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) . t 0r .. t· FEDFRPL RE S ~ -~ VE l 0 ft RD STJITEf>mJ•;T FOil. THE Pr\FSS X- 3341 For release in J>'lorning Papers, Fr~dar, ~arc~ 3, 1922. The fell o,, ing, is a revievv of seneral business and financial conii tior:s throu6hout the several Federal heserve Districts durin~ the month of February, as contained in the forthcoming issue of the Federal Reserve Bulletin. '' Durin6 the past month irr,prove:~.:ent of conditions in several basic industries has furnished a r.ore hopeful prospect for the trade of the co,c.ine, :noLths. This better outlook has in some measure been offset by labor and other difficulties in tne textile industry r;hich have resulted in reduced activity ir, that branch of business. Fluctuations in the price of raw materials have subjected the textile trade to still further difficulty, ,.hile in that industry, as well as in others, the lack of forward orders has made it difficult to plan policies far in advance. Fairly E:ood conditions are renorted in the shoe and leather industry, alI I though imr rovement has been laq:,ely conf irlod tci Nev; Eng_land. iron and steel It is to be varyin~ noted~ In opinions exist as to the situation and outlock. however, that there has been distinct increase in the activity or the rlants of the United States Steel Corporation as well as some increase in the activity of independent ;nill s. Iron ,~,..,. •• _) J t X- 3341 -2- and steel prices have, hovvever, tended to decline, or at best to hold their own, rather than to advance. In the chemical industry business activity has been given a severe setback as a result of uncertainty as to the future. In the nonferrous n;etals} especially cor ;·er} there has been a distinct increase in rroduction >'iith the reopenine;. of mines which have been shut do;vn for a long tirr.e past. The net outcome of these changes has been to diminish the irregularity and uneveness noted in the movement of industry during 1921. Textiles and allied lines which he.ve been far in advance of others are losin& their relative i1iomentum. The evenin;; tendency thus evidenced by current readjustments is reflected in the fact that the Board's price index remains ., ' unchan~ed at 136. The significance of this apparent stability of the price situation is not disclosed until account is taken of the fact that there have been noteworthy advances in prices of many agricultural products during the ~onth. The effect of these advances would have been to raise the &eneral price index had they not been offset by correspondin~ declines in other lines of industry. Tbe readjust- ment process, it would aprear} has now definitely reached the sta[e of . I inter-industrial price revisior... Tne advance iL value of agricultural products has tended to create conditions materially facilitating both the liquidation o£ loans at banks ar:d the rapidity of ,1.ove:Jent of '!lroducts to market, The mors satisfactory :T.arketing and price con- ditions have not only extended to grain1 but have also included tobacco and otter products. Early crop reports from the southwestern grain regions have not been altogether reassuring. ,. '· ' J f""'-,1"'!:-", ,. '' X-3341 -3- The long continued slackness of employment and past uncertainty as to agricultural prices have produced an effect upon trade activity~- with the result that both wholesale and retail trade indexes are dis- • posed to show recession of buying in most parts of the country save for seasonal activity in special lines 1 such as dry goods, betterment of retail dem~1d AlthouJQ has been reported in the farming districts 1 the effect of higher agricultural prices has not yet brought about any considerable modification of conditions. It should 1 however1 be remembered in this ccLnectior., that the f ar;ner had already largely· disposed of his last year's crop. The volume of employment (another importaHt factor in influencin~;., derr,and for goods) shows but little modification, althou~ fib,ures reported by the United States Euployment Service indicate a slieht advance. This co11di tion, however, holds good chiefly in the population centers. Strikes in the textile region of New EEc_;land as well as labor troubles elsewhere have during the latter part tended to ag~ravate o~, the month of Fabruary the unemployment situatior.. Continued improve!Tlent is noted in buildi:r"g operations. As com- pared with last year the volume of building is very much larger, January '· permits being more than double what they were a year aco• This is re- sulting in some increase in demand for steel and iron products as well as for other materia+s. It has also ircreased the demand for labor in parts of the country where ti1e surplus of unemployed would othendse have been more considerable. () ,....., ... ,rJ I ~ X-334l \ -4- f' -~ Financially the month has shc.m cor:tinued reductions in th·::J volume of credit required by the comnunity. Portfolios both of re- serve and member banks sho.v still further reduction1 while interest rates have remained fairly stable at the levels already reacned. ,· Foreign e%change has shown a decidedly stronger tendency, the hi£hest levels for a long time past havinb been reached in sterling, francs~ and some. other European currencies. Business failures are on a materially higher level than in 1921, while the month of February, as previously predicted by commercial agencies, also shows an increase in commercial failures as contrasted with January. ~!CULTURE. The condition of winter wheat has shown some im- provement recently, as a result of snows and rains in the latter part of January and the early part of February. District No. 10 (Kansas City) states that the Kansas wheat cror·, .except in the eastern haU of the state, is in poorer condition than ha.:;; been repor~ed at "'~his saason ir, many years. Drought still prevails in large sections of Oklahoma ad Colorado, but the deterioration of wheat in Nebraska has beer, checked by recent snows. No. , 'r 7 Weather was favorable for the wheat crop in Districts (Chicago) and No. 8 (St. Louis) up to the middle of February. District No. 11 (Dallas) February rair1s have benefited Texas wheat crop is reported to be far bel ow normal.. In crop S 1 but t!1e Vegetable and truck crops of the Gulf Coast and the Rio Grande Valley have so far escaped dan:age from killing freezes and generally promise fair yields. District No~ 8 (St, Louis) reports that stocks of corn on the farms are unusually large for this season, and that much corn is. being fed to cattle and hogs. "'- I, /"'""\, -··- : ._... ; ,.. X-3341 -~-' COTTON. The price of middlins-upland cotton at New Orleans the third week of February 1 was average. \_. In District No. 16.75 cents~ the same as the January 11 (Dallas) cold rainy weather has tern1 pore.rily hal ted the preparation of soil for the new crop, but has been very beneficial in furnishing an abundant supply of subsoil moisture. Although freezing temperatures have frequently occurred in the northern part of the District,. it is feared that the ccld waves have not been sufficiently severs to insure v1ide-spread destruction of boll weevils. Heavy reduction in Texas wheat acreage may result in an increased planting of cotton. District No. 8 (St. Louis) reports that demand for cotton is quiet, while District No. 5 (nichmond) states that farmers continue to held a substantial portion of the last crop on farms or in bonded warehouses. United States amounted to Exports of raw cotton frorr; the 475,910 bales in January} as compared with 639,825 bales in December. TOBPCCO. Se.les of leaf tobacco on the .narkets of Virginia and North Carolina have becm limited. ,,lost of the markets i:j the bright belt closed during February, and the dark markets expect to close during March. In spite of the large amount of low grade tobacco corr:ing on the market as farmers olea" their barns, prices have been well sustained. The ~rowers Oooperative Association has commenced o~eruticns in the burley district 1 making advances to grov;ers as tobacco is delivered to it. reported by it. Several large sales at quite sstisfactory prices are In the vrestern dark district 1 the greater portion of the tobacco has been delivered at very satisfactory prices. i-llest of the undelivered tobacco is of inferior grade, but is bringinG a fair price. -6- 0 . -·- _..( X-3341 ' l The cigar leaf market in District No. 3 (Philadelphia) continues dull, and in all but a few sections, the largest part of the 1921 crop is still in the growers', hands. While the quality in gene.ral is poor, prices to date have been lower than in recent years. Demand for cigars is reportej light in J?istrict No. 3 {Philadelphia) and )' production is still being curtailed. January, 1922, sales were no greater than January, 1921 1 which in tu.rn was the poorest month in years. A slight improvement is reported since_ the first of February. Only a few makers of pupular brands are producing cigars in any appreciable volume. FRUIT. Prices of citrus fruit, both in California and-Florida, rose ·rapidly in the latter part of January, as a result of the severe damage t_o the California crops from frost. OffiCiats of the California Fruit Growers Exchange estimate that 50 per cent of the orange crop and 33-1/3 per cent of the lemon crop have been destroyed by frosts and.winds. Oranges suffered more severely than lemons, because lemons are planted in more favored situations and are more by smudge-fires and heating plants. gener~.ly protected Shipments of oranges ·and lemons from California from November 1, 1921, to January 29, 1922, amounted to 10,439 cars, an increase of about 2 per cent over the shipments ir. the corresponding period of the previous crop year. District No. According to 6 {Atlanta), extremely cold weather at distributing points has hindered the moveme.ot of citrus fruit from Florida, but during this season to date, shipments of orant;es have be.en approximately as heavy, and shipments of grapefruit have been 12 par cent heavier than in the corresponding weeks of the last crop year. It is estimated that only 45 per cent of the grapefruit crop has been shipped from ' l -7- X-3341 Florida1 and over 6J500 carloads are said to be still on the trees. Unsettled and cold weather during January is reported to have caused some damage to fruit in Michigan. In New Mexico there was some premature blossoming of apricot trees in January 1 but District No. 10 (Kansas City) reports that subsequent loss from frosts was negligible. The southern strawberry crop was in good condition at the end of January. GRAIN ~OVEMENTS. The volume of grain movements showed a further slight advance during January, due to the exceedingly heavy marketing of corn. Receipts of corn at Chicago amounted to 2S1 568JOCO bushels in January, as compared'with 13,288,000 bushels in December, and correspondingly large increases in receipts were recorded at Minneapolis, Omaha, and St. Louis. January receipts of wheat showed some curtailment at most reporting centers, although slight increases were recorded at St. Louis and Wichita~ .Receipts of rye also declined, but receipts of oats and barley registered moderate increases. Stocks of grain at 11 interior centers declined somewhat during January, although tnere was some increase in stocks of rye and barley. The most general reduction occurred in the case of wheat stocks, which declined at all important centers except Duluth. District No. 12 (San Francisco) reports that total exports of wheat and carley from Pacific Coast ports during the present cereal year are during the same period of the previous saason. in the case of wheat, to 47~46S,2ll"bushels considera'~ly higher than These exports amounted~ this year) as compared with . -·' X-3341 -8FLOUR. January production of flour showed an increase over December in certain Districts, but in othtH s the reverse was true. In District No. 9 (Minneapolis) the January output reported was 1, 935,754 barrels, as compared with 1 1 754,654 barrels in December 1 ,, \ . while in District No. 8 (St. Louis) the respective figures for 11 millers were 333,966 barrels ar.d 24o,600 barrels. In District No~ ' 7 (Chicago), however, January production of 44 millers was 289,478 barrels, a decrease of 3.3 per cent from the December figure, while in District No. 10 (Kansas City) 1,398,989 barrels were produced in January. Output in District No. 12 (San Francisco) decreased from 775,139 barrels reported by Gl mills in December to 711,292 barrels reported by 67 mills in January. 1 A decidedly better feeling per- vaded the trade in District No. 6 (St. Louis), accompanied by stronger demand for both home consumption and export. Retailers and ultimate consumers show a disposition to replenish stocks. In District No. 10 (Kansas City), demand was somewhat slow early in January, most of the orders being for quick sh:pment. The incra&se in wheat prices, and the accompanying increase in flour, has stimulated purchasing, although, states District No. 10 (Kansas City) "not to the extent of creating any extraordinary demands 11 • LIVE STOCK. Movement of each of the principal classes of live sccc.h: to market during January was heavi.er than in December 1 although in all cases less than in January 1 1921. Receipts of cattle and calves at 15 western markets during January were 1,128, 020 head 1 as cornpared with 975,330 head during December and 1 1 1~1,814 head during January, 1321. In the case of hogs, receipts increased from 2,673,947 head during De cerr1ber to 2, 332 1 551 head during Jar"uary) as co:upared with 3, 339,419 -9- 'I. nead durir:g January, 1921. X-3341 H.eceipts of sheep during January were 1,101}679 head, as compared with 974,034 nead. duri.r-'-g December and 1,112, 024 head during January, 1921. During January there was more activity in the purchase of stocker and feeder cattle, calves and sheap in District Nc. 10 (Kansas City) than ha1 been obser.ved for .many months. Such purcnassrs in quite a number of instances oucbid buyers for the packers. i: The live stock in the District in general is rel'ortad to be ir1 a very fa·.rorable position. In Districts Nos. 11 (Dallas) and 12 (San Francisco) 1 howl3ver 1 conditions have been unfavorable. Winter rains in District No. 11 (Dallas) hi:we not been sufficient to relieve the drought from which ranges have been suffering for several m.o..ths 1 while in District No. 12 (San Francisco) there.was unusually cold weather throughout January. Twenty-three represe,~tative packers re~or-t an increase of 1. 8 per cent in January sales (measured· in doll.ars) over those for December, but a decline of .17.8 per cent from those for January, lS'2L Reports from District No. 7 (Chicago) generally state that domastic trade in fresh meats was slow during the latter part of January and early February, although J.omestic trade in cured meats and lard was good. A marked revival took place 'in ti1e demand for lard and provisions in the United Kingdom and on the continent; and prices advanced. ~. Production of bituminous coal showed an increase during january. The output for the month was 37,600,000 tons, as compared with the Decertiber production of 30,975,000 tcns 1 and a production in January, 1921, of 4q 270,000 . tons. \iith the exception of October, the figures for January 1 1922, are the largest since January a year ago. The preser.t production is large enough to meet current requirements f cr consumption and export and at the same time add to the reserve in storage. Due to the expectation of a strike of bi tumino:..ts r ___ -10miners on April lst, there has baen X-3341 ar;. up of reserves during the last month. improved demand and a building This has been especially notice- able with railroads and public utilities, - electric utility plants having 51 days' suprly on hand and coal gas plants January 1st. 59 days' supply on Other classes of consumers hold from four to eight weeks 1 supuly •. Stocks throL:ghout the country on January 1 amounted to 47 1 5001000 tons in addition to 7,151,000 tons on the Upper Lake docks. Production of anthracite coal increased from 5,984,000 tons in December to 6, 258,000 tons in January, which is 15 per cent below the 7, 410,000 tons production for January, 1921. District No. 3 (Philadelphia) reports that continued cold weather during the past month has resulted in only a slight improvement in the domestic demand for prepared sizes of anthracite. All purchasing is of a hand-to-mouth nature and orders are for only small lots 1 as operators and dealers alike are umv1lling to accumulate stocks b'efore the end of the present coal year. Domestic consumers are unwilling to purcbase at the present price as their fuel needs vvill lessen considerably after .April~ ·~and consumers of steem sizes are also reluctant to stock at the present price, since they are awnre oi the existence of heavy supnlies of stear coal in the yards of dealers and operators. In an endeavor to reduce their holdings, independent operators have reduced their prices, even on some of the popular sizes, to the companies' level, and retail dealers have sbaded existing prices as much as 50 cents or $1 a ton. The production of the bee-hive coke for January was 496,000 tons as compared with 514,000 tons in December and 1,137,000 tons in January, 1921, while January production of by-product coke was 1,903,000 tons as compared with 1,360,000 tons in December and •. 2, 278, 000 tons in January a year ago. t - 11 I 0 E~T~2~~ft: Reports from District No. 10 (Kansas C~ty) state that the number of oil wells completed j_n January of t~is y9ar was less +:l·.an one- half the total completed du:i:'ing .Jar>uary, 1921, b·..tt the quality of the wells was sueb as to brin£: the new production to within 3 per cent of the total new production for J~~ary, 1921. Cn1de oil production for Kansas, Okla- homa and ~yo~ing runounted to approximately 14,369,000 barrels, as compared with 12,:}.5S,OOO barrels in Jcmuary, 1921. "'ProC.uc~ion c·~ No • 11 ,'n l· n nl· · str;•'\.. .. a ,• -.:..J.s ) 130 '\. . ~rrol,.. ~ ' 1ed ~ '~,',)~a ~l.•·.',).!.'··j \ "~ ( VC. of crude petroleum .:> d-,·e~ ..., C' W.l.J.Lt;:- T~«.v·a··· uc..:J.o\.> !.J. breaking all previous records and registering an increase of 1,496,380 over barrels th~ necember production figure. In that District 212 new producin~ wells, with an initial flow of 259,188 birrels, were completed in January e.s compared with 203 producers with an initial flow of 328,984 ·• barrels in necember. Average daily production of petroleum in California during January \was 315,755 barrels, a decrease of 9, 723 barrels a day, compared with December, and of 15,.431 barrels a day compared with January a year ago. Fifty-two new producing wells with an initial daily production of 11,210 barrels were completed during Januar,y. Stored stocks at the end of the month increased to 36,·184, 527 barrels, an increase of 1, 162,615 barrels over the amount stored during December. Prices for crude oil showed very little change during the month of January, but are hi>?her than in January, 1921, at which time crude oil prices were showing rap5.d declines. IFON ANT'l STE~t: .~f~~r the ext:rer:;e cln. llness of Dec~r~h~r, Jo:mu.er.y steel ingot production showed an increase to 1,593,432 tons from the figure of 1,427,093 tons during the preceding month, but pig iron production showed a slight decrease, from 1,649,086 tons in December to 1.638,697 tons in January. The unfilled orders of the United States Steel Corporation at •• J - 12 - X-3341 the close of the month likewise showed a small dacrease, from 4,268,414 tons to 4,241,678 tons. conditions in-February. Divergent reports E:re, however, heard as to On the one hand the fact that increased dew3nd since the middle of January has served to carry operations back to the \ level obtained in November is pointed to. Furtherrr.ore, sorrs important companies having a diversified output have recently been able to run at· better than 60 per cent of their capacity. On the other hand, while it is acknowledged that many firms report an increasing volutre of inquiries, and in some instances a larger number of orders, it is believed that the increase has been but slight. It is genE?rally acknowledged that at least· a considerable part of the present demand is for small quantities and for immediate delivery. A large part has been for the replenishment of exhausted. lines, revealed when inventories were completed in January. More active demand by cement and oil interests, as well as for export, is reported. There have been some sales of both railroad equipment and structural steel, lroth inquiries and orders being believed 'by some to afford decided· encourage·ment, while others regard them as "disappoltntingly small". All in all, it is apparent that conflicting tendencies are still in evidence and that no marked terdency toward ,either further progress or recession has yet a~eared. This is r'3flected by the fact that :prices for 'both pig iron and finished stef.... products in general continue weak. AUTOM013ILES.:, Some improvement in the automobile industry in January is reported, although when compared with a year ago. production is considerably less. C~anies re~orting as against 52,026 in December. . ) produced 54,086 passenger cars in January, These companies prodv.ced 73.6 per cent of X-3341 - 13 the total output reported for t1ecember. rvianufac turers report that the results of the New York and Chicago automobile shows, both in at tend.ance tha~ and interest displayed by the puolic, were better stated by District No. 4 (Cleveland) that the public is confjJl.ence after the recent -pdce reCll.JCt50'"', end to come in. expected. +,:~at It is show~ng more orde:r"J e>l"e '··er,.;:minz Output of reporting truck manufacturers decreased from 6,318 trucks in December to 5,837 in January. These manufacturers produced 76.1 per cent of the total output reported for December. l:!QN!l'EFROUS MH;TAT,S: market during February. There was little change in the nonferrous metal The price of copper (New York, net refinery) was 12.875 cents to 13.0 cents -o~r ::oound on February 15~2 as compared with 13.25 cents per -pound on February 1, while the price of lead l':as been practlcally stabilized at 4.70 cents per ?ound since last September. The zinc market has been exceptionally quiet, the price rerraining around 4.50 cents. Copper production in January arr.ounted to 25,848,284 pounds in comparison with a production of 18,595,182 pounds in December. Some of the more important copper companies have resurr.ed operations in spite of the reduction in the price of the metal. reports January shipments of 28,~31 ristrict No. 10 ("Kansas City) tons of zinc blende as campar2d with 30,096 tons for January, 1921, average ·-prices being $26.44 and resp"3cti vely. ~27.ll, Production of zinc show·ed a further increase, amountinf:; to 23,706 tons in January as compared with 22,013 tons in December, but was still less than the amount produced in January, 1921, •.>vhich totaled 25,916 tons. Thera was a further slight reduction in the amount of zinc on hand, stocks at the end of January ,"'Jriour:.ting to with 66,608 tons at the end of Decembe~. 65,678 tons as compared District No. 10 (Ransas City) - 14 - X-3341 reports that the price of lead ore was very steady throughout the month of January, the prevailin~ price being $60.00 per ton every week. stocks at the end of the month show3d 72,000 tons of zinc Ore blende aa against 50,000 tons for the same d?.te in 1921, and of 600 tons of lead ore as against 500 tons on the corres~onding date in 1921. District No. 12 (San Francisco) states that reports received from 14 of the largest in that District show a decreased nroduction of gold, silver and min~s lead for December as compar8d COTTON T!i:VT!TJES: ~~ith the previous month. There has 'besn a subsidence of activity in the cotton goods mills during recent weeks, although the consUIIIPtion ·or· cotton in January as reported by the Bureau of the Census rose to 526,552 bales as compared with 511,800 bales in December. The continued fluctuations in the price of raw cotton have been a serious hinderance to the placing of forward orders, and the extensive strikes in New England mills following announced wage reductions have added to the already existing uncertainties. During January, however, the rate of the activity of the New EnglarA cotton industry was well maintained and even showed a slight increase.. Goods mills in District No. 3 (Philadelphia) are operating at about 70 per cent of capacity with orders booked sufficient ) ' . to enable them to continue running at that rate for about six to eight weeks. Very little manufacturing is being done for stock. first part of February, the yarn market in was reported to be exceedingly dull. ~istrict Thl.ring the. No. 3 (?.hiladelphia) Orders were in small lots for irnr,ediate delivery and buying was confined chiefly to the knitting trade. Yarn mills in the District were operating at 65 .. p~r about 75 per cent of orders being filled from stock. cent of ca.pacity with District No. 5 X-3341 - 15 - .~ . . . .,, r':,_ (Richreond) says that the mills in that section "continued to run on approximately full time in an effort to get the cost of production as low as po;;siole, but orders of stock has resulted". bc.i.~ . . g On far less than the O'l.i.~l:Jut, son.t:: accua;ulation account of the unwillingness of buyers to place forward orders, many mills were beginning to curtail their operating time. Cotton cloth manufacturers in ~istrict No. 6 (4tlanta) have also felt the unfavorable effects of the uncertain markets for raw cotton. In the case of the goods mills, demand decreased during January and a number of the mills reported that they were conditions for future delivery". ~able to secure orders under present Statistics based on the returns from 4o r~presentative goods mills in the District showed a reduction in the yardage output of clothing during January of 1.7 per cent as compared with December but an increase of Shipments increased 39.1 per cent as compard with a year ago. 3.4 per cent during the ~~nth and 29~4 per cent as compared with January, 1921. as compared with December 6.8 per cent greater than at tl:e end of the preceding month and cent above those on hand a year ago, ~were Orders an hand '8.2 per Although yarn buyers were also said to be purchasing only for lmrr::"l::Uate n':leds the re"?c~ts 39 recei-o;red from representative yarn mills in District No. 6 (Ptlanta) showed a great increase in activity during January. compared with December and was .I • Production rose 90.6 per cent · Yarn shipments increased 2.8 per cent as per cent as compared with January, month were 17.9 per cent as greater than a year ago . co~ared with Decen~er and 108.1 1921. Orders on hand at the end of the 15.9 -per cent larger than at the end of December and 20,5 per cent larger than a year ago. It is st-£,ted that the demand for low grade yarns appears to be weak. consumers showing preference for the better grades. X-3341 - 16 TOOLEN TEXTILES: Activity in woolen textiles has shown a slight recession during the past month, as is evident from the statistics of active and idle machinery and percentages of idle hours reported by the Bureau of Census. in all cases The percentages of idle looms to total reported rose exce~t in that of carpet and rug looms. For looms wider than 50" reed space, the percentage of idle machinery on February 1, was 34.3 as compared with 30.3 at the beginning of January. . The corresponding perc.,ntages for looms 50" reed space or less were 27.2 and 21.2 respectively . On the other hand, there was a reduction in the percentage of idle carpet and rug looms from 26.2 to 22. 4, (February 1). The percentage of idle woolen spindles rose from 25.1 to 27, and for worsted spindles from 13 to 14.3. Percentage of idle hours to totals reported were also greater in the case of weaving machinery e*cepting carpet and rug looms, the figures for looms wider than 50n reed space being 35.2 per cent on February 1, as compared with 32.9 ner cent at the beginninQ of January. The corresponding figures for looms 50" reed space or less were 32 per cent and 27.8 ?er cent. The percent~ge of idle hours for carpet and rug looms, however, was reduced to 23.9, as compared with 29.7 for the preceding month. idle spirdle hours remained of woolen spindl~s, ~ractically Percentages of unchanged, falling in the case from 25.6 at the beginning of January to 25.4 on February 1, while in the case of worsted spindles they rose from 13.3 at the beginning of January to 13-9 on February 1. District No. 1 (Boston) reports woolen and worsted machinery to be "moderately active" although not operating at as high a rate as during the past two or thr~e months. Orders taFen at the recent opening sales of the mills were, generally speaking, below expectations. In District No. 3 - 17(P"niladelphia) production of wo:Jlen ~mel worsted cloth increased sligL~ly during the month and reporting mills averaged about 75 per cent of operating capacity. However, orders on hand \rere not in most cases sufficient to make possible the maintenance of this rate of production for more than 30 '; days. In the yarn market, Tiistrict No. 3 (Philadelphia) reports a falling off in the demand for knitting yarns but there was a slight improvement in the call for weaving yarns,· although the market continues to be very limited. Carpet yarns, however, were in active demand. Operations of yarn mills in the District averaged about 80 per cent of capacity and it was stated that most spinners could continue at that rate for two or three months on the basis of orders on hand. In some cases, departments were being operated at night and a majority of the mills were e~loying a full force of men. The market for raw wool continues to remain firm although a lessening of the volume of operations has been noticeable since the beginning of February according to the report from !'lis.trict No. 1 (Boston). prices in the. Boston mar~et. Raw wool advanced. on the a'?'erage nearly 50 per cent to the beginning of February as compared with fall quotations. No. 12 (San Francisco) reports that at the is held by growers in that District. pre~ent District time little or no wool Between 75 and 80 per cent of the 1921 wool clip and carry-over was sold between June 1 and November 1, 1921, at prices ranging from 9 cents to 20 cents per pound according to the grade of wool and locality Where grow.n. from ~ool buyers are now said to be offering 17 cents to 33 cents per pound for various small holdings still the growers• hands. amounted to in Raw wool consumption during the month of January 61,192,000 pounds. r......,. ···· 1~ ;_) - 18 - --CLOTHING: Clothing sales in Districts No. 2 (New York) and No. 8 (St. Louis) showed very slight December. 2.3 chan~s in January as compared with In the former District there was a negligible increase of per cent in sales for 10 re~orting firms while in the latter there was a slight recession in the volume of sales of J both Districts sal~s District No. 2 (N~N 7 reporting firms~ as compared with a year ago showed reductions. York) this drop amounted to 22.8 per cent. received from six wholesale manufacturers of District No. 23 (Chic~go) men~s In In Returns clothing located in showed that the volume of orders for spring received to date was 25.8 per cent ah.ead of orders received fo-r the spring sAason last year. two seasons. The comparison is for the sarr:e number of days during the The production increased slightly during the month, the number of suits made being 5.4 per cent greater than during December and 64.1 per cent in excess of production for January, 1921. Shipments were 327 ·9 per cent greater than January a year ago. in December and 58.9 per cent greater than in The reports received from 10 tailor-to-the-trade showed a slowing down in activity, as the number of suits made was 36.5 per cent below that of the preceding month, although 11.4 per cent than a year ago. greate~ Orders received during the month were 30 per cent below December figures but 14.5 per cent above those for Januax·y a year ago. Shipments declined 36.5 per cent from the December totals, but increased 11 ~er cent over last year • .., J - 19 - highly unsatisfactory COl'ldi tion, due ir~ considerable :part to the l~nc~rtain ties growing out of the speculative rise in the prices of raw silk in the Japanese markets. ' Buyers, in consequence, are unwilling to make forward commitments on the basis of present costs of production, and the few orders that are being placed are chiefly for immediate delivery. District No. 3 ('PhiJ.adel~hia) in The situation in the case of mills manufacturing silk goods, is bett':!r than might be ·expected, considering these disturbing factors, as the average rate of operation of renorting firms is about 70 per cent of capacity. A number of mills, as a matter of fact, are operating at full capacity but in all cases activity is based on orders received some time ago. .r • The demard for silk yarns has fallen off to a certain extent and the cessation of b~ving by hosiery manufacturers has been an unfavorable factor, but nevertheless, yar11 rrmmfacturers in Tlistrict No, 3 ('Philadelphia•) are opArating at "an almost normal 11 rate for this season of the year. how:::;ve:.. engageJ. en ordel's mills ~~c::n dU1·i~1g pr"lvious mo.:1~hs. They are, Ai. thougt1 a few are running at full capacity with enough business to il'lsure capacity operation for about six weeks , reporting establishments are a~eraging only 60 per cent of capacity and on the basis of present orders can not continue at that rate more than two weeks. Latest reports from Paterson and North Hudson, February 11, show a very low percentage of activity, as only 3.653 looms out of a total of 15.000 reporting were operating in Paterson and the p~rcentage of operating loom hours to total available was only 23.02 per cent, a reduction from the figure of 24.13 per cent reported two weeks ago. In North ?Udson, the percentage of operating loom hours to total re~orted was 57.48 per cent as com:pared with 58.8 per cent on January 28. Active looms amounted to 2,456 out of a total of 4.179, - 20 ROSIE~ Reports from 33 hosiery firms in District No. 3 (Philadelphia) show a large incrPase in orders booked during January. In the case of those reporting firrrs which sell to the wholesale trade, orders booked during the month increased 55.5 per cent as compared with December while in the case of the firms selling to the retail trade the increase was 181.9 p8r cent. Unfilled orders on hand January first were 1.9 per cent greater than during the preceding month in the case of firms selling to the wholesale trade and 33 per cent larger in the case of firms selling to the retail trade. Product manufactu~d during the month rose for both classes of firms, the respective nercentages being 0.4 and 13. Shipments in the case of firms SAlling to the wholesale trade advanced 11.7 per cent and in the case of firms selling to the retail trade dropped 24.7 per cent. Tl'w report from District No. 3 (Philadelphis) says that "statements received regarding the amount of business being done are very conflicting and it is agreed that difficulties are rr;et with, due to the fact that the cost of mate:cials has increased. while there is difficulty in placing orders at any advance in prices over those narrad earlier in the season. During the month there was a slight decline in the price of silk and cotton yarns but not sufficient ' ' to enable manufacturers to make any concessions to buyers". District No. 6 (Atlanta) reports that there is little change i:n the activity of the cotton ,,_,•...___ \• ___,,----;---.,..---·r-----~/.- ·-.,/ hosiery mills in that ~~··-·- section Orders hooked during the month were, however, considerably largc:;r than in Decemb 2r and about the same as reported for January of the preceding year. X-3341. - 21 ~ERW.EAR: In January, 1922, reports were received from 55 mills producing underwear, as compared with 1921. 49 in December, and 61 in January, Actual production during the past twelve months shows material ~rogress. A year ago the ~reduction of 61 reporting mills was only 148,023 dozens, or 16.4 p~r cent of norn~l, while the most recent figures from 55 mills place ac ~,~-:-~ production at 6lLO, 489 dozens, or 79.1 ';?Cr cert 4' of normal. In December the production of 49 mills stood at 77.0 per cent of normal. The greater part of the January 1922 production was along the line of summer underwear, which amounted to 347,977 dozens or 95.3 per cent of normal, while the production of winter garments amounted to 292,512 dozens or 65.8 ',. . p~r cent of normal. Comparative reports received from 34 mills show marked improvement for the month of January as compared with the December returns from the Slimle mills. Production tose from 398,338 dozens in December to January, a gain of ~17,051 dozens in 4.7 per cent. Unfilled orders fell slightly from 1,228,611 dozens on December 13 to 1,175,377 dozens January 14, a decrease of 4.3 per cent. The most striking gains are seen in new orders received and shipments during the month. The former rose from 271,764 dozens in December ~o 481,270 in January, an increase of 77.1 per cent, while 524,007 dozens were shipped during January as compared with 320,126 dozens in Der.ember, a gain of 63.7 per cent. At the sarr.e time cancellations fell off 36 per cent from 10,850 dozens in December to 6,94o do~ens in January. Forty mills with a normal production of 635,149 dozens, reported an actual production of 505,242 do~ens during January with unfilled orders on hand February 1, amounting to 1:531,205 dozens, the 'balance of orders having increased 18.2 per cent since January 1. :new Orders arnouuted to 722,616 dozens or 11~. 2 per cent of normal production, while shipments were 78.7 p~r cent of normal production. Cancellations were slight, being only 1.1 p~r cent of normal production. X-3341 SHOES A~~D LE PTHER. r,, . ·. i~u 22 - j ~ ~~J {.. Demand for hides and skins continued to be ver.y dull during the last week in January and the first three weeks in February, and prices of packer hides at Chicago yltelded somewhat in the week ending February 18th. District No. 7 (Chicago) reports 1 howevGr, t h at more interest has been shown in country and specialty hides than in the uacker class. Sales of green calf and kip skins throughout the United States were 105 per cent greater in J~muary than in December. The curtailment made several weeks ago by most of the tanners in the number of hides put into process will not be felt in the finished leather market for severe.l months. District No. 3 {Pbiladelphia) states that sales of leather are not large but orders are being received steadily. Sales ·of belting in District No~ 7 (Chicago) were greater in J~nuary than in either December or :!fenuary, 1921, but belting prices advanced. Demand for shoe leathers bas been restricte~ largely to special tics, such as patent, grey sue1e, smoke1 elk skins, ani veals. January se.les in the United States were 124 per cent larger than those of December, due to a heavy increase in demand in the Naddle West. Shoe manufacturing showed an cncour~ging increase in actiVity during January, except in District No. 8 (St. Louis). Reports from eight manufacturers in District No. l (Boston) indicate that January production was 12 per cent greater than thet of Decerober and ll.J :per cent gree.ter than thl'lt in Jenu?ry. 1921. 2 :per cent in shipments Six of these ~d a iecrease of January in comparison with December. trict No. m~nufacturers 7 showed an increase of per cent in new o~lers for Forty-five reporting firms in Dis- 3 (Philadelphia) show increases of 15 T-er cent in -production, 14 per cent in shipments~ 18 per cent in new orders, 8.5 per cent in stocks • and 5 :per cent in number of operatives -:luring Janue.ry, while the volume of unfilled criers was re:luce:'l. ~bout 5 per cent .. Shoe manufacturers in • ) - 23 - X-3341 that District are runnit.J.g their fectories at a higher T:'e:>:-cents.g;.; of capacity than at any time since last spring, although prices still continue to decline. In the high grade factories specialties pre- dominate, varying from strap sli-:9pers to sport shoes. 28 concerns in District No. Reports from 7 (Chicago) show that production increased 1 per cent, shipments 4 per ~ent, and stocks 16 r.er cent during the month of J anu ery. Retail merchants are reported to be buying only in small q_uantities and low t:riced shoes have the best demand. Factory operation in District No. 8 (st. Louis) ranged from 45 to 100 per cent of capacity, with lower production confined chiefly to interests specializing in expensive footwear. January sales of 11 reporting manufacturers in thst District showed increaseu ranging from te to 140 per cent in number of paits over January, 1921, but were slightly smaller than in December, 1921. :, 'l;~ 1~~--' •C) ..._, - 24 LUMT'ER: The lumber si tua.tion shows a. slight improvement. The close of the inventory -pe.riod has bcnefi tei the inius try by ro1 in creased demand, but the increase ~~s fallen short of expectations. General coniitions in the lumber in"Lustry of District No~ 12 (San Francisco) improved during January, which was evidence·i by an in:t crease in ·.:-reduction, shi-pments and orders, both a.s comparel with December, 1921, and with J~nuary during the four weeks ending Proiuction of lurnb;::r a. year ago. J~nu~ry 25, accorling to reports re- ceived from three lumber associations, totaled 327,624,000 feet compared with 264,544,000 feet in the ~receding four weeks, ~increase of 23.7 per cent during the month. Compared with January, 1921, when 152,110,000 feet \vere cut, there was an increase of 175,514,000 feet, or 115.3 per cent. Present cut is approximately 80 per cent of normal rroduction for the rerorting mills· Orders received during the month tota1ei 343,565,000 feet compared with 270,724,000 feet in December and 17S,614,0CO feet in Jgnuary a year ago. ~nd The January orders exceeie'i the J~nu?.ry cut bv 4.8 per cent the shipments were 5-3 per cent above the actual rroiuction, continuing the reduction in stocks which has been in ~rofress since last November. approxim~tely Logging rro,iuction d.uring January wa.s repol·ted to be 50 per cent of normal. Severe weather conditions h&ve foreed m~y camps to suspen::l operations for the "ast three months· District No. 6 (.Atlanta.) reports that although winter weather has interfered somewhat with mill ani logring operations, there hes been some improvement in the industry, as shown by an increase both in - 25 orders and pro:luction over the precei.ing month. February 3rc1. of the 75 reporting mills of the Southern Pine Association 57 reported full time full time and Dece~ber. 41 and. only 4 shut down, corrpared with 6 operating shut down out of the 76 reporting for the last week in Production since January 1st has been about 81 per cent of District No. 11 (Dallas) reports a ~rod.uction of nonnal. for 23 For the week ending mills during January as comrared with in Decerrber. 95,954,972 85,572,937 feet feet for 45 mills There has been a sharp decline of shipments corr.bined with an increase in new orders, making the unfilled orders of 41 mills on Janu8ry 31st, 44,667,936 feet against a total of 39,230,622 feet for 45 mills on December 31st. The demand for up::-a~ gr,.,des of lumber has been very weak. Lumber sales at retoil in District No. 9 (Minneapolis) declined 25 per cent between December ani January, but were larger than in January a. year ago. Stocks, while lower than a ye~r ago, were larger at the end of January than at the end of December. On the other hand the number of board feet ordered during January, 1922 1 nearly doubled that of January a year ego, and shipments during J~nuary were more than double those of a. year ago. Production of reporting mills in January was 4,536.322 board feet as compared with 1,803.114 boari feet in Decerrber. In District No. l3 (Stw Louis) there has been a declining market for westcoast lumber, moderate red.uction of stocks, reggei prices, and. a, somewhat lower selling basis for hardwoods. South::;rn pine, bowc:ver, has been making headway 1 ani with a gradually• increasing demand has apparently strengthened its rrice position since the new ye~r- - 26 - ' ·- :'· - .... 'BUilDING: Iluildinty penni ts issued in 166 selected cities rea~hed. a total value of $138,631,902 during January is compared with $ll.~O,}B2,4C5 In seven of the 12 during December and. $61,522,867 during January, 1921. Federal Reserve Districts- No. 1 (Tioston), No.3 (Philadelphia), No. 5 (Richmond) 1 No. 6 (.Atlanta) 1 No. 7 (Chicago), No. 11 (Dallas), end No. 12 ) (San Francisco) - the value of renni ts issued was greater in January than in December. These increases varied in size from 3 per cent in District No.7 (Chicago) to 64 per cent in District No. 11 (Dallas). Decreases were registered in the other five Districts and ranged in size from 3 ~er cent for District No. 2 (New York) to 52 per cent for District No. 9 ·(Minneapolis). The value of permits issued in JanuPry, 1922, was greater than in January, t 1921, in the case of every Fe4.eral Reserve District. These increases varied from 4 per cent for District No. 4 (Cleveland) to 230 per ~ent for District No. 2 (New York). The value of contracts awarded in seven Federal Reserve Districts (statistics of which are compiled by the F. W. Doige Co.) decreased from $183,633,754 in December to ¢148,377,055 in January. Decreases occurred in Districts No.1 (Boston), No.2 (New York), No.3 (Philadelphia), No.5 (Richmond), No- 7(Chicago), and No.9 (Minneapolis), while there was a moderate increase in the velue of contracts awarded in District No.4 (Cleveland). District No. 1 (Iioston) states that resiiential construction continues to be maintained at a high rate, whereas the number of new business buildings shows a marked decline. Reports from District No. 3 (Philadelphia) indicate considerable building ~-ctivity, which has been encouraged by further declines in rrices of materials. In District No. 6 {Ptlanta) building has ~.- continued in large volume during the ·~·in+,er months, as the weather has been unusually mild, but building for industriel purposes has not revived to the same extent as home buil1ing. A large nu..nber of small homes are also being built in the southern sections of able weather conditions prevail. ~istrict No.8 (St. Louis), where favor- Distl·ict No. that there is a noticeable increase in the 9 (Y.-Hnneapolis) reports aver~ge size of permit issued Construction for new construction, in spite of declining building costs. activity in District No. 11 (Dallas) is increasin~ in volume and is being extended from residential building to building for business purposes. District No. 12 (San Francisco) reports the.t building activity in January once more reached record proportions, exceeding that in any month with the exception of October, 1921. EMPLOYMENT: The reports rec0ived from the various Districts concern- ing developments in the labor situation during the :past month are of a somewhat conflicting character. The latest stetements issued by the United States Employment Service covering firms employing more than 500 workers show that for the period ending Januery 1 there was an increase of 4.2 :per cent in numbers employed as compared with the end of December. Increases were especially noticeable in the case of vehicles for land transportation in which there was an increase of 58.4 per cent during the month. !eat her ani its finished 't'ro:iucts ani met~"ls followed with increases of 3·7 ani 2.8 per cent respectively. The lergest decreases occurrer:l in railroad repair shops which showed a re1.uction of 3·9 per cent in numbers employed ani in tobacco manufacture in which there was a decrease of 2.6 per cent. The ~ '',f""!t - 28 - : net increase in numbers emplo;y·ed amounted to ing firms which were ernnloyinp 1,556,507 63,4oO for the workers on Janu~ry the date of this report, conli tions have arisen which have increases in unemployment in cert~in <"' ... ~·j 1, I..JZ8 re:p.::-rt- 31. Since br:t;~~ght about sections of the country notably in District No. 1 (:nos ton) where wiies:prea:i strikes in the textile mills of t Rhode Island and New H:.rrrpshire ~re now in progress. The strikes stPrted t.bout the rni'l:lle of Fcbr..Pry when mills in northern New England and Rhode lsl,_m-1. '"nnovnced !:'" reiuction of 20 per cant in wage rates accompanied in some inst-nces by l".n increase in working hours from 48 to 54 per week. So fa.r, cotton mill operetives in M'3-ssachusetts h-::lVe not been ~ffected to any greet extent rs no wPge reductions bEve been made either in Fell River ot· NeN ! aiford. 'Little change c cc'lrrecl i n the according employment situation in that st0te during the past month, to the reports of tha M.."'ss<->chusetts Pu~·,lic Employment Offices at Springfield, Worcester end Boston. The n~ber applying for all lines of work was, however, reported to be in ~11 cases lPrgely in excess of dem~nd. In New York Stete, there was a slight decrease of 1.5 per cent in the numbers employed in 1,500 est~clishrnents which m~de reports to the State Dep~rtment of Lebor. The decre~se w~s ~ttributed mainly to se~sonal reductions and the closing of f~ctories for repairs. In District No. 3 (PhilPdelphia) a l~rge number of unemployed was still reported for the six cities of ~ltoona, H~rrisburg, Johnstown, Philadelphi~, Scr~nton and Willif:'J:I'l..sport according to the Pennsylv~IDia StPte Depc.rtment of Labor. The number of unemp~oyed rose from February 15. 232,960 on February to 234,275 on However, this is en improvement over conditions on Janu?ry l when there were 243,293 une~loyed.. 1 Reports received by the tf~ t ...... .-·.~ ; J X-3341 - 29 Phih.:ielphia iniic~te Feder~l a high degre~ th$.t the nu:m.ber of of 1"1te. Reserve P!!!Dk from other sections of the District of unemployment ?..s m.?.r.y ~.ppJ.i.cnnts District No. 5 :for work h~s m~m:::~cturers state been exce})ti.,nnlly large (Ricmnon~) rep~rts that during_the past month there has been sorre evidence of an incr8ase in the numbers unemployed-. Street ce.r strikes have been in progress in Richmond, Norfolk and Portsmouth en:.l one has been called in Columbia, S. C. fi number of ship y2ris' employees heve been laid off in Newport News. Employment agencies in the District note ~ influx of workers from northern f!n.i eastern points who have been inducei to migr?.te by inform.<>_t:ton of greater "'Ctivity in the in-iustries of the southeastern stl'>tes. Special reports mAde to the Feder~l th~t at the end of January there was Reserve lank of an increpse of 4.3 Chic~go show rer cent in numbers employed by reporting finns as corr;:;,.rei with the eni of December although a decline of occurred. on JenuAry 5.8 per cent as comppred with a¥ea~ ago The in1Uiry covers 205 firms which employed 116,277 men 31. The increases in employment were exceptionally heavy in the case of automobiles and accessories, met<e.ls other and iron, and egricultur~l machinery. The respective th~n steel rercent~ges In the automobile gro,.tp, the heavy increc.se was caused by the oper~.tions after f~ct thet two of the five reporting plents resumed tem:por~rily closing iown. In the machinery group the increases in numbers ernployei ~ gric ul tural ~re offset in p?rt by the f2ct tiT> t meny plants are working on re:lucei scredules o·r , • . flf - .,_-:.c X-3341 - 30meint~ining relief employment. In District No. 9 (Minnenpolis), con- ditions improved. .iuring the month of Janu"'ry .<>ni speCial reports maie to tha Fe.ierf11 Reserve r.?nk of Minne?polis covering firms employing less than 500 men in Minneg,polis Pnd. also incluling mining end lumber- ing compl!!nies in the District showed Sl1 increase of 8.2 per cent in numbers ' employed. The United St~tes Employment Service covering the este.blisl:rnents like,vise reported slight increases 1.uring l~rger Janu~ry. The most "('ronouncei improvement in conUtions occurre1 for minirlg com:pe.nies in Montena an::l. MichigM, in luniber m.o.nufecturing and in construction work• Corrrp:,ring the tot<ll number Grnployed by finns reporting directly to the Fe:ie r~l Reserve :Bank on February 1 with nunibers employed on the s erne .• i!'>te of the c-rece1ing ye"'r there we.s a reduction of 20 per cent recorded • The iecrease was heaviest in the case of mining companies in northern Minnesota which were date a year ago. ch~nge empl:oyitl~ District No. 10 (KBnsas City) reports no especi2.l during the month. inius tri'll pl~nts less than :h?lf as many men as on the same Reports received directly frarn a number of loc$ted. in the district showei ?. slight im:Provement, as these :plents .vere employint_. 39,655 men at the close of Janu<?ry as compared with ye~r ~go. the month. 39,349 at the end of the rreceding month end 38. , 686 In District No~ 11 (Dall!'s) no speciel Numbers employed. incre~sed ch~nge e. was noted during in the builcdng trades but it was St"lted th.,t in cotton seed proiucts plants, re,ilrO?.·i shops, mining, lumber e.ni metP1 trp.:les ani ~ong the rmks of cleric~l ?.ni unskilled. workers there was still a lerge iegree of unemployment 1:revP.lent. In District ~31- X- 3341 No. 12 (San Fr.:--ncisco) t>lso there were :er:!cticelly no changes during the month of Jmu!"ry. In C?lifornia, OrefOn ~nl Washington there we.s reportei to h?Jve been "tn im:Provement in outlook". Increased activity in lumbering eni other inlustries was 3bsorbing some of the ~n1 unem9loyed forces of the District, ' anl Utah ~n in 1\rizona, Nevada, Idaho, incre'1se in minin§ ?ctivity es::;:eci-"'lly in the copper mining d.~stricts h~d On the other henl, occurred.. r~ilro~d end construction work were reduced in scope and the decreeses in numbers employed in these lines Pbout counterb~l~nced WFOLES ,r.t.E rrRt-DE: the incre~ses in other lines. Stetistics giving sales of the four reporting wholesale lines, groceries, dry goods, bard.ware e.nd boots end shoes, iniicete no chPnges of mom3nt during the rast month, P-lthough in the cese of dry goods a mPrkei seasonal u~turn in sples is registered for all Districts except No. 2 (New York) in which there was a decline of 14.3 per cent for 3 reporting firms. were edv~ces renging from 11 finns r'2porting, to 5 firms reporting. 4.5 In all other Districts there rer cent in District No. 4 (Clevelend) 95·3 per cent in District No. 10 (Kansas City) A majority of the other Districts record exception- ally hec-vy incre?ses amounting to 49.2 -_=-er cent in the case of District No.7 (Chicago) with 11 firms reporting t>.nd No. 5 (Richmond), 14 firms reporting. 54.9 per cent in District In all other c ?.ses except District No. 12 (San Fr~ncisco) incr3~ses were in excess of 25 per cent as cornp?red with the preceding month. s~les were heavier as compared. with Jro1uary a year ago in every case except District No .. 6 (l\tlanta) where there was a negligible drop of 1.5 per cent for 21 reporting firms .. - 32 - Otherwise, increases ranged from 2.5 per cent for 14 firms in District No. 5 (Richmond) to 62.1 per cent for five firms in District No. 10 (Kansas City). Increases as compared with a year ago were also especially heavy in Districts No. 2 (New York), llb. · T (Chicago) ,No. 9 (111inneapolis), the advances a.mov.nting to ' 40.3 per cent for three firms, 42.4 per cent for 11 firms, and 50.1 per cent for four fhms, respectively. Reports from wholesale grocery firms indicate a generally dull trade during the month of January in all Distr:i.cts except :t-!o~ 9 (M5T:~.'I').8P,:poJ is) ;.n ~hich an advance of 3.5 per cent for 12 firms occurred and ~istrict No. 12 (San Francisco), in which there was an increase of 15.5 per cent for 31 fi~s. Decreases were recorded ranging from 2.4 per cent in ristrict No. 11 (Dallas), 12 firms reporting, to 11.8 per cent in District No9 2 ((New York), 41 firms reporting. As compared with a year ago, decreases were evident in all reporting ~istricts although they were pot suffjcien~ly pronounced to more than offset the intervening price declines in most cases. ,. , !"' ' •. r"' . l) -33· X-3341 The declines in sales were least in Di~trict No. 12 (San Francisco) where a drop of 1. 9 per cent was recorded for 31 firms; the decrease was greatest in District No. 6 (Atlanta) 1 where sales were 18.8 per cent less for the 32 reporting firms. Seasonal dullness in the hardware trade is also reflected in the fairly pronounced drop in sales that ocw curred in most reporting Districts during the month of January. Excl u.sive of District No. 5 (Richmond) in which an advance of 7.1 per cent in the sales of 19 reporting reporting firms occurred 1 declines were registered in all Districts~ the minimum being 2.5 per cent for District No. 12 (San Francisco) with 21 firms rep orting, and the maximum amounting to 29.5 per cent for eight reporting firms in District No. 10 (Kansas City). The volume of sales as compared with a year ago nas been fairly well sus- ,• tained, the decreases ranging from a negligible amount of • 7 per cent in District No. 12 (San Francisco) 21 firms reporting1 to 28.6 per cant in District No. 4 (Cleveland), 10 firms reporting. Three reporting shoe wholesalers in District No. 9 (Minneapolis) reported a very heavy increase in sales during January of 73.G per cent as cc.mpared with the preceding month. Otherwise declines were recorded in Districts No. 2 (New York)~ No. 5 (Richmcnd), No. 6 (Atlanta) 1 No. 7 (Chicago) and No. 12 (San Francisco)" rising from 2.7 per cent in the case of District No.6 (Atlanta)~nine firms .. reporting to 15.2 per cent in the case of District No. 7 (Chicago), 16 firms reporting. As compared with a year ago, fou.r Districts, No. 2 (New York) 1 No. 5 (Richmond) 1 No. 9 (MiQneapolis)~ and No. 12 (San Francisco) show increases amounting to 6.4 per cent eight firms reporting; 36.5 per 1 centJ 20 firms; 47.1 per cent, three firms reporting; and 26.2 per cent 1 2l firms reporting respectively. -34RETAIL TRftDE. X-3341 Retail sales in January showed the usual decrease in volume after the holiday buying. All Districts reported decreases in dollar amounts as compared with January 1 1921 figures, but this is attributed in most cases to decline of prices rather than a smaller volume of trade. The public did not respond as usual to the annual sales, and extra sales efforts were necessary to maintain even the current volume of sales. preceding months. Collections were rather poorer than in the The percentage of unpaid charge accounts compared with cash payments being large, especially in country districts. The dollar amount of sales recorded by 387 stores throughout the United States showed a decrease of 12,4 per cent from January~ 1921. Decreases recorded by the vario\l.s districts were as follows: lli.Jtiri ~1. ~~~Dl No. 1 "II 23 "II 45 " (Boston) 8.1 (New York) 7.8 (Philadelphia) 12.2 (Cleveland) 21.9 (Richmond) 17.0 6 (Atlanta) 19.4 r~r.Mtn.i ~j.sl_ No. 1 II 8 II 9 " 10 11 11 " 12 (Chicago) (St. Lou:Ls) (Minneap o1is) (Kanqas City) (Dallas) (San Francisco) 6.6 15.1 15.6 12.9 19.0 6.3 Department stores' stocks showed a decrease of 4.2 per cent from last month~ but are about the same size as last year. The rate of turnover was slightly less than in December., 1921} but there was a rather sub ... stantial increase in the volume of outstanding orders. PRICES. The most significant feature in the price situation in the first three weeks of February was the rise in prices of agricultural commodities. Prices of grains and live stock., not only on the large ex- changes but generally throushout the country, showed appreciable advances, while wool prices.. especially for the finer grades, were materia1.ly higher than in December and January. Raw cotton, however, was slightly -35- X-3341 lower at the opening of February thar1 in January 1 but the February average quotation for upland middling at New Orleans was as compared with 16.75/:, in January. 16.29p a pound Prices of nonagricultural raw materials were for the most part lower in February than in January. An average of the prices of all grades of bituminous coal on the leading markets of the country was $2.21 a ton at the mine in February, as compared with $2.26 in January. Pig iron prices were also lower in February, as were prices of copper and tin. practically unchanged for q Lumber prices in general have been period of several weeks. An average of February prices of manufactured goods would probably show little change from the January average. Steel products continued to decline in February, also cotton yarns and cloth. Wocl and silk textiles, on the other hand, increased although in the case of the finished gcod~ trading appears to have been on a comparatively narrow basis •. Food prices showed a tendency to increase because of the rise in prices of agricultural commodities. January is the most recent month for which index numbers of wholesale prices are available. The Federal Reserve Board index for that month was 138 (with prices in 1913 considered as 100). as the December index. Between December and January small reductions ·Nere made on the average in the prices of manufactured as a group advanced. This figure was the same goods~ while raw materials The increase in the latter group was due to the advance in prices of farm products. Changes in retail prices and the cost of living in general have been slight during the past few months) as is shown by a study of the cost of living in 32 cities which was published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics early in February. This study sh~vs that between September and December1 t X-3341 1921, there was an average reduction per cent. in the cost of living of only 1.7 The total reduction since the peak of prices in the summer of 1920 is estimated at 19.5 per cent. FO~EIGN TFADE. January exrorts and imports were both somewhat lower than those reported for December. Exports 1 whicn amounted to $279, OC0 000 were at a level lower than had been reached at any tirne since 1 .August, 1915. Imports., which were valued at $216 1 000,0001 although lower than the December total> did not decline to the very low values recorded. in the summer months of 1921, Foreign trade at this season of the year is normally less than at other times, so that this latest decline is Lot unexpected 1 nor does it signify anything new of a disturbing sort. One of the most signi~icant facts in connection with American foreign trade in recent months has been the readjustment of exports and imports upon a basis more nearly approaching an even balance. In January the excess of merchandise exports over imports was only $63, 000, 000 as compared with $445,000,000 for the previous January, and a monthly average during 1921 of $165,000, 000. The latest foreign trade figures, therefore~ indicate the contin- uance of a tendency which becamd especially pronounced in November~ 1921, when merchandise exports exceeded imports by $6},000,000 as compared with the far greater amount of $155,0001 000 in October. lf allo•vance is made for imports of gold and also for estimate{; of the various "invisible" elements in our trade balance, such as immigrants' remittar:ces and foreign investments, the excess of merchandise exports has been more than offset in each of the last three months, with the result that our balance of trade has actually been reversed and for those m..:nths constituted a s17iall debit against us. ... ' -~: J' ,·~ ~~ ~~-·- r"' j -37SHinniNG. X-3341 Ocean freight rates during February remained generally steady1 while such changes as occurred were in the direction of higher quotations. Grain was the principal commodity for which substantially increased rates were paid from American ports to the United Kingdom and the Continent 1 while small increases over January rates were effective on flour in the same trades. West Indian sugar cargoes, although not so active as in January1 continued to furnish employment to many vessels. Time chartering for future requirements was less in evidence than in tne previous month, but tnere was good demand for steamers in position for prompt loading,and charterers at times found difficulty in filling their immediate needs without o-ffering a premium. Steamship men report that cargo offerings are on the increase, which, coupled with the firmness of freight rates and improved foreign exchange conditions, has given rise to a feeling of greater confidence. in shipping circles than prevailed two or three months ago.