Full text of H.6 Money Stock Measures : August 18, 1969
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S S a f c " F f D E R A L R E s t a t i s t i c a l S E R V E r e l e a s e H.6 For immediate release August 18, 1969 E f f e c t i v e in the latest w e e k ending A u g u s t 6, the demand deposit component of the money supply w a s increased substantially due to a change in accounting procedures associated w i t h b a n k clearings of E u r o - d o l l a r transactions. Previously, a n increasing volume of such transactions resulted in increases in cash items in process of collection w i t h o u t increasing demand d e p o s i t s . Since cash items are deducted from gross d e p o s i t s in computing the money supply, the effect has been to understate the net d e p o s i t concept measured in the money supply by an increasing amount in recent y e a r s . A tentative r e v i s i o n has b e e n made in the data below and in the appended tables to correct for the estimated downward bias in the series from June 1967-July 1969. Further revisions w i l l be completed in the near future, reflecting new b e n c h m a r k s and changes in seasonal factors w h i c h are incorporated in the series a n n u a l l y . T h e revised money supply series is shown to have increased over the first seven months of 1969 at an annual rate of 4 per cent, compared to 2 . 4 per cent rate indicated by the old series . In the w e e k ending A u g u s t 6, the money supply averaged about $ 5 0 0 m i l l i o n b e l o w the July level. Time and savings deposits declined further in the latest w e e k to a level $1.7 billion below the July average. MONEY SUPPLY AND TIME DEPOSITS (Averages of daily figures, in billions of d o l l a r s ) Seasonally adjusted Money Supply Period Total — ( r Pv i ^ •— Currency component | i Demand deposit component (v A i| i n \ Time deposits adjus ted (All commercial banks) 1969--January February March April May June July p 195.4 195.7 195 .9 197.5 197.4 198.2 199.1 43.6 43.9 44.2 44.2 44.6 44 .9 r 45.2 151.9 151.8 151.7 153.3 152.9 153.3 154.0 202 .5 201 .0 201.0 200.8 200.1 199.2 r 195.8 W e e k ending: 1969--July 2 9 16 23 30 p 199.2 199.8 199.0 198.7 198.2 45.1 45 .1 45 .0 45 .2 45.2 154.1 154.7 154 .0 153 .5 153 .0 198.0 196 r 196.u 145 . i 1 94 .7 198.6 45.3 153.3 1 94 . 1 198.6 45.2 153.5 195 .0 Aug. 6 p A v e r a g e of last 4 w e e k s Preliminary. Digitizedpfor-FRASER r - Revised. ^ V I S E D SKR1ES August 14, 196 9 Money Supply 1 Related Data 1967-1969 (hijliwns of d o l l a r s ) Not Seasonally Adjusted Seasonally Adji.5 ted U.S. Money Supply Money Supply Governmei it 1 Demand Time |Ti, Demand Demand 1 Currency iQepos it Deposits 1Currency Depos it |Dciics;ts C o m p o n e n t | C o m p o n e n t [ A d j u s t e d 1/[Total 1 Component:Component Adjusted 1, Deposits i/ Total | | 1'67 J u 1 ' ivi i \ February March April May June July August September October November December 1968 January February March April May June July August September October November December 170.3 171,8 173.2 172.5 174.4 176.0 177.9 179.1 179.3 180.4 181.3 181.7 182.7 183.1 183.9 184.7 186.7 188.1 190.2 191.2 190.6 191.5 193.3 194.5 1/ 38.5 38,7 38.9 39.0 39.1 39.3 39.4 39.5 39.7 39.9 40.1 40.4 131.8 133.0 134.3 133.5 135.5 136.7 138.5 139.5 139.6 140.5 141.3 141.3 161 .0 163.5 165.9 168.1 170.1 172.6 174.8 177.2 179.4 180.6 182.0 183.5 175.3 170.6 171.9 173.6 171.0 174.3 175.8 175.9 178.5 180,8 182.7 187.5 38.5 38.3 38.5 38.6 38.8 39.2 39.6 39.6 39.7 40.0 40.4 41.2 136.8 132.2 133.4 134.9 132.2 135.1 136,3 136.3 138.7 140.8 142.2 146.2 160.6 164.0 166.7 168.8 170.8 173.0 175.2 177.8 179.0 180.4 181.3 182.0 ,2 5.1 4.9 4.8 6.6 4.0 5.7 4.3 5.0 6.3 5.3 5.0 40.6 40.7 41.1 41.4 41.6 42.0 42.2 42.6 42.7 42.8 43.2 43.4 142.1 142.4 142.8 143.4 145.0 146.0 148.0 148.6 147.9 148.7 150.1 151.1 184.1 185.2 186.7 187.1 187.6 188.2 190.4 193.8 196.6 199.5 201.9 204.3 188.0 181.8 182.5 186.0 183.0 186.2 188.0 187.8 189.7 191.8 194.8 200.7 40.5 40.3 40.7 147.5 141.5 141.8 145.0 141.7 144.3 145.7 145.2 147.0 149.0 151.2 156.- 183.7 185.8 187.7 187.9 188.4 188.6 190.8 194.4 196.2 199.1 200.7 202 .5 5.0 7.2 6.6 4.2 6.4 5.4 5.7 5.5 5.9 6.1 4.2 4.8 A t all commercial b a n k s . 41.1 41.3 41.9 42.4 42.7 42.7 42.9 43.7 44.3 • 4 • E X P L A N A T O R Y NOTE Following is an expanded e x p l a n a t i o n of the revision in the statistics on money supply and related m e a s u r e s incorporated in the previous release dated A u g u s t 14, 1969. That r e v i s i o n w a s necessitated by a change in the Board's Regulation D , effective July 31, requiring member banks to include all "bills payable checks' and so-called "London checks" originating from transactions with foreign branches as deposits subject to reserve r e q u i r c v n t s . The addition of th^se itcmn to b 'rJ ciposits does not ro:x:l i tulc a redefinition of the m o n e y buriJ; / to en io.:,: . .r, u i:r oadcr concept. T:i .!.• .i.uid deposit component of m o n e y su;, ly con:iLts oi demand deposits of private The non-bank h o l d e r s less cash itc:,: in process of collection by the banks. Board's redefinition of cross demand d e p o s i t s is intended to compensate for an overstatement of cash items in process of an equal amount generated by transactions with foreign branches v;td involving r-ainly the borrowing and repayment of E u r o - d o l l a r s . The cash if:o:n', so g e n e r a t e d , in the Board's opinion, represented an unwarranted r e d u c t i o n in r e s e r v e requirements to the extent that they w e r e not matched by deposit ite. x; subject to reserve. T h u s , the effect of the regulatory change is to reestablish the identity in treatment of gross demand deposits and cash items in this r e s p e c t , leaving net demand deposits and the concept of m o n e y supply unchanged. The rapid growth in Eero-dollar transactions, and in the volume of associated cash items, over recent years-- "-vl particularly during the first seven m o n t h s of 1969-- had resulted in an ineLv^s iur; dow.T:>a::d bias in net demand deposits according to the traditional dciini v. downward bias w a s abruptly eliminated in the f i r e : w e e k in A u g u s t and, in &n e e c c r t to m a i n t a i n continuity in the statistical series, the Federal Reserve obtr-in^d retrospective data from the member banks m o s t affected in order to correct the figures on money supply and related m e a s u r e s published earlier. Adjustment for the overstatement of cash items resulted in a somewhat faster growth rate in money supply over the period. For the interval from December 1968 to July 1969, for example, the money supply is now shown to h a v e grown at a 4.1 per cent annual rate, as compared to the 2.4 per cent rate of increase indicated earlier. This correction is not to b e confused with the regular annual revision of money supply s t a t i s t i c s , which will be forthcoming in September. That rev i s i o n , as usual, w i l l incorporate a d j u s t m e n t s indicated by benchmark data (some of which is n o t yet a v a i l a b l e ) for m e m b e r and non-member banks combined and new seasonal factors w h i c h w i l l take account of the month-to-month variation observed d u r i n g the past year. August: 21, 1969.