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BDARD DF GOVERNORS

* £ 2 £L ±.

or THE

FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

Office Correspondence
To

wrx

fo\HPTTF^JPer

Date—,^1,19/,/,
Subject:

Mr. Carpenter

At the meeting of the Board yesterday at which you
were present, unanimous approval was given to a motion that
the Board approve the making of the study by the Board and
the Reserve Banks on postwar economic policies with the understanding that the stucty- would be a project wholly within the
Federal Reserve System in which a l l of the Federal Reserve
Banks would participate, that no publicity would be given to
the project or any of the results of the study until the Board
had determined what i t s policy should be in that connection,
and that a decision with respect to release or publication of
a l l or any part of the study would be made only at a meeting
at which a l l of the members of the Board were in attendance.

S, R, C,

C



May 31,

To:

Board of Governors

From:

Mr. Goldenweiser

Subject:

Reports by System economists
on postwar economic policies

This is a progress report on steps taken to organize the
preparation of reports on postwar economic policies by members of the
research staffs of the Board and tho Federal Resorvo Banks. What we
propose to do is to got the bost judgment of specialists in the employ
of the Federal Reserve System on desirable policies to be adopted after
tho war in the different fields with which they are familiar.
I wish at this time to ask for Board approval of the general
project so that I may have the assurance that the Board is in sympathy
with the undertaking and will stand buck of me in connection with such
problems as may arise particularly in connection with the assignments of
subjects to research men at the Federal Reserve Banks*
You may recall that the origin of this study of postwar policies
was a request by Chairman Eccles, at a meeting of the Open Market Committee
in March, that tho economists who on that occasion had outlined a number
of probloms, proceed further and provide the System with solutions of these
problems.
At tho meeting of the Opon Market Committee on Hay I4. I presented
a program of postwar economic policies covering every phase that I could
think of, I had arranged the program under fifteen general heads. This
was a very hasty statement and it gave quite definite answers to all the
questions, with the understanding on my part that that was preliminary and

c

was thrown out only for purposes of discussion.




Later, at Allan Sproul's request, I enumerated these points at
the conference of Chairmen of the Federal Reserve Banks, and I also gave
them in substance to the Federal Advisory Council.
Later s t i l l these questions wore changed into topics without
definite commitments.

At the meeting we had in Minneapolis of the System

Research Advisory Committee the subject was discussed and specific assignments with

a

time schedule were prepared,

A copy of these assignments

is attached.
I t has become generally understood in tho System that monetary
and crodit policy cannot bo conducted satisfactorily without an understanding of tho entire economic picture.

Consequently, the System has on

i t s payroll specialists in nearly overy economic field,

Tfhat i t i s pro-

posed to do now i s not to undertake any now research, but merely to ask
tho specialists to make reports of thoir judgment on the basis of such
study as they have given the subject in recent years,

When a l l of these

reports have been received and edited they will together constitute a
postwar program which will be available to the Board and the Banks,

Yflrat

other use will be made of this document and whether i t will ever be considered for publication need not bo discussed at this time,
I bolicve that the banks will be glad to cooperate* if they understand the basis on which i t i s boing done.

I t i s my own judgment that the

fact that wo hav© undertaken an ambitious and broad program has already
helped the morale of tho research staffs and has elicited a good doal of
enthusiasm.

Nothing stimulates economic thinking as much as the feeling

that practical recommendations aro wanted.




It is my purpose to proceed with the preparation of these documents and to have thorn ready some time this autumn or early winter.

If

for any reason the Board is not in favor of the proposal, I should like to
stop i t before proceeding further in making specific assignments.

On the

othor hand, if the Board approves I want to send out the assignments
promptly and also write to the presidents of the Banks asking their support
for the staff members in their bank who \vill bo giving tirw to this matter.

$. Q. i

o



POSTWAR ECONOMIC PROBLEMS AND POLICIES

Subject

Proposed Author

Proposed
Completion Date

1.

Introduction and summary
General appraisal of problems and
proposed policies

E. A. Goldenweiser (Board)

2.

Gross national output
Volume required for full employment

Everett Hagen (Board)

August 31

3.

Distribution of output with reference to markets
and living standards

Frank Garfield (Board)

August 31

U»

International trade, monetary and financial
policies

Walter Gardner (Board)
Woodiief Thomas (Board)
John Williams (New York)

September 31

5.

Price developments and price policies
a. Price controls and rationing in the transition period
b. Prices, costs, and the incidence of
increasing productivity
c. Regulation of monopoly, trade restrictions,
and other rigidities

Clarence Tow (Kansas City)

July 31

Clayton Gehman (Board)

August 31

Howard Ellis (Board)

Augu st 31

6.

Labor developments and labor policies
Wages, hours, and working conditions; labor
costs; demobilization and readaptation
problems; collective bargaining
Government policy toward maintenance of
employment

Kenneth Williams (Board)

August 31

7.

Agricultural developments and policies

Committee on Agriculture
Arthur Bunce (Board), Chairman
Phil Eckert (Cleveland)
Walter Garver (Chicago)
Franklin Parsons (Minneapolis)
Earle Rauber (Atlanta)

August 31

o




POSTWAR ECONOMIC PROBLEMS AND POLICIES (Continued)

Subject

Proposed Author

Proposed
Completion Date

0.

Social security
Minimum standards and cyclical significance

To be assigned

9.

Public services and public works
Health, education, recreation, and similar
services; urban rehabilitation, highways, con
servation, and similar public works

To be assigned

10.

State and local fiscal problems
Expenditures and taxation; inter-governmental
relationships (Federal, state, and local) in
these and in public services and public works

Committee on State and Local Finance
George Mitchell (Chicago), Chairman
Lloyd Raisty (Atlanta)
Oscar Litterer (Minneacolis)

August 31

11,

Federal budget and taxation

Richard Musgr&ve (Board)
George Mitchell (Chicago)
Oscar Litterer (Minneapolis)

August 15

12.

Management of the public debt

L. M. Piser (Bourd)
D. 11, Kennedy (Board)
II. V. Roelse (Hew York)

August 15

13•

Business finance
a. Financing industrial reconversion
b. Peacetime financing needs

Committee on Financial Aspects of Reconversion
Art hur Upg r en (Mizineapo 1 i s ), Cha irman
Kenneth MacKenzie (Cleveland)
Waiter Koadley (Chicago)
James Dolley (Dallas)
Susan S. Burr (Board)
Frederick Dirks (Board)

August 31

Ernest Hopkins (Atlanta)
Susan S. Burr (Board)

August 31

c % Lon^-tinie needs of small business




POSTWAR ECONOMIC PROBLEMS AND POLICIES (Continued)

Proposed Author

Subject

Proposed
Completion Date

11+. Commercial banking after the war

Committee on Banking and Credit Policy
C. A.Sienkieivicz (Philadelphia), Chairman
E. A. Kincaid (Richmond)
Arthur Upgren (Minneapolis)
Morgan Rice (Dallas)
Henry Sdmi st on (St. Lou is)
Woodlief Thomas (Board)
D. ivl. Kennedy (Board)
Roland Robinson (Board)

September 30

15.

Interest rates

John Langum (Chicago)

August $1

16.

Selective credit controls

Carl Parry (Board)
C. 0. Hardy (Kansas City)

August 31

17.

Postwar role of central banking

Karl 3opp (Philadelphia)
Roland Robinson (Board)
William Tongue (Chicago)

October 15

June 6,

o




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