Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : May 10, 1956
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Not f o r Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.1U May 10, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS / The volume of large publicly o f f e r e d s e c u r i t i e s was; moderate during the week ending May U. Corporate issues t o t a l i n g £60 million and $6U million of State and l o c a l government i s s u e s were sold. This week, ending May 8, $21 million of large State and local, issues and $1*6 million of corporate s e c u r i t i e s are scheduled f o r s a l e . In addition subscription r i g h t s expire on two convertible debenture issues with aggregate proceeds of $77 mi l l i o n . Bond y i e l d s - Pressure on bond p r i c e s appears to have moderated somewhat l a s t week, and y i e l d s on outstanding corporate and general obligation State and l o c a l bonds were unchanged from previous week's l e v e l . Yields on U. S. Government and State and l o c a l revenue bonds declined. For t h e Aaa corporate y i e l d s , t h i s was the f i r s t week since March 9 t h a t they have not increased; during t h i s period y i e l d s have r i s e n 23 basis p o i n t s . Yields on Aaa-rated State and l o c a l bonds have also increased p r a c t i c a l l y without i n t e r r u p t i o n since l a t e February; the increase in these y i e l d s has been 3h basis points. Pressure on new o f f e r i n g yields also seems to have moderated somewhat, although no c l e a r pattern has emerged from t h i s week's f l o t a t i o n s . Two e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y mortgage bond issues were r e o f f e r e d on Wednesday, May 9; one, rated Aa, was priced to y i e l d 3*55 per cent while the other, rated A, was priced to y i e l d 3*80 per cent. Reception of both issues was reported to be slow. The Aa r e o f f e r e d y i e l d was 22 b a s i s points below the y i e l d on the l a s t previous i s s u e of April 25, while the A-rated issue was o f f e r e d a t 13 basis jpoints above the l a t e s t e a r l i e r o f f e r i n g of April 11. Stock prices - Common stock p r i c e s , as measured by the SEC index of 265 stocks, increased 3*2 points t o end the week of May h a t 290.0. Daily indexes indicate some decline on balance through Wednesday of t h i s week. More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent market developments i s presented in the attached e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE A a a \ U. S. GOVERNMfcNf STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a a L, i, i I •' i i \xJ 1.50 U. 5. Govt., long-term Corporate Aaa 1/ Old series Spread between 0. S. Govt. State and (old series) and New series local govt. Corporate Istate and Aaa 3/ Aaa [local Aaa (Per cent) 3.U2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3-30 3.07 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (U/23) (12/23) (1/7) (5/U) (3/2) 3.16 3.21 3-27 3-30 3-30 3.15 2.78 2.7U 2.UU 2.9h 2.62 3.08 2.80 (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/5) 3.03(8/5) (1/7) 2.89. . (6/10) . . (h/20) 3-13 (U/20) (2/17) 2.92 (2/3) 2.21 1.90 2.3k 2.05 2.51 2.17 3.03 3-06 3.08 3.07 2.99 3.07 3-09 3-13 3.H 3.08 2.13 2.51 2.51 (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (5/3) (2/23) .8U .38 .19 •U3 :£ .13 .31 .13 1 .U8 :S .13 • 15 .19 .23 • 31 .29 ;§ I ] / Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 . 2/ Weekly averages of daily figures. The old series includes f u l l y taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or f i r s t callable after 12 years through September 1955, and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to f i r s t call of the bonds included declined from Hi years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new series i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 l/U per cent bond of 1978-83. 3/ Thursday figures. (My general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series^and may be on different dates for differentFRASER series. Digitized for LOWER - GRADE BOND YIELDS Corporate Baa 1/ Date State and local govt. Baa £ / State and local govt, rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 1951 - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3.B 3.63 3.L5 3.72 3.58 April April April April May k 3.6k 3.67 3.70 3.72 3.72 6 13 20 27 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/lii) (5/U) (3/9) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 3.W 3.20 3-33 3.35 3.U0 3.U; 3-Wi (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (5/3) (3/8) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.12 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (U/27) (2/2U) 3.01 3.06 3.10 3.12 3.10 Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual series and maybe on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . STOCK MAKKET Stock price Common Trading volume 2/ stock (millions yields 3/ of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer credit Customers' Bank debit baJ,- loans to "others" 5 / (tflllions of dollars) 1953 - High 167.1 HUi.O 221.1* 156.5 270.7 217.U (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (l/lit) 1956 - High Low 257.1* (1/20) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* l*.6. 1.5 3-1 2.0 March April April 20 April 27 Hay U 283.2 286.8 281*. 6 286.2 290.0 2.7 2.6 • 2.3 2-5 2.6 195U - High 1955 - High 290.8 (l*/6) 5.75 5.15 5-33 a. 20 u.22 3- 78 I4.O8 3.68 2,1*5 2,055 3,k36 2,L05 . U,030 3,537 U,ol*o 3,991 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,786 2,71*0 780 661* 1,01*8 7U6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,21*9 3.68 3.69 1,038 2,786 1,252 1,255 1,260 1,255 n.a.—Not available. ' — — — — — — — — — — 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939-100; converted to 19H7-U9-100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor i s 123.91. 2 / Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. ~$f Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. %J End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry-margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. $J Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D H.lU Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y Offerings and Placements (In m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1956 January February March April May June 1951* 1956 S t a t e and l c c a l 1 1955 I 195U 1*87 708 e/875 51*6 1*36 1,261 5U7 1*26 632 1*01* 696 e/375 535 312 538 396 1*11 565 e/800 e/1,0# U9U 903 697 1*97 656 81*2 e/350 E/375 1*27 350 61*1 731* 71*8 853 90? 335 71*7 1*70 21*9 1*06 279 261 61*9 1,003 290 601* 919 658 1*08 591* 1*23 877 July August September #3 6% 680 October November December 1,207-2/ 631 921 ^ l s t quarter W2nd quarter 3rd q u a r t e r l*th quarter : Year New c a p i t a l Corporate 1 1955 1 e/2,070 2,21*3 2,091* 1,917 2,760 9,011* . ' 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,1*90 e/l,l*75 " - 1,385 ^ 1,1*18 1,121* 1,981* 5,911 1,372 2,331* 1,188 1,891* 6,#? Excluding finance companies 2/ 1 s t quarter 2nd quarter 3rd q u a r t e r l*th quarter Year e/1,670 1,791 1,912 1,1*1*1 2 / # 7,762 1,527 1,927 1,911 .1,792 7,158 e / Estimated. T / Includes $637*2 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . If Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and personal f i n a n c e companies. Note.—Details may not' add to t o t a l s due to rounding. I Exhibit E Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other t h a n U. S . Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large I s s u e s O f f e r e d ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) S t a t e and l o c a l government Corporate Month 1955 - A p r i l • MayJune July • August September October .November December . 1956 - JanuaryFebruary March April 173 1*8 3 ' 175 .101 . h0$ 326 60S .221 ' 263 95 . 212 278 #5 Other 2 / 238 1# U03 278 65 2 3b 15 r/kOl r/227 • ™ 192 r/hkh ~ 163 157 25 SO ,716 50 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d May 1 through U Issuer Type 3 / Coupon Amount Offering (millions Maturity r a t e or yield of net" i n t e r est cost dollars) Rating CORPORATE Duke Power Kaiser Aluminum & Chem. 1st & r e f . mtg. b d s . 30.0 Conv. p r e f . s t k . 30,0 1986 . 3 5/8 3.50 Aaa STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Allegheny Co. S a n i t a r y A u t h . , Pa. Baltimore, Maryland La Mesa, Lemon Grove & Spring Valley I r r i g a t i o n D i s t . , Cal. Los Angeles, C a l i f . Dept. of Water & Pwr. Chesapeake Bay F e r i y D i s t . Commission, Va. OTHER DigitizedNone for FRASER Rev. G.O. 25.0 25.0 1961-96 1958-82 3.35 2.81 2.75-3.35 2.10-2.80 Aa G.O. 5-2 1966-96 3.90 3.30-3.85 Baa Rev. 9.0 1957-86 2.9U 2.10-2.95 Aa Rev. 20.0 1986 n. a. n.a. — — H.lU E-2 r / Revised. 1/ Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n mid over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Recons t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s . 3 / In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general o b l i g a t i o n s a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L . L . , limited l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s secured by pledge of designated revenues. H.lU Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public S e c u r i t y Offerings f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation 1955 - Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 . Aug, 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 -'Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - Jar.. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 30- During month following d a t e shown Corporate 125 160 67 1*07 222 805 202 215 70 176 123 380 568 116 3kh 100 18U 813 330 205 121 327 220 132 173 50 Subsequent to date shown S t a t e and Other 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt, 'i,ua 850 830 1,135 920 90 9 h!2 230 85 376 233 1,013 818 1,917 1,861 1,81*5 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 618 • 917 . 785 811 832 50 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as. of May U Amount ( m i l l i o n s Approximate date of d o l l a r s ) ( of o f f e r i n g . CORPORATE General Telephone C a l i f o r n i a Oregon Power General American Transportation Niagara Mohawk Power General E l e c t r i c Northern I l l i n o i s Gas Consolidated Edison Southern C a l i f o r n i a Gas #Lockheed A i r c r a f t -"-Pacific Finance American Telephone and Telegraph Conv. deb. 53.0 1 s t mtg. bds. Conv. deb. 16.0 23.8 G e n ' l . mtg." bds. 30.0 Deb. 300.0 1 s t mtg. bds. 15.0 1 s t &ref. mtg. bds. 30.0 1 s t mtg. bds. liO.O Deb. 30.0 Deb. 25.0 Deb. 250.0 May 7 ( r i g h t s expire) May 9 May 9 ( r i g h t s expire) May 9 May 15 May 16 May 23 May 23 May 23 May June H.lU F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of May U (Cont'd) Issuer Amount ( m i l l i o n s Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) ' Type STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT •• Great F a l l s , Montana Pasadena, C a l i f . Tulsa, Oklahoma S a l t River P r o j e c t , Arizona Toledo, Ohio Dade Co., F l o r i d a , Special Tax School D i s t . No. 1 Orleans P a r i s h , La. •fcOmaha, Nebraska e s t a t e of Minnesota Cleveland, Ohio Georgia Rural Roads Authority ^•Denver, Colorado ^Tallahassee, Florida S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a Florida S t a t e Turnpike Auth. - Oklahoma Turnpike Authority ^ Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington S t a t e Toll Bridge Auth. Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . G.O. G.O. Rev. n.a. Rev. 5.0 11.0 5.0 11.0 5-0 G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. RevRev. Rev. • Rev. Rev. 15.0 5.0 20.0 10,0 16.2 . 15.5 5-3 6.0 50.0 185.0 6^.0 62.0 227.0 70.0 . May May May May May 7 8 8 15 16 May 16 May 16 May 21 May 22 May 22 May June 6 June 7 June 13 Summer 1956 1956 1956 1956 OTHER None #—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / Includes c o r p o r a t e and other i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and local~"government i s s u e s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2J Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . I I