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William McChesney Martin, Jr., Papers Series V, Subseries A Box 21/Folder 2 FRB Official memos, 1951-56 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis c 0 p I http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Key West, Florida March 10, MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECE3TABY OF THE TREASURY THE DIRECTOR OF DEFENSE MOBILIZATION THE CHAIHMAN OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM THE CHAIRMAN OF THE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS By direction of the President, I am sending you herewith, for consideration and further acknowledgment, a copy of a letter which he has received from Honorable R. C. Leffingwell* Particular attention is invited to the third paragraph on page eight of Mr* Leffingwell's letter. (s) William D. Hassett WILIXAM D. HASSETT Secretary to the President c o p 23 Wall Street New York 8 PERSONAL March 1, 1951 y R. C. Leffingwell Dear Mr. President: You were very gracious to me Tuesday, and I am grateful for the hearing you gave me* Perhaps a letter repeating the views I tried to express to you and filling in some details, may be of use to you* I remember vividly the great deflation which was begun in 1920 when I was fiscal Assistant Secretary of the Treasury (there was then no Under Secretary). The Federal Reserve Bank of New York raised its rate to 1% in May, and my last official act, in June, was to issue one year G?o certificates of the United States. A little later, on my return to the practice of the law in New York, I had to sell some of my Liberty bonds at about 84 to pay for the house I had to buy to get a place for my family to live in* Nobody wants anything like that to happen again ever* Nobody wants deflation or dear money* At the other extreme is the Treasury's present policy of forcing the Federal Reserve to inflate credit to buy Treasury securities at par or more* Federal Reserve credit has been inflated by more than |5 billion since the latter part of June, of which more than $4 billion was for the purchase of Governraent securities* http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis This inflation of basic credit cannot, in my view, 2. be continued without disaster to the credit of the United States and overwhelming inflationary pressure on prices and wages, which it will be impossible to control. The inflationary force of the ex- pansion of basic credit by the Federal Reserve cannot be capped any more effectively than Vesuvius can be capped; nor, to change the metaphor, than we can by dams and levees, however useful, stop the flow of the Mississippi River to the sea. The Government cannot stem the flood of inflation of Federal Reserve credit by building dams and levees here and there. May I amplify that with particular reference to the points on which you asked your advisers to report in the statement which you submitted to them on Monday, the 26th, the day before you received me? The efforts of the American Bankers Association, Investment Bankers Association and Life Insurance Association, to bring about voluntary private restraints on lendings and borrowings, are laudable* I had of course experience with the Capital Issues Committees of World War I. If a Capital Issues Committee were created now, and given control of capital issues by States and municipalities and Federal agencies, as well as business corporations, that might help to preempt the market for the Government's own borrowing. This would be a good thing if the Treasury is now willing to try to sell some bonds of its own to investors. The suggestion of using the authority of the Emergency Banking Act of 1935 and the Trading with the Enemy Act to police bank http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3. lending does not seem practical to me. We had some experience in the Treasury in the period after the First World War with the efforts by •what was then called "direct action" to control inflation. And Secretary Glass and I then concluded that these were ineffective. I observed similar efforts of the Federal Reserve banks in the late 1920s, when again inflation was rampant, and observed their failure* There are, as you know, some fourteen thousand banks, big and little, in this country, and it is an individualistic country, and bankers are as individualistic as anybody. I do not know how the Federal Reserve could undertake to police the loans of the member and non-member banks of the country. And I donft know what would become of the country if they did seriously try to do it« Capital issues are one -tiling. Bank borrowing is quite another. Capital issues take time for planning. Officers and directors take their time to think the thing out. They may have to be submitted to stockholders. They may have to be submitted to the Security and Exchange Commission or Interstate Commerce Commission or other commissions and public authorities. They may have to be submitted to competitive bidding. All this delay is made possible by the fact that the borrower can go to its bank and get the money to meet payrolls and operating expenses, working capital needs, or, temporarily, even capital needs. But if that source of temporary funds were stopped up until a loan application to a bank had been policed by the Federal Reserve, very serious consequences indeed might follow to the economy and to the defense effort* http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis I do not think it is a good idea at all to attempt 4. to police the loans of member "banks or non-member banks. Nor do I favor further increasing the reserves of the member banks of the Reserve System. That is a rough and crude and destructive method. As long as the member banks have G-overnment securities to sell it is ineffective. The reserve requirements in the central reserve and reserve cities are already too high. Many members banks1 earnings are so low in relation to their capital resources that their shares sell in the market way below their asset value. It would be too bad further to weaken our independent banking system by expropriating still more of their earning assets, to be turned over to the Federal Reserve without compensation, and so further undermine the member banks1 ability to earn a living. This reserve increase is just another special tax on banks, like their contribution to the F.D. I.C., which banks alone must pay, in addition to the income tax which all corporations must pay. The effect of subtracting further sums from the earning assets of the member banks will be to lead the member banks to seek more speculative and less safe loans than heretofore in order to bolster up their already too small earnings. Even a bank must live, and among the fourteen thousand banks there are many that are working for less than a living wage. The effort to solve the problem by increasing reserve requirements will be unsuccessful as long as the banks have Government securities to sell to the Federal Reserve, and can only have the effect of weakening the private banks and driving business, industry and agriculture to depend increasingly on public lending agencies, of which there are already too many. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 5. These are some of the grave objections to the expedients which in the memorandum you asked your advisers to consider. But the main difficulty is that these expedients do not deal with the cause of inflation, "but with the consequences. The cause of in- flation is not lending "by the commercial "banks and other financial institutions of the country, "but the manufacture of unwanted and unneeded credit "by the Federal Reserve "banks for the purpose of "buying up the public debt of the United States and maintaining an artificially high price for it. No expedients, however ingenious, no price controls, no wage controls, no policing of the banks, can possibly stop the inflationary pressure from breaking bounds as long as the Federal Reserve banks go on pumping out credit. What is needed is to break the present log jam which has been so highly injurious to the country, to break the deadlock between the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, and to find some constructive solution to induce both to make concessions. I suggest neither dear money as in 1920 or 1929 nor the extreme cheap money desired by the Treasury, but a moderate increase in interest rates. That will not be deflationary but is necessary to promote the sale of Government securities to investors and to relieve the Federal Reserve banks of the necessity of creating fresh supplies of basic credit to buy up the public debt. The Treasury should allow the Federal Reserve to lower its supporting prices, but the Federal Reserve should continue their support and maintain a stable and orderly but not fixed and frozen market. of http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Then it will be no longer profitable for the holders bonds and other securities of the United States (including banks, insurance companies and other financial institutions and corporations) to sell their holdings, "but rather painful and unpleasant for them to do so. The present situation in the bond market is that few want to buy Government bonds and many want to sell them, because everybody understands that the price is artificially high. When the price of securities is pegged too high, the tendency of investors is to sell whenever they can and not to buy unless they have to. Government credit would not be affected adversely by fluctuations in the price of its bonds. It never was before Secretary Morgenthau froze bond prices. The credit of States and municipalities and business corporations, whose bonds are not pegged, is not affected at all adversely by fluctuations in the price of the securities* These fluctuations merely reflect the market situation and the relation of supply and demand. It would be a strange thing indeed if the credit of the United States depended on perpetuating a pricepegging practice which if engaged in by banking syndicates would be illegal. When a market is known to be rigged, as the Government bond market has been rigged for so long, investors habitually hesitate to buy, and are overprone to sell. When investors get to be of that state of mind there is not much good arguing with them. Sir Stafford Cripps found this out, in relation to the pound sterling which once had been the world's premier currency, when he tried to peg the pound above the market's estimate of its value. It isn't possible to maintain the peg after the market has made up its mind that the price is not a fair one. One may say the price is unalterable, and say it again and again, as Cripps did, . but, just as the waves of the sea wet King Canute's feet, so the http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis market will demonstrate the impossibility of maintaining forever an artificial price. The credit of the Government of the United States can be impaired, but not by fluctuations in thamarket price of its securities. It can be impaired by the depreciation of the buying power of the dollar. It is that depreciation which is impairing the real value of Government bonds, and the cause of that depreciation is Federal Reserve inflation. As long as the Federal Reserve goes on buying up the public debt with Federal Reserve credit, the impairment of the dollar, and therefore of the bonds which are payable in dollars, will continue. Another and most constructive thing would be for the Treasury to issue a new bond on terms that would be attractive to investors, and put on a liberty loan campaign to sell it. Just by way of illustration, say a 2 3/W forty year bond, with limited tax exemption to little people. Such a campaign at this time should result in substantial sales to investors, and have the collateral advantage of arousing the enthusiasm of the people for the defense effort and giving them a part in that effort. The country sadly needs the moral stimulus of such a campaign, indeed a series of campaigns led by community leaders. An unfortunate controversy arose between Secretary Morgenthau and the Federal Reserve which led him to discontinue the old practice of using the Federal Reserve banks as fiscal agents in selling its bonds. It would be most helpful if the Treasury were to revert to the previous practice of McAdoo, Glass, Houston and their successors, and employ the Federal Reserve banks as fiscal agents to http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis a. sell Government securities and to organize the local liberty loan committees. If the Federal Reserve banks had to work for the Treasury as its fiscal agents to sell its bonds, instead of just bickering with the Treasury about its policies, many of the differences between them should soon disappear. One of the consequences of the inflationary monetary and banking policies now being pursued by the Federal Reserve in compliance with the Treasury's wishes is the aggravation of the gold outflow* Our gold holdings are enormous and beyond our present needs* But our gold losses since the devaluation of foreign currencies have exceeded 10$ of our holdings a year and a half ago, and continuation of gold losses at this rate for the period of a protracted defense effort such as is now contemplated, not to say the period of a total war, might gravely impair our ability to maintain our armed forces abroad and to continue our purchases of necessary supplies from abroad. Our gold holdings must now be regarded as a war fund, and should be conserved. The flight from the dollar which is now taking place in consequence of the fear of present inflationary monetary policies must be arrested, if for no other reason. It occurred to me that this memorandum of my views, which is really only an elaboration of what I said to you in the half hour I was privileged to have with you Tuesday, might be of some use to you at this time, and even perhaps to Mr» Snyder, Mr» McCabe, Mr* Wilson and Mr. Keyserling, if you think it worthwhile to show it to them. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis I hope very much that you are going to have a rest while you are down South, and at least that you will enjoy the warm weather and sunshine* I am, my dear Mr. President, with great respect, Faithfully yours, (s) Ro C. Leffingwell The President The vfaite House Washington, D, C, http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ; STATELSMT _ > I wish to make a few remarks on a problem •which is attracting a great deal of public attention. As you know, one of the important contributing factors to the inflationary pressure ^e are experiencing today is the steady expansion of bank and related credit, -which has risen by since Korea. In order to check this expansion it is clear that some means will have to \ be found to reduce the potential of the banking system to extend credit. In the effort to deal with this problem, we have run squarely into a basic conflict between the objective of maintaining a stable market for government securities which form such an important part of our financials tructure and the power which this objective now gives to our bsnks to expend credit at will. This difficulty arises because the banking system now holds a large volume of government securities purchased at par or better, which are the assets which it holds against the deposits of the public. Tho ocnringo "3f tho public, in n f f f i o t j nrrn i.rmirtM I n tkmjii ^H-IIMEI* handa iiftdtui^ly thivmgh' tlw b'aBlfinp ayetam. The banks have not hesitated to sell these government securities to the Reserve System and make additional loans on the basis of the reserves thus established, One way of dealing with this problem of expanding loans by the banks would be to allow the price of government bonds to fall so that banks would not sell them to (a^ike loans of inflationary character. That is to say, if the Federal Reserve System should no longer be prepared to buy the bonds at or above par, the banks would not sell them to the Reserve.System because they would take a loss, and hence would be reluctant to establish the reserves necessary to make the additional loans. The Federal Reserve System is now persuaded that th«dcourse of action should be adopted. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Against this point of view, it is the Treasury opinion - 2- that there are other more effective ways of limiting the expansion of loans by the bankin^ systerr, and that this particular method has the serious disadvantage of hampering the efforts of our government to raise the necessary funds through tapping the savings of the public. in two ways. It hampers this operation First, it increases the cost to the Treasury of borrowing money, and makes the Treasury pay to the banks and other financial acokkiscEri±±gx institutions larger amounts in the form of interest on the public debt, thus adding to the overall expenditures of the government and the over-all deficit to be financed by appropriations and taxes. confidence of i»y*«i»*»M*i j i i i n i i Secondly, by disturbing the iiiinniy»Aaa|Mi»<A«*iiii j mini «tiriiir savers, it may accelerate a flight from government securities into commodities and other forms of wealth. The Treasury believes that, at this critical juncture, the overall lon&i -farm fiscal advantages of maintaining the level of interest rates is more /i important to the country, than the limited contribution which would be made to the bank loan problem by allowing interest rates to rise fractionally and the prices of government to fall. There are a number of reasons why we do not feel that, under prevailing circumstances, a rise in bank loans would be effectively prevented by unsettling the government bond market. The banks today can replenish their cash reserves and go on mfcing loans, without needing to sell aay long-term government securities to the Federal Reserve System. They have in their portfolios short term bills and notes some of which mature every day, week or month. To make new loans all that is necessary is that they fail to renew some of the maturing short-terra securities which they now hold. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis It is for this reason that we do not believe - 3that banks will forego opportunities to make profitable loans ever, if their long term government securities are made unmarketable except at a loss. The fact that in recent months they have preferred to sell long- term government securities rather thai let the short-term holdings run down as a means of replenishing their reserves, I believe is to a substantial extent due to the desire to reduce their portfolios because of the threat that prices of these securities might be allowed to decline. It -would not, in my opinion, have been easy to stop the loans that the banks have been mak ing during the past few months by any of the indirect measures which affect primarily the prices and the interest rates on government securities. I strongly suspect that nothing short of a definite ceiling on the loans permitted to any bank, in the form of a quota for total loans fixed by the Federal Reserve EostrcLwuld really have achieved the result of preventing an expansion in bank loans during recent months. lYhile I remain rather skeptical as to the effect of indirect measures in holding down the level of bank loans when the bank's customers are vigorously demanding credit, there are other ways of applying indirect pressure to the level of bank loans without at the same time incurring the risks of unsettling the government . securitj^insrket or adding to the cost of the defense effort and the size of the budget. These might take several forms: a general increase in reserve requirements, the addition of special emergency reserve requirements during the emergency period, and an extension of selectivecontrols on credit in the form of directives to the banking system. Though I do not place agHMffliMMar as great emphasis on ths significance of bank credit in the fotraxmibotbcKEtiiM total inflationary picture as some others do, http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -hI fully agree that no objection should be made to any attempt to deal with this aspect of the inflationary problem unless it involves dangers to other objectives we have before us. Consequently, I would support the adoption of legislation authorizing the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System to increase reserve requirements above present levels. I would also endorse the proposals which the Board of Governors haf made at previous dates, as a special emergency period device only, the i^uquii' mm aut of a special reserve, A over and above regular reserves, to be held in the form of eligible securities of a short time character. I believe this should be a special emergency measure rather than a permanent authority. In the third place, I would be glad to see the powers of the Federal Reserve System extended to enable them to provide limits as to the amount of business inventories as well as consumer credit, which may be final ced for a given borrower. I would also be glad to see them given powers to direct the banking system to refuse credits for particular types of activities. In 5tfp/»orjtT fact, I ana prepared to awMtaHiD any request of the Federal Reserve System for powers to control bank loans directly, so long as these powers are not exercised in such a way as to make more difficult the problem this country faces in financing, this gigantic effort of national survival and maintaining a steady and confident market for the billions of government securities which must eventually be placed with the public and with the financial system, at rates which are reasonable but which do not add unnecessarily to the heavy burden of e xpenditures which we must write into ourf or th coming budgets. In conclusion, I would like to try to make a few points clear about th^is whole issue. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis There has been, and still is, an area of honest difference of opinion between the Federal fieserve System and the Treasury as to just "where the balance of advantage and disadvantage has in the Federal Reserve interest rate proposals. They think that the balance is plus. I think that the disadvantages clearly outweigh the advantages and that -we roust follow a different Ybute from here on out to achieve the objective on which v;e are all agreed. But what is and has been troublesome to me is the way in which the issue has been publicly distorted to create the impression that the two viewpoints are diametrically opposite and that the objectives of the Federal Reserve System and the Treasury are in basic conflict. are not and have never been. They The Federal Reserve has an admirable record over the years in fighting inflation and deflation at every turn with the weapons at its disposal. So, if I may say so, has the Treasury. The particular issue which has now come to a head has been inherent in our situation eveH the public debt reached its present day levels and our banks acquired large holdings of government securities. I am more than ready to stand from here "on out «*M*i*p«p<pppiW that you cannot resolve this issue with the puny weapon on which the Federal Reserve System proposes to rely. It •w may achieve some slight short-run results but only at a permanet cost vastly /* out of proportion to the results. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Mr. Martin Since you are planning to go directly to the Treas., and the Secretary might wish to discuss Mr. Cobbold's cable to Mr. Sproul, I thoughtyou might like to see a copy. Mr. Riefler has seen it and has passed it on to Gov. Szymczak who, I understand, talked to the Secy about it. The Secy asked to see a copy of this cable. Hoveu&er ?f SECRET AHD P^RSOHAL FROM* OQBBQLD TO SFROUL s Dictated by Hr. Knoke (London) We are proposing to Government a small increase in bank rate together with two other measuress (a) A special rate for advances against Treasury Bills slightly lower than new bank rate in order to cushion cost to Exchequer without prejudicing free working of short-term market. (b) Operation to reduce volume of floating debt by funding substantial part into short-term bonds suitable for banking holders. Objective is to get away from rigidity and restore flexibility to short-term market, We shall expect Treasury Bill and other rates to rise somewhat and fluctuate according to supply and demand and to our own operations. Ws shall no longer stand ready to supply our market with money in unlimited quantities by buying Bills at fixed rates. Tsfe have preferred recomsiending these small but definite moves away from rigidity and toward flexibility and reality rather than isore drastic increase in rate which would sound drastic but have incalculable effects financially and politically. these changes, if accepted, will be announced in their proper perspective as part of a coaiprehensive program* Routine advice will be sent to you as scon as decision announced. keep this cable absolutely "confidential1* until then* http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Please August 25, 1952 Assignments of Subjects for Initial Consideration by Individual of the Board of Governors In accordance with the Board's established policy, no division or portion of the staff Is to be regarded as being attached to, or under the Jurisdiction of, a particular Board member by reason of any of these assignments. All members of the staff are to serve all members of the Board, and while a member of the Board nay have occasion to call on a certain division or certain members of the staff more than others, they are not attached to, or subject to the control of, such member. The scope of each Board member's assignments includes the prep* eration by the staff of such reports, studies, memoranda, and other Incidental material, i.e., research and statistical material, legal opinions, informational memoranda, etc,, as may be considered appropriate within the limits of the staff organization and budget. If a Board member desires to initiate a discussion of a subject that Is among the assignments of another Board member, he should first take the matter up with the Board member who has the assignment. If that Is not done, the Secretary will comply with the Board member's request that the matter be placed on the agenda and the Board will decide whether It will discuss it or refer It to the appropriate member of the Board for a recommendation. these assignments will be reviewed In February of every other year or whenever there Is a change in the membership of the Board. Chalraan Martin (Alternate; Bone) 1. leoncalc and aonetary policy Batters (open Market operations, discount rates, reserve requirements, Interest rates, Goveraaent finance, International monetary questions). 2. Policies involved In the initiation and adoption of legislation and executive orders affecting the System. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Governor Szyaczak (Alternate! Governor Vardaman) 1. Relations of Reserve Banks vlth foreign banks, banker*, and itsj staff aiseions and travel of Individual staff aambers of Beeenre Banks and Board to foreign countries. 2. International financial institutions and institutions engaged in foreign banking subject to sections 25 and 25(a) of the Federal Reserve Act; foreign branches of domestic banks. 3. Relations with foreign central banks and foreign treasuries. 4. Extension and maintenance of credit by brokers, dealers, banks, and others for purchasing or carrying securities. (Alternate for Chairman Martin on Rational Advisory Council) , . Governor Evans ( Alternate i Bone) 1. Agricultural conditions, including prices, production, and Markets; relations concerning these subjects vith the Department of Agriculture, Farm Credit Administration, food and Agriculture Organization of the United Hat ions, and other agencies; leading activities of Government agencies in the agricultural field. 2. Informal liaison between Board and Chairmen of Reserve Banks; preparation of topics for agenda of Federal Advisory Council, Chairmen's Conference, Presidents* Conference, and similar groups. 3. Operation and Maintenance of Board's building. k. Regulation of real estate credit. (A* alternate for Governor Morton). 5» Lending and loan guarantee and insurance activities of Government agencies, other than in agricultural field. (As alternate for Governor Norton). http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis / 6. Services of Reserve Banks and reimbursement therefor; ex* pendltures, including Reserve Bank budgets and functional expense reports; reserves for losses; chargeoffs and dividends; Reserve Bank stock; discounts and advances of Reserve Banks; operations under section 13b of toe Federal Reserve Act; purchases by Reserve Banks of securities and bills other than through System Open Market Account; questions of eligibility of paper for discount or as security for advances. (As alternate for Governor Morton). 7« Coordination and development of relations of the Board and the Reserve Banks with Member banks, nonmember banks, banking associations, educational Institutions, and the general public. (As alternate for GOT* ernor Morton) . Governor Vardaman (Alternate; Hone) 1. Activities of Federal Reserve Banks as fiscal agents In guaranteeing loans under Defense Production Act of 2. lstablisbs»nt, regulation, and discontinuance of branches and agencies of Reserve Banks; determination of district and branch territorial limits. 3. Currency natters $ interdietrict settlement fund, k. Outside business and other relations of directors, officers, and employees of Reserve Banks{ removal of directors, officers, and employees of Reserve Banksi disposition of criminal charges against such persons. Governor Mills (Alternatei Hone) 1. Research programs of Reserve Banks and the Board of Governorsj publications of the Federal Beserve System; call reports of conditions and other periodical reports of member banks. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2. Clearance and collection systems. 3. Hatters relating to Treasury savings bonds. k. Federal Reserve Retirement System; trustee of the Retirement System, elected by the Board as Its representative! associate of the Investment Coaalttee of the Retirement System. Governor Robertson (Alternate: Hone) 1. Supervision and examination of State member banks, including foreign and domestic branches, mergers and consolidations, capital, maintenance of required reserves, payment of Interest on deposits, loans and Investments of member banks; natters relating to membership of State banks In the Federal Reserve System; supervision and examination of bank holding companies and their affiliates) trust powers of national banks; later* locking relations of directors, officers, and employees of member banks; loans to executive officers of member banks; removal of, and criminal charges against, directors, officers and employees of member banks; relations regarding the above matters vlth the Comptroller of the Currency, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, this Reconstruction Finance Corporation, State banking departments, and bankers associations. 2. Examination of Federal Keserve Banks and examination of institutions engaged In foreign banking subject to sections 25 and 25a of the Federal Beserve Act. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM February 28, 1951. To: Board of Governors From: Personnel Committee On October 25 > 1950, the Personnel Committee was requested to study the existing policies, rules, and procedures of the Board with respect to the expenses incurred by members of the Board for various purposes and to submit a recommendation for the Board's consideration. It was understood that after the recommendation of the Personnel Committee had been received the Board would review existing policies in executive session when all of the members of the Board are present so that effective rules and procedures with respect to the control of such expenses might be provided for the guidance of the staff. In response to this request the Personnel Committee makes the following recommendations: 1. Under existing policy whenever an expenditure is proposed which in the judgment of the Director of the Division of Administrative Services is not justified and the proposal is not withdrawn, the matter is considered by the Secretary and if it can not thus be disposed of it is presented to the Board's Personnel Committee. As a means of emphasizing the need for careful expenditure of Board funds it is recommended that the members of the Board pay special attention to the policy which was restated in connection with the approval of the budget for 1951> i.e., specific expenditures should be carefully scrutinized before they are authorized to make sure they are necessary and are thoroughly justified. 2. It is also recommended that the Board approve the attached revised statements with respect to: (a) (b) (c) (d) Travel by members of the Board and its staff Use of Board automobiles and chauffeurs Board members' messengers Policy with respect to speeches and articles 3» Since they appear to be working satisfactorily, no change is recommended in existing policies with respect to: http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (a) Operation of the private dining rooms (b) Assignment of employees (c) Gatherings, dinners, etc. Copies of these statements are also attached. -2- The Personnel Committee was prompted in recommending the revision of the statements referred to in paragraph (2) above by the following considerations: Travel. The statement with respect to travel is in the form of an amendment to paragraph (8) of the Board's travel regulations and would require a full statement of (l) purpose of the travel, and (2) why it is deemed necessary in the conduct of the official business of the Board. It is the feeling of the Personnel Committee that a mere statement that the purpose of the travel is to attend a meeting or conference is not sufficient justification for the travel request and that a sufficiently complete statement should be given to make it clear why the travel is official and in the interest of the Board. The travel would not be approved if it appeared to be for any purpose other than official business that necessarily must be taken care of at the time. For example, travel merely to suit the convenience of the traveler even though official business was to be done during the trip would not be justification for approval. A third requirement in the amended paragraph would be that except in an emergency no official travel would be undertaken without the required approval in advance. This is to give an opportunity for a review of the need for the travel before the trip begins. Use of Automobiles. The Personnel Committee believes it is important that members of the Board observe the requirement which was contained in the previous statement and is continued in the attached revision that the Board's automobiles shall not be used for travel between home and office in the ordinary course. This does not mean, however, that if a member of the Board needs to make a trip home from the office to get his bags for an official trip or to change clothes for an official function or if he is home and wants a car to take him to the station or airport in connection with official travel, the car should not be used for such purposes. The statement is directed at the use of the Board's cars for ordinary travel between home and office which is not regarded as official travel. The revised statement also requires that, except in an emergency, approval of the use of an automobile and chauffeur outside official working hours shall be obtained in advance and that an automobile will not be accompanied by more than one chauffeur or other attendant during the hours when the payment of overtime is involved. The purpose of this requirement is to hold the payment of overtime to a minimum consistent with the proper use of automobiles outside of regular working hours. The statement contains the additional requirement that any apparent violations of this policy shall be brought to the attention of the members of the Board. This is suggested because the Personnel Committee feels that care should be taken in the use of official cars and the members of the Board should know of any use that does not appear to be in harmony with established policies. Board Membersf Messengers. This statement would discontinue the assignment of a messenger to the office of each Board member and the recommendation is made for the reasons that have been discussed on various occasions by the members of the Board. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis —3— Speeches and Articles. The previous statement was limited in its scope to the distribution of speeches and articles. The proposed revision contemplates that there will be a more systematic selection of occasions on which members of the Board and its staff will speak or write articles in the interest of a more effective public relations program and that every effort will be made to conserve the time of the Board and its staff in the preparation and processing of speeches and articles, particularly at the present time when everyone is under such heavy pressure. Attachments http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TRAVEL BY MEMBERS OF THE BOARD AND ITS STAFF 8, Whenever any travel at the Board1s expense is contemplated by any member of the Bo&rd or by the Advisers to the Board, the Assistant to the Bosrd, the Assistant to the Chairman, heads, associate heads, and assistant heads of divisions, a memorandum in a form provided for the purpose shall be submitted in advance of the trip to the Board1s Personnel Committee*, and whenever any such travel is contemplated by other members of the staff a similar memorandum shall be submitted in advance of the trip to the division head concerned, setting forth the proposed date or dates of absence on such travel, the itinerary to be followed, a full statement of the purpose of the travel, and why it is deemed necessary in the conduct of the official business of the Board (a statement that the purpose is to attend a meeting, conference, etc., will not be sufficient, but the nature of the meeting, conference, etc., and the necessity for the presence of the traveler must be fully set forth). If it appears in any case that the travel is for any purpose other than necessary official business that needs to be taken care of at the time, it shall be the duty of the Personnel Committee* or the Division Head not to approve the travel. Except in an emergency, the nature of which shall be fully set forth in the travel voucher, no official travel shall be undertaken until approved by the Personnel Committee* or the Division Head as the case may be and in the event of an emergency such approval shall be obtained as promptly as practicable. No voucher for travel expenses shall be paid by the Division of Administrative Services unless the Division shall have been furnished with advice of approval of such travel as required by this paragraph. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (* Note: When travel of a member of the Personnel Committee is involved, the Chairman, Vice Chairman, or Chairman pro tern, will substitute for such member on the Personnel Committee.) BOARD MEMBERS' MESSENGERS The present practice of assigning individuals with the title of messenger or clerk to each Board member shall be discontinued, and the services of these employees shall be pooled and made available to all offices in the Board members' section vithout specific assignment. The services of messengers shall not be used at the Board's expense at any time for private purposes, except that during regular business hours when no overtime pay is required, messengers assigned to the Board members' section may be used for running personal errands. Responsibility for the supervision of these messengers will be in the Division of Administrative Services and policies with respect to such supervision shall be determined by the Division in consultation with the member of the Board whose assignments include the supervision of the operation of the Board's build- ing. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis POLICY WITH RESPECT TO SPEECHES Ai-JD ARTICLES The time that can be devoted by members of the Board and its staff to the preparation of speeches and articles is necessarily limited, Furthermore, the time required for writing and processing speeches has made a very substantial drain on the time of the staff and every effort should be made, particularly during the present period of extraordinary demands, to keep such work at a minimum and to systematize it so that the effort expended can be used to the best possible advantage. For these reasons the following procedure has been approved by the Board. The procedure does not suggest in any way that the members of the Board are not entirely free to make their own decisions as to whether they will make a speech or write an article or as to what they may choose to say. Rather, it is designed to make the best possible use of the time available to the members of the Board and its staff and at the same time make our public statements as effective as possible in the interest of a better understanding of the System and its functions. 1. All invitations to speak or to write articles received by members of the Board and its staff will, be reported to Mr. Thurston's office. 2. Mr. Thurston will review these invitations and he and the member of the Board whose assignments include public relations shall, in consultation with such other members of the Board and the staff as the situation might suggest, make recommendations as to the invitations that should be accepted (and perhaps invitations that should be sought). 3. The members of the Board will consider these recommendations in making their decisions as to speeches and articles that they will undertake. 4. Unless a speech or article is to be published in the Federal Reserve Bulletin and reprints made thereof in accordance with current policy with respect to such publication, not more than 300 copies of the speech or article shall be printed or otherwise reproduced and not more than 200 copies shall be distributed through the use of the franking privilege or at the expense of the Board. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis USE OF BOAhD AUTOMOBILES AND CHAUFFEURS Board automobiles shall not be used for travel between home and office or for any other non-official purpose at any time. Board automobiles shall not be accompanied by more than one chauffeur or other attendant during hours when the payment of overtime would be involved. Board automobiles shall not be used outside working hours during which Board chauffeurs are regularly on duty, without written approval, on a form provided for the purpose, by the Board member whose assignments include the supervision of the operation of the Board s building, or by his alternate when his use of a Board automobile is involved or when he is absent. In an emergency when such approval can not be obtained in advance, it shall be obtained as promptly as practicable after the use of the automobile and chauffeur. The record of trips made try official cars which the chauffeurs are required to keep under the Board's existing rules shall be reviewed from time to time by such Board member or his alternate, and it shall be his duty to bring to the attention of the Board any situation which appears to be a violation of the provisions of this paragraph. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis RULES GOVERNING OPERATIONS OF THE PRIVATE DINING ROOMS The private dining room area is to be used only by the Board Members, heads and assistant heads of Divisions, certain members of the Board1s staff and others to whom invitations have been issued by the Board, and such guests as they may bring with them. On October 22, 1948, the Board approved the following arrangement with respect to the use of the Board Members' two dining rooms: "Both the Brown and the Blue dining rooms shall be open to the members of the Board and their guests, the Special Adviser to the Board, the Assistant to the Board and the Assistant to the Chairman, with the understanding (1) that as a general rule a member of the Board will take preferably not more than one guest, and in any event not more than two guests, into the Brown Room, (2) that the Blue Room will continue to be used for special luncheons for the Federal Advisory Council and the Presidents1 Conference as in the past, (3) that when a member of the Board wishes to invite a special official guest or guests for a luncheon to which will be invited the other members of the Board, and such members of the staff as the Board member may wish, the Blue Room may be reserved for that purpose and the member arranging the luncheon will advise the other members of the Board and the Supervisor of the cafeteria as far in advance as possible and ask her to reserve the Blue Room for the luncheon, and (4-) that when the Blue Room is not being used for a special luncheon as referred to above it will be set up to accommodate eight persons." The large room, known as the Staff Dining Room, is to be used primarily by staff members and others who hold invitations, and the use of this room is confined exclusively to men. However, a Board Member may, of course, reserve a table in this room should he desire to do so. Luncheon may also be served in the Board Members1 offices. Under the arrangement approved by the Board, the cafeteria will prepare the food and place it in carriers, upon reasonable advance notice, to be called for by the Board Member's messenger not later than 2:00 p.m. This service is confined to the offices in the Board Members' area on the second floor. Dining room checks will be presented by the waitress at the time of service and should be signed by the Board or staff member both for himself and for any guest accompanying him. A bill will be rendered each month. A surcharge of 15 cents for service is made for each person served. There is no tipping. The hours of service are from 1 to 2 p.m. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -2- The following is a list of persons whose luncheon checks may be charged to the Board: 1. Directors, officers and employees of the Federal Reserve Banks and their Branches; and the members and Secretary of the Federal Advisory Council. In these cases the checks may be signed by the individual served; or they may be signed by any member of the Board or of the senior staff and charged to the Board if the notation "Official Guest" is placed upon the check. 2. Cabinet officers and the Under Secretaries and Assistant Secretaries of all Executive Departments; the Directors of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation; the Comptroller and the Deputy Comptrollers of the Currency; the Administrator or members of the Board in charge of any independent Federal Agency; and the Directors of any Government-owned corporation. In these cases the check may be charged to the Board when it is signed by a member of the Board or a member of the senior staff and the notation "Official Guest" is placed upon the check. 3. Any member of the Board may charge to the Board's account the luncheon check of any other official guest of such member by placing on it the notation "Official Guest" and signing the check. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ASSIGMEMT OF EMPLOYEES The Board shall not carry on the pay roll of, or charge to the budget of, one office or division the salary of an employee who performs service in another office or division, except when such service is only for brief periods of an intermittent character. Any transfer necessitated by this regulation shall be subject to approval in advance by the Board* http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis GATHERINGS» DINNERS. ETC., AT FEDERAL RESERVE BAMS In order to remove any basis for misunderstanding as to the relation of the Board or any of its members to any special gatherings or luncheons> dinners or other occasions which may create expense for any Federal Reserve Bank or its branch that would not be incurred otherwise, no such arrangements shall be requested or suggested by any member of the Board or of its staff, except with the approval of the Board which will be communicated to such Federal Reserve Bank by the Board's Secretary or Assistant Secretary. No arrangements at the expense of the Board for such purposes shall be made without the approval of the Board which will be communicated to the Division of Administrative Services by the Board's Secretary or Assistant Secretary. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Members of the Official Staff Who will retire within ten years Division Name Present Age Board Members .Elliott Thurston 56 Board Members Winfield W. Riefler 55 Legal George B. Vest 56 Examinations Fred A. Nelson 56 Examinations George S. Sloan 60 Bank Operations J. E. Horbett 53 Bank Operations R. F. Leonard 58 July 28, 1952. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis COMMENTS OF CHAIRMAN 1ORTII AT CONGRESSIONAL HEARINGS RELATING TO THE BOARD'S AUTHORITY TO ADMINISTER OONSIMR CREDIT CONTROLS March 1;, 195>2 - Hearings before Senate Banking and Currency Committee on extension of Defense Production Act _ "While there are difficult and onerous problems associated with regulation W, the regulation of installment credit has proved a useful sup plement to general measures directed toward the stabilization of our economy. Consumer credit is relatively unresponsive to the effects of general credit instruments; *- * •* It was the dramatic experience mth stock market credit in the 1920' s, along just these lines, that led Congress to provide permanent authority to regulate that type of credit selectively. "Accordingly, we recommend that the basic authority contained in the Defense Production Act of 1950 be extended and that the limitations placed on the Board's authority to fix appropriate terms imposed by the Defense Production Act amendments of 195>1 be deleted." (From prepared statement read to the Committee, pp. 82, 83 of Hearings) May 21, 195>2 - Hearings before House Committee on Banking and Currency on extension of Defense Production Act _ "MR. BARRETT. Mr. Martin, I would like to bring you back to regulation W for a moment. Would you recommend that this committee go on record for the abolition of regulation W, or set up a stand-by? "MR. MARTIN. No, I would not recommend that you abolish it. I would recommend that you renew the authority. I would even go so far as to hope you would restore the flexibility in it. But that might be too much to ask. "MR. BARRETT. But you would recommend it being inserted as a stand- by? "MR. MARTIN. I would indeed, yes, sir. I consider it as auxiliary fire-fighting equipment that we ought to have available in these times. "MR. BARRETT. Then let me ask you another question, if I may: What would be your attitude on regulation X? http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis "MR. MARTIN. I would feel the same way about regulation X." (p. 1371) -2- March 30, 1953 - Hearings before Senate Committee on Banking and Currency on Standby Economic Controls In response to a direct question by Senator Bennett -whether consumer credit controls should be a permanent part of Federal Reserve legislation, Chairman Martin commented as follows: "Well, Senator, I would like to speak as an individual, rather than for the Board on that. I have changed my thinking since I have been here, and I lean now individually to the thought that they ought to be a permanent part of the Federal Reserve Act. "My thinking along that line runs in this way—we have a massconsumption and mass-production economy, and that if these controls are to be useful as a minor screwdriver in the kit from time to time, and are to be effectively administered in a useful way, they should be removed from emergency legislation and put into the framework of the Federal Reserve Act. "Nclow, I am not advocating that this morning. I am just giving you an insight into the course of my own thinking on it.'1 (p. ll;79) May 5, 1953 - Hearings before House Committee on Banking and Currency on a bill amending the Federal Reserve Act to increase authority for branch bank buildings In response to a question by Congressman Deane, Chairman Martin made the following coiranentt "I say with due deference to the committee that I think the Cbngress did make a mistake in removing regulations W and X at the time that they did. & #• # -x- -x- # "Now, as I said before the Senate committee, my own thinking on this matter has changed some-what since I came into the system. I would think that, with the mass production, mass consumption economy, of the type that we have today, that it might be desirable for the Federal Reserve Board, as a part of the Federal Reserve Act, free from the political pressures on one side and the private pressures on the other, that Mr. Fatman has rightly said, the role that we should play would be to have this authority invokable from time to time, in the same way that open market operations, reserve requirements, and the discount rate are invokable." (p. 2?) http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Oct. 30, 19^2 - WT FEDERAL RESERVE OPERATIONS IN PERICDS OF TREASURY FINANCING Since the Treasury-Federal Reserve accord the principal broad objectives of fiscal and monetary policy have been to finance the Government deficit growing out of the defense program, together with moderate private credit expansion, principally by borrowing the savings and liquid funds of the public with no more recourse to bank credit than is necessary to supply the reasonable cash balance requirements of a growing economy operating at a high level of activity without inflation. This Jias been a particular3y difficult task because private credit demands have continuously been large and, even before the Treasury deficit developed .there were recurrent refunding operations. With the growing deficit to be financed, the task is becoming increasingly difficult. The difficulty will be reduced only if there should be a decrease in private credit demands. Nature and Results of System Operations Under these circumstances, Federal Reserve operations have been designed to promote a condition in which access to Federal Reserve credit was primarily through the discount window and in which open market operations were limited as much as possible to the moderate additional needs of an expanding economy with the maintenance of financial equilibrium and occasionally to cover the larger seasonal variations in currency and reserve needs. Operations of this nature carried out correctly mean that interest rates, including yields on Government securities, are largely established by market processes with a minimum of Federal Reserve intervention. Market rates are generally related to the discount rate, which could be changed if there were evidence that the amount of credit supplied through the discount window were out of line with http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2reasonable economic needs. As this relationship has developed,3bill rate f^:_ and the weekly bill auction have assumed a great deal of importance and bill rates have fluctuated largely in response to market forces. Other money rates have shown similar .though somewhat smoother and narrower, movements. As credit demands to meet currency and other monetary needs have expanded, member bank borrowing at the Federal Reserve and money rates have shown intermittent tendencies to rise, been Full reliance upon this mode of operation has not/consistently carried out because of periodic Federal Reserve support provided to Treasury refunding operations* Most of the Federal Reserve purchases of securities in the open market have been made during periods of Treasury refunding. As shown in the following table, of $5*2 billion of gross purchases (other than those under repurchase contracts) since July 1, 195>1, |3.9 billion were made during periods of refunding and of these $3 billion consisted of the purchases of rights. Fortunately for the effectiveness of the policy of restraint on undue expansion, the System was able to offset a large part of these purchases by sales. Total sales in this period amounted to $i|.*5 billion, of which $1.5 billion were made during refunding periods and |3 billion in other periods. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Open Market Account Transactions in U. S. Government Securities' July 1, 1951—September 30, 1952 (In millions of dollars) During periods of refunding^/ Purchases Sales Purchases - Sales Total Class of Security Maturing issues (rights) Other securities maturing Within 91 days 91 days to llj. months ll* months to 5 years 5 years to 10 years Over 10 years Total 3,059 3,059 1,568 591* 1 3 Other than periods of refunding Purchases Sales 2,206 51*1 2,277 31*1 — _ — 372 1,151* — 23 5 6 —-3 5,2U8 1*,1*88 3,91*7 1,529 1,027 253 1 3 17 1,301 1,831* 1,123 — —2 2,959 Excludes repurchase agreements with dealers and brokers and purchases and sales of special certificates from and to Treasury. Commitments from date of announcement to closing of books, plus all transactions in new securities on a when-issued basis. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 3The net increase in the total Federal Reserve portfolio in the period from June 30, 1951, to September 30, 1952, was less than $700 million. This increase, together with additional Federal Reserve advances of fij.00 million and a net gold inflow of $1.6 billion, supplied the basis for an expansion of money in circulation of $1.6 billion and anjncrease in member bank reserves of about $1 billion. The total expansion in bank deposits and currency of about f 13 billion in this period is probably larger than could be expected to be maintained indefinitely. To a considerable extent, however, it reflects a growth of savings held in liquid form, and the absence of inflationary pressures during the period gives a basis for not viewing the development with alarm. Although up to the present the Federal Reserve has found it possible to provide substantial support to Treasury refunding operations and still keep the over-all monetary expansion within reasonable bounds, we can not be confident of continuing to attain such results if strong credit demands and inflationary pressures should develop. To provide unlimited support for Treasury refunding in such periods might defeat the objective of exercising restraint on excessive credit expansion. The large volume of Federal Reserve purchases made to support Treasury refunding operations and the danger that they might under strong inflationary pressures prevent the following of an adequately restrictive policy have prompted considerable discussion of the broad problem of the System*s responsibility in underwriting treasury offerings. In addition to this major policy question, there is the further question of techniques of System operations during periods of Treasury financing; it is with the latter phase that this memorandum is primarily concerned. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Establishment of Appropriate Terms of New Issues As a general rule, the first requisite for Treasury financing is that the terms on any securities offered are such as to assure that the new issue will be taken by the market without Federal Reserve support* There should be a sincere and determined effort on the part of both the Treasury and the Open Market Committee to agree upon a coupon and term for a new issue of securities that could confidently be expected to develop for that issue its own natural rights value in the market. Thus the normal expectation should be that there would be no occasion or necessity for intervention by the Open Market Committee while the books were open. The information essential to this judgment could be developed by the early announcement of the general terms of a forthcoming Treasury issue, with the announcement of the exact coupon and terms delayed until a day or two before the opening of the books for subscription. This would give the market time to evaluate the new issue and to indicate both to the Treasury and to the Open Market Committee the exact coupon and terms that could reasonably be expected to assure adequate subscription. Experience indicates that the pricing of refunding issues has generally been too close to assure adequate reception by the market. As shown in the attached table, the total attrition on refunding operati ons (including both Federal Reserve support purchases and cash redemptions ) has been substantial on all but three of the operations since the accord, and, two *(>JLAM/-U.^, of these were small issues. Generally, the total attrition has been 20 and 2f> per cent of the amount outstanding held outside of the Federal Reserve at the time of the refunding announcement. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -5Question may be raised as to whether the persistent large attrition on maturing issues could be corrected by different pricing or whether it reflects the large volume of maturing issues owned by owners who want their cash on or near the particular maturity dates and would not want to sell prior to that date at any reasonable rights value. The substantial attrition on two or three issues which seemed to be favorably priced in the light of the then current market conditions and which subsequently sold at substantial premiums in the market would seem to indicate that it might not be possible to count upon pricing alone to prevent substantial attrition, unless the terms were so generous as to bring in large arbitrage buying with substantial selling of other issues. Regardless of these qualifications, it is nevertheless evident that successful reception of refunding issues depends to some extent upon pricing not which will produce a moderate premium and thus encourage holders/wishing to make the exchange to sell their maturing issues rather than to redeem them for cash. To rely upon the Federal Reserve to provide such a premium by market purchases discourages buying by other investors who might otherwise be willing to buy maturing securities in order to get the new issue. The problem is one of fixing a price which will maintain a delicate balance between those who want to sell and others who might be willing to buy, without unduly disturbing the market structure of prices. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -6Techniques of Federal Reserve Support In view of the difficulties of setting the terms of a refunding issue so as to assure satisfactory exchanges and in view of the possibility of developments after the announcement of the terms that would upset the market, Federal Reserve support to the market during the period of the offering may in many cases be unavoidable. Such support should be rendered only in the event that market rates tend to rise to a point at which the new issue would be unacceptable or if, because of uncertain prospects, the market appears unwilling to accept the terms of the refunding. Supporting operations should be directed toward the objectives of keeping Federal Reserve purchases to the minimum needed to provide a reasonable volume of exchanges and of encouraging maximum exchanges from other holders. This would mean setting support prices at levels which, while discouraging cash redemptions, would not discourage purchases of the rights by others in the market. In order to accomplish these objectives, the following techniques of operation would be appropriate: (1) Purchases of bills. The first line of support operations would be free and aggressive purchases of bills by the Open Market Committee to be undertaken in the event that rates in the bill market threatened to rise to levels inconsistent with the rights value needed to assure successful exchange. This practice, however, might be varied in accordance with prospective seasonal or other reserve needs. In addition to, or perhaps at times in lieu of, direct purchases of bills, aid to the market could be provided through acquisitions from dealers under repurchase agreements of either short or long bills or other very short term securities, http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis From the point of view of its effect on monetary policy, it would be most desirable if the Open Market Committee could confine its support operations during a period of treasury refundings to aggressive purchases of short-dated bills and repurchase contracts in sufficient quantity to minimize attrition on refinancing or the possibility of failure of a new cash offering. The advantage of this technique is that support operations would be confined to the short-dated market. Such purchases would be less confusing to the market than other types of Open Market Committee support, and would impair less the ability of the market to make the new financing successful through the development of appropriate arbitrage operations. Short-dated bills would also be the most appropriate additions to the Open Market portfolio in support operations of this type, since, once the books were closed, they could be permitted to mature in accordance with the requirements of monetary policy. At times when seasonal or other increased reserve needs are in prospect for some time after the refunding, as in the fall months, purchases of longer-term bills would be appropriate. One possible disadvantage of the technique of confining operations to bills is that it does not really assure the Treasury that attrition will be in a tolerable volume* Circumstances might well arise in which heavy attrition actually fell on the Ereasury despite the injection by the Open Market Account of embarrassingly large amounts of reserve funds through the bill market. In such cases, reliance on the technique would promote neither debt management nor monetary objectives. At times there would be no tendency for bill rates to rise above an appropriate level relative to the terms of the new issue, as measured by usual market relationships. Often when a new offering is unpopular and particularly if the market expects a http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -8 subsequent rise in money rates, there is a demand for bills and a tendency to shift out of rights into bills. Under these circumstances, bill yields tend to decline and the Federal Reserve could acquire bills only by bidding up the price and accelerating the decline in yields. While this would tend to discourage the shifting from rights to bills, there are limits to the extent to which such transitory variations in rates should be forced and also to the effect in stimulating the demand for rights* (2) Purchases of rights. The Committee might also stand ready to purchase the maturing rights at a small premium. Such purchases should be made from dealers acting as principals at a fixed price and not on an agency basis at a commission. On the basis of experience with larger and smaller premiums, it would appear that a price of 100 1/32 on a net basis appears to be the only rights value for Federal Reserve support purchases that might be expected to minimize attrition both to the Treasury and to the Open Market Account and at the same time leave a sufficient margin to induce at least some holders of the maturing rights who want cash to sell them in the market rather than to let them mature. On the one hand, it would be adequate to cover the costs of the dealers who handle the transaction. It would not be so high, on the other hand, in the case of a properly priced issue, as to prevent the formation of a higher natural rights value in the market, or to inhibit dealers from taking positions and making markets at those higher values. Neither would it induce potential purchasers of the new issue to delay their acquisitions until after the support was withdrawn with the closing of the subscription book. The main purpose served would be to underpin the market from erratic movement during a period of large turnover. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 9If the new issue were not attractively priced, attrition would be large. At this rights value, such attrition would fall only in part on the Open Market Account. In the main, it would have to be absorbed ty the Treasury. A variant, used in the August 1952 refunding, would have the Open Market Committee stand ready to purchase maturing issues eligible for exchange at par, or par plus 1/6U or a commission to the dealer, and give support to the refunding by aggressive purchases of bills, by swaps out of maturing issues into other maturities more desired "by the market, and by active support of outstanding market issues whose maturities are comparable to the maturity of the new offering* This variant is less acceptable than the other suggestions. A bid of par or par plus 1/6U is really no bid at all for an issue with only a few days to run to maturity. It would not, therefore, minimize attrition to the Treasury. It would pay the market under almost all circumstances to hold the maturing issue for redemption at maturity rather than sell it to the market at these prices. Objections to swaps and purchases of other securities are discussed in a later section, Experience with various refunding operations has seemed to demonstrate that the establishment of a rights value of 3/614. or higher on maturing certificates directs attrition to the Open Market Account and prevents the development of natural rights values in the market that might minimize attrition either to the treasury or to the Open Market Account. At the same tijne, a rights value of par or par plus 1/6U has little market significance at all. The process of elimination, therefore, suggests that a rights value of par plus 1/32 may be the most appropriate tolerable value. It would be expected that attrition to the Treasury would be larger than if http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 10 - support were given at 3/6h but not intolerably so. Only experience can indicate whether a 1/32 rights value would attract too much attrition to the Open Market Account to be tolerable to the Open Market Committee or whether it would direct so much attrition to the Treasury as to make no substantial contribution to the Treasury's financing problem. (3) Limitations on swaps,, purchases of other issues, and sales during refunding. In order to permit the operation of as free a market as possible with price relationships set by arbitrage operations, Federal Reserve support operations should be confined as much as possible to bills and to maturing rights. Generally speaking, concurrent purchases and sales for the System account in similar securities should be avoided, because any sales tend to have the effect of increasing necessary purchases of rights, so that the System would be working against its own support operation. If the Open Market Committee participates in swaps out of the maturing issue or purchases outstanding issues of comparable maturity to the new issue, the effect may be to confuse the market and prevent market switching and market arbitrage from developing differentials that might operate to make the refinancing a success. Such operations automatically create an artificial pattern of rates and may result in the acquisition of securities by the System which will be frozen in the Account. In an extreme situation where operations in bills and rights seem to be inadequate to assure a successful refunding operation and the market in general is upset for one reason or another, the Open Market Committee may find it desirable to operate in other issues. Perhaps as a W^M/VUv-* rule of thumb a policy might be followed of first purchasing issues rights http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 11 up to some stated maximum, say $5>00 million with no offsetting sales, thus easing the money market and probably moving yields of other securities to lower levels. If, despite these purchases, pressure on the rights should continue, subsequent purchases may be made of either rights or other issues and these might be offset by sales of other issues for which there is a market demand. Then following the closing of the exchange books, sales of either the new issue or other securities in order to recover the f>5>00 million (or other maximum amount supplied ) would be made regardless of the interest rate effect. (M Operations after the close of books. In general, it would be unnecessary and undesirable for the System to continue support operations after the close of the books on the exchange offering through the purchase of the when-issued or newly-issued securities. Such purchases would be desirable only in case there was occasion to put reserve funds in the market and in case the prices of the new issues seem so far out of line with prevailing prices for bills or other short—term securities as to justify some degree of support. It would be preferable, however, to provide reserves through short-term securities and allow market arbitrage to bring about the necessary price adjustments. It should also be expected both in the Treasury and in the Open Market Committee that once the books were closed following an offering which required considerable support by the System, the Committee would proceed to reduce its portfolios to levels consistent with the S5rstemts general credit policies. Withdrawal of funds should be effected through the sale or run-off of bills or the sale of other short maturities as well as through the termination of repurchase agreements. Bill redemptions are preferable to sales of bills since no attempt to set rates is inherent in such action. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 12 - Sales of tte new issue acquired through purchases of rights and the subsequent exchange should not normally be made because they would tend to reduce the profit that other subscribers might be able to obtain from the sale of the new issues and thus discourage future subscriptions on exchange offerings. ifhether the new issue is maintained at a price of par or above after the exchange books are closed would be immaterial, but it would probably be preferable not to sell any of the new issue which was acquired, regardless of any premium or discount which might obtain during the period after the refunding has been completed. If the new issue goes to a discount after the closing of the books, System sales would only lead to the establishment of an even greater discount; on the other hand, sales of an issue which goes to a substantial premium after having been supported by the System during a refunding period would probably tend to discourage private underwriting during subsequent refundings. itHmaybe c o n EdeJ c d e fromthis analsis analysis that the whole problem of underwriting market issues with reserve funds is inherently difficult, Such underwriting is almost bound to inject a disproportionate amount of reserve funds in the market. Of necessity, the maintenance of a fights value sufficiently high to encourage holders to sell to the Open Market Account rather than hold to maturity automatically tends to discourage other investors from immediate purchase of those same rights even though they may desire to acquire the new issue. Acceptance of an underwriting responsibility with respect to treasury refinancing necessarily requires that the Open Market Committee establish a rights value on maturing issues http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 13 high enough to ensure that attrition to the Treasury is held within tolerable limits when the new issue is attractively priced. If the underwriting responsibility does not achieve this minimum objective it does not aid the Treasury in its financing problems and had better be dropped altogether since underwriting almost invariably operates to complicate the proper execution of monetary policy. The acquisition by the Committee of rights or of other issues in support of refunding hampers the System's freedom of action* It tends toward the reestablishment of pegged market prices and the ^freezing of rate differentials into the market structure of interest rates. It tends, furthermore, to freeze the Open Market portfolio because securities, other than bills, once acquired in the portfolio tend to remain there. To sell them prior to maturity always involves judgment as to timing and the danger of disrupting dedicate demand and supply relationships in the market. When the disruption orginates in decisions of the Open Market Committee, it may be completely disproportionate to the actual volume of sales. It is even more difficult for the Open Market Committee to permit Treasury securities (other than bills) to mature for cash. It is now the invariable practice of the Open Market Account to exchange its holdings of maturing issues for the new offerings, since to redeem them would greatly accentuate Treasury attrition. As each refinancing rolls around, consequently, the Open Market Committee, though its support purchases is adding to the volume of issues which it will subsequently feel required to exchange. In this sense, the practice of underwriting on the part of the Committee has a tendency to result in the acquisition of a semi-frozen portfolio. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -lit Treasury Financing Without Federal Reserve Support In view of the difficulties and dangers involved in supporting refunding operations and the possible conflicts with desired Federal Reserve policies, the preferred procedure would be for Ireasury financing to be conducted without Federal Reserve support. Such a course of action would require the following procedures in order to assure the Treasury that it will be able to redeem maturing securities or obtain any additional funds needed: (1) Pricing of issue. In this case, it is particularly important that the terms of the new issue be properly set. To determine what coupons and terms would establish a market value adequate to float an issue successfully, the Treasury might announce the amount, maturity, and other identifying features of a forthcoming new issue, say, a week in advance of the opening of the books for subscription. This would give the market an opportunity to evaluate the new issue and to adjust to the impact of an additional volume of securities in a particular maturity area. The market, consequently, would indicate the coupon at which the new issue could be successfully floated. The Treasury would then be in a position to make a realistic choice of coupon wh^ch would be announced only a day or two prior to the opening of the books for subscription. This technique would apply equally to new cash offerings and to the refunding of a short-term issue with a longer term security as well as to a roll—over. The advantage of this approach is that it places responsibility for debt management decisions and for their consequences in the Treasury, where it properly rests. The responsibility of the Open Market Committee would be limited, to keeping the Ireasury correctly informed of its credit policy http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis objectives and money market conditions and prospects. It would be understood that the Committee would assume no responsibility for underwriting and it would refrain from purchasing rights or maturing issues for which an exchange was being offered, when-issued new securities, or any outstanding securities of comparable maturity to those being offered either for cash or refunding. (2) Federal Reserve operations. During the period of Treasury financing, the Federal Open Market Committee might be expected to suspend temporarily any open market operations in which it might be engaged that would tend to be disruptive to the point of hampering the new Treasury offering. That is, it would be understood that with the Treasury's pre- liminary announcement of general terms, the Committee would refrain from any sales in the market. This would, permit a natural market adjustment to the impact of the new offering. Further, the Federal Open Market Committee might assure the Treasury that during the period the books were open it would take action to see that the open market bill rate did not rise above the highest rates prevailing during the period of the preliminary announcement and the announcement of specific terms. Under this approach, the Federal Open Market Committee would completely eliminate its present underwriting activities. This would call for realistic pricing of refunding and new issues and would reduce the possibility of an inflationary injection of reserves into the market to bolster an inadequately priced offering. Instead the availability of reserve funds in the market would reflect basically the credit policy objectives of the Open Market Committee. Once the subscription books were http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -16 closed on a new offering, the Committee would be free to pursue its monetary objectives without regard to the effect of its operations on the prices of the newly offered securities. It would be free to dispose of any bills that had been acquired while the subscriptions books were opened or whatever lesser or greater amount would be needed to effectuate its policies. (3) Means of covering attrition. Under such a procedure, the Treasury would have to meet all attrition by holders of the maturing issues wanting cash, including any willing but not able to sell their rights in the market at satisfactory prices as well as those not wanting to sell rights. The treasury would have to raise additional funds to meet such redemptions and the amounts involved might be sufficiently large to require early financing. Various techniques could be employed to raise such funds. (a) If the cash position of the Treasury permits, a regular exchange offering could be made and any attrition could be covered later through special offerings in the market or through additions to regular bill issues or other scheduled offerings* (b) Another technique would be to offer a new issue for cash of sufficient size to pay off the entire maturing issue without any exchange privilege. Given the same offerings by the Treasury, that technique may have greater success than an exchange. By giving the banks the tax and loan deposits arising from the sale of the new offering, it would make the thousands of commercial banks with tax and loan accounts salesmen for, or underwriters of, the new issue. While banks as a group might not gain tax and loan deposits through a refunding operation, individual banks would stand, to gain or lose in proportion to the effort made to merchandise http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 17 the new issue. A possible further advantage of such a procedure is that additional cash could be raised in connection with a refunding operation. Disadvantages of this procedure are that it would involve a large shifting of funds in the market and it might lose some existing holders who would make an exchange but would not subscribe for a cash offering. The entire problem of rights values would be avoided and no buying by the Federal Reserve to add to its holdings would seem to be necessary to make the operation a success. A critical disadvantage of such a procedure when the Federal holds substantial amounts of the maturing securities would be the necessity for the System to make purchases in the market to replace its holdings. (c) A variant of the technique considered above might be a combination of a cash offering with an exchange privilege. Full allotment of the new offering would be made on any maturing issues offered in exchange. The new offering would also be opened for cash subscription for whatever amount is not covered by exchange subscriptions. The cash subscriptions would be subject to partial allotment should the total of all subscriptions exceed the total amount of the new offering. Cash subscriptions could be paid for through tax and loan accounts. This procedure would have the advantages of a straight cash offering discussed above and in addition the following: http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1. It would permit the System to exchange its maturities and avoid the necessity for large market transactions to maintain its portfolio. 2. It would make use of the present mechanism for merchandising the new offering as well as set in motion a selling effort by banks in order to get the Treasury accounts. Redemption Sxperience in Treasury Refundings June 1951—October 1952 (Amounts in millions of dollars) Issue refunded Per cent F.R. purchases and cash redempHeld tions to outside Federal Cash amount held Amount Federal Reserve outstanding Reserve purchases redemptions outside F.R, New offering June 1$, 1951 2-3/k% bond July 1, 1951 1-1/1$ notes (3) 1-7/8$ C/I April lp 1952 10,072 8,235 1,119 5U7 August 1, 1951 1-1/1$ note 1-7/8$ C/I July 1, 1952 5,351 3,750 5U 135 5.0 Sept. 15, 1951-55 3% bond 1-7/8$ C/I Aug. 15,1952 755 755 172 22.8 Oct. 1, 1951 1-1/1$ note 1-7/8$ C/I Sept.l, 1952 1,918 1,913 62 86 7.7 Oct. 15, 1951 1-1/1$ note Nov. 1, 1951 1-1/1$ note 1-7/8$ C/I Oct. 1, 1952 11,1* 3,928 503 332 21.3 Dec. 15, 1951-53 2-1/1$ bond 1-7/8$ C/I Dec. 1, 1952 1,118 1,118 Il2 55 8.7 liar. 15, 1952-51* 2-1/2% bond 2-3/8$ bond Mar. 15, 1957-$? 1,021). 977 292 97 39.8 April 1, 1952 1-7/8* C/I 1-7/3$ C/I Feb. 15, 1953 9,521+ 6,365 658 656 20.6 July 1, 1952 1-7/3$ C/I 1-7/3$ C/I June 1, 1953 5,216 U,799 556 253 16.9 August 15,1952 1-7/8* C/I Sept. 1,. 1952 1-7/8* C/I 2$ C/I Aug. 15, 195: 2,1*15 2,)415 180 Uodp 2U.3 Oct. 1, 1952 1-7/8* C/I 2-1/8$ note Dec. 1,. 1953 10,861 U,083 711* 318p 25.3 * p - preliminary http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 20.2 Changes in Membership of Board during period Feb. 3. 1936, through Feb. 28. 1953 Board composed of Governors Eccles, Ransom, Szymczak, McKee, and Broderick February 10, 1936 Governor Morrison took oath of office Governor Davis took oath June 25, 1936 Governor Morrison resigned July 9, 1936 September 30, 1937 Governor Broderick resigned Governor Draper took oath Harch 30, 1938 Governor Davis resigned April 15, 19U1 Governor Evans took oath March lU, 19U2 April U, 19U6 Governor McKee*s service terminated: Governor Vardaman took oath February 1U, 19U7 Governor Clayton took oath December 2, 19U7 Governor Ransom died Chairman McCabe took oath April 15, 19U8 Governor Clayton died December U, 19U 9 September 1, 1950 Governor Draperfs service terminated: Governors Norton and Powell took oath Chairman McCabe resigned March 31, 1951 Chairman Martin took oath April 2, 1951 Governor Eccles resigned July 1U, 1951 February 1, 1952 Governor Norton resigned February 18, 1952 Governors Mills and Robertson took oath Governor Powell resigned June 30, 1952 No. of Members Elapsed period before change TrT HoT 5a7 5 6 h February 3, 1936 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7 15 7 6 1 2 6 6 3 10 15 29 6 li - 20 10 9 b 10 18 13 19 27 6 7 6 7 6 7 6 7 6 5 7 6 1 7 8 Hi 21 7 3 6 u 7 1 12 17 17 12 28 February 28, 1953 Board consisted of the follovring number of Members during the periods indicated belovr; Elapsed Period Yrs» Mos, Days Dates FIVE MEMBERS February 3-10, 1936 September 30, 1937 - March 30, 1938 April 15, 19U1 - March lU, 19U2 February 1-18, 1952 7 6 10 ~T T 29 17 "Si SIX MEMBERS February 10 - June 25, 1936 July 9, 1936 - September 30, 1937 March 30, 1938 - April 15, 19iil March lli, 1912 - February lh, 19U7 December 2, 19U7 - April 15, 19U8 December li, 19h9 - September 1, 1950 March 31, 1951 - April 2, 1951 July lli, 1951 - February 1, 1952 June 30, 1952 - February 28, 1953 1 3 k IT U 2 11 U 8 6 7 10 15 a 1 5 13 27 1 17 28 17 SEVEN MEMBERS June 25 - July 9, 1936 February lU - December 2, 19^7 April 15, 1918 - December U, 19U9 September 1, 1950 - March 31, 1951 April 2 - July lU, 1951 February 18 - June 30, 1952 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 "7 9 7 7 3 U "ff 18 19 12 12 T£ . If*T (| 1936 - 1937 1938 1939 19UO 19U 19U2 19U3 19 Ui 19U5 191* . Morrison 1 2-10-36 to Eccles 11-15-3U 7-9-36 to 7-1U-51 Ransom 2-3-36 to Davis 6-25-36 to 12-2-U7 to k-k-kb Szymczak o-Ui-33 I Broderick 2-3-36 to 9-30-37 • Draper 3-30-3d to 9-1-50 .. Evans 3-11-142 . 1 I . ' Vardaman 011 ioL7 11 c^y* 2-1U-U7 19U7 19U8 19U9 1950 1951 1952 1953 1 1 1 to "•"• McCabe U-15-W to , 3-31-51 . Powell 9-1-50 to 6-30-52 Mills 1 2-18-52 1 • . Martin U-2-51 Norton 9-1-50 , • . ' . • . • . http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis McKee 2-3-36 U-15-U1 ,, • .. . Robertson 2-16-52 to 2-1-52 BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE Date Chairman Martin October 6,1953 Subject: Mr. Thurston Attached are copies of the preliminary drafts of the minutes of the meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee and its executive committee held in Washington on September 2h> 1953« It will be appreciated if you will review the drafts and advise not later than Friday, October 16, whether you have any changes to suggest. The minutes of the meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee held on June 11 and of the executive committee held on September 8, 1953 > were approved in the form sent you on July 6 and September lii, respectively. Attachments http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PRELIMINARY DRAFT CONFIDENTIAL A meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee was held in the offices of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington on Thursday, September 2ii, 1953* at 10:30 a.m. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PRESENT: Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr, Martin, Chairman Sprouls Vice Chairman Erickson Evans Fulton Johns Mills Powell Robertson Szymczak Vardaman Mr. Riefler, Secretary Mr. Thurston, Assistant Secretary Mr. Vest, General Counsel Mr. Solomon, Assistant General Counsel Mr. Thomas, Economist Messrs. Abbott, Hostetler, Peterson, Roelse, and Ralph A. Young, Associate Economists Mr. Carpenter, Secretary, Board of Governors Mr. Sherman, Assistant Secretary, Board of Governors Mr. Youngdahl, Assistant Director, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors Mr. Gaines, Securities Department, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Messrs. Leedy, Williams, and C. S. Young, Alternate Members of the Federal Open Market Committee Messrs. Bryan, Earhart, and Leach, Presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks of Atlanta, San Francisco, and Richmond, respectively Mr. ¥. D. Gentry, First Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Upon motion duly made and seconded, and by unanimous vote, the minutes of the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee held on June 11, 1953 were approved. 9/2ii/53 -2Chairman Martin stated that advice had been received from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York that Mr, Sproul had been selected as Manager pro tern, of the System Open Market Account to serve while Mr. Rouse is in Europe during the period approximately September 16 to October 28, 1953. Chairman Martin also noted that Mr. Sproul had been serving in this capacity since Mr. Rouse left for Europe on September 16. Upon motion duly made and seconded, and by unanimous vote, the selection of Mr. Sproul as Manager pro tern, of the System Open Market Account to serve during the period while Mr. Rouse is in Europe from approximately September 16 to October 28, 1953 was approved. Upon motion duly made and seconded, and by unanimous vote, the actions of the executive committee of the Federal Open Market Committee as set forth in the minutes of the meetings of the executive committee held on June 11, June 23, July 7, July 21, August ii, August 25, and September 8, 1953 were approved, ratified, and confirmed. Before this meeting there had been sent to the members of the Committee a copy of a report prepared at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York covering operations in the System open market account from June 10 to September 18, 1953, inclusive. At this meeting Mr. Sproul presented a supplementary report covering commitments executed from September 21 to September 23, 1953, inclusive, and commented briefly on the reports, copies of which have been placed in the files of the Federal Open Market Committee. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Upon motion duly made and seconded, and by unanimous vote, the transactions in the System open market account for the period June 11 to September 23, 1953, inclusive, were approved, ratified, and confirmed. Chairman Martin referred to the action taken at the meeting of the -3- Federal Open Market Committee on June 11, 1953 in connection with a proposed revision in the directives of the Federal Open Market Committee and its executive committee, at which time the matter was referred by the full Committee to the executive committee with the understanding that the latter would appoint two of its members to consider the proposal further. The executive committee, Chairman Martin noted, at its meeting on June 11 appointed Mr* Sproul and himself for this purpose and it was understood that the special committee would submit its recommendations to the members of both the full Committee and the executive committee* Chairman Martin went on to say that in accordance with that action, further drafts of revised directives were prepared and considered* After reflection upon the entire matter and in the light of the various drafts that had been prepared, he said, Mr, Sproul and he felt that it was questionable whether much would be accomplished by further consideration of a revision at this time of the directives now in use. They felt, instead, that the full Committee and the executive committee might well continue to utilize the existing forms of directives, modifying them, of course, upon such occasions as circumstances may dictate. Accordingly, Chairman Martin said, the special committee recommended the continued use of the existing forms, with changes being made by the respective committees from time to time as special circumstances may indicate* The recommendation of the special committee as set forth by Chairman Martin was approved unanimously. Chairman Martin called attention to a memorandum prepared by Mr, Vest under date of September 10, 1953, with respect to the debt limit of the United States in relation to purchases by the Federal Reserve Banks http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/2ti/53 -1»- of Government obligations. The memorandum had been prepared at the request of the executive committee at its meeting on August 25> 1953 and copies had been sent to all members of the Federal Open Market Committee. At the Chairman's request, Mr. Vest summarized the content of the memorandum, stating that in his opinion obligations of the United States sold directly to Federal Reserve Banks would not be excluded from the statutory debt limit of the United States; and that if the Treasury should issue obligations in excess of that limit and if the Federal Reserve Banks should have some of the obligations which were issued in excess of the debt limit, they would be invalid and unenforceable obligations against the United States, Furthermore, Mr. Vest said, the memorandum indicated that there would be no difference between special certificates issued by the Treasury and an overdraft on the books of the Federal Reserve Banks since the authority for either type of obligation of the United States must be derived from the same statutes and, therefore, legally they were in the same category, Mr. Sproul stated that this matter had been considered by Counsel of the New York Bank who had taken the position that any purchases which the New York Bank might make for the System open market account, or any overdraft which might occur at the New York Bank which would result in United States Government obligations in excess of the statutory debt limit, would, as Mr. Vest stated, not represent valid or enforceable obligations. Mr. Vardaman inquired whether this meant that in the event the New York Bank incurred an overdraft for the Treasury in excess of the statutory debt limit, the Treasury would be requested not to formalize the matter by issuing special certificates of indebtedness to cover the overdraft. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/2V53 -5Mr. Vest stated that while he could not answer as to what a Fed- eral Reserve Bank would do, it would be his opinion that the Bank should follow the normal procedure and get the special certificates since legally there would be no difference between holding that obligation and carrying an overdraft* The answer to the question might depend, Mr. Vest said, on whether the Treasury would be willing to issue such certificates if it found that, inadvertently, the overdraft had resulted in its exceeding the statutory debt limit. Mr, Vardaman stated that he would not consider it desirable for a Reserve Bank to accept special certificates to cover an overdraft under such circumstances, even if the Treasury were willing to issue them, Mr. Sproul stated that the position of Counsel for the New York Bank was that the legal position of the Bank would not be improved if it held an overdraft rather than taking the special certificates since in neither case would the Bank have a legally enforceable claim against the Government. Chairman Martin noted that copies of Mr. Vest's memorandum had been made available to all Federal Reserve Banks for their information, and he stated that no further action was called for with respect to the matter. At this point members of the staff of the Board's Division of Research and Statistics and Division of International Finance entered the room for a visual presentation on the current economic situation. A copy of the script of the presentation has been sent to each member of the Federal Open Market Committee and a copy has been placed in the Committee's files. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/214/53 -6Following the presentation, the members of the staff who had entered the room for the purpose of assisting in its presentation withdrew from the meeting. Chairman Martin stated that as had been brought out by the minutes of the meetings of the executive committee since the last meeting of the full Committee, open market operations had been arranged for in accordance with the general directive laid down by the full Committee at its meeting on June 11, which provided, among other things, that transactions for the System account should be "with a view to avoiding deflationary tendencies without encouraging a renewal of inflationary developments (which in the near future will require aggressive supplying of reserves to the market),n He noted that, in carrying out this policy, the executive committee at its meeting on September 8 agreed upon a program of "active ease", as described in the minutes of that meeting* This was being followed, he said, with the thought that the System would supply the reserves needed in the economy to meet the seasonal and growth demands even though they were large. It was felt that the risk of inflation was not sufficiently great to warrant being overly restrictive in the light of the adjustments that have been appearing on the fringe of the economy* Chairman Martin then called upon Mr* Thomas who stated that in making projections of possible demands for Reserve Bank credit during the rest of this year it had been assumed that there would be an increase in the money supply, that is demand deposits-adjusted and currency, for the year 1953 as a whole of about 3 per cent. On the basis of this assumption of moderate needs, Mr. Thomas said, estimates of the amount of Reserve Bank credit that would be needed to supply the basic reserves had been made* http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Thus far, actual developments have been somewhat smaller than projected, he said, and in fact growth in demand deposits and currency has been only about seasonal with no element of long-term growth during the past six months. After commenting upon recent changes in demand deposits and in the Treasury balance, Mr, Thomas said that the conclusion appeared to be that something like $1-1/2 billion of additional Reserve Bank credit would be required during the remainder of 1953* This could be supplied entirely by System purchases of Government securities, or in part by purchases (including repurchase agreements) and in part by member bank borrowings. Another way of supplying the needed reserves would be by a reduction in reserve requirements, and still another source of reserve funds would be provided if the Treasury were to use some of the free gold now held in its general balance. Chairman Martin suggested that consideration now be given to the Committee's general policy, i«e., whether it should supply roughly the amount of reserves which Mr. Thomasr remarks indicated would be needed by the economy, after which there would follow a discussion of the way in which any additional reserves might be provided, Mr, Sproul stated that his views and the estimates of the New York Bank were in general accord with the views and estimates presented by Mr, Thomas as far as the need for reserves was concerned. It was his view that policy should be based on an estimate of the business and credit situation being one of stability with the possible danger of slipping into deflation, rather than the danger of inflation. This would indicate a policy of ease and not restraint of credit, one of supplying reserves needed to meet seasonal and growth factors, During the past few weeks, Mr, Sproul http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9M/53 -8- said, operations for the System account had pursued this objective, but a period of more severe testing will occur during October and November when other factors affecting the money market are estimated to take a considerable amount of funds out of the market. He noted that the way in which the Treasury may use its free gold may affect operations for the System account and, in a comment on the difficulty of making projections of operations for the System account, Mr. Sproul referred to the last paragraph of a staff memorandum dated September 21, 1953 on the outlook for Treasury cash requirements and bank reserves, copies of which were distributed before this meeting. This paragraph suggested that if demand deposits were to show a growth for the year 1953 of as much as 3 per cent, they would have to increase over |6 billion in the fourth quarter and that such a growth would mean an increase of about $650 million in required reserves in the last quarter of the year. The paragraph also mentioned probable large drains on reserves due to a currency outflow and possible gold losses; and stated that on the assumption that excess reserves would remain around $600 million, an expansion in Federal Reserve credit of approximately $1*3 billion would be required to meet needs for reserve funds over the remainder of the year, that more than two-thirds of this demand would probably occur during October and early November, and that if member bank borrowings were not to increase above the level of excess reserves, most of these needs would have to be supplied by means other than discounting, Mr. Sproul expressed the view that the needs at the end of the year when demand for currency would rise sharply could most appropriately be met by increasing discounts, but aside from that he felt that increased open market operations would be needed during the next few weeks. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -9¥ith respect to the usefulness of the several estimates as a guide to operations for the System account, Mr. Sproul cautioned that, while such estimates tended to be borne out over a period of several weeks or months, they should not be looked upon as precise or accurate projections from day to day or week to week, and that operations would not necessarily conform with weekly estimates that might be projected for the period ahead. Chairman Martin agreed as to the difficulty of day to day estimates of reserves needed. He pointed out, however, that what he was seeking at this time was a pattern with respect to the over-all amount that might need to be supplied between now and the end of the year. He asked whether any of the members of the Committee felt that operations would be overly tight if they moved in the general direction outlined by Mr, Sproul and in more or less conformity with the figures which Mr. Thomas had presented. Mr. Riefler commented that the estimates presented by Mr. Thomas and in the staff memorandum assumed a somewhat tighter situation than might be indicated by the foregoing discussion, the figure of #1.3 billion of additional reserves was the approximate amount that would be needed to maintain a rough balance between borrowings and excess reserves. It was Mr. Riefler's thought that it might be desirable to have excess reserves above borrowings; therefore, he would look upon the £1.3 billion figure as the minimum additional reserves that probably would be necessary if borrowings were not to rise above excess reserves. Chairman Martin stated that irrespective of the level of borrowings, he was seeking an indication of the Committee's views as to the approximate over-all amount of reserves that would have to be gotten into http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/2V53 -10- the market during the rest of the year. He asked whether any of the members of the Committee differed with the estimates presented by Messrs. Sproul and Thomas, or with the thought that the executive committee, in arranging for operations, should continue to pursue a policy of active ease in the market, having in mind the general estimates which had been cited regarding the amount of reserves to be furnished during the remainder of this year. Mr. Mills stated that as he understood it this would contemplate that additional reserves would be provided in substantial amounts at an early date, that the operations of the Committee would not be frozen into any particular attitude as to the relationship between discounts and excess reserves, that there would be flexibility in the Committee's operations as directed by the executive committee, and that at the end of the year it probably would be desirable to meet the temporary heavy currency demands more largely through discounts than through open market operations. Mr. Sproul said that the understanding stated by Mr. Mills would represent a modification of the idea that borrowings should be held down below excess reserves. The bulge in need for reserves at the end of the year was one which properly and naturally accommodated itself to being met at the discount window, he said, if that window was kept freely open and funds were available. He felt that individual situations could be met in that manner more satisfactorily than through open market operations. He also noted that repurchase agreements represent a flexible instrument for meeting individual situations. Chairman Martin stated that another meeting of the full Committee probably would be held before the bulk of the year-end demand for currency http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/2li/53 appeared and that in the nieantime the executive committee would be meeting from time to time* He suggested, therefore, that unless there was objection the full Committee approve a continuation of a policy of active ease with the understanding that reserves would be supplied to the market to meet seasonal and growth needs, having in mind the estimates of total needs as presented at this meeting and recognizing that open market operations would be flexible in relation to the volume and timing of supplies of reserves from other sources* There was unanimous agreement with this statement of policy. Chairman Martin then referred to the letter which Mr» Sproul had sent to members of the Federal Open Market Committee and to the Presidents of Federal Reserve Banks who are not currently members of the Committee under date of July 16, 1953 • He also referred to a letter and enclosure which he (Chairman Martin) had sent to all members of the Committee and to all Presidents not currently serving on the Open Market Committee under date of September 15, 1953 with respect to confining operations for the System account to the short-term sector of the market and to refraining from certain purchases of Treasury securities during periods of Treasury financingso He then made a statement substantially as follows: In introducing this subject today I feel I want to make a few comments as Chairman of the Committee with respect to my general view as to the necessity for the System grappling with what I conceive to be issues. I want to make very clear that I welcome the letter Mr. Sproul wrote on July 16, 1953.? ^nd I welcome similar letters from all members of the Open Market Committee at all times. The fullest and most open discussion we have in the Open Market Committee at all times of problems of this sort is to the benefit of all of us0 I am also confident that none of us act on these problems as a face-saving http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/2V53 -12- device or for any reason other than to get the best answer,, I, as Chairman, never ask anybody to vote with me unless their judgment indicates they conscientiously should do so. Nevertheless, it is sometimes necessary for us to disagree,. There are times when you have basic differences of opinion* After studying Mr, Sproul!s letter of last July and thinking the matter over, I think there is more than a minor difference of opinion. There is a basic difference. I would like to say in commenting on this, that if you will review the minutes of the meeting last March you will see that I pretty well stated there the origin of the ad hoc subcommittee report in my thinking. It really goes back to a time four and one-half years ago when I first began to get a little on the fringe of this problem. Many of you, and Mr, Sproul in particular, have had more experience in actual operations of the open market account than I, but I was in the Treasury four and one-half years ago and began then to see some of the problems, A great amount of bitterness and acrimony can get into the situation when people say they would have done things differently*. I confess that I would have done some things differently but I have tried to refrain from putting this into an area of individuals or particular operationse The thing I like most about the Federal Reserve is the word "System"« The first two words don't make much difference but "System" does, ¥e are all working in the interests of the System in all that we are trying to do. The ad hoc subcommittee report was to assay the market in terms of the responsibility of each of the members of the Open Market Committee for what is a full operation at times. We were not trying to criticize anybody at any time* The essence of the problem we were struggling with was a matter of degree of discretion. Each member of the Open Market Committee is responsible in a very real sense for what is the heart of the System. I don't profess that I have all the answers, but I do think we want the Manager of the Open Market Account to have adequate discretion but don't want to put him in the position of having more discretion than is necessary; if we are going to give him wider discretion, then I think each of the members of the Open Market Committee ought to follow each of the details considerably closer than we do9 In my letter and memorandum I have concentrated on just two matters raised at the meeting in June, confining operations to short-term securities and refraining from certain transactions during periods of Treasury financings,. With respect to uhe housekeeping and other matters placed in the hands of the ad hoc subcommittee, I think Mr, Sproul and the subcommittee ought to get together and review themc But in these two matters that came up in June—the confining of operations to short-term securities and refraining from transactions in certain securities during periods of Treasury financings—I would like to have a further discussion at this meeting. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -13- It is true that we can call a meeting of the full Committee on 2ii hours notice if we have to, and there is no intention at any time to freeze the Committee's views on these or any other matters« I think this is a very fundamental problemP The whole problem of a free market is a matter of degree,, I think it is essential for us, if we are going to operate the type of device we have in the open market operations, that we get out on the table all of the issues, all of the problems we have, and discuss theirio No one can read the future but I do think it is terribly important .for us to have a framework within which to carry on our thinkingo If we want to recede from a framework, let's do it as a Committee. Let's give the Manager of the Account all the discretion he must have in order to operate the account but let's not put him in the position of bearing the entire brunt and let's not put the entire Open Market Committee in the position of saying we have put the Manager of the Account in a position of responsibility and of our being just a defender of the fact that the Manager has carried out our instructions. I should like to have these questions out on the table for discussions I know that I could make a motion from the Chair, but since Mr. Mills feels as I do on this question, I have asked him to present a motion along the lines of the action I think the full Committee ought to take at this meetingo Mr0 Mills then referred to the action taken at the meeting of the full Committee on March h and 5, 195>3 when it was agreed that under present conditions operations for the System account should be confined to the short-end of the market (not including correction of disorderly markets) and at which meeting it was also understood that, pending further study and further action by the Committee, the Committee approved the ad hoc subcommittee recommendation that it should refrain during a period of Treasury financing from purchasing (l) any maturing issues for which an exchange is being offersd, (2) when-issued securities, and (3) any outstanding issue of comparable maturity to those being offeree for exchangee These agreements, he noted, were rescinded by a f? to h vote of the Committee at its meeting on June 11, 1953. Mr, Mills stated that in presenting the motion, he did so in the belief that the action of the market and the http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9M/53 -Ill- operations of the open market account had given a very convincing performance that the motion to be proposed was a proper policy for the System to ?dopt. Mr. Mills then moved that the Federal Open Market Committee take the position that operations for the System account be confined to short-term securities (except in the correction of disorderly markets) and that during a period of Treasury financing there be no purchases of (1) maturing issues for which an exchange is being offered, (2) whenissued securities, or (3) outstanding issues of comparable maturity to those being offered for exchange; and that these policies be followed until such time as they may be superseded or modified by further action of the Federal Open Market Committee. Mr, Szymczak seconded Mr. Mills1 motion. Chairman Martin suggested that Mr. Sproul open the discussion of Mr. Mills1 motion, commenting that he knew Mr. Sproul struggled very vigorously for the views he held to be right, that he and Mr. Sproul agreed on many things, and that he was sure Mr. Sproul would not respect him if he did not struggle equally vigorously for the views which he held. Mr. Sproul then made a statement substantially as follows! 1. My most recent letter and memoranda on open market operations were sent to the members of the Federal Open Market Committee (and potential members) on July 16, 1953. The Chairman's reply, dated September 15>, 1953, states that certain of the matters I discussed are still pending before the ad hoc subcommittee, and he confines his statement to a consideration of two matters on which action was taken by the Committee in June to rescind action taken in March. I shall do the same. 2, Obviously there has not been time since the receipt of the Chairman's letter and memorandum last Wednesday, to pursue exhaustive staff studies and prepare an exhaustive rebuttal. This is probably an advantage. Too much of our discussion, perhaps, has been devoted to scoring debating points worked up by the staff of the Board and of the New York Bank, http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -15I have several pages of discussion here of the Chairman's letter and memorandum concerning open market techniques during the past several months. I am going to omit them and merely say that I disagree with his analysis and with his conclusions. Maybe all that indicates is that it is possible for two equally sincere people to draw different conclusions from similar experiences when dealing with the non-physical world, 3. If you clear out all of that underbrush it seems to me that the forest looms up pretty distinctly. I do not see much remaining difference of opinion, if we straighten out our assumptions. lu It is not the position of the New York Bank, as the Chairman suggests, (A) "that the Management of the Open Market Account should be given blanket discretion to operate in the intermediate arid long term, as well as the short-term sectors of the Government Security Market within general directives laid down by the Federal Open Market Committee and the Executive Committee." It is not the position of the New York Bank that (B) "it should have (blanket) discretion during periods of Treasury financing to purchase maturing Treasury issues for which an exchange is being offered, when issued securities, and outstanding issues of comparable maturity to those being offered for exchange." My position—and that of the New York Bank—is that the Federal Open Market Committee should lay down the general lines of credit policy, that the interpretation and direction of the policy under changing conditions is the job of the Executive Committee, and that the Executive Committee should give the management of the Account only such discretion as to execution of policy, including market teehnioues, as is necessary for effective performance of its job. In support of this, I may remind you that following the action of the Federal Open Market Committee in June, rescinding two of its March actions, it was I who pointed out to the Executive Committee that the purpose of my motion to rescind, was not to control the actions of the Executive Committee, but to restore its freedom to use its discretion within the general lines of policy laid down by the full Committee. TAfaat I have been objecting to as a matter of principle— and still object to—is trying to write into a "constitution" of the Open Market Committee, as one member called it, a prohibition against actions deemed undesirable by particular members of the Committee, holding particular views, at a particular time. We can't afford a freeze of ideas or practices. We who presently constitute the Committee, or a majority of the Committee, may agree that ordinarily it would be http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/2li/53 -16preferable to conduct our open market operations in short term Government securities, and that -whenever possible we would like to stay out of the market at times of Treasury financing. But we shouldn't try to tie our hands by preventing the Executive Committee from using its judgment, within the limits of our general credit policy, in whatever circumstances may arise between meetings of the full Committee. lAfaile, as has been pointed out, a meeting of the full Committee can be quickly convened in these days of air travel, I do not think the full Committee can or will be brought together to decide questions of market techniques; it isn't the best way to operate and I doubt if we really intend to operate that way. It was to avoid this strait jacket of an imposed t!con11 stitution that I proposed the June motion to rescind the March action on the two points at issue today. That was the purpose and that was the result of my motion. So far as I can see our present situation differs little, if at all, from the final views expressed by the Chairman in his letter. If we do not assume, first, that the Executive Committee cannot be trusted, and, second, that the New York Bank and the Manager of the System Open Market Account are so habituated by a long spell of price support that they will jiggle with the market regardless of their instructions from the Executive Committee, that is where we come out, I don't think the first assumption is justified and the second, I think, is preposterous. Therefore, I would say that we are in agreement, as we stand, and that no further action is needed by this Committee at this time, with respect to the two items presented for discussion. One further word in an overlong presentation—in this job I think we need an "informed intelligence conscious of its (almost) infinite ignorance". Chairman Martin stated that he subscribed heartily to Mr, Sproulrs last comment. He then called upon Mr. Johns who made a statement substantially as follows: As you all know, at the June meeting I voted in favor of Mr. Sproul's motion to rescind the March actions on these two matters. Since that time I have been amazed and disappointed to find that my vote and the votes of those who voted as I did have been construed by some as indicating that it was my desire to vest in the management of the account and/or the New York Bank a large and almost unlimited discretion, I respectfully submit that such was not the legal import of my vote and I am almost persuaded to suggest, as a member of the Supreme Court did some years ago when he said that it is precarious to http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/21/53 -17- psycho-analyze Congress, that it is a precarious business to try to psycho-analyze me and the motives of my vote. What I did was intended to leave the executive committee a rather large area of discretion within which to make decisions which are more than operating decisions and which involve considerable policy-making prerogatives, As I understand the motion Mr. Mills makes, the question I am presented with now is whether to delegate such policy-making authority to the executive committee or whether to retain that prerogative in the hands of the full Open Market Committee, I will admit that from the one point of view of good administration, it may be that such discretion can be more easily and possibly at times more quickly made by a smaller body such as the executive committee* However, I am not convinced that there is such lack of ease of administration in retaining that prerogative in the hands of the full Committee as might superficially appear. If, as usually is the case, the members of the Board of Governors who are always members of the full Committee, all are always at their posts, and if Mr* Sproul is at his post and in constant communication with the offices of the Board of Governors, the fact is that there are only four other Presidents to be called in order to obtain action of the Open Market Committee. If the urgency of a situation is so great that a delay of 2h hours within which the Open Market Committee could convene and assemble around this table would be serious, I see no difficulty about getting in touch with the absent Presidents who are members of the full Committee on the telephone and I suspect that in most instances that could be done within a period of 30 minutes. I am aware of the fact that the executive committee of the Open Market Committee is a nonstatutory body. I have some doubt about the degree of discretion and policy making which can be and at least which ought to be delegated to the executive committee. Therefore, Mr. Chairman, having attempted to psycho-analyze myself which I think is perhaps more accurate than psycho-analyzing by others, I am prepared for the foreseeable future which will probably extend for the period of the duration of my present membership on the Open Market Committee, to accept the proposal that the authority to modify the general instructions be retained in the hands of the full Open Market Committee. I am, therefore, presently disposed to support Mr. Mills1 motion. Mr. Johns went on to say that he would like to ask a question concerning Mr, Mills' motion, namely, whether there was any implication of a connection between what the motion says and the proposal in the report of the ad hoc subcommittee to publicize so-called ground rules. Such http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -18publication, he felt, might inhibit or make more difficult a change in the policy proposed in Mr. Mills1 raotion0 Mr. Mills stated that the motion contained no such implication but that he would add that the booklet on the Federal Reserve System which -was available for general distribution was being revised and that it was being written around the background of confining open market operations to short-term securities. There was no implication, however, that there would be made public any statement of principles suggested by the ad hoc subcommittee or that any such statement would be given to members of the investment community. Chairman Martin stated that the Committee should bear in mind that under section 10 of the Federal Reserve Act the Board'of Governors was required to include in its annual report to Congress a record of policy actions taken by the Federal Open Market Committee and that this record would, of course, be made public in accordance with the statutory provisions. Mr. Johns said that he had no objection to that procedure since it was a statutory requirement. Mr. Robertson referred to the discussion at the meeting last March of the recommendation of the ad hoc subcommittee that the open market account make known to dealers in Government securities the "ground rules" which henceforth would govern the occasions for its transactions with dealers. At that time, he said, it was clearly understood that there would be no publication of such rules pending further consideration of what ground rules might be agreed upon and whether and how such rules might be made known. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9M/53 -19Mr. Erickson said that he had given a great deal of thought to the subject of Mr, Mills' motion since the meeting of the Committee in June and that he felt very much as Mr* Johns had expressed himself. He wanted to be sure that there was enough flexibility so that action could be taken to deal with any situation that might arise, but under all the circumstances that existed today, Mr. Erickson said, he would be inclined to vote to approve Mr. Mills1 motion. Mr. Powell stated that he did not particularly like the motion presented by Mr. Mills because it put into language a continuing directive to the Open Market Committee concerning a subject which he felt should be a matter for consideration at every meeting of the full Committee and perhaps at meetings of the executive committee in the interim. He doubted whether there had been experience with enough different kinds of economic situations to enable the Committee to say its operations should remain in the short-term market except under most unusual circumstances. It would be better not to have such an expression as Mr, Mills proposed, Mr. Powell felt, unless it was in a form in which it would serve only between meetings of the full Committee. Mr. Mills' motion, he thought, was intended as a much more far reaching document and he, therefore, would not be disposed to vote to approve it. Mr. Fulton said that at the time of the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee last June he anticipated that operations for the System account would remain in the short-term sector of the market but he was apprehensive of having those operations frozen in so that the account could not operate in other parts of the market. In the meantime reserve require- ments of member banks have been reduced, a move which had had a powerful http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/2 It/53 -20- effect in easing the market, and while he felt it still desirable that the executive committee have considerable latitude in carrying on operations, he agreed with the statements made by Mr. Johns to the effect that the full Committee could be brought together at least by telephone so that there did not seem to be danger that operations in the account would not have enough flexibility to meet any situation. On the whole, in view of these factors and because of the general situation as it appeared today and with the full expectation that the Federal Open Market Committee could change the action at any meeting, he would vote to approve the motion presented by Mr, Mills. Mr. Evans stated that he would vote to approve Mr. Mills' motion, that he had studied the report of the ad hoc subcommittee carefully, that he agreed with the conclusions reached in that report, and that he felt the proposal now before the Committee was simply returning to the position taken by the full Committee last March after full discussion of the report. Mr. Vardaman stated that had he been present at the meeting of the full Committee last June he would have voted against rescinding the action taken by the full Committee at its meeting in March, at which time it agreed that under present circumstances operations in Government securities should be confined to the short-end of the market. Because he still held this view, he would vote to approve Mr. Mills' motion. At the same time, he emphasized that he was in favor of giving the executive committee such operational latitude as was necessary so long as that latitude was not sufficient to enable the executive committee to conduct its operations in such a manner as to amount to policy decisions. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/2V53 -21Mr. Robertson requested that Mr. Mills' motion be reread and, following the reading of it by the Secretary, stated that he would vote to approve the motion. Mr. Szymczak stated that he had been unable to attend the meeting of the full Committee in June because he was in the hospital on that day, but if he had been present he would have voted against rescinding the actions taken at the March meeting on the two points under discussion. He noted that, at the meeting of the executive committee on June 23, he had expressed himself as believing that operations for the System account should be limited to Treasury bills. He felt that the full Committee should be constantly aware of the situation in the Government securities market and that whenever the situation was such as to call for a change of policy of the nature of shifting from purchases of short-term securities to other sectors of the market, such a change should be authorized by the full Committee. He, therefore, favored approval of Mr. Mills1 motion. Mr. Leedy stated that he was a little disturbed by Mr. Sproul's suggestion that decisions in such matters as were involved in Mr. Mills' motion might be delegated by the full Committee to the executive committee. He wondered what would be left for the full Committee if such decisions were to be turned over to the executive committee. Mr. Leedy noted that, as Mr. Johns had stated, the executive committee is not a statutory body; it was set up by the full Committee as an operating committee and, while it has a wide responsibility as to executing operations, he felt that it should not have responsibility for adopting fundamental policy decisions. In Mr. Leedy's opinion, decisions of the sort involved in Mr. Mills' http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/2V53 -22- motion were of fundamental importance. Mr. Williams stated that he was somewhat concerned lest the formal nature of Mr. Mills' motion and the attendant discussion might give the Committee's action an air of permanence that it otherwise would not have. The full Committee, he noted, has power to make any change at any meeting, and the extended discussion of Mr. Mills' motion and the formal nature of the motion should not give the action to be taken an importance out of proportion to what it should have, Mr. Vardaman stated that he would have no hesitation in changing this or any other action of the full Committee at the next meeting or any other subsequent meeting if that seemed appropriate at the time, and he noted that the last clause of Mr. Mills' motion—"that these policies be followed until such time as they may be superseded or modified by further action of the Federal Open Market Committee"—seemed clearly to indicate that the action proposed was subject to change by the Committee at any time. Mr. Robertson stated that this was the very point which had caused him to request a rereading of Mr. Mills' motion, that he, too, had felt concern along the lines indicated by Mr. Williams, but that the re- reading of this clause in the motion satisfied him that the matter was properly covered. Mr. TATiiiiams stated that he certainly did not intend to indicate an objection to the motion, that in June although not a member of the full Committee, he had taken the position that the policies adopted in March should be looked upon as experimental in nature, and that he still felt that the Committee should look upon a policy such as that proposed in http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9M/53 -23- Mr. Mills1 motion as experimental. Chairman Martin stated that there was no intention, in raising this Question or in presenting Mr. Mills' motion, to bind the Committee in any way that would not be binding in connection with any other decisions of the Committeeo Mr0 Sproul stated that Mr. Williams had expressed very well the question in his mind. Taking the background of the whole discussion, the content of the ad hoc subcommittee report,, and the discussion at the meeting last March, he felt there was an implication of permanent policy in Mr. Mills' resolution which, despite the clarifying clause at the end of the motion, tended to inhibit the free and flexible consideration of the problem by either the full Committee or the executive committee. This carried with it, he said, the implication of "writing a constitution" for the open market operation, of setting down a policy which, under only the most extraordinary circumstances, could or should be changedo He felt this was the wrong atmosphere to create for the executive committee, and he found it difficult to see what change had occurred to cause a shift in the views of some of the members of the full Committee since last June which would warrant putting into the record a formal motion such as that proposed by Mr. Mills. Mr. Szymczak noted that the full Committee included all members of the Board of Governors and five Presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks, not all of whom were equally close to the market or to the detailed operations of the System account. For that reason, he felt it much better for matters of this type to be brought to the attention of the full membership of the Committee so that each individual would be kept alert regarding a http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/21/53 -2ii- subject for which he had a responsibility, and so that he would have an opportunity to express himself on any policy to be established. Mr. Szymezak also expressed dislike for reaching decisions on the basis of a closely divided vote such as had taken place at the full Committee meeting in June when some of the members were not present, and at the subsequent meeting of the executive committee. If there were to be differences of opinion on policy matters, he felt it much better to have the Questions fully discussed at a meeting when all members of the Committee and the Presidents who were not members could be present, in an attempt to find out the best course to follow. Mr0 Johns stated that he had no fear that passage of Mr. Mills' motion would in any way limit the full Committee in changing the policy. If any member of the Committee felt the policy ought to be changed between full Committee meetings, he would have an opportunity and responsibility to make his views known. As for reasons for a change in his views since June, Mr* Johns said that, as first alternate, he had been called upon to serve almost continuously as an active member of the executive committee during the past few months, and that experience had made him feel the change in authorization was desirable. During that period, Mr, Johns said, he would have been most uncomfortable to have taken the action of authorizing operations in securities other than Treasury bills without having had the benefit of consultation with the other members of the full Committee. Out of this experience had come the conclusion that decisions in such matters should be left to the full Committee* Mr. Leach stated that the only aspect of the motion which he did not like was the air of permanence to which Mr, Williams had referred. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis His conception of the Open Market Committee, he said, was that it did not make public statements of its policies and that it would not take a position indicating that it had set any particular policy from here on out, The fact that some of the members of the Committee attached so much importance to the subject under discussion indicated to him that the decision was being regarded as a matter of permanent policy, Mr. C. Sc Young stated that he shared and believed what Mr. Johns had said about the executive committee, that for the first time in years he was now hearing that the Federal Open Market Committee was an active body. He would like to see the full Committee have a little more authority than it had had and would like to have the members feel that they were an active part of the open market operation, Mr, Young said he could see no grounds for fears in Mr. Mills' motion and was inclined to feel that its adoption would make the members of the full Committee feel that they were more a part of the mrnagement of the open market account than they had been. He agreed wholeheartedly with the statements Mr, Johns had made* Mr, Sproul said there was no question of a policy different from that being followed being authorized by the Open Market Committee as a whole if the resolution proposed by Mr, Mills was adoptedj it was a question whether the full Committee, with all the background of the discussion, wanted to put into the record this prohibition on the actions of the executive committee. He felt such a prohibition was unnecessary and undesirable. Since June, the executive committee had operated within the lines of policy of the Open Market Committee and within the lines proposed by Mr, Mills' motion. His objection was to making this a matter of formal record which he felt would give to the recommendations of the ad hoc subcommittee an air http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/2li/53 -26- of being a permanent part of policy of the full Committee as though such policies were being "written in tablets of stone". Chairman Martin stated that he felt sure the minutes of this meeting would make it clear that no tablets of stone were being written. Thereupon, Mr. Mills1 motion was put by the Chair and carried, Messrs*, Martin, Erickson, Evans, Fulton, Johns, Mills, Robertson, Szymczak, and Vardaman voting "aye", and Messrs. Sproul and Powell voting "no"o Mr0 Riefler referred to the understanding earlier in the meeting as to the policy to be pursued in supplying reserves to the market until the next meeting, and to the wording of the existing directive to the executive committee covering transactions in the System open market account. He suggested that, in view of the policy agreed upon at this meeting, it would be desirable to change the instruction in clause (b) that such operations should be with a view "to avoiding deflationary tendencies without encouraging a renewal of inflationary developments (which in the near future will require aggressive supplying of reserves to the market)." During the ensuing discussion, it was agreed that this clause should be modified to delete all the words following "tendencies" so that the clause would read "to avoiding deflationary tendencies1'^ Mr, Sproul stated in response to a question from Chairman Martin that he felt the existing limits in the directive would be adequate for the present. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Thereupon, upon motion duly made and seconded, the following directive to the executive committee was approved unanimously: 9/2 It/53 -27- Th e executive committee is directed, until otherwise directed by the Federal Open Market Committee, to arrange for such transactions for the System open market account, either in the open market or directly with the Treasury (including purchases, sales, exchanges, replacement of maturing securities, and letting maturities run off without replacement), as may be necessary, in the light of current and. prospective economic conditions and the general credit situation of the country, with a view (a) to relating the supply of funds in the market to the needs of commerce and business, (b) to avoiding deflationary tendencies, (c) to correcting a disorderly situation in the Government securities market, and (d) to the practical administration of the account5 provided that the aggregate amount of securities held in the System account (including commitments for the purchase or sale of securitj.es for the account) at the close of this date, other than special short-term certificates of indebtedness purchased from time to time for the temporary accommodation of the Treasury, shall not be increased or decreased by more than #2,000,000,000. The executive committee is further directed, until otherwise directed by the Federal Open Market Committee, to arrange for the purchase direct from the Treasury for the account of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (which Bank shall have discretion, in cases where it seems desirable, to issue participations to one or more Federal Reserve Banks) of such amounts of special short-term certificates of indebtedness as may be necessary from time to time for the temporary accommodation of the Treasury, provided that the total amount of such certificates held at any one time by the Federal Reserve Banks shall not exceed in the aggregate £2,000,000,000. There was a discussion of the next date for the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee and, while no definite date was set, it was understood that it probably would be held during the week beginning December llj, 1953* (Later in the day, at the joint meeting of the Board of Governors and the Presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks, it was agreed that the next meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee would be held on Tuesday, December l£, 1953•) http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Secretary's notes At the meeting of the executive committee of the Federal Open Market Committee held immediately following this meeting, and at the joint meeting of the Board of Governors and the Presidents of all Federal 9/2L/53 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -28Reserve Banks held later in the day, Chairman Martin reported that the Secretary of the Treasury had indicated informally that it was expected that approximately $1 billion of free gold carried in the Treasury's cash balance would be used during the fall months of this year, one of the purposes of such use being to enable the Treasury to meet necessary payments within the $2?£ billion statutory debt limit. Chairman Martin also noted that, depending upon how this gold was used by the Treasury, it would affect the amount and timing of open market operations* Thereupon the meeting adjourned. Secretary, PRELIMINARY DRAFT CONFIDENTIAL A meeting of the executive committee of the Federal Open Market Committee was held in the offices of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on Thursday, September 21|, 1953, at 12:i£ p.m. PRESENT: Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Martin, Chairman Sproul, Vice Chairman Erickson Evans Mills Messrs. Robertson, Szymczak, and Vardaman, Members of the Federal Open Market Committee Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Riefler, Secretary Thurston, Assistant Secretary Vest, General Counsel Thomas, Economist R. A. Young, Associate Economist Sherman, Assistant Secretary, Board of Governors Mr. Youngdahl, Assistant Director, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors Mr, Gaines, Securities Department, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Upon motion duly made and seconded, and by unanimous vote, the minutes of the meeting of the executive committee of the Federal Open Market Committee held on September 8, 1953 were approved. Upon motion duly made and seconded, and by unanimous vote, the transactions in the System open market account for the period September 8 to September 23, 1953* inclusive, were approved, ratified, and confirmed. Chairman Martin stated that, as implied in the statement Mr. Thomas had made at the meeting of the full Committee earlier today, the Treasury planned to use the "free" gold in its cash balance in the approximate amount of $1 billion for the purpose of reducing the public debt. He stated that he and Mr. Sproul were to discuss the matter with Treasury officials this afternoon. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9/2V53 -2Mr. Riefler noted that to the extent reserves were to be supplied by the Treasury through use of the "free" gold, the program with respect to open market operations would be affected in carrying out the general policy agreed upon at the meeting of the full committee. He felt that the timing of the Treasury's use of the gold was of primary importance, in considering the instructions to be given by the executive committee for carrying on operations in the System account. Mr. Sproul stated that he would assume that the total amount of reserves that would be needed by the market this fall would be the same whether the Treasury used the gold or not and regardless of the timing; to the extent the Treasury did use the gold, System open market operations would be reduced, and the timing of System purchases might be affected. In a further discussion of the timing of the use of the gold and its possible effect on open market operations, it was suggested that the next meeting of the executive committee be held on October 6, 1953 > at which time more information as to the Treasury's plans for use of the gold might be available. In a discussion of the directive to be issued to the New York Bank, Mr. Kills suggested that the limitation in the first paragraph be increased from $500 to $75>0 million. It was also suggested that the wording of clause (b) be changed in line with the change made in the corresponding clause of the directive from the full Committee at its meeting today, so that it would read that purchases for the System account should be with a view "to avoiding deflationary tendencies". http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Thereupon, upon motion duly made and seconded, the executive committee 9/2V53 -3voted unanimously to direct the Federal Reserve Bank of New York until otherwise directed by the executive committee: (1) To make such purchases, sales, or exchanges (including replacement of maturing securities and allowing maturities to run off without replacement) for the System account in the open market or, in the case of maturing securities, by direct exchange with the Treasury, as may be necessary in the light of current and prospective economic conditions and the general credit situation of the country, with a view (a) to relating the supply of funds in the market to the needs of commerce and business, (b) to avoiding deflationary tendencies, and (c) to the practical administration of the account; provided that the total amount of securities in the System account (including commitments for the purchase or sale of securities for the account) at the close of this date shall not be increased or decreased by more than $750 million\ (2) To purchase direct from the Treasury for the account of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (with discretion, in cases where it seems desirable, to issue participations to one or more Federal Reserve Banks) such amounts of special short-term certificates of indebtedness as may be necessary from time to time for the temporary accommodation of the Treasury; provided that the total amount of such certificates held at any one time by the Federal Reserve Banks shall not exceed in the aggregate $500 million. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Thereupon the meeting adjourned. Secretary's note: At the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee held earlier today, unanimous approval was given to a recommendation of the special committee appointed at the meeting of the executive committee on June 11, 1953 to consider a proposed revision in the directives of the Federal Open Market Committee and its executive committee. This recommendation, •which was presented by Chairman Martin on behalf of Mr. Sproul and himself, was that, for the reasons stated on page 3 of the minutes of the full Committee meeting held today, the Committee approve the continued use of the existing forms of directives, with changes being made by the respective committees from time to time as special circumstances may indicate. Secretary. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis From fhe desk of WILLIAM McCHESNEY MAHTiN. JR. MEMBERSHIP OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSOT 1913-1951 Federal Reserve District Effective data of Appointment Qjarles S. Hamlin Boston Aug. 10, 191k Reappointed 1916 and 1926. Served until Feb. 3, 1936, on which date his successor took office. Paul M. Warburg Hev Tork Aug. 10, 191U Term expired Attest 9, 1918. Frederic A. Delano Chicago Aug, 10, 1911i Resigned July 21, 1918, W. ?» 0, Harding Atlanta Aug. 10, 191U Term expired August 9, 1922. Adolph €. Miller San Franciaco Aug. 10, 191U Reappointed in 192lt. Reappointad in 193U from the Richmond District. Served until Feb. 3, 1936, on which date his successor took office. Albert Strauss Mew Terk Oct. 26, 1918 Resigned March 15, 1920. Henry A. Moehlenpah Chicago Hov. 10, 1919 Term expired August 9, 1920. Sdsmmd Platt New Tork June 8, 1920 Reappointed in 1928. Resigned September lit, 1930. David C. Will* Cleveland Sept. 29, 1920 Term expired March k, 1921. John R. Mitchell Minneapolis May 12, 1921 Resigned May 12, 1923. Hllo D. Campbell Chicago Mar. lit, 1923 Died March 2?, 1923. Daniel R. Cristinger Cleveland May 1, 1923 Resigned September 1$, 1927. Oeorge H. James St. Louis May 1U, 1923 Reappointed in 1931. Served until Feb. 3, 1936, on which date his successor took office. Edward H. Cunningfra* Chicago May lh, 1923 Died Jfovember 28, 1930. Roy A. Young Minneapolis Oct. U, 192? Resigned August 31, 1930, Eugene Meyer Hew York Sept. 16, 1930 Resigned May 10, 1933* Wayland #, Magee Kansas City May 18, 1931 Terra expired January 2l±, 1933. lugene R. Black Atlanta May 19, 1933 Resigned August 15, 193U. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Federal Reserve District Effective date of Appointment J. J. thomas Kansas City June 14, 1933 Served until February 10, 193^, en which date his successor took office, Joseph A. Brederiek Sew fork Feb. 3, 193& Eesigced effective Septeiafeer 30,1937, John K. McKee Cleveland Feb. 3f 193^ Served until April k, 1^6, m wfeiofa date his successor took office. Ronald Ransom Atlanta, Fefe. 3» 193^ leappoint^d effective February 1, l^lit. Died December t, 3L9k7. Rslp^ W. «0rrieos SaUas Feb. 10, 1936 iasigned effective J\ily 9» 193^* Chester C* Davis ftic^a^d June 2f>, 193^ Resided effective March ?, 19l|0f t© accept reapfsoiataent effective «aj^i 8, 19l*D, for t«ra of lit years from February 1, 191*0. Resigned effective April 15, l?iil» Imest 0. Orap@r Hew t<*rk Usar. 30f 1938 Served until September 1, 1950, ©a which date his successor took office. fcawremee Qisyten Boston ^oaas B, McCabe Philadelphia Feb. Ut, 19U7 Died Oeeeiaber ti, 191tf. Apr. 15, 19liS leslgaed March 31> 1951. Motei Um^er the provislotts ©f the original Federal teaerv«_ Aet tbe Federal leaearfe Board vaa cc»if^po8@d of 7 m^tbers, inoladiag % appointive m««ber», 'the Secretary of thm H&© was ex*officio ehairman of the Board, and tbe Ce^trQllar of tfc® Omrninoy. ftie original term of office was 10 y^ars, and toe five original appoiativ® it«»ber» Jiad of 2, k» 6, 6, aad 10 years, r«ap-^otiv@iy» la 19ff ths msmber of appointive msajfeers ira« inereaaed to 6, and in 1933 the t^r® of office was incroaaed to 12 y«ars. The Baniriag Act of 193£§ improved Amidst 23, 193£* changed the name of the Federal B@eerre Board to the Board of Governors of the Federal Heserve System and provided that the Board should be csnposed of 7 appointive m-s«bers| that th© S<ier«tary of the treasury aixd th« Controller @f the Oarreney should oostiiiae to serve as w^ibers mntil February 1, l?36j that the appointive m^ibsrs in office on the date of that Act should eontiime to sorv® until February 1, 193©", or until their saoeessors w«re appoint^ aad, had qualified and that th@r®aft®r the torus of neatoers should b® 1^ years and that the designation of Qiainsaa ( and Vie@ Chairmaia of the Board shewld.fe@for a term ©f fmr ye&rs. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis OF fHI OF Federal Reserve District Effective date of Appointment X* $• $zyme*ak Chicago June 14, 1933 ftsaf^oioted effective February 3, 1936* and February 1, 19MU Present term expires Jamaary 31, 19&£* Harriaer S* Ecel@s San Fraaeisea MOT. l£, 193k tftappoint^d effective Feb. 3, I936f March 8, 1910 (switched t*«8S wi^i Chester Devia * »ee above)$ and February 1, 19Wi* Present tent ei^ireg J&minry 31f 19^* / /fjRy a*i4@lpt* M. KTWMI Sidamoa4 Har. ll*t 19lit Appo^ited for unexpired portion of / /- Chester 'Davis* tens, which expire* Jfaa&ry ;&* 1.9^4. V "'-' James K. Vardaiiaii, Jr. St. L@ttis Apr. It, 19U6 B^rard !•« Norton Atlanta Sept* 1, 1950 Appointed to fiH meaaey at expiration of Ernest Draper's term. Present tsrm expire* Jaau&ry jljl^U Oliver S. Powell Minneapolis Sept* 1, 19^0 Appointed to fill vaeancy caused ly resignatioR .of Balpfa Morarisoa, utiidi had never been filled* Pr**«at term expires Jaimary 31 ft 3*,^* Ife* MeC. MartiB, Jr. Sew fork Apr. 2f 19S1 -5-^ http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ltpp^i»t@4 to fill meimey mt ©x« piration of John XoKet't terra* Presenit appointi^nt ®Kpir«s Janmary 31f I960* A|^?int<»d to fill Tacamey camsed l^r resipiatioa of tfeomas MeCabe, wh& was appointed for the uaexpired p©rti©n of Ronald H«»somfs term. Present tens expires January 31^19^ Of TifS BOARD Charles S. Hamlin tf. P. 0. Harding .............. 0. R. Crissiuger .............. Roy A. Toting .................. Imgeae Meyer .................. Blaek $. Iceles ............ ffceaias B. MoCabe .............. W&. McC* Martia, Jr. *. August 10, l91I**August 9, August 10, 1916-Auipst 9, May 1, 1923~Septe»ber 15, October k, 192?-August 31* September 16, 1930-May 10, 1931 J Kay 19, 1933-August 15, : November 15, 193l4-«Jaimary 31, 19a8 April 15, 19l*8-MarQh 31, 1951 April 2, 195^fjg BQAM) F. A* Delano .. August 10, X?llHk*ftt*t 9, 1916 Paul M. Warburg August 10, 1916-August 9, 1916 Albert Strauss ................ October 26, 19lB^arch 15, 1920 23, 19tO-Sept««b©r Hi, 1930 <t»T • OT . 21f 193if»F«bruLary 10, 1936 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Note i Prior to Aaga*t £3§ 1935> the Qjairmaii and ?lc« Qiairman of tha Board w«r® kuonn a® Gk>-wirr-»r and ?!©« Qov*mor, respectively. 0? fl® 23, 1913-Beember 15, 1918 16, F. ioaston February 2, 1920*March 3, 1921 I. MeHoa HsreJi k$ 1921-February 12, 1932 Ogdem L. Wills .............. February 12, 1932-Marcli It, 1933 William I. Meodln ........... March I*, 1933-Besember 31, 1933 Henry Horgeathau* Jr. ....... JaBaary 1, 193^*l!*brtt^ry 1, 1936 Cart«r CHass Go^-farollers of, ^the Qurrfncy Jotoi Skelton WlHisas ....... B. ft. Crisstegar ............ leary M. X^Mes .............. r ~*»^|jh M, lelatesii .......... f. Pole .................. % f. O f Connor February 2, l^lli-March 2, 1921 March 17, 1921*April 30, 1923 May 1, 1923*Be©e®ber 17, 192k B®eeafcer 20, 192li-I©ve«b«r 20, 1928 Iovemb«r 21, 1928-»ieptember 20, 1932 Hay 11, 1933*F«braary 1, 1936 former and Present Members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (Federal Reserve Board prior to February 1, 1936) Length of Serviee |roa''" Charles S* Baralia* 8-10-U* 2- >36 Frederic A. Delano 8*10-ll4 7-21-18 Paul H. Warburg 8~ia.lb 8- 9-18 W. P. 6. Harding* 8-10-11* S- 9-22 Adolpfc a. Miller 8-10-H4 2- 3-36 Albert Straus© 10-26-18 3-15-20 Henry A. Moshlenpah 11-10-19 8~ 9-20 Edmund Platt 6- 8-20 D. a. wuis 5^-29-20 John R. Mitebell 5*ia-2i 5-3.2-23 Hilo D, aateqpbeU 0. R. Grissing@r«George E« Janies >Ht^23 5- 1-23 £»U*«23 >22-23 9-15-27 2- 3-36 ^11^-23 10- l*-2? 11-28-30 8-31-30 Sugene Meyer* 9-16-30 5-10-33 Wayland ¥. Magee 5-18-31 l-2li-33 Eugene R. Black* 5-19-33 S-l5~3k 6-U^33 6-lii-33 U-15-314 2-10-36 Present 7-ll*-5l Edward H. Owmiogham Eogr A. Xotmg* J. J. Thomas H. S. Saymcsak Hajfriner S. flseles* Eonald Hansom 2- >36 Joseph A. Broderick 2- >36 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Business Affiliation at fime of Appointment Assistant Secretary of the treasury, S. S. President, C.I.&L, (Morion Railroad) Chicago, Illinois. Member, Kuhn, Loeb, 4 Co., Bankers, Hew fork, Hew fork. President, First Hational lank, Birmingham, Alabama. Assistant to the Secretary of the Interior, 0. S. Member, J.IM. Selipian It Co., Bankers, Hew fork, Ilew fork. President, fh@ Citizens Bank, Clinton, Wisconsin. Member of II. S. Congress, 26th Sew fork District. > li-21 12- 9-30-3? Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Cleveland, Ohio. President, Capital National Bank, St. Paul, Minnesota. Farmer, Coldwater, Michigan. Comptroller of the Currency, U. S. President, ¥ro. R. Moore Dry Goods Co., Memphis, Tennessee. Farmer, Cresoo, Iowa. Governor, Federal Reserve lank of Minneapolis, Minneapolis, Minnesota. Engaged in personal affairs, Hew fork, Hew lork. Farmer and Stockman, Bennington, Nebraska. Governor, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia. Attomey-at-L«w, Seward, Nebraska. Comptroller, City of Chicago, TTHncals. Assistant to the Secretary of the treasury, U« S. Executive ?ice President, Fulton Hational Bank, Atlanta, Georgia* Superintendent of Banks of the State of Hew fork Former and Present Members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (Goat.) (Federal Reserve Board prior to February 1, 1936} John K. McKee 2- 3-36 1** k-k6 Ralph W. Morrison Chester G. Davis 2-10-36 6-25*36 7- 9-36 k-l5~Ja Ernest S. Braper 3-30-38 9" 1-5*0 Rudolph M« Brans >li^-l42 Present . Jb- lt-i|6 Present laawrenc© Clayton Z-lk'-kl 12- k~k9 Thomas B. HcCabe* li^l^S >31-Sl idsrard L. Morton 9- 1-50 2- 1*52 Olltar S. Powell f» l-f>0 6*30-52 Mm. MaC. Martin, Jr. ii» 2-51 Present A. L* Hills, Jr. 2-18*52 Present J. L. Robertson 2-18-5& Present James K. Vardaman, Jr. Chief, Examining Division Reconstruction Finance Corporation, Washington, B, C. Rancher, San Antonio, Texas. Administrator, Agriculture Adjustment Administration, U. 3. Assistant Secretary of Commerce, U. S. Administrator, Agriculture Adjustment Administration, tl. S. Kami Aide to the i'resident of the United States, President, Clayton Securities Corporation, Boston, Massachusetts. President, Scott Paper Co., Chester, Pennsylvania. President, Coosa River newsprint Co., Coosa River, Alabama. First ?ice President, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Minneapolis 2, Minnesota. Assistant Secretary of the treasury, U. S, First Vice President, the United States national Bank of Portland, Portland, Oregon. First Deputy Comptroller of the Currency, U. S. * Chairman «•- prior to August 23, 1935* title was Governor. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis REMARKS OF ALLAN SPROUL, PRESIDENT, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK, AT THE MID-WINTER MEETING NEW YORK STATE BANKERS ASSOCIATION, JANUARY 25, 1954 Independence of the Federal Reserve System I hope that you will not hold me too closely to the assigned topic of my talk this evening. I intend to weave in and out around it, but I am not going to try to give you an historical and philosophical dissertation on the independence of central banks. Even if such a task were not beyond my powers of exposition, it would probably be beyond your powers of endurance. The subject is continuously interesting to central bankers, however, and it may be that by relating it to banking discussions and credit policy in recent years and months, I can make it of some interest to you. It is important, I think, that neither frozen attitudes of mind concerning the past independence of central banks, nor misconceptions of the present situation of the Federal Reserve System, be allowed to jeopardize a position which, even though it be confirmed from time to time, is never free from attack. The possibility that there might be a "money power" able and willing to flout the economic policies of elected Government, or exposed to the coercion of special private interests, disturbs many men and attracts demagogic assault, When your President asked me to speak tonight, I told him that I thought the bankers of New York State, and of the Second Federal Reserve District, have a special call upon my time and energies. This could be seized upon by those who hold that the Federal Reserve System is banker-dominated, and banker-oriented in its attitudes and actions, but it carries no such implication. Our relations with you are close to be sure, but this is necessary both as a matter of law and as an aid to the proper functioning of our money economy. In the performance of our primary duty of relating the supply of money to the needs of agriculture, commerce, and industry, and of our secondary duties such as supplying coin and currency, collecting checks, and supervising member banks, we necessarily work with and through the private banking system. Our objective in both areas, however, is to meet a public need. In the first instance it is to provide, to the fullest extent permitted by actions of Government and the private economy, over which we do not have control, a money supply which has reasonably stable purchasing power and which will contribute to the steady growth of the economy. In the second instance, it is to promote the improvement of our banking facilities for the benefit of every citizen, whether or not he ever borrows from a bank or makes or withdraws a deposit. One line of criticism of the Federal Reserve System, which during the past year has made ominous forays into the public prints, is that the Federal Reserve Banks perform all sorts of free services for the commercial banks of the country, while charging the Federal Government for many services http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis performed for it. We are accused of favoring private institutions as against the Government and of using funds, which otherwise would revert to the Government, to consummate this favoritism. As a consequence it is sometimes suggested that the Federal Reserve System be brought within the budget-making orbit of the Congress, and be subjected to the general accounting procedures of the Government, presumably so that these twin "evils" may be curbed or eliminated. It is a narrow and myopic view, I think, to look upon the services we perform for our member banks as subsidies to the banking business. If there are such subsidies, as distinguished from services that we can and should perform at no cost or low cost, as part of our job of providing efficient monetary arrangements for the nation, they should be eliminated. But the real and overriding purpose of these services, when wisely conceived and economically performed, is the provision of that better banking system, which the original Federal Reserve Act envisaged, and which is a necessary part of the proper functioning of our economy. Banking in this country is a highly regulated public utility. Individual banks are operated for the profit of their stockholders, but the banking system as a whole operates for the benefit of the community. And it is the Federal Reserve System which, nationally and in collaboration with the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, draws all of these private units together, and with them and through them tries to see to it that the public is provided with efficient and effective banking facilities, in the form and at the place where these facilities will be most useful. The expenses which we absorb in pursuit of this objective are not subsidies to the private banking system. They represent a service to everyone in the country who depends on the proper functioning of our monetary system. And that means everyone. Reasonable men and friendly critics are somewhat attracted, nevertheless, by the idea that these expenditures of the Federal Reserve Banks should be brought under the budgetary control of the Congress, and the subsequent review of the General Accounting Office. If there were real abuses to be corrected, this might be one solution, albeit one which would introduce the unfortunate but probably inescapable element of rigidity of "Big Government" and bureaucracy into operations which, both on behalf of the Government, as its fiscal agent, and on behalf of the public, through the member banks, require a high degree of flexibility in the allocation and uses of funds. For myself, I do not believe there exists any possibility of abuse which cannot be detected and eliminated under present procedures, or improvements in those procedures. The facts as to the earnings and expenses of the Federal Reserve Banks are readily available. The efficiency of operations of the Federal Reserve Banks is open to the daily observation of all who have dealings with them. Their operations are under the immediate scrutiny of boards of directors performing a public service but, in most cases, used to the compulsions of operating a private business for profit. And the banks are subject to the check and audit of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System at Washington, There is no lack of control of the financial affairs of the Federal Reserve Banks. On the question of the services which, as fiscal agents, the Federal Reserve Banks perform for the Government, and for some of which a charge is made, I am inclined to believe that both the public and the Congress would look with a jaundiced eye on a broad extension of the free list. The net cost to the Government, in any case, is a small one, since the charges made for http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis fiscal agency operations prevent erosion of the net earnings of the Federal Reserve"Banks, approximately 90$ of which are now paid to the Treasury. And there are dangers as well as costs to "be considered, The first danger here is that extravagant Government departments and "bureaus, or economy-minded agencies, depending on which way the wind is blowing, would find this a convenient way to improve their own "budgetary position, and to escape some of the controls of the Congressional appropriation procedure. There must be literally hundreds of financial housekeeping jobs, I suppose, which Government departments might seek to have performed free of charge by the Federal Reserve Banks, as fiscal agents of the Government, if the doors were opened to this sort of thingo The final danger would then be that the Federal Reserve Banks would become swamped with these incidental, mechanical functions to the detriment of the performance of their primary duties as central banks. It is no help in the resolution of questions such as these, of course, to find that there are many bankers who still think that the Federal Reserve Banks are "making money" out of member bank reserves and who do not realize that, on the contrary, the Reserve Banks have for a long time been creating reserves to provide the basis for present day deposit banking. These bankers are inclined to argue that the Federal Reserve Banks are making large profits out of the use of the reserves deposited with them by their member banks, and that these earnings should be used to provide more "free services" for the member banks, instead of being paid over, in large part, to the Federal Government. Such argument not only gives support to those who see in this matter only a question of division of spoils between private banking institutions and the Government, it also indicates a tenacious misunderstanding of how our reserve deposit banking system really works. The reserves originally paid into the Reserve Banks by their member banks were not, of course, earning assets and did not become such by this shift from one vault to another. And over the years these reserves have long since been submerged under a thick layer of reserves created by the Federal Reserve Banks, using the powers granted to them by the Congress. The reserves which you paid into the Reserve Banks could be put back into your own vaults, and they would be there just as inert as they now lie in the vaults or, better, on the books of the Reserve Banks. The reserves which we created, primarily by buying Government securities during the war, now find a reflection in the substantial earnings which we report each year. And similarly created reserves will be a similar source of earnings for the Federal Reserve Banks, if the reserve base needs of a growing banking system in a growing economy continue to be met in this way. We do not live on the reserves which you once placed with us. This has nothing to do, of course, with the level of reserves which different classes of banks are required to keep with the Federal Reserve Banks. If the percentage amount of your required reserves is increased there will be, in effect, a transfer of earning assets from the member banks to the Reserve Banks„ And if the percentage amount of your required reserves is reduced, there would be a reverse movement of such earning assets. Perhaps this has helped to confuse the picture. The way to get at this situation, however, is not to demand free services from the Federal Reserve Banks, but to examine the history and effect of present reserve requirements, to see if some more up-todate and more equitable method of fixing reserve requirements cannot be devised. The Federal Reserve System has made studies of this problem, and it is one which will have to be solved at some time if our fractional reserve banking system http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis is to keep in step with changing conditions. But so far the interest which the banking community has shown in the problem has "been small, sporadic, and perhaps, too much tinged with the particular interests of particular groups of banks. Well, you now have a right to ask, what has all this got to do with the independence of the Federal Reserve System? Only this. If the charge can be made to stick that the Federal Reserve Banks now serve primarily the selfish and pecuniary interests of the private banks, the independence of the Federal Reserve System will be in danger. Whether the attack be a frontal one, involving so-called nationalization of the Federal Reserve Banks, or whether it be an encircling movement putting the Federal Reserve System in with sprawling Government departments, subject to stereotyped Governmental budget and accounting procedures, the independence and the regional character of the Federal Reserve System—and, I believe, its effectiveness--will be undermined. It can happen here, particularly if bankers themselves do not take the trouble to broaden public understanding of the basic principles and the organizational advantages of the central banking system which have evolved in this country. In defending what we have, however, and in trying to improve it as we go along, we may be in danger at the hands of friends as well as critics. Here I have in mind some of the fiction which, it seems to me, is getting mixed up with the facts about our experiences during the war and post-war period, and some of the loose language which is being used to describe our recent adaptations of flexible credit policy. I shall refer to the earlier period only briefly. It is becoming part of the legend that during the war, and during the post-war years until March 1951, the Federal Reserve System was the supine servant of the Treasury. The demands of capsule treatment of a difficult period in credit policy and debt management seem to make for such easy generalization. So far as the war period is concerned, I think it is closer to the facts to say that the Treasury and the Federal Reserve System reached an agreement, with some compromises along the way, as to war financing and credit policy. It is quite true that we lost our "independence", but we lost it to the inexorable demands of war. It was not meekly handed over to the Treasury in abdication of our responsibilities. The long post-war delay in dismantling war financing policies is less defensible. Our problem was to recapture from the commercial banks of the country, and other holders of Government securities, the initiative with respect to the creation of reserve credit, and to restore the ability of the Federal Reserve Banks to vary the availability and the price of such credit to meet changing economic conditions. The problem was complicated by the fact that the Treasury faced, during these years, an unprecedented job of funding and refunding an enormous mass of public debt, and by the fact that large segments of that debt had not yet settled into firm hands. The bases for strong differences of opinion existed even though we and the Treasury professed the same ultimate objectives. The result of our debates was a policy so cautious, so hesitant, so distrustful of general credit measures, that credit policy lost much of its effectiveness. It is worth remembering, though, that during much of the early post-war period the Treasury was drawing in cash surpluses which were used, to a significant extent, to reduce bank reserves, and thus to offset much of whatever harm was done by our release of reserves in support of Government security prices. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis .5 Here again, however, there was no meek surrender of independence; this time it was a running fight all the way. And we did accomplish something as early as 1947 with the unfreezing of short-term interest rates, which enabled us to offset with one hand, by sales of short-term Government securities, what we. were doing with the other, in support of the long-term market. But despite such qualifications, those who hold that we should have acted sooner than we did to restore our freedom of action probably express the majority opinion. But to impute our failure to a lack of courage, in defense of our independence, is like sitting in the bleachers and demanding more courage of some young men who are having all they can do to stay in the game. There is one prime fact to be remembered, also. A more independent, more effective monetary policy could not have prevented the post-war inflation; at best it could only have slowed it down. The big damage had already been done. The money supply of the country had been increased from $36 billion to $102 billion during the war, without any similar increase in civilian goods and services. The inflationary effects of this warborn development were suppressed but not eliminated by direct controls. They were bound to break out;, unless we were ready and able to embark on a drastic program of deflation which would have resulted in a decline in production, a decline in employment, a decline in income, and a decline in consumption. I did not then and I do not now believe that this would have been the right prescription for the troubled post-war world, when so much depended on this country's economic strength. A credit policy so drastic as to erase the inflationary effects of war financing was not the answer. We had to grow up to the wartime expansion of the money supply through an increase in production and prices, moderated by increases in productivity. Perhaps we could have prevented some of the increase of $10 or $11 billion in the money supply which took place in 1946 and 1947> hut the money and credit requirements of a massive readjustment from a war economy to a primarily civilian economy would have made even this doubtful. When our economy had pretty well grown up to the new monetary magnitudes decreed by war and when, after the mild recession of 1949, the outbreak of hostilities in Korea set off a new spiral of inflation, we did act promptly and vigorously. This involved us, in August 1950, in a public knockdown and dragout fight with the Treasury, which we had been trying to avoid for so long, in what we conceived to be the national interest. The independence we then asserted was broadened and affirmed in the "accord" of March 1951 > with growing support of banking and public opinion. That support has. been evident ever since, and has found expression in the findings of two Congressional committees charged with looking into our actions and status. What we have to guard against now is renewed erosion of our independence. To illustrate this danger, I might quote from a weekly magazine of enormous circulation, In a recent issue it published a picture of the Council of Economic Advisers with the caption "President's Prophets" and then indulged in some prophecy of its own about the anti-depression planning of the present Administration. One section of this statement said that "the 'tight moneyT policy, which has already been liberalized, would quickly be switched to fast expansion of credit by decreasing Federal Reserve margins, resuming the pricepegging of government bonds, and stimulating instalment buying." The implication was that this remarkable hodge-podge is part of the Administration's anti-depression planning, and that the Federal Reserve System is in the Administration's pocket so far as the implementation of such a program is concerned. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Or take another example from a banking magazine published in London. "The attempt of the Republicans to go back to Coolidge and 'sound money' has failed before it started. At the first whiff of deflation Mr. Randolph Burgess and Mr. Humphrey, the big battalions of the dear money and 'putting value into the dollar' school, broke and fled, leaving the rearguard action to the hastily organized open market operations of the Federal Reserve." Here we are tied in with the monetary ideas of President Coolidge, and charged with being used as expendables by the present Administration, when all the time we thought we were acting on our own non-political initiative to accommodate credit policy to the needs of a changing economic situation. An again become It all seems was given up erudite domestic critic puts it more subtly. He says we have subordinated to the Treasury by a process of intellectual osmosis. to add up to the charge that the independence we achieved in 1951 again in 1953. Now what exactly have we done during the past year? I shall leave out the way we have done it, which has caused some intra-mural debate, and confine my discussion to broad policies and broad objectives. The story cannot be definitive, of course, because to a certain extent we have been pioneering, and we shall need later judgments properly to assess the results. If we had only to work by the book, we should not have had to cope with, first, inflationary excesses and then with deflationary dangers, while the Treasury was almost continuously a borrower or prospective borrower of new money to meet cash deficits„ My outline, then, will be just a broad sketch of policies as they appeared at the time. In January 1953^ there was considerable general or nonstatistical evidence of some revival of boom psychology in business, supported to some extent by the statistics of November and December 1952. On the other hand, in the critical area of prices there was little confirmation and some denial of the emergence of inflationary forces. We were concerned, however, about consumer spending increasing faster than consumer income, the increasing investment in inventories, and the possible consequences of the prospective removal of remaining price and wage controls. The situation was characterized as precarious balance at high levels. In such circumstances a continued policy of mild restraint of credit expansion seemed indicated. In keeping with such a policy and consistent with previous open market operations, the discount rate was increased in January from 1 3/4$> to 2$, and gains in banking reserves, resulting largely from the return flow of currency from hand to hand use, were offset or slightly more than offset by reductions in our holdings of Government securities. As an indication of the mildness of this holding action, the member banks gained about $1,200 million in reserve funds from January 1, 1953 to mid-March, through the return flow of currency and a decline in required reserves, and lost a little over $1,300 million through gold and foreign account transactions and a reduction in the Government security holdings of the Federal Reserve Banks. As we came into the spring season, however, the need for alertness to signs of possible declines in economic activity increased, highlighted by the decline in farm prices and farm income and the then unpredictable economic consequences of the cessation of fighting in Korea. At the same time, the pressure of an unusually sustained private demand for bank credit was augmented by the http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis emergence of Treasury needs for new money, some of which would have to come from the banks. These cumulating pressures, operating against a policy of mild restraint on the part of the Federal Reserve System, converted that policy into one of more severe restraint than the economic situation seemed to justify. The risk of giving a final fillip to unwholesome inflationary developments, of creating a bubble on top of a boom, had receded. Taking cognizance of this situation the Federal Reserve Banks began buying Government securities in the open market during the week ending May 13 and, before the month was out, a total of $157 million of Treasury bills had been purchased. In addition the amount of reserve credit in the market was increased by $125 million through repurchase agreements made with non-bank dealers in Government securities. A net increase of $282 million in reserve funds available to the market is no small chunk. It might have been considered as a significant sign of a change in policy and of a prospective easing of credit availability. But markets are creatures of expectations as well as events, and the money market and capital market had become disturbed and jittery, in the face of what they thought would be normal increases in private demands for funds during the second half of the year, accompanied by Treasury demands which seemed to grow in size with each new estimate. There was no immediate reaction to our relaxation of credit restraint during May. We were up against the fact that, at best, central banking is an art, not an exact science, that there are lags of unpredictable duration between action and reaction, and that our problems are still quite largely problems of human behavior„ The market had to be shaken out of the view that credit would not be readily available during the second half of the year, if we were not to run the risk of giving deflationary influences a hard shove into the foreground, by reason of faulty market assumptions concerning future credit policy. The action the System then took was precipitated in timing and form--but not in substance--by the needs of the Treasury. Our open market operations were stepped up in June, and lower bank reserves were announced to take effect early in July. The cynic or the skeptic can say that this reduction in reserve requirements coincided too neatly, in timing and amount, with the reserve needs of the banks, as related to Treasury borrowing, to pass muster as an act of credit policy,, The alternative, however, in the face of the necessitous borrowing of the Treasury, was to allow that borrowing to press hard on bank reserves and on private financing, at a time when the economy was no longer balanced between inflation and stability, but between stability and deflation. It seemed to me then, and it seems to me now, that it would have been economically unjustified to run the risk of tipping the balance toward deflation. From early July until early September, we followed pretty much a hands-off policy while the economy moved sidewise at high levels and with stability in the broader price indices. We had become convinced, however, that it was safe to make our errors on the side of credit ease and, during September, we began to anticipate the expected increase in demand for credit during the last quarter of the year. The fact that private demands for credit did not come up to seasonal expectations made it look as if we had overshot the mark by our purchase of $359 million of Government securities during September and the first week of October, and this exposed us again http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 to the charge that we had "become creatures of the Treasury's needs. I have no hesitancy in saying, however, that our policies were dictated primarily by economic factors, other than the Treasury's debt management problems, and that whatever mistakes we made were not dictated mistakes. It is an unfortunate fact that our estimates of what may happen to bank reserves from day to day and even from week to week, as a result of ordinary market factors, are not too accurate. Over a longer period they come out pretty well, but the intervening swings may be wide. If we were going to give the business community and the money market a lead as to credit policy during the last quarter of the year, when it seemed necessary that there be no question of the continued availability of reserve funds, we had to run the risk of overshooting our immediate objective in order to achieve the longer term result. When the demand for reserve funds again began to catch up with the supply at the end of October we resumed open market purchases of Government securities and carried on through the year-end. And, as the special demands of the year-end began to impinge on the central money markets, while the reserve position of the rest of the country remained easy, we gave special relief to the money market by reducing from 2 to 1 3/4 per cent the rate applying to repurchase agreements with non-bank dealers in Government securities. In this way the dealers were enabled to supply a temporary home for short-term Treasury securities which corporations and others wished to convert into cash in connection with year-end adjustments, and the banks were provided with additional reserves with which to meet seasonal demands. There, in brief, is the story. We have been trying to do what it is possible for monetary management to do in helping to maintain a high level of production and employment without encouraging inflation or deflation. In the process we have moved from a policy of mild restraint, when the business situation still had some aspects of a "boom", through a brief period when market expectations induced more vigorous restraint than we had contemplated, to a policy of increasing ease, as signs of a modest and gradual downturn in the economy became more and more evident„ At no time since last June has there been any real concern about the ready availability of reserve funds needed to support the credit requirements of the economy. On the record, therefore, and without claiming too much credit for what has happened, because monetary policy, at best, is only one part of the picture, I would say we have been reasonably successful. Up to the end of 1953 adjustments which were taking place in the economy proceeded gradually, without setting off a chain reaction of downward movements. If this continues, present policies plus the normal forces of growth in our economy, which are very strong, should be sufficient to reverse the movement before it has gone too far, too fast. If a cumulative decline should appear to be getting under way—if this second transition from "war" to "peace" should show signs of economic breakdown—it would be necessary to try to check the movement with more positive measures, I now submit that the record of the Federal Reserve System during the past year has been the record of an independent central banking system, performing its functions within the framework of the American political http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis system, and in the light of the economic conditions with which it was confronted. It is less than accurate, and less' than fair, to try to shove it "back into a niche at the Treasury. To be sure our policies have been consistent with the over-all economic policies of the Government, and have coordinated well with the debt management policies of the Treasury. That is what you would expect when reasonable men have the same objectives and are working from the same set of facts in formulating their policies and programs We do not seek to use our independence to oppose Government, merely for the sake of showing our independence. That would be intolerable and impossible. As I have said before, our independence is within the Government of the day; we cannot be independent of the Government. But neither can we afford to be--even be suspected of being--Independent within the Government when it is of one complexion, and subservient when it is of another. If that should happen, our independence would be a sham, and would be destroyed with the next turn of the political wheel of fortune. That is why I have taken your time and tried your patience with this review of our policies during the past year. It is important that they be understood, if we are not to begin to slip again into a situation which, eventually, would bring the independence of the Federal Reserve System into jeopardy. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Date October 18, I960 To Chairman Martin From Jerome W. Shay MESSAGE: Earlier today I sent you excerpts from various hearings at which you testified and during which there was some discussion of circumstances under which a resignation might be offered. In this connection, you might like to review also the attached copy of a memorandum to you from Mr. Solomon in 195>U regarding term of office of Board chairman. Attachment cc: Mr, Molony Message delivered by F.R. 468 Rev. 1/47 COPY May 12, 195U. Chairman Martin Terra of Chairman of Board Mr. Solomon of Governors. You have inquired as to the meaning of the provision in section 10 of the Federal Reserve Act -which states that: "Of the persons thus appointed (as members of the Board), one shall be designated by the President as chairman and one as vice chairman of the Board, to serve as such for a term of four years." Two questions arise in connection with the provision. The first is whether the four-year term begins all over again with each designation of a Chairman, or whether there is such a thing as filling the remaining portion of a term. The second question is whether or not the President can revoke the designation after it has been made. How Term Huns. - On the first question there is an administrative practice that the designation is for a full four years from the time of the designation. The first time the question arose was when Chairman McCabe was designated. His designation was dated April 15, 19U8* two months and 15 days after the four-year designation of his predecessor had ended, and it designated Chairman McCabe "to serve as such for a term of four years, unless and until his services as a member of said Board shall have sooner terminated." The same language was used when you were designated as Chairman on April 2, 1951. The question is not free from doubt, but the administrative practice would certainly be persuasive, and the chances are that it probably would be followed in the unlikely event a court should have occasion to pass on the question. Whether President Can Revoke Designation. - Although some arguments can be offered to the contrary, it is my opinion that the President should be considered to be without authority to revoke the designation of a Chairman of the Board. The specific provision for a four-year term suggests on its face an intention to provide a definite and irrevocable term for the Chairman, and both the nature of the office and the history of the changes which were made in this provision in 1935 reinforce the plain meaning of the words. The law before 1935 simply said the Chairman was to be designated by the President, with no reference whatever to any term of office. The version of the bill which passed the House in 1935 would have had the Chairman "serve as such until the further order of the President". The Senate changed this to the provision which is now in the law, and which provides for a four-year term. The change from no provision at http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Chairman Martin -2- all in the previous law, and from the contrary provision in the House version of the bill, emphasizes the intention to provide a fixed term for the Chairman. It is only reasonable to assume that Congress did not intend a meaningless, futile act when it added the provision for a fixed term. It is significant that at the same time that it made this change, Congress terminated the membership of the Secretary of the Treasury and the Comptroller of the Currency on the Board, and also provided that members of the Board may be removed from office only "for cause". These steps, like the prescribing of a four-year term for the Chairman, were clearly part of a pattern of increasing the independence of the Board. Some cases have held that the President may remove an official he has appointed even though the appointment was under a statute which provided for a term of years. However, the provisions in those cases did not have the clear legislative history that is present here and, in addition, they involved officers who had purely executive functions, as for example a district attorney. The courts have distinguished the tenure of such purely executive officers from that of officials, such as the Chairman of the Board, who have important quasi-legislative or quasi-judicial duties. Accordingly, I do not believe those cases apply to the present situation, and they do not alter my opinion that the President is without authority to revoke the designation of the Chairman of the Board. cc: Mr. Cherry FS: lim http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis B O A R D DF G O V E R N O R S DF THE FEDERAL R E S E R V E SYSTEM Office Correspondence To Chairman Martin Frnm Woodlief Thomas http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis pate November 2, Subject: Following my discussion of reserve requirement proposals at a Board meeting, you suggested that the Board would like to have a memorandum covering the material that I presented. Attached is a copy of a memorandum •which I have prepared. The principal purpose of this memorandum is to serve as a basis for discussion at the meeting of the System Committee on Reserve Requirements. It should be emphasized that although the material presented is based in part upon deliberations and studies of the Committee, the selection of material and the views expressed are mine and may not represent the views of other members of the Committee or of the Board1 s staff. Following the scheduled meeting on November 10, the Committee may wish to present to the Board a progress report of a different sort - a o y Attachment November 1, REVIEW OF RESERVE REQUIREMENT PROPOSALS AND STUDIES (Draft for Committee Consideration) For twenty-five years or more, the Federal Reserve System has given frequent consideration to the desirability of altering the system of computing reserve requirements for member banks<> It has come to be recognized that the major function of bank reserves and reserve requirements from the standpoint of Federal Reserve policy is to limit the capacity of the commercial banking system to expand credit and create money<, Hence reserve requirements provide an important mechanism for the Federal Reserve authorities to use in their policy actions designed to influence the volume of bank credit and the supply and use of money. Nevertheless, any particular system or structure of reserve requirements that contains variations with respect to types of deposits or locations of banks affects individual banks differently in accordance with the nature and place of their business. Such variations should have a defensible reason and should be devised so as to not be inequitable with respect to individual member banks. There are two primary sets of reasons for various proposals that have been made for reform of the reserve requirements structure: 1, The inadequacy of the existing system as a means of exerting effective control over the volume of bank credit and the supply and use of money has been the major reason for some proposals, which are designed primarily to affect the level of reserve requirements. 2, Questions of equity as among individual banks and of efficient administration of reserve requirements have occasioned other proposals, which are concerned primarily with the structure of reserve requirements rather than the level of reserves* http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2Plans Designed to Improve Control Function of Reserve Requirements Several plans have been considered in the past twenty-five years for the purpose of improving the function of reserve requirements in exerting control over the level of reserves and hence over the supply of credit and money. None of such proposals has been actually adopted, except authority to the Board to raise and lower the reserve percentages within designated limits on the basis of the existing structure. Stricter regulation with respect to the definition of time deposits may also have affected slightly the level of requirements by removing a potential loophole» Among the proposals, the more important were as follows: •*•• Y.e.'f:loc^y reserve proposal. This plan, suggested in the early 1930s after a careful and comprehensive study of the function of reserve requirements by a System committee, was in part designed to improve the structure of requirements. It also aimed to enhance the control powers, particularly to correct weaknesses indicated ty the use of credit—bank and nonbank— in the stock market speculation of the 1920s. Another aim was to close a loophole that appeared in the 1920s owing to the loiver requirements against time deposits. The proposal would base requirements in part on the volume of deposits with no distinction as to type of deposits and in part on the rate of turnover of deposits as measured by the volume of checks drawn against or withdrawals of deposits. Thus reserve requirements would reflect the rate of use of money as well as the volume of money. This proposal ?;as given considerable study in the 1930s and was recommended to Congress by the Board. It was never pushed vigorously, partly because during that period of small credit use and large excess reserves it would not have been particularly effective, nor was it needed. Certain difficulties of administration also raised some http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -3 opposition to the plan,/ The problem of time deposits was largely corrected by new legislation and regulation in the 1930s and granting of discretionary authority to raise requirements offered a more effective means of absorbing redundant reserves when the occasion arose0 Various proposals have been sug- gested to impose higher reserve requirements on increases in deposits beyond some basic level or ceiling than on deposits below that level. The first such proposal was designed to absorb some of the excess reserves caused ty the continued gold inflow of_the^!930sa These reserves threatened to go be- yond the capacity of the System to absorb them under its then existing powers and resources. The ceiling proposals were considered again in the 19l*0s as a possible means of absorbing reserves created by the System policy of supporting Government security prices, 3* Special or^security reserve Pj-ans*. Proposals were made in the 19^0s for requiring banks to hold supplementary reserves in the form of shortterm Government securities, These were designed to deal with the problem of Government security price supports. U, Asset reserve proposals. Proposals have been made from time to time that bank reserve requirements should be based upon types of assets rather than upon deposits. These in essence would impose a sort of qualitative credit control over banks by imposing larger reserve requirements on certain types of assets than on others. Present status. Although proposals for reserve requirement systems designed primarily to provide for changes in the total volume of requirements have been justified at times in the past, it is questionable whether at present any additional authority of this sort is needed, TTith the System open-market http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis n -U- fiJJ I portfolio as large as it now is and with freedom to use it, it is likely that existing reserve requirements are higher than necessary to give the Federal Reserve authorities adequate means of restraining credit growth. During the past two years, requirements have been reduced and, with continued growth in the economy and in monetary needs, further additions to reserves or releases of existing reserves will be needed by the banking system. Ihese could be sup- plied through Federal Reserve purchases of Government securities, but it appears likely that the vSystem portfolio is already more than adequate and need not be further enlarged. Hence reductions in reserve requirements from time to time may be an appropriate means of making available additional reserves needed. Such action would also make possible a further increase in earning assets of commercial banks and therefore facilitate the raising of additional capital which may be desirable on other grounds. Consequently, it would appear that any alterations in the method of computing reserve requirements would need to be justified on the basis of eguity and administrative_cpj^iderations rather than to give any additional authority for increases in the level of required reserves. Revisions in^Structure for Equity and Administrative Reasons; Among defects to be found in the existing structure of reserve require ments from the standpoint of equity as among individual banks and of efficient administration, the following are the more important: 1. Vault cash. Exclusion of vault cash from eligible reserves is both inequitable and irrational. Cash held by the banks in their vaults, al- though for working purposes, in effect serves the function of reserves in that it places some limitation on the capacity of those banks to expand credit. Moreover, vault cash can be obtained by banks only by giving up reserves to the Federal Reserve Banks. In turn, currency can be supplied by the Federal Reserve http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -$.Banks through the issuance of currency, which is a Federal Reserve liability similar in nature to member bank reserve balances. The amounts of vault cash that must be held, moreover, vary considerably from bank to bank according to type of business and proximity to the Reserve Bank or branch. This means that some banks must have larger cash holdings than other banks, and thus have less to lend or invest. These differences are illusrated in Table I. TABIE I Selected Ratios of Vault Cash to Net Demand Deposits (Per Cent) Country Member Banks Central Reserve City Banks New York Chicago Reserve City Banks Total With interbank demand deposits of $3 million or more Average ratio .6 .6 1.8 3.8 3.0 Highest ratio 2*7 3.8 17.8 -){• S.I .ij. .3 -;c- .9 Lowest ratio I/ Middle 90 per cent: High 2.6 2.8 6.0 •5C- Iu9 Low .1 .1; *8 -X US I/ Less than .05 per cent, * http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Not computed. - 62. Classification of banks. The existing classification of banks according to groups of cities creates a number of inequities. This classification has derived from the system of reserve depositories that was established under the National Bank Act, before the Federal Reserve System came into existence. The basis of classification was originally the holding of interbank deposits, but the higher and lower requirements apply not to interbank deposits alone but to all demand deposits held \yy the banks. Since the inauguration of the Federal Reserve System, the location, the amounts, and the extent of use of interbank deposits have changed considerably. A number of banks in lower classifications hold relatively larger amounts of interbank deposits than most banks with higher classifications*. Some banks in the higher classifications hold relatively little or no interbank deposits0 The task of designating reserve cities and the determination of exceptions for individual outlying banks present difficult administrative and judicial problems for the Federal Reserve Board* It is clear that there are glaring inequities among individual banks vfith respect to classification but under the existing law it is not possible to correct these inequities without creating new ones. 3* Alloivance_j>or_Jbalances due from banks. Another aspect of interbank balances which has not heretofore been given much consideration is that for banks owning the deposits which are carried with correspondents these balances serve in effect the same function as reserves in that they limit the capacity of the owning bank to extend credit on the basis of a given volume of deposits. The depositing banks in effect pass on a part of their cash reserves to the banks receiving the deposits, yet the former obtain only a small reserve credit through permission to deduct amounts due from banks from their deposits in computing reserve requirements and thus cannot extend credit on the basis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 7of these reserves. While city banks must hold larger reserves against these balances, they obtain from them additional funds to lend or invest. Since the carrying of interbank balances seems to be an ingrained and perhaps an essential feature of our structure of small unit banks, the country banks must in practice hold more of their cash in this form than do banks in the central money markets. Any system of reserve requirements should make allowance for this practice. To a considerable extent under the existing system, inequities resulting from the exclusion of vault cash and the inadequate reserve allowance for balances due from banks are compensated for by the differentials in reserve requirements against deposits for the three classes of banks. This compensation, however, is more or less haphazard and does not work equally for individual banks0 vs. nonmember ^ank r_e^mr^mejnts_. Under the existing structure of reserve requirements the position of member banks of the Federal Reserve System is less favorable than that of most nonmember State banks. If it should become essential for the Board to raise requirements for member banks, these inequities would be increased and the effectiveness of restrictive credit policies lessened. Positions of member banks relative to nonmember banks would be improved if member bank reserve requirements were lowered nearer to a level below which State banking authorities would be willing to reduce nonmember requirements. Any lowering of member bank requirements would present an opportunity to make alterations in the structure of reserve requirements in a way that would remove some of the inequities among the individual member banks. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 8Uniform Reserve Plan Various plans have been considered for removing inequities in and improving administration of the system of reserve requirements. One of these was the velocity res^™*- proposal, which has already been discussed. The most comprehensive recent suggestion for changing the structure of reserve requirements was the so-called uniform reserve plan, first suggested in 19U3. This plan was worked out by a staff group within the Federal Reserve System and was based in part upon ideas that had been evolved principally in the Board8s Division of Bank Operations. It was presented informally as an illustration of the nature of the problem to the Board and the Reserve Banks, to the Federal Advisory Council, and to a subcommittee of the Congressional Joint Committee on the Economic Report, The essential features of this plan were as follows: 1. Classification of banks by cities would be eliminated. 2. Higher reserve requirements would be placed on interbank deposits than on other demand deposits«> Requirements against time deposits would continue at a lower level than those against demand deposits, 3. Banks would be given a reserve credit for balances due from other banks equal to the required reserves that the depository banks were required to hold against these balances, lu Vault cash would be included as reserves, £. The Federal Open Market Committee would be given authority to change percentages of requirements within limits to be fixed by statute. The principal objections raised against this proposal were that it would substantially raise requirements, either absolutely or relative to other banks, for banks, particularly country banks, having a large proportion of deposits in balances due to other banks. At the same time, it would lower requirements for some city banks with relatively small amounts of interbank balances. There was also some objection on the part of banks to doing away with http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 9the reserve city classification. Putting the plan into effect would involve substantial transitional adjustments, particularly if it were done at a time when it was undesirable to lower total requirements,, Since this was the case most of the time from the end of the war until 1953, adoption of the proposal was not given serious consideration during that period, although from time to time studies of it were made v;ith a view to its possible adoption as a means of raising requirements. Modified Uniform Reserve^jProposals In the summer of 19£3 some modifications of the uniform reserve proposals were presented by the Board's staff for consideration by the Board and were sent to the Reserve Banks for comments. The modifications in the 19U8 plan were designed to ease the transition from the existing to the new system and also to retain classification of banks and make more adequate allowance for correspondent banking. There were two modified plans. Both of them were similar to the 19U8 plan in that they would count vault cash as reserves; would give a reserve credit for balances due from banks; would have uniform reserve requirements against demand deposits (other than interbank) for the different classes, as well as similar requirements for time deposits; and would have authority in the Board to change requirements within limitsa The modified plans differed from the 19U8 plan in that they would establish two classes of banks—reserve depository banks and other banks, YJlth different requirements for interbank balances. Banks would be permitted to choose the classification in which they ivanted to be. Modified Plan A would set higher requirements against interbank deposits than against other demand deposits, but these applied only at the reserve http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -"10*- ' depository banks. The depositing banks would be given reserve credit equal to this higher requirement for such balances. Requirements against other demand deposits would be uniform. Plan B would set uniform requirements against all demand deposits—interbank and other at both classes of banks—but would authorize a higher reserve credit for depositing banks for balances carried with reserve depository banks. The latter proposal would give greater recognition to the role of correspondent banking; but it was subject to the objection that it would allow some pyramiding of reserves and thus would restrict Federal Reserve control over the supply of reserves. Because under each plan the higher reserve credit would be allowed only for balances with reserve depository banks, any banks wanting to attract correspondent bank balances would probably have to choose to be in the reserve depository class. More Moderate Proposals As an alternative to proposals for fundamental revision of the reserve structure, suggestions have been made from time to time for revisions which would correct only more glaring defects in the existing system without changing its essential nature. These proposals would call for legislation permitting vault cash to count as reserves and authorizing the Board either to classify individual banks rather than cities or to grant more exceptions for individual banks within reserve and central reserve cities. These proposals would generally involve no change in the existing statutory limits as to percentages of reserve requirements or in the existing authority to change them, although in putting them into operation the Board would make some changes in requirements within those limits to bring about a nearer approach to uniformity. Proponents of these suggestions expressed the view that, with the minimum revisions suggested, the Board could make adjustments which would remove http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -11 most of the important inequities in the existing structure. The Board could use a variety of criteria in classifying banks. Specific criteria might be indicated in the legislation or the Board might be given authority to set up its own criteria. Putting such proposals into effect would result in substantial reductions in reserve requirements for most banks if increasing those for some banks is to be avoided. The effect of any such total additions to reserves could be offset by Open Market Committee sales of short-term Government securities without unduly depleting the Systemjs portfolio. Comments on the Ifodified_Proposals Comments received from the Federal Reserve Banks in 195>3 with respect to these recent proposals indicated a majority opinion that some change in the reserve requirement structure is desirable, although a few questioned the need for any change. Each particular proposal, however, was opposed by a majority of the Reserve Banks. There was considerable objection to the elective classification of banks suggested in the modified plans, but the nature of some of the objections indicated that perhaps the implications of the idea were not fully recognized by some of those objecting to it. The more moderate or minimum approach was generally viewed in 19f?3 as inadequate by most of the Reserve Banks, many of whom thought it would not be advisable to request that vault cash be permitted to count as reserves without accompanying this modification with a more fundamental revision in the reserve requirement structure. More recently there have been a number of expressions of interest in the minimum approach as a means for quick action in case the situation called for substantial modification in reserve requirements. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 12 Although the uniform reserve proposal in its 19^8 form has not been again presented for consideration, voluntary and incidental comments by many of the Reserve Banks last year indicated considerable feeling in favor of the plan, The principle of requirements based on type of deposits rather than on location of bank is viewed with favor by a large number of persons, both in and out of the System. Further Study _of Problem by Staff Committee Study of the reserve requirement problem has been continued by the Board, It was felt that the Board should be prepared to present some plan in case one were requested by Congress or considered "by the Board to be desirable, or at any rate should be in a position to pass judgment upon any plans that might be proposed from other sources,. Accordingly, the Board set up a committee composed of Federal Reserve Bank staff members to work with members of the Board's staff in studying the problem,, The committee is to give further study to the problem of reserves and the possible impact of various proposals upon individual banks. On the basis of these studies it might be possible to prepare a suitable plan that the Board might propose in case some such proposal seemed desirable. This committee has had one meeting to explore the problem. At this meeting some members were impressed with the desirability of early action on a minimum attainable basis. Others felt that before recommending action there is need for study of the basic questions of the purposes and functions of reserve requirements and of the effect of particular changes* Although there was general agreement upon some important points, the members of the committee held rather vsride differences of views as to the particular details of possible changes in reserve requirements. The committee decided to proceed with studies of many http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -33— aspects of the problem and assignments were made to various individuals to carry out these studies. A list of the studies now in process is as follows: 1. 2. 3. U. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Role of reserve requirements Optimum level of reserve requirements Shortcomings of existing system of reserve requirements Problems in bank classification Central reserve cities Branch bank classification Interbank balances Deposit activity Reserve differentials - a concluding study Preliminary drafts have been received for six of the eight basic V studies under preparation^ These manuscripts indicate that a searching attempt has been made to achieve a better understanding of the purposes and functions of reserve requirements, the operations and shortcomings of the existing reserve requirements mechanism, and the difficulties in trying to develop a better system of requirements. At the same time,, the manuscripts reveal substantial differences in views among the various members of the Committee on some basic issues and bring to light a number of areas in T7hich further study would be desirable before definite conclusions could be adequately supported. Points of ^Agreement It might be said that there is general agreement upon the following points: 1. The major function of legal reserve requirements is to establish a framework for controlling the supply of credit and money, i.e., to serve as a tool of monetary policy. v 2, The existing system of requirements is workable for the purpose of regulating the money supply. 3. Authority to raise or lower the level of reserve requirements is needed but it would appear that existing limits would provide an adequate range for most foreseeable circumstances. Although These manuscripts have been reviewed in a staff memorandum on "Current Issues in the Reserve Requirement Study" that has been given to members of the Committee on Reserve Requirements, http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis the pi^esent level of reserve requirements is probably higher than necessary,, the statutory powers for reduction are adequate. Also, in view of the possible growth of the economy and barring extremely large gold movements or return flow of currency, it is likely that the existing power to increase requirements will be more than adequate for the future. Uo As between the broad classes of member banks, the inequities in the existing structure of requirements may not be as great as has been commonly believed when allowance is made for the additional working balances in the form of vault cash and deposits with correspondents^, that banks with the lower legal requirements apparently find it necessary to carry. These working balances serve the function of reserves for the banks owning them^ The question of whether this is an appropriate standard of equitableness may be subject to some debate and require further study. £. For individual banks within classes, however, there are inequities of a fairly serious nature and there are also administrative difficulties in classifying banks, The more important changes needed to correct these defects include the following: (a) Permit vault cash to be counted as reserves,, (b) Discontinue the reserve classification of banks, making reserve requirements vary only with respect to types of deposits, or base classification on individual banks rather than cities, or at least permit more exceptions of individual banks in reserve cities. Questions for Further Consideration There remain many unsettled questions regarding various aspects of the problem. These include some matters of principle regarding the purposes of re- serve requirements, various details with respect to an appropriate structure of requirements, and the need for more information as to the effect of particular changes that might be considered. Some of the more important of these questions are as follows: 1. Should there be further analysis of the basic function of reserve requirements, with view to evolving new criteria, or should the principle that the function is to regulate the money supply be accepted as basic premise? http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 152. What criteria should govern the general level of requirements and what provisions should be retained for changing* the requirement percentages as a means of varying the level? 3. What is an appropriate reserve requirement base? (a) Types of deposits? Should there be higher requirements for interbank balances? How high, if any, for time deposits? Should there be a distinction between savings and other time deposits? Should other classifications of deposits be considered, such as foreign, large, business deposits? (b) Types of assets - should reserve requirements be used as a form of qualitative credit control? (c) Deposit turnover - velocity? (d) Growth in deposits? iu What should be done about classification of banks or cities? (a) Should classification of banks be completely abandoned, with requirements based entirely on type of deposit? (b) Should classification of cities continue on the basis of some specific criteria, with exemptions for individual banks? (c) If classification of individual banks is employed, what should be the criteria of classificationtotal deposits due to banks, net amounts due to bank less amounts due from bank, total volume of deposits.) turnover of deposits? How specific should the law be with respect to these criteria? Analysis of Classification of BanksrSome study has been made as to variations in holdings of interbank deposits by individual banks in different classes* This study was undertaken in I/ This section presents some . of the preliminary results of studies in process on a particularly significant aspect of the problem. These results are tentative and further studies may be needed before final conclusions are accepted. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 16 part to inquire into the feasibility of classifying banks for reserve purposes according to their holdings of interbank deposits. Tests were made according to amounts of balances due to banks and also according to the net difference between balances due to banks and thosadue from banks. Some of the differences are illustrated in Table II. It appears from this analysis that any classification of banks based on holdings of interbank deposits would involve substantial shifts from existing classification. Also the number of shifts and the particular banks affected might vary substantially according to the criteria used, For example, Of 35 central reserve city banks from 15 to 23 should have lower classifications, and h to 10 of them might be country banks* Of 315 reserve city banks, 10 or more should be central reserve city banks and 100 to 165 should be country banks* Of 209 country banks with balances due to other banks of over $1 million, anywhere from 30 to all, depending on the criteria adopted, should be reserve city banks. Before suggesting that banks be classified on any such basis, further study is needed of magnitude of effects and of other possible criteria. Basis for Differentials by Classes of Banks,-' Many inquiries into the reserve requirement structure and its problems have come forth with the conclusion that it would be desirable to abolish classification of banks and to adopt a system of uniform reserve requirements by type of deposits,, lAdoption of any such proposal, however, has run into the difficulty that requirements of country banks would be raised relative to those of city banks. This would seriously disturb established relationships among banks and groups of banks and create difficult transitional problems. Permitting vault I/This section presents some of the preliminary results of studies in process on a particularly significant aspect of the problem. These results a re tentative and further studies may be neeced before final conclusions are accepted. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 17 TABLE II VARIOUS CLASSIFICATIONS OF MEMBER .BANKS BASED ON INTERBANK DEPOSITS I/ June 30, 1953 New Classification Total Present Classification Central Reserve Reserve City Country City 559 35 315 209 22 208 329 12 13 10 10 155 150 0 UO 169 20 168 371 12 Ik 9 8 1U2 165 0 12 197 22 12 10 0 216 17 169 30 321 6 136 179 70 21 U9 0 393 96 10 b m92 209 0 Basis No. 1 - Gross "due to" of C.R.C. - Over $100 million R.C. - $6 to #100 million Country - Under $6 million Ra OT o 1\T/"N Mo-f tfHnei r\H .DSS-LS 1MO. 9 C •" ivuu U.U6 4-UU nf OI C.R.C. - Over #100 million R.C. - #U to #100 million Country - Under #U million "Ro on Q Mn "^ .» iVfn vorl C.R.C. - Gross of over #100 million R.C. - Gross of under #100 million with gross over $10 million or net over #1 million Country - Gross of under #11 million and net of $1 million or less Basis No. k - Mixed C.R.C. - Net of over 425 million R.C. - Net of under $25 million and gross of #1 million or more Country - Gross under |1 million I/ All central reserve and reserve city banks and those country banks that have balances due to banks of $1,000,000 or over. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -18cash to count as reserves would diminish the effect of this change for some banks but by no means remove it as compared •with the present levels of requirements. It might be said, however, that the existing lower requirements for country banks or higher ones for city banks have no rational basis and should be removed by adopting a set of requirements that would be uniform for all banks. This might be done without actually raising requirements for country banks by lowering those for city banks and absorbing the reserves released, as may be desired, by Federal Reserve open market operations. Analysis of the over-all cash holdings of banks, however, reveals that the existing differentials in required reserves are in practice fully compensated for by holdings of other cash, including cash in vault, balances due from other banks, cash items in process of collection, and excess reserve balances at Federal Reserve Banks. This analysis shows (1) that ratios of the total of these cash items (excluding required reserves) to gross demand deposits for any particular broad group of banks has been remarkably uniform throughout the postwar period; (2) that ?/hen required reserves against demand deposits are added to these cash items the ratio of that total to gross demand deposits for each class of bank is closely similar to corresponding ratios for other classes of banks at any given time; but (3) that there are persistent differences by districts and presumably by individual banks in these ratios. Such ratios are shown in Tables III and IV. It appears that banks on the average tend to maintain for working purposes certain rather fixed amounts of cash in addition to required reserves and that these holdings broadly compensate for differences in required reserves among the different classes of banks. Thus if bank classifications were abolished and uniform reserve requirements were imposed on all demand deposits, interbank and http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TABLE III Ratio of Cash Assets Less Required Reserves to Gross Demand Deposits and Applicable Reserve Requirement Ratio, by Class of Bank, Selected Periods 19U7 - 195k Period £/ March 20 6.5 10.8 19ii8 March June Sept. Dec. 22 7-8 10 ol I9kl I ON Central Reserve City Banks Reserve City Banks Country Banks Cash Asset All Member Banks Ratio Res* Req« Cash Asset Res. Req0 Cash Asset Res. Req. Cash Asset Res. Req. Ratio Deiru Deps. Ratio Time Deps. Ratio Dem. Depsc New York Chicago Demc Deps* 2k y 8.5 7.6 26 19i;9 June Sept. 20 15.2 Ik 20.5 19.8 19.5 20.3 19.3 15.7 16.1 6 1U.5 1U.8 15.0 15*0 lii.9 8.9 10.7 9.7 10.1 22 15.9 15- k 16 2k 22 8.7 7-7 10.0 9-3 21 18 15.1 1U.9 12 19.1 21. k 7 5 lu.6 15.0 1951 March 2U 9.7 10.7 20 15.6 111 18.8 6 15.0 1953 Sept. 22 9.1 10.0 19 15.5 13 19.1 195U Sept. 20 9.9 10.3 18 15.2 12 20o7 15 7-1/2 15*1 5 a/ Averages of daily figures for first half of March, June, September, or December, except vault cash which is a single date figure for the end of the preceding month. Periods have been selected during or following each change in reserve requirements since b/ Change in reserve requirement ratio during period. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 15.8 TABLE IV Ratio of Cash Assets Less Required Reserves to Gross Demand Deposits by Class of Bank and by District, 19U8 and 195U Reserve City Banks by District All Boston New York Phila« Clev. Rich. Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minn » Kas. City Dallas San Fran. Districts First half of: June 19U8 March 195U June Sept. 11.2 15-5 13.1 1U.5 16.2 10.0 10.5 9.6 liloO 13*9 Iiu2 13.ii lii.2 16.3 18.1* 1U.6 16.8 18.2 13.3 16 ol 17.7 Ui.5 lu.O 18.1 17-9 17.3 19.0 20 06 21.1; 13.7 16.1 16,0 15.9 15.2 16.0 17.1 16.2 17.2 19-2 17-3 19.0 19.0 16.U 19.8 20,3 20.5 13.9 lb.3 13.7 15-5 15.9 15.2 o CM Country Banks by District First half of: June 19l;8 March 195U June Sept. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 17.8 17.7 19.1 20.0 22.3 20.8 20.0 17.5 19.0 20.0 22o3 17.0 19.5 17.0 17.1 15.9 16.1 16.7 18,3 18.8 19.9 17.6 22.1 22.9 17.6 22. U 20.8 19.9 2U.3 21.6 18.9 19.5 20.6 19.1 18, U 20.8 18.0 19-3 20.0 22.2 22.8 23.8 23.ii 25.8 18.9 19.2 19.3 20.7 17.6 22.2 18.8 19.5 - 21 bther^ country banks and to a degree reserve city banks would in effect be de1 prived of the lower Reserve requirements which now compensate them for having to carry balances with other banks. They would either have to reduce their balances with correspondents or would maintain much larger total cash holdings relative to demand deposits than banks that find it possible to operate with relatively small balances with other banks, particularly New York City banks. It should be noted that all cash balances serve the function of reserves for the banks owning them in that they limit possible extensions of credit by these banks. It might be argued that banks obtain some advantages from carrying balances with correspondents and hence do not deserve the compensation of lower reserve requirements; yet to shift to a different system without some allowance for established practiceswould create serious transitional difficulties and might be of questionable equity. This difficulty might be reduced and less drastic changes from existing broad relationships result if larger reserves were required against interbank deposits than against other demand deposits, while abolishing differentials between classes of banks. In this event, however, banks with a greater than average proportion of interbank to total deposits would have relatively larger requirements than other banks and would also have a bigger increase from existing levels than other banks in the same reserve class. Nor would this measure directly compensate for differences in holdings of balances due from banks0 Banks holding substantial amounts of both balances due to and balances due from other banks would be particularly penalized in terms of total cash holdings relative to other banks. A more effective correction would be accomplished by permitting banks to http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 22 - count as reserves a somewhat larger portion of their balances due from banks than is now permitted, at the same time requiring , reserves against interbank deposits as high as the reserve credit allowed. Identity of these two figures would prevent pyramiding or creation of reserves without Federal Reserve action. Such an arrangement would permit abolishing differentials by classes of banks and provide a closer approach to uniformity among banks in total cash holdings relative to demand deposits. This reasoning leads to the uniform reserve plan with relatively high requirements against deposits due to banks and equally as large reserve credits for balances due from banks. It also furnishes a rationale for higher requirements against interbank deposits, in addition to, and perhaps better grounded than, the reasons, heretofore used, of volatility, velocity, and expediency* It does not, however, conflict with those reasons* It recognizes the necessary existence of correspondent banking in our banking structure and fits it more effectively into the reserve structure without sacrificing Federal Reserve control. An Example It may be possible to work out a structure of reserve requirements in accordance with this rationale that would provide reasonable equity among banks, involve little change in existing broad relationships, and furnish administratively feasible and simple procedures. Following is one possible scheme that is presented for illustrative purposes* Uniform requirements of 30 per cent against interbank deposits l£ per cent against other demand deposits 5> per cent against time deposits. With reserve credit of 30 per cent for balances due from banks and cash items in process of collection 100 per cent for cash in vault. # The Committee will wish to consider whether it wants to recommend any particular plan at this time or even wishes to present one for illustrative purposes, http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 23 On the basis of the existing structure of deposits, this scheme, as shown in Table V, would bring about a reduction of about $3,7 billion, or 21 per cent, in total required balances at Federal Reserve Banks. Percentage decreases for each of the broad classes of banks would be closely similar* The resulting level of requirements at this time would be approximately the same as would be obtained under the present method of computations (with no allowance for vault cash) if requirements were as follows: Against net demand deposits - 16 per cent at central reserve city banks, lit per cent at reserve city banks, and 9 per cent at country banks; and against time deposits - $ per cent at all member banks. There would be greater variations from existing levels for individual banks and probably also for different dates, but the results would probably be more reasonable and equitable than the present ones. Some device for a ceiling or maximum might be necessary to avoid increases in requirements for a few individual banks, such as permitting them to carry either the amount required by the new method or that required for reserve city banks under the present method. Legislation to permit such a change should include authority for the Board to raise and lower the percentages within some specified limits —- perhaps 20 to UO per cent for interbank deposits, 10 to 20 per cent for other demand deposits, and 3 to 6 per cent for time deposits. This scheme is presented at this time as an example, not as a recommendation. Further study of the effect of t his and possibly other combinations would be needed before determining whether to sponsor this scheme and if so what figures to propose. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TABLE V MEMBER BANK REQUIRED RESERVES ON PRESENT BASIS AND UNDER A MODIFIED UNIFORM RESERVE FLAW (Average of daily figures, first half of September 195U. In millions of dollars) Central reserve Reserve All Country city member city banks banks banks New York] Chicago banks Basic data and present required reserves Interbank demand deposits Other demand deposits Net demand deposits Time deposits Cash items in process of collection Due from banks Vault cash (Aug. 25) Reserve balances with F.R. Banks Present required reserves 13,237 95,753 9U,653 39, Ola 7,1*32 6,906 2,057 18,366 17,577 3,971 18,1*26 20,3UU 3,671 2,015 38 lliQ 11,271* U,252 6,657 35,788 36,720 15,37U 3,708 1,299 36,806 32,137 18,721 109 31 1,159 1,15U 2,017 1*,7U2 627 7,U8l 7,378 1,259 393 710 61* 1,997 1,309 U,733 5,1^52 1,271* 1*81 1,228 5,U53 i*,792 30-15-5 Modified Plan 3Q% of interbank l5/=> of other demand deposits 5$ of time deposits Total Less 30/b of due from banks and cash items in process of collection Less vault cash Required reserves with F.R. Banks Decrease from present requirements: Amount Per cent Ratios: Cash assets (excluding required reserves against time deposits) to gross demand deposits. Present basis Under modified planf/ 3,971 Ik, 363 1,953 20, 287 U,302 2,057 13,928 1,191 2,761* 181* U,139 616 11*0 3,383 3,61*9 869 -20.8 -20. k 30.1 26,8 28.1 2U.2 1,167 177 31 959 195 -16.9 28. h 25.2 5,368 390 5,521 769 936 8,131* 6,81*7 1,718 1,791 1,259 3,797 627 5,789 1,589 995 -21.5 -20.8 30.8 27.0 30.8 28.2 I/ In this modified plan, exchanges for clearing house, items with Federal Reserve Banks in process of collection, and all other reported cash items would be treated the same as due from banks. 2/ Assumes that banks would continue to hold same amounts of cash assets other than required reserves as they now hold. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis BOARD OF G O V E R N O R S or THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM ^ e Correspondence To. Chairman Martin From. Elliott Thurstnn Date June 30. 1955. Subject: Suggestions for board appointed directors at Los Angeles and Portland. Los Angeles (2 vacancies) The following names are offered for consideration in connection with the vacancies on the Los Angeles board resulting from the resignations of Mr. Helms and Mr. Essick. 1. Shannon Crandall, Jr. Hardware Company, (53), President of the California 2. Charles Detoy (approx. 58), a partner of Coldwell Banker and Company, realtors, of Flintridge. 3. Paul G. Hoffman (64), Chairman of the Board of StudebakerPackard Corporation, of Pasadena. 4. S. W. Royce (63), President and General Manager, PasadenaSheraton Hotels Corporation, Pasadena. 5. Carleton B. Tibbetts (59), President and General Manager, Los Angeles Steel Casting Company, San Marino. Also, in connection with the Class C vacancy at San Francisco, last January, the name of someone associated with the California Fruit Growers or Packers Association was mentioned by Mr. Wilbur, but a thorough search of the files has not turned up the name of this individual. Portland (1 vacancy) For the vacancy created by the advancement of Mr. Welk to the San Francisco Board, the following names have been suggested: 1. Henry J. Barbey (70), Vice President, Barbey Packing Company, Astoria, Oregon. 2. Warren W. Braley (42), partner, Braley and Graham, automobile dealers, Portland. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -2- 3. Winston W 0 Casey (48), industrialist, Portland, 4. James C. Compton (71), President, Spaulding Pulp and Paper Company, MeMinnville„ 50 Elmer R, Goudy (55), lumber executive, Portland. 6. Wade Newbegin (48), President, R. M. Wade &: Company, farm equipment, Portland. 7. Harold E. Sanford (61), grain corporation executive, Portland. 8. William L. Williams (58), President, Port of Portland Commission, Portland. Biographical data on these men are attached. In connection with the vacancies at Los Angeles, you may want to check these names with Mr 0 Freeman and also see whether he would have any other suggestions. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis •I BOARD OF G O V E R N O R S or THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Office Correspondence Tf> rVha-i-rmar) Martin Prnm Date November 23, Subject: G. Canby Balderston CONFIDENTIAL (FR) Attached is a confidential analysis by Mr. A. ¥. Marget of the Objectives, Functions, and Products of the Division of International Finance. It is the first Division to be thus analyzed by its Director. After you have had a chance to study this report, the individual and collective views of the members of the Board would be helpful. Attachment http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis November 2, DIVISION OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCE I. Objectives 1, Overall objective: to enable the Board to discharge those func- tions in the international field which fall to it as the Monetary Authority of the United States, especially by virtue of the unique international position of the United States as the economic and political leader of the free world, 2. Objectives as adviser to the Board. The Division should be able a. To advise the Board of foreign developments affecting, or likely to affect, the level and direction of domestic economic activity, and, conversely, of the effects of changes in the level of domestic economic activity (including the effects of domestic monetary policy) upon economic developments abroad. b. To advise the Board of the significance of actions by foreign http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis central banks, and of foreign problems (including foreign methods of dealing with them) which parallel the domestic problems faced by the Board, c. To advise the Board on economic aspects of international operations and foreign relations of the Federal Reserve Banks which, in accordance with Section llj(g) of the Federal Reserve Act, are subject to special supervision by the Board, (For further breakdown, see II, 2, below.) - 2d. To advise the Board on the economic aspects (as distinguished from the legal or examination aspects) of the international and foreign operations of member blanks. This involves (i) matters for which the Board has regulatojry responsibility (including Edge Act and Agreement corporations and their subsidiaries, regulation of acceptance financing, and the establishment of branches abroad); (ii) matters in which the Federal Reserve System may have a policy interest (such as financing of gold transactions and the making of foreign loans by commercial banks, or the foreign exchange transactions of such banks); and (iii) matters relating to the effectiveness and competitive position of American banks in the foreign field. e. To advise the Chairman of the Board; or his designated Alternate on the National Advisory Council on International Monetary and Financial Problems, on all matters requiring action by the N.A.C. f. To advise the Board (or the Chairman) on matters of interna- http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tional financial policy requiring testimony before Congressional Committees or replies to individual Senators and Representatives. Related to this is the preparation of special memoranda for Congressional Committees. (Examples: memorandum on foreign Treasury-Central Bank relations for the Joint Committee on the Economic Report5 replies to international questions included in Patman Subcommittee questionnaire, etc.) - 33. Objectives as representative of the Board. The Division should be able a« To participate, on a basis similar to that of other N.A.C. agencies, in the staff work of the N.A.C. I/ ^ ^s expected that the Federal Reserve staff representatives will have a special responsibility for all N.A.C. matters affecting monetary policy. be (Fcr further breakdown, see II, 6, below.) To participate, on a basis similar to that of the other agencies represented, in a review of documents prepared by the inter-departmental United Nations Economic Committee (UNEC) and the inter-departmental Committee on Inter-American Economic Affairs. 2/ (The purpose of participation in these two committees is primarily to make sure that no position is adopted as the "U. S. position" which commits the System to actions or policies that have not been approved by the Board} but it also involves the preparation of special briefing memoranda whenever the material falls within the special competence of the Division.) c. To respond to requests from the President's Council of Economic Advisers for studies in fields within the special responsibility I/ Apart from a very small secretariat which is concerned solely with mechanical procedures such as the reproduction of documents, etc a, the "staff" of the N.A.C. consists entirely of staff representatives from the constituent agsncies* 2/ The UNEC, on which, in addition to the Board, all Departments of the Administration, plus the Bureau of the Budget, the Council of Economic Advisers, the S.E.C., and the Tariff Commission are represented, prepares and reviews position papers for U. S. representatives in those agencies of the United Nations which deal with economic problems. The Committee on Inter-American Economic Affairs performs a similar function for U. S. delegations to Inter-American economic conferences. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - hand competence of the Division. (Example of such requests: see letter from Mr. R. J. Saulnier, apnended as Annex I.) d. To respond to requests from the Central Intelligence Agency for information concerning international, monetary developments held to be of strategic significance. (By request of the C.I.A., two members of the Division's staff are designated as liaison officers for the purpose of maintaining contact with the inter-departmental Economic Intelligence Committee, which operates under the chairmanship of the C.I.A.) e. To respond to requests from the Bureau of the Budget, Office of Statistical Standards, and to participate in the work of committees set up by that Office, on matters relating to international statistics. (Example: committee work to re- view U. S. Government views on foreign trade and balance-ofpayments statistics in advance of the Inter-American Statistical Conference sessions in Rio de Janeiro, May 195>5>*) f. To participate, on request, in the staff work of ad hoc Presi- http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis dential assignments on foreign economic policy, whenever these assignments involve international monetary policy. (Examples: Studies prepared at the request of Mr. Lewis Douglas for his report to the President on U. S. foreign economic policy; participation in staff work of the Randall Commission. The Director of the Division is currently a member of the Working Party headed by Mr. Randall as Special Assistant to the President.) - 5? g. To participate, on request of other Government agencies (such as the State Department or the International Cooperation Administration), in the preparation of briefing material for U. St presentation before international organizations other than those for which preparation is handled by the N.A.C. or the UNEC. Example: memoranda prepared for U. S. presentation to the O.E.E.C* (Organization for European Economic Cooperation) on European dollar import restrictions; cf. the letter, appended as Annex II, from Mrr Isaiah Frank (State Department), the U. S. representative designated ad hp£ for this exercise. h. To maintain contact, and — within the limits permitted by security requirements — to exchange information, with personnel of foreign central banks. This should include continuing contacts with foreign central bank personnel temporarily assigned to the International Monetary Fund, the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development; and foreign embassies, as well as reception of foreign visitors^ and — so far as the budget permits — visits by staff members abroad, i. To arrange, on request of foreign central banks or other agencies of the U. S* Government, for procurement of personnel for foreign missions to advise on problems affecting central banks or monetary policy. Subsidiary objectives as a unit of the Board's staff. The Division should be able http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 6a. To maintain close working relationships with other Divisions of the Board's staff, especially with the Division of Research and Statistics (in connection with objectives 2a and 3g) and with the Legal Division and the Division of Examinations (in connection with objectives 2c and 2d). b. To participate in staff work related to System economic research and the needs of the Federal Open Market Committee (in connection with objectives 2a and 2b). c. To maintain close contacts with the officers and staff of the Federal Reserve Banks, particularly the Federal Re serve Bank of New York (in connection with objectives 2b, 2c, and 2d). d. To advise the Board (or the Economic Adviser to the Board, or the Editorial Coinmittee) on questions of publication of material (in the Federal Reserve Bulletin or elsewhere) to improve public understanding of the problems that concern the Board (in connection with objective 1 and objectives 2a to 2f). e. To maintain informal contacts with Drofessional economic research personnel in other Government agencies concerned with related fields of study, in order to help maintain a high level of technical competence and a broad understanding of problems on the part of members of the Board's staff. f. To maintain within the Division a lively spirit of inquiry; to http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis be on the look-out for useful techniques of research and analysis; in general, to foster, in the international field standards of professional performance consistent with the high reputation of the Board's staff in the field of economic analysis - 7II. Functions and their allocation within the Division* 1. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Advice to Board on foreign developments and their relation to doirestic economic activity and central bank policy (I, 2, a and b, above). Allocation of responsibility: a0 For continuing appraisal of foreign developments affecting particular areas and for technical evaluation of foreign central banking policies and. techniques, the area chief is responsible. For example: a memornncbjm on contents of a cable from the Bank of England to the Chairman, reporting a change in the Bank of England's discount rate or a British funding operation, will be prepared by Mr. Katz, working under the general direction of Mr,, Furth, Chief of the Western European and British Commonwealth Section. Similarly, Foreign News Notes, submitted weekly to the Board, labile prepared under the editorial direction of Mr. Tamagna (Chief of the Financial Operations and Policy Section), is contributed to by all sections, the individual contributors being indicated in each case. b. Analysis of actual and Drospective gold and dollar movements, their effects on member bank reserves and on the ratio of the U. S. gold stock to this country's foreign liabilities^ movements of short-term banking and non-banking funds, and other international capital flows (such as foreign investments in U« S. securities), and their effect on U. S. money and capital markets. Responsibility: Financial Operations and Policy Section, The estimates of actual and prospective http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 8gold and dollar movements submitted by the Financial Operations and Policy Section are in turn based on estimates for particular countries provided by the area sections, as well as on U. S. balance of payments estimates provided by the Special Studies Section (Mr. Kersey, Chief). c. U. S,. balance of payments: exports and imports; price movements of internationally traded commodities; effects of these factors on the domestic economic position in the United States. Responsibility: Special Studies Section. The Special Studies Section is also charged with the overall responsibility for evaluating the effects on the domestic economic position caused by changes in the level of foreign economic activity (as well as the effects of our domestic position and monetary policies on foreign developments). It obtains basic information with respect to foreign developments from the relevant area sections, and is jointly responsible with them for exploiting sources of information that cover areas broader than those assigned to area sections. It is expected to take the lead in developing and applying suitable techniques for an integrated analysis of world business fluctuations. d. The Division prepares the international sections of visual presentations and of the memoranda entitled "Current Economic and Financial Situation" which are prepared for the use of the Federal Open Market Committee. - 9Responsibility: Special Studies Section, which calls on other sections of the Division in accordance with the particular developments to be stressed in the presentation, and maintains a continuing working relationship with those members of the Division of Research and Statistics charged with the- preparation of these presentations and memoranda, e. In the System Committee on Current Business Developments, which meets, alternately in Washington and at one of the Federal Reserve Banks, to appraise business prospects in the United States for the coming six months, the Division is represented (at the meetings held outside of Washington) alternately by Messrs. Tamagna and Hersey, respectively* 2. Advice to the Board on international operations and foreign rela- http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis tions of Federal Reserve Banks (I, 2, c s above). Responsibility: Financial Operations and Policy Section. Specifically: a. Advice on gold loans. The Financial Operations and Policy Section is responsible for keeping in touch with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York with respect to applications, actual or prospective, by foreign central banks. It is also charged with the responsibility for obtaining, from the relevant area section, material with respect to the applicant country's economic position, to serve as a basis for recommendation to the Board. Clearance of applications http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 10 with the State Department is ordinarily handled by the Assistant to the Director of the Division (Mr. Thome), but in special instances (e.g., Brazil) may be handled by the Chief of the relevant area section, dealing with his opposite number in the State Department. Preparation and processing of cables reporting action by the Board on gold loans are handled by the Assistant to the Director, b. Advice on matters affecting (i) correspondent relations of the Federal Reserve Banks with foreign central banks and (ii) operations by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York as fiscal agent for international institutions (IMF, International Bank for Reconstruction a.id Development, International Finance Corporation) and for the U. S. Treasury in the international field, (i) involves Board approval of opening of new foreign accounts and general, supervision of the System1 s operations on behalf of foreign correspondents. Of particular significance to the System under (ii) are gold transactions (with the gold policy questions related thereto), and the purchase and sale of Government securities on behalf of the indicated international institutions. Responsibility* Financial Operations and Policy Section. Clearance with State Department on opening of foreign accounts, and processing of cables in relation thereto, is handled as in the case of gold loans. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis c. Because of the special position of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in the field of foreign operations,, there is a Staff Group on Foreign Interests, composed of representatives of the Board's Division of International Finance and of the Foreign and Research Departments of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, plus such other staff representatives of the Board or the New York Bank (legal, examinations, etc.) as may be interested in the particular topics that are to be discussed. The Staff Group meets alternately in Washington and New York, in all cases under the chairmanship of the Director of the Board's Division of International Finance. Responsi- bility for the preparation of the agenda, in coordination with the staff of the New York Bank, rests with the Assistant Director. Responsibility for the preparation of such memoranda as may be submitted to the Staff Group will vary in accordance with the problems to be discussed. Advice on economic aspects of foreign operations of U. S. commercial banks (I, 2, d, above). Responsibility: Financial Operations and Policy Section. T/tfhere a particular area is involved (e.g», Liberia, in the case of the International Banking Corporation and. the Bank of Monrovia, the relevant area section is consulted, and handles discussions with opposite number in the State Department. The responsibility of the Financial Operations and Policy Section for the economic - 12 aspects of the foreign operations of U. S. commercial banks involves also participation in the work of ad hoc System committees such as the Special Committee on Foreign Operations of American Banks (the "Neal Committee"). U. Advice to Chairman (or the Chairman's designated Alternate) on N.A.C. matters (I, 2, e, above)* Responsibility: Director or Assistant Director of the Division. Preparation of any necessary memoranda, in cases in which they are riot prepared by the Director or the Assistant Director, is the responsibility of the Financial Operations £.nd Policy Section, which calls on relevant area sections for assistance if the action to be taken by the N»A.C. concerns a particular area* !?• Advice to Board (or Chairman) on matters requiring Congressional testimony or correspondence (I, ?, f, above). Responsibility: any or all sections depending on the nature of the problem. 6. Representation of Board in N.A.C. staff work (I, 3> a, above). http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis a * Participation in M.A.C. staff meetings, to prepare action by the Council* At the Staff Committee level, which is the level just below the Council itself, the Board is usually represented by the Director or the Assistant Director of the Division, who call for supporting information from the particular section within whose responsibility the problem proposed for Council action falls. If the Staff Committee's consideration of the problem is preceded or followed by consideration http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 13 by a spec-lal Working Party, the Board is represented on the Working Party by the particular Section concerned. The Financial Operations and Policy Section has general responsibility for the coordination of information and for the processing of N.A.C. documents. b» Contribution to N^A.C. staff studies., From time to time the N.A.C* staff is called upon, through the Council itself, to prepare extended studies on particular topics. This usually involves, in addition to participation in meetings at which plans or results are discussed, assumption of responsibility by each of the N.A.C. agencies for the preparation of draft memoranda on particular aspects of the general problem, the work thus being divided up among the N.A.C. agencies. Within the Division, the work is assigned according to the nature of the problem involved, (Example: On the basis of a request to the N.A.C. by Mr. Joseph M. Dodge, Special Assistant to the President and Chairman of the Council on Foreign Economic Policy, for a study of the position of, and problems facing, U. S. private investment in specific foreign under-developed areas, the N.A.C. Staff Committee, directed by the Council to carry out such a study, assigned to the Board1s representatives originating responsibility for drafts on India and Indonesia, which were prepared by the Far Eastern Section. In the Working Party meetings devoted to discussion and revision of the drafts, all area sections of the Division have been represented, depending upon the country discussed in a particular meeting,) http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Ill c. Preparatioji^ofjaaterial for U.J3. Executive Director of the International Monetary Fund, By statute, the U. S. Executive Directors of the IMF and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development get their instructions from the N.AeC. But, particularly in the case of the IMF, the U, S. Executive Director is called upon continually to participate in discussions in which no immediate formal decision — and therefore no formal N.A.C. action — is called for. Having no staff of his own, the U. S. Executive Director must ask assistance from the particular N.A»C« agency within whose special competence the topic scheduled for discussion is held to fall. When the subject deals with operations and policies of the IMF, the help requested from this Division will usually be furnished by the Financial Operations and Policy Section; when the desired assistance relates to other subjects, assignment is made within the Division to the particular section or sections involved. (If, for example, the topic to be discussed by the IMF Executive Directors is the position of the U. S. economy and its relation to developments abroad, the Special Studies Section is called upon for preparation of the required memorandum and its coordination with other sections of the Division and with the Division of Research and Statistics.) The effectiveness of the Division's work in this field is attested by the letter from Mr* Frank Southard (U. S. Executive Director in the IMF), appended as Annex III, ?• Representation of the Board in the UNEC and in the Committee on Inter-American Economic Affairs (I, 3, b, above)*. Responsibility: for UNEC, the Financial Operations and Policy Section and Special Studies Section, with assistance from area sections as requiredj for the Committee on Inter-American Economic Affairs, the Latin American Section, with assistance from the Financial Operations and Policy Section arid the Special Studies Section as required* 3. Representation of the Board in relation to requests from the Council of Economic^ Advisers on inter-national topics (I, 3y c, above). Responsibility: all sections, depending on the nature of the request. In cases in which more than one section is involved, responsibility for coordination is centralized in one Section Chief. For example^ Mr, Furth (Chief, Western European and British Commonwealth Section) was assigned coordinating respon~ sibility for the papers on international subjects included among the Staff Studies on the Role and Effects of Credit and MonetaryPolicies, originally requested by the Council of Economic Advisers, and later elaborated for discussion with a group of outside economists* 9. Representation of the Board in relation to requests from the http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Central Intelligence Agency (I, 3, d, above). Responsible for liaison: the Assistant Director and the Assistant to the Director (Mr* Thorne). Responsible for presentation of material requested: all sections, depending on the nature of - 16 the request. At present, the Chief of the Special Studies Sec- tion (Mrt Hersey) represents the Division on the Economic Intelligence Committee's Subcommittee on Foreign Trade. 10e Representation of the Board in relation to requests from the Bureau of the Budget, Office of Statistical_St_andar_ds (1, 3, e, above). Responsible for liaison; the Assistant to the Director, as member of the Federal Committee on International Statistics. sponsible for substantive work: Re- all sections, depending on the nature of the request, 11, Representation of the Board in staff work on a.d hoc Presidential assignments (I, 3> f, above). Responsibility: apart from personal representation by the Director, all sections, depending on the nature of the assignment. ^' Representation of the Board in preparation of briefing material for Uc So presentation before international organRations3 insofar as this preparation is not performed by the N.A-.C, and UNEG (I, 3? g, above). Responsibility: all sections, depending on the nature of the problem. 13• Representation of the Board in contacts with personnel of foreign central banks (I, 3, h, above). Responsibility: all economists in the Division, from the Director down, depending upon rank and country of foreign central bank personnel involved. 1)4. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Representation of the Board in procurement of personnel for foreign missions (I, 3> i> above). Responsibility: the Assistant Director of the Division, - 17 III. Products 1* Recurring products: a * Foreign News Note_s For internal use only. Weekly. For purpose and for assignment of responsibility, see II, la, above0 b. Weekly Review of [Foreign] Periodicals I/ Weekly. Responsibility: Miss Ernst, working under general supervision of the Assistant to the Director. c. Gold and dollar movements -"•* Projection of gold and dollar movements, and of their effect on member bank reserves. use only. Responsibility: Quarterly. Internal see II, 1, b, above. ii. Review of gold and dollar movements and related capital flows. Article in Federal Reserve Bulletin. Annual. Responsibility: as under ia d. The U. S. and world trade, with special referenee to effects on the U v S. domestic economy. i. Article in Federal Reserve Bulletin. Annual. Respon- sibility: Special Studies Section. ii. International sections of visual presentations and other material prepared for the Open Market Conmiittee. I/ This publication, originally intended solely for the use of the System itself, has now attained a circulation of 2,300 copies, a considerable number of which go to universities for teaching purposes. Attempts have been made, from time to time, to reduce the number of recipients, and even to stop publication altogether; but the protests have been so strong when such attempts were made that it has been difficult to effect a reduction in the number of outside recipients, to say nothing of stopping publication altogether. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 18 Primary responsibility: Special Studies Section. See II, 1., d, above, iii. International sections of Board's Annual Report. Responsibility: at present, Special Studies Sec- tion, with cooperation from other sections. Responsibility may vary in accordance with decisions made by the Editorial Committee as to the general form and emphasis of the Annual Report. e. "Comments on foreign operations of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York." summary. Internal use only. Weekly, with monthly Responsibility: Miss Garber, under the direction of Mr. Tamagna (Financial Operations and Policy Section). f. "Foreign Exchange Rates." I/ The Division prepares monthly a table, showing the monthly averages of daily rates, which is circulated to a special mailing list who have requested this material. These averages are later published in the Federal Reserve Bulletin. The Division also prepares a table every Monday morning showing the daily rates certified by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for the preceding week. This table, also is circulated to a special mailing list who have requested it. I/ The System's responsibility in this field derives from the provisions~"of Section £22 of the Tariff Act of 1930, dealing with the conversion of foreign currency for purposes of the assessment and collection of duties upon merchandise imported into the United States, According to these provisions, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York must ascertain or calculate on each business day the New York market buying rates at noon for cable transfers payable in the respective currencies of various foreign countries and must certify the same to the Secretary of the Treasury. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 19 - Responsibility: Mrs. Farringtcn, under the supervision of the Assistant to the Director, g. "London Money Market Developments." Every four to six weeks, or oftener if developments warrant. Internal use only. Responsibility: Mr. Katz, under the general supervision of Mr. Furth e h0 "International Bank and Export-Import Bank Loans and Commitments. " Quarterly, Circulation limited to Board and Federal Reserve Banks. Responsibility: Financial Cperations and Policy Section (Miss Smith, under direction of Min. Tamagna). i. "Review of Foreign Developments <," I/ In principle, bi-weekly. In practice, its frequency of appearance depends on the rate of progress on particular projects and the amount of pressure from other divisional responsibilities. ity: Editorial responsibil- the Assistant to the Director (contributions from all economists in the Division). The Review is made available to Federal Reserve Bank personnel, and also to selected Government personnel, on the basis I/ The material presented in the Review represents the results of the kind of day-to-day study of problems within the field of the Division's responsibility, involving both current analysis and long-run basic research, without which the Division would not be prepared to provide answers when called upon to advise or to represent the Board. Although the essential purpose of the Review is to make available, for internal purposes, the results of the Division's day-to-day studies, an incidental by-product has been that a gratifyingly large proportion of these studies have subsequently been published in technical economic journals of high professional standing. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 20 of a selected list (all additions to which must be approved by the Director), and in special cases (for particular issues of the Review) on permission of the Director. j. International Statistics for the Federal Reserve Bulletin. The Division is responsible for the Bulletin tables on international capital transactions of the United States, gold production, estimated gold reserves and dollar holdings, reported gold reserves of central banks and governments, net gold purchases and gold stock of the United States, International Bank and Monetary Fund statistics, central and commercial bank statements, money rates, foreign exchange rates, and price movements in principal countries. Statistics relating to international capital transactions are collected by the twelve Federal Reserve Banks from all banks in the United States in accordance with the Treasury Regulation of November 12, 193ii» This material is prepared for publication in the Bulletin by the Financial Operations and Policy Section* The various tables covering gold produc- tion, foreign gold reserves and dollar holdings, gold reserves of central banks and governments, and net gold purchases and gold stock of the United States are also prepared for publication by the Financial Operations and Policy Section. In addition, this http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 21 Section is responsible for the Bulletin table on the International Bank and the International Monetary Fund. All other international tables in the Bulletin, including the central and commercial bank statements, money rates, foreign exchange rates, and price movements in principal foreign countries are prepared by members of the Administrative Staff, under the supervision of the Assistant to the Director. The material on merchandise exports and imports (now grouped with domestic statistics) is prepared in the Special Studies Section, k. Charts for Federal Reserve Chart Book. Charts on the U. S. balance of payments, and on merchandise exports and imports, are the responsibility of the Special Studies Section; on foreign gold reserves and dollar holdings, and on short-term liabilities to and claims on foreigners, of the Financial Operations and Policy Section; on foreign exchange rates, of the Administrative Staff, 1. Organization and circulation of documentary materials. Procurement and circulation of documentary materials concerning the operations of foreign central banks and other matters for which the Division has responsibility. Responsibility: Supervisor of the Divi- sion's Information Center (Mrs. Crews), under the general direction of the Assistant to the Director, and with the cooperation of all sections. - 22 - 2, Special products http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis a. -Special articles for Federal Reserve Bulletin. •*•_ ... -„„ ., , , , . . , . - . . . —- ~" •—I—/ • r ——~ ""--•"—"rgv *..."": i—""-~~r In addition to the two leading articles, prepared annually for the Bulletin, which are listed above under III, 1, c, ii and III, 1, d, i, respectively, the Division prepares special articles for the Bulletin, by arrangement with the Editorial Committee* A recent example: article by Messrs, Tamagna and R. Soloiaon on "Bankers1 Acceptance Financing in the United States," in the May 19#> issue of the Bulletin, k* Preparation of documents for Board action, Originating responsibility will depend on the nature of the problem, In the case of loans on gold collateral, the memorandum summarizing the proposal by the operating Federal Ressrve Bank, together with a draft reply, is prepared by the Assistant to the Director in consultation with the Financial Operations and Policy Section and the particular area section involved. (See II, 2, a, above.) c, Preparatipn of memoranda for information of Chairman and the Board. In general, an effort is made to keep to a minimum the number of memoranda submitted to the Chairman and the Board, even in cases in which a document already exists for internal use by the Board's staff. A distinction is also made between memoranda for the Chairman and those which go to the Board as a whole. (For example, memoranda involving action by the Chairman as a member of the N.A.C. - 23 - normally go only to the Chairman and his N.A.C. Alternate. Similarly -- as the Board itself has decided — memoranda reporting gold loan discussions by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York go only to the Chairman, as long as these discussions are still in a preliminary stage. On the other hand, memoranda on topics raised in Board session [e«g«, the current series of memoranda on foreign dollar liabilities in relation to our gold reserve; foreign experience in housing finance, etc.""] S° to the Board as a whole, Assignment of responsibility within the Division for the preparation of memoranda under either heading will depend upon the nature of the problem involved.) 3. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Preparation of other materials. In addition to memoranda and other written materials, a considerable volume of statistical tabulations and charlis is maintained for working purposes in each section, and particularly in the Special Studies Section. As for written material pro- duced by the Division other than that summarized under III, 1, by far the greater part of it is never seen by the Board. But all of it is prepared in fulfilment of the objectives outlined in Part I of this memorandum. This applies also, and without limitation, to material prepared at the request of other agencies \ the Director of the Division, with whom all such requests are checked, regards it as part of his responsibility to reject requests which cannot be justified under the head of the http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Division's responsibilities to the Board, either as adviser or as representative. (A recent exaiaple: we refused a re- quest of the State Department that the Central and Eastern European Section provi.de a briefing memorandum on "Recent Financial Developments in Germany," on the double ground that the occasion for which the briefing was required was not one of distinctive concern to the Board and that the State Department's own staff should be able to handle a topic of so general a nature.) In the nature of the case, both the amount and the subject-matter of the written material which is here in question will vary very greatly from one week — or one month — to another, depending both on the pressure of other day-t-o-day obligations (for example, the number of meetings which must be attended by members of the Division) and the trond of developments of concern to the Division. But we are prepared to provide on request either a representative sample of the material here under discussion or, by way of indicating its scope over a period of time, documents prepared on previous occasions to describe the activities of the Division. C O P Y ANNEX I EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT Council of Economic Advisers Washington 25, D. C. September 29, Dr. Arthur ¥. Marget Director, Division of International Finance Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Washington 25s D, C. Dear Arthur: As you are well aware, in the preparation of the Economic Report of the President it is necessary for the Council to have a comprehensive picture of developments in the international commodity demand and supply situation. The paper prepared late last year by Mr. Arthur Mersey, entitled "Changes in the Commodity Demand and Supply Situation," proved to be quite us3ful, and we were hoping that a similar paper covering developments during 1955 might be available for our use by December 1, 1955• It would also be helpful if the paper included some discussion of the impact of these commodity developments on the major producing areas. Another field in which we would like to seek your help is in the analysis of capital movements in the U. S. balance of payments during 1955• For example, to what extent have the capital accounts been influenced by relative changes in interest rates here and abroad. Finally, we would like to have a brief review of international private portfolio capital movements over the past year or so, both between the United States and abroad and between foreign countries, To what extent has there been a revival of the flow of international private portfolio capital? I have asked Mr* Mikesell of the Council's staff to be in touch with you on details regarding our needs in these areas, http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely yours, (Signed) STEVE Raymond J. Saulnier Member C O P Y ANNEX I I DEPARTMENT OF STATE WASHINGTON September 16, 1955 Dear Arthur: I have been tapped to represent the U. S. at an OEEC meeting to be held soon to review the effects of European dollar liberalization and the prospects for further liberalization. To my knowledge this is the first full-dress meeting to •which representatives from capitals will be going especially for this purpose, and it is obviously important that we be fully prepared to deal with the points that will inevitably come up. My reason for writing is to let you know that I have just finished going over a paper on this subject prepared by Ilr. J. E. Reynolds of the Fjderal Reserve Board in the form of a critique of an ECE paper entitled "The Effects of Liberalization on Dollar Imports". Mr. Reynolds' memorandum is a first-class job of critical analysis—it is sharply focused, sophisticated, and well balanced, I have no doubt that we will draw upon it heavily at the meetings in Paris. Herbert Furth tells me that it was prepared in a very short space of time, which makes the performance all the more impressive. Many thanks for the cooperation of the Board on this subject. With warm personal regards. Sincerely yours, (Signed) ISAIAH Isaiah Frank Deputy Director, Office of International Trade and Resources Mr. Arthur ¥. Marget, Director, Division of International Finance, Board of Governors, Federal Reserve System, Washington 25, D. C. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis C O P Y ANNEX I I I INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND Washington 2$, D. C. October 1, Dear Arthur: This is to thank you for Mr. Kersey's containing comments on the two Fund papers ments, 1950-51. His comments will be most tion for the discussion of those papers in memorandum of September 26, on the U. S« Balance of Payhelpful to me in my preparathe Board, This is only one of a long series of very helpful contributions which members of your staff and of other parts of the staff of the board of Governors have made to my work here in the Fund, and I have intended for some time to express my warm appreciation. Cordially yours, (Signed) FRANK A. SOUTHARD, JR. Frank A. Southard, Jr. U. S. Executive Director Mr. Arthur W. Marget, Director Division of International Finance Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Washington 25, D. C. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis s I , s\ Mr. Martin 11/28 ' > Duplicates of the attached material sent to Bob Fleming this a . m . by messenger. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7810 Prom tk® desk of WILLIAM McCHESNEY MARTIN, JR. By Messenger November 28 To: Mr. Robert V. Fleming No real decision has been made as to the best way of doing this, but I thought you would like to have this material before talking to Senator Fulbright. Whatever is the best means of attaining it is the way we want to go. Enclosures < Memo Vcst to Martin' U'25; memo re proposed amendment to law with alternative drafts A, B, and C1 11-22 letter from Roger Jones and his nrrmosed amendment. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis V I November 25, 1955. J Chairman Marlon: In accordance with our conversation on Wednesday, I attach alternative draft,s of legislation regarding compensation of the Chairman and members of the Board, together with an explanatory memorandum on the subject. In addition to the draft in the form of a separate bill, if an amendment to the Executive Pay Act is to be considered it is necessary to have two other alternative drafts because we do not know at this time whether such an amendment might be offered to the House bill or to the Senate bill. All three drafts are identical in language and effect. I presume it is not necessary at this tiiTie to send a letter of reply to Mr. Roger Jones' letter of November 22, 1955. I would be glad to discuss this further with you if you wish. George B. Vest. PROPOSED AMENDMENT TO THE LAV REGARDING COMPENSATION OF THE CHAIRMAN AND MEMBERS OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM There are attached three alternative drafts (A, B and C) of amendments to the statute with respect to the compensation of the Chairman and members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Each of these drafts is in the form of an amendment to the Federal Reserve Act and they are all identical in language and in effect. The only difference between the drafts is that Draft A would take the form of a separate bill to be passed by Congress, while the other two are in the form of amendments to the Federal Executives Pay Act of 1955 now pending in Congress, Draft B being an amendment to the House version of this legislation, H.R. 7619, and Draft C an amendment to the Senate version, S. 2628. If Draft A, which is in the form of a separate bill, were introduced in Congress, it would in normal course be considered by the Banking and Currency Committees of the House and Senate and thereafter by each House in the usual manner. However, the House version of the Executive Pay Act, H.R. 7619, passed the House of Representatives on July 30, 1955, and the Senate version, S. 2628, was reported favorably from the Senate Committee on Post Office and Civil Service on July 29, 1955* Both bills are now pending on the Senate calendar. Accordingly, consideration might be given to proposing an amendment to the Executive Pay Act at the time when the legislation is debated on the floor of the Senate, or possibly in any further consideration of the legislation in the Senate Committee on Post Office and Civil Service. Such an amendment could be in the form of Draft B or Draft C attached, depending on whether the House bill or the Senate bill is under consideration at the time. In normal course the legislation would then be considered by the Senate and also in conference committee but it would not have further consideration by the House Committee on Post Office and Civil Service or the House Banking and Currency Committee, Effect of Proposals. - Each of the attached drafts would provide that the Chairman of the Board of Governors would receive the compensation "now or hereafter prescribed by law for the heads of executive departments", and the other members of the Board would receive compensation "as now or hereafter prescribed by law". Heads of executive departments under present law receive |22,500 per annum, and under the existing drafts of the Executive Pay Act in Congress would receive $25,000 per annum. Under the proposals contained in the drafts attached, the Chairman of the Board would receive whatever compensation heads of executive departments receive. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . The other members of the Board under the legislative drafts attached would receive whatever compensation is now or hereafter prescribed by law. The salaries of the members of the Board of Governors are now $16,000 per annum. Under the House version of the pending Executive Pay Act, Board members other than the Chairman would receive compensation at the rate of $20,000 per annum and under the Senate version of the Executive Pay Act they would receive $20,500 per annum. 11/25/55 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis A BILL To provide for the compensation of the Chairman and members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Be it enacted by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the first paragraph of section 10 of the Federal Reserve Act, as amended, is hereby amended (1) by striking from the last sentence the words "an annual salary of $15,000 per annum, payable monthly, together with" and (2) by adding the following at the end of the paragraph: "The member designated as chairman pursuant to this section shall, while serving as chairman, receive the compensation now or hereafter prescribed by law for the heads of executive departments, and other members shall receive compensation as now or hereafter prescribed by law." 11/25/55 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis On page 11, after line 12, insert a new section after section 110 reading as follows: "Sec. 111. The first paragraph of section 10 of the Federal Reserve Act, as amended, is hereby amended (1) by striking from the last sentence the words 'an annual salary of $-15,000 per annum, payable monthly, together with1 and (2) by adding the following at the end of the paragraph: •The member designated as chairman pursuant to this section shall, while serving as chairman, receive the compensation now or hereafter prescribed by law for the heads of executive departments, and other members shall receive compensation as now or hereafter prescribed by law.»" 11/25/55 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PEOPOSED AMENDMENT TO S. 2623 On page 5> after line 11, insert a new section after section 103 reading as follows: "Sec. 104. The first paragraph of section 10 of the Federal Reserve Act, as amended, is hereby amended (1) by striking from the last sentence the words 'an annual salary of $15,000 per annum, payable monthly, together with' and (2) by adding the following at the end of the paragraph: •The member designated as chairman pursuant to this section shall, while serving as chairman, receive the compensation now or hereafter prescribed by law for the heads of executive departments, and other members shall receive compensation as now or hereafter prescribed by law.fn 11/25/55 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT BUREAU OF THE BUDGET WASHINGTON 25, D. C. November 22, 1955 • Dear Bill: Confirming our telephone conversation of this morning and in furtherance of instructions which I received from the White House last Friday, there is attached language for a proposed amendment of Section 10 of the Federal Reserve Act* This amendment would provide that the salary of the Chairman of the Board of Governors should be the same as that for the heads of Executive departments* The language is so drawn that any change in the structure of Cabinet salaries would automatically change that of the Chairman* If this language is acceptable to you, it is my understanding that you -will seek to have it introduced and enacted in the next session of Congress* Formal endorsement of it -will be made at such time as is appropriate * Sincerely yours. Assistant Director for Legislative Reference Honorable William McC, Martin, Jr* Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Beserve System Washington, D* C* Enclosure That the first paragraph of section 10 of the Federal Reserve Act, as amended, is hereby amended (1) by striking from the last sentence the words "an annual salary of $15*000 per annum, payable monthly* together with" and (2) by adding the f ollowing at the end of the paragraph: "The member designated as chairman pursuant to this section shall, while serving as chairman* receive the compensation now or hereafter prescribed by law for the heads of executive departments, and other members shall receive compensation as now or hereafter prescribed by law*" http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis THE FEDERAL RESERVE AND THE POLITICAL GANTLET: 1956 On Thursday, April 12, 1956, the Board of Governors announced increases in discount rates at eleven Federal Reserve Banks, The increases— from 2 1/2$ to J>% at Minneapolis and San Francisco and to 2 3/1$ at all other banks except Chicago—marked the first movement of discount rates in 1956, following four successive increases during 1955o Reports of disagreement by Administration officials began blossoming in print within a week, and before a month had passed the reports of "behindthe-scenes conflict" were raised, and commented upon, at two successive Presidential press conferences. By that time, three members of President Eisenhowerfs cabinet—-Secretaries George Humphrey of Treasury, Sinclair Weeks of Commerce and James Mitchell of Labor—>and the Chairman of the President's Council of Economic Advisers, Arthur Burns, had been named in the press as critics of the Federal Reserve action Newsweek magazine was first in print with the story in its issue (pre-dated April 237"that went on newsstand sale Tuesday April 17, five days after the Federal Reserve announcement. Newsweek writers Bart Rowen and Clem Morgello said in their report: "For nearly two weeks, Federal Reserve officials huddled in conferences with Treasury people and other top Administration aides, arguing whether it was time to tighten up. "Chairman Bill Martin and other FRB officials feared (surging credit demand, as exampled by the fact that 'in February alone, commercial bank loans increased $1,3 billion, or 5 per cent') would do more to kick up prices than to boost production, since business was already at peak levels. And the price picture already looked dangerous, » * "But a number of top Administration officials, including Treasury Secretary George Humphrey, believed that talk of inflation was being exaggeratedo • » "White House insiders also contended that consumer buying was not creating a real inflationary push*, 0 o The gain (in retail trade) did not seem great enough to them to force prices up, , • "As a matter of fact, Newsweek learned, the President's top economic adviser Arthur F, Burns believes the increases have been surprisingly small, considering the current worldwide economic boonio Burns thinks the economy could absorb the pressure even if prices edged up a bit. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -2- "Humphrey's views dovetailed with these and he argued his point in conversations with the Federal Reserve's Martin. The Treasury boss—-who well remembers the complaints that rolled in three years ago when money was tightened sharply—wanted to wait a few months to see if loans continued to expand rather than to act now and risk knocking the economy into a skid, "But in the end it was Martin's decision to make, and he made it. The decision: Boost the discount rate from 2 1/2% to 2 3/h% (and to 3 per cent in two districts,) By approving this increase—the fifth such boost in a year—Martin hoped to dry up some demand by making it more expensive for banks to borrow from the Federal Reserve, which in turn would make it more expensive for businessmen and consumers to borrow from their local banks. So strongly did Humphrey disagree that he drafted a public statement of his views. He killed it at the last moment to avoid an open controversy* « 0" On April 23, the New York Timess not given to picking up items from other publications without verification on its own, said thisj "It is not generally known, but the Treasury had serious reservations about the latest increase in the discount rate by the Federal Reserve. This resulted in probably the sharpest dispute between the two agencies since the Eisenhower Administration came to office. "The opposition of George M. Humphrey, Secretary of the Treasury, and his men was in part a traditional concern over the effect of ever-tight money on the Government's own securities. But apparently it was based more on a different assessment of the business picturec • •" On April 2£> President Eisenhower held a news conference on which the Dow-Jones newswire reported as follows: "President Eisenhower took note of reports that Treasury Secretary Humphrey and Doctor Arthur Burns, Chairman of the ^resident's Council of Economic Advisers, disagreed with the Federal Reserve Board in its increase earlier this month in the Federal Reserve discount rate. The President said he believes, however, that since the Federal Reserve ia watching the money situation closely it would move to loosen up lending terms if money gets too tight* http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -3"When asked about the report that administration financial leaders disagreed with the Federal Reserve on the discount rates, the President said that it is probably right that certain people didn't like the action. However, he noted, the Federal Reserve is set up as a separate agency of Government outside of the authority of the President. He thinks it would be a mistake if the Board should be brought under the President's power, "The Fed had unanimous agreement among 11 of its District banks before it went ahead with the boost in the discount rate, he noted. Having done so, the Board is watching the money situation from day to day and he is sure would move in the opposite direction if money gets too tight, the President said." (Criticism of the Federal Reserve's action was not confined to Federal officeholders or Republicans. The N» Y. Journal of Commerce, noting May 1 that the Comptroller of New York State, Arthur Levitt, a Democrat, "has just fired a broadside on current Federal monetary policies because of their restrictive effect on New York StateTs school building program," commented editorially: "New York's Comptroller grudgingly admits that the current objective of Federal Reserve policy may be sound, inasmuch as too much inflationary stimulation of the economy at this particular time might easily create serious headaches for later on. Being a politician, however, obviously makes it impossible for him to accept a sound economic policy. Instead, he comes up with a typical politician's approach which is that an exception to ghe general rule should be made in order to facilitate the easier financing of school construction and other public worksB 0 . If excessive borrowing and building produce a boom and bust cycle, as well they could, Mr, Levitt's political party would be the first to criticize the present Federal Administration for not taking more aggressive steps to curb the boonu . • ") On May 3, little more than a week after President Eisenhowerrs initial press conference remarks, two of his cabinet officers had press conferences of their own, at which the subject came up again. The WashingtoniPost bracketed the development^s: t ' '. '..: -• •;• . . ~;C 1' '•'•'.., '- •' C ;i I -' .J.C r .'w : •'. ;•-,. C/ . " J "Two Cabinet members yesterday questioned credit-tightening moves by the Federal Reserve System and scouted its fears of inflation, "Labor Secretary James P. Mitchell said the Reserve Board's approval of discount rate increases last month 'may have l?een a mistake.' He told a news conference, 'I see no threat of inflation at all,' http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis "At another news conference, Commerce Secretary Sinclair Weeks noted, 'money is tight today and that may prove to be a handicap.1 He predicted that prices would be held in cheeko "Their views were the first open affirmation of Administration discontent with the Reserve Board's action0 George M. Humphrey, Secretary of the Treasury, and Arthur F, Bums, Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors, have also been reported as disagreeing with the System's estimate of the economic climate," (Messrs, Weeks and Mitchell were credited additionally with disagreeing between themselves, this time, said the Journal of Commerce, "over whether or not forthcoming wage increases for organized 1'abor pose an inflationary threat to the economy. Secretary Mitchell flatly stated, 'I see no threat of inflation at all in labor contract settlementsa! Secretary Weeks was less unequivocal on the other side of the argument. But he noted that 'if wages and prices go up much faster than productivity, the stability of the dollar is threatened.1 ") The next day, President Eisenhower held another press conference and, naturally, there were more questions. Dow-Jones reported the answers this way: ^President Eisenhower said today that Administration policy is to assure that there is adequate money available for the expansion of the country and that he's sure the Federal Reserve Board seeks to do the same. "He gave this view at his press conference in commenting on a question which noted that Secretary of Commerce Weeks and Labor Secretary Mitchell have been critical of the Federal Reserve's recent boost in its discount rate* "As he has commented before on this subject, President Eisenhower told his press conference that everybody has his own opinion on such an action. But the Federal Reserve is an independent body reaching decisions and it is the duty of the Board to put its conclusions into effect, he saidc "The administration is watching the money situation all the time, Mr. Eisenhower said, and he's sure the Federal Reserve is tooc" Business Week, in an editorial in its May 5 issue, introduced a new note, "criticising the Federal Reserve for NOT playing politics. Discussing "The Politics of Tight Money," Business Week commented? http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis "The prestige of the Federal Reserve System, which had fallen to a low estate during the first postwar years, has had a remarkable recovery. Under the chairmanship of William McCo Martin5 the Federal Reserve Board has met skillfully and courageously the problems of a turbulent economy0 At home and abroad, there is an almost alarming degree of confidence in its ability to steei- our economy between the dangers of boom and bust9 "The renaissance of the Fed reached a high point last week when President Eisenhower reaffirmed the complete independence of our central banking organization. He acknowledged that the policy of credit stringency now being pursued by the Federal Reserve was one that raised grave doubts on the part of hiw own advisers. Nevertheless, with his usual patience and breadth of view, the President defended the right of the Federal Reserve to pursue an independent course. No other President has ever spoken thus. "Yet, even at this moment of triumph, the Federal Reserve System, it seems to us, stands in considerable peril. No matter how secure their independence, Martin and his fellowmembers of the Federal Reserve System are up to their armpits in politics* nation's Economic action. country "It is impossible to influence the basic trend of a economy without at the same time influencing its politics. intervention, if it is effective, is bound to be political And at the moment the Federal Reserve is subjecting the o the most drastic credit squeeze since early 1953* » « "If the Federal Reserve persists in this course, we may expect the current hesitation in business to develop into a downtrend. Such a downtrend in the normal course of events ought to be plainly evident in terms of falling sales and rising unemployment by September and October nexta "Without in any way impugning the purity of the Federal Reserve Board, we may assume that this timing will cause no sadness in the Democratic National Committeeo * « "The Federal Reserve System ought to be above politics. It ought not to use its great powers for political purposes, and we are quite sure that no responsible official of the System would, under any circumstances, knowingly consent to such a course. Yet the System will not survive if it attempts to close its eyes to the political consequences of its actions. If the Federal Reserve System, by over-doing its policy of credit restraint, brings on a business recession this year, we may be certain that a new Administration of another party would not wait long to take away powers that can be used, however correct the motives, to accomplish such drastic political consequences." http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -6Also on May 5< however, Chairman Martin made a speech to the Pensylvania Bankers Association at Atlantic City that the press widely carried and characterized as reassuring. The New York Times noted that "Mr. Martin spoke of five 'basic considerations1 that enter into the making of decisions in monetary policy. In his discussion of them the emphasis was on the duty of the Federal Reserve not to let credit dry up," This "reassuring" talk by the Reserve Board Chairman apparently served to relieve tension momentarily, for the uproar quieted for a few days, during which the Washington Post, in an editorial on May 7, suggested that the Federal Reserve's independence in the future would hinge on the correctness of its economic and financial judgment in the present, since "when it makes an economic decision it directly affects political decisions»" The next rumbles on the political front came from Democrats. On May 12, the Washington Post reported that Representative Patman!s Joint Economic Subcommittee was "quietly investigating the Administration's protests against credit tightening moves by the Federal Reserve System," The Post, observing that "the probe could have wide political repercussions," assessed the motivation this way: "Democrats have been arguing that if the economy turns sour in the next few months, the Administration will try to blame the Federal Reserve System's credit squeeze. This (Republican) argument, Democrats say, would be shattered if the (Administration) protests came after the System made its move, . « The Patman committee has sent questionnaires to three cabinet officers (Humphrey, Weeks, Mitchell), Economic Adviser Arthur Burns, and Federal Reserve Chairman Martin asking what if anything they said or wrote each other before the credit screw was tightened." (On May 18, Rep. Patman confirmed that he had sent letters of inquiry to all mentioned, had gotten three answers, and was thinking of "holding hearings.") Rep. Rains (D~Ala.), as chairman of a on housing, issued a report that the Washington as asserting that "recent Federal Reserve Board market will have 'unfavorable repercussions' on House Banking subcommittee Post of May lii characterized action tightening the money the housing industry." Businessmen were next in the headlines with blasts against "tight money," General Motors President Harlow Curtice was quoted by the Journal of Commerce as saying at a press conference in Detroit May l£: "The restrictive money'policy of the Federal Reserve Board has not only contributed to a lower trend in auto sales since April 1 but it has made it questionable http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -.7— whether gross national product will remain at close to the $UOO billion a year level* » , He urged the Board to reverse itself as quickly as possible.11 The National Association of Home Builders was similarly critical the following day in testimony by its president, Joseph B. Haverstick, before Repe Rains' House Banking Subcommittee at Washington, as was the National Association of Real Estate Boards, represented before the Subcommittee by Vice Chairman Robert £• Scott» The following day, May_17, the New York Times reported from Hot Springs, Va,, en the meeting of the (Commerce Department's) Business Advisory Council, "a group of more than 1^0 of the nation's leading manufacturing, financial and retail executives," Said the Times: "Uppermost in the minds of many early arrivals was concern over the present restrictive money policy of the Federal Reserve Board. This was evidenced in comments that ranged from mild criticism to outright disapproval of the Board's recent increase in the discount rate* . • Those sharpest in their criticism said the rise , . * had already made short-term money tight and might eventually reduce the present plentiful supply of long-term funds greatly in demand for industrial expansion* The tightness of money, it was added, might aggravate the economic situation in the third quarter, which is expected to show a softer tone primarily because of the weakness in auto and housing sales * . »" On that same May 17, Secretary of Treasury Humphrey, testifying at a Senate Committee hearing before leaving for Hot Springs to attend the Business Advisory Council himself, finally confirmed publicly the month-long reports he had disagreed with the Federal Reserve about the discount rate increase,1' "He said if the decision had been his 'I would not have made the move,' " Dow-Jones bulletined . * . "Mr, Humphrey's statement before the Senate Finance Committee was the first time he has publicly expressed his attitude. He also told the Committee (which had called him to testify on tax aspects of a highway construction bill) he agreed with the four rounds of increases in the discount rate (in 19£5) • • • that preceded the last such boost," Mr. Humphrey, said Dow-Jones, commented when cornered by Senator Long (D-Lac). At first, he "launched into a description of the Board as an agency independent of the Administration and of his own relationships with Mr, Martin," saying "he cooperated closely with the FRB Chairman on all actions that either take that might affect the economy. In trying to http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -8gauge future economic conditions and demands for money and credit, Mr. Humphrey said he and Mr. Martin frequently differ in their views on the meaning of various economic pressures. When Sen. Long pressed for a more direct answer to his question, Mr. Humphrey replied: 'If it were my responsibility I would not have made the last movee I would have let natural conditions take their course. I agreed with all the other moves but the last one0T " The St* Louis Post-Dispatch, taking note editorially May 18 of the Humphrey, Curtice andHSusiness Week comments, observed in an editorial entitled ORDEAL OF THE 'FED*: "It will take fortitude • 0 » to stand up against this sort of pressure , 0 o Right or wrong, the Board must use its own jiidgment if it is to act as a politically independent regulator of the economy . « 0 The Board's independence, (if) sacrificed in fact, will some day be ended by law t e « If control of credit policy becomes political^ the people will have every right to insist that responsibility for it also become political," - I n t e r n a t i o n a l New Service's Ruth Montgomery said she was told by a "top White House official" that the White House was "putting pressure on the Federal Reserve Board to relax its tight credit policy to avert a possible deflationary trend during the fall's election campaign," Her report went on: "The White House fears the Board's recent action will cause a mild recession at the very moment that the Administration wants a booming economy. One of the OOP's favorite campaign slogans is 'Everything's Booming but the Guns.' " OP. May 23, exactly one week after Secretary Humphrey!s "first public confirmation" of the then one-month-long round of reports, the New York JTimes said it was "revealed publicly for the first time" that Presidential Economic Adviser Arthur Burns had "opposed the latest increase in interest rates by the Federal Reservea" The revelation came from Rep. Patman, who made public replies to inquiries he had made about reported differences over the discount rate increase. Mr. Patman also voiced criticism of Messrs. Humphrey and Martin for "avoiding answering Mr. Patman's questions about the disagreement directly," and said he therefore would "call hearings to look into the matter0" http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -9- One day later3 Dow .Jones said that Secretary Humphrey had reconfirmed his position, this time to a wider audience. At a National Press Club luncheon, the wire service reported, Mre Humphrey said "downward pressures" that were "evident in the economy forced him to oppose the Federal Reserve Board's latest credit squeeze,," Dow-Jones added: "Mrc Humphrey said he felt confidence on the part of business and the public might have been shaken a bit by the Board's action. . ." Bankers were heard from next, with suggestions as well as some support of the Federal Reserve,, Allan Sproul, retiring as president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, made on May 2k what the American Banker termed a "valedictory" address before the New Jersey Bankers Association convention in Atlantic City, Mr. Sproul "answered critics of Federal Reserve credit restraint," citing economic and financial conditions, but also, in his conclusion, "voiced his belief the time is ripe for a broad national inquiry (by a Presidential commission) into the banking and monetary system 6f the United States." He said there was "need to know what to expect of our central banking system, of our commercial banking system, of our savings banks and building and loan associations, of our insurance companies and pension trusts. . ." But he emphasized, the American Banker said, "he did not mean 'such piece-weal inquiries as those concerning the Federal Reserve System and the Federal Open Market Committee which have marked the last few year0'" A prominent private banker, Henry C. Alexander, Board Chairman of J0 PC Morgan and Company, was headlined shortly afterwards as advocating an "easing of restraint*" Mr. .Alexander addressed the Buffalo, N. Y., Chamber of Commerce, The Buffalo Evening News account of May 26 led off with the statement that Mr. Alexander has said "more money should be made available to further the nation's expanding economy, but the dollar must not be cheapened by relaxing interest rates0" The Wall St» Journal said Mre Alexander declared he was "all for the Federal Reserve's increase last month in the discount rate" but "suggested the Federal Reserve consider reducing the reserve quirements of member banks as a way to increase the money supply0" As May came to an end, Federal Reserve assurances to inquirers that seasonal needs for credit would be met as would cash needs over the approaching Memorial Day holiday, drew such headlines on i-lay 29 as "FEDERAL RESERVE TO PROVIDE RESERVES FOR BUSINESS NEEDS" (American Banker) and "EASIER MONEY: FEDERAL RESERVE BEGINS TO RELAX CREDIT: CITES CHANGES IN BUSINESS" (Wall St» Journal). But the Associated Press, on May 31, supplied more perspective: "T"he Federal Reserve Board, while keeping a close watch on the money supply and credit situation, thus far has given no sign of a major change in its policy," http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -10As June began, Democrats were spotlighted. U0 S. News magazine, in a pull-together of the month-and-a-half-long controversy in its issue of June 1, focused on the replies Rep. Patman got., and now planned to develop further at a public hearing. U, S. News digested the replies: From Arthur Burns: "In view of somewhat conflicting tendencies,, particularly the divergent movements that have occurred of late in retail trade and capital expenditures, I doubt the timeliness of this action," From George Humphrey: "Any important actions on money matters by his department or the Federal Reserve are always talked over in advance. 'It is, of course, only natural that we often have some differences of judgment arising from varying appraisals of the timing and effect of economic trends*1" From Sinclair Weeks: "I did disagree with the action taken, but my disagreement was more in the realm of rtiming1 than otherwise," From James Mitchell: 'Wrote Mr. Patman a non-committal reply. Mr. Mitchell has said publicly he does not see any inflationary danger and does not feel the Federal Reserve move was necessary," From William McC. Martin: "Stressed the Board's 'independence'. He said the Board would always consult with other agencies but that 'such consultations do not, however, mean any loss of independence by the Federal Reserve in discharging the responsibilities delegated to it by Congress . . « From time to time there are bound to be differences of judgment, of emphasis and of timing. It would be astonishing in a democracy if this were not so and indeed it would be a reason for grave concern if precautionary action had to wait for unanimity." On June U? the Journal of Commerce spotted caution in the attitude of some of Rep. Patman's Democratic colleaguess "Considerable behind-the-scenes planning is going on among Congressional Democrats to make sure that the forthcoming investigation of the Federal Reserve's increase in the rediscount rate doesn't get out of hand . « • The date for the hearing, which (Joint Economic Committee) Chairman Paul Douglas and others want to hold for just one day, has tentatively been set for June 12. Chairman Douglas and other members of the full committee also want to limit the scope of the investigation to the mechanics of the decision making on the rediscount rate rise. They feel it's far too early to try to assess whether or not the decision was a wise one." http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -11On June 12, the Patman inquiry into"Treasury-Federal Reserve differences" opened and the New York Times said it "proved mild today. Both sides answered all questions readily,, conceded their disagreements in April and said all was proceeding as before." Witnesses Humphrey and Martin,, instead of widening the area of dispute, "found themselves in agreement in principle » • . when Mrc Patman turned to other (than the April disagreement) matters/' the Times said. There were some good-humored passagess "Mr. Humphrey laughed off a suggestion by Mr, Patman, who said he had seen it in the press, that the Administration might blame the Federal Reserve if the economy should slump later this year. Mr, Patman noted that Mr, Martin was a Democrat and asked if that were not a way to throw the blame for any slump to the Democrats0 'I assure you5l said Mr, Humphrey with a broad grin, 'that if I found a way I'd be glad too' Everybody laughed, including Representative Patman." There was also some incidental information on the way the Federal Reserve Board Chairman took the change in administrations and parties in control. The Times recorded it thus! "Mr0 Martin revealed that he had not submitted his resignation at the beginning of the Eisenhower Administration, as Mr. Humphrey had previously asserted. Actually, said Mr0 Martin, he was considering a 'very attractive' private offer, and a few people knew it* But people 'close to1 the new Administration had told him, he said, not to be too hasty about submitting his resignation. Then after the Administration took office, both Mr. Humphrey and the President had urged him to remain as chairman. Mr. Humphrey repeated today that he still thought 'Bill Martin is the best qualified man in the country for the job-*' " Before June was out, however, the economy began to gather steam and the controversy over credit began to lose it* By June 29, the N. Yc Herald Tribune, surveying the scene editorially, was able to sum up developments cheerfullys "Business activity has taken a turn for the better and the economic outlook is brightening. The Commerce Department reports a 'slight lift1 in national production, consumer prices have climbed back to their record high of three years ago, and retail sales volume has picked up markedly. There are encouraging signs that the economy is getting ready to break away from the plateau on which it has rested . « . http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -12"A perceptible shift in sentiment is perhaps the most significant of the recent developments. Where economists, bankers, businessmen and others not long ago were pointing to soft spots, they now are singling out the upward pressures for comment. Their talk has a fresh, optimistic ring « .0 "Buying demand is displaying the bounce that the Federal Reserve Board was fretting about when it made its much debated move to tighten credit in mid-April, Last month's rise in the cost of living emphasizes the fashion in which the U. S. is delicately balanced between inflation and recession. There can be endless debate about what would have happened if the Federal Reserve had not acted. But two things are clear—the credit squeeze did not start a recession and, in fact, most major indicators now are pointing up, not down." Start of a steel strike brought out some subtle changes in thought in the Executive branch and in the Congress. Secretary of Commerce Weeks, in a press conference reported by the Washington Post July 16, "repeated that he disapproved of the Federal Reserve Board's moves last spring to tighten credit," but added that "he feels the situation today 'is in much better shape.1" He said prosperity in 19£6 would eclipse 195>5> provided that the steel strike is !short-lived.' On Capitol Hill, where Rep, Patman had concentrated on disagreement about past action, Senator Willis Robertson, taking note of suggestions such as former Federal Reserve Bank President Sproul's for a study of the financial system by a Presidential Commission, introduced a resolution for n a full and complete study and investigation of existing banking and credit needs of the nation." The study was proposed for a Senate Banking subcommittee headed by Senator Robertson. The focus of fear swung more sharply from deflation to inflation as the steel strike was settled July 30—with an increase in steel prices as well as an increase in wages—and almost simultaneously the entire international front flared under impact of the "Suez Crisis." In Canada, the central bank boosted its discount rate from 3 to 3 1/2$ and the N. Y» Times noted from Ottawa August 10 that: 1) The increase was the Bank of Canada's "fifth in twelve months"; 2) It brought another "immediate protest from the Opposition party"—i.e., the Conservatives, whose acting leader Earl Rowe led the assault with a warning the action might have "dangerous effects" on the Canadian economy. Finance Minister Walter Harris "replied that while he had been advised in advance of the move, the Bank of Canada had the statutory powers to make its own decision. He added that there was a 'considerable body' of financial opinion that . * . the Canadian economy might be adversely affected if the increase . „ • had http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -13not taken place*" (Three months later, the Bank of Canada dropped "discretionary" increases in the discount rate and adopted its present system of automatically determined rate movements.) In the United States, the Canadian action spurred talk about another round of Federal Reserve discount rate increases. Speculation of this kind mounted as short-term rates rose, business loans "soared," the bond market showed signs of strain, and a "broad wave of price increases" caught headlines. On August 19, the N» Y0 Times started a story on this notes "The continued heavy demand by expanding business for long-term capital is putting the bond market to its greatest strain since the beginning of the Great Depression." The same story ended on this note: "The Reserve System has been shown to have been right this spring and summer in recognizing inflationary trends at a time when leaders in business and government thought otherwise*" But bouquets for the Federal Reserve were neither numerous nor long-lasted. On August 23, 195>6!s "second round" of discount rate increases was announced as under way as the rate went up from 2 3/U to Jfo at the Federal Reserve Banks of New York, Philadelphia, Richmond and Chicago, matching the rate that had prevailed since April at Minneapolis and San Francisco* The timing was striking. It came just one day after (l) Republicans had nominated President Eisenhower for a second term, and (2) Democrat Patman1s Small Business Committee had blasted Federal Reserve "credit restrictions" for causing a "high mortality rate" among small business firms. The N^ Y. Times for August 2£ saw editorially "the threat of inflation looming again as a darkening shadow upon the horizon of the American economy," but others saw different shapes in the darkness. The Herald-Tribune on August 2? headlined "3 DEMOCRATS HIT RESERVE BOARD BOOST" and named them in its story as Reps. Emanuel Celler and Abraham D. Multer of New York ("they charged in a joint statement that big business can weather tight money but small business cannot") and Wright Patman of Texas. Mr. Patman "threatened an investigation.1' http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Officials of the Republican party, which had just adopted a platform plank endorsing nthe present policy of freedom for the Federal Reserve System to combat inflation and deflation by wise fiscal (sic) policy," endeavored with temporary success to go unquoted in the headlines,, On September 17? however, Democratic Presidential nominee Adlai Stevenson he"ld a press conference in Washington that included these exchanges, according to the unretouched transcript carried by the AP; "Q. Would you, if elected,, support and continue an independent Federal Reserve System and, particularly, the independence of the Federal Reserve System's Open Market Committee? "A. I would make, on the basis of what information I have with respect to the working of the Federal Reserve System, I would suggest no legislation to alter the present position of the Federal Reserve System with respect to the Treasury Department and also with respect to its Open Market Committeea" Mr. Stevenson, pressed to discuss whether he had "given consideration" to"ways of meeting (the rising cost of living) by price control or anything, possibly, less drastic," made the further reply: "Ac Well, of course I have, sir. It is a subject I am not sure whether you want me to—whether this is an appropriate occasion to discuss the problem of inflation control, the methods that are traditional, like Reserve Bank requirements, consumer credit controls, commercial bank requirements and all that sort of thing, but it is a serious problem, and becoming more so rapidly . . . The problem basically is to distribute equitably the burden. I think that is one of the major difficulties and objections that I would have with the manner in which it has been conducted by this Administration. But here you get into, of course, the question of the responsibility of the Treasury and of the, of the Federal Reserve System, which we have already adverted to here. "I really don't know how to answer your question, I am afraid, or how to enlarge upon it0 But I made a speech in Texas, I believe a year ago this month, in which I pointed, at the University of Texas, in Austin, with considerable alarm, and a suggestion that some steps be taken to, in contemplation of the very rapid increase in consumer debt. That was a year ago. At that time nothing was done. My recollection is that President Eisenhower 0 . . in one of the major messages early this year, in January, asked for a study of the expansion of consumer credit which, I believe, at that time was outracing the growth of the national product by 3 to 1, and that very shortly after that his own Secretary of the Treasury, Mr. George M. Humphrey, testified that no such study was necessary. This is one of the examples of contradictions that I have never quite understood,11 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Republican feelings were assessed again by the Wall St. Journal on the following day. Said the Journal for September 28; "Secret feud smolders between Ike's advisers and Federal Reserve credit men. The Administration strongly opposes, in private, any further credit tightening moves, Officials still smart over the Fedfs latest discount rate boost. They shy from public disagreement to avoid recurrence of last spring's family split 0 0 e" On the other hand, the October ^Washington Post had a somewhat different private—if not the party—line. Said "the Post: "Treasury Secretary George M. Humphrey, hitherto dubious of the Federal Reserve's tight money policy, has recently told associates he thinks it is right. Economically, he concedes, it is the proper thing even though its political repercussions are something less than vote-catching for the Republicans." Meanwhile, "tight money" stayed in the headlines as the campaign days ticked away and, unsurprisingly, popped up in questioning at the next press conferences held by President Eisenhower, on October 5?, and again on October 110 The thing that struck the Washington Post as most emphatic about the first of these press conferences was that? "President Eisenhower yesterday disclaimed responsibility for the Federal Reserve's credit-tightening moves, declaring that the agency is independent« He did not comment directly on a reporter's statement that the Administration had helped lift interest rates. But he said . » 0 tThe Federal Reserve Board is not under my control, and I think it is proper that the Congress did set it up as an independent agency?• . • He thereby sought to blunt Democratic charges that his Administration had fostered tight money policies hurting local governments, small business, farmers and others . c 0" At the second of these conferences, Mr. Eisenhower once more "voiced his conviction that the Federal Reserve System is properly independent of the Administration." But this time there was a new and more positive note in the lead of the Wall St* Journal's account, and the beginning of a theme that would be heard again. Said the Journal's lead: http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -1611 President Eisenhower declared American prosperity and strength at home depend on !a sound dollar.1 0 « « And, he told his news conference, an increasing cost of living must be dealt with intelligently3n The President's attitude toward the Federal Reserve continued unshared by all members of his political party. On September 23, the Washington Post reported that BusinessWeek Publisher Elliott Bell^ described by the Post as "an important though unofficial White House adviser," had urged "linking the Federal Reserve to the Administration in a President-directed national economic council^" Mr« Bell, addressing the American Bankers Association Convention in Los Angeles, was giving personal advocacy—and wider distribution—to the ideas advanced earlier by his magazine's editorial page. The Post said in its story: "Contending that the Federal Reserve should not 'ignore or even go counter5 to the Administration, Bell blueprinted a counterpart to the National Security Council for the economic fronto "This body would fgive the Administration power to help determine basic economic and monetary policy for which it must take full political responsibility, Bell said o e « While President Eisenhower has publicly affirmed the Federal Reserve's independence, Bell declared, 'You can't keep the Federal Reserve out of politics.1 "He charged Board Chairman William McC. Martin and the Reserve Governors with 'resolutely ignoring the political aspects of their course'. Despite the President's disclaimer that he can't control interest rates, 'the public holds Mr. Eisenhower responsible for tight money,! Bell saide "The one-time New York Banking Superintendent under former Governor Thomas E. Dewey also called for selective credit controlse The Reserve's 'crude' overall restraints, said Bell, have unfairly hit small business and home building while 'the big corporation is not affected at all.' This view echoes private observations of the Eisenhower inner circle." The Bell view, did not, however, get echoed in public observations of Undersecretary of the Treasury Randolph Burgess when he spoke to the same bankers convention the next day. Mr. Burgess, reported the Wall St0 Journal http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -17°^ September 2h> said the Administration had "assured the Federal Reserve System its freedom to exercise independent judgment in its monetary policy." He said a Federal Economic Council such as suggested by Mr, Bell "was unnecessary*" (The following day, however, Mr. Bell's suggestion was "supported," according to the N« Y0 Times, by another speaker at the same convention: T. V, Houser, Chairman of Sears, Roebuck. The Times reported October 2£ that Mr. Houser contended "monetary policy isn?t consistent in its impact," and that "it operates only on the employer side of the ledger and restrains labor only through an adverse effect on the employer.") With election day only a couple of weeks away, Representative Patman moved back into the news October 25> with, once more, an "announcement of an investigation," The Wall St, Journal quoted Mr. Patman as saying his Joint Economic subcommittee would "reopen its investigation of Federal Reserve policies with one day of hearings in December." This time, said Mr. Patman, the undertaking would be "to find out whether the trend toward higher interest rates 'has already gone too far1 and whether the use of monetary devices has 'failed1 as an economic stabilization device." The paper pointed out that"Democrats had criticized the latest discount rate boost and !tight money1 policies*" While Administration officials were "openly critical of the Federal Reserve's approval of a general increase in the discount rate last April," the Journal added, they "did not comment publicly on the latest hike in August. However, Administration leaders privately opposed the action." The election was held November 60 The Wall St. Journal rolled out its early editions even before the early returns began coming inc Conscious that some old controversies never die, the Journal, without feeling it needed to wait for the election outcome, filled the feature space on its editorial page with a confident prediction: "The voters yesterday ended the political campaign. But the fighting over one of the main domestic issues may have just begun. "The cause of the fighting is money. The immediate stake in the battle is the independence of the Federal Reserve Board, And the skirmishing is likely to take place at both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue, in Congress and in the Executive Offices concerned with this highly volatile subject . 0 0 Certainly the invasion forces are already sending skirmishers out." http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis —END- '>^£&*-*-' --~- Fl D E R -A- L R K S E R V E ; D :i s E C T 0 R S ^ ^ The Federal Reserve Board today announced the names of Class C directors for the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Richmond, St. Louis and Minneapolis. The names of Class C directors for the other banks of the system will be announced at an early date. In selecting the directors the Board has made the utmost effort to weigh and compare the merits of all those whose names were presented to it. It has also inquired into the qualifications of all other suitable men as to whom it could get information, to the end that in every case the best might be chosen. Llembers of the Board have made special jour- neys for the purpose of investigating conditions in various Federal Reserve cities and of ascertaining facts regarding those who were being considered; by the Board. In other instances persons have been invited to Washington for consultation. In each case the Board has endeavored to assure itself that the mr.n selected is able to comply with the requirements of the Federal Reserve Act, is a man of ability, and has the confidence of the banking and business community in which he is placed. So far as reasonably possible, geographical considerations have been taken into account in order that different portions of each district might bo represented on the board of directors. The names of the directors announced and the main facts regarding each follow: MEW YORK PIERRE JAY, 'New York City, born 1870; banker; vice president, Old Colony Trust Coupany, Boston, Lass., 1903-05; Bank Commissioner of Massachusetts 1906-09} vice president, Bank of the Manhattan, Ne1-- York, 1909-14; is trustee or director of various financial institutions. Mas hfd special experience in investment and foreign exchanges, operations • Draftsd http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis bill for incorporation of credit unions in Massachusetts, -2; CHARLES STAREK, New York City, appointed national bank examiner March IS, 1903, At the time of his appointment was employed by Depart- ment of Commerce and Labor as a special accountant, resigned in 1911 to go to First National Bank, New York City. He was reappointed bank ex- aminer on August 3, 1912 and assigned tb New York* GEORGE FOSTER PEABODY, Lake George, N. Y.j born in Cblumbus, Gat, * July 27, 1852. Retired banker; Chairmah of the State of New York Reser- vation Commission at Saratoga and widely identified with educational and philanthropic work. ¥. McC. MARTIN, St. Louis, born in 1874; issippi Valley Trust Co., St. Louis, Missouri. Trust Officer of the MissVery considerable exper- ience as banker and trust officer and as careful student of banking methods. WALTER* -7. SIIITK, St. Louis, born January 19, 1877. Now national bank examiner for St. Louis, St. Joseph and surrounding districts. of the St. Louis Bar. A member Has had three years experience in accounting office of Missouri Pacific Railroad; nine years ivith Mississippi Valley Trust Company; three years as Assistant Chief Examiner, St. Louis Clearing House; appointed National Bank Examiner April 15, 1911. JOHN W. BOEHNE, Evansville , Ind . , born in Indiana Oct. 28, 1856; former member of Congress and a prominent manufacturer. Served as Council- man in City of Evansville four years j Mayor of Evansville three terms. BOSTON. FREDERIC H. CURTISS, Bos-con, Born Yonkers, New York, 1859; retired banker. Clerk in Broadway National Bank, Boston, 1891; Assistant Cashier 1393, Cashier, 1898; cashier and director Mass. National Bank, 1900; cashier a.nd director of Fir.st National Ba:;!:, Boston, 1903; Resigned, November http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1912. Member of executive committee, American Bankers Association, 1907, 1910. WALTER S. HACKNEY, Providence, R. I., born Aurora, 111., about 52 years of age; banker; manager credit department, Crane Company, Chicago latter part of that 'time acting treasurer; treasurer, General Fire Extinguisher Company, Providence, R. I.; twenty years director and member executive committee Rhod3 Island Fire Insurance Company; director, National Bank of Commerce, Providence] R* I;, last fifteen years* ALLEN HOLLIS, Concord, ft. H. , born Dedembei* 20, 1871; officer of Union Guaranty Savings Bank, Concord; counsel fbr Boston and Maine railroad rate cases for State of New Hampshire three years; president, Concord Electric Company. Hollis has been many years secretary of the Union Guaranty Savings Bank and the Union Trust Company of Concord. MINNEAPOLIS. JOHN H. RICH, Mayor of Red Wing, Minnesota, born 1852, ret.rred manufacturer and banker, for many years engaged in manufacture vitrified clay products at Red Wing; seven years president of Goodhue County National Bank at that place; retired from both positions about three years ago; was President, Minnesota Branch, National Citizens League, to which he devoted much time, PETER M. KERST, born 1869; Clearing House Examiner for Minneapolis and St. Paul, for the past seven years; had many years experience as cashier of a bank in St. Paul; was State bank examiner, and two years Superintendent of Banks for Minnesota. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -4JOHN W, BLACK, Houghton, Mich., born Jersey City, 1872. Vics- President and General Manager the M. Van Orden Coal Company, wholesale coal dealers, and a member of the Board of Control of the Michigan School of Mines. Came to Michigan in 1899 as Manager for contracting firm of Prendergast & Clarksoh. In 1901 helped organize the M. Van Orden Coal Company. . RICHMOND. WILLIAM INGLE, Baltimore, born in Baltimore in 1858; is now vice president, Merchants and Mechanics National Bark. Entered bank in a _^~--""^ clerical capacity in 1881 and has remained with that institution since that time being promoted in the bank to the position which he now holds. i JAMES A. TONCU^F, Richmond, born in Suffolk County, Va., about 53 years ago; educated in Suffolk County and Fredericksburg, Va.; moved to Richmond and engaged in general mercantile business until about fifteen years ago when he and his associates took over the Richmond Guano Company; at one time an alderman in the City of Richmond. M. F. H. GOUVERNEUR, Wilmington, N. C .•, member of the firm of Hugh MacRae and Company, Bankers, of Wilmington, North Carolina; has never held ^ublic office; is a great grandson of President Monroe. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis