Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : June 15, 1956
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.ll* June 15, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of publicly offered securities was substantial during the week ending June 8. Corporations sold large issues totaling $105 million and State and local government offerings amount3d to $77 million. Thisveek, ending May 15, an $18 million preferred stock issue and $91 million of State and local issues are scheduled for sale. Bond yields - Changes in yields on outstanding bonds were mixed last week. Yields on U, S. Government (new series) and State and local government bonds declined, while yields on Aaa-rated corporate and U. S. Government (old series) bonds were stable and Baa corporate yields increased slightly. Stock market credit -Customer credit in the stock market, excluding U. S. Government securities, increased slightly during Hay, rising $U million to total $l*,0i*7 million at the end of the month. An $18 million decline in bank loans to "others" largely offset a $22 million increase in customers' net debit balances. The decline in bank loans to "others" was the first decline of any size since August 1955- Borrowing by member .firms of the NYSE maintaining margin accounts, except on U. S.. Government securities, increased $1*1 million while customers' net free credit balances declined $26 million. These and other data on stock market credit.are shown in the table below. End of month May April Change (Millions of dollars) Customer credit •Excluding U. S. Govt, securities - Total l*,0l*3 „ Net debit balances 2,788 Bank loans to "others" 1,255 Net debit balances secured by U.S. Govt, securities 33 Bank loans to others for purchasing or carrying U. S. Govt, securities l*o Broker and dealer credit Money borrowed except on U. S. Govt, securities On customer collateral Money borrowed on U. S. Govt, securities Customers1 net free credit balances 2,145 1,79k 1*1* 896 U,0l*7 2,810 1,237 38 +a +22 -18 +5 1*0 0 2,186 1,81*0 . b2 870 +1*1 +1*6 -2 -26 H.Ik - 2 - Stock prices - Common stock prices, as measured by the SEC index of 265 common stocks, declined 3.1 points during the week ending June 8, closing at 269.8. Daily indexes(indicate a substantial recovery in stock prices through Thursday of this week, although they are still well below the early May highs. State and Local Government Security Offerings in the First Quarter 1956 Purpose of issue State and'local governments sold $1.5 billion of bonds during the first three months of 1956, as shown in the table on the following page, a record first quarter volume and 8 per cent greater than last year. Nearly all issues sold were for the purpose of raising new capital. As in most other recent years, the volume of refunding issues was small. School construction was the most important purpose of financing during the first quarter this year, amounting to $i;01 million. School financing was about one-tenth smaller than in the first three months of 1955> however. Issues to obtain funds for highway, bridge and tunnel construction were the second largest in volume, totaling $280 million, nearly 60 per cent more than last year. This unusually large volume of highway financing in the first quarter is largely attributable to the sale of a $100 million Connecticut Expressway issue in February which had originally been scheduled for offering in late 1955f but had been postponed because of the market conditions prevailing in December of last year. The third most important purpose of financing was sewer and water which r totaled $26U million, two-thirds greater than in 1955. The volume 1 of bonds sold to provide for residential building by local governments was $111 million, about one-third smaller than a year earlier. Type of issuer -r Municipalities were the most important type of issuer during the first three months of 1956, selling bonds totaling %hkh million. This volume.was one-third greater than in 1955. Issues of State governments totaled $270 million, one-fourth smaller than last year. Offerings of special authorities were $253 million, one-half larger than last year, while county and township and school district issues were in about the same volume as in 1955. Type of issue General obligations were the most important type of issue during the first quarter of 1956. The volume amounted to $1,067 million, slightly less than in the corresponding period last year. The volume of revenue bond financing was unusually large for a first quarter, over one-half more than last year. Revenue bonds accounted for 30 per cent of total volume, a larger proportion than in any first quarter since 1952. - 3 - Hill* Long-Term Security Issues of State and Local Governments First Quarter (In millions of dollars) 1956 Issuing authority: State County and township Municipality School district Special authority Unidentified 1/ Total Purpose of issue: New capital total Schools Highways, bridges, tunnels Residential buildings Hospitals and institutions Sewer and water Misc. public service enterprises Recreation Port and. airport Veterans aid Industrial buildings Other . Unidentified 1/ Refunding Total Type of issue: General obligation Revenue General revenue 2/ Total 1955 195k 270 3hh 9U . 109 1*1*1* 333 270 29k 253 167 186 162 1952 217 126 1*12 232 258 139 253 65 315 225 23? 97 101* 57 213 111* 368 182 1,038 1,517 1,1*09 1,381* 1,188 3-A9Q 1,385 1,372 MIA 1*01 280 111 22 261* 80 10 17 -0 1 119 186 kh9 176 175 30 159 77 13 1 82 0 65 159 1*05 11*5 182 15 186 70 9 25 67 0 133 137 319 11*1* 137 25 190 75 11* .1 111 1 61 97 216 76 11*7 13 90 52 3/ 5 0 2 32 182 27- 21* 11 12 223 1,517 1,1*09 1,381* 1,188 1,038 1,067 1*50 0 1,122 1,028 287 . 356 0 0 991 197 0 726 312 0 1,517 1,1*09 1,188 1,038 1,381* 1/ Issues of less than $500,000 not further classified. 2/ Total of issues with proceeds of $5 million or over. 3/ Under $500,000. Note.—Details may not add to totals because of rounding. Source.—Bond Buyer and Federal Reserve. 1953 815 - It- II. lit Corporate Security Offerings in the First Quarter 1956 Met proceeds for new capital Corporations sold $2.2 billion of security issues to obtain new capital during the first quarter of 1956, a volume slightly smaller than in the corresponding period last year but larger than in other recent years. . Manufacturing companies were; the most important group of issuers, offering securities with proceeds of $626 million. This volume was one-sixth smaller than that of the first quarter of 1955. Sharpest decline was in offerings by the motor vehicles and equipment industry.. It should be noted that the volume in the first quarter of last year included the General Motors common stock issue of $329 million; there was ho single issue of this magnitude sold by any manufacturing company this year. Paper, textile and apparel, and primary nonferrous metal manufacturers sold a markedly greater volume of securities during the first three months of this year than in the corresponding period of 1955, but the volume for other industrial groups was about the same this year as last. Financial and real estate companies offered the second largest volume of securities in the first quarter, $589 million. Consumer finance companies accounted for the bulk of the.total, as last year, although common stock offerings of banks were sizable in both periods. Offerings of electric, gas and water utilities were slightly smaller in volume this year than last, despite the increased spending for plant and equipment anticipated for 1956. There were also moderate declines in the volume of offerings by mining and commercial and other corporations. On the other hand, offerings of communication companies totaled $1&2 million, nearly three times last year's volume, as the result of three fairly large issues by telephone companies. Total gross proceeds Gross proceeds from corporate offerings, which include refunding and costs of flotation, were $2.2 billion, during the first three months of 1956, one-eighth smaller than last year, as shown in Table 2. The greater part of the decline was in refunding issues, which were only about $100 million this year as compared to over $300 million in 1955. : 5 - H.lU Table 1 Corporate Security Offerings for New Capital by Type of Business of Issuer First Quarter (Net proceeds in millions of dollars) 1956 1955 1954 1953 . 1952 2,073 2,165 1,608 1,912 1,979 626 73 68 67 66 61 50 48 iiO 24 15 Ilk 752 22 . 1 65 66 9 325 47 10 36 36 .133 Electric, gas and water utilities 446 Communication 142 Railroad 85 53 85 89 Other transportation 51 39 59 68 Commercial and other 81 123 Mining ' 52 78 83 96 ) ) 29 ) Financial and real estate Consumer finance companies Banks Other 589 456 94 39 580 . m 80 62 All corporate offerings Manufacturing . Paper Textiles and apparel Petroleum Machinery Primary nonferrous metals Motor vehicles and equipment Chemicals Rubber Foods Primary iron and steel Other 1/ % 6l| 9 96 33 20 5 14 14 15 15 27 12 101 158 15 0 176 30 24 25 62 32 49 168 166 8 196 28 57 86 188 487 857 66.9 670 52 61 51 10 ' 148 ~BT. 14 53 299 2E. 30 25 . 58 110 80 47 Iff 9 20 1/ Includes small volume of foreign issues not further classified in the manufacturing group. In 1952, it also includes a #103 million issue by a tobacco company. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. Source.—Securities and Exchange Commission and Federal Reserve. H.Ik - 6 Table 2 Total Corporate Security Offerings by Type of Issue First Quarter (Gross proceeds in"millions of dollars) Type of issue .1956 1955 1954 19531 1952 2*226 .2,530 1,730 2,039 2,066 1,204 , 1,022 1,739 791 1,073 656 1,139 899 1,268 798 1,682 683 1,000 1,662 894 768 1,318 689 629 1,524 649 875 1,551 756 795 Preferred stock 189 111 115 159 152 Common stock 355 758 296 356 363 Total corporate offerings Type c-f offering Public Private Type of security Bonds and notes Public Private . Source. —Securities and Exchange Commission. Nearly one-half of corporate offerings were private placements , a considerably higher percentage than in most recent first quarters. The volume of private placements was larger than in any other first quarter. Debt financing was slightly larger in volume this year than last, and preferred stock financing also increased. Despite the higher level of stock prices, offerings of common stocks were less than one-half of last year's volume; equity financing accounted for only one-fourth of total security issues this year as compared to one-third in 1955. The 1955 volume includes the large General Motors stock issue noted above, however, which resulted in a considerably higher ratio of equity to debt flotations than in other recent first quarters, when the ratio was about the...same as this year. The volume of financing through convertible bonds and convertible preferred stock increased, amounting to about &150 million during the first three months of 1956. This was one-half greater than in the corresponding period of 1955. More detailed information concerning recent market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics. H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS CORPORATE \ \ U. S. GOVERNMENT | long-term STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A o o 1953 u. s. Govt., long-term 2/ Corporate Aaa 1/ Old series New series Spread between State and U. S. Govt, local govt. (old series) and Aaa J / Corporate1State and Aaa 1local Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.12 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3-30 3.07 May 11 May 18 May 25 3.27 3.27 3.27 3.27 3.27 June 8 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (V23) (12/23) (1/7) (5A) (3/2) 3.15 (6/6) 2.78 (12/26) 2.7k (1/9) 2.hh (8/7) n.a. 2.9k (8/5) 3.03 (8/5) 2.62 (1/7) 2.89 (6/10) 3.08 (li/20) 3.13 (U/20) 2.80 (2/17) 2.92 (2/3) 2.98 2.9h 2.8 9 2.87 2.87 3.05 3.03 3.00 2.99 2.98 2.73 1.98 ,2.21 1.90 2.3U 2.05 2.51 2.17 2.I18 2.B 2 .hh 2.U2 2.38 (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (5/3) (2/23) .38 .19 .L3 .32 .31 .13 • liO .13 .29 .33 .38 .h0 .ho ,8h .30 .61 .29 .70 •5U .68 .U5 .50 .50 .hS .15 • U9 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes fully taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or first callable after 12 years through September 1955> and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to first call of the bonds included declined from Hi years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series is comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 l / h per cent bond of 1978-83. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term Ts 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. . EXHIBIT B LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Weekly Per cent per annum STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. Boa I /V ! Moody1. i -I / V i ^ r STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE u_LkjJ. KM~ Corporate Baa 1/ Date < 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.74 3.1* 3.63 3.45 3.75 3.58 May 11 May lb May 25 June 1 June 8 3.72 3.73 3.73 3.74 3.75 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/14) (6/8) (3/9) State and local govt. Baa y State and local govt, rev. y (Per cent) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 3.44 3.20 3.U0 3.37 3.33 3.31 3.28 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/2?) (1/6) (5/3) . (3/8) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.12 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (4/27) (2/24) 3.06 3.04 3.04 3.03 3.02 age of daily figures. Average term of bona? — included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. J/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and A; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET Date Stock price index 1/ Common 1 Stock market customer credit Trading Customers1 stock volume 2/ (millions yields % / I Total debit bal- loans to ances 4/ "others" 5/ of shares) (per cent)1 (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1954 - High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low April May May 25 167.1 144.0 221.4 156.5 270.7 217.4 290.8 257.4 (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (1/14) (4/6) (1/20) 286.8 280.1 268.0 272.9 269.8 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.4 4.6 1.5 3.1 2.0 5.75 5.15 5.33 4.20 4.22 3.78 4.08 3.68 2,445 ' 2,055 3,436 2,405 4,030 3,537 4,043 3,991 1,665 1,314 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,788 2,740 780 664 1,048 746 1,241 1,018 1,267 1,237 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.0 3.69 3.97 n.a. n.a. n.a. 4,043 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 2,788 1,255 1,237 1,240 1,237 n.a. n.a.~Not available. 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939-100; converted to 19u7-49-100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. %/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 3J Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting b&nks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) New capital 1956 Corporate I .' 1955 | 1954 1956 State and local 1 1955 1 1954 396 579 70U 790 235 U07 1,223 547 426 635 404 696 2/ 375 535 312 5# e/890 e/lflC0 e/875 478 886 687 497 656 842 e/350 a/500 e/700 427 350 . 641 748 853 July August September 597 644 670 909 335 747 . 470 249 406 279 261 649 October November December 1,162 ^ 632 900 1,003 290 60i| 919 658 408 : 594 423 877 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 8,821 l,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,490 January February March April May June 1st quarter " 9 nd quarter 4prd quarter 4th quarter Year 2,073 e/2,865 1 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter Uth quarter Year : 1,385 1,418 1,124 1,984 5,911 1,372 2,334 1,188 1,894 6,789 Excluding finance companies 2/ 1,617 e/2,6'6'5 1,727 1,870 1,43k 2,554 7,569 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 e/ Estimated. ' 1/ Includes $637.2 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 2j Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and personal finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. H.ll* Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Corporate Month State and local government Other 152 1*03 278 65 23k 7161*01 227 192 W* 163 157 233 25 50 U83 175 101 1*05 328 805 221 263 95 212 278 395 623 1955 - May June July August September October November December 1956 - January February March April . May — — 50 " Large Individual Issues Offered June 1 through 8 Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount rate or Offering (millions Maturity net inter- yield Rating of dollars) est cost CORPORATE Commonwealth Edison U. S. Plywood Household Finance 1st mtg. bds. 1*0.0 Deb. 15.0 Deb. 50.0 1986 1981 1978 3 1/2 1* 1/1* 1* 3.50 L25 1*.00 Aaa Baa STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT 6.0 1956-96 Rev, Wash. Toll Bridge Auth. G.O. Cincinnati, Ohio 8.5 1957-96 New York, N. Y. G.O. 30.0 1957-71 G.O. Denver, Colorado 5.3 1967-95 22.0 1958-75 Chicago, Illinois G.O. l*.o 1959-78 Elec. rev. Tallahassee, Florida Util. tax rev. 1.5 . 1958-82 Tallahassee, Florida OTHER None n.a. 2.35 2.80 2.50 2.61 3.13 3.07 y 1.70-2.50 2.00-2.80 2.10-2.55 2.10-2.65 2.60-3.15 2.25-3.10 Aaa A Aa A Baa A H.lU E-2 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of &1J> million and overj State and local government security offerings of $>5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government arid International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by facilities revenues; L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. h/ No reoffering. H.Ik Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings, for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent to During month following date shown date shown State and Other 2/ Corporate State and Other 2j Corporate local govt. local govt. Date of computation 160 6? b07 222 805 202 215 70 175 123 380 568 198 1955 - May 31 June 30 • July 29 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 • Mar. 30 Apr. 30. May 31 339 3bh 100 18U ' 81*3 330 205 121 327 220 132 173 . 332 __ —— — *• 50 850 830 •1,135 920 909 112 230 85 376 233 1,013 818 168 1,861 1,8)45 2,018 .1,971 ^ 2,205 1,650 . 756 618 917 785 811 832 9hl — — — 50 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of June i Type Issuer . Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Conv. sub. deb. Common stk. Common stk. Combustion Engineering /'Halliburton Oil Well Cementing Co. National Gypsum Boston Edison ^Pacific Gas and Electric American Telephone and Telegraph err Financial Pacific Finance 15.0 25.9 19.6 Pfd. stk. Common stk. 18.0 36.6 Deb. Deb, Deb. 250.0 75.0. 25.0 June 19 June 20 June 25 (rights expire) June July 2 (rights expire) July 10 1956 1956 • STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Pennsylvania General State Auth. Georgia Rural Roads Authority State of California Hudson County, New Jersey ^-Alexandria, Louisiana Washington. Suburban Sanitary District, Maryland j Rev. - Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. 20.0 15.5 50.0 5.1 8.3 G.O. 8.5 June June June June June 12 12 13 llj. 19 June 21 H.lU F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings,, as of June 8 (Cont'd) w Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) •M-Power Authority of the State of New York Long Beach, California Public Housing Authorities Grant County Public Utility District, Washington Florida State Turnpike Authority Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington State Toll Bridge Auth. Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. Rev. G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. • Rev. Rev. Rev. 7.3 5.9 93.3 June 21 June 21 June 27 163.0 165.0 65.0 62.0 227.0 70.0 June Summer 1956 1956 1956 1956 20.0 June 27 OTHER * British Columbia Power Commission SF deb. ' *—Included in table for first time. n.a.—Not available. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and ^local"government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues.