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n0PY Exhibit No. 2027 Partners of J. P. Morgan + Co., 1914to 1918 1914 x J.P.Morgan T. stotesbury x Rdward x rharles steele x Henry D.navison x Temple Botdoin x Arthur R.Hewbold Wm.Diernon Hamilton x x William R. Porter x Thomas W. Lamont x Horntio G. Lloyd x Thwight W. Morrow Edwnrd R. Stettinius - Thomas Cochran 1915 x - x x x x x x x x x x - - 1916 x x x x1 x x x x x x x x July 1916 x x x x - - x x x x x x x x 1918 1917 x x x x x x x x - - - x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 1 Rstate of Temple Bowdoin (Information compiled from New York stock Rxchange Directory) U.S.Senate, 74th rong., 2nd Sess., Special Committee invPstigating the Munitions Tndustry, Hearings pursuant to R. Pes. 206, Bart 25, p.7656 fhliM 44.4 Q 6( THE HOMESTEAD, HOT SPRINGS, VIRGINIA. c4,10,08-:teetre-57 fir .9,ic) 1,1 A 'E2G-1.1 - Tiej - -1g ii-tozz."( g Ithle"/1 0 (t.- - al,14 101 17:;2. dxj eft- (fli , ,9211 64(e....9-) (i) acqz..ti Cift Li=ieAs 6"1 W wIL60 i;;;;-Lczp o e. .4.14.4 ;LS.,tL 2'O (243-60- 62,fro--10 Into Cotoiaiii69W te(F /7LtifEar w2-c nce,b21,(,k.:7 (vitd-P (c,g. Fq.a-C,!./Z-1) ag(j-a-b,o g e/g 4.-9-411 71?-1( 0-61(9 VA:0,.(-66L7 r-Lec-j 1/11-- r -45id-Iyar9-,9: 7,-,J4vLo Aftef ff/L2 (.("3 g-Mv (067:70._ Fiffito / 4-fij'at? , ' I A . 0 6tatp6.79}200--t4'7.e / ,' ' -11 "if--- ,i7z511 ,e-P c C42A: ,,,,,, ..1 , i "a t # P (tfr _ 16--i 615- in: its 7fiazi ecifT09, IPAO-11- fa_s7/9 5,1141, drillater) 7-iruz iXieiteLs-co_CNA 3 ./fe /PL.! cL -- " CI 1716"11-<7 " Igo k. ) "' (4_,q,,W, /i/C 7./ a 1-6 ir aLY-_--1r0 ,',C,t azi .1- &Wm,. -4'1." , 11-69 , _. q0 I C4d k.t.th ttj . 7'7! r 1/;;Lr 01_1- 1/.", /1;a5--4730éY Cu),,, pi 1 e ,-- . - io A) June 15, 1916. PERSONAL AND CONFIDENTIAL: My dear Arthur: have purposely delayed writing you about the last Liberty Loan and the Fourth Loan until I had opportunity to discuss this matter with both Secretary McAdoo and Mr. Leffingwe11. First let me say that no one understande or appreciates the high character and great importance of the work you have and are doing quite as well as I do. It has been a constant delight to have such a partner, and, notwithstanding the great many difficulties and annoyances and obstacles, the results tell a story of what has been done and I am not for a moment going to let you or myself be discouraged by those dif- ficulties. Please understand that there is nothinE I would not do to make this pork easier did conditions permit doing everything that I would like to do. At any rate, I can promise that the next loan will be handled in such a Tay as to clear up a lot of misunderetandinge that have developed in the organization, and if I fail in accomplishing it, you need have no hesitation afterwards in expecting me to accept your retirement, which will do, however, with the utmoet regret. Please consider this letter quite confidential. raise 000,000,000 between now and November lat. start about the 29th of September. We have got to The next campaign will I have assurances that there will be Mr. Anderson 6.15.18 no last-minute preparations, as in former loans; posters, buttons, literature, etc., are now in course of preparation; even the Bond Bill has been sketched up and Congress will be asked to deal with the subject in ample time I am sure to avoid a last-minute rush. Secretary McAdoo and Mr. Leffingwell have promised me complete support, financial and otherwise, in building up a permanent organization, which can get right to work on the next loan. Other changes, such as I have outlined to them verbally and in writing are, in general, approved and will be put into effect after the first of July. 'What I now want to do is to get the needs of the various divisions and at the committee organization together, including the district chairmen, and lay out a very definite and comprehensive plan of organization and work for the summer months in preparation for the next loan and to take care of certificate issues in the meantime. If that can be done next week, it will enable me to leave for a good part of the summer eo as to avoid the necessity for leaving forever. It seems really an imposition upon you and the others to ask you to take up this wort during hot summer months when I am away loaf- ing most of the time, but, after all, it is not a personal matter but one of national importance and we have got to make the sacrifice to do it. I would be here all summer if my health permitted it. 1 am arranging to secure the necessary space in the Equitable Building to carry out our program and now I am going to ask you to arrange for three meetings during the week, and as early in the reek as possible, so that we can come to an understanding; one should be a meeting of the staff, including Messrs. Greene, Colgate end Leach; another should be a meeting of the general committee, and the third should be a meeting of the district chairmen. Prior to those meetings we will need to lay out the work in some Mr. Anderson 3 6.15.18 detail and I am going to ask that you will arrange with Mr. Emerson to join me Fonday Afternoon, say at three o'clock, so as to spend the rest of the afternoon, dinner and the whole of the evening in diecursing this program. Had you been with me in Washington and faced this situation frank- ly with the others there, as I have done, I am sure you would see the necessity for abandoning every plan and engagement of every netury in order to do all that is required of us. losing the war. Frankly, it may mean either winning or I count on you without reservation. Very truly yours, A. M. Anderson, Lsq., Executive Secretary, Liberty Loan Gemmittee, 120 Broadway, New York. 3S.MSB fir W6(70-i-Z July 10, 1922. Hon. Benj. Strong, Esq., Federal Reserve Bank, New York City. Dear Sir: I enclose herewith letter addressed to you by Richard L. Van-Za at, of Dallas, Texas, about which Mr. A. M. Anderson spoke to you over the telephone. Very truly ours, b 711 AIIMPPIIIP.41110111110Pri. J. P. MORGAN 8z Co. Wall S t. corner Broad. Nowlierlc. DREX.F.:' & CO. Philadelphia. MORGAN, GliENFELL &CO. /4rk London. g9R3AIT, HARJES & CO. Paris. August 21st, 1911. Dear Ben: Senator Aldrich would like to have a conference on board the u.Owera", off Twenty-third Street, Tuesday morning, the 29th, at 10 o'clock. He desires inc to ask you, Forgan, Reynolds, Andrew, Wade, Goff, Fries and Vanderlip. I very much hope that nothing will prevent your being there, as I believe the conference will be an important'one., I wish you would write to Wade, Goff and Fries at the request of Senator Aldrich, asking them to be present. Very truly yours, fr Yr. Benjamin Strong, Jr., 7 Wall Street, New York, 401 6_16 (Li Dec. 30th, 1912. \-k Dear Ben: You must know the pleasure and satisfaction that the receipt of your letter, enclosing the check of $5,000., brings to me. While in my business life many things have trans- pired to make me happy, there has never been any association that has brought me such real and keen satisfaction as the - association with you and the others in the Bankers Trust Co. Perhaps you will express pardon my taking this occasion to not only my affection for you, but also my great admiration for the manner in which you administer the constantly increasing responsibilities which fall upon your shoulders. could write long upon this subject, but thank goodness it is unnecessary, as you know too well my feelings toward you and your Company. Sincerely Yr. Benjamin Strong, Jr., 16 Wall Street, New York. yours, I 6,7 ) December 22, 1913. We--6170-1-Z Dear Mr. Strong: Mr. Davison has asked me to return the enclosed memorandum and convey to you his apologies for having kept it here so long. VerLruly yours, r. Benjamin Strong, Jr., 16 Tall Street, New York City. e- trfraett A. Lemorandum. Dec. 11th. 4010.1' At the conference between president Wilson and some members of the House Committee on the Judiciary Tuesday an understanding was reached as to the scope of the anti-trust legislation. All of its details are to be left to the committee, and a subcommittee has been designated to draft the measure. The Presidentsposition was said, by one of those present at the conference, to be conservative. "big business". He declared himself as not against While desiring that there should be no cessation in business, he said he wanted the laws to make it possible for the "little" business to become a "big" business without hindrance from the big interests. It was decided to divide the legisla- tion into seven "sister" bills. These cannot follow in form the seven sister bills of hew Jersey because those bills dealt largely with the existing laws of that State; but it was stated that it might be good for political and sentimental reasons to have seven bills. The iresident was asked if he favored any method of taxation to curtail monopolistic tendencies. He replied, "No. That was McReynolds' scheme, and i have never approved of it, and do not now." He also stated that he did not approve of the suggestion of a "commission" to control the trusts. In order to make as little disturbance as possible in business, it was agreed that the legislation should not become enforceable for a period of two and perhaps three years from the date of its passage. This will apply particularly to the bill to prohibit interlocking directorates, which is to be one of the seven. To make such a measure immediately effective, the President suggested, might cause business -2- disturbance by requiring the withdrawal of experienced men from boards and replacing them with inexperienced men. During the interim between the passage of the measure and its enforcement such changes could be brought about gradually. in one measure trusts will be defined, prohibitions made and penalties fixed. in another a definition will be given of "conspiracy in restraint of trade." Another will define "monopoly". All of these will be amplifications of the 3herman law, intended to male it more definite and clear. One of the seven will be a bill making it possible for the individual citizen to proceed by injunction against a monopoly when he believes his business is threatened. In such a proceeding the plaintiff is to have the benefit of whatever evidence the government may possess in the particular case. The President told the committee he 'wanted a measure drama which would prevent the control of a large corporation by another through stock ownership. He admitted he did not know how this could be done, and the members of the committee made a similar admission. They were told, however, to make an effort to draft such a measure. The President wishes the measure ready for consideration immediately after the Holiday recess. The President was asked if he had done anything towards the preparation of any of the measures. He replied that he had not and did not intend to. committee to do this work. He wished the "I have talked with Brandeis", he remarked, "because he takes the cobwebs out of my head". This would indicate that Untermeyer has not been retained to write any of this legislation, as he confided to a newspaper man recently. Denver, Colorado, April 19, 1917. My dear Harry: Reports that I am receiving out here indicate a possibility of a considerable movement of state institutions and particularly trust comnanies to ta,f.e.membership in the Federal Reserve System. Ihether this movement will actually develop before pending amendments to the Federal Resorve Act become law, or not, it is impossible to say, but I have strong hopes of the amendment in relation to state ban4 membership nassing, and am wondering whether this is not another instance where the bankers can take the lead. what in your 1 would like very much to know opinion is the real obstacle to their joining. I hone you keep well, not too busy and that you get the same satisfaction I do in our participation in the war. With warmest regards, Faithfully yours, H. P. Davison, Log., J. P. Morgan Co., 23 Wall St., New York Ci,ty. BS/CC RED CROSS WAR COUNCIL NATIONAL OFFICERS PRESIDENT OF THE WOODROW WILSON PRESIDENT RODENT W. DE FOREST HENRY P. DAVISON. CHAIRMAN vIcE,REs1DENT CHARLES D. NORTON ,OHN SKELTON WILLIAMS TREASURER GRAYSON M.-P. MURPHY JOHN W. DAVIS EDWARD N. HURLEY COUNSELOR CHARLES L. MAGEE CORNELIUS N. BLISS. JR. SECRETARY RUNG D WILLIAM HOWARD TAFT EU OFFICIO WILLIAM HOWARD TAFT CHAIRMANCENTRALCOMMITTEE ELIOT WADSWORTH AUG 1.3 1917 .E.CHMMAN ELIOT WADSWORTH August 8, 1917. HARVEY D. GIBSON GENERAL MANAGER Jizatta NON= Ilea Hon. Ben Strong, Jr., Federal Reserve Bank, New York, N. Y. Dear Ben: First let me express to you my keen appreciation for your telegram relative to Trubee. I did not answer it because from your communication I did not halow where to address you. I understood that you were to be in New York today which left me without an address so far as you were concerned. Trubee is getting on probably very well. I say this not because of especially encouyteing developments but rather because of lack of dipouraging developments. Undoubtedly a long time will be required before he can get back to normal and, of ourse, there is a possibility that Pr even this may not haopen. But we have him and that is the main point as youso well know. Herewith I return the papers which you were good enough to send to me in your letter of July 23d. I know Charley Ph1lips well and therefore his letters are especially interesting to me. I think it would be well if Phillips were to get in touch with Major Murphy and communicate to him directly any suggestions he night wish to make. -2I hope you are as fit as a fiddle. Sincerely_yours, Chairman, Red_ Cr4e-e-ii-meounotl. Z-FA-mt 0 ,PY Wd/Mi-eW r r y Jdnuary T-21st, 5 a 4. 1-%.0 ra Ir I' 3 a ))1 A. 0 e....11 Dear Bon: do not know that anything will come of it, but I have passed the word along diplemat1cally so that Ben's situation in France will be looked into This is all I think there is to do at the moment. Sincerely yours, Benjamin Strong, Jr., Esq., 15 Nassau Street, New York City. zr),-ovt ,T2.7:,1Y.m24 23, 1916. Dear Zan.T.2% A thousand thn-nks for your note of the 21st. have been very uncertain vhat to do about Bon. I 713 was disappointed in getting his oos-aission in the French Aroy 02 account df hid transfer to no Amovican forms, which / understand took place after he had been sent to the officers' training school. If you knew him as I do, or even had opportunity to read over his letters, you would realizewhat an earnost, conscientious effort he has nade to do his full duty, and how intelliL:ently he is callable of doing it. Besides that he speaks French and has neon csriss at the front. hops that your ounl. _produces all the results nalit satisfaction that It should. Sincerely yours, H. P. Davison, Lsci. American fled Cross, iCashington, D. C. BSPAB 6 'January , 1Q24. Dear Kate: It was so good of you to trite me giving all of the neve of the family- and friends out your .Ney, and the report about Harry delights me very much indeed. Confidentially, _Lan Choate, vho is a great friend of Mil:. Payson, told the other day VI:A Er. Payson was out of work, and that the situation apnoarod to be a fairly desperate one. Nothing so retards recovery in tuberculosis as flnxisty, and it seems to me that their situation must be a pretty serious one, and doubtless explains that you learn about :ro. Payson contemplating returning home. This, of course, is the last thing rhichsLoshould do. I an puzzled to know that, if anything, I could do to help out in the situation. He is really an engineer by profession and so much out of line with anything that I have to do, that I ',00uld not know how to get him a position, although I would try if Mrs. Prysou felt justified in sending him to me. Of course, we have nothing in the bank. do hope you had a grand Christmas. te had a very quiet one at home, indeed, but the two boys and iiatarine were with UG, which as Mrs. Penrose wroto me that she had token COrothy Smeller under her pins, and from what I he?rd directly from Miss Smoller, it seemed to be necessary because the effect of meeting Pavlowa and all of her o/d friends seemed to uncettle her a good deal. That you trite me cbout ycur own plans is most interacting indeed. Please do not Jo too much. Of course, you would not think of California, except the elector fully scorePd, but I always have in mind that beyond anything and everything in tuberculosis, rest and then more xost and still more rest is the only known cure. Climate and treatment and everything else i2 of minor piLnificnce alongside of rest. You will be interoted in the reports that I have from my own doctors. Miller has been all oleo no r.,za c,,de the ticiwil X-ray and pathological examinations ...old says that I am better than I have ever been. He MS both delighted and really surprised at the extent of the progress that I have made. From him I went to see Coalzley, who gave my throat a thorough examination, and he was amazed at the improvement that he taken place sines my return. The tubercular infection left a oon'ciidorablo mass of scar tissue, which always enlarges the vocal cords and surrounding tissues and leaves them somewhat uneven and This is all being absorbed, fiD much so, in fret, th,it one can hardly distinguish anything abnoroal at all. hmever, :oyi that 1 need more exercise than am getting, or could get in this climate now, and is sending me to Palm asch for two or three weeks, there I am expected to play golf a little every aay and 0 January 4, 1D2Z. //2 combine that with rest. I am leaving a week from Sunday and will be beck by the first week in February. Were it not for his feeling about climate and exercise, I would be tempted to run out to Colorado Springs for a short visit, but it is a long trip and when 1 got there the possibilitios of playing golf regularly are too remote to satiefy his program. . I do hope tl)e.t you all keep well and contented and happy. You are very much in my thoughts and I am just as keen as a briar to learn all about Harry and his progress snd your program for him. There is, of course, a chance that next summer I will run out to Colorado 2pringe for a month, unless I go to Furope, and your being there will of course be a considerable influence in my decision. You are likely to meet some friends of mine at Castle Hot Springs, and I know you will like them. It is a rather simple little community with not a groat deal to do, and I really think in that respect it Chandler. in better than Please give all the family my love and much to yourself. Affectionately yours, Mrs. Henry P. Davison, Broadmoor, Colorado Sprinp,s, Colorado. bi 1 et 121B CM DA CO Newyork Ny July 23-15 Benj Strong Tr Care W E s Strong WOodailiole,Mass. very much unable arrange programme for Monday as wished am so 946PM g P Bavidon liegraphing delano. kret 0 ke4A1C? /v3 4 fit /4, zwro1e°1-6-^. 0 November 20, 1g23. Dear Harry: Thank you very much for your vire. rvd, selay The packaLes have ld I only hope they did not cense a lot of trouble. Now pleae.don!t forgot to lot ma know ,x1,at the olirges vcre. . And i think I recall leavinE unpaid also a bill for 0.35 at the Fas,hion 3,:op for exr,reasase. it ,11 fmou;:t. to, Dnd let t.t bo onit you let me kno.:, eAcuaa to lt me know how you are. My bf7,et-to you and to your mother and to all the family including Mufti, ',lac) I hope io Lii recoiared. Sincerely yours, MrtHon,. i. Colorado Springs, Colorado. B60E1 Aiet-exij)/ A Cr<INOWLEn'aEf) DEC 1 9 1923 Broadmoor, Colorado Springs, Colorado,- November 27th, 1923 Benjamin Strong, 470 Park Avenue, New York City, New York. Mr. Dear ljr. Strong: ., -) I apologize for not having, written sooner but you understand my situation out here. So fa:o bellind in my correspondence that T -have decided that dictation is the only solution. - As ii'ou the least effort possible seems to be t- doctor. tr-t N -Lae - bestir,-ow, , ,Iam t '-,-v '' 1 --- e.:.----".. "....., --.Z...., . -....,..: .*-k...,, ,...., -..,-; .. , :1 sms2..", , , r r:0 are having a terrific snowstorm at just this ninute but the paper promises fair sunny vleatI]er tomorrow. Up to the lf.si; day or two we hav- really had very Food weather and T am certainly glad we did not mqke the eastern shift. My routine is just about the same. Instead of going to the Penroseb to hear you play the organ Dr. 'jobb has let me so to the movies at the Hotel. Those little jaunts do not seem to do 'e any harm and I really feel quite strong now. Mother and Nulty both seem in excellent health. Mrs. Dangler is about the only Russian Bank adversary T can scrape up. T am some secret practice so shall exiDect to take you on in the spring and knock down a few of thoue eight hundred points lead. Mother said she saw you in New York and that you see_ied quite hoarse. I :hope this isn't any real troul,le as you certainly deserve a few years of 7ood health now. We all think of you and all miss you more than you can realize. 1:fith lots of love, Sincerely yours, ,&?1, December 10, E-723. Dear 1Thrry: Thank you for your letter! was a grand success. I hear the Thanksgiving party rd,w like a good chap, those express charges were let me know how much My love to you all individually and collectively. The hoarseness your mother notices amounts to nothing.My throat is really fine and behaving so that the doctors find no ground for complaint, Sincerely pure, Mr. Henry P. Davison, Bro, dra Colorado Sprillgs, Colorado. D:27,J 0,17,())2 1.5-04 0 qhz B R_OADM 0 OR COLORADO SPRINGS P -V Jill. `,-'. ;---t 6e,, n '1 i r-4 S /6., 1 ' ! 0 11 a.. v.: LAAAA., (LA LA, S ) , 61) - / 4 PA--.41, i'-2r f / 1.%; ),-Z,>/k/LA-/6."L's..(/ 171,14 ) vc-1) 14, /_ A l.>.,(-14/4 V ke-vtAL I I 4 ' I; 6 _ ( cLAA., '144,2-ji I re`i ji.--Cj,,r)VAM44/.:/Z (1 ;1,-;1-4-A.A4 I . , 14/1.47.' / ix 4-0 I, , 14,z ,r, - I ,,_ if..), 4 ,i / , i , , ,,) -,,,,- ,, . } . jf AJ=i+e ,ar '73-4/ a ;stet e,r( r, /.., '/A. i 46 : (-- ,../.4 .-0.4.,N././7,./vv,A, . >0 ,..-_,; r I .,)71,/..... I ) . i' ,44,...,,,.,....2, 9 -1'fil: 2.., iteAfri, , r, :,,!."..).2' 02., (Ps (t) - -v .--- a, cr./.-/ e:1J 14r)J1 - 6 h d\A4 (\` ;, Cj r (1/ ,/,/t/V\ AVIA, July 31, 1924. Dear Harry: i have just received yours of the Urd upon returaino from Vlashington, and vnilo I .;ias sway the folks at the bank mws up a list of suggestions for me to uee in connection tlith your lettr, 4nd possibly my beet reply Lould be t eenci those susgostione righ on to you. They are enclosed. I tbinic I haw:. read LIDOUD all the books referred to, and as you Kished firct to ciiLit,h fundamentals and with theory, 1 suggest the four books checked on tLe lon iis. They are the classical tacks ty,earllar writers and really lay the foundation for clisubeec,uent readin. Smith, of course, wrote co long ego and in a world so difforent from he present world that one rwst hive that in mind and mke i..110aoe for eoe things in the book thich todcy appear to be a little crude. David Ricnrde was one of the sound est wriers of 100 years a,so; and 4alter Bagehot, as you know, erote Lord Street at a time when the world was eeethins oith econooic diccuesion iid cobtentimi. Liis book, Ler.bz,..rd Strect, probubly had ac profound an influence on banking in England as any took ever tritten. After roadni those fourill think I would then ckip to Hartley Lithera. One advantage in Utherst hooks is that they are E0 beautifully and interestingly written that tbie drab subject really sets some color and interest from hia pea. Besides that, he is a 2ersonal friend of vine and a most charming fellow. Ficardo's book is very difficult to get, and if you are not suceeeeful let me know and I lend you my copy. In fact, if you iould like mo to get any of these books, please let inc knov) your choice and I will be delighted to attend to it. It is such good news to hear of your fine progress. You are doin,7.7 just the rLht thin6 in making assurance doubly and trebly sure. That old enemy of ourstAs a bad tay with him and one cannot be careless in dealing with him. My plz,ns for the fall are still a little uncertain, but I am If you are there it will be fine. I shall rot be able to stay more hoping to be able to get out to Colorado Springs the end of 5.eptenber. than a few weeks, but I an looking forward to seeing old friends there and having a quiet rest. Ny best to you and to Frances and to:a/ay of the family who may be with you j'Act iL P. Davison, jr., Broadzioor, Colorado Sprine;ot Colo. en c. no-3. Yeure sicmcrelyr W60-%70-4 October 7, 1915. is Benjamin Strong, Jr., Esq., Governor Federal' Reserve Bank, 62 Cedar Street, rew York. Dear Mr. Strong: Here is a document that belongs in your files. Apologizing to you for having retained it so long and thanking you for the courtesy of its use, lam, Very truly yours, 411111111111.101111111111110.111111.10111MMIM.11.10.11111.1r October 11th, 1915. De4LI Mr. 71:gaa: The letter addressed bj the Labor at1ona1 Peace Council to the -Govornors and memb.::r3 of the c Federal Reserve ioard has boon received. for rntunning same. Very truly yya2,:,. Martin Eglm, Esq., 23 all "treet, New York City. Val Thrulk you cAre,4170-71" December loph, 1914. Benj. Strong Jr. Lsq. 27 jedar Streot, :New York. Dear Ben: Here is copy of our cable t9 harry, in reply to the long one from him, of which you have a copy, anu here is his acknowledgment. Yours truly, T. I. L. J. P. IV ORGAN 1.1111111Mir C7 11111111.1 New York, Dee. 9th ,1914. COPY of telegram received from Dumber four. Day trio n (throegh Covernmene) Have had a long conference with Chancellor of the hxcheeuer, Lord Chief Jurtioe, Secretary of Treasury. After free end fall discussion matter as tentatively unofficially proposed ed uo, hich ne leu -All note is elove generml lines of our Cemeittee's ideas, wee accepted by them nnd success assured is as follows:2net a elutuel xociprocal credit of amount then to be determined would be errenqed -,ondon or 7ev York for the benefit of either party. That is to say, if exchange were very adverse to liew York and gold had been shipped to dgnger line, a credit would be estebliehod London for sendicete to be formed New York on satisfactory termo condition then to be determined, or if situation reversed, exchange beinij adverse London and. gold seipped to Lian,;er point, a eorree2)on11ng credit would be arranged New York for the benefit of parties London. ads plan cordially approved, by all not only because of benefit in operation poesible future need of which is doubted but because of excellent sentimental effect. Arrangammat London if necessary would be made through Bank of England, but as it ia thouFht to be etrietly Joint Stock Benk business it is sugges'ed it might be arranged through them. Of course all such deteile as to London wculd be arranged here and as to New York there, it being immaterial to Dew York who makes arrangements here as it is also immaterial London as to details armEta2ilyz,_ J. P. MORG.4X 4- CO. New York, Dec.9,1914. COPY of telegram received from LI) D' (n000nd ,Jieet) Joint 'took Banks have confidential committee of seven with whom Chancellor of the Exchequer proposes talk confidentially Thursday afternoon disoussing plan with them for their consideration. A3 made it clear we were acting without authority god that we believed it would be most unwise and probably futile to go to the New York banks at this time to form syndicate to serve a purpose arrangements New :fork. (stop) indefinite au to time and character as this necessarily is.(stop) But assured them in our judgment there was no question as to formation of such syndicate should the emergency arise, having in mind that if such emergency arose conditions would be altogether favorable to New York and there could be no question about co-operation of the banks. (stop) They gad oe.epprecinted that no details can be formulated and that it in merely the meeting of minds as to fundamental principles in a spirit of co-operation for mutual benefit. This plan you understand is one purely outside U. 3. Government and it is hoped and expected would be also outside British Government resulting in private financial transaction. (stop) In case general plan approved, it is proposed Issue general statement to effect that a mutual and very satisfactory understanding had been arrived at between the financial interests of 'llew York and London giving no details. It is believed statement would be not only beneficial but is necessary out of respect to our ,:ecretgry of Treasury who J. P. MORG.I.N. 4. CO. .71(ew York, COPY of telegram received from HT7) - Thi76 Theo t' who inv7; . 7.esentative3. :,-7.'lease immediately confer with Wiggin, Chairman anaei heir yie.,13 in order -that vie may have then for our rveting with Chancellor of .Li.o.ukie tho Exohequer riiay. Ie expeot of course tivir hearty ,.:provL.1 a;o.d oo-el,cration of the Idan, the cpirit of which '4-ac app-..'coiated by the high authorities at the .icrvicwtoday. Brown c ai ±n hturay. H. P. .i)aviion will no go Paris until *6 his matter cettled. Brown - 914, Dc 3. . T J. P. MORG./IN 4- CO. - .N'ew York, COPY of telegram received from repreoenta V. who 21ea3e immediately oonfer with ,,iggin, Chairman k;heir vit. in order an1/41 eabi, *thrt c tally have them for our Iry ( tine, with Chancellor of the Exchequer Priday. We expect of course their hearty approval cou .Jo-operau-ion. o. Lhe p 1 e.n, the spirit of which ->,1 ...e,.t a-,:p...coied by tho high authorities at the interview oday. Jrown.all ing 3aturChay. H. P. Davison 1411 no go Paris until Cnis matter Brown - Davison. 111111111111ffir J. P. MORG.4.111 4- CO. New York, :.(3.1.1,1914. COPY of telegram received from R.P.Dforia r :La. Your 9. there ia no Wit ito o sq. , ,U11 don. It is clearly under:;tood. 1,to ent but merely an -agrecntent as tafundamentaU and a conti. donee oxprecood thfA eitber ido will be tble to carry pro rrsmuno iiios.,,40 of -mod. " 30. CO / J. P. .111ORGA.71(' L.& r.14 Lua =3)fr 4- CO. 'Arm' York' iEC 9 1914 COPY of telegram despatched to A P DAVISOii NIUE Cl#ARIDGES YOUR FOUR AND RIGHT LONDON HAVE CONFERRED WITH WIGOIN STRONG WkOP TrIFY j.LL COVUUNICATE YOUR FOUR TO MCADOO TOP BOTAIGGIN :1TRONC APPROVE GLITYRAL PLAN XING ALONG ans ALWADY Dr)C4SSED HER PAISE STOP tIGGIN ':ITB ft,4_; YOU DO TEAT alrAgivAiits tamtuss LATE BAAXS UNTIL .!,UCH aa. AS B11GENCY ARISES AT WHICH TIME DETAILS CAN BE FOMULATED 21OP ALL HERE nEL THAT PUBLIC TATEUENT 3Y OWOOLL,WV An OUTLINED WILL HAVE GOOD EFPLCT STOP maw CHAUCELLOR 4'ILL AVOID GxviNG ramssrox THAT THERE rs ANY POFATIVR COMMIXEST /MU BANKSOR BAAXERS HERE AS IT L GULX OEiI i EITHER :JDE TEAT LaraIlli COMMUMENT GAN BB UDR MORGAN BY 1-4 S DZ. PT. 10:, 6 '\L 'RESERVE BANK December 14th, 1914. Dear 2oms Thanks for yours of the 10th enclosing etble correvendence WhiCh has just been delivered I sugst care that this matter at my apartment. be dealt with entirely as a bank transaction from now on, the negotiations havincs been instituted, of course, as a result of suggestions made through Government channels. hope to be at the office to-morrow and trust will have an opportunity to discuss this lth your partaers. Very truly yours, Lanont, Esq., 23 -11 Ltreet, New York City. 8S,Tr/VCM 3 2Y eire,m7,°21.07-Z 16th, 1314. 014119,°ctcber OCT 1 6 1914 Dear Ben: 'When I showed to Harry the attached letter from Edfred Aiken, whom I have knovin well for a long time, he said to me - "Ben ought to be interested to see that, for it is one illustration of the point which I made to him, namely, that his action in accepting the governorship has had a lot of influence all over the country, more so than he will ever realize." Sincerely yours, T. W. L. - -7 It is over 0 (vorrected Copy) - yev,r now eines Kate uts good enough to tlek re to sr to ,yela coszethine about r,:ly assoo.lation sitb, Harry for you to -use in prepe-ring his hiogmphy. I find no diffinlity in the say of arJ.,terial for a narrative of taone cvento of those mow, useful yor.re of hie life he you ead I were anent; hic frimde ftrad estociates. Eut ev(s) iitte-r this lonz delay, during xhiab, I have eAvelluch tbOtiaht to the varioue ineidtilltR of our as4oeittion, I ctn.l find myself incapable of puttine anything orr paper uhich is adequate to exprese the fooling or loss snd sorrow r,--o experience sihenever Hr,rry cot:es into our viinds. It is doubtiul if even hie most intimate friends tlye co to appreciate the extent to hioh public co.vice wie the key eith ebich to open the door to tn undoretanding of his charsctsr. And ht I have to write of thoce de.ye an he better understood by protacin,g it 1.1th v. rot torde of ray on underttanding of the purpoz,e,..- of his life's teak. Outside of what es did together in 410.i:impel, originally in tho tianggertent of the liZsleiood liospitel, my first aea:osiation eith hin in tray b ineaa arlttor tILF:o. he asked it to becone an officer of the Ban!,7ers ?met Company in 1904. At that timo ho x,line tone in come detAI, and With the vi:;or whiela altays char.,..ctv,rized it no did , tlel, he regerdetirecent banking developmente in New York City to lis.*Ie to become unsound and poosibly dangerous. On the one band wero the great el caring. house banker principtaly nattionrd bank.s, which to r-o7;(6 extent bad a co=on uurposo ana common ideals exproseed in the rdloync govern:teat of the clea.ring hou.se,tesoci- ttion. en the other hand wore the wholly ttnrattod, unassociated trust comps:nice, cozily,. of them away orktnized and not 841..fe1y ntged7 thich wore not members of the clermn houee, the hotivities of como of ehich were liable to threaten the stt,bil..ty of benkinr, in Tier York. lie felt that to bring together the heads of the great oie&riny, house banke _in such G comp3my z.- c had been ortatsd in the °Banks:re', tae doine much to overcome the prejudices e.nd rIvarion which tory then developin3t tine' that there Las an excellent field as bell for tuildinj up ti great tusinese sith the type -2 of nz-nagement -shich such cn inetitution enjoyed. For accurate hie judgment was did not fully di eeloae itself until the _ olivtdcb, develod in tbcNo b. banking citufs%tion in 1g-07. 11)r V= the first fruit ef bit or rotaizeZ until the truet coripanice finally beest,lo no-7.0ton6 of the Y clearing bouee eeaocittion, largely ur tto leaderehip of the wen aseociwtee then7wcre Tut Cozpany in 1O ad 1909. The weal:nese of the tieg York ban'zin6; a:AN:a:Lion became clear t ll of ue in 1907 end a. Ion:3 step to-u-...re it. euro Sn$ effected Ithen thio rsa; finally brought shout in a purpooe which BOV antoniebincly hes.d long had in nind. ntn$o M o ti e ray be nieinterproted &owe in the hs..ct V.:4A t2_.,.e organization of the atra.zre'inxCv"-§ptAny was in .sor,1 ps.rt the founda- tion Nr- the att-sek by Congrena upon the eo-c.:Aled.Ntoncy truzt" zhich cultilw&ted in the investiratien,s, by the Pujo Committee in 29124 rt,apcneible for effort The tea who rd a correction of Vile aituf.tion SO largely e. charged sith acme improper purpose in the very E E.,,,pe ?Itch be me taking toward etrengthoning banking in. Nazi Yo Put even Harryin record in thet reez.2-ett tt1 to diceioee the extent to ,h1 be vim" interetect in a true And thorouelgoingimprovezvat, for, az vs oil k. n o wit-.* one or the firet to takt. advanta:c of the lencone of 1c7-07 an,d ally b.imeeit rith Sen.ator Aldrich in b.is graat undertaking tozard ban:z.ing and currency refom, the V.) eceits of hIth project, among other thing*, would defeat the very poenihility of zuth ex.introl of cr01, 1LS Parry Vt1.0 che,:rged with promoting' in conneciion vith the ct,tiocia.tion grot.irt, cut of the Perk-ern Truct Coezprny tne the variout coneolidaf- tione tIch ere more or /one intimately &eir=nciatod vith that organization. !low, Irdeed, could a eit;:n be charized with purponee houtile to the. et:I-rare or tbe country, eelficli, dad fli-3eedn ,in their object, by inctigating the crear.ization of a "c-Ioney truatto when, at the aamo tiza.;,, he wiaa cagaRed ponaibly zero - actively thml 'Any othtr burItinese man in to country in the furthering of a bankirz -0 rerorm thick -zOUld -11101 S 'thing &-a I can speak Pith a, "monoy trust" an in.posAtility. certain knowledge in Vlis rattor bto,use or ay oentot Pith the :tort done by :5caator Aldrich and of our many converuations tt the tiElf; thEM v1;:e ureed to became Covernor of the Federal Eeerv,acnk and resig?1 the preeidortcy of the Bankern Trust Cerprany. Eo pao a supporter of the Owen-Glitsy. plan, tIthou6h be preferred the A1drich plan. It V$. eJ, in fc,ot, Hfirry and Jack Morgral teho urzed up-Of3 re that the organ!. xation or the Federal roa.erve bank ites$ Aity Piti.ch I could notoecape t--:,nd should not dsoline, but, at the f-0...,me tirue, hewirnee.1 gratte4 of teling that if to Feden-il Reserve coviin,g to He cencfr,,tion, ur z ass eqe-t,,eteful it met.nt, chon&n in b.4,..ning relttions an'i persona rel&tione biet ultimitely Oast it o4d be a partinz: of comps.ny bet. u. The a-1.th a .ould: be holo roord of iy raations Pith Ellr:y from the time of Vie or1ze.- tion of the ::::.i.-11korSbuot COr:,:pany, b1ei I joirled f,..e.z EC,nths fter i. op..,,zed for uuanoee, do= I* the craar.,IzIltion of tho Feder,a Roaervo Enk, t co.nvincing refutation of charsee. no frequently end care)oeoly rade- tbet ntlfith motives,. rather thwa public e ?fare, in?... .ired his b2,,nking I cannot proceed tith .w,ythint; °t av-.;ox%!1.1 ehouf:, of 1,14,4.1ylo th. oLture of e, narm.tive ofevents3 pith!elich cooop-ell ed the- affootion of n of toet thc top or the Iibt, I think wo mut put hie emse of hucr. For. rzny of us vazt r-ecall those del/zit-NI r t dinner fter the mostinge of the t:A:TUtiVn Co0, tte-C of tl.,oVtr Trif4t Corrpz-iny sfloin Ear:Ito outhreeks of humor end hie enjoyn!-In of mythinc th.t c3-_11c-1.. it forth w-Ls t one thing V.) e.t.a: re looked fora4rd. I can hr bleunr,tstakfible lmgh e.ne -eeo his' pipe think you rill rersezhor tbe k rIith dt. ol-1 he rel t-.ted the oiriteUtifnber or tteFard evoceurflil effort he t2a5 74--e..:-Io to ht.--et tenrc. Proeser hie eyes now. .7c of Lueteeo of the Et-suittle Life, only to loam that ae,47,,ril had- been s truett-e for NM. 4 dy to year el -A.:3n he invited sw,ei friends e.bo4rd his bekt And then, lunalcon one d51 to ask for a large contribution to zone tharitAbIo orzadzatica, Charlie ricyder. (I think it sr12..$) overtscrd eze one .:,&y ho crme s!toar...1, Put e dov.z.: for 4I0,000,u and Chr-rlie, baitvinz, that come kind or eyncilefi.to being arranged cjiec eothe 0= on Vac CaZ.:.? run de z.,,:uthidom r..s.y for ,1410,00D. I a7e clAkel agt-in Zen he deeorihe: Charlie Ubydeats expreo-Aon upon being told that Lc b1oe:mittsd himself to a . 10,..0-03 cont:ileition een.e hoeoltal or other ina4t4tion. tud then you my v,-1T the occaelan during the pie, at dinner t the rnion Leue club, rt.en lisrry ralinded GL-;orze Perkins thet rdwqs nrs. Pe:rk-ina ha,. a .dopoat account IA the Lincoln Trust Compazy khich t about to close and it wa.e Uzeov.oro,d that .kirt$. Perkin' account aitI thing chief fir....on6 t!-,e e2eAracteristice trusted leader ae.e the uarG6ervedcog 1 true tuld m_de him hich. he save hi o confidence to lzie r.saccistes pot1 theu. through thick n1 thin. sod then h1 everdr,:am! an of uoh.d-go 1TLP.,-ny .of the respect and concid,2rztica whfich he allowed for the o2iniorie of hie coliel%;=guss end t-be unruacr-ted '2*.7 in which ha acted upon then that they hardly repair recount- ing. This, to las, t':.t,s evidenced IL qny tines in connecti,on tith the sur-veyo of the alf4rs of other inatitutionn during the panto of 1.M7 ae well ad :It ether timeaSn our relations that I foci tho name nurlt have. been :felt by all of those to them he save hie confidence. ,tt, the 1;&,r1 probably about 1Y)1 that Herr*, and Iwt,;r4, he=oe trustee:3 and memberd of the 07.cattlya tom:Atte, of the rzygle'Aood It wan our first as4ociation. It wt,r, oh/-racteristio of hira thz>,t. ha 1,4- 3 unwilling to any responsibility for the slanagement of the hc.,e2its1 except IC W4, fully faraiaraith every dettll of Its ffai, raS Prer:ident I Treceurar, and ve, dth three: others, tore the Excel...tire Comnitt(ree. Almost every Ile& be and I together visited the hospita; r;t"..cimainted tith t rtn.ff tie tt..:*.t through the warde; tO tIth the patientar with the mimeo; emd, in a very short tixe Irry' Alob ho tms iIu for thri'dopinztbcocaln-loA, e;Aklit1nl 0 interf..-4,3t6-4.s bccr.:rx. por-%ctly rzt.Cliteor:1 in at, -et s!itirj, ttivrf vir olit1n4ted; hp1ti. itc s not r.. ',-1EzEzr.frt na put in tt. oretzigo'. App,ig tc te et t ye&r ortc by fi C1.1ofgooci $,nd by vg,rio-,13 setAi.rtainnen., the ninceec-ry iri.rov6:fttnts...s in .fir.e.noeo, of V.:0 tor,.2itt1 tcier6 put or a cov.nd bsdo, the builranc ex.c*. Ecritco icr -put uncr.x t.y, conlete& iltboueh roce of tte of jf.mloury uho d1 bttr tot rcr a.11-4 tin ba.t.' been tz.-.:Are of a tl-cr.".cter to arcuae th;ro Toe; not orto parcion $q-oociAte4 with b.its.ii tb4.- torit not ;:copt hicjuflc ert athout ec-nvr, !aid ivn L f,ftri11y over to ot! ho left 11r In ac orz;mizAtiond-,..vo3opmc-rit r.c.k a it vaporfluourl for zto to roviw,' any pArt of of the liankcra Till at Q-AltInny toul . thoseycxr,tstxccpt ttrtd the tori, Li nc-on bA,t fri endo. 1nt4r.4to Your feding r", to litich I tao petrticu16rly .1'`es7 rx.tt.cre to V",7 pai1c. zilthout rottry otrst--,-F0 to burst upon That. att the pooeibiliti ee of :Ala.' a eitutIttion dovelopfing htd btenirEY1.rryte mind not only. throuFt. tho 1:tas1y part, of .1207, but, I bell.va, for :4);--:I0 yeg.r8 bufz_tri.3. 14..ny tth h hnci dig= e cith1,,o the poo..21bil4:7;:ritOne,upLotor i itiee of dityintitr i t1,1 kind of cor;p3t1tion ho Cor,;;;,&nie.3., t Tao re.L,7 ViAny no.. Coripc,nv had - el:. exoie. orut of ftt I vfo r.iri for Tirry oftz:rte. to the E' nktri; --..vit;s., as you, yo-lrotlf, o bvm1Iiz to yt rt Ich othnro sgtre 7.cy.ing trrd .V--...)no time th tho1c. of 11)07 I pr(.7,aared ndE.-,r*twti. 'to 17-o the n.tiz,6. pad by Tz,-...riorto of the, d ve13, rea..1.1 hie zr12 foreboding,e to to that tv.*.F.,,in tor e for trust eozpante.", U c if methini; could not ha c y te... check it. rkz..-; in Ciet.ber, OLrrivizIF, at the bnlc I -got tore: to etop 4t the Fir-et rit&tion1 Dank, ubere I found Hrry ir of intereA rbid in the h.r,d of over-,:,-,tynent of ir.terw.:t by Beers on d.f?ouit secourts.s and tra=et evidence azIr cof-petitora. Trust cormu1ts.:13.on trith t.f,ro F5,174.!, hurried 0 X 613 n ti on of th,t, F.:nickerhocker Trust. Con- Ee asked me to tpke chs.rge of pany with cort&In nen ttom he selected to serve as a little ext.:An-lag so'smitto. Notice had been et ...i.routfs the Clearing. Bouse the day befor that the bank khi eh -he.d forzorly cleared *hocks on the ,Lni okerbock'er Trunt Corip.n.y multi di acontie a adc-kicdoing .so that morning.' ,De made A htiety survey of the lo tns in the uptozn office e.nd then under- took to form some opinion aa to the leant and i.nveatmenta at the. nzlio. office on Broeduay. Harry tss in art d out (;t1rinsP, the couree or cur very ha.:.:ty tttenpt to survey 6. complicated .1), ffdr. thile sittin?. in the rear office,. te could bear those Dori-Una tho lowz line of 'depositors 3; aSting to ova. out their btlencos el moring for informtion t% to that v:6 going to happea. The ca.sh KAI.. all gone. an4 Mr. Baker, Mr. klorgan, rt. gootl-a.rd end Er. Etillmita tore ataitin sOM6 IA, rd .fro ls us 7 ELStoEth it Vo found. Harry sena into the room gone time around noon and I svnt pool-Ably fifteen' or tvnty minutes in hurriedly givir. hint s. picture of the oituathon,. althotgh by that tine lie had not coleted much more than tn exrzinfition of ono-.b.lf of the records of assets gutnitte,,-.1 to us. The question cis estImr, first the trust cea,-,any tiz.c.4 solvent, and second thother thtnrd orfi asseto adequate to sescure loans to seo thom through a serioun crisis. In the abort apace of ti7e a/lotted to us it vue e.bsolutely imposeible to alve my' Et +3 0.1 moes upon 5sh1ch tny pledae of anaistnce could be based. la another 24 hours it ralEht h-avs been poseible to do e I veil remenber the 611I1 et/ ith thicla ediacuseed ithat eboe,ld b to If:. Baker and far. Liorgan sho id ertrs.itinv: our tor& Moat reluetantly, end ;.d.th tome appreciation of the possible .conte(;uenoes, to both agrocd that honesty and fair- nese to everybody required us to say that it rae sbeoluttly impo3sible in the lenzth Of time alloved. U. 0 E., uctor thostao zmeetione, or to1:11..,.e tiny reit:ale, report. Am you know, the truct som?eny cl.osod its doors. In ft;4ct I believe the tellers andows tare closed vitt:out our bcflig consulted. :lie consternation on the fuccs of -7thc people on that line, srtfny of ems zon ton I. knew, I shall never forget. I knot that tiarry left the tuilding with a cense of dejection and defeat abich it is quite impossible for me to describe-. Th:A night I rent home to Greenwich with r, deep feeling of apprehension lest we Vbre facing a real disaster, aod especislly saY101.1g because of our impotence to do anything for the re if of the Knickerbocker Trsct Company. At about to .._ L'6b12,2.3cotclock in the morning my telephone riz..-ng and I es.e asked by someone speaking for Harry to motor in -.from Greenwich immediately, to assemble the ccemittee T,th la had. been working; gith ma the day before nd start at once sn examination of the T.ruet CoMpany of AM6r1cn., ctoping at tte Beitiont Hotel first to discuss the situation with Hs,rry .and same of the other bankers. Before leaving, I lit. t3 thi: 0 to roach one or to members of the committee by telephone, one of thoe, undertock to nocatible the °there tit the office or the Trut Company of America just as rapidly as they could droze and gct transportation. On arriving in toen I found Harry, and,. se I recall, Mr. Perkins,. Vir. Porter,. yourself, and atm° °the 8, just at darn, dressing and preparing for another snxious day. ilarryts principal concern Teas leet another situation should develop as the day before whoa lack of -tint you'd Sc the factor in the decision rather than lack of knouledg.e. tie urged upon me the need of making the most hasty possible sur-vey w.d.ch ould preduoo an outline of conditions ue to justify a prEalmiw:TY loem to the Trust Company of America in coos it were needed. It SetZe that the day before, at Harry's suggestion conveyed through Nr. Converse, Ur. k!organ had csIled a mooting of the trust conpany presidents to be hold in hie office- around noon and Harry wished me to make some kind of a report to that mestin.. As I rtcall, the Trust Company of Azsrica at that time had asaetc, of close to t100,000,000. We had el cot to serve on the committee men who had special knodedgc of various types of loan& to that it you'd be possible to divide up the or and. -6sceemp/i& mac result in the shortest poasible ripace of time. Mrini; that morning I think ii&rry one it to at)e re ,end form an catimatta of our progrocs xo lf)SP then three or four times, acte. trsItE, frequently on the telephone. By 12:7.0 e vas xirging haste and finally,- at one o'clock.: -4111ard icing,:.yarr,; I joined bim at Fr. Morgant a office to make some. sort of preliminary rep rt. you v-1111 reeal that the old officer,- of J. P. tioreAn and Cmpany in twee dayo Vcro divided into email roars In the rear, ttze cf thich ;fere connected by folding doors. The truet cosTeny previdsntc bore mooting in one mon, tut then I eect ir, 1-14rry wad George Perkine took me into the rear mom tvhere I fonnd r. orge.n, Mr. Baker, and Ir. mtlde one of hie chert,ote?rietic romsrka, ti1ln. nd then Er. Morgan much to the point, end so effective in results, He ari-dd to me oilave you enyene Pith you the elit make a. report to the gentleMen in the nr.-..xt room. They are the presidenta of the trust companies end when they Cane into the office they had to be introduced to e4ch other, E,114.3 I don't think can be evected fron elm-. Sit do.--va with Ur. uc about it. So much kor, kr-r. Stillman hile jflrdFins, ti-ho eas txith wee telling the trust nom- ptny pre-cidents of -kht Ne had learned in our morning 4:mm1mA/en, I rent over the principal ftures of the trust ompanytv affairs in the'nexts room aith the three gentlemen and endeavored, with that waa refaly meet inadequate informtion at ti-mt momcnt, to dve the% a picture of the eitution. I reica'aber Mr. Morga.m repeatedly saying., "I.',re they solvente' Hvan..ted no details, hut the g.f-nerai fLett, and reaultrs, and seeme,:i to be satiall.ed with the opinions I expressed. There were tvo or three large losna in the trust company concerning irlich I hAd to ask. 'gr. Morgan, Mr. Baker and Mr. Stillman for their ova opinion, and id th that I romaiker telling Mr. tflorgaa that I a ae satisfied that the corkany laas solvent; that I thought their surplus had been pretty much. taped out; but t1.2ftt the capi01 sae not greatly impaired, if at all, althouA tr;:re the corny to be liquide.tcd there vore many assets rhich it !would take some years to finally convert into cash. He asked ras if the backers -eould be jus-ti fled in seeing the company through, and I told- him that ttiesc fry ht opinion. I recall his V.:J:11 saying to Mr. Bak.er and Mr. Stillman *This is the 1..,1e.co to stop thc trouble/. then." But in the' thole course or our moctina, which rtay have .lasted for three quarters of en hour, I doubt if 1-;r. Morgan spoke more than five or tax timoo. Then he eaid to Er. Perkins, or to Harry, din Id come into the room, 'You cndiM az that meeting and tell 15r. Thorne to come over.' 2- The doors tore then thrown open end in marked ba6s kfld bos,os f111tX long line of men from the Trust Company of Amelica tith 'ith covaritiee. Er. Baker tent back to the Firet ilationa Bank, or to the Hanover I$nk, to arrmge matters with Lir. iloodward according to predetermined plan. .at the telephone in the adjoining room connal- 15 r. nictling tith his bank, and Vt..- Morgan and I at at big tablo thilc,iir. Thorne and He clerks e-read ;ut the necuritice and tboir values were determined for the purpoee of ecuring the first loan to the. ?mot Compeny of ;Aeries,. Pr. Vorgan had a pad front of him eki figuree.,, e e tent along,:, wad then he was satisfied that collat- ere? had been :.telivered edeiNats for en advance, he wuld ciiik Mr. Stillman to tele77hene over to the National City Bank to e.end over currency for the tinOkint determined upon. This rent on until three o'clock, then about $3,030,000, as 1 recral, har.i been sent over jo the Trust COMptay of inerica This cash, Indt.-tr the arrsai.cem,ent, was to be furnithed by the three bsnk.s and J. P. ilorgen Company. The securities were put end taken down to the vault. into CZ"tek I took the pains' one time during those oxcitini- .d. .ys to try end ascertain juet that was in Mr. Morgan' o mind in connection uith the report which Tko had madc beo=t, and/convinced tt!Larry- had told ir.Baker that he vented me to take charge or the ci.P-mintions and that he yould vouch for me; that Hr. Baker Ltd told ilr. ilorgen that be mild accept ny opinion about these aesoto; and that Harry had, in fact, inspired the whole procedure upon ahich Er. otgan vs raying t.s the b-z--ci II of hie on attitude in developing plane to stem tho.ptnie. It 1:ou1d make the stntemont too long to tet out in chronological order, tith dates, all that tranSpiren throughout the next few ittyeke. I tall sz-kod to proceed ot, once with -the rosamination of the Trust Col:pi:11y of - 10 Ae-3erica to a point where re could give a more finished opinion tc teits1;olvcricy prid. condition.. Wo resumed our work: right tray, or responsibility being to furnith information, Harry, meantime, being actively engaged with hie other asenclates fcmulating the plan upon vMch Mr. Yiorgan and the others yore to act. at the upte. I w,:s to office. of the. Union Tract Colpany at rxine o'clock that night, t34)(2;3*report .tben Mr, Morgan, Mr. Baker and Mr. Stillman expected to discuss the situation rith the trast colipany presidents. I arrived a little late, finding Harry snd Mr. Perkins azaiting me, an . re at down in a little oounon room in the basement to go over the roeult of our day.es tfork.' My opinion VMS unchanged that the equity behind the creditors of the trust company of America was probably $20000,000. Earry. re.e very insictent that . any rep" ort made ehmld contain every ncedod. qualification in case of any poseible mis,Indr.me,nt. ofvelues. Ur. Perkins we.e ineletcnt upon knowing whether the company vie solvent or not. I recal1. that my answer to Mr. Perkins was- that that was a4 question Alith no one cculd answer unless ore firet kner .he.ther the company was to be liquidated or saved. I told him that wore the company placed in capable bends to li'uidkte T felt confident that ultimttoly every creditor mold be raid in full and an equity scAted for the stockholders, but if the panic continued and valueo became impaired by lack of public confidence as was possible, etc., that mrgin sight easily be eeptrued; but my on belief was exactly as Nr. Morgan had expressed it thM the eity de.; ended uyon k.coping the company going. EY rry vas boIiy r;ticfied Idtb that foric of expression tad ve thea joined the meeting upstairs -thicb crowed Into P aiali meeting room largely occupied by a tc:olo in the middle of the room. him c.,,n r. organ asked me to sit on a bench behind rhile general dincusolon took lace, I outlined to Mr. Morgan briefly at the paiult of our altocs,rether too haety cxemination e.ppeared to be and that :ay belief titata af4 to the value of the equity end rihat was neccuilary to prevent its disappearing. He had Tory little to Bay, but I r.oticed the vigorous nod of hie head from time to - 10 America to a point where we could give a pore finished opinion an to its solvency sand condition. We resumed our work right awa,y, our responsibility being to furnish information, Harry, meantime, being actively engaged with his other associates in foraulatirz the plan upon clic.h Mr. Morgan and. the others wore to act. I to joIroport at -the upth. rxg office of the Union Tract Compsny t nine o'clock that night, cs, 'then Mr. Morgan, Mr.aker and Mr. Stillme.n expected to discuss the situation 'with the trust collparly presidents. I arrived a little /ate., finding Harry snd Lr. Perkins araiting me, end re sat down in a little coupon room in the hasent to go over the remilt of our day! s work. My opinion Wa3 unchongeci that the equity behind the creditors of the trust company of America 1ms prehabl:y- $2,000,000. Farry rae very insistent that any r4ort made should contain every needed oudification in case of any possible misjildgment of vauer. r. ?erkilis is incintof.t iron knowing whether the cortr,..any wass selvent or not. I recF.11 that my answer to Mr. Perkins was that that was question Thic,h no one eculci mer unless one firet knell ,lhether the company was to to liquidated or eaves'. if told him that wore the corpany placed in cavble hands to liquidkte I felt confident that ultimf,tely every creditor maid be paid in full and an equity saved for the stockholders, but if the panic continued and values becaIT>e impaired by lack of public confidence as as possible, etc., that msrgin ria,,ht easily be destroyed; but my on belief as exactly as Nr. Morgan had expressed it that the eity de2ended upon ko7ping the company going. Virzi vas 1:,holly sr,tisficd rd.th that fem of expression and re thei joined the meeting upstairs hIch eroded into crall meeting room largely occupied by a tthle in the middle of the room. Mr. ,!,!orgen asked me to sit on a bench behind him and ;thile genor.d discuenion took place, I outlined to Mr. Yorgan briefly r,44at the reT It of our altogether too haoty examination appeared to be and that lay belief Ida,e aa to the value of the equity and .7,-hat was neocuilary to prevent its disappearing. He had very little to ciay, but I noticed the vigorous nod of hie head from time to tits indicating assent. ..The meeting was not partic41Erly inspirin.g. TerlaCti hand, and there 19!:-...fi general rellketbmott to make any comcdtments. obvious en every gr. llorgan made a statement to the committee thick expresec,d in a fex wrd s what he had gathered from Harry and from. me end told.the Trust eozsany presidents that.-'a loan or ;I:io,000,oc..* that Er. Cortelyou, the ve.c. required, End that it must be ready the next moraina Scoretary of the Treaeury, vas coming to IRA York and that erranseeents vould be ye), made for some overement deposite in national brrtk dpoitarie inUow York City thich tould aid the furniehing of funds for tbc relief of the Trust Cony of tmerica; that it woe distinctly the responsibility of t Oust co:111-41es to save that company and that the clearing hOUZ0 beuize and his firm toad do that they could teciet the trust oottypanieo in doing co. Prior to the meetini; liaviy had told me ihat Lt the proper time I should tak dth Ur. Bbker during the Reeting sad that Er. Deler would cit net to tie Wr. Converse, pre-silent of the Bankers Trust Company, E.nd explain his petition. After a lot or !pito futile discussion; r stepped over to r. Br, who -sae sittin,43 next to Er. Converem, arld asked him that ZIZI.6 next to be done. He said something must be, donc to induce thet;e gentlea.en to pledge the neceseary mount of money. He thought the liere Trurst Compeny Eight Well offer to lend its proportion of any loan made End thate could count upon the First NationN1 Banr_ to stand behind ue for every- thing that vas required up to 10030,00). rr. Converse then said that the Hankers Trust Company would sib-scribe half E., million dollars to a loan and Eould increase it to a million dollars if necessary. Even then no great enthusi&a7 developed, and I resumed ny eseA back of Jar. Morgeza with a hopeless feeling that nothing von:id be done. It w-. 1.s easy to see that, !Ir. itergan v.-2,w hi a he drop forward and he finally vent to sleep. have passed when Er. Vorgan wetted z-lth wzhaustod. stifxt; lie vas naoking, 274r: d Possibly h::.1f an hour !nay turned and aeked ale for e. pencil - end eheet of paper. Unless I rim mieteken, he had he'd little of the converoAtion °ale:: had ttkiin p1ce, nd I V sure sae becomingf.,uito lizyttlent with the delay. Ile said, ":1e11, 4zent1euest, the rite;cers Trent Company h agreed to tJ:ke ita ehare Lod more of t4 loan. Mr. ncroton, kddrcesing the president of the Femora Isom and -- *Trust Company). hetw Duch, Tim the Farmers Loan and Trust Company eubaoribe?" Er. .Vrk;ton replied that he would do exactly uhat the Bankers had clones, euba-cribe: taai' 4 million, or, up to been plc ,TsNfk for S t llion if requirod. In a nr-t time about 1:13,2a-,,frio heat oast and by then it. was getting on tonards midnight. Er. Hort:an id that the Firet Nationd Bank, t f=1 d c. ion?..a City fh!..z.lk--ezid the 144:toyer thtiond -Bank 4ould temporarily be reoponsible for the, bniance of the loan of tIO OCia,,000, tut thet they vould expect the trust conpani ne to- relieve thee of their coutritution just as con all the urmr,:zeci, loith other t could be organized lind the eurity cti1d be compenicre not repr-eaented at the ME^otirig, partielpAting. Vr.Thorne had beta waiting outeide with 011.6 of hie di reztor, Er. Johu Dsurne, to jet the rewlt of the confercac-o.!.0.orgsz st.ted Vast I ;weld gotoUr. Thorne' s house ands.rransz.., for the security t4- the loc,n; that N.r. King 'touid tate oharze handline- the sermritics at the Union Truet Company 6tonal and. that I tqlf) to report to hi El Ic the r_orriing. I had errt-mi,cd to tr.tke ono of the clerks from theBasnkare Trust Compeny to check over the uite f,zei arrange about the socority, and Mr. Stillrari asked rse if I would al-se take with ne hr. ilorne, one of the vice president:, of the r, ti oriU City .13srik,aa ho ty-f,nted to be azeured that the so:I...Lteral vas ccincruate. I took 4 fe inute-r.,. to go over the mattsr asain with mnd raeked him if he could not join tie 'at r. Thorn& s houve. Le u4,id that he a:ulei not peeelhAy do co, AZ- he had other-weft to do end mast iw.vo to be ready for the next day-Te rest ..od the wholo organization Led to be set up and put In motion. Ur. Porkine. be.cl.left to moot the nevep&par reporters at the Manhattan Rotel, where 'no tas to give theia etrstemsnt of conditione for the r-orrting kvora. liarry'e le,:et No rd to mo u.as to eiti;', that the escurity WaS that it *--. and eepecialy ready On time the next morning, as there vse no ctieh 'eft t aU. in the Tr4st Company-of &aeriea end he and the others sere grevely doubtful of the redom of e_ke pir-g open unions the loan utto ready promptly at ten o'clock. Ve had very little time, as it itl.e then approrxhing one oteloak, *nd, us I left the building, putting on my overcoat allot- w=7.,e fillod with papere, all the data end o rAm dr.- dropped out of ry pocket. It WWI a. cold, windy night, and the records of the Trust Company of Anerica blowin dorm Fifth Avenue with a ctring of ton or fifteennotti,paper reporters danhing after them to gather tb up. e finally recovered the papers, and I must, say those news boys were decent enough in helping no to do o then every scrap of infotrAe- tion uhloh they or keen to. have for the morning iseues was literally in their bends. ?dr. Kilhorne and I rbikej up Fifth Avenue vith the newspaper men trailing don,: beside ne esting questions. In order to eet rid of thez, w a sent into the 4nd litre,et entrance of the Eelmont Eotta, eayins g, 0 odnibt, en4:: then went out of the side eatnanee on Ftut Avenue and on to Mr. ihornets house. On arriving at Mr. Thornets house, 1,1r. Bourne, Mr. Thorne, Kr. Kilborne end one of the clerks from the Trust Conpany of Americ, as well as one from thebc Trust Compay, set dos-u with no to B elect, w!lit,t, should be delivered to the Union Trust Company as security. Along towards four o'ciock in the morning Kilborne became tinetly anxious tbout the ade,;us.ey of the collateral which I was eel voting, and finally said that he watted to cal his wife to fnclain that he would not be at home at all that, night. The telepiono tan in the pantry, and a- 3 we rent into the dining room Kilhorne said to ze that he was redly -too enxious to be willing to sprrove the lean upon his on reap-en/Ability.rnetbing m4.do e suspect that he needed aesuranco that he was going to cell hr. ttllaen, s.,-) I rent into the ppntri tith him. He did in fact cell his Idfe to tell her not to ,rorry, that he would not be hone. I bevene.,ver felt willing to z.sk Mn just flat ta in his mind, but have ,t1ways sus-pected that he would like very mob to have had a talk with tr. Stillma,e before going further. I pointed, out to bin th,.t be tan taking a greater rerponsibility in cusot/on- ing the lcen than he would take in pazdng the collateral; that the reg.]. decision - 14 s to select the beet *security available end net to take e.ny stops vada would defeat the loan ittelf, to had been made at the meeting, and our cole reaporAnibiiity which ho finally agreed. At abiziat sio.. o'clock in the morning, or later, we had prepared a schealle of al the collateral to be delivered Arid I left to fro.,.then rip e bit before the next i.547:4: deg but without opportunity for any deep. work' On arriving at. the Union Trditt. Company at about 8:1;0 I found that Vr.. King had nct retched hit office. Ur. Thorne wee to have the vaulte open c.trly end eatembic the- collateral. Finally then Mr. King - erze in, some tine after P:00 o'clock, 1 fonnd that he 11. :d expected that the collateral touId E',etually bc dtlivered at hie offices be -chocked up by hie cm metn, end that the dire-eters of the Trust (taps:1y of Arierica would have eaeda reach:tic:1 tuthorizling the loan. Of courte tine htd not permitted any such procedure. After offerinF, to go to the Tract C-oratany, ofkmerict.% myet-lf and take charge of the collet- eral, and finding that that was net agreeable to hitt, I woo advised that the collateral wee juf.7.t then coming into the Union Trust Comtany and that the metbere of the E.iecutive Conmittec of the trutt company wore there. ` e mot in the directors room, and I explained to the ienbers of the co At- tee that hr. Eng would require a resolution and verification of the collaterzzi, hut that haste VA.5 abscluttly essential as the Ettchinery for getting the funds together h,-14 not yet been sot tip, end / most ask them to alga a certificate on the schedules which tere in y poese3eion that every item' of collateral wee there in the boxes. They ell eigned Euell a certificate end I then reported to tir. King that collateral rela there and. he,d been verified, that the Eiecutive Cottmittee bad. authority to sr renge the lotn and that the committee, tosether with the CQUE: ea of the Tract Comptny of America were there to do ec. Eut etill there g:fts not tine to get the cash that was needed for it ;s ac then about e. quarter to ten. St I &ached don to Idoreente where I found Harry and Mr. Perkin a waiting anxicurly for y report. i;her: the situation tee explLincd to them they gave directions to Mr. liemiiton, tr. Joyce end others to Eo the Morgan vault and got together be - 15 of the SOcurittes %:hich hsel Am adca. been left there the dz,.y before by the Trutt Company of Harry waled up Vice Free Ulan RIitten of the tationq City zz.d .told him that se had to have tome cash at once. 'tie ran down Vial Street to the Nk.tional City Bank with some millions of sscurities, the street being thronged with sightseers aad a long line of tmitin.; dopesite-Nre flao extending don Ulla= Street from merieft office end into Exchange Place. the Trust Compeny o A very haety examina- tion of the collateral 7US r0:de at the Nation:a City Bank, and I remember eiving Mr. Vaitson a pencil receipt for h bluleae of gold eertific,,tes, wl,ethe, it w.m1 t603,000 or csnnot no rec-11 - but I put the in my pocket, rtn dean Wall Street, and at almost exactly ten o'clock tound Ur. Theme w3.1kins up and don the gral cry overlooking the bsnkine, room in the utmost an.tiety le-.t he was to he dip- pointed in the loan. The minutehe she me he tad tht.t the trust C-OZ,VErtif:e had f.4.1ed hi, the money was not forthcoming, and that ho expecte4 to close tution promptly at ten. The lock of. relief on hie face when I handed him the firet. eArr.L*st money I ehall never forgot. Uy memory of this incicent is retreeled by the fact that I net Mr. Thorne not lone azzo in rieW lork, - the firt. tine I had seen hiT: in eel:en:teen yearn, since the panic, - and he explained how well he ream:bored that enzieue cement. I think lihrryte BEtt160 of humor was bet-ter exhibited to me in the next few minutes than on any occasion thst I c=4n recall,. for, when I got bP:ck. to Vorgante office and told him that the program wart moving and. that had happened., heren.red Ith ltcughter and eald that they had just discovered that the Securities which :piz-1 had taken to the Vationel City Bank for thie. temporry loon were the mme securities. which had been used the day before to teoure the losn that the LAten:-...-1 City Bank, the Firet N'rltiOnta on End the.linover Nation.4.1 Bank had made to tide the Trust Com?my over that afternoon. If anyone should ever doubtrryt a courage in an iwtergency, this incident, I think, illustrated it better than almeet anything that can be cited. Of course the mistake vas etraighttened out later. From, that time until the feacue meeting in. Mr. orgon'a library, EOLIC to - 16 70 later, the -11olo city vas in tho throne of a finanoiel panic end banking c)dioastor tuch. 0,2, no of lie 1;c4. ever experienced. One institution after ilnother appeacti for help.Th little emir-anointed co;mtittes of ban*cers Ittov-ere deziling oith the situation ooneisted quite generelly of men vh.o were in one tiny -s.nother aosociated with the Iker Tro,F4 Coreptaly. Mr. Edvard ring of the Union Trust Com; peny was chtirrun of the trust cozpany orpnizstion bAstily .forval for tho purrpoeo of desling with thitee...catter. The Clearing House Committee vas acting for it tleohwe, and behind the ithriou s intc,reete vere Veasre. Vorgan, `roodward, thore find decision me geno.rf4ly controlling. Stillnen end The tork of enotions wao largely done by the etzte1itUt comittoe, of Phi eh Itat= the, chsirrien r_nd.. that tort confoted utthr Harryta genorell direction end vith d_tdly reports to tin tnd to I-Tr. PaeKirit. I sbell not reeount the Ca ea et-.1 incidents, &Ati. VOIR 0 bilITSIrCII zaE,t`iY of them -exciting or de?reeeing,. rhith elii,racterintod those for reeks of strain and i l-!:,,z1oty. te. you 141.1 rccall, in order that all a.spectc of the eituttion. sight be broul.:Iht together end diecuee-ed -every dsy, ve erwag'ed a private dining mon Union Leszue Club ehere vo were all cuppotedto rpert for dinnor at about tte : every niEht, end there Herryte geolue tild, ledcrMp, U ccurz.ge--d resourcefulneez- proved to be the Eitrmsth of the little ergrztizz-,tion of 1 urcd, n 7.1.0U end exheuoted ner.t. Following the aiazte crisis. of tho 'opening days of the panic, there had developed 1or dr&in by u poeitorc upo.zany of the New York City and Brooklyn inutitutione.Itich threetened to force E general euspeneion, sz;.d it 711-$ IZZ.,7Q to be cure of cound. judgeent inrany qutrtera *lea r.-;nts tnd tak', ere zubjected to the. influencee of mat panicky curroundita,s arttl he days tInd nioghte en end althout rest .pir dgment snd tezkened cournie. Th:rou6,-hit ail I nevv e F.urry lot3o his ftith in the outcome. I .rtmembor ens duy be http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis -)1704.)-0.0ei.. es went into the Lin-aln 'Trutt Covany to d.,311 vitt a very difficult situation there. The futds tere 11 gone, .the dirDotort rere Wcd2a12.6 the institution. Nem"- cRiledr. Perkint; on the ,oourd61111 eeretout to hed ltx;ked thinga over and they twv.., porecnelly, ple&l.od $50C.),00-0 coming from; but it did think 4.1thout. 5.:.,ny very cleit-r ithl. of where the meaty Imo teltilone afturcoP 0. had the ca550 of- the liorth Side fisnk of Brooklyn, one Friday night, 11,..;r1" four dez:ioeit accounta in different inetitutiont, three of ehi ell had coz them. unava.ilable botau4to the institutione were cl,ored or not- rooting dea.-ids upon till 4rvallablo vlAs at the 13.P..nkers Trust Compg:ny. You roc41 Tba ono aocouat rtported the eitultion at the Union Le,,,,tle Club at dinner that night end you had .2Totteed the prof,71.4ent thst te vn-Vld do _everything re could,. but Could not decidd the= the money even if it io until thr.t erninr2ectin,7,. And v1116, ea a. ntAter of fact, wo did vend th.em wive currency, it prinei- ottenge. dollars contlettiOf V.,ree or four trucs!x. en d Automebilte loaded with ehic14. .in 1,:-J got from the f)-ib-tre3..aeuxy, Tko inetitvtion 1.1:L & in good .1.tbtpe, There were no sm.il bills availttle in the city. E.e.d WM; kept cl)e.n. I stood on the steps oe the albtriat:sury er, e :CO o'clock the. not rornim, arid tit,..tobed the proceszlon,' eith in- cluded try on autotzottile, st.:art over the -Brooldyr, 1$0 president of the bkr0'.: subr,equemtly tiet3e.1:ih-cd,t/3 me an rt.-uzing Aft k,r thiu1th hcsi fornecl 5 fa the wain orrice and zion.e*f the brenchea Saturday mn.- in theepsc cf ilvr tlir rrivad. Nobody know eht,ther they were golAl or Th(1-7 W,re - 1)12 to pay evorydy nithout resorting to the zilver until an Irligmert .re,v.thed tb indow vith s ohiolz for e. few hundred d.ellara, and they had to e could t eFzry it ave,..y tithout a bag, ro to took off hie TdIde a rtic.k of It hih he filled itb the Falvr donate snd sittlkod off eith iyny biz/ silver dol art eol.t, th.oeilvr duover or hie ehoulder. 10) 1'3 The red criele of the panic oecn:Irred on a. t;:z..t.urdly .. hen it becte*knorn troutle had ecycloz.ted in ce_rrying larJf..s.-aount of the stock of the Tennessee Clor .11,vd Iron Criany. it for dye before, that it had .lee become apparcnt tb.z.lt the o fg.r lot.ned to the TyuntC-c-JrqyAny ofA.E.Wica Va not go nvi.. 0 rIty to uf1ee . comiBittvs.- to rilAothrerAezda.b.t1 On I -.re tv....rned tLero ;4tZ.. 0ptr,rted.,-1--, rooCtl, or. Ituvins; tLe butiellag xd-iorkei.i 'without taeep Teridzy. t tt tir, Ltd until E4turdf.7 afternoon.ry triper.,,olly to euoure laromation from. w uflrwlero It tii.o needed la rtlipen..30: tO v tiatnation After- t1 'Xuree - 513t -rt eolIploted 1 k,- .At''ts mutt him ts,t, the Es.lzent Ectel tad co er-&x. tloa rocult,4, before pr,Iceo;Uni-; to Mr. Vorgmlw 1ibr4ry to tr nineOC1OCk aturdw niAto mtke 4a:-.-thor ro2ort, Itero of.,rtzln matr6 in con solt Cry ltvyz;i ..kmerintr3. atrountly3. to bu 4 t'S,"Z,QM. but lonz_ t..11t the ralty la tl:o Trur..-A, Company c.f e Qotolbok I muit dova to the Library sz<.'i t1:Era foundt.t-,woztbled 0-X, wad regre:::_enta.tivet of represeattA.tverot -the Cie:Axing nou50 tc-,...n7&5 la ths 1,Ellt In I the tra&t. corc*rile,:t Izth weat room. Cc! i Mr. E.a.rry, I 1t4.1...,tion, told te thlt Ur. It-...trzoz the ft >IQ r es to vMc tbIj hW. th.3tt 73e reiulred to <11 sith ld tkanotler othz..r Imtter dyt5),a)o,3a3 1ouA cry 1ir Aa>.! ta lad,aee. in aoatrmat ;Att.- arz, :Loou Finally, Mr.It4r.ston *.vla fr:gw r room to .;36:ar. 113thlas- tut dtztultori conv,Dratlerk hz.,1trt pies evp to th4t t4. X 1.1.;.A. r. lonr tdk ,RSt1 Mr. Ldyr another loan to the Trazt ncIntlz, Shc rt rut that ez-,-avi.-.1o,Jd that---?,2Z51),-)0,000 Vte trast c.-.1"t1;orly Eitustion 4o3,a, tforga-o. tfjc I fEat tiao rzat..rrica.,_-e of ,1416courazcleat. 'tcr t114,, Llii Gary, 2r. ,Filbeat .and CZ, the &,-.11.11 room la tb6 rt-.6r to jAn r.1.1orswl. Knowing &c of the le.r,,ncv.,-,;r, et.g tad Iro3 vr)as;. frahidot. 'through tho rvort. tols.GthEir._ b ii. Itarry wt1.3 cz,nYI,Ief:.', ropc:il to allke- a D EN r.arnez.1. and he arrived with Harry at about Tiloz,at; F. Eyaa w la 4111 kn th Lt 17 zd..tud,r;s, 0131-lea aa same of Vats laza' sa,,porte of of .4aerita, it Mad ialeat eg./1..) IA the tru, t, prlof,1;:ding.e by _my ora..1.1tor at ...ay tiizc,eap.seially e- http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ col Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis fe,ArP4 zould prole to say to ok- -tho polloy of tho mat dbeen to keep mazimovzie: in lin.o...w4lting before paying cbtoke,-,...zmettaea . - 19 1i dyan(4 .fr,ra dey to 0 y, poscibly p-eyin.g Le pr'f.pvnteds irgea.ao/.1nt of ite-,to. s then one no eender in a, d.4.y if Ifeeze wore suzgoated for dolling, sfith this. thich ecer.ed toaatili.ty fr. Ledyard, but still nothlrq;:. kita kria%/1 ea to Aloronef: dehes end to protroes could be made tovird ratting the nefi: fincily rt-Aurood after al. itbseasz of ri4iy an hour, looilne Ivory graiop And aftld tt h hed been ea:monad by Mr. Yorzento lieten to exp.lenation 11.r. x'eto of .tether eltuation tlich had all eon, -,hich he was not at 11brty to disoloe, thich zinuld rei',uire the use of at least .t.,25,000,0n, that Er. Worgt4n had made arrengemento to hnndlo the eituktion contingent, however, upon the trust company presidents ezrec- ing t reive not Isse than $25,000,000 xoke to adequ&tely protect the truet company tuvtion. Re W1.4 unrilling to prooeed tith. the other matter sath the possibility of' a cowl ote tanking collapse vilich vould render his efforte futito. 'al eitlitiztzt, by r.re ton %filled the room %ith consteraztion. I PA$ atked to Mf,k0 o r.eport on the result 0: th--.; l5st.ev..-.aination; ht.d dotec." of to sloop sittth on r, lounge next toUr. Stillman. I rt3cell asking me. when I h.1.41 lest ben in bed and theal I told him Ii.uredey night, he said the tountry trasn't going to Eirafieb if I vont he.1.o to bed. to Sn I Ltle then celled on n,..port Oat I found to be the eituetion in the Trust Company of l's.u,erica 11.1ch for the firet time I felt hed hem gained from fiinfie,thing like accur&te figure's. !Tust ht.ve been three. o'clock in the morning, it or thercatoutr, and still the ln not hsen --raiacd; but, ho.tviur; wade Ey report, I u-ent to the front door to E,o, hoele found it looked. The etory indeed is only to true thet e. orr, hevingaseembled the men to deal ;4ith. a p'e,riloue situation he,d had the door to the libr4ry locked and the key vas- in hie bun pocket. The re.allt wae that the doors tacro not finelly opened until vatrielent esirealoce h.' been given tet,..t the loAi Would be forthconing, an,-,1 I left to riAk Eadison AvelVIS itb te Bekor at exactly a i:parter -to fire .f.tuday morning,. I had o oir,ortunity then to discuss the lock.ed. door incident Id th Egrr.y, tut tIteri I did, 4gair, it ctruck lairl'e,o a ot hulorcua exhibition of tr. iiorg.nt- a peculi.%r ineight into huraui nathro. There wasn't going to be any miet,kke that night. lie 'anded that ell otould stay to the end of the party. By thst time the ori-3anization dvtling with therso matters had been protty ell perfected; the tvachinery vt.e orin oothly; expert eccountente were rut tho book r of the Trust Company of' America bC.'d other institutiono to make El, fin- Ishe-d sudit extminstion end report. And the bl-mkere wort &head by ttie method of dealing vith these matters so as to form 5c0,1 rate judgments, ea dietinguidted from hasty oonclutione. The tork of rry little comi, ttes, cnd to some extsat, Earryro tot tapersd off. The lova rt.bich was handled by the Union Trust Company became lergely a matter of mutioe. ixproasiontr. of Earrite rork during v11 of tat anxious period ire almost vivid todey as they were seventeen years a,e;o. He vas the comtnending gmerta over the forces in the fiel. . Behind him sae the g enerei etaff, principally Mr. Vergan, Ur. Baker and Mr. Stillman. fivorry WaS threanz his force, that is the veriot115 dostoats in the OrgtaiNtItion at one task after a-nother and liteoing to the rowilts of the eiction 1hate-yen it might have been. There tore at least twelve Institutions being specially adminlitereAl in one ay or another during r.3.1 of that period. Ea.oh one pro- seltiuki problems, the most serious of which, indeed, wore tot along quotations of secur- ity, but those of pareonality, prejudice end 6cisa,times Safi zhness and timidity; was in dealing rith the human equation that Ilarrite suorate ttavat IfY e,t3 ehorn. reconciled difference of view, calmed the, uneasy end anxious; it He he Inspired the timid, sometince diSol pii n cc.' the cowardly. but with it v.11 his courage never flagged, his industry Nan uncefAeing ana hie good temper- never failed him. Recalling what you and I knov of the organization and administration of the Bealmrs Trust Company under his inspiration, that he did in 1907, the vigor with which he undertook the .-tzork: es advisor to the. Aldrich Cem74asicn, and finally his attitude in reopeot of the Federal Reserve Bank and the Federal Reserve:7-istem, E.?..10:4 it easy indeed for us to refute every cuggeetion that has been mado by critics that the inapiring motive in Barry's life wts other than public oervios. His 'fortune wesAZ aC00172- 0 - ent hit meant lees to him thxtri other end bigger things. The powy.ibilities of amasei ng 6 gr vAer fortune then he left were limited, only by h.ie otzt allingnece or unan in&n*esa to continue mating Loney: makiniz The minute the r brota out all thought of lueinese career legJed from Ilarryte mind. money or continuing Wany tiee in tsaking att, him I cf.,.0 hozi his mind tas mring in the diroction o f mue further public torvice. That he did t4s e. partner in your fin) in the ncEoti atione for furnishing alpplie-G to the ellie4 governments before the Vatted States tntored the u-Er The mi. cute ti o (tone su much in the epirit of public eervice te entered the U4 tny not of Me life. r he laid overythir4g tieldo for the greateet accomplichment of hie life.. The detail5 of tt:at cIli be developed by othero. You viii recall that once we declared tmr It bee mo noceeec.ry to develop in Ore, enization for the conduct of" the Treacuryto financial operations. The kel-eme vas tentatively :tad out and lierry hapi.,:tmocci to be in tc.ehinston then Ssorets.-ry MoAcif>o fing no hin vpproval of that I had eagbebted for ou.i district. I tecd him at once i f he could not do hie share in the Liberty Loan Orsani4ation in come effective mey. I kne.q; that he uas over th;re at that very nomont ditonsaing the Ike Cro irk tith the PreElocnt. be. fin:My net et the l'.etropolitan Club, una, tith little preIron!. U. on of aat thfmid of him, I cadclvered to parcuade him thc,A. with hie vast expert aloe _Qvd capacity for lemderehip in tnnee it seemed a ehare th.:.t.t he hould under ,a.ko ned Cross eork end net give the country the benefit of vtut.he tee co pre- minently ale to do in tar finenco. I. explained to him in detail the typo of or-ganization which te taro contpintinj, discuesed the nemce of that:0 sle might be coneidered bvallrAbio and ueeful, and told him that I could not siillingly ace hie name ittcd from the Het. Ee acid the natter tf,13 in the hando of the PreAdent, and That I ebould take it up vith his. e I wrote Provident aleon the beet explanation' that I could mke of the need for litlrrr servic&a. I have bie reply Odell atated that no doubt ferry wuld be available much of the time for advice in thoac rattere, tut at he had et greater cork ahead of List frora tlich he could not be releaaed. retlly the conoluGion of Py eareociation dthliarr7. Thst meeting trtoolc.lous mIriz and rezpondbility rreting upou b s he.a.ia of the Fi.e.d. Cross t3s4o for him to undertel;e ciny of our .eork. Pie pb.rtnerozdta,pecindly 41,0t,iD120ea.ble JicSoron The ramred thtt iturclm slith ur, vith that not&151 Tid le-et tirio tmceen you know. s,sti Furry w?-44 clottly before hia deAb ielenito vt.e iNe.V6 ray otrickem -nd eo oheztff,ed. htei a nioD ttAk about old tizoo, but culty of his eceech 6,nci the exertion rhich it roziuirod rii,sde it ntoorsrily a very thort virit. A-a I left, he id, bt leart thc-.Te tl,reto thing. that you and I till never rezrc.:t, one that you did. thq; Fedtirfil Reserve job eind th.v. other tMat Red Crors jobs it cost ur our r.:3 0itt.tion, intin4te fold happy tr it uclr, tvt it aid." pordbl addi tion s ;lid the Ceinoidezer in regt.rd to Readinsr, Ittrzys.n-4 I having clegroor Propnration forc,...Ifsninp,tion by the Pejo Cori tte-al. Self. Bank of England, London, May 8, 1926. Dear Tom: Following a call this morning from Parmentier, who flew over from Paris to see me at the request of the Minister of Finance, I have despatched a cable to New York of which the enclosed rough draft is a copy, and which I am sure you will understand. Norman and Whigham have both seen it. As Winston is arriving in Paris today, I am relying on your getting in touch with him (even though I am unable to give you his hotel address), so that you may also show it to him. After talking with Norman and Whigham, the situation impresses me as follows. The decline in the franc is probably due more largely to French selling than to withdrawal of strictly foreign balances from Paris, and is probably induced by fright occasioned by Herriot's repeated public utterances in regard to a capital levy under a Eocialist government. Aside from our natural reluctance to enter into a transaction which we believe in principle is wrong and which we would regard as simply patch-work, I feel that the time has arrived when. if anything Ht all is to be done, it must be comprehensive, must include all French interests, and must be of such a character as to invite foreign cooperation, rather than to choke it. The one reason for my suggestion about any gold transaction is the status of the debt settlement. It would .seem to be a fair assumption that it woulci be very difficult for the present French Government to secure ratification of the American debt settlement at a time when the franc is suffering a calamitous fall, and especially if it were known in political circles that assistance from America had been declined. fortunately As Winston is in Paris, it seems to be most desirable that you and he and I May 8, 1926. Mr. Lamont 2. should discuss matters together and have opportunity at the same time of some joint discussion with some of our French friends. Of course there is danger in any meeting with officials, or even with the Bank of France, being given the appearance of a "full dress" affair and being used for some sentimental advantage in dealing with the exchange. This will need to be carefully safeguarded if I am to participate. Whigham is telegraphing you today suggesting that, if you do decide to come over on Wednesday, it will be equally desirable to return to Paris on Saturday for the purpose of this meeting. It may be that Winston will feel like coming over with you and returning with us on Saturday. It also occurs to me that, as some proposals have been or will be made to Gilbert for converting deliveries in kind into cash payments, he may be interested in such a discussion. I leave the whole thing for arrangement by you and Winston, but hope you will understand that I really must get away for a rest as soon as possible, and that I should not remain in London longer than Saturday nor in Paris more than a few days after reaching there. Please telegraph me fully if that is necessary, and I suggest using your awn office, as I shall be locked up with the Indian Currency Commission Monday morning and Tuesday morning, and Whigham will be able to reach me through the Bank. It will be fine to see you and talk matters over. make my apologies to Winston for keeping him waiting. Won't you I was ill all the way over on the boat and unable to make any preparation for the hearings in London, and so had to delay matters for a week until I could get ready, but I am feeling better now and ripe for a holiday. Best regards to you and to him, Sincerely yours, Mr. T. W. Lamont, c/o Morgan, Harjes & Company, 14, Place Vendome, Paris, France. 3 1W ee4 (?)Vt,&(-.."-)YA94 December 2, 1927. Dear Ben: Here is some nice North Altantic winterweather reading for you on the subject of Japan: letter addressed to the firm was signed by myself. Governor Benjamin Strong, Federal Reserve Bank, 33 Liberty Street, New York City. The b iz9// i/all _46-e e /0-4 P September 22, 1927 Dear Tom: Really I don't feel at all competent to express an opinion about the time and the manner of Japan's return to the gold standard. About the desirability of her return to the gold standard there can of course be no two opinions. Nothing can be more disconcerting to trade, foreign and domestic, or more predictive of social discontent than an unstable currency. When instability is the result of force majeure, as it was in the case of the EUropean belligerents during and after the war, there is no more to be said; and indeed a falling currency, . while it is falling, does have some temporary compensation in the reduction of production costs and the stimulation of exports. In the case of Japan, however, there does not seem to have been any lack of gold cover to maintain the full gold standard if desired, and the fluctuations of exchange, while sufficient undoubtedly to disturb trade, have not been sufficient to stimulate it even temporarily. The yen, par of which is 49.84, reached a high of 52 1/8 in 1918, fell to a low of 38 1/2 in 1924 and 1925, and rose again as high as 49 3/8 in March of this year, while the present quotation, in spite of the banking panics early in the year, is 46 5/8. In 1924 the exchange fluctuated. between 48 1/4 and 38 1/2, in 1925 between 43 1/2 and 38 1/2, in 1926 between 48 3/4 and 43 1/2, and so far this year between 49 34/8 and 46. Such oscilla- tions as these in the value of her currency can only do harm to http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/Japan Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and to her people. (L'D 2. The total note issue of the Government, the Bank of Japan, the Bank of Chosen and the Bank of Taiwan at the end of 1926 was 1,715,714,000 yen. The total gold holdings of the Government and the Bank of Japan were 1,357,000,000 yen, or say 79%. The gold cover, if figured against circulation alone, would therefore appear to be very much more than ample. But that is not the whole story. Itself, nor the I do not forget the war Chinese boycott of ALpsnese goods which followed the Treaty of Peace, nor the subsequent chaos in China, nor the disastrous Equip in shipping profits, nor the earthquake. All these have had their repercussion upon Japanese economy. But giving due Weight to political and economic factors, and matters affecting the world at large, over which Japan had little or no control, the recent banking difficulties and much that went before them require still further explanation. The explanation seems to be in monetary policies and praotices. In 1914 the total circulation was 417 million yen and the total gold holding was 341 million yen. During the war and the period of inflation immediately following it, Japan made immense sales to the Allies and kept her exchange down by selling yen for gold or gold assets abroad. This resulted in immense stimulation of Japanese exports, increase of her note issue at home, and accumulation of gold at home and abroad. By 1921 her total circulation amounted to 1,914,000,000 yen and her total gold holdings in 1919, 1920 and 1921 exceeded 2 billion yen. The war period, including two or three years after armistice, was a period of gold inflation for Japan. 3. At the end of 1926, however, the total stock of gold had shrunk to 1,357,000,000 yen, or say by one third, while the total note issue stood at 1,716,000,000 or a reduction of only one tenth. The index of wholesale prices, taking July, 1914, at 100, rose as high as 303 in 1919, fell to 192 in 1922, but rose again above 220 in 1923, 1924 and 1925, falling gradually to 178 in December, 1926. The inflation during the war period seems to have been greater in Japan than in the United States. The deflation in 1920, 3,921 and 1922 seems to have been less complete than in the United States. There was a considerable measure of reinflation, due no doubt to the Government's intervention made necessary by the earthquake, in 1923, 1924 and 1925; and the deflation which took place in 1926 appears to have been still incomplete and to have left the price level in Japan relatively speaking 30 points above the price level in the United States. Reading wholesale prices and the circulation and gold figures together, it seems that prices went up with the circulation during the war period, when both were supported by more than ample ac- quisitions of gold; but that during the post-war period prices have been prevented from falling commensurately with the fall in world prices by keeping the circulation up somewhat near the war level. This was inflation; for to maintain prices and circulation in one country while world prices and currencies are being deflated has the same effect as to increase prices and circulation when world prices and currencies are stable. This relative, if not aotual, inflation in Japan during the post-war period was bound to result in depressing the foreign exchange value of the yen or in forcing exports of gold. The former was on the Whole prevented by 4. conceding the latter, and gold holdings of the Government, though not of the Bank, shrunk as above indicated. When considering the return of Japan to the gold standard, it is obviously not sufficient to note what her gold holdings amount to. It is necessary to know what the gold movement has been, and it is a very significant fact, which must give us pause, that her gold holdings have shrlink one third in the last seven years. Naturally that cannot go on forever. Indeed it canna go on, one would think, more than two or three years longer, for the gold holdings of the Government (part of the total gold holdings above referred to) have shrunk from more than a billion yen to a quarter of a billion yen in the same seven years, while the bank's holdings have not changed. much. Presumably, therefore, when the Government's gold holdinep are exhausted, the Bank of Japan will have to take up the task of protecting the yen in foreign exchange. It can only do that then by shipping its own gold (and that not indefinitely) or by adopting the classic remedy of dear money. To be sure an improvement in the external situation, such as would turn the balance of trade and payments in Japan's favor, might occur. But no one can confidently predict the end of chaos in China, or of the shipping slump, or of the fall in the price of silver, or the limits of the competition of artificial silk. It would be reckless to rely on external events, the course af which is beyond Japan's control, to stem the outflow of gold. Dear money would reduce prices and wages, reduce imports of goods, and ultimately increase exports, attract money into the country and curtail its outflow. Will the Bank of Japan be given the 5. political freedom necessary to enable it to do this? banking machinery of Japan strong enough to stand it? Is the Is the industrial and social situation such as to permit it? I think the answer is that all this must be done. Japan has been living on her war fat. In spite of an adverse balance of trade, in spite of the Chinese boycott and then of Chinese chaos closing her most important market, in spite of the shipping slump and in spite of the earthquake she has maintained a relatively high level of prices. She has as yet avoided full deflation and has protected the yen by shipping gold, rather than by the bank rate. The question is whether Japan will adopt the gold standard promptly, while she still has a big margin of safety in gold, Which was a war windfall, or whether she will go on dribbling it out, and, when it is gone, then with borrowed money and credits, by Herculean efforts, and probably a far more drastic deflation, try to force herself back to the position of financial strength which the war gave her. There can be no doubt that Japan should return to the gold standard promptly and with a whole heart. Equally there can be no doubt that before she does she must face the facts and take the necessary to insure that, having adopted the gold standard, she will be able to maintain it. Imeasures I don't know enough about the situation to attempt to be _ either exact or comprehensive in outlining what need's to be done. The best I can hope is to be suggestive. 6. The Bank of Japan would naturally need to be free of political interference. That means simply, and with all proper qualifications and reserves, freedom to raise the discount rate to protect its gold from fading away as the Government's gold has faded, even though the consequence be deflation. This involves a question not merely for the political authorities, but also for the business and banking interests. Are the private banks loaded up with stocks and loans, and are the industries and business houses loaded up with inventories? Is the banking, business, social and political structure capable of standing the deflation which may result if the Bank of Japan is obliged to use its discount rate effectively to prevent the outflow of gold? Very much depends upon the level at which they stabilize. I have assumed that they will stabilize at par if they can safely. Does the banking machinery, as distinguished from the business and banking situation, require modification in order to function in an orderly way to meet the requirements of business and commerce under the gold standard? Should not the great private banks be required to carry reserve deposits with the Bank of Japan (I see no indication that they now do), and should not the Bank of Japan calculate its aNn reserve against these deposits and its note issue combined? Doesn't sOmething require to be done to the end that great business and industry should obtain their capital from the Investment public rather than from the banks, and that the banks' loans should be temporary and liquid, and that markets for bills 7. and commercial paper should be developed, and that the Bank of Japan should deal with the money market through purchases and sales of these bills and perhaps loans on them automatically instead of by way of forced and frozen loans when a crisis occurs? From what I see of the situation and from reading the reports of the Bank of Japan, the whole banking structure both of the Bank itself and the private banks leaves much to be desired if the gold standard is to be adopted. I don't pretend to be an expert in this field, and I am certainly not an expert on the banking situation in Japan, but I think if I were Governor of the Bank of Japan and were about to adopt the gold standard what I should want to do would be to ask Governor Strong not only for financial credit, but fgr the loan also of the best man he could. give me to study the banking situation in Japan and make suggestions. Monetary problems in every country are intimately associated with governmental and financial problems. In Japan the ordinary budget is well balanced, but the extraordinary budget is such that in spite of sinking funds the total government debt goes on steadily increasing. Japan could not, of course, have made the amazing progress which she has in the sixty years since she em- braced western civilization without the most active participation of the government in everything, and that to an extent which to my laissex faire prejudices is rather shocking. It would be idle to cavil at government ownership of railroads, etc. in Japan. But I don't think it idle to say that, granting-government ownership of such enterprises, they should be independently incorporated and forced to live on their own credit and resources, thus leaving the credit of the Government for 8. strictly governmental purposes. It means little to say that the Government's budget is balanced if its debt is increasing. If Japan is to be perfectly safe in returning to the gold staniard it should I think embrace this principle and definitely eschew all borrowing in the name or with the guaranty of the Government for the account of railway, shipping or business enterprises, whether or not owned by the Government. Then the sinking funds would begin to decrease the public debt, and there would be real assurance that the central bank would not be forced to print paper money to protect the Government credit. I hope you have had a pleasant trip and are not working too hard. Faithfuliy //1414/41 T. Ws Lamont, Esa. c/o American Embassy Tokio, Japan On board U.S. Prooidoot norm, izoiroato Son Francioe° from Yokoh Novombor 1* 1927 To - ECooro. JO P. braa6 Co. At the invitation of 1.,:ro f.i.onsto tot% formorly adh ComMiocioner of Flamm for the japanooe Governnont in London, Porto and Now York, I opent from October third antil October ninotoonth in Jopon accompoulied by 14*. Jeromiah Smith, formarly Commisoioner General for Ilungory, and bo moOboro of the Lbroan staff. As it so hammed., the heavy banking panic of the Spring or 1927, which aroasod mach eon- corn and come diotruot of the Japaneoe cituotion in financial quarters in gsw York and London, lent pothapo a peculior timelineao to this visit ao affording opportunity for us to mako Inquiry anana loadin o non of Japan an exchange viawn with tham in reanrd to the oituao tion. 2. eworo afforded ovary opportunity for invootioation, and our ino quirios Ohich wore at tinoo brutally frank wore anoworod with apparent roadin000 and candor. 'Jo not mid diocuosod mettoro vith moot of the on who owe in a position boot to be informod an to the oituation. Tho Aoiro Anistor cove uo a private luncheon to hi oh ho had invited the monboro of his Cabinet and prominmot nombors of the proviooe Gov.amolonts. I had a fairly motendod oonvoreation with the Orin° Ziniotor who volunteered the otatoront that the bankina pante had been vary had; that he wan dotorninod however that It ohoold Tao thoroaahly-olenned ap; that he had eatruotod the took to the able hands of Governor Inooyo of the 2an1 of Japan, and that ho intended to book him up to the Unit. Tho Oriooilimistor hod Very Mar boon coached to mako those oboorvoo. tions to no, but at any rate ho node then with areal earnostnoso. Amono others at the Innohoon I diseassol the oituntion with Finanoe lanister Jhazo Oltouohi, and Koroklyo 7:akahashi, fovoorly rinanoe and also ,.rimo :oiniotor. Thoir oboorirrliwic, though nothing like oo portant, were olona the oamo linen as those of the ?rineLnliotero In order to onin viewoof the so-oallod Oppooltion, 1 had extended talks with Takejiro Tdkonani ad aoijiro Viakationci, formorlyollme Anistor. !hen I quoted to Vakatouki the pronont krimelliziotorcs statmoat, he smilod mid declared that if the proseat Govoranent felt lioo that, the Opposition felt even more strongly along the lions of 4101'0= matures.. Our detailed dincussiono on thou° and kindreatOpico with lending bankoro is touched upon later in this report.' 3. In order that we might 000 the work of r000notruotion aocomplizhod after the earthquake we sit one afternoon in being condeted by to sky,or of Tokyo ana hio staff throuOhout al000t every part of Tokyo. The Japoneo0 thomoolvos exoreseal crienppoIntuant with to/ extent of the rootoration, but no ototod in !:r. amithos momorandumo attached hortto, to the untrained observer it scomod as if Tokyo had boon restored to a marvolouo extent; and the nano can be mold or the ourroundino country tOroaoh which wo notorod, posoino throaoh reaiono that had boon badly Shnhen to pieces by the onrthqoakea The iaoyor oi okohama who at groat poosonol oaorifice had acooptod the job of r000nstruction for hi o city alarmed un the au11030 of rostoration already well undor my, with better dooko nna harbor fazilitioa planned than over before. in addition to going 47 motor alOAT the Uouthern coast and throud4 the distriot surroundina Lowzt rujiama, batter known porhaps by the names of anmakora, Vlontonhita and okono, oe proceeded by train -on a ton-hoor journey to 4yoto and theme to Osaka the Wolof connoroial city of the Lropiro. Thia realon had boon virtually untouched by the oortaqmnko, and Osaka itoolf inpromod UA a thriving nal arooporous cantor* Valk 44,1 voro taaen for a trig by otoanor down the harbor to impact the new harbor facilities. The dismosionathat we had with Governor /novo of Was aank of Jaoan and with hio follou dirootoral with Aresidont Kodana of the Yokohama apeole Dank and with his auTakama oan, the active head of Uitsui Company and the oiato dirootorovwith 5, ailiod hoods or the varied. Litoui corporations; with the heado also of the aitsubishi Vakao, the aeado of the aroot interostoo with 1.1r. Y. Latonnoaaa Baron Goh and hr. electric and power indostrica; and with various other suhordinato offiolals of tho Treasory,Foreian Affairs etc., inprooscal uo on the whole favorablo as to the funda, =tan clam/atm:am and More outlook or japan* Perhaps the moot oncournaing itoatoro of all yao the tranknono with watch those lenders aoknoolodoed defects of policy and the woolowso of the bankino adniniatration which Oad led up to the banking patio. irlor to our deaortoro after many private and in0..ividnal convorsaUono, aavornor /novo nado a opecial request that after his loonhoon to oo at the Bank or Japan we ahould hold a nrivato round-table diocusoion with him and with about a dozen of madh persona as havo boon nontIoned in thio report. In the coorae of that dincuosion we eachanood violin with tae utmoot fronl0000s and in roar:ono° to their oequeet for criticism and savico wo wore entirely froo in our otameetions. G. 'Prior to this mooting, we had oubnitted to the Jank of Japan and to hr. Kongo acal a rouah oueotionnaire made up b our statistical aepartnent, copy of which to attached hereto, labelled 'aOchibit "A" Thio auostionnaire wan baood upon a memorandum also proherewith. To this in &Iola apoonaed a :Arad b our otatintioa/ depart:lent, axhibit copy of the Bank of Japan/a writtcon ansooas to our qmootionnr4rea BxhIbit "C" herewith. Also ar. Eonao flOrils annoorn to nano, thxhibit "a" attached. alno a social aenorandum properod for us an the °abject of oarthaantal roconstraotion, axhibit At the roond-tablo meeting in (location9 maoh toolco wore discuosod a0 Cauoos oftlo)banking panic. - Lack or offiolent bankina oxaminntion end ouporvieioa. G. - Lack of naffiolont bankina coordination. D. - Zanaaamont of corporate induotral is it auffloiently soiontifio? Ea - Lack of adequate publio necoontinr araottoe. P. a Status of public utility corporations, _especially power and oloetrio. G. - 'Axcessive dividoads Txlid by both banks one cooporations. Ho - jarronoy question and return to cad standard. I. - Too roach Governaont suporvioion in boolman. Moo, ate. The obeervationn in the foroaolna oarnarapha are amoral and explanatory. The 7. gist of our viowo is contained in a spocial monorondum oroparod by 1. Joroclah Omitaa attochod hereto, narked axhibit "F". 2hio memorandum of otatemonts and conolasions in whiOh I rally concur, was prepared by Lan Zinith as a sunnary, no to speak, of doouaants heretoforo nentioned and attaohed hereto as exhibit°, ond no a rooult of the various conversations and discussions alluded to. In this memorandum I call particular attention to Mr. Smith's statements on the Bank of Japan; on the currency situation; Government budget, etc. I need hardly say that Ur. Smith's experience and conservative observations have been of incalculable benefit. It should of course be added that neither of as is a trained or expert observer and that, in any event, time did not serve for first hand investigation. Our statements are obtained from the best sources immediately available; and as to our judgments, they are based upon the opinions expressed to us by men long known to us, in whose sincerity we have confidence. S. 9. The action of the firm in undertaking the so-called Earthquake Loan of 0.50,000,CCO in February,1924, and its subsequent action in issuing the Tokyo and Yokohama loans guaranteed by the Imperial Government apparently created a profound impression throughout all Japan. The public press made frequent allusion to this action and at almost every function the Government or banking loaders, as the case might be, alluded in almost touching terms to the incalculable service rendered by the firm at the time of Japan's great emergency. It should be added that the situation in China causes the greatest concern in Japan and must be a matter of discussion by all Americans who, for reasons of trade or otherwise, are interested in the future of China. An important part of Japan's trade is of course with China, and Japan's interests on the mainland of Asia are vital to her. The Japanese leaders all expressed to us this grave concern of which I speak and they frequently added the hope that the Americans, the Japanese and the British could sit down together and try to work out some constructive policy vie-a,vis China, even though recognizing the difficulties of any programme. Submitted: EXHIBIT "A" ' 1. &;212,;;STIONS ';Ihy have the Japanese, both in public and private finance not pursued a policy of retrenchment of expenditures, r-ther th-n one of expansion end relatiVe extrevag-nce? For instarice, why not limit the annual c-pital expenditures for the railways to the net profits of the systen, -vhich are substantitl, rather than borrow in excess of thet amount? Why not inaugurate economies in ordin-ry and extraordinary budgets of the government, rether than keep piling, up debt and consequent interest charges? Why embark on such broad developmentel programs, such as widening gunge of r:ilways, electrification thereof, harbors, subways, etc, etc, many of whicd my be good programs in (themselves, but not to be indulged in at times when financial conditions are not f-voreble? (i) How much more earthquake reconstruction work remains to be done and hod much will it cost? Our cir-:111-r re the $150,000,000 Loan sold in February 1924 stating "this loan together with the existing foreign balances mentioned, will, therefore, provide not only for the de retirement ef substantially the whole of the Japanese Government -xternal maturing prior to 1931, but also to the Japanese Government's entire estim-ted fin-nciel requirements in open markat 4'or reconstruction work". Since that time there have b4en external loans far the cities of Tokio and Yokoh-ma, to provide funds Cor reconstruction purposes. How much more aill it be necessary to borrow? CI =ly subsidize so many undertakings rether than let them stand or fall en their own Merits? laay so much government in business? Grented that many of the projects are economically sound, would it not be much better to let the development be done (except in the case of rail:reys) by private companies rather than by the government or quasi-governmental institutions? Is there any evidence of there being any change in policy in regard to this paternalistic attitude of the Bank of Japan and the Government to banks and industry? To what extent is the government spending money or subsidizing business in China? Have military expenditures been increased appreciably 7S a result of the disturbances in China? FOREIGN TRADE What are the conditions of Japanese export trade in - b Shantung The Yangtze Valley r1Manchuria. (d South China s. Are there any boycotts of Japanese products which are now effective? Has the failing off in the export trade in cotton textiles caused such a b7,cking up of products in Japan that the loans of the bank have become frozen, and in cses bad? Is the Japanese Government committed to a high tariff policy, and if so, how can the Japanese explain it in view of the fact that Japtim naturally should be the commercial gateway of Asia? 3ankinF: Have the .Government bonds to care or the emerp..ency or earthouake bills been sold and the proceeds turned over to the banks so that the assets of the banks are iiruid to that extent, and has d.nc,:er of further TUL12 been thereby eliminsted? iill the banks be able to realize anythin- on the eIrthrucke bills? ..ill the banks be able in any way to find funds to re-pay:the Jovernment /-14 will it be the Government or the 3Enks who will have t suffer the loss. tre there not still entirely too many banks in japan and is the Government's avowed iLtention to force consolidation really being carried out? Are the banks actually restricting credit or are they still carry- along industry witll loans which have forcedly become long-term ob- :) too large a proportion of the assets of It is not true nose ti nks consist of frozen loans and long-term securities? Is not the collateral value behind many of the loans actually less than the loans? What is the bad loan percentace o2 some of the leading banks? Des not actual experience show that it would have been better for the Ja:danose to havetaken their medicine4and acknowledged their losses in 1920 or 1921 as we did in the United States instead of carrying along unsound situations by artificial aid from the big banks End from the Bank o:7 .7-.,oan and the Government? .:1xchange: What is the intention of the Ja){_nese Government in respect to oing back on a gold br:sis? Rice: ihat are the prospects for this year's rice crop? Will the import. reruiraments be more or less in the coming year? 3aoA on: 4 ilave tLe mills curtailed production or ETC inventories still rising? iire trade channels opening again in china or has the Eationalistic movement there absolutely disrupted trade? Can the Japanese hope to' compete with the Indian mills for Indian trade or is it not more likely that the Indian mills will prove more of a competitive factor in the Chinese market? Shipping: Lre many of the banks E,re tied up '.7ith loans against ships in excess of their tonnage v-lues? Is Japanese shipping fully occupied? Are the Japanese buyin',- more shins and if so are they old one or new ones to be constructed in Japan? Is there any chEnce of a pickup in the shipbuilding industry? EXHIBIT September 16, 1927. Memorandum for Mr. Lamont: Lttched hereto is a memorandum on Japan ) and list of r,uestions dealing mostly with ouestion- iilc acts or policies of the Japanese. ---... ( 0,...0;,T44,4 A. U. J. -s JAP AL urea and 2opulation: , firea (snuare miles) Japan proper Taiwan (2ormosa) etc. .:arafuto (Saghalien) Chosen {ore) 147,657 65,226 13,688 13,934 260,707 Population (Oct., 1925 census) 59,736,704 19,519,927 3,994,236 203,504 63,454,171 The area of Japan proper is somewhat loss than that of Lew England, rew York Elp- 2ennsylvania combined. Its area is only one .trarter arable and so its population s turned to commerce, manufacture and the development of the continent. The area of 1:orea is about the same as that of lannesota. Governiaent-2inance: Revenues and Expenditures . The fello,:ing table shows the audited accounts of revenues and expenditures for the 15 years ended March ;1, 1926 and bud:et estimates for the yers ended :larch 51, 1927 and :-.reL 51, 1926. The official fic,..ures have been ilterod in tht there has been eliminated from extrt.ordinar& revenues the items of loan proceeds and the carry-forward of surplus from the precediucs. year. loan proceeds nave peen eliminated 's not properly buin:. curlent revenue, '_lthouph there have been included in expenditures certain expenditures from lo_n proceeds which mir7ht be considered as cpitEl rather than current expenditures. The c rry-for-Jard of surplus has been eliminated so that the results of each year ma:, stand OD their oan feet. ?iseal Years. 2nded ar.31 .:cv. Ordinary xpen. Surplus :!Ixtraordinary Rev. Expen. Deficit ret Surplus( OT t) Deficit (-) (in millions of yen) . 1903-04 224 170 54 28 60 52 1911-12 1912-15 1913-14 1914-15 1915-16 1916-17 509 552 575 536 539 622 764 912 1063 410 417 416 399 387 34 45 175 141 177 40 438 526 82 168 158 249 197 205 297 527 132 118 386 99 135 159 137 152 236 A217-18 l,....,916-19 1919-20 1920-21 1921-22 1922-23 1175 490. 503 709 1264 1428 1304 1439 961 1051 1926-27 1437 1373 1016 1067 1927-28 1456 1175 1923-24 1924-25 1925-26 642 691 422 560 288 442 537 .30 79 63 -73 116 142 +34 215 +111 +94 359 +63 406 539 +154 670 56 473 646 +41 .210 264 114 88 651 -42 +3 560 482 -251 -118 5437 49 421 368 37 .36 538 560 574 509 286 186 552 366 -60 283 48 555 507 -224 +55 511 -168 537 -149 -52 he figures show that the position of finances in respect to 0 ordinary revenues F_nd expenditures is sound, ordimr, revenues having exceeded ordinar expenditures in ever, ;,ear since 1681-62. be noted, however, that instead of an / It is to retrenchment having been effected in recent years, ordinary expenditures have increased each year (except the year iin 1925-26). Details of orainar, Ere shown in Exhibit a and extraordinary revenues and expenditures hereto attached. In respect to the extraordinary budget, it is to be noted that the expenditures jumped ouite sharply in 1918-19 and have remained at such a level that the surpluses of the ordinary budget have not been sufficient to meet the deficits in the extraordinary budget. necessitated borrowing. This has - 3 Mile certain of the expenditures may have been such as it was proper to borrow to provide funds therefor, and while it is true that --in gene'l- 1 the Jovernment's indebtedness has arisen, not from e series of recurring budget deficits but apart from the expenses of the laisso- Japnese iar and Jarthouake 1-.econstruction, principally from the purchase and improvement of economic undertakings such as the railway, telegraph and telephone systems and the development of new territory, 1 still it is doubtful whether in the face of economic conditions as they hove existed in the past few years in Japan, .t 0 it has been the wise policy to spend so much for development and reconstruction work. There hfivo been huge programs for' naval, railway (including and broadening guage,tunnels and electrification) harbor, colonialv/edu- cEtionl development. ilxhibits 3, C, D, _lid .; show expenditures for ravy, Communications, Home 1-2±Eirs (includes _Jartheuake and .eublic Instruction. econstruction) These figures show the tremendous jump in these various classes of expenditures in the past ten years. It is true, however, thet nFv'l expenditures have fallen off since the ,ashington conference. () The increase in expenditures for public in- struction is a good thing but it is at least doubtful whether or not co:.Llunic_tions and reconstruction expenditures have been extravagant. The accounts for the State Railwa:s, Lorea and 2ormosa are izept se-,-,artely from the gonercl budget of Japan. of revenue and channels for expenditure. __Iach has its own sources There are other less important social L.ccounts. Government Debt: The debt o° the Japanese Government h,2.s arisen largely from asso-Japanese ,ET (1904-5) expenses, nationalization of r:lilmays (1906 and 1907), 1orld ar (1914-1b) expenses, and since 191b from railway and other expenditures for economic undertakings, from colonial develop- http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ ment Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 r:ilitr -'nent, fro -nd navul 0],enditures constru.ction. selected dates, the national debt has stood as Internal March 31 External Debt . Debt Total (in millions of -en) 98 t39 Add special Excheruer Eotes (Internal) C;rand Total 1904 441 1907 1,050 1,146 2,196 2,196 1(314 1915 1916 1,055 991 1,529 2,564 2,506 2,564 1,515 1,461 1,370 1,339 1,311 1,026 1,096 1,160 1,269 1917 1916 k_, .ncl from earthruake re- 1919 1920 1921 1,462 ' 1,610 ((i) 1,424 2,364 2,556 2,694 3,065 1,359 1,320 (b) 1,514 1,500 1926 75,444 1,476 1,461 ,470 1927 2,506 2,469 2,469 2,468 2,499 2,560 2,794 3,234 3,723 3,676 1,311 1922 1923 1924 1925 539 4,206 4,565 i . 4,922 4,931 2,468 2,699 3,052 3,278 3,610 200 472 484 576 533 533 4,256 4,409 4,701 5,025 533 440 240 5,162 5,171 240 Increse due solel to inc lusion, for the first time, of the bonds of the South ::anchurian Co., bich are aaranteed by the :;overnment. Increse duo to issue of 150,000,000 61-dBonds of :_merica and 125,000,000 6d Bonds in ingland.- (b) in the -nited States The prosperity engendered by the war and the balances accumulated abroad during the to WE.a' -)eriod enabled Japan to reduce her debt from 1914 191d, foreign loans.being reduced from 1,529,000,000 yen as of Larch 1914 to 1,339,0C,0,000 yen as of ...:Lrch -31, 191. Since 1916 the debt hias i51, increased every year. The debt outstanding as of ---,arch following purposes: 31, 1925 had been raised for the 5 Larch 31, 1925 Per Caita1iztion of euda 1 Pensions conomic- Undertakings construction Harb ours, dr i nage, steel1,7O5, telephones , Rai 1,336,107,314 etc 220 ,607,692 ;construction works in the dis'7rict (31 1.1E. C70 CI by the earth rualtc ilffairs '1728riSiOn Of armaments 00 , 956 rs aper money Conversion of oló lotns Tobacco and salt monopo li es . T)loitr:.tion of i:ew Teri it ory Chosen. (orea) i -.lien) :::vv.. i it ung Pro vine 0 (-fuer 271,122,362 6 1,775,137,128 37 40,948,586 7 ) 9,733,177 71 440;201 ,000 4,770 ,013,177 9 21,306,305 1,067,669 otes" , for refund- While the a eove fimros do not ole the-, indicate the 'ourposes fo would be surmised from a StUL centr-cted, t 33 227,300 ,420 ing , rai lit ar-. pur-oo3es, communication, earthr,.u_.ke I. -.3011: -17 i'uctioii iid colonial (love lopment woi 1,550,715,006 ',3,970,625 10,571,572 229,271,433 12,066,570 Total tdd - "Spe ci 2 6,690,200 01,194,192 Ta.i.aan (2orraosv ) 1.-.: retuto ( Ja-n mese ,233 97,119,485 1,694,176,695 2inancia1 .djusteirt -dministrative readjustmeLt and 1iiitt ion of armaments. . . . _.ede:nition of Cent. Yen .. 100 :roe with those shown in the debt :filch the loans ',7ere raised. of the objects for h loans ovnioiit is importait assets as offsets to its ross debt. The most i- _)ort_.nt of t ..ese asets is t he State Itailways s:s tern . Of the J-oveniment I s debt as of :Jec ember ._51, 1926, 1, 334,000 ,000 yen .o r over one -ruarter ef tjU tot 1 is chargea le agF: inst railway account, having bee-h incurred in connection viith the construction purchase and improvement of the State I1vis E-hd as such is self-supporting, inasmuch - s in each of the past 15 ears the State ilways have earned sub -6mtial_ofits after the payment of all expenses and interest charges on the Government debt allocated to the rEilwey department. The State Railways, comprising over 7,800 miles of line out of a total of some 10,900 miles of railway in Japan proper, were valued on the Jovernmont's books (at cost of construction or purchase) at over 2,500,000,000 -,en .S of ::s.rch 31, 1925. The net profits after interest in the year ended March 31, 1925 were 1;0,000,000 ;en, and for the year ended March 31, 1926 are estimate hEvi euen approximately 221,000,000 idon. let profits of the railw:s are )plied to capitll expenditures for railways. of :,ocember 51, 1926 the Government debt was charged ag.,.inst various accounts as follows: Yen General .ccount SPecial account for St.te ..e:ilwte Special accounts for Meson, Ti:.-ii, 1-_arE.futo, i:wangtung end l'anyo Total deb moteel debt o" LI. JL i 3,465,483,000 1,333,626,000 363,144,000 5,162,253,000 anese Govern.lent was eruivAeent to 61.85 yen per capita. In addition, local deit amounted to some 15 you per capita. 1:ftional debt, 3::cludin: deb' for the account of the State Railways, :is 7) iv lent to 45.e7 yen per cE2itE. The debt of the United StFtes is _ro::imatol;, 41156 per cite. 1 In addition to tho St .t I'..il.._s t..iLd. as t further offset against debt, the Govern2.1ent owns Stte forests, harbor worts, the telegraph nd tele-Phone sze'cfls, -ublic build in-F, ublic aorks in :orea and formesa, all invustmolit in the South 1.:anchurie ilailway, special funds, etc., all of which, according to our circular printed in 2ebruary, 1924, then had an estimate( v .lue of over 1.;,000,000,000 yen. The same eirculer stated that tl.e totel wealth of the Japanese people at the end of 1921, including public wealth, wes estimated by the Government at close to 100 billion yen. - 7 - In addition to its direct debt, the Japanese Government guarantees certain municipal debt, dividends on the stock of the South Llanchuria Railway; dividends and/or profits on certain subsidized industries, certain banking operations, etc. We do not have figures showing the extent of these guarantOes, but it is quite likely that the Government has been itoo free in its guarantees either direct or implied. An example of the danger of this policy is shown in the fact that the Government had to become responsible for the infamous rishihara loans to China, although they were not directly guaranteed. 1 '2ecent talk of guaranteeing profits to an aviation company is another example of the Government's policy of looking at problems from political or nationalistic viewpoints rather Ithan from an economic standpoint. New Sinking Fund: The Government 3111, which embodies the establishment of the rew Sinking Fund, and which provides for the alTlication of a sum ecTuivalent to at least 25 per cent, of the net surplus of each financial year to the redemption of the rational Debt in the second following year, has been passed by the Imperial Diet. ' ) The net surplus of the financial year 1925-1926 having been 176,046,963 yen in the official accounts, the sum of 44,511,741 yen is to be aypplied to debt redemption, as aforesaid, in addition to the old Sinking Fund allocation which will amount to 54,043,197 yen in the year 1927-1928. The total anount avaLlable for the redemption of the rational Debt In the coming financial year will ihus be 98,554,938 yen which is nearly double that applied in 1926-1927 to the sEme purpose. The amounts of debt redeemed out of the rational Debt Consolidation Fund in each of the 10 years from 1917 to 1926 were as follows: 8 Financial Year Yen 1916-17 1917-18 39,327,591 24,115,508 26,218,708 496,101 4,239,669 65,128,946 629,569 44,088,340 45,510,410 50,579,719 1918-19.. 1919-20 1920-21 ' 1921-22 1922-23 1923-24 1924-25 1925-26 Nevertheless, the Government created more new debt than it retired in each of these yeErs. Now that it has established an additional sink- 1 ing fund, it is to be hoped that the policy will be reversed and that f1 sinking fund redemptions will exceed new borrowings. Foreign Trade: Exports and Imports of me,rchandise (Japan proper withorea and Formosa included) have been es follows in the past 15 years: OalendEr Excess of Excess of Years Total Trade Exports Imports Exports Imnorts (in thousands of yen) 1911 *1912 *1913 I-) 1914 i 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 1926 061,240 1,145,974 1,361,892 1,242,819 1,295,223, 1,966,813 2,456,125 3,755,212 4,467,772 4,496,531 3,027,750 3,708,531 3,616,985 4,469,591 5,112,433 4,662,256 7 months ended July, 1926 2,740,696 July, 1927 2,470,500 447,434 526,962 632,460 609,885 732,328 1,172,958 1,662,270 2,012,478 2,154,311 2,006,145 1,297,263 1,685,504 1,497,304 1,o71,989 2,377,698 2,118,630 513,606 618,992 729,432 632,934 562,895 793,855 1,067,101 1,742,734 2,333,461 2,492,386 1,730,487 2,023,027 2,119,680 2,597,602 2,734,535 2,563,426 1,155,761 1,110,060 1,564,935 1,360,420 *Excludes Korea and Formosa. . 169,432 379,103 575,169 269,744 66,372 92,010 96,972 23,048 179,149 46,240 433,224 337,522 622,373 725,612 356,637 444,596 429,174 250,340 7hile Japan has normally had a so-cLlled unfavorable balance of trade, which norMal condition was reversed during the 71erld "far, it is to be noted that the unfavorable balance has been unduly large in recent years. In 1925 exports reached their maximum figure of 2,377,535,000 yen, but that level was not reached by, a steady advance. On tho Contrary, since 1920 the value of export trade has jumped erratically, due to varying causes such as bad world industrial conditions in 1921 and- low silk prices; the earthruake of September 1923; boycotts of Japanese goods in China; -generally bad trde comlitions in China,Japan's chief outlet for her cotton goods; unsettled economic conditions as to prices and wages in Japan; changes in price conditions due to the rise in the exchange value of the ::en, etc. ..7 0 The effects of some of these are still in evidence - for instance, i the curtailment of the 'Chinese market. This factor, moreover, has had its repercussions generally in the economic life of the country,for stocks c)- 7 c-oods have accumulated in Japan, ban: loans have become frozen, and in certain c ses ruite likely have 'one bad due to, declines in v.lue the commodities securing the loans. Instead 'o asthorough-going deJrfflation in 1921 upon which a sound expansion might have been built, the ( foundation was never- sound,so that business has hEd difficulties in withstanding the shocks of the earthr_uake and Chinese internal conditions. Shipping, too, has sufferred from the erratic trade conditions and here again banks have had losses due to rilLking loans against tonnage in excess of the present value of the tonnage. The importance of the silk trade with the United States and the Chinese market generally and particularly for cotton goods is shown by the following figures for exports: - 10 (in millions of yen) Exported to: UnitedStates.... China British.India Other countries 1923 606 272 100 470 1,44d .. . 1924 745 348 135 1925 1926 1,006 e61 6 mos. 1926 6 mos. 1927 422 156 605 152 130 579 468 173 658 _ _ 1,807 2,305 2,044 994 - - 940 While exports have shown their erratic course, the trend of imports has been more regularly upwards. The Japanese people have not seen fit to retrench in their expenditures, but rather have kept on their spending spree. The measure of increasing customs tariffs does not seem to have ha-d 0 appreciable effects and at any rate it would seem a ouestionable policy for Japan to embark on a protective tariff program, inasmuch as she is situated so as to be a gateway or ontreport to Lisle_ nd primarily a commercial nation. It .is true that the unfavorable trade situation has improved, in recent months over the corresponding period of last year. This improvement has been due to a larger decrease in imports than exports. It is 1 to be hoped that the curtailment of expenditures will continuo until - such time as the export trade can be expanded. () i BANK OF JAPAN AND BAITKING SITUATION: NOTE CIRCULATION AND STOCK OF GOLD 1$ Dec. 31 Bank of Japan Note Circulation Total note circulation of Japan inc. Gov't fractional currency and notes of Bank of Chosen & Bank of Taiwan Stock of Gold Owned by Bank of Japan Government H Total At home e 1- d Abroad Ratio Gold of Bank of Japan to its note circulation (in thousands of yen) 1914 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 1926, Mar.31 June 30 Sept.30 Dec.31 1927, Mar.31 Apr. 23 30 7 May 21 Sept. 2 49,402 416,664 335,589 153,423 472,774 430,138 261,814 658,921 601,224 386,169 917,297 831,371 854,568 1,336,129 1,144,739 1,050,794 1,874,012 1,555,100 886,989 1,754,732 1,439,240 790,908 1,914,295 1,546,545 666,958 1,830,956 1,558,402 525,482 1,893,936 1,703,596 1,832,164 1,662 315 343,000 1,790,433 1,631,783 303,000 1,408,746 1,276,349 293,000 1,509,301 1,388,010 259,000 1,364,440 1,246,197 283,000 1,715,714 1,569,708 1,310,196 2,333,623 (collapse of tuzuki & Co., Ltd.) 2,037,060 1,631,543 1,386,613 1,287,000 291,717 362,659 452,630 718,668 733,102 994,354 1,291,636 1,289,536 1,163,234 1,127,327 - 1,070,000 1,070,000 1,072,000 1,074,000 1,074,000 341,119 516,082 714,444 1,104,837 1,587,670 2,045,148 2,178,625 2,080,444 1,830,192 1,652,810 - 1,413,000 1,373,000 1,365,000 1,333,000 1,357,000 128,509 136,785 227,504 461,345 452,602 .702,048 1,116,298 1,225,319 1,214,709 1,208,311 - 1,155,000 1,143,000 1,143,000 1,143,000 1,127,000 212,609 379,297 486,940 643,492 1,135,068 1,343,099 1,062,326 855,125 615,483 444,499 75.7 84.3 75.3 86.4 64.0 63.9 89.7 83.4 74.6 66.2 - 257,000 230,000 222,000 190,000 230,000 65.6 83.8 77.2 86.2 68.4 ;I - 12 - issue its reserve ce gold The 3ani: of Japan may an eruivalent specie bank notes to any amount against and silver, provided that the value of silver shall not exceed 1/4 of te total. The Bark is also authorized to make fiduciary issuos against Government bonds specified securiti-is up to yen 120,000,C00. or other Issues in excess of this limit may be rx_de -.2.ainst such securities upon the a.pprov!.,1 of the V:i1A.ster of ?inane° and the payment of a tax on this excess issue at a rate of not less than 5,; per annum to be fixed Oh each occasion by Minister of 7inance. Thu amount of such 104,000,A0 yen as of the end of ithe excess issue was ugust, 1927. The gold cover of the Bank of Japah has continually been high. Advances to the .;overnment amounted to 22 million yen on December 31, 1926. yen This amount is relatively small, but the item of 159 million or "Emergency bills discounted" is rel-tively hill. This item f which has moved as follows: Dec. 51, 1923 June 30, 1924 Dec. 31, 1924 June 30, 1925 Dec. 51, 1925 Juno 50, 1926 Dec. 51, 1926 133,529,922 66,060,016 144,640,274 96,616,710 14U,091,331 149,579,056 159,034,609 originates from the Imperial Ordinancd of 1(;_;, s accor:rnee uith which the Bari: of Japan undertook to discount cert. in specified bills that were efCeci-cd b: the c,:re_t earthruCze of that yer. cn1 the Govern- ment is to indemnify the Bank for any loss up to but not exceeding 100 million yen that might be incurred in these transactions. The petiod of the discounting of such emergency bills was to terminate on September' 30, 1925, but was extended until September 30, 1927. Doubt as to whether the bills could be -paid up or written off before that date was again voiced by the 1?inane Minister in the Diet last January. He introduced a measure (subseruently enacted) providing for an issue of 5 Der cent. Government bonds for the estimated full amount -l of the bills, - 7,000,000 ::en. Of this mount 100,000, 00 :or r7o 4-o the Bank of Japan as a guaranty agfiinst losses on elrth-uake bills. _The banks are to repay the loans in inst11ments .Jithin 10 yers. This bill was approved by the _Jiet during the last cli:s of its session, and is to become effective on October 1, 1927. The necessary relief was this provided, but the parliamentary debEtes..,2luded to the difficulties of various banks and caused a run on them. The modern banking systoi. dates from 1672. The principal aanks of ja)an are the rippon Ginko (Bank of Japan), the 'Irokohame Specie .a.nk, the Hypothee Bank, the Industrial Bank of Japan, the hokkaido Colonisaand tion 3ank, the Bank of Chosen (erea),/the 23am of :_iwan (A)Tmosa). There are also (1925) 33 agricultural and industriLl banks, 1537 ordinary banks, and 153 savings banks. The condition of the banks (ordinary savings and special, includin, the branch o2fice of the Bank of :Meson in Japan proper)for five years (Dec. 51st) is shown by the following figures: (in millions of yen) No.of 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 ._. Banks Deposits 2,016 1,961 1,874 1,799 1,704 11,415 11,166 11,627 12,000 12,246 Avances %iscounts (a) 11,201 11,704 12,745 13,060 13,564 Invest- Cash .in ments :and 2,576 2,601 2,768 3,141 1,039 3,409 983 1,032 1,120 1,100 Capital Reserve Paid-up hinds 1,766 1,919 1,972 1,996 1,955 633 726 606 873 916 (a) Including advances to the Government. The total number of banks is stated to have declined to 1,600 in 1926 (from 2,160 in 1914). Several banks have failed during 1927 and it may be regarded as certain that one result of these failures ,not due to conditions whici-. have suddenly developed, nor even entirely to the censeouences of the earthquake in 1925, but to losses incurred in the terrific slump of 1920, will be the hastening of the movement to bring about the elimination of the second grade banks, either by their at - 71- 14 - .sorption by leadinp. b_nks, or by the amalgamation of series of second rate banks. The liJ' ban.: bill to amend the bank act, as passed by the last Diet, and which becomes effective January 1, 192, for such a progrem and also establishes more rigid supervision of banks by the Ministry of Finance. The policy pursued by the Bank of Taiwan in financing the Suzuki concern '(see separate memo. - Exhibit 2) is a. classical example of the unfortunate policy adopted by the Japanese banks in general. The gains made by industrial and commercial concerns were lost during the depressioa and numerous banks were left with huge amounts of frozen credits. cessive loans te single concerns have in man Ex- cPses proved fetal - in the Bank of Taiwan-Suzuki Case, modtt an amount lost which was several times the total capital of the bank. Too many funds have been tied up in and mortgages, in long-term loans4(in shipping loans based on tonnage values in excess of market value of the tonnage. ILL many instancos it would seem that the management of the bLnks has been in the hands of men, of not sufficiently trained as bankers °I/insufficient capacity. Since the 1923 earthguake, Japan's industries have been affected by losses C.) - in the China market owing to military activities thee, as well as to the boycott of Japanese goods in 1925. More recently, there has been a rather serious decline in the prices for ryi sth, due somewhat to the competition of rayon, but perhaps more to conditions in the industry itself. Lll these factors have very much weakened the banking structure in Japan. It would appear that it would have been a better policy to have taken losses in 1921 and so have had a sound foundation on -Mich to build-rather than to have nursed the unsound condition eiong for so long a time. Foreign ,Zcchange Rate: 15 191721n :_::change Rae: Yew York parity: 100 yen = :_49.64 U. S. cold t100 = 200.64 yen (Quotation's on Lew York (t per 100yen) iliol Low 1914 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 1926 1927 49-1/2 49-3/4 50-3/8 50-7/8 52-1/8 51-7/8 50-5/8 46-1/4 48-1/2 ' (Jan.-JU1y) ...c.1...-- . 49 46 46-1/4 43-1/2 48-3/4 49-3/4 50-3/6 50-7/8 49-7/6 47-3/4 47-7/8 47-1/2 46-1/2 38-1/2 38-1/2 43-1/2 49.219 48.858 50.031 50.545 51.344 50.662 49.655 48.023 48.350 48,816 41,976 40,804 46,856 49-3/8 46.17 48.009 49 . iverPo.e ._... Jan., 1926 44-1/4 43-1/2 43.935 July, 1926 47 46-3/4 46.846 Jan., 1927 48.95 46.70 48.811 July, 1927 47.37 46.60 47.131 The rate of exchange reached its high in 1916 (4.3,, above par) and its law point in 1924-25 (22.8% below par). Tol:io cables are today (September 16, 1927) ruoted at N7.00 in Yew Yor'4-., or 5.7,J below par; has thus the yen exchange/remained at about the level to which it dropped of in May-June/this year conser7uent upon the finsncial crisis in Japan at that time. The gold position of the Bank of Japan today is such as may allow a resumption of the gold-standard as soon as financial conditions get settled. Rice: Rice is the great staple food product of Japan and nearly one-half of the total cultivated erea is under rice. On the average, domestic production has been sufficient to supply about 95:i of consumption, as is shown in the following table: 31 - 16 - 1925 1924 1923 1922 (in ru.intals - 1 oaint,:11 = 220.46 lbs.) :.omestic ::roduction 109,757,546 100,263,962 103,365,631 107,34,663 2,607,319 7,30_9919 '4,636,398 ,793,656 D3t imports Total'consumption 113,551,404 1..2,671,301 106,222,229 115,265,602 poor one. Daports of rico from 1,ovember 30, 1926 to April 30, 1027 slor:ied an increase of 176,/.,;4 bushels (about 1,800,000 r'uihtLls) gv:L the corresDoliding period of the procudincyear. Silk: The 192._; crop was Ja)au is the 1 rgest producer of ny sil: in the world. The ahnurl v lue of the si1: )rodrIctio- :for tLe Zive ,ers ending 11_23 aver___ed about Q00,000,000 yen. Sil: it3 the chief export commodi% of Jan; the United St:4-es is in the the LI-. consumer Of 12';/ and on the vere' 6 over 70 of Japan's al:ports. A recent official estim- o- this :Tear's sfrinT cocoon cror predicts a drop of 5.23 per ccht. below the ae-cl 1 crop of last :o-r. The silk mer;:et shows sins oi! and shipments of r sil= ve declined for every ilontli of this yer. sidlaterils o2 The folloJinj table shots the vlue of the rc.-y! silyi out u_t o±ports for the five yet.rs ending'in 1925: ,orts 7a1ue-of -Raw silk ,1+ at of Yarns 6ilk ::!_terials, etc. , 0 (in yen) 1920 1921 1022 1923 1924 1925 ' 606,605,000 731,976,000 613,626,000 659,634,000 966,359,000 665,657,733 523,114,335 799,612,466 673,972,799 842,165,918 1,036,263,974 3z/ '(4* - 17 .."]otton Industry: The follawin table shows the exceptional crowth of the Japanese cotton industry: 1913 manufcturers Paid up capital (1,000 yen).. factories.... looms In 1926 with 1,089,900 textiles was with 0 5 70 3,227,676 40,391 1,936,904 1,603,866 416,725 466,736 656,935 421,512 64 1,000,706 234,754 months of 203,507 1027 was in the corresp9nding period bles of 1926. 382,714 223,531 243 5,447,164 73,561 2,622,000 2,456,763 1,179,524 293,000 432,650 Production of . 1,102,700 bales compared Production of cotton yards in the first 5 months of yards in the first 5 months of 1926. 549,300,000 529,900,000 1925 76,272 217,407 241 4,436,796 64,460 2,362,739 2,171,153 92,426! 177 2,414,499 24,224 1,631,007 1,517,961 exports of cotton yarn were cotton yarns in the first 43 13'6,494 152 Consumption cotton-bdes Production cotton yarn-bales Production cotton cloth (1000 yards) _]xport cotton yarn-bales _Ixport cotton goods-yen 1923 44 86,444 33,608 Reserves(1,000 yen) o. spindles 1916 1927 compared The following table shows the number of spindles and the cotton consumption of the leading cotton textile countries: Country Spindles 500 pound bales Jonsumption Cotton Jan., 1925 to Jan., 1926 (000 omitted) 2ngland 57,404 37,644 3,318 Germany 10,300 1,290 1,156 United States Irrance 'India Japan China 9,446 6,510 5,477 3,350 6,360* 2,175 2,622 1,754 Inasmuch as spindles in Japan run day and night, averaging 21 hours out of the 24, it is evident that the Japanese spindle is oruivalent to between two and three spindles in the United States or _Ingland. Ls a result, Japan is now the third largest consumer of raw cotton (an6 he presumably the third largest producer of cotton yarns and textiles) in - 18 the vtorld, being surpassed only by the United States and -ingland. Japan, with tot._-.1 population of over 83,000,000, is a vast market 'or cotton textiles. lioughl-L7 speaking, 60% of the total production is for the domestic market and the rest is exported to China, India, Straits Settlements and otIn r countries. Cotton products occupy the second largest, item entering Japan's export trade. In 1926, exports of cotton yarns and cloth were about 22% of total exports, being exceeded only by raw siL: and sir: :7:br1cs, which amou.nted to about 45; of exports in the . same year. The troubled situation in china has been a source of greet uneasiness to the Japanese cotton industry, inasmuch as China is the chief ex-port market for cotton products and Chinese purchases have been fallin off as shown heretofore under J'o r i on Trade. In addition to the cotton mills in Japan, the Japanese control about 40) of the cotton spindles in China. T3y reason of its geogr -)hic situation and the necessities of its feign oomirlerce, Japan has developed into one of. the chi ef maratirae La- 'jells of the world and carries by far the greatest share of t.le seatraffic of the Pacific. _:anking sixth among the nations of the ,;orld in tonnage owned in 1914, Japan today stands 47iiird, being outranked on-_, by t he ted ora nd thtf Uni ted States. On Jul 1, 1926, Japan had a fleet of -;,967,617 tons. This fleet is vor iell occufded. It was reported thet idle stemers in ports of Jan on uly 1E, 1927 totaled 244 with tot1 cross tonnage of 26,000- tons. If thii figure is correct, it would appear that prLctic,ally none of C7 hic al:- 'Cole steam- ers are idle. The income derived from the shippin--: business is of great ':Jenefit to Japan in its international bala,nco ofpa:, It has boon estim-ted that Japanese shipping has earned on intern._ tion.. 1 lance 165,000,000 yen - 19 in. 1923, 185,000,000 yen in 1924 and 196,000,000 yen in 1925. The Japanese shipbuilding industry had phenomenal development ,-_- JaAder Wgrr conditions. Prior to 1914 there were in Japan but six pri- vate shipyards, with a tott,-;1 of 17 doc;:s, ca.-:)able of building ships of more than 1,000 tons. By 1919, the number of yards hed increased to 57 with 157 doc:cs, turning out a total of 622,000 tons 'for the year and employing over 100,000 worlanen, or about four times as many as before the war. The world-wide glut of tonnage following the war, together with the ratificF:tion o: the dashington ,":"onference caused a steEdy decline in Japanese shipbuildik-:, from 437,427 tons in 1920 to 217,200 in 1921, to 59,000 in 1922, to 64,000 in 1923, to 66,200 in 1924, to 55,355 in 1925, and to 52,405 in 1926. The decline in shipbuilding has caused serious trouble with the shipbuilding:companies, the most notable fl lure havin7 been that of the .:Tawasaki Dockyards. It is sLid that all plans for the rescue of this concern have been abandoned and that the ravy is t alcIng over the building of such naval boats as were under construction. Many of the loans arinst shipping are based on Prices for tonnages in excess of market values. In the pest few years, Japanese shipping companies have bought some old tonnage in the world mari:et at prices. far below present cost of construction in Japan. It t3" 7-.14 -- 15 TAhLE .2. TABLE 11 SOURCES OF RE ENUE. - 536,312 343,708 71,925 37.137 48,594 (fidinary Taxes Land tax Ineunit. tax. Business tax 338,999 312,74.1 73,602 37,567 21,155 642,032 318,q72 73,271 51.281 22,833 703,760 130.601 73,178 91,619 26,391 ST \ TE REVENUE (in thousand en RECETTES DE L'ETAT en mailers de en). ..1 ANNEE F1NANCIERE. FISCAL 1 EA R. 1911-13.11915 16.11916-17. 1917-18.11918 19.11919-20.11920-21i 911,579 1,063,120! 1,174.677 319,292 672,383 696,237 73 754 73,011 73.527 190,311 122,817 193,118 62,992 31,375 11,075 - =11. N al RE DES RECF.TTES. 1921-22. 1922-23.11923--2'l. I92,-25.1925--26. 1926-27. 1927-28.1 1.983.812 1,128,206 1,303.832 1.138.640 1,113.231 1.373,115 1,158,118 Ord io hop4ts 785.851 890,103 787.203 887,2371 891,808 812.6211 883,2571 71.130 900.938 68.133 73.134 163.816 35.837 71.325! 229.132 17,132 71,069' 299.992! 61.9131 71.614 231,971 65.791 65,091 207,073 39.177 66,941 221,1591 a I Mining tat Tax on issue of bank notes Tax on liquor. Table waters duty Tat on sm. Sugar excise. Consumption tax on textile fabrics Tax in bourses Custom duties "[nonage does Consumption tax on kerosene oil Other taw Stamp receipts Ri ceipts from public undertakings and State proPostal telegraph and telephone services F. west, Profit of monopoly. Other receipts Miscellaneous receipts Transferred from peril accounts t raordt ry . Proceeds t'd. sale of State prorrtx. Local contributions to expenses incurred by State for the benefit of certain prefect ur, Fund belonging to special areounis transferred pis from the issue of public loans /I 11 a 3,317 4,736 3,038 1,138 95,781 3,357 1,838 3,207 962 81.619 ft 1,934 43.384 111,946 3.034 11,228 663 L533 268 28,775 135,829 38.096 10,275 51,387 12,863 3,650 24,378 198,305 6,291 .39 4,077 1,597 3,231 1,033 1,330 6,273 5,917 399 106.738 89,637 2,231 120,635 5,312 8,830 10.321! 8,2131 137,626, II 1,939 5,313 22.675, 27,1%2 15.524. 16,760 9.306 5,405, 32,163 35,918 603 372 1.576 1,155 241 235 38,698 32.076 168.114 207,708 61,239 76,030 12,636 11,308 67.127 .68,803 51,912 23,789 5,778 3,712 22,291 21,193 169,616 191,256 27,513 10,811 2,310 11 j 3,289 29,812 19.153 3,330 36,353 23,307 9.1165 13,1811 IN.t137 608 1.039 242 52,763 108 979 258 03.312 288.099 106.626 25,611 89,513 250,1169 90,089 17,527 77,592 61,258 3,980 91,312 321,198 8,609 5,101 3,8911 16.168 ! 1,301; 222,585 11.150 11.138 3.834 6,814 221.197 310 6,347 72,905 61.190 12.573' 10801 '1 6.856 64.751 62,591 12,803 89.309 1.011 1,1191 822 334 86.327 918 351 1,275 139 189 86,854 26,388 360.185 162,111 333,781 155.089 36,141 121,289 18,239 34,957 3.631 5.173 22.090 53,032 26.925 33,011 3,000 1,000 22,000 81,589 319,901 08.613 11 162,263 162,080 49,971 34,296 636,301 51,838 813,308 1,084,958 1,499,115 1,808,033 '),000,654 U 5,086 640,671 51,870 1,431 Impot stir remission des billei de !soigne. hoissons-alcooliqii,. jot sin. 71.857 35.291 14.659 105,381 1.329 1003 76.1761 33,847 11.951 127.113 1.131 1 . ft 1 It 131 916 575,855 657.655 23.998 211.437 94,7201 a eA2,162 152,212 22,128 18,787 11,018 '266,237 eau% gamenses. ImpOt sum stir le t.Slioxu.. 14.131 7.813 15,872 111.160 238,1131) 209.618 44.972 153,020 21.992 20.733 8.329 628,134 6,665 53,631 781,898 .7,539 63,8371 11.8031 119,638 1,329 Droits de surcesslosi. Taxi. sur les voyages. 207.261 3.711 1.113 161.736 11,088 148,231 21,083 22,721 54,893 688,751 5,663 6,975 42.891 80.200 6,930 76,726 56.093 11.118 !flirt stir Finteret du capital. hurt sur les ruines. 119.631 12,952 40,295 129,670 130,157 19,910 283061 33,2051 31,901 51,556' 32,653 659.1391 711,466 6,203 11.5491 16.820 16.262! 36,112 825,973 6,416 - 7.171 I mrt sur les benefices induIriels it commerciatix. 1,517 163,751 210,548 41,920 160,507 20,771 31,113 567,336 6.121 6,059 ft el rummer- 5,130 446,938 230,131 30,83; 19,000 les all'aires 1 .397 383.134 427,613 12,273 27,997 713,512 36,812 7,662 11,181 I url stir 4,758 312,686 7,1111 28,355 3,463 3.137 414,638 6.974 221,57; 81,464 28,091 16,981 17.131 12,365 50.961 15,930 18.157 83,7811 11,391 1,376 11.183 11.318 5,298 13.536 15,500 970 91.530 66,31 I 1,705 708,615 5:0 98,901! 83.379 251,559 3')7,760 132,799! 139,1180 32. 90 33,863 71,167! 124,124 10,689 734,648 61,736 11,196 100.911, 13.396 -- GRAND TOrAL 6,39; 51,966, 10,39.! ..171) '1,834 222,313 61,326 176.985 11.788 I 0,48 I 5,965 a I .115, 282! 3,659 125,346 39,511 9,608 6,463 908 111.1,371 10,637 86,227 17,951 9,181 9,493 8,333 163,896 81,135; 839 23,217 118,311 6,657 9,311 'll,333' 26,283 ft 7.1132 36.3001 19,110! 7.600 uiporar. loans War profit tax. Surplus of preceding year irans11.1.red Oflit.r receipt 4,618 7,387 .8,838 Impnt sur le resenti. riales. 1 Business profit tax Capital interests dutx Succession tax Travelling tax Iii i1ut hincier. 18,571 11,073 Artist. sur le sucre. l'axe de eonsonornation sur les tissus. sin. les equ'rations d bolloc. Droiis de douane. Droits de lonnage. Taxi. de ronsommation stir les petrol,. Autres unpUts. Reventi du timbre. Beret, prmenant des exploitations ei donutine de [Etat. Servio, I eslauS lelegraphiques et telephoniques. Forks. Profits du monopole. Autres rerettes. Rerettes diverse.s. Virement s des rumples sr...16am. '1,716 271,910 4,947 13,065 11.082 13,219 Extranrdinairrs Produit de la reale des biens &Etat. Participation des administratious locales au x de- 3,8/37 28,121 :7.986 18,776 tain, prefectures. Fonds apparienani :tux couples Till/III, et trans- 127,969 16.589 80.0(0 61,000 Recettes provenant it,' [emission des einitruitis I Emprunts temporaires. beno".6ces de goer.., Impot sur a 127 524,2'17 12.721 502.318 31,042 p.., encourues par [Hat an profit de cer- 156.366 3.086 160,330 1.666 2,065,711 2,087.345 2,015.298 2,127,391 2,071.369 1,639,382 1,730,058 iremen1 tI l'excedent de Fexereice ulres rerettes. TOTAL GiRiRNL. 1. 17 -I6- TABLE 3. - - -ITEMS. ---- FINANCIAL YEAR. - . 1915-16. 1916-17. 1917-18. 1918-19. 1919-20. 1920-21. 339,225 386.516 386,065 137,821 190,167 502,785 709,313 Imperial Household. 1 ,500 4.500 4,500 4,500 1,500 1,500 1.500 Foreign Affairs .. 3,810 3,477 4,105 4.319 4,820 6,066 10,517 11,289 12,271 11,718 12,985 17,927 21,597 36,918 186,568 163,937 150,873 176,390 187,159 173,169 174,758 Army. 72,237 70,651 73,384 88,313 94,918 100,552 159,494 Navy 30,398 38,996 45,285 48.528 54,602 58,175 111,076 12,533 15,898 18,700 24,418 9,771 20,656 21,762 27,661 Home Affairs. Finance Justice. Public Instruction 11,606 11,125 9,559 9,581 11,161 9,723 DEPENSES DE L'ETAT,(en milliers de yen -- -- -- 1911-15. Ordinary ' - T OILEAU 3. - A N N EE 6,823 6,850 8,183 7,428 7,142 8,968 NATURE DES DEPENSF:S. 1921-22. 1922-23. 811,749 891,257 4,500 1923-21 1924-25. 1925-26. 1926-27. 1927-28. 960,593 1,051,010 1-,016,289 1,087,401 1,171,910 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500 4.500 16,597 17,611 17,322 17,466 15,373 15.911 16,191 41,816 11,517 11,337 43,636 12,522 41,807 43,889 - de l'Interieur.. 195,017 210,116 256,181 299,970 271,073 298,030 339,664 -- des Finances. 169,070 178,713 176,223 179,331 170,760 168,435 173,614 140,718 130,379 121,831 121,628 122,241 126,672 135,978 28,056 29,428 '29,181 30,922 31,008 29,171 31,119 33,662 37,911 11,151 71,118 79,198 113,757 110,217 62,430 65,091 67,871 81,199 89,292 141,929 669,542 650,664 219,195 196,753 404,729 297,202 526,868 3,686 2,937 925 2,550 6,072 16,855 8,046 18,238 39,251 15,817 17,612 31,117 16,928 78,518 96,079 57,066 65,820 . 66,420 151,124 25,096 67,007 Army. 15,462 27,139 21,429 35,093 57,153 119,715 87,062 Navy 52,861 15,380 '71.3311 113,906 161,300 258,243 292,125 751 557 985 1,177 3,945 8,346 5,237 3,890 11,186 16,402 Extraordinary Foreign Affairs Home Affairs. Finance . Justice Public Instruction 1,241 981 - 856 2,281 30,275 29,581 21,1196 25,256 26,429 i) 3,195 3,429 4,171. 27,656 12,987 10,149 61,674 33,413 11,860 116,871 207,270 ' 218,718 254,717 260,420 279,563 648,105 538,132 560,156 574,011 508,099 551,980 555,118 .9,136 7.592 6,732 3,539 4,504 3,637 2,868 80,076 90,951 143,963 166,188 179,984 207,670 213,529 32,140 37,992 78,414 51,220 38,130 55,216 59,599 77,907 54,191 47.793 27,403 11,011 32,366 38,450 243,512 150.309 123,829 106,761 112,397 119,448 312,870 2,556 2,917 4,119 17,532 18,138 29,137 Communications 17,886 13,287 15,691 24,417 47,578 65,994 64,552 618 420 583,269 590 795 735,024 1,017,035 1,172,328 1,359,978 end Department of Industry and Commerce. ---- i tic', namely i - Department of Agriculture and Forestry, 3,580 6,242 21,190 21,061 21,083 ( i) 22,380 19,736 22,881 9,575 7,169 86,738 63,841 29;147 95,971. (i) - de In Guerre. - dale Marine. de la Justice. --- de l'Instruction publique. de rAgriculture et des 56,827 68,287 Forets. 68,717 7,820 81,122 - merce. Nlinistere des Communications. Exiraordinaires : Ministere des Affaires etrangeres. - de l'Interieur. - des Finances. de la Guerre. de la Marine. ° de la Justice. de !Instruction publique. de l'Agriculture et des Forks. NI inistere de l'Industrie et du Cornmerce. Nlinistere des Communications. i 1,429,689 1,521,050 1,625,024 1.521,988 1,639,382 1,730,058 TOTAL GiNINAL. I I,. N. II - Depuis l'esercire 19/11,6 to MillilIGTO de Citgri. ulture et du Commerce a etc 'rind.. en den, sevoir : - le Miniorre do l'Agrirulture et deo Forks, et Stinist,,e de 'Industrie et du Commerce. (t) (a) NOTE. -- Since the eer I 93,,6 the Department of Avicultura an I (:,iinm,re has liced divide I int 31,488 2,462 1,693 31,681 1,489,855 .GRAND TOTAL 27,703 .... Alinistere de !Industrie et du Com- 207,799 51,897 ' . 192,631 31,007 Agriculture and Commerce Maison Imperiale. Ministere des Allaires etrangeres. (I( 15,037 73,017 Ordinaires -- ( Communications . FINANCIEIRE. - 19.615 Agriculture and Commerce -- STATE EXPENDITURE (in thousand yen). 1 -37-) EXHIBIT B - v") NLVAL ":-.XPENDITURES Year 1915-16 1917-13 1913-19 1919-20 1920.21 1921-22 1922-23 1923-24 1924-25 1925-26 1926-27 1927-28 Or 39,000 48,500 54,600 58,175 111,076: 141,000 130,300 125,000 125,000 122,000 126,700 136,000 Extraordinary (In thousands of Yen) 45,380 114,000 161,300 258,214 292,125 343,000 244,000 150,300 124,000 106,700 112,000 120,000 Tot1 84,3E 162,500 215,900 316,119 403,201 484,000 374,300 275,300 249,000 228,700' 238,700 256,000 .EXHI3IT C ck) COMMUNICATION FXP7NDITUEES 0 Year 1915-16 1917-18 1919-20 1921-22 1923-24 1925-26 1926-27 1927-28 Ordirrry 65,091 73,017 89,292 192,634 207,270 254,717 260,429 279,563 ExtraordinflrY (In thousands of Yen) , 13,287 24,417 65,994 51,897 68,287 81,122 86,738 63,841 Tot:1 73,378 97,431 155,286 244,531 ,?75,557 335,839 347,167 343,404 EXHIBIT D HOME 1.1PFAIRS EXPENDITURES Year Ordinary 1915-16 1920-21 1921-22 1923-24 1925-26 1926-27 1927-28 11,289 36,918 41,846 44,337 42,522 43,807 43,890 ExtrLordinary (In thousands of Yen) 48,238 78,548 80,076 143,963 179,982 207,670 213,530 Total 59,527 115,466 121,922 188,300 222,504 249,477 257,420 EXHIBIT E PUBLIC INSTRUCTION EXPENDITURES Year Ordinary Extraordinary Total (In thousands of Yell) 1915-16 1919-20 1921-22 1923-24 1925-26 1926-27 1927-28 9,585 21,762 33,662 71,154 79,198 113,757 119,217 1,000 11,486 17,532 29,137 21,190 21,000 21,100 f 10,585 33,248 51,194 100,291 100,388 134,857 140,317 414.1:d- F. SUZUKI & CO., LTD. JAPAN (The following information is colated entirely from various newspapers and financial magazines) On April 6, 1927 Messrs. Suzuki & Co., Ltd., one of the largest Japanese merchanting firms, with a head office at Kobe, found it necessary tPmporarily to suspend business. Suzuki & Co., whose head is Mme. Yone Suzuki, is a holing company owning shares in some thirty (30) large subsidiaries with brcnches in New York, London and elsewhere. The parent concern, which grertly extended its business during the the war, has a paid-up capital of fifty million (50,000,000) yen ($25,000,000 U.S.). Through the affiliated companies the Suzuki group represents nearly every phase of business and industry, including rayon, sugar, cotton, coal mining, machinery, brewing; wireless and hydro-electric power. Suzuki & Co. were in difficulties about six years, their troubles going back to the post-war slump and the earthquake period. Heavy losses were suffered in 1920-21 and in 1922 and the organization would have collapsed then had it not received large bank accommodations. Incidentally, the losses suffered by Suzuki as a result of the earthquake were only a small percentage of the firm's total obligations, which had their main origin in the heavy stocks of commodities with which Suzuki found itself at the termination of the war. The group maintained a close financial con,ection with the Bank of Taiwan (Formosa) from whom N. Kaneko; general manager of Suzuki& Co. .,nd fifty succeed in borrowing U.S.). two hundred/million (250,000,000) yen ($125,000,000 The government of Japan proposed to compensate the Bank of Japan 1 in accepting th-e notes of the Bank of Taiwan, which plan, however, was relect-d by the Privy Council thus forcing the Wakatsuki cabinet to resign. The Bank of Taiwan then found itself obliged to close its branch offices in Japan proper and abroad temporarily, keeping open only the offices in Formosa', where it acts as the central bank and issues notes which are the general currency in circulation on the island. These events, naturally, were followed by a heavy drop in prices on the Tokio stock market and several banks had to close their doors on account of runs by depositors. The Tanaka cabinet (with Korekiyo Takahashi former premier, as finance minister) then instructed the Bank of Japan to aid reputable and established banks as far as possible, and up to April 22, the Bank of Japan made loans to marious banks totalling almost one hundred and fifty million (150,000,000) yen ($75,000,000 U.S.) Upon the application of the Bankers' Association of Japan, the Government announced a moratorium of twenty (20) days; the banks of the entire country closed their doors for two days, April 22 and 23. As regards origin and nature, the downfall of the Suzuki firm with losses aggregating $250,000,000 U.S.1i(equalttone-third of the total budget of the Japanese government) is indeed not without parallels in postwar financial history. It is in some respects similar to the Stinnes collapse in Germany, and the banking difficulties in Japan are not very much different from those experienced in Denmark following the collapse of the Landmandsbank, the foremost banking establishment in Scandinavia, and one of the leading banking institutions in Europe. During the period of high commodity prices following the armistice the Landmandsbank, already heavily committed to the Danish industry, financed the purchase .of commodi- ties, eventually necessitating a five year governmental guaranty of the -3- from the series of failures of prominent banks in Norway some three years ago where it was found necessary for the government to extend aid or place the banks affected under state administration. BA:LW Stat. 99 6/30/27 THE BANK OF JAPAN TOKYO October 17th, 1927. Dear Mr. Lamont, At the request of Mr. Inouye, I bring you herewith the written replies to your questionnaires. This is the note I prepared to leave together with the document in case I miss you. With kind regards Yours sincerely ^ :\ - \\\`' The need of a policy of retrenchment in public and private finance has been recognized in principle for some years past. Indeed, successive Governments were not unmindfu: of the principle, and the curtailment of expenditures was often attempted and actually effected in some cases. But financial resources accumulated during the war still largely remained with us when the reaction came, and it was difficult under the circumstance to practise economy at once, the weakness of human nature as it is. Besides, we were anxious to lay out the foundation of our future development, and enterprises started for that purpose could not be easily relinquished. Thus the recognized principle of retrenchment has not been carried out in practice to a satisfactory extent. It may be said, however, that the late monetary disturbance has turned out to be a wholesome lesson in this respect. The expenditures for reconstruction works are as follows:Estimates 346,192,000 Disbursements up to Sept., 1927 151,516,000 Remainder 194,676,000 378,919,000 178,890,000 200,029,000 Yen 725,112,000 330,406,000 394,706,000 Government Local ... Total More than 60 per cent, of the projected reconstruction works have been completed. Of the estimated local expenditures, Yen 140,746,000 is to be granted in aid by the Government and Yen 67,804,000 is 2 to be lent by the Government. Along with the execution of the plans, some increase over the original estimates may be needed. At any rate, further borrowing will be necessary, but it is the intention of the Government to borrow in the home market what is necessary. As to Government subsidy and control of business undertakings, the preceding observations in regard to the policy of retrenchment hold true. The success of Government aid and guidance in the early stages of our economic development still lingers in our memory. Before the Russo-Japanese War, private resources were not plentiful, financially and otherwise. So the Government had to take the initiative or to give assistance in opening new lines of economic activity. result was advantageous on the whole. The Thus, undertaking or control of business by the Government still remains as a habit. Especially, in the case of chartered banks, it is but natural that, if they have been created at all, the Government should exhaust all means to straighten them out of difficulties in which they have become involved. There is a limit, however, in the means at the disposal of the Government. In fact, we are learning by experience, that, in the face of changed conditions, the propping up of business by the Government must be gradually dispensed with. The paternalistic attitude of the Government and the Pank of Japan has been an object of criticism even at home in recent, years. The imposition of strict restrictions on the employment of Post Office deposits is certainly a sign The of the change in policy on the part of the Government. Bank of Japan has had sometimes to give special aid to banks in trouble in order to tide over a delicate situation. But we have urged, and are urging now more than ever, sound adjustment on their part as the condition of our aid. The drastic reorganization of the Bank of Taiwan and the curtailment of its business is a notable example. Apart from the Government property and funds contributed to the capital of the South Manchuria Railway Company amounting. to Yen 217,156,000, Government investments in connection with China outstanding at the end of 1926 were Yen 192,365,000. A major portion of the amount consists of the so-called "Nishihara loans" taken over from the banks originally concerned. Loans made through banking channels to the Han-Yeh-Ping mining interests and loans made to the Oriental Development Company and other institutions in aid of their business in Qhina are all included in it. In the past, Post Office deposits were used for making investments of this nature; but such employment of the funds will be difficult in the future in consequence of the above-mentioned restrictions. There is no subsidy or other aid of a recurring character in connection with China. The military and naval expenditures in connection with and, Manchuria are annually from Yen 6,000,000 to Yen 7,000 000. The special increase as results of the present disturbances in China, such as the despatch of troops to Shantung and the landing of marines in the Yang-tze-kiang districts, is estimated to amount to some few millions. The following figures may be taken as indicative of the condition of Japanese trade with various parts of China. With China as a whole. Exports Imports 'Yen Yen 1926 574,441,000 397,870,000 Jan. to Aug.,1926 359,572,000 190,398,000 Jan. to Aug.,1927 295,923,000 155,293,000 63,649,000 35,105,000 Decrease in 1927 With Manchuria. Exports Imports Yen Yen 1926 67,981,000 36,095,000 Jan. to Aug.,1926 47,882,000 11,596,000 Jan. to Aug. ,1927 34,833,000 15,647,000 Decrease in 1927 13,049,000 (Increase in 1927) 4,051,000 With Kwantung. Exports 1926 Imports Yen 99,606,000 ... Yen 157,033,000 Jan. to Aug. ,1926 64,385,000 76,678,000 Jan. to Aug.,1927 53,366,000 63,554,000 Decrease in 1927 11,019,000 13,124,000 Note There may be some overlapping between the figures of Manchuria and Kwantung. With North China. Exports Imports Yen 1926 Yen 101,292,000 72,333,000 Jan. to Aug. ,1926 68,397,000 40,942,000 Jan. to Aug.,1927 73,621,000 43,016,000 5,224,000 2,074,000 Increase in 1927 With Central China. Exports Imports Yen Yen 1926 E26,041,000 99,796,000 Jan. to Aug.,1926 138,433,000 55,440,000 Jan. to Aug. ,1927 90,905,000 30,368,000 Decrease in 1927 47,528,000 25,072,000 With South Uhina. Exports Imports Yen 1926 21,310,000 Yen 7,918,000 Jan. to Aug.,1926 14,737,000 4,730,000 Jan. to Aug.,1927 3,516,000 5,625,000 Decrease in 1927 11,221,000 (Increase in 1927) 895,000 With Hongkong. Exports Imports Yen Yen 1926 52,973,000 1,426,000 Jan. to Aug.,1926 25,738,000 823,000 Jan. to Aug. ,1927 39,682,000 1,111,000 Increase in 1927 13,944,000 288,000 Note --- Figures in exact accordance with the classification in the questionnaires are not available. --- There are some discrepancies between totals and detailed items, because the figures are taken from various sources. There are now boycotts against Japanese products in Mukden and some districts in Kirin. Strikes in the Japanese cotton mills in Shanghai may be mentioned in the same category. According to past experience, anti-Japanese boycotts in China become active from time to time, but they subside before long. The present seems to be already in the subsiding stage. The financing of cotton industry and trade is generally sound., because in the first place the fall in the export of cotton yarns has been covered, partially at any rate, by the increase in the export of cotton textiles, and in the second place cotton manufacturers and dealers have retained comparatively ample resources out of the profits of the past. It is only in the case of spinning companies on small scales and weavers catering mainly to internal consumers that 'V,there is. some difficulty. The figures of the export of cotton textiles are as follows:Yards Jan. to Aug., 1926 ... 1927 Increase 642,777,000 ... . 656,191,000 13,414,000 The export of cotton textiles to China is depressed, but the same to India and farther west is making fair progress. The decrease in the money value of our export of cotton goods is partly a result of the fall in the price of raw cotton and. does not accurately reflect the condition of our trade. Bills for financing the import of cotton by spinning companies and bills for financing the export of cOtton goods are generally welcomed by bankers as good. liquid assets. It would not be fair to say that the Japanese is committed to a high tariff policy. sovernment There are opposing currents in public opinion in regard to the question, and they are reflected in the legislative measures of the country. In the case of some industries, the acceleration of their developMent by means of tariff is eagerly advocated. But it is recognized, on the other hand, that the position of our country as the commercial gateway must be taken advantage of, by means of free exchange and passage of commodities. The Government bonds to care for the earthquake bills have onot yet been delivered to the banks. The delivery is to be considered in respect of earthquake bills held in rediscount by the Bank of Japan on the 30th of September. to conform to certain conditions. . They have also Applications are now coming After due consideration, bonds will be delivered to banks concerned, mostly by the end of November. The banks receiving the bonds may sell them subject to the approval of the Government or may use them as security for getting accommodation from the Bank of Japan or other quarters. The assets of the banks will become liquid in that sense. It is expected the banks will be able to realize largely in the ten year period on the earthquake bills against which they receive the bonds from the Government. If, however, there be any loss, it will be suffered by the banks. It must be remembered in this connection that the advance to be made by the Government in the form of bonds is not the only measure to deal with the earthquake bills. In the case of unrealizable bills, the banks without sufficient resource of their own are to be relieved of their liability under certain conditions, and the Bank of Japan-is to be indemnified by the Government to the extent of Yen 100,000,000 in respect of those bills. It is against earthquake bills not dealt with in this way that the delivery of bonds is to be considered. The number of banks at the end of 1923 was 2,122. reduced to It was 1,704 by the end of 1926, and to 1,619 by the end of September last. o The number is certainly still too many. nie Government is urging by all means the amalgamation of banks. At the same time, it must be remembered that it is not well-advised to push the matter recklessly and that amalgamation must be accompanied by sound adjustment of banks concerned. Mere amalgamation of unsound banks will amplify the evils and be prejudicial to the general situation. It is expected that the reduction of the number of banks will be accelerated after the operation of the new banking law which provides, among other things, for closer official supervision of banks and The law is to become the minimum limits of a bank's capital. effective on January 1st, 1928. It is not to be hoped that old loans which have forcedly become long term obligations will be liquidated all at once or in a short period of time. But bankers are now very circumspect in making new loans and take caution to avoid freezing up their assets. This is the main reason of the present easiness of the money market. For some time after the recent monetary disturbance, it may be said that bankers were too timid in making new commitments. Their attitude has been, and is, gradually undergoing a change. But caution is the prevailing note. It was a practice with our bankers to give accommodation of a really long term character in the form of the discount of single name bills with explicit or tacit understanding of renewal. Both lenders and borrowers of this kind were especially - 10 - embarrassed after the recent monetary disturbance. r Bankers have taken the lesson to heart, and it is hoped that the present cautious attitude of bankers will result in a wholesome change in the banking custom. While there are a good number of banks which have been, and are, doing their business on quite sound principles, it can not be denied that in many oases too large a proportion of the assets of banks has consisted of frozen loans and long term obligations. But the lesson of the recent monetary disturbance has been taken to heart, and will conduce to improvements. In view of the scanty supply of good commercial bills, however, it is perhaps inevitable that banks in this country should hold a larger proportion of their assets in bonds and other securities of the similar nature than is common in some other countries. If their investments consist of approved securities, the Bank of Japan will look after banks in case they are in need of cash to meet seasonal and other temporary requirements. This is a traditional function of the Bank of Japan. When loans are newly made, it is the accepted principle and common practice with our bankers to limit the accommodation to an amount ranging from 90% to 60 of collateral value. principle has been adhered to since the recent disturbance more strictly than ever. But in some oases, the decrease The in collateral value of old loans was not sufficiently replenished 0 by additional collaterals; or, loans originally granted on credit having become frozen, collaterals were taken in afterwards as partial cover. This resulted mostly from the economic depression and falling prices of recent years. Figures of bad loan percentage of the leading banks are not available. The deplorable condition of the banks which have had to suspend payments is certainly exceptional. not fair to judge the general situation from them. It is It may be said that, among the banks of considerable size, there is no question of serious bad loan percentage, except in the case of two or three which are now arduously proceeding with the adjustment of their affairs. It is now recognized that it would have been better for us to "take our medicine" not long after the reaction of 1920. But for a country like Japan not rich in resources, the economic structure grown up during the war was too valuable an asset to be left lightheartedly to the natural course of shrinkage. Then the earthquake struck us, and extraordinary measures were thought necessary to meet the critical situation. Official aids given under these circumstances could not be withdrawn abruptly. a turn must be taken in the right direction. In due time, 12 The intention of returning to a gold basis is unaltered. Our gold reserves are intact and the balance of trade is improving. But it is now impossible to point to Its consummation in a definite period, say, one year, because its immediate effects on the monetary and general economic situation at home must be carefully taken into consideration. The first official estimate of this year's rice crop is 61,490,000 koku. Compared with the previous year, and the average of the five preceding years, it is greater by 5,910,000 koku and 3,770,000 koku respectively. On the basis of this estimate, the import requirements of the coming year will be considerably less than those of the present year. The operation of the spinning mills is now curtailed by 1* The agreement to that effect between the spinning companies was made effective for six months since the 1st of last May. They have lately come to a decision to prolong the curtailment for another period of six months. The production of cotton yarns from January to August of the present year was 1,707,692 bales, as compared with 1,725,810 bales of the corresponding period of last year. At the end of last August, the stock of cotton yarns in Osaka and Kobe was 36,643 bales as compared with 17,116 bales of last year. The production of - 13 - cotton textiles in the first eight months of this year shows a slight increase over that of last year, the figures being respectively 663,324,674 yards and 845,868,420 yards. But the stock in Osaka and Kobe at the end of last August was 125,185 bales, as compared with 91,161 bales of last year. The increase in the stock of textiles was in a lesser proportion than in the case of yarns, thus showing the better trade condition of the former. Our trade with China has been impeded by the disturbance there; but there is no disruption of the export of cotton yarns and textiles, the monthly figures are as follows:Yarns 1927 1926, Textiles 1926 1927 (bales) (bales) ... (bales) 7,124 (bales) January 4,818 30,293 30,200 February ... 4,684 3,487 45,269 22,931 7,998 3,822 59,249 23,487 ... 9,664 2,931 44,042 27,695 ... ... 10,854 3,259 38,408 33,336 June 6,275 2,309 30,238 27,506 July 5,501 2,527 33,569 22,955 ... 3,273 1,466 25,927 27,727 Total ... 55,373 24,619 306,995 215,837 March .. April May August The export to India of Japanese cotton yarns of coarse grades will be obstructed by the new tariff. Japanese trade with that country will naturally be directed to yarns of fine grades and textiles. In fact, our trade with India is principally not in yarns, but in textiles. The prospect of the export of textiles is fairly good. From the fact that Indian mills need the high tariff for 55. - 14 - its protection in the home market, it may be inferred that they are not in such a condition as enables them to compete effectively in the Chinese market. Indian exports to China of yarns and textiles are negligible at present. Most of the loans against ships were made before or shortly after the conclusion of peace in 1919. At the outset, bankers were careful to keep abundant margins in tonnage value. But, in consequence of the subsequent fall in tonnage value, the mortgaged ships. became short in value in the case of loans outstanding from the ,period. of shipping boom. therein are few in number. Banks involved With the aid of the Government ,and the co-operation of the banks concerned, the Kokusai Kisen Kwaisha was formed, and ship owners in difficulty transferred their ships to the company which in effect took over the obligations to the banks. The financing of shipping was consolidated in this way, and the banks are endeavouring to recover the loans on easy terms, and it is believed that they will be able to write off necessary amounts, if they have not done so already, except the Fifteenth Bank which came to grief. Japanese shipping is almost fully occupied, though the profits therefrom are scanty. Of ships of more than 1,000 tons, those remaining unoccupied in last September were only five in number and 14,096 in tonnage. Japan is buying more ships abroad than those to be constructed at home. number of purchases abroad is decreasing. a But the This is partly result of the high duty imposed on the import of ships - 15 - with the oWect of discouraging the purchases abroad. C) Ships purchased for employment, i.e. not as scraps, were 36 in 1926 and 19 in the first nine months of this year. There is no doubt that shipbuilding equipments in Japan are far in excess of current requirements. But this feature seems to be more or less common to all the Gauntries. How to deal with the situation, is perhaps a world, rather than national, problem. TM-EC...141C ADDRESS °IlEHO TOK,.. 4, Eitt 3m43Triiti 714act E al, a p. ik ea. tv, 6 144 0 /ct, pfL7-ct. r--- irk (rt. L.-4 L t4( /(4,t. s Sci 0 i( l 1 k , L.-C. ( yi-Lif.tt_ u( T/tA.7 )) CL. [C, ;1714---oiL 711 61411---I f,- I. tt- lA ,- )'P A cs---eL - y r?-t ), _ t1 A.. IA t- 1- fo.. .../ 9 vi., ,. 61) P :IDIT (private) Rough draft Memorandum in answer to . Ur. Lamont's questions. (By Mr. Kengo Mori) 1. Financial Policy. In the present conditions financial and economical of Japan there is but one opinion as to the necessity of continuing the policy of retrenchment and economies both in public and private finance. In view of however, the depression and stagnation from which tne business world of tnie country has suffered for the last eight long years since the trade panic of 1920 the greatest problem exacising every mind whether in the Government or in the Opposition is how Japan could turn the corner. On this vital question there exists a difference of view between the Minseito Party which is now in the Opposition and the Seiyukai Party in Office in respect of measures to be taken to accomplish the common end. The present cabinet which cALt,..! stands on 41--aakke4 "Policy of Nation on Industry" as the first plank of their platform is naturally endeavouring to restore our economic prosperity by positively promoting industry and encouraging foreign trade. under this policy an effort is being made to extend and improve the railways. Therefore spite of the utmost economies now being urged in framing general Budget for the next financial year a considerable amount will be required to meet new demands put forward in order to effect various measures in pursuance of this policy. 2. Capital Reconstruction expenditure of the Government. As regarded the expenditure falling on the Government for "Capital reconstruction" divided into two items ',Capital Reconstruction Expenditure" and "The Earthquake Restoration Expenditure "the amount reimbursed up to the last financial year (1926-27), the amount i;i-oted for the current financial year (1927-28) and the amount estimated for from the next financial year and after are shown below with their resources respectively:- Reimbursed up V, to the financial year 1926-27 Yen Noted for tne financial year 1927-28 Yen ' Capital reconstruction 387,857,741 118,489,915 107,820,571 332,026,386 63,852,753 294,116,434 719,884,127 182,342,668 401,937,005 Loans and temporary borrowings 446,088,828 64,000,000 83,000,000 Normal receipts 273,795,299 118,342,668 318,93,005 Earthquake reconstruction 0 Estimated for the financial year 1928-29 and after Yen Total Resources 3. Subsidy and Government While the in business. Japaneae industry in the modern sense of the word was in its enfant stage of development it used to resort in a large measure to the Government subsidy. It is regretable that people have not yet completely shaken off this enertia obtained in the past years. But the intelligentia having fully recognized the necessity of self support independence of industry the general tendency is now strongly in this di- rection with the result that Government subsidies except in special cases are being stopped one by one. The same applies to the post situation of government in business especially in public utility industry including Post Office, Telegraph The nationalization of and Telephone. Railways, however, was effected under different circumstances which are well known. As regards the Telephone there is now a strong current opinion for private enterprise. Tobacco Monopoly, however, being the one of the most important source of National revenue can not be dispensed with. Although for obvious reasons a greater part of armament industry is still in the Government hand the tendency is to transfer to private enterprise in cases where self subsistence is feasible. Particularly the Government iron works are a subject of serious discussion in which the Majority of opinion seems to regard their transfer to private management is simply question of time. 4. As for the policy of the Bank of Japan and Government to banks and industry it is evident that the paternalistic or interfering. attitude of the two high authorities is becoming less and less simply on account of the growing influence of powerful city banks and industrial firms. however, where In exceptional cases, disasters or panics call for emergency measures that the of relief or remedy it is natural Bank of Japan should be compelled an extraordinary operation. Government and the to act as the center of such In China ther3is no business undertaking by the Japanese Government. ,,N4 as subsidies are being granted to country. The expenditure incurred enterprises in that by the Government as the result of the disturbance of China is insignificant as shown in the following figures:- Navy Yen 439,000 1926-27 Yen 7,000,000 1927-28 (from April to Army Yen 2,490,000 Sept.) Export trade with China from January to September 7. 1927 is as follows:- for the nine months Compared with the corresponding period of last year. (decrease) I 104,805,000 25,682,000 83,718,000 4,360,000 Yangtze Valley 111,399,000 57,627,000 Southern China 52,540,000 2,644,000 Other districts 2,117,000 768,000 354,641,000 77,072,000 Uanchuria Shantung Total The total decrease is 181. felt in Yangtze Valley as The most serious effect is center of disturbance and in 0' -5Manchuria as the result of the sevfi er fall of currency. There is no beieort of Japanese goods in China at present worth mentioning. Stock of cotton yarns in Osaka and Kobe at the 29,923 bales end of July 1927 was as against tne figures of the corresponding period of 14.140 bales last year showing a substantial increase. Advance on this commodities from the banks in Osaka and Kobe at the time in question was as against Yen 23,710,000 7,555,000 which was the amount for tne corresponding period of last year. Thus showing a decrease in banks accomodation. In other words notwithstanding the increase of accumulated stock banking loans do not seem to have become frozen. The Japanese Government is not wedded to high tariff policy. All raw materials are free. On those manufactured goods whose industry is regarded to be impossible to subsist are also exempt from duties. hopeful of subsistence For some industries which are are favoured by protective duties which is of purely temporary measure. The proportion of dutiable articles to the non dutiable as well as the tariff is rather lower than in the case of the United States of America.. As for the luxury tax it is simply a temporary measure justified by special circumstances. -6The Bank of Japan having written off the obligations of the closed banks (including the Bank of Taiwan) arising from the earthquake bills discounted by the former the latter banks were enabled to apply their assets thus becoming liquid to their plan of reconstruction. The loss thus incurred by the Bank of Japan is to be indemnified by the national bonds which are to be handed over to the Bank to the extent of Yen 100,000,000. As to the balance of Yen 107,000,000 out of the total earthquake bills the Government is to make a loan of National Bonds to the banks holding these bills for a period of ten years. As these banks will be able to,accomodation from the Bank of Japan on the security of these borrowed bonds the position of the Bank of Japan in this respect is changed from its advance on the earthquake bills into that on national bonds. In the event of these banks proving unable to recover the proceeds of the bills within the said period of ten years it is (1) not yet decided what steps government should take. Any future contingency of run on banks is to be amply met by the emergency law passed by the Imperial Diet last May by which the Bank of Japan is authorized to grant special accomodation and is to be indemnified to the extent of Yen 500,000,000 for its eventual loss. The number** of bank. existing at the end of 1926 is:- Special banks Ordinary banks 34. 1.420 Savings banks total 124 1,578 As it is still felt that banking units are too many the Government is encouraging to consolidate and its 4e-414.1444 effort is being rewarded success. Banks in the light of experience dearly bought through the panic of 1920 and the recent banking crisis of are now using utmost caution in their operations. Whilst good trade bills are being discounted at such a low rate as approaching that of London and New York market those industrial firms and traders to whom advances are considered to become frozen are not now able to obtain acoomodation even at an extraordinarily high rate. An outcry being at present raised in same quarter against the banking Institution is an evidence of this general contraction of credit. The fact that the employment of banking fund has been partial to comparatively long term advance and seCurities is owing to the lack of circulation of good trade bills. This defect is gradually being remedied at the end of August 1927 the following situation obtained in respect of the clearing banks of the whole country. Bills discount Advance in bills Yen 1,005,833,000 2,839,136.000 Loans 789,136,000 Overdraft 447,640,000 Securities 2,291,429,000 Call loans 211,998,000 Cash in hand 400,012,000 In the case of leading banks the collateral value dot4 not seem to be less than the loans. Owing, however, to the recent financial out burst reacting on the Stock market the collateral value dropping in many cases and not yet been replenished there are some banks which have been confronted with this situation. The policy of the leading banks is conservative. The bad debt has been entirely due to circumstances beyond their control but as it has been written off at each business year out of its profit it can be safely said that non exists at present. Certainly it would have been better for the Japanese to have itken medicine in 1920 or 1921. It is our settled policy to return to the gold standard. As to the actual time to be chosen, however, we have to give a mature consideration in the light of experience of last year when sudden recovery of exchange resulted in unfavourable effect on business condition. The presnet attitude of the Government seems first to effect a fundamental improvement in the foreign payment situation and arrive at the state of things in which the raising embargo on gold would not bring about a detrimental influence on the trade condition before it takes decision on the actual return to gold. But the question we will have of course to be threshed out when the political season approaches. The crop of this year in estimated ,Koku 61,492,850 Koku 55,582,632 Actual amount of last year showing an increase ourselves for of 161 thus enabling us to support the next year. From the 1st 'Jay this year every spinning mill belonging to the association having agreed on the reduction of operation by 151 is now carrying out this policy. The Nationalist movement in China is not regarded as seriously affecting our trade situation which is more affected by the change in Indian tariff. No fear is entertained from the competition of Indian spinning mills in our trade in China in as much as the tariff condition equally applas. (P`rictly ck. 21. The financing of shipping is limitted to some special :1- dential) banks, the present question is only about Kokusai Risen which having the gross tonnage of 460,000 has forrowed from the Industrial Bank of Japan, the Daiichi Bank and the Fifteenth Bank. Out of resources of the Government Savings Banks Yen 29,200,000 Out of Banking fund 31,031,500 Total 60,231,500 - 10 There seems to be considerable difficulty in straightening the situation. At the end of August 1927 the number and tonnage of ships held up in the principal ports in Japan were as follows:'hips 108 tons Although compared with the figures of last year namely 83 210,474 ihips and 16,162 tons this was some increase, it is quite in nignificant in view of the total which numbers 3,259 *lips and 3,673,747 tons respectively. EXHIBIT Oct. 3rd, 1927, Tokyo, My dear Mr. Lamont, The enclosed is a document specially prepared for you, which purports to give you a picture of the progreso made in the Reconstruction I thought it Works of the Capital and Yokohama. would serve as a form of greetings befitting for your visitsto our land after what you did in the most cordial spirit of friendship and sympathy for our country to help and promote that great work wnich our Government and people have undertaken with all their energy and resources. I am, my dear Mr. Lamont, Very truly yours, Reconstruction of the Capital and Yokohama August 31, 1927,Tokio, The reconstruction works of the City of Tokio and the City of Yokohama with their adjacent districts (technically termed "Capital Reconstruction Works") have a very wide scope, including the construction of streets, bridges, canals and the adjustment of land lots as well as the construction of parks, public markets, sanitary works, supply works of water, gas and electricity, street railways, sewerages and various social works. Among those worke, reconstruction of main streets, canals and large parks and a part of land adjustment are under- taken by the Government and the others by the respective local authorities with the financial assistance of the Government. The estimated expenditures for the works are as follows:. Works undertaken by the Government 1 346,192,800 Works undertaken by the local Authorities 4 378,919,448 Subsidy.for fire proof buildings Y 20,000,000 Interest charges on the local government reconstruction loans to be borne by the Government. 4 21,694,730 Total 1 766,806,978 (Government subsidies (Government Advances To be borne by the flocal authorities 4 140,746,917 4 67,804,402 4 170,368,129 It will be seen the estimates of the total government expenditures amount to 596,438,849 Yen. Under the present programme the whole works are expected to be completed in the year 1929-30. The outline of the reconstruction scheme and its progress will be explained below. Reconstruction works in Tokyo. Streets and bridges. The Streets to be build under the reconstruction programme include 52 main lines and 122 branch lines. which have The main lines than 22 meters each and total the width of more length of about 119 kilometers are undertaken by the Government while the branch lines with the total length of 139 kilometers, each being more than eleven meters wide, are to be built by the municipality, the estimated expenditures being 257,458,400 Yen and 60,852,000 Yen respectively, and 31 per cent of main lines and 28 per cent of branch lines have already been completed. The Government have also undertaken to build 112 bridges and the municipality 308, of which 73 per cent and 18 per cent re- spectively have been completed. Canals. To facilitate the water trafic construction or improvement of 13 lines of canals with the total length of about 15 kilometers have been undertaken by the Government at the estimated cost of 2 ,570,000 Yen. About 4C per cent of the whole work have now been finished. Parks and open spaces. In view of the fact that the disaster of 1923 was greatly aggravated by the shortage of parks and open speaces, it was undertaken to construct as many of them as possible scattering over the City. Under tne reconstruction plan three large parks covering about 55 acres are to be built by the Government and fifty-two small parks with the total area of 38 acres by the municipality, at the aggregate cost of 21,900,000 Yen, twenty- four per cent of the former and fifty per cent of the latter having already been completed. In selecting the site of small parks the position of primary schools was taken into consider- ation so as to give tne best facilities to the pupils. Land Adjustment. In order to eliminate the great inconvenience caused by the irregularity of land lots and narrowness of streets in the City prevailing before the earthquake it was decided to take drastic measures to rectify the irregularity and widen the streets to meet modern requirements. Under the reconstruction scheme the land adjustment will be applied covering about 8580 1923. to the whole area acres which was destroyed by the fire in For the convenience of execution the wnole area is divided into sixty-five sections, out of wnich fifteen are conducted by the Government itself and tile rest by the - n13icipality, at the estimated cost of 8,750,000 Yen and 49,951,000 Yen respectively. The land adjustment is the basic part of the reconstruction works, as the land required for the construction of streets canals and small parks becomes only available after its settlement. Though great difficulties were felt in valuing tne interests of owners and tenants of the lands affected by the adjustment and in selecting the new sites to which the tenants should be removed, the work has made a remarkable progress, and out of about 201,000 houses and buildings to be removed as a result of the land adjustment 56,866. i.e. 28.2 per cent have already been.transferred to tne new sites. to be completed by 5. The whole work is expected the end of the year 1928-29. Other reconstruction works. Beside the works already mentioned the following works are undertaken by the City of Tokyo: Works Estimated expenditures Restoration and reconstruction of streets and bridges. 16,055,100 Restoration and expansion of water supply works 4 10,000,000 Restoration and improvement of sewerages Y 43,500,000 Construction of garbage and rubbish clearing station 4 1,850,000 Construction of central wholesale market 1 15,000,000 crsnstruction of Hospitals etc. if 3,100,000 Construction of primary schools 1 38,610,000 Various social welfare works 4,525,000 Restoration of electric enterprises The reconstruction of 40,500,000 1 173,140,100 Total Reconstruction 1 works in Yokohama Yokohama was planned in the similar line to that of Tokyo. With regard to the streets thirteen lines were to be built by the Government and ten lines by the Municipality at the estimated costs of 27,782,000 Yen and 6,018,000 Yen respectively. About 23 per cent of the streets unciertaken by the Government. and 82 per cent of those undertaken by the municipality have already been completed. the Government and progress Thirty-five bridges were to be built by sixty-three by the municipality. A great was made in this direction about 60 per cent of the work by the Government and 76 per cent of the work by the municipality having been completed already. The Government is also building two canals with the total length of about five kilometers and three parks covering the area of about 42 acres at the estimated cost of 7,571,000 Yen, the percentage of the work finished being 60% and 321 respectively. Adjustment of land lots in Yokohama is applied to the area: of 316 acres, about one third of the total area which was destroyed by the great fire in 1923. partly undertaken by tne Government As in Tokyo tne work is and partly by the munici- pality, at the estimated costs of 4,161,000 yen and 7,179,000 Yen respectively. The work has made a remarkable progress, more than 52 per cent of about 19,000 houses and buildings be removed to new sites as to a result of tne adjustment having been removed, and the whole work is expected to be completed by the end of the year 1927-28. Other reconstruction works undertaken by the municipality are as follows. Works Lstimated expenditures Restoration and construction of streets and bridges 7,442,000 Embankment Y 6,000,000 Restoration of water supply works I 3,000,000 Restoration of sewerages 1 1,250,000 Construction of Hospitals etc. Y 1,500,000 Restoration and construction of schools 1 10,950,000 Various social welfare works 1 750,000 Restoration and improvement of electric enterprises Y 8,500,000 Restorations of gas works 1 3,000,000 Construction of Central wholesale market 1 4,000,000 Total 1 46,392,000 0 The whole reconstruction works of Yokohama are expected to be completed by tne earlier than end of the year 1928-29, i.e. one year that of Tokyo. Reconstruction works in other districts. Apart from the reconstruction works of the City of Tokyo and City of Yokohama, tne Prefecture of Tokyo is undertaking the reconstruction of roads and schools of 18,819,000 Yen and 3,250,000 Yen at tne estimated cost respectively and the Prefecture of Kanagawa is to apply Yen 3,318,000 for restoration of roads and schools. the EXHIBIT "F" MEMORANDUM ON JAPANESE CONDITIONS. 1) Government Finances. The ordinary budget of the Japanese Government has shown a surplus for many years, averaging recently about Yen 300,000,000. In additional there is an extra- ordinary budget which includes capital expenditures of the Government and of the Government enterprises, promotion of business undertakings, and, more recently, expenditures on account of earthquake restoration. The extraordinary budget has shown a deficit averaging around Yen 550,000,000, and after applying the surplus of the ordinary budget this deficit has been met by loans, internal or external. has existed for many years. out injuring Japanese credit. This condition It is apparent that it cannot continue indefinitely with- This seems to be recognized by leaders in business, in- dustry and in governmental circles who agree in principle that in the future the extraordinary budget must be kept within readonable limits. this will be done for several years. It is not likely, however, that The liabilities arising out of "earthquake bills" and the recent financial panic may result in the issue of a maximum of some 900,900,000 Yen of Government bonds to indemnify the Bank of Japan (and other banks) against losses incurred by them in making advances for these purposes. (see paragraph 2, below); and the Government budget for next year now under consideration includes the issue of an internal loan of from Yen 100,000,000 to Yen 150,000,000 to cover the deficit in the extraordinary budget. While, therefore, the necessity of a policy of retrenchment seems to be recognized, it is not likely to be undertaken for at least two years. The total debt, national and local, is about Yen 75 per capita (including debt contracted on account of the Government Railways, equal to Yen 15 per capita). Although the the United States country has not the resources or accumulated wealth of Great Britain, to be excessive and many European countries, the per capita debt today would not seem policy of and the Government finances seem to be in a strong position,- provided a of the Government is adopted economy and retrenchment in the extraordinary expenditures within a reasonable time. -2(2) Currency and Banking. The Bank of Japan has the sole authority to issue notes and is required to maintain a reserve in gold and silver (of which not more than one-quarter can be silver er-al to the amount of notes outstanding, plus a fiduciary issue (secured by Government bonds and other approved securities) which is limited to Yen 120,000,000, of which Yen 107,000,000 are now outstanding. Any additional issue of fiduciary circu- lation must pay an annual tax of 6%. The gold reserve of the Bank of Japan against its circulation is large and has not diminished at all for some years. During and immediateWthe war, however, the Government accumulated a large gold reserve which it has been using apparently to protect the Japanese exchange, with the result that this reserve has dwindled 000 000 steadily from approximately Yen 1,000,00q,sin 1919 to Yen 283,009,,on December 31, 1926. If this condition continues, it is only a question of time until the gold reserve of the Bank of Japan will be drawn upon. The Bank and the leading financiers appreciate this situation fully, and declare that it is the intention of the Government to take steps to protect the gold reserve of the Bank by restricting imports as far as possible. The excess of imports will actually be materially reduced during the present year The exact nature of the plans which it is proposed to take have either not been determined upon or disclosed to us, but the Governor of the Bank is fully alive to the situa tion and recognizes the necessity of protecting his gold reserve. The bank failures of last Spring have been second only to the earthquake in affecting the Japanese banking situation, and both the earthquake and the recent panic have created conditions the full effect of which have not yet been felt in the currenc,ysituation. The earthquake was not the cause of the recent banking panic which was due chiefly to the fact that the Japanese who enjoyed a period of great prosperity during the war have never gone through a drastic deflation as other countries have done and taken their losses, but have attempted to carry along all sorts of enterprises which ought to have been liquidated in 1920 and 1921. As a result of this, many banks had a large amount of bad paper and frozen assets, and the situation finally came to a head last Spring when various disclosures produced a run on the weaker banks resulting in -3- the closing of same 240 banks (out of a total of about 1,450) with deposits of Yen 800,000,000. The stronger banks did not suffer, in fact they benefited through the withdrawal of depositsfrom the weaker banks. This situation combined with the "earthquake bills" has resulted in some legislation of rather startling character. The Bank of Japan has been authorized to grant "special accommodations" to banks "for accommodation funds to replenish its reserves for payment of deposits (including fixed reserve funds)" by discounting the notes of such banks to be redeemed within ten years. The Bank is guaranteed against losses incurreduptoYen 500,000,000, indemnification to be made to the Bank through the issue of 5% Government bonds. A second law authorizes the Bank of Japan to grant special accommodation to financial organizations in Taiwan (Formosa) up to Y.2,000,000 for the purpose of protecting the credit of the Empire abroad, etc. This is intended for the benefit of the Bank of Taiwan which is really afGovernment institution with the sole right to issue notes in Formosa and which closed during the recent panic on account of losses incurred through scandalously bad management. against loss by the issue of Government bonds. under these two laws up to October 10th The Bank of Japan is again indemnified Advances made by the Bank of Japan amount to Yen 290,000,000 of which Yen 185,000,000 was advanced to the Bank of Taiwan under the second law. There have been other instances, notably in Europe, of Government support accorded to banks in financial difficulties; but apparently nothing is on the record approaching in extent or importance this action on the part of the Japanese Government. Further, the Government has agreed to deliver to the Bank of Japan Yen 100,060,000 of bonds to indemnify it against losses incurred in the past through discounting "earthquake bills" and to loan to other banks bonds up to Yen 107,000,000 for a similar purpose,, this to be repaid in ten years. It is seen, therefore, that the Government has guaranteed losses to be incurred through the discounting of "earthquake bills" and of bills of banks which are in difficulties, as a result of the recent crisis, up to a maximum of Yen 907,000,000. So far as Yen 500,000,000 of this amount is concerned the question of what banks shall be helped is practically left to the Bank of Japan though political pressure will probably be felt to some extent. No one can tell at present the extent of the advances or the probable recovery of some p:;Centage of them, and while the salvage may be considerable it seems quite certain that total losses may be expected to run into large figures. As the total outstanding internal debt of Japan was on March 31, 1927, Yen 3,470,000,000 (external debt Yen 1,461,000,000) it will be seen that these special bond issues may mean an increase of one-quarter in the total internal debt of Japan, and must have an effect upon the currency. The legislation does not authorize any change in the law governing currency issues by the Bank of Japan, and Governor Inouye seems to be hopeful that little inflation will result from it. It hardly seems poss- ible, however, that the making of such advances through the Bank of Japan and the ultimate issue of a large amount of Government bonds cannot fail to produce some inflation of the currency either through 'the issue of additional fiduciary circulation on whiCh a tax must be paid, or through some relaxation of the law affecting fiduciary currency. A confidential memorandum from Governor Inouye relating to the special advances to be made by the Bank of Japan is attached. Return to Gold Standard. All parties declare that Japan is firmly committed to the gold standard and agree upon the principle of returning to it as soon as possible. They do not seem to have resolved definitely upon the time or method of doing so, but it is said that this will be done as promptly as possible having due regard to caution. It seems as if the situation created by the guarantee by the Government of earthquake and banking panic losses to such an enormous extent must affect the currency situation and would make it unwise for Japan to attempt to return to the gold standard before the full effect o is known. these measures on the currency/ There is no doubt, however, of the firm resolve to return to the gold standard as soon as possible. When we asked Governor Inouye his specific opinion on this point he said that had it not been for the banking panic he would have thought that the gold embargo would have been already lifted; that now 1 however, it might be one or it might be two years before they would feel perfectly safe to go ahead. In this connection he was greatly interested in, and grateful for, a letter on this subject prepared by R. C. Leffingwell and attached hereto. (4) Govdrnment Enterprises. The Government is engaged in the ownership and subsidizing of enterprises to an extent quite unknown in Great Britain and The United States this are historical. The reasons for When Japan determined to became a modern nation about 1870 it seemed necessary for the Government to encourage private industry through various forms of subsidy and to engage in business itself on a large scale; otherwise the economic development of Japan would have been much slower. Further, all Japanese civilization (for centuries completely feudalized) has a strong tendency to be paternalistic which naturally encourages the people to look to the Government for support to an extent unknown in many other countries. The management of the State enterprises appears to be good with the exception of the telephone which is abominable. The rail- ways are said to be profitable, though of course they rely upon the Government to obtain funds for a large part of their necessary capital expenditures. The tobacco monopoly shows a profit of Yen 140,000,000 a year and it is an important source of revenue. -Government ownership policy however is largely accountable for the increase in the Japanese public debt. It seems to be the general opinion in Japan now that the Government should not undertake any further extension of this policy, but adopt a policy of retrenchment. Undoubtedly this will come, but it is extremely difficult to alter quickly a policy which has existed for so long, and it may be some years before an obvious change takes place. For example, it is now being urged in some quar- ters that the Government should acquire the electric power industry and, to same extent, the electric light industry. crease in Japan's debt. Any such action would result in an enormous in- On the whole, however, it seems clear that serious doubts exist in Japan as to the wisdom of any extension of the Government business activities and that in time this opinion will become effective. The group of responsible bankers opposed to and men of affairs with whom we talked declared themselves as vigorously proposal just Digitized the for FRASER of their influence mentioned and as prepared to lend all the weight against it. Earthquake Reconstruction. About 60% of the reconstruction is said to be completed. The balance of thA,prorgamme estimates an expenditure of Yen 400,000,000which it is hoped will be met partly by taxation and partly from internal borrowings. any part of this by external loans. It is not intended to meet The work has been effectively done and the re- sults in the 'districts of Tokyo, Yokohama and surroundings are to the view of the foreign visitor remarkable. Few effects of the disaster are noticable in Tokyo, and probably in another year the same statement will hold true of Yokohama. Trade and Commerce. The recent financial panic has naturally resulted in some slowing down in trade and commerce. It has not affected it as much as might have been expected. The most serious problem for Japan is to reduce its adverse visible trade balance which has been steadily against the country since 1918, varying from a low point of Yen 337,000,000 to as high as Yen 725,000,000 in 1924. The excess of imports is now being materially cut down and for the current calendar year may be as low as Yen 300,000,000, a reduction of Yen 144,000,000 over 1926. in advance. This is a considerable step The effect of the disturbances due to the war in China has resulted in a general reduction in Japanese trade with China of about 20%, the loss occurring chiefly in the Yangtse Valley. If the excess of imports can be materially reduced during next year, Japan's foreign trade position should be fairly sound. The estimate of the rice harvest for this year is above the average, amounting to over 61,000,000 koku and is sufficient to provide for all Japan's requirements, though there will probably be some import of the lower grades of rice to balance the export by Japan of the higher grades. Japanese Opinion. The opinion of banking and industrial leaders in Japan i8 sound. They feel that the country should have gone thrcugh a period of drastic deflation in 1921; that as stated, the failure to do so was the chief cause of the banking troubles; now, however, that the worst of the banking panic is over they believe that the situation is http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ well in hand, and Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis that under the leadership of the Bank of Japan sound conditions -7- will be established. They realize fully the problems that must be met and agree in principle t at retrenchment in Government expenditures is necessary; that restriction of Government enterprises and subsidies is most desirable; that Japan should return to the cold standard as soon as possible. Whether the views of these leaders will prevail over political necessities is another question. Probably they have the influence to secure the adoption of their views in large part; indeed the leaders of the political parties profess to agree with these views in principle. Party politics, however, may Induce the Government to adopt measures for political effect which they know to be unsound, but in the long run it seems likely that the sound views of the leading men of Japan aught to prevail, although as in most countries they seem to have a certain timidity in fighting even unsound Government measures. jniversal Suffrage. Liany of the men to whom we talked expressed some concern as to the domestic pol- itical outlook because at the forthcominghational election Japan will finally pass from closely restricted to wide popular suffrage. They fear that the change may bring into political control men experienced in neither administration nor business to supplant the experienced and conservative governing class. An encouraging circumstance however is that elections in prefectures under the new electoral law have shown no radical or abnormal tendencies. Manifestly the country is changing rapidly from a feudal empire to a modern democracy, but the unity at these people of one blood en- courages one to believe that the chance will be effected without serious class strife. General Observations. Undoubtedly there are weak spots in the Japanese situation. Principally the added expenditure by the Government in the recent financial crisis and the tendency on the part of the Government to over-borrow for the purpose of the extraordinary bud- get, and certainly the country cannot repeat the experiment of guaranteeing commercial losses. It seems, however, that if the Government adopts a cautious policy, reduces the expenditures of the extri=ordinary budget, and restricts its activities in owning and subsidizing enterprises, the situation is sound at bottom. worst effects of the It is believed that the recent financial panic have been experienced and that the situation Is now in hand, and certainly it is in the best hands in Japan under the leadership of Covernor Inouye. over: No doubt some future setbacks will occur, but the worst seems to be The population of Japan is industrious, courageous and patriotic. Few countries have experienced in so short a time two such disasters as the great earthquake and the recent financial panic, aria a people which can meet both these situations in the spirit in which the Japanese have met them has great possibilities. And their ability to sur- vive them even though some unsound methods may have been adopted to meet the situation is proof of the toughness of the national economic life. ' X1AM.A. o Pt/t,, t, Special Advances by the Bank of Japan under Government Guaranty. Of the two laws relating to special advances by the Bank of Japan under Government guaranty to meet the situation caused by the panic this spring, the first provides that when any bank applies to the Bank of Japan for advances of funds needed for meeting the payment of deposits, the latter for the period of one year from the date of promulgation of the law is authorized to grant the required accommodations, even if the securities offered be otherwise than regularly admitted, and the Government guarantees to indemnify the Bank to the extent of 500 million yen, if any loss be incurred through such operations. The second provides that should it be deemed necessary by the Government for the purpose of preserving order in Taiwan or for the upholding of the country's credit abroad, financiAllinstitutions in Taiwan, whether banks or not, are allowed to approach the Bank of Japan for special accommodations during the next one year; such advances shall be made regardless of the securities, and if the Bank of Japan incur any loss through such operations the Government guarantees to indemnify the Bank up to the extent of 200 million yen. Thus, through the enactment of these two laws the Government undertook to compensate the Bank of Japan for the possible loss up to the total of 700 million yen in all. It was not, however, meant that these 700 million yen shall actually be lent out by the Bank, and if it should, it does not follow that there shall 2 - be an inflation of the currency to that same extent. This may be seen.-in the movements of the advances by the Bank of Japan and the note circulation in the following Bank return. The highest mark was attained on April 25, then the figures steadily declined, and to-day the circulation is brought down very close to the level of the same period of last year, mainly because of big deposits maintained with us, both Government and private. Included in the loans and discounts are our special advances under the said two laws, which amounted to some 290 million yen on October 10, 185 million yen having been advanced to the Bank of Taiwan under the second of the said laws. (In millions of yen.) Government Deposits. Private Deposits. 234 320 41 1,355 538 338 68 2,659 2,095 410 227 Apr. 25 2,037 1,484 436 226 30 10 1,599 1,223 476 368 May 1,392 1,049 378 20 492 11 31 1,426 991 488 233 11 1,266 868 447 290 June 10 20 1,329 841 434 231 11 30 1,464 810 394 130 IS 1,263 775 417 211 July 11 1,217 761 245 20 411 " it 1,332 874 400 217 30 1,230 869 532 204 Aug. 10 1,162 854 522 257 20 1,287 864 514 151 31 1,125 838 503 299 Sept.10 1,119 630 294 20 504 " 1,270 479 197 .30 862 " 1,185 847 492 259 Oct. 10 /927 Circulation. Loans & Discounts. Mar. 15 1,095 31 11 11 11 " Note 'it j? Cbc-h S Y Ft, R NORTH HAVEN, MAINE _ gt-C6.-raa- "Ai\ V-A.Aztul Cti C-Q NcEle it" (41. lAdt. eAlp1,-4-4 )4-,67: -77;t7W.A.e Lid Aug-uut 40. Dear Ton: I did not write you from abroad bout your Inencage to Dean. Jay bocatioe, I was getting home so soon and W,If.1 doing ae littas letter-titri-ting peezible; also I wwiteci to find out ift..rnt what to in regt,rd to that French decoration. i:.f"tcr Dean comu.nicated the y to you z).1-..:out moss%.80 ct& to rie I got tbe whole etory in Partstnd found that unlef.-,e there tz:as trerieue scruple:: at home it ,xould be .a voy unpolitio thing, for Ill 0 to deFfur or delay accpti.n.;-; it. I: ctz. explain nll of this more reaiIy vhe:-: I see you than in kritinc z,.e it :IAA, 1..ppef.::- to be dose of ritttery to my c'hu ego. 11-le fact is, tbe.." have attributed much or the succees of the progrsm to Lh. dv1c that I /gave them .,0 ye.r E,,,e;0 and to our cooperation here t the, ibara:. I have told them tht I thouht Uiy, ov;ed you and your colleagues LtEi in.1 Oh if not vore than an; one in the world, and I think they a1e6 feel that that 5.e true. lievvrtholeeL, the prosi.Cent or the Council determined to Co this and appeari-d to 1-..e kcen to co it. rib I am- writing you donee, if courz:e, wits confidentialy, to let you know that you can do vlatever you thth vile° ahout inquired of you. thir finnl arten.'or to '44'0 u7 0 r I much appro:ciato that you lire a diecTeot and c_.,:-0Z,21.e, uch Flatten:, and an grateful for the tact nith elich you have and I know till handle it all. 5.zbass6,6or in Ely best regards to you and Florence and to al tbo . you will havo a good rest. Sincerely yours, LT. Thom,g North L.,1 hope \ .1 .4. \ e cP kriA 't C-6 September 14, 1925 Dear Ben: I am starting off for a little holiday in the Adirondacks with my wife and daughter, and am wondering how you are getting on. Tom showed me a letter from your daughter saying that you were looking and acting very well and thinking of coming back in October. come sooner than is wise and sensible. Don't You are needed here, right enough, but needed so much that it isn't right for you to come until you are quite recovered. I have been having a grand time these two months and a half of playing at being a banker. Everybody,t just as kind as kind A helping ma to learn something about my new job. when you are back. Benjamin Strong, Esq. Cragmora Sanatorium Colorado Springs Colo. itiala,be It will he great fun February 15, 1924. Dear Russell: ' You have doubtless received John Pratt's letter of February 14, la regard to the engineering societies being associated with the activities of the Ludget Committee. Before replying I would like to ask your 1it4 of the pro similar suggestion or suggestions srose sometime ago,snd at the time 1. A ay opinion vas that the EuOget Committee was organized to devote its kAtention entirely to the es-curing of' sound budget legislation, Knd in tht connection possibly advocating a reorganization oz COvernment oepartments, but that it would not !sasociate itusli necessasily with any particular appeal or repre- sent :my particular interest. I cannot say thst my views about thet hsve changed, for it la undoubtedly the case *hat at once the bu4get organization becQmse associated either in the in of the ;ublic or of Congress sita th6 iatereem OT activitiss or Vitariii of any particular class or' business or of uny it subjects itself to the possibility of e misconstruction of its purses. Vion't you let me no frankly 4uot how you feel tbout it, and I will taen write John. Icurs sincerely, 'tr. L. C. Leffingwell, c/) MOdZ76. O. P. Aor8an 1 Co., 25 Wall St., Nie York, N. Y. BS. NN 2,5 Yeez e/ February 18, 1924 Dear Ben: I received your letter of Pebruary 15th. I feel as you indicate you do about John Pratt's plan to associate the engineering societies with the Budget Committee. I hae asked him to let me drop off the Board of Trustees of the Budget Committee because I do not feel that i can gi-re him either the time or the financial assistance which he ought to have from his trustees. As I am not in a position to help him carry on along the present lines, I do not feel much inclined to oppose any program which he has for solving his problem. Sincerely yours Benjamin Strong, Esq. 15 Nassau Street New York City ' / ?MOM February 19, 1924. Deer Eueeell: It wee e eurioue coincidence that imeedittely after our talk eesterday, Mr. McAdoo should have announced the plstform on which he would run fol the Freeidency, end that it should contain the following statement: *The Federel Feeerve plank readet 'To take the grip of Well Street off the Treteury Depertment and off the Federal Reserve eyetem; to restore to the people democratic, control of these greet finencia inetrueentelitiee an6 to have them oeerated in the intereet of the people, inEtetd of iv the intereet of privilege, as has been notoriously done for the pest four years. 'No eeli Street repreeentative, by resident or proxy, will be eut et the head of the Treeoury Depertment, er t the heed of the Federei Feeerve Board.' * Is this simply a. etatemeet of a demegogue oteo to eilline to lay aside his cenvictione in order to gain votes? Or ie Yr. Icedoo honestly convinced thet Sell Street hes secured 8 grip upon the Treasury Department and the Federal Feeerve System, ,ndthet they ere being operated in the interest of privilege? No one is so able to judge of this !As you ere. The roittions of this bunk /71A the Treceury Department, with the exception of a short period at the commencement of the war, ethen Mr. Crosby wee in charge, *ere almost entirely with you personally doen to the date of your resignation, end since that time until a very recent date, they eere entirely with your former etsociete to the Treesury, Mr. Gilbert. The implicatione of this etetement are ta-t since the commencement of the Republica Aminietretion-,of the Treaeury Department, Wall Street has domimted the Treasury end the Federal Reeerve Syetem; that the head of the Treteury Department it e .Wall Street repreeentAive; end thet the ctuel head of the Federal Reserve Board ie either a. Wall Street repreeentative or is dominnted by Tell Street. The implication is thet sore conspiracy or understanding has been arrived at beteeen soee of the men who have been administering the affairs of the Treasury and of the Federal Feeerve System since the Republican edministration took office, end CIA the affairs of both the Treesury end the Federal February 19 1924. No. 2 Reserve System have been prostituted "in the interest of privilege". Of course, there is no point at least at the present time in entering into h newspaper controversy because of these statements and implications. I hate that sort of thing just ae muoh as you do, but I would be right glad indeed to learn from you what your reaction is to this public statement by Mr. McAdoo, and whether you feel that it exhibits such qualifications as would entitle either you or me to vote for Mr. McAdoo to become President of the United Stated. Yours very truly, Mr. E. C. Leffing%ell, c/o Xeeare. J. P. Morgan & Co., 23 all St., Nec Iork, N. Y. BS.M10 a,23 Ytr,e,e,1- February 20,1924 Dear Ben: I received your letter of February 19th quoting from the McAdoo platform about the Treasury and the Federal Reserve system. I cannot believe that McAdoo personally is responsible for this utterance. Of course, it is buncombe, and would come with peculiarly bad gr&ce from McAdoo who himself put Wall Street men at the head of the Federal Reserve Board and the Treasury. / Ver Benjamin Strong, Esq. 15 Nassau_ Street New York City truly yours ACkNOW I ,EDOED MINI-9-1994 rl March 6, 1924 Dear Ben: I do not now favor the plan to set aside, or to report, 100% of the reserves as against Federal Reserve notes and the balance as against deposit liabilities -- although I did two years and a half ago. The best argument for this plan is that it would furnish a more sensitive index of the expansion and contraction of credit. But the plan suggests a distinction which is archaic and contrary to the weight of the enlightened economic opinion of the day, between the notes and the deposit liabilites of the Federal Reserve banks. Deposits are potential currency; and indeed, at least in this country where the system of payment by check has reached so high a development, deposits are currency. As a practical matter, if 100% gold cover were actually segregated against the notes, and, subsequently heavy demands were made upon our resources for requirements at home an abroad, with resulting expansion of credit, the ability of the Federal Reserve system to meet these demands might be seriously impaired. Expanding credit serves as a force-pump to draw out increased currency, (just as currency expansion increases deposits). If there were a high and rigid limitation on the note issue in relation to gold, it might become necessary to create emergency currency. I have no such love 2. for the old-fashioned expedient here of issuing clearing house certificates, nor for the old-fashioned expedient in England of issuing Bradburys, as to desire to see ourselves put in such a position. The war time experience in England and America furnishes a strong argument in favor of the American over the English method. Because of the practice of keeping nearly 100% reserve against Bank of England notes and leaving little margin for Bank of England de- posits, it was necessary for the British Treasury to issue currency notes or Bradburys. These have been sticking out like a sore thumb ever since, notwithstanding the progress which has latterly been made towards giving them substantial gold cover. It is desirable that the central banks should furnish an elastic currency. Elasticity means both ability to expand and ability to contract. It is a mis- fortune to have a situation such that when an emergency arises, the elasticity must be provided by an Act of Parliament or Congress. In England, in consequence, or partly in consequence of the habit of requiring substantially 100% gold cover for Bank of England notes, both the ability to expand to meet the needs of the war, and the ability to contract after the war, depended upon Acts of Parliament. In this country expansion and contraction were automatic. I gather, however, that it is not now intended really to segregate 100% gold against the notes, but merely to furnish a statement showing what the position would be if the gold were so segregated. The simple answer to that is that such a statement would not correctlzi reflect the facts or the law in respect to the reserves. It ought not 3. to need argument to show that banks should avoid issuing misleading financial statements. The assets of the Federal Reserve banks in fact should be available to respond to the demands made upon them whether for the redemption of currency or for the payment of deposit liabilities, indiscriminately. The statements of these banks should correctly reflect the facts in that respect and not falsify them. Very trul y"rs Benjamin Strong, Esq. 15 Nassau Street New York City I 4. - 4946101t 444 1P417. Ofr 44> March 7, 1924. Dear Suesell: Thank you very much for your letter of the 8th. I was convinced that you would see this matter exactly as I had and am delighted that you do. The copy of the leiter addressed to Dr. Miller that I loaned you is one of only twc or three spare copies that we have and as I need to use them occasionally I am gang to trouble you to return it.to me. With best regards, Yours sincerely, Mr. R. C. Leffingwell, c/o Messrs. J. P: !Wean & Co., 23 Wall St., New York City. BS.MM ,e5 34:// ACKNOWI EDGED LIAR 0 1994 vi S. March 8, 1924 Dear Ben: .1 received your letter of March 7th, and return herewith the copy of your letter to Dr. Miller. Many thanks for letting me see it. Very truly yrs Benjamin Strong, Esq. 15 Nassau Street New York City Enc. CuAL . _ . March 10, 1924. Dear Russell: Thank you for the return of copy of my letter to Dr. Miller, Which accompanied your note of March 8. Yours very truly, Mr, R. C. Leffingwell, 23 Wall street, Now York Cit. idtxe Jsnuary 8, 125. Personals My dear Ru,4se1l: I think it eies you uho ,.,sked me in regard to the status of the ruline, by the Comptroller of the Currency bit', to whether Section b200 of the l'x,vieedt tut.te a.pplied Ix) a nationai bank' e ouiner4hip of the ob1ittions of foreign governments,. Inquiry is being ra e in the bulk a S to what our records shots, but it mv.), necee.ry for moto LtiC e inquiry of the Coml,troller of the Currency when I sr next in 1,ieenington, ittic h *ill be on ::itt.turday :.)f this Tould ,±rouialind t:.dvininis me whether your request included a. request for me to maie inquiry. 'lours Finoer y, Mr. Ruteell /C. Leffingwell, 23 Wall Street, New Yoric Ci January 8, It)25. Pereonals My dear 1:c.use1l: I think it fi,aa you uho asked me in regard to the status of the ruling by the Comptroller of the Currency 6 to hether Section S230 of the e,.-,viced i.itatuttis awdlied 'au a national, bank' e tione of foreign governments. owner.tip of the Inquiry is being made in the bauk ae to what our records Oh° St, hut it mny be !lee t3 8 11.L.,1- y for me to zake inquiry of the Ccmptrollsr of the Currency when I er next in lisshington, wrich will be on Saturday of thts Tonic/ yt,u 111 ii a. request for ime to make inquiry. ale whether .yOUT Toure sincerely, Mr. iiur:eell IC. Laffingwell, 23 Wall Strept, New TIM City. request included February 23, 1925. Dear Busseli: Some years ago I proposed Mr. Guy Emerson for membership in the Down Town Acne:dation, t.he proposal 'being seconded by Mr. nerffiann Kinnicutt. The time seems to have arrived when it is desirable to tom QO lottors of encernenent on filo tith the secretary, and I am xriting to avic *hether you know Mr. Emerson %ell euough and are willing to %rite a letter ia his behalf. Yo.1 will recall that h ciii very notable for ue during the %ar in the Liberty Loan Organization. He was for some tie a vice presic:ent of tLe ctior.a1Earn: of Commerce, and is now a vice prssident of the Bankers Trust ComT)any. nankin' you, I beg to remain, Sinoerely yours, Russell U. Leffingeell, Esq., 40 J. P. Morgan Co., 23 Mall Street, Sztiv York. B8.1.4 ..., le COWALL PO+ s a - (.3 c- ,, ii 0ii E L ' Februmry ...I I >;' Lc, r 1.1... LI CD 40 ln \n,la itr-w .1) STREET I, 'it'4,vt CD 4t . ,10 925 CD CO Dear Ben: I received your letter of February 20th and have had pleasure in writing to the Down Town Club on behalf-of Guy Emerson. Sincere' ydurs (e1.9-1 Benjamin Strong, Esq. 33 Liberty Street New York City .6a. rf) March 31, 195. Dear aueeell: just received a note froll Stettiniva which I thought -pu might enjof reading. !Anoarely yours, C. Leffingwell, Eq., ke, tall Ur-bet, R. New fork City. C. B5.6 23 'r/Z,cr/a ee GY),-;?-d April 1, 1925 Dear Ben: Many thanks for letting me see Ed's letter, which I return herewith. Also many thanks for the most amusing newspape'r paragraphs which came in from you a week ago. I had a good chuckle over them,and should hare acknowledged them before. Benjamin Strong, Esq. 33 Liberty Street New York City Eric. Go 3OVERNOR'S OFFICE I I ty?2 1925 RECEIVED I 1, I IA I I / " 4a_tc: cet 11,11--r% 4 Confidential April 21, 1925. -40 THE SITUATION IN FRANCE There are in this world many curious things, and one of them is this: Before the War the internal debt of France amounted to a little over 34,000 millions, or, as we say, 34 "billions," offrancs, the equivalent in our money of a little under 7 "billions" of dollars. debt of France is about 280 billions of francs; - At the present time the internal and, stated this wise, this seems a colossal increase. But these 280 billions are in paper francs, worth today in gold only a little over five cents, or in round figures something like 14 billions of our gold dollars. On this basis then the actual internal debt of France, in consequence the War and the vast expenditure since the War, has only just about doubled. of In the same period the debt of the United States Federal Government has risen from around one billion dollars to about 22 billions of dollars, or somewhat more than twenty times. And to all this is to be addeA an enormous increase, especially since the War, of local debt, municipal, county, and State. But all this is speaking as if the gold dollar of today meant the gold dollar of 1913. As a matter of fact, our index of the General Price Level, or average of all payments, is now 80 per cent above the 1913 base, or at an index figure of 180; which means that the average purchasing power of gold now as con- pared with 1913 has depreciated 45 per cent. The gold dollar of then is worth 55 cents now. Let us apply this to the figures of French debt. If this dett on July 31, 1914, three days before the War broke, was worth in gold something like 6,800 millions of dollars, this would correspond to a debt in gold of about 12 billions now. On a gold basis then, taking the present value of gold in countries like the United States and Great Britain, the internal debt of France now is only a slihtly greater relative burden. than when the War broke out. 2 be But perhaps this is too severe a test. France. about Let us take the internal value in The average purchasing power of the franc in France today is reckoned at 1/5 of what it was before the War. In other words, the average of all kinds of prices is about five times that of 1913. On this basis the 34 billion francs of internal debt of France in 1914 would be the equivalent of about 170 billions of paper francs now. If we reckon the present actual total at 280 billions, then in terms of the average purchasing power of the franc the burden of the present internal debt is a little more than 1/3 higher than when the War broke out, lind it is to be noted that it is the internal debt alone which has given the Uovernment of France any difficulties. Thus far it has not been concerned in the least with its external debt. But in the ten years and more that have intervened since the War started, arid especially in the six and a half years since the War closed, the commercial and industrial situation of France has greatly changed, and for the betters The generous partitions of the victorious statesmen awarded to her rich domains of iron ore, potash, and other valuable materials so that in so-called natural wealth France is today much better off than before. Foreover, these six and a half years have been for France a time of unquestioned if somewhat forced general prosperity. It has expended enormous sums in rebuilding so that as a whole it is estimated that the destructions of the War have today been more than made good, especially in the sense that obsolete machinery and buildings and industrial methods have been replaced by new machinery, new buildings, and much improved industrial methods. Taking into consideration her added territories and the wealth they have brought, the real income of the people of France, fully employed as they have been, must be now considerably greater than in 1914; conceivably by at least one third. In a sense then even if the present debt in paper francs represents the equivalent of one third more than the internal debt of 1914, relative to income and taxable 1.) 3 ----power apparently the present debt is but little, if it is any, greater than when the -,dar began. Nor is this all. The total internal debt of France at the close of the War was reckoned at about 177 billions of paper francs, as against about 277 last July 1, and a little more than that now. The 100 billions and more that have been added since the War closed have not gone for uselegs pOwder and cannon or the support of soldiery, but very largely for reconstruction and improvements. The huge expenditures have meant full time employment for practically all her people and in the main this money has been collected from her people as a whole and spent within her territories for the national benefit. In these same years practically every other great commercial nation has undergone a severe and in some cases protracted period of industrial and commercial stagnation, greatly reducing the income of their peoples. Great Britain especial- ly, and the United States and Germany and the Norwegian States and Japan have all suffered in greater or less degree. The in- But practically Franca has had none. -:rease of her debt has been merely a convenient and easy means of taxation. It is true that in this same period her floating debt has considerably increased, from about 54- billions to around 70 billions. But this increase would represent only about 300 million dollars at present rates of exchange. This is not much more than 1/(1 of tha total tax collected by our Federal Government each year. In a word, viewed from the outside, the financial difficulties of the French Government seem greatly overdra-m, The difficulty would appear to be main- ly of the sort described in that vague and beautiful word "psychology." In the 'last three years tha cost of living in France has been steadily rising, from a little over three times the :rewar days to something like five times. While in other countries the cost of living has been for the most part declining steadily, in France it has been going up, with the same doe; social disturbance and bitter feeling against "profiteers" and other shameless recipients of the public bounty, IA I 4 110 that always attend. inflation. For inflation it has obviously been, even though this has not been disclosed in the nominal figures. The nominal circulation of the Bank of France had been reduced to 35 billions of francs in March of 1922, At the last account it was 43 billions or less than 1/4 higher. but this cannot disclose the real increase, because the general level of prices does not rise by 66 per cent in three years without a correspondingly powerful leverage underneath. Meanwhile, a desperate pother has been raised because the Bank of France since sometime last year has exceeded the legal note issue by some three billions of francs, or around 150 millions of dollars at current exchange: It is signifi- cant of the exaggerated state of nerves that this excess issue should have aroused so much attention, While apparently little or none is being raid to the real underlying difficulty. That difficulty apparently is the shaky condition of Governmental finance, and this appears to be due largely to the inability of the succeeding Ministries to gain tha support of the French people to an increase in taxation sufficient to provide for them a solvent government. And this distrust in turn seems to be due largely to the reckless methods of finance which each successive ministry has pursued: In Germany in the short space of much less than a year we have seen the extraordinary results from the adoption of sane financial methods. It will be interesting now to see what may be achieved by a Finance Minister who understands finance, and who is even reputed to have a working knowledge of bookkeeping and accountancy, 23 WI/ tc1011) 1A-eW-- 3 e/ge-Wo-4 "25 May 26, 1925 Dear Ben: I return herewith the memorandum you gave me a month ago about the situation in France. I am ashamed to have kept it so long. The second paragraph of the memorandum states that, allowing for the depreciation of paper francs, the internal debt of France has only about doubled in consequence of the war, while the debt of the United States has increased somewhat more than twenty times. One can't take that sort of thing very seriously. The depreciation of the paper franc, though in one sense it has cut down her internal debt, has been a calamity, not an advantage for France. I don't take any stock in the get rich-quick theory that Germany and France in varying degrees by inflating their currencies and thus scaling their internal debts, have somehow en1 hanced their financial and economic strength. To rob French creditors to relieve French debtors may be social justice, but it is hard to see how it can add anything to the sum total of French wealth. Furthermore, the present situation of France is not better, worse, because of the fact that her debt before the war was very great and very burdensome. Ibut The present situation of the United States is not worse, but better, because of the fact that her debt before the war was very small . 'EDERN 11A925 Fig GOVERNOR.. 10 .1 'OFFICE 2 At the bottom of page two of the memorandum, the statement ^".111 occurs that the real income of the people of France, fully employed as they have been, must be now considerably greater than in 1914, conceivably by at least one-third. What if anything France's territorial gains may prove to be worth to her, I don't know, and I guess nobody knows. But her loss of millions of lives, destroyed impaired, not to mention the devastation of industrial France, is a real economic loss'of immeasurable importance. The conjecture that Ior France is richer for the war is contrary to all the probabilities. The first paragraph of page three conveys the impression that the fact that French Government expenditures since Armistice have gone largely into reconstruction in some way inured to her advantage. But isn't the fact just the other way around? These ex- penditures have gone only to replace things destroyed in the war, and the net gain to France is precisely nil. People in England and America and most of the other countries of the world have been at work since Armistice on new construction and production. The diversion of French labor from new construction and production to reconstruction necessary, but when the job is completed it will only put France back where she was before and where England and America were on Armistice day. Iwas The argument of the memorandum involves a common enough economic fallacy. The same argument would imply that some- how or other Japan was better off for the earthquake which gave her people a lotrf work to do in reconstruction; or that our'English friends have been rather stupid not to burn up their factories and GOVERNOR'S OFFICE RECEIVED JUN1 o I. i144 / r 'EDERAL RESERVE BANK 3. CTI flood their mines. It offers such a simple soluti'on of the unemployment problem: !-) From all of which you will infer that I do not think much of the memorandum. However, I enclose herewith a memoran- dum which deSanchez has prepared, for me commenting on it in more detail. My own opinion is that, though France has suffered greatly in the war and in an effort to repair the damage done during the war, she is at last turning the corner, and her situation now is much better than m st people think. Ver Benjamin Strong, Esq. 33 Liberty Street New York City Enclosures tr/ly yours GOVERNOR'S RECEIVED OFFICE ata oF JUN 7!. 1925 I) BANK RESERVE -EDERAL Memorandum for Mr. Leff ingwel 1 The true measure of any burden of public indebtedness is the proportion of the citizens' revenue which the State demands in order to meet the annual service charges on this indebtedness. To say that the French internal debt in 1913 was $7,000,000,000 and. that at the current rate of exchange the ores ant debt is equal to only 14,000,000,000 is true. To measure the increase of the French public indebtedness by the increase in the debt of the Federal Government of the United States from $1,000,000,000 to $22,000,000,000 in the same period is to make use of false .analot7 since a public indebtedness of $7,000,000,000 in Frame in 1913 was probably a 'greater burden for the French people than is a debt of $22,000,000,000 for the people of the United States now. In attempting to compute the value of the present debt of France and the United States in terms of gold of the pre-war value use is made of an index figure of 180. By what pro cess the use of this figure was decided upon is not stated. The index figure of the United States Labor Board in 1924 averaged only about 155 % of the 1913 level. The United States Labor Board index is considered. by most American, English and European economists to be the most accurate available for the United States and one of the most accurate in the world. If its index figure be accepted the gold dollar has suffered not a 45% but about a 34% depreciation. 77hatever method of calculation be adopted, it is probably a mistake to a.ttervt to prove that the present paper franc debt in terms of pre-war gold does not represent a relatively greater burden for the French people than did. the public indebtedness in 1913. For if the actual tax receipts in 1924 be converted into gold. -2- of the pre-war value on the basis of the Labor Board's index it will be - seen that the tax burden has increased by 26.1%. In the meantime the cost of maintenance of the navy, the var and the civil departments other than the Department of Finance has been ncluced, the add iti onal revenue being v/holly devoted to the carrying charges on the public debt. It is, of course, impossible to measure accurately the national income of any state. The average of six estimates made in 1913 by three French, two English and one German economists* gives a figure of 40 billion francs for the national income of France in 1912. Over of this sum was then required to carry the burden of public indebtedness. This percentage did not include provision for adequate sinking funds on the bulk of the perpetual deb t. Caillaux's original intention in introducing the income tax in France was to devote the proceeds derived from this tax to the reduc- tion of the public debt. Post-war estimates of the national income of France are /iable to an even greater margin of error than those made in the pre-war period of currency and price stability. While it is true that the Versailles Treaty restored Alsace-Lorraine to the French, it is hardly safe to assume that this restoration has compensated for the losses suffered by the French through the destrixtion of plant and property in Northern and Eastern France. It is necessary to recall the fact that during the four years of actual hostilities the riches t industrial area of Frarr e (from which was drawn about 75% of her pre-war industrial output) was occupied by the enemy and that all inc one formerly derived from this area ceased. Again, in 1913, although the French had an actual adverse trade balance of nearly $300,000,000, they invested abroad 4T4')0,000,000 as the result of favorable credit items on international 1 account. By far the most important itEm in this account was * Gide, Thierry, Rauch,- Stamp, Carman and Lichtenberger. 3 the bulk of Intl ich the income derived from previous foreign 'nye s en ts , Prac tic al ly were in Rtrsi a, Central, Balkan and 'ear-Eas tern Europe. bad the whole of these investments must for the present be considered as The present debts. They have produced no income for nearly ten years. $60,000,00C .*- revenue of the French from investments abroad can hardly exceed Furthermore recons traction of the devastated areas was only completed felt in the vzi thin the past year and its effect cannot yet have been fully recalled that every income of the people as a whole. It should also be a holder of internal bonds purchased before August 3, 1914, has suffered Considering loss of 4/5 of the income which this bond formerly produced. not the losses and gains of the French in the past ten years, it does to accept the estimate of the Financial Secretariat of t he seem unreasonable League of 7Tations , an es timate accepted by the experts of the French a real income of the French people in 1923 of Finance, that the about equalled their real income in 1913. On the and probably in 1924 I::inistry the basis of this estimate the French last year made .a contribution to gold francs ) of thei r State of somewha t over 5.5% (2,300 mill ion pre-war national inc an e for the purpose of carrying the service charges of the public deb t. The French public debt has obviously reached proportions which the part of the taxpayer beyond those which have require sacrifices on Considering the large rercentage of the debt which is floating debt, confidence in the handling of the public finances is imperative. The lack of confidence which the French people management of the public have recently displayed in the Gov eminent ' s they have finances is based on their gradual realization of the fact that already been 'demanded of him. *Estimate of the French Ministry of Finance. -4- not escaped increased taxation but that this increased taxation has taken the most ineouitable arid destr-xtive form that taxation can take, that of inflation. The achievement of a balanced budget, the funding of the floating debt, and the revaluat ion of the franc are not ins ol vable problems. Their solution, however, continues to depend primarily upon competence and courage in the administration of the 7.Iinistry of Finance. April 28, 1925. J. A. '1. de Sanchez. June 4, t.)25. Dear iussell: .1 uia not EA ei.I.11 to burden you with ritin a lon,-; letter t,onaicnttri on that French megic.)randult; nd I do not now at to burden you with a lune, letter tu eeac. commentin8 on your letter'. But there are two or three ..-tatemento in your letter whi ch I think on further no idrutIon you iniht an*t, vy uol, t soave:1i en t. o pu ni rcvie, ,s,ne, t, to hu,vc another. talk with you about it. You and your aeaociates are eo coneiderably 14terested in that situation that I oelive it, kouirlb uuui.O.:: fjti peruonefly held firaly to the c,onvitLiou that the Loprecistion n tne 2hpf:r franc aid not very 6,re.i.tly ii..ihten the Lurdan è1 tte internal debt of the French GO V es r FAI Other iereJ, hut consequences of infia4loa, 01 oouIsc:, muutb point of view of the French ii a, particularly iron, uruen o. te uowe,:tiu 1 been io.eatly elta66ierateta iu the jub1Iumind. Sincerely, 23 de11 Street, ,*T1 Y'Yrk. November 2, 1925 Dem- Mr. Leifingwell: Confirming my talk with your secretary over the telephone thin morning, I should 1,9-,:rocite your eendin (over your rir,) the accomptinu cable from GovPrnor Strong to S. Parker Gilbert. Faithfully yours, E. 0.4SE, Deputy Governor. Mr. R. C. Leffingwell, C/o Messrs. J. P. Morn & Co., 2$ Wall Street, New York, N. Y. f i.acylotquM Vac vaarceiP as nalq eAT Novedber 2, 1925. 01A OW las 4/4a4sb at Ova welt 0 Dear Bui.sell: ebco Ivo% ;ossid *alit 0.0 Please accept my thanks not only for strranging to get the message from Gilbert to ma, but for your kind, nests in having a reply sent over your wires in code. In these matters it is most helpful to avail myself of your kind offer. As I as obliced to have the message telephoned to New 'fork for trans- mission to you, I want to confirm it herewith* "Cable 83983 October 31 through J. P. Morgan and Company transmitted to Strong in Washington Who sends following reply "Various protests have been made to Department objecting to letter and raising question as to its wisdom and propriety. Schacht is here cooperating in effort to develop a new plan by which discrimination in German State and Munioinal borrowings will be effected in Germany under wenervision of Beratuags...Stelle. The plan seams satisfactory in Washington so fax and we are awaiting preparation of procedure in detail. Will write imlediately on return to New York." irvaG Will you be good enough to ask your code department to send a bill to Miss Bleeoker? Sincerely, al semaw Icifse Sie to bmti. st ehacFiecra o* no!se.,tm 10,1we.xen: R. C. LAffihgwell, Esq., Allrotd4 o* be*Ilm Antmclio/ c$ obAsm aslam be hqcmq boa tle anl slab daidw 23 wall Street, New fork City. NoveMber 2, 1925. Dear Mr. Cases To confirm the cables telephoned to New *fork for trancmission to Kr. S. Parker Gilbert through 3. P. Morgan a Co. in their code and to Governor Norman, under our own usual confidential safeguards I an attadhing the original draft. When it has served your purpose, will you please return it to my office, A direct confirmation has gone to Messrs 3. P. Morgan & Company. Very truly yours, Case, Zsq., Deputy Governor, Yederal Reserve Bank, 33 Liberty Street, New York. segolo0 °Al/v1.17W24 November 4, 1925 Dear Ben: I received your letter of November 2nd. The cable was sent Monday, and I send you hereWith a copy as it was'received and sent. It seems to check with the text of your letter except for two apparently immaterial clerical errors. Very trul Si Benjamin Strong, Esq. Federal Reserve Board Washington, D. C. Enclosure yours 1-75M-9-23 el-61 444,, &) FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK FFICE CORRESPONDENCE DATENovember 19, 1925 192 s,,BLLGIAN NEGOTIATIONS - PRIVATE OM Benj. Strong As a matter of record: After the directors meeting today (November 10, 1925) I explained in some detail to Mr. Young the exact position of the Belgian negotiations. He stated that he regarded it as most important that J. P. Morgan and Company and the Guaranty Trust Company should understand that we had not in any way withdrawn from our position that we desired to help, even though the circum- stances, principally those having to do with the budget, had somewhat changed the form or character of the transaction now being considered, or found to be possible. Thereupon I called Mr. Leffingwell on the telephone and stated to him that I was anxious that there should be no misunderstanding about the position of the Federal Reserve Bank. That we had been considering a plan for Belgium under which it Was our hope to buy $5,000,000 of bills from the National Bank, or even more if the situation justified it; preferring that we should do so in cooperation with other banks of issue in Europe, so as to additionally strengthen and fortify the Belgian monetary position. That the - - criticism by J. P. Morgan and Company and the Guaranty Trust Company of the Belgian budget was a subject which naturally arose between them and the Belgian Government, with which we were not dealing, and of that they must be the judges. But that notwithstanding what they had learned and stated about the budget, I did not agree with them that the position was such as to justify withholding. In fact, that on some of the poirts as to the budget, I thought the position they had taken was not wholly well founded, and, therefore, I did not want to be understood as assenting to it; and that our attitude in regard to assistance C .1 1 :. 13 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK CO''F10E CORRESPONDENCE To FROM DATE SUBJECT November 19, 1025 Belgian Matters 192 Private 2 Benj. Strong by the Federal Reserve Bank remained unchanged, notwithstanding the views they had expressed. That I was proposing to send a cable to the Bank of England this evening, outlining our position. (see cable 28) This was the substance of a considerably longer talk, in the course of which Mr. Leffingwell explained that he had greatly modified the terms of the cable which I bad seen in their office, and to which I had objected. He said that if it were possible to get it prepared he would show it to me before I left. At about 6:45 p. m. be called me up to say that the Cable had only then been completed, with many changes, and that every objection I had made to the earlier cable had been eliminated, and that he was careful not to say anythirg that would appear to commit me to their conclusions; to me theist of part of the cable. (copy since received) and repeated Thereupon I gave his the substance of our cable (#28). In the course of my earlier talk, Which I repeated in the later talk, I said that I could not refrain from stating that I thought it was a mistake to send anything like a final expression of views until after the Friday meeting in London, nor, indeed., did I see how it was possible for them to decline assistance based upon criticisms of the Belgian budget until they had personally had opportunity to get an answer from the Finance Winister as to the points criticized. Furthermore, that my own feeling remained unchanged, as expressed in cables sent to Governor Norman and his cables to me, that we could not just now afford to see the Belgian monetary situation break down. 23 WY/ June 27, 1927 Miss H. S. Bleecker Federal Reserve Bank New York City Dear Hiss Bleecker: Following are the various officers of the National Budget Committee as listed in February 1925: Trustees John W. Davis -R. C. Leffingwel15-3 v Samuel McCune Lindsay John T. Pratt I/ Benjamin Strong t"11,4A /Paul M. Warburg 5-4.6_1_4 Officers John T. Pratt, Chairman Samuel McCirne Lindsay, Vice-Chairman SJ, V. Henry L. Stimson, Treasurer ,C,A,A,LA-41 /Wm. M. Chadbourne, Secretary A dato1114 atyw V Directors A. Arnold, Seattle, Wash. John P. Burke, Los Angeles, Cal. Nicholas Murray Butler, ul. c -.Y. 'City William M. Chadbourne, N.Y. City Charles G. Dawes, Chicago, Ill. Walter S. Dickey, L'ansas City, Mo. A. B. Farquhar York, Pa. H. Fries, Winston-Salem, N.C. Leroy Hodges, Andrew J. Peters, Boston, Mass. Richmond, Va. Frank O. Lowden, Arthur N. Pierson, Westfield, N.J. Oregon, Ill. W. Norris, Henry L. Stimson Philadelphia, Pa. N.Y. City Albert L. Ordean, Frederick S. Whitwell, Duluth, Minn. Boston, Mass. Very truly yours A_ eYre,,,,?-Y,04 June 28, 1927 Dear Ben: I received your letter of June 27th, with the enclosed resolution about John Pratt, for which many thanks. I am glad you are writing to the other National Budget Committee members. I am grateful to you for your initiative in the whole matter. Benjamin Strong, Esq. Governor, The Federal Reserve Bank 33 Liberty Street New York City kr\ September 27, 19 27. Deer Russell: Thank you for sending me the enclosed. The project of Sater come over wi,.;.8 augiseetsd on our jachtings, etruck me as excellent in every way. I ao not see hot Le can bet e. first hand appreciaticn of the problEm/s which we discui)sed then of us from now ont,eacvt by such a rind which till be before visit end, of course, there was a ;:!elfish point of view in my on dewire to have a chance for talk WI him. But I can understand the difficulty, and have not thought of pressing it. Sincerely yours, Er. h. C. Leffingwell, 23 Nall Street, New York City. BS/RAH enc. September 27, 1927. Deta. Russell: tiank you for 3:.incilrit; MT the enclobed. The project of havinti, Salter come ov,-.A. 4-8 aug,sest.a-ci on our yachting trip, an,. struck- at as excellent in ev3ry y. I co nGt eee bO firet hand appreniatical of th:.: problems which w ie can et 1iouied then and v,hiat. Aill be before all of us from no* on,..,ace,pt, by such a visit and, of course, th..!re was deeire to have a chcnce for ltith point of view in my own talk with him. But. I can understand the difficulty, v.nd have not thought of pre,sing it. Sincerely yours, Er. h. C. Leffingivell, 23 Nall Street, New York City. BS/Ftgi enc. 2 Y//,e (i6 e November 11, 1927 o Dear Ben: I received your letter of November 9th, with the enclosed copy of Mrs. Pratt's letter. grateful to you for letting me see it. I am very I was fond of John and greatly admired the enthusiasm and tenacity with which he stuck to the budget idea until he put it across. Benjamin Strong, Esq. 33 Liberty Street New York City November 14, ISM. Deer Russell: I accept with pleasure your invitation to sit at your table during the dinner of the -loademy of Politicel Science on Friday evening of this 'oeex. Sincerely yours, Mr. R. C. Leffingsell, 23 Ian Street, or City. trr S.S. "Minnetonka", December 10, 1927. PERSONAL Dear Russell: The week.-end book was a ten-strike. Some of those sonnets and poems are really gems, and I have just finished reading them all, but I have not sung the songs, for reasons which I believe you will understand. It was most thoughtful of you to send me this little gift and the good wishes which accompanied it, and if I can "come home with the bacon" I will be more than satisfied. Norman cables that Stringhar reaches London tomorrow. We will get in Monday afternoon, the 12th, so I expect the party will be finished and I shall be able to get back home before the first of Jan- uary. Best regards to you and to the family uptown, as well as your partners downtown, and a very merry Christmas to you all. Sincerely yours, Mr. R. C. Leffingwell, 23 Tell Street, New York City. DS:II Fetes Park, Col., August 24th, ky dear Jack: It Was very good of you to telegraph me and I was g to be able to send a favorable report about my;Jvn progress. Dr. Sewall is quite me out here for some time. ,It in too bad that the failed to cover the present encouraging, b tl expects to keep n 4nt to the 0 Knowing the temper of Con. present/pos // ayten Act n regard to the admisoio of trust companies and state ba gress as at condition ar that no effort to amend the 1 Clayton Act in thii, respect w4uUi succeed, at any rate at t.is session. v,5,1nliou ( Nelovi)er so muc difficulty in agreeing ___-- pproporiatio *ills, in fact, Congress is so cloc; with ipIortnt 1 ' lation that there see)Is some doubt of the upon th10( Pr- i nibus b akin4i,dortain serve Act. be done em. necessary amendments in the Federal Re. It may be that at the December sesoion something cm and with that in view I am going to prepare a little bri, outlining the difficulty and recommending some amendments in con. aection with which I would like right tttat may occur to you. well to have any suggestio I hope very much that Billy Porter continues to improlr It wue a great shock to learn of his illness and no one realize more than I what a lose it must be to you and your partners. With warmest regards to you all, I am, J. P. 'organ, flee., 23 Iall Street, New York City. Faithfully yours, PERSONAL AND CONFIDENTIAL. EstesPaY4, C01., AkitiV/ii 31 et,, 1916. 5T1 Dear Jack: it will soon be five months since I wnprin London dis- cusuing the with the I preliminary outline of our propose arrangements Bank of England, and have no diiiitt-tha Nord Cunliffe and his associates may now be wo,s4;f-i-iihether matter, particularly, possibilty of a final conclusi n as they know that I am in ill i I an writing to advii*Kiou inquiry should be d 'the te is any orado. On that Account, two of the matter in case de of you.) On-myret\omJ4,Ipe, the following things had to be don01144fore it was possible to make any move towards start- ( 1 ing thA rrangemenit)in operation: It/The Federal Reserve Act had to be amended reserve banks to purchase bills having 90 days to run, "exclusive of days of grace," (the words qufted not appearing in the statute in Section 14, under wnich we get our power to buy for- so sa_ter'authorize eign bills). A second amendment was desirable authorizing us to receive deposits and act as correspondents for, banking institutions which we appointed as our (Otherwise correspondents in foreign countries. any funds held for such institution would have to be in the form of earmarked gold.) it was necessary to obtain the approval of the Directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. It was necessary to of the Federal Reserve Board. obtain the consent of -2To J. P. Morgan, Esq. Aug. 31, 1916. It was probably necessary to get some sort of approval or disclaimer of interest from the State Department. It was necessary to formulate some plan by reserve banks could operate together under the direction of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. which all 12 of the The status of the above matters is at present as follows: 1. I am just advised that the amendment as to days of grace has been incorporated in he recommendations made by the Conference Committeel f the House and Senate, end if correct, the ame dment will undoubtedly pass at that is this session. The same applies tec-tire---tumen to our receiving accounts for foreign i The Director/of New York have approve I ent in regard itutions. Federal Re erve Bank of the p The Federal ve Board has unanimously consented tortate-pIccn, / Department/. action e schem tte ye eon taken by the State or management of the account has been lai6 out and I Ink will be'-tdopted, subject to modifications in e 12 d'erme---4frnke etailu. will will be ti her from the above that if, as I anticipate aiwt/he final necessary approvals are received and the bill now before Congress is signed by the President, it will become possible for us to actually put the arrangement into effect some time this year. On account of your relations with the bank in New York, as well as ybur part in the negotiations in London, it seems de- sirable that you should be fully posted as to this matter, and if the progress you think the situation justifies in it, possibly To J. P. Morgan, you would Aug. 31, 1916. 7. .ect. be willing to cable or write Lord Cunliffe indicating that progress is being made, although it has necessarily been Blow. doubt if the bank in New York will be disposed to undertake transactions, notice and approval of which must first be conveyed to the Board in Washington, without my giving an unqualified recommendation to do so, and outlining somtwhat the character of the bills to be purchased. Before don so, 1 want the best*inttns 1 can get 1 jraw-louilljr 1 in regard to rtified the sterling exchange position in for.--turat\ Fan* /' - As nearly as I can47 \\ ,---- her, \ e present mport point of d ,407 and I am going to give z pre'So t exchange situation, asking gold ia-lomewhere between $44 you my best guessa .16-1 you if you willcret it ! to do so and give. far you feel able and willing ( your colOa viewe as to what may transpire this Fall. surmip that France now has a total credit in New York ked, cr d by the recent loan of $100 000,000 and by various oigizerial credits of which I have been advised, 04I also surmise that gregating possibly $100,7)00,000 in all. the proceeds of the sale of the English notes togetter with the unused t50,000,000 bank credit gives England a total drawing account in New York to-day of 300,000,000, not counting some of the gold recently imported and which I judge has not yet found its way into bank reserves. I would, also, suppose that England has unused but available, American and (her securities Aug. 31, 1916. J. P. Morgan, Esq. To which can be converted and used as collateral in this market, amounting to anywhere from $100,000,000 to t200,000,000. I would, also, assume that Russia had considerable credits here as to the amount of which I would not hazard a guess. let um say, that In all, there is $500,000,000 available, possibly more, This is, of course, a magnif- for us to meet the Fall demands. icent preparation but still I have some doubt whether it will be sufficient to meet the enormous demands which willflertainly be made upon us during the present period of the off and possibly,th-preparing for -Thin:e more extee-i_ye if, as I surmise, these three nati movement, ent next year '\.to contin 111( he volume which the our raw materials, etc., in anyl\ Government reports iive indicatsA_, Ita o, seems likely that there , Fall and at pretty sub- will be a large movemeyrt of calOon t, view of t ) above, which I admit is large- stantial prices. t me,41.fied my feeling that the I h ly suppos eets ofA4r banks and our merits the Ban,k/hif / inter- exporters may require that the arrange- England -,sAuld'very much be put into operation this Fall. appreciate your writing me, in 'confi- donee, if necessary, the best expression of your own views wnich you can give me. Of course, we would not undertake the purchase of ex- change, except at some margin below the gold import point, and I would appreciate also the best calculation you can give me of the cost of gold an American bank. , imported from England at the present time by independent, of course, of the operations of To Aug. 31, 19164 3. P. Morgan, Esq. the British Government where special facilities and special ar rangemente for transportation may be made which would result in a cost quitf different from that applying to the cost to an Am- erican bank. Please pardon this long letter, but I am so far from home and out of touch with matters that I need the best mation you can send me before going any further i hope you are well. Unfortunatety,1 up for the past week, but hope to be artrun-dagai My warmest regards Sin J. P. Morgan 23 Wall qtt New Yory?ity. B3/VOU Pvt., to/46ly our pnrt infor- ith our plans. have been laid n a few days. 0 Wr7-e&bif * c27)6v- 0-4 September 7, 1916. Dear Ben: I have been very much interested in your letter of August 31st. In regard to your summing up of the exchange situation, you are a little short of various facts, owing to your absence: First - The French have spent pretty well all the money they have here. There are some commercial credits, and they hope to make more, which vfill give them perhaps forty or fifty million dollars if they get them; but the French exchange situation is not as good as you put it in actual dollars, but has been much bettered by the recognition on the part of England that they have got to help out if necessary. In regard to British credit, to say. it is more difficult They had made short time and call loans here for a considerable amount, to pay off which was the first use made of the recent $250,000,000. transaction. bank credit has been used. The 50,000,000. On the other hand, they are at the moment shipping vast amounts of gold, which you guessed rightly has not yet entered the bank reserve situation. amounts to some seventy odd millions so far advised. This England has a larger amount of possible collateral than you have figured on, but to what extent I do not know. I think the gold importing point is now somewhere 2 0 about 4.75*, owing to cost of freight and the large insurance. The British Government does not intend to allow exchange to go far below this, and I think it will succeed in this attempt, in which we all wish to help as much as possible. That being the case, however, your operation will really have to take the shape of an interest operation, more than an exchange operation, although there may be a substantial rise in exchange in the spring. The requirements for raw materials show no signs of falling off, and they evidently expect the war to go on for another year. is now 0, to bills. advise. On the other hand, the Bank of England rate which may influence you;in the decision in regard I do not think that it is worth while for me to If the Federal Reserve Bank is going to take any steps under your arrangement, I should think a month or six weeks from now would be quite time enough to do it, by which time we Should be able to measure the question of domestic demand for money. So far as I see now, that demand is much less than ever before at this time of the year, owing to the Western and Southern banks being extremely flush of money. For your information, a New Orleans bank, which ordinarily at this time of the year borrows all it can get from its New York correspondent, requested that New York correspondent to lend some money for it at 90 days, and 6 months (this about two weeks ago). That is only an indication, but it is a pretty strong one to my mind. 0 I am, personally, very well, but much concerned to hear you have been laid up. Please telegraph me when you get this letter that you are better. For your confidential information, Davison is now on his way to London, and I shall follow him in about two or three weeks. I am, naturally, not saying very much about It as yet, but it will give me an opportunity of seeing Cunliffe, and I can impart your mind to him, if you wish me to do so. All going along very well here, and the English Loan has been a tremendous success. We are much encouraged by it. With best regards and wishes for your prompt recovery, I am, Yours very sincerely, Benjamin Strong, Esq., The Lewiston, Estes Park, Colorado. lirri APR2 1913/3 THE LIBRARY EAST 36Th STREET karch 29, 1917. NEW YORK you have such a plan do let us see if we can't carry it out. Dear Ben: With all good wishes for your continued progress towards health, I am, Yours very sincerely, I was glad to get your letter of Uarch 16th, and to see from it how thoroughl well you are getting on. I wish very much that you could be here (more than I can begin to tell you in a letter); particularly, as perhaps the bank- ing fraternity here in New York might be Benjamin Strong, Esq., 4100, Liontview Boulevard, Denver, Colorado. able, through your position with the Federal Reserve Board and the confidence they have in you, to prevent some very foolish things being done, and one or two gross abuses of power which have shown up lately;- but all that will have to wait until we can meet and talk it over, which I hope will not be too long. Your suggestion of a meeting as far East as you are able to come within a short time, sounds good to me, and the next time iD-2- 213 .Library U.S. Senate, special Committee Investigating munitions Industry Hearings, Part :2, Feb. 6, 1936(Was1iington, 1937) (C 0 P Y) EXHIBIT No. 4171 [From the files of the late Benjamin Strongl 23 WALL STBEET, New Yo4, April 23, 1917 BENJAMIN STRONG, ESC., 11.100 Montview Boulevard, Denver, Colo. DEAR BEY; I am very glad to get your letter of April 17th. I do not know anything about ainliffe's plans yet; indeed I am not sure that he himself does. I rather think you will have to communicate with him direct. I have heard a' very good deal about the movement of the tr and State banks in the West, that you speak of. t companies I think it highly probable that such a move would have success here if the Clayton law were repealed; also, perhaps if the Federal Reserve Board showed some sign of considering its important member banks, it might have an influence in the feeling of the non-member banks. Perhaps at this moment, when we are all being threatened with financial catastrophe 0 the imposition or enormous taxes on the top of large bond issues, it is not just the time to work up a campaign of that kind. Perhaps by the time you come back, about June 1st, things will have shaped themselves so that we know more where we are; and, in that case, we might be able to get up something of a campaign on the lines you suggest. I am very glad to hear that you still intend to return about the first of June. p Yours very sinceeely, f r J.P.MORGAN (p.104E9) [Apparently a handwritten letter as Cunliffe spelled incorrectly and an of is made an or. Not in the Strong Papers in 1962. EIIN1 lOn p.VII letter is given as"From the files of the late Benjamin Strong" and the same on p.10423] [Also given as Exhibit 3159, p.95590.UaTt 70. On page III, listed as from "Personal file, Strong and the same ofis1):7526] 23 , te&b",- -April 23, 1917. .elite-617 709-"L Dear Ben: I am very glad to get your letter of April 17th. I do not know anything about Cunliffe's plans yet;- indeed, I am not sure that he himself does. I rather think you will have to communicate with him direct. I have heard a very good deal about the movement of the Trust Companies and State Banks in the West, that you speak of. I think it highly probable that such a move would have some success here if the Clayton law were repealed; also, 7 perhaps if the Federal Reserve Board showed some sign of considering its important member banks, it might have an influence in the feeling of the non-member banks. Perhaps at this moment, when we are all being threatened with financial catastrophe by the imposition of enormous taxes on the top of large bond issues, it is not just the time to work up a campaign of that kind. Perhaps by the time you come back, about June 1st, things will have shaped themselves so that we know more where we are; and, in that case, we might be able to get up something of a campaign on the lines you suggest. I am very glad to hear that you still intend to return about the first of June; pwter-r; Denver, Colorado, April 17, 1917. My dear jack: I learn that Lou. Cunliffe is exoected to reach New York in a few days and doubtless will make his headquarters in Washington. It is highly desirable that I should have a conference with him before he returns home, and I an planning to go ,,ast for the purpose, eve,: if it is necessary for inc to come back to Denver after seeing him. 1 Ara you well enough acquainted with his plans to be able to advise me whether 'ae will be hero until after the date of my expected return, about June 1st? IfInot, I want to arrange for a flying trip east before. then. Possibly you have been advised of a strong movement amon the Trust Companies and Ttate Banks in come parts of the West to take member- ship in the Vederal naserve 3yetem. Do you think the tine has arrived when we should unAertake t7') start a similar movement in Now.,York? Best regards to you and your partners. Very sincerely yours, J. P. Morgan, 23 Now York City. 15S/CC Denver, Colorado, April 2, 1917. Dear jack: F:lany thanks for your note of the 291h. at any time. on a few occasion to bein I can o to Chicago days' notice, if you or harry or Tom should have that City, and I will certainly let you know in ad- vance of any trip that I have to make there for other reasons. Confidentially, I hope to be back about June let and will never cease to regret my absence at a time When I really think I could have been of some service. Things look better now in so many ways that I hope you feel much encouraged. Very sincerely yours, J. ?. organ, Esq., 23 *all St., New York City. BS/CC ii( 717-ASb JP SERVICE SYMBOL ESTEcf/AN, Day Message Day Letter Blue Night Message Nite WESTERN IlitiON UNION TELZV7 AM NL If none of these three symbols Night Letter appears after the check number of words)this Ise day message. Otherwise Its character is indicated by the NEWCOMB CARLTON, PRESIDENT symbol appearing after the check. CLASS OF SERVWL Day Message Day Letter Blue Night Message Nite Night Letter NL If none of these three symbols appears after the check number of words)thls Is aday message. Otherwise Its character is Indicated by the symbol aopearing after the cheek. RECEIVED AT PM 4 - 50 16 B391CH DH NEW YORK NY 5P 16 BENJAMIN STRONG -1-0Q 4100'MONTVILw BOULEVARD DENVER COLOt `./0 boi. CO SEEMS A LONG TIME SINCE I. HEARD ANYTHING FROM YOU HOPE YOU CO(TINUE TO GET ON FIRST RATE AND THAT WE MAY HOPE TO SEE YOU BACK IN FIRST CLASS SHAPE BEFORE MANY MONTHS ALL WELL HERE AND, WHILE CONDITIONS VERY COMPLICATED BY PROBABLE WAR AND THREATENED STRIKES NEVERTHELESS ALE.SEEM PI BE IN FAIRLY GOOD SPIRITS AND MILITARY NEWS FROM THE REAL WAR IS EXCELLENT J P MO,RGAN. P*"..."-Ld November Gth, 1916. Dear Sirs: I beg to acknowledge receipt of your favor of the 28th ult., enclosing two copies of the Syndic e Agreement covering the issue of the 6overnment of the U ied Kingdom Three-year and 'jive-year fel- Seuuredima-404.41 tes, the ned here. original of whi'ch duly executed " leen ilietructed to make payment in full for the payment is called and I will be glad if y,l se cesoary notices to them, receive payment f/f41:7Tillte nd do ver notes to them The Bankers Trust Co . / ( for my account when Ipley are i Flee accept i s d. tkorik,A for your courtesy in per, mitiing me tO -..-aticipete in the purchase. V truly youre, Messrs.. P.Aargan & Company, 23 v7411 Street, New York City. 13S/VCM PERSONAL. o tr-mrs. L711! Yffr-, A Ltr:riTArPark, Cola., LAX 1 1 1$17 Septembr 12th, 1916. FEDE1'/41, b.:WE'VE BAN; Dear Jack: tour letter has given me a great deal of pleasure and I have read it with muc intnrest. A t...:/egram is t;oing to you to-day, tolling you how I am getting along. I will elabor&te a bit in this letter. Par come reason ør tcVne (something I at or change in clime:tad' hr.d rather a bad upset, which id 11.1: connection at all with the fundaontal difficulty. It kept mu in bed a week or ten days, but I em up and about again just now, feeling better than ever. Last wee%, I had a visi with the doctor in Denver who tells me that my lungs are mitking wonderful progress, but I need some- what dirferent .sliet than I on got up here, so I have t_ken a furnisho,i house in Denver where I can have everything I need and where, he says, I will makE oplendid progress from now on He always reit4ratne that I have a tough case that will require careful and oopsoiontious treatment, but that 1 am goin to get 'lhat is re.thaly the whole story. Wiale Aeplying specifically to your letter: I think I realize some of the difficulties about the Yrench exchange. It oas alwoye scealed to me that the Government was putting too' great a burden on the Bank of France, and that the Bank of France was too timid in consequence about letting gold go out oV the country. In other words, they shouA, if possible, shrink their .200 To P. Yorgan, Yeq. Sept. 12, 1916. note issue and chip more gold. This means larger government loans, repayment of advances made by the sank of France and the consequent reduction or note issues. On the whole, I suppose the policy of letting gold .exme to this c ountry through 2,41g1and is wizer end strengthens eaeir position all around, but so long az they are doing that, it meano that England must bunk for France and give France a ratable share or the boneritorNsulting from the use of French gold, which, in turn, enables the negotiation of large English credit here. Of couree, whatever operations'we eotad undertake under the termeeof the proposed account would be small in total, atimpared to the total requirements and it would be a very flexible account and could be made one ot the means of stabilizing exchange, rather than s)ecifically a drawing credit, and after till, the proposed account is to create machinery for steadying exchange retes, having an eye to conditions after the war is over, just ac much, if not ore, than present conditions. It is all in the interest of our exeortere and some day I guess that will be fully realized. The general plan in my mind was to keep in as close ouch aR possible with the factors wnich affect the figure at which gold can be profitably imported and accumulate exchange at or below that rate until we have reached a point where we have created ae larse an account as we thougitwise, most of which would be invested jr prime bills. The accumulation of -3'- J. 11. aorgan, To eq. Sept. 12, 1916. the ameunt of exchenge agreed upon would take place only on oc- canions where exchanae was very weak and, naturally, the account continue a fairly conetant one until the time came when the exchanges turned permanently, when the whole operation will weal be transferred to the other side. In other words, it might be an invealment eccount running for one, to or three years before any chenal of penition takes place. What you say about money conditions is exceedingly in- tereetirg. The hanky throughout me west are ell flush so far ac I can tell, 'rid if imported gold in held in reserve and doposted only when our surplus at tiew sork shows signs of a aharp reductien, ehould think we could get pest this Fall witaout any high money rates at all. I notico by the newepaper; that Davison has sailed and am much intoreeted to hear that you are also sailing in a few Won't you give my warmest regards to our mutual friends in London, particularly, Grenfell, Lord Cunliffe, Montague aorman, Brian Cokayne and tae others with whor I had the pleasure of many most interesting reetinge? ilh warmest regards to you and your partners, I aa Very sincerely yours, Lergar, Yea., 22 all rtreet, New York City. BS/VC P. n. I would appreciate yourntaaing opportu if convenient, to explain to Lord Cunliffe the present situation in regard to our negotiations and the necessity for more delay than I had anticipated by reason of my absence. The amendment bill has passed both houses of Congress and will be eigned by the President. C. March 15,1915. Dear Jur. Morgan: Copies of Mr. Delano's letter of March 5th ad- 7thore dressed to Mr.Forgan and Er.Forgan's reply of March returned herein. Mr.Delano refers to a point of considerable import. slice in connection with the establishment of rates of dis- count, viz;- that a precedent will be established by Which future preceedure will doubtless be more or less controlled, and it is important that the precedent should be based_upon sound judgement.. The Federal Reserve Act provides that rates of dis- cohnt shalled be fixed by the Federal to review Reserve Banks,subject and determination of the Federal Reserve oare. On the other hand.the Act in section 11,Paragraph B. authorize the Federal Reserve Board to "permit of, on the affirmative vote of five members of the Federal Reserve Board, to require Federal Reserle Banks to rediscount the discounted paper of other to be fixed Federal Reserve Banks at rates by the Federal Reserve Many views have of interest .6oard." been expressed as to the method which should be employed by the Federal Reserve Baord to expower. ercise a reasonable control over the rate-making,/ I have always maintained,personally,that this control should be -2- To, March lb,191b. J.P.Morgan,Esq., exercised under provisions of Section 11,Paragraph B. so that when transactions are contemplated between different reserve banks.the Federal Reserve Board,with knowledge of the conditions prevailing in all of the districts,will be to fix the rate for rediscountsond.if necessary,on the'vote apportionment of of five members,fix the rediscounts with due regard to the interests of the different reserve banks. Exercising their power to fix the rates on these transactions, they can of course determine that a rate higher than the dis- count rate of the borrow ing bank is justified, thereby forcing the borrowing bank to raise its rate of discount. .proceedure,if This inter- adopted by the Board,would avoid direct ormy ference with the auton-Voi any Federal Reserve Bank in iniating its own local rate of discoupt.which applies only to its own members. Taking this view of the matter,(as I do very strongly). I feel that Mr.Forgan is right in suggesting that there should be a difference of, say one per rate.some difference, in favor of the cent.or at any bank which geta the loan,provided always that their locn1 discount rate is fairly governed to meet local conditions. In the case of the Atlanta bank; I have always felt that the 4% rate was too low.the Reserve Board fixing paper mat,has afforded the rate of rediscount as they have..at 3 i % for uring within 30 days and 4 % for longer paper ppportunity for a very slight profit to the Atlanta bank, should it require rediscount,and if later :!---- demands for money in that district result in large discounts at this rate I believe that the Reserve Board would be justified in J.P.Morgan,Esq' March 15,1915. increasing the rate of rediscount to say,4% and 5%, which would automatically force the Atlanta bank to increase its own rate of disiount. Mr.Forgan's letter is not quite clear as to the method an Inc:geese in the Atlanta suggests that the Reserve Board should he employ to bring about rate of discount. If he increase their local rate, I am positively iit)pposed to any such proceedure. Local rates should always be fixed by the directors of the bank, in my opinion. All things considered,it seems to me the rates fixed. meet the situation very well for the present, and subsequent developments may indicate the desirability of no doubt the Board will not further action, which hesitate to take,if the Atlents bank shows a disposition to borrow too such money. It certainly would not do so for a large volume of dis- counts at a direct loss. Please do not es pasitively,the understand that this letter express- the directors of this bank,because these rates were fixed during my absence in Washington last week,and I have not yet had opportunity to discuss the matter with our directors. Knowing theirs views about the method of fixing the local rate, I surmise that the chances are favorable opinions of to their adopting some such view as expressed above. Very truly yours, Governor. J.P.Morgan.Esq., 23 Wall Street, New York City. BS Jr/VCM-3 4eT. 014. BANK _ RESERVE Decmber 14th, 1914. Dear Sirs Strong wishes me to exrross his regret at being unsble to have a talk with you before the Advisory Council meeting to-morrow, but he was too indisposed to-day to be in his office. 2he attadhed memorandum, however, wa,, dictated by him for your attention. Very truly yours, J. P. Liorgnn, 23 Wall ;:troot, New York City. JRLNDUM FOR MR. MO AN: I have taken the position with the Federal Reserve Board that for the present it would be .univise to entertain suggestions for reduction of the New York discount rate; basing this upon our belief that the market rate would always keep below our rate and it would be an additional incentive to lower interest rates, expansion and specula, tion. We would prefer to hold our rates high and if tension developed after surplus reserves had been absorbed throughout the country, we could then perform a valuable service which we would be precluded from performing had we used up our lending resources simply j!ot. the purpose of making expenses and dividends. The meeting in Washingbon developed no real from aly other section of the country FILING DEPT. DEC 16 MIL FEDERAL RESERVE BANK or lower rate. Benj. Strong, Jr. pressure 6/10/28 Dear Miss Holmes: Mr. Strong wishes to have Mr. Philip Strong get a wedding present for the attached, to cost somewhere between $25 request to and $50. Will you kindly communicate this him, and supply him with one of Mr. Strong's personal cards if need be? - O.E.M. -tna.Ait,_44.444, H 0 getzi-fc4A; e4deg.9.-7,&3 4VA ')&k,0\i freden-ce-,erLde wterz,re 7 .1ti,ei;rAcegater A 4Ydiz- 4Y-e-on.-.664 ei,,,er/re fer-ce,i-eice",de ,<6.13-gevre/ AL-7 c/Aer/re,44:0.,Ateide re ,34444 I L\\kC\Z ce-)mfrr,7,em ,c7ft4,,e/cf," ,:*e4,74 &f, 4, COPY 23 Wall Street, New York. July, 1916. Dear Mr. Warburg: I have been slow about answering your letter of June 16th, because I was working along on the very questions which we took up in Washington and which you speak about again n your letter. In the first place let me say that I have read every word of your address with great interest, and concur very heartily in most of it. There are certain questions I should like to ask about it, because I am open to conviction on thOse points and inclined to agree, but they are not of importance and I.:think they will have to wait until we can meet. I hope that the prospects for legislation this session are pretty good, because the improvements that have been suggested will make the whole system so much more workable. There are still other improvements, of course, which might be made, but there is nothing to prevent further helpful legislation at later sessions. The question of the trust companies and State banks I have not forgotten for a moment and have had a gooa many discussions with the heads of several trust companies already, and expect to have another one this week with Sabin, whose attitude seems to me t, be very much modified. If the Guaranty Trust Company should come into the system I think you would find that other large trust companies would follow on pretty easily, and once the large ones are in the small ones would come in without hesitation. Any in- fluence that I have has been exerted in the diredtion of the success of the Federal Reserve System, and I think that the entrance 0 (2) of the trust companies into it, while not an essential part of the Al- success, will materially hasten the day when we can all point with pride to the banking and financial system of the United States as an assistance to legitimate business in every direction, and the unification and strengthening of the position of the United States among the financial powers of the world. Yours very sincerely (Signed) Hon. Paul M. Warburg, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D. C. J. P. Morgan U,S.Senate, 74th cong.,2nd sess.,special Committee investigatir the munitions Industry, wearings pursuant to s.Res. 206, Part 27, pp.844-6-8449(washington, 197) ,8446 MUNITIONS INDL STRY o EXHIBIT No. 2477 [Copy] [Personal and confidential] ESTES PARK, COL., August dist, 1916. DEAR, JACK: It will soon be five months since I was in London discussing the preliminary outline of our proposed arrangements with the Bank of Eno.- land, and have no doubt that Lord Cunliffe and his associates may now a wondering whether there is any possibility of a final conclusion of the matter, particularly, as they know that I am ill in Colorado. On that account, I am writing to advise you of the status of the matter in case inquiry should be made of you. On my return from Europe, the following things had to be done before it was possible to make any more towards starting the arrangement in operation: The Federal Reserve Act had to be amended so as to authorize Reserve banks to purchase bills having 90 days to run, "exclusive of days of grace" (the words quoted not appearing in the statute in section 14, under which we get our power to buy foreign bills). A second amendment was desirable authorizing us to receive deposits and act as correspondent for banking institutions which we appointed as our correspondents in foreign countries. (Otherwise, any funds held for such Institutions would have to be in the form of earmarked gold.) It was necessary to obtain the approval of the directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. It was necessary to obtain the consent of the Federal Reserve Board. It was probably necessary to get some sort of approval or disclaimer of Interest from the State; Department. It was necessary to formulate some plan by which all 12 of the Reserve banks could operate together under the direction of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The status of the above matters is at present as follows: I am just advised that the amendment as to days of grace has been incorporated in the recommendations made by the conference committee of the House and Senate, and if that is correct, the amendment will undoubtedly pass at this session. The same applies to the amendment in regard to our receiving accounts for foreign institutions. -3. The directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York have approved the plan. The Federal Reserve Board has unanimously consented to the plan. No action has yet been taken by the State'Department. The scheme for management of the account for the 12 Reserve banks has been laid out and I think will be adopted, subject to modifications in details. You will gather from the above that if, as I anticipate will he the case, the final necessary approvals are received and the bill now before Congress is signed by the President, it will become possible for us to actually put the arrangement into effect some time this year. On account of your relations with the bank in New York, as well as your part in the negotiations in London it seems desirable that you should be fully posted as to the progress in this matter, and if you think the situation justifies it, possibly you would be willing to cable or write Lord Cunliffe indicating that progress is being made, although it has necessarily been slow. I doubt if the bank in New York will be disposed to undertake transactions, notice and approval of which must first be conveyed to the Board in Washington, without my giving an unqualified recommendation to do so, and outlining somewhat the character of the bills to be purchased. Before doing so, I want the best opinions I can get in regard to how well fortified the sterling exchange position is for next fall. As nearly as I can gather, the present import point of gold is somewhere between $4.76 and $4.77, and I am going to give you my be guess as to the present exchange situation, asking you if you will correct it so far as you feel able and willing to do so and give ME) your own views as to what may transpire this fall. I surmise that France now has a total credit in New York unused, created by the recent loan of $100,000,000 and by various commercial credits of winch I have been advised, aggregating possibly $100,000,000 in all. I also surmise that MUNITIONS INDUSTRY 8447 rTh. the proceeds of the sale of the English notes, together with the unused - $50.000,030 bank credit, gives England a total drawing account in' New York today of $100,000,000, not counting some of the gold recently imported and which I judge has not yet found its way into bank reserves. I would, also, suppose that England has, unused but available, American and other securities which can be converted and used as collateral in this market, amounting to anywhere from $100,000,000 to $200.000.000. I would, also, assume that Russia had considerable credits here as to the amount of which I would not hazard a guess. In all, let us say that there is $500,000,000 available, possibly more, for us to meet the fall demands. This is, of course, a magnificent preparation, bat still I have some doubt whether it will be sufficient to meet the enormous demands which will certainly be made upon us during the present period of the offensive movement, and possibly, in preparing for a more extensive movement next year, if, as I surmise, these three nations are to continue to purchase our raw materials, etc., in anything like the volume which the Government reports indicate. It also seems likely that there will be a large movement of cotton this fall and at pretty substantial prices. In view of the above, which I admit is largely supposition. I have not modified my feeling that the interests of our banks and our exporters may require that the arrangements with the Bank of England be put into operation this fall. I would very much appreciate your writing me, in confidence, if necessary,. the best expression of your own views which you can give me. Of course, we would not undertake the purchase of exchange, except at some margin below the gold import point, and I would appreciate also the best calculation you can give me of the cost of gold imported from England at the present time by an American bank, independent, of course, of the operations of the British Government, where special facilities and special arrangements for transportation May be made which would result in a cost quite different from that applying to the Cost to an American bank. Please pardon this long letter, but I am so far from home and out of touch with matters that I need the best information you can send me before going any further with our plans. I hope you are well. Unfortunately, I have been laid up for the past week, but hope to be around again in a few days. My warmest regards to you and your partners. Sincerely yours, J. P. MORGAN, Esq., 23 Wall Street, New York, City. BS/VCM. ExInarr No. 2478 (Copy] 23 'WALL STREET, NEW YORK, September 7, 1916. DEAR TIES: I have been very much interested in your letter of August 31st. In regard to your summing up of the exchange situation, you are a little short of various facts, owing to your absence: First. The French have spent pietty well all the money they have here. - There are some commercial credits, and they hope to make more, which will give them perhaps forty or fifty million dollars if they get them; but the French exchange situation is not as good as you put it in actual dollars, but has been much bettered by the recognition on the part of England that they have got to help out if necessary. In regard to British credit, if is more difficult to say. They had made short time and call loans here for a considerable amount, to pay off which was the first use made of the recent $250,000,000 transaction. The $50,000,000 bank credit has been used. On the other hand, they are at the moment.shipping vast amounts of gold, which you guessed rightly has not yet entered the bank reserve situation. This amounts to some seventy odd millions, so far advised. England has a larger amount of possible collateral than you have figured an, hut to what extent I do not know. think the gold importing point is now somewhere about 4.751A, owing to cost of freight and the large insurance. The British Government does not kvi. F4-4- 'it MUNITIONS INDUSTRY 8448 id.71). Intend to allow exchange to go far below this, and I think it will succeed In this attempt, in which we all wish to help as much as possible. That being the case, however, your operation will really have to take the shape of an, interest operation, more than an exchange operation, although there may be a substantial rise in exchange in the spring. The requirements for raw materials show no signs of falling off, and they evidently expect the war to go on for another year. On the other hand, the Bank of England rate is now 6%, which may influence you in the decision in regard to bills. I do not think that it is worth while for me to advise. If the Federal Reserve bank is going to take any steps under your arrangement, I should think a month or six weeks from now would be quite time enough to do it, by which time we should he able to measure the question of domestic demand for money. So far as I see now, that demand is much less than ever before at this time of the year, owing to the Western and Southern banks being extremely flush of money. For your information a New Orleans bank, which ordinarily at this time of the year borrows all it can get from its New York correspondent, requested that New York correspondent to lend, some money for it at 90 days, and 6 months (this about two weeks ago). That is only an indication, but it is a pretty strong one to ray mind. I am, personally, very well, but much concerned to hear you have been laid up. Please telegraph me when you get this letter that you are better. For your confidential information, Davison is now on his way to London, and I shall follow him in about two or three weeks. I am, naturally, not saying very much about it as yet, but it will give me an opportunity of seeing Cunliffe, and I can impart your mind to him, if you wish me to do so. All going along very well here, and the English loan has been a tremendous success. We are much encouraged by it. With best regards and wishes for your prompt recovery, I am, Yours very sincerely, P. MORGAN, B=JAMIN STRONG, Esq., The Lewiston, Estes Park, Colorado. EXHIBIT No. 2479 [Copy] ESTER PARK, COLORADO, September 12th, 1916 DEAR JACK: * * * Replying specifically to your letter: I think I realize some of the difficulties about the French exchange. It has always seemed to me that the Government was putting too great a burden on the Bank of France, and that the Bank of France was too timid in consequence about letting gold go out of the country. In other words, they should, if possi,ble, shrink their note issue and ship more gold. This means larger Government loans, repayment of advances made by the Bank of France, and the consequent reduction of note issues. On the whole, I suppose the policy of letting gold come to this country through .England is wiser and strengthens their position all around, but so long as they are doing that, it mp.ns that England must bank for France and give France a ratable share of the benefits resulting from the use of French gold which, in turn, enables the negotiations of large English credits here. Of course, whatever operations we could undertake under the terms of the proposed account would be small in total. compared to the total requirements, and it would be a very flexible account and could be made one of the means of stabilizing exchange, rather than specifically a drawing credit, and, after all, the proposed account is to create machinery for steadying exchange rates, having an eye to conditions after the war is over, just as much, if not more, than present conditions. It is all in the interest of our exporters, and some day I guess that will be fully realized: The general plan in ray mind was to keep in as close touch as possible with the factors which affect the figure at which gold can he profitably imported and accumulate exchange at or below that rate until we have reached a point where we have created as large an account as we thought wise, most of which would be invested in prime bills. The accumulation of the amount of exchange agreed upon would take place only on occasions where exchange was very E t=.7 MUNITIONS INDUSTRY 8449 Cteak and, naturally, the account would continue a fairly constant one until ..ne time came when the exchanges turned permanently, when the whole operation will be transferred to the other side. In other words, it might be an 'nvestment account running for one, two, or three years before any change of ,,sition takes place. What you say about money conditions is exceedingly interesting. The banks throughout the West are all flush so far as I can tell, and if imported gold is held in reserve and deposited only when our surplus at New York shows signs of a sharp reduction, I should think we could get past this fall without any high money rates at all. I notice by the newspapers that Davison has sailed and am much interested to hear that you are also sailing in a few weeks. Won't you give my warmest regards to our mutual friends in London, particularly Grenfell, Lord Cunliffe, Montague Norman, Brian Cokayne, and the others with whom I had the pleasure of many most.intetesting meetings? With warmest regards to you and your partners, I am, Very sincerely yours, BENJAMIN STRONG. J. P. MORGAN, Esq., 23 Wall Street, New York City. P. S.I would appreciate your taking opportunity, if convenient, to explain to Lord Cunliffe the present situation in regard to our negotiations and the necessity for more delay than I had anticipated by reason of my absence. The bill has passed both houses of Congress and will be signed by the Digitized foramendment FRASER President. . Y.S.Senate., 74th cong.,2nd sess.,special committee investigating the Munitions Industry, Rearings pursuant to S. Res. 206 part ?0, 10.9559(wakibimI,m3 9559 , Aaja EXHIBIT No. 3159 [Copy] 0DEAR BEN: I am very glad to get your letter of April 17th. 23 WALL STREET, NEW YORK, April 28, 1917. I do not know anything about Cunliffe's plans yet; indeed, I am not sure that he himself does. I rather think you will have to communicate with him direct. I have heard a very good deal about the movement of the trust companies and State banks in the West, that you speak of. I think it highly probable that such a move would have some success here if the Clayton law were repealed; also, perhaps if the Federal Reserve Board showed some sign of cosidering its important member banks, it might have an influence in the feeling of the nonmember banks. Perhaps at this moment, when we are all being threatened with financial catastrophe by the imposition of enormous taxes on the top of large bond issues, it is not jut the'time to work up a campaign of that kind. Perhaps by the time you come back, about June 1st, things will have shaped themselves so that we know more where we are; and, in that case, we might be able to get up something of a campaign on the lines you suggest. I am very glad to hear that you still intend to return about the first of June. Yours very sincerely, J. P. MORGAN BENJAMIN STRONG, ESQ., 4100 Montview Boulevard, Denver, Colo. EXHIBIT NO. 3160 ,7? tif COPY Wall Street, New York April 23,.1917 Dear Ben: I am very glad to get your letter of April 17th I do not know anything about Cunliffe's plans yet, indeed, I am not sure that he himself does I rather think you will have to communicate with him direct. I have heard a very good deal about the movement of the trust companies and State banks in the West, that you speak of. I think it highly probable that such a move would have some success here if the Clayton law were repealed, also, perhaps if the Federal Reserve Board showed some sign of considering its important member bank, it might have an influence in the feeling of the non-member banks. Perhaps at this moment, when we are all being threatened with financial catastrophe by the imposition of enormous taxes bn the top of large bond issues, it is not just the time to work up a campaign of that kind. Perhaps by the time you come back, about June 1st, things will have shaped themselves so that we know more where we are; and, in that case, we might be able to get comething of a campaign on the lines you suggest I am very glad to hear that you still intend to return about the first of June. Yours very sincerely, 'signed' J P.Morgan Benjamin Strong, Esq. 4100 Montview Boulevard, Denver Colo. U.S.Congress, 74th Cong., 2nd Sess., Special Committee Investigating the Munitions Industry, Hearings pursuant to S. Res. 206, Putt 30, p.9559 Exhibit 3159 (On page 9500 it is stated that this letter came from "personal file, Strong." ) June 13, 1921. PFRSONAL y dear Mr. Morgan: V4e have only within the last few weeks been able to conclude the final accounting of the expenses of the various Liberty loans, and determine to what extent, if any, expenditures made by the organization could not be reimbursed by the Treasury under existing law, or rules of the Department. find that the total amount of such items that cannot be reimbursed is Of this aum, the ?edaral Reserve Eank is able to absorb t2,229.74. 4i2,535.97. The re"inaer, $303.?$, I have paid personally. The Liberty Loan Oomzlittee passed a resolution, agreeing personally to aS6UMe certain charges, up to a limited amount, tvhich as I recall was t1,000. If the members of the cs,ammittee cure to pay their respective shares of this sum, the amount of each committeeman's proportion will be $23.55. Had these operations been conducted since the passage of the Volstead Act, it would not have been necessary to %sk the committee to make any contribu- tion. Yours very truly, J. P. 2orgon, Tag., 23 ;iall St., Aew tork, J. Y. 1.3S:'112 023 WALL STREET NEW YORK June 14, 1921. 4> 1,4 Dear Ben: JUN 15 1921 I enclose herein, with great pleasure, my cheque for $23.55, for pay/4 ment of my share of the ant6,-Prohibition expenses of the Liberty Loan Committee. Yours very sincerely, don. Benjamin Strong, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. June 15 19?1. My dear Ur. Morgan: I thank you for the remittance of $23.55 encloaad in your favor of June 14. Yourc very truly, J. F.. korgul, rec., 23 Wall Street, New Yorks N. GnIMM Y.. A.( 7 WV 231, MADISON AVENUE. I lCs e.fs CW. - /2-4-.4164-4 ets ) e, G".t 0 ,V3 eiKel/024- . July 23, 1923. Dear Ben: I am off to England on Saturday for my annual holiday, and before leaving want to get a line off to you to tell you how glad I am of your progress towards health, of which I near much. I hope that when Deaember comes I shall find you here again in tne saddle, on my return. Of business news there does not seem to be much to write about. I believe that the dread of inflation, which was exhibited by the whole community in the spring, has had its legitimate and most beneficial effect in removing that danger from us. Everybody, but the politicians and the labour people (particularly the bricklayers), seems to be thinking in terms of sobriety and industry, and nobody is putting out his hand further than he is mighty sure he can pull it in again quickly. The Federal Reserve Bank is losing its earning assets, but I presume it will get some more as the autumn begins to come on. At any rate, it does not worry me to have them make some less profits than they did in the old days of 40% reserves. Wednesday of this week is the sixtieth anniversary of the starting of The First National Bank, and it is also the completion of the sixtieth year of Mr. Baker's continuous office-holding in that Bank. I have a few of his more intimate friends coming down to dine with me on the "Corsair" that night, to meet him and to celebrate. I wish very much you were to be of the party. However, you probably will for his seventieth anniversary, for he certainly As not going to give up before he is 95, and long before that time you will be in splendid condition; so put it down in your memorandum book for 1933. Our new partner, Leffingwell, is, sition. I believe, a great acqui- You know better than most about his work in the Treasury, and how, even' when he did not agree with us, he had good reasons and stood his ground. I hope he will continue to do that here, where I hope his career will be much longer than it was at the Treasury. When you feel like it, send me a line telling me how you are getting along, addressing it care of Morgan, Grenfell & Co., 22 Old Broad Street, London. With best wishes for your recovery, I am, Yours ever, AAA Hon. Benjamin Strong, Cragmor Sanatorium, Colorado Springs, Colorado. (0 4e-L,04-7// /9/(i) /f-zi i3ENJ, STRONG-, Jr. PRRSONAL. Dwight W. Morrow, are J. P. Morgan & Co., London, algland. Strong authorizes following cable. quote. Have reported to Secretary of Treas- ury by telephone that negotiatials are proceeding in London in Paish matter and am anxious that no steps be taken which night cause embarrassment or Which Secretary would not approve. Head him your number thirty. Secretary states he initiated plan for negotiations at a critical time in International exchange to facilitate negotiations for our bankers. Hazing arranged preliminaries, does not consider Government is concerned with details of resulting plan which in present hands, he is confident will be satisfactory. This plan is essentially a banking matter, that his duty was performed then he concluded arrangements for negotiations. I suggest it might be arranged have British authorities cable him they were now satisfied to have negotiations continued as banking matter between London and jaw York bankers and ask his concurrence in that course. He state:lit would be entirely agreeable to him to receive such a cable and would cable his assent. If cable sent Secretary as suggested, care should be taken that an agreed official statement should be made simultaneously both sides. Quote. re-4y ora. It was learned today that the bankers in New York who drafted the report of conferences with Sir George Pal& and Eakil P. Blackett, Esq., had asked Mr. Davison, of J. P. Morgan dc Company, and gr. Brovm, one of the membels of the Comndttee, to continue the discussion of the report in landau,. NI.. Brom is now in London, and Mrs Davison is saling on the "Adriatic" on Wednesday, on which steamer Sir George Paish and Mr. Blaakett are returning home. April ?6, 1921. Dear Dwight: Here is another bothersome matter where I am making the only exception to what is otherwise an invariable rule; never to solicit a subscription to anything. I have been interseted, since its organization, in the Committee which is pushing for sound budget legislation by Congress. We are really making some progress, and I euppose it is not unreasonable for me to be guilty of asking you to make a contribution ,to the work, if you have not already done so through come other member of the comeittee. The enclosed pamphlet gives some description of the activities of tile organization, and if you feel that you could spare V00.00 to help us along, I would deeply appreciete it. If you cannot do so, will you be good enough to return the enclosure so that I can make 1169 of it elsewhere, as it seems to be numbered and identified with me as a member of the committee. Yours very truly, Dwight W. Morrow, Esq., c/o J. P. Morgan & Co., 23 Wall St., New York, N. BS:MV En" #irl) Y. May 2, 1921. My dear Dwight: I thank you for your check for $100, as a contribution to the work of the National Budget Committee, enclosed in your favor of April 28. It is fine to have your cooperation and support in this matter, and I certainly appreciate it. nth warm regards, believe me, Very sincerely, Dwight V. Morrow, Esq., 23 1a11 Street, Nev Tork, N. Y. 35/AMP /1":44'n 4-; et. -Tr /11----42-4--la_ 6 (9L-1&s el?2,r tC, e 441 Ce t 1..46r-1) 4(-Z fjett, S /r a.7 119 Pv-,7 1/1_-?AtA 0-4.---e<1 00 s e &tele L sxJ 11-e C4 1471_ 61/1-12-_, -7t., 41,( t"--k 4 ef j- Grand Hotel Britannique, Spa, Belgium, July 21, 1925. Dear Dwight: Norman and I spent a most interesting week But I had some in Berlin, mostly with Dr. Schacht. interesttpg and enlightening talks with Gilbert. there are one or two matters that I would like very much to discuss with you. We plan to be here at Spa for another week, and, after that, may plan to go to Paris, andfrom there I am not at all sure of getting to the seashore somewhere. to Beritz. Is there any chance of your being in Paris in the next few weeks? Could you drop me a wire here, or, possibly, write me in care of the Bankers Trust Company in I will pick up mail when I reach there. Paris. I hope you all keep well and are having a fine Won't you give my best regards to Mrs. Morrow, and to Betty, and Ann, and Dwight, as well as a generous supply for yourself. rest. Very sincerely yours, Dwight W. Morrow, Esq., 0/0 Messrs. Morgan, Harjes & Co., Paris, France. 1 Hotel Majestic, Paris, France, August 15, 1925. Dear Dwight: I am returning the White Paper relating to the Pact Negotiations, and thank you for giving me the opportunity of reading it. Just this morning the newspapers bring word of Mrs. Morgan's death, and, of course, it is a me very much indeed. ing. We were all And now I nm fearful that to Jack that he will be great shock so hopeful that this will and distresses she was recover- be such an irrepairable loss hopelessly discouraged about the future. I am cabling him, but it seems a most inadequate way to express ones feelings. order to Unfortunately, in I must be in Switzerland Saturday evening. keep a promised engagement, on the 21st and 22d, but I shall be back And if you are in Paris over that you mind calling me at the Hotel Majestic, Room 380! anxious to see you before you return home. Please give my love to all the family. Sincerely Dwight W. Morrow, Esq., Messrs. Morgan, Harjes & Company, 14 Place Vendome, Paris. yours, Sunday, would I am so P7.44,--1 Stuyvesant Road, Biltmore Forest, Biltmore, N.C., February 14, 1927. E-4119N.ti, Dear Dwight: I will be writing you shortly about some other matters, but in the meantime want to send you a copy of the letter which I au just writing to Dan Wing. I don't know how well you and your associates know Basil Miles. Personally, I have a very high regard for him indeod. Confidentially, I be- lieve he is just now discussing the possibility or some connection with Lee, Higginson e. Company and of course that might be the best possible thing for him to do. BA it was not concluded when he sailed for Europe a couple of weeks ago, and if there is anything that you can suggest for him, I hope you will feel willing to do it. I am coming along slowly, and if I could have my way and you found it possible, I would like right veil, to try and induce you to come down here and spend a little time with me to talk over a lot of things, just as you Buggostod you might like to do in a note I recently had from you. Please give my best regards to the family and to the boys in your office, and the same to yourself. Sincerely yours, Mr. Dwight W. Morrow, c/o J. P. Morgan & Company, 23 Wall Street, New York City. B3:11 February 17, 1927. Thank you for your good note of February 14th with reference to Basil Miles. I am turning it over to Leffingwell and, if anything occurs to us, we will communicate with you or with Milos. I have wanted very badly to talk with you. The world keeps changing rapidly but, despite constant interruptions, it seems to be getting better. You probably have noticed the rumble's that have come from Germany about their ability to pay. prised if the question became an Dawes year or the next Dawes year. I would not be sur- acute one during this However, we have no information that you do not have. With much love, Faithfully yours, Benjamin Strong, Esq., Stuyvesant Road, Biltmore Forest, Biltmore, North Carolina. Stuyvesant Road, Diltrere Forest, Biltmore, N.C., February 20, 1927. PERSONAL Dear Dwight: Yours of the 17th just roaches me. I would indeed enjoy a talk with you just now, which would cover a great variety of subjects which are Only/ suggested by the words *France", *Italy*, *Germany" and "Poland*, all atehich seem to be more or less in the minds of a good many of us juin now. I had a splendid visit with Monnet and hope to see him again at the end of this week. We are going to have a session on Poland. I don't know how long it will last, but if you felt equal to coming down hoes after the Poles left, I would try and keep Vonnet over so that we could have a good talk. How does the idea stele you? As you may have gathered from our former discussions, I have never been optimistic that Germany could meet the full schedule of payments. In fact, / am not optimistic that any nation could meet payments of that magnitude, except they borrowed from Peter to pay Paul. Peter. We are I have some figures just now to mull over in this connection which may throw a little light on the subject, but not one that encourages me to dhango my views. If you come down, this would be one of the subjects of our commun- ion. My best regards to you and your partners. Sincerely yours, Mr. Dwight W. Morrow, 23 Wall Street, Mew York City. MAI 11,17-1 I4ArtirlAr' StuyTesant Road, Diitmore Forest, Biltmore, N. C., March 1E., 1927. Dear Dwight: I was delighted to have your letter to-day, hut sorry to earn that there is no chance of your coming down. do hope to see Dean before he returne and get the, laot word he can give me from abroad. Many thanke to you for thinking of that book. I will ..00n have finiehed the Napoleon and will then tackle the one you are sending, and after that I :Rant to read Ludwig's Life of William rohenzollern which I hear ie'very intereeting. I am taking the liberty of enclosing a note of introduction which I hope you and Petty will use when you stop at Gibraltan It ie 7:aj.Gen. addressed to my old friend, Sir Charlee C. Munro. He is now Governor at Gibraltar. Prior to that he wae Gomm:rider-in-Thief of the forces hn India. He had charge of the evacuation from Galipolli,and prior to that was in comiand of a division, I believe, at the Battle of Mons. While he is quite lame from an-4njury received at r.Jalipolli he is not, like gelphibaeeth, who wae lame in both feet. He is a perfectly delightful fellow and his wife iu very charming, and I am writing him of the possibility of your arrival and that I have gioren you a note. L do hooe you see him. He is a regular old British war-dog. If you do sce him please give my love to him and to Lady Liunro. My very best to you and Betty. - Mr. Dwight W. Morro', 23 Tall 7treet, New York. Affectionately yours, Inne ID, 1427. Dear Dwight*. It e really too bad that you nhould have pore to the trouble of etoppiop et t1 rguer nd then not to have been allowed to come up. I did Oot apefiir to tl,eirtl. about. your ooming and. 1 had clomp/ etely orerlooked the fact that Piame time ago, for my prrotoo-tion, 6ove instruction& were given atout ttlephone cane or callers in the evening, because memtsere of the family were tryinf .to protect my rest. I can't tell you how wtortified Irge, but. It ,contt imp en again. Sinoere)y your', Mr. Dwight W. llerrow, Wo J. P. liorgan & Company, 23Ifir11 Street, New Tork City. z-fLo.),45.4f 7ke DVVIGHT W.MORROW V\ 10'1MA EN G LEWO 00 October 5, 1927 NEW JERSEY 'At' Dear Ben: I thank you for the notation which you have put at the foot of the formal notice of my withdrawal. I am not going to try to tell you how much I will miss youlbecause one day or another you will probably herd together your list of central bankers in a place where I can see them all again. I gave Betty your message about the dinner, and she was very grateful. As a matter of fact, Anne has gone back to school and Betty is declining all invitations to come in to New York because she wants to spend as much time as possible with Elisabeth before she goes away. With kindest regards, believe me, Very sincerely yours, Mr. Benjamin Strong, 33 Liberty Street, New York City. 6 rg.,041 Mexico,October 31,1927 PERSONAL Dear Ben: I went downtown on the last day I was in New York to lunch with my former partners, and with the firm resolve to stop at the Federal Reserve Bank to pay my respects to its Governor and Deputy-Governor and to say good-bye to you personally. Unfortunately, the tail-end of the Brady arbitration caught me and kept me until just time for me to catch my train. I can not, however, leave New York without saying good-bye to you by letter. It has been a great pleasure to have known you so well in the past thirteen years and to have perhaps helped a little from time to time in the great work which you have I hope you will keep in mind one thing, and that done. is your health. Incidentally, the climate here is almost exactly the same as that at Colorado Springs. We are most comfortably housed in an Embassy which the Government furnishes its Ambassador. Many of the problems are new and perplexing, but for that reason they will be interesting. If from time to time you feel like dropping me a line upon your work, I will greatly appreciate it and will try to answer you. With warmest regards, believe me Faithfully yours, The Honorable Benjamin Strong, Jr., Federal Reserve Bank, New York City. -C NA."._ (11:? j 6.-C-4.../o--47 3 (1)5 ;.1 November 9, 1927. Dear Dmight: It was fine today to have your letter and thue personal assurance that you had ranched Mexico sefely and were installed in your new and mighty interesting post. / was also disappointed that we could not have a last word before you left. There is no doubt whatever about the help you have been in our work. Of all of my associetione in Nee York, that great firm of yours I believe has shown a groeter loyalty and a more effective cooperation with the reserve bank and its policies than anyone else. It weuld be more than deliehtful could I visit you In Mexico. In fact opportua.ty may arise although just now it seeme remote, but I will give you a voluntary notice if I see a chalice to get down there and cound upon your advising me frankly whether It is convenient. You know how earnootly I wish you success in a very difficult mission. If there is any way by which I can contribute to making it a success, you need only call upon me. Indeed, I shall be delighted to drop you a line now and then about how things ere goin4. Polish matter. looks hopful. over-sold. Just now we are immersed in concluding the 4onnet is here and so far as I can discover everything The bond issue was a success, with some seven millions Salter hare decided not to come over but Tom Pad Jeremiah Smith got home yesterday and I ma expecting this week to do a little more exploring into the League matter with Monnet here to he/p. 2. November 9, 1927. I have just returned from ten days in Vashington attending the semi-annual conference of reserve banks, have a pile of xork ahead of me, but will find excuse shortly to write you a letter with al the news. Please give my love to Betty and my earnest regards to you. Faithfully youre, Honorable Dwight W. Morrow, Ambassador to VtAiCO, Embassy of the United States of America, Mexico. .1 c ,e-1,e424-e 9Y7 / Eaten Park, Colo., July 31, 1916. George W. torkins, Esq., 71 Broadway, Dew York City. Dear Mr. Perkins: You and I both shed our hoofs some years ago and now that you have also shed your horns, I am taking the liberty of writing you a few lines ab t-the Republican Uominee for President. The Denver newspapers state tt Mr. Hu es is about to make a tour to the Pacifi Coast an ,on his way back will spend a week resting at Estes Par./ He may be interested in knowing -0o li and A thought it would at you of my own experience so if you had opportunity. In the immed there are only thre the Stanley, the Le is rather a fashi is probably the Park, but I do thou (t the Le a'4 ne ote borhp e'hotels here, abo ty f 416 to write you diuld tell him about it, 1 of the little village "Whe,r41 he would care to stay, The Stanley n and 'Elk Horn Lodge. It otel, with about 150 rooms. ished and equipped hotel in the 'the meals are quite equal to During August it is crowed and they There is music and 50 people there. goner have -the_hotel and if ;:..x. Hughes is seeking quiet, danci I doubtirtiastsvould suit him as well as the Lewiston. I 1 Eli fiforn Lodge. which is about the same size as the It is right down Stanley i II would not recommend at all. in the tettom of the Valley, on the main thoroughfare and has not anything like the outlook, the air or the surroundings that either the Stanley or the Lewiston enjoy; they also have music and dancing there. After making a therough 'survey of all the hotels, my brother,. Dr. Stronp:, recommended that I some here to the It is a very small, quiet hotel and I find it Lewiston. delightful. The hotel itself has only 9 bed-rooms and adjoining it there is one cottage of 6 or 8 rooms, with two baths, one of 4 rooms and a bath (which we occupy) and five small houses of one or two rooms, without running water. Just now they are all occupied. The hotel is on a bluff, with a view of the whole valley and occupies about the best location of any of the hotels. It is run by Mr. and :,1rs. Lewis, who give the whole manage2he meals are excellent, ment their personal attention. 2. very simple and plain and consequently better than at some of the hotels where they try and introduce French cooking. Assuming that Ia.. Hughes is looking would be the best place. for quiet, this At the present time only 4 or 5 men at the hotel, there are 4 or 5 children, which is aboutabout lb or 0 ladies and the capacii y including cottages. If the of Mr. Hughes'zplf*A. would be wellreport it for him the Park is generally to make early-reelex Oorrect, tions here as crow0ek-dU ng Augu b6 difficult to get accommo and it would lo had any considerable partparticu ly if he here until the latter pa If he noes not reach I oould be advised in adv or September, and would be a great pleasure for me to arrange for what e 'see that they wepi,' tab reservations he needs and 1 of tist, Sometimes 4 is dan 'ous his views recommend hotels and of what is com rtable, might as mine, but 1\4' nd this not be the same ace delightful and the.in every way 1 sip e uiet. I am sending views er sepa?ate you some / cov6r, n additi these hotels mentioned hat are setoaccessible; there are as " one particularly, 's Pe,çJ Inn", 9 miles West rathe of here, whichknown is tive, but has not nearly the delightful outlook'thnt'-this one has, nor do I understand accommodations, or table, are as good that the Lewiston. as here at the i some 0 '4. If i can be of any service here, will not hesitate to make use of me. I hope Mr. With best regards to yourself, I am, Sincerely yours, Hughes fr 9fr (I 9(9 7 -/ AA," y et) THE DIAMOND MATCH CO. 111 BROADWAY NEW YORK Sept. 28, 1914. SEP ZS 1914 Benjamin Strong, Jr., Esq., No. 14 Wall Street, New York City. My dear Yr. Strong: Many thanks for your kindness in letting re have the circular issued by the Atlanta Chamber of Commerce, which I now return. As to the plan of handling cotton, Which was outlined in the letter which I left with you the other day, your criticism is decidedly to the point. I do not believe, however, that any opposition need be feared from the present administration. Indeed, the plan has already received the endorsement of some very prominent people in Washington. I do not believe, however, that there is any likelihood at all of anything being done along these lines, mainly for the reason that there are too many conflicting interests, and there does not appear to be any one available who is sufficiently forceful and aggressive to put the scheme through. Yours si ERS-YW Enc. 61--E4,?).) 12;47 Ay, CROSS REFERENCE SHEET FILE NO SUBJECT -4144-6-, SFH FILE NO. LETTER OF DATED Hotel, London, September 12, 1919. 441 lily dear Ed: I have finally completed my plans to sail on the 19th or 20th, but before leaving am writing to advise you of what developed while I was ia Holland. 1 had quite a frank talk with Doctor Vissoring, President of the llederlandsche Bank, and with Tx. terUeulen,of Rolle L Company, in regard to the possible advantages to the Dutch Government in placing a loan in America. The exchanges, as you know, are about 8,, against Holland. It developed that Doctor Vissering had personally always opnosed such a transaction. The Dutch Government has never made a fbreign obligation payable in a foreign currency and 1 think he Ills held to the view that, if credits are needed in America, they should either be arranged rivately or Americans should be induced to purchase Datchsecurities.payable in guilders, just as Dutchmen have heretofore purchase& American securities payable in dollars. On the other hand, 1 found that Ur. terEeulen and possibly one or two of Doctor Visserin.f:'s associates were not as strong in their conviction as he and on the whole, while the sug- gestion may at the moment be productive of nothing,inclined itr irm 441 2- o think that it might be a good. pl an to have a talk with these we gentlemen about it in case you or llx. Jay had occasion to go to Amsterdam or even as far as Brus sels. am most grateful to you for the splendid help you gave me in Paris in meeting various People and getting informat ion; it will make it much easier to accomplish the object of .my trip, if anything at all can be accomplished by it. Wont you give my best reg ards to your partners and the same to yourself. Sincerely yours, R. Stettinius, Esq., c/o Morgan, Harjes & Co., Place Vendome, Paris. BS/PE 14, PLACE VENDoME PAR I S Sept. 1919. OCT 1 41919 My dear Ben, A,v47).. Many thanks for your letter of the 12th which I received a day or two ago on my return from Belgium. Jay spent several days in Holland, having arrived in Amsterdam just after you had left, and both he and I appreciate sincerely your introductions and the help you have given us. I am sorry, on personal grounds, that you have return- ed to America, for it was certainly a pleasure and a comfort to talk to you, but I know that you will do all kinds of good at hone and that, with eloquence andifervor, you will preach the gospel of Europe to the beknighted American. _My own plans are uncertain at the moment but it ap- pears reasonably certain that I will leave here in about a month. I shall hope to have the pleasure of seeing you in New York and fully expect to find on my arrival that you will not only have worked out a solution of the problem of financing Europe, but that your plan will actually be in effect. With very kind regards, I am Yours s Hon. Benjamin Strong, Governor, Federal Peserve Dank of New York, City, U.S.A. -. ew York, 28 1921 INovenber 22, 1921. My dear Ben, I deeply regretted to be compelled to send you last evening, at the last hour, a message telling you that I would be unable to join you at dinner. Of course nothing but most unusual circumstances would have led me to do such a thing. On my way home, I went to the hospital to see my wife who has been confined there for several weeks, and while there I found that young George Case's condition had suddenly taken a turn for the worse and that he was in a very precarious condition. As it appeared that I could be of scY,e use to the family, I took up a number of commissions for them and felt sure that, under all the circumstances, you would pardon me if I were to devote my evening to them. As you may perhaps know, the boy passed away at two o'clock this morning. .Again expressing my regret for a seeming ,discourtesy which I am sure you will excuse uno_er the circumstances, I am Yours si cerely, Governor Benjamin Strong, 470 Park Avenue, City 2r,-;;49-1 0147 November 98, 19?1, Dear Ed: Of course, I understood about your absence from the Shibusawa dinner; in fact, I was not there myself, but laid up at the house for a few days. I was shocked by the news in your letter; I have written George. Yours sincerely, Edward R. Stettialgs Esc. 23 Wall St., , New York, N. Y. BS:MM 1-9714m 144,, : ,r..:I.Jk JAN1 g=g- January 16, 1922. My dear Ben, Just a line to tell you how delighted I was to receive this morning your letter of the 14th. I have been very badly tied up during the past week or ten days; otherwise, I would have dropped in to see you. However, I shall certainly give myself that pleasure within a few days. -1 am glad that you are so greatly improved and earnestly hope that you will have the good sense to go away for a little while in order to receover from the effects of the operation and subsequent treatment at the hospital. Hon. Benjamin Strong, 15 Nassau Street, City. Z7-4.1017 January 17, 1922. My dear Mr. Stettinius: Mr. Strong has asked me to thank you for your letter of January 15, and to say that he is leaving tomorroe for Atlantic City for a ires.,: or tan days. I DM sure that the chanRe should prove most beneficial to Mr. Strong, and that he Nill return feeling fit to resume his duties at the bank. Yours very truly, cratary to Edward E. Stettinius, Eva., 2! Sall St., Nev York City. ar.vv Strong. January 17, 1923. Dear Ed: When I was in Washington last week, Mr. rislcolm Stuart litcConihe, whose card I enclose, asked if I would ive him a note of introduction to you, which I said I would be glad to do. Let me now 'explain that I know him very slightly indeed; in fact, my only acquaintance with him has been in the Metropolitan Club in Washington, where I met him through Senator Saulsbury of Delaware, and I simply want you to know that if he has any business proposal to make, I 7vould like to make some inquiries about him, because I do not know him well enough to justify me in giving him any endo rsement. Yours sincerely, Mr. E. FL Stettinius, ts,/o Messrs. J. P. Eargan 8- Co., 25 Wall St., New York City. Enc. December 11, 1922. Dear Ed: That beautiful cock pheasant arrived safely, and He certainly is a beauty to I hope to enjoy him today. look at and will be as enjoyable to eat. It is mighty good of you to think of a chap when he is laid up, although cannot claim -01444%, sympathy as there was little more the matter with me than being a bit tired. I hope you take warning from me. am just about to leave for Chicago, but on my return I am anxious to cwtinue our talk. fith many thanks, old man, I am, Yours sincerely, Mr. EdwartalA1-44 c/o Messrs. J. P. MorginCto., 23 Wall St., New York City. BS.MM X-why e 400° Olifee-v,q10-71c W'5 400 401$31/114 Hon. BenJamin Strong, , // January 18, 1923. , Federal Reserve Bank of New Yo/k, New York. Dear Ben: Thank you for your note of the 17th. If Mr. McConihe calls, I shall be glad to see him but will keep your suggestions in mind if he submits any business proposition. 1747/ 6-t&P7'..1 110 WI/ YA-eat IFIJ JAN251923 Weer%/0-7,4_,.la fox,01.13010 140416° January 22, 1923. My dear Ben, I have just received your message stating that you will be unable to join me on my trip South this week. I am distressed and do wish you would reconsider the matter. feel satisfied that you would derive all kinds of benefit t from the trip and I can assure you a very good time. I shall try to drop by nd see you either this afternoon or tomorrow. A:04 In the meantime, I am sending you drafts of two letters which I have written in regard to the Bank of Central c tpf k and South America. I wish you would look over them and tell me if they fill the bill. Sincere Hon. 1:3enjamin Strong, Federal Reserve Bank, New York City. urs, r Form 1204 itSS OF SERVICE SYMBOL Telegr. Day Letter Blue Night Message Nite WESTEk TEL NL ght Letter If none of these three symbols 'irs after the check (number of is) this Is a telegram. Other: I wise its character is indicated by the symbol appearing after the check. NEWCOMB CARLTON, PRESIDENT UNION AM GEORGE W. E. ATKINS, FIRST VICE-PRESIDENT CLASS OF SERVICE SYMBOL Telegram Day Letter Blue Night Message Nita NL If none of these three symbols Night Letter appears after the check number of words), this is a telegram. Otherwise its character is indicated by the symbol appearing after the check. AECEIVED AT 37FY WS 40 BLUE BONAIRVANDERBILT AUGUSTA GA 950A MAR 3 1923 HON BENJAMIN STRONG 470 PARK AVE NEWYORK NY TOUGH LUCK BUT HAVENT SLIGHTEST DOUBT OF OUTCOME AS FIGHT WILL BE MADE WITH CAFIDENCE AND SAME DETERMINtTION TO WIN Thof HAS ALWAYS WON BEFORE IN EVERYTHING THAT HAS BEEN TACKLED STOP WIRE IF THERE IS ANYT INC ED I 044A I CAN DO r d90 ) t t' avitz,77- o ,5210 vit( ---1-6-/&/ tk-e a-6v: - 2-2, fljd / ,y _ ce, td i ,p- --/- z_e---,---,c---t- Ct-t-c/ --- -6,,, e_. , ,C cr tj CE --(,1/&-4.--iz --1/4_,- . __ 42,,_,/,4 CkNOWLEDOED MAY 7 W&LCIAee--1. 1923 R e/KG1/0"1-' April 28, 1923. Governor Benjamin Strong, Cragmoor, Colorado Springs, .Colorado. Dear Governor Strong, 'For the first time since his operation, I spent an hour or so yesterday in going over mail with Mr. atettinius and he asked me to send you particularly a line to thank you for your messages and especially for your note of the 21St. Mr. Stettinius has asked me to tell you that he is still progressing though somewhat slowly. However, he hopes to get down to Long Island on May 10th and believes that the change of scenery and the country air will speed up his recuperation. He sends you his kindest re- gards and best wishes and hopes that you too are coming around in fine shape. Si cerely cak- Loy, Ur8 --- 4aLtak do, ackAAJLAr 4-4rmic truke'ii 4Ya-D etcruh- [7:4-*/) May 7, 1923. My dear Mr. Dennett: governor' Strong hs cked a to thank you for your letter cf A;ril 28, and tc sF.,y thatz.)e ;las extremely -c.leasd to receive word II) IP you giving such ,3ncoura,4ng news aOout r. L:tettinius. Governor Strong i E likewise coming around in good shape !Ind by the time he returns East he will be fully recovered. write Stettinius solLetize soon. he hot,es, r. y& 1 informed me that Mr. Stettinioa left for ektltotic City lant F'riday for a week or two and that he expe,cte to summer. from there to :Locust Vally for the ;Then I wrote ;stir. Strong I informed him of what Mr. Ryalt -fold me. iours sincerely, r. John J. Bennett, Jr., 23 ;Vali St., New York City. G.B.YM Form 1207A !CLASS OF SERVICE DESIRED Telegram :ter WESTEkaiN UNION TELsx. AM Ire M WESTERN UNION Night Message Night Letter Patrons should mark an X opposite the class of service desired; OTHERWISE THE MESSAGE YILL BE TRANSMITTED AS A FULL-RATE TELEGRAM NEWCOMB CARLTON. PRESIDENT Street and No.%for Telephone' Number Place /tar/AB-A-A BENDER'S ADDRESS FOR ANSWER Time Filed 19 To A- A Cheek GEORGE W. E. ATKINS, FIRST VICE-PRESIDENT Send the following message, subject to the terms on bac hereof, which pre hereby agreed to mmm ALA_. Receiver's No. Ade _ .61-AMPITe 1.7, SENDEN'S TEI1. PHONL mamas ALL MESSAGES TAKEN BY THIS COMPANY ARE -SUBJECT TO THE FOLLOWING TERMS To guard against mistakes or delays, the sender of a message should order it repeated, that is, telegraphed back to the originating office for comparison. For one-half the unrepeated message rate is charged in addition. Unless otherwise indicated on its face, this is an unrepeated message and paid for as such, ie misidera, whereof it is agreed between the sender of the message and this company as follows: The company shall not be liable for mistakes or delays in the transmission or delivery, or for non-delivery, of any message received for transmission at the unre-. peated-message rate beyond the sum of five hundred dollars; nor for mistakes or delays in the transmission or delivery, or for non-delivery, of any message received for, transmission at the repeated-message rate beyond the sum of five thousand dollars, ualess specially valued; nor in any case for delays arising from unavoidable interruption in the working of its lines; nor for errors in cipher or obscure messages. In any event the company shall not be liable for damages for mistakes or delays in the transmission or delivery, or for the non-delivery, of any message, whether caused by the negligence of its servants or otherwise, beyond the sum of five thousand dollars, at which amount each message is deemed to be valued, unless a greater value is stated ni writing by the sender thereof at the time the message is tendered for transmission, and unless the repeated-message rate is paid or agreed to be paid, an, an additional charge equal to one-tenth of one per cent of the amount by which such valuation shall exceed five thousand dollars. The company is hereby made the agent of the sender, without liability, to forward this message over the lines of any other eompariP, when necessary to react, its destination. Messages will be delivered free within one-half mile of the company's office in towns of 5,000 population or less, and within one mile of such office in other cities or towns. Beyond these limits the company does not undertake to make delivery, but will, without liability, at the sender's request, as his agent and at his expense, endeavor to contract for him for such delivery at a reasonable price. No responsibility attaches to this company concerning messages until the same are accepted at one of its transmitting offices; and if a message is sent to such office by one of the company's messengers, he acts for that purpose as the agent of the sender. The company will not be liable for damages or statutory penalties in any case where the claim is not presented in writing within sixty days after the message is filed with the company for transmission. It is agreed that in any action by the company to recover the tolls for any message or messages the prompt and correct transmission and delivery thereof shall be presumed, subject to rebuttal by competent evidence. Special terms governing the transmission of messages under the classes of messages enumerated below shall apply to messages in each of such respective classes in addition to all the foregoing terms. No employee of the company is authorised to vary the foregoing. THE WESTERN UNION TELEGRAPH COMPANY INCORPORATED ,NEWCOMB CARLTON, PRESIDENT TELEGRAMS CLASSES OF SERVICE ing and agreement that the Company does not undertake that a A full-rate expedited service. NIGHT MESSAGES Accepted up to 2:00 A.M. at reduced rates tO be sent during the night and delivered not earlier than the morning of the ensuing business day. Night Messages may at the option of the Telegraph Company be mailed at destination to the addressees, and the Company shall be deemed to have discharged its obligation in such cases with respect to delivery by mailing such Night Messages at destination, postage prepaid. DAY LETTERS A deferred day service at rates lower than the standard telegram rates as follows: One and one-half times the standard Night Letter rate for the transmission of 50 words or less and one-fifth of the initial rates for each additional 10 words or less. SPECIAL TERMS APPLYING TO DAY LETTERS: In further consiaeration of the reduced rate for this special Day Letter service, the following special terms in addition to those enumerated above are hereby agreed to: Day Letters, may be forwarded by the Telegraph Company as a deferred service and the transmission and delivery of such Day Letters is, in all respects, subordinate to the priority of transmission and delivery of regular telegrams. Day Letters shall be written in plain English. Code language is not perthissible. v. This Day Letter is received subject to the express understand- Day Letter shall be delivered on the, day of its date absolutely, and at all events; but that the Company's obligation in this respect is subject to the condition that there shall remain sufficient time for the transmission and delivery of such Day Letter on the day of its date during regular office hours, subject to the priority of the transmission of regular telegrams under the conditions named above. No employee of the Company is authorized to vary the foregoing. NIGHT LETTERS Accepted up to 2:00 A.M. for delivery on the morning of the ensuing business day, at rates still lower than standard iaight message rates, as follows: The standard telegram rate for 10 words shall be charged for the transmission of 50 words or less, and one-fifth of such standard telegram rate for 10 words shall be charged for each additional 10 words or less. SPECIAL TERMS APPLYING TO NIGHT LETTERS: In further consideration of the reduced rates for this special Night Letter service, the following special terms in addition to those enumerated above are hereby agreed to: Night Letters may at the option of the Telegraph Company be mailed at destination to the addressees, and the Company shall be deemed to have discharged its obligation in such cases with respect to delivery by mailing such Night Letters at destination, postage prepaid. Night Letters shall be written in plain English. Code language is not permissible. No employee of the Company is authorized to vary the foregoing. -4-- elegram Night Message BY TELEPHONE FROM THE WESTERN UNION MAIN OFFICE NEWCOMB CARLTON, PRESIDENT . Form 1222_. CABLEGRAMS Day Letter Charges Gf any) $ 17.7. UNION .SSES OF riTIC SERVICE Nigh. " etter I GEORGE W. E ATKINS, FIRST VICE-PRESIDENT CLASSES OF CABLE SERVICE Full Rate Half Rate Deferred Cable Letter Week End Letter Charges (if any) $ CLASSES OF DOMESTIC SERVICE Telegrams The regular fast service for all purposes. Code language permitted. Minimum of 10 words charged for- Night Messages Over-night service for short messages at reduced Due for delivery the following morning. Code language permitted. Minimum of 10 words charged for. rates. Accepted up to 2 A.M. Night Letters Day Letters For longer communications not requiring the faster service. Subordinated to Telegrams on hand. Must be in plain English Code language not permitted. Fifty words for the price of an 18-word Telegram Over-night service for longer communications. Accepted up to 2 A.M. Due for delivery the following morning. Must be in plain English. Code language not permitted. Fifty words for the price of a 10-word Telegram. CLASSES OF CABLE SERVICE Full-Rate Cablegrams A fast cable service to all parts of the world at Cable Letters Over-night cable service to certain countries at regular rates. greatly reduced rates. Due for delivery the following noon. Code language not permitted. Minimum of 13 words (including necessary prefix) charged for. Code language permitted. Half-Rate Deferred Cablegrams Subordinated to Full-Rate Cablegrams on hand. Must be in plain language of country of origin or destination or in French. Code language not per- The cheapest cable service of all. Accepted at any time. Due for delivery Monday morning. Code mitted. (including necessary prefix) charged for. Week-End Letters language not permitted. Minimum of 25 words CLA-Sri OF no SERVICE CLASSES OF CABLE SERVICE Full Rate Night Message TELEGRAMS Day Letter Night ' etter CABLEGRAMS BY TELEPHONE FROM THE WESTERN UNION MAIN OFFICE Charges Of any) $ NEWCOMB CARLTON, PRESIDENT GEORGE W. E. ATKINS, FIRST VICE-PRESIDENT Half Rate Deferred Cable Letter' Week End Letter Charges (if any) $ Dated 19 Uvuuti CLASSES OF DOMESTIC SERVICE Telegrams The regular fast service for all purposes. Code language permitted. Minimum of 10 words charged for, Night Messages Over-night service for short messages at reduced Accepted up to 2 A.M. Due for delivery the following morning. Code language permitted. Minimum of 10 words charged for. rates. Night Letters Day Letters For longer communications not requiring the faster service. Subordinated to Telegrams on hand. Must be in plain English. Code language not permitted. Fifty words for the price of an 18-word Telegram. Over-night service for longer communications. Accepted up to 2 A.M. Due for delivery the following morning. Must be in plain English. Code language not permitted. Fifty words for the price of a 10-word Telegram. CLASSES OF CABLE SERVICE Full-Rate Cablegrams A fast cable service to all parts of the world at Cable Letters Over-night cable service to certain countries at regular rates. greatly reduced rates. Due for delivery the following noon. Code language not permitted. Minimum of 13 words (including necessary prefix) charged for. Code language permitted. Half-Rate Deferred Cablegrams Subordinated to Full-Rate Cablegrams on hand. Must be in plain language of country of origin or destination or in French. Code language not per- The cheapest cable service of all. Accepted at any Due for delivery Monday morning. Code time. mitted. (including necessary prefix) charged for. Week-End Letters language not permitted. Minimum of 25 words 1 23 WI/. [Ave-4DA;79bei-W,o December 26, 1924 4 Dear Ben, Thank you 30 much for Root's Speeches and Essays. I will certainly enjoy reading them and they will remind me of the dear old scout who sent them to me. My best wishes to you always, and particularly that the new year will bring you blessings and prosperity in the fullest possible measure. Yours sine Hen. Benjamin Strong, 270 Park Avenue, New York City January 15, 1925. Dear Ed: I ar leaving 'or tle South this evening, withoA, having a chance to bet ia to sea you before l go. In fact, I t.svo been endeavoring for ,ome time past to do that, me posAbly you will unoerwtano that circumstances have mane it imc.aible. Iave evon been torking Sundays all day, and shall be oLliged to leave without haying good-bye to my good mother, alcc.epe over the telephone. I want you to'know, however, t?.',at I have thought about you a lot ana have inquired from your partner how you are getting along, tut tht.t is an utmatisfactory way AO so dear a friand is ill. ky best to you, Old rasa. rleL>et be g000 ano get well soon. hi:merely yours, E. h. Stettiniuz, Eso 1021 ?ark Avenue, New York, h. I. i3S.L8 ?et, ary 27, .k. Dear Ed: i.ver since my return from t,ne South I have been promisliks myself ti visit 4th you, or at least a chat over the telephone. But things have been moving rather fast and I had to he in iashington 3ever,...1 days wnile. you acre here in New York. yaeterday, I en mighty disapoointed not to have gotten you bui., my it was too late. ,: aver4.1 attemi:i;e were interrupted until However, with it all, I have had several enourin,-, reports through your secretary, and I am hopeful that this change will do you a world of good. I shall try to send you some of the neas soon, and, in the laeuntime, h.:;,nt to erld Eay very hest wishes and the hope that we snail see you back again your usual self before ve,ry long. Ey beet Lo you, old men. 3inuera.4 yours, E. it. !;tet.tiniue, 2248 ilialton Augusts., Georgia. 6444 '""r March 14, W5. 16ae Dear Ed: It his been on my mind to write you ever since I got back from the South last month, but I have been terribly busy and unable to get off a letter. There is not much to report from here in the way of news. had lunch at your office a few days ago with Jack -ad Tom. Both of them are back and looking well and cheerful, but we had nothing of particular interest to discuss. All the reports of you are encouraging and that is good. I had a month, devoted principally to golf, at Palm Beach with John the time with Dick Howe min Jay Cooke with his eife. We had nine holes every day at the Golf Stream Club, generally a nap in Grier, pert of the afternoon, and some engegoment for dinner every evening. 'ghee I left, John went on South for a cruise ene fishing trip. He has not yet turned up in New York, but I bather he is planning to atop at Bermuda for a couple of weeks' golf there and then come up by boat. Although I em a pretty poor judge, it looks as though the top were off the speculative movement in etocks, which is probably a good thing. 1 There also seems to be a little chill in the distribution of some of the foreign lone that have been coming to is that the the merket. quality he aemewhat deteriorated. The The explanation probably reports of bueiness continue to be excellent, alteoueh everybody is cautious, and there seems to be no eiepoeition to contract much ahead or stock up with goods, ehich again is a gooe thing. The lest issue of Governmeet bonds ane certificates cut very about close on rate, but really was e good success. The subscriptions were 50 or 60 per cent. eh excess of what the Government wanted to take. Don't bother to answer this letter unless you happen to te short of to to while away reading matter, for if you are I may send you a book OT the time. My very best to you. I am looking forward to the time when you wili te back with Us hale and hearty, anu able to enjoy the good things of life again. Affectionately, E. R. Stettinius, Esq., 224e Walton Way. Augusta, Georija. 24f \a cAupsta, e - 7 '3 .))( ) ) ,% \\ H1A 1 ) N& \'rhn11)th 1\1\ 1 3 (hki ilA'l 1,<, 1\ , http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve' Bank of St. Louis uBusta, (6a- 0 ARIMP/ -7-11 C3OVERNOW3 OFFICE RECEIVED ö1925 2 ,t 7.67,),4i'77 /7) 0"..; v.. Wrch 30, 1925. My deer Ed: It wee a greet delight, but eleo a aurpriee, to receive your letter today, because it *P.,6 really a violation of my injunetion. All that you write i6 a cause of joy to me, ea it will be to, John when I eee him. About myeelf, I can report that I heve not been in such fit shape for long time. It is the reward of vittue. I have been taking a regular course of treatment which includes an hour's rest after lunch en' the Alpine rey lamp, which really seems to be n excellent thing. There is not muca news, other than whet you read in the papers every day. I have seen your partners with coneiderable regularity lately, end they all seem exceedihOy well. I is I could help you out about your inveetments, but certainly thet would be carrying coal to Newcaetle. John and I had a getne time Lt. Palm .betch together, and just to indicate that I am not altogether out of the running while I die not play more than 9 boles W- t;olf any dty, I did manage to accumulate a little plunder from John and acme of the others, etc *Lee I left I at oirre the 9 holes in the low 406. Now take good care of youraelf and pletee do not oother to write me unleee the spirit really moves you to. I should like to aend you eome booke if you think youw-suld care to have me co so. With much affection, Sincerely yours, Ldward R. Stettinius, Esq., 224.8 Walter: Walt Augusta, Georgia. Be. S `1