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Week ending: November 10,1971
library

iL’fu 05 1379

The nation's money stock, defined as private demand deposits and

currency in the hands of the public, has increased at a 7 per cent annual
rate in the past ten months (page 5). Growth of money over this period,
however, has been uneven. For example, money grew at only a 1.7 per cent
rate in the past four months, compared with a 10.6 per cent rate in the
previous six months. For comparison, money grew at a trend rate of 3.4
per cent from 1957 to 1970.
The declines of market interest rates have been substantial
since the levels immediately preceding the mid-August announcement of the
New Economic Program (pages 10 and 11). These declines have offset a
large portion of the rise in interest rates which occurred during the
spring and summer months. For example, the three-month Treasury bill rate
averaged 4.18 per cent in the three days ending November 10, down 106
basis points from early August, which offsets over one-half of the rise in
this rate from March to early August. Yields on Aaa corporate bonds
averaged 7.24 per cent in the first half of this week, down 47 basis
points from early August, which offsets about three-fourths of the rise
occurring earlier in 1971.
This week the Federal Reserve Board announced a reduction in the
discount rate from 5 per cent to 4.75 per cent at several Federal Reserve
Banks. The reduction brings this rate into closer alignment with short­
term market interest rates.
SELECTED INTEREST RATES
3 days
Ending
11/10/71
Three-month Treasury bills
Federal Funds
Prime 4- to 6-month
Commercial Paper
3- to 5-year Government
Securities
Bond Buyer's Index of
20 Municipal Bonds
Aaa Corporate Bonds
Prime Rate

Change in basis points since
week ending
months ending
8/13/71
3/71
1/70

4.18%
4.84
4.88

-106
- 74
- 95

+ 80
+113
+ 69

-369
-414
-390

5.50

-131

+ 76

-264

-104

- 18

4.99—^
7.24
5.50

- 47
- 50

-197-/

+ 16^

-124-/

+

-300

1

—^November 5, 1971
February 1971
-/june 1970


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Released: November 72,7971

MONETARY BASE 1/
FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT v
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
OF CHANCE, AVERAGE OF
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
---- NOVEMBER 10, 1971 FROMTHE FOUR WEEKS ENDING.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
90

_

-

SEP.
AUG.
JUL.
—JUN.
_

8,
11,
7,
9,

1971
1971
1971
1971
~

APR

88
MONETARY BASE

1.8
2.2
5.2
5.7

86

4.6”

6. 1
6.6
84

82

Ml

MILLIONS
80

78
_

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
—NOVEMBER 10, 1971 FROMTHE FOUR WEEKS ENDING.
-

SEP.
AUG.

8,
11,

1971
1971

6.7
6.8

...

_

------

i0.7

76

— JUN
MAR.

.
10,

9.9

____
1971

FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT

74

~

10.6

10.4
9.6
72

70

ail

MILLIONS
68

2 16 30 14 26 II

OCT
NOV
1970

25

9 23

6 20

3 17

JAN

FEB

3 17 51

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. NOVEMBER 10,

14 26 12 26

APR

9 23

MAY

7 21

4 16

1

IS 29 13 27

OCT

10 24

NOV

1971
1971

1/ USES OF MONETARY BASE ARE MEMBER BANK RESERVES AND CURRENCY HELD BY THE PUBLIC AND NONMEMBER
BANKS, ADJUSTED FOR RESERVE REQUIREMENT CHANGES AND SHIFTS IN DEPOSITS. FOR A DESCRIPTION
OF THE BASE SEE THE AUGUST 1968 1'REVIEW * OF THIS BANK.
2/ DEFINED TO INCLUDE HOLDINGS OF SECURITIES, LOANS, FLOAT AND •'OTHER" ASSETS. ADJUSTED FOR
RESERVE REQUIREMENT CHANGES AND CHANGES IN REQUIREMENTS DUE TO SHIFTS IN DEPOSITS AMONG
CLASSES OF BANKS.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

RESERVES
ALL MEMBER BANKS IN THE NATION
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
33.0 -----------------------

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
------ ---------- ---------- 33.0

32.5

31.5

31.5

31.0
30.5

30.0

30.0

29.5

29.5

29.0
28.5

28.5

2 16
SEP

30 14 28 11 25 0 23
OCT
NOV
DEC

« 20
JAN

3 17
FEB

3 17 31 14 28 12
MAR
APR
MAY

4 18

JUL

1

15 20 13 27 10 24

AUG

1970
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING, NOVEMBER 10.

1971

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.9 RELEASE.
* BREAK IN SERIES DUE TO CHANGES IN REGULATION D EFFECTIVE OCTOBER I,


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

billions

ian
OCT.

NOV.

6
13

20
27
3
10

31.9
31.7
31.7
31.4
31.7
31.4

1970,

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
NOVEMBER 10. 1971 FROM
THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
SEP.
AUG.
JUL.
JUN.
MAY
APR.
MAR.

8,

11.

T,
9.
12,

7,

10,

1971
1971
1971
1971
1971
1971
1971

-5.3
0.0
3.7

1.5
3.2
4.4
4.9

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

180

B.ILLIQNS
174.9
175. 1
174.2
174.4
175
174.5

170

165

160

2 16 30 14 2S II 25

0 23

S 20
JAN

3 17
FEB

3 17 31

14 28 12 26
APR
MAY

1970

0 23

4 18

I

15 28 13 27 10 24
OCT
NOV

1971

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. NOVEMBER 5,

1971

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
11/4/70

3/3/71

3/31/71

5/5/71

6/2/71

6/30/71

5.8
6.4
2.0
1.0

7.9
1.7
0.5

8/4/71

9/1/71

-1.6
-2.3

-6.4

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
3/31/71
5/ 5/71
6/ 2/71
6/30/71
8/ 4/71
9/ 1/71
10/ 6/71
11/ 3/71


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

7.7
6.9
10. 1
9.3
9. 1
9.0

7.0
6. 1

6.7
14.3
11.5
10.7
10.2
7.0
5.7

16.0
11.8
10.8
10.2
6.5
5. 1

17.2
13.6
12.2
7. 1
5.4

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MONEY STOCK
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
235

BLLLIQNS
226.7
227.3
230

226.5
227.2
226.6

225

220

215

210

2 16 30 14 26 II 25

0 23

6 20

3 17

JAN

FEB

3 17 31

H 26 12 26

APR

9 23

7 21

4

16

I

15 29 13 27 10 24

MAY

1970

OCT

NOV

1971

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. NOVEMBER 3,

1971

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE , AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
11/4/70

3/3/71

3/31/71

5/5/71

6/2/71

6/30/71

6.3
6.4
2.9
2.0

7.7
2.7
1.7

8/4/71

9/1/71

-0.5
-0.9

-4.0

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
3/31/71
5/ 5/71
6/ 2/71
6/30/71
8/ 4/71
9/ 1/71
10/ 6/71
11/ 3/71


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

7.7
7.4
9.9
9. 1
9. 1
8.8
7.2
6.5

7.9
13.7
11.2
10.6
10.0
7.3
6.2

15. 1
11.4
10.6
9.9
6.8
5.6

15.0
12.5
11.1
7.0
5.6

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST, LOUIS

TIME DEPOSITS
ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

260

250
TOTAL TIME DEPOSITS
240

230

220
NET TIME DEPOSITS*
210

200

190

2 16 50 1 4 28 11

OCT

25

9 23

6 20

3 17

JAN

NOV

FEB

3 17 31

14 28 12 26

APR

9 23

1970

7 21

4 18

JUL

MAY

AUG

I

15 29 15 27 10 24

OCT

NOV

1971

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGt NOVEMBER 3,

1971

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.
* NET TIME DEPOSITS ARE DEFINED AS: SAVINGS DEPOSITS, TIME DEPOSITS OPEN ACCOUNT PLUS TIME
CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT OTHER THAN NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN
DENOMINATIONS OF 9100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS.

NET TIME DEPOSITS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE,
11/4/70

3/3/71

3/31/71

5/5/71

AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
6/2/71

6/30/71

8/4/71

8.0
7.5
7.5
8.8

5.5
6.2
8.0

7. 1
9.3

9/1/71

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING:
3/31/71
5/ 5/71
6/ 2/71
6/30/71
8/ 4/71
9/ 1/71
10/ 6/71
11/ 3/71


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

25.4
23.0
22. 1
20.9
18.7
17.5
16. 4
16.3

21.1
19.6
17.8
14.7
13.4
12.4
12.7

14.8
14.0
11.4
10.5
9.9
10.5

14.3
10.5
9.6
9. 1
9.9

10.6

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MONEY STOCK PLUS TIME DEPOSITS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
500 j=-------------------- -----

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
-------- ---------- --------=, 500

MONEY STOCK PLUS TOTAL TIME DEPOSITS

MONEY STOCK PLUS hCT TIME DEPOSITS *8

2 16 30 14 28 11 25

8 23

6 20

3 17

JAN

FEB

3 17 31

14 28 12 26

APR

7 21

4 18

JUL

8 23

MAY

AUG

1

15 28 13 27 10 24

OCT

NOV

1970
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. NOVEMBER 3, 1971
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE.
m Mz IS DEFINED AS. CURRENCY. DEMAND DEPOSITS PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS (SEE PAGE 6).

MONEY STOCK PLUS NET TIME DEPOSITS (M2)
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS END 1NGt
11/4/70

3/3/71

3/31/71

5/5/71

6/2/71

6/30/71

8/4/71

9/1/71

7.3
7.0
5.3
5.4

6.6
4.5
4.8

3.4
4. 1

3.1

TO THE AVERAGE
OF FOUR WEEKS
ENDING.
3/31/71
5/ 5/71
6/ 2/71
6/30/71
8/ 4/71
9/ 1/71
10/ 6/71
11/ 3/71


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

16.2
14.9
15.7
14.8
13.7
13.0
1 1.7
11.3

14.3
16.4
14.4
12.6
1 1.6
9.8
9.4

14.8
12.7
11.0
10.2
8.4
8. 1

14.5
11.4
10.2
8.0
7.7

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT
LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS
WEDNESDAY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

2 16 50 14 20 11 25
OCT
NOV

0 23

6 20
JAN

3 17
FEB

3 17 31

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: NOVEMBER 3,

14 20 12 26
APR
MAY

0 23

BILLIONS

7 21
JUL

4 10
AUG

1

of dollars

15 20 15 27 10 24
OCT
NOV

1971

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE.
NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF #100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE
WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

MONEY AND TIME DEPOSIT DATA

1971
SEP.

1
8
15
22
29
OCT.
6
13
20
27
NOV.
3
10
17
24

CERTIFICATES
OF DEPOSIT

BILLIONS
NET TIME
DEPOS1TS «

30.8
31.5
31.9
32.7
33.5
33.0
33.5
33.7
33. 1
32.8

228.4
228.8
228.7
229.3
229.7
230.8
231.1
231.9
232.3
232.7

M2

m

455.9
456.6
455.9
456.2
456.4
458. 1
457.5
458.4
459.5
459.3

K SEE FOOTNOTE PAGE 6.
*K SEE FOOTNOTE PAGE 7
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

MEMBER BANK DEPOSITS
SUBJECT TO RESERVE REQUIREMENTS
(CREDIT PROXY )
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

CREDIT PROXY ADJUSTED 1/

CREDIT PROXY

2 16 50 14 28 II 25

OCT

9 25

6 20

5 17

JAN

NOV

FEB

5 17 51

14 28 12 26

APR

9 23

7 21

4 18

JUL

MAY

1

15 20 15 27 10 24

AUG

OCT

NOV

197 1

1970
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING) NOVEMBER 3,

1971

CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.9 RELEASE.
1/ INCLUDES MEMBER BANK DEPOSITS. BANK-RELATED COMMERCIAL PAPER. EURODOLLAR BORROWINGS OF
U.S. BANKS, AND CERTAIN OTHER NONDEPOSIT SOURCES.

1211

BIIUQNS
CREDIT
PROXY

SEP.
OCT.

NOV.


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

29
6
13
20
27
3

CREDIT
PROXY
ADJUSTED.

348.4
349. 1
348.8
349.8
350.6
352.8

352.9
353.5
353. 4
354.9
355.7
357.8

COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE,
AVERAGE OF THE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
NOVEMBER 3, 1971 FROM THE FOUR
WEEKS ENDING:
CREDIT
CREDIT
PROXY
PROXY ADJUSTED.
SEP.
AUG.
JUN.
JUN.
MAY
MAR.
MAR.

1 ,
4,
30,
2,
5,
31,
3,

1971
1971
1971
1971
1971
1971
1971

4.6
8.0
8.3
7.2
8.2
8.9
9.5

6.4
8.8
8.6
7.8
8.2
7.7
7.7

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIES
AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY

CORPORATE Aaa BONDS

MUNIC
PRIME COMMERCIAL
LOAN RATE

DISCOUNT RATE
THREE-MONTH TREASURY
BILL MARKET YIELD

4 18
NOV

FEB

DEC

MAR

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENOING« NOVEMBER 12, 1971

1971
SEP.

3
10
17
24
OCT
1
8
i5
22
29
NOV.
5
12 *
19
26

CORPORATE
Aaa BONOS

3-MONTH
TREASURY
BILLS

3-5 YEAR
GOVERNMENT
SECURITIES

LONG-TERM
GOVERNMENT
SECUR1T1ES

MUNICIPAL
BONDS N8K

7.45
7.42
7.44
7.44
7. 46
7.44
7.42
7.37
7.31
7.25
7.24

4.47
4.62
4.79
4.74
4.65
4.51
4.45
4.47
4.36
4.18
4. 18

5.89
5.94
6.00
6.01
5.91
5.84
5.68
5.62
5.53
5.41
5.50

5.58
5.51
5.59
5.59
5.52
5. 47
5.44
5.47
5.43
5.33
5.37

5.39
5.36
5.38
5.48
5.24
5. 17
4.99
4.9/
5. 1 1
4.99
N.A.

^BO^BUYFR'^AviRAGE^NOEx'OF 20 MUNICIPAL BONDS, THURSDAY DATA.
N.A. - N0T AVAILABLE


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

u

SELECTED SHORT-TERM

INTEREST RATES

AVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY

PER CENT

PER CENT

COMMERCIAL PAPER
4--T0-6 MONTH

FEDERAL FUNDS RATE

4 18

2 16 30 13 2/ H 25

NOV
1970

8 22

5 19

5 19

2 16 30 H 28 It 25

9 23

6 20

3 17

1

15 29 12 26

DEC
197!

LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDINGi NOVEMBER 12,


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

1971
SEP.

3
10
17
24
OCT.
18
15
22
29
NOV.
5
'2 *•
'9
26

PRIME
COMMERCIAL
PAPER
4-6 MONTH

FEDERAL
FUNOS

PRIME
BANKERS'
ACCEPTANCES

90 DAY
CD'S not

5.70
5.75
5.75
5.75
5.75
5.75
5.63
5.45
5.25
5.03
4.88

5.70
5.75
5.42
5.48
5.35
5.25
5.35
4.98
5.25
5.13
4.90

5.50
5.50
5.50
5.50
5.40
5.23
5.03
4.98
4.88
4.78
4.75

1971

5.56
5.55
5.60
5.66
5.62
5.53
5.44
5,29
5.18
4.99
4.91

* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE. FEDERAL FUNOS LAST FIVE DAYS AVAILABLE
DATA ARE SECONDARY MARKET RATES, WEEKLY AVERAGES ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO
DAYS EARLIER.
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.9 RELEASE.
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

BORROWINGS AND EXCESS RESERVES
ALL MEMBER BANKS IN THE NATION
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
------ ---------- ---------1 -6

EXCESS RESERVES

-0.4

-0.4

0.8

0.8

-

-

NET FREE RESERVES

1.2

1.2

-

-

-1 .6

2 16 30 14 28 II 25

SEP

OCT
NOV
1970

9 23

DEC

6 20

3 17

JAN

FEB

3 17 31

MAR

LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. NOVEMBER 10,


http://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

14 29 12 26

APR

MAY

9 23

JUN
1971

7 21

4 18

I

JUL

AUG

SEP

15 29 15 27 10 24

OCT

NOV

1971

MILLIONS
1971
SEP.

1
8
15
22
29
OCT.
6
13
20
27
NOV.
3
10
17
24

EXCESS
RESERVES
324
205
247
227
343
214
49
304
44
413
19

BORROWINGS
706
765
457
329
424
309
449
332
414
215
122

FREE
RESERVES
-

382
560
210
102
81
95
400
28
370
198
103

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BAMC OF ST. LOUIS