t s o f A g r i c u l t u r e and th e I n t e r i o r — and th ro u g h th em , S ta te g ra n tee s — of th e te r m in a tio n d e c is io n . O r d e r l y p l a n n i n g f o r t h e p h a s e - o u t i s now u n derw ay. The I n t e r i o r D e p a r tm e n t YCC p r o g r a m p r o v i d e s summer e m p lo y m e n t o n p u b l i c la n d s and e n v ir o n m e n t a l t r a i n i n g f o r y o u th a g e s 1 5 to 18 of a ll in c o m e le v e ls . I t i s e s s e n t i a l l y a summer YACC p r o g r a m f o r so m ew h a t y o u n g e r y o u t h . The te r m in a tio n w ill be e ffe c te d th ro u g h a r e s c i s s i o n o f $ 5 6 m i l l i o n i n 1 9 8 1 b u d g e t a u t h o r i t y an d th ro u g h a $60 m i lli o n r e d u c tio n in th e 1982 budget fo r th e I n t e r i o r D e p a rtm e n t. T h i s c h a n g e i s p r o p o s e d b e c a u s e , l i k e YACC, YCC i s b o t h c o s t l y and p o o r l y t a r g e t e d , and t h e w o rk a c c o m p l i s h e d i s o f lo w p r i o r i t y . T he p rop osal fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d to r e s u lt * $58 d e fe r r e d . m illio n fo llo w in g changes o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 in 1986 260 310 312 316 315 322 322 329 328 335 334 -5 6 -3 1 0 -2 3 8 -3 1 6 -3 0 8 -3 2 2 -3 2 2 -3 2 9 -3 2 8 -3 3 5 -3 3 4 ------ — - 74 7 ----------- 204* of th e (in m illio n s 1982 1983 1981 C u rren t b a s e : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. O u t l a y s .............................. P o lic y r e d u c tio n s Budget a u t h o r i t y .. O u t l a y s ............................. P roposed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y .. O u t l a y s .............................. in th is in th e YACC program ------- _ —— ------ ------ w o u ld be NOTE: T a b le in c lu d e s $ 6 0 m i l l i o n in b u d g e t a u t h o r i t y in th e cu rren t base fo r YCC in a ll years. P o l i c y r e d u c t i o n s i n YCC in c lu d e a 1 98 1 r e s c i s s i o n o f $56 m illio n in budget a u th o r ity , r e s u ltin g in 1 9 8 1 o u t la y s a v in g s o f $52 m i l l i o n , 1 9 8 2 r e d u c t io n s o f $ 6 0 m i l l i o n i n b u d g e t a u t h o r i t y and $ 5 9 m illio n in o u tla y s , and r e d u c tio n s in 1 9 8 3 -1 9 8 6 of $60 m illio n in b o th b u d get a u t h o r i t y and o u t l a y s . 6 -3 0 D e p a rtm e n t R E D U C T IO N OF TH E H IG H W A Y SAFETY GRANTS o f T r a n s p o r ta tio n PROGRAM T o m ake t h e b e s t u s e o f h ig h w a y s a f e t y g r a n t s , t h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l p r o p o s e l e g i s l a t i o n t o r e s t r i c t e l i g i b i l i t y t o program s th a t h a v e b e e n s u c c e s s f u l in p r o m o tin g h ig h w a y s a fe ty and are an a p p r o p r ia te F ederal fu n c tio n . The le g is la tio n w ill a ls o e l i m i n a t e fu n d in g t o S t a t e s f o r th e e n fo r c e m e n t o f th e 55 m ile p e r h o u r sp eed l i m i t . The F ederal c o n tr ib u tio n t o t o t a l h ig h w a y s a f e t y f u n d i n g i s s o s m a l l ( 2 % - 3 % ) t h a t t h e F e d e r a l G o v e rn m e n t h a s h a d little im p a c t on w hat S ta te and lo c a l g o v e rn m e n ts a c tu a lly d o. A G en eral A c c o u n t i n g O f f i c e (GAO) stu d y of th e F ederal h ig h w a y sa fe ty g ra n ts program c o n c lu d e d th a t t h e r e i s no e v i d e n c e t h a t t h e s e g r a n t s r e d u c e h ig h w a y f a t a l i t i e s . F in a lly , s e v e r a l w e ste rn and m id w e s te r n S ta te s are opp osed t o m a n d a to ry e n fo r c e m e n t o f th e m axim um n a t i o n a l s p e e d l i m i t ( 5 5 m i l e s p e r h o u r ) . T h e new le g is la tio n w o u ld : (1 ) r e q u ir e g ra n te e s to channel r e s o u r c e s i n t o e f f e c t i v e t r a f f i c program s su ch a s a lc o h o l s a f e t y , em ergen cy m e d ic a l s e r v i c e s t r a i n i n g , p o li c e t r a f f i c e n fo r c e m e n t s e r v ic e s , and th e c o lle c tio n of tr a ffic a c c id e n t d a ta ; (2 ) e lim in a te th e e lig ib ility of a ll o t h e r p r e v i o u s l y fu n d e d p ro g ra m a r e a s in c lu d in g d r i v e r /p e d e s t r i a n b e h a v io r research and h i g h w a y s a f e t y s t r u c t u r a l im p r o v e m e n t s . T h is p rop osal s h o u l d p r o d u c e b u d g e t s a v i n g s o f $ 1 0 0 —1 6 0 m i l l i o n p e r y e a r b e g i n n i n g i n 1 9 8 2 an d e x t e n d i n g t o 1 9 8 5 . In 1 9 8 2 , th is change w ill be a c h i e v e d b y a m e n d in g t h e c u r r e n t l e g i s l a t i o n t o e x c lu d e l e s s s u c c e s s f u l p ro g ra m s. T he prop osed r e d u c tio n w ill c o n tin u e th e F ederal r o le in h ig h w a y s a fe ty w h ere it is a p p r o p r i a t e and h a s p r o v e n m o st e f f e c t i v e . 1981 C u rrent b a s e : Budget a u th o r ity O u t l a y s ........................ P o lic y r e d u c tio n : Budget a u th o r ity O u t l a y s . .................. P roposed b u d g e t: Budget a u th o r ity O u t l a y s ........................ (in m illio n s 1982 1983 o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 1986 264 200 244 210 202 218 215 229 239 237 255 244 ------ -1 6 7 -1 6 -1 2 5 -1 1 2 -1 3 8 -1 3 8 -1 6 2 -1 5 0 -1 7 8 -1 6 3 264 200 77 194 77 106 77 91 77 87 77 81 6 -3 1 R E D U C IN G C O R P O R A T IO N FOR P U B L IC B R O A D C A S T IN G (C P B ) F U N D IN G The A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l p r o p o s e a 25 p e r c e n t r e d u c tio n in 1982 fu n d s fo r th e C o r p o r a t io n f o r P u b lic B r o a d c a s t in g . CPB i s t h e p r im a r y v e h i c l e f o r p r o v i d i n g F e d e r a l f i n a n c i a l a s s i s t a n c e t o t h e 2 17 r a d io and 1 7 0 t e l e v i s i o n s t a t i o n s t h a t c u r r e n t l y com p ose th e n o n -c o m m e r c i a l b r o a d c a s tin g sy ste m . T he r e d u c tio n s w ill be p r i m a r i l y d i r e c t e d a t C P B 's a d m in is tr a tiv e co sts and n a tio n a l program p r o d u c tio n w h i l e CPB s u p p o r t f o r l o c a l s t a t i o n s w i l l b e m a in ta in e d a t a s h ig h a l e v e l a s p o s s i b l e . N o n -c o m m e r c i a l s t a t i o n s s h o u l d d e t e r m i n e t h e n e e d f o r a n d t y p e o f p rogram s th e y r e q u ir e and fin a n c e t h e i r own p r o d u c tio n s . T h is p a tte rn o f r e d u c t i o n s w i l l p r o v id e a o p p o r t u n it y f o r p r i v a t e and c o r p o r a te d o n a tio n s t o p la y a g r e a te r r o le in fin a n c in g lo c a l p u b l i c t e l e v i s i o n and a llo w F e d e r a l su p p o r t f o r l o c a l s t a t i o n s t o b e m a in ta in e d . T h e C P B 's e f f o r t s t o s t i m u l a t e p r o g r a m p r o d u c t i o n a t t h e n a t i o n a l le v e l have been o f q u e s tio n a b le v a lu e . W h i l e som e m e r i t o r i o u s p r o g r a m m in g has r e s u lte d fr o m th e C P B 's e ffo r t, h ig h u n it p r o d u c tio n c o sts have p la g u e d many p r o je c ts . W ith n o ta b le e x c e p tio n s , program d e v e lo p m e n t can be a c h ie v e d much m o re e ffe c tiv e ly — and at a fa r lo w e r c o s t — a t th e l o c a l and r e g io n a l l e v e l . A d d i t i o n a l r e d u c t i o n s w i l l b e made i n 1 9 8 3 a n d 1 9 8 4 budget a u th o r ity and o u tla y s le v e l o u t a t $100 m and 1 9 8 6 . By r e d u c in g th e F e d e r a l c o n t r i b u t i o n t o m anner, $ 3 7 7 m i l l i o n w i l l b e sa v e d o v e r th e n e x t f i v 1981 C u rren t b a s e : Budget a u t h o r i t y . ... O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : Budget a u t h o r i t y . . . . O u t l a y s ................................... P roposed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y . . . . O u t l a y s ................................... (in m illio n s 1982 1983 so th a t illio n in CPB in e years. o f d o lla r s ) 1985 1984 CPB 1985 th is 1986 162 162 172 172 172 172 183 183 198 198 211 211 - — ------ -4 3 -4 3 -5 2 -5 2 -7 3 -7 3 -9 8 -9 8 -1 1 1 -1 1 1 162 162 129 129 120 120 110 110 100 100 100 100 6 -3 2 Funds A p p r o p r ia te d REDUCTIONS IN FOREIGN DEVELOPMENT A ID to th e P r e s id e n t PROGRAMS T h e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l p r o p o s e a 26% r e d u c t i o n f r o m t h e curren t 1982 budget requ est fo r fo r e ig n d e v e lo p m e n t a id and f u r t h e r r e d u c t io n s d u r in g 1 9 8 3 -8 6 . T h is a c t io n w i l l h a l t th e v e r y r a p id g ro w th re q u e ste d fo r d e v e lo p m e n t a i d i n t h e C a r t e r b u d g e t , f o r e x a m p l e 33% i n 1 9 8 2 . I t i s in te n d e d to assu re th a t th e m ost c r itic a l U .S . fo r e ig n p o lic y o b je c t iv e s are se rv ed e f f e c t i v e l y , b u t a t m uch l e s s c o s t , b y e l i m i n a t i n g lo w p r i o r i t y a c t i v i t i e s . The a g e n c ie s and program s a ffe c te d by th e prop osal in c lu d e c o n tr ib u tio n s t o t h e m u l t i l a t e r a l d e v e lo p m e n t b a n k s (s u c h a s t h e W o r ld B a n k ); p a y m e n ts to th e U n ite d N a tio n s and o th e r i n t e r n a t i o n a l o r g a n iz a t io n p ro g ra m s; th e A gen cy f o r I n t e r n a t i o n a l D e v e lo p m e n t; fo o d a id s h ip m e n ts u n d e r P u b l i c Law 4 8 0 ; a n d t h e P eace C o rp s. A l l e x i s t i n g i n t e r n a t i o n a l c o m m itm e n ts w i l l b e m e t ; how ever, so m e p a y m e n ts to th e U .N . and o th e r m u ltila te r a l p ro g ra m s w i l l be s tr e tc h e d o u t . H u m a n ita r ia n p r o g r a m s , such a s t h o s e p r o v id in g e m e rg e n c y d i s a s t e r r e lie f and r e fu g e e fe e d in g , w ill be m a in ta in e d c l o s e t o th e le v e ls o f recen t y ea rs. The A ID p r o g r a m s , c u t b y 20% in 1982, w ill b e r e o r ie n te d t o a ssu r e th a t th e y c le a r l y c o n t r ib u t e t o th e a b ility o f T h ir d W o r ld c o u n tr ie s to im p r o v e th e ir e c o n o m ic p e r f o r m a n c e , r a t h e r th a n m e r e ly t r a n s f e r r i n g d o l l a r s . F or fu tu r e c o n tr ib u tio n s to m u lt ila t e r a l i n s t i t u t i o n s , th e r e w i l l be a c a r e fu l a s s e s s m e n t o f W h e th e r th e U .S . fu n d s w i l l b e u s e d e f f i c i e n t l y a n d how w e l l t h e i n s t i t u t i o n s a r e s e r v i n g t h e U n ite d S ta te s and t h e i n t e r n a t i o n a l c o m m u n ity . T he r e d u c e d p r o g r a m o f v e r y lo w i n t e r e s t lo a n s f o r e x p o r t s o f fo o d u n d e r P u b li c Law 4 8 0 w ill a ls o be e x a m in e d in l i g h t o f th e c u r r e n t r i s i n g tr e n d in c o m m e r c ia l a g r i c u l t u r a l e x p o r t s t o in s u r e t h a t i t i s t a r g e t e d on t h e h i g h e s t p r i o r i t y U .S . o b j e c t i v e s a b r o a d . The r e d u c tio n in th e c u rre n t 1982 a p p r o p r ia tio n s r e q u e s t w i l l be $ 1 ,8 5 4 m i l l i o n , r i s i n g to a cut of $ 3 ,1 8 7 m illio n fr o m 1986 s p e n d in g as p r o je c te d in th e C a r te r b u d g e t. F o r e ig n a i d fu n d s are a c tu a lly sp en t over a p e r io d of years a fte r th e y are a p p r o p r ia te d ; and as a r e s u l t , th e n e a r -te r m s a v in g s in a c t u a l c a sh b u d g et o u tla y s w i l l be s m a ll. In th e p a s t t h i s c ir c u m s t a n c e h a s b e e n u s e d a s argu m en t a g a i n s t fo r e ig n a id c u tb a c k s. C ash b u d g e t o u t la y s a v in g s w i l l b e $ 4 0 2 m i ll i o n in 1 9 8 2 , b u t w i l l r i s e to $ 1 .8 b i l l i o n b y 1 9 8 6 and e v e n h i g h e r in t h e f o l l o w i n g y e a r s , c o n t r i b u t i n g im p o r ta n tly t o th e v i t a l lo n g -te r m e f f o r t to b r in g th e F e d e r a l b u d get under c o n t r o l. F u rth e r s p e c if ic d e t a ils be p r o v id e d w hen th e on t h e s e r e v is e d 6 -3 3 d e v e lo p m e n t budget is a id r e d u c tio n s w i l l tr a n s m itte d to th e C on gress. ch an ges in T he p r o p o s a l fu n d in g : is e x p e c te d r e s u lt ( in m i lli o n s 1982 1983 1981 C u rren t b a s e : Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . O u t l a y s ................................... P roposed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y . ... to in th e fo llo w in g Of d o lla r s ) 1985 1984 1986 5 ,4 3 0 4 ,9 4 4 7 ,2 4 6 5 ,1 8 0 6 ,5 6 7 5 ,6 6 6 7 ,6 8 0 6 ,3 6 0 8 ,1 8 8 6 ,9 1 2 8 ,6 4 4 7 ,4 3 0 -6 1 6 -8 5 -1 ,8 5 4 -4 0 2 -2 0 5 -5 8 4 -2 ,5 1 3 - 1 ,0 6 3 -2 ,9 7 8 -1 ,5 2 7 -3 ,1 8 7 -1 ,8 2 7 4 ,8 1 4 4 ,8 5 9 5 ,3 9 2 4 ,7 7 8 6 ,3 6 2 5 ,0 8 2 5 ,1 6 7 5 ,2 9 7 5 ,2 1 0 5 ,3 8 5 5 ,4 5 7 5 ,6 0 3 6 -3 4 N a tio n a l A e r o n a u tic s and Space A d m in is tr a tio n REDUCTIONS IN NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATION PROGRAMS The 1 9 8 2 C a r t e r budget c a lle d fo r a NASA budget of $ 6 ,7 2 2 m illio n , a 21% in c r e a s e over 1981. T h is sh arp in c r e a s e i s i n c o m p a t i b le w it h a program o f a c r o s s -t h e -b o a r d r e s tr a in t. The r e v is e d le v e l fo r 1982, $ 6 ,2 3 5 m illio n , s till re p re se n ts a s i g n i f i c a n t in c r e a s e over 1981, but one th a t is needed to m a in ta in p rogress in th e Sp ace S h u t t le program t o m eet c i v i l i a n and c r i t i c a l d e fe n s e n e e d s . T h is in c r e a s e w ill a ls o c o n tin u e stro n g core program s i n s p a c e s c i e n c e , s p a c e a p p l i c a t i o n s , and a e r o n a u tic s . But fu n d in g fo r th e se and o th e r n o n -s h u t tle program s w i l l c o n s t r a i n e d t o a n i n c r e a s e o f 2 .9 % i n l i g h t o f t h e c u r r e n t f i s c a l a n d e c o n o m ic c r i s i s . In th e area of sp ace tr a n s p o r ta tio n , th e d e v e lo p m e n t and procurem ent of a fle e t o f f o u r s p a c e s h u t t l e o r b i t e r s and t h e o p t io n t o buy a f i f t h o r b ite r if needed w ill be m a in ta in e d . R e d u c tio n s are lim ite d p r im a r ily to s lo w e r d e v e lo p m e n t of S p a c e la b , e lim in a tio n of fu n d in g fo r th e s o la r e le c tr ic p r o p u l s i o n s y s t e m ( f o r w h ic h no a p p l i c a t i o n s h a v e b e e n a p p r o v e d ) , and r e s c h e d u lin g o f sp a ce s c ie n c e f l i g h t p r o j e c t s . The r e d u c e d le v e l in 1982 w o u ld be $540 m illio n above th e p r e v io u s ly a p p r o p r ia te d 1981 l e v e l , a l l o f w h ic h i s n e e d e d t o c o m p l e t e t h e S p a c e S h u t t l e d e v e l o p m e n t and make p o s s i b l e a fu lly o p e r a tio n a l S h u t t le sy ste m in th e e a r ly 1 9 8 0 ’ s . The redu ced b u d g e t, w h ile c a llin g fo r d e fe r r a l o r d e le t io n o f s o m e new p r o j e c t s , p e r m i t s c o n t i n u a t i o n o f a v i g o r o u s p r o g r a m of sp ace s c ie n c e and ^ e x p lo r a t io n • Su pport i s p r o v id e d t o f u l l y u tiliz e sp a c e c r a ft la u n c h e d in p r io r years th a t are s till t r a n s m i t t i n g u s e f u l d a t a (e * g * » th e V o y a g e r m is s io n t o S a tu r n and b e y o n d ). The budget a llo w s f o r c o n tin u e d d e v e lo p m e n t o f t h o s e p r o je c ts th a t o ffe r th e b road est p o te n tia l s c ie n tific c o n t r ib u t io n and th a t have la r g e p a s t in v e s tm e n ts . S p e c ific a lly , fu ll s u p p o r t i s a llo w e d f o r t h e f u r t h e r d e v e lo p m e n t o f t h e s p a c e te le s c o p e , a u n iq u e E a r th -o r b itin g o b se rv a to ry fo r v ie w in g o b je c ts at th e e d g e o f th e u n iv e r s e . An o r d e r l y p r o g r e s s i o n i n th e e x p lo r a tio n of th e p la n e ts w ill be m a in ta in e d th ro u g h d e v e lo p m e n t of a p la n e t a r y p r o j e c t , su ch a s th e G a l i l e o m is s io n to J u p ite r . U .S . p a r t i c i p a t i o n w i l l a l s o c o n t in u e , a t a red u ced le v e l, in th e in t e r n a t io n a l s o la r p o la r m is s io n . H ow ever, th e a d ju s te d budget a ls o a ssu m es d e fe r r a l of new and o n g o in g p r o j e c t s , s u c h a s t h e gamma r a y o b s e r v a t o r y s p a c e c r a f t , t h e V e n u s o r b itin g im a g in g radar p r o je c t, and s p a c e la b e x p e r i m e n t s , f o r w h ic h t h e p o t e n t i a l s c ie n tific c o n tr ib u tio n is m o re n a r r o w ly fo c u se d and o n ly r e la tiv e ly s m a ll p a s t in v e stm e n ts h ave b een m ade. The a d ju s t e d program l e v e l in 1 9 8 2 w i l l be $35 m i l l i o n , o r 6% a b o v e t h e p r e v i o u s l y a p p r o p r i a t e d l e v e l i n 1 9 8 1 . 6 -3 5 F o r s p a c e a p p l i c a t i o n s , m o s t new p r o g r a m s p r e v i o u s l y p r o p o s e d to be in itia te d in 1982 w o u ld b e d e l e t e d a n d r e d u c t i o n s w o u ld b e made i n o n g o i n g a c t i v i t i e s , som e o f w h ic h u n n e c e s s a r i l y s u b s i d i z e o r c o m p e te w it h t h e p r i v a t e s e c t o r . T he p r o g r a m a t th e red u ced le v e l w o u ld c o n tin u e su p p ort fo r : r e s e a r c h on sp a c e r e m o t e s e n s i n g t e c h n iq u e s and s a t e l l i t e m i s s i o n s t h a t h a v e th e p o t e n t i a l t o im p r o v e our a b ility to m anage c r itic a l E a rth resou rces; research r e la te d to u n d e r s ta n d in g w e a th e r and c lim a te ; and r e s e a r c h on a d v a n c e d s p a c e c o m m u n ic a tio n s te c h n o lo g y needed to in c r e a s e th e u s e fu l ran ge of r a d io fr e q u e n c ie s fo r c o m m u n ic a tio n s . T he r e d u c e d l e v e l i n 1 9 8 2 w o u ld b e 6% a b o v e th e p r e v io u s ly a p p r o p r ia te d l e v e l fo r 1 9 8 1 . For a e r o n a u tic s , r e d u c tio n s are r e l a t e d t o e l i m i n a t i o n o f new p r o j e c t s p r e v i o u s l y p r o p o s e d f o r 1 9 8 2 and l o w e r - p r i o r i t y r e s e a r c h and t e c h n o l o g y b a s e a c t i v i t i e s . T he r e d u c e d l e v e l w o u ld c o n t i n u e lo n g ran ge research e ffo r ts needed to m a in ta in th e U .S . te c h n o lo g ic a l le a d in m ilita r y and c iv il a e r o n a u tic s . The r e d u c e d l e v e l i n 1 9 8 2 w o u ld b e 4% a b o v e t h e 1 9 8 1 l e v e l . R e d u c t i o n s w o u ld b e m ade i n g e n e r a l s u p p o r t a c t i v i t i e s , su ch as c o n s tr u c tio n p r o je c ts , d ir e c t NASA e n e r g y t e c h n o l o g y w o r k , a n d te c h n o lo g y d is s e m in a tio n e ffo r ts th a t are e ith e r of lo w e r p r i o r i t y o r a re r e la t e d t o r e d u c tio n s in o th e r a g e n c ie s . The p r o p o s e d fu n d in g fo r NASA i s 1981 C u rren t b a s e : Budget a u t h o r i t y .... O u t l a y s ....................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P roposed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... as fo llo w s : (in m illio n s 1982 1983 o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 1986 5 ,5 3 4 5 ,2 8 3 6 ,5 6 5 6 ,2 7 3 6 ,7 9 5 6 ,6 4 2 5 ,9 2 4 6 ,1 8 5 5 ,3 1 5 5 ,5 1 9 5 ,0 1 1 5 ,1 8 7 -7 5 -6 0 -3 3 0 -2 4 1 -2 4 8 -3 3 4 90 -8 6 390 156 200 124 5 ,4 5 9 5 ,2 2 3 6 ,2 3 5 6 ,0 3 2 6 ,5 4 7 6 ,3 0 8 6 ,0 1 4 6 ,0 9 9 5 ,7 0 5 5 ,6 7 5 5 ,2 1 1 5 ,3 1 1 6 -3 6 N a tio n a l C on su m er C o o p e r a tiv e B ank TERMINATION OP THE NATIONAL CONSUMER COOPERATIVE BANK G iv e n t h e n eed t o a c c o m p lis h b u d g e ta r y r e d u c t i o n s by e lim in a t in g lo w e r -p r io r it y p rogram s, t h e N a t i o n a l C o n su m er C o o p e r a t i v e Bank (N C C B ) w i l l b e e n d e d . C o o p e r a tiv e s in gen eral a lr e a d y e n jo y s p e c ia l F ederal ta x tre a tm e n t. T h ose t h a t p r o v id e s e r v i c e s t o t h e i r m em b e rs e c o n o m i c a l l y an d have e x p e c ta tio n s of c o n tin u e d good e a r n in g s and stro n g m a n a g em e n t s h o u ld b e a b le t o o b t a i n a d eq u a te c r e d it p r iv a t e ly . T he u s e of b u d g eta ry resou rces to s u b s i d i z e i n e f f i c i e n t c o o p e r a t iv e s can no lo n g e r b e j u s t i f i e d . L o a n s c u r r e n t l y h e l d b y t h e NCCB w i l l b e s h i f t e d t o o t h e r F e d e r a l a g e n c ie s . C a p i t a l s t o c k i n t h e NCCB h e l d b y c o o p e r a t i v e s w i l l b e redeem ed. T e r m in a tio n of th e NCCB w ill r e s u lt in b u d g e ta ry s a v in g s o f o v e r $ 2 0 0 m i ll i o n th ro u g h 1 9 8 2 . T h e NCCB w a s c r e a t e d i n 1 9 7 8 t o p r o v id e access to c r e d it and te c h n ic a l a s s is ta n c e fo r c o o p e r a tiv e s . T h e Bank w a s i n t e n d e d t o m ake "h a r d " lo a n s to c r e d it-w o r th y con su m er c o o p e r a tiv e o r g a n iz a tio n s . A lth o u g h o v e r $ 5 0 m i l l i o n had b e en a p p r o p r ia t e d f o r i t s ' a c t i v i t i e s b y t h e end o f 1 9 8 0 , o n l y $5 m i l l i o n in lo a n s had been d is b u r s e d by th e end of th e year. W h ile le n d in g a c t i v i t y h a s p i c k e d up t h i s y e a r , a l a r g e a m o u n t o f l o a n s a r e to h o u s in g c o o p e r a tiv e s . T h ere i s no n eed f o r y e t a n o t h e r F e d e r a l a g e n c y t o p r o v id e h o u s in g c r e d i t . A se p a ra te O ffic e of S e lf H e lp D e v e lo p m e n t and T e c h n ic a l A s s is ta n c e w as c r e a t e d w i t h i n t h e Bank t o p r o v i d e a s s i s t a n c e i n t h e fo rm o f lo n g -t e r m c a p ita l lo a n s , in te r e s t s u b s id ie s , and te c h n ic a l a s s is ta n c e to c o o p e r a t i v e s t h a t m ay b e v i a b l e i n t h e fu tu r e bu t th a t cannot m eet th e B a n k 's le n d in g sta n d a rd s at p rese n t. I t w as e s p e c i a l l y i n t e n d e d t o h e l p c o o p e r a t i v e s s e r v i n g lo w -in c o m e p erson s. D e s p ite a p p r o p r ia tio n s o f o v e r $11 m i l l i o n t h r o u g h 1 9 8 0 , l e s s th a n $1 m illio n had been p r o v id e d to th e i n t e n d e d r e c i p i e n t s b y t h e end o f t h e f i s c a l y e a r . T h e NCCB w a s s t a f f e d w i t h 1 0 9 e m p l o y e e s a t t h e en d o f f i s c a l y e a r 1980. L ess th a n o n e -th ir d w ere e n g a g e d in e x t e n d in g lo a n s o r p r o v i d i n g s e l f - h e l p d e v e lo p m e n t a s s i s t a n c e . M ost w e re u sed fo r "o v e r h e a d ." The p rop osal w ill have th e fo llo w in g 6 -3 7 fu n d in g e ffe c t: 198T C urren t ( in m i l l i o n s 1983 1982 o f d o lla r s ) 19<35 1984 1986 base: B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y . . . . O u t l a y s ................................... P rop osed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... 122 136 136 128 160 152 185 178 185 175 200 190 -9 1 -8 2 -1 3 6 -1 2 8 -1 6 0 -1 5 2 -1 8 5 -1 7 8 -1 8 5 -1 7 5 -2 0 0 -1 9 0 31 54 6 -3 8 —» — ~ — ——— N a tio n a l R E D U C IN G FEDERAL SU P P O R T FOR THE ARTS E n d ow m en ts f o r t h e A r t s and H u m a n itie s AND H U M A N IT IE S The A d m i n i s t r a t i o n w i l l p r o p o s e r e d u c t i o n s in budget fo r th e A r t s a n d H u m a n i t i e s E ndow m en ts o f a b o u t 5 0 % . p l a c e m o re e m p h a s is on t h e r o l e o f p r i v a t e p h i l a n t h r o p y a n d l o c a l s u p p o r t f o r a r t s an d c u l t u r a l a c t i v i t i e s . a u th o r ity T h is w i l l and S t a t e R e d u c t i o n s o f t h i s m a g n it u d e a r e p r e m i s e d on th e con cept th a t F e d e r a l p o l i c y f o r a r t s and h u m a n i t i e s s u p p o r t m u s t b e c o m p l e t e l y revam p ed . For to o lo n g , th e E ndow m en ts have spread F ed eral f i n a n c i n g i n t o an e v e r -w id e r ran ge of a r tis tic and lite r a r y e n d e a v o r , p r o m o tin g th e n o t io n t h a t th e F e d e r a l G overn m en t s h o u ld be t h e f i n a n c i a l p a t r o n o f f i r s t r e s o r t f o r b o t h i n d i v i d u a l s an d i n s t i t u t i o n s en gaged in a r t i s t i c and lite r a r y p u r s u its . T h is p o lic y has r e s u lte d in a r e d u c tio n in th e h i s t o r i c r o le o f p r i v a t e i n d i v i d u a l and c o r p o r a t e su p p ort in th e se key areas. T h ese r e d u c tio n s in F ederal su p port are a f i r s t s t e p to w a rd r e v e r s in g t h i s tr e n d . M o r e o v e r , in t h o s e a r e a s w h ere F e d e r a l f in a n c i n g d o e s n o t w h o lly su p p la n t p r iv a te p h ila n th r o p ic m ea n s of s u p p o r t , fu n d in g f o r a r t i s t i c and l i t e r a r y p u r s u its is a r e la tiv e ly lo w p r io r ity b u d get ite m . G iv e n t h e n e e d f o r r e d u c t i o n s a c r o s s t h e f u l l r a n g e of F ederal program s th a t m eet m o re b a s ic human n e e d s , lo w p r i o r i t y i t e m s m u st b e a r a g r e a t e r b u r d e n i f f i s c a l r e s t r a i n t is t o b e a c h i e v e d in a b a la n c e d and c o m p a s s io n a t e w a y . The p rop osed r e d u c tio n w ill be a c h i e v e d b y a m e n d in g t h e 1 9 8 2 b u d g e t b y - $ 8 5 m i l l i o n f o r t h e A r t s Endow m ent and -$ 8 0 m illio n fo r th e H u m a n itie s E n d o w m en t. A d d itio n a l r e d u c tio n s in b u d g et a u t h o r i t y w i l l b e m ade i n 1 9 8 3 , 1 9 8 4 , 1 9 8 5 , a n d 1 9 8 6 . T h e A r t s a n d H u m a n i t i e s E n d ow m en ts m ake g r a n t s t o a v a r ie ty ‘ o f c u ltu r a l o r g a n iz a tio n s a n d i n s t i t u t i o n s s u c h a s m u se u m s, b a l l e t c o m p a n ie s , u n i v e r s i t i e s , and l i b r a r i e s In 1 9 8 1 , F e d e r a l su p p o rt f o r t h e E n d ow m en ts t o t a l e d $ 3 1 1 m i l l i o n , $159 m illio n fo r th e A r t s and $ 1 5 2 f o r th e H u m a n itie s . 6 -3 9 1981 N a t i o n a l Endow m ent f o r th e H u m a n itie s : C u rren t b a s e : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . • O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P rop osed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... N a t i o n a l Endowm ent f o r th e A r t s : C u rrent b a s e : Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y . . . . O u t l a y s ................................... P rop osed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... (in m illio n s 1982 1983 o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 1986 152 155 165 163 180 181 195 196 209 210 222 218 -----........ -8 0 -3 9 -9 0 -6 8 -9 8 -9 8 -1 0 7 -1 1 2 -1 1 5 -1 1 7 152 155 85 124 90 113 97 98 102 98 107 101 159 154 173 167 190 175 205 189 220 206 234 217 -----........ -8 5 -4 6 -9 6 -6 3 -1 0 5 -9 5 -1 1 5 -1 1 1 -1 2 4 -1 1 4 159 154 88 121 94 112 100 94 105 95 110 103 N a tio n a l R E D U C T IO N S IN PROGRAMS OF TH E N A T IO N A L S c ie n c e S C IE N C E F o u n d a tio n F O U N D A T IO N A s p a r t o f h i s o v e r a l l p o l i c y o f r e d u c in g fu n d in g l e v e l s in o r d e r t o h e l p r e s o l v e t h e im m e d ia t e f i s c a l and e c o n o m ic c r is is , th e P r e s id e n t p l a n s t o s e l e c t i v e l y r e d u c e o r e l i m i n a t e som e N a t i o n a l S c i e n c e F o u n d a tio n p ro g ra m s w h ile m a in ta in in g o n -g o in g su p port fo r i t s c r i t i c a l r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s in th e advancem ent o f s c ie n c e . T h e p r o p o s e d b u d g e t a u t h o r i t y r e d u c t i o n s am ou n t t o $ 6 3 m i l l i o n i n 1 9 8 1 and $ 6 6 m i l l i o n i n 1 9 8 2 b e lo w th e c u r r e n t b a s e e s t i m a t e s . The r e d u c t i o n s a r e d e s ig n e d t o p r e s e r v e th e s u p p o r t o f r e s e a r c h in th e n a t u r a l s c ie n c e s p rogram s t h a t a re p rop osed fo r r e d u c tio n o r a g e n c y ' s f o c u s on i t s and e n g i n e e r i n g . T he e lim in a tio n in c lu d e : — p ro g ra m s t h a t a r e n a r r o w ly fo c u s e d o r o f l e s s i m m e d ia t e p r io r ity su ch as th e 2 -4 year c o lle g e research in s tr u m e n ta tio n g r a n t s , th e s m a ll b u s in e s s in n o v a tio n research program , and th e in te r g o v e r n m e n ta l an d i n t e r n a t i o n a l s c i e n c e p r o g r a m s ; an d — o t h e r p ro g ra m s in s c i e n c e and e n g i n e e r i n g e d u c a t io n t h e b e h a v i o r a l , s o c i a l , a n d e c o n o m ic s c i e n c e s , w h ic h l e s s c r i t i c a l t o m e e t i n g t h e g o a l s and o b j e c t i v e s o f F o u n d a tio n . and are th e I n a d d i t i o n , a l l new p r o g r a m s p r o p o s e d i n t h e 1 9 8 2 b u d g e t , s u c h a s u n iv e r s ity la b o r a to r y m o d e r n iz a tio n g ra n ts and th e 2 5 -m e t e r t e l e s c o p e w o u ld b e d e f e r r e d f o r f u t u r e c o n s i d e r a t i o n . T h e p r o p o s e d r e d u c t i o n s w o u ld n o t a f f e c t t h e p r e v i o u s l y prop osed le v e l of su p port fo r b a s ic and a p p lie d research in th e m a th e m a tic a l and p h y s ic a l s c ie n c e s , e n g in e e r in g , and th e a s tr o n o m ic a l, a tm o s p h e r ic , e a rth , and ocean s c ie n c e s . T h ese program s h ave n o t been red u ced b e ca u se r e s e a r c h in th e n a tu ra l s c ie n c e s and e n g in e e r in g is of r e l a t i v e l y h ig h im p o rta n c e t o fu tu r e te c h n o lo g ic a l advancem ent and th e lo n g -te r m e c o n o m ic h e a lth The of th e e x p e c te d N a tio n . change in fu n d in g is 6 -4 1 as fo llo w s : (in C urren t m illio n s o f d o lla r s ) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 . . 1 ,0 8 3 ,0 0 7 1 ,1 8 1 1 ,0 4 1 1 ,2 8 3 1 ,1 5 5 1 ,3 8 5 1 ,2 6 0 1 ,4 8 5 1 ,3 6 6 1 ,5 8 0 1 ,4 5 4 •* -6 3 -2 6 -6 6 -1 5 -9 0 -8 1 -1 2 0 -1 0 9 -1 5 3 -1 4 1 -1 8 3 -1 5 5 . . 1 ,0 2 0 981 1 ,1 1 5 1 ,0 2 6 1 ,1 9 3 1 ,0 7 4 1 ,2 6 5 1 ,1 5 1 1 ,3 3 2 1 ,2 2 5 1 ,3 9 7 1 ,2 9 9 b ase: B udget a u t h o r i t y . O u t l a y s .......................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : Budget a u t h o r it y . O u t l a y s .......................... P rop osed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r it y . O u t l a y s .......................... 6 -4 2 7. CONSOLIDATE CATEGORICAL GRANT PROGRAMS INTO BLOCK GRANTS D e p a r tm e n t o f E d u c a tio n CONSOLIDATING ELEMENTARY AND SECONDARY EDUCATION PROGRAMS The A d m in is t r a t io n p r o p o s e s t o c o n s o l id a t e a l l o r p a r t o f o v e r 45 s e p a r a t e F e d e r a l and s e c o n d a r y e d u c a t i o n p r o g r a m s i n t o tw o " b l o c k g r a n t " p r o g r a m s — on e t o th e S t a t e s and on e t o L ocal E d u c a tio n A g e n c ie s ( L E A 's ) . S u ch b lo c k g ra n ts w ill s h if t c o n tro l over e d u c a t i o n p o l i c y away fr o m t h e F e d e r a l G o v e rn m e n t and back to S ta te and lo c a l a u th o r itie s — w h e re i t c o n s t i t u t i o n a l l y a n d h i s t o r i c a l l y b e lo n g s . E x is tin g m u ltip le program r e q u ir e m e n ts are bu rd en som e, in fle x ib le , u n r e s p o n s i v e , and d u p l i c a t i v e , r e s u l t i n g in w a s t e o f r e s o u r c e s a t a l l l e v e l s o f g o v e rn m e n t; th e b lo c k gran t app roach w ill e li m i n a t e such unneeded F e d e r a l r u l e s . T he F e d e r a l r o l e i s t o s u p p ly n e c e s s a r y r e s o u r c e s , n o t to s p e c ify in e x c r u c ia tin g d e t a i l w h at m u st b e don e w it h t h e s e r e s o u r c e s . U nder b lo c k g ra n ts, t h e r e w i l l b e no r e q u i r e m e n t s f o r m a t c h i n g f u n d s a n d n o d em an ds t h a t F e d e r a l f u n d s " s u p p l e m e n t ra th e r th a n s u p p la n t" lo c a l fu n d in g . T here w ill b e no e n d l e s s b y z a n t i n e s q u a b b le s over m y r ia d a c c o u n tin g r e g u la tio n s th a t a id b u rea u cra ts, not c h ild r e n . A p p r o x im a te ly 13% o f th e F e d e r a l fu n d s in program s to be c o n s o lid a te d are now u sed fo r a d m in is tr a tiv e exp en ses by S ta te and lo c a l a g e n c ie s . T h is overh ead w ill be d r a s tic a lly red u ced under th e c o n s o lid a tio n p r o p o s a l. The LEA b lo c k gran t w ill in c lu d e a b o u t 12 p r o g r a m s t h a t a r e p r e s e n t l y t a r g e t e d on s t u d e n t s ju d g e d t o h a v e s p e c i a l e d u c a t i o n a l n eed s: th e e c o n o m ic a lly d is a d v a n ta g e d , th e p h y s ic a lly or m e n ta lly h a n d ic a p p e d , c h ild r e n lim ite d p r o fic ie n c y in E n g lis h , c h ild r e n in sch ool d is tr ic ts u n d e r g o in g r a c ia l d e s e g r e g a tio n , and illite r a te a d u lts . B ecau se m any o f t h e s e p ro g ra m s o v e r la p s e r v i c e s t o d is a d v a n ta g e d stu d e n ts, th e b lo c k gran t sy ste m w i l l a l l o w l o c a l i t i e s t o e l i m i n a t e c o n f l i c t i n g and d u p l i c a t i v e r e g u l a t i o n s and r e p o r t i n g r e q u ir e m e n t s . T he b l o c k g r a n t t o t h e S t a t e s c o m b in e s a b o u t 35 s e p a r a t e p r o g r a m s t h a t (a ) p r o v id e d i r e c t e d u c a tio n a l s e r v ic e s fo r h a n d ic a p p e d , n e g le c te d , a n d d e l i n q u e n t c h i l d r e n , ( b ) im p r o v e t h e s t a f f i n g a n d s e r v ic e s o f th e S ta te E d u c a tio n a l A g e n c ie s , and (c ) su p p ort im p r o v e d sch ool servxces xn a v a r ie ty of w ays in c lu d in g a s s is ta n c e to sch ool lib r a r ie s , c u r r ic u lu m d e v e lo p m e n t, and te c h n ic a l a s s is ta n c e . 7 -1 N in e te e n o f th e p rog ram s t o be c o n s o lid a te d are so s m a ll in fu n d in g le v e l and fo c u s th a t t h e ir a d m in is tr a tio n a s se p a r a te c a t e g o r i c a l g r a n t s m akes no sen se. P rogram s su ch as m e tr ic e d u c a tio n , con su m er e d u c a tio n , la w -r e la t e d e d u c a tio n , e th n ic h e r ita g e s tu d ie s , and o th e rs are r e a lly "m ic r o -c a t e g o r ic a l" g r a n t s t h a t s h o u ld n o t be s e p a r a t e F e d e r a l a c t i v i t i e s . F u rth e r, even at a l e v e l o f $ 1 0 0 m i l l i o n a y e a r , i t s h o u ld be n o t e d , a F e d e r a l e d u c a t io n a l program w o u ld p r o v id e an average a w a rd o f o n l y $ 6 , 2 5 0 p e r s c h o o l d i s t r i c t . T h is i s a n o th e r r e a s o n t o c o m b in e 21 o f t h e s e p r o g r a m s , w h ic h h a v e t o t a l f u n d i n g o f $ 1 0 0 m illio n o r le s s a y e a r , in t o th e c o n s o lid a te d b lo c k g r a n t s . B udget a u th o r ity fo r t h e " b l o c k g r a n t s " i n 1 9 8 2 w i l l b e 80% o f t h e sum o f t h e c o m b in e d p r o g r a m s in 1981. T he A d m in is tr a tio n a n tic ip a te s th a t th e red u ced fu n d in g l e v e l s w i l l b e o f f s e t b y m ore e f f i c i e n t m a n a g e m e n t g e n e r a t i n g fr o m t h e i n c r e a s e d la titu d e g iv e n t o S t a t e an d l o c a l g o v e rn m e n ts t o t a i l o r e d u c a t io n p r o g r a m s to s u i t th e p a r t i c u l a r n eed s o f c h ild r e n in t h e i r d i s t r i c t s . A lis t o f th e p rogram s g ra n ts i s a tta c h e d . th a t w ill c o n s o lid a te d (in m illio n s 1982 1983 1981 C u rren t b a s e : Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................. . P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . O u t l a y s ................................. P rop osed b u d g e t: Budget a u t h o r i t y .. . . . be in to th e o f d o lla r s ) 1984 1985 b lo c k 1986 5 ,6 1 1 5 ,3 6 4 6 ,0 6 1 5 ,7 9 7 6 ,5 7 0 6 ,2 7 9 7 ,0 5 1 6 ,7 3 0 7 ,5 0 2 7 ,1 5 5 7 ,9 8 3 7 ,6 1 3 ----------- -1 ,4 9 8 -1 0 6 - 1 ,7 6 1 - 1 ,2 1 7 -1 ,9 9 8 -1 ,7 6 6 -2 ,3 6 6 -2 ,0 5 1 -2 ,6 1 7 -2 ,2 7 2 5 ,6 1 1 5 ,3 6 4 4 ,5 6 3 5 ,6 9 1 4 ,8 0 9 5 ,0 6 2 5 ,0 5 3 4 ,9 6 4 5 ,1 3 6 5 ,1 0 4 5 ,3 6 6 5 ,3 4 1 7 -2 PROGRAMS IN C L U D E D (B u d g e t IN LO C A L a u th o r ity ; E D U C A T IO N in m illio n s AGENCY o f BLOCK 1981 C o n tin u in g R e s o lu tio n L evel P ro g ra m G ra n ts fo r T itle I T itle I T itle ' I GRANTS d o lla r s ) th e D is a d v a n ta g e d ESEA b a s i c g r a n t s f o r d i s a d v a n t a g e d .................. ESEA S t a t e a g e n c y p r o g r a m s f o r m i g r a n t s . . . ESEA c o n c e n t r a t i o n g r a n t s .............................................. 2 ,8 2 2 .7 2 8 8 .0 1 4 5 .0 E d u c a t i o n f o r t h e H a n d ic a p p e d ( S t a t e G r a n t s ) H a n d ic a p p e d S t a t e g r a n t p r o g r a m .................................................... P r e s c h o o l in c e n t iv e g r a n ts f o r th e h a n d i c a p p e d .... 9 2 2 .0 2 5 .0 A d u lt E d u c a tio n A d u lt e d u c a tio n S t a t e s ................................................. 1 2 0 .0 B i l i n g u a l E d u c a tio n B i l i n g u a l e d u c a t i o n ...................................................................................... B i l i n g u a l v o c a t i o n a l t r a i n i n g .......................................................... 1 3 7 .9 4 .8 S c h o o l Im p r o v e m e n t B a s i c s k i l l s . . . . . ...................................................................................... E m e r g e n c y s c h o o l a i d (3 p r o g r a m s ) ......................................... 1 8 .2 2 0 4 .9 g ra n ts to T o t a l .................................................................................................. 7 -3 4 ,6 8 8 .5 PROGRAMS IN C L U D E D I N BLOCK G R A N TS (B u d g e t a u t h o r i t y ; in m i l l i o n s o f TO S T A T E S d o lla r s ) 1981 C o n tin u in g R e s o lu tio n L evel P rogram S t a t e A g en cy G r a n ts f o r th e D is a d v a n ta g e d T i t l e I ESEA S t a t e a g e n c y p r o g r a m s f o r t h e h a n d i c a p p e d .......................................................................................................... T i t l e I ESEA S t a t e a g e n c y p r o g r a m s f o r n e g l e c t e d and d i l i n q u e n t .................................................................................................. T i t l e I ESEA S t a t e a d m i n i s t r a t i o n .............................................. T i t l e I te c h n ic a l a s s is ta n c e c e n te rs (E v a lu a tio n ). S u p p o rt and I n n o v a tio n S u p p o r t and i n n o v a t i o n — i m p r o v in g l o c a l e d u c a t i o n a l p r a c t i c e s .............................................................................. S t r e n g t h e n i n g S t a t e e d u c a t i o n a g e n c y m a n a g e m e n t ... S p e c i a l E d u c a tio n S e v e r e l y h a n d i c a p p e d p r o j e c t s .......................................................... R e g i o n a l r e s o u r c e s c e n t e r s .................................................................. E a r l y c h i l d h o o d e d u c a t i o n ..................................................................... R e g i o n a l v o c a t i o n a l , a d u l t , and p o s t - s e c o n d a r y p r o g r a m s ................................................................................................................... H a n d ic a p p e d i n n o v a t i o n an d d e v e l o p m e n t ................................ S p e c i a l e d u c a t i o n p e r s o n n e l d e v e l o p m e n t ............................. G i f t e d a n d t a l e n t e d ...................................................................................... 165 .0 3 7 .8 4 7 .0 8 .0 9 1 .4 5 1 .0 5 .0 1 0 .0 2 0 .0 2 .0 8 .0 5 8 .0 5 .4 E m ergency S c h o o l A id S p e c i a l p r o j e c t s ............................................................................................... N o n p r o f i t o r g a n i z a t i o n s ........................................................................... E d u c a t i o n a l t e l e v i s i o n .............................................................................. T r a i n i n g a n d a d v i s o r y s e r v i c e s (CRA I V ) ............................. 8 .5 7 .5 6 .5 4 5 .7 S c h o o l L i b r a r i e s and I n s t r u c t i o n a l R e so u r c e s S c h o o l l i b r a r i e s and i n s t r u c t i o n a l r e s o u r c e s . . . . . . 1 7 1 .0 S c h o o l Im p ro v e m en t B a s i c s k i l l s im p r o v e m e n t ( S t a t e g r a n t s ) ............................. A r t s i n e d u c a t i o n ............................................................................................ M e t r i c e d u c a t i o n ............................................................................................... C i t i e s i n s c h o o l s ............................................................................................. PUSH f o r e x c e l l e n c e ....................................................................................... F o l l o w - t h r o u g h ..................................................................................................... P r o f e s s i o n a l D e v e lo p m e n t T e a c h e r c o r p s ........................................................................................................ P r e - c o l l e g e s c i e n c e t e a c h e r t r a i n i n g ...................................... B i l i n g u a l e d u c a t i o n t r a i n i n g g r a n t s ......................................... O th e r C a r e e r e d u c a t i o n i n c e n t i v e s ................................................................ C om m u n ity s c h o o l s ............................................................................................. C o n su m er e d u c a t i o n ........................................................................ ................. 7 -4 1 3 .4 1.7 1 .8 3.1 1 .0 3 9 .2 2 9 .0 2 .5 3 7 .1 1 5 .0 1 0 .0 3.6 L a w - r e l a t e d e d u c a t i o n ................................................................................ A l c o h o l a n d d r u g a b u s e e d u c a t i o n ................................................. E t h n i c h e r i t a g e s t u d i e s ........................................................................... W o m e n 's e d u c a t i o n a l e q u i t y .................................................................. T o t a l ........................................... ................................................................. 7 -5 1*0 3 .0 3 .0 1 0 .0 9 2 2 .2 H e a lth and H u m an RETURNING MANAGEMENT OF HEALTH AND SOCIAL SERVICES TO STATES S e r v ic e s PROGRAMS A s p a r t o f th e e f f o r t t o r e t u r n d e c is io n m a k in g a u th o r ity , w h ere a p p r o p r ia te , to S ta te s and l o c a l i t i e s , th e A d m in is t r a t io n w i l l p rop o se to c o n s o lid a te th e p r e se n t c o lle c t io n o f about 40 F ed era l c a t e g o r i c a l g r a n t s f o r h e a l t h and s o c i a l s e r v ic e s in to one or m o re b l o c k g r a n t s t o S t a t e s . T h rou gh th e years, a c o m p le x , d u p l i c a t i v e , and u n c o o r d in a te d array of F ederal h e a lth and s o c ia l s e r v ic e program s has d e v e lo p e d . T h ese program s p r o v id e s e r v ic e s b a s e d on v a r y in g c r i t e r i a i n c l u d i n g a g e , in c o m e , h e a l t h s t a t u s , d i s e a s e ca teg o ry , o c c u p a tio n , and r e s id e n c e . M ost of t h e p r o g r a m s o v e r l a p and d u p l i c a t e o t h e r p r o g r a m s i n s e r v i c e s p r o v id e d a n d /o r p o p u la tio n s served . Some o f t h e s e p r o g r a m s a r e f o r m u la g r a n t s t o S t a t e s f o r p r o v is io n o f s e r v ic e s at th e lo c a l le v e l, u s u a lly by lo c a l g o v e rn m en ts or a g e n c ie s . O t h e r s make p r o j e c t g r a n t s o r p r o v i d e in -k in d s e r v ic e s or fe d e r a lly p a id , w ork ers to lo c a l p u b lic a g e n c ie s , c o m m u n i t y -b a s e d o r g a n i z a t i o n s , and s i m i l a r n o n - p r o f i t grou p s. E ach p r o g r a m g e n e r a l l y h a s its own se p a ra te p la n n in g p rocess. A s i d e fr o m t h e c o n f u s i o n c a u s e d b y t h e t o t a l l a c k o f c o h e r e n c e i n th e F ederal d e liv e r y e ffo r t i t s e l f , d a y t o d a y m anagem ent h a s d e v e lo p e d i n t o a b u r e a u c r a t i c m o ra ss o f p la n n i n g , r e g u l a t i n g , and r e p o r t i n g a t t h e F e d e r a l , S t a t e , and l o c a l l e v e l s . T here a re 437 p a g e s o f la w a n d 1 , 2 0 0 p a g e s o f r e g u l a t i o n a l o n e f o r t h e p r o g r a m s in c lu d e d in th e p r o p o s a l. T h ese program s a d m in is t e r a b o u t 5 ,8 0 0 se p a ra te g ra n ts and 2 4 ,0 0 0 g r a n t s i t e s . O nce a w a rd s a r e m ade, o v e r 7 m i l l i o n man hou rs of S ta te and lo c a l govern m en t and c o m m u n ity e f f o r t a re u se d j u s t in f i l l i n g o u t f e d e r a l l y r e q u ir e d r e p o r ts each y e a r . In a d d i t i o n , th e N a tio n s u p p o r ts over 3 ,3 0 0 F ederal e m p lo y e e s t o a d m in is te r th e g ra n t program s p ro p o se d fo r c o n s o lid a tio n . T he p r o b l e m s o f c a t e g o r i c a l g r a n t p r o g r a m s a r e n o t lim ite d ju s t to th is w a ste and i n e f f i c i e n c y o r t o m anagem ent d i f f i c u l t i e s . B e ca u se o f th e fra g m e n te d n a tu r e o f th e c u r r e n t fu n d in g sy ste m , o fte n p erson s in need of th e se s e r v ic e s m u st g o t o s e v e r a l d i f f e r e n t and u n r e la t e d g r a n t e e s f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r v i c e s and m u st r e c e iv e r e la te d h e a l t h s e r v i c e s fr o m d i f f e r e n t p r o v i d e r s . The c u r r e n t s y s t e m 's a d m i n i s t r a t i v e r e q u ir e m e n ts have r e s u lte d in n e a r ly in s u r m o u n ta b le b a r r ie r s fo r S t a t e s , l o c a l g o v e rn m e n ts, c o m m u n i t i e s , a n d e v e n i n d i v i d u a l p r o v i d e r s who w i s h t o in te g r a te fu n d s fr o m a ll gran t program s in to c o m p r e h e n s iv e a s s i s t a n c e sy ste m s. The A d m i n i s t r a t i o n 's b l o c k g r a n t p r o p o s a l w i l l e n a b le S ta te s to p la n and c o o r d i n a t e t h e i r own s e r v i c e p r o g r a m s , e s t a b l i s h t h e i r own p r i o r i t i e s , and e x e r c is e e ffe c tiv e program c o n tro l over 7 -6 r e s o u r c e s p r o v id e d t o l o c a l i t i e s and n o n -p r o fit o r g a n iz a tio n s . T h is app roach w o u ld red u ce th e m u ltip lic ity of r u le s and r e g u l a t i o n s (a n d , h e n ce F e d e r a l d i r e c t i o n ) under w h ic h s e r v ic e a g e n c ie s c u r r e n tly o p e ra te . S ta te s w o u ld th u s have g re a te r f l e x i b i l i t y — as w e ll as g r e a te r r e s p o n s ib ility fo r r e s u l t s — in p r o v id in g needed s e r v ic e s to th e ir p o p u la tio n s . O v e r la p p in g f u n d i n g fr o m d i f f e r e n t p r o g r a m s f o r t h e sam e s e r v ic e s c o u ld be e lim in a te d . S t a t e s c o u ld s e l e c t th e s e r v i c e d e l i v e r y a g e n c y b e s t a b le t o p r o v i d e c e r t a i n s e r v i c e s t h a t a r e now p r o v i d e d b y d i r e c t F ed eral g ra n tee s. T he o v e r a ll r e s u lt w o u ld stre n g th e n S ta te g o v e rn m e n ts and p r o v id e p u b lic ly -fin a n c e d s e r v ic e s m ore e f f e c t i v e l y and a t lo w e r c o s t s t o t h o s e i n n e e d . L e g i s l a t i o n w i l l be p ro p o se d as soon a s p o s s i b le t o c a r r y o u t th e A d m i n i s t r a t i o n 's p r o p o s a l, e f f e c t i v e in O cto b er of th is year. The p rop osed fu n d in g l e v e l f o r 1 9 8 2 i s 75% o f t h e 1 9 8 1 c u r r e n t b a s e o r $ 6 .8 b i l l i o n . B e c a u s e t h e new b lo c k gran t le g is la tio n w o u ld a llo w s ig n ific a n t sa v in g s in p r o g r a m o v e r h e a d a n d m o re e f f i c i e n t s e r v i c e d e l i v e r y due t o th e e li m i n a t i o n o f o v e r la p p in g s e r v ic e r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s , t h i s fu n d in g ch a n g e need n o t r e s u l t in a r e d u c tio n o f s e r v ic e s . ___________ ( i n m i l l i o n s 1981 1982 1983 C u rrent b a se : B udget a u t h o r i t y .. . . O u t l a y s ................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B udget a u t h o r i t y .... O u t l a y s ................................... P rop osed b u d g e t: B udget a u t h o r i t y .... O u t l a y s ................................... o f d o l l a r s ) _____________ 1984 1985 1986 9 ,4 9 1 9 ,3 3 4 9 ,9 4 2 9 ,7 8 7 1 0 ,3 2 6 1 0 ,1 4 1 1 0 ,6 5 7 1 0 ,4 7 0 1 0 ,8 7 8 1 0 ,7 2 3 ----------- 2 , 6 9 7 ----------- 2 , 5 4 0 -3 ,1 4 8 -2 ,9 9 3 -3 ,5 3 2 -3 ,3 4 7 -3 ,8 6 3 -3 ,6 7 6 -4 ,0 8 4 -3 ,9 2 9 6 ,7 9 4 6 .7 9 4 6 ,7 9 4 6 ,7 9 4 6 ,7 9 4 6 ,7 9 4 9 .0 5 9 8 .9 8 3 9 .0 5 9 8 .9 8 3 6 ,7 9 4 6 ,7 9 4 7 -7 6 ,7 9 4 6 ,7 9 4 8. REDUCE OVERHEAD AND PERSONNEL COSTS OF THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT D e p a r tm e n t of D e fe n s e -M ilita r y DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE-M ILITARY T h e g ro w th o f S o v i e t m i l i t a r y pow er o v e r th e c o u r s e o f th e p ast decade th re a te n s to u n d e r m in e our a b ility t o d e t e r a n a rm ed a t t a c k on o u r in te r e s ts d u r in g th e 1 9 8 0 's . S in c e th e la te 1960’s, th e S o v ie ts have in v e s te d $ 3 0 0 b i l l i o n m ore i n t h e i r d e f e n s e e f f o r t th a n h a s th e U n ite d S t a t e s . T h is in v e s tm e n t has p r o v i d e d t h e S o v i e t U n io n w i t h a m i l i t a r i l y s i g n i f i c a n t n u m e r i c a l a d v a n ta g e in m ost m a jo r c a t e g o r i e s o f w e a p o n s y s t e m s i n c l u d i n g i n t e r c o n t i n e n t a l b a l l i s t i c m i s s i l e s , s u b m a r in e -la u n c h e d b a l l i s t i c m is s ile s , c r u is e m is s ile s , t a c t ic a l a ir c r a f t , arm ored v e h ic le s , a ir d e fe n s e sy ste m s, and a r tille r y . The con seq u en ces of p e r m i t t i n g a g r o w in g d i v e r g e n c e of m ilit a r y pow er to p e r s is t d u r in g t h e 1 9 8 0 ' s a r e s o f r a u g h t w i t h d a n g e r t h a t a m a jo r e f f o r t t o im p r o v e o u r d e f e n s e p o s t u r e m u s t be made over th e next 5 years. T here is no need t o m a tc h t h e n u m e r i c a l d i m e n s i o n o f S o v i e t f o r c e s , b u t t h e f o r c e s we p r o c u r e m u s t b e f u l l y c a p a b l e o f c o p i n g w i t h t h e t h r e a t we w i l l f a c e d u r i n g t h e c o m in g d e c a d e . S u b s t a n t i a l g ro w th i n t h e s h a r e o f b u d g e t resou rces d e v o te d to n a t i o n a l d e f e n s e i s p r o v id e d t o im p r o v e and s u s t a i n t h e r e a d i n e s s o f U . S . f o r c e s arid t o i n c r e a s e t h e i r a b i l i t y t o d e t e r a n d , s h o u l d d e te rre n ce fa il, to p r e v a il in re sp o n se t o a g g r e s s io n a g a in s t U .S . i n t e r e s t s . The d e f e n s e b u d g e t h a s b e e n r e v ie w e d c l o s e l y to a c h ie v e cost s a v in g s . P art of th e d e fe n s e g ro w th w ill be f i n a n c e d b y t h e s a v i n g s t h a t r e s u l t fr o m i n c r e a s e d e f f i c i e n c y a n d r e d u c t i o n s in t r a v e l and o t h e r m a r g in a l a c t i v i t i e s . P r o p o s e d r e d u c t i o n s *— T h e r e d u c tio n s p rop osed by th e A d m in is tr a tio n w ill grow t o m o re t h a n $ 7 b i l l i o n i n o u t l a y s b y 1986. S a v in g s i n c a t e g o r i e s o t h e r th a n p a y o f $ 0 .8 b illio n in budget a u th o r ity and $ 0 .5 b illio n in o u tla y s in 1982 are e s tim a te d to r e s u lt fr o m a v a r ie ty of e ffic ie n c ie s . The d e p a rtm en t o f d e fe n s e i n s t a l l a t i o n and l o g i s t i c s s t r u c t u r e c o s t s abou t $40 b i lli o n per year to o p e ra te . W h ile p r o g r e s s has been m ade over th e years in c o n s o lid a tin g th is str u c tu r e to a c c o m m o d a t e o u r m o d e rn m i l i t a r y f o r c e s , m o re c a n b e d o n e . Up to 5% per year in fa c ility c o sts c o u ld be saved a fte r fu ll im p le m e n t a t io n o f a p rogram i n v o l v i n g : ___ r e a l i g n m e n t s t h a t w o u ld s t r u c t u r e ; and ___ in c r e a s e d u se of c o n tra c tu a l se r v ic e s in p la c e of in -h o u s e G overn m en t a c tiv itie s , w h erev er e c o n o m ic a lly ju s tifie d . 8 -1 red u ce th e s iz e of th e o v e r a ll R e d u c tio n s in tra v e l and c o n s u lta n ts w ill a ls o be a c h ie v e d . A v a r i e t y o f m a n a g em e n t im p r o v e m e n t s i s to be a p p lie d in th e a c q u is itio n area. T h ese in c lu d e : m u lti-y e a r p ro c u r e m e n ts p e r m i t t i n g s u b s t a n t i a l e c o n o m i e s (u p t o 15% o f u n i t c o s t ) d u e to e a r ly a s s u r a n c e o f lo n g e r p r o d u c tio n r u n s . W id e s p r e a d s u c c e s s f u l im p le m e n ta tio n c o u ld i n c r e a s e s a v in g s w h ile g r e a t l y s t r e n g t h e n in g th e a b ility of U .S . in d u s tr y to resp on d to a m o b iliz a tio n c o n tin g e n c y . S h o r t-te r m sa v in g s w ill r e s u lt fr o m ta k in g a d v a n ta g e of c o n tra c t o p tio n s and m a in ta in in g s ta b le su b co n tra cto r su p p o rt. L o n g -te r m s a v i n g s w ill be a c h ie v e d by e n c o u r a g in g in v e s tm e n t in b o t t l e n e c k i n d u s t r i e s w h ere c a p a c i t y c o n s tr a in ts now im p o se h ig h c o sts. M ore e c o n o m ic order q u a n titie s and in c r e a s e d c o m p e t i t i o n i n t h e a w a rd o f c o n t r a c t s w ill a c h ie v e lo w e r u n it co sts. S tu d ie s have sh ow n th a t c o m p e titio n in d e fe n se c o n tr a c tin g can re d u ce u n it c o s t s b y a s much a s 10% t o 2 0 % . W eap on sy ste m s th a t are p o o r ly m anaged, e x c e s s iv e ly c o s tly in r e la tio n to m is s io n r e q u ir e m e n ts , or p e r ip h e r a l to U .S . d e fe n se r e q u ir e m e n ts w ill be te r m in a te d . P r o d u c tiv ity e n h a n c in g in v e stm e n ts (b o th in th e d e fe n s e i n d u s t r i a l b a s e a n d i n G o v e r n m e n t -o p e r a t e d f a c i l i t i e s ) w i t h h ig h p o t e n t i a l s a v in g s w i l l b e e m p h a s iz e d . The P r e s id e n t s u p p o r t s l e g i s l a t i o n p r o p o se d i n in itia te annual c o s t -o f-liv in g a d ju s tm e n ts r e tir e e s . T h i s s t e p w o u ld r e d u c e o u t l a y s fo r p a y b y $ 6 8 m i l l i o n i n 1 9 8 1 and $ 3 8 0 m i l l i o n i n J a n u a r y t h a t w o u ld fo r a ll F ederal m ilita r y r e tir e d 1982. P erson n el co sts c o n s titu te n e a r ly h a lf o f th e d e fe n se b u d g e t. R e d u c t i o n s i n t h e s e e x p e n d i t u r e s w i l l r e s u l t fr o m t h e new F e d e r a l pay sta n d a rd p rop osed by th e A d m in is tr a tio n . U nder th is p r o p o s a l , p a y r a i s e s o f 4 .8 % f o r c i v i l i a n p e r s o n n e l a r e e s t i m a t e d fo r 1982. A s a r e s u l t , t h e D e p a r tm e n t o f D e f e n s e o u t l a y s w o u ld b e r e d u c e d b y a b o u t $ 2 . 0 b i l l i o n in 1 9 8 2 and b y l a r g e r a m o u n ts i n su b seq u en t y e a r s . T h ese a c tio n s are e x p e c te d to r e s u lt in th e fo llo w in g O u tla y s ( i n b i l l i o n s o f 1981 1982 1983 1984 P roposed r e d u c t i o n s ... -0 .3 -2 .9 8 -2 -4 .8 -5 .9 r e d u c tio n s : d o lla r s ) 1985 1986 -6 .8 -7 .5 A ll R E D U C T IO N S OF FEDERAL C IV IL IA N A g e n c ie s EMPLOYM ENT C o m p e n s a tio n and b e n e f i t s f o r F e d e r a l c i v i l i a n w o r k e r s c o m p r is e a s i g n i f i c a n t p a r t o f th e F e d e r a l b u d g e t — a b o u t $ 5 6 .5 b i l l i o n f o r 1981. A s a s t e p in r e d u c in g th e s i z e , c o s t , and in e ffic ie n c y of th e G o v e rn m e n t, th e P r e s id e n t w ill im p o s e new lo w e r c iv ilia n person n el c e ilin g s fo r 1981 and 1982 fo r e x e c u tiv e bran ch a g e n c ie s . At th e sam e t i m e , t h e G o v e r n m e n t -w id e h i r i n g f r e e z e w i l l be l i f t e d fo r th o se a g e n c ie s th a t a re a b le to m eet th e ir r e v is e d lo w e r p erson n el c e ilin g s . T h e s e lo w e r p e r s o n n e l l e v e l s w i l l h e l p f o s t e r a new a ttitu d e to w .ard e lim in a t in g w a ste and i n e f f i c i e n c y i n G o v e r n m e n t an d s p u r i n c r e a s e d p r o d u c t i v i t y . L o w e r l e v e l s o f F e d e r a l e m p lo y m e n t w i l l b e a p p r o p r i a t e b e c a u s e o f red u ced program le v e ls in th e r e v is e d R eagan b u d g e t. In a d d i t i o n , l o w e r F e d e r a l e m p lo y m e n t l e v e l s w ill be a c h ie v e d by r e d u c in g overhead and by g r e a t e r e f f i c i e n c i e s in c a r r y in g o u t F e d e r a l p rogram s. T o m e e t t h e N a t i o n ' s h i g h e s t p r i o r i t y n e e d s and to assu re th a t e s s e n tia l s e r v ic e s are n ot in te r r u p te d , heads o f a g e n c ie s have b e e n i n s t r u c t e d t o m ake r e a llo c a tio n s w ith in th e ir r e s p e c tiv e a g e n c ie s . T h is w ill r e s u l t i n m o re e f f i c i e n t u s e o f p e r s o n n e l and fu n d s b y t a r g e t i n g li m i t e d r e s o u r c e s t o t h o s e o p e r a t io n s t h a t v i t a l l y a f f e c t th e N a tio n . F o r n o n d e f e n s e a g e n c i e s , w i t h a fe w e x c e p t i o n s ( e .g ., p o s itio n s fo r d i r e c t m e d i c a l c a r e ) , c i v i l i a n e m p lo y m e n t w i l l b e r e d u c e d t o a l e v e l t h a t w o u ld h a v e b e e n a c h i e v e d if th e to ta l fr e e z e on h i r i n g r e m a in e d i n e f f e c t t h r o u g h o u t 1 9 8 1 . T h is w i l l r e s u l t in a r e d u c tio n of 4 3 ,0 0 0 p o s itio n s fr o m th e C a r te r a d m in is tr a tio n b u d get e s tim a te s fo r 1 9 8 1 . For 1982 th e r e w i l l be a r e d u c tio n o f 8 3 ,0 0 0 p o s i t io n s fr o m th e C a rter budget and fo r th e years 1 9 8 3 -1 9 8 6 th e r e w i l l be fu r th e r r e d u c tio n s each y e a r . F or th e n o n d e fe n se a g e n c ie s about $500 m illio n in 1981 t h i s am ount $ 4 0 0 m i l l i o n i n n o t b een r e f l e c t e d in o th e r For fr o m 1982 The t h i s w i l l r e s u lt in o u t la y s a v in g s o f and a b o u t $ 1 ,9 0 0 m i l l i o n i n 1 9 8 2 . Of 1 9 8 1 and $ 1 ,3 0 0 m i l l i o n in 1 9 8 2 have program l i s t i n g s . t h e D e p a r t m e n t o f D e f e n s e , c i v i l i a n e m p lo y m e n t w i l l i n c r e a s e t h e C a r t e r b u d g e t b y 1 4 ,0 0 0 p o s i t i o n s in 1 9 8 1 ; b y 2 0 ,0 0 0 in a n d 1 9 8 3 ; a n d b y l e s s e r a m o u n ts i n l a t e r y e a r s . fo llo w in g changes are e x p e c te d : 8 -3 P E R SO N N E L C O M P E N S A T IO N AND B E N E F IT S B u d g e t A u t h o r i t y and O u t l a y s ___________ ( i n b i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) _____________ 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 C u r r e n t b a s e 1 / ..................... P o te n tia l change: D e fe n s e . . . . . . . . . . . . . N o n d e fe n se : C o v e re d e ls e w h e r e 2 / O t h e r c h a n g e s ............... P r o p o s e d b u d g e t ..................... 5 6 .5 5 8 .0 5 8 .0 5 8 .0 5 8 .0 5 8 .0 0 .2 0 .4 0 .4 0 .3 0 .2 0 .1 -0 .1 -0 .4 5 6 .2 -0 .6 -1 .3 5 6 .5 -0 .6 -1 .8 5 6 .0 -0 .6 -2 .3 5 5 .4 -0 .6 -2 .8 5 4 .8 -0 .7 -3 .3 5 4 .1 1981 Number o f 1982 E m p lo y e e s ( T h o u s a n d s ) 1983 1984 1985 1986 C u rren t b a s e : T o t a l ......................................... 2 ,1 1 1 2 ,1 3 2 2 ,1 3 2 2 ,1 3 2 2 ,1 3 2 D e f e n s e ........................... (9 1 6 )(9 1 6 ) (9 1 6 ) (9 1 6 ) (9 1 6 ) N o n d e f e n s e .................. ( 1 , 1 9 5 ) ( 1 , 2 1 6 ) ( 1 , 2 1 6 ) ( 1 , 2 1 6 ) ( 1 , 2 1 6 ) ( 1 P o te n tia l change: D e f e n s e ................................... ............ 1 4 20 20 14 8 N o n d e f e n s e ........................... -4 3 -8 3 -1 0 3 -1 2 2 -1 4 2 P rop osed b u d g e t: T o t a l . ...................................... 2 ,0 8 2 2 ,0 6 9 2 ,0 4 9 2 ,0 2 4 1 ,9 9 8 D e f e n s e ........................... (9 3 0 )(9 3 6 ) (9 3 6 ) (9 3 0 ) (9 2 4 ) N o n d e f e n s e .................. ( 1 , 1 5 2 ) ( 1 , 1 3 3 ) ( 1 , 1 1 3 ) ( 1 , 0 9 4 ) ( 1 , 0 7 4 ) ( 1 1 / E x c lu d in g f u t u r e p a y a d ju s t m e n t s . 2/ T hese s a v in g s are r e f l e c t e d e ls e w h e r e r e s u l t fr o m l i s t e d p r o g r a m r e d u c t i o n s . 8 -4 in sa v in g s 2 ,1 3 2 (9 1 6 ) ,2 1 6 ) 2 -1 6 3 1 ,9 7 1 (9 1 8 ) ,0 5 3 ) th a t A ll R E V IS IO N OF FEDERAL PAY C O M P A R A B IL IT Y A g e n c ie s STA N D A R D As p a rt of its gen eral e ffo r t to red u ce F ederal overhead, p e r s o n n e l, and r e g u la to r y c o sts, th e A d m in is tr a tio n w ill re co m m en d c o m p r e h e n s iv e le g is la tiv e changes in th e w ay th a t F ederal c iv ilia n pay ra te s are se t. When en a cted , th e se p r o p o s a l s w i l l r e d u c e o u t l a y s fr o m t h e c u r r e n t s e r v i c e s base by $ 3 .8 b i l l i o n i n 1 9 8 2 an d a p p r o x i m a t e l y $ 3 0 b i l l i o n o v e r t h e n e x t 5 years. U n d er c u r r e n t la w , th e P r e s i d e n t i s r e q u ir e d t o m ake an annual a d ju s t m e n t o f F e d e r a l c i v i l i a n p a y r a t e s ( i n c l u d i n g D e p a r tm e n t o f D e fe n se c iv ilia n e m p lo y e e p a y r a t e s ) t o k e e p th em c o m p a r a b le t o p r iv a te se cto r pay. The la w a ls o p r o v id e s a sy ste m fo r d e te r m in in g th e p r o p e r a d ju s tm e n t e ach y e a r . A t th e co re o f t h is sy ste m is a n a tio n w id e s u r v e y c o n d u c te d b y th e B u reau o f L a b o r S t a t i s t i c s o f p r i v a t e s e c t o r r a t e s f o r a s a m p le o f jo b s m a tch e d w ith c o m p a r a b le w o rk p e r fo r m e d by F e d e r a l e m p lo y e e s . T h e BLS su r v e y fin d in g s a re t r a n s la t e d in t o r a t e s fo r th e v a r io u s F e d e r a l p a y l e v e l s th ro u g h a le g a lly p r e s c r ib e d p rocess th a t b le n d s a n a ly s is b y OMB and OPM s t a f f , i n p u t b y F e d e r a l e m p lo y e e u n i o n s , and r e c o m m e n d a t io n s by a h ig h -le v e l P r e s id e n tia l a d v is o r y c o m m itte e o f p r i v a t e s e c t o r p ay and la b o r r e l a t i o n s e x p e r t s . The P r e s id e n t r e v ie w s th e r e s u ltin g c o m p a r a b ilit y fin d in g in l a t e sum m er a n d i f h e a g r e e s t h a t i t i s a p p r o p r i a t e , h e c a n i m p le m e n t it t h r o u g h an E x e c u t iv e o r d e r . T h e la w a l s o g i v e s t h e P r e s i d e n t pow er "b e c a u s e of n a tio n a l em ergen cy or e c o n o m ic c o n d itio n s a ffe c tin g th e g e n e r a l w e l f a r e " t o se n d an " a l t e r n a t i v e p l a n " t o th e C o n gress. I n t h a t c a s e , h e m ay p r o p o s e w h a t e v e r i n c r e a s e he c o n s id e r s a p p r o p r i a t e , b a s e d on a b a l a n c i n g o f e c o n o m ic c o n c e r n s w i t h c o n c e r n f o r e q u i t y to w a r d e m p l o y e e s . W h a te v e r fig u r e th e P r e s id e n t sen ds to th e C on gress becom es e f f e c t i v e O c to b e r 1 , u n l e s s o n e H ou se o r t h e o t h e r v e t o e s i t . A n u m b er o f m a jo r s t u d i e s o f t h e c i v i l i a n p a y s e ttin g procedures have b e en co n d u cted s in c e 1 9 7 0 . A l l h a v e fo u n d c o m p a r a b i l i t y t o be th e best b a s is fo r F ederal p a y s e ttin g , but a ll have recom m en ded changes in t h e c u r r e n t m e th o d o f i m p l e m e n t i n g t h a t co n ce p t. The la te s t m a jo r stu d y w as m ade by th e F ord a d m in is tr a tio n , an d its re c o m m e n d a tio n s w ere c o n v e r te d b y th e C a rter a d m in is tr a tio n in to a le g is la tiv e p rop osal fo r c o m p r e h e n s iv e r e fo r m . I t w as n o t a d o p te d b y th e l a s t C o n g r e s s . The R eagan a d m in is t r a t io n s u p p o r ts th e p r i n c i p l e o f c o m p a r a b ilit y as th e best b a s is fo r a d ju s tin g F ed e ra l c i v i l i a n p ay, b u t w i l l p r o p o s e m a jo r c h a n g e s i n t h e w ay c o m p a r a b ility is d e te r m in e d . The fo llo w in g m a jo r c o m p o n e n t s a r e am ong t h o s e b e i n g c o n s i d e r e d fo r in c lu s io n in p rop osed l e g i s l a t i v e ch a n g e s: 8 -5 1. B r o a d e n in g th e p r in c ip le of c o m p a r a b ility by: e s ta b lis h in g to ta l c o m p e n s a tio n c o m p a r a b ility in c lu d in g b o th p a y and b e n e f i t s , r a th e r th a n j u s t p ay — in d e te r m in in g c o m p a r a b ility , th u s ta k in g in to accoun t th e fa c t th a t F ed eral b e n e fits exceed average p r i v a t e s e c t o r b e n e f i t s ? an d — i n c l u d i n g S t a t e and l o c a l g o v e rn m e n t p a y and b e n e fits , ra th e r th a n o n ly th o s e o f p r i v a t e in d u s t r y , in th e d a ta o n w h ic h c o m p e n s a t i o n s c a l e s w i l l b e b a s e d . 2. E s t a b l i s h i n g t h e F e d e r a l c o m p e n s a tio n c o m p a r a b il i t y s ta n d a r d at 94% of average n o n -F e d e r a l c o m p e n s a tio n (in c lu d in g b e n e fits ), th e re b y r e c o g n iz in g th o se a sp e cts o f F ederal e m p lo y m e n t w h ic h make it m o re a ttr a c tiv e th a n m any c o m p a r a b ly -p a id jo b s in th e p r iv a t e s e c t o r . F o r e x a m p le , a F e d e r a l e m p lo y e e may c h a n g e j o b s a n d c a r e e r p a t h s m any t i m e s d u r in g a c a r e e r in th e F e d e r a l s e r v ic e , w ith no lo s s of r e tir e m e n t, le a v e o r o th e r b e n e f i t s . A c o m p a r a b le e m p lo y e e in th e p r iv a te se cto r s e ld o m can o b ta in c o m p a r a b le tre a tm e n t. 3. B r in g in g F ederal c o m p e n s a tio n ra te s and p r a c tic e s m o re c l o s e l y in l i n e w it h t h o s e o f th e n o n -F e d e r a l s e c t o r b y : 4. — s e ttin g w h ite -c o lla r pay on b l u e - c o l l a r p ay a lr e a d y i s ) ; — c h a n g in g c e r t a i n f e a t u r e s o f t h e F e d e r a l w age b lu e -c o lla r w ork ers to p r o v id e much m ore c o m p a r a b ilit y w ith l o c a l p r e v a i li n g r a t e s ; — c h a n g i n g F e d e r a l p rem iu m p a y la w s to m ake th e m m o re c o n s i s t e n t w it h th e F a ir L ab or S ta n d a r d s A c t and p r i v a t e s e c t o r p r a c t i c e s ; an d — p r o v id in g th e fle x ib ilitie s fo r c e . e x e c u tiv e to r e c r u it a lo c a lity bran ch w ith and m anage b a s is (a s sy ste m fo r a ccu ra te a d d itio n a l a q u a lity pay w o rk P r o v i d i n g a new m e th o d f o r d e t e r m i n i n g a n n u a l m ilita r y pay in c r e a s e s by i n d e x i n g th e m d i r e c t l y t o s a l a r y i n c r e a s e s i n th e n o n -F e d e r a l s e c t o r , r a t h e r th a n t o i n c r e a s e s i n F ederal w h it e -c o lla r p a y . E n a c tm e n t of th e se p r o p o s a ls i s e x p e c te d t o r e s u l t in a w h ite c o l l a r p a y in c r e a s e in O cto b er 1981 o f a p p r o x im a te ly 4 .8 % , and th e fo llo w in g e s tim a te d r e d u c tio n s in c i v i l i a n pay c o s t s : 8 -6 C IV IL IA N AGENCIES (in 1982 m illio n s o f 1983 1984 d o lla r s ) 1985 1986 C u rren t b a se : B u d g e t a u t h o r i t y .......................... O u t l a y s .................................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B u d g e t a u t h o r i t y .......................... O u t l a y s .................................................... P rop osed b u d g e t: B u d g e t a u t h o r i t y .......................... O u t l a y s .................................................... 3 ,3 6 0 3 ,2 2 6 5 ,9 8 6 5 ,8 8 1 8 ,5 0 1 8 ,2 6 6 1 0 ,9 0 7 1 0 ,7 0 6 1 3 ,2 5 8 1 2 ,9 2 9 -2 ,1 6 5 -2 ,0 7 9 -2 ,9 3 8 -2 ,9 0 7 -3 ,4 6 3 -3 ,3 5 6 -3 ,7 4 0 - 3 ,6 9 8 -3 ,9 9 0 -3 ,8 7 3 1 ,1 9 5 1 ,1 4 7 3 ,0 4 8 2 ,9 7 4 5 ,0 3 8 4 ,9 1 0 7 ,1 6 7 7 ,0 0 8 9 ,2 6 8 9 ,0 5 6 DEPARTMENT OP DEFENSE (C IV IL IA N S (in 1982 C u rren t b a se : B u d g e t a u t h o r i t y .......................... O u t l a y s .................................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B u d g e t a u t h o r i t y .......................... O u t l a y s .................................................... P rop osed b u d g e t: B u d g e t a u t h o r i t y .......................... O u t l a y s .................................................... ONLY) m illio n s o f 1983 1984 d o l l a r s ) _______ 1985 1986 2 ,5 2 2 2 ,5 2 2 4 ,7 4 7 4 ,7 4 7 6 ,7 7 2 6 ,7 7 2 8 ,6 9 4 8 ,6 9 4 1 0 ,6 1 6 1 0 ,6 1 6 -1 ,6 2 5 -1 ,6 2 5 -2 ,3 8 7 - 2 ,3 8 7 -2 ,8 1 6 -2 ,8 1 6 -3 ,0 3 7 -3 ,0 3 7 -3 ,2 3 0 -3 ,2 3 0 897 897 2 ,3 6 0 2 ,3 6 0 3 ,9 5 6 3 ,9 5 6 5 ,6 5 7 5 ,6 5 7 7 ,3 8 6 7 ,3 8 6 TOTAL C IV IL IA N PAY INCREASES ______ ( i n m i l l i o n s o f 1982 1983 1984 d o l l a r s ) _______ 1985 1986 C u rren t b a se : B u d g e t a u t h o r i t y ........................... O u t l a y s .................................................... P o lic y r e d u c tio n : B u d g e t a u t h o r i t y ........................... O u t l a y s .................................................... 5 ,8 8 2 5 ,7 4 8 1 0 ,7 3 3 1 0 ,6 2 8 1 5 ,2 7 3 1 5 ,0 3 8 1 9 ,6 0 1 1 9 ,4 0 0 2 3 ,8 7 4 2 3 ,5 4 5 -3 ,7 9 0 -3 ,7 0 4 -5 ,3 2 5 -5 ,2 9 4 - 6 ,2 7 9 -6 ,1 7 2 -6 ,7 7 7 -6 ,7 3 5 -7 ,2 2 0 -7 ,1 0 3 P rop osed b u d g e t: B u d g e t a u t h o r i t y .......................... O u t l a y s ..................................................... 2 ,0 9 2 2 ,0 4 4 5 ,4 0 8 5 ,3 3 4 8 ,9 9 4 8 ,8 6 6 1 2 ,8 2 4 1 2 ,6 6 5 1 6 ,6 5 4 1 6 ,4 4 2 8 -7 A ll S A V IN G S DUE TO R E D U C T IO N IN A g e n c ie s R E G U L A T IO N S P r e s id e n t R eagan has in itia te d a c o m p r e h e n s iv e program to e lim in a t e u n n ecessary g o v e r n m e n ta l i n t e r f e r e n c e i n t h e e c o n o m ic and p r i v a t e liv e s of a ll A m e r ic a n s . W h ile som e r e g u la to r y a c t i v i t y i s n e e d e d t o p r o t e c t t h e h e a l t h and s a f e t y o f t h e p u b l i c — fe w w o u ld su ggest e lim in a t in g tr a ffic s ig n a ls — every r e g u l a t i o n c o s t s t h e t a x p a y e r i n tw o w a y s . T here a re th e d ir e c t co sts a s s o c ia te d w ith m a in ta in in g th e b u r e a u c r a c ie s t h a t i s s u e , a d m in is te r , and e n fo rc e r e g u la tio n s . The A d m i n i s t r a t i o n 's prop osal w ill redu ce th e se c o s t s b y m o re t h a n $ 1 0 0 m i l l i o n i n 1 9 8 1 and a b o u t $ 5 0 0 m i l l i o n i n 1 9 8 2 . T h ese s a v in g s a re in c lu d e d in o th e r s a v in g s sh ow n e ls e w h e r e . The o th e r co sts th a t r e g u l a t i o n s p l a c e on t h e p u b l i c a r e h i g h e r p r i c e s and govern m en t in te r fe r e n c e in t h e ir everyd ay l i v e s . T h ese c o s t s a re d is c u s s e d e ls e w h e r e i n t h e P r e s i d e n t 's m e s s a g e . The b u d g e t im p a c t of several p rop osed b y th e A d m in is tr a tio n m a jo r r e d u c tio n s in a r e d is c u s s e d b e lo w . r e g u la tio n ~ D e c o n tro l o f o i l p r ic e s w ill not o n ly en cou rage th e d e v e lo p m e n t of o u r p e tr o le u m r e s o u r c e s , i t w i l l r e d u c e th e d i r e c t c o s t t o th e ta x p a y e r o f govern m en t r e g u la t io n b y $50 m illio n in 1 9 8 2 . — E l i m i n a t i o n o f t h e C o u n c i l o n W age a n d w i l l s a v e th e ta x p a y e r $ 1 .5 m i l l i o n in — E lim in a t io n o f u n n e c e ssa r y g o v e rn m e n ta l c o n t r o ls on th e d e liv e r y o f h e a lth ca re w i ll sa ve $140 m illio n in 1 9 8 2 . The A d m i n i s t r a t i o n p r o p o s e s t o e li m i n a t e th e b u rd en som e b u r e a u c r a c ie s of h e a lth p la n n in g a g e n c ie s and p r o f e s s i o n a l s ta n d a r d s r e v ie w o r g a n i z a t i o n s . P r ic e S ta b ility 1981 a lo n e . In a d d itio n t o th e s e s p e c i f i c r e d u c tio n s , th e s e fig u r e s in c lu d e som e a c r o s s - t h e - b o a r d c u t s i n t h e b u d g e t s o f r e g u l a t o r y a g e n c i e s . F ew er r e g u l a t o r s w i l l n e c e s s a r i l y r e s u l t i n fe w e r r e g u l a t i o n s and l e s s h arassm en t o f th e r e g u la te d . 8 -8 S A V IN G S DUE TO R E D U C T IO N S (d o lla r R e g u la to r y A c tiv ity T o t a l ..................... T h ese * F u ll-tim e sa v in g s FE D E R A L in R E G U LA TO R Y are PROGRAMS 1/ m illio n s ) ____________ 1 9 8 1 _______________ E m p lo y m e n t* BA 0 B u s i n e s s an d c o m m e r c e . . . . ............ E n v ir o n m e n t a n d e n e r g y .................. H e a lth c a r e i n d u s t r y and o t h e r ................................ 1/ IN a m o u n ts ■ .________ 1 9 8 2 ________________ E m p lo y m e n t* BA O 484 13 12 873 34 33 818 64 64 2 ,7 8 4 320 244 277 57 60 1 ,0 2 3 171 207 1 ,5 7 9 134 137 4 ,6 8 0 523 484 in c lu d e d in e q u iv a le n t. 8 -9 o th e r s a v in g s show n e l s e w h e r e . ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS (Calendar years; d o lla r amounts in b illio n s ) 19R0 Actual Major economic in d ica to rs! Gross national product (percent changt, fourth quarter ovar fourth quarter) Current d o lla r s ..................................... 9.8 Constant <1972) d o lla r s .................... 0 .0 GMP d e fla to r (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth q u a rte r).............. 9 .9 Consumer Price Index (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter) 1 / ................................................. 1 2 .6 Unemployment rate (percent, fourth qu a rter)....................................................... 7.5 Annual eoonosiic assumptions• Oross national products Current dollarsa Amount................................................ 2629 Percent change, year over year 8.9 Constant (1972) d o lla rst Amount............ ................................... 1482 Percent change, year over year. *0.1 Incomei Personal income.................................... 2161 Wages and s a la r ie s .............................. 1)44 Corporate p r o f i t s ................................ 242 Price level* OlfP d e fla to r i Level (1972*100) annual average............................................. 177.4 Percent change, year over year. 9.0 Consumer p rice index 1/t Level (1967*100), annual average............................................ 247.0 Percent change, year over year. 13.5 Unemployment ratesi T otal, annual average........................ 7.2 Insured, annual average 2 / .............. 3.9 Pederal pay ra is s , October ~ (percent) 3 /i C iv ilia n .................................................. 9.1 M ilita ry .................................................. 11.7 Intereat ra ts, 91-day Treasury b i l l (percent) 5 / .............................................. 11.5 1981 Estimate 1982 Estimate 1983 Estimate 1.4 13.3 5.2 11.8 9.5 7.7 6.6 10.5 7.2 7.7 7.0 2920 3293 11.1 12 .8 1497 1.1 11 .0 1984 Estimate 10 .1 1985 Estimate 1986 Estimate 4.2 9.6 4.2 9.1 4.2 5.7 5.2 4.7 6.0 5.1 4.6 4.0 6.5 6.3 5.8 5.6 3700 12.4 4098 10 .8 4500 9.8 4918 9.3 1560 4.2 1638 5.0 1711 4.5 1783 4.2 1858 4.2 2399 1488 240 2675 1667 277 2982 1853 322 3276 2035 363 3580 2221 404 3910 1417 450 195.0 9.9 2 1 1 .1 8.3 225.9 7.0 239.5 6.0 252.4 5.4 264.7 4.9 274.3 297.0 8.3 315.5 11.1 332.7 5.5 348.3 4.7 363.0 4.2 7.8 4.4 7.2 3.8 6.6 3.4 6.4 3.2 6 .0 2.9 5.6 2.7 4.8 12*3 « / 7.0 8.9 7.0 7.9 7.0 7.0 6.4 6.4 6.0 6.0 11 .1 8.9 7.8 7.0 6.0 5.6 4.9 6 .2 1/ CPI for urban wage earnera and c le r ic a l workers. Two vsrsions o f the CPI ars now p u blish 'd. The index'shown here is that currently used, as required by law, in calcu latin g automatic c o s t - o f-liv in g incrsasss for indsxed Pederal programs. 2/ This in d icator measures unemployment under State regular unemployment insurance as a percentage o f covered employment under that program. It does not include recip ien ts o f extended b e n e fits under that program. 3/ General schedule pay raises become e ffe c t iv e in October — the fir s t month o f that fis c a l year. Thua, the October 1981 pay ra ise w ill set new pay scales that w ill be in e ffe c t during fis c a l year 1982. 4 / Assumes a basic pay ra iss o f 9.11 in October 1981 plus an additional incrsment o f 3.2 percentage p oin ts. 5/ Average rate on new issues within period. The p rojection s assume that in terest rates decline with the rate o f in fla tio n and in fla tion a ry expectations. The p rojection s do not represent a forecast o f in tsrest rates. CHANGES PROM CURRENT BASEi 1. BUDGET AUTHORITY AND OUTLAY SAVINGS AND INCREASES IN GOVERNMENTAL RECEIPTS REVISE ENTITLEMENTS TO ELIMINATE UNINTENDED BENEFITS (in m illio n s o f d o lla r s ) 1981 BA D epartm ent o f A g r i c u l t u r e Pood sta m p s............................. 0) D epartm ent o f H e a lth and Human S e r v i c e s Minimum s o c i a l s e c u r i t y b e n e f i t s .................................. A d u lt s tu d e n t s o c i a l s e c u r i t y b e n e f i t s ............ S o c ia l s e c u r it y d i s a b i l i t y in s u r a n c e .. . A id t o f a m i l i e s w ith d ep en d en t c h i l d r e n ( APDC) ....................................... M e d ic a id ........................ ........... D epartm ent o f H ou sin g and Urban D evelop m en t S u b s id is e d h o u s in g l e v e l s ................................. .. S u b s id is e d h o u s in g r e n t s P u b l ic h o u s in g m o d e rn i s a t i o n ....................................... D epartm ent o f L a b or Unemployment in s u r a n e e e x te n d e d b e n e f i t s ............ Unemployment in s u r a n c e s work t e s t ............................... P e d e r a l e m p lo y e e s i n ju r y co m p e n sa tio n (F E C A )...* Unemployment com pen sa t i o n f o r e x -s e r v ic e m e m b e r s ........................................... T ra d e a d ju stm e n t a s s i s t a n c e ................. .. 1982 O 1983 1984 1985 1986 BA O BA O BA O BA 0 BA O 150 150 1 ,8 2 8 1 ,8 2 2 2 ,0 1 2 2 ,0 0 4 2 ,4 6 2 2 ,4 5 1 2 ,6 3 6 2 ,6 2 4 2 ,7 7 1 2 ,7 5 9 ...... 50 ----- 1 ,0 0 0 ----- 1 ,1 0 0 ----- 1 ,1 0 0 ----- 1 ,1 0 0 ----- 1 ,1 0 0 ...... 20 ----- 700 ----- 1 ,2 0 0 ----- 1 ,5 0 0 ----- 1 ,7 0 0 ----- 1 ,7 0 0 ----- 65 ----- 550 ----- 1 ,1 7 5 ----- 1 ,7 0 0 ----- 2 ,2 2 5 ----- 2 ,7 5 0 * 353 * 100 520 1 ,2 3 7 520 1 ,0 1 3 670 2 ,2 1 3 670 1 ,9 8 6 722 3 ,1 6 6 722 2 ,9 3 0 795 4 ,1 8 1 795 3 ,9 1 6 824 5 ,3 1 8 824 5 ,0 2 1 ...... 500 1 9 3 ,5 3 6 4 ,9 1 6 10 232 3 ,0 2 6 4 ,5 7 4 39 538 3 ,4 4 0 5 ,5 8 7 95 1 ,0 1 8 3 ,4 3 7 6 f 066 223 1 ,7 4 8 3 ,6 2 4 6 ,2 6 9 371 2 ,4 4 5 ----- 800 ----- 800 ----- 800 20 800 60 800 100 400 523 700 1 ,2 3 1 700 477 100 196 100 284 200 287 —— ----- ----- ----- ----- 285 ----- 285 ----- 272 ----- 264 ----- ----- 102 102 114 114 126 126 138 138 151 151 60 60 175 175 175 175 181 181 183 183 183 183 1 ,1 5 0 1 ,1 5 0 760 760 380 380 380 380 380 380 (3 0 0 ) * * — ——— 1. REVISE ENTITLEMENTS TO ELIMINATE UNINTENDED BENEFITS ( c o n t i n u e d ) 1981 BA 1982 0 BA 1983 __ O __ BA X984 0 BA 1985 0__ BA 1986 O BA O O th er S a y in g s C i v i l i a n r e t ir e m e n t an n u al in d e x a t i o n (COLA)....................................... ...... ...... 558 510 472 424 430 389 416 366 417 367 S u b t o t a l ........................................... 1 *463 978 1 5 ,5 2 2 9 ,0 1 5 1 5 ,5 1 6 1 0 ,9 4 7 1 7 ,3 9 4 1 3 ,0 9 3 1 9 ,1 3 2 1 6 ,0 1 4 2 0 ,9 3 7 1 8 ,7 0 2 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 ^ O th er r e d u c t lo n e t o th e d e fic it! D epartm ent o f L abors B la ck lu n g t r u e t fund I ----------- ------------------------------------------------------------------•---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----------* $500*000 o r l e e e . ** D e f e r r a l . (3 0 ) (3 8 8 ) (3 8 6 ) (4 0 7 ) (4 3 9 ) (4 5 9 ) 2. REDUCE MIDDLE-UPPER INCOME BENEFITS (i n m i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s ) 1981 1982 BA 1984 1983 BA BA 1985 BA 1986 BA BA D epartm ent o f A g r i c u l t u r e C h ild n u t r i t i o n .T 7 7 r T 7 . 145 42 1# 6 5 7 1,57 5 1,80 0 1 ,70 9 1,93 4 1,83 5 2,04 6 1,94 0 2,15 S 2,045 Departm ent o f E d u c a tio n S tu d e n t a s s i s t a n c e .......... 338 106 1 ,01 6 803 1,65 9 1 ,49 9 1,85 7 1,80 8 2,07 4 2,01 9 2,28 7 2,233 O th er S a v in g s S a X lie Mae (s t u d e n t lo a n s — o f f - b u d g e t ) . . S u b t o t a l ......................................... n I 3. ------ 483 2 ,67 3 2,37 8 ------ (2 ,5 0 0 ) 3 ,4 5 9 3 ,20 8 ------ (3 ,0 0 0 ) 3,79 1 3 ,6 4 3 ------ (3 ,5 0 0 ) 4 ,1 2 0 3 ,95 9 (4 ,0 0 0 ) 4,4 4 5 4 ,2 7 8 RECOVER CLEARLY ALLOCABLE COSTS FROM USERS (INCREASE IN GOVERNMENTAL RECEIPTS) (in m illio n s o f d o lla r s ) 1981 I n c r e a s e s in G overn m en ta l R e c e ip t s D epartm ent o f D e fe n s e C iv il t In la n d w aterw ay s u b s i d y ............................. D epartm ent o f T r a n s p o r ta tio n s S u b s id ie s f o r a irw a y and a i r p o r t u s e r s (F A A ).................................. B oat and y a c h t u s e r f e e s (C G )........................ S u b t o t a l , in c r e a s e s in r e c e i p t s ......................................... 148 (1 ,9 2 3 ) 1982 1,8 8 2 10 0 1,98 2 1983 1984 1985 1986 258 275 300 315 2,15 9 2,442 2,753 3,104 300 400 500 3,017 3,453 3,919 200 2,617 4. APPLY SOUND CRITERIA TO ECONOMIC SUBSIDY PROGRAMS (in millions of dollars) 1981 Papartreent off A g r ic u ltu r e D airy p r i c e s u p p o r ts . . . . A lc o h o l f u e l s and biom ass lo a n s .................... Rural E l e c t r i f i c a t i o n A d m in istra tio n ( o f f budget ) v. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (lo a n gu aran tee com m itm ents)......... .. rarm ers Home Admini s t r a t i o n ................ ' .............. ( d i r e c t loan o b l i g a t i o n s ) ................ cn I UI 1983 1982 BA BA 1984 1985 1986 BA BA BA BA ----- 138 1,095 1 1 614 1,887 2,263 2,7 27 505 46 94 3 4 3 3 (3 8 ) (3 8 ) (1 ,1 4 2 ) (1 8 7 ) (5 ,4 9 5 ) ----- 30 ----- (1 ,1 4 2 ) (2 ,3 2 8 ) (2 ,3 2 8 ) (3 ,6 0 3 ) (5 ,9 3 5 ) 105 (2 .3 5 4 ) 563) 30 (3 ,6 0 3 ) (4 ,9 7 5 ) (6 ,4 0 5 ) 179 (2 ,3 5 4 ) 105 (4 ,9 7 5 ) (6 ,9 2 5 ) 255 (2 ,3 5 4 ) 179 (6 ,4 5 0 ) (6 ,4 5 0 ) (7 ,4 8 0 ) 331 255 407 (2 ,3 5 4 ) (2 ,3 5 4 ) Department o f Comme r c e ‘ Economic end r e g io n a l developm ent (in c lu d in g A ppalachian R egion al C om m ission )............. ........... 502 24 769 440 854 644 934 755 1,0 10 882 1,085 997 Department o f Energy S y n th e tic £ u e t s 7 ............... F o s s il e n e r g y .................. S o la r e n e r g y ......................... Other en ergy s u p p ly ......... Energy c o n s e r v a t i o n .. . . . A lc o h o l fu e ls s u b s i d y . .. 545 70 99 148 254 745 275 59 79 37 114 1,028 373 363 186 677 ----- 864 361 365 156 310 29 1,064 522 428 178 597 ----- 859 433 414 177 611 13 362 605 372 178 427 ----- 676 549 406 170 589 15 140 676 330 169 374 ----- 224 657 330 158 433 15 25 602 275 176 373 ---- 256 604 275 163 373 15 121 47 132 149 141 137 150 147 158 157 166 162 584 12 678 67 837 271 SS2 702 926 S14 635 4 ,6 4 4 3,566 4 ,236 4 ,0 7 3 4 ,5 7 8 4 ,4 0 8 4.94 6 4 ,7 62 5,341 5,143 *» — — 600 1,626 1,056 1,356 1,050 Department o f Housing and Urban Development S o la r in e r g y and C on serv a tion B a n k . . . . . . Community developm ent su p p ort a s s i s t a n c e ......... ...... Department o f Labor Comprehensive Employment and T ra in in g (C B T A ).... 153 Department o f T ran ap ortat ion Mass t r a n s i t o p e r a tin g s u b s id ie s .. . . . . . . . . . . . Amtrak s u b s i d i e s ........... . N ortheast c o r r i d o r improvement p r o j e c t . . Low volume r a ilr o a d branch l i n e s .................. C o o p e ra tiv e au tom otive re se a rch program ......... 66 25 25 103 431 96 325 581 606 256 485 1,059 760 688 1,528 964 1,083 904 --------- 25 288 95 -13 114 20 51 15 25 80 8 88 32 96 62 104 80 112 103 119 110 12 6 13 9 14 13 15 14 16 14 17 15 — * — 4. APPLY SOUND CRITERIA TO ECONOMIC SUBSIDY PROGRAMS (c o n tin u e d ) 1981 O th er S a v in g s CAB a i r l i n e s u b s i d y .......... C o n r a i l ...................................... E x p o r t -I m p o r t Bank............ P o s ta l s e r v ic e s u b s id ie s A c c e l e r a t i o n o f m in e r a l le a s in g ( o f f s e t t i n g r e c e i p t s ) ............................. S u b tota l 1982 0 1983 0 1984 1985 1986 BA O BA 0 54 300 2 ,2 5 0 765 54 300 1 ,3 8 0 765 34 150 2 ,4 1 0 779 34 150 1 ,6 0 0 779 2 100 2 100 690 64 550 990 690 2 ,5 6 0 779 1 ,7 1 0 779 800 2,000 2,000 3 ,1 0 0 3 ,1 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 3 ,5 0 0 1 0 ,2 9 5 1 5 ,4 2 6 1 4 ,4 4 8 1 6 ,9 7 5 1 7 ,1 6 4 1 8 ,3 7 2 1 9 ,1 0 9 1 8 ,9 8 3 2 0 ,5 6 1 0 BA -3 5 0 750 250 -2 5 0 60 250 56 400 1 ,9 8 0 632 50 300 410 632 2,110 250 250 800 4 ,1 5 9 1 ,9 2 4 1 3 ,5 4 7 BA BA 64 550 BA 0 5. STRETCH OUT AND RETARGET PUBLIC SECTOR CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PROGRAMS (in m illio n s o f d o lla r s ) 1981 BA D epartm ent o f T r a n s p o r t a t io n F e d e r a l h igh w ay c o n s t r u c t i o n ........................ Urban mass t r a n s p o r t a tio n c a p it a l g r a n t s .... A ir p o r t c o n s t r u c t io n .. . . O th er S a v in g s E n v iron m en ta l P r o t e c t i o n A gency* w a s te t r e a t * W ater r e s o u r c e d e v e lo p ment c o n s t r u c t i o n . . . . . . tfl I -4 210 272 1982 O BA 31 120 1,000 1983 0 1984 1985 1986 BA 0 BA O BA 0 BA 0 1 ,3 9 0 244 1 ,9 6 4 1,211 2 ,5 4 6 1 ,7 0 0 3 ,2 4 3 2 ,0 8 8 3 ,4 3 7 2 ,2 3 4 950 250 270 140 1 ,0 4 7 278 545 161 1,220 305 975 196 1 ,3 6 8 330 1 ,2 8 4 219 1 ,4 9 7 371 1 ,4 8 0 239 3*610 125 1 ,5 4 0 1 ,0 4 5 1 ,8 6 0 1 ,9 7 0 2 ,1 7 0 1 ,9 6 0 2 ,4 6 5 1 ,9 5 0 ----- ----- 95 90 340 337 545 544 515 514 215 217 1 *482 151 6 ,2 9 5 869 5 ,1 6 9 3 ,2 9 9 6 ,4 7 6 5 ,3 8 5 7 ,6 2 6 6 ,0 6 5 7 ,9 8 5 6,120 6. IMPOSE FISCAL RESTRAINT ON OTHER PROGRAMS OP NATIONAL INTEREST (in millions of dollars) 1981 BA D epartm ent o f Commerce V a r io u s N a t io n a l O c e a n ic and A tm o s p h e r ic Admin i s t r a t i o n p r o g r a m s .......... D epartm ent o f E d u ca tio n S c h o o l a s s i s t a n c e in fe d e r a lly a ffe c te d a r e a s (im p a c t a i d ) .......... V o c a t io n a l e d u c a t i o n . . . . N a t io n a l I n s t i t u t e o f E d u c a t io n ............................... I n s t i t u t e o f Museum S e r v i c e s .................................. W I 00 D epartm ent o f E nergy E nergy r e g u l a t i o n ............... G e n e r a l s c i e n c e ................... E nergy in fo r m a t io n and o v e r h e a d .................................. D epartm ent o f H e a lth and Human S e r v ic e 's N a t io n a l I n s t i t u t e s o f H e a lt h ....................................... M e d ic a l s e r v i c e s f o r m erch an t seam en ................. H e a lth p r o f e s s i o n s e d u c a t i o n ............................... H e a lth m a in ten a n ce o r g a n i z a t i o n s ...................... N a t io n a l H e a lth S e r v ic e C o r p s ......................................... R e g u la t io n o f h e a lt h c a r e in d u s t r y s H e a lth p la n n in g ............ PSRO *.................................... (PSRO o b l i g a t i o n s ) . N a t io n a l R e se a rch S e r v i c e Awards (ADAMHA)••• 1983 1982 O BA O BA 1984 0 1985 0 BA 1986 0 BA O BA 9 6 15 2 69 202 148 238 216 250 253 241 223 67 ------ 82 ------ 474 236 450 220 523 242 500 242 56 7 259 551 252 608 277 584 269 632 294 613 28 3 ------ ------ 20 22 22 20 23 20 25 21 27 22 12 2 14 12 15 13 16 14 18 16 19 18 33 5 33 4 150 40 127 29 138 45 140 43 131 61 132 61 127 72 123 72 118 84 117 84 13 3 38 27 62 62 67 67 73 73 78 78 126 54 197 145 373 336 512 468 628 584 726 682 39 39 110 110 183 183 194 194 205 205 215 215 219 32 280 126 309 221 336 260 361 297 385 3 13 37 6 24 18 57 27 66 50 69 61 72 73 16 3 31 14 45. 37 54 45 65 54 80 65 159 2 12 190 29 (2 2 7 ) 199 31 (2 3 8 ) 1 97 234 28 6 (3 8 ) 4 10 38 1 100 15 (1 1 9 ) 5 62 117 4 168 19 (1 3 6 ) 5 87 134 4 180 27 (2 1 5 ) 6 6 6 188 223 5 7 6 6. IMPOSE FISCAL RESTRAINT ON OTHER PROGRAMS OP NATIONAL INTEREST (c o n t in u e d ) 1981 BA D epartm ent o f H ou sin g and Urban D evelop m en t P la n n in g a s s i s t a n c e .......... R e h a b i l i t a t i o n lo a n fu n d N eig h b o rh o o d s e l f - h e l p d e v e lo p m e n t........................... ^ to 1982 Q BA 1983 O BA O BA 1984 ___O 1985 BA 0 1986 BA 0 34 130 3 63 37 130 26 191 39 134 210 36 42 138 211 39 44 140 41 213 46 142 44 214 8 4 10 9 11 10 11 11 12 11 12 12 D epartm ent o f th e I n t e r i o r Intproved t a r g e t i n g o f c o n s e r v a t io n e x p e n d i t u r e s ......................................... Youth C o n s e r v a t io n C orps 573 56 91 52 566 60 270 59 512 60 286 60 465 60 365 60 471 60 349 60 605 60 403 60 D epartm ent o f L abor Young A d u lt C o n s e r v a t io n C o r p s ............................. ----- 53 250 179 256 248 262 262 269 268 275 274 D epartm ent o f " T r a n s p o r t a t io n Highway s a f e t y g r a n t s . . . ----- ----- 167 16 125 112 138 138 162 150 178 163 43 402 241 52 205 248 52 584 334 73 2 ,5 1 3 -9 0 73 1 ,0 6 3 86 98 2 ,9 7 8 -3 9 0 98 1 ,5 2 7 -1 5 6 111 85 60 43 1 ,8 5 4 330 111 616 75 3 ,1 8 7 -200 1 ,8 2 7 -1 2 4 91 82 136 128 160 152 185 178 185 175 200 190 ----- ----- 165 85 186 131 203 193 222 223 239 231 63 26 66 15 90 81 120 109 153 141 183 155 2 * 260 832 5 ,7 0 0 3 ,2 1 6 , 486 4 ,4 9 3 5 ,4 9 5 7 ,4 0 7 6 ,1 2 8 8 ,2 4 6 6 ,7 8 3 O th er S a v in g s C o r p o r a t io n f o r P u b lic B r o a d c a s t in g ........................ F o r e ig n a i d (F A P ).............. NASA.............................................. N a t io n a l Consumer C o o p e r a t iv e Bank............... N a t io n a l Endowments f o r th e A r ts and H u m an ities N a t io n a l S c ie n c e F o u n d a tio n ............................. S u b to ta l 6 ,8 5 7 7. CONSOLIDATE CATEGORICAL GRANT PROGRAMS INTO BLOCK GRANTS (in m illio n s o f d o lla r s ) 1981______ 0 BA D epartm ent o f E d u c a tio n E lem en ta ry and s e c o n d a r y e d u c a t io n p r o g r a m s .......... _ D epartm ent o f H e a lth and Human S e r v i c e s H e a lth and s o c i a l s e r v i c e s p ro g ra m ...................... --------- 8. 1981 O th er S a v in g s P ed eral c i v i l i a n em p loym en t............................. P e d e r a l p a y com p ara b i l i t y s ta n d a r d ( e f f e c t on c i v i l i a n a g e n c i e s ) . . TOTAL, ON-BUDGET AUTHORITY AND OUTLAY SAVINGS................. 0 1984 1985 1986 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA o 1 ,4 9 8 106 1 ,7 6 1 1 ,2 1 7 1 ,9 9 8 1 ,7 6 6 2 ,3 6 6 2 ,0 5 1 2 ,6 1 7 2 ,2 7 2 ----- 2#697 2 ,5 4 0 3 ,1 4 8 2 ,9 9 3 3 ,5 3 2 3 ,3 4 7 3 ,8 6 3 3 ,6 7 6 4 ,0 8 4 3 ,9 2 9 ----- 4 ,1 9 5 2 ,6 4 6 4 ,9 0 9 4 ,2 1 0 5 ,5 3 0 5 ,1 1 3 6 ,2 2 9 5 ,7 2 7 6 ,7 0 1 6 $201 0 1983 1982 1984 1985 1986 BA O BA O BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 428 348 3 ,2 2 7 2 ,9 1 7 5 ,0 9 6 4 ,7 8 6 6 ,3 3 2 5 ,8 5 2 7 ,2 2 9 6 ,7 6 9 8 ,1 0 4 7 ,5 4 4 386 386 1 ,3 4 2 1 ,3 4 2 1 ,8 1 1 1 ,8 1 1 2 ,2 6 4 2 ,2 6 4 2 ,7 6 3 2 ,7 6 3 3 ,2 6 3 3 ,2 6 3 (1 3 4 ) (1 3 7 ) 2 ,1 6 5 (5 2 3 ) 2 ,0 7 9 (4 8 4 ) 2 ,9 3 8 (n .a .) 2 ,9 0 7 (n .a .) 3 ,4 6 3 (n .a .) 3 ,3 5 6 (n .a .) 3 ,7 4 0 (n .a .) 3 ,6 9 8 (n .a .) 3 ,9 9 0 (n .a .) 3 ,8 7 3 (n .a .! 814 734 6 ,7 3 4 6 ,3 3 8 9 ,8 4 5 9 ,5 0 4 1 2 ,0 5 9 1 1 ,4 7 2 1 3 ,7 3 2 1 3 ,2 3 0 1 5 ,3 5 7 1 4 ,6 8 0 1 0 ,6 6 1 4 ,7 6 7 5 4 ,6 6 6 3 4 ,7 5 7 5 8 ,8 1 0 5 0 ,1 0 9 6 9 ,0 8 2 6 1 ,3 6 5 axxaiMm 7 6 ,6 1 8 7 0 ,2 3 2 8 2 ,6 5 4 7 7 ,3 2 5 1 / T h ese s a v in g s a r e a lr e a d y in c lu d e d in th e a b o v e it e m s . 1983 BA REDUCE OVERHEAD AND PERSONNEL COSTS OP THE PEDERAL GOVERNMENT (in m illio n s o f d o lla r s ) BA D epartm ent o f D e fe n s e M i l i t a r y ......................................... 1982 BA SUMMARY TOTALS (in m illio n s o f d o lla r s ) 1981 T o t a l, o n -b u d g e t a u t h o r it y a n d o u t l a y s a v i n g s ............... O f f - b u d g e t It e m s R u ra l E le c t r if ic a t io n A d m i n i s t r a t i o n ................. (L o a n g u a r a n te e c o m m i t m e n t s ) ............... S tu d e n t Lo an M a r k e tin g A s s o c ia t io n ( S a llie l ) ..................................... T o t a l, b u d ge t a u t h o r it y M d o u t l a y s a v i n g s .............. O th e r R e d a c t lo n e to 1982 1983 1 0 ,6 6 1 4 ,7 6 7 5 4 ,6 6 6 3 4 ,7 5 7 5 8 ,8 1 0 5 0 ,1 0 9 6 9 ,0 8 2 6 1 ,3 6 5 7 6 ,6 1 8 7 0 ,2 3 2 8 2 ,6 5 4 7 7 ,3 2 5 1 ,1 4 2 1 ,1 4 2 2 ,3 2 8 2 ,3 2 8 3 ,6 0 3 3 ,6 0 3 4 ,9 7 5 4 ,9 7 5 6 ,4 5 0 6 ,4 5 0 (1 8 7 ) ..... 1 0 ,6 9 9 (5 ,4 9 5 ) — 4 ,8 0 5 0 (5 ,9 3 5 ) BA O (6 ,4 0 5 ) ----- 1 ,9 2 3 ----- 2 ,5 0 0 5 5 ,8 0 0 3 7 ,8 2 2 6 1 ,1 3 8 5 4 ,9 3 7 — 7 2 ,6 8 5 BA 1986 BA 38 BA 1985 0 38 O 1984 BA 0 (6 ,9 2 5 ) BA O (7 ,4 8 0 ) 3 ,0 0 0 ----- 3 ,5 0 0 ----- 4 ,0 0 0 6 7 ,9 6 8 8 1 ,5 9 3 7 8 ,7 0 7 8 9 ,1 0 4 8 7 ,7 7 5 th e " K i r s r t ----------------------------S la c k fu n d ... 30 378 354 354 382 469 in go v e rn m e n ta l ( l o r A e t a 11 3 o f t h is t a b le ). 1 ,9 8 2 2 ,6 1 7 3 ,0 1 7 3 ,0 1 7 3 ,4 5 3 3 ,9 1 9 ORAMD T O T A L , r e d u c t i o n s t o t h e d e f i c i t fr o m i t e m s l i s t e d a b o v e . . ....................... 6 ,8 1 7 4 0 ,8 1 7 5 8 ,3 0 8 7 1 ,3 3 9 8 2 ,5 4 2 9 2 ,1 6 3 In c r e a s e s R e c e ip t s se e P a r t lu n g tru st Changes from Current Base Summary T a b le o f Budget A u th o r ity and O u tla y S a v in g s by Agency and In c r e a s e s t o Governmental R e c e ip ts FY 1981 - 1986 ( I n m i ll io n s o f d o l l a r s ) 1* Budget A u t h o r ity and O u tla y S a v in g s Item 1981 0 BA Department o f A g r ic u lt u r e D a ir y p ric e su p p o rts (Commodity C re d it C o r p o r a t io n ) ............. Pood S ta m p s*••••••*«•• C h ild N u t r i t i o n . «.•••« R ural e le c t r if ic a t io n A d m in is tr a tio n ( o f f bu dget) • * . . . . . * . « • » • * (L o a n gu aran te e com m itm ents)......... Farmera Home A dm in**•« ( D ir e c t lo a n 1982 ---- BA 150 145 138 150 42 (3 8 ) (3 8 ) (1 8 7 ) ---1,828 1,657 1983 0 BA 1,095 1,822 1,575 O BA 1,614 2,004 1,709 ---2,462 1,934 0 BA 1,887 2,451 1,835 2,636 2,046 1986 0 BA 2,263 2,624 1,940 ---2,771 2,158 0 BA 0 2,727 2,759 2,045 ---11,859 9,740 9,724 11,810 9,146 (1 ,1 4 2 ) (1 ,1 4 2 ) (2 ,3 2 8 ) (2 ,3 2 8 ) (3 ,6 0 3 ) (3 ,6 0 3 ) (4 ,9 7 5 ) (4 ,9 7 5 ) (6 ,4 5 0 ) (6 ,4 5 0 ) (1 8 ,5 3 6 ) 0 8 ,5 3 6 ) (5 ,4 9 5 ) (5 ,9 3 5 ) 30 (6 ,4 0 5 ) 105 (6 ,9 2 5 ) 179 (7 ,4 8 0 ) 255 30 , 105 (2 ,3 5 4 ) (5 6 5 ) -— 2,012 1,800 1985 1984 179 255 (2 ,3 5 4 ) (2 ,3 5 4 ) 331 (2 ,3 5 4 ) 407 (2 ,3 5 4 ) (32,4 2 7 ) 569 1,307 (12,3 3 5 ) A lc o h o l F u e l*/B io m a ss —— 94 4 3 3 3 505 153 5,184 7,941 22,6 )3 32,140 882 1,085 997 5,154 3,742 250 253 241 223 1,092 915 1,260 1,13 * 1,326 1,220 6,246 4,657 4,152 1,700 4,369 2,860 4,369 2,400 4,544 3,560 4,544 3,000 19,256 11,160 19,256 8,960 5,852 7,229 505 46 800 406 3,485 4,691 3,842 5,509 4,501 6,432 4,861 > ,l6 l 502 24 769 440 854 644 934 755 1,010 9 6 152 69 202 148 238 216 511 3b 921 *09 1,056 f92 \t \f2 9 fl Department o f D e f e n s e - M ilit a r y 68 P e r s o n n e l«••••••*••••« 360 Program and a l l o th e r . 68 280 2,387 840 2,387 530 3,736 1,360 3,736 1,050 4,152 2,180 428 348 5,096 4,786 Department o f Commerce Economic and R e g io n a l Development ( In c lu d in g A p p a la c h ia n R e g io n a l Com m ission 2 / ) ........... N a t io n a l O ceanic and A tm ospheric A d m in ...* S u b t o t a l* — S u n a r y T ab le ( c o n 't ) ( I n M illio n s o f d o l l a r s ) 1981 BA D ep artn en t o f E d u c a tio n l l M M t a r y and Secondary G ra n ts C o M o l ld a t i o A «••••••• B ebool A a a ia ta n c e In tn F e d e r a lly A ffe c te d A raaa ( la p e c t A i d ) . . * V o c a t io n a l E d u c a tio n .# S ta d a a t A a a ia t a n c a . . . . N a t io n a l I n a t l t u t a o f E d u c a t i o n . . * * •••••••« I n a t i t u t e o f Hanoi— 1982 0 BA 0 1984 BA 1985 BA ___ 0 0 Item Totals 1986 BA 0 BA ___ 0 ---- ---- 1,498 106 1,761 1,217 1,998 1,766 2,366 2,051 2,617 2,272 10,240 7,412 67 —— 33B 82 ---106 474 236 1,016 450 220 803 523 242 1,659 500 242 1,499 567 259 1,857 551 252 1,808 608 277 2,074 584 269 2,019 632 294 2,287 613 283 2,233 2,871 1,308 9,231 2,780 1,266 8,468 20 22 22 20 23 20 25 21 27 22 117 105 14 12 15 13 16 14 18 16 19 18 94 75 TJil J,U1 T ja ~TJJt ---12 — 1983 BA ___ 0 n r 2 — TW i.* n U li 3,4*1 MM T .W H ,M I w ,m P e aa rta e e t o f S a e rtv F o o a ll E n e r g y .. ........... t o l a r E n e r g y . * ............ O tte r S a n rgy S u p p ly ..* f a a r g y C e a a e r v a t lo a .. . E ne rgy la fo r m a tIo n and D e p e rta e a ta l Over bead In a r g y fe e g n la lt o n . .* . * A lta h e l f o a l s S e b a id y 1 /.* .* • « • • • • • *45 70 99 148 254 275 59 79 37 66 1,028 373 363 186 677 864 361 365 156 310 1,064 522 428 178 597 859 433 414 177 611 362 605 372 178 427 676 549 406 170 589 140 676 330 169 374 224 657 330 158 433 25 602 275 176 373 256 604 275 163 373 3,164 2,848 1.867 1.0)5 2,702 3,154 2,663 1,869 861 2,382 13 33 3 33 38 150 27 127 62 138 62 140 67 131 67 132 73 127 73 123 78 118 78 117 331 697 310 672 743 5 114 4 —_ 29 29 ---- 13 43 -------- 61 15 61 15 72 84 15 84 745 307 201 293 — 57® T~*W TIM S,TH i,Mi ~T7SST f t4 i5 TTEW TTWS ---— 1,000 550 700 1,100 1,175 1,200 -------- 1,100 2,750 1,700 ------- O a p e rta sa t o f H e a lth and Huaan S e r v ic e * S o c ia l i e c a r i t y ---50 M ia ta u a B e a e f it a . . » * . — 65 D i s a b i l i t y In su ra n c e . — 20 Student t e o e f t t e ....... A id to F a a lli e a w ith * a Demandant C h ild r e n . . . 353 100 N a d le a id H e a lth and S o c ia l S e rv ic e e gra n t ---- ---- 40 45 — — — -------- — - 72 ~T7WT T H 5 1,100 1,700 1,500 — — 1,100 2,225 1,700 — — -------- 5,450 8,465 6,820 520 1,237 520 1,013 670 2,213 670 1,986 722 3,166 722 2,930 795 4,181 795 3,916 824 5,318 824 5,021 3,531 16,468 3,511 14,966 2,697 2,540 1,148 2,993 3,532 3,347 3,863 3,676 4,084 3,929 17,324 16,485 3 Sionary Table ( c o n 't ) (In a i l l i o n s o f d o lla r s ) 1981 BA 1982 0 1983 1984 1985 It e a T o t a ls BA 0 1986 8A 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 R e g u la tio n o f H e a lth C a rs In d u s t r y ■■PSRO* $ •••••••••••••• (P 8 IO o b l i g a t i o n s ) .* N a t io n a l I n s t i t u t e s o f H e a lth 4 V ** • • • • • • * H e a lth P r o f e s s Io n a E d u c a tio n ................... H e a lth H ain ta n a n ce O r g a n i s a t i o n s ............ N a t io n a l Reeearch S e r v ic e Awards (ADAHHA) 4 / ................ Merchant s7aeen (P B S ) 5 /• *• • • • • • • • • • * N a t io n a l H e a lth S e r v ic e C o rp s S c h o l a r s h i p * * * . 28 6 (3 8 ) 10 38 too 15 (1 1 9 ) 62 117 168 19 (1 3 6 ) 87 134 180 27 (215 ) 159 212 190 29 (227 ) 188 223 199 31 (23 8 ) 197 234 126 54 197 145 373 336 512 468 628 584 726 682 2.562 2,269 219 32 280 126 309 221 336 260 361 297 385 313 1,890 1,249 37 6 24 18 57 27 66 50 69 61 72 73 325 235 4 1 5 4 5 4 6 6 6 5 7 6 33 26 39 39 no no 183 183 194 194 205 205 215 215 946 946 16 3 31 14 45 37 54 45 65 54 80 65 291 218 — ITS 5,216 1 ,^ 1 9 *,1 9 0 10,153 S,795 12,693 10,3$2 15,029 ll,9 4 t 17,104 44,362 62,321 26 39 36 42 39 44 41 46 44 242 189 191 134 210 138 211 140 213 142 214 814 1,102 9 11 10 11 11 12 11 12 12 64 57 12 678 67 837 271 882 702 926 814 3,907 1,866 10 232 3,026 4,574 39 538 3,440 5,587 95 1,018 3,437 6,066 223 1,748 3,624 6,269 371 2,445 17,063 27,912 739 5,990 ---- 800 ---- 800 20 800 60 800 100 4 1000 180 149 141 137 150 147 158 157 166 162 868 799 629 $7*03 1,037 11,005 1,812 11,539 3,155 11,985 4,162 54,8?0 10.922 D e p artee nt o f H o u sin g and Urban Oevelopeent 37 34 i P la n n in g A s s is t a n c e * * * * R e h a b i li t a t i o n Loan 130 63 130 N eighborhood S e lf - H e lp 10 4 8 Development * * * * * ......... Community Development ----— 584 Sup port A s s i s t a n c e *••* S u b s id is e d H ou sing ---3,536 1 4,916 9 500 - r e s t c o n t r i b u t i o n s ** * P u b lic H o u sin g 800 (3 0 0 )* * ---S o la r Ene rgy and 132 47 121 127 10,145 865 127 (973) 703 958 Suonary Table (con't) (In Millions of dollars) Item 1981 1982 BA apart— a t o f t in In t a r io r Iip r o v t ^ u r g t t l n c of c A t ia m c lo B n o tn d * lt««r«a......................... Youth C tt M tr v a tlo t i BA 0 BA T o ta ls BA 0 270 512 286 465 365 471 349 605 403 3,192 1,764 56 32 60 59 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 356 351 ;« s 2 ,It* .................. fta»art«aat o f T r a t s p o r u t l M Podarai Kl|lw«y C o n stru c tio n ••••*•••«• ttrtoa Haas T r a M f a r u c i M ' C sp lC tl C f M t l •••••«• O ^ a r a ila i S u b s id ie s .. A irp o rt C o n str u c tio n ... AMTBAK S u k H t M .......... Nortboaat C o rrid o r l i f r t v M M t P r o j e c t . .. Low voluaa r a ilr o a d b f t ic k l i n o s «•••••»••• Highway Safe ty C ra n ia .. Cooperative Automotive Research Progran ........ 0 1986 566 m IIm l« f o a -s a r v lc a i M k i f i ••••••••••••••■ T ia lt M ] i« ( a M t AOOIOCMMO «••••••••••• C M f i t l M t l v t ftnploym m M i T ra in ! a * (CKEft)••*••••••••••*•• !«a« g M a l i C aosart i t l « » C o r jo .......... . Podarai t a p lo y w i l i j n r i C M f M M t l W ( f « C A ).. . u BA BA 1985 91 *» P»rimmt o f la b o r Ia M r t a e t * b l i a M B o a a f it a ....... f c w a y U y i t t la m r a t e r * H ifh Taoc•«*•«••••••*• u 0 1984 373 — m 1983 400 — - 60 TCJ — rar — — m — m ---- 15* 51* 477 too 196 100 284 200 287 2,200 2,998 283 — 272 — 264 ------- 1,106 183 183 183 183 937 957 700 1.231 700 ---- ---- ---- ---- 283 ------- to 173 173 17* 173 181 181 S I) — KT — 5TT — m 57T — t — — 1 *130 1,130 760 760 380 380 380 380 380 380 3.030 3.030 IS ) 615 4,644 3,366 4,236 4,073 4,378 4,408 4,946 4,762 3,341 3.143 23.898 22.387 3) 230 179 236 248 262 262 269 268 273 274 1.312 1,284 102 102 114 114 126 126 138 138 131 131 631 631 r m i tl i i l.4» “T 1 W XHT i, 3 t t 6,6*2 12,548 32.4lH — ---- — n r 1,1)1 ---- ---- 1,390 244 1,964 1,211 2,346 1,700 3,243 2,088 3,437 2,234 12,580 7,477 210 ---272 25 31 ---120 25 930 103 230 431 270 96 140 323 1,047 381 278 606 343 236 161 483 1,220 1,059 305 760 975 600 196 688 1,368 1,528 330 964 1,284 1,083 219 904 1,497 1,626 371 1,036 1,480 1.336 239 1,030 6,292 4,897 1,806 1,842 4,585 3.391 1,073 3,477 ---- 25 288 95 -13 114 20 31 15 25 ---- ---- 310 310 B0 ---- 8 ---- 88 167 32 16 96 123 62 112 104 138 80 138 112 162 103 130 119 178 no 163 399 770 395 579 12 6 13 9 14 13 15 14 16 14 17 IS 87 71 J ,68U ”1,77 7 '4,69B ZTTO TTTUT hlEKT — m T W 6.46) TTTTFT’ "4\T47 -r m TTPTTT 21, IbU Suenary Table (con't) (In millions of dollars) Item 1981 HA 1982 0 BA 1984 1983 0 BA 1985 0 BA 0 BA 1986 ___0 Totals &A 0 BA Ocher Independent Agencies CPA Waste Treatment NASA.............................. C i v i l Aeronautics B o a rd -A lrlin a su b sid y* C orporation fo r P u b lic ftro a d caa tin g.. . . . . . . . . 75 60 3,610 330 125 241 1,540 248 1,045 334 1,860 -90 1,970 86 2,170 -390 1,960 -156 2,465 -200 1,950 -124 12,645 -27 7,050 441 56 50 64 64 54 54 34 34 2 2 210 204 ---- — ---- __ 60 85 43 1,980 1,854 43 410 402 52 2,110 205 52 990 584 73 2,250 2,513 73 1,380 1,063 98 2,410 2,978 98 1,600 1,527 111 2,560 3,187 111 1.710 1,827 377 12,060 11,353 377 6,150 5,488 82 136 128 160 152 185 178 185 175 200 190 957 905 __ 165 85 186 131 203 193 222 223 239 231 1,015 863 26 66 15 90 81 120 109 153 141 183 155 675 527 250 558 632 510 632 472 690 424 690 430 765 389 765 416 779 366 779 417 779 367 779 2,293 3,895 2.056 3,895 F oreign A id (F A P)«....... 616 N a tio n a l Consumer Cooperative Bank......... 91 N a tio n a l Endowment fo r the A rta /H u m an ltle a.. ---N a tio n a l Science F o u n d a tio n ................. 63 O ffic e o f Personnel Management In s t i t u t i o n o f annual COLA............................ .... P o s ta l S e rv ic e Sub aidlea 230 Student Loan M arketing A a a o c la tlo n ( o f f - (1 ,923) Water Resource Development C o n stru c tio n programe• ---Corps o f E n g ln e e ra ... ( ---- ) Hater A Power Resources S e r v ic e ••••••••••••• ( ■ " “) S o i l Conservation S e r v i c e . ( ---- ) U .S . R ailw ay A sso c ia tio n C o n ra ll s u b s id ie s ....... -330. Federal Personnel Reduction not re late d to ebove red u ction s »•••••••••*• 386 E ff e c t s on c i v i l i a n agency pay coats o f r e v ia in g the Federal Pay C om p arability Standard •■••••••••••• • — ■*M in e ra l Le asin g on Outer C o n tin e n ta l S h e lf and Federal Lande 6 / 2 5 0 __ (2,500) ---- (3,000) ---- (3,500) ---- (4,000) ---- (14,923) 1,710 1,702 (1,449) (1,449) ( ---- ) 95 (50) 90 (50) 340 (296) 337 (296) 545 (485) 544 (485) 515 (439) 514 (439) 215 (179) 217 (179) ( ---- ) (35) (35) (28) (28) (43) (43) (57) (57) (20) (20) (183) (183) ( ---- ) (10) (5 ) (16) (13) (17) (16) (19) (18) (16) (18) (78) (70) -250 400 300 550 550 300 300 150 150 *1 ) 9,425 3,031 6,707 5,434 “5,208 7,104 4,720 7,411 10,258 386 1,342 1.342 1,811 1,811 2,264 2,264 2,763 2,763 3,263 2,165 2 ,079 2,938 2,907 3,463 3,356 3,740 3,698 800 800 2,000 2,000 3,100 3,100 3,500 3,500 250 1,150 1.150 48,313 30,808 3,263 11,829 11,829 3,990 3,873 16,296 15,913 1,500 3,500 13,150 13,150 100 100 Sunmary T ab le ( c o n 'c ) (in Million* of dollars) I te a 19aI TOTAL, O n-Budget A u t h o r it y sa d O u tla y S a v i n g s . 10.661 O f f-b u d g e t Ite m s Bu reI B le c t r if lc a t l o e A d m in is tr a t i o n . . . . . ................ 38 ( L e s s g u sr sn te e c e a n lt e e n t e ) • . . * (1 8 7 ) Stu d e n t Loee M arket laia c l e t l e e ............ .... TOTAL, Budget A u t h o r ity sa d O u tla y S a v i n g * . 10,699 (fl •5 * ** 1982 4,767 3g 1983 ___ 1984 ____ 1985 ____ 1986 Totals BA 0 EA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 54,666 34,757 58,810 50,109 69,082 61,365 76,618 70,232 82,654 77,325 1,142 1,142 2,328 2,328 3,603 3.603 4,975 4,975 6,450 6,450 (5 ,4 9 5 ) (5 ,9 3 5 ) (6 ,4 0 5 ) (6 ,9 2 5 ) (7 ,4 8 0 ) BA 3 5 2 ,4 9 1 2 9 8 ,5 5 5 18,536 0 2 ,4 2 7 ) .... .... 1,923 ---- 2,500 ---- 3,000 ---- 3,500 ---- 4,000 4,805 55,808 37,822 61,138 54,937 72,685 67,968 81,593 78,707 89,104 87,775 — 14,923 371,027 332,014 te e s thee 1^66 tWouoa n i B e fe rra l The a p p r o p r la tle n e f o r the A lc o h o l F u e ls and B lo o a sa program s ere in the Departaent o f the T re a su ry , fe e d s f o r the A p p a la c h ia n B a g lo n e I Coon le s io n ere a p p ro p ria te d to the P r e s id e n t. ie a e o f the se s a v in g a are to he d e riv e d fr o a a ge n c ie s other than the Depertoent o f H ea lth end Hunan S e r v ic e s . B i le le n t I o n o f N a t io n a l Baeearch S e r v ic e Awards I s a ls o In clu d ed in R a tio n a l I n s t i t u t e s of H ea lth re d u c tio n . T h sss se v te ga to the P u b lic H e a lth S e r v ic e w i l l be p a r t i a l l y o f f s e t by add It lo n e I coete to the U .S . Coast Guard, the Merchant M a rin e aed se v e r a l oth er e g o e c le s . O f f s e t In clu d e d fo r D epartaent o f I n t e r i o r o p e r a tin g c o s t s and paynents to s t a t e s . 18,536 II* O th e r R e d u c tio n s t o th e D e f i c i t B la c k Lung T r u s t Fund re fo rm 1982 30 378 354 3 53 382 469 6 ,3 0 0 8 ,0 0 0 1 2 ,0 0 0 1 6 ,0 0 0 1 8 ,0 0 0 30 6 ,6 7 8 8 ,3 5 4 1 2 ,3 5 3 1 6 ,3 8 2 1 8 ,4 6 9 706 2 ,6 1 7 2 ,5 6 5 2 ,6 0 3 2 ,6 3 7 2 ,6 1 5 736 9 ,2 9 5 1 0 ,9 1 9 1 4 ,9 5 6 1 9 ,0 1 9 2 1 ,0 8 4 S a a l l e r r e d u c t io n s ( f o r a g e n c ie s l i s t e d above and f o r o t h e r a g e n c i e s ) t h a t have been id e n tifie d ( o u t l a y s ) ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . T o t a l , O th e r r e d u c t io n s t o th e b u d g e t d e f i c i t .................................................................... O f f -b u d g e t i t e m s : S a a l l e r r e d u c t io n s t h a t h ave been I d e n t i f i e d . T o t a l , O th e r r e d u c t io n s t o th e d e f i c i t , i n c lu d i n g o f f - b u d g e t l t e a s . . . . . . . . . . . . co i H* CO (in n i lli o n s o f d o lla r s ) ____ 1983 1984 1981 1985 1986 III. In crw m t o C o v e r n a e n ta l R e c e ip t s (in Billions of dollars) 1981 1982 198 3 1984 1985 258 2 75 3 00 100 200 300 400 500 1 ,8 8 2 2 ,1 5 9 2 ,4 4 2 2 ,7 5 3 3 ,1 0 4 7755? 2 3 * T J tT 37T5T T^O T 1 ,9 8 2 2 ,6 1 7 3 ,0 1 7 3 ,4 5 3 3 ,9 1 9 C orpa o f E n g in e e r s In la n d W aterw ay Uaer C h arges In c r e a se f o a l ta x to reco ver o p e r a tio n , M a in te n a n c e , and re p la c e m e n t c o s t s and c a p i t a l c o s t s on new w a t e r w a y s . . . . . . . . T r a a a p o r ta tlo a C o a s t Guard P h a s e -la f e e s f o r C o a st Guard S e r v i c e s . V a d a ra l A v i a t i o n A d m in is tr a tio n la c r a a a e t r u s t fund ta x e s t o c o v e r a l l o p e r a t in g e x p e n s e s ..................................... .. S u b t o t a l . ..................... ................................ .. T o t a l , l a c r e a s e s t o g o v e r a a e n ta l r a c a l p t s . . . . ............................................... T «o 1986 IV . Su— a ry e f f e c t s on th e d e f i c i t (in a l l l i o n s o f d o lla r s ) 1983 1984 1981 1982 4 ,7 6 7 30 3 4 ,7 5 7 6 ,6 7 8 5 0 ,1 0 9 8 ,3 5 4 6 1 ,3 6 5 1 2 ,3 5 3 7 0 ,2 3 2 1 6 ,3 8 2 7 7 ,3 2 5 1 8 ,4 6 9 4 ,7 9 7 < 1 ,4 3 5 5 8 ,< 6 3 > 3 ,> l 6 8 6 ,6 1 4 $ 5 ,> * < III). ------ 1 ,9 8 2 2 ,6 1 7 3 ,0 1 7 3 ,4 5 3 3 ,9 1 9 T o t a l , e f f e c t on th e b u d g et d e f i c i t . . . . 4 ,7 9 7 4 3 ,4 1 7 6 1 ,0 8 0 7 6 ,7 3 5 9 0 ,0 6 7 9 9 ,7 1 3 O f f -b u d g e t o u t l a y s l i s t e d above (T a b le I ) . . . . . . O th e r c h a n g e s i n o f f - b u d g e t e n t i t l e s t h a t have been i d e n t i f i e d (T a b le I I ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 3 ,0 6 5 4 ,8 2 8 6 ,6 0 3 8 ,4 7 5 1 0 ,4 5 0 706 2 ,6 1 7 2 ,5 6 5 2 ,6 0 3 2 ,6 3 7 2 ,6 1 5 744 5 ,6 8 2 7 ,3 9 3 9 ,2 0 6 1 1 ,1 1 2 1 3 ,0 6 5 5 ,5 4 1 4 9 ,0 9 9 6 8 ,4 7 3 8 5 ,9 4 1 1 0 1 ,1 7 9 1 1 2 ,7 7 8 L i s t e d o u t l a y s a v i n g s (T a b le I ) . . . ........... .. O th e r o u t l a y r e d u c t io n s (T a b le I I ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . T o t a l , e f f e c t on o u t l a y s * . ................... I n c r e a s e s t o g o v e rn m e n ta l r e c e i p t s (T a b le T o t a l, o ff-b u d g e t c h a n g e E f f e c t o n th e d e f i c i t , I n c lu d in g e f f e c t s on o ff-b u d g e t e n t i t i e s . .. . . . . . . . . to I K> a s . 1985 1986 I V . P r e sid e n t’s P r o p o s a ls fo r T a x R e d u c t io n THE PRESIDENT'S PROPOSAL FOR TAX REDUCTION T h e P r e s i d e n t i s c o m m i t t e d t o i m p l e m e n t i n g an E c o n o m i c R e c o v e r y Program t h a t w i l l p r om o te a fram ew ork f o r t h e f u t u r e o f our A m erican economy. T h i s m em or an d um d e s c r i b e s t h e t w o m a j o r p r o p o s a l s f o r t a x r e d u c t i o n t h a t a r e an i n t e g r a l p a r t o f th e program: i n d i v i d u a l t a x r a t e r e d u c t i o n ; a n d , an a c c e le r a t e d c o s t recovery system fo r in v e stm e n ts. Taken t o g e t h e r , th e y p r o v i d e an i n c e n t i v e t a x p o l i c y d e s ig n e d t o in c r e a s e th e a f t e r - t a x take-hom e pay f o r every w o r k i n g A m e r i c a n , and an a c c e l e r a t e d c o s t r e c o v e r y s y s t e m d e s i g n e d t o im p r o v e t h e a f t e r - t a x r a t e o f r e t u r n on i n v e s t m e n t s i n ne w p l a n t a n d e q u i p m e n t . These changes are c e n t r a l t o r e s t o r i n g i n c e n t i v e s and s t r e n g t h e n i n g g ro w th and p r o d u c t i v i t y o f the economy. They w i l l prom ote each by i n c r e a s i n g t h e a f t e r - t a x re w a rd s f o r w ork , s a v i n g s , and i n v e s t m ent. in The P r e s i d e n t 's p r o p o s a ls the fo llo w in g s e c tio n s : I. T h irty Percent In d ivid u als II. A ccelerated Phased Cost A. General B. T echn ical for tax Rate Recovery E xplanation E xplanation redu ction R eductions System are for con tained 30 PEPCENT PHASED RATE REDUCTION Present Law Under each o f th e fo u r r a t e s c h e d u le s — j o i n t , s i n g l e , m a r r i e d f i l i n g s e p a r a t e l y , and he a d o f h o u s e h o l d — i n d i v i d u a l s p a y t a x on i n c o n e a t m a r g i n a l r a t e s r a n g i n g b e t w e e n 14 and 70 p e r c e n t . For i n s t a n c e , f o r m a rrie d i n d i v i d u a l s , ta x r a t e s r a n g e fro m 14 p e r c e n t f o r t a x a b l e inco m e b e t w e e n $ 3 , 4 0 0 and $ 5 , 5 0 0 t o 70 p e r c e n t f o r t a x a b l e inco m e i n e x c e s s o f $ 2 1 5 ,4 0 0 . A lthough b r a c k e t w id th s vary a cco rd in g to type o f r e t u r n , a l l s c h e d u l e s u s e t h e same b a s i c t a x r a t e s o f 14 t o 70 p e r c e n t . For earned incom e, law t h a t p r o v i d e s f o r a This p r o v isio n b e n e fits t a x a b l e income i n e x c e s s e a r n e d t a x a b l e income in i s t a x e d a t much h i g h e r Reasons for th ere i s a se p a ra te p r o v is io n in the " ma x i m um t a x " r a t e o f 5 0 p e r c e n t . s in g le in d iv id u a ls w ith earned o f $ 4 1 , 5 0 0 and m a r r i e d c o u p l e s w i t h excess o f $ 6 0 ,0 0 0 . Unearned income r a t e s , r a n g i n g up t o 7 0 p e r c e n t . Change I n d i v i d u a l tax burdens have been i n c r e a s in g s t e a d i l y o v e r t h e p a s t few y e a r s . I n f l a t i o n has pushed i n d i v i d u a l s i n t o h i g h e r and h i g h e r m a r g i n a l r a t e b r a c k e t s . Social s e c u r i t y ta x in c r e a s e s have been s u b s t a n t i a l as w e l l . * * / (S e e C h a r t s 1 and 2 . ) High m a r g in a l t a x r a t e s a c t as a d i s i n c e n t i v e b o th t o w ork and t o s a v e . Lowering th e s e m a r g in a l r a t e s w i l l h e lp e l i m i n a t e t h e s e d i s i n c e n t i v e s by a l l o w i n g i n d i v i d u a l s t o r e t a i n a g r e a t e r sh a re o f i n c r e a s e d o u t p u t which r e s u l t s f r o m t h e i r own p r o d u c t i v e e f f o r t s . B e c a u s e o f t h e p a r t i c u l a r way i n w h i c h t h e maxi mum t a x i s c a l c u l a t e d , th e e f f e c t i v e r a t e on a d d i t i o n a l e a r n e d i n c o m e may a c t u a l l y b e a b o v e 5 0 p e r c e n t . For purpose o f c o m p u t i n g t h e t a x l i a b i l i t y u n d e r t h e maxi mum t a x o n e a r n e d i n c o m e , e a r n e d i n c o m e i s " s t a c k e d " f i r s t *=- t h a t is, i t i s c o n s i d e r e d t o be th e income ta x e d a t th e l o w e s t r a t e s — and o t h e r incom e i s c o n s i d e r e d " s t a c k e d " o n t o p o f t h e e a r n e d in c o m e and i s s u b j e c t t o t h e h i g h e r r a t e s . A s a r e s u l t o f t h i s s t a c k i n g r u l e , an a d d i t i o n a l d o l l a r o f e a r n e d incom e can i n c r e a s e t a x e s on un e arn e d i n c o m e . Combined w ith o t h e r i n t e r a c t i o n s such as th e a l l o c a t i o n o f d e d u c t i o n s b e t w e e n e a r n e d and u n e a r n e d i n c o m e an a d d i t i o n a l d o l l a r o f e a r n e d income can b e t a x e d a t an e f f e c t i v e r a t e a b o v e 50 p e r c e n t and a s h i g h a s 70 p e r c e n t . **/ In 1981 t h e s o c i a l s e c u r i t y t a x r a t e f o r e m p lo y e es and e m p lo y e r s i n c r e a s e d from 6 . 1 3 p e r c e n t t o 6 . 6 5 p e r c e n t , and t h e t a x b a s e w i l l i n c r e a s e fro m $ 2 5 , 9 0 0 t o $ 2 9 , 7 0 0 . 2 T h u s , i n c r e a s i n g th e a f t e r - t a x rew a rds from work w i l l e n c o u r a g e i n d i v i d u a l s t o work h a r d e r and t o g e n e r a t e more g o o d s and s e r v i c e s w h ich a r e u s e d by o t h e r s . Encouraging s a v i n g w i l l h e l p s p u r th e economy t o g e n e r a t e more i n v e s t m e n t and a l a r g e r c a p i t a l s t o c k . An i n c r e a s e i n c a p i t a l i n t u r n i m p l i e s g r o w th i n p r o d u c t i v i t y , an i n c r e a s e i n t h e r a t e o f r e a l g r o w t h i n t h e e co n o m y , and h i g h e r r e a l in c o m e s f o r A m erican s. H i g h e r o u t p u t i n t h e economy a l s o l e a d s t o i n c r e a s e d rev en u es t o the government — o f f s e t t i n g p a r t o f the d i r e c t revenue c o s t o f the tax r e d u c tio n program. R e d u c e d t a x r a t e s w i l l make t a x s h e l t e r s r e l a t i v e l y l e s s a t t r a c t i v e , and w i l l e n c o u r a g e i n v e s t m e n t t o move t o th o s e a c t i v i t i e s th a t are most p r o d u c tiv e . Under c u r r e n t l a w , i n d i v i d u a l s a r e o f t e n f o r c e d t o c o n c e n t r a t e more upon th e ta x con seq uences o f a p a r t i c u l a r typ e o f in v e stm e n t than upon th e v a lu e (o r p r e - t a x p r o f i t a b i l i t y ) o f the investm ent its e lf. T his lea d s to d i s t o r t i o n s in investm ent p a tte r n s and a l o s s o f o u t p u t t o th e econom y. M o r e o v e r , r e v e n u e s t o t h e g o v e r n m e n t a r e l o w e r when i n d i v id u a l s in v e s t in tax s h e l t e r s th a t are l e s s p r o d u c tiv e t h a n o t h e r i n v e s t m e n t s o r when i n d i v i d u a l s s i m p l y a v o i d t a x a t i o n l e g a l l y by a v o i d i n g r e a l i z a t i o n o f in c o m e , e . g . , by n o t s e l l i n g an a s s e t t h a t h a s a p p r e c i a t e d i n v a l u e . Because l o w e r m a r g i n a l r a t e s o f t a x w i l l e n c o u r a g e more p r o d u c t i v e i n v e s t m e n t and w i l l l e a d t o an i n c r e a s e i n r e c o g n i t i o n o f in c o m e , r e v e n u e l o s s e s from th e r a t e r e d u c t i o n w i l l be reduced fu r th e r . T his induced reven ue e f f e c t i s in a d d it io n t o any i n c r e a s e i n re v e n u e s w h ich w ou ld r e s u l t from i n c r e a s e s i n p r o d u c t i v i t y and i n t h e a g g r e g a t e am ount o f i n d i v i d u a l work o r s a v i n g s . T a x i n g u n e a r n e d in c o m e a t r a t e s b e t w e e n 50 p e r c e n t and 70 p e r c e n t r a i s e s l i t t l e reven ue f o r th e govern m en t. Moreover, d i f f e r e n t i a t i n g b e tw e e n e a r n e d in c o m e and u n e a r n e d in co m e c r e a t e s a d d itio n a l com plexity in the c a lc u la t io n o f ta x e s . By r e d u c i n g t h e t o p m a r g i n a l r a t e o v e r a 3 - y e a r p e r i o d by t h e same 30 p e r c e n t t h a t a l l o t h e r r a t e s w i l l b e r e d u c e d , t h e m ax i m u m t a x f o r e a r n e d i n c o m e n o l o n g e r w i l l b e n e c e s s a r y b e c a u s e t h e r e w i l l be no in c o m e s u b j e c t t o a r a t e a b o v e 50 percent. E a rn e d and u n e a r n e d in c o m e w i l l be t a x e d t h e sa m e , b o t h s u b j e c t t o t h e new r a t e s c h e d u l e t h a t w i l l h a v e a t o p m a r g i n a l r a t e o f 50 p e r c e n t . 3 G en era l E x p la n a tio n The b a s i c d e s ig n o f th e p r o p o s a l i s s i m p l e : a l l rates o f t a x l i s t e d i n th e ta x r a t e s c h e d u l e s w i l l be re d u c e d by a p p r o x i m a t e l y 30 p e r c e n t . R ates w i l l be redu ced from t h e i r p r e s e n t r a n g e o f 1 4 t o 70 p e r c e n t t o a ne w r a n g e o f 1 0 t o 5 0 percent. Compared w i t h p r e s e n t l a w , t a x r a t e s w i l l b e re d u c e d by 5 p e r c e n t f o r c a l e n d a r 1 9 8 1 , th e n t o 15 p e r c e n t f o r c a l e n d a r 1 9 8 2 , 25 p e r c e n t f o r c a l e n d a r 1 9 8 3 and 30 p ercen t fo r calendar 1984. S e e T a b l e s 1 , 2 , and 3 . This r e d u c t i o n i s r o u g h l y e q u i v a l e n t t o a 10 p e r c e n t r e d u c t i o n i n t a x r a t e s on J u l y 1 , 1 9 8 1 and a f u r t h e r 10 p e r c e n t r e d u c t i o n on J u ly 1 o f each o f t h e 2 s u c c e e d i n g y e a r s . W ith holding. W i t h h o l d i n g w i l l be a d j u s t e d on J u ly 1 , 1981. For 1 98 1, the p ercen ta g e re d u ctio n in w ith h o ld in g r a t e s w i l l be 10 p e r c e n t , o r t w i c e t h e p e r c e n t a g e r e d u c t i o n in the ta x r a t e s th a t w i l l app ly f o r the e n t i r e c a le n d a r year. In e f f e c t , r a t h e r than r e c e i v e a l a r g e re fu n d a t th e b e g in n in g o f 1 9 8 2 , m ost i n d i v i d u a l s w i l l be a b le t o r e c e i v e t h e i r e n t i r e ta x r e d u c tio n f o r 1981 over the l a s t h a l f o f that year. For a l l y e a r s a f t e r 1 9 8 1 , the p e rc en ta g e r e d u c tio n i n b o t h w i t h h o l d i n g r a t e s and t a x s c h e d u l e r a t e s w i l l b e t h e same. Maxi mum T a x . By 1 9 8 4 t h e t o p m a r g i n a l r a t e o f 7 0 p e r c e n t w i l l b e r e d u c e d t o 50 p e r c e n t f o r a l l i n c o m e , regardless o f source. T h is w i l l a llo w th e ta x law s t o be s i m p l i f i e d t h r o u g h e l i m i n a t i o n o f t h e maxi mum t a x o n e a r n e d incom e. T a x p a y e r s c u r r e n t l y e l i g i b l e f o r t h e maxi mum t a x o n e a r n e d income w i l l b e n e f i t from th e a c r o s s - t h e - b o a r d r a t e redu ction s. C u r r e n t l y , t a x a b l e income a b o v e $ 4 1 , 5 0 0 f o r s i n g l e i n d i v i d u a l s and $ 6 0 , 0 0 0 f o r m a r r i e d c o u p l e s i s s u b j e c t e i t h e r t o a r e g u l a r t a x r a t e o f more t h a n 50 p e r c e n t o r a ma xi mum t a x r a t e o n e a r n e d i n c o m e o f 5 0 p e r c e n t . Under th e p r o p o s a l , a l l t a x a b l e in c o m e b e t w e e n $ 4 1 , 0 0 0 and $ 1 0 8 , 3 0 0 f o r s i n g l e i n d i v i d u a l s and b e tw e e n $ 6 0 , 0 0 0 and $ 2 1 5 , 4 0 0 f o r m a rried c o u p le s w i l l be taxed a t r a t e s below even th e c u r r e n t maxi mum t a x r a t e o f 5 0 p e r c e n t . C apital G ain s. S i n c e 60 p e r c e n t o f n e t l o n g - t e r m c a p i t a l g a i n s a r e d e d u c te d from income under c u r r e n t la w , l e a v i n g 40 p e r c e n t o f such g a i n s i n c l u d e d i n a d j u s t e d g r o s s i n c o m e , t h e t o p t a x r a t e on c a p i t a l g a i n s w i l l b e l o w e r e d f r o m 28 t o 20 p e r c e n t (2 0 p e r c e n t = . 4 x 50 p e r c e n t ) by January 1 , 1 9 8 4 . For y e a r s b e fo r e 1 9 8 4 , th e top e f f e c t i v e A r a t e w i l l be 2 6 . 4 p e r c e n t i n 1 9 8 1 , 2 4 . 0 p e r c e n t i n 1 9 8 2 , and 2 1 .2 p e rc e n t in 1983. A d d i t i o n a l l y , t o conform th e e x i s t i n g a l t e r n a t i v e m i n i m u m t a x t o t h e r e d u c t i o n i n t h e ma xi mum r e g u l a r t a x on c a p i t a l g a i n s , t h e t o p a l t e r n a t i v e t a x r a t e w o u l d b e r e d u c e d t o 24 p e r c e n t i n 1 9 8 2 , 21 p e r c e n t i n 1 9 8 3 , and 2 0 p e r c e n t i n 1984 and t h e r e a f t e r . A n alysis of Im pact The r e d u c t i o n in m a r g in a l t a x r a t e s w i l l red u ce i n d i v i d u a l in co m e t a x l i a b i l i t i e s by 5 . 1 p e r c e n t f o r c a l e n d a r 1 9 8 1 , r is in g to 2 7 .3 percent fo r 1984. A s shown i n C h a r t s 3 - 4 and T a b l e s 4 - 1 5 , th e p e r c e n t a g e r e d u c t i o n f o r m o st income c l a s s e s , i s a p p ro x im a te ly the same. Thus th e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f th e re d u c tio n is spread in p r o p o rtio n to ta x e s p aid in a l l incom e c l a s s e s . D e v i a t i o n s from a f l a t p e r c e n t a g e r e d u c t i o n a t a l l l e v e l s a r e e x p l a i n e d p r i m a r i l y by i n t e r a c t i o n w it h th e e a r n e d i n c o m e t a x c r e d i t a n d t h e c u r r e n t l a w maximum t a x o n earned incom e. Under t h e p r o p o s a l t h e r a t e r e d u c t i o n s w i l l r e d u c e t h e amount o f t a x e s b e f o r e c r e d i t s . The am ount o f t h e e a r n e d incom e c r e d i t i s n o t c h a n g e d , and as a r e s u l t th e p e r c e n t a g e r e d u c t io n in t a x a f t e r c r e d i t s can be g r e a t e r th a n 30 p e r c e n t . F or e x a m p l e , u n d e r c u r r e n t law a c o u p l e w it h one dependen t e a r n in g $ 9 ,0 0 0 w ould have ta x b e fo r e c r e d i t s o f $ 3 7 4 , an e a r n e d in c o m e c r e d i t o f $ 1 2 5 and a t a x l i a b i l i t y a fte r cred its o f $249. Under th e p r o p o s a l, in 1 9 8 4 t h i s c o u p l e ' s ta x b e f o r e c r e d i t w ould be re d u ce d 2 9 . 1 p ercen t, to $265. S in c e th e e a r n e d income c r e d i t w ould r e m a i n u n c h a n g e d , t h e i r t a x l i a b i l i t y a f t e r 1c r e d i t s w o u l d b e redu ced to $140 — a 4 3 .8 p e rc e n t r e d u c tio n . A t h i g h e r l e v e l s o f i n c o m e , t h e r e i s an i n t e r a c t i o n w i t h t h e maximum t a x o n e a r n e d i n c o m e . Whereas r e tu r n s w ith p r o p e r t y in com e r e c e i v e a p p r o x i m a t e l y t h e same p e r c e n t a g e r e d u c tio n as a l l r e t u r n s , the percen tage red u ction in tax f o r r e t u r n s w it h $ 1 0 0 , 0 0 0 o r $ 2 0 0 , 0 0 0 in wage income b e g in s to f a l l below th e p e rcen ta g e re d u c tio n fo r o th e r r e tu r n s . T h i s i s b e c a u s e earned in co m e, w hich c u r r e n t l y i s s u b j e c t t o a maximum t a x o f 5 0 p e r c e n t , w i l l s t i l l b e s u b j e c t t o a t o p m a r g i n a l r a t e o f 50 p e r c e n t . 5 Revenue E f f e c t As a r e s u l t o f th e i n d i v i d u a l t a x r a t e , r e d u c t i o n s and th e a c c e l e r a t e d c o s t r e c o v e r y s y s te m , t a x p a y e r s ' a f t e r - t a x incom e w i l l r i s e s u b s t a n t i a l l y compared t o p r e s e n t t a x la w . W i t h o u t t h e s e r a t e r e d u c t i o n s , F e d e r a l t a x e s w ou ld consume a r a p i d l y i n c r e a s i n g s h a r e o f n a t i o n a l income — r i s i n g t o 2 3 . 4 p e r c e n t o f GNP a f t e r 1 9 8 5 . By c o n t r a s t , t h e s e t a x c h a n g e s s u b s t a n t i a l l y reduce F ed eral ta x e s r e l a t i v e to the o v e r a ll s i z e o f th e economy. Under th e P r e s i d e n t 's program , r e c e i p t s w i l l f a l l t o 2 0 . 4 p e r c e n t o f GNP i n 1 9 8 2 a n d 1 9 . 3 p e r c e n t b y 1 9 8 5 . B e ca u se t h e economy w i l l be r a p i d l y g ro w in g in r e s p o n s e t o t h o s e t a x c h a n g e s and th e o t h e r p a r t s o f th e P r e s i d e n t ' s program , F e d e r a l re v e n u e s w i l l s t i l l expand by $340 b i l l i o n from 1 9 8 1 - 8 6 , a llo w in g f u l l su p p o rt f o r e s s e n t i a l government program s. T his r e p r e s e n t s a l i t t l e more t h a n a 50 p e r c e n t i n c r e a s e i n r e v e n u e s d u r in g t h i s p e r i o d under th e P r e s i d e n t 's program , compared t o t h e p r o s p e c t o f n e a r l y a 100 p e r c e n t i n c r e a s e p r o p o s e d by t h e p rio r A dm in istration . These ta x changes w i l l c o n t r ib u t e im p o r ta n tly to r a i s i n g th e l e v e l s o f econom ic a c t i v i t y m a t e r i a l l y above th o s e w hich w ould be a t t a i n e d under p r e s e n t law . 6 CHART 1 INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAX AS PERCENT OF PERSONAL INCOME 1 9 7 0 -1 9 8 4 P ercen t 17 16 Current Law 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 / 0 1970 1972 1974 J_______ L 1976 I 1978 1980 Calendar Year I I 1982 I_______ L 1984 CHART 2 INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAX PLUS EMPLOYEE SOCIAL SECURITY CONTRIBUTIONS AS PERCENT OF PERSONAL INCOME 1 9 7 0 -1 9 8 4 P ercen t 20 19 18 17 16 00 15 14 13 12 X 1970 J_______ L 1972 1974 J_______ I_______L 1976 J_______ I_______ I_______ L 1978 1980 Calendar Year 1982 _ _ L _ 198 4 CHART 3 Marginal Tax Rates Under Current Law and the President’s Proposal for 1984 (J o in t R e t u r n s ) 3.4 5.5 7.6 11.9 16.0 20.2 24.6 29.9 35.2 45.8 60.0 85.6109.4 162 4 215.4 over Taxable Income (Thousands of Dollars) CHART 4 Marginal Tax Rates Under Current Law and the President’s Proposal for 1984 (S in g le R e tu rn s) Taxable Income (Thousands of Dollars) Table 1 The Adsrinf at r a t io n 's Proposed Tax Rate Schedules fo r 1981, 1902, 1983, and 1984 .Joint Returns A dm in istration Proposal 1982 19B3 1964 and subseouent veara Tax at Tax at Tax rate Tax rate Tax at Tax at Tax rate Tax rate Tax at Tax rata tow end of low end of on income on income low end of low end o f on lncoow on Income low end of on incase bracket in bracket bracket bracket in bracket in bracket : in bracket bracket bracket in bracket (. d o lla r s .) ( . percent .) (. d o lla r s .) ( . percent .> (. d o lla r s .) ( . percent •) (. d o lla r s .) ( . percent .) (. d o lla r s .) (. percent .) Praaent law Taxable in c c a t bracket (••••• d o lla r a $ ! o • 3,400 5,500 - 3,400 5,500 7,600 7,600 . 11,900 16,000 * 11,900 16,000 20,200 630 1,404 2,265 20,200 24,600 29,900 - 24,600 29,900 35,200 35,200 . 45,800 60,000 - 1981 0% 14 16 or n 15 0 0 252 18 21 24 588 1,319 2,139 17 2ft 21 546 1,191 1,929 15 18 21 483 1,085 I , 741 14 16 19 441 1,000 1,615 13 15 18 3,273 A, 505 6,201 28 32 37 3,105 4,293 5,883 27 30 15 2,811 1,867 5,298 24 27 31 2,539 1,507 4,779 22 24 28 2,371 3,295 4,514 21 23 27 45,800 60,000 85,600 8,162 12,720 19,678 43 49 54 7,738 12,084 18,758 41 47 51 6,941 10,861 16,827 37 42 47 6,263 9,761 15,157 13 18 42 5,945 9,137 14,449 32 36 40 109,400 85,600 109,400 • 162,400 162,400 - 215,400 33,502 47,544 81,464 59 64 68 31,814 45,142 77,472 56 61 65 28,859 40,759 69,909 50 55 58 25,909 36,619 62♦589 45 49 52 24,689 34,923 59,833 43 47 49 117,504 70 111,922 66 100,649 60 90,149 53 85,803 50 215,400 and over 0 0 294 $ Of fle a o f the Secretary o f the Treaaury, O ffic e o f Tax A n a ly sis $ OX 12 14 01 11 12 o 0 273 $ $ 0 0 211 $ 0 0 210 February 13, 1981 J^/ Compared v it h praaent law, tax rates are reduced approximately 5 percent in 1981, 15 percent In 1982, 25 percent in 1983, and 30 percent in 1984* OJt 10 11 Table 2 The Administration's Proposed Tax Rate Schedules for 1981, 1982, 1983, and 1984 Single Returns $ 1981 1983 1984 and subseouent vears Tax rate Tax at Tax rate Tax at Tax a t Tan; rate Tax: rate Tax at Tax at Tax rate low end of on Income low end of on Income low end of on Income low end of on income low end of on income in bracket bracket bracket in bracket b rac ket In bracket : bracket bracket in bracket in bracket (. d o lla r s .) ( . percent .) (. d o lla r s .) ( pcrcent .) (. d o lla r s .) <. percent .) (. d o lla r s .) (.. percent .) (. d o lla r s .) (. percent .) 2,300 0T 3 ,4 0 0 4 ,4 0 0 0 1$4 14 16 0 143 13 15 0 132 12 14 0 121 4,400 6,500 8,500 - 6,500 8,500 10,800 314 692 1,0 72 18 19 21 293 650 1,0 10 17 18 20 272 587 907 15 16 18 10,800 12,900 15,000 - 12,900 15,000 18,200 1,555 2,0 59 2 ,6 0 5 24 26 30 1 ,4 7 0 1 ,9 53 2 ,4 7 8 23 25 28 1,321 1,741 2,2(13 18,200 . 23,500 28,800 - 23,500 28,800 34,100 3 ,5 65 5 ,3 6 7 7,4 34 34 39 44 3,374 5,0 70 7,031 32 37 42 34,100 41,500 . 55,300 - 41,500 55,300 81,800 9 ,7 6 6 13,392 2 0 ,982 49 55 63 9 ,2 5 7 12,735 19,911 81,800 108.300 108,300 and over 37,677 55,697 68 70 35,811 53 ,0 3 6 $ 0 0Z 1982 0 . 2,300 3,400 . ' > A dm in istration Proposal Present law Taxable incase bracket $ o O ffic e o f the Secretary o f the Treasury, O ffic e of Tax A n a ly sis $ 0 0Z $ o OZ U $ o 10 12 241 514 794 13 14 16 220 472 732 12 13 20 22 26 1,162 1 ,5 40 1 ,9 60 18 20 22 1,1 0 0 1,478 1,877 18 19 21 3,035 4 ,5 72 6,3 21 29 33 37 2,664 4 ,0 4 2 5,5 79 26 29 34 2,5 49 3,874 5.3 58 25 28 32 47 52 60 8 ,2 82 11,390 17,876 42 47 54 7,381 1 0 ,193 15,989 38 42 48 7,054 9 ,7 1 8 15,238 36 40 65 66 32,186 47 ,5 5 6 58 60 28,709 4 2 ,4 8 9 52 53 2 7 ,428 4 0 ,413 49 50 February 13, 1981 J / Compared with present la v , tax rates are reduced approximately 5 percent In 1981, 15 percent in 1982t 25 percent in 1983, and 30 percent in 1984. OZ 0 110 11 16 46 Table 3 The A ds^ n ist rat io n 's Proposed Tax Rate Schedules fo r 1981, 1982, 1983, and 1984 H ead-of-H ousehold Returns A dm in istration Proposa1 1982 1983 1984 and subseauent re a rs Tax at Tax at Tax rate Tax rate Tax at Tax at Tax rate Tax rate Tax at Tax rate low end of low end of on incase on income low end of low end of on inrosM on incone low end of on Income in bracket bracket tn bracket : bracket bracket tn bracket : in bracket brecket bracket —i in bracket (. d o lla r s . ) ( percent .) (. d o lla r s .) ( percent .) (. d o lla r s .) ( . percent .) (. d o lla r s .) (.. percent .) (. d o lla r s ,.) (. percent .) Present law Taxable In case bracket (•««•* d o tla r s $ ¥•* U> 1981 0 _ 2,300 • 4,400 - 2,300 4,400 6,500 6,500 • 8,700 11,800 - 8,700 11,800 15,000 630 1,026 1,708 18 22 24 588 962 1,613 17 21 21 546 876 1,465 15 19 20 483 791 1,318 14 17 18 441 727 1,223 13 16 17 15,000 • 18,200 23,500 - 18,200 23,500 28,800 2,476 3,308 4,951 26 31 36 2, 349 3,149 4,686 25 29 34 2.105 2,809 4, 187 22 26 31 1,894 2,534 3,806 20 24 27 1,767 2,375 3,594 19 23 26 28,800 • 34,100 • 44,700 - 34,100 44,700 60,600 6,859 9,085 13,961 42 46 54 6,488 8,608 13,272 40 44 51 5,830 7,738 11,872 36 39 46 5,237 6,933 10,643 32 35 41 4,972 6,615 10,219 31 34 39 81,800 40,600 81,800 . 108,300 108,300 - 161,300 22,547 35,055 51,750 59 63 68 21,381 33,253 49,153 56 60 65 19,186 29,998 44,308 51 54 58 17,162 26,702 39,422 45 48 52 16,420 25,536 37,726 43 46 49 161,300 and over 87,790 70 83,603 66 75,048 60 66,982 53 63,696 50 $ 0 0 294 ox 14 16 $ 0 0 273 O ^ flca o f the Secretary o f the Treasury, O ffic e o f Tax A n a ly sis y OX 13 15 S 0 0 252 OX 12 14 $ 0 0 231 OX 11 12 $ 0 0 210 February 13, 1981 Coshered with present law, tax rate s are reduced approximately 5 percent In 1981, 15 percent in 1982, 25 percent in 1983, and 30 percent in 1984. OX 10 11 Table 4 E ffe c t o f the A dm in istration 's Proposed Tax Rate Reductions fo r 1981 D istributed by Adjusted Gross Income Class (1981 Levels of Income) Adjusted gross income cla ss ($000) Less than 3 .0 3 .0 5 .0 6 .0 5 .0 8 .0 6 .0 « 9 - 1 0 .0 | ; * Number of returns : Present law :ta x l i a b i l i t y I f : : Change In tax 2 / * Amount ,) ( . thousands Percentage ( . . percent . . . . ) 1 0 ,9 3 3 7,363 3,406 6 ,6 2 3 6 ,2 1 0 -4 8 27 381 2 ,0 7 3 3 ,988 -1 -3 5 -4 8 -1 6 6 -2 5 6 3/ -1 2 9 .6 - 1 2 .6 -8 .0 -6 .4 1 0 .0 1 2 .5 1 5 .0 1 7 .5 2 0 .0 - 1 2 .5 1 5 .0 1 7 .5 2 0 .0 2 5 .0 7,164 6 ,3 0 3 5 ,6 0 2 5,2 8 1 9,3 7 7 7,425 9,117 10,570 12,610 28,615 -4 3 8 -5 1 4 -5 7 9 -6 9 2 -1 ,5 4 4 -5 .9 -5 .6 -5 .5 -5 .5 -5 .4 2 5 .0 3 0 .0 3 5 .0 4 0 .0 5 0 .0 - 3 0 .0 3 5 .0 4 0 .0 5 0 .0 6 0 .0 7,6 8 3 5,5 9 2 3,772 4 ,1 8 5 1 ,6 9 6 30,767 28,229 23,697 34,758 19,426 -1 ,5 9 0 - 1 ,4 5 3 -1 ,2 3 2 -1 ,8 0 1 -9 8 7 -5 .2 -5 .1 -5 .2 -5 .2 -5 .1 6 0 .0 7 0 .0 7 0 .0 8 0 .0 8 0 .0 9 0 .0 9 0 .0 - 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 - 2 0 0 .0 813 443 289 198 546 12,267 8,407 6,7 3 5 5 ,3 3 3 23,765 -6 0 6 -4 1 1 -336 -263 -9 6 4 -4 .9 -4 .9 -5 .0 -4 .9 -4 .1 200 and over 121 1 8,520 -682 -3 .4 93,599 $286,659 $ -1 4 ,5 9 8 T ota l O ffic e of the Secretary of the Treasury O ffic e of Tax A nalysis -5 .1% February 13, 1981 1 / Includes outlay portion o f earned income c r e d it. 2 / Tax ra tes are reduced approximately 5 percent. To avoid fr a c tio n a l marginal r a te s , each current law tax rate is not reduced exactly 5 percent under th is b i l l . A ls o , d e v ia tio n from a f l a t 5 percent reduction at a l l income le v e ls i s explained by in te ra c tio n with the earned income c re d it and with the current law 50 percent maximum tax on personal service income. 3 / C a lcu la tion o f a percentage reduction on a negative l i a b i l i t y i s not m eaningful. Note: Details may not add to totals due to rounding. 14 Table 5 E ffe c t o f the Adm inistration*s Proposed Tax Rate Reductions for 1982 D istributed by Adjusted Gross Incone Class (1981 Levels o f Incone) A djusted gross income c la s s ($000) Less than 3.0 5.0 6 .0 8 .0 8*0— 10.0 3 .0 — 5*0— 6*0— * : * Number of returns (. : Present law : tax l i a b i l i t y 1 / : : Change in tax 2 / Amount thousands * Percentage >) ( . . percent . . . . ) 10,933 7,363 3,406 6,623 210 -48 27 381 2,073 3,988 -1 -70 -99 -386 -629 3/ -259.3 -2 6 .0 -1 8 .6 -1 5 .8 t, 1 0 .0 1 2 .5 1 5 .0 1 7 .5 2 0 .0 - 12.5 15.0 17.5 20.0 25.0 7,164 6,303 5,602 5,281 9,377 7,425 9,117 10,570 12,610 28,615 -1,115 -1,390 -1,627 -1,908 -4,243 -1 5 .0 -1 5 .2 -1 5 .4 -1 5 .1 -1 4 .8 2 5 .0 3 0 .0 3 5 .0 4 0 .0 5 0 .0 - 30.0 35.0 40.0 50.0 60 .0 7,683 5,592 3,772 4,185 1,696 30,767 28,229 23,697 34,758 19,426 -4,515 -4,169 -3,541 -5,209 -2,894 -1 4 .7 -1 4 .8 -1 4 .9 -1 5 .0 -1 4 .9 70.0 80.0 90.0 9 0 .0 - 100.0 1 0 0 .0 - 200.0 813 443 289 198 546 12,267 8,407 6,735 5,333 23,765 -1,817 -1,227 -977 -752 -2,902 -1 4 .8 -14.6 -14.5 -14.1 -1 2 .2 200 and over 121 18,520 -1,884 -10.2 93,599 $286,659 $-41,358 6 0 .0 7 0 .0 8 0 .0 - T ota l O ffic e o f the Secretary o f the Treasury O ffic e o f Tax A n alysis -14.47c February 13f 1981 JL/ Includes ou tlay portion of earned income cred it* 2 / Tax r a te s are reduced approximately 15 percent. To avoid fr a c tio n a l marginal r a t e s , each current law tax rate i s not reduced e x a c tly 15 percent under th is b ill. A ls o , d eviation from a f l a t 15 percent reduction at a l l income le v e ls i s explained by in te ra c tio n with the earned income c re d it and with the current law 50 percent maximum tax on personal se rv ice income. 3 / C a lc u la tio n o f a percentage reduction on a negative l i a b i l i t y i s not meaningful. Note: Details may not add to totals due to rounding. 15 Table 6 E ffe c t o f the A dm in istration 's Proposed Tax Rate Reductions fo r 1983 D istributed by Adjusted Gross Incone Class ('1981 Levels o f Income) Adjusted gross income c la ss (S000) Less than 3 .0 3 .0 5 .0 5 .0 6 .0 6 .0 8 .0 8 .0 1 0 .0 : : : : Number of returns (. Present lav : tax l i a b i l i t y 1 / : Change in tax I t thousands . . . ) 10 ,933 7,363 3,406 6 ,6 2 3 6 ,2 1 0 \ Amount ,) -4 8 27 381 2 ,0 7 3 3, >3 \ Percentage ( . . percent . . . . ) -2 -1 0 9 -1 6 7 -6 4 9 -1 ,0 5 5 3/ -4 0 3 .4 - 4 3 .8 -3 1 .3 - 2 6 .5 1 0 .0 1 2 .5 1 5 .0 1 7 .5 2 0 .0 - 1 2 .5 1 5 .0 1 7 .5 2 0 .0 2 5 .0 7,164 6,3 0 3 5,6 0 2 5,281 9,377 7,4 2 5 9,1 1 7 10,570 12,610 28,615 -1 ,8 5 4 -2 ,2 3 5 -2 ,5 7 9 -3 ,0 6 9 -6 ,8 0 5 - 2 5 .0 - 2 4 .5 - 2 4 .4 - 2 4 .3 - 2 3 .8 2 5 .0 3 0 .0 3 5 .0 4 0 .0 5 0 .0 - 3 0 .0 3 5 .0 4 0 .0 5 0 .0 6 0 .0 7,683 5 ,592 3,772 4,185 1,696 30,767 28,229 23,697 34,758 19,426 -7 ,1 7 4 -6 ,5 8 9 -5 ,5 6 4 -8 ,1 9 1 -4 ,5 8 5 - 2 3 .3 - 2 3 .3 -2 3 .5 - 2 3 .6 -2 3 .6 7 0 .0 6 0 .0 8 0 .0 7 0 .0 8 0 .0 9 0 .0 9 0 .0 - 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 - 2 0 0 .0 813 443 289 198 546 12,267 8,407 6,7 3 5 5,3 3 3 23,765 -2 ,8 8 5 -1 ,9 5 5 -1 ,5 7 4 -1 ,2 2 0 -4 ,9 4 5 -2 3 .5 - 2 3 .3 - 2 3 .4 - 2 2 .9 - 2 0 .8 200 and over 121 18,520 -3 ,1 8 3 - 1 7 .2 93,599 $286,659 $ -6 6 ,3 8 9 Total O ffic e o f the Secretary of the Treasury O ffic e o f Tax A n alysis -2 3 .2 % February 1 3 t 1981 1 / Includes outlay p ortion o f earned income c r e d it. 2 / Tax rates are reduced approximately 25 percent. To avoid fr a c tio n a l marginal r a te s , each current law tax rate is not reduced e x actly 25 percent under th is b i l l . A ls o , d eviation from a f l a t 25 percent reduction at a l l income le v e ls i s explained by in te ra c tio n with the earned income cred it and with the current law 50 percent maximum tax on personal se rv ice income. V C alculation o f a percentage reduction on a negative l i a b i l i t y i s not m eaningful. Note: Details may not add to totals due to rounding. 16 Table 7 E ffe c t o f the A d m in istration 's Proposed Tax Rate Reductions fo r 1984 D istributed by Adjusted Gross Income Class (1981 Levels o f Income) Adjusted gross income c la s s ($000) Less than 3 .0 3 .0 5 .0 5 .0 6 .0 6 .0 8 .0 8 .0 1 0 .0 * * | Number of returns Present law : :ta x l i a b i l i t y 1 / : Change In tax 2 / Percentage Amount ( . thousands .) ( . . percent . . . * ) 10 ,9 3 3 7,3 6 3 3,406 6 ,6 2 3 6 ,2 1 0 -4 8 27 381 2 ,0 7 3 3 ,9 8 8 -3 -1 4 4 -2 1 5 -8 1 4 -1 ,3 0 9 3/ -5 3 3 .3 - 5 6 .4 - 3 9 .3 - 3 2 .8 1 0 .0 1 2 .5 1 5 .0 1 7 .5 2 0 .0 - 1 2 .5 1 5 .0 1 7 .5 2 0 .0 2 5 .0 7,164 6 ,3 0 3 5 ,6 0 2 5,2 8 1 9,3 7 7 7 ,4 2 5 9 ,1 1 7 1 0 ,5 7 0 1 2 ,6 1 0 28,6 1 5 -2 ,2 3 7 -2 ,6 4 8 -3 ,0 5 6 -3 ,6 4 0 - 8 ,1 2 2 -3 0 .1 - 2 9 .0 - 2 8 .9 - 2 8 .9 - 2 8 .4 2 5 .0 3 0 .0 3 5 .0 4 0 .0 5 0 .0 - 3 0 .0 3 5 .0 4 0 .0 5 0 .0 6 0 .0 7 ,6 8 3 5,5 9 2 3,772 4 ,1 8 5 1 ,6 9 6 3 0,767 28 ,2 2 9 23,697 34,758 1 9 ,426 -8 ,5 6 3 -7 ,8 2 6 -6 ,5 5 1 -9 ,5 2 4 -5 ,2 7 5 - 2 7 .8 -2 7 .7 - 2 7 .6 - 2 7 .4 - 2 7 .2 6 0 .0 7 0 .0 8 0 .0 7 0 .0 9 0 .0 8 0 .0 9 0 .0 - 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 - 2 0 0 .0 813 443 289 198 546 12,267 8 ,4 0 7 6 ,7 3 5 5 ,3 3 3 23,7 6 5 -3 ,3 2 0 -2 ,2 5 5 - 1 ,8 1 9 -1 ,4 1 2 - 5 ,7 9 3 - 2 7 .1 - 2 6 .8 - 2 7 .0 -2 6 .5 - 2 4 .4 200 and over 121 1 8 ,5 2 0 - 3 ,7 6 2 - 2 0 .3 9 3 ,5 9 9 $286,659 $ -7 8 ,2 8 5 T otal O ffic e o f the Secretary of the Treasury O ffic e o f Tax A n alysis -2 7 .3 % February 13, 1981 1 / Includes outlay portion o f earned income c r e d it . 2 / Tax ra te s are reduced approximately 30 percent. To avoid fr a c tio n a l marginal r a te s , * each current law tax rate i s not reduced e x a c tly 30 percent under th is b i l l . A lso , d eviation from a f l a t 30 percent reduction at a l l income le v e ls is explained by in te ra c tio n with the earned income cred it arid with the current law 50 percent maximum tax on personal se rv ice income. 3 / C alculation of a percentage reduction on a negative l i a b i l i t y i s not m eaningful. Note: Details may not add to- totals due to rounding. 17 T a b le 8 Effect of the Administration's Proposed Tax Rate Reductions for 1981 Single Individual (d o lla r s ) Vage income : : Tax l i a b i l i t y 1 / Present la v j : Adm inistration's : : proposal 2 / : Change in tax l i a b i l i t y ,.) ( ........................................ $ 5*000 \ Amount $ 250 $ 233 $ Percentage ( . . percent . . . . ) -1 7 -6 .8 % 1 0 ,0 0 0 1 ,177 1 ,110 -6 7 -5 .7 1 5 ,0 0 0 2 ,0 4 7 1,942 -1 0 5 -5 .1 2 0 ,0 0 0 3,115 2,954 -161 -5 .2 2 5 ,0 0 0 4 ,3 6 4 4,126 -2 3 8 -5 .5 3 0 ,0 0 0 5 ,7 1 8 5 ,403 -3 1 5 -5 .5 4 0 ,0 0 0 8 ,8 8 6 8,417 -4 6 9 -5 .3 5 0 ,0 0 0 12,559 11,936 -6 2 3 -5 .0 100 ,0 0 0 31,792 31,135 -657 -2 .1 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 70,292 6 9,635 -6 5 7 -0 .9 10 0 ,0 0 0 35,346 33,591 -1 ,7 5 5 -5 .0 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 88,457 83,924 -4 ,5 3 3 -5 -1 Property income: O ffic e o f the Secretary o f the Treasury February 13 $ 1981 Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Assumes deductible expenses equal to 23 percent of gross income. 2/ Tax rates reduced approximately 5 percent ■ 18 Table 9 Effect of the Administration's Proposed Tax Rate Reductions for 1981 Four-person Family (d o lla r s ) Wage income : : Tax l i a b i l i t y 1 / Present lav ) : Adm inistration*s : : proposal 2 / Change in tax l i a b i l i t y Amount Percentage >.) ( ...................................... $ 5 ,0 0 0 $ -5 0 0 $ -5 0 0 $ 0 ( . . percent . . . . ) 0.0% 1 0 ,0 0 0 374 348 -2 6 -7 .0 1 5 ,0 0 0 1,2 3 3 1,158 -7 5 -6 .1 2 0 ,0 0 0 2,0 1 3 1,899 -1 1 4 -5 .7 2 5 ,0 0 0 2,901 2 ,748 -1 5 3 -5 .3 3 0 ,0 0 0 3,917 3,726 -1 9 1 -4 .9 4 0 ,0 0 0 6 ,3 1 2 5 ,9 8 8 -3 2 4 * 5 .1 5 0 ,0 0 0 9 ,3 2 3 8,845 -4 7 8 -5 .1 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 27,878 26,958 -9 2 0 -3 .3 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 66,378 6 5 ,4 5 3 -9 2 0 -1 .4 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 28 ,3 1 8 2 6 ,918 -1 ,4 0 0 -4 .9 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 75,448 71,738 -3 ,7 1 0 -4 .9 Property income: O ffic e of the Secretary o f the Treasury ’ Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Assumes deductible expenses equal to 23 percent of gross Income. 2/ Tax rates reduced approximately 5 percent. 19 February 1 3 , 1981 Table 10 Effect of the Administration's Proposed Tax Rate Reductions for 1982 Single Individual (d o lla r s ) Wage income : : Tax l i a b i l i t y 1 / Present law ( ........................................ $ 5 ,0 0 0 $ j : A d m inistration's : : proposal 2 / : d olla rs .................................. . 250 $ 216 Change in tax l i a b i l i t y Amount | Percentage >•) ( . . percent . . . . ) $ -34 -1 3 .6 % 1 0 ,0 0 0 1,177 997 -1 8 0 -1 5 .3 1 5 ,0 0 0 2,047 1,7 3 1 -3 1 6 - 1 5 .4 2 0 ,0 0 0 3 ,115 2,645 -4 7 0 - 1 5 .1 2 5 ,0 0 0 4,3 6 4 3,716 -6 4 8 - 1 4 .8 3 0 ,0 0 0 5,7 1 8 4,869 -849 - 1 4 .8 4 0 ,0 0 0 8,886 7,542 -1 ,3 4 4 - 1 5 .1 5 0 ,0 0 0 12,559 10,676 -1 ,8 8 3 - 1 5 .0 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 31,792 29,376 -2 ,4 1 6 -7 .6 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 70,292 67,876 -2 ,4 1 6 -3 .4 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 35,346 30,188 -5 ,1 5 8 - 1 4 .6 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 88,457 75,636 -1 2 ,8 2 1 -1 4 .5 Property income: O ffic e o f the Secretary o f the Treasury February 13 f 1981 "Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Assumes deductible expenses equal to 23 percent of gross income. 27 Tax rates reduced approximately 15 percent- 20 Table 11 Effect of the Administration's Proposed Tax Rate Reductions for 1982 Four-person Family (d o lla r s ) Wage income : : Tax l i a b i l i t y Present lav 1/ | : A d m in istra tio n 's : : proposal 2 / : Change in *ta x l i a b i l i t y Percentage Amount .) ( ........................................ $ 5 ,0 0 0 $ -5 0 0 $ -5 0 0 $ 0 ( . . percent o.oz 1 0 ,0 0 0 374 322 -5 2 -1 3 .9 1 5 ,0 0 0 1 ,2 3 3 1 ,0 4 8 -1 8 5 -1 5 .0 2 0 ,0 0 0 2 ,0 1 3 1 ,7 1 3 -3 0 0 -1 4 .9 2 5 ,0 0 0 2,9 0 1 2 ,4 8 6 -4 1 5 - 1 4 .3 3 0 ,0 0 0 3,917 3 ,3 6 3 -554 - 1 4 .1 4 0 ,0 0 0 6 ,3 1 2 5 ,3 9 1 -9 2 1 - 1 4 .6 5 0 ,0 0 0 9 ,3 2 3 7 ,9 4 0 -1 ,3 8 3 - 1 4 .8 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 27,878 2 4,535 -3 ,3 4 3 - 1 2 .0 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 66,3 7 8 62,7 5 9 -3 ,6 1 9 -5 .5 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 2 8 ,3 1 8 24,347 -3 ,9 7 1 - 1 4 .0 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 75*448 6 4 ,7 3 9 -1 0 ,7 0 9 -1 4 .2 Property income: O ffic e o f the Secretary of the Treasury February 1 3 , 1981 Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Assumes deductible expenses equal to 23 percent of gross Income. 2/ Tax rates reduced approximately 15 percent. 21 Table 12 Effect of the Administration's Proposed Tax Rate Reductions for 1983 Single Individual (d o lla r s ) Wage income : : Tax l i a b i l i t y 1 / Present law | .'Adm inistration's : : proposal 2 / : Change in tax l i a b i l i t y • » .) ( ........................................ $ 5 ,0 0 0 | Amount $ 250 $ 193 $ -5 7 Percentage ( . . percent . -2 2 .8 % 1 0 ,0 0 0 1,177 874 -3 0 3 - 2 5 .7 1 5 ,0 0 0 2,047 1,53^ -516 -2 5 .2 2 0 ,0 0 0 3,115 2,334 -7 8 1 -2 5 .1 2 5 ,0 0 0 4,364 3,275 -1 ,0 8 9 -2 5 .0 3 0 ,0 0 0 5,7 1 8 4,3 0 3 -1 ,4 1 5 -2 4 .7 A 0 ,000 8,886 6,701 -2 ,1 8 5 - 2 4 .6 5 0 ,0 0 0 12,559 9,547 -3 ,0 1 2 -2 4 .0 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 31,792 27,029 -4 ,7 6 3 - 1 5 .0 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 70,292 65,459 -4 ,8 3 3 -6 .9 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 35,346 26 ,9 3 3 -8 ,4 1 3 -2 3 .8 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 88,457 67 ,2 9 3 -2 1 ,1 6 4 -2 3 .9 Property income: O ffic e o f the Secretary o f the Treasury February 13, 1981 Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Assumes deductible expenses equal to 23 percent of gross income. 2/ Tax rates reduced approximately 25 percent . 22 Table 13 Effect of the Administration's Proposed Tax Rate Reductions for 1983 Four-person Family (d o lla r s ) Wage Income : : j Tax l i a b i l i t y 1 / Present lav : Adm inistration*s : : proposal 2 / : Change In tax l i a b i l i t y ..) ( ........................................ $ 5 ,0 0 0 | Amount $ -5 0 0 $ -5 0 0 S 0 Percentage ( . . percent . . . . ) o.oz 1 0 ,0 0 0 374 291 -8 3 - 2 2 .2 1 5 ,0 0 0 1,233 952 -2 8 1 - 2 2 .8 2 0 ,0 0 0 2 ,0 1 3 1 ,5 4 9 -4 6 4 -2 3 .1 2 5 ,0 0 0 2 ,901 2,2 4 4 -6 5 7 -2 2 .6 3 0 ,0 0 0 3,917 3,045 -8 7 2 - 2 2 .3 4 0 ,0 0 0 6 ,312 4,8 6 2 - 1 ,4 5 0 - 2 3 .0 5 0 ,0 0 0 9 ,3 2 3 7,1 5 4 -2 ,1 6 9 - 2 3 .3 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 27,878 2 2 ,045 -5 ,8 3 3 -2 0 .9 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 66,378 5 8 ,1 7 9 - 8 ,1 9 9 - 1 2 .4 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 2 8 ,3 1 8 21,877 -6 ,4 4 1 - 2 2 .7 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 7 5 ,448 5 7 ,9 8 3 -1 7 ,4 6 5 -2 3 .1 Property income: O ffic e o f the Secretary o f the Treasury February 13* 1981 Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Assumes deductible expenses equal to 23 percent of gross Income. 2/ Tax rates reduced approximately 25 percent. 23 Table 14 Effect of the Administration's Proposed Tax Rate Reductions for 1984 Single Individual (d o lla r s ) Wage income : : Tax l i a b i l i t y 1 / Present law ( ........................................ $ 250 $ 176 Percentage Amount .) 1 5 ,0 0 0 : A dm inistration's : : proposal 2 / : d o lla rs .................................. Change In tax l i a b i l i t y </> $ \ ( . . percent ••••) - 2 9 . 6Z 1 0 ,0 0 0 1,177 812 -3 6 5 - 3 1 .0 1 5 ,0 0 0 2,047 1,4 6 9 -5 7 8 - 2 8 .2 2 0 ,0 0 0 3,115 2,234 -8 8 1 - 2 8 .3 2 5 ,0 0 0 4,364 3,136 - 1 ,2 2 8 - 2 8 .1 3 0 ,0 0 0 5,718 4,1 2 6 -1 ,5 9 2 - 2 7 .8 4 0 ,0 0 0 8,886 6,414 -2 ,4 7 2 - 2 7 .8 5 0 ,0 0 0 12,559 9 ,1 0 6 -3 ,4 5 3 - 2 7 .5 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 31,792 2 5,818 -5 ,9 7 4 - 1 8 .8 2 0 0 ,0 0 0 70,292 6 3 ,9 1 3 -6 ,3 7 9 -9 .1 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 35,346 25,726 -9 ,6 2 0 - 2 7 .2 200 ,0 0 0 88,457 6 3 ,8 1 3 -2 4 ,6 4 4 - 2 7 .9 Property income: O ffic e o f the Secretary o f the Treasury February 1 2 , 1981 Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Assumes deductible expenses equal to 23 percent of gross income. 2/ Tax rates reduced approximately 30 percent. 24 Table 15 Effect of the Administration's Proposed Tax Rate Reductions for 1984 Four-person Family (d o lla r s ) Wage income : : Tax l i a b i l i t y I t Present lav [ : Adm inistration1s : : proposal 2 / : Change in tax l i a b i l i t y Amount Percentage ,.) ( ..................................... S 5 ,0 0 0 $ -5 0 0 $ • sro $ 0 ( . . percent ••••) o .o z 1 0 ,0 0 0 374 265 -1 0 9 - 2 9 .1 1 5 ,0 0 0 1 ,2 3 3 876 -3 5 7 - 2 8 .9 2 0 ,0 0 0 2,013 1 ,4 3 5 -5 7 e - 2 8 .7 2 5 ,0 0 0 2, 9C1 2,092 -8 0 9 - 2 7 .9 3 0 ,0 0 0 3,917 2,854 -1 ,0 6 3 -2 7 .1 4 0 ,0 0 0 6,312 4,5 9 5 -1 ,7 1 7 - 2 7 .2 5 0 ,0 0 0 9 ,3 2 3 6 ,8 0 9 -2 ,5 1 4 - 2 7 .0 1 0 0 ,0 0 0 27,876 21,009 -6 ,8 6 9 -2 4 .6 200 ,0 0 0 66,3 7 6 5 5 ,6 0 3 -1 0 ,7 7 5 -1 6 .2 1 00,000 28,318 20,849 -7 ,4 6 9 -2 6 .4 200 ,0 0 0 75,448 55,4 1 5 -2 0 ,0 3 3 -2 6 .6 Property income: O ffice o f the Secretary of the Treasury February 1 2 , 1981 Office of Tax Analysis 1/ Assumes deductible expenses equal to 23 percent of gross income. 2/ Tax rates reduced approximately 30 percent. 25 ACCELERATED COST RECOVERY SYSTEM Present Law Personal P rop erty. Un:ler p r e s e n t l a w , t a x p a y e r s may c la im d e p r e c i a t i o n d e d u c tio n s for t a n g ib le p e rso n a l p r o p e r ty s u c h a s m a c h i n e r y ana e q u i p m e n t u s e d i n a t r a d e o r b u s i n e s s , i n c l u d i n g f o r l e a s e or r e n t a l . These d e d u c t i o n s a rc sp read o v e r th e e s t i m a t e d " u s e f u l l i f e " w h ich i s d e t e r m i n e d by th e p a r t i c u l a r " f a c t s and c i r c u m s t a n c e s " o f t h e a n t i c i p a t e d u s e o f t h e p r o p e r t y o r a c c o r d i n g t o a s y s t e m o f g u i d e l i n e s known a s the A s s e t D e p r e c ia t io n Range, or " A t P " , s y s te m . A t a x p a y e r c l a i m i n g d e p r e c i a t i o n on t h e b a s i s o f f a c t s a n d c i r c u m s t a n c e s m u s t e s t i m a t e t h e u s e f u l l i f e a nd s a l v a g e v a l u e f o r each item o f d e p r e c i a b l e p r o p e r t y . These e s t i m a t e s , a r e s u b j e c t to e x a m in a tio n by a u d i t i n g a g e n t s o f th e I n t e r n a l Revenue S e r v i c e . T h e ADR s y s t e m , e s t a b l i s h e d i n 1 9 7 1 , s e t s o u t u s e f u l l i v e s f o r c l a s s e s o f a s s e t s b a s e d upon t h e a c t i v i t y i n w h i c h t h e a s s e t s a r e used ( f o r e x a m p l e , m i n i n g , or m a n u f a c t u r e o f m a c h in e r y ) or a c c o r d in g to the ty p e o f a s s e t (e . g . , a u t o m o b ile s or o f f i c e f u r n i t u r e ) . A ta x p a y e r e l e c t i n g to use t h e ADR s y s t e m ma y r e l y o n t h e s e l i v e s w i t h o u t r e g a r d t o t h e p a r t i c u l a r f a c t s a nd c i r c u m s t a n c e s . F urther, taxpayers are p e r m itte d to choose u s e fu l l i v e s w ith in a range exten din g fro m 20 p e r c e n t s h o r t e r t o 20 p e r c e n t l o n g e r than th e e s t a b l i s h e d g u i d e l i n e fo r each c l a s s . W h e t h e r u s e f u l l i v e s a r e d e t e r m i n e d b y f a c t s and c i r c u m s t a n c e s o r b y ADR g u i d e l i n e s , t h e t a x p a y e r a l s o h a s a c h o i c e o f the "m eth od " o f d e p r e c i a t i o n . D epreciation d e d u c t i o n s may be c o m p u te d r a t a b l y o v e r t h e u s e f u l l i f e (the s t r a i g h t - l i n e method) or c e r t a i n a c c e l e r a t e d m ethods (su ch a s d e c l i n i n g b a l a n c e o r s u m - o f - y e a r s - d i g i t s ) may b e u s e d . A c c e l e r a t e d m ethods a l l o w l a r g e r d e d u c t i o n s in th e e a r l i e r y e a rs o f the u se fu l l i f e (and s m a l l e r d e d u c t i o n s l a t e r ) . Whe n p e r s o n a l p r o p e r t y i s r e t i r e d , s u c h a s b y s a l e o r e x c h a n g e , any g a in or l o s s , a s measured by the d i f f e r e n c e b e t w e e n t h e a m o u n t r e a l i z e d and t h e r e m a i n i n g u n d e p r e c i a t e d ( o r Ba d j u s t e d " ) b a s i s , i s u s u a l l y r e c o g n i z e d i m m e d i a t e l y a s o r d i n a r y incom e. Any g a i n in e x c e s s o f p r i o r d e p r e c i a t i o n d e d u c t i o n s w i l l g e n e r a l l y be ta x e d a t th e c a p i t a l g a i n s rates. L o s s e s r e a l i z e d are a llo w ed as o r d in a r y or c a p i t a l d e p e n d i n g on t h e n a t u r e and u s e o f t h e a s s e t . Real E s t a t e . P r e s e n t law a l s o a llo w s d e p r e c i a t i o n d e d u c tio n s for b u sin ess b u ild in g s . A set o f gu id elin e p e r i o d s o r f a c t s and c i r c u n s t a n c e s may b e u se d t o e s t a b l i s h recovery periods. G u i d e l i n e s ran ge from 2 5 y e a r s f o r farm b u i l d i n g s to 60 y e a r s fo r w areh ou ses. 26 I n s t e a d o f e s t i m a t i n g t h e o v e r a l l u s e f u l l i f e a nd s a l v a g e v a l u e o f a b u i l d i n g , t a x p a y e r s may s e p a r a t e l y d e p r e c i a t e i t s v a r io u s com ponents (e . g . , th e b u ild in g s h e l l , w ir in g , plu m b in g, r o o f , c e i l i n g , f l o o r i n g ) , i t i s not un co mmo n f o r a s i n g l e b u i l d i n g t o b e d i v i d e d i n t o m o r e t h a n 100 com pon en ts. New r e s i d e n t i a l r e n t a l b u i l d i n g s ma y b e d e p r e c i a t e d under th e d e c l i n i n g b a l a n c e method a t a r a t e o f up t o 2 0 0 p e r c e n t o f t h e s t r a i g h t - l i n e r a t e ( o r t h e s u m - o f - t h e - y e a r s d i g i t s m e t h o d may b e u s e d t o g i v e a p p r o x i m a t e l y t h e s a me r e s u l t ) . O t h e r new b u i l d i n g s ma y b e d e p r e c i a t e d u s i n g 1 5 0 p e r c e n t d e c l i n i n g b a l a n c e and u s e d r e s i d e n t i a l p r o p e r t i e s ma y u s e 1 2 5 p e r c e n t d e c l i n i n g b a l a n c e . E x p e n d i t u r e s f o r t h e r e h a b i l i t a t i o n o f c e r t a i n lo w income h o u s i n g a nd c e r t i f i e d h i s t o r i c s t r u c t u r e s m a y b e w r i t t e n - o f f over 5 y ea rs. Upon t h e d i s p o s i t i o n o f a b u i l d i n g , t h e t a x p a y e r i s r e q u i r e d t o r e c o g n i z e a s o r d i n a r y incom e any amount o f g a i n u p t o t h e d i f f e r e n c e b e t w e e n t h e a c c e l e r a t e d d e p r e c i a t i o n and t h e d e p r e c i a t i o n d e d u c t i o n s a l l o w a b l e under th e s t r a i g h t l i n e m ethod. An e x c e p t i o n i s p r o v i d e d f o r c e r t a i n t y p e s o f s u b s i d i z e d low-inc.orae h o u s i n g . G a i n s i n e x c e s s o f t h e amount r e c o g n i z e d a s o r d i n a r y income a r e t r e a t e d a s c a p i t a l g a i n s . As w i t h l e a s e d p e r s o n a l p r o p e r t y , r e a l e s t a t e d e p r e c i a t i o n in e x c e s s o f s t r a i g h t l i n e i s c o n s i d e r e d an i t e m o f t a x p r e f e r e n c e f o r p u r p o s e s o f t h e a d d - o n minimum t a x . R elated Investm ent C r e d it R u le s . The i n v e s t m e n t c r e d i t i s l e s s t h a n 1 0 p e r c e n t f o r e l i g i b l e p r o p e r t y w i t h an e x p e c te d u s e f u l l i f e o f l e s s than 7 y e a r s . No c r e d i t i s allow ed i f the expected u s e fu l l i f e i s l e s s than 3 y e a r s . If the u s e fu l l i f e i s b e t w e e n 3 and 5 y e a r s , a c r e d i t o f 3 - 1 / 3 p e r c e n t a p p l i e s ; i f the u s e fu l l i f e i s b e t w e e n 5 and 7 y e a r s , the c r e d it i s 6 - 2 /3 p e r c e n t. The i n v e s t m e n t c r e d i t i s n o t g e n e r a lly a v a ila b le for real e s t a t e . C u r r e n t la w a l s o r e q u i r e s t h e t a x p a y e r to r e p a y , or " r e c a p t u r e , " s o m e o r a l l o f t h e i n v e s t m e n t c r e d i t when p r o p e r t y i s d i s p o s e d o f b e f o r e t h e end o f t h e a n t i c i p a t e d useful l i f e . The e n t i r e c r e d i t i s r e c a p t u r e d i f a p r o p e r t y i s h e ld l e s s than 3 y e a r s . I f th e p r o p e r t y i s h e l d l e s s than 5 y e a r s , any c r e d i t o f more th a n 3 - 1 / 3 p e r c e n t i s r e c a p tu r e d a n d , s i m i l a r l y , c r e d i t ta k en in e x c e s s o f 6 - 2 / 3 p e r c e n t i s re ca p tu red for d i s p o s i t i o n s b e fo r e the seven th y e a r . 27 R easons f o r Change A c c e l e r a t i o n o f c a p i t a l a ll o w a n c e s i s a key measure to improve i n c e n t i v e s fo r b u s i n e s s in v e stm e n t a s a fo u n d a tio n f o r i n c r e a s e d p r o d u c t i v i t y and s u s t a i n e d e c o n o m i c g r o w t h . In r e ce n t y e a r s , the r e a l v a lu e o f d e p r e c ia tio n allow an ces has b e e n g r e a t l y e r o d e d b y i n f l a t i o n a t t h e s a me t i m e t h a t t h e c o u n t r y ' s c a p i t a l n e e d s h a v e beco m e more u r g e n t . Adoption o f t h i s p r o p o sa l w i l l reduce s u b s t a n t i a l l y th e burden o f F ed eral i n c o m e t a x e s o n t h e r e t u r n t o i n v e s t i n g i n b u s i n e s s p l a n t a nd equipm ent. T o g e t h e r w i t h o t h e r m e a s u r e s t o e n c o u r a g e w o r k and s a v i n g a nd t o r e d u c e t h e b u r d e n s o f F e d e r a l r e g u l a t i o n and govern m en t s p e n d in g , t h i s l e g i s l a t i o n w i l l p r o v id e the c o n d i t i o n s fo r in c r e a s e d c a p i t a l in v e stm e n t needed to p r o v id e j o b s and i m p r o v e t h e U . S . c o m p e t i t i v e p o s i t i o n i n w o r l d m arkets. T h e l o n g - t e r m e c o n o m i c s t r e n g t h o f t h e c o u n t r y and th e f u t u r e sta n d a rd o f l i v i n g o f i t s p e o p le depend i m p o r t a n t l y on t h i s p r o g r a m . The A c c e l e r a t e d C o s t R e c o v e r y S y ste m w i l l a l s o r e d u c e t h e b u r d e n o f a c c o u n t i n g a nd t a x p l a n n i n g f o r t a x p a y e r s a nd w i l l r e m o v e s o u r c e s o f d i s p u t e b e t w e e n t a x p a y e r s a nd t h e F ed eral Government. T h i s s y s t e m w i l l e l i m i n a t e muc h o f t h e c o m p l e x i t y o f d e p r e c i a t i o n r u l e s t h a t h a v e b u i l t up i n l a y e r s o v e r t h e y e a r s t h r o u g h c h a n g e s i n l a w , r e g u l a t i o n s , a nd ad m in istrative p r a c tic e . T he p r o p o s e d s y s t e m m a k e s a c l e a n break w ith most o f p r e se n t c o s t recovery p r o v is io n s and, y e t , i s b u i l t o n f a m i l i a r c o n c e p t s and d e f i n i t i o n s . I n t h e new s y s t e m , c l a s s e s o f c a p i t a l a s s e t s a r e b r o a d a nd w e l l d e f i n e d ; c o s t r e c o v e r y p e r i o d s a n d a c c o u n t i n g r u l e s a r e c e r t a i n a nd stan d ard ized . 28 G en era l E x p la n a tio n The A c c e l e r a t e d C o s t R e c o v e r y System w i l l p r o v i d e f o r f a s t e r w r i t e - o f f o f c a p i t a l e x p e n d i t u r e s by means o f s i m p l i f i e d and s t a n d a r d i z e d r u l e s . The s y s t e m w i l l r e p l a c e th e p r e s e n t com plex p r o v i s i o n s fo r d e t e r m i n a t io n o f d e p r e c ia tio n allow an ces. It su b stitu te s e a s ily identifed c l a s s e s , each w ith a standard sc h e d u le o f d e d u c tio n s to be taken over a fix e d reco v ery p e r io d . T he p r o p o s e d l e g i s l a t i o n a d o p t s t h e n o w - f a m i l i a r 1 0 - 5 - 3 c o n c e p t f o r m a c h i n e r y and e q u i p m e n t u se d in b u s i n e s s and f o r o w n e r - o c c u p i e d s t r u c t u r e s u s e d f o r m a n u f a c t u r i n g and d i s t r i b u t i o n . In a d d i t i o n , a u d i t - p r o o f l i v e s a r e p r o v i d e d f o r two c l a s s e s o f r e a l estate. B r i e f d e s c r i p t i o n s o f t h e 3 - , 5 - , a nd 1 0 - y e a r c l a s s e s summarize th e e s s e n t i a l s o f th e s y s t e m . o 3 -y ea r p r o p e r ty . T h i s c l a s s c o n s i s t s o f a u t o s and l i g h t t r u c k s p l u s m a c h i n e r y and e q u i p m e n t u s e d i n r e s e a r c h and d e v e l o p m e n t a c t i v i t i e s . Expenditures f o r t h e s e a s s e t s w i l l be w r i t t e n - o f f in t h r e e y e a r s a c c o r d i n g t o an a c c e l e r a t e d s c h e d u l e — 33 p e r c e n t in t h e f i r s t y e a r , 4 5 p e r c e n t in t h e s e c o n d , and 2 2 p e r c e n t in th e t h i r d . An i n v e s t m e n t c r e d i t o f 6 p e r c e n t w i l l a l s o a p p l y t o t h i s c l a s s , an i n c r e a s e o f 2 - 2 / 3 p e r c e n ta g e p o i n t s over th e p r e s e n t law fo r p r o p e r t y w r i t t e n - o f f in t h r e e y e a r s . o 5-year p rop erty . A l l o t h e r o u t l a y s f o r m a c h i n e r y a nd eq u ip m en t, in c lu d in g p u b li c u t i l i t y p r o p e r ty w ith p r e s e n t g u i d e l i n e l i v e s o f 16 y e a r s or l e s s , a re a s s ig n e d to a 5 -y e a r c l a s s . A fter a ph ase-in p erio d , a d d i t i o n s to t h i s c l a s s w i l l be w r i t t e n - o f f a cco rd in g t o an a c c e l e r a t e d 5 - y e a r s c h e d u l e — 20 p e r c e n t in t h e y e a r a c q u i r e d , and t h e n i n s u c c e e d i n g y e a r s 32 p e r c e n t , 24 p e r c e n t , 1 6 p e r c e n t , and 8 p e r c e n t o f origin al c o st. The f u l l 1 0 p e r c e n t i n v e s t m e n t c r e d i t w i l l be a llow ed fo r t h i s c l a s s . o 10-year p r o p e r ty . Factory b u ild in g s , r e t a il s to r e s , and w a r e h o u s e s u s e d b y t h e i r o w n e r s , and p u b l i c u t i l i t y p r o p e r t y fo r which p r e s e n t g u i d e l i n e s e xce ed 18 y e a r s w i l l be w r i t t e n - o f f o v e r 10 y e a r s . The annual sequence o f d e d u ctio n s for t h i s c l a s s i s a ls o a ccelera ted — 10 p e r c e n t , 18 p e r c e n t , 16 p e r c e n t , 14 p e r c e n t , 12 p e r c e n t , 10 p e r c e n t , 8 p e r c e n t , 6 p e r c e n t , 4 p e r c e n t , and 2 p e r c e n t . As u n d e r p r e s e n t l a w , th e 10 p e r c e n t i n v e s t m e n t c r e d i t a p p l i e s to p u b l i c u t i l i t y p r o p e r t y in t h i s c l a s s , b u t i s n o t g e n e r a lly a v a ila b le for re a l p ro p e rty . 29 real a lik e value A u d it-p roof estate. lives are prescribed for other cla sses of ° 15-year l i f e . N o n -re sid e n tia l s tr u c tu r e s not i n c l u d e d i n t h e 1 0 - y e a r c l a s s a nd l o w - i n c o m e r e n t a l h o u sin g w i l l be w r i t t e n - o f f in 15 y e a r s by the s t r a i g h t - l i n e method. T his treatm ent a p p lie s to each b u ild in g as a com posite. o 18-year l i f e . Other r e s i d e n t i a l s t r u c t u r e s fo r r e n t a l , such a s apartm ent b u i l d i n g s , w i l l each be w r i t t e n - o f f , a s a c o m p o s i t e , o v er 18 y e a r s a c c o r d in g to the s t r a i g h t - l i n e m ethod. U nlike p rese n t la w , a l l o f t o new a n d u s e d p r o p e r t y , is required. the and c o s t r e c o v e ry r u l e s app ly no e s t i m a t e o f s a l v a g e Accounting r u l e s . An a s s e t a c q u i r e d a t a n y t i m e i n t h e t a x y e a r i s a d d e d t o t h e " v i n t a g e " a c c o u n t f o r i t s c l a s s and kept in t h a t a cc o u n t u n t i l f u l l y w r i t t e n - o f f or r e t i r e d . A " h a l f - y e a r c o n v e n tio n " for the year o f a c q u i s i t i o n i s b u i l t - i n to the r e c o v e r y s c h e d u le . Gain or l o s s i s g e n e r a l l y r e c o g n i z e d on d i s p o s i t i o n o f an a s s e t . G a i n s on p r o p e r t y f o r c l a s s e s w i t h a c c e l e r a t e d r e c o v e r y ( t h e 3 - , 5 - , and 1 0 - y e a r c l a s s e s ) w i l l g e n e r a l l y be r e c o g n i z e d a s o r d i n a r y income t o the e x t e n t o f p r i o r a l l o w a n c e s . H o w e v e r , no o r d i n a r y i n c o m e r e c a p t u r e a p p l i e s t o t h e 1 5 - a nd 1 8 - y e a r , s t r a i g h t - l i n e recovery c la s s e s . T a x p a y e r s must p a y b a c k , or " r e c a p t u r e , " a portion o f t h e i n v e s t m e n t c r e d i t i n t h e c a s e o f e a r l y r e t i r e m e n t s up t o t h e f i f t h y e a r t h a t an a s s e t i s h e l d . In t h e s e c a s e s , t h e t a x p a y e r may k e e p a c r e d i t o f 2 p e r c e n t f o r e a c h f u l l y e a r t h e p r o p e r t y i s h e l d , up t o t h e a m o u n t o f c r e d i t o r i g i n a l l y claim ed . P h ase-in p e r io d . T he 5 - , 1 0 - , a n d 1 5 - y e a r r e c o v e r y p e rio d are p h a sed -in over a 5 -y e a r p e rio d . However, the i n v e s t m e n t c r e d i t r u l e s , t h e 3 - y e a r r e c o v e r y p e r i o d , and t h e 1 8 -y e a r a u d i t - p r o o f l i v e s w i l l b e g in w ith the e f f e c t i v e d a t e . E ffective Date The A c c e l e r a t e d C o s t R e c o v e ry f o r p r o p e r t y a c q u ir e d or p l a c e d in 1980. 30 System w i l l be e f f e c t i v e s e r v i c e a f t e r December 3 1 , A ccelerated Cost Technical Recovery System F xplanation SumTT'ary The P d jr.in istr a tio n 's A ccelerated Cost Recovery System ("A C R S") provides accelerated recovery of capita] costs of m a c h i n e r y and e q u i p m e n t and c e r t a i n i n d u s t r i a l and c o m m e r c i a l b u ild in g s over a period o f 3, r o r 10 y e a r s . A d d ition ally, the program p rovid es sh orten ed , eu^it p roof recovery p e rio d s for other d ep reciable real property. ACRS s t a n d a r d i z e s t a x accoun ting r u l e s by d e f i n i n g easily id en tifiab le cla sse s of a sse ts and p rescrib in g standard recovery period s and a c c o u n t in g methods fo r th e se c l a s s e s . It a ls o d iv o r c e s the cap ital r e c o v e r y p e r i o d from t h e c o n c e p t o f u s e f u l l i f e , a nd e lim in a te s costly and tim e consum ing d isp u tes betw een t a x p a y e r s and t h e I n t e r n a l R evenue S e r v i c e o v e r t h o s e u s e f u l liv e s. ACRS i s a p p l i c a b l e f o r c a p i t a l i n v e s t m e n t ma de a f t e r D e c e m b e r ?1 , 1 9 8 0 . I. 10-5-3 for 3. Coverage Equipment and C ertain Real Property G en erally, the 10, 5 and 3 year cla sses includ e a ll ta n g ib le personal property used in a trade or bu siness or h eld for the p rod u ction of incom e, and ow n er-occu p ied in d u stria l structures a nd d i s t r i b u t i o n fa c ilitie s. P u b lic u t i l i t y p r o p e r t y i s a l s o c o v e r e d , but o n ly i f a n o r m a l i z a t i o n method o f accounting is used. No d i s t i n c t i o n i s made un de r the proposal betw een new and used property. Bowever, separate recovery periods and m ethods are prescribed for foreign a sse ts. The s y s t e m d o e s n o t i n c l u d e p r o p e r t y t h a t i s p r o p e r l y a m o r t i z e d ( i n l i e u o f d e p r e c i a t i o n ) or p r o p e r t y t h a t i s d e p r e c i a t e d under a method not e x p r e s s e d in te r m s o f y e a r s (such a s th e un it o f p rod u ction m eth o d ), except th a t a s s e ts d ep reciated under the retirem en t-rep la cem en t-b etterm en t m e t h o d a r e i n c l u d e d i n ACRS. The system is m andatory w ith respect to the included a s s e ts . A cco rd in g ly , ADR and fa cts and circu m stan ces d e p r e c i a t i o n w i l l no l o n g e r a p p l y . 31 2. C la s s e s . ACRS e s t a b l i s h e s t h r e e real property, each having f o l 1ow s: 10-year c l a s s e s f o r e q u i p m e n t and c e r t a i n a d ifferen t recovery p eriod , as property — In du strial structures, retail and w h olesale d is t r ib u t io n f a c i l i t i e s , (in clu d in g th eir structural com ponents) used by th eir owners, a nd p u b l i c u tility p r o p e r t y w i t h an ADP G u i d e l i n e P e r i o d a s o f J a n u a r y 1 , 1 9 8 3 o f g r e a t e r th an 18 y e a r s . 5 -y ea r property — T angible personal property 3 -y e a r or 1 0 -y e a r p r o p e r t y . other 3-y ea r property — A utom obiles, ligh t duty tr u c k s , m a c h i n e r y and e q u i p m e n t u s e d f o r r e s e a r c h developm ent. than and and C a p i t a l i n v e s t m e n t made d u r i n g t h e t a x a b l e y e a r i s c l a s s i f i e d among t h e s e t h r e e c a t e g o r i e s a nd t h e a g g r e g a t e i n v e s t m e n t i n each cla ss is recovered over the prescribed period. As described below , these recovery p erio d s are e f f e c t i v e after ACRS i s f u l l y p h a s e d - i n . 3. Recovery allow ance The recovery allow ance is computed under a ccelerated method p rin cip les. When fu lly p h ased -in , (as described b e l o w ) , th e r e c o v e r y p e r c e n ta g e s in the fo llo w in g t a b l e w i l l a p p ly . These p e r c e n ta g e s approxim ate th e a p p l i c a t i o n o f th e d o u b l e d e c l i n i n g b a l a n c e m e t h o d (DDP) f o r t h e f i r s t y e a r , a nd the su m -o f-y e a rs-d ig its method (SYD) over the rem ainder of the recovery period. To d e t e r m i n e the recovery allow an ce, th e s e p e rc en ta g e s are a p p lied a g a in st the o r i g i n a l unadjusted b a s i s o f the p r o p e r ty . P ull recovery i s g e n e r a lly concluded in ten , five, and t h r e e taxable years, resp ectively. The amount of recovery allow an ce is not reduced to reflect salvage va lu e . 32 Tabl e Ow nership Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 C lass 10-year 10% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 100% 4. H a lf-y ea r o f Investm ent 5-year 3-year 20% 33% 32% 45% 24% 22% 16% 8% 100% 100% convention Present law p r o v i d e s v a r i o u s averaging conventions for p u r p o s e s o f com puting d e p r e c i a t i o n for the year i n w h i c h an asset is acquired. These c o n v e n tio n s a llo w a f u l l year, a h a lf-y ea r, or no d e p r e c i a t i o n depending on the convention c h o s e n a nd t h e t i m i n g o f the a c q u i s i t i o n . ACRS a d o p t s t h e h a lf-y e a r convention. Thus, the reco v e ry p ercen tage fo r the f i r s t year provides for a h a l f - y e a r 's d e p rec ia tio n reg a rd less o f when d u r i n g t h e y e a r t h e a s s e t is acquired. No r e c o v e r y a llo w a n c e i s p rovid ed in the year o f d i s p o s i t i o n . 5• G ain or loss on d isp o sitio n s or other retirem ents Upon d i s p o s i t i o n or o t h e r r e t i r e m e n t o f an a s s e t , g a i n or loss is recogn ized . Cain reflectin g prior recovery a l l o w a n c e s i s ta x e d a s o r d i n a r y income ( s e c t i o n 1245 r u l e s ) . U nlike prior law (section 1250), there is no p r e f e r e n t i a l r e c a p t u r e r u le fo r b u i l d i n g s in the 1 0 -y e a r c l a s s . Sp ecial ru les are provided for taxpayers who d e a l in m a s s a s s e t s a n d who ma y f i n d i t burdensome to keep tr a c k o f sp ecific assets. T h e s e t a x p a y e r s ma y m a k e no a d j u s t m e n t t o th eir records to r e f l e c t d i s p o s i t i o n s a nd may i n s t e a d treat a l l r e a l i z e d p roc e ed s as o r d in a r y incom e. 33 6. Increase in Carryover Period A m a n d a t o r y s y s t e m o f a c c e l e r a t e d a l l o w a n c e s ma y r e s u l t in increased net operating lo sses ( NOLs) or low er cred its used fo r c e r t a i n ta x p a y e r s — e s p e c i a l l y new b u s i n e s s e s w i t h start up l o s s e s . For t h e s e t a x p a y e r s t h e NOLs a nd c r e d i t s may e x p i r e u n u s e d a f t e r t h e p r e s e n t 7 - y e a r c a r r y o v e r p e r i o d . For th is reason, the proposal in creases the NOL and i n v e s t m e n t c r e d i t c a r r y o v e r p e r i o d s from s e v e n t o t e n y e a r s . 7. P la ced -in -serv ice ru les m odified Under the p ro p o sa l, investm ent in property w ith a c o n s t r u c t i o n p e r i o d o f two y e a r s o r more q u a l i f i e s fo r both the 'in v e s tm e n t tax cred it a nd recovery allow ance at the earlier of the date the taxpayer makes payments for the construction of the property or the date the property is p l a c e d in s e r v i c e . Thus, for p r o p e r ty w ith long c o n s t r u c t io n t i m e s , t h e i n v e s t m e n t t a x c r e d i t and c o m m e n c e m e n t o f r e c o v e r y a llo w a n c e are g e n e r a l l y a v a i l a b l e im m ed ia tely w ith r e s p e c t to the funds expended in the current year to construct the p rop erty rather than b e in g d e la y e d t o th e y ea r in which th e p r o p e r t y i s p l a c e d in s e r v i c e . H o w e v e r , t h e amount on w h ic h the investm ent tax cred it and the recovery allow ance are c o m p u t e d may n o t e x c e e d t h e p o r t i o n o f the o v e r a ll cost of con stru ction which is attrib u tab le to the portion of the con stru ction com pleted by the end of the taxable year. T a x p a y ers w ith p u b l i c u t i l i t y p r o p e r ty are g iv e n a one tim e e l e c t i o n to c o n t i n u e under th e p r i o r p l a c e d - i n - s e r v i c e r u l e s o r t o u s e t h e more l i b e r a l r u l e s p r o v i d e d under t h e p r o p o s a l . 8. Special a . PuJes E arnings and p rofits Under present law (section 312(k)), for purposes of com puting the earnings and p rofits of a corporation , the allow an ce for d epreciation is the amount allow ab le if the stra ig h t-lin e method were used. For th is purpose, the a p p lica b le life includ es t h e 20 p e r c e n t v a r i a t i o n p e r m i t t e d under ADR. T his p rovision was enacted to prevent the d istrib u tio n of ta x -fre e d ivid en d s from a cc e le ra te d d ep reciation . 34 To prevent ACFS from being used by corporations to g e n e ra te d iv id e n d s th at are tax free to th eir shareh old ers, the prop osal provides a sp ecial set of recovery allow an ces f o r e a r n i n g s a nd p r o f i t s p u r p o s e s . These recovery allow ances a r e d e te r m in e d by m o d if y in g t h e r e c o v e r y p e r i o d and m e t h o d . The m o d i f i e d r e c o v e r y p e r i o d s a r e 30 y e a r s f o r r e a l p r o p e r t y , 20 y e a r s f o r 1 0 - y e a r p e r s o n a l property, 10 y e a r s f o r 5-year property, and 5 y e a r s f o r 3 - y e a r p r o p e r t y . As un der p r e s e n t law , the straigh t lin e r e c o v e r y method is used over these periods. T h u s , t h e e a r n i n g s and p r o f i t s a l l o w a n c e s a r e : for r e a l p r o p e r t y , 3.33% per y e a r ; fo r 1 0 - y e a r p e r so n a l p r o p e r t y , 5 percent; for 5-year property, 10 p e r c e n t ; a nd f o r 3-y ea r p r o p e r t y , 20 p e r c e n t . b. Foreign assets a nd minimum tax P r e s e n t law p r o v i d e s t h a t a s s e t s u se d o u t s i d e t h e U n it e d S t a t e s may b e a s s i g n e d g u i d e l i n e liv es u n d e r ADP. However, the 20 percent variation is not a p p lica b le. A ccelerated dep reciation is g e n e ra lly perm itted for foreign a s s e t s over the a p p lic a b le l i v e s . T h e minimum t a x p r o v i s i o n s of present law (section 57 (a) (3)) provide th a t, fo r n o n -c o r p o r a t e l e s s o r s , the e x c e s s of a ccelera ted over straigh t lin e depreciation on leased person al property is a tax p r e fe r e n c e item . As in t h e c a s e of assets used outside the U nited States, the 20 percent variation allow ed g e n e r a lly u n d e r ADP i s not a p p l i c a b l e in c o m p u t i n g s t r a i g h t l i n e r e c o v e r y f o r minimum t a x p u r p o s e s . C o n sisten t w ith the sp ecia l d ep recia tio n ru les of present law , the m o d ifie d recovery periods o f 30 y e a r s for real property, 20 years for 10-year personal property, 10 years for 5-year property, and 5 y e a r s for 3-y ea r property w ill also apply to re co v e ry o f investm ent in f o r e i g n a s s e t s a n d f o r m i ni m u m t a x p u r p o s e s . ' A l s o , t h e s t r a i g h t l i n e m e t h o d w i l l be u s e d . 9. Investm ent a. tax cred it G en erally ACRS character retain s the ru les of present law governing the o f property e l i g i b l e for the investm ent tax c r e d it 35 (IT C ). I t d o e s , h o w e v e r , c h a n g e t h e r u l e s w h i c h m a ke u s e f u l life d eterm in ative o f e l i g i b i l i t y for, a nd w h i c h p e r t a i n t o recapture o f , that c r e d it . Under ACPS, a fu ll regular ten percen t investm ent tax cred it is allow ed for a ll e lig ib le 10-y ea r and 5 -y e a r p e r s o n a l p r o p e r t y a nd a s i x p e r c e n t c r e d i t i s a l l o w e d f o r a l l e l i g i b l e 3-year p rop erty . Conform ing r u l e s are p r o v id e d w ith r e s p e c t t o t h e FSOP a n d e n e r g y c r e d i t s . E lig ib le property is the same as under p r e s e n t law . Thus, the c r e d i t does not a pp ly to 10-year real property other than su b stan tially reh ab ilitated s t r u c t u r e s w ith r e s p e c t to which th e c r e d i t i s a llo w e d under p r e s e n t la w . A c c o r d i n g l y , u n d e r ACRS t h e a m o u n t o f c r e d i t no l o n g e r depends upon the estim ated useful life of the property. However, if the p ro p e rty i s not held for at le a s t one f u l l year after it is placed in service, the en tire cred it is recaptured. F o r 1 0 - y e a r and 5 - y e a r p r o p e r t y , 8 0 , 6 0 , 4 0 , o r 20 p e r c e n t o f th e c r e d i t is recaptured if the a s s e t i s not held for at least tw o, three, four, or five fu ll years, resp ectively. For 3 - y e a r p r o p e r t y , t h e r e c a p t u r e p e r c e n t a g e s a r e 6 7 and 33 p e r c e n t f o r a f a i l u r e t o h o l d f o r two o r t h r e e fu ll years, resp ectively. b. A pp lication o* at risk ru les Under present law (section 465) , a taxpayer may n o t d e d u c t l o s s e s f r o m an a c t i v i t y i n e x c e s s o f a m o u n t s a t r i s k . To lim it the use of ACPS in h igh ly leveraged tax sh elter a ctiv ities, the proposal extends the at risk ru les to the i n v e s t m e n t c r e d i t a l l o w e d u n d e r A CR S . 10. Repeal of section 179 ACPS provides su b stan tial ben efits to sm all bu siness stem m ing from the more lib era l recovery allow an ces and i n v e s t m e n t c r e d i t p r o v i d e d and f r o m t h e s i m p l i f i c a t i o n o f t h e system g en era lly . A ccord in gly, section 179 of the Code, providing for add itional first year dep reciation , w ill not con tinue to o ffe r s i g n i f i c a n t advantages a f t e r the enactm ent o f the p r o p o sa l. Thus, the prop osal p ro v id e s fo r repeal o f sectio n 179. 36 11. E f f e c t i v e d a te and t r a n s i t i o n r u le s ACPS a p p l i e s g e n e r a l l y t o p r o p e r t y p l a c e d i n s e r v i c e b y the taxpayer after December 31 , 1980. A special ru le is provided to prevent prop erty placed in s e r v i c e b e fo r e th a t date from b e in g b ro u g h t w i t h i n the system by post-D ecem ber 3 1 , 1980 t r a n s a c t i o n s between r e l a t e d t a x p a y e r s . A f i v e year p h a s e -i n a p p l i e s to the re c o v e ry a llo w a n c e s for 10-year a nd 5 - y e a r p r o p e r t y . A ll p rov isio n s pertain ing to 3-year property w ill begin w ith the effective date, as w i l l t h e t e n p e r c e n t i n v e s t m e n t c r e d i t f o r t h e 1 0 - and 5 - y e a r c la sse s. The p h a s e in o f t h e 5 - y e a r c l a s s i s b a s e d on t h e p r e s e n t ADP g u i d e l i n e cla sses a nd l i v e s . For 1981, m a c h i n e r y and equipm ent w i l l be a s s i g n e d to five su b classes according to the fo llo w in g ta b le : S h o r t e s t ADP l i f e 9 or more y e a r s 8 or 8 . 5 y e a r s 7 or 7 .5 years 6 or 6 . 5 y e a r s 5 . 5 or few er y e a r s Recovery 9 8 7 6 5 period The a ccelera ted recovery sch ed u le a p p lie s to each recovery p eriod as under the proposal g en e ra lly . The re co v e ry schedule is b a s e d on s i m i l a r m e t h o d s u s e d for the fu lly p h a sed -in sch edu le, i . e . , double declin in g balance, w i t h a h a l f - y e a r c o n v e n t i o n , f o r t h e f i r s t y e a r , a nd s u m - o f th e-years d igits for the rem ainder o f the re covery p e r io d . For assets placed in service between 1981 a nd 1985 the recovery period fo r each s u b c la s s is red u ced , but not below five years, in one y e a r increm ents. T h u s , an a s s e t o f the type now w r i t t e n off over eigh t years that is acquired in 1 9 8 4 w i l l be w r i t t e n o f f o v e r f i v e y e a r s a t r a t e s r e f l e c t i n g t h e DDB/SYD m e t h o d . For a s s e t s in t h e 10-year cla ss acquired in 1 9 8 1 , the recovery period is 18 y e a r s . For a s s e t s acquired in each s u c c e e d in g y e a r , the p e r io d i s reduced a n n u a lly in in crem en ts of two y e a r s u n til the ten year period is estab lish ed for a cq u isition s i n 1 9 8 5 and t h e r e a f t e r . A gain, an a c c e l e r a t e d rate schedule b a s e d on t h e DDB/SYD « e t h o d ap p lies to these p h a se-in recovery p erio d s. 37 The schedule of p h ase-in rates for the 10-year and 5 -y ea r cla sse s is set forth in the appendix. However, a sp ecial ru le is provided to m a ke the tran sition period sim pler for sm all bu sinesses. Thus, under the p rop osal, during the tran sition period $ 10 0,00 0 of add itions to the cap ital account for 5-year property w ill be s u b j e c t to the fu ll f i v e year recovery ra te im m ediately. As a r e s u l t , for such in v e s tm e n t th e b o o k k ee p in g g e n e r a l l y r e q u i r e d under th e s l i d i n g s c a l e t r a n s i t i o n r u l e s w i l l n o t be n e c e s s a r y . I I . A udit Proof L ives for Peal Estate T h e ACPS p r o p o s a l also sim p lifies and a c c e l e r a t e s the recovery allow an ces for real estate not included in the 10-year cla ss. These ru les elim in a te the costly a nd tim e c o n s u m i n g d i s p u t e s t h a t p r e s e n t l y a r i s e b e t w e e n t a x p a y e r s and the Internal Revenue S ervice over the usefu l liv es of b u ild in g s, and sim p lify real estate cost recovery and c o l l a t e r a l a r e a s such as component d e p r e c i a t i o n . A t t h e same t i m e , t h e t a x b u r d e n on r e a l e s t a t e i n v e s t m e n t i s r e d u c e d . Thus th e p r o p o s a l e s t a b l i s h e s m andatory r e c o v e r y p e r i o d s for real estate a nd a l l s t r u c t u r a l com ponents which a re not s u b j e c t to c h a l l e n g e by th e I n t e r n a l Revenue S e r v i c e . Cost r e c o v e r y o f th e in v e stm e n t w i l l be o v er th e s p e c i f i e d p e r io d on a s t r a i g h t l i n e b a s i s . C o n s is te n t w ith t h i s s t r a i g h t l i n e recovery approach, ordinary income recapture on sales and minimum tax exposure have been elim in ated . The recovery p e r io d s provided fo r the d i f f e r e n t c l a s s e s o f re a l e s t a t e are as fo llo w s : o I n d u s t r i a l and c o m m e r c i a l b u i l d i n g s n o t i n c l u d e d in the 1 0 -y e a r 1 0 - 5 - 3 c l a s s (i.e . leased in d u strial stru ctu res, r e ta il, and w h olesale d istrib u tio n f a c i l i t i e s , and a l l o f f i c e b u i l d i n g s ) — 15 y e a r s . o Low o Other incom e housing resid en tial — real 15 years. estate — 18 years. These p r o v is io n s a pp ly g e n e r a l l y fo r p rop erty acquired o r p l a c e d in s e r v i c e a f t e r December 3 1 , 1 9 8 0 . The p r o v i s i o n s p ertain ing to the 18-year cla ss are effective im m ediately, w h i le a t h r e e year ph ase in a p p l i e s to th e 1 5 - y e a r c l a s s e s . 38 For these latter cla sses, assets acquired in 1981 w ritten o ff over 18 y e a r s , those acquired in 1982 y e a r s , and t h o s e a c q u i r e d i n 1 9 8 3 o v e r 15 y e a r s . For foreign real property and for determ inin g e a r n i n g s a nd p r o f i t s , the reco v e ry y e a r s , and t h e m ethod i s s t r a i g h t l i n e . 39 w ill over be 16 purposes period is of 30 Appendix Recovery P e rc en t ag e s During P h e s e - i n Period Ownership Year Recovery Period 18 16 % 14 12 7% 7 1 4% 20 22 25 14 .1 7 19 2^ 11 13 15 16 16 ] 0 13 12 1 2 12 10 9 8 6 4 6 2 11 12 14 15 3 10 I7 77 10 8 % ] 1 4 9 5 9 9 6 8 9 9 10 7 7 8 8 8 7 8 7 7 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 3 10 5 5 5 4 n 5 5 4 3 2 4 4 •j 1 13 4 3 2 ]4 3 2 1 35 2 2 16 2 1 i 8 i 3% % 1 6 9 % 17 *18 1 100% 100% 100% 100% 40 100% 100% 100% THE WHITE HOUSE Office of the Press Secretary EMBARGOED FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION UNTIL 4:00 P.M. (E.S.T.) AND EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE UNTIL 9 P.M. (E.S.T.), W ednesday, February 1 8 ,1981 February 18,1981 FACT SHEET President Reagan’s Initiatives to Reduce Regulatory Burdens Summary: President Reagan today announced the details of a far-reaching program to reduce the burden of Federal regulations and paperwork, and to reduce the intrusion of the Federal Government into our daily lives. BACKGROUND . During the campaign, President Reagan promised swift action to ea se the economic burden of government regulation. . Previous administrations have instituted programs to manage the regulatory process. But, despite these measures, regulations have continued to proliferate, often based on inadequate analysis of the costs and benefits that would result • During the last month of the Carter Administration, regulatory agencies in the Executive Branch issued more than 150 final regulations. Of these so-called "Midnight Regulations," over 100 were scheduled to becom e effective within the next 60 days. Many of these new regulations impose substantial new burdens on the economy. • Often, the high cost of regulatory compliance is due to the cumulative effect on an industry of many agencies’ rules, rather than to a single major rule. For example, at least five Federal agencies directly regulate the auto industry, and these five agencies are now considering more than 50 significant new auto rules. « This year, the Federal government is forcing Americans to spend over a billion hours providing information to the government. ACTIONS TAKEN SINCE JANUARY 20 Since taking office on January 20th, the President has taken a number of actions as a part of a broad effort to free the econom y, wherever feasible, of the hidden tax of complying with Federal rules and paperwork requirements which do not contribute to the public welfare. This effort will also seek to assure that regulations essential to the goal of protecting the public health and safety achieve their goal in the most efficient manner. 1. Task Force on Regulatory Relief President Reagan announced the creation of a Presidential Task Force on Regulatory Relief on January 22, 1981. It is chaired by the Vice President. The other members are the Secretary of the Treasury, the Attorney General, the Secretary of Commerce, the Secretary of Labor, the Director of the Office of Management and Budget, the Assistant to the President for Policy Development, and the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers. This Task Force has ongoing responsibilities which will be reinforced by the President's Executive Order on Federal Regulation. The Task Force will: • Review major regulatory proposals by executive branch agencies, especially those proposals that would appear to have major policy significance or where there is overlapping jurisdiction among agencies. • A ssess executive branch regulations already on the books, especially those that are burdensome to the national economy or to key industrial sectors. • Oversee the development of legislative proposals in response to Congressional timetables (e.g., the Clean Air Act must be reauthorized this year), and codify the President's views on the appropriate role and objectives of regulatory agencies. • Seek to increase public awareness of regulations and their regulatory expenditures that do not show up in the Federal budget. • Make recommendations to the President on regulatory personnel and how to reform regulation through Executive Orders, agency actions, and legislative changes. impact, including 2. Termination of CW PS’s W aoe-Price Program On January 29, President Reagan issued Executive Order 1 2 2 8 8 terminating the Council on W a g e and Price Stability’s wage-price standards program. The Council on W age and Price Stability (CW PS) was created in 1974 to study and encourage wage and price restraint, monitor inflation in the economy, encourage productivity, and review the inflationary impact of government programs and regulations. In 1978, President Carter directed CW PS to establish a program of "voluntary" wage and price standards. The Office of Federal Procurement Policy w as ordered to issue regulations denying Federal contracts to violators of these standards. The C W P S staff grew from approximately 5 0 to 2 3 8 in 1979. A s of January 2 0 , 1981, employment was 170. The C W P S program of wage-price standards proved ineffective in halting the rising rate of inflation. It proved to b e an unnecessary burden on labor and industry, and a waste of taxpayers’ money. About $ 1 .5 million will b e saved in 1981 by this action, employment in the Executive Office of the President will be reduced by about 135 people, and Federal requirements that businesses submit voluminous reports will b e ended. Com panies spent som e $ 3 0 0 million to comply with the reporting requirements alone of this program (more than 5 ,0 0 0 company reports were submitted to CWPS). C W P S ’s small regulatory staff will work closely with OMB and the Presidential Task Force on Regulatory Relief to carry out the program of regulatory relief. 3. Postponement of Pending Regulations On January 29, President Reagan requested the heads of 12 departments and agencies, to the extent permitted by law, to postpone the effective d a te s of regulations that otherwise would have b ecom e effective before March 29 and refrain from issuing any new final regulations during this sam e 60-day period. This suspension in the effective date of new regulations w as to: • Allow the new Administration time to review the "midnight” regulations issued during the last days of the Carter Administration to assure that they are cost-effective and in concert with this Administration’s policies. . Allow time for this Administration’s appointees to com e aboard and to b ecom e familiar with the details of the various programs for which they will b e responsible. 2 • Allow time for this Administration, through the Presidential Task Force, to develop improved procedures for management and oversight of the regulatory process. The request was sent to the heads of the Departments of Agriculture, Commerce, Education, Energy, Health and Human Services, Housing and Urban Development, Interior, Justice, Labor, Transportation and Treasury, and the Environmental Protection Agency. With certain exceptions, the effective dates of all rules that would have b ecom e legally effective during the 60-d ay period have been extended. The Office of Management and Budget has received and has granted several requests for waivers of this regulatory suspension. Most such ca ses involve regulatory actions necessary for econom ic activity to go forward. 4. Initial Regulatory Actions The program of regulatory relief is underway. Several cabinet departments and agencies, on their own initiative and in coordination with the President’s Task Force, have taken action on several significant issues: . On February 2, the Secretary of Education withdrew the proposed bilingual education rules. These rules would have required all school systems to offer bilingual instruction to each child w hose primary language is other than English. The Department estimated that the proposed rule could have cost up to $1 billion over the first 5 years of the program and an annual maintenance cost of between $72 million and $157 million thereafter. • On February 9, the Secretary of Transportation proposed a one-year delay in a regulation which would have mandated the installation of passive restraints, beginning with large cars, in Septem ber 1981. The implementation of this regulation could have resulted in consum ers paying as much as $ 8 0 0 more per vehicle equipped with air bags. Moreover, this requirement would have hit U.S. auto producers hardest. Before the government im poses additional costs on the consum er and puts an additional financial burden on an already troubled industry, it must b e sure that such an action is warranted. A one-year delay will provide the opportunity for such an evaluation. • On February 9, the EPA asked the D.C. Court of Appeals to remand to it a rule setting noise emission standards for garbage trucks. This request s e t in motion a process in which EPA will review regulatory alternatives suggested by the garbage truck industry. During this review, EPA will not enforce any aspect of the rule. When the rule was issued, EPA estimated that it would cost $ 2 5 million annually to comply with the rule, most of which would be borne by municipalities. • On February 12, the Secretary of Labor announced action on three major rules. - An. OSHA rule requiring that chemicals in the workplace b e labeled w as withdrawn for reconsideration. This rule, if issued in final form, would have cost between $ 6 4 3 million and $ 9 0 0 million initially, and between $338 million and $473 million annually according to Labor Department figures. Lower-cost m eans of assuring worker protection will be sought. - New rules under the Fair Labor Standards Act were postponed indefinitely. These would have raised the salary levels used a s tests, in part, to determine whether executives must b e paid overtime. This would have co st employers over $ 5 0 million annually, would have reduced employment opportunities, and would have raised prices, especially in the fast foods industry. - The implementation of new rules under the Service Contract Act w as postponed. T hese rules would have extended Davis-Bacon "prevailing w age" principles to those timber sa les, automatic data processing, and research and development firms 3 under contract with the Federal government. The Department estimated that these rules would have cost at least $68 million annually. . On February 14, OMB withdrew the policy memorandum on Federal Support for Hospital Construction issued by the previous Administration. This policy set out an elaborate review process to prevent Federal support for unnecessary hospital construction and renovation projects. In the Administration’s judgment, the objectives of the policy could be met more simply and effectively through other means. • On February 17, the temperatures which allows operators of energy that best suit . On February 17, the Secretary of Energy took several actions: President rescinded the mandatory Federal controls on building had been imposed by the previous Administration. This action non-residential buildings to choose the methods of conserving their circumstances. - Announced that national energy efficiency standards for major household appliances will not be issued until a thorough review is completed. The 1980 proposal would require producers to redesign, by 1986, virtually all existing models of these appliances and to retool their production lines. As a result, many small firms would probably be forced out of business. Consumers would face sharply higher purchase prices — about $ 5 0 0 million annually. Low-income families could be especially hard-hit, since the standards would prohibit continued production of the kinds of lower cost appliances they can afford. - Withdrew proposed standby energy conservation m easures involving a compressed work week, vehicle use stickers, and the part of the em ployer-based commuter and travel measures concerning working hours and transit subsidies. In addition, the Secretary has proposed to withdraw several interim final measures, including odd-even day motor fuel purchases, additional em ployer-based commuter and travel m easures, increased enforcement a n d /o r reduction of the 5 5 m.p.h speed limit and mandatory temperature restrictions. This action will remove measures which, if implemented, would interfere excessively in the daily life and business of Americans. . On February 17, the Director of OMB revoked the Department of Energy’s clearance under the Federal Reports Act for the collection of industrial energy consumption data.. A number of respondents have provided data which demonstrated that the information requested is needlessly detailed and unduly burdensome. This action will terminate the collection of industrial energy data for sites not subject to Federal regulation and preclude the Federal Government from expanding its regulatory programs. . On February 17, President Reagan revoked Executive Order 12264, which established a cumbersome, duplicative and burdensome regulatory policy regarding the export of some hazardous substances. The rescinded Executive Order would have threatened American workers' jobs and could have disrupted production abroad where affected U.S. exports serve as vital material inputs. Procedures already exist which inform foreign governments of hazards associated with exported American products. Thus, each foreign government can decide for itself whether to import the products and what precautions to take. NEW ACTIONS ANNOUNCED BY THE PRESIDENT Building on the steps taken since January 20th, today the President announced the following additional actions taken by his Administration: 1. T he Executive Order on Federal Regulation 4 Yesterday, the President signed a new Executive Order designed to improve coordination and management of the Federal regulatory process. This Order will produce better quality regulation and reduce the ex cess burden of regulation on the American people. The Order: 2. • Instructs the agencies on what is expected of them with respect to their regulatory work and provides reassurance to the American people of the government's ability to control its regulatory activities. • Charges the Office of Management and Budget with administering^ the new order, subject to the overall direction of the Presidential Task Force on Regulatory Relief. « Emphasizes that: regulatory decisions should be based on adequate information; actions should not be undertaken unless the potential benefits to society outweigh the potential c o sts; and regulatory priorities should b e set on the basis of net benefits to society. > Directs agen cies to determine the most cost-effective approach for meeting any given regulatory objective, and requires that factors such as the econom ic condition of industry, the national economy, and prospective regulations be taken into account. . Requires each agency to perform certain tasks a s part of the development of an important regulation. A Regulatory Impact Analysis is required to evaluate potential benefits and costs in light of the regulatory objectives. A determination must be made that any proposed rule is consistent with applicable legal authority and Presidential policy and that it reflects careful evaluation of the comments of all persons affected by or interested in the regulation. The Task Force is to oversee this process; the Office of Management and Budget is to make substantive comments on regulatory analyses, help determine which new and existing regulations should be so analyzed, and oversee the publication of semiannual regulatory agendas. Integrating the Goals of Regulatory Relief with Paperwork Reduction The Administration’s program to reduce regulatory burdens will be integrated with its program to implement the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1980. During 1981, given present requirements, Americans will spend over 1.2 billion hours filling out government forms. This is equivalent to the annual labor input for the entire steel industry. The costs of Federal paperwork and regulation discourage Americans from opening small businesses, doctors from accepting Medicare patients, and State and local governments from requesting needed Federal aid. The Office of Management and Budget has exercised so m e control over the paperwork burdens of the cabinet departments since 1942. Last year, OMB supervised an effort which resulted in a reduction of almost 10 percent in the burden imposed by agencies subject to OMB Federal Reports Act authority. However, agencies not subject to OMB information collection review increased their paperwork load last year by more than 10 million hours. The Paperwork Reduction Act of 198 0 brings the independent regulatory agencies under OMB authority, directs that the paperwork burden b e reduced by 15 percent by October 1, 1982, and relates the effort to reduce paperwork burden to the need to minimize regulatory burden. This Act creates an Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs within OMB and directs the agency to review Federal regulations that contain a recordkeeping or reporting requirement under a variety of different procedures. It provides that no agency may impose civil or criminal penalties on any person who fails to comply with a recordkeeping or reporting requirement that has not received OMB approval. 3. Future Candidates for Regulatory Review 5 The Administration is completing a comprehensive initial review of the regulations of 14 key executive branch agencies: Departments of Treasury, Justice, Interior, Agriculture, Commerce, Labor, Health and Human Services, Housing and Urban Development, Transportation, Energy and Education, and the Environmental Protection Agency, the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission and the Office of Management and Budget. This review covers both rules under development as well as rules now in effect. Regulations now under development can usually be withdrawn, modified, or cancelled by the agency head at his or her direction. In the c a s e of existing rules, the agency head will have to issue a new notice of proposed rulemaking and follow usual procedures before making substantive change. That is, revision or withdrawal of these existing rules would require that the agency propose the revision or withdrawal and obtain public comment before taking final action. During the com ing weeks and months, agencies will be conducting intensive reviews of many existing and proposed regulations -• at their own initiative, and in response to requests from the Task Force on Regulatory Relief. 4. Legislative Changes The Administration will examine all legislation that serves as the foundation for major regulatory programs. This review will be led by the Presidential Task Force on Regulatory Relief and will result in recommendations to reform these statutes. Not all of our regulatory problems can be solved satisfactorily through more effective regulatory management and decision-making. Statutory constraints often preclude effective regulatory decisions. Also, the Administration's efforts to better control the regulatory p rocess may, in so m e cases, require further Congressional action. For example: • Many of the statutes are conflicting, overlapping, or inconsistent. Som e force agencies to promulgate regulations while giving them little discretion to take into account changing conditions or new information. Other statutes give agencies extremely broad discretion, which they may som etim es exercise unwisely. Statutes should not force agencies to promulgate inefficient regulations: they should provide agencies with requisite discretion and sufficient direction so that they act wisely. • Compliance deadlines are often established in various laws. In general, they are imposed to ensure that agen cies move forward expeditiously in implementing the law. However, th ese deadlines are often impossible to meet, especially if the rules developed are to be based on adequate information. Deadlines in statutes also constrain agencies' ability to tailor rules to the economic conditions of the affected parties. W here deadlines are unreasonable, c h a n g e s will be sought. Over the past few years numerous procedural reforms have been introduced in Congress that would respond to increasingly burdensome and intrusive regulations being imposed by the Federal Government. They have included requirements for regulatory analyses, an across-the-board legislative veto, and broader judicial review of the substance of regulations. While supportive of the goals of such proposals, the Administration is concerned about legislation that may result in excessive layering of review or an undue broadening of control responsibility. Legislative proposals should be developed in a manner to ensure they do not make the process even more complex, increase the size of the federal bureaucracy, make it more difficult to make needed changes in regulations, create additional delay and uncertainty, or contribute to the waste that results from the current adversarial nature of the rulemaking process. 6 T h e E c o n o m ic P la n C o n te n ts I. S um m ary F a ct Sheet A P ro g ra m f o r E c o n o m ic R e c o v e r y II. Fact Sheet P r e s i d e n t R e a g a n ’s I n i t i a t i v e s t o R e d u c e R e g u l a t o r y B u r d e n s III. A d d r e s s b y th e P r e s id e n t to a J o in t S e s s io n o f C o n g r e s s IV . R e m a r k s o f t h e P r e s id e n t at B r e a k fa s t w ith E d ito r s I. S u m m ary Fact Sheet A P ro g r a m f o r E c o n o m ic R e c o v e r y THE WHITE HOUSE Office of the Press Secretary EMBARGOED FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION UNTIL 4 P.M. (E.S.T.) AND RELEASE UNTIL 9 P.M. (E.S.T.) Wednesday, February 18,1981. February 18,1981 SUMMARY FACT SHEET A Program for Economic Recovery CONTENTS Summary........................................................................................................................................... ......1 Background...................................................................................................................................... ......1 New Actions Announced T oday................................................................................................... ......2 Budget Outlook with the President's Budget Savings and Tax Reduction Program .................................................................................................................................... ......2 The President’s Budget Reform Plan........................................................................................... ......3 A. Past Actions Have Contributed to Today’s Economic and Budget Problems.................3 B. New Priorities............................................................................................................................3 C. Criteria Used in Evaluating Programs and Funding Levels................................................3 D. Major Features of the President’s Budget Reform Program..............................................4 E. A Stronger National Defense within Restrained Overall Spending Levels................................................................................ ..... 4 F. The Resulting Shift in Spending...................................................................................... ..... 5 G. 1st. Step in Budget Reform ............................................................................................. ..... 6 H. The Fully Revised 1982 Budget....................................................................................... ..... 6 The President’s Proposal to Reduce Taxes................................................................................. .....6 A. Reducing Individual income taxes by 30% .................................................................... .....6 B. Encouraging Productive Investments by Business & Industry.................................... .....6 C. Estimated Receipts with the Tax Reduction Program.................................................. .....8 The President’s Program to Reduce Regulatory Burden.......................................................... .....8 A. Actions Taken Since January 20th.................................................................................. .....8 B. New Actions Announced by the President..................................................................... .....9 Table: Major Program Reductions & Increased User Charges.....................................................10 THE WHITE HOUSE Office of the Press Secretary EMBARGOED FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION UNTIL 4 P.M. (E.S.T.) AND RELEASE UNTIL 9 P.M. (E.S.T.) Wednesday, February 18,1981. February 18,1981 SUMMARY FACT SHEET The President’s Economic Program Summary: President Reagan tonight presented to a Joint Session of the Congress a comprehensive program to bring about a recovery of the Nation’s economy to reduce the burdens of high inflation, high taxation and over-regulation. The program calls for fundamental redirection in the role of the federal government, including: . Reductions in personal tax rates and business taxes; . Spending cuts and other measures to reduce the budget deficit; . Reductions in the burden and the intrusion of Federal regulations; and . A new commitment to a stable monetary policy. BACKGROUND: . Immediately upon taking office, President Reagan asked for a comprehensive audit of our Nation’s economic situation. He described the findings in a Nationwide television address on February 5, 1981. Among the serious economic problems that he found upon taking office were: - Rates of consumer price inflation were 13.3% in 1979 and 12.4% in 1980, up from 4.8% in 1976. - Interest rates for short term credit had reached 20%, and home mortgage rates were over 15%, two and one-half times 1960 levels. - Almost eight million people were unemployed. - Under the previous Administration the Federal budget was out of control: . Estimates made in March 1980 of Federal spending in fiscal year 1981 were low by at least $50 billion, and estimates of the deficit were low by over $70 billion. . Recent Federal spending has been growing by about 16% per year. . Deficits this year are now expected to be around $80 billion, including over $55 billion that shows up in the Federal budget and about $25 billion which is hidden in so-called "off-budget" programs. . The national debt is approaching $1 trillion. - The percentage of income paid by individuals in Federal taxes has doubled since 1960 •• all to pay the costs of expanding Federal programs. - Government regulation has expanded rapidly, adding to the cost of all consumer goods, impeding new industrial development, and substituting Washington-based decisions for those of individuals, businesses, and State and local governments. • During his first few days in office, the President: - Took initial steps to bring government spending under control, including a freeze on government hiring and procurement, reductions in government travel, and reductions in the use of consultants and contracts. - Created a task force under the direction of the Vice President to coordinate efforts to reduce the regulatory burden, placed a freeze on new regulations, and withdrew certain regulations issued in the final days of the Carter Administration. NEW ACTIONS ANNOUNCED TODAY In his address to a Joint Session of the Congress and in detailed economic and budget reform messages, the President described his proposals and plans for: . The first round of major reductions in Federal spending. Additional spending reductions will be presented on March 10, 1981, in a full revision of the 1982 budget, Together, these proposals will reduce FY 1982 spending $41.4 billion below current policy levels, they will also result in $2.0 billion in user fees and $5.7 billion in off-budget cuts for a total of $49.1 in savings. . A major reduction in individual and business taxes. . Additional measures to reduce the cost, burden and intrusion of government regulations. The principal effects of the President’s program, if it is approved by the Congress, will be to: . Reduce inflation rates. . Reduce the nonproductive burden imposed by the Federal government, particularly through regulations. . Reduce the heavy tax burden on the American taxpayer. . Reduce the size and role of the Federal government, and its intrusion in decisions that could better be made by individuals, businesses, and State and local governments. . Reduce interest rates for credit purchases and borrowing of money by reducing government borrowing made necessary to cover massive deficits. . Increase real incomes by spurring capital investment and enhancing productivity . The President’s proposals are summarized below and described more fully in documents being sent to the Congress. BUDGET OUTLOOK WITH THE PRESIDENT’S BUDGET SAVINGS AND TAX REDUCTION PROGRAM. Official budget estimates showing the President’s tax and budget savings proposals will be provided in the March 10th revision of the 1982 Budget. The table below provides a preliminary estimate of the renewed fiscal balance when the President’s measures are fully implemented: 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Proposed Outlay Ceilings 654.7 695.5 733.1 771.6 844.0 912.1 Receipts with tax plan 600.2 650.5 710.2 772.1 850.9 942.1 Target Deficit (-) or Surplus -54.5 -46.0 -22.9 + 0.5 + 6.9 + 29.9 23.0 21.8 20.4 19.3 19.2 19.0 21.1 20.4 19.7 19.3 19.3 19.6 Share of GNP Outlays Receipts 2 THE PRESIDENT’S BUDGET REFORM PLAN In his address to the Joint Session and in a detailed Budget Reform Plan sent to the Congress, the President described the first major steps in a comprehensive redirection of Federal Government activity including: A. . Cutbacks in lower priority Federal activities; . Sharply constrained overall spending levels; and . Dramatic shifts in internal budget priorities. Past Actions Have Contributed to Today’s Economic and Budoet Problems. The rate of increase in Federal spending has risen sharply over the past 25 years: Average Annual Rate of Increase 6.3% 11.9% 15.9% • From 1955 - 1964: • From 1976 • 1981: • From 1979 • 1981: Spending increased even more rapidly than tax revenues, which were pushed up by inflationary movement of taxpayers into higher tax brackets. The results have included increased tax burden, reduced incentives for working, saving and investing and a slow down in the economy. As a result, Federal deficits and borrowing continue to increase. Also, national defense was underfunded because of the failure to control domestic program expansion. B. New Priorities. Achieving the President’s budget savings targets will require an end to the proliferation of new Federal programs and a reversal of the trend toward greater Federal roles in econo mic and social programs. The President’s program stresses two overriding priorities: . Sufficient budget resources must be provided to rebuild the Nation's defense capacities; . The Social Safety Net of income security measures erected in the 1930’s to protect the elderly (including cost of living protection for the elderly), unemployed, and poor, as well as veterans, must be maintained. Beyond these two priorities, all other Federal programs are being subjected to thorough scrutiny and widespread reduction. C. Criteria Used in Evaluating Programs and Funding Levels. Eight basic criteria have been used in evaluating and making decisions on all other programs: 1. Entitlement Programs must be revised to eliminate unwarranted beneficiaries and payments. 2. Subsidies and benefits for middle and upper income levels must be reduced. 3. Allocable costs of government programs must be recovered from those benefiting from the services provided, such as airports and airways, inland waterways and Coast Guard services to yacht and boat owners. 4. Sound econom ic criteria must be applied to economic subsidy programs such as synthetic fuels, Export-lmport Bank loans, and subsidized loans. 5. Capital investments in public sector programs — such as highways, waste treatment plants and water resource projects — must be stretched out and retargeted. 3 6. Fiscal restraint must be imposed on programs that are in the national interest but are lower in priority than the national defense and safety net programs. Examples include NASA, National Science Foundation, and the National Institutes of Health, which would be allowed to grow at lower rates than planned. 7. Large numbers of categorical grants must be consolidated into block grants permitting less Federal administrative overhead, greater flexibility for State and local governments, greater efficiency in management and reduced overall costs. Examples include elementary and secondary education, and health and social services. 8. Federal personnel and overhead costs, and program waste and inefficiency must be reduced. D. Maior features of the President’s Program Major features of the President’s program include: . A $41.4 billion reduction in FY 82 outlays compared to the current policy base, together with $2.0 billion in user charges and $5.7 billion in off-budget outlay reductions for a total of $49.1 billion in fiscal savings. . A dramatic downward shift in Federal spending growth rates, bringing the 16% trend of the recent period to about 7% over the next several fiscal years. . A steady reduction in the Federal deficit, resulting in a balanced budget in 1984 and modest surpluses thereafter. • The first comprehensive proposal in more than a decade to overhaul the Nation’s overgrown $350 billion entitlements system. Proposed revisions of food stamp, extended unemployment benefits, trade adjustment assistance, student loans, various secondary social security benefits, medicaid and other entitlement programs would save $9.4 billion in fiscal year 1982, with savings growing to $18.9 billion by FY 86. . Substantial cutbacks or actual elimination of non-essential or ineffective Federal programs, including CETA public service jobs, AMTRAK, energy technology commercialization programs, impact aid, and Federal support for the arts. . Proposed consolidation of nearly 100 narrow categorical grant programs into a few flexible block grants for State and local support of education, health, and social services. Savings by FY 1983 would exceed $4 billion. . Sharp reductions in direct Federal subsidies for synfuels development, Export-Import Bank activities and the dairy industry, along with a substantial stretch-out of funding for highways, airports, sewage treatment plants and water projects. . Increased user fees for barge operators, airway system users and commercial and recreational vessels. Specific program reductions proposed in the President’s Budget Reform Program are listed by department and agency in the attached 10 page table. This table shows esimated reductions in budget authority and outlays, as well as increased receipts from user charges, for fiscal years 1981-1986. E. A Stronger National Defense within Restrained Overall Spending Levels. The President has decided that budget resources must be devoted to national defense to improve and sustain the readiness of U.S. forces and to increase their ability to deter and, should deterrence fail, to prevail in response to aggression against U.S. interests. The defense budget has been reviewed closely to achieve cost savings. Part of the defense growth will be financed by the savings that result from increased efficiency and reductions in travel and other marginal activities. 4 The President has also decided that Federal spending growth must be held to 6% in FY 82 and that similar restraint must be exercised in future years. To provide $7.2 billion extra for defense in 1982, overall spending levels must be reduced by $41.4 billion or by 6% from the current policy base. The 83 major policy and program changes described in the President’s Budget Reform Plan and listed in the appendix to this Fact Sheet provide most of the savings required in FY 1982, with larger reductions in future years. In summary, the President’s Budget Savings Plan would provide the following: 1981 Outlays Fiscal years ($ in Billions) 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 657.8 1.3 729.7 7.2 792.1 20.7 849.0 27.0 911.4 50.2 972.8 63.1 659.1 736.9 812.8 876.0 961.6 1035.9 President’s Budget Plan Proposed spending ceiling 654.7 Budget savings target 4.4 695.5 41.4 733.1 79.7 771.6 104.4 844.0 117.6 912.1 123.8 Existing budget status Current policy base Added Defense funds Current policy base with adequate defense President’s Budget Savinas Proposals Actions recommended now or to be included in March Budget Revisions: Budget Outlay reductions 4.8 41.4 User charges (receipts) (2.0) Off-budget outlay (5.7) reductions (.7) Subtotal (5.5) (49.1) Budget savings to be proposed subsequently 58.5 (2.6) 73.7 (3.0) 86.6 (3.5) 95.8 (3.9) (7.4) (68.5) (9.2) (85.9) (11.1) (101.2) (13.1) (112.8) 21.2 30.7 31.0 28.0 F. The Resulting Shift in SDendino. The shift in government spending priorities as a result of the rigorous review conducted by the President and the Cabinet is shown in the tables below: (Dollar amounts in billions) 1962 1981 1984 Department of Defense-Military........... Safety net programs.............................. Net interest............................................. All other................................................... 46.8 26.2 6.9 157.9 239.3 64.3 193.2 249.8 313.0 66.8 142.0 Total......................................................... 106.8 654.7 771.6 Department of Defense-Military........... Safety net programs.............................. Net interest.............................................. All other................................................... 43.8 24.5 6.4 252 24.1 36.6 9.8 29.5 32.4 40.6 8.6 1&4 Total......................................................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 Outlay Shares (Percent) 5 G. The First Step in Budget Reform. The Budget Reform Message forwarded to the Congress is the first step in the President’s program to reduce budget deficits. The reform package provides details on 83 major policy and program actions to achieve budget savings. These major actions are being provided now to permit the Congress to begin work immediately and meet its schedule for reconciling fiscal year 1981 spending levels and setting the course for fiscal year 1982. H. The Fullv Revised 1982 Budget. On March 10, 1981, the President plans to submit his fully revised 1982 budget to the Congress. This new budget will provide details on the additional 1981 and 1982 budget savings that are needed to achieve the President’s goai of a $41.4 billion reduction in 1982 outlays below the current policy base. THE PRESIDENT'S PROPOSAL TO REDUCE TAXES President Reagan’s plan for reducing taxes proposes: . Reducing individual tax rates by 10% a year for 3 years. • Increasing the incentive for productive investments by business and industry in new plant and equipment by allowing more rapid write-off of recosts of investments. A. Reducing individual income tax rates. Tax rates will be reduced by 10% effective July 1, 1981; a second 10% on July 1, 1982; and the third 10% on July 1, 1983. The net effect will be a 5% reduction in 1981 individual taxes, a 15% reduction in 1982 taxes, a 25% reduction in 1983 taxes and a 30% reduction in 1984 taxes. 1. Background. Individual tax burdens have been increasing steadily over the past few years as inflation pushes individuals into higher tax brackets and social security tax rates have increased. This has reduced the incentive to work and the ability to save. 2. Effect on tax rates. At present, under each of the four taxpayer rates schedules •• joint, single, married filing separately, and head of household -- individuals pay tax at marginal rates ranging between 14% and 70%. When the tax cut proposed by the President is fully implemented, rates will range between 10% and 50%. 3. Implementing the tax reductions. Under the President’s proposal, reductions will begin July 1, 1981. At that time, withholding will be reduced by roughly 10% for individual taxpayers. 4. Expected effects. The cut in tax rates will provide individuals greater incentives for productive employment and for savings. Also, reduced tax rates will make tax shelters less attractive and productive investments more attractive. Thus, cuts in individual taxes are expected to contribute to increased investments that will expand the productive base of the economy and create more jobs. B. Encouraging Productive Investments bv Business and Industry. The second major part of the President’s tax proposals -• called the Accelerated Cost Recovery System -- would establish a new system for treating investments by business and industry. This system will determine the periods of time over which the costs of investments can be "recovered" or "written off" when calculating taxes. The system will result in fixed periods, known in advance, over which the cost of investments in particular plant and equipment can be charged off as expenses of doing business and thus deducted from gross income before calculating taxes. 6 1. The New System. Most business property will, for purposes of calculating taxes, fall into one of the three write-off periods listed below. An accelerated costs recovery schedule is provided for each. - 3 years: This class consists of autos and light trucks and machinery and equipment used for research and development. Expenditures can be written off in 3 years: 33% in the first year, 45% in the second year, and 22% in the third. An investment credit of 6% will also appy to this class, up 2-2/3 percentage points from present law for property written off in 3 years. - 5 years: This class consists of other machinery and equipment, except for certain long-lived public utility property. After a phase-in period, the original cost of additions can be written off according to an accelerated 5-year schedule: • 20% in the year acquired. . 32% in the 2nd year. . 24% in the 3rd year. . 16% in the 4th year. . 8% in the 5th year. The full 10% investment credit will be allowed for this class. - 10 years: This class consists of factory buildings, retail stores, and warehouses used by their owners; and public utility property for which present guidelines exceed 18 years. The accelerated schedule for deductions is as follows: . 10% in the 1st year . 10% in the 6th year. . 18% in the 2nd year. • 8% in the 7th year. . 16% in the 3rd year. . 6% in the 8th year. . 14% in the 4th year . 4% in the 9th year. . 12% in the 5th year . 2% in the 10th year. As in present law, the 10% investment credit applies to public utility property in this class, but is not generally available for real property. Specific depreciation periods, not requiring subsequent audit, would be established for write-off of other depreciable real estate -- on a straight line basis (i.e., the same % share of the original cost each year). These are: - 15 years: for other nonresidential buildings, such as offices and leased stores and for low-income housing. - 18 years: for other rental residential structures. 2. Effective Dates. The new system would be effective for property acquired or placed in service after December 31, 1980. A 5-year phase in period would provide progressively shorter recovery periods for long-lived machinery and buildings acquired before 1985. 3. Principal Changes from the Current System. The proposed new capital recovery system improves upon the current system in several ways. Specifically, it would: 7 • Substantially increase the incentive for business investments for increased productivity, higher real wages, and sustained economic growth. • Provide the basis for creating new jobs. • Improve U.S. competitive position in world markets. . Reduce the accounting and tax planning burden for taxpayers, by replacing the current, complex concepts such as "useful life" and "facts and circumstances of the anticipated use" which require estimates by taxpayers and later audit by IRS agents and which result in years of dispute and litigation. . Reduce the auditing burden on the Internal Revenue Service. Details of both tax proposals are being provided in material released by the Secretary of the Treasury. C. Estimated Receipts with the Tax Reduction Program. The table below shows current estimates of receipts and taxes as a share of GNP — before and after the President's Tax reduction program: Fiscal years ($ in Billions) 1983 1984 1985 1981 1982 Current law receipts 609.0 702.4 807.6 917.2 1033.2 1159.8 Individual Income tax reductions -6.4 -44.2 -81.4 -118.1 -141.5 -162.4 Depreciation Reform -2.5 -9.7 -18.6 -30.0 -44.2 -59.3 2.0 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.9 600.2 650.5 710.2 772.1 850.9 942.0 21.4 22.0 22.4 22.9 23.5 24.1 21.1 20.4 19.7 19.3 19.3 19.6 Proposed user charges Receipts with new tax policy Share of GNP Current Law After tax reduction program - 1986 THE PRESIDENT’S PROGRAM TO REDUCE REGULATORY BURDEN In his address to a Joint Session of the Congress, the President reviewed the actions taken since January 20th and new steps to reduce the burden, cost and intrusion of government regulatory efforts that are unnecessary, duplicative, inefficient, ineffective, or simply not justified on the basis of benefits. A. Actions Taken Since January 20th. The actions taken by the President since January 20th include: . Creation of a Task Force on Regulatory Relief on January 22, 1981. The Task Force is chaired by the the Vice President and has seven cabinet-level members. . Termination on January 29, 1981, of the Council on Wage and Price Stability’s wage-price standards program which has been ineffective in halting the rising rate of inflation, has proven unnecessarily burdensome and a waste of taxpayer money. 8 . Postponement of regulations on January 29. The President requested the heads of 12 departments and agencies to postpone, to the extent permitted by law, the effective dates of regulations that would otherwise become effective before March 29, 1981, and to refrain to the extent permitted by law from issuing new regulations during that same 60-day period. . Withdrawal or modification of regulations. In response to the President’s request for a close review of existing and proposed regulations, the Secretaries of Education, Transportation, Labor and Energy, and the heads of EPA and OMB already have modified or revoked a number of regulations. B. New Actions Announced bv the President. The President announced two additional actions in his continuing program to reduce unnecessary regulation. These are: • Issuance of an Executive Order designed to improve management of the Federal regulatory process. . Integration of the goals of regulatory relief with paperwork reduction, principally as is carried out under the recently enacted Paperwork Reduction Act of 1980 which provides, in effect, for OMB review of most regulations. 9 Chunges from Current Suaniry Table of Hudgct Authority and O u t l a y SuvLngs by Agency and increased to Governmental Receipts FY 1981 - 1966 (In millions of dollars) *• Budget Authority and Outlay Savings 1981 1982 BA Department of Agriculture Dairy price supports (Commodity Credit Corporation)............... Kood Stamps................. . Child Nutrition........... Rural E lectrification Administration ( o f f bud g e t ) ..«•***«•*»••• (Loan guarantee commitments).......... Farmers Home Admin.. . . (Direct loan obligation s).......... Alcohol Fuels/Blomass Loans !/••.••••*•*••• Subtotal. Department of Commerce economic and Keglonal Development (including Appalachian Regional Comal•■Ion 2/ ) ........... National Oceanic and Atmospheric Admin.... Subtotal. BA ..... 138 150 145 150 42 ( 38) ( 38) ( 187) Subtotal. 1,828 1,657 1984 BA 1,095 1,822 1,575 2,012 1,800 1985 BA 1,614 2,004 1,709 2,462 1,934 BA 1,887 2,451 1,835 2,636 2,046 I tea Totals BA 1986 BA 2,263 2,624 1,940 2,771 2,158 2,727 2,759 2,045 ---- 11,859 9,740 9,724 11,810 9,146 ( 1, 142) ( 1, 142) ( 2, 328) ( 2, 328) ( 3, 603) ( 3, 603) ( 4, 975) ( 4, 975) ( 6, 450) ( 6, 450) ( 18, 536) ( 18, 536) ( 5, 495) ( 5, 935) ( 6, 405) ( 6, 925) ( 7, 480) 30 105 30 179 105 255 ( 2, 354) ( 2, 354) ( 2, 354) ( 565) 179 331 ( 2, 354) 255 ( 32, 427) 407 ( 2, 354) 569 1,307 ( 12, 335) 505 94 153 505 46 800 406 3,485 4 t69l 1,842 5, 50$ 4,501 6,432 4,861 7,161 5,184 7,941 502 24 769 440 854 644 934 755 1,010 882 1,085 997 5,154 3,742 9 6 152 69 202 148 238 216 250 253 241 223 1,092 915 511 30 921 509 1,056 *92 1,172 971 1,260 1,135 1,326 1,220 6,246 4,657 68 360 68 280 2,387 840 2,387 530 3,736 1,360 3,736 1,050 4,152 2,180 4,152 1,700 4,369 2,860 4,369 2,400 4 t 544 3,560 4,544 3,000 19,256 11,160 19,256 8,960 428 348 3,227 2,917 5,096 4,786 6,332 5,852 7,229 6,769 8,104 7,544 30,4 16 2fl , 216 itary Pe rsonne1••.• Program and a ll other. 1983 22,673 32,140 Summary T ab ic ( c o n ' t ) (in M illio n s of d o lla r s ) BA Department of Education Eleecntary and Secondary Crants Conaolldatlon............. School Assistance In la Federally Affected Areas (lepact Aid)*** Vocational Education*• Student Assistance***• National Institute of EducatIon..................... In itltu ti of Huseua Services........ ............. 1981 67 :---- 338 1982 0 BA 82 ---- 106 .. , 1983 0 1984 I9H5 (ten TotnlH 1986 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 1,498 106 1,761 1,217 1,998 1,766 2,366 2,051 2,617 2,272 10,240 7,412 474 236 1,016 450 220 803 523 242 1,659 500 242 1,499 567 259 1,857 551 252 1,808 608 277 2,074 584 269 2,019 632 294 2,287 613 283 2,233 2,871 1,308 9,231 2,780 1,266 8,468 20 22 22 20 23 20 25 21 27 22 117 105 12 2 14 12 15 13 16 14 18 16 19 18 94 75 417 190 3,258 1,613 4,222 3,491 4,716 4,411 5,368 4,960 5, 8*6 57441 23,661 20,106 545 70 99 148 254 275 59 79 37 66 1,028 373 363 186 677 864 361 365 156 310 1,064 522 428 178 597 859 433 414 177 611 362 605 372 178 427 676 549 406 170 589 140 676 330 169 374 224 657 330 158 433 25 602 275 176 373 256 604 275 163 373 3(164 2,848 1.867 1,035 2,702 1.154 2,663 1,869 861 2.382 13 33 3 33 38 150 27 127 62 138 62 140 67 131 67 132 73 127 73 123 78 118 78 117 311 697 310 672 745 5 114 4 ---- 29 29 61 15 61 __ 45 13 43 __ 40 72 15 72 84 15 84 745 307 201 293 SubtoteI.****.***.* TTfTT 57o 2,ft5* 268 3,634 2,>52 27251 2,645 T75ST 2,o 4s l,)S l 1,965 ---*— ---- 1,000 550 700 ---—— — 1,100 1,175 1,200 ---------- 1,100 1,700 1,500 ------— 1,100 2,225 1,700 1,100 2,750 1,700 ---- --------- 5,450 8,465 6,820 520 1,237 520 1,013 670 2,213 670 1,986 722 3,166 722 2,930 795 4,181 795 3,916 824 5,318 824 5,021 1,531 16,468 1.531 14,966 2,697 2,540 3,148 2,993 3,512 3,347 3,863 3,676 4,084 3,929 Pep.irtaent ofc Energy Synthetic Fuels*.**••• Fonsll Energy.•••........ Solar Energy•••••*•••• Other Energy Supply*** Energy Conservation*. . Energy Information and Departmental Overhead Energy Regulation.**** Alcohol fuels Subsidy \J......... General Science••••••* Departeent of Health and Human Services Social SecurityMtnleue Benefits........ ..... 50 D isability Insurance* ---65 Student Benefits••••• ---20 Aid to Fanillea with Dependent Children*** * * Hedlcald........................ 353 100 Health and Social Services grant Cenaolldatlon 3/.* * * « ------ . . . . • ___ --------- 13,696 12^*65 Summary T a b le ( c o n ' t ) (In n l l ll o n s 1961 'BA Regulation of Health Care Industry -PSRO*$•••••••«■••••• (PSRO oblig a tion s)** National Institutes of Health 4/•*••••*•• Health Professions £ducation *••••••••••* Health Haintenance Organisations»•*•*••• National Research Service Awards Merchant Seaaen ( PHS) V National Health Service Corps Scholarship**** 1982 0 1983 1985 1986 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 Item Totals 0 BA 28 6 ( 38) 10 38 100 15 ( 119) 62 117 168 19 ( 136) 87 134 180 27 ( 215) 159 212 190 29 ( 227) (88 221 199 11 ( 238) 197 214 126 54 197 145 373 336 512 468 628 584 726 682 2,562 2,269 219 32 280 126 309 221 336 260 361 297 385 313 1,890 1,249 37 6 24 18 57 27 66 50 69 61 72 73 325 215 4 1 5 4 5 4 6 6 6 5 7 6 13 26 39 39 no no 183 183 194 194 205 205 215 215 946 946 16 3 31 14 45 37 54 45 65 54 80 65 291 218 7,190 10,153 8,795 12,693 10,392 15,029 11,941 17,109 Department of Housing and Urban Developaent 34 3 Planning Assistance**** Rehabilitation Loan Solar Energy and 1984 BA 6,919 Neighborhood Self-Help Devclopaent*•••••••••• Cosnunlty Development Support Assistance**** Subsidised Houslog -progran le v e l••**••*• -rent contributions*** Public Housing of d o lla r s ) 865 127 ( 971) 701 95B 44,162 62,321 37 26 39 36 42 39 44 41 46 44 242 189 130 63 130 191 134 210 138 211 140 213 142 214 814 I ,102 8 4 10 9 11 10 11 11 12 11 12 12 64 57 584 12 678 67 837 271 882 702 926 814 3,536 4,916 10 232 3,026 4,574 39 538 3,440 5,587 95 1,018 3,437 6,066 223 1,748 3,624 6,269 171 2,445 800 20 800 60 800 100 4,000 180 868 799 ---- 500 1 9 800 800 ( 300)** 121 47 132 149 141 137 150 147 158 157 166 162 793 127 10, 1*5 629 9,403 1, 03> 11,005 1,812 11,519 3,155 11 ,985 4.162 1,907 1,866 719 17,061 27,912 5,990 54,870 10,922 Sunaary Table (coo't) (In ot Ilions of dollars) IMI ta r" 8A 1982 0 8A 1981 0 8A 1984 0 8A 1985 0 8A 1986 __ 0 I tea Total a 8A __ 0 Ptpirtiiot of tHt U ttrlor U profii urtcttng of CMMrVAtlOi t tp ld - ^ U lturea««*..................... Vouili Coasirvatioft Corn............................. 373 91 566 270 512 286 465 365 471 349 605 403 3,192 1,764 36 52 60 59 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 336 351 Subtotal.................. . 829 IJI JIT — m — 571 nr — 5H — JT5 — WT T 75W 2,115 523 700 1,231 700 477 100 196 100 284 200 287 2,200 2,998 -nr-r ---- ---- ---- 285 — 285 ---- 272 ---- 264 ---- 1,106 60 175 175 175 175 181 181 183 183 183 183 957 937 r 1,150 1,150 760 760 380 380 380 380 380 380 3.050 3,050 633 4v644 3,566 4,236 4V073 4,578 4,408 4,946 4,762 5,341 5,143 33 250 179 256 2a 262 262 269 268 275 274 1,312 1,284 102 102 114 114 126 126 138 138 151 151 631 631 "1 , 1*1 6,132 T T I 5I "T^nc i,W M J6 4, 6*2 Si, 64* U .t l l PiMrtitBt of Labor Unooployoeftt tnauraoceCxteoded Benefits........ 400 OHM^loyifliK InauraoeoVOClt TOat ••••••• '■ 11 ■ tfneoployoeat *eoa^Maatloo for as-service •aobora#»««*•••••••••• 60 Trado Adjuatoent Aaetataace•••••••••••• ■ CoapnhMBlvi lopleyoeot Ml Training (CBTA)........................... 133 foam Adult Cooaerv it l t i Cocpo M o r a l oopleyeea to Jury coopoaaatioo (RCA)«»« — w k u u i ................... nr Popart—at of Tranaportatioo M o r e l ll|Way Goootmct too* •••••••• • r ■■" Urban Haoa TraoeportetlooCapital Cranta*.**.** 210 Operating Sobaldloa.. — Airport Construction.•• 272 AMTRAR SobaUUa........... 25 Mortboaat Corridor lopreveoeat Project. . . — Low voIum railroad broocb II nee•••••••••• 80 Highway Safoty Granta.• — Cooperative Automotive teooarch Prograo......... 12 Subtotal•••••••••• — — in — nr — m 23,898 22.587 i,i7 i J fto ii ■■- 1,390 244 1,964 1,211 2,546 1,700 3,243 2,088 3,437 2,234 12,580 7,477 ---- 31 120 23 950 103 250 431 270 96 140 325 1,047 581 278 606 545 256 181 485 1,220 1,059 305 760 973 600 196 688 1,368 1,528 130 964 1,284 1,083 219 904 1,497 1,626 371 1,056 1,480 1,356 239 1,030 6,292 4,897 1,806 1.842 4,585 1,391 1,075 1,477 25 288 95 -13 114 20 51 15 25 ---- ---- 310 310 8 88 167 32 16 96 125 62 112 104 138 80 112 162 103 150 119 178 no tis 163 599 770 195 579 9 14 14 4,447 16 14 17 15 6.M 7 *7 71 “f,TW 13 2,939 13 " 1,227 i n 8! IIYW0 ---- 6 13 i;w u T jn ^,8/0 StMMAry Table ( c o n ' t ) (In u t l l l o n s of d o lla r s ) 8A 1981 Other Independent Agencies EPA Waste Treatment Crania »•••«••••••••••• 1,000 Civil Aeronautics ioard-Airline subsidy* ---CorporatIon for Public Broadcaatlng...••••••• ---Export-Inport lank........ 750 FortlfM Aid (fAP)t«*«»* 616 National Consumer Cooperative Sank......... 91 National Endowment for the Arts/Hunaaltlee.. ---National Sclnncs Foundation*.•••••••••• 63 OfClco of PirsAMtl Hmagopsnt Institution of annual Postal Service Subaidlea Student Loan Harbating Association ( o f f - 250 m w . .................... .-x m 19ft) 386 250 I9IH 1985 Ilea Totals 1986 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 3,610 330 125 241 1,540 248 1,045 334 1,860 -90 1,970 86 2,170 -390 1,960 -156 2,465 -200 1,950 -124 12,645 -27 7,050 441 56 50 64 66 54 54 34 34 2 2 210 204 60 85 43 1,980 1*854 63 410 402 52 2,110 205 52 990 586 73 2,250 2,513 73 1,380 1,063 98 2,410 2,978 98 1,600 1,527 2,560 3,187 111 1,710 1,827 377 12,060 11,353 371 6.150 5,488 82 136 128 160 152 185 178 185 175 200 190 957 905 165 85 186 131 203 193 222 223 239 231 1,015 863 26 66 15 90 81 120 109 153 141 183 135 675 527 250 558 632 510 632 472 690 426 690 430 765 389 765 416 779 366 779 417 779 367 779 2,293 3,895 2,056 3,895 60 __ ( 1. 923) Vater Beeource Development Construction program. — Corps of Engineers... ( —- ) Hater 6 Power fteeourcee Service• • • «• • • • *• (■ ■ *) Soil Conssrvatloo S e r v i c e »••••••••• (■■") 0 4 . 8a11way Aaooclatlon Confall subsidies••••• - 350# Fsderal fersonnsl Seduction Mt related to above .................................... . Effecta on civilian agency pey coata of revising the Federal Pay Coopsrablllty Stsndard........•.••••••• Mineral Leaalng on Outer Continental Shelf and Fedoral Unds 6/ ........................ 0 _____ 19112 0 BA 95 90 _ 360 ( 1*300) 337 — 565 ( 3, 000) 564 — 515 ( 3. 500) 514 lit ---- 215 ( 4, 000) 217 ---- ( 14. 923) 1.710 1,702 ( 1*449) ( 1. 449) ( ---- ) ( 30) ( 50) ( 296) ( 296) ( 685) ( 685) ( 439) ( 439) ( 179) ( 179) (— > ( 35) ( 35) ( 28) ( 28) ( 43) ( 43) ( 57) ( 57) ( 20) ( 20) ( 183) ( 181) ( ---- ) ( 10) ( 3) ( 16) ( 13) ( 17) ( 16) ( 19) ( 18) ( 16) ( 18) ( 78) ( 70) -250 600 300 350 300 300 150 150 — iu 386 250 \ 550 r^nr “ TTW “ TTW “TTfTT 100 100 TffTJW T r a 1,190 u jn 1.150 s r n « ,W T 3 JT 4, 74/ 1,342 1,362 1,811 1,811 t,264 2.264 2,763 2,763 3,263 3,263 11.829 11,829 2,165 2,079 2,938 2,907 1,463 3,356 3,740 1,698 3.990 3,873 16,296 15,911 800 800 2,000 2,000 M 00 3,100 3,500 3,500 3,500 1,500 13,150 11,150 Summary T a b le ( c o n ' t ) ( i n m lllion ti o f d o l l a r s ) ***** — TOTAL* On-Budget Authority •nd OutUy S.vln g.. 10.661 _____ 1W 0 *,767 BA _____ 19ft3 0 54,666 34,757 — “ “ “ Off-budget Items Rural E lectrifica tion Admlnlstrst lo o . 38 (Loan guarantee commitments)» . . . ( 187) Student Loan Marketing Association............. ..... TOTAL, Budget Authority and Outlay Savings. 10*699 • 14 U 2/ 3/ ?/ T/ 6/ 38 1,142 1*142 ( 5*495) ..... 4,805 ..... _ BA_ _____ I9B4_ 0 55*808 37,822 0 BA 1tom Totals BA 1986 0 BA 58,810 50,109 69,082 61,365 76,618 70,232 82,654 77,325 352.491 298.555 — — ——— — — ...... ...... ...... ...... 4,975 6,450 6,450 2*328 — — 2*328 ( 5, 935) 1,923 BA 1985 ---- 3,603 3,603 ( 6, 405) 2,500 61*138 54,937 ---- 4*975 ( 6, 925) 3,000 72,685 67,968 — ( 7, 480) 3,500 81,593 78,707 — ....... 18,336 18,536 ( 32, 427) 4,000 — 14,923 89,104 87,775 371,027 332,014 Less than $$60 thousand Deferral The appropriations for the Alcohol Fuels and Biomass programs are In the Department of the Treasury. Funds for the Appslachlan Regional Commission are spproprlsted to the President. Some of these savings are to be derived from agencies other than the Department of Health and Human Services. elimination o f Rational Research Service Awards is also included In National Institutes of Health reduction. These savings to the Public Health Service w ill be partially offset by additional costs to the U.S. Coast Cuard, the Merchant Marine and several other agencies. Offeet included for Departmemt o f Interior operating costs and payments to states. ..I ... II* O ther R e d u ctio n s to th e D e f i c i t B lack Lung T ru st Fund r e f o n . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . S m a ller r e d u c tio n s ( f o r a g e n c ie s l i s t e d above and Cor o th e r a g e n c ie s ) th a t have been i d e n t i f i e d ( o u t l a y s ) . .«••••••••••••«•••••••• (in a illio n s o f d o lla r s ) 1983 1984 1981 1982 30 378 354 353 382 469 6,300 8,000 12,000 16,000 18,000 ~~ 1985 1986 T o t a l , Other r e d u c tio n s to the budget d e f i c i t ..................................................................... 30 6,678 8,354 12,353 16,382 18,469 O ff-b u d g e t l t e a s : S a a lle r r e d u c t io n s th a t have been i d e n t i f i e d . 706 2,617 2,565 2,603 2,637 2,615 736 9,295 10,919 14,956 19,019 21,084 T o t a l , O ther r e d u c t io n s t o th e d e f i c i t , in c lu d in g o f f - b u d g e t i t e a s I ll* I n c r w M i t o C o v e ra g e n t«l R e c e ip ts 1982 Corps o f E ngineers Inland Waterway User Charges In crea a e f u e l tax to r e c o v e r o p e r a t io n , M aintenance, and replacem ent c o s t s and c a p i t a l c o s t s on new waterw ays••«.•••• T ra n sp o rta tio n Coast Cuard P h ase-in fe e s f o r Coast Cuard S e r v ic e s . H* "J F ederal A v ia t io n A d m in istra tion In cre a se t r u s t fund taxes t o c o v e r a l l o p e r a tin g e x p e n s e s .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . S u b t o t s l........................... T o t a l , in c r e a s e s t o g o v ern a en ta l r e c e ip t s ........ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ( in B illio n s o f d o lls r s ) 1983 1984 1985 1986 258 275 300 315 100 200 300 400 500 1,882 2,159 2,442 2,753 3,104 1.982 27359 2,742 3,153 3,604 1.982 2,617 3,017 3,453 3,919 IV . S u n a r y e f f e c t s on the d e f i c i t 1981 L iste d o u tla y savin gs (T a b le I ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Jther o u t la y re d u ctio n s (T a b le I I ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . T o t a l, e f f e c t on o u t l a y In crea ses t o governm ental r e c e ip t s (T a b le I I I ) . s 1982 (in a ll l lo n s o f d o lla r s ) 1983 1984 1985 1986 4,767 30 34,757 6,678 50,109 8,354 61,365 12,353 70,232 16,382 4,797 41 , 58, U 3 737713” 8£ , 6 l 4 1,982 2,617 3,017 3,453 3,919 — 77,325 18,469 T o t a l, e f f e c t on the budget d e f i c i t . . . . 4,797 43 , 41) 61,080 76,735 90,067 99,713 O ff-b u d g et o u tla y s l i s t e d above (T a b le I ) . . . . . . ^ Other changes in o ff-b u d g e t e n t i t l e s th at have oo been i d e n t i f ie d (T ab le I I ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 3,065 4,828 6,603 8,475 10,450 706 2,617 2,565 2,603 2,637 2,615 744 5,682 7,393 9,206 11, U 2 13,065 5,541 49,099 68,473 85,941 101,179 112,778 T o t a l, o ff-b u d g e t c h a n g e s* .......... .. E ffe c t on the d e f i c i t , in c lu d in g e f f e c t s on o ff-b u d g e t e n t i t i e s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . II. F a c t S h e e t P r e s id e n t R e a g a n 's I n itia tiv e s to R e d u c e R e g u la to r y B u r d en s THE WHITE HOUSE Office of the Press Secretary EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE UNTIL 9 P.M. (E.S.T.), Wednesday, February 18,1981 February 18,1981 FACT SHEET President Reagan’s Initiatives to Reduce Regulatory Burdens Summary: President Reagan today announced the details of a far-reaching program to reduce the burden of Federal regulations and paperwork, and to reduce the intrusion of the Federal Government into our daily lives. BACKGROUND . During the campaign, President Reagan promised swift action to ease the economic burden of government regulation. . Previous administrations have instituted programs to manage the regulatory process. But, despite these measures, regulations have continued to proliferate, often based on inadequate analysis of the costs and benefits that would result. • During the last month of the Carter Administration, regulatory agencies in the Executive Branch issued more than 150 final regulations. Of these so-called "Midnight Regulations," over 100 were scheduled to become effective within the next 60 days. Many of these new regulations impose substantial new burdens on the economy. . Often, the high cost of regulatory compliance is due to the cumulative effect on an industry of many agencies’ rules, rather than to a single major rule. For example, at least five Federal agencies directly regulate the auto industry, and these five agencies are now considering more than 50 significant new auto rules. . This year, the Federal government is forcing Americans to spend over a billion hours providing information to the government. ACTIONS TAKEN SINCE JANUARY 20 Since taking office on January 20th, the President has taken a number of actions as a part of a broad effort to free the economy, wherever feasible, of the hidden tax of complying with Federal rules and paperwork requirements which do not contribute to the public welfare. This effort will also seek to assure that regulations essential to the goal of protecting the public health and safety achieve their goal in the most efficient manner. 1. Task Force on Regulatory Relief President Reagan announced the creation of a Presidential Task Force on Regulatory Relief on January 22, 1981. It is chaired by the Vice President. The other members are the Secretary of the Treasury, the Attorney General, the Secretary of Commerce, the Secretary of Labor, the Director of the Office of Management and Budget, the Assistant to the President for Policy Development, and the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers. This Task Force has ongoing responsibilities which will be reinforced by the President’s Executive Order on Federal Regulation. The Task Force will: . Review major regulatory proposals by executive branch agencies, especially those proposals that would appear to have major policy significance or where there is overlapping jurisdiction among agencies. . Assess executive branch regulations already on the books, especially those that are burdensome to the national economy or to key industrial sectors. • Oversee the development of legislative proposals in response to Congressional timetables (e.g., the Clean Air Act must be reauthorized this year), and codify the President’s views on the appropriate role and objectives of regulatory agencies. . Seek to increase public awareness of regulations and their impact, including regulatory expenditures that do not show up in the Federal budget. . Make recommendations to the President on regulatory personnel and how to reform regulation through Executive Orders, agency actions, and legislative changes. 2. Termination of CWPS’s Waae-Price Program On January 29, President Reagan issued Executive Order 12288 terminating the Council on Wage and Price Stability’s wage-price standards program. The Council on Wage and Price Stability (CWPS) was created in 1974 to study and encourage wage and price restraint, monitor inflation in the economy, encourage productivity, and review the inflationary impact of government programs and regulations. In 1978, President Carter directed CWPS to establish a program of "voluntary" wage and price standards. The Office of Federal Procurement Policy was ordered to issue regulations denying Federal contracts to violators of these standards. The CWPS staff grew from approximately 50 to 238 in 1979. As of January 20, 1981, employment was 170. The CWPS program of wage-price standards proved ineffective in halting the rising rate of inflation. It proved to be an unnecessary burden on labor and industry, and a waste of taxpayers' money. About $1.5 million will be saved in 1981 by this action, employment in the Executive Office of the President will be reduced by about 135 people, and Federal requirements that businesses submit voluminous reports will be ended. Companies spent some $300 million to comply with the reporting requirements alone of this program (more than 5,000 company reports were submitted to CWPS). CWPS’s small regulatory staff will work closely with OMB and the Presidential Task Force on Regulatory Relief to carry out the program of regulatory relief. 3. Postponement of Pending Regulations On January 29, President Reagan requested the heads of 12 departments and agencies, to the extent permitted by law, to postpone the effective dates of regulations that otherwise would have become effective before March 29 and refrain from issuing any new final regulations during this same 60-day period. This suspension in the effective date of new regulations was to: • Allow the new Administration time to review the "midnight" regulations issued during the last days of the Carter Administration to assure that they are cost-effective and in concert with this Administration’s policies. • Allow time for this Administration’s appointees to come aboard and to become familiar with the details of the various programs for which they will be responsible. . Allow time for this Administration, through the Presidential Task Force, to develop improved procedures for management and oversight of the regulatory process. 2 The request was sent to the heads of the Departments of Agriculture, Commerce, Education, Energy, Health and Human Services, Housing and Urban Development, Interior, Justice, Labor, Transportation and Treasury, and the Environmental Protection Agency. With certain exceptions, the effective dates of all rules that would have become legally effective during the 60-day period have been extended. The Office of Management and Budget has received and has granted several requests for waivers of this regulatory suspension. Most such cases involve regulatory actions necessary for economic activity to go forward. 4. Initial Regulatory Actions The program of regulatory relief is underway. Several cabinet departments and agencies, on their own initiative and in coordination with the President’s Task Force, have taken action on several significant issues: . On February 2, the Secretary of Education withdrew the proposed bilingual education rules. These rules would have required all school systems to offer bilingual instruction to each child whose primary language is other than English. The Department estimated that the proposed rule could have cost up to $1 billion over the first 5 years of the program and an annual maintenance cost of between $72 million and $157 million thereafter. . On February 9, the Secretary of Transportation proposed a one-year delay in a regulation which would have mandated the installation of passive restraints, beginning with large cars, in September 1981. The implementation of this regulation could have resulted in consumers paying as much as $800 more per vehicle equipped with air bags. Moreover, this requirement would have hit U.S. auto producers hardest. Before the government imposes additional costs on the consumer and puts an additional financial burden on an already troubled industry, it must be sure that such an action is warranted. A one-year delay will provide the opportunity for such an evaluation. . On February 9, the EPA asked the D.C. Court of Appeals to remand to it a rule setting noise emission standards for garbage trucks. This request set in motion a process in which EPA will review regulatory alternatives suggested by the garbage truck industry. During this review, EPA will not enforce any aspect of the rule. When the rule was issued, EPA estimated that it would cost $25 million annually to comply with the rule, most of which would be borne by municipalities. « On February 12, the Secretary of Labor announced action on three major rules. - An OSHA rule requiring that chemicals in the workplace be labeled was withdrawn for reconsideration. This rule, if issued in final form, would have cost between $643 million and $900 million initially, and between $338 million and $473 million annually according to Labor Department figures. Lower-cost means of assuring worker protection will be sought. - New rules under the Fair Labor Standards Act were postponed indefinitely. These would have raised the salary levels used as tests, in part, to determine whether executives must be paid overtime. This would have cost employers over $50 million annually, would have reduced employment opportunities, and would have raised prices, especially in the fast foods industry. - The implementation of new rules under the Service Contract Act was postponed. These rules would have extended Davis-Bacon "prevailing wage" principles to those timber sales, automatic data processing, and research and development firms under contract with the Federal government. The Department estimated that these rules would have cost at least $68 million annually. 3 . On February 14, OMB withdrew the policy memorandum on Federal Support for Hospital Construction issued by the previous Administration. This policy set out an elaborate review process to prevent Federal support for unnecessary hospital construction and renovation projects. In the Administration’s judgment, the objectives of the policy could be met more simply and effectively through other means. . On February 17, the President rescinded the mandatory Federal controls on building temperatures which had been imposed by the previous Administration. This action allows operators of non-residential buildings to choose the methods of conserving energy that best suit their circumstances. • On February 17, the Secretary of Energy took several actions: . - Announced that national energy efficiency standards for major household appliances will not be issued until a thorough review is completed. The 1980 proposal would require producers to redesign, by 1986, virtually all existing models of these appliances and to retool their production lines. As a result, many small firms would probably be forced out of business. Consumers would face sharply higher purchase prices —about $500 million annually. Low-income families could be especially hard-hit, since the standards would prohibit continued production of the kinds of lower cost appliances they can afford. - Withdrew proposed standby energy conservation measures involving a compressed work week, vehicle use stickers, and the part of the employer-based commuter and travel measures concerning working hours and transit subsidies. In addition, the Secretary has proposed to withdraw several interim final measures, including odd-even day motor fuel purchases, additional employer-based commuter and travel measures, increased enforcement and/or reduction of the 55 m.p.h speed limit and mandatory temperature restrictions. This action will remove measures which, if implemented, would interfere excessively in the daily life and business of Americans. On February 17, the Director of OMB revoked the Department of Energy’s clearance under the Federal Reports Act for the collection of industrial energy consumption data.. A number of respondents have provided data which demonstrated that the information requested is needlessly detailed and unduly burdensome. This action will terminate the collection of industrial energy data for sites not subject to Federal regulation and preclude the Federal Government from expanding its regulatory programs. • On February 17, President Reagan revoked Executive Order 12264, which established a cumbersome, duplicative and burdensome regulatory policy regarding the export of some hazardous substances. The rescinded Executive Order would have threatened American workers’ jobs and could have disrupted production abroad where affected U.S. exports serve as vital material inputs. Procedures already exist which inform foreign governments of hazards associated with exported American products. Thus, each foreign government can decide for itself whether to import the products and what precautions to take. NEW ACTIONS ANNOUNCED BY THE PRESIDENT Building on the steps taken since January 20th, today the President announced the following additional actions taken by his Administration: 4 1. The Executive Order on Federal Regulation Yesterday, the President signed a new Executive Order designed to improve coordination and management of the Federal regulatory process. This Order will produce better quality regulation and reduce the excess burden of regulation on the American people. The Order: > Instructs the agencies on what is expected of them with respect to their regulatory work and provides reassurance to the American people of the government’s ability to control its regulatory activities. • Charges the Office of Management and Budget with administering the new order, subject to the overall direction of the Presidential Task Force on Regulatory Relief. • Emphasizes that: regulatory decisions should be based on adequate information; actions should not be undertaken unless the potential benefits to society outweigh the potential costs; and regulatory priorities should be set on the basis of net benefits to society. . Directs agencies to determine the most cost-effective approach for meeting any given regulatory objective, and requires that factors such as the economic condition of industry, the national economy, and prospective regulations be taken into account. . .Requires each agency to perform certain tasks as part of the development of an important regulation. A Regulatory Impact Analysis is required to evaluate potential benefits and costs in light of the regulatory objectives. A determination must be made that any proposed rule is consistent with applicable legal authority and Presidential policy and that it reflects careful evaluation of the comments of all persons affected by or interested in the regulation. The Task Force is to oversee this process; the Office of Management and Budget is to make substantive comments on regulatory analyses, help determine which new and existing regulations should be so analyzed, and oversee the publication of semiannual regulatory agendas. 2. Integrating the Goals of Regulatory Relief with Paperwork Reduction The Administration's program to reduce regulatory burdens will be integrated with its program to implement the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1980. During 1981, given present requirements, Americans will spend over 1.2 billion hours filling out government forms. This is equivalent to the annual labor input for the entire steel industry. The costs of Federal paperwork and regulation discourage Americans from opening small businesses, doctors from accepting Medicare patients, and State and local governments from requesting needed Federal aid. The Office of Management and Budget has exercised some control over the paperwork burdens of the cabinet departments since 1942. Last year, OMB supervised an effort which resulted in a reduction of almost 10 percent in the burden imposed by agencies subject to OMB Federal Reports Act authority. However, agencies not subject to OMB information collection review increased their paperwork load last year by more than 10 million hours. The Paperwork Reduction Act of 1980 brings the independent regulatory agencies under OMB authority, directs that the paperwork burden be reduced by 15 percent by October 1, 1982, and relates the effort to reduce paperwork burden to the need to minimize regulatory burden. This Act creates an Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs within OMB and directs the agency to review Federal regulations that contain a recordkeeping or reporting requirement under a variety of different procedures. It provides that no agency may impose civil or criminal penalties on any person who fails to comply with a recordkeeping or reporting requirement that has not received OMB approval. 5 3. Future Candidates for Regulatory Review The Administration has completed a comprehensive initial review of the regulations of 14 key regulatory agencies, and has prepared a list of 100 rules which are potential candidates for more intensive review. . Agencies covered included: Departments of Treasury, Justice, Interior, Agriculture, Commerce, Labor, Health and Human Services, Housing and Urban Development, Transportation, Energy and Education, and the Environmental Protection Agency, the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission and the Office of Management and Budget. * Of the 100 rules identified for additional review, 50 are now under development in the agencies and 50 are existing rules which need thorough review and possible revision. A list of these regulations and brief information on them is attached. The regulations now under development can usually be withdrawn, modified, or cancelled by the agency head at his or her direction. In the case of existing rules, the agency head will have to issue a new notice of proposed rulemaking and follow usual procedures before making substantive change. That is, revision or withdrawal of these existing rules would require that the agency propose the revision or withdrawal and obtain public comment before taking final action. 4. Legislative Changes The Administration will examine all legislation that serves as the foundation for major regulatory programs. This review will be led by the Presidential Task Force on Regulatory Relief and will result in recommendations to reform these statutes. Not all of our regulatory problems can be solved satisfactorily through more effective regulatory management and decision-making. Statutory constraints often preclude effective regulatory decisions. Also, the Administration’s efforts to better control the regulatory process may, in some cases, require further Congressional action. For example: • Many of the statutes are conflicting, overlapping, or inconsistent. Some force agencies to promulgate regulations while giving them little discretion to take into account changing conditions or new information. Other statutes give agencies extremely broad discretion, which they may sometimes exercise unwisely. Statutes should not force agencies to promulgate inefficient regulations: they should provide agencies with requisite discretion and sufficient direction so that they act wisely. . Compliance deadlines are often established in various laws. In general, they are imposed to ensure that agencies move forward expeditiously in implementing the law. However, these deadlines are often impossible to meet, especially if the rules developed are to be based on adequate information. Deadlines in statutes also constrain agencies’ ability to tailor rules to the economic conditions of the affected parties. Where deadlines are unreasonable, changes will be sought. Over the past few years numerous procedural reforms have been introduced in Congress that would respond to increasingly burdensome and intrusive regulations being imposed by the Federal Government. They have included requirements for regulatory analyses, an across-the-board legislative veto, and broader judicial review of the substance of regulations. While supportive of the goals of such proposals, the Administration is concerned about legislation that may result in excessive layering of review or an undue broadening of control responsibility. Legislative proposals should be developed in a manner to ensure they do not make the process even more complex, increase the size of the federal bureaucracy, make it more difficult to make needed changes in regulations, create additional delay and uncertainty, or contribute to the waste that results from the current adversarial nature of the rulemaking process. 6 I I I . A d d r e s s b y t h e P r e s id e n t t o a J o in t S e s s io n o f C o n g r e s s A D D R E S S B Y T H E P R E S ID E N T T O A J O IN T S E S S IO N O F C O N G R E S S O N A P R O G R A M F O R E C O N O M IC R E C O V E R Y February 18,1981 The U.S. Capitol 9:00 P.M. EST THE PRESIDENT: Thank you very much. Thank you all very much. Mr. Speaker, Mr. President, distinguished Members of Congress, honored guests, and fellow citizens: Only a month ago, I was your guest in this historic building and I pledged to you my cooperation in doing what is right for this nation that we all love so much. I am here tonight to reaffirm that pledge and to ask that we share in restoring the promise that is offered to every citizen by this, the last, best hope of man on earth. All of us are aware of the punishing inflation which has for the first time in 60 years held to double digit figures for two years in a row. Interest rates have reached absurd levels of more than 20 percent and over IS percent for those who would borrow to buy a home. All across this land one can see newly-built homes standing vacant, unsold because of mortgage interest rates. Almost eight million Americans are out of work. These are people who want to be productive. But as the months go by despair dominates their lives. The threats of layoff and unemployment hang over other millions and all who work are frustrated by their inability to keep up with inflation. One worker in a Midwest city put it to me this way: He said, "I’m bringing home more dollars than I believed I could possibly earn but I seem to be getting worse off." And he is. Not only have hourly earnings of the American worker, after adjusting for inflation, declined five percent over the past five years, but in these five years federal personal taxes for the average family have increased 67 percent. We can no longer procrastinate and hope that things will get better. They will not. Unless we act forcefully and now the economy will get worse. Can we who man the ship of state deny it is somewhat out of control? Our national debt is approaching one trillion dollars. A few weeks ago I called such a figure, a trillion dollars, incomprehensible. And I’ve been trying ever since to think of a way to illustrate how big a trillion really is. And the best I could come up with is that if you had a stack of thousand-dollar bills in your hand only four inches high, you’d be a millionaire. A trillion dollars would be a stack of thousand-dollar bills 67 miles high. 1 The interest on the public debt this year we know will be over S90 billion, and unless we change the proposed spending for the fiscal year beginning October 1st, we'll add another almost S80 billion to the debt. Adding to our troubles is a mass of regulations imposed on the shopkeeper, the farmer, the craftsman, professionals and major industry that is estimated to add $100 billion to the price of things we buy and it reduces our ability to produce. The rate of increase in American productivity, once one of the highest in the world, is among the lowest of all major industrial nations. Indeed, it has actually declined in the last three years. Now, I've painted a pretty grim picture, but I think I’ve painted it accurately. It is within our power to change this picture and we can act with hope. There’s nothing wrong with our internal strengths. There has been no breakdown of the human, technological, and natural resources upon which the economy is built. Based on this confidence in a system which has never failed us, but which we have failed through a lack of confidence and sometimes through a belief that we could fine tune the economy and get it tuned to our liking, I am proposing a comprehensive four-point program. Now, let me outline in detail some of the principal parts of this program. You’ll each be provided with completely detailed copy of the entire program. This plan is aimed at reducing the growth in government spending and taxing, reforming and eliminating regulations which are unnecessary and unproductive or counter-productive, and encouraging a consistent monetary policy aimed at maintaining the value of the currency. If enacted in full, this program can help America create 13 million new jobs, nearly three million more than we would have without these measures. It will also help us to gain control of inflation. It’s important to note that we’re only reducing the risk of increase in taxing and spending. We’re not attempting to cut either spending or taxing levels below that which we presently have. This plan will get our economy moving again, (create) productivity growth, and thus create the jobs that our people must have. And I’m asking that you join me in reducing direct Federal spending by 41.4 billion dollars in fiscal year 1982 along with another 7. — (Applause) — and this goes along with another 7.7 billion in user fees and off budget savings for a total of $49.1 billion. And this will still allow an increase of $40.8 billion over 1981 spending. Now, I know that exaggerated and inaccurate stories about these cuts have disturbed many people, particularly those dependent on grant and benefit programs for their basic needs. Some of you have heard from constituents, I know, afraid that Social Security checks, for example, were going to be taken from them. Well, I regret, the fear that these unfounded stories have caused and I welcome this opportunity to set things straight. We will continue to fulfill the obligations that spring from our national conscience. Those, who through no fault of their own, must depend on the rest of us, the poverty stricken, the disabled, the elderly, all those with true need, can rest assured that the social safety of programs they depend on are exempt from any cuts. 2 The full retirement benefits of the more than 31 million Social Security recipients will be continued along with an annual cost of living increase. Medicare will not be cut, nor will supplemental income for the blind, the aged and the disabled. And funding will continue for veterans' pensions. School breakfasts and lunches for the children of low income families will continue as will nutrition and other special services for the aging. There will be no cut in Project Head Start or summer youth jobs. All in all, nearly S216 billion providing help for tens of millions of Americans — will be fully funded. But government will not continue to subsidize individuals or particular business interests where real need cannot be demonstrated. (Applause.) And while we will reduce some subsidies to regional and local governments, we will at the same time convert a number of categorical grant programs into block grants to reduce wasteful administrative overhead and to give local governments and states more flexibility and control. We call for an end to duplication to federal programs and reform of those which are not cost effective. Now, already, some have protested that there must be no reduction in aid to schools. Well, let me point out that Federal aid to education amounts to only eight percent of the total educational funding. And for this eight percent, the Federal Government has insisted on tremendously disproportionate share of control over our schools. Whatever reductions we’ve proposed in that eight percent will amount to very little in the total cost of education. They will, however, restore more authority to States and local school districts. (Applause.) Historically, the American people have supported by voluntary contributions more artistic and cultural activities than all the other countries in the world put together. I wholeheartedly support this approach and believe that Americans will continue their generosity. Therefore, I’m proposing a savings of $85 million in the Federal subsidies now going to the arts and humanities. There are a number of subsidies to business and industry I believe are unnecessary. Not because the activities being subsidized aren’t of value but because the marketplace contains incentives enough to warrant continuing these activites without a government subsidy. One such subsidy is the Department of Energy’s synthetic fuels program. We will continue support of research leading to development of new technologies and more independence from foreign oil, but we can save at least S3.2 billion by leaving to private industry the building of plants to make liquid or gas fuels from coal. We’re asking that another major industry, business subsidy I should say, the Export-Import Bank loan authority, be reduced by one-third in 1982. We’re doing this because the primary beneficiaries of taxpayer funds in this case are the exporting companies themselves — most of them profitable corporations. This brings me to a number of other lending programs in which government makes low-interest loans, some of them at an interest rate as low as two percent. What has not been very well understood is that the Treasury Department has no money of its own to lend. It has to go into the deep, the private capital market and borrow the money. So, in this time of excessive interest rates the government finds itself borrowing at an interest rate several times as high as the interest it gets back 3 from those it lends the money to. And this difference, of course, is paid by your constituents — the taxpayers. They get it again if they try to borrow because government borrowing contributes to raising all interest rates. We can save hundreds of millions of dollars in 1982 and billions more over the next few years. There’s a lack of consistent and convincing evidence that EDA and its Regional Commissions have been effective in creating new jobs. They have been effective in creating an array of planners, grantsmen and professional middlemen. We believe we can do better just by the expansion of the economy and the job creation which will come from our economic program. (Applause.) The Food Stamp program will be restored to its original purpose, to assist those without resources to purchase sufficient nutritional food. We will, however, save $1.8 billion in FY 1982 by removing from eligibility those who are not in real need or who are abusing the program. (Applause.) Even with this reduction, the program will be budgeted for more than $10 billion. We will tighten welfare and give more attention to outside sources of income when determining the amount of welfare that an individual is allowed. This plus strong and effective work requirements will save $520 million in the next year. I stated a moment ago our intention to keep the school breakfast and lunch programs for those in true need. But by cutting back on meals for children of families who can afford to pay, the savings will be $1.6 billion in FY 1982. Now, let me just touch on a few other areas which are typical of the kind of reductions we’ve included in this economic package. The Trade Adjustment Assistance program provides benefits for workers who are unemployed when foreign imports reduce the market for various American products causing shutdown of plants and layoff of workers. The purpose is to help these workers find jobs in growing sectors of our economy. There’s nothing wrong with that, but because these benefits are paid out on top of normal unemployment benefits, we wind up paying greater benefits to those who lose their jobs because of foreign competition than we do to their friends and neighbors who are laid off due to domestic competition. Anyone must agree that this is unfair. Putting these two programs on the same footing will save $15 billion in just one year. Earlier I made mention of changing categorical grants to States and local governments into block grants. Now, we know of course that categorical grant programs burden local and state governments with a mass of Federal regulations and federal paperwork. Ineffective targeting, wasteful administrative overhead — all can be eliminated by shifting the resources and decision-making authority to local and state government. This will also consolidate programs which are scattered throughout the federal bureaucracy, bringing government closer to the people and saving $23.9 billion over the next five years. Our program for economic renewal deals with a number of programs which at present are not cost-effective. An example is Medicaid. Right now Washington provides the states with unlimited 4 matching payments for their expenditures. At the same time we here in Washington pretty much dictate how the states are going to manage those programs. We want to put a cap on how much the federal government will contribute, but at the same time allow the states much more flexibility in managing and structuring their programs. I know from our experience in California that such flexibility could have led to far more cost effective reforms. Now, this will bring a savings of SI billion next year. The space program has been and is important to America and we plan to continue it. We believe, however, that a reordering of priorities to focus on the most important and cost effective NASA programs can result in a savings of a quarter of a million dollars. Coming down from space to the mailbox, the Postal Service has been consistently unable to live within its operating budget. It is still dependent on large federal subsidies. We propose reducing those subsidies by $632 million in 1982 to press the Postal Service into becoming more effective, and in subsequent years the savings will continue to add up. The Economic Regulatory Administration in the Department of Energy has programs to force companies to convert to specific fuels. It has the authority to administer a gas rationing plan and prior to decontrol it ran the oil price control program. With these and other regulations gone we can save several hundreds of millions of dollars over the next few years. I’m sure, there’s one department you’ve been waiting for me to mention, the Department of Defense. It’s the only department in our entire program that will actually be increased over the present budgeted figure. (Applause.) But even here there was no exemption. The Department of Defense came up with a number of cuts which reduced the budget increase needed to restore our military balance. These measures will save $2.9 billion in 1982 outlays and by 1986 a total of S28.2 billion will have been saved. Or perhaps I should say will have been made available for the necessary things that we must do. The aim will be to provide the most effective defense for the lowest possible cost. I believe that my duty as President requires that I recommend increases in defense spending over the coming years. (Applause.) I know that you’re all aware, but I think it bears saying again: that since 1970 the Soviet Union has invested $300 billion more in its military forces than we have. As a result of its massive military buildup, the Soviets now have made a significant numerical advantage in strategic nuclear delivery systems, tactical aircraft, submarines, artillery and anti-aircraft defense. To allow this imbalance to continue is a threat to our national security. Notwithstanding our economic straits, making the financial changes beginning now is far less costly than waiting and having to attempt a crash program several years from now. 5 We remain committed to the goal of arms limitation through negotiation. I hope we can persuade our adversaries to come to realistic balanced ajid verifiable agreements. (Applause.) But, as we negotiate, our security must be fully protected by a balanced and realistic defense program. Now, let me say a word here about the general problem of waste and fraud in the federal government. One government estimate indicated that fraud alone may account for anywhere from one to ten percent — as much as $25 billion of federal expenditures for social programs. If the tax dollars that are wasted or mismanaged are added to this fraud total, the staggering dimensions of this problem begin to emerge. The Office of Management and Budget is now putting together an interagency task force to attack waste and fraud. We’re also planning to appoint as Inspectors General highly-trained professionals who will spare no effort to do this job. No administration can promise to immediately stop a trend that has grown in recent years as quickly as government expenditures themselves. But let me say this: waste and fraud in the federal government is exactly what I have called it before — an unrelenting national scandal — a scandal we're bound and determined to do something about. (Applause) Marching in lockstep with the whole program of reductions in spending is the equally important program of reduced tax rates. Both are essential if we’re to have economic recovery. It’s time to create new jobs, to build and rebuild industry, and give the American people room to do what they do best. And that can only be done with a tax program which provides incentive to increase productivity for both workers and industry. Our proposal is for a 10-percent across-the-board cut every year for three years in the tax rates for all individual income taxpayers making a total cut in tax cut rates of 30 percent. This three-year reduction will also apply to the tax on unearned income leading toward an eventual elimination of the present differential between the tax on earned and unearned income. Now, I would have hoped that we could be retroactive with this. But as it stands, the effective starting date for these 10 percent personal income tax rate reductions will call for as of July 1st of this year. Again, let me remind you that while this 30 percent reduction will leave the taxpayers with $500 billion more in their pockets over the next five years, it’s actually only a reduction in the tax increase already built into the system. Unlike some past tax "reforms,” this is not merely a shift of wealth between different sets of taxpayers. This proposal for an equal reduction in everyone’s tax rates will expand our national prosperity, enlarge national incomes, and increase opportunities for all Americans. Some will argue, I know, that reducing tax rates now will be inflationary. A solid body of economic experts does not agree. And tax cuts adopted over the past 3/4 of a century indicate these economic experts are right. They will not be inflationary. 6 I’ve had advise that in 1985 our real production in goods and services will grow by 20 percent and be S300 billion higher than it is today. The average worker’s wage will rise in real purchasing power 8 percent and this is in after-tax dollars. And this, of course, is predicated on a complete tax cuts and spending reductions being implemented. The other part of the tax package is aimed directly at providing business and industry with the capital to modernize and engage in more research and development. This will involve an increase in depreciation allowances and this part of our tax proposal will be retroactive to January 1st. The present depreciation system is obsolete, needlessly complex, and economically counterproductive. Very simply, it bases the depreciation of plant machinery and vehicles and tools on their original cost, with no recognition of how inflation has increased their replacement cost. We’re proposing a much shorter write-off time than is presently allowed — a five-year write-off for machinery, 3 years for vehicles and trucks, and 10-year write-off for plant. In Fiscal Year 1982 under this plan, business would acquire nearly $10 billion for investment. By 1985 the figure would be nearly $45 billion. These changes are essential to provide the new investment which is needed to create millions of new jobs in 1985, and to make America competitive once again in the world market. (Applause.) These won’t be make-work jobs. They are productive jobs, jobs with a future. I’m well aware that there are many other desirable and needed tax changes, such as indexing the income tax brackets to protect taxpayers against inflation, the unjust discrimination against married couples if both are working and earning, tuition tax credits, the unfairness of the inheritance tax, especially to the family-owned farm and the family-owned business, and a number of others. But our program for economic recovery is so urgently needed to begin to bring down inflation that I’m asking you to act on this plan first and with great urgency. And then, I pledge that I will join with you in seeking these additional tax changes at an the earliest date possible. (Applause.) American society experienced a virtual explosion in government regulation during the past decade. Between 1970 and 1979, expenditures for the major regulatory agencies quadrupled. The number of pages published annually in the Federal Register nearly tripled, and the number of pages in the Code of Federal Regulations increased by nearly two-thirds. The result has been higher prices, higher unemployment, and lower productivity growth. Overregulation causes small and independent businessmen and women, as well as large businesses, to defer or terminate plans for expansion. And, since they are responsible for most of the new jobs, those new jobs just aren’t created. We have no intention of dismantling the regulatory agencies, especially those necessary to protect the environment and insure the public health and safety. However, we must come to grips with inefficient and burdensome regulations, eliminate those we can and reform the others. 7 I have asked Vice President Bush to head a Cabinet-level task force on regulatory relief. Second, I asked each member of my Cabinet to postpone the effective dates of the hundreds of new regulations which have not yet been implemented. Third, in coordination with the task force, many of the agency heads have already taken prompt action to review and rescind existing burdensome regulations. And finally, just yesterday, I signed an Executive Order that for the first time provides for effective and coordinated management of the regulatory process. Much has been accomplished but it's only a beginning. We will eliminate those regulations that are unproductive and unnecessary by Executive Order where possible and cooperate fully with you on those that require legislation. The final aspect of our plan requires a national monetary policy which does not allow money growth to increase consistently faster than the growth of goods and services. In order to curb inflation we need to slow the growth in our money supply. Now, we fully recognize the independence of the Federal Reserve System and will do nothing to interfere with or undermine that independence. We will consult regularly with the Federal Reserve Board on all aspects of our economic program and will vigorously pursue budget policies that will make their job easier in reducing monetary growth. A successful program to achieve stable and moderate growth patterns in the money supply will keep both inflation and interest rates down and restore vigor to our financial institutions and markets. This, then, is our proposal, America’s new beginning, a program for economic recovery. I don’t want it to be simply the plan of my administration. I’m here tonight to ask you to join me in making it our plan. Together we can embark on this road. (Applause.) I should have arranged to quit right there. (Laughter. Applause.) Well, together we can embark on this road not to make things easy but to make things better. Our social, political and cultural, as well as our economic institutions, can no longer absorb the repeated shocks that have been dealt them over the past decades. Can we do the job? The answer is yes. But we must begin now. We’re in control here. There’s nothing wrong with America that together we can’t fix. I’m sure there’ll be some who will raise the familiar old cry, "Don’t touch my program; cut somewhere else." I hope I’ve made it plain that our approach has been even-handed, that only the programs for the truly deserving needy remain untouched. The question is are we simply going to go down the same path we’ve gone down before, carving out one special program here, and another special program there. I don’t think that’s what the American people expect of us. More important, I don’t think that’s what they want. They are ready to return to the source of our strength. The substance and prosperity of our nation is built by wages brought home from the factories and the mills, the farms, and the shops. They are the services provided in 10,000 comers of America; 8 the interest on the thrift of our people and the returns for their risk-taking. America is the possession of those who build, serve, create and produce. The production of For too long now, we've removed from our people the decisions on how to dispose of what they created. We've strayed from first principles. We must alter our course. The taxing power of government must be used to provide revenues for legitimate government purposes. It must not be used to regulate the economy or bring about social change. (Applause.) We've tried that and surely we must be able to see it doesn’t work. Spending by government must be limited to those functions which are the proper province of government. We can no longer afford things simply because we think of them. Next year vve can reduce the budget by S41.4 billion, without harm to government's legitimate purposes or to our responsibility to all who need our benevolence. This, plus the reduction in tax rates, will help bring an end to inflation. In the health and social services area alone the plan we’re proposing will substantially reduce the need for 465 pages of law, 1400 pages of regulations 5000 federal employees who presently administer 7,600 separate grants in about 25.000 separate locations. (Applause.) Over seven million men and women hours of work by state and local officials are required to fill out government forms. I would direct a question to those who have indicated already an unwillingness to accept such a plan: have they an alternative which offers a greater chance of balancing the budget, reducing and elim inating inflation, stimulating the creation o f jobs, and reducing the tax burden? And, if they haven’t, are they suggesting we can continue on the present course without coming to a day of reckoning? (Applause.) If we don’t do this, inflation and a growing tax burden will put an end to everything we believe in and our dreams for the future. We don’t have an option of living with inflation and its attendant tragedy, millions of productive people willing and able to work but unable to find a buyer for their work in the job market. W'e have an alternative and that is the program for economic recovery. True, it’ll take time for the favorable effects of our proposal to be felt. So we must begin now. The people are watching and waiting. They don’t demand miracles. They do expect us to act. Let us act together. Thank you and good night. 9:30 E.S.T. 9 I V . R e m a r k s o f th e P r e s id e n t a t B r e a k fa s t w it h E d it o r s THE WHITE HOUSE O ffic e o f the Press Secretary REMARKS OF THE PRESIDENT AT BREAKFAST WITH EDITORS February 19, 1981 9:02 A.M. EST THE PRESIDENT: Those o f you who haven't fin ish ed break fa s t , keep on eating and I w ill talk over you. Welcome here. Delighted to have you a l l here th is morning. Maybe some o f you have n oticed that the h e lico p te r is on the lawn in case my reception is somewhat d iffe r e n t than i t has been. We are departing soon to make sure that the West Coast is s t i l l attached. Again, as I say, we are pleased to have you here. We think that we can have a dialogue instead o f a monologue, and I am going to , without any further remarks, introduce to you one o f our Cabinet se cre ta rie s who w ill introduce a couple o f teammates and then I w ill come back and we w ill begin some questions and answers that w ill be concluded with the gentleman that you are about to meet. Ladies and gentlemen, the Secretary o f the Treasury, Don Regan. (Applause.) SECRETARY REGAN: Thank you, Mr. President. Good morning la d ies and gentlemen. I t is a pleasure to be here with you. I hope that you are a l l as t h r ille d as I was la st night in hearing the P residen t's remarks. This program is r e a lly b old . I t is innovative. I t is new. I t breaks with the past. And i t is d iffe r e n t . I think that i t is going to be one o f the most stim ulating things that has ever happened to our economy. From the point o f view o f why we are being so abruot in break ing with the p a s t ,it is that we can no longer go on with what we have been- doing. You take a look at what our economy has been doing and con s id e r that fo r the la s t two years we have had the greatest rates o f in fla t io n since the C iv il War, and we apparently were going to continue down that road unless there was a break, so we have decided to make i t . We are doing it#as you know, as the President explained i t la st night, with a fou r-p a rt program. The f i r s t part o f that program is the spending cu ts. The second part o f the program are the tax cu ts. The third part o f the program is deregulation — g ettin g the government o f f the back o f the people. And the fourth part o f i t con sists o f having a stable monetary growth. Now during the morning, Dave Stockman, Murray Weidenbaum, and I w ill be explaining the d e ta ils o f th is package. I w ill not take any longer except to say that as part o f my program, that i s , the tax part o f i t , I am going up on the H ill th is morning at 10:00 to s ta rt explaining i t . I have another session with a d iffe r e n t part o f the H ill at 2:00. I am back up there again tomorrow at 10:00. We w ill be ex p la in in g th is program, I hope :not ad nauseum,but at lea st with a great deal o f c la r it y so that y o u 'l l a l l understand i t . And we fe e l that i t ' s ex a ctly what the American people have wanted. I t 's been designed that way. We're going to give i t to them that way. We're going to fig h t with them in Congress. You can use any analogy you want. This is the k ic k -o ff in fo o t b a ll. This is the f i r s t inning o f a baseball game. We're righ t at the s ta rt o f what promises to be a great v icto ry fo r the Reagan fo r c e s . And t h a t's the program that w e're going to be developing over the next few months working with the Congress. Thank you very much. MORE - 2 - Now, I 'd lik e to introduce my colleague and sidekick fo r these past s ix weeks, a man th a t's well-known to most o f you, David Stockman, D irector o f the O ffic e o f Management and Budget. Dave. (Applause.) MR. STOCKMAN: Well, thank you very much, Don, and ladies and gentlemen I would lik e to welcome you to the P residen t's new White House Breakfast Program th is morning, the one new program that we d id n 't announce la st night. But what we hope that w e're o ffe r in g to you th is morning is not only a breakfast but some food fo r thought. And what I would lik e to suggest today is the plan that the President announced la st night contains more new ideas, more new approaches to the fundamental economic problems o f th is country than we’ ve seen in the la st 15 or 20 years in Washington. And when you look at the economic mess that we have today, the way that in fla t io n is eroding the a b ilit y o f our economy to operate, the way in which tax rates continue to creep up and destroy in cen tives, destroy investments, destroy savings, i t ' s pretty clea r to me and I think i t ' s pretty cle a r to the President that the kind o f bold changes on the spending sid e , on the tax sid e, on the regulatory side that he proposed la s t night are p re c is e ly what this country needs. I'm in charge o f the budget side in p a rticu la r. And although the papers th is morning, at lea st some o f them, have suggested that th is $41 b i ll i o n cut that w e're requesting in the federal budget is too draconian, is too deep, I would ju st take this opportunity to remind you that even a fte r a l l those changes are made, and even a fte r the Congress adopts the 83 d iffe r e n t proposals that we presented la st night, we w ill s t i l l have a budget next year that is $40 b i ll i o n higher than i t is this year. The b asic problem fo r two or three years now has been simply that the federal budget has been growing at an astronom ically unsustainable ra te . I t 's increased at 16 percent a year since f i s c a l year '79 . That's fa r fa s te r than the growth o f our tax base. I t 's fa r fa s te r than the growth o f our economy as a whole. As a re s u lt, w e're taking a la rger and larger share o f the output o f our economy at the government le v e l. And that explains b a s ica lly the economic d ete rio ra tio n that we've had. So w e're proposing to s h ift d ire ctio n sharply, to hold the growth rate o f fed eral spending to 6 percent next year and in the years th e re a fter. I t w ill be d i f f i c u l t to do. But we have proposed to slay some sacred cows, i f you w i ll . We have proposed to reduce or elim inate programs that simply c a n 't be ju s t ifie d under the current f i s c a l and economic c r i s i s con dition s that we face in th is country. But I think that we*re going to get a favorable response from the American people and I think w e're going to get a favorable response from the H ill. I happened to spend four years on the H ill as a member o f Congress. And I know that during those four years, every member o f Congress knew in his mind and his heart that things were going too fa r, that things were out o f hand. Now we have a President who's w illin g to propose a program to turn that around. We have a President who I think can r a lly the support o f th is country. And I think you 're going to fin d on Capitol H ill, despite a ll the cynicism that you hear from some, that w e're going to get a great deal o f support and that w e're going to get th is job done. Thank you. (Applause.) Oh, excuse me. I t 's my pleasure now to introduce the MORE - 3 - th ird member o f our economic team, Murray Weidenbaum, who's Chairman o f the Council of Economic Advisers. He's the guy in charge of in tegratin g and p u llin g th is whole program together and explaining i t in a lu cid and convincing way, something that h e's fu lly capable o f doing. So, I would lik e to introduce Murray Weidenbaum, Chairman o f the CEA. (Applause.) MR. WEIDENBAUM:. Ladies and gentlemen, I would lik e to emphasize ju st one key p oin t. The Reagan program is a program for a h ea lth ier economy which w ill provide real s o lid b en efits to every American c it iz e n . 1 w ill not concentrate on the medicine, so to speak, the budget cuts, the regulatory r e s tr a in t. I would lik e to emphasize the re s u lts , the p o s itiv e re s u lts , in terms o f bringing the in fla t io n down by more than h a lf, in terms o f reducing the tax burden o f every taxpayer, the creation o f three m illion new jobs , a l l th is between now and 19 86 — not a quick f i x to be sure, but a con stru ctive, balanced program which very frankly deserves the support, I think, o f the American people. And, p erson ally, i t ' s a real pleasure to work fo r the number one economic communicator o f our nation, the President o f the United States. THE PRESIDENT: Well, ladies and gentlemen, you obviously know that you are here because we b eliev e that the main source o f strength in this fig h t is going to be the people themselves. And we b e lie v e a lso that they are ready to support a great change and go along. And you are in a p o sitio n to help with t h is . I 'v e been hearing some o f the voices already and, when I was gettin g dressed, some o f the morning shows, from those who would be expected to be against th is program in government. And I almost sensed that 6ne o f th e ir plans is going to be to not c r i t i c i z e the cuts at a l l but to see i f they ca n 't wipe out the tax part o f the program. This tax part o f the program we have trie d to stress,an d th is is one o f the reasons why we've gone out o f our way to point out to the people that i t is not a reducing o f the amount o f money that government is going to g et, i t is reducing the increase. We found in C a liforn ia when I was governor there that — and we had our great w elfare reforms and a l l and we had in h erited a situ a tio n sim ilar to that o f the federal government today. And during the campaign I was very fru stra ted when people would ring up and say, "Well, yes, he talks about saving money in C a liforn ia ,b u t look, the budgets went up and then went up to such and such a figu re by the time he l e f t o f f i c e . " What they d id n 't re a liz e was o f course the budgets are going to go up. There's growth, th e re 's in fla t io n , th e re 's growth in government to match the increase in population and so fo r th . What they d id n 't r e a liz e though was that that slan t o f going up, we reduced by 20 percent. And i f you do the same with the taxes and change the steep r is e , today th e re 's v ir tu a lly $100 b ill i o n o f tax increase b u ilt in to the present system that w ill take place in th is coming year i f we do not reduce that in crease. But fo r years now the two lin e s have been diverging. Even steep as the taxes are, they d o n 't keep up with the increase in spending. I f we can bring those lin es to be more p a r a lle l and what we are — b e lie v e me, hoping fo r , and know we can do, is have the tax lin e begin to converge with the spending lin e . And when you reach that poin t and then i f you keep going the tax lin e w ill be bringing in revenues greater than the increase in government. That, is when you go forward with further tax cuts o f the kind to co r re ct the in eq u ities that I mentioned in my remarks la s t n igh t. MORE - 4 - And I b e lie v e the people are ready. But I b e lie v e that t h e r e 's going to be a l o t o f m isinform ation relea sed in the fig h t s th a t might go on. And y e t , w e're o p t im is t ic . We think that a cross the a i s l e , in Congress today, there is a d iffe r e n t fe e lin g and th ere are more people than anyone r e a liz e s who are o f the opin ion that th is has to go forward. Now, rath er than go on with any kind o f a monologue, and s in ce my time is lim ite d h ere, and p o s s ib ly yours a ls o , maybe we can open th is up to d is cu s s io n or q u estion s from you. And i f you throw me one that I c a n 't answer you can see I 'v e got three s p e c i a l i s t s here th at I ' l l c a l l on. Q Mr. P resid en t, in your l i s t o f in fla t io n a r y fo r ce s l a s t n ig h t, why d id you not mention the in crea se o f g a so lin e p r ic e s and home heating fu e ls ? THE PRESIDENT: Why in the l i s t o f in fla t io n a r y fo r c e s d id I not mention g a so lin e p r ic e s and home h eatin g fu e l p r ic e s . W ell, I have to b e lie v e that to a c e r ta in e x te n t, I know that t h a t 's an unusual s it u a t io n , p r ic e s are not so much the cause o f in f l a t io n — p r ic e r i s e s , t h e y 'r e the r e s u lt . And when I say there is something d i f f e r e n t in that one, y e s. When the OPEC nations with the near monopoly power now take advantage o f that p o s itio n and ju s t simply r a is e the p r ic e t o s u it them selves. That i s a p r ic e over and above the normal response to i n f l a t i o n . Although, I 'v e — as one econom ist p oin ted out a couple o f years ago, he d id n 't s ta te th is as a th eory , but he ju s t s a id i t ' s something to look a t, when we s ta rte d buying the o i l over there and the OPEC n a tio n s, 10 b a r re ls o f o i l were s o ld fo r the p r ic e o f an ounce o f g o ld . And the p r ic e was pegged to the American d o lla r . And we were about the only country l e f t that s t i l l were on a gold standard. And then a few years went by and we l e f t the g old standard. And as t h is man su ggested, i f you look at the re cu rre n t p r ic e r i s e s , were the OPEC n ations r a is in g the p r ic e o f o i l o r were they simply fo llo w in g the same pa ttern o f an ounce o f g o ld ? That as gold in th is in fla t io n a r y age kept goin g up, they w e re n 't goin g to fo llo w our paper money down h ill. They stayed with the gold p r i c e . MORE - 5 - Of course, now, i f we follow ed that, why they should be coming down because the p rice o f o i l is coming down. But I think that th a t's lik e the in fla tio n contributing fa cto r which w ill happen some times simply because o f a poor crop. That is not based on the economy, t h a t 's simply supply and demand and th e re 's a crop fa ilu re and you've got a bigger demand than you have supply — the p rice goes up. But I b eliev e that even those things can be d ealt with with the other fa ctors that w e're going to fo llo w tand that is trying to increase the energy supply in our own country. I think we can ta lk conservation a l l we want, but th e re 's a lim it,w hat you get below,what you cannot get maintaining your le v e l o f comfort and your le v e l o f industry. And I think the best answer while conservation, is w illin g i t s e l f is to try to make us independent o f outside sources to the greatest extent p o ssib le for our energy and I b elieve that we have the p o s s ib il it i e s o f that. We're not energy poor. There's energy yet to be found and developed in th is country including the b igg est co a l p ile any country in the world s it s on. So, i f I d id n 't mention th a t, i t was because I d id n 't mention a number o f other th in gs. I wanted to get through in 30 minutes before my audience walked out on me. (Laughter) Q (Inaudible.) THE PRESIDENT: W ell, in s o c ia l services — maybe part o f my confidence in that and what we can do i s based on what we did in C a lifo rn ia . We fin a lly re a lize d that a l l the savings we were making, a l l the economies, were a l l being eaten by w elfare. And in good times and bad i t bore no re la tio n to the economy. We saw that w elfare in C a lifo rn ia was reaching a point o f an increase as much as 40,000 cases a month being added to the w elfare r o le s . We fin a lly turned the task fo r c e lo o se to come back with a plan fo r reforming w elfare. And we had a long fig h t . We could do the part adm inistratively or two fig h ts . We had a fig h t with our le g is la tu r e to get some o f i t , because I had a h o s t ile le g is la tu r e at the time, and we had a fig h t with Washinaton— with the bureaucracy o f HEW who had ru les and regu lation s. For example, and th is is s t i l l true today, that under those rules and regulations no one in the United States knows how many people are on w elfare. They only know how many checks th e y 're sending out and then we turn up a woman in Chicago th a t's g ettin g checks under 127 d iffe r e n t names. And ju s t recen tly in Pasadena, C a lifo rn ia ,liv in g in a lov ely big home there, a woman was brought in and charged with c o lle c t in g $300,000 in a w elfare scheme. W ell, we se t out to co r r e c t t h is . We fin a lly got some waivers from HEW. We fin a lly got the le g is la t io n and again, we got i t — one o f the biggest sin g le things that happened to turn the public on our side in that fig h t came from your p rofession — from the press. When a paper from San Francisco sent a reporter out to see i f he could get on w elfare — to see i f our s t o r ie s o f the horrors o f w elfare were tru e. He got on w elfare four times under four d iffe r e n t names in the same o f f i c e on the same day. And when he wrote that sto ry , we had an a l ly . When we fin ish ed our reform s, though— we hadn't been able to give a co s t o f liv in g increase to the w elfare re cip ie n ts in C a liforn ia because we were spread so thin , th is is 1958 — we saved over a three year p eriod , because the w elfare reform went in only in my la s t three years — we saved $2 b i ll i o n fo r the C a liforn ia taxpayers in the program. The t o le s were reduced by more than 350,000 people without us a ctu a lly throwing anyone o f f . They ju s t disappeared, and over and above that we had enough to increase the w elfare grants fo r the deserving needy who remained by an average o f 43 percent. MORE - 6 - And when I say we d id n 't throw anyone o f f , we g ot oerm ission that in 35 o f our 58 co u n tie s , we cou ld req u ire a b le-b od ied w elfa re r e c ip ie n ts to work — to come and re p o r t fo r u sefu l community p r o je c t s — a l l o f which w e've screened — from sch ool board, from co u n tie s, from c i t i e s and towns to make sure there were no boondoggles. And they had to re p o rt - - they only had to work 20, not 40 hours a week. The o th e r h a lf was to be spent e it h e r in jo b tra in in g o r look in g fo r work and then we assigned what we c a lle d "jo b agents" from our Labor Department to each group o f these p e o p le . And t o ld these jo b agents t h e ir jo b was to look at these p eole doing these job s and see how q u ick ly they cou ld get them out in the p riv a te e n te r p r is e . And in the midst o f the *73 and *74 r e c e s s io n , when unemployment was in crea sin g in the n a tion . They funneled 76,000 w elfa re r e c ip ie n ts through th is program in to p riv a te e n te rp r is e jo b s — and fr e e o f w elfa re from then on ou t. And we b e lie v e that th is is w hat's going to happen because w e're very much determined to turn as much o f w elfa re management as we can back to the s ta te s — g ive them the fe d e r a l revenue sh are,bu t more in the nature o f a b lock grant. And g ive them the r ig h t to req u ire able* bodied r e c ip ie n ts to work and give them the r ig h t to adm inister th is program w ithout t h is la yer o f bureaucracy in Washington on top o f i t . And so , we think w e 're going to b e n e fit hurt the p eop le that are g e ttin g these gra n ts. rath er than Q Mr. P resid en t, i s there any way you can get the Congress to vote t h is e n t ir e program up or down o r are you going to have to go program -by-program -by program u n t il you g et the vote o f each one? THE PRESIDENT; We'.re in trod u cin g f i v e p ie c e s o f l e g i s l a t i o n . One w i l l be the tax b i l l , the oth er one w i ll be a r e c o n c i l i a t i o n a ct — th at w i l l be one o f the toughest ones. That is to t r y and g e t them to sim ply submit the program to the major committees and n ot break i t a l l up in to fragments and fragment i t out w ith a l l the Then there w i l l be the r e s c is s io n s fo r 1981. We d i d n 't mention that la s t n ig h t, but our cu ts have begun w ith the remainder o f 1981, which has been goin g on sin ce October 1 st — t h is budget. W e're going to make se v e ra l b i l l i o n s o f savings b e fo re the year is out in that program. That w i l l take r e s c is s io n s that have to be passed by Congress and then, o f co u rse , the cu ts in the 1982 budget which has been subm itted by the previou s a d m in istra tion . And t h a t 's the one that w e're hoping t o reduce $41.4 b i l l i o n with our c u ts . So, t h a t 's as much as we cou ld package i t . We've emphasized and I 'v e been meeting w ith l e g i s l a t i v e lea d ers from both sid e s o f the a i s l e . We're going to con tin u e to do th at urging them both to e x p e d ite f i r s t , but a ls o to hold i t to g e th e r. One o f the reasons that we d i d n 't add in any o f the tax fe a tu re s th a t I mentioned la t e r — as coming l a t e r on — is because we thought i f we opened that d o o r, then everyone with an idea would begin to p ick at the program with amendments and so fo r t h and we hope th at t h e y 'l l ju s t sim ply g e t the b a s ic program passed. I b e lie v e , as I sa id e a r l i e r , th at one o f the th in gs we must be most o f aware o f w i l l be the attempt — no one w i l l want to stand up and oppose the cu ts in to d a y 's clim a te , but they w i l l then sa y, "W ell, the tax p a rt o f i t w on 't w ork ." MORE - Q (In a u d ib le .) THE PRESIDENT: Q No. (In a u d ib le .) THE PRESIDENT: Q 7 - Yes. What e x a c tly d id you mean by that? (In a u d ib le .) THE PRESIDENT: W ell now, t h a t 's a problem I'm going to have to fa ce and I had a ru le 1 111 f a l l back on in C a lifo r n ia as Governor. I never ta lk about whether I ' l l sign or v e to u n t il whatever i s there i s b e fo r e me on my desk. But the two must go to g e th e r i f we are to have the stim u la te to the economy, because the main purpose o f th is is r e a lly to g et the economy moving again. And to do th a t, w e've seen the percentage o f gross n a tion a l product th a t the Federal Government i s taking in taxes going up c o n s is t e n t ly . And i f you go back to where i t was hovering below 20 and down around anywhere from seventeen and a h a lf to nineteen over the y e a rs, we d i d n 't have i n f l a t i o n . We d i d n 't have the problems w e 're having to d a y /b u t w e 're on our way up to alm ost a fou rth o f the gross n a tion a l prod u ct taken by government in taxes and t h is i s what we f e e l has to come down i f the economy i s to go forw ard, and o f co u rse , to do th a t, w e've g ot to make — i f w e 're going to cure in fla t io n ,w h ic h I b e lie v e stems in the main from government spending more than i t takes i n f w e 're goin g to have to b rin g government down to match the reven u es. Q Mr. P re sid e n t, many p eop le in Congress b e lie v e in the tax c u t s , I mean budget c u ts , but are very concerned about the tax c u t s . They fe a r i t w i l l be in fla t io n a r y . How do you plan to combat th a t fe a r among Congress? THE PRESIDENT: W ell, I mentioned th a t l a s t n ig h t, th is fe a r th a t the tax cu ts would be in fla t io n a r y . F ir s t o f a l l , a number o f fin e econom ists l ik e Murray Weidenbaum and many o f h is a s s o c ia te s d o n 't think that t h a t 's s o , but a ls o w e've g o t h is to r y on our s id e . Every major tax cu t th a t has been made in th is century in our country has re s u lte d in even the government g e tt in g more revenue than i t did b e fo r e because the base o f the economy i s so broadened by doing i t . We on ly have to look a t the l a s t few ex p erien ces w ith cu ts in the c a p it a l gains tax and you fin d th a t the very next year a f t e r the ra te was low ered, the government g o t more revenue from c a p it a l gains tax than i t ' s been g e t tin g a t the higher r a t e . What happens? People up th ere who are now w orried about and busying them selves with tax s h e lt e r s , i f i t becomes p r o f i t a b l e to move out in t o r is k -t a k in g adventure and investm ents, they then are encouraged t o move ou t and in to th a t. Back when C alvin C oolid g e cu t the taxes a cro ss the board, and more than on ce, the governm ent's revenues in cre a se d . When Jack Kennedy d id i t in the tw o-year program and h is economic a d v is e r s , they were a l l t e l l i n g him, I can remember the fig u r e s , they t o ld him that the government would lo s e $83 b i l l i o n in revenue and the government gained $54 b i l l i o n in revenue, I think i s the fig u r e , th a t i t a c tu a lly went up. So they had made q u it e a s iz e a b le fin a n c ia l e r r o r in t h e ir e s tim a te s . Jack Kennedy's l i n e about i t was, "a r is in g t id e l i f t s a l l b o a t s . 1* And t h is i s what we b e lie v e th a t the tax p ro p o sa ls th a t w e've made, what t h e y 'r e aimed a t . Business and industry in America today is investing the lowest percentage o f any o f the in d u stria l nations in improvement in plant and equipment. We have the highest percentage o f outmoded in d u stria l plant and equipment o f a ll the in d u stria l nations. One o f the reasons is the lack o f ca p ita l. The government is competing in the private ca p ita l market to fund the government's d e f i c it s . The American people are saving at a lower percentage than the workers are in Japan, West Germany and the other in d u stria l nations,and that money that once went in to savings acounts or insurance, and as we a l l know i t then became a part o f the ca p ita l pool that was reinvested by banks and insurance companies out in the free enterprise sector. And you could c i t e a l l sorts o f figu res o f the increase in investment in tax free municipal bonds and the reduction in in d u stria l stocks that have taken place in America, so a l l o f th is is aimed a t,n ot at being in fla tio n a ry , but the other way. And w e're ju s t convinced that what has happened before every time is going to happen again. Q Mr. President, the AFL-CIO fe e lin g in Miami is (inaudible) proposing the program. I wonder i f you would consider th is thing a curious impediment and i f so, how you would (inaudible)? THE PRESIDENT: Well, I c a n 't say that I d id n 't expect i t . I thought i t was in terestin g that they kind o f took a stand against i t before they heard what i t was. Now whether t h e y 'l l be converted or convinced by the things that they w ill now be able to understand or know about the program, I wish they would trea t i t with more o f an open mind. I happen to b eliev e that sometimes th ey're out o f step with th e ir own rank and f i l e . They certa in ly were in the la st e le c tio n . But I was the president o f my own union once, an AFL-CIO union, and I think I know something about them. And i t is true that they p h ilo so p h ica lly have tended for a number of years now to support the idea o f government spending being good fo r the economy. I remember once that as a union president representing not only my own but 32 other unions in the motion picture industry -and management, I came to Washington to appear before the House Ways and Means Committee in support o f a tax reform program that had been introduced. I was met by two o f the lob b y ists fo r the AFL-CIO and shown a rather sizea b le book labeled "The Tax P olicy fo r the AFL-CIO” for that year, and i t was com pletely the opposite o f what I was here to say in behalf o f those lo c a l unions that were a l l part o f that organization. They frankly stated that the tax p o licy they favored would get the government $12 b i l l i o n in a d dition al revenue and they wanted i t to get that revenue because they had $12 b i ll i o n worth o f w elfare programs that they wanted the government to adopt. L isten, I 'v e been leaning to the rig h t a l l the time — there must be people over here (laughter) — Q Mr. P resident, in cutting back government support o f syn th etic fu el (inaudible) private en terprise w ill pick up and do the jo b , fa ilu r e to do so in the past (in a u d ib le ), what makes you think t h e y 'l l do i t again? THE PRESIDENT: Well, because i f i t ' s going to be done t h e y 'l l have to do i t . Maybe they haven't done i t in the past because there was so much promise o f government standing there ready to do i t , and you know, not that the giant companies are poor but I keep remembering what Milton Friedman once said, " I f you s ta rt paying people to be poor, there is going to be a lo t o f poor p eop le." And maybe the same thing ‘was true o f business, that human nature is the same in the board room as i t is down there in the s tr e e t . But I think that with the p ric e o f fu e l where i t i s , le t me be p r a c tic a l about them and f a i r to them a lso . There was no in cen tive b efore because what we were talking about, synthetic fu els were going to be more c o s tly than the natural fu e ls that we were using. Now with the p ric e up where i t i s , there is an in cen tive fo r them to look at these because they may be co s t e ff e c t i v e . They may even be c o s t advantageous over f o s s i l fu e ls . So I b e lie v e that there i s . - 9 - I have always p r e fe rre d th at i f th ere is some stim u late in a d d itio n th at i s needed, X b e lie v e the tax in c e n tiv e s are a b e t te r rou te than o u trig h t su bsid y, Q Mr. P re sid e n t, I b e lie v e la s t n igh t you sa id th at spending ou ts are the la r g e s t ever been quoted. Are th ese the la r g e s t tax cu ts ever been quoted? THE PRESIDENT: You know something? T h a t's a q u estion — I ju s t looked over here and I g o t a cu e. Yes. Don Regan t e l l s me they are and t h a t 's f i t t i n g because the tax in crea se that was adopted in the l a s t year and that i s b u i lt in to the p resen t system i s the la r g e s t s in g le tax in cre a s e in our n a t io n 's h is t o r y . So we might as w e ll match i t w ith the la r g e s t s in g le tax cu t in our h is t o r y . I know that I 'v e come to the end o f my time and hear that h e lic o p t e r take o f f p r e tty q u ic k ly , but d o n 't think your q u estion s w on 't be answered here. I am now going to g e t my t r i o back up here and they w i l l take your q u estion s and I think they w i l l be a b le to g iv e you more indepth on anything th a t you might want to know about the program th a t w e've been p u ttin g to g e th e r. So, Don Regan and Murray, Dave Stockman, i t ' s your turn to come back up here and take the q u estion s from these la d ie s and gentlem en, and i f y o u ' l l fo r g iv e me, I am a few minutes la te and I'm g oin g to have to run now. Now you can g e t down to the r e a lly deep q u e stio n s w ith a l l o f them. Come on Dave, Murray and Don. (A pplause.) END