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Botes on Stu Chase's Harpers Article
The new fact in the TSEC testimony, brought out by Chase, is
the curious effect of depreciation reserves. Even if the reserve for
each machine were exact, so as to set aside its cost jast as it wears
out, tim new machine becomes a capital increase* For either the new
one is cheaper, or it will produce more, because of progress In technology since the previous one was bought*
The final result, so far as continuing corporations is coo*
earned, m y be that their growth can go on with no new capital from
either internal or external investment* They can eren take on new
products in place of old, by replacing amortised plants with different
types of plant*
In fact, it could happen that an investor putting 1 Billion
dollars into a plant to make cellophane would cause a tinfoil plant
to close fully amortised, and return to the owners a million dollars
In liquidation, leaving no reduction of the liquid capital in the market.
In practice, the formation of new corporations will ordinarily
take new capital, and the old corporations forced out will close not
fully amortized, with a loss of capital* M s process will use up some
liquid capital, hut with practically no net increase of the total capital in business*
Altogether, it appears that when a high percentage of business
is done by continuous corporations, expansion can go on as fast as the
market actually grows, with practically no saving or investment at all*
It has not been recognised that in these cases technical progress takes
the place of new investment, and si&y entirely displace it* the only
place for new investment would be in the margin where new corporations
sprout, which is an extremely small fraction of the total*
This casts light on the Republican theory that with confidence
a vast amount of new investment irould occur* Where? Housing, a possible
increase of a billion over present rates* Power, say half a billion*
Eallroads, nothing unless they go through the wringer* which is a reduction of investment, not an increase* Industry, new &oney not over 2
billion* Total say 6 billion, but it would have to be 15 billion to get
prosperity* They are caught in a road that is petering out to a narrow
trail.