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Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives . ROTARY CLUB OF PRINCETON, N. J. ' /r FEBRUARY 24, 1948 "ATOMIC ENERGY - WHAT IT MEANS TO YOU" AS A WORLD CITIZEN The title of this talk could be "The Control of Atemic Energy and the Marshall Plan", or it could be "Can the United States Survive as a Nation"J You n a y take your choice as we go through the propositions.. W h en I was asked b y Mr. Clark to talk on this problem, I suddenly realized that the atom was off m y mind* I had spend about two years as Chairman of the Social Science Research Council’s Committee on Economic and Social Aspects of Atomic Energy and had become quite immersed in the subject. work was finished about a year ago. M y part in that It came as somewhat of a shock to me the other day to realize that it was completely off m y mind. When I probed a little to find out what was on m y mind, I found that it was the Marshall Plan. W he n I probed a little more deeply, I discovered a n organic connection between the two, or certainly a psychological connection. That is w h a t I propose to tell you about. I think the same shift in preoccupation has happened amorg the American people. Up until last June or July, there was the danger of something approach ing a state of frustration here, because every approach to this problem of atomic energy, particularly in its international aspects, was ending in a blind alley. The unexpected reception that attended Secretary ‘Marshall*s suggestion that some thing comprehensive might be done to rescue Europe reflects the same reaction that I went through. Concern over the Marshall Plan has furnished a constructive alternative to concern over what was essentially a n insoluble problem. that it is a good thing that this has happened. I think I think that if w e had remained exclusively preoccupied w i t h the problem e f the control o f atomic energy during a period w h en no satisfactory agreement was possible, the results in our foreign policy might have been incalculable. Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives of these implications is this new military instrument which makes it possible for civilization to destroy itself. In its international aspects, atomic energy is overwhelmingly military. I would like to consider the background of the development #f the bomb. First, w h y was it developed? W h y did we do it? I think that all of us would have breathed a sigh *f relief if our research had shown that the use #f atomic energy for military purposes was impossible. Nevertheless, we had to try te d© IHWf O it. In the world in which we lived, we were net wholly free agents r If fission were possible and a w a y could b e discovered te put it to military use, w e had te try to be the first to discover that way. There was a compulsion that over-rode what might, in another context, be called the general interest. Second, w h e n we had the bomb, w h y was it used? think that it had to be used. might have gone the ether way. There again, personally I I have many friends who think that that fiecision Personally, I think that any one of us, if he had been in the position of the general staff, with the responsibilities of a general staff, would have made the same decision: that it had to be used. The fact, however, now that we have atomio energy, that we have the atemic bomb, and that we have used it, leaves us in a position from which w e will never escape— neither we nor eur children. There is now available an instrument f©r the destruction--not of the human race, but of everything we know of as civili zation. The pressing problem of our time, ■•nee the discovery ivas made, became the problem of centrol. How can we control a discovery like this, retain its beneficent uses and prevent its use as an instrument ••f destruction? There are, I think, three possible approaches to control. The first two are universal; the third unilateral-. The first univeral approach is a religious one-. problem that, in other times, a n o t h e r has controlled. societies., the religious -organization It has done s-e ‘tn a moral basis--on the basis that there are certain things that people dji n/lt do. This is the s<ort o f These moral inhibitions have been enforced Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives -4- b y a religious hierarchy. I feel personally that in the end the control of atomic energy m ay well be achieved on this basis, but the religious or moral approach to control clearly is not feasible at the present moment. There is no universal religion; there is no universal hierarchy to enforce a religious or moral sanction. As an immediate solution to the problem, the religious approach is more or less out. The second universal approach is through the police. describe it in terms of a world government. A great many people That is a secondary consideration. Werld government would help only because it would make unified police action possible. The atomic bomb and its destructiveness is the sort of thing that has to be guarded against, not merely be declaring it illegal, as in the United Nations, or in a world parliament, b u t by using the police and the methods de veloped by the police to root out the danger wherever it may be. controlled on the basis of a Kellogg Pact. It cannot be It is only through police action# through an international, or transnational, organization similar to the F.B.I., or the Gestapo or the NKVD that one can use the state as a political instrument to control this type of menace and to prevent it from being used for destructive purposes. That essentially is the avenue that our government took in it« proposals for international control of atomic energy. However, police action alone was not enough. The brilliance of the Lilientha1-Acheson report lay in its realization that we could not maintain the quality of personnel necessary to control a thing like atomic energy in an organization that was mainly a police force. It would be necessary to combine the policing and inspection function w i th a positive constructive function if we hoped to attract and hold brilliant men of the caliber necessary to handle the problem. The proposals that w e put forward— the Lilienthal, Acheson, Baruch proposals--consequently represented a combined approach to the control of atomic energy. They relied on the constructive responses of the atomic scientists to galvanite the police functions of the control authority and thus sought to pre rseproaucea irom tne unciassmed / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives -5 - vent the use of this discovery for destructive purposes. This proposal broke down completely when Russia refused to go along. think personally that the Russian refusal was inevitable. simple. I The point is very Russia could not tolerate international police action of the kind proposed inside the Russian state and still be Russia. patible. The two were not com Had they accepted it, their own social system would have disappeared. If they were determined to maintain their social system they couldn't simultan eously accept this type of control of atomic energy. As a result, the universal approach to control through police action failed too. The third possibility was unilateral. There was a cushion of time. had the bomb; nobody else had it a t the moment. of two or three years* duration, possibly of ten. the obvious inference: We It was cushion of time possibly That cushion of time led to could we not, with the bomb in our pocket, use that cushion ef time to impose a solution on the world for its own protection, to keep it from self-destruction? That is a perfectly logical proposal. It breaks down* however, for a reason that is very similar to th® one that made the international approach through police action impracticable. The reason is that it is we Americans who have this bomb at the present moment. not a police state* We are We d o n ’t think and live easily in terms of coercion. could not adopt the unilateral approach and make it work. American if we tried to make it work. We W e would not be We wouldn't have the callousness to enforce it if we tried. These are the bare essentials of the problem as I see them. the situation today. made hie proposal. ceive. They describe They describe the situation last June when Secretary Marshall I doubt if he realized the reception his proposal would re He had ceme back from the Mescow conference blanked on every side. Europe was disintegrating. He knew that we would be required to help in some way and he thought that the approach ought to be m»re tha* just a unilateral Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives -6* approach or a bilateral approach. It required some w a y of galvanizing the nations of Europe as a whole into an objective cooperative attack on their problems. required alsp help from us. speech on June 7, 1947, It As a result he made a v e r y simple suggestion in his He suggested that he w ou ld welcome European initiative in working out a comprehensive recovery program. The reception to that speech marks a turning point in the world. suggestion took root everywhere* It released energies. The Within a few weeks the European nations were getting together to see w h a t it was they needed tft do fpr themselves, and w ha t help they would need frem us. was equally galvanic. (In this side the reaction Within a short time poople everywhere— outside the gevern- ment as well as within— were debating the problem, investigating its implications, working out its details. ing. The number of reports that have been issued is stagger I try to keep currently abreast of these reports--it is one of m y jobs— and I just have not been able to begin to read them all. It is amazing, the reaction that resulted from that suggestion. I am not going to ge into the Marshall plan here. I am trying simply, to sketch the relation of the Marshall Plan t© the problem of t he contr*l ef atomic energy. From that point ef view, the essential feature is, I think, that it deals w it h things that we, as Americans, can do; we cannot carry out effective police action--we are no good at that. We can do a great deal to help to create healthier political conditions, in which people are free to go about their work and t# have elections and to fight out issues, through the ballot-b*x. That we can do a 1ft about; that gees w a y back to the well-springs #f our traditions. We can do a lot also about economic recovery— we are an industrial nation, we have a lot of industrial "know-how". We tackle problems like these with alacrity, and now our attention is focussed *n probably the most interesting economic problem the world has ever had. Here is Western Europe truncated, having lost m u c h ef its agricultural Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives -7base, with a larger population than preqar, having lfst its overseas investments and the income it got from these; yet it must somehow get back to a self-supporting basis. Well* the only way it oan do that is the American way, by tremendous *• • industrialization, by greater productivity, by the employment of capital to increase output per worker, by imitating America in the integration of th« economic base that is left. It will not come about by sixteen separate nations all working within their own little boundaries, but only th the broader over-all basis that we have worked out in this country. The Marshall Plan, from both its political aspects and its economic aspects, is something we can comprehend and deal with. It relies for its success on things that we know about. As far as I can see it has completely superseded, done away with, the sense of frustration and fear that was spreading early last summer, when it became quite apparent that atomic energy would not be controlled, that this awful business of further development of the atomic bomb was going to have to go forward, and that we were getting nearer to the time when it would no longer be our possession alone, I am nearly through. There remains one question. In view of this situation, where do we stand today on the problem of atomic energy? I think it is quite clear that we are going to live with this bomb and that means we are going to live with the possibility of destruction ever-present. There are times in the world when we are faced with insoluble problems— problems that may become soluble sometime but that are simply insoluble in the context of the immediate situation. I think that this is one of th*se times. learn t# live with the problem of the bomb. We are going to have to That does not mean that bombs will inevitably rain down on us next week or two or three years from now. to use the bomb will be a terrible decision for anybody ever to make. not be made lightly. The decision It will But as we learn to live with this insoluble problem, we will also be engaged in rebuilding for ourselves and for our friends the kind of world in which we can function. I think that as we try to handle this problem of danger day by day, month by month, in all its very difficult international Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives -8— aspects, we will handle i t much more sanely if w e live in a world in whi ch the nations of Western Europe who have more’ or less our own traditions, our own background, our own sense *f freedem, and political rights, are back on their feet, out of the morass of disintegration. I think that we will be able to handle it much more sanely if w e succeed in recreating in Western Europe a sense #f unity among the nations themselves and w i t h us* We want a democracy there— with decisions reached b y consent, net coercion— not the sort o f thing that is happening in Czechoslovakia today. We w a n t als* economic self-respect. We want to get those countries to the point where they are self-supporting and, consequently, can respect themselves and not feel that they have to toady to anybody— to Russia, to ourselves, or anybody else. Recorded b y Roger H. E i c h # m S*undScriber. Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives (l6) Frankfurt/Main - Hoechst 2 McNe i r- Kas eme March 6, 19^8 Dear Winfield Riefler, Your friendly letter of February 17 arrived on February 23, was a relief to me. I had been wondering why you had not answered my letter of last year and am glad to have your explanation. I ’m awfully sorry there was no chance to see each other last year. I still v/as at MonAen (Westphalia) when y o u were in this country and you probably did not get there at all. 1 hope you will be here again some time. D o n ’t forget to call me up then (Tel, 961, ext. 620). Mrs. Troemel wishes to be remembered to you both. I have just with me some photos of March *29 showing you, Mrs. Riefler, and your oldest (Donald?;. How a^e your boys? We had often been thinking of all of you, especially wondering if the boys had been drawn into the war. Fortunately our boys were too young for that, they are 16 and 13 now, and the little daughter is six, I terribly miss them. We have been separated for eight years now. My family is living in the ruins of Aachen, and there is still no chance of getting united again. Connect!:ns are bad; trains overcrowded, ^y wife is wearing herself out trying to feed and clothe the children. Our second boy and the daughter have grown fast recently and their state of health is giving us some ’^orry. Not belonging to the bartering section of the German economy, as mentioned in my last letter, we have no means to improve our rations, which now stand at lees than l/3 of normal and contain neither fat nor meat, and it is only thanks to some friends abroad that we have be?n able so far to get through this period which is more difficult than any previous one. Forgive me for mentioning this at all. These problems are a source of constant troubles and are particularly vexing for all of us who should like to work most en ergetically for a better world but are simply held down by hunger and ex haustion. One can stand that for some time but not indefinitely and we see no hope yet of improvement. And this leadB me again to the subject of my last letter. Unless the Russian methods are adopted things cannot be put right, especially by force. We are in for a great experiment in freedom. This country has become the battle-ground of the great combat between the ideas of freedom and respect of human person and those of the slave state. In '^0 this combat was raging over London while the German people was enslaved. The German people is free now from that slavery; there are many people realizing the ideals of a free society. On the other hand hunger and isolation from the rest of the world have suppressed sound developments. Democracy does not mean much to many people here. Whatever can be said against the Germp-ns (they certainly have not proved a likeable people for generations, but at least all the decent ones still feel ashamed and humiliated at the horrible misdeeds committed in their name) it cannot be denied that they have had a terrible punishment. And it is in this country that the most important decisions will have to b e taken soon. When I wrote you last I could not foresee that our nearest neighbor to the east would b e enslaved so soon and so thoroughly. The road to seffdom is Vider open than ever and it is alluring to many in this country as in others. Communism has. its attractions insofar es it has a definite though rather primi tive ideology, as it plays on the wishes of the hungry masses and promises key rteprooucea rrom tne unciasstnea / ueciassmea noiaings or me manorial Hrcnives - c - positions to the would-be slave masters. The ideas of the west are definitely superior but they do not appeal to the man in the street who decides the fate of democracies. It is his imagination we must try to catch; it is his volun tary cooperation we need. Xt is he whom we must convince that we mean the respect of the human person and genuine liberty, and some Frenchman or English man said the other day thst people in Europe were just craving for this. The fact that Germany is in such a state of decay does also mean that there are the greatest chances for a nev formation. People are waiting to be called up for new tasks— the Question is: Who will be first* east or west? The greater energy so far, I regret to say, has come from the east. Only b y dras tic and startling action can people here, in Europe and elsewhere, be made to rally for our ideals. This is the political background of what I wrote in my last letter. I have pondered over it again and again. You know I am a bit of en economist myself. I realize the economic difficulties of my suggestions, the inevitable crisis (but this would be a crisis leading to recuperation, and for years to come our world will go from crisis to crisis uniess we take bold measures). In short it would b e a plunge into freedom, but I have no doubt that peoule everywhere would soon learn how to move and act in freedom, released fromthe fetters of economic and political controls. The main duties of states would be to see that everybody is playing the game fairly, that all aspirations for tyranny were suppressed from the beginning. Would not that be a much nobler task for a state than to see to it that every or not even every one of its citizens once a month gets a box of matches, for instance? The state is debased and even corrupted by interfering too much into economic everyday affairs of which the citizens should take care themselves, individually or cooperatively. This, I rasy add, is the Christian concept of state, and since y o u knew me I have become a genuine believer in Christ (I finally made up my mind in 1938 when I had to take a decision on my children’s education). I think I must mention this in order to show you the sincerity of m y ideas since you can't be aware of who I have become during all these long years. And to conclude: the German people has no state now and as things are, chances for political unity are only very slight. Splittingtp this country would create ne*/ and dangerous problems. Since things cannot be allowed to drift any longer unless Germany is to be left to the east, and with Germany the re*t of the continent, mainly Italy and France, one decisive step can be taken: establishing— apart from any political organization— a free society based on free economy. In every state economy the currency is the product of state legislation. Since we have no state we cannot h?.ve such legislation but this does not mean that we cannot have any currency, it only means that we must take refuge to the only currency there is without state backing: the gold standard with gold circulation. The gold standard is indeed the currency of free economy and free society.* Ara I clear enough? Do you see what I mean? Am I wrong? Please, do think things over, discuss it with your friends or come here to make up a kind of advanced headquarters for this— new invasion which must be started as sur prisingly as in 19 ^ . I trust I would be as successful as then. As far as I know I can't send this letter bv air. I hope it won't take too long. With kindest regards to ell of you, in which Mrs. Troemel joins me, / s/ Werner Tsroemel *AljL that is needed is a gold fund for Germany or any part of it controlled by fci body of experts. Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives (4 6 ) it 6, * tY f. P t M Ifau/i'iltL biefa jfh u -fajita *y ty h *i/u y f t , v fa 4. n e& e^ At Uie* trw U -etfu* b iy f -AasC to+>*rU&C. (b *y y t& A s a n # A u *. / & u C ^ k & n i. v m t, to+ ^u-U y o n *y 'WttU. k o tc eju ic f &MtL ^ 'He rfi*tpe<_ & ,ty a /u ,. T /7, -U Y&, a / ^A r- iu & a ) hl <rtU -~ M 4SY ^ c o *u < ^ je 'kM f e t A tea. a/. . 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Biefler Introduction In view of the current discussion of the wisdom of modifying oupport policies for long-term Treasuries, I feel it my duty to raise th* -frbfelem of the long-term capital!s&tion rate of the American economy* The rea sons for snd agsinst changing current support policies for Treasury Issues have focussed in large part on the, current inflation, •the current phase of the postwar reconversion boos that we are experiencing, or the current phase of the business cycle in which ire find ourselves. I have neither heard nor road much significant discussion of long-term considerations other than the ^olfl&Mto .>neceaeity o f stopping tho inflation, or the ondesirability of increas ing the interest barges of the freaotycy* tIt is o y conviction that we are dealing with a much more fundamental problem thin this, or rather that tho policies which are under consideration to deal, oith the inflation impinge on a m ob '.mar* fundasiental problem than this, namely, the long-term capitali sation rate of the American economy. Abo**t 19©0* the American economywas capitalized at a range of long-term.(rates that rested m a bottom ‘around 3-1/2 per cent, i .e .,t h « best borrowers — at. that time the soundest railroads —* paid around 3-1/2 per oot& for ioia^term‘mam##, less favored borrower* paid more* ' In my name town in Hooter* Hew Xork, for ejtamplo, home owners on first mortgagee paid 5 por eoigt. In Other sections of the country rates were higher. These rates of interest Iter money wore low and persisted for a long time. They became eagrltaHsoA liifc* tne economy, i * e .f the capital value of land, of 'buildings, of oq<jfa^isi^ all were affected by those, low long-term rates for mcmey, ' lind, Im flaS^o, equijfiont commanded higher market prloos because long-tera aoasy was low. From 190G t o 1920, I6ng-ter» money rate* rose, slowly, veiy slowly, until 1917 and much -*ore rabidly thereafter. Commodity prices also rose alaii^r steadily from 1900 to 1914 and very rapidly thereafter until 1920* Piiopet4!^ valoei reflected both1of these forces j thOy rose less than one might have ©xieeted om the baeie of the commodity price index alono because long*term interest rates were aloo rising* By 1920, however, the whole economy of the bnited States was capitalized at much higher long-term rates than in 1900 or 1914* In general, the rates ranged upwards from a base between 4*1/2 aad 3 per cent. I have long folt that many of the peculiar characteristics of the 1920* s jreflected primarily the shift in the world flM M M M l of long-term in terest jratoo that resulted from the First I arid far* Tho United States emerged -r.uuuw;u from he Unclassified classified / r w i- M0Mngs 0((he Nationa| Ardljves -2 - froa that war a current creditor rather than a debtor on international ac count, a long-term lender of new money rather than * borrower. Great Britain emerged froa the war a current debtor rather than a creditor on international account9 a borrower of new money rather than a lender. At the ease time, the economy of the United States was capitalized at long-term rates resting on a base of 4-1/2 to 5 per cent for the best risks, while the economy of Great Britain was capitalised at long-term rates rest ing on levels of 3-1/2 to 4 per cent for the beat borrowers. In a free market, the action of the forces of arbitrage could have only one result unde'r these conditions, long-term interest rates in the United States would tend to fall under these conditions, those in l#ondon would tend to rise* the failing long-tera interest rates in ths United States would require a recapitalisation of equities and durable goods, capital gains would prera il, speculation would be buoyant* The rising long-tera interest rates in London would require a recapitalisation of the British economy at higher long-ten* rates* Capital values would fall, capital gains would predoainate. I agree fully that sales of long-term treasuries to the Federal Re serve Banks by insurance companies and other non-bank investors are the most important factor asking for inflation in the United States at the present time. 1 agree also that a support price for governments sufficiently low cto deter such sales would probably bring the inflation under control more effectively than any other aove the monetary authorities could make. I am not prepared, however, to endorse such a aove in the long-term aoney markets without adequate consideration of its effect upon the rates of capitalization of the American economy and without soae consideration of the aethods by which the monetary authorities are prepared to deal with those effects. The American economy is now capitalized at a range of rates rest ing on 2-1/2 per cent as a bottom. From a long-term viewpoint, X think this is near an equilibrium level. By this £ mean that it is sufficiently below long-term rates to sustain a steady outflow of capital if international tensions should ease, the Marshall Plan succeed and intereonvertibillty of currencies should be restored. Any higher capitalization rate in the Ameri can economy would add another factor to delay and impede^ the restoration of convertibility of currencies. Froa our long-term domestic point of view, I see no reason to question a series of capitalization ratios resting on a 2-1/2 per cent long-texm rate level. Admittedly this ic difficult ground for judgment, but I aa sufficiently impressed with some phases of the •economic maturity* argument, the high productivity of this country, and therefore the high margin for saving without groat la^alrment of consua^Ttion essentials, to feel that it is the duty of the monetary authori ties! to seek to maintain as low a long-term interest rate as is possible without inflation. The present exorbitantly large inflationary demands for capital in our markets do not seem to me to reflect appreciably the fa,ct that we are capitalized at low interest rates. They seem to me to reflect Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives 3~ directly (1) th# piling up of a huge backlog of deferred demand for capital good® during the war, (2) the existence of aa excessive volume of money aa a result .of w a r financing, and (3) the pyramiding of capital, demands that are typical of all boos periods* I n other words, all three o f the factors primarily responsible for t h e inflation .reflect ephemeral situations rather than long-term capitalisation rates* Theae considerations l e a d ae personally to the conclusion teat there is no evidence to indicate that the System1s long-run policy should envisage a long-term Treasury rat# above 2-1/2 p«r cent. I have n o personal addiction to the •par** * There Is no valid reason that governments should sell at or above p ar than below. It happens, however, that this long-run view of mine as to the capitalisation rate that w l H be consistent with hi$i level product! cm without inflation would result in a market price for Treasuries around par* The present situation which we face is how to deal with' a boom in which t h# current rat# of investment demand is well in excess of avail abilities. Boons ar# not exceptional in American history. They have al ways been t«aiporary. Basically, I would prefer to deal with thl# boost by freeing short-term rate#,, .letting them rls# to or above th# long-term rate dumping of longbefore 1 on the long-term rat#* th # m rrm t terms b y tfee insurance companies, however* f£-«e#a the System with a condition, not a theory. Its immediate imperative problem is to stop this dumping. The recommendation of the committee that support prices for governments be dropped drastically is directed solely toward this objective* I t should be viewed aa temporary, as a policy that will b# revised a a soon as it can be without encouraging a renewal of dumping. It should not be viewed as a permanent rise i n th# long-term rate of capitalisation of the eeonoogr. It would be a mistake* for example* i f insurance campmlea o r old age se curity reserve systems should raise the rates on which they compute their reaerve r e t i r e m e n t s as a result of a temporary phenomenon of this kind. Should -the System adopt the policy recommended, it should adopt simultaneously resolutions that will insure aggressive buying if necessary to raise long-term Treaauriea from 95 to 97 ; 'aa soon as dumping etopa and back, t o par as soon aa the inflation is over. The knowledge that the System haa this viewpoint and haa adopted siich resolutions will help to diminish the dumping* We should change ©nr slogan "Maintenance of the 2-1/2 per cent yield level" — not for the 'foreseeable'future — that ia important, bat "for the long future* » i.e., something to be returned to after the present temporary » Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives CH R ISTIA N A. HERTER H A R R IE T A . C O N E L 1 0 t h D is t r ic t , M a s s a c h u s e t t s SECRETARY C O M M IT T E E O N R U L E S J O I N T C O M M IT T E E O N T H E E C O N O M IC R E P O R T Congre&i of tlie ®ntteb Stated Jfyauit of ftepredentatibeg Hagfnngton, 2B. €♦ V IC E -C H A IR M A N SE L E C T C O M M IT T E E O N F O R E IG N A ID April 20, 194S Br. Winfield W. Riefler The Institute for Advanced Study Princeton University Princeton, Hew Jersey Dear fin : fhanks so much for your very good letter of April 15th# We are all delisted that you are going to lie a'ble to take orer the reins of the School and guide its policy In the days to come* Everyone with whom I have talked feels that we could not have made a better choice. X shall fee looking forward to seeing you down here in the very near future* Best as ever, M A R Y E . B R IS T O R ASST. SECRETARY B o st o n O f f ic e : 1703 POST OFFICE BUILDING R it a K e e n a n M u r p h y Reproduced from the Unclassified I Declassified Holdings of the National Archives BOARD DF G O V E R N O R S O F THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM W ASHINGTON 2 5 . D. C. ADDREBB OFFICIAL CDRREBPDNDKNOC TO THE BOARD April 22, 194S Mr. Winfield W. Riefler, Institute for Advanced Study, Princeton, N ew Jersey. Dear Mr. Riefler: The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System has appointed y o u as Assistant to the Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Sys tem, with basic salary at the rate of $15,000 p e r annum, effective as of the date upon which you enter upon the performance of your duties. W h e n you come to Washington we will arrange for your physical examination by our doctor. Very truly yours, Division of Personnel Administration. Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings of the National Archives C H R ISTIA N A. H ERTER H A R R IE T A . C O N E L 1 0 t h D is t r ic t , M a s s a c h u s e t t s SECRETARY C O M M IT T E E O N R U L E S C o n g r e s s o f tfte 3 H tu te b S t a t e s House of EeprcSentattoeS Hasfitngton, C. May 24, 1948 Dr, Winfield W, Hiefler Assistant to the Chairman of the Board Federal Heserve System Washington 25. D. C, Dear Win: B o w that the Select Committee on Foreign A i d has completed its work a n d been officially terminated, I want y o u to k no w ho w deeply I appreciate the part you played in the successful accomplishment o f our mission. There is no question in my mind that our staff was the equal of any that ever before served a Congressional Committee on a vitally important task. You can take real pride in your contribution to a job well done. It is generally agreed that our Committee had a large part in galvanizing the thou^at of Congress and the country as a whole to the point where the ECA m s passed with surprising speed. Our report should prove to be of great value to those iuho will administer the Act in the days to come as well as being a source of fundamental material for all who are involved in other ways in inter national activities, I cannot close without saying again h o w grateful I a m for your cheerful and efficient support throu^iout the Select C o m m i t t e e ^ life. With kindest personal regards. Most sincerely M A R Y E . B R IS T O R B o sto n O f f ic e : 1703 POST OFFICE BUILDING R it a K e e n a n M u r p h y R e p rod uced from th e U n cla ssified / D ecla ssified H o ld in g s o f fh e N a tio n a l A rchives Sent A ir Mail - S p ecia l D elivery September 3, 1948. Mr, Thomas B. McCabe, Kimball House, Northeast Harbor, Maine. Dear Tom: Here is a draft of a letter to the insurance companies that 1 have worked out* 1 have shown it to no one else* 1 want you to see it, and consider whether you like the approach before you arrive here Tuesday morning. I think .the letter would have real impact, more impact than the increase in reserve requirements taken alone. Together the two actions ought to produce results. The insurance companies are now considering a huge volume of financing for the fall quarter, much larger than their current revenues and much larger than savings of the country justify. A decrease ia their bids to a level consistent with their revegfuas would have a marked effect. As the letter ia# drafted, you are asking them only to put the facts before their respon sible officials and to act according to their conscience. I believe, however, that th«y would feel they would have to conform. A letter like this would of course be a major policy move and a major personal move on your part. Xt would lead to repercussions. Considered strictly on its merits, however, froa a narrow viewpoint, you are asking the insurance companies merely to hold their government portfolio constant during a period of crisis. This is certainly aot extreae. It should appeal to the Treasury. In essence, it is a cotraterpart to the American Bankers Association committee (the Dodge Committee) which has asked commercial banks to be prudent in their lending. I wonder why the insurance loophole was not covered last spring when the program of voluntary restraint was adopted. In the meantime, it has gro*n to a "Very M g loophole indeed. As 'ever, Winfield W. Biefler. Enclosure IWRtjol* R ep rod uced from th e U ncla ssified I D ecla ssified H old in g s o f th e N a tional A rchives Suggested d r a ft o f a l e t t e r to th e heads o f major l i f e insurance companies Mr. George L. Harrison, Chairman, New Xork L ife Insurance Company, 51 Madison Avenue, New York, Mew lo r k . Dear lir. Harrison: A s itu a tio n has arisen tn i 3 autumn in connection iritn the in vest ment a c t i v i t i e s o f the l i f e insurance companies which I d esire to c a l l to your personal a tten tio n and through you to th e a tten tio n o f your Board and th e o ff ic e r s o f your Company who are responsible fo r the broaa lin e s o f your investment p o lic y d e cisio n s. I t r e la te s to the con trol o f the i n f l a tio n from which the country i s now .su fferin g . 1 know th a t you are aa worried over t h is s itu a tio n as I am, not on ly because the insurance busi ness i s com pletely t ie d to fin a n c ia l investm ents, but also because the holders and b e n e fic ia r ie s o f l i f e insurance p o lic ie s are drawn from a l l sectio n s o f the community and in clu d e in t h e ir number an ap preciable, and p o ssib ly a major, fra c tio n o f th e coanunity. As a consequence, anything which a ff e c t s adversely the l i f e o f the nation i s l i k e l y to a ff e c t adversely the w e ll-b ein g o f l i f e insurance. This i s p a r tic iila r ly tru e when the prob lems th a t beset us are fin a n c ia l, and e s p e c ia lly tru e when they have to deal with in f la t io n and i n s t a b i l i t y in the value of aaoney. The in fla tio n th a t has already taKeu p lace has d r a s t ic a lly reduced the r e a l valu e o f l i f e insurance p o lic ie s outstanding. Erery day that i t continues i t a ff e c t s ad v e rs e ly th e in ce n tiv e to in v e s t savings in l i f e insurance as compared to other forr&s of investm ent. The s p e c if ic s itu a tio n th at has arisen t h is autumn and th a t forms the occasion fo r t h is l e t t e r i s the la rg e amount o f u. S . government s e c u ri t i e s which the Federal Reserve Banks now fin d i t n ecessary to buy and to hold as a r e s u lt of p o r tfo lio s a le s by the insurance companies. I think I ap preciate f u l l y th e con sideration s th at have m otivated the insurance com panies in scheduling t h e ir s a le s . Throughout th e period o f h o s t i l i t i e s , the l i f e insurance companies cooperated to the f u l l by in v estin g t h e ir current r e c e ip ts i a Treasury is s u e s . Aa a r e s u lt , they acquired a p o r tfo lio in which Treasury is s u e s bulked d isp ro p o rtio n ately la r g e , not with resp ect to q u a lity but mainly from th e point o f view o f y ie ld . I f e e l th a t i t has been e n tir e ly reasonable fo r the l i f e insurance companies, now th a t the war i s o ver, to seek g re a te r d iv e r s ity and a higher aggregate y ie ld on t h e ir in v e s t ments, thereby resto rin g the y ie ld on t h e ir p o r tfo lio to a caore favorable re la tio n to t h e ir reserve c a lc u la tio n s . Under th e circumstances th a t pre v a i l t h is autumn, however, the current execution o f such a p o lic y , to the extent th at i t in v o lve s a decrease in the government s e c u r ity p o r tfo lio o f the insurance companies, i s d ir e c t ly financing the in f la t io n . R ep rod uced from th e U ncla ssified I D ecla ssified H o ld in g s ot in e n a tio n a l «iuuv<» -2Th« reason that the situation this autumn differs from that which earlier prevailed, is the disappearance in June of the Treasury sur plus. So long as the Treasury was collecting from the public a larger "vol ume of cash than it was paying out and had a sizable margin left over for debt retirement, their funds were available, in effect, to take over 0. S. securities sold by the insurance companies in pursuit of their postwar policy of portfolio diversification. Now that that surplus has disap peared, there is no offsetting source of funds to absorb these bonds. As a result, they are now being absorbed and held directly by the Federal Reserve Banks, Each dollar of securities so absorbed puts a dollar of additional reserves into the money aarket. I do not wish to imply that the diversification of life insurance portfolios will be the only source of inflationary demands this autumn, or that all our problems would be solved by the presence of a surplus in the Federal budget. To do so would fly in the face of the facts of the past three years whan we have had a major inflationary development in spite of the fact that the Treasury surplus was absorbing securities disposed of by the life insurance companies. The blunt fact is that we are operating in an extremely complicated situation in which no one factor can be singled out either as a cause or a cure of the inflation. It remains true nevertheless that the disappearance of the surplus incredibly complicates the problem of credit management and that it has come moreover at a time when the physical supply situation was beginning to show signs of balance and to indicate that the inflation might be more amenable to control by wise moves in the area of money and credit* 1 would appreciate it if you would bring these.facts to the con sideration of those irtio are responsible for policy decisions in your Company to enable them to make such adjustments in their policies in the light of these facts as their conscience and their obligations to their policyholders may indicate* I have long believed teat this inflation could not be brought under control by the government alone or by any one agency in the government a l o n e . It is a job for team play and everyone is on the team. It has been ay job since April to help shape Federal Reserve policies to «et the infla tion under control. In pursuit of that objective, 1 have played my part In raising interest rates in the short-term money markets, in raising re discount rates, in securing authority from Congress to ( l) reirapose con trols over consumer credit, and (2) to increase the reserve requirements of member banks* These moves will be in the right direction but they will not, so far as we can see, prevent a major exp^nsim of credit between now and the end of the year. It is not in my power to create a budget surplus during the next six months* From a practical point of view, it is not in the power of any man to plug that new hole in our armor before the new Congress reconvenes and acta. It is for that reason that 1 am laying the situation frankly before you for such action as you think proper. R ep rod uced from th e U ncla ssified I D ecla ssified H o ld in g s o f th e N a tional A rchives -y- It is fitting that 1 should tall 70a haw 1 feel I would act If I wire in your place. 1 think I would decide to hold *y portfolio of government securities constant in volume until the Inflatlonaiy situation had turned. 1 think 1 would feel that this waa in the best interest of my polioyholdere as citizens and as individuals purchasing life insurance, to *ake this decision would involve & foregoing of interest of around 1/2 of ode per cent cm that part of the U. S. securities portfolio that otherwise would hare been switched into higher yielding assets. If Con gress should act in the coming session the deferment would be- for only six nonths and would amount only to about l/U of one per cent on the saoonts that alght hare been switched. Such an -Mount is utterly negligible from the direct standpoint of the pecuniary well-being of policyholders wfasa it is ^spared with the consequences of another loss, say, of 4 per cent in th«£$arehasing power of all the funds tied up in life insurance policies* In asking such a decision to defer switching out of treasury Issues, I would be aware tbat the action would have relatively little effe$fe if my eoapaoy were the only one to adopt such a course. I think I would feel that the majority of cowpanies would react to the facts in th* •« M way that 1 had and that the consequences of such a coamon reaction would aid very s»teri&lly ia coab&tting inflation during the autuaa. final point* Soate of your officers may feel that the Federal Reserve System is at fault in this situation in Maintaining its policy of supporting tha 2-1/2 per cent yield level on Treasury securities under ex isting conditions. I have given this probleat the aost serious considera tion aad continue in the conviction that such support should be continued. This conclusion is* I believe, supported by the weight of responsible financial opinion in this country* Sincerely yours, Thoa&s B. McCabe R ep rod uced from th e U ncla ssified I D ecla ssified H o ld in g s o f th e N a tional A rch ive s September 22, 194- Mr. H . H* Kelly, Chairman, United States Civil Service Committee of Expert Examiners for Economists, Department of State, Washington 25, D. C. Dear Mr. Kellys On September 10 you a fill out with resTor the position of In pect to the application of Mr. temation&l Economist in the Be. « . lou say 'in the letter that a reply in the fora af a written letter caa substitute for filling out of the form. Because of the fact that my knowledge of Mr* Tirana is intimate and extends over a considerable period of year*, but never involved a direct working relationship with him, I would prefer to answer in the form of a letter rather than the questionnaire. I met Mr. Tirana first on a trip of his to Washington, in 1933 or 1934, taut ay real contact began in 1936 when I visited Geneva and went out of ay way to stake contact with hia* when he was with the Secretariat of the League of Nations. Subsequent to that time, 1 served as American member of the Finance Committee of the League of Nations, of the Statistical Sub-Committee of the League of Nations on Financial Statistics, and on the League of Nations Commission on Bconomic Stability. Through August 1939 X went to Geneva twice a year on mis sions, and after July 1940 saw a great deal of the economic work of the League when it was moved to this country. As long as Mr. Tirana was with the League of Rations, 1 saw a great deal of him on these trips. Vhen he left the League to come to this country, he came first to my house* 1 was one of those irtio recom mended him here at that time* My subsequent contacts have been equally close except fdr the last two or three years, in which 1 have seen relatively little of him, much as I desire to do so. R ep rod uced from the U nclassified I D ecla ssified H o ld in g s o f the N ational A rch ive s Mr. H. H. ICelly -2 - Fro® t h is period o f extended con tact, in c lin a tio n would be to answer a l l o f the questions on the qu estionnaire in the most favorable lig h t* Mr. Tirana i s c e r ta in ly a man o f un usual cham , in t e llig e n c e , and a b i l i t y . He i s c e r ta in ly an outstanding in d iv id u a l. So f a r as I know, he w rite s very w e ll and organizes w e ll. I regard him in every way as l f y a l to the United S ta te s . I would imagine th a t hew onld be an outstanding candidate fo r appointment t o the Department o f S ta te . Very s in c e re ly yours, W infield 7n E ie f le r , A ssistan t t o the Chainnan* W IRscls R ep rod uced from th e U ncla ssified UNITED I D e cla ssified H o ld in g s o f the N ational A rch ive s STATES CIVIL SERVICE COMMITTEE OF EXPERT EXAMINERS F OR ECONOMISTS DEPARTMENT OF S TATE WASHINGTON 25, D. C. September 10, 1948 Name of applicant: , Tirana, Rifat/ Title of position: Mr. iiV. V#. Riefler, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D. 0. International Economist Dear Mr. Riefler* The applicant named above is being examined for the position indicated, in the Department of State. In evaluating the potentialities of prospective employees, we would like to have the considered opinion of former teachers, employers, and associates who are acquainted with the candidate, and who know the quality of his work. Your help in selecting an individual to fill this position is desired on the basis of your knowledge of the applicant. A qualifications voucher has been prepared which contains a list of certain of the qualities which is believed an individual must have in acceptable combination in order to perform the duties of this position. It would be appreciated if you would complete this form and return it at your earliest convenience. If you prefer, you may write a letter covering essentially the same traits as are listed on the form, plus any other information which seems pertinent. We realize that some of these traits are difficult to judge objectively. Never theless, your considered appraisal is desired with respect to the qualities of which you have personal knowledge. Since your judgment should be based on his past per formance, any items which you have had no opportunity to observe should be omitted. If you feel that someone else knows more about the candidate than you, feel free to ask him for information. If someone besides you fills out the form or assists you in filling it out, that person should sign it, indicating trhe items which he completed. enclosed A description of the duties of this position is for your use in evaluating the qualifications of the candidate for this position. Your assistance will be greatly appreciated by the Committee and the information you furnish will be treated as confidential. A self-addressed franked envelope is enclosed for convenience in replying. Very truly yours, Enclosures - 3 CSC F O RM 15*+ 8-48 Reproduced from the Unclassified / Declassified Holdings o f the National Archives Tirana, Rifat BUDGET BUREAU NO. 50.R 128 APPROVAL EXPIRES JULY 31, 1950 U N IT E D ST A T E S C I V I L S E R V IC E COM M ITTEE OF EX P ER T EX AM IN ER S FOR E C O N O M IS T S DEPARTMENT OF STA TE W A S H I N G T O N 25, QUALIFICATIONS 1. INQUIRY FOR D. C. ECONOMIST POSITIONS G iv e y o u r e s t im a t e o f th e a p p l i c a n t 's q u a l i f i c a t i o n s f o r each o f th e e le m e n ts l i s t e d check mark for each element in that c olum n which beat expresses your opinion.) SOMEWHAT WEAK OR SPOTTY ELEMENTS ADEQUATE b e lo w . (Place a EXCEPTIONAL KNOWLEDGE OR A BILITY VERY GOOD KNOWLEDGE OF THE P R I N C I P L E S AND THEORY OF ECONOMICS KNOWLEDGE OF THE P R I N C I P L E S AND THEORY OF THE S P E C I A L I Z E D BRANCH OF FCONOMICS USED IN T H I S P O S I T I O N KNOWLEDGE OF RESEARCH METHODS AND SOURCES OF DATA A P P R O P R IA T E TO T H IS P O S IT IO N A B I L I T Y TO CONDUCT ECONOMIC RESEARCH 2. A B I L I T Y TO PLAN AND D I R E C T ECONOMIC RESEARCH S T U D I E S : □ □ 3. 4. 5. NO T A GO OD R E S E A R C H A D M I N I S T R A T O R GENERALLY SATISFACTORY E3 SOMEWHAT WEAK □ □ SATISFACTORY □ KNOWLEDGE OF CURRENT PROBLEMS, DOM ESTIC AND I N T E R N A T I O N A L , O NOT UP -T O-DATE □ KNOWS- T H E C U R R E N T S I T U A T I O N SOMEWHAT RESTRICTED AS GO O D AS MO ST 1 1 SOMEWHAT 1 1 WRITES 1 S K IL L OUTSTANDING REL ATED TO THE WORK OF T H I S □ VERY WELL □ E X C E P T 1 ONA L K N O W LEDGE PE R S P E C T IVE P O S IT IO N : IN F O R M E D U N U S U A L ABI LITY EXCEPTIONAL ABILITY □ VERY GOOD □ E X C E P T I O N A L L Y C L E A R AND C O N C I S E IN W R I T T E N ECONOMIC REPORTS H A R D TO F O L L O W GOOD C ] □ REPORTS NOT A GOOD SPEAKER 1 MA KE S G O O D O R A L P R E S E N T A T I O N S □ 1 VERY GOOD EXCEPTIONAL SPEAKING ABILITY IN O B T A I N I N G APPROVAL OF IDEAS AND PROGRAMS: □ NOT A 6000, S A L E S M A N □ □ HAS 1 AVERAGE SKILL A 8 I L I T Y TO DEAL W IT H O R G A N IZ A T IO N : 1 B E T T E R T H A N MO ST 1 EXCE PT IO NA LL Y CO NV INCING THE P U B L IC A N D M A 1N T A 1N WORK R E L A T IO N S H 1 PS W lT H 1 NOT GOOD. A T C O N T A C T W O R K □ 10. FI EL D P O S IT IO N : VERY GOOD A B I L I T Y TO EXPRESS H IM S E L F ORALLY ON ECONOMIC M ATTERS: □ 9. IN T H I S A B I L I T Y TO EXPRESS H I M S E L F 1 8. V E R Y GO O D OU TSTANDING A B I L I T Y TO COORDIN ATE H I S ECONOMIC RECOMMENDATIONS W IT H THE PROGRAM O B J E C T IV E S OF AN O R G A N I Z A T I O N : □ 7. □ □ A B I L I T Y TO SERVE AS CONSULTANT ON CURRENT PROBLEMS REPLACED TO THE BRANCH OF ECONOMICS USED IN T H I S □ 6. INDEPENDENT SATISFACTORY GROUPS AND I N D I V I D U A L S O U T S ID E t h e □ BETTER THAN CD FXCFPTIONAL ABILITY □ A GO OD T E A M W O R K E R □ E A S Y TO S U P E R V I S E MO ST A B I L I T Y TO WORK AS A MEMBER OF A TE AM: □ H A R D TO G E T A L O N G W I T H 1 1 . W I L L IN G N E S S TO ACCEPT D I R E C T I O N AND S U G G E S TIO N S : □ 12. 13. TO R E S E N T S U P E R V I S I O N A B I L I T Y TO S U P E R V I S E AND D I R E C T OTH ERS: □ T E N D S T O BE A PO OR S U P E R V ISOR □ A VERY GOOD □ GENERALLY SATISFACTORY □ RE MA RK AB LE SKILL AND SUPERVISOR EFFECTIVENESS A B I L I T Y TO APPLY COMMON SEN SE AND SOUND JUDGMENT TO ECONOMIC PROBLEMS AND A R R IV E AT SOUND CON C LU SIO N S AND WORKABLE METHODS: □ □ U . TENDS IN C L I N E D T O BE U N R E A L I S T I C GENERALLY SOUND OR INFLEXIBLE □ □ BETTER THAN MOST UNUS UA L COMMON SENSE ANO S O U N D J U D G M E N T A P P L I C A T I O N AND EFFORT ON A S S IG N M E N T S : I— ' OFTEN NEE05 PRODOING WORKS HARDER THAN MOST ^ GENERALLY ACCEPTABLE E X C E P T IO N A L L Y IN D U S TR IO U S -------- ---------------------- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Caver}------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- R ep rod uced from th e U ncla ssified I D ecla ssified H o ld in g s o f th e N a tional A rchives BUDGET BUREAU NO. 5 0 - R 1 2 8 15. 16. APPROVAL E X P I R E S J U L Y 3 1 , 1950 E S T IM A T E D F I T N E S S FOR THE TY PE AND LE V E L OF ECONOMIC WORK FOR WH IC H A P P L Y I N G : □ N O T TH E T Y P E C3 SOME DOUBTS FOR T H I S JOB OR R E S E R V A T I O N S d A G O O D P E R S O N FOR T H I S W O R K D ONE OF TH E B E S T I N D I C A T E IN WHAT C A P A C I T I E S AND FOR WHAT P ER IO D OF T I M E YOU HAVE BEEN A S S O C IA T E D W IT H THE A P P L IC A N T BY G I V I N G IN THE A PP R O P R IA T E BLANKS, TH E YEARS IN WHIC H SUCH A S S O C I A T I O N BEGAN AND END ED -S U C H AS 1 9 3 2 - 3 7 . I AM, OR HAVE BEEN A S S O C IA T E D W IT H THE A P P L IC A N T AS: r~ l HtS T E A C H E R ________________________________________________________ □ HIS FELLOW EMPLOYEE. HIS C O - W O R K E R ON A S P E C I F I C □ □ N A M E OF HIS S U P E R V I S O R OR D I R E C T O R _____________ □ HIS □ H I S WORK A S S I S T A N T E M P L O Y E R ________________________ ___________________________ S U B O R D I N A T E _______ PR O J E C T . □ OF HIS W O R K . OR ___________ O T H E R , (Specify)_ I N S T I T U T I O N OR C O M P A N Y : D ES C R IB E H I S D U T I E S AND R E S P O N S I B I L I T I E S DURING THE PER IOD 1 7 . HAVE YOU ANY IN FO R M A TIO N I N D I C A T I N G TH A T T H I S (s) IN D I C A T E D ABOVE: PERSON BELONGS TO ANY O R G A N IZ A T IO N WHIC H ADVOCATES OVERTHROWING OUR CONS I T I T U T I O N A L FORM OF GOVERNMENT BY FORCE OR OTHER IL L E G A L MEANS, OR IS TH ERE REASON TO Q U E STIO N H I S LOYALTY TO THE U N I T E D STATES? □ YES □ NO I F YOUR ANSWER I S ” Y E S " PLEASE L I S T THE O R G A N I Z A T I O N , OR G I V E THE REASONS YOU QU E STIO N H I S LOYALTY TO THE UNITED STATES. 18. WHAT I S THE P E R S O N 'S R E P U T A T IO N W I T H RESPECT TO H ONESTY, UNFAVORABLE, I N T E G R I T Y AND GENERAL CONDUCT? I F YOUR ANSWER IS PLEASE E X P L A I N F U L L Y . 19. ADDITIONAL COMMENTS DATE TITLE OR P O S I T I O N S I GNATURE p th e N ationabA rehives* gm e z a i 3T\nm$? of ditties x m im T ic m L EGONCMisrs positions At Salaries o f $10,3GS to $ 10,330 a Tear D m a m i r r of stilts International ScancKaists at these salary levels in the Department o f State planj, direct? administer* supervise, advise on. a? perfosvt < professional work pertaining to the formulation and implementation of tha foreign policy of the United States in .the field of international economics * Such work is conducted with the widest possible latitude fo r the exercise of independent judgment* subject to only the most general supervisionc They negotiate and otherwise deal with repre sentatives of other governments on international economic problems T 'any propose t appraise and implement action on specific international esmomic problems They may direct and supervise the work of a staff o f professional personnel. Such top level work requires a substantial understanding of international, economic and political problems and pro grams including programs of the United States ar*d other governments together with knowledge o f United States and foreign governments and international organisations* structure, operations, and personnel i C ertain specific positions require a knowledge rf a specialised field cf international economic problems p ertin en t to the* particular posi tions to be filledo (75) K ep roa uce a trom th e U ncla ssified / D ecla ssified H o ld in g s o f th e N a tional A rchives A D D R E S S O F F IC IA L C O M M U N IC A T IO N S T O T H yE S E C R E T A R Y O F S T A T E W A S H IN G T O N 2 8 , D . C i DEPARTMENT OF STATE W A SH IN G T O N December 6, 1948 Dear Mr. Riefler: I have received your le tte r of November 19, 1948, giving an outline of the work of the Eco nomic Warfare Division of the Embassy in London during 1942, and of the a c tiv itie s of Mr. James Somervilla^ u r in g his connection with i t l This information is exactly what we needed to complete Mr. Somerville’s records, and I wish to thank you most cordially fo r providing i t . Tour le tte r w ill, of course, be kept en tire ly confidential. Very tru ly yours, Mr. Winfield If. B iefler, Assistant to the Chairman, Board of Governors, Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Building, Washington, D. G. R ep rod uced from the U ncla ssifie d / D ecla ssified H o ld in g s or tne N a tio n a l Archives December 6, 1948 Dear I‘« . Riefler: I haw received your le tte r of Jlovember 19, 1948, : ivizc eji out lino of the t-rork of the Eco nomic ■> rf ore Division of the Embassy ia London during 1942 and of the a c tiv itie s of Mr, James Sotnerville during h is connection with i t . This information is exactly 'what we seeded to complete ?,rr . ;om.ervil.let s recordr., and I wish to thank you most eordially fo r providing i t . Your le tte r w ill, of course, he kept en tirely confidential. Very truly yours, Oleiaent J . ^obotka, ussociate Chief Division of ^Foreign Service ersonnel Hr, ^In field S* R iefler* A ssistant to the Chairman, Board of Governors# Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Building, Washington, D. 0. R ep rod uced from th e U ncla ssified I D ecla ssified H o ldings o f th e N a tional A rchives November 19, 1948. Mr. Clement J. Sobotka, Associate Chief, Division of Foreign Service Personnel, Department of State, Washington, D. C. Dear Jr. Sobotka: 1 am very pleased to help to clear up any edsconception that may exist ia the personnel records concerning the contribution of Mr. J sates Somervill^jlCo the 1942 operations of the Economic War fare Division of the 'American Embassy in London. I am writing in the understanding that this ccsaffiunication is entirely confidential and that I can be frank in .my comment s. 1 was sent to London early in March 1942 as Principal Officer of the Board of Economic Warfare to sit for them on the Blockade Coamttee which was located at the Ministry of Economic Warfare and which the United States had just joined on the basis of "equal, voice". You may recall that the exact status of the Board of Economic Warfare in relation to the Department of State was not settled at that time and that some tension existed as to what the relationship should be. In making this initial trip, it was my purpose to examine the proble-a of future organization on the ground in London and then to return and report my personal recom mendations on organization to the home officials of the Board of Economic Warfare. When I arrived in London, 1 found that all matters per taining to the Ministry of Economic Warfare were being handled by Mr. James Somerville, who held the rank, 1 believe, of Second Secretary in the American Embassy. He recognized, as did 1, that our relative responsibilities witn respect to Economic Warfare were quite hazy and would remain so until the status of the Board of Economic Warfare was settled. In these difficult circumstances, he handled our Mutual relations with complete tact and cooperation. I found that he had established magnificent personal contacts with officials of the Ministry of Economic Warfare at all levels, there was no problem at ail of securing American access to officials or to information at the Ministry- of Economic Warfare. R ep rod uced from th e U n d a s s ifie d / D ecla ssified H o ld in g s o f th e N atio n a l A rch ive s Mr. Clement J . Sobotka -2 - On ay return to Washington at the end of June 1942, X recorameoded to the Board of Economic Warfare: 1. That Aaerican-British negotiations with respect to Economic Warfare a c tiv itie s be transferred in the main from Washington to London. 2. That a l l economic warfare a c tiv itie s th a t in volved relatio n s with the Ministry of Economic Warfare in London be handled through an ade quate!/ staffed economic warfare division th at would be an in teg ral part of the American Eabassy in London rather than through a sepa rate B.E.W* fie ld office in London. 3* That the proposed Economic Warfare Division be headed by a Board of Economic Warfare o ffic ia l with the rank of M inister but th at i t be staffed by personnel borrowed from the Department of State and from other Washington Departments as well as from the Board of Economic Warfare* These recommendations were fin ally adopted on the condition th at I accept the position of head of the new Economic Warfare Divi sion. Before accepting, X stipulated th a t Ur. Somerville be made second in command and th at his rank in the Babassy be raised. The contemplated s h if t of negotiations to London required intimate and continuous fam iliarity with the personnel operating in Washington. I t was my plan, consequently, on «y return to London to request Mr. Somerville to v is it Washington in two or three weeks, in other words as soon as su fficien t tisie elapsed for ae to fam iliar ise myself with current developments there. I thought at th a t time th at one or the other of us ought to be in Washington fa irly fre quently, i f we were to maintain adequate liaison with the home base. When I returned to London in mid-September 1942, I found the situ atio n radically changed as compared with the preceding June. The Economic Warfare Division had increased enormously i s sise and was s t i l l growing rapidly. The work load was increasing even more rapidly. Mr* Somerville was a very tire d man and was certainly not in the best of health. He had been working u n til the early hoars of the morning almost continuously and his work basket was always heaped before him. When I informed him of the program under which he fas to return to Washington early in October to fam iliarise R e p rod uced from th e U ncla ssified I D ecla ssified H o ld in g s o f th e N a tional A rch ive s / / Mr. Clement J* Sobotka -3 - himself with the complex economic warfare agencies th a t were de veloping th ere, he was loathe to leave u n til he had completed tasks he had set himself in London. I t Is th is situ atio n th a t fin ally gaye occasion fo r the Ambassador1s request, concurred in by me, th a t Iir. Somerville be recalled for consultation. One day the Ambassador requested me to v i s i t him to ta lk over the organisation of the Qivision. After going over the whole question, including my original plane, in which the Ambassador concurred, we decided th a t a message of re c a ll was the only device available th a t would prevail on Mr. Somerville to Hake the much needed break with h is routine* The message was accordingly sent. Mr. Somerville* s health was such th a t he was not actually able to depart u n til a considerable further period had elapsed. Subsequent to th a t time, I had an opportunity to review Iir. Somer v ille * s contribution to our operations as a whole. I can never ra te too highly Ur. Somerville1 s contribution in settin g up the ;Division originally and in the selection of .personnel fo r the Division. To s ta ff the organization adetjaately, we were compelled to pick up a considerable number of people in London where sk illed a&npower was extremely scarce. In numerous eases, Mr. Somerville, a fte r great care, made selections with respect to which I had reser vations. In no case were these reservations ju s tifie d . The g if t which he has for establishing exceptional contacts in the fie ld showed i t s e l f also in his a b ility to select personnel. I have w ritten you frankly aad at length because I think the record ought to be clear. Mr. Somerville made a substantial contribution in the opening phases of the Economic Warfare ac tiv i tie s in London- He wore himself out in the process. fery tru ly yours, Winfield I . R iefler, Assistant to the Chairman. IKRtjsU i R ep rod uced from th e U ncla ssified / D e c la s s ifi|f D EPARTM EN T O F S T A T E WASHINGTON November 1, 1948 Dear Mr. Riefler: The Division of Foreign Service Personnel was v isited th is morning by Iv3r. James Somerville, J r.,. a Foreign Service Officer who served with you in the Economic Warfare Division of the Embassy at London during 1943 and 1944. In discussing his record kr. Somerville expressed the feeling th at the value of h is services in London had not been adequately set fo rth . I t is , indeed, quite possible that the reports received by the Department of his work in the Economic 'Warfare Division did not give as complete a picture as might be desirable of Mr. Somerville, and that in th is connection he may have been done some in ju stice. I t would be greatly appreciated, therefore, if you would find i t convenient to furnish me, for insertion into Ivir. Somerville's record, a frank and objective statement of the value you attached to his work under your direction in London. Very tru ly yours Kr. Winfield W. R iefler, Assistant to the Chairman of the Board of Governors, Federal Reserve System Federal Reserve Building 'Washington, D. C.