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575 W, P, G, HARDING, fiOVIRNOR ALBERT STRAUSS, VICE GOVIRNOR ADOLPH C. MILLER CHARLES S. HAMLIN CARTER GL.\18 SICIIYAIT or THI TRIAIURY CHAIRMAN FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD JOHN SKELTON WILLIAMS COIIPTIOLLIR OF THI. CURRENCY J. A. BRODERICK, SECRETARY W. T. CHAPMAN, ASIISTANTSECRITARY W.II..IIILAY, FISCAL AGENT WASHINGTON ADDRJ:S!I REPLY TO FEDERAL. RESERVE BOARD OOPY August 8, 1919. For release to Mon4ay Morning Paper;. August 11, 1919. Dear Sir: The Federal Reserve Board aeknowle~s X-16~8 receipt of your letter of the 5th instant asking for an ex_pression of its views C:I.S to the advisabilit.Y of legislatian providing for the gradual reductian of the currency in circulation as proposed by Senate Resolution 1~2~ 1be .Board would suggeet that in determining whether or not legislation is necessary or desirable to regulate tne volume of ( currency in circulation. consideration be given to the various forms of money which aake -up the sum total of our volume of currency. A distinction shoul.d also be drawn between the stock of money in the country and. the amount actually in circulation. With respect to gold coin. goid certificates; standard silver dollars~ silver certificates, s~bsidiary silver and Treasury notes of 1890, the Board assumes that it is recognized that no legislation . is necessary. . !he United Sta.t$s notes, or legal tenders, which have remained at the f1xed amount of $3146,681 1 016. :. ·. since March 31, 187S, have not been a. d.isturbing factor since the passage of the act of March 14, 1900~ An ad,equate golcl reserve of more than 45~ is now held against these notes, most of which are in the form of small bills .. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ -~· Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ~ .. fi" ',.' : •'h1'' • 'c>, ~': '•' ' ~ 576 of $1, $2, and $5 denominations. Notes of these deno~nations are needed in the daily transactions of the public, and were the united States notes to be retired, the ism1e of an equal volvme of bills in some other fo~ of currency would be necessary. s~11 To effeot the retirement of the United States notes, funds would have to be withdrawn from the Treasury to be s~plied either by tax~tion or by the sale of interest-bearing obligations. The Board does not believe that ~ legislation with re~ect to United states notes is necessar, or desirable at this time. 1-be national bank notes outstanding on A~st l, 1919, amounted to $658,118,555-00, a reduction of nearly $60,000,000 since July 1, 1914. The greater part of these notes is secured by United States 2% bonds, and provision has already been made in Section 18 of the Federal Reserve Act for their gradual retirement. Federal reserve bank notes, which are secur.ed by United States obligations and are taxed just as national bank notes are, have been issued only to replace in,part national barik notes retire~, standard silver dollars mel ted or broken up and sold as and ~llion under authority of the a~t of .April 23, 1918, known as the Pittman Act.. 1-be issue of thes·e notes has, therefore, brought about no increase in the circu+ating medium. The amount of Federal reserve notes outstanding has increased from $357,239,000 onApril1, 1917, to $2,5014.753,000 on August 1,1919. It appears therefore that those who see in the larger volum~ of cir- culation in the United States. the prime cause of increased costs of ' • • '. k ' ' X-1648 - 3 ~ ' living and who seek a. . remedl b7 577\ a. forced contraction of tbe currency must have in mind the Federal reserve note and .section 16 of the Federal Reserve Act as amended June 21, 1917, which provides for its issue and redemption. In analyzing our present monetary situation, and in considering the causes which have led to the e:x:_pansion of credits and note issues during the war. we should not lose sight of some of the developments of the pre-war period and of their effect upon credits and prices. Very heavy purchases of supplies of ail kinds were made in this country by European belligerents during the years 1915 and 1916 7 payment for Which involved the shipment to us of large amounts of The stock of gold in the United States on July l, 1914, was gold. ( $1,890,678,304. This amount increased steadily until April, 1917, the date of our own entry into the war, when it reached $3,088,904,808, an increase of about $1,200,000,000. Bank deposits likewise show a. large increase, the net deposits of national banks having risen from $7,495,149,000 on June 30, 1914, to $10,489,217,000 on March 5, 1917, while the net deposits of all banks in the United States increased . from $17,966,150,000 in June, 19k4, to $24,891,218,000 in Jtme, 1917. Net deposits of national banks had further increased up to May 12, 1919, to $11,718,095,000, and those of all banks in June, 1918. {the latest i ·date for which figures are available) to $26.769,546,000. Shortly after April 61 1917, when the Congress declared war, the Treasury began. to' sell bonds, notes and certificates in large amounts resulting in a net inc~ease in the public debt to August 1, 1.919, of $24,518,064,840. On July l, 1914, the total stock of money in the United States, exclusive of that held by the United States Treasury, was • ~,4~,1~.~~ '?'" ·, • . ~ - \··; . ~, \ 578 X-1643 -4On April l, 1917, the stock of money, estimated on the same basis, was $4,702,130,941, an increase of. $1,282,962,573 of whlch inr.ree.se $38},481,028 was On July 1, in gold. 1914, there were no Federal reserve notes in existence, while on April l, 1917, there were outstanding $357,239,000. The amendment to the Federal Reserve Act approved J1:ne 21, 1917, changed substantially the original reserve requirements :for memb"3r . ba:nks and provided that their entire lawful reserve should be carried with the Federal reserve banks. Federal reserve banks to The same amendment authorized the excban~ Federal reserve notes for gold. The result of these two changes in the law was to transfer immediately large gums of gold from the vaults of the member and nonmember bariks and from general circulation to the Federal reserve banks, and this caused a change in the ~ethods of accounting for gold by the Federal reserve banks and Federal reserve agents. In order to avoid confusion in determining the volUme of money in actual circulation, it is necessary to distinguish between tables showing the total stock of money in the country, and tables showing. the circula- ·" tion outside of the ~reasury and Federal reserve agents' vaults, and to I lo limit our view to amounts held by member and nonmember banks and the public, which are exclusive of amounts on band at Federal reserve banks, held by Federal reserve a~nts, and held in the Treasury. 579 • l.-7:.64~ -5!be reserve &.uoney held by or for the Jl)deral res.;lrvc:: banks of course, as ~ in circulation. basis for cr-=-clit, but it forius no ):)art uf tht.: currency Upon this basis, the aJ:.uount oi' .tlioncy in circulation on July l, 1914, (There being no Federal reserve - s~rves, ti1:oe) was $3,419,168,368, uladd up as fvllows: b~lks in operation at that Gold coin ano. certificates $1,649,775•_803; silve:I' Ci.ollars an"- silver certificates, including Treasury notes of 1890, $552,203,610; all uthar currency $1,217,183,955, being eirculation ~er capitu $34.53· The correspond.ing aJ:.uoun~s of tuon~:.:y in circulation on April l, 1917, · December l, 1918, c.nu. August 1, 1919, are shown in the follo\~ing table.: AMOUNT OF MONEY OUTSIDE THE TREASURY AND FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS A•• • .April 1, 1~11 Gold coin tmci certificates $1,989,152,0UU .Au~ust Dect..wbi.:r l, 19115 1, l~l~ $ 301,245 ,ouu $ 728,046 .ooo Silver dollars and silver certificates, (including Treasury notes of 1890) 532,700,000 372,489,000 241,505,000 Federal Reserve notes 357,239,000 2,607,445,000 2,504,753,000 3,170,000 .87,737.000 lbb ,2b9 ,000 All _other currency 1,218, 715,000 1.,201. o69 ,ou0 l,l5t>,297,00U Total 4,100 .97b ,ouu 5,129,9S5,ouu 4, 7'Jo, t>90 ,(;0Q Federal Reserve bc:ak notes ,, ~ .Aruount fur ca1-:ito. uutsid.a the Treasury c:·.nd the F.;d.cral ' ~es.:::rvo ba.r:..tes $}T-ats~ $48.13 $45.16 3f 3 -¥' ; < 580 I i ~ i' I X-1643 -6Assuming th~t the date Deceruber l, 191S, wcrks the begining of the post-war period, the table shows 1, 1919, as follows: chcngP-~ during this period up to August Gold coin and. ce.t ·:ific<~tes in circula.tion decreo.sed $133,199,000; silver dollars and silver certificates, including Treasury note~ of 1890, decrea.sed $130,934,000; Federal reserve notes d~creased $102,692,000; Feder~l reserv~ bnnk notes increased $78,552,000; all other ·currency decreased $44,772,000, ·being u net decrease in ~irculation for the post-war 2eri0d of $333,095,000 1 or $2.97 per capite. In considerinb the ·-luestion or currency in circulc..tion, there should be taken into account the vurious f~tors demond for currency, omong which u.re! which have entered into the The grudual enlarg0ment of po.yrolls, both as to the nuuilier of workers and amount paid to each; the effect of higher wages upon deposits in banks and upon the cwounts of money carried by shopkeepers in their tills and by individuo.ls in their poc.kets; the amounts of money locked up or carried on their persons by ;,wr.kJ.uen who have been receivin·g high Wl.tges and who, foreigners, ure unwilling to in Governn.ent bonds; the esp~cio.lly do;~pusit ~:~uount t:O.~...oir of woney ing to their homes in foreign countries; in ti:w or ignorc.nt S<..ivings in b<..:..1Ks or to invest cc.1.r:~ied n.w;:;.y by 'NOrku,tln return- <:.nd. the fuct t:nc,t t.£J.e circu- latinrg n..ed.ia of the Philip:pine Islands, Hc.wo.ii, nowingo J C[.. se Cub<~, Porto Rico, Sc.nta includes Haiti' Honduras, Panawa, ond in pu.:;-t, Mexico' I "Qi United Statt>s paper currency o.nd subsidiary silver. these countries. li>Ost of creased in the l~tfew Nhic~:. years. · The amounts reu:;,uUQ~- in ure very prosperous, have 5 rec,t ly in- Thstot~l foreign circulation of United States currency cannot be stated a.ccura.tc:ly, but is estiwated to be at least one hundred and fifty nlillion dollars. The difficulty, indeed the iupvssibility, of Keeping in circulation - an excessive volwu~ of Federal Reserv~ notes should be understood. The issue of these notes has been c~refully safeguarded by the federal Reserve Act, and. ample provlsion has bljen made for their red8niption. Federal , resC)rve notes c:.re redeewcbl..- in gold; they cannot be forced into circulation in p:::.ywent of the e.qxmses vf ti.10 Gov<::rnllient, or for uny other purpose, ::ts tney c.:;,n be issued only in o:;;.xchange for 6 olu. or ~c:.:.inst u. action, plus the reY.uireci 15olo. reserve vi nut less tuc:...n 40 :per centw. be::~,:;n Upon payment vf COJuiLbrCi<::.l pe.per whicn nas I' de}?IJsited to s~:;cure Federal Reserve note.s 1 there r-.asults .::d t:aer an iu.u.ediate return of an I ' 581 -7- equal amount of notes to the bank, or an auto£,"atic inc;-ease in the percentage of gold reserve available for tn"'ir red~;; •iftion. Ft::d0ral R0serve notes. are not lee!,al tender, nor do tncy count as roscrve mon;;;y fur lut:rubor banks. Tn<>y are issued· unly as a nt:ec.. for become redundant in e;.ny loce.lity they are th<;:~ devulor;s , anCl as they returned tu the •rreasury at Washington, or to a Federal Reserve bank for redemption. Thus there can- not at any tiu.e be u,ore Faderal Rc:sl::rVtl notes in circular.tion tht.m needs of tb.c; country . ;,~t ne ..;d abctes the: volume th.:: present l;;:;vel of J?ric<>s rtq.uirt:, ond o~ th~:: L.<.S the notes outst.:....nding will bci correspondingly re- duced through redenrption. Th.:o incre<~sed volurutl of Fed<jr[..l Res.::rve notes in circulation during the pust three: result of direct e.xch<.nges for ~::,old. ye~.rs, in so far ns it is not the r.nd gold certificates which bc.ve been I• . ij .. withdru.wn frau; c.nd not their circ1flt~tion, cause. is tlle effect of t.idv'-'Ilcing w~ges <mo. prices, l. i "'; ' 582 ~ - 8 There has undoubtedly taken place during the last two years a. certain amount of credit expansion whic.h, und.er the circumstances co:nnGt! ted with our war financing, was inevitable, but. th.is will bs corrected as the securi~- ties issued by the U:.1.:t ted States Govel'nment for war pux-1)0ses are gradually I ' absorbed by investors. This credit expansion ls eQ..ua.l to the 'd.ifference between the total of the wa1· expendi vU"es of the GoYe:.."'lmerl.t on <;he one hand, and on the other, the total amnunts r aised by the Govex·nrnont th:t.•ough ta.1ta,. tion and by the sale ~f its obligations so far as pajd for cut of savings. No reliable estimate can be made of this diffe:':'ence, which must be gra.duall1 absorbed through future savings for the l~eascn that b<:~nks are lending and will always lend freely on Government bonds a.s collateraL The principal cause of the advance of prices before and du.:t·:l.ng the war was the urgent need of the go~ernments of the aJJ. ied wn.r1 d for goods of all kinds for Cluick delivery in la.rge volume, and the con:;?etition of this buying by governments with purchases by private individuals who failed to contract their expenditures at a rate comnensurate with the g!·owing expend.it\1res of these governments. In the post-war period, throu.g'tl w);.Jch we are now passing, the cou.ntrf has experienced rising prices ~wir.g, in part, to a general relaxation of the war time regime of personal €('!'";1'1.mrr.;t ~ r-emll ting in an increased demand for commodities by individuals who l"'-lst~~5.cted their purchases during the war but who are now buying in COII!Petition with export demand. In ad.di tion, accrued incomes and increased wages have led to heaVY' demands for commodities not of :prime necessity, wh~.ch have resulted in diverting labor and material. from essentials to nonessentials .. ,, •• I ' 583 l, : • - 9The Federal Reserve Iloa:.:O. helieves tr..at aey cil!':>:ency legislation for the present. sj t'J.C\t'lon is tl:.r3 same, n.am2l;1 tt' wc·rk ·, the largest p::H;~:·'i.".:llc a~'ld to save; . vo}JJ..'T!G of comm<",,U t;l.es~ al;ld to exerci,.;:o reasonable economies in o:r:-de:r. tnat money, good.s: aud servico3 may be d.evoted primarily to the l:i.Q.·llida:t.i.:ln of debt a."ld to the snti~fe.ction nf the demand for necensi f;ies 1 rather than t.o :i.r.cl1.1.lgence in e.xtr.avaga.nces or wa.:r the gratificat..i.c.n of a desire for l·J.:~urS.es. sense - and while the bil~s 'l1he /~;; over, - in a military have been settled by loans to the Government, these obligations. so far as they are carded by the bar:ks, m1:1st be absorbed before the war chapter of the financial hisi;ory of the can be closed. Very truly yours, w. P. G. ru.nmim Governor .. Ron. Geo. P. McLean, Cha~.rznatl, Committee on Ba.rJcl.r..g an:i C1lrrency, United states Senate, Washington, I. D. c• C.;cur~tr~"