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C l a r e n c e V. S ma z e l
1716 Al pha St r eet
Lansing, Michigan

December 11, 1940.

Ur. Marriner S. Eccles, Chairman,
Federal Reserve Board,
Washington, D. C.

My dear Mr. Eccles:
For some time I have been ob­
serving statements by economists, economic writers,
columnists, and others to the effect that if the owners
of idle money now piled up in the banks were suddenly
to decide to spend or invest that money, unemployment
would immediately end, we would enjoy prosperity far
greater even than that of 1929, enough taxes could be
collected from current income to put the defense program
on a pay-as-you-go basis, etc.
I do not expect miracles to hap­
pen, nor that you can forsee them, but I should like to
secure the best official confirmation possible of the
suggested possibilities or probabilities. If defense
expenditures or some other factor should break the log
jam that has held up investment and caused money to pile
up in banks, would such optimistic statements be within
the realm of reality?
A quotation from any recent address
or writing on the subject would satisfactorily answer ray
query; or if none such is available, a brief statement of
what you think would happen under such circumstances would
be greatly appreciated.




December 16, 1940.

Mr. Clarence V. Smazel,
1716 Alpha Street,
Lansing, Michigan.
Dear Mr. Smazel:
Chairman Eccles requested me to acknowledge
receipt of your letter of December 11 and, in reply
to your question, to enclose a copy of his recent
address before the National Industrial Conference
Board.
Accordingly, I enclose a copy of this ad­
dress which, while not a direct reply to your inquiry,
should indicate what the answers are.

Sincerely yours,

Elliott Thurbton,

Special Assistant
to the Chairman.
enclosure

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