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Nonagricultural Payroll Employment - Alaska, Oregon, Washington 5.0 OR 4.0 3.0 WA U.S. 2.0 1.0 AK 0.0 -1.0 Jun-93 Jun-94 Jun-95 Jun-96 Jun-97 Non-Residential Construction Awards - Alaska, Oregon, Washington 1992=100 375 325 OR 275 225 175 WA 125 AK 75 25 Jun-93 Jun-94 Jun-95 Data are seasonally adjusted three month moving averages Jun-96 Jun-97 Residential Construction Permits - Alaska, Oregon, Washington 1992=100 325 275 AK 225 175 OR 125 WA 75 25 Jun-93 Jun-94 Jun-95 Data are seasonally adjusted three month moving averages Residential Construction Permits Jun-96 Jun-97 Employment - Alaska, Oregon, Washington Number Employed (thousands) Jun-97 May-97 Jun-96 Alaska Total Mining Construction Manufacturing T.C.P.U. Trade F.I.R.E. Services Government Annualized % Change From Previous Month % Change From Previous Year 264.8 9.3 12.6 15.4 23.4 55.8 11.8 64.2 72.3 265.4 9.3 12.5 16.6 23.8 55.2 11.7 64.5 71.8 263.6 9.9 12.5 15.9 23.0 54.9 11.7 62.3 73.4 -2.7 0.0 10.0 -59.4 -18.4 13.9 10.8 -5.4 8.7 0.5 -6.1 0.8 -3.1 1.7 1.6 0.9 3.0 -1.5 1525.8 1.8 1523.5 1.8 1470.1 1.8 1.8 0.0 3.8 0.0 Construction Manufacturing T.C.P.U. Trade F.I.R.E. 85.3 243.9 74.1 376.0 94.5 83.5 245.5 73.8 375.0 94.2 77.8 233.7 72.6 364.5 90.6 29.2 -7.5 5.0 3.2 3.9 9.6 4.4 2.1 3.2 4.3 Services Government 401.6 248.6 401.1 248.6 383.5 245.6 1.5 0.0 4.7 1.2 Oregon Total Mining Number Employed (thousands) Jun-97 May-97 Jun-96 Washington Total Mining Construction Manufacturing T.C.P.U. Trade F.I.R.E. Services Government 2497.8 3.6 133.0 366.7 125.8 605.3 126.1 677.6 459.7 2485.0 3.5 132.5 364.4 125.8 602.9 126.3 674.7 454.9 Annualized % Change From Previous Month % Change From Previous Year 2401.4 3.4 126.5 340.6 122.7 588.1 123.6 647.7 448.8 6.4 40.2 4.6 7.8 0.0 4.9 -1.9 5.3 13.4 4.0 5.9 5.1 7.7 2.5 2.9 2.0 4.6 2.4 Jun-97 May-97 Apr-97 Jun-96 May-96 Unemployment Rates (%) Alaska Oregon Washington 6.9 5.1 4.8 6.9 5.0 4.8 7.9 5.6 5.1 7.8 5.9 6.6 7.5 5.9 6.7 U.S. 5.0 4.8 4.9 5.3 5.5 Unemployment rates are from the household employment survey, all other data are for nonagricultural payroll employment. All data are seasonally adjusted. Nonagricultural Payroll Employment - Arizona, California, Hawaii 8.0 7.0 6.0 AZ 5.0 4.0 CA 3.0 2.0 U.S. 1.0 0.0 HI -1.0 -2.0 Jun-93 Jun-94 Jun-95 Jun-96 Jun-97 Non-Residential Construction Awards - Arizona, California, Hawaii 1992=100 275 250 225 AZ 200 175 150 CA 125 100 75 HI 50 25 Jun-93 Jun-94 Jun-95 Data are seasonally adjusted three month moving averages Jun-96 Jun-97 Residential Construction Permits - Arizona, California, Hawaii 1992=100 225 AZ 200 175 150 125 CA 100 HI 75 50 25 Jun-93 Jun-94 Jun-95 Data are seasonally adjusted three month moving averages Jun-96 Jun-97 Employment - Arizona, California, Hawaii Number Employed (thousands) Jun-97 Arizona Total Mining Construction Manufacturing T.C.P.U. Trade F.I.R.E. Services Government 1979.8 14.9 132.3 204.9 95.3 483.9 123.4 593.6 331.5 Jul-97 California Total Mining Construction May-97 1972.1 14.8 132.0 203.9 95.7 484.7 122.1 590.4 328.5 Jun-97 Jun-96 1886.8 14.3 126.0 199.4 91.6 463.9 114.9 559.0 317.7 Annualized % % Change Change From From Previous Previous Month Year 4.8 8.4 2.8 6.0 -4.9 -2.0 13.6 6.7 11.5 4.9 4.2 5.0 2.8 4.0 4.3 7.4 6.2 4.3 2.4 8.5 13.6 2.8 0.3 9.5 Annualized % Change From Previous Month % Change From Previous Year 529.3 . 23.7 16.7 40.7 135.2 36.9 165.6 110.5 -0.5 . 5.8 -7.1 -8.4 -3.5 3.4 -4.2 11.5 -0.3 . -9.7 -2.4 0.0 -0.4 -3.0 1.4 0.5 Jun-97 May-97 Apr-97 Jun-96 May-96 5.7 6.4 5.3 5.6 6.3 5.5 Jul-96 Jun-96 7.1 7.2 Number Employed (thousands) Jun-97 May-97 Jun-96 Hawaii Total Mining Construction Manufacturing T.C.P.U. Trade F.I.R.E. Services Government 527.9 . 21.4 16.3 40.7 134.6 35.8 168.0 111.1 528.1 . 21.3 16.4 41.0 135.0 35.7 168.6 110.1 Jul-96 Unemployment Rates (%) 13154.5 13128.5 12793.0 29.4 29.2 29.3 559.2 553.3 510.8 Manufacturing T.C.P.U. Trade F.I.R.E. Services 1897.7 660.5 3026.8 736.3 4095.7 1895.8 660.5 3025.1 734.3 4082.1 1856.6 643.0 2975.7 734.7 3930.6 1.2 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.1 2.2 2.7 1.7 0.2 4.2 Arizona Hawaii U.S. Government 2148.9 2148.2 2112.3 0.4 1.7 California 4.3 6.2 5.0 Jul-97 6.1 4.7 5.9 4.8 4.8 5.9 4.9 Jun-97 May-97 6.3 6.4 Unemployment rates are from the household employment survey, all other data are for nonagricultural payroll employment. All data are seasonally adjusted. Figure 1 California General Fund Revenue Growth, Adjusted for Inflation (year-over-year percentage change) Percent 12.0 Historical 10.0 As shown in recent Governor’s Budget 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 97-98 96-97 95-96 94-95 93-94 92-93 91-92 90-91 89-90 88-89 87-88 86-87 85-86 84-85 83-84 82-83 81-82 80-81 -6.0 Figure 2 California General Fund Operating Surplus or Deficit (Billions of $) Billions of $ 2.5 Historical 2.0 As shown in recent Governor’s Budget 1.5 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.5 0 0.0 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.7 -1.0 -0.7 -0.8 -1.5 -1.3 -2.0 97-98 96-97 95-96 94-95 93-94 92-93 91-92 90-91 89-90 88-89 87-88 86-87 85-86 84-85 83-84 82-83 -2.1 81-82 -2.1 80-81 -2.5 Percent Figure 3 California Personal Income & Taxable Sales (year-over-year percentage change) 8.0 Personal Income 6.0 4.0 Taxable Sales 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 (through 97:Q1) Figure 4 California Median Home Prices Thousands of $ 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 (through June) Nonagricultural Payroll Employment - Idaho, Nevada, Utah 12.0 11.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 NV 7.0 6.0 5.0 UT 4.0 ID 3.0 2.0 U.S. 1.0 0.0 Jun-93 Jun-94 Jun-95 Jun-96 Jun-97 Non-Residential Construction Awards - Idaho, Nevada, Utah 1992=100 1050 850 NV 650 450 UT 250 ID 50 Jun-93 Jun-94 Jun-95 Data are seasonally adjusted three month moving averages Jun-96 Jun-97 Residential Construction Permits - Idaho, Nevada, Utah 1992=100 300 250 NV 200 150 UT ID 100 50 Jun-93 Jun-94 Jun-95 Data are seasonally adjusted three month moving averages Jun-96 Jun-97 Employment - Idaho, Nevada, Utah Annualized % Change From Previous Jun-96 Month Number Employed (thousands) Jun-97 May-97 % Change From Previous Year Idaho Total Mining Construction Manufacturing T.C.P.U. Trade F.I.R.E. Services Government 502.8 3.2 33.6 73.7 23.7 127.3 25.3 118.1 97.9 503.5 3.1 33.0 73.7 23.5 128.5 25.5 118.1 98.1 491.5 3.1 30.7 72.8 23.1 124.8 25.2 115.6 96.2 -1.7 46.4 24.1 0.0 10.7 -10.6 -9.0 0.0 -2.4 2.3 3.2 9.4 1.2 2.6 2.0 0.4 2.2 1.8 Nevada Total Mining Construction 898.2 15.0 84.3 890.6 15.1 83.4 840.0 14.6 73.4 10.7 -7.7 13.7 6.9 2.7 14.9 39.9 44.3 181.4 39.3 385.0 109.0 39.9 44.2 180.4 39.2 382.8 105.6 38.5 42.2 168.7 37.7 365.7 99.2 0.0 2.7 6.9 3.1 7.1 46.3 3.6 5.0 7.5 4.2 5.3 9.9 Manufacturing T.C.P.U. Trade F.I.R.E. Services Government Annualized % Change From Previous Month Jun-97 May-97 Jun-96 Number Employed (thousands) Utah Total Mining Construction Manufacturing T.C.P.U. Trade F.I.R.E. Services Government 994.7 7.9 65.4 131.9 56.4 240.2 51.7 271.7 169.5 989.2 7.9 63.9 131.4 56.4 239.5 51.8 269.4 168.9 % Change From Previous Year 953.5 7.9 60.9 129.4 54.0 229.9 50.7 254.5 166.2 6.9 0.0 32.1 4.7 0.0 3.6 -2.3 10.7 4.3 4.3 0.0 7.4 1.9 4.4 4.5 2.0 6.8 2.0 Jun-97 May-97 Apr-97 Jun-96 May-96 Unemployment Rates (%) Idaho Nevada Utah 4.9 4.5 3.1 4.8 4.4 3.0 5.1 4.5 3.0 5.2 5.5 3.5 5.2 5.4 3.5 U.S. 5.0 4.8 4.9 5.3 5.5 Unemployment rates are from the household employment survey, all other data are for nonagricultural payroll employment. All data are seasonally adjusted. District Employment by Industry Number Employed (thousands) Total Mining Construction Manufacturing Transportation Trade F.I.R.E. Services Government Jun-97 May-97 22,319.2 84.9 1,119.6 2,986.9 1,144.4 5,229.8 1,242.6 6,763.4 3,747.6 22,264.7 84.9 1,114.5 2,982.8 1,143.9 5,224.0 1,239.3 6,737.6 3,737.7 Seasonally adjusted payroll employment data Annualized % % Change Change From From Previous Previous Jun-96 Month Year 21,594.1 84.8 1,036.5 2,900.5 1,110.5 5,102.4 1,223.8 6,465.2 3,670.4 3.0 0.0 5.6 1.7 0.5 1.3 3.2 4.7 3.2 3.4 0.1 8.0 3.0 3.1 2.5 1.5 4.6 2.1 District Manufacturing and Construction Indicators Jun-97 Aerospace Employment (1992=100) Electronics Employment (1992=100) Americas Semiconductor Billings ($ Million) Non-Residential Awards (1992=100) Residential Permits (Thousands) Western Housing Starts (Thousands) May-97 Jun-96 % Change From Previous Month % Change From Previous Year 68.3 67.7 62.5 0.0 9.4 115.3 115.3 111.7 0.0 3.2 3890.0 3360.0 -1.5 14.0 3830.0 154.3 128.3 166.1 20.3 -7.1 23.9 24.1 23.8 -1.0 0.3 33.6 33.5 35.1 0.3 -4.3 District Employment by State Jun-96 Annualized % Change From Previous Month Number Employed (thousands) Jun-97 Alaska Arizona California May-97 % Change From Previous Year 264.8 265.4 263.6 -2.7 0.5 1,979.8 1,972.1 1,886.8 4.8 4.9 13,127.4 13,107.3 12,757.9 1.9 2.9 Hawaii 527.9 528.1 529.3 -0.5 -0.3 Idaho 502.8 503.5 491.5 -1.7 2.3 Nevada 898.2 890.6 840.0 10.7 6.9 Oregon 1,525.8 1,523.5 1,470.1 1.8 3.8 994.7 989.2 953.5 6.9 4.3 2,497.8 2,485.0 2,401.4 6.4 4.0 Utah Washington District U.S. 22,319.2 22,264.7 21,594.1 3.0 3.4 122,054.0 121,837.0 119,516.0 2.2 2.1 Seasonally adjusted payroll employment data Table 1: Proposed 1997-1998 California Budget (Billions of $) Revenues Amount Expenditures Amount Personal Income Tax 25.5 K-12 Education 22.1 Sales & Use Tax 17.2 Higher Education 6.6 Bank & Corp. Tax 5.9 Health & Welfare 14.5 Other 3.4 Other 8.5 Total 52.0 Total 51.7 Nonagricultural Payroll Employment - U.S., Twelfth District 4.0 3.5 Twelfth District 3.0 2.5 2.0 U.S. 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Jun-93 Jun-94 Jun-95 Jun-96 Jun-97