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SIEBKBT & ftlLLIS, INC.

c

P Kansas' leading Appliance d i s t r i b u t o r since 1933 »• 149 N. ttock Island,
Y
wichita <., <. Kansas
Phone 4-7394
January 12, 1949*

Honorable liarriner £>. Eccies
doard of Governors
federal neserve bank
Washington, D. C,
Dear 5ir:
I read, with a great deal of interest, your interview in United states wews
and world Keport of January 7»
Of Particular interest to me /*as your remarks concerning credit controls, particularly as they relate to consumer credit.
Very honestly, I was one who was in favor of the re-establishment of Regulation
"ft11 and unquestionaoly, it appeared last rail tnat there was a need for same.
However, things nave been happening rapidly in trie housenold appliance business,
as you can see from the attached list of factories who have radically curtailed
production.
I am now firmly of tne opinion that tne entire situation should oe carefully
reviewed with a view of a relaxation of controls, particularly on certain appliances.
The average working man can take #3^0 and use it as a down-payment on a five
room nome, however when he goes to buy a refrigerator, range and w&sning machine
and some furniture, the down-payment would have to oe considerably more than
$3^0. Yet, he can buy a piano, clothing, furs or jewelry with practically no
down-payment •
it has been the custom of man to eat regularly and usually to eat food that
has oeen cooKed. Therefore it seems to me tnat on items tnat have to do with
food preservation and preparation, such as a range and refrigerator, the terms
should be even more favorable than on such items as fur coats ana jewelry, it
is my honest oelief that until Regulation "W* is relaxed, there will be an increasingly serious unemployment problem, tne first straws in the wind of which
are outlined in the attached sheets which are merely excerpts from recent trade
publications.
Very sincerely yours,
db
attacns.



Carroll

*-u

€+**&«

9

;

1949

Mr. Carroll Willie,
giebert It Willis, Inc.,
l!# forth Rook Island,
Wichita 2, Kansas.
Dear Mr. Willis?
Thank j«a for your l e t t e r ©f January 12 oosic^raing the
a cop* of regulation *' and i t s possible eff&ot on the
Ton %**@«ticned the policy of r«g«lsting instalment
credit arising i» eoimeotiots with the sale of "listed" artiel«s
while credit extended in connection ueith "unlisted11 artiolea, stsoh
*s fwr coats and j#w©lry# is not «o re^ul&t«d« ^us l i s t of a r t i cle*, the instalment ml® of ofetflfei is swt?j©ot to ^gulfttlon W, re*
suited fro& study of the various sources of instalment credit and
selection of certain taajor areas which generated 1h« bulk of stich
credit and. which, through expansion and contraction of sales and
production, exerted oonsiderabl© pressure on the upward and downward isoveaents of Hie eoonoaiy.
In congressional committee hearings preoeding the pas*
sage of Public LAW 903, i^ie Board representative stated that, in
general, the contemplated regulation probably would have about
the same scope m» the regulation which was terminated in November
of I9hl* "She it«E8 you mentioned were not included in that regulation*
Ton expressed the opinion that regulation 1 should be
reviewed with the view of relaxation of permissible t#ras« Although
the Board has received a masher of requests for relaxation of t«e
regulation froes people engaged in the production and marketing of
consumers' durable goods, there is also evidence of a different
point of view in those quarters* Bio attached sheets contain excerpts from unsolicited l e t t e r s we have received escpresslng views
that the regulation should not be relaxed a t this time*
Regulation B is a flexible nsaeure and the ^mrd i s particularly conotniei t i n t I t be properly adapted to current economic
and credit conditions* ftith this in mind, th© Board ie corsstantly
studying conditions in the economy generally its well as conditions
to those bu'sinoases which are affected directly tow the provision*




Mr. Carroll Willla

of the regulation, i n c i t i n g trends in the production and
Ing of appliances and other ©onsaiaer*1 durable goods*
On samred occasion* since the end of the war i t has
appeared that inflationary pressures weru waning and that there
was a prospect of general price weakness and rising une&ploy»©Kt.
Faeh of these oec&nions m s ©Tided, howewr, lay a r*n«wt*l of the
Inflationary spiral* While currently there t r t seme renewed
signs of weakness, in th$ buste#ss »itt)aticai, other factor* oonti.fi\«i to e3t«rt inflationary
It. is clear that ffeotort other than ii©g«lati«m
also inflwenoing «al«» of constasert1 durable goods aueli as appliano«s« radios* furniture* e t c . A sales decline i s normal a t this
tils© of th# year tor some of these products ozi a p\?r«ly seasonal
basis* In view of the ourr@xit high oost of living, many people
ha*® l©s« buying power available for such purehases.
relaxation of Begul&tion if i s being suggested by
p«opl© in tfee businesses ^ffeoted, in ord«r to stimulate sales*
Dui amounts involired in doma £>*&ym#»tw and instalnsntt r®fleet,
in addition to ito« provisions of th« reg«l&tion, the prlees of
th« articles involved* Suoh relajcation, i f i t r«swlt«d in
demand, would tend to support th« eurrant priees for
radios, ptasogrmphs, Jfumiturv, «to» In this. oomittottoR th©
is£ at*tenant VftMl appears in th© report of th» Scmate Copasitt©© on
Sanking and GnrvmiG$ r«oomD«iidinc •«aot»«Rt of tfada l«gi*lation i s
of interastt




**Ctaly hftret ooi^ld result ffesji inducing Riilions of
Ar^erican fatal lies to f;o heavily into debt on too easy
terns for goods a t the present high level of prices*
Hie ®3ee«s«iiw> or edit built up i s that way would not only
lxiore*8* preeent Inflationary proasuresi i t would Imim
to be liquidated later out of eurr«nt inease should a
down swing occur, thus aeeossarily diverting tiiat ine<a»e frcma th« ehannele of oonttuMi* expenditure* in tiie
©tssuing period* . . .
n

m • • excesses in the field • « • (of consumer
credit) can foe harmful not only to th© people direotly
inYolwd, ibut also to Billions of others who are
penalised by the inflationary effects of suoh excesses*

* Carroll

The p©ra<m of ana 11 inacmm i« the one h i t hardest «>h*n
inflation pushes prices beyoad his reach arad the tSM who
smffer* most whan the resulting deflation throws hiss out
of a Job* Its® legislation should tend to remjlt in
directing eti&pe-titioa &l<mg ths line of decreasing pri«&#»
rtkifoGtr -thmifs «xt^s<iing exeesaiv© <?r#<lit terns* % raaking
»OEie eontrilxitlosi toward preirantixig further inTlaticm »t
1M« time, sod thtis toward saderstiit^; any ensuing deflation, oonstsmer instalment oredit cfjr*trol« Msl sspseially
serve the interests of the person of low iscotae in addition to serving tih© interest© of a l l other o©nsu»t©r©
affected by our national
Iher© i s *OB« ae&ttcred «yid©no© of inoreaning
price outs t aiid other sales concessions in ocnncotion with eeriaiin
artielea, mo.h a« appliances and radios* These detelopients are
being wat0h#d ©losely, m& the Board i t pr#par«<i to take prompt
aetiou to relax regulation 1 when oondltions call for «woh aotior*.
Sincerely yours#

It* «• «>oelcs*

GMRiam