Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : March 31, 1955
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n j^qNTEOLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.llt March 3 1 , 1 9 # CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Moderate volume of s e c u r i t y i s s u e s l a s t week - Two S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s t o t a l i n g SO m i l l i o n d o l l a r s a n d a m a n u f a c t u r i n g i s s u e of 20 m i l l i o n w e r e f l o a t e d p u b l i c l y f o r new c a p i t a l d u r i n g t h e week ending March 2 5 . Large i s s u e s s c h e d u l e d f o r o f f e r i n g t h i s week t o t a l 35> m i l l i o n d o l l a r s f o r c o r p o r a t i o n s and 87 m i l l i o n f o r S t a t e and l o c a l governments. R e v i s e d e x h i b i t s on bond y i e l d s and s t o c k market - E x h i b i t s A, B, 2nd C of t h i s . r e p o r t a r e new e x h i b i t s d e s i g n e d t o p r e s e n t more i n f o r m a t i o n on bond y i e l d s and t h e s t o c k m a r k e t t h a n shorn i n E x h i b i t s A a n d B of p r e v i o u s r e p o r t s . Data on h i g h - g r a d e bond y i e l d s a r e shown i n E x h i b i t A. The s e r i e s on l o n g - t e r m Government and Aaa c o r p o r a t e y i e l d s a r e t h e same a s shown p r e v i o u s l y . Moody's s e r i e s on A a a - r a t e d S t a t e and l o c a l government y i e l d s h a s been s u b s t i t u t e d f o r t h e S t a n d a r d and P o o r ' s c o r p o r a t e h i g h - g r a d e m u n i c i p a l s e r i e s because t h e q u a l i t y of t h e bonds i n c l u d e d i n t h e Moody's s e r i e s i s mere homogeneous. The S t a n d a r d and P o d r ' s s e r i e s i n c l u d e d d i f f e r e n t numbers of bonds i n each of t h e f o u r i n v e s t m e n t g r a d e r a t i n g s (Aaa, Aa, A, B a a ) . Moreover, t h e Moody's s e r i e s presumedly r e f l e c t s b o t h t h e l e v e l and t h e movement of t h o s e S t a t e and l o c a l bonds of t h e h i g h e s t q u a l i t y and t h e r e f o r e i s more comparable w i t h t h e A a a - c o r p o r a t e s . E x h i b i t B p r e s e n t s y i e l d s on l o w e r - g r a d e b o n d s . The ' c o r p o r a t e Baa s e r i e s i s t h e same shown p r e v i o u s l y . Moody's Baa S t a t e and l o c a l government y i e l d s e r i e s h a s been s u b s t i t u t e d f o r t h e S t a n d a r d and P o o r ' s s e r i e s f o r r e a s o n s s i m i l a r t o t h o s e n o t e d a b o v e . The Dow-Jones s e r i e s on r e v e n u e bond y i e l d s h a s been added b e c a u s e of t h e i n c r e a s i n g i m p o r t a n c e of bonds of t h i s t y p e i n t h e S t a t e and l o c a l bond m a r k e t . The Moody's S t a t e and l o c a l s e r i e s a r e composed of g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n S t a t e and l o c a l i s s u e s o n l y and d o n o t i n c l u d e r e v e n u e bends* E x h i b i t G p r e s e n t s i n f o r m a t i o n on t h e s t o c k m a r k e t . The volume of s t o c k market c r e d i t o u t s t a n d i n g has been added t o t h e c h a r t , and d a t a f o r i t s components a r e shown s e p a r a t e l y -in t h e accompanying t a b l e , Bond y i e l d s - h i g h - g r a d e - Y i e l d s on o u t s t a n d i n g c o r p o r a t e Aaa bonds have r i s e n s t e a d i l y t h r o u g h o u t t h e f i r s t q u a r t e r of 1955>. D u r i n g t h e l a s t two weeks of March, however, t h e y d e c r e a s e d s l i g h t l y , u . S . Government l o n g - t e r m bond y i e l d s r o s e —2— i n J a n u a r y a n d February7" and s u r p a s s e d t h e 195k h i g h i n t h e l a s t week of F e b r u a r y . S i n c e t h e n , y i e l d s have d e c l i n e d somewhat and s t a b i l i z e d i n t h e l a s t two v/eeks of t h i s month. Y i e l d s on Aaa m u n i c i p a l bonds a r e w e l l below t h e 195k h i g h . Although t h e y i n creased s l i g h t l y i n January, a general decrease occurred through" o u t F e b r u a r y and March. Bond y i e l d s - l o w e r - g r a d e - The 19$k low f o r c o r p o r a t e Baa bond y i e l d s was e s t a b l i s h e d i n t h e l a s t week of t h e y e a r . S i n c e t h e n y i e l d s have i n c r e a s e d g e n e r a l l y t h r o u g h mid-March. They d e c r e a s e d one b a s i s p o i n t d u r i n g t h e week ending March 2J?. Y i e l d s on Baa m u n i c i p a l bonds r o s e m o d e r a t e l y i n J a n u a r y , d e c r e a s e d s l i g h t l y i n F e b r u a r y , and i n c r e a s e d t h r o u g h o u t March. The h i g h f o r 1 % was r e a c h e d l a s t week. Revenue bond y i e l d s r o s e m o d e r a t e l y d u r i n g t h e f i r s t .month of t h i s y e a r a n d r e m a i n e d s t e a d y i n F e b r u a r y . They i n c r e a s e d one b a s i s p o i n t a t t h e b e g i n n i n g of March a n d have n o t changed i n t h e l a s t f o u r w e e k s . S t o c k p r i c e s - The SEC i n d e x .of 26^ common s t o c k s r o s e It p o i n t s t o 2 2 8 , 1 d u r i n g t h e week ending March 2f>. T h i s i s 1 . 6 p o i n t s below t h e h i g h f o r 195>5> r e a c h e d on March h • D a i l y i n d e x e s i n d i c a t e some d e c l i n e t h r o u g h Wednesday of t h i s week. Trading v o l ume on t h e NYSE d e c l i n e d t o a new low f o r t h e y e a r l a s t week when . an a v e r a g e of 2.5> m i l l i o n s h a r e s were s o l d e a c h d a y . F u r t h e r d e t a i l s on c a p i t a l market developments a v a i l a b l e f r o m e x h i b i t s - More d e t a i l e d i n f o r m a t i o n c o n c e r n i n g r e c e n t c a p i t a l m a r k e t developments w i l l b e f o u n d i n t h e f o l l o w i n g e x h i b i t s which are attached hereto: A B C 3} - High-Grade Bond Y i e l d s Lower-Grade Bond Y i e l d s S t o c k Market C o r p o r a t e and S t a t e and L o c a l Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements E - Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other t h a n U. S . T r e a s u r y ) F - F o r t h c o m i n g Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U . S . Treasury) B u s i n e s s F i n a n c e and C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , D i v i s i o n of R e s e a r c h and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e System, EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E BOND YIELDS Weekly CORPORATi A M U . S. GOVERNMENT Corporate Aaa 1 / U . S . Govt, long-tern 2/ S t a t e and l o c a l g o v t . , Aaa 3 / Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate S t a t e and Aaa l o c a l Aaa (Per c e n t ) 3.03 2.91 3.h2 2.99 (1/u) (2/15) (6/19) (1/9) 3.09 (1/8) 2 . 8 5 (U/23) 3.0li ( 3 / 1 1 ) 2.91 (1/7) 3.02 3.03 3.0k 3.03 3.01 2.79 (12/27) 2.56 (5/17) 3.15 (6/6) 2.78 (12/26) 2.7h (1/9) 2.hh ( 8 / 7 ) 2.77 (2/25) 2.62 (1/7) 2.77 2.75 2.72 2.69 2.69 2.00 (10/23) 1.65 ( 5 / 1 ) 2.73(6/25) 1.98 (1/8) 2.21 (6/10) 1.90 (9/2) 2.11 (2/10) 2.06 (1/6) 2.10 2.09 2.09 2.10 2.08 .37 .19 .38 .19 .h3 .32 .25 .28 .32 •3k .32 1.02 .71 .8U .30 .61 .29 .67 ^.5U .67 .66 .63 .59 .61 1 / '.Yeekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average term of bonds included i s 25-26 y e a r s . ? / V/eekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Old s e r i e s . Average term to f i r s t c a l l of bonds*~included i s 13-1L y e a r s . 3 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general o b l i g a t i o n bonds' are i n c l u d e d . Average term - of bonds included i s 20 y e a r s . Note.—Highs and lows are f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may b e on d i f f e r e n t dates f o r different series. - EXHIBIT B L 0 W E K - 6 R A D E BOND YIELDS W..kly I 1952 \ STATE AND LOCAL G O V T . 1953 Corporate • Baa 1 / 1954 1955 State and l o c a l govt. Baa 2 / State and l o c a l govt. rev. 3 / (Per cent) 3.63 3.^8 3.69 3.56 3.71 3 Mi 3.19 3 .ht 3.U9 3.k8 3.L9 IS (lAr (5/16) (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) . (12/31) (3/18) (1M) 2.98 (10/23) 2.U8 (k/n) 3.79 (6/2$) 2.69 2.2? 3.27 2.71 3.32 ( 1 / 7 ) 2.93 ( 8 / 5 ) 3.08 {3/2h) 2.72 (8/13) 3.0U 2.79 2.96 (1/8) 3.02 (1/6) 3.06 3.00 (1/1) 2.80(3/18) 2.76 (1/7) 2.80 2.80 2.80 3.07 1% (12/19) (h/2$) (6/26) (1/2) - 2.80 1 / Tfeekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . Average terra of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; t h e i r average term i s 20 years. 3 / Friday f i g u r e s . Average r a t i n g of bonds included i s between Baa and A; average tern i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows, are f o r individual s e r i e s and may for different series. be on d i f f e r e n t dates EXHIBIT C STOCK MARKET Date Stock price Com on Trading volume 2/ (millions yields 3/ of shares) (per cent) -T Stock market credit Customers' debit b a l - loans to ances V "others" 5/ o t a l (Millions of dollars) 1952 - High - Hi* Low 1955 - High Low 165-3 151.7 167.1 liik.O 221.1, 156.5 231.0 217.1 January February March 11 March 18 March 25 213.ii 226.8 220.8 222.7 228.1 1953 - High 1%L (12/26) (10/21) (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) l.h (1/11) 2.5 (3/h) 2.0 0.9 2.5 0.9 3.7 , r .77 1,986 1,80k 1,332 l,2l;l 1,665 1,31a • 5.13 5.75 5.15 5.33 2,055 3,ii36 it.6 h.22 k.21 3,613 3,537 2,590 2,517 3.6 3.2 3.2 it.21 h.22 3,537 3,0*3 2,590 2.9 2.5 2,hk5 2,LOS 2,388 1,^53 2,517 656 552 780 66k 1,018 7ii6 1,053 1,010 1,020 1,053 i,oU5 1,052 n.a. 1/ SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939=100] converted to 19H7-h9=100 by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor i s 123-91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the Hew York Stock Exchange. 3/ Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month f i g u r e s . 5 / End of month figures for member firms of t h e New York Stock Exchanre which carry margin accounts; excludes money borrowed far carrying U. S. Government o b l i gations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes a l l loans on U. S. Governments for 1952; since 1953 only loans secured b y Government at banks in New York and Chicago are excluded. '.Yeekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. n.a.—Hot available. Mote.—Highs and lows are for individual s e rie s arid may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . * Exhibit D H.lii C o r p o r a t e and S t a t e and L o c a l Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) New c a p i t a l Corporate 1 195h 1I 1953 1955 5UU U39 660 .666 5# e/310 e/500 April "May June U86 652 859 July August September 898 3U6 776 1955 January February March e/U06 e/3# e/1,225 October November December 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd q u a r t e r Uth q u a r t e r Year e/2,06l 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd quarter Uth q u a r t e r Year e/l,66l s S t a t e and l o c a l 1 195U 1 1953 3# an #5 389 360 U26 779 675 1,123 73U 7U8 853 329 6U9 h3h U83 325 753 279 261 6U9 519 . 259 kit 1,008 298 592 577 U29i/ l,U3ff* 59U U23 877 U53 U08 77U 1,610" 1,998 2,021 1,899 7,561 1,912 2,578 Vl,3U5 8,1*95. 1,372 2,33U 1,188 1,89U 6,789 . 1,176 1,102 1,253 1,636 5,U77 E x c l u d i n g f i n a n c e companies 2 / 1,562 1,931 1,9Ul 1,795 7,229. . 1,669 1,991 1,223 2,3UU 7,227 2 / T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s e x c l u d i n g o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and p e r s o n a l f i n a n c e companies. e/ Estimated. N o t e . - - D e t a i l s may n o t add t o t o t a l s due t o r o u n d i n g . H.lli Exhibit E Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other t h a n U . S . T r e a s u r y ) 1 / Proceeds of Large I s s u e s O f f e r e d ( L l i l l i c n s of d o l l a r s ) Corporate Month 195U - February March April May June July August September October November December 1955 - J a n u a r y February S t a t e and l o c a l government 103 160 169 32h #0 336 75 #5 h!3 0 9k. lhl 72 I j 213 378 557 557 603 92 86 455 388 268 6# 3bX 101 Other 2 / 50 30 35 Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d March 1 through 25 Issuer Type J / Amount Coupon (millions r a t e or Off e r i n g Maturity of net i n t e r yield dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE May Department S t o r e SF deb. 25.0 C e n t r a l & South West Corp. Coranon s t k . 20.1 Union O i l Company Conv. deb. 21.0 P a c i f i c Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. 1st &iBfatgbda 5 0 . 0 General Motors A c c e p t ance Corp. Deb. 250.0 General Motors Corp. Common s t k . 328.6 Joy Manufacturing Co. SF deb. 20.0 1980 3 iA 3.25 1975 1987 3 3 3/8 3.00 3.30 I960j1972 1975 3 i 3 1/2 . 3 . 0 0 3 3 . 5 0 3 5/8 3.63 A . Baa . Aa — Baa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT P o r t l a n d , Oregon S t a t e of L o u i s i a n a Hempstead & N. Hempstead, New York G.O. G.O. 8.0 10.0 1958-75 1960-70 2.01 2.23 - 1.15-2.20 1.50-2,35 G.O. 15.5 1955-81; 3.08 1.10-3.13 Aa A Baa H.lh E-2 L a r g e I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d March 1 t h r o u g h 2 5 ( C o n t ' d ) Issuer Type 3 / Coupon . Amount Offering r a t e or (millions Maturity net i n t e r yield of est cost dollars) Rating STATE AMD LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) Houston, Texas Multnomah C o u n t y , Oregon M e t r o p o l i t a n Water D i s t r i c t of S o u t h e r n C a l . New York B r i d g e A u t h o r i t y S t a t e of South C a r o l i n a S t . Petersburg, Florida O y s t e r B a y , Hew York S t a t e of M i s s i s s i p p i S t a t e of ' IJew J e r s e y New J e r s e y T u r n p i k e A u t h . New York S t a t e Georgia S t a t e School Building Authority G.O. G.O. 1956-85 12.0%/ 1956-75 G.O. Rev. G.O. L.L. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. 8.0 16.0 20.0 UuO 5.8 5.2 6.6 3k.O 50.7 1956-80 1956-89 1956-75 1956-77 1955-83 1971-75 1957-90 1988 1957-2005 j L.L. 29.2 1956-7ii ,2.59 2.02 1.00-3.10 A 0 . 9 5 - 2 . 2 0 - Aa .. ~ 2.19 2.6k 1.95 3.50 2.97 2.53 2.19 2.88 2.26 0.95-2.35 1.00-2.69 0.95-2.10 1.75-3.13 1.00-3=05 2.25-2.50 l i l O - 2 .hO 2.81 1.05-2.80 Aa A Aa Ba Baa A Aa 3.07 1.25-3.10 A •—* Aaa OTHER None — o v e r i n s t a t e and. l o c a l g o v e r n m e n t s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of 5 m i l l i o n a n d o v e r . 2 / I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s # 3 / I n t h e c a s e of S t a t e and l o c a l g o v e r n m e n t s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. d e n o t e s g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n j R e v . , revenue bonds j G.R., g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n s a d d i t i o n a l l y s e c u r e d by f a c i l i t i e s r e v e n u e s j a n d , L . L . , l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s s e c u r e d by p l e d g e of designated revenues. h / 3 . 5 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s n o t r e o f f e r e d p e n d i n g s e t t l e m e n t of t a x p a y e r s ' l i t i gation. Exhibit F H.ll* Forthcoming Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other t h a n U. S . T r e a s u r y ) 2 / E x p e c t e d P r o c e e d s from Forthcoming Large I s s u e s Subsequent t o d a t e shown D u r i n g month f o l l o w i n g d a t e shovm D a t e of computation Corporate 108 204 323 332 336 100 33k 313 15 9k 18U 16 710 - F e b . 26 . Mar. 3 1 A p r . 30 May 28 J u n e 30 J u l y 30 Aug. 31 S e p t . 30 O c t . 29 Nov. 30 Dec. 3 1 1955 — J a n . 3 1 F e b . 28 Other 2 / 1*98 555 525 596 86 51* 300 ' 383 136 661 567 682 52U Corporate | ^ ^ | o t h e r 2 / 50 27 30 . *— 690 555 6U7 526 532 303 608 hilt 135 216 216 1*22 1,395 1,916 2,789 2,322 1,971 1,521* 1,553 1,876 2,158 1,957 2,682 2,11*1* 1,961 1,978 50 27 30 30 35 — Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s * a s of March 25 Issuer Type Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE •^Florida .Power and L i g h t Co. New England Telephone and T e l e g r a p h N a t i o n a l Gypsum G e n e r a l Dynamics Corp. T e n n e s s e e Gas T r a n s m i s s i o n S o u t h e r n C a l i f o r n i a Gas Co. •w-Fruehauf T r a i l e r Co. ' Philadelphia Electric P a c i f i c Northwest P i p e l i n e • ^ T r a n s c o n t i n e n t a l Gas P i p e Line P u b l i c S e r v i c e of I n d i a n a , I n c . Alabama Power C o n s o l i d a t e d N a t u r a l Gas American Telephone and T e l e g r a p h j Common s t o c k . Common s t o c k Cbranon s t o c k Conv, d e b . Deb. Bonds Conv; d e b . Bds. Interim notes Pfd. stock Pfd. stock 1 s t m t g . bonds Common s t o c k iConv. d e b . • 19.1* 15.7 18.6 1*0.0 25.0 1*0.0 15.0 20.0 17.2 15.0 21.3 15.0 2U.1* 650.9 March 30 March 3 1 A p r i l 1* April 5 April 6 A p r i l 11 . A p r i l 13 A p r i l 125 April April April May 21* • June 1955 ' ' H.lli F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s / a s of March 25 ( C o n t ' d ) " Type Amount Approximate d a t e (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT S p r i n g f i e l d , Missouri S t a t e of M a s s a c h u s e t t s ^ P a s s a i c V a l l e y Sewerage, N. J . F l o r i d a S t a t e Improvement Comm. San F r a n c i s c o j C a l i f o r n i a ^ D e t r o i t , Michigan Los A n g e l e s , C a l i f o r n i a ^•Public Housing A u t h o r i t i e s San Diego County, C a l i f o r n i a L o u i s v i l l e , Kentucky Calcasieu Parish, Louisiana W i c h i t a , Kansas *State- of. C a l i f o r n i a Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Michigan Turnpike A u t h o r i t y S t a t e of L o u i s i a n a Florida State,Turnpike Authority I l l i n o i s Turnpike A u t h o r i t y C o n n e c t i c u t Expr essway Texas Turnpike A u t h o r i t y Sam Houston T u r n p i k e Corp. Texas T u r n p i k e Company Dade County P o r t A u t h o r i t y , F l a . Springfield, Illinois A l l e g h e n y County, P e n n s y l v a n i a Sanitary Authority C a l i f o r n i a T o l l Bridge Authority J e r s e y C i t y Sewerage A u t h . , N. J . . North C a r o l i n a T u r n p i k e A u t h o r i t y Rev. G.O. L.L. Rev. G.O. — n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. 11.1 60.9 9.1 6.0 6.9 11.6 2-10.0 112.0 8.U 7 -5 x 5.5. x 7.U 30.0 60.0 186.0 80.0 7l.i.O 390.0 100.0 58.5 II16.O liiO.O . 21.0 9.0 March 29 March 29 March 3 1 March 3 1 A p r i l 1; April 5 April 6 A p r i l 13 A p r i l 19 A p r i l 20 April 21 A p r i l 26 A p r i l 27 Spring Spring Spring . Spring 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 85.0 235.0 16.0 200.0 1955 1955 1955 1955 • OTHER 1 / I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and o t h e r i s s u e s of 15 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s and o v e r ; S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s of 5 m i l l i o n and o v e r . 2 / I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s . n.a.—Not available. —Included in table f o r f i r s t time.