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Investor Day March 29, 2007

Fixed Income Overview
Jeff Mayer
Co-Head of Global Fixed Income
Tom Marano
Global Head of Mortgages and Asset Backed Securities

Net Revenues have Doubled Since 2002
CAGR = 22%

billions

$2,907

$4,190
$3,147

$3,293

2004

2005

$1,909

2002

2003

Prior period net revenues reclassified to conform to current reporting.

2006
2

Led by the Growth of the Credit and Mortgage
Franchises
Contribution to Growth in Fixed Income Net Revenues 2002–2006
$327

$4,190

Interest Rate

2006

billions

$1,027

$927
$1,909

2002

MBS

Prior period net revenues reclassified to conform to current reporting.

Credit

3

The Franchise Continues to Grow: Credit
Credit products continue to produce record revenues
‰

‰

‰

Credit Trading
⎯

Record revenues in 2006 well surpassed prior year record

⎯

Global franchise with U.S., Europe and Asia all contributing

Leveraged Finance
⎯

Jointly managed with Investment Banking

⎯

Sixth consecutive year of record net revenues

⎯

Lead managed bank and bond deal volumes at record levels

Distressed Debt
⎯

Record revenues in 2006

⎯

Strong research, client relationships and distribution capabilities
4

Credit Derivatives
Growth Trend Continues During First Quarter
Volume up 64% over 1Q2006
$4.0

160,000
Volume

$3.0

120,000

$2.0

80,000

$1.0

40,000

$0.0

0
2002

2003

2004

2005

Trade Volume

trillions

No. of Trades

2006
5

Strategic Effort to Deepen Relationships with Financial
Sponsors Continues to Fuel Business Opportunities in 1Q 2007
Lead Managed Bond Deals(1)

Lead Arranged Bank Deals(2)
50

$8

$15

50
$13.8

43

41

$5.7

$6

40

$12

40
33

$4.7

30

25

30

$4

27

20

30
$9

$7.7
$5.8

$6

$2.5

13
$2

billions

billions

$5.2

30

20

14

$1.5

10

$3

$2.2

10

4

$0

0
2002

2003

2004

League Table Volume
(1) Source: Bloomberg High Yield Underwriter Rankings.
(2) Source: Reuters Loan Pricing Corp.

2005

2006

No. of Issues

$0

$0.8
2002 2003 2004
League Table Volume

0
2005 2006
No. of Deals

6

The Franchise Continues to Grow: Interest Rate
Broadening the franchise to both integrate cash and derivative
businesses and launch new product areas
‰

‰

Interest Rate
⎯

Integrating cash and derivative businesses

⎯

Global franchise with significant operations in Europe and Asia

Foreign Exchange
⎯

Expanding precious metals business, already profitable in first full year

⎯

Investing in electronic trading platforms and technology

⎯

Local Markets group formed

7

Our Market Leading Mortgage Franchise Continues
to Grow
Origination

‰

Captive origination increased significantly in 2006

Servicing

‰

Servicing over 500,000 loans

Securitization

‰

Top ranked underwriter of MBS and ABS

Research

‰

Top ranked research analysts

Commercial

‰

Global CMBS platform

CDO/CLO

‰

Market leader in CDO/CLO space

8

Expanding Origination Capability
Origination

Growing captive origination platform provides a steady source of
quality product for capital markets activities
Three domestic captive origination channels accounted for 35% of
securitizations in Q1 2007:
‰

Bear Residential Mortgage Corporation (“Bear Res”)
⎯

‰

Encore Credit Corporation (“Encore”)
⎯

‰

Alt-A wholesale originator launched in April 2005

Sub-prime wholesale originator acquired in February 2007

EMC Mortgage Corporation (“EMC”)
⎯

Alt-A and Sub-prime conduit operation

Two European sub-prime mortgage originators:
‰

Rooftop – United Kingdom

‰

Bearimmo – France
9

Bear Residential Mortgage Corporation
Alt-A Wholesale Platform
Over the past 2 years we have built a highly scalable, state-of-the-art
origination platform
$2,000

Bear Res Origination

‰

‰

‰

Originated $4.8 billion in
loans in 2006, up from
$400 million in 2005
Web portal and automated
underwriting engine enable
fast & efficient loan
processing
Network of over 6,000
approved brokers &
correspondents

$1,500

millions

Origination

$1,000

$500

$0
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06

10

Encore Credit Corporation
Sub-prime Wholesale Platform
Encore acquisition in February 2007 doubled our wholesale origination
capacity and diversified our product mix.
‰

Originated $6.1 billion of
loans in 2006

‰

Purchased assets and
compatible platform at an
attractive price

‰

Network of nearly 10,000
approved brokers &
correspondents

$2,000
Encore Origination

$1,500

millions

Origination

$1,000

$500

‰

Platform will leverage Bear
Res technology platform as
well as Bear Stearns research
and capital markets expertise

$0
1Q06

2Q06

3Q06

4Q06

11

EMC Mortgage Corporation
Alt-A and Sub-prime Conduit
EMC is a top Alt-A and Sub-prime conduit, comprised of three main
channels:
30,000

‰

‰

‰

Bulk

Bulk

⎯

Acquire large pools which are
competitively bid

⎯

$36.2 billion of 2006 acquisitions

Flow
⎯

Approximately 500 approved
sellers

⎯

$29.6 billion of 2006 acquisitions

Scratch & Dent
⎯

⎯

Marker leader in acquisitions of
distressed and scratch & dent loans
$3.4 billion of 2006 acquisitions

Flow

Scratch & Dent

25,000

$ in millions

Origination

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

0
Q1
'05

Q2
'05

Q3
'05

Q4
'05

Q1
'06

Q2
'06

Q3
'06

Q4
'06

Q1
'07

12

Rooftop and Bearimmo
Sub-Prime Wholesale Platforms
Origination

Over the past 3 years, we have established sub-prime origination
platforms in the United Kingdom and France.

‰

Both platforms built organically

‰

Rooftop originated $1.7 billion in 2006

‰

Bearimmo growing rapidly, with current monthly originations of
$25 million

13

EMC Mortgage Corporation
Servicing

EMC continues to be a top rated servicer with a new management team
driving automation and innovation.
‰

‰

Market leader as specialty servicer,
with over 15 years of experience
Currently servicing 504,177 loans
with balances of $77.9 billion

$100

600
Number of Units
500

Unpaid Balances
$75

400

‰

Servicing varied types of loans
– Alt A, Sub-prime, Prime, Seconds,
Option ARMs, HELOCs and ‘Scratch
and Dent’

‰

‰

Since 2000, the number of loans
serviced has quadrupled and
balances have increased eleven-fold
In the last year, EMC has hired 18
Senior Managers, averaging more
than 19 years of industry experience

$50

300

200
$25
100

$0

0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1Q07

14

Bear Stearns Mortgage Facilities

Downers Grove, IL

Santa Ana, CA (Bear Res)
King of Prussia, PA

Irvine, CA (Encore)

Scottsdale, AZ
Glen Allen, VA

Irvine, CA (EMC)

Scottsdale, AZ (Pima)

Irving, TX

United Kingdom

France

London (Rooftop)

Map Key
Current States:

38 States

Paris (Bearimmo)

Utilization Key
0% - 50%

50% - 100%

15

Market Leader in Securitization Activity
Our franchise retained its leading rank in the MBS market and
Securitization increased penetration into several new sectors in 2006.
‰

Ranked #1 in U.S. MBS(1) in 2006 for the third year in a row
⎯
⎯

‰

Ranked #1 in U.S. ARMs(1)
⎯
⎯

‰

⎯

$23 billion in 2006 securitizations
Volume nearly doubling from last year

Originated a record $12.6 billion in Global CMBS
⎯
⎯

(1) Source: Thomson Financial.

$43 billion in 2006 securitizations
Top ranked every year since inception of ranking (2002)

Became Top 5 ranked Global CDO underwriter in 2006
⎯

‰

$113 billion in 2006 securitizations
Consistently ranked in the top 5 for the last 20 years

$15.5 billion in 2006 securitizations
Transactions in Europe, Asia and Latin America
16

Mortgage Research Team
Research

Our top ranked(1) analytics team is a key driver of our success.
‰

In 2006, 7 research analysts were recognized in 9 categories, up from
4 analysts in 7 categories in 2005

‰

Since 2001, our research staff has earned 39 total team positions
including, 13 first team awards

‰

Ranked #1 in MBS Prepayments since 1993 (14 years)

‰

Top 2 in ABS Prepayments every year since 2001

‰

Top 3 in MBS Non-Agency every year since 2001

(1) Source: Institutional Investor.

17

Commercial Mortgages
In 2006, we firmly established Bear Stearns as a global presence in
Commercial commercial real estate finance.
$14,000

Originated over $12.6 billion in
2006, more than double 2004 levels

‰

Able to apply securitization
expertise to acquisition finance
⎯
⎯
⎯
⎯

‰

Equity Office Properties
The Blue City, Sultanate of Oman
Daikoku Distribution Center, Yokohama
180 UK petrol stations leased to Shell

Global franchise
⎯

⎯

24% of 2006 production from non-U.S.
sources
Offices in New York, Los Angeles,
London, Tokyo and Frankfurt

$12,000

Commercial Loan
Originations

$10,000

$8,000

millions

‰

$6,000

$4,000

$2,000

$0
2003

2004

2005

2006

18

CDOs/CLOs
CDO/CLO

CDOs
‰

Top 5 ranked Global CDO underwriter in 2006
⎯

‰

Diverse and balanced range of CDO Business
⎯
⎯

‰

CLOs, ABS CDOs, CDOSquared, CMBS, Trust Preferred
Continued growth in London-based CDO origination, reaching $3.4 billion

Broad based distribution platform through team in New York, London, Tokyo,
Hong Kong and Singapore
⎯

‰

Volume nearly doubling from 2005

Approximately 40% of CDO debt classes and 52% of CDO equity classes placed
internationally

Strong pipeline of deals for the remainder of the year - over $15 billion in
committed mandates

CLOs
‰

Major distribution channel for leverage loan-related credit
19

Limited Sub-prime Exposure
We are well positioned to handle disruption in the sub-prime market
$20

‰

Insignificant Revenue Contribution
–

600

Decreased Loan Acquisitions
–

50% decline in 2006 sub-prime acquisition

Bear Volume ($ in billions)

‰

No exposure to headline companies

$15
500

400
$10
300

200
$5

vs. 5% market decline
100

$0

0
2003

(1) Market volumes (ABS Home Equity Issuance).

2004

2005

2006

20

Market Volume ($ in billions)

Modest Warehouse Exposure
–

Market Volume(1)

<3% of 2006 MBS revenue came from
sub-prime

‰

700
Bear Volume

Certain statements contained in this discussion are “forward-looking statements”
within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause
actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking statements. Numerous
factors may affect our business, including but not limited to interest rates, market
conditions, transactions included in our backlog failing to close, general economic
conditions in the US or other geographic regions that may suffer economic
downturns. For a fuller discussion of these risks see “Management’s Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and “Risk Management”
in the Company’s Annual Report to Stockholders, which has been filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission.
The information in this document is provided by Bear Stearns for informational
purposes only, and should be considered current only as of the date of its initial
publication, without regard to the date on which you may actually review the
information.

21

Investor Day March 29, 2007

Fixed Income Overview
Jeff Mayer
Co-Head of Global Fixed Income
Tom Marano
Global Head of Mortgages and Asset Backed Securities

RMBS Hedging
The development of Pay-As-You-Go (“PAUG”) credit default swaps and
the ABX Index provides hedging tools to investors.
‰

PAUG CDS mimic the cash flows of a cash bond, allowing investors to
go long or short the risk of a bond (CUSIP specific) with no limitations to
the size of the trade

‰

The ABX Index is an index reflecting the performance of 20 PAUG CDS,
allowing investors to take short or long positions in a basket of sub-prime
securitizations:
⎯

The ABX Index is divided into 3 series referencing issuances in 2nd half 2005, 1st half
2006 and 2nd half 2006

⎯

Each ABX series has 5 sub-indices (AAA, AA, A, BBB, BBB-) referencing the tranche
with that respective rating

23

Increase in Spreads of HEQ Securitization & ABX
From 11/30/06–3/26/07
350.00%

% Increase in HEQ & ABX

300.00%

250.00%

200.00%

150.00%

100.00%

50.00%

0.00%
ABX 06-2 BBB

Absolute
Spreads

11/30/2006
3/26/2007
% Change

1.95%
7.66%
292.3%

ABX 06-2 BBB-

3.02%
12.59%
316.8%

BSABS 06-HE9 to
BSABS 07-HE3

1.01%
1.61%
59.9%
24

Cost of Spread Widening—Unhedged Sub-Prime
Securitization
Ratings
Class
AAA
AA
A
BBB
BB

Issuance
Size (000s)

% of Capital
Structure

Market Spread
(in bps)
11
27
44
329
850

$

432,783
75,163
31,914
22,073
11,036

75.5%
13.1%
5.6%
3.9%
1.9%

$

572,969

100%

Unhedged Loss

6bps wider in
AAA & AA
50bps wider in
A / BBB / BB
$
$
$
$
$

(484,048)
(177,370)
(586,755)
(381,326)
(176,576)

$

(1,806,076)

Market spread represents BSABS 07-HE2 Group 2, issued February 2007
25

Cost of Spread Widening—Hedged with ABX 07-1

Ratings
Class
A
BBB
BBB-

Market Market Market
Price Spread Spread
2/1/07 2/1/07 3/27/07
98.68
96
245
94.13
375
833
90.85
644
1233

Notional of
Hedge
Hedge
Ratio
(000s)
0.21 $
6,542
0.25
5,518
2,344
0.21
$ 14,405

6bps wider in
AAA & AA
50bps wider in
A / BBB / BB
$
397,370
984,049
494,803
(70,146)
Cost of Hedge
1,806,076
Hedged Profit $
Unhedged Loss $ (1,806,076)

26