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98th Congress, 1st Session House Document No. 9 8 - 3 v ^ l ^ : ,v -i/ r* ^ % 1 h: : f r \ I : -' . THE BUDGET DOCUMENTS Budget of the United States Government, 1984 contains the Budget Message of the President and presents an overview of the President's budget proposals. It includes explanations of spending programs in terms of national needs, agency missions, and basic programs, and an analysis of estimated receipts, including a discussion of the President's tax program. This document also contains a description of the budget system and various summary tables on the budget as a whole. United States Budget in Brief, 1984 is designed for use by the general public. It provides a more concise, less technical overview of the 1984 budget than the above volume. Summary and historical tables on the Federal budget and debt are also provided, together with graphic displays. Budget of the United States Government, 1984—Appendix contains detailed information on the various appropriations and funds that comprise the budget. The Appendix contains more detailed information than any of the other budget documents. It includes for each agency: the proposed text of appropriation language, budget schedules for each account, new legislative proposals, explanations of the work to be performed and the funds needed, proposed general provisions applicable to the appropriations of entire agencies or groups of agencies, and schedules of permanent positions. Supplemental and rescission proposals for the current year are presented separately. Information is also provided on certain activities whose outlays are not part of the budget totals. Special Analyses, Budget of the United States Government, 1984 contains analyses that are designed to highlight specified program areas or provide other significant presentations of Federal budget data. This document includes information about: alternative views of the budget, i.e., current services and national income accounts; economic and financial analyses of the budget covering Government finances and operations as a whole; and Government-wide program and financial information for Federal civil rights and research and development programs. Instructions for purchasing copies of any of these documents are on the last two pages of this volume. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page PART 1. THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT , PART 2. ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET OUTLOOK The economic outlook Economic assumptions Changes in the budget outlook since last year Sensitivity of the budget to economic growth assumptions Cyclical versus structural deficits Sensitivity of the budget to economic assumptions: rules of thumb PART 3. BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS The current services outlook Sources of the structural deficit The inherited budgetary imbalance Redirection of fiscal policy launched in 1981 The 1984 budget recommendations: a comprehensive program to close the structural deficit Outlook for closing the structural deficit with the 1984 budget plan PART 4. BUDGET RECEIPTS Summary Enacted legislation Receipts proposals Effect of enacted and proposed changes on receipts Changes in budget receipts Receipts by source PART 5. MEETING NATIONAL NEEDS: THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY FUNCTION Introduction National defense International affairs General science, space, and technology Energy , Natural resources and environment Agriculture Commerce and housing credit Transportation Community and regional development Education, training, employment, and social services Health Income security Veterans benefits and services Administration of justice General government , General purpose fiscal assistance Net interest , Ml 2-1 2-2 2-8 2-11 2-13 2-16 2-19 3-1 3-2 3-3 3-4 3-13 3-29 3-37 4-1 4-2 4-3 4-12 4-17 4-18 4-20 5-1 5-2 5-7 5-17 5-27 5-33 5-41 5-48 5-54 5-65 5-75 5-84 5-101 5-112 5-129 5-137 5-143 5-149 5-154 iv CONTENTS Page Allowances 5-157 Undistributed offsetting receipts 5-159 PART 6. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-1 Relationship of budget authority to outlays 6-2 Fiscal activities outside the Federal budget 6-5 Federal budgeting for capital expenditures 6-21 Budget funds and the Federal debt 6-28 The increase in total 1982 outlays over the March 1981 budget estimate 6-32 Comparison of relatively uncontrollable outlays and of receipts 6-35 Allocation of windfall profit tax receipts 6-41 PART 7. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-1 The budget process 7-2 Coverage of the budget totals 7-5 Budget authority and related transactions 7-8 The credit budget 7-11 Collections 7-12 Other transactions 7-14 Basis for budget figures 7-15 PART 8. THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-1 Explanatory note : 8-2 Legislative branch 8-3 The judiciary 8-14 Executive Office of the President 8-18 Funds appropriated to the President 8-22 Department of Agriculture 8-32 Department of Commerce 8-49 Department of Defense—Military 8-57 Department of Defense—Civil 8-70 [Department of Education] Education Activities 8-75 [Department of Energy] Energy Activities 8-80 Department of Health and Human Services 8-84 Department of Housing and Urban Development 8-98 Department of the Interior 8-104 Department of Justice 8-116 Department of Labor 8-120 Department of State 8-126 Department of Transportation 8-132 Department of the Treasury 8-143 Environmental Protection Agency 8-150 National Aeronautics and Space Administration 8-152 Veterans Administration 8-155 Other independent agencies 8-158 Allowances 8-200 Budget totals 8-201 Off-budget Federal entities 8-204 PART 9. SUMMARY TABLES 9-1 Explanatory note relating to the summary tables 9-2 Table 1. Budget summary 9-3 Table 2. Budget receipts by source and budget outlays by agency, 1982-1988. 9-4 Table 3. Budget outlays by function, 1982-1988 9-5 Table 4. Budget authority by agency, 1982-1988 9-6 Table 5. Budget authority by function, 1982-1988 9-7 Table 6. Budget authority and outlays available through current action by Congress 9-8 Table 7. Relation of budget authority to outlays 9-9 CONTENTS Table 8. Obligations incurred, net Table 9. Balances of budget authority Table 10. Full-time equivalent of total Federal civilian employment in the executive branch Table 11. Budget financing and debt Table 12. Budget receipts by source Table 13. Offsetting receipts by type Table 14. Outlays by function and agency Table 15. Legislative proposals for major new and expanded programs in the 1984 budget, projection of costs Table 16. New direct loan obligations by agency Table 17. New guaranteed loan commitments by agency Table 18. Controllability of budget outlays, 1974-84 Table 19. Budget receipts by source, 1974-84 Table 20. Budget outlays by function, 1974-84 Table 21. Federal transactions in the national income accounts, 1973-84 Table 22. Federal finances and the gross national product, 1965-86 Table 23. Composition of budget outlays in current and constant (fiscal year 1972) prices: 1963-86 Table 24. Budget receipts and outlays, 1789-1986 9-10 9-11 9-12 9-13 9-14 9-17 9-20 9-34 9-36 9-37 9-38 9-40 9-42 9-52 9-53 9-54 9-55 PART 1 THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT Ml v to States ' Localities 11$ *' Other Fedtrai Operations 6C BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT To the Congress of the United States: Two years ago, in my first address to the country, I went before the American people to report on the condition of our economy, which had suffered from many years of seriously misguided policies. I made a strong commitment to change the traditional shortsighted view that had previously been taken on economic priorities so that we could achieve our goal of long-term prosperity. I stated that we had a massive job before us. Government spending was taking a rapidly increasing share of national income, burdensome Government regulation had stunted productivity increases, and excessive tax rates combined with erratic monetary policy resulted in serious disincentives to investment and long-term real economic growth. Inflation was at doubledigit levels. Interest rates were at record highs. Real growth and job creation had ceased. New investment, productivity, and personal saving were stagnant. Our economy was in the worst mess in half a century. To make matters worse, our military strength had been allowed to run down relative to the aggressively expanding military might of the Soviet Union. We were in serious danger of becoming powerless to deter or counter Soviet aggression around the world. The economic program that I proposed at that time focused on long-range real growth. My tax proposals were designed to provide badly needed private incentives to stimulate saving and productive investment. I supported the Federal Reserve in its pursuit of sound monetary policy. I worked with the Congress to reverse the growth of Government programs that had become too large or outlasted their usefulness. I worked to eliminate or simplify unnecessary or burdensome regulations. The unprecedented buildup of inflationary forces in the 1970's, however, exacerbated in severity and duration the economic downturn of recent years. One of the key detrimental forces has been the growing Federal budget. Despite our success in reducing the rate of growth of nondefense spending in the last two budgets, spending in 1983 will exceed 1981 levels by 21%, reflecting continued increases in basic entitlement programs, essential increases in defense spending, and rapid growth of interest costs. Thus, the full effect of the changes we have made is taking time to develop. Over-reactive short-term remedies are not the answer. M3 M4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 What is essential now is that we continue to work together to rebuild this country—without losing sight of the four fundamentals of our economic program: • Limiting tax burdens to the minimum levels necessary to finance essential Government services, thus maintaining incentives for saving, investment, work effort, productivity, and economic growth. • Reducing the growth of overall Federal spending by eliminating Federal activities that overstep the proper sphere of Federal Government responsibilities and by restraining the growth of spending for other Federal activities. • Reducing the Federal regulatory burden in areas where the Federal Government intrudes unnecessarily into our private lives or interferes unnecessarily with the efficient conduct of private business or of State or local government. • Supporting a moderate and steady monetary policy, to bring inflation under control. TWO YEARS OF ACCOMPLISHMENT Over the past 2 years, dramatic improvements have been made in the way the Government affects our economy. The Congress joined with my administration in a cooperative and politically courageous effort to reverse a decade of runaway growth in spending and tax burdens, proliferation of unnecessary regulations and red tape, and erosion of our military strength. Both the Omnibus Reconciliation Acts of 1981 and 1982 effected fundamental reforms in numerous Federal programs, and demonstrated a greatly heightened level of maturity and responsibility of the congressional budget process that has come to fruition with the help and support of this administration. Although I am disappointed that many administration spending-reduction proposals did not pass last year—which has resulted in higher deficits—I believe that the revitalized congressional budget process signifies a refreshing willingness on the part of the Congress to work with my administration to address squarely the many crucial, complex, and politically difficult budgetary dilemmas before us. The results have been impressive: • Where the growth rate of spending was almost out of control at 17.4% a year in 1980, it is now declining dramatically—to 10.5% this year, and, with this budget, to 5.4% next year— which is no more than the projected rate of inflation; in effect, a comprehensive freeze on total Federal spending. • Where spending growth totaled $220 billion from 1978 to 1981, a 48% increase, spending will rise by only 27% from 1981 to 1984, despite legislated cost-of-living adjustments and the needed defense buildup. THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M5 • For the first time since the Second World War, the Federal tax system has been fundamentally restructured. Income tax rates have been substantially reduced, greatly improving the climate for savings and investment. Excessive taxation of business income resulting from depreciation allowances rendered inadequate by inflation has been eliminated through depreciation reform. Tax loopholes have been closed, making the tax structure more equitable. Emphasis is shifting to financing programs through user fees commensurate with benefits and services provided. • The excessive rates of growth of entitlement programs were curbed. Overly-broad eligibility criteria were tightened to limit benefit awards more to the truly needy, and eliminate or restrict unnecessary and costly payments of welfare-type benefits to those who are relatively well off and are, or ought to be, self-supporting. Overly-generous and unnecessarily frequent cost-of-living adjustments were pared back. Nonetheless, the growth of these programs has proven difficult to control and continues to be the primary cause of higher deficits. • Limitation of Federal credit activity and off-budget spending is being achieved. • The burgeoning growth of Federal regulations and red tape has been capped. The number of proposed new regulations has been reduced by one-third in the past 2 years. Unnecessary costs of Federal regulation to individuals, businesses, and State and local governments have been reduced by $6 billion in annual expenditures and $9 to $11 billion in capital costs. By the end of 1983, the time our citizens spend filling out Federal forms and reports will have been cut by over 300 million hours annually. • Improvements in the management of Federal operations, such as better procedures for the collection of debts owed the Government and better cash-management practices, are being carried out. These improvements have helped reduce waste, fraud, and abuse in Government programs. • And by the end of the 1982 fiscal year, the Federal nondefense workforce had been reduced by 91,300 employees since I took office. During the past 2 years, we have also taken decisive measures to increase our military strength. At the same time, diplomatic approaches to increase our national security, such as arms reduction talks, have been vigorously pursued. The improvement in our defense posture includes all of its major elements. Long-overdue modernization of our strategic forces is proceeding with new bomber-, submarine-, and land-based missile M6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 programs. Our conventional forces are also being modernized and strengthened, with new ships, tanks, and aircraft. Above all, successful recruiting and retention over the past 18 months have resulted in all of our armed services being more fully manned with capable, high-caliber men and women. The All Volunteer Force is now working well. By any standards, these are accomplishments to be proud of. And I am proud of them. We have come far in restoring order to the chaos prevailing in our economy and Government affairs just 2 years ago. This is not to say that we do not still face great problems such as excessive unemployment, slower than desired economic growth, and high deficits. During the past 2 years our Nation has labored to purge itself of the inflationary disease that for nearly two decades had progressively undermined the economy's ability to generate growth, capital formation, worker productivity incentives, and financial stability. Those inflationary fevers have largely subsided in the aftermath of my decision 2 years ago to redirect economic policy toward a more modest size and scope for the Federal Government, a series of tax rate reductions to reward productive invest- THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M7 ment and work effort, and a restrained monetary policy to sustain the purchasing power of individual savings and income. Accompanying the marked progress in unwinding the damaging inflation spiral that plagued our Nation for so many years, financial markets in 1982 experienced their first sustained improvement in more than 5 years. Interest rates throughout the maturity spectrum declined substantially, and by yearend we can proudly report that key rates for home mortgages, consumer loans, and business investment were able to sustain their lower levels, indicating new confidence in administration policies and bringing much needed relief to the housing and auto industries, the farm community, and the export sector. Inflationary pressures of the sort experienced during the past two decades extracted a heavy toll from our economy. We have learned that the problems we inherited were far worse than most inside and out of Government had expected; the recession was deeper and longer than most inside and out of Government had predicted. Curing those problems has taken more time and a higher toll than any of us wanted. Unemployment is far too high. Fortunately, the long nightmare of runaway inflation is now behind us. Slowly, but steadily and unmistakably, our national economy is completing the transition from recession to recovery. The interaction of lower tax rates, reduced inflation, and falling interest rates has placed the consumer and the producer in a much strengthened position with respect to balance sheets, liquidity, after-tax income, and purchasing power. There are numerous signs that the battered, sputtering inflationwarped economy that we found 2 years ago is on the mend, and that the dislocation and hardship we have suffered in the interim will prove to be a corrective interlude on the path of sustained recovery. But our confidence must also be tempered by realism and patience. Quick fixes and artificial stimulants, repeatedly applied over decades, are what brought on the inflationary disorders that we have now paid such a heavy price to cure. In part as a result of the difficult period of disinflation, during the past year and one-half our projections of the Federal deficit have steadily risen. They have now reached very high levels, creating uncertainty in the financial markets and threatening to block the economic recovery ahead of us. But before we consider what is to be done, we must review how we got here. And the truth is that as in the case of the social security fund, the looming gaps in our national budget are the consequence of both the inflation that got out of hand and the correctives that have been unavoidably applied to cure it. During the 1970's, the share of our national income devoted to domestic programs and transfer payments soared by more than M8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 50%—from 10 cents to 16 cents on every dollar produced by the American people. For a brief time, it appeared that we could afford all of this generosity because inflation badly misled us. As inflation reached higher and higher peaks, the Treasury's coffers swelled from its take on inflated incomes and the upward creep of tax rates. For a time, we even financed our trillion dollar national debt on the cheap with interest rates that had not yet caught up with the spiraling inflation. Meanwhile, defense spending grew at less than 60% of inflation, making room in the budget for extra domestic programs. The real purchasing power available to maintain our readiness, modernize our weapons, and maintain strategic nuclear safety declined by a startling 20%. But it couldn't last—and it didn't. Today the Federal budget itself has become a major victim of the economic transition: • The inflationary revenue windfall has dried up. • Our staggering national debt until recently was being financed at the highest interest rates in peacetime history. • The undelayable process of restoring our inflation-eroded military budgets and our decayed military strength has further strained our resources. • Despite our great strides in reducing the spending growth over the last 2 years, the vast edifice of domestic programs remains significantly in place. The social security system has also been a victim of our economic ills. First, the rampant inflation drained its reserves as Government tried to keep beneficiaries up with the spiraling cost of living that its own mistaken policies had created in the first place. Now the recessionary adjustments to disinflation have temporarily deprived it of the expanding wage base and growing revenues required to support commitments to the retired and disabled. As a result, for too long the specter of social security insolvency has haunted our Nation's elderly citizens and threatened to rupture the lifeline on which 36 million retired and disabled Americans depend. But however obvious the threat of insolvency, one thing is certain: social security cannot and will not be allowed to fail the 36 million Americans who depend on it. With this commitment in mind, it is especially pleasing to me to join with the Speaker of the House and the Senate Majority Leader in urging the Congress to enact the bipartisan compromise plan developed by the National Commission on Social Security Reform. There are elements in it that none of us prefers, but taken together it forms a package all of us can support. It asks for some sacrifice by all—the self-employed, beneficiaries, workers, new government employees, and the better-off among the retired—but it THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M9 imposes an undue burden on none. And, in supporting it, we keep an important pledge to the American people: the integrity of the social security system will be preserved—and no one's payments will be reduced. TOWARD ECONOMIC RECOVERY To enhance prospects for sustained economic recovery and lower unemployment, I am proposing a sweeping set of fiscal policy changes designed to reduce substantially the mounting Federal deficits that threaten the renewal of economic growth. My plan is based on these principles: It must be bipartisan. Overcoming the deficits and putting the Government's house in order will require the best efforts of all of us. It must be fair. Just as all will share in the benefits that will come from recovery, all should share fairly in the burden of transition. It must be prudent. The strength of our national defense must be restored so that we can pursue prosperity in peace and freedom, while maintaining our commitment to the truly needy. Finally, it must be realistic. We cannot rely on hope alone. DEFICIT OUTLOOK AT A GLANCE: BASELINE VS. 1984 BUDGET PLAN 271 M10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 With these guiding principles in mind, let me outline a four-part plan to increase economic growth and reduce deficits. First, I am recommending a Federal spending freeze. I know this is strong medicine, but so far we have cut only the rate of increase in Federal spending. The Government has continued to spend more money each year, though not as much more as it did in the past. Taken as a whole, the budget I am proposing for the next fiscal year will increase no more than the rate of inflation—in other words, the Federal Government will hold the line on real spending. That is far less than many American families have had to do in these difficult times. I will request that the proposed 6-month freeze in cost-of-living adjustments recommended by the bipartisan National Commission on Social Security Reform be applied to other Government benefit programs. I will also propose a 1-year freeze on a broad range of domestic spending programs, and for Federal civilian and military pay and pension programs. Second, I will ask the Congress to adopt specific measures to control the growth of the so-called "uncontrollable" spending programs. These are the automatic spending programs, such as food stamps, that cannot be simply frozen—and that have grown by over 400% since 1970. They are the largest single cause of the built-in or "structural" deficit problem. Our standard here will be fairness—ensuring that the taxpayers' hard-earned dollars go only to the truly needy; that none of them is turned away; but that fraud and waste are stamped out. And, I am sorry to say, there is a lot of it out there. In the food stamp program alone, last year we identified almost $1.1 billion in overpayments. The taxpayers are not the only victims of this kind of abuse; the truly needy suffer, as funds intended for them are taken by the greedy. For everyone's sake, we must put an end to such waste and corruption. Third, I will adjust our program to restore America's defenses by proposing $55 billion in defense savings over the next 5 years. These are savings recommended to me by the Secretary of Defense, who has assured me they can be safely achieved and will not diminish our ability to negotiate arms reductions or endanger America's security. We will not gamble with our national survival. As a percent of GNP, the level I am requesting for defense spending in 1984 is less than the United States spent during the decade of the 1960's. As a percent of the total Federal budget it is far less than was allocated for national defense in those years. We are 2 years into the program to re-arm America. Sustaining the momentum of this program is essential if we are to avoid slipping back into the inefficient and counterproductive pattern of wildly fluctuating defense spending levels. Mil THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT THE BUDGET TOTALS (In billions of dollars) 1982 actual Budget receipts Budget outlays Surplus or deficit ( - ) Budget authority 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 617.8 728.4 597.5 805.2 659.7 848.5 724.3 918.5 841.9 989.6 -110.6 -207.7 -188.8 -194.2 -147.7 779.9 847.4 900.1 997.4 1,079.6 Fourth, because we must ensure reduction and eventual elimination of deficits over the next several years, I will propose a stand-by tax limited to no more than 1% of the gross national product to start in fiscal year 1986. It would last no more than 3 years and would start only if the Congress has first approved our spending freeze and budget control program. You could say that this is an insurance policy for the future—a remedy that will be at hand if needed, but resorted to only if absolutely necessary. In the meantime, we will continue to study ways to simplify the tax code and make it more fair for all Americans. This is a goal that every American who has ever struggled with a tax form can understand. At the same time, however, I will oppose any efforts to undo the basic tax reforms we have already enacted—including the 10% tax break coming to taxpayers this July and the tax indexing that will protect all .Americans from inflationary bracket creep in the years ahead. Impact of Stronger Economic Growth If the recovery of real GNP growth over the next 2 fiscal years is about 1% above our cautious projections, the deficit estimates would improve by an average of about $20 billion per year, and would result in lower deficits as follows: Deficit ( - ) ($ billions).. 1984 1985 1986 1987 -177 -177 -127 -119 -90 An average real GNP growth rate 1.33% higher each year over the next 6 years, compared to the prudent projections made in the 1984 budget, would result in a balanced budget by 1988. This is a "high growth" scenario but within the range of previous historical experience. My administration remains committed to the goal of a balanced budget and will propose additional policy actions, as needed, to achieve it. 380-000 0 - 8 3 - 2 QL 3 M12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 This plan is urgently needed and is geared toward solving the problems of the growing deficits. But it naturally requires the cooperation of both branches of Government, both Houses, and both parties. Thus, our plan is aimed at bridging the institutional, philosophical, and political differences that separate us—which are not as important as the overriding common objective of economic recovery and sustained prosperity for America. After 2 years of reducing much of the overspending, we have now reached the bone in many places—programs where we will not propose further reductions. My administration will now work with the Congress in an effort to accommodate those special concerns of the legislative branch that have caused unnecessary strains in the past. Thus, we will propose $3 billion more for education programs than was proposed last year, and almost $2 billion more for employment and training. Proposals for new rescissions of alreadyenacted budget authority will be held to an absolute minimum. This budget process must be a two-way street, for the problem of large deficits is very real. Even when all reasonable measures are applied to the vast detail of the budget, the resulting deficits are large and progress toward reducing them slow. The political risks entailed in these deficit-containment measures are considerable. But the risk of doing nothing at all due to partisanship or legislative stalemate is much greater. I therefore urge the Congress to join with my administration behind this common-sense strategy. MEETING—AND RESHAPING—FEDERAL RESPONSIBILITIES My administration seeks to limit the size, intrusiveness, and cost of Federal activities as much as possible, and to achieve the needed increase in our defense capabilities in the most cost-effective manner possible. This does not mean that appropriate Federal responsibilities are being abandoned, neglected, or inadequately supported. Instead, ways are being found to streamline Federal activity, to limit it to those areas and responsibilities that are truly Federal in nature; to ensure that these appropriate Federal responsibilities are performed in the most cost-effective and efficient manner; and to aid State and local governments in carrying out their appropriate public responsibilities in a similarly cost-effective manner. The Nation must ask for no more publicly-provided services and benefits than the private sector can reasonably be asked to finance. Education.—One of the high priorities I have set for my administration is the return to a more appropriate role for the Federal THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M13 Government in the Nation's education systems and policies. We have slowed the alarming rate of growth of Federal spending for education, an area that is rightfully and primarily a family and State and local government responsibility. From 1974 to 1981, Federal spending for education increased by 172%. From 1981 to 1982, however, outlays declined by more than $1 billion. My administration has accomplished a major consolidation of small fragmented education programs into a flexible education block grant to States and localities. We have cut back on unnecessary regulation and Federal intrusion in local affairs. The 1984 budget seeks to stabilize education spending, requesting $13.1 billion in budget authority for 1984. It reflects several important new initiatives to strengthen American education: • Passing of tuition tax credits for parents who want to send their children to qualified private or religiously-affiliated schools. • Establishing education savings accounts to give middle- and lower-income families an incentive to save for their children's college education and, at the same time, to encourage a real increase in savings for economic growth. • Reorienting student aid programs to ensure that students and families meet their responsibilities for financing higher education, while making funds available across a wider spectrum of schools for the low-income students most in need. • Allowing States or localities, if they so choose, to use their compensatory education funds to establish voucher programs to broaden family choice of effective schooling methods for educationally disadvantaged children. • Helping States to train more mathematics and science teachers. These initiatives represent the administration's continuing commitment to avoid improper Federal involvement in State, local, and family decisions, while preserving proper Federal support for key national policy goals such as supporting compensatory and handicapped education, facilitating access to higher education, and helping States improve science and mathematics education. Research.—My administration recognizes the Federal responsibility to maintain U.S. leadership in scientific research. Although support of basic scientific research represents a small share of the Federal budget, it is a vital investment in the Nation's future. Such research lays the foundation for a strong defense in the years to come, and for new technologies and industries that will help maintain our industrial competitiveness, create new jobs, and improve our quality of life. By carefully establishing budget priorities, my administration has been able to reinvigorate Federal support for basic scientific research. With my 1984 budget proposals, such sup- M14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 port across the Government will have increased by more than 20% over the 1982 level. Health care.—A major problem for both individuals and the Federal Government in meeting health care needs is the rapid inflation of health care costs. The rate of increase in health care costs is excessive and undermines people's ability to purchase needed health care. Federal policies have contributed significantly to health care cost increases. The budget contains several major initiatives to reduce cost increases. We must eliminate the tax incentive for high-cost employee health insurance programs. Savings from medicare cost controls will be used to protect the aged from catastrophic hospital costs. Incentives will also be proposed to slow the growth of medicaid costs. Agriculture.—The administration seeks to move agricultural supply toward a better balance with demand by reducing farm production and Government program stocks. The budget proposes a four-part approach to solving the current surplus supply problem: • establishing a payment-in-kind (PIK) program, under which farmers would receive surplus commodities now held for Federal loans, or owned by the Government, in return for reducing their production; • freezing farm crop target prices at current levels; • donating Government-held commodities through international humanitarian organizations for needy people around the world; and • selling our agricultural produce abroad, both through commercial channels and through governmental negotiation. Efforts are also continuing to identify surplus Federal land holdings for sale from those administered by the Departments of Agriculture and of the Interior. Planned sales total $500 million in 1984. Transportation.—In the transportation area, my administration has made major strides in implementing one of the fundamental principles in my program for economic recovery: having users pay for program costs that are clearly allocable to them. During the past year, I signed into law two administration-backed proposals to increase excise taxes on aviation and highway users and thereby provide funding needed to revitalize and modernize these important segments of the Nation's transportation system. The 1984 budget reflects the administration's continued commitment to the "users pay" principle by again proposing user fees for: • construction and maintenance of deep-draft ports; • the inland waterway system; • selected direct Coast Guard services; and THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M15 • nautical and aviation maps and charts. Recognizing the importance of our transportation system in maintaining and contributing to the Nation's economic and social well being, my administration secured passage of legislation designed to rebuild the Nation's highway and public transportation facilities. This legislation substantially increased funds available to the States and local communities to complete and repair the aging interstate highway system, to rehabilitate principal rural and urban highways and bridges, and to improve mass transit systems. Fully capable ports and channels are essential to make U.S. coal exports competitive in world markets. My administration will work with the Congress to provide for timely and efficient port construction. We propose a system of user fees for existing port maintenance and new port construction. Local governments would be empowered to set up their own financing arrangements for the immediate construction of facilities in their areas. Reducing the Federal presence in commercial transportation, currently regulated by the Interstate Commerce Commission, the Civil Aeronautics Board, and the Federal Maritime Commission, will improve the efficiency of the industry. To this end, my administration will seek further deregulation of trucking, airlines, and ocean shipping. Experience since the adoption of initial transportation deregulation legislation has shown clearly that both consumers and industry benefit from reduced Federal involvement in these activities. Energy.—The administration has significantly reoriented the country's approach to energy matters in the past 2 years. Reliance on market forces—instead of Government regulation and massive, indiscriminate Federal spending—has resulted in greater energy production, more efficient use of energy, and more favorable energy prices. For example: • The U.S. economy today is using 18% less energy to produce a dollar's worth of output than it did in 1973 when energy prices first began to rise. • The price of heating oil and gasoline has actually fallen in real terms by 12% in the past 2 years—confounding past theories that insisted that these prices could only increase. Federal energy programs and policies have been refocused and made more productive: • Wasteful spending on large, unprofitable technology demonstrations has been curtailed. • At the same time, spending has increased in areas where the Government has a key role to play—for example, in supporting long-term energy research. • The strategic petroleum reserve has more than doubled in size over the past 2 years. M16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Criminal justice.—My administration has also sought to strengthen the Federal criminal justice system by proposing major legislative initiatives, such as bail and sentencing reform, by attacking drug trafficking and organized crime, and by achieving a better balance among law enforcement, prosecutorial, and correctional resources. Twelve regional task forces will focus on bringing to justice organized crime drug traffickers. The administration will strengthen efforts to identify, neutralize, and defeat foreign agents who pose a threat to the Nation. International affairs.—Our foreign policy is oriented toward maintaining peace through military strength and diplomatic negotiation; promoting market-oriented solutions to international economic problems; telling the story abroad of America's democratic, free-enterprise way of life; and increasing free trade in the world while assuring this country's equitable participation in that trade. • The security assistance portion of the international affairs program has been increased to assist friendly governments facing threats from the Soviet Union, its surrogates, and from other radical regimes. • Development aid emphasizes encouraging the private sectors of developing nations and increasing U.S. private sector involvement in foreign assistance. • A major expansion of international broadcasting activities aimed primarily at communist countries is planned, and a new initiative will be undertaken to strengthen the infrastructure of democracy around the world. • Special attention is being given to assuring adequate financing of U.S. exports while my administration seeks to obtain further reductions in the export subsidies of other governments. My administration will submit to the Congress a proposal to increase the U.S. quota in the International Monetary Fund and the U.S. obligations under the IMF's General Arrangements to Borrow, as soon as negotiations on these issues are completed. This is necessary to ensure that the IMF has adequate resources to help bring the world economy back to strong, noninflationary growth. Although now less than 2% of the budget, international programs are critical to American world leadership and to the success of our foreign policy. Minority-owned businesses.—My administration will assist in the establishment or expansion of over 120,000 minority-owned businesses over the next 10 years. The Federal Government will procure an estimated $15 billion in goods and services from minority business during the 3-year period 1983-1985. It will make available approximately $1.5 billion in credit assistance and $300 million THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M17 in technical assistance to promote minority business development during this period. Civil service retirement.—The 97th Congress made some improvements in the civil service retirement system. However, civil service retirement still has far more generous benefits and is much more costly than retirement programs in the private sector or in State and local governments. Accordingly, this budget proposes fundamental changes in civil service retirement designed to bring benefits into line with those offered in the private sector and reduce the cost of the system to affordable levels. Retirement benefit changes will be phased in over a period of years in order to avoid upsetting the plans of those at or near retirement. UNEMPLOYMENT DEMANDS SPECIFIC ATTENTION My administration seeks to provide appropriate assistance to the unemployed. There are three major groups who need help: the largest, those who are unemployed now but will find jobs readily as the economy improves; those whose jobs have permanently disappeared; and youth who have trouble finding their niche in the labor market. Those in the first group need interim help because, historically, increases in jobs always lag in an economic recovery. Last year we provided a temporary program to give the long-term unemployed up to 16 added weeks of unemployment compensation, in addition to the up to 39 weeks available from our permanent unemployment insurance. This temporary program expires March 31, 1983. I propose to modify and extend the program for 6 more months, and provide an option for recipients to receive assistance in securing work through a system of tax credits to employers. This will give employers a significant incentive to hire the long-term unemployed, while workers will get full wages rather than the lower unemployment benefit. Those whose jobs have permanently disappeared must be helped to find new long-term occupations. The Job Training Partnership Act, enacted last year, authorizes grants to States to help retrain such workers and assist them in locating and moving to new jobs. The Congress appropriated $25 million to start this new program in 1983. I am requesting $240 million to implement the program fully in 1984. In addition, I propose that the Federal unemployment law be changed to allow States to use a portion of the unemployment taxes they collect to provide such retraining and job search assistance to their unemployed workers. Regulatory reform and passage of enterprise zone legislation will also create new incentives for jobs and opportunity. M18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Those youth who have problems finding jobs after they leave school are often condemned to a lifetime of intermittent employment and low earnings. The new Job Training Partnership Act is designed to help disadvantaged youth acquire the basic skills potential employers look for when they hire. I am requesting $1.9 billion for the block grant to States under that Act. The States must use at least 40% of that for youth. One of the problems hampering youth is inability to get meaningful work experience during school vacations. Such experience is invaluable to demonstrate their qualifications to potential permanent employers. The budget provides for 718,000 public summer job opportunities for disadvantaged youth. But we must also make it possible for youth to experience work in the private sector. The minimum wage law now frequently prevents this. Inexperienced youth cannot produce enough of value to make it worthwhile for employers to pay them the full minimum wage during short periods of employment. I therefore propose that the minimum wage for summer jobs for youth be reduced to $2.50 an hour. Limitation of the reduced minimum wage to the summer months will make it unlikely that employers will substitute youths for older workers. I remain adamantly opposed to temporary make-work public jobs or public works as an attempted cure for non-youth unemployment. There are several reasons for this. The cost per "job" created is excessive; we cannot afford major new programs, particularly in our current budgetary straits; the actual number of new jobs "created" is minimal; the jobs created tend to be temporary and of a dead-end nature; and most such jobs do not materialize until after recovery is well underway. IMPROVING THE EFFICIENCY OF GOVERNMENT The proposed freeze on program funding levels will compel program managers in every agency of the Government to find more efficient ways of carrying out their programs. For too long, costs of Federal operations have been mounting unchecked. Good management has not always been a priority of the executive branch. I have been correcting that situation. My administration has redirected programs to improve their efficiency and to achieve cost savings Government-wide. My administration is committed to improving management and reducing fraud, waste, and abuse. The President's Council on Integrity and Efficiency (PCIE), made up of 18 Inspectors General, reported that almost $17 billion has been saved or put to better use in the past 2 years. THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M19 In 1982, I signed into law the Federal Managers' Financial Integrity Act. Under this Act, my Cabinet officers and other agency heads will report to me and the Congress annually on the status of their efforts to improve management controls that prevent fraud and mismanagement. A number of agencies have already begun to make significant improvements in this important area. But the Government can go only so far with the seriously outdated and inefficient management/administrative systems that are currently in place. One-third of our large-scale computers, for example, are more than 10 years old. A comprehensive management improvement program was needed, so "Reform "88" was initiated. We intend to upgrade and modernize our administrative systems to make them more effective and efficient in carrying out the Government's business and serving the public. We are already saving tax dollars by managing our almost $2 trillion yearly cash flow more effectively, collecting the Government's $250 billion of just debts, cutting Government administrative costs, modernizing Federal procurement systems, reducing internal regulations, controlling our office space and equipment more prudently, and streamlining the workforce in many departments and agencies. These cost-reduction efforts will continue. CONTINUING REFORM OF OUR FEDERAL SYSTEM The overall efficiency of Government in the United States can also be improved by a more rational sorting out of governmental responsibilities among the various levels of government—Federal, State, and local—in our Federal system, and eliminating or limiting overlapping and duplication. In 1981, the Congress responded to my proposals by consolidating 57 categorical programs into 9 block grants. In 1982, block grants were created for job training in the Jobs Training Partnership Act, and for urban mass transit in the Surface Transportation Act. The initiatives to be proposed this year will expand on these accomplishments. Four new block grants will be proposed, with assured funding for major functions now addressed through categorical grants: • A general Federal-State block grant covering approximately 15 categorical programs. • A Federal-local block grant that would include the entitlement portion of the community development grant program and the general revenue sharing program. • A transportation block grant. • A rural housing block grant. M20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 The administration is improving the management of intergovernmental assistance by providing State and local elected officials with greater opportunity to express their views on proposed Federal development and assistance actions before final decisions are made. Under Executive Order 12372, Intergovernmental Review of Federal Programs, which I signed in July 1982, Federal agencies must consult with State and local elected officials early in the assistance decision process and make every effort to accommodate their views. The Order also encourages the simplification of State planning requirements imposed by Federal law, and allows for the substitution of State-developed plans for federally required State plans where statutes and regulations allow. Through the President's Task Force on Regulatory Relief and the regulatory review process, the administration is eliminating and simplifying regulations affecting State and local governments that are burdensome, unnecessary, and counter-productive. These changes have improved local efficiency and accountability and reduced program costs. Twenty-five reviews were completed during the past 2 years by either the Task Force or by various Federal agencies. Available data indicate that regulatory relief actions will save State and local governments approximately $4 to $6 billion in initial costs, and an estimated $2 billion on an annual basis. My administration is also simplifying selected, generally applicable crosscutting requirements that are imposed on State and local governments as a condition of accepting financial assistance. FEDERAL CREDIT PROGRAMS: MORE SELECTIVE The administration continues its strong commitment to control Federal credit assistance, which has serious effects on the Nation's financial markets. To this end, I propose a credit budget that reverses the accelerated rate of growth in direct and guaranteed lending by the Federal Government that occurred during the second half of the 1970's and the first years of the 1980's. Federal intervention through guarantees and provision of direct lending misdirects investment and preempts capital that could be more efficiently used by unsubsidized, private borrowers. Because federally assisted borrowers are frequently less productive than private borrowers, large Federal credit demands must be reduced in order to improve prospects for economic growth. CONCLUSION The stage is set; a recovery to vigorous, sustainable, noninflationary economic growth is imminent. But given the underlying deterioration in the overall budget structure that has occurred over the THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M21 past 2 years, only the most sweeping set of fiscal policy changes could help to reverse the trend and set the budget on a path that is consistent with long-term economic recovery. If the challenge before us is great, so, too, are the opportunities. Let us work together to meet the challenge. If we fail, if we work at cross purposes, posterity will not forgive us for allowing this opportunity to slip away. RONALD W. REAGAN. JANUARY 31, 1983. PART 2 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET 2-1 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET This part of the budget discusses the economic assumptions underlying the budget. The first section reviews recent economic developments and the outlook for the economy. The second presents the economic assumptions. The third section notes how economic developments and changes in the economic outlook have changed the budget outlook since last year. The fourth section compares the current forecast with historical economic performance over the postwar period and notes how the budget is affected by different rates of growth and inflation. The fifth develops estimates of the extent to which deficits are cyclical (recession-induced) as opposed to structural. The sixth presents rules of thumb relating changes in economic variables to changes in the budget. The Economic Outlook The economic landscape in 1982 was dominated by widespread and rapid progress in unwinding the inflation spiral that built up during the past decade, as well as by the first sustained improvement in financial market conditions in more than 5 years. However, this rapid abatement of inflation pressures was accompanied by an economic recession of greater amplitude and duration than virtually any forecast anticipated a year ago. Fortunately, by yearend there were numerous signs that the difficult adjustment to lower inflation had run its course, and the economy was generating a solid foundation for economic growth in the 1980's. From a peak rate of 10.5% in late 1980, the rise of the GNP deflator slowed to 4.3% by the fourth quarter of 1982. This improvement was reflected in every sector of the economy. The rate of increase of consumer prices, producer prices, wage rates, and costs of energy and other raw materials moderated substantially in response to administration policies expressly designed to halt the damaging inflation spiral of previous years. For 1982 as a whole, the rate of inflation, as measured by the GNP deflator, had fallen to 4.6%, its lowest increase in 10 years. For the 12 months ending in December, the Producer Price Index increased by only 3.5%, its smallest rate of increase since 1971, while the Consumer Price Index advanced by only 3.9% over the 12-month period, its smallest rate of increase since 1972. 2-2 2-3 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET ANNUAL INFLATION RATES (Percent; 4th quarter over 4th quarter) Consumer Price Index 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 6.5 9.0 12.8 12.6 9.6 4.5 .. Producer Price Index 7.1 8.8 12.7 12.5 7.3 3.6 GNP deflator 6.1 8.5 8.2 10.2 8.9 4.6 Average hourly earnings 7.5 8.4 8.0 9.6 8.4 5.9 Confirming the reduction of inflation rates, money and credit market conditions eased substantially during the year, and interest rates registered major across-the-board declines. During the summer months, the generally successful legislative implementation of the First Budget Resolution and the resulting improvement in the outlook for Federal deficits improved public confidence concerning future inflation and economic growth. Along with a marked reduction in private credit demands, and a somewhat more relaxed monetary policy, these factors contributed to a 3 percentage point reduction in short-term interest rates during the JulySeptember quarter. By late December and early January, short-term rates had sustained their lower levels for half a year, and the 91-day Treasury bill rate hovered around 8%. At yearend the industry-wide commercial bank prime rate stood at 1136%, a significant reduction from its 1636% level of mid-1982 and the 2136% peak of late 1980. Long-term rates also declined substantially, and new Aaa public utility issues yielded about 11.75% in late December, a 6 percentage point reduction from its peak in late September 1981. The FHLMC mortgage rate declined to 13.6%, a large drop from its 18.5% October 1981 level. SELECTED INTEREST RATES (4th quarter averages) 91-day Treasury bills 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 6.1 8.6 11.8 13.6 11.8 7.9 Prime rate 7.7 10.8 15.1 16.7 17.0 12.0 Mortgage rate (FHLMC) 8.9 10.1 12.5 14.3 17.7 14.0 New Aaa utilities (Moody's) 8.3 9.2 10.8 13.6 16 3 11.7 Success in reducing the upward momentum of inflation and interest rates was achieved at a considerable cost. And it should be carefully noted that the unexpected severity and length of the 2-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 economic downturn in 1981 and 1982 can be directly traced to the unprecedented buildup of inflationary forces in the 1970's. During the 1973-1981 period, the rate of increase of consumer prices averaged 9.4% a year, the most rapid rate of peacetime inflation ever experienced in the United States. Indeed, on a cumulative basis, the 105% increase in the consumer price level that occurred from 1973 to 1981 actually exceeded the 102% cumulative price increase of the World War I period (1913-1920) and the 72% price increase of the World War II period (1940-1948). 160 Years of Inflation Average Aartyal % 12 12 mm <3j Inflationary pressures of the sort experienced during the past decade extracted a heavy toll from the U.S. economy. Investors shifted capital holdings away from productive financial assets and into non-productive tangible assets such as gold, commodities, and excessive real estate investment. Tax and depreciation schedules were distorted, and net business investment in new plant and equipment lagged well behind historical trends. Uncertainty and pessimism became the dominant psychological attitude, and economy-wide productivity and real output growth remained stagnant. Cost pressures from record interest rates, inflated nominal wage compensation, indirect business taxes, and increasing energy and other raw materials prices caused unit costs in the non-financial 2-5 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET corporate sector to grow more rapidly (10.2% per year) than unit prices (8.6%) from the fourth quarter of 1978 to the second quarter of 1982. As a result, profit margins were badly squeezed, declining by 24%, or at an annual rate of 7.5%. UNIT PRICES, COSTS, AND PROFITS: NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE SECTOR (Percent change; annual rate) Unit prices • 1978-4-1982:2 1982-2-1982-4 Unit costs 2 8.6 4.8 10.2 3.3 Profit margins 3 7.5 25.3 •The deflator for gross national product of nonfinancial corporate business. Labor and interest charges plus non-factor costs (e.g., depreciation) divided by real output of nonfinancial corporate sector. Pre-tax profits (with IVA and CC adjustments) of nonfinancial corporate business divided by output in 1972 dollars. 2 3 The collapse of corporate earnings forced across-the-board cuts in inventories, production, and employment. As indicated by the most recent data from the national income and product accounts, unusually large declines occurred in inventory investment and net exports. In particular, a boom-like inventory build-up that took place in the second and third quarters of 1981 was reversed in 1982. As shown in the table below, the massive inventory liquidation accounted for almost all (88%) of the reduction in real GNP from the third quarter of 1981 (the cyclical peak) to the final quarter of 1982. In a typical postwar recession, the decline in inventory investment accounts for only about 57% of the peak-to-trough decline in real GNP. COMPONENTS OF DECLINE IN REAL GNP (Dollar amounts in billions) Peak 1981:3 Likely trough 1982:4 Relative contribution to real GNP change Change $1,510.4 $1,471.7 - $ 3 8 . 7 951.4 968.0 16.6 173.9 159.6 - 1 4 . 3 41.7 -1.2 42.9 -34.2 16.5 -17.7 39.2 21.1 -18.1 110.7 123.7 13.0 175.7 175.4 -0.3 Real GNP Consumption Business fixed investment., Residential construction Inventory change Net exports Federal purchases State and local purchases.. This recession Postwar average' -100.0% + 42.9 -37.0 -3.1 -88.4 -46.8 + 33.6 -0.8 -100.0% -1.1 -35.6 -18.4 -57.0 + 11.2 -20.0 + 20.6 •Covers 5 postwar recessions beginning with the 1953-54 downturn. Ironically, the shift in inflation expectations that appeared to occur in mid-1982, illustrated in part by the sharp break in interest rate pressures, may have worked to prolong the recession during the second half of the year. With a lower inflation outlook, bottomline-oriented business executives saw the need to curtail credit demands and to pare back plans for capital expenditures and other operations, at least temporarily. These decisions generated a last 380-000 0 - 8 3 - 3 QL 3 2-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 round of significant inventory reduction, severe cost control measures, and additional retrenchment in production and employment during the third and fourth quarters. Similarly affected by changing inflation conditions, individuals throughout the economy undertook strong belt-tightening measures to reduce spending and improve liquidity and balance sheet positions. At the same time, investors intensified efforts to reshuffle portfolios away from commodities and tangible assets and toward more liquid financial securities such as stocks, bonds, money market funds, and newly deregulated bank deposits offering competitive market interest rates. In response, the saving rate rose to 6.9% in the third quarter of 1982 from 5.4% in the first quarter of 1981. While stock and bond market prices rose sharply, the flow-offunds data indicate that the acquisition of tangible assets by households fell continuously from late 1981 through the end of 1982. As a short-run influence, the renewed emphasis on reduced borrowing, increased saving, and the rebuilding of liquidity caused additional weakness in current consumption and investment. Thus, the larger than expected decline in the level of real output during 1982 can be traced in large part to the stepped-up effort during the second half of the year to improve balance sheets and rebuild financial savings in the new disinflationary environment. However, as a longer-term influence, these saving and investment responses to lower inflation and inflation expectations are quite healthy. No recovery factor is more important than the systematic reduction of inflation, and a low and stable inflation rate during the years ahead will create the balance, efficiency, and equilibrium necessary to generate sustained economic recovery. The combined effects of economic policies aimed at budget restraint, a permanent lowering of tax rates, and a sustained reduction of inflation are creating a strong foundation for economic growth in the 1980's. But a year ago the full adjustment effects of disinflation were not properly anticipated nor fully understood by the majority of economic forecasters. The second wave of recession that developed during the final two quarters of the year came as a surprise to most analysts. The powerful impact on all forms of financial and economic activity that resulted from the sweeping shift of inflation expectations served to derail the projection of second-half recovery that was widely forecast both in and outside of Government. Looking back on economic forecast estimates published by the administration, the Congressional Budget Office, and the Blue Chip Indicators (an average of 43 private sector forecasts) in early 1982, to a remarkable extent these projections were in agreement. But it turned out that these Government and non-Government projections were substantially wide of the mark in every key area. 2-7 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET The Economy in 1982: Forecasts vs. Actual Inflation (GNP Deflator)1 Nominal GNP; Admin CBO Blue Chip Real GNP x;x\"x:; - ;>xvX<x Admin. Actual 1 CBO Blue Chip Admin. CBO Blue Chip Actual Unemployment Rate ( % ) — 4 t h Quarter :; m m Actual ill m illl ^ Admin CBO Blue Chip Actual "Percent increase From t i e 4th Quarter of Calendar Year 1981 to th« 4 t i Qufertvr of The consensus projected real GNP to rise from the fourth quarter of 1981 to the fourth quarter of 1982 by 3.0%, with a strong second-half showing, but actual output declined by 1.2%. The projected 7.2% rise in the GNP implicit price deflator was much larger than the actual increase of only 4.6%. Nominal GNP increased by a meager 3.3%, but the consensus forecast anticipated a more robust 10.4%. The unemployment rate by yearend 1982 was projected in a range of 8.1% to 8.8%, but the average rate for the fourth quarter turned out to be 10.7%. Finally, the 91-day Treasury bill rate was expected to average around 11%% in last year's fourth quarter, but the actual rate was 7.9%. The combined effects of these large forecast errors will have a significantly adverse impact on the budget totals. Some of the effects were felt in 1982, but the heaviest impact of the unanticipated economic changes will be felt in 1983 and the outyears. For example, as described in greater detail later in this chapter, the 1983 deficit has been reestimated upward by $66 billion as a result of economic events in 1982. Recently there have been a number of developments to suggest that the economy bottomed in the fourth quarter of 1982 and that a 1983 recovery is imminent. New housing starts and permits 2-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 reached their trough in October 1981 and have risen 43% and 75%, respectively, since then. The index of 12 leading indicators has risen in 7 out of the last 8 months. The ratio of coincident to lagging indicators (which typically leads an upturn in the economy by about 3 months) has been rising steadily since its July 1982 trough. Profit margins in the nonfinancial corporate sector are estimated to have increased at an annual rate of about 25%, reflecting better alignment of costs and prices. The interaction of lower tax rates, reduced inflation, and falling interest rates has placed the consumer in a strengthened position with respect to balance sheets, liquidity, after-tax income, and purchasing power. The massive inventory liquidation in the fourth quarter of 1982 (real inventories were accumulated at an annual rate of $3.4 billion in the third quarter and liquidated at a $17.7 billion rate in the fourth quarter) sets the stage for a recovery of employment and production in 1983. The recent decline in the value of the dollar should, with a lag, improve the competitive position of U.S. exporters. Locating the exact inflection point of economic recovery is a difficult task, but most signs point toward recovery during the first half of 1983, with greater momentum for economic growth developing during the year's second half. From the fourth quarter of 1982 to the fourth quarter of 1983, real output is expected to rise by 3.1%, while nominal GNP is projected to increase by 8.8%. Both inflation and interest rates are expected to consolidate the progress that occurred in 1982. The rate of unemployment is projected to trend downward during the year's second half, but for the year as a whole the unemployment rate is projected to average 10.7%. Economic Assumptions In contrast to the short-range forecast for 1983, the longer-range assumptions for the 1984-1988 period are not intended as precise forecasts of future economic conditions. Instead, they are trend projections, consistent with the economic policy objectives of the administration, that assume steady progress in reducing unemployment, inflation, and interest rates, and in sustaining strong real growth during the outyears. Although the growth of real output, productivity, and plant and equipment investment have fallen below trend in recent years, it is assumed that policies favoring budget restraint, capital formation incentives, and a sustained fight against inflation are consistent with a trend rate of growth of real output of 4% during the 1984-1988 period. Consistent with this trend growth of real output, the unemployment rate is expected to fall gradually to a calendar year average of 6.5% by 1988. Underscoring the commitment to a sustained inflation reduction and a moderate rate of monetary expansion, the growth of nominal GNP 2-9 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET is estimated to decline gradually from 9.2% in 1984 to 8.6% in 1988. This moderate growth rate for total spending or aggregate demand contrasts with the inflationary 11.2% growth of nominal GNP during 1977-1981. SHORT-RANGE ECONOMIC FORECAST (Calendar years; dollar amounts in billions) Item Major economic indicators: Gross national product, percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter: Current dollars Constant (1972) dollars GNP deflator (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter) Consumer Price Index (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter) 2 Unemployment rate (percent, fourth quarter) 3 Annual economic assumptions: Gross national product: Current dollars: Amount Percent change, year over year Constant (1972) dollars.Amount Percent change, year over year Incomes: Personal income Wages and salaries Corporate profits Price level: GNP deflator: Level ( 1 9 7 2 = 1 0 0 ) , annual average Percent change, year over year Consumer Price Index.-2 Level (1967 = 100), annual average Percent change, year over year Unemployment rates: Total, annual average 3 Insured, annual average 4 Federal pay raise, October (percent) 5 Interest rate, 91-day Treasury bills (percent) 6 Interest rate, 10-year Treasury notes (percent) Actual 1981 Forecast 1982 ] 1983 1984 9.6 0.7 3.3 -1.2 8.8 3.1 9.2 4.0 8.9 4.6 5.6 5.0 9.4 8.1 4.4 10.5 5.0 10.4 4.4 9.5 2,938 11.6 3,058 4.1 3,262 6.7 3,566 9.3 1,503 1.9 1,476 -1.8 1,496 1.4 1,555 3.9 2,416 1,494 232 2,570 1,560 2,935 175 2,727 1,640 177 195.5 9.4 207.2 6.0 218.1 5.2 229.4 5.2 272.3 10.3 288.6 6.0 302.9 4.9 316.8 4.6 7.5 3.5 4.8 14.1 13.9 9.5 4.7 4.0 10.7 10.7 5.3 9.9 4.7 6.1 7.9 9.8 13.0 8.0 10.2 1,780 206 1 Preliminary 2 actual data. CPI for urban wage earners and clerical workers. Two versions of the CPI are now published. The index shown here is that currently used, as required by law, in calculating automatic cost-of-living increases for indexed Federal programs. The figures in this table reflect the actual CPI for December 1982, released January 2 1 , 1983, which was 0.7% lower than had been projected; consequently, the cost-of-living adjustments estimated in the budget are higher than the actual adjustments will be. 3 Percent of total labor force, including armed forces stationed in the U.S. 4 This indicator measures unemployment under State regular unemployment insurance as a percentage of covered employment under that program. It does not include recipients of extended benefits under that program. 5 General schedule pay raises become effective in October—the first month of the fiscal year. Thus, the October 1984 pay raise will set new pay6 scales that will be in effect during fiscal year 1985. The October 1981 pay raise for military personnel was 14.3%. Average rate on new issues within period, on a bank discount basis. These projections assume, by convention, that interest rates decline with the rate of inflation. They do not represent a forecast of interest rates. The inflation rate during the outyear period is assumed to range between 4.5% and 5.0%, while both short- and longer-term interest rate trends are projected to decline further. By 1988, the 91-day 2-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Treasury bill rate is estimated at around 6%, with longer-term Government bonds yielding somewhat more. Importantly, with economic policies geared toward steady deficit reduction in 1984 and in the outyears, further reductions in inflation premiums as well as in the "real" or inflation-adjusted component of market interest rates are expected. LONG-RANGE ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS (Calendar years; dollar amounts in billions) Assumptions 1985 Major economic indicators: Gross national product, percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter: Current dollars Constant (1972) dollars GNP deflator (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter) Consumer Price Index (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter) * Unemployment rate (percent, fourth quarter) 3 Annual economic assumptions: Gross national product: Current dollars: Amount Percent change, year over year Constant (1972) dollars: Amount Percent change, year over year Incomes: Personal income Wages and salaries Corporate profits Price level: GNP deflator: Level ( 1 9 7 2 - 1 0 0 ) , annual average Percent change, year over year Consumer Price Index-.* Level (1967 = 100), annual average Percent change, year over year Unemployment rates: Total, annual average 2 Insured, annual average3 Federal pay raise, October (percent) 4 Interest rate, 91-day Treasury bills (percent) 5 Interest rate, 10-year Treasury notes (percent) 1987 1986 1988 9.0 4.0 8.7 4.0 8.7 4.0 8.6 4.0 4.8 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.7 8.5 4.5 7.8 4.5 7.0 4.4 6.2 3,890 9.1 4,232 8.8 4,599 8.7 4,995 8.6 1,617 4.0 1,682 4.0 1,749 4.0 1,819 4.0 3,142 1,921 246 3,377 2,090 296 3,661 2,281 316 3,956 2,483 329 240.6 4.9 251.7 4.6 263.0 4.5 274.7 4.4 331.4 4.6 346.6 4.6 362.2 4.5 378.3 4.4 8.9 4.2 6.0 7.4 9.0 8.1 3.8 5.7 6.8 8.0 7.3 3.5 5.6 6.5 7.4 6.5 3.2 5.5 6.1 6.7 1 CPI for urban wage earners and clerical workers. Two versions of the CPI are now published. The index shown here is that currently used, as required by law, in calculating automatic cost-of-living increases for indexed Federal programs. The manner in which this index measures housing costs2 will change significantly in 1985. Percent of total labor force, including armed forces stationed in the U.S. 3 This indicator measures unemployment under State regular unemployment insurance as a percentage of covered employment under that program. It does not include recipients of extended benefits under that program. 4 General schedule pay raises become effective in October—the first month of the fiscal year. Thus, the October 1985 pay raise will set new pay5 scales that will be in effect during fiscal year 1986. Average rate on new issues within period, on a bank discount basis. These projections assume, by convention, that interest rates decline with the rate of inflation. They do not represent a forecast of interest rates. 2-11 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET EFFECTS ON THE BUDGET OF CHANGES IN ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS SINCE LAST YEAR (In billions of dollars) Current budget estimates* adjusted to February 1982 forecast: Receipts Outlays Deficit ( - ) Changes due to economic assumptions: Receipts Outlays.Inflation Unemployment Interest rates Interest on deficits Total, outlays Increase in deficit ( — ) Current budget estimates: 1 Receipts Outlays Deficit ( - ) Addendum: Change in deficit due to: Actual 1982 economic performance Change in the forecast for 1983-1987 Percent due to 1982 economic performance 1 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 667.6 814.1 751.4 847.9 835.9 908.6 972.7 968.6 1,057.7 1,025.0 -146.6 -96.5 -72.7 4.0 32.7 -70.1 -91.7 -111.6 -130.8 -141.4 -1.2 11.2 -10.7 -4.6 11.6 -15.8 29.2 -5.2 10.2 -13.8 39.1 -5.4 8.9 -5.7 45.1 8.1 -3.7 13.3 -13.5 18.5 14.6 20.4 30.4 43.0 -78.2 -106.3 -132.0 -161.1 -184.4 597.5 822.2 659.7 862.5 724.3 929.0 841.9 999.0 916.3 1,068.0 -224.8 -202.8 -204.7 -157.1 -151.7 65.7 12.5 (84) 77.1 29.2 (72) 90.0 42.0 (68) 106.2 54.9 (66) 116.5 67.9 (63) Includes off-budget outlays. Changes in the Budget Outlook Since Last Year The budgetary effects of the large forecasting errors in 1982 turned out to be quite substantial. A portion of the budget impact of last year's unanticipated economic changes affected the 1982 fiscal totals, where outlays were increased by $0.4 billion as a result of weaker real growth and higher unemployment, and revenues were reduced by $22.4 billion as a result of lower inflation and nominal GNP. The improvement in financial conditions came too late in the year to prevent interest expenses from increasing by $3.8 billion. The net effect of all these changes raised the deficit by $26 billion from the level estimated in February 1982. But the major budget effects of the 1982 forecasting errors will occur in 1983 and the outyears, and these economic influences are the single biggest factor in the large upward revisions of the deficit projections for the 1983-1987 period as compared with deficit estimates published one year ago. For the 1983 budget year the net effects of weaker than expected growth, lower inflation, and falling interest rates in calendar year 1982 are responsible for a $55 billion loss in receipts, an $11 billion increase in outlays, and a $66 billion increase in the deficit. The total deficit reestimate for 1983 2-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 registered an increase of $78 billion, and thus the 1982 economic changes were responsible for 84% of the net change in the 1983 deficit projection. For the 1984-1987 budget estimates, the effects of the large gap between predicted and actual economic conditions in 1982 are equally significant. On average, the weak 1982 performance is expected to raise outlays by $25 billion during the 5-year period, reduce receipts by $66 billion, and contribute an average $91 billion to the upward deficit revisions. The 1982 economic impact is therefore estimated to contribute 69% of the total increase due to economic assumptions in the deficit estimates for the 1983-1987 planning interval. COMPARISON OF FEBRUARY 1982 AND CURRENT ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS (Calendar years-, dollar amounts in billions) Nominal GNP: 1982 forecast 1 1983 forecast Real GNP (percent change): 1982 forecast 1983 forecast GNP deflator (percent change): 1982 forecast 1983 forecast Interest rate on 91-day Treasury bills (percent): 1982 forecast 1983 forecast Unemployment rate (percent; civilian labor force): 1982 forecast 1983 forecast 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 3,178 3,059 3,543 3,262 3,904 3,566 4,281 3,890 4,675 4,232 5,095 4,599 0.2 -1.8 5.2 1.4 5.0 3.9 4.7 4.0 4.4 4.0 4.3 4.0 7.9 6.0 6.0 5.2 5.0 5.2 4.7 4.9 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 11.7 10.7 10.5 8.0 9.5 7.9 8.5 7.4 7.0 6.8 5.5 6.5 8.9 9.7 7.9 10.9 7.1 10.0 6.4 9.0 5.8 8.2 5.3 7.4 'Adjusted for July 1982 historical revisions. Differences between the new economic estimates for the 19831987 period and those made a year ago are relatively small, although, as discussed in the next section, after last year's disappointing forecast performance the new estimates accord more closely with recent experience and historical trends. The estimated level of real output has been reduced by 7J£%, on average, while the price level has been revised downward by an average of 2%%. As a result of these factors, the level of nominal GNP is now expected to average 10% lower than forecast in February 1982. Current estimates of the unemployment rate average 2.6 percentage points above last year's forecast. Interest rates, on average, have been revised downward by 0.9 percentage points. The combined effects of these changes in the 1983-1987 economic assumptions will raise the average deficit during the period by $132.5 billion. About 69% of this deficit increase is attributable to weaker than anticipated 1982 economic performance, rather than reduced forecasts of 1983-87 real growth or inflation. 2-13 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET Sensitivity of the Budget to Economic Growth Assumptions After last year's disappointing forecast performance, and its significant impact on the budget deficit, there is now greater than usual interest and uncertainty concerning the probability of various real economic growth projections for 1983 and the subsequent 1984-1988 budget planning horizon. The administration's budget projections are predicated on trends of sustained real growth and moderate inflation through 1988. Over the 1983-1988 period real GNP growth is projected to average 3.8%, somewhat higher than the 3.3% postwar average registered over the past 35 years. The 4.8% projected rate of inflation over the 6-year interval 1983-1988 is also somewhat higher than the 4.2% postwar average, although the current estimate represents a marked improvement over the 7.7% average inflation rate of the past 6 years. AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH RATES Actual 1947-1982 Administration projection 1983-1988 76 33 4.2 88 38 4.8 Nominal GNP Real GNP GNP deflator Some observers argue that the economy is capable of growing on a trendline of 5% a year during the 1983-1988 period, similar to the 6-year performance following the 1960-1961 recession. These people believe that the administration's 4% trend growth estimate is too cautious. But there are a number of factors that suggest that the economy is not as healthy or balanced as it was in the early 1960's, and thus the probability of 5% real growth during the next 6 years would appear to be somewhat low. AVERAGE REAL GNP GROWTH DURING POSTWAR CYCLICAL RECOVERIES Trough quarter Recession 1953-54 1957-58 1960-61 1969-70 1974-75 Average recovery 1954-2 .... 1958:2 1961-1 1970-4 1975:1 Average growth during 6 years following trough (percent) 3.3 4.5 5.2 3.2 3.8 4.0 • Real GNP has been essentially flat for the last 4 years. During this period corporate profits were sharply squeezed, 2-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 and the rate of capacity utilization in manufacturing fell to a postwar low of 69.9% in 1982. As a result, the above average recovery in capital spending necessary for unusually strong real output growth is unlikely to take place during the early stages of recovery, even with the new policy of investmentoriented tax reduction. By contrast, in the early 1960's the economy was operating at a relatively high rate of capacity utilization (77.4% in 1961), so the reduction in tax rates could stimulate business fixed investment very quickly. • Although the administration is committed to a program of steady deficit reduction, the fact remains that deficits will be high relative to GNP for the next few years. Prospectively large Federal borrowing requirements will absorb funds that would otherwise finance productive investment. While this capital absorption will not prevent recovery, it may stand in the way of record growth such as that achieved during the first part of the 1960's. • Real or inflation-adjusted interest rates have been high for the past several years, and as a result of the deficit situation, they are likely to remain relatively high by historical standards for some time. The real Treasury bill rate is projected to average 2.3% during 1983-1988, somewhat higher than the 1.7% in the 6 years following the 1960-1961 recession. While the economy will ultimately adjust to these high real interest rates, they may slow the initial phase of the forthcoming recovery. • The current financial difficulties facing many developing countries are forcing them to adopt difficult corrective measures that may slow the growth of imports from the United States and other industrial countries. This factor may also tend to inhibit economic growth during the period immediately ahead. Another group of observers argue that the real economy will move along a 3% growth trendline during the years ahead, similar to the more sluggish 6-year performance following the 1969-1970 recession. These people argue that the administration's 4% real growth trendline is too optimistic. But a number of structural and policy factors suggest that the 3% estimate is unduly pessimistic. • With massive cost-cutting measures by businesses in recent years, significant breakthroughs in high-technology areas, and a set of economic policies designed to increase the rate of new captial formation, the Nation is likely to generate strong productivity gains in the years ahead. A high rate of productivity growth is a basic ingredient for strong real economic growth and sustained low rates of increase in unit labor cost and inflation. With these productivity advances, it would 2-15 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET seem unreasonable to expect the projected recovery to be substantially below average. Below average economic recoveries after the 1969-1970 and 1974-1975 recessions were marked by a pattern of rising inflation that interfered with the efficient working of the economy and caused a misuse of scarce resources. This administration, with the cooperation of the Federal Reserve, is determined to restrain inflationary pressures in order to avoid the distortions and imbalances of the low-growth 1970's. The elimination of unnecessary and inefficient Federal regulations will reduce costs and increase efficiency throughout the economy. In combination with tax rate reductions that raise the after-tax rewards for work, saving, and investment, policy measures taken to reduce Federal interference in the economy suggest that the rate of real growth in the 1980's should exceed the below trend growth rate of the 1970's. A major determinant of the slower growth during the past decade was a series of oil price shocks that interfered with both production and consumption. But in view of the current weakness in oil markets, the likelihood of growth-inhibiting oil price increases in the foreseeable future seems remote. ALTERNATIVE GROWTH ASSUMPTIONS* (Percentages; calendar years) 1983 Real GNP growth rate (4th quarter/4th quarter): Administration forecast 1% higher growth 1% lower growth Unemployment rate (4th quarter): Administration forecast 1% higher growth 1% lower growth 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 3.1 4.1 2.1 4.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 10.4 10.0 10.8 9.5 8.8 10.2 8.5 7.3 9.7 7.8 6.2 9.4 7.0 5.0 9.0 6.2 3.7 8.6 * Assumes inflation and interest rates are the same in all cases as in the administration forecast. Looking at all these factors, it seems reasonable to assert that the momentum of a decade-long trend of economic weakness and stagnation argues against a record-breaking rate of recovery of 5% or more, represented by the optimistic case. However, a number of significant economic policy changes suggest that real growth in the United States during the next several years will rise above the slow growth trend of the 1970's and regain its typical postwar 6year recovery rate of 4%, rather than the pessimistic 3% growth case. Of course, the impact on prospective budget deficits of different rates of economic growth would be significant. As the following table illustrates, in comparison with administration estimates, and holding inflation constant, the optimistic growth case will lower 2-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 the deficit significantly, while the pessimistic case substantially worsens the deficit problem. EFFECT ON DEFICIT OF HIGHER OR LOWER REAL GROWTH (In billions of dollars) 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 Administration forecast, total deficit, current services basis - 2 2 5 . 4 -248.5 -267.3 -284.4 -308.1 -315.4 Alternative deficit projections: 1 % higher growth* -222.1 -235.0 -240.6 -241.9 -247.1 -232.4 1 % lower growth 1 -229.2 -262.3 -294.0 -325.9 -367.4 -395.4 'Beginning January 1983. It is well known by policymakers that higher or lower rates of economic growth, putting aside changes in inflation, can substantially alter the profile of outlays, receipts, and deficits. With this in mind, it is not surprising that during the past 10 years longer-term economic assumptions made by Government have uniformly and systematically been excessive and unrealistically optimistic, thus masking the growing problems of budgetary imbalance. The 1982 experience, where economic assumptions agreed to by both the Congress and the administration were consistently off the mark, merely added new momentum to the continuing trend. Not only has the trend of repeatedly excessive forecasting optimism prevented any serious or sustained discussion of the growing structural imbalances in the budget, but the continued use of misleading forecasts has undermined public confidence in the Government's ability to administer and control its programmatic and financial responsibilities. With the 1982 experience fresh in mind, basing the 1984 budget on a set of economic assumptions that are realistic and prudent is a particularly important priority at the present time. Cyclical vs. Structural Deficits Even with the assumption of 5% trend real output growth for 6 consecutive years, certainly an unrealistically high estimate under current circumstances, the previous section noted that on a current services basis the remaining budget deficit of about 4.9% of GNP would be historically high, and particularly so for the late stages of a recovery cycle. Indeed, the key issue with respect to current and prospective deficits is that a strong cyclical recovery of the economy will only remedy a portion of the deficit problem. As this section will discuss, in the event the level of the economy is able to return to a realistic benchmark of "full" employment by 1988, fiscal policy would still be faced with a large and expanding "structural" deficit in the outyears. And the prospect of a permanently large structural deficit problem is likely to have a significant ad- ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET 2-17 verse impact on capital formation and economic growth during the period ahead. The high-employment budget concept is used by economists to measure the cyclical effects of the economy on the budget. Under this concept, estimates are made of Federal receipts, outlays, and the deficit as they would be if the economy were at high employment. The first step in developing these measures is to assess the level and growth of potential GNP. Potential GNP depends on available resources (such as labor and capital) and on the efficiency with which these resources are used (productivity). Once the level and growth of potential output are estimated, it is—by convention—multiplied by the actual or projected price level to obtain nominal high-employment GNP. This nominal high-employment GNP, and associated estimates of income shares, unemployment, and so forth, are used to estimate Federal receipts and those outlays that are sensitive to changes in economic variables. At high employment, incomes and, therefore, receipts would be larger than they are now, while unemployment compensation and other income maintenance outlays would be smaller. Thus, the deficit would be smaller. According to the last estimate published by the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) in January 1981, the economy was operating close to its potential in the final quarter of 1978. Up to that time, the rate of growth of real potential GNP was estimated at 3.0%, and the unemployment rate was then 5.9%. The growth of potential GNP since the end of 1978 has probably been lower than the 3.0% indicated by the 1981 estimates. This judgment is based primarily on the slow growth of capital formation relative to labor force growth, which reduced the trend growth of productivity. Although no precise estimates are possible, it is likely that there was about a 2.2% annual growth of potential real GNP instead of 3.0% after 1978, so that the level of potential real GNP was $1,602 billion in the fourth quarter of 1982, and potential nominal GNP was $3,376 billion. Over the next 6 years, stronger investment and productivity growth should more than offset the expected slowdown in growth of the labor force, resulting in a slight increase in the rate of growth of potential GNP to 2.4% a year. By the end of 1988, potential and projected actual GNP are about the same ($1,846 billion in 1972 dollars), and the actual unemployment rate is about the same as the high-employment rate (about 634%). Relative to current services projections, the high-employment deficit is $71 billion lower in 1983, indicating that 31% of the deficit is cyclical in that year, and 69% structural in nature. By 1988, 97% of the $315 billion projected current services deficit is seen to be structural in nature. 2-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 The following table compares the current services deficits projected in the 1984 budget with high-employment estimates on a current services basis. HIGH EMPLOYMENT DEFICIT (Dollar amounts in billions) 1983 Total deficit, current services basis High employment deficit Percent structural 225 154 (69) 1984 249 181 (73) 1985 267 210 (79) 1986 284 243 (85) 1987 308 284 (92) 1988 315 306 (97) Many arbitrary judgments are involved in estimating potential output and the high-employment budget. Potential output does not measure engineering capacity, but rather is an economic judgment as to the output that would be produced if the demand for goods and services were kept sufficiently high, but not so high as to generate inflationary instability. The unemployment rate at which this occurs is a matter of judgment, but is widely agreed to have been rising during the 1970's. The high-employment budget is inherently an estimation of "what might be" under different than actual conditions. Because of these many arbitrary judgments, the administration believes that this concept should be used only as an abstract analytical exercise rather than as a policy guide. The Council of Economic Advisers has revised its estimates of potential GNP six times in the past 10 years, almost always in a downward direction, and they have now suspended publication of the series. This points up the fact that potential as well as actual GNP is affected by current events and economic policies. For example, the energy shocks, resource diversion to comply with Government regulation, slower growth in the capital-labor ratio and in research and development, and increasing Government deficits and inflation undermined the growth in productivity and of potential output throughout the 1970's. Thus, the CEA estimate of the growth of potential real GNP slipped from 4.3% a year in 1970 to 4.0% in 1974, to 3.5% in 1977, 3.0% in 1979, and 2.5% in 1980. There was a corresponding downward trend in the CEA estimates of productivity growth from 2.8% to 1.0%, and a rise in their estimated high-employment unemployment rate from 3.8% to 5.1%. Use of inflation and debt service conventions makes the path by which high employment is reached very important in estimating the level of the high-employment deficit. As conventionally measured, nominal potential GNP would be higher (and the deficit lower) following an inflationary binge—which would jeopardize the maintenance of high employment—than after the kind of steady noninflationary growth embodied in the 1984 budget economic assumptions. This is because the actual inflation would raise the ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET 2-19 price level used to calculate nominal potential GNP, and thereby raise high-employment receipts. Likewise, a path of cumulative cyclical deficits prior to reaching high employment builds up debt service requirements that, by conventional measures, are included in the high-employment deficit. Notwithstanding these conceptual and measurement problems, however, high-employment budget deficits estimated on any reasonable basis demonstrate that the deficit problem remains serious even when the economy moves back on its path of potential growth. • Three-fourths of the 1984 deficit and 97% of that remaining in 1988 is structural in nature. Structural deficits are a significant problem that will not be remedied by cyclical revival of economic growth. • Worse still, structural deficits are a growing problem, doubling in size between 1983 and 1988. Deficits of the size foreseen without the policy actions recommended in this budget are likely to inhibit economic recovery. If they are financed by money creation, they will renew inflation and again bring on the inefficiencies and misdirection of resources that led to the stagnant growth of the 1970's. If they are not monetized, then there is the likelihood that the excess credit demand of the Federal Government will crowd out productive private investment and economic growth, generate excessive real interest rates that will further inhibit the expansion of investment and trade, and create an unbalanced and unsustainable recovery. Each of these alternative economic effects is harmful to the long-run growth and well-being of the Nation. Sensitivity of the Budget to Economic Assumptions: Rules of Thumb As discussed in previous sections, the sensitivity of the budget to economic conditions has become increasingly important. The unexpected effects of changes in economic conditions during 1982 has already been discussed. But the problem is not a new one. Actual Federal spending in 1980 was $48 billion higher than the original budget estimate in January 1979, with over half of the increase directly attributable to economic conditions different from those originally assumed. Similarly, 1981 outlays exceeded the original budget estimate by $45 billion, with assumptions about economic conditions accounting for $32 billion of the increase. Outlays in 1982 were $40 billion higher than estimated in March 1981, of which $22 billion was due to economic assumptions. At the same time, economic assumptions account for a shortfall of $48 billion from the original estimate of 1982 receipts. 2-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 The sensitivity of the budget aggregates to economic conditions seriously complicates budget planning. In recent years, for example, a sharp rise in interest rates added substantially to interest costs. Estimated outlays for net interest in 1983 are $88.9 billion, compared to only $29.9 billion in 1977. The enormous rise in consumer prices between 1979 and 1981 has added substantially to spending for indexed programs such as social security, and this, combined with much less rapid growth in the wage and salary tax bases that support these systems than in their benefit outlays, has contributed greatly to their financial problems. An understanding of changes in budget estimates requires an understanding of the magnitudes of the sensitivity of the budget to the economy. This section gives such estimates in the form of rules of thumb. In general, the discussion is concerned with tax and spending responses that are automatic under current law, abstracting from the "freeze" and deferral proposals in this budget, which would override some of those responses. Inflation.—Inflation has a direct impact on both Federal tax collections and Federal spending. Tax collections increase automatically as inflation swells various tax bases—corporate profits, personal incomes, payrolls, and sales. The increase in total receipts has in general been proportionally larger than the growth in incomes because of the progressive individual income tax with exemptions and brackets fixed. Beginning in 1985, however, indexation of tax brackets to inflation will reduce this effect. At the same time, Federal spending in a variety of areas—such as social security, interest, Federal pay, and medicare—also increases as a result of inflation. Outlay increases may also occur in other areas, such as defense procurement, as a result of congressional or executive action to maintain real program or benefit levels. The automatic increases in response to inflation differ in timing and magnitude as between receipts and outlays. Tax collections begin to rise almost immediately when inflation increases, in large part due to our system of withholding and estimated payments. For outlays, however, the lags are generally longer. Statutory cost-ofliving benefit increases occur at fixed intervals and are not paid until several months after the price increases that triggered them. (Income tax indexation will also occur with a lag.) Similarly, higher interest rates that may accompany higher inflation are reflected only in new debt issues and do not affect existing debt until it must be refinanced. The table below shows the automatic effects of a one percentage point rise in the inflation rate on outlays and receipts in 1984 through 1988. The effects shown are those that would occur under current law without the 1984 spending freeze proposed in this budget. The increases in outlays are for indexed programs, for 2-21 ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET interest costs, and for medicare and medicaid, which respond automatically under current law to price changes. If inflation is one percentage point higher than projected, beginning in January 1984, outlays in 1985 would be roughly $8 billion higher (in the absence of a freeze), and receipts would be $12 billion higher, thus reducing the deficit by $4 billion. To the extent that discretionary programs are also adjusted for inflation, the outlay increase would be higher and the reduction in the deficit would be smaller. Some important caveats should be noted. First, these estimates assume that real growth, productivity, and unemployment are unchanged. If the higher inflation is offset by reduced real growth, the outlay increase would be higher and the receipt increase (if any) would be less. Second, these estimates reflect an increase in domestic prices that is accompanied by a corresponding increase in domestic incomes. To the extent that the higher inflation is due to import price increases (for example, due to a fall in the foreign exchange value of the dollar as a result of lower U.S. interest rates) for which there are no corresponding increases in domestic incomes, the increase in receipts would be less than is shown. Third, the receipts increase resulting from inflation is quite sensitive to how the inflation-induced growth in incomes is distributed by type of income—age and salary income, non-wage personal income, and corporate profits, in particular—all of which are subject to different effective marginal Federal tax rates. Finally, higher inflation would likely be accompanied by higher interest rates, which would also add significantly to outlays. The same considerations (and rules of thumb) apply in reverse if inflation is lower than projected. SENSITIVITY OF THE BUDGET TO RATES OF ECONOMIC CHANGE (Fiscal years, in billions of dollars, current law basis) 1984 Effects of 1 percentage point higher annual rate of inflation l beginning January 1984: Receipts Outlays Decrease in deficit Effects of 1 percentage point lower annual rate of growth beginning January 1984: Receipts Outlays Increase in deficit 1985 1986 1987 1988 3.2 2.8 12.1 9.1 22.1 16.0 34.6 22.8 49.9 28.4 05 30 6.0 11.9 21.5 -2.9 0.6 -11.0 3.2 21.3 6.2 -33.0 10.8 -47.0 15.9 3.3 14.2 27.5 43.8 62.9 'And interest rates. Real GNP growth.—Differences from anticipated levels of real GNP can also affect the budget substantially. Lower real GNP growth, by itself (with no change in the rate of inflation), would 380-000 0 - 83 - 4 : QL 3 2-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 reduce personal and corporate incomes and therefore lower receipts. Since lower real GNP growth is accompanied by higher unemployment unless productivity growth is reduced equally, outlays for unemployment-sensitive programs would be increased. A one percentage point lower real growth rate beginning in January 1984 would raise outlays in fiscal year 1985 by $4 billion, reduce receipts by $11 billion, and increase the deficit by $15 billion. These effects are generally symmetrical; they would be of about the same magnitude but opposite sign for a percentage point lower inflation or a percentage point higher real growth. The acute sensitivity of the budget to the economy under current laws means that when the economy is volatile the budget tends to be volatile also. Current services estimates should thus be understood as uncertain "best estimates" based in part on the economic forecast. The above discussion describes generally how outlays and receipts respond, in the aggregate, to changes in rates of economic growth or inflation under current law. The discussion below provides further detail on the current law responsiveness of outlays to changes in the levels of prices, interest rates, and the rate of unemployment. Prices.—Because of the program-by-program variation in the timing of automatic cost-of-living increases under existing law, the outlay effect of increases in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on indexed programs will differ depending upon their timing. Fiscal year 1985 outlays, for example, will be most affected by projected CPI increases for the year between the first quarter of calendar year 1983 and the first quarter of calendar year 1984. The rise in the CPI during this period would determine, under current law, the July 1984 cost-of-living increases for social security, supplemental security income, railroad retirement, and veterans pensions. (The budget proposes delaying these increases 6 months, in accordance with the recommendation of the bipartisan National Commission on Social Security Reform.) Subsequent CPI increases would not increase outlays for these programs until July 1985, only 3 months before the end of that fiscal year, and thus have a much smaller impact on that year's outlays. Each percentage point increase in the CPI by the third quarter of calendar year 1983 increases fiscal year 1985 outlays for indexed programs by $2.5 billion. The fiscal year 1985 outlay effect resulting from CPI increases after the first quarter of calendar year 1984 would be substantially smaller. These estimated effects of higher prices are conservative because they do not include additional spending for other price-sensitive programs such as medicare and medicaid. Nor do they include ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND THE BUDGET 2-23 increases that may result from congressional or executive action to maintain real program or benefit levels for discretionary programs. Interest rates.—Additional outlays resulting from higher interest rates occur only for new borrowing and do not affect existing debt until it is refinanced. Thus, the outlay effect of a sustained interest rate change increases over time as more and more securities are issued at the higher (or lower) rates. The timing of the effect therefore varies with the term structure of the public debt. Currently, about half of the public debt turns over for refinancing within 15 months. A one percentage point increase in rates beginning January 1, 1983, would increase fiscal year 1984 outlays for net interest by $7.1 billion. A one percentage point increase beginning July 1, 1983 would increase 1984 outlays by $5.8 billion. Changed economic conditions also affect the deficit and therefore the amount the Treasury needs to borrow. Based on the interest rate assumptions used in this budget, a $100 billion 1984 deficit increases 1984 net interest outlays by roughly $5.4 billion. The 1985 (full year) outlay effect of this 1984 deficit would be about double this magnitude, or $9.8 billion. Unemployment.—Higher unemployment leads directly to higher unemployment benefits with almost no lag. It also raises outlays for certain other programs, such as social security, food stamps, and public assistance, which have more beneficiaries when unemployment rises. The outlay increases for the latter programs generally occur with some lag. A one percentage point rise in the unemployment rate would add an estimated $5.3 billion to 1984 outlays with about two-thirds of the increase being for unemployment benefits. Federal pay raises.—Each additional percentage point increase in Federal pay adds about $0.9 billion to outlays, with about one-third going for the military, one-third for civilian pay in the Department of Defense, and one-third for employees of civilian agencies. Changes in sensitivity.—In recent years, legislative changes and administrative reforms have somewhat mitigated the acute sensitivity of the budget to economic assumptions. Indexation of the individual income tax, to begin in 1985, is one example; it will reduce the growth in receipts in response to inflation-induced increases in nominal incomes. Elimination of the national trigger for unemployment insurance extended benefits means that extended benefits now only trigger on State by State, not simultaneously nationwide, thus reducing the overall sensitivity of unemployment compensation to the national unemployment rate. This, together with a lower observed responsiveness of insured unemployment to overall unemployment in recent years, has roughly halved the estimated sensitivity of unemployment compensation to the unemployment rate. 2-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 SENSITIVITY OF THE BUDGET TO ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS (Fiscal years; in billions of dollars) 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 PRICES (EFFECT ON INDEXED PROGRAM OUTLAYS) Sustained 1 % higher rate of inflation beginning: Under current law: January 1983 July 1983 Under proposed law: January 1983 July 1983 One-time 1 % jump in price level occurring: Under current law: January 1983 July 1983 Under proposed law: January 1983 July 1983 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.4 3.5 2.3 6.4 5.3 9.5 8.4 12.9 11.9 0.5 2.4 1.3 5.2 4.0 8.3 7.1 11.6 10.4 2.1 0.7 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.6 1.4 2.0 1.6 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 7.1 5.8 10.2 9.4 12.6 12.1 14.7 14.3 16.1 15.9 5.4 9.8 10.0 9.9 9.9 INTEREST RATES (EFFECT ON NET INTEREST) Sustained one percentage point increase in interest rates under budget policy deficits, beginning: l January 1, 1983 July 1, 1983 2.2 0.4 INTEREST COST OF HIGHER FEDERAL BORROWING Effect of $100 billion borrowing in 1984 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 2 One percentage point higher rate beginning January 1, 1983: Unemployment benefits 3.0 Other unemployment-sensitive outlays 1.0 (Receipt effect) 3 (-11.7) FEDERAL PAY RAISES Outlay effect of one percentage point increase in October 1983: Military personnel Civilian employees: Department of Defense Civilian agencies 2.8 2.6 2.3 3.1 3.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.8 -17.3) (-19.2) (-22.0) (-24.2) (-26.8) 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 'Omits receipts offset for Federal Reserve System deposits of earnings. Includes subsequent interest on previous interest costs. Assumes 1% higher unemployment rate is associated with 2.2% lower GNP, with no change in income shares. 2 3 Stricter eligibility standards and policing against fraud and waste have somewhat reduced the estimated sensitivity of such programs as food stamps and public assistance to unemployment. At the same time, elimination of twice-a-year cost-of-living adjustments for Federal employee retirement, food stamps, and other programs reduces the rapidity with which their outlays mount in response to inflation. The program "freeze" and delays in cost-ofliving adjustments proposed in this budget, of course, will also substantially reduce the near-term sensitivity of the budget to economic assumptions—though only on a one-time basis. PART 3 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS 3-1 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS The Current Services Outlook Without the determined and sweeping corrections embodied in the 1984 budget recommendations, the large outyear budgetary imbalance projected under current services assumptions would have become an insuperable barrier to non-inflationary economic recovery. The estimates indicate that the long-standing "structural imbalance" in the budget has been reinforced by the combination of unanticipated economic and policy developments over the past two years. The prolonged recession and rapid disinflation have once again dramatically reduced current law revenue projections. Estimated receipts of $597.5 billion for 1983 are lower than actual receipts for 1981—meaning that even with the strong recovery assumed in the 5-year budget assumptions, revenues will be on a permanently lower path. Meanwhile, aggregate spending has risen steadily, despite the major strides in reducing nondefense spending growth that have been achieved over the past two budget cycles. Spending in 1983 will exceed 1981 levels by 21%, reflecting the steady buildup of defense outlays, the explosion of debt service costs, and the continued, largely unchecked rise in basic retirement and medical entitlement programs. While the resulting $225 billion total deficit for 1983 in part reflects temporary recession pressures on the budget, the gap between outlays and receipts has now become so large—7% of GNP— that it threatens to gain self-reinforcing momentum. This is shown in the current services budget projections below. The deficit embodied in current law and policy would remain above 6% of GNP throughout the budget period, and would total $315 billion even under assumed economic conditions of full employment in 1988. The massive absorption of private savings that would be required to finance these current services deficits—averaging more than 100% of net private savings over 1984-1988—is not compatible with actually reaching conditions of full employment in the outyears. 3-2 3-3 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS Thus, the massive structural imbalance in the current services budget baseline under conditions of full employment continues to pose the most serious challenge to fiscal policy in recent times. CURRENT SERVICES PROJECTIONS (Dollar amounts in billions) 1983 Budget aggregates: Budget outlays Budget receipts Total deficit On-budget deficit Share of GNP: Outlays Receipts Total deficit Absorption of savings: Deficit as percent of net private savings 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 823 598 897 649 981 713 1,065 781 1,157 849 1,242 927 225 249 231 267 284 308 209 253 271 292 315 300 25.8 18.7 25.7 18.6 25.8 18.7 25.7 18.8 25.7 18.8 25.4 18.9 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.4 135 124 112 103 100 94 Sources of the Structural Deficit The large current services deficits projected for the outyears are not attributable to any single source but, instead, represent the effects of cumulative economic trends and fiscal policy decisions stretching over a decade. As was indicated in Part 2, the purely cyclical element of the deficit peaks at $71 billion or 2% of GNP in 1983 and steadily diminishes thereafter as the economy regains a full-employment footing in the outyears. The remaining deficit is "structural" and represents the longdeveloping policy imbalance that was embodied in the 1981 budget inherited by the present Administration. The 1981 tax claim on GNP was at a historic high of 21% and rising due to the built-in escalation in the unindexed, progressive tax system. At that time, it was widely believed that tax structure changes designed to cap the long-term tax claim at 20% of GNP or less were essential to restore sustained economic growth. At the same time, the overall 1981 spending claim was 23.6% of GNP, yet failed to reflect the 2-3 percentage point higher permanent claim on GNP that would be needed to restore the Nation's badly neglected and underfunded defense capabilities. Implicitly, then, existing and unfunded spending claims exceeded 25% of GNP. As thus measured, the implicit structural deficit that emerged from the misdirected trend of economic and fiscal policy over the decade of the 1970's was between 5 and 6% of GNP. The initial fiscal and economic policy plan of the Reagan Administration was 3-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 designed to permanently correct this huge imbalance by means of fundamental policy redirection in four basic areas: • Restoration of an adequate national defense, which meant a significantly increased spending claim on GNP. • Correction of the automatic tax creep built into prior law and reduction of tax burdens to the levels below 20% of GNP that had been associated with the strong economic performance of the 1960's. • Substantial retrenchment of the non-defense spending claim, which had skyrocketed during the 1970's from 10 to 16% of GNP and was therefore at the heart of the inherited disequilibrium. • Promotion of immediate, strong and sustained expansion of real GNP while steadily reducing inflation. As is apparent from the outyear current services projections, little progress has been made thus far in reducing the structural deficit, although substantial success has been achieved in implementing the tax and defense components of the original plan and in redirecting numerous nondefense programs. That a long-term, structural deficit in excess of 6% of GNP persists as the paramount, continuing challenge to fiscal policy is attributable to two fundamental developments over the past two years. First, the process of economic adjustment to non-inflationary growth has been far more prolonged, costly and disruptive to financial markets and business activity than originally projected. The net result of this unanticipated two year economic adjustment has been a substantially lower long-term GNP path and higher permanent budget outlay requirements for debt service than originally planned. Secondly, the policy adjustments to the inherited 1981 budget implemented over the past two budget cycles have been somewhat more successful in reducing the out-year (1985-1988) tax claim on GNP than originally anticipated, and considerably less successful in reducing the non-defense spending claim than initially planned. In combination, these economic setbacks and divergent policy outcomes have resulted in a perpetuation of the inherited budgetary imbalance—with the structural deficit remaining in excess of 6% of GNP by the end of the five-year budget period. The following sections examine the 1970's sources of the inherited budget imbalance in greater detail; describe the policy and economic assumptions on which the original March 1981 plan for closing the structural deficit was based; analyze the impact on these projections of outcomes from the last two budget cycles and economic developments since 1981; and then summarize the comprehensive, new BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS 3-5 1984 budget proposals for steadily eliminating the persisting structural deficit over the next five years. The Inherited Budgetary Imbalance Vast expansion of the social contract, 1963-1981.—By standards of western industrial democracies, the United States was relatively late in developing a full-blown social insurance system of retirement income for the aged, disability protection for workers, and medical care for the elderly and low income. As recently as 1966, Great Britain devoted 1% times and West Germany 2% times the share of GNP for these purposes as did the United States. Over the last two decades, however, the social insurance system of the early 1960's has been expanded into a vast social contract upon which 54 million Americans depend for basic retirement and disability income and health care services. In 1981 these commitments absorbed almost 7% of GNP—2.5 times their 1963 claim on national income. This vast expansion was not planned, nor was it grounded in an over-arching policy blueprint. Instead, it is the product of incremental entitlement extensions enacted over two decades with bipartisan support. Today the social contract: • provides income and medical care protection for 54 million elderly and lower-income citizens compared to 19 million in 1963; • provides average Federal benefits per couple of $10,000 per year compared to $6,500 in 1963 (constant dollars); and • finances average annual health care expenditures ranging between $1,700 and $2,200 per beneficiary under medicaid and medicare, respectively. The historic record makes clear that the current financial burden of financing this extensive social contract was not originally anticipated. Medicare initially cost about 0.6% of GNP, but by 1982 this had increased to 1.7% of GNP. Similarly, the 20% increase in social security benefits enacted in 1972 was premised on unrealistic assumptions. Furthermore, due to errors in the initial system for indexing wages and benefits instituted in 1975, social security replacement rates have climbed temporarily to almost 55% compared to the 33% norm on which the system had been premised. As shown on the next page, the incremental expansion of the social contract over 1963-1981 resulted in a nearly five-fold increase in constant-dollar costs. Relative to the national economy, its claim on GNP ballooned from 2.7% in 1963 to 6.8% by 1981. 3-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 GROWTH IN SOCIAL CONTRACT SPENDING 1963-1981 CONSTANT (1983 $) OUTLAYS $ BILLIONS 250 f — A 200 - TOTALv 150 - >/X//^MEDICAIDZ//Zj 100 - 50 Mril wmm 0 1963 1970 1981 EXPANSION OF SOCIAL CONTRACT CLAIM ON GNP PERCENT 7 . INCREASED GNP CLAIM SINCE 1970 6 - D INCREASED GNP CLAIM SINCE 1963 • 1963 CLAIM ON GNP 5 1970 CLAIM ON GNPv JMf////////, 4 3 ^fff////// —- I WHtJfaMtiHtyi'XIt >lfJ"»Mllllllllillllnllllffllll«llMMIUIin njDJlimiuuiMm 1970 ll,.n yi,iiiiiiiiiMiy ////////// i, n m • 9. 1981 3-7 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS Since the essential principles of social insurance require financing largely through contributory taxes, it is not surprising that payroll taxes climbed steadily in response to the vast social contract expansion of 1963-1981. Indeed, as shown below, the growth of payroll taxes to finance the social contract between 1963 and 1981 accounted for the entire increase in the Federal tax burden over the past two decades. GROWTH OF PAYROLL TAXES TO FINANCE THE SOCIAL CONTRACT (Dollar amounts in billions) 1963 Source Payroll taxes to finance social contract ncome, corporate, excise, and all other Total receipts Constant 1983 dollars 1981 Percent of GNP Constant 1983 dollars Difference Percent of GNP Constant 1983 dollars Percent of GNP $43 279 2.5 16.0 $180 493 5.6 15.3 + 137 + 214 +3.1 -0.7 322 18.4 673 20.9 + 351 + 2.5 For all practical purposes, the rapid growth of nondefense, particularly social contract programs, over the past two decades was the overwhelming motor force of the pre-1981 fiscal expansion. Despite the decline in defense spending, the aggregate tax and spending burdens relative to GNP stood at historic highs in the inherited 1981 budget. Parallel expansion of other entitlement programs during the 1970's.—Had rapid expansion of domestic spending been limited to social contract programs, the longer range fiscal implications might have been less serious. However, both means-tested entitlement programs and Federal retirement and disability programs experienced equally rapid growth during the decade. As shown in the accompanying chart, real spending more than doubled between 1970 and 1981—with the GNP claim of other entitlements rising to 3.3% in 1981. AGGREGATE TAX AND SPENDING CLAIM ON GNP EXCLUDING SOCIAL CONTRACT (Percent of GNP) Tax receipts excluding dedicated payroll tax.. Outlays excluding social contract spending.... 1963 1981 Difference 16.0% 16.6 15.3% 16.9 -0.7% +0.3 q o o—o THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 GROWTH IN OTHER ENTITLEMENT PROGRAMS 1970-1981 CONSTANT (1983 $) OUTLAYS GROWTH IN OTHER ENTITLEMENT PROGRAMS 1970-1981 (SHARE OF GNP) PERCENT ^ ^ ^ ^ y W/. I ACTUAL OUTLAYS 3 //// 2 INCREASE IN CLAIM m///// //////i §§ 1970 CLAIM ON GNP 1 i 1970 l i i t i l l i 1981 3-9 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS Thus, by 1981 the combined cost of the social contract and other entitlement programs had risen to about 10% of GNP—about twothirds more than in 1971. This development posed serious longrange fiscal challenges that are only just now becoming apparent. By definition, entitlement programs develop vast networks of dependency that cannot be precipitously altered without unacceptable social and human costs. As a consequence, their claim on the budget and national economy tends to become relatively permanent and can be reduced only slowly over long periods of time. This meant that to appreciably affect the budget outlook after 1985, policy changes in the social contract and other entitlement programs needed to be implemented during the initial budget cycle after 1981. It also meant that significant pre-1985 shifts in internal budget priorities or reductions in overall spending claims on GNP would have had to occur largely in the remainder of the budget consisting of net interest, discretionary programs, and national defense. The 1981 budget remainder: Inversion of internal priorities and limited opportunity for overall reduction.—The remainder of the inherited 1981 budget was a fraction smaller relative to GNP than it had been in 1970. But as shown below, its internal composition had shifted markedly. Between 1970 and 1981, real defense and security spending declined by 19%, with its claim on GNP dropping from 8.3% to 5.5%. DECLINE IN DEFENSE SHARE OF BUDGET, 1970-1981 (In constant fiscal year 1983 dollars) Budget component Annual average rate of change (percent) 1970 1981 Social contract and other entitlements l Defense and security l All other outlays 136.7 223.8 148.7 321.9 181.2 259.7 7.9 -1.9 5.1 Total budget outlays Defense and security share of budget (percent) 509.1 40.9 762.8 23.2 3.7 1 2 Military retired pay is included in all social contract and other entitlements. Not applicable. To be sure, defense spending should be based on assessment of threats and the force structure and military capabilities required to support national security objectives rather than an arbitrary "share of GNP/' Nevertheless, by the late 1970's it was clear that overall national defense capabilities had eroded badly over a decade of unprecedented Soviet military expansion, and that the 1981 defense and security claim on GNP of 5.5% was wholly unsustainable if national security objectives were to be met. 3-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 DECLINE IN DEFENSE AND SECURITY CLAIM ON GNP, 1970-1981 ,1970 DEFENSE CLAIM ON GNP ACTUAL DEFENSE CLAIM The requirement for a substantial increase in defense spending and for a significant recoupment of its pre-1970 claim on GNP left the 1981 budget in an excruciating bind: either the 14% share of GNP claimed by the budget remainder would have to rise to 1516% as defense investment and strength was restored, or enormous proportionate reductions would be required in net interest and discretionary spending. The former course was not a practicable alternative. Given the relative downward inflexibility of the social contract and other entitlement spending in the near term, raising defense without offsets elsewhere in the budget remainder would have meant an increase in the aggregate outlay claim on GNP. By 1981, however, total spending was already at a historic high of 23.6% of GNP. Alternatively, a complete defense offset within the budget remainder would have required nearly a 50% reduction in the nondefense discretionary claim, but would have still left total spending above 23% of GNP. Indeed, as shown on the next page, a shift in the 1981 budget remainder equal to the 6% of GNP needed to both restore national defense and reduce the total outlay claim to 20% of GNP would have meant the abolition of the entire nondefense discretionary Federal establishment. 3-11 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS CHANGE IN THE BUDGET: 1970-1981 (Share of GNP) Budget component Social contract programs Other entitlement programs l Subtotal social contract and other entitlements Remainder: National defense and security l Net interest Nondefense discretionary Allother 1970 1 Difference 4.0 2.0 6.8 3.3 2.8 1.3 6.0 10.1 4.1 8.3 1.5 4.1 0.3 5.5 2.4 5.5 0.1 -2.8 0.9 1.4 -07 13.5 -07 20.2 23.6 3.4 Subtotal, remainder Total 1981 Military retired pay is included in other entitlements. The profound disequilibrium in the inherited 1981 budget is displayed in full dimension in the accompanying chart. The decline in defense spending had been almost fully absorbed by rising debt service costs, reflecting the deficit finance policies of the previous decade and a steady upward drift in discretionary spending for domestic health, social service, education, and energy programs. Since the base of social contract and entitlement spending had also ratcheted sharply upward during the previous decade, the overall spending burden had increased from 20% to 23.6% of GNP. Remedying the structural deficit in the inherited 1981 budget, therefore, involved an imposing task: significantly reducing aggregate spending claims on GNP, while increasing defense within a budget structure characterized by significant inflexibility in its social contract and entitlement base. Resolution of this dilemma remains the key to shrinking the structural deficit now projected for the remainder of the 1980's. 3-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 UNDERLYING FISCAL IMBALANCE SOCIAL CONTRACT AND OTHER ENTITLEMENTS NATIONAL DEFENSE AND SECURITY* PERCENT 11 I - ACTUAL CLAIM 1970 •EXCLUDES RETIRED PAY The tax drift solution built into the pre-1981 fiscal policy—With built-in spending in excess of 25% of GNP—including the rapidly accumulating catch-up requirements for national defense—preReagan administration fiscal policy offered no apparent solution except steadily rising tax claims on the output of the private economy. Yet this policy was not sustainable for two major reasons. First, it is apparent that the American public would not have supported explicit tax increases sufficient to fund both existing nondefense budget commitments and a restoration of defense strength. Tax increases of the magnitude required would have run exactly counter to the anti-tax sentiment prevalent throughout the States and localities. BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS 3-13 This left expansion of the revenue level through inflationary bracket creep as one alternative, and the revival of rapid real GNP growth as the other. The policies of the previous administration largely envisioned the former route. A continuation of high inflation rates after 1981 in combination with an unindexed income tax system would have rapidly brought revenues up to the 24-25% of GNP level needed to finance the social contract and other nondefense spending, as well as provide for a modest recovery in defense expenditures. But this solution was equally non-sustainable. The 1980-1981 collapse of financial markets, the soaring rates of interest, and world-wide financial disorder made it imperative that the inflationary boom be brought to a halt through monetary restraint. In addition, tax burdens at 24-25% of GNP—one-third higher than the average burden during the high growth years of the 1960s—would have been incompatible with the revival of investment and productivity needed to restore the minimal level of real economic growth. Thus, when the Reagan administration took office, fiscal policy was at a dead end. Explicit domestic spending commitments and implicit national defense requirements vastly exceeded the capacity of the existing tax system to finance them. At the same time, public resistance to direct tax increases and the national economy's incapacity to absorb further doses of inflationary revenue generation left a growing unfunded budget gap that has not yet been closed. Redirection of Fiscal Policy Launched in 1981 The Reagan administration's initial economic and budget plan was designed to break this impasse. It rested on four fundamental premises. First, the restoration of national defense capabilities could not be delayed because the decade-long deterioration in pay and readiness and the lag in both strategic and conventional modernization had reached an intolerable state. As shown on the accompanying chart, the administration subsequently launched an 8-year, $1 trillion military buildup that has absorbed a rapidly expanding claim on GNP. By 1988, the projected GNP share of 7.8% for national defense and related international security and economic aid will again approach the early 1970's level. 380-000 0 - 8 3 - 5 : QL 3 3-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 RESTORATION OF NATIONAL DEFENSE AND SECURITY: INCREASED CLAIM ON GNP ADDITIONAL CLAIM ON GNP ON DEFENSE/SECURITY BUILD-UP RELATIVE TO FY 1981 INCREASED CLAIM ON GNP DUE TO RESTORING NATIONAL DEFENSE AND SECURITY INADEQUATE 1981 DEFENSE AND SECURITY SPENDING BASE The second premise was that only an immediate, rapid, and sustained expansion of GNP could overcome the inherited fiscal dilemma. Under these conditions, the economy would grow more rapidly than the budget, causing the aggregate spending claim to fall. The success of this solution depended upon a strong stimulus to GNP expansion: the across-the-board income tax rate reductions and business depreciation reforms proposed in 1981. The intended effects are shown in the table on the next page. Nominal GNP growth was projected to average 11% per year— even as inflation steadily declined. As a consequence, the proposed lower tax rates still produced annual revenue growth averaging 9J£%, while the tax claim on GNP by 1986 fell 4J£ percentage points from where it was projected to be under prior law. The third premise was that the nondefense spending claim on GNP would fall dramatically in the near term in response to the sweeping spending cutback and budget reform proposals contained in the March 1981 budget revisions. In combination, the explicitly 3-15 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS TAX CLAIM ON GNP (Dollar amounts in billions) 1981 actual Nominal GNP level Federal receipts with proposed tax program Tax claim on GNP (percent): Prior law Proposed law Difference 1 2 1936 * 2,872 599 4,812 940 20.9 20.9 24.1 19.5 4.6 Average annual rate of change (percent) 10.9 9.4 (2) March 1981 Budget Revisions. Not applicable. proposed spending control measures and the $40 billion per year allowance for annual "future savings" would have reduced aggregate nondefense spending by about $500 billion over 1982-1986. As shown in the chart below, cutbacks of this magnitude, along with an assumed 6-year nominal GNP average growth rate of 11%, would have resulted in more than a one-third reduction in the nondefense claim on GNP. The fourth premise was that the transition from rising to falling inflation and from low real growth to rapid output expansion ORIGINALLY PLANNED DECREMENT IN NON-DEFENSE SPENDING CLAIM ON GNP 1981 NON DEFENSE SPENDING CLAIM PLANNED REDUCTION IN NON DEFENSE SPENDING CLAIM NON-DEFENSE SPENDING PROJECTIONS IN MARCH 1981 BUDGET REVISION PLANNED REDUCTION IN NON DEFENSE CLAIM 3-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 would occur immediately and simultaneously, and without intervening financial and economic disturbances. Consequently, the projected outlay claim on GNP attributable to cyclically sensitive expenditures—net interest and unemployment insurance—were projected to fall significantly from their 1981 levels. This eased somewhat the burden of programmatic retrenchment implied in the target for reduced overall nondefense spending claims. NET INTEREST AND UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIM ON GNP (Share of GNP) Budget component Net interest. Unemployment compensation Total 1 1986 planned' 1981 actual Difference 2.4% 0.7 1.3% 0.3 -1.1% -0.4 3.1 1.6 -1.5 March 1981 budget revisions. The table below summarizes the originally planned solution to the inherited fiscal disequilibrium. GNP was projected to grow at an annual rate of 10.9% over 1981-1986 compared to planned annual nondefense spending growth of 2.3%. This planned differential sufficiently enlarged the overall budget envelope relative to GNP to permit the defense outlay claim to rise to 6.9% by 1986, while at the same time permitting the aggregate outlay claim to fall to 19.1%. After 1984, this brought actual revenue and outlays into balance—with long-run tax and spending claims stabilizing somewhat above 19% of GNP. MARCH 1981 BUDGET PROJECTIONS (Dollar amounts in billions) 1981 actual 1986 projected Average annual rate of change (percent) $2,872 $4,812 10.9% Proposed nondefense spending level * Proposed defense and security spending level \. 521 157 585 333 2.3 16.1 Proposed total spending level 678 919 6.3 18.1 5.5 23.6 20.9 -2.7 12.2 6.9 19.1 19.5 0.4 Nominal GNP.. Claims on GNP (percent): Nondefense Defense and security Total outlays Receipts Deficit or surplus 1 2 Military retired pay is included in nondefense. Not applicable. 3-17 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS Results after two budget rounds.—After two completed cycles of fiscal policy change and an equal period of calendar-year economic outcomes, the Current services budget projections vary substantially from the path envisioned in the original economic and budget plan. This section explains the major sources of these deviations. These include both policy shortfalls and deviations from the originally projected economic path. For analytical purposes, most of the variance between the planned path and the current outlook can be explained by seven significant variables. 1984 CURRENT SERVICES OUTLOOK COMPARED TO MARCH 1981 PROJECTIONS (Shares of GNP) Budget component Outlays.March 1981 January 1983 current services 1983 . . . . 1984 1986 1985 20.6 25.8 19.5 25.7 19.4 25.8 19.1 25.7 Difference Receipts: March 1981 January 1983 current services + 5.2 + 6.2 + 6.4 + 6.6 19.3 18.6 19.3 18.7 19.5 18.8 Difference Deficit: March 1981 January 1983 current services -1.0 -0.7 -0.6 -0.7 -0.9 -7.1 -0.2 -7JJ * -7.0 + 0.4 6.9 + 6.2 + 6.9 + 7.0 + 7.3 Difference 19.7 18_7j *0.05% or less. Drastic shortfall of nominal GNP.—The accumulated weaknesses and imbalances in the U.S. economy proved to be far greater than understood by those inside or outside of Government in 1980. The process of correcting the damage and unwinding the 1970's inflationary spiral, therefore, has proved to be far more prolonged and disruptive than anticipated. Consequently, the March 1981 economic projections did not assume a deep or prolonged recession in response to moderate monetary restraint. Real GNP, in constant 1972 dollars, was projected to be $17k billion higher by 1983:4 than it had been in 1981:1. By contrast, current economic assumptions project that real GNP will not regain its actual 1981:1 level until 1983:4—meaning that output will be 10% lower than its originally projected path. In effect, the severe disinflationary correction that has actually occurred has set the economy two years behind its originally anticipated recovery path. 3-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Similarly, prices were projected in March 1981 to be 23% higher by 1983:4 than they had been in 1981:1, but are currently projected to rise by only 17% by 1983:4. Thus, the severe unanticipated recession of 1981-1982 and the projected modest recovery for 1983, in combination with the much more rapid actual fall in the inflation rate, have resulted in a dramatically lower nominal GNP path than projected in the original budget plan. Nominal GNP is now estimated to be 14.3% or $551 billion lower in 1983:4 than first assumed. For 1984 and beyond, current assumptions of 4% real GNP growth and GNP deflator growth around 4.5-5.0% remain nearly identical to the original forecast. But as shown in the table below, the nearly half-trillion dollar downward shift in the level of nominal GNP experienced over 1981-1983 results in a much lower longterm GNP path. The capacity of the economy to support the originally planned spending levels—either out of current taxation or borrowing—has accordingly been reduced by an average of 13% from what was originally assumed. Morever, current services outlay projections are now about 14.5% higher than originally planned, as also shown below. In combination, a significantly lower GNP base and substantially higher spending level mean a far greater relative spending burden on the economy than originally planned. Dramatic reduction in receipts due to lower GNP and deeper policy reductions.—The current law receipt path is now estimated to be $529 billion lower over 1983-1986 than projected in March 1981. CHANGES IN GNP AND SPENDING OUTLOOK (Dollar amounts in billions) Indicator Nominal GNP (fiscal years): March 1981 forecast January 1983 GNP forecast Difference Budget outlays: March 1981 budget January 1983 current services Difference Percent change from March 1981 outlook: Nominal GNP Budget outlays Outlay Share of GNP (percent): 1981 outlays versus 1981 GNP forecast 1981 outlays versus current GNP forecast January 1983 current services outlays versus current GNP forecast 1983 1984 1985 1986 $3,598 3,194 -404 $4,000 3,489 -512 $4,398 3,807 -591 $4,812 4,145 -668 743 823 + 80 780 897 + 118 851 981 + 130 919 1,065 + 147 -11.2 + 10.8 -12.8 + 15.1 -13.5 + 15.3 -13.9 + 16.0 20.6 23.3 19.5 22.3 19.4 22.4 19.1 22.2 25.8 25.7 25.8 25.7 3-19 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS CHANGES IN RECEIPTS PROJECTIONS (Dollar amounts in billions) Estimate 1983 1984 1985 $709 598 $771 649 $850 713 -112 -122 -137 -159 -15.7% -15.8% -16.1% -16.9% 1 March 1981 Current law Difference . . Percent change 1986 j $940 781 In the main, this reflects the shrunken revenue yield from the far lower path of nominal income previously described. However, the above figures fail to reflect the significant tax policy differences between what was proposed in March 1981, and what was actually enacted in two installments over 1981-1982, and which consequently forms the basis for current law receipt estimates. The 1981 Economic Recovery Tax Act (ERTA) reduced marginal income tax rates for individuals by 25% over 3 years, rather than 30% as originally proposed. However, as a result of 5% less inflation than originally assumed over the same 1981-1984 period, the real individual rate reduction was roughly the same. However, ERTA included a wide variety of unrequested additional measures including indexing, major reductions in estate taxes and the marriage penalty, new incentives for individual saving and charitable contributions, and liberalization of certain oil tax provisions. Most of these add-on measures were scheduled to become effective in subsequent years and do not fully phase in until 1986 and after. Consequently, the enacted 1981 tax bill reduced the revenue claim on GNP in 1986-88 by substantially more than was originally proposed. PROPOSED AND ENACTED TAX CUTS (Share ot GNP) Policy March 1981 tax reduction plan. Economic Recovery Tax Act Difference. 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 19.3 17.4 19.3 17.5 19.5 17.5 19.7 17.3 19.9 17.5 -1.9 -1.8 -2.0 -2.4 -2.4 When the effects of lower inflation rates than originally assumed are also considered—i.e., less preindexing-period bracket creep and lower effective windfall profit tax rates—the post-ERTA revenue claim on GNP dropped further. Compared to nearly a 20% revenue 3-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 REVERSAL OF THE RISING TAX CLAIM ON THE GNP (SHARE OF GNP) PERCENT 24 TAX LAW PRIOR TO REAGAN ADMINISTRATION^ CHANGE IN TAX CLAIM ON GNP FROM PRIOR TAX LAW 1984 ERTA -3.7 TEFRA AND GAS TAX .. +1.2 -2.5 NET CHANGE 1985 -4.2 + 1.2 -3.0 1986 1987 1988 -4.9 -5.5 -5.7 + 1.3 + 1.5 + 1.4 -3.6 - 4 0 -4.3 TAX CLAIM AFTER 1981 ERTA claim by 1988 under the original (unindexed) tax reduction proposal, the 1988 revenue claim after enactment of ERTA stood at 17.5% of GNP—about 2.4% lower than originally proposed and almost 6 percentage points lower than prior law. IMPACT OF TAX POLICY CHANGE ON PRIOR LAW REVENUE BASE WITH FIXED GNP (Dollar amount in billions) 1984 Pre-1981 tax law Tax policy changes: ERTA TEFRA Highway Revenue Act Net change Current law receipts 1985 1986 Total 1984-88 1987 $737.1 $825.5 $927.2 $1,028.2 $1,137.4 $4,655.3 -130.3 38.3 3.8 -158.2 42.2 3.9 -202.3 52.1 3.9 -246.7 63.6 4.0 -88.2 648.8 -112.1 713.3 -146.3 780.9 -179.2 849.1 -210.7 926.7 -736.6 3,918.8 21.1 17.4 18.6 21.7 17.5 18.7 22.4 17.5 18.8 22.8 17.3 18.8 23.2 17.5 18.9 n.a. n.a. n.a. - 2 8 2 . 2 -1,019.8 67.6 263.7 4.0 19.5 Share of GNP: Pre-1981 law After ERTA Current law 3-21 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS Overall, ERTA reduced revenues as projected under current economic assumptions by more than one trillion dollars over 19841988. The subsequent enactment of TEFRA and the gas tax and other user fees in 1982 partially corrected for this overage. However, as shown in the chart above, current law tax receipts in the outyears still fall below the share of GNP that would have occurred had the original administration tax bill been adopted unchanged. Cyclically sensitive outlays: Upward adjustment in GNP claim.— The original fiscal plan assumed a smooth shift between a stagnant, high-inflation economy and a non-inflationary high-growth economy. Consequently, the whole sequence of developments that has accompanied the actual 1981-1983 disinflationary correction and adjustment was not reflected in the original budget projections. These interactive factors include the initial period of financial disturbance in which fiscal year 1982 Treasury 91-day bill rates averaged 11.8% compared to 9.3% originally assumed; the sharp 1982 decline in economic activity that has resulted in an estimated unemployment rate in excess of 10% in 1983:4 compared to 6.5% assumed in the March 1981 projections; and the recession-induced downward shift in the current base and future path of nominal GNP, which has reduced revenues and increased debt service costs by very large magnitudes. The table below shows that budget outlays for unemployment insurance and debt service have increased by nearly $234 billion over 1983-1986 largely due to the turbulent economic adjustment that has actually occurred compared with outlay projections under the smooth transition originally assumed. While the interest rate and unemployment rate effects gradually work out of the budget in the outyears, the high increase in nationNET INTEREST AND UNEMPLOYMENT OUTLAYS (In billions of dollars) Budget item Outlays: March 1981 plan January 1983 current services Difference Share of GNP (percent): March 1981 outlays and GNP . January 1983 current services outlays and GNP Difference 1983 1984 1985 1986 Total 85.7 124.0 84.5 134.0 81.2 146.1 78.7 159.9 330.1 564.0 + 38.3 +49.5 + 64.9 + 81.2 + 233.9 2.4 3.9 2.1 3.8 1.8 3.8 1.6 3.9 + 1.5 + 1.7 + 2.0 +2.3 3-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 OUTLOOK FOR DEBT SERVICE SPENDING AFTER TWO BUDGET ROUNDS (CURRENT SERVICES SHARE OF GNP) PERCENT 36 CURRENT SERVICES CLAIM ON GNR ^INCREASE IN NET INTEREST C U \ I M / / / V W, , •• N 190t CLAIM ON GNP . ' • ' . . • • • . - • • . • . • • . .. INCREASE IN GNP CLAIM FROM 1981 1984 + 0.6 1985 + 0.8 I 1986 +0.9 I 1987 +1.0 1988 + 1.0 1 1 \ \ al debt accumulated in the intervening years generates a permanent debt service claim on the budget and GNP. As shown in the chart above, the 1984-1988 current services debt service claim substantially exceeds its 1981 share, thereby adding to, rather than reducing, the inherited budget disequilibrium. The social contract claim on GNP has continued to rise.—The relative near-term inflexibility of the social contract spending claim on GNP is demonstrated in the chart below. Despite some modest policy savings achieved in medicare and medicaid over the past two budget cycles and the phaseout of social security student benefits and other modest social security changes enacted in 1981, under current law the social contract claim on GNP will rise almost one percentage point by 1988 compared to 1981. In the May 1981 social security package and the February 1982 budget proposals, the administration did propose reforms that would have reduced social contract outlays by $40 billion in 1987 or nearly 1% of GNP—thereby maintaining the 1981 claim at approximately a constant level. However, the social security package 3-23 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS was not acted upon by the Congress and the medicare/medicaid reforms adopted in the 1982 reconciliation bill amounted to only about one-third of the proposed 1987 savings. During the first two budget rounds, then, the following policy constraints emerged: • Benefit reductions for existing cash beneficiaries were universally concluded to be inappropriate and unfair. These "checks in the mail" to existing beneficiaries amount to $1.2 trillion— or 73% of the current services social contract spending baseline over 1984-1988. • Moderate restraints on health care providers have been imposed (about $30 billion over 1984-1988) but measures to directly increase beneficiary medical costs enacted for 19841988 amount to only $7 billion or just over 1% of baseline costs for medicare/medicaid. • Congress has insisted that major changes affecting new cash beneficiaries should contain ample notice, thereby foreclosing OUTLOOK FOR OTHER ENTITLEMENT SPENDING AFTER TWO BUDGET ROUNDS (SPENDING AS A SHARE OF GNP) PERCENT ^-1981 CLAIM ON G N P /^//DECREASED CLAIM ON GNP/ y Y/yy FROM 1981 SHARE . 3 CURRENT LAW CLAIM ON GNP 2 - 1 CHANGE IN GNP CLAIM FROM 1981 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 0.2 -0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0 1981 ! ) 1982 1983 I 1984 1985 I I 1986 1987 1988 3-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 almost entirely any opportunity for significant budget savings during the 5-year budget period. While some minor changes affecting new beneficiaries have been enacted, they have produced very limited savings (e.g. prospective elimination of the social security minimum benefit will save $1 billion over 1984-1988). • Thus far, COLA restraints have not been imposed. The full 1981 and 1982 COLA increases add about $25 billion a year or 8V2% to the 1984-1988 spending baseline. Under the bipartisan agreement on social security, a 6-month COLA freeze will be imposed in 1983 but with inflation in the 5% range, prospective savings will be less than half of what would have been achieved with an equal delay in 1981 when the inflation adjustment was 11.4%. Given these policy constraints, the social contract base of the budget, which rose dramatically during 1962-1981, has proven to be not only "locked in" but a rising claim on GNP. Moreover, given the requirement for ample notice, the failure to achieve any significant reforms of the cost-of-living adjustment mechanism or other aspects of the benefit structure in 1981-82 means that the social contract has become an even larger constraint in the overall budget envelope over 1984-88 than it was in 1981. Major drop in nondefense discretionary spending claim.—The most significant changes in budget policy since 1981 have occurred in the discretionary spending sector. Estimated 1983 outlays of $144 billion will be 9% lower than the $158 billion spent in 1981— largely reflecting the major reductions in nominal spending levels for energy, employment and training, education, and social service programs enacted in 1982. While the Congress resisted a second round of discretionary spending cuts proposed for 1983, the alternate "freeze" policy adopted in the 1983 Budget Resolution has resulted in nominal spending levels drifting upward only slightly. This permanent reduction in the inherited spending base results in a dramatic reduction in the nondefense discretionary spending claim on GNP over 1984-1988. As shown in the table below, current services baseline outlays would have been $381 billion higher over the next 5 years had this substantial retrenchment not occurred. As shown in the chart below, the current services spending claim for discretionary programs is over 2 percentage points smaller by 1988 than it was in 1981. However, given minimal funding requirements for long-standing Federal functions from tax collection to law enforcement, highways and veterans health care, as well as 3-25 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS NONDEFENSE DISCRETIONARY PROGRAMS: 1984 CURRENT SERVICES VERSUS OUTLAYS AT 1981 SHARE OF GNP (In billions of dollars) 1984 Nondefense discretionary spending at constant 1981 share of GNP Current services baseline r 192 147 -45 Difference 228 210 149^ i 151 248 158 -78 -90 -61 Total 1988 1987 1986 1985 1,148 767 269 163 -107 -381 practical "legislative minimums" for a variety of other domestic programs, it is doubtful as to whether the discretionary spending claim on GNP can be lowered much beyond its present substantially reduced level. OUTLOOK FOR DISCRETIONARY SPENDING AFTER TWO BUDGET ROUNDS (CURRENT SERVICES SHARE OF GNP) PERCENT 56 , , X ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ; ; : ^ ^ ^ ^ % / D E C R E A S E D CLAIM ON GNP^/VA/A 4.6 ^ 3.6 ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ CURRENT SERVICES CLAIM ON GNP^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^*<£S/f' / , / ^ ^-/u^^y^ 2.6 - 1.6 REDUCTION IN GNP CLAIM FROM 1981 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 -1.3 -1.6 -1.9 -2.0 0 1981 I I 1982 1983 -2.2 I 1984 j 1985 I 1986 I 1987 1988 The claim of other entitlement spending has fallen.—Entitlements outside the social insurance system consist of two distinct groups: the means-tested programs including AFDC, SSI, food stamps, child nutrition and veterans pensions; and the Federal retirement/disability programs including civil service and military pensions and veterans disability compensation. 3-26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 The rapid rise in the real cost of these programs experienced during the 1970's has come to a halt. After having more than doubled in real terms from 1970-1981, constant dollar costs under current law are expected to remain virtually unchanged between 1981-1988. The major source of this slowdown is in the means-tested program component. As shown in the table below, constant dollar outlays will fall at a 2.5% per year rate over 1981-1988 compared to an increase of 7.4% per year during the 1970's. This marked reversal of trend reflects in part the slowdown in caseload growth for all programs, and an actual decline in the case of veterans pensions. But the primary cause is that the continuous legislative liberalization and entitlement expansions that characterized policy in the 1970's have been supplanted by the policy reforms and retrenchments initiated by the Reagan administration over the past two budget cycles. As a consequence, about 16% of the real program growth over 1970-1981 will have been eliminated under current law by 1988. While limited reforms (i.e., shift to once-per-year indexing and COLA caps for annuitants under 62) have been enacted for the OUTLOOK FOR SOCIAL CONTRACT SPENDING AFTER TWO BUDGET ROUNDS (CURRENT LAW SHARE OF GNP) PERCENT C U R R E N T SERVICES 'INCREASE IN SOCIAL coKifRAcf clkm'///////// ON GNP FROM 1981 SHARE V / A V / / A 1981 CLAIM ON GNP 6.0 4.0 INCREASES IN GNP C L A I M FROM 1981 2.0 1984 1985 1986 + 0.8 + 0.8 + 0.8 g 1981 1982 I 1983 1987 + 0.9 • •• \ 1984 1988 +0.9 : ; ' ••• I 1985 t 1986 I 1987 1988 3-27 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS CHANGE IN MEANS-TESTED ENTITLEMENT COSTS UNDER CURRENT LAW (In billions of constant 1983 dollars) 1970 Annual real growth (percent) 1981 1970-81 Food stamps and child nutrition.. AFDCandSS! Veterans pensions Total. 2.1 9.8 5.3 ^ 17.2 16.4 17.6 38.2 j 13.8 14.7 _3.5J 32.0 ! 1981-88 20.2 5.3 -2.1 -2.5 -2.5 7.4 -2.5 -2J> remainder of this entitlement category, real program costs for the Federal pension programs continue to rise as the annuitant caseload increases. Nevertheless, as shown in the chart on the previous page, the GNP claim of entitlements outside the social insurance system will decline modestly under current law, dropping to 2.7% in 1988 compared to 3.3% in 1981. Given the fact, however, that the social contract claim on GNP continues to rise under current law, the overall entitlement claim will stand at 10.1% by 1988, slightly above its 1981 level. Thus, after two budget rounds and the achievement of significant program revisions in some areas, the massive 1970's growth in the overall entitlement base remains intact within the budget structure, meaning that the major contributor to the 1981 budget disequilibrium has not yet been contracted nor its claim on GNP reduced. The structural imbalance in the 1984 current services baseline.— Due to both the economic and policy developments described in the preceding sections, the structural disequilibrium that characterized the inherited 1981 budget has not been remedied—and the current services outlook for 1984-1988 extends and perpetuates it. As was discussed earlier, part of the solution to the inherited fiscal disequilibrium required an economic performance path that would alleviate the fiscal policy bind structured into the 1981 budget. The 2-year long disinflationary correction of the economy has largely foreclosed this element of the solution. As shown below, GNP is now expected to grow more slowly than the current service budget over 1981-1988, with a consequent rise rather than fall in the long-term spending burden on the economy. Likewise, by 1988, the current services net interest burden— reflecting the huge cyclical deficits of 1982-1984, as well as the still unresolved structural deficit over the entire period—would be more 3-28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 OUTLOOK FOR GNP GROWTH AND BUDGET GROWTH, 1981-1988 (Dollar amounts in billions) Indicator March 1981 GNP path Current outlook for GNP path Current services outlook (outlays) Annual growth rate (percent) 1981 actual 1988 $2,872 2,872 678 $5,680 4,894 1,242 10.2% 7.9 9.0 than a percentage point higher than its 1981 share. This contributes further to the structural imbalance. On the policy side, a reduction in the nondefense claim on GNP several times greater than the catch-up increase for defense was needed if progress was to be made in reducing the combined burden of taxation and Treasury borrowing on the national economy. After two budget rounds, this requirement has not yet been achieved although some progress has been made. As shown in the table below, by 1988 the GNP claim by national defense and related international programs will have risen by 2.5 percentage points, while all nondefense spending excluding net interest will have declined by 1.6 percentage points. On an overall basis, therefore, the current services outlay claim has increased from its 1981 level. As is evident from the table, even under assumed conditions of full employment in 1988, the aggregate outlay claim stands 1.9 percentage points higher than in 1981. SUMMARY OF CHANGES IN BUDGET OUTLAY COMPONENTS RELATIVE TO GNP FROM 1981 (Current services share of GNP) 1981 actual Budget component National defense and security Social contract Other entitlements1 Net interest Discretionary programs All other outlays l 1985 1986 1987 1988 5.5 68 3.3 2.4 5.5 0.1 1.7 08 -0.1 0.6 -1.3 0.4 2.1 08 -0.3 0.8 -1.6 0.4 2.4 08 -0.4 0.9 -1.9 0.3 2.5 09 -0.5 1.0 -2.0 0.2 2.5 09 -0.6 1.0 -2.2 0.3 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.9 23.6 25.7 25.8 25.7 25.7 25.4 Total change from 1981 Total outlay share 1 Change from 1981 hare 1984 Military retired pay is included in other entitlements. When the 2 percentage point reduction relative to the 1981 receipt claim is factored in, the overall fiscal imbalance is heightened. As a consequence, the long-term current services structural deficit remains as it was 3 years ago—after allowance for needed defense spending restoration and a permanent tax claim under 20 percent of GNP. Its reduction and eventual elimination remains as BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS 3-29 the overriding challenge to economic and fiscal policy in the years ahead. The 1984 Budget Recommendations: A Comprehensive Program To Close the Structural Deficit Given the underlying condition of the overall budget structure, only the most sweeping set of fiscal policy initiatives could hope to reverse the trend and set the budget on a path that is consistent with long-term economic recovery. This section explains the policy framework embodied in the President's detailed recommendations and compares the long-term budget structure that would result from them with the current services baseline previously described. The 1984 budget plan contains four essential features: • An immediate freeze on pay, cost-of-living adjustments, aggregate discretionary spending, and a variety of reimbursement formulas and payments, which will reduce the deficit by $19 billion in 1984 and $164 billion over the next 5 years. Along with other measures these steps will result in no real growth in aggregate spending for the first time since 1970. • A broad program of structural reform of entitlements and transfer payments focused on health care, social security solvency, Federal retirement programs, and means-tested benefits. In combination, these measures will reduce the deficit by $19 billion in 1984 and $228 billion over the next 5 years. • A standby revenue mechanism designed to trigger in if the deficit remains above 2.5% of GNP in 1986 and after. This "deficit insurance" measure is intended to reassure financial markets that the structural deficit will be closed and that Federal absorption of the private savings required for economic recovery will be steadily reduced. (See Part 4 for details.) • Maintenance of the defense buildup while achieving savings due to lower inflation, the 1984 pay freeze and various program economies totaling $55 billion over the next 5 years. (The defense program is discussed in Part 5.) 380-000 0 - 83 - 6 : QL 3 3-30 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 CURRENT SERVICES OUTLOOK FOR BUDGET AGGREGATES RELATIVE TO 1981 CLAIM ON GNP BUDGET OUTLAYS PERCENT 26 i (JUHHfclMI S t K V K J C O — OUTLAY SHARE^<7 25 24 23 ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ 1981 OUTLAY SHARE 22 21 20 19 18 17 I 16 I 1983 1981 I 1984 I 1985 BUDGET RECEIPTS P E R C E N T 26 25 24 23 1981 RECEIPT SHARE 22 21 : \ ^^<&y///y//DECREASED 20 TAX RECEIPT CLAIIVi ON GNF*yyyyyy/yyyO/ 19 CURRENT LAW ' SHARE 18 17 I I P E R C E N T I I i BUDGET DEFICIT 10 | 1982 1983 1987 1988 3-31 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS As is shown in the table below, these difficult but bold and essential steps, will put the deficit on a dramatically different path over the next 5 years. COMPARISON OF BUDGET RECOMMENDATIONS WITH CURRENT SERVICES BASELINE (In billions of dollars) Outlays: Current services Proposed savings Proposed outlays Receipts: Current services Proposed changes1... Proposed receipts Deficit: Current services Proposed reductions.. Total deficit On-budget deficit 1 Includes contingency tax plan. Fiscal and economic impact.—The President's budget recommendations will reduce the deficit by $46 billion in 1984 and by $582 billion over the next 5 years. This means that cumulative deficits over 1984-1988 will be reduced by 41% compared to the current services baseline. As shown in the table below, these measures steadily reduce the structural deficit in the outyears. Total outlays fall to 23.2% of GNP by 1988 and the deficit claim on GNP drops from in excess of 7% in the 1984 current services baseline to 2.6% by 1988. More COMPARISON OF BUDGET RECOMMENDATION WITH CURRENT SERVICES BASELINE (Share of GNP) 1984 Outlays: Current services Budget recommendations 1985 1986 1987 1988 25.7 24.7 25.8 24.4 25.7 24.1 25.7 23.7 25.4 23.2 Difference Receipts: Current services Budget recommendations -1.0 -1.4 1.6 2.0 2.2 18.6 18.9 18.7 19.0 18.8 20.3 18.8 20.3 18.9 20.6 Difference Deficit: Current services Budget recommendations 0.3 0.3 1.5 1.5 1.7 7.1 5.8 7.0 5.4 6.9 3.8 6.8 3.4 6.4 2.6 -1.3 -1.6 3.1 -3.4 3.8 124 101 112 85 103 57 100 49 94 38 Difference Deficit share of net private savings: Current services Budget recommendations 3-32 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 importantly, Federal borrowing relative to net private savings falls steadily and dramatically, dropping to 38% by 1988. Freeze on COLA's and pay.—In order to staunch the flow of red ink, it is imperative that sacrifices be made across the board and that all deferrable expenditures be temporarily postponed. Based on the recommendation of the National Commission on Social Security Reform, the budget proposes that cost-of-living increases for social security and for all related indexed programs be postponed for 6 months and that the delayed payment date be made permanent. Similarly, the budget recommendations propose that in its capacity as an employer, the Federal Government take the same step that countless private businesses and workers have been forced to take in order to forestall insolvency: deferral of raises for current and retired workers until financial conditions improve. The budget, therefore, proposes no increases for pay and retirement in 1984. The table below summarizes the budget effects of these freeze measures over the next 5 years. IMPACT OF PAY AND COST-OF-LIVING FREEZE (Outlays; in billions of dollars) 1984 Federal pay and retirement: Civilian pay Military pay 1 Retired pay Subtotal Indexed transfer payments: Social security SSI Nutrition programs Veterans programs Other Subtotal Total 1 1985 1986 1987 Total 3.3 2.7 0.6 3.9 2.9 1.7 4.1 3.1 1.7 4.3 3.3 1.7 4.5 3.5 1.8 19.9 15.5 7.6 6.5 8.4 8.9 9.3 9.8 42.9 4.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 4.6 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 4.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 5.4 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 5.7 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 24.8 0.8 1.9 2.8 3.5 5.0 6.2 6.8 7.6 8.2 33.8 11.6 14.7 15.7 16.9 17.9 76.8 Includes Coast Guard military pay. Social security solvency.—OASDI cash benefit payments comprise the core of the Nation's social contract with the elderly and disabled. Over the past 5 years the system's reserve assets have been steadily drained—first by the huge cost of attempting to keep beneficiaries up with the cost of living during the peak of the inflation spiral, and now by the abrupt slowdown in receipt growth in response to the recessionary correction of past economic excesses. After the current borrowing from the hospital insurance 3-33 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS fund is drawn down in June, the system will be without sufficient assets to cover the next monthly benefit payment. The budget recommendations embody the bipartisan solution proposed by the National Commission on Social Security Reform and endorsed by the Speaker of the House, the Senate Majority Leader, and the President. These measures are balanced and fair and will require sacrifices from all, but will impose undue penalties on none. Most importantly, they will dramatically improve trust fund balances immediately and gradually rebuild a safer level of trust fund reserves as the rescue plan is fully implemented. The following are the major features of the bipartisan solution: • A 6-month freeze on cost-of-living adjustments. • Rescheduling of current law OASDI payroll tax rates in 1984 and 1988-1989 in a manner designed to generate trust fund reserve improvements equal to the savings from the COLA freeze. • Extension of coverage to new Federal employees, all uncovered non-profit employees, and a prohibition on withdrawal by State and local governments. • Inclusion of 50% of the social security benefit in taxable income for single and joint return taxpayers with adjusted gross income above $20,000 and $25,000, respectively. • Increasing the self-employment tax rate (SECA) to the combined employer-employee OASDI rate—with full deductibility for the "employer share." • Lump-sum payment of Federal obligations for past military service credits. The bipartisan solution also includes an automatic stabilizer and other reforms designed to improve the long-term status of the trust funds. The unified budget effect of these measures is displayed in the table below. UNIFIED BUDGET IMPACT OF BIPARTISAN SOLUTION (In billions of dollars) Savings measure COLA freeze Equity adjustments Coverage extension Benefit inclusion in AGI Payroll tax rescheduling (net) SECA increase Ban on State/local withdrawal Total savings 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 Total 4.2 -0.2 1.0 11 5.5 0.6 0.1 4.6 -0.2 1.8 40 -2.1 1.6 0.3 4.9 -0.2 2.3 47 5.4 -0.3 2.9 55 1.5 0.4 1.6 0.7 5.7 -0.3 3.7 6.4 9.4 1.9 0.9 24.8 -1.2 11.7 21.7 12.8 7.1 2.4 12.2 10.0 13.6 15.8 27.7 79.4 Health care reform initiative.—The explosive growth of health care costs over the past two decades has been a principal underly- 3-34 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 ing cause of the continuous rise in expenditures for the medicare and medicaid components of the social contract. These relentless cost pressures are endemic to the entire U.S. health care delivery and financing system, and cannot be abated by program changes in medicare and medicaid alone. The central difficulty is that extensive third-party coverage on a cost-plus basis isolates all participants in the market for medical care from the cost consequences of their decisions. Individuals with substantial insurance coverage feel no economic restraints on the quantity and quality of services demanded. Physicians, faced with the choice of ordering additional services that might help, cannot hurt and cost the patient nothing, have little incentive to restrain service use. Hospitals and other institutional providers, reimbursed on a cost basis, are restrained only by their ability to maximize utilization of their facilities. The result is a constant bias in favor of service upgrading and cost expansion. In his 1984 budget proposals, the President is recommending the first set of comprehensive reforms addressing these problems put forward since the enactment of medicare and medicaid. The major elements are: • A 1-year freeze on physician reimbursement increases and reduction of otherwise applicable 1984 formula increases for hospital reimbursements. • Long-term reform of hospital reimbursement to eliminate cost-plus payments. • Reorientation of medicare cost-sharing to provide beneficiaries increased coverage for high-cost episodes of illness, while providing increased cost sensitivity for lower-cost episodes. • Reform of the tax treatment of health insurance coverage provided by employers, so as to eliminate the present bias in favor of inflationary benefit expansion. • Reforms designed to enable States to further restrain medicaid costs. The budgetary effects of these health reform measures are shown below. Reform of the Federal retirement system.—Federal retirement programs are among the most generous in the world. While this fact has been a major factor in recruitment and retention, the system has grown overly generous during the past decade, presenting the Federal Government with excessive retirement costs. The unfunded liabilities of the Federal civilian pension system now exceed $495 billion. The major source of this unfunded liability is a combination of overly-generous retirement benefits (which raise the long-run cost of the civilian system to approximately 35% of present payroll), 3-35 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS BUDGET SAVINGS DUE TO THE HEALTH CARE REFORM MEASURES (In billions of dollars 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 Total -0.7 + 0.2 -1.2 -1.3 -1.3 1.5 -2.6 -1.7 -4.2 -6.3 -8.2 MEDICARE Medicare hospitalization copayment and catastrophic protection Increased medicare Part B premium Hospital reimbursement limit and physician freeze Long-term reform of hospital payment system Reform of HHA and durable medical equipment reimbursement Other medicare savings -0.2 -1.1 (-2.6) -1.2 -1.4 -1.6 -6.0 (-4.0) (-5.3) (-6.9) (-20.2) * -0.3 -0.4 -0.5 -0.1 -0.7 -0.1 -0.8 -0.2 -2.7 -03 -0.8 -0.7 -0.8 -0.9 -3.5 -2.3 -4.4 -6.0 8.0 10.7 31.4 -4.2 -8.1 -11.1 -15.0 -19.9 -58.4 -08 (-1.5) * MEDICAID Incentives for beneficiary and State control of medicaid costs PRIVATE Cap on private health insurance premiums Total savings *$50 million or less. and inadequate employee contributions (which presently fund only 7% of payroll or less than 25% of total civilian system costs). The 1984 budget recommendations propose a comprehensive program of long-run solvency reforms designed to bring the total cost of the civilian system down to 22% of payroll. To balance this, the budget also proposes a phased increase of employee contributions to cover half the cost of this leaner—though fully adequate—civilian retirement system. The budget effects of Federal retirement reforms are shown in the table below. REFORM OF THE FEDERAL RETIREMENT SYSTEM (In billions of dollars) 1984 Current services outlays Proposed budget savings: Annuity reformsl Employee contributions Postal Service and D.C. full payment. Total savings 1985 1987 1988 Total 40.0 42.8 46.3 49.7 53.2 231.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 2.2 0.5 0.6 2.1 0.5 1.6 1.9 0.4 2.7 1.7 0.4 5.1 9.1 2.0 1.4 2.8 3.2 4.0 4.8 16.2 *50 million or less. 1 Including military retirement. Means-tested entitlements.—As previously indicated, the administration has made substantial progress over the last 2 years in restraining the cost of Federal low-income assistance programs by focusing assistance on those most in need. At the same time, the programs remain responsive to the needs of low-income Americans. 3-36 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 The 1984 budget proposes further reforms to build upon this success. The reforms are of three main types: • promoting work effort as a means of encouraging self-sufficiency on the part of the recipient population; • eliminating or reducing errors through program simplification; and • increasing the responsibility of absent parents to support their families, whenever possible. As a result of these reforms, the 1984 budget provides the maximum practicable restraint on these programs consistent with maintaining an adequate safety net for those with genuine need. The budget savings from these measures are displayed below. MEANS-TESTED ENTITLEMENT SAVINGS (In billions of dollars) 1984 Current services baseline Proposed savings: Food stamps AFDC and child support SSI Child nutrition Total savings Savings as percent of baseline 1985 1986 1987 1988 Total 32.7 33.5 34.5 36.0 168.2 -0.8 -0.7 0.3 -0.3 -1.0 -1.0 0.3 -0.4 -1.1 -1.0 0.3 -0.5 -1.0 -1.0 0.2 -0.5 -1.0 -1.0 0.2 -0.6 -4.9 -4.8 1.3 -2.3 -1.4 4.6 -2.1 6.5 -2.3 6.9 -2.4 6.8 -2.4 6.7 -10.6 6.3 31.5 Aggregate freeze on discretionary programs and reduction of off- budget outlays.—As was detailed earlier, spending for discretionary programs has been curtailed markedly in the past 2 years. Consistent with the 1983 budget resolution assumption that budget authority levels will remain frozen for 3 years, the 1984 budget recommendations provide for essentially the same aggregate level of new budget authority as was enacted for 1983: (In billions of dollars) Enacted 1983 budget authority for discretionary programs 1984 budget request for discretionary programs $132 $134 Within this overall spending freeze, funds are allocated to discretionary programs based on relative priorities and pressing needs. Funds for high-priority Federal activities—such as law enforcement and public health activities—have been increased. Offsetting reductions have been made in lower-priority programs. Thus, while the overall appropriations request for discretionary programs is being 3-37 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS held near the 1983 level, savings will be achieved without jeopardizing essential Federal functions. In addition, the budget proposes that various on- and off-budget loan obligation ceilings, limitations on administrative expenses, and other spending authorities be held to the minimum levels consistent with essential program objectives. The outlay savings from the proposed aggregate budget authority freeze and these additional measures are displayed below. OUTLAY SAVINGS FROM DISCRETIONARY PROGRAM FREEZE AND OFF-BUDGET SPENDING LIMITS (In billions of dollars) Budget component Current services baseline. Proposed savings: On-budget programs Off-budget programs Total savings 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 Total 146.9 148.8 150.8 158.2 162.6 767.4 6.2 3.4 10.0 4.2 12.8 4.4 16.5 6.8 20.8 5.7 66.3 24.5 9.6 14.2 17.3 23.3 26.4 90.8 Outlook for Closing the Structural Deficit With the 1984 Budget Plan Both the short- and long-term measures contained in the President's comprehensive fiscal plan address those factors that have contributed to the continued deterioration of the Federal budget's structural imbalance. As displayed below, each major budget component shows improvement over its current services baseline claim on GNP: • As a result of the health care reforms and social security solvency plan, social contract spending is reduced by about 0.3 percentage points by 1988. • The claim for other entitlements is reduced by 0.2 percentage points due to the array of structural reform measures reviewed above and detailed elsewhere in the budget. • By virtue of the continued freeze on aggregate discretionary spending and sharp curtailment of off-budget outlays, the 1988 GNP claim for this component falls an additional 0.5 percentage points—bringing the total reduction from 1981 levels to 2.7 percentage points. • Primarily as a result of the freeze on farm price supports and the PIK program, the residual domestic spending category also declines by 0.2 percentage points by 1988. • Due to the social security solvency measures, private insurance health cap, and the stand-by revenue measure, the receipt claim on GNP rises by 1.7 percentage points by 1988, but still remains below its 1981 level of 20.9%. 3-38 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 • As a consequence of all of the above improvements, net interest costs fall dramatically—by more than $76 billion over 1984-1988. The debt service claim accordingly drops to 2.7% or nearly to its 1981 level. The overall budget plan, then, balances three fundamental objectives that have previously not seemed easy to reconcile: m • The overall structural imbalance in the budget is substantially reduced, with the 1988 deficit claim on GNP falling by twothirds compared to the current services baseline. This puts fiscal policy on a path consistent with economic recovery and long-run budgetary equilibrium. • The internal shift in budget priorities toward adequate funding of national defense is maintained, with the overall nondefense spending claim falling by 2.9 percentage points compared to the 1981 level. Over half of the excessive growth in the nondefense claim on GNP over 1970-1981 is eliminated by 1988—with the prospect of further declines beyond the budget period as the economy continues to grow and permanent spending reforms take hold. • The receipt claims on GNP—even if the stand-by mechanism is triggered—remain 2.6 percentage points lower than would have been the case with pre-1981 tax law. SUMMARY OF 1984 PROPOSED OUTLAYS (In billions of dollars) Budget component National defense and security Social contract Other entitlements J Net interest Discretionary programs All other outlays Budget total 1 1984 1985 244.4 258.9 104.5 103.2 137.3 14.2 283.5 282.5 106.9 114.2 134.6 7.3 862.5 929.0 1987 1988 320.4 305.8 112.1 122.7 133.5 4.5 350.8 332.2 115.6 130.4 134.9 4.1 381.3 360.4 121.0 134.3 136.2 3.0 999.0 1,068.0 1,136.2 Military retired pay is included in other entitlements. SUMMARY OF CHANGES RELATIVE TO 1981 BUDGET OUTLAYS CLAIMS (Shares of GNP) Actual 1981 National defense and security 1 Nondefense spending 1 Total outlays 1 Military retired pay is included in nondefense spending. Change from 1981 1984 1985 1986 5.5 18.1 + 1.7 -0.6 + 2.1 + 2.4 -1.4 -2.0 + 2.5 -2.4 -2.9 + 23.6 + 1.1 +0.8 + 0.5 +0.1 -0.4 1987 1988 + 2.5 3-39 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS IMPACT OF 1984 FISCAL PLAN ON BUDGET'S STRUCTURAL IMBALANCE (Share of GNP) Budget component Social contract: Current services Policy change 1984 budget Other entitlements: Current services Policy change 1984 budget National defense and security: Current services Policy change 1987 1986 1988 7.7 7.6 -0.2 7.6 -0.2 7.6 -0.2 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 3.1 -0.1 3.0 -0.2 2.9 -0.2 2.8 -0.2 2.7 -0.2 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 4.2 -0.3 3.9 -0.4 3.6 -0.4 3.5 -0.5 3.3 0.5 3.9 3.5 3.2 3.0 2.8 7.2 -0.2 7.6 -0.2 7.9 -0.2 8.0 -0.2 8.0 0.2 7.0 7.4 7.7 7.8 7.8 3.0 -0.1 3.2 0.2 3.3 0.3 3.4 -0.5 3.4 -0.7 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 -0.2 0.4 -0.3 0.4 -0.3 0.3 -0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 25.7 -1.0 25.8 -1.4 25.7 -1.6 25.7 -2.0 25.4 2.2 24.7 24.4 24.1 23.7 23.2 18.6 + 0.3 18.7 +0.3 18.8 18.8 18.9 + 1.5 + 1.5 + 1.7 18.9 19.0 20.3 20.3 20.6 71 l 1984 budget Net interest: Current services Policy change 1984 budget All other outlays: Current services Policy change 1984 budget Total budget outlays: Current services Policy change 1984 budget Budget receipts: Current services Policy change 1984 budget Total budget deficit: Current services Policy change 1984 budget Military retired pay is included in other entitlements. 1985 •0.3 l 1984 budget Discretionary programs: Current services Policy change 1 1984 7.7 -0.3 -70 -69 + 1.3 + 1.6 + 3.1 -6 8 + 3.5 + 3.9 -5.8 -5.4 -3.8 -3.4 -2.6 -64 3-40 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NON-DEFENSE SPENDING AS SHARE OF GNP 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1987 1988 IMPACT OF 1984 BUDGET POLICIES ON OUTLAY CLAIM ON GNP PERCENT C U R R E N T SERVICES OUTLAY CLAIM 26 W///////^Mf///i 25 24 -y 23 - 22 - 21 - 20 1981 1981 OUTLAY CLAIM ' WITH 1984 BUDGET POLICY I I I I I I 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 ^ 19 38 BUDGET PROGRAM AND TRENDS IMPACT OF 1984 BUDGET POLICIES ON TAX RECEIPT SHARE OF GNP PERCENT 24 ] NET TAX REDUCTION CURRENT TAX LAW H l l CONTINGENCY TAX PLAN [ \ OTHER PROPOSALS I j 3-41 PART 4 BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-1 BUDGET RECEIPTS This section of the budget discusses budget receipts for 1982 to 1986 and the legislative proposals and administrative actions affecting them.1 The economic assumptions on which the receipts estimates are based are presented in Part 2, and estimates of receipts for 1987-88 are presented in Part 3 and table 2 of Part 9. Part 6 contains an analysis of the difference between actual receipts for 1982 and the estimates for 1982 in the fiscal year 1982 Budget Revisions, transmitted to the Congress in March 1981. Part 7 explains the conceptual basis for classifying certain amounts collected by the Federal Government as budget receipts and other amounts as offsetting collections. SUMMARY Total budget receipts in 1984 are estimated to be $659.7 billion, an increase of $62.2 billion from the $597.5 billion estimated for 1983. Receipts in 1985 and 1986 are estimated to be $724.3 billion and $841.9 billion, respectively. These estimates include the effects of: • the income tax reductions and other tax changes provided in the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981; • the tax revisions and improvements in compliance and collection provided in the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982; • the 5 cent a gallon increase in the motor fuels tax and other tax changes provided in the Highway Revenue Act of 1982; • the contingency tax plan proposed to become effective October 1, 1985 if economic growth sufficient to hold the deficit to 2%% of GNP does not materialize; • the proposed bi-partisan social security plan, designed to ensure the future solvency of the social security trust funds; and • the other receipts proposals in this budget. Composition of budget receipts.—The Federal tax system relies predominantly on income and payroll taxes. In 1984: • Income taxes paid by individuals and corporations are estimated at $295.6 billion and $51.8 billion, respectively. These 1 Detailed estimates of budget receipts by source for 1982 to 1984 are shown in Tables 12 and 19 of Part 9. 4-2 4-3 BUDGET RECEIPTS BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE (In billions of dollars) 1982 actual Source 1983 estimate Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions Excise taxes Estate and gift taxes Customs duties Miscellaneous receipts 297.7 49.2 201.5 36.3 8.0 8.9 16.2 285.2 35.3 210.3 37.3 6.1 8.8 14.5 Total, budget receipts 617.8 597.5 1984 estimate 295.6 51.8 242.9 40.4 5.9 9.1 14.0 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 317.9 60.5 275.5 40.8 5.6 9.4 14.5 358.6 74.0 304.9 74.8 5.0 9.7 14.8 724.3 841.9 sources combined account for 52.7% of estimated budget receipts. • Social insurance taxes and contributions—composed largely of payroll taxes levied on wages and salaries, most of which are paid in equal amounts by employers and employees—will yield an estimated $242.9 billion, 36.8% of the total. • Excise taxes imposed on selected products, services, and activities are expected to provide $40.4 billion, 6.1% of the total. • Estate and gift taxes, customs duties, and miscellaneous receipts are estimated at $29.1 billion, the remaining 4.4% of budget receipts. Under the tax policy and economic assumptions presented in this budget, the income tax share of total receipts is projected to decline to 51.4% by 1986, 4.8 percentage points less than for 1982. This decline is the net effect of a 5.6 percentage point decline in the individual income tax share that is partially offset by a 0.8 percentage point rise in the corporation income tax share to 8.8%. Social insurance taxes and contributions are projected to rise as a share of total receipts from 32.6% in 1982 to 36.2% in 1986. The excise tax share is projected to rise to 8.9% in 1986, 3.0 percentage points greater than for 1982. The projected share of all other receipts declines by 1.8 percentage points between 1982 and 1986. ENACTED LEGISLATION Three major tax laws have been enacted since this administration took office in January 1981. The first, the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 (ERTA), provides incentives for work, saving, and investment. The substantial reductions in income taxes and other changes provided in the Act are estimated to reduce receipts by $82.6 billion in 1983, $130.3 billion in 1984, $158.2 billion in 1985, and $202.3 billion in 1986. The second major tax law, the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 (TEFRA), improves the fairness of the tax system 380-000 0 - 83 - 7 : QL 3 4-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 while preserving the incentives for work, saving, and investment enacted in 1981. This Act increases receipts primarily by eliminating unintended benefits and obsolete incentives, and providing mechanisms to increase taxpayer compliance and improve collection techniques. The provisions of this Act are estimated to increase receipts by $17.3 billion in 1983, $38.3 billion in 1984, $42.2 billion in 1985, and $52.1 billion in 1986. The Highway Revenue Act of 1982 is the third major tax law enacted since January 1981. The main revenue provision of this Act increases the existing excise tax on gasoline and diesel fuel from 4 to 9 cents a gallon effective April 1, 1983. The Act also restructures other highway-related taxes to make the taxes paid by various highway users correspond more equitably to the damage that such users cause to the highway system. The increased receipts to the Highway Trust Fund, which are estimated at $2.1 billion in 1983, $4.8 billion in 1984, $5.1 billion in 1985, and $5.2 billion in 1986, will be used to finance highway, bridge, and transit construction and repair. Since increased excise taxes reduce incomes, the net increase in receipts—taking into account the direct reduction in individual and corporation income taxes—is estimated at $1.7 billion in 1983, $3.8 billion in 1984, and $3.9 billion in 1985 and 1986. Despite the increases provided in the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 and the Highway Revenue Act of 1982, taxes have been reduced by $445.9 billion over the 1982-1986 period, relative to pre-ERTA tax law. As shown in the following table, there is a net tax reduction every year during this period, ranging from $35.6 billion in 1982 to $146.3 billion in 1986. NET EFFECT ON RECEIPTS OF ENACTED LEGISLATION ' (In billions of dollars) 1982 Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 Highway Revenue Act of 1982 Net tax reduction 1983 1984 1985 1986 19821986 -35.6 * -82.6 -130.3 -158.2 -202.3 -609.0 149.9 42.2 52.1 38.3 17.3 13.2 3.9 3.9 3.8 1.7 -35.6 -63.5 -88.2 -112.1 -146.3 -445.9 *$50 million or less. 1 These estimates are based on the direct effect only of legislative changes at a given level of economic activity. Induced effects are taken into account for forecasting incomes, however, and in this way affect the receipts estimates by major source and in total. The major provisions of each Act are described briefly below. ECONOMIC RECOVERY TAX ACT OF 19812 Individual income tax provisions.—A number of provisions of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 (ERTA) substantially reduce 2 For a more detailed discussion of the provisions of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, see Part 4 of the 1983 Budget. BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-5 individual income tax liabilities. These provisions, which are estimated to reduce receipts by $61.3 billion in 1983, $97.2 billion in 1984, $105.1 billion in 1985, and $120.4 billion in 1986, include the following: • Individual income tax rate reductions.—Compared with prior law, tax rates for individuals were reduced across-the-board by 1.25% for calendar year 1981 and 10% for calendar year 1982, and will be reduced by 19% for calendar year 1983 and 23% for calendar year 1984 and subsequent years. • Reduction in the maximum individual income tax rate.—The maximum marginal tax rate on individual income was reduced from 70% to 50% effective January 1, 1982. This change reduced the maximum effective tax rate on long-term capital gains from 28% to 20%. • Deduction for two-earner married couples.—Married couples with two earners often pay higher taxes than if they were single. To reduce this penalty, ERTA allowed couples a tax deduction equal to 5% of the first $30,000 of earnings of the spouse with the lower earnings in calendar year 1982. In 1983 and subsequent years, the deduction increases to 10%. • Indexing.—Beginning with calendar year 1985, the individual income tax brackets, the zero bracket amount, and the personal exemption will be adjusted annually for inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index for all urban households (CPI-U). The adjustment for a given calendar year will be the percentage increase in the CPI-U between fiscal year 1983 and the fiscal year ending prior to such calendar year. The 1985 adjustment, therefore, will be based on the percentage increase in the CPI-U between fiscal years 1983 and 1984. Capital cost recovery provisions.—Taxpayers may claim depreciation deductions for tangible property used in a trade or business. Under prior law, these deductions were allowed over the anticipated useful life of the property, or over guideline lives under the Asset Depreciation Range (ADR) system. ERTA replaces these methods of depreciation with the Accelerated Cost Recovery System (ACRS), which generally provides for a faster write off of capital expenditures under simplified and standardized rules. This system of accelerated cost recovery is estimated to reduce receipts by $16.7 billion in 1983, $25.6 billion in 1984, $34.9 billion in 1985, and $48.3 billion in 1986. Saving incentive provisions.—In addition to the across-the-board reductions in marginal tax rates, several other provisions encourage saving by individual taxpayers. These provisions, which include partial exclusion of interest income from tax and liberalized treatment of retirement contributions, are estimated to reduce receipts 4-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 by $1.0 billion in 1983, $2.1 billion in 1984, $3.5 billion in 1985, and $5.9 billion in 1986. Estate and gift tax provisions.—Several provisions reduce estate and gift taxes by providing an unlimited marital deduction for transfers to spouses; reducing the maximum tax rate on estates and gifts; increasing the annual gift tax exclusion; and increasing annually the unified credit against estate and gift taxes to reach a credit of $192,800 in 1987, which exempts from tax estates of $600,000 or less. These provisions are estimated to reduce receipts by $2.4 billion in 1983, $3.7 billion in 1984, $4.9 billion in 1985, and $6.5 billion in 1986. TAX EQUITY AND FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY ACT OF 1982 Improvements in compliance and collection.—The Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 (TEFRA) includes a number of provisions designed to ensure that the taxes owed the Government are collected, and that they are collected on a more timely basis. These provisions, which are estimated to increase receipts by $5.4 billion in 1983, $14.4 billion in 1984, $11.3 billion in 1985, and $12.4 billion in 1986, include the following: • Withholding on interest and dividends.—Interest and dividend income received by domestic taxpayers was exempt from withholding under prior law, although taxes were withheld from wages. To ensure that taxes are collected from all taxable recipients of interest and dividend income and not just those who report such income to the IRS, withholding at the rate of 10% will be required on interest and dividend payments made after June 30, 1983. Individuals with tax liability in the prior year of $600 or less ($1,000 on a joint return), individuals aged 65 and older with prior year tax liability of $1,500 or less ($2,500 on a joint return), and annual interest payments of $150 or less are exempt. Exemptions from withholding also are provided for payments to corporations, financial intermediaries, and tax-exempt entities. • Acceleration of corporate income tax payments.—Under prior law, corporations generally were required to pay at least 80% of their current year's tax liability in estimated payments. The remaining liability was payable in two equal installments due on the 15th day of the third and sixth months following the close of the taxable year. To ensure that corporations pay taxes on as timely a basis as most individuals, TEFRA increases the required estimated payment to 90% of the current year's liability for tax years beginning after December 31, 1982. All remaining liability must be paid in one payment on the 15th day of the third month following the close of the taxable year. BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-7 • Other compliance provisions.—TEFRA contains a number of other provisions that improve and expand information reporting to the IRS, increase penalties for noncompliance, modify pension withholding, and allow more effective partnership audits. Reductions in unintended benefits and obsolete incentives.—Provisions to reduce unintended benefits and obsolete incentives are estimated to increase receipts by $6.9 billion in 1983, $16.6 billion in 1984, $22.9 billion in 1985, and $34.7 billion in 1986. The major provisions are described briefly below: • Strengthening of the individual minimum tax.—TEFRA repeals the add-on individual minimum tax. It also strengthens the alternative minimum tax on individuals by expanding the tax base to include the preference items previously subject to the add-on minimum tax and several additional preference items. A tax of 20% is imposed on the amount by which this expanded base exceeds a specified exemption ($30,000 for a single taxpayer, $40,000 for married taxpayers filing a joint return). The tax is payable only to the extent that it exceeds the individual's regular tax liability. This provision, which will ensure that individuals who make extensive use of tax preferences do not avoid tax, is generally effective January 1, 1983. • Modification of casualty and medical expense deductions.— Casualty and medical deductions originally were intended to apply only to extraordinary expenses. TEFRA strengthens this principle, while simplifying the treatment of such expenses. Effective January 1, 1983, TEFRA repeals the deduction for one-half of annual health insurance premiums (up to a maximum of $150), and raises the floor for allowable medical deductions from 3% to 5% of adjusted gross income. It also eliminates the 1% floor for deductible drug expenditures effective January 1, 1984, but limits deductible expenditures to insulin and prescription drugs. Non-business casualty and theft losses occurring after December 31, 1982 are deductible only to the extent that they exceed 10% of adjusted gross income. As under prior law, the deduction for any one casualty is allowed only to the extent it exceeds $100. • Changes in Accelerated Cost Recovery System (ACRS) and basis adjustment for investment tax credit.—Under the Accelerated Cost Recovery System enacted in ERTA, personal property placed in service after December 31, 1980, and before January 1, 1985, could be depreciated using cost recovery schedules that approximate the 150% declining balance method. The schedules accelerated to reflect the 175% declining balance method for property placed in service in 1985 and 4-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 the 200% declining balance method for property placed in service in subsequent years. TEFRA repeals the accelerations in the depreciation schedules for 1985 and 1986. In addition, the cost basis of depreciable assets placed in service after December 31, 1982 is reduced by 50% of the amount of applicable investment tax credits. These provisions ensure that the combination of depreciation deductions and tax credits does not result in treatment more favorable than expensing. • Modification of leasing rules.—ERTA liberalized the rules under which corporations may transfer unused investment tax credits and depreciation deductions on new investments to profitable corporations through leasing transactions referred to as safe-harbor leases. TEFRA repeals these liberalized rules for leases entered into after December 31, 1983. For safeharbor leases entered into before 1984, the Act limits the type of eligible property and the amount of tax benefit available to the lessor. Regular leasing rules generally are liberalized effective January 1, 1984. • Modification of completed contract method of accounting.— Prior regulations allowed contractors to defer tax on income from long-term contracts until the year the contract was completed. Certain costs, known as "period" costs, were deducted when they were incurred; the remaining costs were allocated to the contract and deducted when the contract was completed. Under TEFRA, new rules are provided for determining when contracts are to be considered complete and the income recognized. These rules are effective for taxable years ending after December 31, 1982. In addition, some costs previously treated as period costs will be deducted only when the contract is completed. The new period cost rules, which are phased in over a 3-year period, generally apply to contracts that exceed 24 months and are entered into after December 31, 1982. • Change in taxation of life insurance companies.—Under prior law, life insurance companies were permitted to account for modified coinsurance arrangements under special rules. These arrangements served no purpose other than tax avoidance, since little, if any, insurance risk was actually transferred between companies. TEFRA disallows the use of the special modified coinsurance rules, generally effective January 1, 1982. In addition, several provisions are changed to reduce the taxes of life insurance companies for a 2-year period ending December 31, 1983. Modification of existing excise taxes.—TEFRA makes a number of changes in excise taxes, which are estimated to increase receipts BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-9 by $3.6 billion in 1983, $5.2 billion in 1984, $6.0 billion in 1985, and $2.6 billion in 1986. These changes include the following: • Increase in airport and airway trust fund taxes.—Statutory authority for the transfer of revenue from aviation excise taxes to the airport and airway trust fund expired on September 30, 1980. After that date, revenue from the 5% passenger ticket tax was deposited in the general fund; revenues from the 4 cent per gallon tax on general aviation gasoline and the tire and tube taxes were deposited into the highway trust fund. Other aviation taxes expired on September 30, 1980. TEFRA reinstates statutory authority for the deposit of aviation excise taxes into the airport and airway trust fund effective September 1, 1982 through December 31, 1987. The Act also increases the domestic air passenger ticket tax to 8%; reimposes the 5% tax on air freight waybills and the $3 per person international departure tax; increases the tax on noncommercial aviation gasoline to 12 cents per gallon; and imposes a 14 cent per gallon tax on other noncommercial aviation fuels. These changes apply to tickets, waybills, and fuels purchased after August 31, 1982 and before January 1, 1988. • Increase in cigarette excise taxes.—TEFRA temporarily doubles the excise tax on packages of cigarettes to 16 cents effective January 1, 1983 through September 30, 1985. • Increase in telephone excise tax.—The telephone excise tax is increased from 1% to 3% effective January 1, 1983 through December 31, 1985. The tax terminates effective January 1, 1986. Changes in employment taxes.—The Act includes a number of revisions in employment taxes that are estimated to increase receipts by $2.6 billion in 1983, $3.9 billion in 1984, $4.0 billion in 1985, and $3.3 billion in 1986. The major provisions include the following: • Modification of Federal unemployment tax (FUTA) rate and wage base.—Both the Federal and State governments levy unemployment payroll taxes on employers. These taxes are deposited in the Federal unemployment insurance trust fund. Under prior law, employers were subject to a Federal unemployment tax of 3.4% on the first $6,000 of annual wages per employee. If a State's unemployment insurance law met requirements of Federal law, employers in the State generally received a 2.7% credit against the tax, for a net Federal tax of 0.7%. Employers also were required to pay a State unemployment tax. Although State tax rates varied, all States had a wage base greater than or equal to the $6,000 Federal wage base. TEFRA increases the Federal wage base to $7,000 and 4-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 increases the tax rate to 3.5%, for a net Federal tax of 0.8%. In order for their employers to qualify for the full 2.7% credit, States will have to increase their unemployment tax wage base to at least the new $7,000 Federal level. These changes apply to wages paid after December 31, 1982. For wages paid after December 31, 1984, the Act increases the Federal tax rate to 6.2% and the credit to 5.4%, maintaining the net Federal tax at 0.8%, while encouraging States to widen the range of tax rates levied on employers depending on their use of the unemployment insurance system. • Extension of social security hospital insurance taxes to Federal employees.—Federal employees are required to pay the hospital insurance portion of the social security tax effective January 1, 1983. This rate is currently 1.3% for both employees and employers. Most Federal civilian employees were exempt from social security taxes under prior law. HIGHWAY REVENUE ACT OF 1982 The major revenue provision of this Act increases the existing excise tax on gasoline and diesel fuel from 4 to 9 cents per gallon effective April 1, 1983 through September 30, 1988. Other provisions eliminate existing taxes on automobile and small truck tires; tires for non-highway use; and tubes and tread rubber. The Act also repeals existing taxes on lubricating oil, and retail sales of lightweight trailers and trucks; but raises fees on heavy duty trucks and trailers. Together, the provisions of this Act are estimated to increase receipts by $1.7 billion in 1983, $3.8 billion in 1984, and $3.9 billion in 1985 and 1986. 4-11 BUDGET RECEIPTS EFFECT ON RECEIPTS OF ENACTED LEGISLATION (In billions of dollars) 1982 1983 1984 Individual income tax provisions -23.2 -61.3 -97.2 Capital cost recovery provisions: Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes -1.6 -9.0 -2.9 -13.8 -4.3 -21.3 -5.6 -29.2 -7.5 -40.7 1985 1986 Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 105.1 - 1 2 0 . 4 -10.6 -16.7 -25.6 -34.9 -48.3 Saving incentive provisions -0.6 -1.0 -2.1 -3.5 -5.9 Estate and gift tax provisions -0.1 -2.4 -3.7 -4.9 -6.5 Other: Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions Excise taxes -0.4 -0.5 0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -0.2 0.5 -0.8 0.9 -0.7 0.5 0.6 7.2 -2.0 0.5 1.1 17.9 -2.4 0.6 15 -1.2 1.7 -9.8 -21.2 Subtotal, capital cost recovery provisions Subtotal, other Total, Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 -1.1 -35.6 -82.6 -130.3 -158.2 -202.3 Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 Compliance and collection: Individual income taxes . Corporation income taxes Employment taxes and contributions 38 1.5 0.1 9.6 4.5 0.2 8.8 2.1 0.3 9.5 2.5 0.4 Subtotal, compliance and collection 5.4 14.4 11.3 12.4 Unintended benefits and obsolete incentives: Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Estate and gift taxes 0.6 6.3 4.0 12.4 0.2 4.7 17.9 0.2 6.4 28.0 0.2 * 6.9 16.6 22.9 34.7 * 3.6 5.2 6.0 2.6 0.6 1.9 0.7 3.2 0.6 3.5 0.5 2.8 2.6 3.9 4.0 3.3 -0.8 -0.3 -1.1 -0.6 -1.3 0.7 -0.5 04 1.1 Subtotal, unintended benefits and obsolete incentives Excise tax provisions Employment tax provisions: Individual income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions Subtotal, employment tax provisions Other: Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Subtotal, other Total, Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982... * -1.7 -2.0 -0.9 17.3 38.3 42.2 52.1 -05 * -1.0 * -1.1 0.2 5.2 3.9 Highway Revenue Act of 1982 Individual income taxes.... Corporation income taxes Excise taxes Total, Highway Revenue Act of 1982 2.2 4.8 -1.1 -0.2 5.2 1.7 3.8 3.9 4-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 EFFECT ON RECEIPTS OF ENACTED LEGISLATION 1 —Continued (In billions of dollars) 1982 ADDENDUM Effect on receipts by source: Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions.... Excise taxes Estate and gift taxes Total. 1983 1984 1985 1986 -25.8 -9.5 0.4 -0.6 -0.1 - 6 2 . 1 - 9 2 . 3 -109.7 -136.9 -6.5 -5.8 -12.1 -13.3 2.5 4.0 4.3 3.9 9.4 5.0 10.0 6.2 — 2 4 -3.4 -4.7 -6.2 -35.6 -63.5 -88.2 -112.1 -146.3 * $ 5 0 million or less. 'These estimates are based on the direct effect only of legislative changes at a given level of economic activity. Induced effects are taken into account for forecasting incomes, however, and in this way affect the receipts estimates by major source and in total. RECEIPTS PROPOSALS Bi-partisan social security plan.—The administration supports the proposed bi-partisan plan to restore social security reserves to safer levels. The proposed plan ensures the future solvency of the trust funds through a combination of revenue increases and benefit reductions over the next seven years. This plan is estimated to increase governmental receipts by $8.2 billion in 1984, $5.8 billion in 1985, and $8.9 billion in 1986. The provisions of the plan include the following: • Expansion of coverage.—Federal civilian employees and employees of State and local governments and non-profit organizations currently are exempt from mandatory social security coverage. Under the proposed plan, mandatory coverage will be extended to all new Federal civilian employees and to employees of non-profit organizations effective January 1, 1984. State and local governments currently participating in the social security system will no longer be allowed to withdraw. • Acceleration of scheduled increases in the Old Age and Survivors and Disability Insurance (OASDI) payroll tax rate.—The combined employer-employee OASDI tax rate is currently scheduled to increase from 10.8% to 11.4% on January 1, 1985 and to 12.4% on January 1, 1990. Under the proposed plan the rate will increase to 11.4% on January 1, 1984, 12.12% on January 1, 1988, and 12.4% on January 1, 1990. For 1984, employees would be provided a refundable tax credit equal to 0.3%, the rescheduled portion of the employee tax rate. • Comparability of self-employment OASDI payroll tax rate.— Self-employed individuals currently pay 75% of the combined employer-employee OASDI tax rate. Under the proposed plan self-employed individuals will be required to pay the combined employer-employee rate effective January 1, 1984. How- BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-13 ever, one-half of the combined rate will be deductible as a business cost in calculating taxable income. • Taxation of social security benefits.—Social security benefits currently are exempt from the Federal income tax. Under the proposed plan, single taxpayers with more than $20,000 ($25,000 for married couples filing a joint return) of adjusted gross income from non-social security sources will be required to include 50% of their social security benefits in adjusted gross income. Contingency tax plan.—The administration proposes a contingency tax plan for enactment in calendar year 1983. This plan is designed as a stand-by measure to ensure that budget deficits for fiscal years 1986 and beyond will be reduced (by about one percent of GNP) in the event that economic growth sufficient to hold those deficits to two and one-half percent (or less) of GNP does not materialize. The contingency taxes consist of a surcharge on individuals and corporations approximately equivalent to 1% of taxable income, plus an excise tax on oil, both domestically produced and imported, that will raise revenues of about $5 per barrel. Such contingency taxes will become effective October 1, 1985, only if three conditions are met: Congress adopts the administration's deficit reduction measures; the unified budget deficit for fiscal year 1986 is forecasted by the administration, on July 1, 1985, to be above two and one-half percent of GNP; and, on July 1, 1985, the economy is growing. If the contingency tax plan becomes effective, it will remain for up to 36 months. Contingency taxes are estimated to increase receipts by $46.0 billion in 1986. Tax incentives for higher education.—The administration proposes to exclude from tax earnings on savings deposited in special accounts to pay future higher education expenses of dependent children. The maximum annual contribution to these accounts will be $1,000 per child. However, the $1,000 per child maximum will be reduced 5 cents for each dollar that the taxpayer's adjusted gross income exceeds $40,000, so that any taxpayer with adjusted gross income in excess of $60,000 will be ineligible to make deposits to these accounts. Eligible expenses are tuition and room and board paid directly to a university or college. The university or college must verify that payments received directly from these accounts were spent for courses or for room and board of a full-time undergraduate degree student. Expenses of students in degree programs (but not trade schools) would be eligible. Special savings accounts will qualify only if the dependent children on whose behalf the savings are made are under age 18. In no case may an account be kept open for a child over the age of 25. Withdrawn savings will be reported to the IRS by the financial institution and by the taxpay- 4-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 er on his tax return. If there is no accompanying statement from the college or university indicating that the savings were spent on eligible expenses, the tax otherwise due on the earnings in these accounts will be recaptured with a penalty. An exemption from this penalty will be made in the case of the dependent's death and for withdrawals made to pay for certain medical expenses of the dependent. Eligible expenses will not include amounts paid to schools that follow a racially discriminatory policy. This proposal will be effective January 1, 1984 and is estimated to reduce receipts by a negligible amount in 1984, $0.1 billion in 1985, and $0.2 billion in 1986. Enterprise zone tax incentives.—Under current law the only tax incentive for the redevelopment of economically distressed areas is a relaxation of limitations on tax-exempt financing for facilities receiving assistance under the Urban Development Action Grant (UDAG) program. The administration proposes that beginning in 1983 up to 25 small areas per year (not to exceed 75 in total) be designated "enterprise zones/' Effective January 1, 1984, the following tax incentives will be available for economic redevelopment in the zones: an exemption from tax of capital gains on certain qualified property, a tax credit for employees equal to 5 percent of the first $10,500 of wages earned, a tax credit for employers equal to 10 percent of any increases in their payrolls, a separate tax credit for employers of certain disadvantaged individuals equal to 50 percent of the wages of such persons for the first three years of employment (the percentage declines by 10 points in the fourth year and each year thereafter), an increase of 50 percent in the regular investment tax credit for investment in equipment, a 10 percent investment tax credit for new construction and reconstruction of buildings, and continued availability of tax-exempt bond financing beyond the 1986 sunset date for small issue bonds. These incentives, which generally will remain fully in effect for 20 years and be phased out over the succeeding four years, are estimated to reduce receipts by $0.1 billion in 1984, $0.4 billion in 1985, and $0.8 billion in 1986. Tuition tax credit—The administration proposes to provide taxpayers a nonrefundable credit for 50 percent of tuition expenses paid to private elementary and secondary schools for certain qualified dependents. The maximum credit allowable for each dependent is $100 in 1983, $200 in 1984, and $300 thereafter, with the maximum amount in each year phased out for taxpayers with adjusted gross incomes between $40,000 and $60,000. Credits will not be allowed for expenses paid to private schools that follow a racially discriminatory policy. This proposal, which will be effective for expenses incurred after July 31, 1983, is estimated to reduce re- BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-15 ceipts by $0.2 billion in 1984, $0.5 billion in 1985, and $0.8 billion in 1986. Tax treatment of health insurance premiums.—Under current law, compensation paid in cash is fully taxable for both social security and income tax purposes, while compensation paid in the form of health insurance benefits is nontaxable. The administration proposes that effective January 1, 1984, employees be required to pay social security and income taxes on employer-paid health insurance premiums in excess of $175 per month or $2,100 per year for a family plan, and $70 per month or $840 per year for a single plan. Employer-paid health insurance premiums below these amounts still will be excluded from taxation. The $175 and $70 amounts will be indexed to rise with inflation. This proposal is estimated to increase receipts by $2.3 billion in 1984, $4.4 billion in 1985, and $6.0 billion in 1986. Jobs tax credit for the long-term unemployed.—Under current law no special tax incentives are provided for hiring the long-term unemployed. The administration proposes a six month extension and modification of the Federal Supplemental Compensation program with an option for recipients to receive assistance in securing work through a system of tax credits to employers. To be qualified, individuals must have exhausted their regular, and, where available, extended Unemployment Insurance benefits. Effective April 1, 1983, individuals who meet the eligibility requirements for the additional unemployment payments may elect to receive vouchers equivalent in value to the unemploj'ment payments. These vouchers will entitle an employer hiring qualified individuals for full-time employment within six months of their eligibility to receive the credit. Although payment of the additional benefits will end on September 30, 1983, individuals will be able to become eligible for vouchers until March 31, 1984. Employers will be able to receive a tax credit for any qualified individuals hired before April 1, 1984. This proposal is estimated to reduce receipts by a negligible amount in 1983, $0.2 billion in 1984, $0.2 billion in 1985, and $0.1 billion in 1986. Caribbean Basin Initiative (CBI).—Under current law, expenses incurred in attending business conventions outside the North American area are deductible only if it is as reasonable to hold the convention outside the North American area as within it. The administration supports the Caribbean Basin Initiative as passed by the House of Representatives last year. This initiative provides that effective January 1, 1983, expenses incurred in attending a business convention in a qualifying Caribbean Basin country (in- 4-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 eluding, for this purpose, Bermuda) will be deductible, provided they meet the standards for deductibility of North American business expenses. A qualifying Caribbean Basin country is a country that is designated by the President as entitled to the benefits of the Caribbean Basin Initiative and enters into a bilateral executive agreement with the United States providing for the exchange of such information as is necessary for carrying out the tax laws of the United States and the other country. The CBI also provides that effective April 1, 1983, all excise taxes collected on rum imported into the United States, wherever produced, be paid into the Treasuries of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Under present law, only taxes collected on rum produced in Puerto Rico or the U.S. Virgin Islands and transported to the United States are transferred to Puerto Rico or the U.S. Virgin Islands. The revenue impact of the proposal is negligible. Changes in contributions to civil service retirement (CSR).—Civil service retirement currently costs 35% of payroll. Employees contribute 7% of wages and salaries to CSR, employing agencies contribute 7%, and the general fund of the Federal Government contributes the remaining 21%. The administration is proposing several reforms that would reduce the cost of civil service retirement to 22% of payroll. In keeping with the principle that employees and employers should each pay 50% of retirement costs, several changes in contributions to CSR also are being proposed. These changes, which are estimated to increase governmental receipts by $1.2 billion in 1984, $2.3 billion in 1985, and $2.1 billion in 1986, include the following: • Increase in the employee contribution.—The administration proposes that the employee contribution be increased from 7% of wages and salaries to 9% effective October 1, 1983, and to 11% effective October 1, 1984.3 • Increase in the District of Columbia employer contribution.— The District of Columbia (D.C.) currently contributes 7% of employee wages and salaries to the civil service retirement fund; the Federal Government contributes an amount equal to 21% of the D.C. government payroll to meet the full cost of the system. This constitutes a hidden subsidy to the D.C. government—one that is not intended. To rectify this situation, the administration proposes that the contribution of the District of Columbia be increased to 9% effective October 1, 1983 and to 11% effective October 1, 1984.4 3 A corresponding increase in the employer contribution is proposed; however, employer contributions are shown on the outlay side of the budget and do not affect governmental receipts. *The administration proposes to increase the contributions of the Postal Service by the same amount. Contributions of the Postal Service to CSR are shown on the outlay side of the budget and do not affect governmental receipts. 4-17 BUDGET RECEIPTS EFFECT ON RECEIPTS OF PROPOSED LEGISLATION1 (In billions of dollars) 1984 1983 Bi-partisan social security plan Taxation of health insurance premiums Contributions to civil service retirement Higher education tax incentive Enterprise zone tax incentives Tuition tax credit Jobs tax credit Caribbean Basin Initiative Other Subtotal Contingency tax plan Total 1985 8.2 2.3 1.2 * 1986 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 * * 5.8 4.4 2.3 -0.1 -0.4 0.5 0.2 * * 8.9 6.0 2.1 -0.2 -0.8 -0.8 0.1 * * * 11.2 11.3 * 11.2 11.3 15.3 46.0 61.3 * * -0.2 0.2 11.5 -3.5 0.3 15.0 * * * 10.6 -1.7 14.3 38.1 * * 11.2 11.3 61.3 * * ADDENDUM Effect of proposals on receipts by source: Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions Excise taxes Other Total *$50 million or less. 1 These estimates are based on the direct effect only of legislative changes at a given level of economic activity. Induced effects are taken into account for forecasting incomes, however, and in this way affect the receipts estimates by major source and in total. EFFECT OF ENACTED AND PROPOSED CHANGES ON RECEIPTS The actual change in receipts that will result from an enacted or proposed tax revision will depend on both the direct effect of the tax change and the indirect or "feedback" effect. The direct effect is the increase or decrease in receipts due only to the tax change at given levels of income. The indirect or feedback effect is the increase or decrease in receipts due to the effect of the tax change on income levels. The estimates of the effect of enacted and proposed tax changes shown in this budget represent the direct effect of these changes on receipts, based on levels of corporate and individual income that reflect enactment of the tax change. The estimated indirect or feedback effect on receipts due to the tax-induced change in incomes is not included in these estimates because it is already included in gross receipts. For example, the estimates of the effect of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 shown in this budget represent only the direct effect of the changes provided in the Act. The increased receipts resulting from the tax-induced increase in incomes are included in gross receipts. The estimates of the direct effect of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 on receipts therefore overstate the net 4-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 loss to the Treasury of the income tax reductions and other tax changes provided in the Act. The estimates in this budget of the effect of the administration's proposals on receipts also represent the direct effect of these changes. The indirect effect of these proposals is included in gross receipts. CHANGES IN BUDGET RECEIPTS Budget receipts are estimated to decline by $20.3 billion in 1983 and to increase by $62.2 billion in 1984. The year-to-year changes can be divided between changes due to growth in the tax base and changes due to revisions in the tax structure. Under the tax rates and structure in effect on January 1, 1981, receipts would have risen by $5.1 billion in 1983 and $71.6 billion in 1984. Thus, the combined effect of administrative action and enacted and proposed tax law changes, which is shown in the accompanying table, reduces the growth in receipts by $25.4 billion in 1983, $9.4 billion in 1984, and $12.5 billion in 1985. The corresponding increase for 1986 is $25.8 billion. 1983 Growth in receipts (in billions of dollars): Under existing law and administrative action and proposed legislation... Under tax rates and structure in effect Jan. 1, 1981 Difference 1984 1985 1986 -20.3 5.1 62.2 71.6 64.6 77.1 117.6 91.8 -25.4 -9.4 -12.5 25.8 4-19 BUDGET RECEIPTS CHANGES IN BUDGET RECEIPTS (In billions of dollars) 1982 Receipts under tax rates and structure in effect January l f 1981 » Administrative action Enacted legislative changes: Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982.. Highway Revenue Act of 1982 Social security taxable earnings base increases:4 $29,700 to $32,400 effective Jan. 1, 1982 $32,400 to $35,700 effective Jan. 1,1983 $35 700 to $37 800 effective Jan 1 1984 $37 800 to $39 600 effective Jan 1 1985 $39 600 to $42 000 effective Jan 1 1986... Social security (OASDHI) tax rate increases.-2 4 13.3% to 13.4% effective Jan. 1, 1982 13 4% to 14 1% effective Jan 1 1985. . 14 1% to 14 3% effective Jan 1 1986 Other Total, receipts under existing legislation Proposed legislative changes: Bi-partisan social security plan Taxation of health insurance premiums Contingency tax plan Contributions to civil service retirement Higher education tax incentive Enterprise zone tax incentives Tuition tax credit Jobs tax credit Caribbean Basin Initiative Other Total, receipts under existing and proposed legislation 3 1983 1984 1985 1986 650.8 0.2 656.0 0.2 727.6 0.2 804.7 0.2 896.5 0.2 -35.6 * 82.6 17.3 1.7 130.3 38.3 3.8 158.2 42.2 3.9 -202.3 52.1 3.9 1.0 2.8 1.1 3.3 3.2 0.7 3.9 3.9 2.0 0.6 4.6 4.6 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.6 8.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.7 12.2 2.5 0.3 617.8 597.5 648.5 713.1 780.6 8.2 2.3 5.8 4.4 1.2 * * * -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 * * 2.3 -0.1 -0.4 -0.5 -0.2 * * 8.9 6.0 46.0 2.1 -0.2 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 * * 597.5 659.7 724.3 841.9 617.8 *$50 million or less. 1 These figures assume a social security taxable earnings base of $29,700. 2 The combined employer-employee old age and survivors, disability, and hospital insurance (OASDHI) tax rate. 3 These estimates include both the direct and indirect effects of administrative action and legislative changes. 4 Technical note: When the tax rate and the taxable earnings base increase at the same time, dividing up the total effect on receipts is arbitrary to some small extent because of an interaction effect. The increase in receipts due to this interaction effect is attributed to the rate and base changes in proportion to the increases in receipts that would occur if the rate and base were each changed separately. 380-000 0 - 8 3 - 8 : QL 3 4-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 RECEIPTS BY SOURCE Individual income taxes.—Individual income tax receipts are estimated at $285.2 billion in 1983 and $295.6 billion in 1984. These estimates reflect the individual income tax reductions provided in the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, which reduce individual income tax receipts in 1983 and 1984 by $65.9 billion and $104.5 billion, respectively. These reductions are partially offset by the tax revisions and improvements in compliance and collection provided in the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982, which increase individual income taxes by an estimated $4.3 billion in 1983 and $13.3 billion in 1984. The proposed changes in this budget are estimated to reduce individual income taxes by $0.2 billion in 1984. Individual income taxes in 1985 and 1986 are projected at $317.9 billion and $358.6 billion, respectively. The changes in individual income taxes provided in ERTA and TEFRA result in a net reduction in individual income tax receipts of $108.6 billion in 1985 and $135.8 billion in 1986. The administration's proposals, including the proposed contingency tax to become effective October 1, 1985, are estimated to reduce individual income taxes by $3.5 billion in 1985 and increase them by $10.6 billion in 1986. Corporation income taxes.—Corporation income tax receipts are estimated at $35.3 billion in 1983 and $51.8 billion in 1984. These estimates reflect the Accelerated Cost Recovery System and other provisions of ERTA, which are estimated to reduce corporation income tax receipts in 1983 and 1984 by $14.0 billion and $22.0 billion, respectively. The tax revisions and improvements in tax collection and enforcement provided in TEFRA add $7.5 billion to corporation income tax receipts in 1983 and $16.2 billion in 1984. Corporation income tax receipts in 1985 and 1986 are estimated at $60.5 billion and $74.0 billion, respectively. These estimates reflect net reductions of $11.9 billion in 1985 and $13.1 billion in 1986 due to enactment of ERTA and TEFRA. The administration's proposals are expected to reduce corporation income taxes in 1985 and 1986 by $0.3 billion and $1.7 billion, respectively. Social insurance taxes and contributions.—This category includes social security and railroad retirement taxes, unemployment insurance taxes and deposits, and other retirement contributions. Receipts from this source are expected to be $210.3 billion in 1983 and $242.9 billion in 1984. These estimates reflect the changes in employment taxes and contributions provided in ERTA and TEFRA, which are estimated to increase receipts by $2.5 billion in 1983 and $4.0 billion in 1984. The proposed bi-partisan social security plan is estimated to increase these receipts by an additional BUDGET RECEIPTS 4-21 $9.8 billion in 1984. Scheduled increases in the social security taxable earnings base from $32,400 in 1982 to $35,700 in 1983 and to $37,800 in 1984 also are reflected in these estimates. The estimates for 1985 and 1986 are $275.5 billion and $304.9 billion, respectively. These estimates reflect scheduled increases in the combined employer-employee social security (OASDHI) tax rate from 13.4% to 14.1% on January 1, 1985, and to 14.3% on January 1, 1986, and annual increases in the taxable earnings base to $42,000 in 1986. The increases in social insurance taxes and contributions provided in ERTA and TEFRA add $4.3 billion to receipts in 1985 and $3.9 billion in 1986. These receipts are increased by an additional $11.6 billion in 1985 and $10.6 billion in 1986 due to the proposed bi-partisan social security plan. Excise taxes.—Excise taxes are levied on a variety of products, services, and activities. Receipts from these taxes are estimated at $37.3 billion in 1983 and $40.4 billion in 1984. These estimates include the windfall profit tax, which is estimated at $13.8 billion in 1983 and $12.2 billion in 1984. The estimates also reflect enactment of ERTA, which reduces excise taxes by $0.8 billion in 1983 and $0.6 billion in 1984. TEFRA, which increased excise taxes on airport and airway users, cigarettes, and telephone service—increases excise taxes in 1983 and 1984 by an estimated $3.6 billion and $5.2 billion, respectively. The 5 cent per gallon increase in the excise tax on gasoline and diesel fuel, and other provisions of the Highway Revenue Act of 1982 add an additional $2.2 billion to excise taxes in 1983 and $4.8 billion in 1984. The estimates for 1985 and 1986 are $40.8 billion and $74.8 billion, respectively. These estimates include $11.3 billion from the windfall profit tax in 1985 and $10.5 billion in 1986. They also reflect a net increase of $10.0 billion in 1985 and $6.2 billion in 1986 due to the provisions of ERTA, TEFRA, and the Highway Revenue Act. The proposed contingency tax plan is estimated to increase excise taxes in 1986 by an additional $38.1 billion. Estate and gift taxes.—Estate and gift taxes are estimated at $6.1 billion in 1983, $5.9 billion in 1984, $5.6 billion in 1985, and $5.0 billion in 1986. These estimates reflect reductions due to enactment of ERTA and partially offsetting increases due to enactment of TEFRA. Other receipts.—Customs duties and miscellaneous receipts (the largest of which are deposits of earnings by the Federal Reserve System) are estimated to total $23.3 billion in 1983, $23.2 billion in 1984, $24.0 billion in 1985, and $24.5 billion in 1986. Proprietary receipts.—In addition to budget receipts, the Government receives significant proprietary income from the public. This 4-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 income is derived from various market-oriented activities and takes the form of interest, rents, royalties, and the sale of Government property, products, and services. Because this income arises from business-type transactions rather than from taxation, it is treated as an offset to related outlays and budget authority rather than as budget receipts. Proprietary receipts from the public are explained further in Part 7 and are shown in Table 13 of Part 9. Budget Receipts $ Billions 800- -BOO MM Social Insurance £i!;!lllill!!l;llll and Contributions::;;!:: - 200 1974-7S,. 7 5 77; FiseaJYears •• . . ' . \ - ' " PART 5 MEETING NATIONAL NEEDS: THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY FUNCTION 5-1 INTRODUCTION National needs and the functional classification.—This part of the budget discusses budget authority, outlays, and related measures of Federal spending, focusing on the end purposes that the spending serves. The presentation is organized in terms of the functional structure.1 Each functional section except for net interest begins with a statement of the principal national needs met by activities in that function. The functional structure is divided into 17 broad areas (functions) that provide a coherent and comprehensive basis for analyzing the budget. It has two additional categories—allowances and undistributed offsetting receipts—that are not functions but are required in order to cover the entire budget. Budget authority and outlays are classified in the functional structure according to the primary purpose of the activity; to the extent feasible this classification is made without regard to agency or organizational distinctions. Classifying each activity in the function that defines its most important purpose—even though many activities serve more than one purpose—permits adding the budget authority and outlays of each function to obtain the budget totals. The federalism initiative.—In January 1982 the administration announced a $50 billion program to return responsibility for a number of Federal programs back to the States along with revenue sources to finance them. Because this program required extensive discussions with State and local officials to satisfactorily resolve the details, the basic principles were enunciated in last year's budget but the specific changes were not incorporated into the detailed estimates. Over the past year numerous meetings between Federal, State, and local officials have been held to work out these details. Significant progress has been made in designing this extensive reform. However, a significant number of issues have not yet been fully resolved. Therefore, this initiative has not been incorporated in the detailed estimates in this budget. The Federalism initiative is discussed in greater detail in Special Analysis H (Federal Aid to State and Local Governments). Structure of the Part 5 sections.—For each function (except the net interest function) there is a common structure to the presenta1 See the sections entitled "Functional classification" and "National needs presentation" in Part 7 of this volume for additional background information. 5-2 INTRODUCTION 5-3 tion. Each section starts with a statement of national needs. Each section has a table that shows budget authority and another table that shows outlays for that function for 5 years (1982 through 1986). These tables display each subfunction and provide programmatic detail below the subfunction level. Off-budget authority and outlays for each function are shown as addendum entries. Credit budget—Federal credit activity may take the form of direct loans or loan guarantees, and both direct loans and loan guarantees may be issued by either on-budget agencies or offbudget Federal entities. Hence, in order to have a comprehensive system of control over Federal credit, it is necessary to include all of these transactions in a single credit budget. The credit budget data are shown in the appropriate functions in Part 5. There is a fundamental difference in budget accounting between direct loans and loan guarantees. Direct loans are loans made by the Federal Government to borrowers. As such, they are Federal outlays that must be financed by Federal taxes or borrowing. Loan guarantees were originally Federal guarantees of private lending and, as such, did not result in direct Federal outlays. In recent years most Federal loan guarantees have been to guarantee direct loans by the Federal Financing Bank (FFB), an off-budget Federal entity. More information on Federal lending activities can be found in Part 6 of this document, in Special Analysis E ("Borrowing and Debt"), and in Special Analysis F ("Federal Credit Programs"). The tables in Part 5 display the program activity of the credit budget by function; the sum of the figures in these tables adds up to the credit budget totals. There are three major changes in the credit budget presentation in Part 5 from the presentation in prior budgets: • In prior budgets double-counting of loan transactions was included in the credit tables and then deducted out. For example, if an agency made a loan and then sold it to the FFB, the loan was counted as new lending by both the originating agency and the FFB. This double-counting has been eliminated from the Part 5 credit tables to reduce confusion, but the details are still available in Special Analysis F. • Net direct loans, direct loans outstanding, net guaranteed loans, and guaranteed loans outstanding are now shown by program in the Part 5 credit tables. • The credit tables now show estimates for two additional years beyond the budget year. Allowances.— There are two undistributed allowances reflected in the current budget: allowances for civilian agency pay raises, and for increased employing agency payments for employee retirement. The transactions in these categories are discussed in greater detail 5-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 in the allowances section. Additionally, there are allowances for pay raises for military and civilian personnel of the Defense Department included in the national defense function and for Coast Guard military pay raises in the transportation function. Budget authority and outlays for undistributed allowances are always recorded differently in the estimate years than in the past years. For the estimate years they are undistributed by agency, function, and account; they constitute an adjustment entry to move the budget closer to realistic totals, but the actual distribution of the transactions by account is unidentified. When the transactions actually take place they are recorded in the appropriate agencies, functions, and accounts so that the budget never records allowances for past periods. Changes in the functional structure.—Only one significant change has been made in the functional classification for the 1984 budget. The subfunction "interest received by trust funds" was shifted from undistributed offsetting receipts to the interest function, and the interest function was renamed "net interest." Relationship to other budget tables.—Other parts of the budget include a number of tables that supplement the tables shown in Part 5 by showing data over a longer period of years or more detailed data than those reflected in the Part 5 tables. • Budget outlays by function and subfunction for the years 1974 through 1984 are shown in Table 20 in Part 9 of this document. (Data for earlier years can be obtained upon request from the Office of Management and Budget.) • Estimates and projections of budget authority by function and major program for the years 1982 to 1988 are published in Table 5 of Part 9. • Estimates and projections of budget outlays by function and major program for the years 1982 to 1988 are published in Table 3 of Part 9. • Part 8 contains a detailed set of budget authority and outlay figures for all budget and off-budget accounts. Each account has a 3-digit code indicating the function and subfunction in which it is classified. The Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act—Section 4(a) of the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978 requires that the President's budget shall incorporate the programs and policies that the President deems necessary to achieve the goals specified in the act. These goals are discussed in the President's Economic Report. Programs and policies to help achieve these goals, as well as a broad range of other goals mentioned in the Act, are discussed throughout this section. INTRODUCTION 5-5 As demonstrated by the following functional discussions, the goals listed in the act were among those weighed in the process of developing the President's budget recommendations. Tax expenditures.—Tax expenditures are features of the individual and corporation income tax laws that provide special benefits or incentives in comparison with what would be permitted under the general provisions of the Internal Revenue Code. They arise from special exclusions, exemptions, or deductions from gross income, or from special credits, preferential tax rates, or deferrals of tax liability. In many cases tax expenditures can be viewed as alternatives to other means by which the Federal Government can carry out policy objectives, such as direct outlays, loan guarantees, regulations, and other tax law provisions. For some tax expenditure provisions the revenue loss is equivalent to the direct budget outlay that would be required to provide taxpayers with an identical level of after-tax benefits. This is the case for itemized deductions, such as the deduction for medical expenses. Under present law, a taxpayer can deduct some portion of eligible medical expenses and thereby reduce his tax liability. Alternatively, the Government could directly pay the portion of medical expenses equal to the revenue loss under the present law. In either case, the patient would have the same net medical bill to pay, and the doctor and other suppliers of medical services would have the same taxable income. The revenue loss is, therefore, equal to the equivalent budget outlay. In many other cases it would take greater budget outlays to achieve a given level of after-tax benefits than would be required by the tax expenditures, because, in the absence of other tax expenditures, taxpayers would have to pay taxes on the higher income derived from budget outlays. For example, one tax expenditure provision is the exclusion from taxable income of the value of housing and meals provided military personnel. If the Government were to repeal this tax exclusion but instead pay higher salaries, the increase in salaries would be taxed. Therefore, if the Government were to use taxable direct expenditures rather than tax expenditures and were to provide the same total after-tax compensation, the increase in direct outlays for higher salaries would have to be greater than the revenue loss under the special tax provision. The Federal deficit would be the same in either case, however, because the higher outlays would be required only to the extent that tax receipts were higher. Tax expenditures are, therefore, shown in Part 5 as outlay equivalents rather than as revenue losses so that they may more easily be compared with taxable direct budget outlays. Tax expenditure estimates cannot simply be added together to obtain totals for functional areas or a grand total. In many cases, 5-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 simply adding tax expenditures together produces inaccurate totals because certain tax expenditures affect the value of other tax expenditures. These interaction effects are explained in Part 6 and in Special Analysis G, "Tax Expenditures," which is published separately from this document. Part 5 and Special Analysis G provide estimates of total tax expenditures for each function after the individual amounts have been adjusted for interaction effects. Tax expenditures are discussed in the following sections on the Federal program by function so that they may be compared with the outlays and loan guarantees that serve similar purposes. They are also discussed in Part 6 of this document. In addition, Special Analysis G analyzes the concept and measurement of tax expenditures, explains each tax expenditure provision, and provides outlay equivalent as well as revenue loss estimates for each of the tax expenditures. Other Federal fiscal activities.—The Federal Government allocates resources by means other than those reflected in budget outlays, tax expenditures, and loan guarantees. Outlays of the offbudget Federal entities, which are federally owned and controlled but excluded from the budget under provisions of laws, are similar in nature to budget outlays. The regulation of economic activity also has a major impact on the economy in many sectors. Finally, provisions of the tax law affect the allocation of resources among private uses and the distribution of income among individuals in many important ways not covered by tax expenditures, which include only special provisions of income taxes. Federal taxes other than income taxes have economic effects, as do the tax rates, personal exemptions, and other features of the income tax structure that are not treated as tax expenditures. The functional/national needs sections that follow include information on off-budget Federal entities. Off-budget Federal entities and privately owned, Government-sponsored enterprises are discussed in Part 6 of the Budget and in Special Analyses E and F. NATIONAL DEFENSE 5-7 NATIONAL DEFENSE National Needs Statement Federal expenditures for national defense serve to protect America's people, its institutions, its lands and its allies from foreign aggression. The basic objective of our defense program is to prevent both nuclear and conventional war. Our defense program seeks to deter other nations from threatening our vital interests and those of our allies and friends. This deterrence must be based on the maintenance of strategic nuclear capabilities, which make nuclear war with us an unacceptable option; maintenance of adequate maritime strength in key areas; strong forward-deployed forces in NATO and Northeast Asia; and the ability to deploy rapidly and sustain our military forces worldwide. The budget proposes $280.5 billion in budget authority for the national defense function in 1984. Outlays are estimated at $245.3 billion in 1984, increasing to $285.3 billion in 1985 and $323.0 billion in 1986. The accompanying table shows budget authority and outlays for the three major national defense components: military functions of the Department of Defense, atomic energy defense activities, and the defense-related activities of other agencies. Department of Defense-Military.—The $34.0 billion increase in budget authority for the Department of Defense in 1984 demonstrates the administration's continued commitment to provide the military strength necessary to maintain the Nation's security. U.S. defense policies are designed to deter war by maintaining nuclear and conventional forces sufficient to convince any potential adversary that the cost of aggression would be too high to justify an attack. Should deterrence fail, we must have sufficient strength to defeat the attack and achieve our national objectives while limiting—to the extent possible and practicable—the scope of the conflict. As the Soviet Union continues to improve its military capabilities, United States forces must be strengthened to meet the Soviet challenge and protect our national interests. This requires that our current defense program: 5-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL DEFENSE (Functional code 050; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 42,875 45,485 47,927 49,741 51,165 14,986 16,155 62,466 64,462 20,060 4,916 2,203 2,516 -733 66,259 80,303 22,805 4,512 2,532 932 -532 17,088 18,080 19,306 -282 -667 -830 74,002 82,366 90,657 94,088 119,647 136,383 29,622 32,206 34,145 5,823 9,901 10,331 2,833 3,877 3,464 2,822 2,287 1,767 -544 -844 -821 3,042 1,420 6,862 4,470 18 25 22 BUDGET AUTHORITY Department of Defense—Military: Military personnel Retired military personnel: Existing law Proposed legislation Operation and maintenance Procurement Research, development, test and evaluation Military construction Family housing Revolving funds and other Offsetting receipts Allowance for civilian pay raises Allowance for military pay raises and benefits. Other legislation Supplemental for later transmittal Proposed rescissions for later transmittal Subtotal, Department of Defense—Military.. Atomic energy defense activities... Defense-related activities: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, defense-related activities. Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority 1,608 -650 213,751 239,407 273,400 321,600 356,400 4,737 5,700 6,778 8,037 7,962 219 371 429 -100 583 -188 738 -270 219 371 468 -4 218,704 245,474 329 395 -4 -4 280,503 330,028 364,826 42,341 45,308 47,676 49,548 50,988 14,938 59,674 43,271 17,729 2,922 1,993 716 -733 16,130 64,643 55,210 21,430 4,124 2,358 153 -532 17,052 -282 71,649 68,238 26,332 4,393 2,635 1,044 -544 232 -124 22 680 -295 18,044 19,267 -830 -667 79,080 87,260 85,905 103,659 29,959 32,604 7,619 5,504 3,375 3,011 1,824 1,804 -844 -821 2,974 1,320 6,862 4,470 18 25 160 466 -148 -38 182,850 208,932 238,600 277,500 314,900 4,309 5,471 6,422 7,425 7,714 263 370 263 _4 370 -4 387 -100 287 -4 534 -188 347 -4 694 -270 425 -4 187,418 214,769 245,305 285,268 323,035 OUTLAYS Department of Defense—Military: Military personnel Retired military personnel: Existing law Proposed legislation Operation and maintenance Procurement Research, development, test and evaluation Military construction Family housing Revolving funds and other Offsetting receipts Allowance for civilian pay raises Allowance for military pay raises and benefits.... Other legislation Supplemental for later transmittal Proposed rescissions for later transmittal Subtotal, Department of Defense—Military.. Atomic energy defense activities. Defense-related activities: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, defense-related activities. Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays. NATIONAL DEFENSE 5-9 • modernize all components of U.S. strategic forces to ensure their ability to deter a nuclear attack, and if such an attack should occur, to survive and retaliate; • improve the Nation's ability to respond militarily to crises anywhere in the world; • maintain sufficient maritime strength to ensure our ability to deploy U.S. forces to critical regions overseas to protect our interests, support our allies, and ensure continued access to essential resources; • revitalize alliances and coalitions to protect U.S. interests worldwide and in particular to achieve NATO objectives; and • improve the readiness and combat endurance of conventional forces, and modernize the equipment of these forces. The administration has initiated defense programs to achieve these objectives and to rebuild our defense forces. Sustained increases in defense resources will be required over a period of years. Fiscal year 1983 Supplemental and Rescissions.—The President will propose 1983 supplemental appropriation requests for procurement of the Peacekeeper missile, the Pershing II missile and for a number of NATO-related programs. Amounts for Peacekeeper will depend upon Presidential review of the recommendations of the President's Commission on Strategic Forces. Pershing II funds will be requested following successful flight testing of the missile. The NATO-related supplemental will include funds for the Ground Launched Cruise Missile, pre-positioning of material in Europe, the U.S. share of costs for host nation support in the Federal Republic of Germany, and a general provision eliminating restrictions on purchasing specialty metals and defense equipment from our allies. Proposed rescissions will be identified and transmitted later. Budget authority requested for the Department of Defense-Military is shown by mission category in the following table and discussed below. Strategic forces.—The administration's strategic modernization program is continued in the 1984 budget. The program consists of six reinforcing elements: improvement of our command, control, communications, and intelligence systems; modernization of our long-range bomber force by procurement of the new B-1B bomber and by research and development on an advanced technology (stealth) bomber; continued deployment of the Trident I submarinelaunched ballistic missile and development of a new, more powerful and accurate, Trident II missile; development and deployment of cruise missiles; improvements in the capability of our land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles with the Peacekeeper (M-X) missile; and enhancement of our strategic defenses. Other projects under development include submarine-launched cruise missiles, new missile warheads, and anti-satellite systems. Together, these 5-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 MISSION CATEGORIES: DEFENSE, MILITARY (Functional code 051; in billions of dollars) Budget authority Major missions and programs Strategic forces l General purpose forces Intelligence and communications Airlift and sealift Guard and reserve Research and development2 Central supply and maintenance Training, medical, and other general personnel activities.. Administration and associated activities Support of other nations Total, budget authority.. Prior-year funds and other financial adjustments.. Total obligational authority 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 15.3 88.1 13.9 4.0 10.4 16.9 21.1 39.6 3.6 0.9 20.6 100.8 17.1 4.2 11.4 18.7 20.2 42.5 3.1 0.8 28.2 109.7 20.8 5.2 11.6 23.5 23.4 45.6 4.8 0.7 34.7 132.4 25.9 13.2 25.5 25.3 51.5 5.4 0.8 35.6 154.3 27.0 7.3 14.5 28.3 27.1 55.5 6.0 0.9 213.8 239.4 273.4 321.6 356.4 274.1 322.4 357.2 -2.4 211.4 6.9 1.1 240.5 1 Excludes strategic systems development included in the research and development category. 2 Excludes research and development in other program areas on systems approved for production. programs will provide a credible nuclear deterrent for the foreseeable future. General purpose forces.— General purpose forces, which deter or counter non-nuclear military aggression, must be able to respond to the most demanding of potential conflicts—a war between NATO and the Warsaw Pact—while retaining the flexibility to meet other threats to U.S. interests. The following active forces will be supported: 16 Army divisions, 3 Marine divisions, 3 Marine air-wings, 26 wings of Air Force tactical aircraft, and 371 general purpose naval warships, including 13 aircraft carriers and 13 carrier airwings. Continued modernization of equipment is essential in order to meet the challenges posed by the Soviet threat, with its increasingly modern conventional forces. The 1984 budget proposes budget authority of $109.7 billion for general purpose forces, a 9% increase over 1983. This provides for strengthening our forces—including rapid deployment forces—by increasing combat readiness and by fielding new and improved equipment. Army general purpose forces. Modernization and improvement of combat readiness require the procurement of new equipment. Emphasis is also being placed on more realistic unit training, including greater participation of rapid deployment force units in servicewide exercises. Additional ammunition and other combat supplies will be acquired so that our forces can better sustain military operations. NATIONAL DEFENSE 5-11 Modernization of several systems continues. The procurement of the M-l Abrams main battle tank and other modern fighting vehicles will greatly improve our armored combat capability. Production of the Black Hawk helicopter will increase combat mobility, and procurement of the Apache attack helicopter will enable our forces to engage heavily armored vehicles at longer ranges and in greater numbers. The budget also includes the Patriot air defense system which provides more effective protection of vital targets such as depots, bridges, and airbases. Acquisition of a new division air defense gun, the Sergeant York, will improve air defense protection for our combat forces. The Pershing II ballistic missile is being developed and procured as part of NATO's long-range tactical and nuclear force modernization. In addition to continuing equipment modernization, the budget provides funds to increase readiness by improving the quality and tempo of unit training. During 1984 more battalions are scheduled to participate in training programs at the new National Training Center at Fort Irwin, California. These improvements in training will enhance the Army's ability to deploy combat-ready forces to meet a wide range of threats. Navy general purpose forces. These forces must provide a deterrent to military aggression both in peacetime and during crises. Should deterrence fail, they must be able to defend our sea lines of communication over which critical U.S. reinforcements and resupply must travel to forward theaters. They must also be able to conduct offensive operations against Soviet naval forces and facilities, if necessary. The Navy's deployable battle force will increase from 506 ships in 1983 to 526 in 1984. However, we must also continue to modernize our naval weapons systems and increase our force levels further. The 5-year shipbuilding plan calls for building 124 ships between 1984 and 1988. Active naval aviation forces will include 16 tactical air wings (13 Navy and 3 Marine Corps), 24 land-based patrol squadrons, and various support aircraft. To maintain and modernize these forces the budget provides funding for continued production of F-14 and F/A-18 aircraft for the tactical airwings, and the SH-60B helicopter and the P-3C long-range aircraft for anti-submarine warfare. Air Force general purpose forces. Tactical fighter forces have the mission of gaining air superiority, providing close air support for ground forces, and disrupting enemy forces behind the main battle area. To improve the combat capability of these units, the 1984 budget proposes procurement of additional F-15 and F-16 fighter aircraft, TR-1 reconnaissance aircraft, and highly accurate, precision-guided tactical bombs and missiles. The ground-launched 5-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 cruise missile is being procured as part of NATO's long-range tactical nuclear force modernization. The budget supports continued modernization of the tactical fighter force, providing for 26 active and 12 reserve wings during 1984. Modernization of the U.S.-based air defense force with F-15 aircraft also continues. Improvements to readiness continue to be made through increased purchases of spare parts, and through increased flying hours for pilot training. Airlift and sealift forces,—These forces must be able to deliver military personnel and combat equipment rapidly to crisis areas anywhere in the world, as well as the material needed to sustain combat forces. Readiness will be increased by improvements to existing transport aircraft, e.g., C-5A aircraft wing replacement, and procurement of additional spare parts. Rapid deployment capabilities will be increased by acquisition of an updated version of the C-5 cargo aircraft and more KC-10A tanker/cargo aircraft, modification of SL-7 logistics ships to incorporate roll-on/roll-off capability, and chartering of additional ships to pre-position equipment and supplies near possible trouble spots. National Guard and Reserves,—These forces must be ready to mobilize rapidly in an emergency to augment active duty forces. Improvements in mobilization readiness are essential. The budget reflects continued improvement in manning, training, and equipping these forces. Emphasis is being placed on increasing the fulltime active duty military support in Army National Guard and Reserve units in 1984. Next year will be the National Guard's first full year of training with its battalion of M-l tanks. The addition of newer, more combat capable equipment will continue in 1984 with the introduction of the FFG-7 frigate into the Navy Reserve and the provision of more F-16 fighter and C-130H tactical airlift aircraft to the Air Guard and Reserve. Research and development.—This program develops and tests new and improved weapon systems in response to changing military requirements, while maintaining a strong research and technology base for longer term weapon applications. An increase of 26% in budget authority for research and development is proposed for 1984, with a continuing emphasis on strategic programs. Major strategic development efforts, described earlier, include the Peacekeeper and Trident II missiles and the B-1B and advanced technology bombers. Tactical development efforts include a tri-service vertical-lift aircraft, Army remotely piloted vehicles, a Navy advanced torpedo, and an adverse-weather, ground-attack version of an existing fighter aircraft. 5-13 NATIONAL DEFENSE Training, medical, and other general personnel activities,—General personnel activities include the provision of training and medical services for active duty personnel, and benefits for retired military personnel. Active duty military personnel. A capable, motivated, well-trained force is essential to military preparedness. The 1984 budget reflects continued commitment to improved personnel readiness. Efforts to revitalize the all-volunteer force have been highly successful, and 1982 has been the most impressive year to date. Not only did the military services achieve or exceed all of their personnel strength objectives, but they made significant improvements in retaining SUMMARY OF ACTIVE MILITARY PERSONNEL AND FORCES (Year end—i.e., as of September 30) 1982 actual Military personnel (in thousands): End strength: Army Navy Marine Corps Air Force Total, Department of Defense Average strength: Army Navy Marine Corps Air Force Total, Department of Defense. Strategic forces: Intercontinental ballistic missiles: Minuteman Titan II Poseidon-Trident Strategic bomber squadrons General purpose forces: Land forces: Army divisions Marine Corps divisions Tactical air forces: Air Force wings Navy attack wings Marine Corps wings Naval Forces: Attack and multipurpose carriers Nuclear attack submarines Other warships Amphibious assault ships Airlift and sealift forces: C-5A airlift squadrons Other airlift squadrons Sealift fleet 380-000 O - 83 - 9 : QL 3 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 780 553 193 583 780 560 195 592 783 572 197 613 2,109 2,127 2,165 785 545 192 579 779 548 194 590 783 563 197 604 2,101 2,111 2,147 1,000 1,000 1,000 52 43 34 544 616 616 25 20 20 16 3 16 3 16 3 26 12 3 26 13 3 26 13 3 13 91 205 59 13 91 200 58 13 93 207 58 4 13 54 4 13 58 4 13 66 5-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 experienced personnel and in enlisting high quality recruits. A decision to propose that there not be an October 1983 military pay raise was made in the context of similar Government-wide action being proposed for other pay raises and automatic cost-of-living adjustments. The budget does contain a contingency fund for 1985 and beyond for military personnel pay and benefits if measures are necessary to ensure that critical manpower requirements are met. Military retired pay. Legislation will be proposed to change the retirement system in order to make military retirement consistent with other Federal retirement programs. The proposed legislation would make permanent the current limitation on cost-of-living adjustments (COLA's) for non-disability retirees under age 62, by allowing one-half the full COLA increase after 1985. Under current law, the limitation to half of specified COLA percentage increases expires at the end of fiscal year 1985. The proposed legislation would also round all benefit amounts to the next lower dollar. Consistent with Government-wide policy, there would be no cost-ofliving adjustment in 1984. Under other legislation to be proposed, the defense budget would reflect the cost of retirement benefits being earned by personnel on active or reserve duty at the time they are being earned. The defense budget now reflects only the benefits paid to personnel who have already retired. This change would improve personnel management by more accurately reflecting true personnel costs. Tax expenditures.—The exclusion from taxable income of housing and meals for military personnel, provided either in cash or inkind, results in an estimate of $2.8 billion in 1984. In addition, disability pensions received by current military retirees are largely excluded from taxable income, resulting in an estimate of $160 million for 1984. Tax expenditures for national defense total $3 billion in 1984. Atomic energy defense activities.—These activities include research, development, testing, and production of nuclear weapons; production of special nuclear materials; storage of nuclear wastes from defense programs; and design of reactors for nuclear-powered Navy vessels. They are conducted outside the Defense Department, in conjunction with the civilian energy program. The accompanying table shows the funding levels for these programs. In total, budget authority of $6.8 billion is requested for 1984, compared to $5.7 billion for 1983. Outlays are estimated to increase from $5.5 billion in 1983 to $6.4 billion in 1984. The nuclear weapons program involves the design, research, development, testing, and production of nuclear warheads for the nuclear weapons stockpile, including quality control and periodic inspection of the finished devices. Funding levels proposed for 1983 5-15 NATIONAL DEFENSE and 1984 provide for increased missile warhead production for current and new weapon systems. The budget provides for increased production of special nuclear materials for use in nuclear warheads. The defense nuclear waste management program provides interim storage for all defense nuclear wastes. The program also supports research to develop permanent storage and isolation of these wastes. The naval reactor development program includes the research and development, design, procurement, and testing of prototype reactors for current and future naval vessels. Other atomic energy defense research and development programs involve improved security at defense nuclear facilities, security investigations, and arms control and verification technology development. ATOMIC ENERGY DEFENSE ACTIVITIES (Functional code 053; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 1985 estimate estimate estimate 2,944 1,313 359 121 3,326 1,827 418 129 3,925 4,566 2,097 2,713 613 607 143 151 4,808 2,315 680 159 4,737 5,700 6,778 7,962 2,642 1,207 339 121 3,171 3,702 4,231 1,732 1,986 2,417 429 591 628 139 143 149 BUDGET AUTHORITY Weapons research, development, test, and production.. Weapons materials production and waste management Naval reactor development Other research programs Total, budget authority 8,037 OUTLAYS Weapons research, development, test, and production.. Weapons materials production and waste management Naval reactor development Other research programs Total, outlays 4,309 5,471 6,422 7,425 4,542 2,331 684 157 7,714 Defense-related activities.— Activities of civilian departments and agencies that support national defense include emergency management, maintenance of strategic stockpiles, and the Selective Service System. Estimated outlays of $339 million in 1984 for the defense-related functions of the Federal Emergency Management Agency provide for the Nation's civil defense, mobilization, and other preparedness programs. The civil defense program establishes and maintains the Nation's ability to respond effectively to all types of emergencies, including natural disasters. A multiyear improvement program for civil defense is proposed. For 1984, the first year cost of this program is estimated at $254 million. To meet our needs for materials that might be unavailable during wartime, the General Services Administration stockpiles 5-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 strategic and critical materials. Sales and purchases are proposed in 1984 to adjust the inventory of the stockpile to current requirements. Outlays for purchases are estimated at $120 million in 1984. The Selective Service System is responsible for maintaining standby capacity to meet defense personnel requirements during an emergency national mobilization. The budget includes estimated outlays of $25 million in 1984 to improve the Selective Service System's mobilization capability, including continuing national registration and non-registrant prosecution programs to ensure compliance with the law. Credit budget—Defense production guarantees of $25 million are disbursed through the Federal Financing Bank. These guarantees assist private businesses to fulfil defense production contracts. CREDIT PROGRAMS—NATIONAL DEFENSE (In millions of dollars) Estimate Actual 1982 Direct loans: National defense programs (loans made by FFB): New obligations l Net outlavs Outstandings Guaranteed loans: National defense programs: Net change Outstandings Total credit budget (new obligations) 1983 1984 1986 1985 25 -10 14 -10 4 -3 1 1 1 * * 2 2 4 6 6 12 5 17 25 *500 thousand or less. 'These are commitments made by the agency to guarantee loans that the FFB will disburse. In effect, they are commitments for off-budget direct loans and are counted as such in the credit budget. Policy responsibility for these loans rests with the guaranteeing agency. INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 5-17 INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS National Needs Statement The Federal Government is responsible for protecting and advancing the interests of the United States and its people in international affairs. The United States seeks a world order characterized by peace, security and prosperity, in which individuals may enjoy political and economic freedom. Funds proposed for international affairs in this budget are necessary for the achievement of U.S. foreign policy and national defense goals. For 1984, $16.8 billion in budget authority and $13.2 billion in estimated outlays are requested. This compares with 1983 estimates of $17.1 billion in budget authority and $11.9 in outlays. A number of the programs in this function are credit programs. For 1984, total new direct loan obligations are proposed to be $10.9 billion and total new guaranteed loan commitments are proposed to be $10.3 billion. Foreign aid.—The two subfunctions—international security assistance and foreign economic and financial assistance—comprise all foreign aid. International security assistance.—Security assistance programs are vital instruments of United States national security and foreign policy, serving to strengthen allied and friendly governments where the United States has special security concerns. Through these programs, the United States assists other governments in acquiring, training for, and using modern military equipment necessary for their defense, and supports their economic stability. Security assistance also relates to U.S. access to military bases and facilities overseas. In the face of continuing challenges to U.S. interests and the economic difficulties in many parts of the world, the budget provides for a substantial increase in security assistance (both economic and military) and an improvement in the financial terms on which it is provided. Proposed budget authority increases to $4.7 billion for 1984, $183 million above 1983. Budget outlays are estimated to grow from $4.0 billion for 1983 to $4.6 billion for 1984. Transmitted in this budget and included in these budget amounts are several supplemental requests for 1983 to meet pressing international commitments, including funds for reconstruction in Lebanon. 5-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Economic support fund.—Through the economic support fund, the United States makes loans and grants for general budget and balance of payments support of friendly governments and finances individual development projects. The proposed budget authority of $2.9 billion for 1984 for this program includes $468 million for direct loans and $2.5 billion for grants. Foreign military sales credit—This program consists of forgiven loans and loan guarantees to enable foreign governments to purchase U.S. defense equipment, services and training. New obligations in 1984 are estimated to be $5.4 billion, $600 million above the 1983 level. Forgiven loans, which are included in the budget totals, will total $1 billion for 1984. The remaining $4.4 billion will be off-budget loans at interest rates equal to U.S. Treasury borrowing costs plus % of 1% provided through the Federal Financing Bank and guaranteed by the Department of Defense. Foreign military sales credit outlays of $1.0 billion for 1984 result only from disbursements on forgiven loans. Military assistance.—Grant military assistance also finances purchases of defense articles for foreign governments with which the United States shares foreign policy interests, basing agreements, or alliance commitments. This program complements the foreign military sales credit program by reducing the financial burden of such purchases. Additionally, the program covers part of the administrative costs of security assistance programs. These activities will require $747 million in budget authority for 1984. Foreign economic and financial assistance.—The general objec- tives of the foreign economic and financial assistance programs are to encourage the expansion of a market-oriented international economic system and to help meet the development and humanitarian needs of developing countries. Budget authority requested for 1984 is $4.9 billion, and outlays are estimated to be $4.5 billion for 1984. Multilateral development banks.—These include the World Bank group of institutions and the three regional banks for Latin America, Asia, and Africa. These banks have an especially important role to play in promoting sound economic policies in recipient countries. In the aggregate, these institutions lent nearly $18.2 billion during their last completed fiscal years to provide long-term project and technical assistance. Funds for lending are raised through direct contributions by developed and some advanced developing countries and through borrowing in world capital markets backed by callable capital, a guarantee of repayment by developing country governments. Contributions and callable capital are provided in regular replenishments of capital, which provide for INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 5-19 annual installment payments by donors, generally over 3- to 5-year periods. For 1984, proposed budget authority for the banks totals $1.6 billion. About two-thirds of this amount will be used to complete the sixth replenishment of the International Development Association, the soft-loan affiliate of the World Bank. The 1984 request also provides for U.S. participation in replenishments of the Asian and Inter-American Development Banks, although the precise levels of U.S. contributions are still being negotiated, and the African Development Bank. An additional $2.9 billion is requested for callable capital contributions to the banks under program limitations. International organizations.—-The United States voluntarily contributes to United Nations activities and other international organizations and programs that carry out developmental, humanitarian, and scientific activities. Participation in these multilateral programs complements bilateral assistance in accomplishing U.S. foreign policy objectives. Nevertheless, U.S. contributions for the international organizations and programs account will decrease in 1984 from the levels of recent years. While several of these programs make a significant contribution to international humanitarian and development needs, they are assigned a lower priority than other activities aimed at the same goals. Budget authority of $190 million is proposed. Agency for International Development (AID).—Bilateral development assistance programs are largely carried out by AID and are coordinated under the auspices of the International Development Cooperation Agency. The proposed budget authority of $1.9 billion for AID for 1984 will promote economic growth in developing countries through projects in such areas as agriculture, population, health, education, and energy. AID also assists development-related research carried out by U.S. universities and supports the programs of private and voluntary organizations abroad. The administration's initiatives in the AID program include support of sound economic policies of recipient countries, increased use of American and recipient country private sector resources in development, institution building, and promotion of science and technology capabilities in developing countries. Public Law 480 food aid.—Through concessional loans for food imports and direct food distribution to the needy, food aid serves a wide range of policy objectives, including support of security objectives, economic development, export market development, and humanitarian relief. The budget includes a request of $1.1 billion in budget authority for 1984, an increase of $24 million from 1983. 5-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL NEED: CONDUCTING INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS (Functional code 150; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY Foreign aid: International security assistance: Economic support fund Foreign military sales credit Military assistance Other Offsetting receiDts 2,919 800 179 221 -199 2,956 1,175 457 77 -155 2,949 1,000 747 108 -112 2,949 1,000 747 108 -101 2,949 1,000 747 108 -103 3,919 4,509 4,692 4,702 4,701 Foreign economic and financial assistance: Multilateral development banks International organizations Agency for International Development Public Law 480 food aid Peace Corps Refugee assistance Other Offsetting receipts 1,262 215 1,847 1,000 105 423 61 -361 1,537 254 1,797 1,028 109 395 65 -430 1,618 190 1,871 1,052 109 344 148 -466 1,269 190 1,884 1,001 109 326 166 -493 1,215 190 1,894 975 109 327 144 -519 Subtotal, foreign economic and financial assistance 4,552 4,755 4,868 4,451 4,335 Total, foreign aid 8,471 9,264 9,560 9,153 9,036 1,183 466 43 1,242 519 45 1,392 602 48 1,498 646 48 1,536 664 48 1,693 1,806 2,042 2,191 2,247 583 724 832 996 1,009 3,268 1,424 -80 2,748 2,700 -82 2,457 2,100 -84 2,499 1,650 -85 2,366 1,300 -87 4,612 5,366 4,473 4,064 3,579 -92 — 94 94 -92 -92 16,313 15,780 Subtotal, international security assistance.... Conduct of foreign affairs: Administration of foreign affairs International organizations and conferences Other Subtotal, conduct of foreign affairs Foreign information and exchange activities International financial programs: Export-Import Bank Foreign military sales trust fund (net) Offsetting receiDts Subtotal, international financial programs Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority 15,267 17,066 16,813 * 5-21 INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS NATIONAL NEED: CONDUCTING INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS—Continued (Functional code 150; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate OUTLAYS Foreign aid: International security assistance: Economic support fund Foreign military sales credit Military assistance Other Offsetting receipts Subtotal, international security assistance- -199 3,107 2,831 880 242 221 -155 4,019 2,944 1,006 490 270 -112 4,598 2,921 998 685 291 -101 4,793 2,903 1,000 772 312 -103 4,884 Foreign economic and financial assistance: Multilateral development banks International organizations Agency for International Development Public Law 480 food aid Peace Corps Refugee assistance Other Offsetting receipts 1,063 238 1,524 929 103 382 -22 -361 1,274 205 1,715 1,035 109 401 26 -430 1,407 205 1,773 1,052 108 366 41 -466 1,366 193 1,812 1,001 109 340 49 -493 1,247 196 1,848 975 109 334 59 -519 Subtotal, foreign economic and financial assistance 3,856 4,335 4,487 4,377 4,248 Total, foreign aid.. 6,963 8,354 9,085 9,170 9,132 1,045 544 41 1,145 512 46 1,704 1,492 644 48 2,184 1,541 662 48 1,630 1,352 602 48 2,001 Conduct of foreign affairs: Administration of foreign affairs International organizations and conferences Other Subtotal, conduct of foreign affairs.. Foreign information and exchange activities International financial programs: Export-Import Bank Special defense acquisition fund Foreign military sales trust fund (net). Other Offsetting receipts Subtotal, international financial programs 2,299 501 176 330 2,250 1,052 571 704 828 1,173 -204 188 -166 -80 1,192 -196 500 -141 -82 1,433 -147 400 -173 -84 853 -49 300 -177 -85 566 73 200 -174 -87 911 1,272 1,430 841 577 Deductions for offsetting receipts -92 -94 -94 -92 -92 Total, outlays 9,982 11,939 13,250 12,992 12,920 ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Overseas Private Investment Corporation: Outlays Foreign military sales credit: Budget authority Outlays Total: Budget authority Outlays -5 -5 -6 -5 2,923 2,288 3,538 2,848 4,869 4,187 4,286 3,495 4,425 3,436 2,923 2,283 3,538 2,843 4,869 4,181 4,286 3,490 4,425 3,431 5-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Assistance will be concentrated on the poorest developing countries and on countries of major importance to the United States. A significant portion of direct food donations will be devoted to meeting refugee and emergency relief needs. Peace Corps,—-The Peace Corps, which was separated from ACTION during the past year, will continue to complement the bilateral assistance programs of the United States in more than 50 countries in the developing world. Budget authority of $109 million is requested for 1984, to provide approximately 5,000 volunteer service years. Refugee assistance.—The United States continues to recognize its international and humanitarian responsiblities toward the amelioration of refugee situations in many parts of the world. The budget includes $344 million of budget authority in 1984 to provide for the care of refugees abroad and for the resettlement of up to 72,000 refugees in the United States. Additional assistance to refugees in the United States is classified in the income security function. Conduct of foreign affairs.—Diplomatic and consular relations are conducted with foreign governments and international organizations by the Department of State through nearly 300 missions and consulates. These activities account for the major portion of funds needed in this area. In addition, the United States, as a member of more than 50 international organizations, is assessed its share of their annual budgets. For 1984, budget authority of $2.0 billion is requested, and outlays are also estimated to be $2.0 billion. Administration of foreign affairs.—Emphasis continues to be placed by the Department of State on improving the effectiveness of foreign service and civil service personnel because of their importance to the development and execution of the foreign policies of the United States. Automated information systems, buttressed with improved communications capabilities, are being introduced and expanded worldwide. Additional officers and staff are proposed for 1984 to improve political and economic reporting and analysis, as well as to process a growing number of passport and visa applications. A much-needed capital renewal program will be begun to improve working space and housing abroad. These enhancements along with inflationary costs abroad will increase proposed budget authority from $1.2 billion for 1983 to $1.4 billion for 1984. Negotiations regarding the future political status of the entities that make up the Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands have progressed to an advanced stage. When the agreements and all steps necessary to terminate the trusteeship are completed, appropriations will be sought to carry out the United States obligations set forth in those agreements. INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 5-23 International organizations and conferences.—The United States continues to seek improvements in the operations of international organizations and to encourage these organizations to concentrate on high priority activities by deleting low-priority and obsolete activities. Accordingly, the United States will support only those organizations' budgets that exhibit significant restraint. The United States believes that organizations should adopt budget policies that provide no net program growth and that show significant absorption of nondiscretionary cost increases. The $83 million increase in budget authority for 1984 over 1983 largely reflects the completion of a phased shift in the timing of appropriations for U.S. assessments for several organizations to a year later than previous practice. Foreign information and exchange activities.—These programs increase understanding of the United States and its policies by foreign governments and their peoples. For 1984, budget authority of $832 million is proposed, and outlays are estimated at $828 million, which represent increases of $108 million and $124 million, respectively, over 1983 levels. Beginning in 1983, the U.S. Information Agency (USIA) will start a major, multiyear expansion and modernization of Voice of America transmitting facilities. Necessary development and engineering work will require $37 million of budget authority for 1983 and $48 million for 1984. Also, USIA will undertake in 1983 a major new effort to foster the development of democratic values and institutions abroad as the President announced in his June 8, 1982, speech to members of Parliament in London. A supplemental appropriation of $20 million for 1983 and a budget request of $65 million for 1984 will be largely devoted to aiding American nonprofit institutions to develop mutual contacts with counterpart foreign institutions. Of the $116 million of budget authority requested in 1984 for the Board for International Broadcasting, $105 million will maintain and expand the programming and technical capabilities of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (RFE/RL) and $10 million will operate Radio Marti, an effort to provide the Cuban people with accurate information about Cuban developments at home and abroad. A supplemental appropriation of $30 million is proposed to improve RFE/RL and to establish Radio Marti in 1983. International financial programs.—To support the stable expansion of the international economy, the United States is active in programs to improve the functioning of the international financial system and to facilitate U.S. participation in world trade. For 1984, budget authority is estimated to be $4.5 billion and estimated outlays are $1.4 billion. 5-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Export-Import Bank.—The Bank provides direct loans, loan guarantees, and insurance to facilitate the export of U.S. goods and services. New direct loan obligations are proposed to be $3.8 billion for 1984 and proposed commitments for guarantee and insurance programs are $10.0 billion. The President will seek a supplemental authorization for direct loan obligations of up to $2.67 billion for 1984 if necessary to meet subsidized foreign officially supported competition. The Bank will support export financing on a substantial scale and provide support and leadership in the effort to negotiate improved international export credit restraint agreements. The administration has already achieved significant progress in such agreements, which have reduced the subsidies previously provided by governments in their export financing. The United States will press for further progress. Special defense acquisition fund.—This fund finances the procurement of military equipment in advance of specific orders by foreign governments. As a result, equipment on order for U.S. military uses need not be diverted to meet pressing needs of developing countries. Receipts are expected to exceed outlays by $147 million in 1984. Foreign military sales trust fund.—Most sales of military equipment and services to foreign governments are made by the Federal Government. Resources in this trust fund come from payments by foreign governments that have purchased military goods and services from the United States. Outlays occur when payments are made to suppliers. The total estimated outlays of $400 million for 1984 are the net result of all transactions. Other.—The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is responsible for promoting a smoothly functioning international monetary system. Negotiations are expected to be completed in 1983 on an increase in the resources of the IMF, including an expansion of members* quota subscriptions and enlargement of the General Arrangements to Borrow (GAB). The discussions are focusing on a new overall quota total in a range equivalent to $93-$100 billion and an expansion of the GAB to $19 billion. Authority and appropriations for the United States share of the increase in resources will be sought following completion of the negotiations. Tax expenditures.—A tax expenditure results from the deferral of taxes on a portion of the profits derived from the incremental export sales of domestic international sales corporations (DISCs) and from the exclusion of earned income and excess housing costs by Americans living and working abroad. The estimate for tax expenditures resulting from DISCs is $2.0 billion in 1984, while the 5-25 INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS CREDIT PROGRAMS—INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS (In millions of dollars) Direct loans: Foreign military sales credit: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Foreign military sales credit (loans made by FFB): New obligations 1 Net outlays Outstandings Economic support fund: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Bilateral development credit: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Bilateral development credit (loans held by FFB): 2 Net outlays Outstandings Public Law 480 food aid: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Export-Import Bank: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Other international assistance: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Total, direct loans: New obligations.. Net outlays Outstandings Guaranteed loans: Foreign military sales credit: Net change Outstandings Bilateral development credit: New commitments Net change Outstandings Export-Import Bank: New commitments Net change Outstandings Total, guaranteed loans: New commitments Net change Outstandings Total credit budget (new obligations and new commitments). Estimate Actual 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 -116 310 1,175 -96 214 1,000 -74 141 1,000 -62 78 1,000 -30 48 3,084 4,163 4,436 4,436 4,436 2,288 2,848 4,187 3,495 3,436 11,436 14,284 18,471 21,965 25,401 366 652 5,204 481 416 5,620 468 420 6,040 718 724 6,764 718 718 7,482 435 412 416 406 406 66 64 -116 -108 100 12,010 12,076 12,140 12,024 11,916 -5 23 -5 18 777 590 8,307 750 531 8,839 -6 12 -5 7 -5 2 768 768 768 548 768 768 9,387 10,155 10,923 3,516 3,830 3,830 3,830 3,830 574 915 1,216 757 763 16,565 17,480 18,696 19,453 20,027 1 96 437 1 126 563 1 160 723 1 184 907 1 202 1,109 8,959 4,367 54,294 10,835 4,800 59,094 10,915 6,516 65,610 11,158 5,744 71,354 11,158 5,555 76,909 -20 257 -20 237 -20 217 217 -1 216 221 169 1,104 270 257 1,362 300 299 1,660 314 386 2,047 321 312 2,359 5,832 -914 6,069 8,000 490 6,559 10,000 510 7,069 10,000 320 7,389 10,000 190 7,579 6,052 -766 7,431 8,270 727 8,158 10,300 789 8,947 10,314 706 9,653 10,321 501 10,155 15,011 19,105 21,215 21,472 21,479 'These are obligations made by the agency to guarantee loans that the FFB will disburse. In effect, they are obligations for off-budget direct loans, and are counted as such in the credit budget. Policy responsibility for these loans rests with the guaranteeing agency. The totals for foreign military sales credit loans made by FFB in this table are not identical to the entries in the addendum to the National Needs table for off-budget Federal entities due to timing differences between budget authority and new obligations. 2 The direct lending activities of the Overseas Private Investments Corporation are financed by the FFB. Loan assets are issued by the agency. According to law, these assets are backed by loans that the agency continues to service. The agency guarantees the loan assets sells them to the FFB, ana repurchases them upon maturity. FFB net outlays for this account represent acquisition of loan assets less repurchases by the agency. Increases in the volume of sales of loan assets are added to the FFB direct loan outstandings, while the agency's direct loan outstandings decrease by the amount of loan assets sold to the FFB. 5-26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 estimate resulting from Americans living abroad is $2.2 billion. Estimated tax expenditures for international affairs total $4.2 billion in 1984. Credit programs.—The total volume of new direct loan obligations and new guaranteed loan commitments, which were discussed above, are shown in the accompanying table. As the table shows, the total credit budget is proposed to increase in this function by $2.1 billion between 1983 and 1984, primarily due to increases in loan guarantee commitments by the Export-Import Bank. GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY 5-27 GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY National Needs Statement Federal support for general science and space programs is necessary to ensure the long-term scientific and technological strength of the Nation. The continued growth of scientific knowledge, the development of new technology, and the training of future scientists and engineers are critically important to sustained economic growth, enhanced national security, and an improved quality of life. Most of the Federal support for science and technology is provided through research and development programs, included in other budget functions, which serve specific missions such as defense, environmental regulation, energy, and agriculture. In contrast, the programs in this function have the broad goal of helping to ensure U.S. leadership in science and space technology. Included are the programs of the National Science Foundation (NSF) and the space programs of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). Also included are the energy-related general science programs currently supported by the Department of Energy. These latter programs, along with other programs of the Department, will be proposed for reassignment to appropriate executive departments and agencies. Proposed budget authority for the programs in this function is $8.5 billion in 1984, an increase of 7% over 1983. Common to the programs in this function is the support of basic research, accounting for more than one-third of the total Federal funding for such research. While departments and agencies in other functions, such as the Department of Agriculture and the National Institutes of Health, provide the major share of support for basic research in the agricultural and life sciences, the programs in this function are the primary source of funding for research in the physical sciences and engineering. In 1984 basic research under this function will increase by more than 16%, a somewhat higher rate than for overall Federal support of basic research. This reflects an emphasis on research having the potential to contribute to the long-term competitiveness of U.S. high technology dependent industries. General science and basic research.—The programs of the Nation- al Science Foundation and the energy-related general science programs in high energy and nuclear physics comprise this part of the 5-28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 function. Budget authority of $1.9 billion is proposed for these programs in 1984, a 19% increase over 1983. NATIONAL NEED: INCREASING BASIC SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE AND USE OF SPACE (Functional code 250; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 1,006 529 1,099 535 1,297 645 1,297 759 1,297 744 1,535 1,635 1,943 2,057 2,042 3,601 1,392 544 4,109 1,568 610 4,049 1,638 830 3,699 1,819 836 3,058 1,828 816 5,537 6,287 6,517 6,354 5,702 BUDGET AUTHORITY General science and basic research: National Science Foundation programs Energy-related general science programs Subtotal, general science and basic research Space research and technology: Space flight Space science applications, and technology Supporting space activities Subtotal, space research and technology Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority -10 -9 -9 -9 -9 7,063 7,912 8,451 8,403 7,735 1,099 507 1,066 547 1,231 634 1,320 733 1,339 717 1,607 1,613 1,865 2,053 2,056 3,543 1,457 473 4,034 1,517 604 4,028 1,601 766 3,762 1,768 826 3,193 1,808 822 5,473 6,155 6,395 6,356 5,823 -10 -9 -9 -9 -9 7,070 7,759 8,250 8,401 7,871 146 120 205 175 37 140 -90 -91 OUTLAYS General science and basic research: National Science Foundation programs Energy-related general science programs Subtotal, general science and basic research Space research and technology: Space flight Space science, applications and technology Supporting space activities Subtotal, space research and technology Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Supporting space activities: Budget authority Outlays National Science Foundation programs.—The principal mission of NSF is to support basic research in all science and engineering fields. The Foundation's programs are particularly important because they complement the support of basic research by agencies in other functions, such as the Department of Defense and the National Institutes of Health, and help to ensure balanced support for such research across the major scientific disciplines. GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY 5-29 The 1984 budget includes $1.3 billion in proposed budget authority for NSF, 18% above 1983. This increase will enhance the support of basic research in all disciplines, particularly in the physical sciences and engineering, at academic institutions. Such investments will help to ensure adequate numbers of high-quality scientists and engineers who are essential to continued U.S. leadership, particularly in defense and in high technology dependent industries. The proposed increase places special emphasis on upgrading research instrumentation at universities to ensure that research will be of the highest quality and that future scientists and engineers will be trained using the latest equipment. The budget also includes funds for joint efforts with State and local governments and the private sector to improve the teaching of science and mathematics in the Nation's secondary schools. Additional initiatives to alleviate the shortage of qualified mathematics and science teachers are included in the Education, Training, Employment, and Social Services function. In addition, an increase is provided for the U.S. Antarctic program, managed by NSF, to support basic research and to maintain an active and influential scientific presence in that region. Energy-related general science programs.—Budget authority of $0.6 billion is requested for support of basic research in high energy and nuclear physics in 1984, $0.1 billion above 1983. The goal of the high energy and nuclear physics programs is to achieve a comprehensive understanding of the basic constituents of matter and energy and the forces that govern their interaction. The increase provides for greater use of existing accelerators, for continued research on improved particle detector components and concepts, and for upgrading accelerator facilities at the University of Washington and Yale University. It also provides funds to initiate construction of the Stanford Linear Collider, scheduled for completion by 1987. This accelerator will demonstrate the feasibility of new techniques for very high energy electron-positron collisions. Funds are also provided to continue construction of the Tevatron I and II projects at Fermilab that will extend the energy range of proton-antiproton collision research. Space research and technology.—This part of the function covers the space-related activities of NASA. The administration is committed to making the Space Shuttle fully operational and cost effective in providing routine access to space. In addition, a vigorous program of space science, applications, and technology development is planned. Budget authority of $6.5 billion is proposed for these programs in 1984, a 4% increase over 1983. 380-000 0 - 83 - 10 : QL 3 5-30 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Space flight—The space flight programs of NASA are intended to help sustain and improve the Nation's ability to supply space transportation services. These programs include the development, production, and operation of the four orbiter Space Shuttle fleet; research activities using the Shuttle-borne Spacelab; development and procurement of the upper stage vehicles to carry Shuttlelaunched payloads into high-Earth orbit; and cooperative projects with other nations. Space Shuttle operations began in November 1982 with the launch of two commercial spacecraft. Depending on demand, as many as nine Shuttle flights are planned in 1984. Budget authority of $4.0 billion is proposed for the space flight program in 1984. New activities for 1984 include the expanded purchase of additional support equipment and spare orbiter structural components to help ensure the reliable and cost-effective operation of the currently planned four orbiter fleet. These new activities are made possible by decreased costs for ongoing projects and increased revenues from Shuttle flights. Space science, applications, and technology.—This category includes support for studies of the solar system and the universe; studies in remote sensing of the Earth's resources and environment; development of advanced satellite communications technology; and research on materials processing in space. Budget authority of $1.6 billion is proposed for 1984, a 4% increase over 1983. In space science, funds are proposed to initiate the Venus radar mapper project, scheduled for a 1988 launch. The cloud-penetrating radar of the Venus mapper spacecraft will enable us to map the planet, improving our understanding of its evolution and, consequently, that of the Earth and the solar system. A new Explorerclass satellite project will also be initiated which will enhance research in ultraviolet astronomy. Continued development of major ongoing projects is also planned. The space telescope program will place an optical telescope in orbit around the Earth in 1985, allowing the observation of distant objects unobstructed by the Earth's atmosphere and clouds. The Gamma Ray Observatory, scheduled to be launched in late 1988, will allow the investigation of objects and phenomena in deep space through study of the gamma ray region of the electromagnetic spectrum. The Galileo project, scheduled to be launched in 1986, will explore Jupiter and its moons. Funds are also included to support research and analytical activities, including the collection and analysis of data from the Voyager spacecraft now on its way to Uranus. Within space applications, planned activities will focus on space technology to study the Earth, the oceans, and the atmosphere; satellite communications technology; and research on materials 5-31 GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY processing in space. The 1984 program will continue development of ongoing major projects, including the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) satellite and the Advanced Communications Technology Satellite (ACTS). The ERBE satellite will be launched by the Shuttle in 1984. The program is designed to provide global measurements of the level of solar and cosmic radiation absorbed by the Earth, and map levels of ozone and other aerosols in the stratosphere. Such observations will help improve our understanding of the factors that determine the Earth's climate. The ACTS mission will be a cooperative project between Government and industry to advance satellite communications technology for use later in the decade. Basic space research and technology programs are broadly applicable to all major space activities. Proposed funding in 1984 will ensure a sound scientific foundation for the space program through strong support in areas such as propulsion, electronics, and materials. Supporting space activities.—Budget authority of $0.8 billion is proposed for spacecraft tracking, data gathering, and processing support for the entire space program, an increase of 36% over 1983. Nearly all the increase is for the lease of the new Tracking and Data Relay Satellite System (TDRSS), including revised leasing arrangements that will permit more flexibility and control over its operation. The TDRSS will provide expanded capability to communicate with the Space Shuttle and other spacecraft, and is expected to replace much of the existing worldwide network of ground tracking stations. Credit programs.—The credit table reflects the current and proposed 1984 levels for direct loans made by the Federal Financing Bank for the construction and acquisition of the TDRSS. Additional loans in 1984 for this system are expected to be $37 million. CREDIT PROGRAMS—GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE AND TECHNOLOGY (In millions of dollars Actual 1982 Direct loans: NASA satellite leases (loans made by FFB): New obligations1 Net outlays Outstandings Total credit budget (new obligations) Estimate 1983 1984 146 120 758 205 175 933 37 -140 793 146 205 37 1985 -90 703 1986 91 612 'These are commitments made by the agency to guarantee loans that the FFB will disburse. In effect, they are commitments for off-budget direct loans, and are counted as such in the credit budget. Policy responsibility for these loans rests with the guaranteeing agency. 5-32 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Tax expenditures.—In addition to direct Federal funding of basic research, the tax code encourages private sector research and development, including basic research, by allowing expenditures for such purposes to be deducted as a current expense. The 1984 estimate for this provision is —$1.1 billion. The "negative" tax expenditure is a short-term accounting anomaly that results from the way tax expenditures are calculated. It is expected to turn positive in 1988. A 25% tax credit is also available to encourage certain basic research and development expenditures; the estimate for this tax credit is $1.2 billion in 1984. Tax expenditures for general science, space, and technology are estimated to total $120 million in 1984. ENERGY 5-33 ENERGY National Needs Statement The Nation needs to let market forces work to encourage efficient energy production and use. The Federal Government should limit its role to such responsibilities as support for longterm research and the strategic petroleum reserve. The main responsibility of the Federal Government with respect to energy is to establish and maintain sound, stable public policies based on economic principles that encourage economically efficient energy production and use. This strategy recognizes that the private sector makes most of the key decisions about using and producing energy in this country. Thus it emphasizes the importance of letting market forces work to ensure that these decisions are made in a productive and efficient way. A productive approach to energy does not require massive Federal spending. The Federal Government has limited, but important, responsibilities in energy and this budget focuses on meeting those responsibilities. These include adopting and enforcing sensible and effective nuclear safety regulations; providing for a strategic petroleum reserve; continuing current energy production activities; and supporting long-term research and development. The budget proposes $2.9 billion in budget authority in 1984 for programs included in this function, a 23% reduction from 1983 levels. The reduction results largely from removing the Federal Government from activities, especially in technology development and demonstration, that are better undertaken and financed by the private sector. Outlays are estimated to be $3.3 billion in 1984, a 27% reduction from 1983 levels. Off-budget outlays, including oil for the strategic petroleum reserve, are expected to be $7.1 billion in 1984. In 1983, Federal energy activities currently performed by the Department of Energy will be proposed for reassignment to appropriate executive departments and agencies. Enabling legislation will be proposed to the Congress to carry out these changes. Energy supply.—Included in this category are the Federal Government's activities in energy supply research and development, direct energy production programs, and incentives for industry investment in synthetic fuels production. 5-34 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL NEED: ENERGY (Functional code 270; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Energy supply: Research and development Direct production (net): Uranium enrichment Petroleum reserves Power marketing 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 2,069 2,277 2,400 84 -1,045 -1,447 -1,020 279 942 1,265 932 862 -926 775 2,764 2,573 2,083 2,391 1,992 2,206 2,249 Energy conservation 168 288 74 70 67 Emergency energy preparedness 191 242 159 177 145 Energy information, policy, and regulation 889 882 725 724 714 -71 -78 -81 -81 -81 3,261 3,725 2,869 3,097 3,094 Subtotal, energy supply Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority A key aspect of Federal spending for energy research and development is the support of long-term, generic research to provide a scientific base for the development of future energy technologies by the private sector. Support is also included in the budget for the continued development and demonstration of selected high-risk, but potentially high-payoff energy technologies, such as fusion power, which the private sector is not able to invest in significantly. Estimated outlays for energy supply research and development decrease from $3.0 billion in 1983 to $2.4 billion in 1984, the net result of increases in basic energy research and decreases in shortterm research and development and in demonstration programs. An important element of the Federal energy research program is support for basic energy sciences. The 1984 budget includes $0.3 billion in outlays for this purpose, an increase of more than 20% over the 1983 level. This program helps fund research at major universities and national laboratories in the physical sciences, engineering, and in the geosciences. Such research forms the essential base of knowledge needed for tomorrow's development of a wide spectrum of energy technologies. Outlays for fossil, solar, geothermal and other non-nuclear technology programs are expected to decrease from $1.2 billion in 1983 to $0.9 billion in 1984. This decrease reflects the continued phasedown in Federal spending on technology demonstration activities that can be financed and managed more appropriately and effectively by private industry. In fossil energy, the budget includes an estimated $0.3 billion in outlays for continued research to strengthen the technical base and to support small-scale development of 5-35 ENERGY NATIONAL NEED: ENERGY—Continued (Functional code 270; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs OUTLAYS Energy supply: Research and development 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 3,295 2,953 2,409 2,368 2,408 -473 -951 1,227 52 32 -1,383 1,101 50 40 -1,017 590 69 -964 305 25 60 -928 419 27 3,150 2,752 2,090 1,734 1,986 Energy conservation.. 518 670 343 104 68 Emergency energy preparedness 191 284 228 176 140 878 726 724 714 -71 -78 -81 -81 -81 4,674 4,506 3,306 2,657 2,827 12 27 67 96 236 3,684 3,687 2,074 1,771 583 1,866 1,388 1,392 1,465 1,420 4,608 4,467 5,918 5,910 5,075 5,056 5,216 5,182 4,494 4,446 4,513 336 5,412 193 6,258 181 6,790 116 7,217 86 -10 -10 13,489 6,679 13,413 5,943 Direct production (net): Uranium enrichment Petroleum reserves Power marketing Subsidies for non-conventional fuel production. Subtotal, energy supply Energy information, policy, and regulation. Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entities: Synthetic Fuels Corporation: Budget authority Outlays Strategic Petroleum Reserve: Budget authority Outlays Federal Financing Bank: Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund: Budget authority Outlays Tennessee Valley Authority (power program): Budget authority Outlays Alternative fuels production-. Budget authority Outlays Other energy: Budget authority Outlays Total: Budget authority Outlays 842 340 20 18 13,681 8,847 13,433 7,874 11,983 7,103 advanced technologies for extracting and using fossil fuels. The budget also includes an estimated $0.2 billion of outlays for solar research and development, including continued work on such longterm programs as photovoltaics research. It also provides in 1984 a proposed budget authority increase of 18% over 1983 for acid rain research to fill the major gaps in basic scientific information on this issue. The continued acceleration of this program should begin to provide reliable results as early as 1985. 5-36 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Outlays for research and development related to nuclear energy are estimated to be $1.4 billion in 1984. The two major programs included in these totals are magnetic fusion and breeder technology research. Both of these promising technologies are still at a stage where only limited industry investment can be expected. Outlays for magnetic fusion are estimated to be $0.5 billion in 1984, approximately equal to the 1983 level. Outlays for the total breeder reactor program are estimated to be $0.7 billion in 1984, nearly the same amount as in 1983, including $0.3 billion in 1984 for the Clinch River breeder reactor demonstration. The budget also includes an estimated $0.3 billion in outlays in 1984 for work on the permanent disposal of commercial nuclear waste. This program will be financed by a fee on utilities. It is designed to end the taxpayer subsidy of nuclear waste disposal and to help eliminate such disposal as a constraint on the industry's development. The Federal Government's direct production activities include enriching uranium for commercial nuclear power plants and for defense programs; producing oil and gas at the naval petroleum reserves; and generating and transmitting electric power. The uranium enrichment program is expected to realize sales receipts of $2.2 billion in 1984. These receipts are estimated to almost match 1984 spending for the uranium enrichment operation. Sales receipts for oil and gas produced at the naval petroleum reserves in California and Wyoming are estimated to be $1.6 billion in 1984, $1.0 billion more than the outlays associated with this program. The Tennessee Valley Authority and the five power marketing administrations will continue their basic mission of selling wholesale electricity generated principally by Federal hydroelectric projects throughout the Nation. In addition, both TV A and the Bonneville Power Administration will continue to meet their mandatory responsibility to ensure that the electric power needs of their regions are met through electrical generation and conservation programs. In 1984, net outlays for the Tennessee Valley Authority power program are estimated to be $0.9 billion, while net receipts for the five power marketing administrations are estimated at $0.3 billion. Reductions in outlays for these programs in 1984 from 1983 levels are due primarily to changed construction schedules for major electric power facilities. The Synthetic Fuels Corporation provides subsidies for synthetic and other nonconventional fuel production, including price, purchase and loan guarantees, intended to accelerate the development of commercial-scale synthetic fuel plants. The Corporation plans to issue loan and price guarantees totaling $6.0 billion in 1983 and ENERGY 5-37 $7.2 billion in 1984. The immediate budget impact of this activity is expected to be $50 million in outlays in 1983 and $69 million in 1984. Depending on such factors as conditions in the world oil market and the precise terms of the subsidies agreed to, outlays resulting from this activity may increase significantly, up to the full amount of the loan and price guarantees. Energy conservation.—The most effective way to promote the efficient use of energy and other resources is to let market forces work. This is demonstrated by the fact that the U.S. economy today is using 18% less energy to produce a dollar's worth of output than it did in 1973 when energy prices first began to rise. There is an appropriate, but limited, Federal role in energy conservation in the support of long-range research and development. This includes research to improve the efficient use of energy in industrial processes, buildings, and transportation, to complement the work done in these areas by private industry. Outlays in the 1984 budget are estimated to be $146 million for these activities. In addition, outlays of $197 million are estimated in 1984 from spending the balances in several State and local energy conservation grant programs being proposed for elimination. The needs of low-income households in adjusting to higher energy prices can be met through other programs such as the low-income home energy assistance program in the Department of Health and Human Services. Emergency energy preparedness.— Administration policy is to rely on market forces, rather than Government allocation and price controls, to deal with possible oil supply disruptions. The country has tried Government allocation of fuel during supply disruptions, but that option failed miserably and simply led to long and needless gasoline lines. The market approach has been tested during past disruptions in other countries, and it has worked reasonably well. The Government, however, can augment the market by developing a strategic petroleum reserve for use during severe disruptions. The strategic petroleum reserve will contain 357 million barrels by the end of 1983 and thus provide protection against a wide range of supply disruptions. Having achieved this level of protection, the administration plans to fill the reserve in 1984 at a rate of 145,000 barrel per day—an ambitious, but more modest rate than in 1983. Off-budget outlays for oil acquisition are estimated at $1.9 billion in 1984. The revised development schedule will result in 410 million barrels in storage by the end of 1984. Outlays for further construction of storage facilities, which are included in the budget totals, are estimated to be $284 million in 1983 and $228 million in 1984. 5-38 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Energy information, policy, and regulation.—Outlays for energy information, policy analysis and regulation are expected to decrease from $0.9 billion in 1983 to $0.7 billion in 1984, reflecting less need for Federal involvement in energy markets. Within this total, estimated outlays of $0.5 billion for 1984 are included to support the Nuclear Regulatory Commission's efforts to regulate the nuclear power industry effectively and efficiently. The balance covers programs now under the Department of Energy, including the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. The budget provides approximately $0.3 billion in 1984, down from $0.4 billion in 1983, for continuation of regulatory and energy information activities, along with funds for overall agency management. Credit programs.—The accompanying table summarizes Federal credit activities in the energy function. Total credit budget activity in this function decreases by $1.0 billion between 1983 and 1984 primarily due to proposed policy reductions in the programs of the Rural Electrification Administration (REA) which are described below. The Federal Financing Bank (FFB) finances a substantial amount of credit activity in this function as off-budget direct loans. The FFB will provide continued support to the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), REA, and other programs in 1984. TVA is a Government-owned corporation that leases nuclear fuel from the Seven States Energy Corporation. The Corporation borrows from the FFB to finance its purchases, with TVA as the guarantor through long-term contractual agreements. The administration proposes that $5.4 billion in 1983 and $6.3 billion in 1984 in direct loans will be financed through the FFB. Limitations will be proposed for REA direct loan obligations and new guaranteed loan commitments for 1984 as part of the administration's Federal credit budget. REA provides loans directly to eligible rural electric and telephone systems for expansion and maintenance of operations. REA also guarantees loans which are made by the FFB and private lenders for eligible rural electric power suppliers and eligible telephone systems. Tax expenditures.—Ho encourage energy exploration and production, the tax code permits certain capital costs to be deducted as current expenses rather than amortized over the useful life of the property. In addition, extractive industries are generally permitted to use percentage depletion rather than cost depletion. The estimates of expensing exploration and development costs and the use of percentage depletion are $1.8 billion and $3.0 billion, respectively, in 1984. A variety of residential tax incentives stimulate energy conservation and encourage conversion to energy sources other than oil or natural gas. The estimates for these residential energy provisions 5-39 ENERGY CREDIT PROGRAMS—ENERGY (In millions of dollars) Actual 1982 Estimate 1983 1984 1985 1986 Direct loans: Alternative fuels production (loans made by the FFB): 1 Net outlays 340 340 Outstandings 340 340 340 340 Geothermal and other: 4 New obligations 40 44 40 46 4 Net outlays 39 42 38 43 13 53 132 Outstandings 90 175 Geothermal and other (loans made by the FFB). 1 Net outlays 18 -10 -10 37 27 17 Outstandings 37 37 Tennessee Valley Authority: 134 76 89 New obligations 99 123 68 56 Net outlays 62 55 35 Outstandings 263 319 437 471 375 Tennessee Valley Authority (loans made by the FFB): New obligations l 4,513 5,412 6,258 6,790 7,217 Net outlays 193 336 181 116 86 Outstandings 1,258 1,451 1,632 1,749 1,835 Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund: New obligations 2 1,099 1,101 575 575 575 Net outlays 88 130 59 -106 -204 Outstandings 9,774 9,861 9,920 9,814 9,611 Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund (loans held by FFB): 2 480 528 565 465 Net outlays 3,124 3,689 4,154 4,634 5,122 Outstandings Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund (loans made by the FFB):* 4,712 4,645 3,260 3,260 3,260 New obligations 3,939 5,345 4,591 4,702 3,958 Net outlays 16,282 21,627 26,217 30,924 34,882 Outstandings Total, direct loans: New obligations.. 10,405 11,287 10,232 10,803 11,221 Net outlays 5,363 6,287 5,389 5,285 4,397 Outstandings 31,090 37,377 42,766 48,056 52,453 Guaranteed loans: Alternative fuels production: Net change Outstandings Biomass energy development: New commitments Net change Outstandings 447 1,680 Geothermal and other: New commitments.. Net change Outstandings Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund: New commitments Net change Outstandings 400 115 720 1,680 1,680 1,680 1,680 686 686 686 686 686 153 54 153 172 272 425 27 452 25 477 100 99 819 100 99 918 100 -360 552 100 553 5-40 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 CREDIT PROGRAMS—ENERGY—Continued (In millions of dollars) Total, guaranteed loans.New commitments Net change Outstandings Total credit budget (new obligations and new commitments) Estimate Actual 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 400 539 2,499 253 839 3,338 272 371 3,709 100 -333 3,370 100 25 3,396 10,806 11,541 10,504 10,903 11,321 *$500,000 or less. 1 These are commitments made by the agency to guarantee loans that the FFB will disburse. In effect, they are commitments for off-budget direct loans, and are counted as such in the credit budget. Policy responsibility for these loans rests with the guaranteeing agency. 2 The direct lending activities of the Rural Electrification Administration are financed by the Federal Financing Bank (FFB). Certificates of beneficial ownership (CBO's) are issued by the REA. According to law, these certificates are backed by loans that the agency continues to service. REA guarantees the CBO's, sells them to the FFB, and repurchases them upon maturity. FFB net outlays for REA represent acquisition of CBO's less repurchases by REA. Increases in the volume of sales of CBO's are added to FFB direct loan outstandings, while the REA direct loan outstandings decrease by the amount of CBO's sold to the FFB. are $690 million and $390 million, respectively, in 1984. Business investments in specified energy property are also eligible for special tax credits, in addition to the normally available investment tax credit. The estimates for these alternative, conservation and new technology credits are $355 million in 1984. Tax expenditures for energy exploration, production and conservation total $4.2 billion in 1984. NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT 5-41 NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT National Needs Statement The Federal Government ensures responsible management and conservation of natural resources held in common—air, water, and public lands. Natural resources and environment programs manage public lands and resources for their preservation, conservation, and economic development; work with State governments to ensure a clean environment; and encourage increased knowledge and understanding of the environment. Pollution control and abatement—Efforts to control pollution of air, water, and land are carried out through direct Federal programs and through financial assistance to State and local governments. Regulatory, enforcement and research programs.—Proposed budget authority in 1984 for the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) non-energy related operating programs is $929 million. This funding level reflects EPA's continued emphasis on increasing management efficiencies and accelerating delegation of environmental programs to the States. A new user fee program for ocean dumping activities will be initiated in 1984. Research will be focused on problems that must be resolved to develop regulations within statutory deadlines, and on projects of significant environmental concern. The Government-wide acid rain research effort will be further accelerated by increasing budget authority by 18% to $28 million in 1984. Hazardous substance response fund.—The hazardous substance response trust fund provides money for cleaning up abandoned hazardous waste sites and for responding to hazardous chemical spills. Budget authority for this program in 1984 will increase 43% over 1983, reflecting EPA's progress in implementing the "superfund" program. Sewage treatment plant grants.—The $300 million decrease in outlays from 1983 to 1984 reflects completion of expenditures from grants approved before 1982. The budget proposes $2.4 billion in budget authority in recognition of the 1982 enactment of program reforms that will concentrate funds on solving currently existing pollution problems. Because of the high degree of expertise attained in this field by State and local governments and the extent 5-42 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 to which authority has already been delegated to them, this program is included in the new federalism initiative. NATIONAL NEED: USING AND PRESERVING NATURAL RESOURCES AND PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT (Functional code 300; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY Pollution control and abatement: Regulatory, enforcement and research programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Hazardous substance response fund Oil pollution fund Sewage treatment plant construction grants Subtotal, pollution control and abatement.... Water resources: Construction, operations, and maintenance, etc.. Proposed legislation (navigation user fees) Subtotal, water resources Conservation and land management: Management of national forests, cooperative forestry and forestry research Management of public lands Mining reclamation and enforcement Conservation of agricultural lands Other Offsetting receipts: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, conservation and land management.. Recreational resources: Federal land acquisition 1 Urban park and historic preservation funds Operation of recreational resources: Existing law Proposed legislation (user fees) Subtotal, recreational resources Other natural resources Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority 1 1,045 1,019 188 12 2,400 201 3 2,430 929 13 287 3 2,400 930 13 331 3 2,400 930 13 351 3 2,400 3,645 3,653 3,631 3,676 3r696 3,998 3,957 3,689 -438 3,944 -461 4,131 -544 3,998 3,957 3,251 3,483 3,587 1,723 506 174 570 101 1,990 466 222 589 315 1,587 431 282 413 255 1,724 447 298 413 262 1,773 455 329 413 270 -510 -735 -914 -25 -951 -25 -1,045 -25 2,565 2,848 2,028 2,169 2,170 176 33 257 26 65 68 70 1,052 1,122 1,150 -13 1,201 -12 1,240 -10 1,262 1,405 1,202 1,257 1,301 1,590 1,503 -1,860 -2,131 1,380 -2,586 1,425 -3,060 1,454 -3,504 11,234 8,906 8,950 8,703 11,199 Includes budget authority from State outdoor recreation grants financed by the land and water conservation fund. 5-43 NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT NATIONAL NEED: USING AND PRESERVING NATURAL RESOURCES AND PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT—Continued (Functional code 300; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 1986 estimate estimate 1,172 1,059 77 7 3,756 168 3 3,100 1,003 6 246 3 2,800 963 9 319 3 2,700 936 11 357 3 2,525 5,012 4,330 4,058 3,994 3,832 4,032 3,955 3,743 -438 3,942 -461 4,126 -544 4,032 3,955 3,305 3,481 3,582 1,932 467 119 576 163 1,936 449 141 591 303 1,653 411 180 564 284 1,744 426 211 443 280 1,758 433 232 434 276 -510 -735 -914 -25 -951 -25 -1,045 -25 2,746 2,685 2,153 2,127 2,063 349 69 384 61 287 44 158 21 97 2 1,059 1,231 1,141 -13 1,196 -12 1,230 -10 1,477 1,677 1,459 1,362 1,319 1,526 1,572 1,442 1,444 1,447 OUTLAYS Pollution control and abatement: Regulatory, enforcement and research programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Hazardous substance response fund Oil pollution fund Sewage treatment plant construction grants Subtotal, pollution control and abatement.... Water resources: Construction, operations, and maintenance, etc.. Proposed legislation (navigation user fees) Subtotal, water resources Conservation and land management: Management of national forests, cooperative forestry and forestry research Management of public lands Mining reclamation and enforcement Conservation of agricultural lands Other Offsetting receipts: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, conservation and land management.. Recreational resources: Federal land acquisition 1 Urban park and historic preservation funds.. Operation of recreational resources: Existing law Proposed legislation (user fees) Subtotal, recreational resources Other natural resources Deductions for offsetting receipts. Total, outlays 1 -1,860 -2,131 12,934 12,087 -2,586 -3,060 -3,504 9,832 9,348 8,739 Includes outlays from State outdoor recreation grants financed by the land and water conservation fund. Water resources.—Most of the funds for water resources are for continued construction of projects started in previous years. Despite the reduction in 1984 of $275 million in outlays for Army Corps of Engineers construction, practically all ongoing projects will continue on schedule. The budget reflects the fact that many projects are nearing completion. Five new construction starts are included in the budget of the Corps of Engineers. First-year outlays for these projects are $8 5-44 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 million and total Federal cost will be $88 million. A substantial portion of the cost of each new project will be borne by non-Federal project sponsors. Construction outlays of $695 million for the Bureau of Reclamation represent a 20% increase over the 1983 estimate, mainly due to outlays for contracts made in previous years. The budget includes increased receipts from three user fee proposals. The administration will submit legislation to recover capital and operating expenses of deep draft and inland waterway projects, and to permit charging fees at Corps of Engineers recreation facilities. Conservation and land management—Changes in these programs reflect the administration's efforts to improve the management and productivity of the national forests and public lands, to streamline mineral leasing programs, and to place maximum responsibility with the States for coal surface mining regulatory and reclamation programs. Management of national forests, cooperative forestry, and forestry research.—Proposed budget authority in 1984 for direct management of national forests is $96 million less than in 1983, after adjusting for variations in funds for fighting forest fires, and for changes in financing due to initiation of the reforestation trust fund in 1983. The administration proposes to continue efforts to improve the productivity of national forest management by carefully controlling costs, adjusting management procedures, and paying close attention to benefit-cost relationships. Proposals are directed at producing timber, recreation, and other outputs at the lowest unit costs. Careful attention will be given to both market values of resources and non-market values, such as water quality, and their associated costs. Timber sales in 1984 of 11.6 billion board feet (BBF), together with the 37.9 BBF uncut volume under contract at the end of 1983, should be adequate to respond to anticipated substantial increases in housing construction by 1984 and subsequent years. The budget provides flexibility to further increase sales in future years if necessary through advance work on sale preparation and road construction. Within a 1984 forestry research level of $101 million of budget authority, efforts will continue to address high-priority projects while reducing Federal funding for research projects that directly support industry. Budget authority for cooperative forestry programs will be reduced to $25 million in 1984 from $63 million in 1983. Significant reform is proposed for these programs. General grants to States for NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT 5-45 fire protection and technical assistance in forest management will not be funded in 1984. Funding, however, will be retained to provide for national data collection, information dissemination, and limited but specialized technical assistance to States on national problems. Management of public lands,—These programs provide for administration of approximately 310 million surface acres of public lands for multiple use and about 370 million acres of federally owned subsurface mineral rights. Budget authority decreases in 1984 by $12 million for the administration of the Outer Continental Shelf oil and gas leasing program, due in part to simplified procedures. Leasing programs to develop tar sands and oil shale are underway. Streamlined leasing procedures allow about a $3 million reduction for coal leasing while completing five sales in 1984. Gross sales of unneeded public lands are estimated to yield about $300 million in 1984 (included in the undistributed offsetting receipts function). Proceeds will be dedicated to retiring part of the national debt. Mining reclamation and enforcement—The 1984 budget includes budget authority of $232 million for grants to States to regulate surface coal mining and reclaim abandoned mined lands. Budget authority for grants to States for reclamation of abandoned strip mined lands increases by $61 million in 1984, because all coal mining States will have met eligibility requirements to receive Federal grants and their reclamation programs will be fully implemented. Conservation of agricultural lands.—Budget authority for these programs declines 30% in 1984. Technical and financial assistance for soil and water conservation will concentrate on high priority soil and water resource problems. Major emphasis is given to a greater role for private landowners and State and local governments in establishing soil and water conservation practices on nonFederal lands. Recreational resources.—The administration's policy is to improve and maintain existing nationally significant recreation resources such as national parks and wildlife refuges, rather than expand the Federal estate. Grants to States for acquisition of local recreation lands and facilities and for historic preservation are not funded in 1984, given the relatively low necessity for recreation expenditures in a stringent budget year and the tax incentives now applicable to historic preservation. The administration again proposes to increase fees for recreational use of national parks, forests, and related facilities, so that 380-000 0 - 83 - 11 : QL 3 5-46 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 those who use them will pay more for their upkeep and maintenance than the general taxpayer who does not use them. Increased receipts for 1984 are estimated to be about $75 million. Federal land acquisition.—Federal agencies are budgeted to pay only for outstanding court awards for recreational land where the prior administration already had begun the purchase process. Operation of recreational resources.—An important administration initiative in the operation of recreational resources is a 5-year effort to improve maintenance and to ensure the quality and accessibility of the national parks to all Americans. The budget proposes $253 million in budget authority for construction and repair of the national park system, including $153 million for the administration's park restoration and improvement program in the Department of the Interior and $100 million for park road improvements in the new Federal lands highways program in the Department of Transportation. Total budget authority to operate and maintain the 333 parks, covering 74 million acres, of the National Park System is proposed at $595 million. The Fish and Wildlife Service requests $476 million in budget authority, including an increase of $17 million for the accelerated refuge maintenance and management program. Other natural resources.—These activities focus on understanding, conservation, and careful husbandry of the Earth's resources, structure, and environment through research and development and information dissemination programs. They comprise elements of the Geological Survey, the Bureau of Mines, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The decrease from 1982 is caused primarily by transfer of the Conservation Division from the Geological Survey to the new Minerals Management Service. For Geological Survey, 1984 budget authority will total $366 million. Bureau of Mines 1984 outlays of $133 million are less than prior years because of reductions in applied research and development which should be the responsibility of the mining industry. Funding for NOAA programs reflects a decrease of approximately 10% in budget authority from $939 million in 1983 to $834 million in 1984. Estimated outlays for 1984 are $979 million. This funding would maintain the priority life-safety resource management and development programs, and atmospheric and oceanic research and services. Offsetting receipts.—Offsetting receipts from all parts of the natural resources and environment function are expected to rise from $3.0 billion in 1983 to $4.2 billion in 1984. Receipts that offset the functional totals come mostly from rents and royalties from land 5-47 NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT and minerals and sales of timber, from fees for miscellaneous services, and from selling other products and publications. CREDIT PROGRAMS—NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT (In millions of dollars) Actual 1982 Direct loans: Water resources and other loan programs: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Total credit budget (new obligations) Estimate 1983 1984 1985 1986 25 19 351 35 25 376 40 31 407 32 23 430 29 18 448 25 35 40 32 29 Credit programs.—The credit budget in this function is proposed to increase by $5 million between 1983 and 1984 in programs operated by the Bureau of Reclamation and the National Park Service. These direct loans are made to non-Federal organizations for construction and rehabilitation of irrigation and municipal or industrial water systems, and for reconstruction of Wolf Trap Farm Park, Virginia. Tax expenditures.—As an incentive to encourage production, certain capital costs associated with exploration and development of nonfuel minerals may be expensed rather than depreciated over the life of the asset. In addition, most nonfuel-mineral extractors use percentage depletion, rather than cost depletion. Percentage depletion is more generous than cost depletion in that total deductions are not limited to the cost of the investment. The total estimates for these two provisions are $100 million and $690 million, respectively, in 1984. Interest on State and local government debt issued to finance the pollution control facilities of private firms is excluded from income subject to tax; the resulting estimate for 1984 is $1.2 billion. A special 25% tax credit is available for expenditures made to restore certain historic structures. The 1984 estimate of $385 million for this provision includes the remaining tax subsidies from special depreciation treatment available under prior law. Tax expenditures for natural resources and environment total $3.3 billion in 1984. 5-48 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 AGRICULTURE National Needs Statement Federal programs help meet domestic and international trade demands for food and fiber while mitigating the adverse effects of price fluctuations on farmers and moving toward a marketoriented farm economy. The administration's farm program for 1984 is a major departure from the types of price support and credit programs offered over the past several years. In the forefront of this new program is an innovation called "PIK"—payment-in-kind—in which farmers are provided commodities, instead of cash, in return for reducing production. This new program is designed to protect farmers' income while simultaneously reducing our excess inventories to correct the current supply/demand imbalance. PIK will be both less costly to the general taxpayer and less of a restriction on farm producers than any other course available. Highlights of the administration's new farm program are: • In return for reducing their production, farmers of wheat, feed grains, cotton, and rice would receive, at no cost to them, some of the surplus commodities now pledged as collateral for Federal loans or owned by the CCC. • Target prices for wheat, feed grains, cotton, and rice would remain at current levels rather than be increased annually as current law requires. This will reduce subsidy payments and be consistent with the budget strategy of freezing indexed entitlements. • Surplus commodities held by CCC would be made available for donation through international humanitarian organizations. • Honey and extra-long staple cotton price support programs would be changed in order to better achieve market clearing prices and reduce Federal costs. The first element above, PIK, is being implemented under current authorities. The remaining three elements are expected to be implemented after enactment of authorizing legislation. 5-49 AGRICULTURE NATIONAL NEED: IMPROVED AGRICULTURE (Functional code 350; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 16,063 425 639 17,858 -2,672 529 682 63 63 54 -2 54 -2 54 -2 17,191 16,460 11,839 8,193 6,646 657 316 708 329 706 287 706 287 706 287 118 125 128 -2 128 -2 128 -2 289 277 168 183 -87 204 -4 187 201 -95 204 _4 161 120 -74 234 -4 188 204 -95 187 201 -95 1,586 1,702 1,647 1,613 1,613 -14 -2 -2 -2 -2 18,763 18,160 13,484 9,804 8,257 11,652 18,859 12,394 13,700 13,400 -604 -3,139 -6,000 -6,800 310 400 439 444 732 781 868 802 1985 estimate 1986 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY Farm income stabilization: Commodity price support and related programs: Existing law Proposed policy and legislation Crop insurance Agricultural credit Other programs and unallocated overhead: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, farm income stabilization.. Agricultural research and services: Research programs Extension programs Marketing programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Animal and plant health programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Economic intelligence Other programs and unallocated overheadOffsetting receipts Subtotal, agricultural research and services.. Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority OUTLAYS Farm income stabilization: Commodity price support and related programs: Existing law Proposed policy and legislation Crop insurance Agricultural credit Other programs and unallocated overhead: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, farm income stabilization.. Agricultural research and services: Research programs Extension programs Marketing programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Animal and plant health programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Economic intelligence Other programs and unallocated overhead.. 219 1,370 10,491 11,000 12,400 - 7 3 -4,200 -7,000 474 510 515 896 831 680 48 64 56 -2 55 -2 54 -2 13,289 19,360 10,490 9,059 7,898 667 307 705 328 705 295 710 287 710 287 123 128 128 -2 128 -2 128 -2 317 281 170 191 212 -4 187 200 204 _4 153 107 246 -4 184 204 187 200 5-50 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL NEED: IMPROVED AGRICULTURE—Continued (Functional code 350; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Offsetting receipts Subtotal, agricultural research and services Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate -74 -87 -95 -95 -95 1,599 1,716 1,662 1,624 1,616 -14 -2 -2 -2 -2 14,875 21,075 12,150 10,681 9,513 5,380 1,055 4,300 835 5,291 -104 3,994 -163 1,034 -216 ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Agricultural credit: Budget authority Outlays The 1984 decline in total outlays for the agriculture function is due mostly to savings realized by the administration's new farm program. Farm income stabilization.—These programs are the major Federal involvement in the agricultural sector, representing 86% of estimated 1984 outlays in the agriculture function. Over the past 2 years, good weather conditions have resulted in unexpected increases in farm crop production. This increased supply, coupled with lower demand than anticipated, has reduced prices and created large surpluses of farm goods. If present programs were unchanged, budget outlays for this area would increase to a record high of $20 billion in 1983 as these programs automatically cushion the adverse effects of low prices and excess supplies. Because of this combination of factors, the President's program is proposed for 1983 and 1984, which will reduce outlays by more than $600 million in 1983 and $3.1 billion in 1984. Commodity price support and related programs,—Price support and related programs were created to stabilize, support, and protect farm income and prices, and to facilitate the orderly distribution and maintenance of a balanced and adequate supply of agricultural commodities and their products. The Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC) provides price support to producers of agricultural commodities through loans, purchases, payments, and other means. The administration's new PIK program will be carried out through the CCC. The CCC also provides export assistance. The value of agricultural exports in 1982 was $39.1 billion, while imports totaled $15.4 billion, resulting in a positive trade balance of $23.7 billion. Export credit assistance is provided by CCC through direct loans and loan guarantees and is intended for those export sales that would not AGRICULTURE 5-51 have occurred without the Federal credit. While CCC export credit has grown tremendously over the past several years, it affects an extremely small portion, 6%, of total exports. Therefore, continued reliance on free-market commercial export has been the driving force in the success of U.S. agricultural trade. Nevertheless, the Federal Government has provided over $14 billion in export credit assistance since 1977. Total export credit estimated to be extended in 1984 is $3.1 billion. This represents 300% growth from 1977 in total CCC export credit assistance. Crop insurance.—The Federal Crop Insurance Corporation offers insurance to producers against crop losses from natural hazards. In 1984, the all-risk crop insurance program will be available in 3,000 counties and will cover 37% of all potentially insurable acreage. Insurance in force is expected to reach $13.7 billion, an increase of $2.7 billion over 1983. As the crop insurance program continues to expand, the Farmers Home Administration (FmHA) emergency loan program will be reduced correspondingly. Outlays depend primarily on the weather, the number of participants, and crop prices. Agricultural credit.—At the end of 1982, direct loans outstanding financed through the agriculture credit insurance fund totaled $24.4 billion. FmHA has lent 88% of this outstanding amount during the last 10 years. In 1982 alone, new direct lending totaled $4.2 billion, with 50% of this amount going for disaster loans. New direct lending will remain at about $4 billion per year in 1983 and 1984. The 1984 budget proposes to increase the regular operating loan program by $350 million to provide short- and intermediate-term credit for production purposes to those unable to obtain credit elsewhere. Outlays arising from direct loans in the agriculture credit insurance fund are financed off-budget through the Federal Financing Bank. These outlays are included in the off-budget deficit. Agricultural research and services.—Research helps to increase agricultural productivity, and it expands knowledge of human nutrition and food safety. The research program will place higher priority on basic research with long term, high-risk, high potential pay-off. Short-term applied research and development will receive reduced Federal effort, since this is more appropriately financed by private industry. Marketing programs.—The Federal Government provides a variety of services to aid in the orderly marketing of farm products such as grain inspection and weighing; tobacco inspection; cotton classing; and meat, poultry, and livestock grading. Most of these services are now provided on a user fee basis. In 1984, the adminis- 5-52 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 CREDIT PROGRAMS—AGRICULTURE (In millions of dollars) Actual 1982 Direct loans: Commodity price support and related loans (CCC): New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Agricultural Credit Insurance Fund(FmHA): New obligations* Net outlays Outstandings Agricultural credit insurance fund of FmHA (loans held by FFB): » Net outlays Outstandings Total, direct loans: New obligations. Net outlays Outstandings Guaranteed loans: Export credit (CCC): New commitments Net change Outstandings Agricultural and emergency credit (FmHA): New commitments Net change Outstandings Total, guaranteed loans: New commitments Net change Outstandings Total credit budget (new obligations and new commitments) Estimate 1983 1984 1985 11,500 11,877 8,040 5,600 6,325 4,382 -2,025 358 12,484 16,867 14,842 15,200 4,199 -241 795 4,264 -420 375 1,055 835 23,412 24,247 3,979 -132 243 5,600 1,300 16,500 4,065 4,012 243 243 -104 -163 24,143 23,979 -216 23,764 15,699 16,141 12,019 9,665 9,612 7,139 4,797 -2,261 195 1,084 36,691 41,488 39,227 39,422 40,506 1,551 645 2,650 4,800 3,389 6,038 3,000 -412 5,626 3,000 -126 5,500 57 -187 1,132 131 -32 1,100 106 -49 1,051 106 106 862 -1,075 1,913 838 1,608 458 3,782 4,931 3,357 7,138 3,106 -461 6,677 3,106 3,106 735 -1,575 7,413 5,838 17,307 21,072 15,125 12,771 3,000 -500 5,000 12,718 •The direct lending activities of the Farmers Home Administration (FmHA) are financed by the Federal Financing Bank (FFB). Certificates of beneficial ownership (CBO's) are issued by the FmHA. According to law, these certificates are backed by loans that the agency continues to service. FmHA guarantees the CBO's, sells them to the FFB, and repurchases them upon maturity. FFB net outlays for REA represent acquisition of CBO's less repurchases by FmHA. Increases in the volume of sales of CBO's are added to FFB direct loan outstandings, while the FmHA's direct loan outstandings decrease by the amount of CBO's sold to the FFB. tration is proposing legislation and administrative changes to implement $8 million in user fees for cotton and tobacco market news and for administrative costs associated with marketing agreements and orders. Animal and plant health.—The Federal Government carries out a number of programs to prevent the introduction and spread of plant and animal pests and diseases that can cause severe losses in crop yields or livestock. The 1984 budget provides for a $51 million brucellosis control program but reduces or eliminates funding for several lower priority programs such as range caterpillar, imported fire ants, witchweed, and scabies. AGRICULTURE 5-53 Tax expenditures.—Agriculture is promoted by several tax expenditures. The tax code permits farmers to treat certain capital outlays as current expenses and allows capital gains treatment for certain types of ordinary income. The 1984 estimates for these two provisions are $590 million and $745 million, respectively. The tax expenditures for agriculture total $1.4 billion in 1984. 5-54 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT National Needs Statement There is a recognized national need to maximize the private financing of mortgage credit and to support an environment in which there are fair and equitable opportunities for business development and growth. Commerce and housing credit programs support the business and housing sectors in the areas of mortgage credit, thrift insurance, the Postal Service, and other forms of commerce, including small business assistance. Direct loan or loan guarantee programs make up most of the Federal activity in the commerce and housing credit function. The credit programs table within this section reflects the total credit budget activity associated with these programs. The 1984 budget proposes $2.1 billion in direct loan obligations and $42.3 billion in guaranteed loan commitments. Slower increases in home prices and lower mortgage interest rates have resulted in an expansion of housing activity. Starts, completions, and sales of homes and multifamily projects have all increased considerably in the past few months. Single and multifamily construction permits—which are usually a good predictor of future housing activity—have also increased substantially, indicating that housing should continue to expand in 1983. The administration's emphasis on deregulation and institutional improvements in financial markets has helped establish more efficient mortgage markets that will be better able to meet the increased credit demands that result from this expanded housing activity. Depository institutions may now offer money market-type accounts to all savers. This increases the flow of savings to mortgage lenders, enabling them to compete more effectively for available funds, and enabling savers to receive competitive rates of return on their investments in these institutions. To ensure that the private sector has the opportunity to enter the secondary mortgage market, the administration is considering a package of regulatory and tax changes that will eliminate unnecessary barriers to the issuance of private mortgage-backed securities. Known as TIM's (trusts for investments in mortgages), the resulting instruments will make the secondary mortgage market more accessible to private institutions. This improved competition should allow the entire secondary mortgage market to keep pace in the increasingly deregulated financial environment. COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT 5-55 The administration also remains committed to seeking the total privatization of two of the housing related Government-sponsored enterprises, the Federal National Mortgage Association and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation. Because of their Federal Government sponsorship these enterprises receive special advantages in the securities markets that completely private institutions do not have. An interagency Cabinet-level group will continue to pursue the goal of complete privatization of these enterprises. The 1984 credit budget requests reductions in commerce and housing credit programs from 1983 levels. These reductions in new direct loan obligations and guaranteed loan commitments should continue to relieve pressure on interest rates without adversely affecting the industries involved. Where Federal involvement is necessary and justified, the principal concern will be to target scarce Federal resources specifically to those groups with the greatest need. This budget ensures the efficient and effective use of limited Federal credit resources by: • targeting rural housing programs to low-income families occupying substandard housing; • providing greater emphasis on minority, handicapped, and first-time borrowers with guaranteed credit assistance of the Small Business Administration, thereby having the Government assume credit risk for these borrowers when the market may overestimate the risk; • deregulating the interest rate on FHA-insured mortgages, thereby allowing it to be determined by the market; • ensuring a strong private economy by acting only as a lender of last resort in certain areas; and • redirecting FHA mortgage insurance programs to those groups not served by the private mortgage market. The 1984 budget proposes $7.6 billion in budget authority and $0.4 billion in estimated budget outlays for commerce and housing credit. Mortgage credit and thrift insurance programs and activities are the largest portion of the assistance, with $5.7 billion in proposed budget authority in 1984. Mortgage credit and thrift insurance.—The most significant con- tribution the Federal Government can make to both the housing industry and individual homebuyers is the pursuit of prudent fiscal and monetary policies that support stable and reasonably low interest rates. Overall Federal credit reductions will continue to exert downward pressure on interest rates and allow the private housing sector opportunity for growth. The focus of Government mortgage credit programs will be on areas the private sector cannot serve, particularly distressed rural areas and central cities. 5-56 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Mortgage purchase activities.—The Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA) provides support for the mortgage market through guarantees of mortgage-backed securities. For 1983, a new commitment limitation of $68.3 billion has been enacted, and guarantees are expected to be issued on about $35.2 billion in securities backed by pools of mortgages that are either insured by the Federal Housing Administration or the Farmers Home Administration, or guaranteed by the Veterans Administration. For 1984, the administration proposes a new commitment limitation of $58.6 billion, although only $39.1 billion of securities are expected to be guaranteed. This represents a $9.6 billion commitment limitation reduction from the enacted 1982 and 1983 levels. The credit programs table shows the new commitment limitation proposed for GNMA guarantees. Table F-9 of Special Analysis F, "Federal Credit Programs/' shows the estimated guaranteed loans. For 1984, the administration proposes no further activity for the GNMA tandem mortgage subsidy programs. The statutory authority for these programs, which involves making direct loans at large losses to the Federal Government, is proposed for repeal. Contingent upon successful enactment of this proposal, outstanding Treasury borrowing for these programs will be forgiven, and the remaining fund balances transferred to the GNMA management and liquidating functions fund. Mortgage credit.—The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) provides mortgage and loan insurance for families who may be unable to obtain a mortgage without Federal insurance. FHA mortgage credit is one of the largest programs in the Federal credit budget. Many families, particularly first-time - homebuyers, can afford only a low downpayment when purchasing a home. Mortgage lenders, however, are reluctant to make low downpayment loans unless the mortgages are insured. Although private mortgage insurers currently insure more mortgages and charge lower premiums than FHA, some homebuyers—particularly those able to make only very low downpayments—may be unable to obtain private mortgage insurance. Thus, these homebuyers require FHA mortgage insurance in order to purchase a home. In addition, FHA insurance on mortgages is often sought by mortgage bankers for use in conjunction with GNMA guarantees of pools of insured mortgages. These GNMA securities provide mortgage bankers and other lenders with the means to finance portfolios of mortgages without having to use much of their own capital. The administration is requesting $39.8 billion of new loan guarantee commitment authority for 1984. The request reflects projections of future housing activity and, more importantly, recognizes 5-57 COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT NATIONAL NEED: COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT (Functional code 370; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 1986 estimate estimate 249 -248 127 436 263 -263 135 507 525 -525 143 558 1,508 3,556 66 5,694 1,820 1,297 40 3,800 1,979 40 2,720 789 707 760 -360 789 400 964 -564 400 985 -585 400 570 739 461 434 275 211 184 631 1,660 BUDGET AUTHORITY Mortgage credit and thrift insurance: Department of Housing and Urban Development: Mortgage purchase activities (GNMA): Existing law Proposed legislation Mortgage credit (FHA) Housing for the elderly or handicapped Department of Agriculture—rural housing programs: Existing law Proposed legislation National Credit Union Administration Subtotal, mortgage credit and thrift insurance.. Postal Service: Existing law Proposed legislation.. 1,101 203 710 183 564 2,004 1,630 36 4,055 55 2,435 707 Subtotal, Postal Service.. Other advancement of commerce: Small business assistance Technology utilization: Existing law Proposed legislation Economic and demographic statistics.. Other Subtotal, other advancement of commerceDeductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority 211 213 218 524 1,692 193 5 206 561 1,464 213 563 1,447 213 563 1,423 -2 -1 i 6,4194,915 -1 7,556 -1 5,647 -1 4,543 OUTLAYS Mortgage credit and thrift insurance: Department of Housing and Urban Development: Mortgage purchase activities (GNMA): Existing law Proposed legislation Mortgage credit (FHA) Housing for the elderly or handicapped Department of Agriculture—rural housing programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation National Credit Union Administration Subtotal, mortgage credit and thrift insurancePostal Service: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, Postal Service 1,504 1,019 -237 742 212 1,433 268 -842 -1,038 -1,189 -329 -1,546 -1,586 -1,622 255 51 - 3 8 -260 1,247 1,611 -1,440 -2,300 -588 -898 20 -12 1,216 -622 707 707 1,913 1,943 1,729 325 -495 -83 -2,020 -2,180 -2,410 -716 -934 -976 16 18 16 -1,387 -4,101 -4,525 760 -360 400 789 789 964 -564 400 985 -585 400 5-58 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL NEED: COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT—Continued (Functional code 370; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Other advancement of commerce: Small business assistance Technology utilization: Existing law Proposed legislation Economic and demographic statistics. Other Subtotal, other advancement of commerce.. Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 933 771 455 426 397 249 209 193 216 208 185 577 215 567 210 542 210 558 211 552 1,943 1,761 1,400 1,410 1,368 -2 -1 -1 3,865 1,928 413 -553 341 935 2,586 1,861 174 -212 521 -106 5,170 2,800 5,335 2,650 4,263 333 1,772 -476 -61 -4,263 -333 -1,772 476 61 -1 -2,292 -2,758 ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entities: Postal Service: Budget authority Outlays Federal Financing Bank: Rural housing insurance fund: Existing law: Budget authority Outlays Proposed legistation: Budget authority Outlays Small business assistance: Budget authority Outlays Total: Budget authority.. Outlays 178 142 295 248 340 280 340 270 340 260 5,348 2,389 5,971 3,833 2,926 2,140 514 58 861 154 that private mortgage insurers will be able to adequately serve a larger share of the housing market. The administration obtained a $6.1 billion supplement, in the 1983 Continuing Resolution, to the FHA loan guarantee authority of $39.8 billion for 1983. With the expectation of rapidly falling interest rates, the demand for FHA insurance has increased considerably. More applications were received in the last two months of 1982 than in any other November-December time period in the 48year history of FHA. Approximately 30-40% of this increase in demand is to refinance existing mortgages. In addition, legislation to remove current statutory ceilings on interest rates for FHA-insured mortgages is being reproposed. Elimination of the FHA regulation that prohibits FHA-insured homebuyers from being charged any points directly will be implemented simultaneously. Points are interest charges that are paid at the time a property is purchased and are used by lenders to increase effective interest rates on FHA-insured mortgages. Each COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT 5-59 point equals 1% of the mortgage amount. Although the current regulation prohibits the additional points from being charged to buyers directly, they are usually paid by buyers indirectly through increased home prices. The elimination of both ceilings on interest rates and the regulation that prohibits the buyer from paying points will allow mortgage markets to operate more effectively and can benefit buyers by reducing artificially increased home prices. Finally, FHA will begin two new programs in 1983. One will allow direct approval of insured single-family mortgages by approved mortgage lenders. Under this program, lenders have the responsibility for underwriting and closing the mortgage loan. They then submit the loan to FHA for insurance endorsement without need of any prior FHA commitment. This new program will allow FHA to process mortgage insurance applications faster and reduce the staff needed to process applications. The administration proposed and Congress enacted a new method for collecting insurance premiums on insured single-family mortgages beginning in 1983. Instead of paying monthly premiums for the life of the mortgages, homebuyers with FHA-insured mortgages will either pay a lump sum at the time of settlement or have the insurance added to the total mortgage. All of these factors are expected to result in an increase in net receipts to the FHA fund from $329 million in 1983 to $1.5 billion in 1984. Housing for the elderly or handicapped.—In addition to supporting private market mortgage financing with FHA insurance, HUD provides direct loans to finance housing for the elderly and the handicapped. The budget proposes $476 million of new loan obligations in 1984. This funding will support construction of approximately 10,000 units. The administration plans to sell $5.2 billion of section 202 direct loans between 1983 and 1988, starting with $750 million in 1983. There is no reason for the Federal Government to continue to hold these loans once the projects have been constructed. Outlays for this program are estimated to be $255 million in 1983 and $51 million in 1984. The decline in 1983 and 1984 outlays from the 1982 level reflects the estimated receipts from the loan sales. Department of Agriculture rural housing programs.—The 1984 budget proposes to replace the categorical direct lending and grant programs of the Farmers Home Administration (FmHA) rural housing program with a housing block grant to States. Its proposed budget authority is $850 million and is included in the income security function. The block grant will be available in the same places previously served by the FmHA categorical programs—in any rural community of 10,000 or less, and in communities of 10,000 to 20,000 outside of a standard metropolitan statistical area. Eighty percent of the block grant funds is earmarked for families with incomes less than 50% of the State median income.. 5-60 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 For 1984, new obligations of $308 million in direct loans will be provided primarily to service the existing portfolio of loans (e.g., to permit sales from the government's inventory). This represents a reduction of $3.1 billion from the amount of new direct loan obligations available in 1983. This reduction in direct lending is part of a continuing effort to limit the growth of Federal outlays and to reduce dependence on the Federal Government as a major source of credit. To compensate for this reduced direct Federal role in credit markets, the administration will make FHA mortgage insurance more widely available in rural areas through Farmers Home Administration county offices. Rural housing insurance fund outlays are estimated to be $2.2 billion in 1984 when all transactions with the Federal Financing Bank are included, due to proposed legislation. Corresponding reductions are shown in off-budget Federal financing. A number of programs enhance the safety and soundness of the banking system and affect its reponsiveness to the needs of both savers and borrowers. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) insures the deposits of all federally and many State chartered commercial and savings banks. Receipts of the FDIC are estimated to exceed expenses by $2.3 billion in 1983 and $2.0 billion in 1984. The Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation (FSLIC) insures deposits in savings and loan associations. As economic conditions improve in 1983 and 1984, receipts are estimated to exceed costs by $898 million and $716 million, respectively. The National Credit Union Administration (NCUA) regulates credit unions and insures depositors' accounts. The insurance fund of NCUA insures the shares of credit union depositors. Total outlays for the NCUA are estimated to decline from $20 million in 1983 to $16 million in 1984. The NCUA also operates a central liquidity facility that is intended to serve as a source of financing only after other sources have been used. It is estimated that the central liquidity facility, which provides loans to member credit unions to meet their liquidity needs, will have the same volume of $95 million in new direct loan obligations in 1984 that it did in 1983. Postal Service.—The Postal Reorganization Act of 1970 established the U.S. Postal Service as an independent part of the executive branch. Outlays for the general operations of the Postal Service are excluded from Federal budget totals, except for reimbursements for revenue foregone, which subsidize certain classes of mail at reduced rates. In the past, these reimbursements have also included payment for certain liabilities of the former Post Office Department. These payments for 1982 through 1984 were postponed until 1985 by the 1981 Reconciliation Act. The request for 1984 reflects the administration's belief that postage costs should be paid by those who incur them, not by the COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT 5-61 taxpayer. Budget authority of $400 million is requested for 1984, $389 million below the estimated 1983 level. The administration will submit legislation to reduce subsidies to preferred-rate mailers, with the exception of mail for the blind and handicapped. Other advancement of commerce.—Federal programs attempt to support an environment for fair and equitable business opportunities by providing technical assistance and loan guarantees, collecting and disseminating information on the economy and population, encouraging innovation and productivity growth, and providing export promotion assistance to small and medium sized businesses. Small business assistance.—Net outlays for assistance to small business are estimated to total $0.5 billion in 1984, a reduction of $0.3 billion from the proposed 1983 level. The 1984 budget request for the Small Business Administration (SBA) calls for elimination of subsidized direct loans with the exception of $41 million in direct financing for minority enterprise small business investment companies and $471 million of new direct loan obligations to cover claims on defaulted SBA guaranteed loans. In addition, $2.4 billion in new commitments for guaranteed business loans and $0.4 billion of guaranteed loans financed through the Federal Financing Bank as direct loans will be proposed. Most of these commitments ($2.4 billion) will be directed to the small business community in general, but small business investment companies and development companies will receive $175 million and $275 million, respectively. As the credit programs table reflects, the budget proposes phasing down SBA loan guarantee assistance in order to reach $1.5 billion by 1986. Handicapped, minority, and first-time borrowers will be the priority credit assistance recipients. The reduction in SBA financial assistance is an integral part of the administration's effort to restrain and reduce Federal credit programs in order to increase the availability of private credit for businesses. As a group, small businesses will benefit more from the administration's efforts to stabilize financial markets, reduce interest rates, eliminate burdensome regulations, and lower inflation than from direct Federal credit subsidies. Since the vast majority of small businesses are obtaining financing without Federal assistance, the administration plans to provide assistance to those businesses for which a valid case can be made that market imperfections may exist. Consistent with this philosophy, it is anticipated that 17% of SBA's guaranteed business loans will be made to minority-owned firms in 1984. In addition, the budget proposes that the non-credit minority business assistance programs in the Department of Commerce and the SBA will operate at current levels in 1984 with outlays of $98 million. 380-000 0 - 83 - 12 : QL 3 5-62 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 CREDIT PROGRAMS—COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT (In millions of dollars) Direct loans: Mortgage purchase activity (GNMA): New oblfgations Net outlays Outstandings Mortgage credit (FHA): New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Housing for the elderly or handicapped: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Rural housing (FmHA): New obligations l Net outlays Outstandings Rural housing of FmHA (loans held by F F B ) : 1 2 Net outlays Outstandings Central Liquidity Facility (NCUA): New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Small business assistance:3 New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Small business assistance (loans made by FFB): New obligations4 Net outlays Outstandings Small business assistance (loans held by FFB): 5 Net outlays Outstandings Other commerce and housing credit programs-. New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Total, direct loans: New obligations. Net outlays Outstandings Guaranteed loans-. Mortgage purchase activity (GNMA): 6 New commitments Net change Outstandings Mortgage credit (FHA): New commitments Net change Outstandings Actual 1982 1983 1984 1,985 -259 4,074 504 -640 3,433 3 3 - 6 8 -1,167 3,366 2,199 3 -934 1,264 284 -142 4,150 341 -161 3,990 288 -417 3,572 320 -344 3,228 313 -278 2,950 819 815 3,641 634 65 3,706 476 -175 3,531 500 -249 3,282 525 -421 2,861 3,455 -379 447 3,377 -176 271 308 324 596 669 -495 100 493 -83 18 1985 1986 2,800 2,650 23,921 26,571 82 29 130 95 40 170 95 40 210 100 40 250 100 40 290 682 393 3,096 749 151 3,247 512 -251 2,996 483 -248 2,627 444 -249 2,378 215 151 759 375 258 1,017 375 290 1,306 375 280 1,586 375 270 1,856 -9 66 -10 56 -10 46 -10 36 -10 26 73 134 1,503 34 -86 1,417 20 -210 1,207 18 -413 794 16 -115 679 7,595 6,109 3,533 2,091 41,788 43,878 2,077 2,468 2,270 - 4 7 7 -2,606 -1,780 16,830 14,104 12,323 36,382 68,250 58,650 58,650 58,650 10,901 28,063 30,900 22,833 29,603 115,537 143,600 174,500 197,333 226,936 18,576 45,900 39,800 39,800 39,800 6,807 29,169 26,325 25,266 24,440 142,252 171,422 197,747 223,013 247,453 5-63 COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT CREDIT PROGRAMS—COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT—Continued (In millions of dollars) Actual 1982 Rural housing (FmHA): New commitments Net change Outstandings Small business assistance: New commitments Net change Outstandings Chrysler Corporation: Outstandings Other commerce and housing credit programs: New commitments Net change Outstandings Less guaranteed loans held as direct loans by GNMA:' New commitments Net change Outstandings Total, guaranteed loans: New commitments Net change Outstandings Estimate 1983 1984 1985 1986 17 -272 1,068 16 -71 998 13 108 1,106 4 388 1,494 4 -241 1,253 1,854 -122 9,428 2,425 -347 9,081 2,425 -520 8,561 2,075 -705 7,856 1,475 1,160 6,696 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 74 -17 296 59 11 308 28 -16 291 26 -21 271 24 -22 248 1,985 -241 4,067 501 -639 3,428 -68 3,360 -1,168 2,192 -934 1,258 18,536 47,898 42,266 41,905 41,303 6,637 29,402 25,965 26,096 23,951 150,178 179,580 205,546 231,642 255,593 Total credit budget, (new obligations and new commitments) 26,131 54,007 44,343 44,373 43,573 ^ h e direct lending activities of the Farmers Home Administration (FmHA) are financed by the Federal Financing Bank (FFB). Certificates of beneficial ownership (CBO's) are issued by the FmHA. According to law, these certificates are backed by loans that the agency continues to service. FmHA guarantees the CBO's, sells them to the FFB, and repurchases them upon maturity. FFB net outlays for REA represent acquisition of CBO's less repurchases by FmHA. Increases in the volume of sales of CBO's are added to FFB direct loan outstandings, while the FmHA's direct loan outstandings decrease by the amount of CBO's sold to the FFB. 2 Under proposed legislation, the CBO's sold by the rural housing insurance fund of FmHA to the FFB will be treated as agency debt beginning in 1984. Consistent with this proposal, the CBO transactions with the FFB are removed from the credit programs table. 3 Direct loan obligations for 1983 are repurchases of defaulted guaranteed loans. 4 These are obligations to guarantee loans that the FFB will disburse. In effect, they are obligations for off-budget direct loans and are counted as such in the credit budget. Policy responsibility for these loans rests with the guaranteeing agency. The totals for small business assistance loans made by the FFB in this table are not identical to the entries in the addendum to the national needs table for off-budget Federal entities due to timing differences between budget authority and new obligations. 5 The direct lending activities of the Small Business Administration are financed by the FFB. Loan assets are issued by the agency. According to law, these assets are backed by loans that the agency continues to service. The agency guarantees the loan assets, sells them to the FFB, and repurchases them upon maturity. FFB net outlays for this account represent acquisition of loan assets less repurchases by the agency. Increases in the volume of sales of loan assets are added to FFB direct loan outstandings, while the agency's direct loan outstandings decrease by the amount of loan assets sold to the FFB. 6 GNMA guarantees securities that are backed by pools of loans previously insured by the FHA, the Veterans Administration or the Farmers Home Administration. These secondary guarantees of loans are not added into guaranteed loan totals for the credit budget. 7 When guaranteed loans are acquired by a budget account, they become direct loans and are counted as such in this table. This deduction for GNMA eliminates overlap with direct loans presented above. Tax expenditures.—The tax system provides a variety of incentives for investment in equipment, commercial and industrial structures, and residential housing. For example, the investment tax credit provides incentives for investment in capital equipment. Deductions for mortgage interest and property taxes are permitted on owner-occupied homes. Tax expenditures are also made available for specific types of business. Financial institutions are, for instance, accorded favorable tax treatment on excess bad debt reserves. 5-64 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 TAX EXPENDITURES IN COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT (In millions of dollars) Fiscal years Description Commerce and housing credit: Dividend and interest exclusion Exclusion of interest on State and local industrial development bonds Exemption of credit union income Excess bad debt reserves of financial institutions Exclusion of interest on life insurance savings Deducibility of interest on consumer credit Deducibility of mortgage interest on owner-occupied homes Deducibility of property tax on owner-occupied homes Exclusion of interest on State and local housing bonds for owner-occupied housing Capital gains (other than agriculture, timber, iron ore and coal) Deferral of capital gains on homes sales Exclusion of capital gains on home sales for persons age 55 and over Carryover basis of capital gains at death Investment credit, other than employee stock ownership plans, rehabilitation of structures, energy property, and reforestation expenditures Safe harbor leasing rules Amortization of start-up costs Exclusion of interest on certain savings certificates Reinvestment of dividends in public utility stock Total (after interactions), commerce and housing credit 1982 1983 1984 1,530 1,795 225 660 6,625 10,900 23,495 8,405 615 2,250 245 680 6,780 10,710 25,255 8,810 605 2,625 270 1,090 7,310 10,530 28,335 9,645 955 26,590 2,090 710 3,120 1,185 22,865 2,225 765 3,330 1,315 23,465 2,515 865 3,685 19,255 17,170 18,325 3,270 3,035 2,880 195 290 125 105 1,970 840 670 590 400 111,905 108,301 115,635 •The estimate of total tax expenditures for this function reflects interactive effects among the individual items. Therefore, the estimates cannot simply be added. The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 (ERTA) liberalized the rules under which firms may transfer unused investment tax credits and depreciation deductions on new investments to profitable firms through leasing transactions. The Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 (TEFRA) repeals these provisions, referred to as safe harbor leases, effective January 1, 1984. For safe harbor leases entered into before 1984, the Act limits the type of eligible property and the amount of tax benefit available to the lessor. The cost of the total tax expenditures for commerce and housing credit are estimated to be $115.6 billion in 1984, an increase of $7.3 billion from 1983 estimates. TRANSPORTATION 5-65 TRANSPORTATION National Needs Statement The Federal Government seeks to ensure the maintenance of a transportation system to provide safe, efficient and economical movement of people and goods, and to support national defense. This requires private enterprise, State and local governments, and the Federal Government to uphold their responsibilities to the system. Federal support of national priorities for ground, air, and water transportation is financed substantially by user fees. A safe and efficient transportation system is essential for the Nation's economic health and vitality. It provides mobility to citizens and serves as a distribution network for goods and services. The administration has placed a high priority on maintaining and upgrading this vital component of the economy. To this end, the administration requests increases in Federal funding for the national defense and interstate highway system, primary highways and bridges, the national air traffic control system, and Coast Guard operations. Proposed budget authority for transportation programs is $27.8 billion for 1984, $6.5 billion more than in 1982. Primary responsibility for other portions of the transportation system lies outside the Federal purview. The administration looks to State and local governments to supply the major share of funding for non-interstate highways and public transportation, and to the private sector for commercial transportation. The budget reflects the continued effort of the administration to simplify Federal regulations and reduce the Federal role, where appropriate. The administration proposes a decrease in budget authority for the Interstate Commerce Commission and for the Civil Aeronautics Board, which is scheduled to expire in 1985, to reflect their reduced statutory responsibilities. The administration also plans to reduce the Federal presence in railroads and pursue legislative or administrative avenues to further deregulate the trucking, airline, and ocean shipping industries. The administration stresses that those who benefit from Federal transportation programs should pay their cost through user fees. The administration has been successful in increasing user fees to support highway and aviation programs. The budget extends this policy by proposing user fees for selected Coast Guard services. Ground transportation.—Proposed budget authority is $19.1 billion for highway, highway safety, mass transit, and railroad pro- 5-66 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL NEED: EFFICIENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS (Functional code 400; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Ground transportation: Highway systems: Existing law Proposed legislation Highway safety Mass transit Railroads Regulation Subtotal, ground transportation... Air transportation: Airways and airports Aeronautical research and technology... Air carrier subsidies Regulation Subtotal, air transportationWater transportation: Marine safety and transportation: Existing law Proposed legislation Coast Guard user fees (proposed legislation).. Ocean shipping Regulation Subtotal, water transportation- 1982 actual 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 14,559 18,869 19,062 19,147 19,868 3,157 516 86 26 4,180 553 48 24 5,031 589 51 21 5,503 620 14 5 5,481 642 3,785 4,806 5,692 6,142 6,123 2,513 2,456 415 11 526 12 2,543 -7 -58 506 11 2,664 -16 -61 504 11 2,797 -18 -61 508 11 2939 2,994 2,995 3,103 3,237 110 116 119 56 121 110 116 175 201 -87 -85 -67 -67 Subtotal, other transportation.... Total, budget authority 1984 estimate 8,723 13,158 13,811 14,549 15,330 80 80 60 213 236 258 213 260 3,584 4,397 3,967 3,488 3,498 1,968 1,013 889 716 716 70 67 58 54 51 Other transportation: Existing law Proposed legislation Deductions for offsetting receipts 1983 estimate -116 21,256 26,692 27,780 28,500 29,363 grams in 1984, $4.5 billion higher than in 1982. This budget reflects the recently enacted Surface Transportation Assistance Act of 1982, which increases Federal revenues earmarked for highways and mass transit significantly over 1982 levels. Some highway programs may be affected by the federalism initiative, described in Special Analysis H: "Federal Aid to State and Local Governments," in the Special Analyses volume of the 1984 Budget. Highway systems.—The Surface Transportation Assistance Act of 1982 has established the basic thrust and framework for a muchenhanced Federal highway program over the next 4 years. Under the Act, the highway motor fuels tax increases from four to nine cents per gallon—the first increase since 1959. Other taxes support- 5-67 TRANSPORTATION NATIONAL NEED: EFFICIENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS—Continued (Functional code 400; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate OUTLAYS Ground transportation: Highway systems: Existing law Proposed legislation.... Highway safety Mass transit Railroads Regulation Subtotal, ground transportationAir transportation: Airways and airports Aeronautical research and technologyAir carrier subsidies Regulation Subtotal, air transportationWater transportation: Marine safety and transportation: Existing law Proposed legislation Coast Guard user fees (proposed legislation).. Ocean shipping Regulation Subtotal, water transportation 7,934 269 3,930 2,126 68 14,326 14,562 17,249 17,875 18,228 2,891 563 84 26 3,576 567 55 24 4,185 587 51 21 4,539 610 18 6 4,816 628 3,564 4,222 4,844 5,173 5,444 2,070 2,453 614 11 594 12 2,570 -7 -58 503 11 2,644 -16 -61 476 11 2,812 -18 -61 478 11 2,696 3,059 3,019 3,054 3,221 120 118 122 51 121 120 118 173 201 -87 -85 -67 -67 Other transportation: Existing law Proposed legislation.. Subtotal, other transportation.. Deductions for offsetting receipts... Total, outlays. ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entities: U.S. Railway Association: Budget authority Outlays Federal Financing Bank: Railroads: Budget authority Outlays Total: Budget authority. Outlays 8,806 12,263 12,913 13,517 _3 -35 -275 -76 245 247 237 243 3,940 3,797 3,753 3,575 986 839 1,551 1,162 54 _ j > 2 65 _ _5_9 90 -116 20,560 21,876 25,145 26,207 27,027 16 -57 -19 3,180 78 52 22 -13 -13 -13 3,199 55 68 -35 -33 -13 -13 ing the Federal highway program are restructured to improve the balance between the tax assigned to highway users and the costs those users impose on the system. The Act also extends the author- 5-68 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 ization for spending from the user-financed highway trust fund to 1988. The administration proposes budget authority of $13.9 billion for highways in 1984. The legislation greatly increases budget authority for completing and preserving the interstate highway system, and for rehabilitating primary highways and bridges. The Act provides for (1) completion of all segments of the interstate system by the early 1990's, (2) an immediate spending increase of 144% over levels prior to the Act for rehabilitating and preserving existing segments of the interstate system, and (3) an 88% increase in budget authority from 1982 to 1986 for primary highways and bridges. All other rural and urban roads remain primarily the responsibility of State and local governments, which must decide the priority of construction, maintenance, and rehabilitation. The budget reflects spending at approximately the 1983 levels for Federal programs for these roads. Highway safety.—Proposed budget authority for highway safety in 1984 is $258 million. The funds would be used to support Federal vehicle safety research and development, promulgate and enforce Federal safety and fuel economy standards, and supplement State highway safety programs. Two laws increase funding for highway safety in 1984. The Alcohol Traffic Safety Act of 1982 provides incentive grants to States that have met certain criteria for reducing drunk driving. The Surface Transportation Assistance Act of 1982 establishes a State grant program for enforcement of Federal safety standards for trucks. The program draws on the success of recent State programs and addresses concerns that existing laws deregulating the trucking industry may reduce attention paid to highway safety. Mass transit—The Federal Government provides assistance for mass transit through a variety of formula and discretionary grant programs. The majority of funds are reserved for capital projects; grants are also provided for operating assistance, planning activities, demonstration projects, and research. Budget authority of $4.0 billion is proposed for mass transit in 1984. These funds are to be used primarily for capital projects, such as construction and rehabilitation of bus and rail facilities and replacement and repair of rolling stock. The Surface Transportation Assistance Act of 1982 significantly restructures Federal assistance for mass transit. Beginning in 1984, the existing discretionary grant program will be funded with one cent per gallon of the new motor fuels tax increase and will be used for capital projects. A new grant program begins in 1983, financed by highway user taxes in the first year and general funds thereafter, which will distribute funds on a formula basis for capital and, to a limited TRANSPORTATION 5-69 extent, operating projects in urban and rural areas. In addition to these programs, budget authority is requested for existing programs to substitute transit projects for previously planned interstate highway projects and to continue construction of the Washington, D.C. Metro system. The administration has examined the usefulness of Federal funding of operating costs and determined that State and local governments should assume complete responsibility for operating local mass transit systems by 1985. In some areas Federal funds support marginally effective, conventional transit services where transportation needs could be better served by more cost-effective and innovative alternatives. Shifting financial responsibility to local authorities should make low-cost alternatives more attractive. Decisions about service levels, equipment, facilities, fares, wage rates, and management practices are better left to local governments or to the private sector. Railroads.—In keeping with the administration's policy of reducing Federal responsibility for rail activities unrelated to safety, estimated outlays for railroads in 1984 are reduced to $1.2 billion, $0.4 billion less than in 1983. The decrease is attributable to reductions in Federal assistance programs, the completion of the transfer of Conrail commuter services to local authorities, and the settlement in 1983 of most outstanding litigation against the Government. Federal aid is being phased back or eliminated, in conjunction with the ability of the industry to be self-supporting. Conrail provides freight service in the Northeast and Midwest. Operating subsidies have not been requested by Conrail nor proposed by the administration for 1984; Conrail has accomulated cash reserves sufficient to meet potential emergency requirements. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 stipulated that the Federal Government should sell Conrail as part of a private market solution to rail problems in that part of the Nation. The Federal Government subsidizes intercity rail passenger service throughout the United States by providing grants to the National Railroad Passenger Corporation (Amtrak). In 1982, the Federal Government covered more than 50% of Amtrak's direct operating costs and 100% of its capital and other operating costs. To reduce competitive inequities, the administration supports decreased funding for Amtrak and increased coverage of costs by passengers or the States. Proposed budget authority is $682 million for subsidies to Amtrak in 1984, a reduction of $18 million from 1983. Also proposed are certain cost-saving measures: labor and management productivity savings, higher State payments for joint Federal- and State-funded trains, and elimination of all routes that do not meet legal criteria in existing legislation for Amtrak. In addition, the administration proposes to alter labor protection for 5-70 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Amtrak employees to make it similar to the type of protection provided Conrail employees. The administration has previously redirected the primary focus of the northeast corridor improvement program away from developing high speed rail service toward safety and reliability. Many of the more critical portions of the project are now complete. The administration proposes budget authority of $100 million in 1984 to complete the project. Air transportation.—Budget authority of $5.7 billion is requested for air transportation in 1984, an increase of $0.9 billion over 1983. Federal spending for air transportation is for improvement, operation, and maintenance of the national airspace system, airport grants, aeronautical research and technology, air carrier subsidies, and operation of two airports (National and Dulles) in the Washington, D.C., area. Airways and airports.—The safe and efficient movement of air traffic nationwide is under the direction of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Budget authority of $5.0 billion is proposed for the FAA in 1984. The Airport and Airway Improvement Act of 1982 increased aviation user fees for the airport and airway trust fund. The receipts will finance the multiyear FAA capital modernization program, airport improvement grants, and an increased share of FAA operations and maintenance costs. The administration requests budget authority for the second year of the FAA capital modernization program. The request includes a 72% increase from 1983 to 1984 for research and development and for procurement of new facilities and equipment. The FAA will provide to the Congress a revised national airspace system plan reflecting pertinent project changes since the formulation of the original plan 1 year ago. Airport improvement grants will emphasize compliance with airport safety standards, expansion, and noise reduction. The administration proposes to limit obligations in 1984 to $700 million, an increase of $100 million over the existing 1983 limitation. Funds will be distributed according to the provisions of the Airport and Airway Improvement Act of 1982. The administration proposes increased budget authority for FAA operations and maintenance activities to permit the lifting by December 1983 of all flight restrictions imposed after the 1981 air traffic controllers strike. In compliance with the Airport and Airway Improvement Act of 1982, the request also includes reimbursement from the airport and airway trust fund to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration for providing aviation weather services. TRANSPORTATION 5-71 Aeronautical research and technology.—The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) conducts research in basic aeronautical sciences and long-term technology development, and operates unique research and testing facilities—activities that are unlikely to be funded by the private sector. The administration proposes $589 million of budget authority for NASA in 1984 to help maintain U.S. leadership in aeronautical research and technology. This amount would allow a significant increase in aeronautical engineering and systems research efforts. New initiatives proposed for 1984 include a numerical aerodynamic simulation capability and development of light-weight composite materials for large aircraft. Air carrier subsidies.—In conjunction with airline deregulation, one existing air carrier subsidy program designed to promote general aviation is being replaced with a new program to provide essential air services to small communities. The administration expects the older subsidy to be terminated by 1984. Proposed budget authority for air carrier subsidies is $51 million in 1984. Water transportation.—To meet its Federal responsibility in water transportation, the administration requests $3.0 billion in budget authority for 1984, approximately the same as for 1983. This will allow the Coast Guard to continue its safety and marine law enforcement activities. The budget includes a proposal for user fees to offset the cost of selected Coast Guard services. Estimated outlays for subsidizing commercial ocean shipping decrease in 1984, as the administration seeks to reduce the Federal role in this area. Marine safety and transportation.—Coast Guard services include search and rescue, maintenance of navigation aids, enforcement of maritime laws, and other activities. The administration requests $2.5 billion of budget authority in 1984 for Coast Guard operations and improvement of its shore facilities and vessels. Two new large cutters and several smaller ones will be commissioned and fleet modernization will be accelerated, resulting in expanded capabilities and substantial savings from reduced maintenance costs. The Coast Guard's aircraft operations will be upgraded and expanded by the introduction of new medium-range jet search aircraft and short-range recovery helicopters. Total flight hours in 1984 will be 36% higher than 1980 levels, with an emphasis on law enforcement surveillance. Coast Guard user fees.—Currently, most services rendered by the Coast Guard to the public are provided without charge. The administration is again proposing that consumers of certain Coast Guard services pay a user fee to cover some of the costs. These user fees are estimated to provide $58 million in revenues in 1984. 5-72 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Ocean shipping.—Programs in ocean shipping are administered by the Department of Transportation's Maritime Administration, the Panama Canal Commission, and the Federal Maritime Commission. Outlays for ocean shipping are estimated to be $503 million in 1984, $91 million less than in 1983. The Maritime Administration has traditionally provided two types of subsidies to assist the U.S. merchant marine and shipbuilding industry. Operating subsidies offset the higher costs of operating U.S.-flag vessels while construction subsidies offset the higher costs of building vessels in U.S. shipyards. A full review of maritime policies has determined effective methods for revitalizing the maritime industry. The administration supports the policy that subsidized U.S.-flag ship operators be permitted to build or acquire their vessels in foreign countries. Therefore, the administration proposes to eliminate construction subsidies altogether. The budget provides an estimated $440 million in outlays for operating subsidies in 1984 to meet the Government's obligations on existing contracts; no new contracts are anticipated. Administrative changes are expected to hold down escalating costs. Finally, the administration has reaffirmed its support for laws that provide that a portion of the cargoes shipped by the Federal Government be carried on U.S.-flag vessels. Credit programs.—The Department of Transportation provides direct loans and guaranteed loans for water, ground, and air transportation projects as shown in the accompanying table. The total credit activity in this function is estimated to be $677 million in 1984, $234 million lower than in 1983. The decrease is due largely to proposed elimination of guarantees of new commitments for the purchase of aircraft and elimination of new direct loan obligations for railroads. The Maritime Administration guarantees construction mortgage loans to build U.S.-flag vessels in the United States. It also makes direct loans in the form of advances to operators to avoid defaults on Government guaranteed loans. The administration is proposing to limit loan guarantees to $900 million in 1984, $300 million of which will be used only if needed for national security interests. CREDIT PROGRAMS—TRANSPORTATION (In millions of dollars) Actual 1982 Direct loans: Highway and mass transportation: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings 69 -37 300 Estimate 1983 50 -22 278 1984 37 3 281 1985 32 23 304 1986 30 304 5-73 TRANSPORTATION CREDIT PROGRAMS—TRANSPORTATION—Continued (In millions of dollars) Aid to railroads: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Aid to railroads (loans made by the FFB): New obligations l Net outlays Outstandings Assistance to ocean shipping: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings U.S. Railway Association: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Other transportation programs: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Total, direct loans.New obligations. Net outlays Outstandings Guaranteed loans: Highways and mass transportation.Net change Outstandings Aid to railroads: New commitments Net change Outstandings Aircraft purchase loan guarantees: New commitments Net change Outstandings Assistance to ocean shipping: New commitments Net change Outstandings Total., guaranteed loans: New commitments Net change Outstandings Total credit budget (new obligations and new commitments) Estimate Actual 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 44 -30 1,484 102 56 1,540 38 1,578 21 1,599 1,599 16 78 1,052 31 22 1,074 -13 1,061 -13 1,047 -13 1,035 24 12 158 25 19 177 25 20 198 25 20 218 25 20 239 -42 123 -64 58 -21 37 6 16 16 16 16 16 154 -18 3,117 214 26 3,143 62 28 3,171 57 51 3,185 55 8 3,192 -2 1,017 -2 1,015 -2 1,013 -3 1,010 -2 26 -37 214 17 -70 143 15 -10 133 15 -5 128 -130 -2 20 128 733 -32 701 -70 630 -104 527 -71 456 637 609 7,176 600 125 7,301 600 125 7,426 600 125 7,551 600 125 7,676 682 698 9,140 697 20 9,161 615 43 9,203 615 13 9,217 600 -78 9,139 836 911 677 672 655 * $500 thousand or less. •These are obligations made by the agency to guarantee loans that the FFB will disburse. In effect, they are obligations for off-budget direct loans, and are counted as such in the credit budget. Policy responsibility for these loans rests with the guaranteeing agency. Totais for loans for aid to railroads made by FFB in this table are not identical to the entries in the addendum to the national needs table for off-budget Federal entities due to timing differences between budget authority and new obligations. 5-74 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Tax expenditures.—In addition to direct Federal funding, two tax expenditures provide assistance to shipping concerns and mass transit systems. The 1984 estimates for these two tax expenditures are $40 million and $15 million, respectively. Total tax expenditures for transportation are estimated to be $55 million in 1984. 5-75 COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT National Needs Statement Federal policy for community and regional development is directed toward promoting the viable economic and social growth of urban and rural neighborhoods, communities, and regions. This policy recognizes that private, State, and local decisions and resources should have the primary role in community and regional development. Community and regional development that is effective and longlasting is promoted best by a sound and expanding economy. Such an economy can be achieved only with reduced inflation and more resources made available to the private sector. These goals remain integral parts of administration policy, as is the return of authority, responsibility and flexibility to State and local governments for the administration of programs. These governments know their areas' needs best and can devise the most effective means of meeting those needs. Federal programs supporting community and regional development provide grants, loans, loan guarantees, and technical assistance to States, cities, counties, intergovernmental and regional organizations, insular areas, and Indian tribes. These programs help recipients to address essential community, regional, and economic needs, and recover from unexpected disasters. For 1984, the administration is requesting budget authority of $6.1 billion for community and regional development, $0.5 billion below that estimated for 1983. Outlays are estimated to decrease from $7.4 billion in 1983 to $7.0 billion in 1984. For credit programs, 1984 direct loan obligations are estimated to be $1.0 billion and guaranteed loan commitments are estimated to be $19 million. NATIONAL NEED: COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT (Functional code 450; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Community development: Community development block grants Urban development action grants Rental rehabilitation grants (proposed legislation). Urban homesteading Other programs: Existing law Proposed legislation 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 3,456 3,456 3,500 3,500 3,500 474 440 196 440 440 150 150 150 12 12 12 12 361 459 368 -26 385 -37 379 -45 5-76 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL NEED: COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT—Continued (Functional code 450; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Subtotal, community development Area and regional development: Rural development Economic development assistance Indian programs Regional commissions .. Tennessee Valley Authority Offsetting receipts Subtotal, area and regional development Disaster relief and insurance: SBA disaster loans Disaster relief National flood insurance fund Other programs Subtotal, disaster relief and insurance Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority .. .. . . 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 4,291 4,367 4,200 4,450 4,436 590 224 1,156 159 129 -274 777 34 1,135 158 176 -277 890 18 1,080 964 9 1,196 1,004 7 1,231 75 -286 125 -334 112 -349 1,984 2,003 1,777 1,960 2,004 302 * 62 130 71 55 71 57 325 53 57 325 33 57 363 256 128 435 415 -34 -34 -34 -34 -34 6,604 6,592 6,071 6,812 6,821 3,792 388 3,525 488 3,526 512 12 20 12 3,474 479 75 12 3,497 439 150 12 392 456 412 -38 333 -40 284 -44 4,583 4,490 4,425 4,332 4,337 1,043 1,140 151 129 30 5 11 2 1,125 1,214 212 163 130 120 -2 -2 -286 -334 1,084 54 5 -349 2,437 2,231 OUTLAYS Community development: Community development block grants Urban development action grants Rental rehabilitation grants (proposed legislation) Urban homesteading Other programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, community development Area and regional development: Rural development Economic development assistance Local public works Coastal energy impact assistance Indian programs Regional commissions Tennessee Valley Authority Other programs Offsetting receipts Subtotal, area and regional development Disaster relief and insurance. SBA disaster loans Disaster relief National flood insurance fund . Other programs Subtotal, disaster relief and insurance Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays 917 1,163 412 295 40 30 29 18 1,078 1,076 341 274 192 200 1 -274 -277 2,735 2,779 2,415 -302 -194 -193 115 -18 85 -119 1,235 87 117 173 - 1 5 8 222 44 67 220 63 56 325 47 56 71 138 146 255 250 56 -34 -34 -34 -34 —34 7,165 7,373 6,951 6,990 6,784 5-77 COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT NATIONAL NEED: COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT—Continued (Functional code 450; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entities: Rural Telephone Bank: Budget authority Outlays Federal Financing Bank: Community development: Budget authority Outlays Rural development: Budget authority Outlays Total: Budget authority Outlays 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate estimate 159 79 152 145 150 143 150 143 150 143 90 43 155 119 216 134 1535 1060 1,191 686 1,644 664 1,010 415 278 248 1,784 1,181 1,498 950 2,009 941 1,215 540 427 284 55 - 1 8 -106 Community development—Several Federal programs, most of which are administered by the Department of Housing and Urban Development, support community development in both rural and urban areas. Community development block grants (CDBG).—The community development block grant program provides flexible community and economic development support to cities, counties, Indian tribes, and U.S. territories. Funds are allocated by formula to large cities and urban counties. States also receive funds to distribute to their smaller communities and rural areas by methods they design. For 1984, the administration proposes two important changes to this program: • To provide recipients more flexibility in addressing their individual community and economic development needs, new housing construction is proposed as an eligible activity. • To meet more adequately the special community and economic development needs of Indian tribes, the administration is proposing a demonstration block grant program for Indian tribes. Proposed budget authority is $75 million, an increase of $44 million over the amount being allocated to Indian tribes in 1983 through the current categorical program. Urban development action grants (UDAG).—This competitive grant program is designed to generate economic growth and jobs in distressed areas. Financial assistance is provided to selected localities and Indian tribes and is used with private and local resources to promote locally designed economic revitalization projects that 380-000 0 - 8 3 - 1 3 : QL 3 5-78 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 could not go forward without Federal assistance. The total budget resources for 1984 are $440 million, financed with $196 million in new budget authority and $244 million in excess 1983 resources deferred until 1984. In addition, any recaptures of earlier obligations (now estimated at $36 million) will also be used in 1984. Outlays are anticipated to peak at $512 million in 1984. Rental rehabilitation grants.—The administration is again proposing $150 million in budget authority for this new program, which Congress failed to approve last year. This program would help States and localities rehabilitate rental properties, principally for lower-income households. Designed to leverage private investment capital, passage by Congress would result in the rehabilitation of an estimated additional 30,000 housing units annually. Housing payments, described in the income security section, would be provided to eligible low-income renters to help them afford these rehabilitated units. Urban homesteading.—Here also, the Congress failed to pass an important piece of legislation that would allow the administration to expand its urban homesteading program to test the feasibility of multifamily homesteading. This expanded program would not only improve blighted neighborhoods, but also provide additional homeownership opportunities to lower-income households who cannot afford the higher expenses of single-family homeownership. This legislation will be reproposed. Outlays for 1984 are estimated to be $12 million. Area and regional development—Programs in this category support rural development, American Indian tribal governments, and multi-State regional development. Rural development—The Department of Agriculture administers a variety of programs for developing rural areas. For rural water and waste disposal systems, the 1984 budget provides $250 million in direct loan obligations and $90 million in budget authority for grants. Direct loan obligations of $100 million are provided for 1984 for community facilities. These programs are proposed for inclusion in the administration's federalism initiative, described in Special Analysis H. Rural areas can also receive assistance from the Department of Housing and Urban Development's community development block grant program. Outlays for rural development programs are estimated to be $1.2 billion in 1983 and $1.0 billion in 1984. Economic development assistance.—The Department of Commerce's Economic Development Administration (EDA) provides assistance to States, communities, and Indian tribes that is intended COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT 5-79 to reduce unemployment in economically distressed areas and to help overcome problems of economic adjustment. The administration is maintaining the policy of phasing out all EDA activities as soon as possible in 1983 and has requested no program funds in 1984. Funds for community and economic development programs will continue to be available in 1984 through the community development block grant and urban development action grant programs. Specialized assistance for rural areas will continue to be available through the Farmers Home Administration. Indian programs,—The three major objectives of Federal Indian policy are to meet the trusteeship responsibilities of the U.S. Government, to increase self-determination for American Indian tribal governments, and to encourage economic development on Indian reservations. To further these objectives, the Federal Government provides grants, training, technical assistance, direct Federal loans, loan guarantees, and interest subsidies designed to strengthen tribal management and encourage a variety of economic and community development activities. Outlays for the Indian programs and for miscellaneous trust funds for regional development are estimated to be $1.1 billion in both 1983 and 1984. The 1984 budget also includes a new demonstration block grant program within the community development block grant program and sets funds aside specifically for Indian housing. Total outlays government-wide for special programs for members of federally recognized Indian tribes amounts to $2.6 billion in 1984. This is in addition to the miscellaneous trust funds and the funds Indians receive from Federal programs available to all qualifying U.S. citizens. Regional commissions.—The Appalachian Regional Commission's programs are intended to support development in the thirteen State region. The Appalachian Regional Commission (ARC) and its nonhighway and access roads programs are proposed for termination at the end of 1983. The Appalachian development highway system will continue to be funded from the highway trust fund in the Department of Transportation. The Appalachian system will be terminated by the end of 1986. The system is eligible for funding through Federal-aid for highways, and continued construction after 1986 would be through this funding mechanism, at the discretion of the States. This reflects the administration's policy of relying on the private sector and State and local governments to provide the stimulus for economic development. 5-80 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA).—TVA programs in this function are aimed primarily at strengthening the economic and natural resource base of the seven State region it serves. Support in such areas as economic and community assistance; land, water, forest and agricultural development; and fertilizer research, development and introduction are among the activities sponsored. Outlays for TVA's activities in this function are estimated to be $130 million in 1984. Disaster relief and insurance.—Insurance against losses from floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, and other natural disasters is primarily the responsibility of individuals and businesses. State and local governments aid recovery, when necessary, and Federal insurance and disaster relief programs are available to supplement State and local resources when they are insufficient. SBA disaster loans.—The Small Business Administration (SBA) provides loans to homeowners and non-agricultural businesses that suffer losses as a result of physical disasters, such as hurricanes or floods. Loan repayments for this program are estimated to exceed gross outlays by $193 million in 1984. Disaster relief.—The Federal Emergency Management Agency administers the Federal disaster assistance program. This nationwide program provides supplemental assistance to individuals, and State and local governments in the event of a Presidentially declared emergency or disaster. In addition, States or Federal agencies may be reimbursed for disaster relief work performed under this authority. It is difficult to forecast levels of disaster activity with any degree of certainty. Demands on the fund were light in 1981 and 1982. As a result, the existing balance in the fund increased to over $500 million through unused appropriations. This balance is estimated to be sufficient for 1983 and 1984. National flood insurance fund.—The Federal Emergency Management Agency operates a national program of direct Federal flood insurance at subsidized rates. Over the past 5 years, the program has cost the taxpayer approximately $150 million per year. The proposed 1984 budget continues the plan to phase out this costly subsidy by 1988 through a series of rate increases. This plan supports the administration's policy of recovering clearly allocable costs of flood insurance from those who receive the benefits of this program. The change will eliminate a substantial portion of the subsidy that the taxpayer now provides and discourage uneconomical development in flood prone areas. Outlays for this program are estimated to be $63 million for 1984. 5-81 COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT Credit programs.—For a number of programs in this function, the amount of credit activity is only partially reflected by budget authority and outlays. As shown in the table, total credit activity is estimated to be $1.0 billion in 1984, $0.8 billion less than in 1983. Direct loan obligations are estimated to decrease by $0.4 billion from 1983 to 1984 primarily due to a proposed reduction in rural development lending discussed earlier, and guaranteed loan commitments are estimated to decrease by $0.3 billion also in rural develpment programs. CREDIT PROGRAMS—COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT (In millions of dollars) Actual 1982 Direct loans: Rural development insurance fund (FmHA): New obligations 1 Net outlays Outstandings Rural development insurance fund (FmHA) (loans held by FFB): * Net outlays Outstandings Economic development assistance: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Small Business Administration disaster loans: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Rural Telephone Bank: New obligations Net outlays , Outstandings Other: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Other (loans made by the FFB): 2 New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Total, direct loans: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Guaranteed loans: Rural development insurance fund (FmHA): New commitments Net change Outstandings Economic development assistance: New commitments Net change Estimate 1983 1984 1985 1986 568 -132 153 518 21 173 360 -108 65 406 362 65 65 1,060 6,403 686 7,089 664 7,753 415 U69 248 8,416 14 -107 782 -36 746 -199 547 -100 447 -100 347 237 -371 6,073 440 -332 5,741 440 -274 5,467 -252 5,215 -234 4,981 185 102 1,173 185 173 1,345 185 171 1,516 185 170 1,686 185 166 1,852 56 -146 1,496 108 9 1,505 16 22 1,527 19 -70 1,457 19 -85 1,372 179 43 150 225 119 269 134 403 -18 352 -106 247 1,239 448 16,230 1,475 1,001 640 409 16,869 17,279 139 -11 3,387 300 -61 3,326 14 -70 -82 -274 3,051 1,049 1,006 145 -111 17,390 17,280 -457 2,595 -80 - -609 1,986 -80 5-82 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 CREDIT PROGRAMS—COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT—Continued (In millions of dollars) Actual 1982 Outstandings Small Business Administration disaster loans: New commitments Net change Outstandings Other: New commitments Net change Outstandings Total, guaranteed loans: New commitments Net change Outstandings Total credit budget (new obligations and new commitments) 1983 1984 1985 1986 629 547 467 387 307 6 3 11 -3 8 -3 5 -2 3 -1 2 28 -45 262 21 -52 210 19 1 211 30 -26 218 31 -11 228 186 -122 4,290 321 -198 4,091 19 -357 3,734 30 -565 3,203 31 -678 2,523 1,425 1796 1,020 1,079 1,037 •The direct lending activities of the Farmers Home Administration (FmHA) are financed by the Federal Financing Bank (FFB). Certificates of beneficial ownership (CBO's) are issued by the FmHA. According to law, these certificates are backed by loans that the agency continues to service. FmHA guarantees the CBO's, sells them to the FFB, and repurchases them upon maturity. FFB net outlays for REA represent acquisition of CBO's less repurchases by FmHA. Increases in the volume of sales of CBO's are added to FFB direct loan outstandings, while the FmHA's direct loan outstandings decrease by the amount of CBO's sold to the FFB. 2 These are commitments made by the agency to guarantee loans that the FFB will disburse. In effect, they are commitments for off-budget direct loans, and are counted as such in the credit budget. Policy responsibility for these loans rests with the guaranteeing agency. Tax expenditures.—Congress has not yet approved the President's enterprise zone proposal to test a free-market approach to our Nation's urban problems. The administration will seek swift congressional approval this year. Past Federal efforts to revitalize our distressed urban areas have been largely unsuccessful and much too expensive, in part because they often neglected to work with our country's greatest productive force, the private sector. To rectify this, the enterprise zone legislation would reduce business tax and regulatory burdens, provide employment incentives, and increase local services in clearly delineated, distressed areas. Tax expenditure estimates for enterprise zones are $265 million in 1984. Direct Federal funding for community and regional development is supplemented by several other tax expenditures. Under certain conditions, taxpayers may elect to amortize rehabilitation expenditures for low- and moderate-income rental housing over a 5-year period. The 1984 tax expenditure for this provision is $70 million. A tax credit of 15% is also available for rehabilitation of nonresidential buildings 30 to 39 years old and 20% for rehabilition of nonresidential buildings over 39 years old. For 1984, the estimate for this program is $460 million. Total tax expenditures for community and regional development for 1984 are estimated to be $535 million. COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT 5-83 Related programs.—Many programs that fulfill other national needs as their primary purpose also promote community and regional development. For example, Federal outlays for all civil public works and grants for local health, education, transportation and general revenue sharing programs support State and local development. Community development is also encouraged by other Federal activities, including defense contracting, management of public forests and parks, and the operation of Federal facilities, such as Veterans Administration hospitals, naval shipyards, and NASA research facilities. 5-84 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES National Needs Statement Federal programs for education, training, employment, and social services are intended to: (1) assist parents, States, and localities in providing education, especially for educationally disadvantaged, low-income, and handicapped persons; (2) assist economically disadvantaged or dislocated workers in finding permanent, unsubsidized employment opportunities; (3) help employers and employees maintain stable and productive relations; and (4) help provide social services for needy children, families, the elderly, and other groups. The Federal role in meeting education, training, employment, and social services needs should be limited to those specific areas where a demonstrated Federal responsibility exists and is of sufficient priority to warrant scarce Federal budget resources. Historically, the responsibility for meeting most of these needs has rested with State and local governments and the private sector. Total outlays for this function are estimated to be $25.3 billion for 1984. This is a 5.3% decrease from the 1983 level of $26.7 billion. The major 1984 changes in education, training, employment, and social services would: • redesign student financial aid for higher education so families and students pay their fair share of the costs as a condition for eligibility for Federal grants; and • implement the new Job Training Partnership Act, which restructures the delivery system and creates a partnership between government and the private sector in the planning and providing of job training and employment services. EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-85 NATIONAL NEED: EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES (Functional code 500; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Education: Elementary, secondary, and vocational education: Education for the disadvantaged State education block grant Science and math education (proposed legislation) Indian education Impact aid Education for the handicapped Vocational and adult education: Existing law Proposed legislation Other Subtotal, elementary, secondary, and vocational education Higher education: Student aid Self-help grants (proposed legislation) College work study Guaranteed student loans: Existing law Proposed legislation Pell grants Supplemental educational opportunity grants State student incentive grants National direct student loans Institutional aid Subtotal, higher education Research and general education aids.. Subtotal, education Training, employment, and labor services: Training and employment: Block grants to States* Summer youth employment: Existing law Proposed legislation Assistance to dislocated workers Job Corps Older Americans employment Work incentive program Other training programs Federal-State employment service Forward funding of training and employment programs Subtotal, training and employment.. Other labor services Subtotal, training, employment, and labor services 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 3,041 442 3,034 451 3,014 451 3,014 451 3,014 451 343 466 1,069 318 475 1,110 50 250 465 1,110 50 255 465 1,108 50 261 465 1,101 742 824 300 190 7 493 190 7 493 189 7 493 188 6,403 6,402 6,030 6,032 6,030 (6,644) (5,768) 528 540 (5,615) 2,714 850 (5,607) 2,714 850 (5,599) 2,714 850 2,169 -122 2,238 -199 2,161 -130 3,074 2,200 2,419 2,419 355 74 194 757 355 60 194 675 6,444 4 587 6,202 4 583 6,190 4 580 6,178 14,803 1,023 13,869 867 13,099 832 13,054 843 13,051 1,525 2,181 1,886 1,886 1,886 675 725 -85 50 586 282 271 343 824 725 -87 240 586 725 -87 240 586 725 -87 240 586 293 886 279 938 279 992 912 5,441 11 4,578 12 4,632 692 700 5,270 5,332 7,401 999 25 583 277 281 263 757 4,386 5,175 643 4,986 5,818 6,123 5-86 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL NEED: EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES—Continued (Functional code 500; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate Social services: Social services block grant Rehabilitation services: Existing law Proposed legislation Community service programs Family social services Services for children, youth, and families Services for the elderly and other special groups. Domestic volunteer programs Other social services Subtotal, social services.. Deductions for offsetting receipts. Total, budget authority OUTLAYS Education: Elementary, secondary, and vocational education: Education for the disadvantaged State education block grant Science and math education (proposed legislation) Indian education Impact aid Education for the handicapped Vocational and adult education: Existing law Proposed legislation Other Subtotal, elementary, secondary, and vocational education Higher education: Student aid Self-help grants (proposed legislation) College work study Guaranteed student loans: Existing law Proposed legislation Pell grants Supplemental educational opportunity grants State student incentive grants National direct student loans Institutional aid Subtotal, higher education.. Research and general education aids.. Subtotal, education 2,400 2,450 952 1,037 378 465 926 792 132 49 2,500 2,600 2,700 1,037 3 601 1,068 1,125 110 31 6,475 1,037 1,037 359 560 940 827 129 48 6,350 601 1,068 1,125 110 31 6,572 601 1,068 1,125 110 31 6,672 25,854 -42 25,996 -57 25,640 -73 24,823 -84 24,970 2,954 48 3,024 355 3,016 440 3,017 451 3,014 451 339 546 1,141 330 572 1,128 6 270 499 1,160 40 248 478 1,100 50 251 468 1,107 818 773 934 364 781 20 245 236 365 190 42 473 186 6,780 6,546 6,437 6,125 6,042 (5,755) (5,922) 533" 568" (5,507) 407 545 (5,788) 2,171 842 (5,601) 2,578 850 3,023 2,284 1,589 '7,408' 2,134 -102 1,991 2,235 -194 730 2,157 -124 136 371 57 182 751 395 63 204 819 6,739 325 14 193 608 6,084 4 475 6,263 4 420 6,021 1,118 14,403 999 13,520 874 13,262 841 12,904 6,094 -29 6,507 1,040 14,327 EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-87 NATIONAL NEED: EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES—Continued (Functional code 500; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Training, employment, and labor services: Training and employment: Block grants to States 1 Summer youth employment: Existing law Proposed legislation Assistance to dislocated workers Job Corps Older Americans employment Work incentive program Other training programs Federal-State employment service Expired programs Subtotal, training and employment Other labor services Subtotal, training, employment, and labor services 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 2,374 2,039 1,851 1,886 1,886 679 7 570 269 235 325 731 274 729 -76 47 605 278 315 387 812 14 725 -87 204 589 211 26 315 886 725 -87 240 586 725 -87 240 586 285 938 280 992 5,464 5,150 4,719 4,572 4,621 589 633 680 6,053 5,783 5,400 5,264 5,321 2,567 2,571 2,500 2,600 2,700 780 1,038 106 964 1,037 387 389 853 784 136 55 421 565 939 814 132 52 213 798 100 590 999 1,033 113 47 608 1,068 1,126 110 33 601 1,068 1,121 110 31 5,950 6,530 6,394 6,615 6,668 691 699 Social services: Social services block grant Rehabilitation services: Existing law Proposed legislation Community services programs Family social services Services for children, youth, and families Services for the elderly and other special groupsDomestic volunteer programs Other social services Subtotal, social services Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays -29 42 57 -73 84 26,300 26,676 25,256 25,068 24,809 ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Student Loan Marketing Association: Budget authority Outlays 1 700 700 In 1982, 1983, and 1984 the numbers include programs replaced by the block grant. EDUCATION The Federal Government has traditionally played a limited role in financing education. About 10% of the total national support for education comes from the Federal Government. However, the Federal Government's actual spending on specific education programs and its prescriptive regulations increased substantially in the 1960's and 1970's, resulting in a growing and inappropriate influ- 5-88 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 ence on parental, State, and local education decision making. The administration has moved forcefully to change that trend. Actions taken to date include: enactment in 1981 of the Education Consolidation and Improvement Act to simplify the largest compensatory education grant program and to combine some 30 small grant programs into one flexible State and local block grant; review and simplification of regulations in several programs; reduction of unnecessary intrusion in local affairs; and slowing of the excessive growth in spending. The administration continues to believe that a Cabinet-level agency for education is inappropriate and unnecessary and will work with the Congress to develop a different structure more appropriate for the Federal role in education. In 1984, the budget would continue these broad policies with the following goals: • hold education spending in most major programs to current levels; and • propose major legislative initiatives for: —student aid, to restore emphasis on family and student responsibility in meeting postsecondary education costs and to provide tax advantages to those who save to pay education costs; —tuition tax credits, to help families exercise choice in obtaining quality education for their children; —compensatory education, to allow States and localities the option of using funds to finance vouchers that enhance the opportunities for choice in the provision of compensatory education services; and, —science and mathematics learning, to assist States in training additional teachers. Federal spending in 1984 is expected to continue the policy of the last 2 years in stopping the excessive rates of past growth. For 1984, the administration proposes $13.1 billion in budget authority for education programs, $0.7 billion less than is proposed in 1983. Outlays are estimated to be $14.4 billion for 1983 and $13.5 billion for 1984. These estimates assume congressional approval of rescissions of $330 million of 1983 budget authority for discretionary programs. Another $900 million is proposed for rescission to eliminate unneeded budget authority for the guaranteed student loan program. This rescission would have no effect on policy or program activity. Some education programs may be included in the federalism initiative, described in Special Analysis H: "Federal Aid to State and Local Governments," in the Special Analyses volume of the 1984 Budget Elementary, secondary, and vocational education.—The budget includes an estimated $6.4 billion in outlays in 1984 for these EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-89 programs. Most funds are to assist States and localities educate students with special needs. Education for the disadvantaged.—The largest share of the funds for elementary and secondary education goes to States and localities for supplementary compensatory education services to lowachieving students under Chapter 1 of the Education Consolidation and Improvement Act (ECIA) of 1981. In the 1984-85 school year, approximately 13,800 school districts in all 50 States, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the outlying areas will participate in these programs. The 1984 request of $3.0 billion in budget authority is approximately the same as the 1983 request. For 1984, the administration will propose legislation to give States and local educational agencies the option of providing compensatory education services through a voucher system. State education block grant—Chapter 2 of the ECIA combined about 30 categorical program authorities into one block grant. State and local education agencies determine which of the authorized activities in the Act most appropriately address local educational priorities. In 1984, $451 million in budget authority is requested for State education block grants, the same amount provided in 1983. Science and math education.—Legislation is proposed to provide $50 million in budget authority to States for training additional teachers in science and mathematics. Combined with National Science Foundation support for science and technical education (see the discussion in general science, space, and technology), this initiative represents a substantial commitment to helping the States reverse the disturbing decline in the quality of science and mathematics learning in America. Indian education.—Education of Indians is largely carried out by local public schools or the Bureau of Indian Affairs through direct operation of schools, support of tribally operated schools, and financial assistance to public schools that serve Indian children. The Indian education program in the Department of Education is proposed to be phased down in 1983 and terminated in 1984; educationally disadvantaged individuals served in this program are eligible for a number of other education programs. Total estimated outlays for Indian education are $270 million in 1984, compared with $330 million in 1983. Impact aid.—This program compensates local school districts deemed adversely affected by Federal activity. Proposed budget authority of $465 million in 1984 will be made directly available to local districts, which will use the funds for operating expenses and, 5-90 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 in some cases, construction. School districts will receive payments only on behalf of children who live on Federal property including Indian lands and whose parents work on Federal property. Payments would be made to approximately 1,700 school districts on behalf of 330,000 children. Education for the handicapped.—Grants to States and other programs help States and localities educate handicapped children. For 1984, $1.1 billion in budget authority is requested, the same amount as provided in 1983. Vocational and adult education.—Vocational education funds assist youth in preparing for careers and assist adults who need job training or retraining. The adult education program provides formula grants to States to reduce functional illiteracy. Budget authority of $500 million is requested for 1984, a $324 million decrease from 1983. Federal funds are 10% or less of all vocational training, a share that has been declining for some time. Legislation will be proposed to provide States and localities with greater flexibility in the use of these funds. Higher education.—The administration requests $6.2 billion in budget authority and $6.1 billion in estimated outlays to support higher education in 1984. Student aid.—Student aid grants—in combination with the family's contribution, student work, loans, and other sources of self help—are intended to support the student's effort to meet the costs of, and thereby gain access to, postsecondary education. Under current law, schools and students can assemble monies from as many as six different Federal programs (plus other sources of aid) to pay for education costs in ways that require only limited contribution from the family and none from the student before receiving a Federal grant. The 1984 budget would restore the primary roles of the family and the student in meeting the responsibility for postsecondary educational costs. Legislation will be proposed that will require every student to contribute to the cost of education before receiving a Federal grant. This change is essential to re-establish a Federal system that encourages rather than supplants student self-help efforts. The proposal provides low-income students with more direct Federal grant aid than they would receive under current law. For 1984, $5.6 billion in budget authority is requested, of which $2.7 billion is for self-help grants, $850 million is for work-study, and $2.0 billion is for the cost of guaranteed student loans. Proposed legislation would restructure the Pell grant program into a self-help grant program that supplements the student's self-help effort. After taking into account the family contribution, the stu- EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-91 dent would be required to provide at least 40% of educational costs. Student contributions would be financed preferably through summer and part-time earnings or through the expanded workstudy program, although loans and other sources of funds may also be used. Self-help grants would then be available to meet remaining costs. The grant would be increased from the present Pell grant maximum of $1,800 to a self-help grant maximum of $3,000. This will provide support to low-income needy students at a wider range of schools. College work study budget authority would be increased by more than 50% to $850 million in 1984 in order to increase opportunities for students to meet their self-help contribution requirement through work. The additional funding would expand student employment on campuses, in State and local governments, and in the private non-profit sector. The guaranteed student loan (GSL) program, another major source for the student self-help contribution, would continue as under current law with two significant changes. First, all applications would be subject to a need analysis to ensure that Federal interest subsidy benefits do not go to those who do not need them. Under current law, only applications from students with family income of more than $30,000 are subject to a need analysis. Second, graduate and professional students (who would continue to be eligible for regular GSLs) would pay a 10% origination fee (increased from 5%). This reduction in the interest benefits for these students recognizes that these students can be expected to earn a substantially higher income than the general population and, therefore, can afford to pay more toward the interest costs of their subsidized loans. The supplemental educational opportunity grants, State student incentive grants, and new Federal capital contributions to the national direct student loan program would not be funded in 1984. In addition, administrative actions will continue to improve the accuracy of student assistance payment determinations; ensure that student assistance payments are used for educational purposes; and ensure that participating schools employ uniform standards of academic progress. Verification activities will be expanded to include student loan and campus-based student aid program applications and awards. Legislation also will be proposed to simplify the overly complex student assistance eligibility and award determinations. A major initiative is underway to reduce defaults in student loans and other education loan programs, to accelerate and improve collection efforts of lenders and State loan guarantee agencies, and to expand and improve the collection effort of the Federal Government on loans it guarantees or that have been assigned to it 5-92 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 for collection. In 1984, there are expected to be $4.3 billion in outstanding defaulted education program loans. The debt collection target for education loans and recovery of overpayments for 1984 is $1.0 billion, $450 million over the amount collected in 1982 and $225 million more than the 1983 goal. Institutional aid.—The administration requests budget authority in 1984 of $587 million for general institutional assistance. Funding for the historically black colleges under Title III of the Higher Education Act provides grants to strengthen the management of these institutions. For these institutions the administration requests budget authority of $46 million, $3 million more than the level requested in 1983. The American Printing House for the Blind (APHB) (classified in elementary, secondary, and vocational education), Gallaudet College, the National Technical Institute for the Deaf, and Howard University are private institutions that receive substantial operating and capital subsidies from the Federal Government. The 1984 request for special institutions for higher education is $248 million in budget authority, an increase of $20 million over 1983. Legislation will be proposed to require States to pay 10% of the costs for materials now provided at Federal expense by the APHB. Budget authority of $293 million is requested in 1984 for other general institutional aid programs such as special services for the disadvantaged, mandatory payments for certain loan programs, and Title III Higher Education Act funding for institutions other than historically black colleges. The administration is proposing no funding in 1984 and a rescission that would result in no funding for 1983 for a number of the general institutional assistance programs such as cooperative education, talent search, public service fellowships, and certain special endowments of individual schools. These actions are proposed because these programs are of lower priority or were designed to serve special groups that are eligible for assistance under other higher education programs. Research and general education aids.—The administration requests $0.9 billion in 1984 budget authority for educational research and statistics, cultural activities, and other general education. The administration is requesting $249 million in budget authority for the three agencies of the National Foundation for the Arts and Humanities, $179 million for the Library of Congress and $214 million for the Smithsonian Institution. Budget authority of $225 million is requested for other research and general education programs. EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-93 Credit programs.—The total credit budget in this function is proposed to be $7.8 billion in 1984, $0.5 billion above the 1983 level. The largest credit program in this function is the guaranteed student loan program. This program subsidizes interest and guarantees the repayment of loans made by commercial and non-profit institutions to students and their parents for higher education. The administration is anticipating new commitments of $7.4 billion for guaranteed loans in 1984. New commitments have increased dramatically from $1.8 billion in 1977. This increase is partially offset by a proposed decrease for new obligations for direct student loans for student financial assistance, which is part of the overall policy to consolidate the student aid programs and emphasize family contributions and student self-help in meeting the expenses of postsecondary education. CREDIT PROGRAMS—EDUCATION (In millions of dollars) Actual 1982 Estimate 1983 1984 1985 1986 289 162 1,525 391 335 1,860 424 230 2,090 524 266 2,356 574 398 2,754 175 466 4,790 179 125 4,915 126 5,042 -56 4,986 -66 4,919 700 700 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 Direct loans.Guaranteed student loans:1 New obligations Net outlays Outstanding Student financial assistance: New obligations Net outlays Outstanding SLMA obligations (loans made by FFB): New obligations 2 Net outlays Outstandings Other education.New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Total, direct loans: New obligations.... Net outlays Outstandings 40 13 3,543 40 10 3,553 -61 3,492 -149 3,343 -124 3,219 1,204 1,341 14,859 570 470 15,329 424 294 15,623 524 62 15,685 574 207 15,892 Guaranteed loans: Guaranteed student loans-. New commitments Net change Outstandings 6,195 6,778 7,391 4,985 2,900 2,300 22,700 25,600 27,900 Total credit budget (new obligations and new commitments) 1 These 2 7,399 7,348 7,815 7,858 8,354 1,700 1,600 29,600 31,200 8,382 8,928 are purchases of defaulted guaranteed student loans from lenders, prior to Federal collection efforts. These are commitments made by the agency to guarantee loans that the FFB will disburse. In effect, they are commitments for off-budget direct loans, and are counted as such in the credit budget. Policy responsibility for these loans rests with the guaranteeing agency. 380-000 O - 83 - li+ : QL 3 5-94 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Tax expenditures.—The major tax expenditures under current law that aid higher education are the exclusion of interest on State and local student loan bonds, the personal income tax exemptions available to parents of children age 19 and over who are in school, the deductibility of charitable contributions to educational institutions, and employer educational assistance plans. The tax expenditure estimates for these provisions in 1984 are $240 million, $945 million, $805 million, and $15 million, respectively. Total tax expenditures for education are estimated to be $2.0 billion in 1984. The administration will again propose legislation for a tuition tax credit for parents who choose to send their children to qualified private elementary and secondary schools. This is an essential measure that supports freedom of educational choice and is expected to help improve all aspects of elementary and secondary education. This tax expenditure is estimated to be $630 million in 1984. The administration is also proposing educational savings account legislation that will encourage savings to cover the costs of postsecondary education by making the interest and dividends on such accounts tax exempt. This proposal would be effective January 1, 1984. The tax expenditure is estimated to be $35 million in 1984. TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND OTHER LABOR SERVICES Programs that carry out the training and employment mission are intended to improve the operation of the labor market and enhance individuals' long-term employment and earnings prospects. The major programs provide training that is intended to develop and improve work skills or provide job counseling and labor exchange services that match workers and jobs. Other labor services programs include the regulation of employer-employee relations and the publication of labor statistics. The budget includes $5.4 billion in estimated outlays for these activities in 1984, a reduction of $0.4 billion from the 1983 estimate of $5.8 billion. Training and employment—Training and employment activities are financed through grants to States for training, summer youth employment programs, assistance to dislocated workers, and the Employment Service; and through various national programs, including the Job Corps. Legislation enacted in 1982 will enhance the operation of our Federal system in this area by providing States with more flexibility in the use of grants for training and the Employment Service. Block grants to States.—Under the new Job Training Partnership Act of 1982 (JTPA), general Federal assistance to States for training has been consolidated into a block grant, providing them the discretion to use the resources to address their most pressing training and employment problems. Each State, planning and operating EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-95 with the close cooperation of private sector employers, can design programs and service mix to meet its economic situation. Directing resources to the States permits increased coordination with other programs which are intended to provide training and to improve the operation of the labor market, such as vocational and adult education and the Employment Service, and which are already primarily the responsibility of State governments. The cooperation of private sector employers will ensure that disadvantaged people are trained for real jobs. Although few restrictions are included in the Act, 70% of the grant amount must be used for training. In the past, an average of only 18% of Federal aid went for training, with the remainder being spent on income transfers, administration, and various support services. As a result, it is expected that the $1.9 billion in budget authority requested for 1984 will support 406,000 years of service, compared to 303,000 to be served under the replaced programs in 1983. Outlays for the job training block grant are estimated to be $1.9 billion in 1984. Summer youth employment—The new Job Training Partnership Act continues the summer youth employment program that subsidizes public sector jobs during the summer months for youth between the ages of 14 and 20. Estimated outlays of $638 million in 1984 will provide approximately 718,000 summer jobs, about the same as in 1983. Legislation will be proposed to reduce the minimum wage for youth during the summer months to enable employers to afford to hire unskilled youth. Such youth will then be able to obtain invaluable work experience. The legislation will have the secondary effect of reducing the cost of these subsidized jobs in both 1983 and 1984, as reflected in the estimates. Assistance to dislocated workers.—JTPA also authorizes a new program of grants to States to help them assist unemployed workers who are unlikely to return to their previous jobs or occupations. Such workers can be helped into new fields of endeavor through identification of alternative occupations that fit their skills, training in new skills for which demand exceeds supply, assistance in finding suitable new jobs, and payment of the costs of a worker's move to a new location when he has found a long-term job. States must contribute their own money to the readjustment effort in a ratio that depends upon each State's unemployment experience. These matching funds can include amounts provided by other State or local programs (such as vocational education) and State unemployment compensation paid to workers undergoing retraining in this program. Proposed budget authority of $240 million for this program in 1984 will provide for assistance to approximately 96,000 dislocated workers. A previous program of training and 5-96 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 relocation services only to those deemed displaced by increased imports (for which $25 million was provided in both 1982 and 1983) expires at the end of 1983. Job Corps.—The Job Corps residential training program will continue to provide approximately 40,000 years of service in 1984, the same as in 1983. Outlays are estimated to be $589 million in 1984. Older Americans employment—Although separate 1984 budget authority for the program providing part-time public service employment for older workers is not being requested, the authority for such jobs will continue under the consolidated grants for services to older Americans discussed under social services, below. Estimated outlays of $211 million in 1984 represent the costs of these jobs financed through June 30, 1984, with separate 1983 budget authority. Work incentive program.—This program has financed job services, training, and public service employment to recipients of aid to families with dependent children (AFDC). This separate categorical program has not been demonstrated to be cost-effective. The administration proposes mandatory work programs for appropriate AFDC recipients, discussed in the income security function, and the Job Training Partnership Act requires that eligible AFDC recipients be served on an equitable basis with others. Therefore, the need for a separate jobs program for AFDC recipients no longer exists and no budget authority is requested for the work incentive program for 1984. Other training programs.—In 1984 estimated outlays of $315 million will be spent on other national training activities, including special programs for veterans, native Americans, and migrant and seasonal farm workers. In addition, new training approaches will be designed and tested, labor market information development will be supported, training programs will be evaluated, and technical assistance, training, and other support and administrative services will be provided to the State-operated programs. Federal-State employment services.—The Job Training Partnership Act of 1982 also revised the Wagner-Peyser Act, originally enacted in 1933 to support State activities designed to match jobs and workers. The revised law now provides States with greater flexibility in the planning and operation of the basic employment services, while enabling a greater coordination by the States between the employment service and Federal training activities. Grants for these basic employment services will be allocated among the States by formula. In addition, employment service activities designed to serve national needs, such as services to veterans and EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-97 collection of general purpose labor market statistics, will be financed through specific agreements between the States and the Federal Government. Estimated outlays of $886 million in 1984 will maintain the same overall level of employment services as are financed in 1983 under the old system. Forward funding of training and employment programs.—This proposal for later transmittal would convert financing for most training and employment services programs to a January through December program-year basis and does not involve an increase in program level. The proposal will be transmitted to Congress as soon as agreement has been reached on the appropriateness of forward-funding for these programs. Other labor services.—The Federal Government establishes and enforces standards affecting the relationship between employers and employees and between unions and their members. The activities include enforcement of the minimum wage and related laws, regulation of welfare and pension plans, supervision of labor-management relations, regulation of the equal employment practices of Federal contractors, and assurances that election of labor union officials are democratic and that such officials do not abuse their stewardship. In addition, employment and unemployment statistics and data on wages, prices, and productivity are collected and disseminated. Outlays for these activities are estimated at $680 million in 1984. Tax expenditures.—The targeted jobs credit provides incentives for employers to hire disadvantaged individuals and recipients of certain welfare benefits. Tax credits are also provided to encourage individuals with dependents to work by allowing tax credits for child care expenses. In 1984 the targeted jobs credit and the credit for child and dependent care expenses result in tax expenditure estimates of $705 million and $2.4 billion respectively. The proposed tax expenditure to encourage employers to hire the longterm unemployed is discussed in the income security function. Training and employment-related programs.—A number of Federal programs are related to training and employment, although their primary purpose is to meet other national needs. Job training services provided by the Veterans Administration are included in the veterans function; job safety and health activities are included in the health function; and activities relating to job discrimination on the basis of race, age, or sex are included in the administration of justice function. 5-98 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 SOCIAL SERVICES The Federal Government makes grants to States and to local public and private institutions for a variety of social services. These services are primarily designed to meet the needs of lowincome people, children and youth, the elderly, the disabled, and other groups with special needs. Outlays for social services are expected to be $6.5 billion in 1983 and $6.4 billion in 1984. Some of these programs may be in a block grant to States under the administration's federalism proposal, described in Special Analysis H: "Federal Aid to State and Local Governments." in the Special Analyses volume of the 1984 Budget Social services block grant—The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 created a block grant for social services that gives States wide discretion in determining the types of services offered and who is eligible to receive them. Services provided by States may include child day care, foster care, child protective services, homemaker services, family planning, preparation and delivery of meals, transportation, counselling, legal services, and substitute care and day care for adults. Funds may also be used for State and local administrative costs. The funds are distributed among the States on the basis of population. States also have the flexibility of transferring up to 10% of any block grant allotment to other block grants that support health services, health promotion and disease prevention activities, or low-income home energy assistance. Budget authority of $2.5 billion is requested for the social services block grant in 1984, $50 million more than in 1983. Rehabilitation services.—This program makes grants to States for vocational rehabilitation of physically and mentally handicapped individuals to help them become gainfully employed and live more independently. The administration is proposing legislation to reform this program by providing greater State flexibility in direct service delivery along with stricter State accountability to objective standards of program performance. Budget authority of $1.0 billion is being requested in 1984 for rehabilitation services. The administration's proposal assumes implementation of significant management improvements during 1984. By 1985, up to onethird of the funds allocated to States would be distributed based primarily on their success in rehabilitating severely disabled individuals. Community service programs.—In 1984, budget authority of $3 million is requested to close out the community services block grant. States have the flexibility to fund community services activities under the social services block grant for which a $50 million increase in budget authority is requested in 1984. EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-99 Family social services.—In 1984, budget authority of $601 million is requested for foster care, adoption assistance, and a consolidated child welfare services program that combines funding for child welfare services and training. These funds support State services that are designed to strengthen and reunite families and place children promptly and permanently in adoptive homes when they cannot be reunited with their families. Services for children, youth, and families.—These programs are designed to improve the quality of services for low income, neglected, abused, or homeless children. Budget authority of $1.1 billion is requested for these programs in 1984, an increase of $0.1 billion from 1983. Funding in this area is almost entirely for Head Start, which assists local community groups in providing comprehensive services for low-income pre-school children and their families. The 1984 funding level will allow the program to increase enrollment from 395,800 to 424,900 children in the most efficient projects and in projects testing innovative approaches, such as employer-based centers. Beginning in 1984, Head Start projects will receive all funding directly from the Department of Health and Human Services, rather than applying to the Department of Agriculture separately for nutrition funds. Services for the elderly and other special groups.—For 1984, budget authority of $1.1 billion is requested for social services for elderly people and other special groups. Grants are made to State and area agencies on aging to assist in financing a range of services to older Americans, particularly those with the greatest economic and social need. Services include transportation, information and referral, legal, and community services in addition to a variety of services provided in the home. Nutrition projects for the elderly finance meals served in a group setting or delivered to the homebound elderly. The administration is proposing to broaden the range of services to include subsidized part-time employment for low-income elderly persons, thus enabling the continuation of programs previously financed separately. Domestic volunteer programs.—ACTION, a Federal agency for volunteer programs, supports Foster Grandparents, the Retired Senior Volunteer program (RSVP), Senior Companions, and programs to stimulate volunteer services. Authority to fund the Volunteers in Service to America (VISTA) program expires at the end of 1983. Reauthorization is not requested for 1984 because VISTA is both more expensive and less effective than other volunteer programs. ACTION will encourage volunteer service through technical assistance, demonstrations, and small grants and will support 5-100 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 groups of Vietnam veterans to help other veterans of the Vietnam war with problems stemming from their military service. Outlays for ACTION are estimated to decrease from $132 million in 1983 to $113 million in 1984. Tax expenditures.—The provision of social services by a wide variety of private charitable and religions institutions is encouraged by the tax deductibility of contributions to those institutions. The tax expenditure estimate for charitable contributions, other than to educational and health institutions, is $7.2 billion in 1984. Total tax expenditures for education, training, employment, and social services are estimated to be $15.9 billion in 1984. HEALTH 5-101 HEALTH National Needs Statement The Federal Government contributes to meeting the Nation's health care needs by reducing the rise in health care costs, financing and providing health care services, promoting preventive health measures, and supporting research and training. A major problem for both individuals and the Federal Government in meeting health care needs is the rapid inflation of health care costs. Increasingly expensive health care costs undermine the American people's ability to purchase needed health care. Federal policies have contributed significantly to health care cost increases. The budget contains major initiatives to reduce cost increases. These include building on reforms recently legislated by Congress as well as a limit in tax subsidies for employment-based health insurance, and other steps to control costs in medicare and medicaid. Health care services.— More than 90% of Federal outlays for health is devoted to financing or providing health care services directly to individuals. Federal outlays for health care services are estimated to rise from $76.5 billion in 1983 to $84.9 billion in 1984 and $94.7 billion in 1985, despite proposed savings of $2.0 billion in 1984, and $3.9 billion in 1985. Medicare and medicaid.—Medicare and medicaid outlays, which finance health care services for poor, disabled, and aged Americans, are estimated to be $80.7 billion in 1984 including proposed legislative savings of $2.0 billion. Medicare outlays are estimated at $59.8 billion in 1984 including proposed legislation of $1.7 billion in savings. These outlays are expected to finance services for 27 million aged and 3 million disabled Americans. Estimated Federal medicaid outlays of $20.8 billion in 1984, including proposed savings of $0.3 billion, and an additional $17.8 billion provided by States, are expected to finance care for 23 million poor Americans. Together, medicare and medicaid are expected to aid nearly one in every five Americans in 1984. 5-102 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL NEED: HEALTH (Functional code 550; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Health care services: Medicare: Hospital and supplementary medical insurance: Existing law Proposed legislation Premiums and collections:1 Existing law Proposed legislation 1982 actual 1983 estimate 55,237 3 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 47,223 -129 65,998 338 74,367 -387 84,990 -134 -4,355 126 42,865 -5,010 160 61,486 -5,843 -260 67,877 -6,264 -1,371 77,221 14,795 0 21,038 -300 23,990 -858 26,068 -722 1,196 1,196 165 1,196 165 1,196 165 3,190 2,943 2,836 -495 3,283 -788 73,469 61,798 85,927 94,866 3,651 -1,046 106,534 Health research: National Institutes of Health research. Other research programs 3,450 394 3,791 437 3,868 479 3,850 479 Subtotal, health research 3,844 4,228 4,347 4,328 3,850 479 4,328 192 239 63 211 233 37 209 138 18 209 138 18 209 138 18 494 481 365 365 365 689 717 754 _2 752 -5 747 -4 348 362 366 _4 368 -4 370 -4 1,037 1,079 1,113 1,111 1,109 15 -28 -27 -27 -27 78,859 67,558 91,725 100,643 112,309 50,423 57,360 -100 76,432 -2,781 85,370 -3,220 -3,855 -4,355 126 53,031 66,535 -1,856 -5,010 160 59,829 -5,843 -260 67,548 -6,264 -1,371 74,515 51,382 Subtotal, medicare.. Medicaid: Existing law 2 Proposed legislation Health block grants: Existing law Proposed legislation Other health care services-. Existing law Proposed legislation 18,014 Subtotal, health care services.. Education and training of the health care work force: Research training Clinical training Other Subtotal, education and training of the health care work force Consumer and occupational health and safety: Consumer safety: Existing law Proposed legislation Occupational safety and health: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, consumer and health and safety... occupational Deductions for offsetting receipts.... Total, budget authority OUTLAYS Health care services: Medicare: Hospital and supplementary medical insurance: Existing law Proposed legislation Premiums and collections:1 Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, medicare -3,855 46,568 5-103 HEALTH NATIONAL NEED: HEALTH—Continued (Functional code 550; in millions of dollars) 1982 actual Major missions and programs Medicaid: Existing law Proposed legislation Health block grants: Existing law Proposed legislation Other health care services: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, health care services Health research: National Institutes of Health research Other research programs Subtotal, research programs Education and training of the health care work force: Research training Clinical training Other Subtotal, education and training of the health care work force Consumer and occupational health and safety: Consumer safety: Existing law Proposed legislation Occupational safety and health: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, consumer health and safety and Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1986 estimate 1985 estimate 17,391 19,333 -7 21,092 -293 23,990 -858 26,068 722 663 1,119 1,196 107 1,196 165 1,196 165 3,730 3,039 3,066 -137 2,892 200 3,113 545 68,350 76,515 84,860 94,734 103,791 3,470 478 3,757 447 3,828 452 3,850 483 3,850 483 3,948 4,204 4,281 4,333 4,333 195 374 101 202 319 59 204 176 35 209 138 18 209 138 18 670 580 414 365 365 698 729 762 -2 764 -5 755 336 361 363 -3 366 -4 370 -4 occupational 1,034 1,090 1,119 1,121 1,116 15 -28 -27 -27 27 74,017 82,362 90,647 100,525 109,577 17 10 16 24 6 5 * 1 -4 ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Health care services: Budget authority Outlays 1 Includes 2 voluntary enrollee premiums for medicare coverage. The large decrease in 1983 budget authority is due to a transitional quarter resulting from a technical change in the appropriations language. 'Reflects interfund loans of $12.4 billion in 1983 to OASI. *$500.000 or less. Since 1981, the administration has successfully advanced a number of reforms of the medicare and medicaid programs. In response, Congress has passed the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 (OBRA) and the 1982 Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act (TEFRA) that institute reforms enhancing medicare and medicaid program economy and effectiveness. 5-104 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Under OBRA, excessive reimbursements to medicare providers were reduced through such measures as imposition of tighter reimbursement limits on hospitals, home health agencies and skilled nursing facilities, and elimination of an unwarranted reimbursement bonus to hospitals for nursing services to medicare patients. The medicare benefit structure was improved through such measures as raising the level of the SMI deductible to deter unnecessary use of services. Under TEFRA, a major reform of the current medicare hospital reimbursement system was enacted. Hospitals with excessive rates of cost increase or with very high costs relative to other hospitals will experience reimbursement reductions. At the same time, hospitals that control their cost increases effectively can receive reimbursement bonuses. OBRA reformed the medicaid program by establishing target amounts for medicaid cost increases to encourage States to limit the program's explosive growth. Federal matching funds are reduced for States whose spending exceeds targets established by Congress. TEFRA allowed States to impose additional small copayments on certain medicaid beneficiaries and services. Congress also adopted a number of administration proposals to increase the ability of States to assure continuation of basic health care services to welfare recipients and to manage their programs more efficiently and effectively. The accompanying table displays medicare and medicaid savings adopted by the Congress in 1982. The 1984 budget builds on these achievements by Congress and the administration and proposes additional measures to achieve savings and improve services in medicaid and medicare. Those measures are discussed below and displayed in a table in Part 3 and will save $2.0 billion in outlays in 1984. The administration is proposing four major medicare reforms: • Catastrophic hospital cost protection and user cost sharing.—In most cases, the present cost sharing structure provides no deterrent to avoid unnecessary use of hospital services once a patient is admitted and pays the deductible. Severely ill patients, however, face a potentially unlimited financial burden. The administration proposes to protect medicare beneficiaries against costly hospital stays and establish better incentives for hospital use by restructuring medicare cost sharing. Currently, beneficiaries pay a deductible (approximately $350 in 1984) for the first day of hospital care for each hospital admission in a spell of illness. The medicare program pays the full cost for the 2nd through the 60th day of care. From the 61st to 90th day of care, beneficiaries pay 25% of the deductible for each day in the hospital; after the 90th day, the benefici- 5-105 HEALTH OUTLAY SAVINGS AND REVENUE INCREASES ADOPTED IN 1982 (In millions of dollars) 1984 estimate Medicare: Reform hospital reimbursement Institute single reimbursement limit for skilled nursing facilities Institute single reimbursement limit for home health agencies Revise reimbursement for hospital-based physicians Eliminate hospital nursing reimbursement bonus Eliminate duplicate payment for outpatient physician overhead Conform radiologist and pathologist reimbursement to other physicians Reform reimbursement for assistants at surgery Make medicare reimbursement secondary for the working aged Reform audit and medical claims review Institute temporary delay in periodic interim payments Provide medicare coverage for Federal employees Provide medicare coverage of hospice care Subtotal, medicare outlay impact Medicaid: Allow nominal copayments Facilitate liens on beneficiary estates Reduce Federal matching for State payment errors Extend medicaid to American Samoa Reflect medicaid offset due to medicare changes Reflect medicaid offset due to AFDC proposals Subtotal, medicaid outlay impact Offsetting receipts: Collect employer share of HI tax on postal workers Maintain SMI premium at a constant share of program costs Subtotal, offsetting receipts Total, outlay impact Revenues: Collect Federal employee share of HI tax Total, deficit reduction 1985 estimate 1986 estimate -1,450 -2,620 -3,980 -53 -62 -69 -6 -6 -7 -80 -100 -110 -115 -144 -128 -135 -210 -175 -189 -213 -240 -75 -90 -100 -315 -365 -410 -88 -116 -144 -100 870 50 75 105 70 140 110 -2,486 -2,820 -5,169 -90 -127 -66 1 25 -18 -275 -103 -141 -78 1 41 -20 -300 -107 -157 -87 1 43 -22 -329 -169 -175 -344 -185 -405 -590 -211 -440 -651 3,105 3,710 6,149 846 927 1,057 -3,951 -4,637 -7,206 ary has unlimited liability for the cost of care, except for 60 lifetime reserve days during which patients pay 50% of the deductible for each day. Under the administration proposal, beneficiaries would pay for each spell of illness 8% of the deductible for the second through 15th day of care and 5% of the deductible for the 16th through the 60th day of care. Medicare will pay all costs after the 60th day, without any limit on covered hospital days; no beneficiary would be liable for more than a total of 60 days of cost sharing a year, including not more than two hospital deductibles. In addition, the beneficiary coinsurance for the 21st through 100th day in a skilled nursing facility would be reduced from 12.5% to 5% of the inpatient hospital deductible. 5-106 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 • Supplementary medical insurance (SMI) premiums and deductibles.—SMI is a voluntary program for the aged who want to buy additional medical outpatient insurance. This proposal will delay the SMI premium increase from July 1, 1983 to January 1, 1984, when it would be set at 25% of program costs. On January 1, 1985 the SMI premium will be set at 27.5% of program costs; it will grow 2.5% annually until it reaches 35% on January 1, 1988. When the program began, beneficiary premiums were supposed to finance 50% of SMI program costs; the remaining 50% was financed by general revenues. This was the case from 1966 to 1971. From 1972 to 1982, however, the SMI premium increase was limited by the rate of increase of social security contributions and fell to under 25% of program costs. Currently, SMI premiums are scheduled to cover 25% of program costs through 1985, when they would once again be linked to social security contributions. In view of the economic difficulties confronting the working population, this proposal would shift more of SMI financing to those who choose SMI rather than the taxpayer; this is consistent with the original program design. The SMI deductible would also be indexed to the medicare economic index in order to keep its economic value constant. • Hospital reimbursement reform.—Medicare's cost-based reimbursement system encourages inefficiency in the delivery of hospital services. The incentives inherent in the current system have contributed to an excessive rate of growth in medicare's hospital insurance program, for example, 19.2% in 1982 compared to a GNP increase of 5.6%. Reforms enacted in TEFRA provided incentives for hospital efficiency, but these reforms expire in 1985. The administration will propose a new prospective payment system for hospitals. The system will establish incentives for hospitals to limit cost increases, and will produce approximately the same level of savings as would result from an extension of TEFRA reforms. • Physician payment freeze and hospital reimbursement limits.—As part of the overall effort to hold down Federal spending and the deficit, the target increase in hospital reimbursements scheduled in TEFRA will be limited to the hospital market basket rate—i.e., the percentage increase of goods and services that hospitals purchase—in 1984. In addition, medicare payments to physicians will be frozen at 1983 reimbursement rates. Together, these budget proposals will save $780 million in 1984. Other proposals for medicare include beginning medicare eligibility with the first full month after the 65th birthday rather than the beginning of the month in which the birthday occurred, instituting a voluntary voucher progam, selecting medicare contractors HEALTH 5-107 by competitive bidding, and terminating mandatory hospital utilization review activities. In addition, beginning in 1984, medicare revenues will be generated through the inclusion of all non-profit organization employees in the Social Security system. The administration is also proposing to require States to set nominal copayments in medicaid beginning in 1984. Nominal copayments can help deter unnecessary use of medical services. The budget proposal would expand the present copayment provisions passed by Congress by requiring States to impose nominal copayments on all services except those to nursing home patients. Such copayments would be $1.00 and $1.50 for physician visits and $1.00 and $2.00 for each day in the hospital. The higher copayments would apply to medically needy beneficiaries in medicaid. Nursing home patients would be exempted from mandatory copayments because they typically have incurred large out-of-pocket costs before entering nursing homes or gaining medicaid eligibility. Health block grants.—The budget authority requested for health block grants increases from $1.2 billion in 1983 to $1.4 billion in 1984. This results from proposed legislation to consolidate additional programs into these grants. The block grants allow States flexibility to coordinate and improve the effectiveness of services for their citizens. States will be able to streamline program administration because unnecessary Federal regulatory, legal and reporting requirements previously imposed on States and grantees will no longer apply. The administration's legislative proposal would expand the primary care block grant to include narrow categorical programs for black lung clinics, migrant health, and family planning. Other health care services.—To promote competition in health care, the budget reflects the continuing the phaseout of the health planning program t h a t bars market entry to providers, and the phaseout of direct Federal subsidies for the professional standards review organization (PSRO) program. Under TEFRA and the administration's proposed prospective payment system, hospitals have financial incentives to reduce length of stays and the need for PSRO length-of-stay reviews is diminished. Legislation will also be proposed to assist federally funded health maintenance organizations (HMOs) to compete with other health care providers by removing unnecessary Federal requirements, thus allowing a phaseout of Federal grant and loan subsidies. For 1984, the administration is requesting $63 million in budget authority for the direct Federal subsidy to St. Elizabeths Hospital for the care of District of Columbia residents. This request is a reduction of $14 million from 1983 and represents the second year 5-108 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 of a ten-year phase-down of direct Federal subsidies for District residents at St. Elizabeths Hospital. It includes a three-year phasedown of the subsidy for 740 District residents who are currently inpatients that the District court has ordered to be placed in the community by the end of December, 1985. Compliance with the court order will result in less restrictive, less expensive, and more appropriate care for many patients currently institutionalized at St. Elizabeths. Legislation will also be proposed to establish a corporation to administer the hospital. The phase down of direct Federal subsidies for District residents' mental health care will make Federal policy with regard to the District of Columbia consistent with the Federal role for other States and jurisdictions. The District will have increased responsibility for and control over the financing and delivery of mental health services to its residents, consistent with the principles of home rule and federalism. Budget authority is requested for the Indian Health Service (IHS) at a level of $688 million in 1983 and $653 million in 1984. In 1984, the IHS will embark on an expanded program of seeking $70 million in third-party reimbursements for health services provided to American Indians and Alaskan Natives. Budget authority for the National Health Service Corps (NHSC) is requested at a level of $96 million in 1984. Increased emphasis will be placed on encouraging NHSC scholarship recipients to go into private practice in areas with a shortage of medical professionals. As part of the administration's health initiative, legislation reforming the Federal employees health benefits (FEHB) program is proposed. The proposal will strengthen competition in the program, encourage a wider range of benefit packages, and assist in moderating the excessive rate of increase in health insurance premiums. Major features of the proposal include requiring catastrophic protection for all enrollees, changing the method for determining Government contributions to health plan premiums, providing incentives that would encourage cost control by participating plans and enrollees, and removing current barriers to plan entry into the program. • Government contributions would no longer be based on average premiums of the six largest and most comprehensive plans in the program. Instead, it would be based on average Government contributions in 1983, indexed in future years to reflect price increases. Off-budget entities would now have to make this contribution for their retirees. Disproportionate increases in the premiums for these plans would not automatically result in large increases in Government contributions. This would enhance incentives for participating plans to control costs in order to remain competitive. HEALTH 5-109 • Under existing law, the Government contribution to an enrollee's selected plan cannot exceed 75% of the plan premium. Under the proposal, the Government contribution would be fixed, regardless of the percent, and if the employee chose a plan costing less t h a n the Government contribution, the employee would receive the difference. This enhances incentives for enrollees to select less costly plans. • Existing law limits the number of Government-wide plans eligible to participate in the program. The proposal allows for entry of additional Government-wide plans. Health research.—In 1981, the Federal Government provided more than four-fifths of total to national health expenditures for research, excluding drug and medical industries' research. The budget proposes to increase budget authority for health research from $4.2 billion in 1983 to $4.3 billion in 1984. These funds primarily will support basic biomedical research conducted by the National Institutes of Health (NIH). Support will be provided for such activities as research project grants, research centers, training of biomedical scientists, and the NIH intramural research program. Funds are also requested for continued support of research on chemical and related behavioral disorders, such as mental illness and alcohol and drug abuse, as well as health services research and health statistical activities. Education and training of the health care workforce.—In 1984, $365 million in budget authority is requested for these programs. As the supply of most health care professionals is now adequate, direct Federal support for health professions training is no longer essential. For this reason, budget authority requested for clinical training of health care professionals decreases from $233 million in 1983 to $138 million in 1984. Support will continue, however for about 10,000 research trainees. Support will also continue for minority health professions schools and disadvantaged students. Nearly 22,000 students in health programs will be supported by an additional $175 million in new loan guarantees under the health education assistance loan program. Consumer and occupational health and safety.—Budget authority of $1.1 billion in 1984 is requested for protecting consumers from unsafe and defective products and for protecting workers from occupational hazards. Consumer safety.—Budget authority for consumer safety activities is proposed to be $752 million in 1984. Funding will support research, dissemination of information, and regulatory measures to protect consumers from unreasonable consumer product risks. In380-000 0 - 83 - 15 : QL 3 5-110 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 spections will be continued to assure the safety and efficacy of drugs, medical devices, and foods. Occupational safety and health,—The budget includes $362 million in budget authority to improve occupational safety and health in 1984. The Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) and the Mine Safety and Health Administration (MSHA) in the Department of Labor issue and enforce standards to eliminate workplace hazards causing injury, illness, or death. During 1983 and 1984, both OSHA and MSHA will continue efforts to revise or eliminate standards that burden employers without providing additional protection for workers. Resources will be focused on those activities most likely to ensure safe and healthful working conditions. The 1984 request includes proposed amendments to the Federal Mine Safety and Health Act of 1977 that would allow MSHA to concentrate its efforts on mines most likely to be hazardous. Credit programs.—The health function includes several small loan and loan guarantee programs, including health-related student loans and assistance to health maintenance organizations. The proposed credit budget totals for health programs is estimated to be $83 million below the 1983 level. The decrease is due primarily to declines in new commitments of guaranteed loans for health professionals' education. Tax expenditures.—Federal tax laws help finance health care by allowing employees to exclude from their taxable income the insurance premiums paid by their employers. The estimate for this provision is $29 billion for 1984. Individuals also are permitted to itemize as deductions certain expenses for health care. TEFRA increased the floor under the itemized deduction for medical expenses for calendar year 1983 from 3% to 5% of adjusted gross income, and eliminated the separate deduction of health insurance premiums. In 1984, the estimates of these tax deductions are $2.6 billion. In addition, health-related charitable contributions result in an estimate in 1984 of $1.2 billion, and the exclusion of interest on State and local hospital bonds results in an estimate of $1.1 billion. After 1982, a tax credit of 50% is allowed for qualified clinical testing of drugs used to treat certain rare diseases or conditions. The estimate for this provision is $25 million in 1984. Estimated tax expenditures for existing health provisions total $34.3 billion in 1984. The current tax subsidy for the cost of health insurance premiums paid by employers has artificially increased the value of this fringe benefit. Thus, it has stimulated excessive health insurance coverage and contributed to health care cost inflation, because 5-111 HEALTH CREDIT PROGRAMS—HEALTH (In millions of dollars) Actual 1982 Direct loans: Health programs: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Health programs (loans held by the FFB):* Net outlays Outstandings Total, direct loans: New obligations. Net outlays Outstandings Guaranteed loans: Health programs: New commitments.. Net change Outstandings Total credit budget (new obligations and new commitments) Estimate 1983 1984 1985 1986 27 2 880 47 25 905 16 5 910 13 6 916 9 1 917 10 287 -24 263 263 262 -4 257 27 12 1,166 47 1 1,168 16 5 1,172 13 6 1,178 9 _3 1,174 200 169 1,253 233 155 1,408 181 127 1,535 180 151 1,686 180 159 1,836 193 189 227 280 197 *$500 thousand or less. J The direct lending activities of these programs are financed by the FFB. Loan assets are issued by the agency. According to law, these assets are backed by loans that the agency continues to service. The agency guarantees the loan assets, sells them to the FFB, and repurchases them upon maturity. FFB net outlays for this account represent acquisition of loan assets less repurchases by the agency. Increases in the volume of sales of loan assets are added to FFB direct loan outstandings, while the agency's direct loan outstandings decrease by the amount of loan assets sold to the FFB. consumers have no incentive to hold down costs if they bear only a very limited part of the costs directly. The administration proposes to limit the subsidy to the portion of the monthly premium under $175 for a family plan and $70 for an individual plan. This proposal would continue the subsidy at a level sufficient to promote adequate coverage, but one that would make the tax law neutral with respect to wages and added health insurance. The tax expenditure estimate of this proposal is $2.4 billion in 1984. Health-related expenditures.—The Federal Government supports health-related expenditures that are reported in other budget functions. Among the most important are medical care for veterans and military personnel, reported in the veterans benefits and services and national defense functions. Agency contributions to Federal employees health benefits were described under health care services, but are included in the section on undistributed offsetting receipts. 5-112 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 INCOME SECURITY National Needs Statement Federal programs in the income security function help meet national needs by insuring against the loss of income resulting from unemployment, old age, disability, or death of a wage earner and by assisting the truly needy who are unable to provide for themselves. Income security is the largest and traditionally one of the most rapidly growing functions in the Federal budget. In 1984, income security outlays are estimated to be $282.4 billion, about 33% of total Federal budget outlays. The income security function has grown from 3.7% of gross national product (GNP) in 1960 to an estimated 8.1% of GNP in 1984. This growth has been, and will continue to be, dominated by social security. Increases in the income security programs result largely from cost-of-living adjustments and growth in the number of beneficiaries. Most of the benefits are paid under entitlement standards established by law. Reforms enacted in 1981 and 1982 have significantly improved the focus and administration of Federal entitlement programs. Additional proposals included in this budget will produce further improvements. The administration's proposals to reduce the budget deficit include proposals to freeze cost-of-living increases for Federal programs by 6 to 12 months. For social security, a 6-month freeze is proposed, consistent with the bipartisan National Commission on Social Security Reform proposal. Similar freezes are also proposed for supplementary security income, railroad retirement, veterans pensions and compensation, and food stamps and child nutrition programs. For Federal employee retirement and disability programs and the disabled coal miners program, which is linked to Federal pay schedules, a 12-month freeze is proposed. Other proposed reforms are discussed below. 5-113 INCOME SECURITY NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING INCOME SECURITY (Functional code 600; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY General retirement and disability insurance: Social security (OASDI): Existing law Proposed legislation Railroad retirement Benefits for disabled coal miners: Existing law Proposed legislation Other Subtotal, general retirement and disability insurance. Federal employee retirement and disability: Retirement and disability programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Federal employees workers' compensation: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, Federal employee retirement and disabilityUnemployment compensation: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, unemployment compensation. Housing assistance: Subsidized housing Public housing operating subsidies Indian housing (proposed legislation) Rural housing block grant (proposed legislation). Other housing assistance Subtotal, housing assistance Food and nutrition assistance: Food stamps and aid to Puerto Rico: Existing law Proposed legislation Child nutrition and other programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, food and nutrition assistance.. Other income security: Supplemental security income: Existing law Proposed legislation AFDC and child support enforcement: Existing law Proposed legislation Earned income tax credit Refugee assistance Low income home energy assistance: Other Subtotal, other income security.. Total, budget authority 146,207 161,948 163,047 183,584 203,372 20,500 10,383 16,148 17,389 5,195 5,656 5,913 5,408 6,166 1,878 1,666 1,764 -45 52 1,798 -52 60 153,316 189,808 181,127 206,911 36 39 228,733 1,775 -37 46 31,921 35,104 36,255 1,456 38,148 4,610 40,096 4,298 345 336 228 -17 217 -30 201 -31 32,266 35,440 37,922 42,946 44,564 21,177 30,034 29,892 30,034 30,882 1,850 21,177 31,884 29,892 30,034 30,882 4,267 -2,319 -2,093 2,053 1,282 1,636 1,525 1,481 76 76 76 850 850 850 263 154 215 139 112 13,876 5,660 397 573 4,724 12,245 1,491 11,286 12,815 12,492 12,650 12,906 -766 -1,052 -1,102 4,498 4,932 4,889 -313 5,053 -388 5,287 -460 15,784 17,747 16,302 16,264 16,630 7,769 8,459 85 7,511 341 8,249 329 8,404 307 6,007 8,223 1,201 689 1,875 228 17,770 1,205 578 1,986 252 20,789 8,243 8,357 8,537 - 7 3 2 -1,006 -1,010 1,123 1,004 926 355 288 485 1,300 1,300 1,300 268 268 268 18,539 18,856 19,019 254,188 301,328 284,178 315,583 344,552 5-114 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING INCOME SECURITY—Continued (Functional code 600; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate OUTLAYS General retirement and disability insurance: Social security (OASDI): Existing law Proposed legislation Railroad retirement Benefits for disabled coal miners: Existing law Proposed legislation Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation: Existing law Proposed legislation Other Subtotal, general retirement and disability insurance. Federal employee retirement and disability: Retirement and disability program: Existing law Proposed legislation Federal employees workers' compensation: Existing law Proposed legislation Federal employees life insurance fund Subtotal, Federal employee retirement and disability.. Unemployment compensation: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, unemployment compensation. Housing assistance: Subsidized housing Public housing operating subsidies Indian housing (proposed legislation) Rural housing block grant (proposed legislation). Other housing assistance Subtotal, housing assistance.. Food and nutrition assistance: Food stamps and aid to Puerto Rico: Existing law Proposed legislation Child nutrition and other programs: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, food and nutrition assistance- 154,144 170,324 182,388 196,326 210,719 -2,056 -4,140 -4,548 -4,811 5,717 6,127 5,786 5,177 6,093 1,980 1,816 -67 -32 1,780 -37 1,771 -45 1,798 -52 -26 -18 -15 -132 -180 -202 42 48 55 31 37 161,805 176,216 185,661 198,531 213,585 19,616 21,250 22,941 24,720 27,000 -362 -1,116 -1,525 217 228 201 -30 -17 -31 -492 -612 -636 -662 -688 19,388 20,856 22,153 23,129 24,956 264 218 23,756 35,020 28,774 25,867 24,707 1,850 28,774 25,867 24,707 8,532 1,520 40 280 450 257 9,235 1,581 43 561 454 9,690 1,503 45 850 459 11,874 12,547 23,756 36,870 6,880 1,008 7,774 1,551 155 8,043 9,582 10,823 11,014 12,825 12,496 12,648 12,903 -757 -1,049 -1,101 4,565 5,008 4,878 5,042 5,273 - 2 -295 -383 -456 15,579 17,831 16,322 16,258 16,619 Other income security: Supplemental security income: Existing law 7,677 8,760 7,509 8,252 8,404 5-115 INCOME SECURITY NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING INCOME SECURITY—Continued (Functional code 600; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Proposed legislation AFDC and child support enforcement: Existing law Proposed legislation Earned income tax credit Refugee assistance Low income home energy assistanceOther Subtotal, other income security.. 1982 actual 1983 estimate 85 7,990 8,224 1,201 1,011 1,687 206 1,205 632 1,963 249 19,773 21,117 1984 estimate 341 329 1986 307 8,263 8,357 8,537 - 7 3 2 -1,006 -1,010 1,123 1,004 926 521 366 299 1,398 1,351 1,300 267 265 266 18,688 248,343 282,472 282,422 Total, outlays 1985 estimate 18,919 19,029 294,579 311,443 ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Housing assistance: Budget authority Outlays 732 696 625 591 -37 -27 -29 General retirement and disability insurance.—Sixty-six percent of income security outlays are for retirement and disability insurance programs. In almost all cases the beneficiaries during their working years have paid to help support these programs. On the average, however, benefits are substantially higher, even after allowing for inflation, than the amounts the beneficiaries paid into the program. Outlays for general retirement and disability insurance are estimated to increase from $176.2 billion in 1983 to $185.7 billion in 1984 because of: • benefit increases tied to the Consumer Price Index; • an increase in the number of aged persons receiving benefits; and • increases in individual earnings histories upon which the benefits are based. Old-age, survivors, and disability insurance (OASDI) touches the lives of virtually every American either through benefits received or through payroll taxes deducted from earnings which finance the programs. In 1984 estimated outlays are $178.2 billion. However, without changes to current law, the largest of the social security trust funds, the old-age and survivors insurance (OASI) trust fund, would be unable to pay full benefits on a timely basis starting in July 1983. However, the budget reflects the bipartisan solution to the social security problem recommended by the National Commission on Social Security Reform and endorsed by the President, the Speaker of the House, and the Majority Leader of the Senate. 5-116 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Full OASI benefits will continue to be paid if the bipartisan solution is enacted. The bipartisan solution recommended by the National Commission on Social Security Reform is projected not only to keep social security solvent in the short term but also correct the long-range actuarial imbalance facing social security. The main elements of the recommended solution are summarized below: —Cover all non-profit employees and new Federal employees under social security, and ban withdrawal from coverage by State and local employers; —Credit to the OASDI trust funds the revenues raised by having only those taxpayers with adjusted gross incomes in excess of $20,000 for an individual and $25,000 for a couple pay income taxes on 50% of their OASDI benefits; —Shift the automatic increase in benefits to a calendar year basis, making the increase payable in January instead of July; -—Move the OASDI tax rate increase scheduled for 1985 to 1984, reschedule the 1988-89 rate, and provide a refundable tax credit for the year 1984 for the part of the employee rate that was rescheduled; —Improve the equity of social security benefits; —Make the self-employment OASDI tax rate comparable to the combined employer-employee rate, allowing one-half of the combined rate to be deducted as a business expense; —Reimburse the OASDI trust funds for the full cost of certain military service credits and uncashed OASDI checks; —Provide for reallocating the OASDI tax rates between OASI and DI and for inter-fund borrowing during 1983-87, from Hospital Insurance to OASDI; and, —Provide a series of long-range reforms to stabilize the financial condition of the OASDI trust funds and restore the system to actuarial balance. In 1984 the estimated outlay savings of these proposals are $4.1 billion. The unified budget impact of the bipartisan recommendations is discussed in more detail in Part 3. Railroad retirement—The Railroad Retirement Board (RRB) administers social security equivalent benefits, industry pensions funded by the rail sector, and windfall payments fully subsidized by the American taxpayer. In 1984, estimated outlays of $5.8 billion will provide benefits to 976 thousand retired and disabled railroad employees, their dependents, and survivors. Rail workers, whose annual income will average over $32,000 in 1984, can expect to receive a pension in excess of their pre-retirement take-home pay. In 1984, the budget includes estimated outlays of $350 million for the Federal windfall subsidy for railroad retirement, a subsidy of over $800 per active rail worker. INCOME SECURITY 5-117 The social security benefits administered by RRB remain financially sound. Major changes in the rail industry pension plan sought by rail labor and management and enacted by the Congress in 1981, require the Board to adjust industry pensions to the available resources. Section 22 of the Railroad Retirement Act requires that: —Full social security benefits be paid; —Monthly rail pensions be paid during the year at the highest level rate financed by rail industry contributions; and —Representatives of rail labor and management may submit proposals to alter the system's financing or pensions. Benefits for disabled coal miners.—Benefits are provided to coal miners disabled from pneumoconiosis (commonly known as "black lung disease") and to their dependents and survivors. Under the Black Lung Benefits Act, miners suffering from chronic dust disease of the lungs and meeting specified medical criteria are entitled to benefits. These benefits are set at 50% of the GS-2 Federal salary level. Total outlays for the black lung program are estimated to be $1.7 billion in 1984. The program has recently undergone legislative changes to assure that the coal industry pays, through an excise tax, for claims filed after 1973 and to target benefits to those who have presented adequate proof that their disability is due to black lung disease. The proposal to freeze Federal pay increases for 12 months will also freeze increases in black lung benefits. Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation.—The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) is a Government corporation established under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA) to insure pension benefits promised by private employers. If a defined benefit pension plan terminates, the Corporation pays the workers' monthly benefits up to a legal maximum. In addition, the Corporation may provide loans to financially troubled multiemployer plans to prevent termination and thereby avoid subsequent Corporation responsibility to pay benefits. PBGC costs are covered by premiums paid by pension plans, assessments of sponsors of terminated plans, and earnings on investments. Terminations of single-employer plans have exceeded expectations. Therefore, the Corporation had accumulated a deficit of $320 million by the end of 1982, which is expected to rise to $550 million by the end of 1984. The budget reflects the administration's request that Congress approve an increase of the single-employer premium from the current level of $2.60 per participant, per year, to a level that would be sufficient to cover both current and projected claims. In addition, the administration supports legislation to revise the insurance program for single-employer plans to prevent the unwar- 5-118 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 ranted assignment of unfunded benefit promises to the Corporation. Federal employee retirement and disability.—Federal employee retirement and disability programs include a number of Federal employee retirement programs in the legislative, judicial, and executive branches. The largest program is the civil service retirement and disability program. Outlays for Federal employee retirement and disability are estimated to increase from $20.9 billion in 1983 to $22.2 billion in 1984. Retirement and disability programs.—The Federal employee retirement system is one of the most generous pension plans available in the United States. Workers' contributions cover only 20% of the cost of the system; the Federal taxpayer pays the remaining 80%. Legislation is proposed that would reform the civil service system to deal with the problems created by these factors. This legislative package includes: • Annuity adjustment for early retirement—Current law provides that civil service employees may retire as early as age 55 with 30 years service and receive full benefits. By contrast, social security provides no retirement benefits before age 62. The proposal would continue to permit retirement at age 55 with 30 years service, but annuities would be reduced by an actuarial factor—5% for each year the worker chooses to retire prior to age 65. This change would be phased in over a period of 10 years, and employees age 55 or over at enactment would not be affected. The proposal is a responsible, measured way to address the early retirement problem. Since the average age at which Federal employees retire is 61, few will experience the full reduction. In addition, the reduction would not apply to persons retiring because of disability. • Cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs).—As part of a proposed Government-wide COLA policy, this proposal would freeze the cost-of-living adjustment for 1984. The proposal would also make permanent the current limitation on cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs) for non-disability retirees under age 62 by allowing one-half the full COLA increase after 1985. Under current law, the limitation of one-half of specified COLA increases expires at the end of fiscal year 1985. • Increase employee deductions for retirement.—Although retirement costs have skyrocketed, the amount withheld from Federal employees' salaries has remained constant at 7% since 1969. This has resulted in a significant departure from the principle that employees should pay 50% of the cost of the INCOME SECURITY 5-119 retirement system. The proposal would increase employee deductions to 9% in 1984 and to 11% in 1985. This represents approximately one-half of the cost of civil service retirement, taking into account the other reforms proposed. • Increase employer deductions for retirement.—Employer contributions for retirement would also increase to match the increase in employee deductions described above. This would include matching contributions from other entities including the U.S. Postal Service, and the District of Columbia Government, for employees who participate in the Civil Service Retirement System. • Base annuity calculations on the retirees' highest 5 years of earnings, instead of the current highest 3.—As recently as 1969, the formula for computing annuities was based on the average of an employee's 5 highest salary years; since then the three highest salary years have been used. With a return to more moderate inflation levels, it is sensible to use the highest 5 years as the base. Employees within 3 years of retirement eligibility would not be affected by the change. • Modify replacement rates.— Currently, a formula is used that determines the percentage of salary that is replaced by retirement benefits. For example, this replacement rate is now 56.25% of the final 3 years' salary for 30 years of service. The administration would alter this formula to reduce the replacement rate, if necessary in conjunction with other proposals, to reduce the cost of the system to 22% of payroll and enable employer contributions to be limited to 11% of salary. Federal employees workers' compensation.—Federal employees or their survivors are provided tax-free cash and medical benefits for job-related injuries, illnesses, or deaths. About 47,000 workers with long-term disabilities, or their survivors are expected to receive monthly payments in 1984. This is 1,000 fewer than in 1983 because of increased efforts to return recipients to work and to remove those no longer eligible from the rolls. Outlays are estimated to decrease from $218 million in 1983 to $211 million in 1984 as a result of the proposal to delay the cost-of-living increase for 1 year. Unemployment compensation.—About 97% of wage and salaried employment in the United States is covered by unemployment compensation programs that pay benefits to individuals who are temporarily out of work and are searching for jobs. Based on the economic assumptions described in Part 2, an estimated average of 5.4 million workers per week will receive unemployment benefits during 1983 and 4.6 million workers in 1984. Outlays are estimated to decrease from $36.9 billion in 1983 to $28.8 billion in 1984 due to 5-120 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 a decline in the projected average unemployment rate from 10.7% in fiscal year 1983 to 10.1% in 1984. Regular benefits (usually up to 26 weeks) are financed by a State tax on employers and vary according to benefit levels set by each State. State and Federal administrative costs are financed by a Federal tax on employers. The number of weeks an unemployed worker can receive unemployment insurance is increased by 50%, to a maximum of 39 weeks in any State where the unemployment rate of covered individuals claiming regular benefits averages 5% or more for 13 consecutive weeks and is at least 120% of the rate in the corresponding period in each of the previous 2 years. States may also provide these extended benefits when their insured unemployment rate reaches 6% for a 13-week period regardless of the rate in prior years. Extended benefits are financed in equal portion by State and Federal taxes on employers. A temporary program, Federal supplemental compensation (FSC), pays additional weeks of benefits to those who exhaust their weeks of regular and, where available, extended benefits. These benefits are payable for people unemployed between September 11, 1982, and March 31, 1983. As originally enacted, FSC provided up to 10 additional weeks of benefits, but as recently amended it pays up to 16 additional weeks. The number of weeks available varies by State depending on the level of unemployment and whether the State has paid or is paying extended benefits. It is estimated that $2.5 billion of FSC benefits will be paid to some 2 million claimants. The administration proposes a six month extension and modification of the Federal Supplemental Compensation program with an option for recipients to receive assistance in securing work through a system of tax credits to employers. Under the proposal, those with a significant work history who lost jobs through no fault of their own would have the choice of receiving up to 16 weeks of unemployment compensation or a set of vouchers that will give anyone who employs them a wage offset equal to half the usual unemployment benefits for twice as many weeks as those who remain unemployed will receive—that is, for up to 32 weeks. The number of weeks of benefits or vouchers will depend on the level of unemployment in the worker's State. The wage offset, provided through a tax credit, will give employers a strong incentive to hire the long-term unemployed. Workers in the program would receive full wages, rather than the lower unemployment benefit. The program would provide unemployment benefits from April 1 through September 30, 1983, with wage offsets remaining available until March 31, 1984. The estimated outlays for this proposal are $1.8 billion in 1983. The estimates of the tax INCOME SECURITY 5-121 expenditure for this proposal are $184 million in 1983 and $642 million in 1984. The program of unemployment compensation for ex-servicemembers pays up to 13 weeks of benefits to ex-servicemembers, beginning with the fifth week after discharge or release from the service. Beginning October 1, 1983, the costs of these benefits will be reimbursed to the unemployment trust fund by the uniformed services. In addition to regular unemployment compensation programs, special extra benefits are available to certain workers under specific circumstances, such as former Conrail employees. Special trade adjustment assistance benefits for workers deemed unemployed because of increased imports, estimated at $54 million in 1983, are scheduled to expire at the end of 1983. Housing assistance.—The Federal Government subsidizes housing for low-income families and individuals through several programs in the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the Department of Agriculture (USDA). Budget authority for these programs is proposed to decline from $5.7 billion in 1983 to $0.4 billion in 1984. Despite this dramatic decline, outlays are estimated to increase from $9.6 billion in 1983 to $10.8 billion in 1984 due to commitments from prior years. Subsidized housing.—Although budget authority for the HUD subsidized housing programs is projected to decline dramatically— from $4.3 billion in 1983 to $-2.3 billion in 1984—estimated outlays will continue to rise from $7.8 billion in 1983 to $8.5 billion in 1984. The decline in budget authority being requested results from proposed rescissions of budget authority no longer needed for the Rent Supplement and Rental housing assistance programs and the administration's deferral of $3.1 billion of budget authority from 1983 to 1984. These reductions are partially offset by proposed new budget authority of $515 million for the public housing and section 8 lower income housing assistance program. By the end of 1982, 3.5 million households lived in housing subsidized by HUD. The Department also had outstanding commitments to build an additional 379,000 units of subsidized housing. This inventory of 3.9 million subsidized housing units will require Federal subsidies of about $250 billion over the next 30 to 40 years, in addition to the operating subsidies for the 1.2 million units of public housing. Under the current section 8 existing rental housing assistance program low-income households find their own rental housing and receive rental subsidy payments, provided that the housing unit meets housing quality standards and does not rent for more than a maximum amount. Tenants may not contribute more than 30% of their income for rent, and most current tenants now pay 27% or 5-122 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 less of their income for rent. The Federal subsidy equals the difference between the rent paid by the tenant and the rent charged by the landlord. The 1984 budget proposes a major reform of the structure of Federal housing assistance that would build upon the current Section 8 existing rental housing assistance program. The proposed modification would eliminate the maximum rent amount. Instead, HUD will establish a reasonable rent level that a tenant could be expected to pay for a standard quality unit. The Federal subsidy would be the difference between this level and 30% of the tenant's income. Participating households could use this subsidy to shop for any unit meeting minimum housing quality standards as long as any rent charges above the section 8 rent subsidy were paid by the tenant. The initial level of the annual Federal subsidy payment is estimated to average $2,000 per household, which is roughly equal to the benefit received by households now entering the section 8 existing housing program. Actual amounts will be based on the difference between local market rent levels and an assumed tenant rent contribution. In 1984, the administration will continue to provide subsidies under the section 8 new construction/substantial rehabilitation program for units built for the elderly or handicapped in conjunction with the section 202 direct loan program. Public housing operating subsidies.—Estimated outlays for public housing operating subsidies will be $1.5 billion in 1984. The administration proposes to revise the formula that determines the operating subsidy payment. Currently, the payment is determined on the basis of historic costs. Under the new proposal, private market rents would be the basis for the payment, consistent with the proposals for the section 8 housing payment certificate program. In addition, the separate public housing modernization program would be gradually consolidated into the operating subsidy program. This will provide housing authorities with increased flexibility to repair and renovate their housing units as part of ongoing operations. Indian housing.—A new program in the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) is proposed to support the construction of housing for Indians on reservations. This program would replace the current HUD public housing program procedures as adapted for Indian reservations. The proposed program would allow for the construction of housing that is more suitable to the unique needs and cultural desires of Indian communities than the present program. Outlays for this new program are estimated to be $40 million in 1984. Rural housing block grant.—The administration requests budget authority of $850 million for a new rural housing block grant to INCOME SECURITY 5-123 States to provide housing for low-income families. The rental assistance program will continue to provide subsidies to low-income households living in FmHA financed units. The Department of Agriculture will also continue to assist farmers in constructing housing for farm laborers. Other housing assistance.—The budget includes estimated outlays of $450 million for other housing assistance administered by the Farmers Home Administration (FmHA) and HUD. Other major forms of Federal support for housing are tax expenditures and housing credit programs. The housing credit programs and the tax expenditures for housing in general are discussed under the commerce and housing credit function. Food and nutrition assistance.—Needy families and individuals receive food and nutrition assistance through a number of Federal programs. Food stamps and aid to Puerto Rico.—Food stamps help lowerincome Americans maintain a nutritious diet. Eligible families receive monthly allotments of stamps based on income and household size to finance food purchases. These benefits are entirely federally funded; administrative costs are shared equally by the States and the Federal Government. Monthly food stamp participation is estimated at 21.5 million individuals in 1984, with associated Federal outlays of $10.9 billion. A nutrition assistance block grant for Puerto Rico replaced the food stamp program in Puerto Rico in the last quarter of 1982. Outlays for the block grant are estimated to be $825 million in 1984. Efforts to improve program administration highlight this year's budget proposals for food stamps. Overpayments currently account for almost 10% of all benefits and cost the American taxpayer more than $1 billion annually. States lack financial incentives to improve their administration of the program since benefits are 100% federally financed. To encourage States to improve program integrity, this budget includes a proposal to hold States liable for overpayments that exceed 3% of the value of total benefits. The other major assistance programs, aid to families with dependent children and medicaid, already operate under a 3% target error rate. Other budget proposals will help States reduce erroneous payments by streamlining the calculation of benefits and simplifying the definition of a household. In addition, the administration is proposing that all States would be required to adopt a community work experience program, in which able-bodied food stamp recipients must participate in workrelated activities as a condition of their eligibility. This program will encourage recipients to find work in the private sector or 5-124 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 perform useful public services when no private job is available. Another 1984 proposal would freeze cost-of-living adjustments 6 months. Child nutrition and other programs.—The child nutrition programs subsidize meals for children in schools, child care facilities, and other institutional settings. Approximately 24.3 million young Americans will receive federally subsidized meals in 1983. Subsidies consist of both cash and commodity assistance. Federal outlays in 1984 are estimated to be $4.6 billion for all programs in this category. In past years, changes were made in the child nutrition programs to focus assistance on needy youngsters, reduce duplication in subsidies, and restrain the growth in Federal costs. Several additional changes are reflected in this budget such as a 6-month freeze on cost-of-living adjustments. Legislation will be proposed to consolidate the school breakfast, child care, and summer feeding programs into a general nutrition assistance grant for the States. This will reduce costly and complicated Federal regulations and maximize State flexibility in providing nutrition assistance for meals consumed away from home outside a school lunch setting. Outlays for this grant are estimated to be $535 million in 1984. Other proposals would tie the reimbursement rate for all lunches to the cost-of-living and relieve schools of the burden of determining eligibility for reduced price and free school lunches. The special supplemental food program for women, infants, and children (WIC) will provide nutritious food supplements to an estimated 2.3 million low-income women and their young children in 1984. It lessens health problems associated with inadequate diets during critical stages of child development. WIC has grown rapidly since its inception, with outlays rising from $14 million in 1974 to an estimated $1.1 billion in 1984. Other income security.—A number of other income security programs assist the poor. Estimated outlays are $18.7 billion in 1984. Supplemental security income.—The supplemental security income (SSI) program, administered and financed by the Federal Government, will make cash payments to about 4 million needy aged, blind, or disabled individuals in 1984. The basic Federal grant to recipients is supplemented by State payments in some States. The recently enacted Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 contained changes for SSI, such as prorating benefits from the date of application or the date of eligibility and rounding benefit and income eligibility amounts to the next lower dollar. SSI and INCOME SECURITY 5-125 social security, cost-of-living increases are coordinated in determining monthly benefit awards. Federal outlays for SSI in 1984 are estimated at $7.8 billion, compared to the 1983 level of $8.8 billion. The decrease results in part because the first 1984 monthly payment date falls on a weekend and therefore will be paid in 1983. In addition, the number of recipients is expected to decline in 1984 as a result of fewer claims and fewer new awards. However, proposed legislation is estimated to increase outlays $341 million in 1984. This is the net effect of decreases in benefits because of the delay in cost-of-living adjustments and an increase in benefits because an additional $30 of social security benefits will not be counted as income in calculating the SSI benefit. AFDC and child support enforcement—Aid to families with dependent children (AFDC) helps State and local governments finance cash assistance to needy families. States administer the AFDC program, determining guidelines for eligibility and the level of benefits within broad Federal rules. The Federal Government reimburses States, on average, for slightly more than half of benefit costs. Child support enforcement (CSE) finances most State and local administrative expenses for establishing paternity and collecting support from legally liable absent parents. These collections offset State and Federal AFDC costs. Federal outlays for AFDC and CSE are estimated to be $7.5 billion in 1984, compared to $8.2 billion in 1983. About 3.8 million families are expected to receive AFDC benefits in 1984. Child support collections on behalf of about 900,000 of these families are also anticipated. Reforms enacted in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1981 and the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 have helped refocus AFDC on its original goal: to serve as an aid for dependent children in families where the resources for complete self-support do not exist. These reforms created new opportunities for work and work experience, corrected inequities that provided higher benefits from receiving welfare than from working, and retargeted assistance more to the needy by taking into account resources and income available to the family that were previously not counted. Legislation is proposed for 1984 to establish comprehensive programs of work-related activity for AFDC applicants and recipients in all States; those who are able to work would be required to do so as a condition of AFDC eligibility. The work incentive (WIN) program, classified in the education, training, employment, and social services function, which has not been proven successful, would be replaced by this reform. Legislation is also proposed to improve equity among similarly situated families by including all related adults and children in the AFDC assistance unit, and adjusting 380-000 0 - 83 - 16 : QL 3 5-126 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 payments for shelter and utilities costs where costs can be shared with other household members. Several new incentives are proposed to improve State and local performance in collecting child support payments. These changes would restructure Federal financing to reward and encourage increased collections and improved cost effectiveness. Tougher State laws and procedures would also be required. These reforms to AFDC and CSE will save an estimated $0.7 billion in Federal outlays in 1984 and a comparable amount in State and local costs. Proposed child support reforms will also strengthen family responsibility and improve the financial situation of women. Earned income tax credit.—Since 1975, the Federal Government has provided a tax credit for low-income workers that reduces their income tax liabilities. Where the credit amounts to more than the income taxes owed, the worker receives the difference. Beginning in 1979, provision was made for the credit to be received in advance through additions to wages. In 1984, total budget outlays for these payments are estimated to be $1.1 billion. The tax expenditure is estimated at $340 million in 1984. Refugee assistance.—The Federal Government provides grants to States for cash and medical assistance, employment training, social services, child welfare services, and other assistance to needy refugees and entrants. In 1984, the administration proposes a per capita grant assistance program to fund State assistance to refugees and entrants not categorically eligible for AFDC, medicaid, or general assistance. Estimated outlays are $521 million in 1984. Additional funding for refugee assistance is discussed in the international affairs function. Low-income home energy assistance.—To assist low-income families with rising heating costs, $1.3 billion in budget authority is proposed for low-income home energy assistance in 1984. This is a $686 million reduction from 1983. The program makes grants to States for aid to low-income persons in the form of direct cash assistance, direct payments to fuel vendors, or payments to public housing building operators. In an effort to direct these funds more to low-income heating needs, legislation is proposed to revise the State allotment formula. The new formula will target more funds to States with severe winter climates and large, low-income populations. Credit programs.—The credit budget totals in this function are estimated to be $15.7 billion in 1984. Most of the credit activities in this function finance public housing operation and construction. For 1984, new direct loan obligations in this function are proposed to be $1.0 billion and guaranteed loan commitments are proposed 5-127 INCOME SECURITY to be $14.7 billion. As shown in the credit program table, a portion of the guaranteed loans for public housing operation and construction are financed as off-budget direct loans by the Federal Financing Bank. CREDIT PROGRAMS—INCOME SECURITY (In millions of dollars) Actual 1982 Direct loans: Low rent public housing: New obligations Net outlays Outstanding Low rent public housing (loans made by FFB): 1 Net outlays Outstandings Other income security: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Estimate 1983 1984 1985 1986 500 -45 75 905 -21 162 162 162 750 -42 120 696 1,624 591 2,216 -37 2,179 -27 2,152 -29 2,122 1 -1 24 5 2 26 2 * 26 2 * 26 3 * 906 674 1,811 1,005 593 2,404 1,002 -37 2,367 752 -70 2,297 503 -74 2,223 13,284 2,552 19,145 14,637 1,628 20,773 14,709 1,915 22,688 16,493 1,688 24,376 18,146 1,461 25,837 Total credit budget (new obligations and new commitments) 14,191 15,642 15,711 17,245 18,648 Total, direct loans: New obligations... Net outlays Outstandings Guaranteed loans: Low rent public housing: New commitments Net change Outstandings 25 'These are commitments made by the agency to guarantee loans that the FFB will disburse. In effect, they are commitments for off-budget direct loans, and are counted as such in the credit budget. Policy responsibility for these loans rests with the guaranteeing agency. The totals for low-rent public housing loans made by FFB in this table are not identical to the entries in the addendum to the National Needs table for offbudget Federal entities due to timing differences between budget authority and new obligations. Tax expenditures.—A variety of income tax exclusions, deferrals, and tax credits assist the unemployed, aged, retired, and disabled. Unemployment compensation benefits received by people with an annual income, including unemployment compensation, of under $12,000 (single persons) or under $18,000 (married couples) are excluded from taxable income. This results in an estimate of $2.9 billion in 1984. The exclusion from income subject to tax of most social security (including benefits for dependents and survivors) and most railroad retirement benefits results in estimates of $20.7 billion and $725 million, respectively, in 1984. The exclusion of workers' compensation benefits and the exclusion from income of benefits for the disabled result in estimates of $2.1 billion and $1.7 billion, respectively, in 1984. The exclusion of disability pay from income taxes will result in an estimate of $150 million. The esti- 5-128 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 mates resulting from the extra personal exemption for those over 64, the blind, and from tax credits for the elderly are $2.4 billion, $35 million, and $135 million, respectively, in 1984. Special tax provisions also provide incentives for employers to provide their workers with pensions and other benefits such as life, accident and disability insurance, and supplemental unemployment compensation. Excluding the cost of these benefits from taxable income results in tax expenditures estimates of $78.8 billion, $3.1 billion, $160.0 million, and $5.0 million, respectively, in 1984. An itemized deduction for up to $1,500 of expenses for adoption of children with special needs results in a tax expenditure of $15 million in 1984. The cost of all self-employed retirement plans and the IRA and Keogh Plans is $6.5 billion in 1984. Total tax expenditures for existing income security provisions are estimated to be $123.3 billion in 1984. As part of the bipartisan plan to restore social security reserves to safer levels, the administration supports two tax expenditures proposals. Half of the social security benefits received by people whose income is above specified levels would be subject to tax. This would reduce the present tax expenditure, which excludes all social security benefits from adjusted gross income. In addition, employees would receive a refundable tax credit in 1984 that would offset the additional social security tax they would pay in that year due to an acceleration of the scheduled increase in the payroll tax rate. The 1984 estimates for these two provisions are $2.7 and $3.2 billion, respectively. The new proposal to both extend the Federal supplementary compensation benefit program and provide incentives for employers to hire the long-term unemployed is discussed under employment compensation. Related programs.—A number of other programs are related to income security but have as their primary purpose meeting other national needs and servicing other major missions. Examples of such programs are veterans pensions and compensation, military retirement and a number of health programs, such as medicare and medicaid, that help the aged or needy. VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES 5-129 VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES National Needs Statement Federal funds for veterans benefits and services are to meet the Nation's obligation to veterans of military service. The benefits and services provided to veterans recognize the special needs of veterans and their survivors that result from sacrifices made in military service. Benefits compensate for loss of earnings resulting from service-related disabilities, provide medical care for physical and psychological disabilities suffered in military service, and assist in preparing returning veterans for civilian life. In addition, veterans benefits assist needy veterans of wartime service and their survivors. Outlays for veterans benefits and services are estimated at $24.4 billion in 1983 and $25.7 billion in 1984. Additional assistance is provided to veterans through loan guarantees and direct loans. The credit budget for veterans benefits and services is expected to increase dramatically from $6.9 billion in 1982 to $19.5 billion in 1983 and $20.8 billion in 1984. This budget includes a legislative proposal for a 5.1% cost-ofliving increase in compensation benefits for veterans with servicerelated disabilities to be effective in April 1984. Funds are included for health care for the growing number of elderly veterans. During the 1980's, the number of veterans over age 65 is expected to more than double as virtually all of the 11.4 million veterans of World War II reach that age. In anticipation of this change, the Veterans Administration's (VA's) medical care and research activities are devoting more attention to the problems of aging veterans by increasing the availability of long-term and geriatric care and devoting more research to the illnesses and disabilities of the aged. This budget also provides construction funds to maintain, renovate, modernize, and systematically replace aging VA medical structures in order to prevent deterioration of the physical facilities housing VA medical services. Construction projects will focus especially on correcting fire and safety deficiencies, and minimizing potential risks from earthquakes. Several legislative proposals, which are described below, would offset part of the costs of these improvements. 5-130 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES (Functional code 700; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Income security for veterans: Compensation and pensions: Service-connected compensation: Existing law Proposed legislation Non-service-connected pensions: Existing law Proposed legislation Burial and other benefits Insurance programs: National service life insurance trust fund.... U.S. Government life insurance trust fund.. All other insurance programs Insurance program receipts Subtotal, income security for veterans. Veterans education, training, and rehabilitation: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, veterans education, training, and rehabilitation. Hospital and medical care for veterans: Medical care and hospital services Construction Medical administration, research, and other Subtotal, hospital and medical care for veterans 1982 actual 1983 estimate 9,590 9,463 4,048 3,827 140 Subtotal, other veterans benefits and services. Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 9,856 10,006 10,022 238 663 1,049 3,950 3,967 4,090 -113 -150 -173 164 149 156 141 1,164 1,187 1,209 1,242 1,263 31 26 23 20 18 7 9 6 8 9 -473 -445 -433 -440 -442 14,510 14,205 14,887 15,474 16,000 1,964 1,666 1,392 -20 1,171 -4 991 -2 1,964 1,666 1,371 1,167 989 7,101 490 211 7,695 8,079 886 567 223 212 8,408 928 228 8,720 1,061 233 7,802 8,474 9,188 9,564 10,014 -82 -90 -92 702 732 -1 46 738 -1 45 749 _\ Veterans housing (receipts) Other veterans benefits and services: Cemeteries, undistributed VA overhead, and other: Existing law Proposed legislation Non-VA support programs 1984 estimate 672 37 44 709 742 776 782 792 _3 -3 -3 -3 -3 24,982 25,002 26,129 26,891 27,792 5-131 VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES—Continued (Functional code 700; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs OUTLAYS Income security for veterans: Compensation and pensions: Service-connected compensation: Existing law Proposed legislation Non-service-connected pensions: Existing law Proposed legislation Burial and other benefits Insurance programs: National service life insurance trust fund.... U.S. Government life insurance trust fundAll other insurance programs Insurance program receipts Subtotal, income security for veterans. Veterans education, training, and rehabilitation: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, veterans education, training and rehabilitation. Hospital and medical care for veterans: Medical care and hospital services Construction Medical administration, research, and other Subtotal, hospital and medical care for veterans.. Veterans housing: Loan guaranty revolving fund Direct loan revolving fund Other (HUD participation sales trust fund).. Housing program receipts Subtotal, veterans housing. 1982 actual 1983 1984 1985 1986 estimate estimate estimate estimate 9,276 9,687 9,855 10,000 10,020 632 1,016 198 3,879 3,954 -46 141 3,940 3,957 4,079 - 6 8 -150 -173 164 148 156 140 954 925 986 1,014 1,046 61 64 54 50 47 -102 - 8 7 - 8 8 - 6 1 - 4 6 -473 - 4 4 5 - 4 3 3 - 4 4 0 - 4 4 2 13,710 14,219 14,593 15,158 15,710 1,947 1,624 1,350 -20 1,128 -4 948 -2 1,947 1,624 1,329 1,124 946 6,851 444 221 7,563 494 235 7,981 688 231 8,303 808 230 8,607 815 233 7,517 8,292 8,900 9,341 9,656 183 - 1 9 2 - 6 2 -174 -16 -82 261 -25 -16 -90 183 -23 -4 -92 89 -22 -7 102 -464 130 64 60 646 703 739 -1 43 749 -1 42 Other veterans benefits and services: Cemeteries, undistributed VA overhead, and other: Existing law Proposed legislation Non-VA support programs Subtotal, other veterans benefits and services. 36 40 733 -1 44 682 744 776 782 791 -3 -3 -3 -3 24,411 25,724 Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays 23,955 26,466 27,159 5-132 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Income security for veterans.—In addition to Federal income security programs for the general population, such as social security, unemployment insurance, and food stamps, several VA programs help certain veterans and their survivors maintain their income when the veteran is disabled, aged, or deceased. Outlays for this mission are estimated to increase from $14.2 billion in 1983 to $14.6 billion in 1984. Service-connected compensation. —Monthly compensation payments are provided to veterans with disabilities resulting from military service. The amount of the benefit depends on the degree to which average earnings of individuals with a particular disability are reduced. Payments also are made to survivors of veterans who die from service-connected injuries. Legislation effective in October 1982 increased compensation benefits by an average of 7.4%. The administration proposes legislation to provide a 5.1% cost-ofliving increase in compensation benefits, effective in April 1984. The effective date of this increase reflects a 6-month delay from the past practice of providing cost-of-living increases effective in October of each year. Estimates for subsequent years assume annual cost-of-living increases based on the projected increase in the Consumer Price Index. Beginning in April 1985, the administration proposes to pay compensation cost-of-living increases in accordance with the following schedule: Percent of rated disability: 100 60-90 40-50 10-30 Percent of cost-ofliving increase to be rovided P 100 85 60 45 Allowances provided to compensate beneficiaries for dependents and clothing would continue to reflect 100% of the cost-of-living increase. An estimated 2.6 million veterans and their survivors are expected to receive compensation benefits in each of the years 1983 through 1986. Outlays for this mission are estimated to increase from $9.7 billion in 1983 to $10.1 billion in 1984. Non-service-connected pensions.—Pensions are provided to needy wartime-service veterans who are 65 or older or who have become disabled subsequent to their military service. Survivors of wartimeservice veterans also may qualify for pension benefits based on VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES 5-133 financial need. This program would be subject to a proposed 6month postponement in cost-of-living increases from June to December of each year. The December 1983 cost-of-living increase is estimated to be 5.1%. Even though the number of veterans age 65 and over is expected to double during the 1980's, the number of pension recipients is expected to decline from 1.8 million in 1982 to 1.7 million in 1984. This is due to the Veterans and Survivors Pension Improvement Act of 1978, which sharpened the focus of veterans pension benefits upon needy, nonservice disabled veterans. Outlays for veterans pensions are estimated at $3.9 billion in 1983 and 1984. Burial and other benefits.—Families of deceased wartime veterans who are to be buried in private cemeteries may receive an allowance to apply toward the purchase of burial plots. Families of deceased veterans who were in receipt of compensation or pensions also receive burial benefits to assist in defraying funeral expenses. Outlays for burial and other allowances are estimated to increase from $141 million in 1983 to $148 million in 1984. Insurance programs.—The budget assumes that life insurance programs for veterans and their survivors will provide an estimated $29.2 billion of coverage on over 4 million policies in 1984. Direct loan obligations against life insurance policies in 1984 are expected to be $163 million, 4.5% higher than the $156 million estimated for 1983. Veterans education, training, and rehabilitation.—The GI bill provides education benefits ranging from college courses to vocational and on-the-job training. These benefits help eligible veterans make the transition from military to civilian life by assisting them to obtain the education they might have received had they not entered military service. Active duty servicepersons and widows and children of veterans who have died or been totally disabled in military service also are eligible for these benefits. Individuals who entered military service after 1976 are eligible for the post-Vietnam-era education program, which allows them to set aside $25 to $100 from their monthly pay to finance future education. These amounts are matched by the Government on a two-for-one basis and returned to them in education payments after they are discharged. The Veterans Administration administers this program, but it is funded by the Department of Defense and is classified in the national defense function. Legislation is being proposed that would eliminate correspondence training and terminate the advance payment of educational assistance allowances to veterans and dependents under the GI bill. 5-134 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 The anticipated savings in 1984 from enactment of this proposal is $20 million. More than 65% of all Vietnam-era veterans have utilized GI bill benefits. In 1984, nearly 534 thousand GI bill trainees are expected to participate in the program, compared with 683 thousand in 1983. The number of GI bill trainees (including dependents) will continue to drop in the future as the number of eligible veterans becomes smaller. Thus, outlays for this mission are estimated to decline from $1.6 billion in 1983 to $1.3 billion in 1984, and to $0.9 billion by 1986. Hospital and medical care for veterans.—The Veterans Administration provides hospital and medical care to veterans by operating a nationwide medical care system consisting of 172 hospitals, 226 outpatient clinics, 101 nursing homes, and 16 domiciliary facilities. In 1984, it is expected to accommodate over 18.4 million outpatient medical and dental visits, and to treat nearly 1.4 million patients in VA and community facilities. Outlays for medical programs are estimated to be $8.3 billion in 1983 and $8.9 billion in 1984. Medical care and hospital services.—In 1983 and 1984 the VA plans to continue to reorder its program of health care services to provide the most appropriate types of care and to accommodate the anticipated influx of World War II veterans. Almost all of this group of about 11.4 million veterans (40% of all veterans) will reach age 65 during the 1980's. This milestone is especially significant because veterans reaching age 65 become eligible for a wide variety of medical benefits without regard to financial status. The VA therefore anticipates a rapid increase in the number of veterans seeking long-term and geriatric care. The Veterans Administration Health Care Amendments of 1981 require that VA medical facilities provide care for veterans whose disabilities result from exposure to agent orange and low-level ionizing radiation. These cases receive outpatient priority second only to veterans being treated for service-connected disabilities. Outlays for medical care and hospital services are estimated to be $8.0 billion in 1984, a 5.5% increase from the $7.6 billion estimated for 1983. Construction of hospital and extended care facilities.—Budget authority of $886 million is requested for these programs in 1984. This includes $868 million for VA medical construction in 1984, $319 million more than for 1983. The 1984 request recognizes the critical need for renovation and modification of many of the aging facilities in which medical services are provided. Funding is included for new nursing homes, projects to remedy health and safety 5-135 VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES deficiencies, and construction of a replacement hospital in Minneapolis, Minn. Budget authority of $18 million is requested for 1984, the same as that enacted for 1983, for grants to States for the construction or repair of State veterans homes for the care of aging veterans. Veterans housing.—VA mortgage loan guarantee and direct loan programs are expected to assist 310 thousand veterans obtain mortgages in 1984. New guaranteed loan commitments and direct loan obligations for mortgage loans in 1984 are estimated at $19.9 billion and $0.7 billion, respectively. Sales of housing assets (VA mortgages), estimated at $408 million in 1984, will partially offset the direct cost of these programs, resulting in net outlays of $130 million. CREDIT PROGRAMS—VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES (In millions of dollars) Direct loans: Income security programs: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Education programs: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Mortgage insurance and other housing programs: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Total, direct loans: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings Guaranteed loans: Mortgage insurance and other housing programs: New commitments Net change Outstandings Total credit budget (new obligations and new commitments) Estimate Actual 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 152 -20 1,400 156 -7 1,393 163 -6 1,387 166 -6 1,381 168 -6 1,375 2 -3 62 1 -7 55 1 -9 47 1 -9 38 1 -9 29 720 251 1,906 691 -390 1,516 721 259 1,774 735 234 2,008 753 163 2,171 874 228 3,368 849 -404 2,964 885 244 3,208 902 219 3,427 923 147 3,575 5,983 18,648 19,875 20,355 20,994 5,171 17,075 18,314 18,759 19,391 108,784 125,858 144,172 162,931 182,322 6,857 19,497 20,760 21,257 21,917 Other veterans benefits and services.—The Veterans Administration oversees a national cemetery system for burial of eligible veterans, servicepersons, and their survivors. Outlays for these and related programs are estimated to be $744 million in 1983 and $776 million in 1984. 5-136 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Credit programs.—The credit budget totals in this function are estimated to rise dramatically from $6.9 billion in 1982 to $19.5 billion in 1983 and $20.8 billion in 1984. This large increase is due almost entirely to an increase in demand for new commitments for guaranteed loans for mortgage insurance and other housing programs, due in large part to the projected decline in market interest rates. These commitments are estimated to increase from $6.0 billion in 1982 to $18.6 billion in 1983, and $19.9 billion in 1984. Tax expenditures.—In addition to direct Federal funding, a number of tax expenditures provide assistance to veterans. Disability compensation, pension, and GI bill benefits for veterans are excluded from taxable income. The estimates for these exclusions in 1984 are $1.8 billion, $295 million, and $125 million, respectively. Total tax expenditures for veterans are estimated to be $2.3 billion for 1984. Related programs.—In addition to the assistance provided specifically for veterans by the VA, many veterans receive assistance from other income security, health, housing, education, training, employment, and social service programs supported by the Federal Government and available to the general population. Some of these programs have components specifically intended to assist veterans. ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE 5-137 ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE National Needs Statement Federal expenditures for the administration of justice are to protect persons and their property through enforcement of Federal laws; to defend the public interest in criminal and civil proceedings; and to operate detention and correctional facilities for those charged with or convicted of violating Federal law. One of the most fundamental responsibilities of the Government is to provide a means to ensure the safety of the people and to resolve disputes peacefully and fairly. In 1984, the Federal Government will spend an estimated $5.5 billion in outlays to meet these needs. State and local governments will spend an estimated seven times as much, reflecting their more immediate involvement in this area. An important theme in the administration of justice is enhancing the Nation's law enforcement abilities, particularly in the battle against illegal drug trafficking. This effort, carried on by the task force operating in South Florida and 12 additional task forces created in 1983 which are located throughout the country, will continue in 1984. A second theme is increasing criminal justice assistance to State and local governments through a new formula and categorical grant program. The third theme is providing additional prison space through construction of new prisons and expansion of existing facilities to accommodate the rapidly increasing Federal inmate population. Federal law enforcement activities.—As in the past, over half of the total Federal resources for the administration of justice are dedicated to law enforcement activities. Estimated outlays of $3.3 billion in 1984, 9% above the 1983 level, will maintain current activities and meet the objectives outlined above. 5-138 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL NEED: ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE (Functional code 750; in millions of dollars) 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 283 733 142 974 204 323 128 310 798 147 1,067 249 345 106 331 1,001 157 1,118 282 354 82 341 963 157 1,104 267 355 80 346 926 160 1,122 265 357 Subtotal, Federal law enforcement activities 2,658 3,045 3,348 3,269 3,255 Federal litigative and judicial activities: Civil and criminal prosecution and representation Federal judicial activities Representation of indigents in civil cases 553 735 241 604 840 241 658 934 678 923 688 941 1,529 1,685 1,592 1,601 1,628 Federal correctional activities 423 404 523 531 496 Criminal justice assistance: Existing law Proposed legislation 140 137 72 92 73 92 73 2 140 137 165 165 76 -32 -26 ?fi 26 26 4,718 5,245 5,602 5,541 5,429 265 697 137 933 198 299 104 305 801 145 1,064 244 353 103 324 966 155 1,096 276 354 87 336 975 155 1,078 262 353 79 340 938 158 1,095 259 354 Subtotal, Federal law enforcement activities 2,529 3,017 3,276 3,246 3,222 Federal litigative and judicial activities: Civil and criminal prosecution and representation Federal judicial activities Representation of indigents in civil cases 541 716 259 592 835 242 646 924 21 667 913 676 930 1,516 1,669 1,592 1,580 1,607 Federal correctional activities 364 424 466 494 531 Criminal justice assistance: Existing law Proposed legislation 294 189 148 36 97 92 73 58 294 189 184 189 131 -32 -26 -26 -26 26 4,671 5,273 5,491 5,483 5,464 Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Federal law enforcement activities: Organized crime drug enforcement (OCDE)... Narcotics violation investigation (DEA and FBI) Other investigation (FBI) Alcohol, tobacco, and firearms investigation (ATF) Border enforcement activities (Customs and INS) Protection and other activities (Secret Service) Other enforcement Subtotal, Federal litigative and judicial activities Subtotal, criminal justice assistance Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority OUTLAYS Federal law enforcement activities: Organized crime drug enforcement (OCDE) Narcotics violation investigation (DEA and FBI) Other investigation (FBI) Alcohol, tobacco, and firearms investigation (ATF) Border enforcement activities (Customs and INS) Protection and other activities (Secret Service) Other enforcement Subtotal, Federal litigative and judicial activities Subtotal, criminal justice assistance Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays 1982 actual ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE 5-139 Organized crime drug enforcement (OCDE).—The OCDE program is a network of 12 regional task forces, in addition to the South Florida task force, covering the entire United States. Comprising investigators, prosecutors, and other enforcement experts, these task forces focus on preventing drug trafficking by prosecuting high-level organized crime violators. OCDE is an interagency effort including resources from the U.S. Attorneys, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) and the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA), as well as the Internal Revenue Service, the Customs Service, the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms, and the Coast Guard. In addition to the prosecutors, investigators, and agents, the OCDE proposal provides funding for local jail improvements, FBI and DEA automated information systems, and additional Federal prison space. The table entries for 1984 show estimated OCDE outlays and proposed budget authority for the Department of Justice only, while the 1983 OCDE entry includes Justice, Department of the Treasury, and Coast Guard activities for this program. Total outlays for this effort in 1984, including those classified in Treasury, are estimated to be $135 million, a 30% increase over 1983. Narcotics violation investigation (DEA and FBI).—The DEA was established in 1973 to provide leadership in suppressing the national and international trade of narcotics and dangerous drugs. To combat the growing menace of drug trafficking, the FBI was given concurrent jurisdiction in this area in January 1982, and the DEA now reports to the Director of the FBI. In 1984, DEA will upgrade its data processing systems and expand its laboratory resources and foreign investigations. Total outlays for narcotics violation investigation are expected to be $324 million in 1984, a $19 million or 6% increase above 1983 levels. Other investigation (FBI).—The FBI enforces a broad range of Federal criminal statutes, works with State and local authorities to support FBI missions, and assists States and localities through training, dissemination of information, and other assistance. Federal law enforcement funds are used primarily for investigating crimes that are purely Federal, multijurisdictional, or of a unique nature requiring Federal involvement. Creating a more efficient, effective investigative organization through major capital invest- 5-140 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 ments is a high priority. A major initiative is to complete the third phase of the long-planned Automated Identification Division System (AIDS-III) program which will eventually result in a fully automated fingerprint identification service. Outlays are estimated to be $966 million in 1984, an increase of 21% above 1983 levels. Border enforcement activities (Customs and INS).—The United States Customs Service administers the Tariff Act of 1930 and other laws regarding assessment and collection of customs duties, excise taxes, fees and penalties on imported merchandise; stopping and seizing contraband; and processing persons, carriers, cargo and mail into and out of the United States. The 1984 budget proposal for Customs provides additional support for the OCDE regional task forces and increases funding for several administration priorities, including "Operation Exodus," a program to control the illegal export of critical technology. The Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) administers laws related to the admission, exclusion, deportation and naturalization of aliens. Increased productivity and better management will be achieved through additional data processing equipment and the establishment of a national records center. The budget also maintains the administration's commitment to strong border enforcement. Outlays for border enforcement are estimated to be $1.1 billion in 1984. Federal litigative and judicial activities.—The Department of Justice litigates all of the Federal Government's criminal cases and most of its civil cases. During the past few years, the Department has been increasing its efforts on the more complex, lengthy criminal cases involving organized crime and drug trafficking. Civil and criminal prosecution and representation.—Outlays for civil and criminal prosecution and representation are estimated to rise from $592 million in 1983 to $646 million in 1984. Among the administration's priorities in this area are: • enforcement operations directed at identifying and seizing the assets and profits of illegal drug trafficking organizations; • maintaining an active role in civil litigation to protect the Government's financial interests in court, particularly in the area of debt collection; • continued support for the recently established law enforcement coordinating committees, composed of Federal, State and local law enforcement officials, which help coordinate joint efforts and help formulate local enforcement cooperation plans; and • increased support for civil rights enforcement. ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE 5-141 Federal judicial activities.—Budget estimates from the judiciary are included in the budget without modification by the executive branch. The U.S. Courts have estimated outlays of $924 million in 1984 for judicial branch activities in this function, an 11% increase over the 1983 level. Representation of indigents in civil cases.—The Legal Services Corporation is a private non-profit organization that funds State and local agencies providing free civil legal assistance to the poor. Grantees are currently involved in cases both for individual clients and in broader "law reform" activities. The administration proposes that the Corporation not be reauthorized, and that no further separate Federal funding be provided. The administration's social services block grant includes adequate authority to fund legal services activities that States wish to provide for their citizens. In addition, private attorneys are expected to increase free services to the indigent in accordance with the legal profession's ethical obligations. Federal correctional activities.—The Federal Government is responsible for the care and custody of prisoners charged with or convicted of violating Federal laws. Those people charged with a Federal crime and not yet convicted or acquitted come under the jurisdiction of the U.S. Marshals, in their role as agents of the U.S. Courts. Those not released on bond or on their own recognizance are detained, usually in State or local jail facilities, on a reimbursable basis. In some cases, they are held in one of five Federal jails. In 1984, a sixth new Federal jail is proposed for the Los Angeles area. In addition, $10 million will be made available for the renovation, equipping, and, under certain circumstances, construction of State and local jail facilities through the Cooperative Agreement Program. If convicted, the offender is transferred to one of the 37 Federal prison facilities. In response to the burgeoning Federal prison population, which has grown 21% since January 1981, full funding for one new prison and planning funds for a second, both of which will be located in the Northeast, are proposed in the 1984 budget. Additional funds will also be made available to renovate and expand existing facilities. Outlays for correctional activities in 1984 are estimated to be $466 million, 10% above the 1983 level. Criminal justice assistance.—A new $92 million criminal justice assistance program is proposed to provide training, technical assistance, and financial assistance to State and local criminal justice agencies through both formula and discretionary grants. These grants will support innovative projects or programs of proven effectiveness. 380-000 0 - 83 - 17 : QL 3 5-142 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 The administration is not requesting any new budget authority for juvenile justice and delinquency prevention programs. The primary objective of these programs was to deinstitutionalize juveniles whose offense, such as running away from home, would not be a crime if committed by an adult. This goal has been accomplished. Resources to deal with serious juvenile offenders will be available through the new criminal justice assistance program. Outlays for criminal justice assistance are estimated to be $184 million in 1984, about the same as in 1983. Related programs.—A number of programs classified in other functions support the administration of justice. Over 100 agencies and regulatory commissions perform some type of law enforcement activity. About 30 Federal agencies, including the Departments of Agriculture and Labor, the Environmental Protection Agency, and most independent regulatory commissions, have some litigation authority independent of the Department of Justice. GENERAL GOVERNMENT 5-143 GENERAL GOVERNMENT National Needs Statement Federal funds for general government are to provide central policy formulation and management that responds effectively and efficiently to the needs of the Nation. The general government function includes the central management and policy responsibilities of the Federal Government. The goals of the President, his staff, the Congress, and other personnel in this function are to address the needs of the Nation and to improve the management and efficiency of Federal finances, property, and personnel. Central services include tax collection, fiscal operations, personnel management, property control, and records management. Outlays for general government are estimated to be $6.0 billion in 1984, compared with $5.8 billion in 1983. Major goals in this function are to enhance efforts to identify and collect unpaid taxes and improve productivity in the Federal Government. Legislative functions.—By law, budget estimates for the legislative branch are included in the President's budget without change as submitted by the Congress. Estimated outlays for the legislative branch activities in this function are $1.3 billion in 1984 and include the operation of the Congress, the General Accounting Office, the Congressional Research Service, and similar activities. Executive direction and management—Outlays for the White House, other components of the Executive Office of the President, and related activities are estimated to be $112 million in 1984, an increase of $8 million over 1983. Central fiscal operations.—The mission of central fiscal operations is to collect taxes, administer the public debt, and carry out certain other financial operations of the Federal Government. Outlays are estimated to be $3.5 billion in 1984, a 7.1% increase over the 1983 level. Collection of taxes.—This mission is carried out by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), which seeks to improve voluntary compliance with the tax laws. The Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act (TEFRA) of 1982, which included new administrative incentives for compliance, should help in accomplishing this mission. Major new administrative provisions of the Act authorize: 5-144 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL NEED: GENERAL GOVERNMENT (Functional code 800; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 1,172 1,260 1,328 1,317 1,376 BUDGET AUTHORITY Legislative functions Executive direction and management: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, executive direction and management Central fiscal operations: Collection of taxes Federal Financing Bank Other fiscal operations Subtotal, central fiscal operations General property and records management: Personal property Records management Other: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, general property and records management Central personnel management 95 103 114 -2 121 -2 122 -2 95 103 113 119 120 2,672 -148 323 3,043 -152 402 3,292 -179 424 3,447 -204 425 3,499 -215 444 2,847 3,293 3,537 3,668 3,728 20 81 37 88 61 87 62 89 62 92 285 329 351 2 357 362 386 454 502 509 516 141 142 151 153 155 192 170 150 160 22 9 18 18 141 ?n 285 8 406 8 405 34 400 -14 400 -14 507 592 607 564 547 Other general government: Territories Indian affairs Treasury claims.... Other Subtotal, other general government Deductions for offsetting receipt Total, budget authority -177 -163 -184 -173 -169 4,970 5,682 6,055 6,159 6,273 • withholding of taxes at a rate of 10% on most interest and dividend payments made after June 30, 1983; • imposition of new civil penalties on persons who file or prepare false tax returns; • expansion of reporting requirements and penalties for failure to comply; and • a change in the rules regarding the computation of interest on underpayments and overpayments of tax to require biannual adjustment of the interest rate, daily compounding, and to limit interest on overpayments claimed on late returns. These and other compliance provisions of the Act are expected to increase receipts to the Treasury by an estimated $9 billion in 1984 and by $12 billion annually by 1988. The expected increase of 1,300 IRS personnel in 1984 is primarily to enforce this legislation. 5-145 GENERAL GOVERNMENT NATIONAL NEED: GENERAL GOVERNMENT—Continued (Functional code 800; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 1,177 1,253 1,324 1,298 1,360 96 104 113 _2 117 -2 118 -2 96 104 112 115 116 2,513 3,031 3,278 3,415 -148 -152 -179 -204 408 417 291 396 3,467 215 432 OUTLAYS Legislative functions Executive direction and management: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, executive direction and management Central fiscal operations: Collection of taxes Federal Financing Bank ... Other fiscal operations Subtotal, central fiscal operations General property and records management: Real property Personal property Records management Other: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, general property and records management Central personnel management Other general government: Territories Indian affairs Treasury claims Other Subtotal, other general government Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, outlays k 2,656 3,275 3,507 3,629 3,684 -92 70 73 94 37 90 137 61 85 30 62 88 -64 62 90 283 335 354 2 352 357 334 557 365 472 445 136 140 152 152 155 250 18 285 -49 233 13 406 -23 178 18 405 116 180 18 400 61 168 20 400 -63 504 628 717 537 525 -177 -163 -184 -173 -169 4,726 5,794 5,993 6,032 6,116 12 8 -9 -10 10 11 36 * * * * * -12 12 48 -5 3 10 -11 -12 ADDENDUM Off-budget Federal entity: Federal Financing Bank: Federal buildings fund: Budget authority Outlays Territories: Budget authority Outlays Other: Budget authority Outlays Total: Budget authority Outlays *$500 thousand or less. 5-146 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 In 1984, IRS will continue a 1983 initiative designed to increase emphasis on identification and collection of unpaid taxes, which will yield $2.4 billion in additional receipts in 1984 and $4.5 billion over the two year period. Outlays for the collection of taxes are estimated to be $3.3 billion in 1984, 8% higher than in 1983. Federal Financing Bank (FFB).—The Federal Financing Bank (FFB) is an off-budget Federal entity under the supervision of the Treasury Department. It was created to reduce the cost of Federal agency and federally assisted borrowing from the public and to ensure that such borrowing takes place with the least disruption to financial markets. The FFB neither initiates nor reviews Federal programs; it is solely a financing vehicle. The Government agency initiating the program is responsible for its review. The FFB charges a fee to borrowers. It uses a small portion of the funds received for administrative expenses. The surplus monies are transferred to central fiscal operations and shown as offsetting Treasury receipts. They are estimated to be $179 million in 1984. Further discussion of the Federal Financing Bank is in Part 6 of this volume, in Special Analysis E, "Borrowing and Debt," and in Special Analysis F, "Federal Credit Programs." These sources also summarize the distribution of FFB activity according to the agencies that use the bank. The tables in each function that show budget authority and outlays display off-budget activity of the FFB as addendum items. Other fiscal operations.—Otherfiscaloperations include manufacturing coins by the Bureau of the Mint and printing currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing. Estimated outlays in 1984 for other fiscal operations are $408 million, slightly higher than estimated outlays of $396 million in 1983. General property and records management—The General Services Administration (GSA) is the Government's builder and landlord, wholesaler and retailer, historian and records keeper. These housekeeping services support the activities of other Federal agencies. Outlays for general property and records management are estimated to be $365 million in 1984. Central personnel management—Personnel management functions are carried out by the Office of Personnel Management (OPM), the Federal Labor Relations Authority and the Merit Systems Protection Board. Estimated outlays for 1984 are $152 million. The administration, through the Office of Personnel Management and the Office of Management and Budget, plans to analyze the distribution of the workforce and make whatever changes are necessary to ensure sound position management and conformance GENERAL GOVERNMENT 5-147 with classification standards. An OPM study published in 1982, for example, showed that over 14% of the general schedule workforce was overclassified. Net savings of nearly $700 million would result if all positions in the Federal workforce were correctly classified. Critical review of the ways in which jobs are classified and work is assigned is expected to produce substantial savings Governmentwide. Other general government—Other activities in the general government function include payments of claims and judgments against the Federal Government, funding for the territories, and other activities. Outlays are expected to be $717 million in 1984, compared to $628 million in 1983. Territories.—Budget authority of $62 million is proposed for 1984 for continued support of the U.S. territories of Guam, American Samoa, the Virgin Islands, and the Northern Marianas. The administration will propose legislation establishing a territorial lending facility to promote economic development for these areas. Budget authority of $88 million in 1984 is requested for operations and construction in the Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands. The United States seeks to promote local self-government through the termination of the trusteeship (begun shortly after World War II) upon final agreement on a compact of free association with the governments of Palau, the Federated States of Micronesia, and the Marshall Islands. In addition to these programs funded by the Department of the Interior, the territories and the Trust Territory receive grants and payments from many other Federal agencies for programs classified in other functions. Indian affairs.—Funding for American Indians in this function includes miscellaneous trust fund payments to tribes and program support for the Navajo and Hopi Indian Relocation Commission. Additional assistance to Indian tribes is classified in a number of functions—health; natural resources and environment; community and regional development; and education, training, employment, and social services. Credit programs.—This function contains two credit programs financed as direct loans by the Federal Financing Bank (FFB). These are General Services Administration loans originated for lease-purchase agreements on some Federal buildings and loans to the territories. The accompanying table shows the level of operation of these two programs. No new activity is proposed for credit programs in this function for 1984. 5-148 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 CREDIT PROGRAMS—GENERAL GOVERNMENT (In millions of dollars) Actual 1982 Direct loans: Loans to U.S. territories (loans made by FFB): Net outlays Outstandings Federal buildings fund (loans made by FFB): New obligations l Net outlays Outstandings Total, direct loans: New obligations. Net outlays Outstandings Guaranteed loans: Federal building fund: Net change Outstandings Total credit budget (new obligations and new commitments) 1984 1983 1985 1986 -18 66 * * * 65 65 64 -1 64 12 8 522 -9 513 -10 504 -10 493 -11 48 -9 579 -10 569 -11 558 -12 546 -19 655 -20 635 -22 613 -21 592 12 -11 588 -35 674 L_ 12 * $500 thousand or less. •These are commitments made by the agency to guarantee loans that the FFB will disburse. In effect, they are commitments for off-budget direct loans, and are counted as such in the credit budget. Policy responsibility for these loans rests with the guaranteeing agency. Tax expenditures.—In addition to direct Federal funds for general government, the tax code permits individuals to claim a 50% tax credit on political contributions of up to $100 ($200 for joint returns). The tax expenditure estimate for this provision is $295 million in 1984. GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE 5-149 GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE National Needs Statement Federal funds for general purpose fiscal assistance provide State and local governments with Federal assistance that has few or no restrictions. General purpose fiscal assistance provides financial aid to State and local governments without major restrictions or matching requirements. This assistance can generally be used for State or local services, construction, debt retirement, and other purposes of general government. Programs in this category include general revenue sharing, payments and loans to the District of Columbia, Forest Service receipts paid to the States, payments in lieu of taxes, and payments to territories and Puerto Rico. Outlays for this function are estimated to be $7.0 billion in 1984, compared to $6.4 billion in 1983. General revenue sharing.—The purpose of the general revenue sharing program is to provide local governments with Federal funds that have few restrictions on their use. Outlays for the program, which the administration proposes to renew in 1983, are proposed to remain at $4.6 billion in both 1983 and 1984. Under the administration's federalism initiative, general revenue sharing may be combined with the entitlement portion of the community development block grant program into one grant to local governments beginning in 1984. General revenue sharing provides funds to approximately 39,000 local jurisdictions. The funds are first divided among States on the basis of total population, urban population, personal and per capita income, income tax collections, and general tax effort. Local governments' share of the allocation are in turn based primarily on population, per capita income, and tax effort. This formula helps target assistance to governments with the greatest needs. 5-150 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NATIONAL NEED: FISCAL ASSISTANCE TO STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS (Functional code 850; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1982 actual 1984 estimate 1983 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY General revenue sharing: General revenue sharing payments Administration Subtotal, general revenue sharing Other general purpose fiscal assistance: Payments and loans to the District of Columbia.... New York City loan guarantees (administrative expenses) Other payments: Payments to States from Forest Service receipts Payments to States from receipts under the Mineral Leasing Act Payments to States and counties from Federal land management activities Payments in-lieu-of taxes Payments to territories and Puerto Rico Other 4,567 6 4,567 7 4,567 8 4,567 8 4,567 8 4,573 4,574 4,574 4,575 4,575 449 494 544 428 428 145 269 340 375 995 877 1,053 1 243 654 96 368 7 616 96 399 6 73 96 410 6 81 96 422 7 88 96 433 7 Subtotal, other general purpose fiscal assistance 1,819 1,756 2,394 2,250 2,480 Total, budget authority 6,392 6,330 6,969 6,825 7,055 4,569 6 4,567 7 4,567 7 4,567 8 4,567 8 4,575 4,573 4,574 4,574 4,574 439 543 544 428 428 * * 243 145 269 340 375 995 877 1,053 OUTLAYS General revenue sharing: General revenue sharing payments Administration Subtotal, general revenue sharing Other general purpose fiscal assistance: Payments and loans to the District of Columbia.... New York City loan guarantees (administrative expenses) Other payments: Payments to States from Forest Service receipts Payments to States from receipts under the Mineral Leasing Act Payments to States and counties from Federal land management activities Payments in-lieu-of taxes Payments to territories and Puerto Rico Other 653 96 381 6 615 96 402 7 73 96 410 6 81 96 422 6 88 96 433 7 Subtotal, other general purpose fiscal assistance 1,818 1,809 2,394 2,250 2,480 Total, outlays 6,393 6,382 6,968 6,824 7,054 *$500 thousand or less. Other general purpose fiscal assistance.—Several other programs provide funds with minimal restrictions to States and localities. GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE 5-151 Outlays for these programs are estimated to be $1.8 billion in 1983 and $2.4 billion in 1984. Payments and loans to the District of Columbia.—The District of Columbia's operating budget is financed in part by annual payments from the Federal Government in recognition of the costs to the local government of the Federal presence. The administration requests $544 million in budget authority for the District of Columbia in 1984, net of loan repayments by the District. An estimated $386 million is for the Federal payment. Also included in the request is $52 million for the annual Federal contribution to the retirement funds for the District's police officers, firefighters, teachers, and judges as required under the pension reform legislation enacted in 1979. In anticipation of the District of Columbia's entry into the private capital market, the 1984 estimates assume that the City will borrow in the private market for short-term, cash management purposes rather than borrow interest-free from the Treasury. For long-term borrowing, the 1984 budget requests, for transitional purposes only, $115 million for Federal loans to fund capital projects in the District. It is expected that the District will make significant progress in its ability to finance long-term borrowing in the tax exempt private market. The administration proposes that longterm loans from the Federal Government end after 1984. New York City loan guarantees.—Under the New York City Loan Guarantee Act of 1978, the Secretary of the Treasury was authorized to guarantee up to $1.7 billion of New York City obligations. A total of $1.7 billion was guaranteed under this program, which ended June 30, 1982. Other payments.—Some jurisdictions receive payments from the Federal Government based on a percentage of receipts generated from the sale of timber, mineral leases, grazing permits, and other activities on Federal property. Payments to States from Forest Service receipts will return an estimated $145 million in 1983, and $269 million in 1984, to States for distribution to counties in which National forests are located. These funds are to be used for schools and roads. Payments to States from receipts under Mineral Leasing Act were included in payments to States and counties from Federal land management activities in 1982 and 1983. The increase in payments made to States out of Mineral Leasing Act receipts in 1984, is due to the passage of the Federal Oil and Gas Royalty Management Act of 1982. The Act requires that beginning in 1984, receipts will be distributed to the States monthly, rather than semi-annually. This change moves five additional months' payments into 1984 and also 5-152 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 increases 1985-1988 payments. Outlays are estimated to be $1.0 billion in 1984. Payments to States and counties from Federal land management activities are estimated to be $615 million in 1983 and $73 million in 1984 for shared revenues from oil and gas, coal, timber, and grazing activities on Federal lands. The decrease is caused by the transfer of the responsibility for collecting and distributing mineral leasing receipts within the Department of the Interior, from the Bureau of Land Management to the Minerals Management Service shown in the previous category. Payments in lieu of taxes provide fees to local governments for some Federal lands located within their jurisdictions. Outlays are estimated to be $96 million for 1984. Payments to territories and Puerto Rico are made because the Federal Government returns certain taxes to the territories and Puerto Rico. These payments comprise (1) annual advance payments of certain income tax withholding and excise tax collections involving Guam and the Virgin Islands, and (2) excise tax withholding for Puerto Rico. Outlays are estimated at $402 million in 1983 and $410 million in 1984. Credit programs.—The major credit programs in this function are direct loans to the District of Columbia and short-term advances to the District's general fund. Expected levels of new activity, as shown in the table below, is estimated to be $115 million in 1984, $180 million below the 1983 level. CREDIT PROGRAMS—GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE (In millions of dollars) Estimate Actual 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Direct loans: Loans to the District of Columbia: New obligations Net outlays Outstandings 285 117 1,684 295 116 1,799 115 84 1,883 34 1,849 -36 1,813 Guaranteed loans: Guarantees of New York City loans: New commitments Net change Outstandings 600 507 1,444 -156 1,288 154 1,134 -140 994 133 861 885 295 115 Total credit budget (new obligations and new commitments) Tax expenditures.—Interest on State and local government debt is excluded from the taxable income of both businesses (mainly commercial banks and casualty insurance companies) and individ- GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE 5-153 uals. As a result, States and local governments can sell their debt at lower interest rates than would be possible if such interest were taxable. Only the effect of excluding interest on general purpose obligations and revenue bonds for public purposes such as toll roads is included in this function. The tax expenditure estimate for the exclusion of interest on general purpose State and local debt is $9.4 billion in 1984. A tax credit for certain U.S. corporations doing business in U.S. possessions results in an estimated tax expenditure of $1.8 billion in 1984. Itemized deductions for nonbusiness State and local taxes gives indirect assistance to these governments of $21.8 billion in 1984. This tax expenditure is primarily for the deductibility of State and local income and sales taxes. The deductibility of property taxes on owner-occupied homes is classified in the commerce and housing credit function. Total tax expenditures for general purpose fiscal assistance are estimated to be $33.3 billion in 1984. Related programs.—In addition to general purpose fiscal assistance, the Federal Government provides States and localities with assistance through a variety of Federal grant-in-aid programs. These programs, which range from relatively narrow categorical programs to broader grant programs, are more restrictive than general purpose fiscal assistance, and are designed to meet other national needs and to serve other major missions. Therefore, they are not included as general purpose fiscal assistance, although they provide, when taken together, a large source—22% in 1982—of total State and local expenditures. Total grant-in-aid outlays to States and localities are estimated to increase from $93.5 billion in 1983 to $95.9 billion in 1984. Grants are discussed in more detail in Special Analysis H, "Federal Aid to State and Local Governments." 5-154 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 NET INTEREST Interest is the cost of borrowing or the income from lending money. This function includes both interest paid by the Federal Government and, as an offset, interest received. Interest received by trust funds from the Treasury, which in previous budgets was included in undistributed offsetting receipts, is included as an offset to outlays in this function this year. Net interest outlays are estimated to rise from $88.9 billion in 1983 to $103.2 billion in 1984, or from 11.0% to 12.2% of total budget outlays. In comparison, net interest outlays averaged 7.5% of total budget outlays during the 1970's. Interest on the public debt—This subfunction includes all interest paid on the public debt. The public debt consists of Treasury securities sold to the public and to trust funds, revolving funds, and deposit funds within the Federal Government. Outlays for interest on the public debt are estimated to be $144.5 billion in 1984. Estimates of interest on the public debt are highly sensitive to assumptions about interest rates and the amount of public debt outstanding. It is assumed that the 91-day bill rate will decline steadily from an average of 10.8% in calendar year 1982, to 7.9% in 1984, and to 6.8% by 1986. Despite the estimated decline in interest rates, interest on the public debt is estimated to increase by $10.9 billion in 1983 and an additional $16.4 billion in 1984. These increases are because of higher debt outstanding due to higher Treasury borrowing required to finance the Federal deficit. Interest received by trust funds.—Most trust fund balances are required by law to be invested in Federal securities. The interest outlays on this debt are included in interest on the public debt. Interest earned by the trust funds on the Federal securities they hold is deducted in this subfunction so that the budget totals include only net transactions with the public, not payments between Government accounts. These interest earnings are estimated to be $16.3 billion in 1983 and $16.9 billion in 1984. 5-155 NET INTEREST NET INTEREST (Functional code 900; in millions of dollars) Programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Interest on the public debt Interest received by trust funds: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, interest received by trust funds Other interest: Interest on refunds of tax collections Interest on loans to the Federal Financing Bank Other: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, other interest 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 117,190 128,063 144,500 164,700 179,400 -16,067 -15,752 -15,992 -18,269 -21,023 -597 - 8 7 0 -4,763 -7,045 ^-16,067 -16,349 -16,862 1-23,032 -28,068 1,789 1,904 1,586 1,285 1,443 -12,235 -14,129 -15,141 -16,958 -17,753 - 5 , 9 8 1 -10,565 -11,031 -12,265 -13,208 11 128 480 877 -16,427 -22,779 -24,458 -27,458 28,641 Total, budget authority 84,697 88,935 103,180 114,210 122,692 OUTLAYS Interest on the public debt 117,190 128,063 144,500 164,700 179,400 Interest received by trust funds: Existing law Proposed legislation , Subtotal, interest received by trust funds Other interest: Interest on refunds of tax collections Interest on loans to the Federal Financing Bank Other: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, other interest Total, outlays -16,067 -15,752 -15,992 -18,269 -21,023 -597 - 8 7 0 -4,763 -7,045 -16,067 -16,349 -16,862 -23,032 -28,068 1,904 1,586 1,285 1,789 1,443 -12,235 -14,129 -15,141 -16,958 -17,753 - 5 , 9 8 1 -10,564 -11,031 -12,265 -13,208 877 11 128 480 -16,427 -22,778 24,458 -27,458 28,641 84,697 88,936 103,180 114,210 122,692 84,697 15,186 88,936 13,406 103,180 12,819 114,210 13,326 122,692 13,573 69,511 75,530 90,361 100,884 109,119 ADDENDUM Net interest function Deposits of earnings by the Federal Reserve System 1 Net budgetary effect 2 'Shown as budget receipts. 2 Net effect on the budget deficit. See text for discussion. More than half of these interest earnings is received by the civil service retirement and disability fund, and about one-fourth is received by social security and medicare. Several of the proposed legislation items discussed in the other functions, such as proposals for the medicare and social security trust funds, change trust fund balances invested in public debt and thereby affect interest earnings. The total effect of these proposals is to increase interest received by trust funds by $0.9 billion in 1984 from the levels that would otherwise exist. 5-156 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Other interest—This subfunction includes interest payments on tax refunds and, as an offset, interest collections from Federal agencies and the public. Interest on refunds of tax collections.—Interest payments by the Treasury on tax refunds are estimated to be $1.9 billion in 1983 and $1.6 billion in 1984. Under current law, the rate paid on refunds of tax collections is set at the prime rate. As projected interest rates decline for later years, projected outlays also decline. Interest on loans to the Federal Financing Bank (FFB).—The off- budget Federal Financing Bank is the major source of funds for many Government programs. The FFB borrows directly from the Treasury and uses these funds to purchase agency debt and financial assets from various Government programs and to make direct loans to the public at the request of different agencies. It then pays interest to the Treasury on its borrowings. Interest payments from the FFB to the Treasury are estimated to be $14.1 billion in 1983 and $15.1 billion in 1984. Other.—Offsetting interest collections other than from the FFB are estimated to be $10.6 billion in 1983 and $10.9 billion in 1984. These come from two principal sources: interest charged by Treasury to Federal agency revolving funds, which is by far the largest source, and interest collected from the public by funds other than revolving funds. Revolving funds borrow from the Treasury primarily to finance direct loans to the public, and then pay interest to the Treasury on their borrowings. Other interest collections are received from loans made to the public by non-revolving funds and interest paid by banks on Federal tax collections deposited in those banks. Net budgetary effect—The Federal Reserve System owns Government securities for the purpose of carrying out monetary policy. Most of the interest it receives on these securities is paid to the Treasury as deposits of earnings, which are classified as budget receipts. As shown in the addendum to the preceding table, these deposits are projected to be $13.4 billion in 1983 and $12.8 billion in 1984. Deducting these receipts from the function total shows the net effect on the budget deficit, which is $75.5 billion in 1983 and $90.4 billion in 1984. Tax expenditures.—A tax expenditure arises from the optional deferral of interest income on U.S. savings bonds. Interest is normally taxed each year as it is earned, but the holder of savings bonds may defer paying tax until the bond is redeemed. The tax expenditure estimate for this provision is $500 million in 1984. 5-157 ALLOWANCES ALLOWANCES The budget includes allowances to cover certain forms of budgetary transactions that are expected to occur, but that are not reflected in the program details shown in the preceding functions. When these transactions actually take place, they are reported as outlays or receipts for the appropriate agencies and functions rather than as allowances. For this reason, allowances for completed years are always zero. The allowances included in the current budget fall into three groupings—civilian agency pay raises; increased employing agency payments for employee retirement; and allowances for contingencies. ALLOWANCES (Functional code 920; in millions of dollars) 1982 actual Program 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate BUDGET AUTHORITY Civilian agency pay raises Increased employing agency payments for employee retirement* Proposed legislation Allowances for contingencies: Relatively uncontrollable programs Other requirements Total, budget authority 1,881 3,894 949 1,898 1898 949 3,779 5,792 1,806 3,814 949 1,898 1,898 949 3,704 5,712 OUTLAYS Civilian agency pay raises Increased employing agency payments for employee retirement: Proposed legislation Allowances for contingencies: Relatively uncontrollable programs Other requirements Total, outlays Civilian agency pay raises.—This allowance covers the costs of future civilian agency pay raises. In addition to this allowance, two pay raise allowances are included in the national defense function and an allowance for Coast Guard military pay is included in the transportation function. The undistributed pay allowance included in this section is for all other employees of civilian agencies. Because of the need for budget austerity, this budget anticipates that there will not be an October 1983 pay increase for Federal civilian employees. It does, however, anticipate that in October 1984 and annually thereafter, there will be civilian pay increases that match the average of those granted to non-Federal employees during the previous year. The final decision on the amount of the fiscal year 1984 pay increase will be made in the late summer, as 380-000 0 - 8 3 - 1 8 : QL 3 5-158 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 the law provides, after Presidential review of the recommendations of the President's Pay Agent, the Federal Employees Pay Council, and the Advisory Committee on Federal Pay, and after a review of the economic conditions prevailing at that time. Increased employing agency payments for employee retirement— The administration is proposing to move toward civilian retirement systems whose costs are shared equally by employee and employer. To achieve this objective, legislation is being proposed to increase the payments contributed by both Federal employees and employing agencies to these funds from the current 7% of payroll to 9% in 1984 and 11% in 1985 and beyond. This allowance covers the full amount of the increased contribution by employing agencies. Upon enactment of the legislation, the allowance will be distributed to the agency budgets. The increased contribution by employees is described in the income security function. Allowances for contingencies.—The Congressional Budget Act of 1974 requires that the budget include two allowances—one for unanticipated spending or savings in relatively uncontrollable programs (such as social security) that would occur under current law and without any new appropriations; and the other for additional spending or reductions in discretionary programs, which would require appropriations for the coming year. The estimates for each of these contingency allowances are zero in this budget. The contingency allowance for relatively uncontrollable programs is estimated to be zero because the chances of these outlays being lower than the estimates are as great as their chances of being higher. The contingency allowance for other requirements is also assumed to net to zero, with probable increases being offset by anticipated decreases. 5-159 UNDISTRIBUTED OFFSETTING RECEIPTS UNDISTRIBUTED OFFSETTING RECEIPTS Offsetting receipts are generally deducted from outlays and budget authority at the function, subfunction, and agency levels. In three instances, however, such payments are deducted from the budget totals as undistributed offsetting receipts. These are for the employer share of employee retirement, rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf, and Federal surplus property disposition. Interest received by trust funds, which was previously displayed in this function, is now included in the net interest function. Undistributed offsetting receipts are estimated to be $20.4 billion in 1983 and $22.8 billion in 1984. Details of all offsetting receipts are shown in table 13 in Part 9 of this Budget. UNDISTRIBUTED OFFSETTING RECEIPTS (Functional code 950; in millions of dollars) Offsetting Receipts 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate -7,020 -8,214 -8,648 -1,205 -9,011 -2,493 -9,395 -2,640 -7,020 -8,214 -9,853 -11,504 -12,035 BUDGET AUTHORITY AND OUTLAYS Employer share, employee retirement: Existing law Proposed legislation Subtotal, employer share, employee retirement Rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf Federal surplus property disposition: Proposed legislation Total - 6 , 2 5 0 -11,793 - 1 1 , 8 9 5 - 1 2 , 2 0 0 - 1 3 , 4 0 0 -408 -1,003 -925 -981 - 1 3 , 2 7 0 - 2 0 , 4 1 4 - 2 2 , 7 5 0 - 2 4 , 6 2 8 -26,416 Employer share, employee retirement—The payments by Federal agencies to employee retirement funds are counted as outlays of the agencies and as receipts of the respective retirement funds. A deduction equal to the total amount of these payments is included as undistributed offsetting receipts in order to measure properly the transactions of the Government with the public. About twothirds of these payments are to the civil service retirement fund. Most of the remainder is paid to the social security trust funds, including medicare. Effective on January 1, 1983, all Federal employees were covered under medicare. This requires the collection of employee contributions (governmental receipts) and matching employer contributions (offsetting collections) at the same rates paid by all other participants. Collections for this purpose are estimated to be $1.1 billion in 1983 and $1.3 billion in 1984. The amounts for proposed legislation in this subfunction contain two elements: the offsetting collections for the increased employing agency payments for employee retirement, discussed in the allow- 5-160 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 ances section, and similar collections from the off-budget Postal Service, discussed in the income security function. Total offsetting collections for the employer share of employee retirement are estimated to be $8.2 billion in 1983 and $9.9 billion in 1984. Rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS).— Payments to the Government for rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf are large, and their inclusion in a particular function would distort the display of Federal program budget authority and outlays. These estimates include cash bonuses received from the leasing of OCS lands that have the promise of containing oil and gas; annual rents on existing leases, based on a percentage share of profits; and royalties, based on a percentage of the value of production. OCS collections from certain lands immediately adjoining State lands or from disputed lands are recorded in deposit funds rather than as offsetting receipts until the title to these amounts is settled. On September 30, 1982, such deposit funds held $4.8 billion. The 5-year OCS leasing program now in effect significantly accelerates leasing by offering larger areas and by streamlining leasing procedures. The current estimates of $11.8 billion in 1983 and $11.9 billion in 1984 assume that 10 OCS sales will be conducted in 1983 and 7 sales in 1984. No final decision will be made on any of these sales until environmental studies and other requirements under the National Environmental Policy Act have been completed. Federal surplus property disposition.—The General Services Administration (GSA) manages 36 million acres of property, much of which is developed and is owned to carry out Federal programs. The Departments of the Interior and Agriculture manage about 665 million acres of public lands, much of which is undeveloped and some of which has been set aside to protect its unique characteristics and national value. These protected areas include national parks, monuments, historic sites, refuges, and wilderness areas. The administration has established a Cabinet level Property Review Board to review Federal asset management policies and practices and to identify unneeded Federal properties for disposal. These surplus assets include those that are in excess of the needs of the agencies holding them, properties not fully or efficiently utilized, public lands too small or widely scattered to be efficiently managed, and public lands hindering local growth and economic development. Property integral to agency operations or of unique national value will not be sold. Offsetting collections from the disposition of surplus property are estimated to be $0.4 billion in 1983 and $1.0 billion in 1984. The administration is proposing legislation to earmark the receipts from these sales into a special fund for the purpose of retiring public debt. PART 6 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-1 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET This part of the budget explains several topics that help to interpret the budget totals and to place the budget in perspective: • the relationship of budget authority to outlays; • fiscal activities outside the Federal budget: —outlays of off-budget Federal entities, —Government-sponsored enterprises, —loan guarantees, and —tax expenditures; • Federal budgeting for capital expenditures: —the basic role of the budget, and —capital budgeting issues; • Federal debt and the relationship of budget funds to changes in Federal debt; • the difference between this Administration's initial 1982 budget estimate and the actual outcome for: —total outlays, —outlays of relatively uncontrollable programs, and —total receipts; and • the allocation of windfall profit tax receipts. RELATIONSHIP OF BUDGET AUTHORITY TO OUTLAYS The Congress must usually provide budget authority, generally in the form of appropriations, before Federal agencies can obligate the Government to make outlays. For 1984, $900.1 billion of new budget authority is proposed for those Federal agencies included in the budget. In addition, $27.1 billion in new budget authority is proposed for those Federal entities that are excluded from the budget.* Of the total new budget authority proposed for budget agencies in 1984, $528.5 billion will require congressional action. New budget authority of $519.2 billion will be available through permanent appropriations under existing law. This consists mainly of trust fund receipts, which in most trust fund programs are automatically appropriated under existing law, and interest on the public debt, for which budget authority is automatically provided under a permanent appropriation enacted in 1847. This gross new budget authority is offset by $147.6 billion of deductions for offset1 Budget authority is discussed further in Part 7 of this volume. 6-2 6-3 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET BUDGET AUTHORITY (In billions of dollars) 1982 actual Description Available through current action by the Congress: Enacted and pending appropriations Proposed in this budget: Appropriations Supplemental requests Rescission proposals To be requested separately: Upon enactment of proposed legislation.. Allowances: Civilian agencies* Department of DefenseMilitary 2 Other allowances3 Subtotal, available through current action by the Congress Available without current action by the Congress (permanent appropriations): Trust funds (existing law) Interest on the public debt Other Subtotal, available without action by the Congress 1983 estimate 457.1 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 495.6 12.9 -1.5 513.4 * 565.5 606.6 14.2 14.7 11.3 1.9 4.0 0.9 5.9 1.9 9.9 1.9 41.1 1.0 457.1 549.1 528.5 589.9 633.6 285.2 117.4 33.6 309.2 128.2 23.9 346.1 144.5 28.5 377.6 164.7 25.5 414.3 179.4 25.3 436.2 461.3 519.2 567.8 619.0 -113.4 -163.0 147.6 -160.2 -173.0 779.9 847.4 900.1 997.4 1,079.6 3.7 2.1 0.6 1.4 1.5 30.2 27.6 26.5 22.1 18.7 34.0 29.7 27.1 23.5 20.2 813.9 877.1 927.2 1,020.9 1,099.7 current Deductions for offsetting receipts Total, budget authority ADDENDUM Budget authority for off-budget Federal entities: Available through current action by the Congress Available without current action by the Congress Total, off-budget Federal entities Total, budget authority including offbudget Federal entities *$50 million or less. 1 Includes allowances for civilian agency pay raises, Coast Guard military pay raises, and contingencies. 2 Includes allowances for civilian and military pay raises for Department of Defense. 3 Allowance for increased employing agency payments for employee retirement. ting receipts, which consist of transactions within the Government and proprietary receipts from the public. Most of the budget authority proposed for off-budget Federal entities will be available under existing law. Not all of the new budget authority for 1984 will be obligated or spent in that year: 2 2 This subject is also discussed in a separate OMB report, "Balances of Budget Authority," which can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service shortly after the budget is transmitted. 6-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 • Budget authority for most trust funds comes from the authority of these funds to spend their receipts from special taxes and contributions and from Federal fund payments. Any balances arising from these receipts remain available to these trust funds indefinitely in order to finance benefits and other purposes specified by law. • Budget authority for most major construction and procurement projects covers the entire cost estimated when the projects are initiated, even though costs will be incurred and outlays made over a period extending beyond the year for which the budget authority is enacted. An exception to this policy is made for water resource programs. • Government enterprises are occasionally given budget authority for standby reserves that will be used only in the event of special circumstances. • Budget authority for the subsidized housing programs is equal to the Government's estimated obligation to pay subsidies under contracts, which may extend for periods of up to 40 years. • Budget authority for most other long-term contracts also covers the estimated maximum obligation of the Government. For example, budget authority for many direct loan programs provides financing for a number of years; budget authority for many insurance and loan guarantee programs consists of amounts to be used only in the event of defaults or other claims made upon the programs. As a result of these factors, a substantial amount of budget authority carries over from one year to the next. Most of this is earmarked for specific uses and is not available for new programs. A small part may never be obligated or spent, because it is primarily for contingencies that do not occur or reserves that never have to be used. As shown in the chart on the next page, $123.7 billion of the budget outlays in 1984, 15% of the total, will be made from budget authority enacted in previous years. At the same time, $175.3 billion of the new budget authority proposed for 1984, which is 19% of the total amount proposed, will not lead to budget outlays until future years. Thus, the total budget authority for a particular year is not useful for the analysis of that year's outlays, since it combines various types of budget authority that have different short-term and long-term implications for budget obligations and outlays. The relationship between budget authority, obligations, and outlays is discussed further in Part 7 of the Budget and displayed in table 7 of Part 9. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-5 New Authority Recommended for 1984 900.1 Unspent Authority Enacted in Prior Years 881.3 To be spent in Future Years 746.3 Unspent Authority for Outlays in Future Years 921.6 FISCAL ACTIVITIES OUTSIDE THE FEDERAL BUDGET The budget does not include a number of fiscal activities of the Federal Government that result in spending similar to budget outlays. These activities, nevertheless, channel economic resources toward particular uses in ways that are analogous to the effects of budget spending. The outlays of off-budget Federal entities are a major exclusion from the budget. They are discussed in some detail below. This is followed by a description of the Government-sponsored enterprises, which are outside the budget because of their private ownership. Loan guarantees, which are discussed next, allocate economic resources toward particular uses by providing credit to borrowers at more favorable terms than would otherwise be available in the private market. Taxation and tax expenditures, which also have significant allocative effects on the economy, are discussed subsequently. The regulation of economic activity changes resource allocation in different ways. Some types of regulation have economic effects that in certain respects are similar to budget outlays by requiring the private sector to make expenditures for specified purposes such as safety and pollution control. The effects of this spending are 6-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 very important, but many of them have not been quantified satisfactorily and therefore cannot be clearly related to the budget. Outlays of off-budget Federal entities.—Off-budget Federal entities are federally owned and controlled, but their transactions have been excluded from the budget totals under provisions of law.3' 4 Therefore, their spending is not reflected in either budget outlays or the budget surplus or deficit; appropriation requests for their programs are not included in the totals of budget authority for the budget; and their outlays are not subject to the targets set by the congressional budget resolutions. As shown in the table on page 630, the outlays of the off-budget Federal entities are added to the budget deficit to derive the total Government deficit, which for the most part has to be financed by borrowing from the public. When off-budget outlays are financed by Treasury borrowing, as is usual, the additional debt is subject to the statutory debt limitation; when financed by the entities' own borrowing, it is not. In either case the additional debt is part of the gross Federal debt. Since the 1969 budget, the Federal Government has used the unified budget concept as the foundation for its budgetary analysis and presentation. This concept measures the Government's cash payments to and from the public. The first departure from the unified budget concept occurred in August 1971, when the ExportImport Bank was excluded by statute from the budget. Further departures followed in the next few years under various statutes. The Postal Service fund, the Rural Telephone Bank, the lending transactions that became the Rural Electrification and Telephone revolving fund, and the Housing for the Elderly or Handicapped fund were removed from the budget. The Federal Financing Bank, the U.S. Railway Association, and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation were established off-budget. The Exchange Stabilization Fund had always been outside the unified budget, although it was initially classified as a deposit fund instead of an off-budget Federal entity. In the past few years the trend toward steadily increasing the number of off-budget Federal entities has been changed. The Export-Import Bank, the Housing for the Elderly or Handicapped fund, and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation were put onbudget by statute in different years. The operations of the Exchange Stabilization Fund were put on-budget in a series of legislative and administrative actions. Most of the transactions of the U.S. Railway Association were brought into the budget by legislation that required its purchases of Conrail securities to be included 3 Financial statements for off-budget entities are published in the Appendix, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1981 See Part IV, "Off-Budget Federal Entities." "The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System is a Federal organization. It is excluded from the budget and from this discussion. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-7 in the budget. Whenever a former off-budget entity was put onbudget, the budget outlays and deficits of previous years were revised to include the entity to the extent feasible so that the historical series measuring budget transactions would be as accurate and consistent as possible. Two new off-budget Federal entities, however, were established to carry out energy programs. The Synthetic Fuels Corporation was created outside of the budget in 1980, although all of its funding is provided in the budget totals of the Treasury Department. The cost of purchasing oil for the strategic petroleum reserve was put offbudget beginning in 1982. The costs of operations, maintenance, construction, and administration, however, remain in the budget. Despite the exclusion of the off-budget entities from the budget, some of the outlays related to their operations are nonetheless included in the budget totals. The budget totals include the funding of the Synthetic Fuels Corporation, the operating costs and certain other expenses of the strategic petroleum reserve, the Federal payment to the Postal Service fund, and the administrative expenses of the Rural Electrification Administration lending programs and the U.S. Railway Association. Moreover, while the budget authority and outlays of off-budget Federal entities are excluded from the budget totals, some of their activities are subject to Presidential and congressional review. For example, the credit budget, discussed in Part 7 of this volume, includes the direct loans and loan guarantees of off-budget entities as well as budget agencies; and the outstanding debt and annual borrowing of the Postal Service are limited by statute. Even though the exclusion of off-budget Federal entities from the budget results from provisions of law, the executive and the Congress have on several occasions expressed concern about this practice and have taken actions to control off-budget spending. This Administration has been very concerned about the effects of offbudget direct loans in allocating credit toward particular uses and about the necessity of financing these loans by additional Federal borrowing from the public. It has used the credit budget process to reduce off-budget direct loans from $20.9 billion in 1981 to an estimated $10.1 billion in 1984 and still lower levels in later years. Within Congress, the House Budget Committee held hearings on off-budget entities in 1976 and subsequently recommended that they all be included in the budget.5 The congressional budget resolutions for 1980 recommended that the congressional budget process should accurately relate the off-budget outlays to the budget. Following this procedural recommendation, the budget resolutions 5 House of Representatives, Committee on the Budget, Off-Budget Activities of the Federal Government, Report No. 94-1740 (1976); First Concurrent Resolution on the Budget—Fiscal Year 1978, Report No. 95-189 (1977), pp. 11-12 and 135; and First Concurrent Resolution on the Budget—Fiscal Year 1979, Report No. 95-1055 (1978), p. 23. 6-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 for 1981 and 1982 recommended separate aggregate limits on obligations for new direct loans made by the off-budget entities and by the budget agencies. The 1981, 1982, and 1983 resolutions all recommended aggregate limits on direct loan obligations and loan guarantee commitments whether made on-budget or off-budget. The off-budget Federal entities, except for the strategic petroleum reserve account and the Postal Service, incur their outlays in order to carry out direct loan programs. These programs have the same general characteristics as the direct loan programs in the budget. The outlays of the off-budget loan programs are approximately equal to the difference between the new loans disbursed and the repayments of principal. The difference is due to such factors as administrative expenses and interest paid and received. Like direct loans in the budget, the loans of the off-budget entities are designed to allocate economic resources toward particular purposes. Part 5 of the Budget, "Meeting National Needs: the Federal Program by Function," shows the outlays of the off-budget Federal entities by function and discusses some of their more significant activities. OUTLAYS OF OFF-BUDGET FEDERAL ENTITIES (In billions of dollars) Off-budget Federal entity Federal Financing Bank Rural Electrification and Telephone revolving fund Rural Telephone Bank Strategic Petroleum Reserve account Postal Service fund U S Railway Association Synthetic Fuels Corporation Total 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 14.1 * 14.3 10.2 9.1 8.0 .1 3.7 -.6 .1 1.8 .9 -.1 .1 1.9 1.9 * .1 1.4 -.2 .1 1.4 -.1 17.3 17.0 14.0 10.5 9.4 *$50 million or less. As the table above shows, the Federal Financing Bank (FFB) accounts for most of the off-budget outlays and also for most of the decline estimated in off-budget outlays from 1982 to 1986. Among the other off-budget Federal entities, only the strategic petroleum reserve account and, in some years, the Postal Service fund have comparatively large outlays. The outlays of the Postal Service fund and the Synthetic Fuels Corporation are calculated with offsets for the payments they receive from accounts in the budget. These offsets are estimated to be $0.4 billion and $0.1 billion, respectively, in 1984. The payment to the Postal Service fund is for revenue forgone from carrying certain mail at free or reduced rates; the payment to the Synthetic Fuels Corporation is to provide its entire funding. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-9 The outlays of the Federal Financing Bank do not come from programs that the FFB operates itself. Rather, the FFB finances other programs within the Government by purchasing their debt securities, making direct loans on their behalf, or purchasing their loan assets. FFB obtains the funds for these transactions by borrowing an equal amount from Treasury. The operation of the assisted programs remains with the agencies that FFB finances. FFB outlays are generated by its direct loans and its purchases of loan assets. Both types of transaction involve loan guarantees by another agency. FFB makes direct loans to the public upon the request of an agency, with the repayment of the loan to the FFB being guaranteed by that agency. These direct loans are outlays outside the budget. FFB purchases loan assets from various agencies, also upon agency request. Loan assets are loans that an agency has made to the public and for which repayments are still owed. The agency guarantees the loan assets sold to the FFB in order to ensure that the FFB will be paid in the event of default. Loan asset sales are offsets to the outlays of the agency that sells them. Therefore, if the selling agency is in the budget, the budget outlays caused by its direct loans are offset by the amount of its sales of loan assets. When the FFB buys loan assets, it in effect converts direct loans that have already been made by another agency into off-budget direct loans of the FFB. According to law, the category of loan assets also includes certificates of beneficial ownership issued by the Farmers Home Administration and the Rural Electrification and Telephone revolving fund. These certificates are securities backed by loans that the agency continues to hold and service, and they comprise almost all of the loan assets bought by FFB. The President's Commission on Budget Concepts recommended that the sale of such securities (also known as participation certificates) be treated as borrowing, since as a means of financing outlays there is no difference between an agency selling securities labeled "certificates of beneficial ownership," the same agency selling securities labeled "debt," and the Treasury selling securities labeled "debt."6 Under proposed legislation of this Administration, the certificates sold by the Rural Housing Insurance Fund—which is part of the Farmers Home Administration—will be treated as agency debt beginning in 1984. Upon enactment of this legislation, outlays for previous years will be revised retroactively to be consistent with this treatment and to accord with budget concepts. FFB purchases of agency debt securities do not increase FFB outlays. An agency incurs outlays when it spends the proceeds of 6 See Report of the President's Commission on Budget Concepts (Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1967), pp. 8, 47-48, and 54-55. 6-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 borrowing from the FFB, so FFB outlays must exclude this borrowing transaction in order to prevent double counting. The remainder of FFB outlays consists of the interest that it pays on its borrowings from Treasury, its administrative expenses, and its payment of surplus income to the general fund, the sum of which is offset by the interest that it receives on its holdings of loans and debt. However, under current policy the net interest received (less administrative expenses) is paid in the same year to the general fund. Therefore, this remainder is approximately zero, and FFB outlays approximately equal direct loans to the public plus purchases of loan assets from other agencies, less repayments. In order to present the effects of the FFB's transactions for different programs, the budget documents attribute the FFB outlays that are made on behalf of an agency to that agency itself. The following table summarizes this attribution, showing the direct loans to the public or purchases of loan assets, less repayments, for selected agencies or programs. The attribution of FFB outlays by function is shown as an addendum to the tables throughout Part 5, and a complete listing is given in Part 8 in the section that displays the off-budget entities. ATTRIBUTION OF FEDERAL FINANCING BANK OUTLAYS (In millions of dollars) Description Outlays from loans, by agency or program: Farmers Home Administration: certificates of beneficial ownership Rural Electrification and Telephone revolving fund: Certificates of beneficial ownership Direct loans to public Foreign military sales credit Education activities: Student Loan Marketing Association. . Energy activities-. Alternative fuels production Housing and Urban Development: Section 108 loan guarantees Low-rent public housing Transportation: Railroad programs National Aeronautics and Space Administration Small Business Administration Tennessee Valley Authority: Seven States Energy Corporation Other Subtotal, outlays from loans Interest, administrative expenses, and payment of surplus income Total, FFB outlays 1982 actual 1984 estimate 1983 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 4,915 4,171 560 252 32 528 3,939 2,288 565 5,345 2,848 465 4,591 4,187 480 4,707 3,495 488 3,958 3,436 43 696 78 119 591 22 134 -37 13 -18 -27 13 -105 -29 -13 120 142 175 248 -140 280 -90 270 91 260 336 30 193 -39 181 -16 116 -23 86 -32 14,155 14,239 10,192 9,145 7,990 10,192 9,145 7,990 700 340 12 12 14,142 14,251 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-11 As shown in this table, FFB finances a wide variety of programs. Since its inception, over half of its outlays have been for the purchase of certificates of beneficial ownership from the Farmers Home Administration. This proportion was lower in 1982 and is estimated to decline much further in the next few years, as FFB's purchase of new certificates decreases and the repayment of old certificates rises. Direct loans to the public guaranteed by the Rural Electrification and Telephone revolving fund and the foreign military sales credit program now account for the greater part of FFB's outlays and are estimated to account for most of FFB's outlays beginning in 1984. Total FFB outlays are estimated to decrease substantially from 1982 to 1986 due to restraint on the credit programs that FFB finances, less use of the FFB by some of these programs, a rise in the repayment of past loans, and the proposal that the securities of the Rural Housing Insurance Fund be treated as agency debt. Since the Farmers Home Administration is on-budget, FFB's purchase of its certificates of beneficial ownership reduces total budget outlays as well as Farmers Home outlays. The total outlays of the Federal Government are not affected, since the decrease in budget outlays equals the increase in off-budget outlays. FFB's purchase of certificates of beneficial ownership from the off-budget Rural Electrification and Telephone revolving fund reduces the outlays of this fund to a very small amount, as shown in the preceding table on the outlays of off-budget entities. The purchases by FFB reduce this fund's off-budget outlays and augment the off-budget outlays of the FFB by an equal amount. The table on the next page compares the outlays of the offbudget Federal entities with budget outlays.7 The outlays of the entities that are now off-budget were negligible in 1973 but grew rapidly afterwards, especially due to the Federal Financing Bank. The outlays of the off-budget Federal entities decreased from 3.2% of budget outlays in 1981 to 2.4% in 1982 and are estimated to decrease further to 1.7% in 1984 and 1.0% in 1986. Government-sponsored enterprises.—Several Government-spon- sored enterprises have been established and chartered by the Federal Government to perform specialized credit functions. The earlier enterprises were all created with partial or full Government ownership and with direct Government control. In time, however, they were converted to private ownership and some new enterprises were created as privately owned institutions. 7 The historical data for budget outlays include Federal entities that are now off-budget for any period when they were in the budget, and include Government-sponsored enterprises for periods when they had any Government ownership. The outlays of former off-budget entities are included in the budget totals for all years to the extent practicable. 6-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 COMPARISON OF OUTLAYS FOR THE BUDGET, OFF-BUDGET FEDERAL ENTITIES, AND GOVERNMENTSPONSORED ENTERPRISES (In billions of dollars) Outlays Federal Governmentx Fiscal year Budget Off-budget Federal entities Total Governmentsponsored enterprises 2 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 118.4 134.7 157.6 178.1 183.6 118.4 134.7 157.6 178.1 183.6 1.2 1.9 -2.9 1.7 4.3 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 195.7 210.2 230.7 245.6 267.9 0.1 1.4 195.7 210.2 230.7 245.7 269.4 9.6 * 4.4 11.4 14.5 1975 1976 TQ 1977 1978 1979 324.2 364.5 94.2 400.5 448.4 491.0 8.1 7.3 1.8 8.7 10.4 12.5 332.3 371.8 96.0 490.2 458.7 503.5 7.0 4.6 2.3 9.7 24.5 25.9 1980 1981... 1982 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 576.7 657.2 728.4 805.2 848.5 14.2 21.0 17.3 17.0 14.0 590.9 678.2 745.7 822.2 862.5 25.3 33.4 42.4 55.4 55.5 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 918.5 989.6 10.5 9.4 929.0 999.0 (3) . . *$50 million or less. •The 1972-80 data have been revised to include the Export-Import Bank, the Housing for the Elderly or Handicapped fund, and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation in the budget instead of with the off-budget Federal entities. The administrative expenses and interest collections of the Exchange Stabilization Fund are included in the budget beginning in 1976, and the actual profits and losses realized from foreign exchange transactions are included beginning in 1979. Earlier data for the ESF are not available on a comparable basis. 2 To prevent double counting, outlays of Government-sponsored enterprises exclude loans to other Government-sponsored enterprises and loans to or from Federal agencies and off-budget Federal entities. 3 Not available. The rule governing the budget treatment of these enterprises was established in 1967 in accordance with a recommendation by the President's Commission on Budget Concepts. The Commission basically recommended that the budget exclude those Governmentsponsored enterprises that are entirely privately owned. However, the Commission recommended that financial statements of their operations be included in the budget documents, because the enterprises carry out federally designed programs and receive benefits from their close association with the Government8' 9. These benefits differ from one enterprise to another and from one type of debt 8 Report of the President's Commission on Budget Concepts, pp. 29-30. Financial statements for the Government-sponsored enterprises are published in the Appendix, Part VI, "Government-Sponsored Enterprises." Their borrowing and lending are discussed in Special Analysis E, "Borrowing and Debt," and Special Analysis F, "Federal Credit Programs." 9 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-13 security to another, but they generally include such advantages as that: the debt securities can be held by federally regulated financial institutions in a number of cases where other private securities or State and local securities are not eligible; the enterprises are exempt from Federal income taxation; the interest on their debt securities is exempt from State and local income taxation; and the enterprises are perceived to have a special relationship with the Federal Government. Because of these benefits, the Governmentsponsored enterprises can borrow at interest rates only slightly higher than the interest rates paid by Treasury on Federal debt. The Federal Land Banks and Federal Home Loan Banks had both become entirely privately owned a number of years before the unified budget was adopted and therefore have always been excluded. The Federal National Mortgage Association, the Banks for Cooperatives, and the Federal Intermediate Credit Banks became wholly privately owned by repaying their Federal equity capital late in calendar year 1968 and were accordingly removed from the budget for all later periods. The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation and the Student Loan Marketing Association were later established with full private ownership. The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation is not privately operated, however, because its board of directors consists entirely of members of the Federal Home Loan Bank Board, who are Federal Government officials appointed by the President. The Government-sponsored enterprises were all created to carry out loan programs, either lending their funds directly for specifically authorized purposes, or buying loans originated by the private groups that they were established to assist. The loans of these enterprises primarily support housing, but also support agriculture and higher education. As shown in the previous table, their outlays have grown considerably—from relatively small amounts in the latter 1960's to over $20 billion in 1978, over $30 billion in 1981, and $42.4 billion in 1982. The operations of the Government-sponsored enterprises are not subject to the normal Federal budget review process, and the economic assumptions on which their estimates are based are not necessarily the same as the Administration's economic assumptions shown in Part 2. These enterprises estimate that they will increase their spending to $55.5 billion in 1984, which equals 6.4% of total Federal outlays in that year. The following table shows the total amounts of Government-sponsored loans outstanding and net loans (i.e., the change in loans outstanding) during 1982-84, in billions of dollars: 10 10 In order to prevent double counting in adding Government-sponsored loans to Federal direct loans and guaranteed loans, this table excludes loans from one Government-sponsored enterprise to another, loans from the Federal Government, and guaranteed loans acquired. 380-000 0 - 83 - 19 : QL 3 6-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 actual Loans outstanding, end of year Net loans 225.6 43.4 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 281.1 55.5 337.3 56.2 Loan guarantees.—Government-guaranteed loans are loans for which the Government guarantees the payment of the principal and the interest in whole or in part. Loan guarantees are contingent liabilities of the Federal Government. They generally do not result in budget outlays except in case of default. Loan guarantees are designed to allocate economic resources to particular uses by providing credit at more favorable terms than would otherwise be available in the private market. If loan guarantee recipients would not have been sufficiently creditworthy to borrow without Federal assistance, the guarantee reallocates credit toward federally selected uses, increasing the total volume of credit channeled into these uses. This leaves a smaller supply of credit to be allocated to those potential borrowers who do not receive assistance, and increases the interest rate to these borrowers. However, the guarantee does not always change the allocation of credit. Some beneficiaries of loan guarantee programs would have been PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-15 ====• Held by Federal Financing Bank Government-Sponsored Enterprises le Public able to secure the funds privately, without Government support. For example, guaranteed mortgage credit might be used to finance, at a lower cost, a house that would have been purchased anyway, although there is a marginal interest rate at which the house would not be bought and, therefore, the loan would not be made. In such a case, the guarantee does not alter the allocation of credit resources, but does provide a subsidy which benefits the borrower to a greater or lesser degree depending on market conditions. Most of the guarantee programs operated by the Federal Government began in efforts to revive the economy during the depression of the 1930^. The Reconstruction Finance Corporation, created in 1932, was the forerunner of the Export-Import Bank, the Small Business Administration, and other credit programs. The Nation's single largest credit program, the Federal Housing Administration's (FHA) home mortgage insurance program, was created in 1934 to stimulate housing construction. During the 1950s and 1960s housing credit dominated Federal credit activities. The home mortgage programs of the FHA and Veterans Administration, which comprised most of these agencies' guarantees, accounted for 81% of the total volume of new commitments for guaranteed loans in 1956. As the chart on the previous page shows, the range of activities financed with Federal guarantees has widened since that time. Guarantees are now offered for business, agriculture, energy, and education, though housing con 6-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 tinues to dominate. For the 1984 budget, home mortgage programs account for about 60% of all new guarantees. Assistance for public housing accounts for about 15%, and aid to business accounts for about 13%. The remaining 12% is primarily for the guaranteed student loan program and guarantees for agriculture. Guaranteed loans may be made to many types of borrowers: individuals, businesses, State and local governments, and foreign governments. The guarantees may be full or partial, and in some programs, such as the guaranteed student loan program, they are supplemented by explicit subsidies or other forms of assistance. Most guaranteed loans are made by banks or other private institutional lenders, and may take the form of mortgages or bank loans. Others are sold in securities markets. An increasing portion of guaranteed loans is disbursed by the Federal Financing Bank (FFB), which is described above on pages 6-8 to 6-11. Since the FFB is an off-budget Federal entity, these disbursements are offbudget direct loans. An additional amount of guaranteed loans originally made by private institutions is purchased and held by privately owned, Government-sponsored enterprises, as the accompanying chart shows. Because loan guarantees are not included in the outlay totals or, usually, in the budget authority totals, they were formerly excluded as well from normal budget discipline. In 1980 the credit budget was instituted to subject guaranteed and direct loans to greater scrutiny throughout the budget process. The credit budget covers all direct and guaranteed loans by Federal agencies, whether on- or off-budget. Control is effected through appropriation bill limitations, which cover about two-thirds of all new loan guarantee commitments to be extended in 1984. (See Part 5 for a discussion of credit programs by function, Part 7 for a more complete description of the credit budget and credit control system, and Special Analysis F, "Federal Credit Programs/' for a detailed discussion of Federal credit activities.) Taxation and tax expenditures.—Taxation provides the Government with receipts, which withdraw purchasing power from the private sector in order to finance direct Government expenditure. The structure of the tax system that raises these receipts has important effects on the allocation of resources among private uses and the distribution of income among individuals. These effects are caused by the choice of taxes and by the structural characteristics of each different tax—for example, by the rate schedules, exemptions, deductions, and exclusions of the individual income tax. The effects of taxation on resource allocation and income distribution are analogous to the effects of outlays. Some features of the tax structure have been defined as "tax expenditures" and receive special attention in the budget. Tax PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-17 expenditures are defined as amounts attributable to provisions of the Federal income tax laws that allow a special exclusion, exemption, or deduction from gross income or that provide a special credit, a preferential rate of tax, or a deferral of tax liability. For a tax provision to cause a tax expenditure under this definition, two conditions are necessary: the provision must be "special" in that it applies to a narrow class of transactions or transactors; and there must be a "general" provision to which the special provision is an exception. The Congressional Budget Act requires that estimates of tax expenditures be published in the budget. Tax expenditures are so designated because they are one means by which the Federal Government pursues public policy objectives, and because in many cases they can be regarded as an alternative means of achieving the same objectives as direct expenditures. They can also be regarded as an alternative means of achieving the same objectives as other instruments of Government policy, such as loan guarantees, regulations, and provisions of the tax law other than those that give rise to tax expenditures. There are numerous examples of the similarity in objective between tax expenditures and direct outlays. For instance, direct expenditures and tax expenditures both reduce the cost of ship acquisition by shipping companies; and direct loans and the use of tax-exempt bonds both lower the cost of borrowing for eligible persons. Similarly, State and local governments benefit both from direct grants and from the ability to borrow funds at tax-exempt rates; and individuals benefit both from social security payments and from the tax exemption of these payments. Tax expenditures ordinarily result from permanent legislation and therefore are not submitted to the Congress each year and do not routinely receive a formal and systematic annual review. In this sense they share a legislative status with entitlement programs, such as social security, which do not require annual appropriations. However, tax expenditures, other provisions of the income tax, and other tax laws are generally reviewed whenever fiscal policy decisions are considered regarding the overall level of tax receipts. During the last two years the Administration and the Congress reviewed entitlement programs, tax expenditures, and other provisions of tax law. Part of this work led to the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982, which changed a number of tax expenditures and other tax law provisions. This act, furthermore, was passed in accordance with a reconciliation directive in the congressional budget resolution that called on various committees of the Congress to increase receipts or decrease outlays by specified amounts in order to achieve overall budget targets. The classification of certain provisions of law as resulting in tax expenditures requires some reference tax structure against which 6-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 the actual tax law can be compared. Deviations of the law from this standard are deemed to cause tax expenditures. The reference tax structure that is used for this purpose consists of the general provisions of the Internal Revenue Code that deal with basic structural features of the income tax. For the individual income tax, this standard includes those provisions that exist under current law for graduated rate schedules, personal exemptions, zero-bracket amounts (standard deductions), and basic accounting rules. By definition, therefore, these characteristics of the tax structure do not cause tax expenditures. The explicit use of the general provisions of the Internal Revenue Code as the reference tax structure makes it clear that listing an item as a tax expenditure does not imply that it is either a desirable or an undesirable provision. If the general provisions of the Code were different, the estimated amounts for particular provisions would be different and the list of tax expenditures might be different. Similarly, if the reference tax structure was different from the general provisions of the Internal Revenue Code, the list of tax expenditures and the estimated amounts would also be different from what they are now. A reference tax structure could be defined differently with respect to particular provisions of the law. For example, it might exclude the zero-bracket amount (standard deduction) and thus classify this provision as causing a tax expenditure. Alternatively, a different reference tax structure might be based upon a normative judgment about an "ideal" income tax base. Such a standard might, for example, adjust incomes for inflation, or it might integrate the individual and corporation income taxes rather than regarding the separate tax treatment of individuals and corporations as part of the reference tax structure. This would alter the estimates of tax expenditures. Regardless of how the reference tax structure is defined, the provisions of tax law that do not result in tax expenditures deserve as much scrutiny as the provisions of tax law that do. This is because the other provisions also have major effects on the allocation of resources and the distribution of income, and because they may be alternative means of achieving the same objectives or analogous objectives as tax expenditures achieve. For example, investment in equipment may be stimulated by either an increase in the investment tax credit or a decrease in the corporation income tax rate; the former is a change in a tax expenditure, but the latter is not. Similarly, income support may be provided by either the exclusion of social security benefits from taxable income or by the zero-bracket amount (standard deduction); the former causes a tax expenditure, but the latter does not. Tax expenditures are presented at two places in the budget. Part 5, "Meeting National Needs: the Federal Program by Function/' PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-19 discusses the major tax expenditures in each functional category, together with outlays and guaranteed loans, in order to describe more fully the Government's policy for meeting each national need. Special Analysis G, "Tax Expenditures," analyzes the concept and measurement of tax expenditures and presents a complete list of tax expenditure estimates for 1982-84. Tax expenditures were originally estimated as revenue losses. They were defined as the difference between tax receipts and what tax receipts would be if the tax law were different. If removing a tax provision would increase taxable income, for example, the tax expenditure was estimated as the increase in taxable income multiplied by the tax rate that would be paid on the additional income. The present concept of tax expenditures has been modified in order to make tax expenditures more comparable with direct outlays and therefore more useful in analyzing Federal programs. Tax expenditures are estimated as outlay equivalents, i.e., as the amount of outlays that would be required to provide an equal aftertax income to the taxpayer (and thereby an equal incentive) as the special tax provision provides. In many cases the required outlays are greater than the revenue loss, because taxpayers would have to pay taxes on the higher income derived from the outlays. For example, one tax expenditure provision is the exclusion from taxable income of the value of housing and meals supplied to military personnel. If the Government were to repeal this tax exclusion and instead pay higher salaries, the increase in salaries would be taxed. Consequently, if the Government were to use taxable direct expenditures rather than tax expenditures and were to provide the same total after-tax compensation, the increase in direct outlays for higher salaries would have to be greater than the revenue loss under the special tax provision. The Federal deficit would be the same in either case, however, because higher outlays would be required only to the extent that tax receipts were higher. Therefore, in order to make the tax expenditure equivalent to a direct outlay in such cases, the revenue loss is adjusted so that the taxpayer's after-tax income is the same regardless of whether the Government uses a direct outlay or a tax expenditure to achieve its objectives. For some tax expenditures, though, the revenue loss is equivalent to a direct outlay without any adjustment. Special Analysis G presents estimates according to both concepts, but for program analysis in this budget only the outlay equivalent estimates are used. The size of a particular tax expenditure depends not only on the tax provision in question but also on the interaction of this provision with the rest of the tax structure. The reductions in the income tax rate schedule enacted in 1981, for example, automatically decreased many tax expenditures below what they otherwise 6-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 would have been. A tax rate reduction decreases the amount of receipts that would be gained by repealing deductions, exemptions, and exclusions, because lower tax rates are applied to the increase in taxable income. The interaction among tax provisions means that special calculations are generally needed to add tax expenditures together. For example, if more than one exclusion from individual income were* ended, the gain in receipts would generally be greater than the sum of the separate tax expenditures, because some taxpayers would move into higher tax rate brackets. If more than one personal deduction were ended, the gain in receipts would generally be smaller than the sum of the separate tax expenditures, because some taxpayers would switch to using the zero-bracket amount (standard deduction). Consequently, adding together separate tax expenditures would usually be misleading, and they are not aggregated in this budget except for specially computed totals by functional category. As discussed in Part 4 of this volume, "Budget Receipts," the principal tax change enacted last year was the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982. This act raised receipts through a large number of separate provisions, several of which repealed or reduced tax expenditures. For example, safe-harbor leasing is to be phased-out by December 31, 1983, thereby restricting the conditions under which firms that have no tax liability can use leasing transactions to transfer unused investment tax credits and depreciation deductions to profitable firms; and the personal deductions for medical expenses and casualty losses were reduced. Many other provisions that raised receipts, such as the withholding of taxes on interest and dividends and a higher excise tax on cigarettes, had no effects on tax expenditures. As part of the bipartisan plan to restore social security reserves to safer levels, the Administration supports several changes in the payroll tax and the individual income tax. Two of the income tax changes would affect tax expenditures. Half of the social security benefits received by people whose income is above specified levels would be subject to tax, which would reduce the present tax expenditure from not including any social security benefits in adjusted gross income; and employees would receive a refundable tax credit in 1984 that would offset the additional social security tax they would pay in that year due to an acceleration of the scheduled increase in the payroll tax rate. The Administration also proposes to reduce the tax expenditure from not taxing the health insurance premiums that employers pay as part of the total compensation of their employees. Premiums above a specified level would be subject to individual income tax. Several new tax expenditures are proposed for diverse pur- PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-21 poses: a group of incentives for the redevelopment of depressed areas designated as "enterprise zones"; a jobs tax credit for employers who hire the long-term unemployed; a tuition tax credit for students of qualified elementary and secondary schools; and education savings accounts for college and university expenses. FEDERAL BUDGETING FOR CAPITAL EXPENDITURES A preceding section discusses a group of Federal outlays—largely loan programs—that are excluded from the Federal budget under terms of law. In recent years a number of proposals have been made to expand greatly the range of activities that are excluded from the budget. Several different reasons have been articulated to justify the exclusion of some types of spending (or taxes and spending) from the budget. The principal arguments are that: • The program is separate and autonomous from the general fund and, therefore, should not be included in the budget. (This argument is frequently raised when proposals are made to exclude trust or other earmarked funds from the budget.) • The program is of a nature that should not be reflected as current budget outlays. (This argument is used by proponents of excluding Federal capital investments and Federal loans or other business-type spending.) • The program is too important to be limited by the budget ceilings and, therefore, should be excluded from the budget. (This rationale was used for the exclusion of the petroleum purchases for the strategic petroleum reserve.) • The program operates under independent management and should be left out of the budget in order to preserve its independence. (This is the argument for excluding the Postal Service.) It should be recognized that budget concepts are not sacrosanct. From time to time changes have been made in them in order to cope with new conditions and perceptions, and in the future other changes will need to be made. The most recent comprehensive review of budget usages occurred in 1967 and was conducted by a temporary study commission entitled the President's Commission on Budget Concepts. The recommendations of that commission were largely incorporated in the 1969 budget and still constitute the dominant guidance for establishing and maintaining consistent budget usages. Because of the increasing range of proposals for major new exclusions from the coverage of the budget, this section describes the nature and purposes of the budget and analyzes one of the most important of the current proposals for further exclusions—Federal capital investments—in light of how this proposal would affect the Federal budget. 6-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Basic role of the budget—The Federal budget serves many purposes. It is a tool for Presidential review and policy formation, for congressional action, for agency financial operations, for public understanding, and for a public accounting for the use of public monies. It is the primary mechanism for the President and the Congress to exercise control over Federal finances. To serve these purposes adequately several conditions must be met: • The Federal budget must be comprehensive: all Federal taxes and spending must be included. • Federal budgetary transactions must be arrayed into categories that reflect the sources or types of receipts and the purposes for which outlays have been or are proposed to be spent. • The budget must link legal responsibility for the use of funds with program operations so that the funds are used for the purposes and under the conditions specified by law. • Budget transactions must be linked to accounting systems that permit auditing. • It is important for both economic analysis and for budget control that periodic and reliable data on actual budgetary transactions be available. Hence, budgetary transactions must be susceptible to reliable monthly reporting, so that it is possible to determine the composition and magnitude of Federal receipts and spending as the year progresses. • Budget presentation must be logical and clear so that programs, proposals, and results can be understood and analyzed by the general public as well as by budget technicians. • Budget transactions must link the net budget results (the surplus or deficit) to changes in the Federal debt. • Budget practices must be consistent with the concepts and principles that govern them. The concepts and principles, in turn, must be sound operationally as well as in theory. One of the most critical elements in the design of the Federal budget is comprehensiveness. A fundamental rule under current Federal budget concepts is that if a tax or spending activity is carried out by the Federal Government it belongs in the budget; the only existing exceptions are under terms of law and are inconsistent with budget concepts. As the 1967 Report of the President's Commission on Budget Concepts states: "Flowing from the definition of a budget as a basic part of a comprehensive financial plan, the budget should include all programs of the Federal Government and its agencies/' n By having a budget that is comprehensive of all Federal taxes and spending, it is possible for the President, the Congress, and the public to assess the relative importance of different programs and 11 Report of the President's Commission on Budget Concepts (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1967), p. 7. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-23 thereby make policy judgments about the proper size and composition of Federal taxation and spending. Programs that are omitted from the budget almost inevitably receive less scrutiny in the process of setting priorities, even though they are financed from Federal taxes or borrowing. Even when a program is relatively autonomous and not normally constrained by the annual budget process—such as unemployment taxes and benefits—it is important that the program be included in the budget so that overall Federal budget policy can take all Federal taxes and spending into account, and so that legislation affecting such programs can be judged in the light of its effect on the overall budget and the economy as well as its program implications. Capital budgeting issues.—In recent years proposals have been made that the Federal Government adopt a capital budget. In evaluating this proposal, it is important to distinguish between capital budgeting and capital planning. Under a capital budget the basic system of accounting for capital investments would be changed. Outlays for new capital would be recorded in the capital budget while all other spending would be reflected in an operating budget. Capital planning, on the other hand, involves systematic analysis of the optimum use of capital resources in combination with other resources to meet perceived needs in the most cost-effective manner. This is a standard practice within the Federal Government under the present budget system. For example, the Veterans Administration projects medical caseload needs and assesses the adequacy of present and possible future physical facilities and other resources to meet them. The Department of Defense has a systematic procedure for analyzing weapons systems needs and costs. Because resources are finite, the Department must make tradeoffs between research and development, systems acquisition, and operating expenses in deciding how best to meet these needs. Even for areas where the Federal Government finances major investments but generally does not own the resulting facilities—such as highways and pollution control facilities—the Federal Government normally has planning processes designed to match the available resources and needs. Hence, the Government's capital planning processes are integrated into agency budget planning processes, where they can be evaluated in the context of program goals, and alternative means of achieving those goals. The argument for creation of a Federal capital budget and exclusion of capital spending from the budget is commonly defended by application of business accounting practices to the Federal Government, and by analogies to State and local financial practices. In business accounting, capital investment is clearly separated from operating costs, but operating costs include a charge for the use (or 6-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 depreciation) of capital. It is argued that failure to apply similar accounting conventions to the Federal budget creates perverse incentives that discriminate against capital investments. To examine this argument it is necessary to study both the applicability of business accounting conventions to the Federal budget and whether the current budget conventions do, in fact, discriminate against Federal capital investments. Applicability of business capital accounting conventions to the budget.—Accounting conventions must be related to the needs and nature of the organization served. It cannot automatically be presumed that accounting practices used in the private sector should also be used by the Federal Government, because the nature, purposes, legal constraints, and power of the Federal Government differ substantially from those of private business enterprises. In the private sector, accounting is focused on identifying profitability, net worth, unit cost, and tax liabilities—factors that are critical for business success. Of these factors, only unit cost measures are generally relevant to the Federal Government, and they are provided by accounting systems, not the budget system. • Profitability: The Federal Government is inherently not run for profit. Indeed, any activity that is profitable raises the question of whether it should be divested so as to become part of the private sector. While some essentially self-supporting activities (such as the Postal Service) are permanently Federal operations, most Federal operations involve tax and spending programs, not operations designed to generate profits. • The true net worth of the Federal Government is based on the strength of the American economy, not on what the Government owns as physical or financial assets. Most Federal physical assets—defense installations, public facilities, public parks, national forests, etc.—are held as public trusts, not as a source of profit. The primary financial asset of the Government is an asset not available to any private business: the ability to tax. Similarly, the primary responsibilities of the Government—to defend the nation and to promote the general welfare—have no counterpart in the private sector. • Unit cost data in manufacturing and other businesses are critical factors in setting prices. In the Federal Government they are used mostly in controlling the cost of operations, and only occasionally in price setting. This follows from the fact that the central core of Federal operations is the provision of tax financed services (such as national defense) and of income transfers (such as social security). Additionally, in private business practice capital budgeting is used to determine financing, whereas financing of the budget is determined by basic fiscal policy considerations that are unrelated PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-25 to Federal capital investment. Hence, it is clear that the true test of the appropriateness of business accounting principles to the Government lies in examining how their adoption would affect the Federal budget. Effect of capital budgeting based on normal business accounting on the Federal budget.—If the Federal Government were to adopt a capital budget, a series of changes would occur: • It would be necessary to create two budgets, dividing Federal capital expenditures and operating costs into two separate budgets. • The dividing line between which spending components are deemed operating costs and which components are capital expenditures is vague and subject to manipulation, thereby weakening effective control over the budget. • It would be necessary to compute depreciation charges for Federal capital facilities and equipment and to develop a method of charging the operating budget for them. • There would be a major difference between Federal borrowing (and changes in Federal debt) and the budget deficit. Capital investments would be financed by borrowing or taxes at the time when the facilities and equipment were acquired and paid for, regardless of when they were charged to the operating budget. Conversely, depreciation would be charged to the operating budget even though it would have no effect on cash payments or borrowing. • Creation of this dual budget structure would further complicate the Congressional appropriations and budget control processes. • The budget outlays and surplus or deficit totals would be much less useful than now as a measure of current demands made by the Government on the economy. Capital budgeting would change the recorded levels of spending in the regular budget by (a) excluding spending for new capital facilities while (b) including estimates for depreciation. The exclusion of new spending would make the regular budget far less useful as a measure of the current level of Federal demands upon the economy, while introduction of depreciation accounting (a necessary corollary to a capital budget based on a business accounting model) would greatly weaken the reliability of recorded outlay totals, since depreciation estimates are necessarily arbitrary. The problem of Federal depreciation accounting is clearly one of the weakest links in the argument for a Federal capital budget. This problem can be illustrated by analyzing the table below. As the table shows, the dominant form of Federal investment in physical assets is for national defense. In the case of defense spending: 6-26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 FEDERAL OUTLAYS FOR MAJOR NEW PHYSICAL CAPITAL INVESTMENT (In billions of dollars) 1942 - Direct Federal acquisitions: National defense Nondefense Grants to State and local governments for capital acquisition Total 1952 1962 1972 1982 19.9 1.4 14.2 1.5 17.8 2.3 19.1 3.6 48.8 8.5 0.2 0.6 3.2 8.4 20.2 21.5 16.2 23.4 31.1 77.4 • The economic burden occurs when the defense goods are built, not when they are used. • There are no known standards for depreciating defense spending; the very time when the greatest losses occur (wartime) is the very time when depreciation estimates would be least valid. While it would be possible in theory to develop depreciation guidelines for defense, any such accounting system would clearly break down in times of war. • There is no evidence that within the defense budget physical investment is being shortchanged in favor of operating costs. While total defense spending clearly fluctuates significantly over time, both defense investment and operating costs generally move in tandem. Hence, it is clear that moving to a capital budget and depreciation accounting for defense spending would be counterproductive. It would make the budget significantly less reliable with no compensating benefits. As the preceding table shows, the second largest component of Federal capital investment is for grants to State and local governments. It is frequently assumed by capital budgeting advocates that Federal grants for State and local capital investment would be included in a Federal capital budget, but there is no accounting logic for excluding Federal outlays to finance such grants from operating budget outlays. Business accounting has no exact counterpart to the Federal-State-local relationships involved in grants. If a business donates money to another entity—whether for operating or capital expenses of that entity—such donations are current expenses of the business. There does not exist a set of accounting standards that would justify the use of Federal depreciation accounting for physical assets that the Federal Government paid for but gave away. The component that most nearly resembles private capital investment—nondefense direct capital investment—is the smallest of the three components, and clearly is not sufficiently large to warrant major changes in the budgetary presentation and control processes. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-27 Capital budgeting and Federal priorities.—One of the principal arguments currently being made in favor of Federal capital budgeting is that it would change the priorities of Federal spending—that it would increase Federal capital spending relative to operating expenditures. If this were so, it would not by itself justify a Federal capital budget. No legitimate public purpose is served by adopting accounting conventions designed to promote certain programmatic goals rather than to afford the President and the Congress a means of making the choices that reflect their goals and the costs of achieving these goals. However, it is not even clear whether adoption of a Federal capital budget would expand the magnitude of public physical spending. Generally, State and local governments operate using capital budgets. Yet, most of the expressed concern about perceived inadequate public capital investment is a concern about the adequacy of State and local facilities. Furthermore, during recent years State and local capital spending from their own funds— despite capital budgets—has declined precipitously relative to grants to finance State and local capital investment spending. Applicability of capital budgeting based on State and local government accounting.—Most State and local governments have capital budgets, and it is frequently assumed that if this two-part budgetary system is appropriate for them, it would also be appropriate for the Federal Government. However, both the powers and responsibilities and the legal and constitutional constraints on the Federal Government differ significantly from those of State and local governments. • Most State constitutions prohibit borrowing except under restricted circumstances, generally related to capital purposes. Similarly, State constitutions and/or laws generally constrain local government borrowing. These constraints generally lead State and local governments to separate their operating and capital expenditures. No such constraints apply to the Federal Government. Except for specific public enterprise capital formation (such as for the Tennessee Valley Authority), there is no relationship between Federal capital formation and Federal borrowing. • State and local government financing of capital projects through bond funds is commonly justified on the basis of equity. It is argued that it is only fair for the users to pay a proportionate share of the facilities for each year they live in a particular locality. Similar arguments are not applicable to the country as a whole, which the Federal Government encompasses. This is particularly true for spending for defense facilities and equipment. 6-28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 It should be noted that capital budgeting practices of State and local governments (except some governmental business enterprises) are different from the business accounting model discussed above. As a normal rule the State or local operating budget is charged for the amortization on bonds (i.e., the amount needed to pay off principal and interest on the bonds) rather than depreciation on the assets. While some bond repayment schedules may closely match depreciation, it is common for such schedules to be more rapid or slower than the rates of depreciation. Since Federal borrowing is not related to capital spending but to the general Federal deficit, there is no need or provision for Federal debt sinking funds akin to those common to State and local government financing. Improved Budgetary Data on Federal Physical Capital Investments.—Even though the analysis above leads to the conclusion that a Federal capital budget would be undesirable, there is a need for more information on Federal capital spending. For several decades the budget documents have included Special Analysis D ("Investment, Operating, and Other Federal Outlays") as the primary budget source for data on Federal physical capital investment. However, the analysis has never contained a historical data base to facilitate analysis of trends in Federal investment. To remedy this deficiency, Special Analysis D has been significantly revised this year to provide such a perspective, and a new set of historical tables entitled "Federal Outlays for Major Physical Capital Investment" has been developed to supply a great deal of supplementary historical data. These additional tables, which are available upon request, show the size and composition of Federal physical capital investment in current and constant prices and as a percent of gross national product for a period of over three decades, thereby facilitating evaluation of the adequacy and priorities of Federal capital spending. BUDGET FUNDS AND THE FEDERAL DEBT The budget consists of two major groups of funds: Federal funds and trust funds. The Federal funds are derived mainly from taxes and borrowing and are used for the general purposes of the Government. Most of these funds are not restricted by law to any specific Government program. The trust funds, on the other hand, collect certain taxes and other receipts for specified purposes, such as paying social security and unemployment insurance benefits. The budget includes the receipts and outlays of both the Federal funds and the trust funds and, as shown in the next table, deducts the various transactions that occur between them. The budget totals for receipts and outlays therefore generally display the net transactions of the Federal Government with the public. The 6-29 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET BUDGET TOTALS BY FUND GROUP (In billions of dollars) 1982 actual Budget receipts: Federal funds Trust funds Interfund transactions Total, budget receipts Budget outlays: Federal funds Trust funds Interfund transactions Total budget outlays Budget surplus or deficit ( - ) : Federal funds Trust funds .... Total, budget surplus or deficit (—) Addendum-. Deficit (-), x off-budget Federal entities Total, surplus or deficit (—) including off-budget Federal entities 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate 409.3 268.4 -59.9 376.9 314.8 94.2 404.7 330.2 -75.3 436.7 369.2 -81.6 525.9 404.7 -88.7 617.8 597.5 659.7 724.3 841.9 526.1 262.2 -59.9 603.0 296.4 94.2 610.5 313.3 -75.3 666.2 333.9 81.6 719.3 359.0 -88.7 728.4 805.2 848.5 918.5 989.6 -116.9 6.3 -226.1 18.4 -205.7 16.9 229.5 35.3 -193.4 45.7 -110.6 -207.7 -188.8 -194.2 -147.7 17.3 17.0 14.0 10.5 -9.4 -127.9 -224.8 202.8 -204.7 -157.1 1 No off-budget Federal entities collect governmental receipts, so receipts are not adjusted when on and off-budget totals are consolidated. The off-budget outlays would be classified as Federal funds outlays if they were included in the budget. budget does not, however, include the net transactions with the public of the Federal Financing Bank and the other off-budget Federal entities, which have been excluded from the budget under provisions of law. Thus, as shown in the table on the next page, the combined deficit or surplus of the budget and the off-budget entities is the principal determinant of the change in the Federal debt held by the public.12 The budget and off-budget deficits, together with the other factors noted in this table, are estimated to increase the Federal debt held by the public from $929.4 billion at the end of 1982 to $1,347.4 billion at the end of 1984, with the increase in 1984 being a little smaller than in 1983. Borrowing is projected consistently with the economic assumptions that are explained in Part 2 of this volume. The projected change in debt held by the public in 1985 and 1986 continues to be large each year but declines in 1986, when the total Government deficit diminishes. Gross Federal debt is the sum of the debt held by the public and the debt held by the Government itself, which includes such investments as the Treasury debt held by the social security and other trust funds. At the end of 1984 gross Federal debt is estimated to be $1,606.3 billion, of which debt held by the Government itself is 12 Table 11 in Part 9 of this Budget contains more detail on budget financing through 1984 and shows the levels of debt from 1981 to 1984. Federal debt is discussed further in Special Analysis E, "Borrowing and Debt." 380-000 0 - 8 3 - 2 0 : QL 3 6-30 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET FINANCING AND CHANGE IN DEBT OUTSTANDING ' (In billions of dollars) Description 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1985 estimate 1986 estimate Budget surplus or deficit (—) Deficit (—) of off-budget Federal entities -110.6 -17.3 -207.7 -17.0 -188.8 -14.0 -194.2 -10.5 -147.7 -9.4 Total, surplus or deficit ( — ) -127.9 -224.8 -202.8 -204.7 -157.1 -11.9 7.2 4.1 .3 .4 1.5 .6 .5 .4 -1.2 .6 .8 .9 -7.1 9.8 .2 .8 .9 -135.0 -215.0 -203.0 -203.8 -156.3 135.0 215.0 203.0 203.8 156.3 1.0 5.7 .6 .7 2.0 19.5 -1.0 1.4 3.2 17.8 -1.0 .4 35.3 45.7 8.1 21.8 19.6 35.3 45.7 143.0 236.8 222.6 239.1 201.9 Means of financing other than borrowing from the public: Decrease or increase ( - ) in cash and other monetary assets Increase or decrease ( —) in liabilities for: Checks outstanding, etc Deposit fund balances .. Seigniorage on coins Total, means of financing other than borrowing from the public Total, requirements for borrowing from the public Change in debt held by the public Change in Federal agency investments in Federal debt: Federal funds Trust funds 2 Off-budget Federal entities Deposit funds 3 Total, change in Federal agency investments in Federal debt Change in gross Federal debt 'Several amounts have been assumed to be zero in 1985 and 1986 because they are usually small and cannot be estimated accurately. 2 Estimates for 1985 and 1986 are equal to the total trust fund surplus. 3 Certain deposit funds only. $258.9 billion. Thus, gross Federal debt is much larger than the Federal debt held by the public. Gross Federal debt is estimated to rise by $222.6 billion during 1984. As indicated in the lower section of the table above, $19.6 billion of this increment will be held in trust funds and other Federal accounts. This is mainly due to the investment of trust fund surpluses in Treasury debt. The gross Federal debt consists almost entirely of securities issued by the Treasury Department. However, a few Government agencies are authorized to issue their own debt instruments to the public or to other Government agencies and funds. These securities are part of the gross Federal debt. At the end of 1982 the public held $3.8 billion of agency debt, most of which was issued some years ago. The greater part consists of revenue bonds issued by the Tennessee Valley Authority and participation certificates in pools of loans issued by the Government National Mortgage Association 6-31 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET on behalf of several agencies. Agency debt is expected to fall by small amounts each year as existing agency debt matures and most new agency borrowing is from the Federal Financing Bank (FFB). The FFB finances its purchases of agency debt by borrowing from Treasury, which in turn borrows from the public. To prevent double counting, FFB's holdings of agency debt are not included in gross Federal debt. Almost all Treasury securities are covered by a general statutory debt limitation. The limit through September 30, 1983, is $1,290.2 billion. However, to permit the Federal Government to meet its obligations, the limit will have to be raised before that time. Debt subject to the general statutory limit, like gross Federal debt, includes debt held internally within the Government, such as the Treasury issues held by the social security trust funds. Debt subject to the statutory limit is therefore much larger than the debt held by the public and is nearly as large as gross Federal debt. It is a little less than gross Federal debt primarily because most agency debt is excluded from the general statutory limitation. FEDERAL FUNDS FINANCING AND CHANGE IN DEBT SUBJECT TO LIMIT (In billions of dollars) 1982 actual 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Federal funds surplus or deficit (—) Deficit (—) of off-budget Federal entities -116.9 -17.3 -226.1 -17.0 -205.7 -14.0 Total, amount to be financed -134.2 -243.1 -219.8 -11.9 7.2 4.7 .3 .4 .4 .6 .5 -.5 -1.2 .6 -6.5 8.7 -1.1 -2.3 2.3 1.8 -1.0 -.2 -.1 -144.1 -237.0 222.7 144.1 237.0 222.7 Description Means of financing other than borrowing: Decrease or increase ( —) in cash and monetary assets Increase or decrease ( - ) in liabilities for: Checks outstanding, etc Deposit fund balances Seigniorage on coins Total, means of financing other than borrowing Decrease or increase ( - ) in investments in Federal debt by Federal funds, off-budget entities, and deposit funds 1 Increase or decrease ( — ) in Federal funds and off-budget entity debt not subject to limit Total, requirements for borrowing subject to debt limit Change in debt subject to limit * $50 million or less. •Certain deposit funds only. Since trust fund surpluses for the most part have been invested in debt securities, rather than being held as cash assets, the Federal funds deficit and the deficit of the off-budget Federal entities must be financed primarily by selling Federal debt. This debt is almost entirely subject to the statutory limit. As shown in the table above, the Federal funds deficit plus the off-budget deficit 6-32 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 was $134.2 billion in 1982, and the increase in debt subject to statutory limit was $144.1 billion. Thus, these deficits approximately accounted for the increase in the debt subject to limit. THE INCREASE IN TOTAL 1982 OUTLAYS OVER THE MARCH 1981 BUDGET ESTMATE Budget outlays for 1982 were $728.4 billion, which is $40.4 billion higher than the initial proposals made by this Administration in its revised budget transmitted to Congress in March 1981.13 This increase is the smallest that has occurred between the proposal of a budget and its outcome in the past three years, both in absolute dollars and as a percent of total spending. The average difference in 1980 and 1981 was 8.1%, while in 1982 it was 5.9%. This section reviews the major causes of the 1982 increase. The table below compares the March 1981 outlay estimate and the actual totals in current and constant (fiscal year 1972) dollars and as a percent of GNP. It also compares defense and nondefense outlays in current dollars. The actual outlays for defense were 0.7% below the estimate. Outlays for nondefense programs were 8.4% higher than the estimate. 1982 OUTLAY INCREASES (Dollars in billions) March 1981 estimate* Budget outlays: Current dollars National defense Nondefense Constant (fiscal year 1972) dollars As a percent of GNP Off-budget outlays (current dollars) 688.0 188.8 499.2 319.3 22.7 20.2 Actual 728.4 187.4 541.0 338.7 24.0 17.3 Percent change 5.9 -0.7 8.4 6.1 5.7 -14.4 'The March 1981 outlay estimate has been adjusted for two account ^classifications in the budget, as explained in footnote 13 in the accompanying text. Spending increased throughout most of the budget and in different kinds of programs. Outlays were larger than initially estimated in most of the 17 budget functions except defense. Relatively uncontrollable programs increased 5.3%, and relatively controllable programs increased 7.8%. The chronology and causes of the specific changes are described below. Chronology of outlay increases.—The chronology of outlay in- creases is displayed in the following table. This Administration's initial outlay estimate for 1982, adjusted for comparability to cur13 The outlay estimate published in the Fiscal Year 1982 Budget Revisions has been adjusted retroactively for comparability to reflect the reclassification of two types of transactions. (1) Noncompulsory premiums from individuals insured under medicare were reclassified from being budget (governmental) receipts to being offsetting collections. This reduced estimated budget receipts and outlays by an equal amount ($3.9 billion for 1982). (2) P.L. 97-35 provides that the outlays for the purchase of petroleum for the strategic petroleum reserve shall be classified off-budget. Therefore, the estimated amount for 1982 ($3.5 billion) was removed from the totals. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-33 rent data, was $688.0 billion. In July 1981, the estimate increased $10.1 billion due primarily to changed economic assumptions. In September 1981, the Administration proposed additional budget savings of $13.0 billion for discretionary, defense, and entitlement programs. These reductions, however, were more than offset by upward economic and technical reestimates and by congressional action for entitlement programs that differed from Administration proposals. Between September 1981 and July 1982, there were more upward revisions, mainly for economic and technical reestimates. Actual outlays were slightly below the final estimate, made in July 1982. CHRONOLOGY OF THE 1982 OUTLAY INCREASE (In billions of dollars) March 1981 (1982 Budget Revisions) Accounting changes: Shift medicare premiums to outlay side of budget Shift petroleum purchases for strategic petroleum reserve off-budget Subtotal, adjustments Adjusted outlay estimate Other changes: July 1981 (Mid-Session Review): The largest increases were due to net interest ($8.7 billion) and other interest-related costs ($1.6 billion) September 1981 (September Update): Increases for net interest ($6.4 billion), farm price supports ($2.4 billion), and policy changes ($6.9 billion) were offset in part by reductions proposed by the Administration ($13.0 billion) February 1982 (1983 Budget): The largest increases were for net interest ($6.6 billion), unemployment compensation ($5.7 billion), and social security ($4.4 billion) April 1982 (April Update): The largest increase was for farm price supports ($4.1 billion) and the largest decrease was for unemployment compensation ($1.8 billion) July 1982 (Mid-Session Review): The largest increases were for farm price supports ($1.2 billion) and OCS offsetting receipts ($1.0 billion) October 1982 (Year-end Statement) Total increase Actual 695.3 -3.9 -3.5 -7.4 688.0 10.1 4.6 22.7 3.5 2.1 -2.6 40.4 728.4 Major Causes of the Increase.—The following table summarizes the reasons for the increase in budget outlays according to three categories: (1) economic conditions that were different from the original assumptions; (2) policy changes; and (3) estimating and other differences. The amounts in the first two categories include only the major items. The third category is a residual. The figures, therefore, are approximations. Changes in economic conditions explain 55% of the total increase. The net effect of policy changes was negligible. Estimating and other changes account for the remainder. 6-34 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 SUMMARY OF REASONS FOR CHANGES IN 1982 OUTLAYS (in billions of dollars) Total Reasons for change (net): Economic conditions 22.4 -0.9 18.9 Policy Estimating differences and other changes Total 40.4 Economic conditions differed from those forecast in March 1981, as shown in the table below. Growth in real GNP was 0.7 percentage points lower than projected for 1981, and 6.4 percentage points lower for 1982. Inflation as measured by the GNP deflator was 0.5 percentage points lower than originally projected for 1981, and 2.3 percentage points lower for 1982. As measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), inflation was 0.8 percentage points lower than projected for 1981 and 2.3 percentage points lower for 1982. The unemployment rate was slightly lower than projected for 1981, but 2.5 percentage points higher for 1982. Interest rates were higher than the original assumptions. The 91-day Treasury bill rate during 1981 averaged 3.0 percentage points more than the March 1981 assumption, and the 1982 rate was 1.8 percentage points higher. COMPARISON OF ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS: MARCH 1981 AND ACTUAL (Calendar years) March 1981 estimate 1981 Percent change: GNP (constant 1972 dollars): 4th quarter over 4th quarter Inflation (year over year): GNP deflator Consumer Price Index (CPI) Unemployment rate (annual average) Interest rate (91-day bills, annual avsrage) 1982 Difference Actual 1981 1982 1981 1982 1.4 5.2 0.7 -1.2 -0.7 -6.4 9.9 11.1 7.8 11.1 8.3 8.3 7.2 8.9 9.4 10.3 7.6 14.1 6.0 6.0 9.7 10.7 -0.5 -0.8 -0.2 3.0 -2.3 -2.3 2.5 1.8 These differences in economic assumptions resulted in a net increase in outlays of $22 billion. Higher interest rates and increases in borrowing accounted for $17 billion—or about 80%—of the increase. Higher unemployment increased outlays by more than $6 billion, primarily for unemployment benefits. Lower inflation reduced outlays for indexed programs by $1 billion. These changes are shown in more detail in the following table. Policy changes that differed from proposals in the 1982 Budget Revisions reduced 1982 outlays by about $1 billion. The largest decrease occurred for nondefense discretionary programs. In Sep- PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-35 EFFECT OF CHANGES IN ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS ON 1982 OUTLAYS (In billions of dollars) Description Interest rates and change in borrowing: 1 Net interest: Interest rates Change in borrowing Higher education, housing (GNMA), Export-Import Bank, and other Subtotal, interest rates and changes in borrowing Inflation: Indexed programs: Social security and railroad retirement Military pay Military retirement Civil service retirement Other Subtotal, inflation Difference 12.2 3.3 L8 17.3 -0.6 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -1.1 Unemployment 6.2 Total 22.4 •Change in borrowing for all reasons, including causes other than economic assumptions. tember 1981, the Administration proposed a 12% across-the-board reduction in the 1982 appropriations request for nondefense discretionary programs. Congress enacted about half of these savings, reducing 1982 outlays $4 billion from the March request. Outlays for defense programs were also reduced $2 billion due to a revised appropriation request proposed by the Administration in September. These decreases were almost entirely offset by congressional action or inaction on Administration proposals for reductions in entitlement programs, for new or increased user fees, and for other budget savings. Congress failed to enact $3 billion in entitlement savings and $2 billion in savings from user fees and other proposals. Estimating differences and other changes increased 1982 outlays by $19 billion. Most of this increase was due to two reasons. The Commodity Credit Corporation spent $10 billion more for the support of agricultural commodities than expected mainly because of unanticipated increases in farm crop production and lower than expected demand for farm goods. Outer Continental Shelf offsetting receipts were less by $5 billion, due to lower than expected bids for leases and a delay in two sales from late 1982 until 1983. COMPARISON OF RELATIVELY UNCONTROLLABLE OUTLAYS AND OF RECEIPTS The Congressional Budget Act requires that the budget contain two comparisons between the initial budget estimates and the actual amounts for the last completed fiscal year: a comparison of 6-36 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 the differences in relatively uncontrollable outlays by major program, and a comparison of the differences in receipts by major source. These comparisons are made for the 1982 budget in the following two sections. They are based on the Fiscal Year 1982 Budget Revisions, which this Administration transmitted to the Congress in March 1981 as its initial proposals for the fiscal year ending on September 30, 1982. Comparison of relatively uncontrollable outlays.—Outlays in any one year are considered to be relatively uncontrollable when the program level is determined by existing statutes or by contracts or other obligations. Outlays for these programs generally depend on factors that are beyond administrative control under existing law at the start of the fiscal year. For example, the definition of beneficiaries eligible for programs like medicaid and social security is established by law. Prior-year contracts and obligations are also legally binding. Relatively uncontrollable outlays are grouped into two major categories: open-ended programs and fixed costs, for which outlays are generally mandated by law; and payments from prior-year contracts and obligations, for which outlays are required because of previous action, such as entering into contracts. Budget estimates of relatively uncontrollable outlays do not include the effects of proposed legislation. For a number of reasons, the amounts estimated in the budget may differ from the actual outlays that are subsequently realized. For example, legislation may change benefit rates or coverage; the actual number of beneficiaries may differ from the number estimated; and economic conditions (such as interest rates) may differ from what was assumed in making the estimates. The following table shows the differences between actual outlays for relatively uncontrollable programs in 1982 and the amounts estimated in the 1982 budget revisions. The list of programs is the same as in table 18 (Controllability of Budget Outlays) in Part 9. Several categories include revisions in the program classifications, which are shown retroactively for the March 1981 estimates. Actual outlays for relatively uncontrollable programs in 1982 were $548.4 billion, which is $27.4 billion, or 5.3%, higher than the estimates based on existing law in March 1981. Outlays for openended programs and fixed costs were $24.4 billion higher, and outlays from prior-year contracts and obligations were $3.0 billion above the initial estimate. Payments for individuals were 77% of all open-ended programs and fixed costs in 1982. These outlays are essentially income transfers rather than payments for direct Federal operations. Actual outlays for this grouping were $1.3 billion lower than estimated. This was caused by legislative savings, partly offset by the net 6-37 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET RELATIVELY UNCONTROLLABLE OUTLAYS FOR 1982 (In billions of dollars) Relatively uncontrollable under present law Open-ended programs and fixed costs: Payments for individuals-. Social security and railroad retirement Federal employees' retirement and insurance (Military retired pay) (Other) Unemployment assistance Medical care Assistance to students Food and nutrition assistance Public assistance and related programs All other relatively uncontrollable payments for individuals March 1981 estimate (existing law) * Change Actual 163.1 45.5 (15.7.) (29.8) 21.6 66.5 3.5 4.0 21.0 3.0 -3.8 -1.0 (-0.8) (-0.3) 2.0 1.3 1.6 1.0 -0.3 -0.1 159.3 44.5 (14.9) (29.5) 23.6 67.8 5.1 3.0 20.7 2.9 Subtotal, payments for individuals 328.3 -1.3 327.0 Net interest.. . General revenue sharing Farm price supports (CCC) Other open-ended programs and fixed costs 68.4 4.6 2.1 -0.8 16.3 * 9.5 0.1 84.7 4.6 11.6 -0.9 402.5 24.4 426.9 51.4 67.1 5.5 -2.6 56.9 64.5 Total, outlays from prior-year contracts and obligations 118.5 3.0 121.5 Total, relatively uncontrollable outlays 521.0 27.4 548.4 Total, open-ended programs and fixed costs Outlays from prior-year contracts and obligations: National defense Civilian programs *50 million or less. •In 1982, a revision of the controllability classification resulted in some major rectifications in the 1983 budget. This table has been adjusted to reflect these changes so that the comparisons from the original estimates to the actuals are meaningful. The principal changes were: —housing assistance was reclassified from being in open-ended programs to being in prior-year contracts and obligations; —food stamps, food donations, and section 32 commodities were classified as food and nutrition assistance and are now classified as relatively controllable outlays; —social services and human development services were classified as public assistance and related programs and are now classified as relatively controllable, although part of their outlays are included under prior-year contracts and obligations; —supplementary medical insurance premiums were reclassified from being budget (governmental) receipts to being offsetting collections and are included under other open-ended programs and fixed costs. —outlays for the purchase of petroleum for the strategic petroleum reserve are now classified off-budget and are no longer included under prior-year contracts and obligations. impact of differences between actual and assumed economic conditions and the number of beneficiaries. Actual payments for individuals were below the estimate for the first time in 3 years. In 1980 and 1981, actual outlays for these programs were above the estimate by $15.6 billion and $11.7 billion, respectively. Outlays for social security and railroad retirement, the largest category of payments for individuals, were $3.8 billion lower than estimated. The orginal estimate assumed automatic benefit increases (based on inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index) of 11.2 percent in July 1981 and 9.3 percent in July 1982. The actual increases were 11.2 percent and 7.4 percent, respectively. The original estimate also assumed that 36.5 million people 6-38 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 would collect social security benefits in 1982. At mid-year the program was making monthly payments to only 36.2 million people. Congressional enactment of changes in both the social security and railroad retirement programs also reduced outlays in 1982. Major changes in the social security program were the phase-out of post-secondary social security student benefits and restrictions on the lump sum death payment. The changes in the railroad retirement program included a provision to restructure industry pension benefits. Outlays for Federal employees' retirement and disability insurance programs were $1.0 billion below the budget estimate. These programs consist of military retired pay, civilian employee retirement and disability, and veterans service-connected compensation. Except for veterans service-connected compensation, these benefits are indexed to the consumer price index. Outlays for the indexed programs were below the initial estimate, mainly because inflation was lower than expected in 1982. In addition, Congress adopted an Administration proposal limiting cost-of-living adjustments for military and civil service retirees to once each year. Outlays for unemployment compensation programs were $2.0 billion above the initial estimate. This increase was the net result of a higher than assumed rate of unemployment and savings from enacted legislation. Higher than expected unemployment raised outlays by $4.5 billion but this increase was partially offset by congressional enactment of Administration proposals to concentrate extended benefits on States with high unemployment and to limit trade adjustment assistance to workers displaced for long periods by increased imports. Outlays for medical care were $1.3 billion higher than estimated. Medicare outlays were $2.1 billion above the initial estimate largely because hospital costs increased at a rate faster than anticipated. Outlays for the medicaid program were $0.8 below the initial estimate because Congress enacted an Administration proposal to limit the growth in medicaid expenditures beginning in 1982. Assistance to students consists of GI bill benefits and the guaranteed student loan program. Outlays for the guaranteed student loan program were $1.3 billion higher than the estimate due to the effect of higher interest rates than expected on the interest subsidy for student loans. A proposal enacted by Congress to restrict the benefits of this program to students from low-income families offset this increase by $0.1 billion in 1982. Use of GI benefits was greater than anticipated and accounts for $0.4 billion of the total $1.6 billion increase over estimated outlays for these programs. Food and nutrition assistance includes the child nutrition and special milk programs. Outlays for these programs were $1.0 billion lower than estimated due to congressional enactment of legislation PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-39 proposed by the Administration to reduce subsidies for middle and upper income students. Public assistance and related programs include public assistance payments, supplemental security income, outlays for earned income tax credits, and veterans non-service-connected pensions. Outlays for these programs were $0.3 billion below the March 1981 estimate. Uncontrollable outlays for all other payments for individuals were $0.1 billion lower than estimated, mostly because of lower than expected payments for black lung disabilities. Open-ended programs and fixed costs, other than payments for individuals, account for most of the difference between estimated and actual relatively uncontrollable outlays. The largest difference was for net interest, where outlays were $16.3 billion—or 24%— higher than the original estimate. Interest on the public debt was $19.3 billion higher than assumed, largely because interest rates and Federal borrowing were higher than anticipated. The budget estimate assumed a 8.9% interest rate on 91-day Treasury bills for fiscal year 1982 whereas the actual 91-day rate averaged 11.8%. Interest received by trust funds, which is offset against interest costs to measure transactions with the public, was also $1.7 billion higher than the budget estimate due to higher than anticipated interest rates and despite lower trust fund balances. Outlays for farm price supports were $9.5 billion above the initial estimate. This change was largely due to unanticipated increases in farm production and lower than expected prices for agricultural commodities. Outlays for prior-year contracts and obligations for civilian and national defense programs were $3.0 billion above the initial estimate. National defense outlays were $5.5 billion—or 10.7%—above the estimate because of faster than anticipated spending in nearly all defense appropriation categories. Outlays for civilian programs were $2.6 billion, or 3.9%, lower than the initial estimate. The largest decreases from estimated to actual outlays for civilian programs were for the Export-Import Bank, and the Environmental Protection Agency's program for construction of sewage treatment plants. Comparison of actual and estimated receipts.—Budget receipts in 1982 were $617.8 billion, which is $28.7 billion less than the $646.5 billion estimated in the revised budget transmitted to Congress in March 1981. Lower than anticipated incomes and oil prices, and higher than expected interest rates, reduced receipts by a net $47.6 billion. This decrease was partially offset by changes in collections patterns and effective tax rates, which increased receipts by $5.1 billion. Differences in tax law from the legislation proposed in the budget revi- 6-40 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 sions increased receipts by an additional $13.8 billion. These differences in tax law consist primarily of modifications of the proposals reflected in the revised budget and also of changes in law that were not proposed at that time. Substantial reductions in individual income tax rates and business taxes were proposed in March 1981. These proposals, which included a 30% reduction in marginal tax rates for individuals and a system of accelerated depreciation, were expected to reduce 1982 receipts by $53.9 billion. Other proposals, which were estimated to increase 1982 receipts by $2.6 billion, included an increase in railroad retirement payroll taxes; increases in passport and visa fees; and increases in user fees for aviation and barge operators. Together, the March 1981 proposals were estimated to reduce 1982 receipts by $51.3 billion. The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 (ERTA), enacted on August 13, 1981, was the only major legislated tax change affecting 1982 receipts. The provisions of this Act included across-the-board reductions in marginal tax rates for individuals, an accelerated cost recovery system for capital investment, reductions in estate and gift taxes, and saving incentives. This Act and several minor legislated changes reduced 1982 receipts by $13.8 billion less than the Administration proposed. COMPARISON OF ACTUAL 1982 BUDGET RECEIPTS WITH THE MARCH 1981 ESTIMATES (In billions of dollars) March 1981 estimate Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes Social insurance taxes and contributions... Excise taxes Estate and gift taxes Customs duties Miscellaneous receipts Total. 288.2 62.4 ^210.6 55.7 7.6 7.8 14.2 1 646.5 Differences in tax law from 1981 proposals Revised Technical adjustments Net change 5.5 0.6 * -13.2 Actual 1.9 -3.1 0.7 1.2 0.2 -9.1 -19.4 0.4 1.1 1.9 297.7 49.2 201.5 36.3 8.0 8.9 16.2 -47.6 5.1 -28.7 617.8 16.9 0.8 -0.4 -3.4 -0.2 0.2 -0.2 -12.8 -14.7 -8.8 -12.9 13.8 -0.1 -0.2 9.6 *$50 million or less. ^ h e data have been revised to reflect the retroactive rectification of supplemental medical insurance (SMI) premiums and voluntary hospital insurance premiums, formerly classified as budget receipts, as offsets to outlays. These changes reduce the March 1981 receipts and outlays estimates by $3.9 billion, this having no impact on the deficit. Individual income taxes were $297.7 billion in 1982, $9.6 billion greater than the budget estimate of $288.2 billion. Differences in tax law from the legislation proposed in March 1981 increased individual income tax receipts by $16.9 billion. This was partially offset by lower than anticipated personal incomes, which reduced individual income taxes by $12.8 billion. Different collection patterns and effective tax rates increased receipts by $5.5 billion. Corporation income taxes were $13.2 billion below the March 1981 estimate. Substitution of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6-41 1981 for the revised budget proposals increased corporation income taxes by $0.8 billion. This increase was more than offset by a $14.7 billion decline in corporation income taxes due to lower than anticipated corporate profits. Social insurance taxes and contributions (which are composed of employment taxes and contributions, unemployment insurance receipts, and other retirement contributions) were $9.1 billion less than the March 1981 estimate of $210.6 billion. A decline in employment taxes and contributions, due in large part to lower than anticipated wages and salaries, accounts for $7.0 billion of the reduction in social insurance receipts. Lower than anticipated collections of unemployment insurance receipts, primarily due to an overestimate of State taxes deposited in the Treasury to finance unemployment benefits, reduced social insurance taxes and contributions by an additional $2.1 billion. Reductions in the windfall profit tax, due in large part to lower oil prices than expected, accounted for $15.9 billion of the $19.4 billion decline in excise tax receipts. Inaction on the proposed increase in airport and airway user taxes until August 1982, and a reclassification of the proposed increase in inland waterway user fees as an offset to outlays, reduced other excise taxes by $2.1 billion. Estate and gift taxes and customs duties were above the March 1981 estimates by $0.4 billion and $1.1 billion, respectively. An underestimate of imports accounted for most of the increase in customs duties receipts. An increase in deposits of earnings by the Federal Reserve System, primarily reflecting higher interest rates than anticipated in March 1981, accounted for most of the $1.9 billion rise in miscellaneous receipts. ALLOCATION OF WINDFALL PROFIT TAX RECEIPTS Section 102 of the Crude Oil Windfall Profit Tax Act of 1980 requires that each year the President propose the allocation of net receipts from the tax in his budget. This act establishes a Windfall Profit Tax Account in the Treasury "for accounting purposes only." After the Secretary of the Treasury has determined the amount of net receipts from the tax, they are to be allocated to the Windfall Profit Tax Account. Since the Conference Report accompanying the act stated explicitly that the net receipts from the tax "shall not be earmarked or invested separately from general revenues . . .", the allocations referred to in section 102 cannot be interpreted as earmarking funds for specific purposes. The method for these allocations is prescribed by three formulas in subsections b(l), b(2), and b(3) of section 102. The allocations for 6-42 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 1984 are compared in the following table with the amounts included in this budget for the functional categories referred to in the formula. ALLOCATION OF WINDFALL PROFIT TAX, NET RECEIPTS, 1984 (In millions of dollars) Section 102 Formula Total net receipts Allocation: Low-income assistance Energy and transportation programs Income tax reductions Total 1 1984 Budget 6,374 6,374 1,594 956 3,824 1 18,688 -20,555 6,374 39,243 This amount is the total outlays for the other income security subfunction (609). 2 This amount is the total outlays for all programs in the energy function (270) and the ground transportation subfunction (401). PART 7 THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-1 THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS The budget system of the U.S. Government provides the framework within which decisions on resource allocation and program management are made in relation to the requirements of the Nation, availability of Federal resources, effective financial control, and accountability for use of the resources. THE BUDGET PROCESS The budget process has three main phases: (1) executive formulation and transmittal; (2) congressional action; and (3) budget execution and control. Each of these is interrelated with the others. Executive formulation and transmittal.—The budget sets forth the President's financial plan and indicates his priorities for the Federal Government. The President's transmittal of his budget to the Congress early in each calendar year is the culmination of many months of planning and analysis throughout the executive branch. Formulation of the 1984 budget began in the spring of 1982. The budget is formulated in the context of a multi-year budget planning and tracking system that extends coverage to the 4 years following the budget year and integrates long-range planning into the executive budget process. This multi-year budget planning system requires that broad fiscal goals and agency spending and employment targets be established beyond the budget year. During the period when a budget is formulated in the executive branch, there is a continual exchange of information, proposals, evaluations, and policy decisions among the President, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) and other Executive Office units, and the various Government agencies. In the spring, program and policy issues are identified and budgetary projections are made, giving attention both to important modifications and innovations in programs and to alternative longrange program plans. These budgetary projections, including projections of estimated receipts prepared by the Department of the Treasury, are then presented to the President for his consideration, and the major issues are discussed. At about the same time, the President receives projections of the economic outlook that are prepared jointly by the Council of Economic Advisers, OMB, and the Treasury. 7-2 THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-3 Following a review of these projections, the President establishes general budget and fiscal policy guidelines. General policy directions and planning ceilings for both the fiscal year that will begin about 15 months later and for the 4 years beyond are then given to the agencies to govern the preparation of their budget requests. Throughout the fall and early winter, the executive branch is involved in the development of the President's budget. The primary phase of the budget process involves the formulation and preparation of the President's budget for transmittal to the Congress. Budget determinations are made after detailed reviews of agency budget requests. These determinations are then provided to the agencies but may be revised as a result of later Presidential decisions. Fiscal policy issues—relating to total budget outlays and receipts—are reexamined. The effects of budget decisions on budget authority and outlays in the years that follow are also considered and are explicitly taken into account, consistent with the multiyear budget planning system. Thus, the budget formulation process involves the simultaneous consideration of the resource needs of individual programs and the total outlays and receipts that are appropriate in relation to current and prospective economic conditions. The Congressional Budget Act of 1974 requires that current services estimates be transmitted to provide the Congress with a basis for reviewing the President's budget. These estimates are projections of budget authority and outlays required to continue Federal programs and activities in the upcoming fiscal year, without policy changes from the fiscal year in progress. The current services estimates are included in the President's budget to facilitate comparison with the budget estimates. * Congressional action.—The Congress can act to approve, modify, or disapprove the President's budget proposals. It can change funding levels, eliminate proposals, or add programs not requested by the President. It also enacts legislation affecting taxes and other sources of receipts. In making appropriations, the Congress does not vote on the level of outlays directly, but rather on budget authority. The Congress first enacts legislation that authorizes an agency to carry out a particular program and, in some cases, includes limits on the amount that can be appropriated for the program. Many programs are authorized for a specified number of years or indefinitely; other programs, such as most nuclear energy, space exploration, defense procurement, foreign affairs, and some construction programs, require annual authorizing legislation. 'See Special Analysis A, "Current Services Estimates." 380-000 0 - 83 - 21 : QL 3 7-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Provision of budget authority is usually a separate, subsequent action. Generally, budget authority becomes available each year only as voted by the Congress in appropriation acts. However, in a number of cases the Congress has voted permanent budget authority, under which funds become available annually without further Congressional action. Many trust fund appropriations are permanent, as are a number of Federal fund appropriations, such as the appropriation to pay interest on the public debt. Congressional review of the budget begins when the President transmits his budget estimates to the Congress within 15 days after the start of each new session in January, as required by law. Occasionally, the transmittal date is modified by a joint resolution of the Congress. Under the procedures established by the Congressional Budget Act of 1974, the Congress considers budget totals before completing action on individual appropriations. The act requires each standing committee of the Congress to report on budget estimates to the House and Senate Budget Committees by March 15. It also requires the Congressional Budget Office to submit a fiscal policy report to the two budget committees. The Congress adopts the first concurrent budget resolution to guide the Congress in its subsequent consideration of appropriations and revenue measures. The first budget resolution, which is scheduled to be adopted by May 15, sets targets for total receipts and for budget authority and outlays, in total and by functional category. For the past three years, the Congress has enacted omnibus reconciliation legislation that reduced budget authority and outlays or increased revenues in response to directives in the concurrent budget resolution. Congressional consideration of requests for appropriations and for changes in revenue laws occurs first in the House of Representatives. The Appropriations Committee, through its subcommittees, studies the proposals for appropriations and examines in detail each agency's performance. The Ways and Means Committee reviews proposed revenue measures. Each committee then recommends the action to be taken by the House of Representatives. When the appropriation and tax bills are approved by the House, they are forwarded to the Senate, where a similar review process is followed. In case of disagreement between the two Houses of the Congress, a conference committee (consisting of Members of both bodies) meets to resolve the differences. The report of the conference committee is returned to both Houses for approval. When the measure is agreed to, first in the House and then in the Senate, it is ready to be transmitted to the President as an enrolled bill, for his approval or veto. The Congressional Budget Act also calls for the Congress to adopt a second concurrent budget resolution by September 15. In THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-5 1981, however, the second resolution simply endorsed the totals in the first resolution. In 1982, the first resolution provided that its amounts would remain in effect if Congress did not pass a second resolution. The September 15 target was originally set in anticipation of the enactment of all regular appropriations bills by that time. After the second budget resolution is adopted, the Congressional Budget Act provides that Congress may not consider any spending or revenue legislation that would breach the totals specified in this resolution. The Congress may, however, adopt a new budget resolution changing the levels previously set or waive the requirement not to exceed the resolution totals. If action on appropriations is not completed by the beginning of the fiscal year, the Congress enacts a continuing resolution to provide authority for the affected agencies to continue operations up to a specified date or until their regular appropriations are enacted. Budget execution and control—Once approved, the President's budget, as modified by the Congress, becomes the basis for the financial plan for the operations of each agency during the fiscal year. Under the law, most budget authority and other budgetary resources are made available to the agencies of the executive branch through an apportionment system. The Director of OMB apportions (distributes) appropriations and other budgetary resources to each agency by time periods or by activities, to ensure the effective use of available resources and to preclude the need for additional appropriations. Changes in laws or other factors may indicate the need for additional appropriations during the year, and supplemental requests may have to be sent to the Congress. On the other hand, reserves may be established under certain circumstances to provide for contingencies or to effect savings made possible by changes in requirements or greater efficiency of operations. Amounts may also be withheld from obligation for policy or for other reasons. The Impoundment Control Act of 1974 provides that the executive branch, in regulating the rate of spending, must report to the Congress any deferrals or proposed rescissions of budget authority; that is, any effort through administrative action to postpone or eliminate spending provided by law. COVERAGE OF THE BUDGET TOTALS Agencies and programs.—The budget totals cover agencies and programs (including Government corporations) no matter how funded, except for the following off-budget Federal entities: Rural electrification and telephone revolving fund 7-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Rural Telephone Bank Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System SPR Petroleum Account Federal Financing Bank Postal Service fund United States Railway Association 2 United States Synthetic Fuels Corporation3 The off-budget Federal entities listed above are discussed in Part 6 of the Budget. Schedules and financial statements are presented in Part IV of the Budget Appendix. Except for the Federal Reserve Board, these data are also presented in selected tables throughout the budget documents. The budget totals do not include transactions of privately owned, Government-sponsored enterprises, such as the Federal land banks and Federal home loan banks. However, these enterprises are discussed in Part 6 of the Budget, and financial statements are presented in Part VI of the Budget Appendix. Functional classification.*—The functional classification arrays budgetary data according to the major purpose served by the unit being classified. In accordance with the Congressional Budget Act of 1974, the Congress must pass resolutions establishing budget targets by these functional categories. The following criteria are used in establishing and in assigning activities to functional categories: • A function must have a common end or ultimate purpose addressed to an important national need. (The emphasis is on what the Federal Government seeks to accomplish rather than the means of accomplishment, what is purchased, or the clientele or geographic area served.) • A function must be of continuing national importance and the amounts attributable must be significant. • Each basic unit of classification (generally the appropriation or fund account) is classified into the single best or predominant purpose and assigned to only one subfunction. However, when an account is large and serves more than one major purpose, it may be subdivided into two or more subfunctions. • Activities and programs are normally classified by common purpose (or function) regardless of which agencies conduct the activities. 2 Amounts made available for investments in Conrail securities, which comprise almost all of the Association's activity after 1977, are included in the budget totals. 3 Cash requirements of the Corporation are met by borrowing from the Secretary of the Treasury. Such borrowing is financed by appropriations to the Secretary, and thus is reflected as budget authority and outlays within the budget totals. 4 A complete discussion of this subject is also found in Part 5 of this volume. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-7 National needs presentation.— Section 601 of the Congressional Budget Act of 1974 requires that the budget for each fiscal year shall contain a presentation of budget authority, proposed budget authority, outlays, proposed outlays, and descriptive information in terms of— (1) a detailed structure of national needs, which shall be used to reference all agency missions and programs; (2) agency missions; and (3) basic programs. To meet that requirement of law, the functional classification was refined to focus more sharply on end purposes and accomplishments. Each major function is described in the context of national needs being served, and subfunctions are described in the context of major missions devoted to serving national needs. The national needs presentation can be found in Part 5 ("Meeting National Needs: the Federal Program by Function"). Types of funds.—Agency activities are financed through Federal funds and trust funds. Federal funds are of several types. The general fund is credited with receipts not earmarked by law for a specific purpose and with the proceeds of general borrowing. It is charged with payments from appropriations. Special funds contain Federal receipts earmarked for specific purposes, other than for carrying out a cycle of operations. Public enterprise (revolving) funds finance a cycle of business-type operations in which outlays generate collections, primarily from the public. Intragovernmental funds, including revolving and management funds, finance operations within and between Government agencies and are credited with collections from other Government accounts. Intragovernmental revolving funds are credited with collections earmarked by law to carry out a cycle of business-type operations within and between Government agencies. Trust funds are established to account for the receipt and expenditure of monies by the Government for carrying out specific purposes and programs in accordance with the terms of a statute or trust agreement. These monies are not available for the general purposes of the Government. Trust revolving funds are credited with trust-type collections earmarked by law to carry out a cycle of business-type operations. Current expense and capital investment—The budget includes spending for both current operating expenses and capital investment, such as the purchase of lands, structures, and equipment. It 7-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 also includes capital investment in the form of lehding and the purchase of investments.5 BUDGET AUTHORITY AND RELATED TRANSACTIONS Budget authority.—Government agencies—whether or not they are included in the budget totals—are permitted to enter into obligations requiring either immediate or future payment of money only when they have been granted authority to do so by law. This authority is usually provided as budget authority. Collections specifically authorized to be credited to appropriation and fund accounts, while not scored as budget authority, are also available for obligation. Budget authority permits obligations to be incurred. The amounts of budget authority requested are determined by the nature of the programs or projects being financed and the amount of other resources available for the purpose. For activities such as operations and maintenance, entitlement programs, and continuing research programs, for which the cost depends upon the program level planned for a fiscal year, the amount of budget authority requested covers the obligations expected to be incurred during the year. For most projects that are separate and distinct units, particularly direct Federal major procurement and construction projects, "full funding" is requested. That is, budget authority is requested in sufficient amounts at the time the project is initiated to complete it, regardless of the expected time of completion. Budget authority usually takes the form of appropriations, which permit obligations to be incurred and payments to be made. Some budget authority is in the form of contract authority, which permits obligations in advance of appropriations but requires a subsequent appropriation or the collection of revenues to liquidate (pay) these obligations. There is also authority to borrow; such budget authority permits obligations to be incurred and liquidated by using funds that are borrowed, generally from the Treasury. It is not in order for either House of the Congress to consider any bill, with certain exceptions, that provides new borrowing or contract authority unless that bill also provides that such new spending authority will be effective only to the extent or in such amounts as provided in appropriations acts. Most appropriations for current operations are made available for obligation only during a specified fiscal year (annual appropriations). Some are for a specified longer period (multiple-year appropriations). Others, including most of those for construction, some 5 Federal budgeting for capital purposes is discussed in Part 6 of this volume and additional information on these categories of outlays is provided in Special Analysis D, "Investment, Operating and Other Federal Outlays." THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-9 for research, and many trust fund appropriations, are made available for obligation until the amount appropriated has been expended or until the objectives have been attained (no-year appropriations). Budget authority can be made available by the Congress for obligation and disbursement during a fiscal year from a succeeding year's appropriation (advance funding). For many education programs, Congress provides forward funding—budget authority made available for obligation in one fiscal year for the financing of ongoing grant programs during the succeeding fiscal year. When advantageous to the Federal Government, an appropriation is provided by the Congress for use in a fiscal year, or more, beyond the fiscal year for which the appropriation act is passed (advance appropriations). Accounts in which budget authority is made available on these bases are listed in Part V of the Budget Appendix. When budget authority is made available by the Congress for a specific period of time, any part that is not obligated during that period expires and cannot be used later. Congressional actions that continue the availability of unobligated amounts that have expired or would otherwise expire are known as reappropriations. The amounts involved are counted as new budget authority in the fiscal year of the legislation in which the reappropriation action is included, regardless of when the amounts were originally appropriated or when they would otherwise lapse. A rescission is a legislative action that cancels new budget authority or unobligated balances previously available, prior to the time the authority would otherwise have expired. Rescissions are offset against new budget authority becoming available in arriving at the total of budget authority for each year. A deferral is an executive branch action or inaction—including the establishment of reserves under the Antideficiency Act—that delays the obligation and expenditure of funds within the year that the action is taken. Deferrals are not separately identified in the budget. Most authority to obligate funds is enacted by the Congress during or immediately preceding the fiscal year in which it becomes available (current authority). Most current authority is granted year by year. Some budget authority in Federal funds and most budget authority in trust funds becomes available as the result of previously enacted legislation and does not require current action by the Congress (permanent authority). Such authority is presented as "current" in the year in which the legislation is enacted and "permanent" in succeeding years. The amount of budget authority is usually stated specifically or in an amount stated as "not to exceed" a specific aggregate sum in the legislation that makes it available (definite authority). In some cases the legislation permits the amount to be determined by sub- 7-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 sequent circumstances (indefinite authority). Examples of the latter type are authority to borrow that is limited only to the amount of borrowing that may be outstanding at any time, the appropriation for interest on the public debt, and the trust fund appropriation equal to receipts under the Federal Insurance Contributions Act (social security). Indefinite budget authority is recorded in the amount of receipts collected or estimated to be collected each year in the case of special and trust funds, and in the amount needed to finance obligations incurred or estimated to be incurred in the case of certain appropriations, contract authority, and authority to borrow. Obligations incurred.—Following the enactment of budget authority and the completion of required apportionment action, obligations are incurred by Government agencies. Such obligations include the current liabilities for salaries, wages, and interest; agreements to make loans; contracts for the purchase of supplies and equipment, construction, and the acquisition of land; and other arrangements requiring the payment of money. Outlays.—Obligations generally are liquidated by the issuance of checks or the disbursement of cash; such payments are called outlays. In lieu of issuing checks, obligations may also be liquidated (and outlays recorded) by the accrual of interest on Treasury debt securities held by the public; or by the issuance of bonds, debentures, or notes (or by increases in the redemption value of bonds or debentures outstanding). Payments for tax credits in excess of tax liabilities are treated as outlays rather than as an adjustment to budget receipts. Outlays during a fiscal year may be for payment of obligations incurred in prior years or in the same year. Outlays, therefore, flow in part from unexpended balances of prior year budget authority and in part from budget authority provided for the year in which the money is spent. Total budget outlays are stated net of offsetting collections and exclude outlays of off-budget Federal entities. Balances of authority.6—Not all budget authority enacted for a fiscal year is obligated and paid out in the same year. In multipleyear or no-year accounts, budget authority that is still available for obligation (unobligated balances) may be carried forward for obligation in the following year. The obligated balance is that portion of the budget authority that has been obligated but not yet liquidated (paid). For example, in the case of salaries and wages, 1 to 3 weeks elapse between the time of obligation and the time of payment. In the case of major procurement and construction, payment may 8 These balances may also include collections credited directly to appropriation or fund accounts. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-11 occur over several years. Obligated balances of budget authority are carried forward until the obligations are subsequently paid.7 Therefore, a change in the amount of budget authority for a given year does not necessarily result in a similar change in either the obligations incurred or the budget outlays of that same year. A change in budget authority in any one year may have an effect on obligations for 2 or more years, and may affect budget outlays for an even longer period. Allocations between agencies.—In some cases, an agency may share in the administration of a program for which appropriations are made to another agency or to the President. This is made possible by the establishment of allocations from the "parent" account, that is, the account to which the appropriation was made. Obligations incurred under such allocations are included with the parent account in the Budget (without separate identification) and in the Budget Appendix (where the total obligations of each participating agency are identified separately under the parent account). THE CREDIT BUDGET8 The credit budget is a presentation of direct loan obligations and guaranteed loan commitments that provides a framework for making planning and policy decisions on the amount of Federal credit to be extended. It also provides a means to analyze, evaluate, and control Federal credit activity. Development of the credit budget is integrated thoroughly with the executive budget process. The credit budget totals and the limitations on credit activity proposed for enactment in appropriations language are transmitted to the Congress as part of the President's budget. Concepts used in the credit budget—The credit budget totals are presented in two parts: total direct loan obligations and total guaranteed loan commitments. These totals are based on the following concepts: • All direct loan and guaranteed loan activities of the Government are included. The credit budget makes no distinction between on-budget and off-budget Federal entities. • The credit budget totals represent gross levels of credit activity, without offsets for repayments and other recoveries. By excluding recoveries, the credit budget measures the current level of program activity and enables control to be based on a 7 Additional information on balances of budget authority is provided in a separate report, "Balances of Budget Authority," which is available from the National Technical Information Service, Department of Commerce, shortly after the budget is transmitted. 9 The credit budget is shown by function in Part 5 and guaranteed loans are discussed in Part 6 of this volume. Credit schedules and proposed credit limitations in appropriations language are included in the Budget Appendix. Additional information is provided in Special Analysis F, "Federal Credit Programs." 7-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 measure over which the Government has discretion—new extensions of credit. • The credit budget is based on the amount of obligations incurred for direct loans and the amount of commitments for guaranteed loans. Obligations for direct loans result from agreements requiring the Government to disburse a loan immediately or at some future time. Commitments for guaranteed loans are agreements entered into by the Government to guarantee the repayment of outstanding principal and/or interest. Since guaranteed loan commitments, unlike direct loan obligations, do not require budget authority and do not require disbursements, the amounts are not included in the President's budget totals. They create Government liabilities of a contingent nature that generally result in obligations and outlays only in the event of a borrower default. Direct loan obligations and guaranteed loan commitments represent points at which control can most logically be exercised. • The amount of guaranteed loans presented in the budget is calculated on the basis of the full principal amount of the loan involved, even though the guaranteed loan may extend to only a portion of the principal. This is done in order to represent the full amount of credit allocated to a particular purpose through a Federal lending program. Limits on Federal credit programs.—Separate limitations on the amount of new direct loan obligations and commitments for guaranteed loans are proposed for enactment in the appropriations language for the accounts that support credit activities. These limitations, if enacted, place annual ceilings on credit programs that, in most cases, are otherwise relatively unlimited. Appropriation bill limitations are proposed for about two-thirds of the credit budget totals. Exemptions are primarily for entitlements, emergency and disaster programs. These programs can be controlled, however, through changes in authorizing legislation. Since initiation of the credit budget, Congress has voted nonbinding targets in the concurrent budget resolutions for total direct loan obligations and total guaranteed loan commitments. Actual control of credit program levels, however, remains with authorizing legislation and appropriations acts. COLLECTIONS In general—Amounts collected by the Government are classified into two major categories: • Budget receipts, which are compared with budget outlays in calculating the budget surplus or deficit. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-13 • Offsetting collections, which are deducted from gross disbursements in calculating budget outlays. Budget receipts.—These are collections from the public that result from the exercise of the Government's sovereign or governmental powers. These collections, also called governmental receipts, consist primarily of tax receipts (including social insurance taxes), but also include receipts from court fines, certain licenses, and deposits of earnings by the Federal Reserve System. Gifts and contributions (as distinguished from payments for services or costsharing deposits by State and local governments) are also counted as budget receipts. Offsetting collections.—These are collections from other Government accounts or the public that are of a business-type or marketoriented nature. They are classified into two major categories: offsetting collections credited to appropriation or fund accounts and offsetting receipts (that is, amounts deposited in receipt accounts). In general, the distinction between these two major categories is that collections credited to appropriation or fund accounts can be used, generally, without further action by the Congress, whereas amounts in receipt accounts cannot be used without being appropriated. Offsetting collections are credited to appropriation or fund accounts in two circumstances: • Reimbursements.—When authorized by law, amounts collected in advance or after materials or services are furnished (for example, advances received from the public to pay expenses of providing information under the Freedom of Information Act) are treated as reimbursements to appropriations. These collections are netted against obligations in determining outlays from such appropriations. • Revolving funds.—In the three types of revolving funds— public enterprise, intragovernmental, and trust revolving— collections are netted against obligations, and outlays are determined accordingly. Offsetting receipts, generally, are deducted from budget authority and outlays by function or subfunction and by agency. Offsetting receipts are subdivided into two categories, as follows: • Proprietary receipts from the public.—These are collections from the public—deposited in receipt accounts of the general fund, special funds, or trust funds—that arise out of the business-type or market-oriented activities of the Government (for example, loan repayments, interest, sale of property and products, charges for nonregulatory services, and rents and royalties). Such collections are not counted as budget receipts but, rather, are offset against budget authority and outlays by 7-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 agency and by function. However, in two cases—receipts from rents and royalties from Outer Continental Shelf lands and receipts from the sale of Federal surplus real property used to retire public debt—the deduction is from total budget authority and outlays for the Government as a whole rather than from any single agency or function. • Intragovernmental transactions.—These are payments into receipt accounts from governmental appropriation or fund accounts. They are treated as offsets to budget authority and outlays, rather than as budget receipts. Intragovernmental transactions may be intrabudgetary (where the payment and receipt both occur within the budgetary universe) or result from receipts from off-budget Federal entities in those cases where the payment is made by a Federal entity whose budget authority and outlays are excluded from the budget totals. Intragovernmental transactions are deducted from both the outlays and the budget authority for the agency receiving the payment, with two exceptions. Intragovernmental transactions that involve agencies' payments (including payments by off-budget Federal entities) as employers into employee retirement trust funds and interest received by trust funds appear as special deduct lines in computing total budget authority and outlays for the Government. Intrabudgetary transactions are subdivided into three categories: (1) interfund transactions, where the payment is from one fund group (either Federal funds or trust funds) to a receipt account in the other fund group; (2) Federal intrafund transactions, where the payment and receipt both occur within the Federal fund group; and (3) trust intrafund transactions, where the payment and receipt both occur within the trust fund group. OTHER TRANSACTIONS Borrowing and repayments.—Borrowing and debt repayments are not treated as receipts or outlays. If they were, the budget could be balanced simply by borrowing. This rule applies both to borrowing in the form of public debt securities and to specialized borrowing in the form of agency securities, including the sale of certificates representing participation in a pool of loans. However, some sales of participation certificates, which otherwise would be treated as borrowing, are required by law to be treated as a sale of assets. This results in the proceeds of such sales being credited to an appropriation or fund account with a corresponding reduction in outlays and in the requirement for new budget authority. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-15 Exercise of the monetary power.—Seigniorage is the profit from coining money. It is the difference between the value of coins as money and their cost of production. Seigniorage on coins arises from the exercise of the Government's monetary powers and differs from receipts coming from the public, since there is no corresponding payment by another party. Therefore, seigniorage is excluded from receipts and treated as a means of financing a deficit or as a supplementary amount to be applied to reduce debt or to increase the cash in the Treasury in a year with a surplus. The increment (profit) resulting from the sale of gold as a monetary asset is treated like seigniorage, since the value of gold is determined by its value as a monetary asset rather than as a commodity. Liabilities in deposit fund accounts.—Certain accounts outside the budget, known as deposit funds, are established to record amounts held in suspense temporarily (for example, proceeds from mineral leases on the Outer Continental Shelf to which title is in dispute) or held by the Government as agent for others (for example, State and local income taxes withheld from Federal employees' salaries and payroll deductions for the purchase of savings bonds by civilian employees of the Government). To the extent that transactions are conducted with nongovernment entities, Treasury's cash balances are affected, even though they are not a part of the budget. To the extent that deposit fund balances are not invested, changes in the amounts are treated as a means of financing. Exchange of cash.—The Government's deposits with the International Monetary Fund are considered to be similar to cash assets. Therefore, the movement of money between the IMF and the Department of the Treasury is not considered in itself a receipt or an outlay, borrowing or lending. In a similar manner, the holdings of foreign currency by the Exchange Stabilization Fund are considered to be cash assets. Changes in these holdings are outlays only to the extent there is a realized loss and offsetting collections only to the extent there is a realized profit on the exchange. BASIS FOR BUDGET FIGURES In general.—Outlays usually are stated in terms of checks issued, including cash paid in lieu of checks, net of offsetting collections received. The accrual basis is used generally for interest on the public debt held by private investors; however, interest on the public debt held by trust and other Government accounts is stated on a cash basis. When debt securities are issued at a discount (or at a premium), the difference between the sales price and the redemption value is treated as interest and is accrued evenly over time in the account that issued the securities. 7-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 Data for 1982.—The 1982 column of this budget generally presents the actual transactions and balances as recorded in agency accounts and as summarized in the central financial reports prepared by the Department of the Treasury. Data for 1983.—Many of the regular appropriations acts for 1983 have been enacted. However, funding for activities covered by six appropriations bills (Labor, Health and Human Services, and Education and related agencies; Commerce, Justice, and State, the Judiciary, and related agencies; Treasury, Postal Service and General Government; Foreign Assistance and related programs; Energy and Water Development; and Department of Defense) was provided in a continuing resolution that is effective through September 30, 1983. Supplemental appropriations are proposed in the 1984 budget for various civilian agency pay raises, principally those of October 1982, and for additional amounts requested to meet unforseen program requirements. Where the word "enacted" is used with reference to 1983 as in tables 1 and 5 of Part 9 of the Budget, the amount generally represents budget authority already voted by the Congress. For the budget accounts covered by the final 1983 continuing resolution, the amount is based on the full year effect of appropriations made available. In the case of indefinite appropriations, the enacted sums include the amounts likely to be required. Where the word "estimate" is used, the amounts include enacted budget authority and requested supplementals. Data for 1984.—This budget includes complete estimates for 1984. Part I of the Budget Appendix generally includes the proposed appropriation language for the various items identified in the budget. In some instances, estimates are included in the budget schedules without appropriation language for 1983 and 1984. For these, proposed legislation may be required or the estimated amounts will be requested later when the requirements are known. In certain tables of the budget, the items for later transmittal and the related outlays are separately identified. Estimates of the total requirements for 1983 and 1984 include both the amounts formally requested and the amounts planned for later transmittal. Data for 1985 through 1988.—To place emphasis on longer term objectives and plans consistent with the multi-year budget planning system, this budget presents estimates through 1988. These data often reflect specific Presidential policy determinations and are shown in a number of budget tables. Allowances.—Lump sum allowances are included in the tables to cover expected additional changes. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 7-17 There are no allowances for civilian or military pay raises for 1984. For 1985 through 1988, allowances are included for pay raises for the civilian agencies. Separate allowances for pay raises, for 1985-1988, are shown for civilian and military personnel of the Department of Defense and for military personnel of the Coast Guard and are included in the figures for the Departments of Defense and Transportation, respectively. An allowance for relatively uncontrollable programs is shown separately, as required by the Congressional Budget Act. The estimates for such programs are zero because the probability of net decreases or net increases for such programs is believed to be equal. Another allowance entitled, "Increased employing agency payments for employee retirement," contains an estimate of the cost of increasing the employer share of contributions to the civil service retirement trust fund. Budget authority and outlays included in the allowance section are never appropriated as undistributed allowances, but rather indicate the estimated budget authority and outlays that may be requested. PART 8 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 380-000 0 - 83 - 22 : QL 3 EXPLANATORY NOTE This tabulation contains information on budget authority (BA) and outlays (O) for each appropriation and fund account. The budget authority in this tabulation takes account of certain transfers between appropriations. All budget authority items are definite appropriations except where otherwise indicated. Also, budget authority and outlay data for off-budget Federal entities are presented at the end of this table. Within the Federal Financing Bank (FFB) presentation, there is a distribution of its budget authority and outlays to the accounts in the various agencies that are provided credit services by the FFB. Functional code numbers are shown for each account as a cross reference to table 14, where the figures are summarized by functional classification. Types of funds in the budget and the deduct entries at the end of each chapter of this tabulation are explained in Part 7. Congressional action in the appropriation process occasionally takes the form of a limitation on the use of a trust fund or other fund, or of an appropriation to liquidate contract authority. Amounts for such items, which do not affect budget authority, are included here in parentheses and identified in the stub column, but are not included in the totals. 8-2 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-3 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars) 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Legislative Branch Senate Federal funds General and Special Funds: Compensation of Members, Senate Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 801 Total Compensation of Members, Senate Mileage of the Vice President and Senators 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Expense allowances of the Vice President, President Pro Tempore, Majority and Minority Leaders and Majority and Minority Whips 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Salaries, officers and employees 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Salaries, officers and employees BA BA 0 6,932 6,790 8,431 8,431 8,793 8,793 BA 0 6,932 6,790 8,431 8,431 8,793 8,793 60 60 60 60 45 45 45 45 BA 0 BA 0 ; 45 35 BA 140,116 0 BA 0 Office of the Legislative Counsel of the Senate 801 Appropriation, current BA 128,819 144,792 D 6,989 151,781 160,763 140,116 128,819 151,781 151,781 160,763 160,763 1,087 1,155 160,763 1,314 z> 47 Outlays 0 944 1,202 1,314 1,087 944 1,202 1,202 1,314 1,314 • BA 508 508 555 0 335 520 555 BA 0 508 335 520 520 555 555 BA 0 8 6 8 8 BA 0 5 5 Total Office of the Legislative Counsel of the Senate BA 0 Office of Senate Legal Counsel Appropriation, current 801 Outlays Total Office of Senate Legal Counsel Expense allowance for the Secretary of the Senate, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the Senate and secretaries for the majority and 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Senate procedure 801 Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 8 8 8-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Senate—Con. Senate policy committees Appropriation, current 801 Outlays Total Senate policy committees Automobiles and maintenance Appropriation, current Outlays Inquiries and investigations Appropriation, current 0 1,715 1,592 1,634 ^78 1,712 BA 0 1,634 • 1,592 1,712 1,712 1,715 1,715 BA 0 75 70 90 90 90 BA 43,200 45,698 0 39,803 43,199 D 1,764 44,963 BA 0 43,200 39,803 44,963 44,963 45,698 45,698 45,698 BA 0 134 121 51 BA 32,734 0 33,887 BA 0 1,715 90 801 Total Inquiries and investigations 801 801 Outlays.. Total Miscellaneous items Postage stamps Appropriation, current Outlays Stationery (revolving fund) Appropriation, current Outlays Congressional use of foreign currency, Senate Appropriation, permanent Outlays 1,634 801 Outlays.. Folding documents Appropriation, current Outlays Miscellaneous items Appropriation, current BA 37,900 M65 37,900 M65 40,981 32,734 33,887 38,065 38,065 40,981 40,981 BA O 9 9 11 11 11 11 BA 0 43 60 131 131 39 39 BA 0 500 571 0 329 0 -137 247,019 247,070 260,072 260,072 40,981 801 801 801 Public Enterprise Funds: Senate restaurant fund (revolving fund) Outlays Recording studio (revolving fund) Outlays Senate barber shops (revolving fund) Outlays Total Federal funds Senate See footnotes at end of table. 801 801 801 0 BA O - 1 0 .. 227,030 213,229 8-5 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. House of Representatives Federal funds General and Special Funds: Payments to widows and heirs of deceased members of Congress 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Compensation of Members and related administrative expenses 801 Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent Outlays BA 0 121 121 BA BA 0 29,382 29,000 33,155 33,155 34,100 34,100 29,382 29,000 33,155 33,155 34,100 34,100 BA 0 210 112 210 202 210 210 BA 2,705 2,915 0 2,423 2,726 ^167 2,784 BA 0 2,705 2,423 2,893 2,784 2,915 2,907 BA 40,897 44,639 Total Compensation of Members and related administrative expenses BA 0 Mileage of Members Appropriation, current Outlays House leadership offices Appropriation, current 801 801 Outlays.. Total House leadership offices Salaries, officers and employees Appropriation, current 61 61 2,907 801 0 39,305 41,959 1,753 42,034 BA 0 40,897 39,305 43,712 42,034 44,639 44,531 BA 31,005 34,734 0 30,540 32,035 1,674 32,428 BA 0 31,005 30,540 33,709 32,428 34,734 34,625 BA 0 3,701 3,408 3,750 3,600 3,700 3,700 BA O 218 213 276 265 299 298 D Outlays Total Salaries, officers and employees Committee employees Appropriation, current 801 Outlays Total Committee employees Committee on Appropriations (Studies and Investigations) 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Committee on the Budget (Studies) 801 Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 44,531 D 34,625 8-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. House of Representatives—Con. Members' clerk hire Appropriation, current 801 Outlays Total Members' clerk hire Allowances and expenses Appropriation, current BA 143,890 0 BA 0 143,868 143,890 143,868 BA 86,122 0 89,462 BA 0 86,122 89,462 143,953 D 5,966 147,040 149,919 147,040 150,233 150,107 150,233 150,107 801 Outlays Total Allowances and expenses Stationery (revolving fund) 801 Outlays 0 Special and select committees 801 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Congressional use of foreign currency, House of Representatives 801 Appropriation, permanent BA Outlays 0 588 42,135 35,613 81,866 11,946 D 3,360 81,951 ^ 11,946 103,392 97,172 93,897 103,392 102,531 -262 -262 A 42,000 40,000 102,531 44,000 44,000 1,900 1,210 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 135 255 255 -751 167 167 -10 10 10 4 —4 —4 -1 -1 Public Enterprise Funds: House of Representatives restaurant fund (revolving fund) 801 Outlays 0 Recording studio (revolving fund) 801 Outlays 0 Beauty shop (revolving fund) 801 Outlays 0 House barber shops (revolving fund) 801 Outlays 0 Office of the attending physician (revolving fund) 801 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds House of Representatives BA 0 382,286 375,241 408,357 397,131 419,722 418,674 BA 2,305 2,487 0 2,127 2,327 ^60 2,387 BA 0 2,305 2,127 2,387 2,387 2,487 2,487 Joint Items Federal funds General and Special Funds: Joint Economic Committee Appropriation, current Outlays Total Joint Economic Committee See footnotes at end of table. 801 2,487 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-7 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Joint Items—Con. Joint Committee on Printing Appropriation, current 801 Outlays Total Joint Committee on Printing Statements of appropriations, Senate Appropriation, current Outlays Joint Committee on Taxation Appropriation, current Total Office of the Attending Physician See footnotes at end of table. 767 855 855 BA 0 816 767 855 855 855 855 BA 0 6 6 6 6 6 3,395 3,395 3,392 BA 3,136 0 2,569 3,233 D 144 3,248 BA 0 3,136 2,569 3,377 3,248 BA 603 0 577 BA 0 3,392 633 A Z 608 A _3 646 603 577 636 611 646 645 BA 0 887 919 945 907 1,612 1,586 BA 0 628 288 305 305 213 213 BA 255 295 0 226 271 z>22 282 BA 0 255 226 293 282 295 295 645 801 801 Total Education of pages Total Official mail costs 0 801 Outlays Outlays 855 801 Outlays Official mail costs Appropriation, current 816 801 Total Joint Committee on Taxation General expenses, Capitol police Appropriation, current Outlays Capitol Police Board Appropriation, current , Outlays Education of pages Appropriation, current 816 801 Outlays Office of the Attending Physician Appropriation, current BA 295 801 BA 75,095 0 96,990 BA 0 75,095 96,990 55,196 25,042 55,196 A 25,042 A 80,238 80,238 107,077 102,794 107,077 102,794 8-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Joint Items—Con. Capitol Guide Service 801 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 BA 0 BA 0 Totai Capitol Guide Service Statements of appropriations, House of Representatives 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Federal funds Joint Items BA 0 734 775 660 734 *31 765 734 660 765 765 775 775 7 7 7 7 7 775 84,472 89,814 117,368 105,123 89,611 113,055 13,226 16,751 Congressional Budget Office Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 801 BA Outlays Total Salaries and expenses 0 13,632 14,825 D 448 14,963 BA 13,226 15,273 16,751 0 13,632 14,963 16,390 3,897 4,829 16,390 Architect of the Capitol Federal funds General and Special Funds: Office of the Architect of the Capitol: Salaries Appropriation, current 801 BA Outlays Total Office of the Architect of the Capitol Contingent expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Capitol buildings Appropriation, current Outlays Total Capitol buildings 0 3,755 4,301 C 26 ^191 4,514 BA 3,897 4,518 4,829 0 3,755 4,514 4,775 801 BA 0 210 150 210 480 210 210 BA 10,330 11,100 8,380 9,998 C 221 °40 11,292 10,330 10,259 11,100 8,380 11,292 11,270 801 0 BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. 4,775 11,270 8-9 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1984 estimate 1983 estimate 1982 actual Account and functional code Legislative Branch—Con. Architect of the Capitol—Con. Capitol grounds Appropriation, current 801 BA OutlaysTotal Capitol grounds West central front of the Capitol 801 Outlays Congressional cemetery 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Master plan for future development of the Capitol grounds and related areas 801 Outlays Acquisition of property as an addition to the Capitol grounds 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Senate office buildings 801 Appropriation, current BA 0 300 200 0 0 BA 0 11,300 BA 15,051 BA 0 BA 0 6 4,121 ... 100 ... 4,500 4,698 .. 12,734 20,308 ^8,000 C 531 21,652 15,051 12,734 28,839 21,652 17,540 27,432 23,271 13,549 2,934 99 95 2 20,099 19,077 Acquisition of property, construction, and equipment, additional House Office Building 801 Outlays 0 Installation of solar collectors in House office buildings 801 Outlays 0 3,199 4,121 BA 0 Outlays.. ;e footnotes at end of table. 5,011 4,092 124 Construction of an extension to the New Senate Office Building 801 Outlays 0 Senate garage 801 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 House office buildings 801 Appropriation, current BA Total House office buildings 2,480 2,454 0 Outlays.. Total Senate office buildings 3,199 2,454 4,921 C 87 D Z 4,092 2,480 20,099 19,077 17,540 19,432 8,000 A 20,367 A 275 c 707 22,837 ^275 22,181 21,349 23,112 22,181 20,979 20,979 79 359 1.029 ... 8-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Architect of the Capitol—Con. Capitol Power Plant Appropriation, current 801 BA Outlays Total Capitol Power Plant Expansion of facilities, Capitol Power Plant 801 Outlays Modifications and enlargement, Capitol Power Plant 801 Outlays Alterations and improvements, buildings and grounds, to provide facilities for the physically handicapped 801 Outlays Structural and mechanical care, Library buildings and grounds 801 Appropriation, current Outlays 0 18J92 23,100 C 138 24,906 BA 0 22,222 18,792 23,238 24,906 0 0 0 26 2,803 61 2,397 24,149 825 700 5,260 6,204 5,260 6,204 0 5,303 5,071 C 157 8,159 8,785 5,303 5,228 8,159 1,317 23,867 24,149 736 8,785 Library of Congress James Madison Memorial Building 801 Outlays O 23,867 97 BA Total Structural and mechanical care, Library buildings and grounds BA O Total Federal funds Architect of the Capitol 22,222 702 BA O 83,173 109,879 103,452 121,826 88,186 103,699 BA 115,301 129,998 130,378 Library of Congress Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 503 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Copyright Office: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Total Copyright Office See footnotes at end of table. 0 109,235 120,303 C 225 D 4,212 130,681 BA 0 115,301 109,235 124,740 130,681 129,998 130,378 BA 9,627 10,999 0 9,221 10,477 D 680 10,890 10,987 BA 0 9,627 9,221 11,157 10,890 10,999 10,987 376 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-11 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Library of Congress—Con. Congressional Research Service: Salaries and expenses 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Congressional Research Service Books for the blind and physically handicapped: Salaries and expenses 503 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Books for the blind and physically handicapped Collection and distribution of library materials (special foreign currency program) 503 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Collection and distribution of library materials (special foreign currency program).... Furniture and furnishings Appropriation, current 33,851 38,950 38,673 D 0 30,876 1,689 35,174 BA 31,605 35,540 38,950 0 30,876 35,174 38,673 BA 33,221 33,384 35,691 0 29,592 32,938 33,662 BA 33,221 33,554 35,691 0 29,592 32,938 33,662 4,405 4,438 4,462 0 3,364 18 4,980 5,669 BA D BA 4,405 4,456 4,462 0 3,364 4,980 5,669 BA 1,089 1,226 1,657 0 2,720 1,552 1,691 376 Outlays Oliver Wendell Holmes devise fund Appropriation, permanent, indefinite 31,605 503 Outlays Payments to copyright owners Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA BA 33,768 36,239 37,758 0 17,996 53,643 36,396 503 BA Outlays 0 3 5 6 10 10 10 Trust funds Gift and trust fund accounts Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Total Federal funds Library of Congress Total Trust funds Library of Congress See footnotes at end of table. 503 BA 6,954 7,606 0 6,360 8,014 7,452 7,701 BA 229,019 246,917 259,521 0 203,014 269,868 257,466 BA 6,954 7,606 0 6,360 8,014 7,452 7,701 8-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Government Printing Office Federal funds General and Special Funds: Printing and binding 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Congressional printing and binding 801 Appropriation, current Outlays Office of Superintendent of Documents: Salaries and expenses 806 Appropriation, current Outlays Acquisition of site and general plans and designs of buildings 806 Outlays 0 4,600 Intragovernmental Funds: Government Printing Office revolving fund Outlays 0 BA 0 17,888 16,820 12,791 14,406 14,571 14,505 BA 0 84,843 72,920 81,747 69,698 89,537 80,153 BA 0 27,120 25,315 27,291 27,014 25,738 26,650 -28,418 -1,335 -2,237 129,851 121,829 129,846 91,237 109,783 119,071 BA 236,000 269,625 0 229,827 244,900 D 9,350 249,957 BA 236,000 254,250 269,625 0 229,827 249,957 265,248 12,471 14,000 16,871 0 11,360 ^517 14,471 16,818 BA 12,471 14,517 16,871 0 11,360 14,471 16,818 187 39 205 76 225 79 806 Total Federal funds Government Printing Office... BA 0 General Accounting Office Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 801 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses 265,248 United States Tax Court Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 752 BA Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Trust funds Tax Court judges survivors annuity fund Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 602 BA 0 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-13 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Other Legislative Branch Agencies Federal funds General and Special Funds: Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe: Salaries and expenses 801 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Botanic Garden-. Salaries and expenses 801 Appropriation, current BA 404 472 550 552 550 630 2,351 2,043 0 1,801 1,827 c 70 2,383 BA 0 2,351 1,801 1,897 2,383 2,043 2,029 Appropriation, current BA 487 480 Outlays 0 470 449 35 470 BA 0 487 470 484 470 480 478 Outlays Total Botanic Garden 2,029 Copyright Royalty Tribunal: Salaries and expenses 376 Total Copyright Royalty Tribunal Cost-Accounting Standards Board: Salaries and expenses 801 Outlays 0 Temporary Commission on Financial Oversight of the District of Columbia: Salaries and expenses 801 Outlays 0 Office of Technology Assessment: Salaries and expenses 801 Appropriation, current BA D 478 1 -229 12,169 6 12,575 14,600 °346 Outlays 0 11,394 13,688 14,810 BA 0 12,169 11,394 12,921 13,688 14,600 14,810 Trust funds Office of Technology Assessment: Contributions and donations 801 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays. 0 2 2 2 2 3 3 Total Federal funds Other Legislative Branch Agencies BA 0 15,411 13,909 15,852 17,099 17,673 17,947 Total Trust funds Other Legislative Branch Agencies BA 0 2 2 2 2 3 3 Total Office of Technology Assessment See footnotes at end of table. 8-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Legislative Branch—Con. Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) BA 0 Deductions for offsetting receipts: Intrafund transactions 803 Proprietary receipts from the public f 503 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) —HOD —4oU -524 -2,844 -2,964 —bZo —bZo QA -3,893 -3,616 BA 1,407,337 1,509,807 1,587,986 0 1,360,849 1,524,306 1,580,791 503 7,143 6,401 7,813 8,092 -3,677 7,680 7,783 BA t\ 908 — b Do —bcif BA 0 Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 1,595,635 1,588,440 BA « 801 1,517,280 1,531,779 BA Q 908 1,412,939 1,366,451 BA Q Total Trust funds BA Total Legislative Branch 0 BA 0 — 4/ DOo — O, U/L1 — O, / T O -221 -322 -145 2,383 2,470 2,287 2,749 1,512,277 1,527,055 2,390 1,590,273 1,583,181 13,678 1,641 1,409,720 1,362,490 The Judiciary Supreme Court of the United States Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 752 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Care of the building and grounds Appropriation, current Outlays Total Care of the building and grounds See footnotes at end of table. BA 11,635 0 11,702 12,675 D 480 12,593 BA 0 11,635 11,702 13,155 12,593 13,678 13,178 1,971 1,971 1,952 13,178 752 BA 1,654 0 1,759 2,000 C 36 2,805 BA 0 1,654 1,759 2,036 2,805 1,952 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-15 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate The Judiciary—Con. Supreme Court of the United States—Con. Acquisition of property as an addition to the grounds of the Supreme Court building 752 Outlays 0 613 Total Federal funds Supreme Court of the United States BA 0 32 13,289 14,074 15,191 15,430 15,649 15,130 5,994 ^ 4,309 ^146 4,244 5,911 4,455 4,244 5,994 5,911 United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 752 BA Outlays 0 Total Salaries and expenses = = = BA 0 Court of Customs and Patent Appeals Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays 752 BA 0 2,008 1,979 BA 5,286 5,372 5,900 0 5,086 5,489 5,880 BA 0 5,286 5,086 5,552 5,489 5,900 5,880 BA 0 6,170 5,768 79 United States Court of International Trade Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 752 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Court of Claims Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 752 381 8-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate The Judiciary—Con. Courts of Appeals, District Courts, and other Judicial Services Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries of judges Appropriation, current 752 Outlays Total Salaries of judges Salaries of supporting personnel Appropriation, current 62,300 Total Salaries of supporting personnel 0 62,236 BA 0 62,300 62,236 68,410 68,410 69,880 69,880 BA 276,300 330,420 0 273,791 294,000 A 2,450 D 16,800 308,827 A 2,356 BA 0 276,300 273,791 313,250 311,183 330,420 329,742 BA 28,670 38,290 0 28,459 32,215 ^2,400 °700 31,436 -* 1,653 BA 0 28,670 28,459 35,315 33,089 38,290 36,905 39,000 39,416 42,500 43,220 43,500 44,355 55,600 49,576 65,000 66,648 76,540 75,040 Total Defender services Fees of jurors and commissioners 752 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Expenses of Operation and Maintenance of the Courts 752 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Salaries and expenses of magistrates 752 Outlays 0 Bankruptcy courts, salaries and expenses 752 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Total Bankruptcy courts, salaries and expenses... BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. 69,880 329,648 ^94 752 Outlays Services for drug dependent offenders Appropriation, current Outlays 64,500 1,400 D 2,510 67,010 A 1,400 A 752 Outlays Defender services Appropriation, current BA 1,175 84,700 80,813 84,700 80,813 36,158 A 747 -20 89,000 2,000 D 4,100 92,813 ^750 104,280 95,100 93,563 104,280 103,748 4,000 3,840 5,000 4,827 A 102,498 A 1,250 752 BA 0 3,750 2,931 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-17 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate The Judiciary—Con. Courts of Appeals, District Courts, and other Judicial Services—Con. Space and facilities Appropriation, current Outlays Furniture and furnishings Outlays Court security Appropriation, current Outlays Speedy trial planning Outlays Special rail reorganization court Outlays 752 BA 0 116,950 112,049 132,412 131,169 168,490 163,620 752 0 347 611 125 752 BA 0 12,000 12,000 16,250 16,250 752 0 3 0 192 752 Total Federal funds Courts of Appeals, District Courts, and other Judicial Services BA 0 548 242 667,270 650,988 767,987 764,261 852,650 844,734 BA 20,750 27,550 0 19,832 23,406 "860 23,547 27,092 BA 0 20,750 19,832 24,266 23,547 27,550 27,092 BA 7,770 0 BA 0 Administrative Office of the United States Courts Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 752 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Federal Judicial Center Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 752 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses 7,107 7,618 171 7,420 8,913 7,770 7,107 7,789 7,420 9,282 8,913 D 9,282 Bicentennial Expenses, The Judiciary Federal funds General and Special Funds: Bicentennial activities Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 380-000 O - 83 - 23 : QL 3 806 0 16 40 40 8-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate The Judiciary—Con. Judiciary Trust Funds Trust funds Judicial survivors' annuities fund Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 602 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts.Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 10,200 4,068 11,466 4,268 12,317 4,444 BA 0 722,543 704,850 825,240 820,891 917,025 907,700 _4m _4m 750 BA _^^ 908 BA -383 -380 BA 717,962 820,567 912,292 0 700,269 816,218 902,967 10,200 4,068 11,466 4,268 12,317 4,444 832,033 820,486 924,609 907,411 Q Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) BA 0 Interfund transactions 602 BA 0 Total The Judiciary BA 0 -380 » 728,892 705,067 Executive Office of the President Compensation of the President Federal funds General and Special Funds: Compensation of the President Appropriation, current Outlays 802 BA 0 250 244 250 282 250 250 The White House Office Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Total Salaries and expenses See footnotes at end of table. 802 BA 19,652 23,413 19,709 21,300 "640 21,898 0 BA 0 19,652 19,709 21,940 21,898 23,413 23,455 23,455 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-19 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Executive Office of the President—Con. Executive Residence at the White House Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operating expenses Appropriation, current 802 BA Outlays Total Operating expenses 3,650 0 3,586 3,800 C 63 D 86 3,850 BA 0 3,650 3,586 3,949 3,850 4,550 4,500 4,550 4,500 Official Residence of the Vice President Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operating expenses Appropriation, current Outlays 802 BA 0 178 84 281 361 262 275 BA 1,433 1,593 0 1,498 1,475 *31 1,460 BA 0 1,433 1,498 1,506 1,460 1,593 1,546 BA 1,985 2,100 2,464 0 BA 0 2,103 1,985 2,103 2,172 2,177 2,172 2,469 2,464 2,469 Federal funds General and Special Funds: Council on Environmental Quality and Office of Environmental Quality 802 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 936 1,957 926 1,912 913 915 Special Assistance to the President Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 802 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses 1,546 Council of Economic Advisers Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 802 D n Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Council on Environmental Quality and Office of Environmental Quality See footnotes at end of table. 8-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Executive Office of the President—Con. Council on Wage and Price Stability Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Outlays 802 0 80 1 Office of Policy Development Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 802 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses BA 2,604 2,600 2,861 0 2,753 2,731 2,891 BA 0 2,604 2,753 2,712 2,731 2,861 2,891 BA 3,557 3,900 4,497 0 3,488 3,985 4,420 BA 0 3,557 3,488 4,064 3,985 4,497 4,420 BA 11,912 12,904 14,900 0 11,965 12,714 14,454 BA 0 11,912 11,965 13,108 12,714 14,900 14,454 BA 33,522 33,000 4 669 1,318 39,643 National Security Council Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 802 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Office of Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 802 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Office of Management and Budget Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 802 D Outlays 0 34,142 34,579 *669 '-675 39,193 •^ —675 Total Salaries and expenses See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 33,522 34,142 34,987 35,248 38,968 38,518 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-21 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Executive Office of the President—Con. Office of Management and Budget—Con. Office of Federal Procurement Policy: Salaries and expenses 802 Appropriation, current BA 2,429 2,400 2,714 0 2,635 2,823 '-969 2,770 '-959 BA 0 2,429 2,635 2,495 2,823 1,745 1,811 BA 0 35,951 36,777 37,482 38,071 40,713 40,329 802 BA _55 _20 _2n BA 0 35,896 36,722 37,462 38,051 40,693 40,309 Outlays Total Office of Federal Procurement Policy Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public Total Office of Management and Budget Office of Science and Technology Policy Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 802 BA Outlays Total Salaries and expenses 1,576 0 1,501 1,839 D 73 1,982 BA 0 1,576 1,501 1,912 1,982 BA 9,188 2,088 2,091 2,088 2,091 Office of the United States Trade Representative Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 802 10,100 * 11,647 D Outlays Total Salaries and expenses 0 8,984 409 10,300 BA 0 9,188 8,984 10,509 10,300 11,400 11,647 11,400 Property Review Board Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 802 BA 0 445 413 415 386 8-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Executive Office of 1the President—Con Special Action Office for Drug Abuse Prevention Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Outlays Special fund for drug abuse Outlays 554 o 554 . 12 0 1 66 Total Federal funds Special Action Office for 0 Drug Abuse Prevention 1 78 BA 0 92,872 94,730 101,261 102,210 110,566 109,381 802 BA 0 -55 -20 -20 BA 0 92,817 94,675 101,241 102,190 110,546 109,361 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public Total Executive Office of the President Funds Appropriated to the President Appalachian Regional Development Programs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Appalachian regional development programs Appropriation, current 452 Outlays BA 150,000 0 311,329 165,133 —15,133 253,000 150,000 311,329 150,000 253,000 477 1,219 150,000 311,806 150,000 254,219 205,000 301,694 115,439 130,000 221,804 220,047 Total Appalachian regional development programs BA 0 w H 209,000 -4,000 205,000 Public Enterprise Funds: Appalachian housing fund Outlays 452 Total Federal funds Appalachian Regional Development Programs BA 0 Disaster Relief Federal funds General and Special Funds: Disaster relief Appropriation, current.. Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 453 BA 0 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-23 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President—Con. Disaster Relief—Con. Trust funds Bequests and gifts Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 453 BA 0 -105 BA 0 845 227 93 30 91 20 Unanticipated Needs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Unanticipated needs Appropriation, current Outlays 802 1,000 996 1,000 990 Expenses of Management Improvement Federal funds General and Special Funds: Expenses of management improvement Outlays 802 0 43 91 10 International Security Assistance Federal funds General and Special Funds: Foreign military sales credit Appropriation, current 152 Outlays Total Foreign military sales credit Economic support fund Appropriation, current BA 800,000 1,175,000 0 501,496 880,100 1,000,000 1,006,500 BA 0 800,000 501,496 1,175,000 880,100 1,000,000 1,006,500 BA 2,919,300 2,661,000 152 * 2,949,000 B Outlays Total Economic support fund Military assistance Appropriation, current 0 2,299,055 294,500 2,683,749 B 147,500 BA 0 2,919,300 2,299,055 2,955,500 2,831,249 BA 178,512 290,000 Total Military assistance See footnotes at end of table. 2,844,202 B 99,375 2,949,000 2,943,577 152 * 747,000 B Outlays A 0 175,783 167,000 205,740 B 36,740 BA 0 178,512 175,783 457,000 242,480 429,610 60,120 B 747,000 489,730 8-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Funds Appropriated to the IPresident—Con. International Security Assistance—Con. International military education and training Appropriation current 152 BA 42,000 45,000 * 56,532 B Outlays Total International military education and training 0 30,818 1,000 45,400 B 550 BA 0 42,000 30,818 46,000 45,950 BA 145,700 31,100 0 141,709 43,990 48,710 BA 0 145,700 141,709 31,100 43,990 46,200 48,710 BA 0 33,000 15,684 151 141,882 131,000 164,000 4,118,512 3,306,427 4,664,600 4,174,920 4,798,732 4,705,752 -186,835 -142,000 -98,300 -67,370 -72,300 -65,700 3,864,307 3,052,222 4,450,300 3,960,620 4,634,732 4,541,752 146,889 24,526 126,042 33,591 109,721 36,855 52,985 B 250 56,532 53,235 152 Peacekeeping operations Appropriation current M6,200 Outlays Total Peacekeeping operations Assistance for relocation of facilities in Israel Contract authority permanent indefinite Outlays Public Enterprise Funds: Guarantee reserve fund Outlays 152 152 0 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) . . . . Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 152 908 Total International Security Assistance BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 International Development Assistance Multilateral Assistance Federal funds General and Special Funds: Contribution to the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development 151 Appropriation, current BA Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 0 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-25 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President—Con. International Development Assistance—Con. Multilateral Assistance—Con. Contribution to the International Development Association 151 Appropriation, current BA 1,095,000 747,136 700,000 245,000 820,650 ^ 7,350 700,000 747,136 945,000 828,000 1,095,000 909,000 700,000 A Outlays 0 Total Contribution to the International Development Association BA 0 886,950 ^ 22,050 Contribution to the International Finance Corporation 151 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Contribution to the Inter-American Development Bank 151 Appropriation, current BA 221,230 284,100 0 217,805 269,254 41,123 * 150,501 294,189 Total Contribution to the Inter-American Development Bank BA 0 221,230 217,805 284,100 269,254 191,624 294,189 BA 120,812 131,882 0 58,718 103,482 17,116 * 136,944 110,063 Total Contribution to the Asian Development Bank BA 0 120,812 58,718 131,882 103,482 154,060 110,063 Contribution to the African Development Fund 151 Appropriation, current BA 58,333 * 50,000 21,475 * 50,000 38,500 50,000 21,475 50,000 38,500 17,987 17,987 17,987 35,000 50,000 41,500 Outlays.. Contribution to the Asian Development Bank Appropriation, current Outlays.. Outlays.. 151 0 Total Contribution to the African Development Fund BA 0 Contribution to the African Development Bank 151 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Payment to the International Fund for Agricultural Development 151 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 See footnotes at end of table. 14,448 14,448 58,333 23,446 8-26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President—Con. International Development Assistance—Con. Multilateral Assistance—Con. International organizations and programs Appropriation, current 151 BA 215,438 249,002 H89,950 B Outlays.. 237,790 4,500 205,276 253,502 205,276 1,790,526 1,514,065 200,872 B 4,500 Total International organizations and programs.... BA 0 Total Federal funds Multilateral Assistance BA 0 215,438 237,790 1,477,150 1,323,869 BA 1,295,155 1,298,243 0 1,094,722 1,188,510 1,342,000 1,236,200 BA 0 1,295,155 1,094,722 1,298,243 1,188,510 1,342,000 1,236,200 BA 93,758 93,757 0 60,089 78,726 BA 0 93,758 60,089 93,757 78,726 BA 20,000 20,000 0 30,175 20,091 7,500 17,537 BA 0 20,000 30,175 20,000 20,091 7,500 17,537 BA 107,000 25,000 0 27,693 63,400 BA 0 107,000 27,693 25,000 63,400 189,950 205,372 1,858,342 1,653,466 Agency for International Development Federal funds General and Special Funds: Functional development assistance program Appropriation, current 151 Outlays Total Functional development assistance program Sahel development program Appropriation, current 151 Outlays Total Sahel development program.. American schools and hospitals abroad Appropriation, current Total American schools and hospitals abroad Outlays Total International disaster assistance. See footnotes at end of table. K 103,000 85,637 103,000 85,637 151 Outlays International disaster assistance Appropriation, current K K 151 K 25,000 44,253 25,000 44,253 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-27 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President—Con. International Development Assistance—Con. Agency for International Development—Con. Operating expenses Agency for International Development 151 Appropriation, current BA 331,000 335,000 * 378,512 D 312,796 9,938 349,446 374,272 Total Operating expenses Agency for International Development BA 0 331,000 312,796 344,938 349,446 378,512 374,272 Payment to the Foreign Service retirement and disability fund 153 Appropriation, current BA 33,583 Outlays 0 Outlays.. 42,948 35,403 1,134 39,316 A 35,403 ^ 1,134 J -5,412 39,316 ' -5,412 Total Payment to the Foreign Service retirement and disability fund BA 0 Miscellaneous appropriations Outlays 33,583 42,948 36,537 36,537 33,904 33,904 4,631 5,000 3,898 8,457 3,397 151 Public Enterprise Funds: Development loans-revolving fund Outlays Housing and other credit guaranty programs Outlays 151 -22,172 151 130 Intragovernmental Funds: Advance acquisition of property-revolving fund 151 Outlays Office of the Inspector General of Foreign Assistance 151 0 Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds 151 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 413 139 151 -1,058 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 1,880,496 1,551,425 1,818,475 1,750,306 1,889,916 1,799,098 -593 -413 -413 -345,768 -401,600 -431,945 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 150 BA 0 151 BA 0 8-28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President—Con. International Development Assistance—Con. Agency for International Development—Con. we Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public DM _325j66 -377,948 -414,483 BA 0 1,208,369 879,298 1,038,514 970,345 1,043,075 952,257 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 BA 0 151 BA 151 -1,058 _m ^ ^ _J5m Total Trust funds BA 0 51 -1,158 Total Agency for International Development BA 0 1,208,420 878,140 1,038,514 970,345 BA 6,907 10,500 0 1,876 5,522 22,000 10,301 BA 0 6,907 1,876 10,500 5,522 22,000 10,301 : 1,043,075 952,257 Trade and Development Program Federal funds General and Special Funds: Trade and development program Appropriation, current 151 Outlays Total Trade and development program K Peace Corps Federal funds General and Special Funds: Peace Corps operating expenses Appropriation, current 151 Outlays Total Peace Corps operating expenses Trust funds Peace Corps miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays BA 105,000 109,000 0 103,387 108,600 * 108,500 108,250 BA 0 105,000 103,387 109,000 108,600 108,500 108,250 151 BA 0 -122 210 210 210 210 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 150 BA Q See footnotes at end of table. 105,000 103,387 0AA — 244 109,000 108,600 AQ —48 108,500 108,250 .0 —48 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-29 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Funds Appropriated to the 1President—Con. International Development Assistance—Con. Peace Corps—Con. 908 BA -15 0 BA 0 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 151 Total Trust funds Total Peace Corps -9 104,741 103,128 108,943 108,543 108,443 108,193 -122 210 210 210 210 . BA 0 ' BA 0 . -9 -80 -70 -122 130 130 140 140 104,741 103,006 109,073 108,673 108,583 108,333 -88,198 -81,973 -84,566 BA 12,000 12,000 0 10,505 10,709 10,705 14,035 BA 0 12,000 10,505 12,000 10,709 10,705 14,035 BA 21 19 BA 0 Overseas Private Investment Corporation Federal funds Public Enterprise Funds: Overseas Private Investment Corporation Outlays 151 0 inter-American Foundation Federal funds Public Enterprise Funds: Inter-American Foundation Appropriation current 151 K Outlays Total Inter-American Foundation Trust funds Gifts and contributions, Inter-American Foundation 151 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 0 . 3 . 8-30 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President—Con. International Development Assistance—Con. African Development Foundation Federal funds General and Special Funds: African Development Foundation Appropriation, current Outlays 151 BA 0 Total Federal funds International Development Assistance BA 0 Total Trust funds International Development Assistance BA 0 '3,000 1,250 / 2,809,167 2,230,478 72 -1,261 2,960,483 2,527,211 130 133 3,045,565 2,654,936 140 140 International Commodity Agreements Federal funds General and Special Funds: Contributions to international buffer stocks Outlays 155 0 40,402 20,000 0 323,230 0 -1,782 -1,483 -500 0 -203,622 -196,459 -146,542 Trust funds Foreign military sales trust fund 155 Contract authority, permanent, indefinite BA 13,263,128 Liquidation of contract authority, permanent (11,839,332) Outlays 0 12,027,639 15,000,000 (12,300,000) 12,800,000 15,500,000 (13,400,000) 13,800,000 International Monetary Programs Federal funds General and Special Funds: United States quota, International Monetary Fund 155 Outlays Military Sales Programs Federal funds Public Enterprise Funds: Liquidation of foreign military sales fund Outlays Special defense acquisition fund Outlays 155 155 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) See footnotes at end of table. 0 - 205,404 -197,942 -147,042 BA 0 13,263,128 12,027,639 15,000,000 12,800,000 15,500,000 13,800,000 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-31 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President—Con. Military Sales Programs—Con. Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 155 Total Trust funds BA BA 1,423,796 2,700,000 188,307 500,000 400,000 BA 1,423,796 2,700,000 2,100,000 0 -17,097 302,058 252,958 0 17,725 2 8,052,604 6,812,759 8,686,101 7,781,319 0 Total Military Sales Programs 2,100,000 Petroleum Reserves Federal funds General and Special Funds: Petroleum reserves Outlays 271 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 150 BA r, fl__ —83/ 8,692,195 8,486,591 .C1 ,_, —461 —461 151 QA -345,768 -401,600 -431,945 152 jj A -186,835 -142,000 -98,300 Q -393,151 -450,257 -480,192 BA 7,126,013 7,691,783 7,681,297 0 5,886,168 6,787,001 7,475,693 13,263,300 12,026,373 15,015,303 12,815,243 15,515,301 13,815,230 908 RA Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts.Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 151 BA 155 Total Trust funds QA BA See footnotes at end of table. -11,839,332 _ ^ _mQ -12,300,000 -13,400,000 y 1,423,868 2,700,223 186,941 500,163 400,160 BA 8,549,881 10,392,006 9,781,528 0 6,073,109 7,287,164 7,875,853 0 Total Funds Appropriated to the President _m 2,100,231 8-32 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture Office of the Secretary Federal funds General and Special Funds: Office of the Secretary Appropriation, current 352 Outlays Total Office of the Secretary BA 4,999 5,045 5,227 4,377 D 318 4,618 0 BA 0 4,999 5,227 4,695 4,618 5,045 5,045 BA 14,948 0 BA 0 5,045 Departmental Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Departmental administration Appropriation, current 352 Outlays Total Departmental administration Standard level user charges Appropriation, current Outlays Advisory committees Appropriation, current Outlays 17,819 16,480 12,911 C 7 "517 13,427 14,948 16,480 13,435 13,427 17,819 17,819 56,377 56,377 69,402 69,402 17,819 352 BA 0 352 BA 0 1,398 1,398 1,398 1,398 689 143 Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund Outlays 352 0 Total Federal funds Departmental Administration. BA 0 -9,238 14,948 7,242 71,210 71,891 88,619 88,762 Office of Governmental and Public Affairs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Governmental and Public Affairs Appropriation, current Outlays Total Governmental and Public Affairs See footnotes at end of table. 352 BA 8,628 0 11,316 7,166 D 216 7,379 BA 0 8,628 11,316 7,382 7,379 7,569 7,569 7,569 7,569 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Office of the Inspector General Federal funds General and Special Funds: Office of the Inspector General Appropriation, current 352 Outlays Total Office of the Inspector General 44,579 0 40,170 42,213 D 273 G 555 42,349 BA 0 41,906 40,170 43,041 42,349 44,579 43,893 BA 13,997 14,976 0 BA 41,906 43,893 Office of the General Counsel Federal funds General and Special Funds: Office of the General Counsel Appropriation, current 352 Outlays.. Total Office of the General Counsel. 14,310 13,238 °686 13,795 BA 0 13,997 14,310 13,924 13,795 14,976 14,930 BA 425,938 472,410 472,410 470,272 14,930 Agricultural Research Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Agricultural Research Service Appropriation, current 352 Outlays Total Agricultural Research Service Buildings and facilities Appropriation, current Outlays Total Buildings and facilities 0 436,075 454,184 '668 D 5,774 463,703 BA 0 425,938 436,075 460,626 463,703 BA 8,596 0 9,087 1,927 "-1,927 11,408 "-1,927 BA 0 8,596 9,087 352 Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds 352 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Agricultural Research Service BA 0 Total Trust funds Agricultural Research Service... BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. 380-000 0 - 8 3- " 2 4 : QL 3 470,272 1,421 1,674 434,534 445,162 1,421 1,674 9,481 .. 2,000 1,820 460,626 473,184 2,000 1,820 2,000 2,082 472,410 470,272 2,000 2,082 8-34 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Cooperative State Research Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Cooperative State Research Service Appropriation, current Outlays 352 BA 0 221,216 219,846 244,949 230,438 231,715 232,322 BA 0 315,702 306,965 328,654 327,917 287,082 295,054 BA 8,053 8,621 0 BA 0 8,488 8,053 8,488 9,096 8,732 9,096 9,714 9,873 9,714 BA 51,446 55,778 0 43,864 50,845 1,061 51,599 BA 0 51,446 43,864 51,906 51,599 55,778 55,548 Extension Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Extension Service Appropriation, current Outlays 352 National Agricultural Library Federal funds General and Special Funds: National Agricultural Library Appropriation, current 352 D 9,873 n\ Outlays Total National Agricultural Library Statistical Reporting Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 352 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays D 352 BA 0 146 11 145 164 Economics and Statistics Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 55,548 352 0 9,787 0 4 2,301 352 2 145 145 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-35 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Economic Research Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 352 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays BA 39,360 45,024 36,981 37,936 1,028 38,671 0 BA 0 39,360 36,981 38,964 38,671 45,024 41,320 D 41,320 352 BA 0 50 47 64 76 64 64 BA 1,491 1,522 0 1,738 1,403 D 60 1,461 BA 0 1,491 1,738 1,463 1,461 1,522 1,522 World Agricultural Outlook Board Federal funds General and Special Funds: World agricultural outlook board Appropriation, current 352 Outlays Total World agricultural outlook board 1,522 Foreign Agricultural Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Foreign Agricultural Service Appropriation, current Outlays Total Foreign Agricultural Service 352 BA 68,236 0 BA 0 Salaries and expenses (special foreign currency program) 352 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Foreign Agricultural Service.. BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. 85,217 60,081 74,415 ^605 75,020 68,236 60,081 75,020 75,020 85,217 85,217 247 68,236 60,328 85,217 388 75,020 75,408 85,217 85,217 8-36 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Office of International Cooperation and Development Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 352 BA Outlays 0 Total Salaries and expenses 3,627 227 BA 0 3,627 227 Scientific activities overseas (foreign currency program) 352 Appropriation, current BA 238 Outlays 0 Total Scientific activities overseas (foreign currency program) BA 0 Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 3,938 238 3,938 A 3,617 4,016 3,662 ^500 4,016 4,162 4,162 4,016 4,016 2,977 3,172 4,728 ^634 6,149 6,149 5,362 6,149 6,292 5,658 ^634 352 BA 0 6,649 7,169 8,826 12,819 10,095 10,095 Total Federal funds Office of International Cooperation and Development BA 0 3,865 4,165 10,311 9,524 10,165 10,308 Total Trust funds Office of International Cooperation and Development BA 0 6,649 7,169 8,826 12,819 10,095 10,095 1,000,000 929,403 1,028,000 1,035,150 1,052,000 1,052,000 70,597 -7,150 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,028,000 1,028,000 Foreign Assistance Programs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Expenses, Public Law 480, foreign assistance programs, Agriculture 151 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Increase (-) or decrease in amount owed by the Public Law 480 account to the Commodity Credit Corportation 351 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Foreign Assistance Programs See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 1,052,000 1,052,000 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-37 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 351 BA Outlays.. Total Salaries and expenses.. Rural clean water program Outlays Agricultural conservation program Appropriation, current Outlays Colorado river basin salinity control program Appropriation, current Outlays Water Bank program Appropriation, current Outlays Emergency conservation program Appropriation, current Outlays Dairy and beekeeper indemnity programs Appropriation, current Outlays Forestry incentives program Appropriation, current Outlays 54,346 -2,360 56,283 *-2,360 63,077 55,962 0 50,338 56,061 BA 0 63,077 50,338 55,962 56,061 51,986 53,923 0 5,372 7,000 9,000 190,000 167,828 190,000 180,000 56,000 193,600 L 304 302 BA 0 304 y BA 0 12,550 ' 6,275 302 BA 0 10,491 10,134 BA 0 8,800 4,400 15,000 BA 0 176 15 7,000 7,162 BA 0 12,500 13,517 12,500 13,500 Total Federal funds Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service BA 0 283,353 251,961 274,262 288,857 120,536 262,798 117,600 278,987 115,848 235,200 D 991 236,191 117,600 115,848 236,191 236,191 278,987 278,987 453 351 302 Federal Crop Insurance Corporation Federal funds General and Special Funds: Administrative and operating expenses Appropriation, current 351 BA OutlaysTotal Administrative and operating expenses See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 278,987 8-38 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Federal Crop Insurance Corporation—Con. Public Enterprise Funds: Federal Crop Insurance Corporation fund Appropriation, current Outlays 351 BA 0 307,456 103,610 293,233 73,332 194,883 121,122 Total Federal funds Federal Crop Insurance Corporation BA 0 425,056 219,458 529,424 309,523 473,870 400,109 10,466,057 5,707,457 '-1,042,218 7,685,886 4,671,661 ^-5,707,457 J 1,035,796 1,292,218 2,666,064 J -2,666,064 J (1,042,218) 11,598,282 18,770,949 '-604,101 10,173,636 Commodity Credit Corporation Support and Related Activities Federal funds Public Enterprise Funds: Price support and related programs: Reimbursement for net realized losses 351 Appropriation, current BA Authority to borrow, permanent BA Contract authority, permanent, indefinite BA Liquidation of contract authority, current Outlays 0 Total Price support and related programs 7,043,229 A J 156,022 229,188 -229,188 (83,333) 12,305,470 '-3,138,973 J J BA 0 16,021,333 11,598,282 15,131,296 18,166,848 10,329,658 9,166,497 BA 0 42,078 53,855 53,855 87,694 87,694 89,022 Special Activities Federal funds General and Special Funds: National Wool Act (special fund) Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 351 Intragovemmental Funds: Increase or decrease (-) in amount owed to the Corporation by the Public Law 480 account 351 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Special Activities -70,597 7,150 BA 0 42,078 -16,742 53,855 94,844 87,694 89,022 Total Federal funds Commodity Credit Corporation BA 0 16,063,411 11,581,540 15,185,151 18,261,692 10,417,352 9,255,519 See footnotes at end of table. THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-39 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Office of Rural Development Policy Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 452 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Rural development planning grants Outlays BA 1,913 2,388 1,262 2,000 °30 2,155 0 BA 0 1,913 1,262 2,030 2,155 2,388 2,340 0 2,919 1,073 81 1,913 4,181 2,030 3,228 2,388 2,421 29,585 29,585 29,564 2,340 452 Total Federal funds Office of Rural Development Policy BA 0 Rural Electrification Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 271 BA Outlays Total Salaries and expenses 30,273 0 28,944 28,945 *581 29,495 BA 0 30,273 28,944 29,526 29,495 29,564 Public Enterprise Funds: Rural communication development fund Appropriation, current Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite Outlays 452 Total Rural communication development fund BA BA 0 375 3,478 91 646 6,543 375 740 6,115 BA 0 375 3,478 737 6,543 1,115 6,115 Total Federal funds Rural Electrification Administration BA 0 30,648 32,422 30,263 36,038 30,700 35,679 125,000 209,635 125,000 207,502 90,000 165,024 5,579 4,728 2,496 Farmers Home Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Rural water and waste disposal grants Appropriation, current Outlays Rural development grants Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 452 BA 0 452 0 8-40 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Farmers Home Administration—Con. Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 452 BA 318,445 280,065 289,238 C 12 D 9,779 296,304 BA 0 279,597 280,065 299,029 296,304 318,445 317,980 BA 0 3,250 2,743 3,250 3,148 1,938 BA 0 13,750 20,036 19,740 4,393 14,938 BA 0 3,950 8,084 12,500 6,815 7,508 0 1,309 801 BA 0 15,000 12,716 12,500 14,114 OutlaysTotal Salaries and expenses Rural community fire protection grants Appropriation, current Outlays Rural housing for domestic farm labor Appropriation, current Outlays Mutual and self-help housing Appropriation, current Outlays. Rural housing supervisory assistance grants Outlays Very low income housing repair grants Appropriation, current Outlays Rural rental assistance payments Appropriation, current Outlays Compensation for construction defects Appropriation, current Outlays Rural housing block grants Appropriation, current Outlays 279,597 317,980 452 604 604 371 604 250 604 BA 0 62,000 184,850 371 BA O 2,000 2,000 604 J BA 0 850,000 '280,500 Public Enterprise Funds: Self-help housing land development fund Outlays 371 0 Total Self-help housing land development fund.... 0 Rural housing insurance fund Appropriation, current Indefinite Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite Outlays.. Total Rural housing insurance fund See footnotes at end of table. -727 111 264 -782 '782 264 371 BA BA BA 575,087 82,830 1,345,626 1,109,722 173,026 345,014 0 1,246,276 1,607,771 '3,556,109 1,913,757 '324,368 BA 0 2,003,543 1,246,276 1,627,762 1,607,771 5,064,191 2,238,125 1,508,082 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-41 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Farmers Home Administration—Con. Agricultural credit insurance fund Appropriation, current Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite Outlays 351 BA BA 0 464,083 174,717 1,370,287 682,074 732,203 780,600 BA 0 638,800 1,370,287 682,074 732,203 895,522 780,600 BA BA 0 180,040 477,829 411,689 336,217 11,103 641,284 BA 0 180,040 411,689 347,320 641,284 477,829 547,226 Total Federal funds Farmers Home Administration BA 0 3,262,930 3,567,692 3,111,435 3,536,674 7,762,380 4,541,435 BA 310,809 341,313 0 330,480 326,198 G 9,776 340,247 BA 0 310,809 330,480 335,974 340,247 341,313 341,832 BA 15,500 13,264 0 15,594 16,068 G 351 16,369 BA O 15,500 15,594 16,419 16,369 13,264 13,975 BA 8,690 7,715 0 9,642 8,675 G 202 8,902 BA 0 8,690 9,642 8,877 8,902 7,715 7,809 Total Agricultural credit insurance fund Rural development insurance fund Appropriation, current Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite Outlays 895,522 452 Total Rural development insurance fund 547,226 Soil Conservation Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Conservation operations Appropriation, current 302 Outlays Total Conservation operations River basin surveys and investigations Appropriation, current 301 Outlays Total River basin surveys and investigations Watershed planning Appropriation, current Outlays Total Watershed planning See footnotes at end of table. 341,832 13,975 301 7,809 8-42 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Soil Conservation Service—Con. Watershed and flood prevention operations Appropriation, current 301 BA 194,045 194,925 -10,329 -68,995 175,655 "-34,498 96,593 143,242 * -34,497 194,045 197,024 115,601 141,157 96,593 108,745 BA 0 21,500 22,860 21,315 21,111 15,521 20,862 BA 26,500 0 30,393 BA 0 26,500 30,393 F H Outlays 0 Total Watershed and flood prevention operations. BA 0 Great plains conservation program Appropriation, current Outlays Resource conservation and development Appropriation, current 302 302 Outlays Total Resource conservation and development Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds: (Water resources) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) (Conservation and land management) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) 197,024 25,744 -5,600 26,861 »-1,195 H H 20,144 25,666 12,236 -4,405 7,831 301 BA 0 1,029 846 600 632 460 634 BA 0 100 104 100 104 100 102 Total Miscellaneous contributed funds BA 0 1,129 950 700 736 560 736 Total Federal funds Soil Conservation Service BA 0 Total Trust funds Soil Conservation Service BA 0 302 577,044 605,993 1,129 950 518,330 553,452 474,406 501,054 700 736 560 736 Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service Appropriation, current Outlays 352 BA 0 Total Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. 281,967 ,268,034 D 3,600 228,340 L 311,194 271,510 -3,600 238,046 L -3,600 281,967 311,194 271,634 271,510 224,740 234,446 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-43 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service—Con. Buildings and facilities Appropriation, current Outlays 352 BA 0 3,000 1,793 2,386 6,327 2,386 4,932 Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds 352 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service BA 0 3,759 4,434 2,878 2,878 2,878 2,878 284,967 312,987 274,020 277,837 227,126 239,378 Total Trust funds Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service BA 0 3,759 4,434 2,878 2,878 2,878 2,878 5,600 5,369 6,861 Federal Grain Inspection Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 352 BA D m Outlays Total Salaries and expenses 0 BA 0 11,162 5,600 11,162 5,540 5,548 5,540 6,869 6,861 6,869 Public Enterprise Funds: Inspection and weighing services Outlays 352 0 Total Federal funds Federal Grain Inspection Service BA 0 1,358 2,000 5,600 12,520 5,548 7,540 6,861 6,869 31,793 3,032 30,731 Agricultural Marketing Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Marketing services Appropriation, current 352 Outlays Total Marketing services Payments to States and possessions Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. BA 39,033 0 44,252 34,825 -1,806 30,731 *-1,806 BA 0 39,033 44,252 34,825 34,825 28,925 28,925 D 352 BA 0 1,000 1,203 1,000 1,735 L 8-44 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Agricultural Marketing Service—Con. Perishable Agricultural Commodities Act fund 352 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Funds for strengthening markets, income, and supply (section 32) 605 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Milk market orders assessment fund Outlays BA 0 2,678 2,868 3,272 3,255 3,272 3,255 BA 0 462,701 384,885 400,433 421,240 410,346 365,400 BA 0 60,212 54,358 71,676 71,869 78,509 78,509 352 351 0 Total Federal funds Agricultural Marketing Service BA -50 505,412 439,530 442,543 433,208 461,055 397,580 BA 60,212 71,676 78,509 0 52,033 71,819 78,509 2,400 2,367 2,523 0 Total Trust funds Agricultural Marketing Service. -2,325 Office of Transportation Federal funds General and Special Funds: Office of Transportation Appropriation, current 352 BA z> 4 9 Outlays Total Office of Transportation 0 2,042 2,413 2,526 BA 2,400 2,416 2,523 0 2,042 2,413 2,526 Food Safety and Inspection Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 554 BA 318,250 315,557 D 335,696 12,520 L Outlays Total Salaries and expenses 321,307 327,998 336,176 * -2,000 BA 318,250 328,077 333,696 0 321,307 327,998' 334,176 719 719 719 719 Trust funds Expenses and refunds, inspection and grading of farm products 352 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 See footnotes at end of table. -2,000 0 659 -1,580 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-45 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 1984 Department of Agriculture—Con. Food and Nutrition Service General and Special Funds: Food program administration Appropriation, current 605 Outlays Total Food program administration Food stamp program Appropriation, current BA 86,461 82,146 80,387 0 88,231 86,843 80,572 BA 0 86,461 88,231 82,459 86,843 80,387 80,572 BA 11,285,841 10,800,759 1,189,484 '-555 11,667,252 605 A Outlays Total Food stamp program Nutrition assistance for Puerto Rico Appropriation, current Outlays Special milk program Appropriation, current 0 11,014,140 10,869,929 ^ 1,175,210 -766,000 11,656,778 * 14,274 L -756,808 BA 0 11,285,841 11,014,140 11,989,688 12,045,139 10,901,252 10,914,244 825,000 779,600 825,000 825,000 605 BA 0 605 Outlays Total Special milk program Child nutrition programs Appropriation, current L BA 28,100 20,100 11,920 0 22,884 20,093 20,371 ^ —171 BA 0 28,100 22,884 20,100 20,093 11,720 20,200 BA 1,082,890 896,324 605 L Appropriation, permanent Outlays BA 0 Total Child nutrition programs Special supplemental food programs (WIC) Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 1,763,948 3,019,724 2,281,676 3,198,912 ^-2,406 L 937,417 -312,848 2,307,295 3,243,181 -295,011 BA 0 2,846,838 3,019,724 3,178,000 3,196,506 2,931,864 2,948,170 BA 0 934,080 929,757 1,092,600 1,117,660 1,092,600 1,093,251 605 8-46 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Food and Nutrition Service—Con. Food donations program Appropriation, current Reappropriation Outlays 605 50,061 121,160 156,266 " A 3,462 165,099 BA 0 141,420 121,160 159,728 165,099 50,061 76,742 Total Federal funds Food and Nutrition Service.... BA 0 15,322,740 15,195,896 17,347,575 17,410,940 15,892,884 15,958,179 BA 9,203 6,564 0 3,767 8,096 D 56 12,543 6,613 BA 0 9,203 3,767 8,152 12,543 6,564 6,613 BA 9,183 9,013 0 7,519 8,668 °166 8,824 BA 0 9,183 7,519 8,834 8,824 9,013 9,023 BA 4,639 0 4,572 BA 0 4,639 4,572 3,860 4,099 7 2 Total Food donations program BA BA 0 141,420 76,742 Human Nutrition Information Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Human Nutrition Information Service Appropriation, current 352 Outlays Total Human Nutrition Information Service Packers and Stockyards Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Packers and Stockyards Administration Appropriation, current 352 Outlays Total Packers and Stockyards Administration 9,023 Agricultural Cooperative Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 352 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Trust funds Miscellaneous contributed funds Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 4,639 "-779 4,761 "-662 352 0 3,677 4,203 "-117 3,677 4,086 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-47 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Forest Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Forest research Appropriation, current 302 Outlays Total Forest research State and private forestry Appropriation, current Total State and private forestry Total National forest system 100,647 BA 0 112,145 113,245 106,672 107,269 100,766 100,647 BA 65,555 25,058 0 67,362 62,328 »357 62,624 BA 0 65,555 67,362 62,685 62,624 25,058 29,415 BA 1,049,097 872,841 0 1,038,981 1,013,836 A 59,000 C 552 D 18,389 1,036,153 * 53,100 877,616 * 5,900 BA 0 1,049,097 1,038,981 1,091,777 1,089,253 872,841 883,516 10,123 17,042 261,095 266,428 242,291 266,428 29,415 0 302 Total Construction Youth Conservation Corps 302 Outlays Other general appropriations 302 Outlays Acquisition of lands for national forests, special acts 302 Appropriation, current Outlays Acquisition of lands to complete land exchanges 302 Appropriation, current, indefinite Outlays Range betterment fund 302 Appropriation, current, indefinite Outlays 0 100,766 302 Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 113,245 105,021 D 1,651 107,269 302 Outlays Forest management, protection and utilization Outlays Construction Appropriation, current 112,145 302 Outlays National forest system Appropriation, current BA BA 0 420,844 281,431 C 562 * 3,573 273,861 BA 0 261,095 420,844 285,566 273,861 0 276 0 242,291 13 279 BA 0 724 622 753 753 780 780 BA 0 151 90 147 147 20 20 BA 0 6,583 7,398 5,800 5,800 5,200 5,200 8-48 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Forest Service—Con. Land acquisition Appropriation, current Outlays Forest Service permanent appropriations Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Forest Service permanent appropriations Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 303 BA 0 26,262 10,906 56,877 56,342 10,070 9,580 BA 0 122,020 148,471 149,760 141,032 159,000 154,598 BA 0 243,434 243,434 144,678 144,678 268,946 268,946 146,600 128,625 150,000 149,864 140,439 109,133 31,400 62,706 302 852 Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Reforestation trust fund Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Highland scenic highway Outlays 302 0 302 BA 0 BA 0 0 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) 36 1,887,066 2,072,757 105,902 113,860 1,904,715 1,899,093 287,039 237,853 1,684,972 1,719,130 181,400 212,570 BA 0 41,222,196 36,845,411 42,362,499 45,789,437 40,303,065 36,090,051 302 BA 270 BA 0 300 QA ' lk 302 QA ~27 -291,201 -311,656 -404,365 '39 -176,401 -435,821 350 j* 450 BA '53 -608,610 A '-25,000 A Q 550 BA 0 95 BA 0 BA 0 Q See footnotes at end of table. 1,098 1,098 401 Total Trust funds Forest Service Proprietary receipts from the public 104,804 112,726 302 Total Federal funds Forest Service Deductions for offsetting receipts: Intrafund transactions 11,005 -13,638 -1,849 ni — 111 ~5 . -1,849 as —88 c ~6 M —bo c ~6 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-49 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1983 estimate 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate Department of Agriculture—Con. Summary—Con. 605 806 908 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 302 352 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 -1,632 -1,454 -1,454 -237 -267 -1 -393 BA 0 40,589,773 36,212,988 41,493,143 44,920,081 39,145,694 34,932,680 BA 0 179,927 178,609 374,047 328,888 276,370 307,798 BA 0 BA 0 -104,804 -146,600 -150,000 -74,024 -87,008 -94,970 Total Trust funds BA .0 1,099 -219 140,439 95,280 31,400 62,828 Total Department of Agriculture BA 0 40,590,872 36,212,769 41,633,582 45,015,361 39,177,094 34,995,508 33,200 33,200 33,165 Department of Commerce General Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 376 0 31,487 32,038 C 3 1,229 33,221 BA 0 28,232 31,487 33,270 33,221 BA 28,232 D Outlays Total Salaries and expenses White House conference on productivity Appropriation, current Outlays Special foreign currency program Appropriation, current 376 376 380-000 0 - 83 - 25 : QL 3 700 BA Total Special foreign currency program See footnotes at end of table. 1,500 1,500 BA 0 Outlays.. Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund Outlays 33,165 BA 0 242 ^500 150 ^ 150 300 ^ 150 242 500 300 700 450 376 -163 ... 8-50 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. General Administration—Con. Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds 376 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Total Federal funds General Administration BA 0 Total Trust funds General Administration BA 0 443 309 28,232 31,566 200 200 35,270 35,021 300 300 33,900 33,615 443 309 200 200 300 300 Bureau of the Census Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 376 BA 0 67,468 66,552 2,685 69,079 BA 0 57,200 67,468 69,237 69,079 78,200 76,689 BA 87,898 78,000 0 92,183 97,294 1,651 96,078 83,641 BA 0 87,898 92,183 98,945 96,078 78,000 83,641 Trust funds Special studies, services, and projects 376 Appropriation, permanent BA Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Bureau of the Census BA 0 9,459 -3,170 145,098 159,651 10,750 10,750 168,182 165,157 10,800 10,800 156,200 160,330 BA 0 9,459 -3,170 10,750 10,750 10,800 10,800 BA 28,771 38,900 0 28,337 37,117 1,333 38,368 BA 0 28,771 28,337 38,450 38,368 38,900 38,370 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Periodic censuses and programs Appropriation, current 57,200 D 78,200 76,689 376 Outlays Total Periodic censuses and programs Total Trust funds Bureau of the Census D Economic and Statistical Analysis Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 376 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses D 38,370 Public Enterprise Funds: Technical information clearinghouse fund Appropriation, current See footnotes at end of table. 376 BA J 5,000 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-51 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Economic and Statistical Analysis—Con. Trust funds Information products and services Appropriation, current, indefinite Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 376 J BA BA 0 24,015 21,871 27,000 27,000 BA 0 24,015 21,871 27,000 27,000 BA 0 202 105 250 250 338 338 Total Federal funds Economic and Statistical BA Analysis 0 28,771 28,337 38,450 38,368 43,900 38,370 Total Trust funds Economic and Statistical Analysis BA 0 24,217 21,976 27,250 27,250 338 338 25,000 23,602 24,842 18,100 19,260 337,293 168,500 —158,500 270,093 —23,590 206,709 —50,550 198,500 337,293 10,000 246,503 156,159 0 39,687 30,000 30,000 0 -282 0 123 0 1,389 Total Information products and services.. -29,000 29,000 29,000 J - 29,000 376 Special studies, services, and projects Appropriation, permanent Outlays Economic Development Assistance Economic Development Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Economic development assistance programs Appropriation, current 452 BA 0 452 29,308 BA 198,500 Outlays.. 0 Total Economic development assistance programs BA 0 Local public works program Outlays Drought assistance program Outlays Financial and technical assistance Outlays Job opportunities program Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 452 453 376 504 8-52 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Economic Development Assistance—Con. Economic Development Administration—Con. Public Enterprise Funds: Economic development revolving fund Outlays 452 0 Total Federal funds Economic Development Administration BA 0 45,746 24,000 -24,000 223,500 453,264 33,602 325,345 18,100 181,419 5,877 8,633 3,205 Regional Development Program Federal funds General and Special Funds: Regional development programs Outlays Trust funds Regional development commissions Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 452 0 452 BA 0 Total Federal funds Economic Development Assistance Total Trust funds Economic Development Assistance BA 0 BA 0 72 15,583 3,316 223,500 459,141 1,360 33,602 333,978 72 15,583 18,100 184,624 3,316 1,360 Promotion of Industry and Commerce International Trade Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operations and administration Appropriation, current 376 BA 151,995 0 123,170 168,133 A Outlays Total Operations and administration Participation in United States expositions Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. -20,100 169,429 *-7,640 131,815 * 13,085 A 156,430 -9,260 BA 0 151,995 123,170 148,033 161,789 144,900 147,170 BA 0 10,000 10,918 5,700 3,759 376 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-53 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Promotion of Industry and Commerce—Con. International Trade Administration—Con. Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 376 BA 0 Total Federal funds International Trade Administration Total Trust funds International Trade Administration 8,251 7,984 9,723 9,723 9,028 9,028 BA 161,995 148,033 144,900 0 134,088 167,489 150,929 BA 0 8,251 9,723 9,028 7,984 9,723 9,028 56,641 47,265 54,000 Minority Business Development Agency Federal funds General and Special Funds: Minority business development Appropriation, current 376 BA D Outlays Total Minority business development 0 49,596 446 57,691 BA 56,641 47,711 54,000 0 49,596 57,691 57,000 57,000 United States Travel and Tourism Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 376 BA 7,600 8,189 0 7,044 7,932 BA 7,600 8,189 0 7,044 7,932 5,117 309 219 375 375 375 375 * 5,400 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses 5,117 5,400 Trust funds Special studies, services, and projects Appropriation, permanent Outlays 376 Total Federal funds Promotion of Industry and Commerce Total Trust funds Promotion of Industry and Commerce See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 BA 226,236 203,933 204,300 0 190,728 233,112 213,046 BA 8,560 10,098 9,403 0 8,203 10,098 9,403 8-54 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 Department of Commerce—Con. Science and Technology National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: 306 Operations, research, and facilities Appropriation, current BA 855,868 885,354 B 20,000 2,000 300 876,863 B 20,000 772,185 * 43,315 G Indefinite.. Outlays Total Operations, research, and facilities Construction Appropriation, current BA 0 90 783,028 BA 0 855,958 783,028 907,654 896,863 19,202 '-2,000 "-2,000 12,000 » -2,000 19,202 -4,000 10,000 11,000 833,080 815,500 833,080 306 BA OutlaysTotal Construction.. BA 0 11,000 Coastal zone management 302 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Promote and develop fishery products and research pertaining to American fisheries 376 Appropriation, current BA Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 7,415 65,132 8,409 31,647 23,741 10,000 26,186 18,704 -22,600 30,623 20,542 -31,500 31,500 2,186 Total Promote and develop fishery products and research pertaining to American fisheries... BA 0 16,186 18,704 8,023 20,542 2,186 BA 0 4,710 1,140 1,750 1,637 1,750 1,750 BA 0 307 250 221 250 250 BA 0 3,046 1,742 6,950 8,009 12,000 12,000 BA 0 1,416 10,000 9,000 -1,109 BA 0 1,800 2,647 1,800 1,800 1,800 1,800 Fishing vessel and gear damage fund Appropriation, current, indefinite Outlays Fishermen's contingency fund Appropriation, current Outlays Foreign fishing observer fund Appropriation, current Outlays Fisheries loan fund Appropriation, current Outlays Fishermen's guaranty fund Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. compensation 376 376 376 376 376 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-55 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Science and Technology—Con. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration—Con. Public Enterprise Funds: Coastal energy impact fund 452 Outlays 0 Federal ship financing fund, fishing vessels Authority to borrow, current, indefinite Outlays Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite 29,098 18,384 10,700 376 BA 0 1,900 2,473 3,100 2,747 -4,200 306 Outlays BA 18,865 20,360 3,764 0 17,590 20,360 3,764 891,015 943,936 831,300 924,889 1,000,850 891,198 18,865 20,360 3,764 17,590 20,360 3,764 73,801 82,500 Total Federal funds National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration BA 0 Total Trust funds National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration BA 0 Patent and Trademark Office Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 376 BA 125,335 C D 1O 4,648 Reappropriation BA Outlays 0 128,946 74,720 78,457 Total Salaries and expenses 8,200 BA 133,535 78,459 82,500 0 128,946 74,720 78,457 BA 117,822 111,575 National Bureau of Standards Federal funds General and Special Funds: Scientific and technical research and services Appropriation, current 376 * 94,893 C Outlays 0 Total Scientific and technical research and services BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. 107,478 211 » 2,526 114,531 97,490 117,822 114,312 94,893 107,478 114,531 97,490 8-56 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Science and Technology—Con. National Bureau of Standards—Con. Intragovemmental Funds: Working capital fund Appropriation, current 376 BA 7,228 6,286 0 -2,533 5,943 * 3,807 5,060 BA 0 7,228 -2,533 6,286 5,943 3,807 5,060 Total Federal funds National Bureau of Standards BA 0 125,050 104,945 120,598 120,474 93,700 102,550 BA 0 16,483 17,140 12,190 13,876 12,200 12,346 BA 0 18,000 12,294 15,000 23,800 23,150 Total Federal funds National Telecommunications and Information Administration BA 0 34,483 29,434 27,190 37,676 12,200 35,496 Outlays Total Working capital fund National Telecommunications and Information Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses 376 Appropriation, current Outlays Public telecommunications facilities, planning and construction 503 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Federal funds Science and Technology BA 0 1,184,083 1,188,214 1,170,183 1,233,720 1,024,700 1,107,701 Total Trust funds Science and Technology BA 0 18,865 17,590 20,360 20,360 3,764 3,764 BA 0 1,835,920 2,057,637 1,649,620 2,039,356 1,481,100 1,737,686 908 BA __m __m _m _jggjj -25482 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Intrafund transactions Proprietary receipts from the public 300 BA _2m QA 370 Q A -1,654 376 j*A -2,087 450 See footnotes at end of table. J §A _358 -870 -52,110 _145 -37,779 -870 -2,110 _m THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-57 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Commerce—Con. Summary—Con. 908 BA Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts.Intrafund transactions Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 1,824,256 2,045,973 1,575,882 1,965,618 1,410,729 1,667,315 BA 0 61,616 68,658 71,974 24,605 25,965 -1016 -914 -914 -18,866 -20,360 -3,764 -37,157 -41,341 -42,508 60,491 376 BA 306 BA 376 A jj J 24,070 Total Trust funds Interfund transactions BA 0 4,577 3,452 376 BA . tco 6,043 9,359 1,489 2,849 —3,0/0 — o,Z19 BA 0 ^4,930 452 BA 0 Total Department of Commerce BA 0 1,824,603 2,045,195 1,576,052 1,969,104 1,410,929 1,668,875 Department of Defense-Military Military Personnel Federal funds General and Special Funds: Military personnel, Army Appropriation, current Outlays Military personnel, Navy Appropriation, current Outlays Military personnel, Marine Corps Appropriation, current Outlays Military personnel, Air Force Appropriation, current Outlays Reserve personnel, Army Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 051 BA 0 14,024,000 13,933,948 14,604,848 14,566,200 15,214,700 15,168,100 BA 0 10,324,774 10,097,804 10,661,208 10,735,700 11,293,600 11,247,100 BA 0 3,120,745 3,042,104 3,330,977 3,346,600 3,462,900 3,447,300 BA 0 11,477,572 11,448,592 12,195,950 12,074,900 12,757,900 12,687,800 BA 0 1,081,000 1,054,115 1,247,250 1,233,400 1,386,500 1,374,700 051 051 051 051 8-58 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Military Personnel—Con. Reserve personnel, Navy Appropriation, current Outlays Reserve personnel, Marine Corps Appropriation, current Outlays Reserve personnel, Air Force Appropriation, current Outlays National Guard personnel, Army Appropriation, current Outlays National Guard personnel, Air Force Appropriation, current Outlays 051 BA 0 374,600 360,960 664,325 630,700 743,200 728,500 BA 0 152,500 142,781 170,900 165,600 177,300 172,700 BA 0 327,250 323,109 362,125 356,200 383,300 379,700 BA 0 1,512,900 1,468,483 1,698,800 1,658,000 1,914,800 1,881,400 BA 0 BA 0 479,900 468,749 42,875,241 42,340,645 548,425 540,800 45,484,808 45,308,100 593,000 588,200 47,927,200 47,675,500 BA 14,986,000 16,154,800 14,937,897 16,130,300 17,087,800 -282,000 17,052,400 ^-282,000 BA 0 14,986,000 14,937,897 16,154,800 16,130,300 16,805,800 16,770,400 BA 15,043,101 15,666,339 0 14,102,785 15,587,000 BA 0 15,043,101 14,102,785 15,666,339 15,587,000 BA 19,728,489 21,055,557 051 051 051 051 Total Federal funds Military Personnel Retired Military Personnel Federal funds General and Special Funds: Retired pay, Defense m, current 051 OutlaysTotal Retired pay, Defense- L Operation and Maintenance Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operation and maintenance, Army Appropriation, current 051 Outlays Total Operation and maintenance, Army Operation and maintenance, Navy Appropriation, current * 17,867,800 17,242,900 17,867,800 17,242,900 051 * 23,225,600 Liquidation of contract authority, current.. (43,641) A Outlays Total Operation and maintenance, Navy See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 19,291,491 (25,000) 20,050,900 * 25,000 22,398,700 19,728,489 19,291,491 21,055,557 20,075,900 23,225,600 22,398,700 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-59 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Operation and Maintenance—Con. 051 BA 1,200,040 1,460,947 0 Total Operation and maintenance, Marine Corps.. BA 0 1,103,436 1,373,300 1,575,900 1,514,800 1,200,040 1,103,436 1,460,947 1,373,300 1,575,900 1,514,800 BA 16,135,519 16,901,103 0 BA 0 15,494,144 16,653,900 * 18,999,100 18,453,800 16,135,519 15,494,144 16,901,103 16,653,900 18,999,100 18,453,800 BA 5,268,630 5,851,800 0 4,991,975 5,730,100 * 6,871,900 6,678,200 CD OD Operation and maintenance, Marine Corps Appropriation, current 5,268,630 4,991,975 5,851,800 5,730,100 6,871,900 6,678,200 BA 666,661 705,081 0 Total Operation and maintenance, Army Reserve. BA 0 595,428 705,500 * 662,800 656,800 666,661 595,428 705,081 705,500 662,800 656,800 BA 574,387 637,475 0 545,320 621,100 * 693,000 654,000 637,475 621,100 693,000 654,000 Outlays Operation and maintenance, Air Force Appropriation, current 051 Outlays Total Operation and maintenance, Air Force Operation and maintenance, Defense agencies Appropriation, current. 051 Outlays Total Operation and maintenance, Defense agencies Operation and maintenance, Army Reserve Appropriation, current 051 Outlays Operation and maintenance, Navy Reserve Appropriation, current K 051 CD OD Outlays 574,387 545,320 Appropriation, current BA 40,444 51,112 Outlays 0 33,052 46,100 * 53,629 50,400 BA 0 40,444 33,052 51,112 46,100 53,629 50,400 Total Operation and maintenance, Navy Reserve.. Operation and maintenance, Marine Corps Reserve 051 Total Operation and maintenance, Marine Corps Reserve See footnotes at end of table. 8-60 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Operation and Maintenance—Con. Operation and maintenance, Air Force Reserve Appropriation, current 051 BA 679,254 765,048 0 671,567 741,900 815,000 802,500 679,254 671,567 765,048 741,900 815,000 802,500 BA 1,109,697 1,191,174 0 1,025,094 1,198,300 * 1,135,000 1,133,600 1,109,697 1,025,094 1,191,174 1,198,300 1,135,000 1,133,600 BA BA 1,671,218 1,822,107 0 1,653,359 1,769,800 * 1,824,700 1,804,800 Total Operation and maintenance, Air National BA Guard.. 0 1,671,218 1,653,359 1,822,107 1,769,800 1,824,700 1,804,800 861 887 0 787 800 *899 900 Total National Board for the Promotion of Rifle Practice, Army BA 0 861 787 887 800 899 900 155,700 147,500 163,464 136,500 BA 0 155,700 163,464 147,500 136,500 BA 2,700 3,258 1,999 3,100 2,700 1,999 3,258 3,100 Outlays Total Operation and maintenance, Air Force Reserve BA 0 A Operation and maintenance, Army National Guard 051 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Operation and maintenance, Army National Guard BA 0 Operation and maintenance, Air National Guard 051 Appropriation, current Outlays National Board for the Promotion of Rifle Practice, Army 051 BA Appropriation, current BA Outlays Claims, Defense Appropriation, current 051 BA Outlays.. Total Claims, Defense Court of Military Appeals, Defense Appropriation, current 051 Outlays.. Total Court of Military Appeals, Defense Foreign currency fluctuations, Defense Appropriation, current See footnotes at end of table. * 222,900 214,100 222,900 214,100 BA 0 051 BA 189,170 . * 3,372 3,300 3,372 3,300 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-61 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1983 estimate 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Operation and Maintenance—Con. Summer Olympics Appropriation, current Outlays XIII Olympic winter games Outlays 051 K BA 0 50,000 * 40,000 051 0 Total Federal funds Operation and Maintenance... BA 0 71 62,465,871 59,673,972 66,259,388 64,643,300 74,001,600 71,648,800 Procurement Federal funds General and Special Funds: Aircraft procurement, Army Appropriation, current 051 BA * 3,472,100 BA 0 13,396 1,296,516 1,436,000 2,368,500 BA 0 1,972,792 1,296,516 2,487,072 1,436,000 3,472,100 2,368,500 BA 2,118,500 2,266,600 0 1,268,507 1,866,800 * 3,088,500 2,363,700 BA 0 2,118,500 1,268,507 2,266,600 1,866,800 3,088,500 2,363,700 Procurement of weapons and tracked combat vehicles, Army 051 Appropriation, current BA 3,805,100 4,500,346 BA 0 2,143,686 198,200 3,532,600 4,109,600 Total Procurement of weapons and tracked combat vehicles, Army BA 0 3,805,100 2,143,686 4,698,546 3,532,600 4,934,416 4,109,600 2,332,500 2,116,394 1,646,825 1,934,300 * 2,334,189 2,117,100 2,332,500 1,646,825 2,116,394 1,934,300 2,334,189 2,117,100 Reappropriation Outlays Total Aircraft procurement, Army Missile procurement, Army Appropriation, current 051 Outlays.. Total Missile procurement, Army * 4,934,416 Reappropriation Outlays Procurement of ammunition, Army Appropriation, current 051 BA Outlays.. Total Procurement of ammunition, Army See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 8-62 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Procurement—Con. CD 3,718,171 CD CD 28,200 2,027,503 2,982,000 3,706,900 CD CO 3,746,371 2,027,503 4,108,304 2,982,000 5,362,870 3,706,900 BA 9,027,700 10,268,327 0 5,872,193 7,552,500 * 11,127,300 9,317,800 BA 0 9,027,700 5,872,193 10,268,327 7,552,500 11,127,300 9,317,800 CO 3,165,600 3,435,100 CD 051 2,444,315 2,775,700 * 4,028,600 3,233,200 CD CO Other procurement, Army Appropriation, current 3,165,600 2,444,315 3,435,100 2,775,700 4,028,600 3,233,200 BA 8,402,400 16,036,900 4,108,304 * 5,362,870 Reappropriation Outlays Total Other procurement Army Aircraft procurement, Navy Appropriation, current 051 Outlays Total Aircraft procurement, Navy Weapons procurement, Navy Appropriation, current 051 Outlays Total Weapons procurement, Navy Shipbuilding and conversion, Navy Appropriation current 051 Other procurement, Navy Appropriation, current Total Other procurement Navy Outlays Total Procurement, Marine Corps See footnotes at end of table. 211,200 7,248,900 8,506,100 BA 0 8,638,900 6,738,627 16,248,100 7,248,900 12,698,800 8,506,100 3,629,577 3,653,275 2,696,818 3,240,100 * 5,001,838 3,616,700 BA 0 3,629,577 2,696,818 3,653,275 3,240,100 5,001,838 3,616,700 BA 1,709,456 1,977,383 0 381,615 771,700 * 1,852,049 1,237,500 1,709,456 381,615 1,977,383 771,700 1,852,049 1,237,500 051 Outlays Procurement, Marine Corps Appropriation, current 236,500 6,738,627 CD Total Shipbuilding and conversion, Navy 12,698,800 BA 0 QO ReaDDroDriation Outlays CD CO K 051 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-63 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Procurement—Con. Aircraft procurement, Air Force Appropriation, current 051 , BA 13,738,898 17,425,300 BA 0 BA 0 89,700 9,624,364 13,828,598 9,624,364 170,000 12,446,500 17,595,300 12,446,500 BA 4,532,550 4,943,700 BA 0 3,069,199 4,532,550 3,069,199 15,000 3,927,900 4,958,700 3,927,900 Appropriation, current BA 5,385,333 5,535,977 Reappropriation.. Outlays BA 0 BA 0 800 3,662,368 5,386,133 3,662,368 4,963 4,978,600 5,540,940 4,978,600 7,626,302 6,418,900 BA O 518,000 384,042 823,545 485,100 1,082,791 727,000 BA O 50,000 125,000 19,300 60,600 * 22,707,190 Reappropriation.. Outlays Total Aircraft procurement, Air Force.. Missile procurement, Air Force Appropriation, current 15,379,400 22,707,190 15,379,400 051 * 8,570^34 Reappropriation.. Outlays BA 0 Total Missile procurement, Air ForceOther procurement, Air Force 5,063,600 8,570,834 5,063,600 051 * 7,626,302 Total Other procurement, Air Force.. Procurement, Defense agencies Appropriation, current Outlays National guard and reserve equipment Appropriation, current Outlays Defense production act purchases Appropriation, current Procurement of aircraft and missiles, Navy Outlays Procurement of equipment and missiles, Army Outlays Total Federal funds Procurement. See footnotes at end of table. 6,418,900 051 051 051 K BA 200,000 051 0 11,040 10,000 9,000 0 3,358 2,500 2,500 64,461,777 43,270,976 80,302,586 55,210,500 94,087,779 68,238,100 051 BA 0 8-64 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation Federal funds General and Special Funds: Research, development, Army Appropriation, current test, and evaluation, 051 BA 3,609,535 3,884,783 0 3,229,713 3,666,000 "4,792,200 4,364,400 Total Research, development, test, and evaluation, Army BA 0 3,609,535 3,229,713 3,884,783 3,666,000 4,792,200 4,364,400 6,086,031 Outlays.. Research, development, test, and evaluation, Navy 051 Appropriation, current BA 5,808,231 Reappropriation Outlays BA 0 19,495 5,240,315 5,900,700 Total Research, development, test, and evaluation, Navy BA 0 5,827,726 5,240,315 6,086,031 5,900,700 Research, development, test, and evaluation, Air Force 051 Appropriation, current BA 8,859,710 10,625,561 Reappropriation Outlays * 8,181,043 8,181,043 7,138,900 * 13,652,273 BA 0 12,358 7,794,204 9,870,300 12^257^000 Total Research, development, test, and evaluation, Air Force BA 0 8,872,068 7,794,204 10,625,561 9,870,300 13,652,273 12,257,000 Research, development, test, and evaluation, Defense agencies 051 Appropriation, current BA 1,697,646 2,153,189 1,419,975 1,943,200 "2,939,900 2,518,800 1,697,646 1,419,975 2,153,189 1,943,200 2,939,900 2,518,800 BA 53,000 55,000 0 44,781 49,800 BA 0 53,000 44,781 55,000 49,800 "56,800 53,000 56,800 53,000 Total Federal funds Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation BA 0 20,059,975 17,728,988 22,804,564 21,430,000 29,622,216 26,332,100 Outlays.. Total Research, development, test, and evaluation, Defense agencies BA 0 Director of test and evaluation, Defense Appropriation, current 051 Outlays.. Total Director of test and evaluation, Defense See footnotes at end of table. THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-65 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Military Construction Federal funds General and Special Funds: Military construction, Army Appropriation, current 051 BA 950,701 929,720 0 802,345 905,900 BA 0 950,701 802,345 929,720 905,900 BA 1,451,393 1,080,750 0 777,926 1,196,700 118,000 ^ 1,225,700 1,121,600 BA 0 1,451,393 777,926 1,080,750 1,196,700 1,343,700 1,121,600 BA 1,558,451 1,551,414 0 809,302 1,307,400 68,990 * 2,231,910 1,548,000 BA 0 1,558,451 809,302 1,551,414 1,307,400 2,300,900 1,548,000 BA 299,490 339,770 0 220,690 260,700 BA 0 299,490 220,690 339,770 260,700 Appropriation, current BA 345,000 325,000 Outlays O 111,452 180,000 * 150,000 240,000 345,000 111,452 325,000 180,000 150,000 240,000 BA 67,658 54,958 0 29,929 58,900 Total Military construction, Army National Guard. BA 0 67,658 29,929 54,958 58,900 Outlays Total Military construction, Army Military construction, Navy Appropriation, current 41,890 *l,333,110 940,300 1,375,000 940,300 051 Outlays Total Military construction, Navy Military construction, Air Force Appropriation, current 051 Outlays Total Military construction, Air Force Military construction, Defense agencies Appropriation, current 051 Outlays Total Military construction, Defense agencies * 398,400 260,400 398,400 260,400 North Atlantic Treaty Organization infrastructure 051 Total North Atlantic Treaty Organization infrastructure BA 0 Military construction, Army National Guard Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 380-000 0 - 8 3 - 2 6 : QL 3 051 * 55,300 60,700 55,300 60,700 8-66 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con, Military Construction—Con. Military construction, Air National Guard Appropriation, current 051 BA 105,140 127,900 0 73,032 100,300 * 79,900 109,600 Total Military construction, Air National Guard.... BA 0 105,140 73,032 127,900 100,300 79,900 109,600 BA 65,173 41,800 0 47,972 51,500 * 52,700 46,300 BA 0 65,173 47,972 41,800 51,500 52,700 46,300 BA 36,000 25,200 0 29,881 30,700 * 24,800 27,700 BA 0 36,000 29,881 25,200 30,700 24,800 27,700 BA 37,400 35,600 19,951 31,800 * 42,200 38,100 Outlays.. Military construction, Army Reserve Appropriation, current 051 Outlays.. Total Military construction, Army Reserve Military construction, Naval Reserve Appropriation, current 051 Outlays Total Military construction, Naval Reserve Military construction, Air Force Reserve Appropriation, current 051 Outlays.. Total Military construction, Air Force Reserve BA 0 37,400 19,951 35,600 31,800 42,200 38,100 Total Federal funds Military Construction BA 0 4,916,406 2,922,480 4,512,112 4,123,900 5,822,900 4,392,700 Family Housing Federal funds General and Special Funds: Family housing, Army Appropriation, current 051 Outlays.. Total Family housing, Army Family housing, Navy Appropriation, current Outlays.. Total Family housing, Navy See footnotes at end of table. BA 966,686 0 913,400 * 1,240,939 1,125,700 BA 0 966,686 913,400 1,240,939 1,125,700 BA 708,293 0 641,000 * 675,744 652,200 BA 0 708,293 641,000 675,744 652,200 051 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-67 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Family Housing—Con. Family housing, Air Force Appropriation, current 051 BA Outlays Total Family housing, Air Force Family housing, Defense agencies Appropriation, current 783,800 895,800 836,100 BA 0 839,636 783,800 895,800 836,100 BA 14,313 0 16,400 * 19,744 18,100 BA 0 14,313 16,400 19,744 18,100 051 Outlays Total Family housing, Defense agencies Family housing, Defense Appropriation, current Reappropriation Outlays A 0 051 Total Family housing, Defense BA BA 0 2,198,745 1,992 1,990,601 BA 0 2,200,737 1,990,601 BA BA 0 2,000 427 2,283 2,000 800 3,300 600 3,300 BA 0 BA 0 2,427 2,283 2,203,164 1,992,884 2,800 3,300 2,531,728 2,357,900 600 3,300 2,832,827 2,635,400 BA 3,083 3,800 3,522 700 * 3,050 900 3,083 3,522 3,800 700 3,050 900 -4 -3 _2 Public Enterprise Funds: Homeowners assistance fund, Defense Appropriation, current Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite Outlays 051 Total Homeowners assistance fund, Defense Total Federal funds Family Housing Special Foreign Currency Program Federal funds General and Special Funds: Special foreign currency program Appropriation, current 051 Outlays.. Total Special foreign currency program BA 0 Revolving and Management Funds Federal funds Public Enterprise Funds: Defense production guarantees Outlays Laundry service, Naval Academy Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 051 051 70 8-68 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Revolving and Management Funds—Con. Intragovernmental Funds: Army stock fund Appropriation, current Contract authority, permanent, indefinite Outlays 051 Total Army stock fund Navy stock fund Appropriation, current Contract authority, permanent, indefinite Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 408,600 183,200 388,400 BA 0 291,520 75,103 221,138 183,200 408,600 388,400 BA BA 0 9,435 541,254 160,907 354,372 682,869 853,600 356,700 BA 0 550,689 160,907 354,372 853,600 682,869 356,700 BA BA 0 13,334 68,019 10,494 11,812 22,280 26,800 14,200 BA 0 81,353 10,494 11,812 26,800 22,280 14,200 BA 0 78,800 158,748 161,600 329,300 1,638,325 404,000 BA BA 0 69,000 1,422,701 61,072 160,500 47,000 -1,074,000 377,100 BA 0 1,491,701 61,072 160,500 -1,074,000 47,000 377,100 0 -21,566 -9,200 -76,500 0 41,194 20,800 -175,600 0 -7,911 -3,000 7,300 0 182,275 -110,400 -216,100 0 79,507 6,400 6,000 o o 7,394 -6,400 -12,880 12,900 051 051 Total Defense stock fund Army industrial fund Outlays Navy industrial fund Outlays Marine Corps industrial fund Outlays Air Force industrial fund Outlays Defense industrial fund Outlays Army management fund Outlays Navy management fund Outlays Air Force management fund Outlays 221,138 051 Total Marine Corps stock fund Air Force stock fund Appropriation, current Outlays Defense stock fund Appropriation, current Contract authority, permanent, indefinite Outlays 176,300 115,220 75,103 051 Total Navy stock fund Marine Corps stock fund Appropriation, current Contract authority, permanent, indefinite Outlays BA BA 0 051 051 051 051 051 051 051 051 0 2 103 2 . THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-69 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Revolving and Management Funds—Con. Army conventional ammunition working capital fund 051 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Revolving and Management Funds BA 0 -40,910 -106,700 -65,500 2,494,063 693,495 909,422 123,400 2,799,074 1,020,000 Allowances Federal funds General and Special Funds: Other legislation Appropriation, current Outlays Supplemental for later transmittal Appropriation, current Outlays Proposed rescissions for later transmittal Appropriation, current Outlays 051 y BA 0 22,100 '22,100 051 BA 0 '1,607,800 '231,800 '679,800 BA 0 ' -650,000 '-124,500 '-295,300 BA 0 957,800 107,300 22,100 406,600 051 Total Federal funds Allowances Trust Funds Trust funds Department of the Army trust funds 051 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Department of the Navy trust funds 051 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Department of the Air Force general gift fund 051 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Surcharge collections, sales of commissary stores, Army 051 Outlays Department of the Navy trust revolving funds 051 Outlays Department of the Air Force trust revolving funds 051 Outlays Total Trust funds Trust Funds Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 313 119 18,807 17,063 78 49 100 80 18,340 18,270 60 50 100 90 19,335 19,355 65 55 0 -4,736 2,400 3,600 0 6,363 5,800 -1,900 0 2,700 2,200 BA 0 19,198 18,962 104 18,500 29,300 19,500 23,400 BA 0 214,465,580 183,564,859 239,921,008 209,435,400 273,924,546 239,120,500 8-70 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Defense-Military—Con. Summary—Con. Deductions for offsetting receipts: Intrafund transactions 051 BA 43 0 Proprietary receipts from the public 051 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Interfund transactions BA BA 0 213,749,579 182,848,858 239,406,108 208,920,500 273,399,146 238,595,100 BA 0 19,198 18,962 18,500 29,300 19,500 23,400 213,751,284 182,850,327 239,407,108 208,932,300 273,400,146 238,600,000 051 BA Total Department of Defense-Military BA 0 Department of Defense-Civil Cemeterial Expenses, Army Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 705 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses BA 4,555 6,682 C 45 8>203 0 7,268 6,650 8,100 BA 0 4,555 7,268 6,750 6,650 8,203 8,100 BA 0 137,225 130,385 129,042 129,000 110,400 110,400 BA 1,429,992 905,700 0 1,452,572 1,421,405 ^-140,000 1,218,550 BA 0 1,429,992 1,452,572 1,281,405 1,218,550 905,700 945,800 Corps of Engineers-Civil Federal funds General and Special Funds: General investigations Appropriation, current Outlays Construction, general Appropriation, current Outlays Total Construction, general See footnotes at end of table. 301 301 945,800 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-71 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate 1,023,667 110,000 c 6,205 D 7,415 £ 80 1,037,700 ^110,000 1,161,300 Department of Defense-Civil—Con. Corps of Engineers-Civil—Con. Operation and maintenance, general Appropriation, current 301 BA Outlays.. 980,797 Total Operation and maintenance, general Flood control and coastal emergencies Appropriation, current Outlays General expenses Appropriation, current 1,025,355 980,797 1,147,367 1,147,700 1,161,300 1,161,300 BA 0 40,000 36,806 29,877 27,000 10,000 20,000 BA 96,000 96,000 3,900 103,000 0 83,850 100,100 103,000 BA 0 96,000 83,850 100,100 100,100 103,000 103,000 BA 256,310 290,000 0 246,755 263,052 30,000 263,052 ^ 30,000 256,310 246,755 293,052 293,052 290,000 276,000 BA 0 4,784 4,873 4,942 4,942 6,000 6,000 BA 0 5,849 1,564 1,848 6,015 1,948 1,848 BA 0 6,342 5,207 5,552 6,342 5,752 5,552 BA 0 12,191 6,771 7,400 12,357 7,700 7,400 0 30,641 2,000 BA 0 191 191 D 301 Outlays Total Flood control, Mississippi River and tributaries BA 0 A 301 852 Intragovernmental Funds: Trust funds Inland waterways trust fund Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 276,000 303 Total Permanent appropriations.. Revolving fund Outlays 1,161,300 BA 0 301 Total General expenses Special recreation use fees Appropriation, current Outlays Permanent appropriations: (Water resources) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) (Other general purpose fiscal assistance) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) A 301 Outlays Flood control, Mississippi River and tributaries Appropriation, current 1,025,355 301 301 8-72 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Defense-Civil—Con. Corps of Engineers-Civil—Con. Rivers and harbors contributed funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 301 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 62,876 65,380 70,000 70,000 71,000 71,000 BA 0 3,001,857 2,973,450 2,993,185 2,934,701 2,594,100 2,629,900 ~~] ~4 ~5 -28,021 -30,070 271 BA 0 qnn DA Q 301 JA '-225,000 303 BA 0 '-18,000 908 f Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public -26,398 -5,406 -6,975 BA 0 2,970,052 2,941,645 2,958,188 2,899,704 2,315,108 2,350,908 BA 0 63,067 65,571 70,000 70,000 71,000 71,000 301 BA _ ^ _ ^ QA Total Trust funds BA 0 Total Corps of Engineers-Civil BA 0 -7,925 _ J 191 2,695 2,970,243 2,944,340 / j m -213,000 -213,000 -213,000 2,958,188 2,899,704 2,102,108 2,137,908 Ryukyu Islands, Army Summary Federal funds: Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public Total Ryukyu Islands, Army See footnotes at end of table. 800 BA Q —410 —410 —410 BA 0 -410 -410 -410 -410 -410 -410 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-73 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Defense-Civil—Con. Soldiers' and Airmen's Home Trust funds Operation and maintenance Appropriation, current 705 Outlays Total Operation and maintenance Capital outlays Appropriation, current Outlays Payment of claims Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Soldiers' and Airmen's Home revolving fund Outlays Summary Federal funds: Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 24,421 29,524 23,359 26,718 D 341 26,073 0 BA 24,421 27,059 29,524 0 23,359 26,073 28,440 28,440 705 BA 0 953 953 1,250 1,250 5 5 5 5 705 BA 0 705 0 -38 705 BA 0 ~J ~1 ~] BA - 1 - 1 - 1 0 -1 -1 -\ Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public BA BA 0 25,374 23,321 27,064 27,031 30,779 29,695 705 BA r\ ' Total Trust funds Total Soldiers' and Airmen's Home —0,0/J —Qflijir —QfdcD BA 21,795 22,925 26,454 0 19,742 22,892 25,370 BA 21,794 22,924 26,453 0 19,741 22,891 25,369 Wildlife Conservation, Military Reservations Federal funds General and Special Funds: Wildlife conservation Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) See footnotes at end of table. 303 BA 0 1,244 1,172 1,514 1,475 1,570 1,580 BA 1,244 1,514 1,570 0 1,172 1,475 1,580 8-74 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department o f Defense-Civil—Con. Wildlife Conservation, Military Reservations—Con. Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 300 BA 0 Total Wildlife Conservation, Military Reservations 0 -1,244 -1,514 -1,570 -72 -39 10 3,007,656 2,981,890 3,001,449 2,942,826 2,603,873 2,639,580 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts.Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 271 BA 0 300 BA 0 BA O 301 BA O 303 BA 0 705 BA 0 800 BA 0 908 BA 0 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public -4 -5 -27,642 -29,535 -31,640 J J 3 8 J -225,000 J -16,000 -1 -1 -1 -410 -410 -410 -5,406 -6,975 -7,925 BA 0 2,974,196 2,948,430 2,964,527 2,905,904 2,322,900 2,358,607 BA 0 88,441 88,892 97,064 97,031 101,779 100,695 301 BA 705 _l 0 BA 0 BA 0 -62,876 -70,000 -71,000 J -3,579 -4,139 -213,000 -4,325 Total Trust funds BA 0 21,986 22,437 22,925 22,892 -186,546 -187,630 Total Department of Defense-Civil BA O 2,996,182 2,970,867 2,987,452 2,928,796 2,136,354 2,170,977 See footnotes at end of table. THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-75 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Education Activities Office of Elementary and Secondary Education Federal funds General and Special Funds: Compensatory education for the disadvantaged 501 Appropriation, current BA 3,167,894 ^ —133,925 3,031,447 "-7,885 3,121,918 "-105,812 3,040,980 2,954,438 3,033,969 3,023,562 3,013,969 3,016,106 BA 456,200 480,200 "-5,000 465,000 BA 0 9,600 546,299 576,220 "-3,800 499,845 "-1,150 BA 0 465,800 546,299 475,200 572,420 465,000 498,695 BA 536,880 534,500 "-56,639 478,879 0 751,130 514,107 "-6,230 50,000 537,347 "-39,082 ^5,500 BA 0 536,880 751,130 477,861 507,877 528,879 503,765 BA 77,852 1,243 0 78,353 67,247 "-16,128 81,085 "-7,258 38,787 "-8,064 BA 0 77,852 78,353 51,119 73,827 1,243 30,723 Total Federal funds Office of Elementary and Secondary Education BA 0 4,121,512 4,330,220 4,038,149 4,177,686 4,009,091 4,049,289 Outlays 0 Total Compensatory education for the disadvantaged BA 0 Impact aid Appropriation, current Total Impact aid 501 Outlays Total Special programs and populations Indian education Appropriation, current Outlays Total Indian education See footnotes at end of table. 2,954,438 3,013,969 501 Reappropriation Outlays Special programs and populations Appropriation, current 3,040,980 J 501 8-76 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Education Activities—Con. Office of Bilingual Education and Minority Languages Affairs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Bilingual education Appropriation, current 501 BA 138,058 0 167,114 BA 0 138,058 167,114 94,534 139,346 94,534 122,255 BA 1,068,580 1,110,252 0 1,141,444 1,128,274 1,035,180 K 75,072 1,160,006 BA 0 1,068,580 1,141,444 1,110,252 1,128,274 1,110,252 1,160,006 Appropriation, current BA 952,171 1,036,727 Outlays 0 779,699 1,037,651 1,036,727 213,466 ^ 798,280 Total Rehabilitation services and handicapped research BA 0 952,171 779,699 1,036,727 1,037,651 1,036,727 1,011,746 Total Federal funds Office of Special Education and Rehabilitative Services BA 0 2,020,751 1,921,143 2,146,979 2,165,925 2,146,979 2,171,752 BA 735,025 816,500 BA 0 7,161 817,544 7,161 772,820 492,839 7,161 780,700 ^ 19,714 BA 0 742,186 817,544 823,661 772,820 500,000 800,414 Outlays Total Bilingual education 138,057 -43,523 141,063 ^ —1,717 94,534 H H 154,039 -31,784 Office of Special Education and Rehabilitative Services Federal funds General and Special Funds: Education for the handicapped Appropriation, current 501 Outlays Total Education for the handicapped Rehabilitation services and handicapped research 506 J Office of Vocational and Adult Education Federal funds General and Special Funds: Vocational and adult education Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent Outlays Total Vocational and adult education See footnotes at end of table. 501 J THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-77 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Education Activities—Con. Office of Postsecondary Education r funds General and Special Funds: Student financial assistance Appropriation, current 502 Outlays Total Student financial assistance Guaranteed student loans Appropriation, current BA 3,569,480 3,567,800 0 2,732,467 3,635,231 BA 0 3,569,480 2,732,467 3,567,800 3,635,231 BA 3,073,846 3,100,500 "-900,000 J 854,000 2,713,800 3,037,973 M07,070 3,567,800 3,445,043 502 2,168,600 L 3,023,463 2,284,255 -121,500 2,133,547 L -102,390 BA 0 3,073,846 3,023,463 2,200,500 2,284,255 2,047,100 2,031,157 BA 382,156 204,716 BA BA 0 2,800 8,067 379,281 394,525 A 4,816 " -68,941 2,800 335 429,733 *385 " -5,515 BA 0 393,023 379,281 333,535 424,603 Higher education facilities loans and insurance 502 Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 11,096 37,783 25,201 20,143 134 21,366 19,846 Total Higher education facilities loans and insurance BA 0 48,879 25,201 20,277 21,366 19,846 6,119 BA 0 232 36,531 40 21,994 BA 0 232 36,531 40 21,994 -74,205 Total Federal funds Office of Postsecondary Education BA 0 7,085,460 6,196,943 6,122,152 6,387,449 5,839,462 5,737,180 Outlays.. ... 0 Total Guaranteed student loans Higher education Appropriation, current 502 Appropriation, permanent Reappropriation Outlays Total Higher education.. 373,954 * 3,371 « -48,259 204,716 329,066 Public Enterprise Funds: College housing loans Appropriation, permanent, indefinite.. Outlays Total College housing loans.. See footnotes at end of table. 502 -67,205 *-7,000 8-78 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Education Activities—Con. Office of Educational Research and Improvement Federal funds General and Special Funds: Educational research and statistics Appropriation, current 503 82,201 , 64,203 "-6,225 101,346 H -3,486 74,222 "-2,490 BA 0 61,979 82,201 57,978 97,860 56,978 71,732 BA 0 80,080 101,437 80,320 135,426 48,347 Total Federal funds Office of Educational Research and Improvement BA 0 142,059 183,638 138,298 233,286 56,978 120,079 21,818 23,090 17,775 23,064 23,570 ^-550 21,818 17,775 23,090 23,064 23,040 23,020 BA 0 206,682 207,700 205,410 243,277 225,220 230,911 Total Payments to special institutions BA 0 228,500 225,475 228,500 266,341 248,260 253,931 Total Federal funds Special Institutions BA 0 228,500 225,475 228,500 266,341 248,260 253,931 Salaries and expenses: (Elementary, secondary and vocational education) 501 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 45,682 45,045 45,874 48,737 43,639 42,450 Outlays Total Educational research and statistics Libraries Appropriation, current Outlays BA 61,979 0 56,978 503 Special Institutions Federal funds General and Special Funds: Payments to special institutions: (Elementary, secondary, and vocational education) 501 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 Total (Elementary, secondary, and vocational education) BA 0 (Higher education) (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) y 23,590 -550 502 Departmental Management Federal funds General and Special Funds: See footnotes at end of table. THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-79 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Education Activities—Con. Departmental Management—Con. (Higher education) (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Research and general education aids) (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Social services) (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Federal law enforcement activities) (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) 502 BA 0 105,138 102,960 111,904 116,039 133,253 132,068 BA 0 45,683 45,046 44,038 46,416 41,654 42,451 BA 0 21,927 21,450 20,184 20,887 19,836 18,867 BA 0 57,032 51,225 275,462 265,726 57,708 57,901 279,708 289,980 56,453 56,929 294,835 292,765 960 943 516 939 1,750 1,110 379 1,922 1,515 960 1,322 516 2,861 1,750 2,625 97 18 276,422 267,048 53 99 280,224 292,841 90 296,585 295,390 BA 0 97 147 53 99 90 BA 0 14,754,948 14,109,125 13,872,497 14,435,694 13,191,889 13,550,290 -28,141 -37,226 -52,517 -822 -2,299 -1,602 13,832,972 14,396,169 13,137,770 13,496,171 503 506 751 Total Salaries and expenses BA 0 Education and research overseas: (Special foreign currency program) (Research and general education aids) 503 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 (Special foreign currency program) (Social services) 506 (Outlays) 0 Total Education and research overseas BA 0 Trust funds Special statistical compilations and surveys Outlays Contributions Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 503 0 129 503 BA 0 Total Federal funds Departmental Management... BA 0 Total Trust funds Departmental Management Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts.Proprietary receipts from the public Total Federal funds ... . 500 BA 0 908 BA 0 BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. 14,725,985 14,080,162 8-80 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional cocki 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Education Activities—Con. Summary—Con. Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Total Education Activities BA 0 97 147 53 99 90 BA 0 14,726,082 14,080,309 13,833,025 14,396,268 13,137,770 13,496,261 Energy Activities Atomic Energy Defense Activities Federal funds General and Special Funds: Atomic energy defense activities Appropriation, current Outlays 053 BA 0 4,737,454 4,308,558 5,700,000 5,471,035 6,778,075 6,422,180 BA 0 529,360 507,443 535,358 547,123 645,250 633,550 BA 0 2,302,586 2,560,234 2,432,737 2,379,215 2,094,645 2,251,619 BA 0 1,806,000 1,248,420 1,834,319 1,866,150 40,000 BA 0 417,737 652,459 217,514 450,000 94,000 277,000 BA 0 213,142 259,081 222,000 257,110 266,100 268,171 BA 0 145,800 517,824 279,290 661,900 74,377 320,000 0 10,178 BA 0 145,800 528,002 279,290 661,900 74,377 320,000 BA 0 191,432 190,700 242,118 283,857 158,770 227,600 Energy Programs Federal funds General and Special Funds: General science and research activities Appropriation, current Outlays Energy supply, R&D activities Appropriation, current Outlays Uranium supply and enrichment activities Appropriation, current Outlays Fossil energy research and development Appropriation, current Outlays Naval petroleum and oil shale reserves Appropriation, current Outlays Energy conservation: (Energy conservation) (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Area and regional development) (Outlays) 251 271 271 271 271 272 452 Total Energy conservation Strategic petroleum reserve Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 274 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-81 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional c<xJe 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Energy Activities—Con. Energy Programs—Con. Energy Information administration Appropriation, current 276 BA 78,919 0 50,800 75,170 56,400 fl 946 60,386 BA 0 78,919 75,170 57,346 60,386 50,800 51,200 Appropriation, current BA 21,416 35,106 "875 22,591 Reappropriation Outlays BA 0 3,000 65,037 51,592 25,176 Total Emergency preparedness and energy regulation BA 0 24,416 65,037 35,981 51,592 22,591 25,176 34,582 Outlays.. Total Energy information administration 51,200 Emergency preparedness and energy regulation 276 Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Appropriation, current 276 BA Outlays.. Total Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Geothermal resources development fund Appropriation, current Outlays Alternative fuels production Outlays Payments to states under Federal Power Act Appropriation, permanent Outlays Nuclear waste disposal fund Appropriation, current Outlays 852 Trust funds Advances for cooperative work Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 271 76,177 0 79,917 76,839 2,988 80,890 BA 0 76,177 79,917 79,827 80,890 34,582 33,314 BA 0 2,200 2,200 2,100 2,100 D 33,314 271 271 0 BA 0 271 1,789 39,213 1,039 385 BA 0 23,491 544 1,045 570 544 145,677 306,675 277,271 BA 0 -1,100 22,148 24,000 34,000 Total Federal funds Energy Programs BA 0 5,788,808 6,207,850 5,937,034 6,810,636 3,750,460 4,407,545 Total Trust funds Energy Programs BA 0 -1,100 22,148 24,000 34,000 See footnotes at end of table. 380-000 0 - 83 - 2 7 : QL 3 8-82 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Energy Activities—Con. Power Marketing Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operation and maintenance, Alaska Power Administration 271 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 3,538 3,720 3,945 3,090 3,210 3,210 BA BA 0 275,570 56,393 249,500 205,500 50,900 324,500 -60,500 BA 0 275,570 56,393 455,000 50,900 324,500 -60,500 BA 0 7,237 3,748 3,964 7,090 20,594 19,566 Public Enterprise Funds: Bonneville Power Administration fund Authority to borrow, current Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite Outlays 271 Total Bonneville Power Administration fund General and Special Funds: Operation and maintenance, Southeastern Power Administration 271 Appropriation, current Outlays Continuing fund, Southeastern Power Administration 271 Appropriation, permanent Outlays BA 0 50 104 General and Special Funds: Operation and maintenance, Southwestern Power Administration 271 Appropriation, current Outlays Construction, rehabilitation, operation and maintenance, Western Area Power Administration 271 Appropriation, current Outlays Emergency fund, Western Area Power Administration 271 Appropriation, current Outlays BA 0 12,269 22,667 20,756 36,690 36,229 36,229 BA 0 210,774 112,511 149,750 216,463 219,630 186,500 BA 0 500 71 337 337 500 500 Public Enterprise Funds: Colorado river basins power marketing fund, Western Area Power Administration 271 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Power Marketing Administration BA 0 -3,331 -5,000 -5,000 509,938 195,883 633,752 309,570 604,663 180,505 362,139 345,496 379,902 351,405 141,872 141,872 Departmental Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Departmental administration Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 276 BA 0 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-83 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Energy Activities—Con. Departmental Administration—Con. Special foreign currency program Outlays 271 0 312 Total Federal funds Departmental Administration. BA 0 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 270 BA 379,902 351,405 141,872 141,872 11,398,339 11,058,099 12,650,688 12,942,646 11,275,070 11,152,102 _mQ _JJJg5 _g]m -3,993,849 -2,230,599 271 Q A -3,261,406 276 JA -136,350 -142,541 300 JA -11,052 -16,942 908 I" Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 362,139 345,808 -611 -611 -611 BA 0 7,918,110 7,577,870 8,418,960 8,710,918 8,944,557 8,821,589 BA 0 -1,100 22,148 24,000 34,000 271 BA « Total Trust funds 0 Total Energy Activities BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. -18,018 —24,000 -1,100 22,148 10,000 7,918,110 7,576,770 8,418,960 8,733,066 8,944,557 8,831,589 8-84 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services Health Programs Public Health Service Food and Drug Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Program expenses Appropriation, current 554 Outlays Total Program expenses Buildings and facilities Outlays BA 338,332 0 339,793 BA 0 338,332 339,793 349,130 4 5,000 G 714 356,613 *500 354,844 357,113 385,933 378,995 385,933 378,995 554 0 3,951 0 -290 8,153 12,000 Public Enterprise Funds: Revolving fund for certification and other services 554 Outlays Total Federal funds Food and Drug Administration BA 0 338,332 343,454 354,844 365,266 385,933 390,995 1,231,444 1,082,163 D 4,075 G 1,370 155,040 Health Resources and Services Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Health resources and services: (Health care services) (Appropriation, current) 551 BA L (Outlays) 0 1,545,563 1,256,884 -720 609,314 ^ —720 Total (Health care services) BA 0 1,231,444 1,545,563 1,087,608 1,256,884 154,320 608,594 (Health research) (Outlays) . See footnotes at end of table. 552 0 171 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-85 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. Total Health resources and services Indian health Appropriation, current.. 0 378,144 321,005 135,486 K 2,638 178,001 BA 0 238,558 378,144 233,063 321,005 138,124 178,001 BA 0 1,470,002 1,923,878 1,320,671 1,577,889 292,444 786,595 617,805 652,706 588,743 645,583 C 764 D 6,810 G 6,700 654,431 BA 0 617,805 588,743 659,857 654,431 652,706 655,466 65,185 34,700 - 6,700 72,269 47,196 58,352 65,185 28,000 72,269 47,196 551 Outlays Total Indian health.. 655,466 551 DO Indian health facilities Appropriation, current.. 233,063 DO Total (Education and training of health care work force) 238,558 CD (Outlays) BA CQ CD (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) CD Health Resources and Services Administration—Con. Outlays Total Indian health facilitiesEmergency health 58,352 F 054 Outlays Public Enterprise Funds: Health professions graduate student loan insurance fund 553 Outlays Health education loans 553 Outlays Nurse training fund 553 Outlays Medical facilities guarantee and loan fund 551 Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 0 3 0 -208 0 -3,176 0 BA 0 . -1,950 -1,953 -380 -15 -16 22,000 35,002 32,000 32,840 32,000 31,971 8-86 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. Health Resources and Services A dministration—Con. Health maintenance organization loan and loan guarantee fund 551 Appropriation, current, indefinite BA Outlays 0 17,500 -701 17,995 1,379 2,185,659 2,608,343 2,040,528 2,353,462 977,150 1,520,638 BA 237,880 215,403 (Outlays) 0 236,376 273,420 D 2,166 G 1,221 300,480 Total (Health care services) BA 0 237,880 236,376 276,807 300,480 215,403 226,096 BA 62,062 54,620 (Outlays) 0 86,761 56,281 D 770 G 433 67,614 43,534 Total (Health research) BA 0 62,062 86,761 57,484 67,614 54,620 43,534 Total Disease control BA 0 299,942 323,137 334,291 368,094 270,023 269,630 Total Federal funds Centers for Disease Control.. BA 0 299,942 323,137 334,291 368,094 270,023 269,630 963,888 996,550 958,135 987,928 965,393 967,782 22,729 19,423 25,441 22,087 23,870 22,213 986,617 1,015,973 983,576 1,010,015 989,263 989,995 Total Federal funds Health Resources and Services Administration BA 0 Centers for Disease Control Federal funds General and Special Funds: Disease control: (Health care services) (Appropriation, current) (Health research) (Appropriation, current) 551 226,096 552 National Institutes of Health Federal funds General and Special Funds: National Cancer Institute: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 Total National Cancer Institute See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-87 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code ' 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. National Institutes of Health—Con. National Heart, Lung (Health research) (Appropriation, (Outlays) (Education and force) (Appropriation, (Outlays) and Blood Institute: 552 current) training of health care work 553 current) Total National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute.... National Institute of Dental Research: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total National Institute of Dental Research National Institute of Arthritis, Diabetes, and Digestive and Kidney Diseases: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total National Institute of Arthritis, Diabetes, and Digestive and Kidney Diseases National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 534,296 558,856 592,202 583,063 596,446 593,426 BA 0 25,341 26,507 30,543 30,072 31,582 31,385 BA 559,637 622,745 628,028 0 585,363 613,135 624,811 68,071 64,120 74,417 69,353 76,539 74,018 4,443 4,427 4,044 4,725 BA 0 BA 0 3,912 4,311 BA 71,983 78,860 80,583 0 68,431 73,780 78,743 BA 0 349,549 335,431 392,252 391,579 399,286 396,195 BA 0 18,642 20,151 19,930 18,960 20,312 20,074 BA 368,191 412,182 419,598 0 355,582 410,539 416,269 BA 0 257,246 233,346 285,404 277,941 290,827 286,668 BA 0 8,655 9,578 10,315 9,042 10,195 10,265 BA 265,901 295,719 301,022 0 242,924 286,983 296,933 8-88 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. National Institutes of Health—Con. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 264,277 249,906 272,175 266,313 9,304 8,798 9,230 9,011 235,895 201,244 273,581 258,704 281,405 275,324 BA 0 292,365 320,851 319,151 314,140 327,361 324,284 BA 0 47,497 52,224 50,410 49,623 47,471 47,058 Total National Institute of General Medical Sciences BA 0 339,862 373,075 369,561 363,763 374,832 371,342 216,518 234,341 243,410 233,351 246,682 243,918 10,245 9,720 10,666 9,800 226,309 243,678 253,655 243,071 257,348 253,718 123,718 135,019 137,441 133,310 139,107 138,418 Total National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases BA 0 National Institute of General Medical Sciences: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) National Institute of Child Health and Human Development: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) BA 0 BA 0 Total National Institute of Child Health and Human Development BA 0 National Eye Institute: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total National Eye Institute See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 228,214 194,698 7,681 6,546 9,791 9,337 3,656 3,140 127,374 138,159 4,120 3,535 141,561 136,845 4,169 3,216 143,276 141,634 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-89 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. National Institutes of Health—Con. National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) BA 99,672 157,340 161,679 0 62,298 153,534 159,909 BA 6,598 7,027 5,042 0 4,124 6,857 4,981 Total National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences National Institute on Aging: (Health research) (Appropriation, current) (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total National Institute on Aging (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total Research resources (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) Total National Library of Medicine See footnotes at end of table. BA 79,422 91,378 93,147 0 86,724 86,880 91,788 BA 2,481 2,618 2,523 0 2,710 2,499 2,338 BA 81,903 93,996 95,670 0 89,434 89,379 94,126 BA 183,473 213,072 227,771 0 181,233 219,079 221,696 BA 0 704 694 732 747 771 756 BA 184,177 213,804 228,542 0 181,927 219,826 222,452 BA 9,205 10,147 11,588 0 9,957 8,348 10,102 552 (Outlays) (Outlays) 166,721 164,890 552 Outlays National Library of Medicine: (Health research) (Appropriation, current) 164,367 160,391 552 (Outlays) John E. Fogarty International Center Appropriation, current 106,270 66,422 552 (Outlays) Research resources: (Health research) (Appropriation, current) BA 0 BA 12,229 12,267 12,770 0 12,665 11,898 12,453 BA 32,806 33,776 36,846 0 33,975 33,798 35,931 BA 45,035 46,043 49,616 0 46,640 45,696 48,384 8-90 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. National Institutes of Health—Con. Office of the Director: (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 Total Office of the Director Buildings and facilities Appropriation, current Outlays 21,813 22,439 1,805 1,846 22,754 23,938 1,929 1,884 24,782 24,771 2,038 2,034 BA 0 23,618 24,285 24,683 25,822 26,820 26,805 BA 0 9,898 24,830 17,500 13,038 22,780 16,552 3,641,875 3,664,695 4,001,980 3,959,335 4,077,092 4,032,080 432,000 656,017 439,000 492,398 110,311 265,730 291,942 301,126 297,443 340,124 . 323,770 63,277 100,676 37,430 59,264 17,702 34,659 761,007 1,048,635 777,556 849,105 357,826 468,740 6,240 11,880 10,021 552 Intragovernmental Funds: National Institutes of Health management fund 552 Outlays Service and supply fund Outlays 0 -4,891 552 0 Total Federal funds National Institutes of Health. BA 0 1,662 Alcohol, Drug Abuse, and Mental Health Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Alcohol, drug abuse, and mental health: (Health care services) 551 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 (Health research) 552 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 (Education and training of health care work force) 553 (Appropriation, current) BA (Outlays) 0 Total Alcohol, drug abuse, and mental health BA 0 Construction and renovation, Saint Elizabeths Hospital 551 Outlays : 0 See footnotes at end of table. THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-91 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. Alcohol, Drug Abuse, and Mental Health Administration—Con. Federal subsidy for Saint Elizabeths Hospital Appropriation, current Outlays 551 BA 0 95,418 63,120 76,505 86,576 62,744 64,614 Total Federal funds Alcohol, Drug Abuse, and Mental Health Administration BA 0 856,425 1,117,995 854,061 947,561 420,570 543,375 78,535 59,162 Office of Assistant Secretary for Health Federal funds General and Special Funds: Public health service management: (Health care services) (Appropriation, current) 551 (Outlays) 0 106,680 35,279 G 981 53,815 Total (Health care services) BA 0 78,535 106,680 36,260 53,815 59,162 57,294 BA 54,807 63,770 65,566 56,715 1,281 57,016 54,807 65,566 133,342 172,246 57,996 57,016 94,256 110,831 63,770 60,628 122,932 117,922 (Health research) (Appropriation, current) BA 552 (Outlays) 0 Total (Health research) BA 0 BA 0 Total Public health service management Grants to States for health Appropriation, current Outlays Total Grants to States for health G BA 1,196,417 165,312 849,781 L 107,452 L 0 BA 0 1,361,729 957,233 BA 0 105,941 98,600 77,102 80,921 Total Retirement pay and medical benefits for commissioned officers BA 0 105,941 98,600 77,102 80,921 See footnotes at end of table. 60,628 551 Retirement pay and medical benefits for commissioned officers 551 Appropriation, current BA Indefinite Outlays 57,294 L 81,777 -2,894 L 84,467 -2,894 78,883 81,573 8-92 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Public Health Service—Con. Office of Assistant Secretary for Health—Con. Scientific activities overseas (special foreign currency program) 552 Outlays Intragovernmental Funds: Service and supply fund Outlays 0 3,823 0 -1,353 5,364 5,085 551 Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite 551 Outlays Total Federal funds Office of Assistant Secretary for Health Total Trust funds Office of Assistant Secretary for Health Total Federal funds Public Health Service BA 8,545 8,124 8,124 0 6,918 8,303 8,196 BA 239,283 171,358 1,563,544 0 273,316 197,116 1,161,813 BA 8,545 8,124 8,124 0 6,918 8,303 8,196 7,561,516 8,330,940 7,757,062 8,190,834 7,694,312 7,918,531 BA 8,545 8,124 8,124 0 6,918 8,303 8,196 BA 0 Total Trust funds Public Health Service Other Health Programs Health Care Financing Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Grants to States for Medicaid Appropriation, current 551 BA 18,013,821 14,794,512 L Outlays Total Grants to States for Medicaid Payments to health care trust funds Appropriation, current Outlays Total Payments to health care trust funds See footnotes at end of table. 21,037,878 -300,300 0 17,390,734 19,333,069 ^-7,000 21,092,233 ^ —293,300 BA 18,013,821 14,794,512 20,737,578 0 17,390,734 19,326,069 20,798,933 BA 14,338,000 15,347,000 17,291,000 0 14,338,012 15,347,000 J 82,000 17,291,000 ^82,000 BA 14,338,000 15,347,000 17,373,000 0 14,338,012 15,347,000 17,373,000 551 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-93 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Health Programs—Con. Other Health Programs—Con. Health Care Financing Con. Administration- Program management: (Health care services) (Appropriation, current) 551 BA 69,795 0 54,798 72,905 1,654 74,559 63,038 D (Outlays) Total (Health care services) (Health research) (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) 63,038 BA 69,795 74,559 63,038 0 54,798 74,559 63,038 BA 0 11,500 30,305 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 BA 81,295 94,559 83,038 0 85,103 94,559 83,038 552 Total Program management Trust funds Federal hospital insurance trust fund Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 551 BA BA 0 J 37,610,687 34,864,031 360,000 44,103,000 45,342,561 28,025,700 39,297,352 J ~ 1,031,227 Total Federal hospital insurance trust fund Federal supplementary medical insurance fund Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Total Federal supplementary medical insurance trust fund Total Federal funds Health Care Financing Administration Total Trust funds Health Care Financing Administration Total Trust funds Health Programs See footnotes at end of table. 37,610,687 28,025,700 44,463,000 34,864,031 39,297,352 44,311,334 BA BA 17,626,989 0 15,558,821 trust 551 Outlays Total Federal funds Health Programs BA 0 J -129,000 19,199,000 18,065,024 ~ 100,000 J J -22,000 21,897,000 J 21,194,115 -824,819 BA 17,626,989 19,070,000 21,875,000 0 15,558,821 17,965,024 20,369,296 BA 32,433,116 30,236,071 38,193,616 0 31,813,849 34,767,628 38,254,971 BA 0 55,237,676 50,422,852 47,095,700 57,262,376 66,338,000 64,680,630 BA 39,994,632 37,993,133 45,887,928 0 40,144,789 42,958,462 46,173,502 BA 55,246,221 47,103,824 66,346,124 0 50,429,770 57,270,679 64,688,826 8-94 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Social Security Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Payments to social security trust funds Appropriation, current 601 Outlays Total Payments to social security trust funds Special benefits for disabled coal miners Appropriation, current Outlays Supplemental security income program Appropriation, current Total Assistance payments program Total Child support enforcement Total Low income home energy assistance See footnotes at end of table. 843,515 BA 0 843,658 843,515 20,755,213 20,755,213 418,583 418,583 BA 0 1,099,065 1,091,774 1,093,000 1,088,000 1,027,047 1,032,047 BA 7,769,436 0 7,676,650 8,458,616 L 85,000 8,760,297 L 85,000 BA 0 7,769,436 7,676,650 8,543,616 8,845,297 7,851,518 7,850,118 BA 6,006,179 7,751,448 G 500 7,816,406 0 7,989,656 7,766,790 -722,000 7,816,406 ^ —722,000 BA 0 6,006,179 7,989,656 7,751,948 7,766,790 7,094,406 7,094,406 7,510,618 340,900 7,509,218 ^340,900 L L 609 Outlays Outlays 838,583 -420,000 838,583 ^-420,000 J 609 Outlays Low income home energy assistance Appropriation, current 0 855,213 19,900,000 855,213 •'19,900,000 J 609 Total Supplemental security income program Child support enforcement Appropriation, current 843,658 601 Outlays Assistance payments program Appropriation, current BA BA 471,000 426,463 -10,000 445,650 L -10,000 0 456,377 BA 0 471,000 456,377 416,463 435,650 1,975,000 A 11,000 1,960,284 A 2,750 1,300,000 1,986,000 1,963,034 1,300,000 1,398,250 L 609 BA 1,875,000 0 1,687,147 BA 0 1,875,000 1,687,147 1,390,000 ^8,250 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-95 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Social Security Administration—Con. Refugee and entrant assistance Appropriation, current 609 BA Outlays Total Refugee and entrant assistance 0 1,011,251 585,000 -6,500 631,552 BA 0 689,070 1,011,251 578,500 631,552 Payments to states from receipts for child support 609 Appropriation, permanent BA Outlays 0 689,070 F 571 526 485,328 485,328 520,676 520,676 450 566 450 450 Trust funds Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund 601 Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays BA BA 0 J 20,500,000 145,502,521 154,443,217 126,629,045 137,928,747 J -1,856,000 Total Federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund BA 0 Federal disability insurance trust fund Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays J 10,383,117 139,163,780 142,768,375 ' 23,764,713 J -3,716,000 126,629,045 137,928,747 166,002,521 152,587,217 149,546,897 162,817,088 21,398,044 18,035,351 18,667,992 18,103,296 J - 200,000 (3,408,451) D (103,434) 26,395,803 18,367,473 '-424,000 (3,723,317) 601 BA 0 Limitation on administrative expenses (3,131,000) Total Federal disability insurance trust fund BA 0 21,398,044 18,035,351 18,667,992 17,903,296 26,395,803 17,943,473 Total Federal funds Social Security Administration BA O 18,282,979 20,300,519 41,179,727 41,506,829 18,593,795 18,750,180 Total Trust funds Social Security Administration.. BA 0 148,027,089 155,964,098 184,670,513 170,490,513 175,942,700 180,760,561 2,400,000 2,567,499 2,450,000 2,570,664 2,500,000 2,500,000 Human Development Services Federal funds General and Special Funds: Social services block grant Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 506 BA 0 8-96 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Human Development Services—Con. Human development services Appropriation, current 506 Outlays Total Human development services Human resources research and demonstration Appropriation, current Outlays Family social services Appropriation, current Outlays Work incentives Appropriation, current Outlays Community services Appropriation, current BA 1,717,740 2,193,446 1,636,672 1,717,740 1,636,672 1,765,535 G 1,414 1,752,624 1,766,949 1,752,624 0 BA 0 BA 0 21,999 28,525 21,999 23,193 9,250 21,225 BA 0 464,949 389,450 560,149 565,104 601,496 589,805 BA 0 280,760 234,541 270,760 314,668 26,376 BA 365,817 100,309 2,852 100,309 2,032,050 2,193,446 2,032,050 506 506 504 506 Outlays Total Community services 0 253,038 360,500 ^ —1,414 370,325 BA 0 365,817 253,038 359,086 370,325 2,852 Public Enterprise Funds: Rural development loan fund 452 Outlays 0 Community development credit union revolving loan fund 452 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Human Development Services BA 0 -10,503 896 -148 -1,000 -900 -1,000 5,251,265 5,100,118 5,428,943 5,595,530 5,307,044 5,267,765 BA 0 146,601 133,518 158,143 156,543 169,963 168,298 BA 0 69,983 52,542 81,267 79,870 88,263 86,137 BA 0 17,460 17,051 19,163 19,625 19,363 19,584 Departmental Management Federal funds General and Special Funds: General Departmental management Appropriation, current Outlays Office of the Inspector General Appropriation, current Outlays Office for Civil Rights Appropriation, current Outlays Office of Consumer Affairs Appropriation, current Outlays Policy research Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 609 609 751 506 BA 0 1,848 1,934 1,947 1,952 2,011 2,006 609 BA 0 13,440 21,560 14,718 14,082 11,000 12,681 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-97 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Healtl1 and Human Services—Con. Departmental Management—Con. Total Federal funds Departmental Management... 0 -668 824 CD OO 506 249,332 225,937 275,238 272,896 290,600 288,706 CD CO Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund Outlays 63,778,208 65,771,363 84,877,041 90,333,717 70,079,367 70,480,153 Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 500 CD CO Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) CD CO 908 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Intrafund transactions BA 0 601 BA 908 551 0 BA 0 BA 0 -67 554 601 908 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 BA -581 -571 J J 554 14,889 554 -27,304 -26,724 -4,554 -3,754 -6,691 63,786,339 65,779,494 84,845,156 90,301,832 70,048,872 70,449,658 203,273,310 206,393,868 231,774,337 227,761,192 242,288,824 245,449,387 -1,819,634 -2,223,000 -2,513,000 -42,480 -1,028,000 -1,931,000 -3,855,632 -4,357,000 -5,012,000 CD CO Proprietary receipts from the public CD CO BA 0 550 BA 0 J -7,219 J 126,000 -7,219 -7,219 -24,000 -14,000 -156 -2 J CD OO 0 Total Trust funds Interfund transactions 551 601 See footnotes at end of table. 380-000 O - 83 - 28 : QL 3 BA 0 BA 0 BA 0 160,000 -3,000 197,548,187 200,668,745 224,261,118 220,247,973 232,968,605 236,129,168 -14,338,022 -15,347,000 -17,291,000 J -843,515 -855,213 -82,000 -838,583 8-98 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Health and Human Services—Con. Summary—Con. BA 0 Total Department of Health and Human Services BA 0 -19,900,000 246,152,989 251,266,702 273,004,061 274,447,592 J 420,000 285,225,894 288,787,243 Department of Housing and Urban Development Housing Programs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Subsidized housing programs Contract authority, current Indefinite Contract authority, permanent Liquidation of contract authority, current Outlays 604 BA BA BA Total Subsidized housing programs 0 30,258 (8,379,758) 6,880,150 5,821,116 -1,579,231 24,666 (9,538,000) 7,774,000 23,800 (10,697,000) 8,532,000 BA 0 12,245,387 6,880,150 4,266,551 7,774,000 -2,319,389 8,532,000 Indian housing 604 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Payments, for operation of low income housing projects 604 Appropriation, current BA 12,215,129 A '76,000 '40,357 1,490,906 1,350,000 * 1,636,500 H Reappropriation Outlays -2,343,189 -69,000 597 1,582,000 H -31,000 1,558,000 "-38,000 BA 0 1,007,558 Total Payments for operation of low income housing projects BA 0 1,490,906 1,007,558 1,281,597 1,551,000 1,636,500 1,520,000 BA 0 4,000 28,644 23,000 13,000 BA 0 3,073 4,000 4,600 6,200 BA 0 3,520 3,009 Troubled projects operating subsidy Appropriation, current Outlays Congregate services program Appropriation, current Outlays Housing counseling assistance Appropriation, current Outlays Mobile home standards program Outlays Manufactured home inspection and monitoring Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 604 604 506 376 0 3,000 3,000 8 198 376 BA 0 3,500 3,539 4,431 5,016 7,847 5,700 5,700 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-99 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Housing and Urban Development—Con. Housing Programs—Con. Interstate land sales Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 376 BA 0 183 180 363 180 180 BA BA 0 117,148 86,123 -236,648 111,630 71,800 -328,663 79,640 46,940 -1,546,251 BA 0 203,271 -236,648 183,430 -328,663 126,580 -1,546,251 0 -21,118 101,973 135,648 BA 0 710,014 742,379 564,358 255,277 436,102 50,677 0 -78 250 150 0 -327 -278 -248 0 29 2,513 BA 0 84 -27,872 962 -24,449 BA 0 84 -27,872 962 -24,449 897 -14,273 -37,430 8,746,140 Public Enterprise Funds: Federal Housing Administration fund Appropriation, current, indefinite Authority to borrow, permanent Outlays 371 Total Federal Housing Administration fund Low-rent public housing-loans and other expenses 604 Outlays Housing for the elderly or handicapped fund 371 Authority to borrow, current, indefinite Outlays , Nonprofit sponsor assistance 604 Outlays Community disposal operations fund 451 Outlays Rental housing assistance fund 604 Outlays Revolving fund (liquidating programs) 451 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Revolving fund (liquidating programs) L 897 -6,596 -7,677 Intragovernmental Funds: Disaster assistance fund Outlays 453 -4,739 Total Federal funds Housing Programs . BA 0 14,660,904 8,378,499 6,309,594 9,370,631 BA 1,880 1,764 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA 205 116 Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite Outlays BA 0 1,099,217 1,666,402 1,432,740 BA 0 1,101,302 1,666,402 1,880 1,432,740 Government National Mortgage Association Federal funds Public Enterprise Funds: Special assistance functions fund Appropriation, current Total Special assistance functions fund. See footnotes at end of table. 371 1,100 -1,100 100 ^ —100 L 1,399,400 --1,399,400 8-100 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Housing and Urban Development—Con. Government National Mortgage Association—Con. Emergency mortgage purchase assistance Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite 371 BA Outlays 0 -37,412 -227,197 Total Emergency mortgage purchase assistance.. 0 —37,412 —227,197 Management and liquidating functions fund Appropriation, current, indefinite Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 247,830 -247,830 247,830 ^ —247,830 L 371 L BA BA 0 -23,883 -10,000 Total Management and liquidating functions fund BA 0 -23,883 -10,000 1,200 796,171 0 -118,935 -155,600 -182,000 0 17,534 -21,253 -23,138 0 -15,938 -14,981 Guarantees of mortgage-backed securities Outlays Participation sales fund: (Mortgage credit and thrift insurance) (Outlays) (Other advancement of commerce) (Outlays) (Community development) (Outlays) (Higher education) (Outlays) (Health research) (Outlays) (Veterans housing) (Outlays) 1,100 MOO -8,700 L 804,871 371 371 376 [. -16,961 451 0 611 647 400 502 O -2,701 -10,886 -18,609 552 O -763 -591 -592 704 Total Participation sales fund 0 -18,539 -15,762 -16,484 0 -19,796 -62,826 -75,384 Total Federal funds Government National Mortgage Association BA 0 1,101,302 1,466,376 1,880 977,117 1,200 538,787 Solar Energy and Energy Conservation Bank Federal funds General and Special Funds: Assistance for solar and conservation improvements 272 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Total Assistance for solar and conservation improvements BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. 21,850 21,850 20,000 ^ —11,000 10,675 -1 —2,750 31,175 ^-8,250 9,000 7,925 22,925 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-101 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Housing and Urban Development—Con. Community Planning and Development Federal funds General and Special Funds: Community development grants Appropriation, current 451 Outlays Total Community development grants.. Urban development action grants Appropriation, current 6A 3,456,000 3,456,000 0 3,791,621 3,525,000 "3,500,000 3,526,000 BA 0 3,456,000 3,791,621 3,456,000 3,525,000 3,500,000 3,526,000 BA 435,100 440,000 BA 0 38,611 387,895 488,300 512,000 BA 0 473,711 387,895 440,000 488,300 196,000 512,000 BA 0 11,639 * 12,000 20,361 "12,000 12,000 451 "196,000 Reappropriation.. Outlays Total Urban development action grantsUrban homesteading Appropriation, current Outlays Rental rehabilitation grants Appropriation, current Planning assistance Appropriation, current Outlays Neighborhood self-help development program Outlays Miscellaneous appropriations Outlays Public Enterprise Funds: Rehabilitation loan fund Outlays 451 451 BA 150,000 451 BA 0 -1,026 4,455 19,548 451 0 925 3,705 451 0 2,282 818 451 Urban renewal programs 451 Liquidation of contract authority, permanentOutlays Total Federal funds Community Planning and Development BA 0 -23,183 1,000 (92,652) 89,607 (70,000) 69,850 (50,000) 49,935 3,928,685 4,281,650 3,908,000 4,112,173 3,858,000 4,099,935 -882 918 1,032 New Community Development Corporation Federal funds General and Special Funds: New community assistance grants Appropriation, current, indefinite Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 451 BA 0 8-102 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Housing and Urban Development—Con. New Community Development Corporation— Con. Public Enterprise Funds: New communities fund Authority to borrow, permanent, indefinite 451 BA 18,587 32,396 BA 0 12,366 15,983 77,275 37,122 BA 0 30,953 15,983 109,671 37,122 . Total Federal funds New Community Development Corporation BA 0 30,071 16,901 109,671 38,154 . Contract authority, permanent, indefinite Outlays Total New communities fund. L 26,100 -26,100 L 30,100 -30,100 Policy Development and Research Federal funds General and Special Funds: Research and technology Appropriation, current.., 451 BA 20,000 18,000 26,699 25,440 22,000 BA 0 20,000 26,699 18,000 25,440 18,000 22,000 BA 0 5,016 2,360 5,700 10,800 4,700 6,400 BA 0 194,800 196,152 201,660 205,056 191,350 191,591 BA 0 102,720 103,433 82,578 83,969 87,782 87,893 BA 0 21,980 22,132 23,262 23,654 23,975 24,005 Total Salaries and expenses, Including transfer of funds BA 0 319,500 321,717 307,500 312,679 303,107 303,489 Outlays Total Research and technology K 18,000 Fair Housing and Equal Opportunity Federal funds General and Special Funds: Fair housing assistance Appropriation, current Outlays 751 Management and Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses, Including transfer of funds: (Community development) 451 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Public assistance and other income supplements) 604 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Federal law enforcement activities) 751 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) See footnotes at end of table. THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-103 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Housing and Urban Development—Con. Management and Administration—Con. Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund Appropriation, current Outlays 451 BA 0 528 -432 467 BA 0 - 1 10 10 Total Federal funds Management and Administration BA 0 320,028 321,285 Trust funds Gifts and bequests Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 451 Total Trust funds Management and Administration BA 0 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 450 BA Q 908 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) J A BA 0 Total Department of Housing and Urban Development BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. 303,107 303,489 10 10 -1 10 10 20,087,856 14,493,770 10,669,345 14,855,386 4,147,577 13,739,676 —500 —500 496 -3,622 -1,800 -1800 20,084,730 14,490,644 10,667,045 14,853,086 4,145,277 13,737,376 BA 0 307,500 313,146 10 10 10 10 -A 10 10 20,084,730 14,490,643 10,667,055 14,853,096 4,145,287 13,737,386 8-104 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Interior Land and Water Resources Bureau of Land Management Federal funds General and Special Funds: Management of lands and resources Appropriation, current 302 Outlays Total Management of lands and resources Construction and access Appropriation, current Outlays Land acquisition Appropriation, current Outlays Payments in lieu of taxes Appropriation, current Outlays Oregon and California grant lands Appropriation, current BA 414,269 330,226 ^45,000 D 4,595 317,101 -* 45,000 352,563 0 385,549 8A 0 414,269 385,549 379,821 362,101 352,563 335,422 BA 0 12,211 12,996 2,243 4,359 1,200 1,132 302 302 BA 0 3,712 346 BA 0 95,520 95,533 96,320 96,320 96,320 96,320 BA 52,788 49,136 0 51,432 56,963 "657 54,351 BA 0 52,788 51,432 57,620 54,351 49,136 47,802 13,226 11,864 11,199 11,199 10,000 9,750 Range improvements 302 Appropriation, current, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Recreation development and operation of recreation facilities 302 Outlays 0 Service charges, deposits, and forfeitures 302 Appropriation, current, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Payments from proceeds, sale of water 301 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Miscellaneous permanent appropriations: (Conservation and land management) 302 (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) BA (Outlays) 0 (Other general purpose fiscal assistance) 852 (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) BA (Outlays) 0 Total Miscellaneous permanent appropriations..... BA 0 3 6,341 6,370 22 13,000 12,500 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 639,092 639,433 600,907 600,707 57,828 57,628 641,407 639,659 604,907 604,707 61,828 61,628 2 2,315 226 302 0 47,802 10,000 9,503 Intragovernmental Funds: 130 130 302 Total Oregon and California grant lands See footnotes at end of table. 311 2,929 852 Outlays Working capital fund Outlays 335,422 -2,802 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-105 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Land and Water Resources—Con. Bureau of Land Management—Con. Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, current, indefinite Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 302 Total Miscellaneous trust funds BA BA 0 -19 1,241 936 100 600 700 BA 1,222 700 700 936 700 614 0 Total Federal funds Bureau of Land Management Total Trust funds Bureau of Land Management... 100 600 614 BA 1,239,476 1,162,421 584,177 0 1,200,950 1,145,491 564,684 1,222 700 700 936 700 614 BA 0 Bureau of Reclamation Federal funds General and Special Funds: Loan program Appropriation, current Outlays Construction program Appropriation, current 301 Total Construction program 25,106 26,453 41,500 41,500 BA 548,505 699,388 0 569,315 577,470 C 586 D 2,019 582,449 BA 548,505 580,075 699,388 0 569,315 582,449 695,544 41,173 31,831 38,754 695,544 301 BA Outlays Total General investigations Emergency fund Appropriation, current Outlays Operation and maintenance Appropriation, current 22,614 29,458 301 Outlays General investigations Appropriation, current BA 0 0 55,993 38,474 D 397 49,503 BA 41,173 38,871 31,831 0 55,993 49,503 38,754 BA 0 8,066 1,919 3,000 1,000 1,000 BA 118,518 119,866 145,091 301 301 C Outlays Total Operation and maintenance See footnotes at end of table. 0 113,350 365 D 1,293 130,892 BA 118,518 121,524 145,091 0 113,350 130,892 145,191 145,191 8-106 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Land and Water Resources—Con. Bureau of Reclamation—Con. General administrative expenses Appropriation, current 301 Outlays Total General administrative expenses Miscellaneous permanent appropriations Appropriation, permanent Indefinite Outlays BA 39,928 39,767 39,928 D 799 41,180 0 BA 0 53,400 53,484 39,928 39,767 40,727 41,180 53,400 53,484 852 Total Miscellaneous permanent appropriations BA BA 0 600 1,867 2,383 600 2,100 2,700 600 2,100 2,700 BA 0 2,467 2,383 2,700 2,700 2,700 2,700 5,402 5,418 773,205 810,290 13,800 13,800 810,922 836,177 27,675 27,675 974,910 978,173 5,402 5,418 2,012,681 2,011,240 13,800 13,800 1,973,343 1,981,668 27,675 27,675 1,559,087 1,542,857 Public Enterprise Funds: Colorado River Basin project Outlays Upper Colorado River storage project Outlays 301 0 -17,990 0 9,948 301 Trust funds Reclamation trust funds 301 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Bureau of Reclamation BA 0 Total Trust funds Bureau of Reclamation BA 0 Total Federal funds Land and Water Resources... BA 0 Total Trust funds Land and Water Resources BA 0 6,624 6,354 14,500 14,500 28,375 28,289 BA 226,722 241,987 C 138 D 1,392 246,340 0 238,613 261,283 '2,628 252,598 J 2,628 BA 0 226,722 238,613 243,517 261,283 248,968 255,226 Fish and Wildlife and Parks United States Fish and Wildlife Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Resource management Appropriation, current Outlays Total Resource management See footnotes at end of table. 303 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-107 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Fish and Wildlife and Parks—Con. United States Fish and Wildlife Con. Service- Construction Appropriation, current Outlays Land acquisition Appropriation, current Outlays Migratory bird conservation account Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 303 BA 0 10,683 32,554 16,665 22,420 14,400 BA 0 16,491 11,033 27,200 22,144 14,878 BA BA 0 1,200 15,845 17,092 2,000 16,376 18,066 10,024 BA 0 17,045 17,092 18,376 18,066 0 39 13 BA BA 0 5,760 7,054 11,579 5,760 6,740 11,645 5,760 6,778 12,938 BA 0 12,814 11,579 12,500 11,645 12,538 12,938 BA 0 154,498 146,419 146,936 157,198 171,100 167,565 BA 0 3,210 3,301 3,750 3,600 3,572 3,429 BA 0 438,253 457,329 465,194 492,769 472,382 484,895 Total Trust funds United States Fish and Wildlife Service BA 0 3,210 3,301 3,750 3,600 3,572 3,429 521,528 599,792 509,431 567,760 c 2,042 D 6,977 577,340 521,528 509,431 576,779 577,340 599,792 599,335 303 303 Total Migratory bird conservation account 25,376 25,376 24,264 24,264 Development and operation of recreation facilities 303 Outlays National wildlife refuge fund Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent Outlays 852 Total National wildlife refuge fund Miscellaneous permanent appropriations 303 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Trust funds Contributed funds 303 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Total Federal funds United States Fish and Wildlife Service National Park Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operation of the national park system Appropriation, current 303 BA Outlays Total Operation of the national park system See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 599,335 8-108 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 Department of the Interior—Con. Fish and Wildlife and Parks—Con. National Park Service—Con. National recreation and preservation Appropriation, current 303 Outlays.. Total National recreation and preservation Construction Appropriation, current BA 12,607 0 11,053 9,887 D 168 11,066 BA 0 12,607 .11,053 10,055 11,066 BA 95,852 0 86,768 BA 0 303 Outlays Total Construction 78,275 159,096 -63,600 181,962 -15,900 115,527 "-47,700 95,852 86,768 95,496 166,062 78,275 67,827 2,120 2,895 4,212 4,247 3,964 35 54 4,334 4,331 4,212 3,964 4,336 4,334 4,342 4,331 BA 0 7,680 31,910 36,000 30,000 BA BA 0 -30,000 30,000 272,901 30,000 BA 0 272,901 BA 0 133,462 54,345 142,505 306,000 0 1,546 741 BA 0 25,440 36,723 26,000 25,024 212 83 Road construction 303 Outlays 0 John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts 303 Appropriation, current BA H H * 4,342 C D Outlays.. 0 Total John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts BA 0 Urban park and recreation fund Appropriation, current Outlays Land and water conservation fund Contract authority, current Contract authority, permanent Outlays 303 303 Total Land and water conservation fund Land acquisition 303 Appropriation, current Outlays Planning, development, and operation of recreation facilities 303 Outlays Historic preservation fund 303 Appropriation, current Outlays Commemorative activities fund 303 Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 0 30,000 54,671 267,000 13,985 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-109 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Fish and Wildlife and Parks—Con. National Park Service—Con. Miscellaneous permanent appropriations Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 303 BA 0 445 445 411 443 405 354 126 3,373 BA 0 1,163 958 1,700 1,700 1,660 1,660 Total Federal funds National Park Service. BA 0 Total Trust funds National Park Service BA 0 801,192 1,011,416 1,163 1,084 885,576 1,129,899 1,700 5,073 1,350,770 1,622,668 737,525 982,923 1,660 1,660 Trust funds Construction (trust fund) Outlays Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 401 303 Total Federal funds Fish and Wildlife and Parks.. BA 0 Total Trust funds Fish and Wildlife and Parks BA 0 1,239,445 1,468,745 4,373 4,385 BA 507,846 363,389 C 165 D 6,730 BA 0 499,411 409,987 8,500 373,426 BA 0 507,846 499,411 370,284 409,987 359,428 373,426 6,400 5,900 500 29,295 275 5,450 8,673 1,209,907 1,467,818 5,232 5,089 Energy and Minerals Geological Survey Federal funds General and Special Funds: Surveys, investigations and research Appropriation, current 306 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Total Surveys, investigations and research Barrow area gas operation, exploration, and development 271 Appropriation, current Outlays Exploration of national petroleum reserve in Alaska 271 Appropriation, current Outlays BA 0 BA 0 2,196 32,283 350,928 Intragovernmental Funds: Digitial cartography Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 306 BA 0 6,028 5,485 8-110 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Energy and Minerals—Con. Geological Survey—Con. Trust funds Contributed funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 306 BA 0 Total Federal funds Geological Survey BA 0 Total Trust funds Geological Survey BA 0 500 500 510,042 531,694 376,684 445,182 500 500 500 500 365,456 379,686 500 500 Minerals Management Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Minerals and royalty management Appropriation, current 302 BA Outlays Total Minerals and royalty management 155,518 0 196,506 C 2 * 1,987 166,021 BA 0 198,495 166,021 155,518 164,603 Payments to states from receipts under Mineral Leasing Act 852 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 164,603 995,434 995,434 Total Federal funds Minerals Management Service BA 0 198,495 166,021 1,150,952 1,160,037 63,497 Office of Surface Mining Reclamation and Enforcement Federal funds General and Special Funds: Regulation and technology Appropriation, current 302 BA 58,515 0 64,167 60,461 D 522 59,050 BA 0 58,515 64,167 60,983 59,050 63,497 63,041 BA 0 115,333 54,596 161,209 82,062 218,802 117,143 Total Federal funds Office of Surface Mining Reclamation and Enforcement BA 0 173,848 118,763 222,192 141,112 282,299 180,184 Outlays Total Regulation and technology Abandoned mine reclamation fund Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 63,041 302 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-111 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Energy and Minerals—Con. Bureau of Mines Federal funds General and Special Funds: Mines and minerals Appropriation, current 306 BA Outlays Total Mines and minerals Drainage of anthracite mines Outlays 150,602 0 158,288 143,053 D 1,515 168,452 BA 0 150,602 158,288 144,568 168,452 117,583 117,583 132,863 132,863 306 0 26 Public Enterprise Funds: Helium fund Outlays 306 0 Trust funds Contributed funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays -6,659 306 BA 0 Total Federal funds Bureau of Mines BA 0 Total Trust funds Bureau of Mines BA 0 Total Federal funds Energy and Minerals BA 0 Total Trust funds Energy and Minerals..-. BA 0 244 682 150,602 151,655 244 682 834,492 802,112 244 682 800 800 144,568 168,452 800 800 941,939 920,767 1,300 1,300 800 800 117,583 132,863 800 800 1,916,290 1,852,770 1,300 1,300 Indian Affairs Bureau of Indian Affairs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operation of Indian programs-. (Conservation and land management) (Appropriation, current) 302 BA 84,743 84,341 89,283 M4,000 c 90 "810 (Outlays) 0 83,050 81,802 A 14,000 85,700 Total (Conservation and land management) BA 0 84,743 83,050 99,241 95,802 89,283 85,700 See footnotes at end of table. 8-112 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Indian Affairs—Con. Bureau of Indian Affairs—Con. (Area and regional development) (Appropriation, current) 452 BA 478,223 503,164 472,197 495,062 c 1,864 D 2,017 484,404 (Outlays) 0 Total (Area and regional development) BA 0 478,223 472,197 498,943 484,404 503,164 483,150 (Elementary, secondary, and vocational education) 501 (Appropriation, current) BA 265,606 249,068 260,380 264,105 c 1,000 D 1,688 256,304 265,606 260,380 266,793 256,304 249,068 239,663 BA 0 828,572 815,627 864,977 836,510 841,515 808,513 BA 0 94,628 108,317 67,250 71,000 55,875 65,675 BA 0 47,160 47,258 43,585 44,325 4,000 30,000 (Outlays) 0 Total (Elementary, secondary, and vocational education) BA 0 Total Operation of Indian programs Construction Appropriation, current Outlays Road construction Appropriation, current Outlays Eastern Indian land claims settlement fund Outlays Miscellaneous permanent appropriations: (Area and regional development) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) (Other general government) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) 483,150 239,663 452 452 806 0 600 357 452 BA 0 33,096 32,314 33,000 31,000 33,000 31,000 806 Total Miscellaneous permanent appropriations BA 0 BA 0 1,281 1,278 34,377 33,592 1,000 1,000 34,000 32,000 1,000 1,000 34,000 32,000 Public Enterprise Funds: Revolving fund for loans 452 Outlays 0 Indian loan guaranty and insurance fund 452 Outlays 0 Liquidation of Hoonah Housing Project revolving fund 452 Outlays 0 See footnotes at end of table. -1,232 1,848 5 9,191 4,305 1,383 3,695 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-113 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Indian Affairs—Con. Bureau of Indian Affairs—Con. Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds: (Area and regional development) (Appropriation, current) (Indefinite) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) 452 BA BA BA 0 2,001 53,290 447,681 417,307 3,000 60,000 429,015 435,150 4,000 59,000 421,215 507,200 BA 0 502,972 417,307 492,015 435,150 484,215 507,200 BA 0 8,230 8,230 Total Miscellaneous trust funds BA 0 511,202 425,537 492,015 435,150 484,215 507,200 Total Federal funds Bureau of Indian Affairs BA 0 1,004,737 1,006,015 1,009,812 994,766 935,390 944,188 Total Trust funds Bureau of Indian Affairs BA 0 511,202 425,537 492,015 435,150 484,215 507,200 BA 92,892 73,892 56,112 * 6,038 Total (Area and regional development) (Other general government) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) (Outlays) 806 Territorial Affairs Office of Territorial Affairs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Administration of territories Appropriation, current 806 D Outlays 0 Total Administration of territories BA 0 Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands Appropriation, current Outlays BA BA 0 Micronesian claims fund, Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands 806 Outlays 0 Payments to the United States territories, fiscal assistance 852 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 See footnotes at end of table. 380-000 0 - 8 3 - 2 9 : QL 3 39 82,913 66,539 92,892 73,931 62,150 119,657 82,913 66,539 98,614 95,810 D 30 148,378 87,989 806 0 Total Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands 119,657 130,646 111,614 98,614 95,840 87,989 130,646 148,378 111,614 60 66,094 66,094 1,616 57,000 60,159 59,800 59,800 8-114 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1984 estimate 1983 estimate 1982 actual Account and functional code Department of the Interior—Con. Territorial Affairs—Con. Office of Territorial Affairs—Con. Internal revenue collections for the Virgin Islands 852 Outlays 231 Total Federal funds Office of Territorial Affairs.... BA 0 257,600 316,688 226,771 293,066 209,939 237,953 BA 17,750 18,647 0 17,575 18,404 °663 18,686 0 17,750 17,575 19,067 18,686 18,647 18,487 BA 40,988 41,589 D 44,006 0 BA 0 40,279 40,988 40,279 40,913 42,705 42,587 40,913 44,006 42,705 8,118 7,270 1,532 2,130 3,840 3,665 896 4,800 896 2,818 13,369 17,185 10,441 21,500 D 400 21,730 21,100 13,369 10,441 21,900 21,730 17,185 21,100 BA 0 285 6,164 86 BA 0 359 550 Secretarial Offices Office of the Solicitor and Office of the Secretary Federal funds General and Special Funds: Office of the Solicitor, salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 306 Outlays Total Office of the Solicitor, salaries and exBA penses Departmental management Appropriation, current 306 Outlays Total Departmental management. Office of Water Policy, salaries and expenses 301 Appropriation, current BA O Outlays Construction management 306 Appropriation, current Outlays Office of Inspector General, salaries and expenses 306 Appropriation, current.. BA Outlays 0 Total Office of Inspector General, salaries and expenses BA 0 Youth conservation corps 302 Appropriation, current Outlays Salaries and expenses (special foreign currency program) 306 Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 18,487 m 420 840 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-115 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Secretarial Offices—Con. Office of the Solicitor and Office of the Secretary—Con. Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund Outlays 306 0 1,611 Total Federal funds Office of the Solicitor and Office of the Secretary BA 0 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public BA 0 300 BA _ 76,232 80,094 92,568 94,035 82,686 88,080 5,425,187 5,684,894 5,595,203 5,906,970 5,913,299 6,133,666 / / 5 W _ y ^ y QA J 80 301 BA Q ,c M. -46 -45 J m m -25,120 .. -45 302 j^A -78,750 -33,650 -39,370 450 ^ -33,986 -33,433 -33,433 500 BA 0 908 j*A -90,063 BA 0 BA 0 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public _ -33 -406,291 3,695,178 3,954,885 3,766,903 4,078,670 3,369,034 3,589,401 522,443 436,958 513,265 459,623 519,122 541,878 301 BA _ ^ * -1,221 303 QA 306 A J -35 -5,513 302 A -35 -3,210 _ ^ -700 _ ^ -700 -3,750 -3,572 -1,300 -1,300 -268,059 -271,800 -286,000 -122,217 -124,600 -127,200 ^244 4*}? BA Q 908 Total Trust funds See footnotes at end of table. Q A BA 0 122,090 36,605 97,315 43,673 72,675 95,431 8-116 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Interior—Con. Summary—Con. Interfund transactions 806 Total Department of the Interior *A -69,629 -75,000 -50,000 BA 0 3,747,639 3,921,861 3,789,218 4,047,343 3,391,709 3,634,832 54,873 1,831 52,763 56,364 56,704 52,763 56,364 54,652 Department of Justice General Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 751 BA 42,274 D Outlays Total Salaries and expenses I ntragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund Outlays 0 39,473 BA 42,274 0 39,473 0 54,652 751 Total Federal funds General Administration -6,885 5,750 -971 BA 0 42,274 32,588 56,704 58,513 56,364 53,681 BA 6,406 6,663 D 216 6,734 7,836 6,879 6,734 7,836 7,677 136,128 D 4,720 138,179 160,440 140,848 138,179 160,440 157,138 United States Parole Commission Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 751 Outlays 0 Total Salaries and expenses BA 0 6,180 6,406 6,180 7,677 Legal Activities Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses, General Legal Activities 752 Appropriation, current BA 130,405 Outlays 0 125,579 BA 130,405 0 125,579 Total Salaries and expenses, General Legal Activities See footnotes at end of table. 157,138 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-117 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Justice—Con. Legal Activities—Con. Salaries and expenses, Antitrust Division Appropriation, current 752 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses, Antitrust Division.... Salaries and expenses, Foreign Claims Settlement Commission 153 Appropriation, current Outlays BA 0 42,638 43,389 "1,133 43,872 BA 41,200 44,522 45,791 0 42,638 43,872 45,102 BA 734 774 954 0 645 821 958 734 802 954 645 821 958 Total Salaries and expenses, Foreign Claims Settlement Commission BA 0 Payment of Vietnam and U.S.S. Pueblo prisoner of war claims 153 Outlays Salaries and expenses, United States Attorneys and Marshals 752 Appropriation, current 41,200 0 45,791 45,102 10 20 331,781 C 2 362,707 BA 313,132 0 310,562 10,808 335,739 355,473 BA 313,132 342,591 362,707 0 310,562 335,739 355,473 BA 0 29,923 27,662 34,254 32,489 44,768 44,504 BA 0 32,671 28,794 35,700 35,106 38,266 37,500 BA 5,727 6,314 0 5,527 5,764 "203 5,872 BA 0 5,727 5,527 5,967 5,872 6,314 6,265 BA 553,792 604,684 659,240 0 541,408 592,088 646,960 D Outlays Total Salaries and expenses, United States Attorneys and Marshals Support of United States prisoners 752 Appropriation, current Outlays Fees and expenses of witnesses 752 Appropriation, current Outlays Salaries and expenses, Community Relations Service 752 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Salaries and expenses, Community Relations Service Total Federal funds Legal Activities See footnotes at end of table. 6,265 8-118 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Justice—Con. Interagency Law Enforcement Federal funds General and Special Funds: Organized crime drug enforcement Appropriation, current Outlays 751 BA 0 127,500 104,150 105,949 103,143 825,154 c 250 * 27,915 1,055,690 Federal Bureau of Investigation Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 751 Reappropriation Outlays Total Salaries and expenses BA 767,009 BA 0 5,600 736,982 855,591 1,021,213 BA 0 772,609 736,982 853,319 855,591 1,055,690 1,021,213 BA 241,709 248,162 D 7,334 275,623 BA 0 1,000 224,629 250,451 269,141 BA 0 242,709 224,629 255,496 250,451 275,623 269,141 BA 444,357 484,431 C 264 10,999 539,261 Drug Enforcement Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 751 Reappropriation Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Immigration and Naturalization Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 751 D Reappropriation Outlays Total Salaries and expenses See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 2,104 416,762 499,380 534,896 BA 0 446,461 416,762 495,694 499,380 539,261 534,896 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-119 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Justice—Con. Federal Prison System Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current.. 753 Outlays Total Salaries and expensesNational Institute of Corrections Appropriation, current Outlays Buildings and facilities Appropriation, current Reappropriation Outlays Total Buildings and facilities.. 426,263 354,565 387,049 c 1,552 D 8,821 393,887 BA 0 366,830 354,565 397,422 393,887 426,263 420,487 BA 0 11,186 11,445 11,050 10,550 11,665 11,080 BA BA 0 55,481 1,000 14,905 6,667 97,142 29,821 45,390 BA 0 56,481 14,905 6,667 29,821 97,142 45,390 0 -5,233 (2,373) (2,839) (2,633) (6,329) (2,710) (6,613) 535,070 476,957 BA 366,830 0 420,487 754 753 Intragovernmental Funds: Federal Prison Industries, Incorporated Outlays Limitation on administrative expensesLimitation on vocational expenses 753 Trust funds Commissary funds, Federal prisons (trust revolving fund) 753 Outlays Total Federal funds Federal Prison System -511 BA 0 434,497 375,682 -511 415,139 434,258 BA 128,554 125,523 0 282,741 178,146 BA 0 128,554 282,741 125,523 178,146 Total Trust funds Federal Prison System.. Office of Justice Assistance Federal funds General and Special Funds: Justice assistance Appropriation, current.. Outlays Total Justice assistance.. See footnotes at end of table. 754 * 60,659 '92,200 136,650 '36,290 152,859 172,940 8-120 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Justice—Con. Office of Justice Assistance—Con. Public Enterprise Funds: Revolving fund Outlays 754 0 Total Federal funds Office of Justice Assistance.. BA 0 Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) BA 0 Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 140 137 128,554 282,881 125,523 178,283 152,859 172,940 2,627,302 2,617,112 2,940,938 2,979,448 3,387,892 3,286,608 -21,385 -21,565 -2,894 -2,894 2,916,659 2,955,169 3,363,433 3,262,149 2,916,659 2,955,169 3,363,433 3,262,149 86,271 750 BA 908 Total Federal funds f BA 0 Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Total Department of Justice -4,330 2,595,072 2,584,882 0 —511 BA 0 2,595,072 2,584,371 Department of Labor Employment and Training Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Program administration Appropriation, current 504 BA 87,695 0 79,416 91,465 2,652 97,374 BA 0 87,695 79,416 94,117 97,374 86,271 87,229 BA 2,983,658 3,789,302 D Outlays Total Program administration Training and employment services Appropriation, current 87,229 504 0 4,110,422 -85,000 3,723,930 J -76,500 3,643,330 1 724,696 -87,000 3,595,087 J -86,800 BA 0 2,983,658 4,110,422 3,704,302 3,647,430 4,281,026 3,508,287 Community service employment for older Americans 504 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 277,100 268,964 281,950 278,312 211,462 J Outlays Total Training and employment services See footnotes at end of table. 3 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-121 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Labor—Con. Employment and Training Administration— Con. Temporary employment assistance 504 Outlays Federal unemployment benefits and allowances 603 Appropriation, current Outlays 0 BA 0 37,846 306,000 314,833 J 230,000 7,000 1,850,000 230,000 7,000 '1,850,000 Total Federal unemployment benefits and allowances State unemployment insurance and employment service operations: (Training and employment) 504 (Appropriation, current) BA 306,000 2,080,000 7,000 0 314,833 2,080,000 7,000 19,272 22,200 BA 0 23,823 10,656 25,700 5,700 25,700 7 (Outlays) Total (Training and employment) BA 19,272 22,200 31,400 0 23,823 10,656 25,700 BA 0 20,000 5,100 14,900 Total State unemployment insurance and employment service operations BA 39,272 22,200 31,400 28,923 25,556 25,700 (Unemployment compensation) (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) 603 0 Advances to the unemployment trust fund and other funds-. (General retirement and disability insurance) 601 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) Total (General retirement and disability insurance) See footnotes at end of table. BA 283,002 0 283,002 BA 283,002 0 283,002 L 154,998 136,000 -37,000 136,000 *-37,000 99,000 154,998 99,000 8-122 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Labor—Con. Employment and Training Administration— Con. (Unemployment compensation) (Appropriation, current) 603 BA 4,034,998 5,411,000 5,033,000 6,617,000 -* 5,033,000 (Outlays) 0 2,674,000 Total (Unemployment compensation) BA 0 4,034,998 2,674,000 10,444,000 11,650,000 7,010,000 7,010,000 Total Advances to the unemployment trust fund and other funds BA 0 4,318,000 2,957,002 10,444,000 11,804,998 7,109,000 7,109,000 A 7,010,000 7,010,000 Intragovernmental Funds: Advances to the Employment Security Administration account of the Unemployment trust fund 603 Outlays 0 Trust funds Gifts and bequests Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Unemployment trust fund: (Training and employment) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) -300,000 504 BA 0 18 108 100 100 100 100 504 BA 737,916 801,508 (Outlays) 0 707,318 801,508 860,159 '182,100 860,159 Total (Training and employment) BA 0 737,916 707,318 801,508 801,508 1,042,259 860,159 BA 19,753,300 26,165,492 5,033,000 30,939,841 (Outlays) 0 23,574,962 29,589,392 A 5,309,100 29,939,841 Total (Unemployment compensation) BA 0 19,753,300 23,574,962 31,198,492 34,898,492 30,757,741 29,939,841 Total Unemployment trust fund BA 0 20,491,216 24,282,280 32,000,000 35,700,000 31,800,000 30,800,000 Total Federal funds Employment and Training Administration BA 0 8,011,725 7,797,406 16,626,569 17,933,670 11,514,697 10,648,678 Total Trust funds Employment and Training Administration BA 0 20,491,234 24,282,388 32,000,100 35,700,100 31,800,100 30,800,100 (Unemployment compensation) (Appropriation, permanent, indefinite) 603 A ' -182,100 See footnotes at end of table. THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-123 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Labor—Con. Labor-Management Services Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays 505 BA 0 54,910 54,637 58,077 56,315 64,130 63,031 0 -66,910 -31,611 Total Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation fund. 0 -66,910 -31,611 -158,262 BA 158,203 185,835 0 154,511 169,296 D 4,390 169,780 184,433 BA 158,203 0 __154!511 173,686 169,780 185,835 184,433 4,100 4,100 Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation Federal funds Public Enterprise Funds: Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation fund Outlays... 601 -25,887 -132,375 J Employment Standards Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 505 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses..... Special benefits: (General retirement and disability insurance) 601 (Appropriation, current) (Outlays) (Federal employee retirement and disability) BA 0 3,966 3,880 4,000 4,000 (Appropriation, current) BA 344,926 335,600 (Outlays) 0 264,225 218,000 344,926 264,225 335,600 218,000 211,000 211,000 348,892 268,105 339,600 222,000 215,100 215,100 602 Total (Federal employee retirement and disability) BA 0 Total Special benefits See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 L 228,000 -17,000 L 228,000 -17,000 8-124 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Labor—Con. Employment Standards Administration—Con. Trust funds Black lung disability trust fund Appropriation, current 601 Indefinite Outlays Total Black lung disability trust fund BA 773,936 668,852 ^54,000 D 368 BA 0 694 884,119 756 669,976 A 54,000 743,244 L -37,000 756 744,000 L -37,000 BA 0 774,630 884,119 723,976 723,976 707,000 707,000 BA 0 36,063 28,009 39,000 36,500 46,000 42,000 Total Federal funds Employment Standards Administration BA 0 507,095 422,616 513,286 391,780 400,935 399,533 Total Trust funds Employment Standards Administration BA 0 810,693 912,128 762,976 760,476 753,000 749,000 BA 195,465 210,860 0 194,029 205,256 G 1,393 202,976 BA 0 195,465 194,029 206,649 202,976 210,860 206,925 BA 149,313 153,828 ^ -1,393 151,792 0 138,831 155,356 -3,760 152,742 ^ —3,459 BA 0 149,313 138,831 152,435 155,356 148,032 149,283 Special workers' compensation expenses Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 601 Occupational Safety and Health Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 554 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses 206,925 Mine Safety and Health Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Total Salaries and expenses See footnotes at end of table. 554 L THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-125 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Labor—Con. Bureau of Labor Statistics Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 505 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses BA 113,067 110,005 120,143 D 3,600 122,817 0 136,290 135,042 BA 0 113,067 110,005 123,743 122,817 136,290 135,042 BA 126,069 93,864 0 115,027 M00 93,777 95,288 BA 0 126,069 115,027 94,264 93,777 95,391 95,288 38,133 39,056 37,707 40,406 Departmental Management Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 505 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Office of the Inspector General Appropriation, current Outlays Special foreign currency program Appropriation, current Outlays 94,390 1,001 K 505 BA 0 505 BA 0 67 54 67 67 200 200 Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund Outlays 505 0 5,931 Total Federal funds Departmental Management... BA 0 126,136 121,012 132,464 132,900 133,298 135,894 BA 0 9,157,711 8,771,626 17,813,223 18,964,203 12,608,242 11,580,124 500 BA „ , A non Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public Q 550 A ^ 609 f nno DA ™ Total Federal funds See footnotes at end of table. BA 0 . non — 761 —.4,232 —4,232 -MO -180 -180 -1631 -1631 -1631 -6,657 -419,657 -852,657 9,148,482 8,762,397 17,387,523 18,538,503 11,749,542 10,721,424 8-126 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Labor—Con. Summary—Con. Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Intrafund transactions BA 21,301,927 32,763,076 32,553,100 0 25,194,516 36,460,576 31,549,100 908 BA Q — 254 —300 —300 BA 21,301,673 32,762,776 32,552,800 0 25,194,262 36,460,276 31,548,800 601 BA 0 8A Proprietary receipts from the public Total Trust funds : interfund transactions 601 BA .f 603 Total Department of Labor '37,000 QA -2,937,565 -11,848,540 -7,902,950 BA 27,229,588 38,146,761 36,300,392 0 30,736,092 42,995,241 34,268,274 Department of State Administration of Foreign Affairs Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 153 BA 950,814 984,494 D Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Representation allowances Appropriation, current Total Representation allowances See footnotes at end of table. 1,148,586 0 848,549 BA 950,814 1,006,247 1,148,586 0 848,549 926,630 1,103,513 BA 3,570 3,876 0 3,375 3,815 BA 3,570 3,876 0 3,375 3,815 1,103,513 153 Outlays Protection of foreign consulates States Appropriation, current Outlays K 13,642 G 8,lll 926,630 *4,247 4,185 4,247 4,185 in the United 153 BA 0 *6,000 * 5,000 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-127 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of State—Con. Acquisition, operation, and maintenance of buildings abroad 153 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Acquisition, operation, and maintenance of buildings abroad Acquisition, operation, and maintenance of buildings abroad (special foreign currency program) 153 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Acquisition, operation, and maintenance of buildings abroad (special foreign currency program) Emergencies in the diplomatic and consular service 153 Appropriation, current Outlays Total Emergencies in the diplomatic and consular service Buying power maintenance Appropriation, current BA 203,625 193,040 0 157,529 183,852 * 202,889 206,685 BA 0 203,625 157,529 193,040 183,852 202,889 206,685 BA 9,102 8,360 0 14,439 14,100 * 10,113 16,907 BA 0 9,102 14,439 8,360 14,100 10,113 16,907 BA 4,400 4,400 0 2,702 6,222 * 4,400 4,381 CD OO Administration of Foreign Affairs—Con. 4,400 2,702 4,400 6,222 4,400 4,381 BA 1,700 16,006 153 1,700 16,006 OO Payment to the American Institute in Taiwan Appropriation, current BA BA BA 8,128 8,744 CD Total Buying power maintenance 7,684 8,816 9,475 9,347 CD OO * 4,500 8,128 7,684 8,744 8,816 9,475 9,347 153 Outlays K 1 Total Payment to the American Institute in Taiwan See footnotes at end of table. 4,500 8-128 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of State—Con. Administration of Foreign Affairs—Con. Payment to the Foreign Service retirement and disability fund 153 Appropriation, current BA 77,812 91,312 A * 103,791 4,658 J -42,688 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA 206,600 219,600 224,500 Outlays 0 284,412 310,912 A 4,658 328,291 -^-42,688 Total Payment to the Foreign Service retirement and disability fund Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund Outlays BA 284,412 315,570 285,603 0 284,412 315,570 285,603 0 156 -103 -150 153 Trust funds Foreign Service retirement and disability fund Appropriation, current Indefinite Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 602 BA BA BA 0 A 491,289 183,609 5,792 541,992 200,924 ' -41,438 567,295 212,779 J -4,977 Total Foreign Service retirement and disability fund BA 0 Miscellaneous trust funds Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 491,289 183,609 547,784 200,924 525,857 207,802 BA 0 1,799 1,546 1,766 1,727 1,700 1,700 BA 1,465,751 1,556,243 1,675,813 0 1,318,846 1,458,902 1,635,471 153 Total Federal funds Administration of Foreign Affairs Total Trust funds Administration of Foreign Affairs BA 493,088 549,550 527,557 0 185,155 202,651 209,502 BA 398,240 444,315 International Organizations and Conferences Federal funds General and Special Funds: Contributions to international organizations Appropriation, current 153 F Outlays Total Contributions to international organizations See footnotes at end of table. * 525,773 -8,111 O 481,028 427,109 525,277 BA 398,240 436,204 525,773 0 481,028 427,109 525,277 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-129 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of State—Con. International Organizations and Conferences—Con. Contributions for international peacekeeping activities 153 Appropriation current Outlays Total Contributions for international peacekeeping activities Missions to international organizations Outlays International conferences and contingencies Appropriation current 60,938 73,400 0 57,934 76,404 66,948 66,948 BA 0 60,938 57,934 73,400 76,404 66,948 66,948 0 -1,007 K 153 153 Outlays Total International conferences and contingencies International trade negotiations Outlays BA BA 7,284 9,200 0 5,853 8,771 * 9,622 9,298 BA 0 7,284 5,853 9,200 8,771 9,622 9,298 0 -1 153 ... Trust funds Gifts and bequests, National Commission on Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Cooperation 153 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Total Federal funds International Organizations and Conferences Total Trust funds International Organizations and Conferences BA 0 -146 -181 50 50 91 50 BA 0 466,462 543,807 518,804 512,284 602,343 601,523 BA 0 -146 50 50 -181 91 50 7,927 8,754 International Commissions Federal funds General and Special Funds: International Boundary and Water Commission, United States and Mexico: Salaries and expenses 301 BA Appropriation, current * 9,849 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses See footnotes at end of table. 380-000 0 - 83 - 30 : QL 3 BA 0 8,065 8,764 9,398 7,927 8,065 8,928 8,764 9,849 9,398 8-130 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of State—Con. International Commissions—Con. Construction Appropriation current 301 BA Outlays Total Construction 0 14,553 8,000 *679 2,582 BA 1,186 14,553 8,000 679 2,582 BA 2,847 2,918 BA 0 95 2,980 2,921 3,416 BA 0 2,942 2,980 2,918 2,921 3,461 3,416 BA 8,237 8,526 0 American sections, international commissions 301 Appropriation current . . 1,186 * 3,461 Reappropriation Outlays Total American sections, international commissions ... International fisheries commissions Appropriation, current 302 K 0 7,950 8,526 9,218 9,218 Total International fisheries commissions BA 0 8,237 7,950 8,526 8,526 9,218 9,218 Total Federal funds International Commissions BA 0 20,292 33,548 20,372 28,211 23,207 24,614 BA 423,000 395,000 0 378,710 394,912 * 344,500 360,301 BA 0 423,000 378,710 395,000 394,912 344,500 360,301 3,132 5,935 6,000 BA 36,700 36,700 0 42,342 35,428 * 53,030 41,489 BA 0 36,700 42,342 36,700 35,428 53,030 41,489 Outlays Other Federal funds General and Special Funds: Migration and refugee assistance Appropriation, current 151 Outlays Total Migration and refugee assistance United States emergency refugee and migration assistance fund 151 Outlays International narcotics control 151 Appropriation, current Outlays Total International narcotics control See footnotes at end of table. 0 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-131 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of State—Con. Other—Con. U.S. bilateral science and technology agreements 153 Appropriation, current BA 3,700 1,700 Outlays 0 1,700 1,700 * 1,700 1,700 3,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 4,100 4,815 4,100 4,350 Total U.S. bilateral science and technology BA agreements 0 Payment to the Asia Foundation 153 Appropriation, current Outlays , Special assistance to refugees from Cambodia and Vietnam 609 Outlays International Center, Washington, D.C. 153 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Fishermen's protective fund 376 Appropriation, current Outlays BA 0 -5 BA 0 155 465 BA 0 2,972 3,000 3,100 3,139 500 General and Special Funds: Anti-terrorism assistance Appropriation, currentOutlays Total Federal funds Other. Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public Total Federal funds.. Trust funds: (As shown in detail above).. See footnotes at end of table. 152 K BA 0 5,000 * 4,000 BA O 467,655 431,159 441,100 445,964 407,202 416,490 BA 0 2,420,160 2,327,360 2,536,519 2,445,361 2,708,565 2,678,098 -2,408 -4,618 -4,540 -3,262 -2,244 -3,260 -18 -19 -19 150 BA 0 271 BA 0 300 BA 0 400 BA 0 908 BA 0 -739 -404 -404 -2,687 -1,128 -1,128 BA 0 2,411,046 2,318,246 2,528,106 2,436,948 2,699,214 2,668,747 BA 0 492,942 184,974 549,600 202,742 527,607 209,552 8-132 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of State—Con. Summary—Con. Deductions for offsetting receipts: Intrafund transactions 602 BA 0 Total Trust funds BA 0 153 BA 0 BA 0 803 BA 0 Interfund transactions Total Department of State BA -120 -110 492,809 184,841 549,480 202,622 527,497 209,442 -317,995 -352,107 -367,607 -133 J -34 -34 48,100 -34 2,725,445 2,287,429 2,907,170 2,558,648 13,020 14,129 11,600 ^209 15,149 BA 0 12,893 14,129 11,809 15,149 13,020 13,001 BA 0 500 7,687 500 15,128 11,463 BA 0 3,000 11,930 3,000 5,738 5,146 BA 0 7,668 6,537 5,892 7,114 BA BA 0 6,875 162 .. 3,165 5,042 8,803 7,037 3,165 5,042 8,803 400,500 16,345 518,000 268,917 389,269 0 2,585,826 2,185,058 Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Motor carrier safety Appropriation, current 401 BA Outlays.. Total Motor carrier safety Highway beautification 401 Appropriation, current Outlays Territorial highways 401 Appropriation, current Outlays Railroad-highway crossings demonstration projects 401 Appropriation, current Outlays Access highways to public recreation areas on certain lakes 401 Appropriation, current Reappropriation Outlays Total Access highways to public recreation areas on certain lakes BA 0 Interstate transfer grants - highways Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 12,893 13,001 401 BA O THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-133 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Transportation—Con. Federal Highway Administration—Con. Miscellaneous appropriations Outlays Trust funds Federal-aid highways (trust fund) Contract authority, current 401 0 62,658 30,459 40,239 401 BA 3,979,000 Contract authority, permanent Liquidation of contract authority, current BA 4,324,500 (8,018,900) Outlays.. 0 7,788,589 BA 0 8,303,500 7,788,589 12,637,202 8,412,000 13,801,330 11,510,000 9,869 (23,300) 21,302 -9,679 9,869 (22,998) 12,590 9,804 (9,738) 13,121 9,869 21,302 190 12,590 9,804 13,121 9,667 13,273 12,742 13,968 4,860 7,041 7,700 7,658 8,600 9,549 Total Federal-aid highways (trust fund). Highway-related safety grants Contract authority, current Contract authority, permanent Liquidation of contract authority, currentOutlays 401 BA BA Total Highway-related safety grants. BA 0 Trust fund share of other highway programs 401 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Highway safety research and development 401 BA Appropriation, current 0 Outlays Motor carrier safety grants 401 BA Appropriation, current Outlays 0 Appalachian highway system 401 BA Appropriation, current Outlays 0 Miscellaneous trust funds 151 Appropriation, permanent BA BA Contract authority, permanent Liquidation of contract authority, permanent Outlays Total Miscellaneous trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds-Highway Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 11,682,202 " -23,200 13,801,330 978,200 (8,200,000) (11,600,000) A (300,000) 11,789,000 8,447,000 L L -279,000 -35,000 BA 0 10,000 9,000 J 80,000 '4,000 5,190 593 (802) 4,946 5,710 9,741 (1,119) 7,581 9,619 5,783 4,946 5,710 7,581 9,741 9,619 29,284 8,431 6,581 401 8-134 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Transportation—Con. Federal Highway Administration—Con. Right-of-way revolving fund (trust revolving fund) 401 Liquidation of contract authority, current Outlays 0 (25,000) 1,370 Total Federal funds Federal Highway Administration BA 0 431,598 122,451 533,309 356,105 13,020 465,255 Total Trust funds Federal Highway Administration BA 0 8,333,679 7,865,805 12,650,802 8,461,002 13,919,475 11,575,838 BA 50,115 55,784 0 50,385 52,315 ^430 54,295 BA 0 50,115 50,385 52,745 54,295 55,784 54,080 BA 0 137 -4,864 10,453 1,500 BA 24,785 21,685 22,214 National Highway Traffic Safety Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operations and research Appropriation, current 401 Outlays Total Operations and research Miscellaneous safety programs Appropriation, current Outlays Trust funds Highway safety research and development Appropriation, current 54,080 401 401 D \n Outlays 0 Total Highway safety research and development. BA 0 Highway traffic safety grants Contract authority, current Contract authority, permanent Liquidation of contract authority, current Outlays Total Highway traffic safety grants See footnotes at end of table. 31,186 24,785 31,186 22,420 21,855 22,420 24,150 22,214 24,150 141,233 (103,552) A (3,000) 105,147 * 3,000 148,100 (118,000) 141,233 108,147 148,100 120,800 401 BA BA -100,137 202,500 (150,200) 0 143,000 BA 0 102,363 143,000 120,800 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-135 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Transportation—Con. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration—Con. Gifts and donations Outlays 401 0 6 Total Federal funds National Highway Traffic Safety Administration BA 0 50,252 45,521 52,745 64,748 55,784 55,580 Total Trust funds National Highway Traffic Safety Administration BA 0 127,148 174,186 163,088 130,573 170,314 144,950 BA 53,761 39,882 BA 0 6,696 109,059 63,775 D 452 1,185 142,236 Total Administration, research and special projects BA 0 60,457 109,059 65,412 142,236 40,736 68,861 BA 24,176 28,000 0 22,582 31,379 * 26,514 28,494 BA 0 24,176 22,582 28,000 31,379 26,514 28,494 BA 0 124,161 10,000 75,000 20,000 20,000 BA 0 70,000 24,732 135,268 BA 0 821,314 821,314 87,467 87,467 38,545 38,545 BA 0 167,961 333,772 112,900 317,800 100,000 310,000 BA BA 0 569,000 166,000 717,700 700,000 682,000 700,000 676,000 Total Grants to National Railroad Passenger Corporation BA 0 735,000 717,700 700,000 700,000 682,000 676,000 Federal Railroad Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Administration, research and special projects Appropriation, current 401 Authority to borrow, current Outlays Railroad safety Appropriation, current 401 Outlays Total Railroad safety Conrail labor assistance 603 Appropriation, current Outlays Commuter rail service 401 Appropriation, current Outlays Settlements of railroad litigation 401 Authority to borrow, current Outlays Northeast corridor improvement program 401 Appropriation, current Outlays Grants to National Railroad Passenger Corporation 401 Appropriation, current Appropriation, permanent Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 854 68,861 8-136 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Transportation—Con. Federal Railroad Administration—Con. Public Enterprise Funds: Alaska Railroad revolving fund 401 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 Railroad rehabilitation and improvement financing funds 401 Authority to borrow, current BA Outlays 0 6,160 3,610 7,600 22,565 66,396 61,602 8,300 104,300 912 38,919 Total Federal funds Federal Railroad Administration BA 0 1,951,464 2,218,532 1,019,679 1,616,015 908,707 1,180,819 3,532,238 2,665,166 (1,200,000) 3,864,234 3,565,831 D 335 (681,135) 3,818,330 3,532,238 3,864,234 3,566,166 3,818,330 2,665,166 3,487,970 779,000 1,250,000 (242,000) Urban Mass Transportation Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Urban mass transportation fund Appropriation, current 401 BA Liquidation of contract authority, currentOutlays Total Urban mass transportation fund Trust funds Mass transportation capital fund Contract authority, permanent Liquidation of contract authority, current BA 0 3,487,970 401 BA A Outlays.. 0 Total Mass transportation capital fund (55,000) A BA 0 242,000 55,000 779,000 55,000 1,250,000 242,000 1,247,357 ^ 45,000 D 15,888 1,602,598 1,282,070 ^ 45,000 1,592,998 Federal Aviation Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operations Appropriation, current 402 Reappropriation Outlays Total Operations Facilities, engineering and development Appropriation, current Outlays See footnotes at end of table. BA 1,471,994 BA 0 10,000 1,323,657 BA 0 1,481,994 1,323,657 1,308,245 1,327,070 1,602,598 1,592,998 BA 0 8,797 17,417 18,255 20,586 8,000 402 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-137 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Transportation—Con. Federal Aviation Administration—Con. Operation and maintenance, Metropolitan Washington Airports 402 Appropriation, current Outlays Construction, Metropolitan Washington Airports 402 Appropriation, current Outlays BA 0 30,438 29,172 31,955 31,677 34,557 33,693 BA 0 16,700 12,573 11,080 27,667 15,250 20,145 0 -3,184 -2,905 -2,882 Public Enterprise Funds: Aviation insurance revolving fund Outlays 402 Trust funds Grants-in-aid for airports (Airport and airway trust fund) 402 Appropriation, current Contract authority, current Contract authority, permanent Reappropriation Liquidation of contract authority, current Outlays BA BA BA BA 26,218 (471,000) 338,596 -7,450 200,000 600,000 7,450 (234,000) 527,335 (745,000) 745,000 476,218 338,596 800,000 527,335 993,500 745,000 BA 0 260,847 291,507 625,000 268,000 1,000,000 480,000 BA 0 71,800 71,580 103,000 93,588 285,984 208,978 BA 809,945 1,099,000 0 810,000 1,269,000 D 13,952 1,282,952 Total Operations (Airport and airway trust fund) BA 0 809,945 810,000 1,282,952 1,282,952 1,099,000 1,099,000 BA 0 1,537,929 1,379,635 1,369,535 1,404,095 1,652,405 1,651,954 Total Trust funds Federal Aviation Administration BA 1,618,810 1,511,683 2,810,952 2,171,875 3,378,484 2,532,978 0 Total Grants-in-aid for airports (Airport and airway trust fund) BA 0 Facilities and equipment (Airport and airway trust fund) 402 Appropriation, current Outlays Research, engineering and development (Airport and airway trust fund) 402 Appropriation, current Outlays Operations (Airport and airway trust fund) 402 Appropriation, current Outlays.. Total Federal funds Federal Aviation Administration 0 See footnotes at end of table. 450,000 993,500 1,099,000 8-138 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Transportation—Con. Coast Guard Federal funds General and Special Funds: Operating expenses Appropriation, current 403 BA Outlays Total Operating expenses Acquisition, construction, and improvements Appropriation, current Outlays Alteration of bridges Appropriation, current 1,482,456 1,591,148 1,687,542 0 1,439,954 189 D 2,163 E 12,926 1,588,291 1,657,629 BA 1,482,456 1,606,426 1,687,542 0 1,439,954 1,588,291 1,657,629 BA 0 684,000 292,662 400,000 455,000 378,600 470,000 BA 11,000 12,700 403 403 Outlays 0 Total Alteration of bridges BA 0 Retired pay Appropriation, current Total Retired pay See footnotes at end of table. 8,102 * 13,200 11,600 12,700 13,200 11,500 11,600 BA 265,000 318,000 0 257,849 318,000 -7,000 341,300 •'-7,000 BA 265,000 318,000 334,300 0 257,849 318,000 334,300 51,483 54,000 12,777 BA Total Reserve training Outlays 11,000 11,500 J 341,300 403 Outlays Research, development, test, and evaluation Appropriation, current 8,102 403 Outlays Reserve training Appropriation, current C 0 52,229 54,000 * 42,028 54,805 BA 51,483 54,000 54,805 0 52,229 54,000 54,805 BA 18,000 20,000 22,000 0 18,384 19,000 18,000 403 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-139 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of Transportation—Con. Coast Guard—Con. National recreational boating safety and facilities improvement fund 403 Appropriation, current BA Contract authority, permanent Liquidation of contract authority, current BA 1 Outlays- 45,000 (15,000) (5,000) 0 Total National recreational boating safety and facilities improvement fund Pollution fund Appropriation, permanent, indefinite.... Outlays Offshore oil pollution compensation fund Appropriation, current Indefinite Outlays 5,000 » -5,000 45,000 15,000 BA O 45,000 5,000 45,000 15,000 7,000 7,000 304 BA 0 8,263 6,063 7,000 7,000 BA BA 0 Total Offshore oil pollution compensation fund.... BA 0 2,000 1,000 720 916 1,000 1,000 2,000 720 1,000 916 1,000 1,000 2,000 1,000 Deepwater port liability fund Appropriation, current Indefinite Outlays 304 304 Total Deepwater port liability fund.. BA BA O BA 0 96 968 1,000 1,000 2,000 96 1,000 968 1,000 1,000 BA 0 1,320 -2,186 400 400 3,187 2,000 1,000 10 60 80 50 80 50 151 25 25 2,525,522 2,077,060 2,465,126 2,462,075 2,544,447 2,571,734 10 211 80 75 75 Intragovernmental Funds: Coast Guard supply fund Appropriation, currentOutlays Coast Guard yard fund Outlays Trust funds Coast Guard general gift fund Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Miscellaneous trust revolving funds Outlays Total Federal funds Coast GuardTotal Trust funds Coast Guard.. See footnotes at end of table. 403 403 0 403 BA 0 403 BA 0 BA 0 8-140 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Transportation—Con. Maritime Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Ship construction Appropriation, current Outlays Operating-differential subsidies Contract authority, permanent, indefinite Liquidation of contract authority, current Outlays Research and development Appropriation, current 403 BA 0 25,000 97,000 17,700 350,652 (417,148) 400,690 406,821 (454,010) 432,053 429,000 (401,294) 439,710 BA 8,491 15,300 0 17,397 16,750 * 11,500 13,650 BA 0 8,491 17,397 15,300 16,750 11,500 13,650 BA 75,007 78,113 0 74,766 86,594 * 71,013 72,713 BA 0 75,007 74,766 78,113 86,594 71,013 72,713 0 -27,781 -34,000 -33,700 403 BA 0 403 Outlays.. Total Research and development Operations and training Appropriation, current 184,485 403 Outlays.. Total Operations and training Public Enterprise Funds: Federal ship financing fund Outlays Vessel operations revolving fund Outlays War risk insurance revolving fund Outlays Trust funds Special studies, services and projects Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Gifts and bequests Appropriation, permanent Outlays 403 403 o 2,350 403 0 -1,077 -650 -670 BA BA 352 410 385 385 385 385 15 15 15 15 403 0 403 BA 0 Total Federal funds Maritime Administration BA 0 434,150 650,830 525,234 597,747 511,513 509,403 Total Trust funds Maritime Administration BA 357 419 400 400 400 0 See footnotes at end of table. THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-141 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Transportation—Con. Saint Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation Federal funds Public Enterprise Funds: Saint Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation 403 Outlays Limitation on administrative expenses.... -781 (3,202) D (76) (U16) (1,825) 25,895 Office of the Inspector General Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 407 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses BA 13,523 0 13,021 24,946 ^409 24,639 BA 0 13,523 13,021 25,355 24,639 25,895 25,610 BA 0 17,441 21,676 20,022 23,500 20,287 20,398 20,022 23,502 20,287 20,398 42,537 25,610 Research and Special Programs Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Research and special programs Appropriation, current Outlays Cooperative automotive research Outlays 407 401 0 Intragovemmental Funds: Working capital Center Outlays fund, Transportation Systems 407 0 Total Federal funds Research and Special Programs Administration BA 0 1,494 17,441 23,162 Office of the Secretary Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 407 BA 35,262 0 35,126 39,000 1,040 46,500 BA 0 35,262 35,126 40,040 46,500 42,537 45,700 Transportation planning, research, and development 407 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 3,350 5,574 4,900 5,500 7,256 6,000 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses See footnotes at end of table. D 45,700 8-142 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of Transportation—Con. Office of the Secretary—Con. Transportation research activities overseas (special foreign currency program) 407 Outlays 0 19 Intragovernmental Funds: Limitation on Working capital fund Outlays 407 0 Total Federal funds Office of the Secretary Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Intrafund transactions BA 38,612 44,940 49,793 0 36,896 52,019 51,700 10,532,729 10,430,561 9,622,111 10,419,275 8,447,017 10,020,423 BA 0 908 BA « Proprietary receipts from the public -3,805 —1,11b — 4,o4U 304 BA Q 400 ^ 403 f 806 \k 908 QA -3,398 Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public See footnotes at end of table. -64,040 '-58,500 -211 -355 -2,376 -375 -2,391 BA 10,473,068 9,548,084 8,310,171 10,370,900 10,345,248 9,883,577 BA 0 10,080,004 9,552,304 16,404,322 10,818,925 18,718,753 14,496,241 151 BA —J,ZJJ 401 f -714 403 jf -352 BA —O,/cl —j,10U -1,097 -580 -385 -385 10,073,683 16,397,119 9,545,983 10,811,722 14,486,126 BA 20,546,751 25,945,203 27,018,809 0 19,916,883 21,156,970 24,369,703 0 Total Department of Transportation -60,436 0 n Total Trust funds -54,936 18,708,638 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-143 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Treasury Office of the Secretary Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 803 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Presidential election campaign fund Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays BA 55,729 54,073 60,141 c «5 D 1,941 G 242 61,580 0 69,949 68,550 BA 0 55,729 54,073 62,409 61,580 69,949 68,550 BA 0 39,030 -132 43,200 12,877 44,200 127,306 -159,762 -172,331 7 7 105,609 -85,305 7 7 7 7 114,149 23,525 7 7 806 Public Enterprise Funds: Exchange stabilization fund Outlays 155 0 -527,659 Intragovernmental Funds: Working capital fund Outlays 803 0 Trust funds Pershing Hall memorial fund 705 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Office of the Secretary BA 0 Total Trust funds Office of the Secretary BA 0 -53 7 7 94,759 -473,771 7 7 Office of Revenue Sharing Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 851 0 6,060 6,612 D 255 6,744 BA 0 6,209 6,060 6,867 6,744 Payments to State and local government fiscal assistance trust fund 851 Appropriation, current BA 4,566,700 4,566,700 4,566,700 4,566,700 * 4,566,700 4,566,700 4,566,700 4,566,700 4,566,700 4,566,700 4,566,700 4,566,700 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Outlays BA 0 Total Payments to State and local government fiscal assistance trust fund BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. 6,209 7,678 7,678 7,448 7,448 8-144 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Treasury—Con. Office of Revenue Sharing—Con. Trust funds State and local government fiscal assistance trust fund 851 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 4,566,700 4,568,627 4,566,700 4,566,700 4,566,700 4,566,700 Total Federal funds Office of Revenue Sharing.... BA 0 4,572,909 4,572,760 4,573,567 4,573,444 4,574,378 4,574,148 Total Trust funds Office of Revenue Sharing BA 0 4,566,700 4,568,627 4,566,700 4,566,700 4,566,700 4,566,700 BA 12,318 14,481 13,247 12,452 D 306 G 45 12,796 12,318 13,247 12,803 12,796 14,481 14,416 2,332 2,560 2,656 12,318 15,579 12,803 15,356 14,481 17,072 242,995 215,160 246,725 -2,779 239,067 231,865 215,160 243,946 239,067 242,995 238,135 Federal Law Enforcement Training Center Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 751 Outlays.. Total Salaries and expenses BA 0 Construction, Federal Law Enforcement Training Center 751 Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Federal Law Enforcement Training Center BA 0 14,416 Bureau of Government Financial Operations Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, currentOutlays Total Salaries and expenses 803 BA F BA 0 Special payment to recipients of certain retirement and survivor benefits 601 Outlays 0 New York City loan guarantee program 852 Appropriation, current BA Outlays 0 See footnotes at end of table. 231,865 6 822 406 70 .. 238,135 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-145 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code . 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Treasury—Con. Bureau of Government Financial Operations—Con. Chrysler Corporation loan guarantee program Appropriation, current 376 BA 1,356 1,211 D 1,005 n Outlays 0 Total Chrysler Corporation loan guarantee program BA 0 Claims, judgments, and relief acts Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Advances to the railroad retirement account Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Interest on uninvested funds Appropriation, current, indefinite Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 1,202 985 1,356 774 1,222 1,202 1,005 985 806 BA 0 284,810 284,718 405,520 405,520 405,420 405,420 BA 0 50,000 50,000 1,452,000 1,452,000 2,551,907 2,551,907 BA BA 0 13,829 14,011 11,315 11,315 —10 11,324 11,324 '-10 BA 0 13,829 14,011 11,315 11,315 11,314 11,314 601 908 Total Interest on uninvested funds Payment of Government fosses in shipment Outlays Postal savings system liquidation Appropriation, current Outlays Energy security reserve Outlays Biomass energy development Outlays 774 J 803 0 124 BA 0 200 200 200 200 806 271 0 10,910 24,603 66,894 271 0 2,177 1,900 1,900 10 10 18 18 18 18 Public Enterprise Funds: Check forgery insurance fund Outlays 803 0 Intragovernmental Funds: Fishermen's protective fund Appropriation, current Outlays 376 BA 0 Trust funds Miscellaneous trust funds 806 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Total Federal funds Bureau of Government Financial Operations BA 0 Total Trust funds Bureau of Government Financial Operations BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. 380-000 0 - 83 - 31 : QL 3 2,000 1,569 45 18 584,882 580,043 45 18 2,114,003 2,135,887 18 18 3,212,641 3,276,765 18 18 8-146 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Treasury—Con. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays , 751 BA 0 142,164 137,282 BA 527,173 147,492 144,542 157,122 155,034 578,749 561,567 United States Customs Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 751 0 515,861 553,700 C 73 17,544 564,937 BA 0 527,173 515,861 571,317 564,937 578,749 561,567 BA 0 62,911 69,257 72,000 72,000 75,000 75,000 9,950 9,950 11,450 11,450 643,317 636,937 653,749 636,567 D Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Miscellaneous permanent appropriations Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 852 Trust funds Refunds, transfers and expenses, unclaimed, abandoned and seized goods 803 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite BA Outlays 0 Total Federal funds United States Customs Service BA 0 Total Trust funds United States Customs Service 8,450 8,166 590,084 585,118 BA 0 8,450 8,166 9,950 9,950 11,450 11,450 0 -651 -1,206 -5,036 BA 47,489 47,558 0 45,602 47,284 * 49,558 48,616 BA 0 47,489 45,602 47,558 47,284 49,558 48,616 Bureau of Engraving and Printing Federal funds Intragovernmental Funds: Bureau of Engraving and Printing fund Outlays 803 Bureau of the Mint Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current Outlays Total Salaries and expenses See footnotes at end of table. 803 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-147 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Treasury—Con. Bureau of the Mint—Con. Expansion and improvements Appropriation, current 803 BA Outlays 3,969 5,200 0 Total Expansion and improvements Construction of mint facilities Outlays Coinage profit fund Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays 5,096 * 3,070 3,008 3,070 3,008 BA 0 3,969 5,200 5,096 0 1,021 4,684 BA 0 6,275 3,910 5,000 5,000 6,203 6,203 803 803 Total Federal funds Bureau of the Mint BA 0 57,733 50,533 57,758 62,064 58,831 57,827 BA 0 178,234 172,428 199,934 195,935 205,605 201,493 Processing tax returns and executive direction 803 Appropriation, current BA 894,162 988,479 773,350 1,000,778 ^ 17,320 1,014,026 894,162 773,350 1,018,098 1,014,026 988,479 984,525 BA 958,822 1,287,026 0 943,761 1,009,409 D 39,815 1,045,025 1,281,718 BA 0 958,822 943,761 1,049,224 1,045,025 1,287,026 1,281,718 BA 654,566 1,016,046 0 642,953 767,493 30,285 794,587 1,011,982 654,566 642,953 797,778 794,587 1,016,046 1,011,982 Bureau of the Public Debt Federal funds Genera! and Special Funds: Administering the public debt Appropriation, current Outlays 803 Internal Revenue Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Outlays 0 Total Processing tax returns and executive direction BA 0 Examinations and appeals Appropriation, current 803 Outlays Total Examinations and appeals Investigation, collection and taxpayer service Appropriation, current Outlays 803 Total Investigation, collection and taxpayer service BA 0 See footnotes at end of table. 984,525 D 8-148 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Department of the Treasury—Con. Internal Revenue Service—Con. Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 803 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses.. Payment where energy credit exceeds liability for tax 271 Appropriation, current Outlays Payment where credit exceeds liability for tax 609 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Refunding internal revenue collections, interest 908 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays Internal revenue collections for Puerto Rico 852 Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays BA 164,376 0 BA 0 153,215 170,510 D 7,402 177,128 . 164,376 153,215 177,912 177,128 . BA 0 440 -215 300 300 200 200 BA 0 1,201,494 1,201,494 1,205,000 1,205,000 1,123,000 1,123,000 BA 0 1,788,871 1,788,871 1,904,000 1,904,000 1,586,000 1,586,000 BA 0 239,403 245,069 270,000 270,000 275,000 275,000 O 154 BA 0 5,902,134 5,748,652 6,422,312 6,410,066 6,275,751 6,262,425 BA 194,077 235,000 D 5,462 270,860 BA 0 1,352 189,668 195,429 189,668 235,353 265,443 240,462 235,353 270,860 265,443 8,765 7,855 204,194 197,523 9,000 9,000 249,462 244,353 11,000 11,000 281,860 276,443 -16,188 -5,023 -5,126 Public Enterprise Funds: Federal tax lien revolving fund Outlays 803 Total Federal funds Internal Revenue Service United States Secret Service Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 751 Reappropriation Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Contribution for annuity benefits Appropriation, permanent, indefinite Outlays BA 0 751 BA 0 Total Federal funds United States Secret Service. BA 0 Comptroller of the Currency Trust funds Assessment funds Outlays See footnotes at end of table. 376 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-149 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Department of the Treasury—Con. Interest on the Public Debt Federal funds General and Special Funds: Interest on the public debt Appropriation, permanent 901 Outlays Public debt principal (exchange losses) Appropriation, permanent Outlays 117,351,592 128,200,000 144,500,000 117,351,592 128,200,000 144,500,000 901 Total Federal funds Interest on the Public Debt... BA 0 52,289 52,289 BA 117,403,881 128,200,000 144,500,000 0 117,403,881 128,200,000 144,500,000 BA 0 129,743,292 128,989,377 142,726,257 142,532,073 160,048,567 159,976,263 803 BA „.« Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Intrafund transactions BA 0 806 908 \ Q -15 A -2,980,867 QA 803 BA Proprietary receipts from the public 050 BA Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) See footnotes at end of table. -6,980,960 _ 14g 2Q2 BA _12f295t734 _3m 11,237 _ ]5] ^ -14,204,846 _ m -15 -5,666,600 J 125,493 _ -15,226,722 _ m 150 QA -88,749 -88,827 -88,831 151 QA -10,245 -7,669 -9,359 152 Q A -12,559 -13,485 -13,741 155 QA -80,309 -81,915 -83,553 800 Q A -93,890 -97,715 -99,002 Qfl1 yul RA -213,632 -136,759 -2,006,406 -1,233,401 111,808,587 111,054,672 119,736,122 119,541,938 908 Total Federal funds -15 J Receipts from off-budget Federal entities 908 , Q Q A BA 0 -1,204,479 137,598,790 137,526,486 BA 4,575,202 4,576,675 4,578,175 0 4,560,630 4,571,652 4,573,049 8-150 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate -207,655 -171,101 -164,065 -4,566,700 -4,566,700 -4,566,700 -270,242 -191,200 -209,200 Department of the Treasury—Con. Summary—Con. interfund transactions 601 BA 803 QA or i p* M Q nno DA Q ° Total Department of the Treasury A BA 0 ^ 111,289,192 110,520,705 118,224,796 118,025,589 135,074,000 134,996,570 Environmental Protection Agency Federal funds General and Special Funds: Salaries and expenses Appropriation, current 304 BA 0 520,363 518,904 245,206 295,183 518,533 BA 0 555,106 520,363 548,613 518,904 540,389 518,533 BA 41,271 20,511 (Outlays) 0 81,101 51,291 19,836 38,323 Total (Energy supply) BA 0 41,271 81,101 20,511 51,291 19,836 38,323 BA 113,045 98,489 (Outlays) 0 116,238 102,418 * 91,833 102,441 Total (Pollution control and abatement) BA 0 113,045 116,238 98,489 102,418 91,833 102,441 Total Research and development BA 0 154,316 197,339 119,000 153,709 111,669 140,764 BA 372,970 369,075 Outlays Total Salaries and expenses Research and development: (Energy supply) (Appropriation, current) (Pollution control and abatement) (Appropriation, current) Abatement, control, and compliance Appropriation, current Outlays Total Abatement, control, and compliance ee footnotes at end of table. 555,106 548,613 K 271 K 304 304 0 523,722 423,538 10,145 * 283,788 366,359 BA 0 372,970 523,722 369,075 423,538 293,933 366,359 THE FEDERAL PROGRAM BY AGENCY AND ACCOUNT 8-151 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1984 estimate 1983 estimate Environmental Protection Agency—Con. 3,621 3,325 3,000 2,825 2,600 4,689 BA 2,430,000 2,400,000 0 2,400,000 (1,000,000) 3,756,152 3,100,000 2,800,000 0 677 1,000 600 0 245 319 0 289 1,633 n 1,598 1002 26,600 26,600 40,000 40,000 44,000 44,000 21 100 100 BA 0 190,000 79,576 210,000 177,000 310,000 269,000 BA 0 22 12 20 20 BA O 3,512,613 5,030,331 3,509,688 4,243,030 3,392,591 3,876,484 < BA 0 CD CD 304 Buildings and facilities Appropriation, current Outlays 304 Construction grants Appropriation, current Liquidation of contract authority, current Outlays Scientific activities overseas (Special foreign currency program) 304 Outlays United States Regulatory Council 304 Outlays Operations, research, and facilities 304 Outlays Enforcement 304 Outlays Payment to the hazardous substance response trust fund 304 Appropriation, current Outlays 1,439 Public Enterprise Funds: Revolving fund for certification and other services 304 Outlays Trust funds Hazardous substance response trust fund Appropriation current Outlays Miscellaneous contributed funds Appropriation, permanent indefinite Outlays Summary Federal funds: (As shown in detail above) Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public Total Federal funds Trust funds: (As shown in detail above) See footnotes at end of table. 304 304 300 BA 0 BA 0 304 BA 0 908 BA 0 -530 -606 -606 J '-2,746 -52 -616 -50 -140 -50 -140 BA 0 3,511,415 5,029,133 3,508,892 4,242,234 3,389,049 3,872,942 BA 0 190,022 79,588 210,000 177,020 310,000 269,020 8-152 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1984 BUDGET ACCOUNTS LISTING (in thousands of dollars)—Continued 1982 actual Account and functional code 1983 estimate 1984 estimate Environmental Protection i Agency—Con. Summary—Con. Deductions for offsetting receipts: Proprietary receipts from the public 304 Total Trust funds 304 Interfund transactions Total Environmental Protection Agency BA 0 -2,331 -9,000 BA 0 137,691 77,257 201,000 168,020 287,000 246,020 BA 0 -26,600 -40,000 -44,000 BA 0 3,672,506 5,079,790 3,669,892 4,370,254 3,632,049 4,074,962 -23,000 National Aeronautics and Space Administration Federal funds General and Special Funds: Research and development: (Space flight) (Appropriation, current) 253 (Outlays) Total (Space flight) BA 3,055,900 3,597,800 0 3,051,451 3,452,000 BA 3,055,900 3,597,800 0 3,051,451 3,452,000 (Appropriation, current) BA 1,015,200 1,166,100 (Outlays) 0 1,078,903 1,115,700 BA 1,015,200 1,166,100 0 1,078,903 1,115,700 BA 402,100 498,900 0 369,869 486,900 K 3,498,000 3,491,000 3,498,000 3,491,000 (Space science, applications, and technology) 254 Total (Space science, applications, and technology) (Supporting space activities) (Appropriation, current) Total (Supporting spac