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https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Collection: Paul A. Volcker Papers Call Number: MC279 Box 3 Preferred Citation: Chronological Correspondence: October 22-30, 1981; Paul A. Volcker Papers, Box 3; Public Policy Papers, Department of Rare Books and Special Collections, Princeton University Library Find it online: http://fmdingaids.princeton.edu/collections/MC279/c40 and https://fraser.sdouisfed.org/archival/5297 The digitization ofthis collection was made possible by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. From the collections of the Seeley G. Mudd Manuscript Library, Princeton, NJ These documents can only be used for educational and research purposes ("fair use") as per United States copyright law. By accessing this file, all users agree that their use falls within fair use as defined by the copyright law of the United States. 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Mudd Manuscript Library 65 Olden Street Princeton, NJ 08540 609-258-6345 609-258-3385 (fax) mudda,princeton.edu https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 30, 1981 The Honorable Jake Garn United States Senate Washington, D.C. 20510 Dear Senator Cam: aB/TEA/RS:wja My colleagues and I on the Board of Governors want to thank you for agreeing to speak at the evening session of our Conference of Chairmen and Deputy Chairmen of the Federal Reserve Banks on Thursday, December 3 at the Watergate Hotel. We will begin with cocktails at approximately 6:00 p.m., but dinner doesn't start until 7:00, and I think it would be fine if you could arrive any time during the reception. We also understand that during that particular evening, you may be required to vote on the Senate floor. To handle that contingency, we will arrange to have one of our cars and a driver at your disposal for the evening. As you are aware, each Federal Reserve Bank and branch has a board of directors comprising a wide occupational diversification including banking, manufacturing, education, agriculture, and the service industries. The Chairmen and Deputy Chairmen of the Banks play a particularly important leadership role in the System as well as in their own communities and industries. I have enclosed a current list of the Conference's participants -all of whom I expect will attend -- for your information. = m s_ c Lf vs 0 0 E s_ r•-•• C.) For the December meeting, we traditionally invite several additional directors who will be designated as Chairmen or Deputy Chairmen for the next year as well a few of the senior Board staff, so there will be about forty individuals in attendance. I am sure that they would be interested in any topic or issue that you would wish to discuss from your vantage point as Chairman of the Banking Committee. The program will be informal, totally off the record, with no media representation. I greatly appreciate your planning to join us. 0 • Sincerely, • • 0 s_ s_ s_ ALW •-• Enclosure https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis P. 1 CHAIRMEN AND DEPUTY CHAIRMEN OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS 1981 Bank Chairmen Deputy Chairmen Boston Mr. Robert P. Henderson Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Itek Corporation 10 Maguire Road Lexington, Massachusetts 02173 Mr. Thomas I. Atkins General Counsel National Association for the Advancement of Colored People 1790 Broadway New York, New York 10019 New York Robert H. Knight, Esq. Partner Shearman and Sterling, Attorneys 53 Wall Street New York, New York 10005 Dr. Boris Yavitz Dean Graduate School of Business 101 Jris Hall Columbia University New York, New York 10027 Philadelphia Mr. John W. Eckman Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Rorer Group Inc. 500 Virginia Drive Fort Washington, Pennsylvania Dr. Jean A. Crockett Chairman Professor of Finance Department of Finance Wharton School University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19034 19104 Cleveland Mr. J. L. Jackson Executive Vice President and President - Coal Unit Diamond Shamrock Corporation 1200 First Security Plaza Lexington, Kentucky 40507 Mr. William H. Knoell President and Chief Executive Officer Cyclops Corporation 650 Washington Road Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15228 Richmond Mr. Maceo A. Sloan Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer North Carolina Mutual Life Insurance Company Mutual Plaza Durham, North Carolina 27701 Dr. Steven Muller President The Johns Hopkins University Charles and 34th Streets Baltimore, Maryland 21218 Atlanta Mr. William A. Fickling, Jr. Chairman and Chief Executive Charter Medical Corporation P.O. Box 209 Macon, Georgia 31202 Mr. John H. Weitnauer, Jr. Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Richway P.O. Box 50359 Atlanta, Georgia 30302 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis P. 2 • CHAIRMEN AND DEPUTY CHAI.MEN OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS 1981 Bank Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Chairmen Deputy Chairmen 1/ Mr. John Sagan _ Vice President - Treasurer Ford Motor Company The American Road Dearborn, Michigan 48121 Mr. Armand C. Stalnaker Chairman of the Board General American Life Insurance Co. P.O. Box 396 St. Louis, Missouri 63166 2/ Mr. Stephen F. Keating — Midwest Plaza Building Suite 1930 801 Nicollet Avenue Minneapolis, Minnesota 55402 Mr. Stanton R. Cook President Tribune Company 435 North Michigan Avenue Chicago, Illinois 60611 Mr. William B. Walton Vice Chairman of the Board Emeritus Holiday Inns, Inc. 1052 Brookfield Road Memphis, Tennessee 38117 Mr. William G. Phillips Chairman and Chief Executive Officer International Multifoods 1200 Multifoods Building Minneapolis, Minnesota 55402 Kansas City Mr. Paul H. Henson Chairman United Telecommunications, Inc. (MAILING ADDRESS: United Telecom, Box 11315, Kansas City, Missouri 64112) Dr. Doris M. Drury Professor of Economics: Director of Public Affairs Program - University of Denver 10879 E. Powers Drive Englewood, Colorado 80111 Dallas Mr. Gerald D. Hines Owner Gerald D. Hines Interests 2100 Post Oak Tower Houston, Texas 77056 (MAILING ADDRESS: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Station K, Dallas, Texas 75222) Mr. John V. James Chairman of the Board Dresser Industries, Inc. P.O. Box 718 Dallas, Texas 75221 San Francisco 3/ Mr. Cornell C. Maier Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer Kaiser Aluminum & Chemical Corp. 300 Lakeside Drive Oakland, California 94643 Mrs. Caroline L. Ahmanson Chairman of the Board Caroline Leonetti, Ltd. c/o Mrs. Howard Ahmanson 9500 Wilshire Boulevard Belerly Hills, California 1/ Member, Executive Committee, Conference of Chairmen 2/ Chairman, Executive Committee, Conference of Chairmen -I/ Vice Chairman, Executive Committee, Conference of Chairmen https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 90212 October 30, 1981 The Hoorable Jake Garn ted States Senate achington, D.C. 20510 JMB/TEA/RS:wja Dear Senator Cam: >, cclleaues and I on the Board of Governors want to thank you to speak at the evening session of our Conference of Chairmen Ca:r.Ten of the Federal Reserve Banks on Thursday, December 3 rcate Hotel. We will begin with cocktails at approximately Le hut z::nrier doesn't start until 7:00, and I think it would be if you could arrive any time during the reception. We also understand • durin tat particular evening, you may be required to vote on the >ncttt floor. To handle that contingency, we will arrange to have one of cars and a driver at your disposal for the evening. As you are aware, each Federal Reserve Bank and branch has a ard o Ciroctors ccx:rprising a wide occupational diversification including ranoracturing, education, agriculture, and the service industries. 2r1 and Deputy Chairmen of the Banks play a particularly important ,dersip role in the System as well as in their own communities and inI av enclosed a current list of the Conference's participants all of whom I expect will attend -- for your information. For the December meetino, we traditionally invite several addie:Qqa1 e: k,ctors ;';..o will be designated as Chairmen or Deputy Chairmen for .;,,ar as well a few of the senior Board staff, so there will be aout forty individuals in attendance. I am sure that they would be in• rasted in a.,y topic or issue that you would wish to discuss from your vantge paint as ChairPan of the Banking Committee. The program will be totally off the record, with no media representation. it$ 0 tr) tt) 0 - (1) •r- E I 2reatly appreciate your planning to join us. r 0 r- C •r- r- S(-) S- Sincerely, > 2_41A 41. Epclosure https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis P. 1 CHAIRMEN AND DEPUTY CHAIRMEN OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS 1981 Bank Chairmen Deputy Chairmen Boston Mr. Robert P. Henderson Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Itek Corporation 10 Maguire Road Lexington, Massachusetts 02173 Mr. Thomas I. Atkins General Counsel National Association for the Advancement of Colored People 1790 Broadway New York, New York 10019 New York Robert H. Knight, Esq. Partner Shearman and Sterling, Attorneys 53 Wall Street New York, New York 10005 Dr. Boris Yavitz Dean Graduate School of Business 101 2ris Hall Columbia University New York, New York 10027 Philadelphia Mr. John W. Eckman Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Rorer Group Inc. 500 Virginia Drive Fort Washington, Pennsylvania Dr. Jean A. Crockett Chairman Professor of Finance Department of Finance Wharton School University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104 Cleveland Mr. J. L. Jackson Executive Vice President and President - Coal Unit Diamond Shamrock Corporation 1200 First Security Plaza Lexington, Kentucky 40507 Mr. William H. Knoell President and Chief Executive Officer Cyclops Corporation 650 Washington Road Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15228 Richmond Mr. Maceo A. Sloan Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer North Carolina Mutual Life Insurance Company Mutual Plaza Durham, North Carolina 27701 Dr. Steven Muller President The Johns Hopkins University Charles and 34th Streets Baltimore, Maryland 21218 Atlanta Mr. William A. Fickling, Jr. Chairman and Chief Executive Charter Medical Corporation P.O. Box 209 Macon, Georgia 31202 Mr. John H. Weitnauer, Jr. Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Ricbway P.O. Box 50359 Atlanta, Georgia 30302 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 00, 19034 P. 2 CHAIRMEN AND DEPUTY CHAI'MEN OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS 1981 Bank Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Deputy Chairmen Chairmen 1/ Mr. John Sagan — Vice President - Treasurer Ford Motor Company The American Road Dearborn, Michigan 48121 Mr. Armand C. Stalnaker Chairman of the Board General American Life Insurance Co. P.O. Box 396 St. Louis, Missouri 63166 2/ Mr. Stephen F. Keating - Midwest Plaza Building Suite 1930 801 Nicollet Avenue Minneapolis, Minnesota 55402 Mr. Stanton R. Cook President Tribune Company 435 North Michigan Avenue Chicago, Illinois 60611 Mr. William B. Walton Vice Chairman of the Board Emeritus Holiday Inns, Inc. 1052 Brookfield Road Memphis, Tennessee 38117 Mr. William G. Phillips Chairman and Chief Executive Officer International Multifoods 1200 Multifoods Building Minneapolis, Minnesota 55402 Kansas City Mr. Paul H. Henson Chairman United Telecommunications, Inc. (MAILING ADDRESS: United Telecom, Box 11315, Kansas City, Missouri 64112) Dr. Doris M. Drury Professor of Economics: Director of Public Affairs Program - University of Denver 10879 E. Powers Drive Englewood, Colorado 80111 Dallas Mr. Gerald D. Hines Owner Gerald D. Hines Interests 2100 Post Oak Tower Houston, Texas 77056 (MAILING ADDRESS: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Station K, Dallas, Texas 75222) Mr. John V. James Chairman of the Board Dresser Industries, Inc. P.O. Box 718 Dallas, Texas 75221 San Francisco 3/ Mr. Cornell C. Maier - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer Kaiser Aluminum & Chemical Corp. 300 Lakeside Drive Oakland, California 94643 Mrs. Caroline L. Ahmanson Chairman of the Board Caroline Leonetti, Ltd. c/o Mrs. Howard Ahmanson 9500 Wilshire Boulevard BeVerly Hills, California 1/ Member, Executive Committee, Conference of Chairmen 2/ Chairman, Executive Committee, Conference of Chairmen 7/ Vice Chairman, Executive Committee, Conference of Chairmen https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 90212 AI October 30, 1981 Professor Henry Alsobrook Asst. Professor of Economics Lambuth College Sackson, Tennessee Dear Professor Alsobrook: Thanks for sending me your suggestions. After looking at them I will forward them to interested members of the staff for their review. Sincerely, RS:tn https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 30, 1981 Ar. Carl A. Baumann President Kentucky Kitchens ex Millwork Supply, Inc. 1046 Searcy Way Bowling Green, Kentucky 42101 Dear Mr. Baumann: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on the economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, 3Fsevjj #3977 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 30, 1981 Mr. Howard H. Bestul Howard H. Bestul Realty, Ltd. Box 251 Iola, Wisconsin 54945 Dear ,,Ir.Bestul: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high Inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. the only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BF:evjj #3934 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis )ctober 30, 1981 Mr. Carig A. Christensen Dear Mr. Christensen: Thank you for your letter expressing the problems encountered by both you and your family as a result of high interest rates. I sincerely regret the difficulties you expressed. These are very troubling times, and I am not insensitive to the problems experienced by many individuals. A substantial and lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing inflation down. As monetary and fiscal policies work to reduce long term inflation, it is my hope that we can all look forward to a healthier economy and lower interest rates. I know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is my wish that things will be better for you in the future. fervent Sincerely, BFsevjj #3964 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 30, 1981 Ms. Mary Anne Gottfried Dear Ms. Gottfried: Thank you for your letter expressing the problems high interest rates have caused you and your family. I sincerely regret the difficulties you expressed. These are very troubling times, and I am not insensitive to the problems experienced by many individuals. A substantial and lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing inflation down. As monetary and fiscal policies work to reduce long term inflation, it is my hope that we can all look forward to a healthier economy and lower interest rates. I know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is my fervent wish that things will be better for you in the future. Sincerely, BFxvjj #4021 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 30, 1981 Mr. Ray J. Greene, President Classified International Advertising Services, Inc. 3211 North 74th Avenue Hollywood, Florida 33024 Dear Mr. Greene: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 13Ftevjj #4465 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • October 30, 1981 \it% Lee Hardy Dear Mr. Hardy: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, Ftev jj 04380 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis .1j, 1981 Ar. Tweed Hunter Dear Mr. Hunter: Thank you for your letter urging that substantial down payment be required on all credit purchases. I appreciate your suggestion; however, our experience with credit controls last year only confirmed our view regarding the difficulties with any attempts to allocate credit or intervene substantially in the credit decisions of private lenders. To have lower interest rates and a more stable economy, we must have a sustained reduction in inflation, and monetary and fiscal policies must work to achieve these objectives. I appreciate your writing. Sincerely, 31::evjj lertr+ , https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy '7Colfe )orothy Saunders October 30, 1981 Ms. Nancy A. Katzen Laura of Dallas, Inc. 1402 North Peak Street Dallas, Texas 75204 Dear Ms. Katzen: Thank you for your letter expressing the effects high interest rates have had on you, your suppliers, and your customers. I sincerely regret the difficulties you expressed. These are very troubling times, and I am not insensitive to the problems experienced by many Individuals. A substantial and lasting Improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing inflation down. As monetary and fiscal policies work to reduce long term inflation, it is my hope that we can all look forward to a healthier economy and lower interest rates. I know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is my fervent wish that things will be better for you in the future. Sincerely, jj cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy 'Wolfe 'Iorothy Saunders October 30, 1981 Mr. and Mrs. Jospeh A. Ladau Dear Mr. and Mrs. Ladau: Thank you for your letter expressing your concern over the effects high interest rates have had on home buyers, and the problems the high interest rates have caused you. I sincerely regret the difficulties you expressed. These are very troubling times, and I am not insensitive to the problems experienced by many individuals. A substantial and lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing inflation down. As monetary and fiscal policies work to reduce long term inflation, it is my hope that we can all look forward to a healthier economy and lower interest rates. I know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is my fervent wish that things will be better for you in the future. Sincerely, BF:evjj #3970 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 30, 1981 Mr. 3. 3. Lux Dear 'Ir. Lux: Thanks for sending me your postcard regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BFrevn #3119 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 30, 1981 Mr. Harry Nonken Nonken Plaza Properties Rt. 3, Box 626 Marble Falls, Texas 786)4 Dear Mr. Nonken: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While 1 understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BF:evii #40I4 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 30, 1981 Ms. Loretta L. See St. Clair Floral & Gift Shop 9101 St. Clair Avenue Fairview Heights, Illinois 62208 Dear \is. See: Thank you for your letter expressing your dissatisfaction with the state of the economy and the high interest rates. I sincerely regret the difficulties you expressed. These are very troubling times, and I am not insensitive to the problems experienced by many individuals. A substantial and lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing inflation down. As monetary and fiscal policies work to reduce long term inflation, it is my hope that we can all look forward to a healthier economy and lower interest rates. I know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is my fervent wish that things will be better for you in the future. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4092 CC; https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy I/olfe Dorothy Saunders October 30, 1981 Mr. Johnson B. Stearns President Citizens State Bank Lincoln County Branch Carrizozo, New 'ilexico 83301 Dear Mr. Stearns: Thank you for your letter expressing concern over the effects some high yield investments are having on the economy. From your letter's tone, I believe you are referring essentially to money market funds. 'Ve at the Federal Reserve understand the concerns that prompted your message. The question you raised about money market mutual funds is an important one involving several complicated and conflicting considerations. "vioney market funds have grown rapidly. Being free from many constraints to which banks and thrift institutions are subject, particularly interest rate ceilings, a significant portion of the money flowing into these funds has been diverted from depository institutions. It is apparent that the availability of these funds has benefited investors, but there are obvious costs. The money funds, tend, for example, to divert resources from smaller banks and thrifts, in effect channeling money away from borrowers dependent on these institutions. This is a matter of concern to the Federal Reserve, as we do not take lightly the erosion of the competitive position of our banks and thrifts or of regulatory coverage. Also, with continued rapid growth, these funds and other new instruments could make monetary policy more difficult to implement. The government is taking a number of steps to reduce regulation of banks and thrift institutions. Most significantly, Congress has charged the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee to remove interest rate ceilings on time and savings deposits over the next several years. These steps should, over time, improve the competitive position of traditional depository institutions, but there are legal and practical limits on the speed of change in this area. In this circumstance there are those who call for imposition of stringent regulation on money market funds. However, this approach would significantly penalize savers, and we think it is important to maintain attractive incentives for saving. At another extreme, there is a temptation for government to do nothing at all. This course involves some potential disadvantages for small businesses and other borrowers dependent on non-money center banks. It would, as well, lead to an erosion of the Federal Reserve's ability to interpret monetary data and to control the money supply. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 30, 1981 Is. Nina Stern Abundant Supply 1706 E. 2nd Edmond, Oklahoma 73034 Dear kAs. Stern: Thank you for your postcard regarding the effects of high interest rates on the economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control Inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj 3996 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Page Two The Federal Reserve has proposed an approach designed to (I) provide the framework for fair competition between the money market mutual funds and established depository institutions,(2) protect against erosions in our ability to measure and control money stock, and (3) maintain attractive incentives for saving. Simply stated, that proposal involves the extension of Federal Reserve requirements to a portion of these funds that correspond most closely to transactions or checking accounts. It would not affect investments in money funds to the extent they more closely resemble personal savings, because as mentioned we believe it is important to encourage personal savings, and it would not entail extension of other banking regulations for these funds. In time, as interest rate ceilings are phased out, and as the constellation of interest rates change, the relative advantages and disadvantages of money market funds vis-a-vis depository institutions would reflect market competition. Meanwhile individuals and businesses would continue to have a full range of investment choices. This proposal is straightforward and simple. It is not an effort to turn back the clock or stifle a new institution in any sense, but to provide a logical framework for the evolution of the nation's financial system compatible with the needs of public policy. I am sure you will understand that much more could be said about so complex a subject, and I appreciate your interest. Sincerely, t3F:evjj 114243 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 30, 1981 Mr. Ted Stone Dear Mr. Stone: Thank you for your letter regarding the problems high interest rates have caused your father-in-law. I sincerely regret the difficulties you expressed. These are very troubling times, and I am not insensitive to the problems experienced by many individuals. A substantial and lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing inflation down. As monetary and fiscal policies work to reduce long term inflation, it is my hope that we can all look forward to a healthier economy and lower interest rates. I know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is my fervent wish that things will be better for you in the future. Sincerely, BF:evij 3280 CC2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 30, 1981 Mr. Robert Sullins Sullins Companies 1164 W. Pioneer Parkway Arlington, Texas 76013 near Mr. Sullins: Thank you for your correspondence urging that large mandatory payments be required on credit purchases. I appreciate your suggestion; down however, our experience with credit controls last year only confirmed our view regarding the difficulties with any attempts to allocate credit or intervene substantially in the credit decisions of private lenders. To have lower interest rates and a more stable economy, we must have a sustained reduction in inflation, and monetary and fiscal policies must work to achieve these objectives. I appreciate your writing. Sincerely, liFtevjj f74083 CC: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders F October 30, 1981 Mr. L. Carlton Tyson President Ty-Par Realty, Inc. Post Office Box 763 Monroe, North Carolina 28110 Dear ',ir. Tyson: Thank you for your letter expressing the problems high interest rates have caused you and the employees of your realty firm. I sincerely regret the difficulties you expressed. These are very troubling times, and I am not insensitive to the problems experienced by many individuals. A substantial and lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing inflation down. As monetary and fiscal policies work to reduce long term inflation, it is my hope that we can all look forward to a healthier economy and lower interest rates. I know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is my fervent wish that things will be better for you in the future. Sincerely, BNev ji #4022 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 30, 1931 Mr. Leonard J. Williams Williams .3c Huffman, P.A. Suite 206 8520 Connecticut Avenue Chevy Chase, Maryland 20815 Dear Mr. Williams: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands conthined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it Is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BF:evil 413949 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 30, 1981 Professor Xenophon Zolotas Bank of Greece P.O. Box 105 21, El. Venizelos Avenue Athens, Greece Deer Professor Zolotas: On behalf of the Board of Governors, I extend sincere best wishes as you leave the Bank of Greece. We have appreciated the spirit of friendship which has prevailed between our two Institutions during your long tenure as Governor. We have benefitted from your insights and contributions on a wide range of International policy issues. We hope to continue hearing your views on these important topics. We wish you every success in your future endeavors. Sincerely, Paul A. Volclker 10/30/81 KH8:pa bcc: Mrs. Mallardi Mr. Truman Mr. Siegman Mr. Spencer Ms. Lockhart Ms. Brown October 29, 1981 Mr. Eric B. Anderson Branch Manager Metal Supply Company 6870 North Fathom Portland, Oregon 97217 Dear Mr. Anderson: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, 11Ftev jj #4048 CC2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. Gerasimos Arsenis Governor Rank of Greece P.O. Box 105 21, EL Venizelos Avenue Athens, Greece Dear Governor Arsenis: On behalf of the Board of Governors, I extend sincere coneratulations on your appointment as Governor of the hank of Greece. Our two institutions have a history of friendship and cooperation, and we look forward to the continuation of those relations in the years ahead. Best wishes for a successful term in office. Sincerely, Paul A. VoIcicer 10/29/81 KM8:pa bcc; Mrs. iiallardi Mr. Truman Mr. Siegman Ms. Lockhart Mr. Spenser Mrs. Brown October 29, 1981 Mr. Wendell L. Esplin Dear Mr. Esplin: Thank you for your letter requesting the effects high interest rates are having on your ability to purchase a home. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation In interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement In interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:ev jj 04352 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. Donald W. Barragree Barragree's Rent-All 1500 S. Broadway Salina, Kansas 67401 Dear Mr. Barragree: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BFsevjj #4427 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. John E. Bazle Dear Mr. Bazle: Thank you for your letter requesting that I work to lower the interest rates. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. a However, substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; It must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4066 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Mr. Clyde E. Blakenship :entury 21/Blankenship Realty, Inc. 10306 Lincoln Trail Fairview Heights, Illinois 62208 Dear Mr. Blankenship: Thank you for your letter expressing your confusion as to the "point spread" between the prime rate and the Consumer Price Index. I am aware of the problems high interest rates have caused, and I understand the concerns that prompted you to write. I recognize that interest rates remain high despite recent reductions in the inflation rate reflected in the Consumer Price Index. However, the current interest rates reflect the deeply embedded expectation that prices will continue to climb, and not simply the current inflation rate measured in the CPI. In other words, lenders are reluctant to commit their funds without being compensated for the declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment; similarly, borrowers are willing to accept these high rates because they expect to repay the loans in cheaper dollars. In short, inflation and the expectation of continued inflation are causing high interest rates, and not the other way around. Since maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. For their part in the fight against inflation, the Administration and Congress have proposed many and realized some essential cuts in Federal spending. As their fiscal policies, complemented by the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, work to strengthen the economy, it is our fervent hope that we will all see lower interest rates in the future. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Thank you again for taking the time to write. Sincerely, October 29, 1981 Mr. R. W. Bowers, President Dear Mr. Bowers: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, 13Fsevil #3945 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Mr. Ron Brewton Dear Mr. Brewton: Thank you for your letter asking that I explain the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, and its goals. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BFlevij 04437 CC: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Mr. Armand L. Buszko Southern Maryland Carpentry Rt. I, Box 5 Mechanicsville, Maryland 20659 Dear Mr. Buszko: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your building business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make It more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evij 14005 CC: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 'vit.. Russ Caswell Century 21-Wilson Realty 2401 S. 9th Street Salina, Kansas 67401 Dear Mr. Caswell: Thank you for your letter asking that I do something to lower the interest rates. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, anevjj #4452 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Mr. Clyde E. Chapman, CPrA Broker in Charge Heritage Real Estate Compnay, Inc. 123 By Pass Easley, South Carolina 29640 Dear Mr. Chapman: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of Interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make It more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4481 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 .is. Charlene Chaytor, Realtor Norman Kaye Real Estate Co. 4813 Paradise Road, #19 Las Vegas, Navada 89109 Dear Ms. Chaytor: Thank you for your letter expressing what you feel to be the effects high interest rates have had on the economy and the public's ability to maintain its necessities. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4046 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Mr. Jerry Dahlsten Director of Production and Transportation Hy-Way Asphalt Products, Inc. P.O. Box 206 Salina, Kansas 67401 Dear Mr. Dahlsten: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiInflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj 14448 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. Richard C. Duncan President Sun Ray Solar Systems 1136 Saranap Avenue Suite P Walnut Creek, California 94596 Dear Mr. Duncan: Thank you for your letter requesting that I attempt to lower interest rates to help enhance the affordability of solar energy systems. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj 4102 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Ms. Donna J. Elder Dear Mr. Elder: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on farmers, business people and individuals. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards any restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts In public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, 13Ftevij #4111 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 \Ir. George Fleeson CoId well Banker 3775 Citadel Drive North Colorado Springs, Colorado 80909 Dear Mr. Fleeson: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates having are on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj 114492 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. & virs. Morriss E. Foster Dear Mr. and Mrs. Foster: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest I understand the concerns that prompted your message. economy. rates on the I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards particular any growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiexcessive restraining be successful without such an effort. can program inflation In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the strong stable, to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in efforts necessary This situation is particularly difficult for those who are markets. financial market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation credit most vulnerable to for all of us will be much greater in the long run. problems under control the As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, :evjj https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy liolfe --lorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 J. DeWitt Fox, M.D. Neurologic Center 7080 Hollywood Boulevard Sixth Floor Los Angeles, California 90028 Dear Dr. Fox: Thank you for your letter regarding your problems collecting for your medical services due to high interest rates. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit inarket pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4027 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe ..)orothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Mr. John S. Frisby, President Nationwide Lending Group, Inc. One Central Plaza 11300 Rockville Pike Rockville, Maryland 20852 Dear Mr. Frisby: Thank you for your letter expressing concern over the point difference between the prime rate and the Consumer Price Index. I am aware of the problems high interest rates have caused, and I understand the concerns that prompted you to write. I recognize that interest rates remain high despite recent reductions in the inflation rate reflected in the Consumer Price Index. However, the current interest rates reflect the deeply embedded expectation that prices will continue to climb, and not simply the current inflation rate measured in the CPI. In other words, lenders are reluctant to commit their funds without being compensated for the declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment; similarly, borrowers are willing to accept these high rates because they expect to repay the loans in cheaper dollars. In short, inflation and the expectation of continued inflation are causing high interest rates, and not the other way around. Since maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. For their part in the fight against inflation, the Administration and Congress have proposed many and realized some essential cuts in Federal spending. As their fiscal policies, complemented by the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, work to strengthen the economy, it is our fervent hope that we will all see lower interest rates in the future. Thank you again for taking the time to write. Sincerely, liFsevjj 03972 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. W. Charles Gagon Vice President - Treasurer Ballou Construction Co., Inc. P.O. Box 206 Salina, Kansas 67401 Dear Mr. Gagon; Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in Inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, 3F:evjj 44479 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr.Fred Griffin Dear Mr. Griffin: Thank you for your letter expressing the effects high interest rates have had on the economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, F:ev jj d3967 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 0 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Nis. Lisa Helms Dear Ms. Helms: Thank you for your letter regarding the possibility of your not being able to realize "the American Dream" of major credit purchases due to continued high interest rates. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, EiFtevjj #4178 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Mr. Bill Hiner Bill Hiner and Company 3548 South Hillcrest Drive Denver, Colorado 80237 Dear Mr. Hiner: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress In reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, F:evjj #4013 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Mr. Jack Jeter Dear Mr. Jeter: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. rates on the I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting Improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4371 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. Lester H. Kahler, Jr. Colo Rock Decorative Stone, Inc. 2610 Delta Drive P.O. Box 15129 Colorado Springs, Colorado 80935 Dear Mr. Kahler: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But If we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, liFtev}j .4475 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. John H. Keppel Dear Mr. Keppel: Thank you for your letter suggesting that the interest rates should be more closely set to the current inflation rate of the Consumer Price Index. I am aware of the problems high interest rates have caused, and I understand the concerns that prompted you to write. I recognize that interest rates remain high despite recent reductions in the inflation rate reflected in the Consumer Price Index. However, the current interest rates reflect the deeply embedded expectation that prices will continue to climb, and not simply the current inflation rate measured in the CPI. In other words, lenders are reluctant to commit their funds without being compensated for the declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment; similarly, borrowers are willing to accept these high rates because they expect to repay the loans in cheaper dollars. In short, inflation and the expectation of continued inflation are causing high interest rates, and not the other way around. Since maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. For their part in the fight against inflation, the Administration and Congress have proposed many and realized some essential cuts in Federal spending. As their fiscal policies, complemented by the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, work to strengthen the economy, it is our fervent hope that we will all see lower interest rates in the future. Thank you again for taking the time to write. Sincerely, BF:evjj 041:36 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Ms. Doris M. Kloepper Dear Ms. Kloeppers Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, Bnev jj #4097 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders • October 29, 1981 Mrs. McWesley Ledbetter Dear Mrs. Ledbetter: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, 3Psevjj 14411 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mrs. Rosa L. Letcher Dear Mrs. Letcher: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is i:nportant, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, F:ev jj 1/4236 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mrs. Anna Limkel Dear Mrs. Limkel: Thank you for your letter regarding the potential effects of high interest rates on home buyers. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, F:evjj #4416 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Mk. Leland 3- Lykke President First Federal Savings and Loan Association BrrAdway at heia Council Bluffs, Loam 51501 Dear Mr. Lykke: appreciate having your comments concerning recent Motions of the DIDC and your views regarding the appropriate pace for deregulation. Let me add that I underataDd the con- cerns which prompted you to write and I will bear them in sand at meetings of dm DEC. Sincerely, NB:cak #5222 CC: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Mrs. Mallardi (2) Mr. Bernard October 29, 1981 Mr. Scott D. Miller, Sr. President Miller's 714 South Main Roswell, New Mexico 88201 Dear Mr. Miller: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth In money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, 13F:evjj (14406 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. David C. Moak P.O. Box 1034 Hurst, Texas 76053 Dear Mr. Moak: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, 3F:evjj W4019 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders • t..)ctober 29, 1981 Mrs. Hobart Moody Dear Mrs. Moody: Thank you for your letter requesting to know how the Federal t rate Reserve could help the American people during the current high interes e. messag problem. I understand the concerns that prompted your I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain towards any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed no antithat shows restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History inflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably with the stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict pressures in necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to who are financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those inflation most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring run. under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. interest rates However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in n. As we inflatio in on reducti ed sustain a about ultimately depends on bringing to control have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone nt. The restrai fiscal by mented comple and d inflation; it must be balance any measure, borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by sector to private the for t difficul more it make and strain financial markets some essential borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized Congress in the and tration Adminis the of cuts in public spending. The success support and the on s depend deficit Federal reducing spending and ultimately the understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj 04344 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. Richard A. Mueller Concept Builders, Inc. 740 Citadel Drive East Suite 402 Colorado Springs, Colorado 80909 Dear Mr. Mueller: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well Intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, '3 Ftevjj 4446 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1961 Mr. Charles U. Nelson President Backus State Bank Backus, Minnesota 56435 Dear Mr. Nelson: Thank you for your letter of October 23 I want to assure you that I understand the concerns which prompted you to write. With respect to your specific suggestions for increasing reserve requirements against "jumbo" CD's, I would note that current legislation sets a ceiling of 9 percent (a range of 0 to 9 percent) on the reserves that the BcArd may require against "nonpersonal time deposits." I discussed the ctmpetitive problem of money market mutual funds in Congressional testimony some time ago, and I am enclosing a copy of my remarks in the thought that you may find them of interest. Sincerely, Enclosure 5-7 6/25/81 Volcker Testimony cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Mrs. Mallardi (2) Mr. Bernard October 29, 1981 Mr. and Mrs. Theophll M. Oravetz Dear Mr. and Mrs. Oravetz: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and your husband's ability to sell your old home and buy a new one. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #3294 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy -Voile Dorothy Saunders dr October 29, 1981 Ms. Carol A. Piper Dear Ms. Piper: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, afterjj /4460 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. Rolland A. Ramos Dear Mr. Ramos: Thank you for your letter regarding the problems you have had in getting a car and a house due to the high interest rates. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, #4404 cc, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders -MN October 29, 1981 Mr. James A. Remington Sr. Vice President-`Aanufacturing Philip Morris U.S.A. P. 0. Box 26603 Richmond, Virginia 23261 Dear Mr. Remington: Thank you for your letter regarding your opinion of the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, ,ve cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, 3F:evjj #3265 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sisady i_lorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Ms. Mary L. Riley Bookkeeper Brunson Brick dr Stone, Inc. 606 27th Street & 515 32nd Street Lubbock, Texas 79404 Dear Ms. Riley: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater In the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4084 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 'As. Mary E. Robbins Dear Ms. Robbins: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest have had on many businesses and individuals. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BFsevjj #4395 ccz https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Mr. Bob Saxon, Realtor Box Saxon Realty Citizens Bank Building Paducah, Kentucky 42001 Dear Mr. Saxon: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make It more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, sinevjj #4311 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 As. Nancy Scaggs Dear Ms. Scaggs: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4361 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. Ricardo M. Senteno Agency Manager State Farm Insurance 2908 Anna J. Drive Roswell, Nevi Mexico 88201 Dear Mr. Sentenos Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, 517sevil #4200 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1931 Ms. Charlette Sharkey Dear As. Sharkey: Thank you for your letter regarding the problem you encountered the trying to purchase a condominium due to high interest rates. I understand concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain s any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed toward restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably with the stable, strong loan demand and Inflationary expectations conflict es in to pressur leading , growth credit and money te necessary efforts to modera are who those for lt difficu larly particu is on financial markets. This situati on inflati bring not do we if But es. pressur most vulnerable to credit market run. long the in r greate much be will us of under control the problems for all As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. t rates However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interes As we on. inflati in on ed reducti sustain ultimately depends on bringing about a control to nt alone restrai ry moneta on have long maintained, we cannot rely nt. The inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restrai measure, any by huge borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, to sector private the strain financial markets and make it more difficult for al essenti some d borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realize in ss Congre cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the and t suppor the reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:ev jj #4445 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Mr. R. W. Sik Dear Mr. Silc: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BFrevjj 04214 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis a October 29, 1981 Mr. Donald E. Simon President Don Simon, Inc. 200 Simon Mall West Sun Prairie, Wisconsin 53590 Dear Mr. Simon: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on your building business. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, ;..iFsevjj 13989 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe 3orothy Saunders October 29, 1981 Mr. Jim Snell Realtor 108 North Washington P.O. Box 1330 Roswell, New Mexico 88201 Dear Mr. Snell: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on potential homebuyers and on the overall economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, LiFsevjj 4257 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. Bill Snow Dear Mr. Snow: Thank you for your letter regarding the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve Board. I am sorry you hold the Board in such regard, but perhaps current conditions make it difficult for you to understand or accept our reasoning. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, fiFtevjj 1/4091 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 29, 1981 As. Susie Tamura Dear Ms. Tamura: Thank you for your letter suggesting that the interest rates be lowered to aid the Administration's economic program. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed toward s restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressur es in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflatio n under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interes t rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congres s in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4463 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. Frank W. Tegethoff Frank W. Tegethoff Construction Company, Inc. 1/1 Glenette Court St. Peters, Missouri 63376 Dear Mr. Tegethoff: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates your business. I understand the concerns that prompted your on having are message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and Inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting Improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make It more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4470 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Ms. Kim L. Tramm V. President Mardon Homes, Inc. 3585 Lexington Avenue, No. Suite 175 Arden Plaza St. Paul, Minnesota 55112 Dear Ms. Tramm: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help busin-sses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in rnoney would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining of initiatives stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BF:evjj 114375 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 29, 1981 Mr. John Weting, A.I.A. Dear Mr. Weting: Thank you for your letter regarding the impact of high interest rates on home mortgages. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #3998 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 28, 1981 Jay R. Anderson Great Basin Engineering, Inc. P.O. Box 9307 Odgen, Utah 84409 Dear Mr. Anderson: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on various industries. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4334 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 28, 1981 Mr. Robert E. Anderson Anderson Realty Inc. 611 So. Farwell Street Eau Claire, Wisconsin 54701 Dear Mr. Anderson: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects monetary policy has had on the housing and thrift industries. The Federal Reserve and other financial regulatory agencies are well aware of the difficult times facing the thrift industry, and we are monitoring developments closely. As you know, the current high interest rate environment places any institution with a large portfolio of fixed rate longterm assets in a very difficult position. The only really satisfactory solution is to have the efforts of the Federal Reserve, the Administration, and the Congress to reduce inflation become effective, for that will produce the environment for a sustained reduction in interest rates. However, there is no avoiding the fact that until that happens many thrift institutions will be under severe pressure. As you know, Congress and the regulatory agencies are actively assessing transitional measures designed to help thrift institutions better weather the period until interest rates come down and I appreciate your thoughts and concerns. Sincerely, 13F:evjj #3497 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis lorothy Saunders S • 11), 1 — IY‘c V - 30( BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM WASHINGTON, D. C. 20551 October 28, 1981 PAUL A. VOLCKER CHAIRMAN The Honorable Douglas Applegate House of Representatives Washington, D.C. 20515 Dear Mr. Applegate: Thank you for your recent letter regarding the economic situation and the impact of high interest rates. The conditions you describe in your district are most distressing, and, of course, they are not unique to your area. I am well aware that these are difficult times for many households, businesses, and governmental units across the country. High interest rates are an important factor in the difficulties of many industries today, but I think it must be recognized that other problems exist as well--including prominently in some of the instances you note years of unrealistic wage and price increases that have made American firms less competitive in the world marketplace. Indeed, inflation more broadly is at the root of much of the economic stress we face, including high interest rates. There is simply no way that I know of to reduce interest rates on a sustained basis without restraining inflation and lowering the inflationary expectations of borrowers and lenders. To be sure, the Federal Reserve could flood depository institutions with reserves and drive down very short-term interest rates. But this would yield, at most, temporary relief from high short-te rm rates, lasting only until the resultant inflationary monetary expansion led to still greater pressures of credit demands on credit supplies, and the market's anticipation of such effects might even result quite quickly in higher longer-term rates. Public confidence in the Federal Reserve's commitment to anti-inflationar y monetary restraint is absolutely essential if there is to be a durable easing of interest rates. And, as has been indicated by the behavior of the bond markets in recent months, a credible commitment to fiscal restraint--to the ending of our persistent federal budgetary deficits--is also crucial. I believe we are beginning to see signs of progress in the fight against inflation. I would hope that the psycholo gical momentum that has made that progress so difficul t will begin to https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Honorable Douglas Applegate Page Two turn decisively in a more favorable direction, bringing about an easing of financial tensions and paving the way to better economic performance. To shift gears in monetary policy at this juncture, it seems to me, would be to repeat the mistakes of the past and to lose the hard-earned gains we have made to date. I welcome this opportunIty for an exchange of views on these important matters. A sincere dialogue can only be constructive as we work together to frame monetary and fiscal policies that will serve the interests of our nation. Sincerely, S/Paul & Voice:: MJP:JLK:CO:pjt (#V-301) bcc: Mr. Kichline Mr. Prell Mrs. Mallardi (2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • October 28, 1981 Mr. Richard H. Ptshley, Vice President Ho"!lyoak Inc. 6520 Tilden Lane Rockville, Maryland 20852 Dear 14r. Ashley: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is hapaenin and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanees in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sorv of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, 3F:seP owe- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4-16;1- nctober 19q1 Mr. Louis Alton Best Vice President C-I Mitchell & nest Company 9313 Reach Road Potomac, Maryland 20854 Dear Mr. Best: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the erowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to channes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidino some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, ;F:ser, 413,31 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis f7ctnor 2P, 1" 1 mr. Peter 3l1cher, Vice President Interdevco Development Company 1771 Uayberry Drive Pembroke Pines, Florida 33024 Dear tit% Blicher: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve 'must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonn. Sincerely, BF:se° #4373 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Nr. R. E. Carpenter p.r). Sox 30515 Midwest City, Iklahoma 73140 Dear :4r. Carpenter: Thank you for your letter regardine the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happenine and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the econory have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit demands combined with a larce Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must mderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal 7eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too agoressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanoes in credit markets, however, I rip not believe there is any way of avoidine sore of these basic issues. lt any rate, it is ray fervent hope that we can all look forward to an ft-prove/rent in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, F:sen 15314 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Ms. Mary Lou Crawford Dear Ms. Crawford: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your ability to make improvements on your house. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essentia l cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, 3Fsevjj #4450 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 28, 1981 Mr. Robert C. Douglas Vice President Corporate Development Transohio Financial Corporation One Penton Plaza Cleveland, Ohio 44114 Dear Mr. Douglas: Thank you for your letter of October 13. I appreciate having your views and experience with respect to the brokerage of All Savers certificates. You raise some legitimate questions about which I too have been uneasy. I cannot, of course, speak for my colleagues an the DIDC, but I for one believe there would be merit in reviewing the brokerage decision. Sincerely, /e NAak #4845 cc: Mrs. Mallardi (2) Mr. Bernard https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • rki,th,41:( 3o5) . BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM WASHINGTON, D. C. 20551 October 28, 1981 PAUL A. VOLCKER CHAIRMAN The Honorable Jim Dunn House of Representatives Washington, D. C. 20515 Dear Mr. Dunn: Thank you for your recent letter regarding the problem of high interest rates. We at the Board share your deep concern about the economic health of our nation and we want to do what we can to foster economic expansion. It is our aim, however, to make sure that economic expansion is sustainable, and the weight of historical evidence is that there cannot be sustained prosperity in an environment of rapid inflation. For this reason, we have committed ourselves to a policy of moderating the growth of money, recognizing that progress toward price stability otherwise will be impossible. While we would like to see an easing of interest rates, we do not believe that it would be fruitful to pursue that objective by abandoning our course of monetary restraint. Such an action would have disastrous effects on the attitudes of participants in financial markets. Borrowers and lenders alike would respond in a fashion that would widen the "inflation premium" in interest rates that serves to compensate for the lower purchasing power of the dollars used to repay debts. I think it could be argued that the recent poor performance of the bond markets demonstrates the potential for such a development, although in this case it has been fears of the possible inflationary consequences of large federal budget deficits that has troubled many investors. You suggest that we may be restraining too severely the growth of money. I would be the first to grant that there are broad areas of judgment involved in monetary targeting. As we look at the several monetary aggregates we follow, however, we do not see evidence of excessively sharp deceleration in monetary expansion. At bottom, I'm afraid the crux of the matter is that, in attempting to turn back a tide of inflation that has been mounting for more than a decade, economic and financial stress https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - The Honorable Jimiknn Page Two • is almost inevitable. It is encouraging, however, that out of this pain is coming some progress--price increases on average have slowed this year. If we stick to our guns--with both monetary and fiscal policy maintaining postures of restraint--I think we can look forward to a gathering momentum in the process of disinflation, with an accompanying easing of financial tensions. On the other hand, if we flinch at this juncture, I fear that we will only be repeating the mistakes of the past and squandering the hard-earned gains we have made. Again, thank you for writing. I value the counsel of you and your colleagues in the Congress and view our continuing dialogue as inevitably contributing to the improvement of public policy. Sincerely, SiPatti A. Volcker MJP:JLK:vcd (V-303) bcc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Mr. Prell Mr. Kichline Mrs. Mallardi (2) fjctober 28, 1981 Mr. J. 9, Freeman Pyramid Construction Company 6010 iorth Villa Oklahoma City, Oklahoma 73112 Dear Mr. Free:,an: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rtes is undoubtedly havine A particularly harsh imoact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the e.conory have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the arney supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. It any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, F:sef #41,3 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 The Honorable Sam M. Gibbons Chairman Subcommittee on Trade Committee on Ways and Means House of Representatives 20515 Washington, D.C. Dear Chairman Gibbons: inviting the Thank you for your recent letter committee's hearing on Board to testify before your Sub of monetary and fiscal U.S. trade policy and the impact policies. king forward to Governor Henry C. Wallich is loo Board on November 3. appearing on behalf of the Sincerely, S/Paul A, CO:pjt (#V-291 & 702) bcc: Gov. Wallich Ted Truman Mrs. Mallardi (2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Mr. Robert A. Hawkins, D.D.S.,P.C. Dear Mr. Hawkins: Thank you for your letter expressing your skepticism about the soundness of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4472 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 28, 1981 Mr. Gerald W. Hilker, President Home Builders Association of Fort Wayne New World Homes, Inc. 3705 Pebblewood Place Fort Wayne, Indiana 46904 Dear Mr. HiIker: Thank you for your letter stating that interest rates should be lowered immediately to save the economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evji #4268 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 28, 1981 Mr. Henry Hood, President Mood Development Comany 15615 Memorial Drive il Houston, Texas 77024 Dear Mr, tiood: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, hewever, are a reflection of strong private credit derendS combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply to aeeressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hillier interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore cf these basic Issues. Pt any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 8F:sep 44378 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Mr. Jim Hopson Jim Hopson Construction Co. 417 S.W. 65th Oklahoma City, Oklahoma 73139 Dear Mr. Hopson: Thank you for your letter asking about interest rates and their relationship to the Consumer Price Index. I am aware of the problems high interest rates have caused, and I understand the concerns that prompted you to write. I recognize that interest rates remain high despite recent reductions in the inflation rate reflected in the Consumer Price Index. However, the current interest rates reflect the deeply embedded expectation that prices will continue to climb, and not simply the current inflation rate measured in the CPI. In other words, lenders are reluctant to commit their funds without being compensated for the declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment; similarly, borrowers are willing to accept these high rates because they expect to repay the loans in cheaper dollars. In short, inflation and the expectation of continued inflation are causing high interest rates, and not the other way around. Since maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. For their part in the fight against inflation, the Administration and Congress have proposed many and realized some essential cuts in Federal spending. As their fiscal policies, complemented by the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, work to strengthen the economy, it is our fervent hope that we will all see lower interest rates in the future. Thank you again for taking the time to write. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4417 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Mr. Larry F. Kyte, President Mutual Loan and Savings Company 15 South Main Street Mechanicsburg, Ohio 43044 Dear Mr. Kyte: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on the savings and loan industry. The Federal Reserve and other financial regulatory agencies are well aware of the difficult times facing the thrift industry, and we are monitoring developments closely. As you know, the current high interest rate environment places any institution with a large portfolio of fixed rate longterm assets in a very difficult position. The only really satisfactory solution is to have the efforts of the Federal Reserve, the Administration, and the Congress to reduce inflation become effective, for that will produce the environment for a sustained reduction in interest rates. However, there is no avoiding the fact that until that happens many thrift institutions will be under severe pressure. As you know, Congress and the regulatory agencies are actively assessing transitional measures designed to help thrift institutions better weather the period until interest rates come down and I appreciate your thoughts and concerns. Sincerely, BF:ev jj 04072 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dorothy Saunders October 28, 1981 Mr. W. P. Larson Dear Mr. Larson: Thank you for your letter expressing your concern over the point spread between the interest rates and the current inflation rate. I am aware of the problems high interest rates have caused, and I understand the concerns that prompted you to write. I recognize that interest rates remain high despite recent reductions in the inflation rate reflected in the Consumer Price Index. However, the current interest rates reflect the deeply embedded expectation that prices will continue to climb, and not simply the current inflation rate measured in the CPI. In other words, lenders are reluctant to commit their funds without being compensated for the declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment; similarly, borrowers are willing to accept these high rates because they expect to repay the loans in cheaper dollars. In short, inflation and the expectation of continued inflation are causing high interest rates, and not the other way around. Since maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. For their part in the fight against inflation, the Administration and Congress have proposed many and realized some essential cuts in Federal spending. As their fiscal policies, complemented by the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, work to strengthen the economy, it is our fervent hope that we will all see lower interest rates in the future. Thank you again for taking the time to write. Sincerely, f3F:evjj 0210 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Mr. Ben Lee Belle Lee's Adobe Escondido Route 2, i3ox 124 Los Lunas, New Mexico 87031 Pear r. Lee: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on you and other members of the small business community. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh irract on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations vrould lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 28, 1981 Mrs. June E. Linse Dear Mrs. Linse: Thank you for your letter regarding the role the Federal Reserve plays in the current interest rate problems and what we can do to help. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, B.Fsevjj #4315 ces https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy 'Nolte Dorothy Saunders October 28, 1981 Mr. Robert D. Lud<ett, Sr. Dear Mr. Luckett: Thank you for your letter regarding the problems high interest rates have caused you in your efforts to sell your old home and buy a new one. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, 6F:evjj V4252 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 21. 1981 Mr. Phil McGukin McGukin Construction Company Route 9, Box 389 Carrollton, Georgia 39117 ')ear Mr. !IcGukin: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understend what is harpenine and I ma sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a Particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve rust moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal 1;eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this ray sound A bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanpes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, 0F:sep 04343 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Thomas F. MacLean Dear Mr. MacLean: I want to thank you for your thoughtful letter. your expression of support. I appreciate With regard to your inquiry on the use of various measures of money in setting objectives for monetary growth, I would note that no measure has proved to be a fully reliable guide over time. The reason is, of course, that changes in our financial institutions and in our payments mechanism are occurring with unprecedented rapidity. The Federal Reserve has taken this phenomenon into account by revising the definition of the monetary measures in light of new developments and by varying the emphasis given to particular measures of money from time to time. At present, about equal emphasis is given to Ml-B and to M2 in the formulation of monetary policy. There habe been occasions over the past year or two when more emphasis was given to one or the other of these measures and indeed to other measures of money. Should you wish to pursue this matter further, you might consult the "Policy Records" of the Federal Open Market Committee which are prepared for each meeting of the Committee and published in the Board's Annual Renort and in the Federal Reserve Bulletin. I appreciate your interest in monetary policy and again thank you for your support. Sincerely, NB:cak #4961 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Mrs. Mallardi (2) Mr. Bernard October 28, 1981 Mr. Owen L. Morrow, FACNHA Administrator Lakeview Christian Home 1300 North Canal Carlsbad, New Mexico 88220 Dear Mr. Morrow: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your community's economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. !listory shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, to strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector essential some realized and many proposed has borrow. The Administration in cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress and support the on depends deficit Federal reducing spending and ultimately the understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4348 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy %Voile Dorothy Saunders October 28, 1981 Ms. Nancy R. O'Neal Dear Ms. O'Neal: ciates urging Thank you for the letter from you and your asso on and the Congress the Federal Reserve to work with the Administrati e of the burden high interest to bring interest rates down. I am well awar the economy, and I am sympathetic rates have placed on certain segments of to your concerns. d lower interest I believe that we will not achieve sustaine reduction in inflation. Simply rates until we bring about a lone-term problem, because inflationary creating more money now would worsen the higher interest rates. expectations would surge, leading to still ility, therefore, unavoidDefeating inflation and restoring price stab ably requires restrained money growth. people. As I know this has been a difficult time for many nistration Admi the of e thos our efforts, however, are combined with reductions in government and Congress -- particularly if further eved -- I believe that spending and the Federal deficit can be achi rates may be eased; and things pressures on credit markets and interest will be better for all of us in the future. Sincerely, WF:sl #4249 cc: Dorothy Saunders (1) Sandy Wolfe (2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Epifanio Provencio Automotive Instructor Gadsden High School Route 1, Box 263 Anthony, New Mexico 88021 Dear Mr. Provencio: Thank you for your letter requesting that I attempt to lower the interest rates. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BFtev jj #4499 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 28, 1981 Mr. Gary D. Rappaport P.n. ox 503 ?.,, errifield, Virginia 22116 Dear Mr. Rappaport: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh imoact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the ecnnomy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combine with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must enderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too agnressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a it abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lona. Sincerely, 3F:sep 0325 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Mr. Clifford B. Rearick Patwil, Inc. RD #6, Box 56 Indiana, Pennsylvania 15791 Dear Mr, Rearick: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hioher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 8F:sep 04369 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Mr. F. Tiers Rice, Vice President Preferred Homes, Inc. 1 Chick Springs Road - Suite 201 Greenville, South Carolina 29609 Dear mr. Rice: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and pther builders. I understand what is happening and I em srepathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly hevine a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, ;F:sep #4293 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Mr. Joseph M. Rowe Maryland General Realty Company, Inc. P. O. Box 1288 Hagerstown, Maryland 21740 Dear Mr. Rowe: Thank you for your letter urging the Federal Reserve to work with the Administration and the Congress to bring interest rates down. I am well aware of the burden high interest rates have placed on certain segments of the economy, and I am sympathetic to your concerns. I believe that we will not achieve sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a long-term reduction in inflation. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Defeating inflation and restoring price stability, therefore, unavoidably requires restrained money growth. I know this has been a difficult time for many people. As our efforts, however, are combined with those of the Administration and Congress -- Particularly if further reductions in government spending and the Federal deficit can be achieved -- I believe that pressures on credit markets and interest rates may be eased; and things will be better for all of us in the future. Sincerely, DL:sl #3604 cc: Dorothy Saunders (1) Sandy Wolfe (2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Mr. Roland B. Scro,ggins President Scroggins Realty 3721 West Northside Drive P.O. Box 10118 Jackson, Mississippi 39206 Dear Mr. Scorggins: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:ev jj #4267 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Volfe !Iorothy Saunders 1 October 28, 1981 The Honorable Albert Lee Smith House of Representatives Washington, D.C. 20515 Dear Mr. Smith: Thank you for your letter of October 1 concerning the treatment of real estate brokers under the revised Regulation Z (Truth in Lending). You are concerned that real estate brokers will be considered to be arranging credit in seller-financed transactions and therefore required to give Truth in Lending disclosures. The Board recently considered the issue of what "arranging credit" means and has issued a proposal that deals with determining what activities constitute arranging credit. In the proposal (a copy of which is enclosed) the Board requests comment on a number of possible factors that might be considered in determining what it means to arrange credit. Some of these factors include: involvement in developing or negotiating credit terms and helping to complete credit documents; transmitting or conveying the terms of the offer; procuring or soliciting a credit extender; advising the credit extender or consumer about the financing terms, and whether or not a fee is involved. In the proposal the Board specifically requests comment on whether real estate brokers who assist in seller financing should be considered arrangers of credit and subject to Truth in Lending disclosure responsibilities. As I am sure you are aware, Senator Garn has introduced a bill, S. 1720, that would exclude arrangers of credit from the Truth in Lending Act. This would serve to relieve real estate brokers involved in seller-financed transactions from disclosure responsibility under the Act. We look forward to receiving any comments that you or your constituents may have on the Board's proposal. Sincerely, MPE:CO:pjt (#V-283) bcc: Maureen English Mrs. Mallardi (2) Enclosure https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (p.r. dtd. 10/20/81) Sgaul th Volcker October 28, 1981 Ms. Dee A, Smith, President Dee Smith Company, Inc. P.O. Box 6251 Greenville, South Carolina 2960( Dear Mr. Smith: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is hapoenine and I am syrpathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the econory have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in Inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. 1 know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, se g4495 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Mr, W. T. Sowell Cooke Construction 225 So. Mathilda Sunnyvale, California 94086 Dear Mr. Sowell: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hiller interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an imrovercent in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, :see f4724 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Robert Speece Properties, Inc. 5227 Andrea Blvd. P.O. Box 41748 Sacramento, California 95842 Dear Ladies and Gentlemen: Thank you for your letter expressing your concern over the problems high interest rates have caused you in your efforts to purchase a home. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BF:evjj 04317 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 28, 1981 Mr. William Tharp Vice President Rountree Cotton Co., Inc. P.O. Box 1390 Las Cruces, New Mexico 88001 Dear Mr. Tharp: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, Bnevij #4313 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 28, 19R1 4r. Ooe Thorne. President Thorne ',1ea1 Estate and Financial Services, Inc. 6802 36th "venue North NInneapolis, Minnesota 55427 Dear 11r. Thorne: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of !_.iroblems we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thowhtful of you to take the time to write. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Cincerely, October 28, 1981 Mr. and Mrs. Rickey Travelstead Dear Mr. and Mrs. Travelstead: Thank you for your letter regarding the effect high interest rates are having on young couples. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates a However, on bringing about a sustained reduction in Inflation. As we depends ultimately we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control maintained, have long and complemented by fiscal restraint. The balanced be must it inflation; Federal Government, huge by any measure, the of s requirement borrowing it more difficult for the private sector to make and markets strain financial many and realized some essential proposed has on Administrati borrow. The on and the Congress in the of Administrati success The cuts in public spending. on the support and depends Federal deficit the ultimately reducing spending and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, ISF:evjj #4510 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 28, 1981 Mr. Andrew Trupin Dear Mr. Trupin: Thank you for your letter. I am aware of the problems high interest rates have caused, and I understand the concerns that prompted you to write. I recognize that interest rates remain high despite recent reductions in the inflation rate reflected in the Consumer Price Index. However, the current interest rates reflect the deeply embedded expectation that prices will continue to climb, and not simply the current inflation rate measured in the CPI. In other words, lenders are reluctant to commit their funds without being compensated for the declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment; similarly, borrowers are willing to accept these high rates because they expect to repay the loans in cheaper dollars. In short, inflation and the expectation of continued inflation are causing high interest rates, and not the other way around. Since maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. For their part in the fight against inflation, the Administration and Congress have proposed many and realized some essential cuts in Federal spending. As their fiscal policies, complemented by the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, work to strengthen the economy, it is our fervent hope that we will all see lower interest rates in the future. Thank you again for taking the time to write. Sincerely, 3F:ev jj "3935 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Mr. Jon Villers Dear Mr. Villers: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, tlFrev jj #4284 CC: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 28, 1981 "T. *Allier R. 'Lett, President flaywood Development Group 500 Newport Center Prive - Suite 600 ,ewport peach, California 92660 Dear Mr. Watt: Thank you for your letter regarding the effect high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is harpenine and I AM sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havinn a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands corbined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal eserve must mederate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a telt abstract for husinesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to ln ierlrovement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, JF:sep 04424 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • rttober 23, 1981 r. Peter Vander Wielen, President Affordable Builders, Inc. 11 Hilltop Court Appleton, '41sconsin 54911 9ear r, ie1en: interest Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high stand what is happening rates haide had on you and other builders. I under and I am syrpathetic to your concerns. g a The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havin other sore while tries indus particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive ected. Current interest sectors of the economy have been relatively unaff credit demands combined te priva rates, however, are a reflection of strong al Tleserve must Feder with a laroe Federal deficit at a time when the tion. If the Federal infla e moderate the growth of money in order to reduc the money supply ding expan by Reserve were to try to lower interest rates inflationary in ase incre too aggressively, I are convinced the resultant rates. The only solution est expectations would lead to even higher inter e the Federal deficit. I see in the short run is further action to reduc and I knce.4 this may sound a bit abstract for businesses t markets, credi in es chanc Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to ing some of these basic however, I do not believe there is any way of avoid can all look forward to we issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that e too long. befor an imnrovetekent in inflation and interest rates Sincerely, 3 (/ % BF:sep 04357 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Mr. Charles F. Wirth, Jr. Dear Mr. Wirth: Thank you for your further letter. I am aware of the problems high interest rates have caused, and I understand the concerns that prompted you to write. I recognize that interest rates remain high despite recent reductions in the inflation rate reflected in the Consumer Price Index. However, the current interest rates reflect the deeply embedded expectation that prices will continue to climb, and not simply the current inflation rate measured in the CPI. In other words, lenders are reluctant to commit their funds without being compensated for the declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment; similarly, borrowers are willing to accept these high rates because they expect to repay the loans in cheaper dollars. In short, inflation and the expectation of continued inflation are causing high interest rates, and not the other way around. Since maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. For their part in the fight against inflation, the Administration and Congress have proposed many and realized some essential cuts in Federal spending. As their fiscal policies, complemented by the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, work to strengthen the economy, it is our fervent hope that we will all see lower interest rates in the future. Thank you again for taking the time to write. Sincerely, ShirtII 13526 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 28, 1981 Mr. Charles Zehren Dear Mr. Zehren: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the economy. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, BEtevjj #4304 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Oorothy Saunders October 27, 1981 Mt. Mary L. ilexander Dear Ms. Alexander: Thanks for sending me your letter regardin g the effects high interest rates are having on home buyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undo ubtedly havine a particularly harsh impact on housing and othe r credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a refl ection of strong private credit demands calbined with a large Federal defi cit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lowe r the mpney supply too aggressively, I am convinterest rates by expanding inced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even hioher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is furt her action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract individuals who are particularly vulnerable to for businesses and changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidinc some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, T:scT 4421 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ictober 27, 1981 Mr. Paul Allen Dear Mr. Wien: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects high Interest rates arehhaving on hone buyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a laroe Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 27, 191 Mr. C. C. Anthes, Jr. President Bonded Noires, Inc. 2501 George Dieter Boulevard El Paso, Texas 79936 Dear Mr. Anthes: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I understand what is happening and I mm syrrathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh irnact on housine and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit derands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sere of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an im/rverent in inflation and interest rates before too Mfr. Sincerely, F:sep .44.3•14) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Charles R. Asplof Dear Mr. Asplof: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the hest hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, tiNev jj #4244 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis rttober 27, 1981 Ms. Debby S. Aycock Dear Ps. Aycock: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I understand what is happenino and I am symeathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine e particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strnne private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal T).eserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, T ar convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hipher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit merkets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an imoroyerent in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, -- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 19S1 Ms. Betty J. Baker, Realtor Century 21/Baker Real Estate, Inc. 7919-A South Dixie Highway Palm Coast Plaza ',lest Palm death, Florida 33405 Dear Ms, Baker: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on home buyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnandinq the money supply too aggressively. I am convinced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even hiaher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, F:sei 1,4483 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 7. r. !es Barton 3arton Construction Company 1155 West 4575 South Riverdale, Utah 84403 Iear Mr. Barton: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havinn a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at P time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too angressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. 4t any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. cAncerely, BE:sep #41131 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Gary Bayless lea,. Mr. Bayless: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other creel t-sensi ti ve industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong nrivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tine when the Federal Reserve must trnderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to channes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, Otep 0113 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0 October 27, 1981 "Ars. Thomas A. Beck Dear Mrs. Beck: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I policies monetary our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm abandoning believe rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, ;3F:evjj V 4 368 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 fir. Joh Bell Bell Motor, Inc. 325 N. Santa Fe - P.O. Box 386 Salina, Kansas 67401 -;ear Mr. Bell: Thank you for your letter renarding the effects of high interest rates on your automobile deilership. I understand what is happeninr and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a Particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tine when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hipher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic Issues, At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too low?. Sincerely, aFtsop #4443 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mt. Joyce S. Bradley near Mt. 3radley: Thank you for your letter asking that I "lower the interest rates". The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simoly creating more money now would worsen the oroblem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restorino price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government snendino and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. We know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, 2F:seo 04513 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 :v1r. Paul Brenn Dear Mr. Brenns Thank you for your letter to the Federal Reserve regarding a return to the gold standard. As you may know, the Congress has established a commission to examine the issues you have raised. Three members of the Federal Reserve Board will serve on that commission, and we are confident that there will be a full and timely examination of the questions involved in having gold play a more prominent role in our monetary system. Sincerely, BF:evil S.O. # ;7 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. F. B. Broadhurst, Jr. Presi dent Broadhurst Development Corapany, Inc 6685 Falls of euse !),oad, Suite 20/3 Raleigh, North Carolina 27609 leer Mr. 3rPadhurst: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is haopenine and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding yule of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone* Sincerely, F:sep #4504 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis rIctober 27, 19P1 Ms. Pat Callahan Creative Homes of Goldsboro, Inc. P.O. Box 10428 Goldsboro, Aorth Carolina 27532 Dear !''s. Callahan: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having particularly harsh irrpact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of straw.: Private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supnly too agoressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exnectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to issues. an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, fr:sep 04356 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 4r. Jesse Chambers Jesse Chambers ione, Inc. 3208 Eagle Lane gethany, Oklahma 7300g Dear 7•1r, Chambers: Thanks for sendine me your postcard regardine the effects of hieh interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having A particularly harsh impact on hOusing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono orivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit, I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an irprovernent in inflation and interest rates before too lone. ncerely, ,:iFtseo #4432 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Simon Chavez, Manager White's Home and Auto 300 Granado Tularosa, New Mexico 88352 Dear Mr. Chavez: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BFsev jj 114462 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. qilliam J. Cillessen, President 8 A M Cillessen Construction Co., Inc. 1205 Troy King Road Farmington, Uew Mexico 87401 Dear Mr. Cillessen: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on you and other members of the small business community. I understand what is happening and I am symnathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havina P particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit demands combined with a lame Federal deficit at a time when the Federal leserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnandinp the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead tn even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avnidino some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, F:seo 14316 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Harold L. Cobb Cobb and Co., Realtors 4028C Plantation Drive Hermitage, Tennessee 37076 Dear Mr. Cobb: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BF:evil 04338 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Bruce Coder Management Systems Company 3185 "0" Airway Avenue Costa Mesa, California 92626 Dear Mr. Coder: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, ESF:evjj #4318 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis I October 27, 1981 Mr. James C. Coffin, President C-Y Development Co. 222 E. Olive Avenue - Suite 5 Redlands, California 92373 Dear Mr. Coffin: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth In money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, Fsev jj #4319 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Dave E. Cornwall President Custom Interiors, Inc. 14525 N. 79th Street Suite E. Scottsdale, Arizona 85260 Dear Mr. Cornwall: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4236 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Victor W. Cory Dear Mr. Cory: Thank you for your letter and accompanying editorial regarding a return to the gold standard, as well as your other comments which are not quite deserving of a rebuttal. As you may know, the Congress has established a commission to examine the issues you have raised. Three members of the Federal Reserve Board will serve on that commission, and we are confident that there will be a full and timely examination of the questions involved in having gold play a more prominent role in our monetary system. Sincerely, BFlevjj *399/ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Jack Crawford Dear Mr. Crawford: Thank you for your letter supporting a return to the gold-backed dollar. As you may know, the Congress has established a commission to examine the issues you have raised. Three members of the Federal Reserve Board will serve on that commission, and we are confident that there will be a full and timely examination of the questions involved in having gold play a more prominent role in our monetary system. Sincerely, BF:ev jj #2997 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0ctnber 27, 1181 71r. Dick Crowley Dear Mr. Crowley: Thank you for your letter asking that I "lower the interest rates". The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surre, leading to still higher interest rates. estoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary 3nd credit prowth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the AdOinistration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in eovernment spendine and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. 1,1e know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will he better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, sF:sep 014)6" https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis i)ctober 27, 1981 mrs. Harry Crowley Co-owner and Manager H & A r'en's Store 117 'forth Main Lovington, ew Mexico 88260 !)ear mrs. Crowley: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on you and other members of the small business community. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having A particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected, Current intcrest rates, however, are a reflection of strong, nrivate credit derands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must roderate the Prowth of (coney in order tc reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would load to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however. I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. idold Sincerely, 'F:see 04319 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Kenneth Davis. President North Palm domes, Inc. P.O. Box 886 Lake Worth, Florida 33460 Dear Mr. Davis: Thank you for your letter askino that I "lower the interest rates". The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leadinc to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hone is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will heln to ease pressures on interest rates and credit rarkets. We know this has been a difficult neriod for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writinn. Sincerely, bF:sep 44471 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • October 27, 1981 Mr. and Mrs. H. C. Day Dear Mr. and Mrs. Day: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, !3F:ev jj #4367 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0 October 27, 1981 Mr. A. H. Deitrick RE/MAX of Liberty, Inc. 949 Liberty Drive Liberty, Missouri 64068 9ear Mr. 9eitrick: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on you and other members of the small business community. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands corbined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal eeserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money suPelY too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I knew this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, rF:sep 04415 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9ctober 27, 1981 'ot. Alice Denning Dennine Haworth Realty, Inc. 1801 South Anth Salina, Kansas 67401 Dear Ms. Denning: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects interest rates are having on hone buyers and sellers. I understandbirth what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive indust while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffe ries cted. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong privat credit e demands combined with a layer Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflat If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandion. ing the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increa in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates.se The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credi t markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding save of these basic Issues. ft any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forwar d to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, ,4441 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Ms. Dorothy Dennisan Dear Ms. Dennisan: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4464 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis _W October 27, 1981 Mr. Edward G. Detzel E. G. Detzel Realtor 5522 C.olerain Avenue Cincinnati, Ohio 45239 Dear Vir. Detzel: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultima tely harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to chang es in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflat ionary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lender s expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollar s they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal defici t at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intend ed, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher intere st rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attain ing stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, 8Fsev I) #4339 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis =ktober 27, 1981 Mr. James L. Donaldson r 7 !J Development Company . . Box 69 Macon, Georgia 31298 Rear Mr. Donaldson: Thanks for sending me your postcard expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on yourhhousing sales. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a Particularly harsh irpact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I de not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, 2,F:seT ;;4251 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 'ctober 27, 1981 Is, Linda L. Eberwein Millwood 7ealty, Inc. 1497 E. Iron lalina, Kansas 67401 Dear ?Is. Ebemein: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I unders tand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a oarticularly harsh impact on housine and other credit—sensitive indust ries while sore other sectors of the ecnnomy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong privat demands corbined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the e credit Federal Reserve rust moderate the erowth of money in order to reduce inflat ion. If the Federal fieserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnand ine the money supply too aneressively, I an convinced the resultant increa se In inflationary expectations would lead to even hicher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to channes in credit market s, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an imnrovevent in inflation and interest rates before too lone. sincerely, 14447 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis AL. October 27, 1981 Mr. Carl H. Ellis Dear Mr. Ellis: Thank you for your letter and article to the Federal Reserve regarding a return to the gold standard. As you may know, the Congress has established a commission to examine the issues you have raised. Three members of the Federal Reserve Board will serve on that commission, and we are confident that there will be a full and timely examination of the questions involved in having gold play a more prominent role in our monetary system. Sincerely, 13F:ev jj S.O. 0681 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Charles E. Enfield Enfield Electric h Construction Co. 7830 Agate Drive, S.W. Tacoma, '.4ashington 98498 Oear Me. Enfield: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is hapnenine and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a narticularly harsh irpact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined Ath a large Federal deficit at a tine when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal aeserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too ageressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, :)F:seo #4517 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Tolle Epps, CLU Dear Mr. Epps: Thank you for your letter suggesting that a return to the gold standard would stabilize the economy. As you may know, the Congress has established a commission to examine the issues you have raised. Three members of the Federal Reserve Board will serve on that commission, and we are confident that there will be a full and timely examination of the questions involved in having gold play a more prominent role in our monetary system. Sincerely, BF:evjj 2747 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Virgil P. Erickson Century 21/Alexander-Hunter Co. 320 Third Street Farmington, nnesota 55024 Dear Mr. Erickson: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, ,F:evjj 4068 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Ms. 1. Farley Dear Ms. Farley: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on you and other members of the small business community. I understand whet is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too aggressively. I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvevent in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 1;F:sep 04422 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1181 !r. Charles P. Franz, Manager lton (.1. Schumann Inc. 1160 jest Davenport Street 'ihinelander, 4fsconsin 54501 Dear Mr. Franz: Thank you for your letter regarding, the effects high inter est rates hade had on you and other builders. I understand what is happenine and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sectors cf the econory have teen relatively unaffected. Curre some other rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demannt interest ds combined orith a large Federal deficit at a time when the Feder al Reserve must reederate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the rseserve were to try to lower interest rates by exoandine the money Federal too aceressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in infla suoply tionary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Feder al deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credi t however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidinn sore of markets, these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all forwa look rd to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too low. Sincerely, RFtsep 14219 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Ramon Garcia P.O. Box 914 Socorro, New Mexico 87801 Dear Mr. Garcia: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BF:ev ji #4420 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 19P1 r. Henry H. Goldberg, President The Artery Organization, Inc. 5550 Friendship Boulevard, f550 Chevy Chase, Maryland 20315 Dear Mr, Goldberc: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happenine and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore, other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong nrivate credit demands cembined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must roderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aqoressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. qncerely, ff:sep f4234 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 7)ctober 27, Fri Ms. Janean Grissom ')ear Ms. Grissom: Thank you for your letter regarding the problems hien interest rates have caused you in the operation of your ranch. I understand what is happening and I am syrpathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh irpact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic to issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward too long. an imnroverent in inflation and interest rates before Sincerely, ,iFssep #4261 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Ms. Betty Hall Dear Ms. Hall: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BF:evjj #4258 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Lee K. Hanson Lee K. Hanson Contr, Inc. P.O. Cox 433 Icy, Utah 34067 Mr, Dear Mr. Hanson: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rites have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal 7:eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandinn the money supply too aggressively. I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that e can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, 6F:sep #4232 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • r October 27, 1981 rs. Joan C. Hargrave, R.. Executive Director Vencedor, Incorporated 516 Juarez Carlsbad, 4csod Mexico 88220 T)ear Ms. Hargrave: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on your husband's real estate business. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a Particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal !).eserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this ray sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are Particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an Improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonn. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis cAncerely, October 27, 1981 Mr. J. L. Harper Harper Agency 738 ..lest Mai n-Upstai rs P.D. Dox 236 Farmington, lew Mexico 87401 Dear Mr. Harper: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on you and other members of the small business community. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic te your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a narticularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the econory have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit derands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the crowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal P.eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding snre of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improverrent in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 3F:sep `.14226 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • October 27, 1981 Mrs. John Harvey Dear Mrs. Harvey: Thank you for your letter to the Federal Reserve regarding a return to the gold standard. As you may know, the Congress has established a commission to examine the issues you have raised. Three members of the Federal Reserve Board will serve on that commission, and we are confident that there will be a full and timely examination of the questions involved in having gold play a more prominent role in our monetary system. Sincerely, BFIevij 5.0. # https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis f October 27, 1981 Mr. Lee O. aworth, President Lee Haworth Construction Co., Inc. Kraft Manor 1301 South Ninth Salina, Kansas 67401 Oear Mr. Haworth: Thank you for your letter asking that I "lower the interest rates". The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creatine more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit orcwth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in governrent spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. '-!ta know this has been a di -fficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, ;F:ser 41;1:1r https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis rttober 27, 1921 me. Ilesley Hays, President Faxon Development Corpany 6056 ?eseurces Drive Memphis, Tennessee 38134 „)ear Mr. Hays: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happenino and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must qederate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to charms in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, IF:sep !:4111; https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mrs. Marion R. Fiernan Pre-Fit Door, Inc. 6192 Cimarron Trail Flint, Michigan 48504 Dear Mrs. Herman: Thank you for your letter retarding the effects of high interest rates on builders. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit demands combined with a laroe Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must vaderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long, sincerely, :ser 43 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis %titer 27, 1981 Mr. William F. milker Aew World Homes, Inc. 3705 Pebblewood Place Fort Vayne, Indiana 46804 Dear Milker: Thank you for your letter statino that I rust work to lower interest rates implediately. The plain fact, hcwever„ is that we will not he able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the nroblem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably recuires restrained monetary and credit clrowth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit Narkets, e know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will he better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, F:cer, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 •r1r. Arthur C. Holden, FAIA Dear Mr. Holden: Thank you for your letter and accompanying correspondence concerning a return to the gold-backed dollar. As you may know, the Congress has established a commission to examine the issues you have raised. Three members of the Federal Reserve Board will serve on that commission, and we are confident that there will be a full and timely examination of the questions involved in having gold play a more prominent role in our monetary system. Sincerely, BF:evjj #3666 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • October 27, 1981 Mr. J. C. Hoover, Jr. Dear Mr. Hoover: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, 23F:evjj #4294 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, lqfll Ms. Patricia R. Hunt Realtor-Assaciate Plastridge, Inc. PO. Drawer 730 820 lorth Federal Highway Delray Beach, Florida 33444 Dear Ms. Hunt: Thanks for sending me your letter expressinc. your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, lrtsep 443( https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Ronald Johansen President Dakota County Board of Realtors 3908 Sibley Memorial Highway Eagan, Minnesota 55122 Dear Mr. Johansen: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BF:evjj 04473 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 'I)ctober 27, 1981 Mr. and Mrs. Rudolph Kasper Dear Mr. and Mrs. Kasper: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on you and other members of the srall business connunity. I understand what is haPpening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong Private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must rnderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnandino the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. Pt any rate, it is ray fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, insep #4412 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 19F1 tir. Chuck Kilgariff Century 21/Wilson Realty 2401 South 9th Salina, Kansas 67401 Dear Mr. Kiloariff: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the crowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even hicher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis a Sincerely, 1 ctober 27. 1981 Mr. John Kish, Jr. John Kish Construction Co., Inc. 4421 M.'J. 65th Terrace Gainesville, Florida 32601 Dear Mr. Kish: Thank you for your letter and your "key" to lower interest rates. The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge. leading to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Aallinistration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. 'sie know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it Is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Thank you for writing. Sincerely, October 27, 1981 Mr. Herb Kroeger Plant Manager DeWils Industries, Inc. 6307 N.E. 127th Avenue Vancouver, Washington 98662 Dear Mr. Kroeger: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies -take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BF:evil #4030 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis %tober 27, 1981 Lake Area Builders, Inc. Dear Sirs: Thanks for sendina me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing siles. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively. I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lona. Sincerely, #409 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis nctober 27, 1911 Mt. Mary Ann Langston Dear Ms. Langston: Thank you for your letter and your "key" to lowering interest rates. The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we hring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Adrinistration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. !:Je know this has heen a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, J':sen 41,2C1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis A October 27, 1931 Ir. Richard S. Lee Energy Savers, Inc. 223 By-Pass - P.O. Box 1111 Easley, South Carolina 22640 )ear "r. Lee: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rats on you and other members of the small business community. I understand ''hat is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong nrivate credit demands corbined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I de not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely. F:sop '4,Y14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. William C. Leigh Glenwood Home Corporation P.O. Box 7002 The Woodlands, Texas 77380 Dear Mr. Leigh: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, Bnevjj #4243 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Ms. Diana L. Lindgren, President Country West Realty, Inc. 12809 Main Street P.O. Box 245 Rogers, Minnesota 55374 Dear Ms. Lindgren: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BRevii #4225 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. G. L. Lowe Aledo Real Estate P.O. Box 395 701 Farm Road 5 N Aledo, Texas 76008 Dear Mr. Lowe: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, 3Fmv jj #4360 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mrs. Terry McCurdy near Mrs. McCurdy: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is hanpenine and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tine when the Federal Reserve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exnectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal defici t. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidino sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forwe.rd to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, r:ser: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis f)ctober 27, 19F1 r. C. Dale McGrew II Pre.si dent Adams-McGrew Homes, Inc. 424 North Gilbert Street Danville, Illinois 61832 Dear Mr. ticGrew: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housinn sales. I understand what is happening and Iam sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong nrivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates hy exnandine the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exnectations would lead to even hither interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic Issues, At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 27, 1981 Mr. John A. Maddox, Consultant Salina Sand Company n.r1, Box 206 Salina, Kansas 67401 ')ear Mr. Maddox: Thank you for your letter askina that I "lower the interest rates". The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leadina to still higher interest rates. 7 est°ri n q price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Conarnss and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in noyernment spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. '4e know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it Is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, EF:sep 04478 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1181 Mr. Stanley A. Malkoff StanJim Company 5437 Mahoning Avenue Youngstown, Ohio 44515 Dear Mr. Malkoff: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high Interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happenine and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housino and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong Private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too angressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 27, 1981 Mr. James J. Miland Dear Mr. Miland: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused for certain segments of the economy. It is important, problems serious recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted you however, that by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. rates to lower interest money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary in Excessive growth of high interest rates. When lenders expect ingredient principal expectations, a are reluctant to commit funds without they naturally inflation, continued high value of the dollars they will the declining expected being compensated for expansion in the money the of excessive an result Thus receive in payment. lower interest rates. not supply would be higher Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, arsevjf #3976 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 nctober 27, 1981 Mr. Terrance Mish Dear Mr, Mish: Thank you for your letter, and those of your associates, lessrs. Anderson and Babbitt, regarding the effects high interest rates have had on the housing related engineering industry. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havinn a riarticularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tine when the Federal eserve must moderate the gmwth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal nteserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money supply too aogressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanties in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lona. "zincerely, ahsep #433C $4340 #4342 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Ir. Tad S. Mizwa, Publisher Horseman 5314 'dingle Road Houston, Texas 77092 Dear Mr. Mizwa: Thank you for your letter asking that I "lower the interest rates". The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simoly creatine more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Connress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. We know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, 7T:see https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Roger Monteyne Certified Public Accountant 2283 W. Huntington Avenue Anaheim, California 92801 Dear Mr. Monteyne: Thank you for your letter to the Federal Reserve regarding a return to the gold standard. As you may know, the Congress has established a commission to examine the issues you have raised. Three members of the Federal Reserve Board will serve on that commission, and we are confident that there will be a full and timely examination of the questions involved in having gold play a more prominent role in our monetary system. Sincerely, etFlevij S.O. #680 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ctober 27, 1981 Ms. Jo Ann morgan P.1. Box 731 Hurst, Texas 76953 3ear Is. Morgan: Thank you for your letter and your "key" to lower interest rates. The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creatine more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary exPectations would surne, leading to still hioher interest rates. f4astorinn price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit orowth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the ,Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. ¶le know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will he better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, °IF:sep #4515 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. William O'Brien Dear Mr. O'Brien: Thank you for your letter to the Federal Reserve regarding a return to the gold standard. As you may know, the Congress has established a commission to examine the issues you have raised. Three members of the Federal Reserve Board will serve on that commission, and we are confident that there will be a full and timely examination of the questions involved in having gold play a more prominent role in our monetary system. Sincerely, F:ev jj 5.0. # 679 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis liMb. October 27, 1981 Mr. Ailliam S. O'Donnell Managing Partner Suburban Homes Realty 730 Little York Road Houston, Texas 77076 Jeer Mr. O'Donnell: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look ftirward to an improlerent in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 27, 19RI Mr. Jim Ondov P.3. Box 6102 Minneapolis, Minnesota 55496 Dear Mr. ondov: Thank you for your letter regarding the problems high interest rates have caused you in your attempts to sell your constructed apartrent buildings. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must 7-taderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal reserve were to try to lower interest rates by mending the money supply too aggressively, I aro convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I cb not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, nsev #4370 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Stanley Peaden Stanley Peaden Builders, Inc. Route 2, 3ox 521A Greenville, 4orth Carolina 27834 Dear Mr. Peaden: Thank you for your letter and your "key" to lower interest rates. The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Sirply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still hitter interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained 'monetary Rnd credit orowth. As our efforts and those of the Coneress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit rarkets. .1 4e know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that thinps will he better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writinn. Sincerely, #4327 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis F October 27, 1981 Mr. 'Avid F. Phelon Dear Mr. Phelon: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the small business community. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit derands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the rederal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hioher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely. Gits41P '4399 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Robert D. Priest Executive Vice President Fredericksburg Area Builders Association P.O. Box 7027 Fredericksburg, Virginia 22404-7027 Dear Mr. Priest: 1 have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion In the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, 3F:evjj #4112 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Fred S. Razook Dear 'Ar. Razook: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, 3F:evji fi 4433 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Regency I Real Estate Dear Ladies and Gentlemen: I have received your letters expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, 3F:evjj ti4312 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Adrian J. Roof Century 21/Adrian Roof Realty 1401 Lone `ak Road Paducah, Kentucky 42001 Dear Mr. Roof: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing and automobile industries. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strona private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hiaher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 5F:ser 04508 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Petober 27, 1921 Mr. Dennis R. Rose Dear Mr. Rose: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing and automobile industries. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havinP a particularly harsh irract on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit derands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hither interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this ray sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit riarkets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidinp sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an irnrovement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Fincerely, 517 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (Ictober 27, 19P1 Ms, Ramie Russell Jay VI. Russell Construction Company 10300 Alamo Court Ifichita, Kansas 67212 Dear Pis. Russell: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I understand what is happenine and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a Particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have ..ieen relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal 2,2serve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too ageressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is riy fervent hone that we can all look forward to an imoroverent in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, ,Ftsep 14341 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0ctober 27, 19n1 !Ir. Carl !'4,. Sabatello, President Sabatello Construction of Florida, Inc. P.D. Box 12402 Lake Park, Florida 33403 Pear Sabatello: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your disray over the effect high interest rates have had on yourhhousing sales. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal 7eserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. if the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanoes in credit markets, however, I Op not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates befnre too lono. Sincerely, 3F:sep #4309 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 19171 fir. V,enneth E. Scarbrough Tallahassee Dui 1 ders eassoc. 211 Delta Court Tallahassee, Florida 33303 Dear '!r. Scarbrough: Thank you for your letter asking that I "lower the interest rates". The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustainea reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leadine to still higher interest rates. Restorinn once stability unavoidably requires restrained tronetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Conaress and the Adrinistration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. We know this has been a difficult Period for many People, and it Is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, sen MST; https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis : .4,;1471 .VINKr, • 77711r, October 27, 19R1 Mrs. Kay Schtseacher ,lear Mrs. Schunather: Thank you for your letter regardino the effects of high interest rates on your in-law's automobile dealership. I understand what is happening and I am symathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine particularly harsh lippact on credit-sensitive industries while SOfile other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must raaderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnanding the money supply too Repressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonc. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 27, 19P1 lir. Richard Scotti Dear "r. Scotti: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the small business community. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sone other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands cortined with a large Federal deficit at a tier when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal 7eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too acoressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanoes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, ,F:see https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Gary J. Sepsi Royal Designer Hares, Inc. 10730 N. 56th Street Temple Terrace, Florida 33617 Dear Mr. Sepsi: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happenine and I ar sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh Impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong erlvate credit derands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidinn some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonq. Sincerely, SF:sep f4215 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 and Mrs. Clarence E. Shoemaker telt. "r. and Mrs. Shoemaker: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on home buyers and sellers. I understand what is Llanpeoing and I mil sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aneressively, I ar convinced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to channes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 044 1) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 11P1 Mr. Dan G. Smith Smith Realty of Lexington, Inc. P.O. Box 384 Lexington, Aorth Carolina 27292 Dear Mr. Smith: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest had on you and other builders. I understand what is happening have rates to your concerns. sympathetic am and I The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine sore of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before toe long. Sincerely. 6F:sep #4254 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org MERIN" Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Ken Smith Ken Smith Homes P.O. j- ox 4048 Irving, Texas 75061 )ear ?Ir. Smith: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the nrowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandinn the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an imnrovement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely. F:In https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Clctober 27, 1981 Mr, Gene Spear, Broker American Realty Company 109 Creekwood Drive gowlino Green, Kentucky 42101 Dear Mr. Spear: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects 140 interest rates are having on home buyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and nther credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exoectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonn. Sincerely, GC2sop •4314 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal O' Reserve Bank of St. Louis 44 October 27, 1981 Mr. Stephen Spitz Dockside Village Building Corp. R.D. 6, Atsion Road Medford, lew Jersey 08055 Dear Mr. Spitz: Thanks for sendino me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a Particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries 4hile some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono nrivate credit demands cortined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aegressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exoectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely. A711 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 'ttober 27, 1031 r. Otis C. Stamps `7.ecretary/Treasurer Inject-O-Meter ttanufacturing 220 Thornton Clovis, Aew Mexico 88101 Dear Mr. Stamps: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on your agricultural business. I understand what is hanpening and I ar sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a Particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflatien. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too aegressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanees in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 27, 1981 Mr. Wayne L. Stephenson Branch Manager & Realtor Associate Grant, Realtors 11170 60th Street North Stillwater, Minnesota 55082 Dear Mr. Stephenson: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, Bnevjj 1P4442 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Charles P. Stetson, President Stetson Securities Corp. P.O. Box 58 Southport, Connecticut 06490 Dear Mr. Stetson: Thank you for your mailgram to the Federal Reserve regarding a return to the gold standard. As you may know, the Congress has established a commission to examine the issues you have raised. Three members of the Federal Reserve Board will serve on that commission, and we are confident that there will he a full and timely examination of the questions involved in having gold play a more prominent role in our monetary system. Sincerely, Bnevjj S.O. #6$3 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis A • October 27, 1981 Ms. Alma Strackbein P.O. Box 74 Pinos Altos, New Mexico 88053 Dear Ms. Strackbein: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and Individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time combined credit, when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BFIev jj 4320 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Steouse & Company, Incorporated Dear Sirs: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects Mph interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is hanpeninc and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while spat? other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandinn the money supply too acoressively. I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit Inarkets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, F:see https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ictober 27, 1181 Mr. Leonard R. Strouse )ear r, Strouse: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happenine and I ern sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh irract on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands confined telth a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must roderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal 7.eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before ton long. Sincerely, '3F:sep 14497 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Ms. Pat Taylor Senior Vice President First Interstate Bank of Gallup 300 W. Aztec Gallup, New Mexico 87301 Dear Ms. Taylor: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. 1 believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal Initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, 13F:evjj 04229 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 191 Mr. Ronald 7, Taylor Gate Wood ;2,uilders, Inc. 2502-A. 9ade hampton Boulevard Greenville, South Carolina 29615 Dear 9r, Taylor: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh irnact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1951 Mr. Royal P. Taylor President Amsterdam Savings Bank 11 Division Street Amsterdam, New York 12010 Dear Mt. Taylor: Thank you for your recent mailram concerning the deregulatory actions of the DIDC. I understand the concerns which prompted you to write and I want to assure you that I will bear them in mind at future meetings of the DIDC. Sincerely, NB:crl #4490 October 27, 1921 Mr. J. D. Thomas Dear Mr. Thomas: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on farTers and the small business community. I understand what is happening and I an symomthetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh irpact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit derands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sone of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org • Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • October 27, 1981 October 27, 1981 Mr. Dennis James Tomczak Dear Mr. Tomczak: Thank you for your letter regarding the economy and the defense of the country. I an glad you see the need for a strong fight against inflation and that you are concerned about the well being of the people. While I am not entirely clear on your thinking concerning some of the issues you raised. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, ?Fisher/0c CC: Sandy Wolfe (2) Dorothy Saunders I .0 2ctober 27, 1981 Mr. Cree L. Timmer, Secretary United Development Services, Inc. 400 Mills Avenue - Level 2 Mills Centre 0reenville, South Carolina 29605 Dear Mr. Turner: Thanks for sendine me your letter regarding the effects ef high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on Musing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a laroe Federal deficit at A time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the nrowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. rt any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 27, 1981 Mr. deal E. Turner Neal Turner Development P.G. Box 1239 Bowline Green, Kentucky 42101 Dear Mr. Turner: Thank you for your letter and your "key" to lowering interest rates. The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the nroblem, because inflationary expectations would surre, leadino to still hieher interest rates. Restorin( price stability unavoidably requires restrainPd monetary and credit orowth. As our efforts and those of the roneress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hone is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in ooverneent snendine and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. Ye know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it Is our fervent wish that things will he better or all of us in the future. Thank you for writine. Sincerely, 3F:see f4272 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis N. • October 27, 1981 Mr. Darrel L. Vandiviere Dear Mr. Vandiviere: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, SF:evjj , 4438 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27. 1981 Mr. R. F. Vick Ristway Construction, Inc. 1210 S. '4aterview Drive Inverness, rlorida 32650 Dear Mr. Vick: Thank you for your letter reoardinn the effects high interest rates have had on you and other builders. I understand what is happenine and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the econory have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of stronn private credit demands combined with a larne Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must roderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal P.eserve were to try to lower interest rates by exPanding the money supply too angressively, I ale convinced the resultant increase in infletionary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanees in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any tlay of avoidino sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lono. Sincerely. ':sep 226 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Edward L. Viets Dear Mr. Viets: Thank you for your further correspondence concerning the goldbacked dollar. As you may know, the Congress has established a commission to examine the issues you have raised. Three members of the Federal Reserve Board will serve on that commission, and we are confident that there will be a full and timely examination of the questions involved in having gold play a more prominent role in our monetary system. Sincerely, BF:evjj t3410 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 19E1 Mr. M. C. aldrip, President Marvin Weldrip Realty Company 319 Atlanta Street, S.E. !,larietta, Georgia 30060 Dear Mr. ualdrip: Thanks for sendinr me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I understand what is happening and I an syrnathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a aarticularly harsh irnact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while soee other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal eserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the roney supply ton Regressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hirher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. T know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an imnrovement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, ir:se A40,11 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 !Ir. John B. Weber John G. Weber Construction Corpany 2509 Regency Court Sioux Falls, South Dakota 57103 Dear 1.., 4eber: Thanks for sendino me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on home buyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and I am sympethetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a narticularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an irproverent in inflation and interest rates before ton long. Sincerely, ,1A,, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Robert Weibel, President Rog's Concrete, Inc. P.O. Box 623 Rhinelander, 'fisconsin 54501 Dear Mr. Weibel: Thanks for sending me your letter recording the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happenine and I an syrpathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong Private credit demands combined with a lame Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hinher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improver:mkt in inflation and interest rates before too lone. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, • October 27, 1981 9r. 'iesley K. qhitehead Century 21/"hitehead-Holliday Realty, Inc. 5838 Joiner Drive San Antonio, Texas 78238 Dear :Ir. qhitehead: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I understand what is happenine and I an symnathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries 4hile socie other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal leserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I AM convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hinher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. It any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, :fftsep #4312 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (ctober 27, 1q81 Mr. Bill -1hiteside Dear Mr. tlhiteside: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your dismay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I understand what is happenine. and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh ir.Jpact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries ihile some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands calbined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expending the enney supply toe aegressively, I an convinced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit, I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 27, 1981 Mr. C. !Thitnacre Dear 'Ir. Whitmore: Thank you for your card regarding the effects of high interest rates on you and other members of the small business cntartunity. I understand what is happenino and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must Foderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Teserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are Particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forgard to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, F:sey 942115 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Mr. Bill Wilkinson Realtor, C.R.S. Century 21 2298 South Military Trail West Palm Beach, Florida 33406 Dear Mr. Wilkinson: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BF:evb #4482 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 David i. ',liners Realty. Inc. Dear Sirs: Thanks for sending me your letters regarding the effects high interest rates are having on home buyers and sellers. I understand what is happenine and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Peserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too aggressively. I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hinher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, neweepe, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely. .F:see 4141‘/ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • October 27, 1981 Mr. Roby C. Willis Willis 6uilders Route 1, ilox 38E; Fountain Inn, South Carolina 29644 Dear Mr. Willis: Thank you for your letter asking that I "lower the interest rates". The plain fact, however, is that we will not he able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would sure, leading to still hither interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. ",s our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. ie know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, CF:seo #44SS https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 1981 Is. Gladys Yokell, Office !lanager United Development, Inc. 201 Chick Hampton Building 1 Chick Springs Road Greenville, South Carolina 29609 Dear "s. Yokell: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your desmay over the effect high interest rates have had on your housing sales. I understand what is hanpening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong privete credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by exoandine the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hioher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to channes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. lt any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before, too lone. Sincerely, 3F:set) 44216 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 27, 19n. Mt. Peter W. Hughes Legislative Counsel American Association of Retired Persons National Retired Teachers Association 1909 K Street, N.W. Washington, D. C. 23049 Dear !tr. Hughes I appreciate having the views on passbook rate ceilings that you communicated on behalf of the American Association of Retired Persons and the National Retired Teachers Association. I want to assure you that it was with great regret that I decided to vote against an increase in those ceilings at this time. / am mindful of the need for added income on the part of many of our older citizens, and I ea also persuaded of the benefits of moving passbook ceilings toward market rates in the most expeditious manner that is feasible. In present circumstances, however, I am very much concerned about the adverse impact that higher passbook rates would have on the earnings of depository institutions. Indeed, I an persuaded that the safety and soundness of some of these institutions would be severely jeopardized. Accordingly, while I am convinced that passbook ceilings should be kept under continuing review and raised at the earliest opportunity, I believe that financial conditions militate against such an action at this time. Sincerely, Paul A. Volcicer NB:crl I/4988 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Edward V. Regan State Comptroller 270 Broadway New York, New York 10007 Dear Mr. Regan: Thank you for sending me a copy of your letter to Secretary Regan regarding the subject of taxable bond options for state and local governments. I appreciate your invitation to comment on it. As you well know, the idea of the taxable bond option has been discussed for a good many years now. As you note, the traditional arguments in support of the proposal have been that it would enable states and localities to tap a broader range of potential investors and would save the federal government lost tax revenues. A key determinant of this last point, of course, is the degree of federal subsidy and it is a little hard to consider the issue in the abstract. Arguments against the proposal have included technical questions about impacts on relative taxable and tax-exempt bond rates and thus on the extent of possible savings, concerns about the survival of the tax-exempt market, and concerns about a possible progressive encroachment of the federal government on the financial freedom of state and local units. The result has been something of a legislative stalemate. I think that the idea merits renewed consideration. I would guess, however, that in the current environment of serious concern about the dimensions of the federal deficit, the uncertain budgetary consequences of such a program might be a significant impediment to enactment. Moreover, I would doubt that any reasonable taxable bond option program would be sufficient to overcome the current financial problems of states and localities--problems that will only be solved when we do succeed in reining in inflation and setting the economy back on a course of healthy economic expansion. Sincerely, MJP:JZ--tn (#3924) bcc: Mr. Prell Ms. Wing Ms. Wolfe (2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 2, 1981 Ms. i;obbie Allen, President A M Realty 4309 Montrose Boulevard Houston, Texas 77006 Dear is. Allen: Thanks for sendino me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on home buyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housino and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aoeressively, I am convinced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution T see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, ;F:sep ?4163 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Geoffrey T. Andron Dear Mr. Andron: Thank you for your recent letter to me, other members of the Board and staff regarding the impact of the rapid growth in money market mutual funus (4KMFs) on Ml-B. You pointed out that the utilization of the check-writing feature of many MMMF accounts has understated the effective growth of Ml-B during 1981 and your recommendation is that the Federal Reserve adjust its policy targets to compensate for the growing importance of MMMFs. I agree that the evidence appears to suggest that the recent sluggishness in the narrow, or Ml-B, definition of money thus far in 1981 has resulted from more intensive application of sophisticated cash management techniques by firms and even individuals that permits a reduc; tion in holdings of transactions balances relative to levels of spending By MMMFs undoubtedly have played an important role in this process. contrast, the M2 and M3 definitions of money, which include MMMFs, are growing at least as rapidly as they did last year. is Estimation of the magnitude of the effect of MMMFs on Ml-B very difficult, however. Your calculation of the impact, using cash items generated by MMMF checks, assumed that the total volume of checks held written on MMMF accounts was drawn on funds that would otherwise be these of size average the Given . accounts --even temporarily--in Ml-B checks and their relatively infrequent use, it is likely that a portion would of these funds represent transfers between non-money assets that in the example, For event. any in not have flowed through Ml-B accounts rm short-te ive alternat in hela been absence of MMMFs, funds might have nonother to bills from s investments, say Treasury bills and transfer money assets, such as stocks or bonds, would have the same effect on measured Ml-B as use of a mutual fund check to purchase these assets. In addition, even if the issuers of MMMF checks would otherwise have used checks drawn on Ml-B accounts, some issuers likely would be sophisticated cash managers, waiting to fund these accounts until average, just before the checks were to clear is generally less, on than the 4 to 14 days you cited. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis V_ Mr. Geoffrey T. Andron -- 2 With these caveats in mind, I agree that MMMis have reduced the demand for Ml-B balances, in part by substituting directly for transactions balances, as you point out, but also by providing a highly liquid alternative to these balances. In this period of rapid financial innovation, growth in the monetary aggregates must be interpreted carefully. No single measure of the monetary aggregates can be relied upon to impart complete information on the stance of monetary policy. In recognition of this, the Federal Open Market Committee in its mid-year review indicated its awareness of the changing relationship between the growth of Ml-B and the broader aggregates arising from, among other things, flows of funds into MMMFs. These issues are under close and constant scrutiny and I can assure you that, as you suggest, any possible change in the transactions properties of MMMFs will be monitored closely. Thank you for taking the time to share your insights with me. Sincerely, SAtkinson/DLKohn:tn #4255 cc: Mi. Kohn Ms;. Atkinson https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Ms. Sherry1 K. Andrus near mt. Andrus: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happeninn and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a particularly harsh impact on hnusine and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strnnp private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, iF:sep 14058 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • FM6. October 26, 1981 Is. Jane 11rmstrono Jim 'qest, Dealtors 11902 Jones Road Houston, Texas 77070 Dear 'IS. rsrmstrono: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high Interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is hapoenino and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh imact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal '..eserve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aogressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidinn some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone, Sincerely. 3Ftser) 042811 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Chuck Avery, President Building Industry Association of Central California, Inc. 1401 F Street Modesto, California 95354 Dear Mr. Avery: Thank you for your letter urging that I "develop a more equitable program to encourage productivity, discourage use of credit for unproductive programs, and lower interest rates." I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 13F:eyjj #3113 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe florothy Saunders • October 26, 19R1 Mr. Terry Baecker lee. Mr. aecker: Thanks for sendine me your letter regarding the effects of hieh interest rates on home buyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh Ill.:act on housino and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are A reflection of strew-, private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Peserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exoandine the money supply too aegressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, T do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look .forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, !iF:sen f4099 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis letober 26, 1981 Mr. and Mrs. Dave Bailey-Dean Real Log Homes P.O. Box 241 Smith Grove, Kentucky 42171 Dear Mr. and Mrs. Bailey-Dean: Thanks for sending me your letter recarding the effects of high interest rates on home buyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I rin convinced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, Oftsav s4043 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Douglas W. Barr Dear Mr. Barr: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, Dctober 26, 1981 Mr. Chas, Boster, President Booster Lurber Company 1210 W. Crawford Salina, Kansas 67401 Dear Mr. Boster: Thank you for your letter urging that the interest rates be lowered. The nlain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction In inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Pestorine price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. We know this has been a difficult period for many neople, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, 3F:sep 04484 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • October 26, 1981 Mr. W. S. Boykin Suburban Charles St. Gallery 6229 N. Charles Street Baltimore, Maryland 21212 Dear Mr. Boykin: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high Interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BFsevjj #3047 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mrs. Leland E. Briggs Dear Mrs. Briggs: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. Sincerely, BF:evjj #2741 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. and Mrs. James S. Brown Jim Brown Real Estate 1855 Lakeland Drive - Uuilding H The Quarter - P.O. Box 4832 Jackson. Mi ssi ss poi 39216 Dear Mr. and lrs. Brain: Thanks for sending re your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on home Wyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Peserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to channes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 1F:se f4115 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis )ctober 2, 1T11 Mr. and Mrs. Allen Durdette Dear Mr. and Mrs. Gurriette: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragement face the In are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. Sincerely, '1F:sep ,A346 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 klr. Robert uroer Burget Construction ; Contracting Corp. 1301 Sixth Street rarion, Iowa 52302 )ear Mr. 'Artier: Thanks for sendinn me your letter reoarding the problems high interest rates have caused you in your attempt to sell the homes in your inventory. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a narticularly harsh impact on housino and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a lame Federal deficit at a ti rr when the Federal Peserve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money supply too angressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action VI reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for kisinesses and individuals who are narticularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avnidine sore of these basic issues. f\-t any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improverent in inflation and interest rates before ton low% Sincerely, ;F:sor 4115 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • • October 26, 1981 Mr. Harold J. Carey President People Bank 899 Pearl Street Eugene, Oregon 97440 Dear Mr. Carey: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Thank you for your letter concerning money market mutual funds and their impact on the financial system. The role of money market funds in our nation's financial structure has been and continues to be monitored at the Federal Reserve Board. It is evident that the rapid growth of these funds is having important consequences for the competitive positions of financial institutions, the cost and availability of credit to certain borrowers, and the implementation of monetary policy. I presented the Board's views on these matters in testimony before the Congress this past summer and am enclosing a copy of my remarks in this letter. I hope you will find these comments useful and I very much appreciated receiving your views. Sincerely, Enclosure CC: Mr. Mr. Ms. Ms. McKelvey Johnson Wing Wolfe (2) DJohnson/EMcKelvey/JLKichline #4548 October 26, llel Mr. Robert Carmouche, President Carmouche Realty, Inc. 1708 Santa Paula Drive Las Vegas, Aevada 89104 Jelr Mr. Carmouche: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand that is happenino and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hioher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal defi ci t. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. It any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lono. Sincerely, GF:seg #4111 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis "'s,- 0ctober 26, 1981 Ms. Diana Chapman Dear t'$. Chapman: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happen-Igo and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housino and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit, I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do net believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonn. Sincerely, re- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1931 Mr. Allan B. Chealander Dear Mr. Chealander: Thank you for your recent letter expressing support for the Federal Reserve's efforts to restore price stability. As you suggest, only by remaining steadfast in our commitment to slowing the growth of money and credit will we he able to end inflation. Moreover, progress in this effort will be hastened by actions complementing monetary restraint, such as additional efforts to control growth of Federal expenditures and thus reduce the Federal Government's demands for the economy's scarce savings and by appropriate private sector behavior. In your letter you expressed concern about the $2.9 billion increase in consumer installment credit during the month of August. The bulk of this increase -- $2.1 billion -- was in credit to purchase automobiles, whose sales were spurred in that month by rebate programs. Growth in overall consumer installment credit generally has been sluggish for the past year; indeed, total consumer credit expanded at only a 7 percent rate over the year ending in August 1981, well below the average rates prevailing in recent years. Once again, let me thank you for taking the time to express your viewis on this very important matter. Sincerely, CC: Mr. Mr. Ms. Ms. Simpson Spitzer Wing Wolfe (2) JBitzer/TDSimpson/JLKichline #4577 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Ms. Cynthia Christensen Century 2I/Key Realty, Inc. 980 N. Kingshighway Cape Girardeau, Missouri 63701 Dear Ms. Christensen: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not particularly who are way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it believe there Is any is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, F3F:evjj #3588 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 411111•0°•"--- Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 26, 1981 Douglas L. Cochran, Ph. D. Dear Dr. Cochran: Thank you for your suggestion and letter and your expression of support. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. Sincerely, V)/ https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ictober 26, 1981 Ms. Elizabeth A. Coe Drawer M Ruidoso, law Mexico 8P345 Dear Ms. Coe: Thank you for your letter suggesting that interest rates be towered to help the economy. The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Sirply creatino more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would suroe, leading to still hioher interest rates. Restnring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary And credit growth. our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hone is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. !,Ie know this has been a difficult period for many oenple, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for wri ti no. Sincerely, 2Ftsep 44G1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 !Ir. Thomas F. Courtney, P.C. Dear 'Ir. Courtney: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high Interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happenine and I ma sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong nrivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal 'nerve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supnly too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, a:ser #44r https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Larry D. Cunningham Dear Mr, Cunningham: Thank you for your note saving tb "unlock the economy and lower interest rates." The plain fact, however, is that we will not he able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creatino more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. lestorino price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. '4e know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will he better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, 3F:sep #4454 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Lester G. Day Executive Vice President American Development Corporation One Park Plaza 1250 Wilshire Boulevard, Suite 2000 Los Angeles, California 90010 Dear Mr. Day: Thank you for your letter commenting on Governor Schultz's appearance before the NAHB Board of Directors and suggesting several policy initiatives to reduce interest rates. I recognize that high interest rates are causing serious problems for many businesses today, especially smaller firms that are highly dependent on credit and may have limited resources to fall back on in difficult periods. Of course, borrowers do not like to pay these rates, and I am certain that in his letter to you Mr. Manies had in mind the remarkable persistence of demands for credit by some borrowers, especially businesses, at historically high rates in this inflationary environment. High interest rates do add to costs for businesses, who in turn attempt to pass them along to consumers in higher prices. But high interest rates cannot explain continuous inflation. Rather, the basic direction of causation runs from inflation to high interest rates, and a permanent and lasting reduction in rates cannot be accomplished without a permanent and lasting reduction in inflation. You suggest four different policies to encourage declines in interest rates. I agree with you that we must reduce the federal deficit, both to give additional substance and credibility to our anti-inflation efforts, and to make more funds available to private borrowers in credit markets. With respect to money market funds, I have recommended to Congress that the Federal Reserve be granted authority to impose reserve requirements on these funds, to the extent they are being used for transactions purposes, in order to enhance Federal Reserve control over money growth and to produce a more equitable competitive balance between the money funds and depository institutions. I do not believe it would be fruitful, however, to "jawbone" financial market participants, as you recommend. Given the record of the last 15 years, investors can be expected to be quite skeptical of efforts to convince them the end of inflation is at hand. The financial community, along with labor, consumers, and business managers will need to see actions and results before they can be convinced to base their decisions on expectations of permanently lower inflation and interest rates. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Mr. Lester G. Day 9 For this reason, I disagree with your suggestion that the Federal Reserve promote less stringent credit conditions by reducing reserve requirements and the discount rate and keeping money growth at the top of its range. Such actions, in my view, would cause only a temporary decline in interest rates. Indications that the resolve of the Federal Reserve to stop inflation was eroding would soon boost interest rates, especially longer-term rates, as savers and borrowers anticipated the coming acceleration of price increases. We must persist in our policy of gradually reducing money growth, and we must seek a greater measure of budget discipline to alleviate the dislocation caused by the current high level of interest rates. Only in this way will we accomplish the permanent reduction of inflation and interest rates we both desire. Sincerely, DLKohn/JLKichline:tn #3844 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 19fl1 Mr. Terry Dan Dear Mr. Dan: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happeninn and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh irpact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono nrivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, F:seP 14476 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 2, 1981 Mt. Edna Dennis Dear Ms. Dennis: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanpes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, ;4?CcI https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1381 Mr. Terry L. DeVaughn, Owner DeVaughn r:3ui lders 2362 Cajun Drive Marietta, Georgie 30966 ;.)ear Mr. DeVaughn: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the problems high interest rates have caused you in your attempt to sell the homes in your inventory. I understand what is happening and I am s.ymnathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havinn a narticularly harsh imnact on housine and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, Are a reflection of streno private credit demands combined with a lame cederal deficit at a tire when the Federal deserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnandinn the money sunply too aonressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exnectations would lead to even hinher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit, I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic issues. Pit any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 26, 1981 !Is. Sondra K. Diana Sales Representati ve Executive Homes 17416 !lorth 6th Place Phoenix, Arizona 85022 leer is. ana: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of stronq private credit demands combined with a lame Federal deficit at a time when the Federal reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exnectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal defi ci t. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 26, 1981 Mr. John N. Dodgen President Dodgen Industries, Inc. Humboldt, Iowa 50548 Dear Mr. Dodgen: Thank you for your reply to my letter of September 11. Please be assured that I fully understand that the extraordinary high levels of interest rates are a cause of considerable concern to American Business enterprises. I firmly believe, however, that our country cannot prosper with the kind of inflation that has been allowed to build over the past several years. I wish I could tell you that there is an easy way to wring inflation out of our economy, but there is not. We at the Federal Reserve believe that maintaining our policy of gradually reducing money growth offers the best prospect of an ultimate return to price stability. The process is slow and, in some cases, painful. If we were to back away from our responsibilities and abandon our pursuit of monetary restraint there might be a temporary decline in interest rates, but that would quickly be followed by intensified inflationary pressures and increased interest rates--possibly to levels higher than we have already experienced. In such circumstances, the environment in which you and other entrepreneurs operate would be even worse than it is now. The transition from inflation to price stability, however, could be eased if the Federal Reserve did not have to bear the burden of fighting inflation alone. The current large Federal deficit is placing substantial demands on credit markets and, as a result, is putting extreme upward pressure on Lnterest rates. I strongly support the efforts of the administration and the Congress to enact further budget cuts as a way of alleviating such pressures. Sincerely, CGlassman/GBurghardt'JZeisel:tn (#2364) bcc: Mr. Glassman Mr. Burghardt Mrs. Wing Ms. Wolfe (2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Randell Dawson Dear Mr. Dawson: Thank you for your letter requesting that I "unlock" the economy and lower interest rates. The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets, tle know this has been a difficult nerind for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, : 445 ,- 11 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 19PI Mr. Phillip n. Drennan Dear Ir. Drennan: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of hieh interest rates on housinn and its associated industries. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of stronn private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal r'eserve must troderate the ornwth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal `Zeserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too aogressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is ifly fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, 0 October 26, 1981 Mr. E. J. Dronet President and Chief Executive Officer Cameron State Bank Post Office Box 430 Cameron, Louisiana 70631 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • Dear Mr. Dronet: Thank you for your letter concerning the regulation of money market mutual funds and the phase-out of deposit rate ceilings at commercial banks and thrift institutions. The Federal Reserve has studied carefully the issue of money market mutual fund regulation and concluded that those money fund shares that can be used for transactions purposes should be subject to reserve requirements. We believe that such action would assist the Federal Reserve in formulating and implementing monetary policy, and at the same time promote competitive equity among financial intermediaries. Accordingly, last June, in testimony before the House Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy, I requested the legislative authority to impose reserve requirements on the shares on money funds that serve as the functional equivalent of transactions balances. I regret to report, however, that the Congress has failed to act on this proposal. Regarding your request to maintain some form of deposit rate ceilings, I would simply observe that the Committee is required -- by law -- to eliminate all deposit rate controls by 1986. This action was taken by Congress in the belief that continuation of the ceilings would hamper the ability of commercial banks and thrifts to compete with open-market instruments and, at the same time, discriminate against savers choosing to hold their funds in insured deposits. However, the phase-out is to be gradual and should allow depository institutions time to adjust to a more competitive environment in which they would be able to offer a more complete set of financial services to their customers. When the limits on deposit rates are fully removed, the market will allocate funds to their most efficient use, including the longer-term projects you mention. Mr. E. J. Dronet Page 2 I very much understand the concerns that prompted you to write and I hope you find my comments useful. Sincerely, cc: Mr. Mr. Ms. Ms. McKelvey Moran Wing Wolfe (2) MMoran/EMcKelvey/JLKichline #4311 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Dr. Joseph Dubuque rear Dr. Dubuque: Thank you for your further letter and your expression of support. As I said before, in the face of difficulties we both recognize, your words of encouragement are greatly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to, again, take the time to write. Sincerely, BF/tn #4349 bcc: Ms. Wolfe Ms. Saunders https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 0 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 2, 1T1 Mr. Kenneth E. Ourst Kenneth E. Durst, Inc. P.O. Box 17163 Tampa, Florida 3382 Dear Mr. Durst: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a Particularly harsh imnact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Rese.rve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money sunply ton aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates befnre too lone. Sincerely, "X:ser) ;417n https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 !Ir. and Mrs. John Dyke Endicott Construction Co., Inc. P.O. Box 357 Midlothian, Virginia 23113 Dear Mr. and Mrs. Dyke: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the problems high have caused you in your attempt to sell the homes in your rates interest what is hanpenino and I am sympathetic to your I understand inventory. concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a particularly harsh imnact on housino and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tine when the Federal Reserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money supply too aegressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this nay sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to channes in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BF:sep #4064 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (ktober 26, 1901 !Ir. Stephen A. Eckert Arector of Administration Porten Sullivan Corporation 6177 Executive Boulevard Rockville, Maryland 20852 Dear "r. Eckert: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on home buyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and T an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a Particularly harsh irract on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lend to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound e bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, ff:sep 4172 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis !Thtober 26, 1981 kir. 'I. E. Ellison Ellison Electric Supply, Inc. 165 W. Division Street - P.n. Box 1235 Fond Du Lac, "isconsin 54935 Dear Ir. Ellison: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havinn P Particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal 7eserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandinr.1 the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations viould lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, %Ftser 04277 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • 7ictobe.r 26, 1931 Mr. 0111 Ferriell. Partner Ferriell Lorenz Developrent Company P.O. 3ox 14258 Louisville, !',entuck.y 40214 Dear 71r, Ferriell: Thanks for sendine rP your letter regardine the problems high interest rates have caused your buildino and development business. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on bousine and other credit-sensitive industries while son e other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a lane Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Deserve must moderate the erowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. know this ray sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rites before too long. Sincerely, ,MT15 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 191 Mr. John 71. Flood, Vice-PresIdent 13reeden Mechanical, Inc. 7635 Leesburg Pike Falls Church, Virginia 22043 Dear'1r, Flood: Thanks for sendine me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on housing and its associated industries. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh irract on housine and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look fordard to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too intr. Sincerely, P4382 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • October 26, 1981 Mr. Myron C. Floyd Southern General Construction Co., Inc. P.P. Box 283 Lake City, South Carolina 29560 Dear Mr. Floyd: Thanks for sendine me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happenino and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housinp and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a lame Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aperessively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expeotations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, LIF:sen 44040 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0ctober 26, 1981 Mr. Jack Foley, President Jack Foley Construction Comnany 8003 Woodraont Avenue Bethesda, Maryland 20014 near Mr. Foley: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happenine. and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a narticularly harsh impact on hnusino and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandina the mney supply too aegressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanees in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too loep. Sincerely, ,F:sep 44182 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Miss Jo Galiardi Dear Miss Gsliardi: I want to express my nincere appreciation and that of the rest of the Board of Governors for your dedicated and efficient service for more than eleven years as a member of the Board's staff. Your assignments in the Division of Research and Statistics with Mr. Gramley, in the Board Members Section with Messrs. Hudson and Jones, and as Manager of the Secretarial Section have provided you an opportunity to share in some very important work of the Board. We hope you will look back with pride on this period of your life. My colleagues on the Board join me in extending best wishes for many years of good health and personal fulfillment in your retirement. Sincerely, GGS/cic October 26, 1981 Mr. Joe GardeIla Creative Cookware, Etc. 1455 Newell Avenue Walnut Creek, California 94596 Dear Mr. GardeIla: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on your business. I sincerely regret the difficulties you expressed. These are very troubling times, and I am not insensitive to the problems experienced by many individuals. A substantial and lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing inflation down. As monetary and fiscal policies work to reduce long term inflation, it is my hope that we can all look forward to a healthier economy and lower interest rates. I know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is my fervent wish that things will be better for you in the future. Sincerely, 31 Ftevjj 443406 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy ‘Volfe -113,-"thy Saunders October 26, 1981 Ms, Marcia Geentzel Custom Care Builders, Inc. 11800 Taft Yichita, Kansas 67207 Jeer Ms, Geentzel: Thank you for your card regarding the need you feel to remind public officials that interest rates need to be lower. The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we brine about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably reouires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Coneress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. We know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Thank you for writing. Sincerely, October 26, 1981 Mr. Kenneth R. Giddens WKRG P.O. Box 2367 Mobile, Alabama 36652 Dear Mr. Giddens: I appreciate your taking the time to write to me about your concern that monetary policy is having an adverse effect on economic activity in your area. As you correctly point out in your letter, the rapid creation of money and the existence of large government deficits have been majcr contributors to the rate of inflation. Moreover, we have all become painfully aware of the detrimental impacts of inflation and heightened inflation expectations on many sectors of the economy. Persistent rapid rates of price increase have discouraged long-term financial commitments and diverted efforts away from productive pursuits and toward activities intended only as a shield from the next round of price increases. The goal of the Federal Reserve is, and has been, to create a stable economic environment in which businesses can operate and plan their investments and in which jobs can be created. This can only occur if price stability is restored. Because maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. Of course, disciplined monetary policy in conjunction with a responsible fiscal program will produce, in the short run, some burdens for certain sectors of the economy. We recognize that the high cost of credit creates particular problems for small businesses, especially for borrowers who rely primarily on lending institutions for financing. Nevertheless, we cannot avoid these problems by retreating from our present policy and simply creating more money and credit. I am convinced that in the end, such a course could only aggravate inflation and inflation expectations, setting back prospects for a restoration of economic growth and stability in years to come. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -- 2 Mr. Kenneth R. Giddens Again, thank you very much for taking the time to share your thoughts and concerns with me. Sincerely, JZickler/DStockton/tn (#4345) bcc: Ms. Mr. Ms. Ms. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Zickler Stockton Wing Wolfe (2) lctober 26, 1981 Mr. C. 3. Goodson 3ailey and Bailey 1425 Jacksonian Plaza Jackson, Mississippi 39206 )ear Mr. Goodson: Thanks for sendinn me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on home buyers and sellers. I understand what is hapoeninn and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housinn and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of stronn nrlvate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avnidinn some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. eincerelv, +44171 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis october 26, 19R1 Mr. Allen W. Graber Dear v1r. flraber: Thank you for your letter regardinn the effects of high interest rates on farvers and the small business comunity. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the econory have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong orivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal 'eserve must enderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal 'Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aogressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hinher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidino some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonn. incerely, F:.". • https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis = October 26, 1981 Mr. H. Kevin Granberry. President Granberry Construction, Inc. 1923 Montoomery Hiehway - P.O. Box 6345 Dothan, Alabama 36302 Dear 'Ir. rlranberry: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the problers high interest rates have caused you in your atter,* to sell the homes in your inventory. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a narticularly harsh impact on housinn and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal eserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal eservo were to try to lower interest rates by expandinn the money supply too aegressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hinher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the rederal deficit. I knew this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an imprPvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. `Ancerely, IT:sep #4152 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis z October 26, 1981 Mr. R. Clemson Griggs Dear Mr. Griggs: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. Sincerely, EiFtevjj 03778 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 L:alvin F. Gunn, Esq. Dear Mr. Gunn: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the economy, and your suggestion that cuts in Federal spending are necessary to fight inflation. I understand the concerns that prompted your message. I should note that the Federal Reserve is not trying to maintain any particular level of interest rates. Instead our policy is directed towards restraining excessive growth in money and credit. History shows that no antiinflation program can be successful without such an effort. In an economy that is expanding, with prices still not acceptably stable, strong loan demand and inflationary expectations conflict with the necessary efforts to moderate money and credit growth, leading to pressures in financial markets. This situation is particularly difficult for those who are most vulnerable to credit market pressures. But if we do not bring inflation under control the problems for all of us will be much greater in the long run. As you know, there is considerable fluctuation in interest rates. However, a substantial and long-lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing about a sustained reduction in inflation. As we have long maintained, we cannot rely on monetary restraint alone to control inflation; it must be balanced and complemented by fiscal restraint. The borrowing requirements of the Federal Government, huge by any measure, strain financial markets and make it more difficult for the private sector to borrow. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential cuts in public spending. The success of the Administration and the Congress in reducing spending and ultimately the Federal deficit depends on the support and understanding of the public. I appreciate your taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, 6F:evjj #3407 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe norothy Saunders • r'ctober 26, 1981 Mr. Joe Henry, President Delmar Development Corp. 1661 South Congress Avenue - Suite #2 west Palm 3each, Florida 33406 Dear Mr. henry: Thanks for sending me your letter reoardino the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a Particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strew.; private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too oppressively, I Arl convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Si nce rely, i-44; https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0ctober 26, 1981 Ms. Jeanne Hill Jim t.,'est, Realtors 11902 Jones Road Houston, Texas 77070 Dear Ms. Hill: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housino and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a 1 arge Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound A bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to channes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. r-,t any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, 1 F:SeP 44201 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 !Is. Patricia L. Jones Dear Ms, Jones: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the economy. The olain fact, however, is that we will not he able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creatino more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. Ps our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. We know this has been a difficult neriod for many oeople, and it is our fervent wish that thinos will he better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, 3F:sep f4348 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 ms. Ruby Jones Dear Ms. Jones: You and I are basically in accord regardino the need for further reductions in the Federal budget. The Federal Reserve has long maintained that no anti-inflation program can be successful in a climate of deficit spending. I recognize, however, our country's obligations and did not advocate depriving any person or family of necessary Government assistance. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential budget cuts. As these fiscal measures take hold, along with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, YWF:s1 #2805 cc: Dorothy Saunders (1) Sandy Wolfe (2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Gerhard Jung, President Home Builders Incorporated Mrs. Ingeborg Jung, President CMI Realty Incorporated 900 Bacons Bridge Road Summerville, South Carolina 29483 Dear Mr. and Mrs. Jung: Thank you for your letter concerning the "point spread" between the prime rate and the Consumer Price Index. I am aware of the problems high interest rates have caused, and I understand the concerns that prompted you to write. I recognize that interest rates remain high despite recent reductions in the inflation rate reflected in the Consumer Price Index. However, the current interest rates reflect the deeply embedded expectation that prices will continue to climb, and not simply the current inflation rate measured in the CPI. In other words, lenders are reluctant to commit their funds without being compensated for the declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment; similarly, borrowers are willing to accept these high rates because they expect to repay the loans in cheaper dollars. In short, inflation and the expectation of continued inflation are causing high interest rates, and not the other way around. Since maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. For their part in the fight against inflation, the Administration and Congress have proposed many and realized some essential cuts in Federal spending. As their fiscal policies, complemented by the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, work to strengthen the economy, it is our fervent hope that we will all see lower interest rates in the future. Thank you again for taking the time to write. Sincerely, BF:evjj g3149 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Christine Kallstrom, Ph. D. Director Treetops \lid-Cities Learning Center, Inc. 12,500 S. Pipeline - RR 1, Box 257 Euless, Texas 76039 Dear Dr. Kallstrom: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your learning center. I sincerely regret the difficulties you expressed. These are very troubling times, and I am not insensitive to the problems experienced by many individuals. A substantial and lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing inflation down. As monetary and fiscal policies work to reduce long term inflation, it is my hope that we can all look forward to a healthier economy and lower interest rates. I know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is my fervent wish that things will be better for you in the future. Sincerely, BF:evjj #3576 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders nctober 26, 19P1 Mrs. Bennie Kirkland P.O. Box 88 Madison, Mississippi 39110 Dear Mrs. Kirkland: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before ton lone. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, • F October 26, 1981 Mr. Harold S. Kntght Superior Kitchen Distributors, Inc. 1451 Mi chi gan Toledo, Ohio 43604 Dear Mr. Knight: Thanks for sending me your letter regardine; the effects .of high interest rates on housino. I understand what is hanpening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housino and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal L'eserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, EIF:sep #4161 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. William B. Knipe, Jr. Real Estate Consultant William Knipe & Associates Imperial Plaza, Suite 204 200 North 3rd Street - P.O. Box 986 Boise, Idaho 83701 Dear Mr. Knipe: Thank you for your letter regarding the Effects of high interest rates on the economy. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BF:evjj 173598 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 26, 1981 Mr. Arthur O. Kresse Kresse & Sons, Inc. 11709 Coldstream Drive Potomac, Maryland 20854 Dear mr. Kresse: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on housing and its associated industries. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonn. Sincerely, 8F:sep 14392 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1P61 ";adine Lovelady Lovelady Realty r;ox 267 2000 '!orth Dal Paso Hobbs. :riew Mexico 88240 Dear ft. Lovelady: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the problems high interest rates have created for housing in your city. I understand what is happening and I am symnathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh. impacton housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanoes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BF:set) ;4365 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0ctober 26, 19P,1 and Mrs. Al NLundstedt Dear !lr. and Mrs. Lundstedt: Thanks for sendino me your letter regarding the effects high are having on housing and its associated industries. I rates interest understand what is haprening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are A reflection of strong nrivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal veserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by P xpandlnn the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this ray sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an iranroverient in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely. :1F:sep 0265 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Terry McCarty P.O. Box 762 Mt. Pleasant, Texas 75455 Dear Mr. McCarty: Thank you for your letter concerning a return to the gold standard. As you may know, the Congress has established a commission to examine the issues you have raised. Three members of the Federal Reserve Board will serve on that commission, and we are confident that there will be a full and timely examination of the questions involved in having gold play a more prominent role in our monetary system. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 26, 1981 Mr. Fred L. McNair McNairs Appliance Inc. 6225 Burnet Road Austin, Texas 78757 Dear Mr. McNair: Thank you for your letter concerning the "spread" between the prime rate and the Consumer Price Index. I am aware of the problems high interest rates have caused, and I understand the concerns that prompted you to write. I recognize that interest rates remain high despite recent reductions in the inflation rate reflected in the Consumer Price Index. However, the current interest rates reflect the deeply embedded expectation that prices will continue to climb, and not simply the current inflation rate measured in the CPI. In other words, lenders are reluctant to commit their funds without being compensated for the declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment; similarly, borrowers are willing to accept these high rates because they expect to repay the loans in cheaper dollars. In short, inflation and the expectation of continued inflation are causing high interest rates, and not the other way around. Since maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. For their part in the fight against inflation, the Administration and Congress have proposed many and realized some essential cuts in Federal spending. As their fiscal policies, complemented by the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, work to strengthen the economy, it is our fervent hope that we will all see lower interest rates in the future. Thank you again for taking the time to write. Sincerely, BF:ev jj 03054 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Dr. Richard A. MacDonald Dear Dr. MacDonald: Thank you for your letter urging credit restrictions for large corporations. I appreciate your suggestion; however, our experience with credit controls last year only confirmed our view regarding the difficulties with any attempts to allocate credit or intervene substantially in the credit decisions of private lenders. To have lower interest rates and a more stable economy, we must have a sustained reduction in inflation, and monetary and fiscal policies must work to achieve these objectives. I appreciate your writing. Sincerely, BF:evjj 2755 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy ;Voile Dorothy Saunders October 26, 191 Meadows Enterprises Jear Sirs: Thank you for your letter asking how long the interest rates will remain high. The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would suroe, leading to still higher interest rates. estoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Adrinistration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in oovernment spendine and the federal deficit will help to ease oressures on interest rates and credit markets. '4e know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, 3F:sep 44247 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr, Joe Mendicina, Real tor—Aucti oneer Joe Mendicina Real Estate and Auction Service 125 East Iron Avenue Salina, Kansas 67401 Dear mr. Mendicina: Thank you for your letter and your "key" to lower interest rates. The nlain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction In inflation and inflationary expectations. Simnly creatine more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leadine to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Coneress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in oovernment spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit mrkets. 4e know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will he better for all nf us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, Ari;:se #4451 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis lctober 26, 1981 Mrs. Mary Mikolai near rs. Mibolai: Thanks for sending me your 1Ptter expressing support for the policies of the Federal Reserve and your statements about the effects of high interest rates onhhousing. I understand what is hanpening and I ar syrpathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havinn a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. T know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 'F:sfm ?4n14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Raymond W. Miller Miller Electric Construction, Inc. P.O. Box D - 4038 Alpha Drive Allison Park, Pennsylvania 15101 Dear Mr. Miller: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the problems high caused you in your attempt to sell the homes in your rateshhave interest understand what is happening and I am synrathetic to your inventory. I concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined. with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too egeressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, j:sen #4376 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Herbert Morewitz John Hancock Mutual Life Insurance Company P. O. Box 2739 Newport News, Virginia 23602 Dear Mr. Morewitz: Thank you for your letter regarding energy, OPEC, and the need for synthetic fuels. While energy is not among the Federal Reserve's principal responsibilities, there is no denying that in the past several years, petroleum prices have had a major impact on our economy and are properly matters of continuing concern. Thank you for taking the time to express your views. Sincerely, i WF:s1 #2730 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dorothy Saunders (1) Sandy Wolfe (2) • October 26, 1981 Ms. Pamela Mose lear Is. mose: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happening and I am bympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while snre other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with e lame Federal deficit at a time when the Federal reserve must moderate the erowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money supply too aogressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, T do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. It any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forwPrd to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, r3F:sen 44059 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. M. S. Moser Chairman of the Board Durabla Manufacturing Company 27 Industrial Blvd. P.O. Box 1010 Paoli, Pennsylvania 19301 Dear Mr. Moser: Thank you for your letter stating that since "inflation has come under reasonable control," the interest rates should be lowered. I am aware of the problems high interest rates have caused, and I understand the concerns that prompted you to write. I recognize that interest rates remain high despite recent reductions in the inflation rate reflected in the Consumer Price Index. However, the current interest rates reflect the deeply embedded expectation that prices will continue to climb, and not simply the current inflation rate measured in the CPI. In other words, lenders are reluctant to commit their funds without being compensated for the declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment; similarly, borrowers are willing to accept these high rates because they expect to repay the loans in cheaper dollars. In short, inflation and the expectation of continued inflation are causing high interest rates, and not the other way around. Since maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. For their part in the fight against inflation, the Administration and Congress have proposed many and realized some essential cuts In Federal spending. As their fiscal policies, complemented by the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, work to strengthen the economy, it is our fervent hope that we will all see lower interest rates in the future. Thank you again for taking the time to write. Sincerely, BF:evjj g 3236 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Charles Munyer Dear mr. Munyer: Thank you for your letter and the information concerning Soviet and American military statistics. Strictly speaking, disco unt rate movements are not an important influence on general inter est rates because of strict limitations on discount window funds . The purpose of the Federal Reserve discount window is to provide individual banks with a temporary source of funds in situations where they are caught in an unexpected liquidity bind. Current interest rates are a reflection of strong priva te credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding tle money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know all of this may sound a little abstract for industries with the types of problems many are now suffering, but I am afrai d there is no way around some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, WF:sl #2714 cc: Dorothy Saunders (1) Sandy Wolfe (2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Ms. Sylvia 1. leville Dear Ms. 4eville: Thank you for your letter asking that the Federal Reserve Board work to lower the interest rates. The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction In inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spendinp and the federal deficit will help to ease nressures on interest rates and credit markets. le know this has been a difficult period for many peonle, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, 8F:sep #4419 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0ctober 26, 1q81 r. Gary L. mman Dear Thanks for sending no your letter, and the letter from your associate, lohn Bradshaw, regarding the effects high interest rates have had on housinn and its associated industries. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal .leserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further Action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic Issues, At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can All look forward to an improvement in inflation And interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, ictober 26, 1981 Mr. William T. O'Brien Legal Counsel Presley of Southern California P.n. Box 2200 - 4600 Campus Drive lewport Beach, Calffornia 92663 Dear Mr, O'Brien: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high Interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a laroe Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too agoressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exnectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are Particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidinn some of these basic issues. ft,t any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonn. Sincerely, ,F:e; • 44512 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis nctober 2E, 1981 Ms. Jean M. O'Leary Dear 'Is. O'Leary: Thanks for sending me your letter reearding the effects of high interest rates on realtors. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine earticularly harsh impact on housine and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands cor,bined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal n.eserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too aggressively, i n convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations 4euld lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal defici t. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. n cc rely, lq:seo #4107) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis %tober 26, 1981 71r. Fred M. Partenheimer Camelot Homes 2784 W. Maplewood Springfield, Missouri 65107 Dear Mr, Partenheiner: Thanks for sending me your letter e.xpressinr your fears that the may be bearing more than its share of the current high industry housing interest rate problem. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having A particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve Were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I ar convinced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even hicher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal defi ci t. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanoes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forwarci to an imprnvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, "F:sep 42t3 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26. 1981 :Ir. Robert C. Faulk Century 21/Tr City Realty Company 1701-A Osborne Street St. Marys, Georgia 31558 ')ear Mr. Paulk: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are havino on housing and its associated industries. I understand what is happening and I ar sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a Particularly harsh imact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong nrivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal 7,eserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I air convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an inprmerent in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, • • October 26, 1981 Yr. John Pearson Page County Appliance Center, Inc. 517 West Sheridan Avenue Shenandoah, Iowa 51601 Dear Mr. Pearson: Congressman Harkin forwarded your letter to me in which you indicate concern about high interest rates. I very much understand your concerns over the intense pressures faced by many firms and individuals as a result of high interest rates. We all very much want to see lower interest rates, but a sustained lower level of rates can only be achieved by a reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. The Federal Reserve could attempt to lower imttregt rates only by expanding the supply of money at an accelerated pace. Such a policy, however, would shortly add fuel to the fires of inflation and lead to still higher rates. I believe we are beginning to see some signs of progress in unwinding the inflationary spiral, and I remain hopeful that a consistent stance of monetary restraint, coupled with prudent fiscal policies, will prove successful over time in returning the country to prosperity. Sincerely, siPaul Vgiaec. CC: Congressman Tom Harkin LW:JLK:vcd (V-311) bcc: Ms. Wing Mrs. Mallardi (2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Charles A. Pechette, President Merit Homes Inc. 3350 Founders Road Indianapolis, Indiana 46268 Dear Mr. Pechette: Thank you for your recent letter in which you support monetary speeded up restraint but suggest that growh in the narrow money stock be year. this for set range growth target the into to bring that aggregate As you may know, the Federal Reserve in its Monetary Policy growth Report to Congress in February of each year establishes annual d in a reviewe are ranges These tes. ranges for several monetary aggrega Ml-B, in growth 1981, in far Thus July. second Report to Congress each to 6 3-1/2 its d below remaine has s, adjusted for shifts to NOW account ion definit s in this , weaknes However percent target range for the year. y monetar of the degree or of indicat of money likely is a misleading hness tautness. The available evidence suggests that the recent sluggis of tion ve applica more intensi in this measure has resulted from uals sophisticated cash management techniques by firms and even individ s deposit tion s of transac that is directed toward slashing holding levels of relative to levels of spending. In other words, current balances M1 of spending are being carried out with smaller amounts t, the contras By nce. than would be suggested by historical experie tive alterna liquid highly M2 and M3 definitions of money, which include of ends upper the above or to transaction deposits, are growing near their respective ranges. If the Federal Reserve were to take steps to spur--rather than policy might restrair--monetary growth, such a shift in the direction of deep-seated n already heighte and serve only to unsettle financial markets is in fact ent governm the fears --reflected in depressed bond markets--that successful a to on through not committed to seeing the fight against inflati presprice fy intensi to tend end. Moreover, added monetary stimulus would root the at is that sures in the economy, worsening the inflation problem of this process would of today's high interest rates. The end result inevitably be higher, not lower, interest rates. Sustained economic growth that we all seek can only occur in levels of interest an environment of reduced inflation. Permanently lower ed that the rates will be achieved only when market participants are convinc In recent tion. restoration of price stability is a realistic expecta https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Mr. Charles A. Pechette -- 2 months we have seen preliminary signs that inflation is beginning to slaw. Consistent policy actions that allow such evidence to accumulate eventually will bring with them lower interest rates. The road toward lower interest rates will be shortened by prompt evidence that steps are being taken to reduce the burden federal credit demands place on credit markets, increasing the share of the economy's scarce savings available for private sector investment. Thank you again for your views on this important issue. Sincerely, TBrady:JLKichline--tn (#4520) bcc: Mr. Kichline Mr. Brady Ms. Wolfe (2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0ctober 26, 1981 Mr. Albert K. Perry Dear Pr, Perry: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal neserve must moderate the orowth of money in orcier to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aogressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hicher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look fomard to an imProvement in inflation and interest rates before too lono. Sincerely, F:sop .!:409R https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • October 26, 1981 Mr. Earl Pettibone Dear Mr. Pettibone: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your business endeavors. I sincerely regret the difficulties you expressed. These are very troubling times, and I am not insensitive to the problems experienced by many individuals. A substantial and lasting improvement in interest rates ultimately depends on bringing inflation down. As monetary and fiscal policies work to reduce long term inflation, it is my hope that we can all look forward to a healthier economy and lower interest rates. I know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is my fervent wish that things will be better for you in the future. Sincerely, BF:evjj 4'3744 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org • Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 26, 19g1 Mr. Garland Phillips )ear Mr. Phillips: Thank you for your letter stating that you feel the Federal Reserve Should "make every effort" to lower the interest rates. The plain fact, however, is that we will not he able to have sustained lower interest rates until we brine about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restorino price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Conoress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. '.1e know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Thank you for writing. Sincerely, Cctober 26, 1981 Mr. Fred Pond "nod & Spitz Building Corp. .1. 6 - Atsion :?.oad ,,,edford. ;Iew lersey 08055 Dear 14r. Pond: Thanks for sendina me your letter regarding the problems high interest rates have caused you in your attempt to sell the homes in your inventory. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a lame Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Teserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. Tf the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase In inflationary exnectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avnidinn some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hole that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, F:sep !/4211 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 rr. G. Don Poore Don Poore Company, Realtors 600 East !iorth Plaza - Suite 206 nreenvi 11 e, South Carolina 29611 Dear 'Ir. P oore: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high on the housing industry. I understand what is hapnenine rates interest and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havinn a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit, T know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to channes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, J:sep #4274 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. William H. Price II Dear Mr. Price: Thank you for your letter of September 30, 1931, ancl your kind words of support. In your letter you suggest that reserve requirements be extended to money market mutual fund shares. As you may know, in a recent testimony before the House Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy, I requested the authority to impose reserve requirements on money fund shares that can be used for transaction purposes. We believe that this extension of reserve requirements would assist the Federal Reserve in formulating and implementing monetary policy and would enhance the competitive equity between various financial intermediaries. I regret to report, however, that the Congress has failed to act on our proposal. You may, however, be encouraged to know that the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee (DIDC) is considering several proposals to improve the competitive position of commercial banks and thrifts. Specifically, at its December meeting, the Committee will consider the authorization of a short-term instrument whose attributes, in comparison to existing deposit accounts, more closely parallel those of the money market mutual funds. In preparation for that discussion the Committee will shortly be publishing for comment a set of proposals for such an instrument. I urge you to take advantage of this opportunity to make your views known. Sincerely, MMoran/EMcKelvey/JSZeisel:tn (#4041) bcc: Mr. McKelvey, Mr. Moran, Ms. Wing, Ms. Wolfe (2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. and lirs. Lee R. Prince Pear Mr. and Mrs. Prince: Thanks for sending re your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on home buyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively. I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an Improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. cIncerely, 4:sep ;4154 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Ms. Anne Qualman Dear Ms. Qualrnan: I have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, EiFsev jj #3772 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Ms. Hazel Rayburn Dear Ms. Rayburn: Thank you for your letter stating that interest rates "must core down very soon." The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. Pts our efforts and those of the Congress and the .1drinistration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in governrnent spending and the federal deficit will help to ease Pressures on interest rates and credit markets. We know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, 10:set, #4275 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. R. G. Rollins Richmond Southern P.O. Box 711 Augusta, Georgia Dear Mr. Rollins: Thank you for your postcard expressing your concern over the "point spread" between the CPI and the prime rate. I am aware of the problems high interest rates have caused, and I understand the concerns that prompted you to write. I recognize that interest rates remain high despite recent reductions in the inflation rate reflected in the Consumer Price Index. However, the current interest rates reflect the deeply embedded expectation that prices will continue to climb, and not simply the current inflation rate measured in the CPI. In other words, lenders are reluctant to commit their funds without being compensated for the declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment; similarly, borrowers are willing to accept these high rates because they expect to repay the loans in cheaper dollars. In short, inflation and the expectation of continued inflation are causing high interest rates, and not the other way around. Since maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. For their part in the fight against inflation, the Administration and Congress have proposed many and realized some essential cuts in Federal spending. As their fiscal policies, complemented by the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, work to strengthen the economy, it is our fervent hope that we will all see lower interest rates in the future. Thank you again for taking the time to write. Sincerely, 3F:evjj https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis •ir BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM WASHINGTON, O. C. 20E51 October 26, 1981 PAUL A. VOLCKER CHAIRMAN The Honorable Benjamin S. Rosenthal, Chairman Commerce, Consumer, and Monetary Affairs Subcommittee Committee on Government Operations Rayburn House Office Building, Room B-377 Washington, D.C. 20515 Dear Chairman Rosenthal: I am pleased to respond to your recent request for information for use by the Commerce, Consumer and Monetary Affairs Subcommittee in connection with its inquiry into federal regulatory agency enforcement of the Community Reinvestment Act. In your letter of September 15, 1981, you requested the CRA portions of the most recent two examinations conducted by the Board with respect to Chemical Bank, Manufacturers Hanover Trust Company and Bankers Trust Company, all of New York City; copies of all comments received by the Board and by the three above-mentioned institutions regarding CRA statements or the performance of these institutions in helping to meet credit needs of their communities for the period covered by the past two examinations; and a list of all applications by these institutions for new branches, acquisitions or mergers, together with any determinations made by the Board based on CRA considerations for the period covered by the past two examinations, including comments made upon these applications by the Board's staff. The list you requested of applications by the three institutions is enclosed. No applications from Bankers Trust Company were acted on in the period specified in your letter. Only three applications raised CRA issues. We will provide you with copies of the Board and Reserve Bank orders in these cases, and the one other in which the Board issued an order, those portions of the staff and Reserve Bank memoranda that discuss CRA issues, as well as public and other comment letters associated with the applications that are in our files. For reasons set forth more fully below, the staff has deleted the few references to confidential examination report information from the memoranda being provided to you. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis le Honorable Benjamin S. Rosenthal, Chairman -2- Letters submitted directly to the three named banks, by members of the public for inclusion in their CRA files, are not routinely copied to the Board or to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Accordingly, the public comment letters we are also providing to you--consisting of all that we have, including letters relating to the four referenced applications--may not include all letters submitted directly to the banks by members of the public. Such documents are on public file in each of the banks. If you wish, my staff will assist in any way it can in the event the Subcommittee's staff encounters difficulty obtaining these documents from the banks. The above represents most of the information contained in that is responsive to your request. I believe, however, files Board be inappropriate for me to transmit CRA portions of the would that it two most recent consumer affairs reports of examination of the three banks in response to the request contained in your September 15 letter. This judgment is based upon longstanding Board practice and policy regarding the confidentiality of examination report information. The effectiveness of the examination process requires that examinations be conducted under circumstances that promote the greatest possible freedom of communication between bank officials and examiners, as well as the greatest freedom of expression by the examiners themselves. We strongly believe that these objectives can be accomplished only by preserving rigid confidentiality as to reports of examination. If bank officials have cause to believe that information they provide may be exposed to others outside the examining agency, or if examiners believe that their analyses and judgments will be subject to outside scrutiny, inhibitions and distortions of expression will inevitably be created, with the likely result that the effectiveness of the examination process will be impaired. I hope that the enclosed materials will be helpful to your Subcommittee. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Siz7erely, /hil(lat&t- October 26, 1981 The Honorable Fernand J. St Germain Chairman Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs House of Representatives 20515 Washington, D.C. Dear Chairman St Germain: I am writing to express strong support for H.R. 4603, the Deposit Insurance Flexibility Act. As we know, the thrift industry is undergoing substantial strain, and this bill would with enhance the powers of the supervisory authorities to deal problem situations as they may arise. Essentially, the bill augments the existing powers of the the regulatory agencies in two ways. First, it extends , Second es. agenci capital infusion authority of the insurance earrang ition it clarifies and broadens the merger and acquis ant ments available to the regulators. These provisions are import ng managi for and for providing assistance to thrift institutions the resources of the insurance funds. This is a limited bill that is modest in scope and fundatemporary in duration. It is not designed to bring about it is r, Howeve mental change or reform in the financial system. with es needed at the present time to arm the supervisory agenci and stress necessary tools and flexibility in a period of severe ss Congre strain on our financial institutions. I would hope that would would act promptly to enact this legislation. Such action for subsequent not and should not prejudice or eliminate the need ng consideration in the near term of fundamental issues relati to structural changes in the financial system. Sincerely, DS:DJW:pjt bcc: Mrs. Mallardi https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis october 26, 1981 Mr. Albert L. Schachtner, President Security }tomes, Inc. 1204 Chelwood, N.E. Albuquerque, riew Mexico 8,7112 Dear Mr. Schachtner: Thanks for sending me your letter expressing your fears that the housing industry nay be bearing more than its share of the current high Interest rate problem. I understand what is happening and I an synnathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the econory have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone ri va te credit demands combined with a laroe Federal deficit at a time when the Federal P,eserve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnanding the money supply too aogressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action tn reduce the Federal deficit. know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanoes in credit markets, however, I &) not believe there is any way of avoiding sorr of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonn. Cincere.ly, 5F:sep #4276 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis lctober 26, 1981 Mr. E. Jay Schrock, General Manager Woodwork Manufacturing & Supply 401 South Adams Hutchinson, Kansas 67501 Dear Mr. Schrock: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hinher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidinn sore of these basic issues. .1t any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, tstp https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Cleon M. Shutt, Jr. Roland Park Gallery Russell T. Baker & Co., Inc. 500 Wyndhurst Avenue Baltimore, Maryland 21210 Dear Mr. Shutt: 1 have received your letter expressing disagreement with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time combined credit, Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to Federal the when control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would under bring inflation eventually causing still higher interest rates and inflation, aggravate serve to conditions. worse economic 1 believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BF:evjj #3699 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26. 1981 Derk Simonson, President Simonson Enterprises, Inc. 4774 Olde Village Lane Dunwoody, Reorgia 30333 Dear !Ir. Simonson: Thanks for sending me your letter regardino the effects of high interest rates on hone buyers and sielers. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a laroe Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Peserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, a:sep #4071 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Snith "s. Evelyn Pusateri RE/MAX Professionals 9117 Leesgate Drive Louisville, Kentucky 40222 Dear Misses Smith and Pusateri: Thanks for sending me your letters regarding the effects of high interest rates on hone buyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money suoply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however. I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 42s*p f4139 14215 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Is. Kathy Smith Dear Ms. Smith: Thanks for sendinp me your mailgram regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a lame Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. T. know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonp. Sincerely. F:seP f4176 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 'Ir. James I. Sorensen Vice President nillanders & Stark Development Co., Inc. 5039 North Aineteenth Avenue - Suite Eight Phoenix, Arizona 85015 Dear Mr. Sorensen: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happenine and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level (If interest rates is undoubtedly having a Particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. cincerely, 4050 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 !Ir. Stephen R. Stahl Democracy Development Company 9113 Potomac Station Lane Potomac, Maryland 20854 Dear Yr. Thanks for sending me your letter regardino the effects of hich Interest rates on housing. I understand what is happeninq and I am symnathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housino and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aeoressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, i3F:sep #4117 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis fs:ctoher 26, 1981 ”.r. Steve Thompson •Ieal Conner Lexington lsealty, Inc. 706 'Al. Second Avenue Lexington, North Camlina 27292 Dear Messrs. Thomson and Conner: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are havincr on housing and its associated industries. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a narticularly harsh impact on housine and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Ttirrent interest rates, however, are a reflection of stmno private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal neserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aeoressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exnectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are narticularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. !t any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lono. Sincerely, IF:sep i4273 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. Peter C. Trent Chairman Public Securities Association One World Trade Center New York, New York LAW Dear Mr. Trent: Thank you for sending me a copy of your remarks given before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress concerning the problems of the municipal securities market. 1 agree with you that the fuedamental problem facing the munieipal asast is inflation end the high interest rates that accompany it. A lasting solution to inflation, I believe, requires a gradual reduction in the growth of money and credit, which the Federal Reserve is seeking to achieve, and a reduction in the size of federal budget deficits. We appreciate your support in pursuing these goals. As you know, we have seen some preliminary signs that inflation is slowing and 1 em confident that, with the passage of time, our efforts will bear fruit. Sincerely, DLaufenberg:GBurghardt:DKohn:JSZeiscl--tn (#4053) bcc: Mr. Mr. Mr. Hg. Ma. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis McKelvey Burghardt Laufenberg Wing Wolfe (2) October 26, 1981 f4rs, Harold Tucker Dear .7rs. Tucker: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh imeact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. 'Vt any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonn. Sincerely, nep s42;1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Al )ctober 26, 19R1 Mr. Edward L. Varney, President V. R. K. 3uilders, Inc. 4025 East Holt Road Holt, Michigan 4$842 Dear fir. Varney: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a Particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is ray fervent hope that we can all look forward to an imrovernent in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, Ftsep #449F https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6ctober 26, 1981 Mr. Andre Venables Kitchens by Andre 25 North Chestnut Street dew Paltz, dew York 12561 Dear Mr. Venables: Thank you for your letter stating that I need to attempt to lower the mortgage and loan rates. The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. We know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it Is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, 3F:seo 0459 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Ms. Charlotte A. Wallace lear Ms. 'Iallace: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh irpact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improverent in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, PF:sep 44155 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • October 26, 1981 Mr. Tom Walther Sin—Con Corp. P.O. Box 98 Medway, Ohio 45341 Dear Mr. Walther: Thank you for your letter requesting that I work to reduce the interest rate imediately. The nlain fact, however, is that we will not he able to have sustained lower interest rates until we brine about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creatinq more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leadinn to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit orowth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in novernment spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. We know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will he better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, ET:sep #4213 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis :Ictoher 26, 19P1 Captain C. 0. !4ard P.O. Box 4365 Santa Fe, Aew Mexico 87502-4365 Dear Cantain Thank you for your letter advocating the immdiate reduction of interest rates. The nlain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would suroe, leading to still higher interest rates. estoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Coneress and the Adrinistration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in oovernment spending and the federal deficit will help to ease Pressures on interest rates and credit 7..larkets. e know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will he better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writine. Sincerely, 'F:sor 4441 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. John R. Waters Dear Mr. Waters: Thank you for sending me your paper on restructuring the real estate market. You have obviously given the matter a great deal of thought, but as you also obviously recognize, your suggestion involves a great many complications. I appreciate your taking the time to send me your views on this matter. I am also returning your quarter; the coffee was on me. Sincerely, Enclosure WF:sl #2762 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dorothy Saunders (1) Sandy Wolfe (2) October 26, 19n1 tit-. Lee Webb Jack Fry Lurber Co., Inc. 1601 Erskine Road - Box 5551 Lubbock, Texas 79417 )ear Mr. ebb: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the problers high interest rates have caused you in your attempt to sell the bones in your inventory. I understand what is happenine and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of stronn private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at e time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandinc the money supply too agoressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exeectations would lead to even hioher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for husinesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic Issues, At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, see k4114 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 is. Diana G. 'leis Dear Is. "eis: Thank you for your letter requesting that I attempt to lower interest rates so that you can buy a car. The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restoring Price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower Interest rates. Certainly reductions in novernment spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. Ye know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that thinos will he better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, r;F:sep ;4420 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis nctober 26, 1981 r. R. Keith '..lhitmer 'Thitmer Building Products 1401-E Allendale Road - P.O. Pox 1413 .iest Palm Beach, Florida 33402 Dear Mr. Whitmer: Thanks for sendino me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on housi no and its associated industries. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh irpact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hioher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this nay sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are Particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any t•'ay of avoiding sore of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. ncerely, ;F:sep .-4279 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 2€, 19.81 Mr. Donald G. Wiland Dear Mr. "iland: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on housing and its associated industries. T understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a narticularly harsh impact on housinn and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit derands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal . Reserve rust moderate the nrowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidinn sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improverient in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, 3F:sep #43n1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1931 Mr. liaverly Dear Mr. '11liars: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on hcusing and its associated industries. I understand what is happening and I am synpathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a lame Federal deficit at a time when the Federal reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too appressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hioher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an irprovernent in inflation and interest rates before too lon9. cAncerely, :17:ser ')41191 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 ,%ir. Bob Wilson Big Hill Realty, Inc. 5580 Far Hills Avenue Dayton, Ohio 45429 Dear Mr. Wilson: Thanks for sending me your memo regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BF:evjj #3672 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders October 26, 1981 is,-iancy Y-ittig, Realtor Associate IS,i-ieide Ass Avery, Realtor Associate Carson-Carolina Partners 1725 i. :lain Streeet (17-A Aorth) Suite 107 Surnerville, South Carolina 294l3 Dear Misses %Attic; and Avery: Thanks for sending me your letters expressing the problem high interest rates are causing home buyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries hile sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal :.(--3serve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal .', ?eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit, I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanees in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. .q any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to Ftn improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, iT:ser #3919 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis fttober 26, 1981 Mt. Kathleen Worth near Ms. Worth: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects high Interest rates are having on housing and its associated industries. I understand what is happening and I am symnathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strona private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve rust moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal eserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. !%t any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 3F:sep #4304 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 26, 1981 Mr. tlilliam R. Yurk 0ear Mr. Yurk: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on housing and its associated industries. I understand what is happening and I am syrrathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit, I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, 3F:seP #4391 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ictober 26, 1981 Is. Pe.giv L. Zimrerman Dear s. irverman: Thanks for sendino me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are haying on housing and its associated industries. I !inderstand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a. 9articu1arly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries 'ihile some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strnne private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal ')eserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal ^seserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money sunoly too anoressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however. I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. t any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lono. Sincerely, 3F:seo #4516 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1981 r. Dan Adars Dear mr. Adams: Thank you for your letter and your expression of surport. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thouohtful of you to take the time to write. 'incerely, v3en' /43i-;z1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Rctober 23, 1981 Mr. C. D. Alcorn, Realtor C. D. Alcorn Agency, Inc. 503 South Main - P.O. Box 4 Sikeston, Missouri 63801 Dear Mr. Alcorn: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on realtors. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money sunply too aggressively. I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hioher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for husinesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic Issues, rt any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, U'ssen #3975 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1981 Dear Mr. Bennett: I have receiveu your letter requesting that the DIDC repeal its ruling allowing finders fees to be Paid to *bona fide* brokers who obtain All Savers Certificates for depository institutions. As you may know, I expressed some concern about this issue when it was first raised. I too question whether paying such brokerage fees is consistent with Congress' intent in passing the legislation proviOing for the All Savers certificates. I cannot speak, of course, for my colleagues on the DIDC, but I for one would be glad to review this ruling. In that regard, the DIDC members, I am sure, would find it helpful to have evidence on the impact of the ruling. For example, has the use of brokers tended to concentrate All Savers funds in large depository institutions and away from local communities? Any information that your association may have on this tatter would be useful to the DIDC. Sincerely, 'Ir. W. C. 3ennett President Independent Bankers Association of America te,• 1625 Massachusetts Avenue, A •7-7 Washington, D. C. 20036 cc: Mr. Bernard NB/RFS?slw #5020 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1981 The Honorable Frank Annunzio Chairman Subcommittee on Consumer Affairs and Coinage Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs House of Representatives 20515 Washington, D.C. Dear Chairman Annunzio: Thank you for sending us your views on the proper treatment of cash discounts in the staff commentary on Regulation Z. I want to assure you that we both have the same objective in assuring that all consumers are treated equitably and fairly. Although the final commentary which has just been issued (a copy of which is enclosed)ls somewhat different than what you suggested, I can assure you that we considered your concerns very carefully. In the end we felt compelled to adhere to the position that had been proposed for public comment. So that you will have the benefit of the staff's thinking on this issue, I have asked that they prepare the enclosed discussion of the issue. Although in this case our views may differ, we always value your advice, and we hope that you will feel free to continue to provide us with the benefit of your insight. Sincerely, Enclosures GG:DS:pjt (#V-235) bcc: Mr. Hurst Mr. Garwood Mrs. Mallardi (2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ATTACHMENT "CASH CARD DISCOUNTS" The cash discount amendments to the Truth in Lending Act provide that "any discount from the regular price offered by the seller for the purpose of enducing payment by cash, checks, or other means not involving the use of an open-end credit plan or a credit card shall not constitute a finance charge . . . if such discount is offered to all prospective buyers . . ." (§ 167(b)). The suggestion has been made that merchants offering discounts under a "cash card" plan where only members of the plan get the discount must treat the amount of the discount as a finance charge to credit purchasers who pay full price. The Regulation Z commentary, on the other hand, states that merchants may offer special discounts to certain groups of customers (even if cash payment is also required to get the discount) without the discount becoming a finance charge to other purchasers. This position is based on the fact that there are cash customers (non "cash card" holders) who pay the same price as credit customers who are members of the special group ("cash card" holders). As a result, the discount cannot pro- perly be considered a cost of credit, a basic test of what constitutes a finance charge, since the full price is paid both by cash purchasers who do not belong to the "cash card" plan and credit purchasers. This position is consistent with the Cash Discount Act. The act allows discounts that would otherwise be finance charges to be excluded if certain conditions are met, including that they be made available to all prospective purchasers. However, it does not make finance charges of discounts that do not otherwise meet the definition. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Discounts that are -2based purely on whether cash or credit is used fit the definition of finance charge. On the other hand, the discount addressed in the commentary is a discount based upon other criteria -- membership in a particular club or organization -- that, in addition, requires cash payment. To the extent it is the intent of Congress to prohibit a merchant from offering a special club member discount that requires cash payment, a clear statutory provision to that affect is probably needed. It should be noted that a position other than that reflected in the commentary could cause problems for merchants, consumers, and others involved in special discount programs, and would probably result in the discontinuation of the few discount plans of any kind currently available. This would appear to frustrate the overall objective of Congress to encourage discounts, and seems at odds with the general desire to reduce regulatory burden. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ictober 23, 1981 Sister lary Arden St. Joseph ,iospital Denver, Colorado Dear sister ,lary: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of problems we both recoonize, your words of encouragement are narticularty appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. Sincerely, ;;F:s0P #44W https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 11P1 Ir. R. E. "ate Sristol Associates R.O. Sox 3 110.Ho—Kus, 4ew Jersey 17423 lear Mr. Sate: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragerent are particularly appreciated. It was thouohtful of you to take the tire to write. Sincerely, T:ser: "41-12 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ictober 23, 1981 'r. • !-A.. Bauman Dear Mr. Caumen: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. Sincerely, „F:sep f4270 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1981 Ms. Renee uerinrin Buennan Homes R.1 PI, Highway 23' ,gest Cold Spring, Minnesota 56320 Dear Ms. Buerman: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high Interest rates on your home building business. I understand what is happenine and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a Particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal leserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to charms in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidinc some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonn. Sincerely, One, 14310 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 19O1 Ms. Lucille P. Cox, Realtor Cox Realty 4426 1-55 North Jackson, Mississippi 39211 )ear Ms. Cox: Thanks for sendine me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on realtors. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on !lousing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I em convinced the resultant increase In inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals 1.,!he are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is rly fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonn. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 23, 1981 IS, Dorothy Cutter hear Is. Cutter: Thank you for your letter sunnestinn that the Federal ''eserve work to lower interest rates so people can make credit paschases. The plain fact, however, is that we will not he able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary exnectations. Simply creatinn more money no,/ would worsen the problem, because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restorinn price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit grnwth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets, know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. Sincerely, F:le' https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ••,41, • Octoter 23, 1981 ?be Scucrable George 116 Danielson Cheirmea, Sehcommittee en Administrative Lew Osseesamemtal Relations Cenoittes on the Jediciary U.S. ewes at hopresentatives 20515 Wishiegton, D.C. Doer Ike Choirmans I sn pleased to submit views responding to the Ixecutive *worries of'Wm relief prevision conteined in kaia 746, as amended by your antoommittee. On several occasions in the pest the Board has exprasseC to the Congress end the Administration consistently strong sapport for efforts te improve the regulatory process and to enhance public participation La regulatory procoadiags. I se pleaded to do se enee again. h.R. 744, as amemded, contain* a ptovisies thigh would allow the President to des/last* a proposed agency action as a °major tale thus triggering very envies procedures, such as a eerie* of detailed and complex cost bemefit analyses. I am very comerned that these new requireneets would result is a substantial increase in paperwork, additional costly informational burdens om both the agency involved sad the public, judicial analleages, amd, meet important, lengthy delays Is adeinietrative action. It is; my judgmemt that the objectives of regulatory simplification and avoidance of unnecessary regulation would not be neeepplithed by an additional layer of administrative requirements. Mosoutive override, as applied in the "major rule' comeept, would call add still smother and unnecessary complexity at a tine when we are working towards simplification and streamlining of regulatory rulemating. Dowever, these is ars additional reason to be concerned *bout Executive override in the ruismaking process* particulauly with respect to the operations of the Federal Deserve dpeem,As-I-tece -you ere aware, the Compress created the-redhgral **serve gyetes is 1913 as an Independent entity in order to emphasise the insulation of the credit regulation process from the function of financing the fitANNIMMINItib 1.40, experience deeonstrates that the separation ed these two flustiess ean nate a vital, conttibutiOa to a more stable sad effective denoWdeeseetery system, Therefore, I meld he particularly eroserned about Narcotise override as applied to the functions of the Federal heserve System. This is not only tree Mousse ed the breed policy esesiderstimma I have jest outlined, Out aloe beesese ime the feet that this weld run https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis lbe lismisteigo !sores s. Dealelsoo Pepe 'um directly counter to one of the major objectives that CoMprOOO SOOltt to achieve in creating specialised agencies. The sightlisset simmileto that the ibmoutive would readies oodles the override 00=0,4 to interfere in the regulatory promo meld silmitiosetly defeat the 1011,044, of assuring regulation hosed so smpest judgment oo the merits of both general policy and particular canoe. Because of the sigmifisamett of the Snocutive override provisions I have limited ny comments is this letter to this provision. Additional consents on other aspects of the bill will be submitted separately. Sincerely, Waal Mc* MB:NZAHMOmo 10/23/81 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ctober 23, 1981 Mr. Don 0auber Dear Ir. Dauber: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of problems we both recopnize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. Sincerely, •F:se 14 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org 6 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1981 Mr. David Ehler Ehler's building Service 1817 north 24th Street Sheboygan, Wisconsin 53081 Dear Mr. Ehler: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effect of high interest rates on the housing market. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 5Fts0P $246 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis nctober 23, PVI Ir. Arthur E. Foster, President Foster Bros., Inc. 3990 University )rive Fairfax, Virginia 22030 !)ear lr. Foster: Thanks for sendine me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on your home construction business. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal 7seserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply ton aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely. 'A24 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1981 Mr. G. Granson Geis, P.L.S. Residential Devel opment MA nAger Krehbiel Associ ates, Inc. 1870 Aiagara Falls 3oulevard Tonawanda, ;e-w York 14150 Dear Mr, Geis: Thank you for your letter urging rates now, to work to lower interest The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction in inflation and inflationary exPectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem, because inflationary exnectations would surge, leadino to still higher interest rates. Restorine price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. our efforts And those of the Coneress and the Adrinistration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in government spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures en interest rates and credit know this has been a difficult period for many neople, and it markets, is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writing. incerely, 3F:ser ouln https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9ctober 21, 1991 r. Gerald Goodman Gerald Goodman g Associates 6303 Indian School, 1.E. Albuquerque, New Mexico 87110 Dear Mr. Goodman: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouraoement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the tire to write. Sincerely, ,F:seo J4421 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1981 Mr. Sidney J. Goodstein Good Realty Company 56 li. Lancaster avenue Paoli, Pennsylvania 19301 Llear tir. Goodstein: Thanks for sending me your letter maintaining: that the housinc industry is being "placed in jeopardy" by the high interest rates. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong nrivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the roney supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding som of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, F sep t'3933 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis a October 23, 1981 Dear Bill: I appreciate your letter -- but I am writing mainly to say I now know a little more about the bicycle market. It's a delight to see a business and a company beat back foreign competition. Sincerely, Mr. W. M. Hannon Chairman of the Board Chief Executive Officer The Murray Ohio Manufacturing Co. P.O. Box 268 Brentwood, Tennessee 37027 PAV:ccm https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis _)ctober 23, 1981 praiser Mr. J. Richard Krizo„ J. R. Krizo !Pi Associates 26 "H" Street Bakersfield, California 93304 Dear mr. Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a earticularly harsh imnact on housine and other credit-sensitive industries ,.1hile some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of stronn nrivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnandino the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I knew this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanties in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine sore of these basic Issues, At any rate, it is try fervent hope that we can all look forward to an inprovement in inflation and interest rates before too lono. Sincerely, F:sop e4oza https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1981 Robert Lacey III r)ear Ir. Lacey: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of problers we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It Ilas thoughtful of you to take the tire to write. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9nceroly, ctober 23, 1981 Mr. Theodore E. Lee near Mr. Lee: Thank you for your letter and your expression of suoport. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. Sincerely, 34425 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1 Mr. Bill Lunsford Capstone Real Estate ERA 1212 15th Street East Tuscaloosa, Alabama 354c111 Dear Mr, Lunsford: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on realtors. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries ‘ihile sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. CLirrent interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a larqe Federal deficit at a time when the Federal 7- serve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money sunply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidino some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lono. Sin cc rely, .01. 4)7.2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis f.'7ctober 23. 1981 ?Ir. Peter Markos `)ear Mr. Markos: Thank you for your rilailgram urting that "somethino. be done" to lower the high interest rates. The plain fact, however, is that we will not be able to have sustained lower interest rates until we bring about a sustained reduction In inflation and inflationary expectations. Simply creating more money now would worsen the problem., because inflationary expectations would surge, leading to still higher interest rates. Restoring price stability unavoidably requires restrained monetary and credit growth. As our efforts and those of the Congress and the Administration to reduce inflation take hold, our hope is that we all can look forward to lower interest rates. Certainly reductions in rovernment spending and the federal deficit will help to ease pressures on interest rates and credit markets. We know this has been a difficult period for many people, and it Is our fervent wish that things will be better for all of us in the future. Thank you for writino. Sincerely, • https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1981 Mr. John Mattingly John L. Mattingly Construction 1311 5-2 Port Tobacco, Maryland 20677 Dear Mr. Mattingly: Thanks for sendinn me your letter regardino the effects of high interest rates on yours and other hone building businesses. I understand what is happeninn and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh impact on housino and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with e large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal .'eserve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aagressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exnectations would lead to even hinher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. In ,r:sert 04111 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis flctober 23, 1981 !Ir. Howell Patton III Patton Realty 400 North :lain Street Franklin, Kentucky 42134 Dear !Ir. Patton: Thanks for sendino me your letter regarding the effects of high Interest rates on realtors. I understand what is happening and I ar sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a Particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit demands combined with a lane Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Rserve must roderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money simply too aogressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hioher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanoes in credit markets, )owever, I do not believe there is any way of avoidino some of these basic issues. t any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an iraorovenent in inflation and interest rates before too lone. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, ictober 23, 19f1 Mr. John !I. Pettit, President Pettit ?1 Griffin, Inc. 50 Ilest Montgomery Avenue - Suite 30r) Rockville, Maryland 20850 Dear %Ir. Pettit: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates on your home building business. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exPectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however. I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonc. F,incerely, 4:sep 4'3928 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis lctob r 23, 1Q81 Ms. Jane P. Prikett Miraron Realty 1400 Cause roulevard Slidell, Louisiana 70458 ')ear Is. Prikett: Thanks for sending, me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on realtors. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh impact on housino and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the econory have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands corbined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exoanding the money supoly too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the roderal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an .immvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, i;F:stitP 44414 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Ictober 23, 1181 3everly 3, Prine Dear Ms. Prine: Thanks for sending me your letter regardine the effects of high interest rates on your real estate business. I understand ,,hat is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone private credit demands combined with a laree Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal 7eserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money sunply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lend to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look fordard to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lona. sincerely, ,"4347 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1991 !Ir. James H. Ramaker Dear Ranaker: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. Sincerely, 44281 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Octiober 23, 1981 Mr. Pepe Rivera Asociacion de Bancos de Puerto Rico Banco Popular Center Oficina 820 Hato Rey, Puerto Rico 00918 Dear Pepe: Many thanks for the cigars. I was sorry that I didn't get to see you in San Francisco. My one. trip was a very quick Hope to see you soon. Sincerely, CCM https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1981 'Ir. R. C. Roea Dear Mr. Rosa: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of problers we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. Sincerely, 3F:sep 44396 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dctober 23, 1981 Mr. C. F. Rudesill, President Riverside Companies 120 N. Kinoshightqay - P.D. !3ox 739 Cape Girardeau, !Iissouri 63701 Dear Mr, Redesill: Thank for sendino me your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing and its associated industries. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh imnact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too acrressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. .;\.t any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 23, 1981 Mr. lussell J. St Clair Dear Mr. St Clair: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of problers we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. Sincerely, BF:sep #4394 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis '7ctober 23, 1981 9r M1liarR. Saner Dear !Ir. Saner: Thank you for your letter and your expression of supoort. In the face of problems we both recoonize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. Sincerely. CT:cep #4434 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1981 Mr. Oene Scites 3ear Mr. Scites: Thank you for your letter and your expression of support. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thouphtful of you to take the time to write. Sincerely, tT:sep #4323 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1981 Mr. Robert Stuck Dear Mr. Stuck: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding, the effects of high interest rates on home buyers and sellers. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housino and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit ic_niands combined with a laroe Federal deficit at A time when the Federal "(nerve must moderate the orowth ef money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money supply too aooressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look fon4ard to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Srisfils 03999 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 1981 r. Daniel L. Turner, CPP, Dear lr. Turner: ThAnk you for your postcard and your expression of support. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. vAncerely, UF:sep 0433 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 19,4 Mr. Phil "Jeddle Monsanto P.n. .3ox 174 Luling, Louisiana 7q070 Dear vr. 'toddle: Thank you for your poem and your exoression of support. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragement are oarticularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the tine to write. Sincerely, *F:sen https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 23, 19S1 Mr. Leonard !Jeksler Lencrest Developments 16255 Ventura i;oulevard Encino, California 91436 Dear "r. teksler: Thanks for sending me your r:ailgram expressing your feelings about the effects of high interest rates ondhousing. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong nrivate credit demands corbined with a large Federal deficit at A time when the Federal e.serve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply ton agaressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are narticularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 1F:stp 13'135 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis .41.144w, October 23, 1981 Mr. Clyde L. Wells, Jr. Son Builders R.D, f4, Box 265-A Blairsville, Pennsylvania 15717 3ear Mr. Wells: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effects of high interelt rates on home builders. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 8F:seo #3973 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis fictober 22, 1981 Mr. Frank Gai 1 ey. Manager 1verhead Door Company of Little Rock, Inc. 2312 Cantrell Road Little Rock, Arkansas 72202 Dear Mr. Bailey: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on the small business corrounity. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a narticularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong nrivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the arowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too anoressively. I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets. however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidino sore of these basic issues. Pt any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forwar0 to an improvement in inflation and interest rates ilefore too lonn. sincerely, ;7117 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. Charles F. Bernhardt, President Bernhardt and Taylor, Inc. 700 Research Road Richmond, Virginia 23235 Jear Mr. Bernhardt: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on housing and its associated industries. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong Private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must roderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely. AF:seP #4168 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 r. Orvis L. Berry Executive Vice President Great Lakes Federal Savings 15 Capital Avenue, N.E. Battle Creek, Michigan 49016 Dear Mr. Berry: Thank you for your letter concerning the condition of savings and loans. The Federal Reserve and other financial regulatory agencies are 'veil aware of the difficult times facing the thrift industry, and we are inonitoring developments closely. As you know, the current high interest rate environment places any institution with a large portfolio of fixed rate longterm assets in a very difficult position. The only really satisfactory solution is to have the efforts of the Federal Reserve, the Administration, and the Congress to reduce inflation become effective, for that will produce the environment for a sustained reduction in interest rates. However, there is no avoiding the fact that until that happens many thrift institutions will be under severe pressure. As you know, Congress and the regulatory agencies are actively assessing transitional measures designed to help thrift institutions better weather the period until interest rates come down and I appreciate your thoughts and concerns. Sincerely, F:evjj 112789 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dorothy Saunders • October 22, 1981 Mr. Ronald G. Blissett alissett Hones, Incorporated 1843 Ross Clark Circle Dothan, Alabama 36301 Dear Mr. Blissett: Thank you for your letter regarding the iffects high interest rates have had on your construction business. I understand what is happening and I am symnathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havinn a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit demands combined with a lame Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supnly too ageressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, 5F:sep #4157 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 72, 1981 Mr. Kerry 3ullineton Kerry 3ullington Construction Co. P.% P,ox 58 Franklin, Kentucky 42134 Dear Mr. Bullinnton: Thank you for your letter renording the effects hiah interest sates are havine on yours and other businesses directly affected by changes in credit market condttions. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of stronn private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandinn the money supply too arnressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to channes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidino some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an irproverent in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, eF:sep A.056 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis netoher 22, 1921 Mr. Fred Choate ')ear Mr. Choate: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on the building company you work for. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a garticularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong Private credit demands combined ,rith a lame Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal reserve must roderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by Pxnandinv the money supnly too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an Improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, F:sec ;'1171f?,2 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ctober 22, 1981 Mr, Bruce P. Crary Uruce Crary Lincoln-liercury-Saab 222 !lest Las Tunas Drive San Gabriel, California 91776 Dear mr. Crary: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on automobile dealers. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strain private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tine when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal 7!eservev,ere to try to lower interest rates by exnandine the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are perticularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 22, 1981 Mr. J. C. Crinaan, P.Eng. Dear Mr. Cringan: Thank you for your letter and sugaestions and your expression of support. In the face of problems we both recognize, your words of encouragement are particularly appreciated. It was thoughtful of you to take the time to write. You and I are basically in accord regarding the need for further reductions in the Federal budget. The Federal Reserve has long maintained that no anti-inflation program can be successful in a climate of deficit spending. The Administration has proposed many and realized some essential budget cuts. As these fiscal measures take hold, alone with the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, cc: Sandy Wolfe (2) Dorothy Saunders BFisher:nlf 10/22/81 #3944 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org MINIE•mommao..-•-, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1114.. u. a-N) BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE •0 • -n •.(24A9L RE.S . • • - ...• • FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM WASHMGTON, D. L. 20551 • • October 22, 1981 PAUL A. VOLCKER CHAIRMAN The Honorable Alfonse D'Amato United States Senate 20510 Washington, D.C. Dear Senator D'Amato: Thank you for your letter of September 23 requesting comment on S. 1508, which would exempt time deposits of international banking facilities (IBFs) from deposit insurance and insurance assessments under the Federal Deposit Insurance Act. Before commenting on the specific provisions of S. 1508, I would like to reemphasize that the Board believes that the establishment of IBFs at United States banking offices will enhance the international competitive position of banking institutions located in the United States and in addition, hopefully, increase domestic employment in the financial sector of the economy. Accordingly, the Board takes a major interest in legislation, such as yours, aimed at improving the operating effectiveness of the IBFs. Basic to our analysis of S. 1508 is the fact that IBFs are intended to operate in a similar manner to offshore branches currently employed by institutions operating in the United States. A natural and logical consequence of this concept is to approach the treatment of IBF deposits as foreign deposits for purposes of both deposit insurance and insurance assessments. Under present law, deposits at foreign branches of U.S. banks are not now subject to insurance or insurance assessment, accordingly, I feel that it is both appropriate and necessary that similar treatment should be accorded to IBF deposits. Should,in the future, a compelling case be made for the application of deposit insurance to overseas deposits of branches of U.S. banks, then it would follow that deposit insurance and insurance assessments should be applied to IBF deposits. I would also point out two considerations which played a significant role in the Board's analysis of the proposal contained in S. 1508--the first relates to the need for deposit insurance and the second affects the competitive impact of insurance assessments. On the first point, I would note that IBF deposits must be in minimum denominations of $100,000, and in almost all cases would be expected to exceed the maximum https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Honorable Alfonse D'Amato Page Two level of deposit insurance. Also, depositors with resources of this magnitude are not generally in the class that needs the protection of deposit insurance, but are more in the category of the sophisticated investors able to protect their interests through knowledge of the marketplace. On the second point, as you point out in your statement on the bill, the international financial marketplace is highly competitive and the imposition of insurance assessments on IBF deposits would put U.S. banks at a competitive disadvantage against their foreign counterparts who are not subject to this cost. This factor was also one of the reasons for the P",ard's decision to exempt IBF deposits from reserve requirements. As you again point out, the narrow margins in international markets make it all the more important to avoid putting the branches of U.S. banks at a competitive disadvantage, especially when the extra costs could impair their ability to compete. Thus, I believe, it is both necessary and desirable to exclude IBF deposits from deposit insurance and assessment. However, to assure equality of treatment for both IDE' and foreign deposits, it would be desirable to draft the proposed legislative action to provide the same treatment for IBF deposits as for the foreign deposits of the branches of United States banks. I hope you will find these comments useful in your further consideration of this legislation. Sincerely, MB:PSP:DS:pjt (#1-274) bcc: Mr. Bradfield Mr. Pilecki Mrs. Mallardi (2) Legal Records(2) https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. Leonard D. Deloplaine Dear Mr. Deloplaine: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, armij 1113536 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Dctober 22, 1981 Dells Industries, Inc. Dear (entlemen: Thank you for your letters regarding the effects of high interest rates on the small business community. I understand what is happening and I am symnathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands corbined with a laroe Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Peserve must roderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal :-eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exnectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to channes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 22, 1981 Mr. Rick Diz Vice President Roper Bros. Lumber Co., Inc. 130 Pocahontas Street P.O. Box 630 Petersburg, Virginia 23803 Dear Mr. Diz: I have received your letter that we gradually ease our policy of monetary restraint to bring about a slow moderation in interest rates. I can understand your concern, but I believe abandoning our policy of monetary restraint would ultimately harm rather than help businesses and individuals vulnerable to changes in credit market conditions. I recognize that current money market conditions have caused serious problems for certain segments of the economy. It is important, however, that you recognize what the consequences would be if we attempted to lower interest rates by allowing money and credit to grow too rapidly. Excessive growth in money would adversely affect inflation and inflationary expectations, a principal ingredient of high interest rates. When lenders expect continued high inflation, they are naturally reluctant to commit funds without being compensated for the expected declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment. Thus the result of an excessive expansion in the money supply would be higher not lower interest rates. Current high interest rates reflect strong private demands for credit, combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth in money and credit to bring inflation under control. Your suggestion, though well intended, would serve to aggravate inflation, eventually causing still higher interest rates and worse economic conditions. I believe our monetary policy, complemented by proper fiscal initiatives of the Administration and Congress, is the best hope for attaining stable prices, lower interest rates and a healthier economy for all of us. As these policies take hold, it is my fervent hope and belief that we can all look forward to lower inflation and lower interest rates. Thank you for taking the time to express your view. Sincerely, BF:ev jj #3694 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1PR1 Dunn and Son Properties "fear Sirs: Thank you for your wire regarding the effects of high interest rates on the small business comunity. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havfne a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sone other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone nrivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnandino the money supply too aogressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding S MP of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forwarc.I to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, eF:sep 417 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. Donald M. Gale, President Gale Plumbing, Inc. Rt. 2 - Box 2428[ Kennewick, Washington 99336 Dear Mr. Gale: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your plumbine business. I understand what is happening and I an syrpathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh irpact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the nrowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exoectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hooe that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, ger https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. Douglas E. Gratias, President Affordable Homes, Inc. Gratias Construction, Inc. R.R. 1, 3ox 106 Waukee, Iowa 50263 Dear tir. Gratias: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the building industry. I understand what is happening and I ar sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been. relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order tp reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improverent in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 22, 19E1 Mr. Amos Hill Dear Mr. 11411: Thank you for your postcard regarding the effects of high interest rates on builders. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havine a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonn, Sincerely, OPASOP https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. Ray F. Gall!, Jr. President Gall! Builders, Inc. 778 El Camino Real San Carlos, California 94070 Dear Mr. Galli: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BFsev jj 113153 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1%1 Mr. William H. Gilk G & R Aircraft Sales, Inc. 13601 Pioneer Trail Eden Prairie, Minnesota 55344 Dear Mr. Gilk: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money apply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BF:evjj V3163 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis e•c,*4& veSefusemibioer-14, 1981 Ms. Nancy B. Harris Dear Ms. Harris: Thank you for your postcard asking about the effects of money market mutual funds on the economy. We at the Federal Reserve understand the concerns that prompted your message. The question you raised about money market mutual funds is an important one involving several complicated and conflicting considerations. Money market funds have grown rapidly. Being free from many constraints to which banks and thrift institutions are subject, particularly interest rate ceilings, a significant portion of the money flowing into these funds has been diverted from depository institutions. It is apparent that the availability of these funds has benefited investors, but there are obvious costs. The money funds, tend, for example, to divert resources from smaller banks and thrifts, in effect channeling money away from borrowers dependent on these institutions. This is a matter of concern to the Federal Reserve, as we do not take lightly the erosion of the competitive position of our banks and thrifts or of regulatory coverage. Also, with continued rapid growth, these funds and other new instruments could make monetary policy more difficult to implement. The government is taking a number of steps to reduce regulation of banks and thrift institutions. Most significantly, Congress has charged the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee to remove interest rate ceilings on time and savings deposits over the next several years. These steps should, over time, improve the competitive position of traditional depository institutions, but there are legal and practical limits on the speed of change in this area. In this circumstance there are those who call for imposition of stringent regulation on money market funds. However, this approach would significantly penalize savers, and we think it is important to maintain attractive incentives for saving. At another extreme, there is a temptation for government to do nothing at all. This course involves some potential disadvantages for small businesses and other borrowers dependent on non-money center banks. It would, as well, lead to an erosion of the Federal Reserve's ability to interpret monetary data and to control the money supply. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis • Page Two The Federal Reserve has proposed an approach designed to (I) provide the framework for fair competition between the money market mutual funds and established depository institutions,(2) protect against erosions in our ability to measure and control money stock, and (3) maintain attractive incentives for saving. Simply stated, that proposal involves the extension of Federal Reserve requirements to a portion of these funds that correspond most closely to transactions or checking accounts. It would not affect investments in money funds to the extent they more closely resemble personal savings, because as mentioned we believe it is important to encourage personal savings, and it would not entail extension of other banking regulations for these funds. In time, as interest rate ceilings are phased out, and as the constellation of interest rates change, the relative advantages and disadvantages of money market funds vis-a-vis depository institutions would reflect market competition. Meanwhile individuals and businesses would continue to have a full range of investment choices. This proposal is straightforward and simple. It is not an effort to turn back the clock or stifle a new institution in any sense, but to provide a logical framework for the evolution of the nation's financial system compatible with the needs of public policy. I am sure you will understand that much more could be said about so complex a subject, and I appreciate your interest. Sincerely, 3F:evjj #3502 cc: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sandy Wolfe Dorothy Saunders !T)ctober 22, 191 °Ir. Ralph Johns Dear Mr. Johns: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the snail business community, I understand what is happenine and I are sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore ether sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit derands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the erowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Peserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rtes. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals Olo are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, T:e.;ee ,Are https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 me. Joseph P. Johnson Executive Vice President Home Builders Association of Delaware, Inc. 2601 Annand Drive - Suite 20 Heritage Professional Plaza Wilmington, Delaware 19808 Dear Mr. Johnson: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the building industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh Impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of stronp private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal 7,eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sort of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, UF:sep #4025 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 19D,1 Mr. Tor, Johnson Vice President and Oe.neral !!anacie.r F; Ps 6 Roofing 4159 santa Rosa Avenue Santa Rosa, California 95401 Dear r. Johnson: Thank you for your letter renanline the effects of high interest rates on housing and its associated industries. I understend what is hapnonine and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undnubtedly havine a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectcrs of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone private credit demands ccrbined with a large Federal deficit At a time when the Federal Reserve must Inderate the erowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Deserve were to try to lower interest rates by exPandine the money supply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, r• • et, a,' https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ctober 22, 191 Jeffrey Kauffmann iiometown Builders, Inc. 5744 Logan Avenue Aorth !>rroklyn Center, !linnesota 55431 Dear Mr. Kauffmann: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest hetic to rates on builders. I understand what is happening. and I an sympat your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havinn a other Particularly harsh iroact on credit-sensitive industries while some st t intere Curren cted. unaffe vely relati sectors of the economy have been ed combin s demand credit e privat rates, however, are a reflection of strono rust Reserve Federal the when with a larne Federal deficit at a time the Federal rooderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If supply money the ino expand by fleserve were to try to lower interest r3tes ionary inflat in se increa ant too aggressively, I am convinced the result only solution expectations would lead to even hinher interest rates. The deficit. Federal the reduce I see in the short run is further action to I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and markets, individuals -rho are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit basic these of some ng however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidi d to forwar look all issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can long. an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too Sincerely, It 4:se2 44123 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Mb October 22, 1981 Mr. Peter E. Kingsley, President Pete Kingsley Builder, Inc. 382K Hill Top Road Strasburg, Pennsylvania 17579 Dear Mr, Kingsley: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on builders. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding SOW of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 4:1 7 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9ctober 22, 1981 Mr. Marvin G. Klueffer Dear Mr. Klueffer: Thank you for your letter regardino the effects of high interest rates on the heating and air conditioning business you work for. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong orivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, 1 do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, r:Sen https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. Denny Limpus Dear Mr. Limpus: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the construction and building supplies industries. I understand what is happe.ninn and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, eF:ser 04077 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. Jules Lippert Vice President Hilton Lifetime Homes Corporation 36 Glenola Drive P.O. Box 69 Leola, Pennsylvania 17540 Dear Mr. Lippert: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, liFtevjj 13023 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Or. James L. Lowe, Jr. Mark IV Homes, Inc. 6945 Highway 18 lest Jackson, zIssissippi 39299 Dear Mr. Lowe: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your building business. I understand what is happenino and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of stronn Private credit demands combined with a laroe Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal eserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal ReservP were to try to lower interest rates by exnandine the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hioher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to channes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avnidino some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we cpn all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 22. 191 r. T;obert McCoy, Office Manager 1;. L. Cubba,7e, Inc. 4032 Tilliamsburg Court Fairfax, Virginia 22039 'ear mr. McCoy: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your building business. I understand what is happening and I am syrpathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a larre Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Qeserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an imrnverent in inflation and interest rates before too ion". Sincerely, 0:sep 04017 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. Howard D. Mills, Jr. mills Heights, Inc. 426 Silver Lake-Scotchtown Road Middletown, New York 10940 Dear mr. Mills: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on builders. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, OF:sep 44184 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. ilowel Mole, President Add-A-Roar Construction Co., Inc. 12500 Millstream Drive Bowie, Maryland 20715 Deer Mr. Mole: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your building business. I understand what is happenigr and I arr syroathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a laree Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of r.ne.y in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too agoressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution T. see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward tr. an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely. October 22, 1981 Mr. Terry A. Monson, President Monson Construction Co., Inc. 6402 Odana Road Madison, Wisconsin 53719 Dear mr. Monson: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the construction industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undnubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can, all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, PF:sep #$4100 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Ms. Toni E. Moore Dear Ms. Moore: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 113620 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. M Morse, Sales Manager A. R. Hamm quarrys, Inc. iiox 17 Perry, Kansas 66073 Dear Mr. Morse: Thank you for your letter regardino the effects high interest rates have had on your building business. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong nrivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hinher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanoes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lonr.i. Sincerely, !41'3 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 19R1 Mr. Robert E. Murphy, President Midwest Pipe & Supply Co., Inc. 1657 Victor Avenue Columbus, 0hio 43207 Dear "r. Murphy: Thank you for your further letter regarding the vulnerability of the small business community to high interest rates. I understand what is happening and I am syrnathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffPcted. Current interest rates, however, Are a reflection of stronr private credit demands combined with a larre Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exoandinr the money sunply too anoressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hirher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further Action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are rarticularly vulnerable to chanres in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, .F:sfrs; 13;77 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. Michael L. Murray Concrete Contractors, Inc. F327 lorthwest 10th Oklahoma,City, Oklahoma 73127 near r, Murray: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the building industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly hevino a particularly harsh irract on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit demands combined with a lame Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflatiorary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improverent in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 22, 1981 mr. Douglas Nick Century 21/Rollie Ilinter, Realtors 3003 .1 4. College Avenue Appleton, 'lisconsin 54911 Dear Mr. lick: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on realtors and the small business comiaunity. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong nrivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an irproverrent in inflation and interest rates before too lone. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis c,incerely, ',ktohpr 22, 1,7g1 Mr. Mike Owen, General Manager Slaughter Industries, Inc. P.O. 3ox 38566 10851 Miller Road Dallas, Texas 75238 Dear r, Owen: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your business. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must roderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract fnr businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 22, 1981 The Paducah Board of Realtors, Inc. P.O. Box 263 Paducah, Kentucky 42001 Gentlemen: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BF:evjj #2707 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. T. C. Phillips Dear Mr. Phillips: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common rn isconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. The Federal Reserve is keenly aware of the problems faced by American farmers in their attempts to finance their agricultural operations. We recognize the value of the farming community and the contributions it has made to the nation. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, jj 13546 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. Gary Purvine P.O. Box 163 Troutdale, Oregon 97160 Dear Mr. Purvine: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on builders. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandinp the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidinp some of these basic Issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, aF:ser; O4?%, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. Bill Raper P.O. Box 291 Rockyface, Georgia 30740-0291 Dear Mr. Raper: Thank you for your postcard regarding the relationship between interest rates and the Consumer Price Index. I am aware of the problems high interest rates have caused, and I understand the concerns that prompted you to write. I recognize that interest rates remain high despite recent reductions in the inflation rate reflected in the Consumer Price Index. However, the current interest rates reflect the deeply embedded expectation that prices will continue to climb, and not simply the current inflation rate measured in the CPI. In other words, lenders are reluctant to commit their funds without being compensated for the declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment; similarly, borrowers are willing to accept these high rates because they expect to repay the loans in cheaper dollars. In short, inflation and the expectation of continued inflation are causing high interest rates, and not the other way around. Since maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. For their part in the fight against inflation, the Administration and Congress have proposed many and realized some essential cuts in Federal spending. As their fiscal policies, complemented by the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, work to strengthen the economy, it is our fervent hope that we will all see lower interest rates in the future. Thank you again for taking the time to write. Sincerely, BF:evjj #2812 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1ctober 22, 1981 Ms. Katherine A. Reeves Century 21/Surf Realty 698 Macro Bay Boulevard Morro Bay, California 93442 Dear r1r. Reeves: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the small business community. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a narticularly harsh irpact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit derands cothined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve rust moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a !)it abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however. I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, MI=OW_ nctober 22, 1981 Mr. Donald R. Reierson Donald R. Reierson Custom Hones 3324 Creekview Terrace minnetonka, linnesota 55343 Dear mr. Reierson: Thanks for sending me your letter requesting an explanation for the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy, and why easing monetary controls would lead to more inflation. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and ether credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by exnanding the money supply too aenressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chanoes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidine some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improverent in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, er:sep 0403e https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. H. E. Rutti Dear Mr. Rutti: Thank you for your postcard stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, F:evij https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0ctober 22, 1991 Mr. Franklin W. Schneider, President Takora Insulators, Inc. 2345 Montgomery Street Silver Spring, Maryland 20910 )ear Mr. Schneider: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects hiph interest rates have had on the construction industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a Particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sere other sectors tf the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution 1 see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, 43945 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. 1. Daryl Schneider, President The Sandar Corporation 1911 Seward Avenue laples, Florida 33942 Dear Ir. Schneider: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your ability to maintain your business and your employees. I understand what is happening and I ar sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havinn a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other relatively unaffected. Current interest sectors of the economy hue be rates, however, are a refrection of strone private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal supply 9eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidino some of these basic issues. !‘t any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and ilterest rates before too long. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Sincerely, October 29, PSI L. P. Schram, President Aehrask a Li vestock Feeders ssoci a ti on 1(;20 "!!" Street Lincoln, ebrask a 6P50R 'ear "!r. Schram: Thank you for your letter regardino the effects high interest rates have had on the livestock industry. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have heen relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tire when the Federal Reserve must ooderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too ageressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are narticularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. "kt any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an irnproverient in inflation and interest rates before too lono. c-incerely, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 0111••••Mbr October 22, 1981 Mr. James H. Snoaks P.O. Box 101 Springfield, Georgia 31329 Dear Mr. Snoaks: Thank you for your postcard regarding the relationship between the interest rates and the Consumer Price Index. I am aware of the problems high interest rates have caused, and I understand the concerns that prompted you to write. I recognize that interest rates remain high despite recent reductions in the inflation rate reflected in the Consumer Price Index. However, the current interest rates reflect the deeply embedded expectation that prices will continue to climb, and not simply the current inflation rate measured in the CPI. In other words, lenders are reluctant to commit their funds without being compensated for the declining value of the dollars they will receive in payment; similarly, borrowers are willing to accept these high rates because they expect to repay the loans in cheaper dollars. In short, inflation and the expectation of continued inflation are causing high interest rates, and not the other way around. Since maintenance of control over money and credit is an essential ingredient in the fight against inflation, the Federal Reserve has little choice but to continue to pursue a policy of restraint. For their part in the fight against inflation, the Administration and Congress have proposed many and realized some essential cuts in Federal spending. As their fiscal policies, complemented by the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve, work to strengthen the economy, it is our fervent hope that we will all see lower interest rates in the future. Thank you again for taking the time to write. Sincerely, BF:evjj #2302 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Ms. Donna Springer Dear ms. Springer: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates havehhad on the small business community. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal leserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I ar convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, 4,:set #3141.. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2ctober 22, 1981 Ir. John teensland, lr. President Associates, Inc. Steensland 110 Pettus Street Dothan, Alabama 36301 Dear t. Steens land: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on the small business community. I understand what is happeninr and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. c_Ancerely, CF:sep f4164 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Cttober 22, 1981 'Ir. John Tanian, President ',leer England Truck Leasing Corn. Speen Street Natick. !Iassachusetts 01760 )ear !`lr. Tanian: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects of high interest rates on your truck leasing business. I understand what is happening and 1 air sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at e time when the Federal reserve must moderate the orowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal '7eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money sunply too aggressively, I an convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improverent in inflation end interest rates before too lono. Sincerely, 0351.1 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Ms. Frances S. Tyler Dear vis. Tyler: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however,! do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an Improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BF:ev jj #2873 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 19S1 Mr, Robert A. lieboldt Executive Vice President lew York State FAilders Association, Inc. 112 State Street - Suite 1318 Albany, lew York 12207 Dear Mr, Wieboldt: Thanks for sendine me your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are having on the housine industry and potential home buyers of the State of New York. I understand what is happenine and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a tine when the Federal 'eserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aeoressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exeectations would lead to even hieher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, 6F:sep ?..14135 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis lctober 22. 10,A. ”rs. 'laroaret F. Illiams Dear Mrs. 1.11liars: Thanks for sending me your letter regarding the effect high interest rates have had on your husband's building business. I understand ;hat is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on housing and other credit—sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are P. reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandine the money supply too agoressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avnidinn some of these basic t any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to issues. an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, Vsset , 14174 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 22, 1981 Mr. Harold Chairman Knox County Board County Court House Galesburg, lllinois 61401 Dear Mr. Wilson: Thank you for your letter and resolution stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BFsev jj #3507 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 October 22, 1981 Mr. Jerry Wintz Wintz Construction, Inc 1123 Maus Lane Wichita, Kansas 67212 Dear Mr. Wintz: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your building business. I understand what is happening and I am syrnathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strone nrivate credit demands combined with a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this nay sound a bit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding sore of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improverent in inflation and interest rates before too lone. Sincerely, of:seo 0402fi https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ;.1ctober 22, 19P1 Mr, Robert L. 'Jo-1ff Chairman of the Board Rowoco, Inc. Building 4 - Warehouse Lane Elmsford, Aew York 10523 Dear Mr. Wolff: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates are havino on your business and the housing industry. I understand what is happening and I an sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly having a particularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries 1.ihile sore other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strono private credit demands combined with a lame Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must roderete the erowth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal ileserve were to try to lower interest rates by expandino the money supply too aoeressively. I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even hioher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit PNstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to chances in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoidino some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, r:se. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1 October 22, 1981 Mr. Marvin York Acting President of the Senate State Capitol Building Oklahoma City, Oklahoma 73105 Dear Mr. York: Thank you for your letter stating what you perceive to be the relationship between high interest rates and inflation. While I understand the concerns that prompted your message, I want to clear up a fairly common misconception. It is high inflation and inflationary expectations that inevitably cause high interest rates and not the reverse. Current interest rates are a reflection of high inflationary expectations as well as strong private credit demands combined with the need to finance a large Federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money and credit in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal Reserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary expectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a bit abstract for businesses and Individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of avoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hope that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, BF:ev jj #2879 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis October 2p, 10P1 Mr. W. 6. Young Young Company (»c 127 Marshall, Missouri f53110 Dear Mr. Young: Thank you for your letter regarding the effects high interest rates have had on your business. I understand what is happening and I am sympathetic to your concerns. The current level of interest rates is undoubtedly havino a ,articularly harsh impact on credit-sensitive industries while some other sectors of the economy have been relatively unaffected. Current interest rates, however, are a reflection of strong private credit demands combined with a laroe federal deficit at a time when the Federal Reserve must moderate the growth of money in order to reduce inflation. If the Federal r'eserve were to try to lower interest rates by expanding the money supply too aggressively, I am convinced the resultant increase in inflationary exnectations would lead to even higher interest rates. The only solution I see in the short run is further action to reduce the Federal deficit. I know this may sound a hit abstract for businesses and individuals who are particularly vulnerable to changes in credit markets, however, I do not believe there is any way of evoiding some of these basic issues. At any rate, it is my fervent hone that we can all look forward to an improvement in inflation and interest rates before too long. Sincerely, F:se, ";;1 7 https://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis