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Monthly Review
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L O U I S

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N O VEM BER 1, 1946

Survey of Current Conditions
The Government’s decision to accelerate the
removal of price controls from an expanding list
of goods and services marks a major step toward
the restoration of a competitive economy. The
price responses which have followed have been very
pronounced but it is too early to evaluate the long­
term effect on the general price level. The im­
mediate rapid increase in livestock quotations
which was followed by a sharp reaction in many
major livestock markets may well prove to be
typical of the response of many items to the elimi­
nation of price controls.
One important factor in the outlook for prices
of manufactured goods is the steady increase in
business inventories that has occurred during re­
cent months, despite the *maintenance of sales at
record levels. A considerable part of the increase
in value of inventories reflects higher prices but
to an important extent the accumulations represent
an increase in the volume of actual goods. H ow ­
ever, the inventory situation remains spotty in
many industries and a smooth flow of goods is yet
to be achieved on an over-all basis.
Labor and management share a great responsi­
bility for maintaining output as a primary means
of preventing runaway prices. The need for con­
tinuous full-scale output is still urgent, and, with
the hastening of the elimination of price and wage
controls, this need for volume production is in­
creased. Production generally has been maintained
at or near peak levels despite the serious limita­
tions on output experienced by many industries
as a result of materials shortages. It is vital that




obstructions to production be overcome as rapidly
as possible so that the flow of finished goods to
consumers be increased steadily.
EMPLOYMENT
Nonagricultural employment in the Eighth Dis­
trict was slightly higher in September than in the
-previous month with additional gains forecast for
the remainder of the year. In the St. Louis area
manufacturing employment showed a small decline
in September as a result of a sharp decrease in the
meat packing industry which was sufficient to off­
set gains in other industries.
September employment in district manufacturing
industries as well as in the construction trades was
somewhat below earlier estimates. Shortages of
materials have been a primary factor tending to
restrain employment expansion. In the Little
Rock area, for example, scheduled increases in
employment in the food, apparel, and basic and
finished lumber industries have not been realized
due to uncertain deliveries of materials and goods.
Reports from other parts of the district, including
the St. Louis area, indicate that such shortages
have tended to forestall increases in employment.
In general, the number of unemployed workers
in the district in September was somewhat smaller
than in August, due to an increase in employment
and to the seasonal withdrawal from the labor force
of vacation workers and students who are returning
to school. A surplus of workers exists, however,
in all the major industrial areas of the district, and
consists largely of unskilled or semi-skilled workers,
(C ontinued on Page 8)

Industrial Growth in the South
One of the most significant developments in the
national economy is the extent to which the tradi­
tionally agricultural states of the South are be­
coming industrialized. The growth of industry in
this region has been fostered deliberately in an
attempt to raise the incomes and the standards of
living of its people. As a result the South, which
not so long ago was termed by some the nation’s
number one economic problem, is now being re­
garded as a new area of opportunity.
While the South recently has come into the
public eye because of its rapid industrial growth
during the war years, it had been conscious of
its problem and had attempted to do something
about it long before the advent of W orld W ar II.
Various sections of the Southern economy, most
notably North Carolina and east Tennessee, had
attracted industry and had reaped considerable
benefit from it in the interwar decades. In the
defense and then the war period, however, great
impetus was given the movement by the establish­
ment of a large number of war plants throughout
the South. The region now is bent first on holding
and then on magnifying the industrial gains of the
war years.
The Eighth Federal Reserve District is vitally
interested on two counts in the movement to in­
dustrialize the South. In the first place the dis­
trict is itself partly a southern area. All of Arkan­
sas, western Tennessee, and northern Mississippi
make up the typically southern portion of the dis­
PER CENT OF TO TA L IN C R E A S E
SELEC TED

United States

South*

IN INCOM E

Arkansas

Mississippi

I Wor Manufacturing industries
Military Payments
C l £ V E*i

ST A T ES

Page 2



PA YM EN TS 1940-1944

INCOME SO U R C ES

trict.* Somewhat more than 40 per cent of the dis­
trict’s area and but slightly less than 40 per cent of
its population are contained in this mid-South re­
gion which surrounds two major district cities,
Memphis and Little Rock.
Over and above this reason, however, Eighth
District interest in the program of industrialization
stems from the fact that the South’s problem is
essentially that of any predominantly agricultural
region and solutions to that problem may well
apply in areas outside the South proper. This dis­
trict basically is an agricultural section and as such
is interested in any program which attempts to
balance a traditionally low-income agriculture with
higher-income industry.
In the southern states that lie wholly or in part
within the Eighth District substantial progress
has been made in recent years toward increasing
the importance of industrial production relative to
agricultural output. An examination of the ex­
perience of Tennessee, Mississippi and Arkansas is
important, not only because it offers a means of
appraising the trend in the remainder of the South,
but also because it affords an opportunity to evalu­
ate the operation of more or less contrasting state
approaches to the problem of encouraging the de­
velopment of industry in the South.
INCOME TRENDS IN THE SOUTH
Any appraisal of current industrial development
trends in these states and in the South as a whole
must proceed from an understanding of the eco­
nomic background of the area. In general, the
South is and has been a low-income area. In 1929,
per capita income in that area amounted to $344
as compared with $926 in the highly industrial
Middle East region and $680 for the country as a
whole. Until the middle 1930’s, income in the
South continued at about one-half that of the rest
of the country. At that time the gap began to nar­
row slightly, but as late as 1940, the last prewar
year, average income in the South was only some
56 per cent of the national average. In Arkansas
and Mississippi income throughout the 1930’s was
considerably less than in the remainder of the
South and in the rest of the country, but in Ten­
nessee the comparison with the remainder of the
southern states was somewhat more favorable.
However, available evidence indicates that in the

Tennessee

Agriculture

* Portions of the Eighth D istrict, with some econom ic characteristics
o f both the N orth and South, such as W estern Kentucky and Southern
M issouri, are not included. F or convenience the South as used in this
article refers to the Southeast regional classification o f states by the
Department o f Com m erce in its series on incom e payments by states
and regions. This region includes Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia,
K entucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, N orth Carolina, South Carolina, T en­
nessee and Virginia.

portion of Tennessee that falls within the Eighth
district, average income is somewhat below the fig­
ure for Tennessee as a whole and tends to correlate
more closely with income in Arkansas and Missis­
sippi.
During the war period these three states and the
South as a whole benefitted considerably from the
location of war production plants in the area and
from an expansion of existing plants. A number
of major war plants were located in Tennessee. In
the Eighth District portion of the state were the
ordnance plants at Milan and Millington, and air­
craft and chemical plants in Memphis. In addition,
thousands of workers were required for the ex­
panded operations of the automobile and tire in­
dustries in Memphis as well as in other industries
in western Tennessee where facilities were devoted
primarily to war production. In the Eighth district
portion of Mississippi the Gulf Ordnance Plant was
an important war production enterprise. In Arkan­
sas the war economy was boosted considerably as a
result of the location of ordnance plants in the
state and the tremendous increase in bauxite min­
ing and processing.
The general level of income in the South in­
creased sharply during the war period and ex­
perienced the greatest percentage gain of any part
of the country except the northwest region.* From
1940 to 1944 per capita income in the South jumped
from $322 to $737 or 129 per cent. This compares
with a 97 per cent gain for the nation as a whole
and an increase of about 77 per cent in the indus­
trialized New England and Middle Eastern states.
The gains in Arkansas, Mississippi and Tennessee
were even larger than that for the South as a
whole. It should be noted, however, that these
spectacular income rises in the South cannot be
ascribed solely to industrial gains. In the region
as a whole more than one-fourth of the total in­
crease from 1940 to 1944 resulted from military pay­
ments and 17 per cent from agricultural income.
The increase in war manufacturing payrolls ac­
counted for only 12 per cent of the total gain.
In Arkansas and Mississippi the increase in mili­
tary payments and agricultural income constituted
an even larger part of the total income gain dur­
ing the war. In Arkansas, 54 per cent of the total
gain in per capita income during that period re­
sulted from the increase in these two nonindus­
trial sources, while only 5 per cent of the gain
was due to war manufacturing income. In Mis­
sissippi, 65 per cent of the increased income re­
sulted from gains in military payments and agri^Includes Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, M ontana, Nebraska, N orth Dakota,
South Dakota, U tah, and W yom ing.




P ER C EN T A G E D IS T R IB U T IO N
OF EM PLO Y ED LA BO R F O R C E IN 1940

u. s.

Ark.
I Agriculture,
I Forestry, Fishing

ELEV EN st a t es
SOURCE BUREAU

Miss.

Tenn.

I Construction,
I Manufacturing, Mining

0

^ CENSUS

cultural income with less than 7 per cent of the
increase attributable to war manufacturing. Only
in Tennessee was the gain in manufacturing income
relatively more important than that of agricultural
income or military payments.
INDUSTRY AND INCOME
While the wartime income gains of southern
Eighth District regions stemmed largely from non­
industrial sources, this should not be taken to mean
that the district areas do not need industry to
maintain these gains. In general, the level of per
capita income in a region tends to vary directly
with the amount of industrialization of that region.
The fact that district income received such a boost
from high farm production and prices and from
military payments highlights the adverse situation
that obtained here in prewar years rather than
obviates the need for industrialization.
Essentially, the low income level of the South
comes from the fact that its economy is seriously
unbalanced, with too much dependence upon agri­
culture and the production of raw materials which
are exported to other parts of the country for con­
version into finished products, and not enough em­
phasis upon the processing of those raw materials
in the South. Because the South has occupied a
position of supplier of raw materials to manufac­
turers elsewhere, the people of the region have suf­
fered a loss of income in two directions. In the
first place, they have failed to realize for them­
selves the additional income resulting from chang­
Pag« 3

ing low-value raw materials into higher-value fin­
ished goods. However, over and above the in­
crement resulting from the manufacturing process,
and actually of greater significance, is the loss re­
sulting from the lower level of over-all economic
activity resulting from the lack of industrializa­
tion. The demand for goods and services of all
types tends to be greater in areas where industry
is well developed. Thus, the growth of industry
in a region has a doubly favorable effect on income.
In addition to serving as a limiting factor on
income, the lack of southern industry capable of
absorbing the surplus labor supply of the area has
made it necessary for many workers to migrate
to other parts of the country for employment— or
remain in the South to intensify the pressure on
the agricultural economy of the region. Thus one
of the major effects of the further development of
industry in the southern states should be the tend­
ency toward stabilizing its population through the
employment of its people in industry. In addition,
it should tend to reduce the number of people de­
pendent upon agriculture for a livelihood and thus
serve to increase the productivity of agricultural
labor remaining on southern farms. ‘Mechanization
of agriculture is another factor which is increas­
ing the pressure to develop industry in this region.
If farming becomes more and more mechanized,
thousands of farm workers will be displaced and
will be available for industrial employment.
The war program also affected the labor sup­
ply of the South in addition to the gains resulting
from increased income and employment. Thousands
of workers in rural areas became familiar with in­
dustrial techniques, and, contrary to widely-held
opinion at the time, proved to be easily adapted
to manufacturing employment. One long-term re­
sult of this “ discovery” should be that manufac­
turers contemplating the location of plants in this
area would have considerably less doubt than
formerly as to the adaptability and potential ef­
ficiency of labor in these communities. In addition,
the over-all supply of labor with at least semi­
skilled qualifications is substantially greater than
before the war, another factor of importance in the
current shift of industry to the South.
In the postwar period to date, the primary con­
cern of the three southern states in this district
is directed not only toward the consolidation of
wartime gains but also toward the further de­
velopment of industrial resources. Due to the fact
that the district portions of these states were rela­
tively less distorted by strictly war production
plants than were many other parts of the country,
the reconversion problem was comparatively
Page 4



slight. Per capita income in 1945 continued to
increase faster than in the rest of the South, and
in the southern region the gain over 1944 was
larger than for the country as a whole. However,
the increase resulting from higher agricultural in­
come and from military payments continued to
distort the over-all picture.
A primary effect of the higher income level to
which the people of the South became adjusted dur­
ing the war has been to increase the pressure for fur­
ther industrialization as a means of retaining these
gains. It is evident that the current income level
is based largely either on a noncontinuing source
(military payments) or on a price level for agricul­
tural products that is not likely to be maintained
in peacetime. Consequently, if the income status of
the South generally and of the district portion of the
South in particular is to be maintained at approxi­
mately the present level, or bettered, a considerable
expansion of industry seems mandatory.
THREE STATE PLANS FOR INCREASING
INDUSTRY

The growth of industry in the South generally,
and in the three southern states in the district spe­
cifically, has resulted from the operation of a
number of forces. In the 1930’s, confronted with
the necessity of increasing the industrial portion of
their economies in an effort to raise the average
income level and hence the general standard of
living of their people, two of the three southern
states in this district, Tennessee and Mississippi,
enacted legislation designed to aid in the achieve­
ment of that goal. Prior to that time such pro­
motional work as was done in these states was on
a strictly local basis with little effort being made
to coordinate community efforts on a statewide
basis. Some progress was made on this uninte­
grated basis but it became evident that, if in­
dustrialization to the extent required was to be
achieved, a large degree of statewide effort would
be necessary. A coordinated program was slower
coming in Arkansas and it was not until late in
the war period that business groups and state
officials, working with research groups in the state
university formulated a plan for the development
of Arkansas’ resources and industry.
Obviously, it is impossible to measure the pre­
cise extent to which the recent and current in­
dustrial development of these three states can be
attributed to the functioning of state planning and
development commissions. A substantial part of
the industrial growth of these states possibly would
have occurred without assistance from these groups
since the general trend toward decentralizing in-

dustriai organizations would have resulted in the
location of new enterprises in these states. In addi­
tion, the general increase in industrial activity since
the mid-1930’s would have encouraged the organ­
ization of new businesses and the expansion of
existing establishments. Nevertheless, it seems
evident that in each state the work of the indus­
trial development commissions has facilitated the
expansion of industry in the area and has acceler­
ated the rate of growth of the state's industrial
economy. Since the operation of these state plans
has been and is an important factor in the industrial
development of this part of the South, and since
considerable variation exists between their pro­
grams, some attention should be directed to the or­
ganization and functioning as well as the results
achieved by the programs in these three states.
The Tennessee Program— The industrial devel­
opment program in Tennessee is only part of a
much wider-range plan for the over-all develop­
ment of the state. The general program is founded
on three basic assumptions. The first is that Ten­
nessee’s development will be only as great as the
total development of its regions, counties, cities
and communities. The second premise, which
closely parallels the first, is that in the long run,
best results are achieved when work at the state
level is directed primarily toward assisting develop­
mental groups at the community level and not used
as a substitute for lower-level activity. Finally,
Tennessee assumes that “ knowledge of the state’s
resources, both potential and developed, is essential
to progressive, sound planning for Tennessee’s fu­
ture economic growth and social progress.” 1
W ith these assumptions as the basis for the pro­
posed state development program, Tennessee en­
acted legislation in 1935, creating a State Planning
Commission. At a time when the word “ planning”
was anathema in many parts of the country, Ten­
nessee forthrightly accepted it as the keystone of
its development program. The Commission was
charged with “ making a general state plan for the
physical development of the state, with promoting
public interest in and understanding of the problems
of state planning, with cooperating with the T V A
and other agencies to bring about a coordination of
their plans, with creating regional planning com­
missions, and with furnishing assistance to regional
and municipal planning commissions.” 2
In addition to creating the State Planning Com­
mission, legislation enacted at that time also au­
thorized municipalities and cities to set up local
1 “ Industrial R esources o f Tennessee,” July, 1945.
2 “ L oca l Planning in Tennessee,” February, 1946.




planning commissions. In 1939 and 1941, amend­
ments to the basic legislation extended the plan­
ning authority to counties and, under certain cir­
cumstances, to unincorporated communities.
At the present time more than forty planning
commissions have been established, most of which
are at the community level. In western Tennessee,
that portion of the state included in the Eighth Dis­
trict, seven commissions have been organized, in­
cluding municipal commissions in Jackson, Milan,
Dyersburg, Union City and Memphis, whose organ­
ization was authorized by private act in 1921 and
was the first in Tennessee. In addition, regional
planning commissions are functioning in Benton
and Shelby Counties.
The work of the Industrial Development Division
of the State Planning Commission is coordinated
with the over-all program for the development of
the state, and in that respect the Tennessee plan
varies considerably from the usual program of in­
dustrial development commissions in other areas.
While Tennessee recognizes the necessity of in­
creased industrial output as a means of raising the
state’s economic status, efforts are being made to
avoid haphazard industrial growth.
The Industrial Development Division’s program
is designed to encourage the growth of industries
directly related to the natural resources of the state.
As noted, it assumes that the best type of industrial
development can occur only when there is a com­
plete knowledge of the advantages and resources
that Tennessee has to offer, and when industries
are selected on the basis of long-term growth pos­
sibilities which hold forth the greatest opportunities
for the over-all development of Tennessee. The
function of the Division is to assist local commun­
ities to develop their own areas and in carrying out
that function, the Division often is able to aid in
the physical development of a community by in­
dicating the relationship between adequate recrea­
tional facilities, zoning requirements, etc., and a
community’s desirability as a potential site for the
location of a new industry.
In order to assist local communities in their
industrial programs the Division encourages each
locality to prepare an inventory of its industrial
advantages. A detailed questionnaire is completed
by the local group, describing the resources, popu­
lation, labor supply, transportation facilities, watfer
supply, government, banking and commercial facil­
ities and many other aspects of the particular com­
munity which are of importance to the management
of companies contemplating construction of new
Page 5

plant facilities. On the basis of information in­
cluded in these inventories, the Division is able to
direct inquiring manufacturers to one or a group
of Tennessee communities whose resources and
other advantages coincide with the requirements of
the prospective manufacturer. Similarly, the in­
formation reported by the communities is used as
the basis for guidance by the Division in directing
the activities of a community toward the type of
industry best suited to the resources of the par­
ticular locality.
Estimates of results in 1946 to date indicate that
the construction of new plants plus definite com­
mitments for construction and expansion this year
will reach a level never before attained in a peace­
time year. In the state as a whole, 142 new plants,
each involving the expenditure of at least $25,000,
were constructed or definitely planned for in the
first eight months of 1946, while 63 plant expansion
projects, also $25,000 or more each, were an­
nounced. About $64 million is involved in these
205 projects and when completed they will add
about 19,500 workers to Tennessee’s industrial
payrolls. In addition to the above new and ex­
panded large facilities, a considerable number of
small projects are under way. About 32 per cent
of the 142 new plants are, or will be, in the district
portion of Tennessee, with half of them in the
Memphis area. The middle portion of the state
received 31 per cent of the new companies, while
37 per cent are in east Tennessee.
The growing tendency of industry to locate new
plants in small towns is well illustrated in Ten­
nessee. Only 35 per cent of the new plants will
be located in the four major cities, while 65 per
cent (91 plants) are located in a total of 60 towns
and cities with populations largely under 5,000.
Several reasons exist for this tendency to locate in
small towns. In many urban areas there is a dis­
tinct shortage of desirable plant sites. In addition,
modern manufacturing techniques often require
one-story buildings for maximum efficiency, which
in turn makes it necessary to spread the building
over a larger area— a factor which tends to elim­
inate many congested urban areas. There is evi­
dence, too, that in many instances industrial man­
agement, while under no illusions concerning the
p o s s i b i l i t y of obtaining cheap and so-called
“ friendly” labor or of avoiding union organization
by locating in small towns, prefer such sites as a
means of avoiding jurisdictional and sympathy
strikes too often typical of large, industrialized
urban centers. There are indications, too, that
Page 6




management, with an eye to employee relations,
recognizes the increased stability of a labor force
consisting of workers who are able to maintain
their homes in the community with which they are
familiar and in which they are and have been a
part— and yet are able to obtain the income result­
ing from industrial employment.
The Arkansas Program— The Arkansas approach
to increasing industrialization is somewhat similar
to the Tennessee program, although in present
form it is much younger. It was reported on in
detail in a previous Review8 and hence is given here
only in outline.
The Arkansas plan depends basically upon the
coordination of government, business and research
from the community to the state level. It calls for
full utilization of the state’s raw materials which
involves careful research on resources and markets.
Prior to the war, industrialization in Arkansas
was not too well planned and such planning as
there was had little integration. During the war
years a group of Arkansas businessmen organized
the Arkansas Economic Council, a private “ body
of citizens dedicated to the task of converting the
resources and energies of Arkansas, now com­
pletely devoted to winning the war, to peacetime
pursuits” . The Council stressed the need for com­
munity organization, and by the time war ended
70 of the state’s 75 counties had organized county
councils.
Early in 1945 the state government reorganized
and integrated the several state bureaus concerned
with economic development, combining eight of
them into the Arkansas Resources and Develop­
ment Commission.
This Commission has co­
operated fully with the Council’s program, thus
combining private and public effort to industrialize
the state.
The research end of the Arkansas program is
handled by the state university Bureau of Research,
which in July, 1945 received from the Legislature a
separate appropriation of $200,000 for a two-year
period. Presumably this appropriation will be con­
tinued in subsequent bienniums. In addition to the
state appropriation the Bureau has received some
$35,000 a year from other sources.
The Arkansas plan is unique in that work at all
levels is being done jointly by public and private
bodies and that the Bureau of Research is working
directly through laboratory study, field work,
marketing studies and the like to point the way to
further utilization of the state’s raw materials.
3 “ Arkansas Plans for the Future,” M onthly R eview , D ecem ber, 1945.

Considerable progress is being made in Arkansas
in the development of new industry. In the eighteen
months ending in August, 1946 some 700 new in­
dustries, mostly small activities, to employ directly
20,000 workers have been established or definitely
projected. The majority of these projects will
utilize materials produced in Arkansas. The new
concerns represent a well-diversified group of in­
dustries, although factories processing textiles and
various cotton products, lumber and food products
are most numerous.
The Mississippi Program—The program for de­
veloping the industrial resources of Mississippi is
aptly described by its title: Balance Agriculture
W ith Industry. The B A W I, as it is usually re­
ferred to, contrasts sharply with the Tennessee and
Arkansas plans. Faced with the compelling neces­
sity to increase the number of manufacturing plants
in the state and handicapped by a lack of industrial
experience which was felt to be a primary factor
in discouraging the location of new plants in the
state, Mississippi in 1938 adopted an outright plan
of subsidies as a means of attracting manufacturers
to that state. From 1940 through most of 1944 the
plan was largely inoperative, but since August, 1944
the Agricultural and Industrial Board has con­
ducted an energetic campaign that is producing
results.
As indicated above, B A W I is essentially a sub­
sidy program. Under this plan, areas such as
counties, subdivisions of counties, or incorporated
municipalities may issue bonds for the purpose of
buying land and constructing buildings thereon for
prospective industrial concerns which are able to
meet the Industrial Board’s standards. Any eligible
community, after conducting surveys designed to
assure the Board and any prospective manufac­
turers of the existence of an ample labor supply
and sufficient natural resources and after convinc­
ing the Board of the community’s financial stability,
may petition the Board for a certificate of conveni­
ence and necessity. This certificate authorizes the
community to issue bonds in an amount not to
exceed twenty per cent of the assessed valuation of
all property in the community, provided a majority
of the qualified voters participate in an election in
which the bond issue is favored by at least twothirds of those who vote. The proceeds of the bond
issue then may be used to purchase the land and
construct a building, usually according to the man­
ufacturer’s specifications, for the industry selected
by the community and approved by the Board.
The contract provides, generally, for the amorti­



zation of the bonds over a 20 or 25 year period.
At the end of that time the manufacturer may
have an option to lease the building for an addi­
tional 20 or 40 years for a nominal rental. In other
cases the contract stipulates that the manufac­
turer will guarantee a minimum annual payroll
with a rental stipulation should the payroll
not be met by the manufacturer. It should be
noted that in no case can the original contract,
which is subject to extremely careful scrutiny by
the state Board, provide for the transfer of owner­
ship of the property to the manufacturer. Transfer
of title can be accomplished at a later date just as
any municipally-owned property can be sold, but
the original agreement cannot include such a pro­
vision.
In addition to a subsidy of this type, Mississippi
tax laws also provide for exemption for new in­
dustries up to five'years from county and municipal
ad valorem levies.
An integral part of the Mississippi plan is adver­
tising. A substantially larger part of the Mississippi
Board’s budget is used in advertising, and a smaller
portion devoted to research and basic surveys of
the state’s resources than in Arkansas or Tennessee.
Current industrialization in Mississippi is devel­
oping at a rate somewhat less than in the other two
states, particularly in the portion of the state in­
cluded in the Eighth District. Mississippi’s econ­
omy for years was geared to agriculture to a larger
extent than that of either of the other two states,
and in general was considerably less advanced in­
dustrially. A fundamental handicap under which
the state is forced to work is the lack of a wide
range of natural resources, particularly minerals,
which automatically restricts the list of potential
industrial developments. In addition, the state
generally lacks a large supply of skilled or semi­
skilled labor, although the experience of industries
located there is ample evidence that Mississippi
labor, given training, can compete with and in some
instances exceed the efficiency of labor performing
comparable work in other parts of the country. The
growth of industry in Mississippi is evidenced by
the fact that the value of manufactured goods in
1945 is estimated at more than $437 million as com­
pared with $179 million in 1940. Incidentally, the
value of agricultural production in 1945 amounted to
$376 million.
Since August, 1944, a total of 44 new plants have
been constructed under B A W I in which more than
10,000 employees with an annual payroll in excess
of $11 million are employed. These companies are
Pag® 7

in addition to the 12 new plants brought into the
state between 1938 and 1940 and whose aggregate
payrolls during that period amounted to about
$44 million. Obviously, this is not large-scale
industry as it is known elsewhere in the country,
but there is no doubt that viewed in the light of
Mississippi’s nonindustrial background the record
of B A W I is encouraging to its sponsors. The
people of Mississippi are under no illusions con­
cerning the rapidity of their industrial growth. They
are well aware of the magnitude of the job ahead
of them and they are equally aware of the potential­
ities of the state. The history of the enterprises
developed under B A W I influence is such as to in­
dicate the effectiveness of the Board’s screening
program and the quality of the standards which a
prospective company must meet in order to come
under the subsidy program. The merit or demerit
of the subsidy program is more or less beside the
point, so far as many residents of the state are con­
cerned, so long as the decision to subsidize is arrived
at by the democratic process required by BAW L
CONCLUSION
It is apparent that a continuation of current
trends will result in a substantial increase in the
CU RREN T CONDITIONS
(C ontinued from

Page

1)

INDUSTRY
Total industrial activity in the Eighth District
in September was generally higher than in August,
and in some lines substantial increases occurred
during the month. In most instances where the
available statistical data covering total monthly
output indicated a decline in September, the de­
creases generally reflected the shorter work month
during September as compared with August.
Total industrial power consumed in the major
district cities in September was 4 per cent less
than in August. However, when adjusted to a
daily average basis, power consumption in these
cities was 8 per cent higher than in August and
11 per cent greater than in September, 1945, with
increases reported in each of the cities.
Manufacturing-—Manufacturing output continued
to increase in September with gains indicated in a
number of the major industries in the district.
Production schedules in the chemical, automobile
and accessories, stone, clay and glass, and metal
working industries were on a higher level than in
the preceding month and showed considerable gain
over September, 1945. Shortages of materials and
parts, although less critical than in earlier months,
Page 8



industrialization of the southern region.
The
availability of plant sites in small t o w n s , and
abundant natural resources, adequate labor supply
and transportation facilities, together with favor­
able climatic conditions and the availability of fuel
and low-cost electric power, are all factors that
tend to fit into the general tendency of industry
to decentralize its operations and to encourage the
location of branch operations in the southern
states.
In the three southern states that are a part of
the Eighth District, substantial assistance to the
operation of natural economic forces is provided by
the various industrial development commissions.
Best results appear to be obtained where such
programs are keyed to the development of indus­
tries capable of utilizing the raw materials of the
state and where the industrial development pro­
gram is coordinated with a general state improve­
ment plan. This is particularly true where the
avoidance of the undesirable features of indus­
trialization is recognized as an important part of the
general program.
WELDON A. STEIN

continued to restrain output in some industries.
In the St. Louis area, operations in the basic
steel industry were estimated at 56 per cent of
capacity in September as compared with 36 per
cent in August and 52 per cent in September, 1945.
Production in September was larger than in any
month since March.
Preliminary estimates indicate that lumber pro­
duction in the district d u r i n g September was
slightly higher than in August and at about the
same level as in September, 1945. The southern
hardwood industry operated at about 91 per cent
of capacity as compared with 84 per cent in Au­
gust and 82 per cent in September, 1945. Daily
average production of southern pine in September
showed little change from the previous month but
was slightly larger than in September of last year.
Inventories continue to average substantially below
the level required for efficient distribution.
At the end of September, 31 whiskey distilleries
were in operation in Kentucky as compared with
34 at the end of August and 33 at the end of Sep­
tember of last year. Production of whiskey has
continued to be limited by the amount of grain
allocated to the industry. In October, 2.6 million
bushels of grain originally were made available

for the production of whiskey, approximately the
same amount as was allocated in September. The
actual allocation is sufficient to allow each company
to operate for three days at peak mashing capacity.
Late in October, that month’s grain allocation was
increased by about one-sixth, reflecting the greatly
improved domestic supply situation.
Meat packing operations in September declined
to the lowest levels in recent history as a result of
the virtual drying-up of shipments of livestock to
market. The number of animals slaughtered under
Federal inspection at St. Louis was about 80 per
cent less than in August and totaled approximately
72.000 as compared with 346,000 in August and
326.000 in September of 1945. Sharpest declines oc­
curred in the number of cattle and hogs slaughtered
but precipitous d e cre a s e s also occurred in the
slaughter of calves and sheep.
Mining and Oil—Total production of coal in
the Eighth District in September amounted to 15.9
million tons as compared with 16.8 million tons in
August. However, the decrease was due entirely
to the shorter work month and on a daily average
basis production was more than 6 per cent higher
in September than in August.
Crude oil production in the district showed little
change during the past month, amounting to 335,000 barrels per day in September as compared with
336.000 barrels per day in August and 320,000 bar­
rels per day in September, 1945.
Construction—The value of building permits
awarded in the five major district cities in Sep­
tember totaled $5.5 million or 15 per cent less
than in August, and was the lowest since May of
this year. The value of permits in Little Rock,
Memphis, and St. Louis was substantially less than
in August, while gains were reported in Evansville
and Louisville. For the nation as a whole new con­
struction work in September was about 1 per cent
less than in August in terms of dollar value, with
privately financed residential construction show­
ing the same percentage decline as was reported
for all construction during the month.
TRADE
Dollar sales volume of district reporting retail
stores during September was about the same as
in August byt was substantially greater than in
September, 1945^ Rising prices and increasing sup­
plies, especially of consumers’ durable goods, are
primary factors leading to the high level of retail
sales. Despite some consumer resistance to the
sharp price increases in some items, a high level
o f consumer income, unsatisfied consumer demand
for many products and Christmas buying should



prevent any substantial decrease in the dollar
volume of retail sales during the remainder of 1946.
At reporting department stores the September
sales volume, while 3 per cent less than in August,
was 33 per cent greater than September, 1945.
The contraseasonal decline for September, it should
be noted, is from a very high level o f sales. Pre­
liminary reports indicate the gain of 31 per cent
for the first nine months of this year probably will
not be maintained in October.
The value of reporting department store inven­
tories at the end of September showed little change
from the previous month but was 43 per cent
above that of a year ago. However, there is still
considerable lack of balance as between inventories
of the various divisions within the store. Per­
centagewise the greatest gain has been registered
in the home furnishing divisions which had ex­
tremely low inventories during the war years.
Stocks of many durable goods have increased sub­
stantially during the last year but are still in­
adequate in many lines to meet demand. Sub­
stantial gains in the past month were registered in
the men’s and boys’ wear divisions, although
shortages of some major items still persist. Inven­
tories of women’s wear divisions are in more
plentiful supply, but even here there are still
marked differences between various items. Base­
ment store inventories have also risen sharply.
Sales at reporting women’s wear and men’s ap­
parel stores during September were little different
relative to a month and year earlier than for the
comparable divisions within reporting department
INDUSTRY
C O N S U M P T IO N O F E L E C T R I C I T Y
N o. o f
Sept.,
A u g .,
Sept.,
Sept., 1946
(K .W .H .
Cus1946
1946
1945
com pared with
in thous.) tomers* K .W .H . K .W .H .
K .W .H .
A u g ., '46 Sept., ’ 45
Evansville .... 407,369
7,976
Little R ock.. 353,611
3,679
Louisville .... 79
34,154
37,166R
Memphis ......... 314,840
5,144
Pine B luff .... 191,171
1,218
St. L ouis .... 96
62,299
62,894

4,664
3,239
27,895
5,316
3,215
57,702R

Totals ...... 300
113,444
118,077R
*§elected industrial customers.
R — Revised

102,031R

—
—
—
—
—
—

8%
2
8
6
4
1

— 4

4 -5 8 %
4-11
4-22
— 9
— 64
+ 8
4-11

L O A D S I N T E R C H A N G E D F O R 25 R A I L R O A D S A T ST. L O U I S
First nine days
Sept.,’ 46 A u g .,’ 46 Sept., *45 O ct., ’ 46 O ct., ’ 45 9 mos. ’ 46 9 mos. *45
118,870
133,703
114,748
38,186
34,123
1,096,365
1,364,836
S o u rce : Terminal Railroad A ssociation of St. Louis.
C O A L P R O D U C T IO N
(I n thousands
of tons)

Sept., ’ 46

Illinois .........................
Indiana ............. ............
Kentucky .....................
Other District States
Totals

.....................

5,709
2,202
6,546
1,440
15,897

A u g ., ’ 46

Sept., ’ 45

Sept. *46 com p, with
A u g., ’ 46 Sept., ’ 45

6,052
2,000
7,194
1,588

5,717
2,076
5,548
1,408

— 6%
+10
— 9
— 9

16,834

14,749

— 6

- 0 -%
4- 6
+18
+ 2
+

8

Page 9

RETAIL TRADE
DEPARTM ENT

STORES

____________ N et Sales_________

Stocks
on Hand

Stock
Turnover

9 mos. *46 Sept. 30, ’ 46
Sept., 1946
to same
comp, with Jan. 1, to
compared with
period
Sept. 30, „ Sept. 30,
A u g ., 1946 Sept., 1945
1945
1945
1946 1945
Ft. Smith, A rk .....+ 4 %
+ 1%
4 -1 7 %
4 -5 4 %
3.58 3.34
Little R ock, A rk.-}- 2
+22
+24
+52
4.21 3.99
Q u in cy, 111..............+ 2
+30
+28
+49
3.96 3.69
Evansville, In d .....— 12
+37
+28
+ 3
2.98 2.48
Louisville, K y ....... — 4
+39
+31
+39
4.52 4.31
St. L ouis A real....— 2
+33
+32
+45
3.71 3.49
St. Louis, M o...— 2
+33
+32
+45
3.71 3.50
E . St. Louis, I11.+ 3
+49
+45
......................................
Springfield, M o .....— 1
+48
+42
+39
4.11 3.15
M emphis, T enn.....— 4
+39
+32
+42
4.11 3.89
*A11 other cities....— 4
+21
+37
+41
3.90 3.49
8th F. R . D istrict— 3
+33
+31
+43
3.91 3.66
*
E l D orado, Fayetteville, Pine B luff, A r k .; A lton, Harrisburg, Jack­
sonville, M t. V ernon, 111.; N ew A lbany, Vincennes, I n d .; Danville, H o p ­
kinsville, M ayfield, Paducah, K y . ; Chillicothe, M o .; and Jackson, Tenn.
1 Includes St. L ouis, M o., East St. Louis and Belleville, 111.
Trading d a ys:
September, 1946— 2 4 ; August, 1946— 2 7 ; September,
1945— 24.
Outstanding orders of reporting stores at the end of September, 1946,
were 43 per cent greater than on the corresponding date a year ago.
Percentage o f accounts and notes receivable outstanding September 1,
1946, collected during September, b y cities:
Instalm ent E xcl. Instal.
Instalment E xcl. Instal.
A ccoun ts A ccoun ts
A ccounts Accounts
6 0%
Q uincy ......... .
35%
74%
F ort Smith ............ %
L ittle R ock .... 34
61
St. Louis ...... 37
66
55
Other cities .... 28
60
Louisville ...... 39
62
8th F. R. Dist. 38
63
Memphis ........ 44
IN D E X E S

OF

D E P A R T M E N T ST O R E SALES A N D STOCKS
8th Federal Reserve District
Sept., A u g., July, Sept.,
1946
1946
1946
1945

Sales (daily average), U nadjusted2..............
Sales (daily average), Seasonally adjusted2
Stocks, U nadjusted3 ...........................................
Stocks, Seasonally adjusted3............................
2 D aily A verage 1935-39 = 100.
3 End of M onth A verage 1935-39 =

316
313
266
240

284
330
255
234

234
300
240
231

234
232
190
172

100.

S P E C IA L T Y STO R ES
Stocks
Stock
on H and
Turnover
____________N et Sales________
9 mos. *46 Sept. 30, *46
Sept., 1946
to same
com p, with
Jan. 1, to
com pared with
period
Sept. 30,
Sept. 30,
A u g ., 1946 Sept., 1945
1945
1945
1946 1945
M en's F u rn ish in gs+ 4 %
+22%
+37%
+ 22% 4.52 2.69
B oots and S h o e s....+ 1
+29
+24
+102
7.19 7.89
Percentage o f accounts and notes receivable outstanding September 1,
1946, collected during September.
M en's Furnishings ......................... 6 4%
B oots and Shoes......................... 65%
Trading daysj^ September, 1946— 2 4 ; A ugust, 1946— 2 7; September,
1945— 24.
R E T A IL F U R N IT U R E STO RES
N et Sales
Inventories
Septem ber, 1946
Sept. 30, 1946
Ratio of
com pared with
compared with
Collections
Sept.,
Sept.,
A
u
g.,
Sept.
A u g .,
Sept.,
1945
1946
30, 1945
31, 1946
1946
1945
4 8%
60%
+ 52%
+ 7%
St. L ouis Area1 + 1 0 %
+ 72%
63
50
+ 52
St. Louis........—
j—12
*4— 77
+ 7
30
29
+ 62
Louisville A rea2— 1
+ 39
+ 9
27
31
+ 76
Louisville ......+ 1
4 -5 3
+11
28
34
+ 24
— 1
M em phis .......... + 1 1
+ 42
32
38
+107
+ 2
L ittle R o c k ........+ 1 7
+ 43
*
*
*
Springfield ........4 - 4
+ 35
*
*
*
*
F ort Smith ......— 6
4 -5 0
38
44
+
68
4- 7
8th D ist. T o t a l» + 8
+ 61
*N ot shown separately due to insufficient coverage, but included in
Eighth D istrict totals.
^Includes St. L ouis, M issou ri; East St. Louis and A lton, Illinois.
2Includes Louisville, K en tu ck y ; and N ew Albany, Indiana.
3In addition to above cities, includes stores in Blytheville, Pine Bluff,
A rkansas; H enderson, Hopkinsville, Owensboro, K en tu ck y; Greenville,
G reenwood, M ississippi; Cape Girardeau, Hannibal, M issouri; and
Evansville, Ind.
P E R C E N T A G E D IS T R IB U T IO N O F F U R N IT U R E
Sept., *46
A u g., *46
Cash Sales ........................................................2 4%
Credit Sales ................................................ 76
Total Sales ........................................... 100

Page 10




26%
74
100

SALES
Sept., 45
25%
75
100

stores. The slightly greater gain over September,
1945 shown for the latter reflects partly an easier
inventory situation at department stores. The Sep­
tember dollar volume of sales at women’s apparel
stores continued about the same as for the previous
month, but was 16 per cent above the comparable
month last year. This is the smallest gain in dol­
lar volume from the comparable period a year ago
of any reporting retail trade line. At men’s apparel
stores increases of 4 per cent and 22 per cent from
the previous month and comparable month last
year, respectively, were registered. Inventories (in
terms of dollar value) at women’s wear stores, up
9 per cent from the end of August, 1946, were 44
per cent greater than at the end of September a
year ago. Men’s apparel store inventories were
virtually unchanged from the end of the previous
month, but showed a gain in dollar volume of 22
per cent from the end of the comparable month
last year.
Dollar sales at reporting furniture stores in Sep­
tember were 8 per cent more than during August
and showed the greatest increase of any reporting
retail line over the comparable month last year with
a gain of 61 per cent. The value of furniture store
inventories at the .end of September was up 7 per
cent for the month and was 68 per cent greater
than a year ago. However, unit volume is lower
than these figures might indicate because of rising
prices and the shift to high-priced quality merchan­
dise, a movement begun during the war period.
BANKING AND FINANCB

A large increase in loans was the most significant
banking change in the Eighth District during the
last four weeks. Loans at weekly reporting banks
rose $46 million as compared to $12 million during
the same period last year. A gain of $44 million in
business and agricultural loans accounted for the
major part of the loan expansion, most of this in­
crease being registered in Memphis and St. Louis.
Business and agricultural loans at district reporting
banks on October 16 totaled $368 million, an in­
crease of 45 per cent over a year ago. The rela­
tively large increase in this category is partly sea­
sonal, reflecting loans made in connection with the
marketing of cotton and other farm*products and
the seasonal increase in inventories. Borrowing by
industrial and public utility concerns to purchase
equipment for replacement and expansion and by
finance companies was also a contributing factor.
The second largest increase in loans at district
reporting banks during the last four weeks was a

rise of $6 million in miscellaneous loans. A good
share of these “ other” loans are consumer loans.
Real estate loans continued to increase, being up
$3 million for the month and $26 million above a
year ago. Loans on securities decreased sharply,
the decline amounting to $6 million during the last
month and $16 million since September 1.
The increase in consumer loans outstanding at
Eighth District reporting banks reflects a trend
which extends to all types of consumer credit lend­
ing agencies. Outstandings at all district report­
ing lending agencies have increased steadily since
March, 1945 and at the end of September were
nearly 60 per cent above a year ago. The gain
at district lending agencies was substantially
greater than that for the nation as a whole.
While all reporting agencies shared in the ex­
pansion of consumer credit during the last year,
the rate of gain was not uniform. Reporting bank
holdings of consumer paper were more than double
those of a year ago, holdings of credit unions were
up 64 per cent, industrial banks and loan com­
panies 54 per cent, and small loan companies 39
per cent. During the first eight months of 1946
consumer ‘loans of commercial banks expanded
rapidly, gaining nearly 70 per cent, while the gains
at other types of lending agencies during the same
period ranged from 17 to 43 per cent.
Total deposits were up slightly, the expanding
effect of the increase in loans more than offsetting
such factors as W ar Loan account withdrawals
and withdrawals to make income tax payments.
Demand deposits of individuals and businesses at
the reporting banks increased $33 million but
United States Government deposits were off $27
million. Time deposits continued to increase al­
though at a slower rate, the gain for the last month
being $2 million as compared to a gain of $6 million
for the corresponding period last year.
AGRICULTURE
Farmers in 1946 are producing the greatest vol­
ume of crops in history. Harvesting of most crops
in this district is now being completed or is well
under way and prospects brightened slightly for
farm crop output, with the major exception of cot­
ton, during September. Weather during that
month was generally favorable for development of
most late crops throughout the region and com­
pleted the work of the late summer showers which
had been accompanied by relatively moderate tem­
peratures. Parts of Arkansas and Mississippi where
lack o f rain adversely affected crops were the most



WHOLESALING
Net Sales

Lines of Commodities
Bata furnished by Bureau of Census,
U. S. Dept, of Commerce.*
Automotive Supplies ........................
Dry Goods .........................
Electrical Supplies ...........
Groceries ............................
Hardware .........................
Plumbing Supplies ...........
Tobacco and its products..
Miscellaneous ....................
Total all lines**................

Stocks

Sept., 1946
Sept. 30. 1946
com pared with
com pared with
A u g ., 46 Sept., ’ 45 Sept. 30, 1945

_

7%
4
1
4
3
1
6
5
2
1

—
—
.4 -

4444444444-

2 7%
19
80
53
43
68
55
18
76
58

4-41
4*44
4*56
4-45

*Preliminary.
**Includes certain lines not listed above.

CONSTRUCTION
B U IL D IN G P E R M IT S
N ew Construction
(C ost In
thousands)

N um ber
1946 1945

Evansville .... ....
Little
Rock.. ....
Louisville ......
Memphis ...... ....
St. Louis ......

51
64
554

32
55
87
360
152

Sept. Totals ....1,119 686
A ug. Totals ,....1,405 1,065

$

95
300
1,306
996
1,500
4,197
5,039

$

Repairs, etc.
C ost
1945
1946

N um ber
1946 1945

C ost
1946 1945
476
179
543
770
1,240

112
150
77
156
299

122
198
44
168
195

3,208
3,223

794
889

727
769

$

571
202
55
150
349

$

67
71
28
120
275
561
748

1,327
1,446

BANKING
C H A N G E S IN P R IN C IP A L A S S E T S A N D L I A B I L I T I E S
F E D E R A L R E S E R V E B A N K O F ST. L O U IS
Change from

(In thousands o f dollars)

O ct. 16,
1946

Industrial advances under Sec. 13b,
Other advances and rediscounts.........

............
15,597

O ct., 17,
1945

Sept. 18,
1946
;— 11,298
4 - 50,229

—
4-

193
44,353

Total earning assets .......................... .... 1,110,412

4 - 38,931

4-

44,160

631,763

+ 27,292
4 - 43,870
4 - 23,456

444-

49,524
12,548
65,071

4,040

-0 -

4-

4,040

Industrial commitments under Sec. 13b.

P R IN C IP A L R E S O U R C E A N D L I A B I L I T Y IT E M S
O F R E P O R T IN G M E M B E R B A N K S
Change from
O ct. 16,
1946

Sept. 18,
1946

O ct. 17,
1945

Total loans and investments.............. ...... $1,882,375
Commercial, industrial, and agricultural

— 26,082

— 55,662

(I n

thousands o f dollars)

Loans to brokers and dealers in
securities ...............................................
Other loans to purchase and carry
securities ...............................................
Real estate loans .................................. .
Loans to banks ....................................
Other loans ...................................................
Total loans ...........................................
Treasury bills .........................................
Certificates of indebtedness.......................

4 - 44,234

4-115,303

7,758

—

2,559

—

55,557

—
4—
4*
4—
—
—
—

3,691
3,121
256
5,631
46,480
21,369
31,494
5,973
10,992

4 - 11,472
4 - 25,635
—
711
4 - 46,639
4-194,183
— 18,518
— 127,437
— 140,177
4 - 39,040

—
—
4—
4—
4—

-0 2,734
72,562
3,477
12,167
1,883
27,243
46,919
10,050

44
— 2,757
— 249,845
4989
— 11,691
4 - 37,398
— 71,101
— 25,809
— 2,640

134,470
100,485

785,137
U. S. Bonds ........................................... ......
Obligations guaranteed b y U . S.
366
Government .......*.................................. ... ,
Other securities .......................................
'
Total investments ............................
Balances with dom estic banks............
1,120,212
Demand deposits— adjusted**............
371,367
Time deposits ...............................................
149,873
U. S. Government deposits ................. .....

4,155

Borrow ings ...............................................
10,450
*Includes open market paper.
**O ther than interbank and Governm ent deposits, less cash items on
hand or in process o f collection.
A bove figures are for selected m ember banks in St. L ouis, Louisville,
Memphis, Little R ock and Evansville.

Page 11

notable exceptions to this statement. In some sec­
tions frosts nipped exposed fields at various times
but they caused little damage and when killing
frosts did occur near the end of the month, most
crops were safely matured.

35 per cent more than ten-year average output.
The 1946 district oats crop at 87 million bushels
is 28 million bushels more than last year’s harvest.
Most of the increase over 1945 in this district is at­
tributable to an exceptionally large crop in Missouri.

For the nation as a whole the October 1 estimate
for total wheat output is 1,169 million bushels,
which will be the largest crop on record, 46 million
bushels more than was harvested last year. The
winter wheat crop, all of which has been harvested
now, also set a new high at 880 million bushels,
57 million bushels more than was produced in 1945
and 262 million bushels more than the average
output in the ten-year (1935-44) period. In this
district the 1946 winter wheat crop was less than
the 1945 harvest, 44 million bushels as compared
with 48 million bushels. The decline from last
year’s output was general throughout the district
with the exception of Missouri.

During September prospects for the nation’s rice
crop were improved by almost 300,000 bushels
and on October 1 the 1946 crop estimate was only
250,000 bushels short of last year’s production. The
1946 rice harvest in Arkansas, the principal dis­
trict state producing this cereal, is now indicated
at 15,360,000 bushels as compared with 14,612,000
bushels in 1945. Soybean output in 1946 in the
principal producing states of this district, Illinois
and Indiana, is expected to be off somewhat from
last year’s harvest, but output in Missouri, Arkan­
sas, Tennessee and Kentucky this year will be
somewhat higher than in 1945.

The 1946 corn crop for the United States was
indicated at 3,374 million bushels on October 1,
or slightly higher than a month earlier. Last year’s
production was 3,018 million bushels, and ten-year
average output was 2,608 million bushels. In the
Eighth District proper the 1946 corn crop is ex­
pected to be 438 million bushels, up almost 90
million bushels from 1945. Each district state
shows considerably greater production in 1946 than
in 1945, except Mississippi where output is off more
than one-fifth and Arkansas where this year’s crop
is but slightly larger than last year’s.
The oats crop for the United States was esti­
mated on October 1 to be 1,527 million bushels,
only 1 per cent less than last year’s production and

A record tobacco crop, 2,248 million pounds, was
indicated for the United States on October 1. This
is 12 per cent more than was produced in the pre­
vious record-breaking year 1945. The district to­
bacco crop at almost 400 million pounds is about
40 million pounds larger than in 1945.
About the only major district crop whose na­
tional prospects diminished appreciably in Septem­
ber was cotton. As of October 1, the 1946 crop was
estimated at 8,724,000 bales for the lowest produc­
tion in the past 25 years. Prospects in September
decreased by over 400,000 bales. The district crop,
while shorter than in many previous years is now
estimated at 2,770,000 bales, only 19,000 bales less
than was forecast on September 1.
AGRICULTURE

DEBITS TO DEPOSIT ACCOUNTS

(I n thousands
o f dollars)

Sept.,
1946

A ug.,
1946

Sept.,
1945

14,906 $
10,428
IC1 Dorado, A rk ......... $ 15,329 $
24,387
32,909
F ort Smith, A rk .......
31,118
5,273
Helena, A rk ................
5,969
4,548
88,807
81,226
L ittle R ock, A rk ....... 103,751
16,331
Pine Bluff, A rk .....
24,399
17,370
Texarkana, A rk .-T ex .
8,716
7,492
8,961
A lton, 111....................
18,363
13,290
16,824
86,857
73,-146
E .St.L<.-N at.S.Y .,Ill.
63,680
16,832
Q uincy, 111................
20,949
20,517
73,568
76,833
Evansville, In d ...........
79,546
Louisville, K y .............. 379,015
396,443
315,018
O w ensboro, K y ...........
20,242
17,785
21,731
Paducah, K y ................
8,612
11,445
11,475
Greenville, M iss.........
14,210
11,188
7,964
5,289
8,061
8,490
Cape Girardeau, M o.
Hannibal, M o ..............
6,614
6,214
5,180
Jefferson City, M o, ,
28,378
45,798
34,939
St. L ouis, M o ..............1,214,001
1,137,184
946,257
Sedalia, M o ..................
8,614
8,355
6,014
Springfield, M o .........
52,014
50,873
34,797
Jackson, T enn ..............
13,578
9,706
12,598
M emphis, T en n ........... 368,731
316,318
216,526
Totals ..............

Page 12

2,510,136




2,388,347

1,923,499

Sept.,’46 comp, with
A ug. ’ 46 Sept. 45
4 - 3%
— 5
4-31
4-17
4-40
4- 3
— 8
— 27
4- 2
— 3
— 4
— 7
- 04-27
— 5
4- 6
4-31
4- 7
4- 3
4- 2
4- 8
4-17
4- 5

447%

428
413

428

449

420

427
— 13
424
4 4

420

414
4 33
478
452

(I n thousands
o f dollars)

Arkansas ............ $ 19,283 $ 11,069
Illinois ................. 117,373
96,360
Indiana ...............
76,874
60,054
Kentucky ............
26,877
23,851
Mississippi ..........
14,300
11,865
79,015
63,628
M issouri ..............
Tennessee ..........
21,717
17,829
Totals

428

428

4-30

............ $355,439

R E C E IP T S

AND

Cattle and Calves..l36,798
H ogs ....................... 12,513
H orses and Mules 4,991
Sheep ....................... 65,459
Totals

$284,656

IN C O M E
Cumulative for 8 months
1946
1945
1944
$

156,507 $
790,650
450,436
249,323
126,112
436,949
201,156

$2,411,133

136,647 $ 132,678
738,610
770,905
421,686
439,444
280,830
233,545
125,979
107,560
429,122
429,319
185,831
184,893

$2,318,705

$2,298,344

S H IP M E N T S A T N A T I O N A L S T O C K Y A R D S
Receipts
Shipments
Sept.,
1946

461

443
449
440
470

CASH FA RM
______ A ugust______
1946
1945

.................219,761

A u g.,
1946

Sept.,
1945

Sept.,
1946

A u g.,
1946

Sept.,
1945

195,848
128,326
96,929

202,582
75,389
2,972
103,507

109,703
5,825
4,991
39,179

131,761
55,567
6,378
51,246

106,352
26,876
2,972
49,288

427,104

384,450

159,698

244,952

185,488

6,001