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February 6, 1946

Mr. George W. Burgess
Assistant to the Assistant Secretary
Department of Commerce
Room 5840 Commerce Building
Washington 25, D. C.
Dear Mr. Burgess:
Confirming our conversation of February 4, we would like to ask
if your office could furnish us with some approximate estimates of the
capital expenditures likely to he made over the next five years for the
development of foreign commercial air transportation.
In considering several loan requests now before us, it would be
most helpful to our Board of Directors to appraise in some general
approximate terras the total amount of financing for which the Bank may
be called upon. The extent to which the Bank may have to restrict
equipment for which its funds could be used as well as the extent of
limitations on individual applicants would depend considerably upon the
total capital which may be required.
With this in mind, any estimates that you could give us along all
or any part of the following lines would be helpful:
1.

Total capitalexpenditurerequirements for the next
five years to develop all foreign routes now anticipated.

2*

Percent of total capital expenditure requirements divided
as between aircraft and related spares on the one hand,
and for ground installations, including shops, hangars,
tools, raido installations, etc., on the other. If you
can sub-divide this at all, it would be helpful.

3. Your estimate of the total capital expenditure requirements divided by American flag carriers and foreign flag
carriers*
4.




Tour estimate of percentage division of total expenditures
of foreign flag carriers by countries likely to furnish
the capital, including U. S.

- 2 -

5. Your estimate of breakdown of the U. S. capital
requirements for American and foreign flag carriers
separately, which might be expected to come fro*
a*
b#
c*
6.

U* S. private capital
Export-Import Bank
Other sources (foreign or domestic).

Any other information which you feel would be pertinent*

We realise any estimates of this kind will be rough. We feel
at this stage the estimates had best be prepared from information now
available to you. Possibly at some later time further new data might
be gathered.
We will of course regard your information as confidential, though
we would like your permission to use some portion of the same in discussion
with members of the national Advisory Council, established by the Bretton
Woods Act, with whom we consult on policy matters.

RNJ: dc



Sincerely yours,

Richard 8* Johnson
Assistant to the President