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Form F. R. 131 BDARD DF GOVERNORS or THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Office Correspondence To________ F i l e s ____________________ From______ Mr. Coe___________________ # Date June 26. 1 9 LI Sub ject _______ After correspondence with Mrs. Hamlin (see letters of May 25 and June 4j 1941) the items attached hereto and listed below, because of their possible confidential character, were taken from Volume 161 of Mr. Hamlin’s scrap book and placed in the Board’s files: VOLUME 161 Page 23 - Letter to Governor Crissinger from I. L. Lenroot re specu lation in New York Stock Market. Page 29 - Deficiencies in Reserves of Member Banks for Month of April 1926. Page 47 - Earnings and Expenses of Federal Reserve Banks, May 1926. Page 73 - Report of the Chairman to the Open Market Investment Committee. Page 75 - Report on Foreign Accounts to members of Open Market Invest ment Committee from G. L. Harrison. Page 79 - Report of the Secretary of the Open Market Investment Com mittee Meeting at Washington - June 21, 1926. Page 83 - Minutes of Joint Meeting of the Open Market Investment Com mittee and the Federal Reserve Board held in Washington, Monday, June 21, 1926. Page 142 - Memo to Mr. Hamlin from Mr. Goldenweiser re reserve de posits of member banks. Page 143 - Copy of letter to L. T. McFadden from Governor Crissinger answering certain inquiries about F.R. note issues and reserves against deposits. Page 14S - Member banks borrowing continuously in excess of capital and surplus during May 1926. Page 150 - Memo to Mr. Hamlin from Mr. Smead discussing Mr. Goldenweiser’s book on the Federal Reserve System. Page 151 - Memo from Mr. Goldenweiser to Mr. Hamlin re Reserve Position of Federal Reserve Banks on April 28, 1926. Page 152 - Memo to Mr. Hamlin from Mr. Goldenweiser discussing prices on New York Stock Exchange. Page 153 - Schedule furnishing statistical figures requested by Mr. Hamlin, prepared by Mr. Goldenweiser. Page 155 - Memo to Mr. Hamlin from Mr. Goldenweiser furnishing state ment about business and banking developments from 1920 to date. UNITED STATES SENATE November 23, 1925. Honorable D. R. Crissinger, Governor, Federal Reserve Board, Treasury Department, Washington, D. C. My dear Mr. Crissinger:I have noted with growing anxiety the steady increase of speculation in the country, more parti cularly centered in the New York Stock Market, which has for some time been engaged in positive gambling in securi ties. I do not believe that this speculation has as yet very considerably penetrated the commodity and production activities of the country, but it is inevitable that the infection of speculation unless checked will spread into the industrial activities of the country. It then means inflation, with inevitable collapse, which will bring the greatest calamities upon our farmers, our workers, and le gitimate business. It appears to me that there is a parallel TdLth the situation early in 1920 when the Board failed to agree upon action until the situation became beyond control. It further appears that most of the reserve banks throughout the country have felt some alarm at the situation and have raised their rates accordingly, but New York, which is the real center of this speculation and inflation, has as yet taken no action. I have no thought to interfere in any way with the functions of the Board, or even to make any inquiries which may embarrass the Board, but as a supporter of the Sys tem, I am deeply anxious for its success, and in order that I may be prepared for such discussion as may $rise in the Senate, I am* wondering if the Board would furnish me with the following information: 1. Does not the present cheap money induced by the low discount rates indirectly stimulate speculation on the New York Stock Exchange? Volume 161 Page 23 C O P Y 2. Has there "been any indication during the last few months that the interior "banks are withholding liqui dation of rediscounts and at the same time seeking the higher return "by loans on the Hew York Stock Exchange? Has the Board any way to determine if the "banks are "borrowing from the Federal Reserve to make such loans? 3. Has there "been any increase in discounts at the Hew York Reserve Bank since the rate was last set? 4. Has the Hew York Federal Reserve Bank made any at tempt to reduce its rediscounts and has it reduced its holdings of government "bonds as a check on the situation? 5. Will the Board kindly supply me with such statisti cal data as it may "be able showing what is the movement of loans and investments, showing separately the movement of investments, collateral loans and commercial loans as at July, 1924, January, 1925, July 1925, and the latest date for which anoroximate figures are available for all "banks of the country on which the Board has information? 6. Also figures showing the movement of federal reserve investments for the same dates, showing separately the items of open market investment and rediscounts secured by government obligations, and discounts and accentances? 7. Figures showing the movement of open market rates on commercial paper and bankers accentances, also the rates charged customers in the leading competitive banking cen ters at the same dates as in the above questions. Also the rates of rediscount charged by the Federal Reserve banks on rediscounts and acceptances purchased for the same times. 8. Does the Federal Reserve Board get any figures, and if not, has it any estimates, as to the amount of time or call money furnished to the Hew York Stock Market? If not, can the Board furnish me with some estimate as to the volume of such money at various periods since January, 1925. In an article in the Hew York Times of the 21st I observed some indication that there are understandings between officials of the Federal Reserve Bank of Hew York and with offi- cials of the Bank of England. I an, of course, aware of the exchange guarantee entered into by the Federal Beserve Banks, hut I would he glad to know what the character of such other understandings or discussions is, if any such exist. Ky anxiety over this situation is very great, for, as you may remember, I was a member of the Joint Committee that made an investigation of the Acts of the Board in the crisis of 1920 and 1921, and I trust that there may arise no occasion for adverse criticism of the Board in the present situation. Very sincerely yours, I. L. Lenroot C 0 P Y December 10, 1925, My dear Senator: I want to thank you for your letter of November 23, requesting certain information concerning the ralation of the Federal reserve system to recent credit developments and to assure you of the Board*s appreciation of the spirit which has prompted your inquiry. It affords the Board an opportunity to discuss with you frankly some of the more important phases of the present hanking and credit situation. In the first place, the Board agrees with you that at present there are no indications that speculation, which has been active in the security market, has been reflected in the commodity markets or in trade and industry. As you say in your letter, there is always a pos sibility that speculative activity once under way may spread into com modity markets and may influence conditions in manufacturing and mer chandizing activity. The recent course of commodity prices, however, and the close adjustment between current production and distribution of commodities give no evidence that existing business conditions are affected by inflationary or speculative influences. You Bay that there appears to you to be a parallel with the situ ation of 1920 and it may be well to preface the replies to your questions with some comparison between the situation in 1920 and present business conditions. C O P Y Page 2. The inflation in stocks and commodities which had taken place by 1919-1920 appears to have "been the result of world-wide conditions re sulting from the great war. of plant capacity. Industrial activity had reached the limit There was active conroetition "by manufacturers for raw materials and labor. There was a rapidly rising price level in all coun tries and there was a consequent widespread speculation in commodities based on the expectation of further price advances. Added to all this, there was in this country a breakdown in the transportation system which nrevented the orderly marketing of commodities. At the uresent time, however, our conditions and world conditions are altogether different. In this country business is active, but the distribution of commodities is more prompt than it has ever been before. There is no excessive ac cumulation of stocks of raw materials or of merchandise and no competitive bidding up of prices. It seems, therefore, that the conditions which ex isted in the earlier period - conditions which favored an almost unpre cedented inflation here and in other countries - do not now exist. Your statement that several of the reserve banks have raised their discount rates "but Hew York, which is the real center of this speculation and inflation, has as yet taken no action" makes it desirable to comment briefly upon the Hew York stock market and its relation to the credit situation. While it is true that the stock market is located in Hew York and is financed through the Hew York money market, nevertheless we must not lose sight of the fact that it is national in its scope, that C O P Y Page 3. people in all parts of the country "buy and sell securities in that market, and that it is financed hy funds flowing into ITew York from all sections of the United States. In fact, only 40 per cent of the total funds is now supplied "by ITew York City hanks, and their loans to the street are now ac tually less than they were on the first of January. The entire increase in the Stock Exchange loan account in 1925, therefore, has been the result of funds from the interior or from outside the ITew York hanks. This fact must he kept in mind in considering the renlies to your various specific questions, for while stock exchange speculation is often associated in the public mind with Wall Street, the fact remains that business and credit conditions throughout the country have resulted in a flovf of funds to the central money market. Your specific questions are briefly discussed below in the order in which you presented them, and if the answers are not sufficiently full or clear the Board will be glad to supplement them. 1. You refer in your first question to the present cheat) money induced by low discount rates. Present money rates are considerably higher than those prevailing in 1924. Open-market rates on commercial paper and on acceptances are now about 1 l/2 per cent above their level in the summer of 1924 and the rate on call money, which at that time was about 2 per cent, is now 5 per cent. In the latter part of 1924 the large volume of surplus funds available at low rates was doubtless a factor in the rise of security prices. But since the spring of 1925, while there has been an increasing volume of bank funds available» the level of interest rates C O P Y Page 4. has "been rising, and the further advances which have occurred in security prices appear to have "been a reflection of the speculative anticipation of large corporate earnings. 2. You ask whether there has "been any indication that member "banks have "borrowed at the reserve "banks for the purpose of lending at higher rates on the Hew York stock exchange. In general, it is not possible to deter mine to what use a member bank puts the credit obtained from the reserve bank. Member banks generally borrow to make up deficiencies in their re serve balances incurred as the net result of all of their operations, and it is seldom possible to trace the connection between borrowings of a member bank at the reserve bank and the specific transactions that gave rise to the necessity for borrowing. Isolated instances have come to the attention of the Board where member banks arroarently have rediscounted with the reserve banks in order to make loans on the Hew York stock ex change, but when officers of the reserve banks have called the attention of the borrowing member banks to this situation, these borrowings were repaid. In general, a member bank borrows at the reserve bank to meet seasonal or other temporary requirements, and not in order to obtain profit by relending. Member bank borrowing for the purpose of making 9 a profit by lending at a higher rate on the Hew York stock exchange is regarded with disfavor by the reserve banks and also generally by member banks. 3. Your third question is whether there has been any increase in the volume of discounts at the Hew York reserve bank since the rate was ad vanced from 3 to 3 l/2 per cent in February, 1925. Total discounts at C O P Y Page 5. the time the rate was increased were $225,000,000. Following the increase in the discount rate member banks in the He?/ York district repaid a large part of their borrowings at the reserve bank, so that three months later discounts at the Hew York reserve bank had declined to about $60,000,000. During the last three months there has been the usual seasonal increase in discount, and the present level is approximately that of last Febru ary. But, as was stated above, the loans of Hew York City banks to stock exchange houses are now actually less than they were on January 1, 1925, indicating that stock exchange activity has not been the cause of the increased discounting at the Hew York bank. In addition to this increase in discounts, member banks and dealers in Hew York City have, as usual at this season, obtained additional funds through the sale of acceptances to the Hew York Reserve Bank, acting for itself and other reserve banks. Since the beginning of September the volume of reserve bank credit thus obtained has been about $80,000,000. The growth in the reserve system1s holdings of acceptances during September and October is seasonal in character, since the autumn is the time of the year when a large increase occurs in the volume of bills drawn for the purpose of financing the domestic marketing and the export of agricultural products. A statement of acceptances purchased by the reserve banks, classified by commodities underlying the acceptances, which will be shown in detail in the Board *s annual report for 1925, indicates that a large proportion of these acceptances are drawn to finance the marketing of cotton and grains. C O P Y Page 6. 4. You ask in your letter whether the New York Federal Reserve Bank has reduced its holdings of government bonds and has made any attempt to reduce its discounts. Between December, 1924 and November, 1925 the system's holdings of government securities were reduced by about $250,OQQjQOO, and the holdings of the New York Federal Reserve Bank by about $110, 000,000. This sale of government securities was one of the factors accounting for the growth in discounts during the early part of 1925, particularly at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The increase in the discount rate at the New York bank from 3 to 3 l/2 per cent in Feb ruary had some effect, as has already been stated, in bringing about a reduction of discounts at that bank. 5, 6, 7. Your next three questions ask for information concerning loans and investments of member banks and the reserve banks, and con cerning prevailing money rates on certain dates. These figures are presented in the accompanying statement marked "A". 8. The Board has no figures showing the total amount of credit used by the New York stock exchange, but the reported street loans of a cer tain number of banks in New York City both for themselves and their outof-town correspondents are available. Governor Strong in his testimony before the Joint Commission of Agricultural Inquiry in 1921 presented these figures and they were published in Volume II of the hearings. These are confidential figures voluntarily supplied by reporting banks in New York City, and in view of their confidential character have not been published for later dates. These figures are brought down to date C 0 P Y Page 7. for your own information in the attached chart marked "B". The chart ahows that the total street loan account has increased rapidly since the autumn of 1923 and that in 1925 there has been a slight decrease in the street loans made hy Hew York hanks for their own account, so that the entire in crease was in loans for account of correspondents, which have almost doubled since the beginning of the year. Thus it is evident that it was money from banks outside of Hew. York that financed this year's expansion in stock ex change activity. This outside money is about 60 oer cent of the whole vol ume so employed. (These facts were taken into consideration in establishing rates of discount at the various reserve banks. In regard to the relationship between the He?/ York Federal reserve bank and the Bank of England, there is no understanding between the two banks other than the arrangement entered into at the time of Great Britain's return to the gold standard, by v/hich the Federal reserve banks agreed to place $200,000,000 gold at the disposal of the Bank of England if desired. Up to the present time no part of this gold credit has been used. IThile it is the intention to exchange information freely and to avoid any un necessary action which would be detrimental to the maintenance of a free gold market, the Hew York Reserve Bank and the Bank of England are both absolutely free and uncommitted as to ary action whatever relative to rates or other credit operations recuired to deal with domestic needs. There is no understanding, formal or informal, beyond that expressed in the credit itself. I am sure you realize that the action of the Federal reserve banks in C 0 P Y Page 8. granting the request of the Bank of England for this gold credit and thus facilitating the return of Great Britain to a gold standard, was prompted largely hy a conviction that in no other way could they contribute so ef fectively towards stabilizing foreign markets for our produce and the means of settlement therefor. The fact is that the law placing an embargo on the export of gold from Great Britain exnires December 31, 1925. Some time during 1925 the British Government had to choose whether it would resume gold payments on or before that date or whether before that date it would go before Parliament and ask for a further extension of the gold embargo. If it had seemed necessary to make the latter decision the general return to the gold standard not only in England but in Europe generally would have been delayed, perhaps indefinitely, and the business of our exporters would have been subjected for a further indefinite period to those uncertainties and exchange fluctuations which had hampered it in the preceding years. Undoubtedly the credit of 100 million dollars ar ranged for the British Government with Messrs. J. P. Morgan & Company, and the agreement of the Federal reserve banks to place 200 million dollars gold at the disposal of the Bank of England were essential elements in justifying the British government in its decision to return to the gold standard. It should be clearly understood, however, that the Federal reserve banks have undertaken no "exchange guarantee", as suggested in your letter. Any protection of the exchange will be undertaken by the Bank of England and not by the Federal reserve banks. They have merely agreed to place gold at the disposal of the Bank, if desired. Any amounts used are to be repaid in gold at the end of two years, under a specific C O P Y Page 9. undertaking by Parliament and the British Treasury that no obstacles will he placed in the way of gold shipments by the Bank of England should they be necessary to effect the repayment. While these replies cover the ©pacific inquiries in your letter, the Board regards it as essential to an understanding of the present credit situation to keep in mind the influence which the continued inflow of gold during recent years has had upon the growth in member bank credit. Since the autumn of 1920 the addition to the gold stock of the United States has been $1,500,000,000, and this inflow of gold, together with the decrease in domestic currency requirements, has reduced the volume of reserve bank credit outstanding from its peak of $3,400,000,000 in November, 1920, to its present level of $1,300,000,000, a reduction for the period of $2,100,000,000. The Cold received from abroad has also furnished a basis for a growth of member bank loans and investments of $4,300,000,000 above the level of 1920. Broadly speaking, it was this imported gold that liquidated the Federal reserve banks and brought about the growth in mem ber bank credit. During 1925 the return of many European countries to the gold standard has changed the international situation in resnect to gold. Largely as the result of exoorts of gold to countries that were reestablishing a gold basis for their currencies, this country's gold stock has been reduced during the past year by about $150,000,000. This outward movement of gold during 1925 and the increased reserve require ments of member banks against their larger deposits have been the principal factors in the increased demand for reserve bank credit dur ing the past year. C O P Y Page 10. In the general business situation in this country during the past year there has been a decided improvement, but in resnect to industrial and agricultural conditions. Industrial activity has greatly increased, agriculture has made definite progress tov/ard a more comolete recovery, - and the orices of agricultural commodities are now at about the same relative level as prices of other commodities. An important factor both in the industrial and the agricultural activity has been the ex - tension by investors in this country of loans to foreign countries in a volume approximately $1,000,000,000 both in 1924 and 1925. Hot only have these foreign loans helped maintain a European market for American nroducts, but they have been an important factor in the economic reconstruction of Europe. The larger part of the funds arising from these loans was ex pended in the purchase of products of Auerican agriculture and industry, but a portion was used directly for the nurpose of stabilizing the value of foreign currencies in relation to gold. Thus the lower level of interest rates in this country compared to the high rates abroad has been a factor not only in stimulating foreign demand for American goods but also in the progress of monetary reconstruction in Europe. Lower money rates have also enabled American railroads, public utilities, and industrial concerns to fund a considerable part of their borrowings and to convert them into long-term obligations, and this has contributed to the soundness of the business situation and has facilitated the putting of the industrial, public utility, and railroad equroment of the country into better condition than at any previous time. It has been the capacity to produce and trans port goods promptly and efficiently that has facilitated distribution of C 0 ? Y Page 11. commodities without the accumulation of excessive inventories and has "been an important factor in keeping prices at a relatively stable level. In this respect the present situation is in marked contrast to that of 1919 1920. I inquiry. trust that this letter has covered in general the subjects of you I am apending a list of the principal charts which the Board consults as a means of keeping in touch with current economic developments. These charts are available in my office, and if you wish to examine them I should take pleasure in showing them to you. And, generally, if there is any further information that the Board could supply, I assure you that it would be very hapoy to do so. Yours very truly, G o v e r n o r . Hon. Irvine L. Lenroot, United States Senate. C O P Y EXHIBIT A Statistical Data. 1. Figures of loans and investments, "by classes, for about 725 weekly re porting member banks in 101 leading cities for the dates requested in your letter are given below: Loans and Investments of Weekly Reporting IIember Banks (In millions of dollars) :Total :loans and :investments Date Weekly reporting member banks in leading cities: July 2 , 1924........ Jan. 7, 1925........ July 1, 1925........ ITov. 25, 1925 . . . . 17,056 18,661 18,892 19,364 . Total 12,150 13,106 13,375 13,959 Loans On : Ail : Invest :securities:other : raents 4,329 4,884 5,346 5,581 7,821 8,222 8,029 8,378 4,906 5,555 5,517 5,405 2. The following table shows loans and investments for quarterly dates be ginning June 30, 1924, for all banks in the country and for member banks. Classification of loans is not available for these banks. Loans and Investments of All Banks and of Member Banks (In millions of dollars) Date June 30, 1924 Oct. 10, " Dec. 31, « April 6 , 1925 June 30, " Sept. 28, « Total loans and invest ments : All All banks : member : banks 45,402 49,095 27,262 28,451 29,027 29,285 29,702 30,369 Loans : All All banks : member : banks 31,000 33,647 19,264 19,820 20,182 20,390 20,814 21,450 : Investments : : All : All banks: member : : banks 14,402 15,448 7,998 8,631 8,845 8,895 8,888 8,919 COPY Page 2. Exhibit A. 3. Belov/ are shovm the reserve banks’ holdings of different classes of bills and securities on spacified dates: Holdings of Bills and Securities by Federal Reserve Banks (In millions of dollars) : Bills : Secured : : by U. S. : :Gov. obli-: :nations : July Jan. July Nov. 2 , 1924 7, 1925 1, 1925 25, 1925 142 147 269 346 : Purchase discounted • Other : bills : Total •• ;Acceptdiscount-: :ances ed : 227 118 243 279 369 265 512 625 in the open market • • :U. S. se:curities :Total bills :aad secur:ities* • • • 435 496 394 332 859 1 ,1 1 0 1,127 1,326 53 341 249 359 * Includes foreign loans on gold and small amounts of securities ether than U. S. Securities. 4. Honey Rates in the Hew York Market * Average for week ending July 5, 1924 January 10, 1925 July 4, 1925 November 28, 1925 Prime Prime Commercial Paper : Bankers’ Acceptances (4-6 months) : (90 days) 2 3 3-5 - 4 4X — 45 Si 3i 4 5. In the following table are shown the rates prevailing on "customers" prime commercial paper", (4-6 months) as reported to the Board by banks in six leading cities. Money Rates in Certain Centers • • Phila- : « • • : Eoston : New York : del'ohia : 4rlr July, 1924 4-5 4-5 January, 1925 4 -45 4i 4 July, 1925 4-45 4-5 4-5 November, 1925 4 4 - 5 5 4j- 5 Cleve • • : Chicago land 6 4 - 5| 5-6 4j - 5 55- 6 4 - 5 4| - 5! 55— 6 • • San : Francisco .5 5 - 5jL . 5 - 6 45 - 55 COPY Page 3. Exhibit A. 6. In the table below are shown the prevailing discount rates at the different Federal Reserve Banks on the dates specified. Discount Rates at Federal Reserve Banks Federal reserve bank of Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco : : : July 1, 1924 3| 4 4 ■ 4 4 4 4 4 41 4 4 4 : : Prevailing discount rates July 1, Js.n. 1, : 1925 1925 : 4 Nov. 1925 4 Si 3 3? 5p 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 : : si si 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3ir si A 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 7. The average rate at which acceptances were purchased by the Federal reserve banks on the dates reouested are as follows: July, 1924, 2.35 per cent; January, 1925, 3.01 per cent; July, 1925, 3.24 per cent; October, 1925, 3.43 per cent. The average rate for November is not yet available. C 0 P Y EXHIBIT B. The chart is that referred to in the your letter. The chart shows figures for date of each month and the latest date is cent weeks there has been some decline in . EXHIBIT answer to question 8 of the last weekly report ^November 25, 1925. In re street loans. C. Principal Charts Currently Used hy the Federal Reserve Board (These charts are on a weekly or monthly "basis, cover a series of years, and "bring the information down to the latest available date.) Banking. Credit, and Money Rates: Volume of Reserve Bank" Credit Federal Reserve Bank Liabilities and Reserves Condition of Weekly Reporting Member Banks Condition of Weekly Reporting Member Banks in Hew York City Condition of All Member Banks Bankers* Balances at Banks in Federal Reserve Bank Cities Discounts of Member Banks at Reserve Banks, Classified by Groups of Borrowing Banks. Gold Imports and Exports Reserve Bank Credit, Gold Stock, and Money in Circulation Money Rates in the Hew York Market Production. Employment. Trade, and Prices.! Production in Basic Industries Factory Employment Factory Payroll Wholesale Trade Retail Trade and Stocks Wholesale Prices in the United States Security Prices c Principal Charts Currently Used by the Federal Reserve Eoard (These charts are on a weekly or monthly "basis, cover a series of years, and "bring the information down to the latest available date.) Banking. Credit, and Money Rates: Volume of Reserve Bank Credit Federal Reserve Bank Liabilities and Reserves Condition of Weekly Reporting Member Eanks Condition of Weekly Reporting Member Banks in New York City Condition of All Member Banks Banker*s Balances at Banks in Federal Reserve Bank Cities Discounts of Member Banks at Reserve Eanks, Classified by Groups of Borrowing Banks Gold Imports and Exports Reserve Bank Credit, Gold Stock, and Money in Circulation Money Rates in the New York Market Production. Employment. Trade, and Prices: Production in Basic Industries Factory Employment Factory Payroll Wholesale Trade Retail Trade and Stocks Wholesale Prices in the United States Security Prices C O P Y UNITED STATES SENATE December 14, 1925, Honorable D. R. Crissinger, President, Federal Reserve Board, Treasury Department, Washington, D. C. My dear Governor I have been away from the City, and on my return find yours of the tenth instant. I very greatly appreciate your writing me so fully in reply to my letter of November 23rd. I am giving the information that you send me very care ful study, and I think it fully covers my inquiry. Should I desire any supplemental infor mation, I shall write you. Concerning one phase of the situation, I may desire to have a personal conference. I am very gla.d to say that since writing you my fears have been considerably allayed by the course of stock market transactions, and I hone the tendency which existed a few weeks ago will not reappear. Very sincerely yours, (s) I. L. Lenroot. COPY UHITED STATES SEDATE December 23* 1925. Honorable D. R. Cirssinger, Governor, Federal Reserve Board, Treasury Department, Washington, D. C. My dear Governor Crissinger I have now had more time to consider the Board’s letter of the 11th instant, and especially the tables and charts annexed, and I wish to avail myself of the courteous offer to supply far ther information to me. The questions we are discussing are ob viously of vast importance to the country as a whole, and I desire to be in position for constructive help in the situation as it may arise. The Board's letter clears up many matters of importance. I am, however, much disturbed over the continued expansion of specu lation on the Hew York Stock Exchange which again shows strong re currence. It appears to me that the speculative purchase of large amounts of securities upon credit can not be otherwise than danger ous because it absorbs the credits fund of the country; because of the tendency of speculative fevers to extend into the commodities and also because it must result in a relapse which will carry losses into every part of the country. Your assurance that this speculative activity is not due to Hew York activities but originates over the whole country and your evidence that this gigantic expension of credit upon which it has been carried, itself originates from outside of Hew York, lends gravity to the situation for its inevitable collapse would be ever more dangerous to commerce and industry by virtue of its widespread character. There can be no doubt from your statement that this large movement in Hew York Stock Market has not been one of reallignment of values under new investment but one of sheer speculation because your charts show that "street" loans have increased nearly one billion dollars since this movement began and have now-reached the gigantic total of nearly two billion seven hundred million, or about 40<f> more than any amount hitherto known in our credit history. Hor is it likely that this represents anything like all the credit being used in this outbreak of speculation for obviously a considera ble amount will be carried in credits outside of "street" loans, as I understand that both individuals and corporations engage in "street loans directly and that much credit is secured for speculation out side these sources even. C O P Y - 2 - I would "be glad to know if the Board considers that this absorption of credit may have lifted the rates at which money is bring ing in commerce and agriculture? Has it been the true economic origin of the increase in interior reserve rates? I believe we must all be concerned over this Question and that we should make certain that the creation of the Federal Reserve Sys tem is not a contributory to this expansion either directly or indirectly, I notice that Mr. Roberts, of the national City Bank, in a recent article considers that the working of the Federal Reserve System has been a con tributory factor. I also notice from the figures you furnish me that during 1925 and still more going back to the middle of 1924 that there has been a very considerable expansion in the bill and security holdings of the Federal Reserve System. I have been struck by the fact that there has been a marked increase in the last six months, parallelling the last outburst of speculation in stocks. This has lead me to wonder whether there is any connection between the credit released by the Federal Re serve System and this great increase of credit absorbed in street loans as indicated by your statement because advances from the Federal Reserve are capable of great pyramiding. The figures given in your letter for your reporting member banks show large increases in loans and investments in these banks over those of any preceding six months in recent years. The figures given, however, do not show hoy/ much of this increase in credit is used for commerce, industry and agricultural purposes, such as are legi timate for employment of the Federal Reserve credit. I would be obliged, therefore, if you would help me to get a better line upon the development of the last year and a half and particu larly the last six months by giving me an analysis showing how much of the loans of your reporting member banks are for commercial use. Frankly, I am astonished at the increase in street loans. It seems to me that your information as to the volume of these loans is of the utmost importance to the country and if its amount and its increases were known to the country it would in itself strongly tend to bring this orgy of speculation to an end. I note that the board considers this information to be confidential. I would like to have the Board’s opinion as to whether it would not be advisable to secure this information officially and to pub lish it regularly. The Federal Reserve Act, Section H, makes this possi ble. It seems to me that not only would such publication act as a strong deterrent to such expansion but its publication would relieve the Board of a grave responsibility of holding information of so vast importance not ac cessible to the country as a whole. I should like to have your opinion upon this and as to whether we could provide additional authority to secure this information regularly from all banks who are not members as well. Very sincerely yours, (a) I. L. Lenroot. FEDERAL RESERVE Vol. 12 B U L L E T IN JANUARY, 1926 REVIEW OF THE MONTH Banking developments in 1925 reflect a large increase in the volume of credit extended by member banks to finance 1995 the year s unusually active busi ness and the increased volume of transactions in the security market. The volume of member bank credit in use dur ing 1925 was larger than in any previous year, and the volume of reserve bank credit outstanding was considerably above the level of 1924 and approximately at the average level of the two preceding years. With the in creased demand for bank credit from industry and finance the member banks maintained their own investments in securities at the high level reached the year before, when abundance of funds bad caused these banks greatly to increse their holdings of investments. At the reserve banks the increase in the volume of credit outstanding in December, 1925, compared with the closing month of the year before was due to the withdrawal of gold for export, amounting to about $150,000,000 dur ing the year, and to a comparatively small increase in the reserve balances of member banks from the high level reached at the end of 1924. Domestic currency demand increased somewhat during the year, owing to the active condition of business, but this increased de mand was met through the use of American currency returned from abroad in sufficient volume to meet the increase in domestic re quirements. In general, the year may be characterized from the point of view of banking developments as one during which member banks financed a larger volume of domestic business out of their own resources and met a demand for gold for export by obtaining addi tional funds from the reserve banks. No. 1 In 1925, for the first tijne in five years, the annual average of reserve bank credit in use was larger than for the preceding year. The average volume of bills and securities during 1925 was $1,140,000,000, compared with an average of $950,000,000 in 1924. This higher level of reserve bank credit was due to the maintenance by member banks of a higher average of reserve balances, in keeping with the larger volume of their own deposit liabilities, and to the change in the direction of gold movements, which during the preceding four years had been an important factor in reducing the volume of reserve bank credit. Yearly averages of reserve bank holdings of bills and securities, which measure the total of reserve bank credit in use, are shown below: R eserve Bank C r e d it O u t s t a n d in g [ Y early averages in millions of dollars] Year 1920..................................................... ........... ........... 1921................................................................... .......... 1922.:............................................................. ............ 1923....................................... ..................................... 1924.............................................................................. 1925......................................... .................................... Bills and securities Change from held by previous reserve year banks 3,243 2,160 1,187 1,151 ' 950 1,140 -1,083 -973 -3 6 -201 +190 While the increase in the average level of reserve bank credit during 1925, after a con tinuous decline for four years, R e se rv e bank was caused by the larger volstock and g°Id ume reserve balances and by gold withdrawals, the changes from month to month during the year re flected chiefly changes in the domestic demand for currency. The chart shows for the years 1922 to 1925 month-to-month changes in the volume of reserve bank credit, in the volume of reserve bank credit combined with the 1 # • 2 FEDERAL RESERVE BU LLETIN country’s stock of gold, in the volume of money in circulation, and in reserve balances held by member banks with the reserve banks. The figures on which the chart is based appear on page 30 of this issue. SCALE FOR 2 AND 4 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS SCA LE FOR 1 AND 3 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 1922 1923 192*1- 1925 50 0 The reserve bank figures are daily averages and the gold stock and money in circulation figures are averages of figures for the first of two con secutive months. The curves representing reserve bank credit and member bank reserve balances are on a scale running from $500,000,000 to $3,000,000,000, and the curves of money in circulation and of reserve bank credit plus gold stock on a scale running from $3,500,000,000 to $6,000,000,000. In the chart the curve representing reserve bank credit shows changes from month to month in the average volume of bills and securities held by the reserve banks. To this amount is added for every month the total of gold stock in the country, and the combined total is shown in the curve at the top of the chart. Fluctuations in this curve, therefore, represent monthly changes in the funds avail able to member banks at the reserve banks resulting from changes in the stock of gold and from increases or decreases in the volume of reserve bank credit. The reason for combining the stock of gold and the volume of reserve bank cffcdit into a single curve is that gold received from abroad is immediately deposited with the reserve banks and is first reflected in an addition to the member bank reserve ac counts, and that gold for export is obtained by member banks from the reserve banks Ja n u a r y , 1926 and is charged directly to the member banks’ balances. During the years of net gold imports the gold added to the reserve balances of member banks was either used to reduce indebtedness at the reserve banks or to meet a demand for currency, or remained in the balances and so increased the lending power of the member banks in the same way as borrowing. To which of these various possible uses the reserve bank funds arising from the imported gold was put by member banks has depended upon credit and currency con ditions prevailing at the time. Changes in the two factors that determine the domestic demand for reserve bank credit are shown in the curves representing money in circulation and reserve balances of member banks. When member banks are called upon to meet an in creased demand for currency they are obliged to use a corresponding amount of the funds held to their credit at the reserve banks. When, however, funds added to member banks’ balances through the deposit of imported gold are not used in meeting a currency demand or in repayment of borrowings at the reserve banks, they remain on deposit as reserve balances and form the basis of additional lending power of the member banks. The chart shows that in 1925 month-to month fluctuations in reserve bank credit were largely in response to changes in the demand for currency, as changes in reserve balances were relatively small, and that, while the volume of reserve bank credit increased considerably dur ing the year, the total reserve bank funds avail able to member banks, as represented by the curve for reserve bank credit plus gold, changed but little. This is in contrast to the other years shown on the chart, in each of which gold imports were more than sufficient to offset the decrease in reserve bank credit, and the total of reserve bank funds, as shown in the upper curve, increased. In 1922 this increase was used both in meeting a growing demand for currency and in supplying additional re serves to member banks: in 1923 the increase in currency demand arising from an increased volume of domestic trade and employment, # J a n u a r y , 1926 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN together with a demand for American currency from abroad, absorbed the entire growth in re serve bank funds; and in 1924, with currency demand showing only seasonal variations and only a slight increase for the year, and with the level of reserve bank credit about the same at the end of the year as at the beginning, the increase in reserve bank funds arising from gold imports was added in large part to mem ber bank reserve balances, and constituted the basis of a rapid growth in member bank credit. In 1925, with little change in the demand for currency and with gold exports absorbing the growth in reserve bank credit, there was little change for the year in the volume of member bank reserve balances. The maintenance of these balances at the high level reached the year before, however, required the continuous use of a larger amount of reserve bank funds. With only a slight increase during 1925 in member bank balances at the reserve banks, the total of member bank Basis of growth credit increased considerably. of member bank Between October 10, 1924, credit. and September 28, 1925, the latest date for wdiich a condition statement for all member banks is available, loans and in vestments of these banks increased by about $2,000,000,000, or nearly 7 per cent, and monthly figures for deposits indicate a further growth in bank credit during the last quarter of the year. This growth during 1925 in the volume of credit extended by member banks, without corresponding increase in their reserve balances with the reserve banks, is explained chiefly by changes in the character of the de posits and their distribution among banks sub ject to different legal reserve requirements. Between October 10, 1924, and September 28, 1925, as is shown in the table below, time de posits of member banks, against which only a 3 per cent reserve is required, increased by $870,000,000, while net demand deposits, which carry a much larger reserve require ment, increased by only one-half this amount. Furthermore, net demand deposits in central reserve cities, where the required reserves are 3 13 per cent, declined by $226,000,000, and those in banks outside of reserve cities, where only a 7 per cent reserve is required, increased by $435,000,000. The decrease in net demand deposits at the financial centers reflected largely the decline in balances carried by city banks for their country correspondents, a de cline which was due chiefly to the employment by these country banks of their idle balances in making loans on securities. As a conse quence of these changes the reserve balances of member banks in central reserve cities declined by $35,000,000 during the period, while those for banks in reserve cities increased by $17, 000,000, and those for country banks by $43,000,000. The net result was an increase of $26,000,000 in the total of member bank reserves. As has been pointed out in earlier reviews, the ratio of reserves of member banks to deposits remains continuously at or near 10 per cent, when the calculation is based on the net amount of deposits on which reserves are computed, an amount in which time deposits are reduced to a not demand deposit basis. When reserve balances are related to the com bined total of net demand and time deposits, however, the two classes of deposits against which reserves are required, a decline in the ratio from 7.8 per cent to 7.5 per cent is shown for the past year. While 7.5 per cent is the average ratio of reserves to deposits for all member banks, the ratio is 11.3 per cent for banks in central reserve cities, 7.2 per cent for banks in other reserve cities, and 5.3 per cent for country banks. This variation in reserve ratios for the different classes of banks indicates that in New York and Chicago, the two central reserve cities, owing both to larger reserve requirements against demand deposits and the larger proportion of this class of de posits, deposits of member banks are only about nine times as large as reserves, while in country banks, with smaller reserve require ments and a larger proportion of time deposits, total net demand and time deposits are nearly twenty times as large as reserve balances. 4 FEDERAL RESERVE BU LLETIN D e p o s it s and R eserv es of M em ber B anks [In millions of dollars] Oct. 10, Sept. 28, 1924 1925 Net demand deposits: Total___ _____________________ In central reserve city banks__ In reserve city banks................... In country banks.......................... Time deposits.____ _______ _______ Total net demand and time de posits.......................................... . Reserve balances........................................ Ratio of reserve balances to net demand plus time deposits: For all member banks_____ _____ For banks in central reserve cities.. For banks in reserve cities............... For country banks_____________ Change 17,780 6,299 6,946 6,535 9,597 18,233 6,073 6,190 5,970 10,467 +453 -226 +244 +435 +870 27,377 2,122 28,700 2,147 +1,323 +26 7.8 11.5 7.6 5.4 7.5 11.3 7.2 5.3 Growth of time deposits has been a continuous factor in the increase of deposit liabilities of member banks since the organ Growth of time ization of the Federal reserve deposits. system, and the fact that they have increased more rapidly than demand deposits has been an influence toward decreas ing the average ratio of reserves that member banks have been required to carry against their combined deposits. The volume of demand deposits has fluctuated with changes in business conditions, and after a rapid decline in 1921 and the early part of 1922 and a subsequent recovery, their level in 1925 was considerably higher than at the peak five years earlier. Time deposits, on the other hand, increased throughout the period of recession in 1921-22 and the later period of increased business activity, and their level in September, 1925, was $4,300,000,000 above that of November, 1920. While time deposits have increased at banks in all classes of cities and while their rate of growth in recent years has been even greater at banks in financial centers than at country banks, they constitute a much larger proportion of total deposits in the smaller cities. In September of the year just closed the propor tion of time deposits to total deposits was 13 per cent in central reserve city banks, 33 per cent in reserve city banks, and 46 per cent in country banks. Ja n u a r y , 1926 The large volume of time deposits at country banks has been a source of additional lending m power for these banks. Not and investments. bem§ sub3ect t0 Payment on demand, time deposits are usu ally considered by the banks as available for use in the purchase of long-term investments. The large volume of time deposits at the member banks, and particularly at member banks in smaller towns and in country districts, indicates that these banks are not only com mercial banks engaged in making loans to finance the current operations of trade and industry and in carrying the proceeds of these loans as deposits payable on demand, but are also to a considerable extent serving their customers as savings banks and invest ment institutions receiving time deposits and investing them in Government and other securities. The relation between time deposits and investments for each of the different classes of banks is brought out in the table: T im e D and I n vestm en ts of B a n k s , S e p t e m b e r 28, 1925 e p o s it s M em ber [In millions of dollars] Class of bank All member banks.......................................... . Member banks in— Central reserve cities_____ _______________ Country banks........................................ ................ Time deposits Invest ments 10,467 8,919 1,115 3,759 5,593 1,930 2,890 4,099 For all member banks combined, time de posits on September 28, 1925, considerably exceeded total investments, indicating that a certain proportion of funds obtained through time deposits has been used by member banks in increasing their loan account. This has been particularly true for country banks, whose time deposits in 1925 exceeded their invest ments by about $1,500,000,000, while in central reserve cities the banks’ security hold ings were larger than their time deposits. J anuary, 1926 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN The proportion of the member banks’ funds employed in different classes of loans and Composition of investments also differs for the m e m b e r bank different classes of banks. The credit. composition of member bank earning assets, by classes of banks, at the close of the last fiscal year is shown below: 5 drawal on demand whenever increased busi ness activity in the interior of the country causes a growth in local financial requirements. Under these circumstances city banks employ the funds received from the interior chiefly in making demand or short-term loans on securities. During 1924 and 1925, with loan L o a n s a n d I n v e s t m e n t s o f M e m b e r B a n k s on able funds throughout the country in excess of J u n e 30, 1925 local credit requirements, there has been a fin millions of dollars] rapid growth of collateral loans by member banks. Member banks in— This review indicates that the most import All Country member Central banks Other ant banking developments during the year banks reserve reserve cities cities 1925 have been a continuous growth of member bank loans on securities, and a considerable 6,718 2,857 2,275 Loans on securities................... 1,586 14,081 2,651 5,191 6, 239 increase in the second half of the year in loans 7,825 for agricultural and commercial purposes. 20,799 5, 508 7, 466 Total loans...................... 4,008 • 8,888 2,014 2,866 Investments............................... Furthermore, owing to changes in the character Total loans and invest-' 29,687 10,332 11,833 and geographic distribution of the deposits of 7, 522 Percentage distribution: member banks, they were able to support the 22.6 38. 0 13.4 22.1 All other loans................... 47.4 35.2 50.2 52.7 increase in the total of their deposits without a Total loans................. 70.1 73. 2 72.3 66.1 corresponding increase in their reserve balances. Investments__________ 29.9 26.8 27.7 33.9 At the. reserve banks the increase in the volume Total loans and invest 100.0 ments____________ 100.0 100.0 100.0 of credit outstanding reflected the influence of gold exports, following upon four years of a In central reserve and reserve city banks continuous inflow of gold from abroad. loans constituted considerably more than 70 per cent of total earning assets of member banks, and in country banks they were twoTREASURY FINANCE thirds of the total. At member banks in the financial centers, where the surplus funds December financing. On December 7 the Treasurv announced an of the country are largely employed, loans'on securities are larger than all other loans, offering at par through the Federal reserve banks of one-year 3 % per cent Treasury cer while at country banks only 13 per cent of tificates, dated December 15, 1925, and ma earning assets are employed in collateral loans. turing December 15, 1926. The offering was Differences in banking practice may account for $450,000,000 or thereabouts, and it was in part for the difference in the composition announced that the Treasury would accept in of earning assets of banks in the financial payment for the new certificates outstanding Treasury certificates and 4 % per cent Treas centers and outside, but these differences also ury notes maturing December 15, 1925. Pre reflect the fact that banks throughout the ferred allotment would be given to subscrip country, after using a large part of their tions for which payments were tendered in funds to meet the financial requirements of these certificates and notes, of which the trade and industry in their own localities, place amount outstanding was approximately $480, 000,000. The offering; was intended with the funds not required locally on deposit with balances on hand and December tax receipts city correspondents. Funds thus placed at the to cover the cash requirements of the Treasury disposal of city banks are subject to with- until March, when further financing will be 75164—26f-----2 6 l FEDERAL RESERVE BU LLETIN necessary. The same exemptions from taxation were provided as have been provided for other issues under the act of September 24, 1917, and the new certificates will be accepted at par in payment of income and profits taxes payable at maturity of the certificates. Sub scriptions for the new issue were closed at close of business on December 9 and amounted to $875,780,900. Subscriptions were allotted in the amount of $452,749,000, of which $167, 210,700 represented allotments on subscrip tions for which maturing Treasury notes and certificates were tendered in payment. All such subscriptions were allotted in full, allot ments on other subscriptions being made on a graduated scale—on subscriptions in amounts not exceeding $100,000, 50 per cent but not less than $500 on any one subscription, and on sub scriptions in larger amounts, 30 per cent but not less than $50,000 on any one subscription. Subscriptions and allotments in the several Federal reserve districts were as shown in the table following: Federal reserve district Subscrip tions Allotments T o ta l........................................... $875,780,900 $452,749,000 Boston_________ ________ _____ New York.................. Philadelphia................................ Cleveland................................. Richmond.............. Atlanta..................... Chicago............................................ St. Louis..................................... Minneapolis________:_______ Kansas City.................................... D allas.................................................. San Francisco.................................................. 66.930.500 320,927,500 81.333.000 66.192.500 28.641.000 35.236.500 87.226.500 29.515.500 22,099, 500 17,292,400 33.015.500 87.370.500 30.055.000 171,995,000 44.997.000 29.165.000 12.830.500 17.744.500 44.404.000 16.988.500 14.219.500 12.040.000 17.622.500 40.687.500 In his annual report for the fiscal year 1925, the Secretary of the Treasury notes that “ the average rate of interest borne by certificates of • indebtedness offered in the fiscal year 1925 was only 2.9 per cent,” the average rates for earlier fiscal years being: For 1921, 5.7 per cent; for 1922, 4.5 per cent; for 1923, 4.1 per cent; and for 1924, 3.9 per cent. In June the Treasury issued at par one-year certificates bearing interest at 3 per cent, and in September, ninemonths certificates at 3 34 per cent. Ja n u a b y , 1926 Amount of payment Country Total Total................... $95,253,371.85 Great Britain............... Belgium........................ Czechoslovakia............ Finland........................ Hungary....................... Lithuania................. P oland......................... 92,310,000.00 677,432.22 1,500,000.00 180,650.00 39,611.25 45,678.38 500,000.00 Principal Interest $26,057,018.00 $69,196,353.85 24,000,000.00 68,310,000.00 677,432. 22 1,500,000.00 47,000.00 10,018.00 500,000.00 133,650.00 29,593.25 45,678.38 NOTES Agreement with Belgian National Bank. On December 10 the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, with the, approval of the Fed eral Reserve Board, made an agreement with the Belgian National Bank to stand ready to purchase Belgian prime commercial bills, when such purchases are desired. This agreement with the Belgian central bank is in pursuance of the system’s policy of cooperating with foreign countries in the reestablishment of the old standard. The statement issued by the lew York Federal Reserve Bank follows: f As an aid to the plans which are in progress for im proving the monetary position of Belgium, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, in association with other Federal reserve banks, has indicated its readiness to cooperate with the Belgian bank of issue, the Banque Nationale de Belgique, if desired, by purchasing prime commercial bills. It is understood th at offers of coop eration have also been made by the Bank of England and other European banks of issue. Annual reports of Secretary of the Treasury and Comp troller of the Currency. The text of the annual reports of .the Secre tary of the Treasury and of the Comptroller of the Currency for the fiscal year ending June 30, 1925, were issued during December. First annual report of the Agent General for Repara tion Payments. The first annual report of the agent general for reparation payments, issued early in De cember, reviews the progress of the reparations program and of Germany’s economic recovery under the Dawes plan. The report states: “ The plan realized during the year its first essential preliminary objects; that is to say, a Payments received from foreign governments. balanced budget and a stable currency. * * * On December 15, payments in the amounts Side by side with the achievement of these two given below were received from foreign coun objects, the output and distribution of goods, tries on account of their funded indebtedness to according to available figures, have consider the United States: ably exceeded the experiences of the immediate- r- C O P Y January 12, 1926. My dear Senator: I wish to acknowledge receipt of your letter of December 23, 1925, and to assure you that the Board is glad to furnish you with the addi tional information you desire. I personally should appreciate it if you would come to my office where we could talk over the important problems with which the reserve system has to deal and reach a fuller understand ing than is possible by correspondence. To the extent that an unhealthy speculation is responsible for an advance in security prices, it is likely to carry these prices to a level that cannot be maintained and to be followed by a recession that affects general business confidences. The effect on business of a downward turn in the security market is, however, largely psychological and indirect. Busi ness men are likely to interpret it as a forerunner of slackened business activity and may, therefore, either curtail their operations or at least pursue a more cautious policy in making forward commitments. The actual losses resulting from the decline in security prices will fall upon in vestors and particularly upon speculators, who having bought for a rise may be compelled to sell at a sacrifice, rather than upon those engaged in productive enterprises. The Board in its previous letter agreed with you that there is always a possibility that speculation in the security market will spread into commodity markets, but indicated that there was then no evidence of speculative tendencies in these markets. Since then the move ment of commodity prices has been generally downward. In order to illustrate the trend of commodity prices in relation to the physical volume of activity in recent years, two charts are attached, Chart A showing the volume of building contracts awarded and the course of prices of building materials, and Chart B the movement of prices of the principal classes of building materials and of all commodities. The first chart shows, that in the face of a very rapid growth in building construc tion in recent years, prices of building materials have not only failed to advance, but have slightly declined. The second chart shows the downward movement of prices in the different classes of building materials since 1923 and the relative stability, with a recent decline, in the general price level. An additional set of three charts (C, D, and E) is also enclosed, showing for the principal industries the physical volume of production and the price of the products over a series of years. You will note that in practically all of the industries there has been a decided increase in production in recent years, while prices have either remained stationary or have declined. The only marked exception is rubber, the price of which has advanced very rapidly during the past year for reasons in no way connected copy Hon. I . L . Lenroot, - #2 with the domestic business or credit situation. Growth in the volume of member bank loans on securities in the past eighteen months has been at an extremely rapid rate and the Board shares with you the feeling that such a rapid growth of security loans is not an altogether desirable development in the banking situation. There has been no evidence, however, of any scarcity of credit for productive enterprises resulting from the growth of collateral loans on stocks and bonds. On the contrary, it is partly in consequence of the relative absence of growth in the local demand for bank credit to finance current operations that the banks utilized their surplus funds, particularly in the latter part of 1924, by making loans on securities. Since the middle of 1925 there has been a considerable growth in loans for commercial purposes, as well as a further increase in loans on securities at member banks in leading cities. A table showing changes in the different classes of loans and investments of report ing member banks for the last report date in each month during 1924 and 1925 is appended. Loans under the caption "All other loans" are for the most part loans for agricultural and commercial purposes. There has been no shortage of funds for any purpose, and though open-market rates on commercial paper are higher than a year ago, they are still at a level below the average of the past ten years. The growth of security loans is not, in the Board's opinion, in itself evidence of the speculative nature of the rise in security prices. To fi nance the transactions in securities at higher prices requires a larger volume of bank credit, and this would be true, whether the rise in prices was speculative in character, or reflected a genuine increase in the values represented by the securities, that is, a growth in corporate earning capacity. It is true, nevertheless, that the abundance of funds in the money market during the past two years has facilitated the expansion of security loans and thus the marketing of securities on a rising price level. The fun damental reason of the advance in security prices, however, has been that in the judgment of a large body of investors and speculators, securities, in view of the general business outlook, have been worth purchasing at a rising level of prices. The Eoard does not consider it to be a part of its functions to pass upon the soundness of the investors' judgment in this matter. As already indicated, the constantly growing demand for bank funds to finance stock exchange operations has been a factor in the rise of openmarket money rates during the past year. Hates on commercial paper and bankers' acceptances in the Hew York market have advanced by between 1 and 1 1/2 per cent since the summer of 1924, but this advance has been from the lowest point in many years and has not carried the rates to a level as high as that in 1923, when the volume of business activity was about the same as at the present time. Furthermore, it is only onen-market rates in the financial centers that have advanced during the year. Rates charged to cus tomers by banks throughout the country on loans for current operations, which constitute by far the largest use of bank credit, have remained practically C O P Y Hon. I . L . Lenroot, - #3 constant, and the cost of money to the majority of those engaged in agriculture, trade,and industry has been no higher in 1925 than in 1924. You wish to know whether the rise in open-market rates has been "the true economic origin of the increase in interior reserve rates." It is certainly true that the level of open-market rates has been one of the factors considered by the reserve banks of Poston, Philadelphia, Cleveland, and San Prancisco when they proposed to advance their rates from 3 l/2 to 4 per cent, the level prevailing at all the other reserve banks, outside of Hew York, and by the Board when it approved these advances. The rates had been reduced from 4 l/2 to 4 per cent during the summer of 1924, when rates in the market had been abnormally low, and with the recovery of open-market rates it became desirable to bring the reserve bank rates into better align ment with the market. Other factors considered in those rate advances were the growth of discounting by member banks in these districts, the rapid growth of the member banks' own loans, and other local business and trade conditions. As was pointed out in the Board's earlier letter, member banks in Hew York City were not increasing their loans in 1925, and their borrowings at the reserve banks we re no longer at the seasonal peak in the autumn and winter than in the early months of the year when reserve bank accommodation is usually at a low point. In view of the fact that there was no evidence of excessive borrowing at the Hew York bank in the autumn, it seemed un desirable to exert the influence of the reserve bank rate toward a further rise in the general level of money rates in the Hew York market. Such a rise might have been an influence toward a renewal of the gold movement to this country, which, as was pointed out before, has been the principal cause of credit expansion in the previous four years. In view of the more direct influence of the Hew York market on international financial movements, these considerations have greater weight at the Hew York reserve bank than at reserve banks in other districts. In the last weeks of 1925 loans by banks in Hew York City increased rapidly and at the first meeting of the Board of Directors of the Hew York reserve bank in 1926 the discount rate was advanced from 3 l/2 to 4 per cent, making the level of rates uniform for all the reserve banks. In connection with your question, whether the Federal reserve system has contributed to the growth of speculation in securities, the Board wishes to submit a chart (Chart F) which shows changes in the volume of reserve bank credit outstanding, including discounts for member banks and acceptances and United States securities bought in the open market, compared with the volume of money in circulation during the two years 1924 and 1925. This chart brings out the fact that the principal factor influencing the volume * of reserve bank credit in use is the demand for currency by the public. Com parisons of the volume of reserve bank credit in midsummer and at the turn C O P Y Hon. I . L . Lenroot. - #4 of the year are misleading, "because the much larger demand for reserve "bank credit in the autumn months reflects chiefly a seasonal demand for currency, which is followed "by a rapid return flow of currency and a consequent decrease in reserve "bank credit outstanding during the early weeks of each year. While fulctuations in reserve "bank credit have "been caused "by changes in the currency demand, the higher general level of reserve "bank credit during the past year has "been due in part to the withdrawal of gold for export and in part to the maintenance of reserve "balances of member banks at a higher level than the year before owing to the larger volume of their own deposit liabilities. A full discussion of the factors influencing the volume of reserve bank credit appears in the Federal Reserve Bulletin for this month, and a copy of the article containing this discussion is attached. The suggestion contained in your letter, that the Board undertake to secure streetloan information officially and publish it regularly, is one that has been under careful consideration by the Board since last April on the recommendation of its Division of Research and Statistics. The Division has worked out a plan for securing the figures in a form that will most adequately serve the public interest and will at the same time enlist the largest possible measure of voluntary cooperation by the reporting banks. The Board has recently approved the Divisions recommendation in the matter, and as soon as the reporting system can be put into operation, the figures will be published regularly. The earning assets of the system as of January 12th were as follows: Discounts for member banks...... $517,302,000 Acceptances purchased in open market. . 333,957,000 U. S. Government securities, , , , , , 367,076,000 Other bills and securities..... 10.158,000 T o t a l ..... $1,228,493,000 I hope that this letter gives you the information you desire, and I wish to thank you on behalf of the Board for the interest you have shown in the problems with which the Federal reserve system has to deal. Very truly yours, (s) D. R. Crissinger, Governor. Hon. I. L. Lenroot, United States Senate, Washington, D. C. C 0 P Y REP CRTING MEMBER BANKS IN LEADING CITIES (In millions of dollars) Last report date in : Loans on : securi: ties 1934: January February March April May June July August September October November December 4,077 4,031 4,067 4,186 4,075 4,268 4,431 4,484 4,596 4,547 4,668 4,863 7,806 7,843 7,998 7,935 7,876 7,874 7,834 7,950 8,080 8,217 8,202 8,205 11,883 11,874 12,065 12,121 11,951 12,142 12,265 12,434 12,676 12,764 12,870 13,068 4,480 4,496 4,515 4,535 4,659 4,827 4,987 5,091 5,331 5,551 5,617 5,531 16,363 16,370 16,580 16,656 16,610 16,969 17,252 17,525 18,007 18,315 18,487 18,599 1925: January February March April May June July August September October November December 4,888 4,949 4,999 5,079 5,073 5,206 5,204 5,267 5,471 5,471 5,581 5,776 8,163 8,193 8,140 8,153 8,035 7,999 8,013 8,108 8,361 8,430 8,378 8,341 13,051 13,142 13,139 13,232 13,108 13,205 13,217 13,375 13,832 13,901 13,959 14,117 5,489 5,396 5,478 5,484 5,485 5,505 5,506 5,471 5,440 5,443 5,405 5,472 18,540 18,538 18,617 18,716 18,593 18,710 18,723 18,846 19,272 19,344 19,364 19,589 • • All other : loans 1/: :Total loans : Total : and : investments investments • Total Loans 1/ Largely for agricultural and commercial purposes UITITED O P STATES SEI7ATE Y Committee on Foreign Relations January 14, 1926 Honorable D. R. Crissinger, Governor, Federal Reserve Board, Treasury Denartment, Washington, D. C. Uy dear Governor: I have yours of the 12th instant with enclosure of charts, which, I will carefully examine and just as soon as I get onnortunity shall he glad to come up to the office and personally talk with you about the situation. As you know, I am in charge of the World Court matter, which is just now taking my entire time. Very sincerely yours, I. L. LEHROOT t l H . A 7 C0N F I DENTIAL For use of Federal Reserve Board only DEFICIENCIES IN RESERVES OF MEMBER BANKS FOp <M0NTH OF APIRL, 1 9 2 6 * ___________ — ----— — — . WUMBER OF BANKS3 ASSESSI3D NUMBER OF BANKS PENALIZED Federal In In F.R. other bank : reand serve branch cities cities Reserve ^ppistrict Boston New York Philadelphia 4 ** 9 4 Member Coun- ;Total try banks 5 ** 46 50 ** ** 79 171 78 ** ** Richmond Atlanta Chicago 10 3 l 4 158 3 6 4 Ka^Rs City Dallas San Francisco 22 ** 70 1 72 185 85 99 72 1 68 10 77 5 - 69 63 988 Mar. '26 97 Apr. «25 98 FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD DIVISION OF BANK-QJ Jlffig 12,k 1 9 2 6 , w. Volume"161 Page 29 (In thousands of dollars) ** 65 Minneapolis — 29 104 4 9 l4 AVERAGE DAILY DEFICIENCIES PENAL*]DIES IN IEXCESS 01 MAXIMUM RATE CHARGED# ON WHICH PENALTIES WERE M]iNIMUM RilTE# ASSESSED In Banks Banks Banks Banks F. R. In Coun in F.R. in Coun in F.R. in Coun bank other try Total bank other try bank other try Total and re banks and re banks and re banks branch serve branch serve branch serve 25 90 10 St. Louis f* : —4 Cleveland 7 banks in di s trict St.4982. 93 78 85 1,123 1,172 9,^25 3,950 1,046 5.937 1,048 3,716 q.9Uo 5.291 -1x117 U53. >■793 ^^^*Figures for country banks are for the calendar month I Jfe^or central reserve and reserve city banks for -IONS four and five-week periods. ^Federal, reserve bank and branch cities are the only reserve cities in the district P0713-!^ ra-tes are not applied by the FJljB Banks of New York ° t ■* , . Atlanta bank has a maximum penalty rate of & ner . , 3 . ’ ’ 0U1S and Minneapolis, *3^, urn penalty rate of 6 por;*^, the eight remaining banks a maximum of 10 perthe cent. EARNINGS AID EXPENSES OF FEDEEAL RESERVE BANKS, MAY, 1926. Total earnings of the Federal reserve hanks in May were $80,000 less than in April, though earnings were accrued for 1 day more in May. Earnings from discounted hills fell off $80,000 and miscellaneous earnings $9 0 ,0 0 0 , hut these reductions were partly offset hy an increase of $90,000 in earnings on pur chased hills and U. S. securities. Current expenses in May amounted to $2,305*000 “ about $10,000 more than in May 1925* hut for the 5~nionth period there was a reduction of $3^0,000 as compared with the same period last year. Current expenses ex clusive of the cost of currency were less during the 5-month period at all of the Federal reserve hanks ex cept Boston, Philadelphia, Atlanta and St. Louis, the declines ranging from $10,000 at Kansas City to $112,000 at San Francisco. The increase in the case of Philadelphia was $1*5,000, Boston $29,000, Atlanta $1+2,000 ($26,000 at Jacksonville), and St. Louis $1 3 ,000 . After providing for all current expense and dividend requirements, the Federal reserve hanks on May 31 had a balance of nearly $U,700,000 available for depreciation allowances, surplus, and franchise taxes, as compared with $3,800,000 a month earlier and $1,200,000 at the end of May last year. The balances available ranged from $9^,000 at Minneapolis and $21+3,000 at Richmond, to $675*000 in the case of . New York. Volume l6 l - Page 47 St .4985 Xet /3a M r 0 Hamlin n C 0 E ? I D E N T I A L Hot for publication Federal Reserve Bank From dis counted bills ioston E a r n i n g s From pur From chased bills other and U. S. sources securities Total $109,548 $13,259 $ 207,626 434,282 25.611 869,512 102,906 12,597 1 6 7 .1 1 7 15,733 49.749 8,o64 Atlanta 82,387 8,206 Chicago 253,831 St. Loui s Cleveland Richmond Year 13 Current ex penses 2 9 0 ,u , 5 Current net earnings Annual rate of current net Current net earn earnings on ings to average paid-in capital Kay 31 Per cent 5 .5 . ^ $6511.739 $ 166,216 $40,810 v 799 3 2 1 .7lc 10.7 * %yf 11.5 ■s'* 1 Philadelphia St. 4985 EARNINGS M D EXPENSES OF FEDERAL RiCSPJiyir BANKS 171. jj 35<"m 59 "192& Balance available for de Dividends preciation allowances, sur accrued plus, franchise tax, etc. to On May 31 On Apr. 30 May 31 $214,773 $1*39,966 $440,201 , 521.865 81*7,336 67l*,529 529,004 605,612 296,647 308,965 250,878 12.1 662,247 334,319 327,928 256,674 ; 21-4 2 5 1 210,12.? 3x6,886 19 .3 39 4 , 69 s 150,723 21*3,975 174 ,9 50 > 2 , 631* 20.9 6 7 3 , 1*16 12 1,5 6 2 5 5 1 , 851* 4 8 9 ,04l 30.669 475,803 30 2 ,5 75 12.4 990,389 1*02,863 587,526 496,485 107,080 3,9 5 4 20 1,6 11 1 1 5 ,* 8° 19.3 1*2 5 .1 75 129,444 295.731 235,848 Minnbsc 107.6 29 14,218 1 4 5 , 4i6 88, f 5 6 ,773 21.2 173,379 78,971 94,408 53,368 Mhsas £ 147,785 23,663 239,875 138,610 101,265 28.0 1*30,866 106 ,105 32 4 ,76 1 244,771 129. **67 3,327 166,200 100,744 65,456 17.9 35 9 ,15 9 107,203 251,956 207,979 207,656 12,977 381,118 211,630 16 9 ,488 23.8 781,692 207,1*81 5 7 4 ,2 1 1 446,687 2,304,647 1 , 4 5 9 . 0 7 1 3 ,243,713 2,298,413 1 , 545,306 3 ,409,371 2 , 294,916 1 , 114,455 i4 .o 7,673,237 2,997,427 4 ,6 7 5 ,8 1 0 1 5 .5 11.4 3 , 825,886 4,072,734 2,8 4 2 ,5 07 1 , 230 ,2 27 688,821 San Francisco TOTAL: May 1926 A .n o c Apr. 192 * Apr. 1926 May 1925 160,485 1 - 9 ° 5 . 1^ 7 1 , 766,676 1 ,8 1 2 ,3 6 1 1 , 239,241 1 , 829,194 SPHERAL RESERVE BOARD % DIVISION OF BANK OPERATIONS i JUNE 15, 1926. W.i 1 7 2 , 27 s 264,676 340,936 3 , 76 3,72 4 « >31 REPORT OF THE CHAIRMAN TO THE OPEN MARKET INVESTMENT COMMITTEE The report of the secretary gives the details of operations since the last meeting* As far as policy is concerned, the two principal problems center around the changes in the money market due to the tax period, and the policy of the committee for the coming few months in view of the general credit situation* Tax Period The detail of gains and losses to the New York money market as a result of tax period operations, together with the position of reserves of the New York banks from day to day, are shown in the following table* The table indicates that the New Y0rk banks started the tax period with reserves substantially under requirements, and as a consequence of this fact and of rapid income tax collections, the surplus of funds on June 15 and 16 was only temporary and by Friday, when the banks average up their reserves, the situation was again at equilibrium* As this week begins the prospects are that the banks in principal centers will be steadily losing in their reserves through the accumulation of Treasury balances at the Reserve Banks* Just as the problem last week was to prevent too great ease in funds, so the problem this week will be to prevent too rapid a tightening; and the same may be true of next week, when semi-annual settlements will coincide with requirements of currency over the July 4 holiday* Various methods for offsetting a disturbance to the money market at this time may well be considered* Volume 161 - Page 73 The situation may be met p artly by Treasury investment - 2of part of its surplus# It may be desirable also for the committee to make temporary purchases for a few days, and authority should be secured for such J operations* The General Situation# At the time of the governors* conference there was some anticipation of a recession in business* Since that time there has been a reduction in some lines of business activity* considerably curtailed* Production in various textile lines has been Production of iron and steel has decreased slightly* Building activity is not quite as intense and reports for May by the New York State Department of Labor, and by the Philadelphia Reserve Bank for the Phila delphia district, indicate a decline of about 2 per cent in factory employment* Wholesale and retail trade have been a little unsatisfactory, but that may largely be ascribed to the weather* This about concludes the evidence of recession, for, in general, business has continued at high speed above what we may call normal activity* Gar loadings are large; production is large in most lines of industry; automobile output is exceptional; bank debits indicate a very large measure of activity; and taking all the evidence together there has been no such recession as was anticipated earlier in the year* As far as credit is concerned, the country has continued to require about the same volume of credit as in the spring and there has been no particular seasonal reduction* Industrial stock averages now within 6 to 8 points of February high, and 10 points above March low; and rails are practically at the year’s high* The recent rise appears to be stimulated by general belief that money will be very cheap, and by apparent failure of expected business recession to materialize* in the past few days the market has apparently been influenced by temporary ease of money over tax period and some misunderstanding of effect on money of Treasury1s not putting out new issue* The rise in stock prices has been accompanied by an increaso of loss than 100 million in brokers loans, which are still 700 million below the peak* Stocks are being carried much more largely on loans direct to customers by banks outside New York City* These banks are lending 400 million less to brokers in New York, but their total loans on stocks and bonds are as largo as at year*s high point* Thus the total amount of credit employed in carrying securities has decreased much less than the brokers loan reports indicato and is only about 200 million below the high point* The general situation may be summarized by saying that the picture is not clear as to which direction business and credit are likely to take* A further expansion in business and in speculation is possible; on the other hand, a continued recession in business is possible* Under these conditions it would seem wise for the Open Market Committee to maintain its holdings of securi ties at 0275,000,000, or thereabouts, except for such temporary changes as may be necessary in the next two weeks* r i ~ * g a i n s and :f,t LOSSES TO NET7 -5 16 17 18 Gains to the---------------market: -------------------Treasury transactions; Notes r adeemed (Net) Interest paid Checks and warrants cashed Securities purchased Commercial and agency, transact ions: Securitios .aaa^yased for other Federals Tr ansf orc a c k s set11 on ent s Net C^in|2|^^^5rrency receipts O p ' f o r e i g n accounts (Net) 110 29 3 12 3 5 4 0 ° -J 1 A 0 0 0 0 , ...0 0 54 4 1 0 22 3 0 ;es contracts, increase is contracts, increase es d ought fnr System*s account I6 ■ease in loans to New York City banks JO 0 Total gains 3 *37 3 0 0 1 __0 217 0 O'; 0 0 JD 37 0 2 2 0' 0 1 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 /4 6 1 .o 15 0 4 5 20 _5 31 30 -68 Losses,; bv/market: Treasury ‘transactions: Income taxes collected Custms and other receipts Foreign debt payments (cash) 2 2 0 3 2 0 6 75 5 ' 6 4 .0 Commercial and agency transactions: Transfers and check settlorients Net coin and currency payments Operations for foreign accounts - net Gold exports 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Reserve bank transaction's: 0 6 Acceptances matured ,0 0 Acceptances, sales contracts, decrease Securities sold from Systanfs account 10 40 Not decrease in loans to New York City banks 7 _6 23 60 Total losses Net gain for day Net loss for day 16 0 0 // / 0 19 8 0 0 0 1 * 0 21 7 1 0 *4. 4 7 0 _0 58 5 0 0 _0 50 4 4 0 11 10 0 s 39 68 105 20 23 O o 0 o o u .0 (A . .- </? 7 18 149 Reserve position of 23 leading New York City bank s: 595 569 537 Actual reserves at opening of business 604 569 558 Average reserves 602 599 599 Reserve requirements 18 2 0 68 28 680 648 599 589 601 600 603 603 603 Y 2 - <0 ©«2~ Aux /S-fl June 1 8 , 1 9 2 8 . >■' M 2o the L e t e n o f tuo 0?3B UIRS3J? IOT2S2ESS! <505832133. d im e th e l a s t com plete report to th e Governors on th e fo r e ig n r e eeunte vfoleh v a i ssado a t th e C onference in i*arofe, th ere hoe hem a fu r th e r in crease in the t o t a l m ount o f fo r e ig n nasties w ith u s , the aggregate n b ein g m £ 1 9 2 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 a s oonpared w ith £ 1 8 7 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 on l& reh 10 and {6 3 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 one year ago. 2 » Isp o rta n t c h u t e s in th e f o r o i n recou nts hare been a s fo llo w s * Cl) d ecreases o f £ 5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 sod £ 2 3 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 ) in the M i l s h eld r e s p e c tiv e ly f o r the n atio n al Bank o f Hungary and the B eiohabaak. and {2 ) im r e a s e s in the h o ld in ge o f Treasury s e c u r it ie s o f about £ 1 ,0 0 0 .0 0 0 f o r the agen t General fo r E epareU on Paym ents, £ 5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 f o r the Bank o f England and £ 4 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 f o r the n a tio n a l Bank o f Hungary. She g o ld h eld ussier rem ark fo r fo r e ig n banks has in creased t r m £ 3 2 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 to £ 5 2 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 , th is in oreu se bein g recounted f o r in the h o ld in g s o f th e Eeiohabank. With re sp e ct to the lo a n s on g o ld to th e Bank P o ls k t, the second rcn re a l p eriod o f th ree so u th s expired on nay 2 5 . Bus to th e resettlem en t in Poland a t th at t i m , we th o u jit i t a d v isa b le to c a b le f o r fa r th e r assurances as to th e s ta tu s o f the Back Polafci b e fo re o o n tla o ln g the c r e d it fo r another th ree months and fix in g a r a te to be e f f e c t iv e fo r th a t p e r io d . to our in q u iry was p ra o p tly received frees Poland and m A s a tis fa c to r y re p ly reeo rd in g ly extended the c r e d it f o r another th ree so u th s to m tu r e August 2 5 a t the s i s Volume 161 Page 75. r a t e , n aaely t z 1 8 . 1926. You w i l l observe th a t th e m ou n t o f advances to the Batik Polofci o a t sta n d ii^ a t p resen t i s * 7 .6 0 0 ,0 0 0 . a d ecrease o f $ 1 ,3 0 0 ,0 0 0 sin c e liaroh 1 0 . You w i l l r e c a ll th a t the agreement entered in to w ith the Batik: P & sid . on August 25. 1 9 2 5 . c a lle d to r a th roe months c r e d it w ith throe renew als so th a t the p resent agreement e x p ire s a t th e end o f the e x is tin g renewed on August 2 5 . 1 9 2 6 . A com parative statem ent o f the fo r e ig n accounts in d e t a il i s attached h ereto f o r the l a f o m t i o a o f th e Cc o a l t t e e . Besputy G overnor. JBQetX REPORT TO O PB. VARKET INVESTMENT COIflIITTKE (Figures as of June 16, 1926.) COMPARATIVE STATE? ENT OF FOREIGN ACCOUNTS Report to Governors' Conference To-day ♦ 6,355,95**80 55,089,417*84 Total Total Total Total Balancee Bills Treasury Securities Gold Earmarked Sub Totals Custodies not participated TOTALS ........ 6/16/26 Agent General for Reparation Payments Bank of England Bank of France Bank of Japan Bank Pol ski Bank of the Republic of Colombia Banque Nationals Suisse Czechoslovak National Bank De Javasche Bank De Nederlandsche Bank National Bank of Belgium National Bank of Hungary Reichsbank Svoriges Riksbank ♦ TOTALS .............. Ag» ♦ 4,814,815.51 83,008,377.21 61,945,000.00 12. 400,OOP,00 ♦182,168,192.72 5.431.312,24 ♦187,599,504.96 72, 876,000.00 52,9M>.OM*9P ♦187,221,372.64 .So^.flOta ♦192,647,882.85 ♦ 6,007,392*29 33,459,616.62 2,738,000.00 -JJJUI&P jPQ ♦57,119,268.91 ^ 6.747.172.94 ♦63,866,441.85 TREASURY SECURITIES 6/16/26 V10/26 BILLS FREE BALANCES VlQ/26 49,479.20 1,791,368.14 65.80 500,082.78 131,713.26 976,053.47 99,567.96 100,057.97 250,618.05 250,151.03 855.20 99,720.70 1,906,491.40 199,729.84 3/1Q/26_______ yi^6 M M 26 ♦ 31,186.14 1,348,510.98 65.80 500,340.11 124,365.99 1,482,517.43 99,722.61 100,159-68 250,181.45 249,981.37 841.68 100,005.63 379,049.26 147,837.38 ♦ 0 0 4,532,220.62 0 0 14,442,272.03 0 7,883,227.25 14,346,079.71 0 191,726.79 13,693,791.44 0 0 0 0 4,533,841.45 0 0 1 4 ,7 4 9 ,5 9 8 .1 9 0 7 ,7 4 7 ,6 1 8 .3 1 14,165,214.41 0 5,658,175.53 36,153,929.27 0 ♦4,814,815.51 ♦55,oe9,417.84 ♦83,008,377.21 ♦ ♦ 0 EARMARKED GOLD 6/16/26 3/10/2-6 6,165,000.00 50,250,000.00 0 0 0 ♦ 4,945,000.00 45,000,000.00 0 0 0 0 0 1 ,50 0 ,0 0 0 .0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12,000,000.00 6,400,000.00 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 .0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,000,000.00 6,400,000.00 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 ,000 ,0 0 0 .0 0 0 ♦7 2 ,8 7 6 ,0 0 0 .0 0 ♦6 1 ,9 4 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0 ♦5 2 ,900 ,0 0 0 .0 0 ♦3 2 ,400 ,0 0 0 .0 0 0 0 0 * 0 4,461,000.00 0 12,000,000.00 0 ♦ 0 0 0 0 ♦ 0 FOREIGN LOANS ON GOLD IL Bar.k Pol ski Gf^ernl Bankers Acceptances Treasury Securities ♦ 0 1,143.50 Bk. of Japan ♦ 1,807.42 0 ♦7,500,000.00 Banque Natl .Suisse ♦ 4,538.85 0 Rate 4-1/2* Maturity Date Aug.25, 1926 Gold Collateral Amount Held by ♦10,595,596.16 Bank of England. TOTAL CO?"'15SI0NS EARNED From 3 /1 1 / 2 6 to 6/ 1 6 / 2 6 inclusive. De NederDe Javasche 3k. landsche Bk. N.3,.of Hunrtary ♦ 2,704•.77 0 ♦ 4,571.63 0 ♦ 56.99 978.92 Reichsbank ♦ 6,201.78 0 Sveri g•8 Riksbank ♦ 0 2,200 •34 Totals $ 1 9 ,8 8 1 .4 4 4.322.76 1 24,204.20 FEDERAL RESERVE SANK OF NEW YORK. REPORT OF THE SECRETARY TO THE OPEN MARKET INVESTMENT COMMITTEE MEETING AT WASHINGTON JUNE 21, 1926 The activities of the Open Market Investment Committee since its last meeting held in Washington on March 20, 1926, have been confined largely to transactions in the System Special Investment Account. Following the policy outlined at that meeting and in line with the Committee*s recommendation that "If developments in the money market indicate any need for doing so, the amount of securities in the System Account be increased to £300,000,000" which was approved by the Federal Reserve Board on March 25, 1926, with the stipulation by the latter that "no purchases shall be made after April 15, 1926, without further consideration," the Committee authorized the purchase from time to time of short-term Government securities in the market as a result of which the holdings in this account aggre gated £275,000,000 by April 15. Transactions during the June 15 tax period con sisted of the sale and redemption of securities aggregating £51,000,000 of which £36,500,000 represented maturing obligations, and £14,500,000 sales of other issues to foreign accounts to replace their June 15 maturities; also purchases • in replacement of approximately £45,500,000, as a result of which the holdings in the System Account at the present time aggregate £270,500,000. Special allotments of System investments were made during the period as follows: - on April 16, at the request of the Atlanta bank, their participa tion in Government securities held in the System Special Investment Account amounting to £15,998,500 was prorated to other reserve banks in exchange for a like amount of bankers acceptances in order that the Atlanta bank might maintain the proper gold reserve to deposit liability occasioned by large shipments of Federal reserve notes to meet a temporary currency condition at their Havana agency. As the Atlanta bank has not yet been in a position to take back these Volume 161 - Page 79 governments, the New York bank has from time to time replaced the bills which matured through the sale to date from its portfolio of approximately §12>000,000. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York also sold from its portfolio to the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis about §10,000,000 of bills on April 12 in order to be of assistance in building up their declining earning assets. The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on March 31, 1926, requested that they be relieved temporarily of participating in System purchases of bills and securities. In order to be of further assistance the Committee purchased from the St. Louis bank from March 31 to June 1, bills aggregating $10,650,000 which were redistributed to the other participating banks. By June 7, however, their improved position permitted them to resume their participation in both governments and bills. , The United States Treasury found it unnecessary to make any offering of Government securities on June 15 and similarly found it unnecessary to withdraw any funds from its government depositaries. The redemption of maturing obligations however, resulted in a temporary surplus of funds in the market and the Committee made temporary sales to various banks in New York during the period from June 12 to 18 of Government securities from the System Special Investment Account aggregat ing $25,000,000. The selling of these securities exerted a stabilizing influence on the money market so that call rates did not go below 3 1/2jot The heavy tax payments on and immediately following June 15 will result in the Treasury accumulating substantial balances in the Federal reserve banks, but this is to be taken care of in part by purchases of Third 4 1 / 4 Liberty Loan Bonds. Attached are the following exhibits: "A” Statement Showing Participation of Federal Reserve Banks in System Special Investment Account and Classifications of Issues Held in the Account by Maturities. 3 "B" Statement Showing Purchases of Bankers Acceptances from January 4 to June 16, 1926, and Amount Each Bank Has Received in Excess or Short of Its Pro Rata Share* "C" Statement Showing Earning Asset Holdings of All Reserve Banks June 16, 1926, as Compared with Previous Week, Also Weekly Average from December 31, 1925, to June 16, 1926, as Compared with Corres ponding Period of 1925* MDH Statement Showing Estimated Net Earnings Over Expense and Dividend Requirements for year 1926, of all Reserve Banks based on Figures Furnished Committee as of May 31, 1926; Also Estimated Charge-offs for Entire Year# E x h ib it "A” STATEMENT SHOWING PARTICIPATION BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS IN SYSTEM SPECIAL INVESTMENT ______ ACCOUNT AND CLASSIFICATION OF ISSUES HELD IN THE ACCOUNT BY MATURITIES______ _ Holdings B ogton Now York Philadelphia Cleveland $ 11,856,500 71, 359,500 6, 654,000 17,855,000 Richmond 7,870,500 Atlanta 0 Chicago 35,482,000 St. Louis 18,563,000 Minneapolis 12,069,500 Kansas City 24,338,500 Dallas 24,977,000 San Francisco 39,474.500 Totals 0270,500,000 Holdings Bv Maturities September 15, 1926 0 50,522,000 December 15, 1926 45,203,000 March 15, 1927 83,228,200 December 15, 1927 46,121,300 September 15, 1928 3rd L/L bonds 45,425,500 0270,500,000 E x h ib it "3" PURCHASES OF BANKERS ACCEPTANCES FROM JANUARY 4 TO JUNE 16, 1926 AND AMOUNT EACH BANK HAS RECEIVED IN EXCESS OR SHORT OF ITS PRO RATA SHARE _________ UNDER APPORTIONMENT PLAN PUT INTO EFFECT JANUARY 4, 1926________ Bills Acquired (Net) Bills Entitled to Acquire Bills Over Pro Rata Share Bills Short Pro Rata Share $ 51,505,000 $ 48,945,000 $2,560,000 $ 163,615,000 165,606,000 0 1,991,000 Philadelphia 55,567,000 55,937,000 0 370,000 Cleveland 68,699,000 69,918,000 0 1,219,000 Richmond 35,667,000 35,817,000 0 150,000 Atlanta 33,133,000 32,451,000 682,000 0 Chicago 98,373,000 97,887,000 486,000 0 St* Louis 31,808,000 31,898,000 0 90,000 Minneapolis 28,854,000 28,824,000 30,000 0 Kansas City 41,822,000 41,953,000 Dallas 23,912,000 28,824,000 88,000 0 San Francisco 63*036.000 62 t931.000 105.000 0 $700,991,000 $700,991,000 $3,951,000 Boston New York Totals 0 0 131,000 $3,951,000 Those figures reflect purchases allotted on basis of regular percentages but do not include inter-System sales from portfolio EXHIBIT -C•TATBfDtT SHOKMO W I H C ASSET HOLDINGS Of ALL FTISPAL p flk V E BANKS JUKI 16, 1926 COL?APED WITH PPEVIOUS WEEK AND JUNE IT , 1926; ALSO WEEKLY AVERAGE OF EARNING ASSETS FPQH m m 31«. 1926 TO JOKE 1 6 , 1926 AS COMPARED WITH COPPESPOMPmO PEPIOD 192S AND gfTIRI YEAR 1925____________________________ (000 Q aittsd) • B i ll s Dioeouatod • • - Juas 9 • 16 1 st Chaags B i l l s Purohaood • iifiSSL Nsv York Phi lads I dhi a Cleveland I$22,552 18,953 $114,013 67,066 H s .m 43,064 $43,+65 44,359 3,599- - Juas 9 • u Not Chan go 16 ,153 14,123 2 ,030- Government S s e u r itis s - Juas 9 • • It 18,465 21,808 3,343+ (Excluding 6ver* Nit Choi go ( draft s -fc e lu d ia g 4,061(toaporary salon) Total Saraiag Aossto " * • - Juas 9 * 16 57,808 55,454 2,354Not Chnsxs (Board Bsport) (Bxoludiag Over * Not Chsago (d ra fts -Ia e lu d ia g 11,758(tsnporary salon (Govt. S s s a r itls o ) Iwtkly Am rags of EaraUx Asosto Doe. 21, 1925 to Juas 16, 1926 eorrospoadiag poriod 1925 Not Chaags 852* Doe. 21, 1925 to Juas 16, 1926 l a t l r s ysar 1925 Nst Chaags Ctwaarlioa of Earalax Asssts Juas 16, 1926 Juas 1 7 , 1925 Nst Chaags 87,653 86,801 87,653 93,459 5,806- 55,454 67,550 12,096- 46,947- 65,898 44,070 21,828- 82,859 160,293 2,307- 13,108 14,755 1,647+ 24,215 26,830 76,434+ 2,615 + 12,971- 2,770- 266,072 272,484 85,617 87,362 594+ 23,263 22,328 935- Richmond $46,013 45,438 575- 11,173 11,647 4740 $35,232 36,610 1,378+ 24,919 27,939 3,020+ Chicago St. Lsuis Minneapolis *46 . m 43,555 $24,593 22,912 $8,940 4,149 2,756- 31,676 32,267 591+ 1,681- 4,987 6,432 1,445+ Kansas City $20,117 18,637 1,791- 11,822 10,713 1,480- 12,625 12,768 1,109- 143+ Dallas 8SB Francises $11,142 11,309 $33,114 27,278 167+ 4,164+ 10,792 10,974 23,405 25,143 182+ 1,738+ 2 iift l $ 448,163 393,330 54,833- 249,621 233,159 16,662- 38,554 48,907 9,925 8,286 3,847 1,849 10,353+ 1,639- 1,998- 6,948+ 6,261- 2,5 1 1 - 6,538- 8,606- 8,213- 63,927+ 1,997- 911- 1 ,998- 4,7 7 3 - 4,546- 1 ,3 9 6 - 4,288- 6,297- 4,565- +4 52,573- 106,481 116,397 67,556 65,768 65,594 67,398 60,535 67,483 139,673 144,333 30,114 23,853 60,055 53,520 20,720 18,209 39,789 33,251 39 ,251 33,811 72,859 64,948 35,564 26 ,958 57,792 49,504 52,721 44,508 109,820 107,447 418,308 482,235 1,128,578 1,119,426 7,412+ 1,745+ 9,916+ 1,788- 1,804+ 4,660+ 6,535- 5,440- 7,911- 8,288- 2,373- 9,152- 81,993- 3,640- 2,434- 1,060- 1,804+ 7,061- 4,820- 4 ,3 2 5 - 5,661- 5,979- 1,275+ * 125,652- 268,364 293,907 25,543- 268,364 287,132 18,769- 273,484 210,220 63,264+ 91,082 81,640 9,442+ 91,082 85,078 6,004+ 87,362 79,064 8,298+ 106 ,718 113,077 6,359- 106,718 113,904 7,186- 116,397 98,451 17,946+ 58,675 49,349 9,326+ 58,675 54,734 3,941+ 65,768 68,221 2,453- 74+017 34,106 39,911+ 74,017 56,548 17,469+ 67,398 56,854 10,544+ 149,378 132,452 16,926+ 149,378 138,045 11,333+ 144,333 126,526 17,807+ 61,854 41,100 18,754+ 61,854 55,936 5,918+ 53,520 56,063 2,543- 35,520 32,434 3,086+ 35,520 37,271 1,751- 33,811 40,552 66,634 48,122 52,902 39,036 18,712+ 13,866 + 66,834 57,293 52,902 49,024 9,541+ 64,948 53,546 6 ,741- 11,402+ SOMMARY POP SYSTEM a st Chongs based B i l l s discounted fa r m k B i l l s puretasssd fo r veek uovsmaent s e c u r itie s f o r vssk Total saraiag aossto f o r vssk Vsskly average of earning aossto Dee. 21, 1925 to Juas 16, 1926 sgaiast eorrospoadiag poriod 1925 Is s k ly average of saraiag aossto Dos. 21, 1925 to Jans 16, 1926 against s a t ir s year 1925 Comparison of sam iag asosto Jams 16, 1926 v ith Juno 17, 1925 $54,822 16,662 63,927+ 9,152- 110,731 98,218 12,513+ 110,731 109,866 3,878+ 49,504 47,662 865+ 107,447 102,487 1,842+ 4,960+ 1,163,728 1,052,242 111 ,486 + 1,163,728 1,138,291 25,437+ 1,119,426 1,007,196 112,230+ Not Chongs Excluding Orore d ra fts sad Iaslu d ia g Tsnporary Salos O o n . 5 sc. Systsn Account 52,573 125,652- 111,486 ♦ 25,437+ 112,230+ * Thoss fig u rss o f not ehsngss ia Government o o c u r itio s aad t o t a l saraiag asosto exclude $141,500,000 tsnporary advances to Trsasury aid iaeluds $25,000,000 Government s s e u r it is s sold tsn p o ra rily fro a Systsn Aeeount over tax p s ris d aid rspurehassd by Juas 18, 1926. E x h ib it "D" STATEMENT SHOTTING ESTIMATED NET EARNINGS OVER EXPENSE AND DIVIDEND REQUIRE MENTS FOR YEAR 1926 OF ALL RESERVE BANKS BASED ON FIGURES FURNISHED THS_ COMMITTEE AS OF MAY 31.1926; ALSO ESTIMATED CHARGE -OFFS FOR ENTIRE YEAR Estimated Net Earn ings in Excess of Expenses and D iv i dends (Excluding Charge-offs) December 31, 1926 (Based on Column l ) Net Earnings in Excess of Expenses and Dividends (Ex cluding Charge-offs) May 31, 1926 Boston 5 434,277 New York 644,154 Philadelphia $ 1 ,0 4 2 ,00 0 0 132,047 1 ,5 4 6 ,0 0 0 455,000 308,965 742,000 38,000 Cleveland 326,000 782,000 372,000 Richmond 844,000 586,000 105,000 Atlanta 551,854 1,3 2 4 ,00 0 525,327 Chicago 568,904 1,365,000 660,197 S t, Louis 295,731 710,000 233,591 Minneapolis 128,189 308,000 95,946 Kansas City 322,281 773,000 166,024 D allas 251,309 603,000 41,296 San Francisco 575.000 1 ,3 8 0 ,0 0 0 725.000 54, 650,664 O i l ,161,000 03,549,428 Totals . Estimated Charge-offs for Year 1926 COPY MINUTES OF JOINT MEETING OF THE OPEN MARKET INVESTMENT COMMITTEE AND THE FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD HELD IN WASHINGTON. MONDAY, JUNE 21. 1926 Present: Vice Governor P latt Mr. Hamlin Mr. James Members of the Board Acting Chairman Case Governor Harding Governor Fancher Governor McDougal Governor Norris Members of the Committee Under Secretary of the Treasury Winston Mr. Matteson, Secretary Mr, Eddy Mr# Goldenweisor The meeting was called to order at 11 a* m. by Vice Governor Platt# Messrs* Norris and Case entered at 1 1 :15 a , sw Mr* Case reviewed b r ie fly the operations of the Committee since the la s t meeting on March 20, 1926, the changes in the holdings of Government se c u r itie s in the Special Account and the a c t iv it ie s over the June 15 tax period* He stated that the principal occasion for ca llin g the meeting was the problem of dealing with the money market situ ation over the end of June, when holiday currency requirements would coincide with the accumulation of a Treasury balance in the Reserve Banks and ’'window dressing” by member banks for th eir June 30 reports# I t was also desired to discuss open market p olicy generally in the lig h t of recent changes in the credit situation* The Seoretary submitted and read his rep ort, also the report of the Chairman and the report on foreign accounts, with accompanying statements and data, a l l of which were duly accepted and ordered placed on f i l e . Under Secretary Winston joined the meeting at th is point* Mr# Winston stated that the Treasury would have surplus funds in the Federal Reserve Banks th is month amounting to about $ 7 5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 , a substantial part of which i t was proposed to use in the purchase and redemption of Third Volume 161 — Page 83 2 Liberty Loan Bonds and that he anticipated buying additional bonds for delivery the f i r s t of July when the Treasury would receive $40,000,000 from the proceeds of the recent sale of $60,000,000 Farm Loan Bonds# There followed an extended discussion of the various reports, with particular reference to the d e sir a b ility of a temporary purchase of Government secu rities by the Committee to prevent any serious disturbance to the monoy market over the end of the month, whereupon: On motion of Mr. Hamlin, duly seconded and carried, i t was VOTED that i t is expedient that the System holdings of Government se cu ritie s should be maintained for the present at the existing amount - approximately $275,000,000 - but with authority to make temporary purchases or s a le s , within a range of $ 5 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 , as may be deemed advisable by the Committee; any such purchases to be liquidated within a reasonable time as market conditions warrant# In connection with the report on foreign accounts, a recommendation was made by the Federal Reserve Bank of Mew York that the reports to the Com mittee be made as heretofore at each meeting but that the b rief reports to the Committee at the end of each month be discontinued for the reason that a l l of the information contained in these la tte r reports is included in the regular monthly statements of free balances, investments and ear-marked gold made to the governor of each bank# I t was voted that th is change be approved# On motion the meeting adjourned at 1 p# m» (Signed) W. B* Mattoson, Secretary# Subsequent to the adjournment of the meeting the members of the Open Market Investment Committee conferred with regard to a suggestion made by Governor McDougal of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago that Federal Reserve Banks bo permitted to extend the re purchase agreement practice with recognized dealers in Government se cu ritie s so as to include Third Liberty Loan Bonds, which bonds are now in the short-term area* This recommendation was unanimously agreed to by the members of the Committee with the understanding that it was to^be^ submitted by Mr* Case to the Federal Reserve Board for the la tte r s approval# K orn ; N o . l » t . Office Corresp aoAKo To-------- .— Hr. Hamlin ■ Date_ A pril 27, 1926 Subject:__ ' * 00 * ___ _________ . - ____1 Mr. Goldenweiser f /J 1—4496 ' J '> V Total reserve deposits of member banks on November 4 , 1925 were $ 2 ,2 4 6 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 . Of this amount about $300,000,000 were reserves against time deposits and the remainder was somewhat below v2 , 0 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 . this amount a l i t t l e Of le ss than one-third or about $600,000,000 may be estimated as representing reserves against deposits a risin g from security loans and a l i t t l e more than two-thirds or about $ 1 ,4 0 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 as re serves against deposits a risin g from commercial and agricu ltu ral loan s. These estimates are based on the d istrib u tio n of the loans of a l l member banks as reported in the June 30 c a l l . the estimates are quite rough. Volume 161 Page 142 I t is understood, of course, that o o r t 7BDEUL SS3Z37X SOAHD I M M iU to i' l f -3 Jtey 1 2 , 1 9 2 6 , _ . I wl*j> to scknowldd&e peur la t t e r o f May 10 con tain in g o b t a in i n q ^ ir ie a shewt aderol reserv e noto Issu es and reserv es a g a in st d e p o s its . & r a p ly la ^ I ahoald lik * t i n t to g iv e s p e c ific t t u m to your f c u T n a t i o n s jia toen to p resen t & b r i e f statem ent o f the method o f la m in g Federal reserve n o te s , which ®ay h elp to throw fu rth ar lig h t on th e m ib je c t. Torar l a s t q u e stio n , which we s h a ll answer f i r s t , 1st *|*ust a 35 p er M s t g o ld o r lftw fhl no ney reserve he h eld a g a in st ^deferred a v a ila b ilit y * d e p o sits? . D eferred a v a i la b ilit y item s are n ot considered a s a p a r t o f a re~ aorvo oank s d ep osit l i a b i l i t i e s fo r the reason th a t they rep resen t lta a s in p rocess o f c o lle c t io n a g a in st whtoh a member hank can not drew* Aa soon as .th e s e Items a re c o lle c te d the masher banks are given c re d it fo r them In th e ir a a p o a it accounts a ^ i a s t which the re se rv e hanks a re required to m in ta in a mininun reserve o f 55 p er cen t* Tour f i r s t qu estion 1st *D©qs the fe d e ra l reserve hank m y In te r e s t on a l l a e te s loaned to I t hy i t s agen t u n t i l retu rn ed , o r tp ld o r l& w fn l money a p aid to tb « agent fo r redemption when returned** 3He fe d e ra l reserve hanks do no pay in te r e s t on n o tes issu e d to than hy the fe d e r a l reserv e agen ts* B y °f S *?***1 RasMlrTa in te r e s t to he c h a r g e d ^ n o tes issu ed by tne ag<?nts to th e reserv e banks i s w ithin th e d is c r e tio n o f ths ;; ^ e r r s Board, and th e Board has never deemed i t d e s ir a b le U Impose an_ b l! < i y 2* ? o tel ^ * 8aede, Xnasmirti aa a l l su rp lu s earnings a r e turned r' r " ® Whited 3tetoB 'treasury in so y c a s e , the o n ly purpose o f a s p e c ia l in te r e s t d iargs fo r fe d e ra l reserve n o tes issu e d to fe d e r a l reserv e hanks hy Vy ^ T *®a ld he to a c t a s a p a r tic u la r r e s tr a in t upon th e issu e ?* Cdor&l reserve currency. i t i s th e view o f the Board th a t r e s tr a in t upon ° f y* U r a l m t m * ■ * « • * * * » whether in toe fo m o f d ep o sit : c r e d it o r o f fe d e r a l reserve n ote cu rren cy, can he a tta in e d th rou ^i changes in d iscount r a te s and through ©peo-raaifce t o p e ra tio n s, and that those fo m t o f re s t r a in m e n c o r r e c tly a d ju sted to c r e d it and b u sin ess co n d itio n s are adequate and e ffe c tiv e * Tour second q u estion 1st *Does th e fe d e r a l reserve honk m aintain a 40 p er cent gold reserve a g a in st those n o tes u n t il returned to th e a g e n t, o r g o ld or law fu l noney su b stitu te d ?* f h i l e a l l n o tes issu e d to the reserv e hank by the agen t m e t be f u l l y covered b y e i l g t o U c o lla t e r a l, no reserv e ia required 9a^ 1 no* aB * * * * * « • p aid o u t and thus put in to a c tu a l c ir c u la tio n u / . e reserve banks. A ^p ln st n o tes in a c tu a l c ir c u la tio n the fe d e r a l reserve basics are requ ired by to e A ct to M aintain a go ld reserve o f not le s s than 40 p er a sa t* 1 . , Tf a r ,? h,lr d ?n” tio “ " 0w » » > * • U «ukL ky » m o r a l r o s o r v . tank sod returned to I t I 7 n o fe a r F o to ra l rosen rs tank fo r r e d a c t io n Us r s is s a e d axeont a * « a o r ig in * ! lsa u * from l t a a «** tT * T e s. Dtan * n o t* i s r i t s i M l to * fe d e r a l reserve tonk vhoss n os* i t te a r s the d is p o s itio n mad* o f i t depends upon *ne co n d itio n o f the note* I f toe n ote i s f i t fb r c ir c u la tio n , i t i s added to th e reserv e baafc«s supply o f n o tes on hand aa exp lain ed below* I f i t i s u n f i t , i t i s p resen ted to toe fe d e ra l reserve agent fb r retirem ent* Volume L6l - Page 1 4 3 _ ' \V 5 5 k ?*** p*»e»SS*r to Ostein I t . I f v.is discounts hi# ante sta4 -a „t o»rr7 ia their S»al**, » i f a f c « f ^ y fa* ****** te j eotfi w ill M l&* the * • * « * ■ * B0tq* ** Uto *-'„ thereby reduced halo* 1*0*1 raqalresien »» * * * id e ^ S l^ e ^ * J T C S * to than their « 3« l « M ! « " • oon«id«rt*i» withdrawal of baiBaes with th® w ««n « rT i ! <***•***■ _ \ t*as^= to replenish 14a gjyraicty «Oj>P-/» «lf» • f -------- ,*«* the T t iw l »«•**• .. .^ .,, tv.# f slK1 9f M i n i ^ssfSXJW V tho m « o i «*. s r a s - * * ’? C S T i t - 'v ’ ^ p le ^ «d wUV tg* W d V J K J S f f S T S i . it U 0> ^ j r ^ U f 8«a notes s S i5 S " " Z S S w ..f-A s m S S t S sF j M r t f S t t m «* n » « ■ » *>' : rs * ■ w a v ® w t a g S t L 3$ br-mShss, roasrn M t** ! ” * ^ srJ5K “K,,T “ 15-“ ’Sr.’^T«™* if^ ~ 2 j2 S r " ml -n^4 been 1 wit Tar the federal roeam beak* tots S lre a to tto a .^ 'B 'vej bold rtthe lsm dw treserve a~sntr a^slnet the notes iUWWd V * :"* . ' to »2 .ia ,C P 7 t2O0, or *150,035,000 In ereeso o f the 10* * « * * * • * This collateral consisted of $1,414,141,000 to cold and .■,^ , < ^ 000 t o ^ i * ^ l » paper, l . , . , paper dtocceatei for ~<«*«r banks on* secsgteases ^ h w o d to « • " i*.^rfit In t>>« bt^aace sheet of the veferrs haiurf the 31,414,141,000 S T l J i r t ,^ n t t a r C S S the $40,892,000 of SOM hsld.by the the r a t i o n f«na with tt» Halted States ? r «sa r e r . is ™ *r> £ % ^ te d w m flKpit. -• .v- . • fO~**fc ysS.^ral wsetve nets®*" w»f» lw » on iT *y & m w m w tf 5 « * » 2 hop® thMi this - «* iMommMUm satisiooioxlly ^ n w tw Ysry troly ;rt3urs, (Blcasd) 0 * Us Crissingor, Oovwmor* Hon. I. f. l!c?aAdm?., Chs.iT?raasn, Knilctog »nd O isrene/ House o f Eopresentatises, Washiagton, % 0. clrc,lU /owr ir.«p.\iiPT« ^v L u - GGN n DE NT I A L for use of Federal Reserve Board only s. Federal Reserve D istrict on New York 4 425,000 5 2 1 ,0 0 0 123 - - - - 387 894 402 760 405,100,000 5 1 , 1 0 2 ,0 0 0 1 2 .6 - 310 861 ^ 5 0 ,3 3 3 .coo 5 3 ,159,000 1 1 .8 215 295 590 2 0 2 , 5 3 3 ,0 0 0 4 8 ,8 9 1 , 000 24.1 - 215 492 1 6 4 , 5 3 3 ,0 0 0 35,9 5 5 ,0 0 0 2 1 .9 1 ,1 7 6 ,4 0 0 ,0 0 0 1 5 7 , 9 2 2 ,0 0 0 1 3 .4 Philadelphia 4 2 , 3 1 0 ,0 0 0 3 ,1 5 3 ,0 0 0 136 Cleveland 4 3 6 2 ,0 0 0 5 1 6 ,0 0 0 143 19 2 ,9 3 7 ,0 0 0 4 ,0 7 9 ,0 0 0 139 Atl anta 8 849,000 9 7 6 ,0 0 0 115 Chicago 38 2 ,4 3 9 ,0 0 0 4 ,2 6 9 ,0 0 0 175 8 5 2 1 ,0 0 0 1 , 6 2 6 ,0 0 0 312 527 1.372 5 5 2 , 2 3 3 ,0 0 0 4 9 , 5 2 5 ,0 0 0 9 .0 St. Louis a 5 ,5 ^ 5 ,0 0 0 7 ,9 ^ 5 ,0 0 0 143 1 5 5 ,0 0 0 1 1 0 ,0 0 0 200 216 621 1 7 5 ,731* ,000 4 1 , 4 4 7 ,0 0 0 2 3 .6 >^|^peapoli s 11 4 4 3 , 000 634,000 143 - 123 810 1 04,767,000 4 ,8 8 5 ,0 0 0 4 .7 Kansas City 39 5 , 9 0 8 ,0 0 0 9 ,1 8 1 ,0 0 0 155 203 224 1 ,0 1 5 141,500,000 1 9 , 7 5 5 ,0 0 0 1 4 .0 3 2 7 6 ,0 0 0 38 b , 000 140 - 211 844 143,000,000 1 0 ,4 9 3 ,0 0 0 70 San Francisco ------- — ---------------- 13 TOTAL iMay I 926 l 6b Apr. 1926 140 May 1§25 200 1 , 7 1 7 ,0 0 0 2 , 3 1 0 ,0 0 0 135 2 3 8 b , 0 00 221 197 724 279,867.000 4 1 .7 7 1 .0 0 0 14.9 2 3 . 6 6 1 .0 0 0 34,641,000 2 4 .5 4 9 .0 0 0 34,5 8 8 ,0 0 0 2 3 .8 3 9 .0 0 0 3 9 ,128,000 •146 141 164 3 .0 4 6 .0 0 0 6 , 8 0 5 ,0 0 0 2 . 2 9 0 .0 0 0 4 ,8 0 2 ,0 0 0 3 ,9 2 2 ,0 0 0 1 2 , 5 1 6 ,0 0 0 223 12 209 3 ,282 3,155 3,209 9 ,4 0 0 9 ,4 1 0 9 .5 5 ^ 4 .0 8 8 .5 6 7 .0 0 0 5 48,066,000 4 .0 7 1 .1 6 6 .0 0 0 5 7 1 ,6 73,000 3 ,8 5 1 ,b53 . 000 4 5 1 .2 75.000 1 3 .4 1 4 .0 Richmond Dallas .r MEMBER BANKS BORROWING CONTINUOUSLY IN EXCESS OF CAPITAL AND SURPLUS LURING MAY, 1926, St. 5012 ALSO BORROWINGS OF ALL MEMBER BANKS AT THE END OF THE MONTH GROUP I - A ll banks borrowing GROUP II - Banks in Group I 1 continuously in excess of capital whose borrowings at tne end of month | GROUP III - A ll member banks in d is t r ic t and surplus ‘during; the month were at le a st twice capital & surplus 1 j oap iBorrowings 0 “ May 31 | Capi(Borrowings on May 31 jAccommo- ( CapiIBorrowines Mav 71 Num | tal Ratio to Num- j tal Ratio to | dated | Total tal 1 • |Ratio to ber | and Amount |capital & ber | and | Amount capital & | during | Num and | Amount |capital & | surplus surplus | surplus 1 surplus | month j ber surplus 1 1 STiml ns ---- ----- 1 2 $ 450,000 $ 6 7 1 ,0 0 0 149# 4 2 9 2 , 8 6 7 ,0 0 0 * 3 3 , 1 6 1 ,0 0 0 417 175 1 1 .3 FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD DIVISION OF BANK OPERATIONS JULY 7 , 1926.. : Volume 161 — Page 148 1 . - $400,000 - 2 - 3 1 0 ,0 0 0 - - - 3 - 1 , 5 8 5 ,OCO - 17 27 1 7 5 ,0 0 0 $ 8 0 8 ,COO - 6 6 5 ,0 0 0 - - 3 , 2 1 0 ,0 0 0 - 202 $ 319 ‘ • 1 1 .7 ' o rtn X rt. 1 * E /' 131. Office Correspor ence f e d e r a l reserve BOARD Date :;ay 8,. 1926. \ T o ____ E ■ . r. ' Subject:__ Smead The other day you asked me to give you an illustration hearing on the statement on page 84 of Hr. Goldenv/eiser's book on the Federal Reserve System, v/hich reads as follows : ,r,7hile an individual bank can increase its lending power through borrowing from a reserve bank by only slightly more than the amount it borrov/s, the lending power of the banking system increases by approximately 10 times that amount.” The paragraph in which this sentence appears brings out the fact that v/hile a bank need borrow only one dollar from the Federal reserve bank to support any actual increase of :$10 v/hich has already taken place in its deposit liabilities, it can not reverse the process and increase its deposit liabilities by 10 times the amount of any substantial addition to its reserve balance with the reserve bank v/hether obtained by borrowing or otherwise. This is because the larger portion of deposits so created would not long remain on deposit v/ith the borrowing bank but would be paid out to depositors in other banks in settlement for goods purchased or services rendered. To illustrate let us assume that bank A has obtained an available balance at its reserve bank of pi,000,000 by one of the following transactions: (1) deposit of currency, including imported gold, (2) deposit of checks on other banks in excess of the checks drawn on it and received from the reserve bank, (3) sale of acceptances or United States securities to the reserve bank, (4) sale of acceptances, commercial paper or securities in the open market, (5) borrowing from the reserve ban]?:. If bank A utilized this available reserve balance by extending loans to its customers for deposit credit, it would, of course, be able to increase its deposits by Ten times the amount of the available reserve, provided none of the deoosit credit so granted v/as withdrawn, v/hile if the credits granted were all withdrawn, as for example to make a oayment in another city, or to obtain currency, bank A would Lose the ;1,000,000 on deoosit with its reserve bank and would have no increase in its ov/n deposits. The bank’s actual experience would ordinarily fall somewhere between these two extremes and would vary according to conditions. In so far as bank A sustained a loss of reserves through the withdrawal of deposits so created other banks v/ould gain reserves correspondingly and would obviously in consequence, in the aggregate, have the same basis for additional expansion of-deposits as bank a v/ould have had if no withdrawal of deposits had occurred. The original balance of ^1,000,000 to the credit of bank A may therefore become widely diffused among many banks, and these banks in the aggregate can expand their de oosits by ten times the amount of this balance, if as has been assumed it is used solely as a reserve against deposits. In actual practice this would not be the case, however, as some of the banks to v/hich the reserve credit v/as transferred v/ould use it to liquidate indebtedness at the Federal reserve bank, some to obtain needed currency,and others, of course, to support additional deoosit credits granted to their customers. Volume 161 Page 150 • F o r m N o . 131. ^Office Correspondence To Mr. Hamlin rrom. Mr. Goldenweiser FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD I S, 1-Sy 1926 S ubjects - Supplementing m y memorandum on the e ffe c t of reestablish in g the old act on reserve position o f the reserve banks, I want to say that the volume o f Federal reserve notes outstanding on A pril [8, 1926 was $ 2 ,0 0 1 ,0 0 0 ,0 9 0 and that the- t o t a l amount o f discounted purchased paper was $715,0 0 0,0 0 0 , leaving $ 1 ,2 8 8 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 of that would have to be covered by gold . Notes that would be by gold under the o rigin al act would not be a l i a b i l i t y of W M L eral reserve banks and, th erefore, the note l i a b i l i t y which n i H . ,6 3 2 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 would be reduced to $374,0 0 0,0 0 0 . Volume 161 Page 151 FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD Mr. Hamlin Tne principal e ffe c t o f adopting the origin al provisions about note issues would be to count the gold with the Federal reserve agent as in reduction o f l i a b i l i t y on Federal reserve notes by the Federal reserve banks and thus to reduce the reserve o f the bank and th eir l i a b i l i t y on Federal reserve notes by that amount. The follow ing tab le shows the e f f e c t that the change would have on the reserves, l i a b i l i t i e s , and reserve percentage o f the reserve banks. In making the calcu la tion i t was con sidered that the entire amount o f discounted and purchased paper was used as a basis fo r note issues and that gold was impounded witn the agent only fo r the excess o f Federal reserve notes above — gEEV£ POSITION OF FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS ON APRIL o f d o lla rs) Actual As under o rig in a l F.R. act F o r m N o . 131. • FEDERAL RESERVE Office CorrespoiWence T o “ *> _______ Mr • Hamlin From......... ...Hr. \ ^ g . M ay17>19g6 Subject:________________________ i___________ , Goldenweispr_______ nr3 ^ /* * C -—ws . ^ (_) i r> ■ : This is in response to your request o f l,lay 15 that we v e r ify in a general way a statement attributed to Governor Strong to the e f f e c t : * , V ^ / "That prices on the New York Stock Exchange during the recent speculative boom were not far out o f lin e with prices before the w ar." The records show that fo r the 50 $t^cks used by the New York Times the average price at the peak of the market la s t February was about $158 per share, comparable with about $86 per share in September, 1912, which was the highest figure during the four years 1911-1914. According to th is comparison, stocks were in February about 49 per cent higher than before the war. V Wholesale prices fo r commodities in February were 55 per cent higher than in 1913. . Governor Strong’ s statement, I understand, was intended to c a ll atten tion to the fa c t that stock p rice s, r e la tiv e ly speaking, are no higher than commodity p rice s, when comparison is made with prices prevailing before the war. I do not th ink that th is s ig n ifie s , however, that stock prices were on a reasonable le v e l, since the proper measure of security prices I s the earn ing power of corporations rather than the prevailing le v e l of commodity p rice s. Volume 161 Page 1^2 - . o r w i M o . l.'Ji. Office Correspt # ence T o ___________ Mr* Hamlin From__ FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD Subject:.. Mr* Goldenweiser ..... '— ‘*406 I am pleased to transmit herewith the attached statement which gives the information requested in your memorandum of May 4. Volume 161 Page 153 DD : : Production Prices :(1919=100) (1915=100) : : Net gold : U. S. imports or : Discounts : secu rities Acceptances: exports 1 / : 2/ : 2/ __ - 2 / : Total earning assets : : ?/ : New York discount rate 1920: June Dec. 107 90 243 179 - $ 70,792,683 + 165,769,748 2 ,4 6 1 ,02 2 2 ,7 3 0 ,3 6 0 347,445 539,140 401,184 244,001 3 ,2 0 9 ,6 5 0 3 ,3 13,502 7 7 1921: June Dec. 77 83 142 140 +539,252,155 -3 2 8 ,1 2 5 ,9 1 6 1 ,8 1 7 ,7 4 9 1 ,1 8 5 ,4 3 2 302,710 226,005 54,716 105,499 2,1 7 5 ,17 5 1 ,5 1 7 ,1 9 4 6 4 1 /2 94 + 112,868,226 * 125,426,665 438,789 663,562 592,347 579,763 155,181 261,077 1 ,1 6 6 ,6 1 7 1 ,5 0 4 ,4 3 3 4 4 1922: June Dec. 116 150 156 1925: June Dec. 122 113) 153 151 -+ 109,640,912 -1 8 4 ,4 3 1 ,4 8 5 744,306 774,735 155,133 103,099 225,396 322,451 1 ,1 2 4 ,8 9 1 1 ,2 0 0 ,55 1 4 1 /2 4 1 /2 1924: June Dec. 94 117 145 157 +- 222,387,212 - 35,685,395 574,592 301,716' 415,970 554,587 51,125 356,613 842,963 1,2 2 0 ,70 6 3 1 /2 3 1925: June Dec. 110 121 157 156 - 150,269,955 - 15 ,9 0 3 ,5 3 7 437,621 690,896 345,707 558,412 264,589 367,864 1 ,0 6 0 ,6 6 7 1 ,4 2 8 ,7 5 2 5 1 /2 3 1 /2 370,754 254,409 1 ,1 5 5 ,7 3 9 5 1 /2 y- ‘/« 1926: 123 (Mar.) -£52' (Ear >77,016,625 y 2/ 3/ 537,005 T or the preceding six months; 1926, January to March. Rep o r t d a ily average holdings (in thousands o f d o lla rs) fo r June and December 1920-1925 and for A p ril, 1926. In e ffe c t June 30 and December 51, 1920-1925 and on A pril 30, 1926. s/ per cent coU a* ./3 , SUMABY OF BUSINESS AND CREDIT DEVELOPMENTS SINCE 1920 In the early part o f 1920 business expansion which had been rapid dur ing and immediately follow ing the war, came to an end and there was clear evidence o f an approaching turn in economic conditions. The volume of pro duction began to decline early in the year; transportation f a c i l i t i e s were badly congested and there was evidence o f speculation and expansion along unsound lin e s . A fter May there was a precipitous f a l l o f p rice s, and while the t o t a l volume o f cred it continued to grow u n til the closing months o f the year, there was a good deal of liq u id a tio n in some parts o f the country. During the larger part o f the year gold was leaving the country in considerable amounts, being withdrawn by South American and Oriental countries, and the reserves of the reserve banks were approaching the le g a l minimum. Discount rates were advanced at a l l o f the banks and in many banks were as high as 7 per cen t. The follow ing year, 1921, was a year of in d u stria l and business re cession and credit liq u id a tio n ; prices continued to f a l l ra p id ly ; there was a large importation o f gold and the volume o f reserve bank credit in use was declining both as the r e su lt o f the return flow o f currency no longer needed in circu la tio n and the deposit o f imported gold by member banks. The Federal reserve system throughout the year was gradually reducing discount r a te s . Toward the la t t e r part o f the year in d u stria l a c t iv it y began to show signs of r e v iv a l. Early in 1922 th is upturn became quite general throughout the d iffe r e n t lin e s of business a c t iv ity and trade; production continued to increase; prices began to recover from the low point reached in January, and Page 2. credit liq u id a tio n also came to a c lo se . gold imports and W k There was a large volume of reserve bank credit in use declined fo r the year as a whole, although i t showed considerable increase during the la s t h a lf of the year. Discount rates continued downward and at the end o f the year they were 4 1 / 2 per cent in roost o f the banks and 4 per cent at New York, Boston, and San Francisco. The year 1925 began with evidences o f 'PBSy rapid business expansion; prices >.rere advancing and the volume of commercial loans was a lso growing considerably; there was some evidence of re v iv a l of speculative a c t iv ity in commodity markets and in industry. The expansion, however, did not con- nnd a fte r the spring there was a d e fin ite checic followed by recession botn in the volume of business a c t iv ity and in the movement of p r ic e s. Mem ber bank and reserve bank cred it remained f a i r l y constant throughout the year, gold imports, 7/nich continued, were la rg e ly absorbed by the growing demand fo r money in c ir c u la tio n . Reserve bank p o licy during the year was expressed by an advance of the rates in New York, Boston, and San Francisco from 4 to 4 1 / 'd. per cent early in the year and a sale of Government securi t ie s in large volume throughout the larger part o f the year. This was the f i r s t year in which open market p olicy was d e fin ite ly formulated and placed under the supervision o f a committee o f governors in cooperation with the Federal Reserve Board. Industry and traoe in 1924 continued to decline and in the summer of ts a t ^ear were at a r e la t iv e ly lovr le v e l. was a large volume of gold imports. Prices were a lso receding; there With small demand fo r commercial credit Page 3. and an abundance of funds arising from gold imports, there was a concen tration of bank funds in the financial centers, where they were used largely for investment and for loans on securities. This was the period during which bank credit increased very rapidly, and particularly the credit used in the purchase and carrying of securities. ------------------ --------------------------------------- - 7 " In view of the inactive condition of ' 4 business and the low money rates, Federal reserve s-ysf&e?!! reduced iJJs rates all along the line by a series of steps}and at the end of the year the rate in New York as 3 per cent, and in the other banks varied between 3 l/2 and 4 per cent. During the year the Federal reserve banks also purchased a con siderable volume of securities with the view to maintaining some contact with the market and having assets at their disposal that could be sold in case un desirable speculative activity should develop. The course of bueiness in 1925 was fairly parallel to that in 1924 with the difference that the fluctuations *®re not as wide and that the level of business at the beginning of the year was considerably higher than a year earlier. In the early part of the year there was a general recession^which was arrested by the middle of the year and the last oart showed- a revival of business. Bank credit continued to grow rapidly and also continued to be largely used for loans on securities. In contrast to the year before, however, the funds used were not so much funds of banks in the money markets as of the banks in the interior of the country. a considerable volume of gold exports. tended generally downward. For the first time since 1920 there was After the spring of the year prices Federal reserve policy during the year was ex pressed by the sale of $250,000,000 of securities in the early months of the year and by advances in discount r a te s . The rate at the New York bank was raised from 5 to 3 l / 2 per cent in February and at the Boston, P h ila -' delphia, Cleveland, and San Francisco banks i t was raised from 5 l / 2 to 4 per cent in November. A further rate advance in New York was contemplated but was postponed u n til the turn o f the year, ch ie fly because i t was deemed inadvisable to increase the cost of credit to commerce and industry, at the time of the peak of the autumn demand fo r credit for marketing purposes. It was also considered that New York banks, were not increasing th e ir own a.oans or th e ir borrowings at the reserve banks and that higher rates m the New YorK ___ 1.^4. +.n -result in additional gold imports that would enable loans without resorting to the reserve banks. 1926 trade and industry continued very a c tiv e , there was a continued recession in prices of commodities. Gold was moving into th is country, c h ie fly from Canada and money rates were ease. The discount rate of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, which had been raised to 4 per cent on January 8, was reduced to 3 l / 2 per cent on A pril 13.