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V i i F*rm F. R. 5 1 1 TROM REMARKS: Memos used a t Open Liarrcet Comiriittee ( f u l l ) on June 26, 1943. CHAIRMAN'S OFFICE "TJ y- CLA^S OF SERVICE D SIRED V DPMIKTIC CABLE J r-< CHECK ORDINARY iTELEGRAM DAY 1207-P URGENT RATE >r* LETJER ACCOUNTING INFORMATION DEFERRED SERIAL NIGHT N-JIGHT LETTER GRAM SHIP I - -CIAL RADIOGRAM SERVICE | Patrons should check class of service desired; otherwise the message will be L transmitted as a telegram or ^^ / ordinary cablegram. f A. N . W I L L I A M S PRESIDENT ION NEWCOMB CARLTON CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD m TIME FILED m J. C. WILLEVER FIRST VICE-PRESIDENT NT Send the following telegram, subject to the terms on back hereof, which are hereby agreed to Pullman employes are required to furnish receipt for all paid telegrams > \ f! J^ ~>ANT A REPLY? by WESTERN UNION" or similar phrases may be Included without charge. SENDER'S PERMANENT ADDRESS: PULLMAN EMPLOYE'S RECEIPT PASSENGER'S RECEIPT for Western Union Telegram for Western U n i o n Telegram Amount received % Jo pay \qf Amount received *_ Telegram destinecL Telegram destined Flledat Filed at Pullman employe will attach .19. AGENT OR OPERATOR this coupon to trip report _to pay for Data PULLMAN CONDUCTOR OR PORTER LINE NO. Pullman employe acts only as agent of sen'der. No responsibility is assumed by the Pullman Company. This coayen to be given to the passenger J. '. CLA£S CLASS 0 OF SERVICE DESIRED CABLE DOMESt V 1207-P J CHECK ACCOUNTING INFORMATION NIGHT LETTER SHIP RADIOGRAM NGHT GRAM I SERVI I Patrons sheuld check class of service I desired; otherwise the message will be L transmitted as a telegram or ^ ^\ ordinary cablegram. [ A. N. WILLIAMS UNION NEWCOMB CARLTON PRESIDENT en > •n m TIME FILED 70 J . C. WILLEVER FIRST VICE-PRESIDENT NT s m m Send the following telegram, subject to the terms on back hereof, which are hereby agreed to Pullman employes are required to furnish receipt for all paid telegrams 19. g O To. X Street and No.. o m Place ^ p-^« ANT A REPLY? ^er by WESTERN UNION" ur similar phrases may be Included without charge. SENDER'S PERMANENT ADDRESS: PULLMAN EMPLOYE'S RECEIPT for Western Union Telegram Amount received $ ; PASSENGER'S RECEIPT for Western Union Telegram _to pay for Amount received $_ Telegram destined- Telegram destined Filed at Filed at_ Date P u l l m a n e m p l o y e will attach 19. AGENT OR OPERATOR this conpoa t o trip report _to pay for 19. Date- PULLMAN CONDUCTOR OR PORTER LINE NO. Pullman employe acts only as agent of sender. No responsibility is assumed by the Pullman Company. This coupon to be given to the passenger J CLASS OF SERVICE DESIRED CABLE <' D O M E S T I C V 1207-P J s CHECK ORDINARY .TELEGRAM URGENT RATE DAY LETTER ACCOUNTING INFORMATION m DEFERRED SERIAL'-*' i-*S£RNIGHT NIGHT NEGRAM LETTER SHIP ;IAL RADIOGRAM 1 SERVICE 1 Patrons sheuld check class of service I desired; otherwise the message will be L transmitted as a telegram or ^^ ordinary cablegram. f A. N. WILLIAMS PRESIDENT UNION ' NEWCOMB CARLTON CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD TIME FILED 70 J. C. WILLEVER FIRST VICE-PRESIDENT NT r \ m Send the following telegram, subject to the terms on back hereof, which are hereby agreed to Pullman employes are required to furnish receipt for all paid telegrams 19. To. 3 70 3 Street and No.. m Place AsC rn t2^^J[^M^jUA^.^^^ ^U,,, 5 •.\y\_^{Jj4yy A REPLY? wer by WESTERN UNION" _. similar phrases may be included without charge. SENDER'S PERMANENT ADDRESS: U) A ! I PASSENGER'S RECEIPT for Western Union Telegram PULLMAN EMPLOYE'S FECEIPT for Western Union Telegram Amount received $ . _to pay for _to pay for 19. .19. Telegram destined. Filed at D-s Pullman employe will attach A6ENT OR OPERATOR this coupon to trip report PULLMAN CONDUCTOR OR PORTER Pullman employe acts only as agent of sender. No responsibility is assumed by the Pullman Company. This coupon to be given to the passenger TJ J CLASS OF SERVICE DESIRED CABLE DOMiSTtC T£LEGRAM ORDINARY DAY URGENT RATE LETTER SERIAL Vf V 1207-P > ACCOUNTING INFORMATION DEFERRED NIGHT LETTER SHIP tL RADIOGRAM oERVICE Patrons should check class of service desired; otherwise the message will be transmitted as a telegram or ^^ ordinary cablegram. f >»-SNlGHT ~ ^SRAM A. N. WILLIAMS PRESIDENT UNION NEWCOMB CARLTON CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD m 3D rn > DC J . C. WILLEVER FIRST VICE-PRESIDENT Send the following telegram, subject to the terms on back hereof, which are hereby agreed to Pullman employes are required to furnish receipt for all paid telegrams .19. To, m 3 70 I Street and No. o m Place A REPLY? r by WESTERN UNION" v. similar phrases may be included without charge. SENDER'S PERMANENT ADDRESS: PULLMAN EMPLOYE'S RECEIPT for Western Union Telegram Amount received $ PASSENGER'S RECEIPT for Western Union Telegram JAo pay fof Amount received $_ Telegram destined- Telegram destined Filed at Filed at Dzte Pullman employe will attach 19. AGENT OR OPERATOR this coupon to trip report _to pay for 19. Date- PULLMAN CONDUCTOR OR PORTER LINE NO. Pullman employe acts only as agent of sender. No responsibility is assumed by th« Pullman Company. This coupon to be given to the passenger 0 p Y WESTERN UNION TELEGRAM June k, Daniel W. Bell Under Secretary Treasury Washington, D. C. Relative proposed treasury financing have following comments to make: Approve time proposed for third war loan drive. advise against reopening 2-1/2 percent bonds. Strongly If bank and nonbank financing are to be separated, then market offerings should not be made to public between drives, Yfould greatly reduce amount securities sold during drives. Insurance companies and other large nonbank investors should accumulate funds for next drive. Requirements of insurance companies and others desiring invest in anticipation income can be met next drive by making 2-l/2 percent bonds available on four or five-month installment basis. during drive. This would also increase funds raised Banks should supply funds when needed in addition to those secured during drives and on tap issues between drives. I very much favor limiting amount of commercial bank subscriptions on basis capital and surplus on basis time as well as denand deposits. It would be unfair to exclude time deposits unless they are permitted to be invested in 2-1/2 percent bonds. I favor offering to commercial banks and dealers only note or 2 percent bond when treasury needs money. July nineteen when certificate is proposed may be good time for bank offering, or it could be delayed until August depending on new funds raised on certificate. At present would favor 2 percent bond for banks as this security in greatest demand. A small premium on bond offered at par would assure all banks taking their full quota. Plan to refund 3~ percent bond in August seems advisable. Eccles IS a full-fate Telegram or Cablegram-unless its dexred character is inicated by a suitable j symbol above or preI ceding the address. A. INI'. W I L L I A M S PRESIDENT TE UNION NEWCOMB CARLTON 1220 SYMBOLS DL-Day Letter NT -Overnight Telegr»n LC-Deferred Cable J. C. WILLEVER FIRST VICE-PRESIDENT Ship Radiogram The filing time shown in the date line on telegrams and day letters is STANDARD TIME at point of origin. Time of receipt is STANDARD/tlME at point of destination MA347 2 7 1 / 2 7 0 GOVT=BD WASHINGTON DC 3 iviARRIMER S ECCLES= ;E CONDUCTOR CITY OF LEAVING CHGO AT 6PM ARRIVING OMAHA 2AM OMAHA BELL SENDING FOLLOWING WIRE THIS AFTERNOON TO PRESIDENTS OF FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS AND ASKS FOR VIEWS OF MEMBERS OF BOARD BY 4 PM.. TOMORROW FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WIRE FOLLOWS INFORMAL DISCUSSION AT TREASURY TODAY. IF YOU HAVE ANY VIEWS TO EXPRESS SUGGEST YOU WIRE BELL DIRECT IN THE INTEREST OF TIME OR WIRE US AND WE WILL FORWARD IT TO BELL; QUOTE jr V WOULD LIKE TO HAVE D Y FOUR PM WASHINGTON TIME *__NTS ON THE FOLLOWING; THIRD WAR LOAN DRIVE TO B'EGlN MONDAY SEPTEMBER TWENTY ENDING SATURDAY OCTOBER NINE. REOPEN ON JUNE TWENTY EIGHT LAST 2 1/2 PERCENT BOND- PRIMARILY FOR INSURANCE COMPANY \ - • FUNDS BUT ALLOW ANYONE TO COiviE EXCEPT COMMERCIAL BANKS AT SAME T I M E OFFER PRIMARILY FOR THE BANKS, B I L L I O N DOLLAR FOUR TO F f v E A TWO AND ONE HALF YEAR TlOTE OR S I X TO f i l l YEAR I BOND ENDaT END1. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ THE COMPANT Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis WILL APPKBCIATB SUGGESTIONS FBOM ITS PATRONS CONCERNING ITS SERVICE Cabledearacter is inircated by a suitable symbol above or preceding the address. WESTERN UNION A. N. WILLIAMS PRESIDENT NEWCOMB CARL.TON SYMBOLS DL-DayLette NT -Overnight Telegram LC-Deferred Cable NLT -Cable Night Letter J. C. WILLEVER FIRST VICE-PRESIDENT The filing time shown in the date line on telegrams and day letters is STANDARD TIME at point of origin. Time of Ship Radiogram STMJtt>Ait> MA547/2 3 THIS WILL BE A PUBLIC OFFERING AMD OPEN TO ANYONE WHO CARES TO SUBSCRIBE WE ARE NOW CONSIDERING PLACING-A LIMITATION -AMOUNT THAT A BANK CAN SUBSCRIBE SUCH AS A CERTAIN PERCENTAGE OF DEMAND DEPOSITS ON JULY NINETEEN OFFER^A NEW j CERTIFICATE TO RAISE FUNDS TO MEET THE AUGUST_ONE MATURITY THIS CERTIFICATE ¥ T G H T POSSIBLY BE INCREASED BY FIVE* HUNDRED MILLION DOLLARS IF ADDITIONAL FUNDS ARE NECESSARY AT THAT: TIME; SOME TIME IN AUGUST PREFERABLY BEFORE THE FIFTEENTH OFFER A NEW SECURITY IN EXCHANGE FOR THE ONE BILLION FOUR iHUNDRED MILLION DOLLARS OF 3 1/4 PERCENT 1943-45 BONDS WHICH WILL BE CALLE? FOR PAYMENT ON OCTOBER JWfTlE?TTlTI5'* REFUNDING IS SUGGESTED FOR TH IS T IME~ I N" ORDERT TO GET 1T OU OF THE WAY BEFORE THE DRIVE BELL UNQUOTE= RANSON. 3 1/4 1943-45. ( THE COMPANT WILL APPRECIATE SUGGESTIONS FROM ITS PATRONS CONCERNING ITS SERVICE STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL — 3 — R&S 100-723 June 2 6 , I9h3 Over the next year, the Systen rill add perhaps 7 billion dollars to its holdings in order to give to banks the reserves necessary to offset a loss of 1+ billion dollars in currency and an increase of 3 billion in required reserves. Probably most of this total vrill be in bills and a large part of it in the option account. The commissions to dealers on bill purchases could be eliminated if the System placod a bid with the Treasury for each issue of bills for not only the amount of each rook's maturity but an additional amount to provide for an expected increase in the portfolio and purchased oth^r bills from dealers only at the buying rate* Otherwise, if the System purchases a billion dollars net of bills from dealers and turns over the.present billion dollars of holdings under the regular authority four times in the year, total purchases of 5 billion dollars would net the doalers nearly .$200,000 of gross profits. In addition, the System must replace maturities of a billion dollars of certificates, v;hich might not the dealers ^100,000, and of 600 million dollars of notes and bonds, which might net them another $100,000. The System1 s purchases and sales to maintain the pattern of rates may aggregate 2 or 3 billion dollars, which nay bring the dealers $300,000 in profits* The wide fluctuations in required reserves and in excess reserves brought about by the elimination of reserve requirements on war loan deposits nay result in increased trading and consequently in increased profits to dealers. Other buying and selling will be largo and will increase. Finally, the dealers will continue to make largo profits on subscriptions for rev/ Treasury offerings. While all of this may seem to bo of small importance, the System is in the position of adding between $500*000 cuid a million dollars a year to the profits of a group of dealers nho perforn a useful function but about whoso activities the System has relatively little knowledge and over whom the System has relatively little control. It nay well be that the net profits of dealers aro excessive or they may be only sufficient for the maintenance of a necessary function. The undesirable activitGS of dealers and of other groups in the market may bo of groat or of little importance. At any event, it would seem that the Systcn should have knowledge of and control over the activities of the dealers and of other clononts in the Government securities market. There follows a list of scne regulations that might be made applicable to all dealers and brokers in Government securities: 1. The submission of regular reports of trading, balance sheets, and profit and loss statements, 2. Regular oxanination of the books, 3. Prohibition of (a) the dissemination of information, whether true or false, to the offect that prices are likely to rise or fall because- of the operations of some person, such as the Federal Open I4arket Committee, (b) the making of false or misleading statements as to any material fact, and (c) the effecting of transactions in series for the immediate purpose of causing the market to be active or causing quotations to move with the ultimate purpose of thus inducing other porsons to buy or sell* 1;. The establishment of a codG of uniform and fair trading practices, STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM R&S 100-718 June 19, 19U3 Board of Governors Federal Open Harket Committee meeting L. K. Piser and David M. Kennedy The exemption of ;:ar loan deposits from reserve requirements has completely reversed the timing of changes in required reserves of member banks. Instead of increasing sharply during the drives required reserves now doiine sharply at such times and increase substantially between drives. In the December drive, required reserves increased by about 800 million dollars; in the April drive, required reserves declined by l,[j. billion dollars. Between the first and the second drive, required reserves showed little change; after the April drive, however, they increased by a billion dollars. It is expected that between now and the end of August, required reserves will increase by an additional 1.3 billion dollars, while during the September drive they will decline by 1,5 to 2.0 billion dollars. This reversal in the movement of required reserves, and consequently of excess reserves, has considerably altered the timing of Federal Reserve security transactions. It is necessary for the System now to make large purchases between the drives and large sales during the drives. If excess reserves are maintained at about 1.5 billion dollars, between now and the end of August the System will have to increase- its holdings of Government securities by about 2,2 billion dollars in order to offset the increase of 1,3 billion in required reserves and an increase of 9^0 million dollars in money in circulation. During the September drive, the System will be able to reduce its holdings. The situation is complicated by the present necessity of maintaining a pattern of rates that was established when excess reserves were higher and the outstanding amount of short-term securities was small. Under the present pattern, there is a substantial demand for intermediate and longterm securities end a substantial supply of short-torn issues. In maintaining the pattern, the System has sold the former securities and bought the latter. Since the beginning of the year, the System's holdings of Treasury bonds h&ve declined by 1,2 billion dollars and of Treasury notes by 500 million dollars, while holdings of bills have increased sharply. STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL ~ 2 — R&S 100-718 The System's holdings of some issues of bonds that arc in substantial demand have boon completely exhausted, and holdings of other issues arc small. Government agencies have placed some of their holdings at the disposal of the System in an attempt to maintain the pattern. The Treasury is offering a new issue on June 28, not because they need tho funds but in an effort to maintain the pattern. The situation may come to a head during the September drive, when excess reserves will increase sharply and banks will bo anxious to add to their holdings. If banks in September will repurchase bills instead of bidding for longer issues, it may bo possible to maintain the pattern, but at some time in the future the ammunition probably will be exhausted. One possible solution would be to bring tho market into balance again by increasing the bill rate and decreasing the intermediate and longterm rato by extending tho maturity on new issues. Both the Treasury and the System, however, are committed to maintaining the present pattern of rates. Another possible solution would be to discontinue the issuance of 3-month bills and 1-year certificates and to substitute 6-month or 9-month certificates. This proceduro would have little or no influence on the demand for intermediate and long-term bonds unless at tho same time tho short-term rate wore increased. It might be possible, however, to make some revision in the rate at tho time of the change. The best solution would appear to be to make no further increase in the weekly offering of bills, which is now a billion dollars, and to confine future increases in the debt to 2 per cent bonds and longer issues. If this procedure did not correct the situation, the amount of the shortterm debt could bo decreasod, and as a last resort the pattern of rates might be altered. If the present situation should reverse itself in the future, the short-term debt could be increased whenever such action might appear to be dosirable. Other subjects that might be considered at the meeting are as follows* 1. The System might seek to arrange with the Treasury for the direct replacement of maturing bill issues. Between now and the end of August, the System not only will be replacing on the average 200 million dollars of maturing bills a week but will be adding on the average 200 million of securities to the portfolio. These additions will probably be largely in bills. The mechanics of replacing the maturities would be simplified if replacement were made direct witii tho Treasury rather than retaining the present intermediate step by which dealers purchase bills from the Treasury and sell them to the System. Arguments against a change in the present procedure ere that (1) investors are now given an opportunity to purchase bills from the dealers1 woekly allotment, and some bills arc distributed in this manner, and (2) tho public might misunderstand the action and construe it as adding to inflation. STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL — 3 — R4S 100-718 Juno 19, ^ 2. If oxcoss reserves ai*o kept at a low lovol, the Systen just prior to oach bank financing might purchu.se a sufficient amount of securities to enable the banks to purchase the amount of the offering and no more* By purchasing a part of the weekly bill issue direct from the Treasury, the System would supply promptly the necessary excess reserves with littlo disturbance to the market. These direct purchases would bo in addition to the direct roplacement of maturities. The purpose of this change would be to limit the increase in bank holdings of Government securities. The change would not necessarily accomplish this purpose, however, since banks are always able to sell bills to the Reserve Banks at the buying rate and with the additional reserves thereby provided to purchase several times that amount of securities. Banks now hold 7 billion dollars of bills that could be used for the further expansion of bank credit. The only really effective limitations on increases in bank holdings in the present situation are their own policy to limit their holdings, which is not very strong, and the amounts that thoy are able to purchase in the market or on subscription from the Troasury* 3, Subscriptions for nov; issuos by recognized dealers might be further limited, or all dealers and brokers might be allotted new issues on tho same basis as commercial banks. Large amounts of dealer subscriptions are sold to commercial banks at premiums, and the banks have a justifiable complaint in this regard. It is estimated that in the April drive the recognized dealers nado a profit of close to a million dollars on thwir subscriptions* U* Tho supervisory authorities night issue a statement condemning tho practice of banks in making speculative loans on Government securities. The amount of speculation incroasod considerably in the April drive. Loans by weekly reporting member banks to others than brokers and dealers for purchasing and carrying securities increased by 27I4. million dollars between April 7 and May 5> compared with an increase of 53 million in the December drive. Although seme of those leans were made to investors who are repaying them from current income, substantial loans undoubtedly wore made to speculators who obtained a quick profit out of tho drive, 5« A partial payment plan might be inaugurated in the next drive. Subscribers would be enabled thereby tc invest not only accumulated funds but funds that they expect tc receive in tho near future• If as funds accumulate they are absorbed by repaying loans en securities previously purchased, there is less chance that thoy will bo used for inflationary buying. Such a plan would also make it easier to lengthen the period between the drives to six months. Tho public ever a period of years has been accustomed to making instalment purchases, and this method of buying securities night have a popular appeal. If the Treasury is unwilling to inaugurate a partial payment plan, the 2 l/2 per cent bonds should be placed perhaps continually on offer in order to provide an outlet for funds as they accumulate. o STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL — h — R&S 100-718 Juno 1 9 , 19U2 6. In raising funds butwoon the drives the Treasury might issue certificates tliat would mature at the time of the succeeding drive. Investors could place in the certificates funds that accumulate between the drives and could use the proceeds from the redemption of the certificates to purchase now issues in the drives. In addition, to the extent that the Treasury would sell securities only as funds wore needed and would arrange the maturities of those issues to coincide with the receipt of funds during the drives, the Treasury balance would not increase to such a high level as is the case under the present program, and the amount of interest payments would bo correspondingly reduced. 7. Since the Treasury first offered bills on a fixed-price basis, the weekly tenders on this basis have averaged 80 million dollars. If half of these funds represent tenders that would not havo been placed under the old method, the change will raise during the 13-v'cek cycle more than 500 million dollars of nev funds. This amount could be increased by a renewed campaign by the Federal Reserve Banks. n 8. In the next drive, the lowest denomination of the 2 l/2s should be reduced from $500 to $XQO« Although most smell investors prefer to purchase savin&s bonds, there are many who for one reason or another profer marketable issues, Tho change would moot this demand and would probably increase total sales to nonbanking investors. 9. Tho 025 denomination of Series E savings bonds should be discontinued. The cost of registering, issuing, end redeeming tho large number of these bonds is substantial. The price of the $50 denomination can bo accumulated by savings stamps, payroll deduction, or otherwise. This change probably would result in little or no decline in total sales to nonbanking investors. 10, The Series F and G savings bonds might be discontinued. They give an unjustified subsidy to fairly large investors and increase the already substantial short-term liabilities of the Treasury, On the other hand, their discontinuuncc would lose BOSKS sales that arc now made to nonbanking investors, 11, The Treasury might sell annuities. A number of investors particularly purchasers of Series E bonds under the payroll deduction plan might prefer to have their investments in this form rather than in the form of a large number of individual bends that nature in a fev; years. This change would probably incroase sales to nonbanking investors. 12, Commercial banks might be permitted to hold new 2 l/2 per cent bonds in tho amount of $100,000 or their savings deposits, whichever is smaller, A number of conmorcial banks hold a largG proportion of savings deposits and are at a disadvantage as coiipurod with mutual savings banks and other savings institutions. This change would remove some of tho inequality.