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STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Gov. Szymcza
Gov. Draper
Gov. Evans
( P l e a s e r e t u r n t o Chairman's

k A




Office

Fc,-a fe R. 680
ftwisect March 1946

CHAIRMAN ECCLES1 OFFICE TO:
OV. DRAPER

6 0 V . RANSOM

60V. EVANS

6 0 V . SZYMCZAK
6 0 V . VARDAMAN
MR.
MR.

BETHEA
CARPENTER

MR. HAMMOND
MR. KENNEDY
MR. LEC

WE
MR.
DRfPARRY
MR. PAULGER
MR. PISER
MR. SMEAD
MR. THOMAS
MR. TOWNSEND
MR. VEST
MR. WILLIAMS
MR. WOOD

REMARKS:

f

fh:




•

August 12,

The President,
the White House#
?fy dear Mr. President:
Your budget statement and the action you hare already
taken to deal with the Inflation problem are so forthright and
construct ire that 1 are taking the liberty of writing you this
note to suggest two additional steps which you sight wish to
consider la following up your program, which has been cowaendod
by the press and public generally.
It is of great importance at this tine, Z think, to
focus public attention on the paramount necessity for increasing productivity in Industry, You hare done all that you can
do so far as the Governaont is concerned to keep effective price
controls, to reduce Government expenditures and to Maintain ?ederal revenue by opposing further tax reductions while inflationary pressures exist. At best, however, price controls are only
a stopgap. Fiscal policy deals only with the aoney supply side
of the Inflation problem. The overwhelmingly vital need of the
hour is for acre work and more goods* It should be forcibly i»pressed upon the public that it is now up to labor and Management to overeene the major oause of the inflationary danger. For
that reason, X would like to suggest that you consider Making a
statement, possibly at a prm— conference, along the following
general




"I have noted with great interest and satisfaction the discussions aaong sons of the leaders
of labor and industry who are considering ways and
Moans of increasing the output of Industry In the
critical period while inflationary danger still
confronts the country, This is by far the nest
effective means of overcoming the danger, there




is no further step that the President has authority
to take in dealing with tho problem that compares in
importance with what oaa bo done on tho industrial
front "by labor and isanagensnt through increasing
output by increasing efficiency, by eliminating
bottlenecks and restrictive rules ana practices,
including those is tho building industry* and by
avoiding strikes and shutdowns* More work and More
goods are tho fundamental cures for inflation* That
is tho only way for labor to keep tho gains from
pay Increases it has received. It is tho only way
to safeguard the purchasing power of all wages and
savings• It would bo of tho greatest benefit to tho
entire country if during tho months ahead labor and
Management agreed to work longer hours particularly
in those linos whore shortage* are tho greatest.
This would serve to increase production and help to
stabilise prices. The restating increase in tokohoaae pay would thus bo accompanied by increased output* That would benefit all concerned whereas
further wage Increases for tho same amount of time
and output would serve only to intensify tho upward
pressure on prices* Increased wages that result in
increased prices are self-defeating* It is as muoh
in the public interest now as during tho war to increase production and hence to avoid strikes. We
all know that in our interdependent eoonoray a strike
in one key industry can paralyse others* Likewise,
strikes by conparatlvely few workers in plants that
supply others can throw naay thousand a out of work*
The way to keep prices down and to maintain tho buy*
ing power of wages and savings is to achieve an uninterrupted high rate of output* This is tho only
way to bring about an increase in tho standard of
living* This is tho only way in which national income can bo increased* thereby inoroasing tax revenues without increasing tax rates* Increased tax
revenues resulting from increased national inooms
and decreased Federal expenditures will result in
a balanced budget and then in a budgetary surplus
which will make possible tax reductions later on*
Budgetary surpluses and tax reductions can bo
brought about in no other
/

In view of the excellent example to the Nation whloh
have already set in your budgetary statenent, X would suggest that you consider tending to the Oovernort of the States
an open letter enlisting their full cooperation wherever possible by reducing; state expenditure*, lay deferring public works
and by maintaining taxation while inflationary dangers exist«
Both a statement from the President of the United
States highlighting and encouraging the morenent lor increasing produotirity and «uch a letter to the Governors would, la
ay opinion, also hare a favorable reception generally and
farther increase public confidenoe in your leadership*
Respectfully,

M. 8 # Sooles,
Chairaan.

ETPtnnm



Memorandum on H»R« 14J28,
Reducing Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation Premium
Charged for Insurance from I/k of 1 por cent to l/l2. of I per cent
The major provision of this Bill is tho reduction of the insurance
premium* On a logical basis If any change were to be made in the premium It
should bo increased, not reduced. The Bill should not bo permitted to become
law for those reasons:
The Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation's reserve against
its insured risk is still grossly deficient. Congress originally contemplated
that the reserve should someday reach 5 per cent of the insured risk, but
after 10 years of operation the vm^rrm had reached only 0*57 por cent of
the insured risk, as of June 30, 19Uu
The risk exposure of the FSLIC is far greater than that of FDIC.
It has boon contended that the risks are about the same and that therefor*
the FSLIC premium should bo the same as that of FDIC — l/l2 of 1 per cent.
However, based on the latest available figures, Insured banks (taking into
account their capital, surplus and undivided profits and the amount of their
deposits not covered by their holdings of Government securities and cash)
have a cushion of approximately $1 for every |297 of risk. FSLIC insured
institutions, on the same basis, have a cushion of only $1 to $8 of risk*
In a word, tho FDIC cushion is three times as big* In fact, on any basis
of comparison, tho FSLIC exposure is far greater than FDIC, so that the
logio of any argument based on comparability would lead to increasing not
reducing the FSLIC rate0
It would be inconsistent for the Administration to approve this
Bill which is diametrically the opposite of S # 2h9h, recently introduced by
Senator Wagner and endorsed by the Treasury, contemplating that the FDIC
premium shall bo maintained with a view to repaying the Government funds
which are, in offoot, a subsidy to the FDIC, As a matter of principle,
neither FDIC nor FSLIC should reduce their premiums until this Government
money has been paid off* It is particularly important, from the budgetary
standpoint, that the money be returned to the Government as rapidly as possible. The FSLIC has #100,000,000 of Government-furnished money. It amounts
to a subsidy for the benefit of private institutions just as the Governmentfurnished money in the FDIC is a subsidy to private banks. These private
institutions constantly complain against subsidies for agricultural or
other Government institutions and logically they should apply the same rule
to themselves. At present, isles the national debt is so great and such
vigorous efforts are being made by the Administration to increase Government reoeipts and reduce expenditures, prudent policy requires that tho
premium of the FSLIC bo maintained or oven increased with the ultimate
view of repaying the #100,000,000 of subsidy to the Treasury,

August 13,