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November
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30 , 1944-•

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Mr, it. G. ir.ells,
frellsville, ftiew York.
Dear Mr. rsells:

---

It occurred to me on reading your well-reasoned
letter of iMovember ¿4 in regard to my recent speech that
you may have seen only a necessarily brief newspaper ac­
count, and I am therefore venturing to send you a copy of
the entire text.
Ifthile I think it clear from the text that I
would be as concerned as you would be about anything that
contributed to an upward spiraling of prices, as a result
of your letter I have added a line or two to the text as
it will be printed in the Federal he serve Bulletin so
that there will be no possibility of misunderstanding on
this point. Kvhat I have added points out that unless
wages of the lower paid groups can be increased without
increasing prices, the deaired increase in consumption
would not, of course, be brought about.
Sincerely yours,

M. 5. Eccles,
Chairman.

Enclosure

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Rise in Prices!
HeM Needed in
Steel Industry
Inland Chairman Asserts
SolvencyHinges on Move
Following Pay Changes
#
The steel industry finds it im­
possible to absorb further in­
creases in costs caused by wage
adjustments without raising prices
of its products if it is to remain
solvent, Edward L. Ryerson, chair­
man of Inland Steel Co., said yes­
terday.
Discussing War Labor Board
proposals for still higher wage
rates for steel workers, Mr. Ryer­
son asserted that because of ceil­
ing prices on products and higher
costs of operations, the industry j
is already showjpg a subnormal
return on invested capital.
"Our present schedule of prices
remains unchanged since 1939, y e t;
we have already had two general
wage advances and under the re-I
cent Labor Board directive we will j
have to make additional upward1
adjustments,” the statement said.:
“The *~tter, though indetermin­
able,
be substantial.
"Be. ~s the wage increases, our
costs have risen due to a variety
oi other causes, including ad­
vances in the prices of many o f .
¡the materials we purchase. As a
! result, our operations show direct •
losses on a number of products
and this must be true in the steel
industry as a whole.”
Mr. Ryerson recalled a recent
survey by National City Bank of
New York, showing that in the
first nine »months of 1944 twentysix iron and steel companies
showed earnings of 4.9 per cent,
annual basis, on net worth, com­
pared with 8.9 per cent for 246
companies In various manufac- j
turing activities ffeckoned on an
annual basis from the like period.
Suggesting that the steel indus­
try has been discriminated against,
Mr. Ryerson said that “it seems
clear the steel price schedule
should be properly adjusted if
sufficient risk capital is to be a t­
tracted to this key industry in
order that it may be prepared to
Digitized
provide for
a FRASER
high level of employhttp://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
ment in the post-war period.”
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Thank you for your recent letter and copy of
your speech.
If depressions always follow inflationary booms,
why not prevent depressions by avoiding inflation.
It seems questionable that a serious inflation
can be prevented.
We have gone so far in devaluation and there is no
relief in sight for demands from almost every quarter for
increased wages and salaries.
Prices must go up and dollars go down. Perhaps
you saw the enclosed clipping. The devaluation of the franc
it seems did not make France prosperous. How much alike
are we to French thought when the church properties were
"taken over" and assignats issued?