Full text of Business Conditions Digest : May 1980
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U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Philip M. Klutznick, Secretary Courtenay M. Slater, Chief Economist for the Department of Commerce BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS George Jaszi, Director Allan H. Young, Deputy Director John E. Cremeans, Associate Director for National Analysis and Projections Feliks Tamm, Editor This report is prepared in the Statistical Indicators Division of the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Technical staff and their responsibilities for the publication areBarry A. Beckman—Technical supervision and review Brian D. Kajutti—Composite indexes Morton Somer—Seasonal adjustments Betty F. Tunstall—Data collection and compilation (Phone: 202-523-0541) The cooperation of government and private agencies that provide data is gratefully acknowledged. Agencies furnishing data are indicated in the list of series titles and sources at the back of this report. This publication is prepared under the general guidance of a technical committee under the auspices of the Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards. The Committee consists of the following persons: Beatrice N. Vaccara, Chairman, Bureau of Industrial Economics, U.S. Department of Commerce John E. Cremeans, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce Joseph W. Duncan, Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards Lyle E. Gramley, Council of Economic Advisers, Executive Office of the President Ronald E. Kutscher, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor J. Cortland Peret, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System ABOUT THIS REPORT BUSINESS CONDITIONS DIGEST (BCD) provides a monthly look at many of the economic time series found most useful by business analysts and forecasters. The original BCD, which began publication in 1961 under the title Business Cycle Developments, emphasized the cyclical indicators approach to the analysis of business conditions and prospects. The report's contents were based largely on the list of leading, roughly coincident, and lagging indicators maintained by the National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. In 1968t BCD was expanded to increase its usefulness to analysts using other approaches to business conditions analysis. Principal additions to the report were series from the national income and product accounts and series based on surveys of businessmen's and consumers' anticipations and intentions. The composite indexes were added at that time, and the report's present title was adopted. The dominant feature of the current BCD is the cyclical indicators section, in which each business cycle indicator is assigned a three-way timing classification according to its behavior at peaks, at troughs, and at all turns. This section is supplemented by a section containing other important economic measures. The method of presentation is explained in the introductory text which begins on page 1. Annual subscription price: $40 domestic, $50 foreign. Single copy price: $3.50 domestic, $4.50 foreign. For information concerning foreign airmail delivery, available at an additional charge, write the Superintendent of Documents (address Most of the data contained in this report also are published by their source agencies. A series finding guide and a complete list of series titles and sources can be found at the back of the report. Cyclical Indicators are economic time series which have been singled out as leaders, coinciders, or (aggers based on their general conformity to cyclical movements in aggregate economic activity. In this report, cyclical indicators are classified both by economic process and by their average timing at business cycle peaks, at business cycle troughs, and at peaks and troughs combined. These indicators have been selected primarily on the basis of their cyclical behavior, but they also have proven useful in forecasting, measuring, and interpreting short-term fluctuations in aggregate economic activity. Other Economic Measures provide additional information for the evaluation of current business conditions and prospects. They include selected components of the national income and product accounts; measures of prices, wages, and productivity; measures of the labor force, employment, and unemployment; economic data on Federal, State, and local government activities; measures of U.S. international transactions; and selected economic comparisons with major foreign countries. follows), enclosing a copy of your address label. Make checks payable to the Superintendent of Documents. Send to the U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. BUSINESS CONDITIONS DIGEST New Features and Changes for This Issue ltd* iii METHOD OF PRESENTATION Seasonal Adjustments MCD Moving Averages Reference Turning Dates Part I. Cyclical Indicators Part II. Other Important Economic Measures How To Read Charts How To Locate a Series Summary of Recent Data and Current Changes 1 1 1 1 4 5 5 6 MAY 1980 Data Through April Volume 20, Number 5 PART I. CYCLICAL INDICATORS COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS Al I A2 M| Composite Indexes Leading Index Components Coincident Index Components Lagging Index Components Chart Table 10 12 14 15 60 — — — 16 19 21 23 26 28 31 61 63 64 65 68 69 71 36 — 39 74 77 — CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS Bl B2 B3 B4 B5 B6 B7 Employment and Unemployment Production and Income Consumption, Trade, Orders, and Deliveries Fixed Capital Investment Inventories and Inventory Investment Prices, Costs, and Profits ; Money and Credit DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE Cl I C2 C3~l Diffusion Indexes Selected Diffusion Index Components Rates of Change The Secretary of Commerce has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Department, Use of funds for printing this periodical has been approved by the Director of the Office of Management and Budget through September 1 T 1980. BCII PART II. OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT Al A2 A3. 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Table 80 80 81 81 82 82 82 83 Price Movements Wages and Productivity 48 49 84 87 ElflPLOYWIENT, AND UNEMPLOYMENT Civilian Labor Force and Major Components 51 89 52 53 90 90 56 57 92 93 58 59 59 94 95 96 Chart GNP and Personal Income Personal Consumption Expenditures Gross Private Domestic Investment Government Purchases of Goods and Services Foreign Trade National Income and Its Components Saving Shares of GNP and National Income 'AND PRODUCTIVITY GOVERNMENT Receipts and Expenditures Defense Indicators U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS Merchandise Trade Goods and Services Movements , INTERNATIONAL Industrial Production Consumer Prices Stock Prices III. A. MCD and Related Measures of Variability (April 1980 issue) QCDand Related Measures of Variability (April 1980 issue) B. Current Adjustment Factors C. Historical Data for Selected Series D. Descriptions and Sources of Series (See "Alphabetical Index—Series Finding Guide") E. Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions: 1854 to 1975 (March 1980 issue) F. Specific Peak and Trough Dates for Selected Indicators (October 1979 issue) G. Experimental Data and Analyses Alphabetical Index—Series Finding Guide Titles and Sources of Series 97 98 105 110 114 Readers are invited to submit comments and suggestions concerning this publication. Address them to Feliks Tamm, Chief, Statistical Indicators Division, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, D.C. 20230 NEW FEATURES AND CHANGES FOR THIS ISSUE A limited number of changes are made from time to time to * incorporate recent findings of economic research, newly available time series, and revisions made by source agencies in concept, composition, comparability, coverage, seasonal adjustment methods, benchmark data, etc. Changes may result in revisions of data, additions or deletions of series, changes in placement of series in relation to Changes in this issue are as follows: 1. Data from the survey on "Manufacturers1 Shipments, Inventories, and Orders" (M3-1) have been revised by the source agency for the period 1977 to date to reflect new seasonal factors based on data through 1979. The following BCD series have been revised: Series 6-8, 10, 20, 24, 25, 27, 36, 38, 65, 69, 78, 96, 548, 559, 588, 964. Series 561 was not affected by the new seasonal adjustment. Revised data for the other series (31, 56, 57, 70, 71, 77, and the inventory/sales ratio for manufacturing) that include data from the M3-1 Survey will be published when they become available. Further information concerning these revisions may be obtained from the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Industry Division. (Continued on page iv.) The June issue of BUSINESS CONDITIONS DIGEST is scheduled for release on July 2. other series, changes in composition of indexes, etc. 2. The series on productivity and costs (series 26; 63; 345; 346; 358; 370; and Unit labor cost, all persons, nonfarm business sector) have been revised in their entirety by the source agency. These revisions reflect (1) the reestimation of average weekly hours for nonproductiofi workers based on newly available information; (2) the new (January 1980) seasonal adjustment factors for the Consumer price index for all urban consumers (affecting series 346 only); and (3) the adjustment of quarterly productivity and cost measures for the manufacturing sector to conform with revised estimates of output for 1979. Revised 1979 data for these series were shown in the April ECD3 and revised data for the earlier period are included in this issue. Further information concerning these revisions may be obtained from the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Office of Productivity and Technology, Division of Productivity Research. 3. Appendix C contains historical data for series 23, 320, 322, 334, 335, 517, 525, 543, 577, 578, 580, and 967. 4. Appendix G contains cyclical comparisons for series 8, 20, 73, 74, 80, and 82. iv METHOD OF PRESENTATION This report is organized into two major parts. Part I, Cyclical Indicators, includes about 150 time series which have been found to conform well to broad fluctuations in comprehensive measures of economic activity. Nearly three-fourths of these are individual indicators, the rest are related analytical measures: Composite indexes, diffusion indexes, and rates of change. Part II, Other Important Economic Measures, covers over 140 series which are valuable to business analysts and forecasters but which do not conform well enough to business cycles to qualify as cyclical indicators. (There are a few exceptions: Four series which are included in part I are also shown in part II to complete the systematic presentation of certain sets of data, such as real GNP and unemployment.) The largest section of part II consists of quarterly series from the national income and product accounts; other sections relate to prices, labor force, government and defense-related activities, and international transactions and comparisons. The two parts are further divided into sections (see table of contents), and each of these sections is described briefly in this introduction. Data are shown both in charts and in tables. Most charts begin with 1956, but those for the composite indexes and their components (part I, section A) begin with 1948, and a few charts use a two-panel format which covers only the period since 1969. Except for section F in part II, charts contain shading which indicates periods of recession in general business activity. The tables contain data for only the last few years. The historical data for the various time series are contained in the 1977 Handbook of Cyclical Indicators. In addition to the charts and tables described above, each issue contains a summary table which shows the current behavior of many of the series. Appendixes present seasonal adjustment factors, measures of variability, specific cycle turning dates, cyclical comparison charts, and other information of analytical interest. An index appears at the back of each issue. It should be noted that the series numbers used are for identification purposes only and do not reflect precise relationships or order. However, all series considered as cyclical indicators are numbered in the range 1 to 199. Adjustments for average seasonal fluctuations are often necessary to bring out the underlying trends of time series. Such adjustments allow for the effects of repetitive intrayear variations resulting primarily from normal differences in weather conditions and from various institutional arrangements. Variations attributable to holidays are usually accounted for by the seasonal adjustment process; however, a separate holiday adjustment is occasionally required for holidays with variable dates, such as Easter. An additional adjustment is sometimes necessary for series which contain considerable variation due to the number of working or trading days in each month. As used in this report, the term "seasonal adjustment" includes trading-day and holiday adjustments where they have been made. Most of the series in this report are presented in seasonally adjusted form and, in most cases, these are the official figures released by the source agencies. However, for the special purposes of this report, a number of series not ordinarily published in seasonally adjusted form are shown here on a seasonally adjusted basis. MCD Moving Averages Month-to-month changes in a series are often dominated by erratic movements. MCD (months for cyclical dominance) is an estimate of the appropriate span over which to observe cyclical movements in a monthly series. (See appendix A.) It is the smallest span of months for which the average change in the cyclical factor is greater than that in the irregular factor. The more erratic a series ist the larger the MCD will be; thus, MCD is 1 for the smoothest series and 6 for the most erratic. MCD moving averages (that is, moving averages of the period equal to MCD) tend to have about the same degree of smoothness for all series. Thus, a 5-term moving average of a series with an MCD of 5 will show .its cyclical movements about as clearly as the seasonally adjusted data for a series with an MCD of 1. The charts in this report generally include centered MCD moving averages for those series with an MCD greater than 4. The seasonally adjusted data are also plotted to indicate their variation about the moving averages and to provide observations for the most recent months. Part I. CYCLICAL INDICATORS Business cycles have been defined as sequences of expansion and contraction in various economic processes that show up as major fluctuations in aggregate economic activity—that is, in comprehensive measures of production, employment, income, and trade. While recurrent and pervasive, business cycles of historical experience have been definitely nonperiodic and have varied greatly in duration and intensity, reflecting changes in economic systems, conditions, policies, and outside disturbances. One of the techniques developed in business cycle research and widely used as a tool for analyzing current economic conditions and prospects is the cyclical indicators approach. This approach identifies certain economic time series as tending to lead, coincide with or lag behind the broad movements in aggregate economic activity. Such indicators have been selected and analyzed by NBER in a series of studies published between 1938 and 1967. During the 1972-75 period, a new comprehensive review of cyclical indicators was carried out by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) with the cooperation of the NBER research staff. The present format and content of part I of BCD are based on the results of that study. Section A. Composite Indexes and Their Components All cyclical indicators have been evaluated according to six major characteristics: Economic significance, statistical adequacy, consistency of timing at business cycle peaks and troughs, c o n f o r m i t y to business e x p a n s i o n s and contractions, smoothness, and prompt availability (currency). A formal, detailed weighting scheme was developed and used to assess each series by all of the above criteria. (See articles in the May and November 1975 issues of BCD.) The resulting Reference Turning Dates scores relate to cyclical behavior of the series The historical business cycle turning dates used during the period 1947-70. This analysis produced in this report are those designated by the National a new list of indicators classified by economic Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. (NBER). They process and typical timing at business cycle peaks mark the approximate dates when, according to and troughs. (See tables on page 2 and text below NBER, aggregate economic activity reached its relating to section B.) This information, particularly the scores relating cyclical high or low levels. As a matter of general practice, neither new reference turning dates nor to consistency of timing, served as a basis for the the shading for recessions will be entered on the selection of series to be included in the composite charts until after both the new reference peak and indexes. The indexes incorporate the best-scoring the new reference trough bounding the shaded area series from many different economic-process groups and combine those with similar timing have been designated. The historical reference turning dates are subject behavior, using their overall performance scores as to periodic review by NBER and on occasion are weights. Because they use series of historically changed as a result of revisions in important tested usefulness and given timing characteristics economic time series. The dates shown in this pub- (for example, leading at both peaks and troughs), lication for the 1948-1970 time period are those with diversified economic coverage and a minimum determined by a 1974 review. The turning dates for of duplication, composite indexes give more the 1973-1975 period are detailed in NBER's 1976 reliable signals over time than do any of the individual indicators. Furthermore, much of the Annual Report. 1 Cross-Classification of Cyclical Indicators by Economic Process and Cyclical Timing A. Timing at Business Cycle Peaks 1. X, Economic \Process II. PRODUCTION AND INCOME (10 series) EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOY. MENT (18 series) Cyclical X. Timing X. Marginal employment adjustments (6 series) Job vacancies (2 series) Comprehensive employment (1 series) Comprehensive unemployment (3 series) LEADING (L) INDICATORS (62 series) .,._. , _._.,=====_=,==_ , ROUGHLY ' Comprehensive employment (1 series) New and unfilled orders and deliveries (6 series) Consumption (2 series) Capacity utilization (2 series) Formation of business enterprises (2 series) Business investment commitments (5 series) Residential construction (3 series) VI. PRICES, COSTS, AND PROFITS (17 series) Comprehensive output and real income (4 series) Industrial production (4 series) Consumption and trade (4 series) VII. MONEY AND CREDIT (26 series) ! j , Stock prices (1 series) Commodity prices (1 series) Profits and profit margins (7 series) Cash flows (2 series) Inventory investment (4 series) inventories on hand and on order (1 series) ... . ........ Money flows (3 series) Real money supply (2 series) Credit flows (4 series) Credit difficulties (2 series) Bank reserves (2 series) Interest rates (1 series) . : \ > ,. , Backlog of investment commitments (1 series) Business investment expenditures (5 series) Duration of unemployment (2 series) LAGGING {Lg) INDICATORS (18 series) V. INVENTORIES AND INVENTORY INVESTMENT (9 series) IV. FIXED CAPITAL INVESTMENT (18 series) ' COINCIDENT(C) INDICATORS (23 series) _=_-„..-,,,-__, III. CONSUMPTION. TRADE, ORDERS, AND DELIVERIES (13 series) Velocity of money (2 series) 1 nterest rates (2 series) ' i Inventories on hand and on order (4 series) Business investment expenditures (1 series) Unit labor costs and labor share (4 series) Interest rates (4 series) Outstanding debt (3 series) Commodity prices (1 series) Profit share (1 series) Interest rates (1 series) VI. PRICES, COSTS, AND PROFITS (17 series) VII. MONEY AND CREDIT (26 series) _ :__,__ .Comprehensive employment (3 series) TIMING UNCLASSIFIED (U) (8 series) Business investment commitments (1 series) Trade (1 series) B. Timing at Business Cycle Troughs \ \^ Economic XJProcess Cyclicalrv Timing X^ ~|] i. x^ II. PRODUCTION AND INCOME (10 series) EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT (18 series) Industrial production (1 series) New and unfilled orders and deliveries (5 series) Consumption and trade (4 series) Formation of business enterprises (2 series) Business investment commitments (4 series) Residential construction (3 series) Consumption and trade (3 series) Business investment commitments (1 series) ; 1 ROUGHLY COINCIDENT(C) INDICATORS (23 series) Comprehensive output and real income (4 series) Industrial production (3 series) Capacity utilization (2 series) Marginal employment adjustments (2 series) Comprehensive employment (4 series) ,___ _________ ' I' . . . . --.-.-. ;<f • . Business investment commitments (2 series) Business Investment expenditures (6 series) . . . - , :i , Inventories on hanc and on order (5 se ries) Unit labor costs and labor share (4 series) , Velocity of money (1 series) Bank reserves (1 series) Interest rates (8 series) Outstanding debt (3 series) j; ;i \ ; • j \ i I . .... ...... Bank reserves (1 series) ! ..__.! Money flow (1 series) Velocity of money (1 series) Profits (2 series) :j TIMING UNCLASSIFIED fU) (1 series) j _.. Money flows (2 series) Real money supply (2 series) Credit flows (4 series) Credit difficulties (2 series) Stock prices (1 series) Cbmmodfty prices (2 series) Profits and profit margins ' (6 series) i Cash ftows (2 series) i '! Unfilled orders (1 series) _.,_ ________ J _J_ Inventory inves tment (4 series) ;i .. . . . Marginal employment adjustments (1 series) Job vacancies (2 series) Comprehensive employment (1 series) Comprehensive and duration of unemployment (5 series) LAGGING (Lg) INDICATORS (40 series) . i Marginal employment adjustments (3 series) LEADING (L) INDICATORS (47 series) V. INVE MTORIES AND INVE MTORY INVE,5TMENT (9 series) IV. ! CONSUMPTION, FIXED 1 TRADE, CAPITAL ORDERS, AND INVESTMENT DELIVERIES (18 series) (13 series) III. independent measurement error and other "noise" in the included series are smoothed out in the index as a whole. The indexes include only monthly series that are acceptable in terms of relatively prompt availability and reasonable accuracy. The main composite indexes are distinguished by their cyclical timing. Thus, there is an index of leading indicators, series which historically reached their cyclical peaks and troughs earlier than the corresponding business cycle turns. There is an index of roughly coincident indicators, consisting of series which historically reached their turning points at about the same time as the general economy, and an index of lagging indicators, which includes series that typically reached their peaks and troughs later than the corresponding business cycle turns. The leading index contains series with long as well as short leads, but each series leads on the average over time and shows a frequency of leads at the individual turns exceeding that attributable to chance, given the historical distribution of cyclical timing. (An analogous statement applies to the components of the lagging index.) Since 1948, leads were generally more frequent and longer at peaks than at troughs of business cycles, while lags were generally more frequent and longer at troughs than at peaks. The adopted system of scoring and classifying the indicators takes into account these w e l l - e s t a b l i s h e d d i f f e r e n c e s in timing. Consequently, rough coincidences include short leads (-) and lags ( + ) as well as exact coincidences (0). (For monthly series, the range is from -3 through +1 at peaks and from -1 through +3 at troughs, where minus denotes leads and plus denotes lags in months.) For purposes of constructing a composite index, each component series is standardized: The monthto-month percent changes in a given series are divided by the long-run average (without regard to sign) of those changes. Thus, the more volatile series are prevented from dominating the index. The coincident index is calculated so that its longterm trend (since 1948) equals the average of the trends of its four components. This trend, which is similar to that of GNP in constant dollars, can be viewed as a linear approximation to the secular movement (at an average growth rate) in aggregate economic activity. The indexes of leading and lagging indicators have been adjusted so that both their trends and their average month-to-month percent changes (without regard to sign) are approximately equal to those of the coincident index. (For a more detailed description of the method of constructing the composite indexes, see.the 1977 Handbook of Cyclical Indicators.) In addition to these principal composite indexes, differentiated according to cyclical timing, there are five indexes based on leading indicators which have been grouped by economic process. Taken together, these additional indexes include all 12 component series of the overall leading index, plus a few related series. Also shown in this section is the ratio of the index of roughly coincident indicators to the index of lagging indicators, a series known to have a useful pattern of early cyclical timing. Numbers entered on the charts of the composite indexes show the length, in months, of leads (-) and lags (+) at each of the reference turning dates covered. The next set of data consists of series included in the principal composite indexes. These are the 12 components of the leading index, the 4 components of the coincident index, and the 6 components of the lagging index. Following the title of each series, its typical timing is identified by three letter symbols in a small box. The first of these letters refers to the timing of the given indicator at business cycle peaks, the second to its timing at business cycle troughs, and the third to its timing at all turns, i.e., at peaks and troughs combined. "L" denotes a tendency to lead, "C" a tendency to roughly coincide with the business cycle turns (as represented by the NBERdesignated reference dates), and "Lg" a tendency to lag. Since these series have been selected for the consistency of their timing at both peaks and troughs, all components of the leading index are denoted "L,L,L," all components of the coincident index "C,C,C," and all components of the lagging index "Lg,Lg,Lg." It should be remembered that these classifications are based on limited evidence, namely the performance of the indicators during the business cycles of the 1948-70 period, which included five peaks and five troughs. While the timing classifications are expected to agree with the patterns prevailing in the near future, they will not necessarily hold invariably in every instance. The timing of the series in the post-1970 period can be determined by inspection of the charts where the 1973-75 recession is shaded according to the dates of the NBER reference cycle chronology. August '57, April '60, and December '69); crossclassification B, on their behavior at five business cycle troughs (October '49, May '54, April '58, February '61, and November 70). Each tabulation distinguishes seven major economic processes and four types of cyclical timing. The titles in the cells identify subgroups of the given economic process with the given timing characteristic. The number of series in each such group is given in parentheses following the title. Complete information on how individual indicators are classified by timing at peaks, troughs, and all turns, along with selected measures and scores, is provided in the 1977 Handbook of Cyclical Indicators. Section C. Diffusion Indexes and Rates of Change Many series in this report are aggregates compiled from numerous components. How the individual components of an aggregate move over a given timespan is summarized by a diffusion index which indicates the percentage of components that are rising (with half of the unchanged components considered rising). Cyclical changes in these diffusion indexes tend to lead those of the corresponding aggregates. Since diffusion indexes are highly erratic, they are computed from changes measured over 6- or 9-month (or 3- or 4-quarter) spans, as well as 1-month (or 1-quarter) spans. Longer spans help to highlight the trends underlying the shorter-term fluctuations. Diffusion indexes are shown for the component series included in each of the three composite indexes and for the components of some of the aggregate series shown in section B. Diffusion measures can be derived not only from actual data but also from surveys of anticipations or intentions. Indexes based on responses of business executives about their plans and Section B. Cyclical Indicators by Economic Process expectations for several operating variables are presented, along with the corresponding indexes This section covers 111 individual time series, based on actual data, as the last set of diffusion including the 22 indicators used in the series. This section also records rates of change for the construction of the composite indexes. The peak and trough timing classifications are shown on the three composite indexes (leading, coincident, and charts in the same manner as described above, but lagging) and for four indicators of aggregate this section includes series with different timing at economic activity: GNP in constant dollars peaks and at troughs, as well as series where the (quarterly), industrial production, employee hours timing is not sufficiently consistent to be classified in nonagricultural establishments, and personal as either L,C, or Lg according to the probabilistic income less transfers in constant dollars. Rates of measures and scoring criteria adopted. Such series change are shown for 1- and 3-month spans or for are labeled U, i.e., unclassified as to timing at 1-quarter spans. Although movements in diffusion indexes and in turning points of the given type. Eight series are unclassified at peaks, one series at troughs, and 19 rates of change for the same aggregates are series at all turns (of the 19, 15 have definite but generally positively correlated, these two measures different timing at peaks and at troughs). No series present information about two related but distinct that is classified as U both at peaks and at troughs aspects of economic change. Diffusion indexes measure the prevailing direction or scope of is included in the list of cyclical indicators. The classification scheme which groups the change, while rates of change measure the degree indicators of this section by economic process and as well as the overall direction. As is the case for cyclical timing is summarized in the two diffusion indexes, cyclical movements in the rates tabulations on page 2. Cross-classification A is of change tend to lead those of the corresponding based on the observed behavior of the series at five indexes or aggregates, and thus, they tend to lead business cycle peaks (November '48, July '53, at the business cycle turns as well. Part II. OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES Gross private domestic investment (A3) is fixed Section C. Labor Force, Employment, and capital goods purchased by private business and Unemployment nonprofit institutions and the value of the change This section contains measures of the civilian This part is divided into six sections which cover in the physical volume of inventories held by labor force and its major components: Total private business. The former include all private a wide range of quarterly and monthly time series numbers of employed and unemployed persons. measuring various aspects of economic activity. purchases of dwellings, whether purchased for The number of unemployed is subdivided into tenant or owner occupancy. Net purchases of used Some of these series are very comprehensive, selected categories defined by sex, age, and class pertaining to the U,S, economy as a whole, others goods are also included. of worker. Also included are data on participation Government purchases of goods and services have to do with particular sectors or markets, and rates for a few principal segments of the labor (A4) is the compensation of government employees still others relate to U.S. international transactions force. or to selected foreign countries, The represented and purchases from business and from abroad. It variables include incomes, outputs, and excludes transfer payments, interest paid by Section D. Government Activities expenditures; prices, earnings, and productivity; government, and subsidies. It includes gross Receipts, expenditures, and their balance (surlabor r e s o u r c e s ; g o v e r n m e n t receipts, investment by government enterprises but excludes expenditures, and defense-related activities; ex- their current outlays. It includes net purchases of plus or deficit) are shown quarterly on two levels: ports and imports; and selected indicators for a few used goods and excludes sales and purchases of (1) Federal Government and (2) State and local land and financial assets. government. Also shown is a selection of series key foreign countries. Net exports of goods and services (AS) is exports from the discontinued Defense Indicators. less imports of goods and services. Exports are part These series measure defense activities which Section A. National Income and Product of the national production; imports are not, but are influence short-term changes in the national The national income and product accounts, included in the components of GNP and are economy. Included are series relating to compiled by BEA, summarize both receipts and therefore deducted. More detail on U.S. obligations, contracts, orders, production, final expenditures for the personal, business, international transactions is provided in section E. shipments, inventories, outlays, and employment. foreign, and government sectors of the economy. National income (A6) is the incomes that These series are grouped according to the time at Section Al shows the gross national product, originate in the production of goods and services which the activities they measure occur in the final sales, and personal and disposable personal attributable to labor and property supplied by defense order-production-delivery process, Series income. The four major components of the gross residents of the United States. Thus, it measures measuring activities which usually precede pronational p r o d u c t — p e r s o n a l consumption the factor costs of the goods and services production, such as contract awards and new orders, expenditures, gross private domestic investment, duced. It consists of the compensation of are classified as "advance measures of defense government purchases of goods and services, and employees, proprietors' income, rental income of activity." Series measuring activities which tend to net exports of goods and services—are presented in persons, corporate profits, and net interest. coincide with production, such as employment, and sections A2 through A5. Most of the series in Saving (A7) is the difference between income activities which usually follow production, such as section A are presented in current as well as and expenditures during an accounting period. shipments, are classified as "intermediate and final constant dollars. There are also a few per capita Total gross saving includes personal saving, measures of defense activity/' series. The national income and product accounts, business saving (mainly undistributed corporate briefly defined below, are described more fully in profits and capital consumption allowances), and Section E. U.S. International Transactions the Survey of Current Business, Part I, government surplus or deficit. January 1976. This group includes monthly series on exports Shares of GNP and national income (A8).—The Gross national product (GNP) is the market major e x p e n d i t u r e c o m p o n e n t s of GNP (excluding military aid) and general imports, plus a value of'final goods and services produced by the (consumption, investment, etc.) are expressed as few selected components of these aggregates. Also labor and property supplied by residents of the percentages of GNP, and the major income shown are the balances between receipts and United States, before deduction of allowances for components of national income (compensation of expenditures for goods and services, merchandise, the consumption of fixed capital goods. It is the employees, corporate profits, etc.) are expressed as and investment income. most comprehensive measure of aggregate percentages of national income. Section F. International Comparisons economic output. Final sales is GNP less change in business inventories. Personal income is the income received by This section is designed to facilitate a quick persons (individuals, owners of unincorporated Section B. Prices, Wages, and Productivity review of basic economic conditions in six of the businesses, nonprofit institutions, private trust nations with which we have important trade funds, and private noninsured welfare funds) from The important data on price movements include relationships. The U.S. business cycle shading has all sources, it is the sum of wage and salary the monthly consumer and producer price indexes been omitted from these charts. Data on industrial disbursements, other labor income, proprietors' and their major components. Based largely on production, consumer prices, and stock prices for income, rental income of persons, dividends, these series are the quarterly price indexes from Canada, the United Kingdom, France, West Gerpersonal interest income, and transfer payments, the national income and product accounts, notably many, Japan, and Italy are compared with the corless personal contributions for social insurance. the GNP implicit price deflator (with weights responding U.S. series. Also included is an inDisposable personal income is the personal reflecting the changing proportions of different dustrial production index for the European income available for spending or saving. It consists expenditure categories in GNP) and the fixed- countries in the Organization for Economic of personal income less personal taxes and nontax weighted price index for the gross business prod- Cooperation and Development (OECD). The inpayments to government. uct. Data on both levels and percent changes are dustrial production series provide cyclically sensitive output measures for large parts of the Personal consumption expenditures (A2) is presented for the period since 1969. The group of series on wages and productivity economies covered. Changes in consumer price ingoods and services purchased by individuals, operating expenses of nonprofit institutions, and consists of data on average hourly earnings and dexes (plotted for the period since 1969) provide the value of food, fuel, clothing, rent of dwellings, average hourly compensation (including earnings important measures of the rates of inflation in the and financial services received in kind by in- and other benefits) in current and constant dollars, major industrialized countries. Stock prices (also dividuals. Net purchases of used goods are also in- output per hour of work in the business sector, and shown beginning iin 1969) tend to be significant as rates of change for most of these measures. leading indicators. cluded. HOW TO READ CHARTS Peak (P) of cycle indicates end of expansion and beginning of recession (shaded area) as designated by NBER. Basic Data Trough (T) of cycle indicates end of recession and beginning of expansion as designated by NBER. Arabic number indicates latest month for which data are plotted. ("9" = September) Solid line indicates monthly data. (Data may be actual monthly figures or moving averages.) Dotted line indicates anticipated data. Broken line indicates actual monthly data for series where a moving average is plotted. Roman number indicates latest quarter for which data are plotted. ("IV" = fourth quarter) Solid line with plotting points indicates quarterly data. Parallel lines indicates a break in continuity (data not available, extreme value, etc.). Diffusion Indexes Solid line indicates monthly data over 6- or 9-month spans. Broken line indicates monthly data over 1-month spans. Arabic number indicates latest month for which data are used in computing the indexes. Broken line with plotting points indicates quarterly data over 1-quarter spans. Roman number indicates latest quarter for which data are used in computing the indexes. Solid line with plotting points indicates quarterly data over various spans. Diffusion indexes and rates of change are centered within the spans they cover. Various scales are used to highlight the patterns of the individual series. "Scale A" is an arithmetic scale, "scale L-1" is a logarithmic scale with 1 cycle in a given distance, "scale L-2" is a logarithmic scale with two cycles in that distance, etc. i 1; Rates of Change Solid line indicates percent changes over 3- or 6-month spans. Dotted line indicates anticipated quarterly data over various spans. Arabic number indicates latest month used in computing the changes. Broken line indicates percent changes over 1-month spans. Broken line with plotting points indicates percent changes over 1-quarter spans. Solid line with plotting points indicates percent changes over 3-or 4-quarter spans. Roman number indicates latest quarter used in computing the changes. HOW TO LOCATE A SERIES 1. See ALPHABETICAL INDEX-SERIES FINDING GUIDE at the back of the report where series are arranged alphabetically according to subject matter and key words and phrases of the series titles, or 2. See TITLES AND SOURCES OF SERIES at the back of the report where series are listed numerically according to series numbers within each of the report's sections. Table 1. Summary of Recent Data and Current Changes for Principal Indicators Basic data1 Unit of measure Timing classification3 Series title 1979 1978 I. CYCLICAL INDICATORS A. Composite Indexes Percant crown Average 3<JQ 4th Q IstQ 1979 1979 1980 Feb. 1980 Mar. 1980 £ 4th Q to IstQ Mar. 1980 to A|ir. 3dQ to 4th Q 1980 1979 1980 126.3 140.5 198.5 -2.1 -1.2 -4.8 -1.9 -2.6 -1.5 -0.2 Apr. 1980 Feb. Mar. to 8 £ i 91 0 Twelve leading indicators 920. Four coincident indicators 930. Six lagging indicators 1967=100 .. do. . . . do. . . . 141.8 140.1 143.1 ... .., ... ... 115.7 106.2 L.L.L L,L,L do do. do. do. do. 93.2 91.7 149.0 145.3 147.2 Marginal Employment Adjustments: *1. Average workweek, prod, workers, mfg 21, Avg. weekly overtime, prod, workers, mfg.2 . . 2. Accession rate, per 100 employees, mfg.2 6. Avg. weekly initial claims (inverted4) *3. Layoff rate, per 100 employ., mfg. (inv. 4 ) 2 .. 4. Quit rate, per 100 employees, mfg.2 1,1.1 L.C.L L,L,L L.C.L L.L.L Ulg.U Hours do. . . . Percent Thousands. . Percent do. . . . 40.4 40.2 40.2 3.6 4.1 339 0.9 2.1 3.3 3.9 381 1.1 2.0 3.2 3.8 391 1.3 1.9 3.2 4.0 404 1.2 2.0 3.1 3.9 406 1.4 2.0 3.1 4.0 375 1.3 2.1 3.1 3.6 440 1.5 1.9 Job Vacancies: 80. Ratio, help-wonted advertising to persons unemployed2 46 Help-wanted advertising , Ulg,U L,Lg,U Ratio 1967-100... 0.738 149 0.786 158 0.775 156 0.789 161 0.699 150 0.713 151 0.670 145 U.C.C U,C,C C,C,C L,C,U A,r.,bil.hrs.. Thousands. . do. . . . do. . . . 164.08 91,031 86,446 25,597 169.13 93,648 89,497 26,579 169.55 93,915 89,759 26,638 170.21 94,319 90,108 26,587 171.36 94,486 90,765 26,704 171.48 94,626 90,845 26,732 170.99 94,298 90,799 26,597 169.47 93,912 90,320 26,189 -0.3 -0.3 -0.1 -0.5 -1.5 -0.2 U,Lg,U Percent 58.59 59.25 59.33 59.31 59.17 59.26 59.00 58.63 -0.26 -0.37 6,047 6.0 3.2 5,963 5.8 3.0 6,008 5.8 2.9 6,084 5.9 3.0 6,390 6.1 3.2 6,307 6.0 3.1 6,438 6.2 3.3 7,265 7.0 3.7 -2.1 -0.2 -0.2 -1.2.8 11.9 10.8 10.5 10.5 10.7 10.7 11.0 11.3 1.6 1399.2 1431.6 1 4 3 3 . 3 1 4 4 0 . 3 1 4 4 2 . 6 1145.2 1178.3 1179.3 1186.8 1182.2 1182.'l 1173.*9 1166!3 9 9 5 . 7 1024.1 1021.3 1029.1 1024.3 1024.8 1017.5 1009.1 L.L.L C.C.C Lfl,LQ,Lg Leading Indicator Subgroups: 913. Marginal employment adjustments . , 914. Capital investment commitments 915. Inventory investment and purchasing 916. Profitability 917. Money and financial flows L,L,L L,L,L UL.L , 98.1 140.2 145.1 166.4 140.4 144.9 167.2 136.7 145.0 177.6 134.6 144.7 183.1 135.4 144.9 180.7 132.6 143.2 190.2 5.3 4.4 96.7 95.9 96.3 95.7 96.3 94.3 90.0 113.8 105.9 113.9 105.5 113.0 102.6 112.1 102.2 110.4 101.4 NA 138.9 108.1 98.7 -2.1 -1.5 -0.8 140.7 112.0 102.1 NA 138.7 NA 135.5 -0.3 -2.4 40.2 40.1 40.1 39.8 39.6 -0.7 -0.4 -0.5 -0.3 -0.6 -17.3 -29.3 -0.2 -0.2 -1.3 -0.3 91.8 90.4 89.4 139.3 NA -4.6 -2.1 -2,7 NA 0.1 6.2 0.4 -0.8 -2.7 -1.5 -4.4 910 920 930 3.1 913 914 915 916 917 -0.6 -0.9 -0.5 NA -1.4 B. Cyclical Indicators by Economic Process B1, Employment and Unemployment Comprehensive Employment: 48. Employee hours in nonagri. establishments . . . 42. Persons engaged in nonagri. activities *41. Rmployees on nonagri. payrolls 40. Employees in mfg., mining, construction 90. Ratio, civilian employment to total population of working ags2 Comprehensive Unemployment: 37 Total unemployed (inverted 4 ) „ .. L,Lg,U Thousands . . 43. Unemployment rate, total (inverted 4 ) 2 ULg,U Percent. . : . . 45. Avg. weekly insured unomploy-rate (inv. 4 ) 2 .. L,Lg,U do. . . . *91. Avg. duration of unemployment (inverted4) . . Lg.Lg.Lg 4 2 44. Unemploy. rate, 15 weeks and over (inv, ) .. Lg.Lg.Lg Percent 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.3 2.8 3.0 569 2.8 1.6 0. 0 . 5 0 0 - 0 . 0 4 3 -0.170 122 -4.0 -15.9 0. 0. 0.2 -3.3 0.1 0.1 1 21 2 5 3 4 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0,5 -0.2 0. 60 46 0.014 3.2 •0.090 0,4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.4 48 42 41 40 -0.02 -0.14 90 -•0.4 -1.3 -0.1 -0.1 -5.0 -0,2 -0.2 -2.8 -0.1 -2.7 -0.3 -0.1 37 43 45 91 44 -0^7 -0.7 -0.*6 -0.9 -0.4 -0 . 5 -0.8 0. -6.8 -1.9 -0.1 B2. Production and Income Comprehensive Output and Income; 50 GNP in 1972 dollars 62. Personal income in 1972 dollars *S1 . Pars, income less transfer pay., 197?, dollars . . 53, Wages and salaries in mining, mfg., end construction, 1972 dollars Industrial Production: *47. Industrial production, total 73. Industrial production, durable mfrs, 74. Industrial production, nondurable mfrs 49. Value of goods output, 1972 dollars Capacity Utilization: 82. Capacity utilization rate, mfg,, FRB 2 83, Capacity utilization rate, mfg., BEA2 84. Capacity utilization rate, materials, FRB2 — c,c,c c,c,c C.C.C A.r.,bil.dol. . . . do. .. ......do. . . . C.C.C do. . . . 243.5 246.0 243.9 241.5 238.2 238.9 236.1 230.6 -1.2 -2.3 -1.0 -1.4 S3 C,C,C C,C,C C,L,L C,C,C 1967=100... do. . , . do. . . . A.r., bil. dol. 146.1 139.7 156.9 639.5 152.2 146.3 163.3 653.1 152.3 145.8 164.3 651.3 152.2 145.1 164.4 655.1 152.1 144.1 165.2 657.2 152.3 144.2 165.4 151.3 143.3 164.0 148.5 139.4 161.9 -0.7 -0.6 -0.8 -1.9 -2.7 -1.3 -0.1 -0.5 -0.1 -0.7 47 73 74 49 L.C.U Percent do do. . . . 85.6 85.4 84.6 83.7 85.6 87.2 87.2 86.3 85.2 70.19 41.48 37.16 77.20 41.41 36.46 75.66 40.18 35.77 76.54 39.48 34.71 80.07 39.72 34.80 81.04 40.06 35.61 77.91 38.51 33.15 74.66 36.53 30.33 -3.9 -3.9 -6.9 -4.2 -5.1 -8.5 3.68 3.26 1.52 2.05 2.33 1.96 1.86 1.10 -0.10 0.7 3 -0.76 0.4 -5 L,C,U 84.4 84 82 82 81 -0.8 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.6 -0.8 NA -1 -0.9 0.2 -0.4 -0.5 0.5 0.3 -0.9 NA -1.1 - SO 52 51 82 83 84 B3. Consumption, Trade, Orders, and Deliveries Orders and Deliveries: 6. Now orders, durable goods UL,L 7. Now orders, durable goods, 1972 dollars L.L.L *8. New orders, cons, goods and mtls., 1972 dol. . L,L,L 2 26. dig. in unfilled orders, durable goods L.L.L 96. Mfrs.' unfilled orders, durable goods5 ULg,U *32 Vendor performance2 (§) L,L,L Consumption and Trade: 56 Manufacturing and trade sales . . *57. Manufacturing and trade sales, 1972 dollars . . 75. Industrial production, consumer goods 54 Sales of retail stores 59 Sales of retail stores, 1972 dollars 55. Personal consumption expend., autos 58. Index of consumer sentiment © Bil. dol do. ... do. . . . do. . . . Bil. dol., EOP Percent C.C.C Bil. dol C.L.C C,L,U U,L,U L,C,C L,L,L do. . . . 1967=100... Mil. dol do. . . . A.r., bil. dol. 1 Q 1966^100 L,L,L L.L.L 1967=100... Number. . . . c.c.c 2 2 8 . 8 2 2 6 7 . 8 8 261.74 2 6 7 . 8 8 2 7 4 . 8 5 2 7 3 . 0 0 2 7 4 . 8 5 2 7 5 . 9 5 64 63 49 55 42 45 40 45 254.26 156.32 149.1 66,741 44,314 68.0 79.4 288.36 159.82 150.5 73,837 44,800 69.2 66.0 292.99 160.03 149.6 74,886 45,072 67.9 63.9 300.02 158'. 89 149.0 76,385 44,879 66.8 62.1 310.20 158.83 148.4 77,897 44,310 71.9 63.5 310.49 158.95 149.0 77,993 44,365 66.9 NA 307.57 155.81 NA 148.1 145 «1 76,234 75,325 42,870 42,058 -0.9 -2.0 -0.6 -2.3 -3.4 -2.0 -1.2 -1.9 52, , 8 -15.5 -6.5 56.5 NA NA 1.2 -1.7 -3.0 0.53 4.6 0.6 0.3 0.28 2.3 -6 2.6 -4 2.4 3.4 0. -0.7 -0.4 2.0 -0.4 -1.6 -2.8 6 7 8 25 96 32 7.6 2.3 56 57 75 54 59 55 58 NA NA 12 13 -0.4 2.0 -1.3 84. Fixed Capital Investment Formation of Business Enterprises: *1 2. Net business formation 13 New business incorporations 132.9 131.7 3 9 , 9 9 6 43,714 132.4 131.5 44,084 44,956 NA NA 135.4 NA NA NA NA WA NA NA NA NA 0.7 2.0 Table 1. Summary of Recent Data and Current Changes for Principal Indicators—Continued Basic data1 Timing classification3 Series title Unit of measure Psrcent change Aven* 1978 1979 to Mar to Mar. 1980 Apr. 1980 Feb. 30Q 4th Q IstQ 1979 1979 1980 Feb. 1980 Mar. 1980 Apr. 1980 3dQ to 4th Q 1979 4th Q to IstQ I960 1 I. CYCLICAL INDICATORS-Con. B4. Fixed Capital Investment-Con. Business Investment Commitments: 10. Contracts and orders, plant and equipment . . . UL.L *2Q. Contr. and orders, plant and equip., 1972 dol.. L,L,L 24. New orders, cap. goods Indus., nondefense ... L,L,L 27. New orders, capital goods industries, nondefense, 1972 dollars L,L,L 9. Construction contracts, commercial and industrial buildings, floor space L.C.U 1 1 . New capital appropriations, mfg U,Lg,U 97. Backlog of capital appropriations, mfg.5 C,Lg,Lg Business Investment Expenditures: 61. Business expend., new plant and equipment .. 69. Machinery and equipment sales and business construction expenditures 76 Industrial production business equip 86. Nonresid. fixed investment, total, 1972 dol. .. Residential Construction Commitments and Investment: 28. New private housing units started, total *29 New building permits, private housing 89. Fixed investment, residential, 1972 dol Bit. dol do. ... ... .do do. ... Mil. sq. ft. . . Bil. dol Bil. dol., EOP 22.01 25.25 24.28 25.77 26.12 24.59 26.63 25.21 8.3 -5.3 6.1 13.60 18.30 14.54 21.64 13.65 21.30 14.51 21.70 14.29 22.70 13.53 21.50 14.53 22.95 13.76 23.18 7.4 6.7 -5.3 6.3 1.9 11.41 12.68 12.14 12.52 12.64 12.05 12.75 12.77 5.8 0.2 80.73 16.78 63.43 90.34 22.41 77.10 88.17 22.55 73.58 86.02 23.48 77.10 90.91 30.48 85.12 85.46 82.84 72.90 -3.1 -12.0 153.82 176.37 do. . . . C.Lg.Lg C,Lg,U 1967=100... C,Lg,C A.r., bil. dol. 230.16 270.75 2 7 6 . 5 5 2 8 2 . 7 7 3 0 0 . 0 3 3 0 0 . 6 2 3 0 0 . 8 5 160.3 171.3 172.2 172.9 175.4 175.7 175.5 140.1 148.8 150.7 150.5 152.1 A.r,, thous. . 1967=100... A.r., bil. dol. 2,020 145.4 1,744 123.0 60.1 56.7 3.1 -2.4 4.1 4.8 C,Lg,Lg A.r., bil. dol. L,L,L L.L.L L,L,L 1.0 179.33 186.95 189.49 1,809 133.5 1,593 109.0 56.5 55.8 1,263 1,330 89.9 52.0 92.2 1,041 75.3 NA 175.0 0.1 -0.1 64.1 -21.7 -18.3 -2.1 4.6 2 2 1.0 2 5.7 29.8 10.4 1 9 4.2 1.4 6 6.1 1.4 1.1 6 7 8 -11.9 -18.4 -20.7 -17.5 -1.2 -6.8 2 2 8 -5.7 -3.3 3 -3.49 3 3 3 -0.3 -14.9 1 2.2 0.4 NA -0,1 1,019 1.4 -1.5 B5. Inventories and Inventory Investment Inventory Investment: 30. Chg. in business inventories, 1972 dol.2 *36. Change in inventories on hand and on order, 1972 dollars (smoothed6)2 31. Chg. in book value, mfg. and trade invent.2 .. 38. Chg. in mtl. stocks on hand and on order2 ... . Inventories on Hand and on Order: 71 -Mfg and trade inventories total5 *70. Mfg. and trade invent., total, 1972 dol.s 65 Mfrs ' inventories of finished goods5 77. Ratio, inventories to sales, mfg. and trade, constant dollars2 78. Materials and supplies, stocks on hand and on order5 do. . . . UL,L LLL L.L.L. L.L.L. do ... do. ... Bil. dol 14.1 9.7 7.1 19.02 10.62 13.16 43.2 2.05 46.3 2.56 46.2 1.73 1.4 -1.9 -7.51 -11.00 -11.60 -11.77 NA NA NA -0.17 -12.1 -1.33 3 8 0 . 3 5 4 2 6 . 6 4 418.66 4 2 6 . 6 4 4 3 7 . 6 2 435.07 4 3 7 . 6 2 Lg,Lg,Lg Bil. dol., EOP 2 4 9 . 5 9 2 5 7 . 3 2 2 5 7 . 6 3 257,32 256.31 2 5 6 . 8 2 256.31 do. ... Lg,Lg,Lg do. . . . 63.88 Lg,Lg,Lg 70.53 69.87 70.53 73.94 72.76 73.94 NA NA NA -0.2 Lg,Lg,Lg Ratio NA 0.03 1.57 L,lg,Lg Bil. dol., EOP 1.60 1.62 31.9 2.09 1.62 43.9 2.08 1.62 42.6 2.54 1.62 30.5 1.21 1.65 168.52 199.20 192.93 199.20 2 0 5 . 4 3 2 0 4 . 2 2 2 0 5 . 4 3 NA 0.6 1.6 NA -20.67 NA -14.3 NA 0.36 NA NA NA UA 0.6 NA -1.25 1.9 -0.1 • 0.9 0. 3.2 12.0 -0.01 2.6 -0.4 4.8 0. 3.1 7 7 6 7 7 86. Prices, Costs, and Profits Sensitive Commodity Prices: *92 Chg in sensitive prices (smoothed6)2 23 Industrial materials prices© L,L,L U.L.L Percent 1967=100... 1.23 2.08 2.10 2.42 2.49 2,72 231.0 293.0 297.6 307.1 318.5 322.5 Stock Prices: *19. Stock prices, 500 common stocks© L,L,L Profits 16. 18. 79. 80 15. 26. and Profit Margins: Corporate profits after taxes Corp. prof its after taxes, 1972 dollars Corp. profits after taxes, with 1 VA and CCA . . do in 1972 dol.... Profits (after taxes) per dol. of sales, mfg.2 . . . Ratio, price to unit labor cost nonfarm bus Cash Flows: 34 Net cash flow corporate 35 Net cash flow corporate 1972 dollars ... Unit Labor Costs and Labor Share: 63 Unit labor cost private business sector .... 68. Labor cost (cur. dol.) per unit of gross domestic product (1972), nonfin. corp *62. Labor cost per unit of output, mfg 64. .Compensation of employees as percent of national income2 2.31 1.06 -0.41 316.9 301.9 -1.7 -4.7 194143=10. 9 6 . 0 2 103.01 106.22 105.30 110.30 115.34 104.69 102.97 -9.2 -1.6 L,L,L L.L.L L,C,L L,C,L L,L,L L,L,L A.r.,bil.dol. do. ... do. ... do. ... Cents 1967=100... 121.5 144.1 78.5 83.1 54.2 85.7 85.6 51.6 95.6 94.3 94.2 94.0 UL.L A.r., bil. dol. . . .do 194.1 121.5 222.3 128.8 228.3 130.5 L,L,L 5.4 5.7 3.7 9 2 -0.9 4.7 1 5.9 3.4 -12.7 -14.5 NA 93.6 -0.9 -2.5 -7.5 -8.9 -0.4 -0.2 1 1 7 8 1 2 227.7 127.5 236.2 130.0 -0.3 -2.3 3.7 2.0 3 3 1.9 2.9 6 2.2 2.2 2.6 2.9 6 6 0.2 0.5 6 148.3 146.9 155.5 86.9 86.8 51.5 84.7 80.3 46.9 87.6 70.1 40.1 5,8 5.4 NA Lg,Lg,Lg 1967=100... 194.0 214.0 217.0 221.1 227.5 Lg,Lg,Lg Dollars Lg,Lg,Lg 1967=100... 1.020 164.1 1.115 175.4 1.127 176.0 1.152 179.9 1.182 185.1 75.7 75.8 75.8 76.0 76.5 0.66 0.62 0.71 0.93 0.79 0.39 0.41 0.98 -0.10 0.66 0.97 0.79 0.99 0.54 0.83 0.58 0.71 0.89 0.71 0.29 0.82 222.5 864.4 215.8 845.2 216.0 844.6 212.0 832.9 206.9 815.8 207.7 817.6 204.5 808.4 6.125 1.273 6.322 1.311 6.297 1.308 6.372 1.323 6.428 1.333 1.329 1.334 67.22 35.83 27.54 64.00 -1.52 17.21 Lg,Lg,Lg Percent 185.0 187.6 189.3 1.4 0.9 0.32 3.2 0.07 -0.4 B7. Money and Credit Money: 85 Change in money supply (Ml-8)2 102 Change in money supply (M2)2 *104. Chg. in total liquid assets (smoothed6)2 105. Money supply (M1-B), 1972 dollars *106 Money supply (M2) 1972 dollars Velocity of Money: 107. Ratio, GNP to money supply (M1-B)2 108. Ratio, pers. income to money supply (M2)2 .. Credit Flows: 33 Change in mortgage debt2 1 1 2. Change in business loans2 1 13 Change in consumer installment debt2 1 10. Total private borrowing L.L.L LCU i UL.L L.L.L L,L,L C,C,C C,Lg,C L,L,L L,L,L L,L,L L,L,L Percent. . . . do do Bil. dol do Ratio do. ... A.r., bil. dol. do. ... .do do. ... 90.83 8 6 . 5 7 90.05 77.92 72.24 14.27 22.88 38.15 -4.28 29.93 44.35 37.34 23.77 35.50 20.40 346.63 358.07 424.67 295.83 364.03 -1.22 -0.23 -1.08 -0.60 0.71 200.2 799.2 0.11 -1.5 -1.1 1.338 0.005 -3.22 -37.35 NA -10.33 NA 2.58 -1.12 -0.52 -0,11 -0.40 -0.25 -0.16 -2.1 -1.1 -1.9 -1.4 0.004 -2.4 -2.1 8 10 10 10 10 0.075 0.015 0.056 0.010 10 10 -12.13 -42.43 NA -13.57 -30.3 -5.68 34.21 -3.37 3 11 11 11 NA 4.10 0.02 0.04 -0.12 23.1 Table 1. Summary of Recent Data and Current Changes for Principal Indicators—Continued Basic data1 Series title Timing classification3 Unit of measure Pvrcmt chang* Average 1978 to to Mar. 1980 Apr. 3dQ to 4th Q WO 1979 Feb. 1979 3dQ 4th Q IstQ 1979 1979 1980 Mar. 1980 Feb. 1 1980 Apr. 1980 Mar. 4th Q to IstQ 1980 5 1 a J$ I, CYCLICAL INDICATORS-Con. B7. Money and Credit-Con. Credit Difficulties; 14. Liabilities of business failures (inv.4)® 39. Delinquency rate, instal. loans (inv.4)2 5 l,l,L l,L,l Mil. dot Percent, EOP 2.4b Bank Reserves: 93. Free reserves (inverted4?2®'. 94. Borrowing from the Federal Reserve2 ® L,U,U L,Lg,U Mil.dol do. . . . -679 Interest Rates: 119. Federal funds rate 2 ®.. . 114. Treasury bill rate 2 ® IIS. Treasury bond yields2®. 1 16. Corporate bond yields2^ 117. Municipal bond yields3® 118. Mortgage yields, residential2® 67. Bank rates on short-term bus. loans2® *109. Average prime rate charged by banks2® L,tg,lg Percent do. C,Lg,Lg do. C,Lg,Lg do. Lg,Lg,Lg do. U,lg,Lg do. lg,lg,Lg do. Lg,lg,Lg do. Lg,Lg,Lg Outstanding Debt: 66. Consumer installment debt5 *72. Commercial and industrial loans outstanding, weekly reporting largo comm. banks *96. Ratio, consumer install, debt to pers, income2. Lg,Lg,Lg Bit. dot Lg,Lg,Lg Percent Lg.Lg.Lg 221.33 872 7.94 , .. .. , .. . ... i ... . .. .. ., Bit. dol., EOP 7'. 22 7.89 8.98 6.02 9.75 9.80 9.06 NA 228.61 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA -0.21 -1,104 -1,077 -1,417 -1,607 -1,490 -2,383 - 2 , 3 5 2 1,337 1,207 1,795 1,660 1,917 2,828 2,443 893 1,168 2.64 11.20 10.04 2.59 10.95 6.52 9.63 8.48 9.64 6.28 10.89 13.18 12.67 10.80 12.31 12.12 8.74 10.05 2.64 13.58 11.80 2.53 2.32 2.53 11.33 15.05 13.46 11.15 12.99 14.13 12.81 11.55 13.23 17.19 15.53 11.87 14.08 17.61 14.00 10.83 13.36 7.20 8.23 8.16 9.17 8.63 WA 15.81 15.08 NA 15.67 16.40 NA 14.63 13.45 15.63 18.31 19.77 9.61 2 6 7 . 6 3 303.13 297.19 303.13 308.23 306.80 308.23 NA 126.31 147.06 152.40 154.92 161.16 162.20 162.07 162.29 14.34 14.99 15.07 15.04 14.90 14.92 14.89 NA 3.06 2.72 0.32 0.85 1.01 NA 2.68 0.5 NA NA NA -0.05 -31 340 588 -385 0.42 -1.53 -1.04 -0.72 -0.54 -1.18 1.46 2.63 2.17 1.13 1.69 0.92 NA 3,50 2.96 NA 0.11 190 122 1.47 1.66 1.54 1.66 1.03 NA -0.14 1.32 14 3S 93 94 119 114 115 116 117 116 67 109 HA 2.0 1.7 66 -0.03 0.1 NA 1.7 -0.03 4.0 -0.14 72 95 1.4 1.1 2.0 2.9 0. 2.5 2.2 3.9 0.3 1.4 310 320 320 322 3.5 3.9 4.2 2.1 4.2 4.5 1.4 5.2 3.1 4.3 330 331 332 333 334 2.3 340 -0.1 II. OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES B. Prices, Wages, and Productivity B1. Price Movements 310. 320. 320c. 322. 330. 331. 332 333 334 Implicit price deflator, GNP Consumer prices (CPI), all items® Change in CPI, all items, S/A2 CPI, food Producer pric» {PPI}, all commoditiis;® PPI crude materials ,,.. PPI intirmftdiatft materials PPI capital equipment PPI finished consumer goods 1972^100. . . 1 1967=100... 1 Percent 1967-100... do. do. do. do. do. .. . ... .. . .. . .. . 152.0 195.4 0.7 211.4 165.5 217.4 234.5 209.3 240.2 215.5 199.1 192.6 235.6 282.2 242.8 216.7 215.7 212.9 229.8 109.0 227.1 116.2 119.3 105.8 260.8 113.7 118.3 167.2 221.1 170.6 227.6 174.4 236.5 236.2 242.0 239.1 287.1 247.1 218.5 218.4 247.5 298.2 257.5 223.0 227.5 232.5 105.2 249.5 113.0 118.0 236.4 239.8 242.5 245.5 244.7 247.1 248.4 1.0 0.5 258.7 302.5 270.8 229.9 237.2 259.8 307.4 272.0 229.8 237.2 261.5 300.7 273.4 231.6 241.2 262.3 290.3 273.8 235.9 241.2 0.7 0.3 237.2 242.7 242.6 245.1 245.6 104.0 254.9 111.8 117.9 102.3 261.0 110.1 117.6 102.3 101.9 101.2 -2.2 -3.5 0.5 0.8 1.7 0.1 1.9 D. 1.0 0.2 B2, Wages and Productivity 340. Average hourly earnings, production workers, private nonfarm economy . 341 . Real average hourly earnings, production workers, private nonfarm economy 345. Average hourly compensation, nonfarm bus. . . 346. Real avg. hourly comp., nonfarm business ... 370. Output per hour, private business sector do. ... do. do. do. do. .. . .. . ... .. . -0.4 -0.7 2.0 -1.1 2.2 -1.1 -0.1 -1.6 2.4 -1.5 -0.3 341 345 346 370 C. Labor Force, Employment, and Unemployment 441 . Total civilian labor force 442. Total civilian employment 37 Number of persons unemployed 444 Unemployed males 20 years and over 445, Unemployed females, 20 years and over 446. Unemployed persons, 16-19 years of age Labor Force Participation Rates: 451 . Malos , 20 years and over2 452. Females, 20 years and over2 . . . 453. Bothsexesi 16-19 years of age2 Millions . . . - : 100.42 102.91 1U3.24 103.75 104.19 104.26 104.09 104.42 do. . . . 9 4 . 3 7 96.94 97.23 97.66 97.80 97.95 97.66 97.15 Thousands. . 6,047 5,963 6,008 6,084 6,390 6,307 6>438 7,265 do. ... 2,252 2,274 2,223 2,318 2,507 2,593 3,246 2,696 do. . . . 2,236 2,213 2,209 2,235 2,271 2,254 2,255 2,534 do. ... 1,559 1,528 1,524 1,531 1,526 1,547 1,487 1,485 -3.9 -0.5 12.8 20.4 12.4 -0.1 Percent do. . . . do. ... 79.8 49.6 58.0 -0.2 -0.3 -0.1 -1.0 A.r.,bil.dol. do. . . . do. ... do. ... do. . . . do. . . . 432.1 459.8 -27,7 331.0 303.6 27.4 79.8 50.6 58.1 79.9 50.9 57.5 79.6 51.0 58.2 79.5 51.2 57.6 497.6 509.0 -11.4 354.6 330.0 504.8 516.1 -11.3 359.8 334.5 524.7 540.4 -15.7 368.7 342.9 540.8 562.3 -21.6 375.1 351.3 24.6 25.3 25.8 23.8 79.6 51.3 57.4 79.4 51.0 57.3 79.5 51.5 56.3 -0.2 -0.3 2.1 7.5 0. 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 1.3 1.9 1.2 0.5 -0.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 5.0 11.9 1.6 -0.3 -0,1 0.2 -0.6 441 442 37 444 445 446 451 452 453 D. Government Activities D1, Receipts and Expenditures 501. 502. 500. 511. 612. 510. Federal Government receipts Federal Government expenditures Federal Government surplus qr deficit 2 State and local government receipts State and local government expenditures State and local govt. surplus or deficit2 3.9 4.7 -4.4 2.5 2.5 0.5 3.1 4.1 -5.9 1.7 2.4 -2.0 501 502 SOO 511 512 510 D2. Defense Indicators 517. 525. 548 564. Defense Department obligations Military prime contract awards New orders defense products National defense purchases Mil.dol 10,360 11,132 11,891 11,325 do. . . . 5,157 5,356 5,927 5,159 do. - - . 3,467 3,284 3,199 3,623 A.r..bil.dol. 99.0 108.3 109.0 114.6 NA 12-, 419 NA 7,152 3,876 3,681 119.6 NA NA 4,594 NA NA 4,871 NA NA 24, b NA NA 6.0 -4.8 -13.0 13.3 5.1 NA NA 7.0 4.4 517 525 548 564 5.5 1.8 5.3 602 604 606 612 614 616 E. U.S. International Transactions E1. Merchandise Trade 602. 604. 606. 612. 614. 616. Exports, total except military aid .. Exports of agricultural products Exports of nonelectrical machinery General imports, total Imports of petroleum and products Imports of automobiles and parts . Mil.dol. do do. do. do. do. ... 11,955 15,136 15,742 16,783 17,705 17,233 18,534 2,483 2,896 3,101 3,368 3,430 3,520 3,331 ... 2,500 3,009 3,139 3,221 3,391 3,454 3,423 . . , 14,333 17,195 17,830 19,083 21,064 21,640 20,607 .. . 3,278 4,676 5,101 5,968 6,782 7,741 6,991 .. . 1,725 1,853 1,926 1,887 1,965 2,035 1,960 NA NA NA NA NA NA 7.5 -5.4 -0.9 -4.8 -9.7 -3.7 NA NA NA NA NA NA 6.6 8.6 2.6 7.0 17.0 -2.0 10.4 13.6 4.1 Table 1. Summary of Recent Data and Current Changes for Principal Indicators—Continued Basic data1 Unit Average of Series title measure 1977 1978 Percent change 4th Q : 1st Q 2dQ 3dQ 4th Q IstQ 1978 | 1979 1979 1979 1979 1980 1979 2dQ to 3dQ 3dQ to 4th Q 4th Q to IstQ 1979 1979 1980 5 E 3 ffi <% II. OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES-Con, E2, Goods and Services Movements Except Transfers Under Military Grants 618 620 622 651 652 668 669 667 M6rchand.se exports ..... Merchandise imports ... 2 Merchandise trade balance .... ... Income on U S 'investments abroad . ... Income on foreign investment in the U S ...'.. Exports of goods and services ... Imports of goods and services . . . Balance on goods and services2 Mil. dol 30,204 35,514 45,518 39,421 3 7 , 9 2 2 4 3 , 9 5 3 52,881 4 5 , 3 7 2 -7,718 - 8 , 4 4 0 - 7 , 3 6 2 -5,951 8,147 10,866 16,466 12,907 3,650 6,308 5,455 8,387 46,149 5 5 , 2 5 5 71,578 61,423 48,505 57,351 70,246 60,004 -2,356 -2,806 1,332 -1,419 do. . do . do. . do. . do. do do 41,435 47,632 -6,197 14,082 7,268 64,941 63,345 1,596 42,890 50,299 -7,409 15,371 7,957 67,818 67,265 47,235 54,483 -7,248 17,917 8,743 74,752 72,244 553 2,508 50,514 53,934 59,110 66,156 -8,596 •12,222 18,492 NA 9,580 NA 78,800 NA 78,129 NA 671 NA 6.9 6.8 8.3 8.5 11.9 161 -1,348 - 3 , 6 2 6 16.6 3.2 NA 9.9 NA 9.6 10.2 5.4 NA 7.4 8.1 NA 1,955 -1,837 NA 10.1 618 620 622 651 652 668 669 667 A. National Income and Product A1. GNPand Personal Income 50 200 213 224 225 217 227 GNP in 1972 dollars GNP in current dollars . .. Final sales 1972 dollars Disposable personal income current dollars Disposable personal income, 1972 dollars Per capita GNP in 1972 dollars Per capita disposable pers income, 1972 dol A.r bil.dol. 1340.5 1399.2 1431.6 do. 1899.5 2127.6 2 3 6 8 . 8 do 1327.4 1385.1 1421.9 do 1305.1 1458.4 1624.3 ...... .do 929.5 972.6 994.8 A.r., dollars...... 6,180 6,401 6,494 do. . 4,285 4,449 4,512 1426.6 2235.2 1414.6 1524.8 991.5 6,506 4,522 1430.6 2292.1 1418.4 1572.2 996.6 6,512 4,536 1422.3 2329.8 1404.1 1601.7 993.0 6,460 1433.3 2396.5 1426.2 1640.0 993.4 6,494 4,510 4,501 1440.3 2456.9 1439.0 1683.1 996.2 6,509 4,502 1442.6 2516.1 1444.5 1736.2 997.8 6,497 4,499 0.8 2.9 1.6 2.4 0. 0.5 -0.2 0.5 2.5 0.9 2.6 0.3 0.2 0. 0.2 2.4 0.4 3.2 0.2 -0.2 -0.1 50 200 213 224 225 217 227 A2. Personal Consumption Expenditures 231. 233 238 239 230 232 236 237 Total, 1972 dollars Durable goods 1972 dollars Nondurable goods 1972 dollars Services 1972dollars Total current dollars Durable goods current dollars Nondurable goods current dollars Services current dollars 861.7 900.8 924.5 920.3 921.8 915.0 925.9 935.4 936.0 138.2 146.7 147.1 152.1 150.2 144.8 146.9 146.7 145.5 332.7 343.3 351.9 349.1 348.1 344.1 349.2 355,1 353.0 390.8 410.8 428.3 416.3 423.5 426.1 429.9 433.6 437.6 1210.0 1350.8 1509.8 1415.4 1454.2 1475.9 1528.6 1580.4 1628.7 178.8 200.3 213.0 212.1 213.8 208.7 213.4 216,2 2 2 0 . 4 481.3 596.9 530.6 558.1 571.1 581.2 604.7 630.7 650.6 549.8 619.8 699.8 645.1 686.0 669.3 710.6 733.5 757.8 A.r., bil.dol . . .do. . .. do. . do. do. do do do. . 1.2 1.5 1.5 0.9 3.6 2.3 4.0 3.6 1.0 -0.1 1.7 0.9 3.4 1.3 4.3 3.2 0.1 -0.8 -0.6 0.9 3.1 1.9 3.2 3.3 231 233 238 239 230 232 236 237 A3. Gross Private Domestic Investment 241 243 30 240 242 245 Total 1972 dollars Total fixed investment 1972 dollars Change in business inventories, 1972 dol 2 Total current dollars Total fixed investment current dollars Chg in bus inventories current dol.2 do. . . . .do. . do. . . . .do. . . . .do. . ...do. . . . 200.1 186.9 13.1 303.3 281.3 214.3 200.2 14.1 351.5 329.1 215.2 205.5 9.7 387.2 369.0 217.4 205.5 217.2 204.9 221.7 203.5 12.0 12.3 18.1 370.5 349.8 373.8 354.6 395.4 361.9 214.2 207.1 7.1 392.3 377.8 207.7 206.3 202.2 1.4 387.2 381.7 5.6 -1.9 204.1 384.0 383.9 21.9 22.3 18.2 20.6 19.1 33.4 14.5 do ..do. . do do. . do. . do. 268.5 273.2 274.3 276.0 274.7 272.4 273.1 100.6 167.9 396.2 144.4 251.8 98.6 99.4 99.3 98.1 97.4 174.6 435.6 152.6 283.0 174.9 476.4 166.6 309.8 176.6 453.8 159.0 294.8 101.1 173.6 460.1 163.6 296.5 174.3 466.6 161.7 304.9 175.6 477.8 162.9 314.9 277.1 101.1 176.0 501.2 178.4 322,8 do do do do do do 98.4 88.2 10.3 108.9 119.9 102.3 113.8 101.0 117.0 100.0 116.0 102.9 122.2 102.1 124.3 104.1 130. Q 17.6 12.9 17.0 13.2 20.1 20.1 24.3 257.5 262.1 224.9 229.4 238.5 234.4 243.7 251.9 267.3 269.5 -4.6 -4.5 4.0 -8.1 -2.3 280.4 292.4 -11.9 304.2 318.2 -14.0 0.3 -3.4 -0.8 -3.0 -0.4 -5.7 -1.3 4.4 -18.9 -8.9 1.8 -11.0 1.0 -2.6 -1.1 -3.3 -0.8 0.6 -5.5 241 243 30 240 242 245 A4. Government Purchases of Goods and Services 261 263 267 260 262 266 Total 1972 dollars Federal Government 1972 dollars . State and local governments 1972 dollars Total current dollars Federal Government current dollars State and local governments current dollars 256. 257. 255 252 253 250. Exports of goods and services, 1972 dollars ... Imports of goods and services, 1972 dollars ... Net exports of goods and serv., 1972 dol 2 Exports of goods and services, current dol Imports of goods and services, current dol Net exports of goods and serv., current dol.2 .. 280.0 104.3 175.7 517.4 186.2 331.2 0.3 -0.7 0.7 2.4 0.7 3.3 1.5 3.8 0.2 4.9 9.5 2.5 1.0 3.2 -0.2 3.2 4.4 2.6 261 263 267 260 262 266 A5. Foreign Trade 175.9 185.8 -9.9 97.9 11.0 207.2 217.5 -10.3 105.6 5.3 -0.8 6.9 9.7 7.0 5.8 1.7 2.0 0. 4.9 8.5 -9.6 4.6 1.4 4.2 8.5 8.8 -2.1 256 257 255 252 253 250 A6. National Income and Its Components 220 280 282 286 284 288 National income Compensation of employees Proprietors' income with IVA and CCA . Corporate profits with IVA and CCA Rental income of persons with CCA Net interest 290 295 292 298 293 Gross saving (private and govt ) . . Business saving Personal saving Government surplus or deficit2 Personal saving rate2 do. . . ;do do do do. . do. . 1525.8 1724.3 1924.8 1820.0 1869.0 1897.9 1941.9 1990.4 2031.4 1156.9 1304.5 1459.2 1364.8 1411.2 1439.7 1472.8 1513.2 1554.6 100.2 150.0 24.7 94.0 116.8 167.7 130.8 178.2 125.7 184.8 129.0 178.9 129.3 176.6 130.3 180.8 134.5 176.4 129.8 171.8 25.9 26.9 27.3 26.8 27.0 27.0 109.5 129.7 117.6 122.6 125.6 131.5 139.2 148.1 276.1 230.7 324.6 253.0 363.9 275.9 346.9 264.7 362.2 266.0 374.3 274.6 367.3 281.9 351.9 281.0 344.4 276.8 65.0 72.0 -0.3 73.8 13.2 71.5 10.8 79.2 15.8 85.9 12.7 70.3 14.0 59.7 10,0 27.1 26.6 2.3 2.3 0.8 2.4 -0.7 4.7 2.5 2.7 3.2 -2.4 1.5 5.9 2.1 2.7 -3.5 -2.6 0. 6.4 220 280 282 286 284 288 A7. Saving .do do ...... .do do Percent -19.5 5.0 4.9 4.5 4.7 5.0 5.4 4.3 3.5 64.2 2.2 3.7 -1.9 2.7 -18.2 1.3 -1.1 -4.2 -0.3 -15.1 -4.0 -0.8 NOTE: Series a re seasonally adjusted except tor those indicated by®, which appear to contain no seasonal movement. Series indicated by an asterisk (*) are included in the major composite indexes, Dollar values are in current dollars unless otherwise specified. For complete series titles (including composition of the composite indexes) and sources, see 'Titles and Sources of Series" at the back of BCD. NA = not available, a = anticipated. EOP = end of period. A.r. = annual rate. S/A = seasonally adjusted (used for special emphasis). IVA - inventory valuation adjustment. CCA = capital consumption adjustment. MA -- national income accounts. 1 For a few series, data shown here have been rounded to fewer digits than those shown elsewhere in BCD. Annual figures published by the source agencies are used if available. 2 Differences rather than percent changes are shown for this series. 3 The three-part timing code indicates the timing classification of the series at peaks, at troughs, and at all turns: L = leading; C = roughly coincident; Lg = lagging; U = unclassified. 4 Inverted series. Since this series tends to move counter to movements in general business activity, signs of the changes are reversed. 5 End-of-period series. The annual figures (and quarterly figures for monthly series) are the last figures for the period. 6 This series is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1,2,2,1} placed at the terminal month of the span: -2.1 -1.5 7.5 -7.8 0.2 290 295 292 298 293 CYCLICAL A COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS Chart Al. Composite Indexes (Nov.) (Oct.) P T P T (Aug.) (Apr.) P 1 (Apr.) (Feb.) P I (Djge.) (Nsv.) P T 9ia Index of twelve leading indicators (series 1, 3, 8, 12, 19, 20, 29, 32, 36, 92, 104, 106X (Nov.) (Mar.) P T -gl 920. Index of four rougNy coincident indoors (series 41, 47, 51, 57) 930. Index of six lagging indicators (series 62, 70, 72, 91, 95, 109) 1048 40 50 51 52 53 54 §§ 56 S7 58 59 60 SI 62 63 S4 69 66 67 60 §9 70 71 72 73 M 75 7S 77 78 79 1980 NOTE: Numbers entered on the chart Indicate length of leads (-) and tags (+) in months from reference turning dates. Current data for these series are shown on page 60. 10 MAY 1980 CYCLICAL INDICATORS COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS—Continued Chart Al. Composite Indexes—Continued (Nov.) (Oct.) P I (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (July) (May) P T __ -10 (Apr.) (Feb.) P T 914.Capital investment commitments (^12L 20, 29) -30 _ (Dec.) (Nov.) T (Now.) (Mar.) T + -13 915. Inventory investment and purchasing (series 8, 32, 36, 92) it©- 917. Money and finandaJ ftows (series 104, 106, 110) 940. Ratio, coincident index to lagging index ^ *—-—--^ n NOTE: Numbers entered on the chart indicate length of leads (-) and tags (+) in months from reference turning dates. Current data for these series are shown on page 60. MAY 1980 11 CYCLICAL INDICATORS COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS—Continued Chart A2. Leading Index Components (Nov.) (Oct.) P T Ouly)(May) P T (Aug.) (Apr.) (Dec.) (Nov.) (Apr.) (Feb.) P T P T P T (Nov.) (Mar.) P T 1, Average workweek, production workers, mamfecturing (homs) 3. Layoff rate, manufacturing (per 100 employees-inverted scale) 8, New orders for consumer goods and materials, 1972 dollars (bil. dd.) liU 32. Vendor performance, percent of companies reporting slower deliveries (percent) Lit 12. Net business formation (index: 1967=100) 20. Contracts and orders for want and equipment, jj *fl* 1948 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 1980 Current data for thete series are shown on pages 61, 64, 65, and 66. 12 MAY 1980 ItCII CYCLICAL INDICATORS COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS—Continued Chart A2. Leading Index Components—Continued (Nov.) (Oct.) P T (July) (May) P T (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Nov.) (Mar.) p T 200-1 29. New building permits, private housing units (index: 1967=100) 36. Net change in inventories on hand and on order, 1972 dollars, smoothed1 (ann. rate, bil. dot.) Vs __yaujt™. „ .^,^»~. !__) i. N\ ; . ILUI / V^jy W V y""~\ y v \ / > V X' M, >V / V jTV>/v«r ^*-lfL/ -f ff V AkA / rnA-i V J\ /^ ./PSarBknr tu r 'V^ \A/ : : ' 92. Change in sensitive prices, smoothed1 (percent) y A \ ^y>/^S :S\ A^/v^ " \l +30-i A ' V\ +100- -10-: -20* , , . . 1 3 1-30- +4-1 LLL +2- -2-J 1.5- 104. Change in total liquid assets, smoothed1 (percent) | L,L,L 1.0- 0.59.0 J 19. Stock prices, 500 common stocks (index: 194143=40)- 120 « 100- 31 60« 900800- 106. Money supply«-M2-in 1972 dollars (bil. doi.) 700600- 500490- 1948 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 1980 1 This series is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1,2,2,1) placed on the terminal month of the span. Current data for these series are shown on pages 67, 68, 69, and 71. BCU MAY 1980 13 CYCLICAL INDICATORS COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS-Continued Chart A3. Coincident Index Components (Now.) (Oct.) T <July)(May) P T (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dee.) (Nov.) T (Nov.) (Mar.) P T 41. Employees on nonagricuttural payrolls (millions) 47. Industrial production, total (index: 1967=100) Current data for these series are shown on pages 62, 63, and 65. 14 MAY 1980 BCII CYCLICAL A COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS—Continued Chart A4. Lagging Index Components (July)(May) P T (Nov.) (Oct.) P T (Aug.)(Apr.) P (Dec.) (Now.) P T (Apr.)(Feb.) T P T P .) (Mar.) T 91. Average duration of unemployment (weeks—inverted scale) 70. Manufacturing and trade inventories, L&i&Lg 62. Labor cost per unit of output, manufacturing (index: 1967=100) L 109. Average prime " rate charged by banks (percent) 72. Commercial and industrial bans outstanding, weekly reporting large commercial banks (bil. dot.) Lg,Lg,Lg 95. Ratio, consumer installment debt to personal income (percent) 1948 49 90 51 52 S3 54 S5 Si 97 58 59 60 ©1 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 74 7S 76 77 78 Current data for these series are shown on pages 62, 68, 70, and 73. MAY 1980 15 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS Chart Bl. Employment and Unemployment (Aug.) (Apr.) F T (Nov.) P (Dee.) (Nov.) P T (Apr,) (Feb.) P T (Mar.) T | Marina! Employment Adjustments 1. Average woffrweek, production 4241403938- 21. Average weekly overtime hours, production workers, manufacturing (hours) 4- 2. Accession rate, manufacturing (per 100 etaphpts) 5, Average weekly inial claims, State unemployment insurance (th«i$and$-*Tvetted scale) 3. Layoff rate, manufacturing (per DO emp*oyees~ffrverted scale) c^ 4 Quit rate, manufacturing (per 100 employees) 1956 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 73 73 74 76 7fi 77 78 79 80 1981 Current data for these series are shown on page 61. 16 MAY 1980 BCII CYCLICAL INDICATORS B I CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart Bl. Employment and Unemployment—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T I Job V;acancies 1.4- 60. Ratio, help-wanted advertising to number of persons unemployed (ratio) z 1.00.60.2200175150125- 46. Help-wanted advertising (index: 1967=100) I.I I all I . 1 10075J 180- 170- [Comprehensive Emplbyment| 160- Empbyee-hours in nonagricurtural establishmeftts (ann. rate, bil. hours) 150" 140* 1001 90i in nonagriojrtural adrvfties (millions) 7570- 4L Employees on 272625242322- 40. Employees in goods-producing industries—mining, manufacturing, construction (millions) 21* 20- 1956 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 Current data for these series are shown on pages 61 and 62. BCII MAY 1980 17 CYCLICAL B I CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart Bl. Employment and Unemployment—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) (Dec.) (Nov.) P I (Apr.) (Feb.) P T F T (Nov.) I Comprehensive Employment-Con.] 5958- 90. Ratio, civilian employment to total population of wtxtong age (percent) §4- [Comprehensive Unernployment| 37. Number unemployed, total (mi^ons-invefied scale) 89* 43. Unemployment rate, total (percent-invefied scale) 8- 45. Average weekly insured unemployment rate (percent-inverted sole) 6- 91. Average duration of unemployment (weeks-inverted scate) S18J 44. Unemployment rate, persons unemployed 15 weeks and over (percent-wated scale) V 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 63 66 67 69 70 71 72 73 74 7S 76 77 711 79 80 1981 Current data for these series are shown on page 62. 18 MAY 1980 ItCII CYCLICAL INDICATORS B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B2. Production and Income (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) F T (Dec.) (Nov.) P (Nov.) (Mar.) T T [Comprehensive Outpujt and income! 50. GNP in 1972 dollars, Q (ann. rale, bil. dolf 52. Personal income in 1972 dollars (ann. rate, bil. dol.) 51. Personal income tess transfer payments in 1972 ckiafs (ann. rate, bil. dol.) 53. Wages and salaries in mining, manufacturing, and construction in 1972 dollars (ann. rate, bil, dot.) Current data for these series are shown on page 63. ltd) MAY 1980 19 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B I CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B2. Production and Income—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T 160150- [Industrial Production:! 140 47. Industrial production, total (Index: 1967=100) J _ I 130- ic.c.cl 120110 74. Industrial production, (Mac 1967=100) u / , 73, Industrial production, durable manufactures (index: 1967-100) 83. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing (BEA), Q (percent) 82. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing (FRB), Q (pereart) SO- 84. Rate of capacity utilization, i^etfals, Q (percent) SO- AA 1956 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 Current data for these series are shown on pages 63 and 64. 20 MAY 1980 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B I CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B3. Consumption, Trade, Orders, and Deliveries (Aug.) (Apr.) P (Apr.) (Feb.) T P (Dec.) (Nov.) T P (Nov.) (Mar.) P T T ^ 6. New orders, durable goods industries, current dollars (biL dol.) 25. Change in unfilled orders, durable goods industries (fail, dol.; MCD moving avg.-4-term) 96. Manufacturers' unfilled orders, duraWe goods industries LtLgyll 32. Vendor performance, percent of companies reporting slower deliveries (percent) ^j rm i 1956 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 /r\ 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 Current data for these series are shown on page 64. ItCII MAY 1980 21 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B I CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS-Continued Chart B3. Consumption, Trade, Orders, and Deliveries— Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T 340320300- I Consumption and Trade] 4£ J S 56. Manufacturing and trade sales in current dolbf$-4/ (bil. doi.) 7. Manufadurinf and trade sales jn 1972 dolbs (biL dol.) 100J 1681SO140- Industrial production, consumer goods & ?5•/fl6B« ot M 7C- 55. Personal consumption expenditures, automobiles, Q 58. Index of consumer sentiment (1st Q 1966=100) Current data for these series are shown on page 65. 22 MAY 1980 ItCII CYCLICAL CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B4. Fixed Capital Investment (Aug.) (Apr.) P (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dec.) (Now.) P T T (Nov.) |Forn|ation of Business Enterprises| 12. Net business fotrnafion (index: 1967=100) ILL 13. New business incorporations (thousands) LLL [Business Investment;Commitments| 20. Contracts and orders for plant and equipment in 1972 dollars (bit dol.) 10. Contracts and orders for;plant and equipment in current dollars (bit. dol.) 27. Manufacturers' new orders, capital goods industries, nondefen4 in 1972 dollars (fail, dol.) X LLL 24. Manufacturers' new orders, capital goods industries, nonoefense, in current doHars (bil. dol.) 9. tonstry$0&,^^ 3rri industrial (mil. sq. ft. of floor area; MCD moving avg.-6-term)1 10 1 This is a copyrighted series used by permission; it may not be reproduced without written permission from McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F.W. Dodge Division. Current data for these series are shown on pages 65 and 66. MAY 1980 23 CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS-Continued Chart 84. Fixed Capital Investment—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) XDec.) (Nov.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) T P (Nov.) (Mar.) P T Business InvestmentljCommitments—Con. 11. New capital appropriations, manufacturing, Q (bil. doJ.) 97. Backlog of capital 61. Business expendituresfor new plant and equipment Q (ann. rale, bit dot.) I Business lnvestment;|Expenditures! 69. Machinery and equipment sates and business construction expenditures (ana rate, bil. doi.) ,/ 76. industrial production, business equipment (index: 1967=100) ——"^ 1956 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 Current data for these series are shown on pages 66 and 67. 24 MAY 1980 !!€!» CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B4. Fixed Capital Investment—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P : T~f (Dec.) (Nov.) (Apr.) (Feb.) T T P "1 "! P ;: (Nov.) (Mar.) P T T 180 • 160140- I Business Investmenti! Expenditures—Coru presidential fixed mmm**~*^m*^^ investment in 1972 dollars, Q (ann. rate, bil. dd) , tun******* •;•...•;.::. "mtfiHip*************** 120100- 88. Producers' durable equipment, Q SO- 87. Structures, Q |Lg,Lg,Lg 40- 20 J I Residential Construction Commitments and Investmenti 28. New private housing units started, total (ann. rate, millions) 11,1,1.1 ', 1.21.00.8 J 29. New building permits, private bousing units (index: 1967=100) 89. Residential fixed iimshnant tnfal in 197? dnllars. 0 (am. rate, bil. dd) _,~ H.L.LI- 7060- s \ 5040* V 1956 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 30- 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 Current data for these series are shown on page 67. BCII MAY 1980 25 B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B5. Inventories and Inventory Investment (Aug.) (Apr.) P I (Apr.) ('Feb.) P I (Dec.) (Now.) P I (Mow.) (Mar.) P T [Inventory Investment] 30. Change in business inventories, 1972 (Wars, Q (ana rafe bil. dot) iLLLl 36. Net change in inventories on hand and on ofday 1972 (ana rate, bil. doL; moving avg^Wemi1) [g^l] ^ 17 31. Change in book value, manufacturing and trade inventories (ana rate, bil. dd; MCO moving avi-4fetn) ¥f -H -U ..l_li ,JL_, 38. Change in stocks of materials and supplies on hand andI on order, manwfaduring (bil. doL; MCD moving avg.-4temi)"TjL \ 1 This series is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1,2,2,1) placed on the terminal month of the span. Current data for these series are shown on page 68. 26 MAY 1980 ItCII CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B5. Inventories and Inventory Investment—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T [invei itories on Hand [and on Order] 71. Book value, manufacturing and trade inventories, current dollars (bil. dol.) ft. Manufacturing and trade inventories, 1972 dollars (bil dol.) X 45 = 65. Book value of manufacturers' Inventories of finished goods (H. dol.) 77. Ratio, deflated inventories to sates, manufacturing and trade / U_\ , ; — " * •"•il'iB ^l-f-r- -*-- .„ »...™.;^ 1 1.7 c 78. Stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order, manufacturing (bil. dol.) |L,Lg,Lj 70 71 Current data for these series are shown on page 68. BCD MAY 1980 27 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B I CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B6. Prices, Costs, and Profits (Aug.) (Apr.) P (Apr.) (Feb.) T P (Dec.) (Nov.) T P (Nov.) (Mar.) P T T [Sensitive Commodity;; Prices 92. Change in sensitive prices (percent; moving ivg.-4-term1) .< 23. Industrial materials prices (index: 1967=100) 19, Stock prices, 500 common stocks (index; 194143-10) 16. Corporate profits after taxes, current dollars, Q :(ann [Profits and Profit Margins| la Corporate profits after taxes, 1972 dollars, Q (m\. rate. hii. doO N. -^ (aim. rat* H. dot) O 79. Corporate profits after taxes with 1VA and CCA, current dollars, Q (ann. rate, bii dot) 1956 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1981 1 This series Is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1,2,2,1) placed on the terminal month of the span. Current data for these series are shown on page 69. 28 MAY 1980 ItCII CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B6. Prices, Costs, and Profits—Continued (Apr.) (Feb.; P T (Dec.) (Wov,) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T I Profits and Profit Margins—Con. 22. Ratio, corporate profits (after taxes) to toy corporate domestic income, Q (percent) 81. Ratio, corporate profits (after taxes) with inventofy valuation and capital consumption adjustments to total corporate domestic income, Q (percent): 15. Profrts (aftertax) per dollar of sa^ 51 ' Q (cents) 26. Ratio, price to unit tabor cost, nonfarm business sector, Q (index: 1967=100) iLLLl 35. Net cash fkw, corporate, in 1972 Idollars, Q (ann. rate, bil. dol.) [L~[~[ 34. Net cash flow, corporaie, in current dollars, Q (ann. rate, bil. del.) hL,L| Current data for these series are shown on pages 69 and 70. KCII MAY 1980 29 CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B6. Prices, Costs, and Profits—Continued (See.) (Kov.) (Apr,) (FA) P P T I [Unit Labor Costs and Labor Share] 63. Unit labor cost, private business sector, Q (index: 1967=100) 68, Labor cost (current dollars) per unit of gross domestic product (1972 dollars), nonfinancial corporations, Q (dollars) 62. labor cost per unit of output manufacturing (index: 1967=100) 64. Compensation of employees as a percent of national income, Q (percent) Current data for these series are shown on page 70. 30 MAY 1980 ItCII CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B7. Money and Credit (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P (Dec.) (Kov.) T P T 85. Change in money supply Ml-B (percent; MCD moving avg.-6-term) r (Mow.) (Mar.) P T r fl 10Z Change in money supply M2 j' (percent; MCD moving avg.-Werm) |l,C,U| i 104. Change in total liquid assets (percent; moving avg.—4-term1) 105, Money supply-Mi-B-in 1972 dollars (bil. dol.) 106. Money $upply-M2-in 1972 doBas (Ml. dol.) L.L.I 1 This series is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1,2,2,1) placed on the terminal month of the span. Current data for these series are shown on page 71. BCII MAY 1980 31 CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B7. Money and Credit—Continued (Dec.) (Mow.) P T (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Wow.) P (Rflgr.) I [Credit Rows! 33. Change in mortgage debt (ann. rate, bit. dol.) lull 112. Change in bank loans to businesses (ana rate, bit. dot.; ," MCO moving avg.—6-term) iTl1 Ill Change in consumer installment debt (ann. rate, Ml. dol.) 3 ! 110. Total private borrowing, Q (ann, rate, bit dot.) fun Current data for these series are shown on pages 71 and 72. 32 MAY 1980 BCII CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B7. Money and Credit—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T [Credit Difficulties] 14. Current liabilities of business failures (mil. dol.- 39. Delinquency rate, 30 days and over, consumer installment loans (percent-inverted scale) fi£n 3 re 93. Free reserves (bif. doJ.-inverted scale) UUJ "@)« 94. Member bank borrowing from the Federal Reserve (bit. dot.) Uid i7 1§ if i© SI iS i 71 Current data for these series are shown on page 72. ItCII MAY 1980 33 B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B7. Money and Credit—Continued Cfti;g.){Ap!-.} P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dae.) (Wotf.) P 1 (Nov.) (Mar.) |Interest Rates! 119. Federal funds rate (percent) 116. Corporate bond yields (percent) 115. Treasury bond yiekJs (percent) 118. Secondary market yields on FHA mortgages (percent) |Lg,Lg,Lg 117. Municipal bond yidds (percent) wu m m m da ©g ©s ©^ Current data for these series are shown on pages 72 and 73. 34 MAY 1980 •ten WIUKSM, B I CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Continued Chart B7. Money and Credit—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Dec.) (Wow.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T [interest Rates—Con.{ 67. Bank rates on short-term business loans (percent) 109. Average prime rate charged by banks (percent) |i-g,Lg.Ul [Outstanding Debt| 66. Consumer installment debt (bil, dol.) SI 95. Ratio, consumer installment debt to persona] income (percent) Current data for these series are shown on page 73. BCII MAY 1980 35 DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE Chart Cl. Diffusion Indexes (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Dec.) (Mow.) P T (Apr.)(Fg!i.) P I (Mov.) P (Mar.) T [Percent rising 950. Twelve leading indicator components (6-mo. span—, 1-m span---) 951. Four roughly coincident indicator components (6-mo. span—*, 1-mo. span—) 952. Six lagging indicator components (6-mo, span«^t 1-rtia span—) 961. Average workweek, production workers, manufacturirtg-20 industries (9-mo, span*—, 1-mo. span—) 962, Initial daims, State unemployment insurance-51 areas (percent declining; 9-mo. sp^n—, 1-mo. span —-) 963. Employees on private nonagricuftural payrolls-172 industries (6-mo. span-~, 1-mo. span—) 4 i ^n SD ©@ si ®% a>< Current data for these series are shown on page 74. 36 MAY 1980 KCII DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued Chart Cl. Diffusion Indexes—Continued (Dec.) (Nov.) (Apr.) (Feb.) P T P (Nov.) P T 964. New orders, durable goods industries—35 industries (Mar.) T (9-mo. span—*, 1-mo. span—) 965. Newly approved capital appropriations, deflated—17 industries (4-Q moving avg.*-~r 1-Q span •—•) 966. Industrial produdion-24 industries (6-mo. span—r 1-mo, span—) 967. Industrial materials prices—13 industrial materials (9-mo. span—, 1-mo. span—) 968. Stock prices, 500 common stocks—53-82 industries (9-mo. span—, 1-mo. span—) 960. Net profits, manufacturing-about 700 companies1 (4,Q sp^n) 90 T 50- 1956 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 7® 77 78 79 80 1981 1 This is a copyrighted series used by permission; it may not be reproduced without written permission from Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. Current data for these series are shown on page 75. ItCII MAY 1980 37 OYOLJSM, BK C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE-Continued Chart Cl. Diffusion Indexes—Continued (Dec.) (Wow.) P T (fc) P (to.) T (0 2C.) P Percent rising (NOV.) T Percent rising Actual ++*• Anticipated—*-* (M@y.) P (to.) T Actual •"*•* Anticipated-- • • 970. Business expenditures for new plant and equipment—18 industries (1-Q span) • (a) Actual expenditures >^ 41 1 974. Number of employees, manufacturing and trade (4-Q span)1 (b) Later anticipations 975. Level of inventories, manufacturing and trade (4-Q span)1 (a) Actual expenditures X (c) Early anticipations 971. New orders, manufacturing (4-Q span)1 976. Selling prices, manufacturing (4-Q span)1 972. Net profits, manufacturing and trade (4-Q span)1 977. Selling prices, wholesale trade (4-Q span)1 .-••••.-••-, /v%<v> 973. Net sales, manufacturing and trade (4-Q span)1 1 978. Selling prices, retail trade (4-Q span)1 This 1$ a copyrighted series used by permission; It may not be reproduced without written permission from Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. surveys of about 1,400 business executives. Current data for these series are shown on page 76. 38 Dun & Braditreet diffusion Indexes are based on MAY 1980 ItCII DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Continued Chart C3. Rates of Change F T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T Percent changes at annual rate 910c. Composite index of twelve leading indicators (series 1, 3f 8, 12, 19, 20, 29, 32, 36, 92, 104, 106) - 920c. Composite index of four roughly coincident indicators (series 41, 47, 51, 57) 930c. Composite index of six lagging indicators (series 62, 70 72, 91, 95, 109) ] 50c. GNP in constant (1972) dollars (1-Q span) 47c. Index of industrial production 48c. Employee-hours in nonagricuttural establishments 51c. Personal income less transfer NOTE: Data for these percent changes are shown occasionally in appendix C. The ''Alphabetical index—Series Finding Guide" indicates the latest issue tn which the data for each series were published. ItCII MAY 1980 39 NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT Chart Al. GNP and Personal Income (Aug.) (Apr.) P I (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dee.) (Mov.) P T (Wov.) P (fc) T 200. GNP in currant dollars, 0 (ann. rate, bil. doL) 223. Personal income in current dollars (ann. rate, bil, dol.) 224, Disposable personal income in current dollars, Q (ann. rate, bil. dol.) IBsposa^pemiS income in 1572 .jttUaiv-Q (ann. ratfe. hiL djpij GNP in 1972 dollars 227.. fttcapb disposable personal Jngome in 1972 dollars, Q (ann. rate, thoos, dol,) Current data for these series are shown on pages 63 and 80. 40 MAY 1980 ItCII NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Continued Chart A2. Personal Consumption Expenditures (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) F T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T Annual rate, billion dollars (current) Personal consumption expenditures- Current data for these series are shown on pages 80 and 81. BCD MAY 1980 41 IA I NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Continued Chart A3. Gross Private Domestic Investment (Aug.) (Apr.) F T (Apr.)(f ; eb.) P (Dec.) (ito.) P I ! (Wow.) P T Annual rate, billion dollars (current) Gross private domestic investment- 245. Change in business inventories, Q Annual rate, billion dollars (1972) 30. Change in business inventories, Q • • •;• •• ^ w® s? §§ ss m 6i 6^ s: Current data for these series are shown on page 81. 42 MAY 1980 B€l» A NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Continued Chart A4. Government Purchases of Goods and Services (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Wow.) P (Mar.) T Annual rate, billion dollars (current) Government purchases of goods and services— 266. State and local governments, Q Annual rate, billion doto (1972) | 261. Total, Q 267. State and local governments, Q X 263. Federal Government Q HDKS i? i© li i© <S3L il ( Current data for these series are shown on page 81. MAY 1980 43 IMPORTANT IA I NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Continued Chart A5. Foreign Trade (Aug.) (Apr.) P (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) T F T Key.) P (Mar.) T Annual rate, billion dollars (current) 252, Exports of goods and services, Q 253. Imports of goods and services, Q 250. Net exports of goods and aro Annual rate, billion dobs (1972) 256. Exports of pods and services, Q 257. Imports of gqpds and services, Q 255, Net exports of goods and services, Q 19S8 S7 S8 Si 00 61 62 8 64 6S 66 07 i8 69 70 71 72 73 7S 76 77 7S 7© 80 1981 Current data for these series are shown on page 82. 44 MAY 1980 ItCII NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Continued Chart A6. National Income and Its Components P (Apr.) (Feb.) P T T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T Annual rate, billion dollars (current) 280. Compensation of employees, Q 286. Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, Q .\. __.„:.. 288. Net interest, Q ard captal^consumption adjustments, Q 284. Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment, Q Ii56 §7 58 59 6© 61 62 63 §4 65 6S 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 Current data for these series are shown on page 82. ItCII MAY 1980 45 A NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT-Continued Chart A7. Saving (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) f T (Dae.) (Nov.) I1 T (Wow.) (fe) P T Annual rate, btHton dollars (current) 290. Gross saving (private and gowmment), Q 298, Government surplus or deficit, Q Current data for these series are shown on pages 82 and 83. 46 MAY 1980 BCII NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT-Continued Chart A8. Shares of GNP and National Income (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dec) (Nov.) P T (Wow.) (Mar.) T 268. State and local government purchases of goods and services, Q 265. Federal Government purchases of goods and services, Q 248. Presidential fixed investment, Q 249. Residential fixed investment, Q ^247. Change in business inventories, Q 251. Net exports of goods and services, Q [Percent of National ilncome| 64, Compensation of employees, Q 283. Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, Q ""'"" 287. Corporate profits with ^inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, Q 285. Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment, Q Current data for these series are shown on page 83. BCD MAY 1980 47 B PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY Chart Bl. Price Movements (to.) (Bee.) (Wow.) i5 T F (Kar.) (Dec.) (Nov.) T Index: 1972=100 (Nov.) (fc) P T 310c. Implicit price deflator, GNP (1-Q span) [Percent changes at annual rate] 310. Implicit price deflator, GNP, Q 3lie. Fixed-weighted price index, gross business product (1-Q span) 311. Fixed-weighted price index, gross business product, Q Index: 1967=100| Producer pnce&330. All commodities 335. Industrial commodities 331 Crude materials 332. Intermediate materials 333. Capital equipment X, 334. Finished consumer goods 334c Rnisbed consumer goods Current data for these series are shown on pages 84, 85, and 86. 48 MAY 1980 B I PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY—Continued Chart Bl. Price Movements—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Dec.) (Wow.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T Consumer prices- Percent changes at annual rate 320c. All items (6-month span) Chart B2. Wages and Productivity 345. Average hourly compensation, all employees, nonfarm business sector, Q (current dollars)' 340. Average hourly earnings of production workers, private nonfarm economy (current dollars)1 346. Real average hourly compensation, all employees, nonfarm business sector, Q SjlLJieajjverajse .hourly earnings of production workers private nonfarm economy1 1 Adjusted for overtime (In manufacturing only) and interindustry employment shifts and seasonality. Current data for these series are shown on pages 84, 87, and 88. rifc LJP MAY 1980 49 B I PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY—Continued Chart B2. Wages and Productivity—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P (Dee.) (Now.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) T P T (Nov.) (Mar.) P T |Wages-Con.| Charge in average hourly earnings of production workers, private nonfarm economy1— """"" 340c. Cum*4ohr earnings j 1-month spans2 * i 18 JJU 4 341c. Real earnings Change in average hourly compensation, all employees, nonfarm business sector, Q345c Current-doflar compensation A -u .A -._ /** 346c. Real compensation 1-quarter spans (ann, rate) A 4-quarter spans Negotiated wage and benefit decisions, all industries 348, First year average changes, Q (ana rate) 349, Average changes over life of contract, Q (ann. rate) | Productivity] 370. Output per hour, all persons, private business sector, Q 358. Output per hour, all persons, nonfarm business sector, Q 370c. Change in output per hour, private business sector, Q 1-quarter spans (ann. rate) j? si m m §i ©i si 04 m id ©7 m m ?© 71 ?% ?s m m m 77 JB ii> m 3 'Adjusted for overtime (in manufacturing only) and Interindustry employment shifts and seasonality. One-month percent changes have been multiplied by a constant (12) to make them comparable to the annualized 6-month changes. See the current data table for actual 1-month percent changes. Current data for these series are shown on pages 87 and 88. 50 MAY 1980 ItCII LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, AND UNEMPLOYMENT Chart Cl. Civilian Labor Force and Major Components (Aug.) (Apr.) F T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T 441. Civilian labor force, total (millions) Labor force participation rates (percent)— 451 Mate 20 years and over 453. Both sexes 16-19 years o f ; 45Z Females 20 years and over Number unemployed (millions)— 37. Total unemployed 446. Both sexes 16-19 years of age 448. Number employed part-time for economic reasons (millions) 447. Number unemployed, full-time workers (millions) Current data for these series are shown on page 89. ItCII MAY 1980 51 £) I GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIES Chart Dl. Receipts and Expenditures (Aug.) (Apr.) P T P (Nov.) P (Dec) (Nov.) P T 1 (Mar.) T Annual rate, billion dollars (current) 502. Federal Govemmeni^xpe^ityres, Q 501. Federal Government receipts, Q 500. Federal Government surplus or deficit, Q 0« >1U« GO- x£—Jl. 300- 511 State and local government receipts, Q 512. State and local government expenditures, Q 510. Stale and local government surplus or deficit, Q 4U 195S 37 58 Si SO 61 62 S3 64 6S 67 68 69 70 71 73 74 79 7S 77 78 79 +30+20- S@ liSl Current data for these series are shown on page 90. 52 MAY 1980 BCII GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIES—Continued Chart D2. Defense Indicators v.) P (Mar.) T [Advance Measures of Defense Activity| 517. Defense Department gross obligations incurred (Ml;, do!.; MCDjnoving avg.-6-tetrn) 525. Defense Department military prime contract awards (bil. dol.; MOD moving avg.—6-term) 543. Defense Department gross unpaid obligations outstanding (bil. dol.) 548. Manufacturers' new orders, defense products (bil. dol.; MCD moving avg.-6-term) Current data for these series are shown on page 90. MAY 1980 53 GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIES-Continued Chart D2. Defense Indicators—Continued (Apr.)(t-'eb.) P (Dec.) (Nov.) P I T (Nov.) P (Mir.) T [intermediate and Final Measures of Defense Activity! 557. Output of defense and space equipment (index: 1967-100) 559. Manufacturers' inventories, defense products (bti, dot.) 561. Manufacturers' unfiUed orders, defense products (fail. doJ.) 580. Defense Department net outlays, military functions and military assistance (bil. dot; MOD moving avg-Werm) 588. Manufacturers' shipments, defense products (bil. dpi.; MCD moving avg.-4.term) ? s© Bi CB© ©a di © Current data for these series are shown on page 91. 54 MAY 1980 GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIES-Continued Chart D2. Defense Indicators—Continued (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Dec.) (Nov.) P I (Apr.) (Feb.) P T [Intermediate and Final Measures of Defense Activity-^ConT] I ; I (Mow.) P ;; (Mar.) T Ij 570. Employment in defense products industries (millions) Defense Department personnel (millions)— 577. Military, active duty 578. Civilian, direct hire employment National Defense Purchases 564. Federal Government purchases of goods and services for national defense, Q (ann. rate, bil. dol.) 565. National defense purchases as a percent of GNP, Q (percent) Current data for these series are shown on page 91. BCD MAY 1980 55 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS Chart El. Merchandise Trade (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Dee.) (Nov.) P T (Apr.)(t-cb.) P T fc) P (Mar.) T 602. Exports, excluding military aid shipments (bil. dd; MCD moving avg.-5-term) 604. Exports of agricultural products, total (bil. dd) 606. Exports of nonelectrical machinery (bit. doL) \ 612. General imports (fail, dd.; MCD moving avg.-4-term) 614. Imports of petroleum and petroleum products (bil. dd) 616. Imports of automobiles and parts (bil, dd) $? m SD i© ©n si ©; Current data for these series are shown on page 92. 56 MAY 1980 KCII U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued Chart E2. Goods and Services Movements (Aug.) (Apr.) P T (Apr.) (Feb.) P T (Dec.) (Wow.) P T (Nov.) P (Mar.) T Annual rate, billion dollars Excess of receipts Excess of payments Goods and services- 667, Balance on goods and services, Q 668. Exports, Q ^ Merchandise, adjusted— 622, Merchandise trade Investment income— 651. Income on U.S. investments abroad, Q 65Z Income on foreign investments in the U.S., Q NOTE: Annual totals are shown for the period prior to 1960. Current data for these series are shown on page 93. ICO MAY 1980 57 INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS Chart Fl. Industrial Production (D@c.) (!to.) P T Index: 1967=100 Industrial production— 721. OECD European countries Current data for these series are shown on page 94. 58 MAY 1980 BCII BMPOTlfiW INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS—Continued Chart F2. Consumer Prices (Dec.) P (Nov.) P T Chart F3. Stock Prices (Mar.) T Percent changes at annual rate Consumer prices- (Dee.) (Kov.) P T (Wow.) P (Mar.) T 6-month spans Index: 1967=100 Stock prices19. United States ?D 3LI current data for these series are shown on pages 95 and 96. ltd) MAY 1980 59 CYCLICAL INDICATORS COMPOSITE INDEXES AND THEIR COMPONENTS MM COMPOSITE INDEXES Year and month 910. Index of 12 leading indicators (series 1,3,8, 12,19, 20, 29, 32, 36, 92, 104, 106) 920. Index of 4 roughly coincident indicators (series 41,47,51,57) (1967=100) (1967=100) 930. Index of 6 lagging indicators (series 62, 70, 72, 91,95,109) (1967=100) Leading Indicator Subgroups 913. Marginal employment adjustments (series 1,2,3, 5) 914. Capital investment commitments (series 12,20, 29) 915. Inventory investment and purchasing (series 8, 32, 36, 92) 916. Profitability (series 19, 26, 80)l 917. Money and financial flows (series 104,106, 110) (1967=100) (1967=100) (1967=100) (1967=100) (1967=100) 940. Ratio, coincident index to lagging index 1 (1967=100) 1978 January February March 139.1 140.3 140.3 134.0 135.0 136.9 134.1 135.9 137.2 97.6 97.2 98.3 115.4 115.9 115.0 104.8 105.9 106.3 90.9 89.4 90.4 148.5 148.0 147.4 99.9 99.3 99.8 April . May June 141.5 141.8 142.5 139.3 139.5 140.1 137.8 140.0 142.0 99.0 98.0 97.8 114.9 115.0 116.1 106.9 107.2 106.9 92.1 93.8 94.1 147.5 147.8 148.5 101.1 July August September 141.2 142.0 142.9 140.5 141.4 141.4 143.5 144.5 146.4 97.4 97.3 98.5 115.5 115.4 116.0 105.2 105.8 105.8 94.2 95.4 95.4 148.9 149.1 149.9 97.9 97.9 96.6 October November December 0)143.6 142,8 143.0 143.0 144.3 145.5 148.1 152.7 155.2 98.7 98.8 1)117. 2 116.1 115.7 106.1 106.2 106.7 94.9 94.1 93.5 150.6 E)151.1 150.2 96.6 94.5 93.8 144.8 144.9 D146.6 157.4 158.5 158.4 98.5 98.4 98.0 113.9 113.9 115.5 107.4 108.3 0)108.8 93.2 92.2 92.2 148.6 145.6 144.5 92.0 91.4 92.6 144.1 145.6 145.0 161.8 162.5 163.6 94.6 97.3 96.7 113.6 rl!3.3 114. T 107.8 r!07.3 H06.6 92.3 91.7 91 .8 146.1 146.9 H48.2 89.1 89.6 88.6 r96.2 95.4 96.2 rl!3.5 H13.5 H14.8 rlOG.l H05.7 H04.6 91.7 92.0 91.8 r!48.1 r!47.8 H45.7 88.2 87.0 84.9 90.8 90.3 r!43.4 H40.1 r!38.7 82.3 80.9 81.6 H37.8 r!39.3 r!38.9 r80.2 r75.3 p!35.5 p70.8 1)99.1 99.6 98.7 1979 142.6 142.3 143.2 January . . February March 140.3 r!41.4 H41.6 ', April . May June . July August September . . rl40.8 r!39.9 H40.4 145.3 144.8 144.7 164.8 166.4 170.5 October November December H38.3 H35.9 r!35.9 144.8 144.9 r!45.2 175.9 179.0 177.9 96.7 95.8 96.3 rl!3.5 rl!2.3 rl!3.1 r!03.3 r!02.3 r!02.3 135.9 135.4 2 132.6 145.9 r!44.9 143.2 r!78.4 180.7 190.2 96.4 r96.3 r94.3 rl!3.5 rl!2.1 rllO.4 H02.6 102.2 rl01.4 "140.5 5 p90.0 plOS.l p98.7 r90.1 1980 January February March . April May June . i I 1 3 126.3 E) 198.5 r89.7 r89.4 (NA) 81.8 July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©. Current high values are indicated byH); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity,current low values are indicated by [H). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 10 and 11. Series 916 reached its high value (97.2) in August 1977; series 940 reached its high value (106.6) in March 1977. 2 Excludes series 12 for which data are not yet available. 3 Excludes series 12 and 36 for which data are not yet available. ^Excludes series 57 for which data are not yet available. 5 Excludes series 70 and 95 for which data are not yet available. 60 MAY 1980 ItO CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS ^H EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT Minor Economic Process L, L,L Tinning Class L,C,L 1. Average workweek of production workers, manufacturing Year and month L, L, L 2. Accession 21. Average weekly overtime rate, manufachours, produc- turing tion workers, manufacturing (Per 100 employees) (Hours) (Hours) L, Lg, U L, Lg, U L,C, L L, L, L 5. Average weekly initial claims, State unemployment insurance1 3. Layoff rate, manufacturing 4. Quit rate, manufacturing (Per 100 employees) (Per 100 employees) (Thous.) Comprehensive Employment Job Vacancies Marginal Employment Adjustments L, Lg, U 60. Ratio, helpwanted advertising to persons unemployed 46. Index of help-wanted advertising in newspapers (Ratio) (1967=100) u,c,c 48. Employeehours in nonagricultural establishments (Ann. rate, bil. hours) 1978 January February March 39.6 40.0 40.5 3.5 3.7 3 6 4.1 3 9 4 0 338 364 335 0 9 1 0 1 0 1 9 2 0 2 0 0.652 0.680 0 682 138 139 141 159 07 160 57 162 31 E>40 7 40.4 40 5 3 7 3.6 3 5 4 1 4*0 4 0 334 330 341 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 1 2 1 2 1 0 718 0 700 0 741 146 144 147 Ifi? P.7 July August September 40 5 40 4 40 5 3 6 3 4 3 6 4 0 4 0 4 1 362 345 328 0 8 1 0 Jj) 0 8 2 0 2 1 2 1 0 712 0 753 0 758 14Q 1 fid. fi7 1 fiA 7ft 1 fie. nfi October November December 40 5 40 6 40 6 3 6 3 7 3 7 4 3 [H)323 0 9 2 2 [R)0 828 In! A n 9 9 9 9 O oi c n R9i 1AT 1 fi£ -i £-7 January February March 40.6 /in fi 40.6 3.7 4.3 q 7 H>2.3 B>3:7 4 2 . 9£ 0.812 O pnn 2.1 0.790 161 T CO I bo 156 167.69 168.08 169.47 April May June 39 1 40 2 40 1 0 0 0 77/r 1 RR Ififi P.7 777 1 RA 1 R? 1 fiQ Afi July August September October November December April May June A qq/| O fu\4 c 00/1 n Q 150 152 163 62 i C.A fin ifi£,7n 9r 1 D/ .<ib 1 C7 /I C ID/ .45 1979 4.0 347 0.9 O. y 0.9 2 7 3 5 3 4 3 9 4 0 4 0 434 350 375 •j ] 9 1 in ] 1 9 n ? n 40 2 40 1 40.2 3 3 3 2 3.2 3 9 3 7 395 qqn 1 2 i R 1 Q 3.8 387 1.2 An 9 o 9 /in i -i -i 1 .1 i 1 . Q6 2 q 1 1 .y 0 3 2 An 9 AD "3 0 9 v*An i q n o n 9 41 . 1 3 . ny 4 r\ 344 OO/I OOH- one oyb 409 A C\~I 407 Q 9 . C. 709 1 fiR 71 0 /bo 0 . 7CQ 1 RR 1 RR 1 fiQ R°, 1.9 0.790 159 169.77 n . (J 2rt .0 O .0Ql1 9C. 1 Q Q 7QT 07 7Q . //O 0770 [H}167 1 CO Ib8 "I J--Q IfiQ ^c; 169.76 170.05 170.81 1980 January February March " on o p39 5 April May June n? P, 4 1 4 .0n ir>"3 C To.D nq n AHA Q7C o/b /i /i n 440 r\C.£Q I Q .0 1 0 .3 1 .5 _9 Q pd.o 2 r\ .0 2.1 rl ,9 pi .6 0.714 0.713 0.670 154 151 145 |H)171 .61 r!71 .48 r!70.99 pO.500 p!22 p!69.47 July August September October November December . . NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©. Current high values are indicated by|H); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by [H). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 12, 16 and 17. 1 Data exclude Puerto Rico which is included in figures published by the source agency. MAY 1980 61 CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS-Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS Q| EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT-Con. Minor Economic Process Timing Class Year and month Comprehensive Unemployment Comprehensive Employment-Con. U,C,C C,C,C L, C, U U, Lg, U L, Lg, U L, Lg, U L, Lg, U Lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg 42. Persons engaged in nonagricultural activities, labor force survey 41. Employees on nonagricultural payrolls, establishment survey 40. Employees in goodsproducing industries (mining, mfg., construction) 90. Ratio, civilian employment to total population of ' working age 37. Number of persons unemployed, civilian labor force 43. Unemployment rate, total 45. Average weekly insured unemployment rate State prog rams* 91. Average duration of unemployment 44. Unemployment rate, persons unemployed 15 weeks and over (Thous,) (Thous.) (Thous.) (Percent) {Thous.) (Percent) (Percent) (Weeks) (Percent) 1978 24,838 24,893 25,107 58.03 58.03 58.09 6,305 6,088 6,153 6.4 6.1 6.2 3.5 3.6 3.5 13.0 12.6 12.4 1.6 1.6 1.5 25,487 25,534 25,652 58.42 58.56 58.76 6,056 6,126 5,902 6.1 6.1 5.9 3.2 3.2 3.2 12.4 12.0 12.1 1.5 1.4 1.3 86,686 86,880 87,032 25,710 25,716 25,767 58.60 58.76 58.78 6,228 5,929 5,971 6.2 5.9 5.9 3.3 3.3 3.2 11.9 11.5 11.5 1.3 1.2 1.3 92,024 92,488 92,456 87,424 87,840 88,133 25,941 26,120 26,272 58.95 59.08 59.06 0)5,788 5,882 5,984 5,7 5.8 5.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 11.8 11.1 10.6 1.3 1.2 1.2 January February March 92,897 93,189 93,303 88,433 88,700 89,039 26,382 26,448 26,627 59,19 59,33 59.31 5,904 5,883 5,882 5.8 5.7 . 5.7 3.0 3.0 3.0 11.2 11.3 11,8' 1.2 1.2 1.3 April May . . June 93,039 93,249 93,409 89,036 89,398 89,626 26,565 26,651 26,674 59,05 59.11 59.13 5,944 5,903 5,824 5.8 5.8 5.7 2.9 11, ,0 10..9 10,, 5 1.2 1.2 1.1 July August September 93,917 93,689 94,140 89,713 89,762 89,803 26,723 26,599 26,593 59.37 59.19 E>59.42 5*, 909 6,124 5,990 DI.O October . November December • 94,180 94,223 94,553 89,982 90,100 90,241 26,572 26,533 26,655 59.27 59.27 59.38 January . February March 94,534 [H>94,626 94,298 _ 90,652 [H)r90,845 r90,799 ED26,783 r26,732 r26,597 April ... May .... June ... 93,912 p90,320 p26,189 January . February March 89,425 89,653 89,813 84,421 ' 84,735 85,246 April May June ... 90,468 90,818 91,141 85,961 86,227 86,590 July August September 91,046 91,457 91,598 October November December • 1979 D2.S 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 p)10,,l 5.9 5,8 10.7 10.7 1.1 1.1 6,121 6,044 6,087 5.9 5.8 5.9 2.9 3.1 3.1 10.5 10.6 10.5 1.2 1.1 1.2 59.24 59.26 59.00 6,425 6,307 6,438 6.2 6.0 6.2 3.2 3.1 3.3 10.5 10.7 11.0 1.3 1.2 1.3 58.63 7,265 7.0 11.3 1.6 D5.7 1980 P 3.7 July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©. Current high values are indicated by[R); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by [R). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Gryphs of these series are shown on pages 14, 15, 17, and 18. *Data exclude Puerto Rico which is Included in figures published by the source agency. 62 MAY 1980 KCII CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS-Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS IH PRODUCTION AND INCOME Minor Economic Process Timing Class Industrial Production Comprehensive Output and Income 50. Gross national product in 1972 dollars Year and month Personal income 223. Current dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) c,c,c C,C,C 51. Personal income less transfer payments in 1972 dollars 53. Wages and salaries in mining, mfg., and construction in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) cfc,c C,C,C ' (Ann. rate, bil.dol.} 52. Constant (1972) dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) {Ann. rate, bil.dol.) c,c,c 47. Index of industrial production, total (1967=100) C,C, C c, L,L 73. Index of industrial production, durable manufactures 74. Index of industrial production, nondurable manufactures (1967=100) (1967=100) C,C,C 49. Value of goods output in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 1978 January February March 1,367.*8 1,618.5 1,631.3 1,654.4 1,117.0 1,118.1 1,127.7 967.4 969.4 978.9 233.3 236.0 240.2 140.0 140,3 142.1 132.1 132.3 135.0 152.4 152.9 153.8 621* ,'4 April May June 1, 395!2 1,676.5 1,687.3 1,704.2 1,135.1 1,133.9 1,137.6 987.5 986.7 991.1 244.0 243.2 244.2 144.4 144.8 146.1 137.6 137.9 139.0 155.5 155.8 157.0 637 .*2 July August September 1,40?! 3 1,730.0 1,741.3 1,756.1 1,149.5 1,151.7 1,154.6 998.5 1,000.3 1,004.1 245.3 244.5 245.1 147,1 148.0 148.6 141.1 141.8 142,9 157.2 158.4 159.3 641 *8 October November December 1,426,'e 1,781,0 1,801.4 1,826.8 1,163.3 1,172.0 1,181.6 1,013.0 1,021.4 1,030.5 246.3 248.7 250.7 149.7 150,6 151.8 144.6 145.5 146.8 159.5 160.4 161.7 657^3 January February . March 1,43CL6 1,834.3 1,851.4 1,872.1 1,172.8 1,172.5 1,177.4 1,021.9 1,022.6 1,027.0 249.4 250.3 0)251.6 151.5 152.0 0)153.0 146.8 147.2 0)148.6 April May June 1,422 '.3 1,880.7 1,891.6 1,905.1 1,174.0 1,172.7 1,172.4 1,022.7 1,021.5 1,021.8 248.7 248.2 246.9 150.8 152.4 152.6 144.6 147.6 147.6 161.7 162.8 163.0 647^3 1,433^3 1,933.2 1,946.5 1,960.1 1,180.9 1,179.7 1,177.2 1,023.0 1,021.4 1,019.5 246.1 243.1 242.6 152.8 151.6 152.4 147.2 144.2 145.9 164.1 164.3 164.6 651. '3 1,440.3 1,981.2 2,005.5 2,028.3 1,181.4 1,188.1 0)1,191.0 1,023,5 1,030.6 0>,1,033.2 241.9 241.0 241.6 152.2 152.1 152.2 145.7 145.0 144.5 164.0 164.5 164.7 655 !l [fi>H,442*.6 2,046.5 r2,055.6 f2,069.6 rl,19D.5 rl, 182.1 rl,173.9 rl.030,5rl,024.8 rl,017.5 239.7 r238.9 r236.1 rl52.6 H52.3 M51.3 144.7 rl44.2 r!43.3 0)r 166.1 r165.4 r164.0 r657.2 pi, 166. 3 pi ,009.1 p230.6 p!48.5 p!39.4 P161.9 • 1979 July August , . September .... October November December . 160.7 162.0 163.0 0)658.'6 1980 January February March April May June ®p2, 070.1 July August September October November December .... NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©. Current high values are indicated by0); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by[H). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA"( not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 14, 19, 20, and 40. MAY 1980 63 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS —Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS H Minor Economic Process £Q CONSUMPTION, TRADE, ORDERS, AND DELIVERIES Capacity Utilization L.C.U Timing Class Year and month PRODUCTION AND INCOME-Con. 83. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing <BEA) (Percent) 82. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing (FRB) (Percent) Orders and Deliveries UC,U 84. Rate of capacity utilization, materials (Percent) U L, L L,L,L L, Lg, U 7. Constant (1972) dollars 8. New orders for consumer goods and materials in 1972 dollars 25. Change in unfilled orders, durable goods industries 96. Manufacturers' unfilled orders, durable goods industries (Bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.} Revised1 Revised1 Revised1 Revised1 Revised1 U L,L Value of manufacturers' new orders, durable goods industries 6. Current dollars L,L,L 1,1,1 32. Vendor performance, companies reporting slower deliveries® (Percent reporting) , 1978 January February . . March April May June 82^6 82^6 62,03 65.05 67.04 38.31 39.81 40.78 35.04 36.20 36.47 2.23 2.73 4.06 186.93 189.66 193.72 55 64 67 83^9 85.*0 69.20 68.88 68.54 41.71 41.24 40.70 37.98 37.02 36.84 3.45 4.00 2.79 197.17 201.16 203.95 64 64 66 85!2 86.*4 67.39 71.29 72.71 39.76 41.64 42.25 36.50 37.61 37.34 1.94 3.15 3.95 205.89 209.04 212.99 56 65 66 D88!2 76.42 77.21 76.54 44.10 44.14 43.36 38.06 38.06 38.86 6.32 5.71 3.80 219.31 225.02 228.82 68 66 68 78.68 80.43 B81.65 44.16 44.68 D45. 04 ©38.94 38.43 38.63 5.91 5.89 234.72 241.82 247.71 69 77 [H)78 *84 *84 July August September . . . . October November December *83 86.*4 *84 1979 January February . . March April May June B>86!7 88!6 E>'84 85.' 9 87!3 75.93 77.04 76.03 41.36 41.75 40.98 36.74 36,88 36.43 4.73 1.52 3.23 252.43 253.96 257.19 76 76 70 85^4 87^2 74.58 74.76 77.65 39.82 39.81 40.91 35.95 35.44 35.93 0.71 0.40 3.45 257.90 258.30 261.74 60 55 51 84^6 86 .'3 76.52 75.90 77.20 39.71 39.23 39.49 35.60 34.34 34.19 0,98 2.15 3.01 262.72 264.87 267.88 50 47 49 p83]) p85.'2 81.26 81.04 77.91 40.59 40.06 38.51 35.64 35.61 33.15 3.16 1.96 1.86 271.04 273.00 274.85 48 42 45 P74.66 p36.53 p30.33 BP27S.95 40 *83 July August September October November Decsmber D7.10 *82 p81 1980 January February March April May June .... (NA) pi. 10 July August September October November December . NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to containno seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by <g). Current high values are indicated by (H); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 12, 20, and 21, ^ee "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. 64 MAY 1980 ItCII CYCLICAL INDICATORS B I CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS —Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS Minor Economic Process Timing Class a ^Q CONSUMPTION, TRADE, ORDERS, AND DELIVERIES-Con. Formation of Business Enterprises Consumption and trade C,C,C .... C,C,C Manufacturing and trade sales Year and month 56. Current dollars (Mil.dol.) 57. Constant {1972} dollars (Mil.dol.) C, L, C C,L,U U,L,U 75. Index of inSales of retail stores dustrial production consumer 59. Constant goods 54. Current dollars (1972) dollars (1967=100) (Mil.dol.) FIXED CAPITAL INVESTMENT (Mil.dol.) L,C,C 55. Personal consumption expenditures, automobiles (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) L,L,L L,L, L 12. Index of 58. Index of net business consumer l sentiment ® formation (1st Q 1966=100) (1967=100) L,L, L 13. Number of new business incorporations (Number) 1978 January February March 232,767 239,035 242,951 148,346 151,393 153,449 143.2 145.2 147.5 62,220 63,040 64,100 42,881 43,149 43,665 62.3 83.7 84.3 78.8 133.5 133.1 130.5 36,414 39,434 37,847 April May June 250,027 251,927 252,808 156,423 156,450 156,468 149.5 149.0 149.3 65,305 65,861 66,392 44,095 44,143 44,232 76!2 81,6 82.9 80,0 131.9 132.1 132.7 39,585 39,059 39,860 July August September 253,297 259,392 260,020 155,750 158,585 157,533 149.8 150.6 150.8 66,794 67,469 68,006 44,322 44,563 44,623 68.9 82.4 78.4 80.4 133.3 132.5 133.3 40,152 41,007 41,553 266,917 269,504 272,451 159,972 160,370 161,050 151.2 151.3 151,5 69,164 69,871 70,832 45,117 45,312 45,669 7CL6 79.3 75.0 66.1 -134.8 133.4 133.8 41,437 41,423 42,179 January February March 274,179 275,088 285,205 160,460 159,177 (H)164,058 150.6 151.5 E>152.9 71,293 71 ,266 72,045 45,381 44,850 44,944 |H>74!6 72.1 73.9 68.4 131.3 132.1 132.5 42,410 42,302 42,761 April May June 276,134 286,918 283,682 157,285 161,807 158,316 149.1 152.0 151.8 71,606 72,292 72,093 44,229 44,405 43,932 68^2 66.0 68.1 65.8 130.9 130.5 130.9 43,034 43,895 43,044 July August September 289,629 292,991 296,362 159,751 160,273 160,068 150.8 148.2 149.7 73,121 74,871 76,666 44,316 45,130 E>45,771 67^9 60.4 64.5 66.7 131.8 130.3 132.5 44,655 ' 42,911 44,687 October 298,623 298,969 302,481 159,757 158,205 158,718 149.7 148.9 148.5 75,583 76,421 77,150 44,803 44,954 44,881 66.' 8 62.1 63.3 61.0 H31.9 r131.4 r133.9 S>46,478 44,811 43,579 0)312,562 r31 0,488 p307,566 161,742 r!58,947 pi 55, 808 H4S.2 K149.0 148.1 [E>79,464 r77,993 r76,234 45,695 r44,365 r42,780 67.0 66.9 56.5 135.4 E>el35.4 p44,447 r71,*9 p!45.1 p75,325 p42,058 October November December .... 1979 November December 1980 January February March April May June (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 52.8 July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by <g). Current high values are indicated by H>; for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by |H>. Series numbers are for identification only^and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 12, 14, 22, and 23. 1 Series 58 reached its high value (89.1) in 2d quarter 1977. MAY 1980 65 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS -Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS M FIXED CAPITAL INVESTMENT-Con. Minor Economic Process Timing Class Business Investment Commitments U L, L L,L,L Contracts and orders for plant and equipment Year and month 10. Current dollars (Bil.dol.) Revised3 20. Constant (1972) dollars U L, L Value of manufacturers' new orders, capital goods industries, nondefense 24. Current dollars L,C,U U, lg, U C, lg, Lg 9. Construction contracts for commercial and industrial buildings, floor space1 11. Newly (approved capital appropriations, 1,000 manufacturing corporations 97. Backlog of capital appropriations, manufacturing (Bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.) L,L,L 27. Constant (1972) dollars (Bil.dol.} Revised3 (Bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.) Revised3 Revised9 Square feet (Millions) Square meters2 (Millions) 1978 January February March 20.79 21,89 20.13 13.26 13.92 12.86 16.07 16.99 16.84 10.30 10.84 10.79 83.03 67.86 71.94 7.71 6.30 6.68 u.'io April May June 19.00 21.18 19.83 12.06 13.30 12.41 17.24 17.68 17.66 10,98 11.20 11.13 76,71 88.41 83,27 7.13 8.21 7.74 15J2 July August September 22.08 22.92 23.18 13.62 13.99 14.09 18.05 18.57 19.69 11.27 11.48 12.09 74.82 79.21 86.38 6.95 7.36 8.02 16J7 7.85 8.46 7.57 18^75 October November December 59^73 59 '.98 60^83 25.94 24.87 22.34 15.56 14.92 13.24 21.12 20.92 18.76 12.86 12.74 11.28 84.55 91.08 81.48 26.16 25.48 D28.10 15.41 15.19 B17.02 21.23 22.48 i)23.60 12.72 13.56 D14.60 88.51 E>105.49 102.77 April May June 25.36 22.67 25.01 14.76 13.14 14.49 20.60 21.13 21.70 12.24 12.34 12.78 93.59 87.09 84.08 8.69 8.09 7.81 2K03 July August September 24.49 23.87 24.49 13.87 13.41 13.68 . 21.23 21.08 21.58 12.20 12.00 12.21 88.48 83.85 92.17 8.22 7.79 8.56 22!5S October November December 24.21 25.69 27.42 13.56 14.65 15.31 21.07 21.75 22.28 12.01 12.73 12.81 93.15 84.13 80.79 8.65 7.82 7.51 | 27.14 24.59 26.63 14.81 13.53 14.53 23.65 21.50 22.95 13.11 12.05 12.75 104.43 85.46 82.84 9.70 7.94 7.70 p25.21 p!3.76 p23.18 p!2.77 72.90 6.77 63^43 1979 January February March 8.22 SD9.80 22! 58 esies 9.55 70J5 73^8 r23.48 r77.10 1980 January February March April May June .... Bp3Q*.48 (fc&p85:i2 July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by (g). Current high values are indicated by[H); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by (fi). Series numbers are for identification on y and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary;"e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 12, 23, and 24. *This is a copyrighted series used by permission; it may not be reproduced without written permission from McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F.W. Dodge Division. Converted to metric units by the Bureau 3 of Economic Analysis. See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. 66 MAY 1980 CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS |M FIXED CAPITAL INVESTMENT-Con. Minor Economic Process Residential Construction Commitments and Investment Business Investment Expenditures C, Lg, Lg C, Lg, Lg 61. Business expenditures for new plant and equipment, total 39. Machinery and equipment sales and business construction expenditures (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) {Ann. rate, bil.dol.) Timing Class Year and month C, Lg, U C, Lg, C Lg, Lg, Lg C,Lg,C 76. Index of Nonresidential fixed investment in 1972 dollars industrial production, business 86. Total equipment 87. Structures 88. Producers' durable equip. (1967=100) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, biJ.dol.) {Ann. rate, bil.dol.) L, L,L 28. New private housing units started, total (Ann. rate, thous.) L, L, L 29. Index of new private housing units authorized by local building permits (1967=100) L,L,L 89. Residential fixed investment, total, in 1972 dollars {Ann. rate, bil.dol.) Revised1 1978 January February March 144^25 204.83 208.76 213.36 152.0 153.6 156.5 133J 40*2 93.0 April May June 150^76 222.67 221.33 228.72 158.0 158.4 160.1 14CL3 43!9 July August September issiii 230.93 236.87 245.84 161.7 163.4 163.8 ui!6 163^96 246.34 249.69 252.54 164.8 165.0 166.8 January February March 165i94 256.02 255.13 267.91 April May June 173.'48 July August September 1,779 1,762 2,028 139.2 137.7 140.7 59^4 96^4 (B>2,182 2,018 2,092 154.6 141.8 H>160.2 Deo 45! i 96^5 2,090 1,983 2,014 142.6 138.6 148.5 66!2 145^5 46^5 98^9 2,001 2,111 2,052 148.2 144.5 147.6 eoio 168.1 169.0 170.8 147^2 45*.8 1 01 '. 3 1,727 1,469 1,800 117.2 115.1 130.9 57!? 259.58 267.28 265.15 168.7 171.4 171.5 146^9 47^9 99^6 1,750 1,801 1,910 122.5 130.7 132.4 56^7 179.33 273.38 277.86 278.42 171.4 171.5 173.6 15CL7 48.*7 [fi)ioi.9 1,764 1,788 1,874 123.4 133.6 143.4 56!5 •H>186.*95 284.07 277.88 286.35 172.0 172.5 174.1 iso.'s 5(X.i 100.'4 1,710 1,522 1,548 124,6 102.0 100.5 55^8 January February March a!89!49 298.61 300.62 DP300.85 H75.0 [R>rl75.7 r!75.5 B>56!5 rioi.'e 1,419 H,330 1,041 102.1 |H>rl52.'l April May June pi, 019 64.1 a193;83 July August September a20l!ii October November December . ... 1979 October November December .... 1980 (NA) p!75.0 92.2 75.3 r52.'6 October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by @. Current high values are indicated by[H); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by (H). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 13, 24, and 25. x See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. MAY 1980 67 CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS ^J INVENTORIES AND INVENTORY INVESTMENT Minor Economic Process Inventory Investment UL.L Timing Class Year and month L, L,L 3B. Change in inventories.on 30. Changs in hand and on order in 1972 business invendollars tories in 1972 dollars Monthly Smoothed data data1 (Ann. rate, bit. dot.) (Ann. rate, hil.dui.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) Revised2 Revised2 Inventories on Hand and on Order L, I, L L, L, L 31. Change in book value of mfg. and trade inventories, total 38. Change in stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order, mfg. (Ann. rate, bil.dol.} {Bil.dol.) lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg Manufacturng and trade inventories 71. Current dollars (Bil.dol.) 65. Mfrs/ inventories of finished 70. Constant goods, hook (1972) dollars value (Bil.dol.) Revised2 (Bil. dol.) Revised 77. Ratio, constantdollar inventories to sales, mfg. and trade L, Lg, Lg 78. Stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order, rnfg. (Ratio) (Bil. dol.) 2 Revised 2 1978 January February March 16^5 April May June 21.07 13.75 D35.22 16.33 18.36 20.35 43.9 36.6 61.0 0.48 1.41 1.81 340.85 343.90 348.98 238.18 238.92 241.23 59.76 59.78 60.24 1.61 1.58 1.57 144.38 145.80 147.60 isle 28.69 18.05 14.51 24.62 [H)26.60 23,87 62.8 33.8 34.0 1.84 2.00 2.32 354.21 357.02 359.86 242.94 243.93 244.65 60.71 61.03 61.45 11.55 1.56 1.56 149.44 151.45 153.76 July August September 12^2 14.94 18.77 14.06 18.12 15.95 16.00 37.4 43.2 35.6 1.95 1.64 2.94 362.98 366.58 369.54 245.54 246.77 247.13 61.85 62.65 62.74 1.58 1.56 1.57 155.71 157.35 160.29 October November December izio- 14.46 18.32 19.09 15.84 15.69 16.45 41.5 51.9 36.2 2.19 3.19 2.84 373.01 377.33 380.35 247.88 249.09 249.59 62.75 63.64 63.88 1.55 1.55 1.55 162.48 165.67 168.52 12.*3 28.12 14.56 13,64 19.57 21.22 19.68 57.5 47.9 40.0 D5.09 3.70 2.98 385.14 389.14 392.47 250.98 251.38 252,24 64.70 65.51 65.88 1,56 1.58 1.54 173.60 177.30 180.29 B>18.1 28.62 -1.31 20.72 18.86 16.29 14.83 70.1 46.1 59.6 4.33 0.52 2.59 398.31 402.15 407.12 253.80 254.71 256.18 67.08 67.22 68.08 1.61 1.57 1.62 184.62 185.14 187.73 24.47 15.32 15.25 1.24 2.21 1.74 414.02 417.79 418.66 258.92 S>259.42 257.63 68.62 68.95 69.87 1.62 1.62 1.61 188.97 191.18 192.93 2.24 2.52 1.51 423.01 425.87 426.64 258.18 258.13 257.32 69.75 69.94 70.53 J.62 1.63 1.62 195.16 197.69 199.20 2.48 2.54 1.21 431.52 r435.07 [H>p437.62 r257.47 r256.82 P256.31 71.78 72.76 D73.94 1.59 r42.6 p30.5 rl.62 201.67 204.22 ED205.43 (NA) (NA) 1979 January February March April May June July August September ?!l 2.46 -21.16 October November December l'.'4' 8.90 -4.33 -8.72 -13.45 -2.88 -9.54 -10.12 -9.02 -15.92 p-7.30 -9.62 -11.60 p-11.77 fi>82.8 io!s 52.2 34.3 9.3 1980 January February . March r-l'.*9 April ... May June July August . September (NA) (NA) 58.6 (NA) (NA) (NA) DPI -65 (NA) (NA) ... October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by (3). Current high values are indicated by[R); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by [R). Series numbers are for identification only and do not relleet series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 13. 15, 26, and 27. 1 Series is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1,2,2,1) placed at the terminal month of the span. a See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. 68 MAY 1980 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B I CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS —Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS PI PRICES, COSTS, AND PROFITS Minor Economic Process .... Timing Class U, L, L L,L, L .... 92. Change in sensitive prices Year and month Stock Prices Sensitive Commodity Prices Monthly data2 Smoothed data3 (Percent) (Percent) 23. Index of industrial materials prices® (1967=100) L, L, L 19. Index of stock prices, 500 common stocks © (1941-43-10) Profits and Profit Margins L, L, L L, L,L Corporate profits after taxes 16. Current dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 18. Constant (1972) dollars {Ann. rate, bil.dol.) UC.L L, C, L Corporate profits after taxes with IVA and CCA 1 79. Current dollars (Ann. rate, bit.dol.) 80. Constant (1972) dollars2 (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) L, L, L 22. Ratio, profits {after taxes) to total corporate domestic income (Percent) 1978 January February March .. April May .... June .... July August September October . November December .... .. 0.74 0.27 0.94 1.47 1.36 0.90 219.7 219.9 219.8 90.25 88.98 88.82 106\7 71 !z 7CL4 47^4 1.36 0.82 1.82 0.75 0.95 1.19 220.3 217.8 222.1 92.71 97.41 97.66 122^4 79^9 84!7 55!7 l6!7 2.45 0.03 1.37 1.51 1.56 1.36 224.7 232.6 239.1 97,19 103.92 103.86 124^6 79^7 87^7 56\7 l6!7 1.32 1.60 1.22 1.09 1.17 1.40 249.4 254.8 251.8 100.58 94.71 96.11 132^3 83^2 S>B9J 56\9 ii!6 1.77 2.92 3.04 1.45 1.75 2.27 258.3 273.5 288.5 99.71 98.23 100.11 142 .'6 87.'3 sj'.'e 54.*4 n'.*4 -0.35 2.85 2.93 2.22 1.86 1.83 294.5 293.8 293.9 102.07 99.73 101.73 139!3 83.*7 87^9 53^4 ii!6 1.63 1.09 3.47 2.14 2.18 1.97 297.3 298.1 297.3 102.71 107.36 108.60 148!3 86.9 86\8 5K5 llig 2.63 1.92 2.23 2.54 84,"7 80.3 r2.48 104.47 103.66 107.78 146 ,*9 r2.33 307.7 304.0 309.6 46.9 n.o r3.45 r2.43 fi>2.72 r2.31 316.2 1)322.5 316.9 110.87 D115.34 104.69 [H>pl55.'5 Dp87.'6 p70.'l p40J 9.9 1979 January February March .... April May June .... . .. July August September . . .... October November December .... .... 1980 January February March April ... May ... June ... 2.83 -1.05 -0.63 1.06 301.9 "280.3 S i>pii.*4 102.97 107.25 .... July August September ... .... October . November December .... .... NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to containno seasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by (g>. Current high values are indicated by(R>; for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by |R). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 13, 28, and 29. *IVA, inventory valuation adjustment; CCA, capital consumption adjustment. 2Series reaching highs before 1978: series 92 (monthly), February 1977 C4.95); series 80, 3d quarter 1977 (60.3). 3See footnote 1 on page 68. ''Average for May 6, 13, and 20. ^Average for May 7, 14, and 21. MAY 1980 69 CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS Minor Economic Process ^9 PRICES, COSTS, AND PROFITS-Con. Profits and Profit Margins-Con. Timing Class Year and month U, L, L L, L, L 81. Ratio, profits (after taxes) with IVA and CCA to corp, domestic income1 2 15. Prof its {after taxes) per dollar of sales, all manufacturing corporations (Percent) (Cents) L,L,L L,L, L L, L,L 26. Ratio, price Net cash flow, corporate to unit labor cost, nonfarm 35. Constant business sector 2 34. Current (1972) dollars dollars (1967=100) ( 1978 Unit Labor Costs and Labor Share Cash Flows 3 (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) Lg, Lg, Lg 63. Index of unit labor cost, private business sector (1967-100) ( ) 9 Lg, Lg, LCI 68. Labor co:;t per unit of real gross domestic product; nonfinancial corporations (Dollars) Lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg 62. Index of labor cost per unit of output, manufacturing 64. Compensation of employees as a percent of national income 2 (1967-100) (Percent) ) January February March 6.*2 5.'6 94.'? 178J lli!4 189)4 1.002 161.5 163.9 164.4 76.*7 April May June 7J 5!4 95^8 195!5 12315 192il 1.009 163.1 163.2 163,3 75^6 July Auqust September Y.2 5!5 9o!6 197.'3 122)5 195!2 1.024 163.6 163.1 163.9 75!4 October November December Y.2 s!7 9o!6 205!} 125!8 199!6 1.042 164.9 166.6 167.8 75^6 January February March 6.6 D5.*9 94*. 7 216!6 129!8 205.' 9 1.075 170.6 171.8 172.0 75.*5 April May Jung 6\6 5^6 94^4 217.1 127)4 21li7 1.104 175.2 173.3 174.0 75!9 July August September o!6 5.*8 94*2 228 '.3 i>i36)5 217!6 1.127 175.0 176.4 176.7 7s!s October November December 5*, 5 5*.4 94*. 6 227,7 127.5 221,1 1.152 178.4 179.5 rlS'l. 9 76.0 r93.6 H>p236!2 plSo'.O [H>r227!5 E>pl.l82 r182.6 H85.Q H87.6 p76'.5 1979 1980 January February March .... April May June .... p4!5 (NA) B>pl89.3 ... July August September October November December .... NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Current high values are indicated by [ft); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by |R). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Giaphsof these series are shown on pages 15, 29, and 30. ^VA, inventory valuation adjustment; CCA, capital consumption adjustment. 2Series reaching highs before 1978: series 81, 3d quarter 1977 (8.1); series 26, 3d quarter 1975 (98.1); series 64, 4th quarter 1976 (76.81. 3See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. 70 MAY 1980 KCII CYCLICAL INDICATORS B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS —Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS IH MONEY ANDCREOIT Minor Economic Process Timing Class Year and month Velocity of Money Money .U L,L L,C,U 85. Change in money supply (Ml-B) 102. Change in money supply (M2) 1 104. Change in total liquid assets Monthly data (Percent) (Percent) L,L,L L,L,L Smoothed data 2 (Percent) (Percent) L,L,L 106. Money 105. Money supply(Ml-B) supply (M2) in 1972 in 1972 dollars dollars (Bil.dol.) (Bil.dol.) C, C,C 107. Ratio, gross national product to money supply (Ml-B) (Ratio) C, Lg, C Credit Flows L,L,L 33. Net change 108. Ratio, personal income in mortgage debt to money supply held by financial institutions and (M2) life insurance companies (Ann. rate, (Ratio) bil.dol.) 1978 January February March 1.11 0.00 0.48 0.66 0.41 0.64 0.83 0.82 1.08 0.99 0.93 0.89 H>224.3 223.0 222.3 ® 869.1 867.6 866.3 5.974 1.243 1.247 1.257 82.43 85.03 89.80 April May June 1.12 0.88 0.70 0.65 0.66 0.62 1.06 1.11 0.79 0.95 1.03 1.03 223.2 223.4 223.0 865.6 864.5 862.3 6.110 1.265 1.265 1.270 85.40 93.48 89.80 July August September 0.40 0.43 1.11 0.57 0.78 0.93 0.81 1.03 1.18 0.94 0.89 0.94 222.4 222.0 222.5 861.5 863.0 863.5 6.158 1.282 1.280 1.279 89.15 101.17 92.98 October November December 0.20 0.79 0.73 0.79 0.79 0.44 0.68 1.33 0.93 0.98 1.01 1.02 221.1 221.4 221.6 863.0 864.3 862.5 6.258 1.287 1.292 1.304 94.51 94.62 91.61 0.03 0.19 0.89 0.41 0.45 0.89 0.57 0.80 1.19 0.96 0.85 0.81 219.6 217.6 217.3 858.0 852.3 851.3 6.341 1.304 1.310 1.313 101.09 82.72 88.44 1.12 0.93 1.30 0.94 1.06 218.7 216.3 216.9 852,0 848.0 848.7 6.276 1.30 1.04 0.56 1.12 1.306 1.306 1.301 75.26 92.33 95.14 July August September 0.99 0.71 0.66 0.81 0.89 0.68 0.70 0,85 1.05 0.96 0.96 216.8 216.1 215.0 846.7 845.6 841.5 6.297 1.309 1.307 1.307 98.02 84.70 87.42 October November December 0.18 0.36 0.62 0.50 0.48 0.64 0.58 0.42 0.72 0.95 0.86 0.68 213.3 211.9 210.7 837.5 833.1 828.2 6.372 1.314 1.324 1.331 (H>107.34 74.28 52.14 pO.34 rpO.98 rp-0.10 pO.56 rpO.89 rpO,29 rO.69 rl.04 rO.73 rO.71 rO.82 p208.5 p207,7 p204.5 P821.5 rp817.6 rp808.4 [H>rp6.428 pi.. 335 r pi. 329 rpl.334 r85.49 r67.22 P64.00 p-1.22 3 -0.89 p-0.23 eO.03 eO.71 p200.2 P799.2 1979 January February March .... April May June E>1.59 -0.05 (H)1.35 EXUO 1980 January February March April May June July August September 0.59 Dpi. 338 (NA) . ... October November December series that order. Complete titles ar Graphs of these series are shown on pages 13, 31, and 32. t Series 102 reached its high value (1.64) in June 1975. 2See footnote 1 on page 68. 3Average for weeks ended May 7 and 14. HCII MAY 1980 71 CYCLICAL INDICATORS B CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS-Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS RM MONEY AND CREOIT-Con. Minor Economic Procsss Timing Class Year and month Credit Flows-Con. L, L, L 112. Net change in bank loans to businesses (Ann, rate, bil.dol.) L, L, L 113. Net change in consumer installment debt (Ann. rate, bil.dol.} L,L,L 110. Total private borrowing (Ann. rate, mil. dol.) L,L, L 14. Current liabilities of business failures© 1 (Mil. dol.) Interest Rates Bank Reserves Credit Difficulties L, L, L L, U,U 39. Delinquency 93. Free rate, 30 days reserves ® and over, consumer installment loans (Percent) (Mil. dol.) L, Lg, U 94. Member bank borrowing from the Federal Reserve © (Mil.dol.) C, Lg, Lg L, Lg, Lg 119. Federal funds rate® 114. Treasury bill rate® (Percent) (Percent) 1978 January February March 17.21 19.97 29.24 34.34 48.91 309,956 April May Jung 18.10 26.24 21.96 49.27 51.36 50.48 July . Autjust September 13.61 11.78 13.92 October November December 10.90 9.76 8.77 -0.94 168.31 205.01 324.41 2.42 2.48 2.51 -176 -272 336,240 202.99 160.40 178.84 2.44 2.28 2.44 -475 -975 -974 41.59 43.58 44.16 231.82 206.40 127.02 2.42 2.37 2.42 -1,146 345.916 40.51 45.98 52.79 475,34 178.93 196.54 2.35 2.34 2.45 -1,049 394,41*2 r 348 ,660 182.22 177.09 187.76 481 405 344 6.70 6.78 6.79 6,45 6.46 6.32 539 1,227 1,111 G,89 7.36 7.60 6.31 6,43 6.71 1,286 1,147 1,068 7.81 8.04 8.45 7.07 7,04 7.84 -417 -749 1,261 722 874 8.96 9,76 10.03 8.13 8.79 9.12 -692 -764 -742 994 973 999 10.07 10.06 10.09 9.35 9.27 9,46 -899 897 1,777 1,396 10.01 10.24 10.29 9.49 9,58 9.05 1,179 1,097 1,344 10.47 10.94 11.43 9.26 9.45 10.18 P 2,022 -38 -885 -993 1979 January February March 39.31 33.07 5.76 36.80 42.76 43.50 April May Jung 39.62 31.99 23.23 49.26 39.67 30.70 r363,112 242.76 200.45 273.17 2.43 2.37 2.45 July August September 40.55 30.54 43.36 29.32 29.35 (H}53.35 Br424,672 r212,20 r287.44 186.20 2.45 2.47 2.59 -1,339 October November December 26.23 28.88 16.19 395.75 -21.10 r295,832 2.45 2.50 2,64 P-1,601 p-1,699 p-95? pi ,908 j> 1,454 13.77 13.18 13.78 11.47 11.87 12.07 16.46 r27 . 54 17.21 p364,028 2.37 2.32 2.53 p-949 p-1,490 •H>P-2,383 pi ,264 pi, 660 Dp2»828 13.82 14.13 17.19 12.04 12.81 H>15.53 p-2,352 3 -857 p2,443 3 1,063 E>17.61 3 11.51 14.00 "9.52 3.72 4.55 (NA) 1)2.12 2.31 2,33 -1,490 -1,175 -989 -904 1980 January February March , . . April . May June . . B>55.48 35.83 -1.52 2.58 2 -29.20 (NA) (NA) July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©. Currant high values are indicated by ED; for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by 0). Series numbers are for identification only end do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p"( preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "N A", not available. Graohsof these serins are shown on pages 32, 33, and 34. 1 2 Series 14 reached its high value (96.99) in September 1977. Average for weeks ended May 7 and 14,, 3Average for weeks ended May 7, 14, and 21. 4Average for weeks ended May 1, 8, and 15. 72 MAY 1980 CYCLICAL INDICATORS CYCLICAL INDICATORS BY ECONOMIC PROCESS—Con. MAJOR ECONOMIC PROCESS . .. ^B MONEY AND CREDIT-Con. Minor Economic Process Timing Class Interest Rates-Con. Lg, lg, Lg C, Lg, Lg U, Lg, Lg 116. Corporate bond yields© 11 5. Treasury bond yields® 117. Municipal }ond yields® (Percent) (Percent) (Percent) Year and month Outstanding Debt Lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg 11 8. Secondary 67. Bank rates on short-term market-yields onFHA business loans mortgages® ® 109. Average prime rate charged by banks® (Percent) (Percent) (Percent) Lg, Lg, Lg 66. Consumer installment debt (Mil.dol.) Lg, Lg, Lg Lg, Lg, Lg 72. Commercial 95. Ratio, consumer inand industrial stallment debt oans outstanding, weekly :o personal reporting large ncome commercial banks (Percent) {Mil.dol.) 1978 January February March 8.70 8.70 8.70 7.51 7.60 7.63 5.71 5.62 5.61 9.18 (NA) 9.35 slgo 7.93 8.00 8.00 225,714 228,576 232,652 118,248 119,682 121,346 13.95 14.01 14.06 April May June 8.88 9.00 9.15 7.74 7.87 7,94 5.80 6.03 6.22 9.44 9.74 (NA) s!% 8.00 8.27 8.63 236,758 241,038 245,245 122,854 125,041 126,871 14,12 14.29 14.39 July August September 9.27 8.83 8.78 8.10 7.88 7.82 6.28 6.12 6.09 9.96 9.81 9.81 9^92 9.00 9.01 9.41 248,711 252,343 256,023 128,005 128,987 •130,147 14.38 14.49 14.58 9.14 9.30 9.30 8.07 8.16 8.36 6.13 6.19 6.50 9.94 10.04 10.23 1K44 10.94 11.55 259,399 263,231 267,630 131,055 131,786 131,708 14.56 14.61 14.65 January February March 9.47 9.52 9.65 8.43 8.43 8.45 6.47 6.31 6.33 10.24 10.24 10.26 12!27 11.75 11,75 11.75 270,697 274,260 277,885 134,984 137,740 138,220 14.76 14.81 14.84 April May June 9.69 9.82 9.51 8.44 8.55 8.32 6.29 6.25 6.13 10.61 10.49 12^34 11.75 11.75 11.65 281 ,990 285,296 287,854 141,522 144,188 146,124 14.99 15.08 15.11 July August September 9,47 9.57 9.87 8.35 8.42 8.68 6.13 6.20 6.52 10.46 10.58 11.37 12131 11.54 11.91 12.90 290,297 292,743 297,189 149,503 152,048 155,661 15.02 15.04 (H>15.16 October November December 11.17 11.52 11.30 9.44 9.80 9.58 7.08 7.30 7.22 12.41 12,24 iEDisisi 14.39 15.55 15.30 299,375 301,782 303,131 155,971 154,213 154,592 15.11 15.05 14.95 15*. 67 15.25 15.63 18.31 304,503 r306,798 1)308,232 159,215 162,201 162,074 14.88 r!4.92 p!4.89 .... .... October November December 9.98 1979 (NA) (NA) 1980 January February March April May June 11.65 13.23 E>14.08 10.03 11.55 E>11.87 13.36 Ml. 64 10.83 X 9.89 7.35 8.16 E>9.17 2 8.63 7.56 12.60 (NA) H> 14.63 13.45 ID19.77 9 16.92 (NA) [H>pl62,289 "159,856 (NA) July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to containno seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Current high values are indicated by[H); for series that move counter to movements in general business activity, current low values are indicated by (H>. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 15, 34, and 35. 'Average for weeks ended May 2, 9, 16, and 23. 8Average for weeks ended May 1, 8, 15, and 22. 3Average for May 1 through 27. ''Average for weeks ended May 7 and 14. ItCII MAY 1980 73 CYCLICAL INDICATORS DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE ^J DIFFUSION INDEXES 950. Twelve leading indicator components (series 1,3, 8, 12, 19, 20,29,32,36,92,104, 106} Year and month 951. Four roughly coincident indicator components (series 41,47,51,57) 952. Six lagging indicator components (series 62, 70, 72, 91, 95, 109) 961. Average workweek of production workers, manufacturing (20 industries) 962. Initial claims for State unemployment insurance, week including the 12th (51 areas) 1-month span 6-month span 76.5 56.9 47,1 158.3 159.2 69.5 83,1 79.1 77.6 82.4 11.8 58.8 52.9 60.8 60.8 68.0 57.8 66.6 73.5 72.7 71.2 87.5 50.0 42.5 49.0 42.2 94.1 51.0 76.5 15.7 (54.5 60.5 62.5 73.0 77.3 79.7 47.5 70.0 52.5 60.0 65.0 25.5 29,4 86.3 51.0 66.7 29.4 73.0 75.9 74.4 82.3 82.3 80,5 100.0 100.0 100.0 55.0 37.5 60.0 20.0 15.0 11.8 72.5 68.6 46.1 27.5 23.5 70.3 65,1 60.5 74.1 67.4 61.9 91.7 75.0 83.3 83.3 100.0 100.0 90.0 32.5 10,0 30.0 22.5 66.7 66.7 56.9 49.0 31.4 44.8 54.7 57,0 58,1 50.3 46.8 100.0 50,0 75.0 66.7 83.3 75.0 100.0 83.3 75.0 62.5 35.0 72.5 37.5 30.0 90.0 35.3 56.9 86.3 21.6 r23.5 r49.0 61.6 48.8 46.8 56.1 55.8 57.6 75.0 75.0 25.0 83.3 41.7 50.0 50,0 58.3 50.0 47,5 62.5 52.5 r47.5 r27.5 p!7.5 53.9 68.6 69.8 59.9 59.0 r65.7 r62.2 33.3 58.3 66.7 33,3 "75.0 P45.6 1 -month span 6-month span 1-month §pan 9-month span 1-month span 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 91.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 77.5 92.5 82.5 70.0 55.0 33.3 47.1 54.9 100.0 50.0 75.0 100,0 100.0 100.0 66.7 100.0 91.7 100.0 83.3 83.3 75.0 15.0 52.5 45,0 65.0 95.0 62.5 83,3 66.7 75.0 100.0 62.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 83,3 83.3 83.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 50.0 42.5 65.0 54.2 37,5 66 ,,7 66.7 66.7 50.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 66,7 100.0 83.3 100.0 100.0 83.3 58.3 41,7 66,7 33.3 41.7 41.7 25.0 75.0 100.0 75.0 87.5 50.0 83.3 75.0 75.0 25.0 45.8 50,0 41.7 33.3 29.2 12.5 75.0 75.0 75.0 50.0 25.0 July August September r41,7 r25.0 62.5 54.2 33.3 r41.7 100,0 50.0 50.0 October November December 20,8 16.7 50.0 41.7 54.2 18.2 50.0 50.0 100,0 10.0 75.0 25.0 0.0 1-month span 6-month span 1-month span January February , March 45.8 62,5 41.7 58.3 54.2 58.3 25.0 75.0 100.0 April May June . . 66.7 54,2 62,5 54.2 50.0 58.3 July . August September 45.8 50.0 62.5 October November December 963. Number of employees on private noritigricultural payrolls (172 industries) 6-month span 9-month span 1978 .... 5,0 1979 January . February March .... .... .... April May June 1 0.0 7.5 7.8 8.8 35.3 p33,3 (NA) 61.6 1980 January February March ..... .... 50.0 33.3 *27.3 2 April May June 0.0 2 3 0.0 3 *75.0 65.0 r25.5 63.4 r27.5 60.8 rO.O p46.1 r55.8 r45.1 p30.0 (NA) p27.9 July August September October November December .... .... NOTE: Figures are the percent of series components rising. (Half of the unchanged components are counted as rising.) Data are centered within the spans: 1-month indexes are placed on Ithe 2d month, 6-month indexes on the 4th month, and 9-month indexes on the 6th month of the span. Diffusion indexes 961, 962, and 963 are computed from seasonally adjusted components; indexes 950, 951, and 952 ore computed from the components of the composite indexes. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 36. 1 Excludes series 12 for which data are not yet available. 2 Exeludes series 12 and 36 for which data are not yet available. 3 Exeludes series 57 for which data are not yet available. ^Excludes series 70 and 95 for which data are not yet available. 74 MAY 1980 BCD CYCLICAL INDICATORS C I DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con. JBI DIFFUSION INDEXES-Con. 964. Value of manufacturers' new orders, durable goods industries (35 industries) Year and month 1 -month span 9-month span 965. Newly approved capital appropriations, deflated, The Conference Board (17 industries) 1 -quarter span 4-Q movingavg. 966. Index of industrial production (24 industries) 1 -mo nth span 6-month span 967. Index of industrial materials prices ® (13 industrial materials) 1 -month span 9-month span 968. Index of stock prices, 500 common stocks l © 1-month span 9-month span 960. Net profits, manufacturing 2 ® (about 700 companies) 1 -quarter span 4-quarter span Revised7 Revised7 1978 37.1 60.0 45.7 85.7 91.4 80.0 62 April May June 74.3 42.9 57.1 85.7 80.0 94.3 27 July August September . 48.6 80.0 65.7 88.6 80.0 88.6 59 77.1 45.7 62.9 91.4 97.1 91.4 50 62.9 ' 45.7 62.9 82.9 80.0 61.4 53 25.7 62.9 51.4 65.7 62.9 60.0 45 42.9 54.3 45.7 75.7 39 62.9 62.9 48 January February March , . . . October November December 3 66.7 66.7 3 58.3 30.6 50.0 "49,1 A 62.1 '69.8 *78 50.0 61.5 80.8 69.2 80.8 84-. 6 90.7 90.7 59.3 "82.8 "86.2 "87.7 *78 87.5 87.5 91.7 65.4 69.2 76.9 88.5 92.3 88.5 28.8 98.3 37.3 "70.2 "67.5 "68.4 'so 87.5 77.1 81.3 88.5 80.8 42.3 88.5 88.5 92.3 69.0 39.1 47.3 67.3 *74 *52 66.7 79.2 87.5 58.3 58.3 50.0 61.5 76.9 76.9 96.2 96.2 88.5 94.8 35.5 85.5 18.2 32.7 57.4 '71* *47 54.2 52.1 66.7 56.3 54.2 45.8 69.2 42.3 53.8 80.8 84.6 80.0 16.4 90.0 90.7 88.9 75.0 *74 *46 16.7 64.6 66.7 p48 45.8 45.8 52.1 70.8 52.1 54.2 46.2 30.8 53.8 66.7 66.7 58.3 64.8 92.6 53.7 63.0 68.5 68.5 58.3 50.0 58.3 66.7 62.5 =62.5 5 61.5 76.9 5 66.7 58.3 58.3 38.0 95.4 *49 39.6 47.9 85.4 83.3 79.2 91,7 69.2 34.6 46.2 'BO 87.5 54.2 83.3 87.5 87.5 85.4 '48 70.8 83,3 70.8 3 8.1 8.6 0.0 1979 January February March April May June I July August September : 57.1 60.0 51.4 45.7 54.3 October . November December p48.6 r45.8 5 91.7 3 S 5 5 3.7 ... (NA) 69.8 37,7 39.6 1980 72.9 42.9 34.3 January February March April , May p20.0 p59 r77.1 r25.0 r25.0 P 8.3 p31.2 50,0 73.1 61.5 11.5 6 56 54.2 74.1 52.8 3,8 26.4 15.4 June July August September October November December NOTE: Figures are the percent of series components rising. (Half of the unchanged components are counted as rising.) Data are centered within the spans: 1-month indexes are placed on the 2d month, 6-month indexes on the 4th month, and 9-month indexes on the 6th month of the span; 1 -quarter indexes are placed on the 1st month of the 2d quarter, 3-quarter indexes on the 1st month of the 3d quarter, and 4-quarter indexes on the 2d month of the 3d quarter. Seasonally adjusted components are used except in index 968, which requires no adjustment, and index 969, which is adjusted as an index (1-quarter span only). Unadjusted series are indicated by (3). The 'Vindicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 37. 1 Based on 62 industries through March 1978, on 59 industries through September 1978, on 58 industries through January 1979, on 55 industries through June 1979, on 54 industries through January 1980, and on 53 industries thereafter. Data for component industries are not shown in table C2 but are available from the source agency. a This is a copyrighted series used by permission; it may not be reproduced without written permission from Dun and Bradstreet, Inc. 3 Based on 12 components (excluding print cloth). "Based on 58 components for January 1978 through May 1978 and on 57 connponents through September 1978. s Based on 12 components (excluding rosin). 6 Average for May 6, 13, and 20. 7See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. ltd* MAY 1980 75 CYCLICAL INDICATORS DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE-Con. DIFFUSION INOEXES-Con. Year and quarter a. Actual expenditures b. Later anticipations c. Early anticipations Anticipated Actual Anticipated Actual Anticipated Actual 973. Net sales, manufacturing and trade1 ® 972. Net profits, manufacturing and trade1® 971. New orders, manufacturing1® 970. Business expenditures for new plant and equipment {18 industries) (4-Q span) (4-Q span) 78 80 84 82 80 81 84 85 82 86 90 86 73 76 78 78 79 82 84 83 84 86 88 88 86 87 92 90 80 84 80 72 78 74 70 72 78 82 80 70 87 84 82 82 85 88 84 78 66 75 (NA) 66 73 (NA) 72 80 (1*Qspan) (1-Qspan) (1-Qspan) {4-Q span) (4-Q span) (4-Q span) 66.7 75.0 88.9 44.4 61.1 72.2 69.4 58.3 66.7 66.7 66.7 72.2 80 83 82 82 80 86 88 84 71 74 74 76 61.1 88.9 61.1 66.7 77.8 69.4 63.9 72.2 61.1 66,7 61,1 69.4 83 86 86 86 82 83 88 86 66.7 77.8 83.3 77.8 66.7 72.2 66.7 72.2 55.6 72.2 69.4 77.8 85 81 73 78 (NA) 50.0 47.2 75.0 (NA) {4-Q span) 1977 First quarter .., Second quarter Third quarter... Fourth quarter 1978 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1980 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter,. Fourth quarter DIFFUSION INDEXES-Con. Year and quarter 974. Number of employees, manufacturing and trade1® 975. Level of inventories, manufacturing and trade1® 976. Selling prices, manufacturing1 © Actual Actual Actual Anticipated (4-Q span) (4-Q span) Anticipated Anticipated 977. Selling prices, wholesale trade 1 ® Anticipated Actual {4-Q span) {4-Q span) (4-Q span) (4-Q span) (4-Q span) (4-Q span) 978. S&lling prices, retail trade1 ® Actual Anticipated (4-Q span) (4-Q span) 1977 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 60 59 61 62 59 60 61 59 74 72 74 75 65 68 72 70 86 86 87 87 78 81 86 82 87 86 88 90 80 86 86 84 90 86 92 92 86 84 89 62 64 64 63 59 60 62 62 76 76 76 78 67 70 73 74 87 88 90 91 82 84 87 87 92 93 94 84 90 87 90 91 94 94 93 90 88 92 92 62 60 60 58 60 60 58 56 80 76 73 75 70 74 71 68 92 93 92 94 86 88 88 86 96 95 95 96 88 90 92 90 94 95 94 96 90 92 92 90 (NA) 54 56 (NA) 62 70 (NA) 87 90 (NA) 90 92 (NA) 90 93 1978 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1980 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter NOTE: Figures are the percent of series components rising. (Half of the unchanged components are counted as rising.) Data are placed on the terminal month of the span. Series areieasonally adjusted except those, indicated by ® , that appear to contain no seasonal movement. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 38. *This is a copyrighted series used by permission; it may not be reproduced without written permission from Dun and Bradstreet, Inc. Dun and Bradstreet diffusion indexes are based on surveys of about 1,400 business executives. 76 MAY 1980 ItCII CYCLICAL INDICATORS DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con. |H SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change Diffusion index components 1980 1979 September October November December January Aprilp Marchr February 961. AVERAGE WORKWEEK OF PRODUCTION WORKERS, MANUFACTURING ' (Average weekly hours) + All manufacturing industries 40.2 o (72) Percent rising of 20 components 40.2 40.1 (48) (62) + 40,2 + (52) 40.3 - (65) r40.1 39.8 39.6 (28) (0) (30) Durable goods industries: 38.9 38.9 + + 39.0 39.0 + o 39,5 39.0 o r39.1 r39.0 38.6 38.5 41.5 40.7 + 41.6 40.6 + 41.3 40.8 o r41.0 r40.8 40.8 40.7 40.4 40.3 40.7 41.6 + o 41.0 41.6 + 40.9 41.7 40.8 41.5 40.6 41.4 40.4 41.3 40.6 40.6 + 40.5 41.0 o 40.4 41.0 o - r40.4 r40.9 40.0 40.5 39.7 40.3 + o 41.0 39.1 40.8 39.2 + + 41.5 39.5 - r40.9 r39.2 40.5 38.6 + + 40.7 38.3 39.9 38.3 + 40.0 37.8 39.9 38.8 + 40.0 38.5 - r39.6 r37.7 39.5 37.6 o + 39.5 37.4 + o 40.8 35.3 + o 41.1 35.3 + 41.0 35.6 + + 41.7 35.9 + 41.1 r36.0 40.8 35.4 42.4 37.5 + - 42.6 37.4 + + 42.7 37.6 42.9 37.4 + 42.8 37.8 r42.9 37.4 42.5 37.2 + 41.7 44.1 o - 41.7 43.7 + + 41,9 44.4 + + 40.3 37.0 o - 40.3 36.5 + 40.0 36.7 + + 39.7 38.6 + 39.4 38.8 Stone clay and glass products Primary metal industries + o 41.5 41.0 + 41.3 41.1 Fabricated metal products Machinery, except electrical + + 40.7 41.9 + - 40.9 41.6 Electrical equipment and supplies . . . . Transportation equipment + - 40.3 40.6 o + 40.3 41.3 + Instruments and related products Miscellaneous manufacturing industries . . . + o 40.6 39.1 + o 40.7 39.1 + + 40.0 38.6 - Textile mill products Apparel and other textile products . . . . + o 40.6 35.3 Paper and allied products Printing and publishing - Lumber and wood products Furniture and fixtures . . + + o + 37.3 38.7 Nondurable goods industries: Food and kindred products Tobacco manufactures Chemicals and allied products PetrolBum and coal products .... .... Rubber and plastic products, n.e c . . . . Leather and leather products + + 41.7 43.5 + 39.9 36.9 + + 77,199 + + 39.7 35.6 42.6 37.0 42.0 36,6 + 41.9 40.4 41.8 40.3 40.6 37.2 39.9 r37.3 39.8 36.8 o + 39.8 36.4 77,909 - 74,661 964.VALUEOFMANUFACTURERS'NEWORDERS,DURA8LEGOODSINDUSTRIES1 (Millions of dollars) + + + 81,257 2 + 41.4 41.8 * - 81,045 - + 77,647 - 76,521 (60) (51) Primary metals . Fabricated metal products + 11,923 - 8,913 + 12,343 + 9,426 - 11,748 9,004 + 11,502 9,685 + - 13,533 9,092 + 13,086 10,223 - 11,141 9,738 - 10,157 9,021 Machinery, except electrical Electrical machinery + 13,992 - 9,824 - 13,975 - 9,558 + 13,843 9,769 + + 14,016 10,060 + + 15,039 10,626 + 14,271 11,440 + - 14,363 11,109 - 12,987 10,815 Transportation Equipment Other durable goods industries + 18,023 + 14,972 - 15,820 + 15,399 + - 16,555 14,984 + - 16,970 14,966 + 16,448 16,519 - 16,005 16,020 + - 16,345 15,213 + - 17,505 14,176 All durable goods industries Percent rising of 35 components - 75,903 (46) (43) (73) (54) (34) (20) NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: {+) = rising, (o) - unchanged, and (-) ~ falling. This "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available, 1 Data are seasonally adjusted by the source agency. 2 Data for most of the 35 diffusion index components are not available for publication; however, they are included in the totals and directions of change for the six major industry groups shown here. 3 Revised. See "New Features and Changes for This Issue/1 page iii. MAY 1980 77 CYCLICAL INDICATORS DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE-Con. R| SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Changa-Con. 1980 1979 Diffusion index components December November October September Januaryr Aprilp Marchr Februaryr 966. I N D E X O F INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 1 (1967=100) + All industrial production Percent rising of 24 components* Durable manufactures; Primary and fabricated metals Primary metals Fabricated metal products Machinery and allied goods Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery Transportation equipment Instruments Lumber, clay, and glass Clay, glass, and stone products I umber and products Furniture and miscellaneous Furniture and fixtures . Miscellaneous manufactures Nondurable manufactures: Textiles, apparel, and leather Textile mill products Apparel products Leather and products Paper and printing Paper and products Printing and publishing Chemicals, petroleum, and rubber Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastics products Foods and tobacco Foods Tobacco products Mining: Coal . . . . Oil and gas extraction. Metal, stone, and earth minerals Metal mining Stone and earth minerals. 152.4 - (52) 152.2 - (58) 152.1 + 152.2 116.4 145.0 162.9 181.2 125.9 175.0 + + + 166.9 181.7 122.4 175.8 164.4 131.7 + - 151.3 - 148.5 (8) (25) + - 113. 4 144.7 - 109.0 140.8 166.4 180.4 126.2 175.0 - 1(56.0 179.8 124.3 174.9 - 164.8 176.9 116.0 173.5 165.1 131.6 162.3 130.3 - 158.4 122.9 o + 161.0 154.0 158.8 152.0 - 158.7 151.4 147.8 127.2 145.4 127.3 - 143.2 71.2 + + 72.1 + (MA) 72.3 + + 154.7 137.8 + + 156.0 138,9 150.4 139.9 + - 152.0 139.0 - 149.2 137.9 215.1 142.1 271.3 + + 216.5 142.6 262.3 + + + 217.7 146.7 266.9 216.7 144.9 265.7 - 213.8 141.9 262.0 - 138.7 - 148.3 113.0 + + 148.9 116.6 + + 150.0 118.7 151.2 118.0 - 150.6 144.7 124.2 + 141.9 126.0 + + 145.0 127.2 + 141.0 128.5 + 136.0 128.7 + + 137.2 130.0 124.1 138.2 + + 132.0 141.2 + 136.8 141.0 + + 137.6 145.3 - 135.6 145.1 - 132.4 143.3 165.1 176.7 131.7 172.9 + + + 162.3 177.3 133.7 175.0 + + - 162.8 179.5 128.2 173.3 + + 160.6 138.6 + + 162.3 138.7 + - 162.8 136.1 + 162.0 153.6 + + 163.3 154.5 + 162.9 155.3 161.0 153.7 + + + 146.9 131.2 - 146.0 128.5 147.9 128.8 147.1 128.3 70.1 + + + 70.4 + + 155.3 137.1 + 154.1 137.2 - 153.3 136.2 212.0 143.1 272.9 + 211.4 141.1 274.5 + + - + + 148.8 116.4 - 148.6 115.6 o 142.6 121.6 + + 122.1 137.5 + + + - 111.9 145.3 117.2 146.9 70.8 (25) + - - + (77) 115.4 146.1 118.0 147.5 + 152.3 (58) + + + 152.6 (50) 121.7 146.5 + .. . + + + + + 73.2 + + (NA) (NA) (NA) - 149.4 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) + + 142.9 130.5 (NA) (NA) NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the montrHo-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and Hs falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available. *Data are seasonally adjusted by the source agency. "Where actual data for separate industries are not available, estimates are used to compute the percent rising. 78 MAY 1980 CYCLICAL INDICATORS DIFFUSION INDEXES AND RATES OF CHANGE—Con. Rfl SELECTED DIFFUSION INDEX COMPONENTS: Basic Data and Directions of Change-Con. Diffusion index components 1979 September October 1980 November January December February March April May 1 967. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES 2 Industrial materials price index (1967=100) . . . . Percen t rising of 13 componen ts 297.3 + (54) 307.7 3 304.0 + (62) (62) 309.6 + 316.2 + (50) (77) 322.5 (73) 316.9 - 301.9 (62) (12) - 280.3 (15) Dollars Copper scrap (pound). . + (kilogram). . 0.725 + 1,598 0,729 + 1.607 0.746 1.645 + 0.872 1.922 o 0.872 1.922 + 0.971 2.141 0.732 1.614 0.674 1.486 - 0.673 1.484 Lead scrap (pound). . o (kilogram). . 0.263 0.580 0.258 + 0.569 0.399 0.880 - 0.373 0.822 - 0.346 0.763 o 0.346 + 0.763 0.364 0.802 0.313 0.690 - 0.220 0.485 (US. ton) (metric ton). . 87.000 o 95.900 87.000 + 92.000 101.412 95.900 + 93.000 102.514 + 96.750 106.648 + 100.000 - 98.000 - 91.800 108.025 101.191 110.230 Tin (pound) + (kilogram). . 7.040 + 15.520 7.520 + 16.579 7.588 16.729 + 7.890 17.394 - 7.805 17.207 + 7,910 + 17.438 8.368 18.448 7.918 17.456 + 8.151 17.970 Zinc (pound). . (kilogram). . 0.360 + 0.794 0.373 0.822 0.369 0.813 + 0.375 0.827 o 0.375 0.827 + 0.380 + 0.838 0.390 0.860 0.385 0.849 - 0.375 0.827 (yard) (meter). . 0.345 + 0.377 0.370 + 0.405 0.391 0.428 + 0.417 0.456 - 0.404 0.442 - 0.385 + 0.421 0.389 0.425 0.362 0.396 - 0.349 0.382 (pound) + (kilogram). .. 0.624 + 1.376 0.630 + 1.389 0.632 1.393 + 0.644 1.464 + 0.726 1.601 + 0.810 1.786 0.788 1.737 0.787 1.735 + 0.790 1.742 Print cloth (yard). . (meter). . 0.644 0.704 0.628 0.687 0.620 0.678 + 0.625 0.684 o 0.625 0.684 + 0.651 + 0.712 0.682 + 0.746 0.695 0.760 - 0.692 0.757 Wool tops (pound) + (kilogram). . 2.888 + 6.367 2.980 + 6.570 3.050 6.724 + 3.140 6.922 + 3.150 6.944 + 3.200 + 7.055 3.500 7.716 3.460 7.628 - 3.267 7.202 Hides (pound). . (kilogram). . 0.795 1.753 0.786 1.733 0.740 1.631 + 0.780 1.720 + 0.825 1.819 - 0.745 1.642 0.592 1.305 0.490 1.080 - 0.423 0.933 + 40.500 89.286 - 40.200 88.625 - 40.000 88.184 + Steel scrap .. Burlap Cotton .. Rosin . .. (100 pounds) o (100 kilograms). . 28.500 62.831 (NA) (MA) 42.000 + 48.000 o 48.000 103.821 105.821 92.593 - 71.000 78.263 - 47.000 103,616 Rubber (pound). . + (kilogram). . 0,651 + 1.435 0.677 1.493 0.665 1.466 + 0.679 1.497 + 0.743 1.638 + 0.833 1.836 0.750 1.653 0.711 1.567 - 0.690 1.521 Tallow (pound). . + (kilogram). . 0.228 0.503 0.213 0.470 0.187 0.412 - 0.185 0.408 - 0.180 0.397 - 0.170 + 0.375 0.181 0.399 0.180 0.397 - 0.169 0.373 NOTE: To facilitate interpretation, the month-to-month directions of change are shown along with the numbers: (+) = rising, (o) = unchanged, and (-) = falling. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available. 1 Average for May 6, 13a and 20. 2 Data are not seasonally adjusted. Components are converted to metric units by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. 3 Based on 12 components. 110 MAY 1980 79 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT GNP AND PERSONAL INCOME Year and quarter 200. Gross national product in current dollars 50. Gross national product in 1972 dollars i. Total a. Total c. Percent change at annual rate b. Difference (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) b. Difference (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) c. Percent change at annual rate (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 217. Per capita GNP in 1972 dollars 213. Final sales in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, dollars) (Ann, rate, bil.dol.) 1977 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1,820.2 1,876.0 1,930.5 1,971.3 64.1 55.8 54.5 40.8 2,Oil.3 2J04.2 2,159.6 2,235.2 40.0 92.9 55.4 75.6 2,292.1 56.9 37.7 66.7 60.4 10.6 2,329.8 2,396.5 2,456.9 r2,516.1 r59.2 27.6 1,315.7 1,331.2 1,353.9 1,361.3 15.4 12.8 12.1 8.7 15.5 22.7 7.4 8.9 4.8 7.0 2.2 6,084 6,145 6,236 6,256 1,304.4 1,317.8 1,337.3 1,350.0 1.9 8.3 3.5 5.6 6,276 6,390 6,431 6,506 1,351.3 1,379.6 1,395.1 1,414.6 1.1 6,512 6,460 6,494 6,509 1,418.4 1,404.1 1,426.2 1,439.0 r6,497 rl,444.5 1978 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 6.5 1,367.8 1,395.2 1,407.3 1,426.6 8.4 19.8 10.9 14.8 27.4 12.1 19.3 1979 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 4.0 11.9 10.5 1,430.6 1,422.3 1,433.3 1,440.3 -8.3 11.0 rlO.O rl,442.6 r2.3 6.7 -2.3 3.1 2.0 7.0 1980 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter GNP AND PERSONAL INCQME-Con. Year and quarter PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES 230. Total in current dollars Disposable personal income 224. Current dollars 226. Constant (1972) dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.)' (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) rO.6 231. Total in 1972 dollars 232. Durable goods in current dollars 233. Durable goods in 1972 dollars 227. Per capita in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, dollars) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 1977 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1,250.1 1,286.0 1,323.2 1,361.2 908.0 921.5 936.3 951.8 4,200 4,255 4,313 4,375 1,169.1 1,190.5 1,220.6 1,259.7 849.2 853,1 863.7 880.9 174.3 175.7 178.9 186.4 135.8 136.6 138.2 142.4 1,395.0 1,437.3 1,476.5 1,524.8 956.6 966.1 976.2 991.5 4,390 4,426 4,462 4,522 1,287.2 1,331.2 1,369.3 1,415.4 882.7 894.8 905.3 920.3 185.3 200.3 203.5 212.1 139.3 147.8 147.5 152.1 1,572.2 1,601.7 1,640.0 1,683.1 996.6 993.0 993.4 996.2 4,536 4,510 4,501 4,502 1,454.2 1,475.9 1,528.6 1,580.4 921.8 915.0 925.9 935.4 213.8 208.7 213.4 216.2 150.2 144.8 146.9 146.7 rl,736.2 997.8 4,499 rl,628,7 r936 f O r220.4 r!45.5 1978 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1980 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 40 and 41. MAY 1980 KCII OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES A I NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Con. Iflj GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT ^H PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES-Con. 236. Nondurable goods in current dollars Year and quarter i (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 238. Nondurable goods in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 237. Services in current dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) • 239. Services in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 240. Total in current dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 241. Total in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 242. Fixed investment, total, in current dollars 243. Fixed investment, total, in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 1977 467.7 475.5 483.0 499.2 328.9 329.6 332.1 340.0 527.1 539.3 558.7 574.1 384.5 386.9 393.3 398.5 280.4 300.0 315.7 316.9 191.0 199.6 206.7 203.0 261.1 277.5 288.2 298.5 179,7 186.2 190.1 191.7 505.9 521.8 536.7 558.1 337.3 339.4 344.7 351.9 596.0 609.1 629.1 645.1 406.1 407.6 413.1 416.3 327.0 352.3 356.2 370.5 209.0 216,8 214.0 217.4 304.1 326.5 336.1 349.8 192.5 201.2 201.8 205.5 571.1 581.2 604.7 630.7 348.1 344.1 349.2 355.1 669.3 686.0 710.6 733.5 423.5 426.1 429.9 433.6 373.8 395.4 392.3 387.2 217.2 221.7 214.2 207.7 354.6 361.9 377.8 381.7 204,9 203,5 207.1 206.3 r650.6 r353.0 r757.8 r437.6 r384 ? 0 r202.2 r383,9 r204.1 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Foufth quarter 1978 First quarter . , Second quarter .... Third quarter Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter . . Fourth quarter 1980 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter . . O Year and quarter GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVEST.-Con. 245. Change in business inventories in current dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) : ^Rl GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES 30. Change in business inventories in 1972 dollars 260. Total in current dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bit. dol.) 261. Total in 1972 dollars {Ann. rate, bit. dol.) 262. Federal Government in current dollars 263. Federal Government in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 266. State and local government in current dollars 267. State and local government in 1972 dollars (Ann. rate, bit. dot.) (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 1977 First quarter . . Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 19.3 22.5 27.5 18.5 11.3 13.4 16.6 11.3 380.0 391.6 400.5 412.8 264.5 267.6 270.3 271.5 138.2 142.6 145.6 151.2 100.3 101.8 101.8 241.8 249.0 254.9 261.6 166.0 167.3 168.5 169.8 22.8 25.8 20.0 20.6 16.5 15.6 12.2 12.0 419.4 428.3 440.9 453.8 270.7 271.3 274.7 276.0 150.9 148.2 152.3 159.0 99.9 96.6 98.5 99.3 268.5 280.1 288.6 294.8 170.9 174.7 176.2 176.6 19.1 33.4 14.5 12.3 18.1 274.7 272.4 273.1 277.1 163.6 161.7 162.9 178.4 101.1 7.1 1.4 460.1 466.6 477.8 501.2 101.1 296.5 304.9 314.9 322.8 173.6 174.3 175.6 176.0 r-1.9 P517.4 r280.0 r!86.2 r!04,3 r331.2 175.7 98.4 1978 First quarter . Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 5.6 98.1 97.4 1980 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter ... Fourth quarter rO.l NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by @. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 41, 42, and 43. ltd* MAY 1980 81 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES A I NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Con. I FOREIGN TRADE Year and quarter (Ann. rate, bil.dot.) 256. Constant (1972) dollars 252. Current dollars 255. Constant (1972) dollars 250. Current dollars Imports of goods and services Exports of goods and services Net exports of goods and services (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) (Ann. rate, oil. dot.) 220. National income in current dollars 257. Constant (1972) dollars 253. Current dollars (Ann. rate, bil.dol.} (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) NATIONAL INCOME AND ITS COMPONENTS (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 280. Compensation of employees (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 1977 First quarter .. Second quarter , Third quarter.. Fourth quarter -9.2 -6.0 -6.3 96.5 99.4 97.3 179.8 184.7 186.4 192.3 85.4 88.5 87.3 91.4 1,456.9 1,505.3 1,551.1 1,589.8 1,110.1 1,141.5 1,170.7 1,205.5 184.4 205.7 213.8 224.9 100.7 109.2 111.9 113.8 206.6 213.3 220.6 229.4 95.4 96.9 98.5 101.0 1,621.0 1,703.9 1,752,5 1,820.0 1,244.0 1,288.2 1,321.1 1,364.8 17.0 13.2 20.1 20.1 238.5 243.7 267.3 280.4 117.0 116.0 122.2 124.3 234.4 251.9 269.5 292.4 100.0 102.9 102.1 104.1 1,869.0 1,897.9 1,941.9 1,990.4 1,411.2 1,439.7 1,472.8 1,513.2 r24.3 r304.2 r130.0 r318.2 r!05.6 p2,031.4 r1,554.6 170.5 178.6 180.1 174.2 100.5 -18.1 11.1 10.9 13.2 5.8 -22.2 -7.6 -6.8 -4.5 5.3 12.3 13.3 12.9 4.0 -8.1 -2.3 -11.9 r-14.0 1978 First quarter ,. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter,. Fourth quarter 1980 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter NATIONAL INCOME AND ITS COMPONENTS-Con. Year and quarter 282. Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (Ann, rate, _., bil.dol.) 284. Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 286. Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (Ann. rate, bil.doU SAVING 288. Net interest (Ann. rate, bikdolJ 290. Gross saving {private and government) (Ann. rate, bikdol.) 292. Personal saving 295. Business saving (Ann. rate, ...faiLdoLL (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 1977 First quarter ,. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 98.6 107.6 23.6 24.6 25.2 25.5 137.1 148.9 160.8 153.0 89.3 92.7 95.8 98.2 253.3 276.0 291.6 283.6 213.9 226.8 243.2 238,8 52.5 65.9 71.9 69.5 109.1 115.0 117.4 125.7 25.2 24.4 26.8 27.1 141.2 169.4 175.2 184.8 101.5 106.8 111.9 117.6 289.7 329.2 332.7 346.9 234.4 253.1 259.6 264.7 74.6 71.2 70.9 71.5 129.0 129.3 130.3 134.5 27.3 26,8 26.6 27.0 178.9 176.6 180.8 176.4 122.6 125.6 131.5 139.2 362.2 374.3 367.3 351.9 266.0 274.6 281.9 281.0 79.2 85,9 70.3 59.7 r!29.8 27.0 pi 71.8 r!48.1 p344.4 p276.8 r64.2 96.9 97.6 1978 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter ,. Second quarter Third quarter.. Fourth quarter 1980 First quarter .. Second quarter Third quarter,. Fourth quarter NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 44, 45, and 46. 82 MAY 1980 BCII OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES A I NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCT—Con. Q 298. Government surplus or deficit, total Year and quarter RMj SHARES OF GNP AND NATIONAL INCOME SAVING-Con. (Ann. rate, bil.dol.) 293. Personal saving rate (percent of disposable personal income) Percent of Gross National Product 235. Personal consumption expenditures, total (Percent) (Percent) 248. Nonresidential fixed investment 249. Residential fixed investment 247. Change in business inventories (Percent) (Percent) (Percent) 251. Net exports of goods and services (Percent) 1977 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 10.0 10.1 4.5 4.9 4.9 5.1 1.1 1.2 1.4 0.9 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.9 64.0 63.3 63.4 63.3 10.1 10.4 10.5 10.6 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.1 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.9 -1.1 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 63.4 63.3 63,8 64.3 10.6 10.7 10.9 10.8 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 0.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 -0.3 -0.1 -0.5 T64.7 rlO.9 -13.1 -16.6 -23.5 -24.8 4.2 5.1 5.4 5.1 64.2 63.5 63.2 63.9 -19.2 5.0 2.3 10.8 5.3 5.0 4.8 4.7 15.8 12.7 14.0 10.0 5.0 5.4 4.3 3.5 9.9 9.9 1978 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1979 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 0.2 1980 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter p2.2 r3.7 r4.4 rO.O r-0.6 L- O SHARES OF GNP AND NATIONAL INCOME-Con. Percent of GNP-Con. Year and quarter 265. Federal Govt. purchases of goods and services (Percent) Percent of National Income 268. State and local govt. purchases of goods and services (Percent) 64. Compensation of employees (Percent) 283. Proprietors' income with IVA and CCA 1 (Percent) 285. Rental income of persons with CCA 1 (Percent) 287. Corporate profitswith IVA and CCA 1 289. Net interest (Percent) (Percent) 1977 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 7,6 7.6 7.5 7.7 13.3 13.3 13.2 13.3 76.2 75.8 75.5 75.8 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.8 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 7.5 7.0 7.1 7.1 13.3 13.3 13.4 13.2 76.7 75.6 75.4 75.0 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.9 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.5 7.1 6.9 6.8 7.3 12.9 13.1 13.1 13.1 75.5 75.9 75.8 76.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.8 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 7.4 r!3.2 p76,5 9.4 9.9 10.4 9.6 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.2 1978 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter .... 8.7 9.9 10.0 10.2 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.5 1979 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 9.6 9.3 9.3 8.9 6.6 6.6 6.8 7.0 1980 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter . ... Fourth quarter p6.4 pi. 3 p8.5 P 7.3 NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 46 and 47. 1 IVA, inventory valuation adjustment; CCA, capital consumption adjustment. B€l» MAY 1980 83 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES B | PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY ^J PRICE MOVEMENTS Implicit price deflator, gross national product Year and month 310. Index (1972-100) Fixed weighted price index, gross business product 310c. Changs 311. Index over 1 -quarter spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) (1972-100) 31 1c. Change over 1-quarter spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) Consumer prices, all items 320. Index ® 320c. Change over 1-month spans1 (1967-100) (Percent) Consumer prices, food 320c. Change over 6-month spans1 322. Indsx (Ann. rate, percent) (1967-100) 322c. Change over 1-month spans1 322c, Change over 6-month spans1 (Percent) {Ann. rato, percent) 1978 147*.0 April May June 1SCL8 October November December 0.6 0.6 0.8 8.1 8.5 9.2 200.4 202.1 204.5 0.9 0.8 1.2 12.2 12.7 14.6 191.5 193.3 195.3 0.7 0.8 0.9 9.3 9.3 9.5 207.2 209.6 212.7 1.3 1,2 1,5 13.5 12.8 11.8 8.8 196.7 197.8 199.3 0.7 0.6 0.9 9.7 9.4 8.9 213.5 214.6 216.2 0«,4 0,,5 0,,7 11.0 10.1 8.7 200,9 202.0 202.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 9.5 10.6 10.9 218.3 219.9 222.2 1.0 0.7 1.0 11.4 13.3 13.8 204.7 207.1 209.1 0.9 1.1 1.0 11.1 12.0 12.9 225.3 228.4 230.6 1.4 1.4 1.0 12.9 12.8 10.1 211.5 214.1 216.6 1.0 1.0 1.0 13.2 12.9 13.3 232.0 233.5 234.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 9.1 6.3 6.4 10.4 218.9 221.1 223.4 1.1 1.0 1.2 13.4 13.3 13.8 235,3 235.5 237,9 0.5 0.1 1.0 6.8 6.9 9.3 8.4 225.4 227.5 229.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 14.5 15.3 239 ,,8 241 . 4 244.8 0.8 0.7 1.4 . 8.2 8.0 7.9 233.2 236,4 239.8 1.4 1.4 1.4 244.8 244.7 247.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 7,3 242.5 0.9 248.4 0.5 148'.2 10.5 10.6 July August September 187.2 188.4 189.8 6.6 6.3 January February March 15216 7.2 155^2 153!4 8.7 15s!5 156.*7 • 9.1 1979 January February March 9.3 160.*2 April May June 163^8 July August September 167^2 October November December 1?6!6 10.0 162^3 9.3 166\3 8.5 17CL4 8.4 173.*9 15.9 n.i 1980 January February March April May June r9.3 r!74.'4 rll.2 r!78.*6 15.7 July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain no seasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by @. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "a", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 48 and 49. Percent changes are centered within the spans: 1-quarter changes are placed on the 1st month of the 2d quarter, 1-month changes are placed on the 2d month, and 6-month changes are placed on the 4th month. 84 MAY 1980 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY—Con. ^J PRICE MOVEMENTS-Con. Producer prices, all commodities Year and month 330. Index® (1967=100) 330c. Change over 1 -month spans1 @ (Percent) Producer prices, crude materials Producer prices, industrial commodities 330c. Change overs-month spans1 ® 335. Index® 335c. Change over 1 -mo nth spans1 ® (Ann. rate, percent) (1967=100) (Percent) 335c. Change over 6-month spans1 @ (Ann. rate, percent) 331. Index (1967=100) 331 c. Change over 1-month spans1 331c. Change over 6-month spans1 (Percent) (Ann. rate, percent) 1978 January February March . . . 200.1 202.1 203.7 1.0 1.0 0.8 10.7 11.4 11.8 201.6 202.9 204.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 7.2 8.3 8.9 221,6 224,2 229.0 1.2 1.2 2,1 24,6 19.1 21.4 April May June 206.5 208.0 209.6 1.4 0.7 0.8 10.9 8.6 8.7 206.1 207.4 208.7 1.0 0.6 0.6 8.6 8.6 8.4 234.5 235.6 241.3 2.4 0.5 2.4 19.9 17.0 16.1 July August September 210.7 210.6 212.4 0.5 0.0 0.9 8.3 7.5 7.7 210.1 211.4 212.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 8.5 8.5 8.3 242.6 242.5 246.8 0.5 0.0 1.8 16,6 17.4 13.7 October November December 214.9 215.7 217.5 1.2 0.4 0,8 9.8 214.7 21.6.0 217.2 1.0 0.6 0.6 9.6 13.2 13.9 10.8 12.5 253.2 255.3 257.3 2.6 0.8 0.8 17.2 23.1 23.4 January February March 220.8 224.1 226.7 1.5 1.5 1.2 14.5 15.7 15.3 220.0 222.5 225.4 1.3 1.1 1.3 13.8 15.0 16.1 262,6 269.1 274.2 2.1 2.5 1.9 16,4 16.1 17.1 April May June .... 230.0 232.0 233.5 1.5 0.9 0.6 15.1 13.1 14.0 229.0 231.6 234.0 1.6 1.1 1.0 16.5 16.9 17.4 273.2 275.1 278.4 July . August September 236.9 238.3 242.0 1.5 0.6 1.6 14.0 13.5 237.5 240.6 244.2 1.5 1.3 1.5 18.2 17.1 284.6 285.2 291.4 2.2 0.2 2.2 r!7.4 October November December 245.6 247.2 r249,7 1.5 0.7 249.0 250.6 r253.1 2.0 0.6 294.5 298.4 r301.7 10.7 16.2 rl.O 20.1 21.7 20,6 1.1 1.3 rl.O 15.6 18.9 16.8 r2.0 14.1 2.0 0.7 260.3 265.4 268.2 r2.8 18.2 2.0 1.1 299.5 307.4 300.7 r-0.7 2.6 0.3 270.7 0.9 290.3 -3.5 1979 r!4.4 r!7.0 -0,4 0.7 1.2 rl.l 17.5 12.3 12.9 16.2 17.7 6.5 1980 January February . March . . April .... May June . 254.7 259.8 261.5 262.3 -2.8 -2.2 July August September October November December . . NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 48. 1 Percent changes are centered within the spans: the 4th month. MAY 1980 1-month changes are placed on the 2d month and 6-month changes are placed on 85 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY—Con. Q PRICE MOVEMENTS-Con. Producer prices, intermediate materials Year and month 332. Index (1967-100) 332c. Change over 1 -month spans1 (Percent) Producer prices, finished consumer goods Producer prices, capital equipment 332c. Change over 6-month spans1 (Ann. rate, percent} 333. Index (1967-100) 333c. Change over 1-month spans1 (Percent) 333c. Change over 6-month spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) 334. Index (1967=100) 334c. Change over 1-month spans1 334c. Change over 6-month spans1 ( Percent) (Ann. rate, percent) 1978 January February March 208.2 209.7 210.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 7.6 7.5 7.9 192.2 193.3 194.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 7.7 7.6 8.1 184.5 186.1 187.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 April May June 211.9 213.1 214.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 6.7 6.9 7.1 195.6 197.0 198.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 8.4 8.4 8.4 189.5 190.8 192.2 1.2 0.7 0.7 July August September . 215.1 216.8 218.3 0.3 0.8 0.7 8.6 9.3 9.3 200.1 201.3 202,5 0.8 0.6 0.6 7.7 8.4 8.0 193,7 194.3 195,7 0.8 0.3 0.7 8.6 8.3 9,5 October November December 220.8 222.8 224.3 1.1 0.9 0,7 11.3 11.8 12,6 203.0 205,1 206.4 0.2 1.0 0.6 8.6 9.1 9.2 197.5 198.6 201.1 0.9 0.6 1.3 10.6 12.5 13.4 January February March 226.9 229.2 231.6 1.2 1.0 1.0 13.3 13.4 14.2 208.5 210.3 211.6 1.0 0.9 0.6 9.9 9.9 203.7 206.1 208.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 12,7 12.7 11,1 April May Juno 235.0 237.3 239.7 1.5 1.0 1.0 15.3 16.2 17.2 214.0 215,0 216.4 1.1 0.5 0.7 9.5 7.4 7.6 209.7 210,8 212.0 0.6 0.5 0.6 11,2 12.2 13.7 July August September 243.6 247.1 250.7 1,6 1.4 1.5 17.7 17.6 0.8 7.0 7.5 214.8 218.3 222.2 11.3 r17,8 218.2 217.9 219.5 14.9 16,9 H7.6 255.0 257.3 r260.2 1.7 0.9 20.2 21.2 18.9 221.4 222.9 r224.8 224.8 227.9 r229.9 1.2 1.4 rl.l r2.7 15.3 1.8 0.5 228.2 229,8 231.6 0.1 235.9 9,3 9,2 9.8 10.2 9.0 9.3 1979 October November December -0,1 0.7 0.9 0.7 11.1 r7.9 9.4 rO.9 11.2 11.3 rl.5 13.5 1,6 1.8 rO.9 17.9 18.2 17.8 15,1 1980 January February March 267.1 272.0 273.4 April May Jun0 273.8 233.2 237.3 241,2 rl,4 0,7 0.8 1.9 241 ,,2 0.0 1.8 1.6 July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by (u). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e"( estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 48. 1 Percent changes are centered within the spans: 1-month changes are placed on the 2d month and 6-month changes are placed on the 4th month. 86 MAY 1980 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY—Con. BH WAGES AND PRODUCTIVITY Average hourly compensation, all employees, nonfarm business sector Average hourly earnings, production workers, private nonfarm economy, adjusted1 Year and month Current dollar earnings 340. Index (1967-100) 340c. Change over 1-month spans2 (Percent) Real earnings 340c. Change over 6-month spans2 (Ann. rate, percent) . 341. Index (1967=100) 341 c. Change over 1 -month spans2 (Percent) Current dollar compensation 341c. Change over 6-month spans2 (Ann. rate, percent) 345. Index (1967=100) (") 1978 January February March 205.9 206.6 208.1 1.1 0.3 0.7 8.8 8,7 8.9 109.7 109.4 109.4 April May June . . 210.1 211.1 212.4 1.0 0,5 0.6 8.0 8.2 8.3 109.7 109.3 109.0 July August September 214.0 214.9 216.5 0.8 0.4 0.7 7.7 7.9 8.2 109.1 108.9 108.9 218.1 219.2 220.9 0.7 0.5 0.8 8.2 8.7 8.2 108.6 108.5 108.6 -0.3 -0.1 January . February March 222.6 224.0 225.2 0.8 0.6 0.5 8.2 7.7 7.4 108.4 107.8 107.3 April May June 226.8 227.5 229.0 0.7 0.3 0.7 7.5 7.5 8.3 July .... August September 230.9 232.2 234.3 0.8 0.6 0.9 October . November December 234.9 237.3 239.5 0.3 1.0 0.9 240.5 r242.6 r245.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 October November December .. . 0.5 -0,3 0.9 0.4 0.3 -1.1 -0,9 -1.0 r224.*4 -1.9 -1.4 -0.9 r229.2 -1.4 -2.0 -2.9 r234.'o -0.2 -0.6 -0.5 -3.0 -4.1 -5.0 239! 8 107.0 106.3 105.8 -0.3 -0.7 -0.5 -5.1 -5.0 -4.4 244^4 7.3 8.8 9.3 105.6 105.1 104.9 -0.2 -0.5 -0.2 -5.3 -4.0 -3.8 249^5 8.5 9.1 104.1 104.1 103.8 -0.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 3 ) 345c. Change over4-quarter spans2 (Ann. rate, percent) ( 3 ) H1.2 -0.1 -0.2 ( r22CL4 0.0 -0.4 -0.3 345c. Change over 1-quarter spans2 (Ann. rate, percent) 3.6 7.5 9.'6 8.7 B.Q 8.7 &\9 1979 r9.4 0.0 10.3 7.9 -0.3 -1.0 p-5,6 &\9 8.6 -5.3 r-5.3 r-5.6 &\9 rs.'g 9,0 254^9 1980 January . February March . . . . . April May June p245.6 pO.2 p9.3 102.8 H02.3 101.9 r-0,5 r-0.4 pl01.2 p-0.7 r26i!6 rlO.O July August . . September October . November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by <®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 49 and 50. 1 Adjusted for overtime (in manufacturing only} and interindustry employment shifts. 2 Percent changes are centered within the spans: 1-month changes are placed on the 2d month, 6-month changes are placed on the 4th month, 1-quarter changes are placed on the 1st month of the 2d quarter, and 4-quarter changes are placed on the middle month of the 3d quarter. 3 See "New Features and Changes for This Issue/' page iii. MAY 1980 87 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES PRICES, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITY—Con. ^9 WAGES AND PRODUCTIVITY-Con. Average hourly compensation, all employees, nonfarm business sector-Con. Year and month Real compensation 346. Index (1967-100) ( 2 ) 346c. Change over 1-quarter spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) ( 2 ) 346c. Change over 4-quarter spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) ( 2 Negotiated wage and benefit decisions, all industries© 348. First year 349. Average average changes changes over life ot contract (Ann. rate, percent) (Ann. rate, percent) ) Output per hour, all persons, private business sector 370. Index (1967-100) (*) 370c. Change over 1 -quarter spans1 (Ann. rate, percent) ( 2 ) 370c. Change over 4-quarter spans1 358. Index of output per hour, all persons, nonfarm business sector (Ann. rats, percent) ("> (1967-100) ( 2 ) 1978 January February March rl!6.6 April May June riie.'i July August September ... . riis.'g October November December nis.'y r3.3 O!B 13.2 r-0.7 -oig -lie rll9.'l 7.2 6.1 5.9 (X2 riie.'i 6is rll6*7 oii rll7.*5 -oie rl!7.*7 -iie neia -ii? nsis r-1.2 nsii 2.0 6.0 rO.'l r-0.4 -1.5 H18.5 6.8 r-1.8 8.2 riig.'e 5.2 2.4 0.3 rl!9.*9 1979 January February .... March mis April May June Ilii2 July August September m'.b October November December niis 2.8 -0.8 5.3 -4.3 10.5 7.8 -3.*4 9.0 -4.3 nsii 6.1 r4i? -4.0 -3.0 119 f O -2.6 -2.2 -1.4 118.0 8.5 6.0 -0.3 11A9 115i4 1980 January February ... March nioii r-6.0 p8.6 r-1.0 p6.4 rniig rll7.*6 April May June . . July August September October November December ... NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by @. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 49 and 50. ^Percent changes are centered within the spans: 1-quarter changes are placed on the 1st month of the 2d quarter and 4-quarter changes are placed on the middle month of the 3d quarter. 2 See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. MAY 1980 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES C I LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, AND UNEMPLOYMENT Qj CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE AND MAJOR COMPONENTS Civilian labor force Year and month 441. Total 442. Em- ployed (Thous.} (Thous.} Labor force participation rates 451, Males 20 years and over 452. Females 453. Both 20 years sexes, 16-19 and over years of age (Percent) (Percent) (Percent) 448. Num- Number unemployed 37. Total (Thous.) 445. Females 446. Both 444. Males 20 years and 20 years and sexes, 16-19 over over years of age (Thous.) (Thous.) {Thous.) 447. Fulltime workers (Thous.} ber employed part-time for economic reasons (Thous.) 1978 99,118 99,009 99,281 92,813 92,921 93,128 79.8 79.7 79.8 48.9 48.8 49.0 57.1 56.8 56.8 6,305 6,088 6,153 2,437 2,361 2,379 2,314 2,126 2,171 1,554 1,601 1,603 4,948 4,812 4,799 3,071 3,227 3,204 April May June 99,819 100,242 100,458 93,763 94,116 94,556 79.8 79.9 79.8 49.4 49.5 49.6 57.3 58.3 58.3 6,056 6,126 5,902 2,274 2,278 2,171 2,219 2,295 2,275 1,563 1,553 1,456 4,644 4,802 4,581 3,281 3,226 3,329 July August September 100,656 100,731 100,944 94,428 94,802 94,973 79.7 79.7 79.6 49.8 49.6 50.0 58.6 59.1 58.3 6,228 5,929 5,971 2,190 2,177 2,180 2,425 2,219 2,241 1,613 1,533 1,550 4,887 4,612 4,647 3,266 3,256 3,248 October November December 101,189 101,610 101,815 95 401 95,728 95,831 79.6 79.9 80.0 50.0 50,1 50.1 58.6 58.5 58.5 5,788 5,882 5,984 2,139 2,110 2,198 2,107 2,215 2,212 1,542 1,557 1,574 4,475 4,491 4,609 3,231 3,163 3,082 102,061 102,379 102,505 96,157 96,496 96,623 80.0 80.1 79.9 50.1 50.3 50.4 58.9 58.8 58.6 5,904 5,883 5,882 2,167 2,138 2,164 2,195 2,202 2,212 1,542 1,543 1,506 4,514 4,565 4,539 3,203 3,176 3,211 102,198 102,398 102,476 96,254 96,495 96,652 79.8 79.7 79.7 50.2 50.4 50.3 58.2 57.9 57.7 5,944 5,903 5,824 2,190 2,130 2,169 2,199 2,208 2,196 1,555 1,565 1,459 4,637 4,533 4,515 3,279 3,283 3,284 103,093 103,128 103,494 97,184 97,004 97,504 79.9 79.8 79.9 50.8 51.0 50.9 57.9 56.3 58.2 5,909 6,124 5,990 2,254 2,286 2,282 2,160 2,304 2,164 1,495 1,534 1,544 4,617 4,727 4,715 3,274 3,298 3,167 103,595 103,652 103,999 97,474 97,608 97,912 79.7 79.5 79.5 50.9 50.9 51.1 57.9 58.1 58.6 6,121 6,044 6,087 2,317 2,335 2,303 2,250 2,197 2,257 1,554 1,512 1,527 4,796 4,770 4,791 3,315 3,392 3,519 104,229 104,260 104,094 97,804 97,953 97,656 79.4 79.6 79.4 51.4 51.3 51.0 58.2 57.4 57,3 6,425 6,307 6,438 2,577 2,507 2,696 2,304 2,254 2,255 1,545 1,547 1,487 5,046 4,942 5,168 3,513 3,406 3,418 104,419 97,154 79.5 51.5 56.3 7,265 3,246 2,534 1,485 5,875 3,816 January February . March ... 1979 January February . March .... April .... May June .... July August ... September ... October November December 1980 January February March . . .... April May June July August September October . . November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by (g). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 51. MAY 1980 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES D | GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIES [g RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES Federal Government* Year and month Qj DEFENSE INDICATORS State and local governments' Advance measures of defense activity 500. Surplus or deficit 501. Receipts 502. Expenditures 510. Surplus or deficit 511. Receipts 512. Expenditures (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) (Ann. rate, bil. do!.} (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) (Ann. rate, bil. dot.) (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 517. Defense Department gross obligations incurred (Mil. dol.) 543. defense 525. Defense Department Department military prime gross unpaid contract awards obligations outstanding {Mil. dol.) 548. Value of manufacturers' new orders, defense products (Mil. dol.) (Mil. dol.) Revised3 1978 January February March -49 '.4 397 '.8 447 '.3 30.' 2 319*.6 288 '.8 10,537 10,659 10,155 4,853 4,741 4,909 57,304 58,401 58,986 2,735 2,529 4,393 April May . . . . June -24^6 424!8 449^4 29!e 330 ! 5 301 !6 10,242 10,793 10,094 4,970 6,204 7,081 59,348 60,723 60,549 3,761 3,946 3,237 July August September -2CL4 442!l 462! 6 22!7 331 '.8 309 *.i 10,327 10,278 10,256 3,,928 4,924 4,855 61,833 62,028 62,730 2,157 3,214 3,279 October November December -16!3 463. '5 479^7 27J 342! 6 315^5 10,214 10,484 10,282 4,343 6,509 4,568 63,006 63,440 64,470 3,867 4,381 4,101 -ll!? 475!6 486"! 8 27*.6 343 '.9 31 6." 3 10,787 10,250 11,741 5,706 4,773 5,763 65,120 48,267 67,128 2,684 3,871 3,102 -7.'6 485i8 492^9 19!? 345. '9 326J 9,297 10,935 10,926 4,936 4,720 5,117 68,883 68,468 68,976 3,181 3,640 2,464 1979 January February March April May June July August September -1K3 504! 8 516.'i 25.*3 359^8 334^5 12,657 11,052 11,965 6,135 5,282 6,364 70,252 81,542 71 ,886 2,332 3 S 029 4,237 October November December -15,'? 524.*7 540 .'4 25. *8 368.*7 342 ,*9 11,679 10,730 11,565 4,318 5,670 5,489 64,325 68,634 68,525 3,048 4,033 3,787 p-21.6 p540.8 r562.3 p23.8 P375.1 r351.3 12,563 12,419 5,515 7,1! 52 70,088 68,497 3,352 3,681 4,594 1980 January February March (NA) (NA) (NA) April May June p4,871 July August September October November ..... December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ©.Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 52 and 53. 1 Based on national income and product accounts. 2 See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. 90 MAY 1980 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES D| GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIES—Con. Qj DEFENSE INDICATORS— Con. National defense purchases Intermediate and final measures of defense activity Year and month 557. Output of 559. Manufacdefense and turers' invenspace equipment tories, defense products (1967 = 100) {Mil. dol.) Revised 561. Manufacturers' unfilled orders, defense products 580. Defense Department net outlays 588. Manufacturers' shipments, defense products (Mil. do!.} (Mil. dol.) (Mil. dol.) 1 Revised 570. EmployDefense Department ment in defense personnel products industries 577. Military, 578. Civilian, active duty ® direct hire employment @ (Thous.) (Thous.) (Thous.) 564. Federal purchases of goods and services • (Ann. rate, bil. dol.) 565. Federal purchases as a percent of GNP (Percent) 1 1978 82.6 80.8 83.9 6,441 6,606 6,626 34,633 34,511 36,108 8,493 8,271 8,375 2,532 2,652 2,795 1,120 1,125 1,138 2,065 2,062 2,058 982 982 982 97^6 4^9 84.9 84.9 85.6 6,736 6,828 6,804 37,150 38,382 38,914 9,056 8,217 9,072 2,719 2,714 2,705 1,142 1,160 1,170 2,054 2,046 2,057 982 988 1,000 98.' 2 4^7 July August September 87.5 87.9 89.0 6,901 6,896 6,905 38,467 38,993 39,499 8,394 9,638 8,592 2,604 2 S 688 2,773 1,182 1,190 1,190 2,062 2,062 2,062 1,002 994 980 99^6 4^6 October November December 89.3 90.3 91.4 7,013 7,004 7,170 40,660 42,293 43,563 9,026 8,762 9,407 2,706 2,748 2,832 1,202 1,213 1,230 2,058 2,050 2,041 981 981 978 101 .'2 4.*5 January February March 92.4 92.4 92.9 7,397 7,485 7,586 43,409 44,515 44,588 9,645 9,452 9,525 2,838 2,765 3,029 1,235 1,254 1,269 2,040 2,030 2,026 972 971 968 103!4 4^5 April May June 92.9 92.5 92.3 7,573 7,806 7,953 44,854 45,670 45,138 9,299 9,781 9,425 2,915 2,824 2,996 1,275 1,280 1,290 2,022 2,018 2,024 968 972 979 106.'6 4^5 July August September 92.8 92.0 94.0 8,048 8,178 8,553 44,656 ' 44,697 46,000 10,499 10,103 9,982 2,814 2,988 2,934 1,301 1,303 1,316 2,027 2,024 2,027 982 974 960 109!6 4^5 October November December 94.0 95.0 95.9 8,871 9,275 9,462 46,010 46,893 47,492 9,982 10,206 11,182 3,038 3,150 3,188 1,327 1,339 1,347 2,030 2,029 2,020 964 967 967 114^6 4^7 January February March r95.8 95.8 95.7 9,592 9,619 10,075 47,769 48,196 49,401 11,341 rl 0,632 pll.235 3,076 3,253 3,389 1,349 1,355 pi ,366 2,029 2,032 2,033 964 965 966 iigie r4.8 April p95.8 p3,333 (NA) p2,028 p969 January February March April May June . . 1979 . ... 1980 May (NA) p50,941 (NA) June July August September October NovemberDecember NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by @. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on pages 54 and 55. 1 See "New Features and Changes for This Issue/' page iii. ItUI MAY 1980 91 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES E I U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS Q| MERCHANDISE TRADE Year and month 602. Exports, excluding military aid shipments, total (Mil.dol.) 604. Exports of agricultural products (Mil.dol.) 606. Exports of nonelectrical machinery (Mil.dol.) 612. General imports, total 614. Imports of petroleum and petroleum products {Mil.dol.) {Mil.dol.) 616. Imports of automobiles and parts (Mil.dol.) 1978 January February March 9,863 9,938 11,143 1,818 2,058 2,363 2,084 2,187 2,450 13,103 14,221 14,005 3,000 3,626 3,094 1,529 1,661 1,581 April May Juno 11,628 11,776 12,264 2,428 2,861 2,904 2,415 2,472 2,427 14,491 14,012 13,970 3,162 3,038 3,229 1,715 1,659 1,684 July August September 11,656 12,286 13,275 2,392 2,774 2,512 2,451 2,528 2,815 14,543 14,130 14,821 3,194 3,257 3,307 1,812 1,666 1,822 October November December . 12,901 13,448 13,282 2,596 2,533 2,555 2,625 2,718 2,824 14,852 14,818 15,028 3,347 3,489 3,588 1,872 1,875 1,822 January February March 13,265 13,616 14,297 2,338 2,424 2,682 2,682 2,832 2,917 16,528 14,605 15,358 3,580 3,634 3,667 1,963 1,706 1,589 April May June 13,979 14,083 14,817 2,547 2,450 2,909 2,706 2,859 3,034 15,841 16,438 16,835 3,832 4,000 4,199 1,956 1,851 1,730 July August ... September 15,691 15,713 15,822 3,103 3,141 3,059 3,022 3,241 3,153 16,806 18,277 18,407 4,692 4,949 5,662 1,816 2,113 1,849 October November December 16,680 16,928 16,742 3,254 3,415 3,434 3,251 3,172 3,240 19,037 18,548 19,665 6,050 5,351 6,502 1,805 1,984 1,871 17,348 17,233 18,534 3,439 3,520 3,331 3,297 3,454 3,423 20,945 21,640 20,607 5,614 7,741 6,991 1,899 2,035 1,960 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 1979 1980 January February March April May June (NA) (NA) July August September October November .... December NOTE; Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by (g). Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available, Graphs of these series are shown on page 56. 92 MAY 1980 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES E U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Con. |Q GOODS AND SERVICES MOVEMENTS (EXCLUDING TRANSFERS UNDER MILITARY GRANTS) Merchandise, adjusted1 Goods and services Year and month 667. Balance (Mil.dol.} 668. Exports (Mil.dol.) 669. Imports (Mil.dol.) 622. Balance (Mil. dol.) 618. Exports (Mil.dol.) Income on investments 620. Imports (Mil.dol.) 651. U.S. invest- 652. Foreign ments abroad investments in the U.S. (Mil.dol.) (Mil. dol.) 1978 January February March -5,722 48,987 54,709 -11,914 30,713 42,627 9,776 4,537 April May June -2,150 54,346 56,496 -7,944 35,388 43,332 10,256 5,402 July August September -1,932 56,263 58,195 -7,950- 36,532 44,482 10,526 5,574 October November December -1,419 61,423 60,004 -5,951 39,421 45,372 12,907 6,308 1,596 64,941 63,345 -6,197 41,435 47,632 14,082 7,268 553 67,818 67,265 -7,409 42,890 50,299 15,371 7,957 July August September 2,508 74,752 72,244 -7,248. 47,235 54,483 17,917 8,743 October November December p671 p78,80C) P 78,i29 p!8,492 p9,580 1979 January February March April May June p-8,596 p50,51*4 P 59,li6 p-12,222 p53,934 p66,156 1980 January February March (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) April May June July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by ©.Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 57. 1 Balance of payments basis: Excludes transfers under military grants and Department of Defense sales contracts (exports) and Department of Defense purchases (imports). ItO MAY 1980 93 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES F | INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS ^H INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 47. United States, 721.0ECD 1 European counindex of industrial production tries, index of industrial production Year and month (1967=100) (1967=100) 728. Japan, index of industrial production (1967=100) 725. West Germany, index of industrial production (1967=100) 726. France, index of industrial production 722. United Kingdom, index of industrial production (1967-100) (1967=100} 727. Italy, index of industrial production (1967=100) 721 Canada, index of industrial production (1967-100) 1978 January February March 140.0 140.3 142.1 153 152 150 196.9 197.0 199.5 157 152 152 152 152 155 123 124 123 143.8 146.11 145.9 152.8 155.3 155.8 April May June 144.4 144.8 146.1 153 152 153 200.5 201.5 201.8 153 152 154 161 157 152 128 126 128 143.5 143.8 145.3 157.5 155.3 IBS. 4 July August September 147.1 148.0 148.6 153 152 154 201.8 204.1 206.0 157 156 159 155 155 157 128 128 128 144.4 143.7 146.2 158.1 158.2 164.4 149.7 150.6 151.8 157 157 158 206.9 207.6 210.1 159 159 159 157 159 161 125 126 129 154.3 154.7 151.9 163.5 164.4 165.3 210.2 213,1 212.6 159 157 161 158 161 122 132 133 152.8 160.0 156.0 165.9 165.5 166.6 158 160 214.2 218.5 218.8 161 160 164 158 162 161 132 134 136 156.7 151.9 145.1 164.1 165.0 163.5 163 158 161 220.8 223.0 220.0 170 163 164 168 168 165 134 130 128 150.4 150.1 159.4 166.8 166.6 169.8 225.5 228.3 227.4 166 167 166 161 163 166 165.4 166.4 164.1 168.4 167.7 r!63.1 r!66.8 p!74.0 (NA) r!64.4 r!64.7 p!66.8 October . November December 1979 January February March 151.5 152.0 153.0 April May Juno 150.8 152.4 152.6 July August September 152.8 151.6 152.4 October November December 152.2 152.1 152.2 rl61 r!63 January February March H52.6 rl52.3 r151.3 (NA) April May June p!48.5 r!54 157 r!57 r!58 163 T159 r!29 r!32 130 1980 July August . . September r 230.6 r!68 P243.3 pi 70 163 pi 65 130 pi 28 (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) ... October November December NQTF,: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by ©. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or grder. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. •* Graphs of these series are shown on page 58. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. 94 MAY 1980 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS—Con. Q CONSUMER PRICES Year and month United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom 320. Index® 320c. Change over 6-month spans1 738. Index® 738c. Change over 6-month spans1 735. Index® 735c. Change over 6-month spans1 736. Index® 736c. Change over 6-month spans1 732. Index® 732c. Change over 6-month spans1 (1967=100) (Ann. rate, percent) (1967=100) (Ann. rate, percent) (1967=100) (Ann. rate, percent) (1967=100) (Ann. rate, percent) (1967=100) (Ann. rate, percent) January February March 187.2 188.4 189.8 8.1 8.5 9.2 246.1 247.1 249.4 3.0 3.9 4.1 158.3 159.1 159.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 222.8 224.4 226.4 8,4 9.3 9.9 304.4 306.2 308.1 6.7 6.5 6.8 April May ... June 191.5 193.3 195.3 9.3 9.3 9.5 252.1 253.5 252.1 5.4 5.9 3.6 160.0 160.3 160.8 2.8 2.2 1.9 228.9 231.1 232.8 11 .7 11 .2 312.6 314.4 316.8 8.4 9.0 8.5 July August September 196.7 197.8 199.3 9.7 9.4 8.9 253.1 253.3 256.4 3.6 3.1 2.9 160.5 160.3 160.2 2.1 2.4 2.5 235.7 237.1 238.6 10.2 318.2 320.3 321.6 8.8 9.4 9.8 October November December 200.9 202.0 202.9 9.5 256.8 254.1 253.7 1.2 10.6 10.9 0.9 160.3 160.8 161.4 3.0 3.5 4.3 240.8 242.1 243.2 10.4 January February March 204.7 207.1 209.1 11.1 12.0 12.9 253.9 253.1 255.1 1.8 3.1 4.6 162.9 163.6 164.4 4,4 4.3 4.7 245.5 247.1 249.4 April May June 211.5 214.1 216.6 13.2 12.9 13.3 258.6 261.3 261.5 7.3 7.0 5.3 165.3 165.7 166.6 6.0 5.8 5.8 July . . . August September 218.9 221.1 223.4 13.4 13.3 13.8 263.8 261.1 264.4 6.7 6.9 6.9 167.7 167.8 168.3 October November December 225.4 227.5 229.9 14.5 15.3 15.9 267.7 266.7 268.3 6.0 8,9 January February March 233.2 236.4 239.8 15.7 270.8 273.3 275.5 April . . May June . 242.5 1978 -0.7 10.1 9.8 9.6 8.7 9.1 323.1 325.3 328.0 10.3 10.2 11.2 10.4 10.9 332.9 335.6 338.3 11.4 11.4 13.2 251.8 254.5 256.6 11.9 12.6 11.7 344.1 346.8 352.8 21.5 21.4 22.1 6.0 6.4 6.1 260.0 262.7 264.9 12.7 12.4 12.8 368.0 370.9 374.6 23.2 23,7 21.5 168.7 169.3 170.1 4.0 5.4 5.6 268.1 269.8 272.0 14.2 14.7 15.6 378.5 381.8 384.6 15.4 16.8 17.4 171.0 172.8 173.8 5.6 277.2 280.2 283.4 (NA) 394.1 399.7 405.1 20.4 1979 10.8 9.8 1980 (NA) (NA) 174.9 (NA) 419.0 July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted series are indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 59. Changes over 6-month spans are centered on the 4th month. MAY 1980 95 OTHER IMPORTANT ECONOMIC MEASURES F I INTERNATIONAL COMPARISONS—Con. Q Qj STOCK PRICES CONSUMER PRICES-Con. 748. Japan, index of stock prices© 745. West Germany, index of stock prices® 746. France, index of stock prices® 742, United Kingdom, index of stock prices® 747. Italy, index of stock prices® 743. Canada, index of stock prices® (1967=100) (1967=100) (1967-100) (1967=100) (1967-100) (1967-100) 98.2 96.8 96.6 339.0 348.3 359.7 126.5 127.9 126.1 100.3 120.0 198.2 187.7 187.5 40.7 43.5 42.8 99.1 98.7 105.3 19. United States, index of stock 737. Index© 737c. Change 733. Index® 733c. Change prices, 500 over 6-month over 6-month common stocks© spans1 spans1 Canada Italy Year and month (Ann. rate, percent) (1967-100) (Ann. rate, percent) (1967-100) January February March 271.1 273.9 277.4 10.3 10.9 11.5 194.0 195.3 197.5 8.5- April May June 280.0 282.7 285.1 12.1 12.6 12.0 197.9 200.7 202.4 11.0 9.6 7.3 100.8 106.0 106.2 371.8 371.0 373.2 124.9 124.0 127.1 130.6 133.3 135.7 191.9 202.9 201.2 41.4 43.2 44.0 106.9 109.4 109.1 July August September 286.8 288.3 292.9 12.7 11.8 11.5 205.4 205.5 205.2 8.6 8.2 7.7 105.7 113.0 113.0 382.8 380.3 387.6 129.1 132.3 136.4 149.8 150.6 165.1 204.4 220.3 223.3 44.8 48.4 57.3 116.7 120.8 129.5 October November December 295.5 298.6 300.1 12.7 13.8 14.1 207.3 209.0 209.6 6.8 8.7 109.4 103.3 104.5 395.0 398.9 404.9 138.7 134.8 133.9 158.7 155.4 158.7 217.4 208.1 213.3 57.5 51.6 51.2 122.3 129.1 131.7 305.1 309.7 313.8 14.5 15.6 15.6 211.2 213.2 215.7 10.9 10.1 9.9 108.5 106.9 108.9 416.1 409.9 405.7 135.0 131.9 131.2 160.9 149.9 155.4 211.1 212.2 240.8 52.4 54.8 57.9 138.4 141.1 150.7 April May June 317.8 321.3 323.9 14.9 15.5 17.8 217.2 219.3 220.3 9.5 8.5 8.5 111.0 108.5 110.7 402.9 411.1 402.3 130.6 127.8 121.7 164.5 162.0 171.7 255.7 255.0 241.0 54.1 56.8 58.0 149,5 154.8 168.9 July August September 326.7 330.6 339.2 19.2 19.4 r21.7 222.1 222.9 224.9 7.9 8.8 9.5 111.7 116.8 118.1 400.6 408.0 412.5 122.0 124.3 125.7 173.7 188.6 207.4 232.8 233.9 236.3 58.8 61.7 63.0 159.4 178.6 191,7 October November December 345.5 350.3 r356.6 r26.2 r26.4 r23.0 226.5 228.7 230.1 10.0 10.4 113.6 112.8 117.2 408.2 403.4 410.8 123.5 118.3 118.8 187.5 189.1 186.8 238.9 215.6 217.1 62.6 58.6 55.4 175.2 189.3 199.5 r368.4 r374.7 r378.1 22.8 231.3 233.3 235.8 10.3 120,6 125.5 113.9 420.1 425.5 413.0 117.2 123.3 118.1 203.8 207.4 rp!94.6 224.3 239.4 p232.0 59.8 61.1 61.1 224.7 256.3 203.2 112.0 p!16.7 417.6 p418.9 116.5 pllS.3 rpl91.0 p!97.8 rp228.3 p233.6 rp60.9 p62.0 rp!91.3 p!93.7 (1967=100) 1978 9.3 9.6 10.9 98.0 1979 January February March .* 9.9 1980 January February March April May Juno 384.1 237.2 July August September October November December NOTE: Series are seasonally adjusted except those series that appear to contain noseasonal movement. Unadjusted seriesare indicated by ®. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect series relationships or order. Complete titles and sources are shown at the back of the book. The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; "e", estimated; "a", anticipated; and "NA", not available. Graphs of these series are shown on page 59. 1 Changcs over 6-month spans are centered on the 4th month. 96 MAY 1980 APPENDIXES B, Current Adjustment Factors Series July 5. Average weekly Initial claims, State unemployment insurance . . 13. New business incorporations 109 6 1 100.6 15. Profits (after taxes) per dollar of sales, manufacturing2 33. Net change in mortgage debt 1 3 86.0 104.4 IS 79 Sept. Oct. 789 19 30 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 75 9 87.7 100.8 131 3 150.1 114.8 90.4 85.7 80 3 87.1 90.2 103.1 90.5 94.5 105.8 93.2 105.6 104.8 103.5 104.2 98.1 21 72. Commercial and industrial loans outstanding Aug. 98.3 109.2 94.5 152 -127 -196 474 -1913 -1989 -317 189 1033 1847 100.7 101.3 100.1 99.1 100.0 100.2 100.3 100.4 91.4 108.7 91.2 89.3 99.6 87.4 91.9 99.8 99.1 99.1 99.8 Defense Department gross obligations incurred 1 86.1 84.8 122.2 140.7 113.3 Defense Department military prime contract awards 76.5 74.3 172.4 150.4 105.6 102.1 90.3 69.9 111 .5 82.9 87.8 78.2 95 0 92.1 95.5 101.0 104.1 104.0 104.5 106.3 100.9 101.4 99.7 97.6 99.9 99.7 100.1 99.9 100.0 100.0 100.2 100.1 99.8 99.9 100.4 100.3 97 8 106.8 93.7 102.0 103.5 92.5 96.6 102.9 102.0 100.0 101.9 100.9 87 5 87.1 89.4 107.8 no. 8 107.2 95.3 95.3 110.7 10516 103.9 99.8 606. Exports of nonelectrical machinery 95.4 91.2 93.2 100.8 99.1 104.4 93.7 95.5 114.4 104.4 106.9 614. Imports of petroleum and products1 101 .4 101.4 102.9 93.4 96.9 107.7 93.0 97.8 112.5 90.6 84.7 97.4 100.3 100.5 105.8 98.7 107.0 118.8 101.3 517. 525. 543. 570. Defense Department gross unpaid obi igations outstanding 1 . . Employment in defense products industries . 1 '580 Defense Department net outlays 604 Exports of agricultural products. 616. . . . . Imports of automobiles and parts 1 . . . . 92.2 103.2 79.1 103.2' 98.8 108.2 NOTE: These series are seasonally adjusted by the Bureau of Economic Analysis or the National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., rather than by the source agency. Seasonal adjustments are kept current by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Seasonally adjusted data prepared by the source agency will be used in BUSINESS CONDITIONS DIGEST whenever they are available. For a description of the method used to compute these factors, see Bureau of the Census Technical Paper No. 15, THE x-H VARIANT OF THE CENSUS METHOD II SEASONAL ADJUSTMENT PROGRAM. factors are the products of seasonal and trading-day factors. Quarterly series; factors are placed in the middle month of the quarter. 3 These quantities, in millions of dollars, are subtracted from the month-to-month net change in the unadjusted monthly totals to yield the seasonally adjusted net change. These factors are computed by the additive version of the X-11 variant of the Census Method II seasonal adjustment program. 97 C. Historical Data for Selected Series Quarterly Monthly Year Jan. Apr. Mar. Feb. May June July Aug. Annual Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. IQ MQ 23. INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES ® (1967=100) II! Q IV Q AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 1048... 1949... 1930... 1931... 1952... 1953... 1954... 1955... 1936... 1957... 1958... 1959... 1960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 129.1 116.6 94.1 173.0 130.3 102.2 91.6 101.7 112.2 109.0 92.8 99.2 105.3 96.9 102.5 9S.1 124.2 110.3 93.2 174.3 123.3 101.5 91.0 103.3 110.4 105.6 93.0 99.1 103.9 98.9 100.2 94.7 119.2 101.8 92.9 169.4 118.4 102.6 92.3 101.4 110.7 105.3 92.2 100.7 102.0 102.7 100.0 94.0 120,7 91,2 94.0 167.1 115.0 97.8 95,7 103.0 111.2 104.3 89.8 101.7 103.4 103.7 97.9 94.1 119.9 89.9 98.2 164.7 113.3 97.1 96.7 101.7 107.3 103.4 90.2 102.4 103.7 104.0 97.4 94.8 121.3 87.0 101.8 156.8 110.4 96.6 97.4 103.0 104.4 104.0 91.7 102.8 102.3 100.6 95.0 93.5 121.1 88.6 112.8 139.0 108.9 9§.9 96.3 106.8 104.9 103.4 94.3 102.8 101.2 101.3 93.8 93.8 121.9 93.5 127.7 134.1 108.4 95.4 95.9 108.2 107.8 102.7 96.0 103.3 101.7 102.5 94.1 93.8 120.2 95.0 142.7 132.6 108.8 93.3 97.3 109.6 109.8 99.6 95.9 104.7 100.8 102.5 93.6 93.7 118.0 91.1 148.1 135. § 105.7 90.4 99.0 108.8 109.0 96.5 98.9 105.4 99.3 101.9 94. § 95.9 121.3 93.8 158.8 133.5 105.7 92.8 99.5 110.3 111.9 94.5 101.4 105.5 98.1 98.5 96.0 96.9 119.4 92.8 164.0 133.3 104.8 92.7 99.3 113.5 1 112. 0 93.9 99.9 104.4 96.4 100.6 95.4 97.3 124.2 109.6 93.4 172.2 124.0 102.1 91.6 102.1 111.1 106.6 92.7 99.7 103.7 99.5 100.9 94.6 120.6 89.4 98.0 162.9 112.9 97.2 96.6 102.6 107.6 103.9 90.6 102.3 103.1 102.8 96.8 94.1 123.. 1 92.4 127.7 135.2 106.7 94.9 96.5 108.2 107.5 101.9 95.4 103.6 101.2 102.1 93.8 93.8 119.6 92.6 157.0 134.1 105. 4 92.0 99.3 110.9 111.0 95.0 100.1 105.1 97.9 100.3 93.3 96.7 121.4 96. Q 119.0 151.1 112.8 96.1 96.9 105.') 109.3 101. H 94.7 102.7 101.. S 101.2 96.7 94.8 1964... 1963,. . 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 19BQ... 98.1 110.2 120.0 106.4 99.4 103.0 118.9 105.9 110.7 139.3 215.9 180.1 183.6 210.2 219.7 258.3 98.1 110.3 122.4 104.8 99.1 105.9 119.5 107.2 113.0 147.5 232.0 181.1 186.6 216.4 219.9 273. S 98.5 112.7 123.0 102.1 99.7 106.5 118.7 107.8 117.2 155. 3 237.2 182.3 193.2 222.8 219.8 288.5 102.0 116.2 121.0 99.7 97.9 108.9 118.2 110.2 119.5 158.2 238.4 186.4 200.9 221.9 220.3 294.5 100.5 116.4 117.8 99.2 95.7 110.0 117.5 108.6 124.3 162.9 226.2 184.2 202.7 218.1 217.8 293.8 101.0 114.8 117.9 99.4 95.2 111.2 114.8 106.1 123.8 170.1 227.5 173.2 205.2 206.4 222.1 293.9 102.1 114.1 118.3 97.9 94.0 112.0 112.4 104.7 123.7 178.1 228.2 171.5 214.1 204.1 224.7 297.3 105.3 114.7 111.3 97.7 94.5 114.5 111.2 106.1 124.6 189.8 224.2 179.6 209.6 202.7 232.6 298.1 107.8 114.3 108.5 97.4 95.7 116.9 110. § 107.5 124.8 186.3 214.7 184.2 206.2 202.9 239.1 297.3 111.6 114.5 105.9 97. 97. 115. 109. 107. 128. 188.1 204.4 181.9 201.6 204.7 249.4 307.7 112.7 115.0 105.5 98.7 99.9 115.1 108.8 106.9 131.6 192.4 196.4 179.8 201.0 203.8 254.8 304,0 112.1 116.6 105.4 99.7 100.3 116.7 106.4 106.8 134.8 208.9 183.4 180.6 203.2 210.9 251.8 309.6 98.2 111.1 121.8 104.4 99.4 105.1 119.0 107.0 113.6 147.4 228.4 181.2 187.8 216.5 219.8 273.4 101.2 115.8 118.9 99,4 96.3 110.0 116.8 108.3 122.5 163.7 230.7 181.3 202.9 215.5 220.1 294.1 105.1 114.4 112. ,7 97, ,7 94,7 114.5 111 ,,4 106,1 124,4 184.7 222.4 178.4 210.0 203.2 232.1 297.6 112.1 115.4 103.6 98.6 99.1 115.6 108.2 107.0 131.5 196.5 194.7 180.8 201.9 206. S 252.0 307.1 104.2 114.2 114.8 100. Q 97.4 111.3 113.9 107.1 123.0 173.1 219.0 180.4 200.7 210.4 231.0 293.0 967. 1948... 1949... 1950... 1951... 19S2... 1953... 1954... 1955.., 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... I960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 1964... 196S... 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... DIFFUSION INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES — 13 INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS (PERCENT HISING OVER 1 -MONTH SPANS) ® AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 61.5 92.3 23.1 26.9 46.2 76.9 46.2 34.6 46.2 42.3 6S.4 38.5 69.2 53.8 23.1 7.7 26.9 6S.4 26.9 46.2 34.6 6S.4 50.0 30.8 38.5 50.0 46.2 73.1 34.6 61.5 23.1 26.9 S7.7 34.6 30.8 46.2 73.1 42.3 50.0 46.2 38.5 73.1 42.3 80.8 46.2 46.2 53.8 19.2 61.5 46.2 23.1 3.8 73.1 65.4 42.3 46.2 38.5 SO.O 50.0 69.2 38.5 50.0 §3.8 42.3 73.1 30.8 42.3 57.7 46.2 38.5 23.1 42.3 61.5 57.7 42.3 57.7 §3.8 46.2 42.3 34.6 76.9 30.8 50.0 46.2 69.2 73.1 26.9 50.0 73.1 57.7 §7.7 42.3 30.8 61. § 46.2 §3.8 88.5 11.5 42.3 42.3 30.8 76.9 46.2 38.5 92.3 §3.8 46.2 53.8 30.8 34.6 50.0 88.5 96.2 26.9 46.2 46.2 42.3 53.8 73.1 42.3 76.9 §7.7 46.2 76.9 46.2 42.3 38.5 69.2 92.3 46.2 53.8 30.8 80.8 69.2 73.1 26.9 34.6 65.4 34.6 53.8 50.0 46.2 50.0 23.1 73.1 61.5 34.6 26.9 §3.8 38.5 61.5 34.6 69.2 §3.8 23.1 42.3 57.7 73.1 69.2 69.2 84.6 50.0 42.3 61. § 50.0 84.6 65.4 38.5 88,5 61. § 46.2 26.9 76.9 65.4 50.0 §0.0 80.8 53.8 §0.0 50.0 §3.8 69.2 50.0 50.0 30.8 53.8 26.9 61. § 34.6 61. § 57.7 26.9 69.2 53.8 50.0 §0.0 57.7 34.6 76.9 84.6 73.1 38.5 65.4 69.2 69.2 61. S 50.0 50.0 SO.O 34.6 38.5 73.1 46.2 61.5 73.1 92.3 73.1 69.2 61.5 73.1 34.6 76.9 46.2 73.1 57.7 26.9 T>7.7 33.8 50.0 73.1 84.6 69.2 S3. 8 30.8 73.1 80.8 46.2 76.9 69.2 34.6 50.0 34,6 34.6 80.8 50.0 76.9 69.2 65.4 61.5 §7.7 65.4 34.6 SO.O 69.2 26.9 57.7 23.1 34.6 26.9 50.0 46.2 38.5 57.7 73.1 34.6 30.8 65.4 34.6 61.5 42.3 26.9 46.2 34.6 57.7 42.3 69.2 30.8 46.2 §3.8 73.1 46.2 46.2 69.2 15.4 80.8 53.8 61.5 38.5 34.6 26.9 30.8 73.1 30.8 46.2 61.5 69.2 38.5 §7.7 73.1 34.6 65.4 46.2 73.1 50.0 19.2 §0.0 65.4 69.2 34.6 61.5 69.2 61.5 34.6 53.8 34.6 50.0 69.2 30.8 65.4 53.8 7.7 42.3 65.4 §0.0 30.8 53.8 57.7 34.6 50.0 57.7 34.6 50.0 76.9 53.8 88. § 61.5 26.9 53.8 76.9 46.2 34.6 §0.0 61.5 42.3 26.9 34.6 50.0 50.0 88.5 62.5 69.2 42.3 57.7 §7.7 76.9 65.4 42.3 53.8 §3.8 73.1 23.1 53.8 61,5 37.5 80.8 61.5 50.0 61.5 42.3 61. § 53.8 65.4 42.3 53.8 76.9 73.1 23.1 57.7 65.4 §7.7 42.3 76.9 61.5 100.0 15.4 46.2 38.5 61.5 84.6 42.3 23.1 76.9 53.8 38.5 53.8 34.6 53.8 19 2 65^4 100.0 23.1 42.3 38.5 61.5 73.1 57.7 23.1 73.1 46.2 46.2 53.8 50.0 69.2 11*5 76.9 100.0 30.8 23.1 46.2 61.5 69.2 42.3 19.2 69.2 46.2 53.8 38.5 65.4 80.8 14*!i 69.2 70.5 24.3 18.0 33.8 65.4 §0.0 46.2 3§.9 66.6 51.3 §8.9 32.1 67.9 3.8 94.9 ;>5.7 ;>5.7 19.2 60.2 73.1 §0.0 25.7 61.5 62.8 38.5 64.1 15.4 60.2 69.2 57.7 3.8 38.5 92.3 69.2 23.1 53.8 76.9 92.3 23.1 42.3 76.9 45.8 88.5 76.9 57.7 3.8 38.5 92.3 76.9 38.5 84.6 76.9 84.6 19.2 65.4 73.1 62.5 88.5 80.8 §0.0 3.8 42.3 84.6 69.2 46.2 84.6 92.3 76.9 19.2 65.4 69.2 75.0 92.3 71.8 71.8 42.3 14.1 41.0 76.9 55.1 46.2 87.2 94.9 69.2 17.9 70.5 §2.6 63.9 93.6 75.6 47.4 25.6 14.1 50.0 79 . 5 30.8 §9.0 85.9 84.6 51.3 ... sols 48.7 64.1 26.9 39.8 51.3 61.5 48.7 37.2 41.1 55.1 51.3 64.1 50.0 53.8 50.0 32.0 70.5 3§.9 38.5 35.9 62.8 59.0 30.8 46.2 §7.7 §5.1 §0.0 56.4 41.0 §2.6 44.9 70.3 92.3 28.2 47. '1 39.8 51.3 66.6 64.1 35.9 67. S 59. C 42.3 61.5 42.3 41.0 56.4 47.4 79.5 §5.1 42.3 46.1 52.5 64.1 39.0 41. Q 62.8 56.4 32.1 43.6 56.4 66.7 42.9 72.8 4S.8 38.8 40.4 54.5 62.8 50.6 40.1 57.4 56.4 43.9 56. 4 47.4 53.5 51.3 §0.0 59.0 38.4 48.7 59.0 51.3 56.4 78.2 82.0 66.7 46.2 66.7 74.4 50.0 71.8 41.0 62.8 35.9 42.3 34.6 66.7 42.3 53.9 60.2 70.5 47.4 44.9 66.7 28.2 64.1 §5.1 66.7 47.4 20.5 39.7 53.9 64.1 32.1 53.8 62.8 55.1 41.0 56.4 47.4 44.9 70.5 43.6 69.2 55.1 42.3 57.7 69.2 59.0 39.7 52. § 64.1 62.8 24.4 48.7 59,0 48.4 70.5 67.0 57.0 53.8 39.4 44.5 51.6 62.2 41.4 54.2 66.3 67.6 44.9 49.0 59.9 49.0 S3. 8 S9.4 2i!e 967. DIFFUSION INDEX OP INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRltES — 13 INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS ® {PERCENT RISING OVER 9-MONTH SPANS) 1948. . . 1949... 1950... 1951... 1952... 1953... 1954.. . 1955... 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... 1960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 1964.. . 1965... 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 11.5 61.5 92.3 26.9 23.1 46.2 53.8 53.8 46.2 26.9 69.2 53.8 61. S 30.8 65.4 76.9 73.1 53.8 7.7 38. S 76.9 69.2 46.2 84.6 100.0 69.2 19.2 65.4 57.7 66.7 96.2 11. S 61.5 76.9 19.2 IS. 4 53.8 69.2 46.2 46.2 34.6 69.2 53.8 61.3 34.6 69.2 76.9 80.8 38.5 19.2 §3.8 76.9 61.5 46.2 84.6 92.3 76.9 15.4 6S.4 50.0 66.7 96.2 1 19.2 84.6 42.3 26.9 13.4 63L.5 73.1 50.0 46.2 46.2 61.5 46.2 53.8 30.8 69.2 61.5 69.2 46.2 30.8 65.4 53.8 30.8 53.8 15.4 61.5 0.0 92.3 23.1 23.1 IS. 4 57.7 76.9 46.2 23.1 50.0 57.7 38. § 69.2 11.5 65.4 61.5 61,5 34.6 15.4 30.8 76.9 34.6 46.2 92.3 92.3 61.5 19,2 80.8 SO.O §8.3 88.5 69.2 42.3 38.5 11.5 46.2 76.9 30.8 46.2 92.3 92.3 61.5 50,0 69.2 50.0 69.2 80.8 76.9 SO.O 26.9 19.2 42.3 •76.9 26.9 61. § 84.6 80.8 46.2 42.3 73.1 46.2 HO. 8 84.6 3.8 92.3 30.8 23.1 IS. 4 46 .2 7.7 100.0 23.1 30.8 26.9 61.5 73.1 57.7 23.1 69.2 76.9 46.2 69.2 19.2 53.8 38.5 23 !l 100.0 23.1 30.8 30.8 53.8 76.9 53.8 15.4 84.6 61.5 34.6 50.0 30.8 53.8 80.8 50.0 11.5 11.5 61.5 84.6 34.6 69.2 80.8 80.8 46.2 57.7 65. 4 46.2 84.6 91.7 84.6 57.7 11.5 34.6 65.4 80.8 23.1 §3.8 69.2 80.8 38.5 34.6 §7.7 45.8 88. § 66.7 53 . 8 53 8 34^6 6l!§ 100.0 100.0 15.4 15.4 42.3 34.6 38.5 30.8 61.5 69.2 84.6 84.6 57.7 53.8 15.4 23.1 76.9 76.9 61.5 61.5 23.1 30.8 §3.8 69.2 38.5 34.6 53.8 57.7 76.9 57.7 11.5 30,8 57.7 76.9 19.2 §3.8 61.5 88.5 23.1 50.0 61. § 29.2 92.3 66.7 61.5 50.0 3.8 38.5 80.8 69.2 26,9 46.2 61.5 88.5 23.1 42.3 76.9 41.7 88.5 58.3 NOTE: These series contain no revisions but are reprinted for the convenience of the user. AVERAGE FOR PERIOD se.o 69.2 47.5 78.2 85.7 48 7 39!7 100.0 18.0 35.9 33.4 61.5 82.0 55.1 18.0 79.5 61.5 29.5 57.7 34.6 55.1 <\* £1 ,<\J 67.9 100.0 23.1 37.2 41.1 61.5 75.6 47.4 21.8 73.1 48.7 46.2 48.7 50.0 67.9 31.4 91.0 34.3 30.8 27.9 §9.3 74. Q SO. 6 27.9 62.5 59.9 41.4 57.3 33.0 62.8 74.3 §5.1 8.9 34.6 68.0 75.6 23.1 §1.3 64.1 85.9 28.2 42.3 65.4 38.9 89.8 63.9 75.6 55.1 3.8 39.8 89.7 71.8 35.9 74.3 82.0 84.6 20. S 57.7 73.1 61.1 89.8 74.3 57.4 20.2 25.6 •62.2 7S.9 36.2 §7.7 79.8 87.8 42.3 42.0 69.6 30.0 80.4 (MAY 1980) C. Historical Data for Selected Series—Continued Quarterly Monthly Year Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 320. INDEX OF CONSUMER PRICES, ALL ITEMS1 (1967=100) Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. IQ Ml Q MQ Annual IV Q ® AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 1948... 1949... 1950... 1951... 1952... 1953... 1954... 1955... 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959,.. 1960... 1961... 1962... 1963.*. 71.0 72.0 70.5 76.1 79.3 79.8 80.7 80.1 80.3 82.8 85.7 86.8 87.9 89.3 89.9 91.1 70.4 71.2 70.3 77.0 78.8 79.4 80.6 80.1 80.3 83.1 85.8 86.7 88.0 89.3 90.1 91.2 70.2 71.4 70.6 77.3 78.8 79.6 80.5 80.1 80.4 83.3 86.4 86.7 88.0 89.3 90.3 91.3 71.2 71.5 70.7 77.4 79.1 79.7 80.3 80.1 80.5 83.6 86.6 86.8 88.5 89.3 90.5 91.3 71.7 71.4 71.0 77.7 79.2 79.9 80.6 80.1 80.9 83.8 86.6 86.9 88.5 89.3 90.5 91.3 72.2 71.5 71.4 77.6 79.4 80.2 80.7 80.1 81.4 84.3 86.7 87.3 88.7 89.4 90.5 91.7 73.1 71.0 72.1 77.7 80.0 80.4 80.7 80.4 82.0 84.7 86.8 87.5 88.7 89.8 90.7 92.1 73.4 71.2 72.7 77.7 80.1 80.6 80.6 80.2 81.9 84.8 86.7 87.4 88.7 89.7 90.7 92.1 73.4 71.5 73.2 78.2 80.0 80.7 80.4 80.5 82.0 84.9 86.7 87.7 88.8 89.9 91.2 92.1 73.1 71.1 73.6 78.6 "80.1 80.9 80.2 80.5 82.5 84.9 66.7 88.0 89.2 89.9 91.1 92.2 72.6 71.2 73.9 79.0 80.1 80.6 80.3 80.6 82.5 85.2 86.8 88.0 89.3 89.9 91.1 92.3 72.1 70.8 74.9 79.3 80.0 80.5 80.1 80.4 82.7 85.2 86.7 88.0 89.3 89.9 91.0 92.5 70.5 71.5 70.5 76.8 79.0 79.6 80.6 80.1 80.3 83.1 86.0 86.7 88.0 89.3 90.1 91.2 71.7 71.5 71.0 77.6 79.2 79.9 80.5 80.1 80.9 83.9 86.6 87.0 88.6 89.3 90.5 91.4 73.3 71.2 72.7 77.9 80.0 80.6 80.6 80.4 82.0 84.8 86.7 87.5 88.7 89.8 90.9 92.1 72.6 71.0 74.1 79.0 80.1 80.7 80.2 80.5 82.6 85.1 86.7 88.0 89.3 89.9 91.1 92.3 72.1 71.4 72.1 77.8 79.5 80.1 80.5 80.2 81.4 84.3 86.6 87.3 88.7 89.6 90.6 91.7 1964.,. 1965... 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 92.6 93.6 95.4 98.6 102.0 106.7 113.3 119.2 123.2 127.7 139.7 156.1 166.7 175.3 187.2 204.7 92.5 93.6 96.0 98.7 102.3 107.1 113.9 119.4 123.8 128.6 141.5 157.2 167.1 177.1 188.4 207.1 92.6 93.7 96.3 98.9 102.8 108.0 114.5 119.8 124.0 129.8 143.1 157.8 167.5 178.2 189.8 209.1 92.7 94.0 96.7 99.1 103.1 108.7 115.2 120.2 124.3 130.7 143.9 158.6 168.2 179.6 191.5 211.5 92.7 94.2 96.8 99.4 103.4 109.0 115.7 120.8 124.7 131.5 145.5 159.3 169.2 180.6 193.3 214.1 92.9 94.7 97.1 99.7 104.0 109.7 116.3 121.5 125.0 132.4 146.9 160.6 170.1 181.8 195.3 216.6 93.1 94.8 97.4 100.2 104.5 110.2 116.7 121.8 125.5 132.7 148.0 162.3 171.1 182.6 196.7 218.9 93.0 94.6 97.9 100.5 104.8 110.7 116.9 122.1 125.7 135.1 149.9 162.8 171.9 183.3 197.8 221.1 93.2 94.8 98.1 100.7 105.1 111.2 117.5 122.2 126.2 135.5 151.7 163.6 172.6 184.0 199.3 223.4 93.3 94.9 98.5 101.0 105.7 111.6 118.1 122.4 126.6 136.6 153.0 164.6 173.3 184.5 200.9 225.4 93.5 95.1 98.5 101.3 106.1 112.2 118.5 122.6 126.9 137.6 154.3 165.6 173.8 185.4 202.0 227.5 93.6 95.4 98.6 101.6 106.4 112.9 119.1 123.1 127.3 138.5 155.4 166.3 174.3 186.1 202.9 229.9 92.6 93.6 95.9 98.7 102.4 107.3 113.9 119.5 123.7 128.7 141.4 157.0 167.1 176.9 188.5 207.0 92.8 94.3 96.9 99.4 103.5 109.1 115.7 120.8 124.7 131.5 145.4 159.5 169.2 180.7 193.4 214.1 93.1 94.7 . 97.8 100.5 104.8 110.7 117.0 122.0 125.8 134.4 149.9 162.9 171.9 183.3 197.9 221.1 93.5 95.1 98.5 101.3 106.1 112.2 118.6 122.7 126.9 137.6 154.2 165.5 173.8 185.3 201.9 227.6 92.9 94.5 97.2 100.0 104.2 109.8 116.3 121.3 125.3 133.1 147.7 161.2 170.5 181.5 195.4 217.4 320-C. CHANGE IN INDEX OF CONSUMER PRICES, ALL ITEMS, OVER 1-HONTH SPANS2 (MONTHLY RATE, PERCENT) AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 1948... 1949... 1950... 1951... 1952... 1953... 1954... 1955... 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... 1960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 1.2 -0.1 -0.4 1.6 -0.1 -0.3 0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.1 -0.4 0.4 1.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 -0.7 -0.1 0.1 0.2 -0.2 0.1 -0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 -0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.8 -0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.5 -0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 -0.2 0.4 0.4 -0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 -0.2 0.3 1.0 -0.9 0.7 -0.1 0.6 0.0 -0.3 0.1 0.5 0.3 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 -0.3 0.2 0.6 0.6 -0.2 0.2 -0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 -0.1 -0.2 -0.4 0.6 0.6 0,2 0.2 -0.3 0.0 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.6 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 -0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.5 -0.4 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.3 0.1 -0.2 0.0 1.2 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 -0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 -0.4 -0.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.9 -0.1 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 0.6 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 0..3 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.0 -0.1 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 320-C. CHANGE IN INDEX OF CONSUMER PRICES, ALL ITEMS, OVER 6-MONTH SPANS3 (COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE, PERCENT) AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 1948... 8.1 8.3 6.5 6.2 6.7 7.5 4.2 1.3 -1.0 -3.3 -4.2 -3.7 7.6 6.8 1.5 -3.7 1950... 1951... 0.0 12.0 0.6 11.5 2.4 7.8 4.7 4.2 5.1 0.2 6.0 1.1 7.2 2.0 7.2 2.5 9.4 4.1 11.3 4.2 14.0 4.4 13.1 2.8 5.3 1.8 -0.1 -0.6 0.5 0.7 3.3 4.5 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.0 1.2 3.5 3.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 -0.2 2.1 3.5 3.2 1.1 1.1 -0.5 0.0 3.5 3.8 1.8 0.9 1.9 -0.9 -0.6 3.3 3.6 1.7 1.2 1.9 -1.0 0.3 3.4 3.4 0.2 1.9 2^1 -1.1 0.3 4.3 2.6 -0.2 2.4 0.7 -1.4 1.0 3.6 2.5 0.3 1.9 l.*2 -0.9 0.5 2.8 3,2 0.8 1.6 i.'o -0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 3.8 4.0 0.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.7 1*2 1.2 1.8 0*7 -0.8 -0.1 3.4 3.6 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.5 l.*2 -1.3 0.7 3.6 3.0 0.0 2.2 1.5 1.0 1.0 7.9 2.9 1.5 1.3 -1.3 0.7 3.8 2.7 0.0 2.2 1.4 12. a 1953.*!.' 1954... 1955... 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... 1960 ... 1961... 1962... 1963... 1.4 1.6 1.3 1.1 li.3 0.6 1.4 1.0 10.4 1 4 o!2 0.2 0.1 1.3 3.4 3.8 0.8 1.4 0*3 1.5 1.0 1.3 1.6 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969 ... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 1.4 1.7 4.0 J..3 4.2 5.8 6.7 3.8 3.5 7.2 11.8 7.7 4.4 7.5 8.1 11.1 1.2 1.8 3.9 1.7 4.0 5.3 6.3 3.9 3.5 7.7 12.3 6.6 4.0 7.5 8.5 12.0 1.1 1.0 1*1 0*8 l.*0 -0.6 0.3 3.0 3.3 1.4 1.4 1,8 1.5 2.9 2.3 4.2 5.2 1.2 2.1 3.2 3.3 4.8 6.0 5.2 3.5 3.8 9.0 11.7 6.9 5.4 6.6 9.4 13.5 1*1 1.1 0.5 2.0 3.6 2.7 4.4 0.8 1.8 3.5 3.1 4.5 0.9 2.0 3.5 3.7 4.5 1.1 1.7 3.6 3.9 5.1 1.4 1.7 3.3 4.3 5.5 1.5 1.6 3.2 4.1 5.3 1.6 1.8 3.0 4.2 4.9 1.6 3.4 2.2 4.2 4.8 1.4 3.5 1.7 4.2 5.8 1.2 1.9 3.8 1.8 4.1 0.7 1.9 3.5 3.2 4.5 1.3 1.7 3.4 4.1 5.3 5.7 3.9 3.1 8.2 12.5 6.0 3.6 7.7 9.2 12.9 5.4 4.1 3.3 7.3 11.5 6.6 4.0 7.3 9.3 13.2 5.0 4.1 2.9 8.7 11.5 6.3 5.1 6.2 9.3 12.9 5.1 4.0 3.2 8.5 11.9 6.8 5.6 6.0 9.5 13.3 4.7 3.5 3.2 8.4 12.4 7.7 6.0 5.5 9.7 13.4 4.9 3.0 3.6 9.0 12.0 8.3 5.9 6.0 9.4 13.3 5.2 2.8 3.7 9.4 12.2 8.3 6.0 5.9 8.9 13.8 4.9 2.8 4.0 11.6 12.4 6.9 6,3 6.2 9.5 14.5 4.'? 3.1 6.0 10.5 10.7 6.3 7.0 6.7 10.6 15.3 4.0 3.1 6.1 12.0 9.0 5.5 7.1 7.3 10.9 15.9 6. *2 3.9 3.4 7.7 12.2 6.8 4.0 7.6 8.6 12.0 5.2 4.1 3.1 8.2 11.6 6.6 4.9 6.5 9.4 13.1 4.9 3.1 3.5 8.9 12.2 8.1 6.0 5.8 9.3 13.5 2 This series contains revisions beginning with 1967. 3.8 0.8 -0.4 0.6 3.4 3.4 0.5 1.5 1 7 1*0 1.1 1.4 0.9 2.3 3.4 2.3 4.2 'This series contains no revisions but is reprinted for the convenience of the user. This series contains revisions beginning with 1966. 1.1 3.6 2.9 0.4 1.7 i!e 3.0 -1.8 6.8 4.7 * 4*5 3.0 5.4 11.4 10.7 6.2 6.8 6.7 10.3 15,2 0*8 1.3 1.4 (WY 1980) 99 C- Historical Data for Selected Series—Continued Quarterly Monthly Year Jan, Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 3 2 2 . INDEX OF CONSUMER P R I C E S , (1967=100) 1948... 1949... 1950... 1951... 1952... 1953... 1954... 1955... 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... I960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974.. . 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. IQ II Q Annual III Q IV Q FOOD 1 AVERAGE FOR PDRIQD 74.6 71.4 80.9 84.8 83.4 83.5 81.6 80.7 83.4 87.4 87.9 86.8 89.4 89.2 91.1 76.0 74.2 72.4 83.7 84.0 83.0 83.6 82.2 80.6 84.2 87.8 87.4 86.7 89.5 89.6 91.2 74.3 74.2 72.3 83.2 83.7 83.0 83.3 82.3 80.8 83.9 89.5 87.0 86.9 89.4 89.9 91.0 76.2 74.3 72.3 82.8 84.3 82.5 83.2 82.3 81.1 84.0 89.8 86.7 88.1 89.2 90.0 90.6 77.2 74.0 72.9 83.0 84.2 82.6 83.3 81.8 81.7 84.2 89.4 86.5 88.1 89.0 89.9 90.8 77.7 74.2 73.7 82.3 84.0 83.3 83.2 81.3 82.5 84.8 88.9 87.0 88.1 88.7 89.6 91.1 78.2 72.8 75.1 82.0 84.7 82.7 83.3 81.4 83.4 85.4 88.5 86.9 87.8 89.0 89.3 91.5 77.9 72.9 75.6 81.7 84.9 83.1 83.1 81.1 82.6 86.3 88.4 86.8 88.1 88.8 89.7 91.6 77.3 73.5 75.7 82.0 84.3 83.3 82.3 81.7 82.8 85.8 88.1 87.0 88.2 88.8 90.7 91.2 76.7 72.8 76.4 83.3 84.4 83.4 82.0 81.4 83.1 85.6 87.9 87.1 89.0 89.0 90.5 91.1 75.3 72.9 76.6 84.0 84.4 82.4 81.9 81.0 83.4 85.6 88.1 87.0 89.4 88.8 90.7 91.5 74.8 72.0 79.0 84.9 84.0 82.9 81.7 81.0 83.5 85.7 87.7 86.9 89.6 88.8 90.1 91.8 75.6 74.3 72.0 82.6 84.2 83.1 83.5 82.0 80.7 83.8 88.2 87.4 86.8 89.4 89.6 91.1 77.0 74.2 73.0 82.7 84.2 82.8 83.2 81.8 81.8 84.3 89.4 86.7 88.1 89.0 89.8 90.8 77.8 73.1 75. 5 81.9 84.6 £3.0 82.9 81.4 82.9 85.8 88.3 86.9 88.0 88.9 89.9 91.4 92.0 92.7 96.8 99.6 101,6 106.1 113.7 115.7 120.7 128.9 154.1 171.9 181.8 184.4 200.4 225.3 92.0 92.5 98.3 99.3 102.0 105.9 114.2 115.9 122.2 130.9 157.5 171.6 179.8 187.5 202.1 228.4 92.0 92.9 99.1 99.1 102.3 106.2 114.1 116.7 122.0 134.0 158.6 171.5 178.9 188.6 204.5 230.6 92,0 93.3 99.2 98.8 102.8 107.0 114,6 117.7 122,2 136.4 158.6 170.8 178.8 190.3 207.2 232.0 92.0 94.1 98.9 99.0 103.2 107.4 115.0 118.3 122.6 138.4 160.2 171.1 179.2 190.8 209.6 233.5 92.2 95.6 98.8 99.6 103.0 108.6 114.8 118.9 122.9 139.9 160.3 173.0 179.5 192.2 212.7 234.2 92.3 95.5 98.4 100.0 103.4 109.2 114.9 118.9 123.3 139.7 159.3 176.5 180.2 192.8 213.5 235.3 92.2 95.0 99.8 100.5 103.9 109.8 115.1 119.2 123.9 148.3 161.8 177.0 181.4 194.1 214.6 235.5 92.8 94.9 100.1 100.5 104.5 110.6 115.7 119.1 124.8 148.0 164.9 178.4 182.2 195,1 216.2 237.9 92.8 95.3 100.4 100.9 105.5 111.0 116.1 119.5 125.4 148.9 166.5 180.3 182.8 195.6 218.3 239.8 93.1 95.6 100.2 101.2 105.5 112.1 115,9 119.9 126.3 150.8 168.7 181.4 182.8 197.4 219.9 241.4 93.1 96.2 99.9 101.4 105.8 113.4 116.1 121.1 127.0 152.2 170.7 182.8 183.7 198.7 222.2 244.8 92.0 92.7 98.1 99.3 102.0 106.1 114.0 116.1 121.6 131.3 156.7 171.7 180.2 186.8 202.3 228.1 92.1 94.3 99.0 99.1 103.0 107.7 114.8 118.3 122.6 138.2 159.7 171.6 179.2 191.1 209.8 233.2 92.4 95.1 99.4 101). 3 103.9 100.9 115,2 119.1 124.0 145.3 162.0 177.3 181.3 194. 0 214.8 236.2 -1.8 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.0 -1.2 -0.1 -0.5 0.4 0.0 0.2 -0.1 0.4 -0.2 0.2 0.4 -0.7 -1.2 3.1 1.1 -0.5 0.6 -0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.5 -0.1 0.2 0.0 -0.7 0.3 -0.5 -0.3 0.2 1.8 -0.5 -0.4 0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.2 1.5 -0.3 0.0 -0.1 0.4 0.3 1.5 0.0 0.6 -0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.4 0.7 0.3 -0.2 0.0 0.5 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.2 -0.3 0.9 -0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 -0,3 0,,0 0.0 0.0 0,4 0,0 -1.1 -0.7 1.4 1.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 0.3 0.0 -0.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.3 0,8 O.fi -0.3 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 -0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.5 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 G.'S 0.1 0.4 -0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.8 76.5 322-C CHANGE IN I N D E X OF CONSUMER PRICES, FOOD , OVER 1-MONTH SPANS 2 (MONTHLY RATE, PERCENT) 1948... 1949... 1950... 1951... 1952... 1953... 1954.. , 1955,.. 19S6... 1957... 1958... 19S9... I960.. , 1961... 1962... 1963... 1.3 -0.3 -0.8 2.4 -0.1 -0.7 0.7 -0.1 -0.4 -0.1 2.0 0.2 -0.1 -0.2 0.5 1.1 -0.7 -0.5 1.4 3.5 -0.9 -0.5 0.1 0.7 -0.1 1.0 0.5 -0.6 -0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 -2.2 0.0 -0.1 »0.6 -0.4 0.0 -0.4 0.1 0.2 -0.4 1.9 -0.5 0.2 -0.1 0.3 -0.2 2.6 0.1 0.0 -0.5 0.7 -0.6 -0.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.3 -0.3 1.4 -0.2 0.1 -0.4 1.3 -0.4 0.8 0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.1 -0.6 0.7 0.2 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 1.1 -0.8 -0.2 0.8 -0.1 -0.6 1.0 0.7 -0.6 0.6 0.0 -0.3 -0.3 0.3 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974., . 197S... 1976... 1977... 1978.1. 1979... 1980., . 0.2 -0.4 0.6 -0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 -0.3 -0.3 1.5 1.2 0.7 -0.5 0.4 0.9 1.4 0.0 -0.2 1.5 -0.3 0.4 -0.2 0.4 0.2 1.2 1.6 2.2 -0.2 -1.1 1.7 0.8 1.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 -0.2 0.3 0.3 -0.1 0.7 -0.2 2.4 0.7 -0.1 -0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.1 -0.3 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.9 0.2 1.8 0.0 -0.4 -0.1 0.9 0.0 0.9 -0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.3 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0,2 1.6 -0.1 0.6 -0.2 1.1 -0.2 0.5 0.2 1.1 0.1 1.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.3 322-C 1948., . 1949... 1950... 1951... 1952... 1953... 1954... 1955 . . . 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... 1960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 8.7 -6.2 -1.4 17.5 2.4 -4.5 -0.5 0.7 -0.7 2.2 10.1 -2.7 2.3 0.4 2.3 0.2 1964... 1965 19661'.! 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971.. . 197 2 1973]!] 1974... 1975... 1076... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 2.0 1.1 8*. 4 -3.2 3.8 2.9 6.6 2.8 -2.4 4.0 3.6 5.2 4.2 18!3 13.5 5.2 -1.7 8.4 12.2 12.9 20U 12.9 2.9 -2.4 8.9 12.7 12.8 9.4 -3.4 0.0 17.4 0.5 -4.2 2.2 -0.2 1.7 1.9 9.1 -3.6 2.S -0,9 2.5 0.2 1.1 2 2 ?'.o 0.7 -0.4 -0.1 -0.3 0.3 -0.3 0.4 -0.8 0.8 0.1 0.4 -0.7 0.2 -1.0 0.7 0.2 -0.6 -0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.4 -0.8 -1.0 0.9 1.6 0.1 0.1 -0.4 -0.4 0.4 -0.2 -0.2 0.1 0.9 0.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.3 -0.1 -0.6 2.0 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 -0.1 -0.5 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.5 6,2 1.6 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.7 -0.1 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.5 -0.1 0.7 -0.2 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.5 0 .7 1.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.3 -0.2 0.3 0.0 1.0 -0.2 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.9 0,7 0.7 0.0 0.6 -0.3 0.2 0.3 1.2 0.2 1.0 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 0.1 -0.1 1.0 -0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.8 1.4 0.1 -0.7 0.9 1*.3 0.1 1.0 -0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.2 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.5 8.0 -3.7 1.1 14.5 0.3 -3.5 0.8 -0.2 1.6 2.4 8.9 -2.6 2.5 -0.8 2.2 0.9 5.9 -3.4 9.7 -1.6 1.1 -0.3 -1.4 -1.6 5.6 4.9 0.3 -1.2 2.9 -1.3 0.7 0.7 3.0 3.9 8.2 1.4 5.1 -2*.0 3.6 3.3 6.4 1.7 4.9 1.3 2 9 7*.0 -2.1 3.7 4.0 4.8 4.0 0.9 5 3 2\B 2.0 3.9 7.3 2.2 5.2 2i4 4.1 5.1 8.S 2.2 3.2 12.8 12.5 3.2 6.8 8.4 13.3 8.0 14.8 8.2 0.6 7.1 9.9 13.8 7.9 19.9 12.4 3.6 -2.6 8.9 13.2 12.3 22.6 6.8 6.7 1.2 7.8 12.7 7.3 18.8 11.5 11.8 4.4 6.5 10.1 7.7 1.1 1.1 4.5 -4.8 10.6 2.7 -0.2 -1.7 -0.5 5.1 -3.5 9.0 -4.7 2.2 0.2 -1.2 8.2 -1.9 9.6 -2.9 1.4 0.7 -2.4 1.3 -4.0 11.7 1.2 0.2 2.2 -2.9 -4.9 -3.0 10.4 2.4 0.5 -0.5 -3,3 -7.3 -5.8 14.9 6.4 0.0 -1.0 -3.6 -9.0 -3.8 16.0 6.9 -3.0 1.9 -4.0 -9.3 -1.4 22.6 5.7 1.2 -2.2 -7.9 -3.2 20.8 4.2 -3.1 0.0 0.0 3.7 3.1 7.6 -1.6 2.8 -2.0 1.8 2.2 6.8 4.9 2.5 -2.3 2.3 -0.9 0.2 0.9 5.0 5.1 1.4 -1.4 3.3 -1.6 0.2 0.9 5.0 4.6 -3.1 0.0 3.0 -1.3 1.8 0.4 5.0 3.8 -4.2 0.9 2.1 -0.4 1.1 1.1 4.2 3.4 -2.9 1.2 3.0 -0.4 1.8 1.5 2.4 2.1 -2.7 -0.2 3.4 0.2 1.1 1.5 0.0 4.7 -1.4 -0.2 3.7 0.4 4.1 1.1 3.9 3.5 -2.2 -0.2 3.2 1.8 3.4 0.9 2.7 8.8 -2.5 -0.2 2.7 2.5 0.7 1.8 0.9 0.7 6 1 3 '.3 0.8 3.6 5.9 2.1 5.6 0.4 1.7 1.7 2.4 2.0 0.9 3.1 2.4 3.8 7.5 1.6 5.8 2.3 28.4 5.5 6.4 1.8 7.2 12.8 6.3 2.0 2.8 4.3 8.5 2.8 4.2 4.6 22.0 8.1 8.2 3.7 7.0 11.8 6.4 2.4 4.3 5.3 7.6 2.6 3.1 5*3 19.2 10.2 11.4 4.5 5.6 11.0 6.8 2,6 4.5 4.5 8.9 1.6 2.7 2.2 3.6 5.5 9.0 2.3 3.7 6,8 18.4 13.4 11.7 4.7 6.9 9.1 9.3 2.5 3.2 5.3 8.4 1.4 3.1 l?!s 6.9 5.4 -1.8 9.3 13.5 9.1 2 is!? 10.9 12.4 4.1 7.0 10.1 6.9 93.0 95.7 100.2 101.2 105.6 112.2 116.0 120,2 126.2 150.6 168.6 181.5 183.1 197.2 220.1 242.0 76.6 73.5 74.5 82.8 84.3 83.0 82.8 81.6 82.2 84.9 88,5 07,1 88,0 89.1 09.9 91.2 92.4 94.4 99.1 100.0 103.6 108,9 114.9 118.4 123.5 141.4 161.7 175.4 180.8 192.2 211.4 2 3 4 . r> AVE RAGE FOR PERIOD 5.9 -1.6 4.8 8.5 -2.1 -1.7 0.7 5*. 5 -0.6 3.2 5.4 2.5 4.9 3.0 21.3 10.9 2.7 -3.6 9.5 14.6 11.1 75.6 72.6 77.3 84.1 84.3 82.9 81.9 81.1 83,, 1 85.6 87.9 87.0 89.3 88.9 90.4 91.5 AVEKAGO FOR PERIOD -0.4 0.1 0.7 -0.4 0.2 0.5 -0.2 -0.4 -1.0 1.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.3 -0.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 -1.9 1.9 -0.4 0.8 -0.7 0,1 0.1 CHANGE IN INDEX OF CONSUMER PRICES, FOOD, OVER 6-MONTH SPAWS 3 (COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE, P E R C E N T ) 'This series contains revisions beginning with 1969. This series contains revisions beginning with 1967 100 Aug. 21.7 16.4 6.1 4.7 8.0 11.4 8.2 This series contains revisions be ginning with 1968. -4.4 0.7 -i!o 0.2 -3.6 -4.3 12.3 3.i 0.2 0.2 -3.3 3.9 3.1 -3.3 0.6 2.8 -0.2 1.3 1.4 2.0 -8.7 -2.8 19.8 5.6 -3.5 1.0 -2.1 -1.7 2.2 3.7 -2.0 -0.2 3.2 1.6 2.7 1.3 0.4 -.-3.5 10.8 5.4 -Q.5 -0,6 -1.5 -1.3 3.3 4.0 1.0 -0.9 2.9 -0.2 1.8 1.1 0.6 6.3 -0.2 3.3 4.2 7.7 1.5 4.4 12.1 16.4 12.4 3.3 6.2 8.8 12.8 8.0 1.2 3!o 1.8 4.2 6.9 2.6 4.2 6.5 19.4 10.8 6.4 2,3 8.0 12.2 8.8 (MAY 1980) C. Historical Data for Selected Series—Continued Monthly Year Jan. Mar. Feb. Apr. May June Quarterly July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. IQ 334. INDEX OF PRODUCER PRICES, F I N I S H E D CONSUMER GOODS1 (1967=100) II Q Annual III Q IV Q AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 1948... 1949... 1950... 1951... 1952... 1953... 1954... 1955... 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... 1960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 86.4 84.9 80.8 90.8 91.2 89.3 89.5 88.8 86.4 91.3 94.1 93.9 93.3 95.0 94.8 94.4 85.6 83.9 81.1 92.3 91.2 89.1 89.0 89.0 88.6 91.7 94.1 93.8 93.3 95.4 94.9 94.2 85.6 83.7 81.1 92.1 91.3 89.0 89.0 88.6 89.1 91.6 95.2 93.6 94.2 94.9 94.6 93.6 86.2 83.3 81.1 92.4 91.0 88.7 89.5 88.8 89.0 91.8 94.6 93.9 94.4 94.4 94.3 93.7 86.7 82.9 81.7 92.6 90.8 88.9 89.6 88.3 89.8 91.9 94.9 93.7 94.3 93.9 94.3 94.2 87.1 82.8 82.1 92.3 90.6 89.0 89.1 88.9 90.2 92.3 94.7 93.7 94.4 93.8 94.0 94.4 87.4 82.0 83.8 91.4 91.0 89.2 89.3 88.0 89.9 92.6 94.5 93.4 94.7 94.0 94.0 94.4 87.6 81.8 85.4 91.2 90.9 89.1 89.2 88.2 89.8 92.8 94.3 93.1 94.6 94.3 94.6 94,2 87.2 81.6 86.2 91.1 90.5 89.7 88.6 88.4 90.4 92.6 94.4 94.2 94.6 94.0 95.5 94.1 86.8 81.4 86.6 91.6 90.3 89.3 88.5 88.2 90.6 93.0 94.1 93,3 95.3 93.9 94.7 94.2 86.1 81.3 87.5 91,7 90.0 88.9 88.7 88.4 91.0 93.4 94.0 92.9 95.5 94.0 94.8 94.3 85,5 80.8 89.2 91.8 89,1 89.0 88.6 88.5 91.2 93.8 94.0 93.2 95.2 94.4 94.5 94.1 85.9 84.2 81.0 91.7 91.2 89.1 89.2 88.8 &8.7 91.5 94.5 93.8 93.6 95.1 94.8 94.1 86.7 83.0 81.6 92.4 90.8 88.9 89.4 88.7 89.7 92.0 94.7 93.8 94.4 94.0 94.2 94.1 87.4 81.8 85.1 91.2 90.8 89.3 89.0 88.2 90.0 92.7 94.4 93.6 94.6 94.1 94.7 94.2 86.1 81.2 87.8 91.7 89.8 89.1 88.6 88.4 90.9 93.4 94.0 93.1 95.3 94,1 94.7 94.2 86.5 82.5 83.9 91.8 90.7 89.1 89.1 88.5 89.8 92.4 94.4 93.6 94.5 94.3 94.6 94.2 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 94.7 94.5 98.2 99.5 100.9 104.4 109.6 111.1 114.4 120.8 139.4 159.5 168.2 173.0 184.5 94.0 94,5 99.0 99.3 101.5 104.3 109.4 111,6 114.9 122.3 142.5 159.0 167.1 174.7 186.1 206.1 94.1 94.9 99.3 99.0 101.8 104.8 109.5 111.8 114.8 125.5 143.7 158.6 167.0 176.4 187.2 94.1 95.6 99.4 99.3 102.2 105.3 109.6 112.4 114.9 126.4 144.8 160.0 168.2 177.5 189.5 94.3 96.2 98.9 100.1 102.9 106.9 109.7 112.6 116.8 128.4 149.4 164.1 168.8 179.4 193.7 214.8 94,3 96.4 100.2 100.4 103.0 107.1 109.5 113.4 117.3 134.0 152.0 165.7 168.9 180.2 194.3 218.3 94.5 96.9 100.3 100.6 103.9 108.1 110.5 113.6 117.6 133.2 156.2 168.2 170.0 181.3 197.5 94.4 97.3 100.0 100.8 104,0 109.0 110.9 114.0 118.4 134.5 159.4 168.8 170.8 182.6 198.6 94.3 98.1 99.7 101.0 104.1 109.1 110.7 114,8 119.6 135.6 159.1 168.9 172.6 183.4 201.1 222.2 224.8 227.9 229.9 94.3 94.6 98.8 99.3 101.4 104.5 109.5 111.5 114.7 122.9 141,9 159.0 167.4 174.7 185.9 206.1 94.1 95.9 99.0 99.6 102.4 106.1 109.5 112.8 115.6 127.5 145.5 161.2 168.4 178.5 190.8 210.8 94.4 96.4 99.9 100.4 103.2 107.1 110.0 113.1 117.4 132.0 151.6 165.5 169.0 180.0 194.6 218.4 94.4 97.4 100.0 100.8 104.0 108.7 110.7 114.1 118.5 134.4 158.2 168.6 171.1 182.4 199.1 209.7 94.2 96.3 98.5 100.2 102.6 106.8 109.6 113.2 116.2 128.9 145.5 162.5 168.6 178.9 192.2 212.0 94.5 96.5 100.5 100.7 103.7 107.4 110.7 113.2 118.1 133.5 153.4 166.8 169.4 180.4 195.7 208.4 94.0 95.9 99.0 99.4 102.3 106.2 109.3 112.8 115.6 127.3 146.2 161.1 168.4 179.0 190.8 210.8 94.3 96.1 99.4 100.0 102.7 106.6 110.0 112.7 116.6 129.2 149.3 163.6 169.0 178.9 192.6 215.7 203.7 334-C. CHANGE IN INDEX OF PRODUCER PRICES, FINISHED CONSUMER GOODS, OVER 1-MONTH (MONTHLY RATE, PERCENT) SPAMS 1 AVERAGE FOR PERIOD -0.2 0.9 -0.1 -0.4 0.7 -0.7 0.2 0.7 -0.2 0.1 1.2 0.0 -0.3 1.0 -0,1 -0.5 -0.2 0.5 0.5 -0.2 -0.4 -0.1 -0.2 0.2 0.4 -0.3 -1.0 0.7 -0.1 -0.8 0.1 -0.8 -0.1 1.0 0.1 -0.3 -0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 -0.1 -0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0,1 -0.7 -0.6 1.9 0.1 -1.0 0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.3 -0.3 0.4 -0.3 -0.2 0.4 -0.7 0.1 1.1 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.5 -0.1 0.4 -0.1 0.1 -0.3 0.6 -0.4 0.4 0.1 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 -0.2 0.0 0.1 -0.4 -0.2 0.3 0.0 -0.5 1.6 -0.4 0.0 0.3 -0.2 -0,2 0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 -0.1 -0.7 -0.3 1.1 0.2 -0.5 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 -0.1 -0.4 0.2 0.1 -0.3 0.0 0.1 -0.5 0.8 0.2 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.1 -0.2 0.7 -0.4 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.7 1.8 0.0 0.4 -0.2 -0.1 0.2 0.7 -0.2 0.4 -0.4 -0,2 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.2 -0.1 0.4 -0,3 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 2.0 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.4 -0.1 0.8 -0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 -0.2 0.7 1.0 0.8 -0.2 0.1 1.1 0.4 1.3 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 -0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.6 1.9 -0.1 -0.4 0.7 0.7 1.2 0.0 0.5 -0.3 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.6 -0.1 0.5 -0.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.9 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 -8.3 -1.7 16.8 0.0 -3.9 -0.2 -0.4 0.9 4.3 2.8 -1.1 0.4 1.7 1.3 -0.8 -0.4 -7.9 -1.2 14.2 0.4 -3.3 -1.6 0.0 1.6 2.7 5.7 -1.7 0.0 0.6 1.3 -3.9 0.0 8.4 -7.1 1.2 11.0 -2.0 -2.0 0.7 0.2 3.0 2.4 2.9 -0.5 2.7 -2.7 0.2 -1.2 3.6 -5.5 10.5 -1.1 -0.9 0.5 -0.3 -1.4 3.0 2.5 -0.1 -0.4 2.2 -2.1 -0.1 0.4 -1.2 -4.4 15.6 -1.6 -2.2 0.5 -1.8 -0.7 2.8 3.1 -1.5 -1.4 2.1 0.1 1.0 0.2 1948... 1949.. . 1950... 1951... 1952... 1953... 1954... 1955... 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... 1960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 2.2 -0.7 0.0 1.8 -0.7 0.2 0.6 0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.3 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 0.4 -0.1 -0.9 -1.2 0.4 1.7 0.0 -0.2 -0.6 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.4 0.6 -0.1 1.2 -0.2 1.0 -0.5 -0.3 -0.6 0.7 -0.5 0.0 0.3 -0.3 -0.3 0.6 0.2 -0.1 0.2 -0.6 0.3 0.2 -0.5 -0.3 0.1 0.6 -0.5 0.7 0.2 -0.2 0.2 0.1 -0.6 0.9 0.1 0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 -0.1 0.5 -0.3 -0.2 0.1 -0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.1 -0.1 -0.3 0.2 0.3 -1.0 2.1 -1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 -1.0 -0.3 0.3 -0.2 -0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 1.9 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.1 0.3 0.6 -0.2 -0.5 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 0.6 0.2 0.1 -0.2 -0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 -0.3 1.0 2.8 0.3 -0.4 0.2 0.6 1.3 -0.7 0.0 0.8 -0.2 0.6 -0.1 -0.2 0.5 0.4 1.2 2.2 -0.3 -0.7 1.0 0.9 1.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 -0.3 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.2 -0.1 2.6 0.8 -0.3 -0.1 1.0 0.6 1.1 0.0 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0,1 0.5 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.6 1.2 0.6 -0.1 0.3 -0.4 0.1 0.1 0.9 -0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 0,7 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 -0.5 0.8 0.3 0,6 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.3 -0.5 0.9 0.1 -0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 -0,1 0.4 -0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 -0.5 0.5 -0.4 2.7 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 -0.2 0.7 0.4 4.4 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.4 0,3 1.6 334-C, CHANGE IN INDEX OP PRODUCER PRICES, F I N I S H E D CONSUMER GOODS, OVER 6-MONTH SPANS 2 (COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE, PERCENT) 1948... 1949... 1950... 1951... 1952... 1953... 1954... 1955... 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... I960.. . 1961... 1962... 1963... 1964... , 10.2 -7.9 -0.7 13.8 -1.3 -3.5 0.4 0.7 1.8 2.7 3.5 -0.4 2.4 -1.9 0.9 -2.1 8.9 -7.3 1.0 12.0 -2.0 -2.4 1.6 -0.9 3.2 2.0 3.2 -0.6 3.0 -3.3 0.6 -1.3 6.2 -6.2 3.2 7.1 -2.6 -0.2 0.2 0.7 3.9 2.4 1.9 -0.6 2.6 -2.9 -0.8 -0.2 -0.2 -0.6 0.2 5.2 -2.0 3.2 2.7 2.8 3.5 2.3 15.5 18.2 4.9 0.0 9.0 9.3 12.7 3.5 -1.2 3.0 4.3 0.6 3.5 2.8 15.6 18.2 2.1 -0.5 9.8 9.2 12.7 0.8 1.0 3.2 5,3 0.9 4.6 2.5 16.2 15.1 4.3 -0.4 7.4 9.8 11.1 AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 4.7 -4.9 10.9 -2.4 -0.7 0.0 0.4 -1.8 2.7 2.4 0.4 -1.5 2.8 -2.3 -0.6 0.0 3.8 -5.0 13.0 -2.2 -1.7 1.6 -0.9 -0.5 2.9 2.2 -1.7 1.3 0.9 -1.9 1.9 1.1 1.4 -4.5 14.0 -1.7 -1.5 1.4 -2.2 -1.3 3.6 2.6 -1.1 -1.3 1.9 -1.1 0.9 1.1 -1.4 -3.8 14.7 -1.9 -1.8 0.0 -2.0 0.2 2.7 3.3 -1.9 -1.7 2.6 0.2 1.1 0.2 -3.6 -4.8 18.0 -1.1 -3.3 0.0 -1.1 -0.9 2.2 3.3 -1.5 -1.1 1.7 1.3 1.1 -0.6 -5.6 -2.9 17.4 -0.4 -3.7 0.7 -1.1 0.9 3.1 3.3 -1.3 -0.2 0.6 1.7 0.9 0,6 -0.8 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.4 2.4 2.2 3.0 5.4 0.2 3.3 4.2 20.0 13.8 8.6 2.2 6.4 9.0 12.2 2.4 3.5 3.8 5.0 2.2 2.5 5.8 13.2 14.0 10.6 2.9 4.6 9.3 13.7 1.8 2.6 3.4 5.4 1,6 2.1 4.8 11.0 16.4 10.5 2.2 4.3 8.6 14.9 2.0 2.8 3.4 5.3 2.9 2.1 4.9 11.6 18.9 9.8 2.9 4.1 8.3 16.9 2.5 1.6 2.9 l\2 1.6 2.9 -lie 2.2 2.5 0.8 5.9 -3!o 2.2 2.1 -0.2 3 3 3i2 -0.7 3.1 0.2 1.4 1.2 4.0 4.8 0.2 2.7 4.2 13.0 14.9 5.9 0.7 7.5 10.2 11.2 2*.l 2.3 3.6 2^0 2.8 5.9 10.7 19.6 8.0 4.8 5.1 9.5 17.6 2.6 3.2 7.0 17.9 14.0 5.1 5.0 5.8 10.6 17.9 3.9 2.7 8.7 13.1 9.4 1.7 7.0 6.7 12.5 18.2 2.0 2.8 12.9 15.9 6.9 0.2 8.4 7.7 13.4 17.8 1.4 3.9 2.5 15.8 17.2 3.8 -0.3 8.7 9.4 12.2 0.9 2.8 4.7 15.4 14.2 8.4 1.9 6.2 9.5 12.4 2.3 -6.7 7.6 1.3 -0.4 -0.2 -0.4 -1.8 3.4 2.9 0.9 -1.1 3.0 -2.1 -1.7 0.0 1965. . . 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969 . . . 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 'This series contains revisions beginning with 1975. 2This series contains revisions beginning with 1973. 227.5 -7.3 -1.9 16.1 0.0 -3.6 -0.4 -0.5 1.1 3.4 3.9 -1.4 0.1 1.0 1.4 -1.3 0.1 0.9 -4.7 10.8 2.1 -2.2 -0.4 -0.5 -0.2 3.0 3.0 0.0 -0.6 2.0 -0.8 0.0 -0.1 0.7 0.5 2!l 2.3 3.2 5.0 2.2 2,3 5.2 11.1 18,3 9.4 3.3 4.5 8.8 16.5 -l!2 2.0 2.5 4.4 2.8 2.9 9.5 15.6 10.1 2.3 6.8 6.7 12.2 18.0 0.3 3.8 1.5 1.5 3.1 4. 7 1.8 3.0 5.5 14.5 15.0 6.0 2.9 6.5 10.0 14.7 (MAY 1980) 101 C. Historical Data for Selected Series—Continued Quarterly Monthly Year Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. 335. INDEX OF PRODUCER PRICES, INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES 1 (1967=100) Oct. Nov. Dec. IQ II Q III Q JVQ Annual © AVI^RAGK FOR FCHZOD 1948... 1949... 1950... 1951... 1952... 19S3... 1954... 1955... 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... 1960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 75.8 77.9 74.6 86.6 84.9 84.0 85.1 85.6 89. S 93,0 93.7 94.7 95.7 95.2 95.0 94.7 75.4 77.2 74.8 87.1 84.9 84.0 84.9 86.0 89.6 93.2 93.4 94.9 95.6 95.2 94.8 94.6 75.4 76.8 74.8 87.1 84.6 84.3 84.9 85.9 89.9 93.1 93.4 95.2 95.6 95.2 94.8 94.6 75.8 75.8 '74.9 87.0 84.2 84.1 85.0 86.0 90.3 93.1 93.2 95.3 95.6 95.1 94.9 94.4 75.8 74.9 75.4 86.7 83.9 84.4 85.0 85.8 90.4 93.0 93.1 95.4 95.2 94.8 94.9 94.5 76.2 74.4 75.9 86.4 83.6 84.7 84.9 85.9 90.3 93.0 93.1 95.2 95.2 94.6 94.7 94.7 76.9 74.1 77.1 86.0 83.5 85.3 84.9 86.5 90.2 93.4 93.3 95.4 95.2 94.6 94.8 94.3 77.8 74.3 78.6 85.3 83.9 85.3 84.9 87.3 91.0 93,6 93.7 95.4 95.2 94.6 94.6 94.8 78.1 74.3 80.4 85.3 84.1 85.2 84.9 88.1 91.4 93.6 93.8 95.4 95.0 94.7 94.8 94.7 78.2 74.3 81.3 85.1 83.9 85.1 85.0 88.4 91.8 93.5 93.9 95.4 95.1 94.5 94.7 94.9 78.4 74.3 82.9 85.0 83.8 85.0 85.3 88.7 92.3 93.5 94.2 95.5 95.0 94.7 94.7 94.9 78.3 74.4 84.8 85.1 83.9 85.1 85.3 89.0 92.7 93.7 94.5 95.6 95.0 94.9 94.7 95.2 75.5 77.3 74.7 86.9 84.8 84.1 85.0 85.8 89.7 93.1 93.5 94.9 95.6 95.2 94.9 94.6 75.9 7S.O 75.4 86.7 83.9 84.4 85.0 85.9 90.3 93.0 93.1 95.3 95.3 94.8 94.8 94.5 77,6 74.2 78.7 85.5 83.8 85.3 84.9 87.3 90.9 93,5 93.6 95.4 95.1 94.6 94.7 94.8 78.3 74.3 83.2 85.1 83.9 85.1 85.2 88.7 92.3 93.6 94.2 95.5 95.0 94.7 94.7 95.0 76.') VS.3 78.0 86.X 84.1 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967.. . 1968... 1969*.. 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 197S... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 95.3 95.9 97.4 99.5 101.5 104.3 108.3 112.2 115.9 120.0 135.3 167.5 177.4 188.4 201.6 95.2 95.9 97.6 99.7 102,0 104,9 108.6 112.5 116.5 121.3 138.2 168.4 178.1 190.0 95.1 96.0 97.8 99.7 102.2 105.4 108.8 113.0 116.8 122.8 142.4 168.9 179.0 191.7 204.1 95.1 96.0 98.1 99.6 102.4 105.5 109.3 113.4 117.3 124.2 146.6 169.7 180.1 193.3 206.1 95.1 96.2 98.5 99.7 102.3 105.5 109.6 113.8 117.6 125.3 150.5 170.3 180.5 194.2 94.9 96.4 98.7 99.7 102.4 105.6 109.9 114.0 117.9 126.0 153.6 170.7 181.5 194.7 95.1 96.6 99.0 100.2 102.8 106.5 110.4 115.1 118.7 127.4 162.9 173.1 184.8 197.8 212.5 95.5 96.7 99.1 100.5 103.3 107.1 111.2 11S.1 118.8 128.5 164.8 174.7 186.3 199.1 214.7 95.6 97.1 99.2 100.8 103.4 107.4 111.3 115.0 119.1 130.1 165.8 175.4 187.1 199.3 216.0 200.0 95.2 95.9 97.6 99.6 101.9 104.9 108.6 112.6 116.4 121.4 138.6 168.3 178.2 190.0 95.0 96.2 98.4 99.7 102.4 105.5 109.6 113.7 117.6 12S.2 150.2 170.2 180.7 194.1 207.4 229.0 231.6 237.5 240.6 244.2 249.0 250.6 202.9 222.6 95.6 97.0 99.2 100.8 103.5 107.4 1H.4 115.2 119.1 130.3 165.6 175.4 186.9 199. S 216.0 225.4 217.2 253.1 95.1 96.5 99.0 100.0 102.6 106.1 110.2 115.0 118.4 126.7 160.8 172.2 183.8 196.9 211.3 95.3 96.4 98. S 100.0 102.5 106.0 110.0 114.0 117.9 12S.9 153. S 171.5 182.4 188. 8 208.7 234.0 95.1 96.6 99.0 100.0 102.5 106.1 110.2 115.3 118.5 126.7 161.6 172.2 183.8 196.9 211.4 95.8 97.1 99.2 101.1 103.8 107.8 111.7 115.5 119.4 132.2 166.1 176.1 187.4 207.4 95.1 96.4 99.0 99.7 102.4 105.7 110.1 114.6 118.1 126.1 157.8 171,2 182.7 19S.9 210.1 231.5 240.8 250,9 220.0 202.9 222.5 335-C. CHANGE IN INDEX OF PRODUCED PRICES, INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES, OVER 1-MONTH (MONTHLY RATE, PERCENT) 1948... 1949... 1950 ... 1951... 1952... 19S3... 1954... 1955... 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... 1960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967... 1968.,, 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 1948... 1949... 1950... © AVERAGF: FOR PERIOD 0.0 0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.2 0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.3 0.0 1.3 -0.1 -0,1 -0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.1 -0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.1 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.4 -0.6 0.2 0.9 -0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 -0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 -1.1 0.5 -0.2 -0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -Q.2 0.0 0.0 0,,8 0.0 1 <> 9 -0.4 0,,2 0*2 0,0 0.8 0.4 0,2 0.2 0.1 »0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 -0.4 1.1 0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 -0,2 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0,5 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.7 1.0 2.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 -0.1 0.3 1.2 0.6 0,4 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0,4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 1.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 Q.O 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.9 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.2 -0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 Q.I 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.9 2.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0,1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 2.0 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0,3 0,4 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.9 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 5.6 -7.8 10.9 —1 — J . 9& -0.5 -0.9 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 -0.2 0.5 Q.I 0.2 -0.3 0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.5 0*0 0.0 -0.4 0.4 0.0 -0.1 0.3 -0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -1.3 0.0 -1.2 0.5 -0.7 0.9 -0.4 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.0 -0.1 -0.5 -0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 -0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 0.4 0.0 -0.2 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 -0.4 -0.3 0.0 0.1 -0,3 -0.4 0.4 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.2 0.2 -0.5 -0.1 0.7 0.0 0.7 -0.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.5 2.3 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.8 1.3 -0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.1 0,5 0.4 0.8 0.6 1.1 -0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0,2 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.3 1.2 3.0 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.6 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 1.1 2.9 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.9 2.7 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.1 -0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 2.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0,0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 2.7 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.5 2.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.3 1961 . . . 1962... 1963.. . 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967.. . 1968... 1969 ... 197o!!! 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 6.1 -8.7 3.0 -9.7 4.1 -9.5 6.8 -7.4 10.4 -6.4 15.5 -3.9 19.3 -1.6 20.9 -2.1 0.5 -0.2 2.4 4.3 2.9 -0.6 3.0 0.4 0 .0 0.8 -0.6 -2.6 1.4 0.0 1.2 3.9 1.5 -0.9 2.6 -0.6 -3.5 1.9 -0.5 1.4 2.9 0.6 -1.3 1.5 -0.8 -3.3 3.1 -0.5 2.1 1.6 0.9 -0.9 1.5 -1.0 -2.3 3.1 0.0 3.0 3.1 0.9 0.6 1.1 -0.8 -1.2 2.1 0.0 5.2 3.4 1.1 0.9 0.4 -1.3 -0.7 - .2 2.4 0.0 5.7 3.3 0.9 1.5 0.2 -1.0 .4 .7 .9 .2 .1 2.4 0.2 -0.4 0.4 -0.4 -0.4 0.0 -0.4 0.2 -0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 -0.4 1.1 -0.4 0.8 0.4 1.0 2.9 1.0 3.8 4.3 0.4 1,3 2.9 1.0 3.0 4.1 4J1 4.5 4.6 10.7 33.8 5.5 5.9 7.7 8.3 15.0 -0.6 1.3 3.3 1.0 2.6 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.2 -0.4 1.0 3.3 0.4 1.8 2.7 3.4 4.3 3.8 10.4 36.0 4.5 6.1 8.1 8.6 16.5 -0.2 1.5 2.9 0.6 1.0 2.3 0.0 1.3 2.5 1.0 1.2 2.1 3.0 3.8 3.3 7.6 30.9 S.O 6.6 6.5 8.4 17.4 0.8 1.5 2.0 1.8 1.8 3.1 3\5 3.0 2.6 7.0 26.4 6.0 7.0 6.1 8.5 18.2 1.1 1.9 1.4 2.2 2.2 3.6 1.9 1.5 1.0 2.8 2.8 2.1 2.6 7.8 21.4 6.1 7.4 5.3 8.5 17.1 2.6 2.6 10.1 16.9 6.4 6.6 5.S 8.3 17.0 3.9 9.3 30.2 6,0 6.3 7.7 7.2 13.8 :n.4 35. Q 5.6 6.2 7.9 8.9 16.1 s!o 5.0 3.5 9.1 36.7 4.6 6.5 7.4 8.6 16.9 5.6 0.0 24.8 2.6 1.4 26.2 -1.5 1.4 22.8 -3.3 1.4 17.4 1.2 -0.5 1.7 7.1 6.3 0.6 3.0 0.6 0.0 0.8 -0.2 1.1 0.2 -0.9 2.6 5.3 4.9 -0.4 2.6 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.5 -0.7 2.4 4.1 3.8 -0.4 3.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 -0.4 0.8 6.4 -8.1 2.9 8 8 -2!? 1.3 -0.2 1.7 3.7 1.7 -0.9 2.4 -0.3 -0. 4 0.3 -0.3 0.7 0.9 0.9 7.3 5.4 1.5 3.0 0.8 -0.4 0 .6 0.0 1.1 1.7 1.7 1.9 0.1 3.6 4.0 4.0 2.3 3.2 15.1 12.7 7.4 6.3 5.9 9.6 20.1 2.1 4.8 19.0 8.6 7.0 6.9 6.2 10.8 21.7 3.0 7.0 24.9 7.5 6.9 7.6 6.5 12.5 20.6 6.3 -1.8 21.7 ™1 7 -2.3 -Q!;L -0.7 1.4 22.1 «>1 7 2.8 -0.2 3.4 2.7 1.0 0.2 1.0 -1.0 =-l .2 -0.3 0.3 1.6 0.5 6.l> 4.3 1.2 2.3 0.4 -0.6 -0.3 -0.3 1.0 -0.7 2,2 5.5 5.0 = 0.1 ? 9 1.0 -0.2 1.3 2.9 0.7 1.3 1.6 1.5 2.3 1.8 2.2 1.3 3.9 2.4 3.6 4.7 4.2 4.2 10.5 33.0 5.7 6.1 7.8 8.1 15.0 4.4 3.5 9.0 34.5 4.7 6.4 7.3 8.5 16.9 2.6 2.6 8.3 21,6 6.2 7.0 5.6 8.4 17.4 2.5 5.0 19.7 9.6 7.1 6.9 6.2 11.0 20.8 This series contains no revisions but is reprinted for the convenience of the user. 'This series contains revisions beginning with 1948. 102 0.2 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.7 1.2 AVERAGE FOR PERIOD 8.7 -6.0 1.6 $'.2 4.0 0.1 OVER 6-MOHTH SPANS 2 ® 1951 . . . 1952... 1953... 1954... 1955... 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... I960... 209.4 236.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 -0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 -0.2 -0.1 0.2 1.6 -0.5 0.3 2.1 -0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 335-C. CHANGE IN INDEX OF PRODUCER PRICES, INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES, {COMPOUND ANNUAL R A T E , P E R C E N T ) SPANS 2 84. a 85.0 86.9 90.9 93.3 93.6 95.3 9S.3 94.11 94.H 94.7 0!e oil 0.1 0.5 -0.2 0.9 4.4 -4,1 14.4 0.0 =i!i 1.2 0.6 4,3 3.9 0.9 X.I 1.1 -0.5 "0, 4 -0.1 0.S 0.7 1.6 2.2 2.0 2.8 3.7 3.7 3.4 3.8 XX. 9 24.7 5.9 6.6 6.7 9.0 17.5 (MY 1980) C. Historical Data for Selected Series—Continued Quarterly Monthly Year Jan. Mar. Feb. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. IQ 517. DEFENSE DEPARTMENT GROSS OBLIGATIONS INCURRED1 (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) III Q II Q Annual IV Q TOTAL FOR PERIOD 1948... 1949. . . 1950... 1951... 1952... 1953.. . 1954... 1955... 1956... 1957... 1958.., 1959... 1960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 977 7,048 5,601 4,003 2,095 2,295 3,585 3,522 3,834 3,792 3,447 3,857 4,473 4,731 1,043 4,987 4,484 3,997 3,074 2,342 3,125 3,877 3,664 3,887 3,554 4,332 4,349 4,485 960 5,158 4,544 3,889 1,966 2,506 4,131 3,192 4,252 3,929 3,592 3,752 4,616 4,374 1,438 3,698 3,980 4,059 2,539 2,704 3,424 3,521 3,985 3,735 3,483 3,840 4,764 4,139 1,621 5,011 5,501 2,272 3,024 2,271 3,528 3,094 4,480 3,842 3,901 3,803 4,199 4,390 1,609 5,458 5,362 1,841 3,070 2,533 4,225 2,862 4,271 3,870 3,882 3,853 4,099 4,856 619 2,479 4,933 6,191 2,040 2,563 2,334 3,592 3,177 3,931 3,552 4,973 3,924 4,925 4,639 995 2,905 3,573 5,782 2,409 2,597 1,133 4,882 3,259 3,634 3,658 3,897 5,335 4,312 4,556 1964... 1965... 1966., . 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974.. . 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979.. . 1980... 4,242 4,421 5,489 6,589 6,688 7,378 6,906 6,796 7,604 6,827 7,527 7,785 8,393 9,804 10,537 10,787 5,783 4,276 5,328 6,659 7,212 7,097 6,489 7,261 6,951 7,283 7,398 7,961 8,442 9,763 10,659 10,250 4,245 4,599 6,178 6,495 6,641 6,860 6,766 6,753 6,898 7,362 7,485 8,271 8,727 9,873 10,155 11,741 4,563 4,575 6,392 6,746 7,013 6,556 6,683 6,752 7,267 6,865 7,762 7,971 9,033 9,671 10,242 9,297 4,813 4,720 5,442 7,439 7,067 6,632 6,556 6,990 6,825 7,275 7,187 8,438 8,764 9,919 10,793 10,935 4,349 4,446 6,821 6,838 7,481 6,324 6,491 6,389 6,866 6,992 8,166 8,516 8,713 9,835 10,094 10,926 5,010 4,888 5,963 6,427 7,317 6,887 6,793 7,462 7,173 7,312 7,983 8,301 9,727 9,498 10,327 12,657 4,274 5,017 6,687 6,625 7,638 6,680 6,357 6,763 7,613 6,932 8,279 8,962 7,384 10,486 10,278 11,052 1,286 2,834 3,851 4,520 2,289 3,493 3,552 3,502 3,267 3,719 3,968 3,869 4,785 4,135 4,265 4,308 5,110 5,958 7,267 8,244 6,490 6,583 6,249 6,824 6,790 8,179 8,072 10,015 9,143 10,256 11,965 989 3,935 5,114 3,190 2,459 3,890 2,703 3,479 3,216 4,910 4,118 3,620 4,303 4,787 5,442 1,268 2,410 11,241 3,091 2,545 2,944 2,857 3,566 3,718 3,800 3,709 4,042 4,096 4,866 4,164 1,435 3,593 4,136 6,208 1,850 2,788 4,320 3,986 3,790 3,898 3,208 3,689 4,780 4,249 4,277 2,980 17,193 14,629 11,889 7,135 7,143 10,841 10,591 11,750 11,608 10,593 11,941 13,438 13,590 4,668 14,167 14,843 8,172 8,633 7,508 11,177 9,477 12,736 11,447 11,266 11,496 13,062 13,385 2,900 8,218 12,357 16,493 6,738 8,653 7,019 11,976 9,703 11,284 11,178 12,739 14,044 13,372 13,460 3,692 9,938 20,491 12,489 6,854 9,622 9,880 11,031 10,724 12,608 11,035 11,351 13,179 13,902 13,883 25,804 64,208 58,454 33,653 34,043 31,550 45,025 40,495 48,378 45,268 45,949 50,660 53,774 54,318 3,984 5,345 6,037 7,258 7,256 6,830 6,368 7,333 7,015 7,671 7,681 7,889 9,914 10,240 10,214 11,679 4,487 5,225 6,136 6,667 7,183 7,150 7,033 6,683 7,109 7,315 8,211 7,936 8,733 10,353 10,484 10,730 5,088 5,599 6,328 6,815 7,011 6,838 6,942 7,432 6,708 6,850 8,116 8,084 9,874 10,157 10,282 11,565 14,270 13,296 16,995 19,743 20,541 21,335 20,161 20,810 21,453 21,472 22,410 24,017 25,562 29,440 31,351 32,778 13,725 13,741 18,655 21,023 21,561 19,512 19,730 20,131 20,958 21,132 23,115 24,925 26,510 29,425 31,129 31,158 13,592 15,015 18,608 20,319 23,199 20,057 19,733 20,474 21,610 21,034 24,441 25,335 27,126 29,127 30,861 35,674 13,559 16,169 18,501 20,740 21,450 20,818> 20,343 21,448 20,832 21,836 24,008 23,909 28,521 30,750 30,980 33,974 55,146 58,221 72,759 81,825 86,751 81,722 79,967 82,863 84,853 85,474 93,974 D8,186 107,719 118,742 124,321 133,584 525. MILITARY PRIME CONTRACT AWARDS FOR WORK PERFORMED IN THE U.S.' (MILLIONS OP DOLLARS) TOTAL FOR PERIOD 1948... 1949.. . 1950. . . 1951... 1952.. . 1953... 1954... 1955... 1956.. . 1957... 1958... 1959... I960,.. 1961.., 1962... 1963... 3,976 2,528 3,682 616 1,049 1,474 1,756 2,103 1,625 1,850 1,989 3,271 2,429 3,493 5,479 2,295 564 1,306 1,388 1,927 1,232 1,898 1,754 2,186 2,180 2,611 3,001 2,959 2,381 826 1,028 1,502 1,563 2,243 1,966 1,904 1,987 2,552 2,463 2,892 2,088 2,462 1,068 1,468 1,404 2,312 2,142 2,204 1,726 2,274 2,295 2,023 3,760 3,059 2,038 1,326 841 1,782 808 3,043 1,893 2,252 1,855 2,140 2,413 2,759 4,292 2,042 1,116 1,287 2,024 1,093 2,228 2,222 1,963 2,229 2,127 2,366 4,097 1,158 2,035 886 971 1,196 1,619 1,511 2,192 2,151 1,993 1,888 2,216 4,241 1,002 1,089 767 1,231 2,108 1,310 1,692 1,964 2,200 2,143 2,167 2,722 2,333 2,116 1,004 2,454 597 2,091 1,297 2,308 1,793 2,250 2,033 2,032 2,635 2,823 2,143 959 2,271 1,136 1,972 1,594 1,880 1,937 1,327 2,494 2,814 2,119 3,462 3,295 265 481 1,310 1,934 1,819 1,704 2,102 1,938 2,308 2,946 1,814 3,399 3,148 390 913 2,194 1,891 1,671 2,328 1,298 1,922 2,491 2,044 2,149 10,470 10,966 8,358 2,006 3,383 4,364 5,246 5,578 5,489 5,508 6,162 8,003 7,503 9,411 9,439 6,542 3,510 3,596 5,210 4,213 7,413 6,319 5,941 6,358 6,562 6,802 10,671 4,276 4,128 4,107 2,799 5,395 4,226 5,511 5,949 6,601 6,169 6,087 7,573 9,684 8,586 1,614 3,665 4,640 5,797 5,084 5,912 5,337 5,187 7,293 7,804 6,082 40,236 33,267 20,642 13,288 14,418 20,766 18,769 24,414 23,094 23,237 25,982 28,456 27,960 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973*.. 1974.., 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... I960... 2,372 2,097 2,952 3,364 2,887 3,398 2,855 2,508 3,520 2,824 3,218 3,731 3,536 3,354 4,853 5,706 2,958 1,846 2,906 3,930 3,445 3,441 2,623 2,704 2,982 2,899 3,144 4,061 3,101 4,369 4,741 4,773 1,966 2,451 2,956 3,034 3,124 2,904 2,904 3,104 3,025 2,947 2,990 3,168 6,713 4,819 4,909 5,763 2,502 2,843 3,461 3,026 3,488 2,825 2,591 2,928 2,985 2,568 4,372 4,023 3,489 4,303 4,970 4,936 2,640 2,150 2,978 4,040 4,203 3,070 2,545 2,231 2,786 3,171 3,211 3,814 3,543 4,654 6,204 4,720 1,910 2,390 3,693 3,566 3,067 2,744 2,896 2,324 3,154 2,897 3,402 3,680 3,854 4,300 7,081 5,117 2,580 2,313 3,940 3,545 3,937 2,896 2,717 2,916 3,074 2,024 3,295 3,635 2,535 4,624 3,928 6,135 1,963 2,775 3,165 3,690 3,173 3,001 2,782 3,093 2,638 2,962 3,553 4,419 3,652 4,623 4,924 5,282 2,163 2,419 3,541 3,720 3,836 2,680 2,113 2,982 2,725 3,235 3,504 3,102 4,985 4,255 4,855 6,364 1,967 2,790 3,383 3,626 3,903 2,987 3,464 2,606 2,946 2,992 3,863 2,866 4,897 5,279 4,343 4,318 2,075 2,995 3,225 3,308 3,378 2,734 2,746 3,092 3,589 3,347 3,667 3,062 4,114 4,247 6,509 5,670 1,997 2,988 3,513 3,479 3,613 2,765 3,181 3,066 2,532 3,292 3,051 3,413 4,729 5,332 4,568 5,489 7,296 6,394 8,814 10,328 9,456 9,743 8,382 8,316 9,527 8,670 9,352 10,960 13,350 12,542 14,503 16,242 7,052 7,383 10,132 10,632 10,758 8,639 8,032 7,483 8,925 8,636 10,985 11,517 10,886 13,257 18,255 14,773 6,706 7,507 10,646 10,955 10,946 8,577 7,612 8,991 8,437 8,221 10,352 11,156 11,172 13,502 13,707 17,781 6,039 8,773 10,121 10,413 10,894 8,486 9,391 8,764 9,067 9,631 10,581 9,341 13,740 14,858 15,420 15,477 27,093 30,057 39,713 42,328 42,054 35,445 33,417 33,554 35,956 35,158 41,270 42,974 49,148 54,159 61,885 64,273 543. DEFENSE DEPARTMENT GROSS UNPAID OBLIGATIONS OUTSTANDING2 (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) END OF PERIOD 1948. . . 1949. . . 1950 . . . 1951. . . 1953. . . 1954.. . 1955... 1956... 1957.,, 1958... 1959.. . I960.. . 1961... 1962... 1963... 1964.. . 1965... 1966,.. 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 1 38,361 32,254 23,715 26,293 22,051 23,663 21,509 22,795 24,633 24,531 38,587 31,293 23,685 26,581 21,957 23,641 21,314 23,041 24,506 24,304 35,974 30,030 24,526 26,129 22,369 23,682 21,203 22,931 24,659 24,036 34,907 29,435 24,536 25,857 22,768 23,532 21,042 22,718 24,939 23,602 34,769 28,405 24,475 25,287 23,330 23,656 21,148 22,539 24,515 23,126 51,118 33,567 26,919 25,440 24,762 24,666 24,007 22,955 22,707 24,242 22,824 23,003 23,434 27,275 35,350 36,616 39,531 32,561 30,181 32,879 34,280 37,446 40,052 41,358 49,258 57,304 65,120 23,777 23,466 27,621 35,719 37,236 39,147 32,041 30,851 32,832 34,426 37,673 39,875 41,459 50,229 58,401 48,267 23,595 23,698 28,355 35,668 37,490 38,472 31,494 30,541 32,742 34,976 37,817 40,198 41,866 50,761 58,986 67,128 23,557 23,762 29,597 35,296 36,914 37,656 30,979 30,737 32,976 35,140 38,456 39,918 42,494 51,236 59,348 68,883 23,914 24,261 30,322 36,683 37,622 36,855 30,279 31,098 32,772 35,693 38,389 40,086 42,970 52,170 60,723 68,468 23,043 24,651 32,030 37,417 38,421 35,445 30,787 29,077 32,417 35,877 38,909 40,959 43,612 52,625 60,549 68,976 50,051 33,695 25,793 49,349 33,287 24,076 47,419 33,442 23,911 26,463 23,910 22,846 23,225 23,210 24,,463 23,555 22,558 23,257 23,945 24,179 23,365 33,109 36,188 39,741 41,437 43,251 53,383 61,833 70,252 36,249 39,104 34,414 30,221 31,069 33,350 36,666 39,621 42,140 42,558 54,262 62,028 81,542 34,154 36,625 39,960 33,613 29,938 30,671 33,985 36,285 39,894 41,805 43,663 52,697 62,730 71,886 45,535 33,673 23,512 26,168 22,107 23,684 22,452 23,022 24,241 24,547 44,707 33,716 23,034 26,344 22,140 23,755 22,323 23,220 23,955 24,831 40,050 33,186 23,374 26,518 22,062 23,755 21,599 22,866 24,522 24,430 23,050 35,974 30,030 24,526 26,129 22,369 23,682 21,203 22,931 24,659 24,036 51,118 33,567 26,919 25,440 24,762 24,666 24,007 22,955 22,707 24,242 22,824 47,419 33,442 23,911 26,463 23,008 26,105 34,583 36,993 40,178 33,234 29,703 31,546 34,026 36,682 39,429 41,845 47,366 54,775 63,006 64,325 23,042 26,496 34,942 36,831 40,127 32,912 30,085 31,450 34,255 36,869 39,772 41,468 47,385 55,479 63,440 68,634 23,275 26,746 35,064 37,033 39,587 32,781 30,077 31,046 34,225 36,839 40,137 41,309 48,497 55,771 64,470 68,525 23,595 23,698 28,355 35,668 37,490 38,472 31,494 30,541 32,742 34,976 37,817 40,198 41,866 50,761 58,986 67,128 23,043 24,651 32,030 37,417 38,421 35,445 30,787 29,077 32,417 35,877 38,909 40,959 43,612 52,625 60,549 68,976 23,365 This series contains revisions beginning with 1977. 2This series contains no revisions but is reprinted for the convenience of the user. 23,555 22,558 23,257 23,945 24,179 34,154 36,625 39,960 33,613 29,938 30,671 33,985 36,285 39,894 41,805 43,663 52,697 62,730 71,886 40,050 33,186 23,374 26,518 22,062 23,755 21,599 22,866 24,522 24,430 23,050 40,050 33,186 23,374 26,518 22,062 23,755 21,599 22,866 24,522 24,430 23,050 23,275 26,746 35,064 37,033 39,587 32,781 30,077 31,046 34,225 36,839 40,137 41,309 48,497 55,771 64,470 68,525 23,275 26,746 35,064 37,033 39,587 32,781 30,077 31,046 34,225 36,839 40,137 41,309 48,497 55,771 64,470 68,525 (MAY 1980} 103 C. Historical Data for Selected Series—Continued Quarterly Monthly Year Jan, Feb. Mar. May Apr. June July Aug. Sept. 577. DEFENSE DEPARTMENT PERSONNEL, MILITARY, ACTIVE DUTY (THOUSANDS) Oct. Nov. Dec. IQ II Q III Q Annual IV Q ® END OF PERIOD 1948... 1949... 1950... 19S1... 1952... 1953... 1954... 1955... 1956... 195?... 1958... 1959... 1960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 1,400 1,668 1,511 2,620 3,562 3,513 3,381 3,203 2,879 2,787 2,613 2,561 2,491 2,503 2,849 2,677 1,404 1,662 1,488 2,794 3,643 3,510 3,359 3,160 2,864 2,788 2,618 2,550 2,487 2,498 2,849 2,684 1,399 1,647 1,474 2,962 3,675 3,518 3,342 3,105 2,850 2,792 2,623 2,538 2,478 2,490 2,840 2,691 1,403 1,630 1,466 3,075 3,685 3,524 3,326 3,036 2,836 2,792 2,608 2,518 2,472 2,483 2,829 2,693 1,421 1,619 1,459 3,170 3,660 3,543 3,312 2,969 2,813 2,790 2,600 2,506 2,465 2,473 2,808 2,692 1,446 1,615 1,460 3,249 3,636 3,555 3,302 2,935 2,806 2,796 2,601 2,504 2,476 2,484 2,808 2,700 1,496 1,617 1,498 3,313 3,637 3,558 3,302 2,940 2,810 2,808 2,604 2,506 2,480 2,497 2,807 2,703 1,531 1,608 1,628 3,346 3,619 3,548 3,289 2,945 2,798 2,789 2,605 2,500 2,485 2,514 2,684 2,702 1,568 1,593 1,889 3,376 3,583 3,509 3,280 2,931 2,795 2,758 2,598 2,492 2,492 2,553 2,688 2,695 1,592 1,584 2,117 3,418 3,559 3,482 3,257 2,923 2,801 2,699 2,597 2,495 2,501 2,725 2,702 2,693 1,610 1,579 2,261 3,462 3,534 3,458 3,233 2,916 2,798 2,659 2,590 2,501 2,500 2,781 2,687 2,694 1,626 1,551 2,357 3,465 3,507 3,403 3,181 2,887 2,781 2,617 2,566 2,487 2,494 2,811 2,668 2,676 1,399 1,647 1,474 2,962 3,675 3,518 3,342 3,105 2,850 2,792 2,623 2,538 2,478 2,490 2,840 2,691 1,446 1,615 1,460 3,249 3,636 3,555 3,302 2,935 2,806 2,796 2,601 2,504 2,476 2,484 2,808 2,700 1,568 1,593 1,889 3,376 3,383 3,509 3,280 2,931 2,795 2,758 2lfS98 2,492 2,492 2,553 2,688 2,695 1,626 1,551 2,357 3,465 3,507 3,403 3,181 2,887 2,781 2,617 2,566 2,487 2,494 2,811 2,668 2,676 1,626 1,551 2,357 3,465 3,507 3,403 3,181 2,887 2,781 2,617 2,566 2,487 2,494 2,811 2,668 2,676 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 197S... 1975... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 2,687 2,663 2,902 3,357 3,427 3,418 3,255 2,861 2,462 2,334 2,199 2,145 2,092 2,077 2,065 2,040 2,696 2,652 2,937 3,368 3,440 3,432 3,220 2,840 2,426 2,314 2,195 2,146 2,093 2,078 2,062 2,030 2,693 2,647 2,969 3,371 3,467 3,452 3,173 2,802 2,385 2,291 2,187 2,137 2,090 2,075 2,058 2,026 2,694 2,645 3,004 3,371 3,494 3,465 3,116 2,770 2,341 2,274 2,174 2,127 2,087 2,071 2,054 2,022 2,690 2,641 3,056 3,368 3,518 3,459 3,084 2,737 2,319 2,256 2,156 2,124 2,081 2,070 2,046 2,018 2,687 2,655 3,094 3,377 3,547 3,460 3,066 2,715 2,323 2,253 2,162 2,128 2,082 2,075 2,057 2,024 2,696 2,669 3,136 3,382 3,545 3,458 3,045 2,685 2,332 2,251 2,162 2,129 2,087 2,079 2,062 2,027 2,693 2,686 3,184 3,393 3,526 3,459 3,020 2,657 2,344 2,237 2,153 2,111 2,085 2,073 2,062 2,024 2,690 2,724 3,229 3,412 3,490 3,449 2,984 2,627 2,356 2,232 2,157 2,105 2,084 2,075 2,062 2,027 2,680 2,761 3,287 3,416 3,454 3,387 2,946 2,608 2,371 2,227 2,156 2,097 2,086 2,072 2,058 2,030 2,678 2,803 3,326 3,412 3,433 3,351 2,917 2,579 2,370 2,218 2,154 2,099 2,082 2,069 2,050 2,029 2,663 2,857 3,334 3,398 3,408 3,298 2,874 2,519 2,348 2,202 2,140 2,084 2,072 2,060 2,041 2,020 2,693 2,647 2,969 3,371 3,467 3,452 3,173 2,802 2,385 2,291 2,187 2,137 2,090 2,075 2,058 2,026 2,687 2,655 3,094 3,377 3,547 3,460 3,066 2,715 2,323 2,253 2,162 2,128 2,082 2,075 2,057 2,024 2,690 2,724 3,229 3,412 3,490 3,449 2,984 2,627 2,356 2,232 2,157 2,105 2,084 2,075 2,062 2,027 2,663 2,857 3,334 3,398 3,408 3,298 2,874 2,519 2,348 2,202 2,140 2,084 2,072 2,060 2,041 2,020 2,663 2,857 3,334 3,398 3,408 3,290 2,874 2,519 2,348 2,202 2,140 2,084 2,872 2,060 2,041 988 1,278 1,330 1,248 1,180 1,167 1,176 1,085 1,088 1,052 1,032 1,059 1,066 1,043 578. DEFENSE DEPARTMENT PERSONNEL, C I V I L I A N , DIRECT H I R E EMPLOYMENT (THOUSANDS) 1948... 1949. . . 1950... 1951... 1952... 1953... 19S4... 19S5... 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... 1960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... ® END OF PERIOD 750 1,047 1,290 1,426 1,241 1,103 1,165 1,174 1,083 1,084 1,048 1,033 1,060 1,064 744 1,100 1,296 1,410 1,232 1,102 1,165 1,172 1,084 1,078 1,047 1,034 1,061 1,061 743 1,150 1,300 1,390 1,224 1,181 1,165 1,168 1,084 1,076 1,046 1,035 1,061 1,056 745 1,182 1,307 1,365 1,219 1,102 1,168 1,165 1,088 1,075 1,043 1,038 1,063 1,056 754 1,208 1>315 1,342 1,212 1,185 1,171 1,160 1,089 1,074 1,044 1,041 1,066 1,054 753 1,235 1,337 1,332 1,209 1,187 1,179 1,161 1,097 1,078 1,047 1,042 1,070 1,050 779 1,249 1,339 1,320 1,202 1,18C 1,184 1,160 1,098 1,078 1,043 1,043 1,072 1,052 859 1,258 1,334 1,308 1,193 1,187 1,187 1,154 1,097 1,071 1,045 1,052 1,076 1,053 904 1,261 1,328 1,288 1,180 1,180 1,180 1,130 1,093 1,064 1,037 1,052 1,067 1,046 941 1,270 1,329 1,278 1,177 1,181 1,183 1,105 1,094 1,060 1,035 1,058 1,069 1,045 967 1,274 1,330 1,253 1,181 1,179 1,179 1,093 1,092 1,056 1,033 1,060 1,070 1,044 988 1,278 1,330 1,248 1,180 1,167 1,176 1,085 1,088 1,052 1,032 1,059 1,066 1,043 743 1,150 1,300 1,390 1,224 1,181 1,165 1,168 1,084 1,076 1,046 1,035 1,061 1,056 753 1,235 1,337 1,332 1,209 1,187 1,179 1,161 1,097 1,078 1,047 1,042 1,070 1,050 1,042 1,017 1,063 1,246 1,267 1,315 1,252 1,146 1,119 1,073 1,034 1,038 1,023 994 982 972 1,040 1,018 1,072 1,260 1,265 1,316 1,240 1,143 1,117 1,057 1,039 1,036 1,019 995 982 971 1,039 1,018 1,088 1,268 1,266 1,317 1,224 1,142 1,112 1,051 1,042 1,034 1,016 995 932 968 1,039 1,022 1,101 1,273 1,267 1,316 1,218 ,141 ,107 ,051 ,046 ,034 ,011 995 982 968 1,036 1,027 1,111 1,274 1,271 1,312 1,213 1,136 1,090 1,051 1,053 1,035 1,010 997 988 972 1,030 1,034 1,138 1,303 1,317 1,342 1,194 1,127 1,083 1,031 1,070 1,042 1,010 1,009 1,000 979 1,031 1,046 1,166 1,311 1,334 1,348 1,184 1,129 1,068 1,019 1,074 1,052 1,014 1,008 1,002 982 1,034 1,055 1,187 1,306 1,316 1,327 1,177 1,132 1,073 1,022 1,064 1,038 1,006 998 994 974 1,026 1,045 1,184 1,274 1,276 1,296 1,169 1,130 1,071 1,019 1,049 1,030 997 982 980 960 1,024 1,052 1,200 1,277 1,275 1,285 1,162 1,128 1,081 1,022 1,046 1,031 995 983 981 964 1,023 1,060 1,222 1,277 1,275 1,272 1,158 1,125 1,083 1,026 1,046 1,029 996 985 981 967 1,019 1,057 1,230 1,271 1,273 1,262 1,132 1,122 1,082 1,026 1,043 1,028 995 983 978 967 1,039 1,018 1,088 1,268 1,266 1,317 1,224 1,142 1,112 1,051 1,042 1,034 1,016 995 982 963 1,030 1,034 1,138 1,303 1,317 1,342 1,194 1,127 1,083 1,031 1,070 1,042 1,010 1,009 1,000 979 580. DEFENSE DEPARTMENT NET OUTLAYS, MILITARY FUNCTIONS AND MILITARY ASSISTANCE* (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 1948. . , 1949.. , 1950,.. 1951... 1952... 1953... 1954... 1955... 1956... 1957... 1958... 1959... 1960... 1961... 1962... 1963... 1964... 1965... 1966... 1967... I960... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1972... 1973... 1974... 1975... 1976... 1977... 1978... 1979... 1980... 904 908 1,261 1,328 1,288 1,180 1,180 1,180 1,130 1,093 1,064 1,037 1,052 1,067 1,046 1,278 1,330 1,248 1,180 1,167 1,176 1,085 1,088 1,052 1,032 1,059 1,066 1,043 1,026 1,045 1,184 1,274 1,276 1,296 1,169 1,130 1,071 1,019 1,049 1,030 1,019 1,057 1,230 1,271 1,273 1,262 1,152 1,122 1,082 1,026 1,043 1,028 997 982 980 960 995 983 978 967 1,019 1,057 1,230 1,271 1,273 1,262 1,152 1,122 1,082 1,026 1,043 1,0 21) 995 983 97« 96? TOTAL FOR PERIOD 1,015 1,630 3,460 3,861 3,600 3,172 3,077 3,508 3,363 3,590 3,586 3,672 4,068 4,253 998 1,783 3,412 4,022 3,643 3,046 3,059 3,580 3,475 3,552 3,537 3,759 4,096 4,177 950 1,975 3,613 4,107 3,369 3,149 3,004 3,601 3,435 3,588 3,513 3,800 4,179 3,322 960 2,154 3,747 3,989 3,270 3,151 3,166 3,562 3,375 3,624 3,540 3,781 ,187 ,226 954 2,317 3,804 4,079 3,220 3,118 3,121 3,621 3,429 3,610 3,490 3,770 ,302 ,048 768 2,523 3,591 3,867 3,758 3,253 3,917 3,455 3,607 3,631 3,176 3,711 4,256 4,057 1 ,078 1,049 3,133 4,196 3,621 3,041 3,049 2,950 3,642 3,636 3,692 3,734 3,720 4,176 4,356 1 ,076 1,055 2,911 3,328 3,868 3,117 3,097 3,254 3,633 3,487 3,649 3,665 3,713 4,136 4,203 1,040 1,132 2,983 4,229 3,981 3,062 3,447 3,288 3,412 3,686 3,607 3,682 3,808 4,149 4,193 1,011 1,291 3,129 3,742 3,847 3,160 3,069 3,364 3,173 3,758 3,631 3,628 3,837 4,208 4,188 1 ,008 1,458 3,167 3,843 3,721 3,108 3,010 3,399 3,416 3,661 3,630 3,645 4,001 4,290 4,091 1,014 1,533 3,224 3,965 3,631 3,160 3,123 3,359 3,335 3,681 3,617 3,752 4,054 4,122 4,163 2,963 5,388 10,485 11,990 10,612 9,367 9,140 10,689 10,273 10,730 10,636 11,231 12,343 11,752 2,682 6,994 11,142 11,935 10,248 9,522 10,204 10,638 10,411 10,865 10,206 11,262 12,745 12,331 3 ,194 3,236 9,027 11,753 11,470 9,220 9,593 9,492 10,6(17 10,809 10,948 11,0(11 11,2<11 12,461 12,752 3 ,033 4,282 9,520 11,550 11,199 9,428 9,202 10,122 9,924 11,100 10,878 11,025 11,892 12,620 12,442 13,163 30,929 44,930 46,594 39,508 37,684 38,958 41,938 42,593 43,421 42,948 45,626 50,169 49,277 4,054 3,992 4,634 6,028 6,794 6,471 6,495 6,201 6,280 6,256 6,827 7,150 7,175 7,476 8,493 9,645 4,258 3,899 4,618 6,021 6,346 6,714 6,485 6,162 6,205 6,377 6,625 7,503 6,908 8,017 8,271 9,452 4,001 3,961 4,900 6,091 6,025 6,608 6,194 6,082 f»,341 6, 366 6,467 7,332 7,477 7,961 8,375 9,525 ,237 ,036 ,384 6,460 6,724 6,490 6,323 5,813 6,722 6,194 6,762 7,095 7,672 8,069 9,056 9,299 ,590 ,236 ,753 5,830 6,959 6,714 6,416 5,9B2 6,623 5,896 6,721 7,532 7,101 8,404 8,217 9,781 4,674 4,035 5,214 5,061 6,769 6,571 5,655 6,540 7,130 6,597 7,001 6,719 7,027 8,023 9,072 9,425 3,566 4,069 5,521 7,279 6,022 6,715 7,302 5,771 6,107 5,868 6,755 7,742 7,426 8,040 8,394 10,499 3,768 4,255 5,315 6,404 6,343 6,838 6,519 5,712 5,766 6,598 6,957 7,962 7,229 8,119 9,638 10,103 3,949 4,261 5,599 6,434 6,663 6,473 6,276 5,959 5,502 6,527 7,584 7,251 7,530 8,046 8,592 9,982 3,918 4,449 5,521 6,399 6,495 6,747 6,136 6,139 6,237 6,490 6,973 7,285 7,892 8,215 9,026 9,982 4,030 4,423 5,515 6,375 6,805 6,764 6,094 6,070 6,303 6,507 7,398 7,358 7,330 8,687 8,762 10,206 3,958 4,639 5,627 6,022 6,842 6,553 6,341 6,217 6,232 6,151 7,451 7,518 7*,659 8,484 9,407 11,182 12,313 11,852 14,152 18,140 19,165 19,793 19,174 18,445 18,826 18,999 19,919 21,985 21,560 23,454 25,139 28,622 13,501 12,307 14,851 17,351 20,452 L9,775 18,394 18,335 20,475 18,687 20,484 21,346 21,800 24,496 26,345 28,505 11,283 12,585 16,435 20,117 19,028 20,026 20,097 17,442 17,375 18,993 21,296 22,955 22,185 24,205 26,624 30,584 11,906 13,511 lg,663 18,796 20,142 20,064 18,571 18,426 18,772 19,148 21,822 22,161 22, 881 23,386 27,195 31,370 49,003 §0,255 62,101 74,404 78,787 79,658 76,236 72,648 75,448 75,827 83,521 88,447 88,426 97,541 105,303 119,081 NOTE: Unless otherwise noted, these scries contain no revisions but are reprinted for the convenience of the user. This series contains revisions beginning with 1977. 104 2,o;>o (MAY 1980) G. Experimental Data and Analyses (Nov.) P Year and quarter Unit labor cost, all persons, nonfarm business sector 1 Implicit price . deflator, gross nonfarm business product 1 (Index: 1967=100) mm tip ITTTTT i j IT ijp| Components of BCD series (Index: 1967=100) 1978 (2) I Q.... II Q . . . Ill Q . . IV Q . . . (Mar.) T 180.2 184.7 187.8 191.4 190.2 r!92.8 195.6 H99.4 195.1 200.3 204.7 208.4 206.0 212.2 217.3 221.8 r213.5 r228.1 Implicit price deflator, business product, Q (index: 1967=100) 1979 I Q.... II Q . . . Ill Q., IV Q . . . 1980 I Q.... II Q . . . Ill Q.. IV Q . . . Inventory-sales ratios in 1972 dollars 3 Year and month Manufacturing (Ratio) Merchant wholesalers (Ratio) Unit labor cost, all business sector, Q (index: 1967=100) Inventory-sales ratios in 1972 dolars (ratio) m Retail trade (Ratio) 1979 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. June 1.76 1.78 1.72 1.86 1.78 1.84 1.33 1.35 1.30 1.33 1.30 1.31 1.39 1.38 1.38 .1.41 1.42 1.45 July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. 1.84 1.86 1.87 1.87 1.91 1.90 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.30 1.29 1.30 1.46 1.42 1.37 1.41 1.40 rl.37 1.87 1.88 pi. 92 (NA) 1.28 1.31 pi. 31 (NA) rl.34 rl.35 pi. 39 (NA) 1980 Jan. . Feb. Mar. Apr. May. June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. III III III Ml III 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 NOTE: The "r" indicates revised; "p", preliminary; and "NA", not available. l Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2 See "New Features and Changes for This Issue," page iii. 3 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 105 G. Experimental Data and Analyses-—Continued Net Contributions of Individual Components to the Leading, Roughly Coincident, and Lagging Composite Indexes Basic data (and Series title unit of measure) LEADING INDICATORS 1. Average workweek, production workers, manufacturing (hours) 3. Layoff rate, manufacturing 1 (per TOO employees) 8. New orders for consumer goods and materials in 1972 dollars (billion dollars) 32. Vendor performance, companies reporting slower deliveries (percent) 12. Net business formation (index: 1967=100) 20. Contracts and orders for plant and equipment in 1972 dollars (billion dollars) . . . . 29. New building permits, private housing units (index: 1967=100) 36. Change in inventories on hand and on order in 1972 dol., smoothed 2 (ann. rate, bil. dol.) . 92. Change in sensitive prices, smoothed 2 (percent) 19. Stock prices, 500 common stocks (index: 1941-43=10) 104. Change in total liquid assets, smoothed 2 (percent) 106. Money supply (M2) in 1972 dollars (billiondollars) 910. Composite index of 12 leading indicators 3 (index: 1967=100) ROUGHLY COINCIDENT INDICATORS 41. Employees on nonagri cultural payrolls (thousands) 51. Personal income less transfers in 1972 dollars (annual rate, billion dollars). . . . 47. Industrial production, total (index: 1967=100) . 57. Manufacturing and trade sales in 1972 dollars (million dollars) 920. Composite index of 4 roughly coincident indicators 3 (index: 1967-100) LAGGING INDICATORS 91. Average duration of unemployment1 (weeks) 70. Manufacturing and trade inventories, total, in 1972 dollars (billion dollars) 62. Labor cost per unit of output, manufacturing (index: 1967=100) 109. Average prime rate charged by banks (percent) 72. Commercial and industrial loans outstanding (million dollars) 95. Ratio, consumer installment debt to personal income (percent) 930. Composite index of 6 lagging indicators 3 (index: 1967=100) Jan. 1980 Mar. 1980 Feb. 1980 40.3 Net contribution to index r40.1 Apr. 1980 39.8 P39.6 1.3 1.3 1.5 p2.'8 r35.64 r35.61 r33.15 P30.33 48 42 45 40 r!35.4 e!35.4 NA NA r!4.81 r!3.53 r!4.53 p!3.76 102.1 r-9.62 r2.43 110.87 92.2 r-11.60 2.72 75.3 p-11.77 r2.31 64.1 NA I.Ob Jan. to Feb. 1980 Feb. to Mar. 1980 Mar. to Apr. 1980 -0.17 -0.27 -0.20 0. -0.22 -1,56 -0.00 -0.40 -0.55 0.12 -0.21 -0.21 0, -0.21 NA 0.18 NA -0.15 -0.30 -0.64 -0.12 -0.01 0.12 -0.19 -0.63 -0.12 -0.56 WA 115.34 104.69 102.97 0.24 -0.64 rO.71 rO.82 eO.71 0.39 0.38 -0.42 p821.5 rp817.6 rpb08.4 p799.2 -0.18 -0.47 -0.53 r!35.9 r!35.4 r!32.6 p!26.3 -0.37 -2.07 -4.75 90,652 r90,845 r90,799 p90,320 0.17 -0.04 -0.54 rl,030.5 rl,024.8 rl, 017.5 pi, 009.1 -0.27 -0.35 -0.53 r!52.6 r!52.3 r!51.3 p!48.5 -0.05 -0.18 -0.66 161,742 r!58,947 p!55,808 NA -0.38 -0.43 r!44.9 r!43.2 p!40.5 -0.69 -1.17 -1.89 -0.12 -0.17 -0.25 0.59 145.9 10.5 10.7 11.0 11.3 NA r257.47 r25b.82 P256.31 NA -0.12 -0.09 r!82.6 r!85.0 r!87.6 P189.3 0,41 0.44 0.42 15.25 15.63 19.77 0.74 5.21 4.26 0.04 18.31 162,201 162,074 pl62,289 0.41 -0.02 14.88 r!4.92 p!4.89 NA 0.14 -0.10 r!78.4 180.7 r!90.2 p!98.5 1.29 5.26 159,215 NA NA 4.36 NOTE: The net contribution of an individual component is that component's share in the composite movement of the group. It is computed by dividing the standardized and weighted change for the component by the sum of the weights for the available components and dividing that result by the index standardization factor. See the March 1979 BUSINESS (pp. 106107) for weights and standardization factors. NA, not available, p, preliminary, r, revised, e, estimated. *This series is inverted in computing the composite index; i.e., a decrease in this series is considered an upward movement. This series is a weighted 4-term moving average (with weights 1,2,2,1) placed at the terminal month of the span. figures in the net contribution columns are percent changes in the index. The percent change is equal (except for rounding differences) to the sum of the individual components1 contributions plus the trend adjustment factor. The treyid adjustment factor for the leading index is 0.099; for the coincident index, -0.164; for the lagging index, -0.170. 2 106 G. Experimental Data and Analyses—Continued Cyclical Comparisons: Current and Selected Historical Patterns TuU|'lllljRTlMlinUllllMiniI|UMMIMII|llMMlllMJMM 8. New orders for consumer goods and materials, 1972 dollars, smoothed1 Deviations from reference peaks Actual data' for current cycle • 35 • 30 MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH REF. FROM ACTUAL AND TROUGH 11/73 DATA YEAR SERIES 8 BIL. DOL 48 6.3 37.93 3/79 49 50 51 52 4.8 2.8 2.0 0.7 37.42 36.68 36.42 35.94 4/79 5/79 6/79 7/79 53 54 55 56 0.2 -0.1 -1.1 -2.8 35.77 35.66 35.29 34.71 8/79 9/79 10/79 11/79 Percent +30 • 32 48 SERIES BIL. DOL. 41.9 37.93 3/79 49 50 51 52 40.0 37.2 36.3 34.5 37.42 36.68 36.42 35.94 4/79 5/79 6/79 7/79 53 54 55 56 33.8 33.4 32.0 29.9 35.77 35.66 35.29 34.71 8/79 9/79 10/79 11/79 +25 48 +20 49 50 51 52 12.6 11.3 5.5 2.9 15.03 14.85 14.07 13.73 4/79 5/79 6/79 7/79 53 54 55 56 3.9 2.2 3.7 7.2 13.86 13.63 13.83 14.30 8/79 9/79 10/79 11/79 57 58 59 60 9.3 9.3 9.1 6.1 14.58 14.58 14.55 14.16 12/79 1/80 2/80 3/80 +15 • 15 +10 +5 0 • 13 -5 • 11 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 Months Irom reference troughs 48 54 20. Contracts and orders for olant and equipment. 1972 dollars, smoothed1 0 full Rsreant +70 3/79 12/75 *13 SERIES 20 * BIL. DOL -15 -30 • 28 MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH AND SPEC. FROM ACTUAL DATA YEAR TROUGH 12/75 -10 -25 •30 • 15 SERIES 20 * BIL. DOL 16.9 15.60 • 17 «ie Actual data for current cycle 57 -2.7 34.72 12/79 58 -1.5 35.15 1/80 59 -2.5 34.80 2/80 60 -7.5 33.03 3/80 MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH SPEC. FROM ACTUAL AND 3/75 TROUGH DATA YEAR 57 29.9 34.72 12/79 58 31.5 35.15 1/80 59 30.2 34.80 2/80 60 23.6 33.03 3/80 MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH REF. AND FROM ACTUAL TROUGH 11/73 DATA YEAR 20, Contracts and orders for plant and equipment 1972 dollars, smoothed1 -20 8. New orders for consumer goods ,and materials, 1972 dollars, smoothedl Deviations from specific troughs 39 40 68.5 62.4 15.60 15.03 3/79 4/79 •41 42 43 44 60.4 52.0 48.3 49.7 14.85 14.07 13.73 13.06 5/79 6/79 7/79 8/79 45 46 47 48 47.2 49.4 54.5 57.5 13.63 13.83 14.30 14.58 9/79 10/79 11/79 12/79 49 50 51 57.5 57.2 53.0 14.58 14.55 14.16 1/80 2/80 3/80 .11 •10 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 4? 54 60 Months from specific troughs NOTE: For an explanation of these charts, see "How to Read Charts" on p. 106 of the December 1979 issue. l This series is an MCD moving average placed on the center month of the span. Specific trough dates used, however, are those for the actual monthly series. "Numeral indicates latest month used in computing the series. 107 G. Experimental Data and Analyses—Continued Cyclical Comparisons: Current and Selected Historical Patterns—Continued rTTTTTTl 73. Industrial production, durable manufactures Deviations from Actual data ref. current a for MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH REF. FROM ACTUAL AND TROUGH DATA YEAR 11/73 cycle SERIES 73 1967=100 ii mi nm mi ii minimi mm ii mm mi mi ii ii ii mi 73. Industrial production, durable manufactures ...... ..-. Q Devi° atlons from specific troughs Actual data for current cycle Percent Percent +20 +16 .150 +12 + 8 9140 +4 0 •130 49 50 51 52 11.4 13.7 13.7 13.4 144.6 147.6 147.6 147.2 4/79 5/79 6/79 7/79 53 54 55 56 11.1 12.4 12.2 11.7 144.2 145.9 145.7 145.0 8/79 9/79 10/79 11/79 57 58 59 60 11.3 11.5 11.1 10.4 144.5 144.7 144.2 143.3 12/79 1/80 2/80 3/80 61 7.4 139.4 4/80 MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH FROM ACTUAL AND SPEC. DATA YEAR TROUGH 3/75 SERIES 73 1967=100 -4 -8 -12 J -20 74. Industrial production, nondurable manufactures Q -i +50 49 50 51 52 38.1 41.0 41.0 40.6 144.6 147.6 147.6 147.2 4/79 5/79 6/79 7/79 53 54 55 56 37.7 39.4 39.2 38.5 144.2 145.9 145.7 145.0 8/79 9/79 10/79 11/79 57 58 59 60 38.0 38.2 37.7 36.9 144. S 144.7 144.2 143.3 12/79 1/80 2/80 3/80 61 33.1 139.4 4/80 MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH REF. FROM ACTUAL AND TROUGH 11/73 DATA YEAR Percent 74, Industrial production, nondurable manufactures SERIES 74 1967=100 + 32 +28 • 170 + 24 Median „ +20 • 105 49 50 51 52 19.7 20.5 20.7 21.5 161.7 162.8 163.0 164.1 53 54 55 56 21.6 21.8 21.4 21.8 164.3 164.6 164.0 164.5 8/79 9/79 1U/79 11/79 57 58 59 60 21.9 22.9 22.4 21.4 164,7 166.1 165.4 164.0 12/79 1/80 2/80 3/80 61 19.8 161.9 4/80 D 4/79 5/79 6/79 7/79 • 165 + 40 • 160 +35 • 160 +16 + 12 • 150 3/75 ^ MONTHS DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT MONTH SPEC. FROM ACTUAL AND TROUGH 3/75 DATA YEAR +8 Percent -1 +45 •HO • 155 + 30 • 150 +25 • 145 + 20 • 140 SERIES 74 1967-1UO 0 -4 • 135 •ISO -8 -12 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 • 120 49 50 51 52 39.3 40.2 40.4 41.3 161.7 162.8 163.0 164.1 53 54 55 56 41.5 41.8 41.3 41.7 164.3 164.6 164.0 164.5 8/79 9/79 10/79 11/79 57 58 59 60 41.9 43.1 42.5 41.3 164.7 166.1 165.4 164.0 12/79 1/80 2/80 3/80 61 39.4 161.9 4/80 54 60 For an explanation of these charts, see "How to Read Charts" on p. 106 of the December 1979 issue. 108 •130 +10 Months from reference troughs NOTE: +15 4/79 5/79 6/79 7/79 • 125 +5 • 120 0 0 { 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 Months from specific troughs • 115 G. Experimental Data and Analyses—Continued Cyclical Comparisons: Current and Selected Historical Patterns-Continued Deviations from reference peaks 80. Corporate profits after taxes with IVA and CCAdj., 1972 dollars Actual data for current cycle QRTRS . DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT QRTR. AND REF. FROM ACTUAL TROUGH IV/73 DATA YEAR 15 16 17 18 19 20 Corporate profits after taxes with IVA and CCAdj, 1972 dollars MU SERIES 80 ANN. RATE BIL. DOI 20 .8 56 .9 '' IV/78 15 .5 54 .4 1/79 13 .4 9.3 -0 .4 -14 .9 53 .4 11/79 51 .5 111/79 46 .9 IV/79 40 .1 1/80 QRTRS . DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT QRTR. AND FROM ACTUAL SPEC. DATA YEAR TROUGH HI/74 • 50 • 40 - -25 16 SERIES 80 ANN. RATE BIL. DOL. 56. 7 HI/78 193. 8 17 18 19 20 194. 181. 176. 166. 21 22 143. 0 107. 8 8 9 7 8 56. 9 IV/78 1/79 54. 4 53. 4 11/79 51. 5 HI/79 46. 9 40. 1 IV/79 1/80 • 30 • 30 -I -50 • 20 • 20 82. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing (FRB) L,C,U| -i 82. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing (FRB) 90 QRTRS . FROM REF. TROUGH • 90 SERIES 82 PERCENT 85 80 CURRENT QRTR. AND ACTUAL DATA YEAR IV/78 1/79 15 16 86.4 86.7 17 18 19 20 85.9 11/79 85.4 HI/79 84.6 IV/79 83.7 1/80 + 15 985 + 10 • 80 +5 75 QRTRS . DEVIFROM ATIONS CURRENT QRTR. SPEC. AND FROM ACTUAL TROUGH DATA YEAR 1/75 SERIES 82 PERCENT 70 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 • 75 • 70 IV/78 1/79 15 16 16 .1 16 .4 86 .4 86 .7 17 18 19 20 15 .6 15 .1 14 .3 13 .4 85 .9 11/79 85 .4 HI/79 B4 .6 IV/79 83 .7 1/80 54 60 Months from reference troughs 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 Months from specific troughs NOTE: For an explanation of these charts, see "How to Read Charts" on p. 106 of the December 1979 issue. 109 ALPHABETICAL INDEX-SERIES FINDING GUIDE Series titles (Soo complete titles in "Titles and Sources at Series," following this index) Current issue (page numbers) Series number Charts Tables Series Historical data descriptions (issue date) (issue date) A Accession rate manufacturing Agricultural products exports Anticipations and intentions Business expenditures, new plant and equipment Business expenditures, new plant and equipment, DI . . Consumer sentiment index Employees, manufacturing and trade, DI Inventories manufacturing and trade DI New ordirs, manufacturing, DI Prices selling manufacturing DI Prices selling retail trade 01 Prices selling wholesale trade 01 Profits, not, manufacturing and trade, DI Sales net manufacturing and trade 01 Automobiles Expenditures personal consumption 1 mports of automobiles and parts 2 604 16 56 61 92 61 970 58 974 975 971 976 978 977 972 973 24 38 22 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 67 76 65 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 55 61S 22 56 65 92 2/80 8/68 12/78 2/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 11/68 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 9/79 10/69* 2/79 2/79 8/78 2/79 .2/79 12/78 B Balance of payments-See International transactions. Bank loans to businesses, net change Bank rates =See Interest rates. Bank reserves Free reserves Member bank borrowing from Federal Reserve Bonds-See Interest rates. Borrowing -See Credit. Budget- -See Government. Building- -See Construction. Business equipment, industrial production . . Business expenditures, new plant and equipment Business expenditures, new plant and equipment, DI — Business formation Business incorporations , . , Business inventories-See Inventories. Business loans-See Bank loans. Business saving 72 112 15,35 32 73 72 6/79 6/79 11/72 11/72 93 94 33 33 72 72 12/78 11/72 8/79 29 76 61 970 14 12 13 13,25 24 24 38 33 12,23 23 67 67 67 76 72 65 65 6/79 1/80 2/79 2/79 2/79 3/80 3/80 295 46 82 11/79 4/69 11/68 11/68* c Canada-SKG International comparisons. Capacity utilization Manufacturing (BRA) Manufacturing (FRB) Materials Capital appropriations, manufacturing Backlog Newly approved , , , Newly approved, DI . Capital in vestment -See Investment, capital. Capital investment commitments, Cl Cash flow, corporate constant dollars Cash flow, corporate, current dollars Civilian labor foree-See also Employment. Employment Employment as percent of population Total Unemployed Coincident indicators, four Composite index . . Composite index, rate of change i , Diffusion index Ratio to lagging indicators, composite index Commercial and industrial buildings, contracts awarded .. Commercial and industrial loans outstanding Commercial and industrial loons outstanding, net change . Compensation Corn pen ration, average hourly, all employees, nonfarm business sector , Compensation, average hourly, oil employees, nonfarm business sector, percent changes Compensation of employees Compensation of employees, percent of national income Compensation, real average hourly, all employees, nonfarm business sector Compensation, real average hourly, all employees, nonfarm business sector, percent changes Earnings, average hourly, production workers, private nonfarm economy Earnings, average hourly, production workers, private nonfarm economy, percent changes Earnings, real average hourly, production workers, private nonfarm economy Earnings, real average hourly, production workers, private nonfarm economy, percent changes . Wags and benefit decisions, first year Wage and benefit decisions, life of contract Wages and salaries, mining, manufacturing, and construction 83 82 84 20 20 20 64 64 64 9/79 9/79 9/79 97 11 965 24 24 37 66 66 75 8/79 8/79 2/79 914 35 34 11 29 29 60 70 70 3/79 9/79 9/79 442 90 441 37 51 18 51 18,51 920 920e 951 940 9 72 112 10 39 36 11 23 15,35 32 345 49 87 345c 280 50 45 87 82 11/79 64 30,47 70,83 9/79 89 62 89 62,89 3/80 2/80 3/80 2/80 60 3/79 7/79 6/79 3/79 8/79 6/79 6/79 74"" 60 66 73 72 346 49 88 346c 50 88 340 49 87 2/80 340c 50 87 2/80 341 49 87 2/80 341c 348 349 50 50 50 87 88 88 11/79 11/79 53 19 63 4/80 2/80 i/72* Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) Charts Composite indexes Coincident indicators 920 Four coinciders 920c Four coinciders rate of change 940 Ratio to lagging indicator index Lagging indicators 930 Six lapgers 930c Six taggers, rate of change Leading indicators 914 Capital investment commitments , 915 Inventory investment and purchasing 913 Marginal employment adjustments 917 Money and financial flows 916 Profitability 910 Twelve leaders 910: Twelvo leaders rats of change Construction Building permits new private housing 29 Contracts awarded, commercial and industrial, bldgs. . . 9 Expenditures, plus machinery and equipment sales — 69 Gross private domestic fixed investment Nonresidential as percent of GNP 248 Nonresidential structures, constant dollars 87 Nonresidential total constant dollars 86 Residential as percent of GNP 249 Residential, total, constant dollars 89 28 Consumer finished goods-See Wholesale prices. 8 Consumer goods and materials, new orders Consumer goods, industrial production 75 Consumer installment debt Debt outstanding 66 Net change 113 95 Ratio to personal income Consumer installment loans, delinquency rate 39 Consumer prices-See also International comparisons. 320 All items index AH items percent changes 320c Food, index 322 322c Food, percent changes 58 Consumption expenditures-See Personal consumption expenditures. Contracts and orders, plant and equipment, constant dot. . 20 Contracts and orders, plant and equipment, current dol. . . 10 Corporate bond yields 116 Corporate profits-See Profits.' Costs-See Labor costs and Price indexes. Credit 112 Bank loans to businesses net change Borrowing total private 110 72 Commercial and industrial loans outstanding Consumer installment debt D@bt outstanding G6 Net change 113 Ratio to personal income !15 Consumer installment loans, delinquency rate 39 Mortgage debt net change 33 Crude materials-See Wholesale prices. 110 Tables Historical Series data descriptions (issue date) (issue date) 3/79 7/79 3/79 11/75* 60 3/79 7/79 11/75* 11 11 11 11 11 10 39 60 60 60 60 60 60 3/79 3/79 3/79 3/79 9/79 3/79 7/79 13,25 23 24 67 66 67 6/79 8/79 4/69 12/79 9/68* 47 25 25 47 25 25 83 67 67 83 67 67 11/79 10/69* 11/79 10/69* 9/79 3/80 6/72* 12,21 22 64 65 12/79 35 32 15,35 33 73 72 73 72 5/79 6/79 8/79 2/79 10/72 10/72 49 49,59 49 49 22 84,95 84,95 84 84 65 5/80 0/80 S/80 5/80 8/78 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 11/68* 12,23 23 34 66 66 73 12/79 12/79 1/79 9/68 7/64 32 32 15,35 72 72 73 6/79 11/72 11/79 7/64 6/79 11/72 35 32 15,35 33 32 73 72 73 72 71 5/79 6/79 8/79 2/79 4/80 10/72 10/72 625 564 548 517 53 55 53 53 90 91 90 90 5/80 1/00 5/80 39 32 33 12,21 72 64 2/79 8/79 11/72 12/74 970 965 951 974 9S3 9S7 38 37 36 38 36 37 2/79 2/79 6/79 2/79 1/80 5/80 11/68* 936 76 75 74 76 74 75 79 37 91)2 9C4 36 38 36 36 37 971 938 976 978 977 360 972 973 961 38 37 38 38 38 37 38 38 36 10 39 11 60 10 39 60*" 5/75* 9/79 9/79 3/80 11/72 11/72 D 1/72 Debt-See Credit. 4/72* Defense Military prime contract awards National defense purchases 4/72* New orders defense products 4/72* Obligations incurred 11/75* Deficit-See Government. Deflators-See Price indexes. Delinquency rate consumer installment loans Deliveries vendor performance Diffusion indexes Business expenditures, new plant and equipment ..... 11/72 Capital appropriations, manufacturing 11/72 Coincident indicators ... Employees manufacturing and trade 10/72* ndustrial materials prices ndustrial materials prices, components 10/72* ndustrial production 10/69 ndustrial production components nitial claims, State unemployment insurance 10/69* Inventories manufacturing and trade Lagging indicators 10/72* Leading indicators New orders durable goods industries 10/72* New orders, durable goods industries, components New orders manufacturing 6/72* Prices 600 common stocks .... Prices selling manufacturing 6/72* Prices, selling, retail trade Prices selling wholesale trade 6/72* Profits manufacturing Profits, nst, manufacturing and trade 6/72* Sales, net, manufacturing and trade 6/72* Workweek mfg production workers 6/72* Workweek, mfg. production workers, components .... Disposable personal income-See Income. 975 9!>2 9!iO NOTE: The following abbreviations are used in this index: Cl, composite index; DI, diffusion index; GPDI, gross private domestic investment; and NIPA, national income and product accounts. *The identification number for this series has been changed since the publication date shown. Current issue (page numbers) Series number 78 74 76 74 74 75 77 76 75 76 76 76 75 76 76 74 77 10/79 10/69* li/68* 4/69* 9/79* 6/78* 2/79 6/79 6/79 1/80 6/69* 11/68* 2/79* ii/ei* 9/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 5/69* 11/68* 11/68* 11/68* 10/79 2/79 2/79 1/80 ii/68* 11/68* ALPHABETICAL INDEX-SERIES FINDING GUIDE-Continued Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) Current issue (page numbers) Series number Charts Tables Historical Series data descriptions (issue date) issue data) E Earnings-See Compensation, Employment and unemployment Accession rate manufacturing Civilian labor force, total Employee hours in nonagricultural establishments Employee hours in nonagricultural establishments rate of change Employees in mining, mfg., and construction Employees, manufacturing and trade, Dl Employees on nonagricultural payrolls Employees on private nonag. payrolls, Dl Employment, ratio to population . Employment total civilian Help-wanted advertising in newspapers Help-wanted advertising, ratio to unemployment .Initial claims State unemployment insurance Initial claims, State unemployment insurance, Dl Layoff rate manufacturing Marginal employment adjustments, Cl Overtime hours, mfg. production workers Participation rate, both sexes, 16-19 years old Participation rate females 20 years and over Participation rate males 20 years and over Part-time workers for economic reasons Persons engaged in nonagricultural activities Quit rate, manufacturing Unemployed both sexes 16-1 9 years old Unemployed, females 20 years and over Unemployed full-time workers Unemployed , males 20 years and over Unemployment, average duration Unemployment rate 15 weeks and over Unemployment rate, insured, average weekly Unemployment rate total Unemployment, total civilian Workweek mfg production workers Workweek, mfg. production workers, components .... Workweek mfg production workers, Dl . ' Equipment-See Investment, capital. Exports-See Foreign trade and International transactions. 2 441 16 51 61 89 2/80 3/80 48 17 61 1/80 48c 40 974 41 963 90 442 46 60 5 962 3 913 21 453 452 451 448 42 4 446 445 447 444 91 44 45 43 37 1 39 17 38 14,17 36 18 51 17 17 16 36 12,16 11 16 51 51 51 51 17 16 51 51 51 51 15,18 18 18 18 18,51 12,16 961 36 62 76 62 74 62 89 61 61 61 74 61 60 6] 89 89 89 89 62 61 89 89 89 89 62 62 62 62 62,89 61 77 74 1/80 2/80 2/79 2/80 1/80 2/80 3/80 7/79 2/80 7/79 6/78 2/80 3/79 2/80 3/80 3/80 3/80 3/80 2/80 2/80 3/80 3/80 3/80 3/80 3/80 2/80 7/79 2/80 2/80 2/80 Gross business product Fixed weighted price index Fixed weighted price index, percent changes Gross domestic product, labor cost per unit Gross national product 8/68 GNP constant dollars 4/72* GNP constant dollars differences GNP constant dollars percent changes 8/68* GNP, current dollars 8/68* GNP current dollars differences GNP current dollars percent changes 11/68* GNP ratio to money supply 8/68 Goods output in constant dollars Implicit price deflator Implicit price deflator percent changes 4/72* Per capita GNP constant dollars 12/74 Gross private domestic invest.-See Investment, capital. 6/69 6/69* 8/68* 12/74 4/72" 4/72" 6/69 4/72 4/72* 8/68 1/80* 34 72 1/79 33 40 11 72 80 60 8/79 10/79 3/79 48 48 84 84 11/79 11/79 57 57 57 56 56 44 44 57 56 57 56 56 44 44 57 56 44 44 47 93 93 93 92 92 82 82 93 92 93 92 92 82 82 93 92 82 82 83 8/79 8/79 8/79 12/78 12/78 11/79 11/79 8/79 12/78 8/79 72/78 12/78 11/79 n/79 8/79 3/80 11/79 11/79 11/79 33 72 12/78 49 20 63 9/79 502 501 500 512 511 510 298 52 52 52 52 52 52 46 90 90 90 90 90 90 83 9/79 9/79 9/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 11/79 263 262 265 564 267 266 268 261 260 43 43 47 55 43 43 47 43 43 81 81 83 91 81 81 83 81 81 11/79 11/79 11/79 10/79 G Goods output in constant dollars Government budget, NIPA Federal expenditures Federal receipts Federal surplus or deficit State and local expenditures State and local receipts State and local surplus or deficit Surplus or deficit total Government purchases of goods and services Federal constant dollars Federal current dollars Federal percent of GNP National defense State and local, constant dollars State and local current dollars State and local percent of GNP Total constant dollars Total current dollars 11/79 11/79 11/79 n/79 11/79 Current issue (page numbers) Series Charts Tables Series Historical descriptions data (issue date) issue date) 11/79 11/79 311 311c 68 48 48 30 84 84 70 9/79 7/68' 50 5Gb 50c 200 200b 200c 107 49 310 31 On 217 19,40 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 8/79 9/79 11/79 11/79 10/79 10/69* 10/69* 10/69* 10/69 10/69 10/69 31 20 48 48 40 63,80 80 80 80 80 80 71 63 84 84 80 46 60 17 17 61 61 7/79 2/80 12/74 21 1 16 12,16 2/80 2/80 12/74 8/68 961 36 61 61 77 74 28 29 89 249 25 13,25 25 47 67 67 67 83 3/80 6/79 9/79 11/79 6/72 4/69 310 310c 48 48 84 84 . 11/79 11/79 10/69* 10/69* 345 49 87 345c 280 64 50 45 30,47 87 82 70,83 346 49 88 346c 95 286 287 225 224 227 50 15,35 45 88 73 82 8/79 11/79 340 39 40 10/69* 10/69* 10/69 H Help-wanted advertising in newspapers Help-wanted advertising ratio to unemployment Hours of production workers, manufacturing Average weekly overtime Average workweek Average workweek components Average workweek Dl Housing Housing starts Housing units authorized by local btdg. permits Residential GPDI, constant dollars Residential GPDI percent of GNP 1/80 io/69* 1 F Federal funds rate 119 Federal Government-See Government. Federal Reserve member bank borrowing from 94 Final sales in constant dollars 213 Financial flows and money Cl 917 Fixed investment-See Investment, capital. 311 Fixed weighted price index NIPA Fixed weighted price index, percent changes, NIPA 311c Food-See Consumer prices. Foreign trade-See also International transactions. Balance on goods and services 667 Balance on merchandise trade 622 Exports, merchandise, adjusted, exc. military 618 Exports merchandise total exc military aid 602 Exports of agricultural products .. 604 Exports of goods and services, constant dol., N 1 PA 256 Exports of goods and services, current dol., NIPA 252 Exports of goods and services exc military 668 Exports of nonelectrical machinery 606 Imports merchandise adjusted exc military 620 Imports, merchandise, total , 612 Imports of automobiles and parts 616 Imports of goods and services, constant dol., NIPA 257 Imports of goods and services, current dol., NIPA 253 Imports of goods and services total 669 Imports of petroleum and products 614 Net exports, goods and services, constant dol., NIPA 255 Net exports, goods and services, current dol., NIPA , . . 250 Net exports, goods and services, percent of GNP, NIPA 251 France-See International comparisons. Free reserves 93 Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) 11/73 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 5/69 5/69* Implicit price deflator GNP Implicit price deflator, GNP, percent changes Imports-See Foreign trade and International transactions. Income Compensation, average hourly, all employees, nonfarm business sector .... Compensation, average hourly, all employees, nonfarm business sector percent changes Compensation of employees Compensation of employees, pet. of nat'l. income — Compensation, real average hourly, ail employees, nonfarm business sector Compensation, real average hourly, all employees, nonfarm business sector percent changes Consumer installment debt, ratio to personal income ,. Corporate profits with IVA and CCA Corp. profits with IVA and CCA, pet. of nat'l. income . Disposable personal income constant dollars Disposable personal income current dollars Disposable personal income, per capita, constant dol. . . Earnings, average hourly, production workers, Earnings, average hourly, production workers, private nonfarm economy, percent changes Earnings, real average hourly, production workers private nonfarm economy Earnings, real average hourly, production workers, private nonfarm economy, percent changes . Income on foreign investment in the U S Income on U S investments abroad Interest net Interest net percent of national income National income 10/72* 11/79 9/79 10/72* 10/69 10/69* 10/72* 10/72* i 11/79 80 80 10/79 10/79 10/79 io/69 10/69* 10/69 10/69 10/69 49 87 2/80 6/72* 340c 50 87 2/80 6/72* 341 49 87 2/80 6/72* 341 c 652 651 288 289 220 52 223 51 51c 108 282 50 57 57 45 47 45 19 40 14, 19 39 31 45 87 93 93 82 83 82 63 63 63 2/80 8/79 8/79 11/79 11/79 10/79 2/80 1/80 2/80 7/79 8/79 11/79 6/72* 5/69* 5/69* 10/69 10/69* 10/69 47 45 47 50 50 19 23 28 83 82 83 88 88 63 65 69 79 75 11/79 11/79 11/79 Personal income current dollars Personal income, less transfers, constant dollars Personal income, less transfers, constant dols. rate of chg. Personal income ratio to money supply 5/69 Proprietors' income with IVA and CCA ....;... Proprietors' income with IVA and CCA, percent 10/69* 283 of national income ... 284 11/72 Rental income of persons with CCA ...... 285 Rental income of persons with CCA, pet. of nat'l. income 348 Wage and benefit decisions first year 349 Wage and benefit decisions life of contract 53 Wages and salaries, mining, mfg., and construction 13 Incorporations new businesses 7/68* 23 Industrial materials prices 7/68* 967 7/68* Industrial materials prices Dl Industrial production - See also International comparisons. 76 Business equipment .... 75 Consumer goods 73 Durable manufactures . ......,,.'..',..,'.,'.......' 10/69 74 Nondurable manufactures . .. 47 11/73 Total 10/69 Total components 966 10/69* Total Dl 47c 10/69* Total rate of change Installment debt-See Credit. 11/73 10/69 Insured unemployment 5 Avg. weekly initial claims, unemploy. insurance 10/69* Avg. weekly initial claims, unemploy. insurance, Dl . . , 962 45 Avg weekly insured unemployment rate io/69 40 40 37 24 22 20 20 14,20,58 37 39 16 36 18 71 '" 82 67 65 63 63 63,94 78 75 61 74 62 7/68* 10/69 11/79 11/79 10/69* 10/69 10/69* 6/72* 6/72* 4/80 3/80 5/80 4/69 5/8o' 4/69* 1/80 12/79 12/79 12/79 12/79 il/68 9/79" 12/79 7/79 6/78 7/79 6/69 6/69* 6/69 NOTE: The following abbreviations are used in this index: Cl, composite index; Dl,-diffusion index; GPDI, gross private domestic investment; and NIPA, national income and product accounts. *The identification number for this series has been changed since the publication date shown. 111 ALPHABETICAL INDEX-SERIES FINDING GUIDE-Continued Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) Interest, not ... Interest, net, percent of national income Interest rates Bank rates on short-term business loans Corporate bond yields . Federal funds rate Mortgago yields secondary nwk@t Municipal bond yields Prime rate charged by banks Treasury bill rate Treasury bond yields Intermediate materials=See Wholesale prices. International comparisons Consumer prices Canada, index . . . Canada, percent changes France, index ... Franee, percent changes Italy, index Italy, percent changes Japan, index Japan percent changes United Kingdom, index United Kingdom, percent changes United States, index United States, percent changes West Germany, index . West Germany, percent changes Industrial production Canada Franco Italy Japan OECD, European countries United Kingdom United States West Germany . . Stock prices Canada , France Italy Japan United Kingdom United States West Germany International transactions-See also Foreign trade. Balance on goods and services Balance on merchandise trade Exports, merchandise, adjusted, exe. military Exports, merchandise, total exe, military aid Exports of agricultural products Exports of goods and services, exe. military Exports of nonelectrical machinery , Imports, merchandise, adjusted, oxe. military Imports, merchandise, total Imports of automobiles and parts 1 mports of goods and services, total Imports of petroleum and products Income on foreign investments in U.S Income on U.S. investments abroad Inventories Business inventories, change, constant dollars Business inventories, change, current dollars . Business inventories, change, percent of GNP Finished goods, manufacturers' Inventories on hand and on order, net change Inventories to sales ratio, mfg. and trade (deflated) . . ; . Inventory investment and purchasing, Cl Manufacturing and trade, constant dollars Manufacturing and trade, current dollars Manufacturing and trade, current dollars, change Manufacturing and trade, Dl Materials and supplies on hand and on order, mfg Materials and supplies on hand and on order, mfg., change Investment, capital Capital appropriations, manufacturing, backlog Capital appropriations, manufacturing, new Capital appropriations, manufacturing, new, Dl Capital investment commitments, Cl Construction contracts, commercial and industrial Construction expenditures, business and machinery and equipment sales Gross private domestic investment Fixed investment, constant dollars , Fixed investment, current dollars Inventories, business, change in-See Inventories. Nonresidential, total constant dollars Nonresidential, total, percent of GNP Producers' durable equip., nonresid,, constant dol. . . Residential, total, constant dollars Residential, total, percent of GNP Structures, nonresidential, constant dollars Total, constant dollars Total, current dollars New orders, capital goods, nondefense, constant dollars New orders, capital goods, non defense, current dollars Current issue (page numbers) Series number Charts Tables Series Historical data descriptions (issue date) (issue date) 288 289 45 47 82 83 11/79 11/79 10/69 10/69* 67 116 119 118 117 109 114 115 35 34 34 34 34 35 34 34 73 73 72 73 73 73 72 73 8/79 1/79 1/79 3/80 1/79 1/79 1/79 1/79 12/74 7/64 11/73 7/64 7/64 11/73 7/64 7/64 Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) Plant and equipment Business expenditures new . Business expenditures, new, Dl Contracts and orders constant dollars Contracts and orders current dollars Investment, foreign Income on foreign investments in U S Income on U S investments abroad Italy-See International comparisons. Charts ... . ...... . . . 112 Tables Historical Series data descriptions (issue date! (issuo date) 61 970 20 10 24 38 12,23 23 67 76 66 66 2/79 2/79 11/68 11/68* 12/79 12/79 9/68* 652 651 57 57 93 93 a/79 8/79 5/69* 5/69* 68 62 63 26 30 15,30 30 29 70 70 70 70 9/79 7/aa 930 930c 952 3 10 39 36 12,16 60 910 10 39 36 33 13,31 60 11 27 60 68 26 . 68 J Japan-See International comparisons. 59*" 96 96 95 95 96 96 95 95 95 95 84,95 84,95 95 95 723 726 727 728 721 722 47 725 58 58 58 58 58 58 14,20,58 58 94 94 94 94 94 94 63,94 94 3/80 2/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 2/79 743 746 747 748 742 19 745 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 96 96 96 96 96 96 96 6/79 6/79 6/79 6/79 6/79 6/79 6/79 667 622 618 602 604 668 606 620 612 616 669 614 652 651 57 57 57 56 56 57 56 57 56 56 57 56 57 57 93 93 93 92 92 93 92 93 92 92 93 92 93 93 8/79 8/79 8/79 30 245 247 65 36 77 915 70 71 31 975 78 26,42 42 47 27 13,26 27 11 15,27 27 26 38 27 68,81 81 83 68 68 68 60 68 68 68 76 68 9/79 38 26 68 733 733c 736 736c 737 737c 738 738c 732 732c 320 320c 735 735c 59*" 59 59 59 59 49 49,59 1/79 1/79 7/79 7/79 1/79 1/79 1/79 1/79 1/79 1/79 5/80 5/80 1/79 1/79 9/72* L 9/72* 10/72* 10/72* 10/72* 10/72* Labor cost per unit of gross domestic product Labor cost per unit of output, manufacturing Labor cost per unit of output, private business sector — Labor cost price per unit of, nonfarm business . J ....... Labor force-See Employment and unemployment. Lagging indicators, six Composite index Composite index, rate of change :..,....'.. Diffusion index Layoff rate manufacturing Leading indicators, twelve Composite index Composite index rate of change Diffusion index Liabilities of business failures Liquid assets change in total Loans-See Credit. 12/79 2/79 12/78 12/78 8/79 12/78 8/79 12/78 12/78 8/79 3/80 8/79 8/79 9/72* 9/72* 9/72* 5/69* 5/69* 9/72* M i6/72* 11/68 10/72* Man-hours-See Employment and unemployment. Marginal employment adjustments, Cl Materials and supplies on hand and on order, mfg Materials and supplies on hand and on order, mfg. change Materials, crude and intermediate-See Wholesale prices. Materials, industrial-See Price indexes. Materials, new orders for consumer goods and Materials rate of capacity utilization " Merchandise trade~See Foreign trade. Military-See Defense. Money and financial flows Cl . . 5/69* Money supply 5/69* Liquid assets change in total Money supply Ml 5/69* Money supply Ml percent changes Money supply M2 ...'.:..'.....'. 5/69* Money supply M2 percent changes 5/69* Ratio GNP to money supply Ml 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* Mortgage debt net change Mortage yields secondary market Municipal bond yields 910c 950 14 104 1)13 78 74 61 74 72 71 12/79 li/79 3/79 7/79 6/79 2/80 3/79 7/79 6/79 2/79 1/80 11/68 10/72 11/75* 8/68* 5/75* 3/79 vao 12/79 3/ao 8 84 12,21 20 64 64 9/79 917 11 60 3/79 104 105 85 106 102 107 108 33 118 117 13,31 31 31 13,31 31 31 31 32 34 34 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 73 73 1/80 3/79 3/79 3/79 3/79 a/79 a/79 4/80 3/80 1/79 23 23 12,21 12,23 23 53 21 21 io/72 16/72' 7/64 7/64 N 11/79 11/79 1/80 4/80 1/80 3/79 12/79 12/79 12/79 2/79 1/80 24 24 37 11 23 66 66 75 60 66 8/79 8/79 2/79 3/79 8/79 69 24 67 12/79 243 242 42 42 81 81 11/79 10/79 86 248 88 89 249 87 241 240 25 47 25 25 47 25 42 42 67 83 67 67 83 67 81 81 9/79 27 23 66 12/79 23 66 2/69* 2/69 11/68* 27 24 8 Contracts and orders, plant and equip., constant dol. . . 20 Contracts and orders, plant and equip., current dol. , . . 10 548 Defense products 7 Durable goods industries constant dollars 6 Durable goods industries current dollars 11/79 9/79 9/79 11/79 9/79 10/79 10/79 12/79 Diffusion index New orders manufacturing Dl Nonresidential fixed investment, GPDI Producers' durable equipment, constant dollars Structures constant dollars Total constant dollars Total percent of GNP 12/79 12/79 964 971 37 38 66 66 64 66 66 90 64 64 77 75 76 88 87 86 248 25 25 25 47 67 67 67 83 11/79 517 721 53 58 90 94 5/80 2/79 49 62 358 370 370c 83 82 84 21 20 15,30 50 50 50 20 20 20 16 63 70 88 88 88 64 64 64 61 9/79 12/79 97 11 965 914 9 24 i6/69 National defense-See Defense. 10/69* National Government-See Government. National income-See Income. 9/68 New orders, manufacturers' Capital goods industries, nondefense, constant dol Capital goods industries nondefense current dol 9/68* 9/68 3/80 12/79 12/79 9/68* 1/80 3/ao 3/80 i/io' 2/79 9/68* ii/68* 9/79 9/79 9/79 10/69* O Obligations incurred Defense Department OECD European countries industrial production Orders-See New orders and Unfilled orders. 10/69* Output-See also Gross national product and Industrial production. Goods output, constant dollars Labor cost per unit of 10/69* Per hour, nonfarm business sector Per hour private business sector 10/69 Per hour, private business sector, percent changes Ratio to capacity, manufacturing (BEA) 9/68 Ratio to capacity materials Overtime hours, production workers, manufacturing — NOTE: The following abbreviations are used in this index: Cl, composite index; Dl, diffusion index; GPDI, gross private domestic investment; and NIPA, national income and product accounts. *Tho identification number for this series has been changed since the publication date shown. Current issue (page numbers) Series number 12/79 ii/68 6/68* 10/72* 10/72* 9/79" 9/79 9/79 2/80 i2/74 ALPHABETICAL INDEX-SERIES FINDING GUIDE-Continued Series titles {See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) Current issue (page numbers) Series number Charts Tables Series Historical descriptions data (issue date) (issue date) P Participation rates, civilian labor force Both sexes, 1 6-1 9 years of age Females 20 years and over Males 20 years and over Personal consumption expenditures Automobiles .... Durable goods constant dollars Durable goods, current dollars Nondurable goods constant dollars Nondurable goods, current dollars Services constant dollars Services, current dollars Total, constant dollars Total current dollars Total, percent of GNP Personal income-See Income. Personal saving Personal saving rate . Petroleum and products imports Plant and equipment-See also Investment, capital. Business expenditures for Business expend it ues for Dl Contracts and orders for constant dollars Contracts and orders for current dollars Price indexes Consumer prices-See also International comparisons. All items index All items percent changes Food index ... Food percent changes Deflators, NIPA.. Fixed weighted, gross business product, index Fixed weighted, gross business product, pet. changes Implicit price deflator GNP index Implicit price deflator GNP percent changes Industrial materials '. Industrial materials components Industrial materials, Dl Labor cost price per unit of . Stock prices-See also International comparisons. 500 common stocks 500 common stocks D 1 Wholesale prices All commodities index All commodities, percent change Consumer finished goods index Consumer finished goods, percent changes Crude materials index Crude materials percent changes Intermediate materials, percent changes . ' he r 9i ro u cer F mis . i-t' H °° *' pe £en, c a ^es 453 452 451 51 51 51 89 89 89 3/80 3/80 3/80 55 233 232 238 236 239 237 231 230 235 22 41 41 41 41 41 41 41 41 47 65 80 80 81 81 81 81 80 80 83 9/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 10/79 292 293 614 46 46 56 82 83 92 61 970 20 10 90 24 38 12,23 23 18 67 76 66 66 62 320 320c 322 322c 49 49,59 84,95 84,95 49 49 84 84 311 23 48 48 48 48 28 967 26 92 37 29 13,28 84 84 84 84 69 79 75 70 69 4/80 19 968 13,28 37 69 75 9/79 9/79 330 330c 334 334c 331 331 c 332 332c 333 333c 26 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 29 85 85 86 86 85 85 86 86 86 86 70 4/79 4/79 5/80 5/80 4/79 4/79 4/79 4/79 5/79 5/79 976 978 977 525 109 38 38 38 53 35 76 76 76 90 73 2/79 2/79 2/79 5/80 1/79 88 25 67 9/79 358 370 370c 916 50 50 50 11 88 88 88 60 311c 310 310c 11/79 11/79 Producer finished goods-See Wholesale prices. Producers' durable equipment nonresid GPDI Production -See Industrial production and GNP. Productivity Output per hour, nonfarrn business sector ,. . Output per hour private business sector Output per hour, private business sector, pet. changes . Profitability Cl . ... Profits Corporate, after taxes, constant dollars 18 16 10/69 S 10/69 Salaries-See Compensation. Sales Final sales, constant dollars Machinery and equipment sales and business construction expenditures Manufacturing and trade sales, constant dollars Manufacturing and trade sales, current dollars Manufacturing and trade sales Dl Ratio, inventories to sales, mfg. and trade Retail sales, constant dollars Retail sales current dollars Saving Business saving Government surplus or deficit Gross saving, private and government Personal saving Personal saving rate Selling prices-See Prices, selling. Sensitive prices, change in State and local government-See Government. Stock prices-See also International comparisons. 500 common stocks 500 common stocks, Dl Stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order . . . Stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order, change Surplus-See Government. 10/69 10/69 10/69 10/69* 10/69 7/68* 11/68 11/68* 12/79 12/79 9/68' 2/80 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 5/69* 11/79 11/79 11/79 11/79 io/69* 10/69* 5/80 4/69 5/8o" 11/79 4/69* 11/79 69 69 9/79 9/79 28 28 45 47 38 37 29 11 29 69 69 82 83 76 75 70 60 69 9/79 9/79 Ratio, profits with IVA and CCA to corporate domestic income Proprietors' income with IVA and CCA Proprietors' income with IVA and CCA, pet. of nat'l. inc. . 81 282 283 29 45 47 70 82 83 9/79 11/79 11/79 2/79 10/79 1/78 9/79 9/79 11/79 11/79 Q 4 16 61 2/80 284 45 82 n/79 285 47 83 11/79 R Rental income of persons with CCA Rental income of persons, with CCA, percent of national income Tables 93 89 249 33 25 47 72 67 83 9/79 11/79 10/69* 59 54 22 22 65 65 12/79 12/79 6/72* 213 40 80 10/79 69 57 56 973 77 59 54 24 14,22 22 38 27 22 22 67 65 65 76 68 65 65 12/79 9/68* 1/80 1/80 2/79 1/80 2/69' 11/68* 295 298 290 292 293 46 46 46 46 46 82 83 82 82 83 11/79 11/79 11/79 92 13,28 69 4/80 T9 968 78 13,28 37 27 69 75 68 9/79 9/79 1/80 38 26 68 12/79 114 115 34 34 72 73 1/79 1/79 7/64 7/64 91 60 5 962 3 15,18 17 16 36 12,16 62 61 61 74 61 3/80 2/80 7/79 6/78 2/80 6/69* 6/69* 8/68* 446 445 447 444 37 4 51 51 51 51 18,51 16 89 89 89 89 61 3/80 3/80 3/80 3/80 2/80 2/80 44 45 43 18 18 18 62 62 62 2/80 7/79 2/80 4/72 6/69 4/72 96 25 21 21 64 64 3/80 12/79 9/68 9/68 107 108 32 31 31 12,21 71 71 64 8/79 8/79 8/79 i2/74 330 330c 334 334c 331 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 13,28 12,16 85 85 86 86 85 85 86 86 86 86 69 61 4/79 4/79 5/80 5/80 4/79 4/79 4/79 4/79 5/79 5/79 4/80 2/80 36 77 74 12/78 11/72 12/79 12/79 6/72 11/79 11/79 io/69 10/69 10/69 7/68* 5/69 5/69* 5/69 5/69* U 6/69* Unemployment Duration of unemployment, average Help-wanted advertising to unemployment, ratio Initial claims, avg. weekly, unemploy. insurance Initial claims, avg. weekly, unemploy. insurance, Dl . . . Layoff rate, manufacturing Number unemployed, civilian labor force Both sexes, 16-19 years of age Females 20 years and over Full-time workers Males 20 years and over .. Total unemployed 11/68* Quit rate, manufacturing 11/68* Unemployment rates 11/68* 1 5 weeks and over Insured, average weekly 11/73 Total Unfilled orders, manufacturers' Durable goods industries Durable goods industries, change in United Kingdom-See international comparisons. 6/68* 10/72* 10/72* 62,89 4/72* V 1/72 7/68 Corporate, after taxes, with IVA and CCA, 80 Corporate, after taxes, with IVA and CCA, cur. dol. . . . 79 286 Corporate with IVA and CCA Corporate, with IVA and CCA, pet. of nat'l. income . . . 287 972 Manufacturing and trade Dl 960 Manufacturing Dl 15 Per dollar of sales manufacturing .... 916 Profitability Cl 22 Charts Historical Series data descriptions (issue date) issue date) T Treasury bill rate Treasury bond yields 9/79 28 28 Current issue (page numbers) Series 10/69* 2/79 2/79 Prices, selling Retail trade Dl Wholesale trade Dl Prime contracts military Reserves free Residential fixed investment, constant dollars, GPDI Residential fixed investment, percent of GNP Residential structures-See Housing. Retail sales constant dollars Retail sales, current dollars 3/80 5/80 5/80 5/80 5/80 Series titles (See complete titles in "Titles and Sources of Series," following this index) 10/69 10/69* 11/68* Velocity of money GNP to money supply Ml, ratio Personal income to money supply M2, ratio Vendor performance W Wages and salaries-See Compensation. West Germany-See International comparisons. 3/69 Wholesale prices AH commodities index . 7/68 All commodities percent changes Consumer finished goods, index Consumer finished goods, percent changes 10/69 Crude materials index 10/69* Crude materials, percent changes Intermediate materials index Intermediate materials percent changes Producer finished goods, index Producer finished goods, percent changes Workweek of production workers, manufacturing Workweek of production workers, manufacturing, components 10/69* Workweek of production workers, manufacturing, Dl 331c 332 332c 333 333c 92 1 10/69 961 • 6/69* 8/68' i/eo' NOTE: The following abbreviations are used in this index: Cl, composite index; Dl, diffusion index; GPDI, gross private domestic investment; and NIPA, national income and product accounts. *The identification number for this series has been changed since the publication date shown. 113 TITLES AND SOURCES OF SERIES Series are listed below according to the sections of this report in which they appear. Series numbers are for identification only and do not reflect relationships or order among the series. "M" following a series title indicates monthly data; "Q" indicates quarterly data. Data apply to the whole period except when indicated by "EOM" (end of month) or "EOQ" (end of quarter). To save space, the commonly used sources listed below are referred to by number: Source 1—U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Source 2—U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census; Source 3—U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Source 4—Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Bureau of Economic Analysis and National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (23,66) 10. Contracts and orders for plant and equipment in current dollars (M).-Source 2 and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of the Census and Bureau of Economic Analysis (23,66) 11. Newly approved capital appropriations, 1,000 manufacturing corporations (Q).-The Conference Board (24,66) 12. Index of net business formation (M),-Source 1; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis and National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. (12,23,65) Following the source for each series is an indication of the pages on which that series appears. The "Series Finding Guide" also lists chart and table page numbers for each series. 13. Number of new business incorporations (M).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc.; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis and National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. (23,65) t-A. Composite Indexes 14. Current liabilities of business failures (M).-Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (33,72) 910. Composite index of twelve leading indicators (includes series 1, 3, 8, 12, 19r 20, 29, 32, 36, 92, 104, 106) 913. Composite index of marginal employment adjustments (includes series 1, 2, 3, 5) (M).-Source 1 (11,60) 15. Profits (after taxes) per dollar of manufacturing corporations (Q).—Federal mission and Securities and Exchange seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Analysis 914. Composite index of capital investment commitments (includes series 12, 20, 29) (M).-Source 1 (11,60) 16. Corporate profits after taxes in current dollars (Q).— Source 1 (28,69) 915. Composite index of inventory investment and purchasing (includes series 8, 32, 36, 92) (M).-Source 1 (11,60) 916. Composite index of profitability (includes series 19, 26, 18. Corporate profits after taxes in 1972 dollars (Q).Source 1 (28,69) (M).-Source 1 (10,39,60) sales, all Trade ComCommission; Economic (29,70) 33. Net change in mortgage debt held by financial institutions and life insurance companies (M).American Council of Life Insurance; Federal National Mortgage Association; U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Government National Mortgage Association; National Association of Mutual Savings Banks; U.S. Savings and Loan League; and source 4; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (32,71) 34. Net cash flow, corporate, in current dollars (Q).— Source 1 (29,70) 35. Net cash flow, corporate, in 1972 dollars (Q),—Source 1 (29,70) 36. Net change in inventories on hand and on order in 1972 dollars (smoothed) (M).-Sources 1,2, and 3(13,26,68) 37. Number of persons unemployed, labor force survey (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (18,51,62,89) 38. Change in stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order, manufacturing (M).-Source 2 (26,68) 39. Percent of consumer installment loans delinquent 30 days and over ( E O M ) . — A m e r i c a n Bankers Association (33,72) 40. Number of employees in nonagricultural goodsproducing industries-mining, manufacturing, and construction (M).-Source 3 (17,62) 41. Number of employees on nonagricultural payrolls, establishment survey (M).-Source 3 (14,17,62) 42. Number of persons engaged in nonagricultural activities, labor force survey (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (17,62) 43. Unemployment rate, total (M).-Sources 2 and 3(18,62) 19. Index of stock prices, 500 common stocks (M).— Standard & Poor's Corporation (13,28,59,69,96) 44. Unemployment irate, persons unemployed 15 weeks and over(M).-Sources2 and 3 (18,62) 917. Composite index of money and financial flows (includes series 104, 106, 110) (M).-Source 1 (11,60) 20. Contracts and orders for plant and equipment in 1972 dollars (M).-Sources 1, 2, 3, and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company (12,23,66) 45. Average weekly insured unemployment rate, State programs (M).—U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (18,62) 920. Composite index of four roughly coincident indicators (includes series 41, 47, 51, 57) (M).-Source 1 (10,39,60) 21. Average weekly overtime hours of production workers, manufacturing (M).—Source 3 (16,61) 46. Index of help-wanted advertising in newspapers (M).— The Conference Board (17,61) 930. Composite index of six lagging indicators (includes series 62, 70, 72, 91, 95, 109) (M).-Source 1 (10,39,60) 22. Ratio of profits (after taxes) to total corporate domestic income (Q).-Source 1 (29,69) 80) (M).-Source 1 (11,60) 940. Ratio, coincident composite index (series 920) to lagging composite index (series 930) (M).—Source 1 (11,60) 1-B. Cyclical Indicators 1. Average workweek of production workers, manufacturing (M).-Source 3 (12,16,61,77) 2. Accession rate, manufacturing (M).—Source 3 (16,61) 23. Index of industrial materials prices (M).—Source 3 ((28,69,79) 24. Value of manufacturer's new orders, capital goods industries, nondefense, in current dollars (M). Source 2 (23,66) 25. Change in manufacturers' unfilled orders, durable goods industries (M).-Source 2 (21,64) 47. Index of industrial production, total (M). -Source 4 (14,20,39,58,63,78,94) 48. Employee-hours in nonagricultural (M).-Source 3 establishments (17,39,61) 49. Value of goods output in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (20,63) 50. Gross national product in 1972 dollars (Q).—Source 1 (19,39,40,63,80) 51. Personal income, less transfer payments, in 1972 dollars (M).-Source 1 (14,19,39,63) 26. Ratio, implicit price deflator to unit labor cost, nonfarm business sector (Q).—Sources 1 and 3 (29,70) 52. Personal income, total, in 1972 dollars (M). -Source 27. Value of manufacturers' new orders, capital goods industries, nondefense, in 1972 dollars (M).—Sources 1, 2, and 3 (23,66) 53. Wage and salary income in mining, manufacturing, and construction in 1972 dollars (M).-Sources 1 and 3 (19,63) 28. New private housing units started, total (M).—Source 2 (25,67) 54. Sales of retail stores in current dollars (M).—Source 29. Index of new private housing units authorized by local building permits (M).-Source 2 (13,25,67) 55. Personal consumption expenditures, automobiles (Q). Source 1 (22,65) 7. Value of manufacturers' new orders, durable goods industries, in 1972 dollars (M).-Sources 1, 2, and 3 (21,64) 30. Gross private domestic investment, change in business inventories, all industries, in 1972 dollars (Q).—Source 1 (26,42,68,81) 56. Manufacturing and trade sales in current dollars (M). Sources 1 and 2 (22,65) 8. Value of manufacturers' new orders for consumer goods and materials in 1972 dollars (M).—Sources 1, 2, and 3 (12,21,64) 31. Change in book value of manufacturing and trade inventories, total (M).-Sources 1 and 2 (26,68) 9. Construction contracts awarded for commercial and industrial buildings, floor space (M).^ McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company; seasonal adjustment by 32. Vendor performance, percent of companies reporting slower deliveries (M).—Purchasing Management Association of Chicago (12,21,64) 3. Layoff rate, manufacturing (M).—Source 3 (12,16,61) 4. Quit rate, manufacturing (M).—Source 3 5. Average weekly initial claims for insurance, State programs (M).-U.S. Labor, Employment and Training seasonal adjustment by Bureau Analysis (16,61) unemployment Department of Administration; of Economic (16,61) 6. Value of manufacturers' new orders, durable goods industries, in current dollars (M).—Source 2(21,64,77) 114 1 2 (19,63) (22,65) 57. Manufacturing and trade sales in 1972 dollars (M), Sources 1, 2, and 3 (14,22,65) 58. Index of consumer sentiment (Q,M).—University of Michigan, Survey Research Center (22,65) 59. Sales of retail stores in 1972 dollars (M).-Sources 1 2, and 3 (22,65) TITLES AND SOURCES OF SERIES- Continued (34,72) 60. Ratio, help-wanted advertising in newspapers (series 46) to number of persons unemployed (series 37} (M).—Sources 1, 2, 3, and The Conference Board (17,61) 84. Rate of capacity utilization, materials (Q).—Source 4 (20,64) 119. Federal funds rate (M).—Source 4 85. Change in money supply Ml-B (M).-Source 4(31,71) 1-C. Diffusion Indexes 61. Business expenditures for new plant and equipment, total (Q).-Source 1 (24,67) 86. Gross private domestic fixed investment, total nonresidential, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1(25,67) 950. Diffusion index of twelve leading indicator components (M).-Source 1 (36,74) 62. Index of labor cost per unit of output, total manufacturing-ratio, index of compensation of employees in manufacturing (sum of wages, salaries, and supplements to wages and salaries) to index of industrial production, manufacturing (M).-Sources 1 and 4 (15,30,70) 87. Gross private domestic fixed investment, nonresidential structures, in 1972 dollars (Q)-Source 1 (25,67) 951. Diffusion index of four roughly coincident indicator components (M).-Source 1 (36,74) 88. Gross private domestic fixed investment, nonresidential producers' durable equipment, in 1972 dollars (Q).— Source 1 (25,67) 952. Diffusion index of six lagging indicator components (M).-Source 1 (36,74) 63. Index of unit labor cost, private business sector (Q).— Source 3 (30,70) 89. Gross private domestic fixed investment, total residential, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (25,67) 64. Compensation of employees as a percent of national income (Q).-Source 1 (30,47,70,83) 90. Ratio, civilian employment to total population of working age (M)-Sources 1, 2, and 3 (18,62) 65. Manufacturers' inventories of finished goods, book value, all manufacturing industries (EOM).—Source 2 (27,68) 91. Average (mean) duration of unemployment in weeks (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (15,18,62) 66. Consumer installment debt (EOM).-Source 4; FR6 seasonally adjusted net change added to seasonally adjusted figure for previous month to obtain current figure (35,73) 92. Change in sensitive prices (PPI of crude materials Jess agricultural products) (smoothed) (M).-Sources 1 and 3 (13,28,69) 93. Free reserves (member banks excess reserves minus borrowings) (M).-Source 4 (33,72) 67. Bank rates on short-term business loans (Q).—Source 4 (35,73) 94. Member bank borrowings from the Federal Reserve (M).-Source 4 (33,72) 68. Labor cost (current dollars) per unit of gross domestic product (1972 dollars), nonfinancial corporations—ratio of current-dollar compensation of employees to real gross corporate product (Q).-Source 1 (30,70) 95. Ratio, consumer installment debt to personal income (EOM).-Sources 1 and 4 (15,35,73) 69. Manufacturers' machinery and equipment sales and business construction expenditures (industrial and commercial construction put in place) (M).—Source 2 (24,67) 70. Manufacturing and trade inventories in 1972 dollars (EOM).-Sources 1, 2, and 3 (15,27,68) 71. Manufacturing and trade inventories, total book value, in current dollars (EOM).-Sources 1 and 2 (27,68) 72. Commercial and industrial loans outstanding, weekly reporting large commercial banks (M).—Source 4; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysts (15,35,73) 73. Index of industrial production, durable manufactures (M).-Source 4 (20,63) 74. Index of industrial production, manufactures (M).-Source 4 nondurable (20,63) 75. Index of industrial production, consumer goods (M).— Source 4 (22,65) 76. Index of industrial production, business equipment (M).-Source 4 (24,67) 77. Ratio, constant-dollar inventories (series 70) to sales (series 57), manufacturing and trade, total (EOM).— Sources 1, 2, and 3 (27,68) 78. Stocks of materials and supplies on hand and on order, manufacturing (EOM).-Source 2 (27,68) 79. Corporate profits after taxes with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (28,69) 80. Corporate profits after taxes with inventory valuation and capita) consumption adjustments in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (28,69) 81. Ratio of profits (after taxes) with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments to total corporate domestic income (Q)-Source 1 (29,70) 82. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing (Q).—Source 4 (20,64) 83. Rate of capacity utilization, manufacturing (EOQ).— Source 1 (20,64) 96. Manufacturers' unfilled orders, durable goods industries (EOM).-Source 2 (21,64) 97. Backlog of capital appropriations, 1,000 manufacturing corporations (EOQ).-The Conference Board (24,66) 102. Change in money supply M2 (M).-Source 4 (31,71) 104. Change in total liquid assets (smoothed) (M).—Sources land 4 (13,31,71) 960. Diffusion index of net profits, manufacturing-about 700 companies (Q).-Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (35,75) 961. Diffusion index of average workweek of production workers, manufacturing—20 industries (M).—Sources 1 and 3 (36,74,77) 962. Diffusion index of initial claims for unemployment insurance, State programs—51 areas (M).—Source 1 and U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (36,74) 963. Diffusion index of number of employees on private nonagricultural payrolls—172 industries (M).-Source 3 (36,74) 964. Diffusion index of value of manufacturers' new orders, durable goods industries—35 industries (M).—Sources 1 and 2 (37,75,77) 965. Diffusion index of newly approved capital appropriations, deflated—17 manufacturing industries (Q).-The Conference Board (37,75) 966. Diffusion index of industrial production—24 industries (M).-Sources 1 and 4 (37,75,78) 967. Diffusion index of industrial materials prices—13 industrial materials (M).—Sources 1 and 3 (37,75,79) 105. Money supply Ml-B in 1972 dollars (M)-Sources 1, 3, and 4 (31,71) 968. Diffusion index of stock prices, 500 common stocks— 53-82 industries (M).-Standard & Poor's Corporation (37,75) 106. Money supply M2 in 1972 dollars (M).-Sources 1, 3, and 4 (13,31,71) 970. Diffusion index of business expenditures for new plant and equipment, total—18 industries (Q).—Source 1 (38,76) 107. Ratio, gross national product to money supply Ml-B (Q).-Sources 1 and 4 (31,71) 108. Ratio, personal income to money supply M2 (M).— Sources 1 and 4 (31,71) 109. Average prime rate charged by banks (M).—Source 4 (35,73) 110. Total funds raised by private nonfinancial borrowers in credit markets (Q).-Source 4 (32,72) 112. Net change in bank loans to businesses (M).—Source 4; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (32,72) 113. Net change in consumer installment debt (M).—Source 4 (32,72) 114. Discount rate on new issues of 91-day Treasury bills (M).-Source 4 (34,72) 115. Yield on long-term Treasury bonds (M).—U.S. Department of the Treasury (34,73) 116. Yield on new issues of high-grade corporate bonds (M).—Citibank and U.S. Department of the Treasury (34,73) 117. Yield on municipal bonds, 20-bond average (M).—The Bond Buyer (34,73) 118. Secondary market yields on FHA mortgages (M).-U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Federal Housing Administration (34,73) 971. Diffusion index of new orders, manufacturing—about 700 businessmen reporting (Q).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 972. Diffusion index of net profits, manufacturing and trade—about 1400 businessmen reporting (Q).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 973. Diffusion index of net sales, manufacturing and tradeabout 1400 businessmen reporting (Q).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 974. Diffusion index of number of employees, manufacturing and trade—about 1400 businessmen reporting (Q).— Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 975. Diffusion index of level of inventories, manufacturing and trade—about 1400 businessmen reporting (Q).— Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 976. Diffusion index of selling prices, manufacturing—about 700 businessmen reporting (Q).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 115 TITLES AND SOURCES OF SERIES- Continued 977. Diffusion index of selling prices, wholesale trade—about 450 businessmen reporting (Q).-Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 978. Diffusion index of selling prices, retail trade—about 250 businessmen reporting (Q).—Dun & Bradstreet, Inc. (Used by permission. This series may not be reproduced without written permission from the source.) (38,76) 292. Personal saving (Q).-Source 1 248. Gross private domestic fixed investment, nonresidential, as a percent of gross national product (Q).—Source 1 (47,83) 295. Business saving—undistributed corporate profits plus capital consumption allowances with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (Q).—Source 1 (46,82) 249. Gross private domestic fixed investment, residential, as a percent of gross national product (Q).—Source 1 (47,83) 250. Net exports of goods and services in current dollars; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (44,82) II-A. National Income and Product 30. Gross private domestic investment, change in business inventories, all industries, in 1972 dollars (Q).—Source 1 (26, 42, 68, 81) 50. Gross national product in 1972 dollars (Q).—Source 1 (19,39,40,63,80) 64. Compensation of employees as a percent of national income (Q).-Source 1 (30,47,70,83) 200. Gross national product in current dollars (Q).—Source 1 (40,80) 213. Final sales (series 50 minus series 30) in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 247. Gross private domestic investment, change in business inventories, all industries, as a percent of gross national product (Q).-Source 1 (47,83) (40,80) 217. Per capita gross national product in 1972 dollars (Q).— Sources 1 and 2 (40,80) 220. National income in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (45,82) 223. Personal income in current dollars (M).—Source 1 (40,63) 224. Disposable personal income in current dollars (Q).Source 1 (40,80) 225. Disposable personal income in 1972 dollars (Q).— Source 1 (40,80) 227. Per capita disposable personal income in 1972 dollars (Q).-Sources 1 and 2 (40,80) 230. Personal consumption expenditures, total, in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,80) 231. Personal consumption expenditures, total, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,80) 232. Personal consumption expenditures, durable goods, in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,80) 233. Personal consumption expenditures, durable goods, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,80) 235. Personal consumption expenditures, total, as a percent of gross national product (Q).—Source 1 (47,83) 236. Personal consumption expenditures, nondurable goods, in current dollars (Q).—Source 1 (41,81) 251. Net exports of goods and services as a percent of gross national product (Q).-Source 1 (47,83) 252. Exports of goods and services in current dollars; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (44,82) 253. Imports of goods and services in current dollars; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (44,82) 255. Net exports of goods and services in 1972 dollars; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (44,82) 256. Exports of goods and services in 1972 dollars; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (44,82) 257. Imports of goods and services in 1972 dollars; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (44,82) 260. Government purchases of goods and services, total, in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (43,81) 261. Government purchases of goods and services, total, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (43,81) 262. Federal Government purchases of goods and services in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (43,81) 263. Federal Government purchases of goods and services in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (43,81) 265. Federal Government purchases of goods and services as a percent of gross national product (Q).—Source 1 (47,83) 266. State and local government purchases of goods and services in current dollars (Q).—Source 1 (43,81) 267. State and local government purchases of goods and services in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (43,81) 282. Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (Q).—Source 1 (45,82) 239. Personal consumption expenditures, services, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,81) 285. Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment as a percent of national income (Q).— Source 1 (47,83) 245. Gross private domestic investment, change in business inventories, all industries, in current dollars (Q).— Source 1 (42,81) 116 311. Fixed-weighted price index, gross business product (Q).-Source 1 (48,84) 320. Index of consumer prices, all items (M).—Source 3 (49,59,84,95) 322. Index of consumer prices, food (M).-Source 3(49,84) 330. Index of producer prices, all commodities (M).—Source 3 (48,85) 331. Index of producer prices, crude materials for further processing (M).-Source 3 (48,85) 332. Index of producer prices, intermediate materials, supplies, and components (M).- Source 3 (48,86) 333. Index of producer prices, capital equipment (M).— Source 3 (48,86) 334. Index of producer prices, finished consumer goods (M).-Source 3 (48,86) 335. Index of producer prices, industrial commodities (M). Source 3 (48,85) 340. Index of average hourly earnings of production workers, private nonfarm economy—adjusted for overtime (in (manufacturing cnly), interindustry employment shifts, and seasonality (M).-Source 3 (49,87) 341. Index of real average hourly earnings of production workers, private nonfarm economy—adjusted for overtime (in manufacturing only), interindustry employment shifts, and seasonally (M), -Source 3 (49,87) 345. Index of average hourly compensation, all employees, rionfarm business sector (Q).-Source 3 (49,87) 348. Negotiated wage and benefit decisions, all industriesfirst year average (mean) changes (Q).—Source 3 (50,88) (45,82) 284. Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment (Q).-Source 1 (45,82) 243. Gross private domestic fixed investment, total, in 1972 : dollars (Q).-Source 1 (42,81) 310. Implicit price deflator, gross national product (Q),Source 1 (48,84) 280. Compensation of employees (Q).-Source 1 238. Personal consumption expenditures, nondurable goods, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,81) 242. Gross private domestic fixed investment, total, in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (42,81) II-B. Prices, Wages, and Productivity 346. Index of real average hourly compensation, all employees, nonfarm business sector (Q). -Source 283. Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments as a percent of national income (Q).-Source 1 (47,83) 241. Gross private domestic investment, total, in 1972 dollars (Q).-Source 1 *< (42,81) 298. Government surplus or deficit, total (Q).-Source 1 (46,83) 268. State and local government purchases of goods and services as a percent of gross national product (Q),— Source 1 (47,83) 237. Personal consumption expenditures, services, in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (41,81) 240. Gross private domestic investment, total, in current dollars (Q).-Source 1 (42,81) (46,82) 293. Personal saving rate—personal saving as a percent of disposable personal income (Q),-Source 1 (46,83) 286. Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments (Q).-Source 1 (47,82) 287. Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments as a percent of national income (Q).-Source 1 (47,83) 3 (49,88) 349. Negotiated wage and benefit decisions, all industriesaverage (mean) changes over life of contract (Q). Source 3 (50,88) 358. Index of output per hour, all persons, nonfarm business sector (Q).-Source 3 (49,88) 370. Index of output per hour, all persons, private business sector (Q).-Source 3 (49,88) II-C. Labor Force, Employment, and Unemployment 37. Number of persons unemployed, labor force survey (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (18,51,62,89) (45,82) 441. Total civilian labor force, labor force survey (M).— Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 289. Net interest as a percent of national income (Q).— Source 1 (47,83) 442. Total civilian employment, labor force survey (M). Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 290. Gross saving—private saving plus government surplus or deficit (Q).-Source 1 (46,82) 444. Number unemployed, males 20 years and over, labor foirce survey (M).J-Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 288. Net interest (Q).-Source 1 TITLES AND SOURCES OF SERIES- Continued 445. Number unemployed, females 20 years and over, labor force survey (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 565. National defense purchases as a percent of gross national product (Q).-Source 1 (55,91) 47. United States, index of industrial production, total 446. Number unemployed, both sexes 16-19 years of age, labor force survey (M) -Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 570. Employment in defense products industries (M).— Source 3; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (55,91) 320. United States, index of consumer prices, all items (M).-Source 3 (48,59,84,95) 447. Number unemployed, full-time workers, labor force survey (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 448. Number employed, part-time workers for economic reasons, labor force survey (M).—Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 451. Civilian labor force participation rate, males 20 years and over (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 577. Defense Department personnel, military, active duty (EOM).-U.S. Department of Defense, OSD, Comptroller, Washington Headquarters Services (55,91) 578. Defense Department personnel, civilian, direct hire employment (EOM).-U.S. Department of Defense, OSD, Comptroller, Washington Headquarters Services(55,91) 453. Civilian labor force participation rate, both sexes 16-19 years of age (M).-Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 580. Defense Department net outlays, military functions and military assistance (M).—U.S. Department of Defense, OSD, Comptroller, Directorate for Program and Financial Control; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (54,91) II-D. Government Activities 588. Value of manufacturers' shipments, defense products (M).-Source 2 (54,91) 500. Federal Government surplus or deficit; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (52,90) il-E. U.S. International Transactions 501. Federal Government receipts; national income and product accounts (Q).-Source 1 (52,90) 602. Exports, excluding military aid shipments, total (M).Source 2 (56,92) 502. Federal Government expenditures; national income and product accounts (Q).-Source 1 (52,90) 604. Exports of agricultural products (M).—Source 2; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (56,92) 452. Civilian labor force participation rate, females 20 years and over (M).—Sources 2 and 3 (51,89) 510. State and local government surplus or deficit; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (52,90) 511. State and local government receipts; national income and product accounts (Q).-Source 1 (52,90) 512. State and local government expenditures; national income and product accounts (Q).—Source 1 (52,90) 517. Defense Department gross obligations incurred (M).U.S. Department of Defense, OSD, Comptroller, Directorate for Program and Financial Control; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (53,90) 525. Defense Department military prime contract awards for work performed in the United States (M).-U.S, Department of Defense, OSD, Comptroller, Washington Headquarters Services; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (53,90) 543. Defense Department gross unpaid obligations outstanding (EOM).-U.S. Department of Defense, OSD, Comptroller, Directorate for Program and Financial Control; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (53,90) 548. Value of manufacturers' new orders, defense products (M).- Source 2 (53,90) 557. Output of defense and space equipment (M).— Source (56,92) 614. Imports of petroleum and petroleum products (M).— Source 2; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (56,92) 616. Imports of automobiles and parts (M).—Source 2; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (56,92) 618. Merchandise exports, adjusted, excluding military grants (Q).-Source 1 (57,93) 620. Merchandise imports, adjusted, excluding military 725. West Germany, index of industrial production (M).— Deutsche Bundesbank (Frankfurt) (58,94) 726. France, index of industrial production (M).—Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (Paris) (58,94) 728. Japan, index of industrial production (M).—Ministry of International Trade and Industry (Tokyo) (58,94) 732. United Kingdom, index of consumer prices (M).— Ministry of Labour (London); percent changes seasonally adjusted by Bureau of Economic Analysis (59,95) 733. Canada, index of consumer prices (M).-Statistics Canada (Ottawa); percent changes seasonally adjusted by Bureau of Economic Analysis (59,96) 735. West Germany, index of consumer prices (M),— Statistisches Bundesamt (Wiesbaden); percent changes seasonally adjusted by Bureau of Economic Analysis (59,95) 736. France, index of consumer prices (M).—Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (Paris); percent changes seasonally adjusted by Bureau of Economic Analysis (59,95) 737. Italy, index of consumer prices (M).—Institute Centrale di Statistica (Rome); percent changes seasonally adjusted by Bureau of Economic Analysis (59,96) 742. United Kingdom, index of stock prices (M).—The Financial Times (London) (59,96) 652. Income on foreign investments in the United States (Q).-Source 1 (57,93) 743. Canada, index of stock prices (M).-Statistics Canada (Ottawa) (59,96) 667. Balance on goods and services (Q)-Source 1(57,93) 745. West Germany, index of stock prices (M).—Statistisches Bundesamt (Wiesbaden) (59,96) 669. Imports of goods and services, total (Q).—Source 1 (57,93) 723. Canada, index of industrial production (M).—Statistics Canada (Ottawa) (58,94) 651. Income on U.S. investments abroad (Q).—Source 1 (57,93) (54,91) 564. Federal Government purchases of goods and services for national defense (Q).-Source 1 (55,91) 722. United Kingdom, index of industrial production (M).— Central Statistical Office (London) (58,94) 622. Balance on merchandise trade (Q).-Source 1 (57,93) (57,93) 559. Value of manufacturers' inventories, defense products (EOM).-Source 2 (54,91) 561. Value of manufacturers' unfilled orders, defense products (EOM).-Source 2 (54,91) 721. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, European countries, index of industrial production (M).—Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (Paris) (58,94) 738. Japan, index of consumer prices (M),—Office of the Prime Minister (Tokyo); percent changes seasonally adjusted by Bureau of Economic Analysis (59,95) (Q).-Source 1 668. Exports of goods and services, excluding transfers under U.S. military grants (Q).-Source 1 (57,93) 4 (14,20,39,58,63,78,94) 727. Italy, index of industrial production (M).-lnstituto Centrale di Statistica (Rome) (58,94) 606. Exports of nonelectrical machinery (M).—Source 2; seasonal adjustment by Bureau of Economic Analysis (56,92) 612. General imports, total (M).-Source 2 (M).-Source 4 II-F. International Comparisons 19. United States, index of stock prices, 500 common stocks (M).-Standard & Poor's Corporation (13,28,59,69,96) 746. France, index of stock prices (M).—Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (Paris) (59,96) 747. Italy, index of stock prices (M).—Institute Centrale di Statistica (Rome) (59,96) 748. Japan, index of stock prices (M).—Tokyo Stock Exchange (Tokyo) (59,96) Superintendent of Documents U.S. Government Printing Office Washington, D.C. 20402 OFFICIAL BUSINESS Penalty for Private Use $300 FIRST-CLASS MAIL POSTAGE & FEES PAID USDC WASHINGTON, D.C. PERMIT No. G-56