Full text of U.S. Financial Data : Week Ending: October 21, 1970
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/ U.S. fUlRflCIRL ORTH ^frreo LIBRARY Week ending: October 21 r 1970 The nation's money stock, consisting of demand deposits and currency in the hands of the public, has increased at a 5 per cent annual rate since the four weeks ending March 11, a period of seven months, compared with a slower 2.7 per cent rate in 1969 (page 5). Monetary growth over a period of several months has usually exert ed considerable influence on the growth of total spending, and the recent more rapid monetary expansion might be expected to stimulate the rate of growth of total spend ing in the near future (see "A Monetarist Model for Economic Stabilization" in the April 1970 Review of this Bank). Other monetary aggregates which largely deter mine the growth of money have continued to increase at relatively rapid rates. Total member bank reserves have increased at an 11 per cent annual rate in the past seven months, compared with little change in 1969 (page 3). Federal Reserve credit, the aggregate over which the Federal Reserve System has the most direct control, has increased over the past seven months at an 8 per cent rate, compared with a 3 per cent rate in 1969 (page 2). http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The total volume of commercial paper outstand ing (short-term unsecured promissory notes issued by busi ness firms and sold to investors either directly or through dealers) declined from $39 billion in June to an average of $35 billion in September (page 6). By comparison, this class of security more than doubled from May 1968 to May 1970. Bank-related paper accounted for about twothirds of the total decline. The new reserve requirement placed on funds obtained by member banks through their affiliates makes this channel of attracting funds much less attractive than formerly. The volume of large certificates of deposit at large commercial banks continued to rise sharply in September (page 6). These deposits increased from $10.6 billion in January to $21.6 billion in September, and have increased $8 billion in the last three months alone. In contrast, CD's declined about $13 billion from December 1968 to January 1970. The growth of CD's has been due largely to the decline of competitive market rates relative to maximum ceiling rates. This changing relationship has been brought about by declining market interest rates and the raising of Regulation Q ceilings in January and their complete suspension on short-term CD's in June. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Released: October 23,1970 ill MONETARY BASE FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT 12 Averages of Daily Figures s of Dollars 84 83 Monetary Base Aug. 19, 1970 July 22, 1970 June 24, 1970 May 20, 1970 Apr. 22, 1970 Mar. 18, 1970 82 81 84 Credit + <,.3 + /<2.V 9-4.7 V-4.7 f¥ 7 -hiJ f-7. A- Monetary Base y-^./ m h1957-1969 80 79 Billions of Dollars Annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending October 21, 1970 from four weeks ending: . Uses of the monetary base are member bank ■ reserves and currency held by the public ' and nonmember banks, adjusted for reserve requirement changes and shifts in deposits. For a description of the base see the August ■ 1968 Review of this bank. 78 77 Federal Reserve Credit 76 67 Monetary. F.R. Credit 66 8 lleBi 8*3.3. ,8isi <? 65 8iZh? 8lle£C t/uz ^A'Vv 64 Latest data plotted week ending: October 21, 0 l. 1970 i i i i i ri i i i i i r i i r l m ITT ITT l http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6 20 Aug. 3 17 Sept. 1 1969 15 29 Oct. 12 26 Nov. 10 24 Dec. ‘ 7 21 Jan. Defined to include holdings of securities loans, float, and 'bther" as sets, adjusted for reserve requirement changes and changes in requirements due to shifts in deposits among classes of banks. i—i—i—i _i__i__L4 18 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 .22 5 19 2 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June , July Aug. 1970 Wlibl lc83C*j If&CiS' unug) UGiZc U155S- 47*?? Ct# &>%0 16 30 14 28 11 25 Sept. Oct. Nov. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1971 RESERVES All Member Banks in the Nation Averages of Daily Figures Billions of Dollars 30.5 | | | I | Billions of Dollars 30.5 Seasonally Adjusted Annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending October 21, 1970 from four weeks ending Aug. July 'June May 19, 22, 24, 20, Mar 30.0 1970 1970 1970 1970 -f /A / 18, 1970 29.5 -h 9.J 29.0 28.5 28.0 27.5 27.0 26.5 . TOTAL RESERVES / ilc 48,8 ' 26.0 * Breaks in series due to changes in Regulations M and D effective October 25.5 25.5 Current data appear in the Board's H.9 release. 25.0 Latest data plotted week ending: October 21, 1970 9 23 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6 20 3 17 1 1969 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 24.5 4 18 4 18 1 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 July June 1970 5 19 Aug 2 16 30 14 28 11 25 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 23 6 20 1971 0 Bi 1 174 ons of Dolla: I I I I I II I I 1 I 173 I 2/11/70 DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted r i i i i ii i i i i ii i i i i n i ii i i i i i Billions of Dollars 174 Annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 3/11/70 4/15/70 5/13/70 6/17/70 7/15/70 8/12/70 173 172 171 170 144 168 167 166 172 to average of four weeks ending: 4/15/70 5/13/70 6/17/70 7/15/70 8/12/70 9/16/70 10/14/70 171 + 14.5 + 6.0 + 5.5 + 4.5 + 3.9 + 5.4 4.1 170 + 8.2 + 6.8 + 5.3 + 4.4 + 6.0 4-4.5- — - 3.4 - 2.0 - 1.3 4- 1.7 4D,b 4- 2.3 4- 1.8 + 4.8 4- X 4 169 168 4- 0.8 4- 5.1 4-S.T ! + 7.3 167 4-3.3 -H'U 166 165 4165 164 164 163 163 162 162 161 161 160 160 159 159 158 A A A 157 \ -\ 156 1 L J L \ r t T r - 7i \ j 158 r \ 157 ' 5(o.-!T 156 0 ., 155 155 154 154 153 - / q 7 -0 153 151 n /j&y Z57.9 jst. y 150 * 1 U> t£f-t IS1.+ 158.8 150 3o ize.v 1w 15 8.8 \E\c.5 148 152 J S /A 149 <33 148 OCT 147 151 149 147 146 146 145 145 Current data appear in the Board's H.6 release. 144 0: 152 Latest data plotted week ending: October i4, 1970_ I I » I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I j i : ! I I M 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 4 18 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 1969 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 144 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 June July May 1970 5 19 Aug. 16 30 Sept. 14 28 Oct. 11 25 Nov. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 23 Dec. 6 20 Jan. 1971 0 llio: 219 MONEY STOCK Averages of Daily Figures Seasonally Adjusted of Dollars TTTTTTT 218 Billions of I I II I |. IJ. J.LULLL LI J I l I I l 1 I M r I I I I I l I I I I Annual rates of change, average of four weeks ending: 2/11/70 3/11/70 4/15/70 5/13/70 6/17/70 7/15/70 8/12/70' 217 216 215 214 213 212 211 to average of four weeks ending: 4/15/70 5/13/70 6/17/70 7/15/70 8/12/70 9/16/70 10/14/70 215 + 12.9 + 6.6 + 6.3 + 5.4 + 4.8 + 5.8 + 4.3 + 8.7 + 7.6 + 6.2 + 5.3 + 63 + -5-.0 214 + + + 4- 0.3 0.4 0.7 2.8 1.*3 + 3.5 + 3.0 + 5.0 +-3.4 4- 1.8 4- 4.9 + A.‘4 4- 6.5 4-3.3 213 212 4-4,/ 211 210 210 209 209 208 208 207 207 206 206 AOS. 205 205 204 204 203 203 202 202 201 201 200 200 ^n/A/ ^ 199 199 198 198 / 9_7* 197 196 195 goy.s' o?G (c . / &0&, ■7 197 196 195 c?C(o 3.05. S’ 194 194 Aol-l JCS'.C 193 193 / 3.03,0 192 192 A oSi 191 191 190 189 0' 190 Current data a ppear in the Board's H.6 release. i i i i i i n i ii i r i i i i i i ft t~n Latest data plotted week ending: October 14, 1970 i i i i i ' i i i i i ' i t i i i i i i i i. i l . i m i i 9 23 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 July Aug. Sept. Oct. 1969 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 189 1 15 29 13 2 7 10 24 8 22 Apr. May June July 1970 5 19 Aug. 2 16 30 14 28 Sept. Oct. 11 25 Nov. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 23 Dec. 6 20 Jan. 1971 ' 0 6 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT U AND COMMERCIAL PAPER [2 Outstanding Volume Billions of Dollars Billions of Dollars Commercial Paper -Certificates of Deposit Latest data plotted: 1965 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Negotiable time certificates of deposit in denominations of $100,000 or more • at large commercial banks. Monthly averages of Wednesday figures. Data prior to July 1965 estimated by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Total volume of commercial paper outstanding. Averages of current and preceding end-of-month seasonally adjusted figures. _ September, 1970 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1971 RATES ON CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT H AND COMMERCIAL PAPER 12 13 12 11 10 9 8 3 Commercial Paper 7 6 Certificates of Deposit 5 4 3 - 2 1 Latest data plotted: September, 1970 L.l I I I I II I I I 1 II I I 1 I I http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis new lasue rate °n 6 month certificates of deposit of $100,000 or more through June 1970 Since June data plotted are 90 day secondary market rate. 8 June 19/U 2/ Prime commercial paper, 4- to 6- months maturity. Averages of dealers' daily offering rates. 1970 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1971 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 8 Income Velocity of Money Annual Rates of Turnover GNP/Money Stock Annual Rates of Turnover 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Annual rates of turnover computed with quarterly GNP (current dollars) at seasonally adjusted annual rates, and seasonally adjusted monthly averages of daily money stock. Latest data plotted: 3rd quarter preliminary Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis MEMBER BANK DEPOSITS SUBJECT TO RESERVE REQUIREMENTS (CREDIT PROXY) Billions of Dollars 324 322 320 318 316 314 312 Billions of Dolla Averages of Daily Figures 328 328 326 9 Seasonally Adjusted 326 -Annual rates of change, average of — four weeks ending Oct. 14, 1970 from four weeks ending: Credit Pr oxy Credit — Aug. 12, 1970 July 15, 1970 -June 17, 1970 May 13, 1970 Apr. 15, 1970 — Mar. 11, 1970 - ) Adjusted • + '3-* /-ar.y y- “•/ / f Jr 324 if 322 320 318 - 316 V-AA? CREDIT PROXY ADJUSTED -h/3,3 -t/z-'f < / ) Proxy 7u /?■? y- o?0? t /?.vT -h /£•£ / ■ * a s. 314 - 312 . 310 AK r .10 9 310 308 308 306 306 304 304 302 302 300 300 298 298 296 296 r 294 294 292 292 - 290 290 288 288 286 286 284 282 CREDIT PROXY 280 3cd. b 3o /.y 278 303., 274 3cn. I 30 8.3 3 07.9 272 30?,*270 268 0' Current data appear > i i i i i i i i i i Latest data plotted i i i t i i i i i i i 9 23 6 20 3 17 July Aug. Sept. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis in the Board's H.9 release. i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i week ending: October 14, 1970. i i i i i i i i i i ...................... 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 1969 . 3/0, _ ADJ. 3/?.y 3*0.3 y 3 0J.J3>o(c-y 276 CREDIT PROXY 3as o 3 av.3 !3^v. 9 329.0 3 A 3.7 33,5,3 JW 3-? 4 18 Feb. 4 18 Mar. 1/ Total member bank deposits plus nondeposit items — is sometimes referred to as the "adjusted credit proxy." Member bank deposit figures are seasonally ” — adjusted, but nondeposit items are included in the — series on a seasonally unadjusted basis due to the " _ short period for which most items are available. _ Nondeposit items included in the series are as fol. _ lows: gross liabilities of banks to own foreign . _ branches and to branches in U.S. territories and pos-— sessions; Euro-dollars borrowed directly from for-- eign banks or through brokers and dealers; com— mercial paper issued by bank holding companies or ’ ~ other bank affiliates; and loans or participations ~ in pools of loans sold under repurchase agreement _ to other than banks and other than banks ' own . _ affiliates or subsidiaries. - i i i i i I I I 1 I I__L 15 29 13 27 10 24 8 22 Apr. May June July 1970 i i i 111 i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i i r 5 19 Aug. 2 16 Sept. 30 14 28 Oct. 11 25 Nov. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 9 23 Dec. 6 20 Jan. 1971 284 282 280 278 276 274 272 270 268 0 10 YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES Averages of Daily Rates Ended Friday Per Cent 11.00 3-Month Xreasury Bill Per Cent 11.00 Corporate 3-5 Year 10.50 10.50 7. HO 7.05" __ Cfer 10.00 10.00 £.88 9.50 9.50 9.00 9.00 Prime Commercial — Corporate Loan Rate — Aaa Bonds 7.50 3-5 Year Govt. Sec. 7.00 Three-Month ^ Treasury Bill Market Yield 6.50 Discount Rate 6.00 5.00 - Latest data plotted are averages of rates available for the week ending: Oct. 23, 1970 11 25 8 22 Aug. 5 19 Sept. * AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 3 17 Oct. 1969 31 14 28 Nov. 12 26 Dec. 9 23 Jan. 6 20 6 20 9 12 26 10 24 June July 1970 ' 7 21 Aug. 4 18 2 Sept. 16 30 13 27 Nov. Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 11 25 4 22 J an. 11 SELECTED SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES Averages of Daily Rates Ended Friday Per Cent Per Cent Prime Commercial Prirne ■ 1 -l ^ ) Paper Bankers' 1^70 ,4-6 Month Acceptances £<tp-1~ V ! 7.SO ‘ 7,13 * ii : -i 1 90 Day CD'S ** 7.55 -r./j- Federal Funds to. 73 to. to=3 to. Cfc 5. 70 to, 30 to . ao to,S3 to, i_5" Commercial Paper 4-to-6 Month Bankers Acceptances Federal Funds Rate Discount Rate Latest data plotted are averages.of rates available for the week ending: Oct. 23, 1970 11 25 July 8 22 Aug. 5 19 Sept. 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 Oct. Nov. Dec. 9 23 Jan. 6 20 Feb. 1969 * AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABIE; FEDERAL FUNDS LAST FIVE DAYS AVAILABLE ** DATA ARE SECONDARY MARKET RATE, WEEKLY AVERAGES ENDING WEDNESDAY http://fraser.stlouisfed.org DAYS EARLIER. CURRENT DATA APIEAR IN THE BOARD'S H.9 RELEASE. Federal ReserveTWO Bank of St. Louis 6 20 Mar. 3 17 Apr. 1 15 29 12 26 10 24 May June July 1970 7 21 Aug. 4 18 2 Sept. 16 30 Oct. 13 27 11 25 8 22 Nov. Dec. Jan. 1971 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis BORROWINGS AND, EXCESS RESERVES All MemberBanks in the Nation Averages of Daily Figures Millions of Dollars EXCESS RESERVES 12 Millions of Dollars BORROWINGS 2,800 2,600 2,200 2,000 Borrowings 1,200 1,200 Excess Reserves 1,000 1,200 1,200 Net Free Reserves 1,800 2,000 2,200 2,600 Latest data plotted week ending: Oct. 21, 1910 3,000 3,000 9 23 July http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 6 20 Aug. 3 15 29 17 1 Sept. 1969 12 2/ 10 24 7 21 J an. 4 18 4 18 Mar. 15 29 Apr. 13 27 May 10 24 8 22 June Ju 1970 5 19 2 16 30 Sept. 14 28 11 Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 25 9 23 6 20 1971