Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : April 19, 1956
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.1U April 19, 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of l a r g e p u b l i c l y sold s e c u r i t y i s s u e s was moderate l a s t week. One l a r g e corporate i s s u e with proceeds of $U0 m i l l i o n and S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s t o t a l i n g $50 m i l l i o n were sold during t h e week ending A p r i l 13- This week the expected volume of l a r g e o f f e r i n g s i s small, t o t a l i n g $1+0 m i l l i o n f o r corporations and $16 m i l l i o n f o r S t a t e and l o c a l governments. Bond y i e l d s - Yields on n e a r l y a l l types of outstanding bonds continued t o i n c r e a s e l a s t week. The i n c r e a s e was p a r t i c u l a r l y sharp in y i e l d s on corporate and S t a t e and l o c a l revenue bonds, as shorn i n Exhibit A and B* Yields on corporate s e c u r i t i e s increased f u r t h e r t h i s week. During t h e r e c e n t p e r i o d of sharp i n c r e a s e s i n y i e l d s the spread between corporate Aaa y i e l d s and U. S. Government (old s e r i e s ) y i e l d s has narrowed from 27 to about 15 b a s i s p o i n t s . Yields on newly o f f e r e d s e c u r i t i e s also i n c r e a s e d . A new Aa-rated e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y bond i s s u e was reoff.ered Tuesday, April 17, a t 3.68 per c e n t , a y i e l d about 30 b a s i s p o i n t s higher than on a s i m i l a r i s s u e o f f e r e d i n mid-March and about 50 b a s i s p o i n t s above new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s i n February and e a r l y March. • P r i c e r e s t r i c t i o n s were removed Tuesday on an A-rated e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y bond i s s u e i n i t i a l l y o f f e r e d l a s t week a t a y i e l d of 3=67 per c e n t , but l a r g e l y u n d i s t r i b u t e d , and t h e y i e l d increased to about 3.85 per c e n t . Stock market c r e d i t - C u s t o m e r c r e d i t i n t h e stock market increased $h7 m i l l i o n during March to t o t a l &U,038 m i l l i o n a t the end of t h e month. The r i s e i s a t t r i b u t a b l e almost e n t i r e l y to a $U6 m i l l i o n increase i n customers' n e t d e b i t balances, excluding balances secured by U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s . This i n c r e a s e canceled the February d e c l i n e , bringing t h e t o t a l of d e b i t balances outstanding back t o the l e v e l p r e v a i l i n g at the end of January. Money borrowed by New York Stock Exchange f i r m s maintaining margin accounts, except borrowings on U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s , declined somewhat, while customers' n e t f r e e c r e d i t balances i n c r e a s e d . These and other d a t a on stock market c r e d i t f o r February and March are shown i n the t a b l e on t h e following page. # H.lli End of month February March Change (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Customer c r e d i t Excluding U. S. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s - Total Net- d e b i t balances Bank loans to "others" Net d e b i t balances secured by U. S. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s Bank loans t o others f o r purchasing or carrying U. S. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s Broker and d e a l e r c r e d i t Money borrowed except on U. S. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s On customer c o l l a t e r a l Money borrowed on U. S. Govt, s e c u r i t i e s Customers' n e t f r e e c r e d i t balances # ^ 6 1,251 3k ).!.j038 27m +U5 31 -3 1,2# 36 Uo 2,137 1,756 52 913 2,127 1,712 50 960 Stock p r i c e s - Common stock p r i c e s , as measured by the SEC index of 265 s t o c k s , declined 5*2 points during the week ending April 13. Daily indexes i n d i c a t e l i t t l e change in p r i c e s the f i r s t t h r e e days of t h i s week. More d e t a i l e d information concerning r e c e n t market developments i s presented in the attached e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and C a p i t a l Markets Section, Division o f ' Research and S t a t i s t i c s , . Board of Governors of t h e Federal Reserve System. # +1 -10 -lU +U7 EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE \ \ U. S. GOVERNMENT lono-lerm *I STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT A a a U. S. Govt., long-term 'if Corporate Aaa 1 / Old s e r i e s New s e r i e s Spread between State and U. S. Govt. l o c a l govt. (old s e r i e s ) and Corporate IState and Aaa 3 / Aaa [ l o c a l Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195U - High 1956 - High Low 3.1*2 2.99 3.09 2.85 3-17 2.91 3-21 3-07 March March March April April 3.10 3.12 3.11* 3.16 3.21 1955 - High 16 23 30 6 13 (6/19) (1/9) (V8) (V23) (1^23) (1/7) (V13) (J/2) 3.15 2.78 2.71* 2.hh 2.9U 2.62 3-06 2.80 (6/6) 2.73 (6/25) (12/26) n.a.. 1.98 ( 1 / 8 ) 2.21 (6/10) (1/9) (8/7) 1.90 ( 9 / 2 ) ( 8 / 5 ) 3.03 ( 8 / 5 ) - '2.3* ( 9 / 8 ) (1/7) 2.89 (6/10) 2.05 (5/26) 2.38 (L/12) ( V 1 3 ) 3.09 (L/13) 2.17 (2/23) (2/17) 2.92 (2/3) 2.89 2.93 2.96 3-03 3.06 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . 2.97 2.99 3.01 3-07 3-09 . 2.25 2.27 2.33 2.38 2.38 .38 • 19 • 1*3 • 32 .31* .13 .28 .13 .8U .30 .61 .29 .70 •5U .68 •56 .21 .19 .18 • 13 •15 •6U .66 .63 • 65 .68 Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 2 / Weekly averages of d a i l y f i g u r e s . The old s e r i e s includes f u l l y taxable, marketable 2 1 / 2 per cent bonds due or f i r s t c a l l a b l e a f t e r 12 years through September 1955> and those due or callable in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to f i r s t c a l l of the bonds included declined from Hi years i n early 1953 t o 11 1 / 2 years i n early 1956. The new s e r i e s i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 l / k per cent bond of 1978-83. 3/ Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; average term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . EXHIBIT LOWER - GRADE BOND B YIELDS STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. V ! STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE Corporate Baa 1 / Date S t a t e and l o c a l govt. Baa 2 / S t a t e and l o c a l govt, rev. 3 / (Per cent) 3-89 3.50 3.71 3.UU 3.63 3.L5 3-67 3.58 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low March March March April April 16 23 30 6 13 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (3/1U) (L/13) (3/9) ! 43-60 3.62 3.6k 3-67 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 3.35 3.20 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (U/12) (3/8) 3.23 3-26 3.29 is fi cures. l n d 1^TLsd"46lS£=s. 3-27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.06 2.89 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (U/13) (2/2U) 2.96 2.98 3.00 3.01 3.06 Averaige terra of bonds Only general o b l i v i o n bonds are I n e l ^ ^ v e ^ e ^ m i ^ W ^ U n g of bonds included I s i L T d m l s e r i e s and • * be on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . Stock price index 1 / Common volume y (millions yields 2 / of shares) (per cent) Stock market customer c r e d i F Customers Bank debit bg^- loans t o "others" 2J (Millions of d o l l a r s ) 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low 1955 - High 1956 - High Low February March 30 April 6 April 13 167.1 lkU.0 221. U 156.5 270.7 217.4 290.8 257.U 266.3 283.2 287.8 290.8 285.6 :i II 2.5 0.9 1.5 3.1 2.0 4:? 2.8 2.8 2.6 & S 1,048 7L6 1,21a 1,018 1,26? 1,2U9 1.251 1.252 1,252 1,252 n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . ' . , 1 / SEC index of 265 common s t o c k s , weekly closing p r i c e s , 1939-100; converted to 19U7-U9-100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion f a c t o r i s 123.91. Averages of d a i l y trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month f i g u r e s . _ End of month f i g u r e s f o r member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry""margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government o b l i g a t i o n s . , 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s for" weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans f o r purchasing or carrying U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s at"banks i n New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account f o r about 72 per cent of loans to others. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. f Exhibit, D H.lU Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements ( i n millions of d o l l a r s ) 1956 Corporate 1 1955 1 New c a p i t a l S t a t e and l o c a l 1 1955 1 195U 195U 1956 UOU e/650 e/375 535 312 538 Lll e/350 U27 350 6U1 73U 7U8 853 396- J anuary February March U8? 708 e/875 5U6 . U36 1,261 5U7 U26 635 April May June e/800 U9U 903 697 U97 6# 8U2 583 65U 680 909 ,335 . f'7U7 170 2L9 U06 279 261 619 1,207 631 921 1,003 290 9# 658 59k U23 877 2,2L3 2,09^ 1,917 2,760 - 9,01U 1,608 1,995 1,991 1,896 7,190 July August September October November December ^ ^ s t quarter ^ ^ n d quarter 3rd quarter i;th quarter Year e/2,070 ' 565 U08 60U ' e/l,L25 1,385 1,118 l,m 1,981 5,911 1,372 / 2,33a 1,188 1,891 6,789 Excluding finance companies 2 / 1 s t quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter Uth quarter . Year e/1,670 1,791 1,912 i , a i 2,619 7,762 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,158 1/ Includes $637*2 million AT&T convertible debenture i s s u e . 1 / Total new c a p i t a l issues excluding o f f e r i n g s of sales and personal finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s due to rounding. Exhibit E H.lU Large Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 1955 - March April 1 May June July August September October November December 1956 - January February March- S t a t e and l o c a l government 750 173 k83 175 101 W5 328 805 221 263 95 212 278 '337 238 152 U03 278 65 2 3k 716 396 205 192 u33 163 Other 2/ 15 25 50 Large Individual Issues Offered April 2 through 13 Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount (millions Maturity r a t e or Offering Rating of net interyield e s t cost dollars) CORPORATE . Bank of America S c o t t Paper Plantation Pipe Line Florida Power & Light Duquesne Light C a t e r p i l l a r Tractor Columbia Gas Com. stlc. Conv. deb. -/ . SF deb. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Com. s t k . Deb. 56.0 98.7 25.0 15.0 20.0 3U.U Uo.o Rev. L »L • G.O. G.O. G.O. 7.0 12.0 12.0 1971 1986 1986 1986 3 3 1/2 3 5/8 3 1/2 3.00 3-50 3.57 3.U0 A A A Aaa 1981 3 7/8 3.85 A STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Escanabi, Michigan . La. State Bldg.. Auth. P h i l a . School D i s t . , Pa. S t a t e of Massachusetts D e t r o i t , Michigan Omaha Public Power, Dist., Nebraska OTHER None Rev. 18.0 5.U 1958-81 1957-86 1957-81 2.88 2.37 Tar. 3.00-3.80 2.90-3.00 2.00-3.10 1.80-2.35 2.00-2.90 15.0 1958-86 2.9U 2.10-2.95 1959-87 u / 1960-85%/ 3.89 Baa A Aa. A Aa H.lU E-2 1 / Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Recons t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s . 3/ In t h e case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general o b l i gations a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L . L . , l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s secured t y pledge of designated revenues. V For 1961-66 m a t u r i t i e s only; 1967-85 n o t r e o f f e r e d . Exhibit F H.lii Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent t o date shorn S t a t e and Corporate l o c a l govt. During month following date shown Date of computation 211 U25 160 67 U07 222 805 202 215 70 176 123 380 1955 - Mar. 31 Apr, 29 . May 31 June 30 July 29 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1 9 # - Jan. 31 Feb. 29 Mar. 30 208 116 339 3hh 100 18U 8U3 330 205 121 327 220 132 —— — * 50 — 922 1,111 850 830 1,135 920 909 U12 230 85 376 233 1,013 other 2,009 • 1,917 1,861 1,81:5 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 618 917 785 811 2 - - — 50 —, Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of April 13 Issuer Type Amount .Approximate date (millions of. o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE Southern California Edison Wisconsin E l e c t r i c Power Westcoast Transmission Ltd. Duke Power General Telephone 1st & r e f . mtg.bds. 1 s t mtg. bds. Sub. deb. 1st & ref. mtg. bds. Conv. deb. C a l i f o r n i a Oregon Power General American Transportation 1st mtg. bds. Conv. deb. *Kaiser Aluminum and Chemical •^Pacific FinanceGeneral E l e c t r i c American Telephone and Telegraph Conv. p r e f . s t k . Deb. Deb. Deb. - UO.O 30.0 20.5 30.0 53.0 16.0 23.8 30.0 25.0 300.0 250.0 April 17 April 2k April May 7 May 7 ( r i g h t s expire) May 8 May 9 ( r i g h t s expire) . May May Spring June STATE.AND"LOCAL GOVERNMENT *Purdue University, Indiana ^Oklahoma City School D i s t . , No. 89 "Wichita, Kansas. -Oakland, California Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. 9.0 6.8 6.9 5.0 April • April April April 18 19 2U 2h / H.lU Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of April 13 (Cont'd) Type Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Florida Development Commission S t a t e of Ohio P h i l a d e l p h i a , Pennsylvania •stiempstead, N. Y., Union Free School D i s t . No. 3 ^Columbus, Ohio T e r r i t o r y of Hawaii Allegheny County Sanitary Auth Pa. *Balvimore, Maryland -*Los Angeles, C a l i f . , Dept. of Water & Power •*C-reat F a l l s , Montana Pasadena, C a l i f . *Dade Co., F l o r i d a , Special Tax School D i s t . No. 1 Georgia Rural Roads Authority ^Chesapeake Bay Ferry Commission F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Auth. Oklahoma Turnpike Authority Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington State Toll Bridge Auth S a l t River P r o j e c t , Arizona Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Rev. L«L« G.O. 5-5 50.0 12.3 April 2k A p r i l 25 April 25 G.O. G.O. J3.0. Rev. G.O. 6.0 5.2 7.5 25.0 25.0 .April 25 April 26 April 26 May 1 May 1 9.0 5.0 11.0- May 2 May 7 May. 8 Rev. G.O. G.O. • Rev. 15.0 15.5 20.0 209.0 65.0 62.0 227.0 11.0 70.0 Deb. 50.0 G.O. Rev. n . a. n.a. Rev.' Rev. Rev. May 16 May Spring Summer 1956 1956 1956 1956 1956 OTHER Province of Ontario April 25 *—Included in t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . # H.lii Exhibit G Yields on Hew and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1 / A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Actual I Amount above Actual 1 Amount above seasoned y i e l d s (per cent), Iseasoned y i e l d s (per cent) 1(basis p o i n t s ) (basis points) Date 1952 1953 195U 195# average average average average- 1955JanuaryFebruary March 8 16 23 ' 30 April k h 11 3.16 3.16 3.03 3.23 None *3.15 3.19 . 1 3-37 13 16 3 9 3 5 . 18 3.# 3.78 3-12 3.33 12 26 -3 . 12 None 3.23 -5 —— 3.35 7 3.# 3.S7 3.60 3.67 25 23 26 29 —Single observation, not an average. . 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, as reported i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , the a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and the amount above seasoned y i e l d s are averages of o f f e r i n g s during the i n d i c a t e d period and of the d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r the same day. The number of new i s s u e s included in the monthly averages v a r i e s from 2 to U except f o r October. l?5h when 6 A-rated i s s u e s were included. Average maturity f o r the seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 to 28 y e a r s . • »