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BUSINESS*CYCLE TliEORY: HICKS-HARROD AND DEVELOPMENTS I N DYNAMIC THEORY STUDY OF ECONOMIC CHANGE Income flows Leakages Secular Stagnation ABRAMOVITZ, Moses Economics of Growth, in A SURVEY OF CONTEMPORARY ECONOMICS, Vol. II, ed. by B. F. Haley. Homewood: Richard D. Irwin, Inc., 1952. ALEXANDER, S. Issues of Business Cyclfc Theory Raised by Mr* Hicks, AER, Dec* 1951 ^ ^ , ? . ALEXANDER, S. S. The Accelerator as a Generator of Steady Growth, QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, LXIII, May 1949* ALEXANDER, S. S. The accelerator as a generator of steady growth, QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, May, 1949. Pp. 24. ALEXANDER, Sidney S. "Mr, Harrod's Dynamic Model,n Economic Journal, December 1950. AENDT, H. V. Mr. Hicks* Trade ^ycle Theory (a review article), THE CANADIAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND POLITICAL SCIENCE, XVII, No. 2, May, 1951. BAUMOL, Villiam J . Economic Dynamics: An I n t r o d u c t i o n . N.Y., Macmillan, 1951. Pp. x i i i , 262. Review: by James Tobin, JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, LX, Oct. 1952, pp. -437-8. AEA program, Dec. 1950 AYRES, C. E. THEORY OF ECONOMIC PROGRESS. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1944. BAUMOL, V. J . "Notes on Some Dynamic Models," ECONOMIC JOURNAL Dec. 1948. BOULDING, Kenneth Toward a general theory o f growth, CANADIAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS & POLITIC L SCIENCE, XIX, Aug. 1953. BREMS, Nans A solution of the Keynes-Hicks-Hansen nonl i n e a r employment modek, THE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, LXX, No. 2 , May, 1956, pp. 3 0 3 - 3 1 3 . BKEMS, Hans Stability and growth, THE ECONOMIC JOUENAL, LXV, No, 260, December, 1955• BREMS, Hans Stability and growth, THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL, LXV, No. 260, December, 1955. BEOVNLEE, 0. H. The theory of employment and stabilization policy, JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, October, 1950. 13 pp. BURNS, Arthur F. Hicks and the Real Cycle, THE JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, Vol. LX, February, 1952. pp. 1-24. 24 pp. BUBNS, Arthur F. flicks and the Real Cycle, JPE, February 1952* CLOWER, R. ¥• An investigation into the dynamics of investment, IMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEtf, XLIV, March 1954. DOMAR, Evsey D. Economic Growth: An Econometric Approach, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, SUPPLEMENT, Vol. 42, May, 1952, pp. 479-495Discussion: by Malcolm C. Urquhart, pp. 503-506. DOMAR, E. D. Economic growth: an econometric appraoch, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, SUPPLEMENT, XLII, No. 2, May, 1952, pp. 459-95. DOMAR, E. D. Capital accumulation and the end ox prosperity, Econometrica, Supplement, Vol. 17, July 1949,pp 307-U. rabslnocT ^^ily jf DQMAR, E. D. The Problem of Capital Accumulation, AMERICAN ECONOMIC EEVIEV, Vol. 38, December, 1948. Capital Expansion, Rate of Grovth and Employment, ECONOMETRICA, Vol. 14, No. 2, April, 1946, pp. 137-147. DOMAR, E. D. "5he Problem of Capital Accumulation," AER, XXXVIII, Dec. 1948, 777-94 DOMAR, Evsey D. Expansion and Employment, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, XXXVII, March, 1947, pp. 34-55. Capital Expansion, Rate of Growth, and Employment, ECONOMETRICA, Vol. XIV, April, 1946, pp. 137-47. DOHAR, Evsey D. ^Capital expansion, rate and growth of employment,11 ECOHOMETRICA, H V , April 1%6« DOMAR, Evsey D. "Capital expansion, rate of growth and employment," ECONQMETBICA, XTV, April 1946, pp. 137-H7. DOMINGUEZ, L. and PILVIN, H. The process o f balanced economic grovth, SOCIAL RESEARCH, Vol. 2 1 , Winter, 1954-. DUESENBERRY, J. S. Hicks on the Trade Cycle," QJE, LXIV, No. 3, Aug. 1950. DYE, Howard S. Certain questions raised by Hicka1 theoiy of the trade cycle, SOUTHERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, XIX, Oct. 195*, PP. £00-210. EGERTON, R. A. D. The capital coefficient and the rate of depreciation, ECON. JOURNAL, LXIII, March 1953, pp. 111-17. Re Hicks's dynamic theory EISNER, Robert Underemployment equilibrium r a t e s o f growth, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, Vol. -42, March, 1952, pp. A3-58. EISNER, Robert "Underemployment Equilibrium Rates of Growth,11 AER, v. 42, March 1952, pp. 43-58. "Underemployment Equilibrium Rates of Groirth: Comment* lay D. Hamberg, AER, v. 43, May 1953, 377-84; Further Comment, by H. M. Wagner, ibid., pp. 384-5 Rejoinder by R. Eisener, pp* 385-93. Eisner, R #: "Guaranteed growth of income," Econometrica, Jan. 1953. FELLHER, William J. THEHDS AND GTCLES IN ECONOMIC ACTIVITY. Hew Xoric: Henry Holt & Co., 1956. G>r»H>7li • A>*«*> V#K : & * r y / £ / / /fs-4. FELLNER, V. J. The capital-outpttt ratio in dynamic economics, in MONEY, TRADE AND ECOHOMIC GROWTH. New York: Macmillan, 1951, pp. 105-34. FELLNIR, W. J. Long-Term Projections of private capital formation: the rate of growth and capital coefficient^ in STUDIES IN INCOME AND WEALTH, Vol. Paper presented to the Conference on Research in Income and Wealth, May, 1951. FELLNER, V. J. The capital-output ratio in dynamic economics, in MONEY, TRADE, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN HONOR OF JOHN H. WILLIAMS. New York: Macmillan, 1951, pp. 34-42. FELS, Rendigs A Iheoiy of Business Cycles, m E , v# 66, Feb* 1952, pp. 25-42 attempt to merge Schumpeter's and Hicks's models FISHER, G. H. A note on Mr. Harrod's dynamic model, SOUTHERN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, XIX, Jan. 1953, PP. 334-38 FISHER, Gene H. Hicks1 * elementary case' economic model for the United States, 1929-1941, JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, VII, September, 1952. FISHER, G. H. A Survey of the Theory of Induced Investment, 1900-1940,* SOUTHEBN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, v. 18, April 1952, pp. U7U-9U- survey of historical development of the theory of acceleration principle GOODWIN, R. M. A model of cyclical growth in THE BUSINESS CICLE IN THE POST-WAR WORLD, edited for the International Economic Association by E. Lundberg and A. D. Knox. 1955, PP. 203-21. GOODWIN, R. M. The problem of trend and cycle, YORKSHIRE BULLETIN OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH, 1953, pp. 89-97. GOODWIN, Richard The nonlinear accelerator and the persistence of business cycles, ECONOMETRICA, XIX, January, 1951* pp. 1-17. GOODWIN, Richard M. A non-linear theory of the cycle, REVIEW OF ECONOMICS & STATISTICS, XXXII, No. 4, November, 1950, pp. 316-320. GoecJt*"** Rsv. OF n -PI. £COA». PP- 3 / * - a o . 9- ST-^I-S XJCXII /Jov. <95"^ ^r«sPf/ J. dj, I/, Mr [zcjAAiAUioQi, fab /?<x-<2> HAHN, F. fl. Recent contributioae to trade cycle theory, [Banca N&zionale del Lavoro] Quarterly Review, IV, Mo. 16, Jan.-March 1951. Haton F H 1 J . ts^kj V. 1-* / * o r a y / i y , Ug -&t HAMBERG, Daniel "Steady gruwlh and tiieories of cyclical crisis, METROECONOMICA (Trieste), Part I, April, 1954,' Part II, August, 1954- HAMBERG, D. Income Growth in Secular Stagnation and Inflation, ECONOMIC JOURNAL, UX.W September 1953, pp Lo%.L(e> HAMBERG, D. Full capacity vs. full employment growth, QJE, August 1952, pp. 444-4-9. Full capacity vs. full employment growth: some further remarks, W E , LXVIII, Nov. 1954, pp. 64I48. PILVIN, Harold Pull capacity vs. full employment growth, QJE, Nov. 1953, pp. 545-52. HANSEN, A. H. Post-Keynesian Economics. A Review A r t i c l e , AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, v o l . 4-5, June, 1955, pp. 360-372. K.K. Kurihara's Post-Keynesian Economics (New Brunswick, N . J . , 1954) HANSEN, A. H. Tovard a dynamic theory of the cycle, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, SUPPLEMENT, Vol. 42, May, 1952, pp. 74-83. Discussion: by Eobert A. Gordon, ibid., pp. 100-104.. HARRQD, Roy F. "Notes on Trade Cycle Theory," Economic Journal, LXI, June 1951, pp. 261-75. re Hicks1 A Contribution to the Theory of the Trade Cycle and others (Baumol, Higgi%*and Alexander) HAKROD, Roy Forbes TOWARDS A DYNAMIC ECONOMICS—SOME RECENT DEVELOPMENTS OF ECONOMIC THEORY AND ITS APPLICATION TO POLICY. London: MRcaillan, 1943. Pp. ix, 169. HARROD, Roy F. TOWARDS A DYNAMIC ECONOMICS: SOME RECENT DEVELOPMENTS OF ECONOMIC THEORY AND THEIR APPLICATION TO POLICY. New York: Macmillan Co., 1943. Pp. ix, 168. Reviews: by A. H. Hansen, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, v. 39, March, 1949, pp. 497-9. by K. E. Boulding, JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, LVII, February, 1949, p. 79. HARROD, IL F. An Essay in Dynamic Theory, ECONOMIC JOURNAL, XLIX, March, 1939, pp. H-33- HAEEOD, R. F. "An essay in (Jynamic theory," ECONOMIC JOURNAL, ILII, April 1939, pp. H - 3 3 . HAWdNS, David Some c o n d i t i o n s of macroeconomic s t a b i l i t y , ECONOMEFEICA, October, 1948, pp. 309-322. SLA HICKS, John A. A CONTRIBUTION TO THE THEORY OF THE TRADE CYCLE. Review: by A. p. Lerner, ECONOMETRICA, vol. 19, Oct., 1951, PP. 472-4. HICKS, John R. A Contribution to the Theory of the Trade Cycle. Oxford University Press. Geoffrey Cumberledge, 1950. Economist, Mar* 4/50 Book Review HltJftS 0 ft HIGGINS, Benjamin Interactions of cycles and trends, THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL, LXV, No. 260, December, 1955* HIGGINS, Benjamin Interactions of cycles and trends, ECOHOMIC JOUBNAL, LXV, no. 260, December, 1955* HIGGINS, Benjamin Towards a dynamic economics. a r t i c l e , ECONOMIC RECORD, December, 1948. Pp. 13. A review KALDOR, N. The relation of economic growth and cyclical fluctuations, ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 1954, PP. 65-71. KALDOR, N. Mr. Hicks an the trade cycle, ECONOMIC JOURNAL, December, 1951• 15 pp. KALDOR, N. Mr. Hicks on the Trade Cycle, ECONOMIC JOURNAL LXt, Dec. 1951, pp. 833-47. KALECKI, M. THEORY OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS—AN ESSAY ON CYCLICAL AND LONG-RUN CHANGES IN CAPITALIST ECONOMY. New York: Rinehart, 1954. Pp. 178. This vol. is published in lieu of 2d editions of his earlier books, ESSAYS IN THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS and STUDIES IN ECONOMIC DYNAMICS. \i>Q XUt 9/a* C±) Afo </C/ ^Y^-JTZ) KEIRSTEAD, B. S. THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC CHANGE. Toronto: Macmillan Co. 194d. Pp. x i , 386. KEIRSTEAD, B. S. The Theory of Economic Change. New York, Macmillan, 1949. JPE, June 1949, price |$ KERVXN, A. A note on the accelrator and constant growth, THE REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STUDIES, Vol. XXII(1), No. 37, October, 1954. KNOX, A. D. The acceleration principle and the theory of investment: A survey, ECONOMICA, August, 1952. 29 pp. Knox # D (?. ^v» dfttt,dv>> Digitized forl/ai2u.Jl>& FRASER ja0<Px^ KRAUS, Willy Multiplier, accelerator, rates of growth and the business cycle, WELTWIRTSCHAFTLICHES ARCHIV. Band 73, Heft 1, 1954, pp. 59-110. PART I: MQHEIARX THEORY & POLICY Dillarct, D.: The Theory of a Monetary Economy Bronfenbrermar, M.: Same Neglected Implications of Secular Inflation Timlin, Mabel: Monetary Stabilization Policies and Keynesian Theory Vickrey, W.S.: Stabiliigr through Inflation Patinkin^ Don: Keynesian Economics "andflheQuantity Theory PART II: ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS & GROWTH Bowen, J.R. and Meier, G.M.: Institutional Aspects of Economic Fluctuations Matthews, R.C.O.: Capital Stock Adjustment: Theory of the Trade Cycle and the Problem of Policy Ichimura, S.: Toward a General Non-Linear Macro-dyanmic theory of Economic fluctuations Murad, A.: Net investment and Industrial Progress Kurihara, K.: Distribution, Employment, and Secular Growth Part I I I : Aggregative Economics and Testing Klein, L. R.: The Empirical Foundations of Keynesian Economics Tsuru, S.: Keyes v s . Marx: The Methodology of Aggregates Streeten, P.: Keynes and the Classical Tradition Tarshis, Lorie: The Flow of Busineae Fvmds: Consumption and Investment Modigliani, F.: U t i l i t y Analysis and the Consumption Function: An Interpretation of Cross Section Data KUZNETS, Simon Toward a Theory of Economic Growth, in NATIONAL POLICY FOR ECONOMIC VELFARE AT HOME AND ABROAD, ed. by Robert Lekachman. Garden City: Doubleday-Doran, 1955 • Columbia Bicentennial Volume LOVE, Adolph The classical theory of economic growth, SOCIAL RESEARCH, Summer• 1954. 32 pp. LUNDBERG, Erik and KNOX, A. D. , Editors THE BUSINESS CYCLE IN THE POSTWAR WORLD* International Economic Association. Goodwin, R.M.: A model of cyclical growth, pp. 203-21. LUNDBERG, Eric. STUDIES IN THE THEOKT OF ECONOMIC EXPANSION. London: 1937. LUTZ, F. A. The Interest Rate and Investment in a Dynamic Economy. AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, XXXV, Dec. 1945. MATTHEWS, R. 0*. 0. The saving function and the problem of trend and cycle, THE REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STUDIES, Vol. 1X11(2), No. 58, 1954-55, pp. 75-95. MATTHEWS, R. C. 0. Capital-stock adjustment theories of the trade cycle and the problem of policy, in POST-KEXNESIAN ECONOMICS, edited by K. K. Kurihara. 1954, PP- MOULTON, Earold G. CONTROLLING FACTORS IN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT. Washington: Brookings Institution, 1949. Pp. xii, 397. Review; by Donald H. Wallace, American Economic Review, vol* 40, December, 1950, pp. 938-42* 2 chaps on business depressions, 1819-38 ch. 3 Explanation of Great Depression of 1929 ch. 4 Non-cyclical factors affecting rate of economic progress—summarizing findings of his earlier Brookings vols, critique of Keynes1 theory of underemployment gnd mature economy thesis NEISSER, H. P. Some comments en balanced growth under constant returns to seile, ECONOMETRICA, Vol. 22,- No. K, October, 1954- NEWMAN, P. K. A property of Mr. Harrodfs dynamic system, THE REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STUDIES, XXII(1), No. 57, October, 1954. Pilvin, Harold R. F. Harrod & E. D* Doraar *Full capacity v s . f u l l eiaployment growth, n QJE, Nov* 1953 PILVIN, Harold A geometric analysis of recent growth models, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, Vol. 42, September, 1952, pp. 594-99. LYNN, Frank PILVIN, Harold A geometric analysis of recent grovth models, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, XLII, September, 1952, pp. 594-599. POWER, John H. [Stanford University] "Capital intensity and economic gro-wth,11 AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, SSIPLEMENT, Vol. A5, May, 1955, pp. 197-207. Discussions Evsey Domar and !• C. Schelling, ibid,, pp. 222-227. ROBERTSON, D. H. Thoughts on meeting some important persons, QJE, LXIII, May, 1954-, pp. 181-190. Accelerator and theory of investment BDBINSOlf, Joan Tka Aecumil&tlon of Capital. London: Hacmillan, 1955* ROBINSON, Joan The model of an expanding economy, ECONOMIC JOURNAL, March, 1952. 12 pp. ROBINSON, Joan Mr. Harrod's dynamics, THE ECONOMIC JOURNAL, March, 1949. ROSTOW, Valter V. THE PROCESS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH. New York: ¥. W. Norton and Company, 1952. ROSTOW, Walter V. THE PBOCESS OF ECONOMIC GBOWTH. New York: V. V. Norton, Inc., 1952. Pp. x, 285. Kevievi by A. P. Usher, BEVIEV OF ECONOMICS & STATISTICS, Vol. 36, Nov. 1954, pp. 469-70. SAMUELSON, Paul A. Dynamic process a n a l y s i s , i n A SURVEY OP CONTEMPORARY ECONOMICS, e d . by H. S. E l l i s . Philadelphia (and Toronto)j The B l a k i s t o n Oo., 1948. SCHELLING, T- S. Capital grovth and equilibrium, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, Vol. 37, December, 1947, pp. 864-876. in an economy vhose investment is mainly of the induced type (i.e., depending directly on income grovth) may be particularly unstable SCHELLING, T. C. Capital Growth and Equilibrium, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, XXXVII, December, 1947, pp. 864-876. SCHIFF, Eric A note on depreciation, replacement, and growth, REVIEW OF ECONOMICS & STATISTICS, Vol. 36, No. 1, February, 1954, pp. 47-56. ECONOMIC GROWTH, Papers presented at 7th annual meeting of the Economic History Association, New Haven, Connecticut, Sept. 12-13, 1947, JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC HISTORY SUPPLEMENT, VII, 1947. Nev York: Nev York University Press, 1947. Pp. 174. Schurapeter, J.A.: Theoretical Problems. KUZNETS, S.J Measurement USHER, A.P.: Resource Requirements LEWIS, B.V., REZNECK, S. and HEALY, K.T.: Energy CLARK. S.D. end NELSON, B.N.: Religion SPENGLER, J.J.: The Role of the State GERSCHENKRON, A.: The Rate of Grovth in Russia SCHUMPETER, Joseph A. THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT; AN INQUIRY INTO PROFITS,, CAPITAL, CREDIT, IHTEREST, AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE. Translated from the German by Redvers Opie. Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1934. Pp. xii, 255. Review: by R. S. Hovey, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, XXV, March, 1935, pp. 90-91. SCHUMPETER, J. A. THE THEORY OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT. An Inquiry into Profits, Capital, Credit, Interest, and the Business Cycle, Cambridge; Harvard University Press, 3d printing, 1949. Pp. xiii, 255. SOLOV, Robert A contribution to the theory of economic growth, QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, February, 1956. STERN, Ernest H. The Problem of Capital Accumulation, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, Vol. 39, December, 1949, pp. 11601172. STERN, K H. Capital Requirejwnis In Progresalve Economies, BCONOMICA (New Series) Vol. XII, No. 47, August, 1945, pp. 163-171. STOLPER, ¥. H. Some notes on H&rrod's dynamic economics, SCHWEIZERISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT FUR VOLKStflRTSCHAFT UHD STATISTIK, v. 88, Oct. 1952 SWAN, T. V. "Progress Report on the Trade Cycle," ECONOMIC RECORD, v. xxvi, Dec. 1950, pp. 186-200 SVEEZY, Paul M. THEORY OF CIPITALIST DEVELOPMENT. 1942. New York: TOBIN, James A dynamic aggregative model, JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, LXIII, A p r i l , 1955, pp. 103-115. TSIANG, S. C. Rehabilitation of time dimension of investment in macrodynamic analysis, ECONOMICA, August, 1949, pp. 20^-217. DLMER, Melville J. Autonomous and induced investment, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, vol. 42, September, 1952, pp. 587589. distinction in modern business cycle theory VALAVANIS-VAIL, Stefan An econometric model of growth, U.S.A., 1869-1953, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, SUPPLEMENT, vol. 4-5, May, 1955, pp. 208-221. Discussion: by Evsey Domar and T. C. Schelling, ibid., pp. 222-227. WILSON, T. "Cyclical and autonomous inducements to invest,1' OXFORD ECONOMIC PAPERS, v. 5, March 1953, pp. 65-89 VRIGHT, David McCord Economic growth: econometric models in relation to the social setting, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, SUPPLEMENT, Vol. 42, May, 1952, pp. 496-502. Discussion: by Malcolm C. Urquhart, pp. 503-506. WRIGHT, David McCord CAPITALIST Nev York: 1951. WRIGHT, D. McC. Mr. Harrod and growth economics, REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, Vol. 31, November, 1949. pp. 322-28. 6 pp. WEIGHT, David McCord DEMOCRACY AND PROGRESS. New York: 1948. WBIGHT, David M. ECONOMICS OF DISTOEBANCE. Nev York: 1946. YEAGER, L. B. Some questions about growth economics, AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, Vol. 44, March, 1954* MEIER, G. M., Comment [on above], ibid., December, 1954, pp. 931-36; vith "Reply"fcyLeland B. Teager, pp. 937^ YOUNSSON, A. J. Investment Decisions, Trade Cycle, and Trend, OXFORD ECOHOMIC PAPERS, Vol. 6, No. 3, September 1954, PP. 285-305.
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