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A PROPOSAL
With * view to reconciling the debt management problem of the
Treasury -with the problem of controlling credit by the Federal fSeoerre,
the Secretary of the Treaeury autfaoriaee the fiscal and technical etaffe
of hie departoeat to negotiate with the Federal Keaerve on the following
baeies
The purpoee of tide negotiation l» to reduce to a miniaua the creation
of beak reserves throu^i nonetixation of the paolle debt without creating a
nt&rteet pj^/chology »Malt would antail a lack of confidence in the etabllity
of the Go^ewsgieni eecuactttee narfcet* ^wre specifically the purpose of the
proposal i * to relieve the Federal Heaerve to tfoe f-ollcat extent practic5able
of the otipport of tomtom Government© ?dthoat coraj«ellirc the Treasury to
refinance maturing obligatiosjai teing this calendar year, or to finance nee
And roquireraente, on the baala of ijjdetersd.'iable rtaisg interest rate** "
Thie can be accorapliahfld within the fraaework of the 2-1/2% long-term interest
rate pattern announced by the Secretary of the Treasury in his addreee before
the Hew York Board of Trade an January 18*
The propaaal invalres 3 eleoente, (1) a new norsMtrketablo security to
tie issued in exehaoge for OHtetandiog lone-tens 2-0/5$ bond* of June mad
Beceraher, 19$M3» (2) refunding the $1*0 billion of a t t a i n t securities
between June 15 and T*o©nber 35 of this ye*r, and (3) the raising of new
fande to finance the poreeeRt «ergsney«
fhs&m elctnamts* *tiiX# inteirelated, will be dealt with s^parate^ #

ixcmiics wtmom or nMKsssnsn s ^

BBH> rot

QSmiypIliS !®fflXeiE0 BBSI50ST B03DB CF 256?~T^*
I& €<maidw«*iafi of am agrts«gis£ on th* part of the Ft*fer&l B&surw
to maintain a eSfcs&S# weurLtU* msffcrt* &# saom « p M i f i ^ l l y entUned




~2 ~
below, tlw geeretsry of the Tm&mxy wouM agree t e issue a 2**p4ma
29-year 2-3A^ iwmarketable security, isfeieh wuld not be redeemable by
' the freaa&iy prior t e m«feaaril%# hut sblefe « ^ d d he

ttotafMfel*

prier t o

isatsiri^ fur !*&/%% $^mat Tmmm&y Betes* Ibm pm*pm® of thin offteriag
m M he (a) to r e t i r e a Img* segment of tfc* ®Sf4^rfcil&e iebt* sftdtfe i s
BOW cMudJENC diffie&alties fbr the FaiSeml Beserve* and (h) provide a degree
of f l e x i b i l i t y fear holders of ^ e mm mmmim&M&

MMwllgr hgr naMaag theia

exchangeable for a 3*3/2$ 5-f^iar note tliat crcmM tit soM cm tbs Biar&et i n ease c
cash fund* arc needed* At the s ^ e tine i t avoid© an increase in the cteaand
obligations of the treasury•
One ef the MBit* of the p?epessl i s that i t «ndda a prejsitfgiitg of
th« securities market. I t i s beli«red t h a t t h i s exchange privilege would
give bojereoey te the r e s t r i e t e i f**SMSity bonis ef lf6?~1f0 sinee the < *lchto"
or exchange privilege would he attractive to lomg-tewi inventors she ami
more interested in interest return thasn they are In speculative p o s s i b i l i t i e s .
Thus, there w*mid be created a b\iyers f narket for the restricted Treasury bonds
of 196?~?2# aM t e t h i s s&tent afaeaWE relieve tfas Federal Reserve of a great
ileal of pressure.

OmmirzMy-t i f iiarfeet omfiiimim

«8u2d be restored tlirmi^t

an msecp^voeal joint aia^iiiaeiiertt by the fi^sawtry aad Fedter^l ^ ^ f i

that

m ti^tmmmk had been roadbed* the present ssadost stapport problem of the
Federal asserts might disappear*
I t i s realised* of course* that ecmsidtratlofi HDUM have to be given
by the technical staffs of the Xpcasuxy ami the F^dedral leserve as to the
effect of t h i s aetloit on ether mit#tasdtog igarteetsble ssctiritiee in the
Intermediate and lon^>-t©mi area*




/

!

•

-3Do order to pawide for t5tia jaropoisal a fair aM reaaona&Le testing
period, I t mmM be nettMmgr for ifee Federal deserve to agree to sup?5ort
the eecuriti*a affected at pre cent yuai^e t levelst

Ir. a spirit of cooperation

tlie Federal Kseeerve and ^m Treasury ^ould become partners in the support
program under which each agency would take a pro rata slrnre of aaqr purehaeea
that sagr be required) that i% Hie Fedteral Reserve Open Market Aocouat
would take a percentage of tht purchases and the treaairy nould take tot
balance for Qcnmrmmit inveetaent aceotsnt* f t haa been suggested, for
inatance, that the firat §200 million pm^kmrnsA w$$m? the agr*«a*at would
be shared equally by the Treasuiy and the Federal ftwerve } tlmt the Treasury
and Federal Seeerre would finance 75^ ajori £$$$ rei^pectively > of the eueeeediag
#»00 urUllonj a&d that the Treaeory wsould carry the full amwt.£» eaceeee
of ffitJO laiHion* This would mmm to be a reaeonabl* ba*t * of rwcha ee
during * teeting period, but t h e » i s m inherent danger In the event
of a *leak* that the Reserve l a ccsmi tted to a stated amount* While 1
%
ia realised that the Federal Reserve a&ejbt not be wi lling to accept an
n

vpm end** agrfcersent, i t stust be recogni?5ed that public tonwledge of a

itaitation wuuld not mmmm^b .^rket cenfidtence*




-jnracai» or n s tto KCUIOR OF MASIUMG S&WROTES
fascist jrom x? ASP memos. 25 or turs TS*K
OGLB
C RO

tb» 6 atntht period* Jtae 1$ - IS^^^©r 25* tbt I S ^ a t f j

w i l l bo n ^ b r t d to m t o i ^lnoat fliG tdllioa* of sfetusl&g oblip&icma*
«deeCbndbP» of froat&ry- bill** Hnooeo© of tids refte«Sjsg dataadtai eoitfidtenao
to tltf* *t*ybili% of tiwi Qomvxntai seoOTtt&ot maitet* fhartfovt* i t 1*
imperative that the Treasury and tb* Federal 9mmnm reacli an agreemmt
on it mon*t*ry-«tebt policy for ti»e balatioe of the calerxiar year, at le&at*
Obviously, thie preptm t l e ^ i net b& «w»ribmmft witii anoartelBtGr* mim»
understanding, and tbt prospect of rising interest rates* In nsturn far
an xariertttniiiftg that thv F&tlaral Reserve woxtld maintain a stable prico
level during thi» period of f infl^cing oo that the Treasury w o l d not be
inquired to f iriance on & rising interest rate, the TreacPiuy mi^fe* agree
to m poliugr mder whdeh the Wmimml mmrm wmxld £Bm tlit i^mzMmm
tamrlt&aa MQrftePt to ®ajm«t i t s e l f befo» jfeat 3j£ around tbt &*3/ls^ dSj«N^«t
smtt fwr prwmilii^#

Fw» tbt !Braa«tixy point of vi«r i t mwild be dtalrablt

to tsetend th&t period of •tabi2i,tgr for the to&tlon of the tntfvitmg^tart i t
I t cfe^tlttl *b*tii*r tlit ftedtemi Wmrnrm *oul& be «123i»g to

tamAt/fimSLt

that far ahead* m tlit othtr band* i f a ®\mm? wm$$m r e l a M ^ ^ i p eoald
be established between the technical stoffe of the Pedoral Rosorro and tbe
Treaau3T# i t may bo poaeible to anggoa* m program of sjanetar^^-ctebt xaaimgeoent
ifhioh might be acceptable to the poUcy*«akinp; ofriciala*




-5On t&e ba*L# a£ 13* |img4*tt*» budget eptiimtee, acd witixrat asking
i32immm So* an iaew«a» £itsa sew iase*, I t la estI»a%Bd t£*£ opr borro«Sjag«
firas thin tiae to June ynt 13%2 will sespast to i^ppaaeliM^^r $83 blUiori,
distributed as tollatemt m? V)$\ fgj£ billinai JvOy t ^ ^ billior»|
Ootobtr 57^5 billiwij April 19!^2 f$«fc billi-vn, llasne figuree rak»

y
la *Mitij*i to th* cwh <*ttcit • Si* lipePM a t * * ** *»***i % *
fWirHiifHwit wti&BSM bonds uitwzi'ta «TK! A xwialan of thft viAlida oa Timmn w

Cfrnfersssoeo with & • Fodoral Tfceserra on t&* teeiinieal l«rv«l nl^ht b©
halpfxil In IqrtaK out a jnigNM of debt exposition l a order th*t the Wmmm
m& mmMm? ttffflLf m full imfeNr «ltfe tr,c fnmiaQr in minUiiJiinf a Ptarket
S&r t&o oBoi&l%l#fi i£tR»* tiiey Iww b&&* !##&©&•
I t i s £tm*mlty mmm&m& t£*t t b u * are no mibstantial onmKfc* # T
J
a®s>-£*tf& ftmtls m&k&u: irrvestemt at t3i* pr*Nn& tin£ # Scut people aiem
to %M$k Umt Mmm wUX t * funte o t ^ f e c
otlsor «mr«tt of immfamA

fe^^^^

«t»tilx» thio ftSX after

hmm- ^m3$m&* i t wre&i « « thai t b » e «ra2d tso

m naod at tfeta tin* to afttttpi to ssv^tttftga €te laarisai « far ahead or to
mmmm that tht 2~$/3$ 2@®$*%mm **te awttaBiod l a the 4te&s-*7 18 a&drese
v i l l not be &pprs|ttdato* Tb€HneTor«j» i f m joint aiint>iaae^ient of th® Tr^ajsiirj"
«D*I t>3» F«d»ral H«»«rv© i m M bo agreed nmnp KtUi a riaw to i w ^ t n ^ H i ^ ^
n«*«t confid)©nae, r*£mnmm *ii-ht bt -mde to tl^ f aet t>«at tlMi Sertee G bond
or the Ijavogtawnt P«ries Bwid ismued in X9fc7 ^l^ht he mm$m available for




. £ ptm&mm ty non-bank investors frssa t i s e to tdiae, the purpose of this
reference being to indicate that there hae not been abwxJoneent of the
poUey gUtewent in the January 13 addreoe,
UMle tise following HdLg&t a^seaer arK&dy eptlaiatic, and wralri, of
eeetf*e» etapeni * great deal upon U» effectiT«aae«e of eeleetiTO controls
•ad otfaer f*etam effecting the aaraileMlitsr erf iiweetwente* thieve i e ft

to iti ewnetltlre; mam of the public debt T*iich I t near holde, and sey eaakle
the Treasury to ftcatuire new nosey by eeHing in the swnrifcet eotae of the
reetaricted 2-0/2* bead* of 1967-72 prerieuely acquired fW Gov*rre*ent