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X-6055 The attached a r t i c l e on "The Federal Reserve System" i s by A. C. Miller, Member of the Federal Reserve Board. I t has been prepared for publication i n the June 30th or Jubilee Number of the London S t a t i s t commemorating the F i f t i e t h Anniversary of the founding of that paper. I t i s issued with a release date for American papers not e a r l i e r than evening papers of June 30th. Suitable acknowledgment of i t s preparation for the London S t a t i s t should be made by the American papers using the article. xj^osiOV. THE PEDEEAL RESERVE SYSTEM. The fundamentals of central-note-issue and reserve-bankirg are few and simple. And they are pretty widely recognized. Some- times d i g n i f i e d by the name of "Principles" they are in f a c t l i t t l e more than rules of administrative expediency and working practices developed out of experience in dealing with conditions. As the Bank of England i s the prototype of central and reserve banking, the practice developed by i t in the course of i t s long h i s t o r y has naturally supplied the general pattern a f t e r which other central and reserve banking i n s t i t u t i o n s have been modeled with greater or less fidelity. Whatever their differences in structure, function and technique, they are merely variants of the mother type. In the l a s t analysis a l l central and reserve banks are offspring of the Old Lady of Threadneedle S t r e e t . I t i s nevertheless true that in a survey of central banking i n s t i t u t i o n s i t i s the variations from type and the d i f f e r e n c e s among them that c o n s t i t u t e the chief matter of i n t e r e s t . The problems that present themselves to the management of these i n s t i t u t i o n s may be one in the application of p r i n c i p l e s but unless the p r i n c i p l e s are tempered in their application by considerations of l a t i t u d e and longitude, in b r i e f by the exercise of a sound d i s c r e t i o n in dealing with the particular conditions that surround them, the r e s u l t s do not usually prove s a t i s f a c t o r y . Central banking i s not - cer- tainly not yet - an exact science and the wise practice of the art of central banking c a l l s for larger q u a l i t i e s of mind than the habit of imitation. That this i s appreciated i s shown in d i f f e r e n c e s to be found i n the laws under which these i n s t i t u t i o n s are organized in d i f f e r e n t countries, and these laws d i f f e r as do the i n s t i t u t i o n s largely in the nature of the l i m i t a t i o n s , r e s t r i c t i o n s , safeguards and guarantees of one kind and another to insure the exercise of judgment in ways that are s a f e and prudent. There are some that allqw great l a t i t u d e for the play of d i s c r e t i o n in many d i r e c t i o n s , others that allow much in certain directions and l i t t l e i n others, and others s t i l l that l i m i t i t narrowly in most ways. The Federal Reserve System i s a conspicuous example of an i n s t i t u t i o n permitted the exercise of wide d i s c r e t i o n i n the handling of i t s problems and this accounts in large measure for the great f l e x i b i l i t y i t displays whether i n the f i e l d of operation or of p o l i c y . large experience. Young in years i t has nevertheless had a I t has already attained something of a d i s t i n c t i v e quality or p e r s o n a l i t y . I t s characteristic t r a i t i s expressive of the genius of American i n s t i t u t i o n s . That genius, above a l l i n the sphere of economic relationships i s f l e x i b i l i t y and t h i s f l e x i b i l i t y has reported i t s e l f i n the Federal Reserve as f l e x i b i l i t y of mind and operation and has given r i s e to a d i s t i n c t f l e x i b i l i t y of creditcontrol technique. Closely associated with this outstanding quality of f l e x i b i l i t y i s the weighting of the operation of the System at every turn with an a c t i v e and broad sense of public i n t e r e s t . This r e s u l t has been achieved p a r t l y because of the clear expectation of the law but a l s o and l a r g e l y because of a self-imposed obligation on the part of those responsible for i t s operation and administration. -3- X-6055 Looking at some of the variations of the Federal reserve hanks from the mother type in the process of adapting i t s wajs to the genius of the American people, i t i s noteworthy that alone among the central note-issuing and reserve-holding i n s t i t u t i o n s of the leading countries the Federal reserve i s not a central bank. The Federal Reserve;-System consists of twelve tanks to each of which i s assigned a d e f i n i t e area of territory known as a Federal Reserve D i s t r i c t . Bach of the twelve banks i s autonomous within i t s province and each i s independent of the others. This framework represents an adapta- tion of the structure of reserve banking to the analogies of the p o l i t i c a l , s o c i a l and economic organization of the United S t a t e s . That organization, as i s well known to students of America, has much of a d i s t i n c t l y regional character - more e s p e c i a l l y on the economic, f i n a n c i a l and s o c i a l s i d e s . The problem of reserve banking even in a country as large as the United States with d i f f e r e n t sections of i t in d i f f e r e n t stages of economic and f i n a n c i a l development, however, requires attention to more than regional conditions. Ample provision was, therefore, made in the Federal Reserve Act for giving e f f e c t to the indispensable viewpoint of the national economic i n t e r e s t and i t s paramountcy at times in deciding the course of p o l i c y and operations of the Federal reserve banks. In order to give adequate expression to the national viewpoint and to provide a means of coordinating at times the a c t i v i t i e s of the Federal reserve banks toward the attainment of objectives of national i n t e r e s t an agency, governmental in character and designated The Federal Reserve Board, was set up. Through t h i s means i t -4- X-6055 L ^7( was sought not only to weight the administration of the Reserve System with a sense of national i n t e r e s t but also to give to the a t t i t u d e of the Federal Reserve System and i t s larger determinations the aspect and quality of public p o l i c y . I t may he claimed for the i n s t i t u t i o n of the Federal Reserve Board that i t constitutes a d i s t i n c t i v e element in reserve banking. Certainly no understanding and appraisement of the Federal Reserve System can be undertaken without an appreciation of the position* r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s # powers, Amotions and viewpoint of the Board. Standing at the apex of the System i t i s clothed with general power $ of supervision of the Federal reserve banks. Their actions are subject to i t s review and revision; i t has the f i n a l say in the determination a of discount rates; i t has a voice in their open market operations and in matters a f f e c t i n g their international relations - to mention only some of the more important matters a f f e c t i n g the current operation of these banks. The Board a l s o has ultimate authority in the matter of federal reserve note i s s u e s ; i t has the power within l i m i t s to change the reserve requirements of i t s member banks; i t has authority to suspend on occasion the l e g i s l a t i v e l y - p r e s c r i b e d minimum reserve requirements both of the Federal reserve banks and of the member banks of the Federal Reserve System. I t i s , in b r i e f , without carrying the s p e c i f i c a t i o n s further, the repository of broad and varied d i s c r e t i o n ary authority such as the framers of the Federal Reserve System believed to be e s s e n t i a l to the e f f e c t i v e practice of reserve banking in the United States, I t i s t h i s vast grant of authority, exercised under the control of a governmentally constituted Board representative of the public *5- X-6055 , L % i n t e r e s t and r e s p o n s i b l e to the nation* t h a t makes the F e d e r a l r e s e r v e banks unique among the g r e a t "banks of the world f o r f l e x i b i l i t y of operation. The F e d e r a l Reserve Board i s , however, more than an agency of s u p e r v i s i o n and a d m i n i s t r a t i o n . I t i s a symbol - a symbol of the broad p u b l i c i n t e r e s t and r e s p o n s i b i l i t y w i t h which the r e s e r v e banks from the American p o i n t of view a r e i n v e s t e d . The dependence of economic w e l l - b e i n g upon the manner i n which i n s t i t u t i o n s of the cent r a l banking type a r e o p e r a t e d i s p ro b ab l y nowhere more k e e n l y a p p r e c i a t e d than i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s ; nowhere i s more demanded or e x p e c t e d . The i n s t i t u t i o n of the F e d e r a l Reserve Board may, t h e r e f o r e , be regarded as the method by which the American l e g i s l a t o r a t the time t h e F e d e r a l Reserve Act was drawn u n d e r t o o k to surround the o p e r a t i o n of the F e d e r a l r e s e r v e banks w i t h a c o n s t a n t atmosphere of broad p u b l i c i n t e r e s t and t o g i v e to the a d m i n i s t r a t i o n of c r e d i t under the a u s p i c e s of t h e s e ¥ banks a wider o u t l o o k and a t r u e r sense of d i r e c t i o n than might have been expected i f t h e i r management had been more d i s t i n c t l y and exc l u s i v e l y of a " b u s i n e s s " t y p e . I t i s doubtless for t h i s reason that the a l l e g a t i o n of s e l f i s h n e s s has seldom been made a g a i n s t , F e d e r a l r e s e r v e banks; and, c o n s i d e r i n g how s e n s i t i v e the American temperament i s i n m a t t e r s touching currency and b a n k i n g , i t i s a l s o no doubt because of t h e e x i s t e n c e of such an i n s t i t u t i o n as the F e d e r a l Reserve Board t h a t h o s t i l e c r i t i c i s m of the System has had so l i t t l e e f f e c t . In consonance with the p o s i t i o n of p u b l i c r e s p o n s i b i l i t y thus emphasized by t h e c r e a t i o n of the F e d e r a l Reserve Board the System has from the beginning of i t s o r g a n i z a t i o n p u r s u e d to an u n u s u a l degree -5- X-S055 . - •*' a p o l i c y of p u b l i c i t y with regard to i t s a f f a i r s . The Board i n i t s Animal Report and even more currently through i t s monthly p u b l i c a t i o n , the Federal Reserve B u l l e t i n , and the "banks t h r o u g h t h e i r current Monthly Letters have undertaken to give to the public not only a comprehensive view of current tanking and f i n a n c i a l developments "but a l s o d e t a i l e d data i n s c i e n t i f i c a l l y organized form of important movements i n the f i e l d s of production, trade, a g r i c u l t u r e , employment, p r i c e s , together with other relevant f a c t o r s hearing upon the i n t e r p r e t a t i o n of the regional and national problems of c r e d i t c o n d i t i o n s and needs. Through a Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s the Board has done pioneer work in the organization and development of f a c t - f i n d i n g surveys and economic a n a l y s i s of a highly s c i e n t i f i c and i n t e r p r e t i v e character. Taken i n the aggregate t h i s work supplies the has i s of the economic r a t i o n a l e of Federal Reserve p o l i c y and i s l a r g e l y to be credited with whatever merit may be a t t r i b u t e d to i t * In thus preparing and educating i t s e l f f o r the work of credit administration the Federal Reserve has a l s o done much to educate the p u b l i c . Indeed, i t s a c t i v i t i e s i n the f i e l d of economic research have given impulse to similar undertakings by p r i v a t e agencies and by organized research in some of the leading u n i v e r s i t i e s of the United S t a t e s . Supplemented by the p r o d i g i o u s l y expanding work of the United States Department of Commerce i n t h i s same general f i e l d , tine American business and banking p u b l i c today i s probably the most f u l l y informed of any i n the world regarding the changing condition of the national economy and i t s various elements. I t would be hard in any estimate of the good working of the Federal Reserve System i n recent years to exaggerate the contribution made by the business p u b l i c through . X-6055 - L ^ i t s cooperation "based upon knowledge and i n t e l l i g e n c e with regard TO the functioning of the System and. the underlying c o n d i t i o n s a f f e c t i n g i t s good operation. Because of a l l this the p o l i c i e s of the System, p a r t i c u l a r l y in the domain of credit p o l i c y , have been more consciously p u b l i c i n character, more widely conceived from the point of view of national economic i n t e r e s t and, on occasion at l e a s t , more nearly r a i s e d to the l e v e l of economic statesmanship. They have a l s o been more confident i n character and go f a r to explain the f l e x i b i l i t y which the c r e d i t - c o n t r o l technique of the System d i s c l o s e s . I t seems doubtful for instance whether the economic p o t e n t i a l i t i e s of open market p o l i c y would have been as quickly discovered and a technique developed for making i t an e f f e c t i v e instrument and a leading r e l i a n c e i n credit administration without the f u l l n e s s of information and understanding r e q u i s i t e in the application of a type of p o l i c y requiring such p o s i t i v e n e s s and d e f i n i t e n e s s of a t t i t u d e as does the open market operation on a broad s c a l e . For open market operation i s an i n s t r u - ment of i n i t i a t i v e in c r e d i t administration and can not be undertaken i n an atmosphere of doubt or h e s i t a t i o n . To be competent i t must be based upon conviction as to i t s economic j u s t i f i c a t i o n and i t s acceptance by at l e a s t the i n t e l l i g e n t p u b l i c . In the post-war h i s t o r y of the Federal Reserve technique no s i n g l e item i s of greater i n t e r e s t than the development of i t s open market procedure. Such prominence as the open market operation has i n recent years a t t a i n e d was probably not a n t i c i p a t e d at the time the Federal Reserve System was organized. The Federal reserve banks were then conceived of as banks of discount to which member banks would turn as they needed additional supplies of currency or reserve credit - in b r i e f , as i n s t i t u t i o n s i n which the i n i t i a t i v e in creating new credit would r e s t with the borrowing member -bank, the Federal reserve bank playing i t s part in the process mainly through the establishment of discount rates designed either to encourage or to discourage the use of i t s f a c i l i t i e s as the s i t u a t i o n might seem to require. Following the disastrous revulsion of 1920 and the depression of 1921 rediscounting with Federal reserve banks f e l l into some d i s f a v o r . The public at l e a s t in certain sections of the country showed some misgiving with regard to member banks heavily or continuously in debt to their Reserve banks. In con- sequence member banks showed reluctance to borrow except under the pressure and J u s t i f i c a t i o n of seasonal or other transitory requirements. In these circumstances i t appeared advisable to the Federal Reserve in order that the recovery of trade might be f a c i l i t a t e d and l a t e r in order continuously to maintain a favorable economic s i t u a t i o n to take the i n i t i a t i v e at times, i n supplying the country with an enlarged basis of credit. an open market p o l i c y . Thus was begun in 1922 I t was organized and further developed in 1923 as a System matter and in the l a s t f i v e years has been perhaps the most d e c i s i v e factor in the credit-control technique of the Federal Reserve System, By p.n open market operation i s , of course, meant the purchase or sale by Federal reserve banks of s e c u r i t i e s in the open money market L ^ -9of the country. X-6055 The purchase of s e c u r i t i e s has the e f f e c t of enlarging the credit base; the sale of s e c u r i t i e s of contracting i t . The e f f e c t so far as the public i s aware i s very similar to that of an inflow or outflow of gold. Indeed, as open market p o l i c y has been operated in the United S t a t e s , for example in the autumn of 1927 when an outflow of gold was in process the Federal Reserve has sometires intervened to prevent the firming e f f e c t s on money rates that might normally be expected from such outflow by making o f f s e t t i n g purchases of s e c u r i t i e s , thus releasing money to the market. Similarly in the reverse case on one or two occasions s a l e s of s e c u r i t i e s have been made to o f f s e t the e f f e c t s of gold i n f l u x where easing of money conditions to be expected from such i n f l u x did not seem at the moment to be desirable. In reviewing the course of money rates in the United States in recent years, at any rate so far as influenced by Federal Reserve p p l i c y , the foremost influence must be assigned to open market operations . While the discount rates of the Federal' reserve banks have undergone change from time to time, such changes more frequently than not have been made either in recognition of a credit s i t u a t i o n brought about by antecedent open market operations or to accompany and reenforce a change of a t t i t u d e assumed by the Federal Reserve through i t s open market p o l i c y tfoward the trend of business and credit conditions and needs. , As revealing.the f l e x i b i l i t y of the Federal Reserve the history pf i t s open market p o l i c y in the l a s t f i v e years constitutes the mostf" interesting chapter of i t s post-war development. The manner in which this instrument has been used, the general procedure with reference to credit administration of which i t constitutes the heart, and the degree of reliance placed in i t make of i t i f not exactly a new expedient in -10- X-6055 the technique of reserve banking at l e a s t one of new and enlarged : L. 4' p o t e n t i a l i t i e s in situations c a l l i n g for an authoritative a t t i t u d e and active i n i t i a t i v e toward the money market, such as have obtained more or l e s s constantly during the past f i v e years* The acute transitions and readjustments incident to the economic movement during this period called for a credit-control device l e s s l e i s u r e l y in character and l e s s openly deliberate than that of the discount rate and gave impetus to the extraordinary development which the open market operation attained. Whether open market p o l i c y w i l l continue to hold i t s present place of importance in the credit procedure of the Federal Reserve seems doubtful. There have been some indications that i t was l o s i n g i t s hold on the esteem of a considerable s e c t i o n of the business and banking p u b l i c . I t s quality of arbitrariness has exposed i t to the c r i t i c i s m of being un-American. I t seems not improbable, therefore, that with the return of the United States to a more s e t t l e d economic basis and with the world in general well advanced to complete recovery and the gold standard as an international s t a b i l i z i n g mechanism p r e t t y nearly restored to i t s old-time e f f i c a c y , the primary reliance in the credit-control technique of the Federal Reserve in the future w i l l be the discount rate fcather than the open market operation. Not that the open market operation w i l l be discarded but that i t w i l l |ease to be an habitual expedient and take i t s place as an occasional expedient in the credit mechanism of the Federal Reserve - an expedient to be resorted to in s i t u a t i o n s of acuteness where prompt intervention -11- X--6C55 i '-itf 6, i s necessary to e f f e c t i v e handling. l i t h the probability that such situations w i l l be of l e s s frequent recurrence in the future than in the recent past however the more orderly and l e s s d r a s t i c form of credit regulation provided by the discount rate promises to play the role of leading importance in Federal Reserve p r a c t i c e . An added and more immediate impulse to this s h i f t i n g of emphasis in Federal Reserve procedure i s l i k e l y to r e s u l t from the serious impairment of p r e s t i g e wh^ch thy open market p o l i c y of the Federal Reserve has recently sustained, because of untoward developments in connection with i t s adventure in the autumn of l a s t year in undertaking to ease and s t a b i l i z e the international s i t u a t i o n . The American stock market on that occasion took advantage of the Federal Reserve's p o l i c y of cheap and easy money. The volume of credit involved in speculative loans grew rapidly and i n the early part of the year 1328 attained such magnitude as to awaken widespread concern in the United States and to place the Federal Reserve inaa p o s i t i o n of uncomfortable r e s p o n s i b i l i t y . The lesson of t h i s experience w i l l not soon be forgotten and i s l i k e l y to r e g i s t e r i t s e l f in the f l e x i b l e mind of the Federal Reserve as a change of f r o n t . For the circumstances which have occasioned the p a r t i a l miscarriage of Federal Reserve p o l i c y i n the coarse of the l a s t ten months are of the kind that are l i k e l y to repeat themselves. The exuberant temper of the American speculative community can u s u a l l y be counted on to respond to a s u f f i c i e n t stimulus in the way of cheap and easy money. This recent experience suggests the hazard to which a p o l i c y of cheap and easy money i s always exposed i n the United S t a t e s . Unless and u n t i l -12- X-6055 I -1 therefore some e f f e c t i v e method can t o devised for preventing the diversion of the flow of Federal Reserve credit into speculative loans, open market p o l i c y w i l l be handicapped and at a disadvantage. But whatever the outcome of the differences developing between the adherents of discount p o l i c y and those of open market p o l i c y may "be, the future i s not l i k e l y to see any change of general outlook on the part of the Federal Reserve or i t s major r e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s toward the economic and credit s i t u a t i o n s . Nor any weakening of i t s f a i t h in the i n d i s p e n s a b i l i t y of the economic approach to i t s problems. The credit system i s envisaged by the Federal Reserve as a v i t a l influence i n the economic process. The f u l l c a p a b i l i t i e s of a wise dispensation of credit, however, have not yet been f u l l y realized in the United States even though conditions here have been so unprecedentedly favorable to their e x p l o i t a t i o n . That credit i s an energizing influence and an integrating force of vast p o t e n t i a l i t i e s in ..the Modern economic system i s coming to be more and more deeply appreciated on this side of the Atlantic. But the f u l l measure of i t s economic potency has not yet been taken even in the United States. I t remains for the future to v i s i o n credit as the elan v i t a l of the modern body p o l i t i c and economic.